Wager Master

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 176 72.73% 0.71% 0.83436 -0.0817 0.6454
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 32 84.38% 8.50% 0.26127 0.3227 0.5244
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 35 71.43% -1.67% 0.82322 -0.0198 0.4733
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 12 91.67% 22.63% 0.09001 0.6635 1.4553
Akash'Thriya 93 64.52% -12.40% 0.00455 -0.3282 -0.5932
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 36 83.33% 8.61% 0.2347 0.4567 0.029
Argent Adept 87 65.52% -8.12% 0.08556 -0.3065 0.097
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 66 68.18% -5.75% 0.28741 -0.3368 -0.0601
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 49 77.55% 2.60% 0.67494 0.128 0.1813
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 16 62.50% -12.00% 0.27084 -0.6072 -0.537
Benchmark 72 69.44% -4.53% 0.38071 -0.157 -0.208
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 66 83.33% 8.41% 0.11507 0.505 0.0096
Bunker 148 72.30% 0.17% 0.96262 -0.239 0.5177
Bunker: Freedom Five 43 83.72% 9.05% 0.17252 0.2425 0.1139
Bunker: Freedom Six 9 66.67% -3.73% 0.80611 -0.0324 0.4815
Bunker: G.I. 39 61.54% -10.28% 0.15373 -0.4398 0.1031
Bunker: Termi-Nation 16 81.25% 18.76% 0.12113 0.3728 0.945
Captain Cosmic 114 60.53% -12.58% 0.00245 -0.5801 0.0695
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 13 69.23% 14.62% 0.28983 -0.548 0.5459
Captain Cosmic: Requital 58 70.69% -3.32% 0.56416 -0.0441 -0.0403
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 27 77.78% 3.84% 0.6497 0.0898 0.3322
Chrono-Ranger 238 71.01% -4.06% 0.14776 -0.0085 -0.0392
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 42 78.57% 4.66% 0.4915 0.2761 0.4333
Dr. Medico 165 71.52% -4.65% 0.16099 -0.1673 -0.3153
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 42 71.43% -3.57% 0.59328 -0.1163 -0.1142
Expatriette 247 70.85% -2.23% 0.42888 -0.0261 0.4926
Expatriette: Dark Watch 32 68.75% -2.36% 0.76883 -0.2987 0.0219
Fanatic 200 76.50% 2.58% 0.40645 0.1465 0.2986
Fanatic: Prime Warden 30 70.00% -2.34% 0.77423 -0.3165 -0.3389
Fanatic: Redeemer 41 70.73% -2.84% 0.68052 -0.2027 -0.0704
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 12 91.67% 26.78% 0.05196 0.9882 1.3479
Guise 373 67.29% -6.28% 0.00598 -0.2677 0.1487
Guise: Completionist 65 86.15% 13.23% 0.01636 0.3778 0.8191
Guise: Santa 164 65.24% -5.43% 0.12663 -0.2234 0.0875
Haka 152 64.47% -9.48% 0.00774 -0.3324 -0.2162
Haka: Eternal 25 76.00% 1.43% 0.86938 -0.0224 -0.0646
Haka: Prime Warden 25 64.00% -6.26% 0.49349 -0.3198 -0.2461
Haka: Xtreme PW 19 63.16% -10.76% 0.28528 -0.4127 -0.3834
Harpy 72 70.83% -3.10% 0.54936 -0.0173 0.2635
Harpy: Dark Watch 51 78.43% 6.81% 0.28069 0.3205 0.189
Idealist 299 79.26% 6.84% 0.0081 -0.3908 -0.0248
Idealist: Super Sentai 18 50.00% -23.71% 0.02231 -0.9123 -0.5846
K.N.Y.F.E. 144 73.61% -0.35% 0.92305 0.1168 0.4735
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 245 85.31% 11.75% 3e-05 0.6091 0.8624
La Comodora 80 76.25% 1.37% 0.77767 0.1256 0.0922
La Comodora: Black Spot 35 74.29% 0.12% 0.98727 -0.0283 -0.1977
Legacy 521 74.28% -3.24% 0.07669 0.0246 -0.6928
Legacy: Freedom Five 81 75.31% -8.69% 0.03293 0.0225 -0.9647
Legacy: Greatest 121 76.86% -0.83% 0.82673 -0.0012 -0.8115
Legacy: Young 75 72.00% -2.79% 0.57734 -0.0213 -0.6224
Lifeline 105 77.14% 2.66% 0.53194 0.2337 0.1089
Lifeline: Blood Mage 33 81.82% 4.96% 0.49924 0.4833 0.0876
Luminary 123 80.49% 6.69% 0.09153 0.3754 0.3924
Luminary: Heroic 35 68.57% -6.12% 0.40461 -0.4247 -0.4301
Mainstay 295 83.05% 9.12% 0.00036 0.2113 0.2048
Mainstay: Road Warrior 24 83.33% 9.64% 0.28335 0.3851 0.6524
Mr. Fixer 167 67.66% -6.20% 0.06845 -0.0971 0.1196
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 36 83.33% 16.84% 0.03232 0.6101 0.7641
Naturalist 105 65.71% -11.04% 0.00739 -0.4041 -0.5243
Naturalist: Hunted 76 78.95% -2.48% 0.5778 0.2916 -0.121
NightMist 132 62.12% -11.77% 0.00209 -0.3181 -0.1172
NightMist: Dark Watch 35 68.57% 6.34% 0.43934 -0.11 0.6742
Omnitron-X 233 68.24% -5.77% 0.04476 -0.2041 -0.2742
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 61 68.85% -5.88% 0.29094 -0.305 -0.409
Parse 125 72.00% -1.72% 0.66301 0.0848 0.3729
Parse: Fugue State 72 75.00% -0.80% 0.87372 -0.118 -0.4477
Ra 323 69.97% -4.59% 0.05849 -0.212 -0.009
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 36 72.22% -1.45% 0.8429 -0.2061 -0.0412
Ra: Setting Sun 21 52.38% -21.59% 0.02411 -1.0367 -1.2743
Scholar 424 78.07% 3.55% 0.09383 -0.1141 -0.2864
Scholar: Of the Infinite 36 83.33% 7.84% 0.27429 0.3214 -0.208
Sentinels 79 53.16% -22.80% 0.0 -0.8917 -1.0839
Sentinels: Adamant 44 52.27% -29.07% 0.0 -0.9728 -1.5396
Setback 144 77.08% 4.52% 0.22377 0.1902 0.3465
Setback: Dark Watch 21 85.71% 22.43% 0.033 0.4105 1.1545
Sky-Scraper 138 61.59% -12.33% 0.00097 -0.3941 -0.4898
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 232 82.76% 8.30% 0.00374 -0.1502 -0.4323
Stuntman 116 72.41% -1.52% 0.70901 -0.0672 -0.0756
Stuntman: Action Hero 64 82.81% 8.16% 0.13365 0.4 -0.0859
Tachyon 120 71.67% -1.94% 0.63047 0.076 0.3327
Tachyon: Freedom Five 29 79.31% 4.66% 0.5637 0.0648 0.0053
Tachyon: Freedom Six 189 80.95% -3.99% 0.12561 0.3955 -0.3138
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 120 76.67% 0.41% 0.91655 0.2051 -0.3516
Tempest 341 68.33% -8.05% 0.00046 -0.2463 -0.4017
Tempest: Freedom Six 22 86.36% 19.61% 0.05089 0.6182 0.6255
Tempest: Prime Warden 34 61.76% -13.62% 0.06516 -0.4989 -0.6215
Tempest: Xtreme PW 43 72.09% -1.84% 0.78339 -0.0068 0.0167
Unity 146 67.12% -6.45% 0.07736 -0.364 0.1273
Unity: Freedom Six 22 86.36% 12.48% 0.18252 0.593 0.9179
Unity: Termi-Nation 35 65.71% -6.83% 0.3649 -0.1939 -0.057
Visionary 196 64.80% -9.13% 0.0036 -0.3113 -0.1823
Visionary: Dark 61 67.21% -7.02% 0.20972 -0.3064 -0.2787
Visionary: Unleashed 87 74.71% -0.24% 0.95859 0.3157 0.3107
Wraith 274 74.45% 0.44% 0.86935 -0.0924 0.042
Wraith: Freedom Five 46 78.26% 2.48% 0.69404 -0.0073 -0.225
Wraith: Freedom Six 37 59.46% -14.54% 0.04368 -0.6944 -0.5733
Wraith: Rook City 32 65.62% -8.32% 0.28339 -0.3637 -0.2181
Writhe 104 68.27% -5.71% 0.18455 -0.1267 -0.1341
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 40 87.50% 11.70% 0.08415 0.8306 0.2707

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 106 76.42% 2.31% 0.58654 0.1626 -0.1475
Dok'Thorath Capital 79 67.09% -5.99% 0.22969 -0.1787 0.1253
Fort Adamant 39 64.10% -10.31% 0.1401 -0.3887 -0.5591
Freedom Tower 121 76.86% -0.12% 0.97454 0.2089 0.0285
Insula Primalis 99 66.67% -7.25% 0.10025 -0.2729 0.3158
Madame Mittermeier's 62 72.58% -1.23% 0.82616 -0.0673 0.1083
Maerynian Refuge 75 66.67% -7.49% 0.13857 -0.3648 -0.5418
Magmaria 65 80.00% 5.95% 0.27394 0.2561 0.1772
Megalopolis 102 65.69% -8.52% 0.04913 -0.2821 -0.0499
Mobile Defense Platform 52 75.00% -0.02% 0.99771 0.2002 0.087
Mordengrad 42 66.67% -1.61% 0.823 -0.2444 0.5875
Nexus of the Void 243 82.72% -0.70% 0.7708 0.0417 -0.4813
Omnitron-IV 107 82.24% 9.38% 0.02915 0.4845 0.9215
Pike Industrial Complex 57 66.67% -7.22% 0.21459 -0.1187 0.0921
Realm of Discord 184 72.28% -2.82% 0.3766 0.2934 0.3426
Rook City 55 49.09% -12.25% 0.06203 -0.7743 0.3577
Ruins of Atlantis 56 57.14% -11.08% 0.07482 -0.63 0.3939
Silver Gulch 1883 88 60.23% -13.33% 0.00456 -0.4073 0.0404
The Block 92 73.91% -1.16% 0.79744 0.0324 0.0043
The Celestial Tribunal 75 74.67% 1.13% 0.82505 0.1752 0.5006
The Court of Blood 51 52.94% -21.70% 0.00037 -0.9329 -0.8713
The Enclave of the Endlings 159 78.62% 2.67% 0.43145 0.3995 0.1925
The Final Wasteland 91 72.53% -8.93% 0.02844 -0.005 -0.4412
The Temple of Zhu Long 52 73.08% -2.04% 0.73339 -0.028 -0.2704
Time Cataclysm 86 73.26% -0.68% 0.88495 0.0343 0.215
Tomb of Anubis 59 66.10% -8.23% 0.1477 -0.1677 0.1023
Wagner Mars Base 71 61.97% -12.23% 0.01854 -0.4592 -0.191

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 524 57.25% -10.50% 0.0
4 719 76.08% +2.23% 0.17416
5 1184 75.68% +0.18% 0.88775

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Villain Alternate Victory 606
Villain Alternate Defeat 638
Heroes Incapacitated 37
Villain Destroyed 1137
Environment Alternate Defeat 9

Wager Master (Advanced)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 5 40.00% -32.29% 0.10669 -0.4383 0.2888
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 3 66.67% -9.87% 0.68666 0.0622 0.2639
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 26.57% 0.54744 0.1846 0.6777
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 1 100.00% 30.77% 0.50496 0.2338 1.0257
Akash'Thriya 4 50.00% -28.14% 0.1732 -0.497 -0.762
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 8 87.50% 12.32% 0.41991 0.2365 -0.1913
Argent Adept 1 0.00% -74.00% 0.09163 -0.7626 -0.3591
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 2 100.00% 25.69% 0.40567 0.2098 0.4865
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 4 75.00% -0.44% 0.98369 -0.0898 -0.0366
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 25 64.00% -10.93% 0.20737 -0.1695 -0.0993
Benchmark 3 33.33% -41.03% 0.10365 -0.6505 -0.7015
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 3 100.00% 24.59% 0.32259 0.2174 -0.278
Bunker 29 65.52% -6.88% 0.40705 -0.1657 0.591
Bunker: Freedom Six 1 0.00% -70.62% 0.12105 -0.4041 0.1098
Bunker: G.I. 9 55.56% -16.52% 0.26921 -0.4617 0.0812
Bunker: Termi-Nation 2 100.00% 37.40% 0.27436 0.2589 0.831
Captain Cosmic 3 33.33% -40.10% 0.11587 -0.373 0.2766
Captain Cosmic: Requital 2 50.00% -24.40% 0.42924 0.1111 0.1149
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 1 0.00% -74.32% 0.0889 -0.5199 -0.2775
Chrono-Ranger 19 63.16% -12.41% 0.20806 -0.313 -0.3436
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 2 100.00% 25.71% 0.4054 0.1369 0.2941
Dr. Medico 17 70.59% -6.32% 0.53635 -0.2431 -0.3911
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 5 100.00% 24.51% 0.20259 0.5378 0.5399
Expatriette 7 85.71% 12.31% 0.46105 0.1124 0.6311
Expatriette: Dark Watch 1 100.00% 28.66% 0.52623 0.2494 0.5699
Fanatic 6 66.67% -7.63% 0.6687 -0.4294 -0.2773
Fanatic: Prime Warden 1 100.00% 27.37% 0.53927 0.1581 0.1357
Fanatic: Redeemer 2 100.00% 26.08% 0.40089 0.3985 0.5309
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 34.98% 0.46326 0.1654 0.5251
Guise 26 80.77% 6.85% 0.42637 0.1992 0.6156
Guise: Completionist 2 100.00% 26.77% 0.39256 0.1141 0.5554
Guise: Santa 3 33.33% -37.57% 0.152 -0.306 0.0049
Haka 8 62.50% -11.83% 0.44347 -0.1431 -0.027
Haka: Eternal 3 100.00% 24.99% 0.31738 0.439 0.3968
Haka: Prime Warden 5 100.00% 29.52% 0.14781 0.4644 0.5381
Haka: Xtreme PW 3 66.67% -7.63% 0.76226 -0.3661 -0.3367
Harpy 4 100.00% 25.69% 0.23961 0.5238 0.8046
Harpy: Dark Watch 2 100.00% 28.12% 0.37637 0.2793 0.1478
Idealist 6 66.67% -6.04% 0.73973 -0.1631 0.203
Idealist: Super Sentai 1 0.00% -74.07% 0.09099 -0.4769 -0.1491
K.N.Y.F.E. 7 85.71% 11.37% 0.491 0.0914 0.4481
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 6 66.67% -7.24% 0.68636 -0.2043 0.0489
La Comodora 1 100.00% 24.64% 0.56741 0.0273 -0.0061
La Comodora: Black Spot 3 100.00% 25.43% 0.31175 0.4351 0.2657
Legacy 36 80.56% 0.33% 0.96055 0.5286 -0.1888
Legacy: Freedom Five 12 100.00% 15.64% 0.13582 0.8955 -0.0917
Legacy: Greatest 18 72.22% -8.20% 0.38083 -0.1071 -0.9174
Legacy: Young 6 66.67% -8.59% 0.62577 -0.2827 -0.8838
Lifeline 10 60.00% -14.91% 0.27668 -0.4512 -0.5761
Lifeline: Blood Mage 3 100.00% 21.98% 0.3579 0.5402 0.1444
Luminary 6 66.67% -7.50% 0.67474 -0.133 -0.1159
Luminary: Heroic 4 75.00% -0.15% 0.99452 0.2597 0.2543
Mainstay 2 100.00% 25.69% 0.40566 0.4142 0.4076
Mainstay: Road Warrior 2 50.00% -24.05% 0.43778 -0.3411 -0.0738
Mr. Fixer 9 77.78% 3.54% 0.80788 -0.213 0.0037
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 1 100.00% 33.36% 0.47928 0.0478 0.2019
Naturalist 2 50.00% -27.82% 0.34373 -0.371 -0.4912
Naturalist: Hunted 6 100.00% 17.89% 0.25295 0.5055 0.0929
NightMist 11 100.00% 25.74% 0.05087 1.0017 1.2027
NightMist: Dark Watch 3 66.67% 4.32% 0.87724 0.0199 0.8041
Omnitron-X 19 68.42% -5.97% 0.55098 -0.0508 -0.1209
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 2 100.00% 24.82% 0.41652 0.2015 0.0975
Parse 2 100.00% 25.92% 0.40283 0.2553 0.5434
Parse: Fugue State 12 58.33% -18.11% 0.1394 -0.6812 -1.0108
Ra 20 70.00% -4.99% 0.60628 -0.1448 0.0582
Ra: Setting Sun 1 100.00% 25.64% 0.55705 0.1594 -0.0783
Scholar 11 54.55% -20.41% 0.11826 -0.7228 -0.8951
Scholar: Of the Infinite 3 100.00% 23.93% 0.33129 0.2792 -0.2501
Sentinels 31 61.29% -15.36% 0.04327 -0.2791 -0.4712
Sentinels: Adamant 2 50.00% -32.04% 0.23771 -0.1936 -0.7605
Setback 3 66.67% -6.19% 0.80958 -0.0994 0.0569
Setback: Dark Watch 1 0.00% -63.41% 0.18806 -0.2999 0.4442
Sky-Scraper 29 62.07% -12.24% 0.13151 -0.3606 -0.4563
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 3 100.00% 25.12% 0.3158 0.3874 0.1052
Stuntman 6 100.00% 25.69% 0.14984 0.6215 0.6132
Stuntman: Action Hero 11 54.55% -20.56% 0.1148 -0.7511 -1.237
Tachyon 8 62.50% -11.46% 0.4603 -0.2993 -0.0426
Tachyon: Freedom Five 4 75.00% -0.09% 0.99657 -0.0991 -0.1586
Tachyon: Freedom Six 39 79.49% -5.76% 0.31056 -0.0543 -0.7636
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 9 77.78% 0.74% 0.95792 0.0521 -0.5046
Tempest 29 72.41% -4.79% 0.53819 -0.1455 -0.3009
Tempest: Freedom Six 2 50.00% -16.91% 0.61136 -0.386 -0.3787
Tempest: Prime Warden 6 66.67% -9.27% 0.59515 0.112 -0.0105
Tempest: Xtreme PW 4 100.00% 25.69% 0.23964 0.6679 0.6913
Unity 11 54.55% -19.38% 0.14331 -0.4384 0.0529
Unity: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 25.75% 0.55596 0.0668 0.3917
Unity: Termi-Nation 4 50.00% -22.84% 0.30434 -0.3684 -0.2315
Visionary 10 90.00% 15.70% 0.25599 0.3929 0.5219
Visionary: Dark 9 88.89% 14.25% 0.32589 0.5366 0.5643
Visionary: Unleashed 5 60.00% -15.44% 0.42257 -0.1694 -0.1743
Wraith 23 73.91% -0.49% 0.95711 -0.2729 -0.1385
Wraith: Freedom Five 2 100.00% 23.59% 0.43196 0.1085 -0.1092
Wraith: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 25.61% 0.55737 0.2027 0.3238
Writhe 4 75.00% 0.64% 0.97663 0.1184 0.111
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 2 100.00% 23.56% 0.43242 0.2665 -0.2935

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 7 100.00% 25.51% 0.12159 0.6634 0.3534
Dok'Thorath Capital 4 75.00% 1.60% 0.94241 -0.1178 0.1863
Fort Adamant 5 100.00% 25.17% 0.19472 0.524 0.3536
Freedom Tower 18 83.33% 5.01% 0.60566 0.1269 -0.0536
Insula Primalis 19 57.89% -16.40% 0.10181 -0.6709 -0.0822
Madame Mittermeier's 7 100.00% 25.82% 0.1185 0.8261 1.0017
Maerynian Refuge 3 100.00% 25.45% 0.31156 0.2411 0.0642
Magmaria 1 100.00% 25.56% 0.5579 0.3113 0.2323
Megalopolis 2 50.00% -24.61% 0.42389 -0.2225 0.0097
Mobile Defense Platform 8 87.50% 11.99% 0.43035 0.4176 0.3045
Mordengrad 1 100.00% 31.55% 0.49717 0.1612 0.9931
Nexus of the Void 5 80.00% -3.82% 0.81662 -0.092 -0.615
Omnitron-IV 2 100.00% 26.82% 0.39186 0.2561 0.6931
Pike Industrial Complex 5 60.00% -14.26% 0.46572 -0.449 -0.2381
Realm of Discord 2 50.00% -25.61% 0.3991 -0.1272 -0.078
Rook City 26 65.38% 3.93% 0.68016 0.2551 1.3871
Ruins of Atlantis 1 100.00% 31.60% 0.49671 0.2715 1.2954
Silver Gulch 1883 6 50.00% -23.91% 0.18221 -0.4402 0.0074
The Block 7 57.14% -18.43% 0.25647 -0.5314 -0.5594
The Celestial Tribunal 8 62.50% -11.39% 0.46325 -0.2611 0.0643
The Court of Blood 4 25.00% -50.09% 0.02055 -0.9933 -0.9316
The Enclave of the Endlings 8 75.00% -1.63% 0.91345 0.0197 -0.1873
The Final Wasteland 5 20.00% -62.13% 0.00029 -1.1535 -1.5897
The Temple of Zhu Long 5 100.00% 24.37% 0.20429 0.4297 0.1873
Time Cataclysm 5 80.00% 5.68% 0.77127 0.2397 0.4204
Wagner Mars Base 3 66.67% -7.93% 0.75223 -0.0453 0.2229

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 25 68.00% +0.09% 0.99266
4 86 69.77% -4.46% 0.34483
5 59 77.97% +1.89% 0.73301

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Villain Alternate Victory 57
Villain Alternate Defeat 43
Heroes Incapacitated 2
Villain Destroyed 66
Environment Alternate Defeat 2

Wager Master (Challenge)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 2 0.00% -71.22% 0.0261 -0.8941 -0.167
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 3 66.67% -7.70% 0.75999 -0.0373 0.1644
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 1 0.00% -68.46% 0.14064 -0.3866 0.4053
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 4 75.00% 1.48% 0.94657 -0.1376 -0.5653
Argent Adept 3 33.33% -39.30% 0.12679 -0.6108 -0.2073
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 4 50.00% -22.88% 0.30336 -0.4543 -0.1776
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 1 100.00% 26.30% 0.55025 0.2454 0.2987
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 26.66% 0.54658 0.1324 0.2025
Benchmark 1 100.00% 27.08% 0.54224 0.1404 0.0894
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 1 100.00% 26.32% 0.55002 0.0953 -0.4001
Bunker 3 33.33% -37.98% 0.1458 -0.4172 0.3395
Bunker: Freedom Five 2 50.00% -23.48% 0.4519 -0.202 -0.3306
Bunker: G.I. 2 100.00% 28.96% 0.36652 0.2405 0.7834
Bunker: Termi-Nation 1 0.00% -62.13% 0.2002 -0.3888 0.1834
Captain Cosmic 2 0.00% -72.18% 0.02272 -0.6454 0.0042
Captain Cosmic: Requital 1 100.00% 27.05% 0.54252 0.1992 0.203
Chrono-Ranger 8 87.50% 13.72% 0.37774 0.3178 0.2872
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 2 50.00% -22.86% 0.46716 -0.3301 -0.1729
Dr. Medico 9 88.89% 14.33% 0.32352 0.2769 0.1289
Expatriette 4 0.00% -72.16% 0.00128 -1.295 -0.7762
Expatriette: Dark Watch 3 33.33% -37.06% 0.15975 -0.4736 -0.153
Fanatic 4 75.00% 2.13% 0.92377 0.3326 0.4848
Fanatic: Prime Warden 2 100.00% 28.49% 0.37205 0.2966 0.2742
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 35.53% 0.45791 0.2283 0.5881
Guise 33 63.64% -8.94% 0.24971 0.0499 0.4663
Guise: Completionist 4 50.00% -22.02% 0.32658 -0.3912 0.0501
Guise: Santa 5 80.00% 10.01% 0.62538 0.0459 0.3567
Haka 4 50.00% -22.90% 0.30284 -0.2198 -0.1036
Haka: Eternal 2 50.00% -23.40% 0.45398 -0.2965 -0.3387
Haka: Prime Warden 3 100.00% 30.39% 0.25244 0.3054 0.3791
Harpy 1 100.00% 27.12% 0.54185 0.2771 0.558
Harpy: Dark Watch 1 100.00% 29.14% 0.52136 0.1406 0.0091
Idealist 4 75.00% 3.42% 0.87942 0.234 0.6
Idealist: Super Sentai 1 0.00% -72.69% 0.10275 -0.3574 -0.0297
K.N.Y.F.E. 11 90.91% 18.00% 0.17915 0.7419 1.0986
La Comodora 1 100.00% 26.36% 0.54966 0.0814 0.048
La Comodora: Black Spot 1 100.00% 26.93% 0.54384 0.2454 0.076
Legacy 21 66.67% -8.61% 0.36032 -0.3395 -1.0569
Legacy: Freedom Five 6 66.67% -15.94% 0.30307 -0.1221 -1.1093
Legacy: Greatest 8 87.50% 12.16% 0.42503 0.3871 -0.4231
Legacy: Young 3 100.00% 26.43% 0.29926 0.3531 -0.248
Lifeline 5 60.00% -13.33% 0.50031 -0.1647 -0.2895
Luminary 6 66.67% -6.10% 0.73705 -0.1651 -0.1481
Mainstay: Road Warrior 1 100.00% 27.32% 0.5398 0.0836 0.3508
Mr. Fixer 7 100.00% 27.18% 0.10601 0.8907 1.1074
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 1 100.00% 33.97% 0.47323 0.1559 0.31
Naturalist 1 0.00% -74.91% 0.084 -0.3737 -0.4939
Naturalist: Hunted 3 100.00% 23.44% 0.33789 0.4979 0.0854
NightMist 1 100.00% 27.16% 0.54147 0.0814 0.2823
Omnitron-X 8 75.00% 2.06% 0.89579 0.1945 0.1244
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 4 75.00% 1.48% 0.94663 0.1688 0.0648
Parse 3 66.67% -6.03% 0.81454 -0.0154 0.2728
Parse: Fugue State 6 100.00% 25.69% 0.14985 0.6253 0.2957
Ra 13 76.92% 3.54% 0.77292 0.2981 0.5011
Scholar 24 62.50% -10.86% 0.22884 -0.2098 -0.3821
Scholar: Of the Infinite 2 100.00% 25.90% 0.40311 0.3451 -0.1842
Sentinels 1 100.00% 25.57% 0.55775 0.1649 -0.0272
Sentinels: Adamant 1 0.00% -76.48% 0.07136 -0.3737 -0.9405
Setback 4 75.00% 3.30% 0.88358 0.0979 0.2542
Sky-Scraper 1 100.00% 27.12% 0.54182 0.1324 0.0367
Stuntman 2 50.00% -22.88% 0.46665 -0.1358 -0.1442
Stuntman: Action Hero 4 75.00% 1.53% 0.94466 -0.1346 -0.6205
Tachyon 1 100.00% 27.40% 0.53904 0.2379 0.4946
Tachyon: Freedom Five 3 66.67% -6.79% 0.78991 -0.0561 -0.1155
Tachyon: Freedom Six 15 73.33% -10.49% 0.2697 -0.1643 -0.8735
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 7 57.14% -17.47% 0.28812 -0.0258 -0.5825
Tempest 10 60.00% -14.69% 0.2853 -0.1184 -0.2737
Tempest: Xtreme PW 3 66.67% -6.22% 0.80867 -0.1536 -0.1302
Unity 17 64.71% -7.87% 0.46699 0.1674 0.6588
Unity: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 27.16% 0.54141 0.1559 0.4809
Unity: Termi-Nation 1 100.00% 28.31% 0.52977 0.3405 0.4774
Visionary 2 50.00% -22.88% 0.46684 -0.1981 -0.069
Visionary: Dark 9 88.89% 15.76% 0.28621 0.4969 0.5245
Visionary: Unleashed 1 100.00% 26.30% 0.55023 0.1198 0.1148
Wraith 9 77.78% 4.83% 0.74443 -0.0011 0.1333
Wraith: Freedom Five 4 75.00% 0.70% 0.97433 0.0475 -0.1702
Wraith: Freedom Six 3 100.00% 27.06% 0.29144 0.3678 0.489
Writhe 2 100.00% 27.08% 0.38877 0.2602 0.2527
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 2 50.00% -24.32% 0.4312 -0.2192 -0.7792

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 7 85.71% 12.69% 0.44924 0.3679 0.0578
Fort Adamant 1 100.00% 26.73% 0.54587 0.1559 -0.0144
Freedom Tower 9 77.78% 2.75% 0.84899 0.1395 -0.0409
Insula Primalis 6 66.67% -6.20% 0.73252 0.0421 0.6308
Madame Mittermeier's 3 66.67% -6.11% 0.81207 0.1509 0.3265
Maerynian Refuge 4 100.00% 26.94% 0.22461 0.5502 0.3733
Magmaria 2 100.00% 27.02% 0.3895 0.2 0.1211
Megalopolis 2 0.00% -73.11% 0.01971 -0.6554 -0.4232
Mobile Defense Platform 8 62.50% -11.25% 0.46975 -0.1843 -0.2975
Mordengrad 1 0.00% -67.74% 0.14735 -0.377 0.4549
Pike Industrial Complex 6 50.00% -22.84% 0.20837 -0.5069 -0.2961
Realm of Discord 6 83.33% 9.52% 0.5957 0.2937 0.3429
Rook City 2 50.00% -11.01% 0.74949 -0.3235 0.8085
Ruins of Atlantis 2 100.00% 32.31% 0.32857 0.2571 1.281
Silver Gulch 1883 2 100.00% 27.43% 0.3846 0.3783 0.8259
The Block 3 66.67% -7.12% 0.77917 -0.1396 -0.1676
The Enclave of the Endlings 2 50.00% -24.41% 0.42876 -0.1369 -0.3439
The Final Wasteland 17 58.82% -17.76% 0.08373 -0.2342 -0.6703
The Temple of Zhu Long 6 100.00% 26.18% 0.14467 0.613 0.3706
Tomb of Anubis 1 0.00% -73.21% 0.09831 -0.3574 -0.0874
Wagner Mars Base 1 100.00% 26.90% 0.54411 0.1406 0.4088

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 35 65.71% -1.52% 0.84802
4 19 84.21% +11.40% 0.26416
5 37 67.57% -6.53% 0.36421

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Villain Alternate Victory 23
Villain Alternate Defeat 26
Heroes Incapacitated 1
Villain Destroyed 41

Wager Master (Ultimate)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 7 71.43% -0.76% 0.96428 -0.0679 0.6592
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 13 23.08% -53.19% 1e-05 -1.7114 -1.5098
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 26.70% 0.54617 0.1635 0.6566
Akash'Thriya 7 71.43% -6.13% 0.69761 -0.1309 -0.3959
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 6 33.33% -41.67% 0.0184 -0.7125 -1.1402
Argent Adept 1 100.00% 26.14% 0.55189 0.1698 0.5733
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 8 62.50% -11.66% 0.45108 -0.5274 -0.2508
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 10 80.00% 4.75% 0.7278 -0.0162 0.037
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 4 100.00% 25.24% 0.24522 0.5659 0.636
Benchmark 4 75.00% 0.79% 0.97126 -0.1342 -0.1852
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 3 66.67% -8.55% 0.73154 0.4993 0.0039
Bunker 7 85.71% 13.42% 0.42758 0.2413 0.998
Bunker: Freedom Five 10 20.00% -54.95% 6e-05 -0.8905 -1.0191
Bunker: Freedom Six 1 0.00% -70.54% 0.1218 -0.3668 0.1471
Bunker: G.I. 16 68.75% -3.23% 0.77375 -0.1011 0.4418
Captain Cosmic 2 100.00% 26.69% 0.39345 0.5138 1.1634
Captain Cosmic: Requital 4 75.00% 0.75% 0.97252 0.4115 0.4154
Chrono-Ranger 15 60.00% -15.37% 0.16704 -0.3638 -0.3944
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 3 100.00% 25.86% 0.30636 0.2697 0.4269
Dr. Medico 23 73.91% -2.69% 0.76072 -0.151 -0.299
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 6 83.33% 8.04% 0.64802 0.1932 0.1953
Expatriette 7 85.71% 12.43% 0.45723 0.3538 0.8725
Expatriette: Dark Watch 3 100.00% 28.75% 0.27126 0.4261 0.7466
Fanatic 10 90.00% 15.85% 0.25239 0.893 1.0451
Fanatic: Prime Warden 8 75.00% 2.48% 0.87506 0.259 0.2366
Fanatic: Redeemer 1 100.00% 26.22% 0.55112 0.1576 0.29
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 4 75.00% 10.03% 0.67412 0.1054 0.4652
Guise 27 77.78% 3.99% 0.63708 0.0483 0.4647
Guise: Completionist 4 75.00% 1.89% 0.93219 0.1343 0.5756
Guise: Santa 7 42.86% -27.96% 0.10373 -0.3865 -0.0756
Haka 17 82.35% 8.17% 0.44169 0.3615 0.4776
Haka: Eternal 2 100.00% 25.16% 0.41217 0.2139 0.1717
Haka: Prime Warden 3 0.00% -70.39% 0.00757 -0.8801 -0.8064
Harpy 12 83.33% 9.17% 0.46804 0.2437 0.5245
Harpy: Dark Watch 7 71.43% -0.35% 0.98355 -0.3458 -0.4774
Idealist 7 28.57% -44.03% 0.00901 -0.9393 -0.5732
Idealist: Super Sentai 4 75.00% 1.07% 0.96119 0.1351 0.4628
K.N.Y.F.E. 10 60.00% -14.20% 0.30481 -0.3045 0.0521
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 10 90.00% 16.23% 0.24334 0.5839 0.8372
La Comodora 4 50.00% -25.17% 0.24394 0.0462 0.0128
La Comodora: Black Spot 7 100.00% 25.59% 0.12079 0.7751 0.6057
Legacy 58 65.52% -13.44% 0.01202 -0.2968 -1.0142
Legacy: Freedom Five 12 66.67% -17.56% 0.09514 -0.8269 -1.8141
Legacy: Greatest 37 75.68% -4.06% 0.5385 0.192 -0.6183
Legacy: Young 9 66.67% -8.41% 0.55971 -0.6633 -1.2644
Lifeline 4 25.00% -49.75% 0.02202 -0.8458 -0.9707
Lifeline: Blood Mage 4 100.00% 22.52% 0.28087 0.5896 0.1939
Luminary 29 79.31% 5.29% 0.51619 -0.077 -0.06
Luminary: Heroic 5 100.00% 25.03% 0.19637 0.5258 0.5203
Mainstay 7 71.43% -2.73% 0.86876 0.317 0.3105
Mainstay: Road Warrior 2 0.00% -73.91% 0.01729 -0.804 -0.5367
Mr. Fixer 12 83.33% 9.24% 0.46485 0.3029 0.5196
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 12 83.33% 16.75% 0.21878 0.3239 0.478
Naturalist 2 50.00% -27.34% 0.35576 -0.3645 -0.4847
Naturalist: Hunted 33 81.82% -0.06% 0.99316 0.4132 0.0006
NightMist 6 66.67% -7.45% 0.67693 -0.5702 -0.3693
NightMist: Dark Watch 4 25.00% -37.30% 0.12369 -0.9 -0.1158
Omnitron-X 14 78.57% 4.33% 0.71113 -0.097 -0.1671
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 4 100.00% 24.99% 0.2483 0.7768 0.6728
Parse 5 80.00% 6.06% 0.75749 -0.1057 0.1824
Parse: Fugue State 15 73.33% -2.85% 0.79556 0.3574 0.0278
Ra 44 61.36% -13.46% 0.03972 -0.0753 0.1277
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 6 83.33% 9.44% 0.59872 0.0023 0.1673
Ra: Setting Sun 6 66.67% -7.54% 0.67274 -0.0631 -0.3007
Scholar 13 69.23% -5.55% 0.64468 -0.1223 -0.2947
Scholar: Of the Infinite 11 63.64% -12.20% 0.34434 -0.4618 -0.9911
Sentinels 4 50.00% -26.37% 0.21441 -0.0776 -0.2697
Sentinels: Adamant 2 50.00% -31.80% 0.24378 -0.4051 -0.972
Setback 31 83.87% 11.13% 0.16404 0.5179 0.6742
Setback: Dark Watch 2 100.00% 36.64% 0.2822 0.2979 1.0419
Sky-Scraper 5 80.00% 5.84% 0.76547 0.2414 0.1457
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 3 66.67% -8.05% 0.74835 -0.2754 -0.5576
Stuntman 30 76.67% 2.50% 0.75449 -0.1654 -0.1738
Stuntman: Action Hero 9 66.67% -8.26% 0.5673 -0.4868 -0.9728
Tachyon 3 66.67% -7.15% 0.77806 -0.0342 0.2226
Tachyon: Freedom Five 1 100.00% 25.08% 0.56286 0.2098 0.1503
Tachyon: Freedom Six 54 81.48% -3.65% 0.45092 0.4528 -0.2565
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 17 82.35% 5.64% 0.58225 0.3056 -0.2511
Tempest 38 52.63% -24.23% 0.0004 -0.6689 -0.8242
Tempest: Freedom Six 3 100.00% 33.15% 0.22257 0.3609 0.3682
Tempest: Prime Warden 6 100.00% 24.28% 0.16544 0.5864 0.4638
Tempest: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 25.83% 0.55506 0.2717 0.2951
Unity 5 60.00% -13.79% 0.48337 0.0686 0.5599
Unity: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 25.89% 0.55447 0.2618 0.5868
Unity: Termi-Nation 2 100.00% 27.27% 0.38651 0.235 0.3719
Visionary 11 90.91% 16.75% 0.20441 0.7001 0.8291
Visionary: Dark 20 85.00% 10.52% 0.28072 0.5891 0.6168
Visionary: Unleashed 3 66.67% -8.58% 0.73053 0.0474 0.0424
Wraith 16 87.50% 13.25% 0.22557 0.3958 0.5302
Wraith: Freedom Five 3 66.67% -9.49% 0.69981 -0.1113 -0.329
Wraith: Freedom Six 10 20.00% -54.24% 9e-05 -0.8198 -0.6986
Wraith: Rook City 2 100.00% 25.82% 0.4041 0.2306 0.3762
Writhe 8 50.00% -24.21% 0.11747 -0.5622 -0.5696
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 10 90.00% 13.81% 0.30509 0.5507 -0.0092

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 11 72.73% -1.61% 0.90241 -0.0324 -0.3425
Dok'Thorath Capital 7 71.43% -1.85% 0.91182 -0.208 0.096
Fort Adamant 5 80.00% 5.33% 0.78404 0.1411 -0.0292
Freedom Tower 25 84.00% 6.35% 0.44628 0.8998 0.7194
Insula Primalis 7 100.00% 25.85% 0.11827 0.6098 1.1984
Madame Mittermeier's 5 80.00% 5.97% 0.76092 0.2079 0.3834
Maerynian Refuge 16 68.75% -5.65% 0.60473 0.0485 -0.1284
Magmaria 2 100.00% 25.71% 0.40543 0.2547 0.1758
Megalopolis 11 36.36% -38.09% 0.00377 -0.3954 -0.1632
Mobile Defense Platform 13 84.62% 9.30% 0.43682 0.3063 0.1931
Mordengrad 2 100.00% 31.62% 0.33623 0.3476 1.1795
Nexus of the Void 1 100.00% 16.33% 0.65864 0.1744 -0.3486
Pike Industrial Complex 5 60.00% -14.12% 0.47107 -0.494 -0.2832
Realm of Discord 5 60.00% -15.41% 0.42368 -0.3547 -0.3055
Rook City 11 81.82% 20.41% 0.1644 0.1099 1.242
Ruins of Atlantis 1 100.00% 31.66% 0.49605 0.1846 1.2085
Silver Gulch 1883 5 40.00% -33.78% 0.08594 -0.429 0.0186
The Block 12 58.33% -17.04% 0.17062 -0.3957 -0.4238
The Celestial Tribunal 4 50.00% -23.76% 0.28018 -0.5951 -0.2697
The Court of Blood 2 100.00% 25.09% 0.41314 0.2685 0.3302
The Enclave of the Endlings 7 57.14% -19.21% 0.2317 -0.5084 -0.7155
The Final Wasteland 3 66.67% -15.23% 0.49329 0.0705 -0.3656
The Temple of Zhu Long 15 73.33% -2.09% 0.8506 -0.0934 -0.3358
Time Cataclysm 27 77.78% 3.60% 0.66874 -0.2675 -0.0868
Tomb of Anubis 8 62.50% -12.09% 0.43228 -0.2146 0.0553
Wagner Mars Base 8 62.50% -11.95% 0.43857 0.1052 0.3734

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 30 70.00% +2.15% 0.80104
4 75 76.00% +1.92% 0.70428
5 114 70.18% -5.67% 0.15738

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Villain Alternate Victory 94
Villain Alternate Defeat 53
Heroes Incapacitated 8
Villain Destroyed 64

Notes

Deviation

The difference between the actual win rate of this combination of elements and the win rates of each of those elements on their own, averaged. A positive value means that this combination results in a win more often than would be expected.

Chi-Square p-value

This is the significance value of a χ² test comparing the observed data and expected value. In most cases, this expected value is the mean of the win rates of each element. For team position, the expected value is an equal likelihood of winning in all positions. Lower p-values (no greater than 0.01) mean a greater likelihood that the difference is meaningful and not due to chance.

Logistic Regression Coefficient

Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game, considering only games when 244 is present. The number on the right compares this model to the global one (counting all games); positive numbers suggests that this hero/villain/environment results in a win more often when 244 is present than otherwise, and vice-versa.