The Dreamer

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 215 20.00% -30.73% 0.0 -0.6528 0.0744
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 57 36.84% -14.59% 0.02754 -0.5676 -0.3659
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 177 37.85% -13.12% 0.00048 -0.4873 0.0058
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 20 15.00% -34.85% 0.00183 -1.3626 -0.5707
Akash'Thriya 165 43.03% -8.50% 0.02891 0.2709 0.0059
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 75 62.67% 11.39% 0.04841 0.9654 0.5376
Argent Adept 277 30.69% -20.40% 0.0 0.1345 0.5379
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 39 38.46% -12.68% 0.11319 -0.1525 0.1242
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 109 50.46% -0.85% 0.8589 0.5286 0.5818
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 36 38.89% -12.35% 0.13822 -0.145 -0.0749
Benchmark 126 50.00% -1.15% 0.79642 0.3164 0.2653
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 84 59.52% 8.22% 0.13182 0.5514 0.056
Bunker 222 25.23% -25.53% 0.0 -0.3063 0.4504
Bunker: Freedom Five 59 38.98% -12.28% 0.05907 0.0806 -0.048
Bunker: Freedom Six 23 34.78% -15.50% 0.13706 -0.2918 0.2221
Bunker: G.I. 94 34.04% -16.63% 0.00126 -0.0997 0.4432
Bunker: Termi-Nation 23 69.57% 22.56% 0.03017 0.9023 1.4744
Captain Cosmic 178 19.66% -31.31% 0.0 -0.7891 -0.1394
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 60 58.33% 16.02% 0.01201 0.5149 1.6089
Captain Cosmic: Requital 41 43.90% -7.25% 0.35288 -0.2474 -0.2435
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 52 21.15% -29.99% 2e-05 -0.9056 -0.6632
Chrono-Ranger 516 31.20% -20.12% 0.0 -0.3136 -0.3442
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 61 40.98% -10.15% 0.11266 -0.2617 -0.1045
Dr. Medico 454 51.54% 0.08% 0.97292 0.5805 0.4325
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 41 51.22% -0.10% 0.99014 0.602 0.6041
Expatriette 344 29.36% -21.61% 0.0 -0.2629 0.2558
Expatriette: Dark Watch 97 46.39% -4.10% 0.41983 0.3071 0.6277
Fanatic 357 28.85% -22.29% 0.0 -0.0265 0.1256
Fanatic: Prime Warden 74 54.05% 3.25% 0.57625 0.4337 0.4114
Fanatic: Redeemer 143 46.85% -4.22% 0.31292 -0.0285 0.1038
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 64 45.31% -2.86% 0.64673 0.172 0.5317
Guise 192 28.12% -22.95% 0.0 -0.181 0.2354
Guise: Completionist 17 58.82% 7.89% 0.51544 0.6279 1.0692
Guise: Santa 79 41.77% -8.59% 0.12666 -0.1744 0.1364
Haka 400 31.00% -20.14% 0.0 -0.039 0.0771
Haka: Eternal 61 45.90% -5.35% 0.40332 0.2459 0.2037
Haka: Prime Warden 64 51.56% 1.32% 0.83252 0.5008 0.5745
Haka: Xtreme PW 50 40.00% -11.14% 0.11511 0.0897 0.119
Harpy 115 33.04% -18.10% 0.0001 -0.2485 0.0324
Harpy: Dark Watch 109 43.12% -7.51% 0.11697 0.0528 -0.0788
Idealist 203 39.41% -11.42% 0.00114 -0.3344 0.0317
Idealist: Super Sentai 59 40.68% -10.42% 0.10931 -0.2827 0.0451
K.N.Y.F.E. 230 37.83% -13.32% 5e-05 0.036 0.3927
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 83 36.14% -14.92% 0.00653 -0.1603 0.093
La Comodora 122 30.33% -20.97% 0.0 -0.6052 -0.6386
La Comodora: Black Spot 65 47.69% -3.49% 0.57345 0.3809 0.2115
Legacy 1063 35.75% -15.82% 0.0 0.5483 -0.1691
Legacy: Freedom Five 232 58.19% 6.13% 0.0618 1.0842 0.097
Legacy: Greatest 203 51.23% -0.35% 0.92098 0.569 -0.2413
Legacy: Young 185 43.78% -7.50% 0.04121 0.5411 -0.06
Lifeline 175 43.43% -7.81% 0.03879 0.1707 0.0459
Lifeline: Blood Mage 25 44.00% -7.53% 0.45148 0.2265 -0.1692
Luminary 204 38.24% -12.88% 0.00023 -0.1286 -0.1115
Luminary: Heroic 85 40.00% -11.27% 0.03763 -0.3428 -0.3482
Mainstay 154 42.21% -8.93% 0.02659 0.2762 0.2696
Mainstay: Road Warrior 54 44.44% -6.65% 0.32821 0.4215 0.6888
Mr. Fixer 404 35.89% -15.24% 0.0 0.0962 0.3129
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 49 42.86% -6.02% 0.3991 -0.1616 -0.0075
Naturalist 156 41.03% -10.49% 0.00874 0.1976 0.0774
Naturalist: Hunted 150 56.67% 4.95% 0.22507 0.445 0.0325
NightMist 344 23.26% -27.88% 0.0 -0.7442 -0.5433
NightMist: Dark Watch 54 38.89% -7.98% 0.23977 -0.0741 0.7101
Omnitron-X 579 32.30% -18.86% 0.0 -0.1772 -0.2474
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 87 51.72% 0.45% 0.93328 0.4237 0.3197
Parse 179 40.78% -10.32% 0.00575 0.1621 0.4503
Parse: Fugue State 163 54.60% 3.18% 0.41672 0.3981 0.0685
Ra 659 30.65% -20.60% 0.0 -0.13 0.0731
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 73 34.25% -16.85% 0.00398 -0.0867 0.0783
Ra: Setting Sun 74 47.30% -3.85% 0.50747 0.5746 0.3369
Scholar 454 35.90% -15.34% 0.0 0.1877 0.0154
Scholar: Of the Infinite 53 62.26% 10.88% 0.11303 0.9605 0.4312
Sentinels 171 40.35% -11.09% 0.00371 0.2355 0.0434
Sentinels: Adamant 71 61.97% 10.26% 0.08354 0.5469 -0.02
Setback 252 34.92% -15.94% 0.0 0.1445 0.3008
Setback: Dark Watch 29 44.83% -2.58% 0.78064 -0.0977 0.6463
Sky-Scraper 153 33.99% -17.15% 2e-05 0.0823 -0.0134
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 73 45.21% -6.03% 0.30296 0.1558 -0.1263
Stuntman 179 51.40% 0.26% 0.94547 0.4823 0.474
Stuntman: Action Hero 129 53.49% 2.22% 0.61331 0.3442 -0.1418
Tachyon 230 19.57% -31.51% 0.0 -0.262 -0.0053
Tachyon: Freedom Five 35 37.14% -14.12% 0.09468 -0.2836 -0.3431
Tachyon: Freedom Six 500 49.60% -2.65% 0.2349 0.6432 -0.0661
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 195 30.77% -20.70% 0.0 -0.1046 -0.6613
Tempest 418 26.08% -25.41% 0.0 -0.3495 -0.5048
Tempest: Freedom Six 22 45.45% -3.53% 0.74041 0.0823 0.0896
Tempest: Prime Warden 65 30.77% -20.60% 0.00089 -0.4804 -0.6029
Tempest: Xtreme PW 135 45.19% -5.96% 0.16626 0.0828 0.1062
Unity 197 14.21% -36.86% 0.0 -1.3096 -0.8183
Unity: Freedom Six 45 33.33% -17.80% 0.01692 -0.2921 0.0329
Unity: Termi-Nation 57 36.84% -14.01% 0.03433 -0.308 -0.1711
Visionary 530 23.40% -27.74% 0.0 -0.6409 -0.5118
Visionary: Dark 146 32.88% -18.32% 1e-05 -0.533 -0.5054
Visionary: Unleashed 147 36.05% -15.26% 0.00022 -0.4343 -0.4393
Wraith 530 36.79% -14.36% 0.0 0.3296 0.464
Wraith: Freedom Five 115 46.09% -5.33% 0.25261 0.2011 -0.0166
Wraith: Freedom Six 84 33.33% -17.82% 0.00109 -0.1963 -0.0751
Wraith: Rook City 86 34.88% -16.26% 0.00256 -0.0923 0.0534
Writhe 158 34.81% -16.34% 4e-05 -0.3198 -0.3273
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 75 42.67% -8.76% 0.12923 0.3291 -0.2308

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 98 52.04% 0.87% 0.86324 0.3771 0.067
Dok'Thorath Capital 121 22.31% -28.66% 0.0 -0.8007 -0.4967
Fort Adamant 135 44.44% -6.78% 0.11502 -0.0495 -0.2199
Freedom Tower 283 38.16% -13.37% 1e-05 -0.0232 -0.2036
Insula Primalis 198 27.78% -23.36% 0.0 -0.6276 -0.0389
Madame Mittermeier's 104 32.69% -18.43% 0.00017 -0.3147 -0.1391
Maerynian Refuge 105 47.62% -3.56% 0.46535 0.2365 0.0596
Magmaria 70 42.86% -8.31% 0.1645 0.0786 -0.0003
Megalopolis 349 26.65% -24.54% 0.0 -0.3826 -0.1504
Mobile Defense Platform 147 56.46% 5.14% 0.21214 0.6139 0.5007
Mordengrad 53 45.28% -4.29% 0.53211 0.2491 1.081
Nexus of the Void 121 59.50% 7.54% 0.09684 0.8106 0.2876
Omnitron-IV 54 31.48% -19.44% 0.00426 0.2857 0.7227
Pike Industrial Complex 66 39.39% -11.74% 0.05642 0.0573 0.2681
Realm of Discord 268 35.82% -15.51% 0.0 -0.0314 0.0178
Rook City 102 13.73% -32.67% 0.0 -1.1301 0.0019
Ruins of Atlantis 119 33.61% -15.94% 0.0005 -0.4718 0.5521
Silver Gulch 1883 144 34.72% -16.35% 9e-05 -0.2203 0.2274
The Block 394 46.45% -4.88% 0.05263 0.5278 0.4998
The Celestial Tribunal 106 51.89% 0.82% 0.8658 0.4707 0.7962
The Court of Blood 116 34.48% -16.78% 0.0003 -0.3788 -0.3172
The Enclave of the Endlings 138 54.35% 2.91% 0.49416 0.688 0.481
The Final Wasteland 155 42.58% -9.14% 0.0228 0.2996 -0.1366
The Temple of Zhu Long 148 50.68% -0.66% 0.87279 0.6219 0.3796
Time Cataclysm 206 39.32% -11.82% 0.00069 0.2205 0.4012
Tomb of Anubis 88 32.95% -18.26% 0.00061 -0.0248 0.2452
Wagner Mars Base 85 45.88% -5.31% 0.32775 0.1272 0.3954

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 919 59.85% +10.47% 0.0
4 1342 45.53% -5.60% 4e-05
5 1862 25.30% -26.09% 0.0

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Villain Alternate Victory 1632
Villain Alternate Defeat 862
Heroes Incapacitated 1564
Environment Alternate Defeat 65

The Dreamer (Advanced)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 8 12.50% -32.80% 0.06233 -0.3656 0.3615
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 5 40.00% -5.89% 0.79146 -0.4838 -0.2822
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 1 0.00% -45.51% 0.36074 -0.2387 0.2544
Akash'Thriya 15 60.00% 14.02% 0.27576 0.4732 0.2083
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 28 64.29% 18.52% 0.04914 1.5477 1.1199
Argent Adept 24 33.33% -12.27% 0.22745 -0.4934 -0.0899
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 5 60.00% 14.35% 0.51945 0.7756 1.0523
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 4 25.00% -20.79% 0.40393 -0.1429 -0.0896
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 5 20.00% -25.73% 0.24809 -0.0716 -0.0015
Benchmark 15 20.00% -25.66% 0.04605 0.2642 0.2132
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 10 50.00% 4.21% 0.7892 0.6487 0.1533
Bunker 5 40.00% -5.33% 0.81092 0.0914 0.8481
Bunker: Freedom Five 6 16.67% -29.09% 0.15265 -0.1671 -0.2957
Bunker: Freedom Six 3 33.33% -11.60% 0.68634 -0.2046 0.3093
Bunker: G.I. 18 5.56% -39.71% 0.00071 -1.4622 -0.9192
Captain Cosmic 2 50.00% 4.49% 0.89863 0.3036 0.9533
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 2 0.00% -37.99% 0.26837 -0.5484 0.5455
Captain Cosmic: Requital 3 66.67% 21.00% 0.46516 -0.0958 -0.0919
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 1 0.00% -45.65% 0.3594 -0.3137 -0.0712
Chrono-Ranger 91 15.38% -30.42% 0.0 -0.4509 -0.4815
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 15 20.00% -25.65% 0.04613 -0.5088 -0.3516
Dr. Medico 46 36.96% -8.96% 0.22257 0.3391 0.1911
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 11 27.27% -18.52% 0.21754 0.0417 0.0437
Expatriette 42 38.10% -7.41% 0.33458 -0.2071 0.3116
Expatriette: Dark Watch 3 66.67% 21.56% 0.45288 0.259 0.5796
Fanatic 25 28.00% -17.65% 0.07646 -0.3141 -0.162
Fanatic: Prime Warden 10 50.00% 4.63% 0.7687 0.1199 0.0976
Fanatic: Redeemer 22 31.82% -13.77% 0.19457 -0.4515 -0.3191
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 6 50.00% 6.86% 0.73422 0.5001 0.8598
Guise 13 38.46% -7.13% 0.60569 0.2209 0.6373
Guise: Completionist 2 50.00% 4.52% 0.89787 0.2304 0.6717
Guise: Santa 2 0.00% -45.00% 0.20084 -0.4383 -0.1274
Haka 47 27.66% -17.99% 0.01326 0.2398 0.356
Haka: Eternal 7 28.57% -17.17% 0.36183 0.6057 0.5635
Haka: Prime Warden 7 42.86% -2.04% 0.91369 0.3295 0.4032
Harpy 1 0.00% -45.65% 0.35942 -0.2376 0.0433
Harpy: Dark Watch 13 0.00% -45.22% 0.00105 -1.2127 -1.3443
Idealist 8 12.50% -32.89% 0.06173 -0.6749 -0.3088
Idealist: Super Sentai 3 0.00% -45.62% 0.11268 -0.5379 -0.2102
K.N.Y.F.E. 12 8.33% -37.32% 0.00944 -0.7597 -0.403
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 6 33.33% -12.26% 0.54663 0.0854 0.3387
La Comodora 10 40.00% -5.78% 0.71361 0.2219 0.1885
La Comodora: Black Spot 6 33.33% -12.35% 0.54359 0.1737 0.0042
Legacy 138 28.26% -17.75% 3e-05 0.0694 -0.648
Legacy: Freedom Five 30 50.00% 3.58% 0.694 0.9927 0.0055
Legacy: Greatest 27 66.67% 20.65% 0.03133 1.143 0.3327
Legacy: Young 9 55.56% 9.78% 0.55575 0.397 -0.2041
Lifeline 34 47.06% 1.33% 0.87642 -0.2638 -0.3886
Lifeline: Blood Mage 7 57.14% 11.17% 0.55314 0.4786 0.0828
Luminary 14 35.71% -9.92% 0.45638 -0.2217 -0.2047
Luminary: Heroic 9 44.44% -1.31% 0.93692 0.0153 0.0098
Mainstay 18 33.33% -12.32% 0.29414 0.3096 0.303
Mainstay: Road Warrior 1 100.00% 54.39% 0.27485 0.2912 0.5585
Mr. Fixer 27 37.04% -8.60% 0.36952 0.3152 0.5319
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 10 50.00% 6.26% 0.68977 0.3125 0.4665
Naturalist 7 14.29% -31.68% 0.09261 -0.3196 -0.4398
Naturalist: Hunted 4 50.00% 3.87% 0.87662 0.1306 -0.2819
NightMist 7 0.00% -45.64% 0.01533 -1.0545 -0.8536
NightMist: Dark Watch 1 0.00% -42.01% 0.3947 -0.1654 0.6188
Omnitron-X 36 19.44% -26.22% 0.00159 -0.3798 -0.4499
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 4 25.00% -20.76% 0.40456 0.3036 0.1997
Parse 73 16.44% -29.18% 0.0 0.3227 0.6108
Parse: Fugue State 18 38.89% -7.00% 0.5514 0.0638 -0.2659
Ra 69 18.84% -26.90% 1e-05 -0.5811 -0.3781
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 68 16.18% -29.43% 0.0 0.2472 0.4122
Ra: Setting Sun 3 66.67% 21.01% 0.46505 0.5069 0.2693
Scholar 26 26.92% -18.81% 0.05417 -0.1112 -0.2835
Scholar: Of the Infinite 3 33.33% -12.52% 0.6634 0.2129 -0.3164
Sentinels 4 25.00% -20.90% 0.40155 -0.0232 -0.2153
Sentinels: Adamant 69 14.49% -31.63% 0.0 -0.2845 -0.8514
Setback 12 25.00% -20.41% 0.15554 -0.2162 -0.0599
Setback: Dark Watch 7 28.57% -13.90% 0.45676 -0.1411 0.603
Sky-Scraper 6 0.00% -45.65% 0.02478 -0.6355 -0.7312
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 32 43.75% -1.98% 0.82242 -0.3638 -0.646
Stuntman 36 44.44% -1.21% 0.88448 0.5815 0.5732
Stuntman: Action Hero 18 38.89% -6.86% 0.55882 0.1672 -0.3187
Tachyon 2 0.00% -45.60% 0.19541 -0.346 -0.0893
Tachyon: Freedom Five 5 0.00% -45.75% 0.04002 -0.7335 -0.793
Tachyon: Freedom Six 83 37.35% -9.22% 0.09202 0.0701 -0.6391
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 13 38.46% -7.47% 0.58912 0.3963 -0.1604
Tempest 25 16.00% -29.94% 0.00267 -0.3585 -0.5138
Tempest: Prime Warden 10 50.00% 4.16% 0.79186 0.7202 0.5976
Tempest: Xtreme PW 17 29.41% -16.24% 0.17889 -0.1183 -0.0948
Unity 14 14.29% -31.31% 0.01867 -0.5446 -0.0532
Unity: Freedom Six 1 0.00% -45.64% 0.35949 -0.1999 0.125
Unity: Termi-Nation 7 28.57% -16.84% 0.37088 -0.2284 -0.0915
Visionary 19 26.32% -19.33% 0.09067 -0.1503 -0.0212
Visionary: Dark 23 21.74% -23.96% 0.02109 -0.4846 -0.457
Visionary: Unleashed 13 30.77% -15.02% 0.27698 -0.3161 -0.321
Wraith 40 42.50% -3.16% 0.68797 0.5865 0.7209
Wraith: Freedom Five 13 61.54% 15.66% 0.25729 0.8705 0.6527
Wraith: Freedom Six 4 25.00% -20.66% 0.40678 -0.0074 0.1138
Wraith: Rook City 4 50.00% 4.35% 0.86143 0.1164 0.2621
Writhe 9 33.33% -12.32% 0.45794 -0.2006 -0.208
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 7 57.14% 11.26% 0.55003 0.8012 0.2413

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 13 23.08% -22.60% 0.10189 0.3106 0.0006
Dok'Thorath Capital 2 0.00% -45.51% 0.19621 -0.4207 -0.1167
Fort Adamant 2 100.00% 54.28% 0.12334 0.4561 0.2857
Freedom Tower 53 41.51% -4.47% 0.51378 0.7493 0.5689
Insula Primalis 12 25.00% -20.65% 0.151 0.4495 1.0382
Madame Mittermeier's 26 23.08% -22.55% 0.02095 -0.6477 -0.4721
Maerynian Refuge 38 50.00% 4.32% 0.59322 0.3685 0.1916
Magmaria 4 25.00% -20.67% 0.40662 0.1289 0.05
Megalopolis 4 25.00% -20.69% 0.40612 -0.4738 -0.2415
Mobile Defense Platform 72 15.28% -30.52% 0.0 -0.8273 -0.9405
Mordengrad 1 0.00% -44.33% 0.3722 -0.1211 0.7108
Nexus of the Void 15 46.67% 0.33% 0.97939 0.2842 -0.2388
Omnitron-IV 6 16.67% -28.80% 0.15651 -0.6726 -0.2356
Pike Industrial Complex 1 0.00% -45.64% 0.35948 -0.077 0.1338
Realm of Discord 12 25.00% -20.81% 0.14796 -0.1869 -0.1377
Rook City 3 66.67% 25.07% 0.37832 0.4191 1.5511
Ruins of Atlantis 10 10.00% -34.32% 0.02892 -0.6266 0.3973
Silver Gulch 1883 11 18.18% -27.41% 0.06796 -0.4491 -0.0015
The Block 30 46.67% 0.86% 0.92458 0.8649 0.8368
The Celestial Tribunal 1 100.00% 54.41% 0.27461 0.3694 0.6949
The Court of Blood 8 37.50% -8.25% 0.63945 0.1105 0.1722
The Enclave of the Endlings 4 50.00% 4.10% 0.86927 0.257 0.05
The Final Wasteland 26 26.92% -19.21% 0.04943 0.0667 -0.3694
The Temple of Zhu Long 11 36.36% -9.45% 0.52942 0.3445 0.1021
Time Cataclysm 20 35.00% -10.65% 0.33891 0.0329 0.2136
Tomb of Anubis 7 28.57% -17.14% 0.36271 -0.4432 -0.1732
Wagner Mars Base 3 33.33% -12.36% 0.66745 0.2608 0.529

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 35 57.14% +12.98% 0.12204
4 203 34.48% -11.15% 0.00142
5 158 22.78% -23.07% 0.0

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Villain Alternate Victory 126
Villain Alternate Defeat 73
Heroes Incapacitated 190
Environment Alternate Defeat 7

The Dreamer (Challenge)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 4 25.00% -8.38% 0.7222 -0.3993 0.3278
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 1 0.00% -33.82% 0.47474 -0.2134 -0.0118
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 66.46% 0.1592 0.3359 0.829
Akash'Thriya 15 26.67% -7.21% 0.55522 -0.2919 -0.5569
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 4 75.00% 41.28% 0.08075 0.3433 -0.0844
Argent Adept 5 60.00% 26.40% 0.21145 0.4474 0.8508
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 2 0.00% -33.64% 0.31401 -0.3808 -0.1041
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 1 0.00% -33.70% 0.4759 -0.0844 -0.0143
Benchmark 2 100.00% 66.36% 0.04702 0.6979 0.6469
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 3 66.67% 32.93% 0.22773 0.2529 -0.2425
Bunker: Freedom Five 5 0.00% -33.72% 0.11077 -0.56 -0.6886
Bunker: G.I. 3 33.33% -0.02% 0.99949 0.076 0.619
Bunker: Termi-Nation 3 0.00% -30.98% 0.24583 -0.2604 0.3118
Captain Cosmic 3 33.33% -0.20% 0.99403 -0.0966 0.553
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 804 9.70% -18.04% 0.0 -0.1705 0.9234
Captain Cosmic: Requital 4 0.00% -33.65% 0.15439 -0.3577 -0.3538
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 66.36% 0.16015 0.3147 0.5571
Chrono-Ranger 5 20.00% -13.75% 0.51551 -0.229 -0.2597
Dr. Medico 44 31.82% -2.02% 0.77742 0.0551 -0.0929
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 1 0.00% -33.75% 0.47543 -0.165 -0.1629
Expatriette 11 27.27% -6.26% 0.66003 -0.1241 0.3946
Expatriette: Dark Watch 8 25.00% -8.23% 0.62105 -0.1984 0.1221
Fanatic 12 41.67% 8.03% 0.55602 -0.1021 0.0501
Fanatic: Prime Warden 3 33.33% -0.10% 0.99713 0.0196 -0.0028
Fanatic: Redeemer 8 62.50% 28.90% 0.08347 0.3368 0.4691
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 802 9.60% -22.16% 0.0 -0.1653 0.1944
Guise 17 23.53% -10.07% 0.37957 -0.276 0.1404
Guise: Santa 1 100.00% 66.84% 0.15565 0.1917 0.5026
Haka 818 9.90% -23.74% 0.0 0.0371 0.1533
Haka: Eternal 4 75.00% 41.30% 0.0806 0.8329 0.7907
Haka: Xtreme PW 2 50.00% 16.36% 0.62427 0.3412 0.3705
Harpy 15 20.00% -13.64% 0.26361 -0.544 -0.2631
Harpy: Dark Watch 799 9.39% -23.93% 0.0 -0.8422 -0.9738
Idealist 34 17.65% -15.80% 0.05091 -0.7969 -0.4309
Idealist: Super Sentai 2 0.00% -33.61% 0.31428 -0.3671 -0.0394
K.N.Y.F.E. 8 50.00% 16.36% 0.32744 0.305 0.6616
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 4 50.00% 16.41% 0.48723 0.277 0.5303
La Comodora 6 16.67% -17.07% 0.37656 -0.2643 -0.2977
La Comodora: Black Spot 3 0.00% -33.66% 0.21726 -0.5927 -0.7621
Legacy 72 36.11% 2.21% 0.69192 0.1761 -0.5413
Legacy: Freedom Five 17 47.06% 12.86% 0.26368 0.3331 -0.6541
Legacy: Greatest 5 100.00% 66.09% 0.0018 1.2019 0.3916
Legacy: Young 7 57.14% 23.42% 0.19005 0.4401 -0.161
Lifeline 5 0.00% -33.70% 0.11092 -0.5454 -0.6702
Luminary 8 12.50% -21.12% 0.20601 -0.5733 -0.5563
Luminary: Heroic 33 18.18% -15.54% 0.05905 -0.194 -0.1995
Mainstay: Road Warrior 3 0.00% -33.61% 0.21781 -0.1867 0.0806
Mr. Fixer 9 55.56% 21.93% 0.16383 0.321 0.5377
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 9 22.22% -9.99% 0.52124 -0.3827 -0.2287
Naturalist 2 50.00% 16.13% 0.62977 -0.0379 -0.158
Naturalist: Hunted 13 46.15% 12.16% 0.35448 0.3536 -0.059
NightMist 3 33.33% -0.30% 0.99125 0.0645 0.2654
NightMist: Dark Watch 1 100.00% 69.10% 0.13478 0.3846 1.1688
Omnitron-X 12 33.33% -0.31% 0.98171 0.1549 0.0848
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 9 55.56% 21.84% 0.16587 0.0651 -0.0388
Parse 2 50.00% 16.39% 0.62371 0.0864 0.3746
Parse: Fugue State 4 100.00% 66.19% 0.00514 0.9896 0.6599
Ra 55 36.36% 2.66% 0.67642 -0.2473 -0.0443
Scholar 54 31.48% -2.22% 0.73016 0.7713 0.599
Scholar: Of the Infinite 5 40.00% 6.21% 0.76897 0.4968 -0.0325
Sentinels 9 33.33% -0.49% 0.97531 0.2598 0.0677
Sentinels: Adamant 1 0.00% -33.98% 0.47307 -0.2165 -0.7834
Setback 36 19.44% -14.02% 0.07467 -0.2221 -0.0658
Setback: Dark Watch 2 50.00% 18.75% 0.56737 0.1457 0.8897
Sky-Scraper 3 0.00% -33.64% 0.21753 -0.6525 -0.7482
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 2 0.00% -33.69% 0.3134 -0.4842 -0.7663
Stuntman 11 90.91% 57.27% 6e-05 1.5843 1.576
Stuntman: Action Hero 8 50.00% 16.29% 0.32984 0.0953 -0.3907
Tachyon 2 0.00% -33.60% 0.31442 -0.3106 -0.0539
Tachyon: Freedom Five 4 0.00% -33.71% 0.15378 -0.853 -0.9125
Tachyon: Freedom Six 51 37.25% 2.94% 0.65809 0.1495 -0.5598
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 9 22.22% -11.62% 0.46135 -0.5573 -1.114
Tempest 11 18.18% -15.67% 0.27219 -0.72 -0.8753
Tempest: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 67.72% 0.14752 0.6045 0.6118
Tempest: Prime Warden 5 40.00% 6.22% 0.76865 0.0525 -0.07
Tempest: Xtreme PW 2 100.00% 66.36% 0.04699 0.774 0.7974
Unity 12 33.33% -0.26% 0.98467 0.3124 0.8037
Unity: Freedom Six 1 0.00% -33.63% 0.47655 -0.0976 0.2273
Unity: Termi-Nation 2 50.00% 16.54% 0.62011 0.2424 0.3793
Visionary 7 28.57% -5.07% 0.77667 -0.1225 0.0066
Visionary: Dark 14 42.86% 9.19% 0.46703 0.0163 0.0439
Visionary: Unleashed 9 33.33% -0.41% 0.97935 0.213 0.2081
Wraith 23 43.48% 9.83% 0.31835 0.4014 0.5358
Wraith: Freedom Five 1 100.00% 66.19% 0.16174 0.1773 -0.0404
Wraith: Freedom Six 8 75.00% 41.35% 0.0133 0.9632 1.0843
Writhe 3 0.00% -33.64% 0.21747 -0.6554 -0.6628
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 6 50.00% 16.19% 0.40186 0.2636 -0.2963

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 3 66.67% 33.01% 0.22629 0.6101 0.3
Dok'Thorath Capital 1 0.00% -33.53% 0.47752 -0.3056 -0.0016
Fort Adamant 4 50.00% 16.31% 0.49007 0.0417 -0.1286
Freedom Tower 26 46.15% 12.27% 0.18604 -0.0816 -0.262
Insula Primalis 7 14.29% -19.35% 0.27854 -0.5335 0.0551
Madame Mittermeier's 6 33.33% -0.29% 0.988 0.1087 0.2843
Magmaria 6 83.33% 49.68% 0.01001 0.8391 0.7602
Megalopolis 2 50.00% 16.33% 0.62502 0.3939 0.6261
Mobile Defense Platform 15 26.67% -7.08% 0.56196 -0.3649 -0.4781
Mordengrad 30 16.67% -15.99% 0.0618 -0.4044 0.4275
Nexus of the Void 2 50.00% 15.86% 0.63616 -0.022 -0.545
Omnitron-IV 5 60.00% 26.49% 0.20942 0.442 0.879
Pike Industrial Complex 3 66.67% 33.03% 0.22587 0.73 0.9409
Realm of Discord 9 22.22% -11.53% 0.4644 -0.1907 -0.1415
Rook City 816 9.80% -20.77% 0.0 -0.4481 0.684
Ruins of Atlantis 6 16.67% -15.98% 0.40383 -0.2306 0.7933
Silver Gulch 1883 1 0.00% -33.59% 0.47692 -0.2339 0.2137
The Block 6 66.67% 32.91% 0.08819 0.5727 0.5446
The Celestial Tribunal 6 16.67% -16.93% 0.38007 -0.5242 -0.1988
The Court of Blood 2 100.00% 66.29% 0.04736 0.8189 0.8806
The Enclave of the Endlings 1 100.00% 66.18% 0.16186 0.4069 0.1999
The Final Wasteland 4 50.00% 16.01% 0.49907 0.1497 -0.2865
The Temple of Zhu Long 22 40.91% 7.15% 0.478 0.2228 -0.0196
Time Cataclysm 11 45.45% 11.82% 0.40685 0.3282 0.5089
Tomb of Anubis 2 50.00% 16.32% 0.62533 0.0223 0.2923

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 28 75.00% +42.47% 0.0
4 881 11.69% -21.94% 0.0
5 89 26.97% -6.82% 0.17368

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Villain Alternate Victory 148
Villain Alternate Defeat 510
Heroes Incapacitated 338
Environment Alternate Defeat 2

The Dreamer (Ultimate)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 8 25.00% -20.73% 0.2392 -0.2286 0.4985
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 6 50.00% 3.67% 0.85678 0.29 0.4917
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 4 25.00% -20.94% 0.40066 0.1046 0.5977
Akash'Thriya 6 50.00% 3.59% 0.86003 0.1441 -0.1209
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 10 40.00% -6.19% 0.69439 0.3604 -0.0673
Argent Adept 19 21.05% -24.98% 0.02891 -0.1691 0.2344
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 8 25.00% -21.08% 0.23163 -0.6106 -0.3339
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 22 45.45% -0.77% 0.94232 0.4975 0.5508
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 2 100.00% 53.84% 0.12671 0.4865 0.5566
Benchmark 47 19.15% -26.94% 0.00021 -0.7071 -0.7581
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 12 58.33% 12.11% 0.39999 0.6186 0.1232
Bunker 9 11.11% -34.64% 0.03698 -0.6265 0.1302
Bunker: Freedom Five 7 28.57% -17.62% 0.34985 0.3926 0.264
Bunker: G.I. 27 3.70% -41.98% 1e-05 -1.3736 -0.8306
Bunker: Termi-Nation 6 0.00% -42.51% 0.03517 -0.6278 -0.0557
Captain Cosmic 2 0.00% -45.94% 0.19232 -0.4637 0.186
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 3 0.00% -38.33% 0.17205 -0.8549 0.239
Captain Cosmic: Requital 5 80.00% 33.91% 0.12825 0.9556 0.9595
Chrono-Ranger 36 8.33% -37.90% 1e-05 -1.1899 -1.2206
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 13 7.69% -38.38% 0.00549 -0.4187 -0.2615
Dr. Medico 70 45.71% -0.64% 0.91474 0.6468 0.4988
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 8 25.00% -21.23% 0.22847 -0.2886 -0.2865
Expatriette 19 15.79% -30.15% 0.00836 -0.4946 0.0242
Expatriette: Dark Watch 12 58.33% 12.81% 0.37297 1.0209 1.3415
Fanatic 27 48.15% 2.07% 0.82923 0.5875 0.7397
Fanatic: Prime Warden 18 55.56% 9.76% 0.40598 0.7287 0.7063
Fanatic: Redeemer 32 43.75% -2.27% 0.79651 0.7232 0.8555
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 47 23.40% -20.13% 0.00538 0.1723 0.532
Guise 9 77.78% 31.76% 0.05595 1.0417 1.4581
Guise: Completionist 4 25.00% -20.91% 0.40138 -0.272 0.1693
Guise: Santa 5 40.00% -5.42% 0.80766 0.2722 0.5831
Haka 37 48.65% 2.56% 0.75431 0.6606 0.7768
Haka: Eternal 11 27.27% -18.90% 0.20861 -0.022 -0.0642
Haka: Prime Warden 10 50.00% 4.68% 0.76602 0.4868 0.5605
Haka: Xtreme PW 3 66.67% 20.59% 0.47437 0.4378 0.4671
Harpy 49 20.41% -25.67% 0.00031 -0.2557 0.0252
Harpy: Dark Watch 7 0.00% -45.64% 0.01533 -1.1882 -1.3198
Idealist 8 25.00% -20.81% 0.23741 -0.1863 0.1798
Idealist: Super Sentai 5 40.00% -6.05% 0.78623 -0.0707 0.2571
K.N.Y.F.E. 32 18.75% -27.34% 0.00192 -0.5791 -0.2224
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 12 25.00% -21.02% 0.14403 -0.3825 -0.1293
La Comodora 19 15.79% -30.42% 0.00781 -0.6917 -0.7251
La Comodora: Black Spot 16 18.75% -27.37% 0.0281 -0.5775 -0.7469
Legacy 187 31.55% -14.89% 4e-05 0.1645 -0.553
Legacy: Freedom Five 44 47.73% 0.87% 0.90804 0.5892 -0.398
Legacy: Greatest 73 42.47% -3.99% 0.49476 0.4967 -0.3136
Legacy: Young 23 8.70% -37.51% 0.00031 -0.8279 -1.429
Lifeline 31 25.81% -20.36% 0.023 0.0765 -0.0484
Lifeline: Blood Mage 1 0.00% -46.41% 0.3521 -0.0719 -0.4677
Luminary 33 24.24% -21.82% 0.01192 -0.5084 -0.4914
Luminary: Heroic 8 37.50% -8.69% 0.62199 -0.2111 -0.2165
Mainstay 9 33.33% -12.75% 0.44298 -0.1242 -0.1308
Mainstay: Road Warrior 1 100.00% 53.96% 0.27901 0.4704 0.7377
Mr. Fixer 56 30.36% -15.71% 0.01833 -0.2467 -0.03
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 7 42.86% -1.29% 0.94529 -0.0844 0.0696
Naturalist 14 7.14% -39.26% 0.00323 -0.9867 -1.1069
Naturalist: Hunted 26 26.92% -19.64% 0.04464 -0.1673 -0.5799
NightMist 12 41.67% -4.41% 0.75941 0.4422 0.6432
NightMist: Dark Watch 3 33.33% -9.06% 0.75075 0.0956 0.8798
Omnitron-X 45 33.33% -12.76% 0.08598 -0.1104 -0.1805
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 4 25.00% -21.19% 0.39518 -0.3495 -0.4534
Parse 24 20.83% -25.21% 0.01321 -0.3117 -0.0236
Parse: Fugue State 51 35.29% -11.02% 0.11436 -0.1798 -0.5095
Ra 104 25.00% -21.17% 1e-05 -0.5115 -0.3085
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 8 12.50% -33.54% 0.057 -0.864 -0.699
Ra: Setting Sun 2 0.00% -46.09% 0.19102 -0.4521 -0.6898
Scholar 47 40.43% -5.74% 0.42981 0.036 -0.1363
Scholar: Of the Infinite 8 37.50% -8.79% 0.61818 0.0739 -0.4554
Sentinels 12 41.67% -4.67% 0.74574 0.437 0.2449
Sentinels: Adamant 4 25.00% -21.56% 0.38733 0.0083 -0.5585
Setback 4 25.00% -20.84% 0.40287 0.3416 0.4979
Sky-Scraper 48 25.00% -21.08% 0.00339 0.6019 0.5063
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 6 50.00% 3.84% 0.85026 0.3737 0.0916
Stuntman 40 37.50% -8.58% 0.27625 0.2778 0.2695
Stuntman: Action Hero 25 48.00% 1.81% 0.85558 0.3294 -0.1565
Tachyon 4 0.00% -46.03% 0.06475 -0.385 -0.1283
Tachyon: Freedom Six 123 39.02% -7.99% 0.07573 0.2341 -0.4752
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 16 31.25% -15.11% 0.22549 -0.3192 -0.8759
Tempest 13 38.46% -7.91% 0.56743 0.2693 0.114
Tempest: Freedom Six 10 30.00% -14.24% 0.36467 0.0582 0.0655
Tempest: Prime Warden 24 45.83% -0.44% 0.9654 0.5703 0.4477
Tempest: Xtreme PW 10 40.00% -6.08% 0.69967 0.1939 0.2173
Unity 8 0.00% -46.02% 0.00901 -0.839 -0.3477
Unity: Freedom Six 3 0.00% -46.07% 0.10939 -0.7382 -0.4133
Unity: Termi-Nation 5 40.00% -5.84% 0.79333 0.4399 0.5768
Visionary 20 25.00% -21.08% 0.05859 -0.1645 -0.0355
Visionary: Dark 49 30.61% -15.51% 0.02937 -0.2659 -0.2382
Visionary: Unleashed 14 64.29% 18.06% 0.17525 1.4019 1.397
Wraith 38 18.42% -27.67% 0.00062 -0.5428 -0.4084
Wraith: Freedom Five 12 25.00% -21.32% 0.13865 -0.3701 -0.5879
Wraith: Freedom Six 11 9.09% -37.00% 0.01382 -0.5683 -0.4471
Wraith: Rook City 3 33.33% -12.75% 0.65775 0.2154 0.3611
Writhe 2 50.00% 3.91% 0.91162 0.0082 0.0008
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 58 24.14% -22.18% 0.0007 -0.1808 -0.7407

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 27 29.63% -16.48% 0.08588 -0.1199 -0.43
Dok'Thorath Capital 10 0.00% -45.94% 0.00356 -1.0367 -0.7327
Fort Adamant 9 55.56% 9.40% 0.57145 0.5901 0.4197
Freedom Tower 72 45.83% -0.58% 0.92127 0.5693 0.3889
Insula Primalis 24 25.00% -21.08% 0.0383 -0.2112 0.3774
Madame Mittermeier's 10 10.00% -36.06% 0.02215 -1.0199 -0.8443
Maerynian Refuge 28 28.57% -17.54% 0.06258 0.1494 -0.0275
Magmaria 14 28.57% -17.53% 0.18829 -0.2558 -0.3348
Megalopolis 16 31.25% -14.87% 0.23272 0.1423 0.3745
Mobile Defense Platform 39 43.59% -2.64% 0.74074 0.8277 0.7145
Mordengrad 3 66.67% 21.92% 0.44508 0.7717 1.6036
Nexus of the Void 12 41.67% -5.11% 0.72292 0.7167 0.1937
Omnitron-IV 2 50.00% 4.10% 0.90733 0.0352 0.4722
Pike Industrial Complex 4 75.00% 28.93% 0.24579 0.3977 0.6085
Realm of Discord 24 20.83% -25.41% 0.01254 -0.4391 -0.3899
Rook City 9 22.22% -19.76% 0.22975 -0.3084 0.8236
Ruins of Atlantis 7 28.57% -16.16% 0.38989 -0.1948 0.8291
Silver Gulch 1883 8 12.50% -33.52% 0.05713 -0.6047 -0.1571
The Block 22 27.27% -18.97% 0.0744 0.2127 0.1846
The Celestial Tribunal 48 22.92% -23.10% 0.00132 0.2328 0.5582
The Court of Blood 7 28.57% -17.61% 0.34997 0.1644 0.2261
The Enclave of the Endlings 8 25.00% -21.33% 0.22627 -0.1002 -0.3072
The Final Wasteland 17 17.65% -28.92% 0.01682 -0.6518 -1.088
The Temple of Zhu Long 16 50.00% 3.76% 0.76314 0.1988 -0.0436
Time Cataclysm 26 26.92% -19.16% 0.05001 -0.4619 -0.2812
Tomb of Anubis 6 16.67% -29.47% 0.14755 -0.4611 -0.1912
Wagner Mars Base 8 75.00% 28.88% 0.1013 0.7925 1.0607

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 94 39.36% -5.21% 0.30914
4 96 35.42% -10.65% 0.03629
5 288 29.17% -17.12% 0.0

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Villain Alternate Victory 155
Villain Alternate Defeat 180
Heroes Incapacitated 132
Environment Alternate Defeat 11

Notes

Deviation

The difference between the actual win rate of this combination of elements and the win rates of each of those elements on their own, averaged. A positive value means that this combination results in a win more often than would be expected.

Chi-Square p-value

This is the significance value of a χ² test comparing the observed data and expected value. In most cases, this expected value is the mean of the win rates of each element. For team position, the expected value is an equal likelihood of winning in all positions. Lower p-values (no greater than 0.01) mean a greater likelihood that the difference is meaningful and not due to chance.

Logistic Regression Coefficient

Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game, considering only games when 272 is present. The number on the right compares this model to the global one (counting all games); positive numbers suggests that this hero/villain/environment results in a win more often when 272 is present than otherwise, and vice-versa.