The Chairman

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 302 49.01% -20.85% 0.0 -1.0104 -0.2833
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 128 88.28% 15.95% 5e-05 0.5926 0.7943
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 74 72.97% 2.32% 0.6617 -0.2053 0.2878
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 19 52.63% -14.79% 0.16902 -1.063 -0.2712
Akash'Thriya 245 73.47% 0.72% 0.801 0.2743 0.0093
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 76 90.79% 19.07% 0.00022 1.0764 0.6487
Argent Adept 291 72.85% 1.82% 0.49257 0.0582 0.4617
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 66 75.76% 4.54% 0.41564 0.2403 0.517
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 152 83.55% 11.70% 0.00134 0.3622 0.4154
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 73 72.60% 1.02% 0.84642 -0.0466 0.0235
Benchmark 199 71.36% 0.11% 0.97386 -0.0725 -0.1235
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 169 89.94% 18.11% 0.0 1.1213 0.6259
Bunker 255 53.73% -16.21% 0.0 -0.4181 0.3386
Bunker: Freedom Five 114 85.09% 13.40% 0.00149 0.5948 0.4662
Bunker: Freedom Six 32 65.62% -2.94% 0.71988 -0.2381 0.2759
Bunker: G.I. 66 68.18% -1.52% 0.78837 -0.1848 0.3581
Bunker: Termi-Nation 11 63.64% 2.17% 0.88219 -0.049 0.5232
Captain Cosmic 146 39.73% -30.93% 0.0 -1.306 -0.6564
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 45 57.78% 3.87% 0.60249 -0.2202 0.8737
Captain Cosmic: Requital 43 79.07% 7.80% 0.25853 0.4253 0.4291
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 49 83.67% 12.45% 0.0543 -0.3086 -0.0662
Chrono-Ranger 589 68.42% -3.49% 0.05938 -0.3568 -0.3874
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 95 70.53% -0.68% 0.88336 -0.1733 -0.0161
Dr. Medico 504 71.43% -1.03% 0.60387 -0.1558 -0.3038
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 66 78.79% 6.91% 0.21151 0.0782 0.0802
Expatriette 698 60.03% -10.61% 0.0 -0.2718 0.2469
Expatriette: Dark Watch 725 34.34% -34.80% 0.0 0.1661 0.4867
Fanatic 299 65.55% -5.66% 0.03052 -0.405 -0.2528
Fanatic: Prime Warden 69 75.36% 5.26% 0.33987 0.2754 0.2531
Fanatic: Redeemer 74 45.95% -25.03% 0.0 -1.0176 -0.8853
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 26 88.46% 24.76% 0.00865 0.8331 1.1929
Guise 124 54.03% -16.95% 3e-05 -0.6593 -0.2429
Guise: Completionist 20 50.00% -20.53% 0.04406 -0.2803 0.161
Guise: Santa 56 85.71% 16.92% 0.00627 1.0147 1.3256
Haka 623 78.65% 7.42% 4e-05 0.5619 0.6781
Haka: Eternal 153 85.62% 14.00% 0.00012 0.7548 0.7126
Haka: Prime Warden 84 83.33% 14.88% 0.00333 0.8122 0.8859
Haka: Xtreme PW 78 80.77% 9.55% 0.06237 0.3791 0.4084
Harpy 125 57.60% -13.62% 0.00077 -0.2692 0.0117
Harpy: Dark Watch 150 74.67% 5.12% 0.17324 0.2979 0.1663
Idealist 193 59.59% -10.57% 0.00132 -0.4939 -0.1278
Idealist: Super Sentai 51 72.55% 1.47% 0.8164 0.1502 0.4779
K.N.Y.F.E. 195 65.64% -5.60% 0.08392 -0.2251 0.1316
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 116 77.59% 6.62% 0.11648 -0.1225 0.1308
La Comodora 585 76.75% 4.95% 0.00785 0.0793 0.0459
La Comodora: Black Spot 90 80.00% 8.63% 0.07023 0.3786 0.2092
Legacy 1994 83.85% 10.92% 0.0 1.2549 0.5375
Legacy: Freedom Five 380 86.58% 10.78% 0.0 0.9411 -0.0461
Legacy: Greatest 450 87.11% 14.14% 0.0 1.0703 0.26
Legacy: Young 614 73.45% 1.70% 0.35043 0.3009 -0.3002
Lifeline 244 72.54% 0.97% 0.73697 0.2028 0.078
Lifeline: Blood Mage 140 92.14% 19.41% 0.0 1.137 0.7413
Luminary 214 70.56% -0.57% 0.85327 -0.0657 -0.0487
Luminary: Heroic 128 78.12% 6.43% 0.10653 -0.1887 -0.1942
Mainstay 182 60.44% -10.78% 0.00132 -0.3768 -0.3834
Mainstay: Road Warrior 46 71.74% 0.68% 0.91941 -0.0505 0.2168
Mr. Fixer 1182 58.29% -12.88% 0.0 -0.5625 -0.3458
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 707 32.11% -33.06% 0.0 0.3526 0.5066
Naturalist 340 82.94% 10.24% 2e-05 0.8876 0.7674
Naturalist: Hunted 219 85.84% 12.22% 4e-05 0.4884 0.0759
NightMist 788 71.45% 0.25% 0.8747 -0.0826 0.1183
NightMist: Dark Watch 562 21.17% -40.05% 0.0 -0.8351 -0.0508
Omnitron-X 685 82.63% 11.36% 0.0 0.8 0.7299
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 229 79.48% 7.76% 0.00914 0.6839 0.58
Parse 646 71.67% 0.59% 0.73968 -0.1626 0.1255
Parse: Fugue State 262 85.88% 13.58% 0.0 0.7303 0.4007
Ra 828 75.00% 3.39% 0.0307 0.0922 0.2953
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 52 80.77% 9.72% 0.12237 0.5266 0.6916
Ra: Setting Sun 165 87.27% 16.02% 1e-05 0.9035 0.6658
Scholar 546 75.82% 4.23% 0.02837 0.2723 0.0999
Scholar: Of the Infinite 89 86.52% 14.37% 0.00249 0.7586 0.2293
Sentinels 346 76.59% 4.22% 0.07934 0.404 0.2119
Sentinels: Adamant 109 88.99% 15.40% 0.00026 0.8602 0.2933
Setback 576 36.46% -33.81% 0.0 0.2258 0.3821
Setback: Dark Watch 59 64.41% 2.19% 0.72813 -0.5056 0.2385
Sky-Scraper 245 65.71% -5.51% 0.05701 0.168 0.0723
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 130 74.62% 3.06% 0.43919 0.4495 0.1674
Stuntman 327 73.70% 2.48% 0.32262 0.3812 0.3729
Stuntman: Action Hero 180 88.89% 17.21% 0.0 1.2728 0.7868
Tachyon 302 53.97% -17.03% 0.0 -0.4635 -0.2067
Tachyon: Freedom Five 40 82.50% 10.83% 0.12846 0.1991 0.1397
Tachyon: Freedom Six 1020 87.65% 9.18% 0.0 0.7086 -0.0006
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 478 87.66% 15.15% 0.0 0.7118 0.1551
Tempest 1645 82.31% 9.76% 0.0 0.4703 0.315
Tempest: Freedom Six 58 60.34% -5.06% 0.41806 -0.4502 -0.4429
Tempest: Prime Warden 82 80.49% 8.40% 0.08988 0.3091 0.1866
Tempest: Xtreme PW 155 67.10% -4.13% 0.25648 0.0743 0.0977
Unity 797 68.76% -2.22% 0.16685 -0.6588 -0.1675
Unity: Freedom Six 42 57.14% -14.04% 0.04446 -0.3252 -0.0002
Unity: Termi-Nation 85 82.35% 12.10% 0.0147 0.683 0.8199
Visionary 358 67.04% -4.18% 0.08073 -0.0364 0.0926
Visionary: Dark 229 80.35% 8.93% 0.00278 0.3251 0.3528
Visionary: Unleashed 163 76.69% 4.84% 0.16956 0.0407 0.0358
Wraith 1089 67.40% -3.88% 0.0047 0.0707 0.2051
Wraith: Freedom Five 140 82.14% 9.86% 0.00914 0.4677 0.2499
Wraith: Freedom Six 181 72.38% 1.11% 0.74218 0.3499 0.4711
Wraith: Rook City 66 51.52% -19.72% 0.0004 -0.4591 -0.3134
Writhe 138 60.87% -10.38% 0.00704 -0.0033 -0.0107
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 122 82.79% 10.49% 0.00962 0.3642 -0.1957

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 131 87.02% 15.69% 7e-05 0.8686 0.5586
Dok'Thorath Capital 106 78.30% 7.66% 0.08334 0.3106 0.6147
Fort Adamant 119 79.83% 8.30% 0.04469 0.2933 0.123
Freedom Tower 300 81.67% 8.89% 0.00054 0.1163 -0.0641
Insula Primalis 342 71.93% 0.72% 0.77008 -0.4197 0.169
Madame Mittermeier's 54 74.07% 2.93% 0.63418 -0.4699 -0.2944
Maerynian Refuge 154 80.52% 9.15% 0.01197 0.8224 0.6454
Magmaria 84 78.57% 7.27% 0.14068 0.2787 0.1997
Megalopolis 269 57.62% -13.78% 0.0 -0.871 -0.6388
Mobile Defense Platform 187 79.14% 7.26% 0.02722 -0.0277 -0.1408
Mordengrad 75 76.00% 9.25% 0.08916 -0.278 0.5539
Nexus of the Void 126 90.48% 15.43% 6e-05 1.2045 0.6815
Omnitron-IV 88 65.91% -4.58% 0.34639 -0.9329 -0.4959
Pike Industrial Complex 545 66.79% -4.40% 0.0232 -0.3606 -0.1498
Realm of Discord 106 72.64% 0.71% 0.87071 -0.3368 -0.2876
Rook City 1469 41.25% -19.13% 0.0 -1.2474 -0.1154
Ruins of Atlantis 124 53.23% -13.49% 0.00144 -1.2942 -0.2703
Silver Gulch 1883 357 73.39% 2.41% 0.31498 -0.319 0.1287
The Block 281 85.05% 13.14% 0.0 0.4625 0.4344
The Celestial Tribunal 113 62.83% -8.13% 0.05696 -0.8661 -0.5407
The Court of Blood 93 83.87% 12.20% 0.009 0.4528 0.5145
The Enclave of the Endlings 164 87.20% 14.83% 2e-05 0.8422 0.6352
The Final Wasteland 262 88.17% 14.53% 0.0 0.965 0.5289
The Temple of Zhu Long 611 79.05% 7.11% 9e-05 0.7831 0.5407
Time Cataclysm 149 85.91% 14.68% 8e-05 0.3267 0.5074
Tomb of Anubis 119 57.14% -14.34% 0.00053 -0.5855 -0.3155
Wagner Mars Base 118 71.19% -0.21% 0.96018 -0.3661 -0.0979

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 685 30.36% -35.93% 0.0
4 2073 55.28% -15.89% 0.0
5 3923 81.26% +9.12% 0.0

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Villain Alternate Victory 932
Heroes Incapacitated 2065
Villain Destroyed 3610
Environment Alternate Defeat 74

The Chairman (Advanced)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 7 14.29% -58.09% 0.00059 -1.6042 -0.8771
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 24 62.50% -14.26% 0.09807 -0.3706 -0.1689
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 1 0.00% -73.52% 0.09564 -0.5596 -0.0665
Akash'Thriya 12 83.33% 3.77% 0.74609 -0.024 -0.289
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 9 88.89% 13.56% 0.34523 0.2973 -0.1305
Argent Adept 2 100.00% 25.90% 0.40315 0.1395 0.543
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 1 100.00% 25.58% 0.55774 0.1247 0.4014
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 13 100.00% 24.41% 0.04049 1.0815 1.1348
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 1 0.00% -75.06% 0.08275 -0.3171 -0.247
Benchmark 5 100.00% 25.52% 0.19053 0.6061 0.5551
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 9 88.89% 13.33% 0.35207 0.1036 -0.3918
Bunker 1 100.00% 27.52% 0.53778 0.0223 0.7791
Bunker: Freedom Five 11 72.73% -2.54% 0.84537 -0.5518 -0.6804
Bunker: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 29.32% 0.51957 0.4339 0.9479
Bunker: G.I. 15 66.67% -5.49% 0.63529 -0.4874 0.0556
Captain Cosmic 3 100.00% 26.47% 0.29868 0.5962 1.2458
Captain Cosmic: Requital 2 100.00% 25.49% 0.40819 0.2811 0.285
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 6 100.00% 25.56% 0.15115 0.6895 0.9319
Chrono-Ranger 15 86.67% 10.94% 0.32304 0.2652 0.2346
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 10 70.00% -4.40% 0.74973 -0.2649 -0.1077
Dr. Medico 39 74.36% -2.82% 0.67482 -0.1891 -0.3371
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 2 100.00% 24.36% 0.42227 0.1231 0.1251
Expatriette 31 70.97% -2.53% 0.74928 0.3052 0.8239
Expatriette: Dark Watch 28 32.14% -39.27% 0.0 -0.3666 -0.046
Fanatic 6 66.67% -7.75% 0.66353 -0.1959 -0.0437
Fanatic: Prime Warden 25 80.00% 7.29% 0.4133 0.6208 0.5984
Guise 13 92.31% 18.28% 0.13279 0.5186 0.935
Guise: Completionist 3 100.00% 26.67% 0.29619 0.4904 0.9317
Haka 36 80.56% 6.10% 0.401 0.0643 0.1805
Haka: Eternal 5 60.00% -15.14% 0.43339 -0.7916 -0.8338
Haka: Prime Warden 6 83.33% 12.79% 0.49177 0.2723 0.346
Haka: Xtreme PW 2 50.00% -24.41% 0.42878 -0.1275 -0.0982
Harpy 1 100.00% 25.57% 0.55774 0.2205 0.5014
Harpy: Dark Watch 18 72.22% 0.27% 0.97969 -0.6004 -0.732
Idealist 6 66.67% -6.13% 0.73592 -0.2925 0.0736
Idealist: Super Sentai 6 66.67% -7.51% 0.67405 -0.3598 -0.032
K.N.Y.F.E. 8 62.50% -11.96% 0.43782 -0.4598 -0.1032
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 4 100.00% 25.99% 0.23597 0.1952 0.4484
La Comodora 12 75.00% -0.51% 0.96753 -0.3111 -0.3445
La Comodora: Black Spot 5 100.00% 25.31% 0.19302 0.8158 0.6464
Legacy 103 79.61% -1.01% 0.79582 0.2497 -0.4677
Legacy: Freedom Five 43 76.74% -7.72% 0.16245 0.7676 -0.2196
Legacy: Greatest 39 82.05% 1.28% 0.8389 0.7198 -0.0905
Legacy: Young 15 73.33% -2.07% 0.8523 0.369 -0.2321
Lifeline 11 81.82% 6.77% 0.60373 0.1585 0.0337
Lifeline: Blood Mage 9 100.00% 20.79% 0.12431 0.5258 0.1301
Luminary 13 61.54% -12.74% 0.29333 -0.3809 -0.3639
Luminary: Heroic 6 83.33% 8.04% 0.64782 -0.3502 -0.3557
Mainstay 9 88.89% 14.46% 0.31992 0.0675 0.061
Mainstay: Road Warrior 4 75.00% 0.84% 0.96942 -0.0756 0.1916
Mr. Fixer 59 66.10% -8.24% 0.14702 -0.1673 0.0495
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 36 41.67% -25.02% 0.00145 -0.3996 -0.2456
Naturalist 11 63.64% -14.75% 0.23444 -0.2316 -0.3518
Naturalist: Hunted 10 80.00% -2.29% 0.84987 -0.0248 -0.4373
NightMist 2 0.00% -74.38% 0.01598 -0.6339 -0.433
NightMist: Dark Watch 27 33.33% -29.04% 0.00184 -0.0993 0.685
Omnitron-X 23 65.22% -9.29% 0.30652 -0.703 -0.7731
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 4 75.00% -0.33% 0.98788 0.0653 -0.0387
Parse 10 70.00% -4.19% 0.76217 -0.0833 0.2048
Parse: Fugue State 15 100.00% 23.34% 0.03258 1.2429 0.9133
Ra 41 70.73% -4.39% 0.51506 -0.534 -0.331
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 2 50.00% -24.15% 0.43545 -0.3542 -0.1893
Ra: Setting Sun 10 70.00% -4.47% 0.74551 -0.273 -0.5107
Scholar 20 90.00% 14.91% 0.12308 0.8376 0.6653
Scholar: Of the Infinite 6 83.33% 7.08% 0.6837 -0.0215 -0.5508
Sentinels 8 75.00% -1.88% 0.89936 -0.0041 -0.1962
Sentinels: Adamant 7 100.00% 17.78% 0.21857 0.7632 0.1964
Setback 37 37.84% -35.10% 0.0 -0.5508 -0.3945
Setback: Dark Watch 2 50.00% -13.44% 0.69305 -0.3124 0.4317
Sky-Scraper 3 66.67% -7.75% 0.75819 -0.0114 -0.1071
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 11 100.00% 24.99% 0.05561 1.1465 0.8644
Stuntman 14 85.71% 11.28% 0.33311 0.5271 0.5188
Stuntman: Action Hero 22 90.91% 15.66% 0.08869 0.7525 0.2665
Tachyon 6 100.00% 25.94% 0.14719 0.7742 1.0309
Tachyon: Freedom Five 5 40.00% -35.23% 0.06799 -0.6606 -0.72
Tachyon: Freedom Six 80 81.25% -4.08% 0.30202 0.4349 -0.2744
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 21 100.00% 22.67% 0.01309 1.4466 0.8899
Tempest 59 86.44% 8.91% 0.1011 0.7197 0.5644
Tempest: Freedom Six 3 100.00% 33.05% 0.22364 0.1438 0.1511
Tempest: Prime Warden 24 66.67% -9.45% 0.27743 -1.0983 -1.2209
Tempest: Xtreme PW 8 50.00% -24.43% 0.11326 -0.7071 -0.6837
Unity 5 60.00% -14.03% 0.4744 -0.3767 0.1147
Unity: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 25.63% 0.55714 0.0562 0.3812
Unity: Termi-Nation 3 100.00% 27.07% 0.29132 0.2889 0.4257
Visionary 15 93.33% 18.91% 0.09317 0.7033 0.8323
Visionary: Dark 14 85.71% 10.95% 0.34563 0.6918 0.7195
Visionary: Unleashed 6 50.00% -25.59% 0.14446 -0.813 -0.8179
Wraith 35 77.14% 2.62% 0.72181 -0.2085 -0.0741
Wraith: Freedom Five 11 90.91% 14.29% 0.26286 0.9558 0.738
Wraith: Freedom Six 2 100.00% 25.49% 0.4081 0.1869 0.308
Wraith: Rook City 9 66.67% -7.78% 0.59268 -0.4044 -0.2587
Writhe 6 83.33% 8.86% 0.6188 0.3501 0.3427
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 6 100.00% 23.34% 0.17651 0.5299 -0.03

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 18 88.89% 14.27% 0.16406 0.7207 0.4107
Dok'Thorath Capital 7 85.71% 12.21% 0.46405 0.1859 0.4899
Fort Adamant 8 87.50% 12.54% 0.41309 0.2535 0.0831
Freedom Tower 22 86.36% 6.57% 0.44256 0.3569 0.1765
Insula Primalis 20 65.00% -9.41% 0.33468 -0.5693 0.0193
Madame Mittermeier's 2 50.00% -24.29% 0.4319 -0.0013 0.1743
Maerynian Refuge 9 88.89% 14.22% 0.32677 0.5079 0.331
Magmaria 3 33.33% -41.23% 0.10111 -0.1636 -0.2425
Megalopolis 8 87.50% 12.77% 0.40603 0.1221 0.3543
Mobile Defense Platform 8 87.50% 11.83% 0.43539 0.4584 0.3452
Nexus of the Void 7 71.43% -12.50% 0.36773 -0.1387 -0.6617
Omnitron-IV 2 100.00% 26.73% 0.39298 0.4591 0.8961
Pike Industrial Complex 27 59.26% -15.12% 0.07196 -0.6998 -0.4889
Realm of Discord 2 50.00% -25.77% 0.39508 -0.1887 -0.1395
Rook City 56 57.14% -4.34% 0.50477 0.1178 1.2498
Ruins of Atlantis 4 100.00% 31.55% 0.17454 0.2829 1.3068
Silver Gulch 1883 11 90.91% 16.89% 0.20148 0.3253 0.773
The Block 16 81.25% 5.52% 0.60658 -0.3388 -0.3668
The Celestial Tribunal 4 75.00% 1.00% 0.96351 -0.1771 0.1483
The Court of Blood 7 71.43% -3.80% 0.81595 0.1131 0.1747
The Enclave of the Endlings 6 66.67% -10.19% 0.55376 -0.1407 -0.3477
The Final Wasteland 8 75.00% -7.30% 0.58831 -0.4318 -0.868
The Temple of Zhu Long 11 90.91% 15.12% 0.24172 0.5071 0.2647
Time Cataclysm 19 68.42% -6.01% 0.54781 -0.3927 -0.212
Tomb of Anubis 5 60.00% -14.88% 0.44313 -0.3327 -0.0627
Wagner Mars Base 9 77.78% 3.05% 0.83304 0.1055 0.3737

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 13 53.85% -14.12% 0.27537
4 119 60.50% -13.83% 0.00055
5 170 82.35% +6.09% 0.06186

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Villain Alternate Victory 71
Heroes Incapacitated 83
Villain Destroyed 148

The Chairman (Challenge)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 10 100.00% 17.42% 0.14642 0.4153 1.1424
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 5 40.00% -46.25% 0.00268 -0.7512 -0.5495
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 15.80% 0.66486 0.0879 0.581
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 4 25.00% -47.86% 0.03134 -1.1462 -0.3544
Akash'Thriya 8 75.00% -11.62% 0.33456 -0.2891 -0.5541
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 14 100.00% 14.38% 0.12516 0.7338 0.306
Argent Adept 14 100.00% 15.24% 0.11258 0.622 1.0255
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 3 100.00% 14.98% 0.46721 0.2393 0.5159
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 13 100.00% 14.24% 0.14183 0.7513 0.8045
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 2 50.00% -35.46% 0.15477 -0.4614 -0.3913
Benchmark 4 100.00% 14.94% 0.40193 0.2425 0.1915
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 5 80.00% -5.75% 0.71326 -0.1206 -0.616
Bunker 8 87.50% 4.72% 0.7238 0.2746 1.0313
Bunker: Freedom Five 5 100.00% 14.42% 0.35877 0.5596 0.431
Bunker: Freedom Six 2 100.00% 24.54% 0.41998 0.1049 0.6189
Bunker: G.I. 1 100.00% 17.86% 0.64103 0.1595 0.7025
Bunker: Termi-Nation 1 100.00% 35.52% 0.45793 0.0443 0.6165
Captain Cosmic 1 100.00% 15.80% 0.66493 0.041 0.6907
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 2 50.00% -5.92% 0.86619 -0.2224 0.8715
Captain Cosmic: Requital 1 100.00% 14.91% 0.67549 0.0826 0.0865
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 3 33.33% -51.70% 0.01208 -0.5425 -0.3001
Chrono-Ranger 15 73.33% -12.50% 0.16516 -0.8316 -0.8622
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 5 40.00% -45.00% 0.00483 -0.8014 -0.6441
Dr. Medico 54 88.89% 2.52% 0.58874 0.0769 -0.0711
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 3 33.33% -52.46% 0.00927 -0.376 -0.3739
Expatriette 10 90.00% 5.82% 0.61378 0.1991 0.7178
Expatriette: Dark Watch 5 80.00% 2.04% 0.91241 -0.2306 0.09
Fanatic 1 100.00% 14.99% 0.67459 0.0374 0.1895
Fanatic: Prime Warden 6 33.33% -49.83% 0.00111 -1.0926 -1.115
Fanatic: Redeemer 2 100.00% 15.31% 0.54764 0.2493 0.3817
Guise 1 100.00% 15.31% 0.67071 0.0638 0.4802
Guise: Completionist 2 100.00% 16.02% 0.5368 0.2447 0.686
Guise: Santa 7 57.14% -19.04% 0.23703 -0.4473 -0.1364
Haka 24 95.83% 10.79% 0.13823 0.355 0.4712
Haka: Eternal 5 100.00% 14.49% 0.35736 0.3542 0.312
Haka: Prime Warden 5 100.00% 24.87% 0.1983 0.2211 0.2949
Haka: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 14.99% 0.67457 0.1438 0.1731
Harpy 1 100.00% 14.98% 0.67468 0.0711 0.3519
Harpy: Dark Watch 8 87.50% 5.86% 0.66875 0.1997 0.0681
Idealist 25 88.00% 4.71% 0.52751 -0.0683 0.2978
Idealist: Super Sentai 3 100.00% 15.18% 0.46379 0.2096 0.5374
K.N.Y.F.E. 5 80.00% -5.05% 0.75152 -0.2608 0.0959
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 8 87.50% 2.82% 0.82461 0.2724 0.5257
La Comodora 10 100.00% 14.28% 0.19677 0.455 0.4216
La Comodora: Black Spot 5 100.00% 14.78% 0.35166 0.1744 0.005
Legacy 75 90.67% 3.91% 0.31823 0.2787 -0.4388
Legacy: Freedom Five 20 95.00% 6.66% 0.35337 0.7778 -0.2094
Legacy: Greatest 16 100.00% 13.21% 0.11867 0.7474 -0.0629
Legacy: Young 21 90.48% 4.81% 0.52907 0.5902 -0.0108
Lifeline 29 100.00% 14.55% 0.02629 0.9215 0.7966
Lifeline: Blood Mage 7 100.00% 13.40% 0.298 0.5326 0.1369
Luminary 11 100.00% 15.10% 0.16196 0.6073 0.6243
Luminary: Heroic 3 100.00% 14.40% 0.47743 0.2194 0.2139
Mainstay 24 87.50% 2.48% 0.73353 -0.1014 -0.108
Mainstay: Road Warrior 3 100.00% 15.19% 0.46349 0.2385 0.5058
Mr. Fixer 32 87.50% 2.54% 0.68764 -0.0114 0.2053
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 6 100.00% 30.73% 0.10276 0.6101 0.7641
Naturalist 7 100.00% 13.43% 0.29737 0.3541 0.2339
Naturalist: Hunted 7 100.00% 12.74% 0.31213 0.3446 -0.068
NightMist 4 50.00% -34.98% 0.05018 -0.8862 -0.6852
NightMist: Dark Watch 3 33.33% -30.85% 0.265 -0.4274 0.3568
Omnitron-X 28 89.29% 4.20% 0.53266 0.4302 0.3601
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 6 66.67% -18.95% 0.1858 -0.2199 -0.3238
Parse 34 91.18% 6.35% 0.30225 0.1174 0.4055
Parse: Fugue State 11 90.91% 4.70% 0.6513 0.1113 -0.2184
Ra 26 96.15% 10.65% 0.12293 0.5709 0.774
Ra: Setting Sun 6 66.67% -18.39% 0.20632 -0.7224 -0.9601
Scholar 27 77.78% -7.70% 0.25605 -0.5706 -0.7429
Scholar: Of the Infinite 2 100.00% 13.94% 0.56931 0.2234 -0.3059
Sentinels 9 88.89% 2.61% 0.82023 -0.0108 -0.2029
Sentinels: Adamant 4 50.00% -37.24% 0.02561 -0.5499 -1.1167
Setback 4 50.00% -33.50% 0.07114 -0.825 -0.6688
Setback: Dark Watch 3 100.00% 34.61% 0.20765 0.4414 1.1854
Sky-Scraper 2 100.00% 14.98% 0.55274 0.1658 0.0701
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 5 40.00% -45.43% 0.00398 -1.0984 -1.3805
Stuntman 19 100.00% 14.98% 0.06735 0.777 0.7686
Stuntman: Action Hero 8 100.00% 14.43% 0.2455 0.3956 -0.0903
Tachyon 10 80.00% -4.72% 0.67802 -0.3912 -0.1345
Tachyon: Freedom Five 5 80.00% -5.57% 0.72326 -0.0392 -0.0986
Tachyon: Freedom Six 56 91.07% 2.20% 0.60082 0.4086 -0.3006
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 11 90.91% 4.51% 0.66268 0.1541 -0.4026
Tempest 51 92.16% 5.71% 0.23341 0.163 0.0077
Tempest: Freedom Six 2 50.00% -19.60% 0.54675 -0.3732 -0.3659
Tempest: Prime Warden 17 88.24% 2.23% 0.79127 -0.1834 -0.306
Tempest: Xtreme PW 1 0.00% -85.02% 0.01719 -0.5015 -0.4781
Unity 6 100.00% 15.31% 0.29768 0.2776 0.7689
Unity: Freedom Six 2 50.00% -34.98% 0.16626 -0.3006 0.0243
Unity: Termi-Nation 3 66.67% -16.81% 0.43293 0.0188 0.1557
Visionary 8 100.00% 14.98% 0.23507 0.4566 0.5856
Visionary: Dark 21 90.48% 5.21% 0.5008 0.2208 0.2485
Visionary: Unleashed 6 83.33% -2.43% 0.86478 -0.0716 -0.0766
Wraith 23 91.30% 6.21% 0.40296 -0.0834 0.051
Wraith: Freedom Five 10 60.00% -26.20% 0.01631 -0.7844 -1.0021
Wraith: Rook City 4 50.00% -35.04% 0.04949 -0.6841 -0.5384
Writhe 24 87.50% 2.44% 0.73746 -0.3411 -0.3485
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 7 57.14% -29.07% 0.0257 -0.7054 -1.2653

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 13 76.92% -8.24% 0.40332 -0.3899 -0.7
Dok'Thorath Capital 4 75.00% -9.17% 0.61513 0.0841 0.3882
Fort Adamant 5 80.00% -5.40% 0.73233 -0.3284 -0.4988
Freedom Tower 15 93.33% 6.70% 0.44581 0.3422 0.1618
Insula Primalis 6 100.00% 14.99% 0.3037 0.4282 1.0168
Madame Mittermeier's 4 25.00% -59.91% 0.00081 -1.0434 -0.8679
Maerynian Refuge 8 100.00% 14.80% 0.23855 0.4645 0.2876
Magmaria 6 83.33% -1.79% 0.90201 -0.0751 -0.1541
Megalopolis 8 87.50% 2.25% 0.85745 0.0915 0.3237
Mobile Defense Platform 4 75.00% -10.80% 0.53599 -0.1063 -0.2195
Mordengrad 4 75.00% 3.31% 0.88301 -0.2085 0.6234
Nexus of the Void 17 100.00% 11.96% 0.12861 0.597 0.074
Omnitron-IV 1 0.00% -83.91% 0.02238 -0.4491 -0.0122
Pike Industrial Complex 8 100.00% 15.02% 0.23445 0.466 0.6768
Realm of Discord 25 84.00% -1.85% 0.79068 -0.3782 -0.329
Rook City 9 66.67% 3.48% 0.82867 -0.9871 0.1449
Ruins of Atlantis 6 50.00% -21.62% 0.24018 -1.0602 -0.0363
Silver Gulch 1883 3 100.00% 15.32% 0.46137 0.1595 0.6071
The Block 6 100.00% 14.17% 0.31965 0.2289 0.2009
The Celestial Tribunal 1 0.00% -84.66% 0.0188 -0.3062 0.0192
The Court of Blood 7 100.00% 14.44% 0.27711 0.2985 0.3602
The Enclave of the Endlings 22 100.00% 13.72% 0.06138 0.8503 0.6433
The Final Wasteland 34 91.18% 3.91% 0.49447 0.3265 -0.1096
The Temple of Zhu Long 9 100.00% 14.14% 0.22344 0.5958 0.3534
Time Cataclysm 2 100.00% 14.97% 0.55291 0.1752 0.3559
Tomb of Anubis 4 75.00% -10.34% 0.5586 -0.0491 0.2209
Wagner Mars Base 2 50.00% -35.24% 0.16 -0.422 -0.1538

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 8 50.00% -20.94% 0.19219
4 111 90.99% +6.04% 0.07513
5 121 86.78% +0.71% 0.82131

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Villain Alternate Victory 47
Heroes Incapacitated 27
Villain Destroyed 163
Environment Alternate Defeat 3

The Chairman (Ultimate)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 5 80.00% 5.11% 0.79217 0.0734 0.8005
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 16 68.75% -14.99% 0.1041 -0.7488 -0.5471
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 4 50.00% -27.25% 0.19355 -0.4849 0.0082
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 18 33.33% -37.47% 0.00047 -0.9138 -0.1219
Akash'Thriya 9 100.00% 15.71% 0.19532 0.6342 0.3692
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 9 77.78% -4.93% 0.69554 0.0091 -0.4187
Argent Adept 22 86.36% 5.63% 0.50335 -0.0013 0.4021
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 4 75.00% -6.48% 0.73862 0.1435 0.4201
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 21 100.00% 17.04% 0.03784 0.9162 0.9694
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 2 50.00% -32.42% 0.22829 -0.1703 -0.1002
Benchmark 4 100.00% 18.42% 0.34188 0.1522 0.1012
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 22 90.91% 7.98% 0.32007 0.5317 0.0363
Bunker 5 40.00% -35.07% 0.06988 -0.8778 -0.1211
Bunker: Freedom Five 11 81.82% -0.83% 0.94203 -0.3211 -0.4497
Bunker: Freedom Six 2 0.00% -72.52% 0.02161 -0.4414 0.0726
Bunker: G.I. 3 100.00% 25.45% 0.31157 0.1962 0.7391
Bunker: Termi-Nation 2 50.00% -13.49% 0.69197 -0.1837 0.3885
Captain Cosmic 3 100.00% 22.73% 0.34749 0.4249 1.0746
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 2 50.00% -5.28% 0.88061 -0.132 0.9619
Captain Cosmic: Requital 4 100.00% 18.36% 0.34293 0.3055 0.3094
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 3 66.67% -14.84% 0.50809 -0.0142 0.2282
Chrono-Ranger 17 82.35% -0.73% 0.9364 -0.2113 -0.242
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 5 60.00% -21.44% 0.21761 -0.4452 -0.2879
Dr. Medico 38 94.74% 10.81% 0.06955 0.6716 0.5236
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 8 87.50% 4.49% 0.73513 0.0179 0.0199
Expatriette 12 91.67% 14.48% 0.23193 0.408 0.9267
Expatriette: Dark Watch 54 92.59% 19.11% 0.00147 0.5311 0.8517
Fanatic 11 72.73% -8.74% 0.45585 -0.0068 0.1453
Fanatic: Prime Warden 12 75.00% -0.46% 0.97028 -0.1564 -0.1788
Fanatic: Redeemer 4 25.00% -55.49% 0.0051 -0.603 -0.4707
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 6 83.33% 17.26% 0.37179 0.0921 0.4518
Guise 3 100.00% 19.51% 0.39384 0.1801 0.5965
Guise: Completionist 4 75.00% -1.72% 0.93519 -0.0571 0.3842
Guise: Santa 2 100.00% 27.12% 0.38833 0.2848 0.5957
Haka 27 77.78% -3.75% 0.61542 -0.3975 -0.2813
Haka: Eternal 16 87.50% 4.98% 0.59964 0.0934 0.0512
Haka: Prime Warden 5 100.00% 27.67% 0.16667 0.5377 0.6114
Haka: Xtreme PW 5 100.00% 18.54% 0.28609 0.4378 0.4671
Harpy: Dark Watch 7 71.43% -2.82% 0.8646 0.0377 -0.0939
Idealist 5 80.00% 4.39% 0.81921 -0.1724 0.1936
Idealist: Super Sentai 18 66.67% -14.28% 0.12285 0.2876 0.6153
K.N.Y.F.E. 3 33.33% -48.22% 0.03131 -0.4224 -0.0657
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 14 85.71% 5.27% 0.61898 -0.0464 0.2069
La Comodora 13 100.00% 17.11% 0.10134 0.7444 0.711
La Comodora: Black Spot 11 36.36% -45.56% 9e-05 -1.4551 -1.6245
Legacy 190 91.58% 7.08% 0.00701 1.213 0.4956
Legacy: Freedom Five 54 92.59% 6.02% 0.19426 0.8602 -0.1269
Legacy: Greatest 44 93.18% 8.64% 0.11298 0.864 0.0537
Legacy: Young 6 33.33% -49.46% 0.00133 -0.9399 -1.541
Lifeline 18 94.44% 12.04% 0.17975 0.5824 0.4576
Lifeline: Blood Mage 18 94.44% 10.17% 0.23578 0.7694 0.3737
Luminary 17 58.82% -22.36% 0.01837 -0.6835 -0.6665
Luminary: Heroic 6 33.33% -49.34% 0.00141 -1.1227 -1.1281
Mainstay 4 100.00% 18.52% 0.34032 0.5464 0.5398
Mainstay: Road Warrior 3 100.00% 19.10% 0.39995 0.2364 0.5037
Mr. Fixer 84 94.05% 12.72% 0.00277 0.413 0.6297
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 18 83.33% 15.49% 0.1595 -0.4677 -0.3136
Naturalist 4 100.00% 15.77% 0.38676 0.2785 0.1583
Naturalist: Hunted 18 100.00% 14.81% 0.07691 0.8384 0.4259
NightMist 11 81.82% 0.43% 0.9706 -0.5536 -0.3527
NightMist: Dark Watch 3 33.33% -29.88% 0.28309 -0.3045 0.4797
Omnitron-X 29 86.21% 4.57% 0.52488 0.1273 0.0572
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 22 72.73% -9.99% 0.21546 0.5077 0.4037
Parse 26 65.38% -15.58% 0.043 -0.5962 -0.3081
Parse: Fugue State 41 90.24% 6.55% 0.25599 0.3201 -0.0095
Ra 50 88.00% 5.50% 0.30591 -0.1613 0.0417
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 3 100.00% 19.15% 0.39932 0.1685 0.3335
Ra: Setting Sun 21 90.48% 8.90% 0.29267 0.4895 0.2518
Scholar 33 96.97% 14.52% 0.02835 1.1414 0.969
Scholar: Of the Infinite 4 100.00% 16.54% 0.37329 0.3096 -0.2198
Sentinels 14 78.57% -5.23% 0.59543 0.4765 0.2844
Sentinels: Adamant 6 83.33% -1.82% 0.90001 -0.0299 -0.5967
Setback 5 100.00% 24.11% 0.20751 0.2112 0.3674
Setback: Dark Watch 4 50.00% -14.34% 0.54929 0.1225 0.8665
Sky-Scraper 3 33.33% -48.14% 0.03185 -0.5172 -0.6129
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 6 66.67% -15.70% 0.31291 0.0882 -0.194
Stuntman 15 86.67% 5.18% 0.60568 0.2756 0.2672
Stuntman: Action Hero 51 76.47% -6.16% 0.24578 -0.0091 -0.4951
Tachyon 9 77.78% -2.84% 0.82945 0.3812 0.6379
Tachyon: Freedom Five 1 100.00% 17.39% 0.64642 0.1331 0.0736
Tachyon: Freedom Six 192 92.71% 5.49% 0.02271 0.8257 0.1164
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 23 86.96% 2.98% 0.69692 0.2919 -0.2648
Tempest 64 87.50% 3.46% 0.45021 -0.0178 -0.1731
Tempest: Freedom Six 4 100.00% 31.86% 0.17142 0.1007 0.108
Tempest: Prime Warden 16 87.50% 4.13% 0.65737 -0.1584 -0.2809
Tempest: Xtreme PW 5 100.00% 18.51% 0.2865 0.3429 0.3663
Unity 5 80.00% -0.50% 0.97769 0.1577 0.649
Unity: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 18.63% 0.63229 0.141 0.466
Unity: Termi-Nation 6 50.00% -25.87% 0.13869 -0.6701 -0.5332
Visionary 13 84.62% 3.14% 0.77043 0.0909 0.22
Visionary: Dark 26 96.15% 14.11% 0.06081 0.6132 0.6408
Visionary: Unleashed 7 100.00% 17.04% 0.23055 1.18 1.1751
Wraith 21 66.67% -14.99% 0.07598 -1.3369 -1.2024
Wraith: Freedom Five 20 90.00% 6.33% 0.44384 -0.0921 -0.3098
Wraith: Freedom Six 47 91.49% 9.86% 0.08089 -0.524 -0.4029
Wraith: Rook City 11 54.55% -26.97% 0.02119 -0.3239 -0.1782
Writhe 9 88.89% 7.31% 0.57155 0.1694 0.1619
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 11 90.91% 7.22% 0.51702 0.6001 0.0402

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 16 100.00% 18.19% 0.05928 1.1007 0.7907
Dok'Thorath Capital 7 85.71% 8.53% 0.59074 0.0197 0.3238
Fort Adamant 3 100.00% 17.70% 0.4219 0.119 -0.0514
Freedom Tower 35 94.29% 9.97% 0.10493 0.6377 0.4573
Insula Primalis 19 89.47% 8.02% 0.36865 -0.1061 0.4826
Madame Mittermeier's 2 100.00% 18.80% 0.49623 0.2942 0.4698
Maerynian Refuge 16 81.25% -0.65% 0.94591 -0.3207 -0.4976
Magmaria 16 62.50% -19.22% 0.04668 -0.2634 -0.3424
Megalopolis 6 83.33% 1.34% 0.93199 -0.0275 0.2047
Mobile Defense Platform 12 91.67% 8.64% 0.42535 0.1314 0.0182
Mordengrad 7 71.43% 1.55% 0.92897 -0.4963 0.3356
Nexus of the Void 2 100.00% 13.80% 0.57145 0.3504 -0.1726
Omnitron-IV 17 52.94% -23.64% 0.02139 -0.5517 -0.1148
Pike Industrial Complex 20 85.00% 3.61% 0.67806 -0.7564 -0.5455
Realm of Discord 6 83.33% 0.22% 0.98843 0.3189 0.3681
Rook City 106 77.36% 15.08% 0.00136 -0.6398 0.4922
Ruins of Atlantis 8 87.50% 17.67% 0.2762 0.0708 1.0947
Silver Gulch 1883 13 53.85% -26.62% 0.01546 -0.9417 -0.494
The Block 16 87.50% 4.42% 0.63735 -0.2922 -0.3203
The Celestial Tribunal 2 50.00% -30.38% 0.27919 -0.3993 -0.0738
The Court of Blood 7 71.43% -11.18% 0.43518 -0.15 -0.0883
The Enclave of the Endlings 6 100.00% 16.21% 0.2813 0.6997 0.4927
The Final Wasteland 20 95.00% 9.80% 0.21715 0.2591 -0.1771
The Temple of Zhu Long 18 100.00% 16.87% 0.05596 0.6166 0.3743
Time Cataclysm 7 57.14% -24.36% 0.09695 -0.9689 -0.7882
Tomb of Anubis 5 100.00% 17.81% 0.29794 0.3122 0.5821
Wagner Mars Base 3 100.00% 18.02% 0.41674 0.2405 0.5087

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 12 66.67% -2.60% 0.84498
4 91 64.84% -16.47% 6e-05
5 297 88.55% +5.09% 0.01823

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Villain Alternate Victory 130
Heroes Incapacitated 67
Villain Destroyed 200
Environment Alternate Defeat 3

Notes

Deviation

The difference between the actual win rate of this combination of elements and the win rates of each of those elements on their own, averaged. A positive value means that this combination results in a win more often than would be expected.

Chi-Square p-value

This is the significance value of a χ² test comparing the observed data and expected value. In most cases, this expected value is the mean of the win rates of each element. For team position, the expected value is an equal likelihood of winning in all positions. Lower p-values (no greater than 0.01) mean a greater likelihood that the difference is meaningful and not due to chance.

Logistic Regression Coefficient

Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game, considering only games when 260 is present. The number on the right compares this model to the global one (counting all games); positive numbers suggests that this hero/villain/environment results in a win more often when 260 is present than otherwise, and vice-versa.