Progeny

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 707 73.69% 0.85% 0.61106 -1.1191 -0.392
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 98 89.80% 9.83% 0.01502 -0.0377 0.164
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 35 77.14% 3.04% 0.68124 -0.2752 0.2179
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 29 68.97% -0.63% 0.94091 -1.2144 -0.4226
Akash'Thriya 128 86.72% 5.16% 0.13229 0.7193 0.4543
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 85 91.76% 15.51% 0.00078 0.9815 0.5538
Argent Adept 157 73.25% -1.51% 0.66288 -0.8538 -0.4503
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 68 76.47% 1.34% 0.79881 -0.2994 -0.0227
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 237 40.08% -36.54% 0.0 0.1578 0.211
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 43 90.70% 14.78% 0.02338 -0.0079 0.0623
Benchmark 562 67.79% -7.40% 5e-05 -0.2777 -0.3287
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 112 94.64% 18.07% 1e-05 1.0452 0.5498
Bunker 650 74.31% 1.35% 0.43918 -0.695 0.0617
Bunker: Freedom Five 77 87.01% 10.84% 0.02558 -0.7366 -0.8651
Bunker: Freedom Six 24 79.17% 8.11% 0.38087 -0.605 -0.0911
Bunker: G.I. 56 60.71% -11.90% 0.04591 -1.1601 -0.6171
Bunker: Termi-Nation 313 50.48% -12.34% 1e-05 -0.2756 0.2966
Captain Cosmic 179 54.19% -19.92% 0.0 -0.9042 -0.2545
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 182 19.78% -35.06% 0.0 -1.6464 -0.5525
Captain Cosmic: Requital 48 87.50% 12.26% 0.04907 0.7447 0.7485
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 41 90.24% 15.10% 0.02531 0.8834 1.1258
Chrono-Ranger 435 87.13% 10.31% 0.0 0.4244 0.3937
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 39 94.87% 19.76% 0.00431 1.1559 1.3131
Dr. Medico 321 88.47% 7.83% 0.00039 0.3287 0.1807
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 74 78.38% 1.68% 0.73207 -0.0425 -0.0405
Expatriette 203 70.94% -3.14% 0.30716 -0.8233 -0.3046
Expatriette: Dark Watch 216 24.54% -47.28% 0.0 -0.92 -0.5994
Fanatic 192 72.40% -2.73% 0.38183 -0.4287 -0.2766
Fanatic: Prime Warden 205 29.27% -43.94% 0.0 -0.6558 -0.6782
Fanatic: Redeemer 70 74.29% -0.38% 0.94104 -0.6371 -0.5048
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 28 89.29% 24.01% 0.00762 -0.1588 0.2009
Guise 170 63.53% -11.14% 0.00084 -0.264 0.1524
Guise: Completionist 17 76.47% 2.59% 0.80815 -1.1666 -0.7253
Guise: Santa 60 83.33% 11.98% 0.04008 -0.3943 -0.0834
Haka 208 76.44% 1.28% 0.66989 -0.3265 -0.2103
Haka: Eternal 57 82.46% 6.44% 0.25475 0.2953 0.2531
Haka: Prime Warden 186 25.27% -45.63% 0.0 -1.0404 -0.9667
Haka: Xtreme PW 44 97.73% 22.61% 0.00052 0.9933 1.0226
Harpy 93 72.04% -3.09% 0.49028 -0.2098 0.0711
Harpy: Dark Watch 201 32.34% -40.05% 0.0 0.1468 0.0152
Idealist 143 74.83% 1.53% 0.67988 -0.4787 -0.1126
Idealist: Super Sentai 54 92.59% 17.74% 0.00265 0.6099 0.9376
K.N.Y.F.E. 613 66.39% -8.78% 0.0 -0.333 0.0237
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 91 83.52% 8.86% 0.05197 0.0316 0.2849
La Comodora 123 89.43% 12.93% 0.00072 0.1185 0.0851
La Comodora: Black Spot 92 86.96% 11.51% 0.01034 -0.2364 -0.4059
Legacy 1478 84.51% 2.54% 0.01109 0.6883 -0.0291
Legacy: Freedom Five 230 94.78% 9.79% 3e-05 0.6894 -0.2978
Legacy: Greatest 236 96.19% 14.14% 0.0 1.3375 0.5273
Legacy: Young 109 87.16% 10.80% 0.00798 0.3986 -0.2025
Lifeline 174 83.91% 8.02% 0.01344 0.2219 0.097
Lifeline: Blood Mage 42 83.33% 1.82% 0.76093 -0.2501 -0.6459
Luminary 306 93.79% 18.83% 0.0 0.5586 0.5757
Luminary: Heroic 78 84.62% 8.41% 0.0812 -0.2602 -0.2656
Mainstay 151 81.46% 6.32% 0.07223 -0.5176 -0.5242
Mainstay: Road Warrior 57 68.42% -6.40% 0.26521 -0.5947 -0.3274
Mr. Fixer 207 73.43% -1.61% 0.59192 -0.6533 -0.4366
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 197 23.35% -43.59% 0.0 -0.3548 -0.2008
Naturalist 108 87.96% 6.55% 0.08029 0.4908 0.3707
Naturalist: Hunted 150 94.00% 10.89% 0.00037 1.0118 0.5993
NightMist 156 71.79% -3.28% 0.34331 -0.1676 0.0333
NightMist: Dark Watch 191 16.75% -45.81% 0.0 -1.5101 -0.7259
Omnitron-X 615 66.50% -8.73% 0.0 0.0648 -0.0053
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 83 89.16% 12.90% 0.00575 0.2133 0.1093
Parse 235 85.53% 10.67% 0.00016 -0.4453 -0.1572
Parse: Fugue State 185 94.59% 14.96% 0.0 0.9317 0.602
Ra 387 83.20% 7.21% 0.0009 -0.2249 -0.0219
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 58 82.76% 7.95% 0.16308 0.0619 0.2269
Ra: Setting Sun 31 67.74% -7.45% 0.33672 -0.6136 -0.8512
Scholar 245 89.39% 13.44% 0.0 0.5928 0.4205
Scholar: Of the Infinite 65 92.31% 14.58% 0.00473 0.7125 0.1832
Sentinels 120 88.33% 8.11% 0.02572 0.7169 0.5248
Sentinels: Adamant 57 96.49% 13.43% 0.00687 1.4041 0.8373
Setback 110 80.91% 7.45% 0.07682 0.086 0.2423
Setback: Dark Watch 178 14.61% -49.03% 0.0 -0.8711 -0.1271
Sky-Scraper 203 62.07% -13.06% 2e-05 -0.0549 -0.1506
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 84 84.52% 8.67% 0.06333 0.4092 0.127
Stuntman 160 84.38% 9.23% 0.00688 -0.1248 -0.1331
Stuntman: Action Hero 213 95.77% 19.63% 0.0 0.6498 0.1638
Tachyon 673 74.44% -0.27% 0.87139 -0.4248 -0.1681
Tachyon: Freedom Five 54 85.19% 9.05% 0.11861 -0.1347 -0.1941
Tachyon: Freedom Six 608 97.04% 11.24% 0.0 1.3321 0.6229
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 219 90.41% 9.60% 0.00031 0.5368 -0.0199
Tempest 352 83.81% 2.82% 0.17728 -0.363 -0.5183
Tempest: Freedom Six 30 83.33% 16.13% 0.05988 0.1645 0.1717
Tempest: Prime Warden 233 35.62% -41.84% 0.0 -1.2473 -1.3699
Tempest: Xtreme PW 81 82.72% 7.58% 0.11458 -0.2023 -0.1789
Unity 143 70.63% -4.04% 0.26629 -0.7811 -0.2897
Unity: Freedom Six 39 94.87% 19.80% 0.00425 0.9694 1.2943
Unity: Termi-Nation 71 83.10% 9.65% 0.06555 -0.0685 0.0683
Visionary 158 80.38% 5.25% 0.12675 0.0039 0.133
Visionary: Dark 99 83.84% 8.29% 0.05486 -0.591 -0.5633
Visionary: Unleashed 91 85.71% 9.09% 0.04042 -0.2856 -0.2906
Wraith 834 79.26% 4.01% 0.00731 0.6731 0.8076
Wraith: Freedom Five 98 96.94% 17.47% 2e-05 1.3789 1.1612
Wraith: Freedom Six 55 89.09% 13.86% 0.01726 0.2003 0.3214
Wraith: Rook City 55 85.45% 10.30% 0.07718 0.1 0.2457
Writhe 134 81.34% 6.15% 0.09945 0.1829 0.1754
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 81 93.83% 14.18% 0.00153 1.2258 0.6658

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 106 84.91% 9.55% 0.02257 0.2269 -0.0832
Dok'Thorath Capital 160 63.12% -10.95% 0.00157 0.0794 0.3834
Fort Adamant 98 73.47% -2.32% 0.59192 -0.5365 -0.7068
Freedom Tower 219 91.78% 10.17% 0.0001 0.6703 0.4899
Insula Primalis 158 59.49% -15.63% 1e-05 -0.8323 -0.2437
Madame Mittermeier's 50 78.00% 3.03% 0.62135 -0.3705 -0.1949
Maerynian Refuge 132 87.88% 12.45% 0.00089 0.7128 0.5359
Magmaria 99 90.91% 15.61% 0.00032 0.5208 0.4418
Megalopolis 564 90.78% 15.27% 0.0 0.3844 0.6166
Mobile Defense Platform 117 89.74% 13.01% 0.00086 0.7929 0.6797
Mordengrad 93 68.82% 0.03% 0.99544 -0.6444 0.1875
Nexus of the Void 137 89.05% 4.54% 0.14225 0.3499 -0.1731
Omnitron-IV 370 52.16% -21.66% 0.0 -0.7477 -0.3107
Pike Industrial Complex 111 81.08% 6.00% 0.14369 -0.4336 -0.2228
Realm of Discord 97 85.57% 8.69% 0.04242 -0.026 0.0232
Rook City 343 15.45% -46.20% 0.0 -3.2683 -2.1363
Ruins of Atlantis 99 55.56% -13.19% 0.00465 -1.4433 -0.4194
Silver Gulch 1883 123 66.67% -8.00% 0.04143 -0.8147 -0.367
The Block 162 90.12% 13.30% 6e-05 0.6683 0.6402
The Celestial Tribunal 114 78.07% 3.43% 0.39949 -0.5447 -0.2192
The Court of Blood 75 82.67% 6.54% 0.18387 0.4035 0.4652
The Enclave of the Endlings 109 84.40% 4.22% 0.26853 0.4028 0.1958
The Final Wasteland 130 78.46% -4.67% 0.1554 -0.4006 -0.8368
The Temple of Zhu Long 82 81.71% 4.79% 0.30283 -0.4499 -0.6923
Time Cataclysm 227 85.90% 10.76% 0.00018 -1.0548 -0.8741
Tomb of Anubis 96 60.42% -15.26% 0.00049 -1.2194 -0.9494
Wagner Mars Base 99 76.77% 1.27% 0.76809 -0.5439 -0.2757

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 419 44.39% -23.85% 0.0
4 1174 71.81% -3.22% 0.01069
5 2667 78.85% +1.11% 0.16665

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Heroes Incapacitated 1097
Villain Destroyed 3132
Environment Alternate Defeat 31

Progeny (Advanced)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 30 36.67% -32.92% 9e-05 -1.1486 -0.4215
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 2 100.00% 28.04% 0.37737 0.4668 0.6684
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 29.64% 0.51629 0.1648 0.6579
Akash'Thriya 1 0.00% -72.36% 0.10566 -0.554 -0.819
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 6 100.00% 28.62% 0.12086 0.6851 0.2573
Argent Adept 2 50.00% -20.72% 0.51972 -0.2082 0.1953
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 2 100.00% 29.10% 0.36495 0.2174 0.4941
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 9 55.56% -15.95% 0.28919 -0.3247 -0.2714
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 2 100.00% 28.75% 0.36896 0.1278 0.1979
Benchmark 2 50.00% -20.93% 0.51447 -0.2893 -0.3404
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 3 100.00% 28.51% 0.27402 0.3981 -0.0973
Bunker 23 39.13% -30.53% 0.00145 0.0823 0.839
Bunker: Freedom Five 7 85.71% 14.37% 0.40052 0.2231 0.0945
Bunker: G.I. 5 60.00% -9.43% 0.64711 -0.1989 0.3441
Captain Cosmic 2 50.00% -20.36% 0.52832 -0.3293 0.3203
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 4 25.00% -28.81% 0.24784 -0.4492 0.6447
Captain Cosmic: Requital 1 0.00% -70.95% 0.11808 -0.3754 -0.3715
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 29.09% 0.52184 0.1669 0.4093
Chrono-Ranger 13 76.92% 5.36% 0.6684 0.1352 0.1045
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 3 100.00% 29.11% 0.26703 0.5015 0.6587
Dr. Medico 16 81.25% 9.17% 0.41378 0.3074 0.1594
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 1 100.00% 28.47% 0.52808 0.1502 0.1522
Expatriette 2 100.00% 29.66% 0.3585 0.2532 0.7719
Expatriette: Dark Watch 2 50.00% -18.89% 0.56398 -0.1659 0.1547
Fanatic 6 66.67% -4.23% 0.81954 0.3712 0.5234
Fanatic: Prime Warden 30 73.33% 3.51% 0.6752 -0.3319 -0.3543
Fanatic: Redeemer 6 66.67% -4.00% 0.82949 -0.3786 -0.2463
Guise 3 100.00% 29.33% 0.26449 0.2949 0.7114
Guise: Santa 1 100.00% 31.45% 0.49816 0.1648 0.4757
Haka 15 66.67% -4.25% 0.71701 -0.1532 -0.0371
Haka: Eternal 4 100.00% 28.71% 0.20433 0.5871 0.5449
Haka: Prime Warden 4 25.00% -43.21% 0.06344 -0.6289 -0.5551
Harpy 1 100.00% 29.10% 0.52177 0.1871 0.4679
Harpy: Dark Watch 4 75.00% 5.72% 0.80431 -0.1001 -0.2317
Idealist 5 100.00% 30.12% 0.14208 0.6441 1.0102
Idealist: Super Sentai 2 50.00% -20.76% 0.5186 -0.0644 0.2634
K.N.Y.F.E. 7 85.71% 14.79% 0.38883 0.4105 0.7672
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 3 100.00% 29.34% 0.26439 0.3979 0.6512
La Comodora 4 75.00% 3.54% 0.87552 0.1419 0.1085
Legacy 57 59.65% -12.88% 0.02939 0.4811 -0.2363
Legacy: Freedom Five 13 84.62% 9.52% 0.42725 0.095 -0.8922
Legacy: Greatest 40 80.00% 7.43% 0.29193 0.3621 -0.4482
Legacy: Young 5 20.00% -51.41% 0.01094 -1.0711 -1.6722
Lifeline 2 50.00% -21.24% 0.507 -0.1462 -0.2711
Lifeline: Blood Mage 1 100.00% 27.66% 0.53636 0.0768 -0.319
Luminary 9 77.78% 6.96% 0.64602 0.9097 0.9268
Luminary: Heroic 3 100.00% 28.64% 0.27251 0.2123 0.2069
Mainstay 1 100.00% 29.10% 0.52177 0.1618 0.1552
Mainstay: Road Warrior 2 100.00% 29.25% 0.36318 0.2767 0.544
Mr. Fixer 7 28.57% -42.29% 0.01382 -0.8168 -0.6
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 1 0.00% -64.99% 0.17308 -0.3378 -0.1838
Naturalist: Hunted 6 50.00% -23.17% 0.2001 -0.8521 -1.2647
NightMist 1 0.00% -70.87% 0.11877 -0.2187 -0.0177
NightMist: Dark Watch 1 0.00% -61.08% 0.2103 -0.3378 0.4464
Omnitron-X 16 56.25% -14.70% 0.19526 -0.6678 -0.7379
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 2 100.00% 28.62% 0.3705 0.2567 0.1528
Parse 4 100.00% 29.23% 0.19862 0.4827 0.7708
Parse: Fugue State 5 80.00% 8.07% 0.68789 -0.0881 -0.4178
Ra 25 60.00% -11.28% 0.21262 -0.9518 -0.7488
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 6 66.67% -4.07% 0.82639 -0.243 -0.0781
Ra: Setting Sun 1 100.00% 29.07% 0.52206 0.3299 0.0922
Scholar 8 75.00% 3.74% 0.81514 0.0005 -0.1718
Scholar: Of the Infinite 3 0.00% -71.78% 0.00573 -1.09 -1.6193
Sentinels 6 66.67% -5.33% 0.77106 0.1314 -0.0607
Sentinels: Adamant 1 100.00% 26.86% 0.5445 0.2194 -0.3474
Setback 1 100.00% 30.02% 0.51247 0.0905 0.2468
Setback: Dark Watch 1 0.00% -62.06% 0.20089 -0.3378 0.4062
Sky-Scraper 1 100.00% 29.10% 0.52175 0.1871 0.0914
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 3 100.00% 28.78% 0.2709 0.385 0.1029
Stuntman 9 77.78% 6.87% 0.64986 0.1534 0.1451
Stuntman: Action Hero 6 100.00% 28.66% 0.12051 0.5823 0.0963
Tachyon 26 42.31% -28.38% 0.00147 -0.0372 0.2195
Tachyon: Freedom Five 5 40.00% -31.33% 0.12132 -0.7495 -0.8089
Tachyon: Freedom Six 59 83.05% 6.33% 0.2496 0.964 0.2547
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 12 66.67% -5.46% 0.67333 -0.1903 -0.747
Tempest 19 63.16% -9.01% 0.38068 -0.0523 -0.2076
Tempest: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 34.78% 0.46521 0.1123 0.1196
Tempest: Prime Warden 32 75.00% 3.27% 0.68116 -0.0331 -0.1556
Tempest: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 29.10% 0.52179 0.1502 0.1736
Unity 1 0.00% -70.67% 0.1206 -0.2187 0.2727
Unity: Freedom Six 1 0.00% -70.87% 0.11882 -0.4584 -0.1334
Visionary 6 66.67% -4.23% 0.81946 0.2155 0.3445
Visionary: Dark 7 100.00% 28.91% 0.09157 0.5943 0.6219
Visionary: Unleashed 2 100.00% 28.50% 0.37196 0.26 0.2551
Wraith 35 45.71% -25.24% 0.001 -0.5004 -0.3659
Wraith: Freedom Five 10 80.00% 8.08% 0.56943 0.1224 -0.0953
Wraith: Freedom Six 2 50.00% -20.95% 0.51405 -0.2407 -0.1196
Writhe 6 83.33% 12.40% 0.5035 0.2327 0.2253
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 3 100.00% 28.07% 0.27923 0.4079 -0.152

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 1 100.00% 28.99% 0.52284 0.1413 -0.1687
Dok'Thorath Capital 3 66.67% -3.68% 0.88908 0.0109 0.3149
Fort Adamant 3 66.67% -4.53% 0.86248 -0.1165 -0.2869
Freedom Tower 17 82.35% 9.97% 0.3578 0.4246 0.2442
Insula Primalis 8 75.00% 4.10% 0.79828 -0.0019 0.5868
Madame Mittermeier's 1 100.00% 29.18% 0.52098 0.1648 0.3403
Maerynian Refuge 2 50.00% -21.04% 0.5118 -0.057 -0.2339
Magmaria 3 33.33% -37.64% 0.15083 -0.3423 -0.4212
Megalopolis 4 75.00% 3.93% 0.86251 0.0666 0.2988
Mobile Defense Platform 7 71.43% -0.11% 0.99493 -0.1095 -0.2227
Mordengrad 2 50.00% -16.55% 0.6199 -0.285 0.5469
Nexus of the Void 3 100.00% 25.55% 0.31031 0.43 -0.093
Omnitron-IV 2 50.00% -20.19% 0.53238 -0.3599 0.0771
Pike Industrial Complex 2 50.00% -20.87% 0.51584 -0.3128 -0.1019
Realm of Discord 1 100.00% 28.42% 0.52864 0.0527 0.1019
Rook City 26 38.46% -21.78% 0.02324 -0.3577 0.7743
Ruins of Atlantis 3 66.67% 0.16% 0.99536 0.0087 1.0326
Silver Gulch 1883 3 66.67% -4.00% 0.87908 0.1578 0.6055
The Block 6 100.00% 28.43% 0.12259 0.7767 0.7486
The Court of Blood 3 100.00% 28.67% 0.27215 0.3674 0.429
The Enclave of the Endlings 5 60.00% -11.99% 0.55035 0.0217 -0.1853
The Final Wasteland 7 71.43% -1.76% 0.91646 0.0006 -0.4355
The Temple of Zhu Long 8 62.50% -9.09% 0.56857 -0.1923 -0.4347
Time Cataclysm 28 75.00% 4.09% 0.63359 -0.3808 -0.2001
Tomb of Anubis 3 33.33% -37.82% 0.14827 -0.383 -0.113
Wagner Mars Base 3 100.00% 28.93% 0.26911 0.2747 0.5429

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 5 40.00% -26.09% 0.21778
4 50 80.00% +9.15% 0.15461
5 99 62.63% -9.16% 0.0429

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Heroes Incapacitated 50
Villain Destroyed 104

Progeny (Challenge)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 5 80.00% 17.08% 0.42917 -0.0632 0.6639
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 3 100.00% 35.81% 0.19579 0.1715 0.3732
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 26 96.15% 32.79% 0.00052 0.3156 0.8087
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 1 0.00% -61.42% 0.20705 -0.3323 0.4595
Akash'Thriya 3 66.67% 2.29% 0.93401 -0.0419 -0.3069
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 2 100.00% 36.10% 0.28784 0.1457 -0.282
Argent Adept 5 80.00% 16.44% 0.44493 -0.1336 0.2699
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 1 100.00% 36.34% 0.44991 0.0636 0.3402
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 8 50.00% -13.97% 0.41057 -0.7195 -0.6662
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 36.16% 0.45166 0.1374 0.2075
Benchmark 5 80.00% 16.33% 0.44781 -0.0788 -0.1298
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 5 80.00% 16.04% 0.45504 0.0884 -0.407
Bunker 2 50.00% -12.97% 0.70412 -0.3374 0.4193
Bunker: Freedom Five 6 100.00% 36.11% 0.06554 0.4149 0.2863
Bunker: Freedom Six 2 50.00% -12.15% 0.72304 -0.322 0.192
Bunker: G.I. 2 50.00% -12.83% 0.70728 -0.2875 0.2555
Bunker: Termi-Nation 1 100.00% 42.97% 0.38537 0.1146 0.6868
Captain Cosmic 2 0.00% -63.37% 0.0629 -0.9714 -0.3217
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 2 0.00% -50.63% 0.1521 -0.5129 0.581
Captain Cosmic: Requital 7 57.14% -6.54% 0.71892 -0.7363 -0.7324
Chrono-Ranger 32 87.50% 23.50% 0.00561 0.3408 0.3101
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 2 100.00% 36.35% 0.28521 0.2485 0.4057
Dr. Medico 8 100.00% 35.75% 0.03487 0.6572 0.5092
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 2 100.00% 36.02% 0.28863 0.342 0.344
Expatriette 2 100.00% 36.64% 0.28214 0.1608 0.6795
Expatriette: Dark Watch 71 7.04% -55.46% 0.0 -0.7239 -0.4033
Fanatic 6 83.33% 19.68% 0.31629 0.069 0.2211
Fanatic: Prime Warden 4 25.00% -38.06% 0.11476 -0.9464 -0.9688
Guise 4 100.00% 36.47% 0.12972 0.43 0.8464
Guise: Santa 2 100.00% 37.71% 0.27119 0.1783 0.4892
Haka 32 90.62% 26.96% 0.00152 -0.1337 -0.0175
Haka: Eternal 1 100.00% 36.14% 0.45186 0.0503 0.0081
Haka: Prime Warden 2 0.00% -62.08% 0.07037 -0.5129 -0.4392
Harpy 5 80.00% 16.34% 0.44742 -0.0118 0.2691
Harpy: Dark Watch 4 75.00% 12.26% 0.61218 0.1981 0.0665
Idealist 2 100.00% 36.91% 0.27941 0.2271 0.5931
K.N.Y.F.E. 22 86.36% 22.69% 0.02688 0.0126 0.3693
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 2 100.00% 36.47% 0.28394 0.2822 0.5355
La Comodora 3 66.67% 2.72% 0.92186 -0.2054 -0.2388
La Comodora: Black Spot 2 100.00% 36.26% 0.28608 0.18 0.0105
Legacy 27 88.89% 24.44% 0.00798 0.3647 -0.3527
Legacy: Freedom Five 8 87.50% 22.10% 0.1889 0.152 -0.8352
Legacy: Greatest 15 86.67% 22.20% 0.07246 -0.0752 -0.8854
Legacy: Young 4 100.00% 36.08% 0.13297 0.5127 -0.0884
Lifeline 12 66.67% 2.83% 0.83812 -0.2205 -0.3453
Lifeline: Blood Mage 1 100.00% 35.63% 0.45687 0.1081 -0.2876
Luminary 5 80.00% 16.39% 0.4463 -0.085 -0.068
Luminary: Heroic 6 66.67% 2.77% 0.88761 -0.2152 -0.2206
Mainstay 2 100.00% 36.34% 0.28527 0.143 0.1364
Mr. Fixer 3 100.00% 36.37% 0.19041 0.2519 0.4687
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 74 10.81% -49.05% 0.0 -0.3796 -0.2256
Naturalist 1 100.00% 35.65% 0.45672 0.0718 -0.0484
Naturalist: Hunted 3 100.00% 35.27% 0.20107 0.2878 -0.1247
NightMist 2 100.00% 36.36% 0.28512 0.2841 0.485
NightMist: Dark Watch 71 7.04% -49.79% 0.0 -0.7239 0.0603
Omnitron-X 30 96.67% 32.98% 0.00017 0.5742 0.5041
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 2 100.00% 36.10% 0.28785 0.3292 0.2252
Parse 3 100.00% 36.41% 0.18994 0.2454 0.5335
Parse: Fugue State 26 88.46% 24.29% 0.0098 0.4621 0.1325
Ra 13 84.62% 20.76% 0.1192 -0.0604 0.1426
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 1 100.00% 36.43% 0.44906 0.0169 0.1819
Ra: Setting Sun 2 100.00% 36.33% 0.28543 0.0922 -0.1455
Scholar 34 91.18% 27.33% 0.00091 -0.0379 -0.2102
Scholar: Of the Infinite 3 100.00% 35.89% 0.19495 0.2058 -0.3236
Setback 3 66.67% 3.52% 0.89952 -0.1197 0.0366
Setback: Dark Watch 71 7.04% -50.58% 0.0 -0.7239 0.0201
Sky-Scraper 1 0.00% -63.66% 0.18568 -0.3851 -0.4808
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 2 0.00% -63.82% 0.06032 -0.7797 -1.0618
Stuntman 3 66.67% 3.01% 0.91377 -0.1906 -0.1989
Stuntman: Action Hero 26 88.46% 24.58% 0.00908 0.3324 -0.1535
Tachyon 2 50.00% -13.55% 0.69061 -0.3017 -0.045
Tachyon: Freedom Five 7 85.71% 21.83% 0.22914 0.2101 0.1506
Tachyon: Freedom Six 18 100.00% 34.22% 0.00221 0.913 0.2037
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 6 100.00% 35.73% 0.06778 0.4924 -0.0643
Tempest 12 83.33% 19.04% 0.16858 -0.008 -0.1634
Tempest: Prime Warden 5 60.00% -4.08% 0.84921 -0.0619 -0.1845
Tempest: Xtreme PW 2 100.00% 36.34% 0.28529 0.1297 0.1531
Visionary 3 100.00% 36.34% 0.19062 0.308 0.4371
Visionary: Dark 29 96.55% 32.79% 0.00024 0.4178 0.4454
Visionary: Unleashed 7 85.71% 21.75% 0.23074 0.0484 0.0434
Wraith 26 80.77% 17.08% 0.0701 -0.5745 -0.44
Wraith: Freedom Five 6 100.00% 35.83% 0.06719 0.3929 0.1752
Wraith: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 36.32% 0.45014 0.0451 0.1662
Writhe 7 71.43% 7.75% 0.66967 -0.1732 -0.1807
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 7 85.71% 21.54% 0.23464 0.0537 -0.5062

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 2 100.00% 36.29% 0.28586 0.1548 -0.1553
Dok'Thorath Capital 3 100.00% 36.64% 0.18775 0.3877 0.6918
Freedom Tower 6 100.00% 35.61% 0.0685 0.4311 0.2507
Insula Primalis 4 75.00% 11.35% 0.63711 0.2404 0.8291
Madame Mittermeier's 2 0.00% -63.62% 0.06148 -0.7957 -0.6201
Maerynian Refuge 7 85.71% 21.98% 0.22637 0.0624 -0.1145
Magmaria 22 81.82% 18.12% 0.07715 -0.4541 -0.5331
Megalopolis 9 88.89% 25.14% 0.11667 0.1142 0.3464
Mobile Defense Platform 6 83.33% 19.35% 0.32349 -0.1922 -0.3053
Nexus of the Void 3 100.00% 34.79% 0.20578 0.2138 -0.3092
Omnitron-IV 24 95.83% 32.56% 0.00094 0.1939 0.6309
Rook City 72 6.94% -49.21% 0.0 -1.1217 0.0103
Silver Gulch 1883 6 66.67% 3.13% 0.87325 -0.1169 0.3307
The Block 5 100.00% 36.00% 0.09352 0.3957 0.3676
The Celestial Tribunal 4 75.00% 11.48% 0.6335 -0.1684 0.1571
The Court of Blood 2 100.00% 36.12% 0.28759 0.3124 0.374
The Enclave of the Endlings 1 100.00% 35.79% 0.45528 0.0845 -0.1225
The Final Wasteland 5 80.00% 15.27% 0.47497 -0.0928 -0.529
The Temple of Zhu Long 11 81.82% 17.81% 0.21852 0.0406 -0.2018
Time Cataclysm 3 66.67% 3.01% 0.91382 -0.2396 -0.0589
Wagner Mars Base 1 100.00% 36.25% 0.45076 0.1374 0.4056

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 5 40.00% -20.65% 0.34446
4 93 25.81% -37.82% 0.0
5 101 87.13% +23.02% 0.0

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Heroes Incapacitated 83
Villain Destroyed 114
Environment Alternate Defeat 2

Progeny (Ultimate)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 21 19.05% -51.68% 0.0 -1.2405 -0.5133
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 4 50.00% -23.58% 0.28485 -0.8128 -0.6111
Akash'Thriya 2 100.00% 25.90% 0.40315 0.182 -0.083
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 7 100.00% 27.16% 0.10617 0.7627 0.335
Argent Adept 6 83.33% 11.30% 0.53759 -0.1011 0.3024
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 44 45.45% -27.54% 4e-05 -0.1468 -0.0935
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 5 100.00% 27.32% 0.17038 0.3774 0.4475
Benchmark 2 100.00% 27.70% 0.38133 0.1866 0.1356
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 4 100.00% 27.02% 0.22358 0.2263 -0.2691
Bunker 17 23.53% -47.28% 2e-05 -0.1832 0.5735
Bunker: Freedom Five 2 100.00% 27.20% 0.38738 0.1839 0.0553
Bunker: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 30.68% 0.50588 0.0448 0.5587
Bunker: G.I. 11 90.91% 20.36% 0.13853 0.133 0.676
Captain Cosmic 2 50.00% -21.62% 0.49763 -0.4569 0.1928
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 28 17.86% -36.35% 0.00011 -0.8907 0.2032
Captain Cosmic: Requital 3 66.67% -5.65% 0.82673 -0.2146 -0.2107
Chrono-Ranger 33 93.94% 20.87% 0.00688 0.5507 0.5201
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 4 50.00% -22.25% 0.32043 -0.2195 -0.0623
Dr. Medico 13 76.92% 3.18% 0.79413 -0.3715 -0.5195
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 2 100.00% 26.98% 0.39004 0.1839 0.1859
Expatriette 5 60.00% -11.60% 0.56511 0.0701 0.5889
Expatriette: Dark Watch 18 11.11% -58.83% 0.0 -1.0315 -0.711
Fanatic 13 84.62% 12.36% 0.31956 0.0765 0.2286
Fanatic: Prime Warden 40 27.50% -43.50% 0.0 -1.2983 -1.3206
Fanatic: Redeemer 3 100.00% 28.02% 0.27989 0.2229 0.3552
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 4 50.00% -14.20% 0.55352 -0.8471 -0.4874
Guise 5 100.00% 28.02% 0.16302 0.3647 0.7811
Guise: Completionist 5 60.00% -11.47% 0.57002 -0.4607 -0.0194
Guise: Santa 4 100.00% 30.44% 0.18584 0.3374 0.6482
Haka 11 72.73% 0.45% 0.97348 -0.006 0.1102
Haka: Eternal 6 66.67% -6.06% 0.73888 -0.6403 -0.6825
Haka: Prime Warden 30 23.33% -45.86% 0.0 -0.4029 -0.3292
Haka: Xtreme PW 6 100.00% 27.75% 0.12904 0.3876 0.4169
Harpy: Dark Watch 19 31.58% -38.81% 0.00021 0.19 0.0584
Idealist 7 85.71% 14.65% 0.39258 0.13 0.4961
Idealist: Super Sentai 3 100.00% 27.91% 0.28119 0.2921 0.6198
K.N.Y.F.E. 22 90.91% 18.62% 0.05099 0.2936 0.6503
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 20 75.00% 3.03% 0.76315 -0.5068 -0.2535
La Comodora 22 81.82% 8.87% 0.34885 -0.1845 -0.2179
La Comodora: Black Spot 15 80.00% 7.56% 0.51216 -0.1957 -0.3652
Legacy 108 76.85% 2.52% 0.54903 0.2314 -0.486
Legacy: Freedom Five 26 96.15% 14.95% 0.05103 0.6523 -0.3348
Legacy: Greatest 36 94.44% 20.06% 0.00583 1.0485 0.2382
Legacy: Young 7 100.00% 27.11% 0.10659 0.4239 -0.1771
Lifeline 12 66.67% -6.00% 0.64091 -0.2927 -0.4176
Lifeline: Blood Mage 1 100.00% 25.92% 0.55417 0.0351 -0.3606
Luminary 13 100.00% 27.84% 0.02512 0.6169 0.6339
Luminary: Heroic 1 100.00% 27.18% 0.54121 0.1304 0.125
Mainstay 7 100.00% 27.74% 0.10116 0.5625 0.556
Mr. Fixer 9 100.00% 27.79% 0.06271 0.5367 0.7534
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 19 21.05% -44.67% 4e-05 -0.341 -0.187
Naturalist 2 100.00% 25.97% 0.4023 0.307 0.1868
Naturalist: Hunted 16 81.25% 5.97% 0.57985 -0.0089 -0.4215
NightMist 13 53.85% -18.38% 0.13894 -0.2036 -0.0027
NightMist: Dark Watch 18 16.67% -44.99% 9e-05 -0.2235 0.5607
Omnitron-X 5 100.00% 27.68% 0.16653 0.2874 0.2173
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 4 75.00% 2.16% 0.92263 -0.3923 -0.4963
Parse 8 100.00% 27.90% 0.07848 0.4436 0.7317
Parse: Fugue State 23 95.65% 22.12% 0.01619 0.6962 0.3665
Ra 49 89.80% 17.08% 0.00728 0.1765 0.3795
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 8 87.50% 15.43% 0.33062 0.0418 0.2068
Ra: Setting Sun 2 100.00% 27.71% 0.38132 0.2063 -0.0314
Scholar 24 66.67% -6.03% 0.50752 -0.377 -0.5493
Scholar: Of the Infinite 8 75.00% 1.65% 0.91582 -0.2529 -0.7822
Sentinels 5 100.00% 26.37% 0.18082 0.5949 0.4028
Sentinels: Adamant 5 100.00% 24.78% 0.1994 0.5488 -0.018
Setback 7 100.00% 28.82% 0.09224 0.367 0.5233
Setback: Dark Watch 19 15.79% -46.88% 2e-05 -0.6594 0.0846
Sky-Scraper 5 40.00% -32.26% 0.10716 -0.758 -0.8537
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 5 60.00% -12.65% 0.52578 -0.5117 -0.7938
Stuntman 11 81.82% 9.55% 0.47908 -0.4031 -0.4115
Stuntman: Action Hero 20 100.00% 27.21% 0.00625 0.9734 0.4875
Tachyon 16 18.75% -53.26% 0.0 -0.4058 -0.1491
Tachyon: Freedom Five 3 100.00% 27.22% 0.28952 0.1966 0.1371
Tachyon: Freedom Six 105 90.48% 7.58% 0.0392 0.4237 -0.2855
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 35 100.00% 26.21% 0.00042 1.46 0.9033
Tempest 30 86.67% 12.81% 0.11021 -0.2378 -0.3932
Tempest: Freedom Six 1 0.00% -65.97% 0.16381 -0.3077 -0.3004
Tempest: Prime Warden 42 42.86% -30.42% 1e-05 -0.4356 -0.5581
Tempest: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 27.74% 0.53556 0.0394 0.0628
Unity 3 66.67% -5.32% 0.8375 0.0899 0.5812
Unity: Termi-Nation 2 100.00% 28.83% 0.36803 0.1084 0.2453
Visionary 13 92.31% 20.05% 0.10639 0.1775 0.3065
Visionary: Dark 18 88.89% 16.40% 0.11921 -0.1089 -0.0812
Visionary: Unleashed 6 100.00% 27.01% 0.13625 0.4098 0.4048
Wraith 35 54.29% -18.04% 0.01705 -0.1269 0.0076
Wraith: Freedom Five 20 100.00% 26.48% 0.00727 0.8816 0.6639
Wraith: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 27.68% 0.5361 0.1205 0.2416
Wraith: Rook City 2 100.00% 27.73% 0.38107 0.3748 0.5205
Writhe 3 100.00% 27.70% 0.28364 0.2883 0.2809
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 7 71.43% -2.11% 0.89949 -0.3677 -0.9276

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 8 75.00% 2.61% 0.86877 -0.3198 -0.6299
Dok'Thorath Capital 4 50.00% -21.60% 0.33804 -0.1827 0.1214
Fort Adamant 9 100.00% 27.38% 0.06543 0.5509 0.3806
Freedom Tower 27 88.89% 14.76% 0.07996 -0.0645 -0.2449
Insula Primalis 20 90.00% 17.75% 0.0763 0.2377 0.8264
Maerynian Refuge 20 100.00% 27.57% 0.00579 0.957 0.7801
Magmaria 14 85.71% 13.36% 0.26362 -0.1873 -0.2662
Megalopolis 5 80.00% 7.53% 0.70613 0.3439 0.5761
Mobile Defense Platform 16 81.25% 8.21% 0.45914 0.0567 -0.0565
Mordengrad 7 28.57% -38.82% 0.02848 -0.8809 -0.049
Nexus of the Void 4 75.00% -3.15% 0.87882 0.3113 -0.2117
Omnitron-IV 3 66.67% -4.76% 0.85521 -0.2432 0.1938
Pike Industrial Complex 3 66.67% -5.56% 0.82971 -0.059 0.1519
Realm of Discord 4 75.00% 1.91% 0.93148 -0.2057 -0.1565
Rook City 27 3.70% -57.09% 0.0 -1.6687 -0.5367
Ruins of Atlantis 14 35.71% -31.63% 0.01161 -0.5317 0.4922
Silver Gulch 1883 9 77.78% 5.80% 0.69849 0.0856 0.5332
The Block 12 75.00% 1.93% 0.88039 -0.4469 -0.4749
The Celestial Tribunal 7 57.14% -14.82% 0.38272 -0.4739 -0.1484
The Court of Blood 4 100.00% 27.22% 0.22128 0.2173 0.279
The Enclave of the Endlings 3 66.67% -6.95% 0.78468 -0.3047 -0.5117
The Final Wasteland 14 78.57% 3.28% 0.77625 -0.4424 -0.8786
The Temple of Zhu Long 12 91.67% 18.56% 0.14703 0.2575 0.0151
Time Cataclysm 6 83.33% 11.06% 0.5449 -0.0076 0.1731
Tomb of Anubis 16 43.75% -28.81% 0.00981 0.9136 1.1836
Wagner Mars Base 2 100.00% 27.54% 0.3833 0.0964 0.3646

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 9 33.33% -33.57% 0.03236
4 33 57.58% -14.62% 0.06076
5 233 72.53% -0.82% 0.77783

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Heroes Incapacitated 83
Villain Destroyed 191
Environment Alternate Defeat 1

Notes

Deviation

The difference between the actual win rate of this combination of elements and the win rates of each of those elements on their own, averaged. A positive value means that this combination results in a win more often than would be expected.

Chi-Square p-value

This is the significance value of a χ² test comparing the observed data and expected value. In most cases, this expected value is the mean of the win rates of each element. For team position, the expected value is an equal likelihood of winning in all positions. Lower p-values (no greater than 0.01) mean a greater likelihood that the difference is meaningful and not due to chance.

Logistic Regression Coefficient

Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game, considering only games when 192 is present. The number on the right compares this model to the global one (counting all games); positive numbers suggests that this hero/villain/environment results in a win more often when 192 is present than otherwise, and vice-versa.