Kismet

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 192 83.33% -0.99% 0.70594 -1.117 -0.3899
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 59 93.22% 5.98% 0.16869 -0.6282 -0.4265
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 43 97.67% 12.16% 0.02351 0.3482 0.8413
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 16 87.50% 13.24% 0.22582 -0.4111 0.3807
Akash'Thriya 147 96.60% 9.03% 0.00091 0.5544 0.2894
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 63 96.83% 10.13% 0.01793 0.5323 0.1046
Argent Adept 299 54.18% -31.79% 0.0 -1.1367 -0.7332
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 54 77.78% -8.41% 0.07315 -1.4282 -1.1516
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 82 89.02% 2.20% 0.55552 -0.2578 -0.2045
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 98 93.88% 7.31% 0.03377 0.1594 0.2295
Benchmark 129 96.90% 10.68% 0.00043 0.74 0.689
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 77 98.70% 11.89% 0.00204 0.9886 0.4932
Bunker 146 85.62% 1.16% 0.69976 -0.7902 -0.0335
Bunker: Freedom Five 65 95.38% 8.72% 0.0387 0.2847 0.1562
Bunker: Freedom Six 28 92.86% 12.23% 0.10156 -0.1738 0.3401
Bunker: G.I. 38 89.47% 5.43% 0.36037 -0.6241 -0.0812
Bunker: Termi-Nation 15 93.33% 28.32% 0.02146 -0.0353 0.5369
Captain Cosmic 126 83.33% -2.19% 0.48481 -0.7543 -0.1047
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 21 85.71% 29.46% 0.00649 -0.699 0.3949
Captain Cosmic: Requital 42 92.86% 6.61% 0.21356 0.1819 0.1857
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 31 90.32% 4.12% 0.50553 -0.3188 -0.0764
Chrono-Ranger 366 96.45% 9.57% 0.0 0.8565 0.8259
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 57 92.98% 6.81% 0.13652 0.0793 0.2365
Dr. Medico 181 95.03% 7.68% 0.00188 0.2003 0.0523
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 36 97.22% 10.38% 0.06545 0.3697 0.3718
Expatriette 298 91.61% 6.11% 0.00274 -0.1622 0.3565
Expatriette: Dark Watch 106 93.40% 10.59% 0.00387 -0.0756 0.2449
Fanatic 398 63.57% -22.62% 0.0 -0.8534 -0.7013
Fanatic: Prime Warden 114 91.23% 6.50% 0.05368 -0.3851 -0.4075
Fanatic: Redeemer 53 83.02% -2.90% 0.5443 -0.8247 -0.6924
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 36 88.89% 20.94% 0.00709 -0.3525 0.0072
Guise 139 89.21% 3.29% 0.26451 -0.2988 0.1177
Guise: Completionist 14 92.86% 7.51% 0.42682 -0.1581 0.2832
Guise: Santa 116 98.28% 16.56% 0.0 1.4037 1.7146
Haka 275 91.27% 5.07% 0.01485 -0.0313 0.0849
Haka: Eternal 39 92.31% 5.70% 0.29581 -0.1554 -0.1976
Haka: Prime Warden 39 94.87% 15.61% 0.01621 0.0412 0.1149
Haka: Xtreme PW 33 93.94% 7.76% 0.19666 -0.478 -0.4487
Harpy 134 95.52% 9.33% 0.00174 0.5413 0.8222
Harpy: Dark Watch 98 93.88% 10.13% 0.00656 -0.1313 -0.2629
Idealist 183 92.90% 8.08% 0.00232 0.0338 0.3999
Idealist: Super Sentai 55 90.91% 4.88% 0.29634 -0.4176 -0.0899
K.N.Y.F.E. 369 57.72% -28.49% 0.0 -1.639 -1.2824
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 79 86.08% 0.17% 0.96543 -0.3571 -0.1038
La Comodora 121 96.69% 9.91% 0.00129 0.5988 0.5654
La Comodora: Black Spot 74 97.30% 10.94% 0.0061 0.5955 0.4261
Legacy 681 95.30% 7.60% 0.0 0.5159 -0.2015
Legacy: Freedom Five 121 99.17% 10.04% 0.00039 1.1004 0.1132
Legacy: Greatest 219 93.61% 5.88% 0.008 -0.1653 -0.9756
Legacy: Young 226 95.13% 8.40% 0.0002 -0.0268 -0.6279
Lifeline 203 96.06% 9.50% 7e-05 0.921 0.7962
Lifeline: Blood Mage 34 100.00% 12.44% 0.02793 0.8865 0.4908
Luminary 179 93.85% 7.76% 0.00269 0.2196 0.2366
Luminary: Heroic 103 95.15% 8.47% 0.01146 0.2237 0.2182
Mainstay 173 93.64% 7.45% 0.0045 0.2023 0.1958
Mainstay: Road Warrior 30 80.00% -6.01% 0.34237 -0.9708 -0.7036
Mr. Fixer 264 90.15% 4.01% 0.05921 -0.3414 -0.1247
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 56 91.07% 20.99% 0.0006 -0.1526 0.0014
Naturalist 151 91.39% 3.86% 0.15089 -0.0534 -0.1736
Naturalist: Hunted 123 95.93% 7.78% 0.00755 0.3989 -0.0136
NightMist 216 91.67% 5.51% 0.01907 -0.1356 0.0653
NightMist: Dark Watch 58 84.48% 19.77% 0.00163 -1.0025 -0.2183
Omnitron-X 358 92.18% 5.93% 0.00111 0.2272 0.1571
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 64 98.44% 11.74% 0.00569 1.0405 0.9366
Parse 184 93.48% 7.45% 0.00357 0.2669 0.555
Parse: Fugue State 96 95.83% 8.62% 0.01142 0.3503 0.0207
Ra 413 93.70% 7.11% 2e-05 0.1273 0.3304
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 51 94.12% 8.12% 0.09484 0.2577 0.4226
Ra: Setting Sun 38 94.74% 8.51% 0.12781 -0.1433 -0.3809
Scholar 238 90.34% 3.76% 0.08896 -0.2337 -0.406
Scholar: Of the Infinite 45 88.89% 1.81% 0.71806 -0.4288 -0.9582
Sentinels 156 88.46% 1.19% 0.65659 0.0028 -0.1893
Sentinels: Adamant 42 97.62% 9.49% 0.05721 0.4162 -0.1506
Setback 386 92.23% 7.25% 7e-05 0.2183 0.3746
Setback: Dark Watch 52 94.23% 28.26% 2e-05 0.355 1.099
Sky-Scraper 205 94.63% 8.45% 0.00046 0.7397 0.644
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 78 91.03% 4.49% 0.24565 -0.2058 -0.488
Stuntman 182 90.66% 4.47% 0.08073 0.0335 0.0251
Stuntman: Action Hero 77 98.70% 12.04% 0.00188 0.9064 0.4205
Tachyon 129 91.47% 5.53% 0.07079 0.1122 0.3689
Tachyon: Freedom Five 49 91.84% 5.18% 0.28589 -0.0047 -0.0641
Tachyon: Freedom Six 439 97.95% 8.32% 0.0 1.1298 0.4206
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 154 98.05% 10.67% 7e-05 1.5532 0.9965
Tempest 430 96.28% 8.86% 0.0 0.6886 0.5332
Tempest: Freedom Six 23 100.00% 29.55% 0.0019 0.8784 0.8857
Tempest: Prime Warden 42 95.24% 8.20% 0.11352 0.1847 0.0622
Tempest: Xtreme PW 71 98.59% 12.40% 0.00246 0.9693 0.9928
Unity 216 88.89% 2.97% 0.20928 -0.1772 0.3142
Unity: Freedom Six 21 100.00% 13.85% 0.06618 0.4956 0.8206
Unity: Termi-Nation 72 91.67% 6.70% 0.1115 -0.2513 -0.1144
Visionary 297 94.95% 8.76% 1e-05 0.297 0.4261
Visionary: Dark 99 90.91% 4.51% 0.19058 0.2709 0.2986
Visionary: Unleashed 93 93.55% 6.73% 0.05514 -0.2719 -0.2768
Wraith 492 95.33% 9.07% 0.0 0.6649 0.7993
Wraith: Freedom Five 55 94.55% 7.34% 0.10303 -0.1291 -0.3468
Wraith: Freedom Six 61 96.72% 10.48% 0.0175 0.8419 0.963
Wraith: Rook City 55 92.73% 6.52% 0.16062 0.3019 0.4476
Writhe 164 95.12% 8.90% 0.00095 0.2272 0.2197
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 60 96.67% 9.45% 0.02832 0.4985 -0.0614

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 109 94.50% 8.19% 0.01291 0.1876 -0.1224
Dok'Thorath Capital 129 88.37% 2.87% 0.35418 -0.5266 -0.2226
Fort Adamant 66 90.91% 4.40% 0.29562 0.1039 -0.0664
Freedom Tower 123 96.75% 9.16% 0.00206 0.7312 0.5508
Insula Primalis 146 91.78% 5.60% 0.04998 0.0674 0.656
Madame Mittermeier's 105 99.05% 12.95% 0.00013 1.5407 1.7162
Maerynian Refuge 105 97.14% 10.80% 0.00127 0.7889 0.612
Magmaria 70 95.71% 9.44% 0.02174 0.4938 0.4148
Megalopolis 122 90.98% 4.60% 0.13833 -0.0571 0.1751
Mobile Defense Platform 95 96.84% 9.99% 0.00396 0.6324 0.5192
Mordengrad 48 83.33% 10.52% 0.10143 -0.9215 -0.0897
Nexus of the Void 76 94.74% 5.88% 0.10331 0.5359 0.0129
Omnitron-IV 82 95.12% 9.83% 0.01197 0.4309 0.8679
Pike Industrial Complex 98 94.90% 8.74% 0.01224 0.5276 0.7385
Realm of Discord 91 94.51% 7.61% 0.03149 0.0872 0.1365
Rook City 107 85.98% 22.30% 0.0 -0.6927 0.4393
Ruins of Atlantis 118 89.83% 17.09% 3e-05 -0.4282 0.5957
Silver Gulch 1883 206 91.26% 5.35% 0.02729 -0.3642 0.0835
The Block 510 70.39% -16.49% 0.0 -0.8461 -0.8742
The Celestial Tribunal 87 91.95% 6.06% 0.10444 0.0029 0.3284
The Court of Blood 86 96.51% 9.86% 0.00717 0.2836 0.3453
The Enclave of the Endlings 126 93.65% 6.38% 0.03162 0.1564 -0.0506
The Final Wasteland 128 91.41% 3.25% 0.25519 -0.005 -0.4412
The Temple of Zhu Long 110 94.55% 7.64% 0.01754 0.3495 0.1072
Time Cataclysm 123 89.43% 3.23% 0.29853 -0.4798 -0.2991
Tomb of Anubis 100 87.00% 0.54% 0.8752 -0.7273 -0.4573
Wagner Mars Base 73 94.52% 8.15% 0.04249 0.4734 0.7415

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 593 65.77% -6.18% 0.00081
4 1262 92.63% +6.50% 0.0
5 1501 95.47% +8.38% 0.0

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Heroes Incapacitated 352
Villain Destroyed 2992
Environment Alternate Defeat 12

Kismet (Advanced)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 3 100.00% 11.27% 0.53697 0.0401 0.7672
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 11 100.00% 9.42% 0.28482 0.2798 0.4815
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 2 100.00% 10.57% 0.62677 0.1058 0.5989
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 2 50.00% -35.60% 0.15154 -0.529 0.2628
Akash'Thriya 8 87.50% -3.32% 0.74542 -0.3076 -0.5726
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 5 100.00% 9.80% 0.46109 0.1165 -0.3112
Argent Adept 6 100.00% 10.28% 0.40691 0.1438 0.5472
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 5 100.00% 10.14% 0.45253 0.1721 0.4488
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 6 100.00% 9.71% 0.4217 0.1726 0.2259
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 3 100.00% 9.89% 0.56607 0.0867 0.1568
Benchmark 9 100.00% 10.12% 0.31411 0.2545 0.2035
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 15 93.33% 3.06% 0.68935 -0.0045 -0.4999
Bunker 5 80.00% -8.80% 0.53255 -0.3016 0.4551
Bunker: Freedom Five 5 100.00% 9.82% 0.46058 0.1469 0.0183
Bunker: Freedom Six 4 100.00% 12.69% 0.44585 0.078 0.5919
Bunker: G.I. 1 100.00% 11.43% 0.71948 0.0424 0.5854
Bunker: Termi-Nation 3 66.67% -0.93% 0.9725 -0.5791 -0.0069
Captain Cosmic 34 94.12% 4.69% 0.37394 -0.169 0.4807
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 2 50.00% -7.74% 0.82455 -0.506 0.5879
Captain Cosmic: Requital 5 100.00% 10.10% 0.45346 0.0692 0.073
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 8 100.00% 10.14% 0.34213 0.1591 0.4015
Chrono-Ranger 21 100.00% 9.67% 0.13369 0.4303 0.3997
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 3 100.00% 10.15% 0.56043 0.1308 0.288
Dr. Medico 20 100.00% 9.35% 0.15104 0.467 0.319
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 4 100.00% 9.70% 0.51217 0.1205 0.1225
Expatriette 6 83.33% -6.08% 0.62823 -0.3041 0.2146
Expatriette: Dark Watch 9 100.00% 12.01% 0.26775 0.404 0.7245
Fanatic 6 83.33% -6.52% 0.59677 -0.5299 -0.3777
Fanatic: Prime Warden 7 100.00% 11.05% 0.35113 0.1549 0.1325
Fanatic: Redeemer 5 100.00% 10.32% 0.4481 0.1391 0.2714
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 3 100.00% 28.53% 0.27383 0.1947 0.5544
Guise 9 66.67% -23.01% 0.02325 -1.1761 -0.7597
Guise: Completionist 1 100.00% 10.68% 0.7295 0.0204 0.4617
Guise: Santa 3 100.00% 12.41% 0.51443 0.1227 0.4336
Haka 11 90.91% 1.04% 0.90901 -0.2317 -0.1156
Haka: Eternal 1 100.00% 9.86% 0.74081 0.0064 -0.0358
Haka: Prime Warden 3 100.00% 12.84% 0.50626 0.1141 0.1878
Harpy 8 75.00% -14.86% 0.16388 -0.8931 -0.6123
Harpy: Dark Watch 8 100.00% 11.58% 0.30613 0.0837 -0.0479
Idealist 8 87.50% -1.50% 0.89177 -0.3434 0.0226
Idealist: Super Sentai 3 100.00% 10.25% 0.55834 0.1114 0.4392
K.N.Y.F.E. 11 81.82% -8.06% 0.37579 -0.6149 -0.2582
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 7 85.71% -3.96% 0.73074 -0.3544 -0.1011
La Comodora 7 85.71% -4.54% 0.68514 -0.1837 -0.2171
La Comodora: Black Spot 4 100.00% 10.03% 0.50421 0.1196 -0.0498
Legacy 43 95.35% 4.44% 0.31117 -0.1459 -0.8633
Legacy: Freedom Five 15 100.00% 8.01% 0.25314 0.2906 -0.6966
Legacy: Greatest 20 100.00% 9.07% 0.15781 0.3797 -0.4306
Legacy: Young 12 100.00% 9.77% 0.25422 0.2331 -0.3679
Lifeline 8 100.00% 9.90% 0.34855 0.2081 0.0832
Lifeline: Blood Mage 3 100.00% 9.20% 0.58152 0.2115 -0.1843
Luminary 12 91.67% 1.87% 0.83035 -0.1304 -0.1134
Luminary: Heroic 5 100.00% 9.81% 0.46079 0.073 0.0676
Mainstay: Road Warrior 2 100.00% 10.26% 0.63255 0.114 0.3812
Mr. Fixer 15 86.67% -3.16% 0.68582 -0.419 -0.2023
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 1 100.00% 24.75% 0.5663 0.0187 0.1727
Naturalist 6 83.33% -7.45% 0.52795 -0.3007 -0.4209
Naturalist: Hunted 1 100.00% 8.76% 0.7567 0.0314 -0.3811
NightMist 43 90.70% 0.86% 0.85187 -0.6223 -0.4214
NightMist: Dark Watch 6 100.00% 32.77% 0.08727 0.1809 0.9652
Omnitron-X 43 95.35% 5.45% 0.23533 0.0222 -0.0479
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 8 100.00% 9.80% 0.3512 0.0667 -0.0373
Parse 2 100.00% 10.25% 0.63278 0.1401 0.4282
Parse: Fugue State 7 100.00% 9.44% 0.39295 0.1633 -0.1663
Ra 19 94.74% 4.61% 0.50091 -0.0577 0.1453
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 2 100.00% 10.27% 0.63242 0.144 0.309
Ra: Setting Sun 2 100.00% 10.12% 0.63511 0.056 -0.1817
Scholar 16 87.50% -2.62% 0.72566 -0.3422 -0.5145
Scholar: Of the Infinite 5 80.00% -10.47% 0.42538 -0.4203 -0.9496
Sentinels 7 100.00% 9.40% 0.3942 0.2226 0.0305
Sentinels: Adamant 3 100.00% 8.78% 0.59114 0.0919 -0.475
Setback 52 94.23% 5.13% 0.23485 0.082 0.2383
Setback: Dark Watch 2 100.00% 31.21% 0.34079 0.0233 0.7673
Sky-Scraper 13 76.92% -12.93% 0.12243 -0.8776 -0.9733
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 3 100.00% 9.91% 0.56569 0.1602 -0.1219
Stuntman 9 100.00% 10.14% 0.31358 0.2075 0.1991
Stuntman: Action Hero 9 100.00% 9.83% 0.322 0.1455 -0.3404
Tachyon 2 100.00% 10.30% 0.63172 0.1018 0.3585
Tachyon: Freedom Five 8 100.00% 9.83% 0.35033 0.1679 0.1085
Tachyon: Freedom Six 46 100.00% 7.62% 0.05141 0.6912 -0.018
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 42 95.24% 4.56% 0.3094 -0.0087 -0.5654
Tempest 40 100.00% 9.29% 0.04292 0.7974 0.6421
Tempest: Prime Warden 6 100.00% 9.57% 0.42565 0.1204 -0.0021
Tempest: Xtreme PW 2 100.00% 10.14% 0.63473 0.0593 0.0827
Unity 10 100.00% 10.32% 0.28338 0.4087 0.9
Unity: Freedom Six 2 100.00% 10.17% 0.63425 0.0602 0.3852
Unity: Termi-Nation 5 80.00% -9.09% 0.51447 -0.4515 -0.3146
Visionary 9 88.89% -0.97% 0.92344 -0.0882 0.0408
Visionary: Dark 13 100.00% 10.00% 0.22936 0.3143 0.3419
Visionary: Unleashed 3 100.00% 9.71% 0.56993 0.0389 0.034
Wraith 27 100.00% 10.10% 0.08154 0.5573 0.6917
Wraith: Freedom Five 2 100.00% 9.45% 0.64779 0.0323 -0.1854
Wraith: Freedom Six 3 100.00% 10.11% 0.56139 0.0342 0.1553
Wraith: Rook City 1 100.00% 10.13% 0.73702 0.0052 0.1509
Writhe 7 100.00% 10.12% 0.37467 0.265 0.2575
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 4 100.00% 9.44% 0.51845 0.1256 -0.4343

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 9 100.00% 10.06% 0.31563 0.1973 -0.1128
Dok'Thorath Capital 7 85.71% -3.70% 0.7503 -0.5035 -0.1995
Fort Adamant 5 100.00% 9.93% 0.45789 0.0814 -0.0889
Freedom Tower 15 100.00% 9.17% 0.2184 0.2711 0.0907
Insula Primalis 9 100.00% 10.15% 0.31339 0.3904 0.9791
Madame Mittermeier's 3 100.00% 10.20% 0.55937 0.072 0.2476
Maerynian Refuge 7 100.00% 10.04% 0.37679 0.179 0.0021
Magmaria 4 100.00% 10.09% 0.50297 0.1377 0.0587
Megalopolis 6 100.00% 10.01% 0.41384 0.2035 0.4357
Mobile Defense Platform 3 100.00% 9.69% 0.57043 0.0421 -0.0711
Mordengrad 2 100.00% 15.75% 0.54084 0.0616 0.8934
Nexus of the Void 7 100.00% 8.22% 0.42844 0.249 -0.274
Omnitron-IV 3 100.00% 10.71% 0.54854 0.0595 0.4965
Pike Industrial Complex 5 100.00% 10.16% 0.45201 0.305 0.5158
Rook City 3 66.67% 0.67% 0.98048 -0.4861 0.6459
Ruins of Atlantis 10 90.00% 5.85% 0.61251 -0.3544 0.6695
Silver Gulch 1883 6 100.00% 10.32% 0.40591 0.1095 0.5572
The Block 22 90.91% 0.58% 0.92643 -0.3171 -0.3451
The Celestial Tribunal 1 100.00% 10.33% 0.73423 0.0418 0.3673
The Court of Blood 7 100.00% 9.83% 0.38226 0.1794 0.241
The Enclave of the Endlings 11 81.82% -8.78% 0.31831 -0.4665 -0.6735
The Final Wasteland 11 81.82% -9.43% 0.26849 -0.3859 -0.8221
The Temple of Zhu Long 36 94.44% 4.10% 0.40487 -0.1667 -0.4091
Time Cataclysm 8 87.50% -2.36% 0.82474 -0.4428 -0.2621
Tomb of Anubis 5 100.00% 9.96% 0.45706 0.1614 0.4314
Wagner Mars Base 5 100.00% 10.02% 0.45559 0.1815 0.4497

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 28 85.71% +2.74% 0.69998
4 60 91.67% +1.85% 0.6362
5 124 97.58% +7.11% 0.007

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Heroes Incapacitated 12
Villain Destroyed 200

Kismet (Challenge)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 1 100.00% 11.45% 0.71916 0.023 0.7501
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 3 100.00% 9.57% 0.57319 0.099 0.3007
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 1 0.00% -85.34% 0.01584 -0.5271 0.2648
Akash'Thriya 3 100.00% 9.33% 0.57851 0.0903 -0.1746
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 3 100.00% 9.95% 0.56474 0.0768 -0.3509
Argent Adept 2 100.00% 10.44% 0.62914 0.0494 0.4528
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 13 100.00% 9.87% 0.23294 0.2469 0.3001
Benchmark 2 100.00% 10.28% 0.63221 0.0563 0.0053
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 4 100.00% 9.88% 0.50793 0.1167 -0.3787
Bunker 2 50.00% -38.63% 0.08531 -0.4785 0.2783
Bunker: Freedom Six 2 100.00% 12.89% 0.58639 0.0329 0.5469
Bunker: G.I. 2 0.00% -88.40% 9e-05 -0.9725 -0.4296
Captain Cosmic 3 66.67% -22.60% 0.20604 -0.4228 0.2269
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 9 88.89% 31.22% 0.05798 -0.379 0.715
Captain Cosmic: Requital 1 0.00% -89.74% 0.0031 -0.4455 -0.4416
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 10.29% 0.7348 0.0142 0.2566
Chrono-Ranger 8 100.00% 9.82% 0.35052 0.2093 0.1786
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 1 100.00% 10.31% 0.7346 0.1016 0.2588
Dr. Medico 7 100.00% 9.49% 0.39157 0.1512 0.0032
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 3 66.67% -23.48% 0.17225 -0.3095 -0.3074
Expatriette 6 100.00% 10.75% 0.39529 0.198 0.7167
Expatriette: Dark Watch 1 100.00% 12.20% 0.70934 0.0418 0.3623
Fanatic 6 100.00% 10.30% 0.40645 0.154 0.3061
Fanatic: Prime Warden 9 100.00% 11.22% 0.28623 0.1639 0.1415
Fanatic: Redeemer 4 100.00% 10.48% 0.49376 0.1532 0.2855
Guise 4 100.00% 10.48% 0.49377 0.1376 0.5541
Guise: Santa 2 100.00% 12.61% 0.59113 0.1179 0.4288
Haka 2 100.00% 10.29% 0.63201 0.1898 0.3059
Haka: Eternal 3 100.00% 10.02% 0.56336 0.0874 0.0452
Haka: Prime Warden 8 100.00% 13.05% 0.27326 0.1481 0.2218
Haka: Xtreme PW 1 0.00% -89.70% 0.00317 -0.5235 -0.4942
Harpy 1 100.00% 10.30% 0.73473 0.1016 0.3824
Harpy: Dark Watch 4 100.00% 11.76% 0.46537 0.1927 0.0612
Idealist 6 83.33% -5.50% 0.66877 -0.28 0.0861
K.N.Y.F.E. 24 95.83% 6.12% 0.32391 0.0093 0.366
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 1 100.00% 10.49% 0.73214 0.0446 0.2979
La Comodora 3 100.00% 9.89% 0.56603 0.062 0.0286
La Comodora: Black Spot 1 100.00% 10.19% 0.73626 0.0942 -0.0753
Legacy 32 96.88% 6.11% 0.2326 0.1953 -0.5221
Legacy: Freedom Five 7 100.00% 8.14% 0.43096 0.2916 -0.6955
Legacy: Greatest 5 100.00% 9.21% 0.47626 0.1251 -0.6851
Lifeline 10 90.00% 0.05% 0.99576 -0.1501 -0.2749
Luminary 3 100.00% 10.36% 0.5559 0.0801 0.0971
Luminary: Heroic 1 100.00% 9.96% 0.73938 0.0201 0.0146
Mainstay 7 100.00% 10.30% 0.36999 0.209 0.2024
Mainstay: Road Warrior 1 100.00% 10.42% 0.7331 0.0588 0.326
Mr. Fixer 2 100.00% 10.33% 0.63117 0.0408 0.2575
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 3 66.67% -8.16% 0.74461 -0.418 -0.264
Naturalist: Hunted 28 96.43% 5.33% 0.32228 0.1215 -0.291
NightMist 6 100.00% 10.32% 0.40601 0.1159 0.3169
NightMist: Dark Watch 2 100.00% 32.91% 0.32196 0.1005 0.8848
Omnitron-X 4 100.00% 10.26% 0.49882 0.1891 0.119
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 2 100.00% 9.95% 0.63826 0.0274 -0.0766
Parse 2 50.00% -39.60% 0.06665 -0.396 -0.1079
Parse: Fugue State 23 95.65% 5.24% 0.39331 -0.0893 -0.4189
Ra 17 94.12% 4.14% 0.56983 -0.1254 0.0777
Ra: Setting Sun 1 100.00% 10.28% 0.73503 0.011 -0.2267
Scholar 11 100.00% 10.04% 0.26799 0.2033 0.031
Scholar: Of the Infinite 1 100.00% 9.68% 0.74338 0.0354 -0.494
Sentinels 5 100.00% 9.54% 0.46767 0.158 -0.0341
Sentinels: Adamant 2 100.00% 8.91% 0.65819 0.0729 -0.4939
Setback 29 96.55% 7.62% 0.1907 0.0438 0.2001
Setback: Dark Watch 3 66.67% -1.96% 0.9417 -0.4586 0.2854
Sky-Scraper 2 100.00% 10.30% 0.63178 0.1417 0.046
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 1 100.00% 10.06% 0.73802 0.0677 -0.2144
Stuntman: Action Hero 1 100.00% 9.98% 0.73917 0.014 -0.4719
Tachyon 2 100.00% 10.46% 0.62879 0.0318 0.2885
Tachyon: Freedom Five 1 100.00% 9.98% 0.73911 0.0197 -0.0397
Tachyon: Freedom Six 21 100.00% 7.75% 0.18417 0.4107 -0.2985
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 5 100.00% 9.47% 0.46961 0.2234 -0.3333
Tempest 12 91.67% 1.11% 0.89574 -0.2708 -0.4261
Tempest: Prime Warden 10 100.00% 9.71% 0.29959 0.1957 0.0731
Tempest: Xtreme PW 2 100.00% 10.30% 0.63183 0.0339 0.0573
Unity 1 100.00% 10.48% 0.73224 0.0142 0.5055
Unity: Termi-Nation 1 100.00% 11.08% 0.72409 0.0146 0.1515
Visionary 3 100.00% 10.30% 0.55723 0.1038 0.2328
Visionary: Dark 5 100.00% 10.16% 0.45214 0.1148 0.1425
Visionary: Unleashed 4 100.00% 9.87% 0.50818 0.2116 0.2067
Wraith 8 100.00% 10.26% 0.33894 0.2062 0.3406
Wraith: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 10.26% 0.73522 0.0105 0.1317
Wraith: Rook City 21 95.24% 5.53% 0.40438 -0.1647 -0.019
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 2 100.00% 9.59% 0.64513 0.0604 -0.4995

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 1 0.00% -89.78% 0.00304 -0.5838 -0.8938
Dok'Thorath Capital 3 66.67% -22.58% 0.20662 -0.4032 -0.0992
Fort Adamant 1 100.00% 10.08% 0.73775 0.0446 -0.1257
Freedom Tower 9 100.00% 9.32% 0.33626 0.2163 0.0359
Insula Primalis 2 100.00% 10.30% 0.63171 0.1061 0.6948
Madame Mittermeier's 2 100.00% 10.36% 0.63069 0.0272 0.2028
Maerynian Refuge 10 100.00% 10.19% 0.28668 0.2461 0.0691
Magmaria 23 95.65% 5.89% 0.35121 -0.1092 -0.1882
Megalopolis 2 100.00% 10.17% 0.63419 0.1284 0.3606
Mobile Defense Platform 5 80.00% -10.16% 0.44578 -0.4955 -0.6087
Nexus of the Void 2 100.00% 8.35% 0.66939 0.134 -0.389
Pike Industrial Complex 2 100.00% 10.32% 0.63142 0.0597 0.2705
Realm of Discord 1 100.00% 9.81% 0.74152 0.1275 0.1767
Rook City 2 50.00% -15.87% 0.63599 -0.4856 0.6464
Ruins of Atlantis 2 100.00% 16.19% 0.53421 0.0582 1.0821
Silver Gulch 1883 4 100.00% 10.48% 0.4937 0.0612 0.5089
The Block 9 100.00% 9.82% 0.3221 0.3257 0.2976
The Celestial Tribunal 3 100.00% 10.49% 0.55312 0.2311 0.5566
The Court of Blood 1 100.00% 9.99% 0.73908 0.0173 0.0789
The Enclave of the Endlings 6 100.00% 9.55% 0.42614 0.174 -0.033
The Final Wasteland 3 100.00% 8.89% 0.58844 0.0475 -0.3887
The Temple of Zhu Long 5 100.00% 9.81% 0.46094 0.1104 -0.132
Time Cataclysm 1 100.00% 10.29% 0.7348 0.0335 0.2142
Tomb of Anubis 1 100.00% 10.11% 0.73729 0.0307 0.3007
Wagner Mars Base 2 50.00% -39.83% 0.06245 -0.3867 -0.1185

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 13 69.23% -13.29% 0.20698
4 17 100.00% +10.34% 0.16152
5 72 97.22% +6.90% 0.04764

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Heroes Incapacitated 6
Villain Destroyed 96

Kismet (Ultimate)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 8 100.00% 8.12% 0.40059 0.1204 0.8475
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 8 100.00% 6.67% 0.44973 0.196 0.3977
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 7.58% 0.77459 0.0031 0.4962
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 4 75.00% -14.73% 0.33194 -0.5304 0.2615
Akash'Thriya 7 100.00% 6.48% 0.48633 0.1505 -0.1144
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 11 100.00% 6.97% 0.36395 0.1304 -0.2973
Argent Adept 7 85.71% -6.93% 0.4823 -0.5269 -0.1234
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 3 100.00% 7.24% 0.62842 0.0227 0.2994
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 13 100.00% 6.90% 0.32624 0.0863 0.1396
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 7.04% 0.78312 0.0285 0.0986
Benchmark 6 83.33% -9.44% 0.37165 -0.4981 -0.5491
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 9 100.00% 6.91% 0.41371 0.1071 -0.3883
Bunker 5 100.00% 8.06% 0.50798 0.061 0.8177
Bunker: Freedom Five 7 85.71% -7.30% 0.44874 -0.5959 -0.7245
Bunker: Freedom Six 4 100.00% 9.14% 0.52577 0.0538 0.5678
Bunker: Termi-Nation 2 100.00% 28.69% 0.36966 0.0634 0.6356
Captain Cosmic 8 100.00% 7.58% 0.41802 0.0702 0.7198
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 3 66.67% 7.18% 0.79996 -0.5591 0.5348
Captain Cosmic: Requital 16 100.00% 7.21% 0.26477 0.0925 0.0964
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 3 100.00% 7.24% 0.62852 0.0625 0.3049
Chrono-Ranger 47 100.00% 6.87% 0.06261 0.3915 0.3609
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 7 85.71% -7.04% 0.47278 -0.5143 -0.3571
Dr. Medico 10 100.00% 6.61% 0.40036 0.0837 -0.0643
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 9 100.00% 6.89% 0.41446 0.1483 0.1504
Expatriette 11 100.00% 7.59% 0.34191 0.187 0.7057
Expatriette: Dark Watch 2 100.00% 8.66% 0.66324 0.0254 0.346
Fanatic 293 99.32% 6.56% 1e-05 0.2576 0.4098
Fanatic: Prime Warden 11 100.00% 7.94% 0.32992 0.2554 0.233
Fanatic: Redeemer 5 100.00% 7.38% 0.52784 0.1352 0.2675
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 4 100.00% 17.24% 0.36128 0.1286 0.4883
Guise 305 99.34% 6.73% 1e-05 0.3386 0.755
Guise: Completionist 6 66.67% -25.67% 0.01807 -0.6641 -0.2228
Guise: Santa 2 100.00% 8.95% 0.6575 0.0184 0.3293
Haka 13 100.00% 7.23% 0.31404 0.1258 0.2419
Haka: Eternal 4 100.00% 7.02% 0.58261 0.0282 -0.0139
Haka: Prime Warden 3 100.00% 9.25% 0.58032 0.0247 0.0984
Harpy 5 100.00% 7.24% 0.53212 0.0839 0.3648
Harpy: Dark Watch 6 66.67% -24.99% 0.02683 -0.7138 -0.8453
Idealist 12 100.00% 7.90% 0.31019 0.1973 0.5634
Idealist: Super Sentai 5 100.00% 7.33% 0.52954 0.045 0.3727
K.N.Y.F.E. 292 99.32% 6.54% 2e-05 0.3237 0.6804
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 5 100.00% 7.39% 0.52769 0.0324 0.2857
La Comodora 10 100.00% 6.92% 0.38842 0.1129 0.0795
La Comodora: Black Spot 6 100.00% 7.16% 0.4965 0.1292 -0.0402
Legacy 70 100.00% 6.40% 0.0287 0.5206 -0.1969
Legacy: Freedom Five 24 100.00% 5.50% 0.23708 0.1836 -0.8036
Legacy: Greatest 28 100.00% 6.38% 0.1671 0.2396 -0.5707
Legacy: Young 3 100.00% 6.95% 0.63596 0.0474 -0.5537
Lifeline 17 100.00% 7.05% 0.25623 0.2685 0.1436
Luminary 14 92.86% 0.15% 0.98288 -0.3951 -0.3781
Luminary: Heroic 3 100.00% 6.98% 0.63517 0.0477 0.0422
Mainstay 12 100.00% 7.24% 0.33308 0.1961 0.1895
Mainstay: Road Warrior 2 100.00% 7.33% 0.69075 0.0487 0.3159
Mr. Fixer 7 100.00% 7.27% 0.45887 0.0825 0.2992
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 5 80.00% -6.58% 0.66619 -0.4985 -0.3444
Naturalist 8 100.00% 6.50% 0.45585 0.1853 0.0651
Naturalist: Hunted 25 100.00% 6.13% 0.20151 0.1664 -0.2462
NightMist 15 100.00% 7.26% 0.27859 0.1424 0.3433
NightMist: Dark Watch 4 75.00% 4.22% 0.85264 -0.5283 0.2559
Omnitron-X 26 100.00% 7.21% 0.15511 0.2861 0.216
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 8 100.00% 6.97% 0.43882 0.1349 0.0309
Parse 5 80.00% -12.68% 0.2766 -0.6071 -0.319
Parse: Fugue State 13 100.00% 6.68% 0.33461 0.1339 -0.1957
Ra 56 96.43% 3.45% 0.31191 -0.1978 0.0052
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 8 100.00% 7.34% 0.42603 0.1774 0.3424
Ra: Setting Sun 1 100.00% 7.22% 0.7802 0.0022 -0.2354
Scholar 18 100.00% 7.04% 0.24314 0.2284 0.056
Scholar: Of the Infinite 5 100.00% 6.76% 0.54726 0.0898 -0.4395
Sentinels 8 100.00% 6.65% 0.45043 0.0996 -0.0925
Sentinels: Adamant 6 100.00% 6.14% 0.53099 0.0576 -0.5092
Setback 39 100.00% 7.83% 0.06865 0.311 0.4673
Setback: Dark Watch 6 83.33% 10.12% 0.57551 -0.4512 0.2929
Sky-Scraper 7 85.71% -7.04% 0.47219 -0.5488 -0.6445
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 12 100.00% 7.06% 0.33982 0.1827 -0.0994
Stuntman 8 87.50% -5.26% 0.56591 -0.3789 -0.3872
Stuntman: Action Hero 11 100.00% 6.99% 0.36316 0.1433 -0.3426
Tachyon 3 66.67% -25.96% 0.08518 -0.5948 -0.338
Tachyon: Freedom Five 5 100.00% 7.00% 0.5397 0.0941 0.0347
Tachyon: Freedom Six 355 99.44% 4.61% 9e-05 0.6875 -0.0217
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 26 100.00% 6.59% 0.17575 0.2394 -0.3173
Tempest 28 100.00% 6.56% 0.16077 0.2029 0.0475
Tempest: Freedom Six 2 100.00% 13.01% 0.58448 0.0076 0.0148
Tempest: Prime Warden 11 100.00% 6.78% 0.37096 0.0745 -0.0481
Tempest: Xtreme PW 5 100.00% 7.24% 0.53215 0.0343 0.0577
Unity 7 85.71% -6.90% 0.48483 -0.4912 0.0002
Unity: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 7.26% 0.77962 0.0169 0.3419
Unity: Termi-Nation 1 100.00% 7.84% 0.77055 0.005 0.1419
Visionary 12 91.67% -1.09% 0.88419 -0.3616 -0.2326
Visionary: Dark 12 100.00% 7.13% 0.33709 0.0829 0.1106
Visionary: Unleashed 8 100.00% 6.90% 0.44121 0.1142 0.1092
Wraith 11 100.00% 7.21% 0.35523 0.1475 0.282
Wraith: Freedom Five 13 100.00% 6.69% 0.33438 0.1669 -0.0509
Wraith: Freedom Six 3 100.00% 7.21% 0.62912 0.0183 0.1395
Wraith: Rook City 1 100.00% 7.24% 0.78004 0.009 0.1547
Writhe 11 100.00% 7.22% 0.35471 0.1178 0.1103
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 8 100.00% 6.68% 0.44913 0.0853 -0.4746

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 11 90.91% -1.91% 0.80599 -0.4101 -0.7202
Dok'Thorath Capital 10 100.00% 7.59% 0.36484 0.0979 0.402
Fort Adamant 9 100.00% 7.07% 0.40791 0.1288 -0.0416
Freedom Tower 26 100.00% 6.47% 0.18006 0.2126 0.0322
Insula Primalis 11 90.91% -1.85% 0.81337 -0.4631 0.1256
Madame Mittermeier's 18 100.00% 7.29% 0.23422 0.1362 0.3118
Maerynian Refuge 7 100.00% 7.16% 0.46248 0.0845 -0.0924
Magmaria 12 100.00% 7.20% 0.3347 0.1218 0.0428
Megalopolis 7 100.00% 7.14% 0.46313 0.0845 0.3167
Mobile Defense Platform 7 100.00% 6.88% 0.4719 0.0719 -0.0413
Mordengrad 3 100.00% 11.05% 0.54162 0.0554 0.8873
Nexus of the Void 5 100.00% 5.68% 0.58314 0.0803 -0.4427
Omnitron-IV 3 100.00% 7.69% 0.6172 0.0239 0.4609
Pike Industrial Complex 6 100.00% 7.26% 0.49319 0.0887 0.2995
Realm of Discord 5 100.00% 6.86% 0.54394 0.0647 0.1139
Rook City 5 40.00% -29.09% 0.15926 -1.3188 -0.1868
Ruins of Atlantis 8 100.00% 11.10% 0.31768 0.1246 1.1485
Silver Gulch 1883 1 100.00% 7.38% 0.77766 0.0203 0.4679
The Block 18 100.00% 6.87% 0.24923 0.1839 0.1559
The Celestial Tribunal 3 100.00% 7.39% 0.62456 0.0375 0.363
The Court of Blood 6 100.00% 7.00% 0.50166 0.0566 0.1183
The Enclave of the Endlings 8 100.00% 6.65% 0.4503 0.1398 -0.0672
The Final Wasteland 7 100.00% 6.12% 0.49927 0.0517 -0.3844
The Temple of Zhu Long 300 99.00% 5.86% 6e-05 -0.1102 -0.3526
Time Cataclysm 4 100.00% 7.24% 0.57639 0.0508 0.2315
Tomb of Anubis 3 100.00% 7.10% 0.63212 0.038 0.308
Wagner Mars Base 8 100.00% 7.14% 0.43271 0.1592 0.4274

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 13 76.92% -11.43% 0.19904
4 337 98.81% +6.08% 2e-05
5 163 99.39% +6.14% 0.00178

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Heroes Incapacitated 8
Villain Destroyed 505

Kismet: Trickster

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 16 87.50% 12.08% 0.26186 0.1368 0.8639
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 17 88.24% 4.07% 0.64572 0.3451 0.5468
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 14 50.00% -30.01% 0.00499 -1.2753 -0.7822
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 12 50.00% -21.05% 0.1078 -0.9298 -0.138
Akash'Thriya 52 88.46% 3.79% 0.44841 0.3944 0.1294
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 26 80.77% -2.47% 0.73606 -0.114 -0.5417
Argent Adept 24 91.67% 9.97% 0.2064 0.1236 0.527
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 12 100.00% 17.78% 0.1072 0.6795 0.9562
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 36 83.33% -0.13% 0.98342 0.095 0.1482
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 9 77.78% -5.21% 0.67724 -0.2836 -0.2135
Benchmark 59 83.05% 0.76% 0.87891 -0.2086 -0.2596
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 75 84.00% 0.57% 0.89525 0.6531 0.1577
Bunker 24 75.00% -0.63% 0.94259 -0.4731 0.2837
Bunker: Freedom Five 41 92.68% 9.50% 0.1039 0.6691 0.5405
Bunker: Freedom Six 50 70.00% -2.84% 0.65136 -1.1516 -0.6376
Bunker: G.I. 9 44.44% -30.60% 0.03393 -1.5288 -0.9859
Bunker: Termi-Nation 11 45.45% -18.17% 0.21041 -1.1095 -0.5374
Captain Cosmic 24 70.83% -9.21% 0.25915 -0.5619 0.0877
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 9 77.78% 22.41% 0.17625 -0.3477 0.7462
Captain Cosmic: Requital 14 71.43% -10.92% 0.28404 -0.3967 -0.3929
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 20 75.00% -7.24% 0.39714 -0.2013 0.0411
Chrono-Ranger 82 89.02% 5.46% 0.1821 0.4895 0.4589
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 22 95.45% 13.27% 0.10386 0.7436 0.9008
Dr. Medico 54 92.59% 8.26% 0.09489 0.4091 0.2611
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 16 75.00% -8.50% 0.35963 -0.4511 -0.4491
Expatriette 50 86.00% 6.12% 0.28011 -0.1905 0.3282
Expatriette: Dark Watch 68 76.47% 2.60% 0.62515 0.4792 0.7997
Fanatic 34 79.41% -2.80% 0.66997 -0.0177 0.1345
Fanatic: Prime Warden 21 85.71% 9.62% 0.30148 0.0343 0.0119
Fanatic: Redeemer 13 84.62% 3.07% 0.77514 -0.0811 0.0512
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 15 66.67% 0.44% 0.97152 -0.5395 -0.1798
Guise 21 85.71% 4.17% 0.62223 -0.0181 0.3983
Guise: Completionist 9 77.78% -0.14% 0.99181 -0.2758 0.1655
Guise: Santa 19 89.47% 16.25% 0.10975 0.436 0.7469
Haka 24 91.67% 9.41% 0.22758 0.6308 0.747
Haka: Eternal 11 90.91% 7.84% 0.48808 0.3412 0.299
Haka: Prime Warden 10 80.00% 7.35% 0.60194 -0.7813 -0.7076
Haka: Xtreme PW 22 81.82% -0.39% 0.9622 -0.3359 -0.3065
Harpy 45 86.67% 4.45% 0.43534 0.3734 0.6542
Harpy: Dark Watch 82 75.61% 0.91% 0.84976 -0.5551 -0.6866
Idealist 37 94.59% 18.32% 0.00882 0.6308 0.9969
Idealist: Super Sentai 25 80.00% -1.83% 0.81219 0.427 0.7548
K.N.Y.F.E. 27 77.78% -4.50% 0.54072 -0.5867 -0.23
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 35 80.00% -1.51% 0.81742 -0.1111 0.1422
La Comodora 43 76.74% -6.65% 0.24145 -0.5855 -0.6189
La Comodora: Black Spot 32 84.38% 1.80% 0.78817 0.0269 -0.1425
Legacy 129 93.80% 8.93% 0.00465 0.8677 0.1503
Legacy: Freedom Five 54 96.30% 9.46% 0.03982 1.2141 0.2269
Legacy: Greatest 88 84.09% -0.82% 0.83013 0.4304 -0.3799
Legacy: Young 29 93.10% 9.80% 0.15716 0.5925 -0.0086
Lifeline 56 85.71% 2.74% 0.58525 0.1294 0.0045
Lifeline: Blood Mage 20 85.00% 0.35% 0.96566 0.3229 -0.0728
Luminary 50 94.00% 12.01% 0.02715 0.9772 0.9942
Luminary: Heroic 33 84.85% 1.64% 0.80084 0.2096 0.2041
Mainstay 33 84.85% 2.63% 0.69279 -0.0608 -0.0674
Mainstay: Road Warrior 20 85.00% 3.20% 0.71046 0.6017 0.8689
Mr. Fixer 40 80.00% -2.10% 0.72861 -0.4521 -0.2354
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 16 81.25% 13.22% 0.25695 -0.3165 -0.1624
Naturalist 30 96.67% 12.05% 0.06728 0.6445 0.5243
Naturalist: Hunted 48 97.92% 12.40% 0.01466 1.1461 0.7335
NightMist 48 85.42% 3.27% 0.55423 0.3112 0.5121
NightMist: Dark Watch 29 86.21% 22.86% 0.01063 0.038 0.8223
Omnitron-X 46 80.43% -1.90% 0.73475 -0.3953 -0.4654
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 25 72.00% -11.24% 0.13238 -0.855 -0.959
Parse 38 73.68% -8.16% 0.19193 -0.3676 -0.0795
Parse: Fugue State 38 92.11% 7.99% 0.17789 0.7138 0.3842
Ra 80 88.75% 5.70% 0.17445 -0.0024 0.2006
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 60 80.00% -1.77% 0.72266 0.4201 0.5851
Ra: Setting Sun 11 81.82% -0.47% 0.96719 0.3567 0.1191
Scholar 51 86.27% 3.26% 0.53536 -0.0189 -0.1912
Scholar: Of the Infinite 24 95.83% 11.93% 0.11185 0.9429 0.4135
Sentinels 41 78.05% -6.17% 0.27859 -0.3943 -0.5864
Sentinels: Adamant 29 93.10% 7.62% 0.24426 0.5184 -0.0484
Setback 76 80.26% 3.63% 0.45442 -0.3477 -0.1914
Setback: Dark Watch 25 72.00% 7.52% 0.43226 -0.0991 0.6449
Sky-Scraper 20 95.00% 12.78% 0.13485 0.7561 0.6604
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 41 87.80% 4.86% 0.40773 0.4732 0.1911
Stuntman 51 86.27% 4.05% 0.44956 -0.034 -0.0423
Stuntman: Action Hero 42 88.10% 4.93% 0.39327 0.4739 -0.0121
Tachyon 19 89.47% 7.86% 0.37663 0.2986 0.5553
Tachyon: Freedom Five 17 76.47% -6.68% 0.46154 -0.2163 -0.2757
Tachyon: Freedom Six 109 95.41% 7.94% 0.01224 1.0103 0.3011
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 53 92.45% 8.07% 0.10553 0.625 0.0683
Tempest 72 94.44% 10.00% 0.01921 0.4817 0.3263
Tempest: Freedom Six 10 70.00% 1.67% 0.90959 -0.3124 -0.3051
Tempest: Prime Warden 27 81.48% -2.35% 0.74069 -0.0301 -0.1526
Tempest: Xtreme PW 28 85.71% 3.49% 0.62907 0.0333 0.0567
Unity 52 82.69% 1.15% 0.83114 -0.7399 -0.2485
Unity: Freedom Six 48 75.00% -7.13% 0.19689 -0.4221 -0.0972
Unity: Termi-Nation 59 72.88% -3.72% 0.49943 -0.3151 -0.1782
Visionary 21 80.95% -1.26% 0.88 0.0188 0.1478
Visionary: Dark 31 70.97% -11.70% 0.08529 -1.0418 -1.0142
Visionary: Unleashed 75 81.33% -2.13% 0.61998 -0.1733 -0.1782
Wraith 42 88.10% 5.74% 0.3291 0.3342 0.4686
Wraith: Freedom Five 46 91.30% 7.20% 0.18146 0.8015 0.5838
Wraith: Freedom Six 59 81.36% -0.98% 0.84358 0.2144 0.3355
Wraith: Rook City 16 93.75% 11.50% 0.22858 0.813 0.9587
Writhe 38 86.84% 4.55% 0.46274 0.147 0.1395
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 24 83.33% -0.78% 0.91622 0.0028 -0.5571

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 33 90.91% 8.43% 0.2027 0.78 0.4699
Dok'Thorath Capital 54 72.22% -7.65% 0.16077 -0.6138 -0.3097
Fort Adamant 23 91.30% 8.42% 0.28384 0.1295 -0.0409
Freedom Tower 71 88.73% 4.03% 0.34523 0.2682 0.0878
Insula Primalis 57 70.18% -12.03% 0.0176 -0.5951 -0.0064
Madame Mittermeier's 60 93.33% 11.32% 0.02242 0.4243 0.5998
Maerynian Refuge 22 95.45% 12.90% 0.11085 0.9048 0.7279
Magmaria 27 85.19% 2.78% 0.70459 0.1673 0.0884
Megalopolis 31 90.32% 7.69% 0.25822 0.1922 0.4244
Mobile Defense Platform 26 92.31% 8.79% 0.22707 0.6307 0.5175
Mordengrad 25 72.00% 1.89% 0.83662 -0.5267 0.3052
Nexus of the Void 29 89.66% 3.17% 0.61717 -0.0006 -0.5236
Omnitron-IV 28 82.14% 4.49% 0.56828 0.0658 0.5028
Pike Industrial Complex 23 82.61% 0.46% 0.95406 -0.2305 -0.0196
Realm of Discord 28 78.57% -5.02% 0.47308 -0.5588 -0.5096
Rook City 25 88.00% 25.60% 0.00823 0.2244 1.3564
Ruins of Atlantis 20 65.00% -5.06% 0.62146 -1.3501 -0.3262
Silver Gulch 1883 31 70.97% -10.56% 0.12965 -0.7397 -0.2921
The Block 39 92.31% 8.74% 0.14072 0.4422 0.4142
The Celestial Tribunal 16 93.75% 12.27% 0.20649 0.4912 0.8166
The Court of Blood 21 90.48% 7.33% 0.36971 0.113 0.1746
The Enclave of the Endlings 22 77.27% -6.94% 0.37238 -0.1155 -0.3225
The Final Wasteland 31 83.87% -1.66% 0.79301 -0.3292 -0.7653
The Temple of Zhu Long 21 85.71% 2.11% 0.79432 0.0579 -0.1844
Time Cataclysm 30 90.00% 7.76% 0.26588 0.3683 0.549
Tomb of Anubis 26 61.54% -21.25% 0.00409 -1.1349 -0.8649
Wagner Mars Base 20 80.00% -2.62% 0.75751 -0.2418 0.0264

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 155 70.97% +1.48% 0.68855
4 259 85.71% +3.63% 0.12797
5 461 86.55% +2.64% 0.12271

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Heroes Incapacitated 143
Villain Destroyed 731
Environment Alternate Defeat 1

Kismet: Trickster (Advanced)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 1 100.00% 64.92% 0.17369 0.1337 0.8608
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 5 20.00% -15.24% 0.47568 -0.7375 -0.2443
Akash'Thriya 3 100.00% 64.41% 0.0198 0.5613 0.2963
Argent Adept 1 100.00% 64.69% 0.17586 0.2306 0.6341
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 3 66.67% 31.22% 0.25837 0.1733 0.2265
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 2 50.00% 14.59% 0.66604 -0.0957 -0.0256
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 5 100.00% 64.55% 0.00255 0.4531 -0.0423
Bunker: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 65.21% 0.17098 0.1868 0.7008
Bunker: Termi-Nation 1 0.00% -32.59% 0.48684 -0.4107 0.1615
Captain Cosmic 1 100.00% 64.76% 0.17521 0.124 0.7737
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 2 50.00% 20.76% 0.51863 -0.2048 0.8891
Captain Cosmic: Requital 1 0.00% -35.35% 0.45961 -0.1886 -0.1847
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 64.66% 0.17621 0.1169 0.3593
Chrono-Ranger 13 84.62% 49.15% 0.00021 0.504 0.4734
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 1 0.00% -35.34% 0.45973 -0.314 -0.1567
Dr. Medico 2 0.00% -35.55% 0.29359 -0.4486 -0.5966
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 1 0.00% -35.45% 0.4586 -0.3256 -0.3236
Expatriette 3 33.33% -1.90% 0.94502 -0.2185 0.3003
Fanatic: Prime Warden 3 66.67% 31.54% 0.2525 -0.0639 -0.0862
Fanatic: Redeemer 4 100.00% 64.70% 0.00677 0.2892 0.4216
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 3 66.67% 33.27% 0.22169 0.1163 0.476
Haka: Eternal 1 0.00% -35.41% 0.45902 -0.314 -0.3562
Haka: Xtreme PW 1 0.00% -35.34% 0.45971 -0.3256 -0.2963
Harpy: Dark Watch 1 100.00% 64.99% 0.17308 0.3137 0.1821
Idealist 355 10.70% -24.44% 0.0 -0.1386 0.2275
Idealist: Super Sentai 1 100.00% 64.68% 0.17594 0.2133 0.541
La Comodora 1 100.00% 64.56% 0.17715 0.2306 0.1972
La Comodora: Black Spot 3 66.67% 31.30% 0.25689 0.013 -0.1564
Legacy 8 62.50% 26.88% 0.11231 -0.0894 -0.8068
Legacy: Freedom Five 4 50.00% 14.07% 0.55743 -0.077 -1.0642
Legacy: Greatest 7 71.43% 35.81% 0.0479 0.2036 -0.6067
Legacy: Young 3 66.67% 31.23% 0.25809 0.1152 -0.4859
Luminary 2 0.00% -35.33% 0.29592 -0.4689 -0.4519
Luminary: Heroic 1 0.00% -35.43% 0.45889 -0.309 -0.3144
Mainstay: Road Warrior 3 33.33% -1.98% 0.94278 -0.2574 0.0098
Mr. Fixer 351 9.69% -25.65% 0.0 -0.4917 -0.275
Naturalist: Hunted 2 100.00% 64.29% 0.05775 0.4184 0.0058
NightMist 1 100.00% 64.66% 0.17615 0.2982 0.4991
NightMist: Dark Watch 3 66.67% 34.17% 0.20644 0.2252 1.0094
Omnitron-X 17 58.82% 23.47% 0.04293 -0.7655 -0.8356
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 3 33.33% -2.10% 0.93951 -0.2401 -0.3441
Parse: Fugue State 4 100.00% 64.48% 0.00705 0.5101 0.1805
Ra 3 66.67% 31.26% 0.25765 -0.0314 0.1716
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 1 0.00% -35.31% 0.46 -0.314 -0.149
Scholar 3 100.00% 64.59% 0.01932 0.5059 0.3336
Scholar: Of the Infinite 3 33.33% -2.16% 0.93754 -0.2905 -0.8199
Sentinels 3 100.00% 64.47% 0.01965 0.2941 0.102
Sentinels: Adamant 2 0.00% -35.70% 0.29195 -0.4141 -0.9809
Setback 3 66.67% 31.51% 0.25309 0.1347 0.291
Sky-Scraper 1 100.00% 64.66% 0.17619 0.1169 0.0212
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 1 0.00% -35.40% 0.45913 -0.3334 -0.6155
Stuntman 1 0.00% -35.34% 0.4597 -0.309 -0.3173
Stuntman: Action Hero 3 66.67% 31.24% 0.25784 0.368 -0.118
Tachyon 1 100.00% 64.70% 0.17582 0.2914 0.5481
Tachyon: Freedom Five 1 0.00% -35.42% 0.45894 -0.3256 -0.3851
Tachyon: Freedom Six 16 81.25% 45.21% 0.00017 0.6531 -0.0561
Tempest 4 50.00% 14.44% 0.54634 -0.0944 -0.2498
Tempest: Freedom Six 2 100.00% 66.06% 0.04848 0.4001 0.4074
Tempest: Prime Warden 3 66.67% 31.18% 0.25907 -0.0639 -0.1864
Unity 6 83.33% 48.03% 0.01382 0.3777 0.869
Unity: Termi-Nation 355 10.42% -24.74% 0.0 -0.6096 -0.4727
Visionary: Unleashed 12 83.33% 47.88% 0.00053 0.3586 0.3536
Wraith 7 71.43% 36.08% 0.04588 0.2907 0.4251
Wraith: Freedom Five 12 83.33% 47.81% 0.00054 0.4124 0.1946
Wraith: Freedom Six 3 33.33% -2.02% 0.94172 -0.3757 -0.2546
Writhe 3 33.33% -2.01% 0.9418 -0.1572 -0.1647

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Dok'Thorath Capital 1 100.00% 64.76% 0.17518 0.0443 0.3484
Fort Adamant 2 50.00% 14.60% 0.66583 -0.0343 -0.2047
Insula Primalis 4 100.00% 64.66% 0.00683 0.5376 1.1263
Madame Mittermeier's 6 100.00% 64.67% 0.00092 0.6281 0.8037
Maerynian Refuge 1 100.00% 64.63% 0.17644 0.1639 -0.013
Magmaria 1 100.00% 64.64% 0.17633 0.2133 0.1344
Megalopolis 3 33.33% -2.04% 0.94106 -0.1807 0.0515
Mordengrad 1 100.00% 65.67% 0.16661 0.1504 0.9823
Nexus of the Void 1 100.00% 64.14% 0.18112 0.2982 -0.2248
Omnitron-IV 5 40.00% 4.79% 0.82239 -0.4965 -0.0595
Pike Industrial Complex 1 100.00% 64.66% 0.17615 0.2059 0.4167
Rook City 1 0.00% -32.17% 0.491 -0.309 0.823
Ruins of Atlantis 1 0.00% -34.32% 0.46981 -0.3334 0.6905
Silver Gulch 1883 353 9.63% -25.67% 0.0 -1.2776 -0.83
The Block 11 81.82% 46.36% 0.00131 0.279 0.2509
The Celestial Tribunal 3 33.33% -1.96% 0.94331 -0.2185 0.107
The Court of Blood 3 33.33% -2.09% 0.93976 -0.1553 -0.0936
The Final Wasteland 1 100.00% 64.29% 0.17967 0.124 -0.3121
The Temple of Zhu Long 2 50.00% 14.53% 0.66746 0.1687 -0.0737
Time Cataclysm 4 50.00% 14.66% 0.53976 -0.4378 -0.2571
Wagner Mars Base 1 100.00% 64.63% 0.17648 0.2642 0.5324

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 364 11.26% -22.93% 0.0
4 21 57.14% +21.81% 0.03654
5 21 80.95% +45.45% 1e-05

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Heroes Incapacitated 335
Villain Destroyed 70
Environment Alternate Defeat 1

Kismet: Trickster (Challenge)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Akash'Thriya 20 40.00% -17.03% 0.12399 0.1355 -0.1295
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 1 0.00% -56.54% 0.25402 -0.2569 0.0198
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 2 50.00% -6.66% 0.84916 -0.0662 0.0039
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 1 0.00% -56.75% 0.25203 -0.323 -0.8184
Bunker: Termi-Nation 2 0.00% -51.58% 0.14439 -0.458 0.1142
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 2 0.00% -46.23% 0.18978 -0.458 0.6359
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 2 0.00% -56.54% 0.1067 -0.4844 -0.242
Chrono-Ranger 1 100.00% 43.23% 0.38289 0.2397 0.2091
Dr. Medico 2 50.00% -6.94% 0.84282 0.01 -0.138
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 1 100.00% 43.24% 0.38277 0.1349 0.1369
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 1 0.00% -52.96% 0.28871 -0.306 0.0537
Guise: Completionist 20 35.00% -21.29% 0.05491 -0.3939 0.0474
Guise: Santa 1 0.00% -55.59% 0.26325 -0.2569 0.054
Haka: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 43.46% 0.38063 0.1349 0.1642
Idealist 2 100.00% 43.85% 0.2114 0.2125 0.5785
Idealist: Super Sentai 2 0.00% -56.49% 0.10708 -0.5227 -0.195
La Comodora 1 100.00% 43.26% 0.38256 0.238 0.2046
Legacy 2 50.00% -7.08% 0.83974 -0.0732 -0.7906
Legacy: Greatest 1 100.00% 42.91% 0.38595 0.1922 -0.6181
Lifeline 1 100.00% 43.34% 0.38181 0.2712 0.1463
Luminary 19 36.84% -19.67% 0.08373 -0.1356 -0.1186
Mainstay: Road Warrior 20 35.00% -21.49% 0.0526 -0.4416 -0.1744
Naturalist: Hunted 1 100.00% 42.74% 0.38762 0.2397 -0.1728
NightMist 1 100.00% 43.47% 0.38055 0.2112 0.4122
Omnitron-X 3 100.00% 43.44% 0.12903 0.4046 0.3345
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 1 100.00% 43.29% 0.38228 0.1686 0.0647
Parse 2 50.00% -6.49% 0.85308 -0.1118 0.1764
Parse: Fugue State 1 100.00% 43.11% 0.38405 0.1686 -0.161
Ra 1 100.00% 43.32% 0.38195 0.1543 0.3573
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 1 100.00% 43.52% 0.38008 0.2112 0.3762
Ra: Setting Sun 1 0.00% -56.55% 0.25392 -0.1997 -0.4374
Scholar 2 0.00% -56.67% 0.10582 -0.4887 -0.661
Scholar: Of the Infinite 1 100.00% 43.15% 0.38359 0.1349 -0.3944
Sentinels: Adamant 2 100.00% 42.75% 0.2217 0.3746 -0.1922
Setback 2 100.00% 43.81% 0.21177 0.2125 0.3687
Setback: Dark Watch 19 36.84% -15.21% 0.18441 -0.1356 0.6084
Sky-Scraper 2 0.00% -56.54% 0.10672 -0.4887 -0.5843
Stuntman 1 100.00% 43.46% 0.38066 0.2112 0.2029
Stuntman: Action Hero 1 100.00% 43.30% 0.38214 0.1686 -0.3173
Tachyon: Freedom Five 1 100.00% 43.31% 0.38212 0.1349 0.0754
Tachyon: Freedom Six 3 100.00% 42.06% 0.14 0.3668 -0.3425
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 1 0.00% -56.95% 0.25003 -0.2612 -0.8179
Tempest 1 100.00% 43.03% 0.3848 0.1543 -0.001
Tempest: Freedom Six 1 0.00% -53.92% 0.27938 -0.2569 -0.2496
Unity 1 0.00% -56.46% 0.25484 -0.2275 0.2638
Visionary: Dark 2 100.00% 43.39% 0.21567 0.3464 0.3741
Wraith 1 100.00% 43.44% 0.38084 0.1686 0.3031
Wraith: Rook City 1 100.00% 43.45% 0.38069 0.238 0.3837
Writhe 3 100.00% 43.45% 0.12898 0.3811 0.3736

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 1 100.00% 43.42% 0.38102 0.2712 -0.0389
Fort Adamant 2 100.00% 43.35% 0.21601 0.3461 0.1757
Madame Mittermeier's 3 66.67% 10.15% 0.72279 -0.0458 0.1298
Magmaria 1 0.00% -56.57% 0.25375 -0.306 -0.3849
Megalopolis 1 100.00% 43.40% 0.38125 0.238 0.4702
Mobile Defense Platform 1 100.00% 43.24% 0.3828 0.1922 0.079
Nexus of the Void 2 50.00% -7.57% 0.82851 -0.0833 -0.6063
Realm of Discord 1 100.00% 43.22% 0.38295 0.1543 0.2035
Rook City 1 0.00% -50.88% 0.30884 -0.1997 0.9323
The Block 2 50.00% -6.77% 0.84667 -0.0588 -0.0869
The Celestial Tribunal 1 0.00% -56.45% 0.2549 -0.2569 0.0686
The Court of Blood 1 0.00% -56.69% 0.25256 -0.2612 -0.1995
The Temple of Zhu Long 19 36.84% -19.94% 0.07934 -0.1356 -0.378

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 5 40.00% -14.39% 0.51824
4 6 50.00% -6.52% 0.74718
5 25 48.00% -8.85% 0.37185

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Heroes Incapacitated 19
Villain Destroyed 17

Kismet: Trickster (Ultimate)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 1 0.00% -72.14% 0.10756 -0.2754 0.4517
Akash'Thriya 2 100.00% 22.64% 0.4443 0.1951 -0.0699
Argent Adept 1 100.00% 26.20% 0.55129 0.0821 0.4856
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 1 100.00% 24.83% 0.56548 0.0948 0.1481
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 25.31% 0.5605 0.1221 0.1922
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 1 100.00% 24.86% 0.56516 0.0834 -0.412
Bunker: Freedom Five 1 0.00% -74.88% 0.08429 -0.3658 -0.4943
Bunker: Termi-Nation 1 0.00% -62.54% 0.19632 -0.2754 0.2968
Captain Cosmic: Requital 1 100.00% 25.82% 0.55525 0.111 0.1149
Chrono-Ranger 3 100.00% 24.71% 0.32107 0.3108 0.2802
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 2 50.00% -24.08% 0.43706 -0.1458 0.0115
Dr. Medico 2 50.00% -26.48% 0.37725 -0.2436 -0.3916
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 34 79.41% 4.20% 0.5709 -0.009 -0.007
Expatriette 2 50.00% -23.23% 0.45813 -0.2181 0.3006
Fanatic 2 50.00% -24.09% 0.43674 -0.0311 0.121
Fanatic: Prime Warden 1 100.00% 27.53% 0.53769 0.2448 0.2224
Guise 8 37.50% -36.23% 0.0199 -0.4983 -0.0819
Guise: Completionist 2 50.00% -23.06% 0.46222 -0.2173 0.224
Guise: Santa 1 100.00% 29.22% 0.52051 0.2291 0.54
Haka: Eternal 1 100.00% 25.24% 0.56125 0.1431 0.1009
Haka: Prime Warden 1 100.00% 29.64% 0.51629 0.1089 0.1826
Harpy: Dark Watch 1 100.00% 28.26% 0.53022 0.1296 -0.0019
Idealist 1 100.00% 27.45% 0.5385 0.1127 0.4787
Idealist: Super Sentai 34 79.41% 5.54% 0.46226 -0.009 0.3187
K.N.Y.F.E. 3 33.33% -40.80% 0.10654 -0.3594 -0.0027
La Comodora: Black Spot 2 50.00% -24.35% 0.43045 0.0041 -0.1653
Legacy 4 75.00% -3.26% 0.87434 0.3069 -0.4105
Legacy: Freedom Five 5 100.00% 15.83% 0.33215 0.4977 -0.4894
Legacy: Greatest 7 85.71% 7.02% 0.65013 0.3671 -0.4432
Legacy: Young 2 0.00% -75.00% 0.0143 -0.5908 -1.1918
Lifeline 1 100.00% 25.32% 0.56034 0.0821 -0.0428
Luminary 2 50.00% -23.96% 0.43995 -0.279 -0.262
Mainstay: Road Warrior 34 79.41% 5.56% 0.46083 -0.009 0.2582
Mr. Fixer 1 0.00% -74.03% 0.09135 -0.3478 -0.131
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 2 100.00% 33.44% 0.31619 0.2311 0.3851
Naturalist 1 0.00% -77.17% 0.066 -0.3283 -0.4485
Naturalist: Hunted 3 66.67% -15.10% 0.49818 -0.0826 -0.4951
NightMist 2 0.00% -74.06% 0.01688 -0.6232 -0.4222
NightMist: Dark Watch 1 100.00% 37.71% 0.43648 0.1089 0.8931
Omnitron-X 1 100.00% 25.82% 0.55521 0.0792 0.0091
Parse: Fugue State 5 80.00% 3.92% 0.83716 0.1501 -0.1795
Ra 3 100.00% 25.25% 0.31409 0.3525 0.5556
Scholar 4 75.00% 0.29% 0.98951 -0.0552 -0.2275
Scholar: Of the Infinite 1 100.00% 24.25% 0.5715 0.0834 -0.4459
Sentinels 1 100.00% 23.74% 0.57688 0.111 -0.0811
Sentinels: Adamant 2 100.00% 18.31% 0.50313 0.2094 -0.3574
Setback 7 28.57% -44.12% 0.00879 -0.6973 -0.541
Sky-Scraper 2 0.00% -74.10% 0.01676 -0.5137 -0.6094
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 1 100.00% 25.35% 0.56005 0.0834 -0.1987
Stuntman 2 100.00% 25.89% 0.40317 0.1967 0.1884
Stuntman: Action Hero 3 100.00% 25.14% 0.31548 0.4929 0.0069
Tachyon 2 0.00% -73.76% 0.01773 -0.5137 -0.2569
Tachyon: Freedom Six 13 76.92% -8.16% 0.409 0.0597 -0.6495
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 5 80.00% 3.41% 0.85699 0.1716 -0.3851
Tempest 1 100.00% 23.28% 0.58178 0.1473 -0.008
Tempest: Prime Warden 5 100.00% 24.37% 0.20435 0.4774 0.3548
Unity: Termi-Nation 3 0.00% -72.68% 0.00472 -0.4013 -0.2644
Visionary 3 33.33% -40.76% 0.10705 -0.1779 -0.0488
Visionary: Dark 3 100.00% 25.58% 0.30987 0.2885 0.3161
Wraith 2 50.00% -24.19% 0.43433 -0.1774 -0.0429
Wraith: Freedom Five 3 0.00% -76.05% 0.00203 -0.4013 -0.619
Writhe 1 100.00% 25.85% 0.5549 0.1127 0.1052
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 35 80.00% 3.92% 0.58687 0.1207 -0.4393

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 1 0.00% -74.28% 0.08926 -0.2887 -0.5987
Freedom Tower 1 100.00% 22.55% 0.5895 0.0843 -0.0962
Insula Primalis 2 100.00% 25.91% 0.40298 0.2132 0.8019
Madame Mittermeier's 40 80.00% 6.03% 0.38505 0.3985 0.574
Maerynian Refuge 4 0.00% -74.33% 0.00067 -0.7296 -0.9065
Magmaria 2 50.00% -24.23% 0.43343 -0.279 -0.358
Megalopolis 1 100.00% 25.61% 0.55737 0.1089 0.3411
Nexus of the Void 1 100.00% 16.40% 0.65787 0.1221 -0.4009
Realm of Discord 1 100.00% 24.67% 0.56709 0.2291 0.2783
Rook City 1 0.00% -61.39% 0.2073 -0.2754 0.8566
Silver Gulch 1883 2 100.00% 26.28% 0.39847 0.2308 0.6784
The Celestial Tribunal 3 100.00% 26.30% 0.30081 0.2772 0.6027
The Final Wasteland 2 50.00% -31.79% 0.24409 -0.1774 -0.6135
The Temple of Zhu Long 5 40.00% -35.34% 0.0667 -0.5709 -0.8133
Time Cataclysm 1 100.00% 25.89% 0.5545 0.1127 0.2934

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 4 50.00% -17.82% 0.4454
4 43 69.77% -4.25% 0.52496
5 21 80.95% +5.20% 0.57807

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Heroes Incapacitated 19
Villain Destroyed 49

Notes

Deviation

The difference between the actual win rate of this combination of elements and the win rates of each of those elements on their own, averaged. A positive value means that this combination results in a win more often than would be expected.

Chi-Square p-value

This is the significance value of a χ² test comparing the observed data and expected value. In most cases, this expected value is the mean of the win rates of each element. For team position, the expected value is an equal likelihood of winning in all positions. Lower p-values (no greater than 0.01) mean a greater likelihood that the difference is meaningful and not due to chance.

Logistic Regression Coefficient

Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game, considering only games when 256 is present. The number on the right compares this model to the global one (counting all games); positive numbers suggests that this hero/villain/environment results in a win more often when 256 is present than otherwise, and vice-versa.