Kaargra Warfang

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 373 36.19% -24.31% 0.0 -0.6343 0.0928
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 324 58.95% -2.65% 0.32684 0.1467 0.3484
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 112 58.04% -2.85% 0.53596 0.0824 0.5755
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 62 48.39% -10.80% 0.08364 -0.258 0.5338
Akash'Thriya 249 37.35% -24.41% 0.0 -0.5074 -0.7724
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 255 47.84% -13.51% 1e-05 -0.0573 -0.485
Argent Adept 409 42.30% -18.76% 0.0 0.337 0.7405
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 93 59.14% -2.00% 0.69179 0.2749 0.5516
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 320 49.06% -12.35% 1e-05 -0.234 -0.1807
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 143 35.66% -25.63% 0.0 -0.2138 -0.1437
Benchmark 337 51.34% -9.82% 0.00022 0.0075 -0.0435
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 240 59.58% -1.82% 0.56275 0.2077 -0.2877
Bunker 414 36.23% -24.31% 0.0 -0.4769 0.2799
Bunker: Freedom Five 300 65.67% 4.33% 0.12396 0.4841 0.3555
Bunker: Freedom Six 37 37.84% -22.00% 0.00634 -0.3608 0.1531
Bunker: G.I. 123 38.21% -22.22% 0.0 -0.5018 0.0412
Bunker: Termi-Nation 54 27.78% -27.43% 5e-05 -0.7856 -0.2134
Captain Cosmic 431 28.77% -32.12% 0.0 -0.8437 -0.194
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 77 27.27% -21.92% 0.00012 -0.853 0.2409
Captain Cosmic: Requital 151 51.66% -9.51% 0.01649 -0.0986 -0.0947
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 132 25.00% -36.15% 0.0 -0.7701 -0.5277
Chrono-Ranger 839 50.18% -11.26% 0.0 -0.1352 -0.1659
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 284 46.48% -14.66% 0.0 -0.2025 -0.0453
Dr. Medico 502 50.60% -11.05% 0.0 -0.2727 -0.4207
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 128 61.72% 0.30% 0.94437 0.3818 0.3838
Expatriette 1467 52.62% -8.26% 0.0 -0.239 0.2797
Expatriette: Dark Watch 357 52.66% -7.48% 0.00389 -0.3521 -0.0316
Fanatic 811 43.40% -17.74% 0.0 -0.0546 0.0975
Fanatic: Prime Warden 204 50.98% -9.65% 0.0048 0.0106 -0.0118
Fanatic: Redeemer 127 40.16% -20.88% 0.0 -0.4267 -0.2944
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 63 33.33% -23.47% 0.00017 -0.316 0.0437
Guise 351 47.29% -13.74% 0.0 -0.1438 0.2727
Guise: Completionist 46 47.83% -13.00% 0.0708 -0.1148 0.3264
Guise: Santa 152 51.32% -8.64% 0.0297 0.1026 0.4135
Haka 997 44.33% -16.82% 0.0 -0.2034 -0.0872
Haka: Eternal 101 53.47% -7.85% 0.10528 0.117 0.0748
Haka: Prime Warden 392 47.70% -12.07% 0.0 0.1338 0.2075
Haka: Xtreme PW 122 61.48% 0.33% 0.93955 -0.0399 -0.0106
Harpy 286 34.62% -26.53% 0.0 -0.4627 -0.1818
Harpy: Dark Watch 284 65.49% 5.14% 0.07655 0.3679 0.2363
Idealist 383 56.40% -4.26% 0.08804 0.1633 0.5294
Idealist: Super Sentai 220 36.36% -24.72% 0.0 -0.0748 0.2529
K.N.Y.F.E. 438 53.65% -7.50% 0.00128 0.0819 0.4386
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 242 61.98% 0.95% 0.76166 0.2743 0.5276
La Comodora 894 63.76% 2.37% 0.14604 0.1363 0.1029
La Comodora: Black Spot 208 63.46% 2.25% 0.50511 0.5167 0.3473
Legacy 3763 64.50% 2.67% 0.00073 0.9082 0.1908
Legacy: Freedom Five 390 71.54% 8.92% 0.00027 0.9048 -0.0824
Legacy: Greatest 371 67.39% 5.55% 0.02778 0.8006 -0.0097
Legacy: Young 288 47.57% -13.80% 0.0 0.0615 -0.5396
Lifeline 420 50.95% -10.34% 1e-05 0.1626 0.0377
Lifeline: Blood Mage 311 72.99% 11.24% 5e-05 0.7628 0.3671
Luminary 407 38.57% -22.53% 0.0 -0.5254 -0.5084
Luminary: Heroic 246 44.72% -16.63% 0.0 -0.508 -0.5134
Mainstay 693 48.92% -12.23% 0.0 0.0893 0.0827
Mainstay: Road Warrior 131 46.56% -14.51% 0.00066 -0.238 0.0293
Mr. Fixer 940 53.30% -7.83% 0.0 -0.0266 0.1901
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 393 46.06% -11.73% 0.0 -0.1135 0.0405
Naturalist 261 45.21% -16.53% 0.0 -0.1983 -0.3185
Naturalist: Hunted 474 62.66% 0.60% 0.78708 0.1179 -0.2946
NightMist 509 54.22% -6.91% 0.00139 0.3074 0.5083
NightMist: Dark Watch 111 47.75% -7.28% 0.1232 0.0765 0.8607
Omnitron-X 1228 58.47% -2.70% 0.05256 0.0119 -0.0582
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 279 63.08% 1.73% 0.55345 0.2233 0.1193
Parse 287 47.39% -13.69% 0.0 -0.067 0.2211
Parse: Fugue State 434 63.13% 1.55% 0.50736 0.5163 0.1866
Ra 1471 53.98% -7.33% 0.0 -0.0756 0.1275
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 92 51.09% -9.98% 0.04957 0.0282 0.1932
Ra: Setting Sun 155 75.48% 14.33% 0.00025 0.8509 0.6133
Scholar 515 55.73% -5.57% 0.00939 0.0252 -0.1471
Scholar: Of the Infinite 194 60.82% -0.70% 0.84079 0.2561 -0.2732
Sentinels 384 47.40% -14.22% 0.0 -0.0414 -0.2335
Sentinels: Adamant 145 58.62% -3.42% 0.39564 0.257 -0.3099
Setback 424 45.75% -14.95% 0.0 -0.0153 0.141
Setback: Dark Watch 77 38.96% -16.79% 0.00301 -0.2738 0.4702
Sky-Scraper 970 49.38% -11.76% 0.0 0.0758 -0.0199
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 384 63.80% 2.52% 0.31154 0.5626 0.2804
Stuntman 385 50.65% -10.50% 2e-05 -0.0247 -0.0331
Stuntman: Action Hero 447 77.85% 16.51% 0.0 1.0693 0.5834
Tachyon 253 49.01% -12.04% 9e-05 0.0673 0.324
Tachyon: Freedom Five 98 62.24% 0.91% 0.8532 0.1112 0.0517
Tachyon: Freedom Six 1092 69.32% 6.39% 1e-05 0.4635 -0.2458
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 875 73.03% 11.36% 0.0 0.7998 0.2431
Tempest 2347 58.12% -3.57% 0.00038 -0.0209 -0.1763
Tempest: Freedom Six 29 27.59% -30.36% 0.00093 -0.8679 -0.8606
Tempest: Prime Warden 203 62.07% 0.56% 0.86865 0.2871 0.1645
Tempest: Xtreme PW 208 46.15% -14.99% 1e-05 -0.3319 -0.3085
Unity 380 38.16% -22.88% 0.0 -0.5712 -0.0798
Unity: Freedom Six 81 50.62% -10.51% 0.05229 0.0865 0.4114
Unity: Termi-Nation 133 37.59% -23.11% 0.0 -0.5385 -0.4016
Visionary 225 49.78% -11.36% 0.00047 0.0374 0.1664
Visionary: Dark 247 62.35% 1.12% 0.71797 0.2064 0.234
Visionary: Unleashed 386 56.48% -4.93% 0.04655 0.1718 0.1668
Wraith 977 48.93% -12.24% 0.0 -0.1517 -0.0172
Wraith: Freedom Five 125 60.80% -0.78% 0.85755 0.1468 -0.0709
Wraith: Freedom Six 164 53.66% -7.51% 0.04858 -0.0261 0.095
Wraith: Rook City 155 49.68% -11.47% 0.00339 -0.2655 -0.1198
Writhe 289 53.29% -7.87% 0.00605 0.1513 0.1438
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 160 55.62% -5.96% 0.12107 0.144 -0.4159

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 302 63.58% 2.38% 0.39509 0.3313 0.0212
Dok'Thorath Capital 584 52.40% -8.49% 3e-05 -0.0213 0.2828
Fort Adamant 207 59.42% -1.85% 0.58384 0.1786 0.0082
Freedom Tower 364 47.25% -14.51% 0.0 -0.4823 -0.6627
Insula Primalis 543 46.59% -14.55% 0.0 -0.0764 0.5123
Madame Mittermeier's 174 39.66% -21.45% 0.0 -0.3617 -0.1862
Maerynian Refuge 289 50.52% -10.69% 0.00019 -0.2028 -0.3797
Magmaria 215 53.49% -7.69% 0.0207 -0.1076 -0.1866
Megalopolis 393 41.22% -20.00% 0.0 -0.4183 -0.1861
Mobile Defense Platform 820 64.15% 2.72% 0.10916 0.1205 0.0073
Mordengrad 179 51.96% -6.83% 0.06328 -0.2057 0.6262
Nexus of the Void 232 59.48% -2.97% 0.34991 -0.0252 -0.5482
Omnitron-IV 180 58.89% -1.92% 0.59738 0.3001 0.7371
Pike Industrial Complex 212 50.00% -11.13% 0.00088 -0.1932 0.0176
Realm of Discord 240 50.00% -11.44% 0.00027 -0.2823 -0.2331
Rook City 242 28.10% -26.30% 0.0 -0.8168 0.3152
Ruins of Atlantis 251 50.60% -8.17% 0.00858 -0.2517 0.7722
Silver Gulch 1883 438 56.85% -4.19% 0.07246 0.0435 0.4911
The Block 434 53.92% -7.52% 0.00129 -0.0009 -0.029
The Celestial Tribunal 517 46.42% -14.61% 0.0 -0.1001 0.2254
The Court of Blood 252 54.37% -6.97% 0.02312 0.0365 0.0982
The Enclave of the Endlings 478 60.46% -1.15% 0.60442 0.2177 0.0107
The Final Wasteland 570 63.16% 1.10% 0.58897 0.3793 -0.0569
The Temple of Zhu Long 212 66.51% 5.06% 0.12985 0.4832 0.2408
Time Cataclysm 341 53.96% -7.19% 0.00647 0.2308 0.4115
Tomb of Anubis 217 56.22% -5.03% 0.12802 0.2794 0.5494
Wagner Mars Base 232 53.45% -7.77% 0.01514 -0.0449 0.2233

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 1149 49.00% -9.50% 0.0
4 2592 48.65% -12.47% 0.0
5 5522 57.10% -4.43% 0.0

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Villain Alternate Victory 4963
Villain Alternate Defeat 3889
Villain Destroyed Prematurely 14
Heroes Incapacitated 372
Environment Alternate Defeat 25

Kaargra Warfang (Advanced)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 12 25.00% -18.73% 0.19095 -0.2635 0.4636
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 11 27.27% -17.02% 0.25591 -0.4877 -0.286
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 8 62.50% 18.57% 0.28982 0.527 1.0201
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 4 50.00% 6.98% 0.77784 0.017 0.8089
Akash'Thriya 4 25.00% -19.37% 0.4356 -0.1214 -0.3864
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 8 25.00% -19.16% 0.27503 -0.0432 -0.4709
Argent Adept 12 16.67% -27.35% 0.05635 -0.5334 -0.13
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 7 57.14% 13.09% 0.48556 0.7958 1.0725
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 16 37.50% -6.69% 0.58988 0.5953 0.6486
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 5 60.00% 15.86% 0.47497 0.8158 0.8859
Benchmark 2 50.00% 5.94% 0.86572 0.472 0.421
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 12 16.67% -27.52% 0.05489 -0.6168 -1.1122
Bunker 10 0.00% -43.75% 0.00529 -1.0033 -0.2466
Bunker: Freedom Five 16 43.75% -0.41% 0.97379 0.033 -0.0956
Bunker: Freedom Six 2 0.00% -43.37% 0.21586 -0.2402 0.2737
Bunker: G.I. 39 23.08% -20.61% 0.00946 -0.0928 0.4502
Bunker: Termi-Nation 4 50.00% 9.32% 0.70425 0.5885 1.1606
Captain Cosmic 5 40.00% -3.93% 0.85955 0.3332 0.9829
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 4 0.00% -36.68% 0.12796 -0.476 0.618
Captain Cosmic: Requital 1 0.00% -44.07% 0.37474 -0.2972 -0.2933
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 55.94% 0.25982 0.445 0.6874
Chrono-Ranger 18 33.33% -10.87% 0.35302 -0.1788 -0.2094
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 17 23.53% -20.52% 0.08827 -0.2046 -0.0474
Dr. Medico 20 20.00% -24.31% 0.02861 -0.2488 -0.3968
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 4 75.00% 30.80% 0.21479 0.8507 0.8528
Expatriette 21 33.33% -10.59% 0.32817 -0.149 0.3697
Expatriette: Dark Watch 3 0.00% -43.53% 0.1283 -0.4789 -0.1583
Fanatic 44 22.73% -21.33% 0.00438 -0.7985 -0.6463
Fanatic: Prime Warden 48 29.17% -14.62% 0.04115 -0.7999 -0.8223
Fanatic: Redeemer 17 11.76% -32.24% 0.00741 -0.7458 -0.6135
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 1 0.00% -41.65% 0.39819 -0.1487 0.2111
Guise 8 37.50% -6.50% 0.71102 0.2003 0.6167
Guise: Completionist 3 33.33% -10.56% 0.7124 0.1068 0.5481
Guise: Santa 122 17.21% -26.22% 0.0 -0.7428 -0.4319
Haka 61 32.79% -11.27% 0.07614 -0.0604 0.0558
Haka: Eternal 2 50.00% 5.86% 0.86755 0.2564 0.2143
Haka: Prime Warden 7 42.86% -0.48% 0.97963 0.4453 0.519
Haka: Xtreme PW 1 0.00% -44.06% 0.37486 -0.2314 -0.2021
Harpy 8 25.00% -19.06% 0.2776 -0.2926 -0.0118
Harpy: Dark Watch 11 45.45% 1.81% 0.90371 0.3807 0.2492
Idealist 7 42.86% -0.95% 0.95971 0.4362 0.8022
Idealist: Super Sentai 9 11.11% -32.91% 0.0467 -0.5038 -0.1761
K.N.Y.F.E. 17 35.29% -8.77% 0.46652 0.2645 0.6212
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 20 35.00% -9.00% 0.41745 0.4783 0.7316
La Comodora 13 30.77% -13.41% 0.3301 -0.1779 -0.2113
La Comodora: Black Spot 17 23.53% -20.56% 0.08773 -0.4004 -0.5699
Legacy 181 33.15% -11.25% 0.00232 0.3845 -0.333
Legacy: Freedom Five 30 50.00% 5.21% 0.56599 1.1399 0.1527
Legacy: Greatest 73 43.84% -0.57% 0.92184 0.7736 -0.0367
Legacy: Young 148 18.92% -25.25% 0.0 0.1805 -0.4206
Lifeline 46 21.74% -22.39% 0.00222 -0.2943 -0.4192
Lifeline: Blood Mage 24 33.33% -11.03% 0.27673 0.1229 -0.2728
Luminary 42 21.43% -22.61% 0.00316 -0.3239 -0.3069
Luminary: Heroic 7 42.86% -1.30% 0.94463 0.7086 0.7032
Mainstay 13 23.08% -20.98% 0.12759 -0.0619 -0.0684
Mainstay: Road Warrior 3 33.33% -10.69% 0.70921 -0.1633 0.1039
Mr. Fixer 51 45.10% 1.05% 0.87977 0.8283 1.045
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 8 75.00% 32.77% 0.06056 1.4664 1.6204
Naturalist 4 50.00% 5.64% 0.8203 0.2985 0.1783
Naturalist: Hunted 15 26.67% -17.85% 0.16425 -0.0707 -0.4833
NightMist 16 37.50% -6.55% 0.59765 0.4763 0.6772
NightMist: Dark Watch 2 0.00% -40.57% 0.24265 -0.2538 0.5305
Omnitron-X 67 25.37% -18.69% 0.00205 -0.5444 -0.6145
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 114 16.67% -27.50% 0.0 -0.4403 -0.5443
Parse 4 75.00% 30.98% 0.21205 0.5076 0.7957
Parse: Fugue State 28 28.57% -15.71% 0.09422 -0.8816 -1.2112
Ra 105 32.38% -11.76% 0.01522 -0.2409 -0.0378
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 5 20.00% -24.02% 0.27928 -0.2793 -0.1143
Ra: Setting Sun 14 50.00% 5.94% 0.65458 0.4312 0.1936
Scholar 26 38.46% -5.68% 0.55994 -0.1725 -0.3448
Scholar: Of the Infinite 4 25.00% -19.25% 0.43822 -0.0588 -0.5881
Sentinels 15 46.67% 2.37% 0.85336 0.3549 0.1628
Sentinels: Adamant 5 0.00% -44.51% 0.04522 -0.7439 -1.3107
Setback 121 18.18% -25.65% 0.0 0.2039 0.3602
Setback: Dark Watch 1 0.00% -41.01% 0.40435 -0.1076 0.6364
Sky-Scraper 33 24.24% -19.81% 0.02186 -0.4853 -0.581
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 28 32.14% -11.99% 0.20145 -0.1938 -0.4759
Stuntman 32 40.62% -3.43% 0.69571 0.4129 0.4046
Stuntman: Action Hero 39 41.03% -3.13% 0.69384 -0.1154 -0.6014
Tachyon 14 28.57% -15.44% 0.24462 -0.2344 0.0223
Tachyon: Freedom Five 9 55.56% 11.40% 0.49095 0.3972 0.3377
Tachyon: Freedom Six 147 39.46% -5.48% 0.18147 0.4 -0.3093
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 35 34.29% -10.04% 0.23204 0.0884 -0.4683
Tempest 133 34.59% -9.74% 0.0237 0.2931 0.1378
Tempest: Freedom Six 3 33.33% -8.98% 0.75284 0.1386 0.1458
Tempest: Prime Warden 48 35.42% -8.82% 0.21839 -0.4882 -0.6107
Tempest: Xtreme PW 25 20.00% -24.06% 0.0154 -0.7097 -0.6863
Unity 127 18.11% -25.89% 0.0 0.0828 0.5741
Unity: Freedom Six 9 44.44% 0.40% 0.98095 -0.056 0.269
Unity: Termi-Nation 2 0.00% -43.83% 0.21159 -0.2596 -0.1227
Visionary 15 26.67% -17.39% 0.1749 -0.1212 0.0078
Visionary: Dark 16 31.25% -12.85% 0.30055 0.1554 0.1831
Visionary: Unleashed 9 22.22% -21.97% 0.18446 -0.3878 -0.3927
Wraith 50 30.00% -14.07% 0.04508 -0.0996 0.0348
Wraith: Freedom Five 21 28.57% -15.71% 0.14731 0.0883 -0.1294
Wraith: Freedom Six 7 57.14% 13.08% 0.48593 0.6052 0.7263
Wraith: Rook City 4 25.00% -19.06% 0.44259 0.1581 0.3038
Writhe 10 30.00% -14.06% 0.37035 -0.0494 -0.0568
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 6 16.67% -27.61% 0.17327 -0.6367 -1.1966

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 20 25.00% -19.08% 0.08565 -0.4552 -0.7653
Dok'Thorath Capital 28 28.57% -15.35% 0.10167 -0.2963 0.0077
Fort Adamant 8 50.00% 5.88% 0.73784 0.5586 0.3883
Freedom Tower 38 28.95% -15.42% 0.05565 -0.6042 -0.7847
Insula Primalis 24 33.33% -10.72% 0.29003 0.1442 0.7329
Madame Mittermeier's 116 18.10% -25.94% 0.0 0.037 0.2126
Maerynian Refuge 23 56.52% 12.43% 0.22978 0.7267 0.5498
Magmaria 15 13.33% -30.74% 0.01648 -0.7604 -0.8394
Megalopolis 6 33.33% -10.76% 0.59542 -0.1097 0.1225
Mobile Defense Platform 16 37.50% -6.70% 0.58949 -0.0413 -0.1545
Mordengrad 8 62.50% 19.70% 0.25999 0.9382 1.7701
Nexus of the Void 10 30.00% -14.71% 0.34951 0.1007 -0.4223
Omnitron-IV 5 20.00% -23.89% 0.28181 -0.4197 0.0173
Pike Industrial Complex 5 20.00% -24.05% 0.27869 -0.1079 0.103
Realm of Discord 16 25.00% -19.21% 0.12183 0.0147 0.0639
Rook City 1 100.00% 59.83% 0.2223 0.5025 1.6346
Ruins of Atlantis 16 12.50% -30.28% 0.01436 -0.696 0.3279
Silver Gulch 1883 14 50.00% 6.00% 0.65114 0.4468 0.8945
The Block 22 22.73% -21.48% 0.04251 -0.9403 -0.9684
The Celestial Tribunal 12 41.67% -2.33% 0.87077 0.4042 0.7296
The Court of Blood 29 34.48% -9.67% 0.29427 0.0601 0.1218
The Enclave of the Endlings 38 26.32% -17.98% 0.02567 0.1813 -0.0257
The Final Wasteland 17 47.06% 2.54% 0.83297 0.2109 -0.2253
The Temple of Zhu Long 10 20.00% -24.21% 0.12317 -0.7283 -0.9707
Time Cataclysm 40 47.50% 3.44% 0.66107 0.6986 0.8793
Tomb of Anubis 28 14.29% -29.83% 0.00148 -0.5419 -0.2719
Wagner Mars Base 10 30.00% -14.10% 0.36932 0.1044 0.3726

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 22 22.73% -19.91% 0.059
4 155 34.19% -9.85% 0.01349
5 398 28.14% -16.11% 0.0

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Villain Alternate Victory 170
Villain Alternate Defeat 403
Heroes Incapacitated 2

Kaargra Warfang (Challenge)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 13 15.38% -36.97% 0.00761 -1.0487 -0.3216
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 16 43.75% -9.35% 0.45344 -0.3892 -0.1875
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 47.38% 0.34267 0.2318 0.7249
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 2 50.00% -1.42% 0.96792 -0.0445 0.7473
Akash'Thriya 5 60.00% 6.79% 0.76087 0.6188 0.3539
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 9 55.56% 2.62% 0.87495 0.0151 -0.4127
Argent Adept 3 66.67% 13.93% 0.62887 0.2837 0.6871
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 2 50.00% -2.79% 0.93691 0.0923 0.369
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 6 16.67% -36.31% 0.07477 -0.8127 -0.7594
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 3 33.33% -19.57% 0.4972 -0.2615 -0.1914
Benchmark 1 100.00% 47.20% 0.34444 0.2642 0.2132
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 4 25.00% -27.97% 0.26239 -0.1973 -0.6927
Bunker 1 0.00% -52.38% 0.29424 -0.0441 0.7127
Bunker: Freedom Five 10 50.00% -2.93% 0.85281 -0.008 -0.1365
Bunker: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 48.12% 0.33555 0.3758 0.8898
Bunker: G.I. 3 0.00% -52.30% 0.06973 -0.5906 -0.0477
Bunker: Termi-Nation 18 72.22% 23.79% 0.04343 -0.0535 0.5187
Captain Cosmic 15 6.67% -45.95% 0.00036 -1.2701 -0.6204
Captain Cosmic: Requital 2 0.00% -52.81% 0.13464 -0.2178 -0.2139
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 17 76.47% 23.67% 0.05055 0.2905 0.533
Chrono-Ranger 6 33.33% -19.66% 0.33465 -0.2974 -0.328
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 10 20.00% -32.79% 0.0378 -0.5769 -0.4196
Dr. Medico 18 50.00% -3.14% 0.78974 0.2337 0.0857
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 3 100.00% 47.02% 0.10274 0.4309 0.433
Expatriette 5 40.00% -12.62% 0.5721 -0.3252 0.1935
Expatriette: Dark Watch 3 33.33% -18.77% 0.51525 -0.1101 0.2104
Fanatic 51 17.65% -35.15% 0.0 -0.097 0.0551
Fanatic: Prime Warden 1 0.00% -52.44% 0.29371 -0.3025 -0.3249
Fanatic: Redeemer 2 100.00% 47.28% 0.18049 0.3895 0.5219
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 3 0.00% -49.66% 0.08537 -0.8796 -0.5199
Guise 3 66.67% 13.95% 0.62852 0.0483 0.4647
Guise: Completionist 1 0.00% -52.58% 0.29235 -0.1249 0.3164
Guise: Santa 2 50.00% -1.97% 0.95552 0.0918 0.4027
Haka 12 66.67% 13.87% 0.33589 0.2663 0.3825
Haka: Eternal 4 25.00% -27.91% 0.26343 -0.2418 -0.2839
Haka: Prime Warden 1 100.00% 48.16% 0.33512 0.2318 0.3055
Haka: Xtreme PW 3 33.33% -19.46% 0.4996 -0.1906 -0.1613
Harpy 3 0.00% -52.79% 0.067 -0.8745 -0.5936
Harpy: Dark Watch 10 40.00% -12.25% 0.43809 0.1454 0.0138
Idealist 2 100.00% 47.54% 0.1782 0.5303 0.8964
K.N.Y.F.E. 6 66.67% 13.87% 0.49627 0.4312 0.7879
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 3 33.33% -19.38% 0.50126 -0.2443 0.009
La Comodora 1 100.00% 47.04% 0.34598 0.1824 0.149
La Comodora: Black Spot 50 14.00% -38.84% 0.0 -0.6898 -0.8592
Legacy 73 53.42% 0.17% 0.97637 0.8611 0.1437
Legacy: Freedom Five 18 61.11% 7.33% 0.5326 0.6939 -0.2933
Legacy: Greatest 10 70.00% 16.74% 0.28873 0.7926 -0.0176
Legacy: Young 4 50.00% -2.95% 0.90596 -0.172 -0.7731
Lifeline 67 20.90% -32.00% 0.0 0.075 -0.0499
Lifeline: Blood Mage 11 81.82% 28.61% 0.05718 1.1867 0.7909
Luminary 8 37.50% -15.27% 0.38704 -0.1191 -0.102
Luminary: Heroic 52 17.31% -35.62% 0.0 0.3401 0.3346
Mainstay 6 50.00% -2.79% 0.89097 -0.2972 -0.3038
Mr. Fixer 12 66.67% 13.89% 0.33525 0.6641 0.8808
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 7 57.14% 6.74% 0.72129 0.0342 0.1883
Naturalist: Hunted 17 47.06% -6.35% 0.59975 0.2223 -0.1902
NightMist 28 32.14% -20.64% 0.02867 -0.063 0.1379
NightMist: Dark Watch 1 100.00% 51.70% 0.30081 0.1824 0.9667
Omnitron-X 9 66.67% 13.86% 0.40496 0.2752 0.2051
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 5 40.00% -12.94% 0.56219 -0.099 -0.2029
Parse 3 33.33% -19.42% 0.50052 -0.0983 0.1898
Parse: Fugue State 9 33.33% -19.76% 0.23488 -0.1644 -0.494
Ra 21 66.67% 13.76% 0.20655 0.6767 0.8797
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 3 33.33% -19.41% 0.5007 -0.0439 0.121
Ra: Setting Sun 11 63.64% 10.83% 0.47168 0.5782 0.3405
Scholar 9 66.67% 13.76% 0.4081 0.45 0.2777
Scholar: Of the Infinite 3 66.67% 13.61% 0.6366 0.4698 -0.0596
Sentinels 2 0.00% -53.11% 0.13227 -0.4771 -0.6693
Sentinels: Adamant 3 0.00% -53.40% 0.06372 -0.707 -1.2738
Setback 1 0.00% -52.49% 0.29318 -0.2073 -0.0511
Sky-Scraper 21 47.62% -5.17% 0.6348 0.4241 0.3284
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 13 46.15% -6.74% 0.6265 0.0905 -0.1916
Stuntman 9 33.33% -19.46% 0.2422 -0.3888 -0.3972
Stuntman: Action Hero 30 66.67% 13.74% 0.1316 0.496 0.0101
Tachyon 3 33.33% -19.39% 0.50104 -0.5154 -0.2587
Tachyon: Freedom Five 11 54.55% 1.62% 0.9142 0.2083 0.1489
Tachyon: Freedom Six 37 56.76% 2.78% 0.73472 0.5191 -0.1901
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 16 62.50% 9.35% 0.45341 0.8222 0.2655
Tempest 35 62.86% 9.70% 0.25025 0.6038 0.4484
Tempest: Prime Warden 13 23.08% -29.96% 0.03042 -1.0309 -1.1534
Tempest: Xtreme PW 22 72.73% 19.93% 0.0611 0.5169 0.5404
Unity 14 14.29% -38.44% 0.00397 -0.485 0.0064
Visionary 5 20.00% -32.79% 0.14188 -0.6209 -0.4919
Visionary: Dark 14 42.86% -9.99% 0.45376 -0.1771 -0.1494
Visionary: Unleashed 5 40.00% -12.97% 0.56108 -0.2956 -0.3005
Wraith 13 23.08% -29.73% 0.03175 -0.456 -0.3215
Wraith: Freedom Five 9 66.67% 13.58% 0.41442 0.5856 0.3679
Wraith: Freedom Six 4 50.00% -2.81% 0.91042 -0.3809 -0.2597
Wraith: Rook City 6 50.00% -2.80% 0.89083 0.3667 0.5124
Writhe 48 14.58% -38.22% 0.0 -0.0721 -0.0795
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 3 33.33% -19.76% 0.49281 -0.2954 -0.8553

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 17 29.41% -23.41% 0.05312 -0.3322 -0.6422
Dok'Thorath Capital 6 33.33% -19.28% 0.34418 -0.2977 0.0063
Fort Adamant 2 0.00% -52.88% 0.13407 -0.4426 -0.613
Freedom Tower 15 46.67% -6.55% 0.61129 -0.8237 -1.0041
Insula Primalis 6 66.67% 13.87% 0.49601 0.2623 0.8509
Madame Mittermeier's 1 0.00% -52.77% 0.29051 -0.0929 0.0827
Maerynian Refuge 10 10.00% -42.84% 0.00666 -0.2676 -0.4445
Magmaria 4 25.00% -27.82% 0.26508 -0.2448 -0.3237
Megalopolis 3 66.67% 13.82% 0.63157 0.3303 0.5626
Mobile Defense Platform 12 58.33% 5.35% 0.71042 0.306 0.1928
Mordengrad 2 100.00% 48.87% 0.16682 0.4288 1.2607
Nexus of the Void 4 50.00% -3.67% 0.88298 -0.3078 -0.8308
Pike Industrial Complex 3 33.33% -19.45% 0.49975 -0.4889 -0.2781
Rook City 1 100.00% 52.20% 0.29601 0.4186 1.5506
Ruins of Atlantis 7 28.57% -22.55% 0.23276 -0.1631 0.8608
Silver Gulch 1883 6 83.33% 30.61% 0.1331 0.4982 0.9458
The Block 10 60.00% 7.01% 0.65703 0.3901 0.362
The Celestial Tribunal 22 77.27% 24.56% 0.02105 0.6006 0.9261
The Court of Blood 2 100.00% 47.08% 0.18226 0.4474 0.5091
The Enclave of the Endlings 9 55.56% 2.44% 0.88319 0.0207 -0.1864
The Final Wasteland 12 58.33% 4.92% 0.73243 -0.0145 -0.4507
The Temple of Zhu Long 16 37.50% -15.50% 0.21417 -0.2359 -0.4783
Time Cataclysm 50 14.00% -38.80% 0.0 -0.576 -0.3953
Tomb of Anubis 2 0.00% -52.87% 0.13417 -0.4242 -0.1542
Wagner Mars Base 6 50.00% -2.84% 0.88898 0.0498 0.318

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 10 30.00% -20.93% 0.18557
4 60 50.00% -2.78% 0.66642
5 159 39.62% -13.43% 0.00069

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Villain Alternate Victory 95
Villain Alternate Defeat 131
Villain Destroyed Prematurely 1
Heroes Incapacitated 2

Kaargra Warfang (Ultimate)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 13 23.08% -23.42% 0.0905 -0.2415 0.4856
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 11 27.27% -19.83% 0.18763 -0.2591 -0.0574
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 7 0.00% -46.71% 0.01325 -0.3173 0.1758
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 20 10.00% -35.72% 0.00134 -0.0348 0.757
Akash'Thriya 17 11.76% -35.42% 0.00344 0.067 -0.198
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 32 37.50% -9.47% 0.28318 -0.0362 -0.4639
Argent Adept 13 30.77% -16.03% 0.2466 -0.0925 0.311
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 15 6.67% -40.18% 0.00182 -0.7815 -0.5048
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 46 34.78% -12.22% 0.09691 0.0123 0.0655
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 9 22.22% -24.71% 0.13737 -0.2868 -0.2166
Benchmark 19 5.26% -41.60% 0.00028 -1.0369 -1.0879
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 18 38.89% -8.11% 0.4908 0.4191 -0.0763
Bunker 1 0.00% -46.52% 0.35104 -0.0517 0.7051
Bunker: Freedom Five 8 37.50% -9.46% 0.59182 0.0645 -0.0641
Bunker: G.I. 2 0.00% -46.45% 0.18781 -0.3325 0.2105
Bunker: Termi-Nation 3 33.33% -9.87% 0.72992 0.4011 0.9733
Captain Cosmic 3 33.33% -13.38% 0.64235 0.1292 0.7788
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 7 0.00% -38.96% 0.03455 -0.2637 0.8302
Captain Cosmic: Requital 24 37.50% -9.36% 0.35793 0.5846 0.5884
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 3 0.00% -46.85% 0.10389 -0.3623 -0.1198
Chrono-Ranger 31 38.71% -8.30% 0.35433 0.3737 0.343
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 11 18.18% -28.67% 0.05674 0.0917 0.2489
Dr. Medico 39 30.77% -16.36% 0.04067 0.3802 0.2322
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 12 0.00% -47.00% 0.0011 -0.8873 -0.8853
Expatriette 21 28.57% -18.13% 0.09578 0.1073 0.626
Expatriette: Dark Watch 19 15.79% -30.49% 0.00768 -0.1059 0.2146
Fanatic 21 28.57% -18.28% 0.09323 0.5641 0.7162
Fanatic: Prime Warden 24 54.17% 7.61% 0.45511 0.497 0.4747
Fanatic: Redeemer 5 20.00% -26.79% 0.22989 -0.1089 0.0234
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 2 50.00% 5.75% 0.86995 0.1214 0.4811
Guise 13 46.15% -0.64% 0.96322 0.479 0.8954
Guise: Completionist 2 50.00% 3.32% 0.92493 0.528 0.9693
Guise: Santa 15 20.00% -26.18% 0.04199 0.2761 0.587
Haka 49 26.53% -20.32% 0.00436 -0.4876 -0.3714
Haka: Eternal 11 54.55% 7.60% 0.61357 0.9594 0.9172
Haka: Prime Warden 12 50.00% 3.93% 0.7847 1.2386 1.3123
Haka: Xtreme PW 6 50.00% 3.15% 0.87712 0.6407 0.67
Harpy 10 10.00% -36.85% 0.01953 -0.4483 -0.1675
Harpy: Dark Watch 19 36.84% -9.56% 0.40325 0.1945 0.0629
Idealist 10 20.00% -26.58% 0.09202 0.0431 0.4092
Idealist: Super Sentai 5 0.00% -46.82% 0.03591 -0.6909 -0.3631
K.N.Y.F.E. 21 42.86% -4.00% 0.71339 0.3404 0.6971
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 17 35.29% -11.50% 0.34215 0.0039 0.2571
La Comodora 23 21.74% -25.25% 0.01525 -0.6417 -0.6751
La Comodora: Black Spot 9 33.33% -13.56% 0.41514 0.4264 0.257
Legacy 186 43.55% -3.68% 0.31535 0.9884 0.271
Legacy: Freedom Five 36 66.67% 19.02% 0.02233 1.6676 0.6804
Legacy: Greatest 74 48.65% 1.42% 0.80708 0.9582 0.148
Legacy: Young 8 25.00% -21.98% 0.21295 0.1278 -0.4733
Lifeline 70 18.57% -28.36% 0.0 -0.1776 -0.3024
Lifeline: Blood Mage 45 46.67% -0.52% 0.94444 0.3171 -0.0787
Luminary 29 41.38% -5.45% 0.55636 0.1163 0.1333
Luminary: Heroic 3 0.00% -46.96% 0.10312 -0.5085 -0.514
Mainstay 24 25.00% -21.85% 0.03193 -0.2721 -0.2786
Mainstay: Road Warrior 2 50.00% 3.19% 0.92802 0.0805 0.3478
Mr. Fixer 46 6.52% -40.32% 0.0 -1.0129 -0.7962
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 22 59.09% 14.22% 0.17997 0.7088 0.8628
Naturalist 10 0.00% -47.18% 0.0028 -0.5812 -0.7014
Naturalist: Hunted 87 24.14% -23.21% 1e-05 -0.1633 -0.5758
NightMist 25 32.00% -14.84% 0.1369 0.1836 0.3845
NightMist: Dark Watch 5 40.00% -3.09% 0.88908 0.7527 1.5369
Omnitron-X 14 42.86% -4.01% 0.76386 0.3021 0.232
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 11 36.36% -10.61% 0.48096 0.5828 0.4788
Parse 19 21.05% -25.76% 0.02441 0.1429 0.431
Parse: Fugue State 47 46.81% -0.29% 0.96857 0.3986 0.069
Ra 85 38.82% -8.12% 0.13354 0.2292 0.4322
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 9 66.67% 19.86% 0.23255 0.8445 1.0095
Ra: Setting Sun 53 41.51% -5.35% 0.43515 0.2381 0.0005
Scholar 40 35.00% -11.94% 0.13024 0.166 -0.0063
Scholar: Of the Infinite 9 33.33% -13.73% 0.40926 0.048 -0.4813
Sentinels 11 18.18% -28.93% 0.05458 -0.1983 -0.3905
Sentinels: Adamant 19 36.84% -10.50% 0.35926 0.2406 -0.3262
Setback 6 16.67% -29.94% 0.14154 -0.2487 -0.0925
Setback: Dark Watch 7 0.00% -43.57% 0.02008 -0.5637 0.1803
Sky-Scraper 54 37.04% -9.81% 0.14839 0.1792 0.0835
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 88 17.05% -29.89% 0.0 -0.1113 -0.3934
Stuntman 78 25.64% -21.21% 0.00017 0.4913 0.4829
Stuntman: Action Hero 68 58.82% 11.86% 0.04995 0.9828 0.4969
Tachyon 8 25.00% -21.80% 0.2166 0.549 0.8057
Tachyon: Freedom Five 63 23.81% -23.15% 0.00023 0.6256 0.5662
Tachyon: Freedom Six 176 44.32% -3.49% 0.35354 0.4506 -0.2586
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 39 46.15% -0.98% 0.90195 0.6971 0.1404
Tempest 113 39.82% -7.33% 0.11875 0.0005 -0.1548
Tempest: Freedom Six 2 0.00% -44.97% 0.20113 -0.0687 -0.0615
Tempest: Prime Warden 44 25.00% -22.05% 0.00338 -0.4787 -0.6012
Tempest: Xtreme PW 10 30.00% -16.85% 0.28555 -0.519 -0.4956
Unity 1 0.00% -46.79% 0.34836 -0.0997 0.3916
Unity: Freedom Six 23 4.35% -42.50% 4e-05 -0.5735 -0.2486
Unity: Termi-Nation 2 50.00% 3.40% 0.92329 0.3046 0.4415
Visionary 5 0.00% -46.85% 0.03578 -0.8188 -0.6897
Visionary: Dark 27 55.56% 8.66% 0.36739 0.7817 0.8094
Visionary: Unleashed 8 12.50% -34.50% 0.05058 -0.9023 -0.9073
Wraith 24 29.17% -17.70% 0.0823 -0.3007 -0.1662
Wraith: Freedom Five 15 33.33% -13.76% 0.2857 -0.2582 -0.4759
Wraith: Freedom Six 11 9.09% -37.77% 0.01206 -1.1411 -1.0199
Wraith: Rook City 2 0.00% -46.85% 0.18422 -0.6177 -0.472
Writhe 11 27.27% -19.59% 0.19299 0.5187 0.5113
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 17 29.41% -17.68% 0.14409 -0.4234 -0.9833

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 26 26.92% -19.96% 0.04145 -0.22 -0.5301
Dok'Thorath Capital 38 36.84% -9.86% 0.22294 0.1965 0.5006
Fort Adamant 10 30.00% -16.92% 0.28353 0.3026 0.1322
Freedom Tower 48 29.17% -18.03% 0.01236 -0.4902 -0.6706
Insula Primalis 35 57.14% 10.29% 0.22235 0.7479 1.3365
Madame Mittermeier's 8 12.50% -34.33% 0.05165 -0.5459 -0.3704
Maerynian Refuge 54 40.74% -6.15% 0.36548 0.439 0.2621
Magmaria 58 18.97% -27.91% 2e-05 -0.0771 -0.156
Megalopolis 7 42.86% -4.04% 0.8305 0.1727 0.4049
Mobile Defense Platform 16 37.50% -9.51% 0.44614 0.2269 0.1137
Mordengrad 6 50.00% 4.52% 0.82423 0.5462 1.3781
Nexus of the Void 11 9.09% -38.47% 0.01062 -0.4993 -1.0223
Omnitron-IV 6 16.67% -30.00% 0.14078 -0.1593 0.2776
Pike Industrial Complex 4 25.00% -21.84% 0.38129 0.0033 0.2141
Realm of Discord 14 21.43% -25.59% 0.05508 -0.4066 -0.3574
Rook City 3 0.00% -42.66% 0.13515 -0.5942 0.5378
Ruins of Atlantis 5 0.00% -45.47% 0.04116 -0.8123 0.2116
Silver Gulch 1883 10 40.00% -6.79% 0.66691 0.5899 1.0375
The Block 32 28.12% -18.89% 0.03229 -0.1944 -0.2225
The Celestial Tribunal 9 11.11% -35.68% 0.03195 -0.7868 -0.4614
The Court of Blood 5 20.00% -26.96% 0.22713 -0.3108 -0.2491
The Enclave of the Endlings 32 40.62% -6.49% 0.46238 0.358 0.151
The Final Wasteland 32 43.75% -3.60% 0.68321 0.6961 0.26
The Temple of Zhu Long 35 48.57% 1.55% 0.85399 0.4794 0.237
Time Cataclysm 17 23.53% -23.32% 0.05396 0.1706 0.3513
Tomb of Anubis 7 42.86% -4.06% 0.82974 0.4817 0.7516
Wagner Mars Base 9 66.67% 19.77% 0.23455 0.7774 1.0456

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 24 33.33% -11.98% 0.23844
4 52 46.15% -0.68% 0.92115
5 467 32.12% -14.94% 0.0

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Villain Alternate Victory 182
Villain Alternate Defeat 357
Heroes Incapacitated 4

Notes

Deviation

The difference between the actual win rate of this combination of elements and the win rates of each of those elements on their own, averaged. A positive value means that this combination results in a win more often than would be expected.

Chi-Square p-value

This is the significance value of a χ² test comparing the observed data and expected value. In most cases, this expected value is the mean of the win rates of each element. For team position, the expected value is an equal likelihood of winning in all positions. Lower p-values (no greater than 0.01) mean a greater likelihood that the difference is meaningful and not due to chance.

Logistic Regression Coefficient

Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game, considering only games when 160 is present. The number on the right compares this model to the global one (counting all games); positive numbers suggests that this hero/villain/environment results in a win more often when 160 is present than otherwise, and vice-versa.