Deadline

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 280 91.07% 3.30% 0.09207 -0.4331 0.294
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 183 97.81% 8.02% 0.00034 0.5475 0.7492
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 103 96.12% 7.57% 0.01582 -0.0787 0.4144
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 39 94.87% 10.78% 0.06564 -0.1461 0.6457
Akash'Thriya 288 97.57% 7.52% 2e-05 0.8091 0.5441
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 125 98.40% 9.02% 0.00107 0.7046 0.2769
Argent Adept 262 95.04% 6.18% 0.00148 -0.0038 0.3996
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 67 94.03% 5.02% 0.18922 -0.4098 -0.1331
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 224 95.09% 5.61% 0.00619 -0.7037 -0.6505
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 50 98.00% 8.71% 0.04634 0.4983 0.5684
Benchmark 240 98.33% 9.30% 0.0 0.9925 0.9415
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 207 99.52% 10.05% 0.0 1.3304 0.835
Bunker 206 89.32% 1.46% 0.52016 -0.8166 -0.0599
Bunker: Freedom Five 99 95.96% 6.60% 0.03324 -0.2377 -0.3663
Bunker: Freedom Six 92 94.57% 8.39% 0.01972 -0.0606 0.4534
Bunker: G.I. 69 94.20% 6.60% 0.09627 -0.2951 0.2479
Bunker: Termi-Nation 38 89.47% 22.62% 0.00306 -0.7016 -0.1295
Captain Cosmic 349 90.26% 1.71% 0.3156 -0.5562 0.0934
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 44 97.73% 40.39% 0.0 0.5809 1.6748
Captain Cosmic: Requital 93 93.55% 4.49% 0.16513 -0.2072 -0.2033
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 77 93.51% 4.49% 0.2079 -0.2798 -0.0374
Chrono-Ranger 537 95.72% 6.20% 0.0 0.2162 0.1855
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 113 98.23% 9.23% 0.00172 0.7485 0.9057
Dr. Medico 327 95.72% 5.85% 0.00046 -0.0896 -0.2376
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 66 100.00% 10.51% 0.00537 0.9721 0.9741
Expatriette 366 94.26% 5.73% 0.00058 -0.2633 0.2554
Expatriette: Dark Watch 138 94.20% 7.25% 0.01143 -0.0401 0.2805
Fanatic 329 95.74% 6.73% 9e-05 0.3777 0.5298
Fanatic: Prime Warden 81 96.30% 8.27% 0.02184 0.0528 0.0304
Fanatic: Redeemer 109 96.33% 7.51% 0.01283 0.4189 0.5512
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 361 65.93% -4.46% 0.06327 -0.4134 -0.0537
Guise 218 91.74% 2.92% 0.17076 -0.1837 0.2327
Guise: Completionist 19 94.74% 6.31% 0.38996 -0.1274 0.3139
Guise: Santa 76 100.00% 13.51% 0.00057 1.3027 1.6135
Haka 328 93.60% 4.57% 0.00808 -0.2876 -0.1715
Haka: Eternal 59 98.31% 8.99% 0.02541 0.4545 0.4123
Haka: Prime Warden 63 98.41% 12.41% 0.00452 0.3354 0.4091
Haka: Xtreme PW 65 90.77% 1.76% 0.65007 -0.7839 -0.7546
Harpy 169 94.67% 5.66% 0.01862 -0.0494 0.2315
Harpy: Dark Watch 169 97.04% 9.60% 0.00017 0.5408 0.4092
Idealist 324 97.53% 9.45% 0.0 0.6311 0.9971
Idealist: Super Sentai 115 97.39% 8.49% 0.00374 0.3701 0.6979
K.N.Y.F.E. 289 96.19% 7.16% 0.0001 0.2927 0.6494
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 160 96.88% 8.06% 0.00121 0.4464 0.6997
La Comodora 561 77.90% -11.55% 0.0 0.2266 0.1933
La Comodora: Black Spot 135 98.52% 9.39% 0.00046 0.5742 0.4048
Legacy 961 97.71% 7.57% 0.0 0.7637 0.0463
Legacy: Freedom Five 258 98.06% 6.77% 0.00012 0.5404 -0.4468
Legacy: Greatest 225 98.22% 8.06% 5e-05 0.6824 -0.1279
Legacy: Young 158 99.37% 9.96% 5e-05 1.0643 0.4632
Lifeline 537 98.14% 8.86% 0.0 0.7317 0.6069
Lifeline: Blood Mage 109 96.33% 6.30% 0.0282 0.3552 -0.0406
Luminary 349 94.84% 5.90% 0.00044 -0.2172 -0.2002
Luminary: Heroic 144 94.44% 5.07% 0.04823 -0.4293 -0.4348
Mainstay 288 95.49% 6.47% 0.00044 -0.0887 -0.0953
Mainstay: Road Warrior 82 95.12% 6.23% 0.07245 0.1157 0.3829
Mr. Fixer 429 91.61% 2.63% 0.08186 -0.424 -0.2073
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 82 92.68% 19.29% 8e-05 -0.3101 -0.1561
Naturalist 393 94.66% 4.64% 0.00214 0.0399 -0.0802
Naturalist: Hunted 341 98.83% 8.33% 0.0 1.0073 0.5948
NightMist 266 93.61% 4.62% 0.01612 -0.4124 -0.2115
NightMist: Dark Watch 386 67.10% 0.59% 0.80745 -0.6773 0.1069
Omnitron-X 466 95.49% 6.44% 1e-05 0.1849 0.1148
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 214 95.79% 6.41% 0.00233 0.5869 0.4829
Parse 552 75.72% -13.18% 0.0 -0.0808 0.2074
Parse: Fugue State 222 98.20% 8.43% 3e-05 0.6016 0.2719
Ra 604 98.34% 9.03% 0.0 0.8726 1.0757
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 76 98.68% 9.80% 0.00655 0.8409 1.0059
Ra: Setting Sun 58 94.83% 5.79% 0.1581 0.1772 -0.0605
Scholar 354 92.09% 2.80% 0.08894 -0.499 -0.6713
Scholar: Of the Infinite 85 96.47% 6.80% 0.03945 0.2525 -0.2769
Sentinels 218 92.66% 2.84% 0.16521 -0.4391 -0.6313
Sentinels: Adamant 119 94.96% 4.48% 0.09616 0.0524 -0.5145
Setback 237 96.62% 8.44% 6e-05 0.2924 0.4487
Setback: Dark Watch 69 86.96% 18.99% 0.00072 -1.0626 -0.3186
Sky-Scraper 319 92.79% 3.78% 0.03098 -0.1697 -0.2654
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 173 98.27% 9.00% 0.00013 0.7882 0.506
Stuntman 286 96.50% 7.49% 5e-05 0.1858 0.1774
Stuntman: Action Hero 178 98.31% 8.96% 0.00011 0.7763 0.2903
Tachyon 153 95.42% 6.59% 0.00968 0.407 0.6637
Tachyon: Freedom Five 79 97.47% 8.12% 0.01933 0.198 0.1385
Tachyon: Freedom Six 497 99.40% 7.69% 0.0 1.2792 0.5699
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 259 98.46% 8.56% 0.0 0.8053 0.2486
Tempest 672 97.92% 7.99% 0.0 0.6417 0.4863
Tempest: Freedom Six 49 93.88% 19.88% 0.00151 0.147 0.1543
Tempest: Prime Warden 96 97.92% 8.28% 0.00777 0.3612 0.2386
Tempest: Xtreme PW 96 95.83% 6.82% 0.03266 -0.1443 -0.1209
Unity 354 91.24% 2.42% 0.14801 -0.5036 -0.0122
Unity: Freedom Six 60 96.67% 7.68% 0.05741 0.2434 0.5684
Unity: Termi-Nation 151 96.03% 7.85% 0.00281 0.0464 0.1833
Visionary 545 74.50% -14.52% 0.0 -0.7008 -0.5718
Visionary: Dark 160 94.38% 5.21% 0.03399 -0.2518 -0.2241
Visionary: Unleashed 240 99.58% 10.11% 0.0 1.3125 1.3075
Wraith 395 95.44% 6.39% 5e-05 0.1639 0.2983
Wraith: Freedom Five 130 98.46% 8.70% 0.00107 0.9168 0.6991
Wraith: Freedom Six 104 100.00% 10.95% 0.00035 1.0838 1.205
Wraith: Rook City 82 95.12% 6.10% 0.07728 0.1328 0.2785
Writhe 208 96.15% 7.12% 0.00102 0.2337 0.2263
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 117 95.73% 5.96% 0.03351 -0.1041 -0.664

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 155 94.84% 5.74% 0.02187 -0.2778 -0.5878
Dok'Thorath Capital 284 95.77% 7.24% 0.00013 0.4455 0.7495
Fort Adamant 150 97.33% 8.09% 0.00139 0.2996 0.1293
Freedom Tower 173 98.27% 8.21% 0.00031 0.5964 0.416
Insula Primalis 261 90.80% 1.80% 0.35359 -0.9359 -0.3473
Madame Mittermeier's 87 97.70% 8.75% 0.00922 0.5507 0.7262
Maerynian Refuge 201 99.00% 9.88% 1e-05 0.8598 0.6829
Magmaria 217 93.55% 4.47% 0.03466 -0.5462 -0.6252
Megalopolis 200 96.00% 6.85% 0.00184 0.1667 0.3989
Mobile Defense Platform 175 97.71% 8.21% 0.00039 0.4312 0.318
Mordengrad 125 94.40% 12.27% 0.00034 -0.3027 0.5292
Nexus of the Void 160 97.50% 6.43% 0.00434 0.4028 -0.1202
Omnitron-IV 113 97.35% 8.95% 0.00297 0.2847 0.7217
Pike Industrial Complex 137 98.54% 9.55% 0.00036 0.8685 1.0794
Realm of Discord 178 97.19% 7.66% 0.00084 0.3311 0.3803
Rook City 406 66.26% 0.91% 0.6986 -1.3852 -0.2532
Ruins of Atlantis 170 90.00% 8.04% 0.00643 -0.8817 0.1422
Silver Gulch 1883 219 85.84% -2.97% 0.16292 -1.2727 -0.825
The Block 201 95.52% 6.00% 0.00547 -0.0247 -0.0528
The Celestial Tribunal 199 97.99% 9.19% 4e-05 0.6528 0.9782
The Court of Blood 205 98.54% 9.19% 2e-05 0.7575 0.8192
The Enclave of the Endlings 256 93.36% 3.55% 0.06069 -0.3844 -0.5914
The Final Wasteland 235 96.60% 6.09% 0.00145 0.3443 -0.0919
The Temple of Zhu Long 148 97.97% 8.43% 0.0008 0.6618 0.4194
Time Cataclysm 151 96.03% 7.01% 0.00589 0.2579 0.4386
Tomb of Anubis 153 94.77% 5.56% 0.02663 -0.1668 0.1032
Wagner Mars Base 150 96.67% 7.52% 0.00307 0.3231 0.5913

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 844 87.20% +9.60% 0.0
4 1741 95.23% +6.26% 0.0
5 2682 93.66% +3.99% 0.0

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Villain Alternate Defeat 153
Heroes Incapacitated 195
Villain Destroyed 4906
Environment Alternate Defeat 13

Deadline (Advanced)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 13 84.62% -0.27% 0.97795 -0.1829 0.5442
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 8 100.00% 12.38% 0.28765 0.3642 0.5659
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 14.01% 0.68646 0.0204 0.5135
Akash'Thriya 18 100.00% 12.07% 0.11601 0.5954 0.3305
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 6 100.00% 12.90% 0.34582 0.1542 -0.2736
Argent Adept 18 94.44% 8.03% 0.32001 0.4067 0.8101
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 3 66.67% -19.95% 0.31008 -0.807 -0.5303
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 46 78.26% -8.96% 0.06886 -0.1421 -0.0889
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 4 100.00% 13.03% 0.4389 0.0715 0.1416
Benchmark 8 100.00% 13.35% 0.26691 0.2159 0.1649
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 7 100.00% 12.80% 0.3108 0.2344 -0.261
Bunker 8 75.00% -10.01% 0.42748 -0.4452 0.3115
Bunker: Freedom Five 7 100.00% 12.93% 0.30795 0.3295 0.2009
Bunker: Freedom Six 8 100.00% 17.99% 0.1853 0.2971 0.8111
Bunker: G.I. 5 100.00% 15.37% 0.34072 0.1132 0.6561
Bunker: Termi-Nation 3 100.00% 34.76% 0.20612 0.187 0.7592
Captain Cosmic 15 73.33% -12.66% 0.15775 -0.8071 -0.1575
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 2 100.00% 43.61% 0.21361 0.1679 1.2618
Captain Cosmic: Requital 4 50.00% -36.67% 0.03093 -1.1244 -1.1206
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 13.37% 0.69437 0.0198 0.2622
Chrono-Ranger 53 96.23% 8.95% 0.05048 0.0469 0.0162
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 17 88.24% 1.63% 0.84353 -0.1457 0.0115
Dr. Medico 25 88.00% 0.28% 0.96573 -0.4139 -0.5619
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 6 83.33% -3.91% 0.77436 -0.4534 -0.4514
Expatriette 43 67.44% -18.53% 0.00047 -1.0774 -0.5587
Expatriette: Dark Watch 9 100.00% 16.43% 0.18345 0.3117 0.6323
Fanatic 16 87.50% 0.89% 0.91704 0.2563 0.4085
Fanatic: Prime Warden 11 90.91% 5.65% 0.59701 -0.2445 -0.2669
Fanatic: Redeemer 3 100.00% 13.64% 0.49123 0.0933 0.2256
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 4 100.00% 31.77% 0.17235 0.1652 0.5249
Guise 9 77.78% -8.58% 0.4531 -0.8192 -0.4028
Guise: Completionist 1 100.00% 14.17% 0.68449 0.0649 0.5062
Guise: Santa 4 100.00% 17.29% 0.36053 0.1615 0.4724
Haka 22 77.27% -9.36% 0.19691 -1.1537 -1.0375
Haka: Eternal 4 100.00% 12.99% 0.4397 0.2357 0.1935
Haka: Prime Warden 4 100.00% 18.44% 0.34169 0.0883 0.162
Haka: Xtreme PW 5 100.00% 13.39% 0.37933 0.1637 0.193
Harpy 10 100.00% 13.38% 0.2139 0.3129 0.5937
Harpy: Dark Watch 20 100.00% 15.63% 0.05429 0.618 0.4864
Idealist 8 87.50% 2.16% 0.86289 0.0334 0.3995
Idealist: Super Sentai 7 100.00% 13.54% 0.29519 0.1129 0.4406
K.N.Y.F.E. 41 97.56% 10.92% 0.03986 0.4146 0.7713
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 36 75.00% -11.35% 0.04727 -0.1762 0.0771
La Comodora 7 85.71% -1.47% 0.90766 -0.4198 -0.4532
La Comodora: Black Spot 9 88.89% 2.12% 0.8514 -0.131 -0.3004
Legacy 73 90.41% 2.36% 0.53484 -0.3427 -1.0601
Legacy: Freedom Five 20 95.00% 5.56% 0.41842 -0.0533 -1.0405
Legacy: Greatest 28 96.43% 8.35% 0.17285 0.3853 -0.425
Legacy: Young 12 100.00% 12.87% 0.18316 0.4763 -0.1248
Lifeline 23 95.65% 8.69% 0.2159 0.3341 0.2093
Lifeline: Blood Mage 3 100.00% 12.08% 0.52082 0.0456 -0.3501
Luminary 19 94.74% 8.21% 0.29459 0.4435 0.4605
Luminary: Heroic 8 100.00% 12.92% 0.276 0.2963 0.2908
Mainstay 16 93.75% 7.13% 0.40208 0.1149 0.1084
Mainstay: Road Warrior 3 100.00% 13.55% 0.49291 0.1866 0.4538
Mr. Fixer 27 81.48% -5.09% 0.43804 -0.6631 -0.4464
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 9 100.00% 29.56% 0.05199 0.1958 0.3498
Naturalist 50 80.00% -7.89% 0.08713 -0.1608 -0.281
Naturalist: Hunted 26 96.15% 7.66% 0.22076 0.2189 -0.1936
NightMist 16 81.25% -5.34% 0.5309 -0.5866 -0.3857
NightMist: Dark Watch 4 100.00% 35.06% 0.14165 0.0963 0.8805
Omnitron-X 25 84.00% -2.67% 0.69454 -0.3748 -0.4449
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 4 100.00% 12.90% 0.44148 0.0865 -0.0175
Parse 7 100.00% 13.53% 0.29528 0.3487 0.6368
Parse: Fugue State 7 100.00% 12.41% 0.31928 0.2199 -0.1098
Ra 40 100.00% 13.00% 0.01451 0.9785 1.1815
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 5 80.00% -6.44% 0.67398 -0.4442 -0.2792
Ra: Setting Sun 3 100.00% 13.35% 0.49658 0.0666 -0.171
Scholar 13 84.62% -2.37% 0.79955 -0.4362 -0.6085
Scholar: Of the Infinite 8 100.00% 12.53% 0.28432 0.293 -0.2363
Sentinels 9 100.00% 12.35% 0.26011 0.2706 0.0785
Sentinels: Adamant 8 87.50% -0.97% 0.93172 -0.3255 -0.8924
Setback 13 100.00% 14.52% 0.13733 0.4458 0.6021
Setback: Dark Watch 1 100.00% 33.79% 0.47498 0.0135 0.7576
Sky-Scraper 10 80.00% -6.62% 0.53885 -0.4093 -0.505
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 36 94.44% 7.50% 0.18183 -0.4058 -0.6879
Stuntman 5 100.00% 13.38% 0.37952 0.1694 0.1611
Stuntman: Action Hero 17 100.00% 12.94% 0.11195 0.4916 0.0057
Tachyon 4 100.00% 13.61% 0.42722 0.2839 0.5406
Tachyon: Freedom Five 8 100.00% 12.94% 0.27542 0.2687 0.2093
Tachyon: Freedom Six 49 95.92% 6.00% 0.16304 0.261 -0.4483
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 22 95.45% 7.71% 0.27032 0.0019 -0.5548
Tempest 43 90.70% 2.91% 0.55989 -0.1421 -0.2974
Tempest: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 29.17% 0.52101 0.0653 0.0726
Tempest: Prime Warden 11 90.91% 3.49% 0.72714 -0.0033 -0.1259
Tempest: Xtreme PW 7 100.00% 13.38% 0.29842 0.3286 0.352
Unity 8 87.50% 1.14% 0.92524 0.0373 0.5287
Unity: Freedom Six 3 100.00% 13.42% 0.49536 0.1251 0.4501
Unity: Termi-Nation 4 100.00% 14.53% 0.40964 0.1698 0.3067
Visionary 11 72.73% -13.89% 0.17611 -0.9712 -0.8421
Visionary: Dark 39 97.44% 10.62% 0.04996 0.0202 0.0478
Visionary: Unleashed 5 80.00% -7.22% 0.62889 -0.3601 -0.3651
Wraith 25 80.00% -6.68% 0.32597 -0.7595 -0.6251
Wraith: Freedom Five 10 100.00% 12.42% 0.23369 0.2851 0.0674
Wraith: Freedom Six 6 100.00% 13.33% 0.33669 0.4891 0.6102
Wraith: Rook City 4 100.00% 13.37% 0.43205 0.0951 0.2408
Writhe 8 87.50% 0.85% 0.94367 -0.2809 -0.2883
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 39 94.87% 7.28% 0.1678 -0.218 -0.7779

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 6 100.00% 13.27% 0.33801 0.2849 -0.0252
Dok'Thorath Capital 39 97.44% 11.47% 0.03924 0.2261 0.5301
Fort Adamant 9 100.00% 13.08% 0.24456 0.5164 0.3461
Freedom Tower 14 92.86% 4.91% 0.5726 0.0129 -0.1675
Insula Primalis 19 94.74% 8.13% 0.2983 0.3871 0.9758
Madame Mittermeier's 4 100.00% 13.47% 0.43013 0.126 0.3016
Maerynian Refuge 23 100.00% 13.24% 0.06106 0.6714 0.4945
Magmaria 8 100.00% 13.30% 0.26793 0.3371 0.2582
Megalopolis 13 92.31% 5.51% 0.55738 -0.0377 0.1946
Mobile Defense Platform 35 74.29% -12.96% 0.0215 -0.3119 -0.4251
Mordengrad 9 88.89% 15.55% 0.29153 -0.5259 0.3059
Nexus of the Void 15 93.33% 4.16% 0.60407 0.0396 -0.4834
Omnitron-IV 7 57.14% -28.64% 0.03007 -1.2441 -0.8071
Pike Industrial Complex 8 62.50% -24.09% 0.04556 -0.5601 -0.3493
Realm of Discord 3 100.00% 12.71% 0.50864 0.0953 0.1445
Rook City 4 75.00% 11.11% 0.64352 -0.4017 0.7303
Ruins of Atlantis 9 88.89% 15.63% 0.28937 -0.0796 0.9443
Silver Gulch 1883 6 83.33% -3.02% 0.8292 0.0006 0.4483
The Block 10 90.00% 2.73% 0.79591 0.2584 0.2303
The Celestial Tribunal 8 75.00% -11.34% 0.35032 -0.5921 -0.2666
The Court of Blood 9 77.78% -9.27% 0.40722 -0.5161 -0.4544
The Enclave of the Endlings 18 83.33% -4.31% 0.57842 -0.592 -0.7991
The Final Wasteland 17 100.00% 11.50% 0.13713 0.5277 0.0916
The Temple of Zhu Long 6 100.00% 12.70% 0.35011 0.2493 0.0069
Time Cataclysm 9 100.00% 13.37% 0.23848 0.3227 0.5034
Tomb of Anubis 2 100.00% 13.12% 0.58255 0.2076 0.4776
Wagner Mars Base 11 90.91% 4.12% 0.6868 0.0395 0.3077

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 26 65.38% -7.02% 0.42331
4 144 86.81% +0.24% 0.93228
5 162 96.30% +8.83% 0.00069

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Villain Alternate Defeat 7
Heroes Incapacitated 26
Villain Destroyed 298
Environment Alternate Defeat 1

Deadline (Challenge)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 8 75.00% -13.46% 0.23357 -0.6605 0.0666
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 6 100.00% 9.64% 0.42355 0.1295 0.3312
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 10.82% 0.72755 0.0427 0.5358
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 24 91.67% 6.47% 0.37217 -0.1802 0.6116
Akash'Thriya 8 100.00% 9.40% 0.36213 0.2125 -0.0524
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 8 100.00% 10.03% 0.3449 0.1869 -0.2409
Argent Adept 12 100.00% 10.53% 0.23472 0.2617 0.6651
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 4 100.00% 10.38% 0.49605 0.155 0.4317
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 3 100.00% 9.95% 0.5649 0.0381 0.0914
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 2 100.00% 10.13% 0.63501 0.0645 0.1346
Benchmark 5 100.00% 10.36% 0.44716 0.1665 0.1155
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 5 80.00% -10.04% 0.45318 -0.2083 -0.7037
Bunker 4 100.00% 11.47% 0.4717 0.1672 0.924
Bunker: Freedom Five 3 100.00% 10.05% 0.56255 0.0422 -0.0863
Bunker: Freedom Six 4 75.00% -12.00% 0.47559 -0.6303 -0.1164
Bunker: G.I. 1 100.00% 11.70% 0.71587 0.0909 0.6338
Bunker: Termi-Nation 24 91.67% 24.29% 0.01114 -0.1758 0.3964
Captain Cosmic 4 50.00% -39.18% 0.01165 -0.9561 -0.3064
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 2 100.00% 42.38% 0.22522 0.0337 1.1276
Captain Cosmic: Requital 4 100.00% 10.34% 0.49693 0.05 0.0539
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 2 100.00% 10.38% 0.63036 0.0693 0.3117
Chrono-Ranger 12 100.00% 9.90% 0.25075 0.3546 0.324
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 10 100.00% 10.39% 0.28153 0.1829 0.3401
Dr. Medico 10 100.00% 9.57% 0.30365 0.247 0.099
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 1 100.00% 9.93% 0.73987 0.0268 0.0288
Expatriette 5 80.00% -9.16% 0.50973 -0.3046 0.2141
Expatriette: Dark Watch 3 66.67% -21.03% 0.26734 -0.3617 -0.0412
Fanatic 4 75.00% -14.61% 0.33803 -0.4153 -0.2632
Fanatic: Prime Warden 1 100.00% 11.31% 0.72101 0.0105 -0.0118
Fanatic: Redeemer 2 100.00% 10.57% 0.62691 0.0405 0.1728
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 2 100.00% 28.86% 0.36772 0.0493 0.409
Guise 6 100.00% 10.57% 0.39985 0.1773 0.5938
Guise: Completionist 2 100.00% 10.93% 0.62026 0.0422 0.4835
Guise: Santa 9 100.00% 12.72% 0.25218 0.1428 0.4537
Haka 4 100.00% 10.37% 0.49631 0.2854 0.4016
Haka: Eternal 2 100.00% 10.10% 0.63555 0.0241 -0.0181
Haka: Prime Warden 3 100.00% 13.16% 0.50016 0.0628 0.1365
Harpy 4 100.00% 10.38% 0.49605 0.1658 0.4467
Harpy: Dark Watch 6 100.00% 11.85% 0.36905 0.1148 -0.0168
Idealist 6 100.00% 11.26% 0.383 0.1762 0.5422
Idealist: Super Sentai 3 100.00% 10.49% 0.55318 0.0804 0.4081
K.N.Y.F.E. 7 100.00% 10.37% 0.36827 0.2122 0.5689
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 7 100.00% 10.57% 0.36299 0.2452 0.4985
La Comodora 7 100.00% 9.97% 0.37854 0.2233 0.1899
Legacy 35 88.57% -2.12% 0.66617 -0.3407 -1.0581
Legacy: Freedom Five 6 100.00% 8.21% 0.46386 0.1884 -0.7988
Legacy: Greatest 12 100.00% 9.29% 0.26765 0.1744 -0.6359
Legacy: Young 6 100.00% 10.01% 0.41405 0.1039 -0.4972
Lifeline 19 100.00% 10.13% 0.14331 0.3753 0.2504
Lifeline: Blood Mage 2 100.00% 9.42% 0.64843 0.0505 -0.3452
Luminary 8 87.50% -2.05% 0.84946 -0.3651 -0.3481
Luminary: Heroic 11 90.91% 0.95% 0.91618 -0.0732 -0.0786
Mainstay 2 100.00% 10.38% 0.63027 0.0473 0.0408
Mainstay: Road Warrior 1 100.00% 10.50% 0.73194 0.0225 0.2897
Mr. Fixer 8 100.00% 10.42% 0.33481 0.3166 0.5333
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 4 100.00% 25.38% 0.24351 0.0592 0.2133
Naturalist 13 92.31% 1.74% 0.82979 -0.2788 -0.399
Naturalist: Hunted 17 100.00% 8.97% 0.19556 0.378 -0.0345
NightMist 3 100.00% 10.40% 0.55505 0.0454 0.2463
NightMist: Dark Watch 2 100.00% 32.98% 0.32115 0.0878 0.8721
Omnitron-X 9 77.78% -11.88% 0.24202 -0.7831 -0.8532
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 2 100.00% 10.03% 0.63676 0.0492 -0.0548
Parse 25 92.00% 2.49% 0.68467 -0.139 0.1491
Parse: Fugue State 11 100.00% 9.67% 0.27795 0.2223 -0.1074
Ra 18 83.33% -6.56% 0.35541 -0.5267 -0.3237
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 5 100.00% 10.51% 0.44353 0.1024 0.2674
Ra: Setting Sun 7 85.71% -3.93% 0.73325 -0.222 -0.4597
Scholar 7 100.00% 10.12% 0.37475 0.0985 -0.0738
Scholar: Of the Infinite 1 100.00% 9.76% 0.74227 0.0238 -0.5056
Sentinels 8 100.00% 9.62% 0.35611 0.1219 -0.0702
Sentinels: Adamant 6 100.00% 8.99% 0.44145 0.1985 -0.3683
Setback 4 75.00% -13.84% 0.37951 -0.3927 -0.2364
Setback: Dark Watch 1 100.00% 31.46% 0.4981 0.016 0.76
Sky-Scraper 3 100.00% 10.38% 0.55548 0.0509 -0.0448
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 3 100.00% 10.14% 0.56061 0.1448 -0.1374
Stuntman 4 100.00% 10.38% 0.49609 0.3577 0.3493
Stuntman: Action Hero 6 100.00% 10.06% 0.41266 0.1404 -0.3456
Tachyon 2 100.00% 10.55% 0.62725 0.1335 0.3902
Tachyon: Freedom Five 1 100.00% 10.06% 0.73798 0.0127 -0.0467
Tachyon: Freedom Six 26 96.15% 3.97% 0.45089 0.2805 -0.4287
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 10 100.00% 9.55% 0.30431 0.4465 -0.1102
Tempest 17 82.35% -8.13% 0.25327 -0.7673 -0.9226
Tempest: Prime Warden 3 100.00% 9.79% 0.5682 0.0556 -0.067
Tempest: Xtreme PW 4 75.00% -14.62% 0.33775 -0.411 -0.3876
Unity 6 100.00% 10.56% 0.39986 0.2118 0.7032
Unity: Freedom Six 2 100.00% 10.41% 0.62981 0.0337 0.3586
Unity: Termi-Nation 24 91.67% 2.84% 0.65911 -0.2142 -0.0773
Visionary 4 100.00% 10.38% 0.49599 0.1259 0.255
Visionary: Dark 13 100.00% 10.24% 0.22331 0.3108 0.3385
Visionary: Unleashed 3 100.00% 9.95% 0.56488 0.1345 0.1295
Wraith 12 75.00% -14.66% 0.09536 -0.8982 -0.7638
Wraith: Freedom Five 2 100.00% 9.67% 0.64349 0.0656 -0.1521
Wraith: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 10.35% 0.73407 0.0182 0.1393
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 4 100.00% 9.67% 0.51297 0.0743 -0.4856

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 4 100.00% 10.30% 0.49792 0.2001 -0.11
Dok'Thorath Capital 2 100.00% 10.84% 0.62201 0.0394 0.3435
Fort Adamant 2 100.00% 10.16% 0.63433 0.0841 -0.0863
Freedom Tower 32 93.75% 3.14% 0.54227 0.1232 -0.0572
Insula Primalis 9 88.89% -0.72% 0.94325 -0.3129 0.2757
Madame Mittermeier's 3 100.00% 10.44% 0.55422 0.1537 0.3293
Maerynian Refuge 6 100.00% 10.28% 0.40711 0.202 0.0251
Megalopolis 5 80.00% -9.75% 0.47238 -0.2341 -0.0019
Mobile Defense Platform 7 100.00% 9.92% 0.37989 0.3747 0.2615
Mordengrad 6 100.00% 16.27% 0.28019 0.1052 0.9371
Nexus of the Void 9 100.00% 8.42% 0.36286 0.1847 -0.3383
Omnitron-IV 3 100.00% 10.97% 0.54326 0.1178 0.5548
Realm of Discord 3 66.67% -23.44% 0.17384 -0.4274 -0.3782
Rook City 4 100.00% 34.20% 0.14935 0.0545 1.1865
Ruins of Atlantis 5 60.00% -23.62% 0.15355 -0.7798 0.2441
Silver Gulch 1883 1 100.00% 10.57% 0.73103 0.0108 0.4584
The Block 8 100.00% 9.90% 0.34839 0.1032 0.0751
The Celestial Tribunal 4 100.00% 10.58% 0.4915 0.1493 0.4747
The Court of Blood 2 100.00% 10.07% 0.63611 0.0528 0.1145
The Enclave of the Endlings 11 100.00% 9.63% 0.27909 0.2334 0.0264
The Final Wasteland 5 100.00% 8.97% 0.48285 0.1655 -0.2706
The Temple of Zhu Long 8 87.50% -2.61% 0.80432 -0.1427 -0.385
Time Cataclysm 2 100.00% 10.38% 0.63036 0.0565 0.2372
Tomb of Anubis 3 100.00% 10.20% 0.55948 0.118 0.3879
Wagner Mars Base 6 83.33% -6.41% 0.60476 -0.2379 0.0302

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 12 91.67% +9.41% 0.39359
4 70 94.29% +4.71% 0.19745
5 68 94.12% +3.88% 0.28149

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Villain Alternate Defeat 5
Heroes Incapacitated 4
Villain Destroyed 141

Deadline (Ultimate)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 6 100.00% 19.78% 0.22389 0.296 1.0231
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 6 100.00% 14.57% 0.31166 0.2984 0.5
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 4 100.00% 17.03% 0.36494 0.4513 0.9444
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 2 100.00% 27.98% 0.37805 0.1731 0.9649
Akash'Thriya 18 100.00% 14.16% 0.08488 0.9135 0.6485
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 15 80.00% -4.71% 0.6123 -0.0869 -0.5146
Argent Adept 11 100.00% 16.32% 0.14305 0.6524 1.0559
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 5 100.00% 16.00% 0.32917 0.6316 0.9083
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 24 79.17% -5.71% 0.43492 -0.5267 -0.4735
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 10 90.00% 5.47% 0.63233 -0.0396 0.0305
Benchmark 9 66.67% -17.38% 0.15434 -0.4187 -0.4697
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 22 90.91% 6.05% 0.42838 0.2904 -0.205
Bunker 1 100.00% 19.27% 0.62518 0.0583 0.815
Bunker: Freedom Five 1 100.00% 15.33% 0.67046 0.0325 -0.0961
Bunker: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 25.85% 0.55489 0.0656 0.5796
Bunker: G.I. 7 100.00% 22.19% 0.15766 0.2168 0.7597
Bunker: Termi-Nation 2 100.00% 35.90% 0.28988 0.1554 0.7275
Captain Cosmic 6 83.33% 0.35% 0.98166 -0.449 0.2007
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 1 100.00% 44.32% 0.37226 0.2061 1.3
Captain Cosmic: Requital 8 100.00% 15.92% 0.21849 0.2184 0.2223
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 4 100.00% 15.99% 0.38297 0.1486 0.391
Chrono-Ranger 41 92.68% 7.73% 0.16629 0.406 0.3753
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 9 100.00% 16.02% 0.19013 0.4712 0.6284
Dr. Medico 22 95.45% 9.89% 0.18671 0.442 0.294
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 5 100.00% 15.09% 0.34579 0.2613 0.2633
Expatriette 14 85.71% 2.77% 0.78276 -0.092 0.4268
Expatriette: Dark Watch 8 100.00% 24.46% 0.10749 0.3854 0.706
Fanatic 13 100.00% 16.01% 0.11551 0.7888 0.9409
Fanatic: Prime Warden 8 100.00% 18.54% 0.17718 0.3782 0.3558
Fanatic: Redeemer 4 100.00% 16.40% 0.37568 0.1657 0.298
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 5 60.00% -6.81% 0.74642 -0.6502 -0.2905
Guise 8 100.00% 16.40% 0.21029 0.4906 0.907
Guise: Completionist 2 100.00% 17.32% 0.5175 0.0596 0.5009
Guise: Santa 3 33.33% -41.31% 0.09998 -0.9538 -0.6429
Haka 14 85.71% 1.69% 0.86318 -0.4422 -0.3261
Haka: Eternal 6 100.00% 15.42% 0.29571 0.289 0.2468
Haka: Prime Warden 2 100.00% 26.10% 0.4007 0.0561 0.1299
Haka: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 16.01% 0.66244 0.0741 0.1035
Harpy 5 100.00% 16.00% 0.32917 0.333 0.6139
Harpy: Dark Watch 6 100.00% 23.05% 0.18009 0.1909 0.0594
Idealist 8 100.00% 18.34% 0.18015 0.4309 0.797
Idealist: Super Sentai 6 50.00% -33.76% 0.02492 -0.8965 -0.5688
K.N.Y.F.E. 38 89.47% 5.44% 0.36021 0.2895 0.6462
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 6 100.00% 16.42% 0.27768 0.225 0.4783
La Comodora 13 100.00% 15.18% 0.12724 0.3592 0.3258
La Comodora: Black Spot 2 100.00% 15.76% 0.54068 0.3062 0.1368
Legacy 75 92.00% 6.00% 0.13438 0.3305 -0.3869
Legacy: Freedom Five 34 85.29% -2.43% 0.66643 -0.1454 -1.1325
Legacy: Greatest 43 95.35% 9.31% 0.07813 0.4594 -0.3509
Legacy: Young 7 100.00% 15.24% 0.26192 0.2811 -0.32
Lifeline 27 85.19% 0.67% 0.92342 -0.2689 -0.3938
Lifeline: Blood Mage 4 100.00% 14.18% 0.41631 0.2374 -0.1584
Luminary 11 100.00% 16.14% 0.14569 0.6996 0.7166
Luminary: Heroic 9 88.89% 4.20% 0.72626 -0.24 -0.2454
Mainstay 14 78.57% -5.43% 0.57936 -0.6632 -0.6697
Mainstay: Road Warrior 3 100.00% 16.26% 0.44538 0.1021 0.3694
Mr. Fixer 12 58.33% -25.60% 0.01577 -0.9993 -0.7826
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 5 100.00% 31.29% 0.13133 0.214 0.3681
Naturalist 343 84.26% -1.53% 0.41596 -0.5209 -0.6411
Naturalist: Hunted 34 82.35% -4.20% 0.47241 -0.6756 -1.0882
NightMist 38 86.84% 2.89% 0.62795 -0.0762 0.1247
NightMist: Dark Watch 5 60.00% -3.82% 0.85898 -0.7302 0.054
Omnitron-X 43 83.72% -0.36% 0.94862 -0.7639 -0.834
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 6 100.00% 15.29% 0.29805 0.3164 0.2124
Parse 12 75.00% -8.77% 0.40991 -0.6844 -0.3963
Parse: Fugue State 40 90.00% 4.61% 0.40884 0.518 0.1884
Ra 40 82.50% -2.07% 0.71646 -1.0898 -0.8868
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 7 85.71% 1.99% 0.88673 0.0694 0.2344
Ra: Setting Sun 322 84.78% 0.73% 0.71923 0.3291 0.0915
Scholar 342 84.80% 0.25% 0.89863 0.36 0.1877
Scholar: Of the Infinite 6 100.00% 14.78% 0.3077 0.2911 -0.2382
Sentinels 9 88.89% 3.42% 0.77092 0.206 0.0139
Sentinels: Adamant 9 77.78% -8.75% 0.44193 -0.4677 -1.0345
Setback 10 90.00% 8.01% 0.50983 0.0105 0.1668
Setback: Dark Watch 2 100.00% 35.01% 0.29928 0.1273 0.8713
Sky-Scraper 8 62.50% -21.50% 0.09717 -0.8573 -0.9529
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 9 88.89% 4.40% 0.71563 0.1136 -0.1686
Stuntman 10 80.00% -4.01% 0.72955 -0.5701 -0.5784
Stuntman: Action Hero 22 90.91% 6.25% 0.41579 -0.1958 -0.6817
Tachyon 2 100.00% 16.36% 0.53167 0.1968 0.4535
Tachyon: Freedom Five 31 87.10% 2.45% 0.70522 0.1336 0.0742
Tachyon: Freedom Six 94 93.62% 5.33% 0.10818 0.3681 -0.3411
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 23 100.00% 14.40% 0.04919 0.8191 0.2624
Tempest 27 88.89% 3.24% 0.63125 -0.2287 -0.384
Tempest: Freedom Six 3 100.00% 30.97% 0.24598 0.1496 0.1569
Tempest: Prime Warden 9 100.00% 14.84% 0.21041 0.2967 0.1742
Tempest: Xtreme PW 9 77.78% -6.23% 0.61025 -0.2502 -0.2268
Unity 4 100.00% 16.40% 0.37572 0.1193 0.6106
Unity: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 16.05% 0.66192 0.0127 0.3377
Unity: Termi-Nation 13 61.54% -20.43% 0.05538 -1.2113 -1.0744
Visionary 13 92.31% 8.31% 0.4138 0.1201 0.2491
Visionary: Dark 33 87.88% 3.58% 0.57202 -0.2543 -0.2266
Visionary: Unleashed 9 100.00% 15.12% 0.20538 0.3031 0.2981
Wraith 18 94.44% 10.35% 0.22975 0.3359 0.4703
Wraith: Freedom Five 6 100.00% 14.63% 0.31064 0.212 -0.0058
Wraith: Freedom Six 3 100.00% 15.92% 0.451 0.1627 0.2838
Wraith: Rook City 4 75.00% -9.02% 0.62243 -0.3635 -0.2178
Writhe 14 78.57% -5.48% 0.57547 -0.6941 -0.7016
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 11 63.64% -21.75% 0.04111 -1.1268 -1.6867

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 8 100.00% 15.83% 0.22002 0.4834 0.1734
Dok'Thorath Capital 11 81.82% -1.12% 0.92105 -0.2661 0.038
Fort Adamant 1 100.00% 15.54% 0.66791 0.043 -0.1273
Freedom Tower 25 96.00% 10.14% 0.14572 0.3644 0.184
Insula Primalis 18 83.33% -0.66% 0.93927 -0.0445 0.5442
Madame Mittermeier's 2 100.00% 16.13% 0.53516 0.0526 0.2282
Maerynian Refuge 25 84.00% -0.22% 0.97556 -0.382 -0.5589
Magmaria 330 84.55% 0.42% 0.83436 0.0824 0.0034
Megalopolis 10 90.00% 5.73% 0.61894 -0.1054 0.1268
Mobile Defense Platform 15 93.33% 8.41% 0.36252 0.2335 0.1203
Mordengrad 4 75.00% 4.04% 0.85887 -0.4346 0.3972
Nexus of the Void 18 94.44% 7.04% 0.36777 0.0807 -0.4423
Omnitron-IV 5 100.00% 17.41% 0.30456 0.3011 0.738
Pike Industrial Complex 3 100.00% 16.04% 0.44898 0.2654 0.4762
Realm of Discord 5 100.00% 15.02% 0.34712 0.2926 0.3418
Rook City 4 100.00% 37.16% 0.12406 0.2241 1.3561
Ruins of Atlantis 8 50.00% -20.90% 0.19302 -0.8734 0.1505
Silver Gulch 1883 30 76.67% -6.93% 0.30572 -1.426 -0.9783
The Block 13 92.31% 7.35% 0.45843 0.0419 0.0138
The Celestial Tribunal 8 50.00% -33.57% 0.01041 -1.1715 -0.846
The Court of Blood 3 100.00% 15.36% 0.46067 0.1876 0.2493
The Enclave of the Endlings 27 96.30% 10.84% 0.1102 0.7141 0.5071
The Final Wasteland 12 100.00% 13.44% 0.17234 0.7774 0.3413
The Temple of Zhu Long 13 76.92% -8.07% 0.41557 -0.82 -1.0624
Time Cataclysm 5 100.00% 15.99% 0.32935 0.2089 0.3896
Tomb of Anubis 2 100.00% 15.61% 0.543 0.105 0.375
Wagner Mars Base 7 85.71% 1.45% 0.91617 0.0034 0.2716

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 352 82.39% +12.11% 0.0
4 60 86.67% +2.75% 0.56236
5 205 92.20% +6.97% 0.00491

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Villain Alternate Defeat 27
Heroes Incapacitated 56
Villain Destroyed 531
Environment Alternate Defeat 3

Notes

Deviation

The difference between the actual win rate of this combination of elements and the win rates of each of those elements on their own, averaged. A positive value means that this combination results in a win more often than would be expected.

Chi-Square p-value

This is the significance value of a χ² test comparing the observed data and expected value. In most cases, this expected value is the mean of the win rates of each element. For team position, the expected value is an equal likelihood of winning in all positions. Lower p-values (no greater than 0.01) mean a greater likelihood that the difference is meaningful and not due to chance.

Logistic Regression Coefficient

Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game, considering only games when 264 is present. The number on the right compares this model to the global one (counting all games); positive numbers suggests that this hero/villain/environment results in a win more often when 264 is present than otherwise, and vice-versa.