Citizen Dawn

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 1381 58.51% -15.16% 0.0 -0.7854 -0.0583
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 273 90.48% 8.20% 0.00039 0.1098 0.3115
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 192 76.04% 0.85% 0.78596 -0.3854 0.1077
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 77 75.32% 5.20% 0.31862 -0.3421 0.4497
Akash'Thriya 260 92.31% 9.27% 7e-05 0.6955 0.4305
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 148 96.62% 16.22% 0.0 0.995 0.5673
Argent Adept 255 75.29% -0.79% 0.76621 -0.1817 0.2218
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 44 90.91% 14.25% 0.02548 0.3515 0.6282
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 139 90.65% 9.66% 0.00369 0.0549 0.1081
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 64 84.38% 5.76% 0.2614 -0.3852 -0.3151
Benchmark 216 85.65% 8.88% 0.00199 0.0685 0.0175
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 154 93.51% 12.59% 7e-05 0.5726 0.0772
Bunker 1197 56.81% -17.00% 0.0 -0.8007 -0.044
Bunker: Freedom Five 250 94.00% 13.78% 0.0 0.5929 0.4643
Bunker: Freedom Six 170 57.65% -14.03% 5e-05 -0.879 -0.365
Bunker: G.I. 227 72.25% -1.16% 0.6923 -0.5804 -0.0375
Bunker: Termi-Nation 66 69.70% 6.58% 0.26805 -0.6333 -0.0612
Captain Cosmic 214 73.83% -1.37% 0.64231 -0.4142 0.2354
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 95 49.47% -5.56% 0.27563 -1.1752 -0.0813
Captain Cosmic: Requital 71 87.32% 10.48% 0.03627 0.074 0.0778
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 69 97.10% 20.42% 6e-05 1.1424 1.3849
Chrono-Ranger 476 82.35% 1.15% 0.52158 0.0118 -0.0189
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 143 91.61% 14.99% 2e-05 0.2139 0.3711
Dr. Medico 386 89.12% 6.58% 0.00066 0.1979 0.0499
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 81 87.65% 6.58% 0.13038 0.1976 0.1996
Expatriette 855 69.59% -5.57% 0.00016 -0.6016 -0.0829
Expatriette: Dark Watch 433 64.43% -8.09% 0.00016 -0.6955 -0.375
Fanatic 1675 68.78% -7.87% 0.0 -0.0903 0.0618
Fanatic: Prime Warden 168 86.31% 12.21% 0.0003 0.3393 0.3169
Fanatic: Redeemer 203 80.30% 4.34% 0.1483 -0.1175 0.0148
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 113 84.07% 18.44% 4e-05 0.2409 0.6006
Guise 206 76.70% 0.74% 0.80429 -0.5661 -0.1497
Guise: Completionist 20 90.00% 15.08% 0.11975 -0.0598 0.3815
Guise: Santa 99 76.77% 4.76% 0.29105 -0.4183 -0.1074
Haka 1633 69.69% -7.03% 0.0 -0.3221 -0.2059
Haka: Eternal 169 86.98% 7.27% 0.01873 0.4067 0.3645
Haka: Prime Warden 663 64.25% -7.26% 3e-05 -0.5028 -0.4291
Haka: Xtreme PW 142 84.51% 7.86% 0.02678 -0.1304 -0.101
Harpy 140 78.57% 1.91% 0.59373 -0.5789 -0.2981
Harpy: Dark Watch 187 74.87% 1.71% 0.59861 -0.3185 -0.4501
Idealist 234 83.76% 9.55% 0.00084 -0.235 0.131
Idealist: Super Sentai 73 86.30% 10.08% 0.04305 -0.1206 0.2071
K.N.Y.F.E. 328 83.23% 6.49% 0.00537 0.0881 0.4448
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 244 75.82% -0.12% 0.96539 -0.2661 -0.0128
La Comodora 229 90.83% 10.01% 0.00012 0.3977 0.3643
La Comodora: Black Spot 139 95.68% 18.46% 0.0 1.1965 1.027
Legacy 3956 75.43% -7.88% 0.0 0.496 -0.2214
Legacy: Freedom Five 534 93.45% 7.69% 0.0 0.9832 -0.004
Legacy: Greatest 469 90.83% 7.47% 1e-05 0.5304 -0.2799
Legacy: Young 459 86.93% 6.33% 0.00061 0.7367 0.1356
Lifeline 300 92.67% 14.19% 0.0 0.5703 0.4455
Lifeline: Blood Mage 125 97.60% 14.59% 1e-05 1.3295 0.9338
Luminary 299 91.30% 14.91% 0.0 0.5901 0.6071
Luminary: Heroic 166 86.75% 6.45% 0.03674 -0.0287 -0.0342
Mainstay 242 88.43% 11.77% 2e-05 0.2926 0.286
Mainstay: Road Warrior 78 87.18% 10.99% 0.02263 0.1049 0.3721
Mr. Fixer 469 74.63% -1.89% 0.33465 -0.3657 -0.149
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 244 53.28% -14.06% 0.0 -0.199 -0.045
Naturalist 246 85.37% 2.42% 0.31359 0.2386 0.1184
Naturalist: Hunted 283 95.76% 11.60% 0.0 0.9765 0.5639
NightMist 306 78.76% 2.19% 0.3662 -0.0727 0.1282
NightMist: Dark Watch 118 60.17% -2.69% 0.54598 -0.8332 -0.0489
Omnitron-X 551 85.12% 8.29% 0.0 0.1273 0.0572
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 142 88.03% 7.62% 0.02213 0.1062 0.0022
Parse 269 85.50% 9.27% 0.00035 0.1918 0.4799
Parse: Fugue State 333 97.60% 15.40% 0.0 1.5302 1.2006
Ra 2348 68.91% -10.70% 0.0 -0.3849 -0.1819
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 209 72.73% -3.43% 0.24434 -0.4041 -0.2391
Ra: Setting Sun 224 67.86% -8.91% 0.0016 -0.423 -0.6606
Scholar 434 79.03% -0.13% 0.94492 -0.2825 -0.4549
Scholar: Of the Infinite 89 82.02% 0.17% 0.96725 -0.4061 -0.9355
Sentinels 243 88.07% 5.70% 0.01967 0.3039 0.1118
Sentinels: Adamant 167 97.01% 12.89% 1e-05 1.1712 0.6043
Setback 294 82.31% 7.91% 0.00188 0.1976 0.3538
Setback: Dark Watch 82 60.98% -2.98% 0.57453 0.1789 0.9229
Sky-Scraper 230 82.61% 5.95% 0.03288 0.117 0.0213
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 159 89.31% 11.02% 0.00075 0.1216 -0.1605
Stuntman 335 83.28% 6.61% 0.00422 -0.1252 -0.1335
Stuntman: Action Hero 191 96.86% 16.70% 0.0 1.3996 0.9137
Tachyon 1121 62.09% -13.94% 0.0 -0.3697 -0.1129
Tachyon: Freedom Five 194 90.72% 10.61% 0.00021 0.4432 0.3837
Tachyon: Freedom Six 1050 94.76% 8.29% 0.0 1.4201 0.7109
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 720 86.11% 3.50% 0.01325 0.5827 0.026
Tempest 2643 77.26% -5.44% 0.0 0.2661 0.1108
Tempest: Freedom Six 131 74.05% 6.43% 0.11591 -0.1091 -0.1019
Tempest: Prime Warden 251 92.43% 10.72% 1e-05 0.6094 0.4868
Tempest: Xtreme PW 263 87.45% 10.78% 4e-05 0.3477 0.3711
Unity 374 78.61% 2.65% 0.23096 -0.0482 0.4431
Unity: Freedom Six 62 82.26% 5.70% 0.28912 -0.3041 0.0209
Unity: Termi-Nation 117 96.58% 22.20% 0.0 1.2991 1.436
Visionary 1580 70.70% -5.96% 0.0 0.1099 0.2389
Visionary: Dark 531 91.53% 14.10% 0.0 0.6182 0.6458
Visionary: Unleashed 813 68.63% -12.35% 0.0 -0.1294 -0.1344
Wraith 2052 70.27% -6.58% 0.0 -0.2088 -0.0743
Wraith: Freedom Five 284 90.85% 8.67% 0.00013 0.2303 0.0125
Wraith: Freedom Six 237 77.22% 0.39% 0.8872 -0.3304 -0.2093
Wraith: Rook City 698 65.04% -11.66% 0.0 -0.0104 0.1353
Writhe 203 83.25% 6.48% 0.0287 0.0144 0.0069
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 130 89.23% 7.03% 0.03623 0.1238 -0.4361

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 185 94.59% 17.54% 0.0 1.1192 0.8092
Dok'Thorath Capital 147 82.31% 7.15% 0.04484 0.0349 0.339
Fort Adamant 145 91.03% 12.98% 0.00016 0.4629 0.2925
Freedom Tower 343 91.25% 8.18% 5e-05 0.4761 0.2957
Insula Primalis 1879 70.30% -6.34% 0.0 -0.2502 0.3385
Madame Mittermeier's 79 84.81% 8.40% 0.07861 -0.1334 0.0422
Maerynian Refuge 184 92.93% 15.74% 0.0 0.6926 0.5156
Magmaria 126 85.71% 8.78% 0.01933 0.2544 0.1754
Megalopolis 1646 73.39% -3.95% 0.00013 -0.0189 0.2133
Mobile Defense Platform 289 80.28% -0.83% 0.71752 0.6147 0.5015
Mordengrad 109 83.49% 14.22% 0.0013 -0.4772 0.3547
Nexus of the Void 172 94.77% 9.43% 0.00047 1.0738 0.5508
Omnitron-IV 103 79.61% 4.77% 0.26427 -0.1626 0.2743
Pike Industrial Complex 160 83.12% 6.55% 0.05033 0.1962 0.407
Realm of Discord 158 82.28% 1.01% 0.74434 0.0629 0.1121
Rook City 141 65.25% 3.32% 0.41743 -0.7128 0.4192
Ruins of Atlantis 1498 60.68% -8.54% 0.0 -0.7554 0.2685
Silver Gulch 1883 412 63.83% -12.12% 0.0 -0.5619 -0.1143
The Block 288 89.58% 8.37% 0.00028 0.7792 0.7512
The Celestial Tribunal 160 84.38% 8.46% 0.01231 0.1243 0.4498
The Court of Blood 129 86.82% 6.73% 0.05557 0.2758 0.3374
The Enclave of the Endlings 175 88.00% 5.65% 0.04985 0.3432 0.1362
The Final Wasteland 251 90.84% 6.66% 0.00382 0.8257 0.3896
The Temple of Zhu Long 172 87.79% 6.49% 0.02897 0.3981 0.1557
Time Cataclysm 139 86.33% 9.65% 0.00716 0.1077 0.2884
Tomb of Anubis 140 81.43% 3.69% 0.29399 -0.067 0.203
Wagner Mars Base 732 74.73% -2.59% 0.0946 -0.0491 0.2191

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 1587 63.89% -4.80% 4e-05
4 4048 74.04% -2.46% 0.00022
5 4504 81.33% -0.53% 0.35561

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Heroes Incapacitated 2418
Villain Destroyed 7674
Environment Alternate Defeat 47

Citizen Dawn (Advanced)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 162 33.95% -29.41% 0.0 -0.6187 0.1084
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 16 62.50% -2.17% 0.85565 -0.4494 -0.2477
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 9 88.89% 25.07% 0.11755 0.7066 1.1997
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 11 18.18% -43.64% 0.00289 -1.0096 -0.2177
Akash'Thriya 12 75.00% 10.13% 0.46211 0.0405 -0.2245
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 5 80.00% 15.62% 0.46569 0.1256 -0.3022
Argent Adept 12 75.00% 10.98% 0.42808 -0.1522 0.2513
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 7 85.71% 21.59% 0.23365 0.3989 0.6756
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 16 75.00% 10.56% 0.37766 0.0536 0.1069
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 3 100.00% 35.69% 0.19692 0.6474 0.7175
Benchmark 8 62.50% -1.64% 0.923 -0.4177 -0.4687
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 10 90.00% 25.57% 0.09125 0.4664 -0.029
Bunker 62 33.87% -29.54% 0.0 -1.0682 -0.3114
Bunker: Freedom Five 8 75.00% 10.64% 0.52981 -0.2682 -0.3967
Bunker: Freedom Six 7 100.00% 37.42% 0.04075 0.8907 1.4047
Bunker: G.I. 126 26.98% -36.29% 0.0 -0.9512 -0.4083
Bunker: Termi-Nation 7 57.14% -0.21% 0.99111 -0.31 0.2621
Captain Cosmic 17 64.71% 0.88% 0.93951 -0.3622 0.2874
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 7 71.43% 20.55% 0.27679 -0.2782 0.8157
Captain Cosmic: Requital 2 100.00% 35.85% 0.29042 0.3179 0.3217
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 7 85.71% 21.59% 0.23372 -0.2099 0.0325
Chrono-Ranger 26 73.08% 8.60% 0.35934 -0.1853 -0.2159
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 27 66.67% 2.55% 0.78231 0.1741 0.3313
Dr. Medico 69 72.46% 7.73% 0.179 -0.1015 -0.2495
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 10 60.00% -4.45% 0.76855 -0.2007 -0.1987
Expatriette 66 60.61% -3.21% 0.58786 -0.5803 -0.0616
Expatriette: Dark Watch 13 76.92% 13.99% 0.29636 -0.2283 0.0922
Fanatic 74 60.81% -3.31% 0.55281 0.3006 0.4527
Fanatic: Prime Warden 12 91.67% 28.16% 0.04273 0.5742 0.5518
Fanatic: Redeemer 12 66.67% 2.67% 0.8471 -0.0609 0.0714
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 5 100.00% 40.88% 0.06298 0.8888 1.2485
Guise 109 27.52% -36.47% 0.0 -0.477 -0.0606
Guise: Completionist 1 100.00% 36.25% 0.45078 0.2037 0.645
Guise: Santa 5 0.00% -62.72% 0.00373 -1.1097 -0.7988
Haka 103 61.17% -2.97% 0.53025 0.029 0.1452
Haka: Eternal 17 82.35% 18.02% 0.12082 0.3761 0.3339
Haka: Prime Warden 9 100.00% 37.50% 0.02014 1.0531 1.1268
Haka: Xtreme PW 7 71.43% 7.31% 0.68684 -0.0336 -0.0042
Harpy 11 81.82% 17.70% 0.22111 -0.0735 0.2074
Harpy: Dark Watch 18 38.89% -24.29% 0.0326 -1.1225 -1.254
Idealist 13 61.54% -2.00% 0.88079 0.6111 0.9771
Idealist: Super Sentai 1 100.00% 35.95% 0.4537 0.1482 0.4759
K.N.Y.F.E. 24 66.67% 2.53% 0.79591 -0.1869 0.1698
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 11 63.64% -0.35% 0.98049 -0.4185 -0.1652
La Comodora 26 65.38% 0.96% 0.9183 0.3997 0.3663
La Comodora: Black Spot 10 70.00% 5.80% 0.70216 -0.1469 -0.3164
Legacy 272 62.50% -2.44% 0.39826 0.5964 -0.1211
Legacy: Freedom Five 58 84.48% 18.55% 0.00287 0.8943 -0.0929
Legacy: Greatest 47 70.21% 5.25% 0.45048 0.1878 -0.6224
Legacy: Young 34 61.76% -2.63% 0.7486 0.3377 -0.2634
Lifeline 21 71.43% 7.13% 0.49555 0.1469 0.022
Lifeline: Blood Mage 21 90.48% 25.62% 0.01393 1.0535 0.6578
Luminary 35 60.00% -4.08% 0.61516 -0.5191 -0.5021
Luminary: Heroic 6 83.33% 18.97% 0.33203 0.1927 0.1872
Mainstay 12 66.67% 2.54% 0.85423 -0.2608 -0.2673
Mainstay: Road Warrior 1 100.00% 35.96% 0.45364 0.104 0.3713
Mr. Fixer 55 54.55% -9.55% 0.1397 -0.5834 -0.3667
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 3 66.67% 6.44% 0.81981 -0.1343 0.0197
Naturalist 11 54.55% -10.30% 0.4745 -0.1422 -0.2624
Naturalist: Hunted 28 71.43% 6.20% 0.49108 -0.3587 -0.7713
NightMist 12 75.00% 10.89% 0.43152 0.3196 0.5206
NightMist: Dark Watch 8 62.50% 5.34% 0.76005 -0.277 0.5072
Omnitron-X 72 52.78% -11.37% 0.04422 -0.598 -0.6681
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 11 63.64% -0.74% 0.95907 -0.8843 -0.9883
Parse 14 85.71% 21.67% 0.09114 0.7389 1.027
Parse: Fugue State 31 87.10% 22.44% 0.00896 0.6801 0.3504
Ra 167 53.89% -10.43% 0.00489 -0.6444 -0.4414
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 111 29.73% -34.30% 0.0 -0.5121 -0.3471
Ra: Setting Sun 19 42.11% -22.03% 0.04523 -0.9062 -1.1438
Scholar 33 63.64% -0.68% 0.93517 -0.0376 -0.2099
Scholar: Of the Infinite 13 100.00% 35.42% 0.00759 0.9357 0.4064
Sentinels 14 57.14% -7.55% 0.55446 -0.812 -1.0041
Sentinels: Adamant 2 100.00% 34.78% 0.30169 0.3042 -0.2627
Setback 13 53.85% -9.75% 0.46486 0.0025 0.1588
Setback: Dark Watch 1 100.00% 42.04% 0.39435 0.1588 0.9028
Sky-Scraper 10 60.00% -4.12% 0.7858 -0.3369 -0.4326
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 8 100.00% 35.70% 0.03505 1.1153 0.8331
Stuntman 26 61.54% -2.59% 0.78337 -0.2836 -0.2919
Stuntman: Action Hero 10 80.00% 15.64% 0.30166 0.7415 0.2556
Tachyon 60 46.67% -17.34% 0.00513 -0.2533 0.0034
Tachyon: Freedom Five 14 78.57% 14.22% 0.26667 0.6509 0.5915
Tachyon: Freedom Six 91 84.62% 18.29% 0.00022 0.8071 0.0978
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 42 71.43% 6.68% 0.36515 0.3202 -0.2365
Tempest 207 59.90% -4.87% 0.14222 -0.1488 -0.3042
Tempest: Freedom Six 6 83.33% 22.93% 0.25075 0.5029 0.5102
Tempest: Prime Warden 17 76.47% 11.91% 0.30449 -0.1862 -0.3088
Tempest: Xtreme PW 30 83.33% 19.21% 0.02826 0.3164 0.3398
Unity 19 52.63% -11.36% 0.30211 -0.6961 -0.2047
Unity: Freedom Six 4 50.00% -14.11% 0.55647 -0.4821 -0.1572
Unity: Termi-Nation 10 90.00% 26.41% 0.08267 0.5665 0.7034
Visionary 96 62.50% -1.62% 0.74048 0.3484 0.4774
Visionary: Dark 31 87.10% 22.87% 0.00789 0.9717 0.9993
Visionary: Unleashed 13 53.85% -10.60% 0.42481 0.1257 0.1208
Wraith 154 46.75% -17.40% 1e-05 -0.7804 -0.646
Wraith: Freedom Five 23 91.30% 26.65% 0.0075 0.3236 0.1059
Wraith: Freedom Six 21 76.19% 12.04% 0.24984 -0.129 -0.0079
Wraith: Rook City 8 62.50% -1.63% 0.92346 -0.5609 -0.4152
Writhe 14 100.00% 35.86% 0.00515 0.9712 0.9637
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 16 75.00% 10.34% 0.3868 0.4967 -0.0632

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 14 50.00% -14.18% 0.26846 -0.4005 -0.7105
Dok'Thorath Capital 7 85.71% 21.90% 0.22785 0.4662 0.7702
Fort Adamant 8 100.00% 35.72% 0.035 0.9498 0.7794
Freedom Tower 47 85.11% 20.23% 0.00367 0.7614 0.581
Insula Primalis 148 56.08% -8.04% 0.04147 -0.3788 0.2098
Madame Mittermeier's 3 66.67% 2.59% 0.92561 -0.2573 -0.0817
Maerynian Refuge 18 61.11% -3.09% 0.78471 -0.3448 -0.5217
Magmaria 9 88.89% 24.72% 0.1219 0.3975 0.3186
Megalopolis 115 51.30% -12.91% 0.00387 -0.6142 -0.382
Mobile Defense Platform 9 66.67% 2.21% 0.88998 0.0495 -0.0637
Mordengrad 15 73.33% 11.97% 0.34115 -0.1596 0.6723
Nexus of the Void 10 100.00% 34.28% 0.02239 0.877 0.354
Omnitron-IV 100 27.00% -36.73% 0.0 0.422 0.859
Pike Industrial Complex 4 100.00% 35.89% 0.13453 0.4832 0.694
Realm of Discord 6 83.33% 18.85% 0.33462 -0.0986 -0.0494
Rook City 7 71.43% 14.96% 0.4246 -0.2532 0.8789
Ruins of Atlantis 45 26.67% -34.67% 0.0 -2.0207 -0.9968
Silver Gulch 1883 26 69.23% 5.24% 0.57794 -0.3213 0.1264
The Block 16 100.00% 35.53% 0.00299 1.3466 1.3185
The Celestial Tribunal 3 100.00% 36.02% 0.19379 0.2095 0.5349
The Court of Blood 10 50.00% -14.35% 0.34337 -0.7823 -0.7206
The Enclave of the Endlings 16 75.00% 10.31% 0.38817 0.0993 -0.1077
The Final Wasteland 24 87.50% 22.26% 0.022 0.8365 0.4004
The Temple of Zhu Long 19 84.21% 19.72% 0.07242 0.4611 0.2188
Time Cataclysm 10 50.00% -14.13% 0.35165 -1.356 -1.1753
Tomb of Anubis 6 50.00% -14.26% 0.4662 -0.2731 -0.0031
Wagner Mars Base 50 56.00% -8.21% 0.22572 -0.8863 -0.6181

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 72 41.67% -19.37% 0.00075
4 320 50.94% -13.16% 0.0
5 357 67.51% +2.92% 0.2484

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Heroes Incapacitated 312
Villain Destroyed 434
Environment Alternate Defeat 3

Citizen Dawn (Challenge)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 59 69.49% -4.74% 0.40514 0.1791 0.9062
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 9 100.00% 16.93% 0.17555 0.3797 0.5814
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 1 0.00% -76.02% 0.07496 -0.4318 0.0613
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 1 100.00% 29.55% 0.51719 0.1478 0.9397
Akash'Thriya 3 100.00% 16.30% 0.44461 0.1474 -0.1176
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 8 100.00% 18.21% 0.18201 0.5005 0.0728
Argent Adept 4 75.00% -2.30% 0.91252 -0.2285 0.175
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 3 100.00% 20.78% 0.37503 0.3103 0.5869
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 4 75.00% -7.12% 0.71015 -0.2409 -0.1877
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 6 83.33% 1.94% 0.90284 -0.2238 -0.1536
Benchmark 211 85.78% 6.03% 0.02935 -0.0625 -0.1135
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 5 100.00% 17.92% 0.29614 0.2953 -0.2001
Bunker 19 68.42% -5.96% 0.5514 -0.6914 0.0653
Bunker: Freedom Five 4 75.00% -6.71% 0.72865 -0.4166 -0.5451
Bunker: Freedom Six 5 80.00% 7.92% 0.69298 -0.0559 0.458
Bunker: G.I. 3 100.00% 26.06% 0.30379 0.5378 1.0807
Bunker: Termi-Nation 3 66.67% 3.37% 0.90368 -0.474 0.0982
Captain Cosmic 4 75.00% -1.03% 0.96134 -0.3597 0.2899
Captain Cosmic: Requital 1 100.00% 20.04% 0.61666 0.08 0.0839
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 213 85.92% 6.50% 0.01895 0.0524 0.2948
Chrono-Ranger 15 93.33% 11.07% 0.26173 0.1524 0.1217
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 1 100.00% 21.38% 0.60205 0.0171 0.1744
Dr. Medico 26 76.92% -6.35% 0.38551 -0.2071 -0.3551
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 4 100.00% 17.82% 0.35162 0.2552 0.2573
Expatriette 21 66.67% -9.32% 0.31746 -0.6916 -0.1729
Expatriette: Dark Watch 10 70.00% -2.97% 0.83229 -0.6595 -0.3389
Fanatic 46 65.22% -13.60% 0.02394 -0.8384 -0.6862
Fanatic: Prime Warden 5 100.00% 25.28% 0.19334 0.6291 0.6067
Fanatic: Redeemer 6 83.33% 6.24% 0.71598 -0.114 0.0183
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 50 34.00% -31.84% 0.0 -0.4634 -0.1037
Guise 4 25.00% -52.09% 0.01317 -0.472 -0.0556
Guise: Completionist 1 100.00% 24.32% 0.5708 0.3051 0.7464
Guise: Santa 4 50.00% -22.42% 0.3157 -0.8098 -0.4989
Haka 34 76.47% -3.09% 0.65464 -0.4037 -0.2876
Haka: Eternal 4 100.00% 18.48% 0.34102 0.3038 0.2616
Haka: Prime Warden 8 100.00% 28.10% 0.07706 0.5603 0.634
Haka: Xtreme PW 9 88.89% 10.10% 0.45851 0.5316 0.5609
Harpy 2 100.00% 20.77% 0.46901 0.0492 0.3301
Harpy: Dark Watch 28 85.71% 12.05% 0.14778 -0.4077 -0.5393
Idealist 8 62.50% -12.34% 0.42129 -0.9655 -0.5995
Idealist: Super Sentai 5 60.00% -17.53% 0.3475 -0.2833 0.0445
K.N.Y.F.E. 4 75.00% -4.66% 0.81703 -0.1923 0.1644
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 3 100.00% 22.94% 0.34461 0.2261 0.4794
La Comodora 3 100.00% 17.98% 0.41738 0.3183 0.285
La Comodora: Black Spot 3 100.00% 19.41% 0.39536 0.1968 0.0274
Legacy 90 85.56% 1.63% 0.67434 0.2045 -0.513
Legacy: Freedom Five 17 100.00% 13.83% 0.09852 0.8358 -0.1513
Legacy: Greatest 15 93.33% 9.35% 0.32329 0.3381 -0.4722
Legacy: Young 57 40.35% -41.54% 0.0 -0.4789 -1.08
Lifeline 17 100.00% 18.64% 0.04847 0.9162 0.7914
Lifeline: Blood Mage 5 80.00% -3.67% 0.82425 -0.2352 -0.6309
Luminary 8 87.50% 9.62% 0.51223 0.1206 0.1376
Luminary: Heroic 2 100.00% 18.26% 0.50389 0.1855 0.18
Mainstay 6 83.33% 4.13% 0.80301 0.1019 0.0953
Mainstay: Road Warrior 2 100.00% 22.53% 0.44568 0.0872 0.3544
Mr. Fixer 36 88.89% 10.68% 0.12061 0.1355 0.3523
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 1 100.00% 32.41% 0.48861 0.0351 0.1891
Naturalist 6 83.33% -0.29% 0.98478 -0.1794 -0.2996
Naturalist: Hunted 8 100.00% 15.31% 0.22915 0.4249 0.0124
NightMist 11 81.82% 3.42% 0.78257 -0.2324 -0.0315
Omnitron-X 22 90.91% 10.97% 0.19895 0.5358 0.4657
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 2 100.00% 18.21% 0.50463 0.2935 0.1895
Parse 7 71.43% -6.13% 0.69756 -0.3666 -0.0785
Parse: Fugue State 15 100.00% 17.00% 0.07967 0.7235 0.3939
Ra 277 86.28% 4.78% 0.04036 0.4459 0.6489
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 40 70.00% -7.42% 0.26146 -0.1967 -0.0317
Ra: Setting Sun 7 71.43% -8.32% 0.58404 -0.7656 -1.0032
Scholar 13 92.31% 10.87% 0.31336 0.0634 -0.109
Scholar: Of the Infinite 6 100.00% 17.27% 0.26311 0.4216 -0.1077
Sentinels 8 87.50% 4.37% 0.74148 -0.1752 -0.3673
Sentinels: Adamant 2 100.00% 15.35% 0.54708 0.1893 -0.3776
Setback 5 80.00% 4.94% 0.79851 0.1963 0.3526
Setback: Dark Watch 3 66.67% 2.52% 0.92736 -0.3986 0.3455
Sky-Scraper 4 100.00% 20.93% 0.30351 0.4197 0.324
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 1 100.00% 18.69% 0.63163 0.0452 -0.2369
Stuntman 15 93.33% 14.02% 0.18015 0.479 0.4707
Stuntman: Action Hero 4 100.00% 18.32% 0.34352 0.1268 -0.3591
Tachyon 24 75.00% -2.19% 0.79805 -0.4065 -0.1498
Tachyon: Freedom Five 7 85.71% 4.05% 0.78163 -0.2604 -0.3198
Tachyon: Freedom Six 42 88.10% 1.25% 0.81115 0.1678 -0.5415
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 47 82.98% -0.36% 0.94735 -0.2067 -0.7633
Tempest 68 85.29% 1.88% 0.67672 0.27 0.1147
Tempest: Prime Warden 8 75.00% -7.62% 0.56925 -0.49 -0.6126
Tempest: Xtreme PW 40 67.50% -11.79% 0.06583 -0.3137 -0.2903
Unity 11 63.64% -13.46% 0.2881 -1.0539 -0.5625
Unity: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 21.66% 0.59897 0.0943 0.4193
Unity: Termi-Nation 2 100.00% 24.96% 0.41476 0.1959 0.3328
Visionary 20 85.00% 6.09% 0.50428 0.4499 0.579
Visionary: Dark 12 100.00% 19.20% 0.09125 0.6721 0.6998
Visionary: Unleashed 10 90.00% 7.88% 0.51544 0.2577 0.2528
Wraith 42 83.33% 3.34% 0.58872 0.1961 0.3306
Wraith: Freedom Five 9 100.00% 17.02% 0.17428 0.2873 0.0695
Wraith: Freedom Six 7 100.00% 20.07% 0.18488 0.4735 0.5946
Wraith: Rook City 53 33.96% -45.54% 0.0 -0.8387 -0.693
Writhe 5 100.00% 20.24% 0.26 0.4758 0.4683
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 4 75.00% -8.01% 0.66989 -0.1091 -0.669

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 7 100.00% 19.63% 0.19096 0.5891 0.2791
Dok'Thorath Capital 210 85.71% 9.73% 0.00096 -0.145 0.159
Fort Adamant 8 75.00% -6.22% 0.65253 -0.4514 -0.6218
Freedom Tower 16 100.00% 16.27% 0.07783 0.6607 0.4803
Insula Primalis 42 69.05% -9.72% 0.12366 -1.232 -0.6433
Madame Mittermeier's 3 100.00% 22.07% 0.35663 0.4502 0.6257
Maerynian Refuge 8 100.00% 19.45% 0.16457 0.5209 0.344
Magmaria 5 80.00% -0.16% 0.99264 -0.1971 -0.2761
Megalopolis 71 49.30% -31.42% 0.0 -0.5269 -0.2947
Mobile Defense Platform 11 100.00% 17.80% 0.12276 0.5492 0.436
Mordengrad 3 66.67% -2.90% 0.91309 -0.2171 0.6148
Nexus of the Void 22 90.91% 5.14% 0.49034 0.2013 -0.3217
Omnitron-IV 2 100.00% 24.42% 0.42149 0.0397 0.4767
Realm of Discord 6 66.67% -15.64% 0.31546 -0.5945 -0.5453
Rook City 1 0.00% -62.10% 0.20053 -0.4318 0.7002
Ruins of Atlantis 10 40.00% -29.51% 0.04262 -1.4742 -0.4503
Silver Gulch 1883 5 80.00% 2.92% 0.87642 -0.0802 0.3675
The Block 14 100.00% 17.73% 0.08237 0.6891 0.6611
The Celestial Tribunal 5 100.00% 22.98% 0.2219 0.3908 0.7163
The Court of Blood 5 100.00% 18.35% 0.28915 0.4567 0.5184
The Enclave of the Endlings 8 100.00% 16.88% 0.20245 0.788 0.581
The Final Wasteland 10 100.00% 15.30% 0.17896 0.4642 0.0281
The Temple of Zhu Long 8 87.50% 5.17% 0.70129 0.1161 -0.1262
Time Cataclysm 3 66.67% -12.74% 0.58515 -0.3282 -0.1475
Tomb of Anubis 6 83.33% 2.29% 0.88621 -0.081 0.189
Wagner Mars Base 47 72.34% -8.35% 0.14705 -0.0574 0.2108

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 277 75.81% +6.84% 0.01387
4 125 84.80% +6.65% 0.07215
5 137 81.75% -0.98% 0.76086

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Heroes Incapacitated 109
Villain Destroyed 428
Environment Alternate Defeat 2

Citizen Dawn (Ultimate)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 39 51.28% -21.06% 0.00328 -0.7272 -0.0001
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 47 70.21% -6.47% 0.29434 -0.2557 -0.054
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 9 33.33% -40.16% 0.00635 -0.7462 -0.2531
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 16 62.50% -6.76% 0.5576 -0.474 0.3178
Akash'Thriya 15 100.00% 21.28% 0.04402 1.0719 0.8069
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 11 81.82% 6.54% 0.61491 0.317 -0.1107
Argent Adept 7 57.14% -16.92% 0.30698 -0.2591 0.1444
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 13 53.85% -20.54% 0.0898 -0.5169 -0.2402
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 23 82.61% 7.07% 0.43025 0.2372 0.2905
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 8 62.50% -12.52% 0.41353 -0.4056 -0.3354
Benchmark 6 83.33% 8.90% 0.61733 0.4019 0.3508
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 26 73.08% -2.43% 0.77344 0.1349 -0.3605
Bunker 22 50.00% -22.45% 0.01841 -0.951 -0.1943
Bunker: Freedom Five 31 74.19% -1.02% 0.89522 0.2515 0.1229
Bunker: Freedom Six 6 83.33% 12.67% 0.49543 0.4045 0.9185
Bunker: G.I. 13 53.85% -18.28% 0.14151 -0.6976 -0.1546
Bunker: Termi-Nation 9 66.67% 4.04% 0.80201 -0.7015 -0.1294
Captain Cosmic 6 66.67% -6.83% 0.70476 -0.4879 0.1618
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 6 66.67% 11.96% 0.55614 0.1521 1.2461
Captain Cosmic: Requital 8 50.00% -24.47% 0.1124 -0.4412 -0.4373
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 5 60.00% -14.40% 0.4608 -0.2733 -0.0309
Chrono-Ranger 34 85.29% 9.62% 0.19094 0.3979 0.3672
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 22 54.55% -19.82% 0.03328 -0.4619 -0.3047
Dr. Medico 28 89.29% 12.21% 0.12439 0.5421 0.3941
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 33 27.27% -48.32% 0.0 -1.3414 -1.3394
Expatriette 45 48.89% -24.58% 0.00019 -0.8849 -0.3662
Expatriette: Dark Watch 17 58.82% -12.57% 0.25163 -0.5215 -0.2009
Fanatic 25 68.00% -6.38% 0.46527 -0.2327 -0.0806
Fanatic: Prime Warden 22 86.36% 13.68% 0.14982 0.5552 0.5328
Fanatic: Redeemer 5 80.00% 6.01% 0.75929 0.3283 0.4606
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 8 87.50% 22.46% 0.18286 0.4063 0.766
Guise 9 44.44% -29.54% 0.04334 -0.4181 -0.0017
Guise: Completionist 2 50.00% -23.29% 0.45651 -0.0505 0.3908
Guise: Santa 7 28.57% -42.37% 0.01354 -0.6941 -0.3832
Haka 103 81.55% 7.14% 0.09663 0.0349 0.1511
Haka: Eternal 15 53.33% -21.76% 0.05132 -0.7306 -0.7727
Haka: Prime Warden 17 88.24% 17.72% 0.1091 0.4887 0.5624
Haka: Xtreme PW 13 53.85% -20.53% 0.09001 -0.366 -0.3366
Harpy 3 66.67% -7.72% 0.75942 0.1433 0.4241
Harpy: Dark Watch 12 66.67% -5.26% 0.68515 -0.429 -0.5606
Idealist 9 66.67% -6.10% 0.68115 -0.3858 -0.0197
Idealist: Super Sentai 27 51.85% -22.29% 0.00816 0.1657 0.4935
K.N.Y.F.E. 10 70.00% -4.42% 0.74863 -0.2601 0.0966
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 24 50.00% -23.98% 0.00743 -0.0545 0.1988
La Comodora 25 84.00% 8.55% 0.32069 0.3684 0.335
La Comodora: Black Spot 13 92.31% 17.66% 0.14325 1.0146 0.8451
Legacy 227 77.97% -2.52% 0.33775 0.4924 -0.225
Legacy: Freedom Five 88 84.09% -0.34% 0.93083 0.7963 -0.1909
Legacy: Greatest 63 84.13% 3.47% 0.48539 0.66 -0.1503
Legacy: Young 20 70.00% -5.35% 0.57862 0.2912 -0.3099
Lifeline 22 81.82% 6.82% 0.46011 0.5617 0.4368
Lifeline: Blood Mage 10 80.00% 1.55% 0.9053 0.0627 -0.3331
Luminary 23 73.91% -0.33% 0.97153 -0.2336 -0.2166
Luminary: Heroic 9 66.67% -8.57% 0.55126 -0.2985 -0.3039
Mainstay 10 50.00% -24.38% 0.07732 -0.7663 -0.7728
Mainstay: Road Warrior 21 38.10% -36.03% 0.00016 -0.6474 -0.3802
Mr. Fixer 22 68.18% -6.12% 0.51087 -0.3792 -0.1625
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 6 83.33% 16.66% 0.38664 0.5314 0.6854
Naturalist 6 83.33% 5.19% 0.75856 0.2419 0.1217
Naturalist: Hunted 29 79.31% -2.92% 0.68122 0.182 -0.2305
NightMist 17 88.24% 13.90% 0.18949 0.7386 0.9395
NightMist: Dark Watch 3 66.67% 4.30% 0.87783 0.0792 0.8635
Omnitron-X 40 80.00% 5.53% 0.42234 0.0144 -0.0557
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 11 36.36% -38.91% 0.00277 -0.7375 -0.8414
Parse 19 68.42% -5.73% 0.56847 -0.711 -0.4229
Parse: Fugue State 44 70.45% -6.12% 0.33744 0.5047 0.1751
Ra 156 78.21% 3.13% 0.36666 -0.0376 0.1654
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 16 68.75% -5.36% 0.62472 0.1231 0.288
Ra: Setting Sun 13 61.54% -12.90% 0.2865 -0.7006 -0.9382
Scholar 55 54.55% -20.49% 0.00044 -0.5842 -0.7565
Scholar: Of the Infinite 9 66.67% -9.52% 0.50242 -0.0248 -0.5541
Sentinels 9 88.89% 12.09% 0.39022 0.4721 0.28
Sentinels: Adamant 10 90.00% 7.84% 0.51726 0.3306 -0.2363
Setback 6 33.33% -39.58% 0.02916 -0.8747 -0.7184
Setback: Dark Watch 4 50.00% -13.43% 0.57707 -0.0196 0.7244
Sky-Scraper 7 85.71% 11.33% 0.49215 0.2732 0.1775
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 8 62.50% -12.47% 0.4156 -0.0493 -0.3314
Stuntman 16 81.25% 6.86% 0.5295 0.1504 0.1421
Stuntman: Action Hero 42 78.57% 3.38% 0.61247 -0.1049 -0.5908
Tachyon 68 82.35% 8.33% 0.11737 0.044 0.3007
Tachyon: Freedom Five 31 64.52% -10.67% 0.16915 -0.7265 -0.786
Tachyon: Freedom Six 144 92.36% 7.06% 0.01675 1.2996 0.5903
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 38 65.79% -11.43% 0.09289 0.0358 -0.5209
Tempest 92 69.57% -7.85% 0.07189 -0.1489 -0.3042
Tempest: Freedom Six 6 66.67% -0.27% 0.9888 -0.0899 -0.0826
Tempest: Prime Warden 28 89.29% 13.23% 0.1009 0.8649 0.7423
Tempest: Xtreme PW 31 61.29% -13.10% 0.0948 -0.783 -0.7596
Unity 9 77.78% 3.79% 0.79561 0.2144 0.7058
Unity: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 25.67% 0.55673 0.061 0.386
Unity: Termi-Nation 11 54.55% -18.35% 0.17082 -0.1144 0.0225
Visionary 94 86.17% 11.79% 0.00882 0.6297 0.7587
Visionary: Dark 47 74.47% -0.25% 0.96802 -0.0168 0.0109
Visionary: Unleashed 32 59.38% -16.16% 0.03343 -0.2588 -0.2637
Wraith 75 57.33% -17.15% 0.00066 -1.2301 -1.0957
Wraith: Freedom Five 32 71.88% -4.67% 0.53303 -0.2383 -0.456
Wraith: Freedom Six 18 77.78% 3.31% 0.74722 -0.1839 -0.0627
Wraith: Rook City 20 70.00% -4.40% 0.65179 -0.2671 -0.1214
Writhe 11 100.00% 25.56% 0.05194 0.9983 0.9909
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 33 60.61% -15.98% 0.03022 0.4362 -0.1237

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 9 55.56% -19.02% 0.19016 -0.5791 -0.8892
Dok'Thorath Capital 10 100.00% 26.53% 0.05738 0.9892 1.2932
Fort Adamant 11 72.73% -2.19% 0.86689 -0.2695 -0.4398
Freedom Tower 41 80.49% 1.02% 0.8713 0.0613 -0.1191
Insula Primalis 138 68.84% -5.53% 0.13662 -0.0333 0.5554
Madame Mittermeier's 4 50.00% -24.25% 0.26738 -0.5167 -0.3411
Maerynian Refuge 15 73.33% -1.30% 0.90808 0.2329 0.0559
Magmaria 12 100.00% 25.48% 0.04279 1.0606 0.9817
Megalopolis 82 78.05% 3.36% 0.48437 0.1761 0.4083
Mobile Defense Platform 22 72.73% -2.88% 0.75274 -0.1129 -0.2261
Mordengrad 10 60.00% -8.48% 0.56377 -0.5227 0.3092
Nexus of the Void 16 68.75% -15.14% 0.09941 0.2108 -0.3122
Omnitron-IV 2 100.00% 26.76% 0.39259 0.2569 0.6939
Pike Industrial Complex 10 30.00% -44.34% 0.00133 -1.0005 -0.7897
Realm of Discord 9 77.78% 2.07% 0.88501 0.1875 0.2367
Rook City 14 21.43% -40.04% 0.00208 -0.5682 0.5638
Ruins of Atlantis 45 77.78% 9.34% 0.17748 0.174 1.1978
Silver Gulch 1883 23 65.22% -8.77% 0.33799 -0.0782 0.3695
The Block 18 94.44% 18.77% 0.06344 0.5546 0.5265
The Celestial Tribunal 9 77.78% 3.82% 0.79408 -0.2553 0.0702
The Court of Blood 9 55.56% -19.62% 0.17299 -1.0175 -0.9559
The Enclave of the Endlings 11 90.91% 14.13% 0.26698 0.7297 0.5227
The Final Wasteland 22 77.27% -4.97% 0.54164 -0.0751 -0.5113
The Temple of Zhu Long 14 64.29% -11.45% 0.31781 -0.8111 -1.0534
Time Cataclysm 12 50.00% -24.40% 0.05284 -0.7684 -0.5877
Tomb of Anubis 3 66.67% -8.16% 0.74455 -0.4171 -0.1471
Wagner Mars Base 26 80.77% 6.09% 0.47525 0.3479 0.6161

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 67 70.15% +2.20% 0.69915
4 156 69.23% -5.07% 0.14764
5 387 74.16% -2.03% 0.34795

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Heroes Incapacitated 165
Villain Destroyed 442
Environment Alternate Defeat 3

Notes

Deviation

The difference between the actual win rate of this combination of elements and the win rates of each of those elements on their own, averaged. A positive value means that this combination results in a win more often than would be expected.

Chi-Square p-value

This is the significance value of a χ² test comparing the observed data and expected value. In most cases, this expected value is the mean of the win rates of each element. For team position, the expected value is an equal likelihood of winning in all positions. Lower p-values (no greater than 0.01) mean a greater likelihood that the difference is meaningful and not due to chance.

Logistic Regression Coefficient

Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game, considering only games when 220 is present. The number on the right compares this model to the global one (counting all games); positive numbers suggests that this hero/villain/environment results in a win more often when 220 is present than otherwise, and vice-versa.