Apostate

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 330 81.21% -5.24% 0.00537 -1.0721 -0.345
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 305 96.39% 7.64% 2e-05 -0.1841 0.0176
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 104 87.50% 0.15% 0.96325 -0.8489 -0.3557
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 96 91.67% 10.58% 0.00814 -0.991 -0.1992
Akash'Thriya 354 94.92% 5.88% 0.0004 0.2218 -0.0432
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 195 97.44% 9.14% 7e-05 0.5316 0.1039
Argent Adept 408 88.48% 0.77% 0.63467 -0.3789 0.0245
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 104 93.27% 5.39% 0.09235 -0.2768 -0.0002
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 298 94.30% 5.89% 0.00149 0.0498 0.103
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 89 89.89% 1.70% 0.61946 -0.5055 -0.4354
Benchmark 346 93.93% 6.02% 0.00059 0.0977 0.0466
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 257 97.28% 8.89% 1e-05 0.5377 0.0423
Bunker 261 80.08% -6.48% 0.00216 -0.8236 -0.0669
Bunker: Freedom Five 139 97.84% 9.57% 0.00045 0.4686 0.3401
Bunker: Freedom Six 54 96.30% 11.81% 0.0165 0.2766 0.7905
Bunker: G.I. 464 72.84% -13.41% 0.0 -0.7466 -0.2036
Bunker: Termi-Nation 31 96.77% 30.76% 0.0003 0.2793 0.8515
Captain Cosmic 281 81.14% -6.21% 0.00172 -1.169 -0.5193
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 80 87.50% 30.65% 0.0 -1.1513 -0.0574
Captain Cosmic: Requital 103 95.15% 7.22% 0.02457 0.148 0.1519
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 105 92.38% 4.49% 0.15834 -0.5735 -0.3311
Chrono-Ranger 1044 95.21% 6.76% 0.0 0.2007 0.17
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 236 94.49% 6.62% 0.00184 0.1772 0.3344
Dr. Medico 624 96.63% 7.79% 0.0 0.4329 0.2849
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 91 94.51% 6.09% 0.06965 0.0276 0.0296
Expatriette 541 89.09% 1.76% 0.21863 -0.5566 -0.0379
Expatriette: Dark Watch 227 94.27% 8.81% 0.00017 -0.0428 0.2777
Fanatic 1580 87.66% -0.22% 0.78809 -0.9392 -0.7871
Fanatic: Prime Warden 236 93.64% 6.89% 0.00178 -0.3752 -0.3976
Fanatic: Redeemer 350 89.14% 1.48% 0.3999 -0.8135 -0.6812
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 148 89.19% 19.95% 0.0 -0.8883 -0.5286
Guise 262 84.73% -2.93% 0.14915 -0.969 -0.5526
Guise: Completionist 21 90.48% 3.26% 0.65461 -0.509 -0.0677
Guise: Santa 108 83.33% -1.56% 0.65068 -1.1324 -0.8215
Haka 605 90.91% 3.01% 0.02312 -0.2605 -0.1443
Haka: Eternal 182 95.05% 6.83% 0.00424 0.2929 0.2507
Haka: Prime Warden 129 93.80% 9.55% 0.00291 0.2188 0.2925
Haka: Xtreme PW 125 95.20% 7.32% 0.01214 0.1851 0.2144
Harpy 223 87.00% -0.89% 0.6844 -0.7235 -0.4426
Harpy: Dark Watch 215 93.49% 7.43% 0.00166 -0.0558 -0.1874
Idealist 328 90.24% 3.43% 0.06652 -0.5834 -0.2173
Idealist: Super Sentai 75 90.67% 2.91% 0.4413 -0.6195 -0.2918
K.N.Y.F.E. 380 90.26% 2.36% 0.15827 -0.451 -0.0944
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 233 94.42% 6.77% 0.00169 -0.2058 0.0475
La Comodora 313 95.21% 6.84% 0.00016 0.28 0.2466
La Comodora: Black Spot 215 94.88% 6.87% 0.00193 0.0315 -0.138
Legacy 2300 96.30% 7.16% 0.0 0.9738 0.2564
Legacy: Freedom Five 531 98.49% 8.10% 0.0 1.1289 0.1417
Legacy: Greatest 454 95.37% 6.21% 2e-05 0.3503 -0.46
Legacy: Young 325 96.31% 7.98% 1e-05 0.8873 0.2862
Lifeline 483 94.20% 6.02% 4e-05 -0.0075 -0.1324
Lifeline: Blood Mage 162 95.68% 6.66% 0.00671 0.4155 0.0197
Luminary 418 95.22% 7.41% 0.0 0.2333 0.2503
Luminary: Heroic 182 95.05% 6.77% 0.00451 0.2061 0.2007
Mainstay 347 92.80% 4.91% 0.00505 -0.2004 -0.2069
Mainstay: Road Warrior 80 90.00% 2.26% 0.53776 -0.6515 -0.3842
Mr. Fixer 723 91.56% 3.72% 0.0022 -0.3968 -0.1801
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 125 92.80% 21.05% 0.0 -0.1682 -0.0141
Naturalist 522 95.21% 6.21% 1e-05 -0.0579 -0.1781
Naturalist: Hunted 373 97.59% 8.06% 0.0 0.527 0.1145
NightMist 438 89.04% 1.18% 0.44831 -0.2476 -0.0467
NightMist: Dark Watch 102 85.29% 19.60% 3e-05 -0.7635 0.0208
Omnitron-X 977 94.98% 7.06% 0.0 0.1432 0.0731
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 306 98.04% 9.74% 0.0 0.81 0.706
Parse 622 95.82% 8.06% 0.0 0.3574 0.6455
Parse: Fugue State 487 97.33% 8.60% 0.0 0.6296 0.2999
Ra 1232 85.15% -3.07% 0.00083 -0.3372 -0.1342
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 118 92.37% 4.64% 0.12436 -0.0332 0.1318
Ra: Setting Sun 145 94.48% 6.57% 0.01519 0.2282 -0.0095
Scholar 675 93.19% 4.99% 6e-05 0.0363 -0.1361
Scholar: Of the Infinite 180 94.44% 5.82% 0.01387 -0.0722 -0.6015
Sentinels 286 93.01% 4.23% 0.02355 0.1059 -0.0862
Sentinels: Adamant 193 98.45% 8.93% 5e-05 0.8062 0.2394
Setback 289 87.89% 0.96% 0.62947 -0.534 -0.3777
Setback: Dark Watch 68 94.12% 27.07% 0.0 0.0717 0.8158
Sky-Scraper 354 91.24% 3.36% 0.05264 -0.1547 -0.2504
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 215 96.74% 8.58% 0.0001 0.5915 0.3094
Stuntman 414 93.24% 5.35% 0.00085 0.0146 0.0063
Stuntman: Action Hero 241 98.34% 10.07% 0.0 1.1169 0.631
Tachyon 292 85.27% -2.41% 0.20988 -0.5793 -0.3226
Tachyon: Freedom Five 73 94.52% 6.26% 0.09659 -0.159 -0.2185
Tachyon: Freedom Six 1008 98.02% 7.18% 0.0 0.7294 0.0202
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 570 96.84% 7.97% 0.0 0.4877 -0.069
Tempest 1246 93.98% 5.08% 0.0 0.1151 -0.0403
Tempest: Freedom Six 60 88.33% 16.13% 0.00529 -0.3632 -0.3559
Tempest: Prime Warden 159 96.23% 7.65% 0.00243 0.2148 0.0923
Tempest: Xtreme PW 203 95.07% 7.19% 0.0017 0.2567 0.2801
Unity 344 86.92% -0.75% 0.67413 -0.6568 -0.1655
Unity: Freedom Six 92 90.22% 2.36% 0.48759 -0.8415 -0.5166
Unity: Termi-Nation 185 94.59% 7.67% 0.00197 0.1516 0.2885
Visionary 379 87.60% -0.28% 0.86651 -0.4165 -0.2874
Visionary: Dark 359 96.66% 8.60% 0.0 0.2233 0.2509
Visionary: Unleashed 250 93.60% 5.20% 0.01026 -0.147 -0.1519
Wraith 891 83.50% -4.43% 5e-05 -0.1333 0.0012
Wraith: Freedom Five 156 98.72% 10.00% 8e-05 0.9423 0.7246
Wraith: Freedom Six 179 94.41% 6.49% 0.00772 0.0373 0.1584
Wraith: Rook City 108 94.44% 6.55% 0.03689 0.3 0.4457
Writhe 289 93.77% 5.86% 0.00224 0.1739 0.1665
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 194 95.36% 6.63% 0.00349 0.3202 -0.2397

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 267 97.38% 9.40% 0.0 0.921 0.611
Dok'Thorath Capital 266 86.84% -0.49% 0.80896 -0.411 -0.1069
Fort Adamant 199 95.48% 7.33% 0.00138 0.3909 0.2206
Freedom Tower 465 96.34% 7.30% 0.0 0.4968 0.3164
Insula Primalis 482 87.76% -0.12% 0.93676 -0.4672 0.1214
Madame Mittermeier's 130 89.23% 1.42% 0.6207 -0.682 -0.5064
Maerynian Refuge 273 96.70% 8.69% 1e-05 0.6983 0.5214
Magmaria 288 93.40% 5.45% 0.00449 0.2029 0.124
Megalopolis 303 89.44% 1.40% 0.45259 -0.25 -0.0177
Mobile Defense Platform 294 96.60% 8.17% 1e-05 0.4996 0.3864
Mordengrad 270 57.41% -18.21% 0.0 -1.3571 -0.5252
Nexus of the Void 267 97.38% 7.23% 7e-05 0.8943 0.3713
Omnitron-IV 129 92.25% 5.07% 0.08484 0.0073 0.4443
Pike Industrial Complex 193 93.26% 5.41% 0.02148 0.3815 0.5923
Realm of Discord 364 91.76% 3.29% 0.04915 -0.0805 -0.0313
Rook City 164 71.34% 6.75% 0.07049 -1.6715 -0.5395
Ruins of Atlantis 200 82.00% 6.52% 0.03198 -0.9181 0.1057
Silver Gulch 1883 358 93.85% 6.19% 0.00037 0.1584 0.6061
The Block 427 95.78% 7.33% 0.0 0.6335 0.6054
The Celestial Tribunal 223 92.38% 4.73% 0.03181 0.0861 0.4116
The Court of Blood 433 93.53% 5.28% 0.00065 0.2553 0.3169
The Enclave of the Endlings 336 92.56% 3.78% 0.02802 -0.1367 -0.3437
The Final Wasteland 636 96.86% 7.32% 0.0 0.7295 0.2933
The Temple of Zhu Long 269 96.28% 7.81% 6e-05 0.7912 0.5488
Time Cataclysm 252 93.25% 5.36% 0.00905 0.0429 0.2236
Tomb of Anubis 263 87.07% -1.03% 0.60491 -0.4687 -0.1987
Wagner Mars Base 170 90.59% 2.55% 0.30477 -0.2172 0.051

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 1259 75.62% +1.40% 0.25538
4 2707 92.98% +5.14% 0.0
5 4209 95.39% +6.77% 0.0

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Heroes Incapacitated 664
Villain Destroyed 7484
Environment Alternate Defeat 27

Apostate (Advanced)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 18 94.44% 8.20% 0.31249 0.0609 0.788
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 7 85.71% -2.88% 0.81063 -0.457 -0.2553
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 3 100.00% 12.84% 0.50622 0.0775 0.5706
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 3 100.00% 19.91% 0.38788 0.0876 0.8795
Akash'Thriya 19 94.74% 5.86% 0.41652 -0.03 -0.295
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 12 100.00% 11.87% 0.20362 0.4935 0.0658
Argent Adept 23 95.65% 8.12% 0.23831 0.4511 0.8545
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 6 100.00% 12.29% 0.35913 0.3012 0.5779
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 19 94.74% 6.50% 0.37909 0.0063 0.0595
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 7 100.00% 11.98% 0.32899 0.1788 0.2489
Benchmark 12 75.00% -12.73% 0.17869 -0.7746 -0.8256
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 13 92.31% 4.09% 0.64771 -0.1039 -0.5993
Bunker 7 85.71% -0.63% 0.96119 -0.3988 0.3579
Bunker: Freedom Five 5 80.00% -8.11% 0.57558 -0.4102 -0.5388
Bunker: Freedom Six 2 50.00% -34.19% 0.18504 -0.7247 -0.2108
Bunker: G.I. 70 80.00% -6.04% 0.14484 -0.7924 -0.2494
Bunker: Termi-Nation 1 0.00% -65.90% 0.16453 -0.6056 -0.0334
Captain Cosmic 17 82.35% -4.81% 0.553 -0.5813 0.0684
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 2 100.00% 43.22% 0.21728 0.031 1.1249
Captain Cosmic: Requital 5 100.00% 12.25% 0.40354 0.352 0.3559
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 13 100.00% 12.29% 0.1772 0.3533 0.5957
Chrono-Ranger 34 91.18% 2.89% 0.60007 -0.0317 -0.0624
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 17 100.00% 12.30% 0.12248 0.544 0.7013
Dr. Medico 47 100.00% 11.32% 0.01433 0.9493 0.8013
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 5 100.00% 11.75% 0.41464 0.1966 0.1987
Expatriette 213 89.20% 2.05% 0.37026 -0.1625 0.3563
Expatriette: Dark Watch 10 80.00% -5.22% 0.64172 -0.5665 -0.246
Fanatic 128 92.97% 5.27% 0.06965 -0.3396 -0.1875
Fanatic: Prime Warden 30 96.67% 10.12% 0.10428 0.4301 0.4077
Fanatic: Redeemer 21 76.19% -11.29% 0.11789 -0.855 -0.7227
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 16 93.75% 24.67% 0.03276 0.1052 0.4649
Guise 20 95.00% 7.52% 0.30967 0.0302 0.4466
Guise: Completionist 2 100.00% 12.97% 0.58503 0.1477 0.589
Guise: Santa 33 96.97% 12.35% 0.04929 -0.0046 0.3063
Haka 38 97.37% 9.65% 0.06998 0.4798 0.596
Haka: Eternal 1 100.00% 11.95% 0.71262 0.0263 -0.0159
Haka: Prime Warden 48 97.92% 13.97% 0.00838 0.8194 0.8931
Haka: Xtreme PW 3 100.00% 12.30% 0.5166 0.2222 0.2515
Harpy 198 89.39% 1.69% 0.46987 0.1053 0.3861
Harpy: Dark Watch 22 95.45% 9.62% 0.19562 0.2962 0.1646
Idealist 12 91.67% 5.05% 0.6073 -0.2151 0.151
Idealist: Super Sentai 5 80.00% -7.57% 0.60774 -0.5697 -0.2419
K.N.Y.F.E. 21 95.24% 7.51% 0.29419 0.6205 0.9771
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 19 84.21% -3.26% 0.66733 0.1345 0.3878
La Comodora 24 100.00% 11.80% 0.07318 0.7052 0.6718
La Comodora: Black Spot 15 100.00% 12.16% 0.14964 0.7151 0.5457
Legacy 195 96.92% 7.94% 0.0004 0.7145 -0.0029
Legacy: Freedom Five 46 97.83% 7.57% 0.08344 0.8018 -0.1854
Legacy: Greatest 45 93.33% 4.32% 0.35401 0.218 -0.5922
Legacy: Young 21 90.48% 2.31% 0.74272 0.3876 -0.2135
Lifeline 34 91.18% 3.17% 0.56987 0.1044 -0.0204
Lifeline: Blood Mage 7 85.71% -3.15% 0.7911 -0.3404 -0.7361
Luminary 30 93.33% 5.71% 0.34254 0.3077 0.3247
Luminary: Heroic 11 72.73% -15.39% 0.11475 -1.3198 -1.3252
Mainstay 19 100.00% 12.29% 0.1027 0.6085 0.602
Mainstay: Road Warrior 6 83.33% -4.23% 0.75366 -0.4244 -0.1572
Mr. Fixer 268 86.94% -0.72% 0.7182 -0.7827 -0.566
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 11 81.82% 10.28% 0.45004 -0.4934 -0.3394
Naturalist 26 92.31% 3.47% 0.57447 -0.165 -0.2852
Naturalist: Hunted 26 100.00% 10.62% 0.07886 0.8616 0.4491
NightMist 217 89.86% 2.18% 0.32836 0.3039 0.5049
NightMist: Dark Watch 7 85.71% 20.14% 0.26212 -0.2896 0.4946
Omnitron-X 69 82.61% -5.14% 0.19251 -0.5043 -0.5744
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 2 100.00% 11.87% 0.60377 0.1953 0.0913
Parse 16 100.00% 12.42% 0.13193 0.6597 0.9478
Parse: Fugue State 29 100.00% 11.43% 0.05302 0.6687 0.339
Ra 122 95.08% 7.04% 0.0166 0.1102 0.3132
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 2 100.00% 12.45% 0.59387 0.0872 0.2522
Ra: Setting Sun 6 100.00% 12.27% 0.35972 0.3559 0.1182
Scholar 21 90.48% 2.45% 0.72979 -0.36 -0.5323
Scholar: Of the Infinite 8 100.00% 11.54% 0.30693 0.3142 -0.2151
Sentinels 22 95.45% 6.83% 0.31285 0.54 0.3479
Sentinels: Adamant 12 91.67% 2.30% 0.79577 0.1191 -0.4478
Setback 231 90.04% 3.31% 0.13822 -0.1909 -0.0346
Setback: Dark Watch 7 85.71% 18.80% 0.29052 -0.1713 0.5727
Sky-Scraper 40 90.00% 2.29% 0.65856 -0.6393 -0.735
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 11 90.91% 2.91% 0.76633 0.0202 -0.2619
Stuntman 29 79.31% -8.40% 0.1683 -0.9332 -0.9415
Stuntman: Action Hero 9 100.00% 11.90% 0.27015 0.4286 -0.0574
Tachyon 9 66.67% -20.84% 0.05868 -1.0379 -0.7812
Tachyon: Freedom Five 1 100.00% 11.91% 0.71312 0.1199 0.0604
Tachyon: Freedom Six 82 98.78% 8.08% 0.01178 0.8417 0.1324
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 24 91.67% 2.96% 0.64728 -0.1709 -0.7276
Tempest 123 96.75% 8.00% 0.00498 0.3134 0.1581
Tempest: Freedom Six 3 100.00% 28.02% 0.27989 0.1202 0.1274
Tempest: Prime Warden 22 90.91% 2.49% 0.71485 -0.4395 -0.562
Tempest: Xtreme PW 13 92.31% 4.60% 0.61356 0.0063 0.0297
Unity 19 84.21% -3.27% 0.66638 -0.1751 0.3162
Unity: Freedom Six 5 100.00% 12.32% 0.40185 0.1616 0.4865
Unity: Termi-Nation 8 100.00% 13.27% 0.26849 0.5357 0.6726
Visionary 18 88.89% 1.18% 0.87838 -0.5575 -0.4285
Visionary: Dark 16 87.50% -0.38% 0.96277 -0.5775 -0.5499
Visionary: Unleashed 8 75.00% -13.23% 0.2453 -0.8902 -0.8951
Wraith 70 95.71% 7.96% 0.04226 0.5447 0.6791
Wraith: Freedom Five 5 100.00% 11.44% 0.42155 0.1892 -0.0286
Wraith: Freedom Six 5 100.00% 12.25% 0.40346 0.1411 0.2623
Wraith: Rook City 3 66.67% -21.05% 0.26664 -0.358 -0.2123
Writhe 13 100.00% 12.26% 0.17763 0.5703 0.5628
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 9 100.00% 11.43% 0.28112 0.4251 -0.1348

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 12 91.67% 3.86% 0.68273 -0.0538 -0.3638
Dok'Thorath Capital 17 94.12% 6.97% 0.39048 0.0492 0.3532
Fort Adamant 13 84.62% -3.36% 0.70967 -0.4085 -0.5789
Freedom Tower 27 92.59% 3.70% 0.54044 -0.1886 -0.369
Insula Primalis 21 95.24% 7.54% 0.29296 0.2127 0.8014
Madame Mittermeier's 8 87.50% -0.13% 0.99087 -0.1877 -0.0122
Maerynian Refuge 16 100.00% 12.16% 0.1366 0.7353 0.5584
Magmaria 7 100.00% 12.22% 0.32351 0.2931 0.2142
Megalopolis 38 94.74% 6.87% 0.19456 -0.1963 0.0359
Mobile Defense Platform 14 92.86% 4.59% 0.59328 0.0167 -0.0965
Mordengrad 12 91.67% 16.47% 0.1864 -0.0262 0.8057
Nexus of the Void 16 100.00% 9.99% 0.18269 0.459 -0.064
Omnitron-IV 3 66.67% -20.32% 0.29567 -0.5878 -0.1508
Pike Industrial Complex 208 89.42% 1.74% 0.44471 -0.0307 0.1802
Realm of Discord 21 95.24% 6.94% 0.32253 -0.0211 0.0281
Rook City 20 90.00% 25.52% 0.01709 -0.043 1.089
Ruins of Atlantis 26 88.46% 13.39% 0.1144 -0.3699 0.654
Silver Gulch 1883 30 96.67% 9.19% 0.12838 0.5093 0.9569
The Block 27 96.30% 8.01% 0.19557 0.2215 0.1934
The Celestial Tribunal 7 100.00% 12.53% 0.31654 0.6135 0.939
The Court of Blood 31 90.32% 2.23% 0.70107 0.0584 0.12
The Enclave of the Endlings 32 93.75% 5.13% 0.36055 0.4208 0.2138
The Final Wasteland 37 91.89% 2.50% 0.62107 0.0992 -0.3369
The Temple of Zhu Long 20 95.00% 6.69% 0.35159 0.2308 -0.0116
Time Cataclysm 20 80.00% -7.71% 0.29337 -0.8938 -0.7131
Tomb of Anubis 24 79.17% -8.77% 0.18735 -0.4612 -0.1913
Wagner Mars Base 8 87.50% -0.36% 0.9751 -0.3734 -0.1053

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 45 77.78% +3.87% 0.55405
4 161 91.30% +3.64% 0.1597
5 518 92.47% +4.01% 0.00426

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Heroes Incapacitated 63
Villain Destroyed 661

Apostate (Challenge)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 3 66.67% -9.75% 0.69094 -0.4165 0.3106
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 9 100.00% 15.26% 0.20293 0.4833 0.685
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 18.29% 0.63616 0.139 0.6321
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 2 100.00% 28.55% 0.37135 0.143 0.9348
Akash'Thriya 31 93.55% 8.35% 0.19052 0.5689 0.3039
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 12 100.00% 16.08% 0.12943 0.5508 0.123
Argent Adept 10 100.00% 17.32% 0.14776 0.7573 1.1607
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 10 70.00% -14.11% 0.2221 -0.3855 -0.3323
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 2 100.00% 16.29% 0.5327 0.1996 0.2698
Benchmark 11 90.91% 7.77% 0.49114 0.2824 0.2314
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 9 77.78% -6.31% 0.60464 -0.1772 -0.6726
Bunker 2 100.00% 23.29% 0.43579 0.2289 0.9856
Bunker: Freedom Five 5 100.00% 16.13% 0.32685 0.2972 0.1686
Bunker: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 26.64% 0.54679 0.0047 0.5186
Bunker: G.I. 14 78.57% 2.66% 0.81564 -0.0277 0.5153
Bunker: Termi-Nation 1 100.00% 36.18% 0.45152 0.1747 0.7469
Captain Cosmic 5 80.00% -1.72% 0.92058 0.0059 0.6555
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 3 33.33% -22.17% 0.4398 -0.3873 0.7066
Captain Cosmic: Requital 2 100.00% 16.82% 0.52477 0.1265 0.1304
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 16.91% 0.65191 0.0357 0.2781
Chrono-Ranger 14 100.00% 15.80% 0.10509 0.7325 0.7018
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 29 89.66% 6.60% 0.34322 -0.3946 -0.2374
Dr. Medico 23 73.91% -10.97% 0.14175 -0.2875 -0.4355
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 3 100.00% 15.85% 0.45219 0.2513 0.2533
Expatriette 11 90.91% 9.24% 0.42825 0.3131 0.8318
Expatriette: Dark Watch 1 100.00% 25.50% 0.55856 0.0846 0.4052
Fanatic 51 80.39% -2.68% 0.6104 -0.0258 0.1263
Fanatic: Prime Warden 4 50.00% -27.46% 0.18863 -0.9246 -0.947
Fanatic: Redeemer 8 87.50% 4.93% 0.71314 0.0391 0.1714
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 5 40.00% -26.47% 0.20985 -0.7595 -0.3998
Guise 5 60.00% -22.57% 0.18341 -0.1232 0.2932
Guise: Completionist 2 50.00% -31.26% 0.2572 -0.5298 -0.0885
Guise: Santa 7 85.71% 11.93% 0.47304 -0.0321 0.2788
Haka 18 72.22% -10.89% 0.21774 -0.3928 -0.2766
Haka: Eternal 3 100.00% 16.22% 0.44592 0.2801 0.2379
Haka: Prime Warden 4 100.00% 26.85% 0.22563 0.5038 0.5776
Haka: Xtreme PW 4 0.00% -83.07% 1e-05 -1.0963 -1.0669
Harpy 2 100.00% 16.92% 0.52331 0.055 0.3359
Harpy: Dark Watch 5 80.00% 4.52% 0.81436 -0.2676 -0.3992
Idealist 7 100.00% 22.16% 0.15799 0.2657 0.6317
Idealist: Super Sentai 1 100.00% 17.22% 0.64833 0.1747 0.5025
K.N.Y.F.E. 4 100.00% 16.88% 0.36744 0.5597 0.9164
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 2 100.00% 17.45% 0.51555 0.1654 0.4187
La Comodora 32 93.75% 9.70% 0.13406 0.5993 0.5659
La Comodora: Black Spot 2 100.00% 16.64% 0.52751 0.1402 -0.0292
Legacy 74 91.89% 6.52% 0.11269 1.04 0.3226
Legacy: Freedom Five 20 90.00% 2.77% 0.71024 0.5338 -0.4534
Legacy: Greatest 8 100.00% 14.58% 0.24249 0.4956 -0.3147
Legacy: Young 9 88.89% 4.91% 0.68802 0.5965 -0.0046
Lifeline 10 80.00% -3.69% 0.75183 -0.2673 -0.3922
Lifeline: Blood Mage 4 100.00% 14.82% 0.40415 0.3467 -0.049
Luminary 16 81.25% -1.65% 0.86058 0.1587 0.1757
Luminary: Heroic 3 100.00% 16.11% 0.4479 0.2134 0.208
Mainstay 8 87.50% 4.42% 0.73865 -0.0924 -0.0989
Mainstay: Road Warrior 3 100.00% 17.25% 0.42912 0.2264 0.4937
Mr. Fixer 16 75.00% -7.99% 0.39522 -0.5991 -0.3824
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 162 85.19% 16.87% 0.0 -0.1765 -0.0224
Naturalist 5 80.00% -5.14% 0.74646 -0.2121 -0.3323
Naturalist: Hunted 12 91.67% 5.69% 0.57051 0.3248 -0.0877
NightMist 28 82.14% -0.88% 0.90149 0.1786 0.3796
NightMist: Dark Watch 3 100.00% 36.45% 0.18958 0.1193 0.9036
Omnitron-X 21 76.19% -6.98% 0.39239 -0.3906 -0.4607
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 163 85.89% 1.97% 0.49412 0.5418 0.4378
Parse 6 100.00% 17.21% 0.26406 0.5252 0.8133
Parse: Fugue State 9 88.89% 4.20% 0.72665 -0.0098 -0.3394
Ra 39 74.36% -9.40% 0.11131 -0.8396 -0.6366
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 2 100.00% 17.27% 0.51824 0.1376 0.3025
Ra: Setting Sun 7 100.00% 16.87% 0.23339 0.2565 0.0189
Scholar 18 94.44% 10.71% 0.21809 0.2166 0.0443
Scholar: Of the Infinite 23 78.26% -6.25% 0.40779 0.1047 -0.4246
Sentinels 26 76.92% -7.86% 0.2644 -0.54 -0.7321
Sentinels: Adamant 3 100.00% 14.05% 0.48376 0.4582 -0.1087
Setback 2 50.00% -29.65% 0.29772 -0.3606 -0.2044
Setback: Dark Watch 1 100.00% 35.30% 0.4601 0.0565 0.8005
Sky-Scraper 5 100.00% 16.93% 0.31282 0.2831 0.1874
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 3 100.00% 16.33% 0.44412 0.4409 0.1588
Stuntman 10 90.00% 6.92% 0.5596 0.3461 0.3378
Stuntman: Action Hero 5 80.00% -3.86% 0.81459 -0.1971 -0.683
Tachyon 32 90.62% 8.00% 0.23221 -0.0412 0.2155
Tachyon: Freedom Five 163 85.28% 1.43% 0.62035 -0.0875 -0.1469
Tachyon: Freedom Six 41 92.68% 4.85% 0.34171 0.4394 -0.2699
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 11 81.82% -3.11% 0.77279 -0.2502 -0.8069
Tempest 48 87.50% 2.51% 0.62607 -0.0733 -0.2286
Tempest: Prime Warden 5 60.00% -24.43% 0.13178 -0.2466 -0.3691
Tempest: Xtreme PW 3 100.00% 16.92% 0.43444 0.1789 0.2023
Unity 6 66.67% -15.90% 0.30444 -0.4314 0.0599
Unity: Freedom Six 1 0.00% -83.01% 0.02707 -0.4966 -0.1716
Unity: Termi-Nation 2 50.00% -29.52% 0.30091 -0.4278 -0.2909
Visionary 4 75.00% -8.07% 0.66684 -0.1063 0.0227
Visionary: Dark 11 81.82% -1.62% 0.88507 -0.3874 -0.3597
Visionary: Unleashed 2 100.00% 15.89% 0.5388 0.2738 0.2688
Wraith 20 75.00% -8.18% 0.32773 -0.7466 -0.6122
Wraith: Freedom Five 9 100.00% 15.32% 0.20191 0.3621 0.1444
Wraith: Freedom Six 2 100.00% 16.83% 0.52466 0.1573 0.2785
Wraith: Rook City 4 100.00% 16.90% 0.3671 0.246 0.3917
Writhe 7 57.14% -25.99% 0.06624 -0.4911 -0.4985
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 163 85.28% 0.58% 0.83672 -0.0735 -0.6334

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 5 100.00% 16.72% 0.31647 0.347 0.037
Dok'Thorath Capital 163 85.28% 3.61% 0.23364 0.069 0.373
Fort Adamant 5 100.00% 16.38% 0.32238 0.4012 0.2308
Freedom Tower 10 100.00% 14.78% 0.1879 0.6877 0.5073
Insula Primalis 19 94.74% 11.67% 0.17493 0.5693 1.1579
Maerynian Refuge 7 71.43% -11.92% 0.39738 -0.7488 -0.9257
Magmaria 7 100.00% 16.77% 0.23493 0.364 0.2851
Megalopolis 4 75.00% -8.41% 0.65127 -0.4245 -0.1923
Mobile Defense Platform 33 90.91% 6.75% 0.28849 0.2467 0.1335
Mordengrad 2 100.00% 29.53% 0.35989 0.1265 0.9584
Nexus of the Void 14 71.43% -15.46% 0.08664 -0.174 -0.697
Pike Industrial Complex 3 100.00% 16.98% 0.43347 0.2205 0.4314
Realm of Discord 5 100.00% 15.77% 0.33325 0.5237 0.5729
Rook City 5 80.00% 17.41% 0.421 -0.0131 1.1189
Ruins of Atlantis 1 100.00% 29.59% 0.51679 0.0526 1.0764
Silver Gulch 1883 9 100.00% 17.44% 0.16796 0.5972 1.0449
The Block 8 62.50% -21.70% 0.09231 -0.741 -0.7691
The Celestial Tribunal 7 71.43% -11.10% 0.43936 -0.5363 -0.2108
The Court of Blood 30 80.00% -3.84% 0.56732 -0.0296 0.032
The Enclave of the Endlings 11 72.73% -12.05% 0.26601 -0.2766 -0.4837
The Final Wasteland 4 100.00% 14.01% 0.41949 0.3107 -0.1255
The Temple of Zhu Long 11 90.91% 6.67% 0.54391 -0.0451 -0.2875
Time Cataclysm 7 85.71% 2.62% 0.85308 0.0413 0.222
Tomb of Anubis 10 40.00% -43.54% 0.0002 -1.5352 -1.2652
Wagner Mars Base 3 100.00% 16.60% 0.43963 0.1537 0.4219

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 10 70.00% +0.19% 0.9898
4 249 83.53% +0.56% 0.81423
5 128 88.28% +3.77% 0.2381

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Heroes Incapacitated 57
Villain Destroyed 328
Environment Alternate Defeat 2

Apostate (Ultimate)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Absolute Zero 8 75.00% -6.14% 0.6568 -0.3971 0.33
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 9 88.89% 3.23% 0.78216 0.0553 0.257
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 7 57.14% -26.20% 0.06285 -0.4658 0.0273
Akash'Thriya 8 87.50% 1.44% 0.90643 -0.1939 -0.4589
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 11 90.91% 5.94% 0.58152 -0.0568 -0.4845
Argent Adept 25 68.00% -16.00% 0.02912 -0.404 -0.0006
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 10 70.00% -14.30% 0.21391 -0.6645 -0.3878
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 33 100.00% 14.87% 0.01636 1.2861 1.3394
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 2 100.00% 15.20% 0.54931 0.0526 0.1227
Benchmark 8 100.00% 15.66% 0.223 0.5071 0.4561
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 20 95.00% 9.89% 0.21411 0.4905 -0.0049
Bunker 3 66.67% -14.80% 0.50938 -0.2295 0.5272
Bunker: Freedom Five 27 62.96% -21.97% 0.00142 -0.7479 -0.8765
Bunker: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 25.53% 0.55819 0.0856 0.5995
Bunker: G.I. 25 92.00% 11.73% 0.14047 0.2287 0.7717
Bunker: Termi-Nation 2 100.00% 35.80% 0.29095 0.2653 0.8374
Captain Cosmic 2 100.00% 16.65% 0.52731 0.0827 0.7323
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 11 100.00% 44.26% 0.00312 0.4734 1.5673
Captain Cosmic: Requital 8 87.50% 3.12% 0.80771 -0.1842 -0.1803
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 4 100.00% 15.69% 0.38824 0.15 0.3925
Chrono-Ranger 40 77.50% -7.70% 0.16993 -0.4417 -0.4723
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 11 100.00% 15.72% 0.15202 0.4996 0.6569
Dr. Medico 25 92.00% 6.21% 0.37371 -0.0288 -0.1768
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 9 100.00% 14.84% 0.21042 0.4048 0.4069
Expatriette 31 87.10% 3.78% 0.57206 -0.3353 0.1834
Expatriette: Dark Watch 5 100.00% 24.00% 0.2089 0.6041 0.9246
Fanatic 45 84.44% 0.15% 0.97749 0.0139 0.166
Fanatic: Prime Warden 46 82.61% 0.59% 0.91698 -0.3177 -0.3401
Fanatic: Redeemer 11 81.82% -2.10% 0.84955 -0.2837 -0.1514
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 17 76.47% 9.54% 0.40326 -0.9596 -0.5999
Guise 11 100.00% 16.08% 0.14656 0.6683 1.0847
Guise: Completionist 2 100.00% 16.92% 0.52329 0.0749 0.5162
Guise: Santa 5 100.00% 24.99% 0.19679 0.2271 0.538
Haka 24 87.50% 3.18% 0.66849 -0.4014 -0.2852
Haka: Eternal 9 100.00% 15.15% 0.20495 0.6088 0.5666
Haka: Prime Warden 17 94.12% 19.91% 0.06059 -0.1619 -0.0882
Haka: Xtreme PW 2 100.00% 15.71% 0.5415 0.0907 0.12
Harpy 7 57.14% -27.16% 0.04827 -0.995 -0.7141
Harpy: Dark Watch 24 83.33% 5.45% 0.52007 -0.0131 -0.1447
Idealist 9 100.00% 17.81% 0.16253 0.4461 0.8121
Idealist: Super Sentai 5 80.00% -4.07% 0.80338 -0.4367 -0.109
K.N.Y.F.E. 13 92.31% 7.98% 0.42887 0.3375 0.6942
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 13 69.23% -14.67% 0.14992 -0.4919 -0.2386
La Comodora 20 75.00% -10.08% 0.20578 -0.3994 -0.4328
La Comodora: Black Spot 9 88.89% 4.37% 0.71708 0.1969 0.0275
Legacy 182 90.11% 3.89% 0.12758 0.8973 0.1799
Legacy: Freedom Five 50 96.00% 8.11% 0.07886 1.1558 0.1686
Legacy: Greatest 47 95.74% 9.49% 0.05875 1.1186 0.3083
Legacy: Young 13 84.62% -0.40% 0.96746 -0.0018 -0.6029
Lifeline 24 91.67% 6.88% 0.34795 -0.0143 -0.1391
Lifeline: Blood Mage 13 84.62% -1.43% 0.8819 0.1393 -0.2565
Luminary 21 71.43% -12.74% 0.10983 -0.9929 -0.9759
Luminary: Heroic 7 85.71% 0.77% 0.9548 -0.2914 -0.2968
Mainstay 9 100.00% 15.70% 0.19541 0.4812 0.4747
Mr. Fixer 38 97.37% 13.14% 0.02626 0.8348 1.0515
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 5 100.00% 31.14% 0.13266 0.4397 0.5937
Naturalist 7 100.00% 13.99% 0.28597 0.3571 0.2369
Naturalist: Hunted 27 81.48% -5.27% 0.41884 -0.3135 -0.726
NightMist 33 72.73% -11.53% 0.06902 -0.3428 -0.1419
NightMist: Dark Watch 13 46.15% -17.76% 0.18231 -1.1223 -0.3381
Omnitron-X 56 78.57% -5.80% 0.2319 -0.949 -1.0191
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 2 100.00% 15.03% 0.55202 0.0601 -0.0439
Parse 48 91.67% 7.59% 0.15085 0.3251 0.6132
Parse: Fugue State 33 93.94% 8.32% 0.17324 0.5661 0.2364
Ra 66 81.82% -3.02% 0.49345 -0.69 -0.487
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 1 100.00% 15.96% 0.66299 0.358 0.523
Ra: Setting Sun 30 100.00% 15.66% 0.01828 1.1007 0.863
Scholar 36 83.33% -1.48% 0.80439 -0.0818 -0.2541
Scholar: Of the Infinite 12 100.00% 14.54% 0.15307 0.4901 -0.0392
Sentinels 11 72.73% -12.97% 0.21907 -0.7187 -0.9108
Sentinels: Adamant 11 100.00% 13.27% 0.19448 0.4514 -0.1154
Setback 11 90.91% 8.44% 0.46148 0.0794 0.2356
Setback: Dark Watch 1 100.00% 34.90% 0.46404 0.0199 0.764
Sky-Scraper 10 80.00% -4.30% 0.70884 -0.5839 -0.6796
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 7 85.71% 0.95% 0.94423 -0.0089 -0.291
Stuntman 29 93.10% 8.80% 0.19266 0.176 0.1677
Stuntman: Action Hero 20 100.00% 15.08% 0.05948 0.8918 0.4059
Tachyon 6 83.33% -0.62% 0.96673 -0.1457 0.111
Tachyon: Freedom Five 19 57.89% -27.02% 0.001 -0.6279 -0.6873
Tachyon: Freedom Six 102 86.27% -2.18% 0.49151 -0.5589 -1.2682
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 26 100.00% 14.17% 0.03826 0.9162 0.3595
Tempest 78 88.46% 2.59% 0.512 -0.4737 -0.629
Tempest: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 30.82% 0.50449 0.4092 0.4165
Tempest: Prime Warden 27 96.30% 10.90% 0.10884 0.4798 0.3572
Tempest: Xtreme PW 12 33.33% -50.97% 0.0 -1.9756 -1.9522
Unity 9 88.89% 4.97% 0.68495 -0.1066 0.3848
Unity: Freedom Six 2 100.00% 15.75% 0.54086 0.1053 0.4302
Unity: Termi-Nation 5 100.00% 17.55% 0.30217 0.2322 0.3691
Visionary 12 83.33% -0.96% 0.92709 0.1028 0.2318
Visionary: Dark 17 94.12% 9.54% 0.27622 0.199 0.2266
Visionary: Unleashed 6 100.00% 14.87% 0.30595 0.3623 0.3573
Wraith 30 93.33% 8.95% 0.17683 0.2329 0.3673
Wraith: Freedom Five 18 77.78% -7.83% 0.34392 -0.509 -0.7267
Wraith: Freedom Six 7 85.71% 1.34% 0.92197 -0.1666 -0.0454
Wraith: Rook City 7 71.43% -12.89% 0.34842 -0.4465 -0.3008
Writhe 1 100.00% 15.66% 0.6666 0.1256 0.1181
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 20 90.00% 4.38% 0.57687 0.2505 -0.3094

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 14 85.71% 1.25% 0.89691 -0.1063 -0.4163
Dok'Thorath Capital 14 85.71% 2.40% 0.80955 0.1654 0.4694
Fort Adamant 11 100.00% 15.27% 0.1591 0.5905 0.4201
Freedom Tower 33 90.91% 4.83% 0.42297 -0.1644 -0.3449
Insula Primalis 20 80.00% -4.29% 0.59817 -0.5189 0.0698
Madame Mittermeier's 4 75.00% -9.18% 0.61508 -0.0789 0.0967
Maerynian Refuge 16 81.25% -3.26% 0.71875 0.0743 -0.1026
Magmaria 23 86.96% 2.54% 0.73677 -0.2534 -0.3323
Megalopolis 15 80.00% -4.56% 0.62533 -0.5175 -0.2853
Mobile Defense Platform 14 92.86% 7.69% 0.41843 0.2557 0.1425
Mordengrad 6 100.00% 28.85% 0.11885 0.344 1.1759
Nexus of the Void 9 100.00% 12.42% 0.25856 0.6639 0.1409
Omnitron-IV 7 85.71% 2.72% 0.84799 -0.199 0.238
Pike Industrial Complex 2 100.00% 15.74% 0.54099 0.0454 0.2563
Realm of Discord 26 73.08% -12.15% 0.08083 0.4384 0.4876
Rook City 5 100.00% 37.07% 0.08615 0.3489 1.4809
Ruins of Atlantis 8 87.50% 16.41% 0.30596 -0.1063 0.9176
Silver Gulch 1883 14 57.14% -26.77% 0.0064 -0.5067 -0.0591
The Block 19 73.68% -11.52% 0.15717 -1.0865 -1.1145
The Celestial Tribunal 7 100.00% 16.11% 0.24627 0.4084 0.7339
The Court of Blood 44 90.91% 6.00% 0.2661 0.2175 0.2791
The Enclave of the Endlings 14 92.86% 7.17% 0.44388 -0.1733 -0.3803
The Final Wasteland 30 90.00% 3.24% 0.60086 -0.0197 -0.4558
The Temple of Zhu Long 22 90.91% 5.67% 0.4533 0.2335 -0.0089
Time Cataclysm 9 66.67% -17.64% 0.14562 -0.3026 -0.1219
Tomb of Anubis 16 100.00% 15.34% 0.08867 0.5959 0.8659
Wagner Mars Base 7 100.00% 15.45% 0.25802 0.2856 0.5538

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 27 77.78% +7.33% 0.40403
4 122 84.43% +0.21% 0.95021
5 280 88.21% +2.75% 0.19149

How did the game end?

Condition Count
Heroes Incapacitated 57
Villain Destroyed 371
Environment Alternate Defeat 1

Notes

Deviation

The difference between the actual win rate of this combination of elements and the win rates of each of those elements on their own, averaged. A positive value means that this combination results in a win more often than would be expected.

Chi-Square p-value

This is the significance value of a χ² test comparing the observed data and expected value. In most cases, this expected value is the mean of the win rates of each element. For team position, the expected value is an equal likelihood of winning in all positions. Lower p-values (no greater than 0.01) mean a greater likelihood that the difference is meaningful and not due to chance.

Logistic Regression Coefficient

Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game, considering only games when 248 is present. The number on the right compares this model to the global one (counting all games); positive numbers suggests that this hero/villain/environment results in a win more often when 248 is present than otherwise, and vice-versa.