Ermine

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Difference
Absolute Zero 265 49.43% -21.47% 0.0 -0.938 -0.2109
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 226 81.86% 8.00% 0.00622 -0.0603 0.1414
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 163 84.66% 12.84% 0.00027 0.087 0.5801
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 21 61.90% -6.33% 0.53349 -0.6767 0.1151
Akash'Thriya 215 78.14% 3.72% 0.21134 0.3846 0.1196
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 70 87.14% 14.06% 0.00801 0.586 0.1582
Argent Adept 96 72.92% 0.66% 0.88526 -0.6204 -0.2169
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 90 85.56% 13.07% 0.0055 0.3786 0.6553
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 158 75.32% 2.07% 0.55751 0.737 0.7903
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 98 61.22% -11.70% 0.00917 0.4619 0.532
Benchmark 141 83.69% 11.16% 0.00298 0.9365 0.8854
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 181 89.50% 16.27% 0.0 1.0668 0.5714
Bunker 217 42.40% -28.60% 0.0 -0.9162 -0.1595
Bunker: Freedom Five 257 88.72% 15.67% 0.0 0.4734 0.3449
Bunker: Freedom Six 116 77.59% 8.11% 0.05787 -0.4772 0.0368
Bunker: G.I. 49 71.43% 0.70% 0.91458 -0.3352 0.2078
Bunker: Termi-Nation 36 69.44% 7.46% 0.35667 -0.0687 0.5035
Captain Cosmic 82 69.51% -2.32% 0.64117 -0.2614 0.3882
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 30 76.67% 22.39% 0.01381 0.1812 1.2751
Captain Cosmic: Requital 65 84.62% 12.07% 0.02927 0.7125 0.7164
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 46 78.26% 5.77% 0.3812 -0.2566 -0.0142
Chrono-Ranger 277 75.09% 1.76% 0.50761 -0.1035 -0.1342
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 84 76.19% 3.72% 0.44539 0.2353 0.3925
Dr. Medico 389 84.06% 10.03% 1e-05 0.4411 0.2931
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 75 86.67% 13.39% 0.0088 0.7149 0.717
Expatriette 225 69.78% -2.03% 0.49878 -0.2009 0.3178
Expatriette: Dark Watch 818 26.16% -43.95% 0.0 -0.9185 -0.598
Fanatic 191 72.25% -0.23% 0.94327 0.0017 0.1538
Fanatic: Prime Warden 99 90.91% 19.72% 1e-05 1.0111 0.9887
Fanatic: Redeemer 77 71.43% -0.77% 0.87984 -0.3252 -0.1929
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 49 81.63% 17.33% 0.01135 -0.1865 0.1732
Guise 124 69.35% -2.85% 0.4793 -0.051 0.3654
Guise: Completionist 25 80.00% 8.33% 0.35547 0.1158 0.5571
Guise: Santa 68 80.88% 11.16% 0.04518 -0.1008 0.2101
Haka 173 76.88% 4.37% 0.19767 0.0522 0.1683
Haka: Eternal 63 77.78% 4.81% 0.39032 0.0858 0.0436
Haka: Prime Warden 76 75.00% 5.65% 0.28527 -0.0357 0.038
Haka: Xtreme PW 99 86.87% 14.39% 0.00135 0.0367 0.066
Harpy 125 73.60% 1.11% 0.78065 0.1421 0.423
Harpy: Dark Watch 853 37.63% -32.93% 0.0 0.3424 0.2108
Idealist 185 80.54% 9.29% 0.00525 -0.0554 0.3106
Idealist: Super Sentai 67 67.16% -5.15% 0.3462 -0.8593 -0.5315
K.N.Y.F.E. 243 72.43% -0.09% 0.97612 -0.1741 0.1825
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 334 62.87% -9.32% 0.00014 -0.2745 -0.0212
La Comodora 152 87.50% 14.30% 7e-05 0.617 0.5837
La Comodora: Black Spot 132 87.88% 15.21% 9e-05 0.7311 0.5617
Legacy 1013 82.92% 8.26% 0.0 1.2071 0.4897
Legacy: Freedom Five 285 94.04% 12.22% 0.0 1.6158 0.6286
Legacy: Greatest 223 91.03% 16.31% 0.0 0.9573 0.147
Legacy: Young 252 83.73% 10.59% 0.00015 0.7671 0.1661
Lifeline 217 86.64% 13.73% 1e-05 0.776 0.6511
Lifeline: Blood Mage 310 91.94% 17.54% 0.0 0.6992 0.3035
Luminary 287 77.35% 4.97% 0.05974 0.4507 0.4677
Luminary: Heroic 146 86.99% 13.92% 0.00015 0.4913 0.4859
Mainstay 228 81.58% 9.09% 0.00211 0.145 0.1385
Mainstay: Road Warrior 101 85.15% 12.85% 0.00391 0.4732 0.7405
Mr. Fixer 261 77.39% 4.96% 0.07279 0.0133 0.23
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 774 28.94% -36.90% 0.0 0.3336 0.4876
Naturalist 189 74.60% 0.26% 0.93538 0.2993 0.1791
Naturalist: Hunted 241 87.55% 11.85% 2e-05 0.933 0.5204
NightMist 188 67.02% -5.43% 0.09551 -0.3 -0.0991
NightMist: Dark Watch 719 23.92% -37.82% 0.0 -0.6503 0.134
Omnitron-X 375 84.00% 11.45% 0.0 0.534 0.4639
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 109 85.32% 12.23% 0.00398 0.4915 0.3875
Parse 188 65.43% -6.89% 0.03466 -0.7543 -0.4662
Parse: Fugue State 179 87.15% 13.34% 5e-05 0.4569 0.1272
Ra 435 82.53% 9.57% 1e-05 -0.0428 0.1603
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 58 84.48% 12.20% 0.03798 0.6519 0.8168
Ra: Setting Sun 304 94.08% 21.56% 0.0 0.9399 0.7023
Scholar 358 86.87% 13.94% 0.0 0.5747 0.4024
Scholar: Of the Infinite 217 70.97% -2.65% 0.37541 0.7054 0.1761
Sentinels 239 83.26% 9.35% 0.001 0.8013 0.6092
Sentinels: Adamant 119 86.55% 10.91% 0.00555 0.7092 0.1424
Setback 181 64.64% -6.73% 0.0452 -0.403 -0.2467
Setback: Dark Watch 717 23.15% -39.61% 0.0 -0.5129 0.2311
Sky-Scraper 405 77.28% 4.80% 0.03058 0.7713 0.6756
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 164 75.00% 2.11% 0.54306 0.2421 -0.0401
Stuntman 254 79.92% 7.43% 0.008 0.076 0.0677
Stuntman: Action Hero 186 84.41% 11.37% 0.00047 0.7938 0.3079
Tachyon 216 53.24% -18.99% 0.0 0.3568 0.6136
Tachyon: Freedom Five 116 87.07% 14.04% 0.00066 0.427 0.3676
Tachyon: Freedom Six 586 93.00% 9.73% 0.0 1.2831 0.5738
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 390 89.23% 15.15% 0.0 1.1514 0.5947
Tempest 851 87.19% 13.04% 0.0 0.4323 0.277
Tempest: Freedom Six 43 81.40% 15.31% 0.03397 0.9314 0.9386
Tempest: Prime Warden 73 90.41% 16.86% 0.00109 0.7653 0.6427
Tempest: Xtreme PW 98 68.37% -4.12% 0.36081 -0.3416 -0.3181
Unity 143 73.43% 1.22% 0.7437 -0.0816 0.4097
Unity: Freedom Six 39 76.92% 4.48% 0.53154 -0.3483 -0.0234
Unity: Termi-Nation 83 84.34% 12.98% 0.00892 0.4759 0.6128
Visionary 100 67.00% -5.48% 0.21949 -0.0649 0.0642
Visionary: Dark 97 78.35% 5.63% 0.21336 -0.6124 -0.5847
Visionary: Unleashed 246 84.96% 11.71% 3e-05 -0.0848 -0.0898
Wraith 414 57.73% -14.82% 0.0 -0.498 -0.3636
Wraith: Freedom Five 192 80.21% 6.41% 0.04339 -0.1768 -0.3946
Wraith: Freedom Six 189 83.60% 11.05% 0.00066 0.0066 0.1277
Wraith: Rook City 79 73.42% 0.92% 0.85524 -0.0044 0.1413
Writhe 134 81.34% 8.82% 0.0222 0.3241 0.3167
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 162 90.74% 16.92% 0.0 1.365 0.8051

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 779 31.96% -40.66% 0.0 0.1652 -0.1448
Dok'Thorath Capital 120 84.17% 12.36% 0.00262 0.2937 0.5977
Fort Adamant 151 80.79% 7.94% 0.02825 0.2025 0.0322
Freedom Tower 306 76.14% 1.69% 0.49723 0.1206 -0.0598
Insula Primalis 194 59.28% -13.20% 4e-05 -0.8038 -0.2151
Madame Mittermeier's 91 76.92% 4.53% 0.33348 -0.3934 -0.2178
Maerynian Refuge 157 89.17% 16.51% 0.0 0.2579 0.081
Magmaria 96 85.42% 12.84% 0.00482 0.2266 0.1477
Megalopolis 151 57.62% -15.09% 3e-05 -1.1014 -0.8692
Mobile Defense Platform 245 65.71% -7.58% 0.00732 -0.3658 -0.479
Mordengrad 152 85.53% 18.01% 0.0 0.0357 0.8676
Nexus of the Void 147 85.03% 4.50% 0.16832 0.6963 0.1733
Omnitron-IV 113 88.50% 16.87% 7e-05 0.7729 1.2099
Pike Industrial Complex 158 67.72% -4.73% 0.18306 0.1562 0.367
Realm of Discord 135 82.96% 9.61% 0.01155 0.1484 0.1976
Rook City 99 61.62% 0.74% 0.8798 -0.8182 0.3138
Ruins of Atlantis 107 68.22% 0.75% 0.86859 -0.8833 0.1406
Silver Gulch 1883 221 76.02% 3.82% 0.20475 -0.1111 0.3366
The Block 219 63.93% -9.40% 0.00165 0.1252 0.0971
The Celestial Tribunal 122 77.05% 4.87% 0.22998 -0.0683 0.2571
The Court of Blood 141 73.76% 0.73% 0.84439 -0.3204 -0.2587
The Enclave of the Endlings 195 89.23% 15.33% 0.0 0.7211 0.5141
The Final Wasteland 228 92.98% 17.26% 0.0 1.0776 0.6414
The Temple of Zhu Long 147 87.07% 13.71% 0.00017 1.0702 0.8278
Time Cataclysm 135 80.74% 8.25% 0.03192 0.3305 0.5112
Tomb of Anubis 107 80.37% 7.58% 0.0782 -0.0308 0.2392
Wagner Mars Base 101 76.24% 3.54% 0.42418 -0.5403 -0.2721

Win Rate with Villains as Allies

Ally Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Ambuscade 831 74.85% 6.95% 2e-05 -0.1503 0.3745
Ambuscade (Challenge) 1 100.00% 64.02% 0.18227 0.0071 1.5618
Ambuscade (Ultimate) 3 66.67% 6.95% 0.80617 -0.647 0.4706
Baron Blade 1483 72.69% 6.66% 0.0 -0.2731 0.3589
Baron Blade (Advanced) 2 100.00% 34.37% 0.30616 0.2029 0.1611
Baron Blade (Ultimate) 4 75.00% 16.96% 0.49181 -0.4869 0.2734
Biomancer 1402 53.14% -15.81% 0.0 0.1139 0.3066
Biomancer (Ultimate) 1 100.00% 41.68% 0.39789 0.0579 0.7083
Bugbear 1372 52.55% -17.19% 0.0 -0.0994 0.0727
Bugbear (Ultimate) 2 50.00% -17.01% 0.60888 -0.2034 -0.091
Citizens Hammer & Anvil 649 83.98% 11.56% 0.0 0.3128 0.2209
Citizens Hammer & Anvil (Ultimate) 1 100.00% 40.40% 0.41034 0.0579 1.0771
Friction 1686 77.40% 6.02% 0.0 0.2599 0.2165
Friction (Ultimate) 3 100.00% 32.69% 0.22736 0.3136 0.5433
Fright Train 2276 59.31% -7.63% 0.0 0.2479 0.3976
Fright Train (Challenge) 2 100.00% 27.24% 0.38692 0.1158 -0.8143
Fright Train (Ultimate) 2 100.00% 31.40% 0.33872 0.5573 0.3801
Greazer Clutch 743 89.23% 16.66% 0.0 1.0734 0.6594
Greazer Clutch (Ultimate) 1 100.00% 30.16% 0.51113 0.0088 -0.3372
La Capitan 873 86.60% 13.34% 0.0 0.7495 0.211
La Capitan (Challenge) 1 100.00% 27.46% 0.53842 0.0071 -0.4945
La Capitan (Ultimate) 1 100.00% 30.14% 0.5113 0.0245 -0.2952
Miss Information 1024 82.52% 11.29% 0.0 0.423 0.3947
Miss Information (Ultimate) 1 100.00% 31.89% 0.49381 0.0133 0.3895
Plague Rat 1369 52.37% -12.04% 0.0 -0.1148 0.5339
Plague Rat (Advanced) 1 0.00% -62.76% 0.19423 -0.8262 -0.259
Plague Rat (Ultimate) 2 100.00% 43.95% 0.21042 0.0453 1.198
Proletariat 1563 79.08% 6.50% 0.0 0.608 0.1301
Proletariat (Advanced) 1 100.00% 31.99% 0.49281 0.1124 0.1101
Proletariat (Ultimate) 3 100.00% 30.33% 0.25311 0.3278 0.4721
Sergeant Steel 880 77.27% 5.07% 0.00078 0.2033 0.0933
The Operative 1069 85.31% 12.63% 0.0 0.5946 0.064
The Operative (Advanced) 4 50.00% -21.51% 0.34067 -0.5491 -1.0373
The Operative (Ultimate) 3 66.67% 7.23% 0.79864 0.07 0.6064

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero/Villain Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 641 51.64% -15.39% 0.0
4 1014 76.63% +4.20% 0.00275
5 3235 71.22% -2.40% 0.00195

Ermine (Advanced)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Difference
Absolute Zero 10 30.00% -35.05% 0.02009 -1.0526 -0.3254
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 5 80.00% 13.47% 0.52342 -0.0133 0.1884
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 27 59.26% -6.30% 0.49068 -0.366 0.1271
Akash'Thriya 4 100.00% 33.24% 0.15813 0.724 0.459
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 4 100.00% 33.81% 0.15293 0.4751 0.0474
Argent Adept 3 66.67% 0.88% 0.97445 0.029 0.4325
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 1 0.00% -65.91% 0.16443 -0.1701 0.1066
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 18 27.78% -38.49% 0.00055 -0.2999 -0.2466
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 33.88% 0.47406 0.0871 0.1573
Benchmark 3 33.33% -32.59% 0.23366 -0.2109 -0.2619
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 6 83.33% 17.07% 0.37643 0.2056 -0.2898
Bunker 5 0.00% -65.10% 0.00226 -1.1447 -0.388
Bunker: Freedom Five 11 100.00% 33.82% 0.01774 0.8627 0.7341
Bunker: Freedom Six 27 59.26% -4.91% 0.59444 -0.366 0.1479
Bunker: G.I. 2 50.00% -14.95% 0.65775 0.0361 0.5791
Bunker: Termi-Nation 3 0.00% -58.54% 0.03959 -0.454 0.1182
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 20 15.00% -36.78% 0.001 -0.9727 0.1213
Captain Cosmic: Requital 3 33.33% -32.60% 0.23344 -0.5257 -0.5218
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 3 100.00% 34.09% 0.21289 0.3782 0.6206
Chrono-Ranger 8 50.00% -16.31% 0.32922 -0.3379 -0.3685
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 2 50.00% -15.90% 0.63531 -0.1628 -0.0056
Dr. Medico 7 85.71% 19.11% 0.28369 0.208 0.06
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 3 100.00% 33.72% 0.21671 0.3601 0.3621
Expatriette 6 33.33% -32.22% 0.09675 -0.3717 0.147
Expatriette: Dark Watch 8 100.00% 35.43% 0.03616 1.0337 1.3543
Fanatic 2 50.00% -15.90% 0.63519 -0.3005 -0.1484
Fanatic: Prime Warden 20 45.00% -20.21% 0.05775 0.2367 0.2143
Fanatic: Redeemer 1 100.00% 34.24% 0.47055 0.0196 0.152
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 39.58% 0.41829 0.1333 0.493
Guise 1 0.00% -65.76% 0.16579 -0.1987 0.2177
Guise: Completionist 1 0.00% -65.48% 0.16842 -0.1701 0.2712
Guise: Santa 12 33.33% -31.00% 0.025 -0.3184 -0.0076
Haka 2 100.00% 34.09% 0.30917 0.2876 0.4037
Haka: Prime Warden 14 21.43% -42.66% 0.00088 -0.5897 -0.516
Haka: Xtreme PW 3 33.33% -32.57% 0.23405 -0.3815 -0.3522
Harpy 3 100.00% 34.09% 0.21285 0.4339 0.7148
Harpy: Dark Watch 9 33.33% -31.51% 0.04769 -0.4317 -0.5632
Idealist 10 20.00% -45.25% 0.00266 -0.4918 -0.1257
Idealist: Super Sentai 1 100.00% 34.18% 0.47112 0.0857 0.4135
K.N.Y.F.E. 12 8.33% -57.59% 3e-05 -1.0465 -0.6898
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 5 80.00% 14.24% 0.50206 0.3044 0.5577
La Comodora 14 42.86% -23.39% 0.06422 0.2921 0.2587
La Comodora: Black Spot 2 100.00% 34.00% 0.31005 0.2277 0.0582
Legacy 68 73.53% 6.68% 0.24171 0.3411 -0.3763
Legacy: Freedom Five 14 85.71% 17.71% 0.15538 0.6189 -0.3683
Legacy: Greatest 46 60.87% -6.00% 0.38757 0.252 -0.5582
Legacy: Young 3 33.33% -32.88% 0.2285 -0.1977 -0.7988
Lifeline 3 100.00% 33.89% 0.21494 0.3177 0.1928
Lifeline: Blood Mage 21 47.62% -19.13% 0.06282 -0.6 -0.9958
Luminary 16 68.75% 2.90% 0.80696 0.3291 0.3461
Luminary: Heroic 12 83.33% 17.15% 0.20921 0.4058 0.4004
Mainstay 3 66.67% 0.76% 0.97781 -0.174 -0.1806
Mainstay: Road Warrior 1 100.00% 34.19% 0.47105 0.1635 0.4307
Mr. Fixer 11 72.73% 6.85% 0.63184 0.4103 0.627
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 3 100.00% 38.39% 0.17155 0.3061 0.4601
Naturalist 8 62.50% -4.23% 0.79969 -0.2556 -0.3758
Naturalist: Hunted 11 36.36% -30.82% 0.02951 -0.6729 -1.0854
NightMist 10 70.00% 4.11% 0.78389 0.1121 0.313
NightMist: Dark Watch 2 100.00% 41.67% 0.23197 0.2538 1.0381
Omnitron-X 10 80.00% 14.06% 0.348 0.197 0.1269
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 3 0.00% -66.20% 0.01536 -0.6067 -0.7107
Parse 4 75.00% 9.18% 0.69871 0.0603 0.3484
Parse: Fugue State 15 53.33% -13.18% 0.27936 -0.3441 -0.6737
Ra 19 52.63% -13.50% 0.21357 -0.3076 -0.1046
Ra: Setting Sun 15 93.33% 27.41% 0.0251 1.1788 0.9412
Scholar 19 68.42% 2.30% 0.83244 -0.0523 -0.2247
Scholar: Of the Infinite 33 66.67% 0.23% 0.97727 0.1883 -0.341
Sentinels 5 80.00% 13.44% 0.52402 -0.0301 -0.2223
Sentinels: Adamant 4 100.00% 32.84% 0.16196 0.6361 0.0693
Setback 6 83.33% 18.02% 0.35375 0.3024 0.4587
Setback: Dark Watch 4 75.00% 15.82% 0.51965 0.6122 1.3563
Sky-Scraper 6 100.00% 34.10% 0.0781 0.7126 0.6169
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 5 80.00% 13.90% 0.51148 0.4444 0.1623
Stuntman 11 63.64% -2.27% 0.87375 0.0573 0.049
Stuntman: Action Hero 32 68.75% 2.58% 0.75783 -0.0678 -0.5537
Tachyon 2 50.00% -15.77% 0.63823 -0.0648 0.1919
Tachyon: Freedom Five 22 86.36% 20.20% 0.04527 0.2424 0.183
Tachyon: Freedom Six 67 70.15% 1.68% 0.76778 0.4381 -0.2712
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 12 75.00% 8.37% 0.53842 0.3027 -0.254
Tempest 29 55.17% -11.48% 0.18978 -0.4614 -0.6168
Tempest: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 38.20% 0.4317 0.1209 0.1282
Tempest: Prime Warden 20 40.00% -26.40% 0.01243 -0.2741 -0.3966
Tempest: Xtreme PW 4 50.00% -15.91% 0.50213 -0.2862 -0.2628
Unity 6 83.33% 17.57% 0.36434 0.3364 0.8277
Unity: Termi-Nation 2 100.00% 34.69% 0.30267 0.3466 0.4835
Visionary 1 100.00% 34.10% 0.47197 0.1204 0.2494
Visionary: Dark 3 66.67% 0.64% 0.98118 -0.048 -0.0204
Visionary: Unleashed 1 100.00% 33.73% 0.47557 0.0414 0.0364
Wraith 10 80.00% 14.06% 0.34812 0.4875 0.6219
Wraith: Freedom Five 9 44.44% -22.06% 0.16078 -0.3281 -0.5458
Wraith: Freedom Six 32 50.00% -15.93% 0.05718 -1.2396 -1.1184
Wraith: Rook City 2 0.00% -65.91% 0.04924 -0.8003 -0.6546
Writhe 3 33.33% -32.59% 0.23366 -0.3342 -0.3416
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 10 60.00% -6.52% 0.66241 0.3188 -0.2411

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 4 50.00% -15.97% 0.50021 -0.488 -0.7981
Dok'Thorath Capital 7 14.29% -51.27% 0.00431 -0.1711 0.1329
Fort Adamant 6 83.33% 17.25% 0.37217 0.3167 0.1464
Freedom Tower 12 83.33% 16.57% 0.22312 0.2854 0.105
Insula Primalis 6 50.00% -15.90% 0.41126 0.1506 0.7393
Madame Mittermeier's 3 100.00% 34.14% 0.21235 0.3991 0.5747
Maerynian Refuge 8 75.00% 9.01% 0.59066 0.0955 -0.0814
Magmaria 3 66.67% 0.71% 0.97917 -0.0571 -0.136
Megalopolis 4 75.00% 8.99% 0.70429 -0.1487 0.0835
Mobile Defense Platform 3 100.00% 33.71% 0.21677 0.2732 0.16
Mordengrad 3 66.67% 3.82% 0.89098 -0.1219 0.71
Nexus of the Void 14 21.43% -46.33% 0.00021 -0.4341 -0.9571
Omnitron-IV 2 100.00% 34.54% 0.30424 0.1879 0.6249
Pike Industrial Complex 3 66.67% 0.78% 0.97732 -0.0834 0.1274
Realm of Discord 7 57.14% -9.17% 0.60762 -0.0212 0.028
Rook City 2 50.00% -7.60% 0.82779 -0.018 1.114
Ruins of Atlantis 6 83.33% 20.52% 0.29832 0.3351 1.359
Silver Gulch 1883 4 50.00% -15.76% 0.50659 -0.2343 0.2133
The Block 17 35.29% -31.01% 0.00683 -1.051 -1.0791
The Celestial Tribunal 4 25.00% -40.75% 0.08591 -0.679 -0.3536
The Court of Blood 15 26.67% -39.50% 0.00122 -0.6262 -0.5645
The Enclave of the Endlings 5 100.00% 33.45% 0.11292 0.3094 0.1024
The Final Wasteland 23 86.96% 19.77% 0.04343 0.4865 0.0504
The Temple of Zhu Long 15 73.33% 7.01% 0.56553 0.1942 -0.0482
Time Cataclysm 32 59.38% -6.53% 0.43549 0.0482 0.2289
Tomb of Anubis 3 66.67% 0.61% 0.98222 0.1849 0.4548
Wagner Mars Base 3 66.67% 0.66% 0.98078 -0.0206 0.2476

Win Rate with Villains as Allies

Ally Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Ambuscade (Advanced) 34 55.88% -3.75% 0.65583 -0.2149 1.0808
Baron Blade (Advanced) 69 69.57% 8.11% 0.16621 0.267 0.2252
Baron Blade (Ultimate) 1 100.00% 44.85% 0.36717 0.0136 0.7739
Biomancer (Advanced) 21 61.90% 2.80% 0.79434 -0.0106 0.3045
Bugbear (Advanced) 42 47.62% -8.84% 0.24769 -0.5668 0.0289
Citizens Hammer & Anvil (Advanced) 57 63.16% 1.98% 0.75869 -0.0745 0.9315
Friction (Advanced) 72 65.28% 5.10% 0.37698 0.1247 0.6329
Fright Train (Advanced) 86 60.47% 2.48% 0.64082 -0.3161 -0.0648
Greazer Clutch (Advanced) 43 67.44% 4.91% 0.50588 1.1087 0.9056
La Capitan (Advanced) 41 53.66% -9.20% 0.22271 -0.2443 -0.4699
Miss Information 2 100.00% 34.76% 0.30191 0.1833 0.155
Miss Information (Advanced) 54 51.85% -12.72% 0.0506 0.2972 0.0466
Plague Rat (Advanced) 60 51.67% -7.51% 0.23676 -0.8392 -0.2721
Proletariat (Advanced) 97 74.23% 11.04% 0.02419 1.0438 1.0415
Sergeant Steel (Advanced) 27 51.85% -12.25% 0.18452 -0.2246 -0.3384
The Operative 1 100.00% 34.00% 0.47295 0.0709 -0.4598
The Operative (Advanced) 47 59.57% -5.81% 0.40209 0.1115 -0.3766

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero/Villain Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 25 48.00% -14.49% 0.13458
4 56 58.93% -6.95% 0.27296
5 134 63.43% -3.00% 0.46204

Ermine (Challenge)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Difference
Absolute Zero 1 100.00% 26.03% 0.55304 0.0221 0.7492
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 4 100.00% 17.27% 0.36082 0.1578 0.3595
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 2 50.00% -25.62% 0.39867 -0.4324 0.0607
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 1 0.00% -70.30% 0.12394 -0.253 0.5388
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 20 75.00% -6.27% 0.47234 -0.0631 -0.4908
Argent Adept 2 50.00% -26.67% 0.37243 -0.1896 0.2139
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 7 14.29% -63.16% 6e-05 -0.1419 0.1348
Benchmark 5 80.00% 2.40% 0.89768 0.122 0.071
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 6 100.00% 18.38% 0.24509 0.3927 -0.1027
Bunker: Freedom Five 4 100.00% 18.83% 0.33533 0.2167 0.0881
Bunker: Freedom Six 3 100.00% 28.10% 0.27885 0.3009 0.8148
Captain Cosmic 1 100.00% 24.37% 0.5703 0.0868 0.7365
Chrono-Ranger 4 100.00% 18.17% 0.34604 0.2385 0.2078
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 2 100.00% 22.62% 0.44453 0.2807 0.4379
Dr. Medico 2 100.00% 17.04% 0.52152 0.1327 -0.0153
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 3 100.00% 18.27% 0.41286 0.3357 0.3378
Expatriette: Dark Watch 2 50.00% -22.76% 0.46957 -0.0011 0.3195
Fanatic 3 66.67% -10.75% 0.65593 -0.0728 0.0793
Fanatic: Redeemer 2 50.00% -26.51% 0.37639 -0.0011 0.1313
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 34.25% 0.47042 0.1183 0.478
Guise 19 84.21% 7.69% 0.42883 0.2231 0.6396
Guise: Completionist 1 0.00% -75.32% 0.08067 -0.3358 0.1055
Guise: Santa 1 100.00% 27.77% 0.5352 0.1292 0.4401
Haka 1 0.00% -77.52% 0.06329 -0.2774 -0.1613
Haka: Prime Warden 1 0.00% -71.73% 0.11122 -0.3358 -0.2621
Haka: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 22.58% 0.58912 0.1183 0.1476
Harpy: Dark Watch 1 100.00% 26.57% 0.5475 0.169 0.0374
Idealist 9 22.22% -52.32% 0.00031 -0.4818 -0.1157
K.N.Y.F.E. 2 100.00% 22.44% 0.44682 0.1218 0.4785
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 17 88.24% 11.75% 0.25341 0.019 0.2723
La Comodora 2 100.00% 18.45% 0.50112 0.1172 0.0838
La Comodora: Black Spot 1 100.00% 21.39% 0.60196 0.0814 -0.0881
Legacy 28 96.43% 12.77% 0.06759 1.1167 0.3993
Legacy: Freedom Five 11 72.73% -13.26% 0.20541 -0.0002 -0.9874
Legacy: Greatest 6 100.00% 16.29% 0.27989 0.4231 -0.3872
Lifeline 2 50.00% -30.72% 0.27085 -0.0382 -0.163
Lifeline: Blood Mage 7 100.00% 16.62% 0.23756 0.445 0.0493
Luminary 6 83.33% 6.27% 0.71481 0.1682 0.1852
Luminary: Heroic 8 50.00% -31.21% 0.02383 -0.2868 -0.2923
Mainstay 6 100.00% 22.56% 0.18619 0.3253 0.3188
Mr. Fixer 5 80.00% 2.77% 0.88269 0.0666 0.2833
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 1 0.00% -67.47% 0.14978 -0.4178 -0.2638
Naturalist: Hunted 22 86.36% 1.91% 0.80503 0.1841 -0.2284
NightMist 1 0.00% -77.31% 0.06491 -0.2366 -0.0357
Omnitron-X 5 100.00% 22.29% 0.2311 0.396 0.3259
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 10 20.00% -61.27% 0.0 -0.4788 -0.5828
Parse: Fugue State 37 81.08% -1.58% 0.79945 -0.0594 -0.389
Ra 11 81.82% 0.92% 0.93816 0.1051 0.3081
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 2 50.00% -26.76% 0.37021 -0.3706 -0.2056
Ra: Setting Sun 10 90.00% 12.40% 0.34688 0.1806 -0.0571
Scholar 24 83.33% 2.52% 0.75393 -0.0291 -0.2015
Scholar: Of the Infinite 4 50.00% -32.36% 0.08946 -0.3026 -0.832
Sentinels 33 87.88% 5.08% 0.4397 -0.0046 -0.1967
Sentinels: Adamant 5 40.00% -44.42% 0.00617 -0.2457 -0.8126
Setback 14 85.71% 10.97% 0.34496 -0.3279 -0.1716
Sky-Scraper 1 100.00% 22.56% 0.58935 0.0221 -0.0736
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 6 50.00% -30.64% 0.05749 -0.4537 -0.7359
Stuntman 1 0.00% -77.46% 0.06377 -0.3822 -0.3906
Stuntman: Action Hero 8 75.00% -6.13% 0.65763 0.0607 -0.4253
Tachyon 17 88.24% 11.64% 0.25687 0.2242 0.4809
Tachyon: Freedom Five 1 100.00% 18.89% 0.62935 0.0563 -0.0031
Tachyon: Freedom Six 27 85.19% -1.50% 0.81897 0.3039 -0.4053
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 34 64.71% -18.32% 0.00444 -0.1543 -0.711
Tempest 11 90.91% 7.80% 0.4898 0.1885 0.0332
Tempest: Freedom Six 2 100.00% 32.24% 0.32926 0.1851 0.1923
Tempest: Xtreme PW 2 50.00% -27.46% 0.3528 -0.189 -0.1656
Unity 2 100.00% 23.48% 0.43338 0.1898 0.6811
Unity: Freedom Six 2 100.00% 22.71% 0.4433 0.083 0.4079
Unity: Termi-Nation 18 77.78% 3.05% 0.76623 0.1085 0.2454
Visionary 1 0.00% -77.43% 0.06399 -0.2366 -0.1076
Visionary: Dark 2 100.00% 20.26% 0.47593 0.083 0.1106
Wraith 22 72.73% -5.02% 0.57124 -0.9521 -0.8176
Wraith: Freedom Five 4 100.00% 17.36% 0.35929 0.1344 -0.0833
Wraith: Freedom Six 21 71.43% -6.27% 0.48988 -0.2898 -0.1687
Wraith: Rook City 2 0.00% -77.50% 0.00867 -0.6871 -0.5414
Writhe 2 50.00% -27.61% 0.34904 -0.0037 -0.0112
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 3 66.67% -16.00% 0.46418 0.1006 -0.4594

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 3 100.00% 21.87% 0.35944 0.1575 -0.1525
Dok'Thorath Capital 18 88.89% 13.30% 0.18896 0.3367 0.6407
Fort Adamant 6 66.67% -13.84% 0.39216 -0.0398 -0.2102
Freedom Tower 7 100.00% 16.56% 0.23858 0.5206 0.3402
Madame Mittermeier's 2 50.00% -27.09% 0.36205 -0.2715 -0.0959
Maerynian Refuge 2 100.00% 21.52% 0.45896 0.4574 0.2804
Magmaria 3 100.00% 22.11% 0.35612 0.2858 0.2069
Megalopolis 1 100.00% 20.49% 0.61166 0.0357 0.2679
Mobile Defense Platform 20 90.00% 8.24% 0.34002 0.091 -0.0222
Nexus of the Void 13 46.15% -39.42% 5e-05 0.0719 -0.4511
Omnitron-IV 2 100.00% 24.77% 0.41704 0.083 0.5199
Pike Industrial Complex 1 100.00% 22.69% 0.58801 0.076 0.2869
Realm of Discord 1 100.00% 18.12% 0.63807 0.0145 0.0638
Rook City 3 0.00% -62.02% 0.02686 -0.7753 0.3568
Ruins of Atlantis 1 100.00% 30.62% 0.50647 0.0585 1.0824
Silver Gulch 1883 2 100.00% 23.50% 0.43319 0.2335 0.6812
The Block 6 83.33% 1.49% 0.92435 0.0831 0.055
The Celestial Tribunal 1 0.00% -76.46% 0.07153 -0.3282 -0.0027
The Enclave of the Endlings 21 71.43% -11.36% 0.16783 -0.3177 -0.5247
The Final Wasteland 3 66.67% -17.80% 0.39464 -0.0288 -0.465
The Temple of Zhu Long 5 80.00% -1.91% 0.91183 -0.0004 -0.2428
Tomb of Anubis 1 0.00% -80.23% 0.04394 -0.4867 -0.2167

Win Rate with Villains as Allies

Ally Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Ambuscade (Challenge) 28 53.57% 17.12% 0.05988 -0.5367 1.018
Baron Blade (Advanced) 1 100.00% 32.76% 0.48516 0.0351 -0.0067
Baron Blade (Challenge) 51 84.31% 41.47% 0.0 -0.272 0.5948
Biomancer (Advanced) 1 100.00% 36.03% 0.45292 0.076 0.3911
Biomancer (Challenge) 13 84.62% 46.34% 0.00059 0.3052 0.2015
Bugbear 1 100.00% 27.75% 0.53542 0.0357 0.2078
Bugbear (Challenge) 10 80.00% 23.20% 0.13856 0.0312 0.3176
Citizens Hammer & Anvil 1 0.00% -77.17% 0.06595 -0.253 -0.3449
Citizens Hammer & Anvil (Challenge) 23 47.83% -5.58% 0.59157 -0.538 0.6249
Friction 1 100.00% 25.22% 0.56137 0.1452 0.1018
Friction (Challenge) 72 86.11% 24.13% 2e-05 0.58 0.758
Fright Train 2 50.00% -18.75% 0.56721 -0.1445 0.0052
Fright Train (Advanced) 1 100.00% 37.49% 0.43863 0.0357 0.287
Fright Train (Challenge) 61 91.80% 11.76% 0.02155 0.8984 -0.0317
Fright Train (Ultimate) 1 100.00% 29.24% 0.52038 0.076 -0.1011
Greazer Clutch 1 100.00% 22.15% 0.59372 0.147 -0.267
Greazer Clutch (Challenge) 20 50.00% 9.54% 0.38449 -0.3097 0.2668
La Capitan (Challenge) 30 76.67% -1.03% 0.89207 -0.1446 -0.6461
Miss Information (Challenge) 23 82.61% 5.31% 0.54336 0.6128 0.4237
Plague Rat 2 50.00% -15.87% 0.63606 -0.106 0.5427
Plague Rat (Advanced) 1 100.00% 35.95% 0.45377 0.076 0.6432
Plague Rat (Challenge) 5 80.00% 42.93% 0.0469 -0.0755 1.2861
Proletariat 1 100.00% 22.15% 0.59375 0.147 -0.3309
Proletariat (Advanced) 1 100.00% 29.97% 0.51295 0.076 0.0737
Proletariat (Challenge) 62 80.65% 15.02% 0.01279 -0.2958 -0.2177
Proletariat (Ultimate) 1 100.00% 27.84% 0.53447 0.0357 0.18
Sergeant Steel (Advanced) 1 0.00% -71.75% 0.111 -0.253 -0.3669
Sergeant Steel (Challenge) 12 75.00% 14.94% 0.29073 0.3909 -0.0141
The Operative 4 50.00% -29.10% 0.15234 -0.2523 -0.783
The Operative (Advanced) 1 100.00% 25.01% 0.56365 0.0357 -0.4525
The Operative (Challenge) 28 75.00% 14.86% 0.10836 -0.239 0.7111

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero/Villain Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 9 77.78% +8.93% 0.56286
4 22 54.55% -22.66% 0.01128
5 94 81.91% -0.45% 0.90866

Ermine (Ultimate)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Difference
Absolute Zero 7 42.86% -25.40% 0.14873 -0.6611 0.066
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 7 71.43% 1.16% 0.94664 -0.1175 0.0842
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 1 0.00% -68.93% 0.13633 -0.3895 0.1036
Akash'Thriya 1 0.00% -70.59% 0.12131 -0.1425 -0.4075
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 2 50.00% -19.79% 0.54209 -0.1328 -0.5605
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 2 100.00% 30.60% 0.34766 0.2059 0.4826
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 6 83.33% 13.43% 0.47311 0.4063 0.4595
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 2 100.00% 30.31% 0.35094 0.1161 0.1863
Benchmark 1 0.00% -69.42% 0.13188 -0.295 -0.346
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 11 90.91% 21.02% 0.12853 0.4354 -0.06
Bunker 2 0.00% -68.33% 0.03778 -0.5206 0.2362
Bunker: Freedom Five 9 77.78% 8.01% 0.60088 0.0452 -0.0834
Bunker: G.I. 1 100.00% 31.87% 0.49398 0.0394 0.5824
Captain Cosmic: Requital 3 100.00% 30.56% 0.25053 0.5118 0.5156
Chrono-Ranger 4 100.00% 30.05% 0.18988 0.3084 0.2777
Dr. Medico 9 77.78% 7.41% 0.62655 0.0545 -0.0935
Expatriette 1 0.00% -68.92% 0.13644 -0.6438 -0.1251
Fanatic 10 60.00% -9.39% 0.51926 0.1347 0.2868
Fanatic: Prime Warden 11 100.00% 31.53% 0.0244 0.7452 0.7228
Fanatic: Redeemer 5 40.00% -29.20% 0.15729 -0.7142 -0.5819
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 37.31% 0.44047 0.0942 0.4539
Guise 5 60.00% -9.20% 0.6559 0.3097 0.7261
Guise: Completionist 1 100.00% 31.17% 0.50094 0.0769 0.5182
Guise: Santa 2 100.00% 32.66% 0.32468 0.3833 0.6942
Haka 13 76.92% 7.51% 0.55657 0.1763 0.2925
Haka: Eternal 1 100.00% 30.28% 0.50987 0.1839 0.1417
Haka: Prime Warden 2 100.00% 32.96% 0.32139 0.2216 0.2953
Haka: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 30.61% 0.50659 0.065 0.0943
Harpy 1 0.00% -69.40% 0.1321 -0.1289 0.1519
Harpy: Dark Watch 4 50.00% -18.00% 0.44034 0.0101 -0.1215
Idealist 1 100.00% 31.48% 0.49787 0.0826 0.4486
Idealist: Super Sentai 2 100.00% 30.72% 0.34631 0.195 0.5227
K.N.Y.F.E. 17 35.29% -34.12% 0.00226 -0.1923 0.1644
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 3 100.00% 30.81% 0.24779 0.2849 0.5382
La Comodora 7 57.14% -12.72% 0.46321 -0.7244 -0.7578
La Comodora: Black Spot 4 75.00% 5.48% 0.81181 0.0996 -0.0699
Legacy 74 74.32% 3.60% 0.49591 0.8088 0.0914
Legacy: Freedom Five 26 76.92% 4.39% 0.61601 0.6928 -0.2944
Legacy: Greatest 48 85.42% 14.66% 0.02552 1.3797 0.5694
Legacy: Young 9 44.44% -25.38% 0.09715 -0.1077 -0.7088
Lifeline 4 75.00% 5.32% 0.81688 0.4554 0.3306
Lifeline: Blood Mage 13 100.00% 29.42% 0.01991 1.047 0.6513
Luminary 14 78.57% 9.25% 0.45313 0.6279 0.6449
Luminary: Heroic 2 50.00% -19.78% 0.54243 -0.1553 -0.1608
Mainstay 10 70.00% 0.60% 0.96696 0.2469 0.2403
Mainstay: Road Warrior 4 50.00% -19.27% 0.4036 -0.1638 0.1035
Mr. Fixer 5 80.00% 10.64% 0.60576 -0.287 -0.0703
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 5 60.00% -4.06% 0.84978 0.1707 0.3247
Naturalist 21 38.10% -32.45% 0.0011 -0.1971 -0.3172
Naturalist: Hunted 13 76.92% 5.70% 0.64965 0.1689 -0.2436
NightMist 3 33.33% -36.04% 0.17566 -0.7017 -0.5008
NightMist: Dark Watch 2 100.00% 39.65% 0.25167 0.2429 1.0271
Omnitron-X 8 75.00% 5.56% 0.73268 -0.0853 -0.1554
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 1 0.00% -69.79% 0.12849 -0.2267 -0.3307
Parse 28 25.00% -44.28% 0.0 -0.912 -0.6239
Parse: Fugue State 10 80.00% 9.76% 0.49982 0.331 0.0013
Ra 39 64.10% -5.61% 0.44582 -0.4166 -0.2135
Ra: Setting Sun 28 89.29% 19.87% 0.02252 0.5318 0.2941
Scholar 41 82.93% 13.23% 0.06527 0.477 0.3046
Scholar: Of the Infinite 3 33.33% -36.79% 0.16381 -0.1267 -0.6561
Sentinels 21 42.86% -27.45% 0.00591 -0.1311 -0.3232
Sentinels: Adamant 3 100.00% 28.81% 0.27055 0.4538 -0.113
Setback 18 33.33% -35.27% 0.00126 -0.2049 -0.0486
Sky-Scraper 23 73.91% 4.52% 0.63824 0.0439 -0.0518
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 4 75.00% 5.34% 0.81645 0.2126 -0.0695
Stuntman 13 30.77% -38.63% 0.00251 -0.1836 -0.1919
Stuntman: Action Hero 36 72.22% 2.46% 0.74786 0.3165 -0.1695
Tachyon 2 0.00% -69.22% 0.03395 -0.5206 -0.2639
Tachyon: Freedom Five 5 60.00% -9.76% 0.63482 -0.17 -0.2294
Tachyon: Freedom Six 86 80.23% 6.86% 0.14991 0.4784 -0.2308
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 26 61.54% -8.86% 0.3221 0.2984 -0.2582
Tempest 55 74.55% 4.10% 0.50468 -0.2394 -0.3947
Tempest: Prime Warden 3 66.67% -3.42% 0.89716 -0.2877 -0.4102
Tempest: Xtreme PW 2 0.00% -69.40% 0.0332 -0.5682 -0.5448
Visionary 5 0.00% -69.39% 0.00076 -0.9104 -0.7814
Visionary: Dark 6 83.33% 13.78% 0.46331 -0.0444 -0.0167
Wraith 13 38.46% -30.98% 0.01531 -1.0225 -0.8881
Wraith: Freedom Five 9 77.78% 7.54% 0.62065 -0.055 -0.2727
Wraith: Freedom Six 3 66.67% -2.77% 0.91709 0.2729 0.3941
Wraith: Rook City 3 100.00% 30.59% 0.25016 0.1511 0.2968
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 8 87.50% 17.25% 0.28575 0.3471 -0.2128

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 6 66.67% -2.82% 0.88079 -0.2683 -0.5783
Dok'Thorath Capital 4 50.00% -18.92% 0.41354 -0.0399 0.2642
Fort Adamant 3 33.33% -36.31% 0.17138 -0.6275 -0.7978
Freedom Tower 35 60.00% -10.61% 0.16835 0.2544 0.074
Insula Primalis 12 50.00% -19.39% 0.14497 -0.7069 -0.1182
Madame Mittermeier's 1 0.00% -69.33% 0.1327 -0.2127 -0.0371
Maerynian Refuge 17 82.35% 12.84% 0.25015 0.4445 0.2676
Magmaria 11 45.45% -24.01% 0.08387 -0.4319 -0.5109
Megalopolis 2 0.00% -69.54% 0.03261 -0.4963 -0.2641
Mobile Defense Platform 17 94.12% 24.19% 0.02962 1.0641 0.9509
Mordengrad 4 50.00% -15.52% 0.51377 -0.4493 0.3826
Nexus of the Void 1 100.00% 27.87% 0.53417 0.1301 -0.393
Omnitron-IV 3 66.67% -2.13% 0.93666 -0.4266 0.0104
Pike Industrial Complex 3 100.00% 30.63% 0.2498 0.2866 0.4975
Realm of Discord 3 100.00% 30.04% 0.25642 0.5214 0.5707
Ruins of Atlantis 8 62.50% -2.98% 0.85919 0.0871 1.111
Silver Gulch 1883 12 33.33% -35.86% 0.00713 -0.4681 -0.0205
The Block 20 55.00% -14.95% 0.14478 -0.434 -0.462
The Celestial Tribunal 3 100.00% 30.82% 0.2477 0.2257 0.5511
The Court of Blood 1 100.00% 30.25% 0.51022 0.0434 0.1051
The Enclave of the Endlings 2 100.00% 29.70% 0.35796 0.1855 -0.0216
The Final Wasteland 17 94.12% 22.89% 0.03708 0.8665 0.4304
The Temple of Zhu Long 13 84.62% 14.64% 0.24935 0.6367 0.3943
Time Cataclysm 6 50.00% -19.40% 0.30239 0.1412 0.3219
Tomb of Anubis 1 100.00% 30.40% 0.50872 0.0666 0.3366
Wagner Mars Base 3 33.33% -36.20% 0.17307 -0.4266 -0.1584

Win Rate with Villains as Allies

Ally Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Ambuscade (Advanced) 1 100.00% 38.20% 0.43177 0.0381 1.3338
Ambuscade (Ultimate) 30 46.67% -11.80% 0.18979 -0.6476 0.4699
Baron Blade 4 50.00% -14.23% 0.55268 -0.4712 0.1607
Baron Blade (Advanced) 2 100.00% 36.12% 0.28761 0.1704 0.1286
Baron Blade (Ultimate) 81 70.37% 13.49% 0.01421 -0.2836 0.4767
Biomancer (Ultimate) 22 68.18% 11.04% 0.29551 -0.1732 0.4772
Bugbear (Ultimate) 19 68.42% 3.34% 0.76028 -0.1397 -0.0274
Citizens Hammer & Anvil 1 0.00% -69.35% 0.13255 -0.1289 -0.2208
Citizens Hammer & Anvil (Ultimate) 12 58.33% -0.02% 0.99885 -0.6086 0.4105
Friction 5 80.00% 11.38% 0.58332 0.447 0.4036
Friction (Ultimate) 107 69.16% 3.82% 0.40616 -0.0945 0.1352
Fright Train 7 85.71% 20.69% 0.2511 0.4912 0.6409
Fright Train (Challenge) 7 85.71% 16.13% 0.35355 0.4753 -0.4547
Fright Train (Ultimate) 87 75.86% 9.43% 0.0625 0.8664 0.6893
Greazer Clutch 6 66.67% -2.79% 0.88212 0.2265 -0.1875
Greazer Clutch (Ultimate) 41 68.29% 0.86% 0.90699 0.1974 -0.1485
La Capitan 3 100.00% 30.10% 0.25576 0.262 -0.2765
La Capitan (Ultimate) 31 80.65% 13.19% 0.11691 0.5204 0.2006
Miss Information 5 100.00% 31.50% 0.12947 0.3509 0.3226
Miss Information (Ultimate) 25 88.00% 21.98% 0.02032 0.5568 0.933
Plague Rat (Ultimate) 29 58.62% 3.64% 0.6936 -0.5925 0.5602
Proletariat 6 66.67% -2.79% 0.88211 -0.3181 -0.796
Proletariat (Ultimate) 85 68.24% 0.94% 0.85388 0.2408 0.3852
Sergeant Steel 1 0.00% -69.20% 0.1339 -0.1289 -0.239
Sergeant Steel (Ultimate) 31 64.52% 11.77% 0.18929 -0.2312 0.6217
The Operative 12 100.00% 30.47% 0.02184 0.995 0.4643
The Operative (Ultimate) 54 53.70% -4.49% 0.50325 -0.5989 -0.0624

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero/Villain Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 49 42.86% -22.24% 0.00109
4 32 50.00% -19.35% 0.01756
5 130 77.69% +7.56% 0.05953

Notes

Deviation

The difference between the actual win rate of this combination of elements and the win rates of each of those elements on their own, averaged. A positive value means that this combination results in a win more often than would be expected.

Chi-Square p-value

This is the significance value of a χ² test comparing the observed data and expected value. In most cases, this expected value is the mean of the win rates of each element. For team position, the expected value is an equal likelihood of winning in all positions. Lower p-values (no greater than 0.01) mean a greater likelihood that the difference is meaningful and not due to chance.

Logistic Regression Coefficient

Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game, considering only games when Ermine is present. The number on the right compares this model to the global one (counting all games); positive numbers suggests that this hero/villain/environment results in a win more often when Ermine is present than otherwise, and vice-versa.