Bugbear

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Difference
Absolute Zero 102 52.94% -17.92% 7e-05 -1.1416 -0.4145
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 156 73.08% -0.72% 0.83839 -0.3141 -0.1124
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 58 72.41% 0.64% 0.91399 -0.412 0.0811
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 34 70.59% 2.39% 0.76483 -0.4274 0.3645
Akash'Thriya 183 78.69% 4.34% 0.17858 0.8017 0.5367
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 165 69.09% -3.94% 0.25435 0.0053 -0.4224
Argent Adept 125 72.00% -0.21% 0.95893 -0.1452 0.2583
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 69 81.16% 8.72% 0.10483 0.0276 0.3043
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 106 90.57% 17.37% 5e-05 0.9652 1.0184
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 36 80.56% 7.69% 0.29932 0.4055 0.4756
Benchmark 112 75.89% 3.42% 0.41746 0.3347 0.2837
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 161 86.96% 13.79% 8e-05 0.6357 0.1403
Bunker 55 50.91% -20.05% 0.00106 -0.7997 -0.043
Bunker: Freedom Five 155 81.94% 8.94% 0.01215 0.0259 -0.1027
Bunker: Freedom Six 36 58.33% -11.11% 0.14799 -0.9062 -0.3922
Bunker: G.I. 28 75.00% 4.31% 0.61633 0.0567 0.5997
Bunker: Termi-Nation 28 71.43% 9.46% 0.30241 -0.3471 0.2251
Captain Cosmic 78 70.51% -1.27% 0.8037 -0.1619 0.4877
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 23 69.57% 15.31% 0.14061 -0.3348 0.7591
Captain Cosmic: Requital 55 72.73% 0.23% 0.96941 -0.3451 -0.3412
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 29 72.41% -0.03% 0.99722 -0.0874 0.155
Chrono-Ranger 267 67.04% -6.23% 0.02147 -0.7663 -0.797
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 52 67.31% -5.11% 0.40955 -0.6011 -0.4439
Dr. Medico 402 88.31% 14.35% 0.0 0.8387 0.6907
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 141 65.96% -7.26% 0.05145 -0.2506 -0.2485
Expatriette 217 58.06% -13.69% 1e-05 -0.5769 -0.0582
Expatriette: Dark Watch 685 24.09% -45.98% 0.0 -0.5473 -0.2268
Fanatic 219 77.63% 5.20% 0.08525 0.4765 0.6286
Fanatic: Prime Warden 100 93.00% 21.86% 0.0 1.1142 1.0918
Fanatic: Redeemer 97 63.92% -8.23% 0.07049 -0.4045 -0.2722
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 42 88.10% 23.81% 0.00128 0.491 0.8507
Guise 178 63.48% -8.67% 0.00989 -0.4236 -0.0072
Guise: Completionist 22 59.09% -12.53% 0.19217 -0.5554 -0.1141
Guise: Santa 66 83.33% 13.65% 0.01585 0.2803 0.5912
Haka 243 65.43% -7.02% 0.0143 -0.0462 0.07
Haka: Eternal 42 76.19% 3.28% 0.63282 -0.1155 -0.1577
Haka: Prime Warden 73 65.75% -3.56% 0.5096 -0.2141 -0.1404
Haka: Xtreme PW 99 75.76% 3.33% 0.45841 -0.5476 -0.5183
Harpy 127 68.50% -3.93% 0.32148 -0.165 0.1159
Harpy: Dark Watch 844 37.80% -32.73% 0.0 0.7488 0.6173
Idealist 197 82.74% 11.53% 0.00035 0.0332 0.3993
Idealist: Super Sentai 57 77.19% 4.93% 0.40569 -0.1093 0.2184
K.N.Y.F.E. 175 69.71% -2.75% 0.41602 -0.3381 0.0185
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 270 76.67% 4.53% 0.0971 0.1298 0.3831
La Comodora 111 82.88% 9.74% 0.02055 0.1344 0.1011
La Comodora: Black Spot 134 79.85% 7.23% 0.06038 0.0849 -0.0845
Legacy 849 88.10% 13.52% 0.0 1.0712 0.3538
Legacy: Freedom Five 227 92.51% 10.82% 2e-05 1.6662 0.679
Legacy: Greatest 323 88.85% 14.21% 0.0 1.6749 0.8646
Legacy: Young 187 91.44% 18.37% 0.0 1.496 0.895
Lifeline 193 84.97% 12.12% 0.00015 0.4591 0.3343
Lifeline: Blood Mage 377 90.19% 15.87% 0.0 0.6339 0.2382
Luminary 292 72.26% -0.07% 0.97839 0.0293 0.0464
Luminary: Heroic 100 82.00% 8.99% 0.04279 0.365 0.3595
Mainstay 229 73.80% 1.36% 0.64391 0.0932 0.0866
Mainstay: Road Warrior 87 77.01% 4.76% 0.32104 0.0207 0.2879
Mr. Fixer 301 70.43% -1.95% 0.44974 -0.1143 0.1024
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 698 25.36% -40.46% 0.0 0.2129 0.367
Naturalist 192 68.75% -5.52% 0.08004 -0.2939 -0.4141
Naturalist: Hunted 219 86.30% 10.70% 0.00023 0.8249 0.4123
NightMist 230 66.52% -5.88% 0.0461 -0.0884 0.1125
NightMist: Dark Watch 688 23.11% -38.61% 0.0 -0.8138 -0.0296
Omnitron-X 284 86.62% 14.13% 0.0 0.8291 0.759
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 79 75.95% 2.92% 0.55887 0.2548 0.1508
Parse 146 71.92% -0.35% 0.92491 -0.2937 -0.0056
Parse: Fugue State 209 87.56% 13.81% 1e-05 0.4195 0.0899
Ra 485 77.73% 4.83% 0.01676 -0.1352 0.0679
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 75 64.00% -8.24% 0.11121 0.0304 0.1954
Ra: Setting Sun 350 88.86% 16.39% 0.0 0.1934 -0.0442
Scholar 466 85.62% 12.74% 0.0 0.542 0.3697
Scholar: Of the Infinite 226 77.43% 3.88% 0.18624 0.941 0.4117
Sentinels 218 92.20% 18.35% 0.0 1.2615 1.0693
Sentinels: Adamant 106 87.74% 12.19% 0.00349 0.8839 0.3171
Setback 204 64.22% -7.11% 0.02475 -0.1687 -0.0124
Setback: Dark Watch 677 21.12% -41.62% 0.0 -0.991 -0.247
Sky-Scraper 252 89.29% 16.85% 0.0 0.9927 0.897
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 104 78.85% 6.01% 0.168 0.1699 -0.1123
Stuntman 202 78.71% 6.27% 0.04594 -0.1965 -0.2048
Stuntman: Action Hero 227 89.43% 16.45% 0.0 1.0131 0.5272
Tachyon 68 57.35% -14.82% 0.00637 -0.8407 -0.584
Tachyon: Freedom Five 82 76.83% 3.86% 0.43151 -0.286 -0.3455
Tachyon: Freedom Six 428 92.29% 9.10% 0.0 0.9016 0.1923
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 387 89.15% 15.13% 0.0 0.9659 0.4092
Tempest 802 86.66% 12.58% 0.0 0.4461 0.2908
Tempest: Freedom Six 41 78.05% 11.99% 0.10499 0.4098 0.417
Tempest: Prime Warden 77 88.31% 14.83% 0.0032 0.6252 0.5027
Tempest: Xtreme PW 68 82.35% 9.92% 0.06725 0.3108 0.3342
Unity 124 74.19% 2.04% 0.61189 -0.1737 0.3176
Unity: Freedom Six 33 75.76% 3.36% 0.66563 0.0813 0.4062
Unity: Termi-Nation 89 79.78% 8.46% 0.07765 0.2315 0.3684
Visionary 102 67.65% -4.78% 0.2796 0.2646 0.3936
Visionary: Dark 56 75.00% 2.33% 0.69544 -0.2594 -0.2318
Visionary: Unleashed 186 75.81% 2.62% 0.42056 -0.4824 -0.4874
Wraith 229 73.36% 0.86% 0.77036 -0.4924 -0.358
Wraith: Freedom Five 96 84.38% 10.64% 0.01781 0.1174 -0.1003
Wraith: Freedom Six 130 77.69% 5.20% 0.18421 -0.4172 -0.2961
Wraith: Rook City 78 62.82% -9.63% 0.05701 -0.4843 -0.3386
Writhe 144 75.00% 2.53% 0.4969 -0.2081 -0.2155
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 173 86.71% 12.96% 0.00011 1.02 0.46

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 735 28.30% -44.27% 0.0 -0.0097 -0.3197
Dok'Thorath Capital 196 68.37% -3.39% 0.29156 -0.2374 0.0667
Fort Adamant 125 83.20% 10.40% 0.00897 0.2741 0.1038
Freedom Tower 191 75.39% 1.02% 0.74764 -0.3708 -0.5512
Insula Primalis 157 70.70% -1.73% 0.62847 -0.5333 0.0554
Madame Mittermeier's 124 66.94% -5.40% 0.17861 -0.2133 -0.0377
Maerynian Refuge 123 89.43% 16.82% 3e-05 0.7802 0.6033
Magmaria 105 83.81% 11.28% 0.0096 0.1789 0.1
Megalopolis 148 62.16% -10.49% 0.00422 -1.0139 -0.7817
Mobile Defense Platform 151 76.82% 3.59% 0.3195 -0.3004 -0.4136
Mordengrad 110 78.18% 10.69% 0.01664 -0.2563 0.5756
Nexus of the Void 194 73.71% -6.57% 0.02146 0.4204 -0.1026
Omnitron-IV 77 92.21% 20.63% 6e-05 1.1132 1.5502
Pike Industrial Complex 97 79.38% 6.98% 0.12405 0.2439 0.4547
Realm of Discord 124 86.29% 13.00% 0.00107 0.5906 0.6398
Rook City 76 67.11% 6.25% 0.26428 -0.3462 0.7858
Ruins of Atlantis 108 75.93% 8.48% 0.05998 -0.2572 0.7667
Silver Gulch 1883 135 78.52% 6.37% 0.09858 -0.1507 0.2969
The Block 121 80.99% 7.72% 0.05499 0.3127 0.2847
The Celestial Tribunal 137 70.80% -1.33% 0.72928 -0.5022 -0.1767
The Court of Blood 169 75.74% 2.77% 0.41717 -0.0273 0.0344
The Enclave of the Endlings 184 85.87% 12.03% 0.0002 0.5244 0.3173
The Final Wasteland 192 89.06% 13.44% 1e-05 0.8889 0.4527
The Temple of Zhu Long 178 88.20% 14.90% 1e-05 0.7374 0.495
Time Cataclysm 139 82.73% 10.29% 0.00662 0.6949 0.8756
Tomb of Anubis 110 84.55% 11.80% 0.00543 0.6083 0.8782
Wagner Mars Base 93 79.57% 6.93% 0.13387 0.0212 0.2894

Win Rate with Villains as Allies

Ally Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Ambuscade 750 75.33% 7.47% 1e-05 -0.5374 -0.0126
Baron Blade 886 78.89% 12.89% 0.0 -0.1668 0.4651
Baron Blade (Advanced) 1 0.00% -65.61% 0.16722 -0.6077 -0.6495
Baron Blade (Ultimate) 3 0.00% -58.02% 0.04172 -1.052 -0.2917
Biomancer 1703 55.55% -13.36% 0.0 -0.1264 0.0662
Citizens Hammer & Anvil 864 78.70% 6.34% 3e-05 -0.0203 -0.1122
Ermine 1372 52.55% -17.19% 0.0 0.0927 0.0669
Ermine (Challenge) 1 100.00% 27.75% 0.53542 0.0647 -0.0696
Friction 808 80.82% 9.48% 0.0 0.244 0.2006
Friction (Ultimate) 2 100.00% 32.72% 0.32398 0.0336 0.2633
Fright Train 1751 57.22% -9.69% 0.0 0.1776 0.3272
Fright Train (Advanced) 2 50.00% -11.30% 0.74272 -0.543 -0.2917
Fright Train (Challenge) 1 0.00% -72.71% 0.10263 -0.3046 -1.2347
Fright Train (Ultimate) 1 100.00% 31.43% 0.4984 0.0657 -0.1115
Greazer Clutch 911 82.77% 10.25% 0.0 0.3184 -0.0956
Greazer Clutch (Ultimate) 1 100.00% 30.19% 0.51076 0.1738 -0.1721
La Capitan 832 82.57% 9.37% 0.0 0.7884 0.2499
La Capitan (Advanced) 1 100.00% 32.49% 0.48787 0.1721 -0.0535
Miss Information 834 85.73% 14.54% 0.0 0.5223 0.494
Plague Rat 1663 52.38% -12.01% 0.0 -0.4078 0.2409
Proletariat 1035 84.35% 11.83% 0.0 0.677 0.1991
Proletariat (Advanced) 3 66.67% -1.31% 0.96118 -0.5741 -0.5764
Proletariat (Ultimate) 1 100.00% 30.37% 0.50901 0.0647 0.209
Sergeant Steel 855 81.40% 9.25% 0.0 0.0398 -0.0703
Sergeant Steel (Ultimate) 1 100.00% 46.30% 0.35315 0.1412 0.9941
The Operative 1187 80.62% 7.99% 0.0 0.5776 0.047
The Operative (Advanced) 2 100.00% 28.54% 0.37145 0.3594 -0.1288
The Operative (Ultimate) 1 100.00% 40.58% 0.40855 0.1043 0.6408

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero/Villain Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 489 61.35% -5.65% 0.00792
4 904 73.23% +0.86% 0.56428
5 2947 70.00% -3.55% 1e-05

Bugbear (Advanced)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Difference
Absolute Zero 5 40.00% -20.06% 0.35985 -0.162 0.5651
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 2 50.00% -11.12% 0.74696 0.0259 0.2276
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 1 0.00% -58.76% 0.23257 -0.2414 0.5504
Akash'Thriya 7 57.14% -4.13% 0.82242 -0.0971 -0.3621
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 18 27.78% -33.10% 0.004 -0.2128 -0.6405
Argent Adept 1 100.00% 39.41% 0.41999 0.0623 0.4658
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 30 36.67% -24.01% 0.0071 -0.1352 0.1414
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 19 26.32% -34.62% 0.00198 -0.7477 -0.6945
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 39.17% 0.42226 0.3525 0.4226
Benchmark 4 75.00% 14.31% 0.55791 0.202 0.151
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 7 71.43% 10.50% 0.56911 0.3805 -0.1149
Bunker 1 100.00% 39.91% 0.41514 0.0388 0.7956
Bunker: Freedom Five 2 100.00% 39.13% 0.25684 0.2289 0.1003
Bunker: G.I. 3 33.33% -26.65% 0.34619 -0.3692 0.1737
Bunker: Termi-Nation 3 0.00% -54.85% 0.05625 -0.5616 0.0106
Captain Cosmic 2 50.00% -10.43% 0.7629 -0.1058 0.5438
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 13 23.08% -25.83% 0.06241 -0.4868 0.6071
Captain Cosmic: Requital 6 66.67% 5.97% 0.76473 0.1802 0.1841
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 2 100.00% 39.32% 0.25495 0.1329 0.3754
Chrono-Ranger 31 38.71% -22.25% 0.0111 -0.5864 -0.6171
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 13 23.08% -37.59% 0.00552 -0.0885 0.0687
Dr. Medico 17 88.24% 27.07% 0.02204 0.4677 0.3197
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 2 100.00% 39.06% 0.25759 0.4148 0.4168
Expatriette 2 100.00% 39.58% 0.2524 0.1314 0.6501
Expatriette: Dark Watch 5 40.00% -19.70% 0.36917 -0.3378 -0.0173
Fanatic 5 80.00% 19.33% 0.37635 0.346 0.4982
Fanatic: Prime Warden 18 38.89% -21.28% 0.06509 -0.336 -0.3584
Fanatic: Redeemer 17 29.41% -31.16% 0.00856 -0.7642 -0.6319
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 6 83.33% 26.91% 0.18376 0.3728 0.7325
Guise 2 0.00% -60.57% 0.07962 -0.4667 -0.0503
Guise: Completionist 1 100.00% 39.63% 0.41782 0.127 0.5683
Guise: Santa 19 21.05% -38.47% 0.00064 -0.8403 -0.5294
Haka 4 75.00% 14.32% 0.55774 -0.0162 0.1
Haka: Eternal 4 75.00% 14.16% 0.56189 -0.0302 -0.0724
Haka: Prime Warden 16 37.50% -21.84% 0.07536 -0.2055 -0.1317
Harpy 3 100.00% 39.32% 0.16321 0.2034 0.4842
Harpy: Dark Watch 8 87.50% 27.59% 0.11126 0.1539 0.0223
Idealist 7 85.71% 25.51% 0.16788 0.3574 0.7235
Idealist: Super Sentai 2 0.00% -60.61% 0.07936 -0.4973 -0.1695
K.N.Y.F.E. 5 80.00% 19.31% 0.37661 0.4688 0.8254
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 6 66.67% 6.10% 0.75989 -0.2156 0.0377
La Comodora 17 41.18% -19.74% 0.09527 0.4212 0.3878
La Comodora: Black Spot 2 100.00% 39.26% 0.25556 0.3544 0.1849
Legacy 68 61.76% 0.43% 0.94232 0.1946 -0.5228
Legacy: Freedom Five 14 92.86% 30.74% 0.01772 0.7798 -0.2074
Legacy: Greatest 15 80.00% 18.65% 0.13801 0.2036 -0.6066
Legacy: Young 4 25.00% -35.90% 0.14121 -0.3636 -0.9647
Lifeline 1 100.00% 39.18% 0.42223 0.1701 0.0452
Lifeline: Blood Mage 18 83.33% 22.07% 0.05464 0.7723 0.3766
Luminary 17 47.06% -13.58% 0.25174 -0.3587 -0.3417
Luminary: Heroic 11 72.73% 11.85% 0.42056 0.2435 0.2381
Mainstay 4 75.00% 14.32% 0.55757 0.2545 0.248
Mainstay: Road Warrior 2 100.00% 39.39% 0.25424 0.2106 0.4778
Mr. Fixer 4 100.00% 39.34% 0.10724 0.4615 0.6782
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 4 25.00% -32.40% 0.19012 -0.9344 -0.7804
Naturalist 7 42.86% -18.40% 0.3177 -0.6291 -0.7493
Naturalist: Hunted 25 40.00% -21.57% 0.02665 -0.2719 -0.6844
NightMist 9 22.22% -38.44% 0.01823 -0.7498 -0.5489
NightMist: Dark Watch 6 50.00% -4.68% 0.818 -0.1767 0.6075
Omnitron-X 15 60.00% -0.70% 0.95585 -0.4255 -0.4956
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 2 0.00% -60.88% 0.07768 -0.4574 -0.5614
Parse 8 75.00% 14.38% 0.40503 -0.0804 0.2077
Parse: Fugue State 10 100.00% 38.89% 0.01164 1.0167 0.6871
Ra 12 83.33% 22.49% 0.11042 0.3128 0.5158
Ra: Setting Sun 36 50.00% -10.69% 0.18915 -0.1466 -0.3843
Scholar 26 76.92% 16.09% 0.09279 0.3571 0.1848
Scholar: Of the Infinite 3 100.00% 38.95% 0.16652 0.3416 -0.1877
Sentinels 5 60.00% -1.14% 0.95841 -0.1964 -0.3885
Sentinels: Adamant 5 60.00% -1.55% 0.94308 -0.0814 -0.6482
Setback 6 66.67% 6.42% 0.74805 -0.097 0.0593
Setback: Dark Watch 2 100.00% 44.61% 0.2044 0.222 0.966
Sky-Scraper 13 69.23% 8.55% 0.52775 0.219 0.1234
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 7 100.00% 39.18% 0.0337 0.5645 0.2824
Stuntman 22 36.36% -24.31% 0.01956 0.0367 0.0283
Stuntman: Action Hero 11 72.73% 11.86% 0.42021 0.1668 -0.3191
Tachyon 4 75.00% 14.42% 0.55516 -0.2181 0.0386
Tachyon: Freedom Five 20 30.00% -30.86% 0.00468 -0.4931 -0.5525
Tachyon: Freedom Six 41 95.12% 32.71% 2e-05 1.808 1.0988
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 9 55.56% -5.63% 0.72894 -0.1023 -0.659
Tempest 22 81.82% 20.61% 0.04722 0.2357 0.0803
Tempest: Prime Warden 16 31.25% -29.78% 0.01459 -0.3491 -0.4717
Tempest: Xtreme PW 5 40.00% -20.68% 0.34386 -0.1852 -0.1618
Unity: Freedom Six 1 100.00% 39.34% 0.42066 0.0366 0.3616
Visionary 5 80.00% 19.32% 0.37637 0.177 0.306
Visionary: Dark 29 37.93% -22.83% 0.01181 -0.0325 -0.0048
Visionary: Unleashed 2 50.00% -10.94% 0.75127 0.1684 0.1634
Wraith 4 50.00% -10.70% 0.66125 -0.2954 -0.1609
Wraith: Freedom Five 7 57.14% -3.96% 0.82983 0.0823 -0.1355
Wraith: Freedom Six 18 5.56% -55.14% 0.0 -1.0151 -0.894
Wraith: Rook City 4 100.00% 39.32% 0.10742 0.2829 0.4286
Writhe 31 41.94% -18.75% 0.03253 0.3688 0.3613
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 9 100.00% 38.89% 0.0167 0.9459 0.3859

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 4 100.00% 39.28% 0.10773 0.3514 0.0413
Dok'Thorath Capital 1 0.00% -60.42% 0.2166 -0.0955 0.2086
Fort Adamant 5 100.00% 39.19% 0.07261 0.6397 0.4694
Freedom Tower 25 44.00% -17.28% 0.07605 0.5137 0.3332
Insula Primalis 10 30.00% -30.67% 0.04706 -0.5502 0.0385
Madame Mittermeier's 7 85.71% 25.07% 0.17453 0.4272 0.6027
Maerynian Refuge 2 100.00% 39.26% 0.25553 0.3849 0.208
Magmaria 4 75.00% 14.29% 0.55843 0.1893 0.1104
Megalopolis 3 66.67% 5.91% 0.83384 0.1784 0.4106
Mobile Defense Platform 3 33.33% -27.62% 0.32687 -0.4916 -0.6048
Mordengrad 6 50.00% -8.37% 0.6773 -0.8505 -0.0186
Nexus of the Void 25 8.00% -53.95% 0.0 -0.9859 -1.5089
Omnitron-IV 2 100.00% 39.65% 0.2517 0.1916 0.6285
Pike Industrial Complex 7 71.43% 10.76% 0.55991 -0.2849 -0.074
Realm of Discord 8 37.50% -23.47% 0.17361 -0.5302 -0.481
Rook City 1 100.00% 45.95% 0.35655 0.0095 1.1415
Ruins of Atlantis 11 63.64% 5.29% 0.72215 -0.3609 0.663
Silver Gulch 1883 3 33.33% -27.24% 0.33436 -0.3804 0.0672
The Block 8 75.00% 14.04% 0.41567 -0.2488 -0.2768
The Celestial Tribunal 5 40.00% -20.56% 0.34674 -0.8207 -0.4953
The Court of Blood 48 37.50% -23.36% 0.00091 -0.4416 -0.3799
The Enclave of the Endlings 5 100.00% 38.87% 0.0746 0.7495 0.5425
The Final Wasteland 5 100.00% 38.43% 0.07729 0.6921 0.2559
The Temple of Zhu Long 16 81.25% 20.28% 0.09636 0.3604 0.118
Time Cataclysm 6 100.00% 39.32% 0.04863 0.6573 0.838
Tomb of Anubis 4 50.00% -10.79% 0.65863 -0.4483 -0.1783
Wagner Mars Base 2 50.00% -10.75% 0.75555 0.1268 0.395

Win Rate with Villains as Allies

Ally Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Ambuscade 2 100.00% 41.42% 0.23441 0.1211 0.646
Ambuscade (Advanced) 59 50.85% -4.93% 0.4462 -0.749 0.5467
Baron Blade 1 100.00% 42.49% 0.39003 0.0927 0.7247
Baron Blade (Advanced) 42 54.76% -2.51% 0.74262 0.0302 -0.0116
Baron Blade (Challenge) 1 100.00% 61.52% 0.20612 0.0753 0.9421
Baron Blade (Ultimate) 1 100.00% 48.08% 0.33591 0.0284 0.7887
Biomancer (Advanced) 81 48.15% -7.19% 0.19331 -0.4313 -0.1162
Biomancer (Ultimate) 1 100.00% 47.86% 0.33802 0.0661 0.7165
Citizens Hammer & Anvil (Advanced) 55 50.91% -6.13% 0.3581 -0.7249 0.2811
Citizens Hammer & Anvil (Challenge) 1 0.00% -47.55% 0.34105 -0.1684 0.9945
Ermine (Advanced) 42 47.62% -8.84% 0.24769 -0.5998 0.0569
Friction 1 100.00% 39.74% 0.4167 0.1683 0.1249
Friction (Advanced) 39 48.72% -7.51% 0.34444 0.0338 0.542
Friction (Ultimate) 1 100.00% 41.74% 0.39727 0.0661 0.2958
Fright Train 1 100.00% 41.95% 0.39528 0.3219 0.4715
Fright Train (Advanced) 93 46.24% -8.14% 0.11489 -0.074 0.1773
Fright Train (Ultimate) 1 100.00% 41.04% 0.40411 0.0661 -0.111
Greazer Clutch (Advanced) 50 66.00% 7.87% 0.25931 0.4235 0.2204
La Capitan 2 100.00% 39.06% 0.25753 0.228 -0.3105
La Capitan (Advanced) 39 74.36% 15.97% 0.04303 0.9012 0.6757
Miss Information 1 100.00% 39.81% 0.41609 0.1527 0.1243
Miss Information (Advanced) 44 59.09% -0.61% 0.93403 -0.006 -0.2566
Miss Information (Challenge) 1 100.00% 39.34% 0.42067 0.0753 -0.1138
Plague Rat (Advanced) 25 76.00% 20.61% 0.03816 0.2339 0.801
Proletariat (Advanced) 49 57.14% -1.50% 0.83095 0.3234 0.3211
Sergeant Steel (Advanced) 51 56.86% -2.48% 0.71801 -0.5854 -0.6992
Sergeant Steel (Challenge) 1 100.00% 47.32% 0.34324 0.0284 -0.3766
Sergeant Steel (Ultimate) 2 50.00% 1.55% 0.96505 -0.093 0.7598
The Operative 2 100.00% 39.25% 0.25561 0.321 -0.2097
The Operative (Advanced) 44 70.45% 10.15% 0.16876 0.8433 0.3551
The Operative (Ultimate) 1 100.00% 47.01% 0.34624 0.0661 0.6026

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero/Villain Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 70 37.14% -20.95% 0.00038
4 38 42.11% -18.55% 0.01925
5 120 65.83% +4.78% 0.28264

Bugbear (Challenge)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Difference
Absolute Zero 1 100.00% 43.66% 0.37867 0.071 0.7981
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 1 0.00% -55.25% 0.26654 -0.3231 0.4688
Akash'Thriya 1 100.00% 42.65% 0.38845 0.1964 -0.0686
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 4 100.00% 42.98% 0.08252 0.5646 0.1369
Argent Adept 1 100.00% 43.21% 0.38301 0.0727 0.4762
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 49 20.41% -36.45% 0.0 -0.7682 -0.4915
Benchmark 1 100.00% 43.14% 0.38378 0.0438 -0.0072
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 6 100.00% 42.94% 0.0336 0.3522 -0.1432
Bunker: Freedom Five 3 66.67% 9.65% 0.73557 0.0606 -0.068
Bunker: Termi-Nation 2 50.00% -1.83% 0.95858 -0.0335 0.5387
Captain Cosmic 1 100.00% 43.35% 0.3817 0.1626 0.8123
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 1 0.00% -46.44% 0.35177 -0.2589 0.8351
Chrono-Ranger 1 100.00% 42.91% 0.38595 0.0696 0.039
Dr. Medico 5 80.00% 22.74% 0.30402 -0.0717 -0.2197
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 4 75.00% 17.92% 0.4689 0.0346 0.0366
Expatriette 1 0.00% -56.64% 0.25304 -0.3578 0.1609
Expatriette: Dark Watch 1 100.00% 43.96% 0.37577 0.1626 0.4832
Fanatic 2 50.00% -6.85% 0.84488 -0.161 -0.0089
Fanatic: Redeemer 2 50.00% -6.77% 0.84681 -0.0905 0.0418
Haka 5 60.00% 3.14% 0.88725 -0.2215 -0.1053
Haka: Prime Warden 2 50.00% -5.73% 0.87034 0.0038 0.0775
Haka: Xtreme PW 3 0.00% -56.85% 0.04679 -0.4682 -0.4389
Harpy 1 0.00% -56.85% 0.251 -0.4574 -0.1766
Harpy: Dark Watch 4 75.00% 18.79% 0.44879 0.2422 0.1106
Idealist 1 100.00% 43.54% 0.37984 0.1236 0.4897
K.N.Y.F.E. 1 100.00% 43.14% 0.38375 0.1964 0.5531
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 2 100.00% 43.24% 0.21712 0.1448 0.3981
La Comodora: Black Spot 1 100.00% 43.09% 0.38419 0.2764 0.1069
Legacy 21 71.43% 14.03% 0.19351 0.2281 -0.4893
Legacy: Freedom Five 6 83.33% 25.31% 0.2091 0.2578 -0.7294
Legacy: Greatest 6 100.00% 42.59% 0.03487 0.722 -0.0883
Legacy: Young 1 100.00% 42.96% 0.38545 0.1168 -0.4843
Lifeline 5 100.00% 43.02% 0.052 0.5796 0.4547
Lifeline: Blood Mage 3 100.00% 42.66% 0.13519 0.3258 -0.0699
Luminary: Heroic 4 25.00% -32.02% 0.19583 -0.4893 -0.4947
Mainstay 4 100.00% 43.15% 0.08146 0.7022 0.6956
Mr. Fixer 1 100.00% 43.16% 0.38352 0.2428 0.4595
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 1 0.00% -54.07% 0.27793 -0.2863 -0.1322
Naturalist 5 40.00% -17.33% 0.43333 -0.1522 -0.2724
Naturalist: Hunted 7 85.71% 28.13% 0.13208 0.3391 -0.0734
NightMist 2 100.00% 43.16% 0.21786 0.2832 0.4841
NightMist: Dark Watch 3 33.33% -18.35% 0.52485 -0.2862 0.4981
Omnitron-X 3 100.00% 43.13% 0.13147 0.2694 0.1993
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 2 50.00% -7.02% 0.84096 -0.2655 -0.3695
Parse: Fugue State 4 100.00% 42.79% 0.08368 0.5621 0.2325
Ra 10 70.00% 13.01% 0.40597 -0.3563 -0.1533
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 3 33.33% -23.46% 0.41203 -0.5764 -0.4114
Ra: Setting Sun 58 25.86% -31.00% 0.0 -0.6572 -0.8949
Scholar 54 27.78% -29.20% 1e-05 -0.0097 -0.1821
Scholar: Of the Infinite 2 0.00% -57.16% 0.10234 -0.4278 -0.9571
Sentinels 4 50.00% -7.23% 0.76998 -0.2532 -0.4454
Sentinels: Adamant 1 0.00% -57.57% 0.24405 -0.3006 -0.8675
Setback 1 0.00% -56.50% 0.25444 -0.2863 -0.13
Setback: Dark Watch 1 0.00% -52.31% 0.29492 -0.2763 0.4678
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 6 33.33% -23.64% 0.24227 -0.7225 -1.0046
Stuntman: Action Hero 6 100.00% 42.99% 0.03341 0.5657 0.0798
Tachyon: Freedom Six 22 86.36% 28.09% 0.00754 0.8828 0.1736
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 5 60.00% 2.73% 0.90188 -0.0085 -0.5652
Tempest 12 91.67% 34.38% 0.01606 0.4711 0.3157
Tempest: Freedom Six 1 0.00% -54.20% 0.27668 -0.4196 -0.4123
Tempest: Xtreme PW 2 50.00% -6.85% 0.84482 -0.169 -0.1456
Unity 1 100.00% 43.23% 0.38284 0.0821 0.5735
Unity: Freedom Six 4 100.00% 43.16% 0.08138 0.6332 0.9582
Visionary 1 100.00% 43.15% 0.38367 0.1811 0.3102
Visionary: Dark 8 50.00% -6.92% 0.69254 -0.088 -0.0604
Visionary: Unleashed 5 100.00% 42.93% 0.05244 0.7165 0.7115
Wraith: Freedom Five 2 100.00% 42.79% 0.22126 0.263 0.0453
Wraith: Freedom Six 2 0.00% -56.87% 0.10438 -0.4278 -0.3067
Wraith: Rook City 3 33.33% -23.52% 0.41068 -0.3911 -0.2454
Writhe 3 66.67% 9.80% 0.73176 0.0158 0.0084
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 3 66.67% 9.46% 0.7406 0.0609 -0.499

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 5 80.00% 23.11% 0.29679 0.2733 -0.0368
Dok'Thorath Capital 2 50.00% -6.64% 0.84963 -0.0099 0.2942
Fort Adamant 3 66.67% 9.71% 0.73419 0.1349 -0.0355
Freedom Tower 3 100.00% 42.65% 0.13529 0.2428 0.0624
Insula Primalis 4 25.00% -31.85% 0.19837 -0.1844 0.4043
Maerynian Refuge 2 50.00% -6.90% 0.84369 -0.0371 -0.214
Magmaria 1 100.00% 43.12% 0.38394 0.1873 0.1084
Megalopolis 1 0.00% -56.92% 0.2504 -0.5214 -0.2892
Mobile Defense Platform 4 100.00% 42.92% 0.08286 0.3072 0.194
Nexus of the Void 3 100.00% 42.10% 0.13967 0.3482 -0.1748
Omnitron-IV 53 26.42% -30.17% 1e-05 -0.1392 0.2977
Realm of Discord 2 50.00% -7.09% 0.83936 -0.1195 -0.0703
Silver Gulch 1883 4 50.00% -6.77% 0.78473 -0.3005 0.1471
The Block 4 100.00% 42.91% 0.08292 0.2196 0.1915
The Court of Blood 3 100.00% 42.99% 0.13254 0.4836 0.5453
The Enclave of the Endlings 2 0.00% -57.23% 0.10185 -0.4278 -0.6348
The Final Wasteland 2 50.00% -7.59% 0.82814 -0.1649 -0.6011
The Temple of Zhu Long 7 85.71% 28.62% 0.12608 0.3078 0.0654

Win Rate with Villains as Allies

Ally Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Ambuscade (Challenge) 16 62.50% 31.45% 0.00655 -0.149 1.4057
Ambuscade (Ultimate) 1 0.00% -50.36% 0.31385 -0.2863 0.8313
Baron Blade (Challenge) 12 66.67% 30.05% 0.03071 0.0266 0.8933
Biomancer (Challenge) 8 100.00% 67.35% 5e-05 0.7053 0.6015
Citizens Hammer & Anvil (Challenge) 17 64.71% 19.53% 0.10564 -0.1761 0.9868
Citizens Hammer & Anvil (Ultimate) 1 0.00% -50.28% 0.31461 -0.2863 0.7329
Ermine (Challenge) 10 80.00% 23.20% 0.13856 0.3761 0.2418
Friction 2 100.00% 43.50% 0.21468 0.3627 0.3193
Friction (Challenge) 11 81.82% 30.72% 0.04154 0.1579 0.3359
Fright Train 1 100.00% 45.36% 0.36218 0.1236 0.2733
Fright Train (Challenge) 16 62.50% 5.57% 0.653 -0.431 -1.3611
Greazer Clutch (Challenge) 64 35.94% 1.38% 0.81663 0.3316 0.9081
La Capitan (Challenge) 15 60.00% 3.13% 0.80668 -0.1756 -0.6772
Miss Information (Challenge) 14 85.71% 28.87% 0.02918 0.5044 0.3153
Plague Rat (Challenge) 13 53.85% 22.25% 0.08442 -0.3936 0.9681
Proletariat (Challenge) 71 36.62% -16.54% 0.00521 -0.2692 -0.1911
Sergeant Steel (Advanced) 1 0.00% -55.74% 0.26176 -0.2799 -0.3938
Sergeant Steel (Challenge) 9 55.56% 5.67% 0.73375 -0.3056 -0.7106
The Operative 2 100.00% 43.09% 0.2185 0.3627 -0.1679
The Operative (Challenge) 17 82.35% 32.41% 0.00752 0.4041 1.3541
The Operative (Ultimate) 1 0.00% -50.17% 0.3157 -0.2799 0.2565

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero/Villain Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 57 28.07% -26.60% 5e-05
4 12 58.33% +1.50% 0.91657
5 38 73.68% +16.52% 0.03957

Bugbear (Ultimate)

Villain Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Difference
Absolute Zero 5 0.00% -67.86% 0.00116 -0.7003 0.0268
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 3 33.33% -36.45% 0.16915 -0.5007 -0.299
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 2 0.00% -65.79% 0.04988 -0.4846 0.3072
Akash'Thriya 4 75.00% 4.91% 0.83003 0.0462 -0.2188
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 5 80.00% 10.67% 0.60487 0.3758 -0.052
Argent Adept 2 100.00% 31.20% 0.34092 0.1121 0.5156
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 2 100.00% 31.05% 0.34262 0.3202 0.5969
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 5 60.00% -9.43% 0.64718 -0.1668 -0.1136
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 5 80.00% 10.77% 0.60172 -0.2433 -0.1732
Benchmark 3 33.33% -35.64% 0.18205 -0.4902 -0.5412
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 3 100.00% 30.58% 0.25029 0.3516 -0.1438
Bunker 3 100.00% 32.07% 0.23397 0.3401 1.0968
Bunker: Freedom Five 1 100.00% 30.69% 0.50575 0.0721 -0.0565
Bunker: G.I. 3 100.00% 32.27% 0.23188 0.1573 0.7002
Bunker: Termi-Nation 3 0.00% -60.34% 0.03264 -0.5915 -0.0193
Captain Cosmic: Requital 2 100.00% 31.01% 0.34307 0.2704 0.2742
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 31.04% 0.50224 0.2681 0.5105
Chrono-Ranger 6 33.33% -36.14% 0.05454 -0.6202 -0.6508
Dr. Medico 8 100.00% 30.12% 0.06331 0.3187 0.1707
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 1 100.00% 30.55% 0.50715 0.1482 0.1502
Expatriette 3 33.33% -35.16% 0.18983 -0.4122 0.1066
Expatriette: Dark Watch 1 0.00% -67.26% 0.15172 -0.2816 0.039
Fanatic 5 80.00% 11.05% 0.59325 0.5256 0.6777
Fanatic: Prime Warden 13 84.62% 16.55% 0.20048 0.5038 0.4814
Fanatic: Redeemer 15 20.00% -48.76% 5e-05 -0.4127 -0.2804
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 4 75.00% 12.57% 0.6036 0.0697 0.4294
Guise 4 25.00% -43.76% 0.05896 -0.9922 -0.5758
Guise: Completionist 7 71.43% 3.02% 0.86333 0.1658 0.6071
Guise: Santa 1 100.00% 33.03% 0.4825 0.0371 0.348
Haka 14 57.14% -11.82% 0.33909 -0.9219 -0.8057
Haka: Prime Warden 3 100.00% 33.32% 0.22081 0.1828 0.2566
Haka: Xtreme PW 1 100.00% 31.05% 0.50214 0.1031 0.1324
Harpy: Dark Watch 6 50.00% -17.61% 0.35676 -0.0536 -0.1852
Idealist 2 100.00% 31.89% 0.33318 0.1695 0.5356
K.N.Y.F.E. 5 40.00% -28.97% 0.16146 -0.2257 0.131
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 2 100.00% 31.24% 0.34042 0.4802 0.7335
La Comodora 3 66.67% -2.73% 0.91824 -0.1481 -0.1815
La Comodora: Black Spot 6 66.67% -2.40% 0.89868 -0.153 -0.3225
Legacy 84 64.29% -5.92% 0.23515 0.1691 -0.5483
Legacy: Freedom Five 16 68.75% -3.14% 0.77997 -0.0104 -0.9976
Legacy: Greatest 41 85.37% 15.13% 0.03412 0.8472 0.037
Legacy: Young 5 60.00% -9.36% 0.64982 0.049 -0.552
Lifeline 5 60.00% -9.22% 0.65514 -0.074 -0.1989
Lifeline: Blood Mage 18 66.67% -3.41% 0.75238 0.2935 -0.1022
Luminary 17 29.41% -39.47% 0.00044 -0.2544 -0.2374
Luminary: Heroic 2 100.00% 30.68% 0.34675 0.254 0.2485
Mainstay 2 50.00% -18.95% 0.56244 -0.1664 -0.173
Mainstay: Road Warrior 1 0.00% -68.83% 0.1373 -0.4554 -0.1881
Mr. Fixer 5 20.00% -48.92% 0.01812 -0.4911 -0.2744
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 4 50.00% -13.77% 0.56657 -0.0416 0.1125
Naturalist 5 60.00% -10.05% 0.62381 0.175 0.0549
Naturalist: Hunted 17 64.71% -5.97% 0.58871 0.4513 0.0388
NightMist 6 66.67% -2.26% 0.9047 -0.0561 0.1449
NightMist: Dark Watch 1 0.00% -60.12% 0.21956 -0.2633 0.5209
Omnitron-X 8 62.50% -6.49% 0.69148 -0.1111 -0.1812
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 1 100.00% 30.67% 0.50599 0.0405 -0.0635
Parse 2 100.00% 31.16% 0.34137 0.1357 0.4239
Parse: Fugue State 6 83.33% 13.58% 0.46909 0.1988 -0.1308
Ra 24 70.83% 1.58% 0.86671 0.2639 0.4669
Ra: Setting Sun 36 61.11% -7.86% 0.30781 -0.3194 -0.557
Scholar 42 76.19% 6.95% 0.32884 0.0863 -0.086
Scholar: Of the Infinite 3 100.00% 30.35% 0.25286 0.6936 0.1643
Sentinels 2 100.00% 30.19% 0.35242 0.3436 0.1515
Sentinels: Adamant 2 100.00% 29.35% 0.36204 0.2357 -0.3311
Setback 1 100.00% 31.81% 0.49463 0.296 0.4523
Sky-Scraper 18 72.22% 3.27% 0.76413 -0.5287 -0.6244
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 2 100.00% 30.79% 0.34551 0.2987 0.0166
Stuntman 3 100.00% 31.05% 0.24514 0.5669 0.5586
Stuntman: Action Hero 18 94.44% 25.15% 0.02073 1.0015 0.5155
Tachyon: Freedom Five 2 0.00% -69.29% 0.03363 -0.1828 -0.2423
Tachyon: Freedom Six 88 71.59% -1.05% 0.82504 0.2208 -0.4885
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 13 76.92% 7.02% 0.58131 0.3467 -0.21
Tempest 59 62.71% -7.23% 0.22568 -0.4991 -0.6544
Tempest: Prime Warden 2 100.00% 30.39% 0.35004 0.0771 -0.0455
Tempest: Xtreme PW 3 100.00% 31.05% 0.24514 0.1741 0.1975
Unity 2 50.00% -18.76% 0.56695 -0.1966 0.2947
Visionary 6 33.33% -35.62% 0.05937 -0.5811 -0.4521
Visionary: Dark 9 33.33% -35.77% 0.02021 -0.3491 -0.3214
Visionary: Unleashed 3 0.00% -69.43% 0.00905 -0.7115 -0.7164
Wraith 8 50.00% -18.99% 0.24541 -0.9328 -0.7983
Wraith: Freedom Five 2 100.00% 30.25% 0.35167 0.2339 0.0162
Wraith: Freedom Six 2 100.00% 31.01% 0.34304 0.2493 0.3704
Wraith: Rook City 2 100.00% 31.04% 0.34272 0.2969 0.4426
Writhe 4 75.00% 6.02% 0.79449 0.2752 0.2678
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 9 88.89% 19.13% 0.21149 0.7021 0.1422

Villain Defeat Rate in Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Champion Studios 11 27.27% -41.76% 0.00274 -0.9396 -1.2496
Dok'Thorath Capital 2 50.00% -18.50% 0.57337 -0.2341 0.0699
Fort Adamant 3 100.00% 30.81% 0.24772 0.3299 0.1595
Freedom Tower 17 88.24% 18.13% 0.10244 0.5103 0.3299
Insula Primalis 11 63.64% -5.31% 0.70353 -0.6833 -0.0946
Madame Mittermeier's 2 100.00% 31.11% 0.34191 0.3384 0.514
Maerynian Refuge 11 36.36% -32.70% 0.01897 -1.4879 -1.6648
Magmaria 3 66.67% -2.35% 0.93 0.3194 0.2404
Megalopolis 1 100.00% 30.91% 0.50357 0.1656 0.3978
Mobile Defense Platform 20 65.00% -4.46% 0.66527 -0.2441 -0.3573
Mordengrad 2 50.00% -15.20% 0.65185 -0.3029 0.529
Nexus of the Void 2 100.00% 28.48% 0.37214 0.2398 -0.2832
Omnitron-IV 1 100.00% 31.63% 0.49642 0.2881 0.7251
Pike Industrial Complex 3 100.00% 31.07% 0.24488 0.2434 0.4542
Realm of Discord 1 0.00% -69.49% 0.13125 -0.4069 -0.3577
Rook City 2 50.00% -9.32% 0.78845 -0.0727 1.0593
Ruins of Atlantis 5 60.00% -5.16% 0.80859 0.0251 1.049
Silver Gulch 1883 8 50.00% -18.76% 0.25228 -0.403 0.0446
The Block 10 100.00% 30.52% 0.03609 0.7186 0.6906
The Celestial Tribunal 1 100.00% 31.25% 0.50017 0.0429 0.3684
The Court of Blood 7 85.71% 16.42% 0.34623 0.6917 0.7533
The Enclave of the Endlings 6 83.33% 13.52% 0.47053 0.1056 -0.1014
The Final Wasteland 9 100.00% 29.32% 0.05335 0.8706 0.4344
The Temple of Zhu Long 30 36.67% -32.83% 9e-05 -1.1502 -1.3925
Time Cataclysm 2 100.00% 31.04% 0.34268 0.3781 0.5588
Tomb of Anubis 2 100.00% 30.85% 0.34486 0.4126 0.6826
Wagner Mars Base 3 66.67% -2.42% 0.9278 0.234 0.5022

Win Rate with Villains as Allies

Ally Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Ambuscade (Ultimate) 41 58.54% 0.29% 0.97041 -0.9163 0.2012
Baron Blade 2 50.00% -13.94% 0.68149 -0.1199 0.512
Baron Blade (Ultimate) 36 63.89% 7.21% 0.38274 -0.6607 0.0996
Biomancer (Ultimate) 76 64.47% 7.53% 0.18499 -0.0856 0.5648
Citizens Hammer & Anvil 2 50.00% -18.90% 0.56355 -0.1574 -0.2493
Citizens Hammer & Anvil (Challenge) 1 0.00% -51.54% 0.30242 -0.3479 0.815
Citizens Hammer & Anvil (Ultimate) 59 50.85% -7.29% 0.25603 -0.4924 0.5268
Ermine 2 50.00% -17.01% 0.60888 -0.1667 -0.1925
Ermine (Ultimate) 19 68.42% 3.34% 0.76028 -0.3614 0.1347
Friction 5 80.00% 11.80% 0.57107 0.2919 0.2485
Friction (Ultimate) 16 87.50% 22.48% 0.05937 0.3911 0.6208
Fright Train 2 100.00% 35.28% 0.2964 0.1911 0.3408
Fright Train (Challenge) 6 66.67% -2.46% 0.89614 0.0549 -0.8751
Fright Train (Ultimate) 28 85.71% 19.63% 0.02825 0.8924 0.7153
Greazer Clutch 13 61.54% -7.47% 0.56039 0.0083 -0.4057
Greazer Clutch (Ultimate) 32 87.50% 20.44% 0.01391 0.893 0.5471
La Capitan 4 100.00% 30.56% 0.18453 0.4386 -0.0999
La Capitan (Ultimate) 43 67.44% 0.36% 0.95943 0.4425 0.1228
Miss Information 8 50.00% -18.09% 0.27219 -0.5582 -0.5865
Miss Information (Ultimate) 21 71.43% 5.74% 0.57938 -0.2034 0.1729
Plague Rat 9 55.56% -6.97% 0.66594 -0.3012 0.3475
Plague Rat (Ultimate) 30 66.67% 11.87% 0.19153 0.1909 1.3436
Proletariat 5 80.00% 10.99% 0.59506 0.4685 -0.0094
Proletariat (Ultimate) 28 78.57% 11.64% 0.1904 0.0887 0.233
Sergeant Steel 2 100.00% 31.24% 0.3405 0.3615 0.2515
Sergeant Steel (Ultimate) 52 53.85% 1.27% 0.8548 -0.3849 0.468
The Operative 17 76.47% 7.39% 0.50961 0.6634 0.1327
The Operative (Ultimate) 38 78.95% 20.96% 0.00885 0.2833 0.8198

Villain Defeat Rate by Hero/Villain Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 42 45.24% -19.55% 0.008
4 23 69.57% +0.65% 0.94591
5 111 71.17% +1.52% 0.72709

Notes

Deviation

The difference between the actual win rate of this combination of elements and the win rates of each of those elements on their own, averaged. A positive value means that this combination results in a win more often than would be expected.

Chi-Square p-value

This is the significance value of a χ² test comparing the observed data and expected value. In most cases, this expected value is the mean of the win rates of each element. For team position, the expected value is an equal likelihood of winning in all positions. Lower p-values (no greater than 0.01) mean a greater likelihood that the difference is meaningful and not due to chance.

Logistic Regression Coefficient

Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game, considering only games when Bugbear is present. The number on the right compares this model to the global one (counting all games); positive numbers suggests that this hero/villain/environment results in a win more often when Bugbear is present than otherwise, and vice-versa.