The Primary Objective

OblivAeon Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Nightmist 96 40.62% -2.97% 0.55761 0.4285 0.4251
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 115 38.26% -5.75% 0.21421 0.0047 -0.2449
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 27 40.74% 2.13% 0.82013 -0.4921 -0.2685
Ra 275 34.55% -5.37% 0.06916 0.246 0.2644
Legacy: Young 270 37.41% -5.66% 0.06017 0.0728 0.1943
Expatriette 219 21.92% -8.88% 0.00441 -0.9866 -0.3699
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 55 25.45% -12.84% 0.05013 -0.2018 -0.4959
Fanatic 189 27.51% -9.24% 0.0084 -0.5648 -0.2759
Benchmark 139 33.09% -2.33% 0.56553 -0.3088 0.2749
Wraith 167 29.94% -8.61% 0.02223 -0.2288 -0.0166
Ra: Setting Sun 145 36.55% -6.42% 0.11825 -0.1792 -0.3601
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 52 21.15% -3.84% 0.52202 -0.3387 0.0126
Bunker: Freedom Six 21 19.05% -12.19% 0.22805 -0.5009 -0.447
Bunker 108 23.15% -1.76% 0.67302 -0.9403 -0.3221
Visionary 65 20.00% -5.29% 0.32639 -1.3932 -0.8316
Argent Adept 53 22.64% 1.53% 0.78434 -0.6458 0.257
Haka 265 29.43% -10.15% 0.00073 -1.1071 -0.4962
Guise: Completionist 6 16.67% -27.12% 0.18051 -0.2073 -0.1778
Setback: Dark Watch 29 27.59% -11.30% 0.21195 0.1802 -0.0743
Haka: Xtreme PW 51 33.33% -6.82% 0.32043 -0.4367 0.1027
Haka: Prime Warden 99 32.32% -9.53% 0.05456 -0.7181 -0.2863
Dr. Medico 139 30.22% -12.09% 0.0039 -1.232 -0.754
Parse 111 32.43% -9.17% 0.04987 -0.002 -0.549
Idealist 110 30.91% -8.15% 0.07992 -0.102 0.1044
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 46 34.78% -8.77% 0.23045 -0.1851 0.0862
Tempest 376 46.81% 2.66% 0.29945 -0.5736 -0.4255
Fanatic: Prime Warden 97 31.96% -10.13% 0.0432 0.1729 0.1538
Wraith: Freedom Five 79 43.04% -1.86% 0.73952 -0.726 -0.7863
Bunker: Termi-Nation 37 40.54% 1.93% 0.80943 0.2441 0.3522
Naturalist 124 28.23% -10.78% 0.01388 -0.0711 0.0249
Unity: Freedom Six 54 16.67% -20.68% 0.00168 -1.1348 -0.9865
Unity 94 34.04% -6.53% 0.1971 0.1172 0.1751
Stuntman: Action Hero 140 55.00% 9.28% 0.02745 0.8116 0.1455
Tempest: Prime Warden 61 39.34% -4.43% 0.48523 0.0413 -0.144
Scholar: Of the Infinite 64 23.44% -12.85% 0.03246 -1.528 -0.8146
Wraith: Freedom Six 92 38.04% -5.54% 0.28393 -0.2053 -0.5155
K.N.Y.F.E. 173 26.59% -8.94% 0.01402 -0.7313 -0.4017
Legacy: Greatest 236 42.80% -1.32% 0.68388 0.098 -0.0435
Tempest: Freedom Six 30 10.00% -12.73% 0.09608 -0.3116 0.0325
Scholar 151 32.45% -7.27% 0.06784 -0.9996 -0.501
Luminary: Heroic (Ivana) 44 36.36% -6.04% 0.41778 -0.1227 0.0987
Visionary: Dark 34 29.41% 4.12% 0.58045 -0.3362 0.2092
Legacy: Freedom Five 237 49.79% 4.94% 0.12642 -0.0374 -0.1561
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 75 45.33% 1.14% 0.84201 -0.1324 0.0511
La Comodora 152 40.13% -2.58% 0.52038 -1.0961 -0.8945
Captain Cosmic: Requital 57 28.07% -11.81% 0.06855 -0.4536 -0.0484
Tachyon: Freedom Five 99 45.45% 1.26% 0.80009 -0.243 -0.051
Legacy 360 44.17% 0.53% 0.84075 -0.005 0.0823
Mainstay 114 42.11% -0.69% 0.88087 0.3586 0.203
Harpy: Dark Watch 45 51.11% 6.68% 0.36738 0.3552 0.09
Lifeline: Blood Mage 30 40.00% -4.07% 0.6532 -0.0754 0.6166
Visionary: Unleashed 38 26.32% -0.11% 0.9876 -0.073 0.2237
Chrono-Ranger 192 34.38% -6.57% 0.06394 -0.1676 -0.1051
Bunker: G.I. 130 27.69% -12.44% 0.00381 -0.2636 -0.1111
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 190 38.95% -3.38% 0.3458 -0.2996 0.2834
Absolute Zero 88 20.45% -4.28% 0.35195 -0.8314 -0.4061
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 74 45.95% 1.52% 0.79208 0.2698 0.0957
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 56 33.93% -3.85% 0.55196 -0.3966 0.0219
Stuntman 182 34.62% -6.65% 0.06847 -0.0796 0.0767
Wraith: Rook City 44 34.09% -8.79% 0.23898 -0.2452 -0.1854
Omnitron-X 101 25.74% -0.48% 0.91282 -0.2526 0.2181
Tempest: Xtreme PW 55 21.82% -2.39% 0.67889 -0.8867 -0.028
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 77 37.66% -5.10% 0.36604 -0.5732 -0.4897
Bunker: Freedom Five 97 40.21% -3.21% 0.52411 -0.508 0.0051
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 73 38.36% -5.83% 0.31564 -0.6329 -0.3369
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 31 41.94% -0.46% 0.95822 0.2794 0.3776
Parse: Fugue State 112 43.75% -0.25% 0.9568 -0.3068 -0.2973
Lifeline 157 31.85% -9.04% 0.02127 -0.327 -0.2844
Writhe 79 44.30% 0.38% 0.94549 0.1254 0.2099
Akash'Thriya 105 36.19% -4.66% 0.33099 0.0174 0.2515
Harpy 137 35.04% -3.71% 0.37258 0.5153 0.5445
Sky-Scraper 101 40.59% -1.81% 0.71336 -0.2113 -0.3231
Tachyon: Freedom Six 251 49.40% 5.12% 0.10276 -0.4404 -0.042
Unity: Termi-Nation 75 48.00% 4.08% 0.47622 -0.4309 0.0117
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 15 6.67% -11.91% 0.23566 -0.9899 -0.4505
The Sentinels 130 26.92% -7.09% 0.08803 -0.677 -0.2139
The Sentinels: Adamant 67 22.39% -3.87% 0.47182 -1.0084 -0.3203
Guise 77 22.08% -1.47% 0.76147 -0.5155 0.2752
Nightmist: Dark Watch 40 17.50% -8.86% 0.20326 -1.0431 -0.2815
Guise: Santa 37 18.92% -1.67% 0.80165 -0.2077 0.1912
Haka: Eternal 74 39.19% -3.27% 0.56918 -0.502 0.2943
Mainstay: Road Warrior 35 31.43% 1.89% 0.80609 -0.7033 -0.158
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 65 36.92% -5.82% 0.3425 -0.7546 -0.708
Luminary 237 37.13% -4.05% 0.20567 -0.9129 -0.1818
Setback 58 27.59% -13.02% 0.04346 -0.2519 -0.3273
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 100 27.00% -12.30% 0.01182 -0.0054 0.0668
Expatriette: Dark Watch 132 26.52% -9.28% 0.02622 -0.6573 -0.0653
Mr. Fixer 225 44.00% -0.04% 0.98965 -0.1527 -0.3759
Captain Cosmic 68 20.59% -3.06% 0.55289 -0.4823 0.0518
Idealist: Super Sentai 57 28.07% -13.18% 0.04331 -0.6835 -0.3665
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 46 34.78% -6.41% 0.37715 -0.6635 -0.3539
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 74 18.92% -5.03% 0.31108 -0.481 0.0545
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 67 20.90% -19.38% 0.00122 -0.5012 -0.3688
Tachyon 95 28.42% -10.81% 0.03088 0.0718 0.579
Naturalist: Hunted 109 40.37% -3.67% 0.43976 -0.4787 -0.3496
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 18 61.11% 16.56% 0.15738 0.507 0.59
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 82 62.20% 15.47% 0.005 -0.4112 -0.3147
La Comodora: Black Spot 19 52.63% 7.03% 0.53828 0.3253 -0.3553
Fanatic: Redeemer 81 24.69% -3.11% 0.53214 -0.4417 -0.3057

OblivAeon Defeat Rate with Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
The Final Wasteland 189 53.97% 8.87% 0.01421 0.2481 0.2031
Freedom Tower 306 50.65% 6.49% 0.02227 -0.1234 0.5147
The Celestial Tribunal 86 37.21% -6.76% 0.2064 -0.6664 -0.0423
Omnitron-IV 79 49.37% 5.24% 0.34801 -0.4006 0.1677
Nexus of the Void 217 56.68% 12.19% 0.0003 0.1306 0.3984
Time Cataclysm 149 55.70% 10.99% 0.00696 0.0964 0.1271
Megalopolis 105 37.14% -4.98% 0.30178 -0.1592 0.055
The Temple of Zhu Long 205 59.51% 13.57% 0.0001 0.7252 0.618
Mobile Defense Platform 180 42.22% -1.66% 0.65422 -0.3272 -0.0446
Champion Studios 200 51.00% 6.84% 0.05131 -0.3195 -0.0116
Insula Primalis 166 41.57% -1.72% 0.65458 -0.0838 0.2886
Pike Industrial Complex 80 45.00% 0.97% 0.86074 0.1598 0.228
The Enclave of the Endlings 150 48.67% 4.33% 0.28538 -0.1689 -0.0139
Ruins of Atlantis 106 38.68% -3.65% 0.44742 0.0148 0.5385
Maerynian Refuge 300 53.67% 9.43% 0.001 -0.1164 0.3857
Silver Gulch 1883 147 38.78% -5.05% 0.21688 -0.4808 -0.1686
Wagner Mars Base 96 37.50% -5.42% 0.28311 -0.1281 0.1486
The Block 197 48.22% 4.07% 0.25035 -0.5275 -0.3062
Fort Adamant 173 57.23% 12.86% 0.00066 0.4294 0.5026
The Court of Blood 93 50.54% 6.30% 0.22147 0.1691 0.3025
Madame Mittermeier's 68 41.18% -3.06% 0.61159 -0.4727 -0.2927
Mordengrad 143 44.76% 0.78% 0.85004 -0.1884 0.3745
Dok'Thorath Capital 124 55.65% 10.65% 0.01716 0.0518 0.3762
Magmaria 182 52.20% 7.64% 0.03798 -0.0336 0.1214
Rook City 65 30.77% -11.47% 0.06121 -0.6031 -0.0275
Realm of Discord 100 41.00% -2.26% 0.64759 -0.0727 0.5823
Tomb of Anubis 114 44.74% 0.59% 0.89915 -0.0987 0.1248

OblivAeon Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 39 15.38% -2.00% 0.7422
4 135 35.56% -4.20% 0.31885
5 630 53.49% +8.52% 2e-05

The Arc of Unreality

OblivAeon Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Nightmist 64 23.44% -2.59% 0.63701 -0.0805 -0.0839
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 37 35.14% 8.49% 0.24294 0.7966 0.547
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 19 15.79% -6.12% 0.51902 0.1433 0.367
Ra 131 16.03% -6.57% 0.07211 -0.1325 -0.1141
Legacy: Young 92 17.39% -7.96% 0.0794 -0.2891 -0.1677
Expatriette 106 19.81% -0.69% 0.86029 0.4028 1.0195
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 35 17.14% -4.63% 0.50724 0.6407 0.3466
Fanatic 78 14.10% -7.12% 0.12388 -0.2499 0.039
Benchmark 60 13.33% -7.60% 0.14809 -0.7674 -0.1836
Wraith 78 16.67% -5.22% 0.26526 -0.2431 -0.0308
Ra: Setting Sun 63 14.29% -10.94% 0.04551 -0.0814 -0.2622
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 33 12.12% -6.12% 0.36275 0.2269 0.5782
Bunker: Freedom Six 18 5.56% -15.03% 0.11484 -0.2558 -0.2019
Bunker 51 7.84% -10.34% 0.05548 -0.7504 -0.1323
Visionary 30 16.67% -1.73% 0.8065 0.0842 0.6458
Argent Adept 33 3.03% -12.76% 0.04445 -0.9714 -0.0686
Haka 118 16.95% -5.46% 0.15511 0.1137 0.7247
Guise: Completionist 2 50.00% 23.69% 0.44675 0.0652 0.0948
Setback: Dark Watch 17 5.88% -16.16% 0.10803 -0.3385 -0.593
Haka: Xtreme PW 30 20.00% -2.75% 0.71903 -0.1158 0.4235
Haka: Prime Warden 36 8.33% -15.73% 0.02725 -0.6283 -0.1966
Dr. Medico 65 21.54% -2.96% 0.57857 0.0444 0.5224
Parse 50 22.00% -1.84% 0.75973 0.6272 0.0802
Idealist 46 13.04% -9.08% 0.13789 -0.2582 -0.0518
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 14 7.14% -18.82% 0.10821 -0.6505 -0.3792
Tempest 136 24.26% -2.61% 0.49183 0.2272 0.3753
Fanatic: Prime Warden 51 11.76% -12.52% 0.03701 -0.3877 -0.4068
Wraith: Freedom Five 45 37.78% 9.45% 0.15965 0.6711 0.6108
Bunker: Termi-Nation 30 3.33% -18.58% 0.0139 -0.3952 -0.2871
Naturalist 65 16.92% -5.17% 0.31466 -0.433 -0.3371
Unity: Freedom Six 28 17.86% -3.55% 0.64696 0.1435 0.2919
Unity 34 14.71% -8.33% 0.24864 -0.3772 -0.3193
Stuntman: Action Hero 43 25.58% -5.40% 0.44418 0.4074 -0.2587
Tempest: Prime Warden 28 25.00% -1.29% 0.87667 0.0658 -0.1195
Scholar: Of the Infinite 32 9.38% -11.73% 0.10391 -0.5025 0.2109
Wraith: Freedom Six 38 23.68% -2.33% 0.74359 0.283 -0.0272
K.N.Y.F.E. 84 14.29% -6.66% 0.13353 -0.4608 -0.1312
Legacy: Greatest 117 23.93% -2.88% 0.48161 0.1364 -0.0051
Tempest: Freedom Six 20 10.00% -6.88% 0.41143 -0.04 0.3041
Scholar 95 16.84% -5.65% 0.18745 0.1928 0.6914
Luminary: Heroic (Ivana) 22 13.64% -10.96% 0.23266 -0.768 -0.5465
Visionary: Dark 25 0.00% -18.40% 0.01758 -0.7946 -0.2492
Legacy: Freedom Five 82 29.27% 1.04% 0.83366 0.2349 0.1162
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 27 25.93% -1.02% 0.90515 -0.5644 -0.3808
La Comodora 73 20.55% -4.38% 0.38708 0.0073 0.2089
Captain Cosmic: Requital 25 4.00% -18.58% 0.02626 -0.488 -0.0829
Tachyon: Freedom Five 31 29.03% 2.09% 0.79326 0.2504 0.4424
Legacy 176 19.89% -6.21% 0.06074 -0.017 0.0703
Mainstay 48 16.67% -8.36% 0.18115 -0.261 -0.4166
Harpy: Dark Watch 10 20.00% -7.38% 0.60092 -0.1471 -0.4123
Lifeline: Blood Mage 18 27.78% 1.03% 0.92142 0.1923 0.8843
Visionary: Unleashed 18 16.67% -2.31% 0.80239 -0.2252 0.0715
Chrono-Ranger 89 20.22% -3.08% 0.49128 0.3188 0.3812
Bunker: G.I. 53 11.32% -11.42% 0.04734 -0.4887 -0.3361
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 75 13.33% -11.19% 0.02434 -0.9409 -0.3579
Absolute Zero 37 2.70% -15.39% 0.01502 -0.7469 -0.3216
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 40 37.50% 10.14% 0.15006 0.1298 -0.0443
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 21 14.29% -7.28% 0.41742 0.2007 0.6192
Stuntman 81 16.05% -7.51% 0.1114 0.0401 0.1964
Wraith: Rook City 42 28.57% 3.46% 0.60552 0.1097 0.1695
Omnitron-X 73 15.07% -3.81% 0.40537 -0.1 0.3707
Tempest: Xtreme PW 40 5.00% -12.79% 0.03442 -1.149 -0.2903
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 51 13.73% -11.26% 0.06335 -0.4494 -0.3659
Bunker: Freedom Five 33 15.15% -10.63% 0.1628 -0.5645 -0.0514
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 33 42.42% 15.48% 0.04498 0.3498 0.6458
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 25 8.00% -16.59% 0.05401 -0.3837 -0.2856
Parse: Fugue State 30 26.67% 0.03% 0.99718 0.2904 0.3
Lifeline 104 23.08% -0.18% 0.96479 0.6122 0.6549
Writhe 36 30.56% 4.05% 0.58233 -0.1953 -0.1108
Akash'Thriya 88 25.00% 1.76% 0.69547 0.025 0.2591
Harpy 57 15.79% -6.18% 0.25955 0.0306 0.0598
Sky-Scraper 67 22.39% -2.21% 0.6749 0.3606 0.2487
Tachyon: Freedom Six 104 25.00% -2.11% 0.62841 -0.7938 -0.3955
Unity: Termi-Nation 28 21.43% -5.07% 0.54295 0.0767 0.5193
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 14 0.00% -13.94% 0.13215 -0.7475 -0.2081
The Sentinels 70 7.14% -13.63% 0.00494 -1.075 -0.6119
The Sentinels: Adamant 37 10.81% -8.09% 0.20899 -0.8901 -0.202
Guise 59 10.17% -7.22% 0.14336 -0.5686 0.2222
Nightmist: Dark Watch 24 8.33% -10.62% 0.1845 -0.6562 0.1055
Guise: Santa 26 7.69% -7.73% 0.27515 -0.3611 0.0378
Haka: Eternal 29 13.79% -10.86% 0.17467 -0.0562 0.7401
Mainstay: Road Warrior 13 0.00% -20.19% 0.06974 -0.3557 0.1896
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 27 18.52% -6.45% 0.43872 0.3238 0.3704
Luminary 104 14.42% -9.06% 0.02925 -1.0347 -0.3036
Setback 51 15.69% -7.37% 0.21129 -0.3815 -0.4569
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 26 19.23% -3.02% 0.71133 0.2579 0.33
Expatriette: Dark Watch 58 15.52% -5.48% 0.30563 0.0957 0.6878
Mr. Fixer 111 21.62% -5.08% 0.22648 0.4702 0.247
Captain Cosmic 51 7.84% -9.61% 0.07061 -0.3765 0.1576
Idealist: Super Sentai 20 20.00% -3.54% 0.70897 -0.228 0.089
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 25 4.00% -19.50% 0.02149 -0.796 -0.4864
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 21 9.52% -8.11% 0.32955 -0.182 0.3535
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 20 30.00% 7.17% 0.44524 0.5767 0.7091
Tachyon 46 15.22% -7.00% 0.25344 -0.5996 -0.0924
Naturalist: Hunted 58 25.86% -0.83% 0.88576 0.2076 0.3367
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 14 21.43% -6.16% 0.60601 0.0335 0.1165
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 29 20.69% -17.18% 0.05646 -0.1309 -0.0343
La Comodora: Black Spot 6 33.33% 2.90% 0.87739 0.5388 -0.1419
Fanatic: Redeemer 51 13.73% -5.86% 0.2914 0.1392 0.2752

OblivAeon Defeat Rate with Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
The Final Wasteland 55 27.27% -1.54% 0.80149 0.3189 0.274
Freedom Tower 101 22.77% -4.13% 0.34949 -0.469 0.1691
The Celestial Tribunal 48 29.17% 2.58% 0.68588 -0.4754 0.1486
Omnitron-IV 51 29.41% 2.58% 0.6777 -0.2996 0.2687
Nexus of the Void 86 25.58% -1.90% 0.69331 0.1279 0.3957
Time Cataclysm 63 19.05% -8.88% 0.1163 -1.0157 -0.985
Megalopolis 61 14.75% -9.56% 0.08181 -0.1211 0.0931
The Temple of Zhu Long 73 34.25% 0.61% 0.91235 0.4517 0.3445
Mobile Defense Platform 71 25.35% -1.09% 0.83484 0.3203 0.603
Champion Studios 94 24.47% -2.42% 0.59681 0.2834 0.5913
Insula Primalis 90 16.67% -8.95% 0.05179 -0.276 0.0964
Pike Industrial Complex 54 29.63% 2.96% 0.6233 0.1184 0.1866
The Enclave of the Endlings 67 32.84% 5.64% 0.29914 0.1515 0.3065
Ruins of Atlantis 56 16.07% -8.45% 0.14177 -0.7101 -0.1863
Maerynian Refuge 110 20.00% -7.01% 0.09754 -0.7952 -0.2931
Silver Gulch 1883 66 19.70% -6.67% 0.21871 -0.1842 0.128
Wagner Mars Base 49 20.41% -4.76% 0.44257 -0.3564 -0.0797
The Block 91 24.18% -2.71% 0.55977 -0.0583 0.163
Fort Adamant 85 30.59% 3.34% 0.48957 0.1784 0.2516
The Court of Blood 42 28.57% 1.54% 0.82198 -0.3352 -0.2017
Madame Mittermeier's 28 39.29% 12.27% 0.14383 0.0855 0.2654
Mordengrad 54 11.11% -15.47% 0.01006 -1.4907 -0.9278
Dok'Thorath Capital 52 30.77% 2.20% 0.72506 -0.6589 -0.3345
Magmaria 56 25.00% -2.60% 0.66324 -0.2154 -0.0604
Rook City 41 24.39% -0.04% 0.99531 -0.0157 0.5599
Realm of Discord 49 14.29% -11.30% 0.06983 -0.5893 0.0656
Tomb of Anubis 42 30.95% 4.08% 0.55075 0.3591 0.5827

OblivAeon Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 32 0.00% -13.01% 0.02867
4 73 9.59% -12.92% 0.00822
5 242 31.82% +3.32% 0.25209

The Source of Foes

OblivAeon Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Nightmist 49 18.37% -5.62% 0.35717 -0.2092 -0.2127
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 37 21.62% -2.84% 0.68773 0.5767 0.327
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 11 0.00% -20.51% 0.09209 -0.1618 0.0618
Ra 87 6.90% -14.22% 0.00115 -0.3293 -0.3109
Legacy: Young 63 17.46% -5.98% 0.26227 0.0311 0.1525
Expatriette 66 10.61% -8.63% 0.07524 -0.3373 0.2794
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 19 5.26% -15.12% 0.10188 -0.2049 -0.499
Fanatic 71 9.86% -10.04% 0.03416 -0.2432 0.0457
Benchmark 42 2.38% -17.24% 0.00489 -0.8212 -0.2374
Wraith 47 6.38% -14.10% 0.01662 -0.3766 -0.1644
Ra: Setting Sun 46 17.39% -5.96% 0.33952 0.0535 -0.1273
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 27 11.11% -6.04% 0.40508 -0.3204 0.0308
Bunker: Freedom Six 10 30.00% 10.69% 0.39179 0.5504 0.6043
Bunker 36 5.56% -11.55% 0.06577 -0.1017 0.5165
Visionary 25 12.00% -5.30% 0.48353 -0.3023 0.2592
Argent Adept 28 3.57% -11.27% 0.09343 -0.3764 0.5264
Haka 86 6.98% -13.97% 0.00145 -0.6448 -0.0338
Guise: Completionist 4 50.00% 25.79% 0.22842 0.327 0.3566
Setback: Dark Watch 11 27.27% 6.65% 0.58561 0.0025 -0.252
Haka: Xtreme PW 16 6.25% -15.00% 0.14241 -0.225 0.3143
Haka: Prime Warden 27 11.11% -11.27% 0.16002 -0.0412 0.3905
Dr. Medico 42 16.67% -6.08% 0.34703 -0.0674 0.4106
Parse 39 10.26% -11.94% 0.07281 -0.1853 -0.7323
Idealist 35 14.29% -6.41% 0.34917 -0.1825 0.0238
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 16 12.50% -11.44% 0.28367 -0.3362 -0.0649
Tempest 112 15.18% -9.46% 0.02021 -0.3912 -0.2431
Fanatic: Prime Warden 24 25.00% 2.43% 0.77589 0.211 0.1919
Wraith: Freedom Five 28 21.43% -4.22% 0.60885 0.1173 0.057
Bunker: Termi-Nation 13 15.38% -5.12% 0.64745 -0.185 -0.0768
Naturalist 45 15.56% -5.12% 0.39655 -0.154 -0.0581
Unity: Freedom Six 12 16.67% -3.39% 0.7693 0.4051 0.5534
Unity 49 12.24% -9.25% 0.11483 -0.3501 -0.2922
Stuntman: Action Hero 31 25.81% -1.24% 0.87631 0.4288 -0.2373
Tempest: Prime Warden 18 16.67% -7.52% 0.45606 0.0388 -0.1465
Scholar: Of the Infinite 23 21.74% 1.95% 0.81404 -0.2243 0.4891
Wraith: Freedom Six 26 26.92% 2.95% 0.7246 0.4566 0.1464
K.N.Y.F.E. 50 12.00% -7.64% 0.17378 0.4605 0.7901
Legacy: Greatest 62 24.19% -0.39% 0.94274 -0.0242 -0.1657
Tempest: Freedom Six 13 7.69% -8.18% 0.41945 -0.1132 0.2309
Scholar 44 13.64% -7.38% 0.22939 -0.1838 0.3149
Luminary: Heroic (Ivana) 17 29.41% 6.58% 0.51773 0.277 0.4985
Visionary: Dark 19 5.26% -12.04% 0.1654 -0.0604 0.4851
Legacy: Freedom Five 55 25.45% -0.13% 0.98279 0.2884 0.1697
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 22 40.91% 16.23% 0.07753 0.2486 0.4322
La Comodora 58 17.24% -5.86% 0.28963 0.1474 0.349
Captain Cosmic: Requital 16 12.50% -8.60% 0.39899 -0.2207 0.1844
Tachyon: Freedom Five 15 33.33% 8.65% 0.43715 -0.4288 -0.2368
Legacy 104 12.50% -11.54% 0.0059 -0.4376 -0.3503
Mainstay 40 22.50% -0.68% 0.91832 0.8549 0.6993
Harpy: Dark Watch 11 27.27% 2.28% 0.86162 -0.0343 -0.2995
Lifeline: Blood Mage 13 30.77% 6.23% 0.60157 -0.1227 0.5693
Visionary: Unleashed 17 11.76% -6.07% 0.51297 -0.0596 0.237
Chrono-Ranger 68 11.76% -9.97% 0.0462 -0.0152 0.0472
Bunker: G.I. 35 17.14% -4.10% 0.55346 -0.4083 -0.2557
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 51 11.76% -11.00% 0.06102 -0.5781 0.0049
Absolute Zero 38 5.26% -11.75% 0.05388 -0.5624 -0.1371
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 28 21.43% -3.55% 0.66401 -0.3302 -0.5042
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 17 17.65% -2.55% 0.79343 0.0521 0.4707
Stuntman 43 13.95% -7.99% 0.20532 0.3447 0.501
Wraith: Rook City 21 4.76% -18.49% 0.04485 -0.4552 -0.3954
Omnitron-X 54 3.70% -14.04% 0.00691 -0.9703 -0.4996
Tempest: Xtreme PW 26 7.69% -9.04% 0.21693 -0.1479 0.7108
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 29 24.14% 0.99% 0.89922 0.2117 0.2951
Bunker: Freedom Five 25 20.00% -3.79% 0.65629 0.0778 0.5909
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 32 34.38% 9.69% 0.2034 0.3763 0.6724
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 16 25.00% 2.17% 0.83595 -0.2909 -0.1928
Parse: Fugue State 32 9.38% -15.08% 0.04718 -0.6224 -0.6129
Lifeline 73 15.07% -6.62% 0.16968 -0.1254 -0.0827
Writhe 34 17.65% -6.71% 0.36201 -0.0661 0.0184
Akash'Thriya 56 12.50% -9.17% 0.09568 -0.4593 -0.2252
Harpy 52 11.54% -9.02% 0.10737 -0.3359 -0.3067
Sky-Scraper 53 15.09% -7.73% 0.17983 -0.0048 -0.1167
Tachyon: Freedom Six 57 22.81% -2.00% 0.72691 0.1624 0.5608
Unity: Termi-Nation 18 5.56% -18.80% 0.06317 -0.8744 -0.4318
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 12 8.33% -4.74% 0.62591 -0.1277 0.4116
The Sentinels 61 14.75% -4.73% 0.35084 -0.4449 0.0181
The Sentinels: Adamant 29 13.79% -3.97% 0.57598 -0.3439 0.3442
Guise 51 3.92% -12.43% 0.01636 -0.9992 -0.2085
Nightmist: Dark Watch 14 21.43% 3.62% 0.7235 0.0373 0.7989
Guise: Santa 17 5.88% -8.61% 0.31311 -0.1021 0.2967
Haka: Eternal 22 9.09% -13.79% 0.12366 -0.5439 0.2524
Mainstay: Road Warrior 11 18.18% -0.77% 0.94781 0.1009 0.6462
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 25 16.00% -7.14% 0.39749 0.0654 0.112
Luminary 75 5.33% -16.55% 0.00053 -1.0326 -0.3015
Setback 28 25.00% 3.48% 0.65396 0.5811 0.5057
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 23 8.70% -12.11% 0.15243 -0.141 -0.0689
Expatriette: Dark Watch 34 11.76% -7.92% 0.24539 -0.5178 0.0743
Mr. Fixer 65 24.62% 0.11% 0.98295 0.7417 0.5185
Captain Cosmic 33 12.12% -4.29% 0.50553 0.1667 0.7008
Idealist: Super Sentai 10 30.00% 8.06% 0.5377 0.4077 0.7247
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 18 16.67% -5.23% 0.59151 0.0084 0.3181
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 25 4.00% -12.58% 0.09072 -0.5063 0.0293
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 11 9.09% -12.23% 0.32193 -0.0855 0.0468
Tachyon 31 16.13% -4.65% 0.52335 -0.1845 0.3227
Naturalist: Hunted 37 18.92% -5.58% 0.43001 -0.1775 -0.0485
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 4 0.00% -25.15% 0.24634 -0.2347 -0.1517
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 17 47.06% 17.40% 0.11622 0.5283 0.6249
La Comodora: Black Spot 6 33.33% 6.51% 0.71898 0.2565 -0.4241
Fanatic: Redeemer 32 9.38% -9.03% 0.18757 0.0621 0.198

OblivAeon Defeat Rate with Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
The Final Wasteland 43 20.93% -5.02% 0.45241 -0.0896 -0.1345
Freedom Tower 81 23.46% -1.19% 0.80308 -0.3665 0.2716
The Celestial Tribunal 29 20.69% -3.73% 0.64038 0.0739 0.6979
Omnitron-IV 32 18.75% -5.85% 0.4422 -0.4039 0.1643
Nexus of the Void 54 18.52% -6.55% 0.26658 0.0112 0.279
Time Cataclysm 41 31.71% 6.33% 0.35189 -0.1055 -0.0748
Megalopolis 43 11.63% -10.96% 0.08559 -0.3552 -0.141
The Temple of Zhu Long 53 32.08% 4.56% 0.45764 0.2264 0.1192
Mobile Defense Platform 56 16.07% -8.24% 0.15078 -0.5917 -0.3091
Champion Studios 73 21.92% -2.72% 0.58924 -0.3458 -0.0378
Insula Primalis 59 25.42% 1.76% 0.74988 0.8157 1.1881
Pike Industrial Complex 20 15.00% -9.48% 0.32406 0.0511 0.1194
The Enclave of the Endlings 46 13.04% -11.82% 0.06361 -0.0135 0.1415
Ruins of Atlantis 40 10.00% -12.76% 0.05422 -0.5498 -0.0261
Maerynian Refuge 79 24.05% -0.68% 0.88783 -0.4067 0.0955
Silver Gulch 1883 58 22.41% -1.84% 0.74434 -0.2756 0.0366
Wagner Mars Base 37 18.92% -4.38% 0.52848 -0.0509 0.2259
The Block 51 17.65% -6.99% 0.24646 -0.2569 -0.0356
Fort Adamant 61 18.03% -6.87% 0.2144 -0.8169 -0.7437
The Court of Blood 35 28.57% 3.83% 0.59999 0.5614 0.6949
Madame Mittermeier's 27 33.33% 8.59% 0.30068 0.2662 0.4461
Mordengrad 43 23.26% -1.16% 0.8596 0.3257 0.8886
Dok'Thorath Capital 41 24.39% -1.41% 0.83627 -0.2504 0.074
Magmaria 46 26.09% 0.93% 0.88441 0.5325 0.6875
Rook City 33 12.12% -10.57% 0.14719 -0.5356 0.04
Realm of Discord 38 10.53% -13.11% 0.05713 -0.7347 -0.0798
Tomb of Anubis 41 21.95% -2.68% 0.69063 -0.4893 -0.2658

OblivAeon Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 23 4.35% -7.84% 0.25025
4 60 13.33% -7.70% 0.14321
5 169 26.04% +0.28% 0.93407

The Effusion of Pain

OblivAeon Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Nightmist 57 24.56% -2.93% 0.62019 0.2435 0.2401
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 51 27.45% -0.84% 0.89393 0.5246 0.2749
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 29 17.24% -5.55% 0.47647 -0.0244 0.1992
Ra 135 14.07% -9.47% 0.00951 -0.7761 -0.7577
Legacy: Young 103 20.39% -6.27% 0.14987 -0.5495 -0.4281
Expatriette 109 12.84% -8.43% 0.03146 -1.3296 -0.7129
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 32 25.00% 2.36% 0.74925 -0.2329 -0.527
Fanatic 109 16.51% -5.54% 0.16312 -0.2878 0.0011
Benchmark 81 8.64% -13.09% 0.00428 -0.8903 -0.3066
Wraith 81 17.28% -5.47% 0.23996 -0.4463 -0.234
Ra: Setting Sun 70 28.57% 2.05% 0.6978 0.0701 -0.1107
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 28 14.29% -4.61% 0.5334 0.5285 0.8797
Bunker: Freedom Six 27 22.22% 0.86% 0.91317 0.0835 0.1374
Bunker 67 14.93% -3.91% 0.41267 -0.7472 -0.1291
Visionary 44 11.36% -7.70% 0.19365 -0.0614 0.5001
Argent Adept 49 8.16% -8.18% 0.12137 -0.117 0.7858
Haka 137 20.44% -2.89% 0.42374 -0.1858 0.4252
Guise: Completionist 4 25.00% -2.85% 0.89871 -0.1831 -0.1535
Setback: Dark Watch 19 15.79% -7.14% 0.45912 -0.1226 -0.3771
Haka: Xtreme PW 29 13.79% -9.92% 0.20928 -0.1122 0.4272
Haka: Prime Warden 52 30.77% 5.60% 0.3522 0.1814 0.6132
Dr. Medico 75 24.00% -1.67% 0.74036 -0.1494 0.3287
Parse 73 17.81% -7.11% 0.16005 0.2633 -0.2836
Idealist 77 14.29% -8.73% 0.06864 -0.8149 -0.6085
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 20 40.00% 12.58% 0.20714 0.5149 0.7862
Tempest 147 27.21% -1.39% 0.70925 0.3512 0.4993
Fanatic: Prime Warden 33 21.21% -4.21% 0.57824 -0.379 -0.3981
Wraith: Freedom Five 57 35.09% 4.16% 0.4972 0.3451 0.2847
Bunker: Termi-Nation 17 17.65% -5.14% 0.61338 0.121 0.2292
Naturalist 70 18.57% -4.42% 0.3794 -0.2467 -0.1507
Unity: Freedom Six 25 28.00% 5.75% 0.4891 0.3212 0.4696
Unity 60 18.33% -5.69% 0.30244 -0.03 0.0279
Stuntman: Action Hero 54 35.19% -1.87% 0.77651 0.0396 -0.6265
Tempest: Prime Warden 32 18.75% -9.08% 0.25186 -0.2845 -0.4698
Scholar: Of the Infinite 32 9.38% -12.55% 0.08624 -0.4279 0.2855
Wraith: Freedom Six 37 18.92% -8.56% 0.24364 -0.4032 -0.7134
K.N.Y.F.E. 83 14.46% -7.29% 0.10721 -0.2257 0.1039
Legacy: Greatest 93 25.81% -2.71% 0.56312 0.0318 -0.1097
Tempest: Freedom Six 29 20.69% 3.21% 0.64873 -0.1485 0.1955
Scholar 85 11.76% -11.65% 0.01118 -1.3308 -0.8322
Luminary: Heroic (Ivana) 18 22.22% -3.56% 0.73012 0.0404 0.2619
Visionary: Dark 31 19.35% 0.29% 0.96673 -0.5541 -0.0087
Legacy: Freedom Five 72 30.56% -0.16% 0.97645 0.3102 0.1915
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 28 25.00% -3.69% 0.66595 -0.3214 -0.1379
La Comodora 65 15.38% -10.78% 0.04798 -0.0969 0.1047
Captain Cosmic: Requital 40 25.00% 1.48% 0.82575 -0.4619 -0.0567
Tachyon: Freedom Five 30 20.00% -8.69% 0.29261 0.0305 0.2225
Legacy 170 26.47% -1.11% 0.7466 0.5411 0.6285
Mainstay 74 14.86% -11.42% 0.02564 -0.0314 -0.187
Harpy: Dark Watch 14 21.43% -7.88% 0.51732 0.0547 -0.2105
Lifeline: Blood Mage 11 18.18% -10.24% 0.45131 -1.1326 -0.4406
Visionary: Unleashed 22 9.09% -10.58% 0.21196 -0.8216 -0.525
Chrono-Ranger 89 13.48% -10.84% 0.01714 -0.2126 -0.1502
Bunker: G.I. 58 17.24% -6.45% 0.24785 0.0297 0.1822
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 88 21.59% -4.10% 0.37866 -0.3408 0.2423
Absolute Zero 65 16.92% -1.82% 0.70736 0.0383 0.4636
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 40 30.00% 0.73% 0.91971 0.128 -0.0461
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 34 8.82% -13.59% 0.0574 -0.5973 -0.1787
Stuntman 82 12.20% -12.40% 0.00911 -0.626 -0.4697
Wraith: Rook City 25 24.00% -2.39% 0.78652 0.7365 0.7963
Omnitron-X 70 11.43% -8.14% 0.0862 -0.5805 -0.1098
Tempest: Xtreme PW 29 17.24% -1.18% 0.86956 -0.3226 0.5361
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 42 28.57% 2.34% 0.72999 0.3022 0.3856
Bunker: Freedom Five 40 17.50% -9.69% 0.16852 -0.3971 0.116
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 42 26.19% -2.50% 0.72061 -0.3792 -0.0832
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 24 16.67% -9.11% 0.30747 -0.6226 -0.5245
Parse: Fugue State 43 18.60% -9.67% 0.15895 -0.0185 -0.0089
Lifeline 99 19.19% -5.08% 0.23874 -0.3724 -0.3297
Writhe 65 23.08% -5.03% 0.36672 -0.1863 -0.1017
Akash'Thriya 89 17.98% -6.27% 0.16779 -0.3484 -0.1143
Harpy 68 7.35% -15.50% 0.00233 -0.6529 -0.6237
Sky-Scraper 67 16.42% -9.36% 0.07982 -0.1981 -0.31
Tachyon: Freedom Six 95 29.47% 0.55% 0.90553 0.0505 0.4489
Unity: Termi-Nation 37 21.62% -6.48% 0.3806 -0.3632 0.0794
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 13 23.08% 8.64% 0.37573 0.196 0.7354
The Sentinels 77 15.58% -5.98% 0.20175 -0.4723 -0.0092
The Sentinels: Adamant 46 10.87% -8.71% 0.13649 -0.8788 -0.1907
Guise 52 13.46% -4.55% 0.39352 -0.296 0.4947
Nightmist: Dark Watch 32 18.75% -0.89% 0.89953 -0.1776 0.5841
Guise: Santa 30 3.33% -12.64% 0.05885 -0.4255 -0.0267
Haka: Eternal 40 20.00% -5.85% 0.39801 -0.8623 -0.066
Mainstay: Road Warrior 25 12.00% -8.95% 0.27156 0.0856 0.6309
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 40 25.00% -1.21% 0.86134 -0.4665 -0.4198
Luminary 115 19.13% -5.39% 0.17917 -0.0502 0.6809
Setback 56 23.21% -0.83% 0.88427 -0.1594 -0.2347
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 30 20.00% -3.16% 0.68185 0.1835 0.2557
Expatriette: Dark Watch 55 16.36% -5.44% 0.32846 -0.2059 0.3862
Mr. Fixer 108 22.22% -6.14% 0.15696 -0.4323 -0.6554
Captain Cosmic 59 11.86% -6.21% 0.21527 -0.8639 -0.3298
Idealist: Super Sentai 37 24.32% -0.26% 0.97103 0.1794 0.4964
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 20 35.00% 10.47% 0.27662 0.271 0.5806
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 39 15.38% -2.88% 0.64211 -0.1459 0.3897
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 32 31.25% 7.45% 0.32222 0.4408 0.5732
Tachyon 48 14.58% -8.54% 0.16057 -0.6612 -0.154
Naturalist: Hunted 54 25.93% -2.43% 0.69191 0.6503 0.7793
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 16 37.50% 7.87% 0.4905 -0.1503 -0.0673
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 26 30.77% -8.89% 0.35428 -0.387 -0.2904
La Comodora: Black Spot 13 46.15% 9.51% 0.47657 0.4133 -0.2673
Fanatic: Redeemer 39 15.38% -4.93% 0.44451 0.0133 0.1493

OblivAeon Defeat Rate with Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
The Final Wasteland 64 21.88% -10.34% 0.07677 -0.6892 -0.7342
Freedom Tower 109 22.02% -6.61% 0.12667 -0.4639 0.1742
The Celestial Tribunal 37 32.43% 4.22% 0.56838 0.0102 0.6343
Omnitron-IV 40 22.50% -6.04% 0.39763 -1.0286 -0.4604
Nexus of the Void 96 31.25% 1.79% 0.70055 -0.4388 -0.1711
Time Cataclysm 54 33.33% 3.16% 0.61267 0.5124 0.5431
Megalopolis 72 29.17% 3.71% 0.46956 0.2929 0.5071
The Temple of Zhu Long 66 30.30% -7.45% 0.21172 -0.3317 -0.4389
Mobile Defense Platform 74 24.32% -3.70% 0.47859 -0.2542 0.0285
Champion Studios 85 25.88% -2.73% 0.57745 -0.0098 0.2981
Insula Primalis 85 24.71% -2.28% 0.63567 0.2713 0.6437
Pike Industrial Complex 49 24.49% -3.84% 0.55122 0.19 0.2582
The Enclave of the Endlings 64 34.38% 5.34% 0.34696 0.2422 0.3972
Ruins of Atlantis 62 24.19% -1.50% 0.78747 0.1085 0.6322
Maerynian Refuge 112 27.68% -1.11% 0.79519 0.4238 0.926
Silver Gulch 1883 63 25.40% -2.53% 0.65451 0.0458 0.358
Wagner Mars Base 54 22.22% -4.23% 0.48114 -0.1977 0.0791
The Block 72 29.17% 0.55% 0.91709 0.1921 0.4134
Fort Adamant 95 29.47% 0.35% 0.94011 0.2656 0.3387
The Court of Blood 48 20.83% -7.98% 0.22238 -0.0753 0.0582
Madame Mittermeier's 39 35.90% 7.10% 0.32735 0.5473 0.7273
Mordengrad 61 22.95% -5.26% 0.36148 -0.4795 0.0834
Dok'Thorath Capital 46 28.26% -3.20% 0.63978 -0.4004 -0.076
Magmaria 44 20.45% -9.19% 0.18185 -0.1972 -0.0422
Rook City 43 27.91% 2.32% 0.72753 0.3703 0.9459
Realm of Discord 60 25.00% -1.95% 0.73322 -0.3948 0.2602
Tomb of Anubis 51 23.53% -5.06% 0.42366 -0.2851 -0.0616

OblivAeon Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 29 6.90% -6.60% 0.2984
4 79 21.52% -1.92% 0.68706
5 241 30.71% -0.59% 0.84444

The Ceasless Ruin

OblivAeon Defeat Rate vs. Heroes

Hero Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
Nightmist 50 26.00% 0.83% 0.89249 -0.3739 -0.3774
Benchmark: Supply and Demand 42 19.05% -6.68% 0.32232 -0.2541 -0.5038
Absolute Zero: Termi-Nation 14 7.14% -14.20% 0.19471 -0.4533 -0.2297
Ra 117 14.53% -7.47% 0.05104 -0.2148 -0.1964
Legacy: Young 83 16.87% -7.69% 0.1036 -0.0892 0.0322
Expatriette 95 15.79% -4.21% 0.30537 -0.207 0.4098
Ra: Horus of Two Horizons 26 15.38% -5.83% 0.46748 0.4924 0.1983
Fanatic 73 13.70% -6.99% 0.14023 0.3355 0.6244
Benchmark 54 12.96% -7.44% 0.17471 -0.2732 0.3106
Wraith 63 11.11% -10.21% 0.04792 -0.1416 0.0706
Ra: Setting Sun 51 17.65% -6.80% 0.25829 0.2633 0.0824
Chrono-Ranger: Best of Times 31 6.45% -11.36% 0.09841 -0.6288 -0.2776
Bunker: Freedom Six 14 14.29% -5.79% 0.58882 -0.2848 -0.2309
Bunker 39 2.56% -15.19% 0.01304 -0.9408 -0.3226
Visionary 32 6.25% -11.71% 0.08435 -0.3736 0.1879
Argent Adept 32 6.25% -9.16% 0.15111 -0.428 0.4747
Haka 113 15.93% -5.89% 0.12969 0.2598 0.8708
Guise: Completionist 1 0.00% -25.42% 0.55929 -0.0098 0.0198
Setback: Dark Watch 13 23.08% 1.61% 0.88763 0.8528 0.5983
Haka: Xtreme PW 23 17.39% -4.75% 0.58293 -0.0106 0.5287
Haka: Prime Warden 41 17.07% -6.30% 0.34035 0.2621 0.6939
Dr. Medico 66 22.73% -1.05% 0.84051 -0.1131 0.3649
Parse 42 23.81% 0.64% 0.92171 1.0342 0.4872
Idealist 56 17.86% -3.69% 0.50173 -0.1972 0.0091
Argent Adept: Xtreme PW 10 30.00% 4.88% 0.72177 0.232 0.5032
Tempest 110 21.82% -4.11% 0.32578 0.1785 0.3265
Fanatic: Prime Warden 33 24.24% 0.66% 0.92902 0.4769 0.4578
Wraith: Freedom Five 39 51.28% 24.13% 0.0007 0.8848 0.8245
Bunker: Termi-Nation 13 7.69% -13.65% 0.22965 -0.1374 -0.0292
Naturalist 65 13.85% -7.68% 0.13206 0.0661 0.1621
Unity: Freedom Six 22 18.18% -2.68% 0.75681 -0.5149 -0.3666
Unity 45 17.78% -4.64% 0.4559 -0.1186 -0.0607
Stuntman: Action Hero 45 35.56% 6.55% 0.33276 0.8805 0.2143
Tempest: Prime Warden 28 32.14% 6.74% 0.41296 0.4952 0.3099
Scholar: Of the Infinite 26 26.92% 6.35% 0.42335 0.119 0.8324
Wraith: Freedom Six 25 16.00% -9.16% 0.29129 0.3905 0.0803
K.N.Y.F.E. 67 11.94% -8.48% 0.08499 -0.3166 0.013
Legacy: Greatest 86 25.58% -0.29% 0.95162 0.2 0.0585
Tempest: Freedom Six 17 5.88% -10.60% 0.23883 0.0909 0.435
Scholar 82 18.29% -3.60% 0.43029 0.2141 0.7127
Luminary: Heroic (Ivana) 15 6.67% -17.20% 0.11809 -0.654 -0.4325
Visionary: Dark 17 5.88% -12.08% 0.19446 0.0038 0.5492
Legacy: Freedom Five 73 32.88% 5.81% 0.26354 0.7956 0.6769
Argent Adept: Prime Warden 36 22.22% -3.76% 0.60706 -0.4807 -0.2971
La Comodora 72 16.67% -7.51% 0.13679 -0.3652 -0.1635
Captain Cosmic: Requital 32 21.88% -0.11% 0.98794 -0.2744 0.1308
Tachyon: Freedom Five 39 23.08% -2.90% 0.67916 0.9013 1.0933
Legacy 145 15.17% -10.06% 0.00529 -0.8279 -0.7406
Mainstay 44 15.91% -8.36% 0.19599 -0.9848 -1.1404
Harpy: Dark Watch 15 26.67% 0.31% 0.97803 0.0296 -0.2356
Lifeline: Blood Mage 17 29.41% 3.60% 0.7344 0.1155 0.8075
Visionary: Unleashed 30 6.67% -11.86% 0.09454 -0.6657 -0.3691
Chrono-Ranger 69 14.49% -8.18% 0.10476 -0.4572 -0.3948
Bunker: G.I. 41 24.39% 2.26% 0.72761 0.2264 0.379
Tachyon: Super-Scientific 71 12.68% -11.12% 0.02776 -0.6392 -0.0562
Absolute Zero 40 12.50% -5.16% 0.39174 -0.1099 0.3154
Mr. Fixer: Dark Watch 41 36.59% 10.25% 0.13622 0.2107 0.0367
Omnitron-X: Omnitron-U 42 11.90% -9.11% 0.14735 -0.9192 -0.5007
Stuntman 74 18.92% -3.98% 0.41502 -0.2942 -0.1378
Wraith: Rook City 44 27.27% 2.93% 0.65104 -0.0113 0.0485
Omnitron-X 61 11.48% -6.95% 0.16131 -0.4392 0.0316
Tempest: Xtreme PW 30 10.00% -7.37% 0.28668 -0.713 0.1458
K.N.Y.F.E.: Rogue Agent 41 17.07% -7.15% 0.28526 -0.2845 -0.2011
Bunker: Freedom Five 39 23.08% -1.87% 0.78701 -0.4666 0.0465
Sky-Scraper: Extremist 40 30.00% 4.02% 0.56192 0.0653 0.3613
Argent Adept: Dark Conductor 28 28.57% 4.70% 0.55931 0.2706 0.3687
Parse: Fugue State 46 28.26% 2.55% 0.69269 0.4964 0.5059
Lifeline 85 14.12% -8.51% 0.0609 -0.2294 -0.1868
Writhe 51 25.49% -0.11% 0.98555 0.2067 0.2912
Akash'Thriya 87 13.79% -8.81% 0.04948 -0.5087 -0.2746
Harpy 49 10.20% -11.20% 0.05594 -0.4713 -0.4421
Sky-Scraper 56 19.64% -4.22% 0.45827 0.6939 0.582
Tachyon: Freedom Six 103 26.21% 0.09% 0.98367 -0.0282 0.3701
Unity: Termi-Nation 31 19.35% -6.24% 0.42596 -0.3978 0.0448
Captain Cosmic: Prime Warden 13 0.00% -13.60% 0.15261 -0.4703 0.0691
The Sentinels 82 18.29% -1.97% 0.65794 -0.3001 0.163
The Sentinels: Adamant 40 12.50% -5.95% 0.33233 -0.1272 0.5608
Guise 52 9.62% -7.37% 0.1572 -0.1371 0.6537
Nightmist: Dark Watch 22 9.09% -9.41% 0.25589 -0.1165 0.6451
Guise: Santa 24 8.33% -6.72% 0.3571 0.0445 0.4434
Haka: Eternal 26 19.23% -4.69% 0.57475 -0.6792 0.1172
Mainstay: Road Warrior 21 9.52% -10.17% 0.24109 -0.0559 0.4894
Absolute Zero: Freedom Five 29 17.24% -6.97% 0.38086 -0.3529 -0.3063
Luminary 109 15.60% -7.24% 0.07181 -0.6699 0.0612
Setback 34 17.65% -4.79% 0.50342 -0.0107 -0.0861
Fanatic: Xtreme PW 25 8.00% -13.67% 0.09716 -0.0639 0.0082
Expatriette: Dark Watch 46 6.52% -13.95% 0.01904 -1.0737 -0.4816
Mr. Fixer 101 26.73% 0.96% 0.82468 0.3767 0.1535
Captain Cosmic 31 6.45% -10.59% 0.11687 0.0643 0.5984
Idealist: Super Sentai 20 5.00% -17.89% 0.0569 -0.9828 -0.6658
Dr. Medico: Malpractice 18 11.11% -11.73% 0.23568 -0.6864 -0.3767
Absolute Zero: Freedom Six 32 6.25% -10.97% 0.10035 -0.8228 -0.2873
Captain Cosmic: Xtreme PW 18 5.56% -16.67% 0.08897 -0.4998 -0.3674
Tachyon 43 18.60% -3.03% 0.62918 -0.3812 0.126
Naturalist: Hunted 44 31.82% 6.05% 0.3586 0.247 0.376
Akash'Thriya: Spirit of the Void 12 33.33% 6.80% 0.59379 0.1199 0.2029
Writhe: Cosmic Inventor 28 28.57% -7.46% 0.41099 0.4478 0.5444
La Comodora: Black Spot 9 22.22% -6.46% 0.66813 0.2623 -0.4183
Fanatic: Redeemer 32 6.25% -12.87% 0.06419 -0.5696 -0.4336

OblivAeon Defeat Rate with Environments

Environment Games Rate Dev. p(χ²) Model Diff.
The Final Wasteland 63 39.68% 12.15% 0.03079 0.7374 0.6925
Freedom Tower 124 19.35% -6.59% 0.09416 -0.7647 -0.1266
The Celestial Tribunal 39 23.08% -2.59% 0.71088 -0.1813 0.4427
Omnitron-IV 31 19.35% -6.53% 0.40649 -0.5275 0.0407
Nexus of the Void 93 19.35% -7.09% 0.1212 -0.3915 -0.1238
Time Cataclysm 74 27.03% 0.21% 0.96727 0.2061 0.2368
Megalopolis 63 15.87% -7.73% 0.14833 -0.1141 0.1001
The Temple of Zhu Long 83 24.10% -5.62% 0.2623 -0.8708 -0.978
Mobile Defense Platform 77 20.78% -4.76% 0.33785 -0.1903 0.0924
Champion Studios 78 19.23% -6.70% 0.17688 -0.7889 -0.481
Insula Primalis 101 16.83% -7.97% 0.06365 -1.2485 -0.8761
Pike Industrial Complex 39 20.51% -5.23% 0.45485 -0.3483 -0.2801
The Enclave of the Endlings 66 28.79% 2.59% 0.63202 -0.0117 0.1433
Ruins of Atlantis 46 17.39% -6.41% 0.30766 -0.2497 0.274
Maerynian Refuge 124 17.74% -8.30% 0.03518 -0.5198 -0.0176
Silver Gulch 1883 61 29.51% 4.03% 0.46978 -0.174 0.1382
Wagner Mars Base 42 19.05% -5.35% 0.4197 0.1983 0.475
The Block 87 22.99% -2.94% 0.5311 -0.0722 0.1491
Fort Adamant 78 19.23% -7.02% 0.15902 -0.2021 -0.129
The Court of Blood 40 30.00% 3.94% 0.56982 0.1312 0.2647
Madame Mittermeier's 34 20.59% -5.46% 0.46831 -0.5021 -0.3221
Mordengrad 56 26.79% 1.12% 0.84807 0.5527 1.1156
Dok'Thorath Capital 56 32.14% 4.80% 0.41981 -0.0814 0.2429
Magmaria 69 27.54% 0.99% 0.85209 -0.067 0.088
Rook City 37 21.62% -2.09% 0.76463 0.3868 0.9624
Realm of Discord 50 28.00% 3.22% 0.59743 -0.0792 0.5758
Tomb of Anubis 39 23.08% -2.84% 0.68552 0.0356 0.2591

OblivAeon Defeat Rate by Hero Team Size

Team Size Games Rate Team Size Deviation Team Size p(χ²)
3 25 0.00% -12.69% 0.05663
4 76 11.84% -10.07% 0.03381
5 249 28.51% +1.23% 0.66229

Notes

Deviation

The difference between the actual win rate of this combination of elements and the win rates of each of those elements on their own, averaged. A positive value means that this combination results in a win more often than would be expected.

Chi-Square p-value

This is the significance value of a χ² test comparing the observed data and expected value. In most cases, this expected value is the mean of the win rates of each element. For team position, the expected value is an equal likelihood of winning in all positions. Lower p-values (no greater than 0.01) mean a greater likelihood that the difference is meaningful and not due to chance.

Logistic Regression Coefficient

Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game, considering only games when is present. The number on the right compares this model to the global one (counting all games); positive numbers suggests that this hero/villain/environment results in a win more often when is present than otherwise, and vice-versa.