Spirits

Adversaries

Scenarios

Layouts

Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model
A 495146 45.53% 30.14 -0.659 73.37% 0.688
B 511444 44.8% 31.22 -0.154 74.52% 0.784
C 581467 44.54% 31.38 0.297 76.32% 1.013
D 477691 44.82% 30.59 -0.359 74.65% 0.777
E 150187 46.71% 35.52 0.849 74.94% 0.894
F 219393 43.82% 34.1 0.423 76.24% 0.841
G 199102 44.51% 33.53 0.23 75.7% 0.832
H 205892 42.76% 34.32 0.501 76.96% 0.839
East 46545 42.86% 43.09 2.435 68.2% 0.576
Northeast 46706 44.11% 41.62 1.88 67.09% 0.525
Northwest 35942 42.38% 41.42 1.606 68.86% 0.595
Southeast 9515 42.54% 37.81 0.546 72.29% 0.629
Southwest 8913 46.93% 33.81 -1.95 66.21% 0.199
West 41622 43.94% 41.47 1.351 66.12% 0.327

Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model
No Blight Card 184404 0.0% 19.32 -4.533 70.48% -2.053
Not Using Events or Tokens 502769 45.85% 23.41 -2.91 73.47% -0.215
Skip Initial Invader Actions 69246 14.08% 39.26 2.982 90.87% 0.686
Start of Game Growth 97372 16.41% 38.49 2.533 89.65% 0.469
Unlimited Undo 222441 36.76% 34.61 1.279 82.39% 0.423
Using Tokens but Not Events 224163 33.44% 30.21 -1.021 82.32% 0.051

Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model
A Pall Upon the Land 71109 30.78 -2.247 52.69% -2.069
Aid From Lesser Spirits 57832 32.85 -1.225 56.35% -1.913
All Things Weaken 32665 30.81 -2.35 50.61% -2.159
Back Against the Wall 55218 31.28 -1.976 52.9% -2.087
Disintegrating Ecosystem 67083 27.91 -3.694 49.25% -2.222
Downward Spiral 169853 25.38 -3.412 57.04% -2.022
Erosion of Will 69675 29.62 -2.811 49.91% -2.208
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 12363 37.95 1.305 80.62% -0.679
Memory Fades to Dust 171092 24.79 -3.712 52.94% -2.215
Power Corrodes the Spirit 32051 30.78 -2.342 53.76% -2.021
Promising Farmlands 68216 28.59 -3.341 49.72% -2.208
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 8169 38.22 1.513 84.83% -0.411
Thriving Communities 31633 30.11 -2.697 51.97% -2.088
Tipping Point 30944 28.15 -3.426 49.05% -2.225
Unnatural Proliferation 34053 31.9 -1.813 52.37% -2.081
Untended Land Crumbles 32033 30.17 -2.663 51.9% -2.102

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Difficulty

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.24 Win Model: -0.65
Number Completed Average Score Win Rate
1 1667911 30.99 72.58%
2 382819 32.1 75.28%
3 100438 34.37 78.78%
4 71830 38.97 80.55%

Wave (in Second Wave Scenario)

Score Model: -0.43 Win Model: -0.1

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Difficulty

Difficulty is calculated treating England 6 as difficulty 11, "Start of Game Growth" as -1, and "Skip Initial Invader Actions" as -2. Use of the Thematic island is +1 difficulty if tokens are used, +3 if they are not used. Scenarios with variable difficulty use the average or "assumed" value.

Difficulty Model

Logistic regression coefficient, only looking at games involving this Spirit, using difficulty to predict win likelihood. The lower the value, the worse this Spirit is affected by high difficulty.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-04-15 02:07:53 (Pacific Time)