Spirits

Adversaries

Scenarios

Layouts

Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model
A 487543 45.53% 30.1 -0.661 73.35% 0.76
B 503271 44.79% 31.19 -0.155 74.53% 0.857
C 571786 44.54% 31.35 0.3 76.34% 1.089
D 470342 44.79% 30.56 -0.359 74.65% 0.85
E 144967 46.67% 35.47 0.838 74.99% 0.965
F 214006 43.79% 34.06 0.419 76.27% 0.914
G 194432 44.5% 33.52 0.234 75.7% 0.905
H 201049 42.7% 34.31 0.509 77.01% 0.914
East 45905 42.9% 43.07 2.437 68.15% 0.649
Northeast 45945 44.04% 41.6 1.88 67.12% 0.599
Northwest 35450 42.39% 41.41 1.607 68.82% 0.67
Southeast 9284 42.47% 37.74 0.536 72.36% 0.706
Southwest 8670 46.85% 33.79 -1.944 66.3% 0.273
West 41024 43.92% 41.41 1.337 66.07% 0.399

Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model
No Blight Card 182150 0.0% 19.31 -4.528 70.45% -2.056
Not Using Events or Tokens 495926 45.9% 23.38 -2.911 73.46% -0.216
Skip Initial Invader Actions 68098 14.04% 39.25 2.993 90.86% 0.687
Start of Game Growth 95646 16.36% 38.45 2.528 89.67% 0.47
Unlimited Undo 218454 36.72% 34.61 1.29 82.36% 0.42
Using Tokens but Not Events 220279 33.52% 30.17 -1.019 82.3% 0.052

Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model
A Pall Upon the Land 69878 30.75 -2.249 52.69% -2.073
Aid From Lesser Spirits 56792 32.81 -1.235 56.31% -1.918
All Things Weaken 31595 30.73 -2.376 50.55% -2.17
Back Against the Wall 54223 31.25 -1.98 52.86% -2.091
Disintegrating Ecosystem 65859 27.89 -3.692 49.28% -2.225
Downward Spiral 167461 25.36 -3.408 57.1% -2.023
Erosion of Will 68431 29.61 -2.803 49.96% -2.209
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 11935 37.86 1.272 80.63% -0.686
Memory Fades to Dust 168599 24.75 -3.716 52.93% -2.219
Power Corrodes the Spirit 30974 30.76 -2.342 53.83% -2.024
Promising Farmlands 67061 28.55 -3.35 49.67% -2.214
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 7887 38.17 1.509 84.95% -0.41
Thriving Communities 30593 30.09 -2.699 52.01% -2.095
Tipping Point 30942 28.15 -3.419 49.04% -2.226
Unnatural Proliferation 32894 31.87 -1.815 52.38% -2.087
Untended Land Crumbles 30937 30.14 -2.661 51.9% -2.106

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Difficulty

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.24 Win Model: -0.77
Number Completed Average Score Win Rate
1 1637855 30.96 72.58%
2 375739 32.08 75.29%
3 98460 34.33 78.81%
4 70545 38.93 80.5%

Wave (in Second Wave Scenario)

Score Model: -0.42 Win Model: -0.1

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Difficulty

Difficulty is calculated treating England 6 as difficulty 11, "Start of Game Growth" as -1, and "Skip Initial Invader Actions" as -2. Use of the Thematic island is +1 difficulty if tokens are used, +3 if they are not used. Scenarios with variable difficulty use the average or "assumed" value.

Difficulty Model

Logistic regression coefficient, only looking at games involving this Spirit, using difficulty to predict win likelihood. The lower the value, the worse this Spirit is affected by high difficulty.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-04-01 02:56:45 (Pacific Time)