Spirits

Adversaries

Scenarios

Layouts

Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model
A 424524 45.41% 30.07 -0.643 73.24% 1.09
B 437662 44.7% 31.11 -0.152 74.42% 1.185
C 496687 44.58% 31.29 0.316 76.14% 1.415
D 410777 44.7% 30.49 -0.353 74.53% 1.177
E 106256 46.69% 35.45 0.828 74.7% 1.277
F 172496 43.53% 34.07 0.442 76.24% 1.243
G 158327 44.29% 33.55 0.265 75.56% 1.231
H 164378 42.5% 34.32 0.536 76.85% 1.24
East 40641 43.18% 42.7 2.381 67.57% 0.951
Northeast 40401 44.17% 41.51 1.858 66.53% 0.89
Northwest 31693 42.62% 41.19 1.586 68.17% 0.965
Southeast 7131 43.74% 37.32 0.519 71.7% 1.001
Southwest 6655 47.44% 33.09 -2.023 66.18% 0.608
West 36354 44.54% 40.86 1.176 65.09% 0.686

Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model
No Blight Card 158422 0.0% 19.33 -4.494 70.36% -2.044
Not Using Events or Tokens 430088 46.42% 23.3 -2.946 73.2% -0.219
Skip Initial Invader Actions 59346 14.11% 39.13 3.042 90.79% 0.704
Start of Game Growth 82366 16.49% 38.28 2.507 89.51% 0.454
Unlimited Undo 185603 36.59% 34.57 1.319 82.11% 0.412
Using Tokens but Not Events 188280 34.35% 30.0 -1.05 81.76% 0.048

Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model
A Pall Upon the Land 60306 30.68 -2.255 52.49% -2.07
Aid From Lesser Spirits 48818 32.65 -1.279 56.09% -1.918
All Things Weaken 23416 30.78 -2.334 50.5% -2.155
Back Against the Wall 46544 31.06 -2.039 52.55% -2.096
Disintegrating Ecosystem 56834 27.78 -3.71 49.03% -2.224
Downward Spiral 146882 25.31 -3.395 56.94% -2.017
Erosion of Will 58890 29.52 -2.818 49.69% -2.21
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 8747 37.74 1.239 80.06% -0.704
Memory Fades to Dust 147750 24.68 -3.718 52.72% -2.215
Power Corrodes the Spirit 22900 30.67 -2.346 53.59% -2.02
Promising Farmlands 57967 28.44 -3.373 49.45% -2.213
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 5767 38.06 1.483 84.46% -0.436
Thriving Communities 22655 29.92 -2.74 51.71% -2.098
Tipping Point 30931 28.15 -3.407 49.04% -2.218
Unnatural Proliferation 24192 31.8 -1.82 52.16% -2.078
Untended Land Crumbles 22889 30.06 -2.666 51.68% -2.099

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Difficulty

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.25 Win Model: -1.1
Number Completed Average Score Win Rate
1 1390093 30.81 72.4%
2 321782 32.1 75.13%
3 84719 34.28 78.49%
4 60414 38.71 80.05%

Wave (in Second Wave Scenario)

Score Model: -0.42 Win Model: -0.11

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Difficulty

Difficulty is calculated treating England 6 as difficulty 11, "Start of Game Growth" as -1, and "Skip Initial Invader Actions" as -2. Use of the Thematic island is +1 difficulty if tokens are used, +3 if they are not used. Scenarios with variable difficulty use the average or "assumed" value.

Difficulty Model

Logistic regression coefficient, only looking at games involving this Spirit, using difficulty to predict win likelihood. The lower the value, the worse this Spirit is affected by high difficulty.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2024-12-23 01:48:01 (Pacific Time)