Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
Other (7 Boards)

Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
19	35.29%	40.37	78.95%

Results using Spirits

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	6	0.0%	45.33	100.0%	0.27
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	3	66.67%	42.67	66.67%	-0.205
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	4	0.0%	51.75	100.0%	0.318
Downpour Drenches the World	2	0.0%	29.5	100.0%
Eyes Watch From the Trees	3	33.33%	23.33	66.67%	-0.414
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	1	0.0%	54.0	100.0%	-0.681
Finder of Paths Unseen	2	50.0%	30.5	100.0%	0.265
Fractured Days Split the Sky	2	0.0%	41.0	50.0%	-0.112
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	4	50.0%	28.5	25.0%	-0.525
Heart of the Wildfire	3	100.0%	60.67	100.0%	0.175
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	6	16.67%	46.33	100.0%	-0.285
Lightning's Swift Strike	1	0.0%	96.0	100.0%	0.132
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	3	33.33%	36.67	100.0%
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	7	16.67%	43.86	100.0%	0.59
Many Minds Move as One	4	50.0%	47.25	75.0%	0.063
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	7	60.0%	49.0	71.43%	0.437
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	6	50.0%	27.5	33.33%	-0.244
River Surges in Sunlight	6	50.0%	43.67	50.0%	-0.202
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	3	33.33%	44.67	100.0%
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	2	0.0%	44.0	100.0%
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	2	0.0%	25.0	100.0%	0.088
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous	1	0.0%	39.0	100.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding	1	0.0%	49.0	100.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness	1	0.0%	31.0	100.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	2	100.0%	16.0	0.0%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	2	0.0%	28.5	100.0%
Shifting Memory of Ages	2	50.0%	38.0	100.0%	-0.088
Shroud of Silent Mist	2	100.0%	65.5	100.0%	0.175
Starlight Seeks its Form	4	25.0%	38.75	75.0%	0.38
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	5	40.0%	46.4	100.0%	0.031
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	4	75.0%	21.25	50.0%
Thunderspeaker	1	0.0%	28.0	100.0%
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	3	100.0%	51.0	100.0%	0.361
Vital Strength of the Earth	4	0.0%	35.0	75.0%	-0.484
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	1	0.0%	39.0	100.0%
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	2	50.0%	27.0	50.0%	-0.265
Volcano Looming High	2	50.0%	25.0	50.0%	0.088

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	1	0.0%	49.0	100.0%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	4	66.67%	33.5	50.0%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	1	100.0%	81.0	100.0%
The Kingdom of England	0	1	1	0.0%	52.0	100.0%
The Kingdom of England	1	3	1	0.0%	54.0	100.0%
The Kingdom of England	3	6	1	100.0%	23.0	0.0%
The Kingdom of England	4	7	1	0.0%	96.0	100.0%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	1	0.0%	52.0	100.0%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	1	0.0%	30.0	0.0%
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	3	0.0%	50.33	100.0%
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	1	100.0%	51.0	100.0%
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	1	0.0%	96.0	100.0%

Results using Scenarios

Scenario	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Model (Diff≥10)
Elemental Invocation	1	1	0.0%	54.0	100.0%
Guard the Isle's Heart	0	1	0.0%	30.0	0.0%	-0.131
Second Wave	0	4	25.0%	24.25	100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Model (Diff≥10)
Downward Spiral	3	37.67	33.33%	-0.037
Memory Fades to Dust	1	23.0	0.0%	-0.265
Power Corrodes the Spirit	1	51.0	100.0%
Unnatural Proliferation	1	22.0	100.0%

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Model (Diff≥10)
A	15	46.15%	44.07	73.33%	0.157
B	16	35.71%	39.94	75.0%	0.008
C	17	40.0%	40.18	76.47%	-0.345
D	17	40.0%	41.06	82.35%	0.172
E	17	26.67%	37.35	76.47%	-0.167
F	15	28.57%	39.0	86.67%	0.053
G	15	42.86%	37.47	73.33%	-0.096
H	16	21.43%	44.5	93.75%	0.273

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	2	0.0%	73.0	100.0%	0.132
Skip Initial Invader Actions	6	0.0%	56.33	100.0%	0.132
Start of Game Growth	5	0.0%	59.8	100.0%	-0.001
Unlimited Undo	5	0.0%	59.8	100.0%	0.132
Using Tokens but Not Events	4	0.0%	62.5	100.0%	-0.187

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	2	22.56	0.0%
II	4	30.98	100.0%
III	10	34.53	80.0%
IV	3	37.77	100.0%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	8
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	4
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	3
Lose: Scenario condition	1
Lose: Blight pool ran out	3

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.