Results with Adversaries

Results using Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 33.33% 7.0 0.0% -0.133
Blitz 0 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.439
Dahan Insurrection 4 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0% -0.468
Elemental Invocation 1 2 0.0% 27.0 50.0% -0.065
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3 0.0% 36.67 33.33% 0.167 -0.4796 0.309
Rituals of Terror 3 2 100.0% 24.5 0.0% -0.173
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.115
Second Wave 0 31 29.03% 22.77 80.65% -0.132 -0.1014 -0.207
Varied Terrains 2 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.317
Ward the Shores 2 2 100.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.224

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1 25.0 0.0% -0.173
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1 21.0 0.0% -0.276 -0.3304 0.09
Back Against the Wall 1 61.0 0.0% 0.054
Burn Brightest Before the End 3 24.0 100.0%
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2 24.0 100.0% -0.044
Downward Spiral 5 33.2 60.0% 0.112 0.2399 0.228
Intensifying Exploitation 1 57.0 100.0% 0.092 0.3402 0.193
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1 0.0 0.0% -0.107
Memory Fades to Dust 2 22.0 50.0% -0.158
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2 25.5 50.0% -0.337
Promising Farmlands 1 24.0 0.0% -0.385
Slow Dissolution of Will 2 27.5 50.0%
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 2 23.0 100.0%
Thriving Communities 1 30.0 0.0% -0.128 0.2107 -0.1
Unnatural Proliferation 1 22.0 100.0% 0.132 0.2718 0.147
Untended Land Crumbles 1 23.0 100.0%

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 88 23.53% 20.69 46.59% 0.006 0.8678 0.163
B 97 25.53% 19.02 47.42% 0.07 0.8865 1.048
C 101 24.49% 19.32 45.54% -0.069 0.6095 -0.122
D 103 23.0% 19.35 45.63% -0.126 0.679 -0.726
E 100 21.43% 18.98 45.0% -0.106 0.5623 0.357
F 102 24.0% 19.29 48.04% 0.622 1.4208 0.141
G 89 25.29% 18.09 42.7% -0.231 0.5946 -0.254
H 95 22.83% 19.23 46.32% -0.124 0.6489 -0.693

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3 0.0% 48.67 66.67% 0.06
Skip Initial Invader Actions 15 0.0% 42.87 80.0% 0.27
Start of Game Growth 16 0.0% 37.75 68.75% 0.048
Unlimited Undo 20 0.0% 30.2 55.0% 0.102 0.1462 0.066
Using Tokens but Not Events 20 11.76% 28.35 70.0% 0.068 0.0095 -0.131

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 53 15.74 1.89%
II 18 30.48 61.11%
III 27 34.79 92.59%
IV 15 38.41 100.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 25
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 51
Lose: Adversary condition 1
Lose: Scenario condition 2
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)