Results with Adversaries

Results using Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
Blitz 0 28129 38.29% 25.79 57.73% -0.357 0.0749 -0.154
Dahan Insurrection 4 26802 26.12% 47.05 69.04% -0.189 -0.2145 0.593
Despicable Theft 2 5131 37.48% 25.66 57.96% -0.539 0.1207 -0.283
Elemental Invocation 1 7200 44.56% 22.85 51.43% -0.446 0.0019 -1.842
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 90954 21.07% 42.15 69.78% 0.496 -0.1036 0.537
Powers Long Forgotten 1 9825 46.29% 25.29 56.55% -0.789 -0.1807 -0.877
Rituals of Terror 3 10094 44.12% 29.89 57.11% -0.465 -0.3406 -0.289
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 6164 62.46% 27.37 53.05% -0.573 0.1652 -0.237
Second Wave 0 81457 40.57% 27.1 71.43% 0.112 0.2178 0.688
The Great River 3 6434 43.9% 24.65 46.08% -0.997 0.1773 -0.607
Varied Terrains 2 4077 42.79% 21.23 45.55% -0.883 -0.1462 -1.521
Ward the Shores 2 10179 46.03% 26.16 52.33% -0.628 0.054 -0.981

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 94426 29.4 49.38% -0.401 -0.0903 -0.056
Aid From Lesser Spirits 68248 32.03 53.76% -0.115 -0.1023 0.35
All Things Weaken 65920 28.79 46.46% -0.519 -0.0447 0.004
Attenuated Essence 18385 28.11 46.12% -0.27 -0.1238 0.041
Back Against the Wall 65380 30.31 51.07% -0.272 -0.1428 0.26
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 18594 26.78 43.07% -0.478 -0.1583 -0.059
Burn Brightest Before the End 11396 29.62 46.36% -0.172 0.0051 0.095
Disintegrating Ecosystem 91033 26.29 45.54% -0.436 -0.0556 -0.191
Downward Spiral 235747 22.65 52.09% -0.22 -0.0264 0.144
Erosion of Will 93644 28.4 46.93% -0.391 -0.053 -0.086
Intensifying Exploitation 18609 25.69 41.96% -0.359 -0.0068 -0.004
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 23860 34.58 73.68% 0.352 -0.0113 0.503
Memory Fades to Dust 236787 22.17 48.5% -0.367 -0.0379 -0.024
Power Corrodes the Spirit 64961 28.58 49.1% -0.368 -0.1015 0.016
Promising Farmlands 90790 27.15 45.96% -0.53 -0.0827 -0.205
Shattered Fragments of Power 11323 29.45 45.67% -0.166 -0.1663 0.147
Slow Dissolution of Will 18257 26.15 38.96% -0.504 -0.0928 -0.18
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 15557 34.99 77.19% 0.402 -0.1571 0.588
The Border of Life and Death 4572 30.31 62.42% 0.129 -0.1159 0.439
Thriving Communities 64292 27.67 46.65% -0.449 -0.1713 -0.046
Thriving Crops 7720 28.15 53.59% 0.114 0.0183 0.248
Tipping Point 21452 27.31 48.73%
Unnatural Proliferation 66783 30.18 47.98% -0.282 -0.0777 0.042
Untended Land Crumbles 64907 28.14 47.61% -0.376 -0.0766 -0.078

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 590151 46.09% 25.03 60.72% -0.138 0.8536 -0.069
B 591613 45.46% 27.06 63.04% -0.011 0.8542 -0.111
C 752899 44.65% 27.47 66.23% 0.145 0.897 0.152
D 542964 45.47% 26.0 62.75% -0.051 0.8933 -0.134
E 289362 43.98% 31.21 63.92% 0.124 0.8785 0.08
F 305426 43.95% 29.7 64.74% -0.036 0.8382 -0.042
G 262695 44.92% 29.12 64.32% -0.07 0.7928 -0.021
H 275491 42.48% 30.5 66.66% 0.024 0.8317 0.133

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 327682 0.0% 15.75 57.85% -0.599 0.1209 -0.849
Not Using Events or Tokens 820763 43.86% 18.53 60.93% -0.451 0.0231 -0.489
Skip Initial Invader Actions 85619 14.92% 36.46 82.62% 0.769 -0.0359 -0.067
Start of Game Growth 129457 19.09% 36.2 80.67% 0.68 0.1134 0.889
Unlimited Undo 330755 37.31% 31.05 71.39% -0.092 -0.065 0.41
Using Tokens but Not Events 360144 31.93% 26.33 72.6% 0.017 -0.0108 -0.385

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 858960 12.25 16.71%
II 1389947 29.91 67.93%
III 951008 34.94 85.1%
IV 410272 38.9 99.6%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 143080
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 797575
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 917890
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 404149
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 464173
Lose: Invader deck ran out 51064
Lose: Adversary condition 197528
Win: Sacrifice victory 15813
Lose: Scenario condition 16944
Win: Scenario condition 27125
Lose: Unique spirit condition 19
Lose: Blight pool ran out 547779
Lose: Spirit destroyed 27048

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)