Fragment (2) - Statistics

Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
10525	50.04%	29.69	72.29%

Results using Spirits

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	1617	40.38%	27.8	76.25%	0.483	0.328	0.519
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	718	62.35%	24.21	65.04%	0.705	0.8258	-0.386
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	527	45.8%	27.83	78.18%	-0.364	-0.5205	0.024
Downpour Drenches the World	102	51.0%	31.18	67.65%	0.285	0.485	0.54
Ember-Eyed Behemoth	74	50.0%	32.68	63.51%	0.703	-0.1124	-0.194
Eyes Watch From the Trees	710	32.45%	29.35	84.08%	0.206	-0.3857	0.177
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	655	37.78%	31.21	80.0%	0.495	0.0112	-0.129
Finder of Paths Unseen	58	65.52%	29.29	60.34%	-0.269	0.4128	0.396
Fractured Days Split the Sky	166	56.36%	36.3	65.06%	-0.066	0.5797	0.402
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	204	54.9%	41.99	79.41%	0.737	0.6518	0.804
Heart of the Wildfire	705	68.31%	23.91	57.16%	-0.337	-0.0876	-0.75
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	1298	47.78%	33.59	76.35%	-0.062	-0.4873	0.691
Lightning's Swift Strike	1512	46.12%	23.37	69.18%	0.415	0.6416	0.452
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	52	67.31%	42.17	61.54%	-0.29	-0.932	0.43
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	146	54.11%	42.45	76.71%	0.554	0.3385	0.786
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	144	53.52%	41.19	73.61%	-0.636	-0.7899	0.93
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	462	57.7%	38.85	74.24%	0.133	0.0027	0.439
Many Minds Move as One	289	46.53%	31.3	78.89%	-0.426	-0.6095	-0.013
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	1389	54.49%	29.53	73.29%	-0.338	-0.338	0.736
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	544	43.98%	28.83	78.31%	-0.09	-0.229	-0.427
River Surges in Sunlight	1549	49.51%	25.95	69.21%	-0.143	-0.0929	0.236
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	146	46.1%	29.62	70.55%	0.24	0.4963	-0.672
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	51	41.18%	40.18	70.59%	0.916	0.8036	0.163
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	785	48.28%	30.37	71.46%	0.514	0.2887	0.42
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	804	61.72%	22.25	61.57%	-0.326	0.1727	-1.045
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous	7	42.86%	31.0	100.0%	0.431	0.3971
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding	16	68.75%	33.44	62.5%	-0.192	-0.2104	-0.363
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness	63	54.84%	29.84	80.95%	0.279	0.2022	-0.631
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	48	53.19%	30.75	66.67%	-0.845	-0.7524	0.321
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	923	43.3%	33.77	77.03%	0.909	0.7915	0.786
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained	21	52.38%	43.24	90.48%	1.814	1.3675	1.109
Shifting Memory of Ages	182	55.62%	30.58	74.18%	1.029	1.4141	0.608
Shroud of Silent Mist	177	61.93%	23.89	62.15%	-0.409	-0.1227	-1.312
Starlight Seeks its Form	313	51.94%	44.79	72.84%	-0.374	-0.629	1.101
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	542	56.48%	36.83	71.4%	0.422	-0.0763	0.482
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	512	44.83%	32.27	77.34%	1.289	1.3486	0.385
Thunderspeaker	1049	46.85%	26.66	70.26%	-0.173	-0.1852	0.06
Thunderspeaker — Tactician	22	31.82%	38.5	72.73%	0.409	0.2695	1.003
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	437	80.5%	37.01	64.99%	0.36	0.4138	0.099
Vital Strength of the Earth	1136	40.6%	21.15	69.1%	0.045	0.5922	-0.206
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	22	31.82%	40.73	90.91%	0.292	0.5445	1.082
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	56	53.57%	26.68	67.86%	-0.83	0.0499	-0.557
Volcano Looming High	512	65.36%	44.37	73.44%	-0.243	-0.2493	1.007

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	51	62.75%	27.22	-3.487	76.47%	-0.494	-0.2507
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	54	61.11%	30.94	3.729	79.63%	0.484	0.8929
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	62	67.21%	34.45	-0.177	62.9%	-0.271	0.4875
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	65	74.6%	33.43	1.265	52.31%	-0.156	0.8898
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	34	88.24%	34.62	-11.469	41.18%	-1.011	0.3139
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	10	100.0%	41.0	1.818	60.0%	-0.334	1.3813
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	51	84.31%	38.67	6.349	33.33%	-0.675	1.3724
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	318	37.82%	23.33	-2.109	83.33%	-0.16	-0.0482
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	304	38.08%	28.81	-2.694	84.87%	-0.424	-0.5076
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	346	46.63%	36.99	4.617	84.39%	0.239	0.2226
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	251	58.3%	40.02	6.587	73.71%	0.053	0.2885
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	160	52.2%	45.61	0.696	79.38%	-0.816	-0.7318
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	92	65.93%	47.41	17.132	67.39%	1.204	1.6974
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	182	79.12%	42.37	-1.872	50.55%	-1.29	0.017
The Kingdom of England	0	1	227	36.28%	23.21	-2.85	78.85%	-0.4	-0.1597
The Kingdom of England	1	3	187	51.08%	30.22	2.46	75.4%	0.3	0.4729
The Kingdom of England	2	4	198	54.82%	30.87	0.445	62.63%	-0.689	0.0447
The Kingdom of England	3	6	190	65.79%	33.12	7.879	50.53%	0.168	1.2977
The Kingdom of England	4	7	151	63.09%	36.68	13.622	49.01%	0.277	1.276
The Kingdom of England	5	9	85	76.47%	38.75	0.784	37.65%	-1.315	0.3121
The Kingdom of England	6	11	203	67.49%	41.92	6.396	36.95%	-0.669	1.3911
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	115	48.7%	26.09	-2.456	73.04%	-0.036	0.3615
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	116	58.26%	28.11	1.412	66.38%	0.191	1.1757
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	182	61.54%	30.21	1.372	44.51%	-0.984	0.1248
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	159	64.78%	39.08	2.855	52.83%	-0.515	0.8409
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	88	64.77%	37.34	-8.28	40.91%	-1.176	0.2592
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	59	79.66%	40.07		38.98%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	792	67.42%	58.1	11.419	67.93%	-0.539	0.7827
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	13	30.77%	30.23	3.483	100.0%	0.335	0.2905
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	20	20.0%	22.4	-4.244	45.0%	-1.378	-0.9587
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	21	38.1%	32.24	0.133	66.67%	-0.017	0.3546
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	19	52.63%	37.84	5.058	63.16%	0.457	0.8403
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	16	68.75%	44.19	9.474	75.0%	0.668	1.2751
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	9	66.67%	54.56	19.08	88.89%	0.735	1.488
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	57	68.42%	53.25	14.687	68.42%	0.872	2.1493
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	151	37.84%	22.62	-1.585	84.77%	0.136	0.2968
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	125	46.4%	28.29	1.042	85.6%	-0.169	-0.1491
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	154	56.49%	30.99	3.874	79.87%	1.251	1.4758
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	163	60.74%	38.5	6.063	76.69%	0.471	0.8844
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	98	71.43%	35.29	7.923	60.2%	0.594	1.1838
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	49	79.59%	37.55	5.139	55.1%	-0.294	0.6226
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	279	70.61%	47.36	0.281	72.76%	-0.794	0.0457
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	44	27.27%	27.91	3.627	86.36%	-0.007	0.1057
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	45	60.0%	30.04	-0.398	71.11%	-0.054	0.4951
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	40	55.0%	36.33	-11.993	77.5%	-0.855	-0.5098
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	55	69.09%	37.71	-4.263	58.18%	-0.36	0.7812
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	27	70.37%	48.48	15.832	77.78%	0.683	1.6884
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	26	96.15%	33.38	-0.198	23.08%	-1.525	-0.0826
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	73	86.3%	46.79	13.417	39.73%	0.384	2.3165

Results using Scenarios

Scenario	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits	0	5	0.0%	27.6	100.0%	0.541	0.275
Blitz	0	67	46.27%	25.16	74.63%	0.496	0.6522	-0.568
Dahan Insurrection	4	68	30.88%	50.44	73.53%	0.426	0.1581	-0.868
Despicable Theft	2	11	54.55%	25.09	45.45%
Elemental Invocation	1	29	72.41%	29.0	75.86%			-1.126
Guard the Isle's Heart	0	292	16.96%	39.56	72.6%	-0.149	-0.7823	0.389
Powers Long Forgotten	1	46	73.91%	25.57	54.35%	-0.243	0.2903	-0.839
Rituals of Terror	3	29	68.97%	34.45	58.62%	0.087	0.19	-0.37
Rituals of the Destroying Flame	3	26	96.15%	28.31	34.62%	-0.034	0.9715	0.547
Second Wave	0	353	47.29%	27.7	71.95%	0.16	0.2262	-0.751
Varied Terrains	2	7	71.43%	37.29	100.0%	0.459	1.0378	0.453
Ward the Shores	2	25	56.0%	32.08	60.0%			-0.558

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	326	32.64	59.2%	-0.047	0.1436	-0.416
Aid From Lesser Spirits	419	31.74	57.76%	-0.305	-0.3695	-0.46
All Things Weaken	206	32.08	53.88%	-0.38	0.0067	-0.403
Attenuated Essence	3	14.0	66.67%	-0.186	-0.08
Back Against the Wall	356	31.38	57.87%	0.184	0.2462	-0.298
Blight Corrodes the Spirit	8	12.63	37.5%	-0.314	-0.0311
Burn Brightest Before the End	14	31.71	64.29%	-0.077	0.1136	0.703
Disintegrating Ecosystem	323	29.56	51.7%	-1.248	-0.8157	-0.45
Downward Spiral	805	23.32	53.42%	-0.854	-0.5939	-0.508
Erosion of Will	323	29.68	54.49%	-0.826	-0.4968	-0.635
Intensifying Exploitation	6	26.17	33.33%	-0.44	-0.1414	0.026
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	83	42.54	81.93%	0.793	0.2946	0.353
Memory Fades to Dust	750	23.88	53.47%	-0.814	-0.4194	-0.477
Power Corrodes the Spirit	199	33.28	58.79%	-0.771	-0.5259	-0.257
Promising Farmlands	382	26.29	48.43%	-1.496	-1.0088	-0.814
Shattered Fragments of Power	8	26.0	37.5%	-0.508	-0.4313	-0.581
Slow Dissolution of Will	8	42.38	75.0%	0.828	1.2618	0.928
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	51	40.75	88.24%	0.841	0.2085	0.72
The Border of Life and Death	4	24.0	50.0%	-0.128	-0.4883
Thriving Communities	176	33.19	57.95%	0.122	0.4994	-0.532
Thriving Crops	1	28.0	0.0%	-0.145	-0.2015
Tipping Point	110	25.45	42.73%			-0.381
Unnatural Proliferation	171	40.02	70.18%	0.011	0.2116	0.252
Untended Land Crumbles	193	31.18	50.26%	-0.931	-0.6618	-0.518

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	3776	49.15%	27.88	72.03%	-0.432	0.4296	-0.07
B	3793	50.34%	29.33	71.0%	-0.294	0.533	0.148
C	4064	50.63%	30.73	72.27%	0.261	0.9493	0.199
D	3460	48.7%	27.35	72.11%	0.085	0.9135	-0.254
E	1286	55.29%	34.33	73.87%	-0.013	0.6448	0.253
F	1833	52.57%	35.19	73.87%	0.412	1.164	0.12
G	1436	47.68%	27.5	71.94%	-0.241	0.5296	-0.335
H	1402	47.1%	28.99	73.54%	0.232	0.9216	-0.071

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	683	0.0%	14.66	57.83%	-1.227	-0.4017
Not Using Events or Tokens	2063	45.7%	19.57	68.25%	-0.098	0.2385	-0.269
Skip Initial Invader Actions	354	14.11%	29.26	89.83%	0.527	-0.0804	0.805
Start of Game Growth	478	20.17%	27.95	88.08%	0.309	0.0308	1.119
Unlimited Undo	1095	37.46%	28.76	81.74%	0.033	0.0327	0.734
Using Tokens but Not Events	971	39.84%	25.17	77.65%	0.423	0.3525	0.119

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	1415	20.73	14.7%
II	3795	31.02	66.38%
III	3834	34.75	88.81%
IV	1481	38.04	99.66%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	208
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	3348
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	2451
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	1465
Game abandoned (v.3.0+)	138
Lose: Invader deck ran out	81
Lose: Adversary condition	651
Win: Sacrifice victory	30
Lose: Scenario condition	73
Win: Scenario condition	106
Lose: Blight pool ran out	1834
Lose: Spirit destroyed	140

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
Fragment (2 Boards)

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Scenarios

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2025-12-05 04:04:23 (Pacific Time)

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:Fragment (2 Boards)

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Scenarios

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2025-12-05 04:04:23 (Pacific Time)

Detailed Statistics:
Fragment (2 Boards)