Fragment (2) - Statistics

Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
10358	50.02%	29.83	72.68%

Results using Spirits

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	1597	40.47%	27.91	76.58%	0.526	0.3793	0.627
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	705	62.52%	24.11	64.82%	0.287	0.3804	-0.545
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	522	45.45%	27.96	78.54%	-0.395	-0.5749	0.063
Downpour Drenches the World	92	52.17%	32.1	67.39%	0.348	0.5435	0.712
Ember-Eyed Behemoth	57	45.61%	31.44	66.67%	0.32	-0.3621	0.027
Eyes Watch From the Trees	699	32.14%	29.47	84.55%	-0.168	-0.7522	0.118
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	648	37.92%	31.38	80.09%	0.253	-0.1962	-0.167
Finder of Paths Unseen	53	64.15%	29.45	64.15%	0.169	0.874	0.327
Fractured Days Split the Sky	165	56.71%	36.52	65.45%	-0.302	0.4062	0.402
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	185	56.22%	42.65	79.46%	0.66	0.5647	0.755
Heart of the Wildfire	699	68.17%	24.01	57.22%	-0.621	-0.3527	-0.774
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	1288	47.61%	33.75	76.71%	0.178	-0.2906	0.676
Lightning's Swift Strike	1501	46.1%	23.46	69.35%	0.407	0.616	0.434
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	45	64.44%	44.78	71.11%	-0.004	-0.7152	0.948
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	145	53.79%	42.28	76.55%	0.367	0.0402	0.742
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	141	53.96%	41.75	74.47%	-0.629	-0.8181	0.91
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	456	58.02%	38.82	74.34%	-0.157	-0.327	0.345
Many Minds Move as One	281	46.79%	31.93	80.43%	0.117	-0.1279	-0.065
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	1370	54.35%	29.84	74.16%	0.018	-0.0055	0.757
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	535	43.39%	28.81	79.07%	0.297	0.1671	-0.369
River Surges in Sunlight	1529	49.35%	26.19	69.78%	0.175	0.1657	0.199
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	144	46.04%	29.93	71.53%	0.448	0.6916	-0.721
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	48	39.58%	40.58	68.75%	-0.038	-0.1871	0.004
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	778	48.46%	30.48	71.59%	0.526	0.3148	0.292
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	793	62.14%	22.52	62.17%	0.307	0.7483	-0.949
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous	6	50.0%	28.33	100.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding	14	78.57%	33.43	64.29%	-0.658	-0.6333	-0.384
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness	62	54.1%	30.23	82.26%	0.148	0.1054	-0.709
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	46	55.56%	32.09	69.57%			0.606
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	921	43.39%	33.76	77.09%	1.142	0.9982	0.782
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained	20	55.0%	44.1	90.0%	1.504	1.1787	1.066
Shifting Memory of Ages	168	56.1%	31.24	73.81%	1.317	1.6884	0.712
Shroud of Silent Mist	171	60.59%	24.05	64.33%	-0.328	0.0005	-0.954
Starlight Seeks its Form	300	53.51%	45.41	73.67%	-0.216	-0.4869	1.062
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	540	56.51%	36.78	71.48%	0.143	-0.3429	0.553
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	503	45.25%	32.33	76.94%	0.948	0.9948	0.332
Thunderspeaker	1037	46.71%	26.72	70.59%	-0.321	-0.3533	0.011
Thunderspeaker — Tactician	19	26.32%	36.63	73.68%	0.288	0.2774	0.955
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	432	80.51%	37.0	65.05%	0.131	0.1764	0.058
Vital Strength of the Earth	1122	40.44%	21.31	69.43%	-0.059	0.4991	-0.233
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	21	33.33%	39.24	90.48%	0.223	0.4585	0.987
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	55	52.73%	26.78	69.09%	-1.026	-0.1197	-0.58
Volcano Looming High	504	65.41%	44.72	74.01%	-0.385	-0.3634	0.943

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	48	64.58%	27.54	-0.045	79.17%	0.178	0.3811
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	52	59.62%	31.27	3.761	80.77%	0.452	0.8916
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	60	66.1%	34.13	0.686	61.67%	-0.22	0.4762
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	65	74.6%	33.43	-0.705	52.31%	-0.209	0.8503
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	33	87.88%	35.67	-1.772	42.42%	-0.158	0.9963
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	9	100.0%	45.56	15.554	66.67%	0.082	1.6534
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	49	85.71%	39.65	8.639	34.69%	-0.533	1.3937
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	316	38.06%	23.25	-3.3	83.54%	-0.121	-0.0522
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	295	37.88%	29.42	0.025	86.78%	0.131	0.0255
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	346	46.63%	36.99	4.746	84.39%	0.354	0.2802
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	250	58.13%	40.18	8.997	74.0%	0.928	1.207
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	159	51.9%	45.78	0.322	79.87%	-1.06	-1.0329
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	91	65.56%	47.34	14.557	67.03%	0.605	1.0551
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	176	80.11%	43.09	-2.07	51.14%	-1.332	-0.055
The Kingdom of England	0	1	226	36.44%	23.31	-2.621	79.2%	-0.398	-0.2557
The Kingdom of England	1	3	184	51.91%	30.35	2.985	76.09%	0.423	0.6445
The Kingdom of England	2	4	196	54.87%	30.82	-0.957	62.76%	-0.639	0.1061
The Kingdom of England	3	6	188	65.96%	33.12	2.638	50.53%	-0.609	0.5659
The Kingdom of England	4	7	151	63.09%	36.68	11.354	49.01%	0.366	1.3762
The Kingdom of England	5	9	80	75.0%	38.96	-1.405	38.75%	-1.788	-0.2326
The Kingdom of England	6	11	199	67.34%	42.43	10.135	37.69%	-0.342	1.6381
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	113	49.56%	26.39	-0.446	74.34%	0.355	0.6912
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	116	58.26%	28.11	1.4	66.38%	0.214	1.1664
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	181	61.33%	30.3	0.873	44.75%	-0.905	0.2124
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	157	64.97%	39.43	4.239	53.5%	-0.317	1.0883
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	87	64.37%	37.47	-5.713	41.38%	-0.801	0.5931
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	59	79.66%	40.07	23.746	38.98%	0.18	1.1539
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	782	67.52%	58.22	10.633	68.16%	-0.44	0.9433
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	13	30.77%	30.23	-1.516	100.0%	0.233	0.1207
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	15	6.67%	23.33	-4.907	53.33%	-1.184	-0.7243
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	18	33.33%	33.5	0.602	66.67%	-0.23	0.1634
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	18	55.56%	36.78	6.561	61.11%	0.53	0.8615
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	15	73.33%	43.4	8.762	73.33%	0.405	0.9657
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	9	66.67%	54.56	17.088	88.89%	0.535	1.2788
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	56	69.64%	52.96	12.668	67.86%	0.186	1.4525
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	148	37.93%	22.76	-2.113	85.14%	-0.148	-0.0261
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	123	45.53%	28.56	5.197	86.99%	0.535	0.509
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	153	56.21%	30.97	5.789	79.74%	0.448	0.683
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	160	60.62%	38.54	5.669	76.88%	0.319	0.6422
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	96	71.88%	35.31	7.12	60.42%	0.007	0.5985
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	43	81.4%	37.67	5.474	58.14%	-0.154	0.8808
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	276	70.65%	47.63	13.986	73.55%	0.171	0.9622
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	44	27.27%	27.91	2.312	86.36%	-0.068	-0.0542
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	45	60.0%	30.04	0.45	71.11%	0.061	0.6828
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	40	55.0%	36.33	-11.467	77.5%	-0.765	-0.4456
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	54	68.52%	38.06	13.886	59.26%	0.06	1.1204
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	27	70.37%	48.48	17.977	77.78%	0.366	1.3862
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	22	95.45%	33.18	-2.841	22.73%	-1.544	-0.1199
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	70	88.57%	47.51	14.448	40.0%	0.503	2.4542

Results using Scenarios

Scenario	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits	0	5	0.0%	27.6	100.0%	0.401	0.3356
Blitz	0	66	45.45%	25.52	75.76%	0.346	0.5213	-0.565
Dahan Insurrection	4	67	31.34%	50.12	73.13%	0.144	-0.0267	-0.828
Despicable Theft	2	11	54.55%	25.09	45.45%
Elemental Invocation	1	29	72.41%	29.0	75.86%			-1.151
Guard the Isle's Heart	0	290	17.07%	39.6	72.41%	-0.541	-1.1629	0.35
Powers Long Forgotten	1	43	72.09%	26.67	58.14%	0.301	0.7619	-0.891
Rituals of Terror	3	29	68.97%	34.45	58.62%	0.073	0.0142	-0.377
Rituals of the Destroying Flame	3	24	100.0%	27.92	33.33%			0.508
Second Wave	0	350	47.13%	27.87	72.29%	-0.278	-0.2109	-0.743
Varied Terrains	2	7	71.43%	37.29	100.0%	0.387	0.9401	0.433
Ward the Shores	2	25	56.0%	32.08	60.0%			-0.576

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	323	32.46	59.13%	0.066	0.3633	-0.441
Aid From Lesser Spirits	414	31.83	58.21%	-0.158	-0.0563	-0.466
All Things Weaken	204	32.07	53.92%	-0.47	0.0272	-0.389
Attenuated Essence	3	14.0	66.67%	-0.281	0.048
Back Against the Wall	353	31.36	57.79%	0.151	0.3801	-0.35
Blight Corrodes the Spirit	2	9.5	0.0%	-0.569	-0.042
Burn Brightest Before the End	7	32.86	71.43%	0.03	0.3953	0.471
Disintegrating Ecosystem	316	29.73	51.9%	-1.122	-0.539	-0.41
Downward Spiral	792	23.37	53.79%	-1.025	-0.6432	-0.425
Erosion of Will	316	29.93	55.7%	-0.015	0.4779	-0.521
Intensifying Exploitation	5	27.2	20.0%	-0.703	-0.2333	0.06
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	83	42.54	81.93%	-0.119	-0.5885	0.314
Memory Fades to Dust	745	24.01	53.83%	-0.494	0.0168	-0.5
Power Corrodes the Spirit	197	33.56	59.39%	0.306	0.6495	-0.077
Promising Farmlands	377	26.37	48.28%	-2.016	-1.3783	-0.849
Shattered Fragments of Power	6	31.67	50.0%	-0.327	-0.0554	-0.578
Slow Dissolution of Will	6	44.5	83.33%	0.951	1.5471	0.633
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	51	40.75	88.24%	0.915	0.2281	0.729
The Border of Life and Death	2	48.0	100.0%	0.19	0.1386
Thriving Communities	174	33.32	58.05%	-0.03	0.518	-0.54
Tipping Point	110	25.45	42.73%			-0.383
Unnatural Proliferation	169	39.96	70.41%	0.034	0.3872	0.203
Untended Land Crumbles	192	31.28	50.52%	-0.137	0.2649	-0.526

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	3715	49.26%	28.02	72.41%	-0.57	0.2872	-0.07
B	3741	50.27%	29.44	71.26%	-0.464	0.3159	0.161
C	4009	50.6%	30.85	72.74%	0.477	1.1328	0.169
D	3415	48.83%	27.47	72.33%	-0.015	0.7933	-0.291
E	1261	55.72%	34.55	74.31%	0.09	0.7241	0.305
F	1794	52.22%	35.5	74.47%	0.386	1.1102	0.136
G	1412	47.34%	27.63	72.52%	-0.147	0.6048	-0.343
H	1370	46.84%	29.07	74.09%	0.258	0.9242	-0.075

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	668	0.0%	14.76	58.08%	-1.268	-0.3364
Not Using Events or Tokens	2032	45.86%	19.71	68.7%	-0.402	-0.0903	-0.326
Skip Initial Invader Actions	348	14.29%	29.51	90.23%	0.708	0.1841	0.771
Start of Game Growth	474	20.22%	28.07	88.4%	0.702	0.3482	1.116
Unlimited Undo	1085	37.31%	28.87	82.12%	-0.099	-0.1323	0.815
Using Tokens but Not Events	955	39.55%	25.19	77.7%	-0.158	-0.2212	0.102

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	1360	21.2	15.29%
II	3734	31.05	66.44%
III	3799	34.73	88.94%
IV	1465	38.01	99.66%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	208
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	3323
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	2413
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	1449
Game abandoned (v.3.0+)	101
Lose: Invader deck ran out	81
Lose: Adversary condition	636
Win: Sacrifice victory	30
Lose: Scenario condition	73
Win: Scenario condition	105
Lose: Blight pool ran out	1801
Lose: Spirit destroyed	138

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
Fragment (2 Boards)

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Scenarios

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2025-11-26 03:47:51 (Pacific Time)

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:Fragment (2 Boards)

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Scenarios

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2025-11-26 03:47:51 (Pacific Time)

Detailed Statistics:
Fragment (2 Boards)