Fragment (2) - Statistics

Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
10636	49.97%	29.65	72.2%

Results using Spirits

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	1626	40.28%	27.84	76.26%	0.553	0.4055	0.525
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	730	61.99%	24.22	65.34%	0.866	0.9968	-0.409
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	534	46.55%	27.83	77.9%	-0.358	-0.503	0.018
Downpour Drenches the World	106	51.92%	31.73	67.92%	0.284	0.4631	0.637
Ember-Eyed Behemoth	88	54.55%	33.28	61.36%	0.763	-0.0021	-0.115
Eyes Watch From the Trees	716	32.46%	29.29	84.08%	0.031	-0.558	0.145
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	662	37.52%	31.15	80.06%	0.932	0.4352	-0.123
Finder of Paths Unseen	63	68.25%	29.02	58.73%	-0.362	0.3023	0.375
Fractured Days Split the Sky	166	56.36%	36.3	65.06%	-0.305	0.2812	0.377
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	214	52.8%	41.01	79.44%	0.669	0.5742	0.786
Heart of the Wildfire	707	68.26%	23.94	57.14%	-0.255	-0.014	-0.794
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	1313	48.0%	33.57	76.16%	-0.166	-0.6082	0.683
Lightning's Swift Strike	1520	46.02%	23.29	68.88%	0.019	0.2024	0.417
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	52	67.31%	42.17	61.54%	-0.403	-0.89	0.405
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	146	54.11%	42.45	76.71%	0.24	0.0725	0.768
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	147	53.79%	40.67	74.15%	0.116	0.003	0.925
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	471	57.45%	38.6	74.1%	0.265	0.1326	0.419
Many Minds Move as One	293	45.89%	31.15	78.84%	-0.26	-0.4809	-0.031
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	1399	54.38%	29.52	73.27%	-0.44	-0.4824	0.733
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	549	43.94%	28.73	78.51%	0.013	-0.1651	-0.436
River Surges in Sunlight	1561	49.36%	25.86	68.99%	-0.195	-0.1245	0.295
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	149	45.83%	29.52	70.47%	0.169	0.479	-0.683
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	54	40.74%	39.46	70.37%	0.875	0.7615	0.083
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	799	47.79%	30.41	71.71%	0.497	0.2601	0.438
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	810	61.18%	22.16	61.23%	-0.665	-0.1355	-1.06
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous	8	50.0%	32.5	100.0%	0.735	0.66
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding	16	68.75%	33.44	62.5%	0.037	-0.0686	-0.369
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness	65	53.13%	29.63	81.54%	0.153	0.1344	-0.646
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	49	52.08%	30.12	65.31%	-1.213	-1.0366	0.308
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	925	43.31%	33.74	76.97%	0.892	0.7019	0.778
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained	22	54.55%	42.14	86.36%	0.609	0.2276	1.085
Shifting Memory of Ages	182	55.62%	30.58	74.18%	0.695	1.0485	0.615
Shroud of Silent Mist	182	62.43%	23.91	62.09%	-0.046	0.2044	-1.306
Starlight Seeks its Form	317	51.91%	44.76	72.87%	0.022	-0.2393	1.068
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	546	56.07%	36.72	71.43%	0.225	-0.2527	0.472
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	516	44.47%	32.06	76.94%	0.568	0.6313	0.373
Thunderspeaker	1058	46.88%	26.65	70.13%	-0.333	-0.3666	0.092
Thunderspeaker — Tactician	22	31.82%	38.5	72.73%	0.534	0.4942	1.011
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	440	80.64%	36.87	65.23%	0.332	0.4253	0.091
Vital Strength of the Earth	1143	40.41%	21.1	68.85%	-0.311	0.2135	-0.231
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	22	31.82%	40.73	90.91%	0.453	0.7139	1.072
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	57	54.39%	26.65	68.42%	-0.53	0.2465	-0.569
Volcano Looming High	514	65.5%	44.27	73.54%	-0.182	-0.2251	0.984

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	51	62.75%	27.22	-2.968	76.47%	-0.399	-0.1364
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	55	61.82%	30.65	2.518	78.18%	-0.169	0.1771
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	62	67.21%	34.45	-0.063	62.9%	-0.343	0.487
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	65	74.6%	33.43		52.31%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	35	85.71%	34.97	-5.851	42.86%	-0.691	0.6285
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	11	100.0%	39.18	1.495	54.55%	-0.564	1.0987
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	51	84.31%	38.67	4.97	33.33%	-0.82	1.1929
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	319	38.02%	23.26	-4.367	83.07%	-0.63	-0.5449
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	305	38.28%	28.8	-2.674	84.92%	-0.415	-0.5107
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	350	46.09%	37.01	5.674	84.57%	0.693	0.6819
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	253	58.23%	40.08	9.213	73.91%	0.498	0.6952
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	161	52.5%	45.44	-5.782	78.88%	-1.584	-1.3809
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	92	65.93%	47.41	16.231	67.39%	1.106	1.6675
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	185	78.92%	42.36	-2.737	50.81%	-1.375	-0.0368
The Kingdom of England	0	1	230	35.81%	23.02	-4.839	78.26%	-0.758	-0.4924
The Kingdom of England	1	3	190	51.85%	30.22	1.446	75.26%	-0.075	0.1092
The Kingdom of England	2	4	205	54.9%	30.92	2.605	62.93%	0.065	0.8017
The Kingdom of England	3	6	193	64.77%	33.27	7.997	50.78%	-0.041	1.0989
The Kingdom of England	4	7	152	63.33%	36.78	13.911	49.34%	0.542	1.5882
The Kingdom of England	5	9	92	77.17%	38.82	3.867	38.04%	-0.783	0.8574
The Kingdom of England	6	11	204	67.16%	42.07	7.596	37.25%	-0.587	1.4553
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	117	49.57%	26.09	-3.638	72.65%	-0.568	-0.1657
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	118	58.97%	28.08	1.816	66.95%	0.611	1.5663
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	183	61.2%	30.16	-4.201	44.26%	-1.078	-0.0047
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	159	64.78%	39.08	0.011	52.83%	-0.789	0.4994
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	88	64.77%	37.34	-8.413	40.91%	-1.217	0.1849
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	59	79.66%	40.07		38.98%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	796	67.46%	58.12	13.924	67.96%	-0.259	1.0848
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	15	33.33%	27.33	-0.591	93.33%	0.139	0.1552
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	21	23.81%	21.81	-6.235	42.86%	-1.688	-1.2576
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	21	38.1%	32.24	-2.126	66.67%	-0.557	-0.1157
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	20	50.0%	35.95	4.563	60.0%	0.163	0.5486
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	16	68.75%	44.19	13.292	75.0%	0.622	1.2407
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	9	66.67%	54.56	18.782	88.89%	0.83	1.614
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	57	68.42%	53.25	13.909	68.42%	0.539	1.8144
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	151	37.84%	22.62	-1.11	84.77%	0.312	0.4915
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	126	46.03%	28.33	1.582	85.71%	-0.168	-0.1421
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	155	56.13%	30.79	2.113	79.35%	1.124	1.3469
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	163	60.74%	38.5	4.395	76.69%	0.064	0.4919
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	98	71.43%	35.29	6.328	60.2%	0.388	0.9964
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	49	79.59%	37.55	3.816	55.1%	-0.717	0.2925
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	279	70.61%	47.36	1.42	72.76%	-0.859	0.0281
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	45	26.67%	27.29	-1.405	84.44%	0.019	0.1404
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	47	59.57%	29.68	0.638	70.21%	-0.043	0.5982
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	40	55.0%	36.33	-11.831	77.5%	-0.809	-0.3832
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	55	69.09%	37.71	-4.974	58.18%	-0.51	0.605
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	27	70.37%	48.48	14.446	77.78%	0.612	1.5163
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	29	96.55%	33.83	-1.03	24.14%	-1.798	-0.3018
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	75	86.67%	46.85	11.713	40.0%	0.071	1.9117

Results using Scenarios

Scenario	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits	0	5	0.0%	27.6	100.0%	0.46	0.2039
Blitz	0	67	46.27%	25.16	74.63%	0.525	0.7226	-0.565
Dahan Insurrection	4	68	30.88%	50.44	73.53%	0.318	-0.1243	-0.905
Despicable Theft	2	13	53.85%	22.38	38.46%	-0.732	0.0805
Elemental Invocation	1	29	72.41%	29.0	75.86%			-1.12
Guard the Isle's Heart	0	292	16.96%	39.56	72.6%	0.034	-0.611	0.379
Powers Long Forgotten	1	46	73.91%	25.57	54.35%	-0.279	0.3562	-0.841
Rituals of Terror	3	29	68.97%	34.45	58.62%			-0.357
Rituals of the Destroying Flame	3	26	96.15%	28.31	34.62%	-0.073	0.9367	0.549
Second Wave	0	355	47.03%	27.7	72.11%	0.237	0.3027	-0.764
Varied Terrains	2	7	71.43%	37.29	100.0%	0.204	0.8272	0.454
Ward the Shores	2	25	56.0%	32.08	60.0%			-0.57

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	329	32.56	58.66%	-0.372	-0.1299	-0.457
Aid From Lesser Spirits	420	31.68	57.62%	-0.752	-0.8292	-0.477
All Things Weaken	208	32.13	53.85%	-0.015	0.3772	-0.367
Attenuated Essence	3	14.0	66.67%	-0.114	-0.0069
Back Against the Wall	362	31.69	58.29%	0.004	0.062	-0.267
Blight Corrodes the Spirit	11	13.82	45.45%	-0.002	0.1997	0.279
Burn Brightest Before the End	15	31.27	66.67%	-0.223	-0.0125	0.686
Disintegrating Ecosystem	328	29.58	51.83%	-0.964	-0.5407	-0.469
Downward Spiral	808	23.33	53.47%	-0.551	-0.3156	-0.504
Erosion of Will	324	29.66	54.32%	-1.394	-1.0845	-0.662
Intensifying Exploitation	9	22.33	33.33%	-0.522	-0.2346	0.023
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	84	42.21	80.95%	0.386	-0.1082	0.338
Memory Fades to Dust	754	23.88	53.45%	-0.539	-0.2026	-0.491
Power Corrodes the Spirit	203	33.49	59.61%	-0.325	-0.1044	-0.25
Promising Farmlands	384	26.21	48.7%	-0.956	-0.5027	-0.823
Shattered Fragments of Power	10	25.8	30.0%	-0.93	-0.8792	-0.585
Slow Dissolution of Will	8	42.38	75.0%	0.501	0.9001	0.906
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	51	40.75	88.24%	0.544	-0.1664	0.717
The Border of Life and Death	4	24.0	50.0%	-0.274	-0.6096
Thriving Communities	180	32.86	57.22%	-0.125	0.2382	-0.542
Thriving Crops	2	44.0	50.0%	0.361	0.1628	0.349
Tipping Point	110	25.45	42.73%			-0.386
Unnatural Proliferation	171	40.02	70.18%	-0.359	-0.1438	0.245
Untended Land Crumbles	195	30.97	50.26%	-0.79	-0.5078	-0.524

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	3794	49.09%	27.83	71.88%	-0.517	0.2227	-0.072
B	3837	50.32%	29.3	70.89%	-0.226	0.5002	0.145
C	4100	50.45%	30.72	72.2%	-0.029	0.5529	0.198
D	3495	48.76%	27.3	71.99%	0.243	0.954	-0.242
E	1312	54.8%	34.26	74.01%	0.079	0.6446	0.262
F	1857	52.4%	35.08	73.77%	0.403	1.0731	0.127
G	1453	47.89%	27.47	71.78%	-0.269	0.3828	-0.336
H	1423	47.03%	28.86	73.58%	0.331	0.9012	-0.093

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	684	0.0%	14.64	57.75%	-1.19	-0.4138
Not Using Events or Tokens	2073	45.7%	19.51	68.07%	-0.031	0.3482	-0.263
Skip Initial Invader Actions	355	14.46%	29.2	89.58%	0.293	-0.325	0.795
Start of Game Growth	479	20.39%	27.9	87.89%	0.688	0.3394	1.102
Unlimited Undo	1099	37.73%	28.75	81.62%	-0.096	-0.1023	0.707
Using Tokens but Not Events	980	39.54%	25.19	77.76%	0.236	0.2255	0.101

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	1438	20.4	14.53%
II	3826	31.01	66.26%
III	3873	34.76	88.85%
IV	1499	38.07	99.67%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	209
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	3383
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	2467
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	1483
Game abandoned (v.3.0+)	155
Lose: Invader deck ran out	81
Lose: Adversary condition	662
Win: Sacrifice victory	31
Lose: Scenario condition	73
Win: Scenario condition	106
Lose: Blight pool ran out	1845
Lose: Spirit destroyed	141

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
Fragment (2 Boards)

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Scenarios

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2025-12-12 04:02:30 (Pacific Time)

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:Fragment (2 Boards)

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Scenarios

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2025-12-12 04:02:30 (Pacific Time)

Detailed Statistics:
Fragment (2 Boards)