Fragment (2) - Statistics

Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
9930	50.29%	30.11	73.37%

Results using Spirits

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	1559	40.67%	28.19	77.16%	0.119	-0.0598	0.523
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	667	62.8%	24.2	65.37%	-0.519	-0.5041	-0.428
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	510	45.55%	28.35	79.61%	0.82	0.5741	0.159
Downpour Drenches the World	76	52.63%	36.83	72.37%	-0.102	0.2851	0.793
Ember-Eyed Behemoth	3	33.33%	20.67	100.0%	0.458	0.6931
Eyes Watch From the Trees	682	32.32%	29.8	85.48%	1.019	0.5461	0.137
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	625	38.81%	31.74	80.64%	-0.186	-0.6327	-0.266
Finder of Paths Unseen	39	58.97%	30.97	71.79%	0.09	0.4532	0.152
Fractured Days Split the Sky	158	57.96%	37.61	67.09%	-0.259	-0.1556	0.358
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	170	55.88%	43.23	80.0%	0.3	0.2358	0.668
Heart of the Wildfire	687	68.25%	24.29	57.79%	-0.209	0.0495	-0.815
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	1252	47.86%	33.92	77.0%	0.394	-0.1889	0.672
Lightning's Swift Strike	1465	46.21%	23.68	69.76%	0.034	0.3023	0.409
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	31	74.19%	45.61	74.19%	0.465	-0.3495	1.162
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	134	55.97%	43.1	76.87%	-0.084	-0.6261	0.979
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	130	55.47%	43.05	77.69%	0.005	-0.4728	1.051
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	436	58.62%	39.49	75.23%	0.196	0.0751	0.362
Many Minds Move as One	274	46.52%	32.22	80.66%	-0.306	-0.929	-0.119
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	1325	54.58%	30.24	75.02%	0.698	0.5711	0.697
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	514	43.03%	28.99	79.57%	0.783	0.6994	-0.381
River Surges in Sunlight	1484	49.57%	26.54	70.42%	0.412	0.2205	0.08
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	143	46.38%	29.83	71.33%	-0.523	-0.2353	-0.78
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	38	42.11%	42.63	68.42%	-0.115	-0.4783	-0.102
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	749	49.17%	31.08	72.36%	0.908	0.7343	0.239
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	772	62.27%	22.82	62.44%	0.111	0.5038	-0.924
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous	6	50.0%	28.33	100.0%	0.187	0.2841
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding	10	80.0%	34.4	70.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness	62	54.1%	30.23	82.26%	-1.236	-1.2722	-0.734
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	46	55.56%	32.09	69.57%	0.229	0.2321	0.571
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	893	43.3%	33.97	77.38%	-0.033	-0.2331	0.692
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained	3	0.0%	42.0	100.0%	0.329	0.6235	0.31
Shifting Memory of Ages	159	56.77%	31.53	73.58%	1.352	1.5806	0.765
Shroud of Silent Mist	165	61.59%	24.41	64.85%	-0.792	-0.6078	-1.036
Starlight Seeks its Form	263	54.58%	47.57	78.33%	1.046	0.8897	1.184
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	524	56.9%	37.1	71.56%	-0.872	-1.1353	0.49
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	470	47.02%	32.8	76.6%	0.953	1.0156	0.263
Thunderspeaker	1001	46.91%	27.06	71.53%	-0.086	-0.162	0.017
Thunderspeaker — Tactician	2	0.0%	49.5	100.0%	0.265	0.4699	0.31
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	423	80.57%	36.99	65.25%	-0.627	-0.8889	-0.005
Vital Strength of the Earth	1080	40.28%	21.64	70.37%	-0.399	0.3544	-0.315
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	19	31.58%	40.05	94.74%	0.501	1.0793	0.837
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	53	50.94%	27.79	71.7%	-1.017	0.1329	-0.212
Volcano Looming High	476	65.68%	45.17	75.42%	-0.703	-0.7065	0.957

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	48	64.58%	27.54		79.17%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	48	64.58%	31.04	2.712	79.17%	-0.138	0.2057
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	58	66.67%	35.02	5.393	63.79%	0.387	1.3687
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	65	74.6%	33.43	-2.467	52.31%	-0.234	1.0859
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	31	90.32%	37.97	8.747	45.16%	0.367	1.7419
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	9	100.0%	45.56	3.716	66.67%	-0.625	1.0762
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	47	87.23%	39.47	-1.145	34.04%	-0.571	1.7188
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	306	38.67%	23.59	-4.223	84.64%	-0.125	-0.2427
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	285	37.46%	29.89	0.573	88.07%	0.098	-0.0546
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	335	45.76%	37.1	2.566	84.48%	-0.244	-0.1346
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	244	58.75%	40.13	7.64	73.77%	0.156	0.5563
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	151	53.33%	46.98	6.422	82.12%	0.027	0.3348
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	89	64.77%	47.19	13.833	66.29%	0.093	1.032
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	163	80.98%	45.61	11.701	53.99%	0.278	1.745
The Kingdom of England	0	1	216	36.28%	23.78	-2.456	80.56%	0.111	0.4717
The Kingdom of England	1	3	180	53.07%	30.45	3.437	76.11%	0.575	1.1314
The Kingdom of England	2	4	190	53.97%	31.46	3.055	64.74%	0.01	1.0433
The Kingdom of England	3	6	183	65.57%	33.16	2.97	50.27%	-0.712	0.7814
The Kingdom of England	4	7	151	63.09%	36.68	7.288	49.01%	0.045	1.4508
The Kingdom of England	5	9	68	75.0%	40.09	3.074	39.71%	-1.473	0.5982
The Kingdom of England	6	11	188	69.68%	42.76	13.228	37.77%	-0.087	2.2242
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	109	49.54%	26.42	-0.654	74.31%	0.173	0.7553
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	114	58.41%	28.01	0.56	65.79%	0.142	1.2093
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	174	63.22%	30.21	2.739	44.83%	-0.261	1.6451
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	152	64.47%	39.57	-5.683	53.29%	-0.595	1.5368
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	84	64.29%	38.81	12.59	42.86%	0.146	1.9754
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	59	79.66%	40.07	19.635	38.98%	0.353	2.104
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	756	67.59%	58.57	10.086	68.65%	-0.382	1.7372
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	12	25.0%	29.33	-2.607	100.0%	0.576	0.4903
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	7	14.29%	32.14	-1.862	85.71%	-0.081	0.8128
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	14	28.57%	35.57	3.601	71.43%	0.585	1.5827
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	15	60.0%	38.0	8.813	60.0%	0.665	1.3505
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	11	81.82%	43.91	4.015	72.73%	-0.363	0.627
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	6	83.33%	52.5	6.732	83.33%	-0.335	0.9387
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	42	76.19%	54.64	7.433	69.05%	-0.727	0.9213
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	146	38.46%	22.89	-2.864	85.62%	0.208	0.2964
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	122	45.9%	28.56	-3.256	86.89%	-0.539	-0.5024
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	151	55.63%	31.0	17.084	79.47%	0.109	0.3492
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	154	61.69%	38.74	4.74	77.27%	-0.027	0.3699
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	92	71.74%	34.89	-2.656	58.7%	-1.366	-0.5013
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	40	80.0%	36.1	5.785	57.5%	0.287	1.5704
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	274	70.8%	47.53	7.71	73.36%	-0.402	0.6648
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	42	26.19%	28.07		88.1%
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	41	58.54%	30.07	-3.769	70.73%	-0.415	0.3551
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	38	57.89%	38.24	4.918	81.58%	0.433	0.7311
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	54	68.52%	38.06	4.482	59.26%	0.157	1.4732
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	26	69.23%	48.08		76.92%
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	17	94.12%	35.71	11.501	29.41%	0.043	1.8134
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	66	89.39%	47.05	6.474	37.88%	-0.469	1.5103

Results using Scenarios

Scenario	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits	0	3	0.0%	29.0	100.0%	0.1	-0.3466
Blitz	0	64	45.31%	25.86	76.56%	0.305	0.762	-0.495
Dahan Insurrection	4	65	32.31%	48.74	72.31%	0.063	0.0832	-1.059
Despicable Theft	2	11	54.55%	25.09	45.45%
Elemental Invocation	1	29	72.41%	29.0	75.86%			-1.125
Guard the Isle's Heart	0	286	17.31%	39.78	72.73%	0.59	0.6308	0.316
Powers Long Forgotten	1	42	73.81%	26.71	57.14%	-0.184	0.3774	-0.905
Rituals of Terror	3	28	67.86%	34.36	57.14%	0.114	-0.1738	-0.451
Rituals of the Destroying Flame	3	24	100.0%	27.92	33.33%			0.435
Second Wave	0	328	47.24%	28.3	72.56%	-0.444	0.018	-0.715
Varied Terrains	2	4	100.0%	33.5	100.0%
Ward the Shores	2	25	56.0%	32.08	60.0%			-0.549

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	313	32.09	58.79%	-0.501	1.2293	-0.557
Aid From Lesser Spirits	405	31.7	58.02%	-0.653	0.9221	-0.512
All Things Weaken	191	32.53	54.45%	-1.016	0.862	-0.63
Back Against the Wall	343	31.69	57.43%	-0.109	1.5277	-0.429
Disintegrating Ecosystem	307	29.84	52.44%	-1.631	0.2121	-0.475
Downward Spiral	769	23.5	54.36%	-1.571	0.1272	-0.382
Erosion of Will	308	29.87	56.17%	-0.512	1.3882	-0.483
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	81	43.41	82.72%	-0.302	0.1983	0.224
Memory Fades to Dust	718	24.39	54.04%	-1.089	0.7867	-0.585
Power Corrodes the Spirit	190	33.75	59.47%	0.558	2.2623	-0.107
Promising Farmlands	368	26.71	49.18%	-1.521	0.3544	-0.936
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	47	41.36	87.23%	0.14	0.3499	0.655
Thriving Communities	167	33.2	57.49%	-1.448	0.4224	-0.653
Tipping Point	110	25.45	42.73%			-0.442
Unnatural Proliferation	163	39.99	70.55%	0.234	1.9884	0.088
Untended Land Crumbles	188	31.7	51.6%	-0.237	1.5773	-0.637

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	3573	49.65%	28.46	73.58%	-0.188	0.5892	-0.071
B	3582	50.39%	29.84	72.33%	-0.38	0.3233	0.196
C	3880	50.82%	30.95	72.99%	-0.06	0.4681	0.061
D	3285	48.9%	27.71	73.03%	-0.19	0.5449	-0.231
E	1175	56.4%	35.11	75.15%	0.088	0.6717	0.356
F	1712	52.7%	35.73	74.77%	0.094	0.8012	0.086
G	1337	47.43%	28.0	73.37%	0.469	1.1106	-0.319
H	1316	47.5%	29.15	74.09%	0.181	0.8261	-0.086

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	647	0.0%	15.06	59.35%	-0.572	1.504
Not Using Events or Tokens	1960	45.56%	19.98	69.74%	-0.682	-0.5107	-0.355
Skip Initial Invader Actions	340	14.16%	29.47	90.88%	0.622	-0.4371	0.199
Start of Game Growth	462	20.52%	28.08	88.96%	1.005	0.5825	0.638
Unlimited Undo	1031	37.24%	29.49	83.61%	0.003	-0.4121	1.147
Using Tokens but Not Events	922	39.53%	25.42	78.31%	-0.304	-0.1887	0.122

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	1235	22.63	16.52%
II	3614	31.12	66.71%
III	3658	34.7	88.93%
IV	1423	37.97	99.65%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	204
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	3199
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	2343
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	1407
Game abandoned (v.3.0+)	2
Lose: Invader deck ran out	78
Lose: Adversary condition	615
Win: Sacrifice victory	30
Lose: Scenario condition	73
Win: Scenario condition	103
Lose: Blight pool ran out	1744
Lose: Spirit destroyed	132

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
Fragment (2 Boards)

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Scenarios

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2025-11-07 12:49:13 (Pacific Time)

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:Fragment (2 Boards)

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Scenarios

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2025-11-07 12:49:13 (Pacific Time)

Detailed Statistics:
Fragment (2 Boards)