Fragment (2) - Statistics

Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
16610	47.67%	26.69	66.89%

Results using Spirits

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	2324	39.33%	25.44	71.69%	0.492	0.3958	-0.326
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth	100	48.0%	34.79	68.0%	1.174	0.8485	0.939
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles	12	30.0%	20.17	75.0%	1.075	0.8131	0.641
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine	38	34.21%	27.61	65.79%	0.147	-0.5734	-0.054
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	1042	57.31%	21.74	61.04%	-0.718	-0.4196	0.094
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence	69	47.83%	28.67	69.57%			0.176
Dances Up Earthquakes	53	43.4%	22.08	56.6%	-0.096	0.0859	0.534
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	789	45.71%	25.76	72.5%	-0.777	-0.9562	-0.772
Downpour Drenches the World	294	46.55%	24.89	57.82%	0.343	0.702	0.45
Ember-Eyed Behemoth	290	42.51%	29.04	64.48%	0.56	0.121	0.188
Eyes Watch From the Trees	1099	34.0%	27.32	79.07%	0.152	-0.1975	1.386
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	955	37.53%	28.27	75.39%	0.761	0.3606	-0.714
Finder of Paths Unseen	197	47.21%	21.32	47.72%	-0.574	0.5007	0.465
Fractured Days Split the Sky	262	47.31%	29.95	59.16%	-0.59	-0.1347	-0.223
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	415	53.53%	32.24	69.88%	-0.389	-0.4803	-0.168
Heart of the Wildfire	957	68.26%	22.97	54.96%	0.734	1.1651	-0.005
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	1717	45.81%	31.33	73.27%	-0.187	-0.6291	-0.097
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility	84	39.29%	26.63	65.48%	0.844	0.3353	-1.113
Lightning's Swift Strike	2255	44.07%	20.59	62.57%	-0.666	-0.5033	0.235
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	142	52.14%	31.35	64.08%			0.132
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	208	48.56%	38.56	73.56%	0.282	-0.0776	1.142
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	235	45.45%	34.68	68.94%	-0.215	-0.3617	0.691
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	767	53.87%	33.54	68.19%	-0.433	-0.6105	-0.699
Many Minds Move as One	491	41.63%	28.23	74.34%	-0.111	-0.2458	0.877
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	2015	52.91%	26.82	67.44%	0.315	0.2381	1.426
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps	143	48.23%	24.5	54.55%	-0.181	0.01	1.594
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	797	42.84%	26.32	73.02%	0.031	-0.0283	-0.476
River Surges in Sunlight	2248	47.78%	23.13	63.7%	-0.693	-0.6483	0.021
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven	75	44.59%	35.36	54.67%	-0.011	0.2194	-0.255
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	246	51.25%	25.28	63.01%	-0.363	-0.3137	0.394
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	187	44.62%	27.73	56.15%	-0.505	-0.3385	-0.523
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	1091	47.44%	28.44	68.74%	1.035	0.8417	0.773
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus	33	39.39%	25.21	57.58%	-0.383	-0.3974	0.2
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	1205	57.73%	19.09	56.18%	-0.757	-0.1326
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous	35	51.43%	27.91	77.14%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire	82	51.22%	29.65	60.98%	0.74	0.3055	-0.422
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding	37	77.14%	25.03	54.05%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness	101	48.0%	26.51	77.23%	0.459	0.3723
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	71	52.86%	27.75	63.38%	0.513	0.9215	-0.278
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	1266	41.26%	30.72	73.38%	0.358	0.4155
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle	20	65.0%	29.4	75.0%	0.448	-0.0562	0.035
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained	120	33.33%	30.44	73.33%	-0.17	-0.2068	-0.013
Shifting Memory of Ages	344	48.8%	25.49	66.86%	-0.324	0.0386	0.278
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor	72	44.44%	31.28	65.28%	0.205	0.1878	0.907
Shroud of Silent Mist	342	57.65%	22.59	58.19%	-0.564	-0.0408	-0.123
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded	14	50.0%	31.29	71.43%	0.54	0.1993	-0.3
Starlight Seeks its Form	614	51.4%	35.68	65.96%	0.941	0.7421	1.658
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	774	53.57%	32.63	67.31%	0.303	-0.3123	-0.097
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	730	43.51%	29.01	72.47%	-0.568	-0.335	-0.208
Thunderspeaker	1545	44.37%	24.53	65.83%	0.503	0.4858	-0.312
Thunderspeaker — Tactician	63	36.51%	25.08	52.38%	0.312	0.5118
Towering Roots of the Jungle	93	46.24%	27.29	55.91%	0.404	0.5706	-0.859
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	665	70.63%	32.38	65.41%	0.218	0.2683	-0.066
Vital Strength of the Earth	1704	38.54%	18.52	61.15%	-0.171	0.2994	0.244
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	67	41.79%	28.6	68.66%	-0.065	0.344	0.382
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	91	47.25%	23.81	64.84%
Volcano Looming High	798	60.61%	37.47	65.54%	-0.476	-0.4924	-0.58
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium	154	41.18%	29.4	65.58%	0.531	0.2506	-0.271

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
Habsburg Mining Expedition	0	1	14	21.43%	17.36	-8.952	57.14%	-0.381	-0.2005
Habsburg Mining Expedition	1	3	26	42.31%	33.92	7.612	80.77%	0.423	0.552
Habsburg Mining Expedition	2	4	11	63.64%	35.18		81.82%
Habsburg Mining Expedition	3	5	9	33.33%	38.0	8.476	88.89%	0.122	0.4058
Habsburg Mining Expedition	4	7	21	66.67%	39.1	-9.569	66.67%	-0.341	0.3388
Habsburg Mining Expedition	6	10	7	71.43%	28.43	16.631	42.86%	0.103	2.0539
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	97	45.36%	23.37	4.715	62.89%	0.046	0.5112
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	107	61.32%	27.19	2.101	69.16%	0.453	0.3788
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	112	63.64%	31.77	3.124	57.14%	-0.136	0.4532
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	103	65.0%	29.72	-4.921	48.54%	-0.657	0.1519
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	63	76.19%	34.71	15.847	44.44%	0.725	1.897
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	16	93.75%	36.69	13.363	43.75%	0.085	1.281
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	79	86.08%	35.84	6.446	30.38%	-0.187	1.5276
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	459	36.77%	21.6	-1.542	74.73%	-0.546	-0.195
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	463	41.67%	26.38	-3.558	76.46%	-0.12	-0.0997
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	557	45.47%	35.1	7.229	77.02%	0.552	0.6856
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	392	59.79%	36.52	15.643	67.35%	0.14	0.5018
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	267	52.27%	39.4	7.439	66.29%	0.699	0.9158
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	123	65.57%	44.07		62.6%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	285	72.54%	33.89	-4.678	37.89%	-1.378	-0.0319
The Kingdom of England	0	1	399	35.62%	20.79	-0.334	68.92%	0.143	0.3461
The Kingdom of England	1	3	304	52.84%	27.78	1.776	69.74%	-0.021	0.301
The Kingdom of England	2	4	303	54.3%	28.28	3.55	59.08%	0.671	1.2373
The Kingdom of England	3	6	275	63.27%	31.09	3.35	46.55%	-0.683	0.5921
The Kingdom of England	4	7	247	62.04%	33.25	8.396	44.13%	0.427	1.3813
The Kingdom of England	5	9	116	73.28%	36.19	6.616	36.21%	-0.179	1.0045
The Kingdom of England	6	11	309	59.22%	35.72	-8.438	32.69%	-0.449	1.438
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	190	47.89%	25.96	4.994	73.16%	0.307	0.7736
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	197	62.24%	26.34	5.799	60.41%	0.634	1.5136
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	255	57.25%	28.73	1.761	42.75%	-0.186	0.8084
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	239	62.34%	37.69	1.907	49.79%	-1.187	0.1328
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	131	61.83%	33.95	-1.28	33.59%	-0.992	0.2583
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	79	73.42%	38.53	-13.379	39.24%	-0.796	-0.0203
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	882	65.99%	56.99	17.489	66.1%	0.44	1.7288
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	52	32.69%	22.21	-12.348	76.92%	-0.379	-0.3517
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	80	47.5%	24.51	2.303	55.0%	0.344	0.866
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	70	50.0%	26.66	2.231	55.71%	-0.176	0.5286
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	99	49.49%	41.39	8.281	62.63%	-0.07	0.1142
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	68	63.24%	33.59		51.47%
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	53	52.83%	49.89	17.156	71.7%	0.335	0.9751
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	144	58.33%	44.99	19.393	54.86%	0.637	1.8357
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	218	36.28%	21.85		78.44%
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	190	47.62%	26.84	3.247	81.05%	0.544	0.6743
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	270	49.63%	29.45	-6.61	73.33%	-0.383	-0.1773
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	223	60.81%	36.24	4.617	72.65%	0.291	0.552
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	154	64.94%	33.71		56.49%
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	85	77.38%	32.56		45.88%
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	361	68.42%	43.08	2.757	65.37%	0.248	1.0436
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	86	27.91%	24.76		77.91%
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	87	60.92%	25.85	-2.045	62.07%	-0.599	-0.0295
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	66	50.0%	34.89	10.077	75.76%	0.566	0.9541
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	105	66.67%	34.48	1.638	52.38%	-0.574	0.2233
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	37	72.97%	39.97		59.46%
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	35	94.29%	35.66		28.57%
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	124	80.65%	41.94	-7.853	37.1%	-1.009	0.6554

Results using Scenarios

Scenario	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits	0	33	36.36%	27.27	69.7%	0.15	0.1207	0.244
Blitz	0	121	39.67%	27.26	73.55%			-0.349
Dahan Insurrection	4	100	27.0%	46.86	73.0%	-0.604	-0.5908	-0.085
Despicable Theft	2	26	50.0%	22.96	42.31%
Elemental Invocation	1	56	76.36%	26.96	60.71%			0.05
Guard the Isle's Heart	0	378	16.84%	36.99	72.22%	0.643	0.0467	0.346
Powers Long Forgotten	1	76	62.67%	25.96	56.58%	0.371	1.1184
Rituals of Terror	3	47	65.22%	32.28	55.32%	0.248	0.7269	-0.359
Rituals of the Destroying Flame	3	35	94.29%	27.26	37.14%
Second Wave	0	549	46.24%	27.89	70.67%	0.189	0.185
Varied Terrains	2	54	53.7%	20.0	37.04%			0.045
Ward the Shores	2	56	57.14%	28.63	58.93%	0.21	1.0789	-0.261

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	445	30.55	55.73%	-0.673	-0.5243	-0.244
Aid From Lesser Spirits	541	30.72	56.75%	-0.679	-0.7918	0.414
All Things Weaken	300	29.7	53.0%	0.166	0.5406	-0.934
Attenuated Essence	57	26.68	57.89%	0.977	1.1028	-1.003
Back Against the Wall	471	30.19	55.41%	0.251	0.2921	1.024
Blight Corrodes the Spirit	69	31.35	65.22%	0.057	0.2633	0.352
Burn Brightest Before the End	101	27.15	46.53%	-0.911	-0.8661	-0.74
Disintegrating Ecosystem	424	26.91	50.24%			-0.621
Downward Spiral	1176	21.74	53.15%	0.171	0.4206	-0.303
Erosion of Will	450	28.59	52.89%	-0.581	-0.3238	-0.152
Intensifying Exploitation	69	23.7	46.38%	0.335	0.554	-0.1
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	123	38.54	81.3%	0.379	-0.0067	0.44
Memory Fades to Dust	1102	21.99	50.91%	-0.115	0.0898	-0.456
Power Corrodes the Spirit	301	31.3	59.14%	0.337	0.5351	-0.512
Promising Farmlands	500	25.48	48.4%	-0.252	0.1041	0.663
Shattered Fragments of Power	59	23.85	42.37%	0.577	0.7943	0.22
Slow Dissolution of Will	78	28.88	62.82%	-0.395	0.0344	0.205
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	80	36.59	83.75%	-0.222	-0.8459	0.227
The Border of Life and Death	25	32.84	72.0%			-0.203
Thriving Communities	320	29.31	53.75%	-0.738	-0.4182	-0.054
Thriving Crops	35	30.71	77.14%	0.106	-0.0122	0.344
Tipping Point	110	25.45	42.73%
Unnatural Proliferation	256	35.89	65.63%	0.237	0.3269	0.022
Untended Land Crumbles	292	28.53	51.03%	-0.599	-0.3737	0.675

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	5877	46.48%	24.9	65.68%	0.15	0.9496	0.184
B	5889	48.18%	26.13	65.21%	-0.154	0.5759	0.22
C	6049	47.44%	27.38	66.85%	0.238	0.8426	0.064
D	5277	47.21%	24.62	66.31%	-0.143	0.6143	-0.539
E	2369	51.73%	29.89	67.83%	-0.352	0.2327	-0.16
F	2965	49.37%	30.95	69.58%	0.051	0.7537	0.07
G	2377	46.09%	25.88	67.4%	0.208	0.9651	0.028
H	2402	46.25%	27.45	70.11%	0.012	0.6428	0.12

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	1119	0.0%	13.59	53.8%	-0.395	0.4791
Not Using Events or Tokens	3466	42.87%	17.01	60.07%	0.586	0.9627	-0.53
Skip Initial Invader Actions	505	14.62%	29.86	85.35%	-0.185	-0.4761
Start of Game Growth	726	18.38%	28.48	82.64%	0.435	-0.1217	0.321
Unlimited Undo	1804	40.04%	26.48	73.12%	1.028	1.0914	-0.294
Using Tokens but Not Events	1464	38.89%	23.25	71.52%	-0.946	-1.0728	-0.081

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	3079	12.44	8.61%
II	5620	29.94	64.2%
III	5643	34.9	88.22%
IV	2268	38.84	99.65%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	265
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	4901
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	3516
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	2247
Game abandoned (v.3.0+)	1543
Lose: Invader deck ran out	129
Lose: Adversary condition	894
Win: Sacrifice victory	35
Lose: Scenario condition	88
Win: Scenario condition	147
Lose: Unique spirit condition	2
Lose: Blight pool ran out	2638
Lose: Spirit destroyed	205

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
Fragment (2 Boards)

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Scenarios

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-10-18 23:57:56 (Pacific Time)

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:Fragment (2 Boards)

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Scenarios

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-10-18 23:57:56 (Pacific Time)

Detailed Statistics:
Fragment (2 Boards)