Fragment (2) - Statistics

Results using Spirits

Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
9215	50.17%	30.01	73.34%

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	1468	40.77%	28.2	77.32%	1.004	0.8896	0.362
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	638	62.42%	24.33	65.52%	0.463	0.5588	-0.266
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	480	44.52%	28.41	79.79%	0.213	0.052	-0.067
Downpour Drenches the World	35	48.57%	37.97	71.43%	-0.235	0.0182	-0.11
Eyes Watch From the Trees	634	32.02%	29.59	85.17%	0.059	-0.3783	0.03
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	598	39.34%	31.81	80.6%	0.385	-0.1026	-0.455
Finder of Paths Unseen	26	61.54%	30.0	65.38%	-0.531	-0.1672	-0.692
Fractured Days Split the Sky	139	56.52%	38.74	71.22%	-0.003	0.0531	0.5
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	133	56.39%	46.29	83.46%	-0.644	-0.6761	0.95
Heart of the Wildfire	658	68.75%	24.3	57.9%	-0.515	-0.34	-1.04
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	1178	48.07%	33.53	76.32%	0.081	-0.3754	0.519
Lightning's Swift Strike	1382	46.44%	23.8	69.61%	-0.058	0.2168	0.378
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	9	66.67%	39.89	77.78%	0.368	-0.4089	0.929
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	129	55.04%	43.57	76.74%	0.066	-0.5766	0.899
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	122	56.67%	43.23	77.87%	0.023	-0.2435	1.08
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	395	59.39%	40.01	74.43%	0.513	0.2465	0.31
Many Minds Move as One	246	46.53%	31.97	81.3%	-0.616	-1.2194	-0.269
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	1262	54.48%	30.07	74.56%	0.917	0.7323	0.536
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	477	41.92%	28.69	79.45%	-0.02	0.001	-0.321
River Surges in Sunlight	1418	49.18%	26.63	70.17%	-0.103	-0.1377	0.14
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	118	42.98%	28.94	74.58%	0.636	1.0669	-0.513
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	24	33.33%	50.0	79.17%	0.063	-0.2372	0.048
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	715	49.42%	30.95	72.31%	1.365	1.3126	0.109
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	740	61.83%	22.98	62.84%	-0.172	0.2381	-0.968
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous	3	66.67%	19.67	100.0%	0.251	0.2581
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding	4	100.0%	47.5	100.0%	-0.042	-0.3888
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness	54	50.94%	31.13	88.89%	0.064	0.0833	-0.487
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	44	55.81%	31.68	68.18%			0.272
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	844	43.44%	34.07	76.9%	0.058	-0.2289	0.649
Shifting Memory of Ages	122	64.41%	32.55	68.03%	0.036	0.1107	0.519
Shroud of Silent Mist	153	61.18%	23.88	65.36%	0.081	0.3171	-0.643
Starlight Seeks its Form	200	54.27%	50.94	78.0%	-0.179	-0.3179	1.107
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	471	57.78%	37.72	72.19%	0.214	0.032	0.523
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	444	46.96%	32.39	75.9%	0.115	0.3	0.149
Thunderspeaker	934	46.96%	26.84	71.2%	0.113	0.1775	-0.466
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	387	80.31%	36.44	66.67%	-0.789	-0.8799	0.082
Vital Strength of the Earth	1025	40.18%	21.72	70.63%	-0.79	0.0191	-0.503
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	9	33.33%	44.11	100.0%	0.391	0.7777	0.486
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	48	47.92%	29.0	77.08%	0.126	1.3005	0.147
Volcano Looming High	428	64.87%	45.92	76.87%	0.006	0.0014	0.989

Spirit

Completed

Blight Flipped

Average Score

Win Rate

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff≥10)

A Spread of Rampant Green

1468

40.77%

28.2

77.32%

1.004

0.8896

0.362

Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares

638

62.42%

24.33

65.52%

0.463

0.5588

-0.266

Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot

480

44.52%

28.41

79.79%

0.213

0.052

-0.067

Downpour Drenches the World

48.57%

37.97

71.43%

-0.235

0.0182

-0.11

Eyes Watch From the Trees

634

32.02%

29.59

85.17%

0.059

-0.3783

0.03

Fathomless Mud of the Swamp

598

39.34%

31.81

80.6%

0.385

-0.1026

-0.455

Finder of Paths Unseen

61.54%

30.0

65.38%

-0.531

-0.1672

-0.692

Fractured Days Split the Sky

139

56.52%

38.74

71.22%

-0.003

0.0531

0.5

Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble

133

56.39%

46.29

83.46%

-0.644

-0.6761

0.95

Heart of the Wildfire

658

68.75%

24.3

57.9%

-0.515

-0.34

-1.04

Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds

1178

48.07%

33.53

76.32%

0.081

-0.3754

0.519

Lightning's Swift Strike

1382

46.44%

23.8

69.61%

-0.058

0.2168

0.378

Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense

66.67%

39.89

77.78%

0.368

-0.4089

0.929

Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium

129

55.04%

43.57

76.74%

0.066

-0.5766

0.899

Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind

122

56.67%

43.23

77.87%

0.023

-0.2435

1.08

Lure of the Deep Wilderness

395

59.39%

40.01

74.43%

0.513

0.2465

0.31

Many Minds Move as One

246

46.53%

31.97

81.3%

-0.616

-1.2194

-0.269

Ocean's Hungry Grasp

1262

54.48%

30.07

74.56%

0.917

0.7323

0.536

Rising Heat of Stone and Sand

477

41.92%

28.69

79.45%

-0.02

0.001

-0.321

River Surges in Sunlight

1418

49.18%

26.63

70.17%

-0.103

-0.1377

0.14

River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine

118

42.98%

28.94

74.58%

0.636

1.0669

-0.513

River Surges in Sunlight — Travel

33.33%

50.0

79.17%

0.063

-0.2372

0.048

Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island

715

49.42%

30.95

72.31%

1.365

1.3126

0.109

Shadows Flicker Like Flame

740

61.83%

22.98

62.84%

-0.172

0.2381

-0.968

Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous

66.67%

19.67

100.0%

0.251

0.2581

Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding

100.0%

47.5

100.0%

-0.042

-0.3888

Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness

50.94%

31.13

88.89%

0.064

0.0833

-0.487

Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach

55.81%

31.68

68.18%

0.272

Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves

844

43.44%

34.07

76.9%

0.058

-0.2289

0.649

Shifting Memory of Ages

122

64.41%

32.55

68.03%

0.036

0.1107

0.519

Shroud of Silent Mist

153

61.18%

23.88

65.36%

0.081

0.3171

-0.643

Starlight Seeks its Form

200

54.27%

50.94

78.0%

-0.179

-0.3179

1.107

Stone's Unyielding Defiance

471

57.78%

37.72

72.19%

0.214

0.032

0.523

Sun-Bright Whirlwind

444

46.96%

32.39

75.9%

0.115

0.3

0.149

Thunderspeaker

934

46.96%

26.84

71.2%

0.113

0.1775

-0.466

Vengeance as a Burning Plague

387

80.31%

36.44

66.67%

-0.789

-0.8799

0.082

Vital Strength of the Earth

1025

40.18%

21.72

70.63%

-0.79

0.0191

-0.503

Vital Strength of the Earth — Might

33.33%

44.11

100.0%

0.391

0.7777

0.486

Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience

47.92%

29.0

77.08%

0.126

1.3005

0.147

Volcano Looming High

428

64.87%

45.92

76.87%

0.006

0.0014

0.989

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	46	63.04%	26.98	4.715	78.26%	0.064	0.6155
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	42	64.29%	30.74	2.257	78.57%	0.315	1.1925
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	52	68.63%	35.21	5.05	63.46%	0.022	1.1416
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	59	71.93%	33.68	-4.988	52.54%	-0.953	0.5777
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	30	90.0%	37.37		43.33%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	7	100.0%	46.29		71.43%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	42	88.1%	40.36	16.92	35.71%	0.243	2.5039
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	288	37.94%	23.67	-3.407	85.42%	0.612	0.8566
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	259	35.27%	29.83	2.231	88.03%	0.363	0.2367
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	312	45.28%	37.29	5.63	85.26%	1.057	1.173
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	224	58.64%	40.16	6.078	73.66%	0.196	0.5701
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	143	53.52%	47.12	2.852	82.52%	-0.787	-0.321
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	83	65.85%	47.64	6.948	67.47%	-0.68	0.3049
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	144	81.94%	44.89	10.526	52.08%	-0.237	1.3379
The Kingdom of England	0	1	207	35.44%	23.88	-2.929	80.68%	-0.241	0.2747
The Kingdom of England	1	3	170	55.62%	30.15	-1.382	75.29%	-0.493	0.1168
The Kingdom of England	2	4	181	52.22%	31.38	3.543	64.64%	0.584	1.7109
The Kingdom of England	3	6	174	66.09%	33.19	4.425	50.57%	0.118	1.8612
The Kingdom of England	4	7	144	63.38%	36.34	12.046	47.92%	0.425	2.0041
The Kingdom of England	5	9	65	75.38%	40.77		41.54%
The Kingdom of England	6	11	174	71.26%	41.77	15.465	35.63%	-0.335	1.9636
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	106	50.0%	26.4	-4.775	74.53%	-0.534	0.3685
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	111	59.09%	28.08	-0.918	65.77%	0.045	0.9356
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	160	64.38%	29.88	-5.249	43.75%	-1.207	1.1949
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	147	65.31%	39.5	-1.17	53.06%	-2.023	0.3608
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	81	65.43%	38.93	9.323	43.21%	-0.416	2.0596
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	56	78.57%	39.39	5.489	37.5%	-0.505	1.5727
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	694	66.71%	58.85	13.508	69.31%	-0.54	1.8267
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	7	28.57%	31.0	-0.718	100.0%	0.501	0.3773
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	4	25.0%	34.5	-0.211	100.0%	0.255	1.1001
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	7	14.29%	30.43	-0.532	42.86%	-1.268	-0.4399
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	6	50.0%	28.0	0.217	33.33%	-1.229	-0.3586
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	4	50.0%	46.0	6.052	75.0%	-0.024	1.212
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	4	75.0%	59.0	11.032	100.0%	0.436	1.8667
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	22	59.09%	59.91	12.771	81.82%	0.192	1.8904
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	140	37.96%	22.91	-1.731	85.71%	-0.082	0.0844
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	117	45.3%	28.46	-2.539	87.18%	-0.15	-0.3738
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	150	55.33%	31.04	-0.578	80.0%	0.368	0.8212
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	145	60.69%	38.94		77.93%
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	81	69.14%	35.42	9.584	61.73%	0.316	1.2677
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	36	80.56%	35.39		55.56%
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	258	70.16%	48.01	11.787	75.19%	0.727	1.9188
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	37	27.03%	27.73	-4.89	89.19%	0.139	0.0827
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	37	54.05%	30.81	1.59	72.97%	0.237	1.0112
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	33	57.58%	37.09	-0.884	78.79%	-0.829	-0.1183
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	47	65.96%	38.11		59.57%
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	25	72.0%	47.6	11.374	76.0%	0.595	1.98
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	14	100.0%	32.79		21.43%
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	59	88.14%	49.07	20.332	42.37%	0.135	2.1538

Results using Scenarios

Scenario	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
Blitz	0	56	44.64%	25.38	75.0%	-0.116	0.1419	-0.438
Dahan Insurrection	4	61	31.15%	49.15	72.13%	0.15	0.5633	-0.848
Despicable Theft	2	11	54.55%	25.09	45.45%	-0.76	-0.3145
Elemental Invocation	1	27	70.37%	29.48	77.78%			-1.215
Guard the Isle's Heart	0	280	17.69%	39.84	72.14%	-0.758	-0.4524	0.288
Powers Long Forgotten	1	38	76.32%	26.21	55.26%			-0.808
Rituals of Terror	3	27	70.37%	34.19	55.56%			-0.339
Rituals of the Destroying Flame	3	24	100.0%	27.92	33.33%			0.449
Second Wave	0	314	46.47%	27.97	72.61%	-0.535	0.0309	-0.949
Varied Terrains	2	2	100.0%	30.0	100.0%	0.278	0.8043
Ward the Shores	2	24	58.33%	31.04	58.33%	0.004	1.166	-0.56

Scenario

Difficulty

Completed

Blight Flipped

Average Score

Win Rate

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff≥10)

Blitz

44.64%

25.38

75.0%

-0.116

0.1419

-0.438

Dahan Insurrection

31.15%

49.15

72.13%

0.15

0.5633

-0.848

Despicable Theft

54.55%

25.09

45.45%

-0.76

-0.3145

Elemental Invocation

70.37%

29.48

77.78%

-1.215

Guard the Isle's Heart

280

17.69%

39.84

72.14%

-0.758

-0.4524

0.288

Powers Long Forgotten

76.32%

26.21

55.26%

-0.808

Rituals of Terror

70.37%

34.19

55.56%

-0.339

Rituals of the Destroying Flame

100.0%

27.92

33.33%

0.449

Second Wave

314

46.47%

27.97

72.61%

-0.535

0.0309

-0.949

Varied Terrains

100.0%

30.0

100.0%

0.278

0.8043

Ward the Shores

58.33%

31.04

58.33%

0.004

1.166

-0.56

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	286	31.89	59.44%	-0.344	1.5585	-0.641
Aid From Lesser Spirits	369	31.85	58.27%	-1.228	0.5021	-0.49
All Things Weaken	168	33.1	55.95%	-1.365	0.6205	-0.473
Back Against the Wall	325	31.27	56.62%	-0.784	1.0325	-0.364
Disintegrating Ecosystem	283	29.23	52.3%	-0.944	1.106	-0.319
Downward Spiral	719	23.63	55.35%	-0.981	1.0124	-0.265
Erosion of Will	288	30.06	55.9%	-1.45	0.6325	-0.423
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	74	44.2	85.14%	0.214	0.6554	0.393
Memory Fades to Dust	675	24.25	54.37%	-0.962	1.1224	-0.35
Power Corrodes the Spirit	176	33.3	58.52%	-0.303	1.635	-0.133
Promising Farmlands	342	26.53	49.42%	-1.55	0.4958	-0.822
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	43	39.93	86.05%	0.035	0.4602	0.636
Thriving Communities	148	33.97	56.76%	-1.406	0.5779	-0.562
Tipping Point	110	25.45	42.73%			-0.303
Unnatural Proliferation	147	39.14	68.71%	-0.016	1.9482	0.228
Untended Land Crumbles	163	30.32	50.31%	-0.352	1.6407	-0.86

Blight Card

Completed

Average Score

Win Rate

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff≥10)

A Pall Upon the Land

286

31.89

59.44%

-0.344

1.5585

-0.641

Aid From Lesser Spirits

369

31.85

58.27%

-1.228

0.5021

-0.49

All Things Weaken

168

33.1

55.95%

-1.365

0.6205

-0.473

Back Against the Wall

325

31.27

56.62%

-0.784

1.0325

-0.364

Disintegrating Ecosystem

283

29.23

52.3%

-0.944

1.106

-0.319

Downward Spiral

719

23.63

55.35%

-0.981

1.0124

-0.265

Erosion of Will

288

30.06

55.9%

-1.45

0.6325

-0.423

Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking

44.2

85.14%

0.214

0.6554

0.393

Memory Fades to Dust

675

24.25

54.37%

-0.962

1.1224

-0.35

Power Corrodes the Spirit

176

33.3

58.52%

-0.303

1.635

-0.133

Promising Farmlands

342

26.53

49.42%

-1.55

0.4958

-0.822

Strong Earth Shatters Slowly

39.93

86.05%

0.035

0.4602

0.636

Thriving Communities

148

33.97

56.76%

-1.406

0.5779

-0.562

Tipping Point

110

25.45

42.73%

-0.303

Unnatural Proliferation

147

39.14

68.71%

-0.016

1.9482

0.228

Untended Land Crumbles

163

30.32

50.31%

-0.352

1.6407

-0.86

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	3333	49.62%	28.38	73.54%	-0.317	0.4805	-0.074
B	3332	49.92%	29.65	72.63%	-0.111	0.6329	0.138
C	3629	50.76%	30.78	72.91%	0.142	0.7103	-0.002
D	3104	48.71%	27.71	73.16%	-0.011	0.785	-0.221
E	1052	56.58%	35.37	75.1%	0.379	1.0256	0.497
F	1543	51.88%	35.77	75.31%	0.166	0.8903	0.177
G	1231	48.23%	27.9	72.38%	0.19	0.9215	-0.428
H	1203	48.14%	29.03	73.23%	-0.421	0.2912	-0.089

Board

Completed

Blight Flipped

Average Score

Win Rate

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff≥10)

3333

49.62%

28.38

73.54%

-0.317

0.4805

-0.074

3332

49.92%

29.65

72.63%

-0.111

0.6329

0.138

3629

50.76%

30.78

72.91%

0.142

0.7103

-0.002

3104

48.71%

27.71

73.16%

-0.011

0.785

-0.221

1052

56.58%

35.37

75.1%

0.379

1.0256

0.497

1543

51.88%

35.77

75.31%

0.166

0.8903

0.177

1231

48.23%

27.9

72.38%

0.19

0.9215

-0.428

1203

48.14%

29.03

73.23%

-0.421

0.2912

-0.089

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	613	0.0%	15.05	59.22%	-0.724	1.4053
Not Using Events or Tokens	1833	45.27%	20.01	69.89%	-0.636	-0.4614	-0.151
Skip Initial Invader Actions	322	14.09%	29.02	90.37%	0.254	0.112	0.166
Start of Game Growth	433	20.43%	27.83	88.45%	-0.279	-1.0397	0.574
Unlimited Undo	964	36.9%	29.48	83.82%	0.704	0.0998	1.27
Using Tokens but Not Events	848	39.76%	25.23	78.54%	0.8	0.6435	-0.023

Option

Completed

Blight Flipped

Average Score

Win Rate

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff≥10)

No Blight Card

613

0.0%

15.05

59.22%

-0.724

1.4053

Not Using Events or Tokens

1833

45.27%

20.01

69.89%

-0.636

-0.4614

-0.151

Skip Initial Invader Actions

322

14.09%

29.02

90.37%

0.254

0.112

0.166

Start of Game Growth

433

20.43%

27.83

88.45%

-0.279

-1.0397

0.574

Unlimited Undo

964

36.9%

29.48

83.82%

0.704

0.0998

1.27

Using Tokens but Not Events

848

39.76%

25.23

78.54%

0.8

0.6435

-0.023

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	1156	22.56	16.52%
II	3336	30.98	66.61%
III	3399	34.53	89.03%
IV	1324	37.77	99.62%

Completed

Average Score

Win Rate

1156

22.56

16.52%

3336

30.98

66.61%

III

3399

34.53

89.03%

1324

37.77

99.62%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	191
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	2972
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	2157
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	1310
Lose: Invader deck ran out	73
Lose: Adversary condition	565
Win: Sacrifice victory	29
Lose: Scenario condition	73
Win: Scenario condition	99
Lose: Blight pool ran out	1622
Lose: Spirit destroyed	124

Result

Completed

Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)

191

Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)

2972

Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)

2157

Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)

1310

Lose: Invader deck ran out

Lose: Adversary condition

565

Win: Sacrifice victory

Lose: Scenario condition

Win: Scenario condition

Lose: Blight pool ran out

1622

Lose: Spirit destroyed

124

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
Fragment (2 Boards)

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Scenarios

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2025-09-02 02:08:59 (Pacific Time)

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:Fragment (2 Boards)

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Scenarios

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2025-09-02 02:08:59 (Pacific Time)

Detailed Statistics:
Fragment (2 Boards)