Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
Coastline (6 Boards)

Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
70	16.67%	39.66	98.57%

Results using Spirits

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	43	28.57%	29.35	97.67%	-0.402
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	1	0.0%	34.0	0.0%	-0.402
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	26	33.33%	29.54	100.0%
Downpour Drenches the World	6	0.0%	42.83	100.0%	0.058
Eyes Watch From the Trees	11	0.0%	63.18	100.0%	0.169
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	2	0.0%	28.0	100.0%
Finder of Paths Unseen	2	0.0%	41.0	50.0%	-0.402
Fractured Days Split the Sky	2	0.0%	51.0	100.0%
Heart of the Wildfire	2	100.0%	26.5	100.0%
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	36	8.33%	51.06	100.0%	0.407
Lightning's Swift Strike	25	33.33%	29.16	96.0%	-0.402
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	18	5.56%	70.11	100.0%	0.407
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	5	60.0%	27.0	100.0%
Many Minds Move as One	4	25.0%	68.5	100.0%	0.085
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	52	13.04%	43.56	98.08%	0.004
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	24	0.0%	29.13	100.0%
River Surges in Sunlight	43	10.0%	45.81	97.67%	0.004
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	2	0.0%	45.5	100.0%
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	1	0.0%	24.0	100.0%
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	3	66.67%	38.67	100.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	1	100.0%	12.0	100.0%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	3	33.33%	21.33	100.0%
Shifting Memory of Ages	1	100.0%	50.0	100.0%
Shroud of Silent Mist	2	50.0%	32.5	100.0%
Starlight Seeks its Form	4	25.0%	38.75	100.0%	0.032
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	11	18.18%	55.64	100.0%	0.192
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	39	20.0%	37.23	100.0%	0.209
Thunderspeaker	5	33.33%	26.4	100.0%
Vital Strength of the Earth	39	0.0%	28.03	100.0%
Volcano Looming High	6	0.0%	46.67	100.0%	0.069

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	1	100.0%	66.0	100.0%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	2	0.0%	42.0	100.0%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	5	0.0%	68.4	100.0%
The Kingdom of England	6	11	1	0.0%	34.0	0.0%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	1	0.0%	53.0	100.0%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	8	0.0%	75.75	100.0%
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	1	0.0%	48.0	100.0%
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	5	20.0%	59.6	100.0%

Results using Scenarios

Scenario	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Model (Diff≥10)
Blitz	0	35	0.0%	27.2	100.0%
Guard the Isle's Heart	0	1	0.0%	31.0	100.0%
Second Wave	0	1	0.0%	29.0	100.0%
The Great River	3	6	20.0%	38.33	83.33%	-0.402
Ward the Shores	2	4	0.0%	30.75	100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Model (Diff≥10)
Aid From Lesser Spirits	1	12.0	100.0%
Disintegrating Ecosystem	1	50.0	100.0%
Power Corrodes the Spirit	1	24.0	100.0%
Thriving Communities	2	47.5	100.0%	0.029

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Model (Diff≥10)
A	61	13.79%	41.07	98.36%	0.004
B	43	28.57%	31.81	100.0%	0.054
C	54	14.81%	42.91	98.15%	0.004
D	65	17.24%	40.4	98.46%	0.004
E	52	11.11%	43.42	98.08%	0.004
F	43	18.18%	31.51	97.67%	-0.363
G	46	22.22%	41.24	97.83%	-0.089
H	55	12.5%	41.93	100.0%	0.407

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
No Blight Card	40	0.0%	28.0	100.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions	39	0.0%	28.82	100.0%
Start of Game Growth	41	0.0%	28.61	100.0%
Unlimited Undo	42	0.0%	28.29	100.0%
Using Tokens but Not Events	40	0.0%	28.0	100.0%

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	25	22.63	96.0%
II	32	31.12	100.0%
III	12	34.7	100.0%
IV	1	37.97	100.0%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	24
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	11
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	29
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	1
Lose: Scenario condition	1
Win: Scenario condition	4

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.