Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
Coastline (6 Boards)

Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
53	14.29%	41.64	98.11%

Results using Spirits

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	32	28.57%	29.72	96.88%	-0.388
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	1	0.0%	34.0	0.0%	-0.388
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	15	33.33%	30.73	100.0%
Downpour Drenches the World	6	0.0%	42.83	100.0%	0.066
Eyes Watch From the Trees	11	0.0%	63.18	100.0%	0.193
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	2	0.0%	28.0	100.0%
Finder of Paths Unseen	2	0.0%	41.0	50.0%	-0.388
Fractured Days Split the Sky	2	0.0%	51.0	100.0%
Heart of the Wildfire	2	100.0%	26.5	100.0%
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	31	4.55%	51.94	100.0%	0.393
Lightning's Swift Strike	19	33.33%	29.21	94.74%	-0.388
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	16	0.0%	69.88	100.0%	0.393
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	5	60.0%	27.0	100.0%
Many Minds Move as One	3	0.0%	69.33	100.0%	0.066
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	37	9.52%	47.35	97.3%	0.005
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	13	0.0%	28.92	100.0%
River Surges in Sunlight	32	5.56%	49.28	96.88%	0.005
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	2	0.0%	45.5	100.0%
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	1	0.0%	24.0	100.0%
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	3	66.67%	38.67	100.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	1	100.0%	12.0	100.0%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	3	33.33%	21.33	100.0%
Shifting Memory of Ages	1	100.0%	50.0	100.0%
Shroud of Silent Mist	2	50.0%	32.5	100.0%
Starlight Seeks its Form	4	25.0%	38.75	100.0%	0.036
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	10	10.0%	54.6	100.0%	0.188
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	24	22.22%	40.71	100.0%	0.2
Thunderspeaker	5	33.33%	26.4	100.0%
Vital Strength of the Earth	27	0.0%	28.04	100.0%
Volcano Looming High	5	0.0%	40.4	100.0%	0.036

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	2	0.0%	42.0	100.0%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	5	0.0%	68.4	100.0%
The Kingdom of England	6	11	1	0.0%	34.0	0.0%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	1	0.0%	53.0	100.0%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	7	0.0%	75.43	100.0%
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	1	0.0%	48.0	100.0%
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	5	20.0%	59.6	100.0%

Results using Scenarios

Scenario	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Model (Diff≥10)
Blitz	0	22	0.0%	26.91	100.0%
Guard the Isle's Heart	0	1	0.0%	31.0	100.0%
Second Wave	0	1	0.0%	29.0	100.0%
The Great River	3	6	20.0%	38.33	83.33%	-0.388
Ward the Shores	2	2	0.0%	29.0	100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
Aid From Lesser Spirits	1	12.0	100.0%
Disintegrating Ecosystem	1	50.0	100.0%
Power Corrodes the Spirit	1	24.0	100.0%
Thriving Communities	1	29.0	100.0%

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Model (Diff≥10)
A	48	11.11%	42.71	97.92%	0.005
B	30	28.57%	33.33	100.0%	0.063
C	43	12.0%	44.72	97.67%	0.005
D	49	14.81%	42.55	97.96%	0.005
E	39	8.0%	46.26	97.44%	0.005
F	30	20.0%	31.17	96.67%	-0.388
G	37	17.65%	43.14	97.3%	-0.058
H	41	9.09%	44.51	100.0%	0.393

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
No Blight Card	25	0.0%	27.8	100.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions	26	0.0%	28.77	100.0%
Start of Game Growth	26	0.0%	28.77	100.0%
Unlimited Undo	27	0.0%	28.26	100.0%
Using Tokens but Not Events	25	0.0%	27.8	100.0%

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	15	22.62	93.33%
II	26	31.05	100.0%
III	11	34.62	100.0%
IV	1	37.86	100.0%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	14
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	10
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	25
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	1
Lose: Scenario condition	1
Win: Scenario condition	2

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.