Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
Coastline (6 Boards)

Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
61	17.24%	40.44	98.36%

Results using Spirits

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	37	28.57%	29.43	97.3%	-0.393
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	1	0.0%	34.0	0.0%	-0.393
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	22	33.33%	29.77	100.0%
Downpour Drenches the World	6	0.0%	42.83	100.0%	0.063
Eyes Watch From the Trees	11	0.0%	63.18	100.0%	0.181
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	2	0.0%	28.0	100.0%
Finder of Paths Unseen	2	0.0%	41.0	50.0%	-0.393
Fractured Days Split the Sky	2	0.0%	51.0	100.0%
Heart of the Wildfire	2	100.0%	26.5	100.0%
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	35	8.7%	50.29	100.0%	0.398
Lightning's Swift Strike	21	33.33%	29.1	95.24%	-0.393
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	17	5.88%	69.65	100.0%	0.398
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	5	60.0%	27.0	100.0%
Many Minds Move as One	4	25.0%	68.5	100.0%	0.092
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	43	13.64%	45.49	97.67%	0.004
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	19	0.0%	28.84	100.0%
River Surges in Sunlight	36	10.53%	47.92	97.22%	0.004
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	2	0.0%	45.5	100.0%
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	1	0.0%	24.0	100.0%
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	3	66.67%	38.67	100.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	1	100.0%	12.0	100.0%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	3	33.33%	21.33	100.0%
Shifting Memory of Ages	1	100.0%	50.0	100.0%
Shroud of Silent Mist	2	50.0%	32.5	100.0%
Starlight Seeks its Form	4	25.0%	38.75	100.0%	0.034
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	11	18.18%	55.64	100.0%	0.205
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	30	22.22%	38.1	100.0%	0.186
Thunderspeaker	5	33.33%	26.4	100.0%
Vital Strength of the Earth	32	0.0%	27.84	100.0%
Volcano Looming High	5	0.0%	40.4	100.0%	0.034

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	1	100.0%	66.0	100.0%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	2	0.0%	42.0	100.0%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	5	0.0%	68.4	100.0%
The Kingdom of England	6	11	1	0.0%	34.0	0.0%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	1	0.0%	53.0	100.0%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	7	0.0%	75.43	100.0%
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	1	0.0%	48.0	100.0%
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	5	20.0%	59.6	100.0%

Results using Scenarios

Scenario	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Model (Diff≥10)
Blitz	0	28	0.0%	26.93	100.0%
Guard the Isle's Heart	0	1	0.0%	31.0	100.0%
Second Wave	0	1	0.0%	29.0	100.0%
The Great River	3	6	20.0%	38.33	83.33%	-0.393
Ward the Shores	2	3	0.0%	30.0	100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Model (Diff≥10)
Aid From Lesser Spirits	1	12.0	100.0%
Disintegrating Ecosystem	1	50.0	100.0%
Power Corrodes the Spirit	1	24.0	100.0%
Thriving Communities	2	47.5	100.0%	0.031

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Model (Diff≥10)
A	55	14.29%	41.42	98.18%	0.004
B	36	28.57%	32.28	100.0%	0.059
C	49	15.38%	43.39	97.96%	0.004
D	56	17.86%	41.38	98.21%	0.004
E	45	11.54%	44.64	97.78%	0.004
F	35	20.0%	30.83	97.14%	-0.393
G	41	22.22%	42.68	97.56%	-0.055
H	48	13.04%	42.85	100.0%	0.398

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
No Blight Card	32	0.0%	27.78	100.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions	33	0.0%	28.55	100.0%
Start of Game Growth	33	0.0%	28.55	100.0%
Unlimited Undo	34	0.0%	28.15	100.0%
Using Tokens but Not Events	32	0.0%	27.78	100.0%

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	20	22.65	95.0%
II	28	31.08	100.0%
III	12	34.66	100.0%
IV	1	37.91	100.0%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	19
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	11
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	26
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	1
Lose: Scenario condition	1
Win: Scenario condition	3

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.