Results with Adversaries

Results using Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 22.0 100.0%
Blitz 0 51 0.0% 28.0 98.04% -0.144
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2 0.0% 15.5 50.0%
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.154
Second Wave 0 7 14.29% 24.71 71.43%
The Great River 3 38 10.81% 15.68 34.21% 0.175 1.4205 -0.788
Ward the Shores 2 4 0.0% 30.75 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1 48.0 100.0%
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1 12.0 100.0%
Back Against the Wall 1 20.0 0.0%
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1 61.0 100.0%
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1 50.0 100.0%
Erosion of Will 2 34.5 100.0% 0.146 0.3119
Memory Fades to Dust 1 0.0 0.0%
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2 27.0 50.0% -0.039
Promising Farmlands 2 12.5 50.0% -0.704
Shattered Fragments of Power 2 52.0 100.0% 0.19
Thriving Communities 3 55.0 100.0% 0.147

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 203 8.19% 39.81 75.37% -0.169 0.749 0.311
B 106 15.58% 23.58 67.92% 0.058 0.8989 -1.078
C 197 8.24% 39.71 73.1% 0.006 0.6888 -0.211
D 194 8.23% 40.27 74.74% 0.006 0.8481 0.2
E 190 8.48% 40.42 74.21% 0.362 1.0138 0.297
F 153 9.09% 35.64 75.82% -0.079 0.6805 -0.063
G 116 12.5% 35.28 74.14% -0.459 0.2989 -0.185
H 179 7.43% 43.54 81.01% 0.31 1.0288 0.671

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 40 0.0% 28.0 100.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 57 0.0% 28.33 96.49%
Start of Game Growth 66 7.69% 28.21 93.94%
Unlimited Undo 64 0.0% 26.63 92.19% -0.117
Using Tokens but Not Events 62 0.0% 27.21 93.55% 0.175 0.0127 0.202

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 90 14.25 41.11%
II 75 30.3 97.33%
III 49 34.84 97.96%
IV 10 38.61 100.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 37
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 47
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 70
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 51
Lose: Adversary condition 1
Lose: Scenario condition 2
Win: Scenario condition 4
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)