Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
Coastline (5 Boards)

Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
76	5.41%	52.49	98.68%

Results using Spirits

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
A Spread of Rampant Green	11	0.0%	31.36	100.0%
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	4	0.0%	27.0	100.0%
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	6	0.0%	34.83	100.0%
Downpour Drenches the World	2	0.0%	50.0	100.0%
Eyes Watch From the Trees	20	5.0%	58.75	100.0%
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	13	0.0%	33.46	100.0%
Fractured Days Split the Sky	7	0.0%	34.14	100.0%
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	5	0.0%	34.2	100.0%
Heart of the Wildfire	2	0.0%	29.5	100.0%
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	47	8.51%	65.96	100.0%
Lightning's Swift Strike	1	100.0%	40.0	100.0%
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	4	0.0%	26.0	75.0%
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	43	6.98%	70.23	100.0%
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	6	0.0%	42.67	100.0%
Many Minds Move as One	14	0.0%	39.21	92.86%
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	49	4.26%	64.22	100.0%
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	9	0.0%	33.89	100.0%
River Surges in Sunlight	51	8.16%	63.94	100.0%
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	7	0.0%	30.86	100.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	2	0.0%	25.5	100.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	1	0.0%	26.0	100.0%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	7	0.0%	26.57	100.0%
Shifting Memory of Ages	9	0.0%	27.11	88.89%
Shroud of Silent Mist	3	0.0%	29.67	100.0%
Starlight Seeks its Form	6	16.67%	40.5	100.0%
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	7	28.57%	64.57	100.0%
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	11	0.0%	44.0	100.0%
Thunderspeaker	7	16.67%	31.86	100.0%
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	5	0.0%	27.6	100.0%
Vital Strength of the Earth	4	0.0%	29.75	100.0%
Volcano Looming High	8	0.0%	48.0	87.5%

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	5	20.0%	69.8	100.0%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	1	0.0%	36.0	100.0%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	1	100.0%	40.0	100.0%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	1	0.0%	63.0	100.0%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	1	0.0%	69.0	100.0%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	9	0.0%	69.22	100.0%
The Kingdom of England	1	3	1	0.0%	63.0	100.0%
The Kingdom of England	6	11	5	20.0%	70.6	100.0%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	10	0.0%	78.0	100.0%
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	1	0.0%	69.0	100.0%
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	1	0.0%	25.0	0.0%
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	11	9.09%	63.27	100.0%
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	1	0.0%	81.0	100.0%

Results using Scenarios

Scenario	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
Blitz	0	2	0.0%	28.5	100.0%
Guard the Isle's Heart	0	1	0.0%	63.0	100.0%
Second Wave	0	28	0.0%	28.0	100.0%
The Great River	3	1	0.0%	25.0	0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
All Things Weaken	1	65.0	100.0%
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	1	65.0	100.0%
Unnatural Proliferation	1	63.0	100.0%
Untended Land Crumbles	1	40.0	100.0%

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
A	63	4.92%	56.95	98.41%
B	20	5.56%	35.15	95.0%
C	65	6.15%	56.65	98.46%
D	62	4.92%	56.63	100.0%
E	52	5.88%	52.46	98.08%
F	26	0.0%	35.85	96.15%
G	21	15.79%	48.48	100.0%
H	49	6.25%	62.1	100.0%

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
No Blight Card	2	0.0%	28.5	100.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions	2	0.0%	28.5	100.0%
Start of Game Growth	2	0.0%	28.5	100.0%
Unlimited Undo	2	0.0%	28.5	100.0%
Using Tokens but Not Events	6	0.0%	27.5	100.0%

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	3	22.56	66.67%
II	35	30.98	100.0%
III	29	34.53	100.0%
IV	9	37.77	100.0%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	2
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	29
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	35
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	9
Lose: Scenario condition	1

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.