Results with Adversaries

Results using Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 0.0% 13.0 50.0%
Blitz 0 17 50.0% 33.12 94.12% -0.331
Dahan Insurrection 4 9 11.11% 65.22 77.78% -0.222 -0.4771 0.3
Elemental Invocation 1 10 20.0% 34.9 100.0%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 109 5.5% 61.44 74.31% 0.556 -0.2151 0.188
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 2 0.0% 75.0 50.0% -0.511
Second Wave 0 10 30.0% 33.3 100.0% 0.273 0.3589
Ward the Shores 2 1 100.0% 17.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 2 37.0 50.0%
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2 55.0 100.0%
All Things Weaken 5 50.0 80.0%
Attenuated Essence 1 50.0 100.0% 0.093 0.1246
Back Against the Wall 2 49.0 50.0% -0.251 -0.2209
Burn Brightest Before the End 1 62.0 100.0%
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4 61.5 100.0% 0.658
Downward Spiral 4 36.25 50.0% -0.331
Erosion of Will 3 35.67 33.33% -0.17
Intensifying Exploitation 1 77.0 100.0% 0.238
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2 56.0 100.0% 0.311 -0.2699 0.184
Memory Fades to Dust 2 43.0 100.0%
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2 63.0 100.0% 0.225
Thriving Communities 3 29.67 100.0% 0.17 0.4697
Thriving Crops 1 155.0 100.0% 0.248
Unnatural Proliferation 2 28.5 100.0%
Untended Land Crumbles 3 54.67 100.0%

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 262 12.65% 43.97 76.34% 0.293 1.4358 -0.014
B 242 15.04% 43.25 75.21% 0.573 1.6279 -0.089
C 264 14.23% 45.58 77.65% -0.238 0.65 0.456
D 260 13.22% 45.71 76.54% -0.16 0.8943 0.195
E 215 14.14% 39.84 74.88% -0.228 0.6765 -0.37
F 193 19.77% 37.74 74.09% -0.299 0.7051 0.187
G 175 14.46% 48.47 75.43% -0.032 0.9357 0.046
H 189 10.56% 47.12 74.6% 0.106 1.0985 -0.374

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 20 0.0% 31.3 95.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 25 0.0% 32.36 88.0% -0.123 -0.7451 -0.31
Start of Game Growth 29 0.0% 36.59 82.76% -0.123 -0.5349 -0.445
Unlimited Undo 34 7.14% 26.26 79.41% -0.037 -0.132 -0.31
Using Tokens but Not Events 132 5.36% 54.23 78.03% 0.166 0.2411 -0.067

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 87 16.77 27.59%
II 131 30.59 94.66%
III 68 34.74 95.59%
IV 17 38.3 100.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 24
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 62
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 120
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 53
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1
Lose: Adversary condition 3
Lose: Scenario condition 11
Win: Scenario condition 7
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-02-21 04:03:14 (Pacific Time)