Results with Adversaries

Results using Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
Blitz 0 5 80.0% 48.0 100.0%
Dahan Insurrection 4 14 57.14% 59.5 42.86% -0.115 -0.3678 -0.312
Elemental Invocation 1 3 66.67% 19.67 66.67%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 15 13.33% 42.93 60.0% -0.171 -0.7325 1.233
Powers Long Forgotten 1 2 100.0% 32.5 0.0% -0.219
Second Wave 0 12 25.0% 28.0 75.0% -0.107 0.0313

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6 48.33 83.33%
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5 50.8 60.0% -0.115
All Things Weaken 4 26.5 25.0% -0.04
Back Against the Wall 2 41.0 0.0% -0.094
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 3 47.67 33.33% 0.124
Burn Brightest Before the End 2 62.0 0.0% 0.007
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2 16.5 0.0% -0.112
Downward Spiral 10 27.4 60.0% -0.645
Erosion of Will 6 40.5 66.67% -0.276 -0.0012 -0.339
Intensifying Exploitation 1 53.0 100.0%
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 5 48.2 100.0% 0.244
Memory Fades to Dust 3 28.67 66.67% -0.088
Power Corrodes the Spirit 5 61.4 80.0% 0.557
Promising Farmlands 9 40.11 55.56% 0.005
Shattered Fragments of Power 2 53.5 50.0% 0.508
Slow Dissolution of Will 5 43.2 80.0% 0.171 0.5523 -0.065
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 5 44.0 100.0%
The Border of Life and Death 1 99.0 100.0%
Thriving Communities 5 34.2 20.0% -0.21
Thriving Crops 2 25.0 100.0%
Unnatural Proliferation 1 19.0 0.0%
Untended Land Crumbles 7 25.86 71.43% -0.142

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 128 51.56% 36.84 66.41% 0.098 1.0957 0.048
B 149 49.32% 33.9 65.77% -0.212 0.7107 -0.22
C 141 51.43% 35.92 66.67% 0.256 0.9848 -0.293
D 120 48.33% 36.18 60.0% -0.516 0.443 -0.093
E 133 47.73% 35.28 67.67% -0.296 0.5229 -0.364
F 103 53.4% 35.15 68.93% -0.077 0.8053 0.604
G 65 56.25% 37.49 55.38% -0.055 0.7705 0.018
H 71 51.43% 38.52 74.65% 0.768 1.6064 0.26

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2 0.0% 42.0 50.0% 0.204
Start of Game Growth 3 50.0% 33.0 33.33% 0.204
Unlimited Undo 2 0.0% 42.0 50.0%
Using Tokens but Not Events 34 27.27% 25.53 58.82% -0.383 -0.4122 0.282

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 39 13.42 0.0%
II 44 30.13 54.55%
III 57 34.83 94.74%
IV 42 38.67 100.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 52
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 20
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 42
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 27
Lose: Adversary condition 8
Lose: Scenario condition 1
Win: Scenario condition 6
Lose: Blight pool ran out 23
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)