Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 53 16.98% 25.94 77.36% -0.11 -0.0655 -0.263
Blitz 0 329 32.42% 32.78 66.57% -0.115 0.0996 -0.291
Dahan Insurrection 4 993 12.6% 51.61 69.59% -0.112 -0.4004 0.482
Despicable Theft 2 119 36.97% 25.79 56.3% -0.376 0.3345 -0.513
Elemental Invocation 1 200 50.5% 27.41 61.0% 0.019 0.7197 -1.07
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1838 12.32% 48.72 78.78% 0.595 -0.0054 0.902
Powers Long Forgotten 1 139 42.45% 23.55 44.6% -0.817 0.0199 -0.43
Rituals of Terror 3 89 50.0% 36.29 64.04% 0.289 0.3496 0.374
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 51 64.71% 29.04 49.02% 0.492 1.4788 -0.611
Second Wave 0 999 44.11% 27.44 73.27% -0.27 -0.0202 0.156
The Great River 3 500 47.09% 29.13 58.4% -0.548 0.5182 -0.603
Varied Terrains 2 120 42.5% 25.02 55.83% -0.261 0.5679 -0.324
Ward the Shores 2 273 36.76% 26.0 48.72% 0.609 1.7926 -1.033

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 7766 51.78% 24.2 61.07% 0.177 0.4507 0.535
1 Thematic 506 57.58% 27.16 49.6% 0.094 0.669 0.334
2 Archipelago 48 43.75% 29.48 64.58% 0.087 0.7644 -0.012
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6900 44.34% 33.73 69.64% 0.271 0.3391 0.933
2 Coastline 1810 39.8% 36.98 73.54% 1.066 0.8467 0.863
2 Fragment 194 46.32% 37.29 72.16% 0.256 -0.0108 2.006
2 Heart 120 46.67% 34.41 58.33% 0.127 -0.3434 0.238
2 Opposite Shores 1986 42.54% 34.59 70.54% 0.563 0.5405 0.72
2 Thematic 500 46.68% 31.8 60.4% 0.15 0.5231 0.11
2 Top to Top 375 43.67% 39.69 75.47% 0.898 0.6406 1.214
3 Archipelago 42 45.24% 43.26 66.67% 0.368 -0.5553 -0.131
3 Coastline 252 26.19% 44.14 76.98% -0.587 -1.5505 0.212
3 Other 199 26.4% 28.94 75.88% -0.617 -1.3811 1.317
3 Round (Default) 5510 33.68% 38.93 72.12% 0.366 0.2124 0.346
3 Sunrise 32 53.13% 56.97 81.25% 0.432 0.3537 1.038
3 Thematic 174 39.08% 36.16 62.64% -0.759 -0.9068 0.251
4 Archipelago 37 29.73% 43.97 67.57% 0.0 -0.5272 -1.265
4 Coastline 179 15.64% 56.06 86.03% 0.056 -0.0003 0.425
4 Leaf 35 31.43% 26.66 60.0% 0.345 0.2545 -0.452
4 Other 232 25.86% 38.91 88.79% 1.295 0.6108 1.411
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 481 41.67% 42.42 66.11% 0.039 -0.1386 -0.693
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3791 32.1% 36.82 65.79% -0.466 -0.7953 -0.535
5 Archipelago 15 40.0% 42.0 60.0% -0.409 0.862 -0.451
5 Coastline 147 5.44% 56.39 80.95% -0.44 -0.9701 -1.254
5 Other 332 25.45% 36.3 72.29% -0.944 -1.6938 -0.177
5 Thematic 32 34.38% 52.19 71.88% -0.341 -0.7272 0.184
6 Archipelago 36 19.44% 56.25 86.11% 0.0 -0.9706 -0.685
6 Coastline 111 5.41% 53.53 77.48% 0.067 -0.5127 -1.622
6 Other 329 19.51% 41.73 69.3% -0.442 -0.8588 -1.604
6 Star 104 24.04% 30.53 58.65% -0.743 -0.4074 -1.721
6 Thematic 527 26.48% 34.46 56.17% -0.064 -0.1124 -1.909
6 Two Centers (Default) 625 25.72% 36.33 66.88% -0.905 -0.6906 -1.022
7 Archipelago 4 0.0% 56.5 75.0% 0.0 -0.12 -0.582
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.686
7 Other 8 12.5% 34.88 50.0% 0.245 -0.8363 -0.471

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 814 35.29 56.39% -0.236 -0.1642 -0.003
Aid From Lesser Spirits 835 39.2 62.4% 0.194 0.1234 0.373
All Things Weaken 909 31.0 51.71% -0.575 -0.3162 0.064
Attenuated Essence 190 29.14 43.16% 0.374 0.3378 -0.249
Back Against the Wall 755 36.6 60.13% 0.495 0.5483 0.265
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 198 29.27 44.44% 0.199 0.3441 -0.607
Burn Brightest Before the End 153 33.75 54.9% 0.654 0.6699 0.124
Disintegrating Ecosystem 821 30.63 50.67% -0.025 0.1632 -0.413
Downward Spiral 984 29.61 55.39% 0.048 0.1225 0.012
Erosion of Will 812 33.97 52.83% 0.171 0.3259 0.008
Intensifying Exploitation 208 25.97 36.54% -0.175 -0.0389 -0.48
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 425 39.0 79.06% 1.159 0.5446 0.355
Memory Fades to Dust 1071 30.88 53.78% -0.634 -0.4307 0.01
Power Corrodes the Spirit 899 29.81 51.61% -0.64 -0.4656 -0.36
Promising Farmlands 725 30.71 51.31% 0.303 0.5009 -0.384
Shattered Fragments of Power 167 35.1 49.7% 0.515 0.5173 -0.125
Slow Dissolution of Will 190 29.37 43.16% -0.021 0.2772 -0.382
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 289 35.83 79.58% 0.647 -0.0502 0.394
The Border of Life and Death 44 26.59 54.55% 0.657 0.1594 -0.78
Thriving Communities 952 30.27 50.53% -0.195 -0.0384 0.031
Thriving Crops 78 36.76 56.41% -0.352 -0.6644 0.33
Unnatural Proliferation 942 32.77 51.49% 0.212 0.3208 0.012
Untended Land Crumbles 900 30.31 50.78% -0.11 0.0719 -0.137

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 11462 35.17% 35.91 68.7% 0.055 1.0298 -0.209
B 10465 36.8% 34.67 67.51% 0.066 0.9551 -0.025
C 12196 35.64% 36.82 69.84% 0.163 0.8556 0.109
D 9532 35.51% 35.73 69.15% 0.188 1.0833 -0.172
E 9255 36.01% 35.93 69.14% -0.025 0.7045 -0.159
F 8076 37.49% 34.9 68.77% 0.251 1.0829 -0.009
G 7116 36.78% 35.07 70.03% -0.124 0.6556 -0.071
H 7259 35.63% 37.32 70.96% 0.491 1.2741 0.076
East 1848 39.39% 36.15 59.96% -0.209 0.6 -0.216
Northeast 1283 38.55% 36.27 58.38% -0.016 0.782 -0.128
Northwest 1180 37.59% 35.98 58.14% 0.086 0.8194 -0.516
Southeast 952 31.89% 36.27 59.98% -0.287 0.6063 -0.172
Southwest 923 32.97% 35.19 58.94% -0.356 0.9022 -0.568
West 1768 40.3% 35.14 58.37% -0.777 0.221 -0.122

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 580 0.0% 15.17 55.17% -0.903 -0.2351 0.34
Not Using Events or Tokens 785 49.11% 16.82 52.61% -0.024 0.3966 -0.865
Skip Initial Invader Actions 996 15.11% 41.99 84.14% 0.044 -0.7255 1.618
Start of Game Growth 1437 20.13% 41.48 80.51% 0.839 0.4015 0.035
Unlimited Undo 3181 32.29% 34.98 72.12% 0.088 0.0221 0.22
Using Tokens but Not Events 4493 19.91% 31.47 73.16% 0.026 -0.0166 -0.143

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2447 30.58% 34.95 70.09% 0.571 0.4772 -0.272
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 228 27.31% 27.83 54.82% 0.353 -0.1549 -0.562
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 475 42.15% 28.4 67.16% -0.301 -0.1034 -0.514
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 173 33.53% 29.23 54.34% -0.321 -1.1944 -0.106
Dances Up Earthquakes 70 38.57% 36.66 64.29% 0.541 0.4018 0.758
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1459 33.08% 32.75 72.86% 0.053 -0.1696 0.118
Downpour Drenches the World 1306 36.09% 37.66 51.68% -0.035 0.2708 -0.34
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 619 36.14% 33.21 62.52% 0.938 0.3836 0.071
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1267 31.53% 34.4 74.43% -0.313 -0.7401 0.045
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1208 30.03% 34.05 67.96% 0.268 -0.1453 -0.592
Finder of Paths Unseen 293 39.59% 33.35 62.12% 0.24 0.8952 0.672
Fractured Days Split the Sky 900 28.6% 38.98 70.11% -0.766 -0.2206 0.54
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 536 39.25% 32.43 66.42% 0.411 0.3265 0.11
Heart of the Wildfire 880 43.74% 31.79 65.34% 1.067 1.3825 -0.421
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3681 29.03% 46.4 79.6% 0.844 0.4003 0.657
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 376 24.47% 28.59 51.06% 0.128 -0.1652 -0.606
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2396 34.14% 40.41 71.24% 0.077 -0.1216 0.286
Many Minds Move as One 712 36.86% 36.21 76.4% 0.242 0.0273 0.475
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4795 26.69% 46.2 74.99% 0.328 0.4753 0.617
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 190 27.03% 34.81 61.58% 0.432 0.4766 -0.302
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1065 34.76% 30.85 70.05% 0.179 0.0768 0.116
River Surges in Sunlight 3118 28.23% 47.86 77.36% 0.03 0.0271 0.887
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 105 38.1% 27.65 53.33% 0.086 0.3747 -0.222
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1764 33.51% 33.24 72.56% -0.23 -0.0269 -0.216
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 2790 37.42% 39.87 57.81% 0.502 0.2887 0.019
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2128 26.8% 40.53 69.92% -1.02 -1.1774 0.313
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 86 31.4% 26.77 44.19% -0.812 -1.1945 0.332
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 173 44.72% 20.31 64.74% 0.621 1.1974 -0.375
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 78 19.23% 25.18 70.51% 0.283 0.2234 0.423
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 153 37.5% 31.17 57.52% 0.104 -0.3248 0.56
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 178 30.51% 31.71 65.17% 0.735 0.7407 0.336
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 634 39.33% 31.53 73.19% 1.008 0.9487 0.167
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 511 35.56% 29.74 77.69% -0.929 -0.7226 0.348
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 810 35.44% 40.48 77.16% -0.248 -0.2159 0.568
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 250 33.6% 31.63 60.8% -0.439 -0.5847 -0.193
Shifting Memory of Ages 709 37.84% 30.63 66.71% -0.053 0.2716 0.046
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 198 33.33% 25.52 50.51% -0.394 -0.3454 -0.23
Shroud of Silent Mist 585 42.69% 25.38 62.05% -0.371 -0.0026 -1.048
Starlight Seeks its Form 2146 32.51% 38.32 61.65% 0.628 0.562 0.667
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1290 45.48% 30.26 62.4% 0.519 0.0357 -0.217
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1022 26.28% 36.86 73.87% -0.324 -0.1642 -0.01
Thunderspeaker 1193 36.65% 37.81 66.97% -0.069 -0.0382 0.199
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 164 31.29% 23.08 42.07% -0.104 0.0864 -0.658
Towering Roots of the Jungle 159 25.79% 23.79 42.77% -0.845 -0.699 -0.854
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 659 56.69% 32.42 63.73% -0.425 -0.405 -0.071
Vital Strength of the Earth 722 30.89% 27.64 73.13% -0.551 0.0298 -0.002
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 448 31.89% 30.89 60.27% -0.697 -0.2138 -0.041
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 662 39.78% 27.4 66.62% -0.333 0.2859 -0.668
Volcano Looming High 968 40.25% 37.91 70.25% -0.677 -0.6412 -0.067
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 310 21.94% 33.38 61.29% -0.637 -0.9548 -0.191

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 94.79%
Lightning's Boon 95.67%
Raging Storm 86.49%
Shatter Homesteads 97.06%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7340 13.76 15.48%
II 15010 30.19 74.63%
III 9049 34.82 90.64%
IV 2053 38.63 99.46%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1136
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8011
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10519
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2032
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4493
Lose: Invader deck ran out 116
Lose: Adversary condition 1827
Win: Sacrifice victory 60
Lose: Scenario condition 302
Win: Scenario condition 824
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3985
Lose: Spirit destroyed 147

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.825 Win Model: -0.058

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.684 Win Model: 0.267
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 8327 52.04% 24.32 60.14%
2 11974 43.53% 34.66 70.29%
3 6223 33.55% 38.93 72.15%
4 4770 31.78% 38.38 67.95%
5 431 17.25% 39.89 72.16%
6 1727 23.36% 38.09 64.62%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-13 03:02:19 (Pacific Time)