Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 41 19.51% 25.78 78.05% 0.025 -0.1951 -0.305
Blitz 0 281 35.13% 31.7 66.9% 0.249 0.5352 -0.566
Dahan Insurrection 4 798 13.93% 51.74 71.43% -0.351 -0.4657 0.324
Despicable Theft 2 104 35.58% 26.57 58.65% -0.179 0.5597 -0.492
Elemental Invocation 1 172 51.74% 28.48 62.79% 0.561 1.3172 -1.056
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1644 12.37% 49.58 80.29% 0.798 0.2168 0.847
Powers Long Forgotten 1 108 43.52% 26.25 48.15% -1.181 -0.3275 -0.328
Rituals of Terror 3 83 51.22% 36.28 65.06% -0.18 -0.3506 0.216
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 45 68.89% 29.31 48.89% -0.16 0.7512 -0.613
Second Wave 0 877 43.34% 28.32 75.83% 0.007 0.0863 0.22
The Great River 3 439 48.4% 30.81 61.5% -0.718 0.645 -0.663
Varied Terrains 2 103 39.81% 25.05 57.28% -0.721 0.1583 -0.536
Ward the Shores 2 249 35.89% 26.36 47.79% -0.302 0.6794 -1.144

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 6556 52.41% 25.37 64.67% -0.051 0.2928 0.497
1 Thematic 457 58.26% 28.15 51.42% 0.276 0.8036 0.171
2 Archipelago 38 39.47% 29.76 71.05% 0.0 0.499 0.095
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5970 45.28% 35.23 71.88% 0.1 0.3842 0.901
2 Coastline 1579 40.94% 37.96 75.55% 0.7 0.7293 0.931
2 Fragment 165 49.69% 39.53 74.55% 0.995 0.758 1.965
2 Heart 99 49.49% 35.95 64.65% -0.379 -0.5268 0.128
2 Opposite Shores 1716 42.24% 35.61 72.96% 0.344 0.4029 0.804
2 Thematic 437 46.54% 33.11 63.16% -0.319 0.0511 -0.103
2 Top to Top 325 43.93% 40.54 76.31% 0.934 1.0576 1.036
3 Archipelago 38 42.11% 43.71 68.42% -0.163 -0.9607 -0.237
3 Coastline 223 26.46% 46.81 82.06% 0.276 -0.2733 0.305
3 Other 173 26.9% 30.55 80.92% -0.113 -0.6509 1.171
3 Round (Default) 4719 34.69% 40.05 74.17% 0.182 0.089 0.446
3 Sunrise 31 54.84% 56.23 80.65% 0.0 0.151 0.956
3 Thematic 136 46.32% 41.91 73.53% 0.951 0.4322 0.674
4 Archipelago 30 33.33% 44.87 60.0% 0.076 0.5094 -1.535
4 Coastline 164 14.63% 58.37 89.63% -0.244 -1.0046 0.544
4 Leaf 21 47.62% 37.1 80.95% 0.0 -0.2114 -0.453
4 Other 221 26.7% 39.6 90.05% -0.391 -0.3831 1.557
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.0705 0.0
4 Thematic 453 42.04% 43.18 67.11% -0.641 -0.5082 -0.705
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3194 32.65% 38.14 68.32% -0.122 -0.0151 -0.466
5 Archipelago 14 35.71% 43.29 64.29% 0.0 0.168 -0.216
5 Coastline 134 5.22% 56.51 81.34% -0.157 -0.6634 -1.142
5 Other 254 25.79% 40.65 79.13% 0.601 0.0862 0.09
5 Thematic 23 43.48% 54.0 82.61% -0.285 -1.267 0.832
6 Archipelago 36 19.44% 56.25 86.11% 0.161 -0.5687 -0.694
6 Coastline 80 6.25% 52.0 75.0% -0.042 -1.081 -1.604
6 Other 232 23.81% 48.67 78.02% -0.575 0.0604 -0.991
6 Star 72 29.17% 34.9 68.06% -0.478 -0.2338 -1.009
6 Thematic 429 27.57% 30.8 53.38% -1.106 -0.7824 -1.963
6 Two Centers (Default) 479 24.95% 37.82 71.4% 0.041 -0.0626 -0.719
7 Archipelago 4 0.0% 56.5 75.0% 0.0 0.5915 -0.554
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.3414 -0.673
7 Other 7 14.29% 28.86 42.86% -0.585 -2.0213 -0.747

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 734 36.01 57.63% 0.219 0.3226 -0.125
Aid From Lesser Spirits 755 39.6 62.91% 0.481 0.3367 0.308
All Things Weaken 822 31.43 52.92% -0.313 0.0527 -0.093
Attenuated Essence 124 30.7 46.77% 0.293 0.2914 -0.133
Back Against the Wall 686 36.91 60.5% 0.659 0.7245 0.055
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 128 26.05 40.63% -0.157 0.0777 -0.798
Burn Brightest Before the End 103 31.45 52.43% -0.267 -0.1065 -0.386
Disintegrating Ecosystem 747 31.29 51.41% -0.211 0.1647 -0.509
Downward Spiral 880 30.41 56.48% -0.227 -0.1552 -0.096
Erosion of Will 720 34.35 53.89% 0.455 0.7113 -0.109
Intensifying Exploitation 135 25.96 35.56% -0.708 -0.4336 -0.446
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 379 39.43 79.16% 0.226 -0.2603 0.218
Memory Fades to Dust 969 31.73 56.04% 0.033 0.2156 -0.014
Power Corrodes the Spirit 776 30.69 52.45% -0.495 -0.2823 -0.436
Promising Farmlands 647 30.91 52.55% 0.5 0.8229 -0.518
Shattered Fragments of Power 102 33.85 46.08% -0.248 -0.0779 -0.576
Slow Dissolution of Will 115 31.38 45.22% -0.155 0.2293 -0.668
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 262 36.97 81.3% 0.266 -0.4102 0.419
The Border of Life and Death 31 22.9 51.61% 0.19 -0.3258 -1.196
Thriving Communities 836 30.82 51.44% 0.395 0.7187 -0.188
Thriving Crops 47 42.32 65.96% 0.449 0.4502 0.131
Unnatural Proliferation 838 33.37 53.22% -0.233 -0.0462 -0.129
Untended Land Crumbles 814 30.83 51.97% -0.131 0.2078 -0.283

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 9698 36.04% 37.43 71.56% -0.061 0.8026 -0.15
B 8838 38.46% 36.1 70.29% 0.045 0.8662 0.0
C 10362 36.75% 38.27 72.81% 0.006 0.7036 0.133
D 8056 36.2% 37.17 71.93% 0.19 1.0461 -0.182
E 7733 36.8% 37.62 72.17% -0.231 0.4571 -0.115
F 6799 38.66% 36.47 72.03% 0.105 0.9224 -0.016
G 6040 37.4% 36.46 73.08% 0.157 1.0378 0.039
H 6175 36.38% 38.66 73.25% 0.015 0.7954 0.133
East 1599 40.54% 36.33 61.35% -0.46 0.3323 -0.155
Northeast 1107 39.76% 35.84 59.35% 0.557 1.4378 -0.042
Northwest 1004 39.22% 35.47 58.86% 0.047 0.9181 -0.367
Southeast 800 33.17% 35.15 59.88% -0.247 0.6115 -0.1
Southwest 779 34.92% 33.76 58.54% -0.312 0.897 -0.468
West 1526 42.31% 35.34 59.7% -0.708 0.3526 0.039

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 463 0.0% 16.86 60.69% -1.091 -0.3759 0.222
Not Using Events or Tokens 616 51.82% 18.22 56.49% -0.461 0.0127 -0.69
Skip Initial Invader Actions 893 16.22% 43.05 85.89% 0.524 -0.0429 1.759
Start of Game Growth 1276 21.04% 42.57 81.43% 0.025 -0.639 0.067
Unlimited Undo 2652 33.77% 35.86 74.85% 0.219 0.2417 0.156
Using Tokens but Not Events 3745 20.53% 32.88 76.77% -0.361 -0.313 -0.027

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2206 31.3% 35.79 71.26% 0.157 -0.0395 -0.265
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 49 40.82% 35.12 71.43% 0.821 0.1061 0.71
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 422 42.86% 29.63 69.91% -0.958 -0.6895 -0.47
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 103 31.07% 28.97 52.43% -0.376 -0.943 -0.387
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1315 33.57% 33.96 75.51% -0.023 -0.1539 0.013
Downpour Drenches the World 999 35.84% 38.15 52.45% 0.107 0.377 -0.359
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 480 34.73% 34.01 62.71% -0.218 -0.6496 0.029
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1126 31.94% 35.64 77.35% 0.098 -0.3255 0.141
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1031 31.94% 33.4 70.13% 0.24 -0.2048 -0.709
Finder of Paths Unseen 228 39.04% 34.29 61.84% -0.418 0.2393 0.664
Fractured Days Split the Sky 798 30.14% 41.46 73.93% -0.067 0.7411 0.579
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 436 41.4% 33.35 66.97% -0.312 -0.4295 0.107
Heart of the Wildfire 776 43.55% 32.9 66.88% -0.377 -0.0895 -0.393
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3348 29.73% 46.65 80.79% 0.688 0.2951 0.61
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 250 24.0% 27.76 45.6% 0.272 -0.1324 -0.808
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2071 35.8% 41.05 73.01% -0.4 -0.6509 0.16
Many Minds Move as One 599 36.64% 36.89 77.8% 0.7 0.4693 0.468
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4178 27.51% 47.57 77.14% 0.626 0.5215 0.584
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 924 35.08% 31.86 72.29% 0.317 0.1606 0.1
River Surges in Sunlight 2657 30.02% 50.26 80.77% -0.189 -0.0995 0.864
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 31 19.35% 31.26 54.84% 0.204 0.0919 0.309
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1571 34.84% 34.23 74.35% 0.003 0.3933 -0.229
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 2143 39.65% 41.02 59.87% -0.295 -0.1573 -0.016
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1826 28.8% 42.33 73.17% 0.433 0.2391 0.295
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 141 40.74% 22.12 65.96% -0.066 0.4193 -0.459
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 62 20.97% 26.18 74.19% 0.237 0.2923 0.514
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 91 44.44% 33.54 57.14% 0.631 0.1624 0.523
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 143 33.8% 32.04 65.03% -0.179 0.037 0.176
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 598 40.03% 31.96 73.91% -0.271 -0.2422 0.114
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 466 36.06% 31.05 81.97% 0.475 0.6475 0.44
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 746 36.07% 41.18 78.69% 0.353 0.2006 0.513
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 173 36.42% 30.73 57.8% 0.197 -0.0018 -0.574
Shifting Memory of Ages 626 39.61% 31.56 68.21% -0.623 -0.1743 0.147
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 64 39.06% 29.06 51.56% 0.102 -0.2024 0.484
Shroud of Silent Mist 483 42.38% 26.62 64.39% -0.212 0.1235 -0.964
Starlight Seeks its Form 1667 34.35% 40.89 65.39% 0.202 0.147 0.65
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1143 47.23% 30.69 63.17% -0.043 -0.6658 -0.261
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 890 27.48% 38.02 75.96% -0.114 0.0798 0.002
Thunderspeaker 1038 38.47% 37.66 67.92% -0.083 -0.1373 0.102
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 131 32.31% 22.31 38.93% -0.511 -0.3774 -0.92
Towering Roots of the Jungle 60 30.0% 25.32 45.0% -0.471 -0.4618 -1.294
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 585 57.53% 33.34 65.13% -0.072 0.0107 -0.071
Vital Strength of the Earth 624 32.06% 29.11 76.28% -0.136 0.4582 0.113
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 335 32.22% 33.01 64.48% -0.128 0.3117 0.014
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 605 40.37% 28.07 69.09% -0.931 -0.2393 -0.689
Volcano Looming High 826 40.02% 39.54 73.97% 0.536 0.6399 0.001
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 227 19.82% 35.47 64.32% 0.265 0.0131 -0.053

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 94.55%
Lightning's Boon 95.68%
Raging Storm 86.72%
Shatter Homesteads 97.06%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5472 15.45 17.64%
II 13205 30.45 75.59%
III 8008 34.8 90.66%
IV 1834 38.47 99.51%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 965
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7104
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9408
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1816
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2887
Lose: Invader deck ran out 105
Lose: Adversary condition 1589
Win: Sacrifice victory 49
Lose: Scenario condition 275
Win: Scenario condition 689
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3507
Lose: Spirit destroyed 125

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.852 Win Model: -0.081

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.575 Win Model: 0.178
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 7056 52.69% 25.5 63.61%
2 10371 44.27% 35.97 72.52%
3 5334 34.63% 40.24 74.65%
4 4102 32.37% 39.89 70.6%
5 334 15.66% 43.93 77.84%
6 1322 24.73% 38.48 66.87%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)