Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 35 20.0% 23.29 77.14% 0.552 0.6038 -0.337
Blitz 0 257 38.43% 30.21 67.7% 0.466 0.6663 -0.555
Dahan Insurrection 4 719 14.48% 53.54 74.41% -1.262 -1.4732 0.263
Despicable Theft 2 96 35.42% 26.89 59.38% -1.086 -0.241 -0.243
Elemental Invocation 1 165 52.73% 27.95 62.42% -0.412 0.659 -1.01
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1545 12.71% 49.97 80.84% 0.557 -0.1673 0.766
Powers Long Forgotten 1 105 42.86% 26.76 49.52% -0.459 0.4468 -0.331
Rituals of Terror 3 79 52.56% 37.44 67.09% 0.308 0.3384 0.179
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 43 69.77% 29.84 48.84% -0.977 0.2112 -0.333
Second Wave 0 817 43.34% 28.96 76.99% -0.132 -0.0505 0.122
The Great River 3 418 48.44% 31.35 62.44% 0.059 1.4462 -0.569
Varied Terrains 2 98 39.8% 25.68 59.18% -0.213 0.6878 -0.511
Ward the Shores 2 236 36.6% 26.9 47.88% -1.689 -0.6337 -1.3

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 6109 52.2% 25.81 66.46% 0.444 0.4749 0.475
1 Thematic 440 59.16% 28.37 51.82% -0.154 0.2777 0.088
2 Archipelago 38 39.47% 29.76 71.05% 0.051 0.5435 0.101
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5688 45.39% 35.72 72.94% 0.622 0.573 0.841
2 Coastline 1526 41.05% 38.13 75.88% -0.082 -0.1826 0.854
2 Fragment 161 50.94% 39.61 73.91% 1.802 1.3889 1.86
2 Heart 92 50.0% 36.88 67.39% -0.705 -0.7945 0.093
2 Opposite Shores 1630 42.82% 35.89 73.68% 0.632 0.4525 0.787
2 Thematic 411 47.79% 34.08 64.96% -0.008 0.1787 -0.113
2 Top to Top 301 45.12% 41.32 77.41% -0.338 -0.5374 0.945
3 Archipelago 35 42.86% 45.63 68.57% 0.0 -1.1208 -0.259
3 Coastline 216 26.85% 47.31 82.87% 0.071 -0.5907 0.11
3 Other 164 28.4% 30.8 81.1% -0.706 -1.04 1.111
3 Round (Default) 4454 35.36% 40.27 74.65% 0.243 -0.0231 0.404
3 Sunrise 31 54.84% 56.23 80.65% 0.283 0.7943 0.868
3 Thematic 127 46.46% 42.5 73.23% -0.781 -1.2271 0.608
4 Archipelago 30 33.33% 44.87 60.0% 0.0 -0.5573 -1.503
4 Coastline 163 14.72% 58.73 90.18% 0.861 0.2422 0.59
4 Leaf 20 50.0% 38.95 85.0% 0.0 0.8461 -0.2
4 Other 218 27.06% 40.15 91.28% 1.203 0.4658 1.713
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.9688 0.0
4 Thematic 433 42.36% 44.3 68.13% 0.408 0.6116 -0.733
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2911 33.84% 39.24 69.91% -0.434 -0.0941 -0.486
5 Archipelago 14 35.71% 43.29 64.29% -0.26 -0.2605 -0.196
5 Coastline 129 5.43% 57.29 82.17% -0.054 -0.5817 -1.204
5 Other 236 25.64% 41.47 79.66% -0.699 -1.4204 0.027
5 Thematic 22 45.45% 56.45 86.36% 0.763 0.9237 1.184
6 Archipelago 35 17.14% 56.03 85.71% -0.066 -0.7811 -0.715
6 Coastline 70 5.71% 51.94 74.29% -0.11 -0.5992 -1.747
6 Other 211 24.76% 49.45 79.62% 0.266 0.7056 -0.958
6 Star 68 29.41% 35.66 69.12% -0.427 -0.1295 -0.762
6 Thematic 381 28.95% 31.18 55.12% -1.162 -1.1364 -2.013
6 Two Centers (Default) 410 25.67% 37.64 72.2% -1.788 -1.6898 -0.913
7 Archipelago 4 0.0% 56.5 75.0% 0.069 0.5956 -0.545
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.708
7 Other 5 20.0% 25.2 40.0% 0.05 -1.366 -0.275

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 695 36.29 57.99% 0.013 0.1518 -0.171
Aid From Lesser Spirits 729 39.7 63.24% 0.467 0.4081 0.227
All Things Weaken 793 31.7 53.34% -0.98 -0.6257 -0.184
Attenuated Essence 92 29.41 44.57% 0.082 0.1934 -0.399
Back Against the Wall 669 37.06 60.54% 0.554 0.6301 -0.041
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 100 26.67 40.0% -0.665 -0.4538 -0.975
Burn Brightest Before the End 80 32.89 55.0% -0.502 -0.3809 -0.501
Disintegrating Ecosystem 717 31.43 52.02% -0.714 -0.3453 -0.595
Downward Spiral 852 30.68 57.16% -0.408 -0.2116 -0.175
Erosion of Will 698 34.2 53.72% -0.662 -0.3952 -0.244
Intensifying Exploitation 116 26.47 37.07% -0.649 -0.3786 -0.398
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 361 40.17 79.78% 0.509 -0.002 0.212
Memory Fades to Dust 916 31.95 56.77% -0.455 -0.143 -0.105
Power Corrodes the Spirit 736 31.07 53.4% 0.007 0.3022 -0.465
Promising Farmlands 624 31.13 52.56% -0.43 -0.0942 -0.567
Shattered Fragments of Power 88 34.7 47.73% -0.21 -0.1016 -0.718
Slow Dissolution of Will 97 31.16 46.39% -0.732 -0.3315 -0.647
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 254 37.39 81.89% -0.271 -0.8839 0.391
The Border of Life and Death 26 22.5 50.0% -0.573 -0.8653 -1.211
Thriving Communities 794 30.42 50.88% -0.209 0.1242 -0.312
Thriving Crops 42 42.29 64.29% 0.85 0.7633 0.039
Unnatural Proliferation 795 33.71 53.84% -0.2 -0.0518 -0.243
Untended Land Crumbles 782 31.09 52.43% -0.498 -0.1908 -0.37

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 9043 36.76% 38.08 72.71% -0.329 0.5763 -0.162
B 8235 39.28% 36.68 71.4% -0.16 0.668 0.014
C 9682 37.28% 38.77 73.9% 0.162 0.842 0.167
D 7561 36.5% 37.55 72.79% -0.103 0.7499 -0.195
E 7186 37.59% 38.19 73.39% -0.426 0.2752 -0.069
F 6375 39.28% 36.89 73.05% 0.007 0.7879 -0.048
G 5688 37.9% 36.79 74.05% -0.153 0.619 0.071
H 5829 36.89% 39.16 74.32% 0.266 1.034 0.105
East 1491 41.73% 37.25 62.58% -0.264 0.5981 -0.083
Northeast 1028 41.17% 36.7 60.6% 0.649 1.3961 -0.135
Northwest 927 40.32% 36.19 60.09% -0.421 0.4123 -0.346
Southeast 729 34.75% 36.09 61.73% 0.302 1.0779 -0.061
Southwest 711 36.44% 34.6 60.34% -1.056 0.2633 -0.454
West 1423 43.34% 36.14 60.93% -0.144 0.8622 0.098

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 442 0.0% 17.42 62.67% -1.051 -0.22 0.18
Not Using Events or Tokens 574 50.9% 18.83 58.36% 0.233 0.6742 -0.567
Skip Initial Invader Actions 858 16.46% 42.74 86.71% 0.637 0.0744 1.722
Start of Game Growth 1216 21.54% 42.82 82.32% 0.26 -0.2792 0.028
Unlimited Undo 2478 34.9% 36.03 75.63% 0.114 0.1546 0.097
Using Tokens but Not Events 3424 21.53% 33.63 79.12% 0.076 0.0523 -0.021

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2106 31.79% 36.19 71.98% -0.022 -0.125 -0.296
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 417 43.14% 29.85 70.26% -0.576 -0.4162 -0.476
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 70 35.71% 30.23 52.86% -0.46 -1.2958 -0.152
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1255 34.15% 34.36 75.94% 0.246 0.1141 0.015
Downpour Drenches the World 918 36.17% 38.82 53.49% -0.498 -0.1796 -0.439
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 420 33.73% 34.93 64.76% 0.046 -0.4388 0.064
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1076 31.36% 35.84 77.97% 0.583 0.1299 0.158
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 964 32.73% 33.48 71.06% 0.173 -0.2793 -0.728
Finder of Paths Unseen 208 41.35% 35.29 62.98% 0.354 1.0203 0.873
Fractured Days Split the Sky 752 30.92% 42.12 75.27% -0.829 -0.1507 0.57
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 403 42.57% 34.51 68.24% -0.119 -0.0579 0.076
Heart of the Wildfire 671 48.04% 33.45 69.0% -0.462 -0.2017 -0.317
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3223 29.98% 46.82 81.2% 0.822 0.4282 0.598
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 165 25.45% 25.83 42.42% -0.045 -0.44 -0.856
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1939 36.89% 41.65 74.21% 0.073 -0.2511 0.134
Many Minds Move as One 571 37.57% 36.93 77.76% 0.127 -0.0724 0.446
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3902 27.99% 48.27 77.96% 0.17 0.1424 0.586
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 875 35.89% 32.25 72.69% -0.636 -0.7775 0.106
River Surges in Sunlight 2495 31.48% 51.5 82.44% -0.199 -0.0822 0.868
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1519 35.09% 34.49 74.85% -0.009 0.3279 -0.182
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1973 40.84% 41.85 60.72% 0.701 0.5533 0.045
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1678 29.55% 42.64 73.84% 0.641 0.4737 0.26
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 139 41.04% 22.12 66.19% -0.608 -0.0635 -0.465
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 57 21.05% 26.61 75.44% 0.081 0.1669 0.536
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 71 47.14% 33.32 53.52% -0.14 -0.5098 0.451
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 136 35.56% 31.68 65.44% -0.201 -0.0358 0.145
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 584 40.84% 32.25 74.66% 0.392 0.4233 0.122
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 452 35.99% 31.4 82.3% 0.654 0.8244 0.43
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 731 35.85% 41.09 78.8% -0.002 -0.0969 0.451
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 148 35.14% 30.83 56.76% -0.047 -0.2877 -0.445
Shifting Memory of Ages 597 40.54% 32.35 69.35% -0.475 -0.0964 0.19
Shroud of Silent Mist 451 42.51% 26.84 65.41% 0.192 0.5631 -1.015
Starlight Seeks its Form 1483 35.9% 42.47 66.89% 0.801 0.5941 0.666
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1101 47.85% 30.68 63.4% -0.014 -0.7306 -0.305
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 838 27.91% 38.72 77.21% -0.315 -0.133 0.059
Thunderspeaker 972 38.57% 37.79 69.03% 0.378 0.3924 0.118
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 113 33.04% 23.43 39.82% -0.69 -0.5843 -1.061
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 551 58.55% 33.61 65.7% 0.052 0.1929 0.062
Vital Strength of the Earth 579 32.68% 29.12 77.2% -0.011 0.5313 0.084
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 308 34.44% 33.88 65.58% -1.086 -0.7481 0.061
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 587 40.7% 28.51 70.36% 0.747 1.4633 -0.66
Volcano Looming High 787 40.82% 39.82 74.46% 0.52 0.487 -0.038
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 162 22.22% 35.28 64.81% 0.008 -0.4296 -0.245

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 94.52%
Lightning's Boon 95.66%
Raging Storm 86.85%
Shatter Homesteads 97.06%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4846 16.23 18.88%
II 12585 30.54 76.01%
III 7611 34.77 90.7%
IV 1751 38.37 99.66%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 915
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6757
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9026
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1736
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2341
Lose: Invader deck ran out 105
Lose: Adversary condition 1520
Win: Sacrifice victory 47
Lose: Scenario condition 266
Win: Scenario condition 648
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3313
Lose: Spirit destroyed 119

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.799 Win Model: -0.109

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.655 Win Model: 0.312
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 6583 52.65% 25.96 65.33%
2 9895 44.53% 36.37 73.38%
3 5040 35.28% 40.51 75.16%
4 3797 33.29% 41.01 72.19%
5 309 15.31% 45.04 78.64%
6 1169 25.56% 38.74 68.01%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-13 05:04:05 (Pacific Time)