Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 47 17.02% 26.26 78.72% 0.18 -0.3779 -0.266
Blitz 0 319 33.44% 33.17 67.08% 1.632 2.0551 -0.328
Dahan Insurrection 4 946 12.7% 51.77 70.08% 0.271 -0.2111 0.465
Despicable Theft 2 111 37.84% 26.69 57.66% 0.033 0.5759 -0.539
Elemental Invocation 1 194 52.06% 27.59 60.82% 0.249 0.9867 -1.079
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1782 12.14% 48.93 79.24% 0.21 -0.4463 0.907
Powers Long Forgotten 1 131 42.75% 23.9 45.04% -0.005 0.5574 -0.368
Rituals of Terror 3 86 51.76% 36.67 63.95% 0.23 0.0883 0.308
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 49 67.35% 28.2 46.94% -0.367 0.3823 -0.628
Second Wave 0 965 43.79% 27.64 73.78% -0.185 -0.0906 0.151
The Great River 3 481 48.13% 29.52 58.84% -0.916 0.3289 -0.597
Varied Terrains 2 117 42.74% 24.68 55.56% 0.036 0.9038 -0.335
Ward the Shores 2 269 36.19% 26.02 48.7% 0.565 1.419 -1.025

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 7342 51.96% 24.62 62.05% 0.301 0.6739 0.523
1 Thematic 494 57.76% 27.16 49.6% -0.829 -0.115 0.18
2 Archipelago 44 45.45% 29.84 65.91% 0.334 0.858 -0.154
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6551 44.68% 34.3 70.65% 0.567 0.7285 0.935
2 Coastline 1745 39.68% 37.11 73.87% 1.351 1.158 0.887
2 Fragment 181 47.49% 38.84 74.03% 1.081 1.0331 2.062
2 Heart 113 47.79% 34.72 59.29% -0.097 -0.3092 0.139
2 Opposite Shores 1894 42.26% 34.88 71.22% 0.568 0.7003 0.776
2 Thematic 487 46.69% 32.15 60.57% -0.24 0.48 0.014
2 Top to Top 357 44.48% 40.18 75.63% 0.378 0.2935 1.226
3 Archipelago 40 45.0% 42.67 65.0% 0.0 -0.5435 -0.212
3 Coastline 249 26.51% 44.58 77.51% -0.015 -0.6457 0.193
3 Other 191 26.46% 29.64 77.49% -0.1 -0.9765 1.239
3 Round (Default) 5264 33.98% 39.32 72.61% 0.306 0.2827 0.37
3 Sunrise 31 54.84% 56.23 80.65% 0.0 -0.4466 0.955
3 Thematic 169 39.64% 37.07 64.5% 0.245 0.2529 0.356
4 Archipelago 37 29.73% 43.97 67.57% 0.564 0.4129 -1.269
4 Coastline 177 15.82% 56.48 86.44% -0.098 0.0309 0.432
4 Leaf 32 34.38% 24.97 56.25% -1.805 -1.3701 -0.472
4 Other 226 26.55% 39.41 89.38% 0.272 -0.2961 1.398
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 475 41.77% 42.45 65.89% -0.434 -0.3713 -0.824
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3616 32.35% 37.06 66.32% -0.123 -0.1183 -0.549
5 Archipelago 14 35.71% 43.29 64.29% 0.0 -0.2088 -0.317
5 Coastline 142 4.93% 56.75 81.69% 0.255 -0.7659 -1.193
5 Other 303 25.25% 37.27 73.6% -1.417 -1.7407 -0.172
5 Thematic 27 40.74% 55.89 81.48% 0.162 0.0187 0.899
6 Archipelago 36 19.44% 56.25 86.11% 0.0 -1.0381 -0.733
6 Coastline 109 5.5% 53.84 77.98% 0.282 -0.7764 -1.627
6 Other 311 19.68% 42.8 69.45% -1.304 -1.3487 -1.648
6 Star 92 26.09% 32.16 61.96% -0.384 0.2481 -1.581
6 Thematic 498 26.76% 33.79 55.42% 0.228 0.4315 -2.066
6 Two Centers (Default) 575 24.48% 37.06 68.52% -0.975 -0.5007 -0.892
7 Archipelago 4 0.0% 56.5 75.0% 0.0 -0.3239 -0.612
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.709
7 Other 7 14.29% 28.86 42.86% 0.049 -0.6266 -0.663

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 785 35.51 56.69% 0.316 0.3874 0.009
Aid From Lesser Spirits 804 39.62 62.94% 0.881 0.7708 0.411
All Things Weaken 884 31.39 52.71% 0.439 0.6158 0.065
Attenuated Essence 170 29.01 42.35% -0.366 -0.3146 -0.301
Back Against the Wall 731 36.66 60.33% 0.77 0.7548 0.212
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 172 28.68 43.02% 0.229 0.4132 -0.793
Burn Brightest Before the End 134 32.13 53.73% 0.857 0.9435 -0.165
Disintegrating Ecosystem 789 30.75 50.57% -0.551 -0.2591 -0.429
Downward Spiral 956 29.76 55.54% 0.222 0.3282 -0.011
Erosion of Will 780 34.03 52.69% 0.143 0.3094 -0.032
Intensifying Exploitation 183 25.62 36.07% -0.114 0.0737 -0.449
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 409 39.0 78.97% 1.167 0.7386 0.302
Memory Fades to Dust 1038 31.24 54.43% -0.421 -0.1857 0.017
Power Corrodes the Spirit 860 30.3 52.33% 0.199 0.2953 -0.339
Promising Farmlands 705 30.56 51.49% 0.334 0.6983 -0.413
Shattered Fragments of Power 145 34.86 46.9% -0.081 -0.0152 -0.064
Slow Dissolution of Will 162 31.0 42.59% -0.215 0.248 -0.497
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 279 36.42 80.29% 0.557 -0.0444 0.436
The Border of Life and Death 44 26.59 54.55% 0.993 0.5174 -0.779
Thriving Communities 925 30.37 50.7% -0.289 -0.0634 -0.003
Thriving Crops 66 38.88 60.61% 0.323 0.0988 0.382
Unnatural Proliferation 912 32.7 51.64% -0.187 -0.0654 -0.027
Untended Land Crumbles 861 30.56 51.22% -0.03 0.2019 -0.169

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 10935 35.24% 36.44 69.51% 0.084 1.0025 -0.221
B 9962 37.08% 35.05 68.13% -0.083 0.7585 -0.069
C 11642 35.7% 37.23 70.66% 0.312 0.9947 0.092
D 9050 35.54% 36.22 69.92% -0.292 0.5507 -0.205
E 8771 36.34% 36.41 69.8% 0.144 0.7955 -0.182
F 7655 37.79% 35.39 69.67% 0.235 0.9951 -0.05
G 6741 36.91% 35.62 71.06% -0.026 0.7317 -0.074
H 6898 35.77% 37.75 71.57% 0.394 1.1129 0.06
East 1784 39.66% 36.2 60.09% -0.26 0.5536 -0.144
Northeast 1236 38.93% 36.22 58.5% 0.264 0.9316 -0.005
Northwest 1132 38.18% 36.01 58.13% -0.37 0.4351 -0.397
Southeast 907 32.01% 36.05 59.98% -0.686 0.0196 -0.241
Southwest 885 33.45% 34.86 58.64% 0.138 1.528 -0.592
West 1710 40.82% 35.15 58.36% -0.753 0.0405 -0.063

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 518 0.0% 15.9 57.14% -0.688 0.0309 0.315
Not Using Events or Tokens 705 50.49% 17.39 53.33% -0.688 -0.2033 -0.803
Skip Initial Invader Actions 967 15.24% 42.65 84.8% -0.187 -0.9173 1.56
Start of Game Growth 1384 20.0% 42.01 80.92% 1.128 0.6813 0.085
Unlimited Undo 3031 32.38% 35.27 72.62% -0.044 -0.0771 0.196
Using Tokens but Not Events 4254 20.12% 32.08 74.47% 0.325 0.1626 -0.128

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2363 30.78% 35.16 70.17% -0.029 -0.1358 -0.228
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 178 25.99% 27.28 56.74% -0.109 -0.5974 -0.374
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 453 42.57% 28.78 67.55% -0.186 -0.0429 -0.477
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 154 32.47% 29.59 54.55% 0.164 -0.584 -0.081
Dances Up Earthquakes 19 52.63% 35.79 68.42% 0.579 0.4024 -0.434
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1423 32.95% 32.93 73.23% -0.79 -0.9974 0.118
Downpour Drenches the World 1190 36.92% 37.67 51.34% 0.337 0.6573 -0.323
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 580 36.33% 32.87 61.72% 0.307 -0.1334 0.105
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1230 31.75% 34.77 75.12% -0.767 -1.1102 0.097
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1154 30.4% 34.01 68.28% 0.103 -0.2516 -0.609
Finder of Paths Unseen 277 38.99% 33.45 62.09% 0.428 1.2128 0.663
Fractured Days Split the Sky 884 28.78% 39.36 70.59% -0.15 0.2985 0.57
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 517 39.73% 32.53 66.34% 0.345 0.3209 0.146
Heart of the Wildfire 854 43.2% 31.98 65.34% -0.395 -0.0684 -0.402
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3600 29.12% 46.43 79.78% 0.728 0.2329 0.674
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 327 23.24% 28.32 49.85% 0.068 -0.4945 -0.633
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2319 34.36% 40.61 71.54% -0.045 -0.2011 0.278
Many Minds Move as One 677 36.11% 36.66 76.96% 0.993 0.7859 0.558
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4645 26.87% 46.59 75.48% 0.343 0.4722 0.644
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 88 18.39% 36.64 62.5% 0.353 0.4581 -0.431
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1032 34.5% 31.19 70.45% 0.538 0.4889 0.187
River Surges in Sunlight 3012 28.26% 48.54 77.95% -0.204 -0.1711 0.899
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 92 41.3% 27.88 51.09% 0.323 0.5308 -0.143
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1697 34.09% 33.71 73.25% -0.124 0.0271 -0.164
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 2562 37.71% 40.0 57.73% 0.173 0.1824 0.045
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2018 27.77% 41.54 71.66% 0.213 0.1145 0.333
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 36 36.11% 25.44 44.44% -0.253 -0.7444 -0.012
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 159 43.42% 20.81 63.52% -0.006 0.5058 -0.358
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 75 20.0% 24.81 69.33% -0.515 -0.5581 0.482
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 133 38.64% 31.69 56.39% -0.182 -0.63 0.527
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 172 29.24% 31.34 65.12% -0.529 -0.471 0.258
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 623 39.71% 31.63 73.19% 0.405 0.2141 0.18
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 502 35.86% 30.04 78.49% -0.446 -0.3623 0.37
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 792 35.36% 40.81 77.9% 0.211 0.113 0.639
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 239 34.31% 32.21 61.92% -0.006 -0.2008 -0.174
Shifting Memory of Ages 688 37.68% 30.87 66.86% 0.207 0.5964 0.064
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 151 37.09% 26.13 49.67% -0.199 -0.2505 -0.127
Shroud of Silent Mist 554 42.18% 25.65 63.0% -0.406 0.0081 -0.969
Starlight Seeks its Form 1994 33.23% 38.76 61.94% -0.074 -0.1136 0.698
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1246 45.56% 30.48 62.6% 0.398 -0.1045 -0.167
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 984 26.77% 37.59 74.8% 0.136 0.2195 0.031
Thunderspeaker 1157 36.66% 38.1 67.33% 0.174 0.1687 0.218
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 155 31.82% 21.82 40.65% -0.236 0.1529 -0.806
Towering Roots of the Jungle 125 27.2% 25.95 45.6% -0.797 -0.5868 -0.84
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 635 56.94% 32.76 64.25% -0.019 0.0588 -0.029
Vital Strength of the Earth 687 31.98% 28.24 74.24% 0.026 0.4751 0.088
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 396 31.36% 32.34 63.64% 0.107 0.6015 0.158
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 640 40.03% 27.64 67.5% -0.224 0.4687 -0.657
Volcano Looming High 930 39.52% 38.51 71.83% 0.017 0.0811 0.034
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 296 21.62% 33.66 61.49% -0.655 -0.9038 -0.106

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 94.73%
Lightning's Boon 95.7%
Raging Storm 86.53%
Shatter Homesteads 97.08%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6751 14.25 16.22%
II 14417 30.3 74.82%
III 8712 34.84 90.65%
IV 1966 38.61 99.54%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1095
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7716
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10129
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1947
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3965
Lose: Invader deck ran out 114
Lose: Adversary condition 1777
Win: Sacrifice victory 55
Lose: Scenario condition 297
Win: Scenario condition 794
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3819
Lose: Spirit destroyed 138

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.356 Win Model: -0.103

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.547 Win Model: 0.3
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 7886 52.22% 24.71 61.04%
2 11415 43.73% 35.11 71.07%
3 5961 33.85% 39.34 72.69%
4 4575 32.06% 38.66 68.46%
5 393 16.11% 41.09 73.79%
6 1616 23.15% 38.49 65.22%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)