Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 28 21.43% 22.86 71.43% 0.189 0.0489 -0.357
Blitz 0 228 40.27% 30.25 68.42% 0.831 0.9419 -0.663
Dahan Insurrection 4 646 12.71% 55.71 79.26% -0.863 -1.0986 0.366
Despicable Theft 2 69 46.38% 34.16 73.91% -0.97 -0.327 1.197
Elemental Invocation 1 150 53.33% 28.85 64.0% -0.56 0.2422 -0.96
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1434 12.86% 50.19 81.24% 0.815 0.0416 0.681
Powers Long Forgotten 1 93 45.16% 27.48 52.69% -0.198 0.5744 0.238
Rituals of Terror 3 75 52.7% 36.89 68.0% -0.6 -0.5841 0.072
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 36 72.22% 34.56 58.33% 0.039 1.0955 -0.055
Second Wave 0 752 43.57% 29.1 77.93% 0.615 0.695 0.037
The Great River 3 379 49.47% 31.29 62.8% -0.313 0.8151 -0.656
Varied Terrains 2 78 37.18% 27.04 61.54% -0.405 0.2867 -0.394
Ward the Shores 2 224 37.22% 28.21 50.0% -1.369 -0.5059 -1.256

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 5586 52.08% 26.32 68.1% -0.06 0.1411 0.422
1 Thematic 396 60.72% 28.92 53.54% 0.157 0.8766 0.092
2 Archipelago 35 40.0% 30.63 74.29% -0.241 0.0141 0.118
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5264 45.83% 36.23 73.92% 0.461 0.4686 0.79
2 Coastline 1400 40.32% 39.23 78.36% 0.411 0.2059 0.749
2 Fragment 154 51.32% 39.66 74.03% 0.759 0.4812 1.697
2 Heart 87 48.28% 37.74 68.97% 1.043 0.8225 0.09
2 Opposite Shores 1477 42.52% 36.54 75.29% 0.339 0.3962 0.774
2 Thematic 364 47.37% 35.2 67.03% 0.292 0.744 -0.129
2 Top to Top 273 44.98% 42.59 79.85% 0.459 0.3616 0.943
3 Archipelago 35 42.86% 45.63 68.57% 0.521 -0.2708 -0.41
3 Coastline 189 28.04% 49.47 86.24% 0.011 -0.5565 0.359
3 Other 152 28.0% 31.63 82.89% -0.408 -0.4365 1.245
3 Round (Default) 4010 36.28% 41.04 75.74% 0.218 -0.0076 0.351
3 Sunrise 28 50.0% 57.25 78.57% 0.991 0.0065 0.795
3 Thematic 120 47.5% 42.65 75.0% -1.024 -0.8278 0.526
4 Archipelago 30 33.33% 44.87 60.0% 0.0 -1.1858 -1.559
4 Coastline 157 12.74% 59.43 90.45% -0.265 -0.8514 0.614
4 Leaf 18 44.44% 40.83 83.33% 0.131 -0.5676 -0.225
4 Other 212 27.36% 40.14 91.04% 0.407 -0.9501 1.63
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 410 41.81% 44.7 67.56% -1.362 -1.5606 -0.788
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2634 33.72% 39.94 71.41% 0.051 -0.1923 -0.563
5 Archipelago 9 33.33% 47.11 66.67% 0.0 0.3165 -0.311
5 Coastline 125 5.6% 57.74 82.4% -1.295 -1.1014 -1.231
5 Other 207 26.83% 43.81 83.09% -0.007 -1.0643 -0.011
5 Thematic 19 47.37% 52.0 89.47% 0.39 -0.0889 0.927
6 Archipelago 20 20.0% 52.9 90.0% -0.021 -0.7571 0.451
6 Coastline 56 7.14% 54.02 76.79% 0.089 -0.1511 -1.556
6 Other 175 22.99% 48.75 79.43% 0.043 -0.6943 -0.962
6 Star 60 26.67% 35.15 70.0% -0.944 -1.0012 -1.202
6 Thematic 314 30.67% 31.81 57.64% -1.186 -0.4319 -1.917
6 Two Centers (Default) 336 22.99% 38.65 77.38% -0.075 -0.6545 -0.693
7 Archipelago 4 0.0% 56.5 75.0% 0.0 0.7765 -0.636
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.21 -0.1577 -0.723
7 Other 3 0.0% 8.67 33.33% 0.318 -0.0934 -0.267

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 650 36.45 58.77% -0.659 -0.4988 -0.292
Aid From Lesser Spirits 683 39.91 63.98% 0.533 0.4467 0.223
All Things Weaken 738 31.74 54.07% -0.273 0.0692 -0.223
Attenuated Essence 61 29.46 40.98% 0.122 0.1957 -0.281
Back Against the Wall 632 37.08 60.44% 0.386 0.4613 -0.14
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 72 24.6 40.28% -0.551 -0.3597 -0.943
Burn Brightest Before the End 50 34.06 60.0% 0.682 0.8062 -0.314
Disintegrating Ecosystem 676 32.15 53.11% -0.528 -0.1554 -0.609
Downward Spiral 781 31.44 58.13% 1.019 1.1556 -0.227
Erosion of Will 654 34.61 53.98% -0.064 0.2306 -0.322
Intensifying Exploitation 75 27.29 37.33% -0.124 0.114 -0.374
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 336 40.8 79.46% 0.544 0.0122 0.207
Memory Fades to Dust 833 32.18 57.26% -0.401 -0.1205 -0.115
Power Corrodes the Spirit 674 31.12 53.26% -0.139 0.0144 -0.548
Promising Farmlands 581 31.53 53.18% -0.433 -0.0863 -0.608
Shattered Fragments of Power 60 34.9 50.0% -0.723 -0.5282 -0.643
Slow Dissolution of Will 67 33.43 49.25% -0.288 0.1636 -0.772
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 244 37.95 83.2% 0.767 0.0265 0.33
The Border of Life and Death 17 22.12 52.94% -0.105 -0.5381 -1.252
Thriving Communities 733 30.59 51.43% 0.332 0.6303 -0.353
Thriving Crops 28 39.29 57.14% 0.015 -0.087 -0.011
Unnatural Proliferation 749 33.73 54.34% 0.086 0.2315 -0.308
Untended Land Crumbles 711 31.54 53.31% 0.474 0.7732 -0.5

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 8180 37.04% 38.84 74.4% 0.196 1.1902 -0.086
B 7412 39.28% 37.15 72.54% 0.033 0.9514 0.095
C 8769 37.45% 39.46 75.27% 0.021 0.7635 0.212
D 6786 36.91% 38.29 74.48% -0.009 0.9427 -0.147
E 6516 37.91% 38.72 75.0% -0.102 0.6784 -0.02
F 5765 39.15% 37.6 74.62% 0.23 1.1229 -0.044
G 5188 38.1% 37.35 75.56% 0.122 0.9771 0.142
H 5308 37.2% 39.67 75.66% 0.42 1.2685 0.144
East 1327 41.92% 38.06 64.2% -0.416 0.3532 -0.083
Northeast 887 41.4% 37.45 62.23% -0.02 0.7679 -0.202
Northwest 812 41.48% 36.88 61.08% -0.688 0.296 -0.551
Southeast 641 36.09% 37.02 63.96% -0.787 0.0878 -0.107
Southwest 614 37.97% 35.78 63.19% -0.883 0.325 -0.379
West 1272 44.4% 37.09 62.42% 0.058 0.9928 0.032

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 409 0.0% 18.19 65.04% -0.528 0.1018 0.119
Not Using Events or Tokens 509 49.83% 19.15 59.92% -1.052 -0.5457 -0.688
Skip Initial Invader Actions 815 16.2% 42.39 87.48% 0.769 0.1339 1.367
Start of Game Growth 1141 21.6% 42.94 83.0% -0.534 -0.9237 -0.177
Unlimited Undo 2335 35.4% 36.2 76.45% -0.221 -0.1763 0.109
Using Tokens but Not Events 3042 21.55% 34.47 81.43% 0.23 0.2032 0.026

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1936 100.0% 36.96 100.0% -0.297 -0.4199 -0.269
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 391 103.84% 30.92 102.05% 0.075 0.3159 -0.369
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 20 25.0% 31.05 60.0% 0.023 -0.9779 -0.357
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1165 100.0% 34.91 100.0% -0.148 -0.3754 0.015
Downpour Drenches the World 777 100.0% 39.33 100.0% -0.061 0.2647 -0.327
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 341 100.0% 35.26 100.0% 0.624 0.1244 -0.007
Eyes Watch From the Trees 990 100.0% 36.36 100.0% 0.058 -0.4024 -0.0
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 858 100.0% 34.17 100.0% 0.049 -0.38 -0.703
Finder of Paths Unseen 179 100.0% 35.89 100.0% -0.247 0.5754 0.884
Fractured Days Split the Sky 698 100.0% 43.31 100.0% 0.42 1.0172 0.605
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 357 100.0% 36.14 100.0% -0.113 -0.1141 0.176
Heart of the Wildfire 575 100.0% 34.24 100.0% -0.448 -0.0636 -0.284
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2981 101.91% 47.26 101.38% 0.353 -0.1421 0.582
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 65 12.31% 18.74 36.92% -0.291 -0.838 -1.145
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1798 100.0% 42.19 100.0% -0.652 -0.9031 0.116
Many Minds Move as One 521 100.0% 37.13 100.0% 0.311 0.1544 0.546
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3516 100.0% 49.24 100.0% 0.194 0.2047 0.648
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 786 100.0% 33.16 100.0% 0.029 -0.1165 0.167
River Surges in Sunlight 2328 180.03% 52.26 142.4% 0.492 0.5295 0.899
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1434 34.87% 34.83 75.94% -0.227 0.0331 -0.092
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1630 41.13% 42.1 60.61% 0.003 -0.0475 -0.024
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1449 100.0% 43.67 100.0% 0.205 0.0308 0.302
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 130 557.24% 22.75 310.77% -1.0 -0.3876 -0.482
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 44 20.45% 27.84 77.27% 0.583 0.6864 0.423
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 29 58.62% 29.45 41.38% 0.114 -0.4677 0.268
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 114 36.28% 33.61 67.54% -0.291 -0.2449 0.143
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 541 41.05% 32.79 74.68% -0.494 -0.4131 0.152
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 428 36.93% 31.92 82.94% 0.577 0.7845 0.483
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 709 110.44% 41.82 107.33% -0.311 -0.2319 0.467
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 112 33.93% 27.95 53.57% 0.655 0.3321 -0.599
Shifting Memory of Ages 532 100.0% 33.4 100.0% -0.349 -0.0835 0.257
Shroud of Silent Mist 414 100.0% 27.07 100.0% -0.011 0.3568 -0.985
Starlight Seeks its Form 1282 100.0% 42.9 100.0% 0.493 0.2655 0.707
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1017 100.0% 30.93 100.0% -0.535 -0.8916 -0.4
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 768 100.0% 39.22 100.0% -0.135 -0.0022 0.121
Thunderspeaker 880 105.79% 38.08 104.89% -0.029 0.0003 0.085
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 77 32.89% 26.31 44.16% -0.242 -0.0021 -0.126
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 519 100.0% 34.06 100.0% -0.08 0.111 0.056
Vital Strength of the Earth 530 188.95% 29.7 144.15% 0.528 1.0856 0.11
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 260 31.76% 35.83 70.77% 0.315 0.7248 0.194
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 547 40.19% 28.4 71.12% -0.266 0.4626 -0.767
Volcano Looming High 704 100.0% 40.39 100.0% 0.016 0.0355 -0.033
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 75 100.0% 29.63 100.0% 0.266 -0.3283 -0.987

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 94.46%
Lightning's Boon 95.6%
Raging Storm 87.14%
Shatter Homesteads 97.23%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4136 17.67 20.91%
II 11619 30.7 76.88%
III 7003 34.75 90.69%
IV 1611 38.22 99.75%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 865
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6220
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8406
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1598
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1691
Lose: Invader deck ran out 98
Lose: Adversary condition 1408
Win: Sacrifice victory 43
Lose: Scenario condition 251
Win: Scenario condition 624
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3058
Lose: Spirit destroyed 107

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.211 Win Model: -0.118

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.431 Win Model: 0.151
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 6012 52.64% 26.48 67.02%
2 9100 44.58% 37.05 74.79%
3 4548 36.19% 41.31 76.32%
4 3478 32.95% 41.66 73.32%
5 278 15.22% 47.17 81.29%
6 953 25.05% 38.84 70.72%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-01-31 03:48:31 (Pacific Time)