Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 22 22.73% 24.41 72.73% 0.102 -0.1538 -0.15
Blitz 0 206 42.93% 31.08 68.45% -0.778 -0.5809 -0.537
Dahan Insurrection 4 572 14.19% 60.51 86.19% -0.752 -1.194 0.387
Despicable Theft 2 56 42.86% 39.29 83.93% -0.641 0.1716 1.057
Elemental Invocation 1 127 53.54% 31.16 71.65% -0.863 -0.1603 -0.842
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1329 12.97% 51.47 82.69% 0.827 0.1822 0.493
Powers Long Forgotten 1 74 51.35% 29.86 55.41% -1.127 -0.4919 0.143
Rituals of Terror 3 69 51.47% 38.58 71.01% -0.169 -0.0678 0.243
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 32 78.13% 35.06 59.38% -0.019 0.99 -0.241
Second Wave 0 688 43.56% 29.02 78.05% 0.556 0.6217 -0.489
The Great River 3 332 48.34% 32.96 64.76% -0.284 0.9336 -0.655
Varied Terrains 2 57 40.35% 32.93 75.44% 0.327 0.9501 -0.335
Ward the Shores 2 133 47.73% 39.18 69.92% -0.069 1.0156 -0.41

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 4939 52.92% 27.44 70.52% 0.319 0.3733 0.217
1 Thematic 365 63.48% 29.82 55.07% 0.191 0.6689 -0.158
2 Archipelago 30 43.33% 32.9 76.67% 0.325 0.4291 -0.137
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4694 46.32% 37.44 76.37% 0.199 0.2813 0.606
2 Coastline 1261 41.02% 40.8 80.25% 0.725 0.5708 0.638
2 Fragment 147 53.79% 40.67 74.15% 0.383 0.1342 1.415
2 Heart 81 48.15% 37.69 66.67% 0.064 -0.2235 -0.17
2 Opposite Shores 1309 43.14% 37.88 77.85% 0.167 0.1898 0.577
2 Thematic 328 49.85% 36.44 69.51% 0.282 0.6853 -0.107
2 Top to Top 236 43.97% 44.6 84.75% -0.133 -0.2992 1.125
3 Archipelago 33 45.45% 45.12 66.67% -0.535 -2.0844 -0.672
3 Coastline 179 27.93% 51.01 87.71% -0.357 -0.8706 0.327
3 Other 138 29.41% 33.17 86.23% -0.542 -0.0012 1.285
3 Round (Default) 3392 38.09% 42.3 78.1% 0.365 0.2494 0.188
3 Sunrise 26 53.85% 58.19 76.92% -0.289 -0.0092 0.613
3 Thematic 106 49.06% 45.2 79.25% 0.635 0.7152 0.568
4 Archipelago 30 33.33% 44.87 60.0% -0.67 -1.3442 -1.775
4 Coastline 150 12.0% 61.63 92.67% -0.297 -0.0662 0.575
4 Leaf 17 41.18% 41.94 82.35% 0.609 0.2654 -0.211
4 Other 205 26.83% 41.09 92.68% 0.85 -0.2342 1.811
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3465 0.0
4 Thematic 387 41.97% 45.64 69.25% -0.77 -1.0323 -0.875
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2272 34.74% 42.7 75.88% -0.136 -0.2186 -0.687
5 Archipelago 8 37.5% 53.0 75.0% 0.319 -0.5975 -0.309
5 Coastline 100 6.0% 63.27 90.0% -0.214 -0.8657 -0.918
5 Other 170 29.59% 47.89 86.47% -0.085 -0.3699 -0.16
5 Thematic 15 46.67% 56.47 93.33% 0.0 -0.0937 0.923
6 Archipelago 16 12.5% 55.56 93.75% -0.216 -0.0646 0.32
6 Coastline 34 8.82% 59.53 85.29% -0.185 -0.9855 -0.89
6 Other 125 21.77% 53.59 87.2% 0.424 0.1906 -0.454
6 Star 45 31.11% 38.73 71.11% 0.714 0.7009 -1.507
6 Thematic 232 31.6% 37.78 69.83% -0.98 -0.5594 -1.541
6 Two Centers (Default) 242 23.24% 40.08 80.99% -0.25 -0.1455 -0.583
7 Archipelago 4 0.0% 56.5 75.0% 0.0 -0.0189 -0.638
7 Other 2 0.0% 13.0 50.0% -0.548 -1.1606 0.054

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 594 37.64 60.77% 0.583 0.8255 -0.545
Aid From Lesser Spirits 621 40.37 64.9% 0.683 0.6059 -0.121
All Things Weaken 675 32.64 55.56% -0.498 -0.1054 -0.461
Attenuated Essence 28 27.79 35.71% -0.424 -0.3171 -0.733
Back Against the Wall 593 36.93 59.7% -0.141 -0.0836 -0.496
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 35 27.71 42.86% -0.396 -0.1943 -0.751
Burn Brightest Before the End 23 30.43 43.48% -0.174 0.036 -0.73
Disintegrating Ecosystem 636 32.87 54.25% -0.521 -0.0969 -0.901
Downward Spiral 714 31.79 58.12% -0.438 -0.2029 -0.52
Erosion of Will 595 35.09 54.29% -0.636 -0.3267 -0.667
Intensifying Exploitation 38 23.03 28.95% -1.026 -0.7385 -0.671
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 299 42.34 81.94% 0.399 -0.0944 -0.072
Memory Fades to Dust 780 32.85 58.46% 0.285 0.6213 -0.335
Power Corrodes the Spirit 614 31.56 54.23% 0.405 0.6256 -0.833
Promising Farmlands 528 32.28 54.36% 0.277 0.7303 -0.881
Shattered Fragments of Power 33 35.48 57.58% 0.287 0.3381 -0.572
Slow Dissolution of Will 31 30.61 41.94% 0.035 0.4346 -1.522
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 222 38.44 84.68% 0.05 -0.6609 -0.005
The Border of Life and Death 7 24.14 57.14% -0.302 -0.637 -1.277
Thriving Communities 678 31.32 52.36% -0.305 0.058 -0.623
Thriving Crops 12 43.75 66.67% 0.477 0.2787 0.104
Unnatural Proliferation 692 34.09 54.62% -0.5 -0.2846 -0.625
Untended Land Crumbles 646 31.91 53.87% -0.302 -0.0205 -0.801

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 6942 38.7% 40.91 77.96% -0.063 0.6773 0.079
B 6274 40.81% 38.93 75.8% 0.265 0.9911 0.165
C 7626 38.9% 41.34 78.25% 0.131 0.7133 0.319
D 5878 38.14% 39.81 77.37% -0.23 0.4811 0.037
E 5629 39.18% 40.52 78.26% -0.161 0.4039 0.2
F 5044 39.86% 39.02 77.02% 0.17 0.8405 0.062
G 4530 38.99% 38.46 77.79% 0.179 0.8304 0.188
H 4637 37.93% 40.98 78.5% 0.003 0.574 0.311
East 1155 44.1% 40.73 68.74% -0.582 -0.0431 -0.054
Northeast 748 43.76% 40.98 68.05% 0.03 0.6647 -0.188
Northwest 683 44.05% 40.44 67.2% -0.033 0.7764 -0.659
Southeast 539 37.73% 40.73 70.69% -0.065 0.6409 -0.043
Southwest 510 39.45% 39.49 70.2% -0.584 0.4056 -0.348
West 1100 46.44% 39.77 67.0% 0.592 1.4955 0.103

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 338 0.0% 19.67 69.82% -0.53 0.2461 -0.009
Not Using Events or Tokens 433 51.54% 20.63 63.28% -1.617 -1.2382 -0.728
Skip Initial Invader Actions 747 15.48% 43.27 89.69% 1.261 0.6432 1.367
Start of Game Growth 1025 21.5% 44.56 85.66% 0.634 0.2854 -0.47
Unlimited Undo 2000 35.84% 38.12 80.5% -0.441 -0.4473 0.382
Using Tokens but Not Events 2529 22.97% 35.73 85.25% -0.202 -0.2123 0.098

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1669 100.0% 39.12 100.0% -0.142 -0.2897 -0.3
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 362 100.0% 32.07 100.0% -0.405 -0.2742 -0.557
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1014 100.0% 36.6 100.0% 0.229 0.0847 -0.076
Downpour Drenches the World 528 100.0% 48.16 100.0% -0.564 -0.3845 -0.336
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 204 100.0% 35.0 100.0% 0.445 -0.3202 -0.502
Eyes Watch From the Trees 867 100.0% 38.16 100.0% 0.838 0.249 -0.006
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 761 100.0% 35.65 100.0% -0.228 -0.7245 -0.893
Finder of Paths Unseen 133 100.0% 39.96 100.0% -0.334 0.3298 0.616
Fractured Days Split the Sky 595 100.0% 44.6 100.0% -0.108 0.4779 0.546
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 296 100.0% 39.92 100.0% 0.153 0.0585 0.603
Heart of the Wildfire 502 100.0% 36.2 100.0% -0.052 0.1889 -0.336
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2723 100.0% 48.43 100.0% 0.551 0.1093 0.46
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1619 100.0% 43.96 100.0% 0.129 -0.003 0.264
Many Minds Move as One 460 100.0% 38.14 100.0% 0.38 0.1591 0.594
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3001 100.0% 51.28 100.0% 0.369 0.3269 0.516
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 689 100.0% 34.78 100.0% 0.223 0.045 0.019
River Surges in Sunlight 2121 168.05% 53.87 130.55% 0.329 0.399 0.836
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1323 35.66% 35.98 77.93% -0.044 0.2661 -0.131
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1135 45.5% 48.25 68.63% 0.468 0.3551 -0.048
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1156 100.0% 45.15 100.0% 0.464 0.2263 0.201
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 114 563.36% 24.48 282.46% -0.763 -0.233 -0.549
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 29 20.69% 28.93 79.31% 0.51 0.435 0.516
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 81 39.51% 38.05 75.31% -0.096 -0.202 0.581
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 503 41.41% 33.78 76.74% -0.175 -0.1934 0.103
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 402 37.66% 32.36 83.83% 0.426 0.6025 0.388
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 674 106.68% 42.95 105.34% -0.317 -0.507 0.388
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 68 33.82% 26.99 47.06% -0.261 -0.6418 -0.846
Shifting Memory of Ages 456 100.0% 35.02 100.0% -0.832 -0.479 0.015
Shroud of Silent Mist 352 100.0% 29.48 100.0% 0.161 0.4113 -0.783
Starlight Seeks its Form 936 100.0% 48.52 100.0% 0.757 0.4958 0.712
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 925 100.0% 31.68 100.0% -0.883 -1.3601 -0.707
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 676 100.0% 40.75 100.0% -0.036 0.0267 0.011
Thunderspeaker 798 102.88% 39.32 102.51% -0.741 -0.7747 -0.074
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 34 32.35% 28.76 41.18% -0.253 -0.2925 0.425
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 453 100.0% 35.43 100.0% -0.188 -0.095 0.141
Vital Strength of the Earth 463 185.0% 30.66 141.04% -0.569 -0.0442 -0.163
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 177 33.14% 36.5 70.62% 0.279 0.5392 -0.219
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 511 41.33% 29.19 72.99% -0.034 0.7418 -0.875
Volcano Looming High 607 100.0% 42.09 100.0% 0.408 0.3653 -0.044

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 94.53%
Lightning's Boon 95.56%
Raging Storm 87.17%
Shatter Homesteads 97.51%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3065 20.4 26.56%
II 10545 31.01 77.56%
III 6270 34.76 90.77%
IV 1447 38.07 99.72%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 814
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5574
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7678
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1435
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 693
Lose: Invader deck ran out 92
Lose: Adversary condition 1278
Win: Sacrifice victory 40
Lose: Scenario condition 243
Win: Scenario condition 586
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2798
Lose: Spirit destroyed 96

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.275 Win Model: -0.102

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.385 Win Model: 0.094
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 5329 53.64% 27.61 69.38%
2 8134 45.23% 38.35 77.12%
3 3888 37.89% 42.66 78.7%
4 3078 33.53% 44.1 77.19%
5 217 16.67% 52.87 87.56%
6 681 25.66% 42.51 77.97%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-12 04:02:30 (Pacific Time)