Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 58 20.69% 25.91 75.86% 0.111 0.0835 -0.187
Blitz 0 335 32.73% 32.57 66.27% -0.352 -0.1018 -0.329
Dahan Insurrection 4 1022 12.63% 51.67 69.67% 0.346 0.0971 0.496
Despicable Theft 2 127 38.58% 24.88 54.33% -0.466 -0.0043 -0.524
Elemental Invocation 1 208 49.04% 27.07 60.58% -0.165 0.5377 -1.147
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1908 12.39% 48.22 77.67% 0.112 -0.4406 0.813
Powers Long Forgotten 1 149 42.28% 23.53 43.62% -0.691 -0.0676 -0.405
Rituals of Terror 3 91 48.89% 36.42 63.74% -0.17 0.0226 0.38
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 53 62.26% 28.6 49.06% 0.358 1.2802 -0.565
Second Wave 0 1059 43.3% 27.36 72.8% 0.386 0.5029 0.06
The Great River 3 520 47.01% 29.05 58.08% -0.402 0.6656 -0.595
Varied Terrains 2 124 43.55% 25.55 56.45% 0.354 1.0948 -0.359
Ward the Shores 2 287 36.36% 25.6 49.13% -0.084 0.9995 -1.009

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 8147 51.49% 23.86 60.29% 0.601 1.1274 0.676
1 Thematic 521 56.67% 27.14 49.52% 0.154 1.0086 0.446
2 Archipelago 48 43.75% 29.48 64.58% 0.4 1.4546 0.132
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7256 44.18% 33.44 69.07% 0.808 1.0862 1.0
2 Coastline 1874 39.78% 36.72 73.0% 1.013 1.1159 0.948
2 Fragment 200 44.9% 36.62 71.5% 0.214 0.2269 2.078
2 Heart 124 46.77% 33.69 58.06% 0.165 0.2761 0.329
2 Opposite Shores 2113 42.49% 33.79 69.05% 0.295 0.6312 0.76
2 Thematic 516 46.2% 31.22 59.5% -0.298 0.3911 0.179
2 Top to Top 390 43.52% 39.22 74.1% 0.282 0.5241 1.322
3 Archipelago 43 46.51% 43.05 67.44% 0.418 -0.3028 -0.03
3 Coastline 257 26.07% 43.59 75.88% -0.31 -0.6502 0.269
3 Other 208 26.21% 28.6 74.52% 0.15 -0.4525 1.3
3 Round (Default) 5862 33.62% 38.67 71.84% 0.509 0.5154 0.414
3 Sunrise 32 53.13% 56.97 81.25% 0.0 -0.0616 1.078
3 Thematic 182 39.56% 36.37 63.19% -0.044 0.0404 0.337
4 Archipelago 38 28.95% 42.82 65.79% -0.181 -0.0308 -1.206
4 Coastline 181 16.02% 55.99 86.19% 0.671 -0.0877 0.415
4 Leaf 35 31.43% 26.66 60.0% 0.44 0.5775 -0.469
4 Other 238 26.05% 38.57 87.82% -0.558 -1.1774 1.423
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3905 0.0
4 Thematic 500 41.48% 41.79 65.4% -0.667 -0.3992 -0.673
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4002 31.93% 36.23 64.92% -0.586 -0.422 -0.574
5 Archipelago 16 43.75% 41.31 62.5% 0.155 -0.7238 -0.449
5 Coastline 156 7.05% 53.96 78.21% -1.543 -1.4462 -1.444
5 Other 367 26.3% 35.77 70.84% -0.663 -1.0491 -0.363
5 Thematic 33 33.33% 53.64 72.73% 0.217 -0.5805 0.167
6 Archipelago 38 18.42% 53.89 84.21% -0.428 -1.5375 -0.761
6 Coastline 120 5.0% 54.16 78.33% 0.528 -0.3096 -1.642
6 Other 368 21.25% 40.72 67.39% -0.316 -0.346 -1.747
6 Star 114 23.68% 29.88 57.89% -0.96 -0.9773 -1.822
6 Thematic 551 28.05% 35.63 56.99% -0.233 -0.1299 -1.963
6 Two Centers (Default) 648 26.05% 36.2 67.28% 0.012 0.5767 -1.099
7 Archipelago 4 0.0% 56.5 75.0% 0.0 -0.0747 -0.605
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.707
7 Other 10 10.0% 35.2 50.0% -0.65 -1.0842 -0.429

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 845 34.89 55.62% -0.647 -0.3977 0.012
Aid From Lesser Spirits 860 39.28 62.67% 0.639 0.5203 0.452
All Things Weaken 940 31.07 51.91% -0.155 0.1824 0.15
Attenuated Essence 219 29.28 44.75% 0.072 0.0984 -0.315
Back Against the Wall 780 36.49 59.49% -0.259 -0.2582 0.293
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 230 31.0 46.09% 0.4 0.6169 -0.374
Burn Brightest Before the End 167 33.63 54.49% -0.075 -0.0931 0.062
Disintegrating Ecosystem 860 30.6 50.81% 0.38 0.7735 -0.346
Downward Spiral 1012 29.37 54.94% -0.358 -0.25 0.031
Erosion of Will 842 33.96 52.73% 0.239 0.5917 0.026
Intensifying Exploitation 220 26.09 36.82% -0.081 0.165 -0.475
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 440 38.72 78.64% 0.455 -0.0693 0.395
Memory Fades to Dust 1127 30.57 53.15% -0.648 -0.401 0.062
Power Corrodes the Spirit 941 29.52 50.9% -0.602 -0.3806 -0.33
Promising Farmlands 755 30.68 51.52% 0.26 0.5433 -0.281
Shattered Fragments of Power 189 34.66 49.21% -0.114 -0.0374 -0.232
Slow Dissolution of Will 213 28.28 41.78% -0.709 -0.3119 -0.356
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 302 35.82 79.8% 0.958 0.263 0.434
The Border of Life and Death 51 28.49 54.9% 0.135 -0.4658 -0.307
Thriving Communities 999 30.12 50.35% -0.217 0.1399 0.084
Thriving Crops 88 36.61 55.68% -0.125 -0.3217 0.434
Unnatural Proliferation 981 32.81 51.27% 0.24 0.4021 0.048
Untended Land Crumbles 931 30.3 50.91% 0.422 0.6532 -0.076

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 12131 35.07% 35.47 67.83% -0.196 0.8088 -0.217
B 11055 36.92% 34.28 66.87% -0.243 0.6766 -0.055
C 12795 35.41% 36.46 69.45% 0.22 0.9548 0.107
D 10045 35.54% 35.32 68.46% 0.221 1.1987 -0.165
E 9802 35.94% 35.52 68.3% -0.123 0.697 -0.162
F 8582 37.33% 34.47 67.97% 0.101 0.9752 -0.01
G 7518 36.71% 34.68 69.33% -0.188 0.6217 -0.068
H 7658 35.44% 36.85 70.41% 0.277 1.0924 0.065
East 1922 39.63% 36.27 59.89% 0.604 1.5065 -0.158
Northeast 1332 38.88% 36.64 58.63% -0.061 0.7474 -0.061
Northwest 1230 37.86% 36.3 58.21% -1.037 -0.1368 -0.543
Southeast 991 32.66% 36.73 60.14% -0.12 0.7305 -0.062
Southwest 964 33.85% 35.67 59.13% -0.172 1.2036 -0.547
West 1840 40.38% 35.3 58.32% -0.085 0.8698 -0.137

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 657 0.0% 15.09 54.64% -0.461 0.2466 0.171
Not Using Events or Tokens 850 48.59% 16.6 52.24% -0.39 -0.0216 -0.891
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1016 15.01% 42.09 84.25% 1.313 0.7284 1.655
Start of Game Growth 1490 19.8% 41.17 80.13% -0.136 -0.6495 0.044
Unlimited Undo 3364 32.02% 34.86 72.09% 0.716 0.6067 0.255
Using Tokens but Not Events 4772 20.0% 31.23 72.44% -0.128 -0.1536 -0.161

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2551 30.23% 34.7 69.58% -0.085 -0.1905 -0.252
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 262 28.35% 27.49 53.82% -0.31 -0.79 -0.75
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 507 42.45% 28.14 66.47% -0.564 -0.438 -0.492
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 191 32.46% 28.63 54.45% -0.265 -1.1124 -0.123
Dances Up Earthquakes 116 37.93% 35.5 62.93% 0.377 0.4135 0.411
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1540 33.6% 32.32 71.82% -0.122 -0.2586 0.097
Downpour Drenches the World 1404 35.99% 37.16 51.57% -0.021 0.186 -0.346
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 675 37.15% 33.41 63.26% 0.736 0.1249 0.164
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1336 30.8% 33.99 73.95% 0.198 -0.178 0.016
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1271 30.27% 33.83 66.96% -0.171 -0.5618 -0.575
Finder of Paths Unseen 307 39.41% 32.89 61.56% -0.051 0.6687 0.61
Fractured Days Split the Sky 934 28.56% 38.6 69.91% 0.267 0.8781 0.546
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 569 40.32% 33.04 67.66% 1.433 1.3335 0.18
Heart of the Wildfire 918 44.0% 31.6 65.25% 0.147 0.4838 -0.441
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3785 29.18% 46.29 79.15% -0.004 -0.4349 0.691
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 422 26.3% 27.73 50.0% -0.826 -1.1408 -0.603
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2459 34.22% 40.2 70.92% 0.071 -0.1565 0.261
Many Minds Move as One 772 37.37% 35.64 74.87% 0.218 -0.0243 0.504
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4994 26.64% 45.8 74.63% 0.407 0.5156 0.573
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 293 29.62% 33.98 58.36% 0.083 0.2013 -0.12
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1120 35.12% 30.89 69.91% 0.149 0.1031 0.129
River Surges in Sunlight 3223 28.04% 47.4 77.07% 0.348 0.4784 0.894
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 123 38.21% 25.99 51.22% -0.288 -0.1125 -0.445
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1847 33.35% 32.81 71.68% -0.245 0.0529 -0.265
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 3090 37.74% 39.88 57.7% 0.532 0.4482 0.027
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2214 26.26% 40.5 70.1% 0.532 0.4206 0.326
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 116 30.17% 28.91 50.86% 0.292 0.1738 0.474
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 184 44.71% 20.5 65.22% 0.369 0.8638 -0.35
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 87 19.77% 25.37 70.11% 0.355 0.3038 0.767
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 177 36.36% 29.1 54.24% -0.178 -0.6887 0.173
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 184 29.51% 31.91 65.76% 0.781 0.6532 0.327
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 647 39.75% 31.23 72.8% 0.271 0.2826 0.188
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 526 35.95% 29.6 77.95% 0.377 0.5123 0.365
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 827 35.32% 40.33 77.03% 0.441 0.4897 0.568
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 284 34.15% 29.92 59.86% -0.507 -0.7218 -0.2
Shifting Memory of Ages 732 37.52% 30.34 66.53% 0.237 0.5312 0.025
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 231 32.47% 25.77 51.08% -0.178 -0.2961 -0.051
Shroud of Silent Mist 611 43.0% 25.28 61.05% -0.639 -0.3112 -1.04
Starlight Seeks its Form 2316 32.41% 38.07 61.74% 0.547 0.4475 0.646
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1356 45.19% 29.98 61.73% -0.476 -1.0064 -0.205
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1081 26.61% 36.25 72.43% -0.562 -0.4848 -0.051
Thunderspeaker 1247 36.97% 37.38 66.72% -0.015 0.021 0.165
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 193 31.77% 26.04 45.08% 0.041 0.0998 -0.245
Towering Roots of the Jungle 187 27.81% 23.7 43.32% -0.985 -0.8351 -0.87
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 686 56.06% 31.77 62.83% -0.648 -0.5023 -0.161
Vital Strength of the Earth 765 30.26% 27.03 71.76% -0.356 0.2119 -0.2
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 470 31.24% 31.16 60.85% -0.558 -0.0368 0.018
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 684 39.85% 27.12 66.23% -0.345 0.3959 -0.604
Volcano Looming High 1017 40.91% 37.51 69.42% -0.329 -0.3139 -0.001
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 330 21.82% 33.13 61.82% -0.04 -0.3316 -0.148

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 94.79%
Lightning's Boon 95.67%
Raging Storm 86.38%
Shatter Homesteads 97.07%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7962 13.33 14.81%
II 15649 30.1 74.53%
III 9459 34.83 90.61%
IV 2139 38.67 99.44%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1179
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8371
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10960
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2117
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5040
Lose: Invader deck ran out 122
Lose: Adversary condition 1900
Win: Sacrifice victory 60
Lose: Scenario condition 314
Win: Scenario condition 853
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4140
Lose: Spirit destroyed 153

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.888 Win Model: -0.074

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.796 Win Model: 0.405
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 8727 51.7% 23.98 59.4%
2 12574 43.38% 34.26 69.48%
3 6586 33.52% 38.66 71.89%
4 5009 31.7% 37.78 67.08%
5 477 18.53% 38.84 70.65%
6 1836 24.1% 38.25 64.65%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)