Ward the Shores - Statistics

Difficulty	Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
2	18774	44.42%	27.54	51.64%

Results using Spirits

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	1551	30.41%	31.1	60.28%	0.219	0.1227	0.501
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth	97	25.77%	21.71	40.21%	0.239	-0.0865	-0.029
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles	4	50.0%	47.75	100.0%	0.816	0.5543
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine	16	37.5%	32.94	68.75%	1.056	0.335	-0.194
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	502	63.58%	22.24	31.27%	-0.76	-0.4612	-0.411
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence	60	31.67%	20.2	38.33%	0.634	0.0441	-0.2
Dances Up Earthquakes	58	41.38%	19.0	41.38%	-0.275	-0.0929	-0.16
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	966	39.46%	28.58	53.0%	0.535	0.3564	-0.297
Downpour Drenches the World	267	25.28%	19.66	38.95%	-0.051	0.308	0.231
Ember-Eyed Behemoth	261	17.62%	22.11	45.21%	-0.334	-0.7733	0.551
Eyes Watch From the Trees	1135	34.25%	30.6	58.68%	-0.084	-0.4331	-0.211
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	1233	36.3%	33.06	64.56%	0.432	0.0318	-0.292
Finder of Paths Unseen	140	32.86%	19.41	37.86%	-0.07	1.0042	-0.466
Fractured Days Split the Sky	248	27.76%	25.37	46.37%	0.042	0.4974	-0.139
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	275	40.0%	21.91	38.18%	-1.072	-1.1626	-0.328
Heart of the Wildfire	637	70.51%	21.39	27.32%	-0.606	-0.1751	-0.317
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	1707	33.49%	35.53	70.47%	0.902	0.4598	0.362
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility	97	25.77%	23.1	43.3%	0.163	-0.346	-0.125
Lightning's Swift Strike	1019	42.15%	33.99	62.02%	-0.32	-0.1567	-0.469
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	103	52.43%	28.98	57.28%	0.184	-0.4951	0.353
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	169	33.14%	24.12	53.25%	0.093	-0.2661	-0.066
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	323	36.65%	24.9	46.75%	-0.157	-0.3029	-0.131
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	583	21.44%	22.16	50.6%	-0.284	-0.4615	-0.308
Many Minds Move as One	424	32.94%	29.2	57.31%	0.654	0.519	-0.068
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	4635	54.6%	27.25	53.81%	0.632	0.5549	0.59
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps	253	54.44%	14.55	24.9%	-0.008	0.1835	-0.243
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	937	39.22%	30.57	57.42%	-0.468	-0.5275	0.173
River Surges in Sunlight	1746	45.16%	32.67	59.85%	0.007	0.0517	0.417
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven	54	29.63%	20.54	48.15%	-0.285	-0.0553	0.621
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	445	52.7%	26.31	44.94%	-0.619	-0.5702	-0.225
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	339	28.19%	17.8	33.04%	-0.002	0.1646	0.822
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	1340	29.75%	29.24	54.48%	0.05	-0.1431	0.068
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus	43	25.64%	14.58	23.26%	0.782	0.7677	0.672
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	462	61.47%	24.81	36.15%	-0.574	0.0501	-0.296
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous	52	42.31%	21.19	48.08%	-0.708	-0.6929
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire	49	40.82%	16.67	36.73%	-0.031	-0.4659	-0.256
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding	43	32.56%	14.6	30.23%	0.232	0.2545
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness	112	56.76%	20.9	31.25%			-0.023
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	113	56.44%	25.04	46.9%	0.046	0.4551
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	910	40.38%	33.59	59.45%	-0.771	-0.713	-0.044
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle	2	0.0%	0.0	0.0%	-0.371	-0.8745
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained	108	25.93%	17.26	36.11%	-0.281	-0.3177	-0.142
Shifting Memory of Ages	288	45.83%	18.93	30.9%	0.168	0.5303	-0.102
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor	54	42.59%	21.19	29.63%	-0.079	-0.0961	0.08
Shroud of Silent Mist	255	47.84%	23.13	43.92%	-0.552	-0.0285	-0.192
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded	4	25.0%	30.0	75.0%	0.679	0.3389
Starlight Seeks its Form	383	20.16%	22.98	45.95%	0.838	0.6394	0.783
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	648	37.5%	25.67	49.85%	0.147	-0.4681	0.074
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	1017	38.95%	30.41	53.79%	-0.632	-0.3984	0.096
Thunderspeaker	1129	42.31%	30.63	55.89%	0.898	0.8805	-0.115
Thunderspeaker — Tactician	90	36.67%	16.28	28.89%	0.184	0.3838	0.112
Towering Roots of the Jungle	80	31.25%	15.35	25.0%	-0.439	-0.2722	-0.442
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	337	68.55%	20.34	24.93%	-0.087	-0.0364	-0.242
Vital Strength of the Earth	761	38.79%	28.23	50.85%	-0.837	-0.3665	-0.106
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	83	28.92%	19.33	37.35%	0.645	1.0548
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	142	42.96%	22.82	40.85%	-0.102	0.5649	-0.025
Volcano Looming High	276	39.78%	20.47	38.41%	-0.603	-0.6192	-0.471
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium	144	31.25%	24.85	52.78%	0.548	0.2684	0.688

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
Habsburg Mining Expedition	0	1	81	4.94%	18.01	-0.402	41.98%	0.009	0.1893
Habsburg Mining Expedition	1	3	22	31.82%	21.95	-6.854	36.36%	-0.201	-0.0723
Habsburg Mining Expedition	2	4	25	48.0%	19.04	12.219	24.0%	0.622	1.0662
Habsburg Mining Expedition	3	5	19	42.11%	25.32	0.0	36.84%
Habsburg Mining Expedition	4	7	14	50.0%	14.79	0.0	7.14%
Habsburg Mining Expedition	5	9	6	33.33%	28.0	0.0	33.33%
Habsburg Mining Expedition	6	10	7	57.14%	45.29	0.0	42.86%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	374	37.7%	26.98	0.652	52.14%	-0.123	0.3425
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	291	41.24%	28.55	6.064	49.48%	0.946	0.8718
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	183	57.92%	29.41	4.471	37.16%	-0.009	0.58
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	109	56.88%	24.29	0.0	21.1%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	65	73.85%	25.75	6.988	16.92%	0.066	1.2385
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	22	45.45%	21.91	0.0	18.18%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	45	82.22%	27.78	0.0	6.67%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	750	37.57%	25.36	-1.804	59.33%	-0.34	0.0107
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	624	44.62%	28.94	-0.959	58.65%	-0.644	-0.6235
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	477	46.32%	40.46	3.049	69.18%	-0.05	0.0829
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	220	57.73%	41.63	0.0	59.09%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	152	53.95%	45.36	0.0	61.84%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	78	70.51%	43.88	-4.551	43.59%	-0.202	0.0659
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	119	70.59%	28.94	2.632	20.17%	-0.515	0.8307
The Kingdom of England	0	1	803	37.28%	24.25	-2.742	51.68%	-0.538	-0.3352
The Kingdom of England	1	3	555	48.83%	29.3	-1.128	46.31%	-0.66	-0.3381
The Kingdom of England	2	4	453	51.21%	30.08	-0.229	41.28%	-0.089	0.4773
The Kingdom of England	3	6	247	61.13%	29.85	0.0	29.55%
The Kingdom of England	4	7	186	65.41%	37.09	7.738	36.56%	0.1	1.0547
The Kingdom of England	5	9	74	58.9%	39.97	0.0	28.38%
The Kingdom of England	6	11	325	67.82%	38.47	9.799	25.23%	-0.165	1.7213
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	654	41.35%	24.55	6.92	36.09%	0.779	1.2454
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	492	45.73%	23.98	-3.771	27.85%	-0.733	0.1466
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	507	43.39%	33.5	5.409	32.74%	-0.346	0.6491
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	265	56.98%	30.78	0.0	18.11%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	229	55.02%	29.73	-6.844	13.1%	-0.588	0.663
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	223	50.22%	40.17	0.0	22.42%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	445	47.07%	32.58	3.459	12.13%	-0.803	0.4856
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	234	25.21%	16.13	-5.136	36.75%	-0.515	-0.4885
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	149	38.93%	13.96	-8.105	19.46%	-0.607	-0.0852
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	97	40.21%	22.91	4.51	31.96%	0.136	0.8405
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	80	43.75%	25.35	-11.127	30.0%	-0.421	-0.2369
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	64	31.25%	21.33	0.0	21.88%
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	102	61.76%	26.06	0.0	14.71%
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	183	50.27%	18.31	-3.056	10.93%	-0.741	0.4572
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	695	34.29%	25.04	1.268	60.86%	0.499	0.6769
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	543	44.28%	28.71	-1.345	58.2%	-0.136	-0.0062
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	581	48.71%	30.43	-1.418	57.14%	-0.008	0.1977
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	330	63.33%	35.95	5.546	52.42%	0.018	0.2788
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	144	68.06%	33.02	0.0	38.89%
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	99	62.63%	29.17	0.0	30.3%
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	278	71.84%	32.37	0.083	29.14%	-0.735	0.0606
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	419	29.19%	23.62	0.588	56.8%	0.17	0.4139
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	246	44.31%	23.51	-4.502	41.46%	-0.883	-0.3134
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	160	46.88%	31.95	-6.023	51.25%	-0.275	0.1138
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	96	58.33%	29.76	-9.19	35.42%	-0.377	0.4199
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	47	53.19%	19.13	-10.211	17.02%	-0.323	0.4209
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	24	66.67%	26.29	-9.05	16.67%	-0.207	1.6513
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	54	79.63%	36.13	6.703	14.81%	-0.677	0.9874

Results using Layouts

# Boards	Layout	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
1	Single Board	9939	46.14	26.32	52.62%	0.047	0.2507	0.298
1	Thematic	2282	51.1	29.67	42.24%	0.426	1.0347	-0.147
2	Archipelago	19	63.16	21.16	36.84%	-0.576	-0.4054	-0.275
2	Bottom to Bottom (Default)	2001	43.35	28.62	54.12%	-0.486	-0.406	0.651
2	Coastline	371	40.98	28.24	59.3%	-0.033	-0.1278	-0.323
2	Fragment	56	57.14	28.63	58.93%	0.22	0.1771	-0.017
2	Heart	51	56.86	28.33	43.14%			0.526
2	Opposite Shores	484	38.78	28.15	59.5%	0.455	0.5867	-0.09
2	Thematic	703	46.09	28.25	43.95%	0.125	0.4841	-0.558
2	Top to Top	91	50.0	29.92	60.44%			-0.051
3	Archipelago	17	64.71	28.88	29.41%
3	Coastline	16	50.0	25.88	56.25%
3	Other	43	19.05	16.44	34.88%
3	Round (Default)	1324	34.55	29.4	57.55%	-0.086	-0.08	-0.507
3	Sunrise	11	54.55	28.55	45.45%
3	Thematic	138	40.58	29.7	47.1%	-0.576	-1.0074	-0.118
4	Archipelago	8	12.5	42.63	75.0%
4	Coastline	7	16.67	43.71	100.0%
4	Other	33	54.55	29.45	60.61%			-0.147
4	Snake	1	100.0	38.0	0.0%
4	Thematic	321	33.64	44.32	64.49%	0.409	0.207
4	Trapezoid (Default)	693	31.36	23.25	43.58%	-0.163	0.027	0.07
5	Coastline	1	0.0	34.0	100.0%
5	Other	23	19.05	23.39	56.52%
5	Thematic	3	66.67	57.67	66.67%			-0.042
6	Archipelago	2	50.0	33.0	50.0%
6	Coastline	5	0.0	31.2	100.0%
6	Other	15	41.67	25.87	80.0%	0.093	0.0541
6	Star	11	18.18	19.64	36.36%	0.029	0.4954
6	Thematic	45	20.0	15.69	28.89%	-0.482	-0.2333	-0.025
6	Two Centers (Default)	30	10.0	18.77	46.67%
7	Archipelago	1	0.0	0.0	0.0%
7	Other	6	20.0	0.0	0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	673	27.63	37.3%	-0.564	-0.4157	-0.303
Aid From Lesser Spirits	565	28.32	38.58%	-0.152	-0.2646	1.009
All Things Weaken	360	22.47	30.56%			-0.312
Attenuated Essence	70	20.14	32.86%	0.409	0.5347
Back Against the Wall	511	27.69	39.73%	0.624	0.6648	-0.133
Blight Corrodes the Spirit	77	21.51	33.77%	-0.555	-0.3488	-0.29
Burn Brightest Before the End	43	32.65	55.81%	0.597	0.6422	-0.249
Disintegrating Ecosystem	656	22.68	28.51%	-0.719	-0.2212	-0.093
Downward Spiral	875	25.66	40.8%	-1.173	-0.9233	-0.552
Erosion of Will	648	24.84	34.41%	-1.049	-0.7909	-0.296
Intensifying Exploitation	97	21.29	28.87%	-0.499	-0.2803	0.167
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	143	29.83	60.14%	0.068	-0.3176	-0.044
Memory Fades to Dust	887	25.0	35.96%	0.076	0.2809	-0.344
Power Corrodes the Spirit	367	23.83	34.6%	0.2	0.398	0.913
Promising Farmlands	653	26.12	37.52%	-0.027	0.329	1.52
Shattered Fragments of Power	49	31.27	42.86%	-0.133	0.0847	0.779
Slow Dissolution of Will	93	22.01	26.88%	-0.343	0.0867	0.383
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	90	30.27	58.89%	0.488	-0.1364
The Border of Life and Death	19	25.89	42.11%	-0.152	-0.472
Thriving Communities	408	23.96	31.13%	-0.33	-0.0105	0.239
Thriving Crops	27	24.26	44.44%			0.685
Tipping Point	157	26.83	27.39%
Unnatural Proliferation	390	25.17	32.31%	0.393	0.4825	-0.102
Untended Land Crumbles	405	23.25	30.37%	-0.559	-0.3341	0.097

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	3522	41.91%	27.17	52.73%	0.628	1.4278	0.254
B	3533	40.55%	26.89	51.94%	-0.723	0.0078	-0.47
C	3598	40.77%	27.47	54.75%	0.242	0.8463	-0.155
D	3770	43.09%	26.92	54.67%	-0.173	0.5834	-0.271
E	1907	38.53%	25.25	47.77%	-0.203	0.3816	0.536
F	2540	41.03%	26.88	54.13%	-0.347	0.356	-0.22
G	2458	41.67%	26.84	52.44%	-0.25	0.5073	-0.018
H	2508	40.05%	26.89	52.87%	-0.141	0.4903	-0.364
East	2235	44.42%	31.96	47.07%	-0.436	0.3477	-0.481
Northeast	1209	43.96%	32.52	45.74%	-0.463	0.2983	-0.681
Northwest	1072	46.07%	32.96	45.24%	-0.166	0.6763	0.147
Southeast	569	40.95%	28.44	46.92%	0.041	0.6805	-0.406
Southwest	474	45.24%	23.18	40.72%	-0.683	0.3627	0.046
West	2059	48.03%	30.56	44.78%	-0.599	0.1769	-0.601

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	171	0.0%	29.93	87.13%
Not Using Events or Tokens	319	49.0%	25.16	54.86%	-0.252	0.1249	-0.105
Skip Initial Invader Actions	845	13.04%	43.93	83.2%	0.503	0.2112
Start of Game Growth	1397	10.46%	39.67	81.68%	0.656	0.0988
Unlimited Undo	1733	26.05%	28.78	61.57%	-1.031	-0.9673	-0.629
Using Tokens but Not Events	1804	34.56%	29.43	65.74%	0.2	0.0729	-0.189

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	4203	12.44	0.0%
II	7705	29.94	66.72%
III	6866	34.9	66.31%
IV	0	38.84

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.25 Win Model: 0.365

Num.	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
1	12441	46.92%	26.65	49.97%
2	3667	44.72%	29.31	54.95%
3	1477	33.22%	29.44	58.23%
4	1050	32.46%	30.39	51.43%
5	31	28.57%	19.06	45.16%
6	108	17.82%	18.91	44.44%

Results

Result	Completed
Game abandoned (v.3.0+)	3122
Lose: Invader deck ran out	567
Lose: Adversary condition	2159
Win: Sacrifice victory	34
Win: Scenario condition	9660
Lose: Blight pool ran out	3135
Lose: Spirit destroyed	97

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
Ward the Shores

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-10-18 23:57:56 (Pacific Time)

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:Ward the Shores

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-10-18 23:57:56 (Pacific Time)

Detailed Statistics:
Ward the Shores