Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 12 25.0% 29.33 75.0% -0.065 -0.2049 0.196
Blitz 0 35 33.33% 30.06 60.0% -0.617 -0.5058 -0.168
Dahan Insurrection 4 94 36.17% 32.44 22.34% -1.397 -1.6321 -0.588
Despicable Theft 2 10 11.11% 16.4 30.0% -1.377 -0.7335 -0.587
Elemental Invocation 1 37 24.32% 32.22 75.68% -0.606 0.1964 -0.292
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 325 12.0% 43.37 69.85% 0.409 -0.3652 0.897
Powers Long Forgotten 1 21 52.38% 24.9 47.62% -1.372 -0.5991 0.595
Rituals of Terror 3 24 66.67% 26.33 12.5% -2.36 -2.3437 0.0
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 10 30.0% 26.8 60.0% -0.118 0.9393 -0.456
Second Wave 0 68 32.35% 28.06 72.06% -0.27 -0.1892 0.16
The Great River 3 13 15.38% 25.85 69.23% -0.459 0.6695 -0.305
Varied Terrains 2 28 35.71% 20.5 50.0% -1.089 -0.3972 0.0
Ward the Shores 2 22 40.91% 21.14 50.0% -1.305 -0.442 -0.525

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 6403 38.26% 31.59 65.98% 0.11 0.3105 0.281
1 Thematic 136 29.41% 25.98 61.03% 0.326 1.0456 -0.296
2 Archipelago 24 75.0% 43.17 16.67% -0.152 0.103 -1.246
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1276 38.87% 33.29 70.06% 0.267 0.2744 0.708
2 Coastline 245 31.84% 30.13 66.94% 0.051 -0.1537 0.078
2 Fragment 23 56.52% 33.7 69.57% 0.25 -0.0271 -0.2
2 Heart 9 55.56% 44.44 88.89% 0.946 0.7252 0.733
2 Opposite Shores 448 30.43% 27.14 68.08% -0.164 -0.1072 -0.103
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.344 0.9056 0.0
2 Thematic 166 30.72% 26.51 64.46% -0.651 -0.1989 -0.719
2 Top to Top 59 45.76% 27.66 61.02% -0.036 -0.1332 0.158
3 Archipelago 2 50.0% 40.0 50.0% 0.188 -0.6032 -0.126
3 Coastline 17 29.41% 23.53 58.82% 0.226 -0.3412 0.41
3 Other 67 16.42% 14.4 52.24% -0.607 -0.6359 0.612
3 Round (Default) 860 37.91% 31.09 62.79% 0.136 -0.0901 0.356
3 Thematic 15 20.0% 29.67 66.67% -0.224 -0.0276 -0.173
4 Archipelago 6 83.33% 18.33 66.67% 0.063 -1.1225 0.0
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 59.0 100.0% 0.329 -0.2574 0.0
4 Leaf 3 33.33% 22.0 66.67% -0.187 -0.886 0.0
4 Other 24 45.83% 28.83 62.5% 0.378 -0.9791 -0.683
4 Thematic 24 54.17% 25.08 50.0% -0.205 -0.4033 -0.13
4 Trapezoid (Default) 366 38.25% 35.87 76.78% 0.554 0.311 0.333
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 37.67 0.0% -0.804 -0.487 -0.306
5 Coastline 5 0.0% 15.4 20.0% -0.631 -0.4379 0.189
5 Other 56 30.36% 30.98 67.86% -0.019 -1.0754 -0.119
6 Archipelago 6 0.0% 35.17 100.0% 0.968 0.2315 0.0
6 Coastline 4 0.0% 19.5 25.0% -0.346 -0.5865 -0.335
6 Other 20 40.0% 39.25 75.0% 0.585 -0.1522 0.877
6 Star 17 5.88% 27.88 82.35% 0.13 0.0728 0.203
6 Thematic 86 36.05% 19.03 34.88% -0.719 0.0347 -0.522
6 Two Centers (Default) 83 22.89% 35.8 63.86% 0.787 0.2072 -0.423
7 Archipelago 3 0.0% 25.67 33.33% -0.806 -0.0292 0.42
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.345 -0.757 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 173 32.67 52.02% -0.147 0.0126 -0.024
Aid From Lesser Spirits 149 42.35 65.1% 0.493 0.4067 1.238
All Things Weaken 204 32.29 52.45% -0.267 0.0752 -0.096
Attenuated Essence 207 35.29 57.49% 0.144 0.2185 0.302
Back Against the Wall 185 35.77 54.05% -0.14 -0.0652 0.04
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 202 34.39 58.42% 0.033 0.224 0.207
Burn Brightest Before the End 136 37.4 59.56% 0.176 0.2993 0.277
Disintegrating Ecosystem 185 31.89 51.35% -0.202 0.1713 0.35
Downward Spiral 198 35.35 57.07% 0.25 0.3868 0.137
Erosion of Will 187 36.58 60.43% 0.18 0.475 0.339
Intensifying Exploitation 185 34.54 55.14% -0.04 0.198 0.501
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 98 32.83 65.31% 0.246 -0.2857 0.354
Memory Fades to Dust 208 37.1 62.98% 0.326 0.6063 0.498
Power Corrodes the Spirit 215 35.11 59.07% 0.236 0.3892 0.596
Promising Farmlands 177 32.03 49.72% -0.255 0.0911 0.026
Shattered Fragments of Power 138 38.11 60.87% 0.367 0.5618 0.607
Slow Dissolution of Will 192 33.65 51.56% -0.245 0.2061 0.189
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 59 37.19 69.49% 0.29 -0.4506 1.252
The Border of Life and Death 62 33.65 66.13% 0.029 -0.4041 0.855
Thriving Communities 201 33.32 57.21% -0.048 0.2509 0.282
Thriving Crops 105 32.84 62.86% 0.179 0.0765 -0.057
Unnatural Proliferation 194 38.36 58.25% 0.107 0.2525 0.436
Untended Land Crumbles 236 34.57 56.36% 0.041 0.3406 0.523

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 2314 36.98% 31.85 68.67% 0.242 1.2363 0.341
B 2371 35.39% 31.37 65.8% 0.248 1.1666 0.502
C 2514 37.48% 31.99 67.26% 0.255 0.9972 0.307
D 1817 37.6% 31.08 67.47% 0.158 1.1097 0.062
E 2035 36.01% 32.14 66.29% 0.134 0.9149 0.28
F 1711 36.51% 31.61 67.91% 0.256 1.1483 0.283
G 1632 36.03% 32.15 67.28% 0.131 0.9866 0.006
H 1753 37.53% 31.62 63.89% 0.103 0.951 0.035
East 344 32.27% 25.93 59.3% 0.123 0.8925 -0.572
Northeast 289 32.87% 24.28 58.13% -0.449 0.3388 -0.195
Northwest 256 33.98% 24.88 57.42% 0.033 1.0162 -0.116
Southeast 118 32.2% 22.83 40.68% 0.052 0.9261 0.079
Southwest 147 36.73% 17.03 31.29% -0.927 0.2804 -0.754
West 347 34.29% 23.27 52.74% -0.305 0.6294 -0.283

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 34 0.0% 16.09 52.94% -1.682 -1.0527 -0.161
Not Using Events or Tokens 2 100.0% 18.0 100.0% 0.155 0.661 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 268 18.22% 47.26 73.51% 1.334 0.6987 0.398
Start of Game Growth 334 15.79% 44.26 75.45% 0.494 0.1048 0.025
Unlimited Undo 1027 31.86% 30.06 60.66% -0.41 -0.3659 0.158
Using Tokens but Not Events 881 14.76% 24.12 72.19% -0.074 -0.101 -0.41

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 324 100.0% 28.57 100.0% 0.192 0.0696 0.263
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 27 1218.52% 32.37 659.26% -0.029 0.2121 -0.613
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 475 36.42% 33.1 68.21% 0.167 -0.8338 -0.024
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 79 100.0% 21.67 100.0% -0.343 -0.5695 -0.079
Downpour Drenches the World 133 100.0% 31.02 100.0% -0.198 0.1272 0.029
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 410 100.0% 28.77 100.0% -0.054 -0.553 -0.088
Eyes Watch From the Trees 187 100.0% 32.75 100.0% 0.332 -0.1292 0.37
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 118 100.0% 28.48 100.0% 0.068 -0.3615 0.122
Finder of Paths Unseen 86 100.0% 23.62 100.0% -0.427 0.3958 -0.074
Fractured Days Split the Sky 102 100.0% 33.99 100.0% 0.234 0.831 -0.52
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 302 100.0% 30.39 100.0% -0.2 -0.2005 -0.584
Heart of the Wildfire 94 100.0% 25.39 100.0% -0.257 0.1269 -1.408
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 244 240.16% 35.23 175.41% 0.315 -0.1805 0.651
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 526 34.98% 31.11 65.02% 0.191 -0.356 -0.033
Lightning's Swift Strike 63 417.46% 28.03 300.0% 0.558 0.7413 -0.938
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 72 40.28% 28.0 62.5% -0.053 -0.5895 -0.317
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 145 30.34% 27.14 52.41% -0.433 -0.7243 1.263
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 75 25.33% 29.63 60.0% 0.022 -0.1262 -0.082
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 202 100.0% 29.78 100.0% 0.037 -0.2144 -0.598
Many Minds Move as One 61 100.0% 36.21 100.0% 0.875 0.718 0.396
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 537 100.0% 36.65 100.0% 0.616 0.6263 1.005
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 89 100.0% 33.81 100.0% 0.363 0.2175 0.453
River Surges in Sunlight 115 179.13% 28.17 141.74% -0.01 0.0279 -0.69
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 32 37.5% 29.97 71.88% 0.135 0.395 -0.637
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 111 36.04% 37.45 64.86% 0.365 0.3144 0.411
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 192 100.0% 31.65 100.0% 0.258 0.084 0.45
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 9 3855.56% 17.0 1966.67% -0.715 -0.1022 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 14 28.57% 19.21 42.86% -0.735 -0.6316 -0.295
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 466 39.48% 31.46 69.74% 0.212 -0.3692 0.339
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 13 7.69% 21.69 61.54% -0.61 -0.5641 -0.269
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 33 27.27% 30.12 66.67% 0.34 0.4207 -0.368
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 11 9.09% 20.27 72.73% 0.129 0.3365 -0.163
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 39 228.21% 37.69 151.28% 0.659 0.7381 0.481
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 68 26.47% 30.35 70.59% 0.067 -0.2555 0.876
Shifting Memory of Ages 281 100.0% 27.68 100.0% -0.296 -0.0311 0.333
Shroud of Silent Mist 67 100.0% 23.63 100.0% -0.264 0.1033 -0.514
Starlight Seeks its Form 205 100.0% 35.09 100.0% 0.347 0.1191 0.658
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 189 100.0% 25.42 100.0% -0.05 -0.4065 0.023
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 116 100.0% 31.22 100.0% 0.042 0.1754 0.322
Thunderspeaker 72 147.22% 31.93 133.33% -0.028 0.0007 0.011
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 48 29.17% 31.67 50.0% -0.434 -0.1948 0.308
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 96 100.0% 32.9 100.0% -0.286 -0.0953 0.09
Vital Strength of the Earth 31 232.26% 22.13 193.55% 0.031 0.5884 -0.256
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 42 38.1% 28.26 52.38% -0.163 0.2471 -0.236
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 17 11.76% 15.71 47.06% -1.173 -0.4445 -0.148
Volcano Looming High 131 100.0% 30.63 100.0% 0.007 0.026 0.023

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exhale Confusion and Delirium 98.0%
Frightful Keening 98.6%
Turmoil's Touch 94.28%
Twist Perceptions 98.01%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2167 17.67 1.94%
II 2142 30.7 46.41%
III 4020 34.75 93.31%
IV 2130 38.22 99.77%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 42
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3731
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 982
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2119
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1900
Lose: Invader deck ran out 19
Lose: Adversary condition 789
Win: Sacrifice victory 6
Lose: Scenario condition 41
Win: Scenario condition 32
Lose: Blight pool ran out 788
Lose: Spirit destroyed 10

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.365 Win Model: -0.227

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.09 Win Model: -0.142
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 6552 38.06% 31.46 65.83%
2 2266 36.87% 31.34 68.31%
3 941 35.6% 29.53 61.85%
4 419 40.57% 34.69 74.22%
5 61 26.23% 29.28 62.3%
6 220 26.82% 28.33 54.55%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-01-31 03:48:31 (Pacific Time)