Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 44 29.55% 37.89 75.0% 0.271 0.2861 0.968
Blitz 0 96 32.98% 26.17 56.25% -0.338 -0.0496 0.302
Dahan Insurrection 4 341 22.87% 28.31 24.34% -0.67 -0.8464 -0.523
Despicable Theft 2 35 14.71% 21.4 45.71% -0.804 0.0571 -0.962
Elemental Invocation 1 107 16.82% 32.91 75.7% -0.11 0.8233 -0.47
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 791 10.37% 42.38 67.38% -0.009 -0.6551 1.248
Powers Long Forgotten 1 54 31.48% 19.72 37.04% -0.932 0.0135 -0.107
Rituals of Terror 3 55 65.45% 26.47 25.45% -1.413 -1.3361 -0.427
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 29 31.03% 24.31 51.72% -0.886 0.229 -0.934
Second Wave 0 294 26.87% 28.78 74.15% 0.485 0.5153 0.193
The Great River 3 41 26.83% 28.34 60.98% -0.216 1.2097 -0.503
Varied Terrains 2 70 30.0% 21.17 48.57% -0.705 0.0702 -0.937
Ward the Shores 2 61 31.15% 21.03 44.26% -0.476 0.5689 -1.326

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 12187 38.13% 31.4 63.62% 0.169 0.4287 0.58
1 Thematic 258 28.68% 27.1 60.85% 0.279 0.7451 -0.201
2 Archipelago 38 60.53% 36.42 21.05% -0.543 -0.0696 -1.123
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2920 37.82% 31.48 65.79% 0.168 0.3531 0.765
2 Coastline 552 34.12% 32.25 71.38% 0.773 0.7561 0.119
2 Fragment 56 56.36% 34.63 71.43% 0.564 0.2476 0.807
2 Heart 38 39.47% 33.55 76.32% 0.609 0.5153 0.765
2 Opposite Shores 997 33.8% 28.76 67.0% 0.282 0.2429 0.167
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 416 33.17% 28.47 67.31% 0.14 0.4272 -0.847
2 Top to Top 142 42.96% 29.71 61.97% 0.287 0.2438 -0.383
3 Archipelago 22 77.27% 50.82 13.64% 0.476 -0.6635 -1.243
3 Coastline 24 25.0% 22.58 58.33% -0.165 -0.9147 0.313
3 Other 131 28.24% 20.09 58.78% -0.317 -0.78 1.64
3 Round (Default) 2130 38.11% 32.3 66.01% 0.171 -0.0492 0.473
3 Sunrise 14 50.0% 22.36 50.0% -0.043 0.0325 0.0
3 Thematic 61 24.59% 30.77 65.57% -0.016 -0.3081 -0.003
4 Archipelago 17 76.47% 30.53 70.59% -0.377 -0.1838 -0.364
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 57.5 100.0% 0.0 -0.3597 0.0
4 Leaf 5 20.0% 23.4 60.0% 0.0 -0.1085 -0.175
4 Other 44 47.73% 32.39 75.0% 0.78 0.5235 0.643
4 Thematic 205 21.95% 25.07 35.61% -0.69 -0.4376 -0.388
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1058 30.91% 32.22 67.96% 0.022 0.2359 0.115
5 Archipelago 15 73.33% 33.6 13.33% -0.747 -0.4732 -1.477
5 Coastline 11 0.0% 27.45 54.55% 0.0 -0.1045 -0.029
5 Other 148 34.27% 29.34 69.59% -0.346 -0.9118 -0.099
5 Thematic 12 41.67% 26.92 33.33% 0.005 -0.4158 0.025
6 Archipelago 27 18.52% 44.44 74.07% 0.473 -0.4595 0.619
6 Coastline 6 16.67% 30.5 50.0% 0.193 -0.6042 -0.51
6 Other 52 32.69% 28.17 65.38% 0.349 0.775 0.939
6 Star 32 9.38% 24.19 71.88% -0.373 -0.2607 0.019
6 Thematic 226 29.6% 22.74 38.94% -0.514 -0.4129 0.012
6 Two Centers (Default) 219 22.37% 28.64 61.64% -0.195 -0.452 -1.291
7 Archipelago 5 20.0% 17.0 20.0% -1.035 0.0363 0.687
7 Other 7 28.57% 14.86 28.57% -0.372 -1.3878 -0.593

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 367 34.59 54.5% -0.095 0.0808 0.234
Aid From Lesser Spirits 301 40.46 63.46% 0.242 0.1881 1.15
All Things Weaken 425 33.08 52.94% -0.317 -0.0239 0.131
Attenuated Essence 406 35.28 55.42% 0.33 0.4133 0.453
Back Against the Wall 355 36.13 55.77% 0.293 0.3404 0.219
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 404 35.2 58.17% 0.46 0.6634 0.624
Burn Brightest Before the End 314 35.2 51.91% -0.204 -0.0163 0.164
Disintegrating Ecosystem 390 32.22 54.1% 0.21 0.6186 0.437
Downward Spiral 420 36.37 60.71% 0.78 0.9078 0.413
Erosion of Will 398 35.22 56.28% 0.389 0.6717 0.255
Intensifying Exploitation 422 33.29 51.66% -0.034 0.214 0.551
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 199 34.26 65.83% 0.188 -0.3275 0.47
Memory Fades to Dust 415 36.97 61.2% 0.741 0.9779 0.669
Power Corrodes the Spirit 428 34.57 56.31% -0.034 0.1843 0.557
Promising Farmlands 377 33.33 52.79% 0.45 0.7445 0.285
Shattered Fragments of Power 312 34.66 53.21% -0.629 -0.428 0.592
Slow Dissolution of Will 392 34.61 54.08% 0.244 0.6282 0.293
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 118 37.31 72.03% 0.125 -0.4565 1.131
The Border of Life and Death 139 34.56 66.91% 0.236 -0.2808 1.228
Thriving Communities 417 32.98 54.44% -0.64 -0.3006 0.361
Thriving Crops 220 32.41 60.45% -0.307 -0.3497 0.066
Unnatural Proliferation 399 35.56 54.39% -0.256 -0.1159 0.395
Untended Land Crumbles 483 34.43 54.87% -0.452 -0.0033 0.535

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 5240 35.58% 31.45 66.3% -0.107 0.755 0.176
B 4994 35.51% 30.95 64.52% 0.276 1.0927 0.339
C 5422 36.44% 31.32 65.79% -0.076 0.6027 0.26
D 4289 35.24% 30.57 64.91% 0.247 1.0517 0.072
E 4612 36.18% 31.73 65.31% 0.136 0.805 0.209
F 3845 36.73% 31.22 65.77% 0.201 0.9999 0.161
G 3776 36.11% 31.37 64.54% -0.09 0.7356 0.115
H 3929 37.49% 31.35 63.15% 0.216 0.989 0.034
East 1023 29.12% 27.09 54.94% -0.224 0.6214 -0.254
Northeast 851 28.89% 26.18 54.17% -0.237 0.5335 -0.546
Northwest 789 28.37% 26.59 53.87% -0.374 0.4336 -0.752
Southeast 346 28.57% 24.3 42.77% 0.061 0.93 0.387
Southwest 368 32.05% 21.35 38.32% 0.367 1.649 -0.418
West 994 29.77% 26.06 52.72% -0.388 0.6079 0.179

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 87 0.0% 18.77 67.82% 0.772 1.5679 -0.315
Not Using Events or Tokens 10 20.0% 24.6 100.0% 0.551 0.9387 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 561 16.02% 47.33 75.04% 0.514 -0.1007 0.632
Start of Game Growth 738 15.86% 46.69 78.32% 0.885 0.303 1.143
Unlimited Undo 2077 29.19% 29.74 61.19% -0.514 -0.4705 0.243
Using Tokens but Not Events 1850 17.53% 23.69 70.49% -0.096 -0.1542 -0.421

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 684 23.75% 28.6 69.59% -0.001 -0.1448 0.177
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 62 38.71% 30.6 54.84% 0.112 -0.6006 -0.457
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 92 39.13% 28.16 60.87% -0.326 -0.0623 -0.124
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 687 34.93% 33.81 67.69% -0.238 -1.0471 0.487
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 239 25.85% 23.92 64.85% -0.42 -0.5844 -0.386
Downpour Drenches the World 469 29.46% 26.8 60.13% -0.134 0.1392 -0.073
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1253 27.93% 29.32 61.37% -0.081 -0.5072 -0.025
Eyes Watch From the Trees 435 35.35% 31.69 72.41% 0.381 0.0213 0.851
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 282 34.29% 28.21 63.83% -0.028 -0.472 0.232
Finder of Paths Unseen 238 36.71% 25.83 50.84% -0.03 0.6585 0.349
Fractured Days Split the Sky 270 26.39% 29.16 47.78% -0.42 0.1691 -0.658
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 789 34.01% 28.23 49.94% -0.03 -0.094 -0.024
Heart of the Wildfire 411 26.76% 27.36 60.83% -0.084 0.2438 -1.151
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 616 37.34% 36.35 68.02% 0.377 0.0817 0.534
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 763 33.16% 30.33 63.04% -0.099 -0.4698 -0.15
Lightning's Swift Strike 190 35.14% 28.12 82.11% 1.164 1.5044 -0.597
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 201 41.71% 37.78 69.65% 0.833 0.3588 0.733
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 326 31.29% 30.77 55.21% -0.234 -0.5944 0.864
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 212 19.34% 34.39 63.21% 0.206 0.2132 0.976
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 639 32.34% 30.89 66.35% -0.014 -0.3093 -0.362
Many Minds Move as One 224 34.42% 28.12 66.52% -0.745 -0.8902 -0.103
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1415 33.29% 35.04 66.29% -0.12 -0.1779 0.796
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 292 29.45% 30.29 68.15% -0.076 -0.24 0.342
River Surges in Sunlight 281 38.04% 29.43 68.33% -0.519 -0.4204 -0.551
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 31 45.16% 35.84 77.42% 0.731 0.5961 0.592
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 98 27.55% 27.15 60.2% -0.731 -0.2545 -1.242
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 317 39.12% 36.17 59.94% 0.3 0.2648 0.371
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 668 23.35% 29.54 61.83% 0.307 0.052 0.578
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 34 58.82% 22.32 70.59% -0.493 0.0287 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 43 30.23% 23.09 65.12% 0.592 0.7335 -0.271
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 681 38.0% 31.79 67.55% 0.035 -0.5436 0.535
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 35 18.18% 19.14 51.43% -0.202 0.1487 -0.774
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 94 32.98% 26.66 64.89% 0.182 0.1662 -0.776
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 25 36.0% 25.84 68.0% -0.133 0.1162 -0.286
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 127 37.3% 32.9 67.72% 0.232 0.1222 0.783
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 211 27.75% 30.64 65.4% -0.366 -0.5281 0.467
Shifting Memory of Ages 636 35.22% 28.56 65.09% 0.133 0.4774 0.27
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 96 45.83% 31.86 61.46% -0.037 -0.3465 0.294
Shroud of Silent Mist 250 32.53% 24.62 66.4% 0.137 0.4681 -0.842
Starlight Seeks its Form 608 36.96% 32.95 66.45% 0.174 -0.0001 0.616
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 534 37.64% 26.64 55.99% -0.118 -0.8273 0.104
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 340 33.92% 28.36 59.71% 0.246 0.4579 -0.019
Thunderspeaker 209 44.02% 29.5 60.77% 0.15 0.1297 -0.046
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 127 39.37% 27.91 44.88% -0.75 -0.5518 -0.1
Towering Roots of the Jungle 171 33.33% 25.77 57.89% -0.009 -0.0371 -0.289
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 327 56.31% 33.65 62.69% 0.345 0.4107 -0.225
Vital Strength of the Earth 86 34.88% 21.19 66.28% 0.004 0.5386 -0.269
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 107 39.25% 33.98 66.36% 0.488 1.0554 0.082
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 64 28.13% 20.3 46.88% -0.204 0.5548 -0.986
Volcano Looming High 367 46.87% 28.09 60.22% -0.431 -0.2939 -0.245

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exhale Confusion and Delirium 97.79%
Frightful Keening 98.71%
Turmoil's Touch 94.02%
Twist Perceptions 98.09%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4926 15.74 2.05%
II 4619 30.48 46.14%
III 8295 34.79 92.71%
IV 4238 38.41 99.72%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 101
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7629
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2077
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4219
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4421
Lose: Invader deck ran out 51
Lose: Adversary condition 1680
Win: Sacrifice victory 12
Lose: Scenario condition 79
Win: Scenario condition 110
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1671
Lose: Spirit destroyed 28

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.369 Win Model: -0.169

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.079 Win Model: 0.069
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 12497 37.82% 31.26 63.4%
2 5176 37.21% 31.09 66.63%
3 2342 37.56% 31.38 65.16%
4 1321 30.58% 31.1 63.21%
5 177 31.4% 28.37 63.84%
6 565 24.91% 26.61 53.45%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)