Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 106 21.7% 30.11 66.98% 0.306 0.6756 -0.249
Blitz 0 249 25.51% 23.33 55.82% -1.157 -0.7252 -0.425
Dahan Insurrection 4 767 16.17% 23.08 23.73% -1.351 -1.377 0.378
Despicable Theft 2 102 23.76% 20.67 47.06% -1.167 -0.5076 -0.304
Elemental Invocation 1 309 21.04% 35.21 73.14% 0.165 0.6127 -0.514
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1635 10.4% 42.77 68.38% 0.251 -0.348 0.34
Powers Long Forgotten 1 117 28.21% 19.27 39.32% 0.0 0.6082 -0.579
Rituals of Terror 3 103 52.43% 28.59 33.98% -0.565 -0.4404 0.215
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 76 31.58% 25.68 51.32% 0.216 0.9542 -0.404
Second Wave 0 938 29.89% 27.35 70.68% 0.085 0.1915 0.606
The Great River 3 118 38.98% 28.47 56.78% -0.829 0.3456 0.616
Varied Terrains 2 168 37.5% 23.73 54.17% 0.423 1.1593 -0.484
Ward the Shores 2 148 33.11% 25.25 53.38% 0.205 0.8869 -0.487

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 23516 37.01% 30.2 61.76% -0.062 0.1623 0.403
1 Thematic 976 25.82% 26.82 62.19% -0.048 0.5018 -0.083
2 Archipelago 62 54.84% 35.66 41.94% 0.185 -0.1687 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6596 39.27% 30.82 64.74% 0.522 0.6328 0.564
2 Coastline 1201 32.33% 31.79 71.52% -0.134 -0.2235 0.586
2 Fragment 160 42.14% 29.04 65.63% 0.389 0.05 -0.066
2 Heart 120 45.0% 35.38 63.33% 0.333 0.0061 -0.781
2 Opposite Shores 2097 36.43% 28.57 64.04% 0.022 0.058 -0.072
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 1175 36.51% 27.71 62.13% 0.091 0.6192 -0.815
2 Top to Top 310 38.19% 30.21 62.9% 0.311 0.1043 0.371
3 Archipelago 45 42.22% 45.22 46.67% 0.325 0.4261 -0.221
3 Coastline 63 25.4% 26.71 58.73% -0.026 -0.5471 0.614
3 Other 215 31.16% 22.18 61.4% 0.421 -0.3209 -0.474
3 Round (Default) 5334 36.95% 30.64 65.04% -0.035 -0.131 0.139
3 Sunrise 27 48.15% 27.7 62.96% 0.301 -0.4382 -0.194
3 Thematic 213 37.56% 29.66 61.5% -0.04 0.2021 -1.087
4 Archipelago 33 48.48% 35.94 75.76% 0.0 0.0808 0.0
4 Coastline 19 42.11% 30.79 63.16% 0.349 0.6086 0.651
4 Leaf 32 62.5% 30.13 59.38% -0.285 -0.8394 0.0
4 Other 104 50.96% 31.94 68.27% -0.454 -1.0018 0.594
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 65.0 100.0% 0.0 0.2322 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 38.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 537 15.64% 20.05 29.42% -1.618 -1.1449 0.762
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2379 31.8% 29.78 64.61% 0.217 0.0285 0.104
5 Archipelago 20 55.0% 35.15 30.0% -0.532 0.9138 0.0
5 Coastline 22 31.82% 29.68 77.27% 0.0 -0.6104 0.0
5 Other 358 29.91% 27.19 65.36% -0.495 -0.8211 0.638
5 Thematic 21 33.33% 23.33 33.33% 0.0 -0.4906 0.0
6 Archipelago 39 20.51% 39.05 64.1% 0.0 -0.9253 -0.576
6 Coastline 13 15.38% 20.46 38.46% -0.144 0.1844 -0.737
6 Other 172 29.24% 25.59 63.95% 0.487 0.7567 -0.434
6 Star 103 15.53% 25.4 59.22% -0.21 0.586 0.488
6 Thematic 520 27.33% 21.5 37.12% 0.612 1.1924 0.045
6 Two Centers (Default) 645 22.93% 23.58 53.8% 0.401 0.3774 -0.359
7 Archipelago 11 9.09% 7.73 9.09% -0.354 0.0522 0.0
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.163
7 Other 14 21.43% 14.93 28.57% -0.386 -0.6419 0.075

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 802 34.29 52.12% -0.086 0.2246 -0.126
Aid From Lesser Spirits 640 39.48 62.97% 0.334 0.347 0.642
All Things Weaken 896 31.04 48.1% -0.838 -0.3646 0.151
Attenuated Essence 858 35.04 56.06% -0.256 -0.1095 0.301
Back Against the Wall 712 36.66 57.16% -0.048 0.0811 0.379
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 889 34.38 59.06% 0.601 0.9215 0.483
Burn Brightest Before the End 650 34.0 53.54% -0.088 0.0891 0.063
Disintegrating Ecosystem 825 31.62 52.24% -0.397 -0.0165 0.453
Downward Spiral 919 33.26 57.13% 0.173 0.3662 0.566
Erosion of Will 813 33.82 52.89% -0.238 0.0994 -0.063
Intensifying Exploitation 858 31.37 49.18% -0.335 0.018 -0.037
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 382 33.27 65.18% -0.395 -0.7581 0.107
Memory Fades to Dust 882 35.74 59.75% 0.471 0.8007 0.734
Power Corrodes the Spirit 927 33.72 55.12% -0.153 0.1141 0.359
Promising Farmlands 790 31.79 49.75% -0.935 -0.4871 0.308
Shattered Fragments of Power 661 34.72 53.1% -0.23 -0.2299 0.755
Slow Dissolution of Will 814 33.75 52.09% -0.218 0.1928 0.147
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 250 36.56 72.4% -0.183 -0.7419 0.991
The Border of Life and Death 276 32.89 63.77% 0.56 0.3154 0.843
Thriving Communities 895 33.6 54.75% -0.004 0.2731 0.621
Thriving Crops 435 31.31 57.47% -0.915 -1.0103 0.334
Unnatural Proliferation 834 35.53 55.52% -0.079 0.1258 0.512
Untended Land Crumbles 921 33.89 54.61% -0.413 -0.1136 0.043

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 11303 35.72% 29.84 63.62% 0.185 1.1768 0.21
B 10967 35.37% 29.58 62.74% -0.061 0.8046 0.078
C 11930 35.93% 30.3 63.85% 0.32 1.0716 0.285
D 9921 34.35% 29.12 63.46% 0.113 1.058 0.086
E 9900 35.54% 29.9 62.93% -0.03 0.7249 0.038
F 8758 35.53% 29.47 63.19% -0.088 0.7862 0.134
G 8373 36.24% 30.06 63.07% 0.42 1.2828 0.315
H 8758 35.75% 29.88 62.71% 0.284 1.0911 0.005
East 2859 28.93% 25.74 52.36% 0.556 1.3017 -0.246
Northeast 2108 31.18% 25.84 52.51% -0.175 0.7187 0.025
Northwest 1833 32.09% 25.76 50.14% -1.25 -0.5072 -0.279
Southeast 1094 24.22% 22.32 41.77% 0.409 1.418 -0.179
Southwest 1129 25.78% 20.01 38.62% -0.282 0.8752 -0.437
West 2653 30.65% 24.31 48.4% -0.263 0.7194 -0.061

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 218 0.0% 17.77 67.89% 0.237 0.9565 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 36 46.67% 27.92 100.0% 0.0 0.4745 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1270 10.2% 47.09 77.4% -0.727 -1.5317 -0.215
Start of Game Growth 1800 12.99% 45.06 78.28% 1.276 0.7089 1.406
Unlimited Undo 4296 29.15% 29.21 61.24% 0.029 0.0561 0.236
Using Tokens but Not Events 3749 21.26% 23.18 67.88% 0.107 0.0801 -0.906

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1287 23.78% 27.75 68.07% 0.792 0.3737 0.017
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 467 31.26% 29.98 61.67% 0.24 -0.4157 1.024
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 49 22.92% 23.12 42.86% -0.431 -0.5882 -0.811
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 512 30.37% 29.39 59.96% 0.145 -0.7151 0.521
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 272 44.12% 26.84 62.13% -0.832 -0.6946 -0.631
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 1079 36.64% 33.47 67.56% 0.058 -0.971 1.317
Dances Up Earthquakes 621 34.89% 26.57 55.07% 0.583 0.547 0.162
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 651 28.48% 24.98 63.44% 0.467 0.1123 0.652
Downpour Drenches the World 1021 27.77% 24.29 54.95% -0.462 -0.3385 -0.475
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2714 27.09% 27.73 58.62% 0.247 -0.3238 0.013
Eyes Watch From the Trees 991 31.71% 29.67 69.93% 0.142 -0.504 0.101
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 769 28.74% 26.95 60.34% -0.409 -0.9031 -0.247
Finder of Paths Unseen 744 24.66% 24.47 64.11% -0.423 0.165 -0.169
Fractured Days Split the Sky 552 27.01% 26.14 48.19% -0.353 0.0938 -0.563
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1968 32.99% 26.88 48.73% 0.171 -0.0142 0.221
Heart of the Wildfire 823 33.54% 23.83 53.1% -0.37 -0.2267 -1.184
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1281 36.38% 34.67 66.12% -0.021 -0.6949 -0.136
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 1247 35.35% 30.7 62.95% 0.295 -0.2325 1.144
Lightning's Swift Strike 418 30.83% 25.83 73.92% 0.487 0.5193 -1.072
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 496 38.66% 37.2 64.52% 0.434 -0.2183 1.098
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 654 33.9% 31.43 57.34% -1.283 -1.7783 0.166
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 403 23.08% 31.57 61.79% -0.09 -0.3294 0.158
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1480 33.76% 27.88 60.81% -0.348 -0.7744 -0.52
Many Minds Move as One 580 30.35% 27.13 61.55% -0.61 -1.1188 -0.244
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2697 30.67% 32.76 66.63% 0.414 0.1445 0.324
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 1668 36.73% 29.11 66.07% -0.044 -0.1578 0.128
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 708 32.15% 27.25 61.02% -1.019 -1.3127 0.087
River Surges in Sunlight 583 34.15% 28.87 69.98% 0.054 -0.117 -0.276
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 237 38.82% 24.35 48.95% -0.617 -0.7278 0.467
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 261 36.02% 27.72 58.62% -0.849 -0.9142 -0.427
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 602 37.54% 33.94 59.14% 0.424 0.2936 0.236
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1123 26.09% 29.04 59.39% 0.031 -0.2331 0.094
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 264 35.11% 29.84 57.95% 0.414 -0.0166 0.248
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 89 58.43% 22.94 60.67% 0.0 0.4284 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 86 34.88% 24.41 63.95% -0.118 -0.1142 -0.155
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 977 36.86% 31.1 67.14% 0.322 -0.4304 -0.253
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 96 24.47% 22.71 59.38% -0.463 -0.7818 -0.104
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 216 34.42% 24.49 56.48% -0.233 -0.4114 0.566
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 58 39.66% 23.76 63.79% -0.222 -0.265 -0.19
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 320 31.35% 30.79 67.81% 0.164 -0.202 -0.078
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 28 35.71% 33.39 78.57% 1.216 0.6752 0.058
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 452 27.17% 28.86 65.27% 0.617 0.3722 0.006
Shifting Memory of Ages 846 34.36% 26.52 62.06% -0.932 -0.6372 -0.268
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 812 43.87% 29.9 54.8% -0.143 -0.3067 -0.202
Shroud of Silent Mist 650 36.21% 21.87 56.31% 0.424 0.6058 -1.135
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 101 42.0% 34.55 66.34% -0.006 -0.4157 0.089
Starlight Seeks its Form 1360 36.18% 31.69 64.93% 0.007 -0.2352 0.879
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1120 39.53% 26.79 56.79% -0.432 -1.3843 0.342
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 858 32.09% 27.1 57.69% -0.096 -0.0536 0.073
Thunderspeaker 547 40.04% 29.02 61.43% 1.0 0.805 0.113
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 331 40.24% 27.0 51.36% 0.602 0.434 -0.342
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1337 27.59% 22.63 49.96% 0.258 0.1474 -0.307
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 674 51.19% 28.82 57.86% -0.042 -0.1926 0.558
Vital Strength of the Earth 234 28.88% 19.67 64.53% -0.35 0.0087 -0.609
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 267 34.59% 30.64 59.55% 0.364 0.6071 -0.159
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 144 29.58% 23.42 59.03% -0.073 0.6087 0.237
Volcano Looming High 857 44.92% 26.57 57.06% 0.635 0.3108 -0.424

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exhale Confusion and Delirium 97.45%
Frightful Keening 98.76%
Turmoil's Touch 93.64%
Twist Perceptions 98.07%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11305 12.25 1.98%
II 10172 29.91 47.74%
III 17126 34.94 92.05%
IV 8554 38.9 99.72%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 224
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 15625
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4717
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8503
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 10499
Lose: Invader deck ran out 97
Lose: Adversary condition 3437
Win: Sacrifice victory 45
Lose: Scenario condition 185
Win: Scenario condition 261
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3498
Lose: Spirit destroyed 66

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.254 Win Model: -0.212

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.406 Win Model: -0.219
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 24647 36.44% 29.98 61.58%
2 11728 38.25% 30.43 65.08%
3 5807 36.86% 30.39 64.92%
4 3062 29.77% 28.09 58.75%
5 411 29.95% 26.54 62.04%
6 1502 24.25% 23.51 49.4%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)