Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 115 43.48% 21.84 50.43% 0.121 0.3081 -0.95
Blitz 0 736 44.21% 23.5 52.45% -1.433 -1.1827 -1.162
Dahan Insurrection 4 385 39.22% 42.15 59.48% -1.073 -1.3382 0.566
Despicable Theft 2 232 42.24% 24.84 48.71% -0.398 0.3707 -0.824
Elemental Invocation 1 824 58.47% 23.16 52.06% -1.063 -0.3878 -1.189
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3704 20.67% 43.44 69.57% 0.615 -0.0128 0.553
Powers Long Forgotten 1 270 44.07% 18.11 36.67% -1.667 -0.7124 -0.767
Rituals of Terror 3 193 52.36% 24.4 38.34% -0.808 -0.6874 -0.538
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 181 61.33% 22.74 44.75% -1.315 -0.4367 -0.301
Second Wave 0 2865 41.92% 25.78 71.13% -0.183 0.0005 0.536
The Great River 3 464 45.26% 28.13 54.96% -0.593 0.5159 -0.911
Varied Terrains 2 241 49.79% 22.78 44.81% -0.636 0.0719 -0.532
Ward the Shores 2 234 43.1% 22.31 41.45% -1.395 -0.1823 -0.224

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 64292 53.67% 29.41 61.08% 0.32 0.5885 0.538
1 Thematic 2437 47.23% 27.21 51.78% 0.226 0.7797 -0.306
2 Archipelago 101 56.7% 29.33 64.36% -0.182 0.4937 -0.601
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13695 55.9% 29.03 61.75% 0.386 0.4726 0.209
2 Coastline 2791 52.64% 30.52 63.53% 0.271 0.1082 0.484
2 Fragment 719 61.26% 38.87 67.04% 1.016 0.8022 1.643
2 Heart 321 59.5% 31.28 61.68% -0.144 -0.5634 0.611
2 Opposite Shores 3764 51.55% 26.74 61.9% -0.026 0.0356 -0.223
2 Thematic 1048 49.52% 25.12 48.57% -0.751 -0.3801 -0.657
2 Top to Top 833 57.71% 30.67 62.91% 0.41 0.2426 -0.022
3 Archipelago 65 56.92% 30.55 56.92% 0.559 -0.3706 -0.369
3 Coastline 106 52.83% 29.33 58.49% -0.005 -0.6072 0.597
3 Other 370 42.82% 26.54 73.51% 0.206 -0.4491 0.613
3 Round (Default) 9803 47.02% 30.67 67.15% 0.237 0.1243 0.033
3 Sunrise 40 52.5% 35.08 75.0% 0.793 0.5608 0.786
3 Thematic 359 56.42% 25.7 54.6% -0.312 -0.3905 -0.2
4 Archipelago 75 41.89% 31.8 80.0% 0.933 0.69 0.426
4 Coastline 46 34.78% 29.39 82.61% 0.0 -0.1257 0.788
4 Leaf 70 57.14% 28.26 55.71% -0.104 -0.1663 -0.378
4 Other 242 43.98% 30.72 78.51% 1.058 0.2087 0.852
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.7112 0.0
4 Thematic 928 39.68% 39.76 68.43% -0.254 -0.4139 -0.638
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4811 42.01% 30.66 68.59% -0.331 -0.5151 -0.115
5 Archipelago 17 64.71% 32.35 88.24% 0.0 0.1934 0.0
5 Coastline 41 9.76% 36.73 68.29% 0.0 -0.5642 -0.596
5 Other 592 41.36% 28.34 72.8% -0.061 -0.7034 -0.066
5 Thematic 65 36.92% 35.75 70.77% -0.469 -0.6043 0.648
6 Archipelago 42 11.9% 36.95 69.05% -1.421 -2.3812 -0.224
6 Coastline 61 3.28% 52.21 78.69% 0.0 -0.5593 -0.623
6 Other 313 32.27% 25.22 66.77% -0.027 -0.2896 -0.178
6 Star 238 44.12% 29.77 63.45% -0.029 0.0527 -0.752
6 Thematic 833 38.19% 31.28 57.86% -0.748 -0.6475 -1.2
6 Two Centers (Default) 1136 26.28% 29.01 68.4% -0.92 -0.4584 -1.378
7 Archipelago 11 18.18% 10.45 18.18% -0.357 -0.5658 -0.035
7 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.401
7 Other 29 24.14% 14.14 41.38% -0.29 -0.9475 -0.798

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3690 29.41 46.67% -0.177 -0.0155 -0.584
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2985 32.54 54.91% 0.19 0.1006 -0.08
All Things Weaken 4148 30.99 53.66% 0.084 0.3742 -0.132
Attenuated Essence 765 28.58 49.28% 0.338 0.322 -0.325
Back Against the Wall 2897 31.7 52.43% 0.185 0.2426 -0.312
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 768 27.88 45.44% 0.139 0.3149 -0.73
Burn Brightest Before the End 566 29.83 50.35% -0.146 -0.1484 -0.418
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3603 28.69 51.12% 0.151 0.4087 -0.479
Downward Spiral 4065 28.0 51.02% -0.129 -0.0364 -0.483
Erosion of Will 3602 27.82 42.12% -0.238 0.0041 -0.802
Intensifying Exploitation 791 27.71 48.17% -0.155 0.0722 -0.377
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1566 34.97 77.33% 1.163 0.5674 0.483
Memory Fades to Dust 4102 29.09 53.71% 0.165 0.3838 -0.35
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4093 27.63 47.18% -0.399 -0.167 -0.565
Promising Farmlands 3560 28.69 50.11% -0.065 0.1666 -0.554
Shattered Fragments of Power 614 29.97 48.7% 0.142 0.2282 -0.437
Slow Dissolution of Will 803 24.54 34.37% -0.688 -0.3634 -1.069
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1069 35.28 81.2% 0.159 -0.4921 0.824
The Border of Life and Death 196 30.45 69.39% 0.956 0.4173 0.299
Thriving Communities 4183 28.06 49.44% 0.17 0.3978 -0.479
Thriving Crops 302 29.8 59.27% 0.661 0.3944 -0.212
Unnatural Proliferation 4238 30.18 51.51% -0.247 -0.0688 -0.439
Untended Land Crumbles 4089 27.36 49.18% -0.077 0.1488 -0.582

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 20008 50.28% 28.81 62.7% -0.075 0.9018 -0.272
B 24878 48.31% 29.16 65.19% 0.056 0.943 -0.395
C 21237 47.58% 28.93 64.95% -0.114 0.5874 -0.484
D 27077 53.24% 28.46 62.07% -0.012 0.9034 -0.472
E 30575 49.94% 32.08 64.37% 0.42 1.1896 -0.025
F 24000 49.74% 31.44 66.6% 0.294 1.1445 0.098
G 14203 47.58% 27.88 61.22% -0.626 0.1804 -1.373
H 13141 48.94% 28.44 63.3% -0.391 0.4294 -0.675
East 4079 43.97% 30.75 55.97% -0.21 0.6259 -0.617
Northeast 2735 44.09% 32.5 59.45% 0.098 0.878 -0.277
Northwest 2906 44.54% 32.88 60.6% 0.083 0.9494 0.168
Southeast 1789 37.84% 29.95 54.05% -0.928 -0.0797 -0.587
Southwest 1691 41.16% 28.68 55.29% -0.689 0.5962 -0.678
West 4200 45.47% 30.18 56.86% -0.662 0.312 -0.34

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 977 0.0% 19.74 74.72% -0.331 0.3625 -0.012
Not Using Events or Tokens 72 47.37% 20.53 73.61% -0.072 0.3122 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2185 16.36% 38.43 80.5% -0.0 -0.6784 0.122
Start of Game Growth 3439 20.36% 36.84 80.37% 0.773 0.2623 0.144
Unlimited Undo 12268 44.22% 32.76 68.61% 0.344 0.2597 0.571
Using Tokens but Not Events 10708 37.47% 25.22 70.45% 0.331 0.324 -0.095

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5286 42.34% 32.56 69.73% 0.421 0.3527 0.408
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 384 39.58% 30.31 57.81% 0.372 -0.1423 0.372
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1121 51.96% 25.22 61.2% -0.38 -0.2026 -0.861
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 302 47.68% 29.4 56.62% 0.06 -0.7996 -0.149
Dances Up Earthquakes 230 50.43% 29.43 65.22% 0.439 0.3823 -0.225
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1855 39.08% 28.84 70.67% 0.498 0.3132 0.221
Downpour Drenches the World 1468 42.07% 26.52 55.72% 0.288 0.5557 -0.237
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1745 43.33% 28.39 57.88% 0.295 -0.2917 -0.255
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2752 38.36% 32.18 77.0% 0.95 0.5069 0.447
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1938 41.29% 29.67 70.49% 0.21 -0.2599 0.177
Finder of Paths Unseen 2016 51.66% 26.56 52.13% -0.286 0.4077 0.063
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1578 41.37% 31.39 58.81% -0.465 0.1897 -0.266
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1680 46.87% 28.85 64.11% -0.319 -0.4724 0.004
Heart of the Wildfire 2447 55.13% 26.24 58.32% -0.178 0.1648 -0.372
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5699 39.39% 35.8 75.84% 0.384 -0.0055 0.738
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 345 38.84% 28.86 58.55% 0.503 0.1865 0.45
Lightning's Swift Strike 1070 48.66% 26.38 68.69% 0.103 0.3266 -0.44
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 583 49.65% 31.05 58.32% -0.806 -1.1494 -0.149
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 667 44.78% 31.69 70.76% -0.16 -0.4807 0.622
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 981 40.33% 37.86 70.13% -0.166 -0.1694 0.41
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4677 45.36% 31.54 68.31% 0.068 -0.1504 -0.129
Many Minds Move as One 1832 43.01% 28.27 69.16% 0.205 0.0049 0.458
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3635 44.17% 32.75 66.44% 0.023 0.1789 0.373
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 293 45.73% 28.88 57.0% 0.077 0.1422 -0.094
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2134 45.05% 28.51 67.48% -0.334 -0.4316 0.363
River Surges in Sunlight 2004 49.8% 33.27 68.31% -0.237 -0.192 0.506
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 137 51.09% 29.49 47.45% -0.109 0.079 -0.252
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 957 42.87% 28.5 61.13% -0.477 -0.2383 -0.972
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 679 50.96% 32.04 58.32% 0.401 0.2288 0.336
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2450 43.7% 31.73 65.51% -0.009 -0.1517 0.294
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 113 58.41% 31.64 56.64% 0.236 0.0334 0.949
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 341 60.48% 23.87 61.88% -0.068 0.4965 -0.474
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 132 55.73% 25.48 56.06% -0.27 -0.4148 -0.085
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 269 46.47% 31.13 63.94% 0.095 -0.3546 0.238
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 130 57.69% 27.65 57.69% -0.331 -0.3828 -0.156
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 471 48.6% 27.36 65.39% -0.814 -0.9224 -0.919
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 366 49.86% 26.66 66.39% 0.013 0.2098 -0.08
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1933 41.17% 32.65 71.18% -0.219 -0.1299 0.006
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 435 41.34% 26.71 57.93% -0.441 -0.5717 -0.095
Shifting Memory of Ages 1746 48.88% 27.16 61.91% -0.506 -0.2202 -0.423
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 283 49.12% 25.9 53.0% -0.107 -0.1249 0.428
Shroud of Silent Mist 1796 53.34% 24.44 61.53% 0.046 0.3933 -0.34
Starlight Seeks its Form 2862 45.16% 33.91 68.06% -0.035 -0.1343 0.746
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4630 45.72% 29.86 64.45% 0.122 -0.3776 -0.352
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2106 40.74% 31.71 71.42% 0.149 0.3204 0.559
Thunderspeaker 2206 37.2% 30.17 68.86% 0.301 0.3515 -0.32
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 198 36.55% 22.04 46.46% -0.358 -0.2345 -0.248
Towering Roots of the Jungle 502 51.2% 26.01 51.39% 0.284 0.3901 -0.25
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2552 64.81% 26.3 53.76% -0.451 -0.3956 -0.075
Vital Strength of the Earth 1042 41.11% 23.7 68.14% 0.734 1.3265 -0.341
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 448 50.56% 29.65 54.69% 0.328 0.8228 0.289
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 518 49.9% 25.04 58.49% -0.13 0.5327 -0.415
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 648 46.3% 26.96 57.56% 0.195 -0.1596 -0.313

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Molten Stone 86.09%
Lava Flows 88.95%
Pyroclastic Bombardment 96.09%
Rain of Ash 71.46%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 26442 13.6 13.28%
II 44999 30.16 65.54%
III 30366 34.82 89.14%
IV 8495 38.65 99.76%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3379
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 25804
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 28332
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8013
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 11991
Lose: Invader deck ran out 368
Lose: Adversary condition 7055
Win: Sacrifice victory 2703
Lose: Scenario condition 570
Win: Scenario condition 317
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14827
Lose: Spirit destroyed 6943

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.296 Win Model: -0.152

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.107 Win Model: 0.128
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 67006 53.43% 29.3 60.64%
2 23235 54.89% 29.15 61.89%
3 10641 47.27% 30.44 67.0%
4 6155 41.48% 32.05 69.39%
5 635 38.39% 26.74 68.82%
6 2630 31.4% 30.02 64.68%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-22 02:53:19 (Pacific Time)