Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 43 62.79% 24.37 46.51% -0.93 -1.3768 0.0
Blitz 0 413 50.37% 29.09 63.92% -0.701 -0.2442 -1.232
Dahan Insurrection 4 248 41.13% 47.97 67.34% -0.324 -0.3042 0.281
Despicable Theft 2 103 55.34% 32.49 59.22% -0.743 -0.2304 -0.833
Elemental Invocation 1 558 66.19% 26.83 62.01% -0.392 0.3072 -1.357
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2433 22.21% 48.31 78.38% -0.177 -0.1356 0.344
Powers Long Forgotten 1 104 66.35% 28.8 63.46% -0.763 -0.2009 -0.682
Rituals of Terror 3 83 71.6% 36.98 56.63% -0.836 -1.124 -0.147
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 81 81.48% 31.99 62.96% -0.001 0.4293 0.359
Second Wave 0 1516 45.35% 27.8 77.37% -0.317 0.1447 0.413
The Great River 3 301 54.15% 33.78 65.12% -0.251 1.5157 -1.142
Varied Terrains 2 54 74.07% 33.91 70.37% -0.811 0.0168 -0.181
Ward the Shores 2 104 58.82% 32.68 60.58% -0.269 0.475 -0.147

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 40492 56.84% 32.98 68.23% 0.359 0.9091 0.178
1 Thematic 1324 57.87% 32.42 63.97% 1.046 2.0434 -0.535
2 Archipelago 51 58.0% 36.49 88.24% 0.464 1.0816 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7449 59.82% 32.25 69.47% 0.159 0.5687 -0.083
2 Coastline 1517 56.46% 34.32 71.13% 0.231 0.3669 0.244
2 Fragment 476 65.68% 45.17 75.42% -0.212 -0.2166 1.484
2 Heart 193 64.77% 33.17 67.88% -0.299 0.1762 0.085
2 Opposite Shores 2069 52.33% 30.3 71.92% 0.183 0.5365 -0.425
2 Thematic 530 60.34% 31.75 62.45% -0.63 0.2991 -0.76
2 Top to Top 457 60.13% 34.03 66.74% 0.079 0.2057 -0.255
3 Archipelago 41 65.85% 33.73 65.85% 0.273 0.4523 -0.202
3 Coastline 66 65.15% 33.17 62.12% 0.399 -0.0174 0.659
3 Other 243 45.87% 29.39 83.54% 0.117 -0.6022 -0.271
3 Round (Default) 5246 47.42% 33.51 74.88% -0.379 -0.1852 -0.155
3 Sunrise 26 61.54% 37.31 76.92% -0.67 -0.5216 0.446
3 Thematic 168 65.48% 33.67 70.24% -0.621 -0.6063 0.177
4 Archipelago 45 36.36% 33.07 84.44% 0.34 -0.0793 -0.709
4 Coastline 26 30.77% 31.58 88.46% 0.319 0.246 0.543
4 Leaf 24 54.17% 33.0 66.67% 0.266 0.1695 -0.766
4 Other 167 44.58% 34.05 85.03% 0.309 -0.3072 0.376
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.152 0.1068 0.0
4 Thematic 667 39.76% 46.33 77.21% -0.4 -0.1174 -0.443
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2652 42.47% 35.29 77.71% -0.672 -0.4844 0.053
5 Archipelago 8 62.5% 32.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3838 0.0
5 Coastline 21 9.52% 49.67 90.48% 0.248 0.3554 0.353
5 Other 233 43.53% 34.31 81.97% -0.181 -0.8119 0.687
5 Thematic 31 45.16% 43.48 83.87% 0.682 -0.2926 0.579
6 Archipelago 11 18.18% 44.82 100.0% 0.092 0.0218 0.0
6 Coastline 6 0.0% 46.67 100.0% 0.027 -0.9225 0.055
6 Other 124 29.03% 28.04 83.06% 0.642 0.3995 -0.953
6 Star 95 45.26% 36.78 75.79% -0.253 0.2932 -0.664
6 Thematic 301 39.33% 41.95 81.73% -0.748 -0.7025 -0.235
6 Two Centers (Default) 412 26.96% 35.53 87.62% -1.369 -0.9056 -0.598
7 Archipelago 2 50.0% 31.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.221 0.0
7 Other 6 50.0% 32.5 83.33% 0.013 -0.3473 -0.19

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 2607 30.75 48.98% -1.519 0.211 -1.318
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2101 33.79 56.73% -0.852 0.7237 -0.788
All Things Weaken 2866 32.57 56.35% -1.023 0.8551 -0.927
Back Against the Wall 2027 32.42 52.84% -1.048 0.5892 -1.077
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1 0.0 0.0% -0.367 1.0811 -0.491
Burn Brightest Before the End 1 22.0 0.0% -0.442 0.5666 0.0
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2447 29.88 52.31% -1.413 0.4302 -1.307
Downward Spiral 2750 29.52 53.05% -1.047 0.6511 -1.243
Erosion of Will 2554 29.04 43.15% -1.585 0.3152 -1.521
Intensifying Exploitation 1 24.0 0.0% -0.455 0.4337 -0.678
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1070 36.97 81.78% -0.002 0.4979 -0.192
Memory Fades to Dust 2732 30.73 56.77% -0.836 1.0403 -1.073
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2770 29.34 49.1% -1.431 0.274 -1.326
Promising Farmlands 2501 30.3 52.7% -1.05 0.8261 -1.2
Shattered Fragments of Power 2 43.0 50.0% -0.108 1.0479 -0.071
Slow Dissolution of Will 2 41.0 50.0% -0.73 0.7408 0.161
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 753 37.54 86.45% 0.208 0.418 0.22
Thriving Communities 2821 29.74 51.22% -1.232 0.639 -1.193
Unnatural Proliferation 2934 31.53 53.2% -1.128 0.626 -1.239
Untended Land Crumbles 2792 28.77 51.15% -1.255 0.5591 -1.388

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 11152 53.84% 32.71 71.05% -0.066 0.7118 -0.137
B 14246 51.0% 32.81 73.47% 0.199 0.9025 -0.312
C 11827 50.0% 32.31 72.58% 0.131 0.6586 -0.391
D 15550 56.75% 31.92 69.36% -0.079 0.6556 -0.391
E 17338 52.82% 35.78 71.39% 0.303 0.8872 0.05
F 13866 51.52% 35.23 74.3% 0.309 1.0165 0.157
G 7660 52.52% 31.53 71.49% 0.128 0.7696 -0.544
H 7101 53.33% 32.08 71.92% -0.099 0.5457 -0.334
East 2130 50.14% 38.35 70.14% -0.87 -0.2781 -0.318
Northeast 1469 48.52% 40.6 72.63% -0.568 0.1089 -0.609
Northwest 1579 49.1% 40.46 73.4% 0.326 0.7634 0.317
Southeast 739 44.14% 38.49 75.1% 0.375 1.038 -0.35
Southwest 746 46.57% 37.68 75.07% -0.121 1.0507 -0.041
West 2247 50.86% 38.15 71.12% 0.186 1.0033 -0.321

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 440 0.0% 23.69 82.95% -1.571 0.5048 0.405
Not Using Events or Tokens 33 56.0% 17.61 66.67% 0.328 0.4995 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1395 15.67% 43.99 91.54% 1.084 0.0249 -0.092
Start of Game Growth 2249 19.97% 41.45 89.77% 0.641 0.2185 -0.027
Unlimited Undo 7192 45.48% 36.62 79.35% 0.686 0.2702 0.785
Using Tokens but Not Events 5706 38.89% 29.48 81.72% -0.458 -0.3427 0.167

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 3122 100.0% 34.99 100.0% -0.104 -0.2832 -0.133
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 652 100.0% 29.48 100.0% -0.942 -0.9274 -0.752
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1072 100.0% 32.79 100.0% 0.117 -0.1282 -0.336
Downpour Drenches the World 440 100.0% 36.39 100.0% -0.052 0.3361 0.072
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 10 100.0% 40.1 100.0% -0.527 -0.2913 0.374
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1507 100.0% 35.17 100.0% 0.14 -0.333 0.182
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1038 100.0% 34.03 100.0% 0.068 -0.3788 0.276
Finder of Paths Unseen 559 100.0% 37.18 100.0% -0.08 0.284 0.315
Fractured Days Split the Sky 855 100.0% 38.86 100.0% 0.604 0.7074 0.42
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 787 100.0% 34.37 100.0% -0.433 -0.4976 -0.007
Heart of the Wildfire 1428 100.0% 30.78 100.0% -0.709 -0.45 -0.354
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3739 100.0% 38.3 100.0% 0.189 -0.3942 0.811
Lightning's Swift Strike 581 198.47% 29.53 136.83% -0.471 -0.2029 -0.249
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 155 52.6% 38.63 80.0% 0.032 -0.7821 0.418
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 396 46.67% 35.83 81.06% 0.318 -0.2246 0.635
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 546 44.85% 42.45 80.22% 0.398 -0.0795 0.387
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3043 100.0% 34.73 100.0% -0.65 -0.7713 -0.243
Many Minds Move as One 994 100.0% 32.38 100.0% 0.497 -0.1256 0.282
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2034 100.0% 36.68 100.0% 0.101 -0.0265 0.202
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1206 100.0% 32.15 100.0% 0.294 0.211 0.172
River Surges in Sunlight 1273 130.09% 37.54 116.73% 0.511 0.3196 0.43
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 562 44.85% 32.61 69.75% -0.46 -0.172 -1.084
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 158 48.41% 42.7 72.78% 0.101 -0.262 0.565
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1403 100.0% 36.18 100.0% 0.765 0.5917 -0.111
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 161 289.02% 26.52 220.5% 0.213 0.6062 -0.794
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 60 67.8% 31.3 51.67% 0.801 0.8978 0.212
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 51 58.82% 37.39 80.39% 0.841 0.9161 0.148
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 301 51.0% 30.87 71.76% -0.018 -0.0536 -1.251
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 245 49.59% 29.24 71.43% 0.425 0.4288 -0.16
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1238 100.08% 37.21 100.0% 0.002 -0.1978 0.413
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1 0.0% 25.0 100.0% 0.06 0.3549 0.0
Shifting Memory of Ages 929 100.0% 31.3 100.0% -0.469 -0.2396 -0.589
Shroud of Silent Mist 1103 100.0% 28.71 100.0% -0.695 -0.5114 -0.106
Starlight Seeks its Form 1095 100.0% 37.16 100.0% 0.292 0.1357 0.781
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2935 100.0% 34.11 100.0% 0.489 0.2256 -0.431
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1257 100.0% 36.49 100.0% -0.027 0.036 0.65
Thunderspeaker 1201 100.0% 34.66 100.0% 0.041 -0.035 0.136
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1378 100.0% 30.88 100.0% 0.006 -0.2558 -0.295
Vital Strength of the Earth 590 134.35% 27.25 124.41% -0.252 0.5012 -0.531
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 129 55.04% 35.45 61.24% -0.561 0.017 -0.13
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 312 53.38% 29.53 69.87% -0.512 0.6382 -0.23

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Molten Stone 86.06%
Lava Flows 88.97%
Pyroclastic Bombardment 95.95%
Rain of Ash 68.82%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10436 22.63 22.76%
II 29779 31.12 68.31%
III 19631 34.7 89.28%
IV 5338 37.97 99.85%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2279
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 16672
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 19542
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5003
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 45
Lose: Invader deck ran out 262
Lose: Adversary condition 4747
Win: Sacrifice victory 1856
Lose: Scenario condition 411
Win: Scenario condition 223
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9752
Lose: Spirit destroyed 4392

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.063 Win Model: -0.224

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.173 Win Model: 0.387
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 41940 56.91% 32.98 68.07%
2 12775 58.53% 32.74 70.07%
3 5734 48.13% 33.39 74.92%
4 3587 41.29% 37.3 78.51%
5 198 39.59% 32.67 82.83%
6 950 32.7% 36.97 84.32%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-07 12:49:13 (Pacific Time)