Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 101 45.54% 22.26 49.5% 0.0 -0.6503 -0.736
Blitz 0 691 45.81% 24.42 54.41% -1.021 -0.5853 -1.104
Dahan Insurrection 4 365 39.45% 43.41 61.37% -0.17 -0.6703 0.526
Despicable Theft 2 215 42.79% 25.45 49.3% 0.037 0.5739 -0.782
Elemental Invocation 1 791 59.52% 23.7 53.35% -0.181 0.6347 -1.202
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3577 20.73% 43.68 69.81% 0.719 0.0783 0.522
Powers Long Forgotten 1 251 44.22% 18.43 37.85% -0.162 0.4372 -0.75
Rituals of Terror 3 185 51.91% 24.62 38.92% -1.65 -1.7333 -0.496
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 167 62.28% 23.47 46.71% -0.349 0.4475 -0.31
Second Wave 0 2715 41.94% 26.01 71.82% -0.011 0.0928 0.593
The Great River 3 446 45.52% 28.39 55.38% -0.74 0.5606 -0.952
Varied Terrains 2 213 50.23% 23.34 45.54% -0.682 0.0336 -0.64
Ward the Shores 2 211 44.5% 23.25 43.6% -1.227 -0.46 -0.386

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 60564 53.89% 29.84 61.9% 0.222 0.4745 0.523
1 Thematic 2310 47.52% 27.53 52.6% 0.215 0.8172 -0.351
2 Archipelago 96 56.52% 29.39 64.58% 0.0 0.4468 -0.498
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12779 55.97% 29.32 62.32% 0.179 0.2742 0.196
2 Coastline 2599 52.46% 30.93 64.37% 0.537 0.2498 0.472
2 Fragment 691 62.84% 39.34 66.57% -0.712 -0.7515 1.628
2 Heart 306 59.48% 30.69 61.44% 1.243 1.0517 0.487
2 Opposite Shores 3508 51.71% 27.16 63.03% 0.029 0.1239 -0.215
2 Thematic 977 51.18% 25.84 49.74% -0.785 -0.1365 -0.649
2 Top to Top 795 58.33% 31.12 63.14% 0.64 0.3339 -0.016
3 Archipelago 62 58.06% 29.53 54.84% 0.0 -0.1362 -0.71
3 Coastline 104 52.88% 29.67 58.65% 0.154 -0.2808 0.673
3 Other 352 42.17% 26.55 74.15% -0.298 -1.3421 0.459
3 Round (Default) 9130 46.94% 31.05 67.86% 0.266 0.2114 0.068
3 Sunrise 35 51.43% 34.83 74.29% 0.0 -0.1865 0.781
3 Thematic 325 57.1% 26.34 56.31% 0.057 -0.0038 -0.11
4 Archipelago 70 37.68% 31.79 78.57% 0.245 -0.2268 0.499
4 Coastline 46 34.78% 29.39 82.61% 0.571 -0.0341 0.777
4 Leaf 55 63.64% 27.6 56.36% -0.03 0.457 -0.519
4 Other 235 44.44% 30.83 78.72% -0.258 -1.0458 0.88
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.0 0.4685 0.0
4 Thematic 902 39.82% 40.07 68.96% 0.091 0.171 -0.548
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4519 42.34% 31.21 69.4% -0.203 -0.2226 -0.063
5 Archipelago 17 64.71% 32.35 88.24% 0.0 -0.234 0.0
5 Coastline 40 10.0% 37.02 67.5% -0.338 -1.2964 -0.615
5 Other 543 41.04% 28.5 73.66% 0.24 -0.05 -0.085
5 Thematic 59 38.98% 37.42 76.27% 0.505 0.4281 0.675
6 Archipelago 37 13.51% 40.41 75.68% -0.238 -1.3124 -0.17
6 Coastline 61 3.28% 52.21 78.69% 0.793 -0.2222 -0.608
6 Other 296 32.77% 25.27 66.89% -0.384 -0.4282 -0.199
6 Star 201 46.27% 30.89 65.67% -1.071 -0.5177 -0.686
6 Thematic 755 35.9% 31.83 59.74% -0.737 -0.3381 -1.152
6 Two Centers (Default) 1017 25.52% 29.4 70.11% -0.629 -0.1247 -1.172
7 Archipelago 10 20.0% 11.5 20.0% -0.468 -0.762 -0.045
7 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.431
7 Other 28 25.0% 14.64 42.86% 0.154 -0.3491 -0.789

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3514 29.63 47.01% -0.31 -0.1666 -0.639
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2837 32.79 55.02% 0.248 0.1723 -0.123
All Things Weaken 3954 31.16 53.87% -0.325 -0.0773 -0.183
Attenuated Essence 649 28.49 49.61% 0.131 0.2023 -0.421
Back Against the Wall 2769 31.8 52.4% 0.667 0.6475 -0.339
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 666 28.23 46.1% -0.144 0.0396 -0.728
Burn Brightest Before the End 469 29.95 51.39% 0.609 0.7568 -0.525
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3402 28.82 51.29% 0.321 0.6606 -0.544
Downward Spiral 3824 28.36 51.46% 0.35 0.4666 -0.502
Erosion of Will 3441 28.05 42.4% 0.037 0.2398 -0.816
Intensifying Exploitation 674 28.34 49.55% 0.32 0.5364 -0.428
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1497 35.14 77.49% 0.651 0.2976 0.42
Memory Fades to Dust 3887 29.34 54.0% -0.221 0.0391 -0.415
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3879 28.01 47.72% -0.343 -0.2072 -0.597
Promising Farmlands 3392 28.86 50.47% 0.086 0.4869 -0.575
Shattered Fragments of Power 522 29.85 48.28% -0.297 -0.1289 -0.571
Slow Dissolution of Will 678 24.48 35.1% -0.673 -0.1202 -1.16
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1027 35.82 81.99% 0.521 -0.0506 0.805
The Border of Life and Death 169 30.43 67.46% 0.596 0.2205 0.239
Thriving Communities 3975 28.27 49.43% 0.122 0.4218 -0.522
Thriving Crops 253 28.81 58.1% 0.873 0.6645 -0.344
Unnatural Proliferation 4050 30.47 51.95% 0.26 0.424 -0.484
Untended Land Crumbles 3882 27.49 49.48% -0.034 0.2344 -0.614

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 18650 50.41% 29.27 63.53% -0.086 0.8355 -0.243
B 23281 48.44% 29.52 65.99% 0.092 0.9276 -0.382
C 19849 47.71% 29.33 65.74% 0.184 0.884 -0.462
D 25294 53.5% 28.88 62.91% -0.056 0.7948 -0.45
E 28640 50.09% 32.47 65.07% 0.329 0.9985 -0.016
F 22585 49.8% 31.81 67.26% 0.416 1.1838 0.105
G 13285 47.81% 28.23 61.89% -0.26 0.5263 -1.402
H 12192 49.36% 28.93 64.21% -0.38 0.3696 -0.637
East 3806 43.92% 31.43 57.41% -0.277 0.5596 -0.613
Northeast 2533 43.74% 33.21 61.11% -0.079 0.5255 -0.259
Northwest 2716 44.48% 33.43 61.97% 0.368 1.2761 0.248
Southeast 1663 36.92% 30.56 55.5% 0.755 1.4203 -0.561
Southwest 1569 40.47% 29.15 56.72% -0.423 0.8863 -0.614
West 3951 45.54% 30.66 57.99% -0.999 -0.2225 -0.331

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 904 0.0% 19.87 75.66% 0.515 1.2172 -0.026
Not Using Events or Tokens 60 50.0% 21.37 73.33% 0.0 0.4973 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2094 16.4% 38.79 80.99% -0.965 -1.4449 -0.108
Start of Game Growth 3270 20.29% 37.08 81.22% 1.3 0.7559 0.211
Unlimited Undo 11809 44.5% 33.03 69.02% 0.218 0.1325 0.561
Using Tokens but Not Events 10072 37.77% 25.61 70.92% 0.228 0.0952 -0.101

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 4997 42.62% 32.84 70.2% 0.305 0.2019 0.358
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 288 36.81% 31.29 59.38% 0.54 0.0652 0.515
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1083 52.59% 25.54 61.96% -0.031 0.1429 -0.808
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 257 48.25% 30.61 58.75% -0.232 -0.9026 -0.25
Dances Up Earthquakes 43 41.86% 30.26 62.79% 0.247 0.0229 -0.88
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1748 39.01% 29.02 71.17% 0.079 -0.0969 0.18
Downpour Drenches the World 1373 41.7% 26.53 55.57% -0.484 -0.2171 -0.26
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1487 44.46% 28.57 57.77% 0.216 -0.216 -0.297
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2555 38.46% 32.4 77.22% 0.768 0.4066 0.449
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1816 41.48% 30.04 71.7% -0.249 -0.6644 0.19
Finder of Paths Unseen 1850 51.11% 27.22 53.24% -0.41 0.3495 0.141
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1481 41.25% 32.23 60.16% -0.372 0.2216 -0.204
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1590 47.38% 29.45 65.47% -0.315 -0.3721 0.081
Heart of the Wildfire 2286 55.64% 26.83 58.88% 0.012 0.3515 -0.314
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5483 39.23% 35.97 76.31% 0.088 -0.3863 0.728
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 284 42.61% 29.88 58.8% 0.521 -0.0754 0.571
Lightning's Swift Strike 989 48.4% 26.66 69.16% -0.128 0.0781 -0.373
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 520 50.1% 31.73 60.0% 0.668 0.1678 -0.162
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 616 45.9% 32.44 72.08% -0.081 -0.421 0.687
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 922 39.43% 38.69 71.91% -0.052 0.0199 0.5
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4430 45.51% 31.87 69.07% 0.235 0.0851 -0.066
Many Minds Move as One 1702 42.12% 28.56 70.21% -0.072 -0.2508 0.411
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3517 44.32% 33.09 67.05% -0.255 -0.1035 0.412
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 36 41.67% 29.89 63.89% 0.043 0.2623 0.049
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1985 44.7% 28.86 69.02% 0.206 0.1548 0.407
River Surges in Sunlight 1923 49.58% 33.79 69.16% -0.33 -0.2893 0.551
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 112 55.36% 29.63 45.54% 0.205 0.4136 -0.407
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 906 42.41% 28.89 62.14% -0.049 0.0823 -0.917
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 629 49.44% 32.08 58.82% 0.549 0.5857 0.335
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2340 43.68% 32.01 66.07% 0.312 0.2147 0.296
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 22 63.64% 34.05 68.18% 0.256 -0.1723 0.217
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 315 59.94% 24.41 62.54% -0.284 0.2439 -0.409
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 129 56.25% 25.61 56.59% 0.356 0.2499 0.02
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 216 45.83% 31.7 66.67% 0.384 -0.0767 0.231
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 126 57.14% 28.13 58.73% -0.537 -0.5506 -0.159
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 449 48.76% 28.16 67.26% 0.159 -0.012 -0.855
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 351 49.71% 26.69 66.67% 0.276 0.5297 -0.086
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1839 40.71% 33.19 72.16% -0.002 -0.0791 0.057
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 381 42.74% 27.87 59.84% 0.551 0.3736 -0.015
Shifting Memory of Ages 1666 48.7% 27.44 62.79% -0.155 0.1971 -0.393
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 208 48.08% 28.24 59.13% 0.379 0.2237 0.512
Shroud of Silent Mist 1672 53.5% 24.94 62.5% -0.717 -0.2994 -0.301
Starlight Seeks its Form 2659 44.68% 34.61 69.69% 0.019 -0.0597 0.84
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4430 45.85% 30.2 65.08% -0.048 -0.5336 -0.372
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1991 41.16% 32.22 72.17% -0.086 -0.0185 0.597
Thunderspeaker 2084 37.84% 30.37 68.76% -0.124 -0.1287 -0.29
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 181 37.78% 22.39 47.51% -0.97 -0.6605 -0.309
Towering Roots of the Jungle 376 50.53% 26.04 50.0% -0.599 -0.402 -0.376
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2420 65.09% 26.64 54.34% -0.606 -0.4731 -0.05
Vital Strength of the Earth 973 42.07% 23.64 67.63% 0.546 1.0245 -0.322
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 408 50.12% 29.47 54.17% 0.081 0.5372 0.324
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 481 51.46% 25.71 59.88% -0.701 -0.0702 -0.363
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 554 46.93% 27.36 57.4% 0.012 -0.2943 -0.301

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Molten Stone 86.12%
Lava Flows 88.95%
Pyroclastic Bombardment 96.11%
Rain of Ash 71.21%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 24053 14.38 13.98%
II 42650 30.32 65.89%
III 28747 34.84 89.16%
IV 8082 38.6 99.76%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3231
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 24441
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 26998
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7622
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 10127
Lose: Invader deck ran out 353
Lose: Adversary condition 6716
Win: Sacrifice victory 2558
Lose: Scenario condition 550
Win: Scenario condition 308
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14014
Lose: Spirit destroyed 6614

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.125 Win Model: -0.141

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.005 Win Model: 0.114
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 63131 53.65% 29.73 61.46%
2 21723 55.09% 29.49 62.54%
3 9910 47.19% 30.81 67.71%
4 5814 41.71% 32.58 70.14%
5 576 37.98% 27.01 70.31%
6 2378 30.56% 30.52 66.27%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-16 03:12:48 (Pacific Time)