Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 83 48.19% 21.64 46.99% 0.606 0.6211 -0.72
Blitz 0 627 46.84% 25.49 56.62% -0.481 -0.193 -1.051
Dahan Insurrection 4 339 40.12% 44.54 62.83% -0.99 -1.167 0.454
Despicable Theft 2 180 45.56% 26.29 50.0% -1.166 -0.3049 -0.799
Elemental Invocation 1 723 60.28% 24.02 54.36% -1.094 -0.1615 -1.258
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3148 21.69% 44.95 73.22% 0.858 0.2117 0.493
Powers Long Forgotten 1 204 46.57% 19.33 40.2% -1.221 -0.2754 -0.905
Rituals of Terror 3 157 55.48% 26.56 42.04% -0.513 -0.4364 -0.342
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 140 67.14% 24.17 47.86% -0.592 0.5237 -0.189
Second Wave 0 2394 42.91% 26.05 72.72% 0.355 0.3853 0.47
The Great River 3 394 48.73% 30.3 58.88% -0.809 0.6162 -0.94
Varied Terrains 2 158 54.43% 23.82 46.2% -0.435 0.3398 -0.727
Ward the Shores 2 182 46.67% 24.41 46.15% -0.715 0.3291 -0.307

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 55107 54.46% 30.52 62.98% 0.114 0.3744 0.373
1 Thematic 1963 51.27% 27.67 55.53% 0.479 0.9447 -0.501
2 Archipelago 80 55.26% 30.04 70.0% -0.135 0.3382 -0.299
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11063 57.0% 29.86 63.78% 0.156 0.3415 0.101
2 Coastline 2240 53.01% 31.43 65.89% 0.002 -0.0149 0.32
2 Fragment 621 63.33% 40.55 68.6% -0.07 -0.3866 1.548
2 Heart 284 60.56% 30.69 61.27% 0.623 0.5288 0.363
2 Opposite Shores 3021 51.68% 27.89 65.64% 0.194 0.1545 -0.218
2 Thematic 834 53.98% 26.65 51.44% 0.17 0.4564 -0.629
2 Top to Top 701 59.31% 31.72 62.48% 0.135 0.0911 -0.14
3 Archipelago 59 59.32% 30.39 57.63% 0.583 -0.5572 -0.746
3 Coastline 90 57.78% 30.0 58.89% 0.457 -0.2923 0.523
3 Other 330 43.47% 27.41 76.97% 1.741 1.2784 0.469
3 Round (Default) 8096 47.28% 31.51 68.84% 0.47 0.2507 0.032
3 Sunrise 32 53.13% 34.66 71.88% -0.836 -0.7602 0.694
3 Thematic 255 61.42% 28.7 60.0% -0.435 -0.7279 -0.261
4 Archipelago 65 34.38% 31.22 80.0% 0.285 0.4776 0.072
4 Coastline 43 32.56% 28.33 83.72% -0.471 -0.831 0.656
4 Leaf 33 54.55% 29.85 69.7% 0.866 0.7574 -0.761
4 Other 218 43.78% 31.36 80.73% 0.405 0.1484 0.871
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.0 0.2463 0.0
4 Thematic 823 40.12% 41.64 71.57% -0.458 -0.2051 -0.362
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3938 42.84% 32.26 71.43% -0.163 0.0514 -0.022
5 Archipelago 15 73.33% 32.0 93.33% -0.608 -0.3345 0.0
5 Coastline 35 11.43% 38.66 68.57% 0.061 -0.0436 -0.654
5 Other 463 41.65% 29.44 74.08% -0.187 -0.7522 0.182
5 Thematic 48 43.75% 37.31 72.92% -0.32 -0.7401 0.604
6 Archipelago 34 14.71% 39.09 73.53% -0.169 -1.1018 -0.086
6 Coastline 47 2.13% 51.06 78.72% 0.289 -0.5083 -0.718
6 Other 251 33.47% 26.77 69.72% -1.203 -0.7774 0.091
6 Star 178 48.31% 31.96 66.85% 0.245 0.3579 -0.389
6 Thematic 618 36.53% 33.26 63.59% -0.711 -0.6097 -0.909
6 Two Centers (Default) 855 25.15% 30.32 73.1% -0.693 -0.9499 -0.935
7 Archipelago 6 16.67% 10.33 33.33% 0.0 1.0709 0.191
7 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.627 -0.3126 -0.438
7 Other 25 28.0% 16.4 48.0% -0.404 -1.4197 -0.517

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3268 29.88 47.28% -0.15 0.0254 -0.76
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2654 33.02 55.5% 0.2 0.1462 -0.212
All Things Weaken 3637 31.44 54.25% 0.285 0.5782 -0.311
Attenuated Essence 435 28.11 48.97% 0.127 0.2104 -0.633
Back Against the Wall 2572 31.81 52.06% 0.481 0.5284 -0.48
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 468 27.68 45.73% 0.044 0.2472 -0.845
Burn Brightest Before the End 345 29.11 48.99% -0.035 0.1526 -0.68
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3125 28.96 51.17% 0.219 0.6276 -0.702
Downward Spiral 3515 28.62 51.66% -0.209 -0.0811 -0.639
Erosion of Will 3212 28.18 42.31% -0.203 0.0794 -0.978
Intensifying Exploitation 465 28.6 50.54% 0.514 0.7616 -0.451
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1393 35.36 78.25% 0.81 0.2948 0.304
Memory Fades to Dust 3529 29.64 54.29% -0.207 0.0303 -0.551
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3585 28.38 48.31% -0.001 0.2171 -0.713
Promising Farmlands 3149 29.17 51.0% 0.02 0.3143 -0.677
Shattered Fragments of Power 375 30.37 50.67% 0.465 0.6659 -0.629
Slow Dissolution of Will 492 25.05 37.6% -0.365 0.019 -1.12
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 957 36.41 83.18% 0.576 -0.0049 0.753
The Border of Life and Death 122 31.33 72.13% 0.623 0.1056 0.119
Thriving Communities 3631 28.56 49.68% -0.033 0.3065 -0.643
Thriving Crops 189 29.25 57.67% -0.043 -0.0849 -0.434
Unnatural Proliferation 3731 30.64 52.13% 0.171 0.3116 -0.644
Untended Land Crumbles 3577 27.78 49.71% -0.22 0.2288 -0.791

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 16470 51.05% 30.03 65.11% 0.149 1.0105 -0.187
B 20552 49.04% 30.21 67.6% 0.422 1.2384 -0.351
C 17510 48.17% 29.88 66.98% 0.33 1.0093 -0.44
D 22470 54.19% 29.52 64.29% 0.456 1.2606 -0.405
E 25534 50.59% 33.14 66.24% 0.414 1.0821 0.02
F 20035 50.43% 32.49 68.63% 0.639 1.4379 0.161
G 11795 48.53% 28.95 63.13% -0.76 0.0661 -1.481
H 10735 50.42% 29.6 65.66% -0.077 0.6962 -0.579
East 3148 46.91% 32.72 61.25% -0.413 0.433 -0.436
Northeast 2179 45.0% 34.67 63.61% 0.109 0.8802 -0.362
Northwest 2363 45.64% 34.77 64.2% 0.602 1.409 0.218
Southeast 1277 41.5% 31.5 61.63% -0.428 0.441 -0.532
Southwest 1337 41.71% 30.23 59.69% -0.75 0.5314 -0.656
West 3464 46.81% 31.83 60.13% -0.395 0.6011 -0.307

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 702 0.0% 20.55 75.36% 1.12 1.9153 -0.128
Not Using Events or Tokens 50 55.0% 20.72 72.0% 0.0 0.3876 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1905 16.48% 40.05 83.41% 0.021 -0.5932 -0.236
Start of Game Growth 2973 20.36% 38.18 82.88% 0.881 0.299 0.209
Unlimited Undo 10443 45.03% 33.52 70.25% 0.195 0.2388 0.566
Using Tokens but Not Events 8667 37.25% 26.34 73.16% -0.592 -0.6499 -0.054

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 4572 43.28% 33.3 71.26% 0.306 0.1619 0.276
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 48 33.33% 35.19 66.67% 0.536 -0.177 0.733
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 964 52.65% 26.06 62.45% -0.128 0.1355 -0.833
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 167 47.31% 32.14 63.47% 0.076 -0.7328 0.129
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1538 40.25% 29.85 72.56% -0.083 -0.2472 0.134
Downpour Drenches the World 1134 42.04% 28.03 59.44% -0.226 0.0473 -0.242
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1126 46.48% 29.22 58.26% 0.057 -0.3695 -0.399
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2272 38.63% 32.7 77.82% 0.595 0.2356 0.402
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1598 40.95% 30.66 72.97% 0.32 -0.1247 0.223
Finder of Paths Unseen 1487 50.91% 28.43 55.75% -0.548 0.1406 0.231
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1346 41.94% 33.26 61.81% -0.587 0.0023 -0.274
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1382 47.86% 30.41 67.44% -0.203 -0.2675 -0.015
Heart of the Wildfire 2025 56.85% 27.67 60.2% -0.196 0.1317 -0.331
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5017 39.44% 36.51 77.86% 0.436 0.1411 0.714
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 183 42.62% 29.04 56.83% -0.086 -0.4564 0.382
Lightning's Swift Strike 864 48.35% 27.76 71.99% 0.303 0.6428 -0.259
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 437 52.08% 32.45 60.18% 1.011 0.5377 -0.212
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 546 45.56% 33.71 75.46% -0.318 -0.6788 0.666
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 810 40.15% 39.78 74.57% 0.975 0.9815 0.473
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4027 46.44% 32.41 70.1% 0.115 -0.1802 -0.056
Many Minds Move as One 1519 41.91% 28.97 70.9% 0.399 0.2533 0.401
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3033 45.76% 33.8 69.27% 0.031 -0.0276 0.36
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1778 45.28% 29.65 70.81% -0.105 -0.2688 0.395
River Surges in Sunlight 1752 49.77% 34.41 70.72% -0.296 -0.1975 0.563
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 16 37.5% 36.88 68.75% 0.403 0.2675 0.363
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 811 43.77% 29.31 63.75% -1.135 -0.6586 -1.086
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 527 49.14% 32.91 59.01% -0.304 -0.3387 0.304
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2097 44.35% 32.95 67.43% 0.41 0.1546 0.246
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 283 62.28% 24.51 62.19% -0.004 0.5179 -0.431
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 106 56.19% 27.24 58.49% -0.512 -0.3706 0.007
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 125 44.8% 34.24 70.4% 0.424 -0.1545 0.531
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 108 60.19% 29.68 61.11% 0.1 0.4505 -0.171
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 408 47.9% 28.22 68.87% -0.128 -0.1436 -1.145
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 323 50.62% 27.05 66.56% 0.098 0.3468 -0.149
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1648 41.66% 34.1 73.91% 0.358 0.248 0.206
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 248 45.56% 28.95 61.29% -0.002 -0.1642 -0.25
Shifting Memory of Ages 1502 50.7% 28.12 63.45% 0.257 0.6018 -0.403
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 60 58.33% 31.68 73.33% 0.805 0.4963 -0.815
Shroud of Silent Mist 1539 53.99% 25.59 63.81% -0.429 -0.0981 -0.323
Starlight Seeks its Form 2184 43.85% 35.33 71.93% 0.27 0.0951 0.806
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4002 46.34% 31.03 66.49% 0.126 -0.5836 -0.377
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1762 42.5% 33.3 74.29% -0.758 -0.5463 0.635
Thunderspeaker 1822 38.91% 31.15 70.31% -0.529 -0.5496 -0.141
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 139 41.3% 22.86 48.2% -0.921 -0.7232 -0.25
Towering Roots of the Jungle 97 42.27% 28.11 57.73% -0.089 -0.1165 -0.141
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2188 66.25% 27.1 55.53% -0.577 -0.5109 -0.111
Vital Strength of the Earth 851 42.17% 24.36 68.86% -0.017 0.5177 -0.386
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 322 51.86% 31.45 57.14% 0.351 0.9185 0.298
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 429 52.34% 26.4 61.54% -0.444 0.3149 -0.243
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 367 46.87% 28.09 60.22% -0.003 -0.3139 -0.369

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Molten Stone 86.14%
Lava Flows 88.86%
Pyroclastic Bombardment 96.08%
Rain of Ash 70.54%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 20181 15.74 15.21%
II 38896 30.48 66.25%
III 26101 34.79 89.25%
IV 7301 38.41 99.81%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2947
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 22204
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 24737
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6880
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7131
Lose: Invader deck ran out 317
Lose: Adversary condition 6138
Win: Sacrifice victory 2364
Lose: Scenario condition 489
Win: Scenario condition 289
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12847
Lose: Spirit destroyed 6136

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.444 Win Model: -0.168

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.07 Win Model: 0.118
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 57270 54.36% 30.41 62.65%
2 18858 55.93% 30.06 64.06%
3 8775 47.65% 31.34 68.89%
4 5112 41.81% 33.73 72.4%
5 475 39.32% 27.43 70.32%
6 1989 30.96% 31.58 69.33%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)