Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 136 38.97% 21.06 50.0% -0.45 -0.4789 -0.039
Blitz 0 867 42.24% 22.4 49.48% -0.408 -0.1644 -0.995
Dahan Insurrection 4 424 38.68% 41.21 58.73% 0.446 0.4591 -0.014
Despicable Theft 2 278 42.81% 24.04 46.76% -0.847 -0.0813 -0.212
Elemental Invocation 1 916 57.94% 22.81 50.76% 0.549 1.3021 -0.621
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 4010 20.5% 42.64 68.8% 0.329 -0.2667 0.856
Powers Long Forgotten 1 317 41.96% 16.97 35.65% -0.915 -0.1669 -0.547
Rituals of Terror 3 231 48.03% 23.81 37.66% -1.009 -0.5305 -0.206
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 217 60.37% 22.24 43.32% 0.111 0.799 -0.878
Second Wave 0 3273 42.16% 25.37 69.97% -0.327 -0.3319 0.415
The Great River 3 528 44.51% 26.95 52.65% -0.653 0.4765 -1.114
Varied Terrains 2 283 48.06% 22.02 42.76% -0.87 -0.0906 -0.363
Ward the Shores 2 276 39.78% 20.47 38.41% -0.755 0.114 -1.244

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 72632 53.2% 28.81 59.94% 0.009 0.2125 0.644
1 Thematic 2732 45.92% 26.52 50.26% -0.678 -0.0692 0.234
2 Archipelago 114 53.64% 28.68 61.4% 0.572 0.742 -0.475
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 15666 55.19% 28.46 60.64% 0.112 0.1921 0.237
2 Coastline 3157 53.57% 29.86 61.77% 0.132 0.0373 0.195
2 Fragment 798 60.61% 37.47 65.54% -0.314 -0.3569 -0.071
2 Heart 373 58.33% 29.76 60.59% 0.389 -0.0721 0.414
2 Opposite Shores 4319 51.22% 26.21 60.57% -0.169 -0.0375 -0.25
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.2838 0.0
2 Thematic 1251 48.28% 24.32 45.96% -0.706 -0.3474 -0.972
2 Top to Top 994 58.63% 29.69 60.46% 0.302 0.2126 0.67
3 Archipelago 75 52.0% 32.01 58.67% -0.354 -0.5243 0.0
3 Coastline 122 53.28% 27.96 54.1% 0.0 -0.1724 0.217
3 Other 422 44.76% 26.04 72.04% 0.501 0.1162 0.283
3 Round (Default) 11134 47.04% 30.14 66.36% 0.461 0.467 -0.091
3 Sunrise 42 50.0% 33.79 73.81% 0.0 -0.6066 0.0
3 Thematic 420 52.51% 24.71 53.1% 0.473 0.0416 -0.437
4 Archipelago 92 36.26% 32.01 80.43% -0.138 -0.3789 0.0
4 Coastline 61 36.07% 27.07 75.41% 0.0 -0.5981 0.254
4 Leaf 73 54.79% 27.55 54.79% 0.0 -1.0224 0.0
4 Other 270 44.19% 30.2 75.19% 0.726 -0.1168 -0.5
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.5784 0.0
4 Thematic 1012 39.44% 38.46 65.71% 0.006 -0.1959 0.493
4 Trapezoid (Default) 5599 41.92% 29.53 66.23% 0.262 0.4522 0.106
5 Archipelago 24 66.67% 34.13 91.67% 0.646 1.2448 0.0
5 Coastline 45 8.89% 34.96 66.67% 0.0 -0.6597 0.0
5 Other 705 40.4% 27.47 70.64% -0.327 -0.4876 -0.146
5 Thematic 71 38.03% 35.25 70.42% 0.448 0.7862 0.244
6 Archipelago 49 10.2% 36.31 71.43% 0.0 -0.6534 0.666
6 Coastline 65 4.62% 52.42 80.0% 0.356 -0.094 0.286
6 Other 395 34.18% 26.28 66.08% 0.417 0.3776 0.2
6 Star 276 43.12% 28.66 61.59% -0.599 -0.1333 -0.447
6 Thematic 953 38.21% 30.92 57.4% 0.016 0.2646 0.17
6 Two Centers (Default) 1347 26.41% 27.09 64.44% -1.587 -0.3856 -1.282
7 Archipelago 12 16.67% 9.58 16.67% 0.0 1.1557 0.0
7 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 39 23.08% 14.54 35.9% -0.925 -0.744 -0.743

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4087 29.18 46.34% -0.389 -0.2405 -0.102
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3270 32.42 54.8% 0.626 0.5131 0.685
All Things Weaken 4634 30.68 53.41% 0.17 0.5449 0.682
Attenuated Essence 1050 28.24 48.86% 0.023 0.1488 0.213
Back Against the Wall 3151 31.51 52.49% 0.438 0.479 0.717
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1031 28.64 48.5% 0.663 0.8693 0.676
Burn Brightest Before the End 771 29.16 49.42% 0.809 0.8533 0.564
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3969 28.46 50.39% 0.025 0.5229 0.589
Downward Spiral 4510 27.8 51.2% -0.502 -0.2516 0.57
Erosion of Will 3993 27.6 41.92% -0.187 0.0711 -0.393
Intensifying Exploitation 1081 27.18 47.55% -0.497 -0.2781 -0.071
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1738 34.74 76.58% 1.536 1.1501 1.004
Memory Fades to Dust 4574 28.72 53.02% 0.432 0.6368 0.457
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4532 27.53 47.15% -0.209 -0.0111 0.478
Promising Farmlands 3909 28.5 49.4% -0.321 0.0349 0.241
Shattered Fragments of Power 836 30.27 49.52% 0.003 0.2208 0.583
Slow Dissolution of Will 1077 24.38 34.17% -0.905 -0.4756 -0.017
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1176 34.68 80.02% 0.342 -0.2818 0.692
The Border of Life and Death 250 29.59 66.0% 0.431 0.1105 0.029
Thriving Communities 4597 27.62 49.05% -0.423 -0.1033 -0.095
Thriving Crops 407 29.95 60.93% 0.496 0.3771 0.874
Unnatural Proliferation 4707 29.98 51.29% -0.102 -0.012 0.251
Untended Land Crumbles 4517 27.04 48.79% -0.404 -0.179 -0.096

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 22948 49.91% 28.07 61.39% 0.116 0.9149 0.021
B 28653 48.17% 28.49 63.56% 0.013 0.7434 -0.053
C 24371 47.2% 28.24 63.43% 0.015 0.6198 -0.126
D 31007 52.65% 27.73 60.65% 0.161 0.9175 -0.251
E 34601 49.61% 31.47 63.25% 0.536 1.1208 0.631
F 27272 49.34% 30.7 65.29% 0.379 1.0819 0.494
G 16209 47.23% 27.17 60.05% -0.208 0.549 -0.486
H 15158 48.65% 27.68 61.73% -0.542 0.0893 0.012
East 4650 43.36% 29.78 53.91% -0.628 0.1555 -0.52
Northeast 3101 43.37% 31.6 57.76% -0.201 0.5601 -0.01
Northwest 3309 43.71% 32.03 58.9% 0.334 1.1761 -0.152
Southeast 2045 37.9% 29.25 52.81% 0.432 1.0715 0.152
Southwest 1913 40.67% 27.95 54.05% -0.273 0.7719 0.543
West 4764 44.49% 29.27 55.0% -0.104 0.6717 -0.281

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1137 0.0% 19.89 73.35% -0.102 0.7719 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 92 45.45% 18.64 67.39% 0.671 1.0482 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2418 17.33% 37.46 79.45% 0.933 0.642 -0.611
Start of Game Growth 3735 21.07% 36.33 79.6% 0.354 -0.2027 1.18
Unlimited Undo 13366 43.99% 32.24 67.59% 0.061 0.125 0.647
Using Tokens but Not Events 12423 37.38% 24.64 69.65% 0.555 0.4274 0.049

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5873 41.83% 31.63 68.33% 0.098 0.0021 0.696
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 651 44.32% 29.81 56.53% -0.327 -0.6522 0.674
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 37 59.46% 26.76 56.76% -0.078 -0.3397 0.312
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 205 45.81% 31.75 62.44% 0.474 -0.2462 0.594
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1251 51.12% 24.45 60.75% 0.823 1.1217 -0.599
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 386 44.82% 29.61 58.29% -0.054 -0.6439 0.481
Dances Up Earthquakes 461 51.19% 28.63 63.12% 0.546 0.7278 0.623
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2148 39.96% 28.19 68.99% 0.833 0.6543 -0.217
Downpour Drenches the World 1831 40.29% 25.87 54.61% 0.104 0.4627 0.338
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2137 42.95% 28.13 57.93% 0.055 -0.3842 0.222
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3111 38.54% 31.42 74.8% 0.268 -0.081 1.101
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2219 40.8% 28.86 69.22% 0.247 -0.1534 0.213
Finder of Paths Unseen 2428 51.28% 25.85 51.03% -0.046 1.0288 -0.309
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1726 41.3% 30.33 57.42% -0.319 0.1367 0.148
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1932 46.81% 28.26 62.58% -0.338 -0.4294 -0.232
Heart of the Wildfire 2775 53.85% 25.52 57.3% -0.323 0.1082 0.038
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6155 39.72% 35.22 74.33% 0.739 0.2962 0.114
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 471 38.46% 27.78 55.84% 0.74 0.2311 -0.401
Lightning's Swift Strike 1249 48.37% 25.72 67.65% -0.891 -0.7281 0.089
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 728 46.33% 29.95 57.55% -0.004 -0.6823 0.777
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 742 44.43% 30.8 69.41% 0.105 -0.2538 0.922
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1135 41.42% 36.52 67.31% 0.771 0.6252 0.862
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5267 45.18% 30.56 66.49% -0.058 -0.2355 -0.634
Many Minds Move as One 2084 42.43% 27.6 67.85% 0.688 0.5537 0.035
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4058 43.64% 31.78 64.56% -0.641 -0.7183 0.211
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 619 47.69% 25.96 52.99% 0.469 0.6609 -0.195
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2428 44.41% 27.9 65.77% -0.393 -0.4521 -0.149
River Surges in Sunlight 2197 49.7% 32.32 67.5% -0.564 -0.519 0.188
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 212 46.7% 27.75 48.11% 0.663 0.8933 -1.141
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1061 42.53% 27.74 60.13% -0.881 -0.8319 -0.908
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 839 49.7% 30.66 55.66% -0.473 -0.3067 0.095
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2694 43.24% 31.04 64.88% 0.374 0.1803 0.049
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 222 47.95% 29.14 57.66% -0.122 -0.1367 -0.547
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 384 59.47% 22.84 60.94% -0.674 -0.05 -0.258
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 151 54.0% 25.48 56.29% 0.195 0.2106 -0.514
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 379 46.97% 29.85 60.69% -0.739 -1.1742 -0.366
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 159 55.35% 27.17 58.49% -0.54 -0.517 0.16
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 518 48.83% 26.01 61.39% -0.901 -0.9881 -0.567
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 401 48.75% 26.3 65.84% -0.1 0.3084 0.081
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2104 40.39% 31.82 69.72% 0.548 0.6052 -0.227
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 24 58.33% 25.13 66.67% 1.086 0.5826 0.108
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 556 41.52% 26.63 57.55% -0.266 -0.3033 0.526
Shifting Memory of Ages 1885 48.37% 26.33 60.64% -0.475 -0.1128 -0.933
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 426 48.12% 25.83 52.82% 0.107 0.0892 1.028
Shroud of Silent Mist 2014 52.98% 23.87 60.23% -0.766 -0.2424 -0.271
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 30 58.62% 22.43 46.67% -0.121 -0.4609 -0.696
Starlight Seeks its Form 3250 45.49% 33.67 67.26% 0.512 0.3133 1.289
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5147 46.02% 29.03 62.99% 0.136 -0.4793 -0.719
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2385 40.54% 31.11 70.15% -0.236 -0.0027 0.943
Thunderspeaker 2468 37.3% 29.47 66.9% -0.726 -0.7434 -0.704
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 250 39.36% 22.53 47.6% 0.189 0.3891 0.311
Towering Roots of the Jungle 774 48.96% 25.4 50.26% -0.311 -0.1443 -0.299
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2810 64.25% 25.94 53.1% -0.138 -0.0874 -0.563
Vital Strength of the Earth 1205 40.84% 22.71 65.56% 0.28 0.7505 -1.241
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 544 49.08% 28.68 54.41% -0.022 0.3875 0.798
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 584 49.4% 24.64 59.08% 0.666 1.3331 -0.297
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 820 45.24% 26.03 56.46% -0.298 -0.5782 -0.859

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Molten Stone 86.06%
Lava Flows 88.85%
Pyroclastic Bombardment 96.01%
Rain of Ash 71.78%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 31476 12.44 12.31%
II 50338 29.94 64.88%
III 34044 34.9 89.04%
IV 9490 38.84 99.77%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3732
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 28869
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 31372
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8954
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 15969
Lose: Invader deck ran out 406
Lose: Adversary condition 7781
Win: Sacrifice victory 3044
Lose: Scenario condition 605
Win: Scenario condition 346
Lose: Unique spirit condition 2
Lose: Blight pool ran out 16608
Lose: Spirit destroyed 7660

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.202 Win Model: -0.166

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.06 Win Model: -0.079
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 75703 52.92% 28.69 59.47%
2 26597 54.45% 28.51 60.51%
3 12111 47.27% 29.92 66.11%
4 7072 41.21% 30.84 67.0%
5 760 37.99% 26.13 67.63%
6 3105 31.67% 28.98 62.58%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-10-18 23:57:56 (Pacific Time)