Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 48 58.33% 24.25 50.0% 0.374 0.2065 -0.191
Blitz 0 464 49.56% 27.89 61.21% -0.586 -0.436 -1.174
Dahan Insurrection 4 267 41.2% 47.02 65.92% -0.145 -0.3572 0.402
Despicable Theft 2 113 51.33% 30.88 55.75% -1.273 -0.5569 -0.791
Elemental Invocation 1 576 64.81% 26.37 60.94% -0.916 -0.1655 -1.36
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2577 22.46% 47.51 76.87% 0.467 -0.1411 0.378
Powers Long Forgotten 1 127 62.2% 25.96 54.33% -1.466 -0.966 -0.577
Rituals of Terror 3 93 70.33% 34.11 51.61% -1.611 -1.5029 -0.126
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 90 81.11% 31.52 61.11% -0.103 0.9502 0.087
Second Wave 0 1693 44.67% 27.25 76.14% 0.261 0.3409 0.389
The Great River 3 314 52.87% 33.27 64.65% -0.248 1.1462 -1.06
Varied Terrains 2 74 66.22% 30.68 64.86% -0.2 0.3817 -0.535
Ward the Shores 2 112 56.36% 31.57 58.93% -0.577 0.6239 -0.191

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 42891 56.35% 32.42 67.15% 0.275 0.4811 0.312
1 Thematic 1409 56.42% 31.69 62.03% -0.065 0.5403 -0.435
2 Archipelago 57 55.36% 33.51 80.7% -0.305 0.0183 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8057 59.06% 31.64 68.05% 0.221 0.3684 -0.023
2 Coastline 1652 55.66% 33.78 70.1% 0.458 0.4938 0.283
2 Fragment 510 65.42% 44.54 73.73% 0.468 0.4002 1.59
2 Heart 228 63.16% 32.9 64.47% 0.021 -0.2573 0.009
2 Opposite Shores 2238 52.72% 29.95 70.46% 0.198 0.3109 -0.337
2 Thematic 593 59.15% 30.25 58.35% -0.632 0.0147 -0.67
2 Top to Top 518 59.42% 33.4 66.41% 0.316 0.3407 -0.112
3 Archipelago 44 63.64% 32.75 61.36% -0.611 -1.776 -1.068
3 Coastline 70 62.86% 32.1 60.0% -0.244 -0.7825 0.688
3 Other 262 47.13% 28.93 81.3% 0.292 0.3867 -0.133
3 Round (Default) 5677 47.75% 33.02 73.3% 0.079 -0.0005 -0.091
3 Sunrise 26 61.54% 37.31 76.92% 0.0 0.3585 0.506
3 Thematic 188 63.83% 32.01 65.96% -0.54 -0.4927 -0.183
4 Archipelago 55 35.19% 31.93 81.82% 0.259 0.0205 -0.56
4 Coastline 27 29.63% 30.41 85.19% 0.352 0.4059 0.649
4 Leaf 26 53.85% 31.23 65.38% -0.058 -0.4759 -0.736
4 Other 182 43.65% 32.82 84.62% 0.893 -0.0949 0.577
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.402 -0.0049 0.0
4 Thematic 691 39.97% 45.43 75.98% 0.089 0.0551 -0.362
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2822 42.68% 34.71 75.94% -0.321 -0.5272 0.044
5 Archipelago 8 62.5% 32.0 100.0% 0.0 -1.0908 0.0
5 Coastline 23 8.7% 48.39 86.96% -0.068 -0.15 -0.095
5 Other 292 42.61% 33.56 82.88% 1.039 0.5534 0.694
5 Thematic 32 43.75% 45.28 84.38% 0.7 0.478 0.727
6 Archipelago 12 16.67% 41.08 91.67% -1.006 -1.0196 0.0
6 Coastline 10 0.0% 50.2 90.0% -0.154 -0.8824 0.137
6 Other 138 31.88% 28.46 81.16% 0.24 -0.2395 -0.56
6 Star 118 50.0% 33.69 67.8% -1.366 -1.0911 -0.656
6 Thematic 352 39.32% 40.2 77.27% -0.647 -0.2573 -0.157
6 Two Centers (Default) 492 26.43% 33.04 81.5% -0.291 -0.2711 -1.14
7 Archipelago 3 33.33% 20.67 66.67% -0.474 -0.9512 0.0
7 Other 12 33.33% 26.17 66.67% 0.189 -0.624 -0.245

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 2711 30.63 48.69% -0.372 -0.1064 -1.165
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2208 33.5 56.3% -0.08 -0.0728 -0.629
All Things Weaken 2991 32.36 55.93% 0.024 0.4596 -0.762
Attenuated Essence 70 26.79 44.29% -0.195 -0.0048 -1.753
Back Against the Wall 2125 32.13 52.24% -0.085 0.0562 -0.93
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 87 24.84 44.83% -0.125 0.2589 -1.51
Burn Brightest Before the End 56 34.39 51.79% 0.143 0.4366 -0.797
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2563 29.69 51.97% -0.252 0.2501 -1.14
Downward Spiral 2876 29.26 52.68% -0.219 0.1103 -1.082
Erosion of Will 2654 28.93 42.92% -0.446 -0.0611 -1.368
Intensifying Exploitation 81 26.96 41.98% -0.303 0.0645 -1.441
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1119 36.63 80.97% 0.575 0.0557 -0.068
Memory Fades to Dust 2874 30.44 55.98% -0.262 0.2034 -0.959
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2901 29.19 49.12% -0.167 0.123 -1.14
Promising Farmlands 2618 30.04 52.29% -0.17 0.3993 -1.068
Shattered Fragments of Power 67 33.82 55.22% 0.406 0.5592 -0.868
Slow Dissolution of Will 77 26.42 41.56% -0.474 0.0293 -1.078
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 792 37.54 85.86% 1.167 0.514 0.323
The Border of Life and Death 25 32.72 76.0% 0.655 0.4766 -0.032
Thriving Communities 2960 29.46 50.64% -0.492 -0.0307 -1.046
Thriving Crops 33 34.03 72.73% 0.763 0.8101 0.5
Unnatural Proliferation 3076 31.37 52.89% -0.111 0.1805 -1.074
Untended Land Crumbles 2937 28.42 50.49% -0.416 -0.095 -1.246

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 12080 53.38% 32.02 69.3% -0.122 0.7146 -0.164
B 15336 50.72% 32.24 71.84% 0.126 0.9058 -0.36
C 12793 49.8% 31.78 71.19% 0.135 0.7872 -0.433
D 16719 56.24% 31.33 67.98% 0.069 0.8672 -0.419
E 18699 52.41% 35.18 70.23% 0.477 1.1014 0.03
F 14867 51.36% 34.55 72.96% 0.37 1.089 0.116
G 8287 51.92% 30.91 70.03% -0.04 0.7034 -0.573
H 7688 52.61% 31.41 70.43% -0.26 0.385 -0.459
East 2301 49.5% 37.08 67.58% -0.138 0.4582 -0.328
Northeast 1595 48.01% 39.15 69.72% -0.773 0.0864 -0.526
Northwest 1713 48.52% 39.34 70.81% 0.19 0.8884 0.276
Southeast 825 44.15% 37.3 72.24% 0.447 1.1064 -0.322
Southwest 838 45.99% 36.43 71.84% -0.215 0.9344 0.061
West 2444 50.1% 36.95 68.41% -0.608 0.3324 -0.352

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 470 0.0% 23.4 81.7% -0.391 0.4897 0.436
Not Using Events or Tokens 36 50.0% 18.31 69.44% 0.655 0.9803 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1491 16.17% 42.93 89.13% 0.236 -0.3044 -0.447
Start of Game Growth 2375 20.06% 40.68 87.96% 0.099 -0.2205 -0.025
Unlimited Undo 7823 45.69% 35.76 76.8% 0.062 0.0479 0.689
Using Tokens but Not Events 6205 38.9% 28.84 80.1% 0.186 0.1287 0.202

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 3339 100.0% 34.64 100.0% 0.675 0.5221 -0.022
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 720 100.0% 28.65 100.0% -0.554 -0.4325 -0.605
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1138 100.0% 32.07 100.0% 0.018 -0.1469 -0.295
Downpour Drenches the World 583 100.0% 32.81 100.0% -0.063 0.1213 -0.058
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 350 100.0% 31.73 100.0% 0.421 -0.3178 -0.053
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1616 100.0% 34.71 100.0% 0.42 -0.1637 0.307
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1124 100.0% 33.17 100.0% 0.386 -0.0856 0.246
Finder of Paths Unseen 729 100.0% 34.57 100.0% -0.161 0.5185 0.32
Fractured Days Split the Sky 922 100.0% 37.74 100.0% -0.503 0.1661 0.298
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 891 100.0% 33.29 100.0% 0.032 -0.0626 0.076
Heart of the Wildfire 1517 100.0% 30.32 100.0% -0.082 0.1635 -0.291
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3942 100.0% 37.87 100.0% 0.589 0.1362 0.865
Lightning's Swift Strike 616 203.18% 29.26 146.43% 0.163 0.3703 -0.186
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 227 53.36% 35.14 66.96% -0.124 -0.8238 -0.336
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 429 48.23% 35.97 79.95% 0.752 0.5311 0.661
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 582 43.97% 41.81 78.52% 0.154 0.0301 0.398
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3235 100.0% 34.24 100.0% -0.061 -0.2155 -0.16
Many Minds Move as One 1087 100.0% 31.28 100.0% -0.155 -0.3747 0.348
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2192 100.0% 35.8 100.0% -0.284 -0.2862 0.162
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1294 100.0% 31.75 100.0% 0.193 0.0617 0.171
River Surges in Sunlight 1329 132.04% 37.27 119.79% 0.446 0.4544 0.539
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 597 45.24% 31.91 69.01% 0.11 0.3658 -0.917
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 215 50.0% 39.09 63.72% -0.293 -0.4184 0.272
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1520 100.0% 35.37 100.0% 0.037 -0.1941 -0.058
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 191 275.77% 25.26 217.28% -0.536 -0.0789 -0.813
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 69 66.18% 30.55 56.52% 0.917 0.912 0.237
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 66 56.06% 32.62 72.73% -0.453 -0.4441 0.117
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 329 50.3% 30.2 70.21% -0.361 -0.4317 -1.224
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 257 50.78% 28.88 69.65% -0.406 -0.3534 -0.241
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1311 102.82% 36.67 102.21% 0.138 0.0103 0.551
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 59 37.29% 25.46 50.85% -0.193 -0.5697 -0.169
Shifting Memory of Ages 1045 100.0% 30.21 100.0% -0.361 0.0456 -0.488
Shroud of Silent Mist 1181 100.0% 27.92 100.0% -0.348 -0.0329 -0.192
Starlight Seeks its Form 1273 100.0% 36.21 100.0% 0.261 -0.009 0.78
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3091 100.0% 33.49 100.0% 0.063 -0.4347 -0.344
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1350 100.0% 35.77 100.0% 0.177 0.2074 0.719
Thunderspeaker 1262 101.9% 34.07 101.43% 0.072 0.0514 0.168
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 43 44.19% 28.98 58.14% 0.108 0.0417 0.156
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1533 100.0% 29.86 100.0% -0.25 -0.1954 -0.164
Vital Strength of the Earth 636 135.79% 26.56 127.04% -0.32 0.227 -0.414
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 157 55.41% 34.81 62.42% 0.567 0.8177 0.104
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 339 53.25% 28.67 66.67% -1.1 -0.2168 -0.372

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Molten Stone 85.98%
Lava Flows 88.91%
Pyroclastic Bombardment 95.93%
Rain of Ash 69.21%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 12049 20.97 20.65%
II 31316 31.03 67.81%
III 20672 34.74 89.24%
IV 5683 38.02 99.84%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2390
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 17558
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 20402
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5330
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1263
Lose: Invader deck ran out 272
Lose: Adversary condition 4994
Win: Sacrifice victory 1930
Lose: Scenario condition 436
Win: Scenario condition 235
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10297
Lose: Spirit destroyed 4613

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.609 Win Model: -0.138

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.109 Win Model: 0.091
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 44440 56.38% 32.41 66.95%
2 13880 57.98% 32.15 68.54%
3 6206 48.38% 32.85 73.25%
4 3809 41.4% 36.54 76.82%
5 258 39.69% 32.65 83.72%
6 1127 33.07% 35.04 78.88%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-30 03:47:42 (Pacific Time)