Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 138 38.41% 21.3 50.72% -0.18 -0.4014 -0.067
Blitz 0 874 42.36% 22.34 49.54% -0.372 -0.1536 -1.031
Dahan Insurrection 4 433 38.57% 40.55 57.51% -0.482 -0.3063 -0.436
Despicable Theft 2 285 43.16% 24.14 46.32% -0.074 0.401 -0.102
Elemental Invocation 1 919 57.97% 22.86 50.82% 0.197 0.7776 -0.197
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 4038 20.45% 42.52 68.65% 0.529 0.0283 0.728
Powers Long Forgotten 1 319 41.69% 16.86 35.42% -0.986 -0.1003 -0.673
Rituals of Terror 3 232 47.83% 23.7 37.5% -0.758 -0.2012 -0.191
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 223 59.64% 22.2 43.05% -0.113 0.7176 -0.99
Second Wave 0 3302 42.16% 25.36 69.93% 0.106 0.0484 0.685
The Great River 3 535 44.49% 27.06 52.71% -0.6 0.5924 -0.599
Varied Terrains 2 284 47.89% 21.94 42.61% -0.583 -0.0185 -0.38
Ward the Shores 2 280 39.57% 20.21 37.86% -1.114 -0.1917 -1.36

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 73225 53.21% 28.78 59.88% 0.124 0.5165 0.452
1 Thematic 2752 45.84% 26.49 50.22% -0.574 0.1626 0.126
2 Archipelago 115 53.64% 28.63 61.74% 0.684 0.5486 -0.541
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 15791 55.16% 28.43 60.62% 0.135 0.3971 0.1
2 Coastline 3181 53.56% 29.84 61.58% -0.219 -0.1225 -0.035
2 Fragment 805 60.7% 37.25 64.97% -0.15 0.3402 0.379
2 Heart 374 58.45% 29.68 60.43% -0.204 -0.4723 0.361
2 Opposite Shores 4377 51.18% 26.15 60.38% -0.067 0.1449 -0.44
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 1274 47.95% 24.14 45.68% -0.543 0.014 -1.212
2 Top to Top 1004 58.34% 29.61 60.36% 0.321 0.1969 0.805
3 Archipelago 75 52.0% 32.01 58.67% -0.348 0.077 0.0
3 Coastline 126 53.17% 28.76 54.76% 0.537 -0.3367 0.797
3 Other 425 44.44% 25.96 72.0% 0.857 0.6451 0.623
3 Round (Default) 11224 46.93% 30.09 66.25% 0.023 0.2356 -0.194
3 Sunrise 42 50.0% 33.79 73.81% 0.0 -0.3763 0.0
3 Thematic 426 52.47% 24.72 53.05% -0.158 -0.3422 -0.387
4 Archipelago 95 35.11% 32.01 81.05% 1.043 0.4107 0.0
4 Coastline 62 35.48% 26.63 74.19% -0.268 -0.4273 0.247
4 Leaf 73 54.79% 27.55 54.79% 0.0 -0.2735 0.0
4 Other 270 44.19% 30.2 75.19% 0.123 -0.277 -0.601
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 1015 39.43% 38.43 65.71% 0.456 0.6452 0.358
4 Trapezoid (Default) 5641 41.94% 29.45 66.12% 0.064 0.3277 0.062
5 Archipelago 25 64.0% 32.76 88.0% 0.07 0.4825 0.0
5 Coastline 45 8.89% 34.96 66.67% 0.0 -0.8368 0.0
5 Other 720 41.09% 27.35 70.0% -0.557 -0.8171 -0.168
5 Thematic 73 38.36% 35.59 71.23% 0.622 0.4152 0.273
6 Archipelago 51 9.8% 35.25 70.59% -0.473 -1.2032 0.633
6 Coastline 65 4.62% 52.42 80.0% 0.0 -0.1191 0.385
6 Other 401 34.41% 26.16 66.08% 0.806 0.8065 0.012
6 Star 278 43.53% 28.89 61.87% 0.274 0.5144 -0.303
6 Thematic 961 38.31% 30.81 57.13% -0.694 -0.4316 0.156
6 Two Centers (Default) 1355 26.55% 27.02 64.28% -1.411 -0.3313 -1.255
7 Archipelago 12 16.67% 9.58 16.67% 0.0 1.0617 0.0
7 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.4009 0.0
7 Other 39 23.08% 14.54 35.9% -0.463 -0.4238 -0.735

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4110 29.16 46.28% -0.115 -0.0424 -0.375
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3284 32.39 54.81% 0.12 0.0732 0.658
All Things Weaken 4654 30.71 53.46% 0.335 0.7037 0.748
Attenuated Essence 1072 28.45 49.16% 0.535 0.5632 0.357
Back Against the Wall 3171 31.52 52.63% 0.737 0.6557 0.667
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1056 28.49 48.2% 0.167 0.3697 0.544
Burn Brightest Before the End 788 29.21 49.62% 1.11 1.2108 0.492
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3999 28.45 50.34% -0.178 0.1843 0.61
Downward Spiral 4546 27.74 51.21% -0.086 0.1163 0.6
Erosion of Will 4008 27.58 41.84% -0.537 -0.211 -0.402
Intensifying Exploitation 1097 27.22 47.49% -0.364 -0.0466 0.064
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1748 34.74 76.66% 1.515 0.9962 1.106
Memory Fades to Dust 4610 28.71 53.04% 0.276 0.5526 0.449
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4566 27.49 47.07% 0.085 0.2826 0.37
Promising Farmlands 3932 28.42 49.24% -0.615 -0.2435 0.176
Shattered Fragments of Power 847 30.32 49.82% 0.291 0.4827 0.51
Slow Dissolution of Will 1105 24.58 34.57% -0.223 0.153 0.246
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1183 34.73 80.05% 0.478 -0.1055 0.81
The Border of Life and Death 256 29.26 65.63% 0.524 -0.1362 0.195
Thriving Communities 4637 27.62 49.02% -0.251 -0.0303 -0.122
Thriving Crops 423 30.09 60.76% 0.223 0.116 0.713
Unnatural Proliferation 4743 29.99 51.34% 0.207 0.3032 0.263
Untended Land Crumbles 4553 26.98 48.74% -0.435 -0.2354 -0.151

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 23126 49.94% 28.02 61.26% 0.086 0.9942 0.218
B 28883 48.2% 28.47 63.49% 0.302 1.1317 0.004
C 24597 47.2% 28.19 63.32% 0.082 0.8344 -0.048
D 31279 52.63% 27.69 60.57% 0.246 1.117 -0.203
E 34898 49.6% 31.43 63.19% 0.772 1.4743 0.691
F 27529 49.31% 30.65 65.21% 0.6 1.4119 0.459
G 16335 47.22% 27.1 59.92% -0.133 0.6879 -0.414
H 15277 48.62% 27.62 61.6% -0.586 0.1723 -0.052
East 4697 43.31% 29.67 53.74% -0.334 0.586 -0.511
Northeast 3138 43.33% 31.48 57.55% -0.303 0.4209 -0.055
Northwest 3339 43.64% 31.95 58.79% 0.131 1.115 -0.255
Southeast 2062 37.93% 29.13 52.62% -0.57 0.282 0.238
Southwest 1931 40.71% 27.89 53.96% -0.112 1.1645 0.463
West 4805 44.42% 29.21 54.94% 0.296 0.9874 -0.566

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1155 0.0% 19.85 73.07% -0.14 0.7685 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 92 45.45% 18.64 67.39% 0.0 0.388 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2433 17.45% 37.37 79.33% 1.154 0.4307 -0.416
Start of Game Growth 3752 21.08% 36.28 79.45% 0.113 -0.3749 1.471
Unlimited Undo 13459 44.01% 32.18 67.45% -0.048 0.0328 0.588
Using Tokens but Not Events 12553 37.39% 24.6 69.59% 0.467 0.423 0.036

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5921 41.89% 31.55 68.11% -0.072 -0.2041 0.491
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 672 44.43% 30.0 56.55% 0.329 -0.0005 0.734
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 41 56.1% 28.0 58.54% 0.389 0.1603 0.603
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 239 45.15% 32.13 64.02% 0.714 0.0733 0.614
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1258 51.31% 24.39 60.81% 0.737 0.9637 -0.624
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 391 44.5% 29.59 58.06% 0.28 -0.3791 0.761
Dances Up Earthquakes 475 51.16% 28.65 63.16% 0.745 0.9469 0.675
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2174 39.9% 28.09 68.86% 0.613 0.4256 -0.178
Downpour Drenches the World 1851 40.39% 25.76 54.29% -0.283 0.0658 0.192
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2167 43.05% 27.97 57.54% -0.206 -0.6886 0.148
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3138 38.33% 31.36 74.86% 0.715 0.4455 1.025
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2254 40.92% 28.84 69.25% 0.337 -0.0269 0.14
Finder of Paths Unseen 2451 51.25% 25.73 50.84% -0.384 0.5425 -0.401
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1732 41.28% 30.33 57.39% -0.731 -0.2636 0.143
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1955 46.51% 28.12 62.3% -0.685 -0.7116 -0.263
Heart of the Wildfire 2794 53.77% 25.46 57.12% -0.448 -0.0848 -0.072
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6176 39.8% 35.2 74.32% 0.303 -0.0848 0.047
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 491 39.14% 27.74 55.4% -0.008 -0.3531 -0.379
Lightning's Swift Strike 1257 48.46% 25.73 67.38% -0.613 -0.4563 0.352
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 731 46.14% 29.94 57.59% 0.31 -0.2956 0.855
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 744 44.44% 30.85 69.49% 0.07 -0.2399 1.144
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1147 41.59% 36.33 66.87% -0.385 -0.6431 0.648
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5302 45.23% 30.52 66.41% 0.239 0.1039 -0.64
Many Minds Move as One 2100 42.39% 27.57 67.81% 0.424 0.4076 0.145
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4083 43.62% 31.69 64.41% -0.522 -0.57 0.045
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 634 48.63% 26.17 53.0% 0.44 0.5997 -0.253
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2445 44.34% 27.87 65.81% -0.429 -0.6478 -0.059
River Surges in Sunlight 2209 49.7% 32.24 67.36% -0.54 -0.512 -0.14
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 215 46.73% 27.68 47.91% -0.284 -0.1585 -0.821
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1070 42.55% 27.71 60.19% 0.217 0.366 -0.928
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 850 49.41% 30.47 55.18% -0.489 -0.3736 0.094
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2702 43.15% 31.02 64.88% 0.633 0.3799 0.254
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 227 47.32% 28.7 57.27% -0.346 -0.546 -0.587
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 395 60.1% 22.58 60.51% 0.35 0.9383 -0.224
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 151 54.0% 25.48 56.29% 0.434 0.4682 -0.581
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 383 47.0% 29.98 60.57% -0.225 -0.609 -0.155
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 161 55.9% 26.97 59.01% 0.161 0.1859 0.195
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 518 48.83% 26.01 61.39% -0.382 -0.4818 -0.615
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 402 48.63% 26.23 65.67% -0.363 -0.0959 0.636
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2114 40.34% 31.79 69.63% 0.384 0.2224 -0.409
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 29 55.17% 26.55 62.07% 0.39 -0.1044 0.607
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 563 41.18% 26.55 57.37% 0.377 0.3968 0.562
Shifting Memory of Ages 1896 48.46% 26.3 60.65% 0.01 0.3564 -0.688
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 435 48.05% 26.06 53.33% 0.45 0.4788 0.576
Shroud of Silent Mist 2026 53.01% 23.82 60.12% -0.644 -0.0745 -0.55
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 42 56.1% 20.67 40.48% -1.232 -1.542 -0.989
Starlight Seeks its Form 3269 45.26% 33.62 67.24% 0.457 0.3628 1.078
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5175 46.07% 28.99 62.94% 0.167 -0.3943 -0.743
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2404 40.72% 31.03 70.05% 0.078 0.2726 0.885
Thunderspeaker 2480 37.28% 29.43 66.77% -0.797 -0.7846 -0.65
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 255 39.76% 22.24 47.45% -0.203 -0.1556 -0.228
Towering Roots of the Jungle 791 48.8% 25.1 49.81% -0.215 -0.0379 -0.309
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2823 64.28% 25.91 52.99% -0.197 -0.1786 -0.634
Vital Strength of the Earth 1214 41.07% 22.66 65.49% -0.074 0.4371 -1.292
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 549 48.81% 28.47 54.1% -0.349 -0.0 0.753
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 589 48.98% 24.52 58.74% 0.148 0.9472 -0.316
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 832 45.19% 26.16 56.49% 0.148 -0.1024 -0.468

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Molten Stone 86.09%
Lava Flows 88.86%
Pyroclastic Bombardment 96.01%
Rain of Ash 71.82%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 31838 12.37 12.25%
II 50709 29.93 64.83%
III 34285 34.92 89.06%
IV 9574 38.86 99.77%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3757
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 29077
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 31574
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9031
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 16265
Lose: Invader deck ran out 407
Lose: Adversary condition 7839
Win: Sacrifice victory 3076
Lose: Scenario condition 608
Win: Scenario condition 346
Lose: Unique spirit condition 2
Lose: Blight pool ran out 16726
Lose: Spirit destroyed 7698

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.275 Win Model: -0.15

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.096 Win Model: -0.046
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 76321 52.93% 28.65 59.41%
2 26842 54.4% 28.46 60.42%
3 12217 47.17% 29.88 66.0%
4 7119 41.18% 30.77 66.93%
5 776 38.63% 26.02 67.01%
6 3131 31.82% 28.91 62.44%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-10-25 23:57:52 (Pacific Time)