Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 103 45.63% 22.15 49.51% -0.396 -0.8373 -0.941
Blitz 0 696 45.63% 24.32 54.31% -1.07 -0.6724 -1.137
Dahan Insurrection 4 365 39.45% 43.41 61.37% 0.048 -0.4492 0.528
Despicable Theft 2 216 42.59% 25.33 49.07% -0.14 0.3995 -0.777
Elemental Invocation 1 795 59.34% 23.6 53.08% -0.268 0.4979 -1.197
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3591 20.68% 43.68 69.87% 0.82 0.1687 0.527
Powers Long Forgotten 1 255 43.53% 18.69 38.43% 0.128 0.7024 -0.747
Rituals of Terror 3 187 51.89% 24.77 39.04% -1.164 -1.3009 -0.493
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 169 61.54% 23.2 46.15% -0.942 -0.1814 -0.31
Second Wave 0 2747 41.92% 25.94 71.68% -0.2 -0.0996 0.599
The Great River 3 446 45.52% 28.39 55.38% -0.097 1.1246 -0.948
Varied Terrains 2 216 49.54% 23.34 45.83% -0.422 0.4673 -0.634
Ward the Shores 2 213 44.55% 23.3 43.66% -1.298 -0.4493 -0.242

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 61049 53.88% 29.79 61.8% -0.01 0.3644 0.525
1 Thematic 2328 47.56% 27.47 52.49% -0.063 0.6399 -0.346
2 Archipelago 97 56.99% 29.43 64.95% 0.327 0.9139 -0.5
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12887 55.93% 29.27 62.23% -0.021 0.1439 0.192
2 Coastline 2618 52.54% 30.86 64.29% 0.185 -0.016 0.474
2 Fragment 696 62.39% 39.31 66.81% 0.006 -0.0332 1.633
2 Heart 315 60.0% 31.35 61.59% 1.046 0.8382 0.555
2 Opposite Shores 3547 51.59% 27.09 62.87% -0.063 0.0692 -0.21
2 Thematic 993 50.86% 25.8 49.85% -0.825 -0.1859 -0.643
2 Top to Top 800 58.47% 31.03 63.13% 0.543 0.4528 -0.028
3 Archipelago 62 58.06% 29.53 54.84% 0.0 -0.5417 -0.707
3 Coastline 104 52.88% 29.67 58.65% 0.546 -0.3144 0.657
3 Other 352 42.17% 26.55 74.15% -0.448 -1.2803 0.459
3 Round (Default) 9211 46.98% 31.0 67.75% 0.107 0.0793 0.06
3 Sunrise 35 51.43% 34.83 74.29% 0.0 -0.4456 0.786
3 Thematic 327 57.36% 26.27 56.27% 0.386 0.1748 -0.111
4 Archipelago 70 37.68% 31.79 78.57% 0.201 0.0461 0.484
4 Coastline 46 34.78% 29.39 82.61% 0.146 0.2768 0.785
4 Leaf 55 63.64% 27.6 56.36% 0.031 0.4509 -0.518
4 Other 235 44.44% 30.83 78.72% 0.211 -0.3893 0.897
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.0 0.451 0.0
4 Thematic 904 39.96% 40.04 68.81% -0.334 -0.3012 -0.581
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4563 42.17% 31.19 69.45% -0.088 -0.0761 -0.071
5 Archipelago 17 64.71% 32.35 88.24% 0.0 -0.2054 0.0
5 Coastline 41 9.76% 36.73 68.29% 0.0 -0.8918 -0.618
5 Other 552 41.09% 28.37 73.37% 0.064 -0.2227 -0.096
5 Thematic 59 38.98% 37.42 76.27% 0.567 0.2147 0.674
6 Archipelago 37 13.51% 40.41 75.68% -0.461 -1.5421 -0.159
6 Coastline 61 3.28% 52.21 78.69% 0.715 -0.4928 -0.612
6 Other 301 32.23% 25.16 66.78% -0.237 -0.3139 -0.204
6 Star 214 43.46% 29.4 63.08% -0.848 -0.2562 -0.723
6 Thematic 764 36.14% 31.8 59.55% -0.93 -0.8071 -1.146
6 Two Centers (Default) 1032 25.93% 29.47 70.16% -0.368 0.0756 -1.192
7 Archipelago 10 20.0% 11.5 20.0% -0.479 -0.8007 -0.041
7 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.418
7 Other 28 25.0% 14.64 42.86% 0.105 -0.6883 -0.776

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3531 29.62 47.1% -0.198 -0.1287 -0.634
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2858 32.82 55.25% 0.507 0.38 -0.116
All Things Weaken 3982 31.13 53.84% -0.275 -0.1173 -0.187
Attenuated Essence 668 28.23 49.25% 0.073 0.1241 -0.41
Back Against the Wall 2779 31.8 52.43% 0.964 0.9437 -0.341
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 682 27.89 45.31% -0.451 -0.2723 -0.776
Burn Brightest Before the End 487 29.92 51.33% 0.316 0.3653 -0.478
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3424 28.79 51.31% 0.31 0.5849 -0.548
Downward Spiral 3864 28.29 51.42% 0.144 0.2384 -0.504
Erosion of Will 3461 28.02 42.33% -0.166 -0.0107 -0.821
Intensifying Exploitation 696 28.27 49.28% 0.12 0.3086 -0.442
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1504 35.12 77.46% 0.833 0.406 0.422
Memory Fades to Dust 3911 29.3 53.87% -0.218 0.007 -0.41
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3908 28.0 47.7% -0.177 -0.0955 -0.589
Promising Farmlands 3408 28.86 50.5% 0.099 0.4498 -0.575
Shattered Fragments of Power 535 30.0 48.97% -0.005 0.0485 -0.522
Slow Dissolution of Will 692 24.59 35.12% -0.737 -0.2748 -1.124
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1037 35.78 81.87% 0.617 -0.0228 0.805
The Border of Life and Death 176 30.54 68.18% 1.306 0.791 0.241
Thriving Communities 4004 28.26 49.38% 0.245 0.4537 -0.512
Thriving Crops 259 29.07 58.69% 0.99 0.7596 -0.337
Unnatural Proliferation 4068 30.49 51.94% 0.365 0.463 -0.481
Untended Land Crumbles 3907 27.49 49.45% 0.066 0.2851 -0.617

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 18833 50.39% 29.2 63.4% -0.144 0.7692 -0.245
B 23500 48.35% 29.48 65.89% 0.068 0.9058 -0.384
C 20036 47.73% 29.27 65.64% 0.183 0.8616 -0.466
D 25529 53.45% 28.84 62.84% -0.035 0.8016 -0.443
E 28907 50.06% 32.4 64.97% 0.354 1.0037 -0.018
F 22761 49.77% 31.75 67.15% 0.36 1.1192 0.103
G 13405 47.73% 28.18 61.81% -0.382 0.3671 -1.4
H 12323 49.21% 28.88 64.14% -0.372 0.3394 -0.648
East 3833 44.03% 31.38 57.32% -0.306 0.505 -0.609
Northeast 2553 43.87% 33.18 61.03% -0.438 0.2388 -0.282
Northwest 2739 44.52% 33.41 61.92% 0.402 1.2109 0.25
Southeast 1674 37.03% 30.54 55.44% 0.301 1.0961 -0.565
Southwest 1587 40.52% 29.07 56.52% -0.666 0.7377 -0.617
West 3990 45.58% 30.59 57.87% -0.493 0.3328 -0.328

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 912 0.0% 19.93 75.55% 0.803 1.5122 -0.022
Not Using Events or Tokens 60 50.0% 21.37 73.33% 0.0 0.4833 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2111 16.38% 38.73 80.86% -0.533 -1.2357 -0.01
Start of Game Growth 3302 20.23% 37.05 81.07% 0.941 0.4737 0.172
Unlimited Undo 11890 44.43% 32.97 68.87% 0.112 0.0834 0.554
Using Tokens but Not Events 10165 37.81% 25.56 70.73% 0.119 -0.0368 -0.112

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5036 42.48% 32.82 70.1% 0.284 0.1753 0.358
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 300 37.0% 31.22 59.67% 0.39 -0.0989 0.48
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1090 52.25% 25.43 61.83% 0.103 0.2616 -0.827
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 262 47.71% 30.35 58.02% -0.387 -1.156 -0.18
Dances Up Earthquakes 72 45.83% 30.18 63.89% 0.21 0.033 -0.893
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1761 39.0% 28.99 71.15% 0.155 -0.0475 0.182
Downpour Drenches the World 1387 41.64% 26.52 55.66% -0.553 -0.2146 -0.273
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1518 44.67% 28.62 57.91% 0.494 0.02 -0.326
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2581 38.58% 32.38 77.06% 0.543 0.1936 0.45
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1834 41.34% 29.93 71.37% -0.275 -0.6317 0.177
Finder of Paths Unseen 1866 51.1% 27.12 53.05% -0.46 0.3085 0.119
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1497 41.28% 32.16 60.19% -0.246 0.1766 -0.22
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1598 47.21% 29.37 65.33% -0.438 -0.4683 0.051
Heart of the Wildfire 2303 55.62% 26.75 58.79% 0.062 0.3887 -0.313
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5504 39.24% 35.98 76.33% 0.29 -0.2072 0.728
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 291 42.27% 29.61 58.42% 0.308 -0.222 0.557
Lightning's Swift Strike 994 48.66% 26.71 69.32% 0.49 0.6834 -0.38
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 527 49.81% 32.13 60.53% 1.074 0.6279 -0.117
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 622 45.62% 32.34 72.03% 0.19 -0.1388 0.683
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 930 39.52% 38.51 71.83% -0.078 0.0326 0.481
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4458 45.49% 31.77 68.89% -0.021 -0.1726 -0.088
Many Minds Move as One 1719 42.29% 28.6 70.22% 0.146 -0.0443 0.411
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3535 44.27% 33.04 66.99% -0.364 -0.2473 0.411
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 83 40.96% 34.53 69.88% 0.558 0.6595 0.409
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2003 44.8% 28.9 69.05% 0.384 0.3183 0.42
River Surges in Sunlight 1932 49.66% 33.69 69.05% -0.227 -0.1977 0.527
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 113 54.87% 29.74 46.02% 0.231 0.4499 -0.417
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 911 42.29% 28.89 62.02% -0.372 -0.2445 -0.959
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 634 49.68% 32.01 58.68% 0.464 0.4631 0.341
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2347 43.63% 31.99 66.08% 0.202 0.1 0.288
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 43 51.16% 36.79 65.12% 0.254 -0.2305 0.364
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 317 59.87% 24.25 62.15% -0.321 0.2204 -0.415
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 130 55.81% 25.72 56.92% 0.479 0.5584 0.02
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 223 46.64% 31.51 65.92% -0.294 -0.7313 0.197
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 127 57.48% 27.96 58.27% -0.91 -0.8574 -0.162
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 450 48.87% 28.19 67.33% 0.249 0.1053 -0.858
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 352 49.86% 26.75 66.76% 0.419 0.5019 -0.087
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1855 40.68% 33.09 72.02% -0.257 -0.3649 0.032
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 387 42.6% 27.69 59.43% 0.395 0.1925 -0.021
Shifting Memory of Ages 1671 48.74% 27.41 62.72% -0.397 -0.024 -0.403
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 213 48.36% 27.83 58.22% 0.052 -0.0023 0.514
Shroud of Silent Mist 1708 53.49% 24.72 62.0% -0.651 -0.2306 -0.314
Starlight Seeks its Form 2690 44.61% 34.4 69.41% -0.043 -0.0755 0.817
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4468 45.64% 30.09 64.93% -0.193 -0.7119 -0.385
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2011 41.1% 32.06 71.95% -0.253 -0.1789 0.579
Thunderspeaker 2105 37.61% 30.3 68.65% -0.372 -0.3807 -0.297
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 183 37.36% 22.3 47.54% -0.658 -0.2833 -0.307
Towering Roots of the Jungle 390 50.77% 25.68 49.49% -0.526 -0.3264 -0.409
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2439 65.15% 26.56 54.37% -0.614 -0.5433 -0.081
Vital Strength of the Earth 992 41.66% 23.71 67.74% 0.548 0.9951 -0.349
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 412 49.88% 29.48 54.37% 0.17 0.6782 0.319
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 487 51.03% 25.61 59.75% -0.677 0.0202 -0.371
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 568 46.3% 27.32 57.57% 0.505 0.2379 -0.329

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Molten Stone 86.13%
Lava Flows 88.96%
Pyroclastic Bombardment 96.12%
Rain of Ash 71.26%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 24369 14.23 13.93%
II 42951 30.29 65.81%
III 28951 34.84 89.19%
IV 8147 38.61 99.77%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3262
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 24621
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 27159
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7687
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 10379
Lose: Invader deck ran out 356
Lose: Adversary condition 6748
Win: Sacrifice victory 2575
Lose: Scenario condition 551
Win: Scenario condition 309
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14119
Lose: Spirit destroyed 6652

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.234 Win Model: -0.137

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.004 Win Model: 0.073
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 63637 53.64% 29.68 61.36%
2 21924 55.04% 29.44 62.46%
3 9991 47.23% 30.76 67.6%
4 5860 41.61% 32.55 70.15%
5 587 38.12% 26.92 70.19%
6 2419 30.54% 30.38 65.98%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-23 02:50:12 (Pacific Time)