Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 73 50.68% 21.41 45.21% -0.022 -0.1859 -1.294
Blitz 0 591 48.19% 25.9 56.85% -0.724 -0.5845 -1.149
Dahan Insurrection 4 328 39.94% 45.23 64.02% -0.13 -0.3805 0.517
Despicable Theft 2 162 47.53% 27.73 53.7% 0.295 0.8015 -0.729
Elemental Invocation 1 677 61.42% 24.72 56.13% -1.265 -0.3957 -1.303
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2969 22.12% 45.53 74.07% 0.469 -0.3159 0.455
Powers Long Forgotten 1 182 48.9% 20.41 41.76% -0.955 -0.0372 -0.934
Rituals of Terror 3 136 58.96% 28.17 44.12% -1.013 -0.9289 -0.404
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 124 70.16% 25.31 50.0% -1.082 0.1384 -0.259
Second Wave 0 2214 43.31% 26.2 73.67% 0.386 0.4872 0.421
The Great River 3 379 49.08% 30.8 59.63% -1.148 0.2368 -0.957
Varied Terrains 2 139 54.68% 24.14 47.48% -0.75 0.0497 -0.923
Ward the Shores 2 165 49.08% 25.16 46.67% -1.789 -0.7794 -0.32

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 51528 55.31% 30.99 64.2% 0.442 0.6027 0.333
1 Thematic 1771 52.96% 28.87 57.54% -0.156 0.4624 -0.376
2 Archipelago 76 54.17% 30.03 71.05% -0.071 0.2945 0.108
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10306 57.66% 30.22 64.53% 0.494 0.472 0.04
2 Coastline 2054 53.23% 31.94 67.53% 0.137 0.19 0.282
2 Fragment 586 63.53% 41.93 70.48% 0.281 -0.0265 1.598
2 Heart 269 61.71% 30.92 61.34% 0.267 0.2189 0.312
2 Opposite Shores 2819 52.07% 28.21 66.55% 0.04 0.0402 -0.298
2 Thematic 753 54.27% 27.21 53.12% -0.246 -0.0408 -0.685
2 Top to Top 643 59.69% 32.22 64.07% 0.426 0.3045 -0.121
3 Archipelago 56 62.5% 29.61 55.36% -0.898 -1.4193 -0.78
3 Coastline 82 57.32% 30.3 59.76% 0.585 -0.3602 0.554
3 Other 312 44.05% 28.03 78.85% 0.448 -0.0716 0.072
3 Round (Default) 7434 47.7% 31.7 69.18% 0.204 -0.1406 -0.045
3 Sunrise 28 60.71% 37.89 78.57% 0.676 0.9457 0.699
3 Thematic 234 62.82% 29.14 60.26% 0.108 -0.1928 -0.242
4 Archipelago 64 34.92% 31.09 79.69% 0.221 -0.0671 0.039
4 Coastline 40 30.0% 28.3 85.0% 0.244 -0.772 0.637
4 Leaf 27 55.56% 30.07 62.96% 0.0 -0.1223 -0.772
4 Other 208 43.0% 32.16 83.17% 0.886 -0.3787 0.775
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.0 0.3562 0.0
4 Thematic 773 40.78% 42.96 72.83% -0.588 -0.672 -0.361
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3607 43.21% 32.86 73.05% -0.316 -0.4851 0.055
5 Archipelago 13 69.23% 31.0 100.0% 0.478 1.1692 0.0
5 Coastline 34 11.76% 39.79 70.59% 0.33 -0.5281 -0.633
5 Other 397 43.8% 30.65 76.83% 0.14 -0.9666 0.631
5 Thematic 42 45.24% 40.83 78.57% 0.038 0.0412 0.774
6 Archipelago 30 16.67% 38.13 73.33% 0.27 -0.8854 -0.117
6 Coastline 38 0.0% 52.26 78.95% -0.259 -1.0435 -0.564
6 Other 210 34.29% 28.4 73.81% -1.179 -1.2755 0.013
6 Star 169 47.93% 32.1 65.68% -1.135 -0.9159 -0.553
6 Thematic 553 37.75% 34.18 65.28% -1.132 -0.4698 -0.956
6 Two Centers (Default) 784 24.87% 30.74 74.74% -0.58 -0.8891 -0.93
7 Archipelago 6 16.67% 10.33 33.33% 0.108 0.1098 0.167
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.475
7 Other 21 19.05% 16.1 42.86% -0.3 0.1322 -0.571

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3130 30.08 47.57% -0.062 0.0716 -0.881
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2537 33.17 55.38% 0.266 0.1434 -0.333
All Things Weaken 3483 31.57 54.55% -0.046 0.273 -0.453
Attenuated Essence 338 27.8 48.22% 0.256 0.2875 -0.729
Back Against the Wall 2488 31.82 52.09% 0.49 0.5237 -0.63
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 376 26.73 45.21% -0.026 0.1363 -1.06
Burn Brightest Before the End 272 30.1 48.53% 0.045 0.0909 -0.725
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2978 29.05 51.01% -0.0 0.3585 -0.857
Downward Spiral 3348 28.9 52.24% 0.276 0.4377 -0.767
Erosion of Will 3059 28.33 42.69% -0.139 0.0813 -1.1
Intensifying Exploitation 349 28.51 51.0% 0.679 0.9104 -0.602
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1325 35.64 78.72% 0.624 0.0601 0.203
Memory Fades to Dust 3355 29.81 54.96% 0.124 0.4163 -0.706
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3419 28.61 48.55% 0.064 0.2173 -0.844
Promising Farmlands 3016 29.34 51.19% -0.05 0.2527 -0.802
Shattered Fragments of Power 272 30.08 49.63% 0.196 0.2819 -0.815
Slow Dissolution of Will 361 25.47 38.5% -0.311 0.0683 -1.2
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 923 36.54 83.42% 0.999 0.2461 0.625
The Border of Life and Death 93 32.16 74.19% 1.135 0.6645 0.092
Thriving Communities 3475 28.69 49.58% -0.265 0.0372 -0.79
Thriving Crops 149 30.24 62.42% 0.071 -0.0253 -0.224
Unnatural Proliferation 3551 30.85 52.01% -0.027 0.1463 -0.794
Untended Land Crumbles 3410 27.95 50.0% 0.181 0.442 -0.922

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 15226 51.69% 30.47 65.98% -0.032 1.1166 -0.185
B 19127 49.65% 30.63 68.42% 0.179 1.2342 -0.352
C 16178 48.64% 30.27 67.84% 0.226 1.1181 -0.461
D 20932 54.81% 29.88 64.87% 0.228 1.2879 -0.42
E 23799 51.17% 33.66 67.15% 0.599 1.5051 0.009
F 18653 50.67% 32.88 69.51% 0.481 1.4863 0.103
G 10530 50.83% 29.55 66.75% -0.192 0.7826 -0.701
H 9904 50.97% 29.98 66.66% -0.402 0.5924 -0.6
East 2884 47.5% 33.69 62.55% -0.203 0.7996 -0.418
Northeast 2003 45.93% 35.63 64.8% -0.55 0.3793 -0.343
Northwest 2166 46.97% 35.93 65.88% 0.803 1.8303 0.222
Southeast 1148 42.33% 32.69 63.41% -0.762 0.1807 -0.51
Southwest 1181 43.25% 31.66 62.32% -0.985 0.4702 -0.302
West 3142 48.01% 33.14 62.25% -0.28 0.8483 -0.522

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 595 0.0% 21.54 76.64% -1.075 -0.4228 0.537
Not Using Events or Tokens 48 55.0% 20.75 70.83% 0.368 0.8612 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1765 17.23% 40.62 84.42% -0.132 -0.7384 -0.508
Start of Game Growth 2801 20.96% 38.57 83.61% 0.645 0.2351 0.112
Unlimited Undo 9896 45.7% 33.88 71.01% 0.141 0.0301 0.5
Using Tokens but Not Events 7908 38.37% 27.21 75.73% 0.184 0.2624 0.178

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 4243 43.99% 33.65 71.95% 0.264 0.2224 0.149
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 905 52.54% 26.47 62.87% -0.181 -0.0204 -0.889
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 110 59.09% 37.95 71.82% 0.399 -0.6257 1.002
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1429 40.85% 30.28 73.34% 0.052 -0.1565 -0.01
Downpour Drenches the World 994 42.42% 28.49 60.36% 0.137 0.3963 -0.361
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 959 47.44% 29.54 58.71% 0.205 -0.3556 -0.453
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2112 38.67% 33.06 78.74% -0.028 -0.506 0.331
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1458 41.99% 31.14 73.66% 0.302 -0.1057 0.191
Finder of Paths Unseen 1272 51.77% 29.09 57.7% -0.813 -0.0525 0.237
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1229 41.99% 34.21 64.69% -0.783 -0.0973 -0.122
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1234 48.82% 31.16 69.53% 0.316 0.3172 0.148
Heart of the Wildfire 1892 57.3% 28.16 61.21% -0.352 0.0138 -0.364
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4760 39.53% 36.81 78.95% 0.557 0.1241 0.726
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 123 45.53% 29.24 56.91% 0.197 -0.3077 0.072
Lightning's Swift Strike 799 48.15% 28.22 72.47% 0.537 0.7566 -0.274
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 394 52.7% 32.25 58.12% 0.051 -0.5555 -0.329
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 507 45.91% 34.38 76.92% 0.283 -0.0192 0.77
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 756 41.7% 39.95 74.07% 0.176 0.0909 0.317
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3822 47.02% 32.82 70.75% -0.289 -0.5293 -0.134
Many Minds Move as One 1412 42.97% 29.34 71.88% -0.181 -0.3421 0.39
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2743 46.73% 34.22 70.4% 0.184 0.2176 0.248
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1666 46.3% 30.3 71.97% 0.092 -0.067 0.283
River Surges in Sunlight 1638 49.14% 34.94 71.92% -0.372 -0.3333 0.531
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 743 45.1% 30.31 65.95% 0.217 0.539 -0.788
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 452 50.67% 33.58 59.73% -0.083 -0.1175 0.309
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1939 45.16% 33.4 67.97% 0.015 -0.0931 0.136
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 276 61.31% 24.5 62.32% -0.266 0.3042 -0.456
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 101 57.0% 28.49 61.39% 0.187 0.2172 0.108
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 83 40.96% 35.75 69.88% 0.611 0.1794 0.72
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 96 58.33% 30.24 63.54% 0.018 0.2004 -0.154
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 372 47.57% 29.19 68.82% 0.355 0.2408 -1.219
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 302 49.83% 27.55 67.88% -0.004 0.2025 -0.139
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1562 41.96% 34.4 74.58% -0.319 -0.3442 0.1
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 187 44.39% 28.81 62.57% 0.509 0.1699 -0.011
Shifting Memory of Ages 1385 51.63% 28.25 63.83% 0.019 0.3087 -0.515
Shroud of Silent Mist 1462 55.07% 26.1 64.57% -0.547 -0.2705 -0.386
Starlight Seeks its Form 1931 42.92% 36.22 74.05% 0.668 0.44 0.873
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3783 46.57% 31.41 66.8% -0.254 -0.6981 -0.491
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1645 43.15% 34.11 75.93% 0.262 0.3997 0.636
Thunderspeaker 1673 39.69% 31.84 71.91% -0.082 -0.0536 -0.1
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 115 44.74% 24.93 49.57% -0.88 -0.6938 -0.352
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2069 66.98% 27.4 56.07% -0.405 -0.2222 -0.232
Vital Strength of the Earth 784 43.02% 24.98 69.39% -0.328 0.2481 -0.494
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 292 52.4% 31.64 56.85% -0.49 -0.1188 0.313
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 404 53.85% 27.01 62.62% -0.085 0.6598 -0.128
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 231 48.48% 30.02 66.23% 0.443 -0.0868 -0.089

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Molten Stone 85.94%
Lava Flows 88.86%
Pyroclastic Bombardment 96.04%
Rain of Ash 70.29%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 17627 16.73 16.27%
II 36822 30.59 66.54%
III 24650 34.74 89.2%
IV 6874 38.31 99.81%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2754
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 20948
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 23502
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6471
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5520
Lose: Invader deck ran out 310
Lose: Adversary condition 5825
Win: Sacrifice victory 2266
Lose: Scenario condition 471
Win: Scenario condition 279
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12200
Lose: Spirit destroyed 5427

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.501 Win Model: -0.126

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.145 Win Model: 0.279
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 53484 55.24% 30.91 63.92%
2 17520 56.47% 30.49 65.07%
3 8063 48.13% 31.53 69.24%
4 4719 42.07% 34.48 73.96%
5 394 41.58% 28.69 73.6%
6 1793 31.17% 32.23 70.89%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-02-22 04:13:51 (Pacific Time)