Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 117 42.74% 21.47 49.57% -0.432 -0.3426 -0.95
Blitz 0 756 43.97% 23.46 52.25% -0.7 -0.4558 -1.217
Dahan Insurrection 4 391 38.87% 42.01 59.59% -0.71 -0.9733 0.585
Despicable Theft 2 235 42.13% 24.61 48.09% -1.108 -0.493 -0.818
Elemental Invocation 1 833 58.43% 23.15 51.86% -1.137 -0.4134 -1.192
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3749 20.63% 43.28 69.51% 0.573 0.0321 0.561
Powers Long Forgotten 1 277 43.32% 17.82 36.1% -1.289 -0.5878 -0.752
Rituals of Terror 3 201 50.75% 24.06 38.31% -0.745 -0.5748 -0.585
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 187 61.5% 22.5 44.92% -1.008 -0.089 -0.299
Second Wave 0 2939 41.85% 25.71 70.94% 0.07 0.2055 0.519
The Great River 3 469 45.2% 27.88 54.37% -0.93 0.1666 -0.937
Varied Terrains 2 244 49.18% 22.82 45.08% -0.475 0.2993 -0.536
Ward the Shores 2 240 42.86% 21.95 40.83% -1.746 -0.6881 -0.215

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 65780 53.56% 29.29 60.9% 0.649 1.0627 0.564
1 Thematic 2484 47.1% 27.16 51.73% 0.324 1.0484 -0.271
2 Archipelago 103 55.56% 28.76 63.11% -0.808 0.0683 -0.575
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 14009 55.89% 28.96 61.61% 0.631 0.8187 0.225
2 Coastline 2841 52.87% 30.44 63.25% 0.381 0.4031 0.496
2 Fragment 731 60.83% 38.63 66.89% 0.836 0.7352 1.621
2 Heart 327 59.2% 31.09 61.77% 0.311 0.2191 0.632
2 Opposite Shores 3842 51.46% 26.59 61.56% 0.249 0.4909 -0.211
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.392 0.7231 0.0
2 Thematic 1079 49.21% 24.81 48.1% -0.782 -0.2301 -0.636
2 Top to Top 874 57.41% 30.35 62.24% 0.54 0.5987 -0.002
3 Archipelago 70 55.71% 31.29 57.14% 0.05 -0.6838 -0.367
3 Coastline 106 52.83% 29.33 58.49% 0.266 -0.1131 0.602
3 Other 378 42.82% 26.66 73.81% 0.351 -0.3245 0.622
3 Round (Default) 10022 46.91% 30.55 67.0% 0.488 0.4552 0.025
3 Sunrise 40 52.5% 35.08 75.0% 0.762 0.7018 0.791
3 Thematic 367 56.01% 25.45 54.22% -0.637 -0.6307 -0.204
4 Archipelago 77 40.79% 31.88 80.52% 1.117 0.9307 0.407
4 Coastline 47 34.04% 29.28 82.98% 0.0 -0.0331 0.777
4 Leaf 70 57.14% 28.26 55.71% -0.183 -0.2616 -0.406
4 Other 247 43.67% 30.29 77.33% 0.383 -0.2599 0.832
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3306 0.0
4 Thematic 940 39.7% 39.6 68.19% -0.412 -0.3297 -0.644
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4977 41.91% 30.28 67.83% -0.371 -0.2903 -0.13
5 Archipelago 20 70.0% 32.75 90.0% 0.452 0.026 0.0
5 Coastline 41 9.76% 36.73 68.29% 0.0 -0.0361 -0.604
5 Other 603 40.93% 28.21 72.64% 0.375 -0.0858 -0.086
5 Thematic 66 37.88% 36.02 71.21% -0.661 -1.0274 0.637
6 Archipelago 42 11.9% 36.95 69.05% -1.164 -2.1088 -0.251
6 Coastline 62 3.23% 52.52 79.03% 0.247 -0.6375 -0.619
6 Other 324 32.72% 25.36 66.98% 0.069 0.0074 -0.162
6 Star 246 43.9% 29.44 63.01% -0.231 -0.2244 -0.744
6 Thematic 856 38.57% 31.33 57.94% -0.404 -0.2613 -1.181
6 Two Centers (Default) 1174 26.11% 28.8 68.14% -1.028 -0.5119 -1.421
7 Archipelago 11 18.18% 10.45 18.18% -0.341 -0.6401 -0.031
7 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.393
7 Other 30 26.67% 14.23 40.0% -1.07 -1.4163 -0.827

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3768 29.42 46.79% 0.011 0.2699 -0.563
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3038 32.58 55.04% 0.533 0.4551 -0.057
All Things Weaken 4239 30.88 53.6% 0.063 0.408 -0.111
Attenuated Essence 808 28.58 49.13% 0.339 0.3993 -0.326
Back Against the Wall 2937 31.66 52.33% 0.269 0.286 -0.288
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 806 27.99 46.15% 0.287 0.5202 -0.685
Burn Brightest Before the End 607 29.54 49.75% -0.182 -0.1644 -0.407
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3668 28.62 50.98% 0.049 0.3938 -0.471
Downward Spiral 4141 27.92 51.07% 0.011 0.1376 -0.466
Erosion of Will 3656 27.78 42.07% -0.208 0.0919 -0.793
Intensifying Exploitation 840 27.5 48.1% -0.297 -0.0637 -0.376
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1602 34.91 77.09% 0.904 0.3627 0.479
Memory Fades to Dust 4179 29.03 53.65% 0.269 0.507 -0.34
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4165 27.64 47.2% -0.174 0.0413 -0.542
Promising Farmlands 3607 28.72 50.12% -0.004 0.2773 -0.532
Shattered Fragments of Power 645 30.17 49.15% 0.534 0.62 -0.36
Slow Dissolution of Will 846 24.52 34.16% -0.698 -0.285 -1.061
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1078 35.28 81.17% 0.726 0.0533 0.832
The Border of Life and Death 205 30.34 69.27% 0.672 0.0922 0.281
Thriving Communities 4251 27.96 49.45% 0.03 0.3692 -0.469
Thriving Crops 321 29.5 59.5% 0.648 0.4904 -0.138
Unnatural Proliferation 4324 30.14 51.36% -0.136 0.0401 -0.417
Untended Land Crumbles 4169 27.32 49.12% -0.189 0.0393 -0.565

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 20520 50.18% 28.62 62.39% -0.454 0.5306 -0.283
B 25553 48.25% 29.02 64.89% -0.241 0.663 -0.399
C 21754 47.5% 28.8 64.68% -0.441 0.2716 -0.494
D 27728 53.1% 28.3 61.85% -0.352 0.5931 -0.479
E 31250 49.94% 31.97 64.17% 0.044 0.8528 -0.027
F 24564 49.57% 31.3 66.36% -0.081 0.7876 0.097
G 14560 47.41% 27.74 61.07% -0.74 0.0683 -1.373
H 13497 48.71% 28.27 63.06% -0.761 0.0469 -0.674
East 4172 44.07% 30.6 55.75% -0.501 0.392 -0.68
Northeast 2799 44.23% 32.39 59.31% -0.019 0.7768 -0.297
Northwest 2971 44.55% 32.75 60.48% -0.18 0.7426 0.145
Southeast 1831 38.18% 29.89 53.96% -0.372 0.4091 -0.561
Southwest 1728 41.15% 28.6 55.09% -0.927 0.4097 -0.613
West 4287 45.38% 30.03 56.66% -0.575 0.3905 -0.271

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1031 0.0% 19.77 74.01% -0.617 0.1045 0.008
Not Using Events or Tokens 72 47.37% 20.53 73.61% 0.881 1.2319 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2225 16.51% 38.24 80.36% 0.336 -0.2377 0.113
Start of Game Growth 3488 20.43% 36.74 80.28% 0.523 0.02 0.139
Unlimited Undo 12434 44.18% 32.68 68.55% 0.261 0.1493 0.57
Using Tokens but Not Events 11078 37.28% 25.12 70.53% 0.493 0.4621 -0.096

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5374 42.27% 32.49 69.56% 0.419 0.3173 0.442
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 421 41.81% 30.12 57.72% 0.228 -0.254 0.393
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1146 51.71% 24.97 60.82% -0.551 -0.4256 -0.865
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 314 47.13% 29.23 56.05% -0.155 -0.9859 -0.171
Dances Up Earthquakes 280 49.29% 28.78 65.0% 0.352 0.3757 -0.19
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1910 39.21% 28.65 70.16% 0.23 0.1148 0.199
Downpour Drenches the World 1537 41.47% 26.49 55.95% 0.459 0.6704 -0.205
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1818 43.07% 28.22 58.03% 0.365 -0.2047 -0.239
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2818 38.2% 32.01 76.69% 0.491 0.1034 0.479
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1991 41.01% 29.5 70.22% 0.345 -0.0534 0.167
Finder of Paths Unseen 2089 51.68% 26.43 51.84% -0.395 0.3159 0.048
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1595 41.5% 31.23 58.56% -0.491 0.1304 -0.261
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1731 46.99% 28.75 63.95% -0.18 -0.2818 -0.019
Heart of the Wildfire 2519 55.16% 26.17 58.28% -0.081 0.2515 -0.352
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5769 39.41% 35.75 75.7% 0.477 0.0492 0.732
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 363 38.57% 28.63 58.13% 0.251 -0.082 0.387
Lightning's Swift Strike 1097 48.28% 26.18 68.37% 0.214 0.4551 -0.455
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 612 49.42% 30.79 58.5% -0.278 -0.6978 -0.109
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 676 44.63% 31.69 70.71% 0.229 -0.0889 0.63
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1010 40.7% 37.47 69.41% -0.014 -0.142 0.43
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4783 45.31% 31.37 67.95% 0.074 -0.1252 -0.129
Many Minds Move as One 1873 42.5% 28.06 68.82% 0.063 -0.1701 0.458
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3704 44.06% 32.59 66.25% 0.226 0.3683 0.373
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 379 47.57% 27.2 52.77% -0.14 -0.0456 -0.24
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2195 45.12% 28.28 66.88% -0.457 -0.5177 0.326
River Surges in Sunlight 2038 49.53% 33.14 68.35% 0.321 0.441 0.5
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 148 48.65% 29.57 48.65% -0.155 0.0143 -0.265
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 970 43.23% 28.45 61.03% -0.82 -0.5481 -0.965
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 698 50.87% 31.74 58.17% 0.186 0.0772 0.333
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2487 43.66% 31.67 65.5% -0.032 -0.1569 0.281
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 130 54.62% 30.84 57.69% 0.122 0.0173 0.979
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 354 58.67% 23.48 61.58% -0.043 0.4584 -0.526
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 137 55.15% 25.01 54.74% -1.038 -1.0759 -0.094
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 291 45.36% 31.2 64.26% 0.312 -0.2046 0.208
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 136 58.09% 27.52 58.09% 0.065 -0.0456 -0.176
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 476 48.09% 27.23 65.13% -1.128 -1.1334 -0.915
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 371 49.46% 26.54 66.04% 0.345 0.4688 -0.191
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1966 41.03% 32.4 70.6% -0.25 -0.1809 -0.015
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 452 40.67% 26.69 57.52% -0.474 -0.6595 0.023
Shifting Memory of Ages 1781 48.76% 26.92 61.48% -0.427 -0.1688 -0.421
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 315 49.21% 25.95 52.38% 0.099 -0.0406 0.517
Shroud of Silent Mist 1837 53.13% 24.32 61.51% 0.094 0.4449 -0.329
Starlight Seeks its Form 2919 45.31% 33.79 67.8% -0.082 -0.1907 0.758
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4710 45.77% 29.69 64.35% 0.148 -0.3664 -0.352
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2152 40.89% 31.47 70.86% -0.052 0.0377 0.568
Thunderspeaker 2258 37.32% 30.17 68.82% 0.692 0.735 -0.294
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 205 37.75% 22.6 47.8% 0.292 0.3205 -0.137
Towering Roots of the Jungle 539 51.02% 26.04 52.13% 0.213 0.3503 -0.229
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2594 64.74% 26.18 53.47% -0.389 -0.2394 -0.078
Vital Strength of the Earth 1070 40.49% 23.62 68.13% 0.669 1.2672 -0.338
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 459 49.78% 29.37 54.47% 0.076 0.5546 0.255
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 522 49.52% 24.88 58.24% -0.436 0.2691 -0.421
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 672 45.83% 27.08 58.04% 0.193 -0.1231 -0.321

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Molten Stone 86.08%
Lava Flows 88.96%
Pyroclastic Bombardment 96.07%
Rain of Ash 71.59%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 27305 13.38 13.1%
II 45924 30.11 65.48%
III 31014 34.83 89.15%
IV 8652 38.67 99.76%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3440
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 26348
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 28881
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8161
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 12674
Lose: Invader deck ran out 373
Lose: Adversary condition 7164
Win: Sacrifice victory 2776
Lose: Scenario condition 573
Win: Scenario condition 322
Lose: Blight pool ran out 15127
Lose: Spirit destroyed 7056

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.29 Win Model: -0.152

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.068 Win Model: 0.174
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 68559 53.32% 29.18 60.46%
2 23759 54.84% 29.03 61.67%
3 10876 47.17% 30.34 66.87%
4 6338 41.37% 31.69 68.71%
5 649 38.33% 26.72 68.88%
6 2714 31.53% 29.93 64.59%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-04 03:36:23 (Pacific Time)