Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 140 37.86% 20.99 50.0% -0.534 -0.1644 -0.11
Blitz 0 889 41.98% 22.27 49.38% -0.595 -0.1634 -1.237
Dahan Insurrection 4 439 38.72% 40.31 57.4% -0.248 -0.2743 -0.214
Despicable Theft 2 290 43.1% 23.93 46.21% -0.24 0.4192 -0.119
Elemental Invocation 1 936 57.56% 22.95 50.96% 0.225 0.6725 -0.334
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 4108 20.59% 42.47 68.52% 0.532 -0.068 0.645
Powers Long Forgotten 1 328 42.07% 16.73 34.76% -1.207 -0.599 -0.787
Rituals of Terror 3 233 47.62% 23.78 37.77% 0.205 0.3292 -0.143
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 233 60.94% 22.42 43.35% 0.058 0.7964 -1.036
Second Wave 0 3350 42.0% 25.42 70.06% 0.994 1.1 0.885
The Great River 3 547 44.06% 27.54 53.02% -0.189 0.9862 -0.029
Varied Terrains 2 291 47.08% 21.71 42.27% -0.821 -0.0842 -0.416
Ward the Shores 2 291 38.75% 19.73 37.11% -1.01 -0.3273 -1.498

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 74465 53.13% 28.73 59.81% 0.142 0.3665 0.225
1 Thematic 2790 45.61% 26.45 50.07% -0.118 0.4318 -0.116
2 Archipelago 117 54.46% 28.5 61.54% -0.418 -0.7714 -0.588
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 16032 54.96% 28.38 60.58% 0.085 0.1964 -0.031
2 Coastline 3224 53.62% 29.81 61.51% -0.064 -0.1535 -0.365
2 Fragment 808 60.6% 37.28 65.1% 0.98 0.641 0.423
2 Heart 379 58.73% 29.9 60.69% 0.577 0.25 0.74
2 Opposite Shores 4486 51.32% 26.04 59.88% -0.714 -0.6775 -0.678
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 1299 47.95% 24.23 45.5% -0.673 -0.1445 -1.194
2 Top to Top 1021 58.45% 29.68 60.33% 0.044 -0.1623 0.656
3 Archipelago 77 53.25% 31.79 57.14% -0.308 -0.2075 -0.277
3 Coastline 132 53.03% 31.07 56.82% 1.204 0.6826 1.279
3 Other 428 44.6% 25.9 71.96% 0.798 0.0562 0.525
3 Round (Default) 11418 46.87% 30.14 66.24% 0.121 0.0249 -0.12
3 Sunrise 43 48.84% 33.0 72.09% -0.301 -1.0405 0.0
3 Thematic 432 52.44% 24.62 52.55% -0.917 -0.6754 -0.48
4 Archipelago 95 35.11% 32.01 81.05% 0.197 0.2782 0.0
4 Coastline 62 35.48% 26.63 74.19% 0.0 0.2598 0.334
4 Leaf 74 54.05% 27.47 55.41% 0.378 -0.1761 0.0
4 Other 276 44.69% 30.29 75.36% 0.593 0.0454 -0.732
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.0 0.2322 0.0
4 Thematic 1027 39.75% 38.39 65.73% 0.495 0.9685 0.497
4 Trapezoid (Default) 5723 41.99% 29.39 65.94% -0.564 -0.7523 0.364
5 Archipelago 25 64.0% 32.76 88.0% 0.0 1.4461 0.0
5 Coastline 45 8.89% 34.96 66.67% 0.0 -0.6104 0.0
5 Other 727 40.97% 27.25 69.74% -0.204 -0.5307 -0.046
5 Thematic 74 37.84% 35.57 71.62% 0.567 0.0759 0.261
6 Archipelago 52 11.54% 35.12 71.15% 0.155 -0.7705 0.613
6 Coastline 65 4.62% 52.42 80.0% 0.0 0.3287 0.219
6 Other 405 34.07% 26.23 66.17% -0.207 0.0622 -0.021
6 Star 278 43.53% 28.89 61.87% 0.0 0.7961 -0.179
6 Thematic 983 37.96% 30.55 56.56% -0.835 -0.2545 0.119
6 Two Centers (Default) 1370 26.55% 26.95 64.31% -0.484 -0.5069 -0.671
7 Archipelago 12 16.67% 9.58 16.67% 0.0 0.4064 0.0
7 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 42 21.43% 13.5 33.33% -0.518 -0.7734 -0.92

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4150 29.15 46.31% -0.046 0.2643 -0.415
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3325 32.4 54.68% -0.191 -0.1774 0.621
All Things Weaken 4708 30.72 53.48% 0.159 0.6327 0.627
Attenuated Essence 1116 28.33 48.92% -0.457 -0.3106 0.183
Back Against the Wall 3202 31.54 52.81% 0.506 0.6354 0.611
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1110 28.55 48.47% -0.244 0.0758 0.393
Burn Brightest Before the End 820 28.82 49.02% -0.457 -0.2803 0.116
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4058 28.45 50.39% -0.039 0.3414 0.539
Downward Spiral 4616 27.72 51.17% -0.138 0.0558 0.445
Erosion of Will 4047 27.57 41.81% -0.469 -0.1312 -0.438
Intensifying Exploitation 1146 27.32 47.38% -0.233 0.1193 0.059
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1770 34.87 76.84% 1.848 1.4846 1.257
Memory Fades to Dust 4674 28.71 52.93% -0.332 -0.0029 0.336
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4629 27.53 47.12% -0.064 0.2028 0.487
Promising Farmlands 3975 28.41 49.26% -0.16 0.2877 -0.106
Shattered Fragments of Power 875 30.46 50.17% 0.17 0.1698 0.306
Slow Dissolution of Will 1134 24.47 34.66% -0.498 -0.0866 0.15
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1199 34.8 80.07% 0.838 0.2791 0.931
The Border of Life and Death 263 29.49 65.78% 0.051 -0.1943 -0.069
Thriving Communities 4709 27.67 49.01% -0.196 0.0821 -0.047
Thriving Crops 430 30.09 60.93% 0.37 0.2745 0.81
Unnatural Proliferation 4802 29.97 51.31% -0.264 -0.0588 0.248
Untended Land Crumbles 4612 27.0 48.76% -0.1 0.199 -0.068

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 23464 49.83% 27.96 61.13% -0.059 0.9321 0.202
B 29325 48.14% 28.43 63.38% 0.324 1.1896 0.011
C 25014 47.13% 28.15 63.24% 0.226 0.9783 -0.026
D 31777 52.61% 27.65 60.5% 0.237 1.1816 -0.105
E 35515 49.62% 31.41 63.12% 0.527 1.2816 0.752
F 27936 49.26% 30.63 65.13% 0.486 1.36 0.464
G 16586 47.16% 27.08 59.87% -0.04 0.8221 -0.318
H 15538 48.53% 27.58 61.49% -0.208 0.5994 -0.099
East 4778 43.21% 29.6 53.5% 0.256 1.0019 -0.431
Northeast 3202 43.25% 31.4 57.21% -0.194 0.6995 -0.01
Northwest 3395 43.54% 31.86 58.5% 0.134 0.8775 0.018
Southeast 2108 37.81% 29.0 52.32% -0.476 0.5326 -0.015
Southwest 1968 40.5% 27.73 53.56% -0.503 0.654 0.041
West 4883 44.34% 29.15 54.72% -0.7 0.2822 -0.516

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1167 0.0% 19.7 72.58% -1.435 -0.7155 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 92 45.45% 18.64 67.39% 0.0 0.4745 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2472 17.59% 37.21 78.92% 0.602 -0.2025 -0.558
Start of Game Growth 3798 21.26% 36.17 79.04% -0.212 -0.7785 1.11
Unlimited Undo 13626 43.96% 32.07 67.21% -0.476 -0.4484 0.545
Using Tokens but Not Events 12787 37.28% 24.54 69.48% 0.276 0.2485 -0.129

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5969 41.79% 31.47 68.05% 0.557 0.139 0.108
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 703 45.32% 30.27 56.61% 0.238 -0.4179 0.693
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 49 55.1% 28.06 57.14% -0.232 -0.3893 0.25
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 341 46.31% 34.3 64.81% 0.574 -0.2864 0.722
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1277 51.18% 24.36 60.77% 0.186 0.3235 -0.257
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 413 44.17% 29.68 59.08% 0.512 -0.5175 0.913
Dances Up Earthquakes 496 50.0% 28.11 62.1% -1.025 -1.0616 0.513
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2199 39.76% 27.99 68.67% -0.3 -0.6545 -0.42
Downpour Drenches the World 1889 40.16% 25.77 54.31% -0.276 -0.1518 0.172
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2222 43.33% 28.04 57.43% 0.076 -0.4947 0.083
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3177 38.21% 31.24 74.6% -0.076 -0.7218 1.037
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2288 40.93% 28.72 68.88% 0.029 -0.4648 0.202
Finder of Paths Unseen 2487 50.99% 25.63 50.78% -0.481 0.1073 -0.273
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1748 41.13% 30.3 57.38% -0.188 0.259 0.044
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1970 46.51% 28.04 62.08% -0.296 -0.4808 -0.081
Heart of the Wildfire 2841 53.58% 25.44 57.09% 0.449 0.5915 -0.458
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6245 39.82% 35.11 74.17% 0.237 -0.4376 -0.059
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 508 38.61% 27.7 54.72% -0.118 -0.6455 -0.172
Lightning's Swift Strike 1269 48.55% 25.67 67.06% -0.397 -0.3642 0.348
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 738 46.25% 29.98 57.72% 0.449 -0.2029 0.675
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 754 43.85% 30.57 68.97% -0.791 -1.287 0.807
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1164 41.67% 36.2 66.67% -0.049 -0.2884 0.377
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5373 45.22% 30.46 66.18% -0.088 -0.5142 -0.469
Many Minds Move as One 2142 42.49% 27.51 67.74% 0.4 -0.1092 0.08
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4154 43.47% 31.55 64.25% 0.227 -0.0427 -0.138
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 667 48.62% 26.19 53.22% -0.025 -0.1385 -0.382
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2477 44.5% 27.88 65.85% 0.728 0.4341 -0.131
River Surges in Sunlight 2231 49.52% 32.11 67.23% 0.216 0.0456 -0.238
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 220 47.03% 28.09 48.64% 0.231 0.1201 -0.467
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1080 42.43% 27.67 60.0% -0.619 -0.6847 -1.219
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 871 50.17% 30.47 54.76% -0.722 -0.8521 0.179
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2715 43.13% 31.01 64.9% 0.824 0.5596 0.118
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 245 47.52% 29.14 57.96% 0.365 -0.0653 -1.029
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 397 60.31% 22.56 60.71% 0.492 0.9206 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 156 52.9% 25.79 57.05% 0.431 0.4353 -0.142
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 392 46.94% 29.78 60.2% -0.382 -1.1351 -0.229
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 164 56.71% 27.06 59.15% -0.025 -0.3436 0.716
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 521 48.74% 25.98 61.23% -0.524 -0.703 -0.699
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 403 48.51% 26.17 65.51% -0.289 -0.3323 0.723
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2126 40.26% 31.8 69.61% 0.36 -0.0063 -0.459
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 32 53.13% 26.22 62.5% 0.209 -0.3319 0.483
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 574 41.26% 26.68 57.49% 0.515 0.2702 0.425
Shifting Memory of Ages 1918 48.5% 26.15 60.32% -1.249 -0.9549 -0.526
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 446 48.43% 26.22 53.81% 0.353 0.1897 0.196
Shroud of Silent Mist 2039 52.92% 23.77 59.93% -0.534 -0.3515 -0.329
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 50 53.06% 21.32 46.0% 0.058 -0.3523 -0.988
Starlight Seeks its Form 3329 45.16% 33.7 67.26% 0.729 0.4868 0.981
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5228 45.99% 28.94 62.89% 0.326 -0.6263 -0.542
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2433 40.56% 31.08 70.04% 0.61 0.6526 1.007
Thunderspeaker 2504 37.36% 29.39 66.61% -0.276 -0.4715 -0.529
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 260 40.15% 22.19 46.92% -0.93 -1.0981 -0.292
Towering Roots of the Jungle 825 49.09% 25.34 50.06% -0.392 -0.5029 -0.019
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2847 64.19% 25.89 52.97% -0.111 -0.2617 -0.727
Vital Strength of the Earth 1228 41.09% 22.55 65.15% -0.618 -0.2594 -0.286
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 555 48.64% 28.34 54.05% 0.109 0.3525 0.556
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 600 49.42% 24.53 58.83% -0.269 0.4122 -0.398
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 857 44.92% 26.57 57.06% 0.823 0.305 -0.306

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Molten Stone 86.12%
Lava Flows 88.87%
Pyroclastic Bombardment 96.02%
Rain of Ash 71.84%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 32510 12.25 12.22%
II 51471 29.91 64.81%
III 34805 34.94 89.06%
IV 9709 38.9 99.77%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3828
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 29523
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 32032
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9163
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 16798
Lose: Invader deck ran out 414
Lose: Adversary condition 7921
Win: Sacrifice victory 3119
Lose: Scenario condition 618
Win: Scenario condition 351
Lose: Unique spirit condition 3
Lose: Blight pool ran out 16921
Lose: Spirit destroyed 7804

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.769 Win Model: -0.119

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.086 Win Model: 0.04
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 77603 52.85% 28.61 59.33%
2 27288 54.32% 28.41 60.28%
3 12429 47.13% 29.94 65.99%
4 7216 41.25% 30.71 66.81%
5 783 38.67% 25.93 66.79%
6 3176 31.66% 28.78 62.22%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)