Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 63 55.56% 22.05 44.44% -0.491 -0.6483 -1.049
Blitz 0 546 49.25% 26.73 59.16% -0.258 -0.0772 -1.283
Dahan Insurrection 4 307 38.44% 45.25 65.15% -0.206 -0.5717 0.463
Despicable Theft 2 143 48.25% 28.55 53.85% -0.32 0.3715 -0.788
Elemental Invocation 1 627 63.62% 25.78 58.85% -0.806 0.067 -1.253
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2826 22.18% 46.17 74.98% 0.525 -0.202 0.401
Powers Long Forgotten 1 159 53.46% 21.6 44.65% -1.696 -0.8772 -0.783
Rituals of Terror 3 118 63.79% 30.03 46.61% -0.308 -0.1225 -0.163
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 109 72.48% 27.37 53.21% -1.137 -0.0484 -0.239
Second Wave 0 2023 43.84% 26.38 74.2% 0.196 0.3006 0.369
The Great River 3 363 50.69% 31.66 61.16% -0.825 0.4036 -0.996
Varied Terrains 2 112 58.93% 26.4 50.89% -1.472 -0.6641 -0.869
Ward the Shores 2 149 51.02% 26.87 51.01% -1.107 -0.1756 -0.378

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 48223 55.7% 31.49 65.14% 0.268 0.2887 0.267
1 Thematic 1632 53.72% 29.76 59.44% 0.222 0.7396 -0.363
2 Archipelago 68 56.25% 31.76 75.0% 0.206 0.0479 0.049
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9392 58.34% 30.43 65.15% 0.277 0.212 -0.085
2 Coastline 1881 54.57% 32.96 69.32% 0.716 0.4049 0.3
2 Fragment 548 64.1% 42.95 72.45% 0.62 0.1195 1.665
2 Heart 254 61.42% 31.08 61.81% -1.232 -1.5066 0.143
2 Opposite Shores 2582 52.53% 28.97 68.32% 0.401 0.3206 -0.339
2 Thematic 693 55.22% 28.22 54.55% -0.729 -0.2991 -0.602
2 Top to Top 580 59.97% 32.25 64.14% -0.299 -0.487 -0.146
3 Archipelago 51 66.67% 31.88 58.82% -0.01 -0.674 -0.759
3 Coastline 82 57.32% 30.3 59.76% -0.034 -0.6268 0.558
3 Other 289 44.79% 28.72 79.93% 0.09 -0.0045 0.011
3 Round (Default) 6709 47.44% 32.26 70.93% 0.06 -0.1484 -0.019
3 Sunrise 26 61.54% 37.31 76.92% 0.0 -1.1411 0.662
3 Thematic 205 61.95% 30.91 62.93% -0.171 0.0234 -0.244
4 Archipelago 59 34.48% 31.64 79.66% 0.611 -0.6153 0.021
4 Coastline 34 29.41% 28.91 85.29% 0.52 0.6622 0.6
4 Leaf 27 55.56% 30.07 62.96% -0.336 -1.0435 -0.828
4 Other 187 43.01% 32.34 83.42% 1.14 -0.0289 0.808
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.1251 0.0
4 Thematic 731 40.38% 44.28 74.28% -0.512 -0.7093 -0.303
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3242 43.88% 33.91 74.77% 0.669 0.4943 0.027
5 Archipelago 12 75.0% 30.33 100.0% 0.477 0.1102 0.0
5 Coastline 33 12.12% 39.03 69.7% -0.318 -0.6286 -0.707
5 Other 370 44.57% 31.37 78.38% -0.042 -0.9313 0.667
5 Thematic 38 47.37% 43.18 81.58% -0.103 -0.3196 0.751
6 Archipelago 19 15.79% 37.42 73.68% -0.259 -0.6224 -0.097
6 Coastline 23 0.0% 55.7 86.96% 0.419 0.413 0.178
6 Other 181 33.7% 29.27 77.35% -0.162 -0.6158 0.057
6 Star 151 48.34% 32.82 68.87% 0.387 0.3947 -0.396
6 Thematic 489 38.52% 35.4 67.28% -0.905 -0.3755 -0.932
6 Two Centers (Default) 666 25.08% 31.68 77.48% -0.449 -0.5955 -1.147
7 Archipelago 6 16.67% 10.33 33.33% -0.315 0.0475 0.0
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.288 -0.2126 -0.518
7 Other 18 22.22% 17.44 44.44% -0.927 -1.8444 -0.668

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 2971 30.17 47.76% -0.255 -0.1026 -0.988
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2405 33.25 55.51% 0.18 0.1258 -0.459
All Things Weaken 3302 31.81 55.21% 0.39 0.7272 -0.54
Attenuated Essence 229 26.51 46.72% 0.485 0.4993 -1.104
Back Against the Wall 2345 31.78 51.77% 0.227 0.3074 -0.738
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 256 26.82 46.48% 0.227 0.3902 -1.227
Burn Brightest Before the End 192 31.13 48.44% -0.313 -0.1536 -0.617
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2810 29.22 51.14% -0.041 0.3375 -0.962
Downward Spiral 3164 29.03 52.28% 0.342 0.4887 -0.903
Erosion of Will 2900 28.52 42.59% -0.405 -0.1224 -1.201
Intensifying Exploitation 237 26.69 45.99% -0.075 0.1555 -0.972
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1256 36.01 79.54% 0.766 0.2291 0.109
Memory Fades to Dust 3173 30.07 55.4% 0.291 0.6063 -0.782
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3235 28.77 48.62% 0.318 0.4968 -0.949
Promising Farmlands 2864 29.62 51.47% 0.015 0.3725 -0.89
Shattered Fragments of Power 177 31.29 49.15% 0.134 0.326 -0.892
Slow Dissolution of Will 247 25.85 37.65% -0.429 0.0294 -1.239
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 858 36.85 84.15% 0.407 -0.3065 0.5
The Border of Life and Death 62 31.11 70.97% 0.838 0.4297 -0.21
Thriving Communities 3268 28.99 49.91% -0.058 0.2325 -0.891
Thriving Crops 103 32.43 65.05% 0.285 0.2033 0.055
Unnatural Proliferation 3365 31.06 52.36% 0.128 0.2962 -0.89
Untended Land Crumbles 3231 28.04 49.92% -0.119 0.1584 -1.051

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 13910 52.46% 31.15 67.38% -0.039 0.8706 -0.162
B 17550 50.05% 31.24 69.98% 0.117 0.9415 -0.368
C 14767 49.05% 30.77 69.09% -0.059 0.58 -0.463
D 19167 55.44% 30.39 66.02% 0.045 0.9098 -0.418
E 21810 51.8% 34.21 68.05% 0.342 0.9981 0.022
F 17179 51.08% 33.48 70.66% 0.178 0.9731 0.108
G 9615 51.46% 30.01 67.78% -0.495 0.2455 -0.673
H 9009 51.62% 30.43 67.9% -0.458 0.2711 -0.552
East 2665 47.88% 34.95 64.2% -0.131 0.544 -0.441
Northeast 1856 46.2% 36.78 66.06% 0.298 0.9696 -0.442
Northwest 1974 47.16% 37.13 67.43% -0.107 0.81 0.125
Southeast 1034 42.8% 34.02 65.47% -0.737 0.117 -0.478
Southwest 1061 43.95% 32.96 64.84% -0.4 0.6783 -0.148
West 2854 48.39% 34.43 64.23% -1.123 -0.2044 -0.317

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 547 0.0% 22.59 80.26% 0.342 0.9957 0.499
Not Using Events or Tokens 46 57.89% 20.78 69.57% -0.432 0.0374 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1666 17.03% 41.28 85.95% 0.354 -0.3241 -0.455
Start of Game Growth 2658 20.74% 39.1 84.88% 0.02 -0.3886 0.07
Unlimited Undo 9207 46.07% 34.25 72.2% -0.111 -0.0608 0.525
Using Tokens but Not Events 7226 39.33% 27.78 77.01% 0.241 0.1563 0.192

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 3878 100.0% 34.11 100.0% 0.417 0.2855 0.102
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 851 102.0% 27.28 100.94% 0.359 0.6002 -0.724
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 39 56.41% 40.08 79.49% 1.087 0.1337 0.878
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1304 100.0% 31.17 100.0% 0.202 0.0296 -0.089
Downpour Drenches the World 823 100.0% 29.02 100.0% -0.252 0.0739 -0.488
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 746 100.0% 29.46 100.0% 0.206 -0.3278 -0.461
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1895 100.0% 34.08 100.0% 0.516 0.0409 0.412
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1306 100.0% 32.09 100.0% 0.292 -0.1409 0.191
Finder of Paths Unseen 1028 100.0% 31.11 100.0% -0.553 0.2723 0.293
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1087 100.0% 36.17 100.0% -0.416 0.143 0.045
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1111 100.0% 31.7 100.0% -0.154 -0.1416 0.072
Heart of the Wildfire 1729 100.0% 29.15 100.0% -0.456 -0.1083 -0.302
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4457 100.34% 37.05 100.22% 0.362 -0.1072 0.743
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 29 48.28% 33.59 65.52% 0.089 -0.4426 0.545
Lightning's Swift Strike 738 206.13% 28.58 154.61% 1.129 1.3137 -0.272
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 324 51.25% 32.85 59.88% -0.401 -0.9182 -0.512
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 476 46.6% 34.92 78.15% 0.141 -0.1577 0.727
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 686 43.13% 40.27 75.36% -0.104 -0.2703 0.319
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3567 100.0% 33.63 100.0% 0.118 -0.0987 -0.123
Many Minds Move as One 1276 100.0% 30.11 100.0% 0.019 -0.2236 0.375
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2516 100.0% 34.75 100.0% -0.08 -0.0533 0.166
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1499 100.0% 31.25 100.0% 0.302 0.0987 0.24
River Surges in Sunlight 1516 134.12% 35.77 123.61% -0.498 -0.4415 0.537
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 678 45.59% 30.59 66.67% 0.137 0.4748 -0.822
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 330 52.13% 35.48 60.0% -0.155 -0.2283 0.272
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1768 100.0% 34.36 100.0% -0.196 -0.3691 0.113
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 244 268.15% 25.16 211.48% -0.514 0.0961 -0.489
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 96 57.89% 28.45 61.46% 0.471 0.5475 0.075
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 31 41.94% 31.71 74.19% 0.301 -0.2917 0.342
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 86 59.3% 31.93 67.44% -0.084 -0.1097 -0.085
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 354 49.15% 29.58 68.93% -0.571 -0.5933 -1.199
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 286 49.12% 27.92 68.88% 0.056 0.2413 -0.141
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1469 105.31% 35.09 103.47% -0.151 -0.0708 0.264
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 133 41.35% 28.59 61.65% 0.337 0.0694 0.299
Shifting Memory of Ages 1273 100.0% 28.83 100.0% 0.038 0.2827 -0.579
Shroud of Silent Mist 1336 100.0% 27.03 100.0% -0.616 -0.1455 -0.294
Starlight Seeks its Form 1659 100.0% 36.09 100.0% 0.873 0.6856 0.816
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3515 100.0% 32.14 100.0% -0.214 -0.5284 -0.449
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1527 100.0% 34.85 100.0% 0.111 0.2697 0.619
Thunderspeaker 1522 103.15% 32.4 102.5% -0.168 -0.1134 -0.301
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 87 44.83% 28.17 56.32% -0.236 -0.0308 -0.284
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1902 100.0% 28.08 100.0% -0.623 -0.3937 -0.158
Vital Strength of the Earth 715 138.69% 25.3 132.45% -0.643 -0.1083 -0.477
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 228 54.39% 33.03 60.53% 0.431 0.7757 0.36
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 386 55.06% 27.54 63.21% -0.703 0.0192 -0.237
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 70 100.0% 30.49 100.0% 0.027 -0.5778 -0.233

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Molten Stone 85.94%
Lava Flows 88.85%
Pyroclastic Bombardment 95.99%
Rain of Ash 69.86%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 15387 18.09 17.72%
II 34664 30.76 66.82%
III 23045 34.74 89.23%
IV 6411 38.15 99.83%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2619
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 19585
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 22231
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6025
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3786
Lose: Invader deck ran out 294
Lose: Adversary condition 5504
Win: Sacrifice victory 2123
Lose: Scenario condition 454
Win: Scenario condition 268
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11480
Lose: Spirit destroyed 5138

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.29 Win Model: -0.145

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.214 Win Model: 0.227
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 50017 55.65% 31.44 64.9%
2 16023 57.17% 30.93 66.04%
3 7286 47.89% 32.12 70.97%
4 4283 42.43% 35.59 75.51%
5 358 42.42% 29.51 75.98%
6 1540 31.99% 33.09 73.31%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-01-22 03:31:24 (Pacific Time)