Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 49 59.18% 24.1 48.98% 0.347 0.1429 -0.21
Blitz 0 467 49.67% 27.86 61.24% -0.423 -0.2701 -1.171
Dahan Insurrection 4 268 41.04% 46.85 65.67% -0.092 -0.3317 0.401
Despicable Theft 2 115 50.43% 31.03 56.52% -0.824 -0.0478 -0.789
Elemental Invocation 1 579 64.82% 26.43 60.79% -0.738 0.0445 -1.265
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2596 22.45% 47.52 76.77% 0.489 -0.1257 0.386
Powers Long Forgotten 1 130 62.31% 25.56 53.08% -1.432 -0.919 -0.577
Rituals of Terror 3 95 68.82% 33.39 50.53% -1.65 -1.5814 -0.145
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 92 80.43% 30.96 59.78% -0.433 0.5665 0.089
Second Wave 0 1705 44.71% 27.19 75.95% 0.18 0.2462 0.387
The Great River 3 319 52.35% 33.3 65.2% -0.052 1.3019 -1.07
Varied Terrains 2 76 64.47% 30.42 64.47% -0.039 0.5061 -0.536
Ward the Shores 2 115 54.87% 30.97 57.39% -0.841 0.3095 -0.295

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 43154 56.34% 32.38 67.04% 0.303 0.5269 0.332
1 Thematic 1416 56.42% 31.73 61.94% -0.122 0.4994 -0.399
2 Archipelago 57 55.36% 33.51 80.7% -0.466 -0.0527 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8135 59.12% 31.58 67.84% 0.283 0.4319 -0.017
2 Coastline 1671 55.44% 33.74 69.96% 0.486 0.5195 0.302
2 Fragment 512 65.36% 44.37 73.44% 0.404 0.3235 1.599
2 Heart 231 62.77% 32.67 64.5% 0.059 -0.2939 0.022
2 Opposite Shores 2258 52.78% 29.87 70.28% 0.261 0.3656 -0.337
2 Thematic 598 58.99% 30.29 58.36% -0.485 0.1955 -0.631
2 Top to Top 523 59.42% 33.43 66.35% 0.386 0.3727 -0.119
3 Archipelago 44 63.64% 32.75 61.36% -0.628 -2.0393 -1.04
3 Coastline 70 62.86% 32.1 60.0% -0.055 -0.5389 0.72
3 Other 262 47.13% 28.93 81.3% 0.357 0.5318 -0.132
3 Round (Default) 5729 47.63% 32.97 73.28% 0.181 0.0535 -0.106
3 Sunrise 26 61.54% 37.31 76.92% 0.0 0.1412 0.5
3 Thematic 189 63.49% 31.84 65.61% -0.437 -0.4062 -0.194
4 Archipelago 55 35.19% 31.93 81.82% 0.257 -0.3177 -0.573
4 Coastline 27 29.63% 30.41 85.19% -0.065 0.2444 0.658
4 Leaf 26 53.85% 31.23 65.38% -0.067 -0.6933 -0.748
4 Other 182 43.65% 32.82 84.62% 0.903 -0.1607 0.574
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.367 -0.0914 0.0
4 Thematic 693 40.0% 45.38 75.9% -0.24 -0.3179 -0.385
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2846 42.85% 34.7 75.72% -0.299 -0.5459 0.024
5 Archipelago 8 62.5% 32.0 100.0% 0.0 -1.0477 0.0
5 Coastline 23 8.7% 48.39 86.96% -0.006 -0.1165 -0.092
5 Other 297 43.24% 33.67 83.16% 1.186 0.5645 0.692
5 Thematic 33 45.45% 46.09 84.85% 0.832 0.7101 0.736
6 Archipelago 12 16.67% 41.08 91.67% -0.952 -0.7714 0.0
6 Coastline 10 0.0% 50.2 90.0% -0.18 -1.0279 0.138
6 Other 138 31.88% 28.46 81.16% 0.251 -0.2201 -0.567
6 Star 120 50.0% 33.71 68.33% -1.303 -1.2608 -0.696
6 Thematic 357 39.33% 40.46 77.31% -0.645 -0.2964 -0.151
6 Two Centers (Default) 501 25.96% 32.79 80.84% -0.305 -0.4129 -1.229
7 Archipelago 4 25.0% 15.5 50.0% -0.853 -1.2236 0.0
7 Other 12 33.33% 26.17 66.67% 0.241 -0.6983 -0.23

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 2725 30.57 48.55% -0.391 -0.1796 -1.157
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2221 33.51 56.28% 0.061 0.0289 -0.616
All Things Weaken 3014 32.32 55.74% -0.12 0.2921 -0.755
Attenuated Essence 75 26.41 42.67% -0.191 -0.0385 -1.861
Back Against the Wall 2139 32.1 52.31% -0.055 0.0526 -0.912
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 95 25.88 46.32% 0.025 0.3627 -1.449
Burn Brightest Before the End 69 36.13 52.17% 0.23 0.467 -0.826
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2571 29.7 51.93% -0.102 0.3695 -1.132
Downward Spiral 2887 29.26 52.68% -0.18 0.107 -1.076
Erosion of Will 2671 28.92 42.98% -0.296 0.0523 -1.36
Intensifying Exploitation 87 27.77 42.53% -0.158 0.1881 -1.191
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1130 36.58 80.88% 0.47 -0.0582 -0.074
Memory Fades to Dust 2887 30.41 55.94% -0.263 0.1539 -0.942
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2917 29.14 48.99% -0.124 0.1348 -1.134
Promising Farmlands 2633 29.99 52.18% -0.251 0.2675 -1.062
Shattered Fragments of Power 70 34.26 55.71% 0.47 0.5794 -0.834
Slow Dissolution of Will 86 25.19 39.53% -0.476 -0.0026 -1.157
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 794 37.52 85.77% 1.176 0.5594 0.337
The Border of Life and Death 25 32.72 76.0% 0.754 0.4504 -0.001
Thriving Communities 2979 29.44 50.62% -0.352 0.0488 -1.038
Thriving Crops 38 36.13 76.32% 0.995 0.9674 0.674
Unnatural Proliferation 3096 31.34 52.87% -0.108 0.1284 -1.063
Untended Land Crumbles 2958 28.46 50.51% -0.39 -0.0883 -1.22

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 12187 53.4% 31.96 69.11% -0.11 0.7399 -0.177
B 15435 50.69% 32.18 71.75% 0.128 0.9411 -0.359
C 12905 49.83% 31.73 71.07% 0.196 0.8803 -0.425
D 16852 56.21% 31.27 67.87% 0.072 0.8969 -0.422
E 18838 52.36% 35.14 70.12% 0.501 1.1496 0.024
F 14993 51.34% 34.49 72.81% 0.375 1.1209 0.111
G 8354 51.88% 30.87 69.87% -0.141 0.6256 -0.587
H 7771 52.57% 31.36 70.33% -0.281 0.4001 -0.482
East 2317 49.46% 37.16 67.59% -0.055 0.5893 -0.332
Northeast 1606 48.05% 39.27 69.74% -0.659 0.1591 -0.443
Northwest 1721 48.59% 39.45 70.89% 0.266 0.9978 0.291
Southeast 834 44.03% 37.39 72.18% 0.331 1.0609 -0.336
Southwest 849 45.86% 36.41 71.5% -0.298 0.7957 0.044
West 2459 50.08% 36.96 68.32% -0.683 0.2707 -0.344

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 472 0.0% 23.39 81.57% -0.222 0.6121 0.44
Not Using Events or Tokens 36 50.0% 18.31 69.44% 0.687 1.0168 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1501 16.21% 42.84 88.94% 0.153 -0.4323 -0.421
Start of Game Growth 2390 20.11% 40.6 87.78% 0.121 -0.1493 -0.059
Unlimited Undo 7878 45.7% 35.7 76.62% 0.042 0.0353 0.695
Using Tokens but Not Events 6247 38.94% 28.83 79.94% 0.228 0.1578 0.204

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 3376 100.0% 34.57 100.0% 0.659 0.5117 -0.007
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 724 100.0% 28.57 100.0% -0.494 -0.3863 -0.624
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1150 100.0% 32.08 100.0% -0.005 -0.175 -0.256
Downpour Drenches the World 592 100.0% 32.62 100.0% -0.208 -0.0135 -0.045
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 381 100.0% 31.58 100.0% 0.425 -0.3563 -0.148
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1624 100.0% 34.73 100.0% 0.5 -0.088 0.317
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1135 100.0% 33.11 100.0% 0.465 -0.0172 0.259
Finder of Paths Unseen 746 100.0% 34.27 100.0% -0.132 0.552 0.276
Fractured Days Split the Sky 926 100.0% 37.81 100.0% -0.304 0.3463 0.37
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 906 100.0% 33.34 100.0% 0.275 0.1867 0.093
Heart of the Wildfire 1526 100.0% 30.22 100.0% 0.009 0.263 -0.284
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3977 100.0% 37.87 100.0% 0.673 0.2497 0.853
Lightning's Swift Strike 629 203.12% 29.27 146.74% -0.016 0.216 -0.174
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 234 52.61% 34.81 65.81% -0.298 -0.9652 -0.37
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 433 48.01% 35.83 79.68% 0.68 0.4644 0.669
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 589 43.78% 41.85 78.61% 0.269 0.1429 0.397
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3252 100.0% 34.22 100.0% -0.107 -0.2385 -0.158
Many Minds Move as One 1092 100.0% 31.24 100.0% -0.075 -0.2742 0.361
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2208 100.0% 35.73 100.0% -0.231 -0.2398 0.16
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1310 100.0% 31.7 100.0% 0.289 0.1407 0.187
River Surges in Sunlight 1335 132.12% 37.26 120.0% 0.348 0.3836 0.546
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 599 45.08% 31.86 68.95% 0.101 0.3644 -0.925
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 220 50.68% 38.79 63.18% -0.293 -0.4058 0.247
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1529 100.0% 35.31 100.0% -0.036 -0.2593 -0.081
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 192 276.41% 25.29 218.75% -0.588 -0.1224 -0.808
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 70 65.22% 30.23 55.71% 0.597 0.5708 0.232
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 67 55.22% 32.13 71.64% -0.451 -0.5055 0.154
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 330 50.46% 30.15 70.0% -0.404 -0.4542 -1.217
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 258 50.58% 28.77 69.38% -0.462 -0.4098 -0.234
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1319 102.88% 36.72 102.27% 0.075 -0.0462 0.584
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 60 36.67% 25.17 50.0% -0.143 -0.5679 -0.131
Shifting Memory of Ages 1059 100.0% 30.21 100.0% -0.316 0.0713 -0.48
Shroud of Silent Mist 1189 100.0% 27.82 100.0% -0.302 0.0097 -0.21
Starlight Seeks its Form 1296 100.0% 36.34 100.0% 0.318 0.0588 0.775
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3106 100.0% 33.47 100.0% 0.039 -0.4562 -0.345
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1357 100.0% 35.76 100.0% 0.227 0.2785 0.711
Thunderspeaker 1268 101.97% 34.03 101.5% 0.063 0.0449 0.157
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 45 44.44% 28.71 57.78% 0.192 0.0868 0.163
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1554 100.0% 29.86 100.0% -0.147 -0.0999 -0.149
Vital Strength of the Earth 639 136.41% 26.48 128.33% -0.28 0.2659 -0.421
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 166 54.82% 33.61 59.64% 0.182 0.4577 0.071
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 340 53.39% 28.66 66.47% -1.019 -0.1346 -0.411

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Molten Stone 85.96%
Lava Flows 88.9%
Pyroclastic Bombardment 95.92%
Rain of Ash 69.24%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 12207 20.82 20.46%
II 31495 31.03 67.77%
III 20807 34.74 89.21%
IV 5715 38.03 99.83%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2399
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 17667
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 20505
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5359
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1372
Lose: Invader deck ran out 274
Lose: Adversary condition 5028
Win: Sacrifice victory 1941
Lose: Scenario condition 438
Win: Scenario condition 235
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10359
Lose: Spirit destroyed 4647

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.583 Win Model: -0.133

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.127 Win Model: 0.07
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 44713 56.38% 32.37 66.84%
2 14009 57.97% 32.09 68.37%
3 6259 48.26% 32.8 73.22%
4 3836 41.53% 36.51 76.64%
5 262 40.61% 32.82 83.97%
6 1145 32.89% 35.03 78.6%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-03 04:12:43 (Pacific Time)