Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 48 58.33% 24.25 50.0% 0.291 0.2261 -0.194
Blitz 0 459 50.11% 28.11 61.66% -0.507 -0.3315 -1.194
Dahan Insurrection 4 265 40.75% 47.24 66.42% -0.125 -0.2957 0.403
Despicable Theft 2 112 51.79% 31.15 56.25% -1.109 -0.4385 -0.793
Elemental Invocation 1 570 65.14% 26.51 61.23% -0.952 -0.2692 -1.326
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2558 22.59% 47.63 77.01% 0.394 -0.2283 0.375
Powers Long Forgotten 1 124 62.1% 26.38 55.65% -1.288 -0.8279 -0.602
Rituals of Terror 3 90 69.32% 34.39 52.22% -1.896 -1.9553 -0.139
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 90 81.11% 31.52 61.11% -0.238 0.7075 0.079
Second Wave 0 1659 45.02% 27.29 75.95% 0.064 0.1308 0.385
The Great River 3 313 53.04% 33.37 64.86% -0.079 1.2719 -1.063
Varied Terrains 2 65 66.15% 30.62 64.62% -0.442 0.1109 -0.82
Ward the Shores 2 110 56.48% 31.65 59.09% -0.365 0.8445 -0.205

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 42502 56.46% 32.52 67.28% 0.432 0.681 0.302
1 Thematic 1402 56.56% 31.74 62.13% 0.093 0.7503 -0.443
2 Archipelago 56 56.36% 33.38 80.36% -0.266 0.219 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7955 59.14% 31.74 68.2% 0.286 0.471 -0.014
2 Coastline 1627 55.84% 33.87 70.19% 0.454 0.5146 0.305
2 Fragment 504 65.41% 44.72 74.01% 0.609 0.5191 1.594
2 Heart 224 63.39% 32.72 64.29% -0.044 -0.2673 -0.078
2 Opposite Shores 2209 52.73% 30.03 70.57% 0.271 0.4466 -0.331
2 Thematic 579 59.2% 30.74 59.76% -0.297 0.3126 -0.669
2 Top to Top 504 59.08% 33.48 66.67% 0.308 0.3889 -0.153
3 Archipelago 44 63.64% 32.75 61.36% -0.568 -1.5201 -1.068
3 Coastline 70 62.86% 32.1 60.0% -0.773 -1.1406 0.702
3 Other 256 46.67% 28.79 81.64% 0.257 0.141 -0.124
3 Round (Default) 5608 47.57% 33.08 73.56% 0.019 0.0199 -0.083
3 Sunrise 26 61.54% 37.31 76.92% 0.0 0.2778 0.508
3 Thematic 185 64.32% 31.94 65.95% -0.917 -0.9605 -0.081
4 Archipelago 55 35.19% 31.93 81.82% 0.264 0.285 -0.57
4 Coastline 27 29.63% 30.41 85.19% 0.423 0.6176 0.647
4 Leaf 26 53.85% 31.23 65.38% -0.118 -0.3998 -0.701
4 Other 178 42.94% 33.19 84.27% 0.892 -0.008 0.579
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.344 -0.0032 0.0
4 Thematic 686 40.12% 45.61 76.24% 0.358 0.3798 -0.348
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2789 42.61% 34.78 76.19% -0.308 -0.4939 0.062
5 Archipelago 8 62.5% 32.0 100.0% 0.0 -1.175 0.0
5 Coastline 23 8.7% 48.39 86.96% 0.258 0.1417 -0.1
5 Other 279 42.45% 33.37 82.44% 0.759 0.2918 0.611
5 Thematic 32 43.75% 45.28 84.38% 0.706 0.2346 0.734
6 Archipelago 12 16.67% 41.08 91.67% -1.085 -1.4893 0.0
6 Coastline 10 0.0% 50.2 90.0% -0.207 -0.9134 0.137
6 Other 138 31.88% 28.46 81.16% 0.297 -0.1868 -0.546
6 Star 113 48.67% 34.48 69.03% -1.074 -0.6769 -0.642
6 Thematic 343 38.6% 40.16 77.26% -1.03 -0.5814 -0.249
6 Two Centers (Default) 481 26.83% 33.35 81.91% -0.501 -0.351 -1.107
7 Archipelago 3 33.33% 20.67 66.67% -0.531 -1.0765 0.0
7 Other 11 27.27% 28.55 72.73% 0.385 -0.4861 -0.211

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 2697 30.65 48.72% -0.482 -0.1849 -1.191
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2190 33.54 56.26% -0.085 0.0164 -0.643
All Things Weaken 2977 32.4 56.0% -0.093 0.4037 -0.772
Attenuated Essence 53 24.74 39.62% -0.46 -0.131 -1.94
Back Against the Wall 2109 32.16 52.25% -0.035 0.1941 -0.944
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 76 24.7 42.11% -0.284 0.2429 -1.472
Burn Brightest Before the End 48 35.46 50.0% 0.05 0.4155 -0.97
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2537 29.75 52.07% -0.324 0.2596 -1.151
Downward Spiral 2857 29.23 52.64% -0.388 -0.0061 -1.095
Erosion of Will 2633 28.93 42.92% -0.589 -0.0963 -1.387
Intensifying Exploitation 68 26.93 42.65% -0.302 0.1678 -1.415
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1106 36.78 81.01% 0.561 0.0909 -0.073
Memory Fades to Dust 2842 30.52 56.05% -0.33 0.1807 -0.972
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2872 29.26 49.16% -0.236 0.1074 -1.148
Promising Farmlands 2601 30.04 52.36% -0.139 0.499 -1.078
Shattered Fragments of Power 57 34.91 56.14% 0.434 0.7057 -0.893
Slow Dissolution of Will 68 26.54 42.65% -0.503 0.0939 -1.176
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 787 37.49 85.77% 1.001 0.314 0.295
The Border of Life and Death 16 23.75 62.5% 0.19 0.1383 -0.163
Thriving Communities 2941 29.5 50.66% -0.56 -0.0111 -1.049
Thriving Crops 29 31.79 68.97% 0.497 0.7099 0.418
Unnatural Proliferation 3053 31.41 52.8% -0.146 0.207 -1.091
Untended Land Crumbles 2921 28.47 50.63% -0.362 0.0399 -1.256

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 11947 53.38% 32.09 69.47% -0.128 0.7286 -0.163
B 15160 50.73% 32.31 71.98% 0.169 0.9485 -0.358
C 12619 49.79% 31.88 71.37% 0.214 0.8696 -0.416
D 16532 56.36% 31.4 68.08% 0.066 0.8738 -0.431
E 18474 52.47% 35.28 70.41% 0.533 1.167 0.029
F 14698 51.36% 34.65 73.1% 0.395 1.1189 0.107
G 8179 51.93% 30.99 70.19% -0.02 0.7314 -0.572
H 7567 52.58% 31.55 70.73% -0.15 0.5157 -0.449
East 2273 49.58% 37.23 67.88% -0.228 0.4029 -0.319
Northeast 1574 48.14% 39.34 70.08% -0.764 0.1081 -0.531
Northwest 1689 48.5% 39.55 71.23% 0.371 0.9996 0.274
Southeast 811 43.8% 37.33 72.38% 0.468 1.1453 -0.332
Southwest 821 45.72% 36.5 72.11% -0.292 0.8852 0.098
West 2411 50.17% 37.14 68.81% -0.642 0.3126 -0.353

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 467 0.0% 23.34 81.58% -0.765 0.1664 0.43
Not Using Events or Tokens 36 50.0% 18.31 69.44% 0.57 0.8813 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1480 16.12% 43.11 89.39% 0.192 -0.3324 -0.449
Start of Game Growth 2356 20.07% 40.81 88.12% 0.357 0.0029 -0.03
Unlimited Undo 7715 45.56% 35.86 77.14% 0.097 0.0635 0.698
Using Tokens but Not Events 6108 38.84% 28.95 80.48% 0.239 0.1755 0.21

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 3309 100.0% 34.67 100.0% 0.546 0.3993 -0.026
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 704 100.0% 28.92 100.0% -0.309 -0.215 -0.643
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1124 100.0% 32.18 100.0% 0.108 -0.0723 -0.287
Downpour Drenches the World 553 100.0% 33.39 100.0% -0.065 0.1301 0.027
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 292 100.0% 32.6 100.0% 0.441 -0.241 0.071
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1603 100.0% 34.73 100.0% 0.406 -0.1781 0.297
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1113 100.0% 33.23 100.0% 0.458 0.0084 0.249
Finder of Paths Unseen 699 100.0% 34.65 100.0% -0.159 0.5466 0.332
Fractured Days Split the Sky 915 100.0% 37.88 100.0% -0.577 0.1308 0.299
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 870 100.0% 33.43 100.0% 0.097 0.002 0.064
Heart of the Wildfire 1511 100.0% 30.32 100.0% -0.093 0.175 -0.294
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3909 100.0% 37.89 100.0% 0.49 0.0213 0.867
Lightning's Swift Strike 610 202.57% 29.43 145.74% 0.256 0.465 -0.186
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 221 53.46% 35.48 67.87% 0.104 -0.6077 -0.336
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 420 47.83% 35.77 79.76% 0.713 0.386 0.646
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 576 44.08% 41.93 78.65% 0.101 -0.0875 0.436
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3201 100.0% 34.25 100.0% -0.232 -0.4024 -0.202
Many Minds Move as One 1070 100.0% 31.39 100.0% -0.098 -0.343 0.353
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2165 100.0% 35.95 100.0% -0.3 -0.3234 0.168
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1273 100.0% 31.84 100.0% 0.4 0.2706 0.194
River Surges in Sunlight 1320 131.65% 37.18 119.32% 0.536 0.5261 0.522
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 583 44.77% 32.05 69.3% -0.025 0.2184 -0.907
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 210 50.24% 39.21 63.81% -0.428 -0.5767 0.287
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1504 100.0% 35.52 100.0% 0.066 -0.1449 -0.048
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 189 272.4% 25.38 214.81% -0.635 -0.1931 -0.824
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 67 66.67% 30.34 55.22% 0.637 0.6281 0.251
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 65 56.92% 33.12 73.85% -0.328 -0.3033 0.082
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 321 51.25% 30.28 70.4% -0.31 -0.3529 -1.171
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 254 50.59% 29.04 70.47% -0.143 -0.0714 -0.181
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1300 102.38% 36.77 101.92% 0.283 0.1398 0.551
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 50 38.0% 23.9 50.0% -0.277 -0.6026 -0.575
Shifting Memory of Ages 1023 100.0% 30.24 100.0% -0.417 -0.0461 -0.479
Shroud of Silent Mist 1171 100.0% 27.99 100.0% -0.419 -0.0903 -0.146
Starlight Seeks its Form 1244 100.0% 36.5 100.0% 0.444 0.1737 0.773
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3066 100.0% 33.61 100.0% 0.14 -0.3458 -0.344
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1330 100.0% 35.95 100.0% 0.195 0.2414 0.717
Thunderspeaker 1253 101.92% 34.1 101.2% -0.012 -0.0439 0.181
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 36 33.33% 26.83 58.33% -0.048 -0.0586 0.2
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1491 100.0% 29.9 100.0% -0.508 -0.4623 -0.213
Vital Strength of the Earth 630 135.66% 26.67 127.14% -0.367 0.191 -0.405
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 156 55.77% 34.87 62.18% 0.611 0.8459 0.104
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 336 53.43% 28.59 66.67% -1.111 -0.2051 -0.328

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Molten Stone 85.98%
Lava Flows 88.93%
Pyroclastic Bombardment 95.94%
Rain of Ash 69.15%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11815 21.2 20.89%
II 31043 31.05 67.88%
III 20496 34.73 89.22%
IV 5616 38.01 99.84%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2371
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 17402
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 20244
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5268
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1071
Lose: Invader deck ran out 272
Lose: Adversary condition 4970
Win: Sacrifice victory 1915
Lose: Scenario condition 432
Win: Scenario condition 234
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10217
Lose: Spirit destroyed 4574

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.587 Win Model: -0.153

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.091 Win Model: 0.161
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 44041 56.49% 32.5 67.08%
2 13685 58.04% 32.26 68.74%
3 6130 48.21% 32.89 73.47%
4 3766 41.35% 36.64 77.03%
5 246 39.18% 32.5 83.33%
6 1102 32.82% 35.26 79.31%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-26 03:47:51 (Pacific Time)