Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 228 54.19% 30.18 -2.065 61.84% -0.946 -0.3767
Dahan Insurrection 4 136 44.12% 48.65 7.032 64.71% -0.656 -0.2577
Despicable Theft 2 38 50.0% 33.84 0.853 68.42% -0.784 -0.5143
Elemental Invocation 1 402 66.75% 27.17 -2.411 63.43% -0.659 -0.1946
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1346 21.25% 49.85 6.43 81.72% 0.218 0.5849
Powers Long Forgotten 1 51 68.63% 26.25 -2.88 60.78% -0.786 -0.3413
Rituals of Terror 3 31 68.97% 33.74 1.7 70.97% -0.447 0.1979
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 48 81.25% 28.1 -0.552 54.17% -0.919 -0.2734
Second Wave 0 529 51.82% 28.08 -1.972 75.61% -0.442 -0.013
The Great River 3 181 50.28% 31.58 0.308 65.75% -0.848 0.6158
Ward the Shores 2 43 51.22% 34.88 1.169 62.79% -1.011 0.0233

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 22657 56.7% 33.56 0.031 69.47% -0.22 -0.0473
1 Thematic 744 58.07% 31.84 -0.563 64.52% -0.539 -0.1776
2 Archipelago 11 60.0% 38.27 3.061 100.0% 1.046 1.2729
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3922 59.1% 32.51 -0.376 69.99% -0.254 -0.2021
2 Coastline 779 55.93% 33.75 -0.146 69.45% -0.335 -0.3274
2 Fragment 257 69.26% 43.87 3.614 71.98% 0.226 0.4819
2 Heart 99 57.58% 36.06 0.775 78.79% 0.227 0.3693
2 Opposite Shores 1028 52.0% 30.61 -1.322 74.9% -0.3 -0.2098
2 Thematic 266 59.47% 32.47 -0.657 66.17% -0.508 -0.5497
2 Top to Top 200 61.81% 32.63 -0.642 64.0% -0.441 -0.4722
3 Archipelago 5 60.0% 19.6 -4.031 40.0% -1.158 -0.0761
3 Coastline 33 63.64% 32.48 -0.404 54.55% -0.495 -0.6928
3 Other 133 51.52% 31.08 -0.899 85.71% 0.447 0.621
3 Round (Default) 2561 47.27% 34.25 -0.0 76.65% -0.101 -0.175
3 Sunrise 12 66.67% 35.92 1.035 75.0% 0.102 -0.174
3 Thematic 80 67.5% 33.49 0.351 72.5% -0.143 -0.5453
4 Archipelago 10 50.0% 43.3 4.83 90.0% 0.597 1.1057
4 Coastline 6 33.33% 35.67 1.105 100.0% 0.664 0.7145
4 Leaf 7 57.14% 38.57 2.248 57.14% -0.435 -0.4636
4 Other 94 47.87% 37.34 0.752 80.85% 0.3 0.1858
4 Thematic 446 33.26% 49.04 4.321 81.61% -0.141 -1.2253
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1404 41.63% 35.81 0.07 78.06% -0.233 -0.32
5 Other 43 53.49% 38.67 1.913 90.7% 0.992 0.3881
5 Thematic 7 28.57% 58.71 8.566 100.0% 0.749 -2.0135

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1409 30.84 -2.365 48.76% -1.824 0.2486
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1102 33.07 -1.216 55.35% -1.575 0.3431
All Things Weaken 1545 32.4 -1.426 55.21% -1.553 0.6172
Back Against the Wall 1079 32.72 -1.341 54.49% -1.593 0.4979
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1324 29.95 -2.706 53.47% -1.592 0.6329
Downward Spiral 1478 29.58 -2.77 54.19% -1.677 0.3457
Erosion of Will 1358 28.83 -3.417 42.78% -2.089 0.1206
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 595 37.91 1.384 82.35% -0.276 0.4105
Memory Fades to Dust 1431 31.17 -1.962 58.91% -1.409 0.8096
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1487 29.7 -2.774 50.57% -1.802 0.2222
Promising Farmlands 1357 30.32 -2.578 51.36% -1.7 0.5139
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 430 38.15 1.708 87.67% 0.081 0.4913
Thriving Communities 1524 30.28 -2.493 53.41% -1.646 0.4487
Unnatural Proliferation 1545 31.68 -1.762 54.17% -1.595 0.492
Untended Land Crumbles 1472 29.17 -2.89 52.72% -1.686 0.4202

Results Starting on Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3181 58.95% 32.25 -0.558 67.71% 0.065 -0.6957
B 5410 52.0% 32.85 -0.324 73.86% 0.216 -0.6407
C 3220 52.96% 31.28 -1.016 71.46% -0.001 -1.0901
D 5885 60.05% 31.99 -0.802 68.75% 0.119 -0.7308
E 6950 53.92% 37.13 1.601 71.28% 0.407 -0.558
F 5218 53.19% 36.64 1.402 73.32% 0.334 -0.5801
G 1833 57.44% 29.11 -2.04 67.59% -0.223 -1.1288
H 1564 62.35% 29.03 -2.009 65.03% -0.288 -1.2025
East 228 52.86% 35.75 0.619 66.23% -0.322 -0.9709
Northeast 343 53.85% 34.03 0.455 65.31% -0.048 -0.6471
Northwest 563 49.91% 41.49 2.329 75.84% 0.262 -0.4074
Southeast 132 46.97% 33.85 -1.06 70.45% -0.234 -0.9402
Southwest 117 61.54% 28.14 -1.94 68.38% 0.17 -0.1033
West 160 45.63% 39.66 1.183 68.75% -0.411 -0.8099

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 243 0.0% 24.47 -4.673 82.3% -1.743 0.3136
Not Using Events or Tokens 8 28.57% 18.75 -5.878 87.5% -0.022 0.1936
Skip Initial Invader Actions 843 17.36% 45.55 4.256 90.75% 0.427 -0.2601
Start of Game Growth 1393 18.56% 41.29 2.124 91.17% 0.798 0.3274
Unlimited Undo 4103 46.31% 36.35 1.032 79.02% 0.427 0.007
Using Tokens but Not Events 2907 38.31% 30.18 -1.64 83.28% 0.06 0.0082

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1488 46.9% 34.41 -0.044 77.08% 0.1 0.2145
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 316 57.46% 30.73 -1.376 69.3% -0.305 -0.0991
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 492 44.2% 33.94 0.005 78.86% 0.146 0.0408
Eyes Watch From the Trees 680 42.22% 35.0 0.607 81.03% 0.266 -0.1264
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 521 45.65% 35.06 0.545 78.89% 0.261 -0.03
Fractured Days Split the Sky 473 44.37% 40.44 2.041 74.84% 0.012 0.3661
Heart of the Wildfire 675 60.86% 31.17 -1.743 65.63% -0.367 -0.0388
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1855 41.86% 38.98 1.688 82.59% 0.529 0.1988
Lightning's Swift Strike 738 46.41% 36.73 1.171 79.0% 0.221 0.4572
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1715 49.44% 35.37 0.204 74.52% 0.032 -0.2549
Many Minds Move as One 472 44.56% 32.96 -0.233 77.97% 0.049 -0.4822
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 997 46.6% 38.64 1.727 78.34% 0.318 0.1035
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 525 50.39% 33.36 -0.256 74.29% 0.003 0.0264
River Surges in Sunlight 927 54.48% 36.76 0.77 73.89% -0.023 0.1078
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 679 49.04% 36.83 0.462 70.69% -0.142 -0.0269
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 379 52.52% 30.98 -1.477 72.82% -0.292 0.1246
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 591 44.97% 37.71 0.892 80.37% 0.242 0.1449
Shifting Memory of Ages 190 62.11% 31.21 -1.085 64.21% -0.327 -0.2358
Shroud of Silent Mist 606 59.97% 29.36 -1.84 70.3% -0.32 -0.291
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1615 47.73% 34.18 -0.571 72.14% -0.013 -0.0612
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 627 44.44% 38.23 1.44 79.11% 0.221 0.3954
Thunderspeaker 483 46.99% 36.58 0.443 71.64% -0.279 -0.2463
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 668 71.3% 32.5 -0.756 66.02% -0.03 -0.048
Vital Strength of the Earth 388 51.05% 28.12 -2.44 72.42% -0.325 0.5291

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Molten Stone 87.64%
Lava Flows 90.1%
Pyroclastic Bombardment 96.14%
Rain of Ash 69.55%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5245 22.35 25.32%
II 16337 30.84 68.58%
III 10449 34.35 89.2%
IV 2773 37.52 99.75%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1288
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8856
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10773
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2605
Lose: Invader deck ran out 124
Lose: Adversary condition 2486
Win: Sacrifice victory 985
Lose: Scenario condition 200
Win: Scenario condition 111
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5067
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2309

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.241 Win Model: -0.235

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.154 Win Model: 0.024
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 23439 56.74% 33.52 69.33%
2 6597 58.2% 32.86 70.61%
3 2801 48.09% 34.07 76.65%
4 1967 39.78% 39.01 79.41%

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.
Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-04-01 02:56:45 (Pacific Time)