Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 109 45.87% 22.1 50.46% 0.056 0.0994 -0.957
Blitz 0 725 44.48% 23.65 52.83% -1.651 -1.45 -1.172
Dahan Insurrection 4 379 39.58% 42.55 60.16% -1.037 -1.3537 0.554
Despicable Theft 2 232 42.24% 24.84 48.71% -0.491 0.2674 -0.822
Elemental Invocation 1 818 58.65% 23.25 52.32% -1.195 -0.5087 -1.181
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3667 20.6% 43.54 69.73% 0.771 0.1698 0.545
Powers Long Forgotten 1 267 43.82% 18.11 36.7% -1.414 -0.5516 -0.781
Rituals of Terror 3 192 52.11% 24.39 38.54% -0.615 -0.512 -0.507
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 179 62.01% 22.99 45.25% -1.126 -0.1742 -0.317
Second Wave 0 2830 41.84% 25.79 71.24% -0.286 -0.0888 0.566
The Great River 3 460 45.22% 28.33 55.43% -0.17 0.8794 -0.926
Varied Terrains 2 232 49.57% 23.11 45.69% -0.429 0.3936 -0.492
Ward the Shores 2 226 43.75% 22.8 42.48% -0.762 0.4042 -0.23

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 63488 53.68% 29.5 61.28% -0.075 0.2374 0.489
1 Thematic 2414 47.56% 27.33 51.99% -0.279 0.3104 -0.373
2 Archipelago 101 56.7% 29.33 64.36% -0.078 0.7122 -0.616
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13485 55.95% 29.09 61.88% 0.089 0.2031 0.166
2 Coastline 2755 52.67% 30.67 63.74% -0.052 -0.2191 0.462
2 Fragment 713 61.5% 39.02 67.04% 1.109 0.8864 1.607
2 Heart 318 59.43% 31.46 61.95% 0.685 0.2005 0.577
2 Opposite Shores 3700 51.76% 26.95 62.27% -0.246 -0.211 -0.241
2 Thematic 1032 50.19% 25.34 49.03% -0.602 -0.2142 -0.691
2 Top to Top 824 57.86% 30.82 63.11% 0.368 0.1944 -0.05
3 Archipelago 64 57.81% 30.36 56.25% 0.409 -0.6056 -0.378
3 Coastline 105 53.33% 29.39 58.1% -0.011 -0.8909 0.599
3 Other 364 42.42% 26.69 73.9% 0.462 -0.2045 0.538
3 Round (Default) 9661 47.04% 30.7 67.18% -0.058 -0.1497 0.012
3 Sunrise 39 53.85% 35.49 74.36% 0.738 0.6216 0.781
3 Thematic 346 56.81% 26.1 55.49% -0.476 -0.5539 -0.164
4 Archipelago 75 41.89% 31.8 80.0% 0.916 0.5481 0.416
4 Coastline 46 34.78% 29.39 82.61% 0.107 0.117 0.789
4 Leaf 66 57.58% 27.94 56.06% -0.416 -0.5281 -0.314
4 Other 241 44.17% 30.67 78.42% 1.055 0.3639 0.933
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.7261 0.0
4 Thematic 923 39.57% 39.88 68.69% -0.522 -0.6708 -0.601
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4730 42.16% 30.89 69.03% -0.246 -0.4861 -0.103
5 Archipelago 17 64.71% 32.35 88.24% 0.0 1.3237 0.0
5 Coastline 41 9.76% 36.73 68.29% 0.0 -0.4875 -0.567
5 Other 584 41.75% 28.23 72.43% -0.355 -1.1087 -0.103
5 Thematic 62 37.1% 36.87 74.19% 0.439 -0.0964 0.664
6 Archipelago 38 13.16% 39.34 73.68% -0.175 -1.078 -0.202
6 Coastline 61 3.28% 52.21 78.69% 0.458 -0.323 -0.568
6 Other 309 32.36% 25.28 66.99% 0.024 -0.2906 -0.146
6 Star 226 44.25% 29.8 63.27% -0.77 -0.3337 -0.779
6 Thematic 812 37.45% 31.31 58.37% -1.253 -1.2398 -1.158
6 Two Centers (Default) 1110 26.54% 29.33 69.1% -0.797 -0.5558 -1.295
7 Archipelago 10 20.0% 11.5 20.0% -0.633 -0.7095 -0.032
7 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.385
7 Other 28 25.0% 14.64 42.86% 0.206 -1.1016 -0.787

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3648 29.43 46.79% -0.082 0.0024 -0.606
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2960 32.59 54.8% 0.216 0.1319 -0.098
All Things Weaken 4105 30.99 53.67% 0.02 0.2767 -0.151
Attenuated Essence 726 28.5 49.31% 0.21 0.1931 -0.35
Back Against the Wall 2868 31.65 52.3% 0.105 0.1528 -0.325
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 745 28.04 45.5% -0.098 0.0595 -0.756
Burn Brightest Before the End 545 30.06 51.01% 0.119 0.1275 -0.464
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3574 28.71 51.18% 0.199 0.3956 -0.492
Downward Spiral 4003 28.06 51.14% -0.123 -0.041 -0.49
Erosion of Will 3572 27.89 42.25% -0.078 0.0928 -0.812
Intensifying Exploitation 766 28.01 48.96% -0.089 0.0562 -0.374
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1552 35.06 77.45% 1.143 0.514 0.48
Memory Fades to Dust 4050 29.08 53.68% -0.04 0.1601 -0.374
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4043 27.69 47.32% -0.353 -0.155 -0.575
Promising Farmlands 3524 28.69 50.2% 0.027 0.224 -0.567
Shattered Fragments of Power 597 29.89 48.41% 0.183 0.1908 -0.52
Slow Dissolution of Will 776 24.65 34.54% -0.581 -0.3048 -1.081
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1057 35.42 81.36% 0.445 -0.2687 0.818
The Border of Life and Death 193 30.78 69.95% 1.51 1.0018 0.335
Thriving Communities 4143 28.09 49.38% 0.115 0.2869 -0.49
Thriving Crops 290 29.84 59.66% 1.02 0.7139 -0.209
Unnatural Proliferation 4195 30.27 51.75% -0.162 -0.0444 -0.447
Untended Land Crumbles 4048 27.41 49.31% 0.024 0.1949 -0.593

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 19694 50.33% 28.94 62.93% -0.255 0.697 -0.269
B 24506 48.37% 29.27 65.44% 0.06 0.9229 -0.39
C 20923 47.71% 29.03 65.12% -0.106 0.5568 -0.476
D 26648 53.33% 28.58 62.35% -0.031 0.8443 -0.46
E 30172 50.02% 32.16 64.5% 0.309 1.0164 -0.027
F 23662 49.76% 31.54 66.78% 0.119 0.9307 0.1
G 13985 47.77% 27.98 61.41% -0.69 0.0687 -1.384
H 12939 49.1% 28.56 63.47% -0.671 0.09 -0.653
East 4008 44.08% 30.98 56.49% -0.011 0.8025 -0.63
Northeast 2685 44.09% 32.72 60.0% -0.217 0.5476 -0.284
Northwest 2859 44.51% 33.03 61.07% 0.233 0.9851 0.169
Southeast 1751 37.58% 30.15 54.65% -1.069 -0.2063 -0.573
Southwest 1658 40.9% 28.77 55.73% -0.89 0.3711 -0.62
West 4141 45.49% 30.31 57.23% -0.739 0.2273 -0.354

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 959 0.0% 19.82 74.77% -0.298 0.382 -0.014
Not Using Events or Tokens 67 46.15% 20.63 71.64% -0.529 -0.1263 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2167 16.4% 38.5 80.53% 0.165 -0.6055 0.14
Start of Game Growth 3406 20.4% 36.85 80.42% 0.556 0.0938 0.107
Unlimited Undo 12178 44.31% 32.81 68.69% 0.214 0.1459 0.566
Using Tokens but Not Events 10584 37.51% 25.3 70.53% 0.229 0.1744 -0.106

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5206 42.39% 32.63 69.84% 0.33 0.232 0.393
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 359 37.6% 30.47 59.05% 0.506 -0.0217 0.333
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1115 52.06% 25.28 61.43% -0.346 -0.1488 -0.863
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 287 47.74% 29.9 57.84% 0.141 -0.7459 -0.121
Dances Up Earthquakes 198 47.98% 29.17 67.68% 0.473 0.3633 -0.087
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1828 39.22% 28.97 70.95% 0.604 0.4007 0.222
Downpour Drenches the World 1447 41.92% 26.53 55.91% 0.169 0.4784 -0.255
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1681 44.27% 28.6 57.94% 0.389 -0.1814 -0.274
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2706 38.38% 32.24 77.05% 0.8 0.379 0.428
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1909 41.34% 29.87 71.03% 0.27 -0.1401 0.169
Finder of Paths Unseen 1968 52.06% 26.81 52.64% -0.434 0.2317 0.084
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1556 41.12% 31.67 59.32% -0.12 0.4271 -0.258
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1648 47.11% 29.06 64.5% -0.626 -0.7079 0.007
Heart of the Wildfire 2401 55.56% 26.42 58.52% -0.203 0.1056 -0.372
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5650 39.46% 35.83 75.96% 0.491 0.0636 0.724
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 327 40.06% 29.05 58.41% 0.3 0.0015 0.427
Lightning's Swift Strike 1051 48.78% 26.38 68.6% 0.197 0.4529 -0.404
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 563 50.18% 31.71 59.15% 0.187 -0.1441 -0.154
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 651 45.43% 31.73 70.66% -0.449 -0.8262 0.614
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 968 40.25% 37.91 70.25% -0.381 -0.2995 0.373
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4612 45.26% 31.58 68.52% -0.057 -0.2512 -0.136
Many Minds Move as One 1812 43.16% 28.33 69.37% 0.193 -0.012 0.423
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3616 44.27% 32.83 66.59% 0.026 0.189 0.357
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 250 46.4% 30.05 60.0% 0.366 0.3978 -0.119
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2095 45.32% 28.76 68.07% -0.004 -0.1166 0.38
River Surges in Sunlight 1984 49.95% 33.44 68.55% -0.142 -0.1247 0.512
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 132 51.52% 29.21 46.97% 0.126 0.4126 -0.306
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 950 42.87% 28.58 61.26% -0.632 -0.4274 -0.945
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 660 50.76% 32.08 58.64% 0.378 0.1793 0.356
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2423 43.53% 31.85 65.66% 0.029 -0.1144 0.271
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 95 58.95% 31.91 54.74% 0.121 -0.2566 0.898
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 337 60.61% 23.66 61.42% -0.479 0.0944 -0.479
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 132 55.73% 25.48 56.06% -0.15 -0.2026 -0.086
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 256 46.88% 31.74 65.23% 0.255 -0.1829 0.23
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 129 57.36% 27.53 57.36% -0.794 -0.7788 -0.151
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 467 49.02% 27.48 65.52% -0.952 -1.0074 -0.912
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 365 50.0% 26.65 66.3% 0.067 0.2593 -0.093
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1907 41.05% 32.77 71.47% -0.026 0.0268 -0.011
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 425 41.61% 26.93 58.35% -0.305 -0.4436 -0.088
Shifting Memory of Ages 1720 48.98% 27.29 62.21% -0.317 0.0062 -0.43
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 255 48.24% 26.28 54.12% -0.399 -0.3564 0.546
Shroud of Silent Mist 1767 53.54% 24.51 61.52% -0.448 -0.0793 -0.353
Starlight Seeks its Form 2824 45.15% 34.06 68.48% 0.113 0.04 0.743
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4584 45.76% 29.93 64.55% -0.017 -0.5046 -0.365
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2069 40.92% 31.86 71.63% -0.116 0.0446 0.549
Thunderspeaker 2179 37.25% 30.24 68.79% 0.202 0.2381 -0.325
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 193 37.5% 22.36 47.15% -0.302 -0.1153 -0.205
Towering Roots of the Jungle 472 50.42% 26.19 51.48% 0.197 0.3352 -0.218
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2521 65.02% 26.33 53.75% -0.528 -0.5087 -0.097
Vital Strength of the Earth 1027 40.93% 23.71 67.87% 0.54 1.1205 -0.35
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 443 50.45% 29.91 55.3% 0.331 0.8177 0.282
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 509 50.79% 25.36 59.14% 0.035 0.6413 -0.4
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 628 47.13% 27.34 58.28% 0.428 0.0792 -0.311

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Molten Stone 86.09%
Lava Flows 88.93%
Pyroclastic Bombardment 96.09%
Rain of Ash 71.39%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 25895 13.74 13.45%
II 44496 30.19 65.62%
III 29986 34.82 89.2%
IV 8419 38.64 99.76%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3349
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 25498
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 28050
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7940
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 11548
Lose: Invader deck ran out 363
Lose: Adversary condition 6970
Win: Sacrifice victory 2678
Lose: Scenario condition 568
Win: Scenario condition 315
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14648
Lose: Spirit destroyed 6869

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.421 Win Model: -0.141

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.132 Win Model: 0.058
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 66171 53.45% 29.39 60.84%
2 22895 54.99% 29.25 62.08%
3 10478 47.29% 30.5 67.05%
4 6065 41.58% 32.27 69.78%
5 624 38.91% 26.74 68.91%
6 2563 31.28% 30.22 65.24%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-14 03:10:23 (Pacific Time)