Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 26 11.54% 19.77 69.23% 0.256 0.2709 -0.286
Blitz 0 2664 34.55% 25.9 61.97% 0.134 0.4226 0.872
Dahan Insurrection 4 1791 26.49% 43.19 62.65% 0.541 0.364 1.039
Despicable Theft 2 66 43.94% 24.86 39.39% -1.01 -0.1494 -0.831
Elemental Invocation 1 115 45.61% 19.89 41.74% -0.33 0.6035 -0.589
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6467 14.42% 38.13 64.33% 0.322 -0.324 0.869
Powers Long Forgotten 1 672 46.78% 31.98 55.8% 0.6 1.5456 -1.171
Rituals of Terror 3 1056 32.18% 27.54 49.15% 0.706 0.7826 -0.104
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 477 58.14% 30.31 53.46% 0.454 1.5689 -0.305
Second Wave 0 6741 33.47% 26.06 71.87% 0.604 0.6347 0.137
The Great River 3 74 30.99% 20.84 35.14% -0.497 0.9288 -0.606
Varied Terrains 2 45 31.11% 12.56 24.44% -0.292 0.483 -0.211
Ward the Shores 2 683 40.48% 29.53 52.71% -1.007 0.0376 -0.924

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 135327 35.04% 19.3 57.94% 0.114 0.3743 0.055
1 Thematic 5198 47.22% 27.89 50.13% 0.078 0.5443 -0.206
2 Archipelago 26 34.62% 20.77 61.54% 0.0 0.4734 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 41791 38.79% 21.25 63.08% 0.331 0.5164 0.637
2 Coastline 5065 29.66% 21.94 71.31% 0.262 0.2457 0.766
2 Fragment 1341 40.16% 20.09 65.62% 0.196 -0.1203 0.8
2 Heart 1314 17.83% 22.36 81.43% 1.014 0.9194 -0.646
2 Opposite Shores 6524 35.73% 23.59 68.79% 0.595 0.5556 0.317
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 2886 44.99% 32.29 58.0% 0.003 0.2895 -0.517
2 Top to Top 1044 43.1% 21.74 65.61% 0.236 0.1922 1.316
3 Archipelago 18 44.44% 24.78 44.44% 0.0 -1.1399 0.0
3 Coastline 78 32.31% 25.35 66.67% 0.0 -0.7498 0.694
3 Other 734 37.34% 20.68 66.08% 0.39 -0.0731 -0.18
3 Round (Default) 18550 34.06% 27.05 73.34% 0.511 0.2913 0.443
3 Sunrise 69 40.98% 27.75 78.26% -0.249 -0.1737 0.915
3 Thematic 812 40.64% 31.4 56.28% -0.112 -0.4044 -0.356
4 Archipelago 24 35.0% 25.17 66.67% -0.284 -0.0907 0.095
4 Coastline 47 21.95% 24.17 74.47% -0.335 -0.6942 -0.108
4 Leaf 115 32.04% 23.63 75.65% 0.311 0.2028 0.649
4 Other 551 33.89% 24.88 70.96% -0.36 -0.617 0.513
4 Reverse Snake 6 0.0% 39.0 100.0% 0.0 0.2463 0.0
4 Snake 6 80.0% 32.33 50.0% 0.0 -1.136 0.0
4 Thematic 3280 28.76% 44.72 75.95% 0.523 0.7755 -0.679
4 Trapezoid (Default) 16927 27.13% 28.79 75.61% 0.659 0.8735 -0.095
5 Archipelago 5 40.0% 24.0 80.0% -0.517 -0.2438 -0.135
5 Coastline 15 15.38% 28.4 100.0% 0.316 0.2114 0.143
5 Other 371 33.24% 30.75 84.64% 1.39 0.8247 0.592
5 Thematic 73 24.66% 59.51 89.04% 0.253 -0.1674 0.963
6 Archipelago 40 19.05% 29.4 85.0% 0.373 -0.5598 -0.092
6 Coastline 60 0.0% 26.65 91.67% -0.571 -1.3688 -0.194
6 Other 267 10.25% 26.31 81.27% -0.624 -0.1978 -1.118
6 Star 76 26.67% 23.92 69.74% -0.092 0.0203 -0.829
6 Thematic 236 19.15% 29.16 60.59% -1.59 -1.4887 -2.044
6 Two Centers (Default) 976 15.08% 24.01 71.62% -0.549 -0.8059 -1.64
7 Archipelago 6 50.0% 27.5 50.0% 0.0 1.0709 -0.123
7 Other 6 0.0% 23.33 50.0% 0.103 -0.9123 -1.091

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4303 24.23 40.34% -0.394 -0.2189 0.086
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3911 26.26 47.33% 0.218 0.1636 0.453
All Things Weaken 1393 22.52 37.54% -0.219 0.0746 -0.134
Attenuated Essence 96 18.59 37.5% -0.005 0.0781 0.346
Back Against the Wall 3746 26.07 44.07% 0.432 0.4796 0.268
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 84 16.99 40.48% -0.171 0.0327 -0.817
Burn Brightest Before the End 83 19.92 46.99% 0.629 0.8165 0.516
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4051 21.38 36.34% -0.481 -0.072 -0.145
Downward Spiral 18554 18.2 41.55% -0.456 -0.328 0.131
Erosion of Will 4158 22.91 38.55% 0.397 0.6796 0.155
Intensifying Exploitation 107 15.96 27.1% -0.313 -0.0655 -0.43
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 525 26.1 56.76% -0.022 -0.537 0.615
Memory Fades to Dust 18520 18.05 39.0% -0.516 -0.2786 -0.147
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1381 21.92 37.87% -0.608 -0.3903 -0.205
Promising Farmlands 4207 22.47 38.1% 0.313 0.6075 -0.078
Shattered Fragments of Power 104 20.53 43.27% 0.901 1.1019 -0.657
Slow Dissolution of Will 111 20.36 39.64% -0.21 0.174 -0.705
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 347 27.6 71.76% -0.524 -1.1053 0.831
The Border of Life and Death 37 16.68 48.65% -0.07 -0.5874 -0.401
Thriving Communities 1311 21.8 37.38% -0.652 -0.3133 0.226
Thriving Crops 52 18.98 51.92% 0.791 0.7489 -0.261
Tipping Point 1958 23.76 41.01% 0.0 0.0 -0.2
Unnatural Proliferation 1459 24.91 43.45% -0.336 -0.1957 0.297
Untended Land Crumbles 1353 21.13 34.52% -1.643 -1.1944 -0.427

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 78492 34.53% 21.66 63.27% -0.355 0.5065 -0.562
B 80518 33.14% 22.75 65.85% -0.113 0.7035 -0.074
C 82326 32.14% 22.75 66.36% -0.065 0.6143 -0.028
D 77883 32.93% 22.59 65.8% 0.139 0.9437 -0.408
E 12897 35.26% 24.79 68.05% 0.02 0.6881 -0.041
F 20790 35.37% 25.62 68.75% 0.099 0.8978 0.337
G 18150 35.27% 24.95 68.19% 0.209 1.0352 -0.415
H 18653 34.42% 25.34 68.6% -0.004 0.7689 -0.158
East 9397 37.16% 36.4 63.55% 0.078 0.924 0.325
Northeast 6920 34.79% 38.26 66.81% -0.65 0.1207 0.175
Northwest 5975 35.24% 38.74 66.39% -0.197 0.6102 0.051
Southeast 893 31.69% 31.04 62.49% 0.376 1.2452 -0.388
Southwest 898 37.09% 28.37 54.45% -0.42 0.8615 -1.064
West 8541 39.49% 35.8 61.54% -0.031 0.9646 0.939

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 38984 0.0% 13.38 51.76% -1.097 -0.3015 0.305
Not Using Events or Tokens 121045 29.85% 17.71 60.37% -0.156 0.2318 -0.384
Skip Initial Invader Actions 9971 8.75% 29.52 83.91% 0.778 0.1636 -1.786
Start of Game Growth 12566 11.36% 29.09 82.3% 0.634 0.052 0.237
Unlimited Undo 24473 24.05% 24.36 74.53% -0.053 -0.009 0.625
Using Tokens but Not Events 23101 24.57% 24.76 74.53% 0.275 0.2171 -0.116

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 20903 20.52% 30.51 77.61% 0.674 0.5302 0.469
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 12 16.67% 19.17 58.33% -0.14 -0.8533 -0.106
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5562 45.21% 25.16 66.47% -0.233 0.0307 -0.341
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 33 24.24% 26.88 75.76% -0.075 -0.884 0.0
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3840 30.66% 25.89 76.2% -0.495 -0.6601 0.312
Downpour Drenches the World 275 26.92% 23.92 70.18% -0.131 0.1426 0.483
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 304 31.67% 21.47 68.09% 0.657 0.2299 -1.456
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3766 27.69% 28.62 77.54% -0.314 -0.6738 -0.254
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3481 28.96% 28.18 78.66% 0.41 -0.0344 0.191
Finder of Paths Unseen 152 27.52% 18.17 44.74% -1.969 -1.2804 0.5
Fractured Days Split the Sky 588 28.03% 30.98 69.39% 0.353 0.9416 -0.028
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 591 39.0% 26.94 68.53% -0.274 -0.3381 0.067
Heart of the Wildfire 5929 50.35% 25.9 65.64% -0.618 -0.2904 -0.042
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8448 31.56% 31.5 76.4% 0.169 -0.1261 0.116
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 65 32.31% 35.69 66.15% 0.537 0.1667 0.485
Lightning's Swift Strike 25699 32.84% 22.18 67.16% -0.367 -0.0268 0.004
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 162 45.33% 25.36 58.02% 0.857 0.383 0.135
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 371 38.8% 27.27 60.92% -0.084 -0.4449 0.434
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 610 32.48% 29.32 76.72% 0.39 0.3974 0.805
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1071 34.31% 27.15 73.67% -0.155 -0.4502 -0.322
Many Minds Move as One 837 34.74% 28.01 75.03% -0.154 -0.2995 0.428
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 12376 31.28% 31.56 75.05% 0.205 0.1469 1.236
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3608 32.19% 26.62 74.28% 0.555 0.391 0.269
River Surges in Sunlight 24353 28.45% 24.82 68.29% -0.236 -0.138 0.332
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 11 27.27% 11.55 36.36% -0.977 -1.112 0.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 703 28.0% 29.21 74.11% -0.628 -0.1521 -0.04
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 240 39.13% 25.82 58.75% 0.005 -0.0299 0.145
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 8480 29.14% 35.8 72.0% -0.419 -0.6736 0.495
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 12367 41.27% 19.74 60.97% -0.594 -0.0727 -0.326
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 52 27.08% 18.69 63.46% -0.404 -0.2624 -0.59
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 34 27.27% 27.85 70.59% -0.117 -0.6957 0.347
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 46 30.95% 16.09 50.0% -0.431 -0.0803 -0.348
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 268 42.69% 25.1 72.76% 0.368 0.3516 -1.074
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 294 32.73% 23.85 72.79% -1.185 -0.936 0.503
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5599 35.03% 30.15 71.73% 0.173 0.0637 0.157
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 114 37.72% 18.34 74.56% 1.25 1.0879 -0.215
Shifting Memory of Ages 670 35.38% 27.44 66.27% 0.142 0.4861 -0.104
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 21 38.1% 21.57 66.67% 0.387 0.0778 0.0
Shroud of Silent Mist 608 40.2% 23.05 68.91% -0.03 0.3015 -0.036
Starlight Seeks its Form 848 23.34% 21.17 64.27% 0.324 0.1498 -1.04
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2089 38.63% 27.08 72.43% 1.377 0.6678 -0.473
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2957 29.04% 28.22 76.33% 0.812 1.024 1.175
Thunderspeaker 12350 31.18% 26.27 72.42% 0.147 0.1264 -0.106
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 82 39.24% 18.66 46.34% -0.773 -0.5754 -1.49
Towering Roots of the Jungle 31 15.38% 26.61 87.1% 1.031 1.0029 -0.106
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1230 53.28% 25.72 68.62% -0.399 -0.3329 -0.154
Volcano Looming High 851 42.17% 24.36 68.86% 0.124 0.2611 -0.148
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 86 34.88% 21.19 66.28% 0.408 0.0968 0.09

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Year of Perfect Stillness 89.58%
Draw of the Fruitful Earth 79.21%
Guard the Healing Land 92.73%
Rituals of Destruction 83.26%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 55335 15.74 16.4%
II 83427 30.48 65.79%
III 76257 34.79 77.6%
IV 29002 38.41 99.23%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 9077
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 58168
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 53513
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 28535
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 21308
Lose: Invader deck ran out 18719
Lose: Adversary condition 13743
Win: Sacrifice victory 523
Lose: Scenario condition 2033
Win: Scenario condition 2108
Lose: Blight pool ran out 35445
Lose: Spirit destroyed 849

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.434 Win Model: -0.066

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.284 Win Model: 0.132
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 140759 35.56% 19.6 57.6%
2 60011 37.62% 22.11 64.68%
3 20268 34.43% 27.03 72.45%
4 21037 27.52% 31.28 75.64%
5 321 31.29% 25.85 75.39%
6 1625 15.24% 25.29 73.42%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)