Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 27 11.11% 19.96 70.37% 0.629 0.4088 -0.261
Blitz 0 2693 34.31% 25.9 61.79% -0.086 0.2004 0.905
Dahan Insurrection 4 1834 26.36% 43.04 62.38% 0.539 0.4238 1.123
Despicable Theft 2 71 43.66% 23.92 38.03% -0.17 0.5684 -0.843
Elemental Invocation 1 118 46.15% 19.67 41.53% -0.401 0.3553 -0.598
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6576 14.23% 37.69 63.72% -0.166 -0.7472 0.902
Powers Long Forgotten 1 680 46.81% 31.8 55.88% 0.325 1.1783 -1.135
Rituals of Terror 3 1086 31.94% 27.27 48.8% 0.482 0.3117 -0.06
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 484 58.13% 30.16 53.31% 0.189 1.0998 -0.19
Second Wave 0 6831 33.37% 26.05 71.88% 0.609 0.6885 0.201
The Great River 3 76 31.51% 20.97 35.53% -0.256 1.1073 -0.632
Varied Terrains 2 51 33.33% 11.94 21.57% -1.094 -0.2147 -0.187
Ward the Shores 2 692 40.09% 29.4 52.6% -0.026 0.9553 -0.925

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 137418 34.92% 19.17 57.55% 0.447 0.7912 0.118
1 Thematic 5229 47.05% 27.86 50.12% 0.479 1.0061 -0.164
2 Archipelago 27 33.33% 20.0 59.26% -0.208 0.2912 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 42429 38.61% 21.11 62.71% 0.483 0.7675 0.654
2 Coastline 5122 29.57% 21.89 71.09% 0.61 0.6393 0.798
2 Fragment 1364 40.0% 19.98 65.32% 0.607 0.3698 0.827
2 Heart 1322 17.8% 22.31 81.24% 0.839 0.6912 -0.643
2 Opposite Shores 6658 35.51% 23.28 67.99% 0.43 0.489 0.349
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.4338 0.0
2 Thematic 2910 44.86% 32.09 57.7% -0.566 -0.1961 -0.488
2 Top to Top 1059 43.09% 21.58 65.06% 0.057 0.1801 1.256
3 Archipelago 18 44.44% 24.78 44.44% 0.0 -0.7975 0.0
3 Coastline 78 32.31% 25.35 66.67% 0.828 0.2784 0.874
3 Other 740 37.1% 20.56 65.81% 0.654 0.1164 -0.185
3 Round (Default) 18759 33.97% 26.91 73.09% 0.776 0.6833 0.452
3 Sunrise 69 40.98% 27.75 78.26% -0.226 -0.0748 0.907
3 Thematic 822 40.64% 31.26 55.96% -0.328 -0.8459 -0.373
4 Archipelago 26 35.0% 23.23 61.54% -0.219 0.2143 0.091
4 Coastline 47 21.95% 24.17 74.47% -0.458 -1.2186 -0.127
4 Leaf 118 33.02% 23.53 74.58% 0.179 -0.0323 0.659
4 Other 560 33.74% 24.54 70.0% -0.317 -0.3089 0.528
4 Reverse Snake 6 0.0% 39.0 100.0% 0.0 0.9371 0.0
4 Snake 6 80.0% 32.33 50.0% 0.0 -0.0705 0.0
4 Thematic 3331 28.51% 44.29 75.41% 0.008 0.1415 -0.737
4 Trapezoid (Default) 17284 26.95% 28.55 74.92% 0.91 1.0172 -0.163
5 Archipelago 5 40.0% 24.0 80.0% -0.519 -0.351 -0.149
5 Coastline 15 15.38% 28.4 100.0% 0.0 -0.5066 0.139
5 Other 387 33.7% 30.28 83.46% 0.597 0.082 0.628
5 Thematic 73 24.66% 59.51 89.04% 0.0 -0.9822 0.945
6 Archipelago 40 19.05% 29.4 85.0% 0.143 -0.5866 -0.113
6 Coastline 60 0.0% 26.65 91.67% 0.0 -1.0392 -0.195
6 Other 274 9.96% 25.82 79.93% -1.65 -1.0153 -1.212
6 Star 77 26.32% 23.61 68.83% -0.319 -0.0746 -0.783
6 Thematic 239 19.33% 29.26 61.09% -1.204 -0.8805 -2.065
6 Two Centers (Default) 1002 15.5% 24.14 71.56% -0.502 -0.6057 -1.698
7 Archipelago 6 50.0% 27.5 50.0% 0.0 0.5915 -0.123
7 Other 6 0.0% 23.33 50.0% 0.171 -1.2659 -1.144

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4326 24.19 40.27% -0.528 -0.4246 0.117
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3943 26.27 47.4% 0.658 0.5129 0.498
All Things Weaken 1408 22.55 37.57% 0.114 0.4801 -0.107
Attenuated Essence 101 18.29 37.62% 0.236 0.2349 0.374
Back Against the Wall 3771 26.06 44.05% 0.335 0.4004 0.309
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 91 16.71 37.36% -0.82 -0.585 -0.884
Burn Brightest Before the End 85 19.58 45.88% -0.209 -0.0486 0.565
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4089 21.35 36.34% -0.323 0.0523 -0.113
Downward Spiral 18795 18.12 41.35% -0.413 -0.3411 0.177
Erosion of Will 4189 22.86 38.39% -0.14 0.1161 0.162
Intensifying Exploitation 115 16.31 28.7% -0.032 0.242 -0.195
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 533 26.2 57.04% 0.068 -0.4185 0.705
Memory Fades to Dust 18727 17.99 38.88% -0.326 -0.1426 -0.076
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1393 21.84 37.83% -0.475 -0.262 -0.14
Promising Farmlands 4242 22.45 38.07% -0.33 -0.0068 -0.013
Shattered Fragments of Power 115 20.46 42.61% -0.081 0.0898 -0.677
Slow Dissolution of Will 115 20.17 40.0% -0.144 0.2398 -0.659
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 354 27.35 72.03% 0.109 -0.5671 0.854
The Border of Life and Death 40 16.3 50.0% 0.203 -0.3129 -0.385
Thriving Communities 1330 21.83 37.52% -0.444 -0.1202 0.235
Thriving Crops 58 19.12 48.28% 0.092 0.0932 -0.338
Tipping Point 1958 23.76 41.01% 0.0 0.0 -0.152
Unnatural Proliferation 1483 24.95 43.49% -0.45 -0.263 0.342
Untended Land Crumbles 1363 21.09 34.56% -1.233 -0.8939 -0.371

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 79846 34.36% 21.5 62.79% -0.611 0.2523 -0.568
B 81823 33.01% 22.6 65.42% -0.364 0.4574 -0.057
C 83614 31.98% 22.6 65.91% -0.436 0.262 -0.032
D 79068 32.83% 22.46 65.38% -0.196 0.6605 -0.43
E 13144 35.14% 24.66 67.65% -0.185 0.5036 -0.042
F 21100 35.22% 25.48 68.42% -0.039 0.7793 0.347
G 18446 35.16% 24.8 67.83% -0.056 0.8243 -0.407
H 18914 34.28% 25.21 68.33% -0.046 0.7344 -0.175
East 9503 36.99% 36.2 63.3% 0.289 1.0816 0.287
Northeast 7003 34.64% 38.04 66.54% -0.579 0.3023 0.152
Northwest 6041 35.1% 38.52 66.18% -0.123 0.7483 0.054
Southeast 910 31.53% 30.81 62.31% -0.406 0.4529 -0.37
Southwest 919 36.57% 28.04 53.97% -1.105 0.1043 -1.099
West 8635 39.27% 35.59 61.3% 0.022 1.0828 0.939

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 39703 0.0% 13.25 51.26% -0.844 -0.1286 0.34
Not Using Events or Tokens 123330 29.74% 17.56 59.82% -0.388 0.0856 -0.401
Skip Initial Invader Actions 10071 8.77% 29.4 83.55% 0.501 -0.0664 -1.83
Start of Game Growth 12724 11.34% 28.99 81.95% 0.717 0.0523 0.3
Unlimited Undo 24831 23.9% 24.2 74.04% 0.208 0.2308 0.573
Using Tokens but Not Events 23408 24.4% 24.62 74.16% -0.079 -0.0314 -0.135

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 21140 20.5% 30.4 77.34% 0.399 0.2025 0.525
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 20 20.0% 12.9 40.0% -0.217 -0.9317 -0.938
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5676 44.66% 24.83 65.59% -0.657 -0.3881 -0.386
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 38 21.05% 26.58 76.32% -0.019 -0.5867 0.0
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3876 30.56% 25.84 76.06% -0.512 -0.643 0.346
Downpour Drenches the World 295 27.24% 23.06 68.47% -0.235 0.0346 0.409
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 322 31.76% 21.5 68.01% 0.46 0.0286 -1.414
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3891 27.18% 28.07 75.94% -0.413 -0.8359 -0.429
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3515 28.9% 28.18 78.63% 0.656 0.2112 0.216
Finder of Paths Unseen 160 27.39% 18.15 45.63% -1.094 -0.4367 0.55
Fractured Days Split the Sky 602 28.05% 30.92 69.27% 0.289 1.0965 0.011
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 606 38.86% 26.9 68.32% -0.25 -0.3678 0.091
Heart of the Wildfire 5974 50.26% 25.82 65.47% -0.466 -0.1793 -0.028
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8578 31.3% 31.21 75.72% 0.058 -0.3353 0.064
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 73 34.25% 35.73 67.12% 0.895 0.4901 0.327
Lightning's Swift Strike 26119 32.71% 22.05 66.7% -0.423 -0.1558 0.087
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 168 43.59% 25.44 58.93% 0.848 0.4966 0.195
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 392 37.73% 26.9 60.2% 0.411 -0.0306 0.333
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 624 32.06% 29.11 76.28% 0.423 0.3797 0.887
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1092 34.01% 26.86 72.99% -0.641 -0.8913 -0.309
Many Minds Move as One 855 34.71% 27.83 74.97% -0.576 -0.8067 0.443
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 12547 31.11% 31.38 74.77% 0.278 0.1741 1.274
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3641 32.27% 26.52 74.02% 0.244 0.0879 0.305
River Surges in Sunlight 24802 28.26% 24.63 67.74% -0.496 -0.4069 0.406
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 15 26.67% 14.73 53.33% -0.398 -0.5094 0.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 716 27.91% 29.06 73.46% -0.595 -0.2051 -0.029
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 251 39.17% 25.51 58.57% -0.261 -0.1236 0.158
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 8573 29.08% 35.57 71.5% -0.526 -0.7198 0.489
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 12637 41.05% 19.56 60.32% -0.612 -0.1266 -0.229
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 53 26.53% 18.7 64.15% 0.274 0.3293 -0.564
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 39 31.58% 29.05 74.36% 0.388 -0.0805 0.639
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 46 30.95% 16.09 50.0% -0.174 0.0413 -0.361
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 268 42.69% 25.1 72.76% 1.127 1.156 -1.075
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 297 32.38% 23.65 72.39% -0.8 -0.6276 0.562
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5635 34.93% 30.08 71.64% 0.152 -0.0006 0.237
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 121 38.84% 18.79 74.38% 1.167 0.9685 0.133
Shifting Memory of Ages 682 35.05% 27.17 65.84% -0.641 -0.1918 -0.084
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 29 37.93% 26.1 75.86% 0.95 0.6453 0.0
Shroud of Silent Mist 631 40.0% 23.11 68.78% -0.14 0.1964 -0.029
Starlight Seeks its Form 877 22.95% 21.14 64.42% 0.507 0.4523 -1.035
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2115 38.62% 27.05 72.34% 0.317 -0.3059 -0.396
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2985 29.22% 28.16 76.08% 0.185 0.3789 1.231
Thunderspeaker 12593 31.0% 26.08 71.99% 0.2 0.1466 -0.112
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 84 38.27% 18.63 46.43% -0.337 -0.2026 -1.47
Towering Roots of the Jungle 39 29.41% 25.62 79.49% 0.747 0.756 -0.547
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1245 53.36% 25.69 68.67% -0.033 0.0503 -0.11
Volcano Looming High 887 42.15% 24.02 67.76% -0.781 -0.6778 -0.089
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 96 33.33% 20.78 66.67% 0.683 0.4304 0.094

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Year of Perfect Stillness 89.63%
Draw of the Fruitful Earth 79.36%
Guard the Healing Land 92.78%
Rituals of Destruction 83.34%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 57264 15.45 16.0%
II 84261 30.45 65.71%
III 76957 34.8 77.59%
IV 29269 38.47 99.21%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 9162
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 58684
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 53976
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 28790
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 23119
Lose: Invader deck ran out 18890
Lose: Adversary condition 13836
Win: Sacrifice victory 528
Lose: Scenario condition 2046
Win: Scenario condition 2134
Lose: Blight pool ran out 35726
Lose: Spirit destroyed 860

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.379 Win Model: -0.063

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.284 Win Model: 0.337
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 142891 35.44% 19.48 57.22%
2 60915 37.45% 21.96 64.29%
3 20489 34.34% 26.9 72.21%
4 21458 27.34% 31.0 74.97%
5 337 32.25% 25.56 74.48%
6 1661 15.4% 25.27 73.15%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)