Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 0.0% 25.4 100.0% 0.319 0.1172 0.0
Blitz 0 1695 37.79% 24.86 64.48% -0.157 0.1003 -0.414
Dahan Insurrection 4 1330 28.27% 46.05 65.49% -0.237 0.1763 1.017
Despicable Theft 2 37 45.95% 29.0 45.95% -1.402 -0.9558 -0.665
Elemental Invocation 1 60 47.46% 25.77 53.33% -1.507 -1.0217 -0.36
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5339 14.91% 40.42 67.05% -0.904 -0.5989 0.634
Powers Long Forgotten 1 557 49.19% 34.91 59.25% 0.107 0.2892 -1.174
Rituals of Terror 3 551 43.07% 37.54 63.7% 0.288 0.4093 0.544
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 401 62.72% 32.77 56.36% 0.379 0.7938 -0.549
Second Wave 0 5421 35.28% 26.79 73.34% -0.281 0.2846 0.219
The Great River 3 46 44.19% 26.48 45.65% -0.973 0.4251 0.0
Varied Terrains 2 2 50.0% 26.0 50.0% -0.062 0.4643 0.0
Ward the Shores 2 561 41.06% 31.7 54.72% -1.011 0.1508 -0.826

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 102382 36.58% 21.45 64.07% 0.653 1.6692 -0.645
1 Thematic 4523 48.81% 29.08 52.16% 0.535 1.7074 -0.932
2 Archipelago 18 27.78% 25.06 72.22% -0.307 0.6762 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 31193 40.97% 24.0 70.42% 0.224 0.9753 0.216
2 Coastline 3842 30.76% 23.86 77.12% 0.396 0.9983 0.391
2 Fragment 1025 40.18% 21.72 70.63% -0.206 0.2413 0.37
2 Heart 1174 16.07% 23.53 86.54% 0.63 1.1684 -0.658
2 Opposite Shores 5175 36.9% 25.56 72.77% 0.709 1.7018 -0.229
2 Thematic 2428 44.77% 34.57 63.43% -0.482 0.2165 -1.006
2 Top to Top 799 46.22% 24.12 71.46% -0.105 0.4054 1.035
3 Archipelago 9 66.67% 34.22 44.44% 0.02 0.1936 0.0
3 Coastline 61 32.0% 27.97 70.49% 0.027 -0.7564 0.645
3 Other 552 38.16% 23.2 73.73% 0.472 0.4359 -0.442
3 Round (Default) 14934 34.63% 29.15 77.43% -0.145 0.4501 0.271
3 Sunrise 56 44.0% 30.8 85.71% 0.41 0.4472 0.953
3 Thematic 637 44.71% 35.24 62.32% -0.537 -0.5744 -0.084
4 Archipelago 12 45.45% 35.33 83.33% 0.0 -0.7111 0.103
4 Coastline 36 18.75% 26.56 83.33% 0.327 0.4434 0.0
4 Leaf 73 29.41% 29.15 83.56% 0.0 0.5626 0.582
4 Other 408 33.86% 29.74 82.11% 0.247 -0.0071 0.391
4 Reverse Snake 5 0.0% 40.8 100.0% 0.0 -0.1871 0.0
4 Snake 4 75.0% 37.75 50.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 2944 28.29% 47.04 77.85% -0.601 -0.0721 -0.314
4 Trapezoid (Default) 13223 28.78% 30.88 81.41% -0.019 -0.0462 0.153
5 Archipelago 4 50.0% 30.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.5788 0.0
5 Coastline 4 0.0% 29.75 100.0% 0.043 -0.5215 0.225
5 Other 191 31.28% 36.94 91.1% 0.852 1.0198 0.626
5 Thematic 62 16.13% 65.94 95.16% 0.172 -0.1047 1.261
6 Archipelago 17 27.27% 34.41 100.0% 0.028 -0.2274 0.096
6 Coastline 17 0.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.054 -0.5352 0.0
6 Other 114 6.54% 30.99 89.47% 0.232 1.0417 -0.553
6 Star 13 33.33% 34.0 84.62% 0.031 0.8141 -0.24
6 Thematic 126 21.43% 41.79 81.75% -0.001 -0.2799 -0.794
6 Two Centers (Default) 336 14.2% 30.08 91.96% -1.023 -1.1166 -0.846
7 Archipelago 3 33.33% 41.0 66.67% 0.0 -0.5774 -0.392
7 Other 4 0.0% 35.0 75.0% 0.006 -1.1457 -0.796

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3792 24.77 40.74% -1.498 0.4046 -0.158
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3433 26.67 47.42% -1.761 -0.0306 0.226
All Things Weaken 1085 23.46 37.24% -1.254 0.7311 -0.331
Back Against the Wall 3350 26.48 43.97% -1.429 0.3874 0.002
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3521 22.02 37.06% -1.981 0.0693 -0.398
Downward Spiral 14462 19.48 44.65% -2.348 -0.3552 -0.217
Erosion of Will 3650 23.34 38.36% -1.731 0.352 -0.045
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 400 27.04 55.5% -0.235 0.2059 0.483
Memory Fades to Dust 14565 19.29 41.7% -2.033 0.0507 -0.57
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1057 23.18 39.07% -1.883 0.0558 -0.292
Promising Farmlands 3665 23.04 38.64% -2.329 -0.2833 -0.298
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 275 28.37 73.45% 0.584 1.0082 0.359
Thriving Communities 1002 23.21 39.52% -1.737 0.2464 0.048
Tipping Point 1958 23.76 41.01% 0.0 -0.1175 -0.403
Unnatural Proliferation 1137 25.65 43.89% -1.202 0.7623 0.032
Untended Land Crumbles 1044 21.88 35.63% -2.125 -0.1317 -0.824

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 58940 36.62% 24.21 70.26% 0.093 0.8899 -0.404
B 61707 34.71% 25.16 72.42% 0.092 0.8354 -0.158
C 63250 33.57% 25.04 72.55% 0.045 0.6137 -0.081
D 59790 34.58% 24.87 71.97% 0.196 0.9922 -0.423
E 8580 37.6% 27.41 72.63% 0.137 0.7838 0.104
F 15576 36.67% 27.84 72.98% 0.272 0.9966 0.423
G 13569 36.96% 27.22 72.69% -0.077 0.6546 -0.291
H 13913 35.84% 27.68 73.01% 0.109 0.8211 0.053
East 8047 37.75% 39.0 66.97% 0.482 1.251 0.312
Northeast 5897 35.28% 41.17 70.41% -0.32 0.5395 0.004
Northwest 5191 35.92% 41.43 69.5% 0.031 1.1079 -0.163
Southeast 672 34.33% 35.68 69.35% -0.167 0.5389 -0.52
Southwest 610 37.34% 34.22 67.87% -0.621 0.5041 -0.994
West 7294 40.04% 38.55 65.56% 0.14 1.0938 0.869

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 26821 0.0% 16.08 62.29% -2.104 0.0254 -0.387
Not Using Events or Tokens 84450 31.21% 20.33 69.91% 0.076 0.2505 0.049
Skip Initial Invader Actions 7894 8.68% 31.74 89.8% 0.947 0.8051 -1.521
Start of Game Growth 9959 11.54% 31.03 87.56% 0.611 -0.1496 0.025
Unlimited Undo 19386 24.67% 26.46 80.34% 0.445 -0.1593 0.818
Using Tokens but Not Events 18966 25.21% 25.99 77.28% 0.86 0.7036 0.203

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 16836 100.0% 32.27 100.0% 0.343 0.2282 0.198
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4539 100.0% 27.63 100.0% 0.077 0.173 -0.16
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2881 100.0% 28.29 100.0% 0.025 -0.1365 0.054
Downpour Drenches the World 33 100.0% 29.27 100.0% 0.148 0.4004 0.598
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2925 100.0% 30.85 100.0% 1.027 0.5893 -0.336
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2661 100.0% 29.79 100.0% 0.315 -0.1732 -0.151
Finder of Paths Unseen 20 100.0% 28.9 100.0% -0.594 -0.2303 0.141
Fractured Days Split the Sky 381 100.0% 35.01 100.0% -0.551 -0.4951 -0.202
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 206 100.0% 29.86 100.0% -0.222 -0.2536 -0.176
Heart of the Wildfire 5180 100.0% 27.23 100.0% -0.321 -0.1462 -0.227
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7277 100.0% 33.31 100.0% -0.343 -0.7995 0.119
Lightning's Swift Strike 18816 102.0% 25.02 100.57% 0.128 0.4023 -0.185
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 20 57.14% 32.15 65.0% -0.134 -0.9106 0.273
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 194 33.51% 31.78 77.32% -0.169 -0.8115 1.048
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 379 33.79% 32.79 84.96% 0.197 -0.0695 0.584
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 676 100.0% 30.42 100.0% 0.503 0.2365 -0.701
Many Minds Move as One 609 100.0% 29.74 100.0% -0.118 -0.7211 0.141
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9866 100.0% 34.04 100.0% 0.234 0.0494 0.859
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2779 100.0% 28.52 100.0% 0.271 0.2921 -0.001
River Surges in Sunlight 17947 101.83% 27.77 100.54% -0.15 -0.1847 -0.067
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 471 28.89% 33.68 80.68% -0.093 0.3384 -0.363
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 22 50.0% 23.27 72.73% -0.029 -0.3295 -0.665
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7337 100.0% 38.23 100.0% -0.019 -0.0717 0.325
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 8778 102.43% 23.64 100.75% 0.378 0.7879 -0.276
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 6 60.0% 20.0 66.67% -0.071 -0.0646 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 3 33.33% 40.67 66.67% 0.069 -0.2779 0.523
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 161 42.31% 27.18 80.75% 0.21 0.2293 -0.754
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 196 35.48% 27.19 83.67% -0.509 -0.3262 0.251
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4853 100.0% 32.03 100.0% -0.07 -0.3565 0.321
Shifting Memory of Ages 368 100.0% 34.09 100.0% -0.034 0.0412 -0.25
Shroud of Silent Mist 314 100.0% 26.68 100.0% -0.227 0.0093 0.042
Starlight Seeks its Form 277 100.0% 29.88 100.0% -0.292 -0.4318 0.199
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1499 100.0% 28.35 100.0% 0.563 0.3811 -0.762
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2205 100.0% 30.51 100.0% -0.394 -0.2096 0.989
Thunderspeaker 9854 100.0% 28.45 100.0% 0.095 0.1591 -0.34
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 992 100.0% 27.25 100.0% 0.544 0.4534 -0.381
Volcano Looming High 519 100.0% 27.11 100.0% -0.136 -0.1399 -0.381

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Year of Perfect Stillness 88.56%
Draw of the Fruitful Earth 77.55%
Guard the Healing Land 92.03%
Rituals of Destruction 81.71%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 30773 22.56 24.62%
II 68016 30.98 67.78%
III 63247 34.53 78.11%
IV 24383 37.77 99.28%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 7575
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 48540
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 44923
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 24011
Lose: Invader deck ran out 15264
Lose: Adversary condition 12124
Win: Sacrifice victory 435
Lose: Scenario condition 1801
Win: Scenario condition 1804
Lose: Blight pool ran out 29234
Lose: Spirit destroyed 708

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.18 Win Model: -0.189

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.368 Win Model: 0.655
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 106955 37.19% 21.77 63.56%
2 45692 39.24% 24.67 71.32%
3 16260 35.17% 29.23 76.75%
4 16799 28.73% 33.86 80.95%
5 94 22.22% 32.39 89.36%
6 619 14.71% 32.31 89.5%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-09-02 02:08:59 (Pacific Time)