Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 12 8.33% 23.5 91.67% 0.356 0.2148 0.0
Blitz 0 1928 36.3% 26.31 66.86% 0.77 1.1083 0.18
Dahan Insurrection 4 1391 28.14% 45.71 64.92% -0.412 -0.6516 0.985
Despicable Theft 2 44 47.73% 28.89 45.45% -0.446 0.153 -0.671
Elemental Invocation 1 64 47.62% 24.89 50.0% -0.507 0.3246 -0.356
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5660 15.36% 40.2 66.7% 0.195 -0.1716 0.686
Powers Long Forgotten 1 582 49.48% 34.46 58.76% -0.461 0.0061 -1.192
Rituals of Terror 3 582 42.48% 37.66 64.09% -0.384 -0.6577 0.417
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 415 62.29% 32.67 56.87% -0.106 0.589 -0.42
Second Wave 0 5745 34.89% 26.75 73.32% 0.435 0.6219 0.091
The Great River 3 47 43.18% 26.72 46.81% 0.026 1.5973 0.0
Varied Terrains 2 7 42.86% 23.43 42.86% -0.398 0.209 0.0
Ward the Shores 2 592 41.49% 31.59 55.24% -0.16 0.7006 -0.845

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 108565 36.62% 21.32 63.59% 0.302 0.5664 -0.367
1 Thematic 4642 48.74% 29.04 52.18% -0.479 0.1638 -0.703
2 Archipelago 19 31.58% 24.16 68.42% 0.0 0.9616 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 32933 40.88% 23.83 69.95% 0.414 0.6223 0.389
2 Coastline 4086 30.4% 23.67 76.95% 0.189 0.3378 0.563
2 Fragment 1091 40.71% 21.49 70.03% 0.455 0.4106 0.591
2 Heart 1202 16.68% 23.39 85.44% -0.171 -0.2533 -0.735
2 Opposite Shores 5451 36.66% 25.46 72.83% 0.556 0.7196 -0.046
2 Thematic 2568 45.71% 34.21 61.68% -1.008 -0.3552 -0.824
2 Top to Top 848 45.55% 23.91 71.23% -0.303 -0.1335 1.211
3 Archipelago 14 57.14% 30.36 57.14% -0.046 -0.2791 0.0
3 Coastline 64 32.69% 27.88 71.88% 0.57 0.2596 0.637
3 Other 584 38.45% 23.01 73.8% 0.661 0.035 -0.354
3 Round (Default) 15634 34.72% 28.99 77.41% 0.819 0.7749 0.32
3 Sunrise 59 43.14% 30.07 83.05% 0.0 -0.189 0.954
3 Thematic 655 44.24% 35.26 62.6% -1.366 -1.2965 -0.066
4 Archipelago 17 43.75% 31.53 82.35% 0.104 0.4612 0.023
4 Coastline 39 20.59% 26.54 82.05% 0.259 -0.1861 -0.004
4 Leaf 77 28.17% 28.82 84.42% 0.347 -0.0356 0.555
4 Other 437 33.99% 29.07 80.78% -0.425 -1.1464 0.324
4 Reverse Snake 5 0.0% 40.8 100.0% 0.0 -0.144 0.0
4 Snake 4 75.0% 37.75 50.0% 0.0 0.5153 0.0
4 Thematic 3016 28.28% 46.71 77.95% 0.259 0.2482 -0.565
4 Trapezoid (Default) 14052 28.23% 30.85 81.43% 0.39 0.2447 0.081
5 Archipelago 4 50.0% 30.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.7421 0.0
5 Coastline 12 0.0% 28.92 100.0% 0.268 -0.0702 0.185
5 Other 223 31.55% 35.79 90.13% 0.464 -0.1267 0.512
5 Thematic 65 20.0% 64.38 95.38% 0.571 0.2669 1.114
6 Archipelago 32 23.08% 32.19 93.75% -1.058 -0.893 0.067
6 Coastline 41 0.0% 28.2 100.0% 0.39 -0.3595 0.0
6 Other 168 6.16% 31.9 91.07% 0.188 -0.1894 -0.707
6 Star 21 30.0% 28.14 80.95% -0.691 -0.0498 -0.304
6 Thematic 146 23.97% 40.01 77.4% -0.708 -0.6279 -1.567
6 Two Centers (Default) 500 12.83% 28.81 88.8% -0.729 -0.2991 -1.24
7 Archipelago 5 60.0% 33.0 60.0% 0.0 -1.0071 -0.366
7 Other 4 0.0% 35.0 75.0% 0.0 -0.2998 -0.671

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3929 24.68 40.7% -0.671 0.3008 -0.135
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3578 26.6 47.46% -0.846 -0.0602 0.183
All Things Weaken 1171 23.36 37.4% -0.906 0.1817 -0.306
Attenuated Essence 5 16.0 40.0% -0.679 0.2078 0.0
Back Against the Wall 3475 26.37 44.06% -0.433 0.3962 0.032
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 4 15.75 0.0% -1.231 0.0194 -0.295
Burn Brightest Before the End 6 26.5 50.0% -0.146 0.7948 0.468
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3641 21.98 37.11% -0.893 0.2266 -0.425
Downward Spiral 15371 19.44 44.08% -1.359 -0.3965 -0.244
Erosion of Will 3802 23.26 38.51% -1.025 0.0917 -0.098
Intensifying Exploitation 7 6.29 14.29% -1.418 -0.3442 -0.201
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 426 27.05 56.1% -0.442 -0.5583 0.484
Memory Fades to Dust 15497 19.22 41.16% -1.492 -0.3795 -0.541
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1147 22.94 38.97% -1.011 -0.0554 -0.379
Promising Farmlands 3828 22.9 38.51% -0.819 0.3162 -0.315
Shattered Fragments of Power 10 11.2 40.0% -1.031 -0.1085 -0.146
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 298 28.17 73.83% 0.11 -0.1785 0.384
The Border of Life and Death 3 16.33 33.33% -0.65 -0.2383 -0.201
Thriving Communities 1085 22.92 38.43% -1.782 -0.6347 0.039
Thriving Crops 2 8.5 0.0% -0.838 0.0384 0.0
Tipping Point 1958 23.76 41.01% 0.0 -0.0581 -0.404
Unnatural Proliferation 1210 25.58 43.39% -1.097 -0.1321 0.0
Untended Land Crumbles 1152 21.72 35.24% -1.675 -0.6427 -0.752

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 62541 36.37% 24.1 69.98% -0.613 0.2561 -0.493
B 65172 34.52% 25.05 72.16% -0.574 0.1932 -0.135
C 66956 33.37% 24.92 72.3% -0.43 0.1648 -0.051
D 63267 34.37% 24.78 71.72% -0.384 0.4356 -0.451
E 9550 36.88% 27.07 72.75% -0.306 0.3473 0.075
F 16778 36.51% 27.63 72.85% -0.182 0.549 0.423
G 14574 36.83% 26.98 72.42% -0.308 0.4082 -0.281
H 14986 35.77% 27.47 72.85% -0.466 0.2309 0.016
East 8307 37.85% 38.76 66.86% -0.06 0.6001 0.355
Northeast 6088 35.26% 40.92 70.52% 0.307 1.1714 0.14
Northwest 5344 35.93% 41.16 69.5% 0.239 0.8243 -0.091
Southeast 713 35.02% 35.2 68.72% -0.179 0.5127 -0.443
Southwest 700 40.69% 32.8 62.0% -1.305 -0.0631 -0.933
West 7574 40.39% 38.18 64.93% -0.425 0.5909 0.971

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 28684 0.0% 15.89 61.49% -1.42 0.0684 -0.332
Not Using Events or Tokens 90595 31.36% 20.24 69.21% 0.351 0.5417 0.026
Skip Initial Invader Actions 8324 8.71% 31.65 89.66% 0.934 0.2182 -1.311
Start of Game Growth 10515 11.4% 31.08 87.35% 0.609 0.1368 0.016
Unlimited Undo 20556 24.62% 26.31 80.09% 0.325 0.0733 0.862
Using Tokens but Not Events 20082 25.09% 25.89 77.21% 0.436 0.4376 0.185

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 17923 100.0% 32.18 100.0% 0.604 0.4503 0.217
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4729 100.0% 27.51 100.0% -0.615 -0.5636 -0.136
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3131 100.0% 27.93 100.0% 0.066 -0.1408 0.06
Downpour Drenches the World 88 100.0% 27.35 100.0% 0.415 0.76 0.641
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 31 100.0% 22.23 100.0% 0.618 0.4052 -0.295
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3103 100.0% 30.64 100.0% 0.433 -0.0823 -0.276
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2859 100.0% 29.5 100.0% -0.48 -0.9019 -0.127
Finder of Paths Unseen 53 100.0% 27.74 100.0% -1.198 -0.6773 1.049
Fractured Days Split the Sky 432 100.0% 34.39 100.0% 0.007 0.3321 -0.205
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 298 100.0% 28.58 100.0% 0.355 0.2376 -0.114
Heart of the Wildfire 5312 100.0% 27.18 100.0% 0.114 0.3147 -0.193
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7545 100.0% 33.11 100.0% 0.282 -0.321 0.073
Lightning's Swift Strike 20124 102.13% 24.87 100.79% -0.215 0.0652 -0.2
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 48 71.79% 31.63 62.5% 0.848 0.1003 -0.225
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 241 37.13% 30.43 70.95% -0.793 -1.251 1.128
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 426 34.55% 31.78 83.33% -0.2 -0.4861 0.657
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 765 100.0% 29.9 100.0% -0.196 -0.3564 -0.588
Many Minds Move as One 666 100.0% 29.48 100.0% 1.295 0.8668 0.229
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 10411 100.0% 33.91 100.0% 0.13 0.0152 0.916
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3010 100.0% 28.35 100.0% 0.202 0.1378 -0.003
River Surges in Sunlight 19249 101.98% 27.73 100.63% -0.005 -0.0908 -0.005
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 524 29.68% 32.8 79.96% -0.225 -0.0861 -0.348
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 54 39.58% 26.13 70.37% 0.021 -0.242 -0.546
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7565 100.0% 38.09 100.0% -0.417 -0.5644 0.317
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 9298 102.66% 23.33 100.96% -0.465 -0.0605 -0.309
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 21 61.11% 18.76 61.9% -0.654 -0.6035 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 8 33.33% 21.38 50.0% -0.732 -0.7072 -0.063
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 192 43.01% 26.65 78.65% 0.156 0.1011 -1.101
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 215 36.1% 27.47 83.26% 0.636 0.7444 0.615
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5007 100.02% 31.91 100.04% -0.17 -0.3616 0.315
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 6 83.33% 14.17 66.67% -0.5 -0.4641 0.0
Shifting Memory of Ages 430 100.0% 32.68 100.0% 0.377 0.6522 -0.179
Shroud of Silent Mist 370 100.0% 25.72 100.0% -0.093 0.1598 0.259
Starlight Seeks its Form 380 100.0% 28.62 100.0% 0.359 0.1772 -0.195
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1605 100.0% 28.2 100.0% 0.726 0.2813 -0.715
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2461 100.0% 30.07 100.0% -0.451 -0.3608 0.933
Thunderspeaker 10324 100.02% 28.29 100.02% 0.293 0.2401 -0.348
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.865 -0.615 -0.421
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1046 100.0% 27.05 100.0% 0.31 0.1869 -0.308
Volcano Looming High 595 100.0% 27.14 100.0% 0.21 0.2055 -0.103

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Year of Perfect Stillness 88.61%
Draw of the Fruitful Earth 77.59%
Guard the Healing Land 92.1%
Rituals of Destruction 81.72%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 33221 22.19 24.26%
II 71758 31.1 67.53%
III 66766 34.71 78.03%
IV 25589 37.97 99.28%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 8058
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 51207
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 47236
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 25205
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 825
Lose: Invader deck ran out 16281
Lose: Adversary condition 12663
Win: Sacrifice victory 455
Lose: Scenario condition 1870
Win: Scenario condition 1856
Lose: Blight pool ran out 30946
Lose: Spirit destroyed 732

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.02 Win Model: -0.134

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.268 Win Model: 0.192
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 113303 37.2% 21.64 63.11%
2 48232 39.2% 24.5 70.85%
3 17023 35.23% 29.06 76.76%
4 17736 28.32% 33.67 80.96%
5 139 24.17% 32.22 86.33%
6 901 14.19% 30.77 88.01%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-12 02:39:41 (Pacific Time)