Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 37 16.22% 17.81 62.16% 0.085 0.0789 -0.352
Blitz 0 2900 33.05% 25.08 60.03% -0.327 -0.1004 1.072
Dahan Insurrection 4 2043 24.99% 41.88 62.07% 0.174 -0.1417 1.191
Despicable Theft 2 89 39.33% 22.46 35.96% -0.709 0.0756 -0.799
Elemental Invocation 1 139 42.75% 17.91 37.41% -1.01 -0.3085 -0.619
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6957 14.3% 37.12 63.0% 0.88 0.2645 0.981
Powers Long Forgotten 1 734 46.36% 30.36 53.95% -0.593 0.2009 -1.125
Rituals of Terror 3 1209 30.88% 25.8 45.82% -0.629 -0.6225 -0.162
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 509 56.83% 29.31 51.67% -1.008 -0.1028 -0.257
Second Wave 0 7197 32.94% 25.87 71.67% 0.854 1.0775 0.332
The Great River 3 85 32.93% 19.6 31.76% -0.571 0.502 -0.63
Varied Terrains 2 85 27.06% 10.62 20.0% -0.124 0.6934 -0.144
Ward the Shores 2 722 39.66% 29.05 51.94% -0.729 0.3545 -0.872

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 150228 34.27% 18.46 55.69% 0.217 0.4509 0.413
1 Thematic 5494 46.22% 27.36 49.13% -0.333 0.1849 0.11
2 Archipelago 28 32.14% 20.39 60.71% 0.0 0.5321 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 46869 37.52% 20.29 60.44% 0.487 0.5053 0.823
2 Coastline 5580 29.54% 21.34 69.53% 0.676 0.3978 0.974
2 Fragment 1529 39.22% 19.28 62.92% 0.208 -0.034 0.869
2 Heart 1385 18.6% 21.73 79.35% 0.472 -0.0812 -0.608
2 Opposite Shores 7298 35.34% 22.28 65.65% 0.684 0.6079 0.324
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.3743 0.0
2 Thematic 3108 44.45% 31.27 55.95% -0.069 0.3114 -0.318
2 Top to Top 1170 41.52% 21.13 64.1% 0.905 0.6203 1.498
3 Archipelago 23 43.48% 22.43 39.13% -0.405 -1.0451 0.0
3 Coastline 84 32.39% 24.27 63.1% -0.365 -1.3526 0.736
3 Other 807 37.85% 19.68 63.07% 0.02 -0.7882 -0.092
3 Round (Default) 20347 33.72% 26.1 71.28% 0.876 0.7008 0.512
3 Sunrise 72 43.75% 27.57 76.39% 0.803 0.2078 1.011
3 Thematic 925 40.64% 30.08 52.86% -0.263 -0.4787 -0.374
4 Archipelago 29 30.43% 23.72 58.62% 0.0 -0.1472 0.03
4 Coastline 51 22.22% 23.43 70.59% -0.646 -0.516 -0.481
4 Leaf 141 33.87% 21.68 71.63% 0.653 0.946 0.459
4 Other 617 32.44% 22.77 65.64% 0.12 -0.6214 0.564
4 Reverse Snake 6 0.0% 39.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.5377 0.0
4 Snake 6 80.0% 32.33 50.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 3516 28.01% 42.85 73.41% 0.176 0.1328 -0.84
4 Trapezoid (Default) 18868 26.54% 27.69 72.52% 0.587 0.27 -0.211
5 Archipelago 8 25.0% 15.0 50.0% -1.065 0.1591 -0.058
5 Coastline 15 15.38% 28.4 100.0% 0.0 -0.8491 0.133
5 Other 466 31.95% 28.13 78.76% 0.617 -0.0357 0.588
5 Thematic 75 24.0% 58.55 89.33% 0.0 0.0306 0.984
6 Archipelago 45 15.38% 28.49 82.22% -0.034 -0.9529 -0.13
6 Coastline 61 0.0% 26.21 90.16% -0.353 -1.3856 -0.213
6 Other 322 9.12% 23.97 77.02% 0.192 -0.2959 -1.681
6 Star 93 23.91% 21.72 63.44% -0.443 0.0422 -0.889
6 Thematic 285 20.85% 28.5 59.3% -0.691 -0.7913 -2.016
6 Two Centers (Default) 1146 15.0% 22.56 67.36% -1.535 -1.3582 -1.759
7 Archipelago 7 42.86% 31.14 42.86% 0.0 0.3732 -0.338
7 Other 6 0.0% 23.33 50.0% 0.0 -0.7466 -1.22

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4490 24.07 40.04% -0.39 -0.3594 0.272
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4066 26.23 47.32% -0.055 -0.1629 0.664
All Things Weaken 1526 22.22 38.07% 0.365 0.5692 0.067
Attenuated Essence 156 19.22 38.46% -0.495 -0.5078 -0.292
Back Against the Wall 3890 25.84 43.93% -0.791 -0.7581 0.426
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 153 16.65 33.99% -1.353 -1.2151 -0.529
Burn Brightest Before the End 131 19.25 45.8% 0.347 0.3628 1.021
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4225 21.21 36.26% -0.204 -0.0409 -0.02
Downward Spiral 20326 17.58 40.41% -0.513 -0.4464 0.302
Erosion of Will 4340 22.67 38.25% -0.019 0.0994 0.262
Intensifying Exploitation 186 16.73 34.41% 0.136 0.2479 -0.299
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 595 25.31 55.97% -0.072 -0.6813 0.696
Memory Fades to Dust 20204 17.53 38.07% -0.552 -0.3388 0.085
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1495 21.63 38.06% -0.028 0.0955 0.061
Promising Farmlands 4401 22.26 38.31% -0.272 -0.0782 0.135
Shattered Fragments of Power 176 21.77 44.89% 0.154 0.1564 0.079
Slow Dissolution of Will 176 18.83 34.09% -0.492 -0.1763 -0.747
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 387 26.49 69.25% -0.503 -1.2223 0.828
The Border of Life and Death 60 15.6 46.67% -0.051 -0.4859 -0.616
Thriving Communities 1420 21.41 37.32% -0.507 -0.3825 0.321
Thriving Crops 88 20.09 47.73% 0.773 0.5039 -0.516
Tipping Point 1958 23.76 41.01% 0.0 0.5148 -0.037
Unnatural Proliferation 1592 24.41 42.27% -0.658 -0.5736 0.487
Untended Land Crumbles 1478 20.82 34.64% -0.433 -0.263 -0.113

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 87805 33.57% 20.65 60.49% -0.396 0.588 -0.594
B 89448 32.35% 21.78 63.2% -0.258 0.6403 -0.159
C 91491 31.42% 21.76 63.65% -0.201 0.5083 -0.057
D 86452 32.25% 21.62 63.19% -0.205 0.6962 -0.46
E 14909 34.35% 23.65 65.43% 0.356 1.0811 -0.222
F 23080 34.85% 24.71 66.85% 0.147 0.9838 0.283
G 20116 34.59% 24.11 66.45% 0.301 1.0903 -0.38
H 20617 33.96% 24.52 66.88% 0.197 0.9868 -0.196
East 10168 36.49% 35.13 61.39% 0.183 0.9251 0.206
Northeast 7497 34.04% 36.88 64.52% -0.156 0.713 0.178
Northwest 6449 34.41% 37.2 64.07% -0.161 0.5689 0.079
Southeast 1007 31.9% 29.86 60.97% -0.162 0.7222 -0.353
Southwest 1013 36.27% 27.19 53.31% -1.106 0.1993 -0.776
West 9216 38.64% 34.44 59.44% -0.082 0.9166 0.98

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 44635 0.0% 12.53 48.29% -1.005 -0.3626 0.454
Not Using Events or Tokens 138400 29.19% 16.76 57.04% -0.145 0.2845 -0.475
Skip Initial Invader Actions 10651 8.6% 29.13 82.46% 1.077 0.2971 -1.886
Start of Game Growth 13642 11.17% 28.46 80.18% 0.21 -0.2396 0.2
Unlimited Undo 26858 23.67% 23.54 72.15% 0.351 0.3185 0.587
Using Tokens but Not Events 25080 24.38% 24.0 72.66% 0.27 0.1949 -0.214

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 22572 20.45% 29.77 75.76% 0.233 0.1424 0.609
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 98 24.49% 22.64 56.12% 0.791 0.2816 0.078
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6123 43.63% 23.9 63.45% -0.503 -0.3223 -0.413
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 59 28.81% 23.24 69.49% 0.969 0.1425 -1.096
Dances Up Earthquakes 40 45.0% 28.65 67.5% 0.782 0.5752 -0.269
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4308 30.3% 24.31 72.05% -0.26 -0.4877 0.057
Downpour Drenches the World 369 27.67% 22.23 65.31% -0.136 0.2281 0.356
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 530 31.75% 18.84 56.04% 0.077 -0.4373 -2.614
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4281 26.29% 26.91 73.46% -0.066 -0.4937 -0.465
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3732 28.85% 27.56 77.2% 0.174 -0.2681 0.313
Finder of Paths Unseen 210 24.76% 16.48 42.86% -1.222 -0.5679 0.387
Fractured Days Split the Sky 652 27.58% 29.75 66.87% -0.973 -0.4376 0.05
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 675 38.89% 25.93 66.96% -0.337 -0.4159 0.081
Heart of the Wildfire 6298 49.43% 25.15 64.13% -0.418 -0.1046 -0.103
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8900 31.18% 30.92 75.18% 0.67 0.2003 0.174
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 120 29.17% 30.46 67.5% -0.046 -0.3709 0.504
Lightning's Swift Strike 29040 31.94% 21.08 63.7% -0.407 -0.1731 0.087
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 224 41.51% 24.12 59.38% 0.818 0.4798 0.239
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 477 35.03% 25.78 55.97% -0.606 -0.9571 0.373
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 714 31.25% 27.75 73.11% -0.431 -0.2685 0.86
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1249 34.28% 26.06 71.58% -0.066 -0.2459 -0.215
Many Minds Move as One 935 34.52% 27.13 73.8% -0.041 -0.2682 0.444
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 13594 30.69% 30.25 72.4% -0.14 -0.0154 1.196
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 36 33.33% 27.86 75.0% 0.803 0.8417 -0.036
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3879 32.16% 25.96 72.8% 0.79 0.656 0.442
River Surges in Sunlight 27740 27.47% 23.6 64.8% -0.272 -0.3098 0.453
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 55 37.04% 18.73 58.18% -0.159 0.0931 0.677
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 801 27.56% 27.72 71.66% -0.202 -0.0269 -0.165
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 304 36.77% 24.36 55.59% -1.303 -1.5177 -0.042
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 9035 28.86% 34.61 69.73% -0.415 -0.5897 0.474
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 26 26.92% 24.46 69.23% 0.053 -0.4373 0.523
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 14362 39.07% 18.43 57.0% -0.626 -0.0768 -0.207
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 72 26.87% 21.24 63.89% 0.308 0.3526 -0.491
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 71 31.43% 25.21 70.42% 0.109 -0.2877 0.992
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 71 40.0% 17.49 52.11% -0.456 -0.3571 -0.025
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 291 41.43% 24.46 71.82% -0.342 -0.4812 -0.865
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 340 32.82% 23.2 69.41% 0.124 0.3388 0.818
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5863 34.63% 29.58 70.82% -0.623 -0.6314 0.266
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 187 41.18% 18.6 67.38% 0.135 0.014 -0.136
Shifting Memory of Ages 791 34.02% 26.31 64.48% -0.405 -0.0815 -0.004
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 98 27.55% 21.18 53.06% -0.233 -0.1627 0.372
Shroud of Silent Mist 717 41.05% 22.57 67.64% 0.706 1.0968 -0.362
Starlight Seeks its Form 1071 23.71% 20.29 62.28% 0.164 0.0748 -0.995
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2241 38.28% 26.7 72.24% 0.428 -0.0861 -0.235
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3153 29.18% 27.65 75.33% 0.457 0.5931 1.296
Thunderspeaker 13580 30.22% 25.34 70.3% -0.021 -0.0193 -0.108
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 97 36.17% 19.73 51.55% 0.968 1.3111 -1.523
Towering Roots of the Jungle 127 35.25% 22.76 70.08% 0.38 0.5767 -1.046
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1350 52.39% 25.09 68.15% 0.183 0.177 -0.183
Volcano Looming High 1015 41.22% 23.67 67.68% 0.279 0.3404 -0.067
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 148 26.35% 21.04 68.24% 0.494 0.1856 0.026

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Year of Perfect Stillness 89.91%
Draw of the Fruitful Earth 79.96%
Guard the Healing Land 92.99%
Rituals of Destruction 83.8%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 68166 13.87 14.16%
II 90027 30.21 65.05%
III 81980 34.83 77.47%
IV 30746 38.63 99.23%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 9653
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 62402
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 57105
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 30248
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 33308
Lose: Invader deck ran out 20116
Lose: Adversary condition 14337
Win: Sacrifice victory 554
Lose: Scenario condition 2116
Win: Scenario condition 2269
Lose: Blight pool ran out 37900
Lose: Spirit destroyed 911

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.208 Win Model: -0.076

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.148 Win Model: 0.169
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 156022 34.75% 18.75 55.4%
2 66992 36.66% 21.14 62.11%
3 22249 34.14% 26.07 70.28%
4 23313 26.9% 29.94 72.55%
5 423 30.26% 24.22 70.92%
6 1920 15.04% 23.78 69.32%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-08 07:48:33 (Pacific Time)