Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 25 12.0% 19.24 68.0% -0.606 -0.5548 -0.306
Blitz 0 2584 34.68% 25.89 62.73% 0.63 0.8311 0.833
Dahan Insurrection 4 1716 26.6% 43.44 63.11% 1.024 0.8129 0.991
Despicable Theft 2 66 43.94% 24.86 39.39% -0.934 -0.0897 -0.822
Elemental Invocation 1 113 45.54% 19.99 42.48% -0.228 0.8429 -0.458
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6363 14.56% 38.38 64.62% 0.647 -0.0779 0.86
Powers Long Forgotten 1 664 47.19% 32.03 55.57% -0.251 0.6551 -1.186
Rituals of Terror 3 1016 32.97% 27.66 48.92% -0.333 -0.3031 -0.067
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 472 58.55% 30.29 53.39% -1.056 0.1329 -0.305
Second Wave 0 6617 33.68% 26.13 72.01% 0.418 0.4989 0.146
The Great River 3 73 31.43% 21.12 35.62% -1.124 0.2633 -0.614
Varied Terrains 2 39 30.77% 12.67 23.08% -0.58 0.3207 -0.219
Ward the Shores 2 675 40.67% 29.49 52.59% -0.853 0.2018 -0.913

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 132161 35.2% 19.48 58.49% 0.927 0.9573 0.005
1 Thematic 5147 47.34% 27.97 50.28% 0.011 0.4428 -0.255
2 Archipelago 26 34.62% 20.77 61.54% -0.24 0.2525 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 40902 39.03% 21.45 63.6% 0.892 0.8432 0.617
2 Coastline 4966 29.89% 22.11 71.87% 0.814 0.7134 0.816
2 Fragment 1310 40.02% 20.22 65.88% 0.38 -0.033 0.784
2 Heart 1300 17.57% 22.39 81.54% 0.297 0.2073 -0.652
2 Opposite Shores 6410 35.9% 23.75 69.03% 1.025 0.8451 0.314
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.6379 0.0
2 Thematic 2851 45.07% 32.43 58.33% -0.589 -0.4028 -0.556
2 Top to Top 1025 43.05% 22.01 66.24% 1.099 0.899 1.285
3 Archipelago 18 44.44% 24.78 44.44% -0.806 -1.9264 0.0
3 Coastline 78 32.31% 25.35 66.67% 0.525 -0.137 0.693
3 Other 718 37.15% 20.78 66.43% -0.425 -0.7585 -0.2
3 Round (Default) 18175 34.15% 27.28 73.85% 0.801 0.5351 0.423
3 Sunrise 68 41.67% 28.16 79.41% 0.761 1.2719 0.913
3 Thematic 762 41.61% 32.45 57.87% -0.477 -0.9238 -0.216
4 Archipelago 22 35.0% 27.32 72.73% -0.068 -0.6252 0.089
4 Coastline 46 22.5% 24.7 76.09% -0.546 -1.1643 -0.118
4 Leaf 109 29.59% 24.06 75.23% -0.291 0.5554 0.602
4 Other 535 34.39% 25.5 72.52% 0.616 -0.1215 0.474
4 Reverse Snake 6 0.0% 39.0 100.0% 0.0 0.5653 0.0
4 Snake 6 80.0% 32.33 50.0% 0.0 -0.9688 0.0
4 Thematic 3243 28.78% 44.97 76.1% -0.462 -0.2584 -0.709
4 Trapezoid (Default) 16519 27.35% 28.92 76.22% 0.348 0.6886 -0.121
5 Archipelago 4 50.0% 30.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.0008 0.0
5 Coastline 15 15.38% 28.4 100.0% 0.295 -0.2334 0.149
5 Other 356 34.14% 31.02 85.11% 1.16 0.4384 0.62
5 Thematic 73 24.66% 59.51 89.04% -0.737 -0.5767 0.941
6 Archipelago 39 20.0% 29.18 84.62% 0.0 -0.7151 -0.084
6 Coastline 59 0.0% 27.1 93.22% 0.0 -0.4888 -0.18
6 Other 257 9.83% 26.89 82.49% -1.173 -0.7327 -1.121
6 Star 74 27.4% 24.34 70.27% -0.026 0.2719 -0.864
6 Thematic 219 20.64% 30.96 64.38% -0.673 -0.6475 -2.034
6 Two Centers (Default) 910 14.6% 23.98 72.75% -0.896 -0.7977 -1.542
7 Archipelago 6 50.0% 27.5 50.0% 0.0 0.5266 -0.139
7 Other 6 0.0% 23.33 50.0% 0.088 -1.3283 -1.081

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4253 24.3 40.47% 0.076 0.2143 0.055
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3874 26.22 47.16% -0.047 -0.1062 0.406
All Things Weaken 1375 22.64 37.45% -0.366 -0.0111 -0.164
Attenuated Essence 83 18.98 37.35% -0.374 -0.2631 0.4
Back Against the Wall 3708 26.08 43.91% -0.06 0.0158 0.237
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 72 16.75 41.67% -0.311 -0.0999 -0.735
Burn Brightest Before the End 75 18.91 45.33% 0.005 0.1258 0.219
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4006 21.43 36.45% -0.948 -0.5789 -0.217
Downward Spiral 18230 18.31 41.73% -0.535 -0.3385 0.085
Erosion of Will 4119 22.84 38.43% 0.046 0.3128 0.054
Intensifying Exploitation 92 15.6 26.09% -1.396 -1.1254 -0.372
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 513 26.41 57.31% 0.48 -0.031 0.591
Memory Fades to Dust 18182 18.16 39.16% -0.749 -0.4373 -0.214
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1352 21.93 38.09% -0.979 -0.6842 -0.192
Promising Farmlands 4160 22.45 38.05% 0.234 0.5699 -0.126
Shattered Fragments of Power 95 20.53 42.11% -0.048 0.0612 -0.633
Slow Dissolution of Will 96 20.91 37.5% -0.197 0.2032 -0.699
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 341 27.82 72.73% 0.198 -0.4148 0.821
The Border of Life and Death 31 17.97 54.84% 0.044 -0.2488 -0.352
Thriving Communities 1285 21.97 37.51% -0.621 -0.2883 0.23
Thriving Crops 44 18.09 50.0% 0.168 0.0809 -0.216
Tipping Point 1958 23.76 41.01% 0.0 0.5146 -0.233
Unnatural Proliferation 1422 25.06 43.74% 0.119 0.2669 0.305
Untended Land Crumbles 1325 21.2 35.09% -1.071 -0.764 -0.478

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 76572 34.75% 21.87 63.91% -1.251 -0.346 -0.55
B 78677 33.34% 22.93 66.43% -1.131 -0.3022 -0.089
C 80454 32.31% 22.95 66.95% -0.857 -0.177 -0.024
D 76186 33.12% 22.76 66.29% -0.903 -0.0497 -0.422
E 12502 35.35% 25.0 68.59% -0.834 -0.1328 -0.041
F 20364 35.46% 25.77 69.12% -0.856 -0.0753 0.333
G 17760 35.48% 25.1 68.6% -0.62 0.1517 -0.393
H 18224 34.65% 25.51 68.94% -1.099 -0.3303 -0.13
East 9238 37.36% 36.73 64.02% 0.061 0.9226 0.317
Northeast 6792 34.96% 38.66 67.39% -0.541 0.2062 0.227
Northwest 5874 35.37% 39.07 66.84% -0.708 0.1256 0.002
Southeast 863 32.67% 31.76 63.73% -0.456 0.3196 -0.41
Southwest 871 38.25% 29.0 55.34% -0.189 1.1298 -1.059
West 8393 39.74% 36.1 61.93% -1.095 -0.0887 0.952

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 37875 0.0% 13.57 52.51% -1.175 -0.3442 0.269
Not Using Events or Tokens 117520 30.09% 17.92 61.13% -0.235 0.206 -0.332
Skip Initial Invader Actions 9754 8.77% 29.65 84.33% 0.37 -0.1919 -1.934
Start of Game Growth 12275 11.48% 29.25 82.73% 0.708 0.1698 0.182
Unlimited Undo 23998 24.11% 24.52 75.08% -0.071 -0.0301 0.654
Using Tokens but Not Events 22731 24.61% 24.88 74.93% 0.143 0.1196 -0.116

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 20536 20.63% 30.64 77.97% 0.532 0.4288 0.448
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5463 45.47% 25.35 66.94% -0.151 0.0089 -0.348
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 29 27.59% 26.97 79.31% 0.056 -0.7801 0.0
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3762 30.87% 26.12 76.79% -0.139 -0.2702 0.274
Downpour Drenches the World 248 30.04% 24.53 71.37% 0.239 0.5573 0.529
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 284 32.5% 21.65 67.61% 0.259 -0.2258 -1.37
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3666 28.05% 29.0 78.59% 0.184 -0.2692 -0.141
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3413 28.71% 28.34 78.99% 0.497 0.0449 0.18
Finder of Paths Unseen 134 29.01% 20.37 50.0% -1.089 -0.4229 0.544
Fractured Days Split the Sky 562 26.83% 30.76 69.22% 0.029 0.7074 -0.055
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 565 39.03% 26.97 68.67% 0.092 0.153 0.073
Heart of the Wildfire 5853 50.51% 26.05 66.1% -0.33 -0.0705 0.011
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8334 31.75% 31.69 76.79% 0.261 -0.1326 0.153
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 52 32.69% 32.29 61.54% -0.31 -0.7055 0.493
Lightning's Swift Strike 25026 33.12% 22.39 67.95% -0.273 -0.0195 0.066
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 145 49.62% 25.23 54.48% 0.208 -0.346 0.043
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 364 39.0% 27.2 61.26% -0.083 -0.3185 0.383
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 579 32.68% 29.12 77.2% -0.129 -0.3802 0.722
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1036 34.86% 27.37 74.32% 0.093 -0.231 -0.333
Many Minds Move as One 823 34.96% 28.16 75.58% 0.943 0.7432 0.463
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 12124 31.47% 31.77 75.54% 0.26 0.2319 1.197
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3544 32.27% 26.74 74.41% 0.676 0.5338 0.257
River Surges in Sunlight 23734 28.64% 25.03 69.05% -0.187 -0.0699 0.311
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 685 28.68% 29.52 75.04% -0.542 -0.2044 -0.032
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 225 38.6% 24.89 58.22% 0.054 -0.0945 -0.005
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 8376 29.32% 36.05 72.45% 0.007 -0.1602 0.49
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 11971 41.6% 19.98 61.88% -0.625 -0.0813 -0.275
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 52 27.08% 18.69 63.46% 0.239 0.3252 -0.631
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 27 34.62% 31.11 77.78% 0.696 0.3266 0.38
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 42 31.58% 16.4 50.0% 0.424 0.5895 -0.271
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 260 43.25% 25.06 72.69% 0.19 0.2213 -1.061
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 287 33.58% 24.23 73.52% -0.687 -0.5165 0.466
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5536 35.13% 30.28 71.95% -0.063 -0.1588 0.118
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 98 40.82% 18.04 70.41% 0.082 -0.1593 -0.234
Shifting Memory of Ages 651 35.34% 27.71 66.67% -0.275 0.1034 -0.141
Shroud of Silent Mist 577 39.4% 23.05 69.32% -0.031 0.3398 -0.064
Starlight Seeks its Form 774 23.25% 21.48 64.86% -0.227 -0.4336 -0.97
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2038 38.61% 27.18 72.37% 0.661 -0.0553 -0.488
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2922 29.33% 28.28 76.39% 0.139 0.321 1.142
Thunderspeaker 12077 31.51% 26.44 72.8% -0.02 -0.0064 -0.125
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 77 36.49% 18.57 48.05% -0.641 -0.5354 -1.531
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1217 53.27% 25.81 68.94% -0.162 -0.0213 -0.183
Volcano Looming High 805 42.52% 24.82 69.19% -0.338 -0.3713 -0.174
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 65 36.92% 20.74 63.08% -0.133 -0.5708 0.079

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Year of Perfect Stillness 89.46%
Draw of the Fruitful Earth 79.02%
Guard the Healing Land 92.68%
Rituals of Destruction 83.11%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 52753 16.23 16.9%
II 82034 30.54 65.98%
III 75200 34.77 77.63%
IV 28580 38.37 99.26%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 8917
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 57399
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 52765
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 28138
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 18889
Lose: Invader deck ran out 18432
Lose: Adversary condition 13594
Win: Sacrifice victory 513
Lose: Scenario condition 2012
Win: Scenario condition 2064
Lose: Blight pool ran out 35005
Lose: Spirit destroyed 839

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.977 Win Model: -0.097

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.28 Win Model: 0.371
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 137525 35.73% 19.79 58.13%
2 58813 37.81% 22.31 65.16%
3 19829 34.55% 27.27 73.02%
4 20567 27.7% 31.48 76.21%
5 299 33.09% 26.52 77.26%
6 1534 15.07% 25.57 74.77%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-13 05:04:05 (Pacific Time)