Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 57 17.54% 16.51 57.89% 0.325 0.3208 0.54
Blitz 0 3277 32.84% 23.65 56.27% -0.287 -0.0311 0.44
Dahan Insurrection 4 2410 22.66% 40.81 62.7% 1.353 1.3859 0.528
Despicable Theft 2 109 35.19% 21.38 34.86% -0.466 0.0508 0.0
Elemental Invocation 1 182 40.33% 16.69 33.52% 0.312 0.8458 -0.208
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7611 14.05% 36.04 61.25% 0.507 -0.0347 0.754
Powers Long Forgotten 1 791 45.17% 29.11 51.96% -0.887 -0.1853 -0.24
Rituals of Terror 3 1362 30.29% 24.76 44.2% 0.143 0.1542 0.191
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 550 56.23% 28.26 49.82% -0.148 0.6412 -0.125
Second Wave 0 7792 32.67% 25.56 70.96% 0.648 0.6459 1.277
The Great River 3 104 31.68% 17.16 25.96% -0.582 0.5533 0.0
Varied Terrains 2 118 33.9% 11.55 19.49% -0.706 -0.0741 -0.232
Ward the Shores 2 766 38.8% 28.13 50.65% -0.718 0.1131 -0.331

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 168770 33.85% 17.69 53.43% 0.37 0.6835 0.214
1 Thematic 5982 45.13% 26.52 47.81% 0.772 1.4302 0.187
2 Archipelago 33 36.36% 17.3 51.52% -0.198 -0.6376 -0.196
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 53537 36.66% 19.37 57.79% 0.459 0.6037 0.117
2 Coastline 6354 29.41% 20.71 67.49% 0.923 0.9157 0.716
2 Fragment 1724 38.43% 18.4 60.79% 0.053 0.1766 0.685
2 Heart 1465 19.05% 21.23 77.06% 0.582 0.5261 0.0
2 Opposite Shores 8143 34.96% 21.5 63.39% 0.526 0.6605 0.79
2 Other 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 3357 43.61% 30.36 53.86% -0.667 -0.1371 -0.623
2 Top to Top 1342 40.82% 20.32 61.62% 0.653 0.6589 1.098
3 Archipelago 30 50.0% 23.13 36.67% 0.0 0.3056 0.0
3 Coastline 92 32.05% 23.13 59.78% 0.136 -0.6733 0.786
3 Other 912 36.93% 18.71 61.07% 0.185 -0.1209 -0.309
3 Round (Default) 22943 33.09% 25.14 69.52% 0.21 0.3058 0.609
3 Sunrise 83 40.0% 26.59 74.7% 0.194 -0.4416 0.0
3 Thematic 1009 40.23% 29.11 50.94% -0.143 0.1645 -0.332
4 Archipelago 40 35.48% 22.57 57.5% 0.0 -0.4796 0.0
4 Coastline 55 20.83% 22.58 69.09% 0.0 0.095 0.0
4 Leaf 167 37.58% 20.59 68.86% 0.24 0.2817 -0.071
4 Other 737 34.16% 20.85 59.97% -0.221 -0.7669 0.0
4 Reverse Snake 7 0.0% 33.43 85.71% 0.0 0.2581 0.0
4 Snake 8 85.71% 32.75 62.5% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 3916 27.77% 40.0 68.72% -1.222 -0.518 -0.214
4 Trapezoid (Default) 20936 26.29% 26.74 70.1% -0.087 -0.0841 -0.574
5 Archipelago 8 25.0% 15.0 50.0% 0.0 1.2045 0.0
5 Coastline 16 21.43% 27.44 93.75% 0.0 -0.5976 0.0
5 Other 573 31.24% 26.4 75.92% -0.154 -0.5725 -0.286
5 Thematic 86 24.42% 54.28 87.21% 0.0 -0.1185 -0.056
6 Archipelago 53 11.76% 28.96 83.02% 0.099 -1.1372 0.0
6 Coastline 61 0.0% 26.21 90.16% 0.0 0.433 0.0
6 Other 379 9.63% 22.77 74.14% -0.885 -0.7216 -0.924
6 Star 120 21.85% 22.58 62.5% 0.0 0.406 0.111
6 Thematic 358 20.56% 27.11 56.7% 0.419 0.4916 -0.133
6 Two Centers (Default) 1520 15.1% 20.41 59.21% -1.734 -1.2057 -1.467
7 Archipelago 9 33.33% 24.22 33.33% 0.0 0.7413 0.0
7 Other 14 14.29% 19.29 42.86% 0.151 -0.398 -0.101

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4725 23.86 39.66% -0.129 0.0915 0.429
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4283 26.15 47.14% 0.487 0.5563 0.663
All Things Weaken 1696 21.86 37.09% -1.112 -0.7153 0.57
Attenuated Essence 271 19.46 36.9% -0.557 -0.4812 0.941
Back Against the Wall 4111 25.56 43.64% 0.065 0.0455 0.739
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 257 16.81 35.02% -0.783 -0.4978 -0.044
Burn Brightest Before the End 231 20.37 45.02% -0.098 0.1277 0.9
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4482 20.9 35.85% -0.444 -0.1607 0.808
Downward Spiral 22689 17.11 39.48% -0.494 -0.2615 0.329
Erosion of Will 4628 22.35 37.53% -0.598 -0.2609 0.117
Intensifying Exploitation 281 17.14 32.74% 0.19 0.5266 -0.023
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 687 24.46 55.75% 0.181 -0.3741 0.118
Memory Fades to Dust 22552 17.08 37.22% -0.403 -0.0635 0.927
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1716 21.17 37.76% -0.148 0.0819 0.521
Promising Farmlands 4663 22.02 37.96% 0.033 0.3887 0.281
Shattered Fragments of Power 272 21.52 45.22% 0.17 0.227 0.373
Slow Dissolution of Will 266 19.18 33.08% 0.907 1.2313 0.843
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 439 26.05 67.43% 0.881 0.2412 -0.314
The Border of Life and Death 86 17.97 53.49% 0.0 -0.4122 -0.476
Thriving Communities 1602 20.84 36.45% -0.243 -0.0111 -0.053
Thriving Crops 138 19.49 42.03% 0.34 0.1841 -0.405
Tipping Point 1958 23.76 41.01% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 1772 24.19 42.1% -0.086 0.0401 1.545
Untended Land Crumbles 1638 20.51 34.62% 0.607 0.8136 0.318

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 99258 32.93% 19.71 57.83% -0.303 0.6317 0.153
B 100744 31.78% 20.86 60.62% -0.164 0.6672 -0.056
C 102896 30.97% 20.87 61.14% 0.047 0.8085 0.538
D 97289 31.76% 20.74 60.74% 0.006 0.8866 -0.063
E 17625 33.73% 22.71 63.1% 0.197 0.9155 -0.06
F 26264 34.51% 23.78 64.76% 0.471 1.3095 0.149
G 22994 33.91% 23.2 64.44% -0.16 0.6605 -0.239
H 23390 33.58% 23.65 65.19% 0.141 0.9239 0.776
East 11241 35.82% 33.46 58.61% 0.63 1.4687 -0.226
Northeast 8327 33.47% 34.93 61.26% 0.274 0.9486 -0.563
Northwest 7144 33.68% 35.17 60.72% 0.157 0.9914 -1.209
Southeast 1166 31.57% 28.67 59.01% -1.065 -0.0249 -0.24
Southwest 1164 34.69% 26.05 51.8% -0.956 0.2587 0.789
West 10151 37.75% 32.81 56.72% 0.119 0.8142 0.278

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 51872 0.0% 11.78 45.56% -0.954 -0.1069 -0.146
Not Using Events or Tokens 160445 28.82% 15.97 54.23% 0.116 0.4808 -1.138
Skip Initial Invader Actions 11742 8.44% 28.0 79.72% 1.043 0.2497 -2.013
Start of Game Growth 14971 11.03% 27.59 77.86% 0.319 -0.2067 1.247
Unlimited Undo 29679 23.55% 22.71 69.96% 0.618 0.6845 0.622
Using Events but Not Tokens 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Using Tokens but Not Events 27257 24.25% 23.31 70.66% 0.591 0.5904 0.251

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 25036 20.3% 28.76 73.67% 0.732 0.5597 0.423
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 213 21.7% 23.92 54.93% -0.227 -0.7177 -0.206
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 17 17.65% 19.41 58.82% -1.052 -1.2026 0.0
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 63 26.98% 24.52 66.67% 0.313 -0.2859 0.774
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6839 42.35% 22.89 61.13% -0.259 -0.0842 0.026
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 87 31.03% 21.47 66.67% -0.196 -1.0061 0.637
Dances Up Earthquakes 168 34.34% 18.8 57.14% -0.903 -0.7675 -0.529
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4855 29.53% 23.33 70.2% 0.338 0.1378 -0.53
Downpour Drenches the World 514 31.4% 21.44 61.67% 0.742 1.0304 0.62
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 727 30.69% 19.55 58.87% -0.074 -0.5634 -1.138
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5005 25.5% 25.59 70.27% 0.156 -0.2619 -0.723
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4103 28.93% 26.77 75.38% 0.637 0.3838 -0.181
Finder of Paths Unseen 249 24.9% 16.29 43.37% -0.183 0.6036 -0.382
Fractured Days Split the Sky 751 26.94% 28.47 64.45% 0.016 0.5522 0.03
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 794 40.08% 24.98 64.61% -0.475 -0.418 -0.814
Heart of the Wildfire 6702 48.72% 24.48 62.59% -0.248 0.0726 0.566
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9544 30.89% 30.24 73.67% 0.335 -0.0851 0.697
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 173 27.06% 26.92 65.9% 0.397 0.084 -0.388
Lightning's Swift Strike 33266 31.26% 20.05 60.6% -0.073 0.1492 0.224
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 316 41.89% 22.09 57.28% 0.371 -0.13 -0.431
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 585 33.92% 24.29 52.31% -0.829 -1.1512 0.435
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 869 29.38% 26.24 69.16% 1.456 1.223 0.386
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1527 35.28% 24.94 70.01% -0.966 -1.1628 -0.479
Many Minds Move as One 1059 35.2% 26.55 72.14% 0.116 0.0104 -0.547
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 15088 30.53% 28.86 69.42% 0.255 0.2388 -0.055
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 224 22.38% 23.09 62.5% -0.184 -0.0774 0.079
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4301 32.15% 25.17 71.08% 0.043 -0.1035 -0.361
River Surges in Sunlight 31697 27.07% 22.48 61.7% -0.263 -0.2213 0.678
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 141 27.82% 17.48 56.03% 0.177 0.2592 0.159
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 993 27.59% 25.96 67.88% -0.265 -0.0915 -0.502
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 421 36.09% 23.78 55.58% 0.333 0.4438 0.497
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 9851 28.16% 33.35 67.78% 0.019 -0.1904 0.047
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 71 23.94% 23.86 63.38% -0.317 -0.5643 0.54
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 16708 37.61% 17.15 53.19% -0.108 0.5389 0.389
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 100 25.53% 21.51 63.0% -0.503 -0.4397 0.583
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 146 32.17% 19.94 56.85% 0.096 -0.3637 -0.176
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 96 35.96% 17.33 53.13% 0.281 0.1559 0.502
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 343 39.26% 23.52 69.1% -0.061 -0.0852 -0.074
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 389 32.42% 22.03 65.04% 0.057 0.1638 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6287 34.42% 28.62 68.78% 0.435 0.1575 -1.063
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 21 35.0% 28.48 66.67% 0.784 0.3905 -0.143
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 270 36.67% 19.5 64.44% -0.567 -0.5414 -0.263
Shifting Memory of Ages 924 34.07% 25.0 61.47% -0.207 0.289 0.375
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 164 31.9% 21.95 57.32% -0.047 -0.0425 -0.077
Shroud of Silent Mist 844 41.16% 22.11 65.88% -0.314 0.2925 -0.398
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 23 26.09% 12.91 39.13% -1.662 -1.8956 -0.056
Starlight Seeks its Form 1414 21.93% 19.55 59.41% 0.461 0.4491 -0.747
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2468 37.81% 26.2 71.03% 0.202 -0.4022 1.595
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3436 28.99% 26.87 73.89% 0.15 0.2934 0.747
Thunderspeaker 15219 29.47% 24.4 67.71% 0.47 0.5848 -0.176
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 146 37.04% 19.29 47.26% -0.93 -0.9861 -0.071
Towering Roots of the Jungle 244 30.96% 19.55 61.07% 0.703 0.862 -0.118
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1456 51.98% 24.74 67.65% 0.789 0.8208 0.645
Volcano Looming High 1218 40.94% 22.63 65.44% 0.151 0.0265 -0.202
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 232 28.57% 19.72 64.66% 0.14 -0.0959 -0.314

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Year of Perfect Stillness 90.2%
Draw of the Fruitful Earth 80.55%
Guard the Healing Land 93.2%
Rituals of Destruction 84.36%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 83873 12.31 12.17%
II 98551 29.92 64.17%
III 89507 34.93 77.3%
IV 33176 38.88 99.24%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 10211
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 67989
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 61592
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 32649
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 48021
Lose: Invader deck ran out 21841
Lose: Adversary condition 15341
Win: Sacrifice victory 596
Lose: Scenario condition 2245
Win: Scenario condition 2525
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 41100
Lose: Spirit destroyed 997

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.351 Win Model: -0.065

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.228 Win Model: 0.21
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 175133 34.29% 17.98 53.18%
2 75976 35.97% 20.25 59.58%
3 25045 33.51% 25.11 68.52%
4 25949 26.74% 28.65 69.67%
5 536 29.88% 23.18 69.22%
6 2468 15.14% 22.01 62.93%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-01 23:57:53 (Pacific Time)