Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 2068 38.58% 22.81 -0.03 63.68% -0.445 0.124
Dahan Insurrection 4 1888 28.69% 45.22 -0.031 64.67% -0.562 -0.1639
Despicable Theft 2 27 55.56% 29.0 -0.066 51.85% -0.633 -0.3634
Elemental Invocation 1 91 53.33% 28.97 -0.063 50.55% -0.53 -0.066
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7517 15.79% 39.9 -0.006 67.01% -0.175 0.1913
Powers Long Forgotten 1 876 48.39% 35.14 -0.044 61.53% -0.427 0.018
Rituals of Terror 3 797 40.31% 36.78 -0.031 61.86% -0.427 0.2179
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 603 63.77% 32.09 -0.039 56.22% -0.321 0.3244
Second Wave 0 7378 37.38% 26.8 0.0 72.09% -0.379 0.0493
The Great River 3 53 48.08% 23.62 -0.189 30.19% -2.015 -0.5516
Ward the Shores 2 835 42.77% 31.84 -0.069 53.89% -0.856 0.1774

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 92224 37.27% 21.72 -0.02 63.46% -0.952 -0.7799
1 Thematic 4408 48.97% 29.04 -0.055 51.43% -1.184 -0.8217
2 Archipelago 7 14.29% 28.57 0.083 85.71% 0.387 0.6135
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 28578 41.36% 24.42 0.009 70.37% -0.345 -0.2937
2 Coastline 3394 32.51% 23.95 0.024 75.72% -0.303 -0.2955
2 Fragment 925 39.53% 22.14 0.007 71.89% -0.486 -0.2301
2 Heart 1130 15.28% 23.64 0.056 86.9% -0.197 -0.0547
2 Opposite Shores 4820 37.55% 25.87 0.012 72.07% -0.35 -0.2594
2 Thematic 2331 45.12% 34.47 -0.012 63.02% -0.531 -0.5721
2 Top to Top 745 46.56% 24.36 0.016 71.28% -0.206 -0.2371
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 30.0 -0.004 66.67% -0.172 0.9101
3 Coastline 50 38.1% 29.14 -0.005 70.0% -0.223 -0.4214
3 Other 523 38.26% 24.01 -0.011 71.89% -0.562 -0.3872
3 Round (Default) 14113 35.84% 29.64 0.027 76.83% 0.139 0.0652
3 Sunrise 49 44.68% 29.63 0.048 83.67% 0.347 0.0709
3 Thematic 610 45.05% 35.27 -0.028 62.95% -0.559 -0.9612
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 27.67 -0.048 66.67% -0.254 0.2546
4 Coastline 29 18.52% 26.45 0.021 82.76% 0.125 0.1755
4 Leaf 70 33.85% 28.77 0.028 80.0% 0.431 0.4028
4 Other 379 33.06% 30.22 0.029 82.85% 0.288 0.1738
4 Reverse Snake 5 0.0% 40.8 0.063 100.0% 0.539 -0.3155
4 Snake 6 83.33% 34.5 -0.007 66.67% 0.145 0.1988
4 Thematic 2801 29.05% 47.16 0.027 77.65% 0.313 -0.7716
4 Trapezoid (Default) 12248 29.59% 30.81 0.023 81.08% 0.301 0.2141
5 Other 128 39.06% 38.17 0.083 91.41% 1.295 0.691
5 Thematic 58 13.79% 67.78 0.147 98.28% 2.252 -0.5104
6 Other 1 100.0% 39.0 0.176 100.0% 0.295 0.1327

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3646 25.06 -0.14 40.24% -1.793 0.2797
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3329 27.12 -0.107 47.82% -1.502 0.416
All Things Weaken 1102 23.92 -0.159 36.39% -1.989 0.1814
Back Against the Wall 3259 26.97 -0.124 43.97% -1.626 0.4657
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3390 22.44 -0.155 37.08% -1.929 0.2958
Downward Spiral 12797 19.84 -0.141 44.49% -1.837 0.186
Erosion of Will 3534 23.85 -0.147 39.08% -1.877 0.3324
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 417 27.87 -0.079 53.24% -1.19 -0.5036
Memory Fades to Dust 12866 19.51 -0.157 41.6% -1.985 0.2342
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1128 23.71 -0.145 38.92% -1.847 0.1773
Promising Farmlands 3576 23.46 -0.149 38.67% -1.877 0.3367
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 291 27.54 -0.025 66.32% -0.752 -0.3421
Thriving Communities 1059 23.71 -0.143 38.9% -1.805 0.2903
Tipping Point 1958 23.76 -0.138 41.01% -1.76 0.4665
Unnatural Proliferation 1191 26.58 -0.123 43.66% -1.633 0.4534
Untended Land Crumbles 1129 22.81 -0.163 34.99% -2.032 0.0734

Results Starting on Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 30076 40.34% 22.0 -0.017 64.25% 0.263 -0.4974
B 32914 36.01% 23.67 0.006 69.36% 0.46 -0.3973
C 35726 33.93% 23.77 0.01 69.95% 0.474 -0.6149
D 32380 35.53% 23.71 0.006 69.07% 0.45 -0.3998
E 5079 41.62% 27.22 0.007 66.53% 0.615 -0.3499
F 8536 38.34% 27.13 0.011 68.9% 0.59 -0.3239
G 6935 40.44% 25.72 -0.006 66.2% 0.354 -0.5509
H 7330 39.72% 26.53 0.004 67.91% 0.504 -0.4107
East 2116 43.37% 34.71 -0.017 62.33% 0.37 -0.2795
Northeast 2624 39.88% 35.69 -0.014 64.75% 0.341 -0.2576
Northwest 2078 45.29% 33.92 -0.035 59.43% 0.179 -0.4909
Southeast 267 42.11% 33.77 -0.003 64.79% 0.547 -0.1588
Southwest 250 50.0% 26.45 -0.063 51.6% -0.097 -0.3701
West 2254 39.46% 44.01 -0.006 64.73% 0.532 0.1332

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 23267 0.0% 16.18 -0.055 62.66% -1.161 0.8951
Not Using Events or Tokens 71605 31.42% 20.29 0.012 69.88% -0.07 0.1454
Skip Initial Invader Actions 7166 8.82% 31.7 0.066 89.49% 0.842 0.1547
Start of Game Growth 8985 11.79% 30.97 0.059 87.12% 0.569 0.0985
Unlimited Undo 17451 24.95% 26.55 0.039 79.79% 0.328 -0.0923
Using Tokens but Not Events 17408 25.52% 25.78 0.036 76.53% 0.124 0.0717

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 15018 22.48% 32.25 0.036 80.9% 0.083 0.1974
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4224 49.33% 27.77 -0.003 70.29% -0.242 -0.0356
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2576 34.59% 28.9 0.026 77.72% 0.025 -0.0806
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2681 30.75% 31.26 0.04 80.64% 0.271 -0.1219
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2411 32.57% 29.91 0.035 79.84% 0.191 -0.1
Fractured Days Split the Sky 489 38.32% 34.75 0.007 70.35% -0.133 0.2206
Heart of the Wildfire 4934 52.73% 27.25 -0.007 68.0% -0.229 0.0989
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6947 33.47% 33.62 0.04 79.2% 0.317 -0.0127
Lightning's Swift Strike 17416 35.38% 25.29 0.006 74.84% -0.274 -0.0376
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 689 41.37% 31.74 0.033 76.78% 0.269 -0.0184
Many Minds Move as One 625 39.9% 30.58 0.025 76.32% 0.065 -0.466
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8745 33.33% 33.97 0.04 78.89% 0.362 0.1474
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2515 34.57% 29.15 0.021 76.3% -0.051 -0.0267
River Surges in Sunlight 16212 30.81% 27.87 0.009 75.89% -0.293 -0.1626
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6903 31.73% 38.28 0.026 75.92% 0.177 0.2915
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 8397 44.46% 24.25 -0.0 72.44% -0.296 0.1205
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4646 37.17% 32.22 0.019 74.77% 0.004 -0.0937
Shifting Memory of Ages 121 49.17% 33.8 0.011 68.6% 0.03 0.1208
Shroud of Silent Mist 242 45.38% 28.62 0.018 74.38% -0.087 -0.0577
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1632 42.84% 30.48 0.003 70.4% -0.168 -0.2165
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2005 31.42% 31.28 0.032 79.45% 0.059 0.2327
Thunderspeaker 8780 34.22% 28.76 0.021 76.38% -0.056 -0.0233
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1013 58.35% 28.0 0.006 69.5% -0.059 -0.0775
Volcano Looming High 388 51.05% 28.12 0.016 72.42% 0.019 0.0002

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Year of Perfect Stillness 87.8%
Draw of the Fruitful Earth 76.94%
Guard the Healing Land 91.44%
Rituals of Destruction 80.88%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 28123 22.35 23.45%
II 60791 30.84 66.69%
III 57592 34.35 77.92%
IV 23133 37.52 99.25%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4635
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 31285
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 28134
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16297
Lose: Invader deck ran out 13894
Lose: Adversary condition 11789
Win: Sacrifice victory 384
Lose: Scenario condition 1699
Win: Scenario condition 1670
Lose: Blight pool ran out 26644
Lose: Spirit destroyed 643

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.155 Win Model: -0.187

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.013 Win Model: 0.049
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 96669 37.88% 22.05 62.92%
2 41974 39.71% 25.05 71.1%
3 15353 36.33% 29.69 76.15%
4 15643 29.52% 33.89 80.62%

Power Progression

Score Model: -0.069 Win Model: -0.767
Power Progression? Completed Average Score Win Rate
Standard 147107 26.04 69.21%
Power Progression 22532 15.01 58.41%

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.
Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-04-01 02:56:45 (Pacific Time)