Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 69 28.99% 26.75 72.46% -0.186 0.1836 -0.096
Blitz 0 284 27.56% 33.02 54.93% 0.66 1.0918 0.47
Dahan Insurrection 4 166 28.92% 34.33 37.95% 0.222 0.1961 -0.674
Despicable Theft 2 44 38.64% 23.8 47.73% -1.277 -0.6172 -0.206
Elemental Invocation 1 83 32.53% 22.94 51.81% -0.382 0.0656 -0.321
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 764 19.37% 43.93 66.88% 0.983 0.3835 0.316
Powers Long Forgotten 1 79 41.77% 20.95 40.51% -0.401 0.2074 -0.76
Rituals of Terror 3 69 52.17% 21.33 31.88% 0.306 0.4307 -0.967
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 78 42.31% 18.95 24.36% -0.627 0.1112 -0.957
Second Wave 0 538 35.08% 32.05 68.77% -0.351 -0.2449 0.101
The Great River 3 68 38.24% 25.56 44.12% 0.183 1.3581 -0.93
Varied Terrains 2 128 52.34% 32.42 67.97% 0.383 1.1199 -0.476
Ward the Shores 2 64 31.25% 19.88 37.5% -0.451 0.231 -0.572

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 18450 44.09% 38.59 68.38% 0.586 0.8101 0.253
1 Thematic 502 30.48% 36.45 63.94% 0.488 1.0382 0.021
2 Archipelago 64 29.69% 22.75 35.94% 0.181 -0.1722 -1.522
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3965 44.34% 34.5 65.88% 0.099 0.2097 0.608
2 Coastline 960 39.35% 42.27 67.81% 0.416 0.3269 0.285
2 Fragment 72 45.83% 28.14 68.06% -0.608 -0.9469 0.401
2 Heart 39 51.28% 30.18 71.79% 0.192 -0.1351 0.0
2 Opposite Shores 1035 40.89% 32.64 68.02% 0.095 0.1319 -0.529
2 Thematic 260 44.57% 29.2 53.08% -0.398 0.1304 0.519
2 Top to Top 192 50.52% 37.31 65.1% -0.361 -0.568 -0.048
3 Archipelago 23 21.74% 48.17 73.91% 0.0 0.1006 0.0
3 Coastline 22 36.36% 29.95 63.64% 0.295 -0.2264 0.092
3 Other 57 28.07% 21.75 61.4% -0.303 -1.0452 0.022
3 Round (Default) 2542 40.6% 29.67 59.17% -0.044 -0.14 -0.551
3 Sunrise 6 50.0% 30.5 83.33% 0.0 -0.7396 0.0
3 Thematic 89 38.2% 28.66 57.3% -0.327 -0.0848 -0.052
4 Archipelago 20 35.0% 31.7 55.0% 0.0 0.0808 0.0
4 Coastline 11 63.64% 26.18 63.64% 0.0 0.2598 0.0
4 Leaf 9 11.11% 14.56 55.56% 0.0 -0.5543 0.0
4 Other 67 37.31% 29.88 80.6% 0.377 -0.1707 0.325
4 Snake 2 0.0% 35.5 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 81 38.27% 30.09 44.44% 0.134 0.6074 -0.026
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1270 40.13% 27.63 56.22% 0.214 0.0248 0.009
5 Coastline 3 0.0% 18.67 66.67% 0.0 -0.6104 0.164
5 Other 123 31.71% 29.93 65.04% -0.05 -0.3761 0.682
5 Thematic 14 35.71% 19.86 35.71% -0.581 -1.0714 -0.433
6 Archipelago 50 14.0% 46.16 66.0% 0.0 -0.9253 0.458
6 Coastline 5 80.0% 28.6 40.0% -0.351 -0.0218 -0.376
6 Other 191 25.13% 24.55 45.55% 0.248 0.5175 0.239
6 Star 39 12.82% 15.46 35.9% 0.0 0.7961 0.0
6 Thematic 174 28.07% 22.19 44.25% 0.052 0.6326 -0.684
6 Two Centers (Default) 311 27.42% 19.86 46.62% -0.655 -0.6778 -0.76
7 Archipelago 3 0.0% 25.67 33.33% 0.0 0.4064 0.0
7 Other 9 22.22% 23.44 33.33% 0.322 0.0666 0.198

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 592 40.73 57.77% -0.917 -0.6063 -0.369
Aid From Lesser Spirits 446 40.59 60.54% -0.308 -0.2952 0.05
All Things Weaken 675 39.7 57.04% 0.323 0.7973 0.177
Attenuated Essence 665 40.8 61.5% 0.15 0.2967 0.138
Back Against the Wall 449 40.88 60.36% -0.317 -0.1876 -0.13
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 647 39.97 59.97% -0.176 0.1442 0.307
Burn Brightest Before the End 478 40.12 60.04% 0.077 0.254 -0.047
Disintegrating Ecosystem 669 37.6 57.1% -0.571 -0.191 0.141
Downward Spiral 739 39.49 62.79% -0.619 -0.4256 -0.143
Erosion of Will 641 42.17 61.47% -0.209 0.1284 0.513
Intensifying Exploitation 689 39.53 63.28% 0.159 0.5113 0.16
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 281 41.86 76.16% 0.082 -0.281 0.553
Memory Fades to Dust 687 39.35 62.74% 1.301 1.6298 0.253
Power Corrodes the Spirit 650 41.86 64.46% -0.337 -0.0706 0.179
Promising Farmlands 661 40.59 60.97% -0.102 0.3456 0.366
Shattered Fragments of Power 459 39.65 56.21% -0.068 -0.0687 -0.022
Slow Dissolution of Will 701 36.7 54.21% -0.474 -0.0624 -0.403
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 182 46.29 82.42% 1.014 0.4557 0.797
The Border of Life and Death 179 44.71 77.09% -0.411 -0.6563 0.843
Thriving Communities 701 41.78 64.05% -0.061 0.2166 0.359
Thriving Crops 344 43.52 70.93% 0.173 0.0778 0.534
Unnatural Proliferation 654 42.58 60.24% -0.224 -0.0192 0.44
Untended Land Crumbles 712 39.59 57.3% -0.648 -0.3482 0.086

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 6185 41.09% 31.76 62.23% -0.377 0.6146 -0.144
B 7102 40.74% 33.1 62.84% -0.026 0.8388 -0.118
C 7497 41.16% 36.3 66.0% 0.383 1.1348 0.448
D 7086 38.95% 35.45 63.65% 0.381 1.3253 0.527
E 5516 42.88% 33.32 63.47% -0.068 0.6871 -0.204
F 5242 42.13% 32.48 62.44% 0.266 1.1408 -0.025
G 5242 40.94% 33.72 64.38% 0.062 0.9241 0.225
H 4984 41.61% 32.95 61.98% 0.032 0.8392 -0.068
East 873 34.33% 30.53 54.3% -0.1 0.6451 -0.385
Northeast 566 34.58% 27.59 51.24% -0.243 0.6498 -0.165
Northwest 438 33.33% 28.88 51.83% 0.232 0.9748 1.08
Southeast 340 30.56% 26.18 50.29% -0.41 0.5989 -0.526
Southwest 331 33.84% 24.72 48.64% -0.204 0.9524 -0.812
West 678 34.37% 29.31 53.54% 0.095 1.0773 0.153

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 352 0.0% 24.32 89.49% -0.385 0.3346 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 177 26.8% 22.75 72.32% -0.224 0.2507 -0.593
Skip Initial Invader Actions 518 16.88% 43.32 76.25% 0.088 -0.717 0.192
Start of Game Growth 777 18.32% 42.56 75.55% 0.876 0.3092 0.846
Unlimited Undo 3595 35.83% 37.44 68.12% -0.44 -0.4125 0.521
Using Tokens but Not Events 2086 26.0% 26.98 75.26% -0.324 -0.3516 -0.649

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 524 24.42% 25.66 53.05% -0.109 -0.5267 1.132
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 336 28.96% 31.43 61.9% 0.013 -0.6426 0.782
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 14 35.71% 28.5 57.14% -0.199 -0.3566 -0.84
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 268 34.46% 32.62 64.55% 0.291 -0.5697 0.083
Dances Up Earthquakes 244 45.68% 33.91 63.93% 0.292 0.2557 0.745
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 288 30.66% 25.36 54.51% 0.817 0.4624 -0.097
Downpour Drenches the World 489 31.35% 23.28 43.15% -0.366 -0.2425 0.182
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 692 41.62% 30.4 59.83% 0.172 -0.3991 0.107
Eyes Watch From the Trees 570 34.92% 32.22 65.61% 0.403 -0.2436 0.431
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 368 33.89% 29.2 63.32% 0.517 0.0227 -0.02
Finder of Paths Unseen 405 38.46% 29.74 51.85% -0.69 -0.102 0.136
Fractured Days Split the Sky 311 29.35% 26.58 46.95% -0.218 0.2281 -0.193
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 323 36.65% 27.85 52.32% -0.231 -0.4164 -0.493
Heart of the Wildfire 291 51.9% 24.75 56.36% 0.006 0.1487 0.03
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 729 44.86% 23.92 46.78% 0.203 -0.4713 0.011
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 602 33.61% 31.21 67.94% 0.763 0.235 0.475
Lightning's Swift Strike 178 41.71% 27.31 62.36% -0.053 -0.0205 -0.786
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 274 45.05% 34.29 67.88% -0.178 -0.8304 0.768
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 242 36.51% 32.76 65.7% -1.199 -1.6947 -0.575
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 224 33.48% 29.82 57.14% -0.191 -0.4303 0.773
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 473 45.76% 30.35 62.58% 0.44 0.0141 -0.556
Many Minds Move as One 390 29.49% 30.27 64.62% -0.422 -0.9314 0.77
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2344 35.09% 35.39 59.22% 0.022 -0.2473 0.276
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 1071 45.84% 29.3 57.52% 0.084 -0.0303 -0.352
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 329 37.42% 26.08 53.8% -1.052 -1.3461 0.075
River Surges in Sunlight 287 30.28% 24.2 44.95% -0.073 -0.2438 -0.942
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 113 33.63% 25.4 56.64% -0.062 -0.1733 0.076
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 175 32.76% 25.07 57.14% 0.0 -0.0654 -0.561
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 384 32.03% 32.35 58.59% 0.005 -0.1256 0.903
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 307 34.53% 28.26 61.89% 0.441 0.1763 -0.236
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 237 38.4% 35.73 66.67% 0.657 0.2269 0.092
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 63 46.77% 21.25 68.25% 0.172 0.6 -0.199
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 74 36.49% 22.82 64.86% -0.846 -0.8425 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 882 40.36% 34.93 70.86% -0.198 -0.9504 0.534
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 118 33.9% 25.46 55.08% 0.185 -0.134 -1.379
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 78 32.05% 25.0 64.1% -0.169 -0.3472 -0.531
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 43 38.1% 26.84 67.44% -0.41 -0.4526 -0.443
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 129 28.68% 32.89 68.99% 0.498 0.1318 -0.097
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 12 50.0% 34.5 66.67% 0.737 0.1961 -0.088
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 214 28.97% 30.6 66.82% 0.019 -0.2259 -0.504
Shifting Memory of Ages 239 44.96% 29.32 58.58% 0.796 1.0907 -0.459
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 361 35.83% 30.51 56.51% -0.893 -1.0566 0.909
Shroud of Silent Mist 473 41.23% 25.29 53.91% -0.711 -0.5288 -0.074
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 77 38.96% 34.4 62.34% -0.121 -0.5309 0.96
Starlight Seeks its Form 686 45.11% 28.32 50.44% 0.722 0.4793 0.305
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 536 44.03% 20.94 41.23% -0.362 -1.3138 -1.169
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 324 39.62% 30.5 68.83% 0.092 0.1348 1.056
Thunderspeaker 234 43.29% 29.37 58.97% -0.247 -0.4422 -0.094
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 175 42.29% 25.32 57.71% 0.338 0.1699 -0.725
Towering Roots of the Jungle 297 40.88% 27.23 55.89% 0.18 0.0695 -0.065
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 278 52.88% 28.19 59.71% -0.024 -0.1747 -0.523
Vital Strength of the Earth 90 30.0% 21.27 66.67% 0.022 0.3806 0.28
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 199 39.09% 21.8 42.71% 0.0 0.2433 -0.724
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 86 40.7% 25.85 65.12% -0.134 0.547 -0.193
Volcano Looming High 413 44.17% 29.68 59.08% 0.603 0.2785 0.434
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1079 36.64% 33.47 67.56% -0.369 -0.8864 0.611

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call On Midnight's Dreams 32.54%
Dread Apparitions 83.08%
Dreams Of the Dahan 0.0%
Predatory Nightmares 83.42%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4851 12.25 0.23%
II 4050 29.91 8.67%
III 6654 34.94 71.33%
IV 15105 38.9 99.72%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 11
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4683
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 320
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14961
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6357
Lose: Invader deck ran out 8
Lose: Adversary condition 1556
Win: Sacrifice victory 109
Lose: Scenario condition 133
Win: Scenario condition 87
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2297
Lose: Spirit destroyed 138

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.986 Win Model: -0.129

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.632 Win Model: -0.021
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 19089 43.65% 38.51 68.09%
2 6505 43.44% 34.91 66.0%
3 2721 39.73% 29.76 59.54%
4 1433 40.03% 27.77 57.01%
5 164 32.32% 27.64 56.1%
6 748 25.13% 23.14 47.06%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)