Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 25 20.0% 25.72 80.0% 0.367 0.1472 -0.192
Blitz 0 130 26.92% 36.62 53.85% -0.362 -0.0751 0.12
Dahan Insurrection 4 80 35.0% 33.54 33.75% 0.07 -0.0452 -0.994
Despicable Theft 2 16 25.0% 25.56 50.0% -0.927 -0.1888 -0.878
Elemental Invocation 1 24 25.0% 17.13 37.5% -1.423 -0.6664 -1.064
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 399 21.8% 44.86 68.67% 0.25 -0.3318 0.45
Powers Long Forgotten 1 28 39.29% 26.54 50.0% -0.23 0.6232 -0.443
Rituals of Terror 3 30 60.0% 20.07 36.67% -1.699 -1.8689 -0.737
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 19 63.16% 26.26 36.84% -0.279 0.6322 0.174
Second Wave 0 167 30.72% 28.08 66.47% -0.305 -0.2254 -0.347
The Great River 3 24 37.5% 22.25 50.0% -1.728 -0.3644 -1.211
Varied Terrains 2 58 50.0% 29.72 62.07% -0.46 0.4199 -0.146
Ward the Shores 2 22 40.91% 30.5 50.0% -0.305 0.677 -0.124

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 8908 44.58% 40.52 70.14% 0.077 0.4205 0.478
1 Thematic 206 32.04% 33.65 60.19% -0.607 -0.0791 -1.242
2 Archipelago 10 40.0% 29.8 60.0% -0.466 0.0325 0.083
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1596 41.51% 34.87 67.36% 0.055 0.3388 0.195
2 Coastline 272 44.65% 35.15 64.71% 0.167 0.1959 -0.11
2 Fragment 28 42.86% 27.82 71.43% -0.76 -0.9973 -0.068
2 Heart 14 85.71% 32.79 64.29% 0.517 0.3698 -0.5
2 Opposite Shores 344 37.13% 35.54 72.97% 0.502 0.5608 0.449
2 Thematic 95 49.47% 29.51 58.95% -0.806 -0.4358 -0.655
2 Top to Top 70 58.57% 37.73 65.71% 0.517 0.64 -0.02
3 Archipelago 7 42.86% 41.86 57.14% 0.495 -0.3026 -0.594
3 Coastline 9 44.44% 24.78 55.56% 1.053 0.5038 0.517
3 Other 29 24.14% 20.0 62.07% -0.611 -1.1492 1.057
3 Round (Default) 1079 41.73% 31.11 61.82% -0.521 -0.6141 -0.187
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 16.0 100.0% 0.0 0.151 0.433
3 Thematic 31 45.16% 31.74 64.52% 0.419 -0.0994 0.0
4 Archipelago 15 46.67% 32.53 60.0% 0.316 0.7486 0.235
4 Coastline 7 85.71% 32.71 85.71% 0.0 -0.7603 -0.103
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 20.25 75.0% 0.0 -0.2114 0.0
4 Other 36 30.56% 32.33 86.11% 0.614 0.6212 -0.023
4 Snake 1 0.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.594 0.5232 0.0
4 Thematic 25 48.0% 25.32 36.0% -0.071 0.0623 -0.299
4 Trapezoid (Default) 608 38.32% 28.77 57.4% -0.216 -0.1092 -0.476
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.5066 0.0
5 Other 47 29.79% 30.28 70.21% -0.055 -0.5699 -0.021
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.9822 0.0
6 Archipelago 19 10.53% 51.74 73.68% 0.951 0.2211 1.064
6 Other 71 16.9% 22.37 38.03% -0.828 -0.1925 -0.414
6 Star 19 10.53% 20.37 47.37% -0.697 -0.4521 -0.568
6 Thematic 97 28.13% 21.75 43.3% -0.17 0.1531 0.0
6 Two Centers (Default) 120 25.0% 21.85 53.33% -0.841 -0.9441 -0.137
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.5 50.0% 0.0 0.5915 0.378

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 279 44.28 65.59% -0.027 0.0763 0.283
Aid From Lesser Spirits 213 41.3 62.44% 0.473 0.3287 -0.28
All Things Weaken 318 40.68 57.86% -0.302 0.0635 -0.067
Attenuated Essence 315 42.53 63.49% -0.228 -0.2297 0.009
Back Against the Wall 207 43.9 66.18% 0.14 0.2055 -0.064
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 292 41.34 61.3% 0.712 0.947 -0.004
Burn Brightest Before the End 224 39.33 60.27% 0.044 0.2041 -0.2
Disintegrating Ecosystem 310 38.76 59.35% -0.243 0.1328 -0.277
Downward Spiral 335 42.34 68.96% 0.415 0.4871 0.285
Erosion of Will 309 41.03 59.55% 0.006 0.2623 -0.03
Intensifying Exploitation 310 40.69 63.23% 0.345 0.6189 0.019
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 126 42.06 80.95% 0.987 0.5001 0.368
Memory Fades to Dust 299 38.7 59.53% -0.333 -0.1502 -0.561
Power Corrodes the Spirit 272 43.82 67.65% 0.221 0.4339 0.206
Promising Farmlands 290 41.84 64.83% 0.468 0.7911 -0.068
Shattered Fragments of Power 195 40.81 56.92% -0.645 -0.4749 -0.104
Slow Dissolution of Will 315 36.49 52.38% -0.752 -0.3685 -0.328
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 81 46.81 83.95% 0.67 -0.0067 1.06
The Border of Life and Death 75 44.36 78.67% 0.539 0.0223 0.406
Thriving Communities 336 42.21 63.69% 0.12 0.444 0.096
Thriving Crops 145 46.51 75.86% -0.009 -0.0071 0.412
Unnatural Proliferation 318 45.3 64.47% 0.088 0.2751 0.364
Untended Land Crumbles 322 40.98 58.7% 0.11 0.4488 -0.317

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 2811 40.83% 32.3 62.33% -0.302 0.5615 0.096
B 3089 40.17% 34.54 64.68% -0.106 0.7149 0.043
C 3262 42.52% 37.5 68.03% 0.488 1.1859 0.474
D 2899 38.96% 36.96 67.37% 0.514 1.3703 0.781
E 2471 43.19% 35.0 66.13% 0.133 0.821 0.189
F 2293 41.53% 34.02 64.94% 0.138 0.9561 0.063
G 2247 38.6% 35.39 66.4% 0.465 1.3453 0.322
H 2178 41.71% 34.69 64.42% -0.039 0.742 0.218
East 369 37.5% 29.54 54.2% 0.359 1.1513 0.325
Northeast 244 39.51% 28.16 55.74% -0.179 0.7014 -0.461
Northwest 185 36.41% 25.03 47.03% -0.432 0.4394 -0.42
Southeast 149 25.68% 24.7 47.65% -0.0 0.8588 0.263
Southwest 148 29.25% 23.59 49.32% -0.699 0.5098 -1.111
West 268 34.83% 25.88 50.0% -0.282 0.7784 -0.792

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 38 0.0% 21.97 71.05% -0.205 0.5105 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 31 25.93% 19.58 70.97% 0.447 0.921 -0.098
Skip Initial Invader Actions 247 20.59% 48.77 78.14% 0.963 0.3955 0.778
Start of Game Growth 341 20.0% 45.47 76.25% 0.154 -0.5108 -0.163
Unlimited Undo 1716 38.83% 38.75 67.25% -0.006 0.0168 0.402
Using Tokens but Not Events 708 24.48% 25.22 69.63% -0.312 -0.2646 -0.591

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 282 22.78% 26.11 55.67% 0.193 -0.0041 -0.377
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 72 23.61% 31.42 62.5% 0.336 -0.3784 -0.36
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 106 32.38% 25.23 54.72% -0.175 -0.3054 -0.243
Downpour Drenches the World 236 28.39% 23.33 44.07% -0.368 -0.0985 -0.029
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 332 38.25% 27.48 56.93% 0.06 -0.3716 -0.071
Eyes Watch From the Trees 226 32.89% 32.68 66.37% 0.073 -0.3498 0.982
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 143 32.14% 28.77 64.34% -0.002 -0.4471 -0.721
Finder of Paths Unseen 171 37.43% 30.29 53.8% -0.753 -0.0954 0.407
Fractured Days Split the Sky 116 34.48% 30.26 49.14% -0.331 0.4772 0.152
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 140 29.5% 27.91 51.43% -0.548 -0.6658 -0.748
Heart of the Wildfire 110 49.09% 23.88 67.27% -0.596 -0.3086 -1.433
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 317 39.12% 25.9 51.1% -0.423 -0.8159 0.234
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 429 33.1% 30.57 67.83% -0.317 -0.7215 0.142
Lightning's Swift Strike 67 49.25% 30.04 52.24% 0.278 0.5452 -0.69
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 138 43.07% 34.41 70.29% 0.442 0.0903 0.673
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 102 32.35% 34.4 64.71% -0.352 -0.7929 0.871
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 103 31.07% 28.97 52.43% 0.104 0.0609 0.408
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 215 49.3% 31.2 65.12% -0.036 -0.2866 0.141
Many Minds Move as One 165 29.09% 29.55 63.03% 0.627 0.397 0.526
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 963 38.36% 34.42 59.61% 0.168 0.0635 0.271
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 153 37.09% 25.24 52.94% -0.014 -0.1697 -0.253
River Surges in Sunlight 126 30.08% 26.41 53.97% -0.609 -0.5199 -0.173
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 36 36.11% 30.42 63.89% 0.354 0.2423 0.441
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 82 31.71% 24.45 58.54% -0.029 0.3606 -0.68
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 187 32.09% 32.68 57.75% -0.599 -0.4617 0.16
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 152 35.53% 29.35 60.53% 0.5 0.3064 0.131
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 20 89.47% 22.3 80.0% 0.818 1.3037 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 18 33.33% 25.83 61.11% 0.185 0.2408 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 566 40.46% 35.61 72.61% 0.256 -0.2128 0.459
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 49 28.57% 28.37 61.22% 0.681 0.897 0.12
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 34 29.41% 19.97 58.82% 1.073 1.1018 -0.376
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 15 14.29% 23.8 73.33% -0.528 -0.3557 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 50 24.0% 30.84 64.0% 1.122 0.969 0.352
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 89 31.46% 35.34 74.16% -0.298 -0.4969 0.748
Shifting Memory of Ages 114 43.86% 36.39 70.18% 0.428 0.8768 1.199
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 94 21.28% 28.64 54.26% 0.004 -0.3005 -0.218
Shroud of Silent Mist 205 39.51% 25.16 55.12% -0.536 -0.1995 -1.027
Starlight Seeks its Form 276 46.01% 28.45 50.0% -0.513 -0.5683 0.223
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 258 41.86% 20.12 39.92% 0.346 -0.2769 -0.736
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 161 40.0% 30.44 70.19% 0.843 1.0367 0.172
Thunderspeaker 90 46.59% 26.6 51.11% -0.158 -0.2122 -0.54
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 81 39.51% 27.73 67.9% -0.118 0.0158 -0.705
Towering Roots of the Jungle 90 45.56% 22.38 46.67% -0.714 -0.7049 -1.205
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 135 57.04% 28.83 68.15% -0.278 -0.1952 0.169
Vital Strength of the Earth 38 21.05% 26.58 76.32% -0.31 0.2849 0.0
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 77 36.84% 28.47 57.14% 0.159 0.5983 0.874
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 39 46.15% 24.23 61.54% -0.619 0.0722 0.037
Volcano Looming High 181 48.07% 31.94 62.43% 0.021 0.1241 0.215
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 720 35.0% 33.93 67.92% 0.037 -0.215 0.346

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call On Midnight's Dreams 30.1%
Dread Apparitions 81.96%
Dreams Of the Dahan 0.0%
Predatory Nightmares 82.41%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1922 15.45 0.1%
II 1859 30.45 9.31%
III 2976 34.8 72.45%
IV 7017 38.47 99.69%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2132
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 156
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6941
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2576
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3
Lose: Adversary condition 680
Win: Sacrifice victory 57
Lose: Scenario condition 61
Win: Scenario condition 38
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1059
Lose: Spirit destroyed 69

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.338 Win Model: -0.174

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.682 Win Model: -0.059
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 9163 44.29% 40.42 69.88%
2 2398 42.36% 34.4 67.47%
3 1152 41.17% 30.91 61.98%
4 686 38.92% 28.88 58.6%
5 66 34.85% 25.88 53.03%
6 309 20.78% 23.87 49.84%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)