Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 34 20.59% 28.06 82.35% 0.702 0.7465 -0.135
Blitz 0 197 26.9% 32.8 46.7% 0.46 0.6745 0.025
Dahan Insurrection 4 122 32.79% 30.75 31.15% -1.619 -1.9072 -0.94
Despicable Theft 2 27 40.74% 26.48 51.85% -0.9 -0.1896 -0.855
Elemental Invocation 1 49 26.53% 18.41 44.9% -0.122 0.5791 -1.154
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 585 20.51% 43.66 65.47% 0.909 0.3086 0.423
Powers Long Forgotten 1 52 40.38% 20.75 38.46% -1.279 -0.4421 -0.686
Rituals of Terror 3 42 57.14% 21.1 35.71% 0.297 0.3571 -0.867
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 35 48.57% 22.69 28.57% -1.029 -0.0422 -0.163
Second Wave 0 339 34.13% 29.87 68.73% 0.228 0.4776 -0.19
The Great River 3 51 41.18% 26.08 43.14% 0.459 1.5245 -1.452
Varied Terrains 2 86 52.33% 31.43 63.95% 0.024 0.8531 0.102
Ward the Shores 2 41 34.15% 22.9 39.02% -1.418 -0.2348 -0.492

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 12973 43.24% 39.0 69.13% 0.451 0.7248 0.511
1 Thematic 352 32.67% 36.45 62.78% 0.091 0.6655 -0.235
2 Archipelago 25 36.0% 32.64 48.0% -0.972 -0.2945 -0.897
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2598 41.64% 33.68 66.2% 0.096 0.1641 0.28
2 Coastline 579 40.48% 41.5 67.88% 0.981 0.7619 0.661
2 Fragment 49 36.73% 28.2 69.39% -0.286 -0.5529 -0.292
2 Heart 27 59.26% 31.93 70.37% 0.252 -0.2178 -0.142
2 Opposite Shores 644 38.79% 34.24 71.27% 0.206 0.1836 0.466
2 Thematic 151 41.72% 27.74 52.98% -0.386 -0.0128 0.222
2 Top to Top 118 51.69% 37.82 67.8% 0.587 0.3292 0.183
3 Archipelago 18 22.22% 52.56 72.22% 0.804 -0.1186 0.444
3 Coastline 18 38.89% 29.06 61.11% 1.068 0.1046 1.111
3 Other 43 27.91% 20.65 55.81% -0.74 -1.5034 1.153
3 Round (Default) 1754 42.11% 30.35 59.58% -0.032 -0.1849 -0.284
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 17.33 66.67% -0.226 -0.3036 0.284
3 Thematic 65 40.0% 25.71 55.38% -0.261 -0.4088 -0.584
4 Archipelago 19 36.84% 33.37 57.89% 0.0 -0.5272 0.285
4 Coastline 10 70.0% 25.3 60.0% 0.0 -0.0566 -0.076
4 Leaf 9 11.11% 14.56 55.56% -0.743 -0.8344 -0.392
4 Other 52 36.54% 29.73 84.62% 1.462 0.7775 0.296
4 Snake 1 0.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 53 39.62% 26.74 37.74% 0.62 0.4429 -1.016
4 Trapezoid (Default) 882 40.02% 26.87 52.95% -0.362 -0.6911 -0.558
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.5305 0.0
5 Other 83 28.92% 27.29 61.45% -0.447 -1.1967 -0.593
5 Thematic 7 42.86% 20.0 28.57% -0.39 -0.7766 0.123
6 Archipelago 34 14.71% 46.12 64.71% -0.088 -1.0582 0.698
6 Other 141 23.4% 23.12 37.59% 0.933 0.5162 -0.472
6 Star 27 11.11% 18.52 44.44% -0.987 -0.6512 -1.397
6 Thematic 123 30.58% 21.51 42.28% -0.852 -0.9001 -0.01
6 Two Centers (Default) 191 24.08% 20.34 50.79% -0.819 -0.6049 -0.634
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.5 50.0% 0.0 -0.12 0.441
7 Other 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.072 -1.0088 -0.128

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 406 42.76 61.58% 0.187 0.2587 0.179
Aid From Lesser Spirits 310 40.13 59.03% -0.115 -0.1864 -0.179
All Things Weaken 460 39.67 56.74% -0.537 -0.2783 0.044
Attenuated Essence 459 40.66 61.44% -0.005 -0.0411 0.111
Back Against the Wall 308 41.59 61.69% -0.018 0.036 0.078
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 428 40.54 60.28% 0.137 0.282 0.066
Burn Brightest Before the End 325 40.16 60.31% 0.76 0.7763 0.115
Disintegrating Ecosystem 450 37.18 56.67% -0.431 -0.2427 -0.115
Downward Spiral 502 40.3 65.14% 0.208 0.2824 0.306
Erosion of Will 429 41.67 61.54% 0.37 0.5242 0.179
Intensifying Exploitation 471 39.61 64.12% 0.611 0.7466 0.201
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 190 39.26 75.26% 0.225 -0.3893 0.206
Memory Fades to Dust 461 39.73 62.91% 0.669 0.8718 -0.141
Power Corrodes the Spirit 426 42.88 65.96% 0.588 0.7625 0.275
Promising Farmlands 439 40.87 61.73% 0.394 0.5918 0.123
Shattered Fragments of Power 308 40.38 57.79% 0.03 0.0323 0.207
Slow Dissolution of Will 459 37.12 54.9% 0.519 0.8169 -0.086
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 129 46.86 82.95% 1.222 0.5249 1.393
The Border of Life and Death 118 42.44 74.58% -0.213 -0.7105 0.479
Thriving Communities 485 41.51 63.3% 0.661 0.8177 0.156
Thriving Crops 219 44.43 73.06% 0.314 0.0016 0.527
Unnatural Proliferation 449 43.04 59.91% -0.348 -0.2396 0.255
Untended Land Crumbles 474 40.32 57.81% -0.233 -0.051 -0.053

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 4259 40.76% 31.69 61.85% -0.093 0.8822 0.058
B 4848 39.71% 33.38 63.37% 0.259 1.1483 0.016
C 5127 40.79% 36.38 66.1% 0.151 0.8429 0.444
D 4900 38.1% 35.45 63.82% 0.51 1.4048 0.392
E 3733 42.05% 33.42 63.97% 0.044 0.7735 0.164
F 3571 41.81% 32.6 62.59% 0.043 0.8744 0.035
G 3481 39.51% 33.74 64.61% 0.241 1.0207 0.23
H 3343 40.64% 33.21 62.58% 0.058 0.841 0.134
East 605 36.65% 30.33 54.21% 0.593 1.4028 -0.052
Northeast 377 36.53% 26.68 50.66% -0.55 0.248 -0.583
Northwest 284 34.4% 25.86 47.18% 0.078 0.8114 0.13
Southeast 242 30.83% 25.43 48.76% 0.078 0.971 -0.066
Southwest 224 32.43% 23.43 46.88% -1.409 -0.1507 -1.023
West 434 33.8% 26.96 49.54% 0.032 1.0291 0.094

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 235 0.0% 24.95 92.77% 1.805 2.4731 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 74 27.87% 19.59 67.57% -0.101 0.3194 -1.17
Skip Initial Invader Actions 366 18.26% 46.79 77.6% 0.101 -0.6681 0.873
Start of Game Growth 495 18.51% 44.22 76.77% 0.632 0.194 0.182
Unlimited Undo 2757 36.79% 38.2 68.19% -0.065 -0.1303 0.473
Using Tokens but Not Events 1360 24.69% 26.19 76.69% 0.333 0.2903 -0.439

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 422 25.42% 25.88 51.66% 0.181 0.0873 -0.226
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 191 26.7% 28.72 55.5% -0.028 -0.5361 0.045
Dances Up Earthquakes 78 48.72% 30.32 64.1% 0.087 -0.052 0.03
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 179 30.9% 26.24 51.96% 0.381 0.1587 -0.368
Downpour Drenches the World 378 29.89% 22.7 41.27% -0.268 0.0374 -0.22
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 469 38.38% 27.92 57.14% -0.344 -0.8981 0.027
Eyes Watch From the Trees 348 34.97% 31.47 65.8% 0.248 -0.1797 1.058
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 242 33.05% 29.66 64.88% 0.281 -0.1326 -0.288
Finder of Paths Unseen 275 36.86% 30.65 53.09% -0.016 0.6395 0.286
Fractured Days Split the Sky 211 30.0% 28.05 46.45% -0.312 0.2331 0.023
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 215 31.78% 26.16 50.23% -0.399 -0.4834 -0.463
Heart of the Wildfire 179 50.84% 23.22 59.78% -1.228 -0.913 -1.25
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 483 44.31% 23.48 47.62% 0.416 -0.027 0.042
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 528 32.95% 31.44 68.75% 0.339 0.0456 0.334
Lightning's Swift Strike 109 49.06% 28.17 57.8% 0.504 0.7658 -0.837
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 191 40.53% 33.59 67.54% 0.201 -0.127 0.616
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 162 32.1% 34.88 66.05% -0.827 -1.2026 0.857
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 173 33.53% 29.23 54.34% -0.012 0.0875 0.639
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 342 47.37% 31.23 62.87% 0.817 0.618 0.019
Many Minds Move as One 268 28.73% 28.69 64.18% 0.343 0.1288 0.576
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1747 35.68% 34.39 57.81% 0.111 0.2592 0.277
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 385 42.86% 29.88 60.26% 0.231 0.2753 -0.378
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 236 38.89% 25.23 52.54% -0.291 -0.3938 -0.429
River Surges in Sunlight 224 31.67% 24.53 44.2% -0.658 -0.6605 -0.47
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 78 33.33% 25.58 55.13% -0.003 0.285 0.342
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 129 31.78% 24.22 55.04% -0.552 -0.3493 -0.444
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 253 34.39% 31.66 55.34% 0.012 -0.2023 0.388
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 232 31.47% 26.29 57.76% -0.158 -0.3159 0.038
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 82 28.05% 37.67 71.95% 0.718 0.3346 0.898
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 37 61.11% 22.92 70.27% -0.312 0.2643 -0.23
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 38 36.84% 25.5 63.16% 0.528 0.468 0.516
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 705 40.0% 34.41 70.78% -0.237 -0.6655 0.377
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 84 30.95% 25.52 55.95% -0.427 -0.4214 0.14
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 52 34.62% 25.38 63.46% 0.684 0.6247 -0.861
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 26 36.0% 27.0 76.92% -0.302 -0.0958 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 88 27.27% 31.09 65.91% -0.412 -0.38 -0.039
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 153 30.72% 31.56 68.63% -0.277 -0.422 0.513
Shifting Memory of Ages 145 41.38% 34.39 68.28% -0.307 0.0179 1.298
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 226 33.19% 29.24 54.87% -0.065 -0.0166 -0.209
Shroud of Silent Mist 328 42.07% 25.41 53.96% -0.446 -0.0777 -0.571
Starlight Seeks its Form 430 46.74% 29.14 52.09% 0.178 0.1115 0.354
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 401 44.64% 19.1 37.41% -0.17 -0.653 -0.846
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 216 40.65% 30.94 68.06% 0.16 0.3201 0.236
Thunderspeaker 153 43.71% 27.95 53.59% -0.126 -0.0957 -0.838
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 117 43.59% 26.88 60.68% -0.317 -0.1268 -0.836
Towering Roots of the Jungle 202 44.28% 26.26 51.49% 0.782 0.9283 -0.835
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 199 53.27% 28.82 63.32% 0.008 0.0286 0.531
Vital Strength of the Earth 60 28.33% 22.85 68.33% 0.374 0.9549 -0.297
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 153 42.11% 21.05 40.52% -0.278 0.2059 0.231
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 65 41.54% 26.78 67.69% 0.967 1.5866 0.014
Volcano Looming High 283 47.7% 29.86 57.6% -0.129 -0.0931 -0.003
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 894 35.27% 33.13 66.67% 0.238 -0.0798 0.19

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call On Midnight's Dreams 31.81%
Dread Apparitions 82.62%
Dreams Of the Dahan 0.0%
Predatory Nightmares 83.76%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3314 13.76 0.27%
II 2797 30.19 9.26%
III 4516 34.82 72.96%
IV 10429 38.63 99.72%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 9
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3258
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 238
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10334
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4288
Lose: Invader deck ran out 6
Lose: Adversary condition 1046
Win: Sacrifice victory 70
Lose: Scenario condition 99
Win: Scenario condition 54
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1554
Lose: Spirit destroyed 100

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.273 Win Model: -0.176

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.519 Win Model: -0.08
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 13403 42.96% 38.96 68.89%
2 4153 41.35% 34.37 66.7%
3 1890 41.14% 30.17 59.58%
4 1003 40.18% 27.14 54.34%
5 113 30.09% 25.04 52.21%
6 494 23.37% 23.06 46.56%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-13 03:02:19 (Pacific Time)