Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 31 19.35% 28.48 80.65% 0.177 -0.3809 -0.129
Blitz 0 189 26.98% 32.79 45.5% 0.048 0.4708 0.022
Dahan Insurrection 4 113 32.74% 31.74 32.74% -0.906 -1.3883 -0.863
Despicable Theft 2 22 27.27% 28.32 59.09% 0.017 0.56 -0.607
Elemental Invocation 1 41 26.83% 17.17 41.46% -0.395 0.3428 -1.17
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 530 20.75% 43.73 65.85% -0.138 -0.7949 0.408
Powers Long Forgotten 1 49 40.82% 21.55 40.82% -0.163 0.3995 -0.669
Rituals of Terror 3 42 57.14% 21.1 35.71% 0.95 0.8079 -0.796
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 33 51.52% 21.36 27.27% -1.061 -0.3123 -0.443
Second Wave 0 303 34.23% 29.58 67.99% -0.183 -0.0885 -0.34
The Great River 3 45 42.22% 22.71 37.78% -1.747 -0.5013 -1.622
Varied Terrains 2 79 51.9% 31.29 63.29% 0.987 1.8548 -0.023
Ward the Shores 2 36 36.11% 24.58 41.67% -1.147 -0.2928 -0.481

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 11813 43.37% 39.26 68.93% 0.558 0.9314 0.536
1 Thematic 311 33.12% 37.16 62.7% 0.07 0.7841 -0.222
2 Archipelago 16 31.25% 30.13 56.25% -0.307 0.2169 -0.451
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2336 40.92% 34.11 66.61% 0.213 0.3742 0.343
2 Coastline 454 42.6% 38.43 65.42% 0.795 0.6016 0.435
2 Fragment 40 32.5% 27.3 75.0% 0.263 0.2152 -0.323
2 Heart 16 75.0% 32.69 68.75% 0.0 -0.2122 -0.512
2 Opposite Shores 526 37.79% 34.89 73.19% 0.85 0.9825 0.647
2 Thematic 136 44.12% 27.74 52.94% -0.676 0.0439 0.003
2 Top to Top 108 54.63% 37.14 65.74% -0.054 -0.1386 0.052
3 Archipelago 16 18.75% 49.0 68.75% 1.245 0.702 0.178
3 Coastline 15 26.67% 22.67 53.33% 0.0 -0.6304 0.562
3 Other 36 22.22% 19.22 55.56% -0.34 -1.2158 1.156
3 Round (Default) 1559 41.66% 30.41 60.04% -0.196 -0.2197 -0.219
3 Sunrise 2 50.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.104 -0.3429 0.366
3 Thematic 59 40.68% 24.32 52.54% -0.534 -0.526 -0.603
4 Archipelago 19 36.84% 33.37 57.89% 0.0 -0.1516 0.328
4 Coastline 10 70.0% 25.3 60.0% -0.227 -0.0972 -0.061
4 Leaf 8 12.5% 16.38 62.5% -0.124 0.3112 -0.401
4 Other 44 34.09% 30.59 81.82% 0.508 -0.0598 0.24
4 Snake 1 0.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 52 38.46% 25.69 36.54% -0.528 -0.4647 -0.924
4 Trapezoid (Default) 811 41.31% 26.99 53.02% -0.762 -0.7574 -0.446
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 -1.0209 0.0
5 Other 74 27.03% 28.22 66.22% -0.525 -0.8489 -0.376
5 Thematic 5 60.0% 28.0 40.0% -0.077 -0.2202 0.378
6 Archipelago 28 17.86% 45.64 64.29% -0.741 -1.779 0.708
6 Other 132 21.97% 23.33 35.61% 0.43 0.3859 -0.539
6 Star 25 8.0% 18.84 48.0% 0.06 0.6926 -1.249
6 Thematic 115 30.97% 22.45 43.48% 0.782 0.9863 0.031
6 Two Centers (Default) 164 23.17% 21.1 51.83% -1.529 -1.0543 -0.47
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.5 50.0% 0.0 -0.3239 0.432
7 Other 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.764 0.0887 -0.125

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 373 43.1 62.73% 0.296 0.3667 0.275
Aid From Lesser Spirits 281 40.2 59.43% -0.384 -0.4942 -0.261
All Things Weaken 424 40.09 57.78% 0.217 0.3939 0.096
Attenuated Essence 417 41.14 61.15% -0.342 -0.2903 0.132
Back Against the Wall 275 42.68 62.18% -0.411 -0.4265 0.122
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 380 40.47 59.74% 0.254 0.4376 0.077
Burn Brightest Before the End 302 39.57 58.61% -0.448 -0.3607 0.025
Disintegrating Ecosystem 406 37.89 58.13% -0.192 0.0995 -0.088
Downward Spiral 452 40.38 65.27% 0.416 0.5221 0.284
Erosion of Will 401 41.69 61.1% 0.171 0.3375 0.165
Intensifying Exploitation 426 39.98 63.62% 0.852 1.0405 0.16
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 169 40.07 75.15% 0.162 -0.2663 0.291
Memory Fades to Dust 405 39.27 61.73% 0.441 0.6754 -0.245
Power Corrodes the Spirit 381 42.79 66.14% 0.583 0.6786 0.218
Promising Farmlands 399 40.64 60.65% -0.548 -0.1834 0.068
Shattered Fragments of Power 280 40.61 57.86% 0.472 0.5376 0.173
Slow Dissolution of Will 411 36.91 53.77% 0.224 0.6877 -0.153
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 111 47.16 82.88% 0.346 -0.2548 1.271
The Border of Life and Death 101 43.3 76.24% 0.452 -0.0232 0.578
Thriving Communities 436 41.32 62.61% 0.651 0.8764 0.155
Thriving Crops 196 45.58 73.98% 0.574 0.3498 0.581
Unnatural Proliferation 419 43.31 61.1% -0.075 0.047 0.23
Untended Land Crumbles 431 40.69 58.24% -0.216 0.0166 -0.036

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 3868 40.75% 31.87 61.76% -0.172 0.7465 0.046
B 4366 39.71% 33.53 63.31% 0.109 0.9503 -0.033
C 4572 41.2% 36.34 65.92% 0.214 0.8973 0.423
D 4314 38.41% 35.07 63.51% 0.404 1.2461 0.289
E 3346 41.99% 33.76 64.32% 0.384 1.0355 0.198
F 3226 41.53% 33.1 62.93% -0.029 0.7313 0.018
G 3091 38.87% 34.2 64.93% 0.014 0.7719 0.236
H 2977 40.05% 33.46 62.88% 0.062 0.7804 0.131
East 546 37.68% 30.44 53.85% 0.312 1.125 -0.151
Northeast 342 37.65% 27.37 51.46% -0.326 0.3411 -0.525
Northwest 260 34.88% 26.13 46.92% -0.181 0.6237 0.132
Southeast 218 31.48% 25.71 48.62% -0.391 0.3144 0.013
Southwest 205 33.5% 24.08 47.8% -0.654 0.7362 -0.958
West 394 34.69% 26.9 48.73% 0.278 1.0717 0.153

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 128 0.0% 24.49 88.28% 0.993 1.7121 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 67 27.78% 19.04 65.67% -0.695 -0.2104 -1.086
Skip Initial Invader Actions 330 18.06% 46.62 77.27% 0.011 -0.7203 0.803
Start of Game Growth 450 18.12% 43.82 76.44% 0.595 0.1487 0.033
Unlimited Undo 2593 36.69% 38.44 68.49% -0.091 -0.1238 0.511
Using Tokens but Not Events 1129 24.65% 26.03 74.58% 0.408 0.2459 -0.506

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 396 25.32% 25.49 50.76% 0.249 0.1424 -0.328
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 167 27.54% 28.62 56.89% -0.301 -0.7895 0.002
Dances Up Earthquakes 26 69.23% 32.15 88.46% 1.056 0.8789 -0.467
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 167 30.72% 26.1 50.9% -0.636 -0.843 -0.473
Downpour Drenches the World 338 28.7% 22.91 41.42% -0.659 -0.3388 -0.016
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 425 39.29% 28.71 58.35% 0.01 -0.4302 0.119
Eyes Watch From the Trees 324 34.78% 31.98 65.74% 0.21 -0.1335 1.091
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 218 32.08% 29.28 63.76% 0.353 -0.0011 -0.285
Finder of Paths Unseen 248 37.65% 30.55 52.82% -0.361 0.4233 0.301
Fractured Days Split the Sky 180 32.4% 28.67 47.22% -0.724 -0.2758 0.114
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 199 29.8% 26.08 50.25% -0.084 -0.1075 -0.518
Heart of the Wildfire 169 50.89% 22.99 60.36% -0.818 -0.4916 -1.498
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 447 43.85% 23.74 47.2% 0.118 -0.377 0.137
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 505 32.28% 31.33 68.71% 0.757 0.1938 0.207
Lightning's Swift Strike 90 45.98% 27.17 54.44% 0.338 0.5367 -0.837
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 179 41.01% 34.31 68.16% 0.594 0.1465 0.609
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 148 31.08% 35.97 68.24% 0.134 -0.185 0.961
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 154 32.47% 29.59 54.55% 0.497 0.6217 0.645
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 311 46.3% 30.94 61.41% -0.232 -0.3882 0.078
Many Minds Move as One 238 27.73% 29.01 65.13% 0.29 0.0831 0.617
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1572 36.09% 33.36 57.25% -0.008 0.1209 0.306
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 144 39.58% 31.07 61.81% 0.311 0.416 -0.317
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 201 35.68% 25.46 51.74% 0.409 0.3598 -0.401
River Surges in Sunlight 205 31.19% 24.47 43.41% -0.585 -0.5514 -0.424
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 69 34.78% 26.46 56.52% 0.737 0.9455 0.299
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 112 35.71% 25.33 56.25% -0.039 0.1116 -0.472
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 237 33.33% 31.69 55.7% -0.21 -0.2008 0.334
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 203 30.54% 26.96 57.64% -0.222 -0.3205 -0.029
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 33 18.18% 38.79 78.79% 0.722 0.2313 0.992
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 32 67.74% 21.72 68.75% -1.14 -0.6282 -0.077
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 34 32.35% 25.06 58.82% 0.091 0.0478 0.496
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 667 40.63% 35.14 71.96% -0.002 -0.4504 0.4
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 77 32.47% 26.74 57.14% -0.704 -0.6457 0.25
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 48 35.42% 25.31 60.42% 0.318 0.1271 -0.847
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 24 34.78% 26.17 75.0% -0.934 -0.8502 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 73 24.66% 32.93 68.49% 0.741 0.6427 0.153
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 124 28.23% 32.8 70.97% 0.151 -0.0429 0.791
Shifting Memory of Ages 134 41.79% 35.18 68.66% -0.552 -0.1626 1.23
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 192 34.38% 29.84 57.29% 0.542 0.49 -0.095
Shroud of Silent Mist 302 42.72% 26.05 55.63% 0.366 0.78 -0.587
Starlight Seeks its Form 385 47.53% 28.91 51.69% 0.557 0.5169 0.258
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 385 44.68% 18.81 36.36% -0.431 -0.934 -0.953
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 202 40.5% 31.0 68.32% -0.108 -0.0246 0.225
Thunderspeaker 141 44.6% 27.26 52.48% 0.18 0.1745 -0.817
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 101 41.58% 26.84 63.37% -0.656 -0.2678 -0.806
Towering Roots of the Jungle 176 43.43% 24.78 48.86% -0.066 0.1442 -0.985
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 181 53.59% 28.13 63.54% -0.249 -0.1719 0.409
Vital Strength of the Earth 55 25.45% 22.93 67.27% 0.524 0.9735 -0.305
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 145 43.06% 21.08 40.69% -0.339 0.1552 0.254
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 55 38.18% 25.47 63.64% -0.198 0.495 0.052
Volcano Looming High 262 47.71% 30.35 58.02% -0.255 -0.1903 -0.078
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 849 35.61% 33.48 67.61% 0.232 -0.0167 0.229

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call On Midnight's Dreams 31.7%
Dread Apparitions 82.51%
Dreams Of the Dahan 0.0%
Predatory Nightmares 83.44%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2964 14.25 0.2%
II 2533 30.3 9.08%
III 4030 34.84 72.73%
IV 9411 38.61 99.71%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 6
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2895
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 211
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9323
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3865
Lose: Invader deck ran out 5
Lose: Adversary condition 936
Win: Sacrifice victory 64
Lose: Scenario condition 89
Win: Scenario condition 52
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1401
Lose: Spirit destroyed 91

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.985 Win Model: -0.176

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.454 Win Model: -0.002
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 12192 43.13% 39.24 68.7%
2 3598 41.08% 34.18 66.87%
3 1682 40.63% 30.14 59.87%
4 921 41.26% 27.29 54.18%
5 101 29.7% 26.26 56.44%
6 444 22.62% 23.43 46.4%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)