Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 16 18.75% 22.56 81.25% 0.035 0.0869 -0.103
Blitz 0 68 27.94% 45.16 70.59% 0.227 0.4281 0.752
Dahan Insurrection 4 69 39.13% 33.19 30.43% -1.336 -1.5475 -1.196
Despicable Theft 2 9 22.22% 27.44 55.56% -0.875 -0.0304 -0.731
Elemental Invocation 1 15 26.67% 21.13 46.67% -0.398 0.6726 -0.903
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 299 23.08% 46.08 71.91% 0.325 -0.3998 0.761
Powers Long Forgotten 1 20 50.0% 25.95 50.0% -0.285 0.6209 0.364
Rituals of Terror 3 19 52.63% 20.05 42.11% -1.433 -1.4031 -0.772
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 14 64.29% 23.29 35.71% -0.499 0.69 -0.277
Second Wave 0 110 30.91% 27.71 62.73% -0.187 -0.1062 -0.039
The Great River 3 13 38.46% 33.85 76.92% 0.608 1.9958 -0.62
Varied Terrains 2 41 46.34% 28.37 58.54% -0.481 0.4198 -0.16
Ward the Shores 2 9 44.44% 27.44 44.44% 0.094 1.1489 -0.475

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 7282 44.6% 41.15 70.94% 0.431 0.4616 0.886
1 Thematic 161 32.92% 34.35 65.84% 0.04 0.4718 -0.849
2 Archipelago 6 33.33% 29.67 66.67% -0.587 -0.0936 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1265 42.41% 34.96 67.04% -0.209 -0.2573 0.318
2 Coastline 199 46.23% 34.31 64.32% -0.076 -0.1765 -0.178
2 Fragment 19 47.37% 32.68 84.21% 0.011 -0.4014 -0.164
2 Heart 7 100.0% 28.0 28.57% -0.765 -0.8543 -0.418
2 Opposite Shores 269 38.43% 34.45 72.49% 0.436 0.2563 0.329
2 Thematic 41 46.34% 27.98 51.22% -0.118 0.0684 -0.174
2 Top to Top 45 66.67% 35.58 62.22% -0.213 -0.4123 0.227
3 Archipelago 5 40.0% 35.4 40.0% 0.236 -0.8843 -0.642
3 Coastline 5 40.0% 18.8 40.0% 0.779 0.117 0.316
3 Other 22 31.82% 20.18 63.64% 0.613 0.2787 1.091
3 Round (Default) 825 41.87% 32.58 62.91% 0.092 -0.1736 -0.262
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 16.0 100.0% 0.101 0.6123 0.615
3 Thematic 14 42.86% 25.64 57.14% -0.156 -0.6027 0.0
4 Archipelago 11 54.55% 36.73 54.55% 0.045 -0.5119 0.369
4 Coastline 7 85.71% 32.71 85.71% 0.906 0.2876 -0.18
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 20.25 75.0% 0.0 0.8461 0.0
4 Other 32 25.0% 29.06 84.38% 1.112 0.3745 -0.649
4 Thematic 18 38.89% 23.33 27.78% -1.217 -1.0134 -0.783
4 Trapezoid (Default) 384 35.16% 32.24 64.84% -0.21 0.1298 -0.469
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.5279 0.0
5 Other 39 30.77% 32.31 74.36% 1.127 0.4055 -0.261
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.698 -0.5376 0.0
6 Archipelago 4 25.0% 59.75 100.0% 0.0 -0.7151 0.597
6 Other 32 18.75% 27.16 56.25% -0.157 0.2827 0.305
6 Star 8 0.0% 32.0 75.0% 0.314 0.612 0.36
6 Thematic 60 33.9% 20.45 35.0% -0.303 -0.2774 -0.464
6 Two Centers (Default) 73 26.03% 23.64 56.16% -0.691 -0.5933 -0.448
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.5 50.0% -0.829 -0.3022 0.148

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 214 46.54 67.29% 0.244 0.3823 0.31
Aid From Lesser Spirits 168 41.31 61.31% 0.048 -0.0113 -0.392
All Things Weaken 255 41.64 60.39% -0.571 -0.2164 -0.081
Attenuated Essence 249 44.81 66.67% -0.028 0.0831 0.042
Back Against the Wall 171 44.11 66.67% -0.223 -0.1464 -0.09
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 228 40.02 59.21% -0.192 0.0186 -0.252
Burn Brightest Before the End 169 40.31 61.54% -0.287 -0.1659 -0.5
Disintegrating Ecosystem 245 39.64 60.0% 0.008 0.3765 -0.368
Downward Spiral 265 44.09 70.19% 0.544 0.741 0.322
Erosion of Will 233 41.67 60.09% -0.512 -0.2445 -0.091
Intensifying Exploitation 264 40.49 63.64% -0.014 0.2562 -0.131
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 104 40.87 78.85% 0.989 0.4784 0.119
Memory Fades to Dust 243 39.46 61.32% -0.01 0.3012 -0.588
Power Corrodes the Spirit 208 45.12 69.23% 0.064 0.3592 0.094
Promising Farmlands 229 42.27 64.19% 0.198 0.5343 -0.108
Shattered Fragments of Power 157 43.62 61.15% -0.03 0.0783 0.022
Slow Dissolution of Will 250 38.6 55.6% -0.361 0.0393 -0.316
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 62 47.37 83.87% 0.929 0.3161 1.224
The Border of Life and Death 58 47.28 82.76% 0.126 -0.1664 0.383
Thriving Communities 266 42.55 65.79% -0.011 0.3216 0.113
Thriving Crops 118 47.8 78.81% 1.086 0.9997 0.441
Unnatural Proliferation 253 46.63 65.22% 0.136 0.2841 0.321
Untended Land Crumbles 262 41.43 57.63% -0.043 0.2636 -0.463

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 2086 40.12% 33.72 65.39% 0.183 1.0882 0.134
B 2408 40.85% 35.93 66.99% 0.284 1.1129 0.085
C 2527 42.64% 38.21 68.9% 0.366 1.0466 0.446
D 2191 39.76% 38.07 69.1% 0.215 1.0682 0.707
E 1889 44.59% 36.06 67.6% 0.261 0.9621 0.134
F 1699 42.55% 35.98 67.98% 0.419 1.1999 0.16
G 1746 39.86% 37.19 68.96% 0.386 1.1574 0.319
H 1595 43.11% 36.79 67.96% 0.353 1.1213 0.261
East 234 36.05% 28.77 51.71% -0.787 0.075 0.077
Northeast 141 35.71% 26.7 51.06% -0.23 0.5169 -0.474
Northwest 117 37.93% 24.01 42.74% -0.207 0.6266 -0.977
Southeast 96 30.53% 24.63 43.75% -0.039 0.7366 0.691
Southwest 95 35.11% 22.88 44.21% -0.457 0.8618 -0.953
West 175 37.36% 25.41 47.43% -0.732 0.2737 -0.634

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 33 0.0% 22.52 69.7% -0.812 0.0189 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 22 35.0% 20.59 72.73% -0.576 -0.1351 -0.073
Skip Initial Invader Actions 189 18.78% 48.9 80.42% 0.382 -0.1801 0.491
Start of Game Growth 257 18.15% 46.79 78.21% 0.262 -0.2771 -0.196
Unlimited Undo 1276 39.02% 38.94 68.03% 0.295 0.3356 0.404
Using Tokens but Not Events 525 26.72% 25.47 70.48% -0.321 -0.3446 -0.478

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 193 27.08% 26.08 59.59% -0.88 -0.9828 -0.043
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 63 33.87% 26.35 68.25% -0.484 -0.6152 -0.423
Downpour Drenches the World 142 30.99% 27.63 47.18% -1.213 -0.895 -0.03
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 204 36.76% 29.84 64.71% 0.032 -0.4525 0.246
Eyes Watch From the Trees 158 33.12% 34.48 67.09% 0.583 0.1299 1.188
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 110 38.32% 30.43 64.55% 1.279 0.8269 -0.572
Finder of Paths Unseen 113 42.48% 33.02 57.52% 0.147 0.8133 0.056
Fractured Days Split the Sky 84 40.48% 33.15 53.57% -0.404 0.2738 -0.181
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 111 30.91% 27.86 50.45% -0.182 -0.1205 -0.929
Heart of the Wildfire 76 50.0% 26.71 75.0% 0.563 0.8233 -0.954
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 191 33.51% 31.95 63.35% 0.069 -0.3244 1.155
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 374 34.76% 31.51 69.25% 0.073 -0.3218 0.211
Lightning's Swift Strike 53 45.28% 28.08 47.17% -1.088 -0.8343 -0.938
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 101 49.0% 35.46 70.3% 0.189 -0.3644 0.383
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 67 34.33% 34.27 65.67% -0.207 -0.4429 0.437
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 70 35.71% 30.23 52.86% -0.48 -0.7308 0.242
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 148 54.73% 33.46 68.92% 0.249 -0.0749 0.058
Many Minds Move as One 118 24.58% 28.36 56.78% -0.1 -0.2995 0.554
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 686 40.23% 35.83 61.52% 0.097 0.069 0.221
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 114 38.39% 24.61 50.88% -0.276 -0.4181 -0.733
River Surges in Sunlight 71 36.62% 31.94 69.01% -0.277 -0.16 0.535
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 49 32.65% 25.33 61.22% -0.844 -0.5068 -0.004
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 136 37.5% 35.68 59.56% 0.434 0.286 0.052
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 103 37.86% 29.53 60.19% -0.052 -0.2191 -0.041
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 11 90.0% 19.73 72.73% 1.113 1.6571 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 6 16.67% 18.67 50.0% -0.193 -0.1069 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 488 39.75% 35.75 72.95% 0.338 -0.0316 0.405
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 34 20.59% 25.88 50.0% -0.022 0.1439 0.084
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 23 21.74% 16.78 43.48% -0.158 -0.1271 -0.682
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 14 15.38% 25.5 78.57% 0.243 0.4132 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 29 24.14% 27.34 51.72% 1.103 1.0077 0.25
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 66 33.33% 39.77 81.82% 0.933 0.6918 0.689
Shifting Memory of Ages 98 48.98% 36.15 69.39% 0.303 0.6817 1.043
Shroud of Silent Mist 139 42.45% 26.45 53.96% 0.166 0.5365 -0.938
Starlight Seeks its Form 157 41.4% 34.76 65.61% 0.069 -0.1373 0.627
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 152 32.24% 19.5 39.47% 0.159 -0.5576 -0.241
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 121 42.5% 30.03 67.77% 0.287 0.4683 -0.511
Thunderspeaker 54 48.15% 26.67 48.15% -0.775 -0.761 -0.341
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 55 41.82% 27.91 67.27% 0.236 0.3418 -1.069
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 83 56.63% 31.11 67.47% 0.258 0.3987 0.137
Vital Strength of the Earth 29 27.59% 26.97 79.31% -0.516 0.0258 0.0
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 52 39.22% 27.17 57.69% -0.172 0.1662 0.264
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 26 50.0% 26.46 73.08% -0.442 0.2743 -0.287
Volcano Looming High 147 48.98% 32.23 62.59% -0.451 -0.4843 0.219
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 647 34.62% 33.96 68.32% 0.234 -0.2037 0.024

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call On Midnight's Dreams 29.52%
Dread Apparitions 81.29%
Dreams Of the Dahan 0.0%
Predatory Nightmares 81.51%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1392 16.23 0.07%
II 1429 30.54 8.75%
III 2385 34.77 72.7%
IV 5638 38.37 99.65%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1717
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 113
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5574
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1885
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2
Lose: Adversary condition 556
Win: Sacrifice victory 48
Lose: Scenario condition 45
Win: Scenario condition 25
Lose: Blight pool ran out 823
Lose: Spirit destroyed 55

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.074 Win Model: -0.119

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.682 Win Model: -0.043
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 7465 44.34% 40.97 70.78%
2 1844 43.28% 34.64 67.19%
3 865 41.32% 31.9 62.43%
4 451 35.7% 31.97 65.41%
5 56 35.71% 27.75 57.14%
6 163 24.07% 24.89 53.99%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-13 05:04:05 (Pacific Time)