Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 66 27.27% 26.83 72.73% -0.758 -0.7874 -0.177
Blitz 0 260 27.41% 31.79 52.69% 0.55 0.7929 0.671
Dahan Insurrection 4 162 29.01% 33.81 37.04% -0.733 -0.7197 -1.264
Despicable Theft 2 42 40.48% 24.93 50.0% -0.418 0.3483 -0.249
Elemental Invocation 1 79 31.65% 22.19 50.63% -0.172 0.5806 -0.405
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 748 19.25% 43.91 66.84% 1.015 0.4184 0.652
Powers Long Forgotten 1 75 42.67% 20.31 40.0% 0.305 1.0533 -0.166
Rituals of Terror 3 62 48.39% 21.45 33.87% -1.161 -0.6829 -0.061
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 73 41.1% 18.62 23.29% -0.4 0.2879 -0.922
Second Wave 0 491 34.98% 31.18 68.84% 0.189 0.1843 0.669
The Great River 3 67 37.31% 25.07 43.28% -0.772 0.357 -0.992
Varied Terrains 2 120 51.67% 31.42 67.5% 0.749 1.5292 -0.565
Ward the Shores 2 60 31.67% 20.2 38.33% 0.388 1.2578 -0.363

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 17427 43.96% 38.51 68.46% -0.074 0.1299 0.133
1 Thematic 474 30.17% 36.15 63.5% 0.534 1.1429 -0.072
2 Archipelago 61 29.51% 21.3 32.79% 0.449 0.6197 -1.592
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3760 44.18% 34.5 66.04% 0.117 0.1976 0.448
2 Coastline 922 39.13% 42.41 68.0% -0.36 -0.4553 0.313
2 Fragment 69 47.83% 28.67 69.57% 0.0 -0.0429 0.362
2 Heart 38 50.0% 30.03 71.05% -0.647 -1.1083 0.0
2 Opposite Shores 986 40.08% 32.68 68.36% -0.505 -0.3737 -0.518
2 Thematic 242 44.58% 28.97 52.89% -0.557 -0.1986 0.364
2 Top to Top 172 51.74% 38.05 67.44% -0.169 -0.2583 0.08
3 Archipelago 21 19.05% 51.05 76.19% 0.0 -0.1698 0.0
3 Coastline 21 33.33% 29.0 61.9% 0.0 -0.1724 0.315
3 Other 53 28.3% 21.6 62.26% 0.355 -0.03 0.296
3 Round (Default) 2423 40.65% 29.73 59.35% -0.049 -0.0432 -0.691
3 Sunrise 6 50.0% 30.5 83.33% 0.0 -0.6066 0.0
3 Thematic 88 38.64% 28.99 57.95% 0.126 -0.3049 0.0
4 Archipelago 20 35.0% 31.7 55.0% 0.0 -0.2406 0.0
4 Coastline 11 63.64% 26.18 63.64% 0.0 -0.5981 0.0
4 Leaf 9 11.11% 14.56 55.56% 0.0 -1.0224 0.0
4 Other 66 37.88% 29.94 80.3% 1.131 0.2875 0.239
4 Snake 2 0.0% 35.5 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 73 35.62% 27.89 41.1% 0.187 -0.015 -0.385
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1219 40.16% 27.42 55.7% 0.649 0.8387 0.164
5 Coastline 3 0.0% 18.67 66.67% 0.0 -0.6597 0.073
5 Other 117 33.33% 30.11 64.96% 0.087 -0.0732 0.617
5 Thematic 12 41.67% 20.42 41.67% 0.0 0.3382 0.0
6 Archipelago 50 14.0% 46.16 66.0% 0.613 -0.0404 0.558
6 Coastline 4 75.0% 28.5 50.0% 0.0 -0.4503 0.0
6 Other 186 25.81% 24.61 44.62% 0.787 0.7478 0.671
6 Star 39 12.82% 15.46 35.9% -1.396 -0.9296 -0.371
6 Thematic 168 29.09% 22.43 44.64% -0.515 -0.2669 -1.04
6 Two Centers (Default) 294 26.28% 19.73 46.6% -0.387 0.8141 -0.707
7 Archipelago 3 0.0% 25.67 33.33% -0.335 0.8207 0.0
7 Other 8 25.0% 16.5 25.0% 0.0 0.1814 0.086

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 561 41.44 59.18% -1.244 -1.095 -0.062
Aid From Lesser Spirits 425 40.65 60.71% -0.018 -0.1304 0.283
All Things Weaken 642 39.44 56.54% -0.348 0.0269 0.123
Attenuated Essence 622 40.81 61.58% -0.16 -0.0347 0.133
Back Against the Wall 428 41.2 60.98% 0.087 0.1283 0.162
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 624 40.0 60.1% -0.325 -0.1188 0.365
Burn Brightest Before the End 449 39.7 59.69% -0.912 -0.8673 -0.199
Disintegrating Ecosystem 632 37.62 57.12% 0.124 0.6215 0.292
Downward Spiral 703 39.61 63.44% -0.018 0.2318 0.121
Erosion of Will 610 41.98 61.48% 0.783 1.041 0.59
Intensifying Exploitation 654 39.65 63.76% -0.254 -0.0348 0.358
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 269 41.39 76.21% 0.367 -0.0195 0.452
Memory Fades to Dust 658 38.9 62.16% -0.109 0.0965 0.013
Power Corrodes the Spirit 598 41.64 64.88% -0.264 -0.0659 0.067
Promising Farmlands 616 40.11 60.88% 0.199 0.5553 0.477
Shattered Fragments of Power 429 39.46 55.71% -1.417 -1.1993 -0.047
Slow Dissolution of Will 656 36.64 54.12% -0.943 -0.5139 -0.233
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 175 45.63 82.29% 1.005 0.3808 0.572
The Border of Life and Death 171 45.62 78.36% 0.145 -0.1746 1.285
Thriving Communities 654 41.77 64.07% 0.74 1.0593 0.517
Thriving Crops 319 44.19 71.47% -0.455 -0.5733 0.744
Unnatural Proliferation 616 42.45 60.06% -0.802 -0.7123 0.46
Untended Land Crumbles 665 39.54 57.44% -0.679 -0.4536 0.137

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 5868 40.91% 31.68 62.29% -0.237 0.5626 -0.06
B 6719 40.55% 32.97 62.94% 0.212 0.9426 -0.066
C 7136 41.03% 36.22 65.84% 0.244 0.8482 0.458
D 6765 38.86% 35.45 63.64% 0.107 0.8642 0.491
E 5254 42.8% 33.28 63.44% -0.156 0.4282 -0.053
F 4989 42.18% 32.51 62.64% -0.034 0.6681 0.074
G 4975 40.75% 33.73 64.62% 0.136 0.8937 0.375
H 4729 41.27% 32.75 61.73% -0.007 0.6239 -0.1
East 839 34.53% 30.55 54.47% 0.25 1.0337 -0.547
Northeast 539 35.02% 27.57 51.39% -0.089 0.6727 -0.089
Northwest 409 33.5% 28.29 51.59% -0.116 0.7261 0.702
Southeast 326 30.34% 25.87 49.69% -0.446 0.1933 -0.654
Southwest 312 33.66% 24.41 48.72% 0.162 1.2078 -0.75
West 626 34.03% 28.72 53.04% 0.013 0.7891 0.205

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 347 0.0% 24.3 89.91% -0.63 0.2438 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 173 26.85% 22.91 72.83% 0.017 0.3938 -0.159
Skip Initial Invader Actions 497 16.7% 43.33 76.26% -0.163 -0.4539 0.012
Start of Game Growth 704 16.67% 41.76 75.0% 0.15 -0.4064 0.737
Unlimited Undo 3428 35.57% 37.41 68.17% 0.164 0.2279 0.758
Using Tokens but Not Events 1955 25.98% 26.33 75.24% -0.288 -0.4154 -0.67

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 511 24.8% 25.71 52.64% 0.467 0.3708 0.601
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 320 28.21% 31.33 61.88% 0.07 -0.255 0.559
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 5 20.0% 35.2 60.0% -0.287 -0.5488 0.0
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 153 32.89% 32.1 64.71% -0.002 -0.7229 0.41
Dances Up Earthquakes 232 44.59% 33.82 64.22% -0.147 0.0345 0.808
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 280 29.75% 24.81 53.57% -0.148 -0.3269 -0.123
Downpour Drenches the World 468 31.26% 23.22 42.74% -0.27 0.0887 0.091
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 664 40.96% 30.35 59.64% 0.146 -0.2936 0.191
Eyes Watch From the Trees 539 35.82% 32.13 65.31% -0.225 -0.5744 0.576
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 355 34.3% 29.68 64.23% 0.335 -0.0652 -0.254
Finder of Paths Unseen 389 38.24% 29.8 52.19% -0.05 1.0241 0.05
Fractured Days Split the Sky 304 28.71% 26.62 46.38% -0.495 -0.0391 0.09
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 304 36.63% 27.61 52.3% -0.344 -0.4345 -0.563
Heart of the Wildfire 275 51.65% 23.84 55.64% -0.804 -0.3726 -0.333
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 702 45.3% 23.42 45.73% 0.126 -0.3162 -0.679
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 598 33.5% 31.19 68.06% -0.288 -0.7964 -0.22
Lightning's Swift Strike 170 40.12% 27.35 62.94% 1.363 1.526 -0.322
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 258 42.8% 33.52 68.99% -0.149 -0.8278 1.227
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 229 36.4% 33.41 67.25% 0.145 -0.2144 0.572
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 220 32.73% 29.89 57.27% 0.126 -0.0202 0.963
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 457 45.83% 30.41 62.58% -1.34 -1.5166 -0.335
Many Minds Move as One 379 29.55% 30.34 64.64% 0.404 0.269 0.874
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2272 34.97% 35.46 59.38% -0.178 -0.2545 0.409
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 984 45.52% 29.09 57.42% -0.169 0.0227 -0.277
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 310 37.79% 26.19 54.52% 0.257 0.1974 -0.035
River Surges in Sunlight 279 30.8% 24.57 45.16% -0.666 -0.621 -0.709
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 110 34.55% 25.69 56.36% -0.265 -0.035 0.02
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 174 32.95% 25.21 57.47% -0.689 -0.6405 -0.71
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 375 32.27% 32.48 58.67% -0.121 0.0457 1.248
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 296 34.12% 27.95 61.15% 0.497 0.3034 0.172
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 222 36.94% 35.66 66.22% 0.245 0.2307 0.18
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 62 47.54% 21.23 67.74% 0.642 1.2665 -0.187
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 71 38.03% 23.37 66.2% -0.249 -0.233 -0.433
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 854 40.28% 35.23 71.43% 0.21 -0.2248 0.813
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 116 34.48% 25.35 54.31% -0.104 -0.0817 -1.13
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 74 33.78% 24.76 63.51% -0.049 -0.1359 -0.628
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 39 36.84% 27.0 71.79% -0.052 0.3565 -0.262
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 125 28.0% 32.74 68.0% -0.685 -0.6279 -0.133
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 7 71.43% 34.0 57.14% -0.251 -0.7547 -0.404
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 208 29.81% 31.22 68.27% 0.545 0.5075 -0.458
Shifting Memory of Ages 233 45.69% 29.09 57.51% 0.047 0.4095 -0.82
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 343 35.09% 30.26 57.14% -0.575 -0.5926 0.703
Shroud of Silent Mist 469 41.36% 25.37 53.94% -0.205 0.3191 -0.45
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 44 38.64% 33.27 63.64% 0.114 -0.2266 0.375
Starlight Seeks its Form 665 45.18% 28.3 50.53% 0.529 0.3307 0.158
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 517 44.1% 20.84 40.62% 0.405 -0.2105 -0.531
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 305 39.8% 30.49 69.51% 0.078 0.3111 0.524
Thunderspeaker 221 44.5% 29.62 59.28% 0.472 0.4553 -0.02
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 168 41.67% 25.56 57.74% -0.716 -0.5153 -0.398
Towering Roots of the Jungle 283 40.43% 26.99 54.77% 0.685 0.8513 -0.124
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 262 53.05% 28.43 61.07% -0.031 0.0192 -0.897
Vital Strength of the Earth 84 29.76% 21.89 67.86% 0.653 1.1235 0.451
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 198 38.78% 21.57 42.42% 0.511 0.9199 -0.664
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 83 40.96% 25.72 65.06% -0.608 0.0588 -0.662
Volcano Looming High 386 44.82% 29.61 58.29% 0.267 0.2502 -0.014
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1050 36.89% 33.53 67.71% 0.531 0.2509 0.728

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call On Midnight's Dreams 32.4%
Dread Apparitions 83.11%
Dreams Of the Dahan 0.0%
Predatory Nightmares 83.51%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4612 12.44 0.24%
II 3831 29.94 8.95%
III 6309 34.9 71.64%
IV 14295 38.84 99.71%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 11
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4460
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 313
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14154
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6029
Lose: Invader deck ran out 8
Lose: Adversary condition 1449
Win: Sacrifice victory 106
Lose: Scenario condition 130
Win: Scenario condition 83
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2175
Lose: Spirit destroyed 129

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.425 Win Model: -0.135

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.65 Win Model: -0.252
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 18032 43.52% 38.42 68.15%
2 6171 43.2% 34.96 66.25%
3 2596 39.71% 29.81 59.71%
4 1372 40.06% 27.5 56.49%
5 158 33.54% 27.72 56.33%
6 718 24.93% 23.14 46.94%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-10-18 23:57:56 (Pacific Time)