Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 20 40.0% 25.2 70.0% -0.708 -0.7867 -0.196
Blitz 0 449 65.02% 25.72 59.47% -0.053 0.0936 -0.698
Dahan Insurrection 4 295 69.15% 37.04 43.39% -1.222 -1.4291 -0.59
Despicable Theft 2 70 77.14% 30.47 64.29% 0.21 0.8923 0.09
Elemental Invocation 1 209 77.99% 29.47 67.46% 0.321 1.052 -0.973
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2922 33.62% 40.0 69.51% 0.817 0.2105 0.541
Powers Long Forgotten 1 158 82.28% 26.37 50.0% -1.416 -0.9275 -1.045
Rituals of Terror 3 185 75.14% 27.39 30.81% -0.766 -0.6612 -1.713
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 200 92.0% 30.36 51.5% -0.535 0.4565 -0.897
Second Wave 0 2974 58.22% 25.24 67.48% 0.201 0.2641 -0.198
The Great River 3 128 62.5% 27.02 41.41% -1.328 0.0202 -0.514
Varied Terrains 2 53 67.92% 23.02 50.94% -0.513 0.0497 -1.107
Ward the Shores 2 223 84.75% 24.9 27.8% -0.9 0.309 -2.032

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 51839 81.21% 31.02 61.8% 0.211 0.4209 0.299
1 Thematic 2016 79.88% 28.36 59.92% 0.489 1.088 -0.382
2 Archipelago 28 75.0% 34.93 67.86% 0.296 0.6526 0.222
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11267 72.45% 29.73 63.26% 0.159 0.319 -0.06
2 Coastline 1242 66.51% 28.71 67.95% 0.139 0.1997 0.314
2 Fragment 433 80.32% 36.97 65.13% 0.603 0.5391 0.711
2 Heart 205 76.59% 30.49 60.0% 0.753 0.5148 0.306
2 Opposite Shores 2326 61.03% 27.24 68.14% 0.384 0.5181 -0.681
2 Thematic 816 71.22% 28.59 54.78% -0.453 0.1833 -1.058
2 Top to Top 342 76.76% 31.98 60.82% -0.03 0.0106 -0.196
3 Archipelago 13 53.85% 39.15 92.31% 0.421 -0.6656 -0.46
3 Coastline 37 70.27% 31.35 67.57% 0.937 0.4387 0.553
3 Other 313 59.55% 30.66 76.36% 0.39 0.5001 0.855
3 Round (Default) 5797 64.54% 31.7 65.46% -0.011 -0.0524 -0.161
3 Sunrise 39 71.79% 47.49 76.92% -0.369 -0.1729 0.811
3 Thematic 219 62.1% 29.84 58.45% -0.179 -0.1431 0.086
4 Archipelago 12 41.67% 35.83 66.67% -1.091 -1.3053 -0.186
4 Coastline 42 28.57% 30.36 88.1% -0.11 0.0119 0.206
4 Leaf 28 50.0% 34.18 64.29% 0.0 -0.3753 -1.009
4 Other 314 40.45% 38.67 73.89% -0.457 -1.3063 -0.32
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 24.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3842 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 27.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.0206 0.0
4 Thematic 805 47.76% 36.74 73.54% -0.292 -0.3097 -1.123
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3903 48.67% 32.51 73.05% -0.714 -0.9004 -0.198
5 Archipelago 7 85.71% 36.71 71.43% 0.073 -1.1525 -0.235
5 Coastline 8 12.5% 28.25 100.0% 0.0 -0.0429 0.0
5 Other 215 44.08% 30.86 82.33% 0.319 -0.1894 0.107
5 Thematic 25 56.0% 34.32 76.0% -0.84 -1.1705 0.551
6 Archipelago 12 25.0% 45.17 75.0% -0.348 -0.6528 0.625
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.451 -1.0951 0.0
6 Other 64 47.62% 29.09 76.56% -0.221 -0.6151 0.264
6 Star 30 50.0% 31.8 73.33% -0.025 0.4499 -0.61
6 Thematic 159 51.59% 34.92 74.84% -0.504 -0.1048 0.737
6 Two Centers (Default) 296 33.67% 34.49 73.31% -0.33 -0.2863 -0.688
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 33.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.5893 0.0
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 7 66.67% 35.57 100.0% 0.492 -0.2813 0.697

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4507 32.2 54.91% 0.233 0.5043 0.313
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3409 34.18 59.87% 0.946 0.9846 0.733
All Things Weaken 4954 30.04 53.05% 0.617 1.0777 0.293
Attenuated Essence 66 24.8 48.48% 0.336 0.5419 -0.651
Back Against the Wall 3395 33.1 57.41% 0.604 0.7664 0.639
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 89 24.92 35.96% -0.052 0.362 -0.187
Burn Brightest Before the End 47 32.85 51.06% 0.403 0.708 0.44
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4481 29.91 55.12% 0.491 1.0176 0.359
Downward Spiral 4935 30.74 60.47% 0.475 0.8279 0.457
Erosion of Will 4428 30.52 52.42% 0.094 0.5021 0.138
Intensifying Exploitation 82 26.71 52.44% 0.614 1.0005 0.075
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1406 33.54 82.5% 1.216 0.6908 0.914
Memory Fades to Dust 4786 29.75 56.29% 0.403 0.8839 0.337
Power Corrodes the Spirit 5003 30.02 56.31% 0.561 0.8653 0.287
Promising Farmlands 4333 29.61 52.25% 0.534 1.1197 0.156
Shattered Fragments of Power 72 32.85 56.94% 0.582 0.7608 0.433
Slow Dissolution of Will 72 26.08 40.28% 0.037 0.5707 -0.429
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 913 34.36 86.75% 1.728 1.0502 1.086
The Border of Life and Death 16 19.63 56.25% 0.471 0.3412 -0.414
Thriving Communities 4915 29.5 54.97% 0.188 0.6806 0.255
Thriving Crops 25 27.6 60.0% 0.645 0.7333 0.175
Tipping Point 1 8.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.1422 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 5028 31.73 55.85% 0.308 0.6046 0.388
Untended Land Crumbles 4775 29.59 54.39% 0.596 0.9538 0.371

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 16421 69.29% 30.46 65.36% -0.13 0.7099 0.004
B 16543 69.17% 30.87 65.08% 0.01 0.7883 0.075
C 22386 72.49% 32.61 64.0% -0.053 0.6012 -0.041
D 14862 70.3% 29.94 65.09% -0.006 0.7931 0.019
E 14217 69.03% 30.64 65.2% -0.145 0.484 0.011
F 13897 69.9% 30.99 65.85% -0.162 0.5575 0.076
G 12836 69.96% 31.26 65.15% -0.138 0.6042 0.15
H 12180 69.4% 30.86 65.68% 0.168 0.8161 0.204
East 2857 65.59% 31.59 64.23% -0.086 0.5181 0.08
Northeast 1393 62.7% 32.7 62.02% -0.427 0.454 -0.945
Northwest 1253 62.42% 33.71 67.36% 0.483 1.1555 -0.094
Southeast 1249 61.37% 30.87 71.02% -0.475 0.1616 -0.127
Southwest 956 58.66% 30.79 65.69% -0.414 0.7502 0.034
West 2458 63.95% 31.95 63.02% -0.86 0.1039 -0.16

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 879 0.0% 16.56 77.13% 0.044 0.9271 -0.543
Not Using Events or Tokens 25 90.0% 18.96 52.0% 0.0 0.3319 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2225 30.07% 46.46 87.82% 0.459 -0.0757 1.732
Start of Game Growth 3041 34.26% 42.46 85.89% 0.293 -0.0373 0.589
Unlimited Undo 8434 65.48% 35.76 71.22% -0.537 -0.5594 0.255
Using Tokens but Not Events 6139 63.02% 22.38 72.78% -0.02 -0.0741 -1.054

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2853 100.0% 33.6 100.0% 0.474 0.3149 0.278
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1205 100.0% 28.84 100.0% -0.386 -0.264 -0.136
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1615 100.0% 31.48 100.0% 0.174 0.0066 0.193
Downpour Drenches the World 312 100.0% 33.66 100.0% -0.025 0.1539 0.472
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 159 100.0% 31.03 100.0% 0.303 -0.4187 0.138
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1697 100.0% 33.16 100.0% 0.141 -0.4481 0.366
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1756 100.0% 31.02 100.0% 0.177 -0.2943 -0.133
Finder of Paths Unseen 243 100.0% 32.19 100.0% -0.23 0.4646 0.264
Fractured Days Split the Sky 871 100.0% 35.6 100.0% 0.164 0.8488 -0.044
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 638 100.0% 33.31 100.0% 0.416 0.315 0.088
Heart of the Wildfire 3167 100.0% 28.06 100.0% -0.338 -0.0938 -0.905
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3002 100.0% 34.37 100.0% 0.7 0.2498 0.157
Lightning's Swift Strike 985 136.34% 28.52 128.53% 0.288 0.4912 -0.239
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 108 62.04% 36.36 71.3% 0.391 -0.3059 0.57
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 359 59.94% 31.6 67.69% -0.258 -0.4973 0.132
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 439 60.05% 35.74 69.48% 0.363 0.203 0.595
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2037 100.0% 32.59 100.0% 0.26 0.1148 -0.343
Many Minds Move as One 1465 100.0% 32.92 100.0% 0.773 0.5517 0.232
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1991 100.0% 35.12 100.0% -0.314 -0.3231 0.774
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1604 100.0% 30.77 100.0% 0.195 0.0532 -0.077
River Surges in Sunlight 1382 114.7% 33.45 113.82% 0.151 0.1538 0.059
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 417 60.92% 29.53 62.83% -0.368 -0.0983 -0.611
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 97 55.21% 34.03 62.89% 0.004 -0.1254 -0.044
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2039 100.0% 34.41 100.0% 0.191 -0.0223 -0.321
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 634 143.71% 27.2 139.91% -0.671 -0.2356 0.099
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 36 58.33% 29.81 52.78% -0.482 -0.4832 0.085
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 33 48.48% 34.88 72.73% -0.614 -0.6227 0.785
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 353 59.77% 31.24 65.44% -0.114 -0.1861 -0.032
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 252 58.4% 27.56 58.33% -0.866 -0.8075 0.505
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1766 101.59% 35.25 101.19% 0.245 0.1163 0.162
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 39 28.21% 20.46 46.15% -0.027 -0.3903 -1.2
Shifting Memory of Ages 581 100.0% 28.96 100.0% -0.154 0.2527 -0.39
Shroud of Silent Mist 768 100.0% 27.22 100.0% -0.568 -0.2534 0.159
Starlight Seeks its Form 776 100.0% 36.5 100.0% 0.623 0.3502 0.19
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6784 100.0% 29.51 100.0% -0.09 -0.5852 -0.329
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1405 100.0% 31.59 100.0% 0.112 0.1424 0.173
Thunderspeaker 1408 101.14% 32.09 100.57% -0.209 -0.2277 -0.341
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 20 20.0% 19.35 60.0% 0.204 0.1412 0.275
Vital Strength of the Earth 1069 112.63% 26.82 113.19% -0.21 0.3429 -0.622
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 88 64.77% 33.03 60.23% 0.379 0.6352 -0.214
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 304 65.79% 29.14 65.13% -0.593 0.304 -0.409
Volcano Looming High 1516 100.0% 29.95 100.0% -0.104 -0.0943 -0.159

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Fetid Breath Spreads Infection 77.68%
Fiery Vengeance 74.89%
Plaguebearers 90.55%
Strike Low With Sudden Fevers 97.66%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10715 21.03 1.48%
II 21924 31.04 30.46%
III 32533 34.74 86.03%
IV 17715 38.02 99.73%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 159
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 27747
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6598
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17584
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 819
Lose: Invader deck ran out 374
Lose: Adversary condition 8056
Win: Sacrifice victory 218
Lose: Scenario condition 718
Win: Scenario condition 189
Lose: Blight pool ran out 19467
Lose: Spirit destroyed 958

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.891 Win Model: -0.108

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.084 Win Model: 0.099
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 53954 81.15% 30.92 61.72%
2 16712 70.61% 29.52 63.95%
3 6367 64.22% 31.71 65.89%
4 5152 47.79% 33.55 73.47%
5 139 39.71% 28.5 82.01%
6 563 40.93% 34.0 73.89%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-29 03:49:58 (Pacific Time)