Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 33 36.36% 23.03 63.64% 0.345 0.2056 -0.498
Blitz 0 507 61.71% 25.65 58.58% 0.023 0.1344 -0.466
Dahan Insurrection 4 321 66.67% 36.04 43.3% -0.271 -0.5062 -0.666
Despicable Theft 2 103 65.05% 25.69 53.4% -0.074 0.5687 -0.406
Elemental Invocation 1 250 74.8% 27.24 60.4% -1.332 -0.5297 -1.006
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3227 34.32% 39.75 67.99% 0.785 0.0113 0.604
Powers Long Forgotten 1 178 77.53% 24.77 46.07% -0.244 0.529 -1.212
Rituals of Terror 3 194 73.2% 26.24 29.9% -0.195 -0.1787 -1.707
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 221 88.24% 29.14 50.23% -0.572 0.4846 -0.958
Second Wave 0 3310 57.71% 24.98 66.71% 0.297 0.3774 -0.072
The Great River 3 155 58.71% 24.16 36.13% -1.042 0.0867 -0.76
Varied Terrains 2 97 65.98% 22.97 42.27% -0.143 0.5487 -1.164
Ward the Shores 2 245 80.82% 23.85 27.35% -0.6 0.2628 -2.057

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 56730 80.34% 30.24 60.04% -0.006 0.1949 0.469
1 Thematic 2187 77.2% 27.92 58.21% 0.18 0.8997 -0.153
2 Archipelago 37 70.59% 31.3 64.86% 0.826 1.0804 0.591
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12620 71.55% 28.83 61.12% 0.088 0.0952 0.016
2 Coastline 1476 64.7% 28.6 65.92% 0.431 0.2255 0.278
2 Fragment 489 78.89% 35.09 63.6% 0.269 -0.008 0.838
2 Heart 234 74.79% 30.89 59.4% 0.703 0.4825 0.539
2 Opposite Shores 2635 61.1% 27.19 65.65% -0.258 -0.201 -0.565
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.285 0.9649 0.0
2 Thematic 897 69.8% 27.52 52.62% -0.435 0.0164 -1.079
2 Top to Top 394 76.53% 32.28 60.91% 0.826 0.7288 0.13
3 Archipelago 17 41.18% 33.76 76.47% -0.201 -0.9923 -0.667
3 Coastline 46 71.74% 29.35 63.04% -0.192 -0.7592 0.499
3 Other 333 57.45% 29.81 75.38% 1.062 1.0328 0.731
3 Round (Default) 6632 63.71% 30.88 63.25% -0.014 -0.2396 -0.229
3 Sunrise 41 73.17% 46.63 78.05% 0.0 -0.9848 0.909
3 Thematic 230 61.3% 29.39 56.96% -0.543 -0.3465 0.092
4 Archipelago 15 46.67% 32.53 66.67% 0.305 -0.8812 -0.501
4 Coastline 47 25.53% 28.6 82.98% 0.271 -0.3158 0.493
4 Leaf 36 52.78% 33.33 66.67% 0.446 -0.2525 -1.05
4 Other 327 40.67% 38.01 73.7% 0.616 -0.7416 -0.337
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 24.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.1795 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 27.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 857 48.13% 35.76 72.35% 0.07 -0.1287 -1.253
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4228 49.03% 31.87 71.81% 0.313 0.0692 -0.396
5 Archipelago 7 85.71% 36.71 71.43% 0.0 0.3165 -0.308
5 Coastline 9 11.11% 27.56 100.0% 0.0 0.1933 0.0
5 Other 289 44.37% 29.34 79.93% 0.014 -1.043 -0.08
5 Thematic 31 54.84% 32.87 74.19% 0.487 0.0083 0.487
6 Archipelago 24 17.39% 42.67 62.5% -0.655 -1.3916 0.801
6 Coastline 6 0.0% 21.67 33.33% -0.352 -0.5929 0.179
6 Other 82 53.09% 29.99 75.61% 0.288 -0.4486 0.295
6 Star 51 37.25% 26.53 60.78% -1.75 -1.8068 0.01
6 Thematic 237 52.14% 33.26 65.82% -0.502 0.2526 0.366
6 Two Centers (Default) 460 31.44% 31.04 65.65% -0.484 -1.0633 -1.452
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 16.5 50.0% -0.412 0.3648 0.0
7 Coastline 2 0.0% 11.0 0.0% -0.155 -0.1028 -0.367
7 Other 10 44.44% 27.7 80.0% -0.256 -0.6673 0.529

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4806 31.91 54.72% 1.001 1.1605 0.544
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3646 34.0 59.46% 1.025 0.9391 0.958
All Things Weaken 5333 29.78 52.33% 0.402 0.7436 0.496
Attenuated Essence 259 29.11 50.58% 0.861 0.9348 0.146
Back Against the Wall 3646 32.58 56.34% 0.432 0.5066 0.834
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 299 25.98 40.47% 0.725 0.916 -0.188
Burn Brightest Before the End 200 30.46 50.5% 0.94 1.0634 0.473
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4795 29.59 54.39% 0.456 0.8287 0.592
Downward Spiral 5300 30.37 59.55% 0.89 1.0268 0.689
Erosion of Will 4726 30.34 51.97% 0.618 0.913 0.394
Intensifying Exploitation 277 25.87 45.13% 0.479 0.7171 0.064
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1501 33.08 81.21% 0.802 0.2701 1.136
Memory Fades to Dust 5162 29.51 55.66% 0.725 1.0056 0.56
Power Corrodes the Spirit 5396 29.75 55.52% 0.682 0.8348 0.544
Promising Farmlands 4649 29.37 51.56% 0.606 0.9526 0.366
Shattered Fragments of Power 223 28.0 41.7% 0.351 0.5458 -0.075
Slow Dissolution of Will 248 27.41 43.55% 0.727 1.1779 -0.122
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 977 34.15 86.08% 1.968 1.2274 1.261
The Border of Life and Death 46 21.54 50.0% 0.707 0.2739 0.082
Thriving Communities 5318 29.07 54.12% 0.523 0.8213 0.464
Thriving Crops 122 25.6 56.56% 0.832 0.7296 0.266
Tipping Point 1 8.0 0.0% 0.0 0.5571 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 5378 31.59 55.69% 1.159 1.3045 0.622
Untended Land Crumbles 5127 29.24 53.46% 0.481 0.78 0.585

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 18350 68.28% 29.67 63.67% 0.238 1.2326 -0.029
B 18621 68.39% 30.09 63.01% 0.181 1.0989 0.035
C 24913 71.41% 31.73 62.12% 0.277 1.0197 -0.069
D 16663 69.26% 29.12 62.9% 0.005 0.9569 -0.027
E 15876 67.84% 29.81 63.2% 0.114 0.8945 -0.028
F 15624 68.59% 30.09 63.75% 0.092 0.9844 0.057
G 14337 68.82% 30.6 63.54% 0.223 1.0788 0.133
H 13661 68.31% 30.13 63.93% 0.192 1.0403 0.182
East 3161 64.17% 30.76 62.13% 0.185 0.954 -0.023
Northeast 1578 61.27% 31.51 59.7% -0.367 0.42 -0.962
Northwest 1432 60.94% 32.51 64.39% -0.018 0.966 -0.124
Southeast 1399 60.4% 30.46 68.48% -0.544 0.3301 -0.12
Southwest 1115 58.06% 29.99 62.69% -0.189 1.0188 0.1
West 2736 62.73% 31.05 60.93% -0.377 0.5572 -0.293

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 957 0.0% 16.18 75.44% -0.035 0.594 -0.477
Not Using Events or Tokens 31 83.33% 18.84 61.29% 0.687 1.1933 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2465 30.3% 45.51 84.95% 0.679 0.0439 1.573
Start of Game Growth 3520 35.63% 40.86 81.96% 0.468 0.0784 0.611
Unlimited Undo 9172 64.65% 34.8 69.36% -0.138 -0.0934 0.285
Using Tokens but Not Events 6731 62.03% 21.68 70.54% -0.318 -0.3452 -1.029

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 3130 100.0% 33.15 100.0% 0.416 0.2931 0.353
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1366 101.54% 27.38 100.66% -0.792 -0.5513 -0.181
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 39 46.15% 37.97 76.92% 0.948 -0.0529 1.177
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1767 100.0% 30.62 100.0% -0.451 -0.6783 0.26
Downpour Drenches the World 484 100.0% 29.28 100.0% -0.235 0.0899 0.373
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 365 100.0% 29.78 100.0% 0.372 -0.1278 0.105
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1871 100.0% 32.36 100.0% 0.182 -0.279 0.39
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1892 100.0% 30.71 100.0% 0.082 -0.3475 -0.038
Finder of Paths Unseen 394 100.0% 29.16 100.0% -0.574 0.2485 0.136
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1054 100.0% 34.19 100.0% -0.113 0.4842 -0.006
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 834 100.0% 30.92 100.0% -0.407 -0.4079 -0.055
Heart of the Wildfire 3604 100.0% 27.35 100.0% -0.407 -0.0228 -0.861
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3300 100.39% 33.97 100.21% -0.208 -0.7031 0.166
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 29 55.17% 28.9 75.86% 0.699 0.1516 0.1
Lightning's Swift Strike 1061 142.48% 27.52 135.72% -1.225 -1.0426 -0.177
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 184 59.78% 33.06 60.33% -0.216 -0.7528 0.145
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 401 59.65% 31.32 67.08% 1.04 0.7494 0.345
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 519 58.11% 34.06 66.47% -0.061 -0.2086 0.499
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2298 100.0% 31.6 100.0% -0.003 -0.2544 -0.277
Many Minds Move as One 1649 100.0% 31.91 100.0% 0.061 -0.096 0.217
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2204 100.0% 34.08 100.0% 0.157 0.1674 0.681
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1775 100.0% 29.95 100.0% -0.51 -0.6564 -0.072
River Surges in Sunlight 1489 117.93% 32.92 118.27% 0.582 0.6194 0.2
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 485 60.21% 28.02 60.41% 0.479 0.7392 -0.688
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 189 59.04% 31.84 57.67% 0.069 0.0188 -0.496
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2268 100.0% 33.95 100.0% 0.349 0.1743 -0.224
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 676 150.22% 26.68 146.6% -0.532 0.0807 0.045
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 60 65.0% 29.08 50.0% -0.283 -0.1797 -0.034
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 20 70.0% 22.6 45.0% -0.36 -0.9412 -0.43
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 57 51.79% 32.35 68.42% 0.385 0.4314 0.518
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 381 59.58% 30.91 64.83% 0.953 1.0341 0.196
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 292 54.14% 26.69 58.22% 0.741 0.9487 0.494
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1873 103.9% 34.53 102.72% -0.359 -0.2803 0.232
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 124 41.13% 28.4 58.87% 0.309 -0.0138 -0.907
Shifting Memory of Ages 836 100.0% 27.51 100.0% 0.071 0.3366 -0.272
Shroud of Silent Mist 1032 100.0% 25.63 100.0% -0.462 -0.0945 0.458
Starlight Seeks its Form 1061 100.0% 35.02 100.0% 0.565 0.3368 0.346
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 7297 100.0% 29.01 100.0% -0.084 -0.4408 -0.29
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1549 100.0% 31.27 100.0% -0.15 -0.0169 0.273
Thunderspeaker 1499 102.47% 31.57 102.4% -0.592 -0.5634 -0.299
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 70 47.14% 19.79 48.57% -0.623 -0.3834 -0.481
Vital Strength of the Earth 1145 116.04% 26.29 115.72% 0.333 0.8902 -0.594
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 134 60.45% 32.32 59.7% 0.315 0.7252 -0.098
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 352 62.57% 27.57 64.2% 0.436 1.1645 -0.428
Volcano Looming High 1941 100.0% 27.87 100.0% -0.806 -0.7868 -0.179
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 96 100.0% 32.9 100.0% 0.218 -0.3762 -0.304

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Fetid Breath Spreads Infection 78.1%
Fiery Vengeance 75.15%
Plaguebearers 90.7%
Strike Low With Sudden Fevers 97.72%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 13505 17.67 1.23%
II 24093 30.7 29.48%
III 35002 34.75 85.86%
IV 19148 38.22 99.75%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 166
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 29788
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7016
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 19006
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3187
Lose: Invader deck ran out 392
Lose: Adversary condition 8743
Win: Sacrifice victory 239
Lose: Scenario condition 777
Win: Scenario condition 205
Lose: Blight pool ran out 21154
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1075

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.515 Win Model: -0.129

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.204 Win Model: 0.27
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 59061 80.18% 30.14 59.93%
2 18810 69.76% 28.83 61.95%
3 7239 63.38% 30.89 63.75%
4 5557 48.22% 32.85 72.32%
5 218 41.78% 26.59 77.06%
6 863 38.67% 31.57 66.16%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-01-31 03:48:31 (Pacific Time)