Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 66 43.94% 22.74 54.55% 0.076 -0.4825 0.049
Blitz 0 616 57.42% 23.67 54.71% -0.131 0.2925 -0.819
Dahan Insurrection 4 366 64.48% 34.6 40.71% -0.273 -0.755 -0.569
Despicable Theft 2 155 63.23% 23.2 46.45% 0.508 1.0512 -0.661
Elemental Invocation 1 324 66.67% 24.65 54.94% -1.011 -0.2729 -1.063
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3707 34.68% 39.71 67.74% 0.753 0.0965 0.745
Powers Long Forgotten 1 228 68.86% 21.65 41.23% -0.658 -0.0958 -1.28
Rituals of Terror 3 226 69.47% 24.58 28.76% -0.784 -0.9261 -1.356
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 258 84.11% 27.55 46.51% -0.213 0.5362 -0.877
Second Wave 0 3844 57.01% 24.55 65.37% -0.144 -0.0493 0.016
The Great River 3 200 55.0% 21.02 31.0% -1.68 -0.4349 -0.894
Varied Terrains 2 181 65.19% 20.34 38.67% -1.754 -0.8855 -1.466
Ward the Shores 2 296 73.65% 21.37 25.34% -0.473 0.3818 -2.153

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 66497 78.85% 29.18 57.89% 0.354 0.7275 0.751
1 Thematic 2440 73.97% 26.7 55.78% 0.105 0.8195 0.135
2 Archipelago 55 76.92% 28.96 47.27% 0.0 0.5238 -0.055
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 15004 69.23% 27.82 59.55% 0.244 0.4052 0.221
2 Coastline 1806 63.67% 27.85 63.07% 0.587 0.3937 0.407
2 Fragment 601 71.17% 33.24 65.22% 0.641 0.5932 1.101
2 Heart 281 75.09% 30.9 57.3% -0.32 -0.5318 0.569
2 Opposite Shores 3239 60.48% 26.31 64.19% 0.58 0.7122 -0.153
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.4441 0.0
2 Thematic 1172 66.61% 25.65 48.46% -0.609 0.1114 -0.65
2 Top to Top 492 73.27% 31.32 60.16% 0.057 -0.0271 0.49
3 Archipelago 26 46.15% 31.0 73.08% 0.0 -0.5435 -0.558
3 Coastline 59 59.32% 27.12 59.32% 0.177 -0.4535 0.551
3 Other 375 57.72% 28.6 72.8% -0.287 -1.1632 0.826
3 Round (Default) 8304 62.42% 30.15 61.2% 0.106 0.0828 -0.059
3 Sunrise 52 73.08% 41.25 69.23% 0.0 -0.4466 0.836
3 Thematic 302 58.94% 26.18 52.98% -0.114 -0.1061 0.036
4 Archipelago 22 47.62% 26.32 50.0% 0.0 -0.1516 -0.398
4 Coastline 69 23.19% 27.68 79.71% 0.0 0.1293 -0.126
4 Leaf 45 55.56% 30.24 60.0% -0.647 -0.212 -1.289
4 Other 353 41.36% 37.0 73.94% 1.098 0.5296 -0.156
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 24.0 100.0% 0.0 0.446 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 27.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 951 47.36% 34.41 70.35% -0.183 -0.1199 -0.955
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4990 48.66% 30.77 69.12% -0.07 -0.0645 -0.298
5 Archipelago 12 66.67% 41.17 58.33% 0.0 -0.2088 0.269
5 Coastline 9 11.11% 27.56 100.0% 0.0 -1.0209 0.0
5 Other 379 43.58% 27.44 72.56% -0.016 -0.3401 -0.501
5 Thematic 48 52.08% 26.1 62.5% -0.284 -0.4269 0.037
6 Archipelago 35 17.65% 39.43 60.0% 0.0 -1.0381 0.86
6 Coastline 14 0.0% 24.07 35.71% 0.0 -1.0581 0.026
6 Other 128 44.88% 25.46 66.41% 0.207 0.1627 -0.383
6 Star 71 32.39% 24.41 57.75% -1.101 -0.4689 -0.181
6 Thematic 351 51.9% 31.18 59.54% 0.543 0.7466 0.104
6 Two Centers (Default) 674 31.49% 28.02 58.75% -1.067 -0.5925 -1.801
7 Archipelago 4 0.0% 8.25 25.0% 0.0 -0.3239 0.0
7 Coastline 2 0.0% 11.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.265
7 Other 15 35.71% 20.2 60.0% 0.103 -0.5727 0.124

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5390 31.65 54.25% 0.39 0.4609 0.768
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4054 33.69 59.0% 0.313 0.2032 1.129
All Things Weaken 5979 29.33 51.6% 0.766 0.943 0.719
Attenuated Essence 681 29.71 51.69% 0.719 0.7711 0.64
Back Against the Wall 4064 32.48 56.23% 0.686 0.6701 1.058
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 701 26.31 43.65% 0.124 0.3074 0.09
Burn Brightest Before the End 464 30.98 50.0% 0.826 0.913 0.532
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5356 29.3 53.72% 0.614 0.9053 0.767
Downward Spiral 6000 29.91 58.72% 0.625 0.7313 0.864
Erosion of Will 5300 30.15 52.0% 0.645 0.8111 0.586
Intensifying Exploitation 719 27.18 48.12% 0.35 0.5381 0.617
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1714 32.08 78.94% 0.994 0.5664 1.175
Memory Fades to Dust 5829 29.25 55.14% 0.638 0.8728 0.762
Power Corrodes the Spirit 6073 29.34 54.72% 0.463 0.559 0.736
Promising Farmlands 5282 28.98 51.04% 0.586 0.9506 0.538
Shattered Fragments of Power 525 28.76 44.57% 0.24 0.3051 0.302
Slow Dissolution of Will 648 25.97 38.58% -0.356 0.1074 0.211
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1115 33.24 84.3% 1.657 1.0562 1.418
The Border of Life and Death 130 28.45 64.62% 0.472 -0.0032 0.576
Thriving Communities 5977 28.64 53.42% 0.407 0.6326 0.637
Thriving Crops 283 27.73 58.3% 1.158 0.9336 0.51
Tipping Point 1 8.0 0.0% 0.0 0.1123 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 6050 31.26 54.98% 0.373 0.4948 0.797
Untended Land Crumbles 5807 28.55 52.3% 0.05 0.2827 0.73

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 22167 66.39% 28.52 61.19% -0.234 0.6846 -0.073
B 22492 66.73% 28.96 60.68% -0.019 0.8219 -0.02
C 29728 69.57% 30.48 59.7% -0.089 0.594 -0.116
D 19951 67.33% 28.08 60.62% -0.03 0.8124 -0.077
E 19177 66.21% 28.71 60.99% -0.184 0.468 -0.065
F 18815 66.92% 29.04 61.59% 0.046 0.8063 0.024
G 17173 66.99% 29.75 61.79% -0.09 0.6676 0.115
H 16350 66.47% 29.23 61.85% -0.071 0.6476 0.161
East 3814 62.0% 28.94 58.42% -0.138 0.6755 -0.258
Northeast 1991 59.31% 29.6 56.35% -0.428 0.2392 -0.728
Northwest 1768 59.09% 30.63 60.86% 0.543 1.3478 -0.078
Southeast 1672 58.18% 28.92 64.29% -0.334 0.3712 -0.051
Southwest 1393 55.24% 27.98 57.57% 0.105 1.4949 -0.013
West 3321 60.33% 28.97 57.0% -0.289 0.5045 -0.345

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1155 0.0% 15.87 73.16% -0.183 0.5357 -0.592
Not Using Events or Tokens 39 80.0% 16.67 58.97% -0.59 -0.1055 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2816 30.24% 44.96 82.67% 1.292 0.5611 1.463
Start of Game Growth 4114 35.63% 40.06 79.56% 0.819 0.3726 0.657
Unlimited Undo 10710 63.58% 33.65 66.97% 0.255 0.2222 0.272
Using Tokens but Not Events 8118 60.87% 20.52 67.37% -0.103 -0.2651 -0.97

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 3626 49.39% 32.14 71.7% 0.217 0.1105 0.454
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 169 49.7% 32.75 64.5% 1.481 0.9928 0.844
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1612 61.16% 26.44 61.66% -0.656 -0.5127 -0.096
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 181 53.59% 28.13 63.54% -0.071 -0.8197 0.503
Dances Up Earthquakes 36 72.22% 35.22 72.22% 0.968 0.7913 0.364
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2059 56.46% 29.58 66.59% 0.402 0.1948 0.148
Downpour Drenches the World 784 52.9% 25.88 52.93% 0.094 0.4142 0.282
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 672 54.03% 29.46 58.18% 0.949 0.5086 -0.198
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2126 50.61% 31.47 72.62% -0.326 -0.6692 0.318
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2205 51.57% 29.93 67.44% 0.763 0.4089 -0.087
Finder of Paths Unseen 622 51.37% 25.44 52.41% -0.864 -0.08 -0.023
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1300 50.12% 31.93 60.46% 0.106 0.5539 -0.055
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1223 58.2% 27.37 59.2% -0.642 -0.6656 -0.237
Heart of the Wildfire 4235 69.38% 26.0 52.85% -0.641 -0.3139 -0.895
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3704 54.06% 33.19 70.71% 0.159 -0.3365 0.198
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 191 48.42% 29.64 61.78% 0.829 0.2666 -0.239
Lightning's Swift Strike 1184 60.81% 26.93 64.44% 0.27 0.4682 -0.233
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 289 56.6% 33.33 60.21% -0.46 -0.9081 0.29
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 468 58.49% 30.26 64.53% -0.661 -0.9801 0.256
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 635 56.94% 32.76 64.25% 0.379 0.5042 0.416
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2808 58.0% 30.17 61.75% 0.167 0.0109 -0.251
Many Minds Move as One 1967 54.43% 30.67 71.12% 0.642 0.4351 0.207
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2667 58.41% 32.12 64.53% -0.388 -0.2582 0.636
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 56 67.86% 25.09 33.93% -0.857 -0.752 -0.126
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2042 59.1% 29.12 64.3% -0.095 -0.1449 -0.022
River Surges in Sunlight 1645 60.71% 31.97 66.57% 0.041 0.0738 0.137
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 58 44.83% 26.91 39.66% -0.714 -0.5055 -0.525
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 575 58.0% 27.15 59.83% -0.121 0.0305 -0.589
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 329 52.74% 30.96 56.23% -0.156 -0.1463 -0.497
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2684 51.26% 32.81 64.34% 0.144 0.0447 -0.077
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 28 46.43% 33.29 60.71% 0.273 -0.2179 0.407
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 736 58.36% 26.26 66.98% -0.362 0.1496 -0.058
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 88 57.95% 24.52 46.59% -0.65 -0.6936 -0.18
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 159 64.97% 30.3 50.31% -0.172 -0.6202 0.05
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 88 50.57% 29.59 61.36% 0.049 0.1075 0.458
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 466 60.86% 29.86 61.16% 0.348 0.1578 0.348
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 361 50.56% 25.78 59.56% 0.783 0.8665 0.393
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2127 51.63% 33.41 69.58% 0.116 0.0179 0.2
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 280 50.36% 31.51 57.86% 0.237 0.0427 -0.072
Shifting Memory of Ages 1124 56.94% 26.28 57.47% -0.299 0.0908 -0.309
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 159 51.9% 27.92 55.97% 0.446 0.3942 -0.252
Shroud of Silent Mist 1392 59.09% 23.38 56.11% -0.766 -0.3522 0.148
Starlight Seeks its Form 1474 57.3% 32.3 61.6% 0.081 0.041 0.274
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 8288 61.89% 28.38 62.45% 0.026 -0.4762 -0.345
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1784 55.71% 30.3 67.71% 0.267 0.3496 0.322
Thunderspeaker 1801 54.32% 30.14 66.13% -0.237 -0.2423 -0.236
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 144 49.65% 21.42 52.78% -0.166 0.223 -0.2
Towering Roots of the Jungle 257 57.2% 27.6 55.25% 0.032 0.2422 0.239
Vital Strength of the Earth 1328 52.43% 25.32 68.6% 0.652 1.1014 -0.682
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 249 58.63% 31.25 58.23% 0.047 0.5414 -0.096
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 419 61.2% 26.03 58.23% -0.923 -0.2304 -0.24
Volcano Looming High 2435 65.14% 26.57 54.37% -0.212 -0.1474 -0.206
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 464 54.55% 31.64 59.48% -0.397 -0.6456 -0.449

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Fetid Breath Spreads Infection 78.25%
Fiery Vengeance 75.22%
Plaguebearers 90.94%
Strike Low With Sudden Fevers 97.75%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 18540 14.25 1.04%
II 28299 30.3 28.88%
III 40138 34.84 85.69%
IV 21945 38.61 99.73%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 192
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 34101
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8076
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 21780
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7739
Lose: Invader deck ran out 446
Lose: Adversary condition 9860
Win: Sacrifice victory 273
Lose: Scenario condition 843
Win: Scenario condition 223
Lose: Blight pool ran out 24120
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1269

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.943 Win Model: -0.112

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.08 Win Model: 0.117
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 69187 78.58% 29.05 57.72%
2 22623 67.72% 27.86 60.3%
3 9038 62.13% 30.06 61.65%
4 6467 47.87% 31.66 69.82%
5 332 41.1% 24.34 65.36%
6 1275 37.24% 28.71 59.84%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)