Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 30 16.67% 30.27 56.67% -0.482 -0.6217 -0.523
Blitz 0 91 20.88% 34.69 54.95% 0.314 0.4247 0.164
Dahan Insurrection 4 57 26.32% 27.23 36.84% -1.362 -1.5975 -0.257
Despicable Theft 2 20 40.0% 24.25 55.0% -0.053 0.5904 0.453
Elemental Invocation 1 37 37.84% 14.78 32.43% -0.987 -0.1849 -0.82
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 414 14.98% 47.63 70.05% 1.163 0.389 0.624
Powers Long Forgotten 1 11 27.27% 9.73 18.18% -0.751 0.0214 -0.133
Rituals of Terror 3 21 23.81% 20.9 42.86% -0.458 -0.4419 -0.389
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 7 71.43% 28.57 42.86% -0.583 0.4735 0.505
Second Wave 0 274 34.33% 28.38 78.1% 0.558 0.638 -0.196
The Great River 3 23 34.78% 23.13 34.78% -0.579 0.55 -0.483
Varied Terrains 2 45 35.56% 22.89 42.22% -0.846 -0.1542 -0.344
Ward the Shores 2 23 13.04% 24.83 56.52% -0.293 0.5698 -0.033

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 4471 38.72% 28.95 58.51% 0.319 0.5197 -0.441
1 Thematic 238 27.85% 15.62 29.41% -1.16 -0.4408 -0.501
2 Archipelago 10 30.0% 40.0 90.0% 0.762 1.0164 0.374
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1283 36.21% 29.2 64.3% 0.335 0.3424 -0.543
2 Coastline 206 34.8% 27.62 63.11% -0.863 -1.0678 -0.174
2 Fragment 38 39.47% 39.87 92.11% 1.159 0.8815 1.789
2 Heart 33 48.48% 45.82 84.85% -0.484 -0.7044 1.977
2 Opposite Shores 319 29.87% 26.66 61.13% 0.031 0.088 -1.108
2 Thematic 77 23.68% 21.58 46.75% 0.302 0.7533 0.22
2 Top to Top 98 32.65% 28.89 52.04% 0.133 0.0357 0.322
3 Archipelago 2 50.0% 51.5 100.0% 0.0 -0.7914 0.0
3 Coastline 15 33.33% 31.73 60.0% 0.37 -0.1968 0.235
3 Other 39 53.85% 17.46 48.72% 0.006 -0.0229 -0.593
3 Round (Default) 1129 40.69% 30.77 60.67% 0.308 0.0819 -0.72
3 Sunrise 6 0.0% 22.0 83.33% 0.0 -0.9848 0.0
3 Thematic 23 43.48% 19.3 47.83% -0.176 0.0206 -0.415
4 Archipelago 12 66.67% 40.42 58.33% -0.455 -1.6408 -0.276
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.5864 0.0
4 Leaf 8 87.5% 44.38 87.5% -0.423 -1.1219 -0.245
4 Other 30 36.67% 25.87 80.0% 0.357 -1.0006 1.46
4 Thematic 30 36.67% 31.23 40.0% -0.037 -0.235 -0.294
4 Trapezoid (Default) 409 30.07% 29.3 67.73% 0.281 0.0375 -0.381
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 24.5 100.0% 0.209 0.5255 0.0
5 Coastline 4 0.0% 26.0 50.0% 0.122 0.3153 0.288
5 Other 66 37.88% 28.2 71.21% -0.144 -1.201 0.033
5 Thematic 6 66.67% 45.83 66.67% 0.102 -0.3766 0.857
6 Archipelago 9 22.22% 25.56 77.78% -0.298 -1.0346 0.0
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 9.0 50.0% 0.0 -0.2405 -0.255
6 Other 45 13.33% 28.67 71.11% -0.037 -0.7738 -0.044
6 Star 37 21.62% 23.59 72.97% 0.286 0.2292 -0.592
6 Thematic 188 13.37% 41.55 59.04% -0.015 0.739 -0.253
6 Two Centers (Default) 157 26.75% 31.2 67.52% 0.502 -0.0776 -0.673
7 Archipelago 4 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -1.014 -0.2375 0.0
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0521 -0.092
7 Other 4 25.0% 20.75 50.0% -0.448 -0.8595 0.024

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 157 31.48 50.32% 0.191 0.3511 0.277
Aid From Lesser Spirits 147 34.17 61.9% 0.17 0.0838 0.344
All Things Weaken 150 34.24 54.67% -0.447 -0.105 0.195
Attenuated Essence 143 33.78 44.76% -0.238 -0.164 0.546
Back Against the Wall 153 37.36 58.17% 0.171 0.2458 0.461
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 167 31.49 48.5% 0.325 0.5164 0.348
Burn Brightest Before the End 141 34.74 53.19% -0.034 0.0895 0.463
Disintegrating Ecosystem 137 35.26 54.74% -0.774 -0.4016 1.095
Downward Spiral 168 34.76 58.93% 0.305 0.4422 0.973
Erosion of Will 157 33.27 49.68% -0.089 0.2058 0.47
Intensifying Exploitation 167 32.46 52.69% -0.191 0.0474 0.336
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 74 34.38 66.22% 0.382 -0.1502 0.657
Memory Fades to Dust 161 32.55 57.76% 0.049 0.33 0.528
Power Corrodes the Spirit 163 29.75 48.47% -0.529 -0.3754 0.294
Promising Farmlands 171 31.3 51.46% -0.513 -0.167 0.066
Shattered Fragments of Power 154 32.47 53.25% -0.135 0.0599 0.36
Slow Dissolution of Will 161 34.02 54.04% 0.023 0.4743 0.708
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 51 34.27 74.51% 0.458 -0.2825 -0.247
The Border of Life and Death 52 37.21 76.92% 1.541 1.1081 0.909
Thriving Communities 179 30.15 47.49% 0.28 0.5781 0.398
Thriving Crops 90 28.89 54.44% 0.125 0.0228 0.34
Unnatural Proliferation 153 35.56 49.67% 0.047 0.1923 0.459
Untended Land Crumbles 174 33.39 54.6% -0.049 0.2507 0.643

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 2066 35.41% 29.15 62.58% 0.573 1.5674 0.054
B 2397 36.22% 29.63 62.29% 0.124 1.0421 -0.047
C 2243 34.84% 29.54 63.26% 0.239 0.9816 -0.031
D 1847 35.83% 27.88 62.7% 0.077 1.0288 0.063
E 1901 35.57% 29.76 62.49% 0.276 1.0571 0.487
F 1907 36.33% 28.78 61.62% -0.015 0.8779 -0.067
G 1626 38.0% 28.75 60.15% -0.292 0.5632 -0.213
H 1778 35.44% 30.97 65.8% 0.031 0.8789 0.12
East 379 21.01% 32.76 52.77% -1.348 -0.5785 -0.802
Northeast 287 20.98% 36.26 56.79% 0.925 1.7126 0.356
Northwest 346 21.74% 28.53 42.77% 0.28 1.2637 0.059
Southeast 253 17.2% 38.6 57.31% -0.029 0.8453 0.27
Southwest 264 18.7% 36.6 56.44% -0.458 0.75 0.588
West 461 24.18% 26.84 42.3% -0.355 0.5789 -0.857

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 35 0.0% 16.74 60.0% -1.105 -0.4754 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 225 9.95% 48.14 79.11% 1.103 0.4675 0.676
Start of Game Growth 599 32.08% 47.05 64.61% 0.494 0.105 1.111
Unlimited Undo 958 31.73% 29.32 59.92% -0.028 0.0162 -0.017
Using Tokens but Not Events 630 14.12% 23.92 70.79% -0.023 -0.0502 -0.651

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 324 100.0% 25.96 100.0% 0.412 0.289 -0.338
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 84 129.76% 26.23 108.33% -0.276 -0.0349 -0.699
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 34 26.47% 37.29 79.41% 0.779 -0.2222 0.452
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 183 100.0% 28.67 100.0% 0.526 0.2994 -0.038
Downpour Drenches the World 174 100.0% 31.28 100.0% -0.211 0.1143 0.374
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 919 100.0% 33.48 100.0% 0.058 -0.4413 0.51
Eyes Watch From the Trees 216 100.0% 30.61 100.0% 0.293 -0.1675 -0.138
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 199 100.0% 39.11 100.0% 0.34 -0.0891 0.201
Finder of Paths Unseen 98 100.0% 26.02 100.0% -0.804 0.0187 -0.148
Fractured Days Split the Sky 115 100.0% 28.89 100.0% -0.423 0.1743 0.152
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 203 100.0% 27.85 100.0% 0.151 0.1498 -0.3
Heart of the Wildfire 110 100.0% 31.31 100.0% 0.142 0.5259 0.081
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 510 108.82% 37.43 106.08% 0.649 0.1539 0.499
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 69 34.78% 33.25 55.07% 0.004 -0.5424 0.071
Lightning's Swift Strike 76 468.42% 25.37 339.47% 1.159 1.3417 1.088
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 202 38.61% 35.47 58.91% -0.106 -0.6426 -0.023
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 127 35.43% 30.98 62.99% -1.275 -1.5664 0.53
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 112 33.93% 27.95 53.57% 0.293 0.1454 0.319
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 547 100.0% 33.53 100.0% -0.304 -0.5555 -0.585
Many Minds Move as One 717 100.0% 25.85 100.0% -0.066 -0.2233 0.121
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 250 100.0% 32.65 100.0% 0.159 0.1699 0.191
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 199 100.0% 29.12 100.0% -0.338 -0.4843 -0.26
River Surges in Sunlight 102 259.8% 28.5 194.12% 0.38 0.4176 -0.748
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 89 29.21% 26.61 56.18% -0.695 -0.4356 -0.45
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 166 39.76% 36.11 65.66% 0.458 0.407 0.217
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 280 100.0% 33.46 100.0% 0.297 0.1229 -0.252
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 24 588.0% 31.67 337.5% -0.205 0.4071 0.023
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 49 29.17% 33.55 69.39% -0.203 -0.099 0.385
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 27 33.33% 40.96 74.07% 0.291 -0.2903 0.162
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 48 22.92% 25.9 70.83% -0.365 -0.319 0.008
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 37 48.65% 21.22 59.46% -0.605 -0.5247 -0.547
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 19 26.32% 26.32 68.42% -0.873 -0.6646 -0.093
Shifting Memory of Ages 176 100.0% 29.71 100.0% 0.378 0.6428 0.245
Shroud of Silent Mist 101 100.0% 18.32 100.0% -1.747 -1.3795 -0.89
Starlight Seeks its Form 290 100.0% 32.04 100.0% 0.683 0.4553 0.158
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 300 100.0% 33.35 100.0% 0.012 -0.3443 -0.11
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 155 100.0% 29.46 100.0% -0.162 -0.0289 0.303
Thunderspeaker 163 261.21% 28.57 188.96% 0.084 0.1127 -0.948
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 395 32.32% 30.11 63.29% -0.325 -0.0853 0.344
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 124 100.0% 28.4 100.0% -0.09 0.1009 -0.344
Vital Strength of the Earth 64 228.79% 18.7 196.88% 0.56 1.1175 -0.134
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 105 39.81% 28.29 58.1% -0.036 0.3741 -0.391
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 39 41.03% 21.44 53.85% -0.016 0.7121 -0.129
Volcano Looming High 146 100.0% 29.28 100.0% 0.687 0.7065 0.327
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 68 100.0% 30.35 100.0% 0.232 -0.362 0.681

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Prey on the Builders 92.07%
Teeth Gleam from Darkness 95.75%
Terrifying Chase 75.81%
Too Near the Jungle 93.14%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2712 17.67 6.82%
II 2932 30.7 70.46%
III 2604 34.75 91.97%
IV 754 38.22 99.34%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 185
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2372
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2051
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 748
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2305
Lose: Invader deck ran out 37
Lose: Adversary condition 467
Win: Sacrifice victory 5
Lose: Scenario condition 55
Win: Scenario condition 34
Lose: Blight pool ran out 721
Lose: Spirit destroyed 22

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.603 Win Model: -0.159

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.004 Win Model: -0.07
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 4739 38.14% 28.21 56.89%
2 2049 34.74% 28.96 63.59%
3 1216 40.66% 30.26 60.77%
4 480 32.92% 29.62 67.08%
5 76 35.53% 28.76 67.11%
6 442 19.05% 34.29 64.25%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-01-31 03:48:31 (Pacific Time)