Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 42 21.43% 29.48 52.38% -0.257 -0.2414 -0.785
Blitz 0 138 26.81% 32.54 52.9% -0.02 0.268 -0.097
Dahan Insurrection 4 80 23.75% 28.13 37.5% -1.481 -1.6576 -0.851
Despicable Theft 2 53 26.42% 21.17 43.4% -1.769 -0.9076 -0.225
Elemental Invocation 1 64 32.81% 12.77 29.69% -1.182 -0.2494 -0.95
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 633 14.85% 51.49 72.67% 1.058 0.411 0.899
Powers Long Forgotten 1 23 26.09% 7.87 13.04% -0.712 0.2335 -0.202
Rituals of Terror 3 26 23.08% 21.69 46.15% 0.004 0.08 -0.369
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 16 43.75% 17.0 25.0% -0.934 0.181 0.283
Second Wave 0 442 32.57% 27.81 76.02% 0.404 0.4342 -0.143
The Great River 3 35 28.57% 23.34 40.0% -0.446 0.9797 -0.399
Varied Terrains 2 67 29.85% 26.45 50.75% 0.343 1.1177 -0.033
Ward the Shores 2 41 14.63% 16.61 36.59% -1.809 -0.7646 -0.001

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 6773 38.77% 29.14 57.54% -0.01 0.2503 -0.086
1 Thematic 310 25.57% 15.69 30.32% -0.796 -0.3303 -0.462
2 Archipelago 16 37.5% 36.69 75.0% 0.032 0.5054 -0.188
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1980 34.71% 27.45 61.41% -0.295 -0.1101 -0.345
2 Coastline 325 38.39% 27.81 61.23% 0.515 0.498 -0.041
2 Fragment 59 33.9% 34.53 84.75% 0.882 0.5652 1.893
2 Heart 41 43.9% 41.78 82.93% 0.639 0.5447 2.24
2 Opposite Shores 463 29.5% 29.49 65.44% 0.721 0.6816 -0.421
2 Thematic 137 25.74% 20.31 44.53% -0.397 -0.11 -0.268
2 Top to Top 131 32.06% 27.73 50.38% 0.053 0.0089 0.352
3 Archipelago 4 50.0% 44.0 100.0% 0.59 -0.5496 0.0
3 Coastline 19 36.84% 31.37 57.89% 0.0 -0.7498 -0.012
3 Other 57 43.86% 21.25 54.39% 0.253 -0.2101 -0.222
3 Round (Default) 1771 41.7% 31.17 61.55% 0.023 -0.1964 -0.307
3 Sunrise 6 0.0% 22.0 83.33% 0.0 0.0754 0.0
3 Thematic 45 46.67% 26.29 51.11% 0.346 0.0533 0.235
4 Archipelago 12 66.67% 40.42 58.33% 0.0 0.193 -0.225
4 Coastline 4 25.0% 66.5 100.0% 0.0 -0.3597 0.0
4 Leaf 12 83.33% 35.42 66.67% -0.061 -0.1698 -0.405
4 Other 34 41.18% 29.18 82.35% 0.0 -0.2566 1.648
4 Thematic 61 40.98% 32.31 34.43% -0.576 -0.3232 -0.487
4 Trapezoid (Default) 676 30.36% 28.96 66.72% -0.106 0.1086 -0.289
5 Archipelago 13 53.85% 20.46 23.08% -0.803 -0.5295 -1.184
5 Coastline 7 0.0% 27.0 71.43% 0.146 0.0411 0.199
5 Other 102 29.41% 26.67 72.55% 0.495 -0.0701 -0.18
5 Thematic 13 30.77% 39.77 46.15% -0.22 -0.6403 0.015
6 Archipelago 11 18.18% 25.18 72.73% -0.142 -1.0748 0.0
6 Coastline 3 0.0% 20.67 66.67% 0.0 -0.7976 -0.353
6 Other 78 15.38% 25.76 61.54% -1.107 -0.6815 -0.193
6 Star 42 21.43% 25.88 76.19% 0.467 0.5799 -0.724
6 Thematic 292 13.06% 45.64 64.04% -0.71 -0.6086 -0.204
6 Two Centers (Default) 243 27.57% 29.95 67.9% -0.135 -0.3923 -0.544
7 Archipelago 4 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.0709 0.0
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.314 -0.114
7 Other 5 40.0% 28.0 60.0% 0.204 -0.8121 0.635

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 247 32.3 53.04% -0.036 0.1393 0.517
Aid From Lesser Spirits 217 34.59 59.91% -0.003 -0.0566 0.466
All Things Weaken 241 33.58 53.53% 0.247 0.5406 0.194
Attenuated Essence 229 34.29 45.85% -0.157 -0.0732 0.459
Back Against the Wall 216 35.61 54.17% -0.093 -0.0451 0.313
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 250 30.06 46.8% -0.275 -0.0719 0.15
Burn Brightest Before the End 215 33.77 51.63% 0.117 0.3043 0.251
Disintegrating Ecosystem 218 31.43 49.54% -0.108 0.3006 0.601
Downward Spiral 265 33.02 57.36% -0.169 -0.0415 0.796
Erosion of Will 251 31.82 47.01% -0.561 -0.2777 0.281
Intensifying Exploitation 259 31.61 50.97% -0.105 0.1429 0.288
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 115 35.09 67.83% 0.249 -0.2666 0.783
Memory Fades to Dust 236 32.05 55.51% -0.02 0.2167 0.149
Power Corrodes the Spirit 245 31.6 51.43% 0.174 0.392 0.428
Promising Farmlands 253 28.78 45.45% -0.398 -0.1036 -0.2
Shattered Fragments of Power 239 34.1 52.72% -0.18 0.0212 0.529
Slow Dissolution of Will 246 33.13 49.19% -0.243 0.141 0.322
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 76 34.71 71.05% -0.251 -0.8319 -0.067
The Border of Life and Death 79 34.84 70.89% 0.013 -0.5045 0.526
Thriving Communities 254 31.49 50.39% 0.372 0.7108 0.275
Thriving Crops 114 27.91 51.75% -0.712 -0.7546 -0.163
Unnatural Proliferation 255 35.31 55.29% 0.36 0.5007 0.349
Untended Land Crumbles 256 33.21 51.95% -0.168 0.2805 0.522

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 3168 36.44% 29.17 61.9% 0.227 1.0889 0.135
B 3676 36.41% 28.98 60.77% 0.318 1.1351 -0.104
C 3343 34.31% 29.12 62.7% 0.303 0.9823 0.169
D 2850 35.55% 27.66 62.11% 0.169 0.9735 0.206
E 3074 37.01% 29.84 61.45% 0.58 1.2484 0.488
F 2891 36.01% 28.42 60.6% 0.238 1.0368 0.122
G 2528 37.39% 29.16 61.47% 0.258 1.0838 -0.091
H 2710 34.13% 30.75 64.39% 0.265 1.0379 0.21
East 616 21.37% 33.94 52.27% -1.541 -0.6954 -0.999
Northeast 452 19.73% 39.08 58.63% 0.249 1.0199 0.778
Northwest 506 19.8% 33.57 48.42% -0.807 0.0006 -0.309
Southeast 413 18.29% 39.92 57.14% -0.553 0.3161 -0.28
Southwest 433 20.42% 38.51 57.97% 0.404 1.6859 0.545
West 707 23.69% 30.26 46.39% -0.105 0.8914 -0.906

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 72 0.0% 27.18 79.17% 0.935 1.7303 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 396 9.46% 48.37 81.31% 1.14 0.5254 0.475
Start of Game Growth 1142 30.66% 46.98 65.76% 0.452 -0.1295 1.378
Unlimited Undo 1592 28.74% 30.0 64.2% 0.188 0.232 0.134
Using Tokens but Not Events 1135 17.12% 26.25 72.51% 0.729 0.6707 0.513

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 471 26.38% 24.89 56.26% -0.537 -0.6803 -0.766
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 34 23.53% 28.59 67.65% 0.227 -0.4856 0.841
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 102 35.29% 25.33 61.76% -0.234 0.0298 -0.986
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 78 30.77% 36.68 76.92% -0.152 -0.961 1.057
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 329 28.34% 28.29 65.05% -0.467 -0.6312 -0.673
Downpour Drenches the World 287 31.71% 30.88 63.41% 0.366 0.639 0.485
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1121 35.3% 32.47 67.62% 0.178 -0.249 0.287
Eyes Watch From the Trees 335 26.27% 30.5 74.93% 0.139 -0.2206 -0.066
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 335 19.46% 39.6 73.43% 0.028 -0.4163 0.287
Finder of Paths Unseen 155 35.48% 24.58 50.97% -0.808 -0.1198 -0.516
Fractured Days Split the Sky 185 17.84% 30.18 62.16% -0.008 0.5808 0.126
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 327 39.14% 28.44 57.19% 0.158 0.0939 -0.072
Heart of the Wildfire 181 41.67% 30.28 60.77% -0.296 0.0315 0.011
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 757 34.97% 39.38 65.13% 0.388 0.0927 0.646
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 212 31.75% 35.32 63.68% -0.248 -0.6186 0.386
Lightning's Swift Strike 125 29.6% 24.52 76.0% 0.07 0.4104 0.308
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 323 37.15% 37.45 56.66% -0.721 -1.1944 -0.148
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 157 30.57% 31.1 63.06% -0.111 -0.4712 0.936
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 162 37.04% 30.9 56.79% 0.071 0.0776 0.672
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 847 31.44% 34.8 61.39% -0.141 -0.4357 -0.763
Many Minds Move as One 1177 27.4% 27.19 59.81% -0.235 -0.3807 0.077
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 436 32.18% 35.34 60.55% -0.067 -0.1253 0.151
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 314 40.06% 29.22 70.7% -0.497 -0.6613 0.172
River Surges in Sunlight 161 27.92% 28.27 76.4% 1.074 1.1724 -0.624
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 44 34.09% 27.05 63.64% -0.176 -0.3117 -0.524
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 136 29.41% 26.29 58.09% -0.319 0.1572 -0.224
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 247 37.25% 35.21 65.99% 0.737 0.7023 0.444
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 385 28.46% 33.58 58.44% 0.861 0.6059 -0.159
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 36 38.89% 28.22 66.67% -0.319 0.2024 0.009
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 76 28.0% 29.25 64.47% 0.491 0.6319 -0.09
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 110 32.73% 36.45 66.36% -0.023 -0.6011 -0.221
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 61 24.59% 25.92 68.85% 0.306 0.6566 0.155
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 58 39.66% 19.4 51.72% -0.415 -0.4309 -0.919
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 25 40.0% 27.92 72.0% 0.141 0.3903 -0.074
Shifting Memory of Ages 274 33.7% 29.47 63.87% 0.696 1.0404 -0.085
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 41 36.59% 25.32 43.9% -0.618 -0.9275 0.396
Shroud of Silent Mist 151 37.09% 21.46 51.66% 0.693 1.024 -0.63
Starlight Seeks its Form 469 30.04% 30.64 67.16% -0.778 -0.9526 0.358
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 452 31.78% 33.9 67.26% 0.076 -0.6332 -0.095
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 243 28.81% 28.33 69.55% 0.429 0.6409 0.183
Thunderspeaker 227 28.44% 27.19 60.35% -0.673 -0.6934 -0.364
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 461 31.37% 29.37 62.04% -0.257 -0.0593 0.348
Towering Roots of the Jungle 78 17.95% 28.78 58.97% -0.075 -0.1031 -0.575
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 187 50.0% 31.77 58.82% -0.59 -0.5241 -0.063
Vital Strength of the Earth 114 37.72% 18.34 74.56% 1.372 1.9059 -0.16
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 153 36.42% 29.71 62.09% 0.454 1.0213 -0.28
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 51 39.22% 24.27 56.86% 0.058 0.8169 0.266
Volcano Looming High 248 45.56% 28.95 61.29% -0.222 -0.0847 -0.11
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 211 27.75% 30.64 65.4% 0.071 -0.24 0.531

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Prey on the Builders 91.91%
Teeth Gleam from Darkness 95.86%
Terrifying Chase 75.99%
Too Near the Jungle 93.39%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4174 15.74 6.97%
II 4479 30.48 68.9%
III 3936 34.79 91.84%
IV 1161 38.41 99.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 291
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3587
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3056
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1154
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3612
Lose: Invader deck ran out 57
Lose: Adversary condition 711
Win: Sacrifice victory 15
Lose: Scenario condition 74
Win: Scenario condition 45
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1107
Lose: Spirit destroyed 41

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.398 Win Model: -0.161

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.04 Win Model: 0.104
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 7136 38.09% 28.43 56.1%
2 3124 34.15% 28.07 62.07%
3 1900 41.49% 30.97 61.58%
4 803 33.42% 29.25 64.01%
5 119 28.57% 26.42 67.23%
6 668 19.04% 36.01 66.17%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)