Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 76 25.0% 28.78 56.58% -0.077 0.114 -0.26
Blitz 0 229 26.2% 29.83 50.66% -0.209 0.0087 0.116
Dahan Insurrection 4 126 22.22% 29.04 38.89% -0.169 -0.4222 -0.592
Despicable Theft 2 84 32.14% 22.95 47.62% -0.018 0.5686 -0.206
Elemental Invocation 1 103 36.89% 18.95 38.83% -0.295 0.4443 -0.139
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1035 14.2% 52.35 72.75% 1.774 1.2125 0.973
Powers Long Forgotten 1 55 36.36% 11.75 21.82% -1.199 -0.4392 -0.427
Rituals of Terror 3 42 33.33% 23.55 50.0% 0.151 0.2716 -0.491
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 28 28.57% 18.86 32.14% -0.69 0.2169 0.006
Second Wave 0 828 35.58% 28.55 74.03% 0.546 0.6846 0.651
The Great River 3 65 36.92% 27.23 50.77% -0.058 1.0421 -0.594
Varied Terrains 2 101 33.66% 25.52 49.5% -0.354 0.4216 -0.054
Ward the Shores 2 83 24.1% 18.14 38.55% -0.982 0.0928 -0.277

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 10873 36.86% 28.67 57.03% 0.88 1.2129 0.328
1 Thematic 467 27.74% 20.26 37.69% 0.348 1.0342 -0.325
2 Archipelago 24 45.83% 30.5 62.5% 0.0 0.6076 -0.599
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3302 36.24% 27.59 61.08% 0.808 0.9276 0.066
2 Coastline 503 36.73% 27.9 63.02% 0.628 0.5561 0.182
2 Fragment 97 31.96% 30.24 75.26% -0.008 -0.193 1.625
2 Heart 62 41.94% 40.05 79.03% -0.224 -0.3811 2.081
2 Opposite Shores 739 35.1% 28.15 62.38% 0.496 0.6469 -0.105
2 Thematic 234 26.72% 21.54 44.87% -0.285 0.2233 -0.549
2 Top to Top 182 36.81% 28.38 51.1% 0.01 -0.0485 0.372
3 Archipelago 15 40.0% 35.13 53.33% -0.691 -1.6428 -0.693
3 Coastline 32 40.63% 32.03 65.63% 0.295 -0.1149 0.393
3 Other 74 39.19% 20.74 54.05% -0.55 -1.3208 0.266
3 Round (Default) 2765 40.68% 30.45 61.88% 0.382 0.2913 -0.342
3 Sunrise 10 10.0% 31.3 80.0% -0.204 -0.2997 0.0
3 Thematic 120 41.67% 28.07 58.33% 0.856 0.8764 1.344
4 Archipelago 14 64.29% 43.21 57.14% -0.14 -0.6697 -0.145
4 Coastline 8 25.0% 44.13 75.0% -0.199 -0.2846 -0.377
4 Leaf 18 83.33% 31.67 55.56% 0.0 -0.1615 -0.169
4 Other 60 38.98% 28.78 71.67% 0.261 -0.4496 0.555
4 Thematic 141 39.72% 32.96 42.55% -0.614 -0.4916 -0.627
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1090 31.03% 28.62 65.87% -0.067 -0.07 -0.124
5 Archipelago 13 53.85% 20.46 23.08% 0.381 0.3504 -1.301
5 Coastline 14 35.71% 29.71 78.57% -0.643 -0.7891 0.047
5 Other 188 27.66% 27.95 72.87% -0.173 -0.6872 0.321
5 Thematic 23 26.09% 38.96 47.83% -0.387 -0.4445 0.171
6 Archipelago 15 13.33% 25.33 66.67% -0.296 -1.3344 0.0
6 Coastline 6 0.0% 42.5 83.33% 0.102 -0.8575 0.016
6 Other 152 14.47% 24.38 61.84% 0.226 0.1226 -0.804
6 Star 83 16.87% 27.47 74.7% 0.094 0.0804 -0.922
6 Thematic 583 14.97% 44.55 61.75% -0.724 -0.438 -0.4
6 Two Centers (Default) 371 24.53% 26.36 62.53% -0.958 -0.4253 -0.74
7 Archipelago 10 10.0% 15.5 20.0% 0.0 0.0647 0.328
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.157
7 Other 8 50.0% 29.13 62.5% 0.369 -0.1897 0.246

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 384 32.21 51.3% 0.02 0.2714 0.43
Aid From Lesser Spirits 333 34.7 58.56% 0.098 0.0402 0.548
All Things Weaken 394 33.09 53.55% 0.222 0.557 0.178
Attenuated Essence 378 34.48 51.59% 0.337 0.3706 0.778
Back Against the Wall 330 35.21 54.55% -0.056 -0.0214 0.411
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 400 29.55 46.25% -0.85 -0.6329 0.17
Burn Brightest Before the End 346 33.72 54.91% 0.906 0.9164 0.455
Disintegrating Ecosystem 359 30.33 48.75% -0.149 0.1956 0.461
Downward Spiral 421 31.58 54.16% -0.165 -0.0481 0.541
Erosion of Will 384 31.78 49.74% -0.069 0.2055 0.364
Intensifying Exploitation 411 31.21 53.28% -0.052 0.159 0.356
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 173 35.53 69.36% 0.533 -0.0398 0.811
Memory Fades to Dust 409 31.4 51.83% -0.041 0.211 0.175
Power Corrodes the Spirit 371 31.96 52.29% -0.105 0.0992 0.424
Promising Farmlands 365 29.6 47.95% -0.27 -0.0162 0.073
Shattered Fragments of Power 352 33.83 51.42% -0.258 -0.1836 0.5
Slow Dissolution of Will 403 31.66 47.39% 0.085 0.4659 0.271
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 125 35.02 71.2% 0.596 -0.0782 0.362
The Border of Life and Death 140 35.77 70.71% 0.981 0.3806 0.806
Thriving Communities 402 30.47 50.75% -0.219 0.0629 0.309
Thriving Crops 182 27.52 50.55% 0.059 -0.0817 -0.088
Unnatural Proliferation 403 34.22 53.35% -0.107 0.0964 0.446
Untended Land Crumbles 395 31.72 50.38% 0.105 0.2951 0.43

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 5090 35.59% 28.43 61.2% 0.137 1.1354 0.089
B 6072 35.65% 28.61 59.75% 0.399 1.3217 -0.155
C 5240 34.25% 28.84 62.39% 0.069 0.7984 0.033
D 4563 34.96% 27.05 60.92% -0.056 0.9033 -0.034
E 5087 35.14% 28.92 60.39% 0.143 0.9619 0.287
F 4577 35.07% 28.27 61.92% 0.125 1.0069 0.071
G 4064 36.83% 28.36 60.43% -0.015 0.81 -0.103
H 4370 34.13% 29.9 63.43% -0.023 0.8155 0.158
East 1218 23.51% 35.41 54.27% 0.007 0.8815 -0.25
Northeast 902 21.8% 38.64 56.76% 0.205 0.9572 0.15
Northwest 923 20.85% 35.77 51.46% -1.049 -0.1571 -0.236
Southeast 834 19.78% 40.49 58.75% -0.13 0.7093 -0.138
Southwest 871 20.99% 38.29 57.29% 0.172 1.4768 0.617
West 1302 24.42% 32.71 50.61% -0.011 0.9385 -0.529

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 198 0.0% 30.59 82.83% 0.212 0.9408 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 743 8.65% 44.27 76.99% 0.72 0.1169 0.85
Start of Game Growth 2036 27.97% 44.63 64.34% -0.255 -0.7593 1.054
Unlimited Undo 2696 26.6% 30.34 65.28% 0.247 0.1397 0.252
Using Tokens but Not Events 1902 18.25% 27.66 72.4% 0.483 0.4529 0.257

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 673 24.7% 25.81 58.84% 0.227 0.1326 -0.858
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 292 20.89% 30.87 63.7% 0.46 -0.0159 -0.246
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 188 26.6% 21.46 55.85% -0.073 0.0393 -1.076
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 166 29.52% 31.4 69.28% 0.278 -0.5352 0.683
Dances Up Earthquakes 154 45.45% 27.14 47.4% -0.356 -0.3654 -0.324
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 550 29.05% 28.74 66.73% 0.16 0.0199 -0.399
Downpour Drenches the World 514 29.38% 27.88 58.37% -0.068 0.1599 0.024
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1408 36.09% 31.58 65.98% -0.238 -0.8079 0.251
Eyes Watch From the Trees 529 27.6% 29.41 73.16% 0.372 -0.0156 0.013
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 569 17.96% 39.92 73.99% 0.376 -0.0176 0.06
Finder of Paths Unseen 286 32.17% 23.15 50.0% -0.752 -0.0239 0.01
Fractured Days Split the Sky 271 22.51% 28.77 60.15% 0.138 0.779 -0.053
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 514 36.38% 25.58 53.7% -0.027 -0.1609 0.297
Heart of the Wildfire 305 43.38% 31.16 63.28% -0.294 0.0357 0.274
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1248 31.18% 39.58 64.82% 0.455 0.0318 0.652
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 426 31.6% 30.97 61.74% 0.163 -0.1434 0.023
Lightning's Swift Strike 233 27.83% 24.39 70.39% -0.114 0.1241 -0.04
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 421 35.63% 39.61 58.91% 0.545 0.1376 0.133
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 186 27.57% 30.87 64.52% 1.194 0.8752 1.091
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 272 34.19% 30.61 60.29% -0.705 -0.7861 0.754
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1392 29.37% 35.46 61.42% -0.333 -0.5253 -0.416
Many Minds Move as One 1992 28.74% 28.0 61.24% -0.099 -0.315 0.194
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 747 28.49% 37.87 63.59% -0.636 -0.4965 0.323
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 180 35.56% 31.07 63.33% 0.035 0.1154 0.356
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 452 35.35% 29.08 69.69% 0.514 0.4353 0.105
River Surges in Sunlight 269 31.3% 29.84 71.75% 0.513 0.6386 -0.364
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 143 31.69% 29.94 61.54% 0.054 0.2321 -0.231
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 243 30.29% 28.47 55.97% -0.64 -0.3613 -1.175
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 358 34.83% 33.46 65.08% -0.047 -0.1695 0.356
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 593 27.46% 32.08 59.87% -0.243 -0.3704 -0.143
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 87 31.03% 34.1 66.67% 0.312 0.1997 0.063
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 63 36.51% 26.63 73.02% 0.364 0.8792 -0.04
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 94 33.33% 28.07 62.77% -0.081 -0.099 -0.269
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 293 29.01% 40.3 67.24% 0.167 -0.3361 0.198
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 85 27.06% 25.49 65.88% -0.005 -0.1966 0.499
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 94 45.65% 21.77 59.57% 0.531 0.4715 -0.136
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 45 46.67% 24.84 60.0% 0.01 0.0919 -0.528
Shifting Memory of Ages 373 35.75% 27.82 61.66% 0.036 0.3037 0.068
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 252 40.8% 27.64 51.98% -0.589 -0.7072 0.395
Shroud of Silent Mist 271 34.69% 21.13 50.55% -0.257 0.0946 -0.614
Starlight Seeks its Form 708 30.78% 28.59 63.7% -0.401 -0.5187 0.342
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 748 32.89% 32.77 64.3% -0.331 -0.8446 -0.438
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 390 30.0% 27.97 65.9% 0.157 0.2741 0.365
Thunderspeaker 360 28.77% 27.11 60.0% -0.357 -0.3248 -0.121
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 606 31.28% 28.93 61.39% 0.911 0.9245 0.059
Towering Roots of the Jungle 320 30.63% 32.12 62.19% -0.173 -0.0431 -0.09
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 346 50.88% 30.94 58.09% -0.347 -0.2212 0.01
Vital Strength of the Earth 206 40.78% 18.9 67.48% 0.291 0.8914 -0.953
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 248 30.49% 26.65 57.26% -0.467 0.0263 -0.026
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 72 40.28% 25.63 59.72% 0.046 0.7441 0.703
Volcano Looming High 451 40.76% 26.75 57.65% -0.492 -0.4441 -0.072
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 363 27.78% 29.96 66.39% 0.081 -0.2093 0.398

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Prey on the Builders 92.43%
Teeth Gleam from Darkness 96.05%
Terrifying Chase 76.48%
Too Near the Jungle 93.42%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6871 13.42 6.74%
II 7147 30.13 68.83%
III 6381 34.83 92.04%
IV 1898 38.67 99.42%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 463
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5822
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4868
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1882
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5990
Lose: Invader deck ran out 95
Lose: Adversary condition 1154
Win: Sacrifice victory 26
Lose: Scenario condition 132
Win: Scenario condition 81
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1712
Lose: Spirit destroyed 72

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.257 Win Model: -0.166

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.045 Win Model: 0.239
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 11416 36.37% 28.2 55.98%
2 5117 35.98% 27.84 61.19%
3 3003 40.48% 30.5 62.1%
4 1325 33.56% 28.93 63.09%
5 229 27.51% 28.86 69.43%
6 1207 18.09% 34.92 62.97%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)