Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 22 18.18% 34.18 59.09% 0.064 -0.1917 -0.248
Blitz 0 61 18.03% 34.77 54.1% -0.237 -0.0394 0.083
Dahan Insurrection 4 35 28.57% 31.43 42.86% -0.823 -1.2657 -0.13
Despicable Theft 2 11 45.45% 31.0 72.73% 0.901 1.7133 0.509
Elemental Invocation 1 17 29.41% 19.29 41.18% -0.773 -0.0704 -0.328
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 211 15.64% 46.92 67.77% 0.529 -0.1153 0.523
Powers Long Forgotten 1 5 40.0% 4.4 0.0% -1.294 -0.6583 -0.138
Rituals of Terror 3 5 20.0% 17.4 40.0% -0.701 -0.5999 0.0
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 3 100.0% 47.33 66.67% 0.175 1.1841 0.494
Second Wave 0 133 34.11% 28.62 78.95% 0.55 0.6158 0.176
The Great River 3 13 46.15% 29.15 30.77% -0.988 0.2294 -0.462
Varied Terrains 2 22 31.82% 19.0 36.36% -0.456 0.1674 -0.589
Ward the Shores 2 8 37.5% 36.13 62.5% -0.075 1.0097 0.014

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 2543 39.74% 29.17 60.44% 0.095 0.1488 -0.579
1 Thematic 86 40.0% 25.64 45.35% -0.523 -0.0452 -0.491
2 Archipelago 6 33.33% 41.17 83.33% 0.329 0.4333 0.268
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 741 35.96% 29.89 65.45% -0.058 0.0243 -0.442
2 Coastline 112 37.5% 30.9 73.21% 0.216 0.0619 0.17
2 Fragment 22 54.55% 42.14 86.36% 0.276 0.0272 1.398
2 Heart 25 52.0% 52.6 88.0% 1.183 0.896 2.106
2 Opposite Shores 160 30.63% 29.13 64.38% -0.179 -0.1565 -1.495
2 Thematic 45 15.91% 22.49 46.67% 0.058 0.4615 0.147
2 Top to Top 46 34.78% 36.8 63.04% 0.791 0.6248 0.461
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 50.0 100.0% 0.351 -1.1982 0.0
3 Coastline 9 44.44% 37.44 66.67% 0.04 -0.4735 0.527
3 Other 26 57.69% 17.73 42.31% -1.471 -0.9302 -0.574
3 Round (Default) 533 39.1% 31.55 64.35% -0.266 -0.3815 -0.764
3 Sunrise 5 0.0% 26.4 100.0% 0.801 1.0809 0.0
3 Thematic 16 37.5% 13.19 37.5% -0.307 -0.2264 -0.629
4 Archipelago 6 66.67% 40.33 66.67% 0.615 -0.0592 0.0
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 100.0% 0.0 0.2312 0.0
4 Leaf 7 85.71% 50.71 100.0% 0.684 0.3408 0.0
4 Other 23 34.78% 25.61 78.26% 0.48 -0.6034 0.903
4 Thematic 19 57.89% 26.95 36.84% -0.636 -0.8985 -0.328
4 Trapezoid (Default) 186 27.96% 29.13 67.74% -0.096 -0.1782 -0.175
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 25.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.9161 0.0
5 Other 32 46.88% 24.03 62.5% -0.574 -0.8592 0.384
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 25.0 50.0% -0.094 -0.1875 0.0
6 Archipelago 4 0.0% 20.75 75.0% 0.499 0.6498 0.0
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 18.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.8009 0.0
6 Other 19 15.79% 25.05 68.42% -0.13 -0.363 -0.136
6 Star 23 26.09% 19.7 65.22% 0.022 0.0095 -0.758
6 Thematic 91 14.29% 36.11 53.85% -0.481 -0.061 0.812
6 Two Centers (Default) 70 17.14% 32.07 61.43% -0.561 -0.4564 -1.158
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -1.424 -1.4424 0.0
7 Other 2 50.0% 41.5 100.0% 0.209 -0.4039 0.344

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 85 31.21 43.53% -0.321 -0.0783 0.153
Aid From Lesser Spirits 88 34.17 60.23% 0.046 -0.0317 0.5
All Things Weaken 82 36.18 57.32% 0.301 0.694 0.558
Attenuated Essence 67 29.61 46.27% -0.282 -0.1749 0.205
Back Against the Wall 71 39.01 63.38% 0.107 0.165 0.445
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 91 32.45 47.25% -0.058 0.1442 0.478
Burn Brightest Before the End 85 37.46 60.0% 0.344 0.5539 0.55
Disintegrating Ecosystem 95 36.12 56.84% 0.323 0.7466 1.147
Downward Spiral 104 33.99 57.69% 0.428 0.6636 0.751
Erosion of Will 81 34.51 48.15% 0.111 0.4197 0.479
Intensifying Exploitation 92 31.85 54.35% -0.03 0.2573 0.62
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 38 35.61 68.42% 0.507 0.0136 0.701
Memory Fades to Dust 100 31.5 61.0% 0.426 0.7624 0.861
Power Corrodes the Spirit 97 32.69 51.55% 0.071 0.2919 0.565
Promising Farmlands 94 32.6 52.13% 0.071 0.5247 -0.003
Shattered Fragments of Power 87 34.32 57.47% -0.065 -0.0143 -0.049
Slow Dissolution of Will 87 35.23 56.32% 0.185 0.5841 0.615
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 34 31.06 73.53% 0.475 -0.2357 -0.503
The Border of Life and Death 24 28.13 58.33% -0.046 -0.3819 0.343
Thriving Communities 101 30.47 48.51% -0.108 0.2551 0.312
Thriving Crops 43 32.28 58.14% 0.473 0.2756 0.555
Unnatural Proliferation 84 37.0 48.81% -0.037 0.1777 0.337
Untended Land Crumbles 82 33.94 59.76% 0.482 0.7639 0.751

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 1102 37.43% 29.69 64.79% 0.344 1.0838 -0.032
B 1245 36.2% 30.28 63.78% 0.231 0.9567 0.085
C 1227 34.91% 29.94 64.22% 0.196 0.778 0.033
D 938 36.18% 27.07 63.11% 0.178 0.8894 -0.268
E 1045 35.19% 30.97 64.4% 0.521 1.0865 0.607
F 983 37.72% 29.99 63.89% 0.121 0.7913 0.203
G 835 37.89% 29.47 61.44% 0.073 0.7242 -0.241
H 892 33.11% 31.54 67.94% 0.34 0.911 0.093
East 204 23.76% 29.24 48.04% -1.318 -0.7794 -0.611
Northeast 147 22.45% 31.21 50.34% -0.291 0.3434 0.019
Northwest 134 20.9% 30.69 47.76% -0.047 0.7624 0.144
Southeast 128 19.05% 34.91 53.91% 0.171 0.8765 0.511
Southwest 130 24.81% 33.28 56.15% 0.187 1.1766 0.088
West 197 28.57% 28.21 47.21% -0.684 0.2199 -0.642

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 16 0.0% 18.69 68.75% -1.048 -0.2715 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 115 7.62% 50.58 73.04% 1.866 1.2489 1.145
Start of Game Growth 237 25.11% 45.4 62.45% 0.104 -0.2449 0.484
Unlimited Undo 500 35.8% 29.2 58.2% -0.299 -0.306 0.255
Using Tokens but Not Events 304 11.46% 22.62 72.37% -0.081 -0.0913 -0.837

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 133 100.0% 25.74 100.0% 0.009 -0.1388 -0.073
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 29 100.0% 21.86 100.0% -0.6 -0.4689 -0.393
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 82 100.0% 22.89 100.0% -0.381 -0.5255 -0.645
Downpour Drenches the World 76 100.0% 34.88 100.0% 0.364 0.5429 0.976
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 682 100.0% 34.88 100.0% 0.589 -0.1762 0.906
Eyes Watch From the Trees 108 100.0% 28.56 100.0% 0.043 -0.546 -0.425
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 82 100.0% 38.78 100.0% 1.109 0.6126 0.65
Finder of Paths Unseen 44 100.0% 29.32 100.0% 0.035 0.6994 -0.166
Fractured Days Split the Sky 49 100.0% 31.04 100.0% 0.814 1.4 0.34
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 80 100.0% 26.9 100.0% -0.588 -0.6831 -0.252
Heart of the Wildfire 52 100.0% 26.19 100.0% -0.089 0.1526 0.284
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 265 100.0% 33.9 100.0% -0.081 -0.5226 0.16
Lightning's Swift Strike 22 722.73% 14.82 536.36% -0.535 -0.3524 0.0
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 100 40.0% 32.9 55.0% -0.024 -0.5106 -0.034
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 40 20.0% 30.5 62.5% -0.19 -0.3582 0.55
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 68 33.82% 26.99 47.06% -0.211 -0.324 0.311
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 283 100.0% 33.35 100.0% 0.165 0.0324 -0.119
Many Minds Move as One 302 100.0% 25.67 100.0% -0.126 -0.3471 -0.312
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 124 100.0% 28.96 100.0% -0.048 -0.0901 -0.493
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 74 100.0% 28.78 100.0% 0.411 0.2335 0.642
River Surges in Sunlight 50 296.0% 28.54 212.0% 0.157 0.227 -0.166
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 60 16.67% 26.3 58.33% -0.726 -0.416 -0.032
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 84 42.86% 34.3 63.1% 0.379 0.266 0.403
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 139 100.0% 35.37 100.0% 0.172 -0.0654 -0.059
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 15 460.0% 31.6 246.67% -0.334 0.1955 -0.385
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 27 33.33% 33.89 74.07% 0.038 -0.0373 0.62
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 24 25.0% 27.17 75.0% 0.003 -0.1032 0.216
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 24 62.5% 23.29 66.67% 0.324 0.3053 -0.279
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 10 10.0% 33.3 90.0% 0.333 0.5095 0.0
Shifting Memory of Ages 82 100.0% 27.22 100.0% -0.04 0.3137 0.098
Shroud of Silent Mist 55 100.0% 18.93 100.0% -0.661 -0.4104 -0.541
Starlight Seeks its Form 140 100.0% 31.89 100.0% 0.015 -0.246 0.168
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 156 100.0% 31.12 100.0% -0.226 -0.7031 -0.514
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 65 100.0% 32.63 100.0% 0.816 0.8784 0.453
Thunderspeaker 69 384.29% 25.41 249.28% 0.076 0.0424 -0.771
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 301 33.67% 30.82 65.78% -0.101 -0.14 0.621
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 54 100.0% 23.3 100.0% -0.592 -0.4993 -0.34
Vital Strength of the Earth 27 244.44% 19.44 240.74% 0.697 1.2217 0.0
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 58 44.83% 29.24 53.45% -0.354 -0.0934 -1.108
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 19 63.16% 19.53 42.11% -0.433 0.3426 0.0
Volcano Looming High 72 100.0% 26.74 100.0% -0.161 -0.2037 -0.57

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Prey on the Builders 92.12%
Teeth Gleam from Darkness 95.11%
Terrifying Chase 76.35%
Too Near the Jungle 93.31%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1377 20.4 7.33%
II 1665 31.01 72.37%
III 1477 34.76 93.16%
IV 346 38.07 99.13%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 101
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1363
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1196
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 342
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1141
Lose: Invader deck ran out 16
Lose: Adversary condition 242
Win: Sacrifice victory 3
Lose: Scenario condition 29
Win: Scenario condition 20
Lose: Blight pool ran out 396
Lose: Spirit destroyed 16

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.132 Win Model: -0.206

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.026 Win Model: 0.07
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 2643 39.65% 28.98 59.78%
2 1151 35.51% 30.77 66.38%
3 591 39.15% 30.68 63.79%
4 236 33.9% 29.44 67.37%
5 35 42.86% 22.74 57.14%
6 209 16.75% 31.66 59.81%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-12 04:02:30 (Pacific Time)