Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 36 19.44% 30.39 55.56% 0.259 0.3105 -0.644
Blitz 0 130 26.15% 33.42 52.31% -0.348 -0.1469 0.133
Dahan Insurrection 4 74 24.32% 29.97 40.54% -0.914 -1.1251 -0.541
Despicable Theft 2 42 33.33% 25.55 52.38% -0.638 0.2068 -0.234
Elemental Invocation 1 60 35.0% 13.62 31.67% -1.326 -0.2547 -0.861
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 579 14.34% 51.56 73.06% 1.466 0.7413 0.898
Powers Long Forgotten 1 22 27.27% 8.23 13.64% -1.591 -0.6856 -0.186
Rituals of Terror 3 23 21.74% 21.0 43.48% -0.527 -0.4973 -0.372
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 16 43.75% 17.0 25.0% -1.387 -0.1982 0.28
Second Wave 0 394 32.99% 27.84 76.14% 0.188 0.2688 -0.107
The Great River 3 30 26.67% 24.63 40.0% 0.182 1.5695 -0.404
Varied Terrains 2 52 32.69% 24.35 42.31% -0.362 0.5389 -0.13
Ward the Shores 2 38 13.16% 17.92 39.47% -2.116 -1.0604 -0.062

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 6072 39.14% 29.29 58.38% 0.634 0.6652 -0.196
1 Thematic 293 26.03% 15.84 30.72% -0.314 0.1186 -0.438
2 Archipelago 14 35.71% 39.14 85.71% 0.477 0.97 0.423
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1780 35.71% 27.84 61.63% 0.042 -0.0065 -0.442
2 Coastline 298 39.53% 28.18 60.4% 0.761 0.66 -0.173
2 Fragment 53 33.96% 36.09 86.79% 0.406 -0.007 1.704
2 Heart 40 42.5% 41.95 82.5% 0.484 0.3945 2.207
2 Opposite Shores 417 29.88% 29.55 64.51% 0.704 0.5238 -0.46
2 Thematic 120 24.37% 20.57 43.33% -0.47 -0.2835 -0.303
2 Top to Top 124 30.65% 27.83 49.19% -0.336 -0.5356 0.139
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 52.0 100.0% 0.0 -1.1208 0.0
3 Coastline 18 38.89% 31.78 55.56% -0.249 -0.9105 -0.131
3 Other 55 41.82% 21.33 52.73% 0.081 -0.2532 -0.259
3 Round (Default) 1567 41.17% 31.59 62.41% 0.151 -0.1153 -0.454
3 Sunrise 6 0.0% 22.0 83.33% 0.0 0.5109 0.0
3 Thematic 41 48.78% 27.61 51.22% 0.185 -0.2613 0.139
4 Archipelago 12 66.67% 40.42 58.33% 0.0 -0.5573 -0.167
4 Coastline 4 25.0% 66.5 100.0% 0.052 -0.5661 0.0
4 Leaf 10 90.0% 38.2 70.0% 0.0 0.8461 -0.262
4 Other 34 41.18% 29.18 82.35% 0.647 -0.0909 1.645
4 Thematic 49 38.78% 30.37 34.69% -0.246 -0.0424 -0.595
4 Trapezoid (Default) 600 30.54% 29.89 67.83% -0.012 0.3286 -0.292
5 Archipelago 13 53.85% 20.46 23.08% -1.042 -1.0424 -1.23
5 Coastline 7 0.0% 27.0 71.43% 0.05 -0.4776 0.236
5 Other 87 33.33% 28.26 73.56% 0.334 -0.3869 0.024
5 Thematic 12 33.33% 43.08 50.0% -1.268 -1.1076 0.167
6 Archipelago 9 22.22% 25.56 77.78% 0.0 -0.7151 0.0
6 Coastline 3 0.0% 20.67 66.67% 0.041 -0.4476 -0.295
6 Other 68 14.71% 26.69 63.24% -1.368 -0.9278 0.103
6 Star 39 20.51% 24.23 74.36% 0.152 0.4501 -0.729
6 Thematic 254 13.04% 46.08 64.57% 0.396 0.4209 -0.135
6 Two Centers (Default) 217 28.11% 30.76 69.12% -0.313 -0.2147 -0.323
7 Archipelago 4 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.5266 0.0
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.139
7 Other 4 25.0% 20.75 50.0% 0.0 -1.4162 0.201

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 229 32.75 53.28% 0.049 0.1874 0.527
Aid From Lesser Spirits 198 35.44 60.61% 0.103 0.044 0.54
All Things Weaken 214 33.91 53.27% -0.006 0.3483 0.143
Attenuated Essence 202 34.65 45.05% -0.272 -0.1609 0.566
Back Against the Wall 200 36.04 55.0% -0.329 -0.2526 0.364
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 226 29.87 46.9% -0.514 -0.3031 0.168
Burn Brightest Before the End 198 33.76 51.52% -0.318 -0.197 0.267
Disintegrating Ecosystem 190 32.29 50.53% -0.277 0.0915 0.716
Downward Spiral 244 33.83 58.61% 0.227 0.4241 0.885
Erosion of Will 225 32.36 48.44% -0.288 -0.021 0.413
Intensifying Exploitation 231 32.34 51.95% 0.275 0.5456 0.376
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 102 35.95 69.61% 1.086 0.5751 0.808
Memory Fades to Dust 212 31.58 55.19% 0.037 0.3486 0.142
Power Corrodes the Spirit 223 31.1 49.78% -0.345 -0.0502 0.469
Promising Farmlands 232 29.3 45.69% -0.628 -0.2922 -0.188
Shattered Fragments of Power 211 34.18 53.08% -0.055 0.0539 0.392
Slow Dissolution of Will 222 32.82 49.55% -0.576 -0.1758 0.38
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 66 35.55 74.24% 0.874 0.2606 -0.329
The Border of Life and Death 74 35.53 70.27% -0.044 -0.3359 0.54
Thriving Communities 239 31.75 49.79% 0.498 0.8312 0.304
Thriving Crops 105 28.37 54.29% 0.024 -0.0627 0.064
Unnatural Proliferation 226 34.82 53.98% 0.652 0.7996 0.337
Untended Land Crumbles 233 33.87 54.08% 0.126 0.4331 0.69

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 2809 36.23% 29.52 62.87% 0.158 1.0625 0.229
B 3309 36.92% 29.13 60.89% 0.148 0.9767 -0.185
C 3041 34.17% 29.68 63.6% 0.23 0.9105 0.143
D 2538 36.32% 28.0 62.37% 0.133 0.9859 0.149
E 2709 37.02% 30.32 62.16% 0.217 0.9183 0.488
F 2599 35.89% 28.81 61.49% 0.015 0.796 0.105
G 2268 38.13% 29.61 61.64% 0.522 1.2939 -0.047
H 2425 35.05% 31.27 65.11% 0.274 1.0429 0.247
East 541 21.38% 34.23 52.87% -0.83 0.0318 -0.904
Northeast 397 20.45% 39.17 58.94% -0.499 0.2476 0.724
Northwest 450 20.49% 32.92 47.56% -0.73 0.1035 -0.36
Southeast 360 17.65% 40.58 58.06% -0.486 0.2901 -0.265
Southwest 379 19.63% 38.95 58.84% 1.019 2.3383 0.565
West 630 23.57% 29.86 45.87% -0.191 0.8149 -0.923

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 59 0.0% 24.1 74.58% 0.282 1.1128 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 361 8.95% 49.41 81.44% 0.876 0.314 0.651
Start of Game Growth 1008 30.04% 47.61 66.57% 0.353 -0.186 1.215
Unlimited Undo 1406 29.25% 29.7 63.37% 0.086 0.1268 0.018
Using Tokens but Not Events 979 16.3% 25.37 72.22% 0.593 0.5697 -0.031

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 426 27.53% 25.14 56.1% -1.268 -1.3704 -0.529
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 96 34.38% 26.05 62.5% 0.743 0.9028 -0.851
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 66 33.33% 39.77 81.82% 0.809 -0.0271 1.094
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 292 29.29% 29.08 65.07% -0.358 -0.4891 -0.628
Downpour Drenches the World 261 32.18% 31.08 62.84% -0.077 0.241 0.298
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1064 35.4% 32.92 68.33% -0.298 -0.7828 0.321
Eyes Watch From the Trees 301 28.24% 31.18 76.08% 0.816 0.3631 0.002
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 301 19.67% 40.86 75.08% 0.224 -0.2285 0.342
Finder of Paths Unseen 140 35.71% 26.11 53.57% -0.335 0.3311 -0.535
Fractured Days Split the Sky 173 17.92% 29.77 62.43% 0.037 0.7145 -0.012
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 300 38.33% 28.95 57.33% -0.119 -0.0577 -0.072
Heart of the Wildfire 160 42.14% 30.72 61.25% -0.354 -0.0938 -0.01
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 673 35.33% 39.26 64.34% 0.137 -0.257 0.52
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 186 33.51% 36.85 66.13% 0.307 -0.0881 0.311
Lightning's Swift Strike 106 34.91% 25.18 75.47% -0.032 0.2218 0.514
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 283 37.1% 39.72 60.07% 0.072 -0.4815 0.05
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 153 30.72% 31.54 64.05% 0.258 0.0217 0.856
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 148 35.14% 30.83 56.76% -0.195 -0.4465 0.626
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 766 29.66% 34.86 62.92% -0.199 -0.5226 -0.773
Many Minds Move as One 1031 25.95% 27.12 60.33% 0.078 -0.1217 0.095
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 379 33.33% 35.09 60.95% -0.202 -0.2304 -0.017
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 284 40.43% 29.48 71.83% 0.535 0.393 -0.019
River Surges in Sunlight 143 29.41% 28.04 74.13% 0.806 0.9232 -0.724
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 122 31.97% 27.28 58.2% -0.068 0.2699 -0.003
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 227 38.77% 35.62 65.64% 0.262 0.114 0.433
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 364 28.45% 33.46 57.69% 0.479 0.3119 -0.487
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 35 40.0% 28.4 65.71% -0.218 0.3263 0.017
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 66 30.77% 29.71 62.12% -0.474 -0.3879 -0.1
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 82 32.93% 37.57 69.51% -0.135 -0.5045 -0.184
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 59 23.73% 25.95 69.49% 0.14 0.3052 0.191
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 51 43.14% 19.39 49.02% -1.69 -1.6586 -0.922
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 22 31.82% 28.05 72.73% 0.0 0.1707 -0.123
Shifting Memory of Ages 251 34.4% 30.14 64.14% 0.133 0.511 0.092
Shroud of Silent Mist 138 38.41% 21.24 49.28% 0.179 0.5496 -0.6
Starlight Seeks its Form 414 29.44% 31.59 68.84% 0.226 0.0194 0.464
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 410 32.11% 33.71 66.34% 0.203 -0.5142 -0.176
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 219 29.22% 28.16 68.04% -0.05 0.1318 0.185
Thunderspeaker 204 29.21% 28.72 63.24% -0.034 -0.0201 -0.253
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 445 31.38% 29.61 62.47% -0.458 -0.3527 0.332
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 172 49.11% 32.66 60.47% -0.215 -0.0741 -0.053
Vital Strength of the Earth 98 40.82% 18.04 70.41% -0.564 -0.0222 -0.215
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 141 38.13% 30.78 63.12% 0.484 0.8218 -0.273
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 50 40.0% 23.82 56.0% -0.46 0.2568 0.258
Volcano Looming High 212 42.92% 29.72 64.62% 0.807 0.7746 -0.107
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 181 27.62% 32.17 67.4% 0.371 -0.0668 0.62

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Prey on the Builders 91.84%
Teeth Gleam from Darkness 95.74%
Terrifying Chase 75.57%
Too Near the Jungle 93.3%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3700 16.23 7.38%
II 4035 30.54 69.44%
III 3536 34.77 91.88%
IV 1057 38.37 99.53%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 273
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3224
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2772
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1050
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3157
Lose: Invader deck ran out 49
Lose: Adversary condition 651
Win: Sacrifice victory 12
Lose: Scenario condition 66
Win: Scenario condition 45
Lose: Blight pool ran out 996
Lose: Spirit destroyed 33

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.791 Win Model: -0.147

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.237 Win Model: 0.282
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 6414 38.45% 28.55 56.86%
2 2820 34.8% 28.43 61.91%
3 1690 40.96% 31.42 62.37%
4 712 33.62% 29.95 65.31%
5 101 30.69% 28.07 69.31%
6 591 19.32% 36.28 66.67%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-13 05:04:05 (Pacific Time)