Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 92 25.0% 28.11 55.43% 0.488 0.8581 -0.598
Blitz 0 280 26.07% 28.4 48.93% 0.022 0.454 0.154
Dahan Insurrection 4 173 20.81% 28.68 37.57% 0.229 0.2033 -0.969
Despicable Theft 2 116 34.48% 23.96 49.14% 0.493 1.1526 0.3
Elemental Invocation 1 140 32.86% 18.91 40.71% 0.144 0.5922 -0.202
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1440 14.03% 51.24 71.18% 0.581 -0.0183 1.301
Powers Long Forgotten 1 83 33.73% 11.11 22.89% -0.815 -0.2066 -0.207
Rituals of Terror 3 48 33.33% 24.48 52.08% 0.0 0.1245 0.0
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 55 36.36% 22.29 40.0% 0.612 1.3505 -0.879
Second Wave 0 1100 36.41% 28.63 73.27% 0.021 0.1275 0.727
The Great River 3 91 36.26% 27.46 52.75% -0.103 1.0715 -0.469
Varied Terrains 2 140 39.29% 26.2 49.29% -0.296 0.4408 -0.185
Ward the Shores 2 115 26.09% 17.57 37.39% 0.143 0.8258 -0.305

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 13891 36.0% 28.09 56.6% 0.196 0.4202 0.777
1 Thematic 617 30.73% 21.46 37.28% -0.289 0.261 0.353
2 Archipelago 35 51.43% 29.31 60.0% 0.0 -0.3536 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4074 36.97% 27.43 61.17% 0.155 0.266 1.034
2 Coastline 641 37.52% 28.23 62.71% 0.484 0.3946 0.2
2 Fragment 123 34.15% 30.44 73.17% 0.092 -0.2466 0.417
2 Heart 69 43.48% 38.54 75.36% 0.421 0.094 0.0
2 Opposite Shores 1036 35.98% 27.43 61.1% 0.679 0.7152 -0.279
2 Thematic 340 28.4% 22.01 45.29% -0.974 -0.4456 -0.599
2 Top to Top 211 37.14% 28.1 54.03% 0.843 0.636 -0.145
3 Archipelago 20 30.0% 32.1 55.0% -0.316 -0.2157 -0.192
3 Coastline 41 39.02% 31.41 63.41% -0.072 -0.5935 0.175
3 Other 89 40.45% 21.85 57.3% 0.0 -0.742 -0.37
3 Round (Default) 3417 39.71% 30.09 62.22% 0.132 0.0363 -0.226
3 Sunrise 17 17.65% 30.88 76.47% -0.263 -1.0026 0.0
3 Thematic 159 33.96% 24.47 50.31% -0.927 -0.6854 -0.994
4 Archipelago 15 60.0% 43.93 60.0% 0.114 0.1949 0.0
4 Coastline 11 45.45% 37.91 72.73% 0.0 0.2598 -0.569
4 Leaf 24 66.67% 26.67 50.0% 0.0 -0.5543 0.0
4 Other 76 42.67% 26.18 65.79% -0.058 -0.6049 -0.048
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.2322 0.0
4 Thematic 190 37.37% 33.93 48.95% 1.021 1.4947 -0.312
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1502 32.42% 27.07 62.32% -0.296 -0.4852 0.348
5 Archipelago 13 53.85% 20.46 23.08% 0.0 1.4461 0.0
5 Coastline 19 42.11% 27.21 68.42% 0.054 -0.5563 0.0
5 Other 232 26.29% 27.78 70.26% -0.568 -0.8944 0.954
5 Thematic 29 24.14% 35.62 44.83% -0.289 -0.78 -0.52
6 Archipelago 20 10.0% 36.65 70.0% 0.014 -0.9113 -0.128
6 Coastline 7 0.0% 36.43 71.43% 0.0 0.3287 0.0
6 Other 189 15.34% 23.08 59.26% -0.082 0.1871 0.192
6 Star 101 18.81% 29.04 72.28% 0.115 0.9107 0.045
6 Thematic 834 14.3% 43.74 60.43% 0.377 0.958 0.646
6 Two Centers (Default) 524 21.61% 26.8 58.97% -0.371 -0.3945 -0.784
7 Archipelago 10 10.0% 15.5 20.0% 0.0 0.4064 0.0
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 12 33.33% 27.08 58.33% -0.174 -0.4291 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 477 31.85 50.52% -0.765 -0.4547 -0.315
Aid From Lesser Spirits 406 35.49 59.36% 0.724 0.7372 1.177
All Things Weaken 499 32.23 52.71% -0.749 -0.2748 0.212
Attenuated Essence 471 33.29 49.04% -0.101 0.0461 0.195
Back Against the Wall 417 34.87 54.92% -0.249 -0.1191 0.941
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 518 29.53 46.91% -0.431 -0.1111 0.648
Burn Brightest Before the End 442 32.5 53.39% -0.348 -0.1714 0.493
Disintegrating Ecosystem 461 29.19 48.37% -0.708 -0.328 0.309
Downward Spiral 541 31.53 54.9% -0.522 -0.3287 -0.265
Erosion of Will 497 30.85 50.3% 0.656 0.9935 -0.235
Intensifying Exploitation 537 29.68 50.47% -0.186 0.1669 -0.063
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 216 35.95 70.37% -0.49 -0.8537 1.276
Memory Fades to Dust 516 31.09 52.52% 0.81 1.1389 1.035
Power Corrodes the Spirit 472 30.86 50.42% 0.405 0.6716 -0.034
Promising Farmlands 464 29.15 47.2% 0.022 0.469 0.353
Shattered Fragments of Power 449 34.07 53.45% -0.448 -0.4483 0.746
Slow Dissolution of Will 501 31.03 46.51% -0.383 0.0282 0.129
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 147 35.14 72.11% 0.0 -0.5587 1.009
The Border of Life and Death 167 35.29 69.46% 0.079 -0.1663 0.265
Thriving Communities 502 29.96 50.6% -0.726 -0.4482 -0.602
Thriving Crops 225 27.53 51.11% 0.463 0.3675 0.324
Unnatural Proliferation 503 33.61 53.88% 0.011 0.2157 0.153
Untended Land Crumbles 509 30.69 50.69% 0.664 0.9631 -0.042

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 6488 35.08% 28.08 60.85% 0.228 1.22 -0.201
B 7808 35.23% 28.32 59.55% 0.637 1.5022 0.054
C 6728 34.45% 28.13 60.57% 0.248 0.9999 0.051
D 5911 34.33% 26.74 60.28% 0.137 1.0817 -0.043
E 6536 34.91% 28.49 59.61% 0.048 0.8032 0.483
F 5789 34.54% 27.72 60.89% -0.112 0.7627 0.304
G 5204 35.79% 27.8 59.51% -0.16 0.7024 0.028
H 5545 33.89% 29.14 61.88% 0.07 0.8772 0.725
East 1708 23.38% 34.99 53.16% -0.631 0.1146 -0.927
Northeast 1279 21.16% 38.22 56.22% -0.388 0.5048 -0.485
Northwest 1273 19.2% 36.02 52.08% 0.122 0.8654 0.141
Southeast 1178 19.61% 39.69 57.13% -0.872 0.1368 -0.335
Southwest 1261 19.89% 37.48 55.75% 0.234 1.391 0.419
West 1795 22.89% 32.81 50.64% 0.453 1.436 -0.239

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 270 0.0% 31.67 82.96% 0.001 0.7213 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1053 9.3% 41.94 71.6% -0.402 -1.2064 -0.893
Start of Game Growth 2583 24.78% 43.68 63.92% -0.399 -0.9662 1.087
Unlimited Undo 3804 24.35% 29.76 62.64% 0.18 0.2073 -0.22
Using Tokens but Not Events 2756 18.3% 26.88 67.13% -0.701 -0.7284 -0.636

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 828 23.82% 26.29 59.54% 0.599 0.1812 0.304
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 528 22.16% 28.61 57.39% 0.164 -0.4919 -0.254
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 30 26.67% 46.37 73.33% -0.281 -0.4389 0.179
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 201 21.89% 33.42 67.16% 0.366 -0.4946 0.057
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 230 29.13% 20.97 53.91% 0.178 0.3156 -0.099
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 214 28.97% 30.6 66.82% 0.293 -0.7362 -0.309
Dances Up Earthquakes 303 34.65% 30.19 51.82% -0.116 -0.1524 0.062
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 701 31.81% 28.02 63.48% 0.034 -0.3201 -0.959
Downpour Drenches the World 654 27.83% 27.42 56.42% -0.606 -0.4825 0.86
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1633 35.46% 31.23 65.77% 0.205 -0.3656 0.573
Eyes Watch From the Trees 687 27.74% 29.08 71.32% 1.224 0.5779 -0.12
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 720 19.47% 38.61 71.67% -0.362 -0.8562 0.206
Finder of Paths Unseen 336 30.65% 22.29 49.11% -0.351 0.2377 -0.581
Fractured Days Split the Sky 323 23.22% 28.76 60.99% -0.33 0.117 1.525
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 659 35.46% 24.94 54.17% -0.476 -0.6611 -0.021
Heart of the Wildfire 408 40.25% 30.38 61.52% 0.517 0.6601 0.013
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1543 29.68% 39.78 64.42% 0.396 -0.2779 0.069
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 576 29.62% 30.22 60.07% -0.175 -0.7028 -0.202
Lightning's Swift Strike 343 27.51% 26.31 64.43% -0.119 -0.086 0.328
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 488 36.14% 39.8 59.63% 0.361 -0.2915 -0.449
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 221 28.64% 29.72 64.71% 0.047 -0.449 0.533
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 366 32.79% 27.46 55.46% -0.381 -0.6202 -1.172
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1833 28.9% 35.46 61.43% 0.356 -0.0701 0.55
Many Minds Move as One 2587 29.28% 27.7 60.26% 0.445 -0.0643 0.028
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 942 27.32% 38.24 61.78% 0.586 0.3167 0.307
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 353 34.84% 27.95 58.07% -0.357 -0.4707 0.146
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 570 35.44% 28.72 68.95% 0.792 0.4977 -0.342
River Surges in Sunlight 391 32.81% 28.0 63.17% -0.57 -0.7404 -0.935
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 201 30.81% 30.75 62.69% -0.505 -0.616 0.074
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 330 28.66% 27.26 51.82% -0.247 -0.3122 -0.73
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 426 34.2% 32.12 63.15% 0.484 0.3536 0.417
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 782 25.23% 33.49 59.85% 0.256 -0.0081 -0.69
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 168 30.36% 29.01 61.9% 0.059 -0.3717 0.183
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 81 37.04% 25.73 66.67% -0.037 0.3916 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 104 33.01% 27.2 62.5% -0.718 -0.7141 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 444 26.8% 36.48 61.04% -0.687 -1.4403 0.433
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 105 31.43% 25.44 65.71% 0.335 0.0157 0.37
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 111 42.2% 22.12 62.16% 0.572 0.3931 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 61 40.98% 23.72 62.3% 0.171 0.1278 0.0
Shifting Memory of Ages 421 35.48% 27.49 61.28% -0.698 -0.4037 -0.508
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 335 41.74% 28.41 55.22% 0.795 0.6322 0.947
Shroud of Silent Mist 351 36.18% 20.97 49.0% 0.151 0.3331 -0.453
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 32 18.75% 15.28 46.88% -1.106 -1.5162 -0.999
Starlight Seeks its Form 893 31.12% 29.06 62.49% -0.721 -0.963 0.77
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 968 31.81% 32.15 62.29% -0.037 -0.9892 -0.765
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 533 27.77% 29.85 64.73% 0.771 0.8131 0.629
Thunderspeaker 468 28.45% 27.36 60.47% -0.411 -0.6065 0.458
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 666 31.67% 28.77 61.71% 0.413 0.2445 -0.187
Towering Roots of the Jungle 459 30.72% 31.58 61.44% -0.846 -0.957 -0.469
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 447 50.11% 30.85 58.84% 0.787 0.6357 -0.166
Vital Strength of the Earth 277 35.74% 19.49 64.98% 0.018 0.3762 -0.354
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 310 28.43% 27.22 57.42% -0.938 -0.695 0.4
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 153 32.89% 18.92 50.33% -1.047 -0.3653 0.223
Volcano Looming High 574 41.26% 26.68 57.49% 0.119 -0.2049 -0.044
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 452 27.17% 28.86 65.27% 0.636 0.118 0.305

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Prey on the Builders 92.78%
Teeth Gleam from Darkness 96.08%
Terrifying Chase 76.7%
Too Near the Jungle 93.31%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8970 12.25 6.81%
II 9012 29.91 68.21%
III 8146 34.94 91.78%
IV 2463 38.9 99.47%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 611
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7410
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6079
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2442
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7905
Lose: Invader deck ran out 105
Lose: Adversary condition 1408
Win: Sacrifice victory 34
Lose: Scenario condition 185
Win: Scenario condition 108
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2213
Lose: Spirit destroyed 91

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.915 Win Model: -0.192

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.146 Win Model: 0.021
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 14610 35.65% 27.7 55.55%
2 6510 36.62% 27.52 60.77%
3 3706 39.55% 30.1 62.36%
4 1809 34.3% 27.58 60.64%
5 309 24.27% 30.03 64.4%
6 1647 17.21% 34.85 61.02%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)