Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 156 27.56% 33.12 81.41% 0.276 -0.2821 0.918
Blitz 0 207 37.07% 26.8 57.49% -0.104 0.3192 0.143
Dahan Insurrection 4 1713 27.38% 49.9 60.6% 0.888 0.4064 0.802
Despicable Theft 2 219 35.32% 26.46 61.64% -0.228 0.3148 -0.295
Elemental Invocation 1 155 29.03% 26.39 61.29% -0.016 0.7214 -0.675
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1045 17.13% 48.28 71.58% 0.602 -0.0546 0.531
Powers Long Forgotten 1 384 38.8% 22.77 52.6% 0.012 0.574 -0.373
Rituals of Terror 3 322 48.59% 65.25 69.57% 0.699 0.5573 1.873
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 29 27.59% 14.17 27.59% 0.489 1.2378 -0.585
Second Wave 0 863 33.46% 34.92 78.68% 0.799 0.8931 0.386
The Great River 3 115 46.49% 22.91 30.43% -1.571 -0.326 -1.19
Varied Terrains 2 157 50.32% 26.71 49.68% 0.535 1.4028 -0.039
Ward the Shores 2 278 26.09% 17.21 30.94% -0.174 0.6806 -1.455

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 12747 47.29% 30.07 58.35% 0.368 0.7415 1.383
1 Thematic 608 39.64% 34.36 53.78% 0.261 0.9747 1.112
2 Archipelago 43 34.88% 35.84 46.51% 0.058 0.582 -0.129
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5335 41.58% 32.87 61.78% 0.149 0.3105 0.984
2 Coastline 1328 36.54% 31.16 62.58% 0.568 0.3747 0.877
2 Fragment 120 42.86% 31.89 60.83% 1.018 0.9702 1.994
2 Heart 103 64.08% 31.02 44.66% -1.043 -1.2556 -0.173
2 Opposite Shores 1823 43.98% 30.92 55.84% 0.093 0.225 0.451
2 Thematic 367 42.78% 44.81 50.41% 0.665 1.3851 0.567
2 Top to Top 334 47.75% 35.98 61.98% 0.708 0.6237 0.727
3 Archipelago 86 51.81% 72.03 61.63% 0.38 -0.1637 0.215
3 Coastline 45 13.33% 26.87 60.0% 0.528 -0.1023 0.048
3 Other 238 18.3% 23.55 69.75% 0.443 -0.4328 1.926
3 Round (Default) 4002 40.0% 34.91 62.07% -0.005 -0.0286 0.109
3 Sunrise 21 33.33% 31.52 76.19% 0.245 -0.2011 -0.328
3 Thematic 136 34.56% 41.96 70.59% -1.325 -1.3178 0.946
4 Archipelago 30 43.33% 45.57 66.67% 0.0 -0.1516 0.234
4 Coastline 21 38.1% 25.1 42.86% -0.707 -0.5778 0.126
4 Leaf 23 47.83% 32.61 43.48% -0.304 0.1314 -1.218
4 Other 77 50.65% 32.71 74.03% 0.648 0.0802 1.266
4 Snake 4 25.0% 39.0 75.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 233 36.91% 35.33 46.78% 0.37 0.4335 -0.848
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2180 35.99% 36.57 57.8% 0.078 0.0827 -0.621
5 Archipelago 12 58.33% 60.0 58.33% 0.0 -0.2088 -0.742
5 Coastline 5 0.0% 38.6 80.0% 0.0 -1.0209 0.419
5 Other 243 35.83% 31.42 71.19% 0.091 -0.2326 -0.462
5 Thematic 31 58.06% 57.97 41.94% -0.138 -0.2811 -1.347
6 Archipelago 30 13.33% 27.4 63.33% -0.591 -1.6292 0.147
6 Coastline 6 20.0% 19.0 66.67% 0.0 -1.0581 -0.337
6 Other 197 36.55% 34.52 66.5% -0.394 -0.4388 -0.919
6 Star 84 32.14% 31.86 61.9% -1.163 -0.5301 -2.2
6 Thematic 413 26.39% 29.19 47.7% -0.982 -0.7777 -2.307
6 Two Centers (Default) 452 30.07% 34.94 62.61% -0.223 0.2517 -1.466
7 Archipelago 4 50.0% 89.5 50.0% -0.084 -0.4079 -1.187
7 Other 10 20.0% 29.4 40.0% 0.273 -0.4027 -0.7

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 775 36.4 54.19% 0.233 0.3038 0.334
Aid From Lesser Spirits 713 40.91 62.13% 0.767 0.657 0.616
All Things Weaken 807 37.78 56.26% 0.801 0.9783 0.688
Attenuated Essence 339 32.04 47.49% -0.84 -0.7882 0.283
Back Against the Wall 700 38.79 57.29% 0.514 0.4984 0.565
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 333 29.05 36.34% -0.532 -0.3484 -0.421
Burn Brightest Before the End 312 32.37 43.27% 0.452 0.5386 -0.259
Disintegrating Ecosystem 725 32.65 48.83% -0.313 -0.0217 0.29
Downward Spiral 984 33.01 51.32% -0.25 -0.1436 0.559
Erosion of Will 753 35.0 47.28% 0.068 0.2337 0.065
Intensifying Exploitation 373 33.01 43.97% 0.006 0.1938 -0.173
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 381 42.33 75.59% 1.076 0.6477 1.217
Memory Fades to Dust 978 32.46 49.39% 0.069 0.304 0.472
Power Corrodes the Spirit 742 35.42 51.35% 0.059 0.1554 0.243
Promising Farmlands 776 34.36 46.91% -0.016 0.348 0.112
Shattered Fragments of Power 315 33.68 47.62% 0.054 0.1195 0.108
Slow Dissolution of Will 317 29.35 38.17% -0.568 -0.1043 -0.259
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 220 45.25 75.45% 0.073 -0.5278 1.283
The Border of Life and Death 96 29.84 51.04% -0.295 -0.7705 -0.168
Thriving Communities 758 33.04 45.51% 0.063 0.2886 0.085
Thriving Crops 174 37.07 60.34% 0.125 -0.0995 0.452
Unnatural Proliferation 783 38.08 55.43% 0.407 0.5289 0.36
Untended Land Crumbles 818 35.04 50.86% -0.047 0.1848 0.456

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 11358 39.98% 32.41 59.68% 0.483 1.4013 0.188
B 8146 40.87% 32.91 59.78% -0.191 0.6497 0.218
C 8642 39.84% 33.14 60.63% 0.097 0.7798 0.198
D 7261 40.32% 32.02 59.04% -0.111 0.7316 0.09
E 6825 40.38% 33.42 60.18% 0.234 0.8854 0.258
F 5849 41.33% 33.29 60.98% 0.226 0.9857 0.146
G 5427 40.97% 34.07 61.58% 0.314 1.0715 0.297
H 5592 41.59% 33.95 61.78% 0.084 0.8026 0.401
East 1516 35.89% 37.67 51.58% -0.478 0.3358 0.104
Northeast 962 32.74% 34.38 49.17% -0.733 -0.0659 -0.483
Northwest 761 33.29% 32.89 48.23% 0.17 0.9745 -0.365
Southeast 710 30.04% 33.54 51.27% 0.229 0.9346 -0.549
Southwest 621 31.24% 28.88 49.28% -0.325 1.0647 -0.595
West 1237 36.11% 35.43 51.74% -0.012 0.7817 0.012

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 493 0.0% 20.43 47.87% -1.068 -0.3488 0.017
Not Using Events or Tokens 1023 37.82% 20.53 50.34% 0.087 0.5715 -0.953
Skip Initial Invader Actions 894 8.67% 49.69 84.56% 2.011 1.2802 1.604
Start of Game Growth 1180 13.84% 47.23 81.61% 0.052 -0.3944 0.686
Unlimited Undo 3403 36.91% 34.63 65.71% 0.236 0.2027 0.446
Using Tokens but Not Events 3283 28.18% 30.15 67.68% 0.538 0.3758 -0.061

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1334 30.81% 30.68 59.9% 0.178 0.0708 -0.076
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 167 31.74% 30.04 58.68% 0.633 0.145 0.324
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 280 58.24% 27.75 52.5% -1.127 -0.9837 -0.231
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 237 33.33% 31.69 55.7% 0.243 -0.5054 0.484
Dances Up Earthquakes 56 44.64% 24.82 37.5% -0.208 -0.385 -0.7
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 472 36.01% 27.87 62.92% -0.011 -0.218 0.331
Downpour Drenches the World 1656 37.33% 36.77 54.77% -0.476 -0.1557 -0.118
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 825 34.67% 31.48 59.64% 0.22 -0.2206 -0.144
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1337 34.98% 35.49 66.64% 0.235 -0.108 0.372
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 622 32.62% 33.27 69.29% 0.967 0.613 0.31
Finder of Paths Unseen 643 40.19% 32.35 60.19% -0.083 0.7018 0.127
Fractured Days Split the Sky 647 33.7% 34.38 49.3% -0.558 -0.1102 -0.003
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 733 36.89% 39.78 63.85% 0.074 0.0508 0.084
Heart of the Wildfire 426 40.53% 27.79 55.4% -0.11 0.2166 -0.741
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1347 33.98% 35.7 66.22% -0.028 -0.5236 0.309
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 352 36.65% 37.17 57.1% 0.903 0.3401 -0.582
Lightning's Swift Strike 511 42.37% 31.35 66.34% -0.083 0.1156 0.17
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 631 40.48% 31.31 64.34% -0.558 -1.0057 -0.226
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 560 37.86% 39.13 63.57% -0.099 -0.4186 0.859
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2562 37.71% 40.0 57.73% 0.367 0.4917 0.588
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1140 37.79% 34.13 59.39% -0.127 -0.2831 -0.014
Many Minds Move as One 437 38.11% 32.54 64.3% -0.133 -0.3394 0.042
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3288 36.52% 33.28 56.51% -0.422 -0.2927 -0.012
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 232 40.26% 26.15 45.69% -0.095 0.01 -0.574
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 630 34.04% 29.18 62.54% -0.324 -0.3737 -0.009
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 738 34.69% 31.6 54.88% 0.502 0.4033 -0.032
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 36 33.33% 28.31 63.89% 0.678 0.1869 0.561
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 83 32.84% 13.99 43.37% -1.354 -0.8416 -0.222
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 316 34.08% 33.78 73.73% 0.364 0.3212 0.822
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 204 47.06% 34.69 60.78% 0.006 -0.442 0.47
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 344 39.52% 34.59 71.51% -0.025 0.0331 0.56
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 104 30.3% 28.63 64.42% 0.586 0.3951 -0.32
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 84 33.73% 21.89 57.14% -0.603 -0.5193 -0.196
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 571 36.7% 35.77 66.55% -0.42 -0.5178 0.671
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 318 35.85% 35.1 66.67% 0.651 0.4564 0.544
Shifting Memory of Ages 398 38.54% 28.82 55.53% -0.451 -0.0609 -0.482
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 182 31.87% 20.71 39.01% -0.255 -0.3065 -0.843
Shroud of Silent Mist 326 41.49% 28.86 56.13% 0.212 0.6262 -0.628
Starlight Seeks its Form 1605 37.74% 39.32 59.25% 0.547 0.5068 0.302
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 800 43.73% 40.88 64.63% 0.167 -0.3355 0.286
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 814 34.04% 36.71 68.3% 0.139 0.2221 0.27
Thunderspeaker 1617 40.05% 34.89 61.41% -0.013 -0.0186 -0.07
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 568 39.79% 29.72 50.7% -0.258 0.1309 -0.445
Towering Roots of the Jungle 126 36.51% 26.75 49.21% -0.286 -0.0757 -0.329
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 329 52.74% 30.96 56.23% -0.143 -0.0652 -0.278
Vital Strength of the Earth 293 36.79% 24.57 57.0% -0.239 0.2098 -0.211
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 773 32.24% 33.08 67.4% 0.631 1.1253 0.264
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 127 30.95% 24.14 58.27% -0.119 0.5735 -1.062
Volcano Looming High 634 49.68% 32.01 58.68% 0.565 0.6295 0.275
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 424 37.97% 35.8 60.38% -0.193 -0.4424 0.212

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Vigor 88.24%
Flash Floods 93.35%
River's Bounty 97.85%
Wash Away 93.21%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11806 14.25 18.47%
II 12457 30.3 79.1%
III 5758 34.84 91.3%
IV 1375 38.61 98.47%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2180
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5040
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8905
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1300
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6799
Lose: Invader deck ran out 233
Lose: Adversary condition 2036
Win: Sacrifice victory 96
Lose: Scenario condition 193
Win: Scenario condition 1124
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3308
Lose: Spirit destroyed 182

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.662 Win Model: -0.166

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.137 Win Model: 0.054
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 13509 47.0% 30.58 58.02%
2 9457 41.69% 32.7 60.27%
3 4446 38.42% 34.51 62.55%
4 2526 36.81% 36.59 57.44%
5 278 38.55% 33.18 66.55%
6 1180 29.42% 32.71 58.47%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)