Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 163 26.99% 32.87 81.6% 0.906 0.9506 0.877
Blitz 0 220 36.24% 26.37 57.27% -0.057 0.1574 0.043
Dahan Insurrection 4 1818 27.45% 49.59 60.23% 0.038 -0.2502 0.735
Despicable Theft 2 229 36.84% 26.71 62.01% 0.275 0.9853 -0.113
Elemental Invocation 1 159 29.56% 26.55 61.64% 0.372 1.0736 -0.547
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1086 17.22% 48.07 71.55% 0.719 0.1191 0.499
Powers Long Forgotten 1 415 39.13% 22.33 51.33% -0.673 0.1642 -0.633
Rituals of Terror 3 353 47.71% 65.49 67.99% 0.42 0.4802 1.902
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 30 26.67% 15.2 30.0% 0.078 1.0645 -0.582
Second Wave 0 924 34.32% 34.65 77.71% 0.185 0.4353 0.473
The Great River 3 122 45.45% 23.5 31.97% -0.705 0.3613 -1.223
Varied Terrains 2 163 49.08% 26.71 50.31% -0.012 0.8172 -0.043
Ward the Shores 2 293 25.77% 17.54 31.74% -0.87 0.3138 -1.451

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 13636 46.94% 29.79 58.21% 0.459 0.7328 1.44
1 Thematic 649 39.29% 34.3 54.24% 0.64 1.2149 1.299
2 Archipelago 47 36.17% 32.79 42.55% -1.846 -1.1691 -0.082
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5730 42.03% 32.59 61.03% 0.098 0.1661 0.949
2 Coastline 1406 37.0% 31.16 63.09% 0.75 0.5309 0.886
2 Fragment 124 42.28% 31.67 60.48% 0.481 0.2147 2.071
2 Heart 110 63.64% 31.31 47.27% 0.416 -0.0539 0.001
2 Opposite Shores 1971 43.79% 30.73 55.76% 0.197 0.1748 0.498
2 Thematic 398 42.71% 44.7 50.75% 0.576 0.9488 0.578
2 Top to Top 365 47.53% 35.85 62.19% 0.644 0.3864 0.856
3 Archipelago 92 52.81% 74.6 61.96% 1.336 0.4132 0.245
3 Coastline 50 18.0% 28.82 64.0% 0.869 -0.0945 0.06
3 Other 257 20.87% 23.34 68.09% 0.316 -0.4476 2.072
3 Round (Default) 4307 39.81% 34.4 61.16% -0.302 -0.4548 0.073
3 Sunrise 21 33.33% 31.52 76.19% 0.0 -0.078 -0.323
3 Thematic 144 34.72% 40.79 70.14% -0.29 -0.4374 0.935
4 Archipelago 30 43.33% 45.57 66.67% 0.0 -0.5272 0.224
4 Coastline 22 36.36% 23.95 40.91% -0.802 -0.8583 0.144
4 Leaf 26 42.31% 34.0 50.0% -0.015 -0.106 -1.239
4 Other 78 51.28% 32.51 74.36% 0.903 0.2187 1.315
4 Snake 4 25.0% 39.0 75.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 243 36.21% 35.65 47.74% 0.124 -0.0531 -0.844
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2369 36.16% 36.63 57.49% -0.381 -0.7099 -0.606
5 Archipelago 12 58.33% 60.0 58.33% 0.0 1.2714 -0.76
5 Coastline 6 0.0% 45.17 83.33% 0.194 -0.3365 0.362
5 Other 253 37.2% 31.52 69.96% 0.21 -0.5399 -0.607
5 Thematic 35 57.14% 59.89 42.86% -0.253 -0.6393 -1.361
6 Archipelago 31 12.9% 27.97 64.52% 0.038 -0.9321 0.126
6 Coastline 7 16.67% 16.29 57.14% -0.803 -1.3827 -0.913
6 Other 207 35.75% 34.59 67.15% 0.121 -0.2963 -0.895
6 Star 94 29.79% 30.73 60.64% -1.487 -1.1516 -2.421
6 Thematic 443 26.41% 29.28 47.4% -1.513 -1.5618 -2.367
6 Two Centers (Default) 489 30.45% 35.09 61.76% -1.183 -0.9689 -1.585
7 Archipelago 4 50.0% 89.5 50.0% 0.0 -0.12 -1.201
7 Other 12 16.67% 33.0 50.0% 0.484 -0.5976 -0.337

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 836 35.76 52.99% -0.171 -0.0995 0.334
Aid From Lesser Spirits 747 40.72 61.18% 0.24 0.1694 0.607
All Things Weaken 867 37.53 56.4% 0.548 0.8071 0.68
Attenuated Essence 378 32.71 48.15% 0.114 0.0784 0.364
Back Against the Wall 747 38.77 56.76% -0.066 -0.0123 0.588
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 379 29.32 37.2% -0.452 -0.3065 -0.353
Burn Brightest Before the End 353 34.01 45.33% 0.36 0.3758 -0.028
Disintegrating Ecosystem 775 32.38 48.26% -0.106 0.0823 0.298
Downward Spiral 1044 32.83 51.53% 0.037 0.1108 0.567
Erosion of Will 780 34.95 47.18% -0.233 -0.0788 0.09
Intensifying Exploitation 401 32.87 44.14% 0.218 0.3542 -0.115
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 407 42.04 75.43% 1.074 0.4597 1.247
Memory Fades to Dust 1042 32.4 49.42% 0.02 0.2234 0.491
Power Corrodes the Spirit 789 35.23 51.2% 0.019 0.1936 0.181
Promising Farmlands 823 34.12 47.27% 0.302 0.5001 0.105
Shattered Fragments of Power 341 34.05 47.8% -0.091 -0.0885 0.056
Slow Dissolution of Will 357 30.23 40.34% -0.285 0.0133 -0.104
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 233 44.57 74.68% 0.192 -0.5044 1.226
The Border of Life and Death 106 31.21 52.83% 0.436 -0.0623 0.028
Thriving Communities 805 33.49 46.34% 0.287 0.4437 0.169
Thriving Crops 195 35.23 56.92% -0.565 -0.8773 0.309
Unnatural Proliferation 829 37.74 54.76% -0.09 0.0183 0.312
Untended Land Crumbles 866 34.57 50.35% -0.367 -0.1854 0.439

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 12188 39.75% 32.23 59.67% 0.395 1.37 0.18
B 8692 40.76% 32.78 59.55% 0.04 0.9292 0.195
C 9309 40.07% 32.95 60.08% 0.049 0.7412 0.193
D 7820 40.48% 31.91 58.7% 0.004 0.8992 0.042
E 7295 40.38% 33.13 59.48% 0.062 0.7909 0.246
F 6338 41.06% 32.99 60.13% 0.009 0.84 0.105
G 5835 41.2% 33.94 61.03% 0.032 0.8114 0.32
H 6028 41.75% 33.74 61.0% 0.109 0.8916 0.395
East 1621 35.72% 37.73 52.0% -0.702 0.1076 0.055
Northeast 1033 33.11% 34.97 50.15% 0.215 1.0125 -0.32
Northwest 826 33.58% 33.43 48.67% 0.413 1.1464 -0.298
Southeast 756 29.93% 33.31 50.66% -0.24 0.6537 -0.526
Southwest 659 30.65% 28.73 48.71% -0.376 0.8815 -0.646
West 1328 35.9% 35.54 51.81% -0.026 0.9719 -0.024

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 539 0.0% 20.34 47.5% -1.071 -0.4028 0.035
Not Using Events or Tokens 1089 37.71% 20.01 49.68% -0.316 0.1049 -0.987
Skip Initial Invader Actions 934 8.31% 49.31 84.15% 1.563 0.7942 1.677
Start of Game Growth 1259 14.33% 46.79 80.46% 0.262 -0.1759 0.669
Unlimited Undo 3640 37.05% 34.35 65.08% 0.019 -0.0461 0.424
Using Tokens but Not Events 3570 28.17% 29.99 68.29% 0.858 0.8151 -0.035

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1435 31.25% 30.65 58.89% 0.187 0.093 -0.107
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 209 32.54% 29.14 56.46% 0.277 -0.2307 0.115
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 293 57.69% 27.73 52.56% -0.61 -0.4127 -0.229
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 253 34.39% 31.66 55.34% -0.158 -1.0311 0.497
Dances Up Earthquakes 113 42.48% 30.27 47.79% -0.033 -0.1722 -0.298
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 495 36.36% 27.52 61.62% -0.714 -0.9364 0.246
Downpour Drenches the World 1768 36.49% 36.89 54.92% -0.012 0.2937 -0.099
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 897 35.45% 31.52 59.75% 0.435 -0.1191 -0.127
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1407 34.47% 35.31 66.81% 0.603 0.1758 0.386
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 660 33.49% 33.18 68.64% 0.138 -0.2752 0.251
Finder of Paths Unseen 670 39.16% 32.63 60.0% 0.221 0.8758 0.084
Fractured Days Split the Sky 670 33.28% 34.37 48.96% -0.849 -0.3033 0.011
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 760 37.42% 39.49 63.55% 0.086 0.002 0.084
Heart of the Wildfire 454 40.0% 27.04 53.74% -1.098 -0.7827 -0.873
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1427 34.04% 35.74 65.73% 0.346 -0.0976 0.311
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 377 37.4% 36.73 57.03% 0.426 0.1329 -0.549
Lightning's Swift Strike 547 43.45% 31.54 66.18% 0.386 0.648 0.198
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 648 40.19% 31.31 64.35% -0.135 -0.4622 -0.218
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 594 38.24% 38.92 63.64% 0.222 -0.1534 0.822
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2790 37.42% 39.87 57.81% 0.707 0.8067 0.577
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1211 37.47% 34.1 59.12% -0.25 -0.4494 -0.053
Many Minds Move as One 465 37.74% 32.63 64.09% 0.088 -0.1266 -0.011
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3457 36.65% 32.87 55.57% -0.172 -0.0243 -0.065
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 505 45.16% 30.74 53.07% 0.242 0.2868 -0.037
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 660 35.1% 29.18 62.73% 0.506 0.4034 0.11
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 775 35.1% 31.1 54.71% 0.044 -0.114 -0.072
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 68 36.76% 30.51 60.29% 0.661 0.2777 0.285
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 87 30.99% 14.31 44.83% -0.533 0.0435 -0.196
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 328 33.44% 33.45 73.48% 0.241 0.1814 0.85
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 230 46.96% 34.99 60.0% 0.204 -0.2241 0.475
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 352 40.06% 34.21 70.74% -0.738 -0.732 0.534
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 110 31.43% 27.96 63.64% -0.18 -0.2388 -0.367
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 86 34.12% 21.86 58.14% 0.332 0.5386 -0.229
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 615 36.51% 35.53 65.53% 0.506 0.5386 0.599
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 327 36.0% 34.7 66.36% 0.191 0.0459 0.557
Shifting Memory of Ages 415 38.16% 28.49 55.18% -0.492 -0.1668 -0.49
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 258 27.52% 19.35 35.66% -0.758 -0.7094 -1.183
Shroud of Silent Mist 351 41.79% 28.79 54.99% -0.344 0.0242 -0.509
Starlight Seeks its Form 1721 37.23% 39.17 58.92% 0.29 0.2236 0.244
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 863 44.37% 40.91 63.5% 0.079 -0.404 0.338
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 895 34.26% 36.91 68.38% 0.593 0.7532 0.375
Thunderspeaker 1701 39.86% 34.57 60.85% 0.151 0.1819 -0.048
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 607 40.66% 30.05 51.57% 0.161 0.3513 -0.368
Towering Roots of the Jungle 156 37.82% 27.83 51.28% 0.603 0.7486 -0.0
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 345 53.2% 31.1 56.23% -0.07 -0.0503 -0.344
Vital Strength of the Earth 310 37.04% 24.33 55.48% -1.198 -0.6172 -0.308
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 818 31.68% 32.44 65.65% -0.326 0.1577 0.24
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 133 32.06% 23.86 57.14% -0.452 0.1673 -1.082
Volcano Looming High 658 50.61% 32.05 58.51% 0.3 0.3353 0.286
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 446 37.22% 35.65 60.31% 0.125 -0.1924 0.125

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Vigor 88.25%
Flash Floods 93.41%
River's Bounty 97.88%
Wash Away 93.31%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 12778 13.76 18.3%
II 13301 30.19 79.08%
III 6145 34.82 91.21%
IV 1453 38.63 98.42%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2338
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5373
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9517
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1372
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7477
Lose: Invader deck ran out 246
Lose: Adversary condition 2153
Win: Sacrifice victory 105
Lose: Scenario condition 201
Win: Scenario condition 1188
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3518
Lose: Spirit destroyed 189

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.209 Win Model: -0.14

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.19 Win Model: 0.213
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 14459 46.66% 30.32 57.86%
2 10145 41.97% 32.52 59.98%
3 4778 38.42% 34.02 61.68%
4 2733 36.84% 36.66 57.23%
5 290 39.37% 34.33 66.21%
6 1272 29.18% 32.62 58.1%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-13 03:02:19 (Pacific Time)