Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 194 26.29% 33.54 81.44% 0.456 0.4267 0.983
Blitz 0 274 34.19% 24.44 55.47% -0.955 -0.7117 -0.103
Dahan Insurrection 4 2199 27.06% 49.85 60.85% 0.871 0.8848 1.173
Despicable Theft 2 278 38.27% 26.47 60.79% 0.12 0.8862 -0.616
Elemental Invocation 1 197 31.47% 26.19 56.85% -0.465 0.288 -0.372
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1290 17.52% 47.31 71.24% 0.821 0.2247 1.087
Powers Long Forgotten 1 551 38.73% 22.42 50.45% 0.196 0.944 -1.238
Rituals of Terror 3 453 48.44% 63.18 68.65% 1.14 1.6186 1.116
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 44 31.82% 17.95 36.36% -0.124 0.5638 0.277
Second Wave 0 1194 35.69% 34.56 75.96% 0.374 0.3701 0.628
The Great River 3 161 43.75% 22.83 32.3% 0.189 1.3187 0.605
Varied Terrains 2 203 51.23% 24.44 45.81% -0.698 0.0819 -0.751
Ward the Shores 2 339 28.19% 17.8 33.04% -0.091 0.778 -0.005

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 17268 46.19% 28.66 56.53% -0.204 -0.0004 0.591
1 Thematic 812 37.79% 33.62 52.59% -0.561 0.0479 -0.087
2 Archipelago 59 37.29% 28.05 40.68% 0.139 0.3091 -0.297
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7355 42.89% 31.68 58.89% 0.005 0.0857 0.275
2 Coastline 1771 36.76% 30.01 61.26% 0.071 -0.0244 0.536
2 Fragment 187 44.62% 27.73 56.15% -0.429 -0.4718 0.494
2 Heart 135 60.74% 30.59 47.41% -0.423 -0.8839 0.208
2 Opposite Shores 2648 44.81% 30.03 53.93% 0.397 0.5286 0.33
2 Thematic 502 41.63% 42.94 49.6% 0.508 0.8665 0.913
2 Top to Top 463 47.29% 34.73 60.26% 0.587 0.4982 0.712
3 Archipelago 112 50.46% 73.69 63.39% 0.404 0.2343 0.534
3 Coastline 89 22.47% 31.52 59.55% 0.371 0.199 1.26
3 Other 316 20.45% 21.88 65.19% -1.699 -2.0845 0.112
3 Round (Default) 5515 39.51% 33.66 60.34% 0.095 0.1011 -0.194
3 Sunrise 23 34.78% 31.78 78.26% 0.0 -0.6066 0.0
3 Thematic 176 38.07% 38.51 63.07% 0.227 -0.2044 -0.541
4 Archipelago 32 40.63% 45.22 65.63% 0.0 -0.2406 0.0
4 Coastline 31 41.94% 29.65 45.16% 0.569 -0.0291 0.722
4 Leaf 29 37.93% 31.72 44.83% 0.0 -1.0224 -0.532
4 Other 99 46.46% 32.19 73.74% 0.324 -0.5193 0.028
4 Snake 4 25.0% 39.0 75.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 304 35.86% 34.12 45.07% -0.453 -0.6555 -0.353
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3042 36.25% 35.73 56.87% -0.296 -0.1063 -0.785
5 Archipelago 13 53.85% 55.38 53.85% 0.0 0.5989 0.0
5 Coastline 12 16.67% 39.92 66.67% 0.0 -0.6597 -0.173
5 Other 344 39.3% 31.67 67.44% 1.098 0.9377 -0.586
5 Thematic 40 52.5% 58.75 45.0% 0.306 0.6439 0.341
6 Archipelago 39 12.82% 29.23 64.1% 0.323 -0.3308 -0.325
6 Coastline 26 16.0% 41.15 73.08% 0.216 -0.2346 0.449
6 Other 298 33.89% 36.9 69.8% 0.67 0.6315 0.243
6 Star 129 27.91% 28.91 55.04% -0.937 -0.4715 -1.489
6 Thematic 553 27.49% 30.5 47.2% -0.752 -0.5037 -0.982
6 Two Centers (Default) 622 30.91% 33.09 58.68% 0.394 1.5957 -1.772
7 Archipelago 5 40.0% 71.6 40.0% -0.401 0.7544 0.0
7 Other 17 17.65% 35.71 52.94% -0.533 -0.3511 0.006

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1021 34.96 51.22% -0.159 -0.0108 0.705
Aid From Lesser Spirits 894 40.13 59.51% 0.352 0.2394 1.044
All Things Weaken 1074 36.64 55.21% -0.344 0.0307 0.756
Attenuated Essence 555 33.42 49.19% -0.046 0.0798 0.816
Back Against the Wall 910 38.08 56.15% 0.093 0.1338 0.385
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 536 29.92 39.93% 0.088 0.2938 0.867
Burn Brightest Before the End 467 33.58 44.97% 0.503 0.5476 0.543
Disintegrating Ecosystem 979 31.45 46.99% -0.689 -0.191 0.454
Downward Spiral 1308 32.73 51.68% -0.201 0.0492 0.863
Erosion of Will 980 33.89 45.61% -0.139 0.1188 0.32
Intensifying Exploitation 547 31.83 43.69% 0.025 0.2438 0.396
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 496 41.34 74.19% -0.243 -0.6294 1.373
Memory Fades to Dust 1322 32.04 49.47% 0.004 0.2093 0.617
Power Corrodes the Spirit 991 33.91 48.94% -0.519 -0.321 0.51
Promising Farmlands 1005 33.12 45.77% -0.889 -0.5329 0.317
Shattered Fragments of Power 500 34.71 48.0% -0.28 -0.0625 0.703
Slow Dissolution of Will 517 30.48 41.2% -0.024 0.4051 0.214
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 296 42.48 74.32% 0.919 0.2945 1.146
The Border of Life and Death 145 34.85 59.31% 0.926 0.6059 0.768
Thriving Communities 1022 32.97 46.18% -0.351 -0.0314 0.633
Thriving Crops 270 35.08 58.15% -0.147 -0.2659 0.852
Unnatural Proliferation 1064 37.16 53.85% -0.505 -0.4154 0.675
Untended Land Crumbles 1028 33.98 50.0% -0.382 -0.1573 0.504

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 15633 39.55% 31.3 58.34% -0.017 0.7823 0.057
B 11190 40.77% 31.62 57.63% 0.22 0.9499 -0.075
C 11969 40.06% 32.17 58.78% 0.089 0.6938 0.05
D 10141 40.6% 30.93 56.99% -0.102 0.6549 -0.015
E 9306 40.43% 32.44 57.97% 0.445 1.029 0.278
F 8284 40.79% 32.24 59.02% 0.1 0.802 0.132
G 7488 41.18% 33.04 59.66% 0.217 0.974 0.022
H 7817 41.31% 33.1 59.72% -0.21 0.4211 0.215
East 2008 35.41% 36.98 50.65% 0.184 0.9676 -0.114
Northeast 1277 33.36% 34.65 49.49% 0.296 1.0571 -0.497
Northwest 1043 33.3% 33.86 47.75% 0.545 1.3867 0.483
Southeast 950 30.24% 32.91 49.05% -0.635 0.004 0.089
Southwest 838 31.74% 29.33 47.26% 0.377 1.4227 -0.291
West 1656 35.91% 34.91 49.52% -1.492 -0.7164 -0.378

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 743 0.0% 20.08 47.24% -0.616 0.258 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 1467 38.37% 19.94 48.94% -1.009 -0.6321 1.008
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1126 9.04% 47.06 81.26% -0.837 -1.1283 0.708
Start of Game Growth 1502 14.41% 45.68 79.09% 0.906 0.3493 -0.149
Unlimited Undo 4627 37.13% 33.9 63.17% 0.072 0.1359 0.321
Using Tokens but Not Events 4645 29.32% 29.2 66.93% 0.361 0.2336 0.811

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1751 30.7% 30.52 58.31% 0.433 0.3363 0.296
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 439 38.36% 29.71 51.71% -0.375 -0.7008 -0.96
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 15 40.0% 20.8 53.33% -0.108 -0.3699 -0.986
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 113 33.63% 33.98 52.21% -0.282 -1.0024 0.002
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 362 55.65% 26.28 51.93% -0.361 -0.0626 -1.176
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 375 32.27% 32.48 58.67% 0.617 0.0279 1.562
Dances Up Earthquakes 246 41.87% 30.5 50.41% 0.025 0.2066 1.13
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 611 34.95% 27.23 62.36% 0.424 0.245 -0.148
Downpour Drenches the World 2207 35.98% 36.01 53.96% -0.02 0.3392 -0.029
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1058 36.77% 31.73 59.83% -0.47 -0.909 0.311
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1838 33.3% 33.94 65.18% 0.237 -0.1122 -0.17
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 853 32.65% 31.94 65.77% -0.346 -0.7468 0.148
Finder of Paths Unseen 804 37.61% 30.92 56.47% -1.181 -0.1068 -0.186
Fractured Days Split the Sky 813 31.36% 34.23 49.57% 0.185 0.6402 -0.028
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 869 39.17% 38.9 63.18% 1.207 1.1157 0.314
Heart of the Wildfire 569 42.86% 27.09 52.9% 0.056 0.4876 -0.534
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1792 34.04% 35.07 63.56% 0.563 0.1204 -0.147
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 450 36.0% 35.46 57.11% 0.202 -0.3068 -0.86
Lightning's Swift Strike 778 39.68% 29.55 64.14% 0.741 0.9041 0.397
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 822 41.08% 30.61 61.8% 0.221 -0.4581 -0.444
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 719 38.32% 37.5 62.59% 0.12 -0.2392 0.509
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 3732 36.96% 39.57 57.29% 1.122 0.9762 0.503
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1420 37.5% 33.86 59.08% 0.862 0.6852 0.742
Many Minds Move as One 613 37.6% 32.06 61.99% 0.295 0.1606 0.011
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4160 37.1% 31.75 53.03% 0.164 0.0874 -0.531
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 1272 45.12% 30.69 52.67% 0.403 0.5942 -0.181
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 845 37.88% 29.18 62.72% 0.707 0.648 0.085
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 940 35.53% 31.46 55.43% 0.007 -0.187 -0.136
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 143 34.97% 31.54 60.14% -0.228 -0.2427 0.265
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 121 36.89% 15.58 42.15% -0.717 -0.0922 -0.203
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 384 34.39% 32.3 72.66% -0.04 -0.0246 0.751
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 329 44.07% 33.72 58.66% 0.955 0.5205 -0.058
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 400 38.82% 33.13 68.0% -0.138 -0.1154 -0.655
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 137 34.35% 26.09 61.31% -0.893 -0.9803 -0.491
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 110 32.41% 22.03 58.18% -0.589 -0.1798 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 744 36.91% 35.32 64.78% 0.0 0.0576 0.691
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 8 62.5% 31.75 87.5% 0.645 0.1415 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 417 33.49% 32.13 63.31% -0.707 -0.7442 -0.496
Shifting Memory of Ages 488 36.76% 27.44 55.74% -0.699 -0.3367 -0.12
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 424 30.66% 23.38 40.8% 0.071 0.0533 -0.335
Shroud of Silent Mist 449 43.02% 27.43 53.9% -1.235 -0.7116 -0.254
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 20 30.0% 23.35 50.0% -0.445 -0.7855 0.603
Starlight Seeks its Form 2229 37.24% 38.51 57.83% -0.043 -0.2415 -0.058
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1078 46.0% 39.78 61.13% 0.074 -0.5412 0.491
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1235 35.24% 36.81 67.29% 0.208 0.4408 0.708
Thunderspeaker 2101 40.37% 34.03 60.16% -0.213 -0.2298 -0.074
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 781 40.18% 29.83 51.34% -0.128 0.0723 -0.259
Towering Roots of the Jungle 247 38.87% 30.16 56.28% -0.064 0.103 0.713
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 419 53.59% 30.02 55.13% -0.833 -0.7828 0.277
Vital Strength of the Earth 407 36.15% 24.04 55.53% 0.527 0.9976 0.011
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1003 32.25% 31.6 63.51% -0.13 0.2793 -0.232
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 172 33.73% 23.13 54.65% -0.363 0.3038 0.161
Volcano Looming High 839 49.7% 30.66 55.66% -0.087 -0.103 -0.046
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 574 38.33% 34.18 58.89% -0.369 -0.6494 -0.315

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Vigor 88.26%
Flash Floods 93.46%
River's Bounty 97.94%
Wash Away 93.44%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 16889 12.44 17.24%
II 16678 29.94 78.32%
III 7662 34.9 90.93%
IV 1847 38.84 98.7%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2910
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6673
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11856
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1752
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 10422
Lose: Invader deck ran out 299
Lose: Adversary condition 2720
Win: Sacrifice victory 122
Lose: Scenario condition 232
Win: Scenario condition 1450
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4395
Lose: Spirit destroyed 245

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.181 Win Model: -0.132

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.49 Win Model: 0.021
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 18281 45.87% 29.17 56.21%
2 13134 42.66% 31.56 57.9%
3 6108 38.21% 33.19 60.59%
4 3507 36.7% 35.68 56.49%
5 376 39.41% 34.3 65.16%
6 1670 29.31% 32.79 57.25%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-10-18 23:57:56 (Pacific Time)