Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 144 29.17% 33.9 82.64% 0.994 0.7738 0.908
Blitz 0 182 37.22% 28.15 57.69% -0.695 -0.4083 0.179
Dahan Insurrection 4 1450 29.59% 51.02 60.48% 0.516 0.4008 0.67
Despicable Theft 2 180 36.31% 27.08 63.33% -0.469 0.2693 -0.209
Elemental Invocation 1 139 29.5% 26.55 61.15% -0.714 0.0422 -0.771
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 922 17.03% 49.13 72.02% 0.561 -0.0208 0.386
Powers Long Forgotten 1 335 36.12% 23.32 54.63% -0.981 -0.1277 -0.332
Rituals of Terror 3 269 47.39% 67.83 71.75% 0.292 0.1216 1.89
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 21 33.33% 14.0 28.57% 0.431 1.3415 -0.531
Second Wave 0 721 32.3% 35.03 79.75% 0.442 0.5215 0.303
The Great River 3 99 48.98% 24.78 33.33% 0.107 1.4703 -1.33
Varied Terrains 2 149 50.34% 26.65 48.32% -0.493 0.3868 -0.146
Ward the Shores 2 258 25.0% 16.88 29.07% -0.708 0.2738 -1.538

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 10491 48.08% 30.66 58.78% 0.088 0.4318 1.256
1 Thematic 481 42.68% 35.36 53.22% -0.588 -0.0601 1.008
2 Archipelago 37 35.14% 37.41 45.95% 0.0 0.499 -0.291
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4574 41.8% 33.68 63.12% -0.188 0.0965 0.9
2 Coastline 1077 36.54% 32.54 65.65% 0.207 0.2362 0.997
2 Fragment 107 39.62% 31.91 60.75% 0.119 -0.1181 1.823
2 Heart 96 65.63% 33.06 46.88% 0.712 0.5639 -0.197
2 Opposite Shores 1411 44.59% 32.48 57.69% 0.244 0.3033 0.459
2 Thematic 305 42.62% 46.76 52.79% 0.178 0.5483 0.506
2 Top to Top 289 46.71% 36.34 61.59% -0.132 -0.0083 0.43
3 Archipelago 81 53.85% 73.44 61.73% 1.874 1.0762 0.144
3 Coastline 28 10.71% 24.82 50.0% 0.572 0.0231 0.128
3 Other 209 17.96% 23.84 69.86% 0.352 -0.1862 1.736
3 Round (Default) 3240 41.61% 36.47 65.31% 0.151 0.0583 0.169
3 Sunrise 19 36.84% 31.84 73.68% 0.37 0.5213 -0.359
3 Thematic 113 36.28% 45.87 73.45% 1.013 0.4943 0.974
4 Archipelago 28 39.29% 45.75 67.86% -0.716 -0.2833 0.221
4 Coastline 14 35.71% 33.29 57.14% 0.175 -0.5857 0.763
4 Leaf 21 52.38% 34.33 42.86% -0.232 -0.4436 -1.21
4 Other 66 54.55% 33.21 75.76% 0.003 0.0108 1.179
4 Snake 4 25.0% 39.0 75.0% 0.0 -0.0705 0.0
4 Thematic 200 36.5% 36.1 45.5% -0.851 -0.7183 -0.91
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1839 36.12% 36.82 57.97% -0.618 -0.5111 -0.665
5 Archipelago 12 58.33% 60.0 58.33% 0.275 0.4432 -0.584
5 Coastline 4 0.0% 48.25 100.0% 0.0 -0.5066 0.536
5 Other 212 39.71% 31.72 72.64% 0.108 -0.4063 -0.284
5 Thematic 28 60.71% 60.29 39.29% 0.208 -0.7739 -1.479
6 Archipelago 29 13.79% 28.34 65.52% -0.133 -0.8633 0.168
6 Coastline 6 20.0% 19.0 66.67% 0.367 -0.6725 -0.348
6 Other 160 40.0% 37.73 72.5% -0.853 -0.2182 -0.452
6 Star 77 32.47% 32.35 62.34% -0.592 -0.3472 -1.902
6 Thematic 367 26.7% 29.96 49.86% -0.763 -0.4399 -2.04
6 Two Centers (Default) 387 30.99% 34.3 62.27% -0.903 -1.0068 -1.349
7 Archipelago 3 66.67% 101.67 66.67% 0.0 0.5915 -0.566
7 Other 10 20.0% 29.4 40.0% -0.445 -1.8816 -0.834

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 671 37.3 55.29% -0.153 -0.0495 0.177
Aid From Lesser Spirits 625 41.69 62.56% 0.399 0.2547 0.462
All Things Weaken 705 37.7 55.32% -0.327 0.0392 0.51
Attenuated Essence 270 32.34 49.26% 0.121 0.1198 0.235
Back Against the Wall 600 38.66 56.33% 0.018 0.083 0.357
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 250 30.53 40.0% -0.669 -0.4341 -0.481
Burn Brightest Before the End 254 31.37 42.52% -0.353 -0.1929 -0.569
Disintegrating Ecosystem 607 33.27 49.42% -0.318 0.0582 0.17
Downward Spiral 828 34.2 52.9% -0.268 -0.1958 0.504
Erosion of Will 644 35.8 47.98% 0.212 0.4688 -0.05
Intensifying Exploitation 282 32.5 42.2% 0.559 0.833 -0.444
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 326 43.9 76.69% -0.15 -0.6368 1.096
Memory Fades to Dust 830 32.71 51.08% -0.173 0.0101 0.323
Power Corrodes the Spirit 637 36.16 51.81% -0.108 0.1046 0.082
Promising Farmlands 658 35.14 48.02% 0.195 0.5181 -0.002
Shattered Fragments of Power 244 34.54 49.18% -0.622 -0.4512 0.005
Slow Dissolution of Will 244 28.8 36.89% -0.261 0.1226 -0.619
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 194 47.84 78.87% 1.078 0.4017 1.368
The Border of Life and Death 74 30.78 52.7% 0.298 -0.2182 -0.294
Thriving Communities 641 33.77 45.55% -0.178 0.1462 -0.108
Thriving Crops 136 36.95 58.82% 0.521 0.5228 0.139
Unnatural Proliferation 681 38.41 55.65% -0.562 -0.3751 0.254
Untended Land Crumbles 713 35.71 50.91% -0.268 0.0709 0.297

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 9239 41.36% 33.42 60.29% 0.27 1.1334 0.168
B 6800 41.37% 33.88 61.28% 0.082 0.9027 0.244
C 7302 40.41% 33.81 61.91% 0.255 0.9526 0.18
D 6035 40.86% 32.72 60.5% -0.019 0.837 0.09
E 5694 41.5% 34.4 61.92% 0.264 0.9523 0.266
F 4896 41.91% 34.07 62.48% -0.265 0.5527 0.126
G 4536 41.44% 34.98 63.43% 0.031 0.9114 0.284
H 4665 42.22% 35.24 64.07% 0.187 0.9676 0.51
East 1275 37.13% 39.13 52.39% 0.04 0.8325 0.194
Northeast 807 33.95% 36.03 50.43% -0.229 0.6521 -0.525
Northwest 652 33.64% 34.01 48.93% -0.467 0.404 -0.449
Southeast 621 30.97% 34.86 52.66% -0.037 0.822 -0.527
Southwest 538 31.78% 29.51 50.93% -0.13 1.0788 -0.595
West 1054 36.03% 36.38 52.56% 0.021 1.0811 -0.036

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 375 0.0% 19.57 46.93% -0.459 0.2569 -0.123
Not Using Events or Tokens 804 36.18% 20.95 51.12% -0.889 -0.4154 -1.329
Skip Initial Invader Actions 732 7.3% 49.65 84.7% 0.296 -0.2716 1.564
Start of Game Growth 978 13.14% 47.49 81.7% 0.571 -0.0938 0.668
Unlimited Undo 2682 37.5% 35.35 67.08% -0.018 0.0056 0.415
Using Tokens but Not Events 2648 28.27% 30.78 67.07% 0.256 0.3034 -0.031

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1208 31.35% 31.11 60.68% -0.463 -0.6598 -0.207
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 67 31.34% 26.7 52.24% 0.423 -0.2918 0.65
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 246 60.33% 29.35 55.28% -0.444 -0.1761 -0.323
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 187 32.09% 32.68 57.75% -0.007 -0.5745 0.356
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 399 35.55% 28.15 63.41% -0.746 -0.8773 0.291
Downpour Drenches the World 1453 37.15% 36.78 55.54% -0.112 0.1578 -0.102
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 673 35.22% 33.43 63.0% 0.143 -0.2888 -0.042
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1116 36.04% 37.29 69.0% 0.437 0.0137 0.466
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 502 33.6% 32.89 66.33% 0.176 -0.2697 0.062
Finder of Paths Unseen 582 41.82% 33.63 61.68% -1.154 -0.4973 0.107
Fractured Days Split the Sky 544 35.36% 36.68 52.21% -0.174 0.6336 0.049
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 646 36.59% 40.97 66.1% -0.186 -0.3037 0.071
Heart of the Wildfire 366 40.67% 27.43 54.64% -1.01 -0.7233 -0.824
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1158 34.96% 36.81 68.48% 0.056 -0.3368 0.385
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 290 38.62% 37.14 54.48% -0.137 -0.5415 -0.586
Lightning's Swift Strike 407 45.96% 32.49 68.8% 0.121 0.3884 0.138
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 574 40.85% 32.12 66.2% 0.681 0.3294 -0.213
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 504 38.89% 39.08 63.89% 1.152 0.7113 0.868
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2143 39.65% 41.02 59.87% 0.519 0.4763 0.543
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 960 40.08% 33.74 58.54% 0.475 0.2242 -0.193
Many Minds Move as One 386 38.64% 33.2 66.06% 0.443 0.2131 -0.148
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2650 36.57% 35.05 59.47% -0.074 -0.1782 0.127
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 548 33.33% 30.02 64.05% 0.045 -0.1106 -0.1
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 642 34.74% 32.38 55.14% 0.083 -0.1106 -0.021
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 68 35.71% 15.49 47.06% -0.978 -0.4925 -0.266
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 295 35.17% 34.52 73.56% 0.174 0.2294 0.731
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 149 47.65% 35.93 62.42% 0.778 0.3097 0.35
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 323 40.58% 34.46 71.52% -0.563 -0.3477 0.519
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 92 28.09% 28.74 64.13% -0.35 -0.3205 -0.296
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 69 35.29% 21.29 57.97% 0.156 0.3284 -0.198
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 440 39.49% 38.41 72.5% 0.281 0.1282 0.935
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 275 38.55% 34.96 64.73% 0.675 0.4756 0.506
Shifting Memory of Ages 367 39.62% 29.12 55.31% -1.596 -1.1473 -0.575
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 65 23.08% 23.29 50.77% -0.059 -0.3632 -0.357
Shroud of Silent Mist 273 44.07% 29.57 55.31% -0.269 0.0668 -0.722
Starlight Seeks its Form 1422 37.39% 39.97 61.04% 0.235 0.1803 0.347
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 704 44.16% 41.36 66.48% -0.067 -0.6895 0.332
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 673 33.8% 36.44 69.09% 0.393 0.5862 0.248
Thunderspeaker 1405 41.03% 35.36 61.78% -0.318 -0.3718 -0.106
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 454 40.75% 30.25 51.76% -0.141 -0.0066 -0.431
Towering Roots of the Jungle 70 41.43% 24.29 44.29% -0.112 -0.1029 -0.759
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 276 54.55% 31.19 56.52% 0.144 0.2269 -0.295
Vital Strength of the Earth 251 39.17% 25.51 58.57% 0.335 0.9299 -0.123
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 721 32.77% 33.49 67.68% -0.194 0.2452 0.163
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 114 29.2% 23.74 59.65% 0.03 0.7218 -0.872
Volcano Looming High 551 48.36% 32.57 58.8% 0.459 0.5621 0.184
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 336 39.29% 35.84 60.71% 0.721 0.4685 -0.033

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Vigor 88.0%
Flash Floods 93.18%
River's Bounty 97.76%
Wash Away 93.03%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9386 15.45 18.53%
II 10526 30.45 79.26%
III 4933 34.8 91.51%
IV 1185 38.47 98.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1738
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4322
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7544
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1121
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5148
Lose: Invader deck ran out 208
Lose: Adversary condition 1751
Win: Sacrifice victory 87
Lose: Scenario condition 167
Win: Scenario condition 952
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2823
Lose: Spirit destroyed 169

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.089 Win Model: -0.129

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.105 Win Model: -0.02
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 11104 47.87% 31.21 58.45%
2 7901 41.97% 33.82 61.9%
3 3622 39.78% 35.98 65.49%
4 2135 37.17% 37.08 57.7%
5 246 41.98% 33.6 67.07%
6 1022 30.26% 33.22 60.08%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)