Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel

Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
6161	47.96%	42.31	75.34%

Results vs. Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
No Adversary	—	0	1759	27.8%	26.48	0.000	92.72%	0.000	0.0000
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	34	35.29%	38.85	-0.268	85.29%	0.223	0.7365
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	29	20.69%	42.34	1.597	89.66%	-0.137	0.3335
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	40	52.5%	44.2	0.368	77.5%	-0.359	0.6187
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	55	58.18%	39.8	-0.137	54.55%	-1.612	-0.2899
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	36	80.56%	50.08	5.35	63.89%	-0.577	1.1437
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	15	73.33%	59.27	9.55	73.33%	-0.419	0.9573
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	108	76.85%	49.44	5.078	41.67%	-1.591	0.5832
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	80	42.5%	33.49	-1.859	95.0%	0.848	1.0241
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	99	46.46%	35.73	-2.811	84.85%	-0.239	-0.514
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	157	39.35%	43.28	0.749	83.44%	-0.527	-0.2784
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	154	49.34%	47.95	3.498	79.87%	-0.592	-0.1243
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	181	50.84%	53.75	6.859	88.4%	0.003	0.4943
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	76	50.67%	57.38	7.831	76.32%	-0.72	0.6005
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	256	76.38%	55.27	6.688	62.5%	-1.182	0.3133
The Kingdom of England	0	1	33	33.33%	36.0	-2.365	96.97%	0.946	1.4397
The Kingdom of England	1	3	40	45.0%	47.35	1.291	80.0%	-0.218	0.5309
The Kingdom of England	2	4	62	52.46%	37.66	-2.092	70.97%	-0.491	0.6447
The Kingdom of England	3	6	75	52.7%	41.79	2.287	57.33%	-0.928	0.7599
The Kingdom of England	4	7	159	27.04%	54.85	5.076	81.13%	-1.001	0.5583
The Kingdom of England	5	9	10	80.0%	43.9	-2.305	20.0%	-1.466	0.6257
The Kingdom of England	6	11	174	67.82%	50.11	3.689	28.16%	-2.917	-0.3794
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	38	47.37%	30.61	-2.144	73.68%	0.171	0.912
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	34	57.58%	35.62	-1.763	61.76%	-1.165	-0.2506
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	107	52.38%	35.64	-3.079	38.32%	-2.23	0.0801
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	84	54.22%	49.42	5.809	63.1%	-0.851	1.4344
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	63	53.23%	48.41	4.708	44.44%	-1.529	0.8592
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	77	58.44%	61.19	10.755	70.13%	-0.396	1.5213
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	473	55.08%	61.09	9.666	54.97%	-1.695	0.4604
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	98	28.57%	34.5	-2.467	92.86%	0.163	0.2932
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	98	30.93%	38.0	-0.461	87.76%	-0.113	0.8515
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	102	44.55%	40.96	0.667	87.25%	-0.185	0.8205
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	182	40.88%	52.34	6.904	87.36%	0.545	1.3985
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	124	54.03%	48.48	4.548	70.97%	-0.838	0.5106
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	136	66.91%	59.94	8.438	72.06%	-0.356	0.8867
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	542	75.83%	55.32	7.775	54.06%	-1.218	0.2569
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	33	42.42%	29.3	-5.764	87.88%	-0.434	-0.2332
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	39	43.59%	32.51	-2.877	76.92%	-0.062	0.0888
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	64	56.25%	35.36	-1.755	78.13%	-0.15	0.1895
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	66	66.15%	49.33	4.927	78.79%	0.284	0.6397
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	46	54.35%	54.0	6.679	82.61%	0.002	0.7768
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	13	53.85%	52.54	4.98	76.92%	-0.319	0.4409
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	192	75.0%	51.14	4.18	57.29%	-1.237	-0.071
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	28	28.57%	34.39	-3.096	85.71%	0.371	0.0911
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	20	60.0%	31.4	-5.905	75.0%	-0.874	0.0773
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	42	41.46%	47.9	4.974	80.95%	0.915	1.2542
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	31	61.29%	50.48	5.769	80.65%	-0.366	0.6345
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	26	73.08%	46.81	5.151	61.54%	-0.478	0.7174
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	17	88.24%	48.47	4.036	47.06%	-1.236	0.6449
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	159	79.25%	61.26	11.857	38.99%	-1.442	0.3762

Results in Scenarios

Scenario	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits	0	45	24.44%	30.73	100.0%	0.606	1.0463	0.628
Blitz	0	22	30.0%	37.86	90.91%	0.501	0.7575	1.026
Dahan Insurrection	4	349	35.53%	64.04	69.63%	0.002	0.3036	0.426
Despicable Theft	2	39	47.37%	36.69	89.74%	0.222	0.7664	0.994
Elemental Invocation	1	13	38.46%	35.85	92.31%	0.93	1.5416	0.0
Guard the Isle's Heart	0	318	14.78%	53.97	77.99%	0.48	0.6736	-0.005
Powers Long Forgotten	1	46	39.13%	35.67	91.3%	-0.01	0.2356	0.538
Rituals of Terror	3	60	48.33%	79.82	88.33%	3.223	2.3873	1.966
Second Wave	0	114	34.51%	34.25	86.84%	0.145	0.7175	0.007
The Great River	3	21	61.9%	34.9	52.38%	-1.442	0.1969	0.113
Varied Terrains	2	44	65.91%	34.7	65.91%	-1.301	-0.5552	-0.506
Ward the Shores	2	24	37.5%	36.75	75.0%	-0.389	0.6657	-0.338

Results using Layouts

# Boards	Layout	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
1	Single Board	2932	52.15%	39.27	73.16%	0.351	0.7964	0.163
1	Thematic	94	58.51%	46.38	70.21%	0.277	0.9088	0.633
2	Archipelago	7	57.14%	75.86	71.43%	0.138	0.1512	-0.122
2	Bottom to Bottom (Default)	1031	42.94%	44.42	79.63%	0.406	0.7505	0.275
2	Coastline	222	43.96%	43.24	83.78%	0.971	1.0542	0.983
2	Fragment	29	34.48%	49.34	79.31%	0.475	0.563	0.649
2	Heart	9	55.56%	53.33	100.0%	0.595	1.2069	0.442
2	Opposite Shores	311	50.16%	39.7	66.24%	0.261	0.639	-0.516
2	Thematic	74	52.7%	60.92	62.16%	-0.233	0.2846	-0.293
2	Top to Top	87	51.72%	42.63	73.56%	-0.104	0.0347	-0.252
3	Archipelago	2	0.0%	42.0	100.0%	0.069	-0.9082	0.0
3	Coastline	6	16.67%	26.33	66.67%	-0.299	-0.9476	0.46
3	Other	41	21.95%	31.78	92.68%	1.058	-0.0131	0.888
3	Round (Default)	604	48.91%	40.81	75.66%	-0.146	0.0465	-0.117
3	Sunrise	1	0.0%	37.0	100.0%	0.0	0.3199	0.0
3	Thematic	22	40.91%	61.14	81.82%	0.638	0.3927	0.26
4	Archipelago	8	12.5%	48.5	87.5%	-0.444	-0.8461	0.182
4	Coastline	6	33.33%	46.83	83.33%	0.008	0.2061	0.113
4	Leaf	4	75.0%	52.25	75.0%	-0.151	0.3394	-0.464
4	Other	11	27.27%	38.0	100.0%	0.39	-0.1512	0.676
4	Thematic	32	28.13%	54.06	65.63%	-0.797	-0.7916	-0.685
4	Trapezoid (Default)	361	41.67%	56.07	81.72%	-0.042	-0.1833	0.032
5	Archipelago	2	50.0%	90.5	100.0%	0.06	-0.2573	0.345
5	Other	35	25.71%	39.51	80.0%	0.015	-0.1607	0.279
5	Thematic	8	62.5%	52.0	25.0%	-1.082	-1.1166	-1.18
6	Archipelago	4	0.0%	35.0	100.0%	0.029	-0.7223	0.0
6	Coastline	1	0.0%	24.0	100.0%	0.0	-0.7077	0.0
6	Other	34	38.24%	42.41	67.65%	-1.393	-0.6961	-0.737
6	Star	14	57.14%	46.0	64.29%	-0.455	0.077	-0.605
6	Thematic	86	22.09%	43.29	79.07%	-0.932	-0.4332	-1.345
6	Two Centers (Default)	77	39.47%	46.53	87.01%	-0.025	0.2006	0.519
7	Archipelago	3	66.67%	101.67	66.67%	0.164	-0.571	-0.61
7	Other	2	0.0%	44.0	100.0%	0.0	-0.7715	0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	219	41.67	61.64%	-1.276	0.6335	-0.488
Aid From Lesser Spirits	203	43.57	62.07%	-1.387	0.2975	-0.799
All Things Weaken	226	40.38	55.75%	-1.435	0.5646	-0.774
Back Against the Wall	196	40.13	57.14%	-1.799	0.1489	-0.93
Disintegrating Ecosystem	190	35.35	55.79%	-1.514	0.5514	-0.807
Downward Spiral	231	41.54	59.74%	-1.534	0.4291	-0.678
Erosion of Will	201	38.7	51.74%	-1.71	0.3971	-1.373
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	109	49.31	84.4%	-0.03	0.5866	0.31
Memory Fades to Dust	237	39.84	60.76%	-1.438	0.6193	-0.461
Power Corrodes the Spirit	205	42.21	60.0%	-1.335	0.6433	-0.765
Promising Farmlands	230	39.94	52.61%	-1.847	0.255	-0.962
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	65	51.28	89.23%	0.299	0.6286	0.863
Thriving Communities	187	36.91	48.66%	-1.929	0.1205	-1.244
Unnatural Proliferation	223	41.71	61.43%	-1.573	0.3715	-0.688
Untended Land Crumbles	205	39.55	52.68%	-1.671	0.3554	-0.753

Results using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	2001	46.56%	43.12	77.41%	0.481	1.2403	0.675
B	1486	45.32%	43.77	76.92%	0.185	0.8618	0.379
C	1645	47.16%	43.0	75.56%	0.167	0.6917	0.047
D	1293	47.06%	42.36	76.1%	0.21	0.9367	0.405
E	1293	47.4%	43.2	75.25%	0.261	0.821	0.062
F	1054	44.68%	43.7	78.08%	0.166	0.8563	0.233
G	958	43.65%	43.73	77.66%	0.149	0.8448	0.328
H	1015	44.19%	44.46	79.21%	0.557	1.2173	0.457
East	271	38.38%	52.93	71.96%	0.251	0.9305	-0.128
Northeast	169	31.95%	48.04	70.41%	-0.261	0.3093	-0.688
Northwest	146	35.62%	46.73	69.18%	-0.686	0.1556	0.082
Southeast	140	28.57%	46.45	73.57%	-0.563	-0.0369	-0.834
Southwest	118	28.81%	41.37	75.42%	-0.274	0.6667	-0.753
West	226	42.48%	50.17	69.03%	-0.596	0.4045	-0.289

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	58	0.0%	31.76	75.86%	-1.677	0.4417	-0.576
Not Using Events or Tokens	94	26.58%	29.4	75.53%	-0.907	-0.6661	-1.424
Skip Initial Invader Actions	116	5.43%	47.32	89.66%	0.735	0.366	0.508
Start of Game Growth	170	13.61%	48.06	88.82%	-0.04	-0.6625	1.101
Unlimited Undo	698	42.92%	44.67	86.1%	1.02	0.3889	1.093
Using Tokens but Not Events	504	31.67%	41.39	88.1%	0.185	0.2292	0.503

Results With Allies

Option	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	219	100.0%	44.78	100.0%	0.714	0.6668	0.479
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	56	100.0%	36.64	100.0%	-1.339	-1.2752	-1.39
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	63	100.0%	37.92	100.0%	-0.08	-0.3185	-0.901
Downpour Drenches the World	429	100.0%	49.53	100.0%	0.193	0.5842	0.197
Eyes Watch From the Trees	226	100.0%	48.56	100.0%	0.134	-0.2812	0.222
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	96	100.0%	36.66	100.0%	0.064	-0.5306	0.043
Finder of Paths Unseen	174	100.0%	43.74	100.0%	0.123	0.5269	0.677
Fractured Days Split the Sky	104	100.0%	55.36	100.0%	-0.146	-0.1041	0.567
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	202	100.0%	54.27	100.0%	0.331	0.314	0.171
Heart of the Wildfire	56	100.0%	31.61	100.0%	-0.256	0.0731	-1.34
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	250	100.0%	45.37	100.0%	-0.229	-0.8635	0.08
Lightning's Swift Strike	80	540.63%	44.39	330.0%	0.631	0.9044	1.091
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	210	42.79%	37.2	76.67%	0.761	-0.072	-0.992
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	135	42.98%	49.55	83.7%	0.483	-0.0893	0.309
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	480	51.04%	54.58	76.46%	0.729	0.3044	0.397
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	167	100.0%	42.33	100.0%	-0.238	-0.4454	-0.087
Many Minds Move as One	56	100.0%	43.7	100.0%	0.629	0.1163	0.768
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	504	100.0%	48.0	100.0%	0.148	-0.1348	-0.028
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	88	100.0%	39.26	100.0%	0.001	0.034	0.005
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	106	100.0%	47.42	100.0%	-0.439	-0.5824	-0.445
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	3	5666.67%	25.0	1833.33%	0.0	0.5018	0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous	129	41.09%	38.53	79.84%	-0.027	0.1117	0.536
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding	134	44.78%	43.63	82.84%	0.035	-0.0428	0.337
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness	15	46.67%	31.33	86.67%	-0.041	-0.0429	0.353
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	13	30.77%	28.31	92.31%	0.561	0.6304	-0.24
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	113	100.0%	47.04	100.0%	0.424	0.1621	0.866
Shifting Memory of Ages	64	100.0%	40.19	100.0%	0.25	0.2724	0.322
Shroud of Silent Mist	63	100.0%	38.89	100.0%	-0.717	-0.4721	-0.537
Starlight Seeks its Form	291	100.0%	54.78	100.0%	0.464	0.2518	0.221
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	171	100.0%	42.6	100.0%	-1.097	-1.2664	-0.366
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	115	100.0%	45.05	100.0%	-0.471	-0.3601	-0.007
Thunderspeaker	380	100.0%	42.63	100.0%	-0.239	-0.3346	-0.296
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	34	100.0%	39.0	100.0%	0.555	0.4574	0.156
Vital Strength of the Earth	31	575.0%	24.13	280.65%	-0.265	0.617	-0.628
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	242	40.25%	39.42	77.69%	-0.388	0.0132	-0.341
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	12	33.33%	30.25	83.33%	-0.346	0.6958	0.0
Volcano Looming High	98	100.0%	39.77	100.0%	-0.62	-0.6358	-0.022

Minor Power Cards

Power Card	Kept	Average Difficulty	Average Score	Win Rate
Absorb Corruption	111	5.027	39.73	74.77%
Animated Wrackroot	37	4.432	36.351	72.97%
Bats Scout for Raids by Darkness	72	4.125	40.819	83.33%
Birds Cry Warning	118	6.263	44.042	72.03%
Blood Draws Predators	394	6.023	46.931	84.77%
Call of the Dahan Ways	340	5.176	43.759	80.88%
Call To Bloodshed	235	4.357	39.757	82.98%
Call to Ferocity	89	5.596	43.236	77.53%
Call to Guard	460	6.024	46.815	83.7%
Call To Isolation	264	6.5	47.924	79.55%
Call To Migrate	56	5.964	43.179	82.14%
Call To Tend	231	4.835	41.255	80.95%
Call to Trade	151	6.331	43.265	72.85%
Carapaced Land	286	6.248	44.804	76.57%
Confounding Mists	401	5.419	43.399	81.8%
Cycles of Time and Tide	504	5.847	46.016	82.34%
Dark and Tangled Woods	137	4.708	38.234	75.91%
Delusions of Danger	89	3.91	36.404	83.15%
Dessicating Winds	37	5.27	44.757	83.78%
Devouring Ants	38	4.763	38.5	73.68%
Dire Metamorphosis	16	4.625	45.438	87.5%
Disorienting Landscape	64	5.172	47.828	89.06%
Domesticated Animals Go Berserk	198	5.136	41.48	79.29%
Drift Down Into Slumber	199	5.332	41.121	76.38%
Drought	43	6.116	37.256	60.47%
Dry Wood Explodes In Smoldering Splinters	28	2.786	36.714	85.71%
Elemental Boon	291	6.488	44.952	75.95%
Elusive Ambushes	630	5.56	44.367	81.9%
Encompassing Ward	595	5.516	43.551	79.83%
Enticing Splendor	192	5.542	44.542	82.29%
Entrancing Apparitions	304	4.98	42.849	83.88%
Entrap the Forces of Corruption	48	6.271	42.167	70.83%
Favor of the Sun and Star-Lit Dark	296	5.436	42.28	79.39%
Fire in the Sky	199	5.568	42.407	77.39%
Fleshrot Fever	68	5.044	42.676	82.35%
Flow Downriver, Blow Downwind	143	6.063	45.378	80.42%
Gift of Constancy	325	5.982	46.102	81.85%
Gift of Living Energy	134	6.201	48.09	85.82%
Gift of Nature's Connection	237	6.304	47.198	83.97%
Gift of Power	289	5.699	44.668	82.35%
Gift of Twinned Days	234	6.94	50.821	83.76%
Gnawing Rootbiters	66	6.091	43.5	74.24%
Gold's Allure	53	6.962	50.566	83.02%
Guardian Serpents	179	5.637	43.318	75.42%
Haunted by Primal Memories	186	4.914	39.613	76.34%
Hazards Spread Across the Island	103	6.33	46.728	80.58%
Here There be Monsters	52	6.654	47.692	78.85%
Infested Aquifers	90	6.3	46.344	77.78%
Inflame the Fires of Life	19	4.368	44.0	94.74%
Land of Haunts and Embers	22	9.136	60.045	81.82%
Like Calls to Like	242	5.529	43.116	80.17%
Lure of the Unknown	123	4.463	42.553	90.24%
Mesmerized Tranquility	395	6.066	46.071	81.01%
Nature's Resilience	492	4.756	41.205	81.71%
Pact of the Joined Hunt	216	5.421	43.69	81.94%
Poisoned Dew	93	4.968	40.527	77.42%
Portents of Disaster	129	6.504	48.279	82.95%
Promises of Protection	215	5.647	44.526	80.93%
Prowling Panthers	16	4.313	44.75	93.75%
Pull Beneath the Hungry Earth	253	4.407	41.783	84.19%
Purifying Flame	69	4.754	39.014	75.36%
Quicken the Earth's Struggles	268	6.168	45.377	77.99%
Rain of Blood	182	6.346	46.868	80.22%
Razor-Sharp Undergrowth	53	4.547	40.679	84.91%
Reaching Grasp	372	6.121	46.28	82.8%
Renewing Boon	91	5.835	41.593	70.33%
Renewing Rain	214	5.598	44.402	80.84%
Rites of the Land's Rejection	88	5.523	44.568	84.09%
Roiling Bog and Snagging Thorn	251	5.781	45.801	83.27%
Rouse the Trees and Stones	48	5.167	42.5	83.33%
Sap the Strength of Multitudes	605	5.18	42.388	81.65%
Savage Mawbeasts	34	6.235	51.324	88.24%
Scour the Land	15	6.467	46.467	80.0%
Scream Disease Into the Wind	103	5.767	46.534	84.47%
Sear Anger into the Wild Lands	126	6.444	47.317	77.78%
Set Them on an Ever-Twisting Trail	53	5.623	45.509	81.13%
Shadows of the Burning Forest	54	5.63	42.37	77.78%
Skies Herald the Season of Return	146	6.37	46.575	78.08%
Sky Stretches to Shore	593	6.098	47.705	84.15%
Song of Sanctity	303	4.234	40.172	83.17%
Spur On with Words of Fire	169	5.923	45.178	85.21%
Steam Vents	213	4.798	41.972	82.63%
Strong and Constant Currents	444	6.052	46.342	83.33%
Sucking Ooze	222	6.095	46.986	82.43%
Sunset's Fire Flows Across the Land	252	4.802	41.742	82.54%
Swarming Wasps	53	4.887	39.34	73.58%
Teeming Rivers	335	5.687	43.454	77.91%
Territorial Strife	84	6.667	42.464	65.48%
Terror Turns to Madness	152	6.329	48.888	84.21%
The Shore Seethes with Hatred	207	6.3	47.768	80.19%
Thriving Chokefungus	145	5.834	44.752	80.0%
Tormenting Rotflies	13	4.154	43.0	92.31%
Treacherous Waterways	217	5.06	43.816	84.33%
Twilight Fog Brings Madness	328	5.912	46.265	83.84%
Uncanny Melting	429	4.529	40.51	82.52%
Unquenchable Flames	53	6.057	45.868	83.02%
Veil the Night's Hunt	158	5.222	44.854	82.91%
Visions of Fiery Doom	61	3.656	36.016	83.61%
Voracious Growth	248	4.964	41.556	80.24%
Weep for What is Lost	91	6.802	44.132	71.43%

Major Power Cards

Power Card	Kept	Average Difficulty	Average Score	Win Rate
Accelerated Rot	207	4.164	37.841	78.74%
Angry Bears	16	2.688	39.938	100.0%
Bargains of Power and Protection	149	5.228	40.926	77.18%
Blazing Renewal	73	6.562	42.699	71.23%
Bloodwrack Plague	72	5.167	39.236	75.0%
Cast Down into the Briny Deep	76	4.776	38.382	81.58%
Cleansing Floods	179	4.302	38.223	79.89%
Death Falls Gently from Open Blossoms	16	3.625	32.875	75.0%
Dissolve the Bonds of Kinship	23	4.783	37.739	78.26%
Draw Towards a Consuming Void	15	6.133	40.667	60.0%
Dream of the Untouched Land	66	4.727	39.712	80.3%
Entwined Power	58	4.948	39.328	79.31%
Fire and Flood	118	3.653	37.212	84.75%
Flow Like Water, Reach Like Air	82	5.927	41.866	69.51%
Focus the Land's Anguish	34	4.441	38.294	82.35%
Forests of Living Obsidian	40	4.25	38.35	85.0%
Grant Hatred a Ravenous Form	7	5.714	30.857	42.86%
Indomitable Claim	142	5.07	39.43	77.46%
Infestation of Venomous Spiders	49	5.082	38.184	67.35%
Infinite Vitality	68	6.603	35.735	48.53%
Insatiable Hunger of the Swarm	23	4.957	45.391	91.3%
Instruments of Their Own Ruin	78	5.654	41.769	78.21%
Irresistible Call	27	7.444	49.333	74.07%
Manifest Incarnation	16	3.688	35.25	75.0%
Melt Earth Into Quicksand	103	6.0	43.33	75.73%
Mists of Oblivion	34	5.059	39.912	79.41%
Paralyzing Fright	101	6.208	45.931	77.23%
Pent-Up Calamity	62	5.306	37.403	66.13%
Pillar of Living Flame	19	1.526	29.053	78.95%
Poisoned Land	11	5.364	42.364	81.82%
Powerstorm	96	5.875	45.354	81.25%
Pyroclastic Flow	33	3.697	32.909	69.7%
Savage Transformation	13	4.385	36.077	76.92%
Sea Monsters	88	4.443	36.58	76.14%
Settle Into Hunting-Grounds	13	4.923	41.077	92.31%
Sleep and Never Waken	52	4.827	37.596	73.08%
Smothering Infestation	86	4.535	40.942	87.21%
Spill Bitterness Into the Earth	21	5.381	41.81	80.95%
Storm-Swath	53	4.887	43.075	81.13%
Strangling Firevine	24	5.75	39.708	70.83%
Sweep into the Sea	162	5.043	38.512	75.31%
Talons of Lightning	70	3.986	38.129	82.86%
Terrifying Nightmares	57	5.439	41.912	78.95%
The Jungle Hungers	42	4.929	35.0	66.67%
The Land Thrashes in Furious Pain	15	7.133	47.733	80.0%
The Trees and Stones Speak of War	204	4.799	41.108	84.8%
The Wounded Wild Turns on Its Assailants	10	4.2	38.9	90.0%
Thickets Erupt with Every Touch of Breeze	82	4.671	40.317	81.71%
Tigers Hunting	53	4.717	45.849	83.02%
Transform To a Murderous Darkness	3	6.333	46.333	66.67%
Trees Radiate Celestial Brilliance	67	6.179	40.269	67.16%
Tsunami	112	3.625	33.196	75.89%
Twisted Flowers Murmur Ultimatums	32	3.188	35.469	87.5%
Unleash a Torrent of the Self's Own Essence	112	4.536	36.589	77.68%
Unlock the Gates of Deepest Power	67	4.418	36.866	77.61%
Unrelenting Growth	74	4.77	38.986	78.38%
Utter a Curse of Dread and Bone	9	5.111	34.111	66.67%
Vanish Softlw Away, Forgotten by All	20	5.5	41.95	80.0%
Vengeance of the Dead	28	5.393	47.321	89.29%
Vigor of the Breaking Dawn	247	5.939	46.433	83.81%
Voice of Command	114	4.842	37.36	76.32%
Volcanic Eruption	11	5.545	43.818	81.82%
Walls of Rock and Thorn	87	5.264	41.115	75.86%
Weave Together the Fabric of Place	85	5.482	42.271	82.35%
Winds of Rust and Atrophy	164	4.774	38.457	75.61%
Wrap in Wings of Sunlight	154	5.266	39.578	73.38%

Unique Power Cards

Power Card	Kept
Boon of Vigor	87.91%
Flash Floods	93.62%
River's Bounty	97.97%
Wash Away	93.56%

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	1466	22.62	38.47%
II	3050	31.05	83.34%
III	1309	34.62	91.9%
IV	336	37.86	99.11%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	563
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	1140
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	2334
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	315
Lose: Invader deck ran out	64
Lose: Adversary condition	510
Win: Sacrifice victory	29
Lose: Scenario condition	58
Win: Scenario condition	261
Lose: Blight pool ran out	836
Lose: Spirit destroyed	51

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.847 Win Model: -0.161

Diff.	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Likelihood
-3	39	4.35%	30.21	97.44%	93.59%
-2	15	9.09%	22.2	73.33%	92.55%
-1	30	22.22%	28.23	93.33%	91.35%
0	1393	28.41%	24.67	93.18%	89.99%
1	291	33.45%	28.81	94.5%	88.44%
2	222	42.08%	31.61	86.49%	86.69%
3	290	37.63%	35.48	85.52%	84.72%
4	367	34.99%	40.6	86.38%	82.51%
5	216	49.77%	39.62	68.98%	80.06%
6	485	49.69%	46.32	80.0%	77.36%
7	580	44.02%	51.45	78.97%	74.41%
8	325	67.28%	48.06	64.0%	71.23%
9	202	53.73%	55.77	69.8%	67.81%
10	1031	68.58%	52.94	58.1%	64.19%
11	249	76.71%	45.07	33.33%	60.41%
12	31	54.84%	71.19	74.19%	56.5%
13	26	57.69%	71.54	65.38%	52.5%
14	100	41.0%	72.27	60.0%	48.47%
15	69	78.26%	64.88	47.83%	44.46%
16	78	87.18%	64.6	39.74%	40.52%
17	58	74.14%	64.93	37.93%	36.7%
18	37	67.57%	57.22	18.92%	33.04%
20	1	100.0%	124.0	100.0%	26.33%
22	1	100.0%	46.0	0.0%	20.56%
23	1	0.0%	163.0	100.0%	18.06%
24	1	0.0%	156.0	100.0%	15.79%
25	12	58.33%	100.33	41.67%	13.76%
26	11	72.73%	130.91	72.73%	11.96%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.409 Win Model: 0.337

Num.	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
1	3058	52.53%	39.96	72.99%
2	1755	44.47%	43.65	77.21%
3	673	47.0%	40.79	76.23%
4	414	39.95%	55.07	81.64%
5	39	35.9%	40.87	66.67%
6	222	32.73%	45.18	80.18%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.