Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 32 21.88% 25.19 53.13% 0.036 0.009 -0.156
Blitz 0 116 25.86% 15.4 43.1% -1.014 -0.7633 -0.123
Dahan Insurrection 4 303 11.22% 20.84 28.71% -0.475 -0.7241 0.047
Despicable Theft 2 59 11.86% 11.2 32.2% -0.82 -0.3582 -0.697
Elemental Invocation 1 103 37.86% 19.5 40.78% -0.941 -0.2385 -1.049
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 800 15.77% 37.74 62.63% 0.267 -0.2854 0.691
Powers Long Forgotten 1 70 28.57% 12.96 28.57% -0.952 -0.3286 -0.675
Rituals of Terror 3 44 47.73% 27.45 45.45% -0.719 -0.5262 -0.061
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 51 31.37% 27.47 50.98% -0.34 0.5822 0.715
Second Wave 0 447 36.4% 25.68 63.98% -0.124 -0.0065 0.31
The Great River 3 37 27.03% 17.19 29.73% -0.63 0.4379 -0.795
Varied Terrains 2 132 52.27% 19.89 37.12% -0.942 -0.2014 -0.548
Ward the Shores 2 53 30.19% 15.47 26.42% -0.751 0.3325 -0.599

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 16735 40.23% 22.74 48.5% -0.345 0.182 -0.033
1 Thematic 447 33.78% 26.14 53.69% 0.271 1.1255 -0.344
2 Archipelago 15 46.67% 24.4 53.33% -0.782 0.2733 0.57
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3161 39.29% 25.72 56.85% -0.029 0.2489 -0.025
2 Coastline 489 42.09% 24.96 56.65% 0.456 0.5582 -0.245
2 Fragment 67 41.79% 27.12 59.7% 0.298 0.311 0.773
2 Heart 112 46.85% 33.65 58.93% 0.028 0.1399 0.327
2 Opposite Shores 830 35.83% 24.26 57.95% 0.074 0.4107 -0.157
2 Thematic 432 33.1% 22.87 49.77% -1.031 -0.3412 -0.371
2 Top to Top 153 51.63% 31.47 66.01% 0.604 0.8462 -0.306
3 Archipelago 17 57.14% 34.94 76.47% 0.211 -0.5093 -0.486
3 Coastline 14 35.71% 28.57 57.14% 0.0 -0.3403 0.944
3 Other 73 21.43% 20.51 67.12% 0.444 -0.1578 0.968
3 Round (Default) 2676 40.14% 26.38 58.74% -0.083 -0.0769 -0.313
3 Sunrise 14 28.57% 29.86 85.71% 0.522 0.4604 0.694
3 Thematic 81 45.68% 25.32 53.09% 0.039 0.1237 -0.829
4 Archipelago 13 53.85% 27.08 69.23% -0.395 -0.2444 -0.363
4 Coastline 10 40.0% 25.4 30.0% 0.394 -0.3648 -0.266
4 Leaf 24 45.83% 21.42 58.33% 0.0 0.1371 0.0
4 Other 47 27.66% 22.94 72.34% 0.651 0.0322 0.331
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 65.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3265 0.477
4 Thematic 297 17.17% 19.61 36.03% -0.576 -0.3083 -0.724
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1058 36.52% 28.04 62.85% -0.507 -0.3428 -0.428
5 Archipelago 7 42.86% 23.86 71.43% 0.289 -0.5889 0.658
5 Coastline 6 0.0% 23.17 50.0% 0.431 0.5271 -0.237
5 Other 160 31.87% 30.32 68.13% 0.457 0.0711 -0.284
5 Thematic 11 18.18% 20.55 63.64% 0.0 -0.7973 0.592
6 Archipelago 8 25.0% 30.38 50.0% -1.301 -2.411 -0.162
6 Coastline 6 16.67% 45.67 66.67% -0.379 -1.2164 0.271
6 Other 102 27.72% 21.6 50.0% -0.115 -0.1453 -1.443
6 Star 54 27.78% 29.5 72.22% -0.009 -0.0264 -1.143
6 Thematic 301 30.33% 33.84 50.17% 0.055 0.1583 0.22
6 Two Centers (Default) 260 24.62% 25.58 52.31% -1.082 -0.5168 -0.941
7 Other 5 20.0% 14.6 20.0% -0.056 -0.4902 0.168

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 513 28.15 44.83% -0.121 0.1284 0.423
Aid From Lesser Spirits 381 33.25 57.48% 0.596 0.478 0.877
All Things Weaken 592 26.15 41.55% -0.172 0.1646 0.32
Attenuated Essence 547 27.29 44.24% -0.12 -0.0935 0.155
Back Against the Wall 420 34.44 58.81% 0.911 0.9117 0.897
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 584 26.71 45.21% -0.18 0.0371 0.351
Burn Brightest Before the End 405 29.29 46.17% 0.022 0.0036 0.387
Disintegrating Ecosystem 474 26.09 46.2% 0.058 0.4506 0.211
Downward Spiral 540 26.13 44.44% -0.003 0.1055 0.128
Erosion of Will 552 26.63 41.85% 0.113 0.4649 0.165
Intensifying Exploitation 567 23.53 40.56% 0.21 0.4559 -0.057
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 227 26.7 52.42% 0.907 0.383 0.005
Memory Fades to Dust 562 26.17 42.7% 0.076 0.323 0.186
Power Corrodes the Spirit 549 25.32 42.44% 0.263 0.4844 0.093
Promising Farmlands 533 25.16 41.84% -0.137 0.1457 -0.053
Shattered Fragments of Power 445 30.14 48.99% -0.079 -0.0021 0.462
Slow Dissolution of Will 539 27.11 43.78% -0.259 0.1377 0.304
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 174 27.45 59.2% 0.56 -0.1358 0.855
The Border of Life and Death 167 31.31 64.67% 0.045 -0.5561 1.29
Thriving Communities 596 25.46 41.78% 0.134 0.4906 0.326
Thriving Crops 250 26.85 57.2% -0.154 -0.3502 0.279
Unnatural Proliferation 571 30.87 49.91% 0.058 0.2201 0.432
Untended Land Crumbles 558 25.53 38.89% -0.115 0.1164 -0.003

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 5658 38.08% 24.68 55.09% 0.058 1.0629 0.2
B 5693 40.65% 23.78 52.96% -0.017 0.9025 0.03
C 6064 37.67% 24.65 54.91% 0.034 0.7684 0.234
D 5028 38.2% 24.01 53.66% 0.02 0.9976 0.1
E 6272 36.62% 27.49 57.62% 0.443 1.2629 0.583
F 5392 38.58% 24.85 55.1% 0.198 1.0717 0.034
G 4228 40.39% 24.83 54.82% 0.298 1.1069 0.098
H 4570 38.99% 25.07 54.31% 0.225 1.04 0.145
East 1320 29.95% 25.59 48.41% -0.094 0.8089 -0.048
Northeast 889 31.64% 27.76 52.53% -0.05 0.7581 -0.65
Northwest 765 30.18% 27.93 50.98% 0.441 1.3405 0.568
Southeast 647 28.17% 27.21 44.2% -0.425 0.4259 -0.954
Southwest 620 24.72% 25.97 42.42% -1.028 0.3478 -0.509
West 1194 29.08% 25.7 47.49% -0.085 0.87 0.137

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 196 0.0% 13.85 51.53% -1.424 -0.7164 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 5 0.0% 25.6 100.0% 0.636 1.004 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 403 16.67% 28.53 64.76% 0.666 0.0813 0.191
Start of Game Growth 659 13.61% 31.87 67.07% -0.076 -0.5895 0.751
Unlimited Undo 2772 35.52% 25.64 53.03% -0.427 -0.5364 0.491
Using Tokens but Not Events 2814 25.33% 21.06 59.88% 0.361 0.3352 -1.229

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 471 24.95% 25.73 64.54% 0.138 0.0326 -0.034
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 1000 32.57% 30.9 65.7% 0.44 -0.0397 0.261
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 98 36.73% 14.83 40.82% -0.343 -0.2174 -1.125
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 228 42.73% 26.64 52.63% 0.495 -0.3517 -0.671
Dances Up Earthquakes 430 35.58% 24.74 60.47% 0.094 0.1303 0.115
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 309 37.79% 23.51 59.22% -0.203 -0.3399 0.717
Downpour Drenches the World 509 31.03% 21.88 47.94% -0.197 0.0094 0.262
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1230 29.22% 25.09 55.37% 0.163 -0.4482 0.575
Eyes Watch From the Trees 512 33.73% 28.88 67.77% 1.097 0.7211 0.356
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 388 31.27% 25.72 61.86% 0.222 -0.1682 -0.088
Finder of Paths Unseen 374 39.14% 22.96 44.12% -0.893 -0.174 -0.316
Fractured Days Split the Sky 274 23.44% 22.78 45.62% -0.029 0.5818 -0.208
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 548 22.75% 19.48 40.88% -0.378 -0.4777 -0.538
Heart of the Wildfire 395 48.86% 21.7 45.32% -0.434 -0.0972 -0.066
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 949 31.54% 31.53 65.54% 0.199 -0.2313 0.448
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 436 28.9% 24.15 53.21% -0.659 -0.9739 -0.789
Lightning's Swift Strike 168 39.88% 25.26 69.05% 0.903 1.1328 -0.498
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 280 39.29% 31.3 56.43% -0.558 -1.0023 0.346
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 108 35.19% 24.07 48.15% -1.238 -1.5481 0.27
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 187 27.81% 23.7 43.32% -0.749 -0.8918 -0.369
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 705 37.02% 27.53 55.04% -0.362 -0.5904 -0.041
Many Minds Move as One 457 34.65% 25.21 59.52% 0.166 -0.0769 0.066
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 522 38.68% 31.92 60.73% 0.689 0.7981 0.794
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 264 38.4% 28.64 64.02% 0.36 0.4783 0.327
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 327 42.28% 25.05 60.55% -0.159 -0.2049 -0.109
River Surges in Sunlight 278 36.0% 30.03 61.87% -0.166 -0.0353 0.171
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 605 33.55% 30.42 63.14% 0.235 0.411 0.225
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 106 39.62% 29.17 72.64% 1.501 1.7992 -0.087
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 190 37.89% 28.71 54.21% 0.468 0.384 0.778
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 407 37.28% 31.06 59.46% 0.024 -0.0877 0.288
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 209 33.01% 27.4 58.37% 0.278 0.1604 -0.164
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 73 47.95% 20.66 52.05% -0.065 0.4294 -1.56
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 43 30.23% 19.12 55.81% -0.573 -0.6244 -0.357
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 250 39.36% 33.79 69.6% 0.333 -0.1769 0.948
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 40 37.5% 22.32 50.0% 0.299 0.1708 -0.341
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 54 37.04% 21.2 57.41% -0.573 -0.5615 -0.444
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 42 42.86% 20.05 47.62% -0.674 -0.5381 0.528
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 202 41.58% 29.47 64.36% -0.034 0.0147 0.222
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 325 30.46% 32.18 62.77% 0.171 -0.0436 -0.45
Shifting Memory of Ages 162 32.72% 25.28 52.47% -1.25 -0.9555 0.115
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 788 36.04% 27.88 55.84% -0.688 -0.8061 0.226
Shroud of Silent Mist 292 45.17% 23.15 58.56% -0.394 -0.066 -0.554
Starlight Seeks its Form 670 40.75% 29.17 59.55% -0.018 -0.1177 0.625
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 562 34.11% 25.24 55.52% 0.335 -0.1955 -0.094
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 359 41.5% 27.16 59.61% 0.25 0.3271 0.09
Thunderspeaker 263 38.4% 27.03 64.64% 0.606 0.642 -0.318
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 163 37.42% 26.52 51.53% -0.186 -0.1275 1.182
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 379 54.88% 26.21 54.62% -0.006 0.14 0.255
Vital Strength of the Earth 151 36.3% 22.62 70.86% 0.324 0.8922 -0.912
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 176 46.86% 27.88 51.14% 0.662 1.1828 0.311
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 54 42.59% 28.41 62.96% 1.021 1.7629 -0.424
Volcano Looming High 561 50.98% 26.02 51.87% -0.022 -0.0075 0.275
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 993 26.79% 22.89 50.35% -0.528 -0.8197 -0.152

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Blooming of the Rocks and Trees 92.18%
Boon of Resilient Power 84.73%
Entwine the Fates of All 91.83%
Radiant and Hallowed Grove 88.36%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9668 13.33 1.84%
II 7478 30.1 59.21%
III 7902 34.83 90.38%
IV 2648 38.67 99.81%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 178
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7079
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4368
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2626
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 8530
Lose: Invader deck ran out 365
Lose: Adversary condition 1823
Win: Sacrifice victory 39
Lose: Scenario condition 124
Win: Scenario condition 101
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2422
Lose: Spirit destroyed 41

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.045 Win Model: -0.17

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.218 Win Model: 0.111
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 17334 40.06% 22.82 48.63%
2 5160 39.06% 25.62 56.88%
3 2852 40.02% 26.4 59.36%
4 1433 32.47% 26.09 57.57%
5 182 30.22% 29.07 65.38%
6 735 27.56% 28.74 52.93%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)