Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 31 19.35% 24.16 51.61% -0.007 0.1844 -0.138
Blitz 0 114 25.44% 15.42 42.98% -1.085 -0.8671 -0.126
Dahan Insurrection 4 286 11.89% 20.43 26.92% -0.728 -0.9805 0.059
Despicable Theft 2 57 12.28% 10.96 31.58% -0.867 -0.2805 -0.614
Elemental Invocation 1 100 38.0% 19.94 42.0% -1.344 -0.6042 -1.06
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 781 15.64% 37.98 63.38% 0.54 -0.0219 0.698
Powers Long Forgotten 1 68 29.41% 13.34 29.41% -1.322 -0.5626 -0.694
Rituals of Terror 3 40 50.0% 28.48 45.0% -0.853 -0.7328 -0.046
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 51 31.37% 27.47 50.98% -0.105 0.8029 0.71
Second Wave 0 430 36.45% 25.56 63.95% -0.102 0.0359 0.381
The Great River 3 37 27.03% 17.19 29.73% -0.698 0.4024 -0.79
Varied Terrains 2 132 52.27% 19.89 37.12% -0.739 0.0374 -0.545
Ward the Shores 2 53 30.19% 15.47 26.42% -0.768 0.3067 -0.593

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 16375 40.18% 22.83 48.67% -0.293 0.0394 -0.085
1 Thematic 443 33.41% 26.2 53.5% 0.055 0.7408 -0.382
2 Archipelago 15 46.67% 24.4 53.33% -0.824 -0.216 0.563
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3094 38.92% 25.75 57.01% -0.028 0.0919 -0.032
2 Coastline 482 41.67% 25.02 56.85% 0.563 0.4904 -0.285
2 Fragment 63 44.44% 27.89 60.32% 0.645 0.4603 0.753
2 Heart 111 47.27% 33.95 59.46% 0.232 0.0746 0.281
2 Opposite Shores 802 35.46% 24.26 58.35% -0.072 0.0789 -0.177
2 Thematic 412 32.77% 23.25 50.97% -0.944 -0.4359 -0.278
2 Top to Top 145 51.72% 31.69 66.21% 0.835 0.777 -0.314
3 Archipelago 17 57.14% 34.94 76.47% 0.084 -0.8677 -0.499
3 Coastline 14 35.71% 28.57 57.14% 0.0 -0.41 0.961
3 Other 66 22.73% 20.64 66.67% 0.392 -0.3789 1.167
3 Round (Default) 2615 40.08% 26.36 58.74% -0.118 -0.2091 -0.329
3 Sunrise 14 28.57% 29.86 85.71% 0.579 0.4835 0.685
3 Thematic 80 46.25% 25.19 52.5% 0.117 0.1374 -0.84
4 Archipelago 13 53.85% 27.08 69.23% -1.001 -1.5313 -0.37
4 Coastline 10 40.0% 25.4 30.0% 0.353 0.2672 -0.203
4 Leaf 24 45.83% 21.42 58.33% 0.159 -0.0027 0.0
4 Other 47 27.66% 22.94 72.34% 0.869 0.1583 0.328
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 65.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3367 0.483
4 Thematic 288 17.71% 19.86 36.46% -0.422 -0.2989 -0.755
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1016 37.24% 28.13 62.99% -0.489 -0.492 -0.436
5 Archipelago 4 0.0% 15.5 50.0% 0.0 -0.0301 0.637
5 Coastline 6 0.0% 23.17 50.0% 0.402 0.256 -0.232
5 Other 155 30.32% 30.6 67.74% 0.514 -0.0001 -0.307
5 Thematic 11 18.18% 20.55 63.64% 0.0 -0.0571 0.588
6 Archipelago 8 25.0% 30.38 50.0% -1.243 -2.2812 -0.151
6 Coastline 6 16.67% 45.67 66.67% -0.277 -1.2362 0.292
6 Other 94 27.66% 21.41 48.94% -0.069 -0.1732 -1.536
6 Star 53 28.3% 29.6 71.7% 0.173 0.1589 -1.117
6 Thematic 292 30.24% 33.98 50.0% -0.076 0.2103 0.261
6 Two Centers (Default) 254 24.8% 25.5 51.97% -1.186 -0.6532 -0.937
7 Other 4 25.0% 4.25 0.0% -0.526 -1.0843 0.159

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 495 28.34 45.45% -0.005 0.2457 0.395
Aid From Lesser Spirits 366 33.16 57.65% 0.461 0.4033 0.795
All Things Weaken 577 26.43 42.29% -0.063 0.272 0.373
Attenuated Essence 537 27.48 44.51% -0.05 -0.0169 0.182
Back Against the Wall 415 34.37 58.55% 0.812 0.8472 0.89
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 561 26.96 45.45% -0.382 -0.1651 0.409
Burn Brightest Before the End 392 29.86 46.17% -0.017 -0.0067 0.414
Disintegrating Ecosystem 466 26.2 46.14% 0.146 0.4904 0.201
Downward Spiral 523 25.98 44.36% -0.036 0.0818 0.111
Erosion of Will 541 26.96 42.51% 0.222 0.4968 0.208
Intensifying Exploitation 557 23.66 40.75% 0.248 0.4595 -0.044
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 222 26.53 51.8% 0.66 0.0878 -0.008
Memory Fades to Dust 543 26.45 43.28% 0.368 0.62 0.205
Power Corrodes the Spirit 530 25.48 41.89% 0.072 0.2768 0.088
Promising Farmlands 519 25.23 41.81% -0.231 0.0226 -0.046
Shattered Fragments of Power 428 30.5 50.0% 0.082 0.1556 0.529
Slow Dissolution of Will 531 27.2 44.07% -0.172 0.2091 0.29
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 173 27.52 59.54% 0.827 0.1534 0.855
The Border of Life and Death 165 31.16 64.24% -0.05 -0.6505 1.292
Thriving Communities 583 25.64 42.02% 0.251 0.5325 0.337
Thriving Crops 244 26.54 56.97% -0.31 -0.4499 0.23
Unnatural Proliferation 565 30.84 49.73% -0.108 0.0956 0.442
Untended Land Crumbles 543 25.64 38.86% -0.138 0.0526 0.01

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 5507 37.73% 24.73 55.2% 0.064 1.0616 0.191
B 5531 40.59% 23.74 52.94% -0.029 0.8937 0.018
C 5910 37.63% 24.66 54.97% 0.068 0.7972 0.226
D 4890 38.15% 24.15 53.91% 0.095 1.0543 0.1
E 6135 36.55% 27.48 57.54% 0.347 1.1662 0.573
F 5264 38.8% 24.92 55.13% 0.3 1.1814 0.024
G 4107 40.28% 24.86 54.66% 0.242 1.0672 0.093
H 4461 39.13% 25.16 54.52% 0.195 1.0335 0.151
East 1281 29.92% 25.83 48.79% -0.004 0.8713 -0.078
Northeast 862 31.36% 28.06 53.13% 0.088 0.8399 -0.618
Northwest 738 29.8% 28.27 51.63% 0.265 1.1566 0.526
Southeast 630 28.46% 27.31 44.13% -0.732 0.1067 -1.009
Southwest 600 24.87% 26.11 42.33% -0.883 0.4214 -0.399
West 1156 28.99% 25.95 47.92% -0.003 0.947 0.171

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 191 0.0% 13.81 51.31% -1.413 -0.6846 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 2 0.0% 25.0 100.0% 0.0 0.3457 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 393 17.02% 28.53 64.12% 0.373 -0.2298 0.229
Start of Game Growth 646 13.84% 32.07 67.03% 0.063 -0.4406 0.734
Unlimited Undo 2696 35.75% 25.7 52.86% -0.518 -0.6251 0.485
Using Tokens but Not Events 2756 25.38% 21.12 60.05% 0.431 0.4013 -1.226

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 448 24.89% 25.93 64.73% 0.294 0.1987 -0.017
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 989 32.62% 30.88 65.82% 0.56 0.0837 0.287
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 97 37.11% 14.54 40.21% -0.416 -0.3033 -1.118
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 222 43.89% 26.81 52.7% 0.763 -0.0499 -0.662
Dances Up Earthquakes 410 35.37% 24.95 61.71% 0.066 0.0573 0.025
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 297 37.5% 23.38 58.92% -0.239 -0.3785 0.646
Downpour Drenches the World 502 31.06% 21.9 48.01% -0.072 0.1557 0.267
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1180 29.59% 25.03 55.76% 0.113 -0.4569 0.534
Eyes Watch From the Trees 502 32.8% 28.86 67.53% 1.249 0.8615 0.363
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 378 32.1% 25.62 61.38% 0.167 -0.2267 -0.07
Finder of Paths Unseen 351 40.29% 23.81 45.3% -0.661 0.0676 -0.296
Fractured Days Split the Sky 267 24.06% 22.95 45.69% -0.135 0.5058 -0.209
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 531 23.11% 19.47 40.68% -0.177 -0.3105 -0.543
Heart of the Wildfire 383 48.3% 21.52 44.91% -0.671 -0.3417 -0.127
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 937 31.09% 31.61 65.74% 0.214 -0.2096 0.51
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 429 28.9% 23.84 52.45% -0.721 -1.0276 -0.821
Lightning's Swift Strike 159 42.14% 24.62 67.92% 1.218 1.4558 -0.492
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 264 40.15% 31.61 56.06% -0.898 -1.3059 0.376
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 103 35.92% 24.54 47.57% -1.2 -1.5192 0.261
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 177 27.12% 23.61 42.94% -0.859 -0.9399 -0.364
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 689 36.87% 27.53 54.57% -0.427 -0.6194 -0.064
Many Minds Move as One 437 34.4% 25.08 59.27% 0.116 -0.1005 -0.058
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 505 38.97% 31.96 59.41% 0.23 0.3693 0.783
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 248 38.46% 28.96 63.71% 0.38 0.4606 0.378
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 314 42.63% 25.27 60.19% -0.185 -0.2631 -0.08
River Surges in Sunlight 262 37.79% 29.99 60.31% -0.193 -0.0678 0.162
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 602 33.72% 30.49 63.12% 0.351 0.5294 0.209
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 105 40.0% 29.28 72.38% 1.072 1.3513 -0.099
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 187 37.97% 28.53 53.48% 0.564 0.441 0.717
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 399 36.78% 31.32 59.15% 0.227 0.1 0.252
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 197 30.96% 27.3 58.88% 0.158 0.0452 -0.215
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 72 48.61% 20.53 51.39% 0.097 0.6126 -1.58
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 41 29.27% 19.34 56.1% -0.474 -0.4925 -0.369
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 249 39.52% 33.83 69.48% 0.242 -0.2612 0.962
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 38 36.84% 21.63 47.37% -0.053 -0.2443 -0.331
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 52 36.54% 21.19 57.69% -0.493 -0.552 -0.414
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 42 42.86% 20.05 47.62% -0.779 -0.697 0.524
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 195 40.51% 29.36 65.13% -0.198 -0.1186 0.337
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 320 30.63% 32.12 62.19% 0.018 -0.1687 -0.451
Shifting Memory of Ages 159 32.08% 25.34 52.83% -0.863 -0.5954 0.145
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 780 35.9% 27.92 56.15% -0.434 -0.5525 0.21
Shroud of Silent Mist 285 45.23% 23.24 58.95% -0.309 0.0423 -0.559
Starlight Seeks its Form 637 40.19% 28.99 59.97% 0.004 -0.1138 0.584
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 547 34.5% 25.17 55.03% 0.254 -0.2594 -0.073
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 352 41.19% 27.33 59.09% 0.16 0.2772 0.103
Thunderspeaker 259 38.61% 27.11 64.48% 0.555 0.5866 -0.305
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 155 36.13% 26.85 53.55% -0.06 -0.0463 1.361
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 367 55.04% 26.37 54.77% 0.115 0.2417 0.209
Vital Strength of the Earth 148 37.06% 22.75 71.62% 0.627 1.2268 -0.887
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 173 47.4% 27.83 50.87% 0.555 1.0484 0.339
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 53 41.51% 28.3 62.26% 0.533 1.2307 -0.402
Volcano Looming High 529 50.47% 25.86 51.61% 0.03 0.0772 0.214
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 965 26.72% 22.99 51.09% -0.318 -0.6083 -0.101

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Blooming of the Rocks and Trees 92.16%
Boon of Resilient Power 84.68%
Entwine the Fates of All 91.78%
Radiant and Hallowed Grove 88.38%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9405 13.42 1.84%
II 7327 30.13 59.37%
III 7723 34.83 90.41%
IV 2589 38.67 99.81%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 173
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6927
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4292
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2567
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 8296
Lose: Invader deck ran out 362
Lose: Adversary condition 1781
Win: Sacrifice victory 39
Lose: Scenario condition 115
Win: Scenario condition 91
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2361
Lose: Spirit destroyed 40

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.057 Win Model: -0.168

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.201 Win Model: 0.108
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 16967 40.01% 22.91 48.79%
2 5025 38.77% 25.71 57.21%
3 2786 39.99% 26.37 59.3%
4 1382 33.09% 26.19 57.74%
5 174 27.59% 29.17 64.37%
6 710 27.64% 28.76 52.54%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)