Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
Blitz 0 25 36.0% 22.64 68.0% 0.028 0.3165 0.547
Dahan Insurrection 4 35 8.57% 19.34 28.57% -1.354 -1.5304 -0.25
Despicable Theft 2 9 22.22% 12.11 44.44% -0.873 -0.0122 -0.339
Elemental Invocation 1 32 53.13% 24.63 59.38% -0.311 0.6218 -0.405
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 270 19.33% 35.17 63.7% 0.515 -0.1316 0.589
Powers Long Forgotten 1 4 50.0% 7.25 25.0% -0.673 0.2725 0.0
Rituals of Terror 3 13 46.15% 28.15 38.46% -0.096 -0.0199 -0.487
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 4 25.0% 42.75 100.0% 0.711 1.8268 0.0
Second Wave 0 42 26.19% 26.05 76.19% 0.304 0.3348 0.823
The Great River 3 9 22.22% 19.56 33.33% -1.075 0.3501 -0.37
Varied Terrains 2 30 63.33% 19.6 30.0% -1.105 -0.3299 0.401
Ward the Shores 2 4 50.0% 6.75 0.0% -1.52 -0.4754 -0.179

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 5367 41.93% 23.08 51.11% -0.217 0.0426 0.122
1 Thematic 96 31.25% 27.46 68.75% 0.367 0.833 0.002
2 Archipelago 3 66.67% 33.33 66.67% -0.273 0.2004 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 769 35.56% 26.83 63.98% -0.004 0.1811 0.486
2 Coastline 160 41.88% 25.76 59.38% -0.098 -0.1148 -0.644
2 Fragment 18 50.0% 17.67 50.0% 0.535 0.2186 0.524
2 Heart 33 54.55% 33.64 69.7% 0.373 0.2786 0.545
2 Opposite Shores 236 28.39% 22.14 60.59% -0.35 -0.3894 0.386
2 Thematic 103 30.1% 23.98 61.17% -0.132 0.1542 0.883
2 Top to Top 57 43.86% 30.46 71.93% 0.594 0.5507 -0.769
3 Archipelago 4 75.0% 44.75 75.0% -0.366 -1.506 -0.155
3 Coastline 4 25.0% 11.25 25.0% -0.507 -1.2566 0.0
3 Other 23 17.39% 23.35 82.61% 1.089 0.6257 1.283
3 Round (Default) 578 43.46% 27.3 58.48% -0.302 -0.5221 -0.275
3 Sunrise 8 37.5% 28.13 75.0% 0.079 0.154 0.0
3 Thematic 13 46.15% 21.69 46.15% -0.505 -0.7977 -0.259
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 36.0 100.0% 0.217 0.4096 0.0
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 31.0 50.0% -0.112 -0.4717 -0.37
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 30.0 100.0% 0.089 -0.0194 0.0
4 Other 9 44.44% 15.0 55.56% -0.057 -0.3133 0.364
4 Thematic 40 12.5% 29.15 50.0% -0.518 -0.2659 -0.051
4 Trapezoid (Default) 278 40.65% 29.41 67.99% -0.16 0.0547 -0.483
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 31.0 100.0% 0.419 0.6927 0.0
5 Other 27 33.33% 31.41 77.78% 0.082 -0.4834 0.299
5 Thematic 3 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.576 0.1561 0.308
6 Archipelago 3 33.33% 41.67 66.67% -0.012 -0.9452 0.0
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 35.0 50.0% -0.046 -0.8434 0.143
6 Other 11 36.36% 26.73 36.36% -0.398 0.0276 -0.775
6 Star 12 25.0% 22.0 50.0% -0.381 -0.2684 -0.603
6 Thematic 63 17.46% 29.81 42.86% -1.482 -1.3802 -0.65
6 Two Centers (Default) 48 18.75% 33.5 50.0% -0.774 -1.0314 -0.721

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 131 28.08 46.56% -0.086 0.0894 -0.087
Aid From Lesser Spirits 125 32.3 60.8% 0.45 0.3954 0.381
All Things Weaken 182 24.58 38.46% -0.538 -0.245 0.195
Attenuated Essence 157 27.41 48.41% -0.005 0.079 -0.014
Back Against the Wall 116 30.82 48.28% 0.041 0.0885 0.613
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 161 26.78 47.83% -0.046 0.1574 0.117
Burn Brightest Before the End 118 29.01 47.46% -0.106 0.082 0.079
Disintegrating Ecosystem 132 26.03 42.42% -0.081 0.3279 0.038
Downward Spiral 162 25.15 43.21% -0.201 -0.0737 -0.125
Erosion of Will 165 25.84 41.82% -0.313 -0.03 -0.152
Intensifying Exploitation 188 26.26 44.68% -0.08 0.1677 0.116
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 70 27.97 55.71% 0.153 -0.3625 -0.097
Memory Fades to Dust 162 25.44 39.51% -0.384 -0.1473 0.069
Power Corrodes the Spirit 174 27.07 44.25% -0.074 0.1436 0.082
Promising Farmlands 161 27.53 45.96% -0.104 0.1913 0.029
Shattered Fragments of Power 119 28.97 44.54% -0.325 -0.1237 0.194
Slow Dissolution of Will 166 24.75 36.75% -0.581 -0.1966 -0.323
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 45 30.13 57.78% 0.395 -0.1858 1.012
The Border of Life and Death 56 34.68 69.64% 0.709 0.1914 1.586
Thriving Communities 175 25.25 42.86% -0.18 0.1591 0.169
Thriving Crops 72 24.94 65.28% 0.509 0.467 0.672
Unnatural Proliferation 157 32.15 49.04% 0.086 0.2263 0.411
Untended Land Crumbles 182 25.23 35.16% -0.448 0.0003 -0.281

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 1518 38.24% 25.97 60.14% 0.343 1.205 -0.039
B 1600 43.0% 24.21 54.25% -0.084 0.7324 -0.217
C 1747 39.26% 25.06 56.1% 0.162 0.8407 -0.076
D 1297 39.81% 24.4 56.36% 0.107 0.9114 -0.199
E 1668 35.77% 27.8 60.91% 0.674 1.343 0.499
F 1427 41.1% 24.45 53.61% 0.09 0.8881 -0.024
G 1065 41.14% 26.1 59.81% 0.308 1.1336 0.172
H 1226 39.51% 25.0 55.46% 0.125 0.8974 -0.377
East 264 25.0% 26.56 54.55% -1.233 -0.3869 -0.16
Northeast 192 21.88% 27.35 56.25% -0.353 0.4181 -0.012
Northwest 144 18.06% 27.85 54.17% 0.618 1.4257 0.982
Southeast 116 24.14% 27.48 47.41% 0.008 0.8774 -0.543
Southwest 111 21.62% 27.18 46.85% -0.49 0.792 -0.234
West 215 23.26% 27.53 54.88% -0.245 0.7505 0.199

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 69 0.0% 13.7 55.07% -0.772 0.0235 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 136 19.51% 32.18 63.97% -0.008 -0.6222 -0.457
Start of Game Growth 194 12.71% 35.33 72.16% 1.216 0.6341 1.375
Unlimited Undo 829 41.5% 26.34 53.08% -0.053 -0.0092 0.614
Using Tokens but Not Events 728 25.95% 19.69 59.2% -0.233 -0.291 -1.155

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 87 28.05% 24.45 71.26% 0.401 0.2573 -0.091
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 503 31.01% 31.45 67.79% 0.62 -0.0934 0.33
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 13 23.08% 8.46 23.08% -1.202 -0.9376 -0.341
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 51 35.29% 18.39 47.06% -0.516 -1.3247 -1.131
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 66 50.0% 23.59 59.09% -0.29 -0.4542 0.303
Downpour Drenches the World 78 38.96% 24.01 46.15% -0.322 -0.0486 0.468
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 227 32.6% 25.67 64.32% 0.182 -0.2447 0.245
Eyes Watch From the Trees 120 29.17% 28.25 66.67% 0.456 0.0959 -0.033
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 79 29.11% 26.44 63.29% 0.129 -0.3152 0.572
Finder of Paths Unseen 59 40.68% 28.36 59.32% 0.226 0.9144 -0.065
Fractured Days Split the Sky 63 15.87% 21.63 34.92% -0.502 0.0872 -0.527
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 78 30.77% 22.32 47.44% -0.419 -0.4828 -0.807
Heart of the Wildfire 92 46.74% 19.11 45.65% -0.312 0.0154 -0.87
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 189 31.75% 32.25 66.67% 0.105 -0.1897 0.603
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 118 35.59% 24.15 50.85% -0.467 -0.8372 -1.321
Lightning's Swift Strike 42 30.95% 21.07 66.67% 0.193 0.5328 -0.593
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 62 33.87% 26.6 53.23% -0.142 -0.6155 -0.404
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 11 54.55% 37.36 81.82% 0.703 0.3428 0.918
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 35 31.43% 23.46 40.0% -0.219 -0.2121 -0.762
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 155 29.03% 27.41 54.19% -0.421 -0.7163 -0.152
Many Minds Move as One 52 32.69% 21.08 57.69% -0.166 -0.3117 0.18
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 118 38.14% 28.57 55.93% 0.023 -0.0351 0.5
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 56 50.0% 28.98 69.64% 0.467 0.3032 0.539
River Surges in Sunlight 42 54.76% 31.88 69.05% 0.101 0.1993 -0.226
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 368 33.15% 30.27 65.22% 0.163 0.0274 0.461
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 15 20.0% 27.67 66.67% 0.253 0.729 -0.413
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 44 36.36% 19.18 43.18% -0.506 -0.5406 -0.475
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 134 41.79% 35.5 56.72% 0.42 0.1652 0.573
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 11 36.36% 22.27 63.64% -0.248 0.2731 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 3 33.33% 26.0 100.0% 0.511 0.6519 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 56 33.93% 36.2 71.43% 0.746 0.168 1.253
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 5 40.0% 11.4 0.0% -1.132 -0.7816 -0.389
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 10 20.0% 27.1 80.0% 0.071 0.0555 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 8 50.0% 17.38 62.5% -0.156 0.0923 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 39 56.41% 33.33 74.36% 0.696 0.5869 0.061
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 78 17.95% 28.78 58.97% 0.065 -0.097 -0.343
Shifting Memory of Ages 39 30.77% 32.56 48.72% 0.316 0.6607 -0.632
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 378 36.77% 28.86 61.9% -0.104 -0.4136 0.001
Shroud of Silent Mist 85 53.01% 25.72 62.35% 0.266 0.5972 -0.727
Starlight Seeks its Form 115 46.09% 30.17 67.83% 0.518 0.3437 0.72
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 99 37.76% 29.6 61.62% 0.032 -0.6778 -0.125
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 73 32.88% 26.38 60.27% -0.094 0.1176 0.937
Thunderspeaker 53 22.64% 23.85 52.83% -0.227 -0.2477 -0.937
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 34 44.12% 25.94 58.82% 0.117 0.3146 1.37
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 52 61.54% 28.96 57.69% -0.117 -0.0512 0.936
Vital Strength of the Earth 31 15.38% 26.61 87.1% 0.734 1.2684 -0.094
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 31 51.61% 20.81 38.71% -0.711 -0.1434 0.024
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 2 50.0% 17.0 50.0% -0.187 0.5713 0.0
Volcano Looming High 97 42.27% 28.11 57.73% 0.057 0.194 0.62
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 171 33.33% 25.77 57.89% 0.008 -0.3026 -0.096

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Blooming of the Rocks and Trees 92.25%
Boon of Resilient Power 82.71%
Entwine the Fates of All 90.96%
Radiant and Hallowed Grove 89.24%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2548 15.74 2.04%
II 2322 30.48 60.9%
III 2390 34.79 91.09%
IV 719 38.41 100.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 52
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2166
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1410
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 715
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2172
Lose: Invader deck ran out 133
Lose: Adversary condition 518
Win: Sacrifice victory 9
Lose: Scenario condition 23
Win: Scenario condition 10
Lose: Blight pool ran out 758
Lose: Spirit destroyed 13

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.157 Win Model: -0.199

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.289 Win Model: 0.15
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 5503 41.78% 23.16 51.48%
2 1344 35.45% 26.03 63.1%
3 628 42.7% 26.96 58.92%
4 332 36.75% 29.27 66.27%
5 29 31.03% 31.45 79.31%
6 143 20.98% 30.06 47.55%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)