Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 22 27.27% 25.41 54.55% -0.116 -0.6743 0.049
Blitz 0 89 26.97% 16.93 46.07% -1.228 -0.8052 0.034
Dahan Insurrection 4 232 12.93% 20.83 27.16% -1.009 -1.4915 0.048
Despicable Theft 2 32 12.5% 9.97 31.25% -0.548 -0.0053 -0.35
Elemental Invocation 1 82 40.24% 22.45 48.78% -0.456 0.2817 -0.68
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 648 17.0% 38.04 62.81% 0.676 0.0199 0.548
Powers Long Forgotten 1 46 32.61% 15.07 34.78% 0.057 0.6195 -0.444
Rituals of Terror 3 32 43.75% 26.63 40.63% -0.309 -0.4513 -0.053
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 33 36.36% 28.48 51.52% -0.105 0.6439 0.867
Second Wave 0 307 35.74% 25.72 64.82% -0.192 -0.0971 0.675
The Great River 3 30 26.67% 16.77 26.67% -1.038 0.2069 -0.779
Varied Terrains 2 111 54.05% 19.83 34.23% -1.398 -0.5296 -0.409
Ward the Shores 2 33 33.33% 14.18 21.21% -0.391 0.4634 -0.421

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 13400 40.42% 23.36 49.12% -0.177 0.1958 0.241
1 Thematic 336 31.83% 26.99 55.06% 0.49 1.2041 0.129
2 Archipelago 12 58.33% 30.5 66.67% -0.829 -0.3051 0.589
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2337 38.49% 26.0 57.72% -0.186 -0.0248 0.116
2 Coastline 407 41.23% 25.15 55.28% 0.011 -0.1824 -0.123
2 Fragment 51 41.18% 28.96 60.78% 0.059 0.0108 0.868
2 Heart 85 51.19% 34.42 57.65% 0.862 0.6497 0.188
2 Opposite Shores 622 33.17% 24.07 58.84% -0.011 0.1213 0.308
2 Thematic 335 33.43% 24.3 52.84% -0.655 0.0648 -0.219
2 Top to Top 128 53.91% 32.63 66.41% 0.28 0.1951 -0.217
3 Archipelago 14 54.55% 37.57 78.57% -0.001 -0.544 0.071
3 Coastline 12 41.67% 29.17 50.0% 0.987 0.3564 0.805
3 Other 51 21.57% 21.84 72.55% 1.184 0.3074 1.001
3 Round (Default) 1931 41.92% 26.21 57.12% 0.255 0.2314 -0.287
3 Sunrise 11 27.27% 27.82 81.82% 0.363 -0.0839 0.0
3 Thematic 48 39.58% 22.54 50.0% -0.971 -0.9636 -0.689
4 Archipelago 11 54.55% 28.91 81.82% 0.197 0.0449 -0.171
4 Coastline 10 40.0% 25.4 30.0% -0.277 -0.148 -0.375
4 Leaf 21 42.86% 21.57 61.9% -0.435 0.0006 0.0
4 Other 30 30.0% 22.8 70.0% 1.19 0.6219 0.348
4 Thematic 220 17.27% 20.04 34.55% -0.573 -0.5104 -0.709
4 Trapezoid (Default) 789 36.8% 29.01 65.02% -0.47 -0.4651 -0.241
5 Archipelago 3 0.0% 20.67 66.67% 0.0 -0.2088 0.538
5 Coastline 4 0.0% 20.0 25.0% -0.324 -1.3447 -0.375
5 Other 114 37.72% 30.38 68.42% -0.115 -0.4392 0.033
5 Thematic 8 25.0% 15.63 50.0% -0.753 -0.8962 0.601
6 Archipelago 4 50.0% 49.0 75.0% 0.0 -1.0381 0.0
6 Coastline 5 20.0% 54.8 80.0% 0.0 -1.0581 0.449
6 Other 59 25.42% 21.31 42.37% -1.187 -1.2313 -1.467
6 Star 37 24.32% 29.14 67.57% 0.838 1.4709 -1.047
6 Thematic 216 29.3% 33.66 48.15% 0.041 0.2449 -0.005
6 Two Centers (Default) 167 23.95% 28.57 56.29% -0.929 -0.4544 -0.654
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.754 0.078 0.259

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 375 29.26 47.2% -0.153 -0.0824 0.475
Aid From Lesser Spirits 287 33.59 59.23% 0.332 0.2226 0.723
All Things Weaken 480 26.38 41.46% -0.135 0.0425 0.279
Attenuated Essence 436 27.61 44.72% -0.747 -0.695 0.052
Back Against the Wall 340 33.94 57.65% 0.803 0.7875 0.818
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 449 27.63 46.99% -0.073 0.111 0.344
Burn Brightest Before the End 325 30.08 46.46% 0.102 0.1887 0.352
Disintegrating Ecosystem 367 26.44 46.32% -0.125 0.1666 0.268
Downward Spiral 409 26.43 45.23% -0.093 0.0126 0.063
Erosion of Will 442 27.21 41.4% 0.022 0.1884 0.216
Intensifying Exploitation 443 23.35 38.83% -0.846 -0.6583 -0.295
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 176 26.56 51.14% 0.154 -0.2741 -0.102
Memory Fades to Dust 439 27.02 42.14% -0.252 -0.0167 0.152
Power Corrodes the Spirit 422 25.66 41.71% -0.074 0.0217 0.098
Promising Farmlands 402 25.42 41.29% -0.484 -0.1198 -0.287
Shattered Fragments of Power 329 31.07 51.37% 0.76 0.8252 0.507
Slow Dissolution of Will 427 27.64 43.79% 0.086 0.5491 0.32
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 131 27.62 58.78% 0.682 0.0805 0.743
The Border of Life and Death 138 33.2 68.12% 0.842 0.3664 1.544
Thriving Communities 466 25.11 40.77% -0.086 0.1391 0.207
Thriving Crops 194 27.72 58.25% 0.104 -0.121 0.19
Unnatural Proliferation 454 31.44 50.44% 0.219 0.3405 0.403
Untended Land Crumbles 443 25.86 38.6% -0.274 -0.042 0.025

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 4255 37.65% 25.23 55.63% 0.156 1.074 0.104
B 4318 41.68% 24.28 53.01% 0.14 0.9813 -0.019
C 4599 38.48% 25.1 55.34% 0.407 1.0898 0.197
D 3751 37.77% 24.25 54.01% 0.289 1.1312 0.041
E 4797 36.76% 28.26 58.75% 0.69 1.3419 0.558
F 4040 39.52% 25.06 54.41% 0.245 1.0044 -0.046
G 3243 40.75% 24.87 54.12% 0.231 0.9882 0.01
H 3463 40.21% 25.51 54.26% 0.259 0.9779 0.012
East 966 29.02% 25.86 47.83% -0.385 0.4287 -0.141
Northeast 655 29.66% 27.8 51.76% -0.66 0.0071 -0.074
Northwest 576 28.1% 27.93 50.69% -0.293 0.5119 0.376
Southeast 455 27.31% 27.35 43.52% -0.324 0.3813 -1.081
Southwest 444 25.51% 26.3 41.22% -0.394 0.9955 -0.166
West 892 28.49% 26.23 47.98% -0.366 0.4277 0.194

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 167 0.0% 14.92 54.49% -0.225 0.4941 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 2 0.0% 25.0 100.0% 0.0 0.4849 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 328 19.4% 29.49 64.02% -0.204 -0.9345 0.007
Start of Game Growth 526 14.47% 33.06 68.44% 0.316 -0.1298 0.532
Unlimited Undo 2349 36.59% 26.35 53.72% -0.171 -0.2041 0.461
Using Tokens but Not Events 2238 26.75% 21.61 58.45% 0.167 0.0043 -1.26

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 304 26.76% 26.51 61.84% -0.19 -0.2968 -0.466
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 866 32.83% 31.3 66.28% 0.781 0.2922 0.378
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 68 41.18% 12.63 35.29% -0.3 -0.1571 -1.212
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 176 43.43% 24.78 48.86% 0.01 -0.738 -1.004
Dances Up Earthquakes 101 34.65% 24.64 63.37% -0.12 -0.2971 0.267
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 218 40.55% 24.89 62.84% 0.427 0.2195 0.671
Downpour Drenches the World 412 28.05% 21.23 47.33% -0.509 -0.1893 0.338
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 863 29.65% 25.12 57.13% 0.138 -0.3021 0.598
Eyes Watch From the Trees 388 32.03% 28.01 65.72% 0.676 0.333 0.232
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 277 35.51% 26.87 64.26% 0.58 0.2262 0.159
Finder of Paths Unseen 267 41.73% 24.7 46.44% -0.942 -0.1571 -0.315
Fractured Days Split the Sky 174 18.5% 22.16 43.1% -0.962 -0.5135 -0.039
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 404 23.19% 19.02 39.36% -0.399 -0.4231 -0.787
Heart of the Wildfire 311 47.91% 21.12 43.09% -0.292 0.0351 -0.237
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 713 32.54% 32.0 65.92% 0.338 -0.1573 0.692
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 336 28.87% 24.26 53.27% -0.187 -0.7494 -0.784
Lightning's Swift Strike 118 39.83% 24.23 62.71% 0.078 0.2764 -0.357
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 193 40.41% 33.87 61.14% 0.557 0.1089 0.413
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 74 41.89% 27.91 48.65% 0.259 -0.0604 0.337
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 125 27.2% 25.95 45.6% -0.957 -0.8317 -0.249
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 505 34.85% 28.76 56.63% -0.291 -0.4469 0.436
Many Minds Move as One 325 34.26% 25.59 59.69% 0.288 0.0809 0.023
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 448 40.49% 32.27 58.04% 0.699 0.8284 0.916
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 71 50.0% 27.52 64.79% 0.335 0.4402 0.234
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 233 43.72% 25.8 61.37% -0.362 -0.4115 0.319
River Surges in Sunlight 179 41.9% 30.25 60.89% 0.543 0.5762 0.11
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 558 34.05% 30.38 62.72% 0.404 0.6123 0.133
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 72 48.61% 27.4 68.06% 0.169 0.3204 -0.759
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 126 36.51% 26.75 49.21% -0.258 -0.2488 0.632
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 316 37.78% 32.56 57.59% 0.043 -0.0561 0.36
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 62 29.03% 28.58 72.58% 0.721 0.2298 -0.688
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 56 46.43% 20.11 44.64% -0.144 0.3678 -1.579
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 25 28.0% 18.52 60.0% -0.241 -0.2838 -0.225
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 195 39.18% 34.75 70.77% 0.786 0.3379 1.013
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 30 40.0% 20.9 43.33% -0.136 -0.0778 -0.331
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 35 37.14% 21.17 57.14% 0.337 0.1468 -0.461
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 29 37.93% 21.21 55.17% -0.382 -0.2982 0.256
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 148 42.57% 30.0 64.86% -0.079 -0.1772 0.421
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 235 28.94% 31.83 63.4% 0.22 0.0261 -0.375
Shifting Memory of Ages 120 30.83% 27.46 54.17% -0.949 -0.5591 0.049
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 693 35.5% 28.05 57.29% -0.565 -0.6169 0.163
Shroud of Silent Mist 221 45.21% 23.65 59.73% 0.316 0.7299 -0.478
Starlight Seeks its Form 458 40.83% 30.52 63.32% 0.019 -0.0215 0.815
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 393 36.06% 24.98 53.44% -0.469 -0.971 -0.174
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 272 41.91% 27.59 57.72% -0.007 0.0761 0.058
Thunderspeaker 197 36.04% 26.36 62.44% 0.789 0.7829 -0.694
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 120 34.17% 25.82 52.5% 0.197 0.586 1.36
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 257 57.2% 27.6 55.25% -0.131 -0.0536 0.459
Vital Strength of the Earth 110 32.38% 23.53 71.82% 0.383 0.8325 -0.816
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 136 52.21% 27.26 47.06% 0.044 0.538 0.133
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 35 37.14% 27.8 62.86% -0.284 0.409 0.182
Volcano Looming High 387 50.9% 25.78 49.61% -0.587 -0.5229 0.151
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 731 29.49% 23.17 50.07% -0.234 -0.4828 -0.173

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Blooming of the Rocks and Trees 92.12%
Boon of Resilient Power 84.18%
Entwine the Fates of All 91.7%
Radiant and Hallowed Grove 88.27%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7392 14.25 1.91%
II 5958 30.3 59.82%
III 6101 34.84 90.02%
IV 2034 38.61 99.85%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 141
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5449
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3523
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2016
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6490
Lose: Invader deck ran out 315
Lose: Adversary condition 1444
Win: Sacrifice victory 29
Lose: Scenario condition 90
Win: Scenario condition 70
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1883
Lose: Spirit destroyed 35

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.306 Win Model: -0.142

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.205 Win Model: 0.156
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 13848 40.24% 23.46 49.3%
2 3897 38.23% 25.91 57.61%
3 2053 41.49% 26.22 57.82%
4 1072 32.87% 26.91 58.86%
5 128 34.38% 29.07 64.06%
6 487 26.75% 30.18 52.57%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)