Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 46 23.91% 29.15 71.74% -0.007 -0.2621 0.362
Blitz 0 2082 38.86% 28.81 72.91% -0.46 -0.2626 0.05
Dahan Insurrection 4 10063 36.11% 55.86 70.4% 0.583 0.1408 0.854
Despicable Theft 2 394 40.05% 32.61 79.95% -0.266 0.5465 1.127
Elemental Invocation 1 177 47.46% 29.51 64.41% 0.062 0.7649 0.273
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7077 9.43% 46.88 80.8% 0.679 0.0345 0.747
Powers Long Forgotten 1 3161 35.58% 39.11 81.21% -0.055 0.5801 -0.399
Rituals of Terror 3 2183 42.18% 40.96 76.27% -0.551 -0.4498 0.84
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 305 74.75% 35.11 58.36% -0.97 0.0392 -0.05
Second Wave 0 7905 40.79% 30.64 78.41% 0.109 0.1755 0.186
The Great River 3 252 48.81% 29.88 53.57% -0.731 0.4859 -1.115
Varied Terrains 2 60 60.0% 28.93 55.0% -1.123 -0.5005 -0.745
Ward the Shores 2 877 46.16% 34.02 60.21% -0.676 0.4084 -0.9

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 100651 40.75% 30.34 75.57% 0.435 0.4889 0.644
1 Thematic 8903 50.76% 44.57 58.73% 0.051 0.5282 0.011
2 Archipelago 35 48.57% 35.49 71.43% 0.15 0.2544 -0.624
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 38309 43.51% 30.52 74.53% 0.279 0.361 0.549
2 Coastline 4659 39.81% 31.16 73.28% 0.382 0.2281 -0.009
2 Fragment 1058 46.88% 26.65 70.13% 0.201 -0.0477 0.812
2 Heart 541 46.73% 28.1 70.61% 0.536 0.2487 0.166
2 Opposite Shores 7314 39.94% 32.0 77.1% 0.365 0.3882 0.017
2 Thematic 3747 46.55% 41.92 64.99% -0.459 -0.0559 0.169
2 Top to Top 1096 46.92% 31.85 74.0% 0.335 0.169 0.632
3 Archipelago 43 53.49% 49.19 79.07% 0.205 -1.3443 0.859
3 Coastline 118 44.74% 31.25 70.34% 1.22 0.7065 0.762
3 Other 677 37.5% 28.48 74.3% 0.67 1.2111 0.667
3 Round (Default) 20369 36.14% 33.0 78.85% 0.244 0.129 0.105
3 Sunrise 92 35.8% 31.07 82.61% 0.796 1.0761 0.984
3 Thematic 1151 38.26% 39.19 71.16% -0.796 -0.7161 -0.076
4 Archipelago 47 23.91% 48.68 87.23% 0.364 -0.3102 -0.223
4 Coastline 114 26.32% 28.39 64.04% -0.257 -0.026 -0.15
4 Leaf 75 35.14% 31.01 78.67% -0.458 -0.8013 -0.64
4 Other 513 34.48% 31.72 80.12% -0.424 -1.5074 -0.184
4 Reverse Snake 4 0.0% 45.75 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 12 66.67% 32.92 50.0% 0.0 -0.3465 -0.609
4 Thematic 4235 28.32% 48.71 76.51% -0.281 -0.5437 -0.502
4 Trapezoid (Default) 16708 29.87% 38.54 81.24% 0.26 0.1772 0.157
5 Archipelago 12 58.33% 52.58 75.0% 0.0 -0.9161 -0.113
5 Coastline 14 23.08% 31.14 100.0% 0.552 -0.0994 0.289
5 Other 369 34.99% 33.88 86.72% 0.81 0.5255 0.099
5 Thematic 66 37.88% 55.86 72.73% -0.024 -0.1177 -0.42
6 Archipelago 19 22.22% 27.79 73.68% -0.666 -0.5145 -0.647
6 Coastline 7 40.0% 34.71 100.0% 0.658 -0.143 0.145
6 Other 154 19.08% 34.06 86.36% -0.6 -0.8331 0.128
6 Star 75 24.0% 35.4 86.67% 0.213 0.1999 -1.003
6 Thematic 418 26.92% 44.2 71.29% -1.06 -0.6391 -1.705
6 Two Centers (Default) 764 16.64% 32.62 83.64% -0.465 -0.361 -0.633
7 Archipelago 4 50.0% 60.25 50.0% -0.582 -0.6006 -0.497
7 Other 2 50.0% 27.0 100.0% 0.63 0.0173 -0.34

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5266 31.75 52.91% 0.007 0.2497 -0.627
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4982 33.94 58.19% 0.21 0.1328 -0.121
All Things Weaken 1992 30.09 45.53% -0.633 -0.2401 -0.911
Attenuated Essence 44 34.59 61.36% 0.721 0.8277 0.539
Back Against the Wall 4763 32.84 54.88% -0.378 -0.32 -0.321
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 45 26.02 37.78% -0.245 -0.0429 -0.917
Burn Brightest Before the End 33 30.79 57.58% -0.179 0.0316 -0.467
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4940 28.53 48.79% -0.747 -0.3235 -0.782
Downward Spiral 17738 28.21 54.85% -0.439 -0.2032 -0.547
Erosion of Will 5162 30.2 49.9% -0.247 0.0623 -0.795
Intensifying Exploitation 38 22.66 36.84% -0.619 -0.3315 -0.736
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 841 37.58 79.19% 0.584 0.0904 0.024
Memory Fades to Dust 17727 27.7 51.24% -0.609 -0.2724 -0.671
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1979 31.29 52.45% -0.348 -0.1278 -0.69
Promising Farmlands 5148 28.39 46.87% -0.834 -0.3808 -0.819
Shattered Fragments of Power 44 28.23 36.36% -0.236 -0.1854 -1.294
Slow Dissolution of Will 51 31.84 43.14% -0.308 0.0913 0.102
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 560 38.55 82.32% -0.264 -0.975 0.219
The Border of Life and Death 9 42.0 88.89% 0.964 0.6284 0.788
Thriving Communities 1923 30.37 50.08% -0.54 -0.1774 -0.689
Thriving Crops 23 25.52 47.83% -0.222 -0.4198 -0.657
Tipping Point 2451 29.8 48.76% 0.0 0.0 -0.435
Unnatural Proliferation 2214 32.47 51.99% 0.096 0.3111 -0.599
Untended Land Crumbles 2002 30.29 50.35% -0.008 0.274 -0.808

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 67701 37.54% 32.08 76.95% -0.529 0.2113 0.156
B 68578 36.99% 32.51 77.61% -0.6 0.1259 0.181
C 71058 37.69% 32.62 77.39% -0.461 0.121 0.16
D 63501 38.18% 31.7 77.23% -0.544 0.1673 0.192
E 15316 39.41% 33.79 76.35% -0.153 0.4128 0.115
F 21864 38.98% 33.57 76.86% -0.609 0.061 0.031
G 20861 38.89% 33.7 76.78% -0.48 0.1716 -0.01
H 20415 38.78% 33.73 76.85% -0.449 0.1218 0.019
East 14556 42.16% 46.35 65.22% -0.284 0.2553 0.198
Northeast 9818 39.85% 46.66 65.84% -0.406 0.2288 -0.404
Northwest 7193 34.83% 45.68 71.88% -0.078 0.7316 0.296
Southeast 1748 37.06% 42.2 71.11% -0.326 0.3796 -0.506
Southwest 1401 36.41% 39.66 69.38% -1.209 -0.2191 -0.824
West 11135 39.05% 43.9 69.3% -0.3 0.6038 -0.163

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 12636 0.0% 20.29 71.2% -0.793 -0.0164 -0.462
Not Using Events or Tokens 65563 39.16% 27.99 75.01% -0.219 0.1603 -0.168
Skip Initial Invader Actions 6901 9.93% 41.75 91.0% 0.654 0.0367 0.832
Start of Game Growth 9872 12.91% 40.45 88.78% -0.009 -0.3571 -0.082
Unlimited Undo 21022 33.93% 34.17 81.63% 0.295 0.2882 0.664
Using Tokens but Not Events 23058 26.19% 32.88 83.74% 0.012 0.0018 0.41

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 17866 100.0% 31.53 100.0% -0.301 -0.4489 -0.11
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6169 100.0% 31.7 100.0% -0.391 -0.2599 -0.227
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3199 100.0% 33.29 100.0% -0.011 -0.1553 0.258
Downpour Drenches the World 391 100.0% 34.98 100.0% -0.032 0.1475 0.351
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 186 100.0% 26.08 100.0% 0.248 -0.5174 -0.496
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8383 100.0% 38.03 100.0% 0.568 -0.0212 0.252
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4278 100.0% 36.76 100.0% 0.575 0.0784 -0.251
Finder of Paths Unseen 334 100.0% 34.71 100.0% -0.204 0.4599 0.512
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1363 100.0% 41.12 100.0% -0.141 0.4454 0.117
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 880 100.0% 36.63 100.0% -0.125 -0.2194 -0.019
Heart of the Wildfire 5254 100.0% 33.1 100.0% 0.043 0.2841 0.203
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 16889 100.0% 40.39 100.0% 0.198 -0.2435 0.328
Lightning's Swift Strike 13006 106.69% 33.62 103.4% 0.024 0.2066 0.012
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 209 52.2% 36.68 61.24% -0.501 -0.9881 -0.968
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 530 43.92% 38.4 73.4% 0.242 0.0743 0.416
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 798 38.21% 39.32 72.43% -0.761 -0.8742 0.37
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2605 100.0% 36.82 100.0% 0.668 0.5358 -0.072
Many Minds Move as One 1797 100.0% 35.24 100.0% -0.274 -0.4956 0.539
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 15516 100.0% 37.44 100.0% 0.335 0.2924 0.424
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3172 100.0% 34.42 100.0% -0.005 -0.1832 0.124
River Surges in Sunlight 20321 107.12% 36.45 103.23% 0.285 0.3549 -0.048
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1772 40.87% 39.34 75.34% -0.276 0.0346 -0.03
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 751 42.3% 40.66 70.71% 0.176 0.0623 0.064
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 8536 100.0% 37.74 100.0% -0.216 -0.4531 -0.244
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 6380 107.18% 28.91 103.61% -0.382 0.1477 -0.403
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 58 48.21% 45.72 81.03% 0.237 0.1617 1.042
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 57 42.11% 36.47 80.7% 0.013 -0.093 -0.047
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 399 49.49% 32.11 67.92% -0.152 -0.1702 -0.344
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 333 39.82% 34.43 75.98% -1.089 -0.9124 0.161
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 10688 100.46% 39.81 100.29% 0.532 0.3422 0.181
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 69 28.99% 25.41 55.07% 0.2 -0.1815 -1.127
Shifting Memory of Ages 873 100.0% 32.94 100.0% -0.244 0.1092 0.047
Shroud of Silent Mist 780 100.0% 32.79 100.0% 1.022 1.2721 0.528
Starlight Seeks its Form 900 100.0% 35.6 100.0% 0.751 0.4898 -0.247
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2705 100.0% 33.56 100.0% -0.225 -0.702 -0.182
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3752 100.0% 40.0 100.0% 0.071 0.1337 0.706
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1417 100.0% 32.0 100.0% -0.619 -0.5262 -0.403
Vital Strength of the Earth 10653 103.11% 27.91 101.5% -0.129 0.3951 -0.717
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 169 32.08% 35.87 74.56% 0.097 0.3575 0.412
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 396 43.0% 31.98 70.45% -0.205 0.5707 -0.969
Volcano Looming High 1294 100.0% 33.94 100.0% 0.079 0.0356 0.169

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Manifestation of Power and Glory 94.59%
Sudden Ambush 89.94%
Voice of Thunder 91.56%
Words of Warning 98.14%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 40178 20.4 38.14%
II 107771 31.01 80.23%
III 52824 34.76 88.28%
IV 11661 38.07 98.17%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 15317
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 44549
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 77974
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 11257
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2955
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1669
Lose: Adversary condition 12804
Win: Sacrifice victory 500
Lose: Scenario condition 1891
Win: Scenario condition 10272
Lose: Blight pool ran out 27601
Lose: Spirit destroyed 5645

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.169 Win Model: -0.133

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.111 Win Model: 0.1
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 109800 41.65% 31.51 74.14%
2 56762 43.1% 31.46 74.1%
3 22389 36.27% 33.19 78.32%
4 21754 29.69% 40.31 80.27%
5 319 29.71% 33.34 82.13%
6 1410 20.13% 35.94 80.85%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-12 04:02:30 (Pacific Time)