Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 31 25.81% 33.97 80.65% 0.551 0.4098 0.487
Blitz 0 1984 39.16% 29.34 74.6% -0.896 -0.5581 0.046
Dahan Insurrection 4 9687 36.42% 56.47 71.11% 0.377 0.1375 0.826
Despicable Theft 2 366 40.16% 33.49 82.24% 0.096 0.6958 1.119
Elemental Invocation 1 164 48.78% 29.98 64.63% -1.014 -0.1821 0.419
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6863 9.44% 47.14 81.28% 0.32 -0.0458 0.65
Powers Long Forgotten 1 3084 35.7% 39.32 81.61% 0.166 0.6332 -0.433
Rituals of Terror 3 2092 42.64% 41.66 77.63% 0.083 -0.191 0.84
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 296 76.01% 35.9 59.46% -0.708 -0.0123 -0.04
Second Wave 0 7608 41.14% 30.87 78.88% 0.099 0.2859 0.147
The Great River 3 236 50.0% 30.39 54.66% -1.255 0.317 -1.015
Varied Terrains 2 40 55.0% 33.98 70.0% -0.556 0.0504 0.016
Ward the Shores 2 840 46.77% 34.56 60.95% 0.401 1.2607 -0.91

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 97280 40.89% 30.68 76.44% 0.608 0.8722 0.63
1 Thematic 8674 51.12% 45.01 59.28% -0.313 0.3297 0.037
2 Archipelago 33 51.52% 36.7 72.73% -0.828 0.1341 -0.47
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 37042 43.73% 30.84 75.28% 0.423 0.6309 0.492
2 Coastline 4420 40.4% 31.75 74.66% -0.243 -0.0943 0.024
2 Fragment 1008 46.77% 27.06 71.43% 0.725 0.6811 0.802
2 Heart 525 46.63% 28.35 70.86% 0.149 0.0674 -0.174
2 Opposite Shores 7006 40.26% 32.46 78.03% 0.43 0.5936 0.015
2 Thematic 3649 46.91% 42.43 65.66% -0.364 0.2881 0.138
2 Top to Top 1064 47.72% 32.02 74.44% 0.463 0.6326 0.581
3 Archipelago 42 52.38% 48.79 78.57% 0.316 0.0827 0.752
3 Coastline 111 45.79% 31.42 69.37% -0.043 -0.3534 0.608
3 Other 642 37.8% 28.96 74.92% 0.281 -0.3444 0.601
3 Round (Default) 19694 36.26% 33.34 79.55% 0.342 0.2979 0.06
3 Sunrise 89 37.18% 31.2 82.02% -0.724 -0.9133 0.931
3 Thematic 1129 38.48% 39.4 71.92% -0.524 -0.4542 -0.119
4 Archipelago 45 25.0% 48.82 86.67% 0.148 0.5051 -0.238
4 Coastline 107 28.04% 28.93 62.62% 0.596 0.1502 -0.177
4 Leaf 72 35.21% 31.56 80.56% 0.195 -0.1884 -0.704
4 Other 499 34.38% 32.28 81.16% 0.049 -0.6723 -0.277
4 Reverse Snake 4 0.0% 45.75 100.0% 0.0 -0.144 0.0
4 Snake 12 66.67% 32.92 50.0% 0.0 0.5153 -0.646
4 Thematic 4149 28.4% 48.89 76.86% -0.038 -0.0491 -0.619
4 Trapezoid (Default) 16161 30.16% 38.99 81.86% 0.481 0.3365 0.082
5 Archipelago 12 58.33% 52.58 75.0% 0.0 -0.7421 -0.149
5 Coastline 13 25.0% 31.31 100.0% 0.373 0.0345 0.251
5 Other 327 34.47% 34.6 88.38% 0.075 -0.5158 -0.02
5 Thematic 62 40.32% 56.08 72.58% -0.112 -0.416 -0.418
6 Archipelago 16 26.67% 30.94 81.25% -0.655 -0.4903 -0.717
6 Coastline 5 33.33% 26.4 100.0% 0.0 -0.75 0.0
6 Other 130 21.09% 36.35 90.77% 0.115 -0.2626 0.296
6 Star 65 23.08% 36.54 89.23% 0.313 0.9533 -0.5
6 Thematic 344 29.53% 47.87 76.45% -0.51 -0.4298 -1.356
6 Two Centers (Default) 621 16.78% 34.71 90.02% -0.603 -0.1734 -0.281
7 Archipelago 3 66.67% 80.33 66.67% 0.035 -0.9717 -0.59
7 Other 1 0.0% 28.0 100.0% -0.497 -0.7966 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5158 31.79 52.97% -0.978 -0.007 -0.729
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4901 34.0 58.23% -0.83 -0.0449 -0.236
All Things Weaken 1917 30.43 46.17% -1.467 -0.3785 -0.993
Attenuated Essence 7 31.0 42.86% -0.582 0.305 0.913
Back Against the Wall 4671 32.96 55.02% -0.357 0.4717 -0.429
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 4 24.0 25.0% -1.062 0.1887 0.42
Burn Brightest Before the End 7 45.43 85.71% 0.309 1.2498 0.505
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4850 28.7 49.07% -0.785 0.3343 -0.862
Downward Spiral 17215 28.45 55.29% -1.007 -0.0448 -0.681
Erosion of Will 5040 30.3 49.98% -1.045 0.0711 -0.904
Intensifying Exploitation 4 34.25 50.0% -0.254 0.8202 0.083
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 810 37.92 79.63% -0.118 -0.2338 -0.127
Memory Fades to Dust 17224 27.97 51.66% -1.036 0.077 -0.797
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1907 31.51 52.91% -1.089 -0.1334 -0.802
Promising Farmlands 5035 28.58 47.17% -1.347 -0.2118 -0.94
Shattered Fragments of Power 12 22.67 25.0% -1.553 -0.6304 -0.688
Slow Dissolution of Will 6 48.33 66.67% 0.065 1.3343 0.304
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 539 39.3 83.49% 0.468 0.1794 0.176
The Border of Life and Death 1 22.0 100.0% 0.174 0.5856 0.0
Thriving Communities 1843 30.69 50.68% -1.253 -0.1063 -0.779
Thriving Crops 7 30.0 42.86% -0.479 0.3966 0.045
Tipping Point 2451 29.8 48.76% 0.0 -0.0581 -0.559
Unnatural Proliferation 2110 32.58 51.85% -0.68 0.2858 -0.709
Untended Land Crumbles 1922 30.49 50.42% -0.907 0.1253 -0.954

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 65386 37.79% 32.49 77.81% -0.547 0.3228 0.17
B 66410 37.19% 32.87 78.38% -0.385 0.3823 0.179
C 68736 37.91% 32.99 78.16% -0.425 0.17 0.141
D 61433 38.42% 32.06 78.02% -0.534 0.2861 0.204
E 14262 40.11% 34.46 77.58% -0.307 0.3456 0.103
F 20792 39.33% 34.04 77.75% -0.176 0.555 -0.002
G 19881 39.21% 34.17 77.65% -0.421 0.2944 -0.044
H 19417 39.14% 34.18 77.73% -0.172 0.5245 0.027
East 14142 42.52% 46.79 65.83% 0.081 0.7412 0.184
Northeast 9522 40.27% 47.15 66.52% -0.198 0.6666 -0.457
Northwest 6969 35.23% 46.18 72.66% 0.019 0.6048 0.263
Southeast 1627 38.41% 43.18 72.65% -0.259 0.4323 -0.541
Southwest 1282 38.0% 40.85 71.53% -1.027 0.2152 -0.73
West 10804 39.44% 44.4 70.02% -0.824 0.1922 -0.155

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 12224 0.0% 20.57 72.13% -1.439 0.0488 -0.605
Not Using Events or Tokens 62936 39.45% 28.44 76.14% -0.006 0.1849 -0.139
Skip Initial Invader Actions 6717 9.9% 41.95 91.63% 0.608 -0.1079 0.887
Start of Game Growth 9555 12.92% 40.79 89.63% 0.741 0.2687 -0.03
Unlimited Undo 20084 34.1% 34.56 82.71% 0.34 0.0888 0.73
Using Tokens but Not Events 22220 26.34% 33.2 84.69% -0.002 -0.0012 0.481

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 17257 100.0% 31.96 100.0% -0.045 -0.1989 -0.14
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5958 100.0% 32.19 100.0% -0.48 -0.4281 -0.31
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3074 100.0% 33.78 100.0% -0.156 -0.3628 0.218
Downpour Drenches the World 303 100.0% 38.37 100.0% -0.172 0.1735 0.167
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 52 100.0% 30.23 100.0% -0.369 -0.582 -0.228
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8027 100.0% 38.44 100.0% 0.558 0.0432 0.233
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4133 100.0% 36.99 100.0% 0.241 -0.1806 -0.343
Finder of Paths Unseen 263 100.0% 37.69 100.0% 0.828 1.3486 0.648
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1284 100.0% 42.09 100.0% 0.571 0.8958 0.067
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 815 100.0% 37.77 100.0% 0.329 0.2115 -0.184
Heart of the Wildfire 5146 100.0% 33.31 100.0% 0.105 0.3056 0.147
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 16273 100.0% 40.85 100.0% 0.46 -0.1432 0.332
Lightning's Swift Strike 12628 106.3% 33.93 102.74% 0.185 0.4649 -0.039
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 142 43.48% 41.44 78.87% -0.195 -0.9428 0.175
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 510 43.48% 38.93 73.92% 0.177 -0.2815 0.289
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 737 39.02% 41.18 75.17% 0.595 0.3091 0.34
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2442 100.0% 37.28 100.0% -0.02 -0.1804 -0.206
Many Minds Move as One 1697 100.0% 35.84 100.0% -0.061 -0.4887 0.494
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 14977 100.0% 37.87 100.0% 0.102 -0.0129 0.377
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3044 100.0% 34.82 100.0% 0.502 0.438 0.046
River Surges in Sunlight 19606 106.61% 36.91 102.77% 0.626 0.5409 -0.113
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1659 40.88% 40.22 76.73% -0.258 -0.1193 -0.119
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 615 43.21% 43.15 74.31% 0.039 -0.2234 -0.018
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 8302 100.0% 38.06 100.0% -0.061 -0.2085 -0.292
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 6191 106.9% 29.35 103.23% -0.446 -0.0414 -0.431
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 49 47.92% 48.59 83.67% -0.054 -0.0029 1.086
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 47 46.81% 38.04 85.11% -0.469 -0.4441 0.293
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 385 49.47% 32.54 68.83% -0.039 -0.0942 -0.388
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 315 40.19% 35.87 79.37% -0.088 0.02 0.071
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 10475 100.15% 40.03 100.11% 0.386 0.1951 0.123
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 20 20.0% 19.85 40.0% -0.988 -0.952 -0.749
Shifting Memory of Ages 778 100.0% 34.35 100.0% -0.622 -0.3471 -0.042
Shroud of Silent Mist 726 100.0% 33.15 100.0% -0.074 0.1788 0.459
Starlight Seeks its Form 774 100.0% 36.43 100.0% 0.197 0.0151 -0.401
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2474 100.0% 34.63 100.0% 0.019 -0.4254 -0.247
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3632 100.0% 40.49 100.0% 0.171 0.2616 0.639
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1374 100.0% 32.47 100.0% -0.311 -0.4341 -0.441
Vital Strength of the Earth 10324 102.83% 28.29 101.26% -0.228 0.4116 -0.8
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 121 29.73% 39.24 81.82% -0.167 0.2105 0.413
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 379 42.82% 32.6 71.5% -1.058 -0.031 -0.95
Volcano Looming High 1208 100.0% 34.57 100.0% 0.387 0.3831 0.2

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Manifestation of Power and Glory 94.56%
Sudden Ambush 89.9%
Voice of Thunder 91.5%
Words of Warning 98.14%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 37391 22.19 40.25%
II 104883 31.1 80.4%
III 51459 34.71 88.36%
IV 11366 37.97 98.14%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 15044
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 43434
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 76006
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10969
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 617
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1628
Lose: Adversary condition 12526
Win: Sacrifice victory 491
Lose: Scenario condition 1851
Win: Scenario condition 10061
Lose: Blight pool ran out 26959
Lose: Spirit destroyed 5513

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.006 Win Model: -0.15

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.242 Win Model: 0.158
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 106163 41.82% 31.87 74.98%
2 54758 43.38% 31.83 74.89%
3 21656 36.39% 33.54 79.01%
4 21094 29.92% 40.73 80.82%
5 276 29.15% 34.34 83.7%
6 1152 21.27% 38.35 86.72%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-12 02:39:41 (Pacific Time)