Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 86 29.07% 25.09 58.14% 0.269 0.0484 -0.371
Blitz 0 2534 36.7% 26.13 66.65% -0.488 -0.2011 0.026
Dahan Insurrection 4 11540 34.77% 53.26 67.87% 0.18 0.0653 1.036
Despicable Theft 2 519 40.04% 29.56 71.48% -0.554 0.1843 -0.122
Elemental Invocation 1 243 42.8% 24.99 53.91% -1.194 -0.4381 -0.247
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8305 9.36% 45.46 77.98% 0.525 -0.0566 0.954
Powers Long Forgotten 1 3585 34.77% 37.36 78.05% -0.405 0.4489 -0.287
Rituals of Terror 3 2667 40.23% 38.29 71.28% 0.11 -0.0605 0.824
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 360 70.28% 31.71 52.78% -0.677 0.234 -0.045
Second Wave 0 9080 39.93% 30.15 76.99% 0.48 0.5591 0.351
The Great River 3 311 46.62% 26.63 48.55% -0.865 0.4984 -1.651
Varied Terrains 2 115 55.65% 22.5 42.61% -1.107 -0.2277 -0.717
Ward the Shores 2 1015 43.32% 31.44 56.45% -1.469 -0.4876 -1.128

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 118866 39.92% 28.61 71.62% 0.219 0.563 0.968
1 Thematic 9826 49.57% 42.66 57.02% -0.388 0.1398 0.354
2 Archipelago 67 46.97% 32.09 50.75% -0.278 0.2212 -0.859
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 45092 42.07% 28.91 71.05% 0.178 0.4621 0.821
2 Coastline 5451 39.09% 29.39 69.8% 0.38 0.4086 0.391
2 Fragment 1264 46.11% 25.52 68.2% 0.522 0.2844 1.06
2 Heart 650 45.99% 25.98 65.85% -0.57 -0.7174 0.406
2 Opposite Shores 8856 40.8% 30.7 71.96% 0.535 0.5937 0.064
2 Thematic 4227 45.01% 40.3 62.74% 0.066 0.436 0.447
2 Top to Top 1350 46.1% 29.91 69.56% 0.083 0.2063 0.625
3 Archipelago 63 44.44% 47.08 76.19% 1.617 0.819 1.222
3 Coastline 147 44.68% 29.27 68.03% 0.181 -0.368 1.185
3 Other 803 35.6% 27.08 71.23% 0.949 0.4109 0.733
3 Round (Default) 23853 35.58% 31.59 75.66% 0.331 0.2381 0.26
3 Sunrise 106 33.68% 29.69 78.3% 0.1 0.2506 1.233
3 Thematic 1334 36.89% 36.84 66.57% 0.058 -0.4605 0.219
4 Archipelago 72 26.87% 40.04 77.78% -0.711 -0.2784 -0.297
4 Coastline 149 25.5% 27.34 68.46% 1.421 0.6609 -0.049
4 Leaf 95 33.33% 27.97 71.58% -0.214 -0.4259 -0.733
4 Other 615 33.1% 28.42 72.2% -0.841 -0.8335 0.06
4 Reverse Snake 4 0.0% 45.75 100.0% 0.0 0.9371 0.0
4 Snake 13 61.54% 33.54 53.85% 0.455 0.3845 -0.489
4 Thematic 4560 28.06% 47.48 74.69% -0.629 -0.4955 -0.519
4 Trapezoid (Default) 19942 29.14% 35.59 75.57% 0.426 0.5333 -0.34
5 Archipelago 17 64.71% 45.82 76.47% 0.0 0.168 0.15
5 Coastline 23 31.82% 28.43 91.3% -0.499 -1.0057 -0.109
5 Other 633 34.45% 29.27 77.41% -0.102 -0.6169 -0.356
5 Thematic 80 33.75% 50.76 66.25% 0.0 -0.9822 -0.487
6 Archipelago 36 20.0% 28.19 66.67% -0.615 -1.3446 -0.538
6 Coastline 13 18.18% 26.0 69.23% 0.0 -1.0392 -0.963
6 Other 240 25.21% 30.98 73.75% -1.242 -0.6068 -0.504
6 Star 136 30.88% 33.88 74.26% 0.312 0.5571 -1.114
6 Thematic 659 22.83% 38.25 58.42% -0.842 -0.5186 -2.34
6 Two Centers (Default) 1169 18.98% 31.64 76.99% -0.539 -0.6429 -0.879
7 Archipelago 5 40.0% 48.2 40.0% 0.0 0.5915 -0.354
7 Other 6 33.33% 17.5 50.0% 0.369 -1.0675 -1.224

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5778 31.22 52.25% -0.367 -0.2635 -0.231
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5373 33.74 57.75% -0.08 -0.2243 0.232
All Things Weaken 2373 29.12 44.12% -0.797 -0.4307 -0.558
Attenuated Essence 200 26.68 44.5% -0.579 -0.5804 -0.62
Back Against the Wall 5200 32.47 54.56% -0.027 0.0383 0.041
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 218 25.71 42.66% -0.457 -0.2222 -1.041
Burn Brightest Before the End 189 29.74 50.79% -0.015 0.1455 -1.011
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5448 28.03 48.26% -0.449 -0.073 -0.366
Downward Spiral 20606 26.93 52.96% -0.326 -0.2535 -0.121
Erosion of Will 5678 29.67 49.01% -0.328 -0.0712 -0.442
Intensifying Exploitation 209 22.81 30.14% -0.703 -0.429 -1.135
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1030 35.93 76.02% 0.469 -0.0178 0.347
Memory Fades to Dust 20631 26.51 49.51% -0.142 0.0412 -0.228
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2354 30.47 51.49% -0.104 0.1083 -0.303
Promising Farmlands 5662 27.93 46.29% -0.331 -0.008 -0.442
Shattered Fragments of Power 169 28.5 41.42% -0.138 0.0323 -1.17
Slow Dissolution of Will 219 26.87 35.62% -0.504 -0.1198 -0.758
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 657 36.64 79.15% 0.635 -0.0412 0.481
The Border of Life and Death 58 29.36 65.52% -0.877 -1.3935 -0.031
Thriving Communities 2224 29.54 48.79% -0.048 0.2758 -0.35
Thriving Crops 111 21.29 40.54% -0.725 -0.7237 -1.034
Tipping Point 2451 29.8 48.76% 0.0 0.0 -0.004
Unnatural Proliferation 2625 31.93 51.43% 0.097 0.2837 -0.172
Untended Land Crumbles 2406 29.23 48.88% 0.052 0.3911 -0.421

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 80347 36.86% 30.25 72.64% -0.468 0.395 0.009
B 81193 36.31% 30.61 73.15% -0.502 0.3196 -0.113
C 83144 36.85% 30.87 73.56% -0.34 0.3583 0.058
D 74606 37.38% 29.83 73.09% -0.48 0.3758 0.1
E 19664 38.24% 31.9 72.49% -0.315 0.3734 0.054
F 26948 37.6% 31.42 72.52% -0.417 0.401 -0.061
G 25540 37.69% 31.69 72.82% -0.337 0.543 -0.093
H 25041 37.53% 31.67 72.73% -0.34 0.4406 -0.066
East 16321 40.8% 44.26 62.77% -0.257 0.5352 0.088
Northeast 11036 38.4% 44.55 63.29% -0.027 0.8539 -0.398
Northwest 8096 33.81% 43.69 68.8% -0.077 0.7937 0.274
Southeast 2202 34.23% 39.11 65.49% -0.028 0.8314 -0.59
Southwest 1811 33.3% 36.4 62.51% -0.868 0.3415 -0.871
West 12523 38.01% 41.94 66.36% -0.76 0.3001 -0.209

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 15661 0.0% 18.67 65.88% -0.426 0.2896 0.151
Not Using Events or Tokens 81340 38.15% 25.7 69.37% -0.101 0.3725 -0.426
Skip Initial Invader Actions 7898 9.89% 40.35 88.3% 0.614 0.047 0.946
Start of Game Growth 11387 12.74% 39.02 85.84% 0.423 -0.2419 -0.06
Unlimited Undo 25291 33.32% 32.05 76.52% -0.167 -0.1437 0.376
Using Tokens but Not Events 26180 26.01% 31.67 80.71% -0.042 0.0055 0.367

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 21046 30.84% 29.44 73.12% -0.328 -0.5247 0.048
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 54 33.33% 31.37 66.67% 0.136 -0.578 0.043
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7464 44.83% 28.49 66.17% -0.983 -0.7147 -0.714
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 90 46.59% 26.6 51.11% -0.083 -0.6501 -0.668
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3650 37.07% 31.9 75.12% 0.378 0.2474 0.354
Downpour Drenches the World 764 32.98% 30.19 63.35% 0.05 0.3197 0.132
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 715 34.32% 26.76 57.9% -0.072 -0.5036 -0.677
Eyes Watch From the Trees 10332 29.41% 35.58 77.38% -0.083 -0.5062 -0.049
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4901 31.83% 35.57 77.51% 0.771 0.3255 0.041
Finder of Paths Unseen 679 38.91% 28.93 59.79% 0.175 0.8318 0.243
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1755 33.62% 37.46 69.34% 0.254 1.0616 0.118
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1269 38.92% 32.87 69.9% -0.188 -0.3053 -0.079
Heart of the Wildfire 5874 51.12% 31.67 68.27% -0.253 0.0342 0.295
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 19105 27.4% 38.72 79.21% -0.009 -0.4016 0.24
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 444 20.27% 43.15 73.87% 0.667 0.2622 -0.361
Lightning's Swift Strike 15233 38.45% 31.25 70.37% -0.319 -0.0514 -0.026
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 340 49.04% 35.57 61.18% 0.363 0.0116 -0.23
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 642 43.42% 35.88 68.69% 0.321 -0.1197 0.646
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1038 38.47% 37.66 67.92% -0.072 -0.115 0.573
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3406 36.9% 34.83 74.25% 0.707 0.4563 0.166
Many Minds Move as One 2201 32.05% 33.49 78.19% 0.007 -0.2237 0.641
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 18147 34.77% 35.26 74.58% 0.027 -0.0771 0.571
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3646 37.11% 33.08 76.39% 0.736 0.5798 0.406
River Surges in Sunlight 23254 33.25% 34.41 74.64% -0.3 -0.2109 0.058
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 42 28.57% 32.24 54.76% -0.082 -0.1934 -0.3
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2208 41.62% 36.6 71.01% -0.221 0.1686 -0.074
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1405 41.03% 35.36 61.78% -0.651 -0.5137 -0.082
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 9638 33.68% 36.32 74.25% 0.111 -0.0827 -0.117
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 7485 46.54% 26.6 68.28% -0.326 0.1597 -0.562
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 110 43.93% 34.65 66.36% 0.466 0.5216 0.975
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 91 47.25% 33.04 65.93% 1.058 0.5899 1.57
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 118 44.83% 30.81 71.19% 0.148 0.3637 0.134
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 490 48.87% 30.51 65.1% -0.353 -0.3236 -0.338
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 388 38.8% 32.36 72.94% 0.12 0.2922 0.278
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 12044 25.69% 38.43 79.3% 0.247 0.0945 -0.029
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 239 29.11% 27.44 60.25% -0.501 -0.7002 -0.483
Shifting Memory of Ages 1286 38.21% 29.45 66.72% -0.577 -0.1282 0.022
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 73 36.99% 27.45 60.27% 0.461 0.1563 -0.713
Shroud of Silent Mist 1082 42.95% 29.75 68.67% 0.021 0.3565 0.276
Starlight Seeks its Form 1427 32.39% 31.56 68.75% -0.478 -0.5328 -0.225
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3653 36.33% 32.0 69.7% 0.052 -0.5706 -0.06
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4231 29.63% 38.17 80.48% -0.518 -0.3245 0.871
Towering Roots of the Jungle 97 31.96% 27.03 56.7% -0.131 -0.1221 -0.711
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1676 55.78% 30.64 66.23% 0.325 0.4079 -0.243
Vital Strength of the Earth 12593 31.0% 26.08 71.99% -0.107 0.487 -0.503
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 316 33.11% 31.22 63.29% -0.647 -0.2081 -0.224
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 505 43.29% 29.99 64.95% -0.228 0.4628 -0.563
Volcano Looming High 1871 38.87% 31.19 70.44% 0.018 0.121 0.211
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 239 43.93% 30.14 60.67% -0.003 -0.255 -0.474

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Manifestation of Power and Glory 94.68%
Sudden Ambush 90.12%
Voice of Thunder 91.78%
Words of Warning 98.17%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 55906 15.45 30.52%
II 122139 30.45 79.24%
III 59439 34.8 88.05%
IV 13071 38.47 98.23%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 17055
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 50070
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 87637
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 12636
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 16166
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1908
Lose: Adversary condition 14029
Win: Sacrifice victory 562
Lose: Scenario condition 2083
Win: Scenario condition 11064
Lose: Blight pool ran out 31006
Lose: Spirit destroyed 6339

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.965 Win Model: -0.134

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.074 Win Model: 0.126
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 129128 40.72% 29.68 70.41%
2 66872 42.06% 29.86 70.55%
3 26233 35.62% 31.72 75.06%
4 25489 29.07% 37.49 75.36%
5 614 31.74% 28.15 73.13%
6 2219 21.16% 33.52 71.02%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)