Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 82 29.27% 24.61 57.32% -0.852 -0.8003 -0.34
Blitz 0 2426 37.01% 26.72 68.14% -0.721 -0.5204 0.132
Dahan Insurrection 4 11155 35.06% 53.93 68.61% 0.294 0.0828 1.024
Despicable Theft 2 476 40.72% 30.53 73.74% -1.125 -0.2803 0.002
Elemental Invocation 1 226 45.13% 26.02 56.19% -0.68 0.3908 -0.125
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7988 9.36% 45.72 78.59% 0.454 -0.2706 0.975
Powers Long Forgotten 1 3475 34.57% 37.89 78.96% -0.313 0.5931 -0.31
Rituals of Terror 3 2540 40.91% 38.83 72.36% -0.048 -0.0176 0.897
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 342 71.05% 32.53 54.09% -1.416 -0.2275 -0.064
Second Wave 0 8822 40.07% 30.2 77.16% -0.0 0.0807 0.341
The Great River 3 295 47.46% 27.09 48.81% -1.931 -0.5439 -1.581
Varied Terrains 2 105 56.19% 23.53 44.76% -0.941 -0.0393 -0.778
Ward the Shores 2 963 44.73% 32.71 58.77% -0.32 0.735 -0.899

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 114969 40.01% 28.91 72.37% 0.395 0.4256 0.944
1 Thematic 9494 49.82% 43.29 57.67% -0.125 0.3076 0.33
2 Archipelago 61 49.18% 31.98 50.82% -0.219 0.2738 -1.193
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 43569 42.37% 29.21 71.75% 0.277 0.2281 0.853
2 Coastline 5284 39.13% 29.63 70.36% 0.212 0.1113 0.365
2 Fragment 1207 45.64% 25.67 68.77% 0.642 0.2287 1.007
2 Heart 624 45.47% 26.49 67.31% 0.099 0.0096 0.436
2 Opposite Shores 8492 40.84% 30.95 72.74% 0.38 0.2006 0.045
2 Thematic 4116 45.43% 40.64 63.1% 0.105 0.2915 0.453
2 Top to Top 1264 46.13% 30.56 71.28% 0.282 0.0827 0.722
3 Archipelago 57 43.86% 43.51 75.44% 0.322 -0.7986 0.798
3 Coastline 143 45.99% 29.67 68.53% 1.138 0.4761 1.062
3 Other 779 36.04% 27.28 71.89% -0.425 -0.7592 0.756
3 Round (Default) 23080 35.69% 31.83 76.28% 0.448 0.1822 0.267
3 Sunrise 103 33.7% 30.09 79.61% 0.244 0.7551 1.259
3 Thematic 1269 37.28% 37.41 67.53% 0.167 -0.2793 0.154
4 Archipelago 64 25.4% 44.0 85.94% 0.26 -0.2975 -0.19
4 Coastline 141 24.11% 27.14 66.67% -0.23 -0.8486 -0.024
4 Leaf 89 34.88% 28.72 74.16% -0.604 0.2426 -0.693
4 Other 572 33.15% 29.54 75.17% -0.108 -0.8452 0.024
4 Reverse Snake 4 0.0% 45.75 100.0% 0.0 0.5653 0.0
4 Snake 12 66.67% 32.92 50.0% 0.0 -0.9688 -0.471
4 Thematic 4483 28.2% 47.96 75.31% -0.302 -0.0985 -0.424
4 Trapezoid (Default) 19084 29.23% 36.18 76.68% -0.422 -0.0818 -0.22
5 Archipelago 17 64.71% 45.82 76.47% 1.577 1.5763 0.109
5 Coastline 22 33.33% 29.73 95.45% -0.021 -0.5487 0.119
5 Other 584 34.08% 29.88 78.94% 0.15 -0.5713 -0.271
5 Thematic 80 33.75% 50.76 66.25% -1.159 -0.9991 -0.432
6 Archipelago 30 24.14% 28.43 70.0% 0.444 -0.2709 -0.609
6 Coastline 13 18.18% 26.0 69.23% 0.541 0.052 -0.923
6 Other 219 25.35% 32.58 78.08% -0.929 -0.489 -0.219
6 Star 128 28.13% 33.84 75.78% -0.288 0.0103 -0.844
6 Thematic 626 23.4% 38.7 59.11% -0.98 -0.9544 -2.143
6 Two Centers (Default) 1070 18.17% 31.51 78.69% -1.092 -0.9938 -0.76
7 Archipelago 5 40.0% 48.2 40.0% 0.0 0.5266 -0.392
7 Other 6 33.33% 17.5 50.0% 0.289 -1.1272 -1.194

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5674 31.32 52.47% -0.341 -0.202 -0.309
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5294 33.81 57.95% 0.188 0.129 0.199
All Things Weaken 2274 29.35 44.46% -0.753 -0.3982 -0.595
Attenuated Essence 170 27.73 45.88% -0.569 -0.4584 -0.549
Back Against the Wall 5083 32.53 54.59% -0.071 0.0057 0.004
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 168 26.95 41.67% 0.124 0.3345 -0.863
Burn Brightest Before the End 148 28.57 48.65% -0.117 0.004 -1.009
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5348 28.14 48.39% -0.297 0.0721 -0.425
Downward Spiral 19950 27.17 53.36% -0.43 -0.2336 -0.187
Erosion of Will 5548 29.74 49.17% -0.548 -0.2804 -0.507
Intensifying Exploitation 167 22.99 31.14% -0.635 -0.3649 -1.132
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 970 36.28 76.6% 0.316 -0.1946 0.275
Memory Fades to Dust 19920 26.68 49.75% -0.469 -0.1578 -0.314
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2277 30.6 51.78% -0.123 0.172 -0.34
Promising Farmlands 5538 28.05 46.48% -0.845 -0.5089 -0.506
Shattered Fragments of Power 129 28.16 41.09% -0.192 -0.0833 -1.133
Slow Dissolution of Will 174 27.66 36.78% -0.432 -0.0321 -0.593
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 624 36.95 79.81% 0.324 -0.2889 0.484
The Border of Life and Death 50 32.2 72.0% 0.246 -0.0467 0.045
Thriving Communities 2147 29.69 49.05% -0.835 -0.5018 -0.405
Thriving Crops 95 22.26 44.21% -0.285 -0.3721 -0.88
Tipping Point 2451 29.8 48.76% 0.0 0.5146 -0.061
Unnatural Proliferation 2532 32.13 51.54% 0.235 0.3827 -0.228
Untended Land Crumbles 2309 29.36 49.07% -0.647 -0.3402 -0.475

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 77398 36.96% 30.57 73.44% -0.494 0.4109 0.025
B 78368 36.48% 30.96 73.98% -0.45 0.3787 -0.104
C 80285 36.99% 31.19 74.32% -0.435 0.2451 0.062
D 72087 37.51% 30.18 73.89% -0.517 0.3367 0.11
E 18581 38.29% 32.25 73.43% -0.271 0.4306 0.051
F 25782 37.8% 31.83 73.42% -0.356 0.4254 -0.034
G 24479 37.84% 32.03 73.72% -0.351 0.4209 -0.07
H 23952 37.67% 32.03 73.65% -0.392 0.3765 -0.034
East 15839 41.12% 44.84 63.4% -0.263 0.5988 0.081
Northeast 10727 38.8% 45.13 63.92% -0.512 0.2347 -0.44
Northwest 7886 33.96% 44.19 69.43% 0.62 1.4538 0.249
Southeast 2114 34.42% 39.58 65.99% -0.471 0.3047 -0.549
Southwest 1730 33.7% 37.02 63.47% -0.483 0.8359 -0.872
West 12162 38.17% 42.47 67.03% -0.799 0.2076 -0.237

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 15008 0.0% 18.87 66.53% -0.811 0.0195 0.064
Not Using Events or Tokens 77808 38.33% 26.07 70.34% -0.459 -0.018 -0.371
Skip Initial Invader Actions 7712 9.92% 40.5 88.74% 0.674 0.1117 1.004
Start of Game Growth 11091 12.67% 39.23 86.38% 0.729 0.1899 -0.12
Unlimited Undo 24454 33.2% 32.35 77.47% -0.024 0.0171 0.344
Using Tokens but Not Events 25494 25.91% 31.87 81.38% -0.305 -0.3288 0.402

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 20337 31.02% 29.84 73.98% -0.083 -0.1854 0.015
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7136 45.31% 29.2 67.73% -0.289 -0.1289 -0.686
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 54 48.15% 26.67 48.15% -0.216 -1.0516 -0.424
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3545 37.43% 32.09 75.29% -0.26 -0.3915 0.348
Downpour Drenches the World 652 31.36% 30.56 64.88% -0.056 0.2619 0.119
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 577 34.03% 27.24 59.62% 0.294 -0.1908 -0.533
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9961 29.74% 36.06 78.34% 0.32 -0.1335 -0.072
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4769 32.03% 35.75 77.65% 0.505 0.0531 -0.022
Finder of Paths Unseen 612 40.23% 29.24 60.29% -0.422 0.2444 0.183
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1667 33.96% 38.03 70.01% -0.264 0.4142 0.029
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1184 38.85% 33.68 71.28% -0.338 -0.2762 -0.034
Heart of the Wildfire 5742 51.51% 31.93 68.83% -0.272 -0.0123 0.283
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 18731 27.33% 39.0 79.76% 0.016 -0.3775 0.226
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 279 21.15% 39.16 70.25% 0.822 0.4266 -0.788
Lightning's Swift Strike 14722 38.55% 31.74 71.26% -0.287 -0.0328 -0.069
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 310 49.82% 35.35 61.29% 0.035 -0.5186 -0.48
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 616 44.12% 36.16 68.99% -0.138 -0.374 0.599
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 972 38.57% 37.79 69.03% 0.456 0.2051 0.512
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3228 36.78% 34.95 74.78% 0.036 -0.2878 0.091
Many Minds Move as One 2106 31.74% 33.84 79.11% -0.029 -0.2287 0.675
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 17420 34.77% 35.83 75.68% 0.167 0.1393 0.56
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3534 37.36% 33.34 76.43% 0.171 0.0297 0.355
River Surges in Sunlight 22599 33.33% 34.85 75.41% -0.218 -0.1009 0.058
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2089 41.44% 37.33 72.57% -0.414 -0.0765 0.023
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1248 41.95% 36.46 64.82% 0.125 -0.0231 0.137
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 9413 33.88% 36.61 74.88% 0.211 0.0438 -0.132
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 7232 46.63% 27.02 69.15% -0.438 0.1059 -0.538
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 99 46.88% 35.62 66.67% -0.212 -0.1258 0.944
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 53 49.06% 29.77 56.6% 0.117 -0.2529 0.856
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 97 41.67% 31.95 73.2% -0.44 -0.2746 0.284
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 473 48.72% 30.61 65.12% 0.366 0.3968 -0.366
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 379 39.2% 32.52 73.09% -0.33 -0.1597 0.22
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 11807 25.81% 38.43 79.45% 0.284 0.1884 -0.085
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 204 29.21% 28.72 63.24% 0.614 0.3733 -0.489
Shifting Memory of Ages 1202 38.36% 30.16 68.8% -0.182 0.1958 0.013
Shroud of Silent Mist 1018 43.6% 29.9 69.06% 0.33 0.7008 0.158
Starlight Seeks its Form 1298 32.25% 32.49 71.11% 0.309 0.1024 -0.222
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3444 36.59% 32.18 70.7% 0.346 -0.3706 -0.098
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4138 29.7% 38.54 81.08% 0.667 0.8485 0.847
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1573 57.79% 31.18 66.05% -0.278 -0.1371 -0.239
Vital Strength of the Earth 12077 31.51% 26.44 72.8% -0.217 0.3253 -0.485
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 273 34.22% 33.18 67.4% -0.206 0.1323 -0.074
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 485 42.8% 30.18 65.98% -0.634 0.0824 -0.613
Volcano Looming High 1748 38.96% 31.55 71.57% -0.246 -0.2791 0.208
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 166 42.77% 29.09 59.64% 0.375 -0.0629 -0.922

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Manifestation of Power and Glory 94.62%
Sudden Ambush 90.1%
Voice of Thunder 91.71%
Words of Warning 98.14%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 52310 16.23 31.84%
II 118960 30.54 79.42%
III 57867 34.77 88.15%
IV 12723 38.37 98.21%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 16650
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 48778
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 85492
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 12293
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 13110
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1859
Lose: Adversary condition 13706
Win: Sacrifice victory 552
Lose: Scenario condition 2044
Win: Scenario condition 10878
Lose: Blight pool ran out 30267
Lose: Spirit destroyed 6231

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.71 Win Model: -0.151

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.116 Win Model: 0.125
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 124846 40.82% 30.01 71.16%
2 64539 42.29% 30.16 71.25%
3 25369 35.75% 31.97 75.69%
4 24490 29.15% 38.14 76.42%
5 558 30.98% 28.72 74.73%
6 2058 20.85% 33.75 72.5%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-13 05:04:05 (Pacific Time)