Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 69 24.64% 24.35 60.87% -0.518 -0.6905 -0.187
Blitz 0 2343 37.18% 27.13 69.23% -0.663 -0.4994 0.137
Dahan Insurrection 4 10858 35.36% 54.51 69.11% 0.694 0.4719 0.937
Despicable Theft 2 458 40.79% 31.03 75.33% -0.44 0.1511 0.103
Elemental Invocation 1 210 47.14% 26.8 56.67% -1.15 -0.3301 -0.085
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7724 9.38% 46.03 79.19% 0.9 0.1386 0.929
Powers Long Forgotten 1 3412 34.77% 38.18 79.37% -0.273 0.6324 -0.316
Rituals of Terror 3 2445 41.1% 39.38 73.21% 0.028 0.1252 0.854
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 327 72.48% 33.42 55.66% -0.933 0.1987 -0.044
Second Wave 0 8573 40.2% 30.33 77.45% 0.415 0.5108 0.32
The Great River 3 287 48.43% 27.8 50.17% -1.292 -0.0625 -1.519
Varied Terrains 2 91 56.04% 24.96 47.25% -0.759 0.0137 -0.774
Ward the Shores 2 940 45.19% 33.0 59.04% -0.302 0.6996 -0.856

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 110990 40.18% 29.23 73.16% 0.448 0.6628 0.827
1 Thematic 9315 49.93% 43.64 57.87% -0.239 0.4174 0.179
2 Archipelago 59 50.85% 32.03 50.85% -0.354 0.1175 -1.223
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 42300 42.67% 29.45 72.31% 0.387 0.4152 0.753
2 Coastline 5133 39.23% 29.92 71.05% -0.155 -0.0924 0.255
2 Fragment 1187 45.71% 25.84 69.0% 0.298 0.0904 1.02
2 Heart 606 46.22% 26.81 67.66% -0.004 -0.1154 0.369
2 Opposite Shores 8217 40.86% 31.24 73.45% 0.086 0.1608 -0.072
2 Thematic 4047 45.53% 40.91 63.53% 0.076 0.2679 0.345
2 Top to Top 1228 45.98% 30.88 71.91% 0.851 0.8013 0.771
3 Archipelago 52 48.08% 44.63 75.0% -0.202 -0.7058 0.774
3 Coastline 141 45.93% 29.81 68.09% 1.017 0.2482 1.191
3 Other 750 36.68% 27.72 72.8% 0.138 -0.2644 0.689
3 Round (Default) 22395 35.77% 32.05 76.72% 0.396 0.1104 0.24
3 Sunrise 102 34.07% 29.99 79.41% -0.291 -0.1801 1.213
3 Thematic 1225 37.97% 37.75 68.0% -1.653 -1.8712 0.111
4 Archipelago 64 25.4% 44.0 85.94% 0.677 0.4486 -0.116
4 Coastline 126 26.19% 27.67 65.08% 0.882 0.1596 -0.0
4 Leaf 86 35.29% 29.45 75.58% -0.096 -0.293 -0.636
4 Other 560 33.46% 29.92 75.71% 0.341 -1.0643 0.055
4 Reverse Snake 4 0.0% 45.75 100.0% 0.0 0.2187 0.0
4 Snake 12 66.67% 32.92 50.0% 0.0 0.1007 -0.568
4 Thematic 4441 28.09% 48.17 75.57% -0.063 -0.3712 -0.409
4 Trapezoid (Default) 18380 29.42% 36.9 78.11% -0.228 -0.3562 0.018
5 Archipelago 14 57.14% 46.64 71.43% -0.691 0.2976 0.078
5 Coastline 21 35.0% 31.14 100.0% 0.0 -0.6104 0.303
5 Other 525 35.26% 30.87 79.81% -0.519 -1.6767 -0.186
5 Thematic 76 34.21% 53.07 68.42% -0.112 -0.089 -0.297
6 Archipelago 29 21.43% 27.48 68.97% -0.493 -1.6571 -0.602
6 Coastline 11 22.22% 22.09 63.64% -0.093 -0.6101 -1.157
6 Other 204 24.75% 33.63 80.39% -0.405 -0.7002 -0.151
6 Star 120 24.17% 33.89 77.5% 0.07 0.0175 -0.853
6 Thematic 578 24.48% 39.59 60.55% -1.443 -0.8383 -1.988
6 Two Centers (Default) 1006 17.33% 31.85 80.72% 0.169 -0.2353 -0.59
7 Archipelago 5 40.0% 48.2 40.0% 0.0 0.3272 -0.447
7 Other 5 40.0% 15.0 40.0% 0.202 0.1326 -1.149

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5599 31.37 52.51% -0.067 0.0729 -0.419
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5208 33.82 58.01% 0.294 0.1551 0.102
All Things Weaken 2205 29.47 44.67% -0.704 -0.4109 -0.69
Attenuated Essence 126 29.34 47.62% -0.207 -0.1517 -0.504
Back Against the Wall 4986 32.63 54.65% -0.06 -0.0212 -0.1
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 142 26.3 38.73% -0.299 -0.1263 -1.257
Burn Brightest Before the End 118 28.71 47.46% -0.412 -0.3015 -0.833
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5251 28.21 48.43% -0.301 0.0307 -0.528
Downward Spiral 19333 27.45 53.88% -0.202 -0.0588 -0.289
Erosion of Will 5453 29.84 49.26% -0.605 -0.3865 -0.603
Intensifying Exploitation 135 22.7 28.89% -0.628 -0.3821 -1.402
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 938 36.61 77.19% 0.301 -0.2898 0.198
Memory Fades to Dust 19299 26.93 50.14% -0.353 -0.0844 -0.419
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2198 30.76 51.68% 0.21 0.385 -0.452
Promising Farmlands 5445 28.18 46.76% 0.096 0.3998 -0.565
Shattered Fragments of Power 103 27.67 37.86% -0.433 -0.3498 -1.464
Slow Dissolution of Will 140 28.11 35.71% -0.481 -0.1229 -0.511
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 602 37.63 80.56% 0.445 -0.32 0.482
The Border of Life and Death 39 36.92 71.79% 0.225 -0.3183 0.089
Thriving Communities 2089 29.86 49.5% -0.542 -0.2401 -0.465
Thriving Crops 73 22.03 42.47% 0.125 0.0354 -0.974
Tipping Point 2451 29.8 48.76% 0.0 0.5463 -0.185
Unnatural Proliferation 2443 32.05 51.45% -0.002 0.1466 -0.358
Untended Land Crumbles 2214 29.67 49.55% 0.154 0.4148 -0.578

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 74804 37.14% 30.94 74.27% -0.634 0.5102 0.103
B 75885 36.64% 31.3 74.77% -0.692 0.3571 -0.027
C 77898 37.12% 31.51 75.06% -0.622 0.285 0.108
D 69811 37.66% 30.53 74.71% -0.696 0.3646 0.13
E 17747 38.52% 32.55 74.03% -0.463 0.4445 0.074
F 24776 38.07% 32.25 74.26% -0.727 0.2999 0.007
G 23534 38.12% 32.46 74.64% -0.479 0.4985 -0.03
H 23004 37.98% 32.46 74.55% -0.557 0.4471 0.011
East 15538 41.26% 45.21 63.79% -0.374 0.6585 0.147
Northeast 10519 38.93% 45.51 64.36% -0.61 0.3718 -0.393
Northwest 7725 34.12% 44.56 69.86% -0.552 0.4887 0.256
Southeast 2030 35.06% 40.01 66.7% -0.294 0.7438 -0.473
Southwest 1653 34.36% 37.53 64.31% -1.06 0.3576 -0.779
West 11901 38.32% 42.84 67.48% -0.542 0.5891 -0.21

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 14547 0.0% 19.07 67.19% -0.699 -0.0631 -0.125
Not Using Events or Tokens 74613 38.38% 26.47 71.44% -0.248 0.2531 -0.265
Skip Initial Invader Actions 7524 9.96% 40.78 89.14% 0.291 -0.4311 0.982
Start of Game Growth 10824 12.75% 39.47 86.71% 0.44 0.0871 -0.227
Unlimited Undo 23440 33.22% 32.86 78.78% 0.336 0.2862 0.503
Using Tokens but Not Events 24925 25.92% 32.12 81.91% -0.167 -0.0981 0.377

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 19688 31.09% 30.18 74.74% -0.392 -0.4505 -0.043
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6939 45.48% 29.58 68.31% -0.598 -0.3688 -0.891
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 33 57.58% 28.64 57.58% 0.344 -0.6714 0.038
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3469 37.36% 32.31 75.7% -0.02 -0.2219 0.327
Downpour Drenches the World 598 32.71% 30.92 65.55% -0.175 0.077 0.003
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 500 34.27% 27.46 60.0% 0.748 0.2203 -0.627
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9512 30.45% 37.01 80.04% 0.363 -0.117 0.158
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4655 32.18% 35.94 77.79% 0.356 -0.0549 -0.111
Finder of Paths Unseen 536 41.46% 30.27 62.69% 0.022 0.825 0.391
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1580 34.8% 38.79 71.65% -0.125 0.4969 0.065
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1104 38.85% 34.39 73.28% -0.037 -0.0403 0.037
Heart of the Wildfire 5620 51.72% 32.2 69.29% -0.297 0.0792 0.298
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 18314 27.49% 39.43 80.72% 0.148 -0.2848 0.337
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 141 24.11% 34.14 63.12% 0.265 -0.2756 -0.6
Lightning's Swift Strike 14220 38.99% 32.42 72.57% -0.164 0.0553 0.098
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 288 47.89% 35.56 61.46% 0.105 -0.5126 -0.469
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 589 45.13% 36.56 69.27% -0.578 -0.8659 0.554
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 915 38.35% 38.03 69.73% 0.263 0.1634 0.492
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3068 37.05% 35.44 75.46% 0.249 0.0223 0.095
Many Minds Move as One 2004 31.7% 34.23 79.99% 0.039 -0.1396 0.654
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 16875 34.83% 36.29 76.5% 0.36 0.3774 0.519
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3452 37.58% 33.61 76.74% 0.098 -0.1091 0.304
River Surges in Sunlight 22061 33.35% 35.25 76.08% -0.299 -0.2798 0.031
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2006 41.21% 37.73 73.63% 0.07 0.3811 0.065
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1113 41.79% 37.19 66.76% 0.006 0.0021 0.169
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 9188 34.17% 36.93 75.53% 0.424 0.2924 -0.138
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 7038 46.82% 27.38 69.92% -0.521 0.0741 -0.616
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 95 46.74% 35.78 66.32% -0.885 -0.812 0.955
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 34 52.94% 33.15 61.76% 0.373 -0.1769 0.801
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 89 44.32% 33.4 75.28% -0.014 0.2694 0.204
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 462 48.58% 30.48 64.94% 0.41 0.2934 -0.372
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 359 40.85% 33.27 74.09% -0.861 -0.6089 0.324
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 11613 25.91% 38.5 79.6% -0.212 -0.1873 -0.238
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 182 29.28% 28.27 63.19% 0.229 -0.0943 -1.01
Shifting Memory of Ages 1127 38.87% 30.5 69.92% -0.358 -0.1174 0.053
Shroud of Silent Mist 955 43.97% 30.43 69.95% -0.143 0.1658 0.445
Starlight Seeks its Form 1199 32.58% 33.08 71.48% 0.564 0.3243 -0.249
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3279 36.33% 32.33 71.03% -0.239 -0.6643 -0.137
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4046 29.52% 38.86 81.36% 0.389 0.5234 0.781
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1534 58.15% 31.37 66.43% -0.265 -0.0983 -0.277
Vital Strength of the Earth 11718 31.76% 26.75 73.53% -0.123 0.452 -0.566
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 250 34.58% 33.1 68.0% 0.15 0.5728 -0.188
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 453 41.16% 30.53 68.21% -0.07 0.6795 -0.709
Volcano Looming High 1638 39.68% 32.03 72.53% -0.058 -0.0644 0.141
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 103 46.6% 30.79 62.14% 0.548 -0.043 -0.785

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Manifestation of Power and Glory 94.59%
Sudden Ambush 90.05%
Voice of Thunder 91.65%
Words of Warning 98.15%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 49081 16.98 33.16%
II 116024 30.61 79.6%
III 56562 34.74 88.17%
IV 12439 38.27 98.22%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 16268
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 47685
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 83484
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 12018
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 10391
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1804
Lose: Adversary condition 13468
Win: Sacrifice victory 539
Lose: Scenario condition 2002
Win: Scenario condition 10718
Lose: Blight pool ran out 29601
Lose: Spirit destroyed 6128

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.984 Win Model: -0.123

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.047 Win Model: 0.125
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 120660 41.01% 30.36 71.89%
2 62715 42.51% 30.41 71.8%
3 24604 35.88% 32.2 76.15%
4 23712 29.29% 38.8 77.59%
5 492 31.89% 29.79 75.61%
6 1923 20.44% 34.2 74.31%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-02-15 04:01:07 (Pacific Time)