Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 2200 38.41% 29.6 -1.516 74.45% -0.353 0.2123
Dahan Insurrection 4 11310 38.01% 55.92 10.399 69.88% 0.061 0.4609
Despicable Theft 2 184 35.87% 33.61 1.317 86.41% 0.048 0.322
Elemental Invocation 1 95 52.63% 31.6 -1.053 65.26% -0.414 0.0889
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7904 10.02% 46.16 4.755 80.3% -0.419 -0.0539
Powers Long Forgotten 1 3442 40.51% 37.47 1.107 78.36% -0.344 0.1026
Rituals of Terror 3 2311 41.12% 39.92 4.489 77.11% -0.228 0.4166
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 392 76.02% 35.36 1.589 57.14% -0.625 0.0212
Second Wave 0 8572 43.01% 30.77 -0.629 77.26% -0.444 -0.0146
The Great River 3 171 49.12% 30.61 -0.011 57.31% -1.446 0.0267
Ward the Shores 2 986 47.09% 34.58 0.313 61.16% -1.064 -0.0319

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 78697 40.9% 30.85 -0.48 76.73% -0.662 -0.5753
1 Thematic 7804 51.29% 45.39 2.99 59.05% -0.572 -0.295
2 Archipelago 9 55.56% 46.33 5.134 100.0% 0.724 0.7308
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 30279 44.21% 30.92 -0.743 75.23% -0.36 -0.3341
2 Coastline 3406 40.16% 32.33 -0.283 76.98% -0.3 -0.3244
2 Fragment 818 47.22% 26.78 -2.464 71.03% -0.706 -0.4831
2 Heart 404 44.68% 27.76 -2.275 71.53% -0.748 -0.6482
2 Opposite Shores 5390 41.01% 32.25 -0.577 77.68% -0.288 -0.2223
2 Thematic 3125 46.9% 42.11 1.931 66.4% -0.247 -0.3136
2 Top to Top 836 49.06% 31.67 -0.547 72.49% -0.369 -0.4383
3 Archipelago 11 36.36% 37.18 1.787 81.82% 0.017 0.8217
3 Coastline 86 48.81% 32.6 -0.566 65.12% -0.086 -0.236
3 Other 512 40.09% 29.63 -1.69 73.05% -0.447 -0.2741
3 Round (Default) 16180 35.58% 33.2 -0.345 79.84% 0.125 0.0862
3 Sunrise 69 37.68% 31.7 -1.044 79.71% -0.025 -0.2855
3 Thematic 953 38.24% 38.42 0.241 72.09% 0.096 -0.2702
4 Archipelago 8 12.5% 42.5 2.511 100.0% 0.715 1.2631
4 Coastline 59 28.81% 31.1 -2.529 45.76% -0.58 -0.4604
4 Leaf 48 29.79% 31.56 -1.276 79.17% 0.18 0.2518
4 Other 400 35.2% 33.88 -0.795 81.75% 0.401 0.3313
4 Reverse Snake 4 0.0% 45.75 2.635 100.0% 0.106 -0.6958
4 Snake 12 66.67% 32.92 -1.65 50.0% -0.269 -0.143
4 Thematic 3423 28.99% 48.22 2.956 76.04% 0.491 -0.5054
4 Trapezoid (Default) 13241 31.14% 38.87 1.103 80.95% 0.544 0.5517
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 45.33 0.935 33.33% -0.414 0.7463
5 Other 99 50.0% 40.95 2.527 89.9% 1.687 1.2264
5 Thematic 19 36.84% 50.63 5.652 84.21% 1.181 -1.2108
6 Other 1 100.0% 27.0 -3.59 100.0% 0.102 -0.0754

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 4336 31.87 -2.149 52.79% -2.086 -0.0165
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4088 33.78 -1.165 57.68% -1.854 0.0589
All Things Weaken 1264 30.19 -2.786 46.28% -2.323 -0.1634
Back Against the Wall 3883 32.77 -1.701 54.85% -1.984 0.1026
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4084 28.5 -3.81 48.56% -2.262 -0.0401
Downward Spiral 14328 28.84 -3.112 55.29% -2.094 -0.0722
Erosion of Will 4219 30.25 -2.88 50.01% -2.242 -0.0343
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 537 37.46 0.729 78.4% -0.83 -0.1516
Memory Fades to Dust 14416 28.25 -3.448 51.39% -2.283 -0.0685
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1258 31.39 -2.242 52.46% -2.043 -0.0218
Promising Farmlands 4200 28.56 -3.74 47.76% -2.312 -0.1035
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 333 39.31 1.538 83.48% -0.487 -0.0757
Thriving Communities 1229 30.3 -2.781 50.28% -2.115 -0.0266
Tipping Point 2450 29.81 -3.194 48.78% -2.237 -0.012
Unnatural Proliferation 1428 31.93 -1.894 50.49% -2.125 -0.0439
Untended Land Crumbles 1235 30.19 -2.758 50.53% -2.177 -0.0751

Results Starting on Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 30156 40.05% 30.94 -0.572 77.04% 0.261 -0.4268
B 30286 39.38% 31.37 -0.423 77.61% 0.305 -0.4789
C 34110 39.0% 32.8 -0.016 77.37% 0.327 -0.6862
D 28288 40.2% 31.22 -0.416 77.68% 0.316 -0.4615
E 4964 44.56% 33.67 0.109 74.8% 0.339 -0.5556
F 7810 42.04% 32.57 -0.39 75.7% 0.209 -0.6321
G 7996 42.1% 33.02 -0.249 75.61% 0.223 -0.6088
H 7530 41.01% 32.98 -0.208 76.65% 0.26 -0.5792
East 4825 39.78% 49.5 4.28 70.13% -0.123 -0.6993
Northeast 4246 49.49% 45.74 2.605 56.45% -0.358 -0.8828
Northwest 2195 43.0% 43.79 2.719 68.38% -0.194 -0.7894
Southeast 427 45.54% 39.25 0.155 69.79% -0.28 -0.9091
Southwest 203 56.93% 29.0 -3.751 60.1% -0.801 -0.9991
West 2862 47.09% 41.82 1.596 63.87% -0.414 -0.741

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 9928 0.0% 20.85 -4.895 73.34% -2.065 -0.0126
Not Using Events or Tokens 51178 40.12% 28.82 -1.869 76.12% -0.12 0.0949
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5336 10.4% 41.92 2.944 91.49% 0.519 -0.1677
Start of Game Growth 7480 12.99% 40.37 2.4 89.57% 0.404 -0.0652
Unlimited Undo 16044 34.68% 34.65 0.873 82.5% 0.413 -0.01
Using Tokens but Not Events 17704 26.73% 32.77 -0.197 84.56% 0.199 0.1485

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 14080 32.38% 32.14 -0.72 78.86% -0.194 -0.09
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5051 48.74% 32.29 -0.816 73.21% -0.213 -0.0147
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2337 40.15% 34.47 -0.351 77.02% -0.022 -0.1356
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5985 31.75% 38.9 1.518 83.31% 0.332 -0.0725
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3149 34.48% 36.68 0.354 78.53% -0.008 -0.313
Fractured Days Split the Sky 786 36.75% 40.45 1.941 76.21% -0.005 0.3434
Heart of the Wildfire 4490 52.67% 33.39 -0.794 70.18% -0.171 0.1477
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 13287 29.77% 40.09 1.659 82.54% 0.281 -0.0615
Lightning's Swift Strike 11540 40.44% 34.29 0.097 74.84% -0.113 0.1126
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1272 41.99% 37.54 0.378 76.97% -0.017 -0.304
Many Minds Move as One 1108 33.82% 36.5 0.41 82.22% 0.205 -0.3278
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 12242 36.29% 37.76 1.248 79.01% 0.238 0.0139
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2337 39.92% 35.54 0.11 77.96% 0.115 0.1289
River Surges in Sunlight 17100 36.38% 37.04 0.827 77.72% -0.138 -0.0169
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6911 36.35% 37.57 0.73 77.12% 0.014 0.1163
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 5821 48.89% 30.02 -1.589 73.78% -0.245 0.1593
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8705 27.03% 39.63 1.304 81.96% 0.026 -0.0862
Shifting Memory of Ages 173 41.86% 36.53 0.644 78.61% 0.094 0.2184
Shroud of Silent Mist 361 40.06% 34.15 -0.809 78.39% -0.169 -0.1131
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1710 42.18% 34.26 -0.719 73.8% -0.142 -0.2015
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2842 30.78% 41.14 1.901 82.97% 0.195 0.3552
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 957 59.18% 32.89 -1.121 69.17% -0.035 -0.0631
Vital Strength of the Earth 8882 34.14% 28.73 -1.889 76.45% -0.308 0.536
Volcano Looming High 513 47.16% 36.6 0.153 71.54% -0.062 -0.0518

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Manifestation of Power and Glory 94.65%
Sudden Ambush 89.85%
Voice of Thunder 91.58%
Words of Warning 98.16%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 30145 22.37 40.38%
II 85122 30.88 80.25%
III 41465 34.39 88.29%
IV 9166 37.55 98.05%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 8738
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 24592
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 43149
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6218
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1298
Lose: Adversary condition 10297
Win: Sacrifice victory 410
Lose: Scenario condition 1556
Win: Scenario condition 8505
Lose: Blight pool ran out 22152
Lose: Spirit destroyed 4519

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.406 Win Model: -0.186

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.222 Win Model: -0.275
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 86546 41.9% 32.16 75.13%
2 44313 43.87% 31.9 74.89%
3 17791 35.86% 33.38 79.21%
4 17248 30.84% 40.57 79.89%

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.
Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-04-15 02:07:53 (Pacific Time)