Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 121 25.62% 24.64 59.5% 0.458 0.4309 -0.728
Blitz 0 2845 36.02% 24.97 63.51% -0.478 -0.2271 -0.027
Dahan Insurrection 4 12741 34.26% 51.92 66.55% 0.537 0.2881 1.069
Despicable Theft 2 623 37.04% 27.81 67.9% -0.185 0.2773 -0.278
Elemental Invocation 1 294 40.82% 23.15 50.68% 0.072 0.7747 -0.512
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 9189 9.32% 44.79 76.56% 0.864 0.3109 0.951
Powers Long Forgotten 1 4078 32.94% 37.36 76.97% -0.292 0.3312 -0.33
Rituals of Terror 3 3020 39.04% 36.93 68.68% 0.033 0.2261 0.78
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 398 66.58% 30.43 51.01% -0.617 0.3056 -0.116
Second Wave 0 9824 39.62% 29.88 76.05% 0.122 0.2388 0.395
The Great River 3 374 42.25% 25.18 46.52% -0.517 0.551 -1.765
Varied Terrains 2 156 51.92% 21.63 41.03% -0.429 0.3118 -0.62
Ward the Shores 2 1088 42.34% 30.88 56.16% -0.523 0.5612 -1.078

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 132314 39.26% 27.63 69.47% -0.087 0.4391 0.996
1 Thematic 10546 48.71% 41.46 55.59% -0.875 -0.0203 0.444
2 Archipelago 75 45.95% 31.4 52.0% 0.274 1.3291 -0.852
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 50418 41.32% 27.94 68.87% 0.111 0.3892 0.806
2 Coastline 6071 38.29% 28.45 67.83% -0.042 0.0603 0.488
2 Fragment 1431 44.54% 24.65 66.11% 0.368 0.3811 1.079
2 Heart 723 44.73% 25.47 64.32% -0.224 -0.1121 0.563
2 Opposite Shores 9947 40.06% 29.62 69.84% 0.042 0.3784 0.132
2 Thematic 4553 44.52% 39.59 61.32% -0.307 0.3825 0.54
2 Top to Top 1556 46.36% 29.35 67.16% -0.043 0.1989 0.687
3 Archipelago 82 48.78% 48.07 69.51% 0.482 -0.2386 0.676
3 Coastline 169 42.94% 28.03 63.91% -0.646 -0.9867 1.004
3 Other 894 34.81% 25.68 68.46% 0.325 -0.2772 0.846
3 Round (Default) 26351 35.32% 30.65 73.66% 0.201 0.2066 0.227
3 Sunrise 111 33.67% 29.07 77.48% -0.766 -0.8279 1.263
3 Thematic 1482 36.65% 36.22 64.1% 0.402 0.4864 0.276
4 Archipelago 83 26.92% 41.47 78.31% 0.737 0.8876 0.03
4 Coastline 183 22.95% 25.02 62.84% 0.628 -0.1302 -1.198
4 Leaf 116 35.45% 26.14 67.24% -0.659 -0.5217 -0.72
4 Other 679 32.04% 26.51 67.89% -0.844 -1.4631 -0.061
4 Reverse Snake 4 0.0% 45.75 100.0% 0.0 -0.3265 0.0
4 Snake 14 57.14% 31.14 50.0% -0.288 -0.6784 -0.484
4 Thematic 5140 26.89% 46.04 72.3% -0.124 0.1432 -0.627
4 Trapezoid (Default) 21921 28.64% 34.6 73.65% 0.363 0.5267 -0.351
5 Archipelago 32 46.88% 34.84 62.5% 0.653 -0.225 -0.251
5 Coastline 24 30.43% 28.17 91.67% 0.0 0.0963 -0.037
5 Other 791 36.27% 28.52 75.09% 0.166 -0.2198 -0.314
5 Thematic 93 33.33% 47.83 62.37% -0.081 -0.8785 -0.501
6 Archipelago 40 17.95% 27.13 65.0% 0.096 -1.0143 -0.543
6 Coastline 16 14.29% 30.13 68.75% 0.014 -0.8234 -0.578
6 Other 339 23.95% 27.12 66.96% -0.312 -0.3423 -0.698
6 Star 197 32.49% 34.8 77.16% 0.885 0.8682 -1.157
6 Thematic 810 21.66% 36.63 55.31% -1.052 -0.9492 -2.378
6 Two Centers (Default) 1468 19.62% 31.37 73.37% -0.212 0.3524 -0.924
7 Archipelago 5 40.0% 48.2 40.0% 0.0 -0.0747 -0.347
7 Other 15 13.33% 8.67 26.67% -0.748 -1.1822 -1.779

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6087 30.81 51.68% -0.453 -0.2032 -0.095
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5681 33.53 57.35% -0.095 -0.2134 0.38
All Things Weaken 2640 28.71 44.13% -0.325 0.0119 -0.397
Attenuated Essence 346 27.21 46.24% -0.105 -0.0778 -0.275
Back Against the Wall 5495 32.22 54.32% -0.152 -0.1511 0.188
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 360 26.49 44.72% -0.0 0.2167 -0.603
Burn Brightest Before the End 303 28.38 46.2% -0.544 -0.5625 -0.48
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5777 27.65 47.62% -0.848 -0.4548 -0.262
Downward Spiral 22661 26.25 52.0% -0.138 -0.0295 0.042
Erosion of Will 6030 29.48 48.69% -0.206 0.1459 -0.248
Intensifying Exploitation 343 22.56 33.24% -0.428 -0.1822 -0.805
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1159 35.2 74.12% 0.358 -0.1657 0.489
Memory Fades to Dust 22606 25.91 48.8% -0.222 0.0259 -0.045
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2622 29.74 50.65% -0.173 0.0492 -0.172
Promising Farmlands 5986 27.51 45.72% -0.666 -0.3828 -0.341
Shattered Fragments of Power 275 29.15 44.0% -0.049 0.0284 -0.763
Slow Dissolution of Will 395 27.0 40.25% 0.273 0.6705 -0.586
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 742 35.47 76.82% -0.334 -1.029 0.552
The Border of Life and Death 102 30.52 63.73% 0.205 -0.396 0.112
Thriving Communities 2525 28.76 47.41% -0.57 -0.2138 -0.182
Thriving Crops 207 24.66 49.28% 0.295 0.0988 -0.445
Tipping Point 2452 29.79 48.74% -0.352 0.0824 0.15
Unnatural Proliferation 2894 31.35 50.52% -0.287 -0.1246 -0.076
Untended Land Crumbles 2685 28.67 47.9% -0.5 -0.2686 -0.239

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 89425 36.15% 29.23 70.36% -0.59 0.4148 -0.078
B 89882 35.64% 29.64 71.01% -0.527 0.3921 -0.16
C 92275 36.27% 29.89 71.42% -0.472 0.2621 -0.02
D 82671 36.9% 28.76 70.74% -0.534 0.4439 0.013
E 23139 37.7% 30.9 70.58% -0.402 0.4182 -0.015
F 30597 36.99% 30.4 70.37% -0.65 0.2242 -0.144
G 28793 37.34% 30.76 70.92% -0.601 0.208 -0.202
H 28198 37.01% 30.84 71.01% -0.505 0.3102 -0.129
East 17964 39.68% 42.98 61.03% -0.194 0.7089 -0.035
Northeast 12169 37.15% 43.55 61.91% -0.093 0.7149 -0.353
Northwest 9039 32.55% 42.62 66.81% -0.331 0.5688 0.31
Southeast 2528 33.41% 37.29 62.18% -0.668 0.1822 -0.63
Southwest 2134 32.22% 34.65 59.0% -1.489 -0.1134 -1.063
West 13892 36.83% 40.82 64.36% -0.712 0.2432 -0.277

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 17814 0.0% 17.88 63.06% -0.713 -0.0056 0.28
Not Using Events or Tokens 93108 37.35% 24.48 66.44% -0.329 0.0389 -0.547
Skip Initial Invader Actions 8615 9.71% 40.35 87.41% 0.671 0.0859 0.972
Start of Game Growth 12362 12.57% 38.74 84.61% 0.324 -0.1899 0.022
Unlimited Undo 27813 32.47% 31.13 74.4% 0.361 0.2513 0.334
Using Tokens but Not Events 28804 25.92% 30.78 78.59% -0.021 -0.0469 0.231

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 23514 30.71% 28.14 69.98% -0.573 -0.6788 -0.035
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 201 31.84% 38.09 64.68% 0.443 -0.0365 0.282
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 8364 43.48% 26.74 63.01% -0.787 -0.6616 -0.807
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 172 42.94% 28.92 55.81% 0.093 -0.7542 -0.761
Dances Up Earthquakes 171 35.88% 35.35 72.51% 0.404 0.4407 0.753
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3983 36.22% 31.04 73.69% -0.278 -0.4146 0.354
Downpour Drenches the World 1035 31.21% 30.31 62.22% -0.296 -0.0895 0.218
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1092 34.56% 27.83 59.98% 0.025 -0.5863 -0.748
Eyes Watch From the Trees 11460 28.97% 34.75 75.99% 0.514 0.1381 -0.078
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5323 31.37% 35.1 76.74% 0.045 -0.3458 0.131
Finder of Paths Unseen 853 36.64% 27.85 58.26% -0.327 0.3922 0.29
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2033 33.75% 35.45 66.75% 0.12 0.731 0.13
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1525 38.05% 31.32 67.21% 0.06 -0.0391 -0.121
Heart of the Wildfire 6288 50.33% 30.87 66.59% -0.467 -0.1302 0.318
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 20395 27.11% 38.35 78.29% -0.062 -0.4924 0.241
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 914 14.11% 44.64 79.65% 0.731 0.4164 -0.406
Lightning's Swift Strike 16727 37.82% 30.03 68.12% -0.218 0.0122 -0.011
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 445 48.19% 34.92 59.78% 0.752 0.3076 -0.059
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 712 41.67% 35.3 68.26% 0.411 0.101 0.648
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1247 36.97% 37.38 66.72% 0.519 0.3762 0.591
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3981 36.54% 33.89 71.94% -0.212 -0.44 0.16
Many Minds Move as One 2502 32.29% 32.24 75.1% -0.3 -0.5423 0.351
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 20137 34.21% 33.71 71.42% -0.246 -0.1365 0.485
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 223 44.8% 30.66 62.33% 0.221 0.3396 0.05
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4001 36.88% 32.26 75.01% -0.196 -0.2418 0.434
River Surges in Sunlight 25780 32.4% 33.27 72.2% -0.272 -0.1412 0.021
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 132 35.61% 32.08 55.3% 0.384 0.5593 -0.506
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2479 40.63% 34.95 69.22% -0.177 0.1208 -0.097
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1822 39.84% 34.68 61.14% 0.44 0.3567 0.009
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 10554 32.05% 35.71 72.74% -0.152 -0.2636 -0.148
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 52 51.92% 28.75 44.23% -0.269 -0.3868 -0.885
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 8277 45.51% 25.34 65.45% -0.561 -0.0659 -0.618
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 156 39.74% 32.58 64.74% -0.441 -0.4923 1.108
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 151 44.37% 31.7 65.56% -0.109 -0.6193 1.182
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 144 41.84% 29.33 70.83% 1.143 1.0153 0.022
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 545 48.33% 29.56 64.4% -0.311 -0.2991 -0.374
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 431 39.2% 31.43 71.23% -0.006 0.1296 0.491
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 12786 25.36% 38.35 78.79% -0.092 -0.0435 0.045
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 368 28.42% 27.11 60.33% 0.003 -0.2116 -0.184
Shifting Memory of Ages 1566 38.2% 27.91 64.11% -0.053 0.2417 -0.01
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 228 32.46% 30.7 59.21% -0.222 -0.3408 -0.365
Shroud of Silent Mist 1281 43.37% 28.07 66.2% -0.774 -0.4468 0.183
Starlight Seeks its Form 1815 32.48% 30.21 65.95% -0.091 -0.19 -0.22
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4085 35.82% 31.65 68.71% 0.358 -0.1727 0.021
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4671 30.08% 36.94 78.36% -0.097 -0.0194 0.907
Towering Roots of the Jungle 263 38.4% 27.03 64.64% 0.299 0.4481 -0.722
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1875 53.99% 29.86 65.49% -0.18 -0.0343 -0.232
Vital Strength of the Earth 14087 30.03% 24.96 69.06% -0.434 0.1339 -0.756
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 429 33.01% 31.44 62.0% 0.238 0.7594 -0.041
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 571 42.2% 29.75 63.4% 0.537 1.2783 -0.455
Volcano Looming High 2269 37.31% 30.15 68.75% 0.324 0.3388 0.112
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 416 42.07% 29.63 62.5% 0.196 -0.0962 -0.463

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Manifestation of Power and Glory 94.7%
Sudden Ambush 90.34%
Voice of Thunder 91.88%
Words of Warning 98.19%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 67890 13.33 27.45%
II 132488 30.1 78.74%
III 64365 34.83 87.9%
IV 14136 38.67 98.25%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 18626
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 54150
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 94608
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 13658
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 26067
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2074
Lose: Adversary condition 14958
Win: Sacrifice victory 631
Lose: Scenario condition 2210
Win: Scenario condition 11748
Lose: Blight pool ran out 33278
Lose: Spirit destroyed 6871

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.253 Win Model: -0.113

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.187 Win Model: 0.111
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 143423 40.01% 28.65 68.33%
2 74658 41.34% 28.91 68.48%
3 28994 35.34% 30.78 73.02%
4 28171 28.4% 36.41 73.24%
5 793 34.14% 27.44 70.62%
6 2840 21.21% 32.47 67.71%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)