Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
Thunderspeaker

Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
200881	40.36%	33.08	76.24%

Results vs. Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
No Adversary	—	0	78105	24.99%	23.03	0.000	86.85%	0.000	0.0000
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	927	38.59%	30.05	0.44	80.47%	-0.607	-0.1582
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	672	43.01%	35.94	3.348	80.36%	-0.201	0.1028
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	715	57.84%	38.88	2.621	69.23%	-0.621	0.5824
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	775	69.25%	38.81	2.128	62.71%	-1.038	0.389
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	414	88.16%	38.83	6.765	47.83%	-0.49	0.9905
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	165	94.55%	35.48	3.878	31.52%	-1.429	0.52
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	867	86.62%	35.64	1.801	22.84%	-2.159	0.1523
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	7199	31.72%	26.68	-1.454	85.89%	-0.04	-0.1187
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	5535	35.51%	31.41	1.145	86.07%	0.669	0.4073
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	6905	40.16%	40.73	5.139	87.23%	0.623	0.7811
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	6038	46.03%	46.12	7.046	83.29%	-0.237	0.129
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	4524	47.15%	47.97	8.821	81.61%	-0.14	0.21
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	2371	57.97%	51.89	11.495	71.36%	-0.161	0.9519
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	6988	77.01%	50.87	10.301	50.43%	-0.854	0.6418
The Kingdom of England	0	1	6994	24.24%	28.19	-0.851	87.22%	-0.4	0.1115
The Kingdom of England	1	3	3949	31.89%	36.36	3.562	83.39%	-0.013	0.6211
The Kingdom of England	2	4	4233	49.94%	34.5	2.637	68.65%	-0.562	0.5785
The Kingdom of England	3	6	4673	62.86%	36.73	4.796	55.66%	-1.082	0.6054
The Kingdom of England	4	7	5845	42.94%	45.75	7.301	65.75%	-1.162	0.3194
The Kingdom of England	5	9	1454	74.52%	39.18	4.778	34.11%	-1.451	0.6227
The Kingdom of England	6	11	6959	67.73%	43.16	5.099	29.57%	-2.599	-0.0821
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	3874	28.07%	39.0	2.733	88.0%	0.262	0.9325
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	1874	55.47%	32.24	0.651	71.4%	-0.632	0.4863
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	3372	43.74%	38.38	5.403	59.96%	-0.683	1.3629
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	3069	57.37%	41.21	5.904	51.58%	-1.071	1.0292
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	2103	56.72%	45.09	5.704	52.64%	-1.326	0.9606
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	1133	61.17%	50.54	9.108	54.9%	-1.43	0.6357
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	5663	52.85%	51.15	10.035	44.92%	-1.813	0.3475
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	156	24.36%	30.24	-0.741	91.67%	0.75	0.552
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	73	38.89%	34.16	1.44	79.45%	-0.091	0.7552
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	76	50.0%	35.63	3.794	73.68%	0.185	1.3905
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	132	51.18%	48.61	7.595	77.27%	-0.391	0.4595
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	122	60.66%	46.58	7.59	72.13%	-0.21	1.0294
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	76	64.47%	47.89	8.41	65.79%	-0.499	0.7781
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	246	74.29%	50.36	10.716	47.56%	-1.012	0.603
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	4114	30.38%	27.37	-0.634	86.56%	0.558	0.6973
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	2776	33.48%	32.59	0.56	85.3%	-0.279	-0.1036
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	3518	42.98%	34.5	1.144	82.92%	-0.121	0.1385
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	3026	52.49%	42.48	4.646	81.03%	0.029	0.4944
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	2024	64.78%	41.91	4.79	71.54%	-0.366	0.6532
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	988	68.16%	41.45	7.698	61.74%	-0.256	0.8109
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	3841	68.7%	45.18	8.071	61.86%	-0.511	0.665
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	682	30.06%	30.35	-2.153	86.51%	-0.419	-0.8519
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	500	46.2%	35.87	-0.948	71.2%	-1.246	-0.5207
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	487	45.88%	42.24	5.116	82.96%	0.074	0.4188
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	484	69.09%	38.22	6.045	56.2%	-0.676	0.5575
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	303	72.61%	43.05	7.635	61.06%	-0.747	0.2986
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	186	86.02%	38.84	9.727	27.42%	-0.089	1.9654
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	764	85.96%	47.27	12.012	27.09%	-1.126	0.86

Results in Scenarios

Scenario	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits	0	29	24.14%	33.66	79.31%	0.253	0.6638	0.491
Blitz	0	1933	39.16%	29.5	75.32%	-1.087	-0.6101	0.035
Dahan Insurrection	4	9522	36.61%	56.51	71.11%	0.229	0.3109	0.808
Despicable Theft	2	348	39.08%	33.51	82.76%	-0.32	0.1848	1.1
Elemental Invocation	1	155	49.03%	30.53	65.81%	0.194	0.7763	0.422
Guard the Isle's Heart	0	6689	9.44%	47.08	81.45%	-0.944	-0.7082	0.602
Powers Long Forgotten	1	3028	35.86%	39.23	81.57%	-0.1	0.3012	-0.49
Rituals of Terror	3	2048	42.71%	41.69	77.78%	0.184	-0.1494	0.819
Rituals of the Destroying Flame	3	292	77.05%	36.25	59.93%	0.528	0.6971	-0.002
Second Wave	0	7406	41.29%	30.9	78.95%	-0.482	0.1241	0.115
The Great River	3	232	50.0%	30.46	55.17%	-1.305	0.4222	-1.186
Varied Terrains	2	29	58.62%	36.86	75.86%	-0.24	0.4865	-0.067
Ward the Shores	2	830	46.73%	34.55	60.72%	0.03	0.8829	-1.013

Results using Layouts

# Boards	Layout	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
1	Single Board	95293	40.91%	30.76	76.67%	-0.287	0.2467	0.452
1	Thematic	8586	51.25%	45.12	59.39%	-0.179	0.7887	-0.151
2	Archipelago	30	50.0%	37.1	76.67%	0.151	0.8383	-0.412
2	Bottom to Bottom (Default)	36394	43.83%	30.9	75.38%	-0.427	-0.0017	0.37
2	Coastline	4260	40.9%	32.38	76.31%	-0.063	0.0451	0.254
2	Fragment	980	46.67%	26.96	71.73%	0.316	0.5152	0.6
2	Heart	513	46.75%	28.33	70.57%	-0.586	-0.1446	-0.281
2	Opposite Shores	6835	40.22%	32.5	78.2%	-0.343	0.069	-0.093
2	Thematic	3588	47.06%	42.51	66.03%	0.197	0.8664	0.048
2	Top to Top	1025	48.15%	32.24	74.73%	0.894	0.9532	0.535
3	Archipelago	40	52.5%	50.0	80.0%	0.744	0.6392	0.476
3	Coastline	110	45.28%	31.67	70.0%	-0.778	-1.2082	0.465
3	Other	632	38.38%	29.15	75.0%	0.816	-0.0323	0.559
3	Round (Default)	19314	36.34%	33.33	79.63%	-0.243	-0.0413	0.015
3	Sunrise	89	37.18%	31.2	82.02%	-1.157	-0.8442	0.916
3	Thematic	1115	38.69%	39.49	72.02%	-0.452	-0.1897	-0.18
4	Archipelago	44	25.58%	48.55	86.36%	1.014	0.9776	-0.216
4	Coastline	105	26.67%	28.96	61.9%	-0.283	-0.4079	-0.153
4	Leaf	65	31.25%	32.22	80.0%	0.0	0.1021	-0.689
4	Other	492	34.18%	32.54	81.71%	-0.296	-0.8845	-0.255
4	Reverse Snake	4	0.0%	45.75	100.0%	0.0	0.0	0.0
4	Snake	12	66.67%	32.92	50.0%	0.0	0.0	-0.651
4	Thematic	4098	28.47%	48.83	76.87%	-0.022	0.0139	-0.582
4	Trapezoid (Default)	15809	30.45%	39.11	81.79%	0.341	0.388	0.123
5	Archipelago	12	58.33%	52.58	75.0%	0.0	-0.2773	-0.129
5	Coastline	11	20.0%	30.18	100.0%	0.027	-0.5505	0.284
5	Other	295	36.9%	35.89	89.15%	1.253	0.6511	0.086
5	Thematic	58	39.66%	56.66	72.41%	-1.023	-1.302	-0.342
6	Archipelago	15	28.57%	33.0	86.67%	0.039	0.0962	-0.681
6	Coastline	5	33.33%	26.4	100.0%	0.279	-0.3899	0.0
6	Other	110	22.02%	38.37	90.91%	0.272	0.1167	0.446
6	Star	60	20.0%	36.88	88.33%	-0.122	0.6509	-0.455
6	Thematic	305	30.69%	46.68	76.07%	-0.902	-0.6301	-1.214
6	Two Centers (Default)	536	17.39%	36.27	91.98%	-0.312	-0.0958	0.033
7	Archipelago	2	100.0%	100.0	50.0%	0.0	0.0566	-0.42
7	Other	1	0.0%	28.0	100.0%	0.0	-0.5226	0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	5082	31.79	52.91%	-2.397	-0.4135	-0.778
Aid From Lesser Spirits	4836	34.01	58.33%	-1.605	0.1698	-0.292
All Things Weaken	1844	30.33	46.37%	-2.435	-0.3624	-1.044
Back Against the Wall	4581	32.86	54.81%	-2.001	-0.0686	-0.539
Disintegrating Ecosystem	4779	28.69	49.05%	-2.116	0.0006	-0.92
Downward Spiral	16958	28.5	55.3%	-2.357	-0.419	-0.707
Erosion of Will	4960	30.32	50.08%	-2.245	-0.1728	-0.937
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	777	38.08	80.18%	-0.322	0.2012	-0.167
Memory Fades to Dust	16978	28.03	51.68%	-2.371	-0.266	-0.824
Power Corrodes the Spirit	1817	31.71	53.16%	-2.309	-0.342	-0.857
Promising Farmlands	4969	28.63	47.27%	-2.644	-0.6431	-0.99
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	525	39.22	83.43%	-1.134	-0.6796	0.087
Thriving Communities	1781	30.62	50.7%	-2.376	-0.3019	-0.85
Tipping Point	2451	29.8	48.76%	0.0	0.0	-0.624
Unnatural Proliferation	2044	32.54	51.61%	-1.917	0.0196	-0.779
Untended Land Crumbles	1847	30.49	50.41%	-2.013	0.0169	-1.045

Results using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	64103	37.94%	32.57	77.92%	0.045	0.7549	0.196
B	65185	37.3%	32.94	78.46%	-0.12	0.5557	0.185
C	67414	38.01%	33.05	78.28%	-0.278	0.1803	0.135
D	60155	38.53%	32.19	78.29%	0.014	0.6922	0.256
E	13584	40.67%	34.81	77.97%	0.059	0.5698	0.138
F	20140	39.57%	34.16	77.82%	-0.209	0.4468	0.017
G	19288	39.57%	34.31	77.78%	0.037	0.63	-0.031
H	18842	39.38%	34.28	77.82%	-0.069	0.5777	0.036
East	13932	42.72%	46.83	65.9%	0.007	0.6633	0.21
Northeast	9374	40.48%	47.16	66.52%	-0.439	0.1847	-0.433
Northwest	6850	35.41%	46.11	72.69%	0.487	1.007	0.298
Southeast	1569	38.75%	42.85	72.59%	-0.886	-0.3312	-0.567
Southwest	1221	38.42%	40.42	71.66%	-0.118	0.7772	-0.641
West	10620	39.61%	44.4	70.17%	-0.638	0.1523	-0.118

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	11989	0.0%	20.65	72.46%	-2.327	-0.138	-0.426
Not Using Events or Tokens	61722	39.6%	28.54	76.3%	-0.101	0.1575	-0.165
Skip Initial Invader Actions	6568	9.96%	41.94	91.82%	0.669	-0.3377	0.862
Start of Game Growth	9335	12.98%	40.77	89.83%	0.418	-0.0666	-0.009
Unlimited Undo	19584	34.11%	34.64	82.97%	0.403	-0.1279	0.736
Using Tokens but Not Events	21678	26.5%	33.24	84.91%	0.076	0.2502	0.39

Results With Allies

Option	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	16975	100.0%	32.06	100.0%	-0.017	-0.1016	-0.177
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	5848	100.0%	32.35	100.0%	-0.837	-0.7855	-0.324
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	2981	100.0%	34.06	100.0%	0.015	-0.1883	0.2
Downpour Drenches the World	239	100.0%	38.86	100.0%	-0.413	-0.1144	-0.036
Eyes Watch From the Trees	7803	100.0%	38.67	100.0%	0.28	-0.203	0.224
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	4006	100.0%	36.87	100.0%	0.009	-0.5342	-0.371
Finder of Paths Unseen	211	100.0%	36.33	100.0%	-0.267	0.1035	0.35
Fractured Days Split the Sky	1226	100.0%	42.23	100.0%	-0.202	-0.1464	-0.013
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	742	100.0%	38.12	100.0%	0.108	0.0261	-0.228
Heart of the Wildfire	5072	100.0%	33.35	100.0%	0.055	0.4625	0.18
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	15899	100.0%	40.91	100.0%	0.347	-0.2479	0.333
Lightning's Swift Strike	12462	106.03%	33.91	102.66%	-0.083	0.2716	-0.069
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	126	45.45%	42.21	80.16%	0.143	-0.6175	0.113
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	493	44.08%	39.11	73.63%	0.708	0.1463	0.281
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	707	39.4%	41.41	74.96%	1.229	0.7137	0.303
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	2312	100.0%	37.8	100.0%	0.159	0.0528	-0.12
Many Minds Move as One	1649	100.0%	36.07	100.0%	-0.091	-0.7422	0.535
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	14592	100.0%	38.06	100.0%	0.223	0.0715	0.402
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	2969	100.0%	35.01	100.0%	-0.396	-0.4586	0.026
River Surges in Sunlight	19218	106.2%	36.95	102.59%	0.04	-0.0395	-0.141
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	1601	41.48%	40.64	76.83%	-0.141	0.1837	-0.145
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	516	44.34%	44.12	75.39%	-0.002	-0.3455	-0.015
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	8160	100.0%	38.08	100.0%	0.025	-0.141	-0.308
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	6112	106.73%	29.45	103.19%	-0.429	-0.0019	-0.458
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous	39	50.0%	48.67	82.05%	0.012	0.2712	1.063
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding	44	50.0%	38.27	86.36%	0.732	0.7895	0.251
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness	377	49.73%	32.77	68.97%	-0.271	-0.2466	-0.438
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	311	40.07%	35.85	79.1%	-0.472	-0.3761	0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	10287	100.0%	40.03	100.0%	0.726	0.5384	0.082
Shifting Memory of Ages	724	100.0%	35.0	100.0%	-0.651	-0.4532	-0.076
Shroud of Silent Mist	695	100.0%	33.31	100.0%	-0.058	0.0973	0.537
Starlight Seeks its Form	693	100.0%	37.46	100.0%	-0.011	-0.1011	-0.345
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	2383	100.0%	34.78	100.0%	-0.484	-0.7518	-0.258
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	3562	100.0%	40.65	100.0%	0.474	0.5988	0.581
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	1333	100.0%	32.6	100.0%	0.34	0.1142	-0.514
Vital Strength of the Earth	10167	102.65%	28.39	101.14%	-0.531	0.3694	-0.831
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	102	30.43%	40.4	83.33%	-0.379	0.0049	0.524
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	364	42.94%	33.05	72.8%	0.227	1.3731	-0.936
Volcano Looming High	1138	100.0%	34.6	100.0%	-0.171	-0.2053	0.121

Minor Power Cards

Power Card	Kept	Average Difficulty	Average Score	Win Rate
Absorb Corruption	1728	2.933	30.472	77.2%
Animated Wrackroot	1499	3.005	33.121	82.59%
Bats Scout for Raids by Darkness	3104	4.216	36.576	79.83%
Birds Cry Warning	5470	4.572	37.834	78.98%
Blood Draws Predators	2717	4.49	37.694	79.28%
Call of the Dahan Ways	17938	2.823	30.533	79.69%
Call To Bloodshed	22708	3.319	32.991	82.34%
Call to Ferocity	7042	4.203	37.253	81.72%
Call to Guard	7628	4.429	37.63	80.93%
Call To Isolation	22495	3.9	35.691	82.92%
Call To Migrate	12472	3.855	35.458	82.38%
Call To Tend	5812	2.806	29.181	75.14%
Call to Trade	2285	4.614	34.979	71.16%
Carapaced Land	2701	4.505	35.609	76.71%
Confounding Mists	8808	3.816	33.602	77.35%
Cycles of Time and Tide	8227	3.743	33.672	77.46%
Dark and Tangled Woods	9299	2.672	28.612	78.14%
Delusions of Danger	11722	2.894	32.915	85.25%
Dessicating Winds	1057	4.386	37.596	78.33%
Devouring Ants	2209	2.724	31.039	82.84%
Dire Metamorphosis	364	4.462	40.725	79.95%
Disorienting Landscape	2808	3.384	35.866	84.94%
Domesticated Animals Go Berserk	4269	4.138	34.514	77.47%
Drift Down Into Slumber	15539	3.462	31.783	77.96%
Drought	3422	3.511	29.976	71.48%
Dry Wood Explodes In Smoldering Splinters	1264	3.596	35.388	83.39%
Elemental Boon	9778	3.571	33.746	80.61%
Elusive Ambushes	13425	3.765	34.622	80.6%
Encompassing Ward	13273	2.551	28.517	78.77%
Enticing Splendor	17734	3.532	34.686	83.66%
Entrancing Apparitions	11815	2.727	31.1	83.02%
Entrap the Forces of Corruption	419	5.179	35.017	67.78%
Favor of the Sun and Star-Lit Dark	3657	3.813	32.933	77.09%
Fire in the Sky	14142	4.272	37.547	82.47%
Fleshrot Fever	2972	4.366	38.558	80.45%
Flow Downriver, Blow Downwind	658	4.737	39.144	81.16%
Gift of Constancy	9427	3.839	34.489	80.95%
Gift of Living Energy	10541	3.666	34.157	82.94%
Gift of Nature's Connection	2621	4.47	37.677	79.21%
Gift of Power	2850	3.331	33.074	79.16%
Gift of Twinned Days	2448	4.076	36.598	79.9%
Gnawing Rootbiters	1630	3.718	31.893	73.07%
Gold's Allure	2120	4.217	36.191	78.49%
Growth Through Sacrifice	1088	4.57	36.873	76.65%
Guardian Serpents	6529	4.014	35.522	80.2%
Haunted by Primal Memories	3478	3.886	34.132	79.04%
Hazards Spread Across the Island	2299	4.579	37.787	78.99%
Here There be Monsters	2647	4.482	38.701	80.85%
Infested Aquifers	367	3.24	33.42	77.11%
Inflame the Fires of Life	2327	3.883	35.796	81.35%
Land of Haunts and Embers	2786	3.615	33.116	75.34%
Like Calls to Like	325	3.825	34.458	76.92%
Lure of the Unknown	13138	3.33	33.802	84.32%
Mesmerized Tranquility	1726	4.594	35.638	76.01%
Nature's Resilience	18673	3.121	30.101	77.64%
Pact of the Joined Hunt	7714	3.979	36.314	82.06%
Poisoned Dew	1036	3.561	33.112	74.52%
Portents of Disaster	5470	4.315	38.19	81.94%
Promises of Protection	9466	4.033	35.588	80.07%
Prowling Panthers	1472	3.269	33.385	80.64%
Pull Beneath the Hungry Earth	1551	1.651	26.121	77.63%
Purifying Flame	12459	3.932	34.095	77.91%
Quicken the Earth's Struggles	17333	3.558	32.128	78.56%
Rain of Blood	5015	3.842	33.988	78.56%
Razor-Sharp Undergrowth	1113	2.668	30.479	78.8%
Reaching Grasp	7076	3.839	35.604	80.57%
Renewing Boon	665	4.024	32.519	71.58%
Renewing Rain	1511	3.233	31.105	75.71%
Rites of the Land's Rejection	4548	4.156	35.702	77.99%
Roiling Bog and Snagging Thorn	1945	4.098	34.332	76.14%
Rouse the Trees and Stones	4347	1.813	28.223	83.3%
Sap the Strength of Multitudes	25195	3.253	31.088	79.05%
Savage Mawbeasts	3503	2.911	30.817	80.05%
Scour the Land	1025	5.233	37.954	70.83%
Scream Disease Into the Wind	1393	4.746	40.203	80.9%
Sear Anger into the Wild Lands	1592	4.428	36.812	78.45%
Set Them on an Ever-Twisting Trail	1724	4.075	37.69	84.57%
Shadows of the Burning Forest	2690	2.934	30.346	78.96%
Skies Herald the Season of Return	1983	4.773	37.09	75.14%
Sky Stretches to Shore	7925	4.742	39.489	80.5%
Song of Sanctity	2421	2.441	26.918	72.49%
Spur On with Words of Fire	9332	4.833	40.179	81.34%
Steam Vents	9574	2.489	30.531	83.25%
Strong and Constant Currents	1162	4.488	36.806	78.06%
Sucking Ooze	578	4.012	34.735	78.72%
Sunset's Fire Flows Across the Land	1334	2.991	33.945	85.08%
Swarming Wasps	5628	4.459	39.326	82.84%
Teeming Rivers	2559	3.556	33.31	77.45%
Territorial Strife	3224	4.46	36.852	79.53%
Terror Turns to Madness	918	4.358	36.04	76.58%
The Shore Seethes with Hatred	524	3.265	34.366	80.73%
Thriving Chokefungus	268	2.922	31.772	76.49%
Tormenting Rotflies	1503	4.238	37.493	78.98%
Treacherous Waterways	1012	3.397	34.199	82.31%
Twilight Fog Brings Madness	3589	4.757	40.629	81.08%
Uncanny Melting	3269	2.767	28.236	73.57%
Unquenchable Flames	653	3.282	31.582	75.96%
Veil the Night's Hunt	18651	3.506	33.507	81.09%
Visions of Fiery Doom	6450	2.523	28.802	79.78%
Voracious Growth	4366	2.013	25.755	73.66%
Weep for What is Lost	456	4.849	37.667	73.46%

Major Power Cards

Power Card	Kept	Average Difficulty	Average Score	Win Rate
Accelerated Rot	1647	1.777	25.716	76.5%
Angry Bears	702	3.93	34.909	80.06%
Bargains of Power and Protection	1024	4.78	35.649	73.63%
Blazing Renewal	1819	3.405	27.822	66.47%
Bloodwrack Plague	797	3.501	32.992	76.54%
Cast Down into the Briny Deep	431	2.469	30.52	78.19%
Cleansing Floods	1395	1.753	25.398	72.4%
Death Falls Gently from Open Blossoms	651	2.891	31.135	79.72%
Dissolve the Bonds of Kinship	865	3.007	27.935	69.94%
Draw Towards a Consuming Void	146	3.842	33.219	74.66%
Dream of the Untouched Land	357	3.202	31.345	74.51%
Entwined Power	892	2.917	30.482	78.03%
Fire and Flood	964	2.892	31.92	81.54%
Flow Like Water, Reach Like Air	1078	4.509	37.125	77.18%
Focus the Land's Anguish	299	4.983	33.876	66.22%
Forests of Living Obsidian	490	4.059	34.335	76.33%
Grant Hatred a Ravenous Form	216	3.227	30.782	69.91%
Indomitable Claim	3738	3.85	29.693	68.67%
Infestation of Venomous Spiders	634	4.639	35.924	74.92%
Infinite Vitality	3258	3.062	27.745	70.84%
Insatiable Hunger of the Swarm	398	4.814	38.58	81.16%
Instruments of Their Own Ruin	3221	4.44	35.218	76.78%
Irresistible Call	668	4.142	34.234	76.2%
Manifest Incarnation	542	3.487	33.275	78.78%
Melt Earth Into Quicksand	186	3.64	34.903	77.96%
Mists of Oblivion	523	2.658	28.38	70.55%
Paralyzing Fright	4173	3.167	28.683	74.14%
Pent-Up Calamity	1671	4.228	35.17	77.8%
Pillar of Living Flame	1502	2.32	27.845	78.03%
Poisoned Land	602	2.316	25.806	70.1%
Powerstorm	6014	3.803	32.97	79.88%
Pyroclastic Flow	1322	4.163	35.376	79.05%
Savage Transformation	651	3.267	33.965	80.18%
Sea Monsters	553	3.642	35.269	79.2%
Settle Into Hunting-Grounds	209	4.33	36.397	78.47%
Sleep and Never Waken	813	4.708	33.993	69.13%
Smothering Infestation	429	3.254	33.047	78.55%
Spill Bitterness Into the Earth	202	3.777	32.485	71.29%
Storm-Swath	450	4.182	35.611	79.33%
Strangling Firevine	398	3.518	35.151	80.15%
Sweep into the Sea	875	3.879	33.536	73.94%
Talons of Lightning	4418	2.74	28.967	78.25%
Terrifying Nightmares	2025	3.015	29.518	76.05%
The Jungle Hungers	1246	2.925	26.487	64.45%
The Land Thrashes in Furious Pain	731	3.1	26.316	62.52%
The Trees and Stones Speak of War	8560	3.3	30.427	77.54%
The Wounded Wild Turns on Its Assailants	218	3.876	34.408	76.61%
Thickets Erupt with Every Touch of Breeze	843	3.763	32.967	76.51%
Tigers Hunting	1454	3.772	36.329	84.04%
Transform To a Murderous Darkness	116	3.595	38.138	86.21%
Trees Radiate Celestial Brilliance	733	4.097	34.09	76.94%
Tsunami	879	2.155	26.224	71.9%
Twisted Flowers Murmur Ultimatums	950	3.207	32.055	78.74%
Unleash a Torrent of the Self's Own Essence	1154	4.282	35.704	80.59%
Unlock the Gates of Deepest Power	1092	3.39	33.663	78.75%
Unrelenting Growth	1052	3.622	33.356	76.14%
Utter a Curse of Dread and Bone	169	3.663	31.645	72.78%
Vanish Softlw Away, Forgotten by All	300	4.113	37.303	81.67%
Vengeance of the Dead	1623	3.234	29.662	73.94%
Vigor of the Breaking Dawn	11217	3.431	31.924	81.07%
Voice of Command	2085	4.469	36.283	79.28%
Volcanic Eruption	194	3.933	34.448	73.71%
Walls of Rock and Thorn	776	3.954	34.041	76.93%
Weave Together the Fabric of Place	536	5.049	39.403	81.9%
Winds of Rust and Atrophy	6405	3.018	28.973	77.33%
Wrap in Wings of Sunlight	9181	3.636	32.257	79.85%

Unique Power Cards

Power Card	Kept
Manifestation of Power and Glory	94.55%
Sudden Ambush	89.88%
Voice of Thunder	91.48%
Words of Warning	98.14%

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	36236	22.66	40.76%
II	102951	31.09	80.42%
III	50543	34.67	88.35%
IV	11151	37.92	98.13%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	14764
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	42642
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	74569
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	10759
Lose: Invader deck ran out	1608
Lose: Adversary condition	12305
Win: Sacrifice victory	485
Lose: Scenario condition	1815
Win: Scenario condition	9936
Lose: Blight pool ran out	26564
Lose: Spirit destroyed	5434

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.623 Win Model: -0.175

Diff.	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Likelihood
-3	2587	10.47%	26.78	91.84%	92.96%
-2	930	10.77%	26.5	90.43%	91.72%
-1	1916	14.56%	24.34	89.09%	90.29%
0	64096	25.38%	21.18	86.33%	88.64%
1	19581	27.41%	27.27	87.95%	86.75%
2	11184	34.78%	29.53	86.17%	84.6%
3	11683	39.27%	33.18	82.08%	82.18%
4	14533	38.43%	37.73	82.68%	79.46%
5	8343	45.28%	39.67	74.01%	76.45%
6	13888	54.93%	40.51	70.95%	73.15%
7	12328	49.7%	44.5	65.71%	69.57%
8	9841	56.92%	45.76	67.73%	65.74%
9	6145	60.66%	47.99	58.65%	61.69%
10	11060	67.74%	46.83	49.23%	57.47%
11	6751	69.6%	41.13	32.07%	53.14%
12	924	54.0%	56.1	51.08%	48.76%
13	483	60.8%	61.58	53.21%	44.4%
14	1076	52.38%	68.43	60.5%	40.12%
15	506	64.47%	58.45	37.75%	35.99%
16	211	54.5%	65.71	43.6%	32.06%
17	1697	73.8%	62.32	36.3%	28.36%
18	981	67.35%	48.71	11.52%	24.94%
19	7	85.71%	53.57	14.29%	21.8%
20	9	88.89%	80.0	44.44%	18.96%
21	14	92.86%	74.79	35.71%	16.41%
22	2	50.0%	51.5	0.0%	14.15%
23	1	100.0%	51.0	0.0%	12.15%
24	2	0.0%	106.0	50.0%	10.4%
25	77	76.62%	71.51	15.58%	8.87%
26	24	70.83%	106.46	50.0%	7.55%
27	1	100.0%	151.0	100.0%	6.42%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.252 Win Model: 0.038

Num.	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
1	104065	41.85%	31.97	75.2%
2	53650	43.51%	31.93	75.13%
3	21250	36.48%	33.54	79.11%
4	20677	30.13%	40.83	80.75%
5	238	30.9%	36.24	84.87%
6	1001	21.96%	38.95	87.51%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.