Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 114 26.32% 24.65 59.65% 0.121 0.157 -0.574
Blitz 0 2758 36.27% 25.37 64.47% -0.265 -0.0615 0.067
Dahan Insurrection 4 12464 34.49% 52.19 66.72% 0.463 0.185 1.063
Despicable Theft 2 594 37.33% 28.14 68.52% -0.336 0.4288 -0.172
Elemental Invocation 1 286 41.61% 23.47 51.05% -0.262 0.4316 -0.434
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8965 9.39% 44.88 76.77% 0.736 0.1538 0.972
Powers Long Forgotten 1 3945 33.27% 37.47 77.31% -0.379 0.4589 -0.326
Rituals of Terror 3 2933 39.01% 37.06 69.21% 0.222 0.2558 0.748
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 387 67.96% 30.87 51.42% -0.981 -0.0223 -0.102
Second Wave 0 9606 39.67% 29.98 76.35% 0.208 0.4508 0.401
The Great River 3 358 42.74% 25.57 46.93% 0.318 1.355 -1.699
Varied Terrains 2 145 53.1% 21.66 40.69% -0.736 0.1071 -0.885
Ward the Shores 2 1067 42.33% 31.09 56.61% 0.068 1.201 -1.077

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 128468 39.39% 27.89 70.08% 0.209 0.4954 0.999
1 Thematic 10403 48.93% 41.74 55.9% -0.32 0.2462 0.437
2 Archipelago 72 45.07% 31.35 51.39% -0.339 0.3229 -0.846
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 48895 41.51% 28.2 69.46% 0.244 0.2872 0.806
2 Coastline 5878 38.46% 28.75 68.46% 0.384 0.1321 0.487
2 Fragment 1396 45.09% 24.84 66.26% 0.843 0.5557 1.076
2 Heart 712 45.26% 25.62 64.61% 0.549 -0.05 0.648
2 Opposite Shores 9678 40.25% 29.85 70.29% 0.518 0.4896 0.116
2 Thematic 4485 44.84% 39.7 61.52% -0.023 0.3878 0.484
2 Top to Top 1508 46.57% 29.62 67.84% 0.457 0.1943 0.671
3 Archipelago 78 50.0% 47.63 67.95% -0.007 -0.9495 0.567
3 Coastline 167 42.86% 28.28 64.67% -0.881 -1.9036 0.957
3 Other 870 35.01% 26.07 69.2% -0.054 -0.8355 0.791
3 Round (Default) 25747 35.42% 30.86 74.05% 0.214 0.0356 0.201
3 Sunrise 109 33.33% 29.39 78.9% 0.0 -0.5971 1.24
3 Thematic 1436 36.36% 35.91 64.48% -0.061 -0.2916 0.267
4 Archipelago 78 28.77% 41.32 78.21% 0.549 0.1969 0.038
4 Coastline 178 23.03% 24.98 62.36% -0.581 -0.7247 -1.284
4 Leaf 114 36.11% 26.6 68.42% 0.61 0.5883 -0.77
4 Other 662 32.07% 27.15 69.49% 0.101 -0.6445 -0.098
4 Reverse Snake 4 0.0% 45.75 100.0% 0.0 -0.5403 0.0
4 Snake 13 61.54% 33.54 53.85% 0.0 0.0 -0.493
4 Thematic 4940 26.74% 46.77 73.81% -0.202 -0.3733 -0.614
4 Trapezoid (Default) 21442 28.61% 34.74 73.96% 0.345 -0.027 -0.421
5 Archipelago 24 45.83% 32.46 54.17% -1.653 -0.4586 0.141
5 Coastline 24 30.43% 28.17 91.67% 0.141 -0.4218 -0.109
5 Other 758 36.8% 28.79 75.73% 0.411 -0.3337 -0.364
5 Thematic 92 33.7% 47.62 61.96% -0.357 -0.4356 -0.51
6 Archipelago 39 18.42% 27.0 64.1% -0.132 -1.1714 -0.563
6 Coastline 14 16.67% 29.5 71.43% 0.0 -0.9861 -0.851
6 Other 306 22.59% 27.92 69.28% 0.089 -0.5508 -0.697
6 Star 167 31.74% 34.04 77.25% 0.537 0.803 -1.187
6 Thematic 776 20.67% 36.83 55.93% -1.239 -1.4372 -2.429
6 Two Centers (Default) 1373 19.44% 31.5 74.51% -0.276 -0.1477 -0.93
7 Archipelago 5 40.0% 48.2 40.0% 0.0 0.3709 -0.339
7 Other 11 18.18% 11.82 36.36% 0.037 -0.8876 -1.432

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5995 30.93 51.86% -0.325 -0.2701 -0.12
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5592 33.55 57.49% 0.087 0.0078 0.352
All Things Weaken 2576 28.81 44.18% -0.431 -0.2056 -0.428
Attenuated Essence 298 26.72 46.31% -0.433 -0.4724 -0.346
Back Against the Wall 5412 32.27 54.42% -0.157 -0.1335 0.153
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 319 26.09 43.57% -0.306 -0.1403 -0.681
Burn Brightest Before the End 268 28.74 47.39% -0.46 -0.4671 -0.575
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5666 27.79 47.92% -0.436 -0.2444 -0.28
Downward Spiral 22099 26.43 52.2% -0.242 -0.1801 0.001
Erosion of Will 5923 29.55 48.79% -0.114 0.0036 -0.299
Intensifying Exploitation 301 22.21 33.22% -0.053 0.0525 -0.797
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1114 35.06 74.51% -0.008 -0.6187 0.412
Memory Fades to Dust 22081 26.07 48.98% -0.338 -0.13 -0.093
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2535 29.88 50.97% 0.092 0.2237 -0.176
Promising Farmlands 5899 27.61 45.86% -0.501 -0.3178 -0.354
Shattered Fragments of Power 242 28.48 42.56% -0.305 -0.2969 -0.976
Slow Dissolution of Will 344 26.28 37.79% -0.319 -0.0125 -0.655
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 731 35.51 77.15% 0.119 -0.5856 0.539
The Border of Life and Death 90 30.1 63.33% -0.101 -0.5772 -0.139
Thriving Communities 2419 29.02 47.91% -0.303 -0.1625 -0.214
Thriving Crops 184 23.88 48.91% 0.305 0.0331 -0.427
Tipping Point 2451 29.8 48.76% 0.0 0.5206 0.114
Unnatural Proliferation 2815 31.59 50.76% -0.26 -0.1781 -0.093
Untended Land Crumbles 2606 28.86 48.27% -0.188 -0.0278 -0.272

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 87004 36.29% 29.45 70.88% -0.332 0.6335 -0.069
B 87534 35.78% 29.87 71.5% -0.319 0.5647 -0.15
C 89753 36.4% 30.13 71.96% -0.216 0.4706 -0.013
D 80502 36.98% 29.03 71.34% -0.326 0.5598 0.027
E 22205 37.81% 31.1 71.05% -0.13 0.5885 0.023
F 29553 37.08% 30.64 70.96% -0.264 0.5504 -0.129
G 27932 37.41% 30.98 71.39% -0.175 0.5881 -0.164
H 27331 37.12% 31.02 71.45% -0.246 0.5309 -0.123
East 17540 39.83% 43.32 61.57% 0.17 0.9344 -0.02
Northeast 11837 37.24% 43.92 62.53% -0.142 0.6734 -0.356
Northwest 8757 32.54% 43.03 67.73% 0.273 1.014 0.286
Southeast 2461 33.31% 37.62 62.78% -0.949 -0.0655 -0.666
Southwest 2067 31.91% 34.79 59.7% -1.506 -0.2538 -0.991
West 13514 36.95% 41.14 65.08% -0.507 0.4572 -0.22

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 17196 0.0% 18.09 63.8% -0.988 -0.3391 0.267
Not Using Events or Tokens 89963 37.55% 24.82 67.17% -0.101 0.3254 -0.534
Skip Initial Invader Actions 8441 9.72% 40.35 87.62% 0.906 0.1212 1.005
Start of Game Growth 12109 12.52% 38.81 84.9% 0.504 0.0862 -0.034
Unlimited Undo 27155 32.6% 31.29 74.72% 0.004 -0.0484 0.314
Using Tokens but Not Events 28185 25.81% 31.02 79.14% 0.483 0.4277 0.26

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 22887 30.67% 28.43 70.71% -0.311 -0.3988 -0.03
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 166 33.73% 35.49 65.66% 0.455 -0.032 0.157
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 8132 43.75% 27.18 63.9% -0.329 -0.1466 -0.759
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 152 44.0% 27.88 53.29% -0.29 -1.1278 -0.976
Dances Up Earthquakes 107 32.08% 36.23 71.96% 0.496 0.291 0.342
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3892 36.56% 31.23 74.02% -0.169 -0.3859 0.354
Downpour Drenches the World 958 31.85% 30.56 63.47% 0.148 0.4647 0.184
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1005 34.07% 27.59 59.3% 0.669 0.1279 -0.802
Eyes Watch From the Trees 11154 29.06% 34.83 76.12% 0.305 -0.1138 -0.052
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5228 31.57% 35.31 77.05% 1.067 0.6376 0.123
Finder of Paths Unseen 805 36.47% 28.08 58.63% 0.047 0.6967 0.314
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1976 34.06% 35.54 66.8% -0.44 0.1129 0.098
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1451 37.85% 31.74 67.47% -0.233 -0.316 -0.13
Heart of the Wildfire 6174 50.34% 31.05 67.06% -0.297 0.0018 0.275
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 20088 27.16% 38.43 78.46% 0.548 0.0858 0.233
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 777 15.44% 44.12 78.89% 0.799 0.4914 -0.437
Lightning's Swift Strike 16346 37.91% 30.32 68.6% -0.201 0.0506 -0.005
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 405 47.21% 34.47 59.01% 0.285 -0.034 -0.215
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 692 41.86% 35.34 68.06% -0.593 -0.9418 0.662
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1190 36.66% 37.84 66.97% 0.079 0.1981 0.626
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3803 36.41% 34.09 72.68% -0.228 -0.4146 0.199
Many Minds Move as One 2415 31.7% 32.42 76.02% -0.352 -0.5674 0.452
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 19615 34.15% 34.13 72.32% -0.251 -0.1122 0.525
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 162 46.3% 30.57 58.64% 0.179 0.222 0.001
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3898 36.94% 32.44 75.53% -0.105 -0.2282 0.452
River Surges in Sunlight 25065 32.53% 33.62 72.93% -0.073 -0.106 0.057
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 101 34.65% 30.69 53.47% -0.021 0.246 -0.539
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2392 40.77% 35.3 69.69% -0.145 0.0635 -0.106
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1693 39.87% 34.6 60.84% 0.021 -0.1917 -0.09
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 10360 32.3% 35.78 72.94% 0.071 -0.0855 -0.144
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 26 34.62% 29.27 57.69% 0.178 -0.2716 0.074
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 8076 45.77% 25.63 66.02% -0.624 -0.0503 -0.629
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 143 42.75% 33.33 65.73% 0.328 0.2857 1.054
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 129 43.41% 32.54 68.99% 0.263 -0.1471 1.355
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 135 42.42% 29.44 69.63% 0.341 0.4343 0.107
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 524 48.55% 30.11 64.89% -0.165 -0.2514 -0.365
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 420 39.04% 31.56 71.43% -0.028 0.153 0.413
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 12573 25.42% 38.33 78.9% 0.421 0.4384 0.036
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 329 29.66% 26.94 60.18% 0.178 0.0298 -0.355
Shifting Memory of Ages 1489 38.78% 28.15 64.47% -0.28 0.0616 -0.09
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 171 32.75% 28.96 60.82% 0.197 0.2698 -0.429
Shroud of Silent Mist 1235 43.61% 28.32 66.8% -0.435 -0.0469 0.177
Starlight Seeks its Form 1713 32.73% 30.34 66.61% -0.158 -0.2135 -0.212
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3983 35.82% 31.53 68.69% -0.381 -0.8805 -0.031
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4551 29.89% 37.18 78.93% 0.167 0.3122 0.919
Towering Roots of the Jungle 227 37.44% 26.48 63.0% 0.559 0.7511 -0.743
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1839 54.01% 29.92 65.69% -0.153 -0.1698 -0.191
Vital Strength of the Earth 13615 30.19% 25.31 70.25% -0.372 0.1905 -0.499
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 392 32.28% 30.99 62.24% -0.499 -0.025 -0.224
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 557 42.36% 29.75 63.2% -0.914 -0.3236 -0.452
Volcano Looming High 2164 37.41% 30.23 68.67% -0.113 -0.0471 0.124
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 374 42.25% 30.12 62.83% 0.453 0.1516 -0.368

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Manifestation of Power and Glory 94.7%
Sudden Ambush 90.32%
Voice of Thunder 91.89%
Words of Warning 98.19%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 64595 13.81 28.21%
II 129618 30.2 78.87%
III 63032 34.83 87.97%
IV 13838 38.63 98.25%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 18215
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 53062
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 92655
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 13376
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 23361
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2025
Lose: Adversary condition 14687
Win: Sacrifice victory 612
Lose: Scenario condition 2181
Win: Scenario condition 11578
Lose: Blight pool ran out 32627
Lose: Spirit destroyed 6704

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.05 Win Model: -0.112

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.129 Win Model: 0.115
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 139393 40.16% 28.92 68.9%
2 72517 41.55% 29.15 69.01%
3 28317 35.42% 30.98 73.44%
4 27463 28.37% 36.64 73.8%
5 751 34.45% 27.42 70.71%
6 2642 20.56% 32.72 68.74%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-10 23:34:23 (Pacific Time)