Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 144 23.61% 26.17 61.11% 0.456 0.8255 0.0
Blitz 0 3129 36.01% 24.15 61.62% -0.137 0.2948 0.134
Dahan Insurrection 4 13799 33.78% 51.01 65.77% 0.471 0.4447 0.978
Despicable Theft 2 709 36.92% 27.56 67.14% 0.468 1.1279 -0.098
Elemental Invocation 1 335 39.7% 22.19 48.06% -0.315 0.1327 -0.77
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 9937 9.17% 44.29 75.61% 0.495 -0.1045 1.0
Powers Long Forgotten 1 4348 32.68% 36.82 76.06% 0.809 1.4168 -0.509
Rituals of Terror 3 3312 38.38% 36.04 67.21% 0.65 0.7744 0.065
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 424 65.33% 29.79 50.24% -0.302 0.4365 -0.419
Second Wave 0 10491 39.18% 29.83 75.71% 0.591 0.6975 1.493
The Great River 3 400 41.96% 25.23 46.75% -0.158 1.0167 -0.31
Varied Terrains 2 191 48.15% 21.26 40.31% -0.346 0.3901 -0.758
Ward the Shores 2 1144 42.46% 30.4 55.42% -0.683 -0.0007 -0.332

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 143115 39.14% 26.98 67.86% 0.399 0.6236 0.478
1 Thematic 10981 48.17% 40.84 55.01% -0.296 0.2542 0.469
2 Archipelago 83 43.9% 30.83 54.22% 0.445 0.0914 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 54564 40.82% 27.35 67.62% 0.426 0.5377 0.643
2 Coastline 6595 38.1% 28.15 66.84% 0.379 0.2902 0.259
2 Fragment 1578 44.39% 24.55 65.53% 0.169 -0.1698 -0.192
2 Heart 795 44.34% 25.05 63.14% -0.325 -0.6527 -0.167
2 Opposite Shores 10890 39.64% 29.0 68.15% 0.344 0.3801 0.369
2 Thematic 4858 43.97% 39.18 60.48% 0.105 0.6333 0.409
2 Top to Top 1712 46.01% 29.08 66.41% 0.543 0.3369 0.555
3 Archipelago 90 46.67% 49.22 72.22% 0.498 0.5981 0.584
3 Coastline 189 41.44% 27.87 61.9% -0.33 -0.8511 -0.367
3 Other 1003 34.21% 24.9 66.4% -0.903 -1.6448 -0.796
3 Round (Default) 28764 34.87% 29.98 72.25% 0.483 0.3874 0.136
3 Sunrise 129 33.62% 29.64 79.07% 0.306 -0.4334 0.158
3 Thematic 1612 36.71% 35.4 61.79% -0.318 -0.0757 -0.318
4 Archipelago 89 27.38% 40.74 77.53% -0.123 -0.042 0.176
4 Coastline 197 21.83% 24.53 63.45% 0.0 0.2598 -0.102
4 Leaf 131 34.15% 25.56 67.94% 0.335 -0.2195 0.0
4 Other 735 31.68% 25.81 66.53% -1.258 -1.8049 -0.003
4 Reverse Snake 4 0.0% 45.75 100.0% 0.0 0.2322 0.0
4 Snake 14 57.14% 31.14 50.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 5493 26.49% 45.14 70.33% 0.386 0.8598 -0.674
4 Trapezoid (Default) 23575 28.46% 34.02 72.53% 0.313 0.124 -0.395
5 Archipelago 33 45.45% 33.79 60.61% 0.0 1.4461 0.0
5 Coastline 29 25.0% 26.24 86.21% 0.0 -0.6104 0.0
5 Other 904 35.38% 27.88 75.11% 0.125 -0.201 0.471
5 Thematic 99 32.32% 46.74 61.62% -0.896 -1.387 -0.069
6 Archipelago 48 21.28% 26.31 60.42% -0.458 -1.3836 0.0
6 Coastline 19 17.65% 28.05 63.16% 0.0 0.3287 -0.117
6 Other 396 24.81% 27.17 66.41% 0.415 0.6849 -0.118
6 Star 237 32.07% 34.88 75.11% -0.135 0.6614 -0.06
6 Thematic 931 21.64% 35.95 54.67% -0.741 -0.1609 -0.5
6 Two Centers (Default) 1694 21.28% 30.27 70.66% -0.286 -0.3092 -0.763
7 Archipelago 7 28.57% 34.43 28.57% 0.0 0.4064 0.0
7 Other 21 9.52% 6.19 19.05% -0.252 -0.5079 -0.103

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6389 30.62 51.35% -0.577 -0.2663 0.292
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5973 33.34 57.07% -0.283 -0.2696 1.09
All Things Weaken 2879 28.16 43.42% -0.461 0.0133 0.161
Attenuated Essence 482 27.26 47.93% -0.828 -0.6816 0.61
Back Against the Wall 5765 32.09 54.17% 0.094 0.2229 0.665
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 463 26.06 43.63% 0.304 0.6236 0.115
Burn Brightest Before the End 403 28.73 46.4% -0.315 -0.138 0.526
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6051 27.42 47.25% -0.461 -0.0805 0.331
Downward Spiral 24326 25.89 51.57% -0.052 0.1411 0.713
Erosion of Will 6356 29.28 48.44% -0.829 -0.4907 0.363
Intensifying Exploitation 457 23.0 35.23% -0.494 -0.1416 -0.256
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1280 34.46 72.19% 0.626 0.2624 1.121
Memory Fades to Dust 24377 25.47 48.23% -0.389 -0.0596 0.336
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2855 29.42 50.16% -0.952 -0.6856 0.406
Promising Farmlands 6277 27.25 45.45% -0.179 0.2687 -0.08
Shattered Fragments of Power 384 29.62 44.79% 0.212 0.2118 0.22
Slow Dissolution of Will 525 26.69 40.95% 0.232 0.6432 0.409
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 816 34.65 76.23% 0.631 0.0724 0.885
The Border of Life and Death 155 30.61 62.58% 0.763 0.5176 1.238
Thriving Communities 2759 28.18 46.61% -0.557 -0.2798 0.055
Thriving Crops 269 23.88 46.1% -0.754 -0.8494 0.298
Tipping Point 2454 29.77 48.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 3118 31.17 50.0% -0.441 -0.2367 0.538
Untended Land Crumbles 2903 28.38 47.23% -0.334 -0.035 0.466

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 96942 35.84% 28.61 68.96% 0.028 1.0193 -0.281
B 97242 35.37% 28.98 69.48% -0.076 0.7887 0.008
C 99707 35.95% 29.27 70.01% 0.145 0.8968 0.006
D 89162 36.62% 28.15 69.36% 0.026 0.9706 0.272
E 25949 37.33% 30.22 69.31% 0.52 1.2747 0.311
F 33636 36.76% 29.78 69.12% 0.083 0.9575 0.006
G 31541 37.11% 30.15 69.83% 0.028 0.8909 0.204
H 30906 36.73% 30.22 69.76% 0.358 1.1651 0.121
East 19102 39.12% 42.28 60.06% -0.193 0.5524 -0.133
Northeast 13012 36.5% 42.73 60.74% -0.192 0.7017 0.456
Northwest 9694 31.83% 41.79 65.34% -0.523 0.2199 0.1
Southeast 2783 33.05% 36.65 60.91% 0.246 1.2551 -0.794
Southwest 2374 31.74% 33.95 57.41% 0.109 1.2656 -0.222
West 14855 36.28% 40.08 62.91% -0.248 0.7349 -0.09

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 19548 0.0% 17.37 61.33% -0.656 0.0643 -0.204
Not Using Events or Tokens 102221 37.09% 23.81 64.74% -0.247 0.2271 -0.353
Skip Initial Invader Actions 9121 9.95% 39.85 86.11% 0.846 0.0407 1.059
Start of Game Growth 13064 12.73% 38.31 83.6% -0.19 -0.7569 -0.678
Unlimited Undo 30170 31.86% 30.43 72.97% 0.228 0.2555 -0.106
Using Tokens but Not Events 30986 25.93% 30.11 77.1% -0.114 -0.1411 0.045

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 25393 30.41% 27.41 68.16% -0.322 -0.7403 -0.27
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 333 32.83% 35.8 61.26% -0.139 -0.7955 0.143
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 37 40.54% 24.78 54.05% -0.23 -0.3881 -0.292
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 133 29.32% 36.81 70.68% 0.623 -0.2373 0.745
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 8994 42.74% 25.94 61.45% -0.693 -0.5553 -0.97
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 234 43.29% 29.37 58.97% 0.141 -0.8887 0.216
Dances Up Earthquakes 325 39.51% 30.61 65.23% 0.317 0.2804 0.398
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4370 35.98% 30.23 72.2% -0.04 -0.394 -0.665
Downpour Drenches the World 1297 31.25% 28.95 59.52% -0.851 -0.7275 -0.262
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1377 35.38% 28.49 61.07% 0.574 0.0037 0.074
Eyes Watch From the Trees 12595 28.13% 33.85 74.35% 0.208 -0.4376 -0.267
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5719 31.11% 34.34 75.97% 0.163 -0.3309 -0.501
Finder of Paths Unseen 1024 36.35% 26.96 57.32% 0.151 0.739 -0.051
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2247 32.99% 34.07 64.89% -0.544 -0.0977 0.097
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1715 37.68% 30.52 65.71% 0.191 0.0061 -0.53
Heart of the Wildfire 6680 49.47% 30.36 65.6% -0.292 -0.1488 -0.382
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 21326 27.12% 37.92 77.34% 0.15 -0.5244 -0.118
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 1341 12.68% 44.25 80.69% 0.906 0.3786 0.219
Lightning's Swift Strike 18099 37.51% 29.33 66.43% -0.482 -0.4495 0.102
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 525 47.47% 34.25 60.19% 0.373 -0.2794 0.455
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 775 41.04% 34.48 67.48% -0.408 -0.9032 0.603
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1385 36.17% 36.56 65.78% 0.264 0.0249 0.168
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4424 36.34% 33.08 70.55% 0.212 -0.214 0.319
Many Minds Move as One 2829 32.25% 31.52 74.23% 0.774 0.265 0.918
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 21741 33.88% 33.01 70.02% 0.198 -0.0718 0.714
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 376 42.63% 29.3 61.97% -0.269 -0.3831 -0.59
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4319 36.52% 31.76 74.28% 0.094 -0.2003 0.393
River Surges in Sunlight 27482 32.1% 32.68 71.19% -0.107 -0.2779 -0.008
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 297 35.49% 36.59 64.65% 0.182 0.0712 0.352
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2715 40.12% 34.32 68.55% 0.338 0.2722 -0.402
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 2163 40.27% 33.84 60.01% 0.255 0.1247 0.421
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 11179 31.76% 35.2 71.81% 0.099 -0.1653 0.649
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 102 42.16% 30.27 57.84% 0.382 -0.0484 0.265
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 9023 45.28% 24.47 63.33% -0.405 0.0232 -0.757
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 224 38.07% 29.31 58.93% -0.178 -0.1736 0.02
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 215 42.79% 31.19 63.72% 0.359 -0.3937 1.365
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 173 46.47% 27.85 64.74% -0.651 -0.97 0.268
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 588 47.86% 29.05 63.78% -0.376 -0.5547 0.24
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 469 39.44% 31.07 70.79% 0.134 0.0907 -0.457
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 13446 25.03% 38.19 78.58% 0.622 0.256 -0.491
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 19 47.37% 32.05 78.95% 0.452 -0.0893 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 468 28.45% 27.36 60.47% -0.565 -0.8097 -0.545
Shifting Memory of Ages 1749 38.64% 26.88 61.92% -0.424 -0.1293 -0.466
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 340 30.97% 31.83 61.18% 0.064 -0.0993 0.874
Shroud of Silent Mist 1425 42.37% 27.32 64.84% -0.084 0.0981 -0.254
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 22 31.82% 32.36 81.82% 0.213 -0.1971 0.236
Starlight Seeks its Form 2091 32.02% 29.8 64.99% -0.262 -0.5038 0.456
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4417 35.66% 31.61 68.21% 0.488 -0.4644 0.243
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5046 29.74% 36.09 76.97% 0.193 0.2357 -0.854
Towering Roots of the Jungle 413 35.11% 26.87 62.47% 0.188 0.0768 0.65
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2015 53.71% 29.43 65.26% -0.359 -0.5097 0.255
Vital Strength of the Earth 15329 29.44% 24.34 67.57% -0.15 0.2081 -0.272
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 520 33.4% 30.18 60.0% -0.891 -0.6478 -1.018
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 629 42.19% 28.91 62.48% -0.265 0.4162 -1.295
Volcano Looming High 2504 37.36% 29.39 66.61% -0.623 -0.9475 -0.043
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 547 40.04% 29.02 61.43% 0.498 -0.0192 0.248

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Manifestation of Power and Glory 94.73%
Sudden Ambush 90.43%
Voice of Thunder 91.99%
Words of Warning 98.22%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 77114 12.25 25.47%
II 141104 29.91 78.29%
III 68487 34.94 87.82%
IV 15123 38.9 98.26%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 19634
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 57595
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 100235
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14616
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 33935
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2202
Lose: Adversary condition 15812
Win: Sacrifice victory 672
Lose: Scenario condition 2316
Win: Scenario condition 12367
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 35179
Lose: Spirit destroyed 7265

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.304 Win Model: -0.108

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.27 Win Model: 0.176
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 154729 39.82% 27.96 66.83%
2 80950 40.9% 28.36 67.24%
3 31683 34.9% 30.11 71.58%
4 30251 28.13% 35.74 71.98%
5 921 33.08% 26.88 70.47%
6 3294 22.31% 31.66 65.91%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)