The Tsardom of Russia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1262 23.21% 26.01 -0.618 78.76% -0.202 -0.3089
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 101 23.76% 25.18 2.53 70.3% 1.03 0.5414
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 729 43.47% 24.29 -1.176 77.23% -0.346 -0.2024
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 139 24.46% 27.78 -2.18 72.66% -0.328 -1.076
Dances Up Earthquakes 25 32.0% 21.04 -0.131 60.0% 0.023 -0.1533
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1305 24.29% 26.9 1.398 82.84% 0.434 0.2268
Downpour Drenches the World 453 18.58% 23.01 -3.011 66.67% -0.597 -0.2765
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 410 22.2% 24.51 1.814 71.46% 0.846 0.4052
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1451 15.72% 30.34 1.686 86.56% 0.651 0.3078
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1170 21.84% 27.96 -0.976 83.59% -0.239 -0.5935
Finder of Paths Unseen 221 28.96% 15.47 -4.894 42.08% -0.821 -0.0362
Fractured Days Split the Sky 642 29.33% 24.22 -2.129 64.49% -0.483 -0.0348
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 968 36.47% 24.07 -0.924 66.84% -0.283 -0.3062
Heart of the Wildfire 992 53.49% 22.41 -3.464 69.96% -0.896 -0.5686
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1900 25.24% 26.58 2.772 84.95% 0.924 0.4284
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 116 17.24% 25.04 0.552 71.55% 0.254 -0.3091
Lightning's Swift Strike 678 35.33% 25.6 1.159 79.65% 0.192 0.3899
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 157 34.19% 25.37 2.508 69.43% 0.274 -0.1742
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 387 26.94% 26.17 1.159 79.07% 0.156 -0.1638
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 348 26.59% 27.94 -2.307 76.15% -0.531 -0.4066
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2125 27.47% 27.05 1.165 83.15% 0.694 0.5382
Many Minds Move as One 1610 20.09% 27.07 0.443 86.09% 0.09 -0.1167
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1447 37.07% 25.93 -0.2 74.71% -0.104 0.0254
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 19 36.84% 22.95 0.064 42.11% -0.323 -0.2181
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1171 28.35% 26.2 -0.402 79.76% -0.088 -0.137
River Surges in Sunlight 920 36.1% 28.49 0.487 79.13% -0.358 -0.3248
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 43 20.93% 18.77 -0.886 58.14% 0.161 0.3691
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 546 37.25% 27.27 -1.38 75.82% -0.273 -0.122
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 206 31.71% 24.13 -2.3 56.8% -0.617 -0.6077
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1055 25.78% 26.14 1.6 78.01% 0.291 0.1919
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 9 33.33% 23.56 0.501 66.67% -0.023 -0.5138
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 383 49.21% 24.37 -4.903 76.24% -1.188 -0.6766
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 80 35.44% 23.79 2.291 66.25% 0.73 0.6862
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 83 33.73% 27.42 3.214 75.9% 0.829 0.3803
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 78 34.62% 21.77 4.381 65.38% 0.515 0.5732
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 339 31.86% 26.59 3.776 82.3% 0.613 0.4221
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 290 32.76% 25.64 1.362 80.0% 0.52 0.6033
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1341 25.5% 26.72 2.104 83.67% 0.647 0.549
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 180 22.35% 23.47 2.968 63.89% 0.704 0.5093
Shifting Memory of Ages 617 37.82% 20.97 -3.04 61.59% -0.559 -0.1694
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 74 27.03% 19.12 -2.736 54.05% -0.645 -0.6961
Shroud of Silent Mist 778 43.32% 22.56 -3.452 71.08% -0.448 -0.0335
Starlight Seeks its Form 928 22.62% 25.83 -0.523 73.28% 0.124 0.0835
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1479 25.19% 25.36 -0.705 83.3% -0.199 -0.7019
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1033 28.99% 24.74 1.076 76.09% 0.723 0.8058
Thunderspeaker 1016 27.32% 27.52 -1.694 77.46% -0.299 -0.3047
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 165 30.3% 20.5 -1.992 47.27% -0.394 -0.0051
Towering Roots of the Jungle 184 24.46% 21.77 0.548 62.5% 0.076 0.286
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1207 61.03% 21.98 -2.826 76.14% -0.577 -0.4996
Vital Strength of the Earth 657 30.08% 24.15 -0.134 72.15% -0.129 0.3201
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 150 22.82% 22.63 2.517 65.33% 0.551 1.045
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 342 26.1% 20.11 -3.4 64.33% -0.398 0.2947
Volcano Looming High 1066 40.64% 22.37 -1.604 70.45% -0.216 -0.1514
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 209 23.44% 25.39 1.675 67.46% 0.184 -0.0654

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 24 25.0% 25.0 0.199 66.67% 0.008 -0.5499
Blitz 0 337 26.57% 19.42 -5.238 60.83% -1.15 -0.7267
Dahan Insurrection 4 509 18.86% 43.94 9.465 77.01% 0.852 0.3696
Despicable Theft 2 206 29.61% 22.08 -1.334 49.03% -0.437 0.1062
Elemental Invocation 1 229 34.93% 22.68 -3.069 62.88% -0.573 0.1647
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 786 10.69% 30.01 5.489 78.88% 0.503 -0.1536
Powers Long Forgotten 1 260 37.69% 19.93 -1.783 51.54% -0.204 0.3581
Rituals of Terror 3 250 34.55% 30.62 1.376 62.8% -0.733 -0.875
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 170 52.35% 29.27 2.388 61.18% -0.133 0.6156
Second Wave 0 478 45.26% 31.92 5.51 70.08% 0.396 0.4903
The Great River 3 214 37.85% 23.59 -0.069 48.6% -0.749 0.4965
Varied Terrains 2 161 37.27% 21.48 4.161 45.96% -0.058 0.8102
Ward the Shores 2 342 32.84% 25.16 -0.31 60.23% -0.294 0.5608

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 14131 33.11% 25.33 0.908 78.64% 0.468 0.8409
1 Thematic 2090 37.51% 27.29 -2.432 72.06% -0.561 0.1532
2 Archipelago 23 39.13% 33.65 0.0 69.57%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3211 30.02% 24.03 0.093 75.55% 0.289 0.4505
2 Coastline 382 29.92% 23.75 1.133 74.61% -0.05 -0.243
2 Fragment 77 25.97% 23.94 -2.795 76.62% -0.389 -0.4375
2 Heart 38 47.37% 24.0 6.671 78.95% 0.947 0.7351
2 Opposite Shores 478 24.63% 29.08 4.143 88.49% 0.708 0.8406
2 Thematic 523 31.74% 26.89 1.112 66.73% 0.503 1.2236
2 Top to Top 57 29.82% 26.46 2.506 82.46% 0.571 0.4867
3 Archipelago 10 60.0% 39.3 0.0 70.0%
3 Coastline 22 31.82% 27.23 0.0 59.09%
3 Other 40 40.0% 26.55 0.0 87.5%
3 Round (Default) 1451 28.49% 26.39 2.774 82.36% 0.796 0.7729
3 Sunrise 6 16.67% 27.5 0.0 83.33%
3 Thematic 109 30.28% 25.5 6.741 58.72% 0.326 0.3335
4 Archipelago 7 14.29% 37.57 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 12 50.0% 22.83 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 3 0.0% 30.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 19 42.11% 30.58 0.0 89.47%
4 Thematic 121 21.67% 33.6 -1.242 80.99% -0.281 -0.2179
4 Trapezoid (Default) 745 20.27% 21.59 -5.087 65.64% -1.933 -1.9276
5 Other 39 34.21% 27.97 1.763 71.79% 0.086 -0.2381
5 Thematic 6 0.0% 23.5 -12.264 50.0% -0.46 -0.6028
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 4 50.0% 33.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Star 27 37.04% 27.3 -7.7 92.59% -0.628 0.0045
6 Thematic 60 18.64% 26.33 -0.287 48.33% -0.266 -0.062
6 Two Centers (Default) 105 19.05% 30.15 9.065 80.0% 0.049 0.5236
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 4 0.0% 20.0 0.0 25.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 484 21.94 1.08 65.5% -0.072 -0.001
Aid From Lesser Spirits 413 23.23 3.383 67.07% 0.633 0.5227
All Things Weaken 588 20.71 -0.097 61.56% 0.19 0.3675
Attenuated Essence 83 21.14 -1.93 54.22% -0.67 -0.6178
Back Against the Wall 424 21.28 -2.793 58.73% -0.45 -0.4654
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 71 21.15 -0.577 54.93% 0.404 0.5875
Burn Brightest Before the End 73 22.01 1.716 56.16% -0.103 -0.0157
Disintegrating Ecosystem 480 19.05 -0.812 62.71% -0.138 0.1538
Downward Spiral 565 21.09 1.232 69.38% 0.461 0.5673
Erosion of Will 462 21.53 -1.344 63.42% -0.652 -0.4856
Intensifying Exploitation 85 20.98 -1.943 55.29% -0.494 -0.3062
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 264 27.22 -3.877 90.91% -0.2 -0.6283
Memory Fades to Dust 574 20.7 -1.882 64.46% -0.691 -0.4564
Power Corrodes the Spirit 533 21.31 0.517 66.42% -0.362 -0.2656
Promising Farmlands 453 19.73 1.981 60.04% 0.163 0.5267
Shattered Fragments of Power 67 23.01 4.871 52.24% 0.262 0.328
Slow Dissolution of Will 87 16.55 0.674 40.23% -0.519 -0.0555
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 182 25.71 -5.175 86.81% -0.554 -1.1548
The Border of Life and Death 17 27.59 4.909 82.35% -0.202 -0.6774
Thriving Communities 549 18.89 -3.067 61.02% -0.549 -0.3231
Thriving Crops 44 25.89 -1.068 84.09% -0.001 -0.2254
Unnatural Proliferation 555 21.8 1.18 63.42% -0.035 0.0867
Untended Land Crumbles 553 20.02 -2.252 62.03% -0.819 -0.5871

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4072 30.83% 24.89 0.004 77.04% -0.429 0.489
B 4238 29.44% 24.83 -1.043 77.23% -0.617 0.2246
C 4384 29.64% 25.41 -0.532 78.6% -0.471 0.2118
D 4053 31.4% 24.96 0.433 78.04% -0.236 0.6062
E 4026 30.36% 25.25 -0.226 78.17% -0.47 0.1815
F 3875 29.98% 25.2 0.314 76.8% -0.267 0.4924
G 3391 29.25% 25.22 -0.607 76.82% -0.648 0.1092
H 3516 29.99% 25.14 -0.841 76.88% -0.625 0.0934
East 1794 34.02% 28.54 0.383 73.08% -0.422 0.3919
Northeast 693 29.81% 29.1 0.904 67.1% -0.421 0.2462
Northwest 634 30.11% 28.2 0.098 67.19% -0.405 0.3995
Southeast 800 38.92% 26.97 -0.592 77.0% -0.605 0.1007
Southwest 600 29.1% 23.03 -2.447 63.67% -0.93 0.4601
West 1573 32.38% 26.43 -2.009 65.99% -1.314 -0.52

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 64 0.0% 27.41 2.653 81.25% 0.383 1.1017
Not Using Events or Tokens 56 23.21% 24.11 0.0 66.07%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 458 8.06% 37.3 8.146 91.05% 0.832 0.1015
Start of Game Growth 760 11.58% 35.06 5.262 90.0% 0.502 0.0555
Unlimited Undo 1564 22.0% 26.3 0.04 80.05% -0.014 -0.0471
Using Tokens but Not Events 2119 24.62% 26.57 3.19 78.39% 0.821 0.6586

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3782 14.25 16.87%
II 7873 30.3 81.37%
III 8335 34.84 90.34%
IV 3839 38.61 99.32%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.058 Win Model: 0.669
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 16619 33.6% 25.33 76.72%
2 4521 29.9% 25.65 78.99%
3 1564 29.12% 26.89 82.61%
4 896 20.56% 23.47 68.3%
5 27 26.92% 23.81 70.37%
6 202 21.39% 28.56 70.79%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 637
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7289
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5984
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3777
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2705
Lose: Invader deck ran out 187
Lose: Adversary condition 298
Win: Sacrifice victory 102
Lose: Scenario condition 143
Win: Scenario condition 598
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1953
Lose: Spirit destroyed 156

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 753 39.1% 28.25 -1.098 65.21% 0.106 -0.0006
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 59 42.37% 27.15 1.882 61.02% 0.569 0.0803
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 468 62.18% 26.85 -0.784 63.03% 0.17 0.3131
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 69 31.88% 30.48 2.364 71.01% 0.28 -0.4682
Dances Up Earthquakes 7 28.57% 18.57 -2.152 42.86% -0.237 -0.4138
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 723 40.83% 30.77 -0.534 71.23% -0.309 -0.5161
Downpour Drenches the World 272 39.63% 20.64 -2.728 48.9% -0.141 0.1787
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 289 30.1% 24.92 1.823 60.9% 0.575 0.1349
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1035 30.81% 34.62 -0.5 77.49% 0.191 -0.1518
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 680 38.55% 30.86 0.536 71.18% 0.296 -0.0587
Finder of Paths Unseen 158 43.67% 16.05 -4.335 34.81% -0.838 -0.0538
Fractured Days Split the Sky 381 38.58% 26.84 -3.15 56.43% -0.568 -0.1204
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 620 52.34% 26.17 -1.39 59.19% -0.204 -0.2276
Heart of the Wildfire 676 69.23% 21.71 -2.237 47.49% -0.361 -0.0339
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1384 42.59% 30.78 2.661 72.18% 0.46 -0.0349
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 94 37.23% 27.63 2.65 65.96% 0.569 0.0067
Lightning's Swift Strike 355 57.22% 25.94 -1.865 57.75% -0.11 0.0882
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 74 47.3% 27.85 0.271 62.16% -0.451 -0.8991
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 225 55.56% 26.74 1.228 58.67% 0.342 0.0229
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 210 45.24% 34.42 -5.05 65.24% -0.952 -0.827
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1612 42.48% 31.93 5.159 78.23% 1.384 1.2279
Many Minds Move as One 1387 34.3% 32.57 0.512 80.61% 0.195 -0.012
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 874 51.38% 28.66 -2.054 61.33% -0.492 -0.3627
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 15 53.33% 25.13 0.904 73.33% 0.636 0.7408
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 715 46.22% 29.02 1.678 68.95% 0.55 0.5005
River Surges in Sunlight 553 50.82% 29.98 2.461 64.74% 0.5 0.5326
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 46 36.96% 19.48 0.62 43.48% 0.224 0.4317
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 338 52.52% 32.88 -0.713 63.91% -0.125 0.0259
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 140 44.29% 23.3 -3.626 49.29% -0.674 -0.6646
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 590 48.98% 27.05 0.32 62.88% -0.118 -0.2172
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 5 40.0% 31.4 4.454 80.0% 0.553 0.0621
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 234 63.68% 26.03 -2.623 58.55% -0.578 -0.066
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 67 42.42% 24.04 -2.854 50.75% -0.391 -0.434
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 119 42.02% 25.98 0.787 56.3% -0.077 -0.5257
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 69 46.38% 25.23 8.518 59.42% 0.77 0.8281
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 195 57.44% 27.68 -0.888 66.15% 0.065 -0.1252
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 148 50.68% 29.01 -2.751 62.84% -0.633 -0.5489
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1209 39.4% 31.54 -0.493 75.43% -0.191 -0.289
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 233 33.77% 24.54 3.344 58.8% 1.142 0.9476
Shifting Memory of Ages 399 50.13% 24.19 -2.763 55.64% -0.806 -0.4165
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 50 32.0% 18.92 0.8 42.0% -0.037 -0.0889
Shroud of Silent Mist 432 59.4% 22.85 -1.865 53.01% -0.168 0.2458
Starlight Seeks its Form 655 29.1% 29.26 -1.396 67.94% -0.188 -0.2281
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 885 41.61% 25.17 0.917 58.98% 0.37 -0.132
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 743 40.68% 30.09 3.475 67.7% 0.7 0.7832
Thunderspeaker 752 42.29% 32.18 -0.456 65.03% -0.176 -0.1816
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 76 44.74% 18.83 5.606 40.79% 0.733 1.1215
Towering Roots of the Jungle 125 40.0% 23.83 -2.97 57.6% -0.454 -0.2431
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 557 70.92% 22.79 -1.844 53.14% -0.211 -0.1335
Vital Strength of the Earth 357 47.62% 24.96 1.193 51.82% -0.179 0.2701
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 105 54.29% 19.83 -5.711 42.86% -0.643 -0.1483
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 228 42.98% 23.11 -7.76 53.07% -1.439 -0.746
Volcano Looming High 664 54.52% 23.94 0.181 55.57% -0.074 -0.0094
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 138 43.48% 22.77 3.259 54.35% 0.788 0.5386

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 22 27.27% 15.36 -9.917 36.36% -0.556 -1.1137
Blitz 0 282 39.01% 20.47 -2.423 46.1% -0.396 0.0269
Dahan Insurrection 4 332 26.2% 52.44 8.652 73.8% 0.161 -0.3208
Despicable Theft 2 138 42.75% 20.54 -3.575 33.33% -0.829 -0.2864
Elemental Invocation 1 172 51.16% 20.99 -1.725 40.12% -0.215 0.5232
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 609 21.09% 34.24 0.961 70.61% -0.101 -0.7578
Powers Long Forgotten 1 209 48.33% 22.36 -5.402 41.63% -1.028 -0.466
Rituals of Terror 3 122 54.92% 31.41 3.298 47.54% -0.186 -0.3281
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 93 67.74% 29.19 -10.131 41.94% -1.024 -0.2747
Second Wave 0 903 51.72% 29.66 0.132 61.9% -0.337 -0.2422
The Great River 3 97 59.79% 20.03 -8.471 25.77% -0.529 0.7167
Varied Terrains 2 90 40.0% 21.66 1.02 38.89% -0.14 0.7287
Ward the Shores 2 218 44.95% 24.71 -5.745 43.58% -0.921 -0.0665

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 9719 44.73% 27.4 0.156 64.07% 0.385 0.7579
1 Thematic 1299 48.5% 27.84 0.023 50.04% 0.032 0.7458
2 Archipelago 9 44.44% 37.78 2.433 77.78% 0.244 0.7676
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2123 47.43% 25.8 -0.687 62.6% 0.135 0.2963
2 Coastline 292 46.39% 26.75 -2.973 64.04% -0.258 -0.4509
2 Fragment 68 55.88% 27.56 1.979 66.18% 0.125 0.0769
2 Heart 28 53.57% 23.86 1.504 53.57% 0.088 -0.1239
2 Opposite Shores 426 48.46% 27.56 0.327 66.43% 0.205 0.3372
2 Thematic 385 49.09% 24.49 -0.062 47.79% 0.258 0.9781
2 Top to Top 60 53.33% 33.4 7.829 85.0% 0.206 0.1217
3 Archipelago 11 81.82% 35.18 0.0 36.36%
3 Coastline 14 64.29% 36.86 1.193 64.29% 0.337 -0.2939
3 Other 24 62.5% 32.13 -3.577 87.5% -0.416 -1.292
3 Round (Default) 899 36.9% 30.81 0.339 72.86% 0.394 0.3708
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 92 55.43% 27.92 -8.834 55.43% -1.286 -1.2783
4 Archipelago 10 50.0% 40.5 0.0 90.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 23.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 26.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 27 51.85% 33.78 0.0 85.19%
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 92 53.26% 36.16 -2.376 71.74% -0.183 -0.1201
4 Trapezoid (Default) 341 41.47% 31.59 1.756 74.49% 0.549 0.5538
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 80.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 42 34.15% 42.02 -6.82 76.19% -0.147 -0.4709
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 20.75 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 17 47.06% 42.35 0.0 76.47%
6 Star 3 33.33% 13.33 -11.903 33.33% -0.504 0.1282
6 Thematic 13 61.54% 37.38 10.117 53.85% 0.294 0.4977
6 Two Centers (Default) 46 23.91% 46.59 -0.398 84.78% -0.477 -0.0031
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 486 23.76 -1.239 48.56% -0.524 -0.4526
Aid From Lesser Spirits 411 26.74 1.662 57.91% 0.337 0.2273
All Things Weaken 546 23.33 -2.141 48.53% -0.847 -0.6698
Attenuated Essence 59 23.92 -0.729 54.24% -0.187 -0.1348
Back Against the Wall 389 24.18 1.142 47.56% -0.037 -0.0528
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 82 20.29 0.599 45.12% -0.037 0.1468
Burn Brightest Before the End 59 24.37 -0.868 47.46% -0.615 -0.5285
Disintegrating Ecosystem 467 19.48 0.63 40.04% 0.267 0.5587
Downward Spiral 540 23.89 2.102 53.7% 0.488 0.5942
Erosion of Will 454 23.82 0.29 53.08% -0.417 -0.2512
Intensifying Exploitation 95 24.31 -3.413 58.95% -0.525 -0.3369
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 192 30.93 -1.798 75.52% 0.049 -0.3787
Memory Fades to Dust 580 23.92 -0.186 54.48% 0.086 0.3207
Power Corrodes the Spirit 496 23.18 2.586 50.2% 0.511 0.6067
Promising Farmlands 463 22.86 1.134 49.68% -0.146 0.2182
Shattered Fragments of Power 69 27.46 6.471 57.97% 0.269 0.3342
Slow Dissolution of Will 69 20.42 0.725 43.48% -0.167 0.2958
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 129 29.11 -2.751 78.29% -0.512 -1.1128
The Border of Life and Death 19 24.26 -2.06 47.37% -0.371 -0.8468
Thriving Communities 539 22.2 -0.308 47.5% 0.05 0.2751
Thriving Crops 42 23.81 -2.948 57.14% -0.385 -0.6101
Unnatural Proliferation 529 24.35 0.214 50.85% -0.105 0.0168
Untended Land Crumbles 560 21.85 4.278 48.39% 0.617 0.849

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2742 44.04% 27.98 -0.439 65.17% -0.299 0.6195
B 2873 45.18% 28.59 0.973 66.79% -0.127 0.714
C 2946 43.42% 28.75 0.097 67.41% -0.217 0.4661
D 2737 44.46% 28.45 0.669 66.17% 0.052 0.8944
E 2600 43.5% 28.52 -0.523 66.62% -0.295 0.3568
F 2546 44.39% 27.92 -0.639 65.83% -0.349 0.4112
G 2153 44.6% 28.38 0.936 66.42% -0.105 0.6529
H 2218 45.03% 28.39 -0.225 66.46% -0.271 0.4477
East 1102 49.68% 28.52 1.987 52.0% 0.103 0.9162
Northeast 452 52.55% 30.86 -0.113 56.64% -0.348 0.32
Northwest 420 47.26% 27.65 -4.371 51.43% -1.345 -0.5399
Southeast 394 49.75% 27.2 2.51 52.54% 0.06 0.7653
Southwest 400 52.75% 23.02 -3.307 46.5% -0.779 0.6105
West 1094 48.86% 26.95 0.875 50.37% 0.029 0.8223

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 26 0.0% 29.81 -3.603 53.85% -0.609 0.1094
Not Using Events or Tokens 49 36.73% 15.12 -4.959 22.45% -0.763 -0.2779
Skip Initial Invader Actions 294 15.85% 42.32 6.335 87.07% 0.874 0.1431
Start of Game Growth 432 18.25% 40.27 5.515 83.1% 0.595 0.1484
Unlimited Undo 1226 38.06% 28.78 -1.187 67.86% -0.244 -0.2767
Using Tokens but Not Events 1311 36.11% 30.61 1.477 69.64% 0.208 0.0461

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3711 14.25 7.63%
II 5284 30.3 67.6%
III 5427 34.84 86.27%
IV 1646 38.61 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.278 Win Model: 0.342
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11230 45.12% 27.23 61.67%
2 3252 48.64% 26.93 64.36%
3 1014 39.13% 30.55 71.5%
4 456 43.74% 33.98 76.54%
5 49 29.17% 47.9 75.51%
6 67 40.3% 32.49 71.64%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 282
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4553
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3314
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1624
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2273
Lose: Invader deck ran out 95
Lose: Adversary condition 1376
Win: Sacrifice victory 64
Lose: Scenario condition 89
Win: Scenario condition 340
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1925
Lose: Spirit destroyed 133

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 843 34.48% 36.14 1.942 74.85% 0.376 0.2691
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 51 27.45% 30.39 -0.77 64.71% 0.015 -0.4733
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 604 53.48% 34.33 -0.519 73.18% -0.059 0.0844
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 114 27.19% 39.0 7.825 81.58% 1.202 0.4535
Dances Up Earthquakes 13 61.54% 37.54 5.172 84.62% 0.995 0.8182
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 818 39.58% 35.48 4.47 76.28% 0.838 0.6311
Downpour Drenches the World 364 35.16% 31.54 -0.105 65.93% 0.141 0.461
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 417 29.26% 32.29 0.622 69.54% 0.093 -0.3474
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1168 28.71% 39.55 -0.785 83.48% -0.062 -0.4057
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 629 35.93% 35.82 -4.801 76.15% -0.953 -1.3071
Finder of Paths Unseen 171 52.05% 22.34 -2.973 43.27% -0.469 0.3158
Fractured Days Split the Sky 460 46.96% 33.57 -2.694 61.96% -0.797 -0.3491
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 653 49.31% 30.78 0.263 63.09% 0.196 0.1721
Heart of the Wildfire 840 64.29% 32.08 1.35 65.83% 0.101 0.4282
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1761 38.33% 37.03 2.626 78.93% 0.606 0.1112
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 111 19.82% 34.04 2.343 71.17% 0.368 -0.1945
Lightning's Swift Strike 367 57.97% 33.23 2.539 68.94% 0.711 0.9091
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 109 48.62% 35.13 0.485 71.56% 0.396 -0.0516
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 253 49.21% 33.36 -13.789 68.38% -1.547 -1.8664
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 202 44.06% 35.87 -5.78 68.81% -0.599 -0.4738
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2155 38.52% 39.13 3.773 84.18% 0.828 0.6718
Many Minds Move as One 1608 28.67% 38.66 1.612 85.14% 0.521 0.3146
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1084 46.94% 36.17 -1.857 71.22% -0.468 -0.339
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 35 71.43% 20.57 -3.348 45.71% -0.574 -0.4688
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 751 42.21% 35.63 -3.533 77.1% -0.326 -0.3754
River Surges in Sunlight 712 45.42% 40.02 -0.892 79.35% -0.081 -0.0477
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 40 47.5% 31.52 -0.43 60.0% -0.187 0.0214
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 318 55.35% 34.5 -0.277 67.61% -0.63 -0.4786
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 197 34.54% 39.18 5.713 70.05% 0.48 0.4896
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 790 44.3% 34.42 1.157 73.67% 0.055 -0.0444
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 11 45.45% 30.0 1.897 63.64% 0.368 -0.1229
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 282 56.74% 31.41 -2.417 64.54% -0.491 0.0212
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 52 61.54% 26.1 2.852 46.15% 0.087 0.0442
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 117 48.72% 35.9 3.588 71.79% 0.522 0.0735
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 69 42.03% 31.1 2.964 65.22% 0.098 0.1562
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 218 50.0% 34.62 0.756 71.56% 0.116 -0.0741
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 154 60.39% 33.46 -7.997 71.43% -0.418 -0.3347
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1308 35.07% 37.66 -0.442 81.35% -0.356 -0.454
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 284 31.34% 32.22 0.796 65.49% 0.207 0.0127
Shifting Memory of Ages 471 50.74% 29.96 -1.298 62.42% -0.493 -0.1038
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 45 33.33% 28.96 -4.057 60.0% -0.288 -0.3398
Shroud of Silent Mist 548 55.29% 28.82 -4.101 60.4% -0.848 -0.4336
Starlight Seeks its Form 647 38.33% 33.94 -1.371 70.48% -0.474 -0.5142
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1077 35.78% 32.68 -0.825 71.12% 0.129 -0.3731
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 942 34.15% 37.32 2.699 78.45% 0.541 0.6241
Thunderspeaker 679 42.54% 37.83 1.421 74.37% 0.029 0.0237
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 90 33.33% 19.4 -6.307 38.89% -0.634 -0.245
Towering Roots of the Jungle 199 38.69% 31.53 2.239 68.34% 0.554 0.7649
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 673 67.61% 31.39 0.249 67.9% -0.074 0.0034
Vital Strength of the Earth 365 42.74% 30.98 -4.113 66.03% -0.499 -0.0496
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 101 33.66% 30.67 3.735 63.37% 0.435 0.9295
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 243 48.97% 29.08 -0.834 62.14% 0.218 0.9112
Volcano Looming High 772 50.71% 30.88 -3.234 65.8% -0.575 -0.5106
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 211 33.18% 27.91 5.522 58.77% 0.949 0.6996

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 17 17.65% 15.06 -15.04 35.29% -0.531 -1.0886
Blitz 0 361 36.57% 29.29 -0.676 53.74% -0.111 0.3122
Dahan Insurrection 4 270 22.96% 60.0 0.653 78.89% -0.546 -1.0277
Despicable Theft 2 89 53.93% 30.4 -12.516 46.07% -0.803 -0.2601
Elemental Invocation 1 189 46.03% 25.32 -4.07 48.15% -0.826 -0.0887
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 802 24.44% 40.42 4.99 76.93% 0.56 -0.0962
Powers Long Forgotten 1 179 48.04% 27.72 -5.63 48.6% -1.327 -0.7644
Rituals of Terror 3 107 50.47% 29.21 -5.499 39.25% -0.935 -1.0773
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 74 56.76% 24.72 6.772 32.43% 0.352 1.101
Second Wave 0 550 49.54% 35.75 -0.663 69.45% -0.232 -0.1379
The Great River 3 95 47.37% 27.25 -12.967 36.84% -1.024 0.221
Varied Terrains 2 58 60.34% 28.24 10.233 46.55% 1.159 2.0271
Ward the Shores 2 136 51.47% 34.63 -7.402 56.62% -0.751 0.1036

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11167 44.07% 33.48 -0.785 71.07% 0.056 0.4294
1 Thematic 1075 46.6% 30.38 -0.593 52.0% -0.28 0.434
2 Archipelago 21 47.62% 35.86 0.32 57.14% -0.193 0.3312
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2564 44.42% 33.88 1.742 75.27% 0.562 0.7232
2 Coastline 277 43.48% 36.19 -0.863 79.78% 0.033 -0.1605
2 Fragment 59 50.85% 34.97 3.506 76.27% 0.495 0.4472
2 Heart 36 55.56% 35.08 0.0 72.22%
2 Opposite Shores 448 40.94% 33.36 -3.991 73.21% -0.394 -0.2614
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 571 39.93% 36.34 3.111 70.58% 0.153 0.8728
2 Top to Top 66 36.36% 37.73 2.897 81.82% 0.015 -0.0691
3 Archipelago 9 77.78% 34.33 0.0 33.33%
3 Coastline 17 70.59% 45.82 0.0 94.12%
3 Other 35 51.43% 33.54 0.0 71.43%
3 Round (Default) 1038 39.83% 36.15 -0.15 78.13% -0.034 -0.0575
3 Sunrise 5 0.0% 41.4 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 100 38.0% 37.53 -0.179 70.0% -0.136 -0.1286
4 Archipelago 13 53.85% 36.15 0.0 38.46%
4 Coastline 8 62.5% 55.25 0.0 62.5%
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 43.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 17 64.71% 35.18 0.0 76.47%
4 Thematic 174 21.26% 54.05 0.0 86.21%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 450 29.18% 38.81 -0.679 85.11% -0.348 -0.3431
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 54 53.85% 37.07 9.546 74.07% 0.487 0.1634
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 37.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 5 0.0% 40.8 0.0 80.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 58.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 5 40.0% 56.0 0.0 80.0%
6 Star 7 28.57% 37.71 4.19 71.43% 0.125 0.7572
6 Thematic 28 39.29% 40.71 5.263 67.86% 0.12 0.3243
6 Two Centers (Default) 44 36.36% 30.3 -9.332 61.36% -0.665 -0.1907
7 Other 2 0.0% 48.0 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 561 30.12 3.403 60.96% 0.758 0.8292
Aid From Lesser Spirits 420 31.5 4.401 62.62% 0.681 0.5714
All Things Weaken 599 29.65 1.797 58.6% 0.323 0.5004
Attenuated Essence 91 27.45 -1.648 54.95% -0.525 -0.473
Back Against the Wall 467 31.3 -2.003 61.88% -0.753 -0.7682
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 77 25.36 7.765 49.35% 0.956 1.1397
Burn Brightest Before the End 63 34.38 2.24 66.67% 0.28 0.3665
Disintegrating Ecosystem 487 27.04 -1.125 52.57% 0.012 0.3032
Downward Spiral 562 31.24 1.443 66.73% 0.126 0.2317
Erosion of Will 516 29.2 0.559 57.75% -0.097 0.0694
Intensifying Exploitation 95 26.56 -1.514 55.79% -0.017 0.1716
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 240 36.29 10.497 81.67% 0.573 0.145
Memory Fades to Dust 542 30.58 0.964 64.02% 0.243 0.4779
Power Corrodes the Spirit 524 29.14 -0.742 59.73% -0.007 0.0889
Promising Farmlands 519 28.75 -1.145 59.92% -0.066 0.298
Shattered Fragments of Power 70 26.89 -0.433 52.86% -0.486 -0.4201
Slow Dissolution of Will 74 29.76 -1.081 58.11% -0.027 0.4366
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 175 36.4 1.727 84.57% 0.298 -0.3036
The Border of Life and Death 29 35.83 1.871 75.86% 0.211 -0.2644
Thriving Communities 607 29.48 2.098 62.27% 0.466 0.6913
Thriving Crops 50 33.86 11.693 72.0% 1.558 1.3332
Unnatural Proliferation 586 30.68 3.22 61.26% 0.642 0.7637
Untended Land Crumbles 570 29.26 -3.331 61.23% -0.59 -0.3576

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3147 43.48% 33.81 -1.514 72.8% -0.333 0.5858
B 3243 44.1% 34.74 -0.141 75.49% -0.16 0.681
C 3390 40.7% 34.97 -0.08 74.87% -0.094 0.5891
D 3107 43.17% 34.12 0.878 72.35% -0.134 0.7084
E 3100 42.23% 35.09 2.637 74.81% 0.371 1.0228
F 2949 42.7% 34.58 0.249 74.91% -0.021 0.7385
G 2485 43.53% 33.66 -2.516 72.23% -0.914 -0.1564
H 2675 39.97% 35.1 0.242 75.66% 0.078 0.7968
East 1275 38.35% 38.08 4.631 67.29% 0.216 1.0293
Northeast 655 38.02% 40.67 -0.186 71.91% -0.278 0.3894
Northwest 598 37.79% 37.97 3.628 66.72% 0.704 1.5089
Southeast 407 35.14% 36.74 -0.607 66.58% -0.072 0.6334
Southwest 402 42.79% 31.38 -2.514 59.7% -0.5 0.8897
West 1233 41.93% 34.69 1.603 61.72% 0.269 1.0628

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 11 0.0% 62.55 5.759 100.0% 0.26 0.9793
Not Using Events or Tokens 15 40.0% 16.6 0.0 33.33%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 274 9.7% 48.9 8.496 83.94% 1.039 0.3081
Start of Game Growth 425 15.07% 46.55 5.222 84.0% 0.784 0.3381
Unlimited Undo 1445 33.22% 32.82 -5.286 66.99% -1.0 -1.0336
Using Tokens but Not Events 1195 39.44% 32.13 -1.001 69.71% -0.157 -0.3191

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2940 14.25 0.24%
II 4125 30.3 64.27%
III 7558 34.84 89.65%
IV 3692 38.61 99.7%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.424 Win Model: 0.277
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12407 44.3% 33.09 69.05%
2 3943 43.8% 34.83 75.75%
3 1175 39.44% 36.55 77.87%
4 659 28.92% 42.66 84.37%
5 44 55.81% 34.89 68.18%
6 87 31.4% 37.39 68.97%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 7
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6605
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2468
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3657
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2059
Lose: Invader deck ran out 39
Lose: Adversary condition 1222
Win: Sacrifice victory 89
Lose: Scenario condition 107
Win: Scenario condition 289
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1642
Lose: Spirit destroyed 131

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 887 51.25% 33.09 -6.108 53.44% -0.531 -0.6379
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 83 44.58% 35.82 -1.819 55.42% -0.013 -0.5016
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 578 73.22% 34.09 0.778 52.08% -0.077 0.0667
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 151 50.99% 41.93 6.069 68.21% 0.565 -0.1836
Dances Up Earthquakes 20 50.0% 38.35 2.689 60.0% 0.349 0.1724
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 802 59.43% 36.5 5.428 58.48% 1.063 0.8554
Downpour Drenches the World 388 52.71% 28.22 3.859 45.1% 0.889 1.2094
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 521 52.21% 32.89 1.916 55.85% 0.181 -0.2599
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1109 49.95% 40.89 4.877 67.36% 0.874 0.5311
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 458 61.71% 35.14 -0.086 53.93% 0.156 -0.198
Finder of Paths Unseen 147 51.7% 22.82 -4.224 31.97% -0.679 0.1053
Fractured Days Split the Sky 462 63.42% 32.18 -9.99 44.59% -1.13 -0.6815
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 617 61.91% 32.18 -2.344 49.76% -0.278 -0.3011
Heart of the Wildfire 877 77.97% 29.13 -0.279 42.87% 0.246 0.5732
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2399 53.91% 38.76 3.679 63.48% 0.796 0.3008
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 184 50.54% 33.14 6.124 54.35% 1.106 0.5437
Lightning's Swift Strike 348 74.56% 34.64 -2.877 49.14% -0.166 0.0325
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 177 63.07% 37.11 0.065 63.28% 0.251 -0.1968
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 255 65.1% 38.34 -9.559 63.92% -1.031 -1.3508
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 211 60.66% 36.02 6.332 54.03% 1.292 1.4172
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3374 49.3% 42.79 3.49 74.18% 0.863 0.7069
Many Minds Move as One 1632 49.82% 42.49 -0.03 73.47% 0.208 0.0018
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1072 63.56% 33.75 -1.974 50.65% -0.432 -0.303
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 38 68.42% 27.16 -2.072 44.74% -0.141 -0.0365
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 685 64.77% 36.92 1.105 59.12% 0.735 0.6851
River Surges in Sunlight 745 71.74% 36.22 -1.61 50.87% -0.433 -0.3996
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 79 45.57% 35.47 -4.041 54.43% -0.66 -0.4515
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 285 74.39% 28.75 2.872 36.49% 0.3 0.4507
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 201 52.74% 33.17 2.095 49.75% 0.127 0.1363
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 757 64.6% 35.26 4.071 54.95% 0.744 0.645
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 3 100.0% 58.33 13.746 66.67% 0.621 0.1298
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 238 81.51% 31.13 -5.899 42.02% -0.886 -0.3737
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 61 54.1% 33.82 0.464 54.1% -0.152 -0.1949
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 187 52.94% 36.41 -0.333 58.29% 0.334 -0.1141
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 77 67.53% 32.35 -5.083 51.95% -0.286 -0.2271
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 209 71.29% 35.99 6.533 55.98% 0.789 0.5982
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 196 78.57% 33.99 -1.644 51.53% -0.096 -0.012
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1485 48.65% 41.54 -6.747 70.24% -1.042 -1.1397
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 265 49.43% 34.4 0.203 58.11% 0.026 -0.1686
Shifting Memory of Ages 429 65.97% 31.18 -0.388 48.48% 0.16 0.5497
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 83 55.42% 31.54 -0.21 51.81% 0.199 0.1479
Shroud of Silent Mist 537 68.29% 31.45 -7.703 49.35% -1.333 -0.9189
Starlight Seeks its Form 942 55.94% 34.09 1.119 54.99% 0.568 0.528
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1379 52.65% 32.8 -2.843 51.78% -0.41 -0.9128
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1003 56.97% 38.22 0.115 64.01% 0.231 0.3137
Thunderspeaker 670 64.02% 34.54 -4.158 50.3% -0.681 -0.6865
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 73 57.53% 22.25 -5.701 31.51% -0.827 -0.4383
Towering Roots of the Jungle 200 56.0% 31.61 1.249 54.0% 0.501 0.7115
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 785 83.44% 30.89 -1.006 46.75% 0.169 0.2465
Vital Strength of the Earth 329 67.38% 28.87 -9.02 39.82% -1.504 -1.0552
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 130 64.62% 25.07 -5.075 35.38% -0.556 -0.0613
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 268 63.81% 27.52 -8.803 41.04% -0.802 -0.1096
Volcano Looming High 850 67.37% 33.74 -3.711 55.18% -0.603 -0.5386
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 235 54.47% 29.03 1.425 47.23% 0.422 0.1732

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 10 10.0% 26.6 4.999 50.0% 0.299 -0.2588
Blitz 0 228 47.37% 35.51 -6.781 37.72% -1.094 -0.6709
Dahan Insurrection 4 149 44.3% 53.66 14.588 57.72% 0.867 0.3852
Despicable Theft 2 39 51.28% 34.64 -12.89 43.59% -1.103 -0.5603
Elemental Invocation 1 117 63.25% 28.17 -4.221 37.61% -0.48 0.2573
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 968 35.02% 45.92 0.934 72.93% -0.077 -0.7331
Powers Long Forgotten 1 107 46.73% 27.06 -6.204 33.64% -0.743 -0.1805
Rituals of Terror 3 55 65.45% 30.2 -11.116 23.64% -0.17 -0.3121
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 38 50.0% 20.95 -10.836 18.42% -0.137 0.6118
Second Wave 0 369 66.58% 35.04 -1.822 48.51% -0.451 -0.3562
The Great River 3 56 58.93% 36.14 0.0 42.86%
Varied Terrains 2 23 34.78% 12.96 -14.634 17.39% -0.601 0.2672
Ward the Shores 2 73 60.27% 32.9 3.616 38.36% 0.563 1.4169

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 13661 57.61% 35.28 -0.438 56.49% -0.188 0.1854
1 Thematic 784 63.39% 32.72 -1.312 40.69% -0.508 0.2058
2 Archipelago 14 71.43% 35.36 0.0 42.86%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3042 62.58% 35.2 0.031 58.42% -0.152 0.0088
2 Coastline 339 58.41% 38.29 -6.174 62.24% -1.429 -1.6222
2 Fragment 81 64.2% 38.47 -14.137 58.02% -0.268 -0.3159
2 Heart 47 53.19% 46.4 5.369 74.47% 0.145 -0.0674
2 Opposite Shores 566 63.19% 35.67 4.085 57.24% 0.562 0.6941
2 Thematic 226 65.04% 33.76 0.581 44.69% 0.016 0.7365
2 Top to Top 93 58.06% 42.23 11.036 72.04% 0.559 0.4745
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 48.83 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 9 66.67% 46.22 5.842 66.67% 0.356 -0.2746
3 Other 69 46.38% 23.54 12.482 37.68% 0.474 -0.4019
3 Round (Default) 1255 59.65% 38.13 3.138 62.39% 0.475 0.4516
3 Sunrise 48 12.5% 8.46 0.0 12.5%
3 Thematic 51 64.71% 39.49 0.0 56.86%
4 Archipelago 3 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 4 25.0% 44.25 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 5 40.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 25 64.0% 44.24 2.571 80.0% 0.198 -0.3705
4 Thematic 61 60.66% 43.75 0.0 59.02%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 384 60.32% 41.53 -0.195 70.57% -0.139 -0.1336
5 Other 46 50.0% 35.85 -0.797 52.17% 0.118 -0.2062
5 Thematic 4 25.0% 4.75 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 2 100.0% 55.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 24 0.0% 48.92 -4.161 79.17% -0.413 -0.4575
6 Star 7 57.14% 34.29 0.0 42.86%
6 Thematic 14 57.14% 28.79 -1.884 35.71% -0.157 0.0467
6 Two Centers (Default) 42 45.24% 36.31 -2.432 59.52% -0.303 0.1714
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 801 32.49 2.716 47.82% 0.226 0.2972
Aid From Lesser Spirits 715 34.28 2.996 47.97% 0.418 0.3079
All Things Weaken 876 29.89 2.204 42.58% 0.102 0.2793
Attenuated Essence 171 29.26 1.661 43.27% 0.076 0.1276
Back Against the Wall 633 31.91 1.161 44.23% -0.053 -0.0684
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 132 32.35 1.218 46.97% -0.213 -0.0293
Burn Brightest Before the End 123 29.88 -0.345 43.9% -0.355 -0.2684
Disintegrating Ecosystem 835 27.1 -2.58 35.81% -1.03 -0.7383
Downward Spiral 924 30.92 -0.907 46.86% -0.283 -0.1768
Erosion of Will 841 30.64 -1.614 43.04% -0.656 -0.4901
Intensifying Exploitation 159 26.81 -1.662 42.14% -0.251 -0.0633
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 270 39.4 0.607 70.37% -0.071 -0.4986
Memory Fades to Dust 843 30.78 4.548 45.79% 0.662 0.8973
Power Corrodes the Spirit 833 29.76 1.343 43.58% 0.299 0.3949
Promising Farmlands 780 29.07 -3.174 41.54% -0.593 -0.2286
Shattered Fragments of Power 121 29.18 -1.671 37.19% -0.912 -0.846
Slow Dissolution of Will 168 26.42 -0.702 36.31% -0.17 0.2938
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 190 41.66 1.096 75.26% 0.267 -0.334
The Border of Life and Death 48 28.63 -8.181 47.92% -0.536 -1.0111
Thriving Communities 945 31.9 -0.854 50.16% -0.132 0.0931
Thriving Crops 57 26.3 -13.703 40.35% -0.573 -0.7976
Unnatural Proliferation 921 30.74 -2.271 42.35% -0.695 -0.5732
Untended Land Crumbles 890 30.17 -1.048 44.72% -0.175 0.0575

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3813 59.65% 35.55 -1.758 57.75% -0.514 0.404
B 3850 58.94% 36.11 -0.842 58.94% -0.23 0.6115
C 4177 56.48% 36.66 -0.155 59.71% -0.105 0.5785
D 3649 57.94% 35.35 0.329 57.3% -0.104 0.738
E 3919 57.22% 36.34 -0.21 59.33% -0.122 0.5295
F 3366 60.85% 36.23 2.328 58.7% 0.102 0.8617
G 2832 59.58% 35.83 -0.586 58.09% -0.201 0.557
H 3037 59.12% 36.82 2.398 59.43% 0.261 0.9798
East 711 61.74% 34.77 -2.282 43.6% -0.539 0.2746
Northeast 298 61.74% 34.55 -0.652 41.95% -0.252 0.4156
Northwest 255 58.04% 33.56 1.516 43.92% 0.135 0.9393
Southeast 266 61.28% 34.52 -1.819 45.49% -0.191 0.515
Southwest 210 63.81% 33.75 -1.874 48.57% -0.27 1.1201
West 626 63.26% 33.36 -1.315 44.09% -0.303 0.4909

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 28 0.0% 57.43 -0.798 75.0% -0.41 0.309
Not Using Events or Tokens 5 100.0% 20.8 0.0 20.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 354 15.34% 60.51 9.129 87.01% 1.19 0.459
Start of Game Growth 487 22.03% 55.74 3.462 83.98% 0.341 -0.1049
Unlimited Undo 1630 48.04% 40.63 1.444 65.15% 0.197 0.1636
Using Tokens but Not Events 987 58.08% 32.39 -2.441 51.67% -0.577 -0.7393

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4221 14.25 0.28%
II 7281 30.3 46.24%
III 6019 34.84 85.0%
IV 3402 38.61 99.56%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.187 Win Model: 0.019
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 14542 57.84% 35.1 55.52%
2 4344 62.81% 35.99 58.79%
3 1428 57.11% 36.5 59.38%
4 473 59.31% 42.07 69.77%
5 46 47.5% 34.48 50.0%
6 90 37.5% 38.37 60.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 11
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5036
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3274
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3363
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2464
Lose: Invader deck ran out 4
Lose: Adversary condition 2391
Win: Sacrifice victory 84
Lose: Scenario condition 117
Win: Scenario condition 114
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3862
Lose: Spirit destroyed 203

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 555 58.55% 39.77 3.354 58.56% 0.674 0.5668
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 35 45.71% 43.46 3.591 65.71% 0.416 -0.0726
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 356 73.16% 35.78 6.073 49.16% 0.344 0.4871
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 116 48.28% 39.56 0.275 59.48% -0.084 -0.832
Dances Up Earthquakes 29 82.76% 27.76 -1.088 24.14% -0.257 -0.4333
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 511 64.12% 40.42 -1.525 60.67% -0.005 -0.2117
Downpour Drenches the World 273 56.62% 30.52 -3.253 42.49% -0.483 -0.1628
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 523 41.49% 35.27 6.769 54.68% 1.216 0.7753
Eyes Watch From the Trees 786 51.97% 43.85 5.276 65.39% 0.665 0.3219
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 330 55.76% 41.56 -8.252 57.88% -0.723 -1.0768
Finder of Paths Unseen 120 46.67% 24.88 -4.145 33.33% -0.306 0.4782
Fractured Days Split the Sky 386 59.74% 37.8 -2.998 47.67% -0.199 0.2491
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 420 57.86% 39.6 1.908 57.38% 0.274 0.2508
Heart of the Wildfire 586 71.97% 34.31 -4.647 49.66% -0.507 -0.1799
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2070 47.68% 45.2 6.326 72.27% 1.231 0.7361
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 135 43.7% 35.56 5.163 53.33% 0.662 0.0989
Lightning's Swift Strike 212 71.84% 38.11 -5.137 50.94% -0.43 -0.2313
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 226 54.22% 50.85 10.706 69.03% 1.148 0.7002
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 204 58.62% 41.68 -1.051 61.27% 0.325 0.0056
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 170 50.59% 38.94 -0.782 57.06% -0.018 0.1065
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2938 44.73% 48.89 4.268 77.74% 0.896 0.74
Many Minds Move as One 1222 48.36% 47.56 3.662 75.12% 0.676 0.4689
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 732 65.88% 36.84 -4.313 50.96% -0.331 -0.2019
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 20 60.0% 17.2 -6.849 20.0% -0.815 -0.7101
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 536 67.42% 37.81 -1.726 54.48% -0.192 -0.2414
River Surges in Sunlight 566 67.92% 39.43 -6.938 53.18% -1.243 -1.2102
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 43 51.16% 25.33 -5.597 34.88% -0.361 -0.1524
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 210 66.67% 34.48 -0.988 40.95% -0.452 -0.3011
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 167 53.29% 38.74 -1.48 50.3% -0.026 -0.0169
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 608 61.02% 38.04 4.442 53.45% 1.001 0.902
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 2 50.0% 65.0 15.428 100.0% 0.843 0.352
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 143 76.06% 36.38 0.0 46.85%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 37 59.46% 42.3 6.911 62.16% 0.331 0.2881
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 164 56.1% 42.15 3.596 65.24% 0.614 0.1657
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 48 56.25% 32.98 2.303 41.67% 0.247 0.3056
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 162 70.37% 36.43 -6.193 48.77% -0.419 -0.6098
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 130 76.15% 37.22 -2.014 49.23% -0.288 -0.2042
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1529 41.79% 50.45 3.922 78.61% 0.53 0.4322
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 219 44.29% 36.46 0.104 53.88% -0.053 -0.2473
Shifting Memory of Ages 327 66.97% 37.75 -3.95 54.74% -0.201 0.1886
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 38 55.26% 33.39 -3.442 50.0% -0.439 -0.4902
Shroud of Silent Mist 333 70.77% 35.08 -5.257 48.05% -0.657 -0.2426
Starlight Seeks its Form 727 56.26% 38.14 0.139 57.63% 0.185 0.1449
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 984 54.38% 38.85 -1.174 56.4% -0.193 -0.6957
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 886 57.79% 41.39 -2.477 63.09% -0.36 -0.2769
Thunderspeaker 421 67.38% 38.53 -2.204 52.97% -0.292 -0.298
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 71 50.7% 24.92 -5.849 30.99% -0.252 0.1362
Towering Roots of the Jungle 181 51.38% 38.65 -0.747 59.67% 0.038 0.2486
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 708 81.64% 37.35 -3.847 55.37% -0.704 -0.6267
Vital Strength of the Earth 222 75.45% 30.18 -6.093 34.68% -0.444 0.0049
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 89 62.5% 30.24 -8.064 41.57% -0.826 -0.3311
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 156 71.15% 33.51 -4.884 46.79% -0.248 0.4443
Volcano Looming High 721 66.11% 36.09 -3.898 52.29% -0.489 -0.4243
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 187 57.22% 31.39 -1.039 46.52% -0.089 -0.338

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 55.56% 19.22 0.0 22.22%
Blitz 0 101 65.35% 22.74 -9.914 21.78% -0.723 -0.3004
Dahan Insurrection 4 80 38.75% 62.15 0.0 60.0%
Despicable Theft 2 41 56.1% 29.2 -15.858 31.71% -0.392 0.1507
Elemental Invocation 1 64 50.0% 35.95 1.928 53.13% 0.033 0.7703
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 774 26.36% 51.72 8.502 72.87% 0.525 -0.1319
Powers Long Forgotten 1 38 55.26% 23.32 0.0 21.05%
Rituals of Terror 3 61 54.1% 28.0 -11.471 27.87% -0.774 -0.9158
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 27 62.96% 25.67 0.0 18.52%
Second Wave 0 215 60.09% 46.06 -3.3 60.47% -0.424 -0.3294
The Great River 3 40 45.0% 18.57 -10.025 12.5% -0.954 0.2916
Varied Terrains 2 30 50.0% 20.7 0.335 23.33% 0.017 0.8847
Ward the Shores 2 37 59.46% 23.03 -0.213 21.62% -0.122 0.7324

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10823 55.64% 40.14 -1.282 59.56% -0.34 0.0329
1 Thematic 420 54.07% 33.62 0.131 40.48% -0.321 0.3937
2 Archipelago 5 40.0% 70.8 0.0 100.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2206 62.15% 40.32 2.482 60.79% 0.184 0.3455
2 Coastline 265 63.02% 40.51 -1.905 61.89% -0.675 -0.8684
2 Fragment 32 71.88% 44.38 0.0 68.75%
2 Heart 36 80.56% 43.03 10.245 55.56% 0.789 0.5768
2 Opposite Shores 522 46.55% 45.09 0.225 72.61% 0.09 0.2221
2 Thematic 121 70.25% 39.12 -9.041 48.76% -0.453 0.2676
2 Top to Top 127 41.73% 44.98 12.096 72.44% 0.643 0.5584
3 Archipelago 7 85.71% 42.86 0.0 57.14%
3 Coastline 14 42.86% 56.0 0.0 85.71%
3 Other 19 47.37% 44.95 19.513 73.68% 0.661 -0.2149
3 Round (Default) 1026 58.59% 41.45 -0.909 64.33% 0.026 0.0032
3 Sunrise 6 66.67% 31.67 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 50 66.0% 31.04 -10.754 38.0% -0.232 -0.2244
4 Coastline 10 30.0% 47.4 0.0 70.0%
4 Leaf 6 100.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 12 75.0% 52.67 0.0 91.67%
4 Thematic 79 49.37% 53.19 -21.465 73.42% -0.528 -0.4649
4 Trapezoid (Default) 287 59.27% 46.27 -0.777 70.38% 0.272 0.277
5 Other 33 58.06% 36.21 -13.844 51.52% -0.184 -0.5077
5 Thematic 11 9.09% 30.82 0.0 27.27%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 4 25.0% 56.75 0.0 75.0%
6 Star 7 57.14% 43.29 0.0 57.14%
6 Thematic 42 2.38% 62.17 7.486 69.05% 0.452 0.6563
6 Two Centers (Default) 44 29.55% 43.45 -4.493 63.64% -0.33 0.1447
7 Other 3 33.33% 10.0 -15.883 0.0% -0.288 -0.9636

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 656 35.06 -3.612 45.43% -1.184 -1.1125
Aid From Lesser Spirits 493 37.47 2.201 49.49% -0.229 -0.3391
All Things Weaken 665 35.11 -1.162 46.92% -0.452 -0.275
Attenuated Essence 119 29.18 -2.704 36.13% -0.438 -0.3865
Back Against the Wall 491 36.12 3.269 47.05% 0.152 0.1367
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 110 30.24 4.519 40.0% 0.433 0.6172
Burn Brightest Before the End 84 36.62 -6.301 46.43% -1.286 -1.1996
Disintegrating Ecosystem 599 30.19 0.108 37.06% -0.095 0.1963
Downward Spiral 631 34.23 -3.327 48.97% -0.641 -0.5347
Erosion of Will 621 34.96 -1.053 46.38% -0.631 -0.4647
Intensifying Exploitation 129 30.25 0.929 43.41% 0.02 0.2079
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 200 48.78 2.807 81.5% 0.065 -0.3633
Memory Fades to Dust 685 34.57 0.251 47.01% -0.105 0.1294
Power Corrodes the Spirit 692 34.87 -1.74 48.7% -0.512 -0.4159
Promising Farmlands 590 32.9 -0.821 44.92% -0.292 0.0727
Shattered Fragments of Power 78 32.42 2.896 41.03% 0.135 0.2007
Slow Dissolution of Will 110 32.23 -4.122 43.64% -0.496 -0.033
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 119 46.5 3.916 77.31% 0.052 -0.5496
The Border of Life and Death 23 26.52 -9.198 43.48% -0.563 -1.0385
Thriving Communities 661 35.47 0.601 50.68% 0.045 0.2704
Thriving Crops 46 34.85 13.821 58.7% 1.175 0.9507
Unnatural Proliferation 696 35.68 1.908 46.98% 0.179 0.3007
Untended Land Crumbles 637 33.83 -2.754 45.05% -0.699 -0.467

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2774 58.09% 40.69 -1.274 61.1% -0.136 0.782
B 3201 55.46% 42.21 0.341 64.67% -0.041 0.8005
C 3239 56.01% 41.23 -1.582 61.9% -0.359 0.3244
D 2780 56.49% 39.61 -0.114 59.24% -0.14 0.7019
E 3103 54.24% 42.54 0.445 64.78% -0.055 0.5969
F 2604 59.6% 39.96 -0.371 59.91% 0.08 0.8398
G 2211 59.75% 40.32 2.362 60.47% 0.403 1.1605
H 2366 56.92% 41.32 2.074 62.05% 0.207 0.9251
East 460 53.04% 41.67 -0.503 50.0% -0.205 0.6087
Northeast 246 52.03% 43.26 2.22 50.81% -0.096 0.5716
Northwest 232 46.96% 42.18 -3.602 50.43% -0.396 0.4088
Southeast 196 43.37% 46.82 6.19 59.18% 0.645 1.3507
Southwest 191 40.31% 41.38 -2.496 52.36% -0.445 0.9448
West 456 49.56% 38.05 -4.441 47.15% -0.822 -0.0289

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 28 0.0% 59.36 -6.169 71.43% -1.277 -0.5586
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 33.33% 19.0 0.0 0.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 222 20.2% 58.05 9.89 83.33% 0.611 -0.1201
Start of Game Growth 533 27.04% 54.65 2.686 80.3% 0.379 -0.0668
Unlimited Undo 1581 53.59% 43.86 -1.77 67.36% -0.231 -0.2646
Using Tokens but Not Events 677 52.7% 42.49 0.952 63.81% -0.069 -0.2312

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2644 14.25 0.53%
II 5910 30.3 50.29%
III 5596 34.84 84.36%
IV 2076 38.61 99.76%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.363 Win Model: -0.069
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11291 55.61% 39.87 58.81%
2 3291 59.47% 41.41 63.02%
3 1114 58.9% 41.26 63.64%
4 396 56.14% 47.55 69.95%
5 33 50.0% 30.21 42.42%
6 101 19.8% 50.33 63.37%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 14
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4662
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2913
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2060
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1814
Lose: Invader deck ran out 6
Lose: Adversary condition 1390
Win: Sacrifice victory 73
Lose: Scenario condition 78
Win: Scenario condition 56
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2984
Lose: Spirit destroyed 176

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 353 73.58% 37.02 -5.461 35.13% -0.785 -0.8918
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 29 58.62% 28.03 5.856 27.59% 0.596 0.1074
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 190 81.58% 28.9 0.0 16.32%
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 76 64.47% 32.92 -3.002 31.58% -0.174 -0.9227
Dances Up Earthquakes 1 100.0% 69.0 22.346 100.0% 0.72 0.5432
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 284 75.0% 32.38 -2.765 28.17% -0.37 -0.5772
Downpour Drenches the World 170 57.06% 30.62 -4.126 30.59% -0.658 -0.3374
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 315 64.76% 33.08 -1.375 35.56% -0.229 -0.6694
Eyes Watch From the Trees 601 67.67% 39.8 -4.778 39.27% -1.044 -1.3875
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 159 82.91% 29.05 -11.889 17.61% -0.137 -0.491
Finder of Paths Unseen 111 65.77% 30.86 8.567 29.73% 1.138 1.9227
Fractured Days Split the Sky 197 59.69% 40.51 0.0 37.56%
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 210 78.57% 34.81 2.089 28.57% 0.326 0.3021
Heart of the Wildfire 369 81.03% 31.69 -10.239 26.56% -1.215 -0.8884
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1623 53.76% 45.41 4.25 56.01% 0.919 0.424
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 65 55.38% 38.69 5.124 43.08% 0.585 0.0218
Lightning's Swift Strike 132 83.33% 34.27 0.072 27.27% 0.173 0.3711
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 93 66.67% 37.16 -1.102 40.86% 0.386 -0.0624
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 120 74.17% 38.23 0.0 39.17%
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 64 62.5% 36.28 -5.579 37.5% -0.345 -0.2199
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2238 56.68% 46.08 2.161 57.02% 0.705 0.5494
Many Minds Move as One 728 73.9% 40.55 -0.47 42.72% 0.216 0.009
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 389 76.09% 32.64 -3.333 26.74% -1.095 -0.9654
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 19 68.42% 20.89 -2.768 10.53% -0.726 -0.6212
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 282 82.27% 33.26 -2.228 26.6% -0.666 -0.7151
River Surges in Sunlight 300 77.26% 40.04 -12.285 36.67% -0.505 -0.4723
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 25 60.0% 31.44 -2.428 20.0% -0.185 0.0227
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 97 81.44% 29.95 0.775 20.62% 0.07 0.2213
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 138 73.19% 39.12 3.521 40.58% 0.322 0.3313
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 332 74.1% 35.6 3.003 29.82% 0.433 0.3343
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 2 100.0% 33.5 3.358 50.0% 0.56 0.0688
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 83 83.13% 24.63 -8.908 9.64% -0.087 0.4247
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 14 71.43% 43.0 0.0 50.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 145 63.45% 41.04 6.898 48.97% 0.78 0.3313
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 21 66.67% 31.19 0.0 23.81%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 79 87.34% 31.82 0.0 18.99%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 68 92.65% 31.85 0.0 20.59%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 740 69.15% 46.23 0.147 51.62% 0.086 -0.0118
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 119 57.14% 25.38 0.199 27.73% -0.278 -0.4723
Shifting Memory of Ages 136 77.21% 35.85 0.634 30.88% -0.315 0.0751
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 13 69.23% 47.85 15.264 61.54% 0.831 0.7798
Shroud of Silent Mist 167 86.83% 26.8 -4.169 14.97% 0.094 0.5081
Starlight Seeks its Form 500 74.0% 36.82 1.092 35.2% 0.056 0.0155
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 600 68.0% 34.57 -5.283 34.67% -0.516 -1.019
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 552 72.83% 42.6 -0.461 45.11% -0.281 -0.1978
Thunderspeaker 253 80.88% 35.56 16.464 25.3% 0.86 0.8547
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 23 47.83% 13.7 -2.679 4.35% -0.307 0.0816
Towering Roots of the Jungle 112 56.25% 29.96 -4.576 33.93% -0.318 -0.1077
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 446 91.03% 34.65 7.476 30.72% 0.783 0.8606
Vital Strength of the Earth 95 79.79% 33.85 -3.514 28.42% -0.267 0.1821
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 60 70.0% 29.07 -1.155 21.67% -0.51 -0.0158
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 109 85.32% 30.87 -1.808 18.35% 0.248 0.9404
Volcano Looming High 303 72.61% 35.88 -1.294 36.3% 0.222 0.2865
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 87 57.47% 33.21 0.995 33.33% -0.154 -0.4033

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 33.33% 17.0 0.0 16.67%
Blitz 0 46 60.87% 25.78 -11.777 19.57% -0.468 -0.0448
Dahan Insurrection 4 93 48.39% 44.8 -3.52 25.81% -0.052 -0.5339
Despicable Theft 2 21 61.9% 35.9 7.311 28.57% -0.092 0.4503
Elemental Invocation 1 55 69.09% 19.58 -3.253 7.27% -0.405 0.3329
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 627 31.58% 55.29 8.639 65.07% 0.993 0.3369
Powers Long Forgotten 1 32 78.13% 20.63 0.0 3.13%
Rituals of Terror 3 16 87.5% 31.94 0.0 12.5%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 5 60.0% 45.2 0.0 40.0%
Second Wave 0 115 73.91% 39.7 -4.291 33.91% -0.028 0.0669
The Great River 3 6 66.67% 30.83 0.0 16.67%
Varied Terrains 2 3 33.33% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 19 78.95% 33.21 0.0 21.05%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7284 64.04% 40.81 0.469 44.85% 0.238 0.6108
1 Thematic 384 67.19% 34.76 -3.572 26.56% -0.642 0.0725
2 Archipelago 27 40.74% 28.44 -4.277 14.81% -0.026 0.4975
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1276 79.47% 36.41 3.243 33.31% 0.194 0.355
2 Coastline 144 65.97% 46.48 -3.69 53.47% -0.074 -0.2669
2 Fragment 35 94.29% 35.66 15.21 28.57% 0.558 0.5101
2 Heart 22 81.82% 36.41 0.0 40.91%
2 Opposite Shores 260 63.85% 33.06 2.427 32.69% 0.72 0.8525
2 Thematic 61 68.85% 33.38 8.227 18.03% 0.38 1.1
2 Top to Top 98 42.86% 29.45 0.0 34.69%
3 Archipelago 5 40.0% 22.8 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 57.75 0.0 62.5%
3 Other 21 90.48% 43.24 -6.613 33.33% -0.527 -1.403
3 Round (Default) 544 74.08% 37.54 -3.042 40.07% -0.52 -0.5429
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 23.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 17 70.59% 29.18 -4.356 23.53% -0.136 -0.1287
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 28.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 74.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 6 66.67% 38.5 0.0 33.33%
4 Thematic 39 79.49% 38.74 0.0 28.21%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 182 82.22% 38.24 -2.632 38.46% -0.353 -0.3482
5 Other 20 55.0% 39.1 -9.159 45.0% -0.164 -0.4876
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 72.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 1 0.0% 72.0 12.63 100.0% 0.335 0.2907
6 Star 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Thematic 10 40.0% 4.9 0.0 0.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 15 46.67% 41.47 0.0 26.67%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 507 35.34 1.128 28.01% 0.232 0.3029
Aid From Lesser Spirits 362 40.61 4.97 38.4% 0.129 0.0191
All Things Weaken 506 34.95 0.539 28.46% -0.139 0.0377
Attenuated Essence 90 31.8 -2.053 28.89% -0.408 -0.3558
Back Against the Wall 359 34.96 -2.442 27.02% -0.982 -0.998
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 108 28.56 0.176 23.15% -0.501 -0.3173
Burn Brightest Before the End 67 28.94 -7.032 22.39% -0.553 -0.4656
Disintegrating Ecosystem 457 29.82 -5.264 20.79% -1.052 -0.7606
Downward Spiral 516 35.08 -1.763 33.91% -0.392 -0.2862
Erosion of Will 484 33.87 6.179 26.65% 0.474 0.64
Intensifying Exploitation 89 30.04 -2.135 24.72% -0.568 -0.3799
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 116 47.95 -0.823 62.93% 0.035 -0.3933
Memory Fades to Dust 518 33.57 2.638 27.99% 0.398 0.6326
Power Corrodes the Spirit 460 34.18 -3.935 28.48% -0.542 -0.4463
Promising Farmlands 474 31.45 -2.078 24.47% -0.655 -0.2905
Shattered Fragments of Power 62 32.61 2.442 22.58% -0.24 -0.1741
Slow Dissolution of Will 75 27.76 -1.176 22.67% -0.447 0.0159
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 77 47.27 -10.619 64.94% -0.519 -1.12
The Border of Life and Death 11 28.45 2.641 36.36% 0.372 -0.1038
Thriving Communities 543 35.67 4.875 33.15% 0.684 0.91
Thriving Crops 28 32.79 0.826 35.71% -0.302 -0.5268
Unnatural Proliferation 558 35.23 -0.938 27.6% -0.758 -0.6358
Untended Land Crumbles 526 33.42 1.719 26.43% -0.035 0.1973

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1765 71.49% 38.77 -0.277 39.94% -0.386 0.5319
B 1951 68.31% 37.69 0.856 39.26% 0.065 0.9059
C 2061 65.39% 38.92 0.015 41.82% -0.0 0.6826
D 1638 68.56% 37.03 -0.428 37.12% -0.113 0.7292
E 2125 65.96% 42.88 0.103 47.67% -0.181 0.4702
F 1504 68.8% 37.62 -0.375 38.96% 0.056 0.8155
G 1278 72.73% 38.4 3.477 39.12% 0.511 1.2687
H 1433 71.3% 39.39 -2.532 40.2% -0.328 0.3902
East 311 66.88% 37.49 0.243 28.94% -0.001 0.8121
Northeast 150 71.33% 35.77 -4.482 26.0% -0.305 0.3621
Northwest 139 64.75% 29.6 -4.0 20.86% -0.448 0.3569
Southeast 107 57.94% 35.05 11.189 31.78% 0.652 1.3576
Southwest 90 64.44% 27.07 0.0 17.78%
West 285 68.07% 30.38 -3.097 20.35% -0.189 0.6049

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 5 0.0% 38.6 0.0 40.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 238 14.83% 70.63 16.183 88.66% 1.643 0.9125
Start of Game Growth 469 28.27% 65.34 9.818 82.94% 0.722 0.2761
Unlimited Undo 1016 65.18% 42.54 -0.056 49.02% 0.204 0.1707
Using Tokens but Not Events 477 53.6% 46.03 -1.465 55.97% -0.362 -0.5248

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1760 14.25 2.27%
II 5576 30.3 35.28%
III 2361 34.84 66.84%
IV 775 38.61 99.74%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.072 Win Model: -0.06
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7716 64.05% 40.46 43.82%
2 1895 74.78% 36.26 34.2%
3 583 74.27% 37.3 38.94%
4 233 79.22% 38.88 38.63%
5 20 55.0% 30.95 30.0%
6 25 36.0% 31.92 24.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 40
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1549
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1928
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 768
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1383
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3
Lose: Adversary condition 1198
Win: Sacrifice victory 45
Lose: Scenario condition 77
Win: Scenario condition 28
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3339
Lose: Spirit destroyed 114

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2292 62.61% 46.11 -4.722 34.25% -0.568 -0.6753
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 332 46.99% 29.49 -2.687 23.8% -0.402 -0.8908
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 955 80.92% 42.52 2.477 22.3% 0.122 0.2648
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 736 71.88% 34.28 -2.187 29.89% 0.255 -0.493
Dances Up Earthquakes 86 53.49% 52.65 10.458 55.81% 1.568 1.3915
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1162 84.79% 29.8 -7.001 13.17% -0.82 -1.0276
Downpour Drenches the World 1184 60.22% 26.94 -5.754 17.99% -0.332 -0.0119
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1332 73.8% 26.1 -3.625 18.39% -0.458 -0.8981
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2621 65.06% 52.3 -1.247 37.81% -0.492 -0.8352
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 621 83.52% 34.46 -4.173 20.45% -0.61 -0.964
Finder of Paths Unseen 539 58.55% 28.42 -3.876 20.78% -0.959 -0.1749
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3215 47.99% 55.05 12.95 44.76% 0.841 1.2894
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1012 83.88% 34.02 -4.02 21.54% -0.53 -0.5532
Heart of the Wildfire 1573 83.18% 27.86 -4.461 12.52% -0.58 -0.2533
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 14827 56.38% 56.56 5.441 63.22% 1.408 0.9127
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 522 56.81% 29.02 2.345 25.29% 0.872 0.3092
Lightning's Swift Strike 604 80.57% 34.35 3.122 20.7% 0.381 0.5798
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1085 71.43% 40.42 0.22 33.0% 0.511 0.0629
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 540 84.97% 38.92 -3.983 27.96% -0.023 -0.3421
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 625 61.44% 48.72 -6.576 45.28% -1.07 -0.945
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 10358 69.15% 46.47 2.835 44.14% 0.97 0.8139
Many Minds Move as One 2772 71.16% 47.62 0.044 36.54% -0.148 -0.3543
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1900 77.16% 32.29 -5.739 18.42% -1.202 -1.0731
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 130 70.0% 22.38 -4.877 13.08% -0.621 -0.5164
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 866 82.58% 35.96 2.549 23.9% 0.723 0.6732
River Surges in Sunlight 1846 81.48% 55.24 7.723 36.29% 0.781 0.8137
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 295 60.34% 32.41 1.282 20.0% 0.282 0.4906
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 474 62.79% 40.14 -7.622 24.47% -0.176 -0.0248
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 849 69.14% 45.09 -1.961 31.21% -0.078 -0.0683
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3045 62.99% 47.22 2.349 41.38% 0.774 0.675
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 14 57.14% 35.5 4.109 35.71% 1.062 0.5706
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 417 86.02% 36.21 1.765 18.23% 0.402 0.9135
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 80 77.5% 32.46 -0.847 16.25% -0.203 -0.2463
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 782 69.82% 31.22 -1.109 24.55% 0.114 -0.3345
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 98 78.57% 33.92 -18.497 25.51% -0.679 -0.6209
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 333 83.18% 34.89 -11.062 18.92% -0.047 -0.2372
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 263 78.71% 37.95 -7.26 27.0% -0.083 0.0006
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2316 73.81% 45.99 0.878 40.03% 0.648 0.5506
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 658 64.74% 32.22 -0.444 28.72% 0.582 0.3875
Shifting Memory of Ages 2048 56.23% 34.86 -2.505 21.09% -0.433 -0.0438
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 264 48.11% 36.3 0.967 36.36% 0.785 0.7332
Shroud of Silent Mist 717 80.95% 30.9 -2.716 15.62% 0.138 0.5527
Starlight Seeks its Form 3911 64.53% 41.45 -5.161 40.02% -0.075 -0.1147
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5549 59.04% 46.98 6.311 37.99% 0.769 0.2668
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2352 80.09% 44.01 -1.151 37.71% 0.217 0.2999
Thunderspeaker 1113 78.49% 41.36 -4.42 23.9% -0.912 -0.9172
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 122 73.55% 20.71 -2.703 13.11% -0.13 0.2588
Towering Roots of the Jungle 697 58.82% 22.08 -4.102 18.36% -0.357 -0.1468
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2362 89.88% 34.34 -4.365 22.86% -0.278 -0.2005
Vital Strength of the Earth 353 77.62% 32.93 -2.966 15.86% -0.041 0.4082
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 295 56.95% 29.52 -6.907 21.02% -0.261 0.2334
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 397 79.55% 31.42 -5.474 16.12% -0.806 -0.1127
Volcano Looming High 2302 77.29% 38.2 -3.314 30.32% -0.311 -0.2471
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 631 63.55% 23.42 -4.683 14.9% -0.416 -0.6654

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 355 58.97% 44.06 7.286 34.93% 0.05 0.4726
Dahan Insurrection 4 2789 31.43% 65.33 19.256 49.12% 2.395 1.9125
Despicable Theft 2 13 50.0% 35.77 0.0 23.08%
Elemental Invocation 1 148 82.43% 32.07 -3.038 11.49% -0.871 -0.1328
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2908 44.92% 48.68 0.218 42.06% -0.086 -0.742
Powers Long Forgotten 1 16 50.0% 17.31 0.0 6.25%
Rituals of Terror 3 1062 47.79% 114.1 27.661 65.25% 2.632 2.49
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 51 39.22% 22.0 -23.0 7.84% -0.481 0.2677
Second Wave 0 140 69.29% 47.9 -12.223 40.71% -0.666 -0.5718
The Great River 3 55 65.45% 31.04 -11.294 7.27% -0.204 1.0409
Varied Terrains 2 26 50.0% 54.12 9.226 42.31% 0.663 1.5312
Ward the Shores 2 44 81.82% 37.39 0.0 18.18%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 54087 68.32% 44.15 0.848 40.53% 0.207 0.5804
1 Thematic 1131 71.0% 41.27 -2.673 26.88% 0.006 0.72
2 Archipelago 141 41.84% 61.39 -20.395 36.88% -1.532 -1.0082
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4291 77.32% 38.62 -2.974 30.46% -0.52 -0.3588
2 Coastline 951 68.63% 36.4 2.149 27.97% 0.4 0.207
2 Fragment 114 80.7% 43.12 15.086 38.6% 1.007 0.9592
2 Heart 162 73.46% 43.99 -2.82 25.31% -0.197 -0.4093
2 Opposite Shores 1812 63.8% 33.45 -2.296 18.16% -0.45 -0.3173
2 Thematic 785 68.49% 86.04 5.308 45.86% -0.535 0.1857
2 Top to Top 282 62.41% 32.49 -3.384 26.24% 0.193 0.1088
3 Archipelago 66 74.24% 96.0 -4.587 54.55% -0.792 -1.3359
3 Coastline 24 70.83% 33.71 9.733 29.17% 0.564 -0.0662
3 Other 65 69.23% 48.34 0.819 43.08% 0.337 -0.5393
3 Round (Default) 2046 71.41% 39.14 -2.871 32.31% -0.924 -0.9475
3 Thematic 393 17.86% 104.63 15.618 64.12% -0.035 -0.0278
4 Archipelago 4 100.0% 137.25 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 11 54.55% 38.27 17.197 36.36% 0.787 0.9163
4 Leaf 7 71.43% 21.71 0.0 14.29%
4 Other 50 76.0% 41.46 2.309 22.0% 0.411 -0.157
4 Thematic 358 31.56% 80.52 5.192 60.89% 0.605 0.6685
4 Trapezoid (Default) 982 63.39% 39.27 2.668 31.47% 0.169 0.174
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 30.5 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 81.0 21.673 100.0% 0.528 -0.4933
5 Other 76 53.42% 40.5 -6.116 28.95% -0.362 -0.6859
5 Thematic 39 51.28% 58.51 0.0 28.21%
6 Archipelago 9 25.0% 79.56 -16.427 66.67% -0.08 -1.1177
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 71 46.48% 48.59 -15.316 54.93% -0.8 -0.8449
6 Star 17 41.18% 42.82 -9.163 41.18% -0.31 0.3224
6 Thematic 72 45.07% 20.04 -8.011 9.72% -0.665 -0.4607
6 Two Centers (Default) 236 24.15% 50.8 5.375 46.61% 0.55 1.0245
7 Archipelago 5 75.0% 98.4 0.0 60.0%
7 Other 2 100.0% 30.5 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3260 40.77 2.692 29.02% -0.003 0.0683
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2349 45.08 0.422 35.29% -0.172 -0.2814
All Things Weaken 3483 40.52 2.344 28.14% 0.389 0.5658
Attenuated Essence 706 32.28 2.343 22.24% 0.097 0.1485
Back Against the Wall 2281 43.58 2.735 32.05% 0.126 0.1107
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 724 33.88 3.161 24.59% 0.215 0.3989
Burn Brightest Before the End 462 37.77 4.848 26.41% 0.258 0.3447
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3065 34.92 -0.24 20.65% -0.201 0.0905
Downward Spiral 3294 41.88 0.808 33.15% -0.112 -0.0057
Erosion of Will 3220 38.65 2.514 24.97% 0.233 0.3986
Intensifying Exploitation 723 33.02 -1.082 24.76% -0.192 -0.0038
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 711 59.86 6.597 67.09% 1.025 0.5973
Memory Fades to Dust 3395 41.0 2.889 30.57% 0.37 0.6051
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3303 39.55 0.249 28.04% -0.071 0.0246
Promising Farmlands 3141 38.45 -1.916 27.32% -0.673 -0.3092
Shattered Fragments of Power 449 34.93 5.109 22.72% 0.344 0.4099
Slow Dissolution of Will 755 31.59 -0.917 19.34% -0.942 -0.4789
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 447 63.27 -0.947 71.36% -0.205 -0.8061
The Border of Life and Death 123 36.11 9.069 41.46% 1.005 0.5292
Thriving Communities 3371 40.04 -0.245 29.4% -0.134 0.092
Thriving Crops 195 33.37 3.602 34.87% 0.777 0.5527
Unnatural Proliferation 3544 40.63 0.727 26.86% -0.362 -0.2406
Untended Land Crumbles 3495 39.62 1.722 28.96% 0.115 0.3475

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11184 69.96% 38.75 -0.942 31.35% -0.132 0.7864
B 11220 71.17% 41.09 -0.197 35.22% -0.205 0.6363
C 12840 67.77% 43.97 1.805 37.56% -0.262 0.4213
D 9280 68.8% 39.61 -1.285 32.59% -0.288 0.554
E 12216 68.43% 44.2 -0.931 40.24% -0.198 0.4533
F 9028 68.57% 40.89 -3.072 35.49% -0.474 0.2855
G 7254 70.16% 42.21 -0.259 36.52% -0.236 0.522
H 9782 60.19% 47.96 -0.356 46.19% -0.184 0.5346
East 2006 50.72% 77.3 9.72 47.21% 0.338 1.1511
Northeast 1135 40.34% 81.87 7.667 51.19% 0.148 0.815
Northwest 723 50.55% 66.31 -6.41 40.66% -1.308 -0.5032
Southeast 483 52.7% 46.72 -8.817 30.02% -1.09 -0.3848
Southwest 485 57.02% 38.36 -7.738 25.77% -0.588 0.8021
West 1907 50.95% 74.79 8.773 45.94% -0.234 0.5592

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 48 0.0% 57.77 7.967 58.33% 0.428 1.1472
Not Using Events or Tokens 11 72.73% 118.18 0.0 63.64%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1789 31.34% 63.02 3.785 63.95% -0.169 -0.9001
Start of Game Growth 2948 33.98% 61.69 5.242 66.01% 0.985 0.5389
Unlimited Undo 6381 57.9% 51.62 -0.531 54.96% 0.236 0.203
Using Tokens but Not Events 3235 58.11% 46.97 1.043 37.71% -0.09 -0.2528

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 20167 14.25 0.72%
II 29938 30.3 37.05%
III 12639 34.84 76.34%
IV 5590 38.61 99.87%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.003 Win Model: 0.104
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 56917 67.86% 44.48 39.96%
2 7296 73.83% 42.2 30.85%
3 2350 67.53% 44.35 34.6%
4 1309 58.93% 44.04 35.68%
5 95 44.57% 36.15 25.26%
6 367 30.96% 47.55 45.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 127
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9488
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9547
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5107
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 10922
Lose: Invader deck ran out 62
Lose: Adversary condition 8177
Win: Sacrifice victory 823
Lose: Scenario condition 625
Win: Scenario condition 1376
Lose: Blight pool ran out 21228
Lose: Spirit destroyed 852

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)