The Tsardom of Russia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1150 23.08% 26.49 -0.861 80.78% -0.087 -0.2833
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 35 31.43% 28.74 3.348 82.86% 0.984 0.2698
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 682 43.24% 24.39 -1.915 78.15% -0.106 0.1625
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 106 24.53% 27.58 3.607 71.7% 0.905 0.3377
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1200 24.48% 27.15 0.977 84.08% 0.293 0.1623
Downpour Drenches the World 368 19.07% 24.13 -3.301 70.65% -0.571 -0.301
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 306 21.57% 24.92 0.202 72.55% 0.426 -0.006
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1305 15.95% 30.73 2.315 88.28% 0.671 0.2482
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1072 22.23% 28.47 1.735 86.19% 0.498 0.0529
Finder of Paths Unseen 177 29.38% 16.8 -2.163 45.2% -0.809 -0.152
Fractured Days Split the Sky 580 30.74% 25.03 -3.732 67.76% -0.618 0.1901
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 841 37.93% 24.89 -2.894 69.8% -0.773 -0.8903
Heart of the Wildfire 903 55.54% 22.84 -2.184 71.54% -0.251 0.036
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1744 25.88% 26.76 0.124 86.07% 0.391 -0.0021
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 86 18.6% 26.02 -1.212 73.26% -0.003 -0.4073
Lightning's Swift Strike 610 36.44% 25.72 -1.345 80.49% -0.088 0.1789
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 130 33.08% 25.55 -0.469 70.77% 0.28 -0.0713
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 346 26.38% 26.82 -7.41 81.5% -1.143 -1.5846
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 307 26.56% 29.13 1.615 79.15% 0.227 0.1846
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1930 27.74% 27.58 0.626 85.18% 0.238 -0.013
Many Minds Move as One 1479 20.42% 27.49 0.511 87.96% 0.365 0.1344
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1305 37.05% 26.29 0.689 75.86% -0.148 -0.2521
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1066 27.95% 26.73 1.93 82.18% 0.375 0.2194
River Surges in Sunlight 856 35.95% 28.73 1.976 80.37% -0.369 -0.2804
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 13 7.69% 21.08 -0.446 69.23% 0.02 -0.0914
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 499 38.28% 28.14 0.124 78.56% -0.067 0.3228
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 165 30.3% 24.81 -2.631 60.0% -0.473 -0.3353
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 925 26.05% 26.66 -0.761 80.65% -0.077 -0.2704
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 357 50.84% 24.35 -2.721 76.75% -0.185 0.3001
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 64 32.81% 24.09 -0.925 64.06% 0.298 0.3535
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 56 39.29% 29.86 5.014 80.36% 1.374 0.9058
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 68 32.35% 21.96 -3.516 64.71% -0.091 0.1248
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 312 32.37% 26.64 1.442 82.69% 0.551 0.5802
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 268 33.21% 26.21 2.366 82.09% 0.828 1.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1239 25.83% 26.99 0.367 84.83% 0.328 0.1755
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 128 20.31% 22.2 -0.465 61.72% 0.073 -0.1255
Shifting Memory of Ages 552 39.56% 21.33 -5.502 63.77% -0.863 -0.4141
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 28 25.0% 22.46 0.765 60.71% 0.083 -0.2213
Shroud of Silent Mist 701 44.08% 23.08 -1.431 72.04% -0.19 0.146
Starlight Seeks its Form 780 23.68% 26.79 -2.642 75.26% -0.352 -0.4073
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1349 25.52% 25.7 1.046 85.25% 0.328 -0.2953
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 940 29.03% 25.18 -1.625 77.45% -0.414 -0.2206
Thunderspeaker 939 27.51% 28.03 0.752 79.02% 0.195 0.141
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 117 30.77% 21.23 0.207 49.57% -0.03 0.1046
Towering Roots of the Jungle 70 31.43% 23.36 0.284 65.71% -0.149 -0.1396
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1139 61.95% 22.4 -2.727 78.31% -0.453 -0.37
Vital Strength of the Earth 603 30.12% 24.26 1.047 73.8% -0.048 0.546
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 125 24.0% 20.99 0.903 64.0% 0.239 0.6782
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 307 27.04% 20.53 -4.19 66.12% -1.09 -0.3991
Volcano Looming High 955 41.87% 22.85 -1.925 72.36% -0.275 -0.1714
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 141 25.53% 25.3 1.3 69.5% 0.184 -0.0685

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 12 16.67% 21.08 0.0 58.33%
Blitz 0 303 27.24% 20.11 -3.465 64.03% -0.757 -0.47
Dahan Insurrection 4 473 19.24% 44.7 5.96 78.65% -0.196 -0.3106
Despicable Theft 2 172 30.81% 23.01 -5.933 50.0% -1.521 -0.7823
Elemental Invocation 1 195 36.92% 23.63 -2.753 66.15% -0.738 0.0187
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 706 10.62% 30.28 2.598 80.74% 0.45 -0.1312
Powers Long Forgotten 1 222 40.09% 20.95 -5.36 54.05% -1.251 -0.3972
Rituals of Terror 3 222 35.32% 31.03 -1.536 64.86% -1.046 -1.2161
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 157 52.87% 30.11 -9.23 63.06% -2.022 -1.111
Second Wave 0 408 47.55% 31.52 3.603 70.1% -0.233 -0.1539
The Great River 3 190 41.05% 24.94 -5.569 51.58% -1.634 -0.27
Varied Terrains 2 127 35.43% 21.07 -5.864 44.88% -1.537 -0.6572
Ward the Shores 2 306 33.11% 25.81 -0.947 62.09% -0.771 0.2108

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12889 33.66% 25.6 0.239 80.12% -0.002 0.3417
1 Thematic 1908 38.9% 28.12 1.761 74.84% 0.355 0.8827
2 Archipelago 19 42.11% 30.95 12.817 63.16% 0.101 0.6001
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2875 30.53% 24.63 -1.503 77.98% -0.716 -0.4315
2 Coastline 344 29.36% 24.13 -0.044 76.74% 0.319 0.3484
2 Fragment 65 23.08% 24.35 -2.536 78.46% -0.126 -0.3634
2 Heart 34 50.0% 23.09 4.23 76.47% 0.587 0.439
2 Opposite Shores 441 23.92% 29.07 7.207 88.89% 1.623 1.6818
2 Thematic 450 33.56% 27.83 -2.008 70.22% -0.567 -0.1969
2 Top to Top 55 29.09% 26.44 6.039 81.82% 0.505 0.6278
3 Archipelago 10 60.0% 39.3 16.329 70.0% 0.303 -0.4945
3 Coastline 14 50.0% 31.5 0.0 64.29%
3 Other 40 40.0% 26.55 6.18 87.5% -0.173 -0.7104
3 Round (Default) 1272 28.7% 26.58 -0.947 83.57% -0.574 -0.6669
3 Sunrise 6 16.67% 27.5 10.251 83.33% 0.405 0.5557
3 Thematic 96 32.29% 25.42 0.679 59.38% -0.036 -0.5545
4 Archipelago 6 16.67% 38.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 7 71.43% 30.71 9.642 71.43% 0.272 -0.4888
4 Leaf 3 0.0% 30.67 4.841 100.0% 0.148 -0.0635
4 Other 16 43.75% 31.63 6.772 93.75% 0.265 0.273
4 Thematic 105 23.08% 34.8 -2.843 83.81% -0.316 -0.1832
4 Trapezoid (Default) 613 21.21% 23.11 -3.402 70.64% -1.585 -1.4777
5 Other 35 35.29% 28.77 0.0 71.43%
5 Thematic 4 0.0% 24.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 3 66.67% 44.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 19 26.32% 30.89 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 48 20.83% 26.5 -7.961 52.08% -0.32 0.0034
6 Two Centers (Default) 85 15.29% 30.75 -0.752 81.18% -0.439 -0.542
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 4 0.0% 20.0 0.0 25.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 457 21.95 0.757 66.3% 0.112 0.2159
Aid From Lesser Spirits 387 23.24 0.023 67.7% -0.269 -0.4136
All Things Weaken 539 20.44 -1.453 60.85% -0.265 0.101
Attenuated Essence 65 21.6 1.043 56.92% -0.027 -0.0285
Back Against the Wall 398 21.15 1.64 59.05% -0.072 -0.0065
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 56 22.25 4.647 55.36% 0.295 0.5303
Burn Brightest Before the End 51 20.18 0.277 54.9% 0.356 0.5169
Disintegrating Ecosystem 447 19.03 1.234 63.76% -0.233 0.1424
Downward Spiral 538 21.02 0.08 69.52% -0.098 -0.0263
Erosion of Will 432 21.8 -1.193 65.05% -0.222 0.0348
Intensifying Exploitation 57 21.7 -0.404 57.89% -0.27 0.004
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 252 27.2 -1.993 91.27% 0.267 -0.22
Memory Fades to Dust 536 20.61 0.77 64.37% 0.454 0.6372
Power Corrodes the Spirit 491 21.6 1.527 68.23% 0.342 0.5546
Promising Farmlands 423 19.65 -2.112 60.99% -0.217 0.1064
Shattered Fragments of Power 43 22.67 -2.519 55.81% -0.244 -0.074
Slow Dissolution of Will 63 16.44 -2.001 41.27% -0.031 0.3529
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 167 26.15 0.542 89.22% 0.779 0.1023
The Border of Life and Death 12 24.17 0.0 83.33%
Thriving Communities 515 19.1 -1.261 61.94% -0.189 0.1353
Thriving Crops 31 25.94 2.659 83.87% 0.733 0.7344
Unnatural Proliferation 525 21.62 1.688 63.62% 0.61 0.7964
Untended Land Crumbles 518 20.1 -3.335 62.93% -0.651 -0.3122

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3622 31.02% 25.29 -1.139 79.07% -0.483 0.3802
B 3767 30.06% 25.34 -0.696 79.24% -0.257 0.5644
C 3952 30.32% 25.91 0.925 80.54% 0.089 0.7875
D 3603 32.1% 25.35 -0.414 79.77% -0.106 0.7505
E 3590 30.89% 25.82 -0.177 80.36% -0.058 0.6302
F 3431 30.73% 25.63 -0.228 78.72% -0.229 0.589
G 2993 29.15% 25.81 -0.628 79.45% -0.443 0.437
H 3166 30.4% 25.61 -0.514 78.74% -0.28 0.501
East 1601 35.98% 29.18 3.681 75.83% 0.603 1.3959
Northeast 604 31.67% 29.67 -1.858 70.03% -1.364 -0.4834
Northwest 548 32.91% 28.91 -0.719 70.44% -0.733 0.1381
Southeast 736 41.03% 27.68 -0.307 79.89% -0.504 0.3547
Southwest 527 30.36% 23.97 -2.365 67.17% -0.746 0.4629
West 1378 33.84% 27.42 -2.944 69.38% -1.326 -0.2657

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 46 0.0% 26.87 0.0 84.78%
Not Using Events or Tokens 53 24.53% 25.02 0.266 67.92% 0.183 0.657
Skip Initial Invader Actions 413 7.87% 37.46 1.875 92.25% -0.031 -0.5985
Start of Game Growth 705 11.4% 35.05 5.224 91.06% 0.37 -0.294
Unlimited Undo 1423 22.44% 26.72 -2.351 81.94% -0.085 -0.0622
Using Tokens but Not Events 1900 25.24% 26.64 0.06 79.63% -0.37 -0.3223

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3041 15.45 19.4%
II 7254 30.45 82.16%
III 7683 34.8 90.51%
IV 3514 38.47 99.26%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.312 Win Model: 0.432
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 15126 34.3% 25.72 78.52%
2 4067 30.16% 26.02 80.8%
3 1376 29.51% 27.08 83.79%
4 740 21.65% 25.12 73.38%
5 22 28.57% 23.45 68.18%
6 161 18.63% 29.57 73.29%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 589
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6730
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5562
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3453
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1997
Lose: Invader deck ran out 173
Lose: Adversary condition 239
Win: Sacrifice victory 96
Lose: Scenario condition 135
Win: Scenario condition 562
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1818
Lose: Spirit destroyed 138

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 711 38.45% 28.91 -1.236 66.53% -0.348 -0.5447
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 25 44.0% 32.32 5.296 68.0% 1.194 0.4792
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 433 62.82% 27.14 -0.447 63.28% 0.186 0.4546
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 45 37.78% 31.89 6.974 75.56% 1.237 0.6694
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 663 40.85% 31.5 -0.881 72.85% -0.195 -0.3257
Downpour Drenches the World 224 41.44% 21.65 -3.252 50.89% -0.634 -0.3646
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 239 30.96% 25.27 1.196 61.51% 0.337 -0.0945
Eyes Watch From the Trees 964 30.8% 35.55 2.447 79.46% 0.509 0.0861
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 601 40.13% 31.87 1.366 73.71% 0.427 -0.018
Finder of Paths Unseen 128 46.09% 17.64 -3.271 39.06% -0.628 0.0289
Fractured Days Split the Sky 346 40.46% 28.01 -2.86 59.25% -0.477 0.3312
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 558 52.78% 26.77 0.783 60.75% 0.052 -0.0653
Heart of the Wildfire 625 70.88% 21.91 -5.391 48.16% -0.951 -0.664
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1308 42.92% 31.16 1.38 73.09% 0.293 -0.0997
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 59 37.29% 26.51 0.848 62.71% 0.369 -0.0358
Lightning's Swift Strike 322 59.38% 26.17 -2.755 57.76% -0.314 -0.047
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 55 45.45% 29.49 -0.228 67.27% 0.481 0.1292
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 203 57.14% 27.45 -0.358 60.59% -0.073 -0.5142
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 187 44.39% 36.13 -1.835 67.91% -0.213 -0.2562
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1479 42.79% 32.28 1.558 79.18% 0.446 0.1949
Many Minds Move as One 1262 34.5% 33.97 2.366 83.99% 0.443 0.2125
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 807 52.81% 29.38 1.401 62.45% 0.162 0.0583
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 625 47.36% 29.56 -1.623 69.92% -0.186 -0.3423
River Surges in Sunlight 509 52.36% 30.55 1.925 65.82% 0.185 0.2736
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 21 52.38% 17.62 -1.365 33.33% -0.18 -0.2915
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 314 54.63% 33.55 1.32 64.65% 0.088 0.4778
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 127 44.88% 23.36 1.964 48.82% 0.284 0.4217
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 534 50.56% 27.9 0.562 64.98% 0.012 -0.1813
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 218 62.84% 26.41 -5.563 60.09% -0.93 -0.4445
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 50 48.0% 26.06 -3.45 56.0% -0.617 -0.5611
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 89 43.82% 24.73 6.507 53.93% 0.903 0.4347
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 60 48.33% 26.0 0.763 61.67% 0.163 0.3791
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 183 58.47% 28.36 2.831 67.76% 0.373 0.4027
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 133 52.63% 31.18 7.34 68.42% 0.663 0.835
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1122 40.23% 32.65 1.47 77.9% 0.54 0.3869
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 166 31.93% 25.25 1.162 60.24% 0.343 0.1436
Shifting Memory of Ages 365 49.04% 24.84 -3.089 58.08% -0.584 -0.1346
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 19 42.11% 22.16 0.233 52.63% 0.044 -0.2608
Shroud of Silent Mist 374 62.3% 23.61 -2.787 53.74% -0.524 -0.1883
Starlight Seeks its Form 551 28.42% 31.1 -2.398 71.51% -0.419 -0.474
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 832 42.7% 25.46 -1.713 59.5% -0.376 -0.9994
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 685 41.2% 30.26 -0.177 68.18% -0.007 0.1871
Thunderspeaker 692 44.08% 33.14 3.357 66.76% 0.54 0.4862
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 61 44.26% 16.59 -2.607 36.07% -0.165 -0.0313
Towering Roots of the Jungle 55 34.55% 22.05 0.886 52.73% 0.403 0.4125
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 497 73.24% 23.33 -1.922 54.33% -0.36 -0.2767
Vital Strength of the Earth 336 47.02% 25.21 -0.365 51.79% -0.097 0.4972
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 90 54.44% 20.68 -4.321 44.44% -0.863 -0.4237
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 209 44.02% 24.35 0.761 56.94% -0.076 0.6153
Volcano Looming High 595 55.13% 24.37 -2.695 57.14% -0.563 -0.46
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 92 42.39% 19.62 -3.415 46.74% -0.496 -0.7486

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 15 26.67% 21.53 -9.478 53.33% -0.448 -0.6679
Blitz 0 253 41.9% 20.66 -7.412 45.85% -1.777 -1.4905
Dahan Insurrection 4 308 27.27% 53.67 8.989 75.0% 0.327 0.2119
Despicable Theft 2 118 44.92% 21.83 -4.192 35.59% -0.441 0.2971
Elemental Invocation 1 148 55.41% 21.62 -1.556 40.54% -0.504 0.2526
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 541 20.96% 35.65 9.053 73.94% 1.281 0.6994
Powers Long Forgotten 1 182 51.1% 24.3 -1.621 46.15% -0.427 0.427
Rituals of Terror 3 109 58.72% 33.27 -5.216 50.46% -0.242 -0.4119
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 85 71.76% 31.15 -9.629 44.71% -0.738 0.1725
Second Wave 0 821 52.87% 29.99 2.959 62.85% 0.438 0.5171
The Great River 3 92 60.87% 20.91 -6.042 27.17% -1.301 0.0626
Varied Terrains 2 62 41.94% 21.29 2.29 37.1% 0.102 0.9814
Ward the Shores 2 200 46.5% 26.21 1.943 46.5% -0.032 0.949

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8897 45.48% 27.92 0.31 65.28% 0.447 0.7913
1 Thematic 1164 50.3% 28.99 2.357 52.23% 0.52 1.0478
2 Archipelago 7 57.14% 41.71 10.377 85.71% 0.307 0.8061
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1899 48.76% 26.88 -0.897 65.4% -0.034 0.2502
2 Coastline 278 46.21% 27.6 1.73 66.19% 0.297 0.326
2 Fragment 62 59.68% 27.24 -2.605 66.13% -0.004 -0.2413
2 Heart 25 56.0% 25.0 -0.724 56.0% -0.003 -0.1504
2 Opposite Shores 360 48.6% 28.75 3.451 70.28% 0.598 0.6567
2 Thematic 329 51.37% 25.56 -5.673 49.85% -1.187 -0.8169
2 Top to Top 56 53.57% 32.71 6.481 83.93% 0.284 0.4069
3 Archipelago 11 81.82% 35.18 0.0 36.36%
3 Coastline 14 64.29% 36.86 0.728 64.29% -0.19 -0.7393
3 Other 24 62.5% 32.13 0.0 87.5%
3 Round (Default) 782 36.36% 31.57 -1.492 73.91% -0.704 -0.7967
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 76 60.53% 29.71 0.748 59.21% 0.222 -0.2969
4 Archipelago 10 50.0% 40.5 0.0 90.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 23.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 26.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 27 51.85% 33.78 9.678 85.19% 0.449 0.4564
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 88 53.41% 37.44 1.217 75.0% -0.112 0.0208
4 Trapezoid (Default) 285 44.01% 32.79 0.09 76.84% -0.785 -0.6779
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 80.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 37 25.0% 44.89 0.0 75.68%
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 27.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 17 47.06% 42.35 -1.241 76.47% -0.442 0.193
6 Star 2 50.0% 20.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 11 63.64% 36.91 0.0 54.55%
6 Two Centers (Default) 35 22.86% 52.4 7.556 91.43% 0.7 0.5964
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 452 23.91 0.292 49.34% -0.191 -0.0868
Aid From Lesser Spirits 387 26.69 3.097 57.88% 0.447 0.3024
All Things Weaken 498 23.58 -0.291 49.4% -0.245 0.1213
Attenuated Essence 37 26.49 4.585 62.16% 0.793 0.7911
Back Against the Wall 366 24.11 -1.648 46.99% -0.601 -0.5357
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 57 20.23 0.242 43.86% -0.59 -0.3554
Burn Brightest Before the End 40 23.63 0.967 42.5% 0.143 0.3032
Disintegrating Ecosystem 444 19.65 -0.856 40.32% -0.031 0.3452
Downward Spiral 503 23.79 0.962 53.48% 0.194 0.2661
Erosion of Will 422 24.0 -1.016 53.55% -0.478 -0.2215
Intensifying Exploitation 74 23.61 1.323 55.41% 0.598 0.8721
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 177 31.99 -4.012 77.97% -0.417 -0.9037
Memory Fades to Dust 548 24.22 -0.304 55.11% -0.412 -0.2286
Power Corrodes the Spirit 472 22.89 1.938 49.36% 0.715 0.9282
Promising Farmlands 434 22.97 -1.337 50.0% -0.55 -0.2268
Shattered Fragments of Power 55 26.27 4.686 54.55% 0.474 0.6443
Slow Dissolution of Will 49 19.69 -3.184 42.86% -0.592 -0.2083
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 120 30.16 5.418 81.67% 0.678 0.0013
The Border of Life and Death 13 23.92 -2.231 46.15% -0.428 -0.9442
Thriving Communities 506 22.26 -0.923 47.23% -0.324 0.0002
Thriving Crops 35 26.14 -0.285 62.86% 0.078 0.0797
Unnatural Proliferation 486 24.32 2.484 50.62% 0.276 0.4624
Untended Land Crumbles 535 21.89 -0.264 48.22% -0.532 -0.1928

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2486 45.0% 28.75 -1.305 66.85% -0.284 0.5787
B 2577 45.72% 29.29 0.325 68.34% 0.015 0.8362
C 2660 44.05% 29.51 0.442 69.1% 0.03 0.7276
D 2459 45.2% 29.18 -0.544 67.51% -0.035 0.8208
E 2351 44.26% 29.38 -1.118 68.57% -0.209 0.4795
F 2253 45.98% 28.79 0.731 67.73% 0.107 0.9247
G 1932 44.89% 28.94 1.625 67.81% 0.496 1.3761
H 1978 45.47% 29.18 1.022 68.15% 0.348 1.1289
East 971 51.55% 29.81 -4.833 54.48% -1.155 -0.3618
Northeast 398 55.42% 32.27 -1.043 59.55% -0.672 0.209
Northwest 359 49.86% 29.31 -0.176 54.87% 0.214 1.0849
Southeast 353 50.99% 28.32 -1.601 54.67% -0.418 0.4414
Southwest 364 55.22% 24.0 0.936 48.63% 0.464 1.6736
West 971 51.08% 28.16 -0.662 52.73% -0.073 0.9875

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 19 0.0% 31.89 0.0 57.89%
Not Using Events or Tokens 39 35.9% 16.9 -7.041 25.64% -0.876 -0.4015
Skip Initial Invader Actions 260 15.08% 43.03 0.602 88.46% 0.111 -0.4558
Start of Game Growth 396 17.78% 40.8 -2.198 84.09% -0.386 -1.0502
Unlimited Undo 1087 39.68% 30.0 2.568 70.93% 0.253 0.276
Using Tokens but Not Events 1181 36.49% 31.21 2.803 70.96% 0.797 0.8443

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3081 15.45 8.44%
II 4885 30.45 67.94%
III 5037 34.8 86.22%
IV 1520 38.47 99.61%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.155 Win Model: 0.399
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 10219 46.09% 27.88 63.17%
2 2928 49.5% 27.77 66.63%
3 880 39.14% 31.36 72.84%
4 400 45.61% 35.43 79.0%
5 43 21.43% 52.16 76.74%
6 53 43.4% 33.74 75.47%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 259
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4217
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3075
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1499
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1699
Lose: Invader deck ran out 87
Lose: Adversary condition 1292
Win: Sacrifice victory 62
Lose: Scenario condition 86
Win: Scenario condition 324
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1805
Lose: Spirit destroyed 118

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 784 34.02% 36.7 0.595 75.77% 0.081 -0.1152
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 32 18.75% 31.16 2.164 68.75% 0.487 -0.2277
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 572 54.02% 34.44 -1.229 73.25% 0.253 0.5215
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 89 26.97% 38.62 8.524 82.02% 1.241 0.6734
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 746 40.46% 35.95 -1.115 77.35% -0.119 -0.2501
Downpour Drenches the World 296 38.51% 34.07 2.079 71.62% 0.426 0.6955
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 339 30.68% 33.3 1.265 71.98% 0.406 -0.0255
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1081 29.81% 40.24 2.951 85.01% 0.302 -0.1209
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 577 37.26% 36.71 -1.855 78.34% -0.318 -0.763
Finder of Paths Unseen 151 51.66% 22.57 -7.36 43.71% -1.071 -0.4134
Fractured Days Split the Sky 413 47.7% 35.14 -4.111 65.13% -0.741 0.067
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 553 53.16% 32.51 0.906 66.73% 0.181 0.0634
Heart of the Wildfire 800 64.38% 32.28 -2.99 66.25% -0.499 -0.2119
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1654 38.69% 37.43 1.222 79.56% 0.234 -0.1588
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 83 22.89% 34.67 2.457 72.29% 0.508 0.1029
Lightning's Swift Strike 342 57.52% 33.83 -1.121 70.18% -0.171 0.0959
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 92 47.83% 36.1 3.153 71.74% 0.459 0.1076
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 241 51.25% 34.12 -1.591 69.71% -0.074 -0.5152
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 189 43.92% 36.98 -4.498 70.9% -0.798 -0.8413
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1967 38.22% 39.61 2.112 85.51% 0.332 0.0814
Many Minds Move as One 1439 28.42% 39.27 -1.112 86.73% -0.193 -0.4238
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1006 46.56% 36.81 0.089 72.76% -0.309 -0.4127
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 702 42.02% 36.02 -1.337 78.21% -0.29 -0.446
River Surges in Sunlight 691 45.64% 40.4 4.309 79.88% 1.063 1.1516
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 13 69.23% 37.0 5.288 69.23% 0.504 0.3924
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 307 56.35% 35.0 -4.084 69.06% -0.745 -0.3553
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 168 36.75% 40.23 3.272 72.02% 0.122 0.2596
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 731 43.5% 34.79 -1.076 74.97% -0.19 -0.3839
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 268 57.09% 31.81 -2.105 65.67% -0.157 0.3287
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 44 65.91% 24.18 0.865 43.18% 0.127 0.183
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 84 52.38% 38.51 5.352 77.38% 0.451 -0.0177
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 60 43.33% 31.3 3.366 66.67% 0.229 0.4447
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 201 51.24% 35.6 -2.535 73.63% -0.387 -0.3583
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 147 61.22% 33.89 -4.863 72.11% -0.214 -0.0414
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1226 35.13% 38.22 -1.044 82.63% -0.264 -0.4167
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 229 29.69% 30.75 -1.09 62.45% -0.403 -0.6019
Shifting Memory of Ages 431 51.74% 30.52 -2.697 64.04% -0.233 0.2162
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 15 33.33% 35.07 3.419 73.33% 0.48 0.1757
Shroud of Silent Mist 458 57.86% 32.05 -4.785 67.47% -0.794 -0.4584
Starlight Seeks its Form 557 39.32% 35.34 0.763 73.97% 0.076 0.0212
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1014 36.03% 33.18 3.383 72.29% 0.315 -0.3082
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 855 34.07% 37.39 -0.958 79.06% -0.306 -0.112
Thunderspeaker 634 43.6% 38.45 -0.845 75.55% 0.051 -0.0025
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 67 38.81% 21.39 3.372 41.79% 0.352 0.4856
Towering Roots of the Jungle 55 27.27% 30.69 2.118 67.27% 0.372 0.3817
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 621 67.15% 31.76 -3.384 69.4% -0.569 -0.486
Vital Strength of the Earth 337 43.62% 31.84 -3.623 67.66% -0.502 0.0926
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 80 36.25% 30.76 4.917 63.75% 0.385 0.8244
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 222 46.85% 29.5 -1.979 64.41% 0.109 0.8003
Volcano Looming High 695 52.74% 31.68 1.038 67.63% 0.029 0.1325
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 127 38.58% 32.22 1.094 70.87% 0.241 -0.0117

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 13 15.38% 16.0 -11.057 38.46% -0.966 -1.186
Blitz 0 326 38.34% 30.69 -7.741 56.44% -1.255 -0.9682
Dahan Insurrection 4 256 22.27% 61.12 3.314 80.08% -0.262 -0.3769
Despicable Theft 2 80 57.5% 33.15 -7.001 50.0% -1.419 -0.6807
Elemental Invocation 1 167 48.5% 26.38 -3.52 50.3% -0.479 0.2773
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 735 24.9% 40.72 5.271 77.82% 0.689 0.1077
Powers Long Forgotten 1 158 51.9% 29.04 -0.631 51.27% -0.182 0.6716
Rituals of Terror 3 87 56.32% 31.64 -4.81 41.38% -0.507 -0.6773
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 63 55.56% 25.44 -6.48 33.33% -0.854 0.0571
Second Wave 0 497 49.09% 36.16 1.814 70.62% 0.081 0.16
The Great River 3 88 48.86% 28.5 -10.431 38.64% -1.188 0.1759
Varied Terrains 2 44 65.91% 26.14 3.195 40.91% 0.141 1.0206
Ward the Shores 2 126 51.59% 36.67 -0.988 60.32% -0.119 0.8628

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10215 44.38% 34.12 0.335 72.59% 0.274 0.6182
1 Thematic 951 48.79% 31.42 -0.554 53.52% 0.054 0.582
2 Archipelago 18 38.89% 35.94 0.0 61.11%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2340 45.0% 34.48 -2.352 76.71% -0.531 -0.2464
2 Coastline 233 44.4% 37.21 2.388 82.83% 0.53 0.5589
2 Fragment 51 50.98% 35.51 -1.94 76.47% -0.394 -0.6312
2 Heart 32 53.13% 35.19 0.0 75.0%
2 Opposite Shores 410 42.05% 34.92 -2.672 76.34% -0.466 -0.4066
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 442 40.72% 37.26 0.785 71.27% 0.135 0.5054
2 Top to Top 57 42.11% 37.7 -1.822 82.46% -0.454 -0.3309
3 Archipelago 9 77.78% 34.33 6.067 33.33% -0.126 -0.9234
3 Coastline 16 68.75% 45.38 0.0 93.75%
3 Other 34 52.94% 34.53 9.044 73.53% 0.463 -0.0742
3 Round (Default) 898 41.2% 37.81 0.924 81.85% -0.176 -0.2688
3 Sunrise 4 0.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 87 40.23% 38.53 2.052 72.41% 0.295 -0.2239
4 Archipelago 13 53.85% 36.15 0.0 38.46%
4 Coastline 8 62.5% 55.25 0.0 62.5%
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 43.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 14 57.14% 39.5 5.207 92.86% 0.457 0.4652
4 Thematic 168 20.83% 54.99 3.801 88.1% 0.33 0.4633
4 Trapezoid (Default) 409 29.17% 39.24 1.993 87.29% -0.365 -0.2581
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 49 55.32% 35.41 8.628 71.43% -0.118 -0.6327
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 37.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 5 0.0% 40.8 0.0 80.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 58.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 5 40.0% 56.0 0.0 80.0%
6 Star 4 50.0% 43.5 2.267 75.0% 0.018 0.2626
6 Thematic 26 38.46% 39.31 -5.122 65.38% -0.558 -0.2346
6 Two Centers (Default) 39 35.9% 31.59 6.22 64.1% 0.358 0.2543
7 Other 2 0.0% 48.0 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 523 30.53 -0.775 61.57% -0.375 -0.2717
Aid From Lesser Spirits 398 31.4 4.895 62.31% 0.536 0.3913
All Things Weaken 564 29.77 3.613 58.87% 0.301 0.6673
Attenuated Essence 67 27.16 2.268 55.22% 0.431 0.4296
Back Against the Wall 433 31.51 1.749 62.36% 0.023 0.0884
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 49 24.61 -2.053 48.98% -0.242 -0.0072
Burn Brightest Before the End 35 32.43 -2.535 60.0% -0.612 -0.4518
Disintegrating Ecosystem 453 27.0 0.983 52.1% 0.056 0.4315
Downward Spiral 518 31.27 2.471 66.99% 0.612 0.6843
Erosion of Will 492 29.38 -1.431 58.74% -0.214 0.042
Intensifying Exploitation 65 27.97 0.017 58.46% 0.078 0.3522
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 227 36.14 -0.994 81.5% -0.124 -0.6103
Memory Fades to Dust 496 30.6 3.061 64.72% 0.354 0.537
Power Corrodes the Spirit 494 29.16 -3.719 60.12% -0.648 -0.4349
Promising Farmlands 488 29.19 2.915 61.07% 0.556 0.8787
Shattered Fragments of Power 47 24.53 -1.428 48.94% -0.698 -0.5273
Slow Dissolution of Will 44 29.89 2.157 59.09% 0.223 0.6068
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 162 36.8 1.351 85.8% 0.252 -0.4245
The Border of Life and Death 21 35.19 5.253 76.19% 0.31 -0.2063
Thriving Communities 570 29.43 -1.764 62.11% -0.346 -0.0221
Thriving Crops 33 30.09 4.005 66.67% 0.86 0.8615
Unnatural Proliferation 552 30.67 2.491 61.59% 0.462 0.649
Untended Land Crumbles 528 29.6 -0.885 61.93% -0.557 -0.2181

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2821 44.05% 34.72 0.621 74.76% 0.216 1.0789
B 2931 44.67% 35.67 0.398 77.93% 0.109 0.9305
C 3094 41.27% 35.69 1.586 76.5% 0.349 1.0467
D 2831 43.7% 34.7 0.068 73.72% -0.011 0.8453
E 2827 42.78% 35.67 1.447 76.19% 0.308 0.9962
F 2644 43.15% 35.35 0.217 76.82% 0.02 0.838
G 2239 44.03% 34.51 -2.327 74.54% -0.369 0.5118
H 2420 40.78% 35.82 -0.766 77.52% -0.204 0.5767
East 1070 38.88% 39.73 -0.915 69.35% -0.879 -0.0867
Northeast 523 38.81% 43.09 0.656 74.57% -0.054 0.8273
Northwest 475 38.32% 39.19 0.753 66.74% -0.159 0.7119
Southeast 373 35.92% 37.88 4.236 68.36% 0.473 1.3317
Southwest 368 43.75% 31.77 -0.481 60.05% -0.234 0.9751
West 1047 43.36% 35.42 -0.274 61.8% 0.037 1.0974

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 8 0.0% 68.13 0.0 100.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 14 42.86% 17.79 -11.397 35.71% -0.416 0.0577
Skip Initial Invader Actions 252 9.31% 49.5 -2.783 84.13% -0.338 -0.9049
Start of Game Growth 400 15.48% 47.04 -2.783 84.75% -0.338 -1.002
Unlimited Undo 1313 33.77% 34.19 -1.884 69.69% -0.413 -0.3894
Using Tokens but Not Events 1069 40.06% 32.88 -3.897 71.38% -0.689 -0.6413

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2370 15.45 0.25%
II 3794 30.45 65.18%
III 6991 34.8 89.62%
IV 3403 38.47 99.71%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.658 Win Model: 0.469
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11300 44.79% 33.81 70.68%
2 3510 44.53% 35.45 77.26%
3 1021 40.84% 38.09 81.19%
4 611 28.57% 43.52 86.74%
5 38 56.76% 33.37 65.79%
6 78 32.47% 37.74 69.23%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 6
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6099
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2296
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3374
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1509
Lose: Invader deck ran out 38
Lose: Adversary condition 1130
Win: Sacrifice victory 82
Lose: Scenario condition 100
Win: Scenario condition 280
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1527
Lose: Spirit destroyed 117

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 836 51.56% 33.72 -5.587 54.43% -0.982 -1.1781
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 31 51.61% 42.23 2.16 64.52% 0.163 -0.5516
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 557 73.29% 34.54 1.26 53.14% -0.011 0.2573
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 101 50.5% 40.82 5.814 68.32% 0.668 0.1001
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 749 60.43% 37.15 -3.721 59.55% -0.393 -0.5241
Downpour Drenches the World 290 56.06% 28.81 -5.831 45.52% -0.563 -0.293
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 446 53.14% 32.96 2.76 56.05% 0.616 0.184
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1011 49.45% 41.7 -0.586 69.14% 0.132 -0.2914
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 432 61.95% 35.81 -1.678 55.09% -0.051 -0.4959
Finder of Paths Unseen 110 52.73% 24.96 -1.237 35.45% -0.135 0.5221
Fractured Days Split the Sky 421 64.85% 34.04 -5.144 47.51% -0.739 0.0689
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 545 61.65% 33.52 0.049 52.29% 0.091 -0.0266
Heart of the Wildfire 835 78.3% 29.45 -1.481 43.23% 0.03 0.3176
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2247 53.61% 39.08 2.874 63.86% 0.432 0.0391
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 120 53.33% 31.3 1.662 48.33% 0.31 -0.0948
Lightning's Swift Strike 332 74.85% 35.31 1.176 50.3% 0.226 0.493
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 147 65.07% 38.1 1.651 65.31% 0.237 -0.1146
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 243 65.02% 39.28 -2.577 65.84% -0.005 -0.4463
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 192 61.46% 35.58 -4.392 52.08% -0.994 -1.0365
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3007 49.32% 43.79 3.741 76.29% 0.813 0.5623
Many Minds Move as One 1530 49.8% 43.35 3.45 75.16% 0.764 0.5338
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 981 64.51% 34.49 1.419 51.68% 0.143 0.0394
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 646 64.65% 37.52 1.851 59.75% 0.299 0.1429
River Surges in Sunlight 706 72.49% 36.82 -1.61 52.12% -0.371 -0.2819
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 22 45.45% 47.36 5.96 72.73% 0.791 0.6789
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 267 75.66% 29.02 -0.465 36.7% 0.196 0.5861
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 168 55.36% 33.79 -1.798 50.0% -0.279 -0.1415
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 707 65.63% 35.24 -0.98 54.88% -0.027 -0.2204
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 219 83.11% 32.27 -0.577 44.29% 0.25 0.7356
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 54 53.7% 32.13 4.339 53.7% 0.53 0.5858
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 152 55.92% 37.54 7.824 60.53% 1.12 0.6516
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 62 66.13% 33.31 -7.811 54.84% -1.013 -0.7975
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 201 70.65% 35.75 -1.165 55.22% 0.114 0.1434
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 185 78.38% 34.5 -1.057 52.43% -0.185 -0.0132
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1419 48.73% 42.22 3.172 71.53% 0.898 0.7457
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 191 48.69% 33.59 1.874 58.64% 0.483 0.2837
Shifting Memory of Ages 396 66.41% 31.45 -4.282 48.99% -0.838 -0.3886
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 27 51.85% 29.89 -0.096 51.85% 0.132 -0.173
Shroud of Silent Mist 472 69.94% 32.57 -6.181 51.48% -1.129 -0.7935
Starlight Seeks its Form 840 55.6% 34.85 -0.497 56.31% 0.096 0.0405
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1287 52.88% 33.26 -4.742 52.84% -0.739 -1.3621
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 931 56.7% 39.11 -2.627 65.63% -0.597 -0.4032
Thunderspeaker 615 65.91% 35.51 -5.801 51.54% -0.787 -0.841
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 51 52.94% 22.33 1.317 31.37% 0.416 0.5497
Towering Roots of the Jungle 94 56.38% 32.97 1.438 55.32% 0.393 0.4019
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 738 83.47% 31.27 -0.606 47.29% -0.004 0.0788
Vital Strength of the Earth 306 67.54% 30.4 -2.206 42.48% -0.295 0.2996
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 107 63.55% 25.12 -4.612 35.51% -0.204 0.2352
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 258 63.57% 28.19 -4.891 42.64% -0.625 0.0662
Volcano Looming High 779 68.38% 34.6 3.616 56.87% 0.859 0.9621
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 179 53.63% 28.12 -1.827 45.81% -0.009 -0.2609

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 0.0% 27.63 -14.226 50.0% -0.164 -0.3842
Blitz 0 208 46.15% 36.88 9.122 39.42% 0.195 0.4819
Dahan Insurrection 4 134 47.01% 54.18 -9.071 57.46% -0.727 -0.8419
Despicable Theft 2 29 55.17% 37.28 21.69 48.28% 1.186 1.9247
Elemental Invocation 1 93 66.67% 29.31 -11.522 40.86% -0.93 -0.1735
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 891 34.68% 46.6 6.864 74.75% 1.042 0.4601
Powers Long Forgotten 1 92 48.91% 29.7 -6.693 36.96% -0.635 0.219
Rituals of Terror 3 52 67.31% 31.94 -8.712 25.0% -0.523 -0.6935
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 35 48.57% 22.2 -5.596 20.0% -0.31 0.6005
Second Wave 0 341 66.28% 35.47 4.543 49.56% 0.553 0.6324
The Great River 3 52 59.62% 37.15 -15.905 44.23% -1.967 -0.6039
Varied Terrains 2 19 36.84% 14.47 -8.207 21.05% -0.265 0.6145
Ward the Shores 2 67 62.69% 32.55 6.414 37.31% 0.051 1.0326

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12438 58.3% 35.89 -0.477 57.32% 0.033 0.3772
1 Thematic 700 64.71% 33.58 -3.592 42.14% -0.868 -0.3404
2 Archipelago 11 72.73% 37.82 0.0 45.45%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2729 62.68% 36.14 -1.434 60.24% -0.351 -0.0669
2 Coastline 300 58.67% 40.45 0.79 66.67% 0.292 0.3208
2 Fragment 73 65.75% 37.15 2.969 57.53% 0.471 0.2336
2 Heart 40 52.5% 49.55 13.133 80.0% 1.209 1.0611
2 Opposite Shores 515 62.84% 36.18 3.398 58.06% 0.189 0.2481
2 Thematic 201 67.16% 34.86 -0.679 45.77% -0.797 -0.4271
2 Top to Top 86 59.3% 42.44 5.583 72.09% 0.737 0.86
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 48.83 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 9 66.67% 46.22 6.718 66.67% 0.368 -0.181
3 Other 68 45.59% 23.53 -4.155 38.24% -0.738 -1.2762
3 Round (Default) 1128 59.49% 38.76 1.649 64.18% -0.188 -0.2804
3 Sunrise 48 12.5% 8.46 0.0 12.5%
3 Thematic 48 66.67% 40.73 -4.055 58.33% -0.536 -1.0541
4 Archipelago 3 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 4 25.0% 44.25 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 5 40.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 24 62.5% 44.29 -4.296 79.17% -0.477 -0.4695
4 Thematic 59 59.32% 43.47 19.104 57.63% 0.567 0.7003
4 Trapezoid (Default) 352 61.27% 41.5 2.961 70.45% 0.117 0.2241
5 Other 38 50.0% 40.47 -1.998 57.89% -0.261 -0.7752
5 Thematic 4 25.0% 4.75 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 2 100.0% 55.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 13 0.0% 62.69 5.432 100.0% 0.208 0.8432
6 Star 5 60.0% 48.0 0.0 60.0%
6 Thematic 6 50.0% 47.17 0.0 66.67%
6 Two Centers (Default) 36 50.0% 37.22 1.097 61.11% -0.253 -0.3566
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 744 32.84 0.263 48.52% -0.324 -0.2207
Aid From Lesser Spirits 674 34.02 5.354 47.03% 0.84 0.6957
All Things Weaken 813 30.18 -0.487 42.93% -0.222 0.1442
Attenuated Essence 125 27.18 -2.041 40.0% -0.457 -0.4589
Back Against the Wall 585 32.09 -0.712 44.1% -0.231 -0.1663
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 89 31.54 2.654 47.19% 0.257 0.4916
Burn Brightest Before the End 79 29.16 -2.226 43.04% -0.556 -0.3961
Disintegrating Ecosystem 783 27.18 -3.543 36.02% -1.31 -0.9337
Downward Spiral 852 31.05 -1.531 46.95% -0.288 -0.2164
Erosion of Will 792 30.85 4.429 43.69% 0.692 0.9483
Intensifying Exploitation 115 25.63 1.336 42.61% 0.267 0.5407
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 252 39.63 12.118 70.63% 1.641 1.1539
Memory Fades to Dust 802 30.76 -2.204 45.64% -0.684 -0.5013
Power Corrodes the Spirit 774 29.91 3.143 43.67% 0.45 0.6626
Promising Farmlands 728 29.52 0.732 42.17% -0.006 0.3172
Shattered Fragments of Power 88 28.26 0.692 34.09% -0.319 -0.1485
Slow Dissolution of Will 120 26.09 0.249 36.67% -0.139 0.2451
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 180 42.44 4.028 76.67% 0.596 -0.0801
The Border of Life and Death 36 27.67 -4.56 47.22% -0.3 -0.816
Thriving Communities 877 31.99 -0.453 50.06% -0.53 -0.2065
Thriving Crops 45 27.02 4.996 42.22% 0.485 0.4868
Unnatural Proliferation 853 30.87 -0.728 42.67% -0.301 -0.1142
Untended Land Crumbles 826 30.56 0.173 45.28% -0.047 0.2923

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3441 59.86% 36.35 -0.736 59.29% -0.049 0.8139
B 3466 59.47% 36.95 1.757 60.65% 0.242 1.0635
C 3780 57.16% 37.27 1.191 60.71% 0.099 0.7967
D 3295 58.81% 35.97 0.691 58.39% 0.123 0.979
E 3556 57.58% 37.01 -1.602 60.46% -0.431 0.2572
F 3054 61.64% 36.77 0.997 59.72% -0.036 0.7815
G 2570 59.91% 36.59 1.269 59.34% 0.22 1.1003
H 2728 59.21% 37.56 -0.198 60.63% -0.184 0.5966
East 633 63.35% 35.84 1.177 45.18% -0.005 0.7882
Northeast 262 61.83% 36.32 3.181 45.42% -0.101 0.7799
Northwest 226 58.41% 34.88 -5.075 45.58% -0.847 0.0239
Southeast 235 64.26% 35.92 -2.175 47.23% -0.156 0.7033
Southwest 172 65.7% 36.74 -7.222 53.49% -0.47 0.739
West 552 64.31% 34.88 -1.882 46.01% -0.222 0.8385

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 20 0.0% 64.75 0.0 85.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 5 100.0% 20.8 0.0 20.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 325 14.42% 61.54 12.312 88.31% 1.335 0.7677
Start of Game Growth 439 19.95% 57.19 8.996 86.1% 0.785 0.1208
Unlimited Undo 1449 48.18% 41.77 0.841 67.63% -0.463 -0.4395
Using Tokens but Not Events 872 59.62% 33.47 -0.329 53.44% 0.214 0.2622

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3581 15.45 0.31%
II 6671 30.45 46.48%
III 5547 34.8 85.11%
IV 3161 38.47 99.53%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.688 Win Model: 0.225
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13218 58.56% 35.72 56.42%
2 3905 63.0% 36.92 60.56%
3 1298 56.78% 36.91 60.71%
4 438 59.72% 42.04 69.41%
5 38 46.88% 38.82 55.26%
6 63 41.94% 44.27 69.84%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 11
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4651
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3018
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3122
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1868
Lose: Invader deck ran out 4
Lose: Adversary condition 2234
Win: Sacrifice victory 75
Lose: Scenario condition 107
Win: Scenario condition 102
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3576
Lose: Spirit destroyed 192

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 515 58.9% 40.37 -0.065 59.22% 0.281 0.0844
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 20 45.0% 44.8 5.314 70.0% 0.939 0.2241
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 344 74.56% 35.59 -2.573 48.55% -0.459 -0.1901
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 86 38.37% 43.33 8.583 67.44% 1.261 0.6935
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 471 64.89% 41.25 -2.949 61.78% -0.187 -0.3181
Downpour Drenches the World 218 55.76% 31.55 -0.768 45.41% -0.303 -0.0338
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 446 39.91% 35.32 0.786 55.38% 0.491 0.0591
Eyes Watch From the Trees 735 52.04% 44.1 0.223 65.99% 0.22 -0.2028
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 311 56.27% 42.57 -4.712 59.16% -0.539 -0.9844
Finder of Paths Unseen 91 47.25% 26.65 -5.452 34.07% -0.149 0.5082
Fractured Days Split the Sky 368 59.67% 38.17 -2.993 48.1% -0.479 0.3295
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 373 58.18% 40.44 -0.732 58.71% -0.148 -0.2654
Heart of the Wildfire 536 72.15% 35.22 -5.958 50.75% -0.711 -0.4235
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1936 47.93% 45.43 2.698 72.88% 0.619 0.2264
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 96 42.71% 35.51 2.091 53.13% 0.468 0.063
Lightning's Swift Strike 202 73.6% 38.0 -3.712 50.5% -0.101 0.166
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 187 55.61% 50.36 7.227 68.45% 0.995 0.6436
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 179 58.99% 42.84 -6.26 62.57% -0.978 -1.4191
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 155 52.9% 40.18 5.924 58.71% 0.33 0.2866
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2746 44.53% 49.48 5.95 78.84% 1.05 0.799
Many Minds Move as One 1146 48.87% 48.49 -1.633 76.61% -0.187 -0.4169
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 682 66.07% 37.55 0.114 52.2% 0.007 -0.0972
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 501 67.27% 38.09 -8.122 54.89% -1.007 -1.1634
River Surges in Sunlight 535 68.56% 40.52 -2.737 54.95% -0.532 -0.4428
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 16 50.0% 9.44 -10.526 12.5% -1.163 -1.2743
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 195 66.15% 35.66 -6.694 43.08% -0.688 -0.2976
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 151 54.3% 38.69 -1.992 49.67% -0.527 -0.3896
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 570 61.4% 38.27 -4.434 53.33% -0.782 -0.9759
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 136 75.56% 36.15 -4.818 45.59% -0.154 0.3314
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 31 64.52% 42.55 12.135 61.29% 0.323 0.3782
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 128 56.25% 42.63 3.303 66.41% 0.542 0.0735
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 45 57.78% 32.67 -9.665 40.0% -0.538 -0.3225
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 153 71.9% 37.29 0.954 50.33% 0.067 0.096
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 125 76.0% 37.1 -14.746 48.8% -0.29 -0.1182
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1459 41.26% 51.25 0.369 79.92% 0.076 -0.0769
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 168 41.67% 35.64 11.046 54.76% 1.764 1.5653
Shifting Memory of Ages 311 67.52% 38.22 2.065 55.31% 0.171 0.6196
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 22 45.45% 36.64 1.142 59.09% -0.053 -0.3573
Shroud of Silent Mist 299 73.54% 37.06 1.429 51.17% 0.331 0.6674
Starlight Seeks its Form 618 56.96% 39.08 -1.109 59.39% 0.127 0.0723
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 920 54.14% 39.24 -1.475 57.28% -0.144 -0.7674
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 807 58.68% 42.38 0.572 64.56% 0.189 0.3825
Thunderspeaker 389 68.04% 39.41 2.021 54.76% 0.213 0.1587
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 60 56.67% 26.23 -13.069 31.67% -1.103 -0.9692
Towering Roots of the Jungle 78 58.97% 39.19 3.699 62.82% 0.753 0.7624
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 647 81.92% 38.45 -0.038 58.27% 0.441 0.5241
Vital Strength of the Earth 206 77.94% 31.14 -10.079 35.44% -1.141 -0.5461
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 70 62.86% 35.46 12.025 50.0% 1.051 1.4907
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 141 70.92% 34.11 -0.694 47.52% 0.049 0.74
Volcano Looming High 667 66.37% 36.68 0.442 53.22% -0.003 0.1001
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 153 57.52% 31.71 -4.098 47.71% -0.465 -0.7178

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 62.5% 21.63 -5.75 25.0% -0.292 -0.5122
Blitz 0 94 65.96% 24.11 -12.68 23.4% -1.058 -0.7718
Dahan Insurrection 4 78 39.74% 63.74 0.0 61.54%
Despicable Theft 2 38 57.89% 31.0 -2.666 34.21% -0.241 0.4974
Elemental Invocation 1 51 49.02% 35.9 0.12 52.94% -0.018 0.738
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 717 26.78% 51.79 3.999 73.64% 0.19 -0.3921
Powers Long Forgotten 1 38 55.26% 23.32 -9.241 21.05% -0.236 0.6174
Rituals of Terror 3 51 56.86% 28.02 -5.193 27.45% -0.292 -0.462
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 24 62.5% 27.21 -5.668 20.83% -0.45 0.461
Second Wave 0 195 59.28% 45.75 10.053 60.51% 0.561 0.6407
The Great River 3 35 45.71% 19.91 -16.162 14.29% -1.073 0.2903
Varied Terrains 2 22 40.91% 18.09 -7.481 18.18% -0.572 0.3074
Ward the Shores 2 34 61.76% 24.32 -10.504 23.53% -0.112 0.8693

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 9879 55.95% 41.05 -1.249 61.09% -0.264 0.0796
1 Thematic 381 54.86% 34.88 -0.877 42.52% -0.302 0.2251
2 Archipelago 5 40.0% 70.8 16.276 100.0% 0.338 0.8367
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1966 62.87% 40.95 1.297 61.8% 0.122 0.4062
2 Coastline 246 62.6% 41.8 -4.423 64.23% -0.558 -0.5293
2 Fragment 31 70.97% 45.32 0.0 70.97%
2 Heart 25 76.0% 45.12 11.022 64.0% 0.848 0.7001
2 Opposite Shores 493 47.26% 46.38 0.962 74.85% -0.143 -0.0835
2 Thematic 111 75.68% 41.5 -1.952 52.25% -0.165 0.2055
2 Top to Top 119 40.34% 45.29 9.317 73.11% 0.322 0.4453
3 Archipelago 7 85.71% 42.86 0.0 57.14%
3 Coastline 14 42.86% 56.0 -6.792 85.71% -0.392 -0.9412
3 Other 18 50.0% 43.83 0.0 72.22%
3 Round (Default) 913 58.33% 42.04 1.038 65.39% 0.065 -0.0281
3 Sunrise 6 66.67% 31.67 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 43 62.79% 29.77 -8.936 32.56% -0.215 -0.7339
4 Coastline 10 30.0% 47.4 -10.468 70.0% -0.219 -0.9795
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 17.4 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 12 75.0% 52.67 18.313 91.67% 1.185 1.1927
4 Thematic 77 49.35% 53.32 -1.525 74.03% -0.009 0.1247
4 Trapezoid (Default) 273 58.78% 46.45 2.017 71.06% 0.088 0.1948
5 Other 32 60.0% 37.34 5.023 53.13% 0.334 -0.1802
5 Thematic 11 9.09% 30.82 0.0 27.27%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 4 25.0% 56.75 0.0 75.0%
6 Star 6 50.0% 41.67 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 33 3.03% 63.18 15.676 69.7% 0.167 0.4897
6 Two Centers (Default) 43 27.91% 43.84 -22.497 65.12% -0.727 -0.8307
7 Other 1 100.0% 30.0 1.79 0.0% -0.04 -1.4772

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 609 35.49 1.481 46.63% -0.09 0.0142
Aid From Lesser Spirits 457 37.76 3.299 50.55% 0.236 0.0916
All Things Weaken 608 35.59 1.536 47.86% 0.028 0.3936
Attenuated Essence 83 29.53 -0.988 36.14% -0.362 -0.3633
Back Against the Wall 464 36.09 -6.212 46.98% -0.897 -0.8318
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 80 27.8 1.753 35.0% 0.09 0.3252
Burn Brightest Before the End 57 35.09 -7.047 45.61% -1.084 -0.924
Disintegrating Ecosystem 557 30.1 -0.921 36.8% -0.1 0.2761
Downward Spiral 591 34.8 -2.282 50.25% -0.482 -0.4097
Erosion of Will 581 35.12 -0.932 46.99% -0.358 -0.1012
Intensifying Exploitation 83 29.05 -0.524 40.96% -0.14 0.1337
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 184 49.24 6.567 82.61% 0.85 0.363
Memory Fades to Dust 644 34.74 3.74 47.05% 0.483 0.6658
Power Corrodes the Spirit 644 35.19 -1.988 49.38% -0.598 -0.385
Promising Farmlands 544 33.07 0.193 45.22% -0.28 0.0429
Shattered Fragments of Power 58 31.78 -0.481 41.38% -0.263 -0.093
Slow Dissolution of Will 83 33.64 -3.25 46.99% -0.576 -0.1917
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 109 47.83 3.636 79.82% 0.142 -0.5346
The Border of Life and Death 18 29.5 -4.042 50.0% -0.324 -0.8407
Thriving Communities 625 35.83 -1.426 51.36% -0.433 -0.1086
Thriving Crops 38 31.87 -5.904 52.63% -0.554 -0.5522
Unnatural Proliferation 647 35.95 3.01 47.14% 0.103 0.2896
Untended Land Crumbles 601 34.3 -0.591 45.76% -0.165 0.1741

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2492 58.89% 41.69 0.606 62.84% 0.278 1.1412
B 2900 55.03% 43.1 1.631 66.38% 0.527 1.3484
C 2968 56.2% 42.02 -0.509 63.27% -0.052 0.6461
D 2509 56.57% 40.62 -0.506 60.9% 0.017 0.8732
E 2842 54.49% 43.52 3.187 66.4% 0.598 1.2866
F 2383 59.71% 40.43 -0.584 60.64% 0.033 0.8507
G 2022 60.11% 40.86 -0.219 61.42% 0.119 0.9992
H 2166 56.91% 42.11 1.069 63.48% 0.33 1.1108
East 415 54.46% 42.4 -2.896 50.84% -0.378 0.4147
Northeast 220 54.55% 43.79 1.079 51.36% -0.045 0.8357
Northwest 210 49.05% 43.06 1.561 51.9% 0.183 1.0539
Southeast 170 44.12% 47.16 5.237 59.41% 0.433 1.2924
Southwest 171 43.86% 41.87 -5.953 53.8% -0.457 0.7525
West 412 51.7% 39.26 -6.787 49.03% -0.91 0.1507

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 17 0.0% 73.71 0.0 94.12%
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 33.33% 19.0 0.0 0.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 200 18.38% 60.08 8.475 87.0% 0.648 0.0804
Start of Game Growth 461 27.13% 57.27 5.898 84.6% 0.763 0.0991
Unlimited Undo 1422 54.73% 45.2 0.449 69.69% 0.025 0.0479
Using Tokens but Not Events 586 50.44% 43.72 -1.984 66.55% -0.556 -0.5079

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2189 15.45 0.32%
II 5428 30.45 50.87%
III 5216 34.8 84.72%
IV 1939 38.47 99.74%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.68 Win Model: -0.075
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 10303 55.93% 40.79 60.35%
2 2974 59.99% 42.33 64.66%
3 996 58.49% 41.72 64.36%
4 378 55.74% 47.97 70.9%
5 33 50.0% 30.21 42.42%
6 88 20.45% 50.88 64.77%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 7
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4365
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2703
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1923
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1401
Lose: Invader deck ran out 6
Lose: Adversary condition 1263
Win: Sacrifice victory 67
Lose: Scenario condition 70
Win: Scenario condition 56
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2742
Lose: Spirit destroyed 169

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 327 73.93% 38.49 -8.29 37.31% -1.008 -1.205
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 5 20.0% 34.2 -0.421 40.0% 0.497 -0.2178
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 186 81.72% 29.19 -4.721 16.67% -0.159 0.1095
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 64 64.06% 34.64 7.632 34.38% 0.995 0.4271
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 258 75.19% 33.44 -4.131 29.46% 0.144 0.0134
Downpour Drenches the World 138 58.7% 32.63 2.256 33.33% 0.353 0.6222
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 286 64.69% 33.26 -3.42 36.01% -0.084 -0.5155
Eyes Watch From the Trees 530 65.97% 42.21 -5.61 43.4% -0.962 -1.3856
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 148 83.67% 29.7 -7.124 18.24% -0.698 -1.1429
Finder of Paths Unseen 89 64.04% 30.39 13.037 26.97% 0.261 0.9184
Fractured Days Split the Sky 188 60.43% 41.65 -13.305 38.83% -0.963 -0.1545
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 191 79.06% 35.4 -0.946 28.8% 0.004 -0.1136
Heart of the Wildfire 330 83.94% 34.09 -0.453 29.09% 0.096 0.3833
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1504 54.16% 45.74 5.036 56.25% 1.267 0.8739
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 48 52.08% 40.88 6.077 45.83% 0.794 0.3889
Lightning's Swift Strike 124 84.68% 34.77 -8.304 27.42% -0.745 -0.4779
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 72 68.06% 42.25 12.776 45.83% 0.713 0.3616
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 117 74.36% 38.98 -12.434 40.17% -0.078 -0.5192
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 61 62.3% 37.28 4.018 39.34% 0.484 0.441
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2106 56.1% 46.66 4.724 57.98% 1.112 0.8612
Many Minds Move as One 687 74.67% 41.29 -2.744 43.67% -0.33 -0.5608
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 355 76.9% 34.4 -1.894 29.01% -0.235 -0.3395
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 256 82.81% 34.01 -1.603 27.73% 0.14 -0.0157
River Surges in Sunlight 293 78.08% 40.91 -2.699 37.54% -0.152 -0.0629
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 8 25.0% 31.0 -5.129 37.5% -0.177 -0.2892
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 93 81.72% 30.16 -0.525 20.43% 0.479 0.8693
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 129 74.42% 39.35 2.431 41.09% 0.272 0.4091
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 313 75.4% 36.46 3.422 30.67% 0.457 0.2631
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 79 86.08% 25.59 -11.19 10.13% -0.585 -0.0995
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 11 72.73% 44.36 0.0 54.55%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 120 57.5% 40.87 -1.261 48.33% 0.113 -0.3556
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 18 61.11% 33.94 0.0 27.78%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 77 88.31% 32.31 -3.595 19.48% -0.349 -0.3193
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 68 92.65% 31.85 0.0 20.59%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 728 69.46% 46.4 3.106 51.79% 0.764 0.6113
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 96 57.29% 24.84 1.034 28.13% 0.458 0.2587
Shifting Memory of Ages 113 76.99% 36.58 -5.133 33.63% -0.503 -0.0545
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 3 33.33% 75.33 14.881 100.0% 0.973 0.6686
Shroud of Silent Mist 160 89.38% 27.07 -3.085 15.0% -0.306 0.0299
Starlight Seeks its Form 436 73.85% 38.31 0.628 37.61% -0.438 -0.4935
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 561 69.16% 35.7 -1.954 36.01% -0.202 -0.8247
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 521 72.36% 43.72 -3.31 47.02% -0.127 0.067
Thunderspeaker 245 81.07% 35.2 -1.613 25.31% -0.207 -0.2605
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 19 42.11% 9.95 -9.094 0.0% -0.043 0.091
Towering Roots of the Jungle 73 49.32% 33.19 -0.181 41.1% 0.3 0.3095
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 425 90.59% 34.95 -3.355 31.29% -0.481 -0.3977
Vital Strength of the Earth 93 79.35% 34.06 -14.826 29.03% -0.408 0.187
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 47 68.09% 31.94 -10.161 25.53% -0.562 -0.1224
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 105 85.71% 31.18 4.234 18.1% 0.074 0.7656
Volcano Looming High 272 72.79% 36.82 -3.356 37.13% -0.295 -0.1919
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 60 66.67% 27.82 -6.198 25.0% -0.699 -0.9509

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 33.33% 17.0 -0.051 16.67% 0.122 -0.0987
Blitz 0 37 64.86% 28.95 -2.301 21.62% -0.224 0.0631
Dahan Insurrection 4 87 47.13% 45.91 -4.384 27.59% -0.202 -0.3175
Despicable Theft 2 17 52.94% 34.76 -10.42 29.41% -0.049 0.6897
Elemental Invocation 1 43 67.44% 21.09 -3.043 9.3% 0.162 0.9183
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 585 32.14% 54.76 5.562 64.1% 0.836 0.2541
Powers Long Forgotten 1 30 83.33% 22.0 0.0 3.33%
Rituals of Terror 3 16 87.5% 31.94 0.0 12.5%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 4 75.0% 56.5 5.208 50.0% -0.031 0.88
Second Wave 0 112 75.0% 39.5 18.41 33.04% 1.027 1.1065
The Great River 3 6 66.67% 30.83 0.0 16.67%
Varied Terrains 2 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 19 78.95% 33.21 -18.307 21.05% -0.372 0.6093

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6692 64.4% 41.69 1.754 46.0% 0.481 0.8251
1 Thematic 338 68.64% 37.09 -1.783 28.7% 0.247 0.7742
2 Archipelago 25 36.0% 29.68 -8.314 16.0% -0.375 0.1239
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1181 80.27% 37.04 -2.149 34.21% -0.221 0.0632
2 Coastline 132 64.39% 47.63 0.0 55.3%
2 Fragment 35 94.29% 35.66 12.71 28.57% 0.5 0.2629
2 Heart 19 78.95% 39.32 0.0 47.37%
2 Opposite Shores 215 59.07% 34.41 -1.251 36.28% 0.016 0.0756
2 Thematic 55 69.09% 33.58 -1.37 16.36% -0.421 -0.0513
2 Top to Top 98 42.86% 29.45 0.0 34.69%
3 Archipelago 5 40.0% 22.8 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 57.75 0.0 62.5%
3 Other 18 88.89% 46.94 0.0 38.89%
3 Round (Default) 503 75.35% 39.08 -1.194 42.15% -0.086 -0.1792
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 23.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 14 78.57% 35.43 -0.103 28.57% -0.057 -0.5752
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 28.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 74.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 6 66.67% 38.5 0.0 33.33%
4 Thematic 35 77.14% 38.26 -1.029 31.43% -0.188 -0.0549
4 Trapezoid (Default) 165 82.21% 39.08 -1.958 38.79% -0.335 -0.2284
5 Other 19 52.63% 39.79 2.764 47.37% 0.175 -0.3392
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 72.5 -10.42 50.0% -0.049 -1.0309
6 Star 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Thematic 8 37.5% 6.13 0.0 0.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 15 46.67% 41.47 21.688 26.67% 0.298 0.1948

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 480 35.93 4.75 28.54% 0.467 0.5707
Aid From Lesser Spirits 336 41.01 -3.283 39.29% -0.656 -0.8006
All Things Weaken 477 35.42 -2.107 29.35% -0.524 -0.158
Attenuated Essence 64 33.88 -2.996 34.38% -0.787 -0.7886
Back Against the Wall 334 35.45 -4.597 27.84% -1.195 -1.1302
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 78 27.92 -4.0 23.08% -0.392 -0.1575
Burn Brightest Before the End 49 30.22 -7.232 26.53% -0.486 -0.3257
Disintegrating Ecosystem 426 30.2 -4.294 20.89% -1.066 -0.69
Downward Spiral 481 35.69 -1.148 34.72% -0.296 -0.2237
Erosion of Will 453 34.05 -6.677 26.93% -1.301 -1.0449
Intensifying Exploitation 67 32.52 2.076 28.36% -0.094 0.1804
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 111 48.85 3.667 63.96% 0.361 -0.1253
Memory Fades to Dust 492 33.86 -4.337 28.05% -1.21 -1.0274
Power Corrodes the Spirit 433 34.87 -1.129 29.56% -0.193 0.0201
Promising Farmlands 448 32.02 -5.597 25.22% -0.913 -0.59
Shattered Fragments of Power 46 33.74 -2.286 23.91% -0.419 -0.2488
Slow Dissolution of Will 55 29.93 1.821 27.27% 0.226 0.6101
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 70 50.21 -11.68 68.57% -0.429 -1.1049
The Border of Life and Death 8 27.63 0.0 37.5%
Thriving Communities 505 35.95 -0.936 33.47% -0.409 -0.085
Thriving Crops 19 31.89 -16.131 36.84% -0.605 -0.604
Unnatural Proliferation 516 35.85 -2.913 28.88% -0.415 -0.2284
Untended Land Crumbles 492 33.52 -1.973 26.42% -0.407 -0.0676

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1639 71.98% 39.37 2.411 40.76% 0.551 1.4146
B 1795 68.39% 38.65 -2.888 40.56% -0.323 0.4985
C 1921 65.16% 39.77 -0.555 43.1% 0.056 0.7542
D 1501 68.89% 38.01 -2.376 38.44% -0.324 0.5318
E 1939 66.46% 43.94 3.077 49.2% 0.58 1.2689
F 1364 69.19% 38.58 -1.5 40.1% -0.158 0.6602
G 1165 72.74% 39.06 1.171 40.17% 0.315 1.1951
H 1314 71.74% 40.55 2.277 41.55% 0.69 1.4709
East 278 66.91% 38.98 2.418 30.58% 0.084 0.8766
Northeast 130 72.31% 38.17 -3.131 29.23% -0.623 0.2574
Northwest 108 68.52% 33.76 -2.725 25.0% -0.484 0.3873
Southeast 101 58.42% 35.46 9.44 31.68% 0.352 1.2111
Southwest 88 64.77% 27.68 -3.22 18.18% -0.211 0.9979
West 244 70.08% 32.75 -8.296 22.13% -0.88 0.1807

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 5 0.0% 38.6 0.0 40.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 208 16.99% 69.64 11.536 87.02% 0.803 0.2358
Start of Game Growth 433 29.47% 64.92 6.184 82.45% 0.585 -0.0794
Unlimited Undo 922 66.19% 43.88 1.369 50.65% 0.327 0.3497
Using Tokens but Not Events 440 51.72% 47.57 1.834 58.86% 0.279 0.3266

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1478 15.45 2.5%
II 5145 30.45 35.8%
III 2229 34.8 67.03%
IV 746 38.47 99.73%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.169 Win Model: -0.047
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7070 64.47% 41.45 45.08%
2 1738 74.57% 36.94 35.33%
3 534 75.28% 38.85 41.39%
4 215 78.87% 39.76 39.07%
5 18 55.56% 32.94 33.33%
6 23 34.78% 31.57 21.74%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 37
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1465
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1803
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 739
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1120
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3
Lose: Adversary condition 1094
Win: Sacrifice victory 45
Lose: Scenario condition 74
Win: Scenario condition 28
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3083
Lose: Spirit destroyed 107

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2149 62.84% 47.57 0.48 35.78% 0.604 0.4076
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 151 42.38% 26.12 -0.946 21.85% 0.357 -0.3577
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 925 81.71% 42.37 -2.438 21.95% 0.209 0.4772
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 552 76.09% 37.93 1.731 34.06% 0.173 -0.3949
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1083 85.99% 30.49 -6.024 13.3% -0.658 -0.7889
Downpour Drenches the World 1035 62.13% 28.15 -3.861 18.65% -0.337 -0.0672
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1185 73.76% 26.37 -2.317 18.82% -0.199 -0.6306
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2488 64.9% 53.65 11.026 38.91% 0.701 0.2779
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 584 84.39% 35.32 -5.846 21.06% -0.771 -1.216
Finder of Paths Unseen 380 54.62% 29.66 -1.421 24.21% 0.145 0.8021
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2806 49.61% 56.81 -1.621 46.26% 0.261 1.0688
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 950 84.62% 34.89 -0.621 22.42% 0.283 0.1654
Heart of the Wildfire 1434 83.37% 28.59 -5.536 12.83% -0.783 -0.4962
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 14096 57.06% 57.39 5.933 64.07% 1.336 0.9429
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 426 53.88% 28.6 -4.111 26.29% -0.354 -0.759
Lightning's Swift Strike 572 81.85% 34.58 -7.608 20.45% -0.499 -0.2314
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 925 71.35% 41.22 2.646 32.97% 0.643 0.2911
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 502 86.03% 39.81 -4.938 28.29% -0.433 -0.8744
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 556 62.59% 51.64 9.486 48.56% 1.388 1.3453
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 9421 69.68% 48.14 0.936 45.91% 0.688 0.4371
Many Minds Move as One 2509 73.35% 48.05 3.389 37.27% 0.217 -0.0132
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1709 78.86% 33.59 -5.701 19.13% -1.357 -1.4614
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 818 84.01% 36.4 -4.416 23.72% -0.777 -0.9329
River Surges in Sunlight 1767 82.42% 55.36 3.88 36.05% 0.43 0.5191
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 131 52.67% 32.87 -0.195 23.66% -0.125 -0.2367
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 442 64.03% 42.43 -6.754 25.79% -0.572 -0.1816
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 666 70.12% 49.51 1.934 33.33% 0.383 0.5208
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2788 64.56% 47.88 3.793 41.75% 0.667 0.4734
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 406 86.17% 36.29 -8.399 17.98% -0.585 -0.0996
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 64 79.69% 32.31 -11.587 15.63% -0.095 -0.039
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 579 70.47% 31.63 -1.17 24.87% 0.127 -0.3417
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 87 79.31% 35.72 -5.233 26.44% -0.435 -0.219
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 325 83.69% 35.17 -4.029 19.08% 0.237 0.2659
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 233 81.55% 40.69 -9.981 29.18% -0.044 0.1287
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2163 74.93% 46.81 3.82 40.45% 0.989 0.8363
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 546 64.29% 32.91 -0.424 29.12% 0.251 0.0522
Shifting Memory of Ages 1906 57.43% 35.1 -3.375 20.99% -0.165 0.2843
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 127 45.67% 34.14 3.137 33.86% 1.145 0.8403
Shroud of Silent Mist 664 81.85% 31.6 -2.274 15.66% -0.391 -0.055
Starlight Seeks its Form 3399 65.95% 43.95 2.542 42.72% 0.597 0.542
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5143 59.72% 47.11 3.736 38.46% 0.468 -0.1549
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2098 81.13% 45.66 3.433 38.94% 0.898 1.0912
Thunderspeaker 1020 79.47% 42.84 0.327 24.9% 0.147 0.0933
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 99 74.49% 20.63 -10.648 13.13% -1.011 -0.8772
Towering Roots of the Jungle 421 61.05% 21.4 -5.018 17.1% -0.275 -0.266
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2194 90.98% 35.36 -3.257 23.56% -0.114 -0.0309
Vital Strength of the Earth 331 78.25% 33.01 -7.285 15.41% -0.596 -0.0015
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 238 58.4% 32.78 -6.267 23.11% -0.596 -0.1566
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 367 80.38% 32.74 -6.612 17.44% -1.358 -0.6669
Volcano Looming High 2132 78.06% 39.55 -2.372 31.71% 0.037 0.1409
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 528 62.69% 23.45 -6.909 15.15% -0.762 -1.0139

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 0.0% 0.0 -10.216 0.0% -0.015 -0.2356
Blitz 0 349 59.13% 44.35 -6.306 35.24% -1.446 -1.1597
Dahan Insurrection 4 2599 32.27% 65.7 5.983 49.25% 1.158 1.0425
Despicable Theft 2 13 50.0% 35.77 0.0 23.08%
Elemental Invocation 1 120 81.67% 33.63 -7.46 12.5% -0.614 0.1418
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2704 45.02% 49.66 4.395 42.86% 0.228 -0.3534
Powers Long Forgotten 1 14 57.14% 19.79 -14.705 7.14% -0.194 0.6593
Rituals of Terror 3 942 50.58% 115.45 26.95 65.92% 3.591 3.4207
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 43 44.19% 24.95 -19.18 9.3% -0.172 0.7384
Second Wave 0 128 72.66% 49.51 5.794 42.19% 0.777 0.8569
The Great River 3 51 70.59% 33.47 0.0 7.84%
Varied Terrains 2 17 41.18% 70.59 0.0 58.82%
Ward the Shores 2 43 81.4% 37.4 -5.296 18.6% -0.094 0.8871

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 49289 69.07% 45.54 1.803 41.89% 0.995 1.3388
1 Thematic 1061 73.14% 42.69 -3.507 27.8% 0.328 0.8554
2 Archipelago 111 45.05% 73.26 -17.401 44.14% -1.43 -0.9308
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3832 78.0% 40.12 -0.75 31.84% 0.138 0.4224
2 Coastline 878 69.33% 37.24 -7.279 28.47% -0.538 -0.5089
2 Fragment 109 79.82% 41.77 9.43 35.78% 1.01 0.773
2 Heart 151 74.17% 44.16 3.581 25.83% 0.424 0.2766
2 Opposite Shores 1620 63.21% 34.39 -0.59 18.83% 0.7 0.7588
2 Thematic 727 70.25% 87.28 -5.618 46.49% -0.413 -0.0432
2 Top to Top 248 62.5% 34.05 -5.197 27.02% -0.166 -0.0429
3 Archipelago 49 69.39% 118.0 21.824 71.43% -0.454 -1.252
3 Coastline 17 76.47% 36.88 2.478 29.41% -0.43 -0.9787
3 Other 63 68.25% 49.46 1.873 44.44% 0.653 0.1151
3 Round (Default) 1857 72.86% 40.3 -1.872 33.23% -0.024 -0.1163
3 Thematic 319 20.13% 105.74 17.746 65.2% 0.837 0.3186
4 Archipelago 4 100.0% 137.25 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 5 60.0% 43.0 22.505 40.0% 0.732 -0.0286
4 Leaf 7 71.43% 21.71 -10.786 14.29% -0.458 -0.6692
4 Other 49 75.51% 42.31 8.404 22.45% -0.038 -0.0302
4 Thematic 337 32.05% 81.7 -9.583 62.31% -1.015 -0.8816
4 Trapezoid (Default) 876 64.77% 40.56 -5.954 32.42% -1.039 -0.9322
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 30.5 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 81.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 69 59.09% 43.42 6.24 30.43% 0.541 0.0264
5 Thematic 35 51.43% 61.83 0.0 31.43%
6 Archipelago 8 28.57% 89.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 -17.673 0.0% -0.33 -1.3688
6 Other 60 48.33% 53.12 0.989 60.0% -0.071 0.5639
6 Star 14 28.57% 49.36 -12.219 50.0% -0.575 -0.3309
6 Thematic 49 40.82% 21.14 -3.231 10.2% -0.223 0.1001
6 Two Centers (Default) 187 25.67% 50.95 7.15 46.52% 0.28 0.1768
7 Archipelago 5 75.0% 98.4 0.0 60.0%
7 Other 2 100.0% 30.5 11.057 0.0% 0.488 -0.9487

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3064 41.37 3.79 29.63% 0.112 0.2154
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2223 45.49 6.667 35.72% 0.427 0.2822
All Things Weaken 3268 41.19 3.45 28.67% 0.073 0.4393
Attenuated Essence 526 32.18 0.523 22.05% -0.581 -0.5821
Back Against the Wall 2170 43.66 4.184 31.89% -0.365 -0.2999
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 532 33.67 1.712 24.25% -0.072 0.1626
Burn Brightest Before the End 352 37.82 1.433 26.99% -0.248 -0.0877
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2868 35.43 -1.759 20.89% -0.658 -0.2823
Downward Spiral 3063 42.74 0.868 33.86% -0.172 -0.0999
Erosion of Will 3030 38.96 1.21 25.02% -0.323 -0.0662
Intensifying Exploitation 557 33.97 0.056 25.13% -0.425 -0.1506
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 660 61.46 1.556 68.79% 0.241 -0.2459
Memory Fades to Dust 3174 41.63 4.389 31.13% 0.132 0.3153
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3076 40.4 -0.577 28.77% -0.663 -0.4505
Promising Farmlands 2913 39.17 -1.411 28.05% -0.715 -0.3921
Shattered Fragments of Power 337 34.33 0.224 21.96% -0.75 -0.5797
Slow Dissolution of Will 576 32.1 1.183 20.83% -0.369 0.015
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 417 65.46 11.38 74.1% 0.73 0.0539
The Border of Life and Death 92 35.17 -0.09 39.13% -0.079 -0.5954
Thriving Communities 3135 40.96 1.181 30.11% -0.269 0.0551
Thriving Crops 151 34.88 -3.025 37.09% -0.025 -0.0237
Unnatural Proliferation 3317 41.31 2.349 27.49% -0.335 -0.1487
Untended Land Crumbles 3255 40.02 3.533 29.12% 0.158 0.497

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10057 71.13% 40.21 -0.865 32.59% -0.244 0.619
B 10134 72.22% 42.23 -0.283 36.14% -0.031 0.7901
C 11448 69.06% 45.3 1.299 38.79% 0.041 0.7392
D 8319 69.95% 41.09 -2.514 33.95% -0.235 0.6207
E 11144 68.91% 45.73 0.053 41.77% 0.11 0.7985
F 8112 69.44% 42.42 -0.396 36.88% -0.059 0.7588
G 6633 71.14% 43.18 -1.152 37.27% -0.329 0.5517
H 9043 60.47% 49.28 0.159 47.64% -0.012 0.7682
East 1806 52.88% 78.21 3.687 48.06% -0.553 0.2395
Northeast 994 42.7% 83.5 6.363 52.62% -0.515 0.366
Northwest 635 52.6% 71.62 -3.115 44.25% -0.364 0.5073
Southeast 422 54.03% 48.61 -10.104 31.99% -0.892 -0.0327
Southwest 441 58.73% 40.02 -7.67 26.98% -1.365 -0.1555
West 1707 53.49% 76.31 6.293 47.04% 0.304 1.3642

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 44 0.0% 59.23 -6.28 59.09% -0.644 0.0713
Not Using Events or Tokens 11 72.73% 118.18 0.0 63.64%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1606 31.62% 65.38 7.512 66.31% 0.61 0.0423
Start of Game Growth 2648 33.97% 64.13 5.226 68.77% 0.802 0.1372
Unlimited Undo 5775 58.36% 53.64 0.755 57.39% 0.5 0.5228
Using Tokens but Not Events 2947 57.39% 47.94 -5.82 38.48% -1.417 -1.369

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 17332 15.45 0.77%
II 27605 30.45 37.57%
III 11901 34.8 76.65%
IV 5242 38.47 99.87%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.238 Win Model: 0.088
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 51925 68.64% 45.87 41.28%
2 6484 74.87% 43.26 31.86%
3 2117 68.68% 45.98 35.95%
4 1182 59.76% 45.54 36.97%
5 84 45.68% 39.18 27.38%
6 288 31.36% 50.0 48.26%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 116
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8970
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8929
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4816
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 8337
Lose: Invader deck ran out 59
Lose: Adversary condition 7672
Win: Sacrifice victory 744
Lose: Scenario condition 598
Win: Scenario condition 1286
Lose: Blight pool ran out 19755
Lose: Spirit destroyed 798

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)