The Tsardom of Russia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1044 23.13% 26.96 1.313 83.14% 0.188 0.1517
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 642 44.38% 25.02 -1.526 80.37% -0.173 -0.0147
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 65 33.85% 27.38 2.935 67.69% 0.674 -0.3386
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1082 25.86% 27.64 0.354 86.32% 0.16 -0.0524
Downpour Drenches the World 303 19.21% 25.34 -1.741 75.25% -0.266 -0.0186
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 240 24.58% 25.57 0.741 74.58% 0.19 -0.3727
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1177 15.9% 31.21 2.8 90.23% 0.694 0.2145
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 942 23.82% 28.83 0.994 88.64% 0.586 0.1794
Finder of Paths Unseen 135 29.63% 17.99 -4.983 50.37% -1.132 -0.3699
Fractured Days Split the Sky 518 32.5% 26.46 -0.661 71.81% -0.437 0.2256
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 761 39.42% 25.95 -2.276 72.93% -0.603 -0.6057
Heart of the Wildfire 798 56.02% 23.05 0.863 72.81% 0.354 0.7238
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1608 25.45% 27.2 -0.341 88.06% 0.299 -0.1276
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 49 22.45% 30.43 3.841 79.59% 0.976 0.4837
Lightning's Swift Strike 562 37.07% 26.12 -1.485 82.38% -0.337 -0.1243
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 112 35.71% 26.88 2.411 73.21% 0.348 -0.2676
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 320 26.02% 27.62 1.972 84.38% 0.561 0.2755
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 281 27.96% 29.67 1.469 81.49% -0.246 -0.348
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1786 27.74% 28.03 0.952 86.9% 0.531 0.2851
Many Minds Move as One 1375 20.86% 27.98 -0.46 90.04% 0.01 -0.1518
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1174 38.46% 26.4 0.644 77.68% -0.135 -0.1012
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 956 28.97% 27.12 1.495 84.52% 0.754 0.5871
River Surges in Sunlight 764 37.01% 28.37 1.96 81.15% 0.082 0.1099
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 455 38.02% 28.89 -0.517 81.32% -0.256 0.0834
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 129 34.11% 27.45 1.201 66.67% 0.09 0.0582
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 838 26.37% 27.47 1.386 83.89% 0.17 0.0595
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 339 50.89% 24.59 -2.295 77.58% -0.519 0.0563
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 48 31.25% 25.56 1.167 66.67% 0.415 0.4379
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 26 50.0% 31.31 3.522 76.92% 0.676 0.2237
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 52 34.62% 23.48 -2.89 71.15% -0.45 -0.2142
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 296 32.09% 26.75 1.246 82.77% 0.266 0.1784
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 241 32.78% 26.19 -1.68 82.16% -0.386 -0.1901
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1160 26.04% 27.33 -1.31 86.55% -0.121 -0.1428
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 93 25.81% 23.25 3.036 62.37% 0.429 0.0964
Shifting Memory of Ages 469 42.31% 23.23 -0.617 69.72% -0.233 0.0483
Shroud of Silent Mist 614 44.95% 23.88 -2.686 75.08% -0.503 -0.2302
Starlight Seeks its Form 695 24.42% 28.12 -0.34 78.71% 0.179 -0.041
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1252 25.74% 26.0 -0.708 87.3% 0.062 -0.3851
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 860 30.07% 25.9 -1.936 80.23% -0.337 -0.2156
Thunderspeaker 842 28.54% 28.94 0.013 82.19% -0.089 -0.0702
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 78 33.33% 21.13 -1.449 47.44% -0.304 -0.0994
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1073 63.15% 22.94 -2.751 80.52% -0.215 -0.0402
Vital Strength of the Earth 541 31.54% 23.77 0.755 74.12% 0.301 0.8736
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 97 25.77% 21.02 -3.403 63.92% -0.518 -0.1362
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 278 27.7% 21.22 -6.537 69.78% -1.729 -0.9719
Volcano Looming High 862 42.91% 23.38 -2.053 74.48% -0.492 -0.5186
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 86 26.74% 27.93 3.394 79.07% 1.338 0.8041

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 11 18.18% 23.0 1.888 63.64% -0.068 -0.2538
Blitz 0 265 28.9% 21.29 -3.257 69.06% -1.224 -1.0929
Dahan Insurrection 4 438 18.49% 46.1 2.349 81.28% -0.643 -0.8982
Despicable Theft 2 136 33.09% 26.81 -4.452 58.82% -1.854 -1.3125
Elemental Invocation 1 175 37.71% 24.76 -4.56 69.71% -1.076 -0.219
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 652 10.74% 30.54 3.742 82.06% 0.314 -0.4573
Powers Long Forgotten 1 186 44.09% 23.66 -7.159 61.29% -1.793 -0.8579
Rituals of Terror 3 199 37.44% 31.82 2.399 66.83% -0.456 -0.36
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 144 55.56% 32.21 -3.395 67.36% -1.105 0.0913
Second Wave 0 363 49.59% 31.97 2.181 72.18% 0.084 0.1694
The Great River 3 162 42.59% 26.65 -4.207 54.94% -1.659 -0.298
Varied Terrains 2 97 42.27% 24.57 0.598 51.55% -0.735 0.0531
Ward the Shores 2 254 34.78% 27.61 -2.589 67.32% -0.88 0.1517

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11761 34.13% 25.88 0.436 81.59% 0.247 0.4382
1 Thematic 1725 40.53% 28.81 -0.875 77.28% -0.264 0.3806
2 Archipelago 18 38.89% 29.78 11.813 61.11% 0.919 1.3505
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2498 31.58% 25.57 -0.851 82.03% -0.171 -0.1745
2 Coastline 291 29.55% 25.14 -0.661 80.76% -0.243 -0.1868
2 Fragment 57 26.32% 25.6 1.571 80.7% 0.589 0.3221
2 Heart 31 45.16% 22.52 0.0 74.19%
2 Opposite Shores 391 24.42% 27.88 3.27 88.75% 0.675 0.6888
2 Thematic 387 34.88% 29.41 -3.924 74.68% -0.401 -0.2045
2 Top to Top 45 26.67% 24.8 -0.12 82.22% 0.227 0.1287
3 Archipelago 8 62.5% 42.38 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 14 50.0% 31.5 0.0 64.29%
3 Other 36 38.89% 25.69 3.142 91.67% 0.242 -0.1503
3 Round (Default) 1159 29.31% 27.04 2.759 85.59% 0.484 0.1486
3 Sunrise 5 20.0% 25.2 2.673 80.0% 0.033 0.2759
3 Thematic 80 36.25% 26.25 -1.406 65.0% -0.666 -0.95
4 Archipelago 5 20.0% 36.2 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 6 66.67% 29.83 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 2 0.0% 31.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 16 43.75% 31.63 0.0 93.75%
4 Thematic 100 23.23% 35.54 7.399 86.0% 0.181 0.1014
4 Trapezoid (Default) 510 22.94% 24.53 -4.993 76.27% -2.52 -2.6769
5 Other 35 35.29% 28.77 4.855 71.43% 0.187 -0.8875
5 Thematic 3 0.0% 32.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 3 66.67% 44.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 19 26.32% 30.89 2.234 100.0% 0.022 0.1214
6 Thematic 39 23.08% 31.54 -0.427 64.1% -0.352 0.297
6 Two Centers (Default) 77 16.88% 31.57 6.339 81.82% -0.359 -0.6933
7 Other 4 0.0% 20.0 0.0 25.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 427 21.87 -0.217 66.28% -0.474 -0.3443
Aid From Lesser Spirits 358 23.36 2.292 68.99% 0.326 0.2071
All Things Weaken 502 20.37 -0.422 61.35% -0.332 -0.0246
Attenuated Essence 40 19.43 -1.454 52.5% -0.472 -0.4397
Back Against the Wall 375 21.19 1.691 60.0% -0.04 -0.0097
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 44 19.57 0.952 50.0% -0.319 -0.1328
Burn Brightest Before the End 35 19.06 0.316 51.43% -0.366 -0.2953
Disintegrating Ecosystem 414 18.74 -0.853 64.49% -0.521 -0.1449
Downward Spiral 499 20.89 -2.191 69.94% -0.605 -0.4396
Erosion of Will 404 22.03 -0.597 65.84% -0.303 -0.0883
Intensifying Exploitation 43 22.74 4.988 58.14% 0.272 0.5138
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 236 27.37 5.922 92.37% 1.358 0.7766
Memory Fades to Dust 511 20.36 -1.551 64.38% -0.415 -0.1218
Power Corrodes the Spirit 460 21.58 0.921 68.91% 0.069 0.2299
Promising Farmlands 394 19.95 -2.469 62.18% -0.87 -0.5741
Shattered Fragments of Power 29 23.41 0.733 55.17% -0.262 -0.1741
Slow Dissolution of Will 45 16.53 -2.188 40.0% -0.344 0.0489
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 153 26.44 5.033 90.85% 0.828 0.1162
The Border of Life and Death 8 25.88 -0.972 87.5% -0.041 -0.5209
Thriving Communities 476 19.22 -0.17 63.24% -0.136 0.1639
Thriving Crops 22 26.91 5.443 86.36% 1.096 0.9946
Unnatural Proliferation 491 21.29 -2.456 62.73% -0.848 -0.6785
Untended Land Crumbles 484 20.2 -2.465 63.64% -0.722 -0.4643

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3228 31.92% 25.87 0.065 81.6% -0.448 0.6951
B 3366 31.06% 25.89 -0.678 81.79% -0.54 0.515
C 3527 31.06% 26.21 0.262 82.42% -0.48 0.4085
D 3261 33.2% 25.85 -0.592 81.97% -0.475 0.5794
E 3221 31.08% 26.36 -0.134 82.71% -0.466 0.438
F 3070 31.41% 26.23 -0.284 81.34% -0.489 0.5155
G 2666 29.71% 26.56 -0.056 82.56% -0.588 0.3804
H 2809 31.51% 26.08 0.419 81.24% -0.449 0.5437
East 1423 37.54% 30.13 -0.713 79.27% -1.05 -0.0613
Northeast 533 33.27% 31.1 -0.062 74.3% -0.828 0.1211
Northwest 488 34.5% 30.39 -0.73 74.8% -0.615 0.4265
Southeast 668 42.96% 28.67 0.107 83.98% -0.265 0.6529
Southwest 471 32.06% 25.3 -3.169 71.55% -1.071 0.3859
West 1229 35.59% 28.7 0.677 73.07% -0.624 0.4833

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 45 0.0% 26.69 -0.542 84.44% 0.092 0.7556
Not Using Events or Tokens 44 29.55% 28.07 4.189 75.0% 0.512 1.0058
Skip Initial Invader Actions 386 7.34% 37.86 4.834 93.52% 0.907 0.2847
Start of Game Growth 663 11.51% 35.24 3.729 92.16% 0.722 0.3095
Unlimited Undo 1325 22.6% 27.42 -1.34 84.23% -0.442 -0.5371
Using Tokens but Not Events 1717 26.08% 26.78 0.639 81.25% -0.178 -0.1022

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2356 16.77 23.09%
II 6651 30.59 82.69%
III 7080 34.74 90.95%
IV 3262 38.3 99.23%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.065 Win Model: 0.851
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13733 34.99% 26.13 80.36%
2 3566 30.89% 26.56 83.71%
3 1254 30.05% 27.41 85.81%
4 632 23.14% 26.64 78.48%
5 21 30.0% 24.57 71.43%
6 143 20.28% 31.71 78.32%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 543
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6229
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5129
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3203
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1324
Lose: Invader deck ran out 162
Lose: Adversary condition 199
Win: Sacrifice victory 89
Lose: Scenario condition 128
Win: Scenario condition 527
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1689
Lose: Spirit destroyed 127

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 647 38.85% 29.77 1.628 68.47% 0.359 0.3232
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 398 64.07% 27.79 1.984 64.57% 0.359 0.5178
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 23 43.48% 31.09 4.181 73.91% 0.766 -0.247
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 606 41.23% 32.47 4.493 75.08% 0.797 0.5843
Downpour Drenches the World 193 41.88% 22.8 -1.744 53.89% -0.196 0.0511
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 195 30.77% 25.45 1.252 61.54% 0.095 -0.4679
Eyes Watch From the Trees 886 31.48% 36.54 1.104 81.6% 0.224 -0.2555
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 550 41.68% 32.46 3.061 75.09% 0.594 0.1878
Finder of Paths Unseen 98 47.96% 18.91 -3.057 41.84% -0.324 0.4379
Fractured Days Split the Sky 315 41.59% 29.6 -2.936 62.22% -1.082 -0.42
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 486 52.99% 27.64 -4.293 63.17% -1.054 -1.0565
Heart of the Wildfire 582 71.99% 22.4 -3.74 49.14% -0.702 -0.3324
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1230 42.88% 31.55 -1.561 73.98% -0.328 -0.7547
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 25 36.0% 30.0 6.821 68.0% 1.357 0.8647
Lightning's Swift Strike 304 58.61% 26.71 -2.055 58.55% -0.27 -0.0564
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 41 48.78% 33.41 6.024 73.17% 1.283 0.6675
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 178 61.8% 28.44 -4.936 62.36% -0.805 -1.0906
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 170 41.76% 37.73 1.692 71.18% 0.126 0.0234
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1343 43.37% 33.07 2.996 81.24% 0.662 0.4156
Many Minds Move as One 1160 35.03% 34.73 1.323 86.12% 0.223 0.0619
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 731 53.1% 30.2 0.567 64.57% -0.274 -0.24
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 565 48.32% 30.78 0.238 72.92% 0.157 -0.0097
River Surges in Sunlight 474 53.49% 30.82 1.041 66.46% -0.05 -0.023
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 293 54.79% 34.51 -0.516 66.55% -0.148 0.1915
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 100 45.0% 23.34 -2.663 47.0% -0.485 -0.5161
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 470 50.21% 28.29 0.363 65.96% -0.061 -0.1711
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 204 62.75% 27.25 3.324 62.75% 0.684 1.2597
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 39 56.41% 29.69 8.439 64.1% 0.717 0.7404
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 62 41.94% 19.9 -0.594 43.55% -0.329 -0.7814
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 45 48.89% 27.91 1.921 66.67% 0.285 0.5206
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 164 58.54% 28.99 -0.313 69.51% -0.264 -0.3511
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 122 54.92% 31.94 8.135 69.67% 1.101 1.2963
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1062 40.25% 33.08 2.348 78.91% 0.535 0.5135
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 117 32.48% 25.98 4.079 61.54% 0.975 0.6429
Shifting Memory of Ages 318 50.31% 26.0 0.84 61.32% -0.069 0.2126
Shroud of Silent Mist 332 63.55% 24.17 -1.419 54.82% -0.212 0.0607
Starlight Seeks its Form 489 27.72% 33.0 -1.194 76.28% -0.372 -0.5921
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 754 42.48% 26.04 0.732 61.54% 0.348 -0.0987
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 625 41.16% 31.5 -0.809 70.88% -0.264 -0.1425
Thunderspeaker 655 44.43% 33.64 1.276 67.48% 0.182 0.2008
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 44 47.73% 16.18 -3.081 31.82% -0.407 -0.2027
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 443 75.62% 24.19 -3.588 56.88% -0.738 -0.5637
Vital Strength of the Earth 307 48.86% 25.78 -4.942 52.12% -1.453 -0.8811
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 67 50.75% 22.25 -2.628 47.76% -0.246 0.1361
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 186 44.09% 25.13 -5.626 60.22% -0.984 -0.2265
Volcano Looming High 520 55.96% 25.67 -1.272 60.58% -0.278 -0.304
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 51 45.1% 21.55 0.683 50.98% 0.33 -0.2033

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 12 16.67% 21.42 0.779 50.0% -0.081 -0.2676
Blitz 0 208 46.15% 23.06 -4.523 51.44% -0.936 -0.8049
Dahan Insurrection 4 294 27.55% 54.45 5.819 75.85% -0.295 -0.55
Despicable Theft 2 92 52.17% 24.1 -4.668 38.04% -0.729 -0.1874
Elemental Invocation 1 129 58.91% 22.68 -2.536 42.64% -0.5 0.3567
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 475 20.25% 35.53 4.542 74.11% 0.172 -0.5993
Powers Long Forgotten 1 160 52.5% 26.01 -4.415 49.38% -0.894 0.0411
Rituals of Terror 3 106 60.38% 34.21 -0.276 51.89% -0.432 -0.3365
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 82 73.17% 32.29 -6.736 46.34% -1.006 0.1905
Second Wave 0 767 53.46% 30.47 -1.214 64.15% -0.561 -0.4748
The Great River 3 74 64.86% 24.65 -2.675 32.43% -0.82 0.5414
Varied Terrains 2 45 42.22% 22.18 -3.435 37.78% -0.604 0.1843
Ward the Shores 2 178 46.63% 28.24 -6.114 50.56% -1.0 0.0315

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7961 46.29% 28.74 0.492 67.34% 0.766 0.9573
1 Thematic 1070 51.36% 29.64 -0.929 53.27% 0.171 0.8157
2 Archipelago 6 50.0% 41.17 0.0 83.33%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1698 49.59% 28.05 0.241 68.43% 0.29 0.2859
2 Coastline 257 46.48% 27.93 -3.48 66.93% -0.343 -0.2873
2 Fragment 56 57.14% 27.79 -0.259 66.07% 0.222 -0.0445
2 Heart 21 57.14% 23.38 -5.317 52.38% -0.371 -0.4095
2 Opposite Shores 326 48.77% 28.76 -4.224 71.17% -0.428 -0.4136
2 Thematic 285 55.09% 27.58 -1.257 53.68% -0.001 0.196
2 Top to Top 53 56.6% 32.85 3.187 84.91% 0.749 0.6509
3 Archipelago 11 81.82% 35.18 0.0 36.36%
3 Coastline 12 66.67% 41.5 0.0 75.0%
3 Other 24 62.5% 32.13 0.0 87.5%
3 Round (Default) 686 36.5% 32.95 0.936 77.11% -0.167 -0.5028
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 62 66.13% 31.56 -1.438 61.29% -0.336 -0.62
4 Archipelago 5 20.0% 35.8 8.516 80.0% 0.363 0.2057
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 23.0 -10.973 33.33% -0.497 -1.4353
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 26.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 25 56.0% 33.04 0.0 84.0%
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 86 52.33% 37.66 2.345 75.58% 0.224 0.1446
4 Trapezoid (Default) 258 43.58% 33.57 -0.039 78.68% -0.117 -0.2741
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 80.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 33 25.0% 46.48 4.931 75.76% 0.25 -0.825
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 27.67 -2.222 66.67% -0.417 -0.4235
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 15 40.0% 47.07 0.0 86.67%
6 Star 2 50.0% 20.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 10 60.0% 38.3 0.0 60.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 30 16.67% 56.4 5.655 93.33% -0.272 -0.6067
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 417 24.22 0.906 50.36% -0.134 -0.0048
Aid From Lesser Spirits 366 26.66 3.556 57.92% 0.329 0.2107
All Things Weaken 465 23.91 0.804 50.11% -0.084 0.2234
Attenuated Essence 24 24.83 3.339 58.33% 0.723 0.7554
Back Against the Wall 344 24.18 3.034 47.09% 0.165 0.1949
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 31 17.77 2.249 41.94% 0.575 0.7614
Burn Brightest Before the End 26 28.23 4.954 50.0% 0.051 0.1211
Disintegrating Ecosystem 416 19.62 -1.229 40.14% -0.546 -0.1707
Downward Spiral 463 23.99 0.956 54.0% 0.044 0.21
Erosion of Will 399 24.14 4.826 54.14% 1.172 1.3867
Intensifying Exploitation 56 22.96 4.783 51.79% 0.981 1.2226
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 172 32.44 -0.086 79.07% 0.34 -0.241
Memory Fades to Dust 500 24.57 0.688 56.6% 0.287 0.58
Power Corrodes the Spirit 434 22.77 2.072 48.85% 0.378 0.5387
Promising Farmlands 391 23.02 1.13 50.64% -0.196 0.1001
Shattered Fragments of Power 34 24.12 3.662 47.06% 0.173 0.2611
Slow Dissolution of Will 31 22.0 -0.76 45.16% -0.399 -0.0056
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 113 30.14 4.512 81.42% 0.761 0.0498
The Border of Life and Death 5 28.4 2.26 60.0% 0.234 -0.2453
Thriving Communities 453 22.49 -0.086 47.68% 0.006 0.3057
Thriving Crops 27 25.74 2.932 59.26% 0.592 0.4897
Unnatural Proliferation 456 24.25 4.689 50.44% 0.758 0.9267
Untended Land Crumbles 495 22.15 1.387 49.29% 0.282 0.5404

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2237 45.99% 29.68 -0.175 68.89% -0.312 0.8302
B 2280 45.95% 30.31 1.712 71.01% 0.293 1.3478
C 2407 43.74% 30.37 0.222 71.42% -0.038 0.8501
D 2199 45.45% 30.03 0.524 69.53% -0.035 1.0196
E 2107 44.74% 30.46 0.107 71.1% -0.255 0.6488
F 2001 47.12% 29.61 -0.397 69.57% -0.236 0.7682
G 1732 45.92% 29.63 0.08 69.52% -0.106 0.8618
H 1760 45.99% 30.19 -0.129 70.51% -0.317 0.6752
East 874 53.15% 31.03 -0.914 56.41% -0.793 0.1949
Northeast 356 55.77% 33.29 -2.695 61.52% -0.634 0.315
Northwest 319 51.72% 30.21 0.544 56.43% 0.029 1.0704
Southeast 314 53.18% 29.69 0.868 57.01% -0.021 0.8971
Southwest 324 57.72% 24.9 -2.399 50.31% -0.677 0.7796
West 874 53.09% 29.27 1.062 54.58% 0.07 1.177

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 18 0.0% 31.06 0.0 55.56%
Not Using Events or Tokens 35 34.29% 18.29 -4.232 28.57% -0.642 -0.1481
Skip Initial Invader Actions 244 13.08% 44.08 5.581 90.57% 0.593 -0.0298
Start of Game Growth 374 16.62% 41.67 5.237 85.83% 0.35 -0.0624
Unlimited Undo 994 40.04% 30.7 1.056 73.04% 0.359 0.2641
Using Tokens but Not Events 1072 37.38% 31.76 1.377 71.46% 0.388 0.4639

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2469 16.77 9.4%
II 4495 30.59 68.5%
III 4628 34.74 86.41%
IV 1426 38.3 99.58%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.618 Win Model: 0.765
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 9167 47.02% 28.7 65.08%
2 2630 50.25% 28.75 69.2%
3 772 39.56% 32.61 75.78%
4 365 44.78% 36.1 80.27%
5 38 18.92% 55.08 78.95%
6 46 39.13% 35.48 78.26%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 231
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3876
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2846
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1406
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1169
Lose: Invader deck ran out 75
Lose: Adversary condition 1166
Win: Sacrifice victory 58
Lose: Scenario condition 84
Win: Scenario condition 313
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1684
Lose: Spirit destroyed 110

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 732 34.38% 37.45 -2.038 77.19% -0.236 -0.2722
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 549 54.28% 34.89 -5.584 73.95% -0.837 -0.6784
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 66 30.3% 37.76 4.736 80.3% 0.81 -0.203
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 684 41.06% 37.01 0.954 79.82% 0.344 0.1313
Downpour Drenches the World 237 35.86% 34.57 1.383 72.57% 0.429 0.6759
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 267 30.71% 33.45 2.934 72.28% 0.635 0.0719
Eyes Watch From the Trees 992 29.77% 40.81 0.222 86.49% 0.149 -0.3299
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 527 37.57% 38.05 -2.135 81.02% -0.133 -0.5398
Finder of Paths Unseen 117 52.99% 23.79 -4.023 45.3% -0.544 0.218
Fractured Days Split the Sky 380 47.89% 36.27 -2.449 67.11% -0.792 -0.1302
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 481 53.43% 33.14 -2.533 67.78% -0.335 -0.3379
Heart of the Wildfire 749 64.09% 33.0 -3.406 67.29% -0.89 -0.5198
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1532 39.16% 38.04 3.042 80.81% 0.923 0.497
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 51 27.45% 34.06 1.416 76.47% 0.403 -0.0892
Lightning's Swift Strike 326 58.82% 34.33 -2.206 71.17% -0.133 0.0797
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 75 46.67% 32.89 -0.08 68.0% 0.052 -0.5634
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 218 50.23% 35.62 -0.282 72.94% -0.142 -0.4277
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 172 44.19% 38.83 -5.223 74.42% -0.7 -0.8022
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1819 38.25% 40.2 3.661 86.81% 0.847 0.6004
Many Minds Move as One 1355 28.78% 39.9 1.893 88.19% 0.602 0.4411
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 925 47.07% 37.31 0.183 73.73% 0.143 0.1774
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 650 42.15% 36.88 2.932 80.0% 0.869 0.7019
River Surges in Sunlight 654 45.31% 40.97 -1.155 80.73% 0.032 0.0598
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 283 56.89% 36.08 0.543 71.38% 0.021 0.3603
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 140 34.78% 41.33 5.324 74.29% 0.675 0.6438
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 662 45.62% 35.56 1.626 76.89% 0.547 0.4362
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 256 57.81% 32.7 -8.206 67.58% -1.022 -0.447
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 33 63.64% 22.67 -4.958 39.39% -1.029 -1.0056
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 50 50.0% 37.48 6.123 76.0% 1.008 0.5556
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 50 44.0% 32.56 -0.737 70.0% -0.103 0.1332
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 190 51.05% 36.26 -2.67 74.74% -0.418 -0.5053
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 144 62.5% 34.27 0.64 72.92% 0.261 0.4567
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1164 34.77% 38.72 -2.447 83.76% -0.354 -0.3757
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 185 31.89% 30.91 -0.072 63.78% -0.235 -0.567
Shifting Memory of Ages 391 52.69% 31.64 -1.775 66.24% -0.053 0.2284
Shroud of Silent Mist 418 58.37% 33.18 -1.752 69.62% -0.259 0.0137
Starlight Seeks its Form 483 39.34% 36.09 -0.217 75.57% 0.191 -0.0285
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 949 35.76% 33.37 1.418 73.02% 0.566 0.1193
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 782 34.19% 38.3 -2.437 81.2% -0.209 -0.087
Thunderspeaker 599 43.81% 39.47 1.502 77.46% 0.204 0.2224
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 54 37.04% 20.02 -6.131 38.89% -0.867 -0.6626
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 576 68.92% 32.25 -0.145 70.83% 0.094 0.2684
Vital Strength of the Earth 313 43.45% 32.78 -0.798 70.29% -0.063 0.5093
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 68 35.29% 30.32 -1.157 63.24% -0.325 0.0564
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 206 48.54% 30.49 -0.914 66.5% -0.028 0.7289
Volcano Looming High 650 52.85% 31.93 -2.463 68.31% -0.17 -0.1967
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 78 37.18% 34.28 2.443 75.64% 0.561 0.0273

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 10 10.0% 19.6 0.0 50.0%
Blitz 0 305 39.02% 31.88 -2.849 58.69% -0.208 -0.0766
Dahan Insurrection 4 240 22.08% 62.63 10.219 82.08% 0.211 -0.0437
Despicable Theft 2 66 63.64% 36.29 -4.586 54.55% -0.576 -0.0351
Elemental Invocation 1 144 47.22% 27.88 -3.89 53.47% -0.735 0.1221
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 666 25.23% 41.14 2.807 79.13% 0.518 -0.2528
Powers Long Forgotten 1 141 56.03% 31.24 -7.933 55.32% -1.542 -0.6071
Rituals of Terror 3 81 56.79% 33.06 -3.108 43.21% -1.049 -0.9529
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 57 57.89% 26.98 -13.554 35.09% -1.684 -0.487
Second Wave 0 455 47.69% 36.91 1.034 72.53% -0.259 -0.1734
The Great River 3 81 50.62% 30.74 -11.748 41.98% -0.94 0.4215
Varied Terrains 2 35 65.71% 24.89 -5.635 37.14% -1.159 -0.3703
Ward the Shores 2 118 53.39% 37.15 -3.471 60.17% -0.379 0.6533

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 9383 44.95% 34.76 0.622 73.96% 0.704 0.8954
1 Thematic 845 49.94% 32.46 -5.15 55.27% -0.84 -0.195
2 Archipelago 18 38.89% 35.94 -7.717 61.11% -0.763 -0.3313
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2129 45.51% 35.57 -0.169 79.24% 0.45 0.4467
2 Coastline 215 43.93% 37.39 1.251 82.79% 0.41 0.466
2 Fragment 46 54.35% 36.02 1.614 78.26% 0.424 0.1571
2 Heart 32 53.13% 35.19 9.224 75.0% 0.415 0.3761
2 Opposite Shores 368 42.78% 35.68 4.239 77.72% 1.226 1.2403
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 382 39.79% 38.54 0.904 74.08% 0.085 0.2818
2 Top to Top 54 40.74% 38.63 -1.416 85.19% 0.183 0.0854
3 Archipelago 6 83.33% 34.33 0.0 33.33%
3 Coastline 16 68.75% 45.38 0.526 93.75% 0.276 -0.7482
3 Other 34 52.94% 34.53 0.0 73.53%
3 Round (Default) 815 41.23% 38.44 0.862 82.94% 0.118 -0.2173
3 Sunrise 4 0.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 70 42.86% 39.64 -14.012 74.29% -1.199 -1.4835
4 Archipelago 13 53.85% 36.15 -10.852 38.46% -1.253 -1.4101
4 Coastline 6 83.33% 38.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 43.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 13 53.85% 40.08 0.0 92.31%
4 Thematic 161 20.5% 56.01 14.72 90.06% 0.397 0.3173
4 Trapezoid (Default) 377 29.26% 39.42 -2.99 88.06% -0.949 -1.1058
5 Other 45 58.14% 35.24 -3.674 71.11% -0.032 -1.107
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 37.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 5 0.0% 40.8 0.0 80.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 58.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 5 40.0% 56.0 10.133 80.0% 0.073 -0.1304
6 Star 3 33.33% 43.67 6.234 66.67% 0.108 0.2069
6 Thematic 21 38.1% 42.62 13.813 71.43% 0.22 0.8685
6 Two Centers (Default) 26 34.62% 30.04 0.055 61.54% -0.074 -0.4082
7 Other 2 0.0% 48.0 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 486 30.87 3.452 62.76% 0.508 0.6375
Aid From Lesser Spirits 383 31.37 -0.466 62.14% -0.154 -0.2726
All Things Weaken 516 29.6 -0.059 58.14% 0.08 0.388
Attenuated Essence 40 24.35 0.236 52.5% 0.059 0.0909
Back Against the Wall 403 31.61 4.53 62.28% 1.006 1.0359
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 33 26.76 2.118 54.55% 0.584 0.7703
Burn Brightest Before the End 30 33.8 4.119 63.33% 0.269 0.3391
Disintegrating Ecosystem 424 27.22 1.529 52.83% 0.368 0.7439
Downward Spiral 491 31.44 0.058 67.21% -0.017 0.1493
Erosion of Will 459 29.87 -0.602 60.13% -0.158 0.0566
Intensifying Exploitation 47 28.57 -0.025 59.57% 0.015 0.256
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 209 36.65 4.529 82.78% 0.877 0.2961
Memory Fades to Dust 461 30.35 0.125 64.43% 0.252 0.5452
Power Corrodes the Spirit 462 29.54 0.108 61.26% 0.031 0.192
Promising Farmlands 453 29.05 0.757 60.71% -0.031 0.2652
Shattered Fragments of Power 37 24.43 -0.507 51.35% -0.233 -0.1451
Slow Dissolution of Will 30 26.93 -0.704 50.0% -0.341 0.0522
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 150 37.01 -0.282 86.67% 0.093 -0.6183
The Border of Life and Death 18 34.28 6.813 72.22% 0.467 -0.0124
Thriving Communities 524 29.97 0.185 63.17% -0.056 0.2441
Thriving Crops 21 29.57 4.928 61.9% 0.49 0.3878
Unnatural Proliferation 518 30.95 -0.732 62.16% -0.303 -0.1338
Untended Land Crumbles 501 29.82 -0.32 62.67% 0.142 0.4004

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2561 44.78% 35.42 -0.529 76.26% -0.4 0.7426
B 2689 44.78% 36.17 0.688 78.99% -0.033 1.0217
C 2832 41.87% 36.18 0.715 77.61% -0.175 0.7126
D 2561 44.29% 35.32 -0.404 74.97% -0.411 0.6428
E 2585 43.14% 36.33 0.553 77.87% -0.213 0.6913
F 2419 44.06% 35.94 -0.366 78.26% -0.271 0.7328
G 2033 44.41% 35.48 0.894 76.59% 0.057 1.0249
H 2225 40.62% 36.58 0.163 79.37% -0.304 0.6886
East 950 38.63% 40.91 3.753 71.47% 0.417 1.4051
Northeast 460 38.48% 44.98 -1.203 77.83% -0.117 0.8326
Northwest 418 39.0% 41.09 -3.437 69.86% -0.71 0.3313
Southeast 329 35.87% 38.71 -1.471 70.52% -0.307 0.6109
Southwest 315 43.49% 33.1 -4.856 62.86% -0.636 0.8213
West 914 43.76% 36.91 0.776 64.22% -0.01 1.0966

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 8 0.0% 68.13 0.0 100.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 8 37.5% 24.75 9.84 50.0% 0.382 0.8762
Skip Initial Invader Actions 238 9.44% 50.53 2.999 86.55% 0.249 -0.3735
Start of Game Growth 383 15.65% 47.51 2.868 86.16% 0.256 -0.1566
Unlimited Undo 1230 34.51% 34.87 -0.299 70.98% -0.081 -0.1759
Using Tokens but Not Events 991 41.2% 33.46 -1.398 72.75% -0.201 -0.1252

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1922 16.77 0.21%
II 3469 30.59 65.7%
III 6527 34.74 89.64%
IV 3188 38.3 99.72%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.505 Win Model: 0.488
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 10334 45.4% 34.51 72.2%
2 3188 44.79% 36.32 79.3%
3 919 41.13% 38.57 82.37%
4 572 28.6% 44.16 87.94%
5 31 56.67% 34.0 70.97%
6 62 32.79% 38.52 67.74%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5692
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2110
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3161
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1075
Lose: Invader deck ran out 38
Lose: Adversary condition 1037
Win: Sacrifice victory 79
Lose: Scenario condition 92
Win: Scenario condition 267
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1438
Lose: Spirit destroyed 113

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 751 53.01% 35.5 -3.517 57.26% -0.004 -0.04
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 526 73.42% 35.24 -2.867 54.37% -0.106 0.0526
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 71 52.11% 39.44 5.17 66.2% 0.922 -0.0907
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 700 60.09% 38.13 -4.526 61.29% -0.603 -0.8157
Downpour Drenches the World 242 57.26% 30.0 -1.481 47.11% -0.037 0.2095
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 357 54.34% 32.68 2.011 56.02% 0.722 0.1591
Eyes Watch From the Trees 938 50.0% 42.55 2.993 70.58% 0.648 0.1689
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 400 63.41% 36.61 -4.973 56.5% -0.69 -1.0962
Finder of Paths Unseen 90 50.0% 23.69 -3.544 32.22% -0.338 0.4246
Fractured Days Split the Sky 386 65.03% 34.72 -5.391 48.7% -0.658 0.0042
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 487 60.99% 34.18 0.228 53.39% 0.271 0.2686
Heart of the Wildfire 758 81.64% 30.33 -3.473 44.46% -0.199 0.1714
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2086 54.25% 39.31 2.147 64.77% 0.286 -0.1401
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 68 50.0% 32.32 1.306 51.47% 0.345 -0.1473
Lightning's Swift Strike 317 75.88% 35.66 2.996 50.79% 0.797 1.0106
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 121 64.17% 37.92 -1.603 66.12% 0.144 -0.4718
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 227 66.08% 40.42 -0.298 67.4% 0.155 -0.1308
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 167 62.28% 38.02 -4.734 56.89% -0.775 -0.877
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2774 48.92% 44.57 3.918 77.9% 0.849 0.6029
Many Minds Move as One 1434 50.14% 43.72 3.175 75.8% 1.078 0.9169
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 910 64.93% 34.7 -0.285 52.09% -0.002 0.0325
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 600 63.27% 37.7 0.346 60.17% 0.396 0.2289
River Surges in Sunlight 678 73.58% 37.23 -2.41 52.65% -0.419 -0.392
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 253 77.87% 29.6 3.514 37.15% 0.494 0.8333
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 135 56.3% 36.18 1.503 54.07% 0.441 0.4098
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 657 65.45% 35.86 0.786 55.86% -0.052 -0.1618
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 207 83.09% 32.37 -9.873 43.96% -1.215 -0.6391
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 48 52.08% 31.44 0.109 52.08% 0.67 0.6929
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 90 57.78% 34.37 2.089 55.56% 0.414 -0.0378
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 50 64.0% 36.28 -11.937 62.0% -0.967 -0.7308
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 197 71.07% 36.16 -0.125 55.84% 0.432 0.3448
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 178 79.21% 35.18 0.679 53.93% -0.072 0.1231
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1336 48.99% 43.29 -0.347 73.43% 0.434 0.4123
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 138 50.0% 31.89 1.375 55.07% 0.569 0.2364
Shifting Memory of Ages 358 65.64% 32.61 -5.22 51.4% -0.668 -0.3871
Shroud of Silent Mist 429 71.13% 34.05 -0.34 54.31% 0.094 0.367
Starlight Seeks its Form 728 57.14% 35.27 0.698 56.73% 0.453 0.2331
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1201 52.67% 33.99 -0.098 54.29% 0.211 -0.2364
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 870 57.34% 39.92 1.633 67.36% 0.545 0.6667
Thunderspeaker 588 66.55% 36.15 -2.628 52.55% -0.407 -0.3887
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 41 51.22% 22.61 -6.902 31.71% -0.666 -0.4616
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 693 83.69% 31.56 -2.346 47.91% -0.413 -0.2387
Vital Strength of the Earth 289 67.71% 30.7 -7.833 43.25% -1.735 -1.1624
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 81 67.9% 25.16 -6.01 32.1% -0.994 -0.6126
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 226 64.6% 29.83 -5.03 45.58% -0.403 0.3546
Volcano Looming High 740 68.74% 34.61 -2.832 56.62% -0.098 -0.1245
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 112 55.36% 30.63 0.374 50.89% 0.21 -0.3238

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 0.0% 33.6 -9.677 60.0% -0.283 -0.4692
Blitz 0 171 53.8% 32.31 2.59 34.5% -1.074 -0.9424
Dahan Insurrection 4 128 47.66% 55.94 13.832 59.38% 0.775 0.5197
Despicable Theft 2 25 60.0% 34.88 -11.014 44.0% -0.408 0.1337
Elemental Invocation 1 87 68.97% 30.83 -7.409 43.68% -1.011 -0.1546
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 843 34.76% 46.71 1.833 75.09% 0.151 -0.6198
Powers Long Forgotten 1 83 53.01% 31.18 -9.9 38.55% -0.908 0.0265
Rituals of Terror 3 48 68.75% 33.13 5.953 27.08% -0.143 -0.047
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 30 46.67% 24.3 -4.072 23.33% -0.552 0.6444
Second Wave 0 318 66.04% 35.39 -5.749 49.37% -1.152 -1.0667
The Great River 3 42 61.9% 41.5 1.113 50.0% -0.306 1.0552
Varied Terrains 2 13 38.46% 19.92 -2.535 30.77% -0.189 0.5994
Ward the Shores 2 64 65.63% 33.08 -12.804 37.5% -0.962 0.0698

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11385 58.92% 36.6 -0.118 58.53% 0.247 0.4382
1 Thematic 657 65.91% 34.18 -2.581 42.92% -0.487 0.1582
2 Archipelago 11 72.73% 37.82 0.0 45.45%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2467 62.77% 36.95 0.546 61.73% 0.179 0.1756
2 Coastline 271 59.04% 41.81 10.005 69.74% 1.833 1.8891
2 Fragment 69 63.77% 37.36 6.46 57.97% 0.32 0.0536
2 Heart 25 76.0% 38.8 -11.113 68.0% -0.268 -0.3066
2 Opposite Shores 480 63.26% 36.59 -4.237 58.75% -0.559 -0.5444
2 Thematic 192 67.19% 35.74 4.747 47.4% 1.23 1.4274
2 Top to Top 76 57.89% 42.29 9.083 71.05% 0.439 0.3415
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 48.83 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 6 50.0% 46.0 -12.827 66.67% -0.23 -1.2539
3 Other 38 78.95% 40.55 -5.354 65.79% -0.581 -0.9731
3 Round (Default) 1024 59.47% 39.06 2.094 65.14% 0.636 0.3008
3 Sunrise 43 13.95% 9.44 -8.758 13.95% -1.998 -1.7554
3 Thematic 42 66.67% 44.43 -9.466 64.29% -0.753 -1.0367
4 Archipelago 3 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 4 25.0% 44.25 -7.294 75.0% -0.112 -1.0501
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 56.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 21 57.14% 48.62 16.966 90.48% 0.529 -0.8001
4 Thematic 57 59.65% 43.56 -5.341 57.89% -0.47 -0.5494
4 Trapezoid (Default) 327 59.5% 41.54 0.76 70.64% 0.148 -0.0088
5 Other 31 60.0% 42.16 -0.918 58.06% -0.073 -1.1472
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 6.33 -12.61 0.0% -0.118 -0.1252
6 Other 9 0.0% 63.78 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 4 75.0% 60.0 17.054 75.0% 0.589 0.688
6 Thematic 6 50.0% 47.17 0.0 66.67%
6 Two Centers (Default) 29 51.72% 37.31 -6.438 62.07% -0.562 -0.8967
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 701 33.09 2.291 49.07% 0.343 0.4728
Aid From Lesser Spirits 630 33.98 3.73 46.51% 0.237 0.1186
All Things Weaken 768 30.45 -1.012 43.36% -0.41 -0.1028
Attenuated Essence 88 28.33 1.294 43.18% 0.16 0.1925
Back Against the Wall 561 32.33 -0.724 44.56% -0.667 -0.6367
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 65 30.69 4.622 44.62% 0.382 0.568
Burn Brightest Before the End 57 29.61 2.828 45.61% -0.155 -0.0848
Disintegrating Ecosystem 726 27.58 0.254 37.05% -0.098 0.2782
Downward Spiral 795 31.22 1.731 47.04% 0.061 0.2271
Erosion of Will 741 30.76 -0.667 43.32% -0.405 -0.1903
Intensifying Exploitation 85 24.42 -1.488 38.82% -0.194 0.0475
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 232 39.1 1.382 68.97% 0.384 -0.1975
Memory Fades to Dust 746 31.09 2.967 45.98% 0.204 0.4973
Power Corrodes the Spirit 726 29.98 2.19 43.53% 0.341 0.5019
Promising Farmlands 668 29.6 0.818 41.92% 0.055 0.3509
Shattered Fragments of Power 66 27.17 0.879 33.33% -0.122 -0.0341
Slow Dissolution of Will 86 25.93 -0.848 36.05% -0.449 -0.0561
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 167 43.01 4.301 77.84% 0.489 -0.2228
The Border of Life and Death 24 28.42 -3.202 45.83% -0.348 -0.8279
Thriving Communities 815 32.24 1.762 51.04% 0.177 0.4768
Thriving Crops 41 25.71 -0.561 39.02% -0.555 -0.6566
Unnatural Proliferation 793 31.04 0.928 43.0% 0.013 0.1824
Untended Land Crumbles 768 30.76 1.431 45.44% 0.011 0.2695

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3118 60.16% 36.98 0.166 60.33% -0.111 1.0313
B 3137 59.75% 37.56 2.254 61.78% 0.291 1.3464
C 3431 57.94% 38.05 -1.295 62.17% -0.299 0.5889
D 2976 59.64% 36.71 -0.754 59.54% -0.193 0.8608
E 3230 58.16% 37.92 -0.869 62.11% -0.246 0.6584
F 2745 62.24% 37.45 -0.195 61.2% -0.156 0.8482
G 2351 60.55% 37.02 -0.164 60.06% -0.16 0.8078
H 2466 59.87% 38.4 1.859 62.33% 0.099 1.0915
East 594 63.97% 36.66 -3.186 46.46% -0.941 0.0472
Northeast 247 62.75% 36.89 -3.089 46.56% -0.625 0.3243
Northwest 214 59.81% 36.18 -2.372 47.66% -0.419 0.6223
Southeast 220 65.0% 37.03 -2.091 48.64% -0.947 -0.0284
Southwest 162 67.28% 37.77 0.16 54.94% -0.023 1.4343
West 518 65.44% 35.94 2.201 47.49% 0.199 1.3055

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 20 0.0% 64.75 0.0 85.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 5 100.0% 20.8 0.0 20.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 285 15.44% 60.58 12.158 89.47% 1.396 0.7734
Start of Game Growth 388 21.87% 57.04 9.717 88.14% 0.97 0.5576
Unlimited Undo 1280 49.33% 42.31 4.042 69.69% 0.552 0.4569
Using Tokens but Not Events 799 61.1% 34.44 -0.717 55.19% 0.093 0.168

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3050 16.77 0.3%
II 6158 30.59 47.08%
III 5141 34.74 85.37%
IV 2947 38.3 99.49%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.155 Win Model: 0.061
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12111 59.24% 36.43 57.58%
2 3549 63.26% 37.56 61.79%
3 1149 57.96% 38.19 63.27%
4 407 58.1% 42.39 70.02%
5 31 56.0% 40.13 54.84%
6 49 43.75% 44.47 69.39%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 9
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4322
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2820
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2913
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1355
Lose: Invader deck ran out 4
Lose: Adversary condition 2078
Win: Sacrifice victory 65
Lose: Scenario condition 105
Win: Scenario condition 100
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3340
Lose: Spirit destroyed 185

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 465 58.79% 41.1 -1.562 60.0% -0.018 -0.0536
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 319 74.13% 36.26 -5.419 49.53% -0.186 -0.0275
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 50 32.0% 42.48 6.155 66.0% 0.846 -0.1664
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 442 66.21% 42.56 -1.843 63.8% -0.074 -0.2864
Downpour Drenches the World 170 60.36% 33.25 -3.558 49.41% -0.237 0.0103
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 272 41.91% 36.49 5.867 55.88% 0.832 0.2695
Eyes Watch From the Trees 685 52.78% 44.95 -1.78 67.01% -0.102 -0.5812
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 283 56.18% 43.46 -2.182 60.42% -0.734 -1.14
Finder of Paths Unseen 78 46.15% 27.37 -4.351 35.9% -0.37 0.3923
Fractured Days Split the Sky 340 61.36% 39.32 -2.246 49.41% -0.131 0.5308
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 324 58.64% 41.15 4.433 59.57% 0.567 0.5642
Heart of the Wildfire 493 73.58% 36.61 -3.734 53.14% -0.498 -0.1279
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1824 47.15% 46.0 -0.401 73.9% 0.041 -0.3859
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 68 42.65% 38.91 3.589 57.35% 0.622 0.1291
Lightning's Swift Strike 192 74.33% 38.06 -4.948 50.0% -0.118 0.0951
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 144 58.33% 50.85 5.538 68.06% 0.34 -0.2757
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 168 58.08% 43.79 6.224 64.88% 0.479 0.1931
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 148 53.38% 40.64 0.903 59.46% 0.086 -0.0166
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2549 43.89% 50.06 3.392 79.84% 0.593 0.3466
Many Minds Move as One 1063 49.2% 49.92 2.854 78.93% 0.349 0.1875
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 621 66.12% 37.53 -4.756 51.85% -1.003 -0.9686
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 462 68.63% 39.86 -1.336 57.58% -0.218 -0.3854
River Surges in Sunlight 500 67.34% 41.38 1.467 56.0% 0.27 0.2973
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 187 66.84% 36.56 3.587 44.39% 0.317 0.6559
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 129 53.49% 39.47 1.081 50.39% -0.365 -0.3969
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 528 61.55% 39.13 -1.046 54.73% -0.147 -0.2572
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 133 76.52% 36.05 0.477 45.11% 0.057 0.6325
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 27 70.37% 44.41 -5.292 62.96% -0.372 -0.3492
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 87 49.43% 42.82 4.684 66.67% 0.617 0.1653
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 41 58.54% 34.41 -6.312 41.46% -0.558 -0.3217
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 140 72.86% 38.54 -2.625 52.14% -0.105 -0.1921
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 119 75.63% 37.92 -8.847 50.42% -1.107 -0.9116
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1395 40.36% 51.74 2.983 80.65% 0.491 0.47
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 139 39.57% 33.46 5.295 51.08% 1.057 0.7244
Shifting Memory of Ages 273 70.7% 38.33 -6.555 55.31% -0.546 -0.2652
Shroud of Silent Mist 276 73.13% 37.26 3.683 51.09% 0.567 0.8395
Starlight Seeks its Form 510 56.47% 39.94 0.958 60.59% 0.461 0.241
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 859 54.96% 39.83 -0.107 58.44% 0.147 -0.3002
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 737 59.37% 43.04 0.008 65.54% -0.221 -0.099
Thunderspeaker 367 69.67% 40.01 -4.103 55.59% -0.611 -0.5928
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 47 57.45% 30.55 5.749 38.3% 0.782 0.9868
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 630 82.54% 38.56 0.154 58.25% 0.191 0.3652
Vital Strength of the Earth 194 78.13% 32.13 -8.362 37.11% -1.208 -0.6361
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 64 62.5% 33.41 -3.988 45.31% -0.467 -0.0853
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 135 72.59% 34.22 1.488 47.41% 0.163 0.9206
Volcano Looming High 606 66.78% 37.02 -2.044 53.63% -0.17 -0.1968
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 85 52.94% 32.71 -1.82 51.76% -0.169 -0.7032

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 75.0% 14.25 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 89 67.42% 25.1 -10.468 24.72% -0.946 -0.8153
Dahan Insurrection 4 77 40.26% 62.95 6.595 61.04% 0.189 -0.0659
Despicable Theft 2 32 53.13% 30.59 -8.828 34.38% -0.874 -0.3331
Elemental Invocation 1 44 50.0% 37.02 -9.004 54.55% -1.31 -0.453
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 674 26.56% 52.02 9.463 74.48% 1.179 0.4082
Powers Long Forgotten 1 36 58.33% 24.61 -11.57 22.22% -0.945 -0.0106
Rituals of Terror 3 48 56.25% 27.69 -10.229 27.08% -0.901 -0.8056
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 19 68.42% 32.11 0.0 26.32%
Second Wave 0 177 59.09% 44.86 0.262 59.89% -0.286 -0.2
The Great River 3 30 50.0% 23.23 -14.331 16.67% -1.584 -0.2226
Varied Terrains 2 16 31.25% 16.63 -18.068 18.75% -0.523 0.2658
Ward the Shores 2 31 67.74% 26.68 -8.563 25.81% -0.783 0.2488

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8978 56.69% 42.08 -1.312 62.64% -0.137 0.0546
1 Thematic 354 56.5% 35.68 -3.48 43.5% -0.502 0.1433
2 Archipelago 4 25.0% 71.5 9.906 100.0% 0.546 0.9776
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1807 63.86% 41.54 1.078 62.48% 0.314 0.3107
2 Coastline 228 63.16% 42.61 -0.091 64.91% -0.132 -0.0763
2 Fragment 31 70.97% 45.32 -4.702 70.97% -0.477 -0.7437
2 Heart 22 72.73% 44.05 -6.34 59.09% -0.528 -0.5667
2 Opposite Shores 457 46.83% 47.02 6.402 76.15% 1.065 1.079
2 Thematic 101 76.24% 42.33 -11.591 52.48% -0.969 -0.7725
2 Top to Top 117 41.03% 45.11 7.8 72.65% 1.162 1.0642
3 Archipelago 7 85.71% 42.86 -1.404 57.14% -0.312 -0.7584
3 Coastline 13 38.46% 58.92 0.0 92.31%
3 Other 17 52.94% 46.41 3.859 76.47% 0.096 -0.297
3 Round (Default) 779 58.48% 42.68 1.822 66.37% 0.405 0.0698
3 Sunrise 6 66.67% 31.67 -15.133 50.0% -0.241 0.0015
3 Thematic 34 55.88% 30.85 -0.023 32.35% 0.061 -0.2229
4 Coastline 9 22.22% 52.67 0.0 77.78%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 19.0 -8.875 0.0% -0.447 -0.5953
4 Other 12 75.0% 52.67 -16.675 91.67% -0.371 -1.7004
4 Thematic 71 46.48% 54.96 -1.071 77.46% -0.075 -0.1542
4 Trapezoid (Default) 252 57.68% 46.56 1.711 70.63% 0.077 -0.0799
5 Other 17 46.67% 41.18 0.0 58.82%
5 Thematic 10 10.0% 33.9 -12.389 30.0% -0.288 -0.2952
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 3 0.0% 55.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Star 6 50.0% 41.67 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 29 3.45% 62.59 16.221 68.97% 0.447 1.0958
6 Two Centers (Default) 41 29.27% 45.98 -2.203 68.29% -0.179 -0.5136

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 576 35.49 1.677 46.35% -0.177 -0.0474
Aid From Lesser Spirits 435 37.85 0.742 50.57% -0.211 -0.3293
All Things Weaken 564 35.64 1.341 47.7% -0.177 0.1305
Attenuated Essence 57 31.11 -4.907 38.6% -1.108 -1.0758
Back Against the Wall 439 36.83 2.64 48.06% 0.092 0.1216
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 56 25.66 -3.024 32.14% -0.822 -0.6357
Burn Brightest Before the End 37 38.73 3.4 51.35% -0.007 0.0638
Disintegrating Ecosystem 516 29.99 -2.963 36.05% -0.895 -0.5191
Downward Spiral 541 35.11 -2.393 50.65% -0.612 -0.4461
Erosion of Will 541 35.51 2.148 47.69% 0.139 0.3531
Intensifying Exploitation 47 30.79 -0.797 44.68% -0.247 -0.0059
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 168 49.19 5.807 82.14% 0.871 0.29
Memory Fades to Dust 607 34.6 1.166 46.46% -0.064 0.2287
Power Corrodes the Spirit 598 35.68 0.051 50.17% -0.247 -0.086
Promising Farmlands 502 33.14 -3.171 45.22% -0.686 -0.3901
Shattered Fragments of Power 40 32.75 -2.575 42.5% -0.716 -0.6276
Slow Dissolution of Will 56 35.93 1.317 53.57% 0.041 0.4346
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 105 48.0 0.867 80.0% -0.007 -0.7189
The Border of Life and Death 13 28.15 -7.996 46.15% -0.554 -1.0339
Thriving Communities 578 36.15 0.171 51.9% -0.071 0.2288
Thriving Crops 24 39.38 7.542 66.67% 0.904 0.8023
Unnatural Proliferation 605 35.84 -3.46 46.78% -0.806 -0.6372
Untended Land Crumbles 567 34.49 4.547 45.86% 0.469 0.7269

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2196 59.5% 42.76 1.431 64.48% 0.077 1.2192
B 2626 55.1% 43.88 0.456 67.36% -0.097 0.9578
C 2680 56.31% 43.14 1.712 65.22% 0.141 1.0288
D 2271 56.78% 41.44 -1.966 62.09% -0.501 0.5529
E 2585 54.8% 44.24 2.096 67.35% 0.173 1.0772
F 2148 60.28% 41.39 -1.586 61.96% -0.351 0.653
G 1835 61.34% 41.59 1.542 62.4% 0.071 1.0392
H 1987 56.85% 42.84 0.815 64.57% 0.056 1.0486
East 378 54.5% 43.7 -0.232 52.65% -0.278 0.7099
Northeast 199 53.77% 44.85 -2.408 53.27% -0.215 0.7348
Northwest 183 46.99% 43.19 -5.721 51.91% -1.017 0.0243
Southeast 157 45.22% 47.61 6.886 59.87% 0.892 1.8104
Southwest 154 44.81% 42.48 -0.582 53.9% -0.122 1.3346
West 369 51.49% 40.22 -2.477 50.14% -0.576 0.5305

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 17 0.0% 73.71 0.0 94.12%
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 33.33% 19.0 0.0 0.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 188 16.76% 60.99 -1.709 88.83% -0.546 -1.1681
Start of Game Growth 436 26.6% 57.87 4.2 86.01% 0.796 0.384
Unlimited Undo 1282 55.57% 46.52 0.672 71.92% 0.044 -0.051
Using Tokens but Not Events 526 49.12% 44.39 -0.501 67.68% 0.012 0.0877

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1809 16.77 0.39%
II 4983 30.59 51.66%
III 4799 34.74 84.71%
IV 1821 38.3 99.73%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.854 Win Model: 0.137
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 9371 56.73% 41.83 61.88%
2 2746 60.49% 42.89 65.37%
3 852 58.4% 42.47 65.49%
4 346 53.59% 48.88 72.25%
5 17 31.25% 29.53 41.18%
6 80 20.0% 51.45 66.25%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 7
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4017
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2518
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1805
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 983
Lose: Invader deck ran out 6
Lose: Adversary condition 1188
Win: Sacrifice victory 60
Lose: Scenario condition 67
Win: Scenario condition 55
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2553
Lose: Spirit destroyed 153

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 303 74.17% 39.48 -0.427 38.28% 0.15 0.1137
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 179 82.12% 29.68 -3.74 17.32% -0.81 -0.6516
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 45 60.0% 32.93 -2.242 33.33% -0.303 -1.3151
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 243 76.54% 34.63 -10.36 30.04% -0.988 -1.2
Downpour Drenches the World 116 61.21% 33.53 -1.978 33.62% -0.097 0.1499
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 231 66.67% 33.74 3.762 36.36% 0.753 0.1902
Eyes Watch From the Trees 493 67.34% 44.3 -3.218 46.04% -0.208 -0.687
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 138 83.94% 31.03 -13.877 19.57% -0.661 -1.0669
Finder of Paths Unseen 80 68.75% 31.38 -1.275 27.5% -0.208 0.5544
Fractured Days Split the Sky 168 66.07% 45.13 -3.108 41.67% -0.773 -0.1104
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 173 82.08% 35.49 -3.09 28.32% -0.331 -0.3333
Heart of the Wildfire 318 85.22% 34.42 1.984 29.25% 0.401 0.7712
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1347 54.83% 46.06 4.937 56.2% 1.244 0.8178
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 25 72.0% 39.08 5.658 44.0% 1.041 0.5487
Lightning's Swift Strike 114 85.09% 36.41 -3.187 29.82% -0.159 0.0539
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 55 70.91% 38.73 11.566 41.82% 1.193 0.5771
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 116 75.0% 39.32 -1.879 40.52% 0.23 -0.0559
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 56 62.5% 38.2 5.121 39.29% 0.13 0.0277
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1965 55.91% 47.11 4.064 58.63% 1.088 0.8419
Many Minds Move as One 660 75.0% 41.98 -3.846 44.7% -0.054 -0.2155
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 327 78.29% 35.1 -9.207 29.36% -1.229 -1.1948
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 239 83.68% 34.09 -1.158 27.2% -0.507 -0.6743
River Surges in Sunlight 278 78.78% 41.59 -5.485 38.13% -0.614 -0.5864
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 84 84.52% 31.4 -1.606 20.24% -0.313 0.0266
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 119 74.79% 39.67 -2.945 42.86% -0.217 -0.249
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 289 75.78% 36.78 4.021 30.8% -0.193 -0.3038
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 73 90.41% 27.33 0.0 10.96%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 11 72.73% 44.36 15.159 54.55% 0.56 0.5831
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 74 47.3% 43.47 5.985 54.05% 1.053 0.6011
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 18 61.11% 33.94 -14.565 27.78% -0.202 0.0335
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 73 89.04% 33.12 -1.373 20.55% -0.11 -0.1968
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 68 92.65% 31.85 -6.211 20.59% -0.326 -0.1309
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 709 69.49% 46.58 6.249 51.9% 1.125 1.1036
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 75 60.0% 23.11 0.183 25.33% 0.407 0.0747
Shifting Memory of Ages 100 79.0% 38.69 1.061 36.0% 0.299 0.5797
Shroud of Silent Mist 149 91.95% 27.86 -5.784 15.44% -0.48 -0.2076
Starlight Seeks its Form 416 75.0% 38.3 1.615 37.74% 0.599 0.3791
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 547 69.47% 35.82 1.184 36.01% 0.687 0.2397
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 494 73.08% 44.45 3.093 47.98% 0.673 0.7946
Thunderspeaker 222 82.81% 36.17 -6.551 25.68% -0.556 -0.5375
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 15 46.67% 11.0 -8.327 0.0% -0.887 -0.683
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 407 91.15% 35.4 -4.088 31.94% -0.098 0.0767
Vital Strength of the Earth 90 79.78% 35.2 2.893 30.0% 0.577 1.1488
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 40 67.5% 31.27 -10.625 25.0% -0.953 -0.5717
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 98 88.78% 30.82 -2.309 17.35% -0.715 0.0424
Volcano Looming High 254 73.62% 37.9 -4.15 38.58% -0.346 -0.3726
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 40 65.0% 30.3 0.375 27.5% 0.159 -0.3744

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 33.33% 10.33 -8.119 0.0% -0.275 -0.4615
Blitz 0 31 64.52% 29.45 -2.627 22.58% -0.608 -0.4773
Dahan Insurrection 4 61 62.3% 59.77 0.581 34.43% -0.608 -0.8626
Despicable Theft 2 15 53.33% 37.73 0.304 33.33% 0.099 0.6405
Elemental Invocation 1 39 74.36% 21.36 -3.276 7.69% -0.284 0.5727
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 514 32.88% 55.75 6.248 64.98% 0.624 -0.1468
Powers Long Forgotten 1 28 82.14% 21.79 -7.599 3.57% -0.113 0.8222
Rituals of Terror 3 15 93.33% 34.07 27.276 13.33% 0.551 0.6467
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 3 66.67% 66.0 0.0 66.67%
Second Wave 0 107 77.57% 39.07 -3.427 31.78% -0.056 0.0296
The Great River 3 6 66.67% 30.83 0.0 16.67%
Varied Terrains 2 2 0.0% 0.0 -16.4 0.0% -0.396 0.3924
Ward the Shores 2 17 88.24% 37.12 -11.19 23.53% -0.154 0.8782

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6139 65.38% 42.24 0.042 46.46% 0.329 0.5199
1 Thematic 319 70.85% 37.81 -4.273 29.15% -0.345 0.3002
2 Archipelago 13 53.85% 55.15 -9.692 30.77% -1.011 -0.5788
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1119 81.77% 37.65 1.608 34.67% 0.382 0.3781
2 Coastline 132 64.39% 47.63 9.685 55.3% 0.573 0.6285
2 Fragment 33 96.97% 34.03 8.179 24.24% 0.543 0.2771
2 Heart 19 78.95% 39.32 0.0 47.37%
2 Opposite Shores 206 59.22% 34.53 -1.807 36.41% -0.641 -0.6263
2 Thematic 51 68.63% 34.37 -5.785 17.65% -0.454 -0.2574
2 Top to Top 98 42.86% 29.45 8.36 34.69% 0.958 0.86
3 Archipelago 5 40.0% 22.8 5.247 0.0% -0.112 -0.5583
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 57.75 0.0 62.5%
3 Other 18 88.89% 46.94 0.0 38.89%
3 Round (Default) 440 76.82% 40.4 -1.656 42.95% -0.598 -0.9333
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 23.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 12 83.33% 39.17 -2.198 33.33% -0.013 -0.2973
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 28.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 74.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 4 50.0% 45.75 -2.77 50.0% -0.276 -1.6055
4 Thematic 29 75.86% 38.07 -7.145 31.03% -0.041 -0.1203
4 Trapezoid (Default) 157 82.05% 39.86 12.847 39.49% 1.285 1.1284
5 Other 9 55.56% 45.11 0.0 55.56%
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 145.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Thematic 4 25.0% 0.0 -1.106 0.0% -0.116 0.5327
6 Two Centers (Default) 10 50.0% 36.8 -1.671 20.0% -0.487 -0.822

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 453 35.87 0.64 28.04% -0.929 -0.7995
Aid From Lesser Spirits 320 41.19 3.985 39.69% 0.207 0.0884
All Things Weaken 451 35.6 3.411 29.27% 0.429 0.7368
Attenuated Essence 52 34.44 3.761 36.54% 0.357 0.3894
Back Against the Wall 314 35.31 1.48 27.39% -0.211 -0.1809
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 54 28.93 -1.773 25.93% -0.433 -0.2469
Burn Brightest Before the End 40 32.67 1.546 30.0% -0.213 -0.1422
Disintegrating Ecosystem 403 30.48 -4.078 21.09% -0.826 -0.4498
Downward Spiral 453 36.07 -0.362 35.1% -0.244 -0.0783
Erosion of Will 432 34.51 1.226 27.55% -0.09 0.1245
Intensifying Exploitation 51 31.37 -0.986 27.45% -0.288 -0.0467
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 108 49.07 -4.5 63.89% -0.292 -0.8731
Memory Fades to Dust 462 34.14 1.157 28.35% -0.134 0.1585
Power Corrodes the Spirit 417 35.05 0.118 29.74% -0.558 -0.3966
Promising Farmlands 421 32.64 -2.087 25.65% -1.143 -0.8472
Shattered Fragments of Power 37 33.05 3.993 27.03% -0.186 -0.0976
Slow Dissolution of Will 43 27.72 -4.78 23.26% -1.148 -0.7547
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 67 51.04 1.724 70.15% 0.195 -0.517
The Border of Life and Death 7 22.57 -2.542 28.57% -0.217 -0.6971
Thriving Communities 475 36.55 -0.471 34.32% -0.3 0.0
Thriving Crops 15 35.87 0.849 40.0% 0.166 0.0642
Unnatural Proliferation 493 35.9 -0.024 28.4% -0.702 -0.533
Untended Land Crumbles 462 33.99 1.822 26.41% -0.182 0.0756

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1502 72.88% 39.83 -0.705 40.95% -0.007 1.1361
B 1662 69.19% 39.25 0.565 41.28% 0.029 1.0845
C 1756 65.75% 40.29 0.168 43.51% 0.084 0.9721
D 1377 70.88% 38.93 0.805 39.22% 0.121 1.1752
E 1807 67.5% 44.45 0.773 49.42% 0.143 1.0472
F 1236 70.15% 39.59 -2.326 41.26% -0.404 0.5997
G 1071 73.74% 39.61 2.025 40.62% 0.359 1.3269
H 1195 74.48% 41.25 4.445 41.59% 0.597 1.5898
East 251 68.92% 40.25 -9.191 31.87% -0.793 0.195
Northeast 112 75.0% 41.42 0.787 33.04% 0.078 1.0279
Northwest 94 70.21% 36.29 -3.11 27.66% -0.402 0.6388
Southeast 91 59.34% 36.11 -8.326 32.97% -0.565 0.3531
Southwest 78 66.67% 27.77 -4.381 17.95% -0.542 0.9152
West 219 71.69% 34.16 1.522 23.29% 0.071 1.178

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 4 0.0% 48.25 0.0 50.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 190 16.93% 69.89 9.612 87.37% 0.618 -0.005
Start of Game Growth 407 29.56% 65.49 9.612 83.29% 0.618 0.2052
Unlimited Undo 833 66.95% 44.92 1.911 51.62% 0.542 0.4468
Using Tokens but Not Events 409 51.11% 49.21 -5.222 61.37% -0.692 -0.6168

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1282 16.77 2.73%
II 4765 30.59 35.72%
III 2081 34.74 66.79%
IV 708 38.3 99.72%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.522 Win Model: 0.03
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6486 65.62% 42.06 45.58%
2 1661 75.38% 37.4 35.76%
3 469 76.76% 40.16 42.22%
4 198 78.68% 40.78 40.4%
5 5 60.0% 38.8 40.0%
6 17 35.29% 27.76 17.65%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 35
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1363
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1666
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 702
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 884
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3
Lose: Adversary condition 1034
Win: Sacrifice victory 42
Lose: Scenario condition 66
Win: Scenario condition 25
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2912
Lose: Spirit destroyed 104

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1916 63.96% 49.53 1.179 37.47% 0.335 0.2988
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 884 84.05% 43.22 0.065 22.29% -0.514 -0.3558
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 356 75.28% 42.02 6.284 39.89% 1.246 0.2337
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1002 87.37% 31.59 -6.8 13.87% -1.614 -1.8265
Downpour Drenches the World 788 64.97% 30.39 -2.672 20.18% -0.141 0.1064
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1009 71.85% 26.28 -1.654 19.82% 0.052 -0.5109
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2103 68.47% 53.73 -5.761 37.33% -0.73 -1.2089
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 539 85.9% 36.44 -7.442 21.89% -0.723 -1.1295
Finder of Paths Unseen 287 57.14% 32.59 -2.118 27.53% 0.447 1.2095
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2491 52.51% 59.88 1.379 48.7% 0.277 0.9388
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 845 85.44% 35.83 -5.116 22.72% -0.763 -0.766
Heart of the Wildfire 1345 84.36% 29.5 -7.298 13.31% -0.929 -0.559
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 13480 57.42% 58.04 7.267 64.88% 1.591 1.1645
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 299 56.52% 31.23 -1.204 29.43% 0.356 -0.1368
Lightning's Swift Strike 524 83.07% 36.3 -12.368 21.37% -1.26 -1.047
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 738 73.98% 41.72 2.462 32.38% 0.261 -0.3543
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 456 88.35% 41.14 -1.097 28.95% 0.021 -0.2651
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 507 65.09% 52.23 0.633 49.11% 0.539 0.4363
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 8380 70.55% 49.79 2.078 47.65% 0.848 0.6018
Many Minds Move as One 2247 76.0% 48.21 1.718 37.92% 0.006 -0.1549
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1557 80.8% 35.0 -7.211 20.04% -1.104 -1.0699
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 749 86.17% 37.73 -6.348 24.83% -1.098 -1.2648
River Surges in Sunlight 1693 83.31% 55.54 2.075 36.09% -0.099 -0.0716
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 403 67.74% 45.77 -4.09 27.79% -0.163 0.1761
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 532 72.37% 50.43 5.186 34.59% 0.621 0.5898
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2494 66.84% 49.11 7.675 42.86% 1.18 1.0696
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 393 86.73% 36.78 2.967 18.07% 0.286 0.8617
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 61 80.33% 33.48 3.217 16.39% 0.166 0.1888
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 320 70.63% 33.48 -1.297 27.19% 0.232 -0.2202
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 74 81.08% 38.61 -0.928 29.73% 0.209 0.445
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 282 84.75% 37.4 2.077 20.21% 0.327 0.2398
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 229 82.53% 41.28 -2.466 29.69% -0.241 -0.0459
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2035 76.16% 47.17 -2.218 40.39% -0.034 -0.0556
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 353 67.99% 33.74 4.5 29.18% 0.947 0.6143
Shifting Memory of Ages 1678 60.91% 35.81 -3.859 20.5% 0.242 0.5231
Shroud of Silent Mist 599 83.39% 32.58 -10.686 16.19% -1.177 -0.9044
Starlight Seeks its Form 3075 66.14% 44.44 1.749 43.41% 0.829 0.6094
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4710 61.33% 46.89 1.225 38.39% 0.537 0.0905
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1959 81.89% 46.88 -1.546 39.92% 0.014 0.1362
Thunderspeaker 907 81.99% 44.52 -5.263 25.25% -0.57 -0.5514
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 74 77.03% 22.61 0.625 14.86% -0.069 0.1356
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1954 93.04% 36.51 -1.216 24.16% 0.14 0.314
Vital Strength of the Earth 310 80.65% 34.53 -3.427 16.13% -0.603 -0.0309
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 175 58.86% 38.61 -0.708 28.57% 0.019 0.4006
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 334 82.34% 33.95 -3.05 18.56% 0.132 0.8898
Volcano Looming High 1938 78.98% 40.87 -1.919 32.87% 0.744 0.7174
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 363 68.87% 25.0 -2.931 15.98% -0.264 -0.7978

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 316 60.58% 44.35 2.552 34.81% -0.12 0.0114
Dahan Insurrection 4 2116 33.38% 69.93 -1.639 51.09% 1.147 0.8918
Despicable Theft 2 12 54.55% 38.75 9.249 25.0% 0.249 0.7905
Elemental Invocation 1 116 82.76% 34.21 3.893 12.93% 0.346 1.2023
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2509 45.65% 50.51 3.374 43.48% 0.498 -0.2733
Powers Long Forgotten 1 12 66.67% 23.08 -14.385 8.33% -0.348 0.5871
Rituals of Terror 3 813 53.51% 116.51 19.509 66.05% 2.878 2.9743
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 32 53.13% 31.84 -5.537 12.5% -0.23 0.9664
Second Wave 0 118 73.73% 50.78 4.83 43.22% 0.416 0.5015
The Great River 3 49 73.47% 34.84 -2.315 8.16% -0.12 1.2412
Varied Terrains 2 16 37.5% 75.0 20.231 62.5% 0.317 1.105
Ward the Shores 2 34 82.35% 34.85 -3.318 14.71% -0.077 0.9551

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 44623 69.86% 46.8 1.134 43.13% 0.036 0.2271
1 Thematic 1019 74.19% 42.9 -5.684 27.77% -0.586 0.0593
2 Archipelago 84 51.19% 92.58 -10.658 55.95% -1.478 -1.0465
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3435 79.13% 41.79 -1.959 33.48% -0.462 -0.4657
2 Coastline 764 74.87% 40.51 -7.936 30.89% -0.585 -0.5292
2 Fragment 97 81.44% 43.29 2.856 37.11% -0.144 -0.41
2 Heart 129 71.32% 45.18 3.428 26.36% -0.351 -0.3903
2 Opposite Shores 1514 63.21% 34.18 -5.623 17.77% -1.044 -1.0295
2 Thematic 626 71.2% 94.87 10.38 50.64% 0.246 0.4429
2 Top to Top 209 63.64% 36.95 -5.541 30.14% -0.662 -0.7599
3 Archipelago 23 73.91% 125.91 50.059 78.26% 1.0 0.5528
3 Coastline 15 86.67% 36.53 -1.383 26.67% -0.522 -1.5457
3 Other 57 70.18% 53.46 6.102 49.12% 0.028 -0.3641
3 Round (Default) 1617 74.71% 42.11 0.81 35.06% 0.237 -0.098
3 Thematic 242 22.73% 109.23 23.731 68.18% 0.349 0.0653
4 Archipelago 4 100.0% 137.25 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 47.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 4 75.0% 32.0 0.0 25.0%
4 Other 48 77.08% 41.46 1.02 20.83% 0.049 -1.2801
4 Thematic 302 31.79% 87.76 11.025 68.21% 0.064 -0.0155
4 Trapezoid (Default) 728 70.21% 45.09 -0.249 36.13% -0.165 -0.3214
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 30.5 1.578 0.0% -0.065 0.6097
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 81.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 64 60.66% 43.8 -0.609 29.69% 0.431 -0.644
5 Thematic 21 52.38% 80.0 0.0 42.86%
6 Archipelago 7 28.57% 102.29 0.0 85.71%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -12.317 0.0% -0.071 -0.8189
6 Other 49 51.02% 55.71 11.034 63.27% 0.796 0.593
6 Star 10 30.0% 59.3 0.0 60.0%
6 Thematic 34 41.18% 26.47 -15.62 14.71% -0.87 -0.2214
6 Two Centers (Default) 97 30.93% 53.84 1.138 48.45% -0.625 -0.9592
7 Archipelago 4 75.0% 123.0 0.0 75.0%
7 Other 1 100.0% 0.0 13.162 0.0% -0.061 0.3354

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2859 41.83 4.055 29.87% 0.125 0.2544
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2094 45.8 5.122 35.96% -0.204 -0.3222
All Things Weaken 3028 41.4 2.654 28.7% -0.024 0.2833
Attenuated Essence 357 32.49 4.068 23.81% 0.131 0.1635
Back Against the Wall 2039 44.04 2.329 32.42% -0.307 -0.2772
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 367 34.06 2.752 24.52% -0.204 -0.0184
Burn Brightest Before the End 254 39.71 5.591 28.74% 0.198 0.268
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2658 35.92 -0.378 21.14% -0.686 -0.3104
Downward Spiral 2856 43.46 4.796 34.52% 0.141 0.3066
Erosion of Will 2817 39.21 0.728 25.03% -0.496 -0.2813
Intensifying Exploitation 379 35.45 3.671 27.44% 0.115 0.3561
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 606 62.85 9.169 70.63% 0.606 0.0252
Memory Fades to Dust 2957 42.05 1.713 31.52% -0.217 0.0756
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2894 41.1 0.661 29.41% -0.487 -0.3256
Promising Farmlands 2710 39.92 1.536 28.63% -0.154 0.1417
Shattered Fragments of Power 222 35.51 2.105 24.32% -0.293 -0.205
Slow Dissolution of Will 387 32.97 0.971 21.45% -0.364 0.0294
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 395 66.01 -0.378 75.44% 0.215 -0.4972
The Border of Life and Death 62 33.94 5.238 37.1% 0.802 0.3224
Thriving Communities 2904 41.5 2.732 30.48% -0.173 0.1269
Thriving Crops 113 39.48 1.304 41.59% -0.139 -0.2405
Unnatural Proliferation 3102 41.73 2.521 27.92% -0.345 -0.1759
Untended Land Crumbles 3027 40.49 -0.8 29.34% -0.544 -0.2861

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8840 72.63% 41.53 -2.191 33.68% -0.792 0.3506
B 8984 73.87% 43.57 -0.226 37.24% -0.721 0.3341
C 10264 70.38% 46.56 1.253 39.89% -0.64 0.2483
D 7317 72.37% 42.91 -1.932 35.48% -0.894 0.1597
E 9963 70.78% 47.42 0.556 43.43% -0.565 0.3389
F 7230 70.94% 43.47 -1.422 37.75% -0.816 0.1881
G 5932 72.75% 44.63 -1.504 38.71% -0.969 -0.0013
H 8184 61.2% 50.93 -0.655 49.55% -0.465 0.528
East 1555 55.02% 82.19 8.969 51.0% -0.663 0.3249
Northeast 841 44.95% 87.41 13.046 56.0% 0.637 1.5863
Northwest 558 53.41% 76.87 -1.301 48.03% -1.316 -0.2746
Southeast 343 57.73% 54.52 -3.487 36.15% -0.84 0.0781
Southwest 368 60.6% 44.17 -8.631 31.25% -1.399 0.058
West 1472 55.61% 79.83 9.172 49.8% -0.429 0.6776

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 31 0.0% 70.52 1.548 74.19% -0.347 0.3161
Not Using Events or Tokens 11 72.73% 118.18 -11.771 63.64% -0.16 0.3345
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1391 32.31% 67.66 9.456 68.87% 0.828 0.2054
Start of Game Growth 2330 34.12% 66.6 3.497 71.76% 0.581 0.169
Unlimited Undo 5174 58.99% 55.83 1.328 60.07% 0.297 0.2023
Using Tokens but Not Events 2456 58.52% 51.96 -0.921 42.71% -0.221 -0.1455

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14802 16.77 0.81%
II 25119 30.59 38.2%
III 11117 34.74 77.06%
IV 4830 38.3 99.86%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.61 Win Model: 0.508
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 47036 69.53% 47.19 42.51%
2 5743 76.21% 43.99 32.72%
3 1849 70.42% 48.54 38.18%
4 998 63.01% 50.16 41.28%
5 66 45.31% 44.45 31.82%
6 176 36.93% 53.67 52.84%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 103
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8428
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8359
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4461
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5910
Lose: Invader deck ran out 58
Lose: Adversary condition 7173
Win: Sacrifice victory 670
Lose: Scenario condition 570
Win: Scenario condition 1084
Lose: Blight pool ran out 18317
Lose: Spirit destroyed 735

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-02-21 04:03:14 (Pacific Time)