The Tsardom of Russia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 732 22.85% 28.52 0.979 89.75% 0.945 0.8108
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 486 44.24% 26.6 0.008 87.24% 0.094 0.1398
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 801 27.69% 28.49 0.461 92.13% -0.212 -0.3322
Downpour Drenches the World 88 19.32% 31.78 1.124 93.18% 0.554 0.9026
Eyes Watch From the Trees 850 15.82% 32.16 0.825 94.71% 0.146 -0.2747
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 686 24.19% 29.91 0.95 93.44% 1.003 0.4407
Finder of Paths Unseen 28 32.14% 30.11 -2.772 67.86% -1.084 -0.6827
Fractured Days Split the Sky 358 33.52% 30.09 3.465 84.92% 0.026 0.0803
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 408 43.87% 28.75 0.004 80.88% -0.201 -0.2099
Heart of the Wildfire 590 57.46% 23.69 -1.767 77.8% -0.426 -0.1994
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1201 26.42% 28.34 -0.122 93.51% 0.45 -0.0724
Lightning's Swift Strike 445 36.73% 27.44 -2.029 86.74% -0.563 -0.3198
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 25 44.0% 34.36 -0.272 96.0% 0.59 -0.2641
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 245 22.54% 28.85 -0.367 91.43% 0.683 0.0738
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 203 26.73% 31.53 -0.14 89.66% -0.141 -0.5189
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1224 28.77% 29.18 0.21 91.91% 0.224 0.0059
Many Minds Move as One 1079 20.63% 29.22 0.59 95.64% 0.431 -0.1084
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 805 39.83% 27.42 1.949 86.21% 0.788 0.4713
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 688 31.25% 27.88 1.07 89.39% 0.484 0.4685
River Surges in Sunlight 590 38.31% 29.38 1.439 83.9% 0.295 0.347
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 358 37.43% 29.34 -0.154 83.52% 0.265 0.6225
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 24 33.33% 34.33 1.484 83.33% 0.131 -0.0995
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 595 27.56% 28.8 1.231 90.59% -0.293 -0.3273
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 282 51.25% 25.88 -3.142 81.21% -0.503 -0.036
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 9 33.33% 40.11 3.276 66.67% -0.626 -0.5283
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 11 45.45% 30.91 2.723 100.0% 0.59 0.4144
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 220 34.55% 27.5 1.469 88.64% 0.245 0.1857
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 181 35.91% 28.04 -5.352 88.95% -1.23 -1.0698
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 902 26.5% 28.4 0.516 91.35% -0.377 -0.6798
Shifting Memory of Ages 266 43.98% 25.5 -2.257 78.95% -0.378 -0.3387
Shroud of Silent Mist 404 47.03% 25.94 -1.199 83.42% -0.327 -0.0026
Starlight Seeks its Form 334 26.35% 31.08 0.573 87.13% -0.089 -0.2936
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 954 27.49% 26.6 -1.083 90.67% 0.236 0.0495
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 630 30.48% 28.17 0.708 88.41% 0.299 0.3831
Thunderspeaker 646 30.5% 30.49 -0.101 86.53% -0.548 -0.5788
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 676 62.57% 23.03 -0.576 83.28% 0.418 0.3743
Vital Strength of the Earth 414 33.9% 24.39 -2.711 77.29% -1.36 -0.5654
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 20 45.0% 31.45 0.372 85.0% -0.244 0.2083
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 193 28.5% 23.67 -1.075 81.87% -0.069 0.9624
Volcano Looming High 580 44.39% 24.81 -0.712 81.9% 0.014 0.0403

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 0.0% 40.67 -1.419 100.0% 0.062 0.1705
Blitz 0 180 29.61% 24.77 -2.446 83.33% -1.3 -1.0333
Dahan Insurrection 4 326 17.18% 50.67 12.91 90.49% -0.047 0.2859
Despicable Theft 2 69 36.23% 36.23 5.065 82.61% 0.428 0.679
Elemental Invocation 1 100 42.0% 28.43 -1.9 84.0% -0.353 0.2952
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 519 11.56% 31.19 -1.009 85.74% -0.838 -0.6719
Powers Long Forgotten 1 118 52.54% 29.3 0.0 77.97%
Rituals of Terror 3 134 46.92% 36.3 3.433 75.37% -0.085 -0.1942
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 98 66.33% 37.65 2.475 78.57% -0.751 -0.0943
Second Wave 0 268 52.99% 31.22 1.981 74.63% -1.062 -0.5914
The Great River 3 102 50.0% 32.77 6.74 67.65% 0.103 1.604
Varied Terrains 2 14 71.43% 37.14 1.923 57.14% -1.348 -0.8121
Ward the Shores 2 184 37.7% 31.4 3.854 77.72% 0.372 1.5594

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8404 34.98% 26.86 -0.299 87.09% -0.038 0.4095
1 Thematic 1116 40.52% 31.77 0.292 82.8% -0.258 0.3447
2 Archipelago 11 45.45% 30.82 2.316 63.64% 0.022 0.6879
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1702 33.25% 27.15 0.005 89.54% 0.19 0.5819
2 Coastline 179 31.28% 27.34 -0.695 89.39% 0.322 0.4106
2 Fragment 40 25.0% 28.82 6.287 90.0% 0.081 0.1472
2 Heart 24 41.67% 22.5 -9.77 79.17% -0.792 -0.5198
2 Opposite Shores 261 25.67% 28.13 2.505 93.1% 0.1 0.5929
2 Thematic 249 38.55% 33.35 0.121 85.94% -0.199 0.2691
2 Top to Top 30 16.67% 28.33 -1.14 93.33% 0.158 0.4404
3 Archipelago 4 75.0% 30.75 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 11 63.64% 34.55 0.0 72.73%
3 Other 31 29.03% 24.58 -1.568 93.55% 0.29 -0.7989
3 Round (Default) 769 29.2% 28.0 -0.704 90.64% 0.448 0.7165
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 19.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 48 41.67% 30.27 -0.226 79.17% -0.192 -0.4153
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 4 75.0% 30.75 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 2 0.0% 31.0 1.761 100.0% 0.081 0.3219
4 Other 16 43.75% 31.63 0.373 93.75% 0.022 -0.4239
4 Thematic 78 19.23% 36.5 0.0 93.59%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 331 22.96% 28.43 0.265 90.33% 0.123 -0.0142
5 Other 21 42.86% 36.05 -1.641 80.95% 0.016 0.2849
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 3 66.67% 44.67 17.873 100.0% 0.003 0.8916
6 Star 16 31.25% 31.88 0.745 100.0% 0.398 1.293
6 Thematic 19 15.79% 38.21 1.806 94.74% 0.096 0.4595
6 Two Centers (Default) 31 19.35% 32.55 -1.584 87.1% -0.452 -0.0735
7 Other 2 0.0% 40.0 2.898 50.0% -0.608 -1.5437

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 322 21.83 -1.465 68.01% -0.929 0.9025
Aid From Lesser Spirits 268 22.56 -3.116 68.66% -1.16 0.4949
All Things Weaken 374 20.21 -4.78 62.03% -2.123 -0.1461
Back Against the Wall 273 20.82 -4.169 60.81% -1.761 0.098
Disintegrating Ecosystem 323 18.52 -3.767 65.33% -0.996 0.9789
Downward Spiral 359 21.06 -2.973 72.7% -1.473 0.4291
Erosion of Will 292 21.58 -1.821 67.81% -1.399 0.6451
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 175 27.53 -1.102 94.29% -0.688 -0.1156
Memory Fades to Dust 383 20.33 -2.682 65.8% -0.922 1.0571
Power Corrodes the Spirit 335 21.36 -4.672 69.85% -1.77 0.122
Promising Farmlands 297 19.71 -5.12 62.96% -1.87 0.1684
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 110 26.23 -1.598 96.36% 0.201 0.6419
Thriving Communities 354 18.87 -3.01 65.54% -0.676 1.2883
Unnatural Proliferation 376 20.92 -2.448 64.63% -1.608 0.2978
Untended Land Crumbles 347 20.14 -3.193 66.57% -1.011 1.024

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2218 33.08% 27.17 -0.192 87.65% -0.141 0.6268
B 2269 32.92% 27.07 -0.168 88.1% -0.252 0.4402
C 2448 32.01% 27.56 0.065 89.01% -0.053 0.5119
D 2260 33.75% 27.33 0.187 88.63% -0.098 0.6702
E 2200 32.83% 27.48 -1.244 88.64% -0.769 -0.1693
F 2125 31.84% 27.67 0.704 88.09% 0.226 0.9356
G 1830 31.41% 27.94 1.164 89.51% 0.214 0.9397
H 1917 32.24% 27.51 -0.086 88.58% -0.182 0.5084
East 898 36.16% 33.53 2.116 87.64% 0.144 0.7659
Northeast 357 36.13% 34.43 2.202 84.59% 0.14 0.8209
Northwest 317 36.28% 34.0 1.606 85.49% -0.163 0.9042
Southeast 378 38.1% 31.3 0.016 90.74% 1.052 1.7798
Southwest 281 33.81% 28.58 -1.425 80.43% -0.582 0.3884
West 792 37.25% 32.35 -0.54 82.2% -1.243 -0.2393

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 31 0.0% 29.45 -1.78 93.55% 0.01 2.0213
Not Using Events or Tokens 27 29.63% 31.04 3.54 81.48% 0.338 0.5524
Skip Initial Invader Actions 319 7.77% 38.97 4.47 96.55% -0.008 -0.1011
Start of Game Growth 529 11.95% 36.33 3.369 95.46% 0.239 -0.4684
Unlimited Undo 925 24.75% 29.58 1.219 92.32% 0.464 -0.2362
Using Tokens but Not Events 1187 28.37% 27.94 -0.14 87.62% 0.373 0.3279

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 869 22.6 46.84%
II 4932 31.02 85.24%
III 5231 34.59 90.98%
IV 2380 37.83 99.29%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.054 Win Model: 0.238
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 9609 35.82% 27.46 86.39%
2 2447 32.16% 27.81 90.03%
3 847 29.7% 28.2 90.32%
4 429 23.08% 30.44 91.38%
5 9 33.33% 29.56 77.78%
6 71 22.54% 34.63 91.55%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 406
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4593
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3895
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2341
Lose: Invader deck ran out 125
Lose: Adversary condition 102
Win: Sacrifice victory 60
Lose: Scenario condition 100
Win: Scenario condition 438
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1262
Lose: Spirit destroyed 90

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 457 44.64% 32.29 -0.11 74.84% 0.096 -0.0381
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 293 67.92% 30.38 -0.044 71.33% 0.318 0.3642
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 429 41.69% 34.23 -1.259 79.25% -0.52 -0.6395
Downpour Drenches the World 35 48.57% 30.86 -1.002 74.29% 0.34 0.6882
Eyes Watch From the Trees 654 32.62% 38.89 2.226 86.09% 0.539 0.1183
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 382 41.16% 34.97 3.016 82.2% 0.784 0.2216
Finder of Paths Unseen 11 63.64% 29.18 -1.56 54.55% -0.192 0.2096
Fractured Days Split the Sky 211 48.34% 33.44 0.845 72.04% 0.033 0.0874
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 275 64.0% 31.85 -0.688 72.0% 0.163 0.1546
Heart of the Wildfire 434 77.88% 23.82 -1.05 52.07% -0.133 0.0938
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 907 44.92% 33.93 2.102 79.27% 0.772 0.2498
Lightning's Swift Strike 239 59.66% 28.82 -3.127 63.6% -0.555 -0.3116
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 2 50.0% 37.5 2.542 100.0% 0.31 -0.5443
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 129 62.79% 32.38 -1.305 72.09% -0.363 -0.9723
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 125 40.8% 43.04 0.556 80.0% 0.212 -0.1654
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 956 42.51% 35.15 0.377 85.98% 0.503 0.285
Many Minds Move as One 911 34.84% 36.48 0.545 90.89% 0.464 -0.0748
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 512 54.51% 32.73 -2.049 71.29% -0.682 -0.9984
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 404 51.49% 33.46 0.574 78.71% -0.004 -0.0199
River Surges in Sunlight 371 54.45% 32.16 -2.191 69.81% -0.392 -0.3399
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 231 55.22% 37.9 0.32 71.86% 0.138 0.4951
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 18 61.11% 32.33 0.739 77.78% -0.031 -0.2614
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 343 53.64% 29.85 -0.591 69.97% -0.426 -0.4598
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 163 66.26% 28.81 1.509 65.64% 0.548 1.015
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 10 70.0% 33.2 -0.317 70.0% -0.135 -0.0373
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 5 60.0% 28.4 -4.478 60.0% -0.633 -0.8087
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 118 60.17% 31.32 -8.186 75.42% -0.618 -0.6776
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 92 55.43% 33.38 -1.681 72.83% -0.271 -0.1104
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 820 40.54% 34.94 0.708 84.02% 0.444 0.1413
Shifting Memory of Ages 170 56.47% 29.79 -2.058 70.59% -0.129 -0.0902
Shroud of Silent Mist 199 69.35% 27.26 -2.56 60.3% -0.586 -0.2616
Starlight Seeks its Form 211 29.86% 37.88 3.335 88.63% 1.278 1.0735
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 547 45.6% 28.04 -1.281 65.08% -0.151 -0.3373
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 458 42.11% 34.26 -1.336 77.29% -0.272 -0.1879
Thunderspeaker 476 46.22% 36.12 1.512 71.85% 0.307 0.2764
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 325 80.62% 26.04 -0.896 62.46% 0.302 0.2582
Vital Strength of the Earth 231 50.65% 28.89 -3.937 56.71% -0.707 0.0873
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 8 50.0% 36.0 1.498 87.5% 0.442 0.8939
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 132 42.42% 29.45 -0.955 71.21% -0.301 0.7299
Volcano Looming High 336 61.9% 28.85 -2.402 68.75% -0.618 -0.5924

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 120 52.5% 26.53 -1.457 60.83% 0.1 0.3675
Dahan Insurrection 4 237 26.16% 57.81 8.162 81.43% -0.072 0.2606
Despicable Theft 2 52 73.08% 34.25 4.365 51.92% 0.229 0.4799
Elemental Invocation 1 67 67.16% 29.13 -5.024 53.73% -1.183 -0.5343
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 350 21.49% 37.58 1.303 80.29% -0.906 -0.7402
Powers Long Forgotten 1 104 62.5% 30.34 2.486 55.77% 0.225 0.5506
Rituals of Terror 3 76 64.47% 39.58 4.07 61.84% -0.027 -0.1367
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 65 83.08% 36.58 1.664 52.31% -0.363 0.2939
Second Wave 0 596 55.05% 31.65 0.187 66.44% -0.474 -0.0027
The Great River 3 51 78.43% 28.86 -1.968 39.22% -0.322 1.1788
Varied Terrains 2 9 66.67% 34.11 1.423 44.44% -0.375 0.1609
Ward the Shores 2 116 51.72% 35.21 1.672 63.79% -0.369 0.8179

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5543 49.28% 31.07 0.266 73.12% 0.331 0.7787
1 Thematic 750 57.54% 33.35 -0.046 60.53% -0.209 0.3941
2 Archipelago 3 66.67% 37.67 0.0 100.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1113 51.22% 31.25 -0.601 76.82% 0.011 0.4019
2 Coastline 167 48.19% 31.74 -1.949 76.05% -0.201 -0.1126
2 Fragment 38 55.26% 30.76 -0.532 73.68% 0.273 0.3384
2 Heart 16 56.25% 26.25 0.0 56.25%
2 Opposite Shores 238 48.95% 31.33 0.971 78.15% 0.654 1.1466
2 Thematic 176 68.18% 32.86 -0.926 64.77% -0.611 -0.1428
2 Top to Top 32 56.25% 34.47 1.054 87.5% 0.871 1.1533
3 Archipelago 10 80.0% 31.8 0.0 30.0%
3 Coastline 9 66.67% 39.78 0.0 77.78%
3 Other 19 57.89% 32.47 0.0 84.21%
3 Round (Default) 435 37.33% 36.88 1.459 86.44% -0.179 0.0893
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 47 68.09% 36.57 3.336 72.34% 0.207 -0.0167
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 26.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 34.5 -9.135 50.0% -0.619 -0.6109
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 17.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 25 56.0% 33.04 0.014 84.0% 0.207 -0.2384
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 61 57.38% 39.92 0.677 80.33% -0.055 0.041
4 Trapezoid (Default) 177 45.2% 35.49 -0.884 83.05% -0.535 -0.672
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 80.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 22 22.73% 56.05 1.888 90.91% 0.359 0.6285
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 7 0.0% 69.57 1.497 100.0% 0.01 0.8986
6 Thematic 1 0.0% 59.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 14 14.29% 76.57 0.688 92.86% 0.029 0.4067

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 330 24.77 -0.756 51.21% -0.846 0.9853
Aid From Lesser Spirits 275 26.92 -1.306 59.64% -0.516 1.1379
All Things Weaken 364 24.16 -3.953 50.27% -1.533 0.4439
Back Against the Wall 267 23.9 -5.129 46.07% -1.586 0.2724
Disintegrating Ecosystem 328 20.28 -6.292 42.38% -1.589 0.3851
Downward Spiral 339 24.55 -4.893 55.46% -1.307 0.5947
Erosion of Will 299 24.56 -3.761 55.18% -1.064 0.9797
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 134 34.96 -2.872 84.33% -0.305 0.2675
Memory Fades to Dust 375 25.0 -5.545 58.13% -1.783 0.1962
Power Corrodes the Spirit 322 23.2 -3.673 50.31% -1.037 0.855
Promising Farmlands 297 23.37 -1.316 53.54% -0.881 1.1581
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 77 31.18 -2.074 84.42% 0.095 0.5356
Thriving Communities 339 23.05 -5.299 48.67% -1.992 -0.0277
Unnatural Proliferation 363 24.2 -5.231 50.14% -1.476 0.4304
Untended Land Crumbles 350 22.93 -5.905 51.43% -1.645 0.39

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1535 48.93% 32.34 -0.919 75.24% -0.37 0.3982
B 1549 47.83% 33.35 0.265 77.99% 0.217 0.91
C 1610 45.68% 33.36 0.301 78.2% 0.111 0.6755
D 1504 47.31% 32.66 0.749 75.8% 0.132 0.9005
E 1412 45.99% 33.12 0.099 77.9% 0.003 0.6022
F 1360 49.08% 32.41 0.904 75.81% 0.296 1.0057
G 1180 48.22% 32.63 -0.328 76.19% -0.136 0.5897
H 1181 49.28% 32.72 -0.211 76.21% -0.102 0.5885
East 582 60.76% 35.49 2.604 65.81% 0.299 0.9209
Northeast 250 65.06% 36.62 1.724 68.4% 0.137 0.8185
Northwest 208 60.58% 33.53 -0.468 62.98% 0.019 1.0863
Southeast 201 59.7% 35.2 2.538 69.15% 0.211 0.9386
Southwest 199 65.83% 27.72 -3.68 57.29% -0.652 0.3182
West 583 60.55% 33.47 -3.513 62.44% -1.044 -0.0402

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 11 0.0% 27.45 0.0 54.55%
Not Using Events or Tokens 24 37.5% 23.58 -1.461 37.5% -0.182 0.0326
Skip Initial Invader Actions 169 15.24% 45.36 4.184 92.9% 0.157 0.0639
Start of Game Growth 254 19.52% 43.36 4.763 89.37% 0.525 -0.1824
Unlimited Undo 672 44.56% 33.49 1.595 80.51% 0.495 -0.2045
Using Tokens but Not Events 745 39.65% 34.9 -0.806 77.85% -0.177 -0.2229

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1092 22.6 16.3%
II 3305 31.02 70.71%
III 3423 34.59 86.27%
IV 1097 37.83 99.54%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.204 Win Model: 0.273
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6342 50.55% 31.31 71.35%
2 1778 52.09% 31.74 76.55%
3 499 40.96% 36.32 84.37%
4 264 46.59% 38.14 84.09%
5 25 12.0% 65.4 92.0%
6 9 22.22% 49.0 88.89%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 177
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2851
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2138
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1084
Lose: Invader deck ran out 53
Lose: Adversary condition 856
Win: Sacrifice victory 43
Lose: Scenario condition 63
Win: Scenario condition 267
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1297
Lose: Spirit destroyed 88

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 529 36.24% 40.68 -0.1 82.99% -0.207 -0.3414
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 439 58.31% 36.89 0.477 78.36% 0.031 0.0769
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 510 42.72% 39.29 2.572 85.1% 1.394 1.2746
Downpour Drenches the World 33 48.48% 41.52 1.759 78.79% -0.152 0.1967
Eyes Watch From the Trees 727 30.58% 42.87 2.812 90.92% 0.711 0.2906
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 385 39.74% 40.94 2.491 87.53% -0.174 -0.7362
Finder of Paths Unseen 27 70.37% 33.22 -3.029 62.96% -0.896 -0.4948
Fractured Days Split the Sky 265 51.32% 39.35 0.458 73.21% -0.229 -0.1743
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 289 56.75% 36.87 -2.765 75.43% -0.809 -0.8173
Heart of the Wildfire 547 63.62% 35.93 -4.354 73.86% -0.906 -0.6792
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1150 41.04% 38.48 0.794 83.04% 0.23 -0.2924
Lightning's Swift Strike 262 62.93% 36.81 2.444 76.34% 0.123 0.3662
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 12 58.33% 38.0 2.336 83.33% 0.79 -0.0638
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 172 52.33% 37.58 1.19 77.33% 0.286 -0.3239
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 137 46.72% 41.81 2.725 78.83% 0.238 -0.1395
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1316 39.5% 41.8 1.195 90.5% 0.662 0.4437
Many Minds Move as One 1077 29.9% 42.28 2.582 93.41% 0.828 0.2894
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 704 50.21% 39.18 -1.589 76.56% -0.274 -0.5909
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 474 41.98% 39.48 -0.195 86.08% 0.234 0.2186
River Surges in Sunlight 563 46.07% 42.53 -1.59 83.13% -0.88 -0.828
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 211 58.29% 38.18 -0.564 76.3% -0.395 -0.0371
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 35 42.86% 46.8 3.866 77.14% 0.292 0.0621
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 464 48.49% 37.25 -0.963 81.9% -0.289 -0.3233
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 199 60.3% 34.41 -6.88 70.85% -0.492 -0.0252
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 2 0.0% 48.0 4.086 100.0% 0.122 0.2198
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 11 54.55% 36.64 1.285 81.82% 0.445 0.2697
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 149 49.66% 38.38 0.995 79.19% 0.026 -0.0333
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 115 64.35% 37.03 0.41 79.13% -0.013 0.1479
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 928 34.23% 41.29 0.847 89.55% 0.287 -0.0155
Shifting Memory of Ages 206 60.68% 36.18 -2.744 77.67% -0.471 -0.4319
Shroud of Silent Mist 286 60.49% 36.64 -2.066 78.32% -0.556 -0.2315
Starlight Seeks its Form 236 39.83% 40.78 0.231 82.63% 0.054 -0.1504
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 719 36.86% 34.86 -2.793 76.5% -0.729 -0.9153
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 584 35.16% 41.17 -0.052 88.18% 0.287 0.3715
Thunderspeaker 457 46.05% 42.12 1.523 82.71% -0.086 -0.1172
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 453 71.74% 33.14 0.832 73.51% 0.512 0.468
Vital Strength of the Earth 252 46.03% 34.46 0.604 74.6% 0.521 1.3158
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 18 33.33% 40.0 1.048 88.89% 0.504 0.9559
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 152 50.66% 33.03 -1.675 73.03% 0.197 1.228
Volcano Looming High 440 55.58% 34.36 -1.693 73.18% -0.652 -0.6258

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 166 52.41% 31.93 1.686 64.46% 0.446 0.7128
Dahan Insurrection 4 183 19.13% 66.63 13.031 88.52% -0.12 0.213
Despicable Theft 2 39 66.67% 39.18 4.006 58.97% 0.033 0.2832
Elemental Invocation 1 75 56.0% 37.37 4.806 72.0% 0.247 0.8951
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 513 25.93% 43.32 4.092 83.24% 1.17 1.3356
Powers Long Forgotten 1 98 66.33% 38.41 2.853 67.35% 0.305 0.6304
Rituals of Terror 3 57 59.65% 38.89 10.34 50.88% 0.527 0.4169
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 40 72.5% 37.7 -9.032 50.0% -0.809 -0.152
Second Wave 0 342 48.83% 38.16 1.219 75.44% -0.198 0.2731
The Great River 3 56 64.29% 39.14 2.235 55.36% -0.164 1.3369
Varied Terrains 2 7 100.0% 41.71 3.117 71.43% 0.069 0.6046
Ward the Shores 2 93 58.06% 41.2 0.0 65.59%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6802 47.24% 36.8 -0.242 78.7% 0.191 0.6388
1 Thematic 600 56.33% 37.47 -1.415 64.17% -0.662 -0.0589
2 Archipelago 10 50.0% 43.0 4.522 70.0% 0.374 1.0397
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1424 47.61% 38.14 -0.205 85.67% -0.105 0.2865
2 Coastline 150 48.0% 40.19 2.99 88.67% 0.165 0.253
2 Fragment 34 55.88% 37.41 -0.401 79.41% -0.224 -0.158
2 Heart 19 68.42% 30.79 3.916 63.16% -0.533 -0.2608
2 Opposite Shores 227 48.67% 38.89 0.634 84.14% -0.167 0.3257
2 Thematic 262 44.66% 43.62 4.144 84.73% 0.574 1.0423
2 Top to Top 35 40.0% 38.77 2.332 85.71% 0.086 0.3678
3 Archipelago 5 100.0% 31.2 0.0 20.0%
3 Coastline 16 68.75% 45.38 5.537 93.75% 0.019 -0.6203
3 Other 25 52.0% 38.08 3.118 84.0% 0.222 -0.8672
3 Round (Default) 543 41.62% 40.24 0.358 89.13% -0.176 0.0922
3 Sunrise 3 0.0% 43.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 56 48.21% 46.77 3.37 89.29% 0.237 0.0136
4 Archipelago 8 37.5% 45.25 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 5 80.0% 41.2 0.0 60.0%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 47.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 11 45.45% 40.55 6.181 90.91% 0.021 -0.4243
4 Thematic 142 18.31% 57.08 -4.858 91.55% -0.539 -0.443
4 Trapezoid (Default) 276 31.64% 41.32 -0.121 92.03% 0.285 0.1479
5 Other 17 73.33% 44.76 0.0 82.35%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 51.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 3 66.67% 56.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Thematic 5 0.0% 56.4 1.401 100.0% 0.005 0.3682
6 Two Centers (Default) 6 16.67% 40.33 -1.701 83.33% 0.0 0.3783
7 Other 1 0.0% 96.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 379 30.26 -4.035 60.42% -1.2 0.6317
Aid From Lesser Spirits 296 31.84 -0.586 62.84% -0.505 1.1499
All Things Weaken 389 29.58 -4.355 58.35% -1.252 0.7248
Back Against the Wall 309 31.07 -2.735 60.19% -0.715 1.1435
Disintegrating Ecosystem 339 27.7 -4.401 54.57% -1.27 0.7043
Downward Spiral 389 32.15 -2.61 69.67% -1.236 0.6656
Erosion of Will 339 30.31 -4.926 62.24% -1.241 0.8023
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 156 36.97 -1.884 84.62% -0.351 0.2214
Memory Fades to Dust 354 30.39 -6.786 64.97% -1.616 0.3631
Power Corrodes the Spirit 371 29.93 -3.527 62.53% -0.742 1.1498
Promising Farmlands 347 29.16 -5.475 61.67% -1.378 0.661
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 118 37.72 5.971 88.14% 0.397 0.8374
Thriving Communities 397 29.82 -2.952 62.72% -0.418 1.5459
Unnatural Proliferation 423 31.7 -6.269 64.78% -1.939 -0.0334
Untended Land Crumbles 395 30.4 -2.863 64.05% -0.794 1.2409

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1741 47.09% 38.05 0.823 82.54% 0.656 1.4236
B 1879 47.12% 38.32 0.452 84.19% 0.322 1.0141
C 1969 43.29% 38.56 -0.8 83.09% -0.223 0.3417
D 1760 46.89% 37.73 -0.132 80.45% 0.213 0.9816
E 1787 44.23% 38.58 0.132 83.55% -0.088 0.5116
F 1675 46.03% 37.75 0.28 82.69% 0.028 0.7373
G 1408 47.79% 37.56 -0.437 81.53% -0.159 0.5673
H 1571 43.25% 38.72 0.776 84.6% 0.305 0.9957
East 697 41.75% 45.29 -1.388 79.2% -0.546 0.0766
Northeast 353 40.23% 48.41 1.509 83.29% -0.257 0.4246
Northwest 297 41.08% 47.75 -0.621 81.48% -0.378 0.6887
Southeast 232 37.5% 44.3 3.178 81.03% 0.515 1.2426
Southwest 200 46.5% 39.34 2.186 77.0% 0.419 1.3894
West 633 47.24% 43.18 -1.186 75.83% -0.679 0.3239

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 5 0.0% 79.2 0.0 100.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 5 40.0% 28.0 0.0 60.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 154 10.0% 51.31 1.596 96.1% 0.429 0.335
Start of Game Growth 259 15.75% 48.69 1.749 94.21% -0.077 -0.7847
Unlimited Undo 763 42.16% 39.52 1.442 81.78% 0.417 -0.2825
Using Tokens but Not Events 714 45.7% 36.28 -0.364 78.99% 0.011 -0.0344

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 739 22.6 0.41%
II 2600 31.02 66.69%
III 4879 34.59 89.79%
IV 2471 37.83 99.88%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.513 Win Model: 0.566
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7443 48.11% 36.88 77.5%
2 2151 47.53% 38.93 85.31%
3 627 42.11% 40.93 89.0%
4 447 28.76% 46.44 91.05%
5 5 75.0% 45.8 80.0%
6 16 20.0% 52.13 87.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4247
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1597
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2454
Lose: Invader deck ran out 33
Lose: Adversary condition 796
Win: Sacrifice victory 63
Lose: Scenario condition 70
Win: Scenario condition 222
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1116
Lose: Spirit destroyed 88

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 482 57.71% 40.16 -3.88 64.52% -0.954 -1.0887
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 400 74.87% 36.54 -0.712 56.25% -0.368 -0.3221
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 526 61.22% 40.7 2.335 65.4% 0.228 0.1084
Downpour Drenches the World 53 69.81% 38.79 0.753 66.04% 0.647 0.9959
Eyes Watch From the Trees 671 50.07% 45.9 -1.94 76.9% -0.409 -0.8299
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 289 66.67% 40.14 2.167 61.94% 0.664 0.102
Finder of Paths Unseen 18 88.89% 37.94 -3.381 50.0% -0.653 -0.2514
Fractured Days Split the Sky 288 72.57% 37.4 -1.694 52.78% -0.392 -0.3379
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 254 62.6% 39.98 -2.371 62.2% -0.479 -0.4879
Heart of the Wildfire 602 83.55% 31.87 -3.569 46.51% -0.166 0.0606
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1559 56.62% 40.83 0.084 68.38% -0.088 -0.6105
Lightning's Swift Strike 270 77.15% 36.14 -2.787 51.48% -0.404 -0.1603
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 30 90.0% 45.63 4.209 83.33% 1.339 0.4847
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 187 67.91% 42.1 0.45 70.05% 0.223 -0.3864
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 115 70.43% 39.23 1.074 57.39% -0.369 -0.7468
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2008 49.88% 46.78 3.994 81.92% 1.292 1.0738
Many Minds Move as One 1154 52.6% 45.86 1.983 79.46% 0.39 -0.149
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 655 68.62% 38.41 -3.054 58.93% -0.569 -0.886
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 485 62.81% 39.03 -1.109 62.27% -0.08 -0.0963
River Surges in Sunlight 560 73.15% 38.89 3.335 55.54% 0.478 0.5302
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 196 81.12% 31.3 -5.46 38.78% -1.099 -0.7416
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 23 60.87% 49.3 4.946 82.61% 0.97 0.7396
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 446 70.18% 38.72 3.571 61.21% 0.518 0.4836
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 174 85.06% 33.55 1.013 45.4% 0.017 0.4839
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 7 85.71% 43.86 3.555 71.43% 0.256 0.3534
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 13 84.62% 46.69 4.519 84.62% 1.105 0.93
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 164 73.78% 37.6 -0.56 57.93% -0.014 -0.0732
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 148 81.76% 36.39 2.267 56.08% 0.276 0.436
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1059 49.95% 46.36 4.103 79.23% 0.838 0.5358
Shifting Memory of Ages 213 73.24% 38.08 -1.428 59.62% -0.263 -0.224
Shroud of Silent Mist 298 75.42% 36.69 -3.481 58.72% -0.502 -0.1774
Starlight Seeks its Form 320 60.31% 43.51 1.677 68.75% 0.552 0.3473
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 920 54.42% 35.7 -2.348 57.72% -0.743 -0.9292
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 650 58.05% 43.11 3.092 72.77% 0.592 0.6765
Thunderspeaker 457 68.86% 37.88 -2.654 56.02% -0.649 -0.68
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 554 85.92% 33.58 -3.238 51.99% -0.359 -0.4027
Vital Strength of the Earth 209 75.6% 34.29 0.238 49.76% -0.212 0.583
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 11 63.64% 32.0 -5.28 45.45% -0.871 -0.419
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 156 69.23% 32.63 -3.474 50.0% -0.347 0.6836
Volcano Looming High 519 71.29% 38.08 -1.568 63.01% -0.265 -0.2386

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 50.0 5.309 100.0% 0.273 0.3817
Blitz 0 113 69.03% 26.91 0.0 30.09%
Dahan Insurrection 4 96 48.96% 59.34 6.859 63.54% -0.235 0.0981
Despicable Theft 2 15 60.0% 51.27 0.0 66.67%
Elemental Invocation 1 65 78.46% 37.09 4.632 53.85% 0.522 1.1706
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 671 34.28% 47.84 3.384 78.09% 0.75 0.9157
Powers Long Forgotten 1 60 65.0% 37.42 -0.108 46.67% -0.076 0.25
Rituals of Terror 3 34 79.41% 39.85 9.496 32.35% 0.074 -0.0355
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 8 62.5% 46.38 0.0 50.0%
Second Wave 0 234 66.67% 37.16 1.356 51.71% 0.125 0.5961
The Great River 3 29 72.41% 47.93 0.0 55.17%
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
Ward the Shores 2 44 68.18% 39.66 0.0 47.73%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8114 61.42% 39.28 -0.589 63.19% -0.026 0.421
1 Thematic 519 68.98% 37.53 2.587 47.98% 0.225 0.8276
2 Archipelago 6 83.33% 43.17 -7.17 50.0% -0.382 0.2839
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1701 66.41% 40.41 -1.359 67.84% -0.161 0.2306
2 Coastline 183 61.75% 41.2 -1.32 67.21% -0.107 -0.0187
2 Fragment 49 67.35% 38.2 0.022 59.18% -0.028 0.0374
2 Heart 16 75.0% 42.69 -0.326 75.0% -0.111 0.1606
2 Opposite Shores 319 64.15% 41.22 1.989 68.03% 0.051 0.5442
2 Thematic 128 69.53% 39.26 -3.337 50.78% -0.59 -0.122
2 Top to Top 54 61.11% 43.52 2.986 75.93% 0.178 0.4605
3 Archipelago 4 50.0% 53.75 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 5 60.0% 55.2 0.0 80.0%
3 Other 31 74.19% 41.97 7.324 67.74% 0.214 -0.8752
3 Round (Default) 683 63.84% 41.61 1.889 69.55% 0.373 0.6415
3 Sunrise 4 50.0% 45.25 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 26 65.38% 52.38 5.773 73.08% 0.183 -0.0407
4 Archipelago 3 0.0% 60.0 6.074 100.0% 0.04 -0.8113
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 59.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 56.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 18 61.11% 51.0 6.584 94.44% 0.136 -0.31
4 Thematic 47 57.45% 45.34 0.0 59.57%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 234 58.87% 44.32 1.229 76.92% -0.024 -0.1607
5 Other 11 42.86% 61.0 1.405 81.82% 0.037 0.3065
6 Other 5 0.0% 59.8 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 1 0.0% 75.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 5 60.0% 41.4 2.419 60.0% 0.159 0.5215
6 Two Centers (Default) 8 50.0% 39.75 -4.041 50.0% -0.14 0.2381

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 559 33.65 -1.869 49.91% -0.792 1.0392
Aid From Lesser Spirits 515 33.85 -5.075 46.02% -1.871 -0.2166
All Things Weaken 583 31.77 -5.224 46.14% -1.643 0.3331
Back Against the Wall 429 33.06 -1.511 46.39% -0.718 1.1409
Disintegrating Ecosystem 562 27.73 -5.482 36.65% -1.464 0.5106
Downward Spiral 613 31.91 -6.874 48.45% -1.949 -0.0472
Erosion of Will 580 30.97 -6.842 43.1% -1.876 0.1679
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 164 42.88 0.113 76.83% -0.149 0.4233
Memory Fades to Dust 563 31.41 -3.606 46.36% -1.146 0.8336
Power Corrodes the Spirit 553 30.87 -6.436 44.48% -1.954 -0.0625
Promising Farmlands 537 30.26 -3.395 42.83% -1.352 0.6869
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 129 45.35 -0.009 81.4% -0.134 0.3069
Thriving Communities 623 32.75 -1.223 51.85% -0.452 1.5121
Unnatural Proliferation 629 32.0 -5.539 45.15% -1.593 0.3128
Untended Land Crumbles 590 31.75 -2.429 47.63% -0.969 1.0658

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2100 62.99% 40.02 0.003 65.76% 0.053 0.8208
B 2158 62.7% 40.13 1.462 66.08% 0.528 1.2204
C 2421 60.49% 41.28 -0.1 67.78% -0.264 0.3005
D 2003 62.46% 40.14 1.329 65.25% 0.227 0.9952
E 2212 61.01% 40.94 -1.62 67.31% -0.404 0.1951
F 1922 65.38% 40.54 0.66 67.07% 0.267 0.9766
G 1665 64.14% 40.11 0.296 65.41% 0.09 0.816
H 1719 62.49% 40.87 -0.112 67.13% 0.073 0.7637
East 447 66.44% 39.99 3.927 50.34% 0.593 1.2157
Northeast 194 66.49% 40.5 4.246 50.0% -0.048 0.6337
Northwest 156 62.82% 40.92 -8.373 53.21% -0.811 0.256
Southeast 168 66.67% 39.02 3.8 51.19% 0.266 0.9944
Southwest 114 69.3% 40.48 7.413 59.65% 0.559 1.5299
West 369 67.48% 40.0 -1.019 52.85% -0.016 0.9871

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 9 0.0% 68.0 8.825 100.0% 0.052 2.0635
Not Using Events or Tokens 4 100.0% 21.75 0.0 25.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 189 13.19% 60.14 4.067 96.83% 0.387 0.2932
Start of Game Growth 295 20.83% 56.4 5.156 91.53% 0.669 -0.0388
Unlimited Undo 831 53.28% 45.02 1.897 76.53% 0.546 -0.1538
Using Tokens but Not Events 515 64.62% 37.32 -2.42 59.81% -0.693 -0.7386

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1460 22.6 0.48%
II 4469 31.02 48.29%
III 3984 34.59 84.86%
IV 2268 37.83 99.47%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.37 Win Model: 0.129
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8665 61.93% 39.18 62.23%
2 2443 66.04% 40.64 67.21%
3 745 63.49% 42.03 69.8%
4 302 57.19% 45.2 75.5%
5 7 0.0% 74.71 100.0%
6 19 36.84% 47.32 68.42%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 7
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3329
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2099
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2239
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3
Lose: Adversary condition 1568
Win: Sacrifice victory 46
Lose: Scenario condition 82
Win: Scenario condition 82
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2587
Lose: Spirit destroyed 139

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 336 61.75% 44.0 -2.481 63.99% -0.772 -0.9061
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 244 78.28% 39.62 2.962 54.51% 0.511 0.557
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 344 68.02% 44.23 1.86 67.15% 0.41 0.2899
Downpour Drenches the World 41 70.73% 44.07 3.324 63.41% 0.691 1.0398
Eyes Watch From the Trees 498 54.73% 49.02 1.99 74.1% 0.423 0.0017
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 213 60.09% 45.72 -2.879 65.26% -0.692 -1.2544
Finder of Paths Unseen 11 63.64% 42.64 -1.746 54.55% -0.265 0.136
Fractured Days Split the Sky 269 65.67% 42.33 -5.689 53.16% -0.967 -0.9124
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 213 58.22% 47.03 0.727 69.95% 0.104 0.0953
Heart of the Wildfire 367 75.96% 40.36 -1.103 58.86% 0.117 0.3433
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1301 51.35% 48.02 1.534 77.17% 0.622 0.0994
Lightning's Swift Strike 162 77.07% 40.39 2.267 53.7% -0.061 0.1825
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 26 76.92% 52.81 6.949 88.46% 1.853 0.9995
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 132 62.12% 46.64 5.115 69.7% 0.312 -0.297
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 97 57.73% 47.96 4.777 73.2% 0.212 -0.1653
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1801 45.28% 52.64 1.811 84.4% 0.22 0.0025
Many Minds Move as One 863 49.83% 52.25 3.391 82.97% 0.518 -0.0208
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 439 72.29% 40.0 -0.271 54.44% -0.098 -0.4152
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 367 71.86% 40.8 0.147 58.86% 0.363 0.3474
River Surges in Sunlight 417 68.77% 43.59 -0.949 59.47% -0.576 -0.524
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 148 72.97% 39.13 -3.183 47.3% -0.271 0.0867
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 23 69.57% 48.52 1.212 65.22% 0.229 -0.0009
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 390 65.38% 41.92 -2.337 58.72% -0.506 -0.5399
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 119 77.12% 37.73 7.263 47.06% 0.114 0.5806
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 7 71.43% 44.57 -1.812 57.14% -0.354 -0.2567
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 14 71.43% 37.29 -0.572 28.57% -0.434 -0.6093
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 110 73.64% 41.42 -2.406 57.27% -0.097 -0.1568
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 101 76.24% 40.32 -2.911 54.46% -0.081 0.0795
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1156 39.53% 53.17 3.569 83.48% 0.774 0.472
Shifting Memory of Ages 173 75.14% 42.98 -2.546 61.85% -0.197 -0.1578
Shroud of Silent Mist 202 76.92% 39.77 -0.507 54.46% 0.259 0.5833
Starlight Seeks its Form 216 65.28% 43.71 0.031 63.89% 0.15 -0.0539
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 656 56.4% 41.04 -3.884 60.82% -0.961 -1.1471
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 555 63.27% 46.15 2.793 70.81% 0.653 0.7376
Thunderspeaker 290 73.1% 42.9 -0.198 60.69% 0.273 0.2421
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 520 84.04% 40.36 -1.446 61.73% 0.181 0.1373
Vital Strength of the Earth 156 80.65% 33.81 -6.641 39.74% -0.847 -0.052
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 13 76.92% 31.31 -4.147 38.46% -0.367 0.0854
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 99 75.76% 36.66 -7.185 52.53% -0.801 0.23
Volcano Looming High 403 67.91% 41.75 -1.104 62.28% -0.414 -0.3883

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 100.0% 18.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 59 77.97% 31.08 -8.924 33.9% -0.159 0.1081
Dahan Insurrection 4 57 36.84% 67.42 22.664 64.91% 0.58 0.913
Despicable Theft 2 12 58.33% 53.67 3.419 66.67% 0.036 0.2865
Elemental Invocation 1 20 60.0% 49.75 -11.679 75.0% -0.471 0.1778
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 440 28.18% 53.78 3.925 79.55% 0.415 0.581
Powers Long Forgotten 1 23 78.26% 33.96 0.0 30.43%
Rituals of Terror 3 28 78.57% 44.32 0.0 42.86%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 13 92.31% 39.46 0.0 30.77%
Second Wave 0 133 60.61% 45.67 1.181 60.9% -0.124 0.3465
The Great River 3 16 81.25% 38.19 0.0 31.25%
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 28.0 -4.263 0.0% -0.127 0.4089
Ward the Shores 2 15 80.0% 35.73 -15.438 33.33% -0.589 0.5982

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6520 58.54% 45.11 -0.886 67.47% -0.309 0.1387
1 Thematic 231 67.1% 41.85 0.806 51.08% 0.11 0.7125
2 Archipelago 2 50.0% 90.0 0.0 100.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1273 67.95% 43.82 -0.394 65.91% -0.084 0.3075
2 Coastline 164 66.46% 44.54 4.101 67.07% 0.109 0.1968
2 Fragment 25 72.0% 47.6 4.219 76.0% 0.392 0.4582
2 Heart 16 75.0% 43.31 0.0 62.5%
2 Opposite Shores 300 49.33% 48.47 0.92 78.33% 0.228 0.7209
2 Thematic 75 81.33% 45.04 -3.19 54.67% -0.393 0.0751
2 Top to Top 55 61.82% 46.2 -5.806 70.91% -0.757 -0.4748
3 Archipelago 2 50.0% 70.5 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 13 38.46% 58.92 0.0 92.31%
3 Other 15 53.33% 47.8 3.656 80.0% 0.149 -0.9399
3 Round (Default) 528 64.2% 45.66 1.846 71.21% 0.545 0.8137
3 Sunrise 4 75.0% 35.0 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 16 68.75% 43.13 5.83 50.0% 0.095 -0.1282
4 Coastline 8 25.0% 54.88 0.0 87.5%
4 Other 12 75.0% 52.67 5.265 91.67% 0.043 -0.4023
4 Thematic 65 43.08% 57.86 0.0 81.54%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 164 53.55% 51.92 6.386 81.1% 0.116 -0.0214
5 Other 6 80.0% 53.67 0.0 83.33%
5 Thematic 4 0.0% 80.0 0.0 75.0%
6 Other 2 0.0% 83.0 17.596 100.0% 0.115 1.0027
6 Star 3 33.33% 20.67 0.0 0.0%
6 Thematic 9 11.11% 66.22 4.038 77.78% 0.05 0.4126
6 Two Centers (Default) 18 16.67% 56.61 -1.22 94.44% -0.519 -0.1408

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 464 36.37 -7.773 47.84% -1.751 0.0807
Aid From Lesser Spirits 350 38.43 -6.753 51.71% -1.695 -0.0405
All Things Weaken 408 36.86 -5.044 50.0% -1.549 0.427
Back Against the Wall 342 37.48 -7.415 49.42% -1.77 0.0889
Disintegrating Ecosystem 392 31.19 -2.788 38.27% -0.756 1.219
Downward Spiral 430 36.4 -5.371 52.56% -1.344 0.558
Erosion of Will 425 35.87 -7.484 47.76% -1.778 0.2655
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 122 51.05 4.061 85.25% 0.385 0.9571
Memory Fades to Dust 476 35.14 -9.442 46.85% -2.104 -0.1244
Power Corrodes the Spirit 471 36.63 -5.481 52.02% -1.504 0.3883
Promising Farmlands 388 34.64 -8.579 47.68% -1.968 0.0711
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 80 48.29 -3.548 80.0% -0.596 -0.1554
Thriving Communities 454 37.48 -4.941 54.85% -1.355 0.6097
Unnatural Proliferation 475 37.03 -6.245 49.26% -1.942 -0.0356
Untended Land Crumbles 441 34.29 -8.42 44.67% -1.86 0.1748

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1489 63.1% 45.48 -0.457 69.11% -0.076 0.6917
B 1844 58.71% 46.29 1.328 71.04% 0.494 1.1862
C 1868 59.26% 45.72 2.006 69.27% 0.276 0.8406
D 1572 60.37% 45.15 0.974 68.19% 0.071 0.8397
E 1847 56.21% 47.09 -0.741 72.17% -0.374 0.2251
F 1531 62.25% 44.6 -2.129 67.08% -0.601 0.1083
G 1269 65.16% 44.62 -1.002 67.3% -0.334 0.3916
H 1414 59.13% 45.71 2.439 69.09% 0.442 1.1321
East 250 63.2% 48.48 4.158 58.8% 0.181 0.8032
Northeast 128 65.63% 49.59 2.318 59.38% 0.071 0.7519
Northwest 121 55.37% 48.83 -0.394 59.5% -0.189 0.8783
Southeast 98 57.14% 50.16 5.271 63.27% 0.23 0.9576
Southwest 90 56.67% 49.09 -0.587 65.56% -0.195 0.7754
West 236 60.59% 48.29 -0.8 61.86% -0.19 0.8135

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 11 0.0% 79.27 6.386 100.0% 0.116 2.1271
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 33.33% 19.0 0.0 0.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 146 15.56% 63.38 2.283 93.84% -0.121 -0.2148
Start of Game Growth 333 27.02% 59.72 6.165 90.09% 1.211 0.5036
Unlimited Undo 930 58.87% 48.95 0.245 75.59% 0.17 -0.5294
Using Tokens but Not Events 337 51.84% 47.75 -1.082 73.29% -0.195 -0.2409

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 794 22.6 0.38%
II 3632 31.02 53.36%
III 3668 34.59 84.21%
IV 1438 37.83 99.72%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.591 Win Model: 0.23
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6777 58.9% 45.01 66.9%
2 1898 65.28% 44.84 67.97%
3 575 63.65% 45.92 71.3%
4 248 48.74% 54.19 81.45%
5 2 50.0% 52.5 100.0%
6 32 15.63% 57.59 81.25%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3051
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1892
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1426
Lose: Invader deck ran out 4
Lose: Adversary condition 918
Win: Sacrifice victory 50
Lose: Scenario condition 44
Win: Scenario condition 42
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1989
Lose: Spirit destroyed 113

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 218 80.73% 41.41 -2.02 39.45% 0.111 -0.0234
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 136 86.76% 32.62 -8.04 19.85% -0.54 -0.4942
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 196 81.63% 37.83 -5.16 32.14% -0.57 -0.6898
Downpour Drenches the World 17 58.82% 48.18 0.597 52.94% 0.222 0.5709
Eyes Watch From the Trees 407 67.81% 47.41 -2.568 49.63% -0.105 -0.5264
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 98 87.63% 34.73 -9.281 23.47% -0.375 -0.9372
Finder of Paths Unseen 11 90.91% 36.18 -9.051 27.27% -0.772 -0.3703
Fractured Days Split the Sky 122 68.85% 49.81 -1.938 48.36% 0.055 0.1089
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 99 78.79% 41.04 -1.348 38.38% 0.36 0.3511
Heart of the Wildfire 247 87.85% 35.72 -3.74 29.96% 0.036 0.2623
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 913 61.62% 51.74 4.433 62.32% 1.154 0.6317
Lightning's Swift Strike 103 87.38% 38.45 2.142 32.04% -0.014 0.2292
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 12 41.67% 70.0 6.342 83.33% 0.504 -0.3499
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 91 76.92% 44.68 -2.341 46.15% -0.237 -0.8467
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 34 70.59% 46.65 -5.638 50.0% -0.168 -0.5454
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1169 60.14% 53.98 5.591 66.81% 1.533 1.3151
Many Minds Move as One 540 78.52% 44.81 -0.492 47.04% 0.378 -0.1607
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 225 86.22% 37.64 7.907 30.67% 1.169 0.8525
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 185 87.57% 36.91 -7.237 29.73% -0.848 -0.8637
River Surges in Sunlight 239 80.75% 44.17 1.661 41.0% 0.343 0.3954
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 68 91.18% 34.75 -2.554 23.53% 0.07 0.4272
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 12 91.67% 49.5 1.643 50.0% 0.433 0.2023
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 217 82.03% 38.14 -6.559 30.88% -0.787 -0.8213
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 63 90.48% 30.32 -5.321 12.7% -0.119 0.3482
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 1 100.0% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 6 83.33% 36.83 -11.265 33.33% -0.52 -0.6955
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 65 89.23% 34.4 0.0 23.08%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 57 94.74% 33.75 0.0 21.05%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 540 72.17% 48.52 0.778 53.89% 0.525 0.2223
Shifting Memory of Ages 55 85.45% 43.96 -4.701 38.18% -0.308 -0.2693
Shroud of Silent Mist 117 96.58% 29.38 -11.401 14.53% -0.423 -0.0986
Starlight Seeks its Form 226 82.74% 43.04 -0.514 42.92% 0.352 0.1475
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 416 73.32% 37.92 -5.585 36.54% -0.524 -0.7098
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 375 73.33% 46.6 1.929 50.67% 0.691 0.7752
Thunderspeaker 182 86.26% 38.47 -0.104 26.92% 0.218 0.1869
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 340 92.94% 37.72 -11.932 35.0% -1.256 -1.3002
Vital Strength of the Earth 74 83.78% 34.61 -3.418 25.68% -0.04 0.7544
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 13 69.23% 34.23 -7.009 23.08% -0.816 -0.3637
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 83 91.57% 31.37 -5.363 18.07% -0.396 0.6348
Volcano Looming High 192 78.13% 42.28 -0.792 43.75% 0.091 0.1169

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 18 66.67% 39.56 0.0 33.33%
Dahan Insurrection 4 48 62.5% 68.38 28.318 43.75% 0.31 0.6426
Despicable Theft 2 1 100.0% 35.0 3.193 0.0% -0.103 0.1478
Elemental Invocation 1 20 100.0% 27.9 -6.481 5.0% -0.193 0.4553
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 340 33.82% 59.44 8.039 70.0% 1.317 1.4833
Powers Long Forgotten 1 16 100.0% 28.38 0.0 6.25%
Rituals of Terror 3 10 100.0% 31.1 0.0 0.0%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 2 50.0% 57.5 0.0 50.0%
Second Wave 0 84 78.57% 38.93 1.247 30.95% 0.117 0.5879
The Great River 3 3 100.0% 51.0 0.0 33.33%
Ward the Shores 2 9 88.89% 33.56 0.0 11.11%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4045 68.68% 46.6 1.179 51.12% 0.281 0.7283
1 Thematic 242 77.27% 41.32 -1.857 31.82% 0.031 0.6338
2 Archipelago 7 71.43% 91.14 -10.966 57.14% -0.321 0.3451
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 834 85.25% 39.01 -1.201 34.77% 0.09 0.4812
2 Coastline 97 67.01% 50.56 -10.289 59.79% -0.298 -0.2093
2 Fragment 14 100.0% 32.79 0.0 21.43%
2 Heart 10 70.0% 44.8 0.0 50.0%
2 Opposite Shores 102 76.47% 45.84 3.235 46.08% 0.663 1.1559
2 Thematic 39 74.36% 37.9 -5.086 17.95% -0.446 0.022
2 Top to Top 26 73.08% 47.69 -2.522 53.85% -0.348 -0.0656
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 57.75 0.0 62.5%
3 Other 16 100.0% 36.44 0.0 31.25%
3 Round (Default) 297 80.81% 44.67 2.519 47.47% 0.512 0.7801
3 Thematic 6 83.33% 49.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 56.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 74.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 4 50.0% 45.75 0.952 50.0% -0.03 -0.4755
4 Thematic 18 94.44% 46.44 0.0 38.89%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 129 86.82% 38.83 3.791 34.88% 0.145 0.0079
5 Other 7 71.43% 46.71 0.0 57.14%
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 145.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 3 33.33% 41.67 -5.343 33.33% -0.261 0.1173

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 333 35.97 -4.88 27.63% -0.96 0.8713
Aid From Lesser Spirits 250 42.48 -4.828 40.8% -1.006 0.6488
All Things Weaken 347 36.06 -2.573 28.53% -0.587 1.3899
Back Against the Wall 241 35.95 -6.938 26.56% -1.226 0.6331
Disintegrating Ecosystem 311 31.52 -8.34 20.9% -1.81 0.1647
Downward Spiral 331 37.58 -6.313 35.95% -1.078 0.8239
Erosion of Will 328 35.99 -8.104 28.66% -1.479 0.5646
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 74 53.89 -3.325 70.27% -0.515 0.0572
Memory Fades to Dust 333 35.99 -5.903 30.33% -1.139 0.8405
Power Corrodes the Spirit 309 35.5 -6.69 29.13% -1.336 0.556
Promising Farmlands 317 34.73 -6.065 29.02% -1.134 0.9047
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 36 59.25 4.87 83.33% 0.311 0.7522
Thriving Communities 363 37.75 -6.364 34.71% -1.205 0.7591
Unnatural Proliferation 374 36.7 -6.642 29.41% -1.328 0.5776
Untended Land Crumbles 349 34.09 -5.409 25.5% -1.059 0.976

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1026 78.85% 42.96 -0.506 43.27% -0.009 0.7592
B 1055 77.25% 43.7 -0.049 44.93% 0.342 1.0343
C 1120 72.74% 45.67 0.57 49.02% 0.214 0.7783
D 927 75.19% 42.38 -0.377 42.29% 0.147 0.9154
E 1293 69.45% 47.64 2.003 52.67% 0.323 0.9225
F 793 75.22% 44.06 -1.621 45.27% -0.208 0.502
G 720 77.64% 42.83 -1.767 43.47% -0.442 0.2837
H 876 77.74% 43.13 -1.047 42.92% -0.082 0.6081
East 172 75.0% 46.48 -3.854 36.63% -0.13 0.4918
Northeast 78 83.33% 44.0 16.449 33.33% 0.546 1.2268
Northwest 64 84.38% 43.06 -4.266 32.81% -0.31 0.7573
Southeast 61 67.21% 48.33 -8.142 44.26% -0.205 0.523
Southwest 53 75.47% 34.23 -5.674 22.64% -0.316 0.6551
West 159 82.39% 38.61 -5.086 25.16% -0.446 0.5573

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3 0.0% 35.33 0.0 33.33%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 123 18.7% 69.84 3.919 86.18% 0.324 0.2303
Start of Game Growth 345 32.17% 64.9 5.057 82.9% 0.57 -0.1374
Unlimited Undo 529 66.92% 48.71 -1.98 54.44% 0.066 -0.634
Using Tokens but Not Events 299 52.7% 55.26 -3.701 68.56% -0.441 -0.4867

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 528 22.6 4.73%
II 3341 31.02 36.85%
III 1513 34.59 66.62%
IV 526 37.83 99.62%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.584 Win Model: -0.576
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4304 69.15% 46.41 50.07%
2 1123 82.64% 40.62 37.58%
3 319 80.88% 44.77 47.02%
4 156 84.62% 41.07 37.82%
5 3 100.0% 38.33 33.33%
6 3 33.33% 41.67 33.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 25
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 986
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1197
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 523
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2
Lose: Adversary condition 773
Win: Sacrifice victory 35
Lose: Scenario condition 51
Win: Scenario condition 22
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2209
Lose: Spirit destroyed 85

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1266 70.7% 56.49 -0.005 43.52% 0.176 0.0421
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 699 88.56% 43.97 -6.35 22.75% -1.015 -0.9687
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 693 93.18% 35.12 -6.752 16.02% -0.711 -0.8308
Downpour Drenches the World 149 79.19% 48.77 -3.303 36.91% -0.484 -0.1356
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1561 67.46% 62.18 -0.961 45.29% -0.298 -0.7192
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 395 89.87% 40.41 -5.263 24.3% -0.281 -0.8434
Finder of Paths Unseen 51 70.59% 66.78 6.397 66.67% 1.115 1.5165
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1592 61.24% 64.01 12.727 52.39% 0.919 0.9736
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 478 88.49% 43.15 -6.124 29.5% -0.523 -0.5312
Heart of the Wildfire 968 91.73% 33.92 -5.783 15.5% -0.307 -0.0809
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10528 58.33% 61.9 3.351 69.55% 1.01 0.487
Lightning's Swift Strike 428 88.81% 40.37 -2.808 24.3% 0.054 0.2972
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 206 80.58% 52.21 2.34 41.75% 1.023 0.1691
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 363 91.16% 43.25 1.021 30.58% 0.762 0.1527
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 327 70.03% 57.24 8.099 51.38% 1.118 0.7401
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5701 72.77% 55.48 0.947 54.11% 0.748 0.5298
Many Minds Move as One 1557 85.68% 48.11 1.623 38.79% 0.388 -0.1509
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1062 88.61% 39.8 -3.943 22.5% -0.154 -0.4704
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 526 88.51% 42.94 -0.96 29.47% -0.247 -0.2624
River Surges in Sunlight 1380 86.53% 55.19 0.249 36.23% -0.386 -0.3337
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 330 71.21% 50.63 9.178 31.21% 0.359 0.7167
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 133 81.2% 62.98 2.611 39.1% 0.062 -0.1683
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1736 72.0% 55.37 -1.555 49.65% -0.084 -0.1185
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 352 88.89% 37.65 -3.408 18.75% -0.099 0.3684
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 12 91.67% 41.17 -2.264 25.0% 0.124 0.2219
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 24 91.67% 46.54 -5.7 29.17% -0.513 -0.6882
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 248 85.89% 39.19 -6.812 21.37% -0.715 -0.7748
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 192 88.54% 44.38 -4.495 31.25% -0.304 -0.1438
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1614 78.51% 49.21 0.677 41.82% 0.37 0.0674
Shifting Memory of Ages 838 86.99% 50.38 -1.123 26.97% 0.222 0.2605
Shroud of Silent Mist 421 92.58% 37.52 -6.755 18.29% -0.487 -0.1628
Starlight Seeks its Form 1208 73.01% 56.2 2.237 53.89% 0.648 0.4434
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3455 66.04% 48.8 -0.722 41.45% 0.132 -0.0541
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1596 84.01% 49.32 1.516 41.98% 0.819 0.9037
Thunderspeaker 725 86.45% 46.63 -4.889 26.9% -0.474 -0.5049
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1469 95.85% 39.43 -4.697 26.75% -0.085 -0.1292
Vital Strength of the Earth 240 85.0% 37.99 -10.441 18.33% -1.027 -0.2327
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 37 78.38% 51.41 -1.475 37.84% 0.034 0.4862
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 245 87.76% 36.99 -9.899 20.0% -1.394 -0.3631
Volcano Looming High 1328 82.82% 46.28 -2.918 38.1% 0.165 0.1908

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 239 70.76% 44.14 -9.054 32.64% -0.924 -0.657
Dahan Insurrection 4 1328 43.56% 84.94 15.349 61.07% 0.695 1.0275
Despicable Theft 2 4 100.0% 54.75 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 92 94.57% 37.58 -0.399 14.13% 0.067 0.7154
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1638 47.46% 56.48 0.653 48.78% -0.357 -0.1911
Powers Long Forgotten 1 7 100.0% 35.0 0.0 14.29%
Rituals of Terror 3 415 64.1% 121.71 16.306 66.51% 2.339 2.2296
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 9 88.89% 68.22 0.0 22.22%
Second Wave 0 91 79.12% 50.34 0.809 40.66% 0.475 0.9459
The Great River 3 33 81.82% 40.7 -2.611 9.09% -0.198 1.3026
Varied Terrains 2 2 100.0% 43.0 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 21 85.71% 42.9 -6.89 19.05% -0.123 1.0638

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 30441 72.42% 52.26 -2.356 49.0% -0.597 -0.1501
1 Thematic 764 80.76% 47.48 -5.02 30.76% -0.838 -0.2348
2 Archipelago 68 52.94% 100.9 22.542 60.29% 0.363 1.0286
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2410 83.86% 47.78 -3.449 38.88% -1.035 -0.6434
2 Coastline 488 84.43% 47.75 4.56 37.3% 0.464 0.5524
2 Fragment 62 88.71% 48.31 4.116 40.32% 0.214 0.2804
2 Heart 80 63.75% 54.13 13.037 33.75% 0.28 0.5517
2 Opposite Shores 820 85.12% 47.3 -3.221 23.17% -0.709 -0.2162
2 Thematic 383 79.32% 97.73 8.077 48.83% -1.111 -0.6429
2 Top to Top 120 76.67% 51.11 -0.282 42.5% -0.478 -0.1961
3 Archipelago 5 80.0% 128.4 0.0 80.0%
3 Coastline 7 100.0% 42.43 -13.616 28.57% -0.36 -0.9995
3 Other 48 75.0% 53.85 9.35 52.08% 0.297 -0.7918
3 Round (Default) 1004 81.37% 47.46 -0.559 38.65% -0.661 -0.393
3 Thematic 108 41.67% 100.55 23.338 67.59% 0.189 -0.0344
4 Archipelago 2 100.0% 126.5 44.951 100.0% 0.507 -0.3444
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 83.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 42.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Other 39 76.92% 43.97 9.365 25.64% 0.796 0.3502
4 Thematic 255 31.76% 87.96 25.461 71.76% 0.163 0.2593
4 Trapezoid (Default) 453 75.79% 51.75 5.739 41.94% 0.332 0.1949
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 81.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 21 73.68% 55.24 -3.852 52.38% -0.199 0.0703
5 Thematic 12 66.67% 90.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 2 50.0% 80.0 9.501 100.0% 0.084 -0.4311
6 Other 2 50.0% 75.5 0.617 100.0% 0.016 0.9041
6 Star 4 50.0% 86.25 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 8 50.0% 77.63 -15.299 37.5% 0.001 0.3644
6 Two Centers (Default) 30 33.33% 91.03 1.06 80.0% -0.59 -0.2123
7 Archipelago 4 75.0% 123.0 10.698 75.0% -0.346 -1.1862

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2136 43.26 -5.359 31.13% -1.732 0.0993
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1599 46.82 -4.837 37.02% -1.773 -0.1189
All Things Weaken 2298 43.27 -4.403 30.42% -1.584 0.3922
Back Against the Wall 1568 45.57 -4.011 34.12% -1.671 0.1877
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1995 37.49 -8.035 22.46% -2.29 -0.3157
Downward Spiral 2151 45.65 -2.962 37.15% -1.324 0.5782
Erosion of Will 2104 41.1 -7.33 26.57% -2.288 -0.244
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 460 67.35 6.531 76.74% 0.113 0.6857
Memory Fades to Dust 2202 43.92 -5.815 33.15% -1.857 0.1226
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2189 42.98 -6.524 31.48% -2.009 -0.1172
Promising Farmlands 1993 41.98 -5.621 30.16% -1.797 0.2416
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 288 70.73 6.401 82.64% 0.204 0.6449
Thriving Communities 2162 43.65 -5.863 32.65% -1.945 0.019
Unnatural Proliferation 2339 43.65 -5.132 29.97% -1.877 0.0293
Untended Land Crumbles 2247 42.82 -6.262 31.38% -1.907 0.1276

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5697 80.07% 48.14 -0.9 39.34% -0.475 0.2932
B 5805 78.58% 49.37 -0.225 42.72% -0.445 0.2471
C 6677 75.58% 50.66 2.399 43.76% -0.208 0.3561
D 4859 77.09% 48.84 -2.197 40.95% -0.799 -0.0306
E 6906 73.78% 52.46 -0.238 48.52% -0.553 0.0465
F 4754 75.58% 50.46 -1.438 44.87% -0.722 -0.0121
G 3942 76.28% 50.52 -1.278 44.95% -0.569 0.1568
H 5533 64.13% 59.61 0.225 58.59% -0.364 0.3258
East 981 62.04% 83.66 14.06 53.41% 0.515 1.1375
Northeast 559 53.67% 85.6 8.432 56.53% -0.607 0.0744
Northwest 417 58.75% 81.83 1.375 51.8% -0.579 0.4881
Southeast 210 60.95% 64.92 -3.072 44.29% -0.664 0.0638
Southwest 238 68.07% 56.34 -5.718 41.6% -0.731 0.2397
West 944 63.73% 81.19 13.038 52.01% 0.235 1.238

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 23 0.0% 72.26 0.0 78.26%
Not Using Events or Tokens 10 80.0% 130.0 0.0 70.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1023 34.1% 72.68 6.439 74.0% 0.075 -0.0186
Start of Game Growth 1848 35.23% 71.37 7.263 77.76% 0.786 0.078
Unlimited Undo 3546 60.46% 63.07 6.378 68.53% 1.268 0.5682
Using Tokens but Not Events 1531 66.25% 62.26 2.042 54.15% 0.21 0.1644

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7354 22.6 1.12%
II 18273 31.02 40.76%
III 8510 34.59 78.64%
IV 3516 37.83 99.86%

Number of Players

Score Model: 1.31 Win Model: 0.658
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 31936 72.73% 52.89 48.4%
2 3803 83.35% 47.99 36.81%
3 1170 75.9% 54.44 42.22%
4 684 63.54% 57.33 49.12%
5 15 57.14% 76.2 60.0%
6 45 40.0% 91.33 82.22%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 71
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6577
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6527
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3340
Lose: Invader deck ran out 31
Lose: Adversary condition 5330
Win: Sacrifice victory 405
Lose: Scenario condition 407
Win: Scenario condition 813
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13591
Lose: Spirit destroyed 561

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-09-16 02:17:41 (Pacific Time)