The Tsardom of Russia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1495 22.95% 25.06 -0.803 75.32% -0.253 -0.6705
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 217 19.35% 22.84 0.516 65.44% 0.438 -0.218
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 27 33.33% 20.26 -1.551 55.56% -0.304 -0.4621
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 120 23.33% 26.68 1.265 74.17% 0.536 -0.3245
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 871 40.67% 23.52 2.496 73.59% 0.722 0.8593
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 228 24.56% 29.15 5.498 75.88% 0.661 -0.3682
Dances Up Earthquakes 204 25.49% 17.94 -2.598 50.98% -0.523 -0.5596
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1559 23.04% 25.94 2.24 79.54% 0.691 0.3367
Downpour Drenches the World 688 17.9% 20.76 -1.723 59.88% -0.101 0.0231
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 675 19.26% 23.08 2.146 66.22% 0.276 -0.2948
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1772 14.74% 29.09 1.273 82.73% 0.179 -0.4675
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1436 21.25% 26.8 -1.515 79.39% -0.451 -0.9445
Finder of Paths Unseen 326 28.53% 14.02 -6.083 38.34% -0.603 -0.0151
Fractured Days Split the Sky 791 28.86% 22.79 -4.321 59.8% -1.025 -0.5781
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1324 35.42% 25.17 -1.471 64.95% -0.365 -0.5501
Heart of the Wildfire 1222 50.66% 21.19 -3.209 65.38% -0.728 -0.5849
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2211 24.94% 25.71 0.26 81.59% -0.09 -0.7644
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 207 21.74% 23.79 3.547 67.63% 0.819 0.2912
Lightning's Swift Strike 805 36.15% 25.01 5.737 77.02% 0.814 0.847
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 230 28.95% 23.76 0.424 65.65% -0.09 -0.7418
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 461 26.52% 25.4 -3.241 76.57% -0.568 -1.0638
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 450 25.0% 27.34 1.186 73.33% -0.085 -0.3244
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2597 27.25% 26.09 1.78 79.36% 0.611 0.1852
Many Minds Move as One 1924 19.47% 26.13 2.981 82.48% 0.947 0.4378
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1653 36.44% 25.22 1.876 72.53% 0.609 0.3393
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 184 48.37% 19.57 -0.356 54.89% 0.098 -0.0159
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1422 27.54% 25.12 2.141 76.37% 0.898 0.604
River Surges in Sunlight 1086 36.36% 27.59 -0.823 76.15% -0.373 -0.5436
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 99 27.27% 20.0 3.241 57.58% 0.342 0.2312
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 642 37.75% 26.71 5.854 74.3% 0.269 0.2037
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 288 31.36% 24.55 2.606 59.03% 0.073 -0.0569
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1237 23.85% 25.36 -1.008 75.18% -0.365 -0.6292
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 58 22.41% 15.29 -5.119 41.38% -0.993 -1.4236
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 438 47.94% 23.5 -0.631 73.29% -0.387 0.0419
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 112 30.63% 21.08 -0.933 59.82% -0.139 -0.1351
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 148 36.49% 26.28 3.739 72.3% 0.589 -0.1636
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 107 30.84% 22.96 -0.288 67.29% -0.171 -0.4901
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 408 32.84% 25.71 -0.87 79.17% -0.018 -0.1964
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 340 32.65% 24.63 -6.758 75.59% -0.767 -0.8095
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1570 25.67% 25.7 -0.01 80.13% 0.075 -0.2907
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 35 17.14% 27.17 3.697 74.29% 1.011 0.4704
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 302 20.0% 21.61 -1.034 60.6% 0.03 -0.2143
Shifting Memory of Ages 766 36.34% 19.95 -1.414 58.88% 0.073 0.3669
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 140 25.71% 19.04 -0.089 53.57% -0.248 -0.4116
Shroud of Silent Mist 987 42.86% 21.53 1.317 67.17% 0.324 0.5061
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 25 48.0% 23.6 2.309 68.0% 0.472 0.062
Starlight Seeks its Form 1299 22.7% 23.83 -1.011 67.59% -0.391 -0.6331
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1785 24.69% 24.49 2.189 79.38% 0.705 -0.2469
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1248 28.48% 23.64 -2.921 71.96% -1.062 -1.0195
Thunderspeaker 1226 26.23% 26.13 2.212 73.33% 0.415 0.2201
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 237 26.58% 20.55 -2.959 50.21% -0.684 -0.852
Towering Roots of the Jungle 359 24.23% 19.9 -2.095 58.5% -0.321 -0.4319
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1392 58.85% 21.11 -1.495 72.27% -0.398 -0.5493
Vital Strength of the Earth 804 29.18% 22.95 -3.823 67.91% -0.574 -0.2154
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 217 25.0% 21.13 0.817 59.91% 0.301 0.5447
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 430 25.41% 18.72 -6.423 59.77% -0.801 -0.1192
Volcano Looming High 1382 39.01% 21.32 -1.205 65.85% -0.298 -0.6225
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 377 18.83% 24.28 2.75 66.58% 0.761 0.2439

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 36 19.44% 23.56 0.0 63.89%
Blitz 0 467 23.01% 17.97 -4.055 56.53% -0.49 -0.0581
Dahan Insurrection 4 598 18.9% 43.11 9.046 75.42% 0.556 0.5301
Despicable Theft 2 304 27.3% 19.87 4.294 44.41% 0.033 0.6923
Elemental Invocation 1 323 30.34% 19.84 -1.896 53.56% -0.334 0.114
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 902 10.21% 29.62 1.403 77.05% 0.297 -0.3028
Powers Long Forgotten 1 341 33.43% 18.26 -2.39 47.51% -0.276 0.3318
Rituals of Terror 3 284 33.57% 28.99 0.827 59.51% -0.203 -0.078
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 202 51.49% 27.71 -1.436 57.92% -0.079 0.6593
Second Wave 0 594 43.15% 30.78 0.785 66.67% -0.483 -0.3763
The Great River 3 267 33.33% 22.09 1.007 45.69% -0.082 1.0928
Varied Terrains 2 250 33.6% 20.28 -2.867 44.8% -0.652 0.085
Ward the Shores 2 431 29.07% 23.45 1.26 56.61% 0.121 0.8032

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 17464 32.44% 24.68 0.074 75.23% 0.565 0.7893
1 Thematic 2622 34.81% 25.58 -0.65 66.7% -0.432 0.1183
2 Archipelago 37 40.54% 37.24 0.0 81.08%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4009 30.15% 22.93 1.196 71.39% 0.829 0.9407
2 Coastline 481 31.52% 23.04 -0.629 71.52% -0.202 -0.2915
2 Fragment 89 28.09% 24.53 -0.963 77.53% -0.088 -0.4265
2 Heart 54 42.59% 26.06 3.828 85.19% 0.527 0.1999
2 Opposite Shores 595 25.72% 27.66 1.646 83.03% 0.792 0.828
2 Thematic 640 30.05% 25.0 -6.335 60.94% -1.092 -0.5635
2 Top to Top 75 29.33% 24.36 -9.631 76.0% -0.563 -0.7695
3 Archipelago 16 37.5% 38.38 0.0 81.25%
3 Coastline 28 28.57% 24.43 8.863 53.57% 0.148 -0.3727
3 Other 42 38.1% 26.81 0.0 88.1%
3 Round (Default) 1840 26.53% 25.64 3.86 79.57% 0.794 0.6977
3 Sunrise 8 12.5% 30.75 1.712 87.5% 0.07 -0.67
3 Thematic 137 28.47% 25.73 6.885 59.85% 0.223 0.4654
4 Archipelago 9 11.11% 38.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 12 50.0% 22.83 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 5 0.0% 28.8 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 24 45.83% 26.29 -7.415 79.17% -0.335 -0.8821
4 Thematic 140 18.71% 31.94 -3.351 77.14% -0.29 0.1834
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1139 18.96% 19.05 -3.099 57.24% -1.223 -1.4122
5 Other 46 35.56% 27.04 10.289 69.57% 0.43 0.1038
5 Thematic 7 0.0% 20.14 0.0 42.86%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 61.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 7 42.86% 29.0 0.0 71.43%
6 Star 34 29.41% 26.97 5.292 88.24% 0.073 0.8694
6 Thematic 71 17.14% 26.56 11.98 50.7% 0.356 0.9368
6 Two Centers (Default) 131 22.14% 28.24 3.533 74.05% -0.271 -0.2937
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 7 0.0% 11.43 -6.511 14.29% -0.33 -0.5852

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 565 21.84 5.087 63.54% 0.393 0.7031
Aid From Lesser Spirits 482 23.27 3.456 66.39% 0.172 0.1853
All Things Weaken 675 20.68 -2.062 60.15% -0.639 -0.1656
Attenuated Essence 144 23.08 1.534 54.17% -0.132 0.0141
Back Against the Wall 494 21.36 -3.922 58.5% -0.709 -0.5801
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 117 20.07 -2.401 51.28% -0.87 -0.5504
Burn Brightest Before the End 125 22.8 1.383 53.6% -0.102 0.0751
Disintegrating Ecosystem 568 19.17 -1.296 61.09% -0.38 0.0
Downward Spiral 670 21.06 1.541 68.51% -0.342 -0.1482
Erosion of Will 535 21.24 -1.804 62.06% -0.147 0.1904
Intensifying Exploitation 141 21.56 -0.119 56.03% -0.279 0.074
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 313 26.58 9.135 88.18% 0.413 0.0497
Memory Fades to Dust 700 20.43 4.728 62.0% 0.092 0.4216
Power Corrodes the Spirit 632 21.28 -0.352 64.87% -0.009 0.2575
Promising Farmlands 540 19.78 1.849 60.0% 0.797 1.2449
Shattered Fragments of Power 107 23.03 1.664 54.21% 0.287 0.2868
Slow Dissolution of Will 153 18.33 1.013 46.41% -0.673 -0.2619
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 210 25.39 6.207 86.19% 0.789 0.2301
The Border of Life and Death 42 25.64 1.507 71.43% -0.025 -0.2697
Thriving Communities 646 18.91 -1.379 59.6% 0.434 0.7116
Thriving Crops 65 24.57 3.786 76.92% 0.114 0.0188
Unnatural Proliferation 661 21.76 2.258 62.18% 0.802 1.0068
Untended Land Crumbles 662 20.13 3.393 61.33% 0.88 1.179

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5253 29.46% 23.72 -0.595 72.53% -0.404 0.5876
B 5411 28.69% 23.86 -1.475 73.3% -0.419 0.4463
C 5526 28.73% 24.42 0.63 74.56% 0.202 0.9539
D 5161 30.49% 23.92 0.859 73.84% -0.109 0.8354
E 5042 29.24% 24.22 0.107 73.8% -0.441 0.3136
F 4948 28.99% 23.96 -0.607 72.05% -0.241 0.6338
G 4335 28.74% 24.04 2.107 72.36% 0.522 1.3849
H 4479 29.79% 24.12 -0.377 72.65% -0.493 0.3146
East 2231 31.81% 26.88 1.253 67.86% 0.055 0.8005
Northeast 871 28.54% 27.17 0.209 62.46% -0.44 0.4529
Northwest 795 27.65% 26.6 1.422 63.14% 0.473 1.2164
Southeast 963 36.0% 25.67 -2.671 72.27% -0.337 0.6718
Southwest 742 27.74% 21.65 -1.729 59.43% -0.3 0.8572
West 1957 30.12% 24.92 -2.407 61.88% -0.42 0.5624

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 77 0.0% 26.48 7.136 79.22% 0.195 0.9149
Not Using Events or Tokens 86 23.26% 20.51 -10.421 56.98% -0.962 -0.4876
Skip Initial Invader Actions 512 8.45% 36.33 7.069 88.67% 0.279 -0.5264
Start of Game Growth 872 11.41% 33.99 6.858 87.04% 0.606 0.0397
Unlimited Undo 1898 21.25% 25.61 0.836 76.92% 0.431 0.4586
Using Tokens but Not Events 2614 25.9% 25.82 0.699 75.02% 0.103 0.0753

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5741 12.25 12.79%
II 9432 29.91 79.33%
III 10038 34.94 90.15%
IV 4591 38.9 99.32%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.064 Win Model: 0.566
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 20681 32.62% 24.45 72.8%
2 5542 30.29% 24.9 75.89%
3 1980 26.83% 26.07 79.8%
4 1311 19.08% 20.76 60.18%
5 34 30.3% 22.18 67.65%
6 254 21.34% 27.3 67.72%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 731
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8759
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7001
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4523
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4647
Lose: Invader deck ran out 217
Lose: Adversary condition 424
Win: Sacrifice victory 116
Lose: Scenario condition 161
Win: Scenario condition 695
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2343
Lose: Spirit destroyed 185

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 867 37.53% 27.23 0.788 62.17% -0.238 -0.6563
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 132 43.18% 26.13 1.11 56.06% 0.132 -0.5241
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 20 40.0% 23.8 -0.19 55.0% -0.049 -0.2065
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 117 29.06% 31.52 6.662 76.07% 1.159 0.2984
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 546 59.34% 26.22 -8.001 59.52% -0.719 -0.5817
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 113 35.4% 29.06 4.289 65.49% 0.588 -0.4411
Dances Up Earthquakes 97 40.21% 20.11 3.946 44.33% 0.715 0.6786
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 897 39.6% 28.76 -0.035 65.66% -0.227 -0.5815
Downpour Drenches the World 377 36.8% 20.45 -6.391 48.81% -0.571 -0.4474
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 404 28.96% 24.85 -0.132 60.15% 0.015 -0.5558
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1316 31.71% 32.94 0.896 74.09% 0.321 -0.3246
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 810 38.34% 29.6 -1.444 68.15% -0.235 -0.7287
Finder of Paths Unseen 222 44.14% 14.96 -5.462 31.98% -0.382 0.2062
Fractured Days Split the Sky 483 38.1% 24.89 0.767 51.14% 0.062 0.5083
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 769 51.95% 24.72 0.195 55.92% -0.028 -0.2137
Heart of the Wildfire 838 67.34% 20.5 -2.931 44.99% -0.296 -0.153
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1576 42.29% 30.07 3.676 70.88% 1.165 0.4907
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 153 36.6% 26.31 15.444 62.75% 0.734 0.206
Lightning's Swift Strike 421 56.32% 24.95 -2.424 56.06% -0.187 -0.1547
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 111 50.45% 25.75 10.338 56.76% 0.508 -0.1447
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 265 53.21% 24.92 7.114 54.72% 0.474 -0.0212
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 258 44.57% 31.75 14.589 61.63% 0.159 -0.0804
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1909 43.31% 31.09 5.267 76.06% 1.185 0.7591
Many Minds Move as One 1648 33.17% 31.07 4.531 76.94% 1.388 0.8792
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1005 50.05% 27.49 -2.079 59.4% -0.029 -0.299
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 106 61.32% 20.83 -2.651 51.89% -0.235 -0.3486
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 860 45.63% 27.52 -2.513 65.47% -0.324 -0.6183
River Surges in Sunlight 640 50.63% 29.0 -0.595 62.34% -0.134 -0.3047
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 82 42.68% 17.73 -7.521 39.02% -0.785 -0.8964
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 399 51.26% 30.5 -7.722 59.4% -1.284 -1.3492
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 190 44.74% 23.49 0.349 47.89% -0.158 -0.2884
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 668 47.75% 26.34 -1.816 61.08% -0.225 -0.4891
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 42 30.95% 15.71 0.248 38.1% 0.489 0.0583
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 257 63.42% 25.58 -9.869 57.59% -0.24 0.1881
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 94 47.31% 22.46 2.791 48.94% 0.369 0.3731
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 178 41.81% 27.49 -8.914 60.67% -0.756 -1.5089
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 83 46.99% 25.61 3.732 59.04% -0.28 -0.5984
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 235 53.62% 25.17 -5.941 60.0% -0.456 -0.6348
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 187 48.13% 25.98 -0.457 56.15% -0.063 -0.1053
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1369 39.33% 30.61 3.762 73.56% 0.814 0.4483
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 20 45.0% 32.85 -5.292 75.0% -0.136 -0.6767
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 349 33.43% 25.21 0.263 60.17% 0.048 -0.1963
Shifting Memory of Ages 493 47.06% 23.1 -0.65 52.74% 0.076 0.3709
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 117 36.75% 18.13 -4.103 40.17% -0.191 -0.3546
Shroud of Silent Mist 536 58.5% 21.5 -9.405 50.19% -0.958 -0.7762
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 17 47.06% 23.0 4.074 52.94% 0.542 0.132
Starlight Seeks its Form 827 30.55% 27.65 1.133 63.48% 0.209 -0.0331
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1041 39.88% 24.71 -4.225 57.16% -0.678 -1.6301
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 884 39.27% 28.69 2.876 64.93% 0.51 0.5526
Thunderspeaker 879 40.96% 30.61 -2.482 61.89% -0.84 -1.0351
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 123 41.46% 18.07 6.443 39.84% 0.563 0.3944
Towering Roots of the Jungle 239 43.1% 21.78 0.097 53.97% 0.331 0.2205
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 696 65.47% 21.2 -4.665 49.28% -0.529 -0.6796
Vital Strength of the Earth 443 45.15% 23.27 1.748 48.53% -0.394 -0.035
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 155 50.97% 19.35 -1.874 42.58% -0.313 -0.07
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 280 42.14% 21.11 -1.329 47.5% -0.429 0.252
Volcano Looming High 813 53.26% 22.83 0.436 52.77% -0.101 -0.4253
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 233 38.2% 23.38 0.522 55.79% 0.22 -0.2978

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 32 31.25% 15.91 0.0 37.5%
Blitz 0 376 33.78% 17.95 -8.592 40.43% -1.387 -0.9555
Dahan Insurrection 4 386 26.94% 49.62 -6.372 68.39% -0.85 -0.8761
Despicable Theft 2 182 41.21% 19.41 -5.844 32.42% -1.084 -0.4247
Elemental Invocation 1 219 48.86% 20.68 0.796 40.18% -0.179 0.2687
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 767 22.22% 32.57 6.141 66.23% 0.971 0.3711
Powers Long Forgotten 1 255 45.88% 20.49 -7.925 38.43% -0.776 -0.1682
Rituals of Terror 3 158 49.37% 30.44 -9.514 41.77% -0.846 -0.7211
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 108 63.89% 26.77 0.0 38.89%
Second Wave 0 1041 52.22% 28.87 0.387 60.23% -0.193 -0.0864
The Great River 3 120 56.67% 19.15 2.784 25.0% -0.191 0.9839
Varied Terrains 2 128 35.94% 19.58 -0.069 35.16% -0.006 0.7305
Ward the Shores 2 249 44.18% 23.56 4.64 41.77% 0.527 1.2095

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12182 42.87% 25.95 -0.97 60.6% 0.06 0.2841
1 Thematic 1571 46.91% 26.28 3.646 46.66% 0.47 1.0204
2 Archipelago 9 44.44% 37.78 0.0 77.78%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2638 46.56% 24.65 -1.105 59.7% -0.225 -0.1136
2 Coastline 342 46.04% 25.49 -0.191 60.23% -0.141 -0.2301
2 Fragment 90 60.0% 26.2 4.5 62.22% 0.137 -0.2019
2 Heart 33 57.58% 23.48 0.0 54.55%
2 Opposite Shores 514 49.22% 27.1 4.271 65.18% 0.424 0.4605
2 Thematic 470 45.96% 22.58 -6.346 43.4% -1.023 -0.4949
2 Top to Top 68 52.94% 32.47 0.0 82.35%
3 Archipelago 14 78.57% 34.29 2.263 35.71% -0.119 -0.0183
3 Coastline 17 70.59% 33.59 0.0 52.94%
3 Other 26 57.69% 29.65 0.0 80.77%
3 Round (Default) 1130 39.45% 29.09 0.424 69.03% -0.304 -0.3997
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 122 49.18% 25.79 0.0 51.64%
4 Archipelago 10 50.0% 40.5 0.0 90.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 23.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 3 66.67% 17.33 0.0 33.33%
4 Other 32 50.0% 32.81 0.0 84.38%
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 110 48.18% 38.94 0.0 70.0%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 421 40.95% 31.24 2.143 74.11% 0.48 0.2907
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 80.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 48 34.04% 40.42 0.0 75.0%
5 Thematic 5 40.0% 31.6 14.589 60.0% 0.159 -0.3315
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 19 47.37% 39.37 0.0 73.68%
6 Star 7 14.29% 16.57 0.0 42.86%
6 Thematic 25 52.0% 25.96 0.0 44.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 62 25.81% 40.56 -5.492 74.19% -0.528 -0.5508
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 566 23.83 1.485 48.94% 0.042 0.353
Aid From Lesser Spirits 466 26.57 3.197 57.3% -0.044 -0.0312
All Things Weaken 647 22.66 -2.022 46.52% -0.627 -0.1529
Attenuated Essence 113 21.04 0.916 46.02% 0.308 0.4546
Back Against the Wall 463 24.21 -2.565 48.6% -0.21 -0.0806
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 141 20.7 -6.401 43.97% -0.489 -0.1693
Burn Brightest Before the End 113 24.11 1.913 49.56% 0.237 0.4137
Disintegrating Ecosystem 543 18.54 -2.536 37.38% -0.964 -0.584
Downward Spiral 627 23.77 0.583 52.95% 0.225 0.418
Erosion of Will 525 23.82 3.944 52.57% -0.29 0.0483
Intensifying Exploitation 157 23.17 1.836 57.32% 0.187 0.5398
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 227 29.12 2.453 71.37% 0.593 0.2299
Memory Fades to Dust 681 24.0 0.906 55.21% 0.007 0.3359
Power Corrodes the Spirit 592 23.18 0.514 50.68% -0.416 -0.149
Promising Farmlands 548 22.01 -3.97 48.18% -0.444 0.0032
Shattered Fragments of Power 104 24.8 5.952 50.96% 0.145 0.1444
Slow Dissolution of Will 116 21.04 9.139 43.1% 0.447 0.858
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 152 29.18 6.807 77.63% 0.784 0.2256
The Border of Life and Death 33 25.55 8.273 60.61% 0.804 0.5593
Thriving Communities 637 21.86 4.505 46.94% 0.81 1.0877
Thriving Crops 63 23.21 -1.441 53.97% 0.141 0.0452
Unnatural Proliferation 620 24.06 -0.161 50.65% -0.22 -0.0151
Untended Land Crumbles 641 21.65 1.548 47.89% -0.075 0.2246

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3415 43.31% 26.52 1.627 61.79% 0.014 1.0061
B 3558 44.45% 27.22 -0.593 63.49% -0.398 0.4672
C 3630 43.0% 27.33 0.72 64.1% -0.053 0.6987
D 3405 43.65% 26.97 -2.218 62.76% -0.75 0.1948
E 3230 41.92% 27.17 1.459 63.56% 0.225 0.9799
F 3155 44.14% 26.79 -0.374 63.33% -0.285 0.5895
G 2700 43.42% 26.95 0.224 63.07% -0.007 0.8555
H 2788 44.29% 26.97 -0.669 63.31% -0.219 0.5883
East 1362 47.32% 27.17 2.012 48.53% 0.043 0.7882
Northeast 554 49.91% 30.36 4.634 55.05% 0.297 1.1906
Northwest 527 43.54% 27.12 1.431 48.96% -0.209 0.5341
Southeast 515 47.18% 25.1 -1.693 47.57% -0.183 0.8259
Southwest 522 48.08% 20.59 1.23 41.38% -0.105 1.0522
West 1355 45.72% 25.26 -0.703 46.57% -0.625 0.3577

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 30 0.0% 29.8 0.0 56.67%
Not Using Events or Tokens 62 35.48% 14.02 -4.057 22.58% -0.432 0.0423
Skip Initial Invader Actions 337 15.64% 41.13 9.391 83.68% 0.763 -0.0419
Start of Game Growth 487 17.26% 39.18 0.088 80.08% -0.485 -1.0516
Unlimited Undo 1505 35.76% 27.37 3.255 63.19% 0.991 1.0186
Using Tokens but Not Events 1630 35.94% 29.51 -0.775 66.5% -0.075 -0.102

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5291 12.25 6.1%
II 6254 29.91 66.29%
III 6510 34.94 86.07%
IV 1937 38.9 99.69%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.861 Win Model: 0.304
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 14036 43.22% 25.74 58.21%
2 3978 48.11% 25.82 61.51%
3 1270 40.77% 29.42 68.19%
4 553 42.57% 33.14 75.41%
5 55 29.63% 44.87 72.73%
6 100 38.0% 28.16 62.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 322
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5460
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3858
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1912
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3742
Lose: Invader deck ran out 111
Lose: Adversary condition 1618
Win: Sacrifice victory 83
Lose: Scenario condition 102
Win: Scenario condition 368
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2257
Lose: Spirit destroyed 159

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 954 34.35% 34.95 2.442 72.54% 0.386 -0.032
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 102 27.45% 26.54 -0.342 54.9% -0.348 -1.0039
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 30 30.0% 32.1 4.245 76.67% 0.691 0.5332
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 184 24.46% 33.69 3.98 71.74% 0.629 -0.2309
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 705 53.62% 32.59 0.199 68.94% -0.028 0.11
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 172 30.23% 38.0 4.782 78.49% 0.316 -0.7133
Dances Up Earthquakes 99 39.39% 27.31 -3.502 58.59% -0.692 -0.7281
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 930 39.33% 34.8 -0.657 74.3% -0.323 -0.6777
Downpour Drenches the World 481 33.89% 29.68 -5.619 62.99% -0.699 -0.5748
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 551 32.12% 32.41 3.331 68.78% 0.605 0.0341
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1392 29.4% 38.09 4.798 80.32% 0.705 0.0587
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 722 34.49% 35.02 5.048 73.96% 0.673 0.1787
Finder of Paths Unseen 222 48.2% 22.12 6.387 42.79% 0.502 1.0906
Fractured Days Split the Sky 541 44.73% 31.28 -10.254 57.86% -1.684 -1.2369
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 811 47.84% 29.77 4.82 61.16% 0.836 0.6507
Heart of the Wildfire 946 64.16% 30.79 -5.872 63.11% -1.028 -0.8848
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2063 37.66% 36.08 2.792 77.02% 0.572 -0.102
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 156 26.28% 32.8 10.459 68.59% 0.353 -0.1743
Lightning's Swift Strike 429 52.58% 32.75 3.349 68.07% 0.582 0.6147
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 144 50.0% 34.62 6.683 70.83% 0.231 -0.4216
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 303 47.02% 33.41 1.589 68.98% 0.028 -0.4671
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 237 43.88% 33.55 -6.214 64.56% -0.674 -0.9133
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2550 37.66% 37.99 0.436 81.61% 0.022 -0.4041
Many Minds Move as One 1861 28.26% 37.62 2.167 82.8% 0.402 -0.1067
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1210 45.52% 35.02 -3.629 69.17% -0.595 -0.8647
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 195 54.87% 24.1 -2.738 51.79% -0.245 -0.3589
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 865 41.62% 34.75 5.123 75.14% 0.51 0.2165
River Surges in Sunlight 839 42.75% 39.23 1.068 77.59% 0.121 -0.0502
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 84 46.43% 28.56 -1.86 53.57% -0.627 -0.7377
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 377 52.52% 31.92 -7.346 62.86% -0.861 -0.9261
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 256 34.78% 37.41 -5.91 67.97% -0.756 -0.8867
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 882 44.22% 33.55 5.295 71.32% 0.445 0.1808
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 43 32.56% 21.07 -8.749 44.19% -0.244 -0.6742
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 320 59.38% 30.72 -2.732 61.88% -0.159 0.2695
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 87 50.57% 22.72 -8.773 42.53% -1.499 -1.4949
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 172 47.09% 35.31 8.376 69.77% 0.919 0.1665
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 82 47.56% 30.27 -11.427 63.41% -0.252 -0.5707
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 245 49.8% 33.71 -7.073 69.8% -0.847 -1.0259
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 186 59.68% 32.69 2.068 69.35% 0.145 0.1018
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1446 34.63% 36.68 5.731 79.11% 0.821 0.4551
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 24 45.83% 36.58 11.747 79.17% 0.824 0.2832
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 390 32.56% 30.84 11.506 63.59% 0.754 0.5095
Shifting Memory of Ages 552 51.45% 28.59 0.536 59.06% 0.107 0.4015
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 90 37.78% 29.66 -0.746 62.22% 0.126 -0.0373
Shroud of Silent Mist 660 54.85% 27.82 1.681 58.18% 0.046 0.2282
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 20 45.0% 33.0 -1.779 70.0% 0.042 -0.3678
Starlight Seeks its Form 771 36.96% 32.97 1.337 68.61% 0.306 0.0636
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1232 35.53% 31.63 3.164 68.34% 0.543 -0.4089
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1088 33.98% 35.67 2.693 74.72% 0.094 0.1362
Thunderspeaker 774 42.28% 36.94 -2.492 72.87% -0.144 -0.3393
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 130 35.38% 19.66 -7.324 40.0% -0.47 -0.6381
Towering Roots of the Jungle 347 41.5% 32.34 2.777 70.03% 0.312 0.2007
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 787 65.69% 30.34 1.627 65.31% 0.146 -0.0044
Vital Strength of the Earth 456 42.32% 30.95 -7.513 64.47% -0.73 -0.3718
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 136 35.29% 29.68 1.79 61.03% 0.061 0.3047
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 289 46.71% 26.89 -7.073 57.09% -0.569 0.1127
Volcano Looming High 913 51.1% 29.56 2.107 62.98% 0.289 -0.0354
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 307 33.55% 27.8 -1.151 57.33% -0.199 -0.7171

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 31 9.68% 14.16 0.0 32.26%
Blitz 0 404 37.13% 27.85 -6.953 51.24% -1.008 -0.5767
Dahan Insurrection 4 315 25.08% 57.06 -5.24 74.92% -0.61 -0.6363
Despicable Theft 2 115 49.57% 28.59 -3.232 43.48% -0.267 0.3925
Elemental Invocation 1 241 43.98% 24.98 -0.38 47.3% -0.321 0.1265
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 915 23.72% 39.51 7.561 74.75% 0.75 0.1507
Powers Long Forgotten 1 210 47.14% 25.66 -1.39 44.76% -0.352 0.2559
Rituals of Terror 3 123 48.78% 28.24 0.209 39.02% -0.048 0.0766
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 106 58.49% 25.83 3.714 33.96% -0.172 0.5666
Second Wave 0 616 49.76% 34.83 2.973 67.69% 0.307 0.4133
The Great River 3 123 43.9% 24.91 -4.705 34.15% -0.791 0.3842
Varied Terrains 2 77 51.95% 25.16 -0.229 41.56% -0.394 0.3422
Ward the Shores 2 165 47.27% 31.25 -4.212 49.7% -0.759 -0.0763

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 13366 43.74% 32.31 -1.002 68.44% -0.215 0.0092
1 Thematic 1317 44.57% 29.33 -1.46 50.72% -0.285 0.2647
2 Archipelago 25 40.0% 35.36 0.0 56.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3143 43.59% 32.64 -0.491 72.13% -0.37 -0.2587
2 Coastline 345 41.86% 35.43 3.361 77.97% 0.112 0.0231
2 Fragment 66 50.0% 34.89 0.0 75.76%
2 Heart 48 50.0% 32.83 0.22 66.67% 0.107 -0.2203
2 Opposite Shores 533 39.66% 33.97 4.546 73.73% 0.571 0.6074
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 724 37.98% 34.47 -2.324 67.4% -0.498 0.0302
2 Top to Top 75 36.0% 38.0 5.328 82.67% 0.427 0.2204
3 Archipelago 11 81.82% 33.82 0.0 36.36%
3 Coastline 21 71.43% 46.9 0.0 95.24%
3 Other 38 50.0% 33.24 8.989 71.05% 0.33 -0.4117
3 Round (Default) 1314 38.23% 34.41 1.483 73.9% -0.162 -0.2585
3 Sunrise 6 0.0% 34.5 0.0 83.33%
3 Thematic 115 36.52% 35.24 0.0 66.09%
4 Archipelago 15 46.67% 39.4 10.742 46.67% 0.262 0.3424
4 Coastline 8 62.5% 55.25 0.0 62.5%
4 Leaf 3 33.33% 42.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 21 57.14% 32.38 0.0 71.43%
4 Thematic 191 22.51% 52.33 4.152 84.82% 0.001 0.4743
4 Trapezoid (Default) 513 30.27% 37.71 0.0 82.46%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 59 49.12% 35.49 0.0 69.49%
5 Thematic 4 25.0% 44.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Archipelago 5 0.0% 40.8 0.0 80.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 58.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 8 25.0% 35.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 8 37.5% 40.38 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 34 41.18% 39.21 0.0 64.71%
6 Two Centers (Default) 62 32.26% 29.63 -0.645 59.68% -0.561 -0.584
7 Other 2 0.0% 48.0 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 640 29.78 -3.704 60.47% -0.547 -0.2366
Aid From Lesser Spirits 471 31.81 8.757 63.27% 0.826 0.8392
All Things Weaken 694 29.11 -1.745 57.35% -0.305 0.1684
Attenuated Essence 142 27.6 1.418 56.34% 0.062 0.2086
Back Against the Wall 541 31.12 6.177 61.92% 0.282 0.4114
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 140 25.45 -0.98 50.0% -0.331 -0.0107
Burn Brightest Before the End 106 31.87 0.21 60.38% -0.307 -0.1299
Disintegrating Ecosystem 576 26.35 -0.244 50.87% -0.255 0.1258
Downward Spiral 660 30.29 -2.722 64.24% -0.179 0.0142
Erosion of Will 589 28.96 -1.789 57.05% -0.487 -0.1494
Intensifying Exploitation 151 26.48 -2.469 55.63% -0.235 0.1179
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 272 35.27 5.019 79.41% 0.529 0.1653
Memory Fades to Dust 630 29.47 -4.4 61.59% -0.459 -0.1299
Power Corrodes the Spirit 605 28.79 0.505 58.84% -0.166 0.1006
Promising Farmlands 587 28.86 -3.55 60.14% -0.671 -0.2236
Shattered Fragments of Power 116 26.43 2.077 49.14% 0.366 0.3656
Slow Dissolution of Will 138 28.22 -11.133 55.07% -0.849 -0.4378
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 200 35.8 3.281 82.5% 0.494 -0.0651
The Border of Life and Death 45 32.22 7.483 71.11% 0.386 0.1413
Thriving Communities 694 29.16 0.739 61.1% 0.178 0.4559
Thriving Crops 80 33.98 0.0 72.5%
Unnatural Proliferation 678 30.31 2.052 60.03% -0.104 0.1011
Untended Land Crumbles 657 29.06 -0.141 60.73% -0.051 0.2488

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3834 42.75% 32.81 1.41 70.34% 0.026 1.0176
B 3933 43.17% 33.38 -0.248 72.13% -0.24 0.6254
C 4037 39.84% 33.68 -0.034 72.03% -0.147 0.6052
D 3757 42.23% 32.81 2.846 69.42% 0.485 1.4294
E 3749 41.28% 33.99 1.138 72.15% 0.105 0.8597
F 3577 42.09% 33.31 -1.559 71.96% -0.361 0.5134
G 3021 43.16% 32.77 0.645 70.01% -0.074 0.788
H 3215 39.69% 33.91 0.343 72.72% -0.129 0.6779
East 1574 37.61% 36.24 -4.556 64.99% -0.828 -0.0824
Northeast 823 37.67% 38.52 -1.48 69.62% -0.581 0.3125
Northwest 697 36.59% 37.06 5.871 65.85% 0.575 1.3187
Southeast 499 33.47% 35.0 1.799 63.93% 0.086 1.0951
Southwest 504 39.88% 29.32 -2.299 55.95% -0.444 0.7132
West 1470 40.2% 33.09 -0.372 59.39% -0.089 0.8941

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 17 0.0% 50.47 0.0 88.24%
Not Using Events or Tokens 21 28.57% 12.48 -8.84 23.81% -0.468 0.0067
Skip Initial Invader Actions 311 10.49% 47.2 2.93 81.35% 0.12 -0.6852
Start of Game Growth 482 15.37% 44.73 6.049 80.5% 0.692 0.1252
Unlimited Undo 1711 32.35% 31.5 -1.417 64.58% -0.436 -0.4087
Using Tokens but Not Events 1453 39.69% 30.79 -2.755 66.35% -0.543 -0.5705

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4097 12.25 0.22%
II 4856 29.91 62.81%
III 8899 34.94 89.32%
IV 4245 38.9 99.69%

Number of Players

Score Model: 1.164 Win Model: 0.474
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 14903 43.75% 31.88 66.41%
2 4828 42.66% 33.93 73.45%
3 1461 38.36% 34.88 74.06%
4 740 29.54% 41.35 82.3%
5 51 50.0% 34.49 64.71%
6 114 30.09% 34.6 64.04%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 9
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7758
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2851
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4205
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3154
Lose: Invader deck ran out 44
Lose: Adversary condition 1474
Win: Sacrifice victory 100
Lose: Scenario condition 128
Win: Scenario condition 317
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1907
Lose: Spirit destroyed 150

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 981 50.97% 32.56 8.782 52.6% 0.969 0.5509
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 151 48.34% 34.29 -15.014 52.98% -0.971 -1.6269
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 24 54.17% 29.83 3.769 50.0% 0.372 0.2138
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 301 32.23% 41.72 6.133 72.43% 1.162 0.3022
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 648 71.32% 32.71 1.821 50.15% 0.216 0.3533
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 218 51.83% 40.22 4.824 66.06% 0.388 -0.641
Dances Up Earthquakes 109 56.88% 30.34 -15.445 48.62% -0.415 -0.451
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 914 58.27% 35.03 1.476 55.91% 0.356 0.0013
Downpour Drenches the World 543 50.55% 27.08 -6.199 43.28% -0.521 -0.3976
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 723 53.11% 32.28 -0.973 52.97% 0.167 -0.4041
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1291 49.65% 39.55 6.413 64.76% 1.026 0.3803
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 545 60.66% 33.04 -0.602 50.46% -0.026 -0.5197
Finder of Paths Unseen 201 55.22% 20.01 -9.199 27.36% -0.798 -0.2092
Fractured Days Split the Sky 544 60.66% 30.84 3.802 42.83% 0.601 1.0478
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 752 62.63% 30.72 4.295 47.07% 0.408 0.223
Heart of the Wildfire 1016 76.06% 28.74 -0.252 42.62% 0.276 0.4191
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2928 54.48% 37.32 -5.893 59.6% -0.743 -1.4168
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 293 50.85% 31.01 -3.647 51.19% -0.697 -1.2248
Lightning's Swift Strike 400 72.45% 32.92 -7.406 47.25% -0.292 -0.2597
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 244 64.61% 35.24 -1.257 58.2% 0.107 -0.5449
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 308 65.91% 37.47 -5.801 62.66% -0.606 -1.102
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 255 58.82% 34.24 -6.295 51.37% -0.336 -0.5757
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4043 49.01% 41.66 7.04 72.15% 1.488 1.0624
Many Minds Move as One 1909 49.61% 40.64 2.697 69.98% 0.444 -0.0648
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1214 62.7% 32.14 -6.965 47.94% -0.947 -1.2167
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 243 62.96% 23.05 -4.165 33.33% -0.356 -0.4702
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 817 63.85% 35.08 -14.09 55.94% -0.9 -1.194
River Surges in Sunlight 842 71.12% 34.75 2.19 48.81% 0.425 0.2539
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 117 50.43% 33.05 -1.466 49.57% -0.164 -0.2751
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 329 73.25% 26.72 4.285 33.74% 0.33 0.2648
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 313 51.76% 28.29 -0.567 41.53% 0.087 -0.0431
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 863 62.92% 34.56 -2.163 54.35% 0.005 -0.2592
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 79 43.04% 29.91 -9.885 46.84% -0.435 -0.8651
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 274 80.29% 29.92 -1.167 40.51% 0.108 0.5366
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 74 54.05% 35.57 24.437 58.11% 0.75 0.7538
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 320 54.37% 33.67 2.059 53.13% 0.345 -0.4074
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 96 65.63% 34.44 15.027 56.25% 0.534 0.2153
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 230 71.3% 35.7 16.639 56.09% 0.496 0.3172
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 221 78.73% 32.47 0.0 47.96%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1688 47.95% 40.32 4.179 68.19% 0.612 0.2464
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 46 52.17% 35.57 -1.245 58.7% -0.145 -0.6858
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 402 50.75% 33.2 5.51 55.22% 0.806 0.5611
Shifting Memory of Ages 542 64.02% 28.95 -4.015 44.65% -0.29 0.004
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 159 54.72% 29.03 -0.911 45.91% -0.142 -0.3053
Shroud of Silent Mist 646 67.61% 30.06 -10.49 46.9% -1.044 -0.8622
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 25 56.0% 18.68 -7.8 28.0% -0.55 -0.96
Starlight Seeks its Form 1226 53.92% 31.58 -3.204 51.39% -0.23 -0.4721
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1588 51.52% 31.58 -2.971 49.94% -0.203 -1.1552
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1204 56.07% 36.52 3.985 60.8% 0.452 0.4946
Thunderspeaker 798 62.64% 32.41 -4.082 46.74% -0.748 -0.9431
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 111 52.25% 20.34 -4.998 29.73% -0.494 -0.6622
Towering Roots of the Jungle 352 54.26% 29.29 -4.548 49.43% -0.605 -0.7163
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 876 82.42% 30.19 4.56 45.43% 0.796 0.6453
Vital Strength of the Earth 390 64.78% 27.09 -4.525 37.95% -0.081 0.2776
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 173 66.47% 25.01 1.388 34.1% 0.586 0.8296
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 321 61.99% 26.31 -1.173 38.94% 0.091 0.7718
Volcano Looming High 1039 66.18% 32.14 -5.963 52.07% -0.617 -0.9409
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 362 58.01% 28.53 -6.259 45.03% -0.745 -1.263

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 13 7.69% 24.69 -1.167 46.15% 0.108 0.4781
Blitz 0 256 46.09% 33.04 -12.977 35.55% -0.713 -0.281
Dahan Insurrection 4 179 42.46% 50.22 14.233 53.63% 0.555 0.5289
Despicable Theft 2 61 44.26% 28.44 -12.402 34.43% -0.178 0.4811
Elemental Invocation 1 165 58.18% 26.56 -9.973 35.15% -0.467 -0.019
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1083 34.35% 44.64 -3.364 70.08% -0.755 -1.3544
Powers Long Forgotten 1 132 41.67% 24.27 -7.458 30.3% -0.574 0.0338
Rituals of Terror 3 65 63.08% 28.17 -10.048 23.08% -0.272 -0.1474
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 50 42.0% 17.6 -14.281 16.0% -0.65 0.088
Second Wave 0 436 68.28% 34.88 -0.621 48.17% -0.15 -0.0437
The Great River 3 75 50.67% 28.76 -8.251 33.33% -0.252 0.9225
Varied Terrains 2 43 32.56% 15.95 -8.024 23.26% -0.694 0.043
Ward the Shores 2 99 57.58% 29.56 -1.626 35.35% -0.312 0.3706

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 16859 56.62% 33.76 0.805 53.7% 0.089 0.314
1 Thematic 913 58.6% 31.02 -1.897 38.66% -0.469 0.0812
2 Archipelago 18 72.22% 39.56 12.547 50.0% 0.111 -0.2423
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3721 60.83% 33.56 -2.024 55.68% -0.637 -0.5263
2 Coastline 402 56.22% 36.44 6.333 58.71% 0.779 0.6896
2 Fragment 110 65.45% 34.92 5.387 53.64% 0.327 -0.0119
2 Heart 60 50.0% 43.87 0.0 71.67%
2 Opposite Shores 703 61.68% 33.34 -1.499 53.06% -0.318 -0.2811
2 Thematic 273 61.17% 31.77 9.275 41.76% 0.166 0.6949
2 Top to Top 115 58.26% 40.13 8.63 68.7% 0.798 0.5912
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 48.83 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 10 60.0% 41.6 0.0 60.0%
3 Other 82 50.0% 24.07 0.0 39.02%
3 Round (Default) 1614 59.39% 36.57 -4.012 59.79% -1.002 -1.0976
3 Sunrise 50 16.0% 10.16 0.0 16.0%
3 Thematic 72 58.33% 36.93 1.143 54.17% 0.05 0.2925
4 Archipelago 3 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 4 25.0% 44.25 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 5 40.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 27 59.26% 45.74 -2.954 81.48% 0.004 -0.543
4 Thematic 72 66.67% 42.32 0.0 54.17%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 470 59.4% 40.3 7.214 68.09% 0.032 -0.1571
5 Other 61 49.06% 35.34 0.0 50.82%
5 Thematic 7 42.86% 10.29 0.0 14.29%
6 Archipelago 2 100.0% 55.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 26 4.17% 47.15 0.0 76.92%
6 Star 13 30.77% 26.46 0.0 38.46%
6 Thematic 25 60.0% 34.92 7.988 48.0% 0.056 0.637
6 Two Centers (Default) 58 46.55% 31.33 0.0 50.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 943 31.53 -4.476 45.92% -0.906 -0.5949
Aid From Lesser Spirits 839 33.43 -8.02 46.25% -1.173 -1.1596
All Things Weaken 1002 29.56 -3.836 41.72% -0.492 -0.0183
Attenuated Essence 289 29.36 -2.636 42.56% -0.615 -0.4685
Back Against the Wall 748 31.42 -1.281 43.05% -0.384 -0.2543
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 239 29.54 0.932 41.84% 0.034 0.3543
Burn Brightest Before the End 204 31.26 0.466 45.1% -0.136 0.041
Disintegrating Ecosystem 971 26.32 -7.836 34.91% -0.968 -0.5875
Downward Spiral 1058 30.14 5.286 45.75% 0.504 0.6975
Erosion of Will 956 30.13 0.417 42.05% 0.016 0.3535
Intensifying Exploitation 271 28.75 -4.084 45.39% -0.742 -0.3892
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 319 37.68 -3.532 67.08% -0.083 -0.4467
Memory Fades to Dust 977 30.48 -2.818 45.45% -0.316 0.0129
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1007 29.28 -2.289 43.0% -0.294 -0.0273
Promising Farmlands 939 28.13 -6.603 39.3% -0.844 -0.3966
Shattered Fragments of Power 198 29.53 0.563 38.89% -0.241 -0.2416
Slow Dissolution of Will 254 26.3 -2.389 35.83% -0.452 -0.0406
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 225 39.76 -16.178 71.56% -0.374 -0.9328
The Border of Life and Death 69 27.22 -7.149 44.93% -0.385 -0.6298
Thriving Communities 1105 31.21 5.966 48.78% 0.719 0.9963
Thriving Crops 98 30.4 -6.256 50.0% -0.348 -0.4435
Unnatural Proliferation 1089 30.27 -2.613 41.32% -0.463 -0.2582
Untended Land Crumbles 1028 29.64 0.077 42.9% -0.4 -0.1008

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4708 59.03% 33.87 0.127 54.74% 0.067 1.0587
B 4844 57.91% 34.87 2.152 56.96% 0.134 0.9993
C 5158 55.52% 34.8 -0.858 56.42% -0.192 0.5594
D 4555 57.43% 33.62 -0.21 54.09% -0.087 0.8573
E 4784 56.02% 34.82 -1.213 56.46% -0.369 0.3858
F 4152 59.37% 34.6 0.771 56.0% 0.123 0.9977
G 3481 58.15% 34.26 -0.769 55.36% -0.285 0.5773
H 3766 58.25% 35.46 -0.677 56.98% -0.043 0.7646
East 860 58.6% 32.7 -5.997 40.81% -0.467 0.2786
Northeast 354 60.17% 32.46 -3.582 39.55% -0.473 0.4198
Northwest 311 56.59% 32.95 6.33 44.05% 0.669 1.412
Southeast 333 57.96% 32.94 2.583 43.24% 0.165 1.1739
Southwest 282 59.57% 32.6 8.444 46.81% 0.447 1.6037
West 759 59.95% 32.37 2.074 42.95% 0.013 0.9955

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 31 0.0% 58.68 0.0 77.42%
Not Using Events or Tokens 5 100.0% 20.8 0.0 20.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 391 16.35% 59.09 10.909 85.17% 0.678 -0.1268
Start of Game Growth 550 23.5% 54.22 7.595 81.82% 0.739 0.1721
Unlimited Undo 2054 47.54% 38.08 -2.293 61.25% -0.213 -0.1861
Using Tokens but Not Events 1230 53.63% 30.29 -4.532 48.21% -0.6 -0.6276

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5959 12.25 0.23%
II 8747 29.91 44.91%
III 7124 34.94 84.99%
IV 3966 38.9 99.6%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.206 Win Model: 0.302
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 17910 56.59% 33.54 52.76%
2 5308 61.19% 34.34 55.99%
3 1832 57.56% 35.36 57.42%
4 557 58.55% 40.51 67.15%
5 63 49.09% 34.06 49.21%
6 126 39.52% 34.69 53.97%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 13
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5953
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3825
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3923
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4124
Lose: Invader deck ran out 6
Lose: Adversary condition 2803
Win: Sacrifice victory 102
Lose: Scenario condition 132
Win: Scenario condition 131
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4552
Lose: Spirit destroyed 232

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 624 58.48% 38.4 -0.565 56.57% 0.389 -0.0286
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 87 55.17% 37.93 4.419 55.17% 0.137 -0.5187
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 34 44.12% 38.32 1.408 61.76% 0.308 0.1499
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 206 38.35% 44.94 4.154 71.84% 0.641 -0.2189
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 402 70.75% 34.42 -6.82 47.26% -0.31 -0.1719
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 160 50.63% 40.25 8.704 60.62% 0.989 -0.041
Dances Up Earthquakes 117 60.68% 32.32 -8.459 41.88% -1.079 -1.1147
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 580 62.87% 39.27 19.89 58.28% 0.607 0.2526
Downpour Drenches the World 401 55.75% 29.0 1.042 40.4% 0.072 0.196
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 662 45.47% 36.33 2.294 56.19% 0.409 -0.1617
Eyes Watch From the Trees 914 51.81% 42.47 0.085 63.46% 0.016 -0.6301
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 392 55.87% 39.05 -2.461 53.83% -0.603 -1.0967
Finder of Paths Unseen 180 47.78% 23.45 2.342 31.11% -0.067 0.5217
Fractured Days Split the Sky 437 58.26% 36.3 -10.067 46.45% -0.524 -0.0772
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 501 59.08% 38.26 0.63 55.49% -0.305 -0.49
Heart of the Wildfire 671 71.34% 33.52 3.943 48.44% 0.304 0.4472
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2387 48.05% 44.07 6.093 69.96% 1.048 0.3736
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 190 48.95% 35.02 6.794 51.05% 0.204 -0.3241
Lightning's Swift Strike 249 68.31% 37.95 0.251 51.41% 0.095 0.128
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 303 58.94% 47.75 13.085 64.36% 0.968 0.3156
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 234 58.8% 40.59 -3.449 58.97% -0.09 -0.5859
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 198 49.49% 36.6 -16.811 53.03% -0.331 -0.5704
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3453 45.12% 47.44 3.628 74.95% 0.672 0.2464
Many Minds Move as One 1402 48.29% 45.38 2.128 71.26% 0.13 -0.3793
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 822 64.25% 35.95 -5.944 49.76% -0.51 -0.7794
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 199 67.34% 24.35 -7.815 32.66% -0.474 -0.5881
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 635 67.3% 36.07 -5.341 51.97% -0.449 -0.7433
River Surges in Sunlight 632 66.99% 37.72 -8.558 50.95% -0.457 -0.6274
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 81 44.44% 33.26 -7.474 46.91% -0.534 -0.6449
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 226 64.16% 33.93 0.0 41.15%
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 220 58.64% 36.73 9.904 48.18% 0.322 0.192
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 697 61.26% 36.97 -1.732 52.08% -0.5 -0.7643
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 48 50.0% 34.63 0.0 52.08%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 156 75.48% 34.67 -8.937 44.23% -0.627 -0.1981
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 47 65.96% 37.79 -1.484 53.19% -0.136 -0.1325
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 246 52.44% 40.62 1.445 61.79% 0.042 -0.7108
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 61 54.1% 29.8 -9.062 36.07% -0.653 -0.9717
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 181 71.27% 35.52 0.0 47.51%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 144 72.92% 37.61 10.925 51.39% 0.384 0.3415
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1711 41.26% 49.19 1.893 76.68% 0.117 -0.2493
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 46 52.17% 36.67 -4.945 60.87% -0.218 -0.7584
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 313 45.37% 36.16 -1.961 52.72% -0.349 -0.5933
Shifting Memory of Ages 378 65.87% 36.0 2.405 52.12% 0.279 0.5734
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 83 50.6% 28.52 -14.977 42.17% -0.22 -0.3836
Shroud of Silent Mist 417 69.68% 32.72 12.454 44.12% 0.361 0.5433
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 32 43.75% 36.63 0.44 59.38% 0.013 -0.3966
Starlight Seeks its Form 954 55.87% 35.75 -2.001 53.77% -0.529 -0.7712
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1129 53.24% 38.34 -2.503 55.89% -0.139 -1.0913
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1046 57.94% 40.68 0.501 62.24% 0.244 0.2863
Thunderspeaker 509 63.98% 37.66 3.933 51.87% 0.505 0.3101
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 96 56.25% 24.1 -9.822 30.21% -0.69 -0.8587
Towering Roots of the Jungle 302 52.98% 38.57 -2.886 58.94% -0.37 -0.4811
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 837 80.88% 35.9 3.483 52.69% 0.491 0.3402
Vital Strength of the Earth 251 71.49% 29.01 10.96 33.86% 0.302 0.661
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 133 59.85% 27.98 1.558 38.35% -0.102 0.1412
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 185 71.35% 31.86 -5.736 43.78% -0.333 0.3486
Volcano Looming High 879 65.6% 35.32 2.214 50.97% 0.444 0.1197
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 274 56.93% 31.16 2.642 45.99% 0.587 0.0691

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 17 41.18% 20.59 0.0 29.41%
Blitz 0 120 56.67% 19.84 0.889 19.17% 0.066 0.4976
Dahan Insurrection 4 88 36.36% 63.66 24.459 62.5% 0.795 0.7692
Despicable Theft 2 55 49.09% 23.84 -5.962 25.45% -0.377 0.2827
Elemental Invocation 1 101 42.57% 33.72 -16.167 49.5% -0.499 -0.0508
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 893 27.32% 51.1 8.47 71.67% 1.16 0.5607
Powers Long Forgotten 1 53 50.94% 21.26 -3.668 18.87% -0.26 0.3485
Rituals of Terror 3 79 50.63% 25.92 15.076 25.32% 0.267 0.3917
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 45 62.22% 29.2 14.105 24.44% 0.411 1.1489
Second Wave 0 250 60.08% 45.41 5.218 59.2% 0.182 0.288
The Great River 3 54 50.0% 17.48 0.0 11.11%
Varied Terrains 2 44 47.73% 18.14 -9.288 20.45% -0.19 0.547
Ward the Shores 2 48 52.08% 18.73 0.0 16.67%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 13203 55.13% 38.58 -0.685 57.11% 0.352 0.577
1 Thematic 552 53.27% 30.58 -5.733 36.41% -0.364 0.1863
2 Archipelago 6 50.0% 68.0 0.0 100.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2691 60.94% 39.13 2.215 59.01% 0.237 0.3477
2 Coastline 308 61.69% 39.2 1.441 59.42% 0.184 0.0946
2 Fragment 39 69.23% 40.85 12.215 61.54% 0.731 0.3919
2 Heart 39 79.49% 41.26 -15.552 53.85% -0.334 -0.6616
2 Opposite Shores 603 48.92% 43.8 0.458 70.15% -0.173 -0.137
2 Thematic 144 64.58% 36.84 -13.824 45.83% -0.249 0.2797
2 Top to Top 143 42.66% 43.49 6.898 70.63% 0.142 -0.0643
3 Archipelago 8 75.0% 44.75 0.0 62.5%
3 Coastline 14 42.86% 56.0 0.0 85.71%
3 Other 19 47.37% 44.95 0.0 73.68%
3 Round (Default) 1290 58.7% 39.54 -1.295 60.85% -0.755 -0.8509
3 Sunrise 6 66.67% 31.67 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 56 62.5% 28.07 0.198 33.93% -0.112 0.1297
4 Coastline 10 30.0% 47.4 0.0 70.0%
4 Leaf 6 100.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 12 75.0% 52.67 0.0 91.67%
4 Thematic 88 47.73% 52.34 -6.695 72.73% -0.106 0.3674
4 Trapezoid (Default) 345 59.16% 45.18 6.174 68.99% 0.311 0.1221
5 Other 48 65.22% 35.54 0.0 50.0%
5 Thematic 14 14.29% 25.79 0.0 21.43%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 10 70.0% 48.2 0.0 60.0%
6 Star 8 62.5% 40.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 58 6.9% 63.64 9.354 74.14% 0.057 0.6373
6 Two Centers (Default) 54 27.78% 39.98 8.047 59.26% 0.065 0.0416
7 Other 3 33.33% 10.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 748 34.42 -4.051 44.39% -0.359 -0.0482
Aid From Lesser Spirits 575 36.65 -2.303 48.0% -0.435 -0.4216
All Things Weaken 799 33.77 -0.705 44.31% -0.136 0.338
Attenuated Essence 198 29.4 2.064 38.38% 0.253 0.3996
Back Against the Wall 568 35.56 -0.145 46.48% -0.265 -0.1355
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 207 29.55 0.596 37.2% -0.243 0.0766
Burn Brightest Before the End 141 34.57 -2.134 42.55% -0.055 0.1217
Disintegrating Ecosystem 711 29.58 -0.959 36.57% 0.043 0.4233
Downward Spiral 744 33.43 6.733 47.58% 0.392 0.5857
Erosion of Will 716 34.78 5.341 46.37% 0.914 1.2516
Intensifying Exploitation 210 31.19 -0.452 43.81% -0.463 -0.1102
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 234 47.22 1.515 78.63% 0.319 -0.0444
Memory Fades to Dust 814 34.3 6.726 47.05% 0.697 1.0265
Power Corrodes the Spirit 792 33.98 0.307 47.22% 0.149 0.416
Promising Farmlands 682 31.59 -12.003 42.67% -1.086 -0.6389
Shattered Fragments of Power 133 33.99 0.141 44.36% -0.142 -0.1425
Slow Dissolution of Will 188 30.21 -8.397 40.96% -0.963 -0.5518
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 141 44.8 2.657 74.47% 0.057 -0.5013
The Border of Life and Death 34 29.97 8.739 47.06% 0.28 0.0345
Thriving Communities 776 35.05 -1.184 50.26% -0.167 0.111
Thriving Crops 78 34.53 9.784 57.69% 0.64 0.5447
Unnatural Proliferation 814 35.43 0.356 46.68% -0.29 -0.0851
Untended Land Crumbles 744 33.07 -8.369 43.95% -1.123 -0.8232

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3386 57.63% 38.88 2.119 58.15% 0.457 1.4482
B 3887 55.37% 40.63 -0.223 62.1% -0.171 0.6938
C 3941 55.98% 39.64 2.756 59.3% 0.589 1.341
D 3379 56.24% 38.49 -0.95 57.68% -0.06 0.8848
E 3764 54.2% 41.03 1.548 62.43% 0.221 0.9759
F 3174 59.29% 38.36 -1.075 57.12% -0.079 0.7959
G 2743 59.13% 38.88 0.665 58.11% 0.194 1.0568
H 2858 56.39% 39.75 1.133 59.48% 0.139 0.9466
East 574 50.35% 39.63 4.366 47.74% 0.316 1.0611
Northeast 302 48.01% 42.16 -0.614 50.33% 0.173 1.0666
Northwest 288 46.85% 41.33 0.728 49.65% -0.337 0.4062
Southeast 253 41.9% 44.49 -1.946 56.13% -0.44 0.5687
Southwest 249 40.16% 38.72 -1.379 49.0% -0.388 0.7686
West 574 48.43% 35.8 -4.199 44.25% -0.606 0.3761

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 28 0.0% 59.36 0.0 71.43%
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 33.33% 19.0 0.0 0.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 247 20.18% 55.66 8.046 79.76% 0.462 -0.3427
Start of Game Growth 608 26.32% 54.34 4.768 79.61% 0.239 -0.3274
Unlimited Undo 1839 52.81% 42.15 -1.784 64.65% 0.05 0.0773
Using Tokens but Not Events 793 51.76% 40.83 3.105 61.41% 0.591 0.564

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3676 12.25 0.41%
II 7041 29.91 48.53%
III 6644 34.94 83.94%
IV 2426 38.9 99.79%

Number of Players

Score Model: 1.214 Win Model: 0.484
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13814 55.07% 38.23 56.23%
2 3947 58.96% 40.12 60.91%
3 1379 58.53% 39.35 60.41%
4 461 56.03% 46.6 68.98%
5 51 58.0% 30.0 41.18%
6 135 24.44% 49.91 63.7%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 15
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5512
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3351
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2405
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2874
Lose: Invader deck ran out 8
Lose: Adversary condition 1658
Win: Sacrifice victory 84
Lose: Scenario condition 92
Win: Scenario condition 63
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3520
Lose: Spirit destroyed 205

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 426 72.47% 33.5 -8.492 30.75% -0.406 -0.8242
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 73 52.05% 30.22 14.867 28.77% 0.411 -0.2454
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 16 75.0% 29.56 -0.533 25.0% -0.091 -0.2486
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 168 52.38% 36.89 3.785 41.67% 0.418 -0.4419
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 209 78.47% 27.35 0.0 15.31%
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 130 63.85% 26.61 16.704 23.08% 0.801 -0.2282
Dances Up Earthquakes 32 65.63% 36.72 -17.908 43.75% -0.575 -0.6115
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 334 72.46% 31.3 6.368 28.14% 0.862 0.5073
Downpour Drenches the World 251 51.79% 28.68 0.531 29.88% -0.101 0.0231
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 393 64.38% 33.0 -1.613 35.62% -0.274 -0.8446
Eyes Watch From the Trees 679 67.85% 38.06 -6.591 37.26% -0.423 -1.0694
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 190 77.78% 27.15 -0.836 17.37% 0.269 -0.2248
Finder of Paths Unseen 156 63.46% 27.33 -1.855 25.64% 0.13 0.7185
Fractured Days Split the Sky 243 56.2% 37.62 -10.563 35.39% -0.189 0.258
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 272 78.68% 31.05 -7.779 24.26% -0.578 -0.7634
Heart of the Wildfire 431 79.58% 30.19 -2.259 24.83% -0.127 0.0158
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1914 53.11% 44.35 11.803 54.7% 1.485 0.8109
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 96 56.25% 34.96 0.0 39.58%
Lightning's Swift Strike 147 80.95% 32.33 -7.074 25.17% -0.283 -0.2505
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 143 63.64% 39.17 16.31 46.15% 0.719 0.0669
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 143 74.83% 36.51 0.0 37.06%
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 100 57.0% 31.82 12.484 33.0% 0.625 0.3851
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2694 55.85% 44.41 -0.287 55.01% 0.234 -0.1916
Many Minds Move as One 824 72.82% 38.17 -9.977 39.81% -0.746 -1.2552
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 461 72.45% 30.46 -9.949 24.73% -0.732 -1.0019
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 93 67.74% 22.42 -4.971 18.28% -0.196 -0.3099
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 334 79.34% 31.84 1.167 26.65% 0.361 0.0673
River Surges in Sunlight 351 77.43% 38.3 0.0 35.04%
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 36 61.11% 29.67 0.0 22.22%
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 133 76.69% 26.25 -2.256 17.29% -0.236 -0.3014
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 176 67.61% 36.46 12.484 38.07% 0.625 0.4943
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 408 70.59% 33.89 2.52 28.19% 0.203 -0.0613
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 41 56.1% 32.78 16.579 36.59% 0.371 -0.0594
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 88 80.68% 23.47 -17.569 9.09% -0.312 0.1167
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 18 77.78% 38.17 -11.321 44.44% -0.503 -0.4986
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 195 61.03% 38.71 3.775 45.13% 0.216 -0.5364
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 26 65.38% 27.12 0.0 19.23%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 83 85.54% 30.53 -10.796 18.07% -0.299 -0.4772
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 81 88.89% 29.02 -4.337 18.52% -0.338 -0.3806
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 818 68.18% 44.69 9.399 49.76% 0.687 0.3208
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 27 51.85% 45.26 -12.731 59.26% -0.43 -0.9709
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 192 57.29% 22.21 -8.352 21.88% -0.265 -0.5096
Shifting Memory of Ages 161 70.19% 31.99 0.0 27.33%
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 55 60.0% 38.85 -2.404 38.18% -0.49 -0.6533
Shroud of Silent Mist 206 82.52% 24.64 -3.793 13.11% -0.139 0.0434
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 11 63.64% 35.82 -5.362 45.45% -0.214 -0.6238
Starlight Seeks its Form 627 70.97% 34.65 2.717 33.81% 0.112 -0.1304
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 701 67.19% 33.13 0.197 33.24% 0.078 -0.8745
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 645 70.7% 39.92 -3.114 42.17% 0.092 0.1345
Thunderspeaker 299 76.77% 33.38 -2.66 24.08% -0.175 -0.3705
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 40 47.5% 16.55 0.136 10.0% 0.073 -0.095
Towering Roots of the Jungle 184 57.61% 28.37 0.171 31.52% 0.323 0.2123
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 521 89.64% 32.34 -14.894 28.02% -0.605 -0.7563
Vital Strength of the Earth 125 74.19% 28.56 0.0 21.6%
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 87 65.52% 29.01 -12.476 25.29% -0.167 0.0762
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 141 80.85% 29.99 -7.584 19.86% -0.228 0.4529
Volcano Looming High 389 72.49% 33.2 -1.978 33.16% -0.299 -0.6233
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 149 59.73% 31.18 0.763 30.2% 0.12 -0.3976

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 10 20.0% 10.2 -10.563 10.0% -0.189 0.1812
Blitz 0 63 55.56% 22.86 -3.403 17.46% -0.136 0.2961
Dahan Insurrection 4 99 46.46% 44.23 0.0 25.25%
Despicable Theft 2 28 60.71% 32.54 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 75 62.67% 15.95 -8.393 5.33% -0.478 -0.03
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 774 30.1% 54.43 10.637 64.34% 1.008 0.4083
Powers Long Forgotten 1 53 60.38% 19.11 0.932 9.43% 0.235 0.8432
Rituals of Terror 3 17 82.35% 30.06 -0.813 11.76% -0.058 0.0661
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 6 50.0% 37.67 0.0 33.33%
Second Wave 0 136 74.26% 40.08 13.41 36.03% 0.617 0.7234
The Great River 3 6 66.67% 30.83 0.0 16.67%
Varied Terrains 2 7 28.57% 14.71 2.354 14.29% -0.087 0.6499
Ward the Shores 2 25 64.0% 25.24 0.0 16.0%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8859 62.78% 39.31 1.924 43.29% 0.524 0.7487
1 Thematic 505 65.15% 30.8 -3.474 22.97% -0.151 0.3987
2 Archipelago 30 36.67% 28.23 0.0 16.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1512 78.37% 34.77 2.019 32.14% 0.611 0.7222
2 Coastline 164 64.63% 43.76 0.0 50.61%
2 Fragment 39 89.74% 37.38 3.66 30.77% 0.039 -0.2992
2 Heart 26 76.92% 33.85 -16.063 38.46% -0.188 -0.5148
2 Opposite Shores 330 65.45% 31.58 -10.854 30.61% -0.748 -0.7119
2 Thematic 102 58.82% 23.68 -13.446 12.75% -0.527 0.0012
2 Top to Top 117 42.74% 27.56 20.582 31.62% 0.557 0.3501
3 Archipelago 5 40.0% 22.8 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 57.75 0.0 62.5%
3 Other 21 90.48% 43.24 0.0 33.33%
3 Round (Default) 698 70.63% 34.71 -7.083 36.53% -0.389 -0.4852
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 23.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 49 53.06% 13.43 -8.045 8.16% -0.149 0.0927
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 28.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 74.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 7 57.14% 33.0 0.0 28.57%
4 Thematic 42 76.19% 38.33 7.204 28.57% 0.32 0.7931
4 Trapezoid (Default) 247 71.84% 36.18 3.861 37.25% 0.131 -0.0577
5 Other 35 54.29% 38.26 -1.572 45.71% 0.054 -0.2726
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 72.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 4 50.0% 23.25 0.0 25.0%
6 Star 7 57.14% 21.0 0.0 14.29%
6 Thematic 10 40.0% 4.9 0.0 0.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 31 54.84% 26.87 0.847 16.13% -0.097 -0.1204
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 587 34.17 -6.777 26.75% -0.882 -0.5718
Aid From Lesser Spirits 416 39.97 -5.226 37.26% -0.202 -0.189
All Things Weaken 581 33.95 -7.906 27.71% -1.293 -0.8192
Attenuated Essence 154 31.58 4.185 29.22% 0.224 0.3701
Back Against the Wall 403 34.33 5.223 26.3% 0.186 0.3153
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 180 26.72 -5.143 20.0% -0.33 -0.01
Burn Brightest Before the End 91 30.04 -8.515 23.08% -0.628 -0.4515
Disintegrating Ecosystem 537 28.94 -0.432 19.93% -0.194 0.1861
Downward Spiral 611 33.78 -0.533 32.08% -0.091 0.1025
Erosion of Will 560 32.69 -0.345 25.36% 0.02 0.3582
Intensifying Exploitation 152 28.3 -4.178 22.37% -0.345 0.0074
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 138 44.86 7.799 58.7% 0.574 0.2111
Memory Fades to Dust 607 33.05 -6.445 28.34% -0.797 -0.4673
Power Corrodes the Spirit 547 33.0 1.483 27.61% 0.151 0.4175
Promising Farmlands 554 30.25 -6.546 23.65% -0.627 -0.18
Shattered Fragments of Power 97 33.59 7.51 25.77% 0.285 0.2843
Slow Dissolution of Will 127 28.78 1.594 24.41% -0.207 0.2038
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 90 44.87 -0.618 62.22% 0.129 -0.4296
The Border of Life and Death 13 31.38 21.303 38.46% 0.497 0.252
Thriving Communities 649 34.55 -1.661 32.2% -0.495 -0.217
Thriving Crops 43 26.3 0.0 27.91%
Unnatural Proliferation 635 34.7 -3.201 27.56% -0.557 -0.3527
Untended Land Crumbles 608 32.31 -1.638 25.16% -0.546 -0.2468

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2222 68.84% 36.27 -2.21 37.35% -0.407 0.5845
B 2423 66.39% 35.99 1.869 37.52% 0.255 1.1201
C 2531 64.51% 36.94 -2.024 39.35% -0.178 0.574
D 1979 66.55% 35.3 -3.684 35.47% -0.427 0.518
E 2571 64.55% 40.79 1.339 45.35% 0.339 1.0935
F 1889 66.95% 36.25 4.425 38.12% 0.717 1.5911
G 1613 70.58% 36.14 -1.857 36.89% -0.289 0.5739
H 1753 68.89% 37.84 0.981 39.08% 0.1 0.9072
East 445 62.25% 30.68 -5.687 23.15% -0.341 0.4048
Northeast 204 67.65% 31.2 -2.243 23.04% 0.289 1.1827
Northwest 181 61.33% 26.61 1.005 19.34% 0.227 0.9705
Southeast 160 55.63% 26.67 -6.428 21.88% -0.463 0.5456
Southwest 135 60.0% 20.06 -1.207 11.85% -0.259 0.898
West 398 63.57% 25.02 2.118 16.08% 0.17 1.1531

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 5 0.0% 38.6 0.0 40.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 291 14.88% 69.57 10.062 87.29% 0.896 0.0908
Start of Game Growth 548 27.47% 64.08 3.834 81.2% 0.102 -0.4647
Unlimited Undo 1363 60.01% 40.77 4.585 47.69% 0.531 0.5579
Using Tokens but Not Events 539 54.31% 44.74 6.996 54.55% 0.5 0.4729

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2450 12.25 1.67%
II 6734 29.91 34.5%
III 2787 34.94 66.42%
IV 888 38.9 99.77%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.374 Win Model: -0.207
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 9422 62.73% 38.78 42.06%
2 2286 73.49% 34.23 32.37%
3 765 69.93% 33.55 34.51%
4 302 70.67% 36.87 37.42%
5 35 54.29% 33.6 37.14%
6 49 51.02% 24.02 16.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 41
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1818
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2283
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 881
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2230
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3
Lose: Adversary condition 1411
Win: Sacrifice victory 49
Lose: Scenario condition 89
Win: Scenario condition 29
Lose: Unique spirit condition 1
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3892
Lose: Spirit destroyed 132

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2598 62.17% 44.07 -5.313 32.49% -0.931 -1.3492
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 782 45.78% 36.49 3.05 29.41% 0.828 0.1719
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 97 56.7% 22.82 -3.752 20.62% 0.295 0.1378
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 728 63.69% 30.41 -0.188 27.88% 0.163 -0.6975
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1069 78.37% 41.63 8.166 22.45% 0.396 0.5339
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 1122 69.61% 32.1 -1.907 27.09% 0.147 -0.8826
Dances Up Earthquakes 804 52.86% 35.9 0.414 35.7% 0.318 0.2819
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1390 82.31% 28.05 -10.433 12.3% -0.3 -0.6548
Downpour Drenches the World 1668 57.19% 25.97 -9.17 17.99% -1.101 -0.9772
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1622 73.43% 26.59 2.684 19.42% 0.616 0.0454
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3007 64.93% 49.36 -1.102 35.58% -0.18 -0.8265
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 780 80.46% 32.08 -5.922 18.72% -0.881 -1.3746
Finder of Paths Unseen 734 57.84% 27.52 -3.007 20.71% 0.137 0.7249
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3974 43.31% 51.03 3.878 41.8% 0.43 0.8769
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1201 81.25% 31.62 -4.172 19.65% 0.178 -0.0073
Heart of the Wildfire 1857 81.45% 26.23 -7.263 11.9% -0.392 -0.2488
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 17055 55.32% 54.24 3.068 60.62% 1.144 0.4696
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 705 58.38% 28.1 -4.498 24.4% -0.282 -0.8092
Lightning's Swift Strike 709 78.05% 32.53 -10.901 18.9% -0.675 -0.6425
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1438 72.46% 39.34 3.178 32.34% 0.355 -0.2972
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 622 84.35% 37.13 -2.089 25.72% -0.615 -1.1107
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 805 58.63% 43.99 -2.561 40.25% -0.335 -0.5747
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 12513 68.51% 43.76 1.306 41.24% 0.533 0.1073
Many Minds Move as One 3411 67.06% 46.92 6.26 35.36% 0.924 0.4149
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2138 75.06% 30.74 -13.978 17.49% -0.495 -0.7642
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 848 68.95% 22.22 -2.479 13.92% 0.011 -0.1033
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1061 80.59% 33.37 -7.206 21.49% -0.934 -1.228
River Surges in Sunlight 2059 80.72% 53.85 6.233 35.21% 0.261 0.0899
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 412 60.19% 31.38 -16.928 20.15% -0.188 -0.299
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 551 62.91% 37.82 -10.188 23.41% -0.14 -0.2054
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1142 65.03% 43.26 1.837 30.65% 0.447 0.3167
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3677 59.99% 45.56 -3.637 39.87% -0.203 -0.4676
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 246 62.2% 33.19 7.636 30.08% 1.056 0.6253
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 435 84.06% 35.83 0.0 18.39%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 95 72.63% 31.62 0.0 16.84%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 1151 70.81% 32.13 2.653 25.54% 0.007 -0.7455
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 145 71.72% 27.34 0.0 20.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 367 81.47% 34.06 -14.139 18.53% -0.108 -0.2863
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 320 77.19% 34.67 0.0 23.75%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2534 72.42% 44.11 2.384 38.44% 0.083 -0.2832
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 107 78.5% 30.79 -5.833 25.23% -0.79 -1.3312
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1059 64.02% 28.94 -4.364 25.97% -0.291 -0.5351
Shifting Memory of Ages 2444 53.75% 33.86 -6.4 21.44% -0.563 -0.2682
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 611 53.85% 36.59 1.426 32.73% 0.537 0.3739
Shroud of Silent Mist 865 79.7% 28.49 -3.22 13.87% -0.65 -0.4683
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 98 73.47% 24.91 -2.152 17.35% 0.016 -0.3937
Starlight Seeks its Form 5246 62.76% 36.91 -2.325 35.3% 0.049 -0.1936
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 9271 52.58% 49.07 5.128 46.6% 1.111 0.1585
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2778 78.53% 42.58 -0.379 37.26% -0.118 -0.0757
Thunderspeaker 1303 75.94% 39.77 -2.915 23.1% -0.109 -0.3038
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 189 73.4% 19.12 -9.887 10.58% -0.45 -0.6186
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1010 60.89% 22.98 -1.851 18.91% -0.146 -0.2571
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2862 87.67% 33.06 -7.753 21.98% -0.928 -1.0791
Vital Strength of the Earth 489 76.89% 29.73 0.0 13.5%
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 436 58.49% 28.33 -0.743 20.18% 0.215 0.458
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 469 77.99% 28.99 0.0 14.5%
Volcano Looming High 2717 76.79% 36.66 1.636 29.08% 0.64 0.3163
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 869 64.56% 22.79 1.937 13.92% 0.556 0.038

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 37.5% 7.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 395 54.73% 40.75 -13.399 32.15% -0.3 0.1316
Dahan Insurrection 4 3008 31.47% 64.94 16.168 48.67% 1.106 1.0801
Despicable Theft 2 18 47.06% 29.11 -2.334 16.67% -0.056 0.6039
Elemental Invocation 1 174 78.03% 30.14 0.0 12.07%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3275 44.02% 47.32 0.841 41.01% 0.006 -0.5934
Powers Long Forgotten 1 31 38.71% 11.65 -15.868 6.45% -0.241 0.3677
Rituals of Terror 3 1404 43.69% 108.96 12.388 62.68% 1.191 1.3158
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 89 29.21% 19.13 18.562 7.87% 0.382 1.1198
Second Wave 0 170 65.88% 47.99 0.0 41.18%
The Great River 3 62 64.52% 29.48 0.0 6.45%
Varied Terrains 2 53 54.72% 41.15 -2.471 26.42% -0.92 -0.1835
Ward the Shores 2 54 79.63% 36.13 0.0 14.81%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 68780 66.21% 42.09 0.669 39.19% -0.093 0.1313
1 Thematic 1248 69.23% 41.42 1.41 27.4% -0.485 0.0652
2 Archipelago 174 36.78% 51.51 59.228 30.46% 0.595 0.2416
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5340 75.67% 36.5 -0.963 28.91% -0.338 -0.2272
2 Coastline 1163 67.1% 34.56 -6.524 26.83% -0.905 -0.994
2 Fragment 132 79.55% 41.34 8.217 36.36% 0.387 0.0486
2 Heart 182 71.98% 43.42 1.606 28.02% 0.233 -0.0942
2 Opposite Shores 2150 64.42% 32.37 -7.029 18.05% -1.34 -1.3038
2 Thematic 963 65.18% 81.57 4.009 43.82% -0.046 0.4831
2 Top to Top 333 62.16% 32.82 14.271 27.63% 0.675 0.4687
3 Archipelago 81 72.84% 99.07 -22.131 56.79% -0.214 -0.1131
3 Coastline 27 66.67% 37.07 33.315 33.33% 0.76 0.2392
3 Other 74 68.92% 44.59 2.489 37.84% -0.209 -0.9514
3 Round (Default) 2742 68.13% 35.08 -2.18 28.59% -0.639 -0.7346
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 44.0 0.0 33.33%
3 Thematic 555 14.98% 103.26 35.835 62.88% 0.551 0.7928
4 Archipelago 5 100.0% 125.6 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 12 58.33% 35.08 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 10 80.0% 36.9 0.0 40.0%
4 Other 55 76.36% 43.05 22.459 27.27% 1.255 0.7076
4 Thematic 423 30.26% 75.44 -10.903 55.79% -0.64 -0.1667
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1381 61.79% 35.36 -1.727 28.02% 0.156 -0.0328
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 30.5 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 81.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 87 53.57% 40.55 0.0 29.89%
5 Thematic 43 51.16% 53.79 0.0 25.58%
6 Archipelago 17 43.75% 59.71 0.0 41.18%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 95 43.16% 46.6 0.0 52.63%
6 Star 22 40.91% 38.0 0.0 36.36%
6 Thematic 83 42.68% 21.12 -4.497 10.84% -0.005 0.5754
6 Two Centers (Default) 417 24.22% 46.87 -11.021 43.17% -0.405 -0.4277
7 Archipelago 9 37.5% 71.78 -18.337 44.44% -0.162 0.2448
7 Other 7 42.86% 15.29 -2.999 0.0% -0.078 -0.333

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3849 39.74 1.565 28.53% -0.225 0.086
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2740 43.91 0.052 34.2% -0.431 -0.4175
All Things Weaken 4127 39.76 0.893 28.23% -0.206 0.2683
Attenuated Essence 1197 33.38 0.942 24.81% -0.141 0.006
Back Against the Wall 2643 42.77 1.818 31.9% -0.217 -0.0875
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1195 34.15 0.233 26.03% -0.489 -0.1686
Burn Brightest Before the End 800 38.11 4.457 29.0% -0.076 0.1013
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3654 34.14 0.214 20.63% -0.605 -0.2246
Downward Spiral 3920 40.57 2.556 32.4% -0.19 0.0038
Erosion of Will 3787 37.75 -1.137 24.74% -0.494 -0.1563
Intensifying Exploitation 1254 33.6 5.502 26.79% 0.387 0.7393
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 883 56.61 6.361 63.42% 0.252 -0.1108
Memory Fades to Dust 4024 39.78 3.801 29.75% 0.211 0.5404
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3907 38.35 -1.066 27.39% -0.287 -0.0198
Promising Farmlands 3723 37.58 0.887 27.18% -0.645 -0.1975
Shattered Fragments of Power 752 35.7 1.254 24.73% -0.598 -0.5983
Slow Dissolution of Will 1289 33.09 2.887 22.58% -0.039 0.3725
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 545 59.41 11.53 67.16% 0.535 -0.0239
The Border of Life and Death 222 39.1 5.61 43.69% 0.581 0.3359
Thriving Communities 3971 39.25 2.861 29.36% 0.016 0.2937
Thriving Crops 375 33.95 1.33 36.27% 0.099 0.0033
Unnatural Proliferation 4145 39.74 2.408 26.68% -0.312 -0.1074
Untended Land Crumbles 4134 38.79 2.161 28.47% -0.076 0.2232

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14208 67.76% 37.09 -0.032 30.74% 0.111 1.1027
B 14394 68.58% 39.0 -1.055 33.94% -0.085 0.7803
C 16442 65.08% 41.76 0.342 36.25% 0.016 0.7682
D 12144 66.88% 37.3 -2.912 30.97% -0.357 0.5875
E 15503 66.2% 41.88 -0.637 38.46% -0.178 0.5763
F 11607 65.88% 38.87 -0.421 34.18% -0.242 0.632
G 9518 66.69% 39.95 -1.696 35.19% -0.174 0.688
H 12319 59.39% 44.92 0.014 43.36% 0.071 0.8779
East 2450 47.12% 76.31 5.565 46.45% 0.405 1.1502
Northeast 1428 35.69% 80.53 1.781 49.86% -0.55 0.3433
Northwest 861 47.56% 63.92 -1.776 39.02% -0.368 0.3756
Southeast 558 49.01% 44.3 -7.721 28.85% -0.889 0.1195
Southwest 572 54.12% 37.06 -11.942 25.0% -0.733 0.424
West 2327 47.68% 74.56 8.481 45.68% 0.62 1.6023

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 64 0.0% 58.06 0.0 60.94%
Not Using Events or Tokens 12 66.67% 108.33 0.0 58.33%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2240 30.05% 60.55 5.276 61.74% -0.399 -1.2037
Start of Game Growth 3679 34.02% 59.31 12.788 63.69% 2.25 1.6832
Unlimited Undo 7823 57.59% 49.07 -1.2 51.95% -0.239 -0.2115
Using Tokens but Not Events 4186 55.39% 42.6 -5.081 34.76% -0.863 -0.8902

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 27646 12.25 0.62%
II 36749 29.91 37.07%
III 15573 34.94 76.61%
IV 6703 38.9 99.88%

Number of Players

Score Model: -1.299 Win Model: -0.354
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 71948 65.86% 42.47 38.78%
2 9170 71.29% 40.64 29.72%
3 3107 64.72% 39.76 30.7%
4 1735 58.81% 39.56 31.93%
5 120 47.01% 36.45 25.0%
6 591 28.52% 44.68 42.47%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 152
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11740
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11943
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6073
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 17834
Lose: Invader deck ran out 76
Lose: Adversary condition 9761
Win: Sacrifice victory 1040
Lose: Scenario condition 678
Win: Scenario condition 1470
Lose: Blight pool ran out 24929
Lose: Spirit destroyed 975

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)