The Tsardom of Russia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1462 23.06% 25.16 1.567 75.72% 0.58 0.4838
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 203 20.69% 22.92 -2.085 65.52% -0.144 -0.4693
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 16 37.5% 24.81 -0.143 62.5% -0.098 -0.3591
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 87 24.14% 27.89 3.811 75.86% 1.031 0.3104
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 859 40.89% 23.48 -3.927 73.46% -0.562 -0.2633
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 216 25.0% 28.97 3.072 75.46% 0.511 -0.0786
Dances Up Earthquakes 191 25.65% 17.91 0.012 50.79% 0.184 0.3662
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1538 23.09% 26.03 0.69 79.78% 0.363 0.1847
Downpour Drenches the World 660 18.06% 21.12 -2.253 60.76% -0.7 -0.3411
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 634 19.56% 23.45 0.052 67.67% 0.233 -0.2061
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1729 15.04% 29.26 0.483 83.29% -0.065 -0.4149
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1403 21.46% 27.04 -2.23 80.11% -0.341 -0.7418
Finder of Paths Unseen 314 27.71% 14.15 -6.538 38.54% -1.337 -0.2622
Fractured Days Split the Sky 762 28.65% 22.95 4.703 60.37% 0.442 0.8977
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1290 35.81% 25.4 2.012 65.5% 0.197 0.1057
Heart of the Wildfire 1186 51.27% 21.48 1.573 66.36% 0.324 0.7552
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2162 25.0% 25.84 2.434 82.15% 1.074 0.6313
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 199 21.11% 23.89 -1.931 67.34% -0.318 -0.8264
Lightning's Swift Strike 794 36.02% 24.93 0.101 76.95% -0.048 0.1152
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 220 29.36% 24.02 -1.643 66.36% -0.205 -0.8834
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 452 26.16% 25.64 -4.213 77.43% -0.524 -0.8832
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 430 25.7% 27.28 5.054 73.72% 0.018 -0.1286
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2543 27.48% 26.16 0.743 79.67% 0.336 0.1593
Many Minds Move as One 1899 19.62% 26.16 -0.465 82.62% -0.112 -0.2466
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1629 36.48% 25.25 0.93 72.74% 0.088 0.0107
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 173 48.55% 19.64 -4.538 54.91% -0.591 -0.4
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1379 27.81% 25.28 0.023 76.87% 0.029 -0.0304
River Surges in Sunlight 1065 36.13% 27.78 0.412 76.62% 0.28 0.3242
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 95 26.32% 20.42 1.565 57.89% -0.078 0.1523
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 641 37.81% 26.7 1.238 74.26% 0.241 0.2898
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 272 31.0% 24.49 2.053 59.93% 0.222 0.3889
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1203 24.19% 25.45 0.234 75.73% -0.436 -0.6298
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 50 26.0% 17.02 -4.371 46.0% -0.449 -0.4639
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 421 47.97% 23.68 3.515 74.35% 0.558 1.182
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 108 30.84% 21.44 -1.16 61.11% 0.033 0.0483
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 142 37.32% 26.28 -0.45 71.83% -0.428 -0.8632
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 103 31.07% 23.17 -1.559 67.96% -0.104 -0.0818
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 401 32.92% 25.81 -0.723 79.55% -0.037 -0.1242
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 335 32.54% 24.76 -1.706 76.12% 0.006 0.415
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1535 25.73% 25.85 -2.716 80.72% -0.755 -0.6978
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 16 18.75% 28.5 5.786 68.75% 0.627 0.1236
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 290 20.14% 21.85 3.53 61.03% 0.726 0.6886
Shifting Memory of Ages 747 36.19% 20.0 -2.413 58.9% -0.281 0.0808
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 131 26.72% 19.09 -0.7 53.44% -0.187 -0.2042
Shroud of Silent Mist 968 42.67% 21.55 -3.929 67.25% -0.644 -0.1202
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 10 60.0% 27.5 -0.122 80.0% -0.136 -0.4759
Starlight Seeks its Form 1241 22.72% 24.17 -0.568 68.82% -0.055 -0.2542
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1760 24.53% 24.5 -0.363 79.6% -0.087 -0.7022
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1226 28.42% 23.78 2.32 72.59% 0.631 0.864
Thunderspeaker 1195 26.32% 26.29 1.17 73.81% 0.53 0.5125
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 230 26.96% 20.78 -0.947 50.87% -0.323 -0.1224
Towering Roots of the Jungle 336 23.81% 20.28 -0.354 59.23% -0.025 0.1415
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1375 58.78% 21.23 -2.092 72.73% -0.146 -0.096
Vital Strength of the Earth 789 29.61% 23.18 -2.399 68.44% -0.692 -0.2223
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 210 24.88% 21.36 -3.765 60.48% -0.674 -0.2651
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 422 25.65% 18.88 -0.319 60.19% 0.011 0.6777
Volcano Looming High 1332 39.43% 21.59 -0.907 66.82% 0.258 0.2415
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 357 19.89% 24.49 5.075 66.95% 1.435 1.1552

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 36 19.44% 23.56 -7.778 63.89% -0.169 -0.1982
Blitz 0 447 22.92% 18.23 -0.895 57.49% 0.203 0.446
Dahan Insurrection 4 587 18.4% 43.25 16.399 75.47% 1.066 1.0795
Despicable Theft 2 299 26.76% 19.61 -3.897 43.81% -1.511 -0.7452
Elemental Invocation 1 313 30.67% 20.03 -4.477 53.99% -1.163 -0.4105
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 893 10.2% 29.67 2.372 77.16% 0.099 -0.497
Powers Long Forgotten 1 328 33.84% 18.62 -5.727 48.17% -1.058 -0.31
Rituals of Terror 3 280 33.7% 29.16 12.686 60.0% 0.527 1.0052
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 199 50.75% 27.89 3.251 58.29% 0.137 0.825
Second Wave 0 587 43.49% 30.91 2.007 66.95% -0.134 -0.1388
The Great River 3 258 34.11% 22.18 -5.694 45.74% -1.049 0.0803
Varied Terrains 2 235 34.89% 20.46 0.96 45.11% -0.346 0.4339
Ward the Shores 2 419 29.19% 23.62 -0.734 56.8% -0.613 0.256

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 17062 32.51% 24.81 0.935 75.72% 0.503 0.7066
1 Thematic 2548 35.12% 25.9 -2.212 67.78% -0.611 -0.0016
2 Archipelago 35 42.86% 36.51 0.0 80.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3930 30.27% 23.01 -1.6 71.63% -0.403 -0.3229
2 Coastline 466 31.03% 23.09 0.435 72.1% 0.538 0.4425
2 Fragment 86 27.91% 24.76 0.0 77.91%
2 Heart 49 42.86% 25.88 6.934 83.67% 0.537 0.0762
2 Opposite Shores 582 25.78% 27.91 -1.193 83.68% -0.798 -0.6666
2 Thematic 625 30.45% 25.41 -3.109 61.92% -0.813 -0.4547
2 Top to Top 74 29.73% 24.69 1.487 77.03% 0.547 0.4584
3 Archipelago 16 37.5% 38.38 7.892 81.25% 0.122 -0.048
3 Coastline 27 29.63% 23.81 -1.243 51.85% 0.097 -0.0753
3 Other 42 38.1% 26.81 5.641 88.1% 0.825 0.4397
3 Round (Default) 1795 26.81% 25.57 2.739 79.61% 0.543 0.5484
3 Sunrise 7 14.29% 31.0 0.0 85.71%
3 Thematic 130 28.46% 25.26 -6.749 58.46% -0.212 -0.6431
4 Archipelago 9 11.11% 38.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 12 50.0% 22.83 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 5 0.0% 28.8 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 23 47.83% 27.43 0.729 82.61% -0.068 -0.9114
4 Thematic 139 18.84% 32.17 15.441 77.7% 0.51 0.3076
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1070 19.07% 19.42 -2.179 58.5% -0.76 -0.57
5 Other 45 36.36% 26.8 0.0 68.89%
5 Thematic 7 0.0% 20.14 0.0 42.86%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 61.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 7 42.86% 29.0 0.0 71.43%
6 Star 33 30.3% 26.61 0.0 87.88%
6 Thematic 69 17.65% 26.86 6.832 50.72% 0.083 0.3318
6 Two Centers (Default) 128 21.09% 28.19 -10.437 74.22% -0.645 0.5569
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 6 0.0% 13.33 0.0 16.67%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 561 21.83 2.415 63.64% 0.213 0.3612
Aid From Lesser Spirits 474 23.29 0.644 66.46% 0.839 0.7267
All Things Weaken 663 20.77 0.331 60.48% -0.178 0.1968
Attenuated Essence 135 23.19 1.798 54.81% 0.477 0.6022
Back Against the Wall 483 21.47 -0.343 58.8% -0.159 -0.118
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 111 20.31 3.598 53.15% 0.592 0.7975
Burn Brightest Before the End 117 22.82 -7.756 53.85% -0.926 -0.8813
Disintegrating Ecosystem 559 19.23 -1.963 61.36% -0.285 0.2133
Downward Spiral 657 21.02 1.292 68.8% 0.788 1.0386
Erosion of Will 525 21.47 4.388 62.67% -0.232 0.0258
Intensifying Exploitation 134 21.65 1.955 56.72% 0.977 1.1955
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 309 26.49 -0.904 88.03% 0.17 -0.2163
Memory Fades to Dust 682 20.36 0.268 62.46% -0.109 0.096
Power Corrodes the Spirit 618 21.35 1.294 65.21% -0.135 0.0635
Promising Farmlands 531 19.79 1.202 59.89% 0.396 0.7518
Shattered Fragments of Power 105 22.99 0.244 53.33% -0.279 -0.062
Slow Dissolution of Will 147 18.27 1.836 46.94% 0.464 0.8932
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 207 25.34 5.474 85.99% 0.711 0.0872
The Border of Life and Death 39 26.33 10.501 74.36% 0.544 0.2235
Thriving Communities 638 18.97 -0.844 59.72% -0.335 -0.0156
Thriving Crops 64 24.45 -1.395 76.56% -0.228 -0.3469
Unnatural Proliferation 649 21.78 -1.869 62.1% -0.492 -0.4022
Untended Land Crumbles 645 20.04 0.708 61.09% 0.133 0.3587

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5106 29.76% 23.88 0.87 73.07% 0.188 0.9874
B 5247 28.81% 24.08 0.422 74.02% 0.094 0.8241
C 5379 28.81% 24.55 0.842 75.05% 0.018 0.6222
D 5025 30.62% 24.03 -0.804 74.31% -0.282 0.4749
E 4911 29.49% 24.3 -0.248 74.22% -0.231 0.3535
F 4823 29.06% 24.13 -2.701 72.63% -0.605 0.0975
G 4221 28.99% 24.1 -0.398 72.61% -0.42 0.3371
H 4353 29.78% 24.28 1.215 73.31% 0.161 0.7926
East 2166 32.16% 27.21 2.325 68.88% -0.013 0.7702
Northeast 842 28.69% 27.55 -0.373 63.66% -0.313 0.4487
Northwest 773 27.66% 26.81 1.672 63.65% 0.399 1.2411
Southeast 940 36.46% 25.96 -0.948 73.09% -0.049 0.5901
Southwest 722 27.96% 21.87 -0.229 60.11% 0.172 1.2174
West 1906 30.25% 25.19 -1.688 62.59% -0.529 0.2469

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 76 0.0% 26.36 -11.401 78.95% -0.844 0.0292
Not Using Events or Tokens 83 24.1% 20.92 -0.103 57.83% -0.023 0.3545
Skip Initial Invader Actions 511 8.47% 36.33 -2.837 88.65% -0.806 -1.0976
Start of Game Growth 867 11.48% 33.97 0.803 86.97% -0.309 -0.8654
Unlimited Undo 1849 21.33% 25.78 3.035 77.45% 0.775 0.8389
Using Tokens but Not Events 2530 25.71% 25.95 0.193 75.65% -0.237 -0.3639

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5473 12.44 13.25%
II 9224 29.94 79.62%
III 9840 34.9 90.19%
IV 4523 38.84 99.31%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.088 Win Model: 0.383
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 20181 32.72% 24.61 73.38%
2 5430 30.34% 24.97 76.13%
3 1928 27.14% 26.0 79.82%
4 1241 19.27% 21.22 61.56%
5 33 31.25% 21.7 66.67%
6 247 21.14% 27.42 68.02%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 722
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8590
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6875
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4455
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4368
Lose: Invader deck ran out 215
Lose: Adversary condition 405
Win: Sacrifice victory 113
Lose: Scenario condition 160
Win: Scenario condition 681
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2294
Lose: Spirit destroyed 182

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 851 37.88% 27.32 0.792 62.4% 0.197 0.1012
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 123 42.28% 26.62 -1.944 56.91% -0.076 -0.4012
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 13 38.46% 23.54 -1.754 61.54% -0.165 -0.4267
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 73 31.51% 31.22 4.064 76.71% 0.948 0.2279
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 540 59.81% 26.51 -4.524 60.19% -0.771 -0.4722
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 110 34.55% 29.21 -12.064 65.45% -0.37 -0.9598
Dances Up Earthquakes 84 39.29% 19.29 -4.647 41.67% -0.749 -0.5675
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 884 39.61% 29.01 -0.374 66.4% -0.197 -0.3761
Downpour Drenches the World 369 37.06% 20.76 3.298 49.32% 0.602 0.9612
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 390 29.23% 24.89 1.81 60.26% 0.735 0.2954
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1286 31.36% 33.12 0.303 74.49% 0.15 -0.199
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 794 38.35% 29.81 0.625 68.77% 0.43 0.0292
Finder of Paths Unseen 217 43.78% 15.03 -0.622 32.26% -0.251 0.8232
Fractured Days Split the Sky 469 38.38% 24.96 2.734 51.17% 0.302 0.7579
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 750 51.8% 24.91 1.589 56.4% -0.259 -0.3505
Heart of the Wildfire 822 67.2% 20.68 -0.433 45.38% 0.086 0.5168
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1539 42.0% 30.07 0.669 70.76% 0.145 -0.2978
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 149 36.24% 26.05 7.611 62.42% 0.993 0.4843
Lightning's Swift Strike 416 56.76% 25.13 1.995 56.49% -0.105 0.0585
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 107 49.53% 25.41 -5.204 55.14% -0.713 -1.3919
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 263 52.85% 24.84 -1.359 54.37% 0.091 -0.2678
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 252 44.44% 31.94 -3.339 62.3% -0.071 -0.2172
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1874 43.26% 31.08 2.857 76.04% 0.774 0.5965
Many Minds Move as One 1611 33.0% 31.08 1.402 76.91% 0.266 0.1314
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 987 50.15% 27.55 3.453 59.37% 0.794 0.7173
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 92 63.04% 20.85 -1.751 52.17% -0.05 0.1412
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 843 45.37% 27.68 1.041 65.84% 0.351 0.2917
River Surges in Sunlight 627 50.24% 29.16 0.635 62.84% 0.251 0.2961
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 79 43.04% 18.23 2.967 40.51% 0.032 0.2615
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 392 51.66% 30.96 -0.597 60.46% -0.275 -0.2257
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 187 43.85% 23.72 4.711 48.66% 0.531 0.6975
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 664 47.74% 26.4 1.022 61.3% 0.012 -0.1817
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 36 30.56% 15.56 -8.077 36.11% -0.92 -0.9344
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 254 62.99% 25.62 -4.733 57.48% -0.717 -0.0925
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 88 45.98% 22.16 -7.724 47.73% -0.715 -0.6996
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 172 40.94% 28.03 1.007 61.63% -0.077 -0.5118
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 81 45.68% 25.91 0.881 60.49% 0.204 0.2268
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 232 53.88% 25.45 -11.084 60.78% -0.666 -0.7528
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 181 47.51% 26.34 2.212 56.91% -0.04 0.3683
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1348 39.12% 30.61 -0.084 73.52% 0.17 0.2278
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 17 41.18% 33.82 4.336 76.47% 0.335 -0.1687
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 340 32.84% 25.3 3.321 60.59% 0.259 0.2222
Shifting Memory of Ages 483 47.83% 23.24 3.161 53.0% 0.54 0.9025
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 111 35.14% 17.97 -0.888 39.64% -0.222 -0.2395
Shroud of Silent Mist 529 58.9% 21.77 -1.071 50.85% 0.309 0.833
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 8 50.0% 13.0 -3.147 25.0% -0.552 -0.8922
Starlight Seeks its Form 800 30.58% 27.77 -4.676 64.0% -0.956 -1.1547
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1019 39.96% 25.05 -4.785 58.0% -0.688 -1.303
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 861 39.51% 28.9 2.04 65.51% 0.613 0.8465
Thunderspeaker 865 40.81% 30.83 -0.525 62.54% -0.136 -0.1535
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 117 40.17% 17.75 -7.405 39.32% -0.724 -0.5241
Towering Roots of the Jungle 218 43.12% 22.1 -0.726 54.59% 0.226 0.3928
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 683 65.89% 21.49 -4.09 50.07% -0.565 -0.5153
Vital Strength of the Earth 436 44.72% 23.33 -4.956 49.08% -0.487 -0.0169
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 149 51.01% 19.49 1.941 42.95% 0.275 0.6848
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 274 42.34% 21.32 -1.085 48.18% 0.07 0.7372
Volcano Looming High 792 53.28% 22.81 2.814 52.9% 0.76 0.7441
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 222 39.64% 23.52 0.508 55.86% 0.217 -0.0628

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 32 31.25% 15.91 8.274 37.5% 0.387 0.3571
Blitz 0 360 34.44% 18.58 -0.517 41.94% -0.047 0.1964
Dahan Insurrection 4 384 26.82% 49.8 5.898 68.75% 0.137 0.15
Despicable Theft 2 173 41.62% 19.88 -10.886 33.53% -0.431 0.3353
Elemental Invocation 1 212 49.06% 20.71 2.461 40.09% 0.345 1.0982
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 748 22.12% 32.8 4.72 66.58% 0.484 -0.1125
Powers Long Forgotten 1 249 46.18% 20.67 -8.533 38.55% -0.196 0.5517
Rituals of Terror 3 154 50.0% 31.23 -9.734 42.86% -0.157 0.3216
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 108 63.89% 26.77 -12.726 38.89% -0.69 -0.002
Second Wave 0 1031 52.24% 28.94 1.244 60.43% 0.237 0.2329
The Great River 3 116 57.76% 19.16 3.24 25.0% -0.236 0.8931
Varied Terrains 2 121 36.36% 19.33 -10.281 34.71% -0.899 -0.119
Ward the Shores 2 246 44.31% 23.51 -7.255 41.46% -1.247 -0.3778

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11859 43.09% 26.13 0.155 61.02% 0.357 0.5611
1 Thematic 1533 47.09% 26.31 -1.383 46.64% -0.089 0.52
2 Archipelago 9 44.44% 37.78 0.0 77.78%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2575 46.54% 24.81 -0.674 60.19% -0.031 0.0496
2 Coastline 328 45.87% 25.62 2.139 60.67% 0.075 -0.0201
2 Fragment 87 60.92% 25.85 -2.941 62.07% -0.388 -0.4311
2 Heart 32 56.25% 24.22 -13.517 56.25% -0.518 -0.9788
2 Opposite Shores 501 48.89% 27.23 1.263 65.47% 0.209 0.3403
2 Thematic 460 45.87% 22.67 7.266 43.91% 0.921 1.2798
2 Top to Top 68 52.94% 32.47 -7.929 82.35% -0.221 -0.3095
3 Archipelago 12 75.0% 36.08 7.544 41.67% 0.162 -0.0082
3 Coastline 17 70.59% 33.59 -1.4 52.94% -0.165 -0.3375
3 Other 26 57.69% 29.65 0.0 80.77%
3 Round (Default) 1108 38.88% 29.18 0.468 69.31% -0.188 -0.1822
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 122 49.18% 25.79 -5.967 51.64% -0.34 -0.771
4 Archipelago 10 50.0% 40.5 0.0 90.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 23.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 26.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 32 50.0% 32.81 -3.936 84.38% -0.247 -1.0897
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 109 48.62% 39.29 -4.539 70.64% -0.736 -0.9381
4 Trapezoid (Default) 405 40.35% 31.26 5.572 73.83% 0.753 0.9428
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 80.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 47 32.61% 40.15 23.986 74.47% 0.336 0.1756
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 20.75 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 19 47.37% 39.37 8.027 73.68% 0.546 0.5065
6 Star 7 14.29% 16.57 3.876 42.86% 0.061 0.5273
6 Thematic 25 52.0% 25.96 3.487 44.0% 0.217 0.4657
6 Two Centers (Default) 60 26.67% 41.28 -15.699 75.0% -0.733 0.469
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 559 23.83 2.608 49.02% 0.388 0.5371
Aid From Lesser Spirits 461 26.62 4.865 57.48% 0.506 0.3931
All Things Weaken 630 22.91 -0.775 47.14% -0.215 0.1603
Attenuated Essence 101 21.3 2.016 46.53% -0.023 0.1025
Back Against the Wall 452 24.2 1.002 48.23% 0.252 0.2926
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 135 21.26 7.007 45.93% 0.596 0.8021
Burn Brightest Before the End 102 23.88 -1.793 48.04% -0.335 -0.2898
Disintegrating Ecosystem 532 18.67 -5.021 37.97% -0.71 -0.2119
Downward Spiral 615 23.9 5.423 53.33% 1.357 1.6067
Erosion of Will 517 23.83 2.185 52.8% 0.242 0.4996
Intensifying Exploitation 149 23.4 -1.883 58.39% -0.001 0.2177
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 225 29.29 -1.012 71.56% -0.032 -0.4175
Memory Fades to Dust 672 24.0 -0.6 55.21% -0.183 0.0224
Power Corrodes the Spirit 574 23.15 3.501 50.52% 0.646 0.8442
Promising Farmlands 537 22.21 -4.594 48.6% -0.578 -0.2222
Shattered Fragments of Power 98 25.09 -6.407 52.04% -0.734 -0.516
Slow Dissolution of Will 112 20.83 0.131 42.86% -0.153 0.2767
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 147 29.1 0.0 77.55%
The Border of Life and Death 30 25.07 0.0 56.67%
Thriving Communities 621 21.62 -0.49 46.22% 0.308 0.6271
Thriving Crops 60 23.83 -13.877 55.0% -0.469 -0.5878
Unnatural Proliferation 610 24.1 -3.246 50.82% -0.686 -0.5966
Untended Land Crumbles 630 21.61 -5.386 47.94% -1.046 -0.8208

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3343 43.08% 26.63 2.053 62.07% 0.498 1.2979
B 3466 44.62% 27.42 1.71 64.05% 0.549 1.2789
C 3519 42.88% 27.49 0.851 64.48% 0.381 0.9853
D 3311 43.68% 27.21 -1.018 63.3% -0.073 0.6837
E 3149 41.85% 27.21 1.119 63.58% 0.216 0.8008
F 3081 44.08% 26.93 1.303 63.68% 0.178 0.881
G 2635 43.31% 27.14 -2.662 63.57% -0.673 0.084
H 2709 44.47% 27.15 -0.971 63.71% -0.088 0.543
East 1334 47.56% 27.14 0.021 48.5% -0.305 0.4789
Northeast 537 50.19% 30.2 -0.781 54.93% -0.08 0.6818
Northwest 521 43.65% 27.08 -2.109 48.94% -0.149 0.6928
Southeast 507 47.34% 25.16 -1.992 47.73% -0.475 0.1645
Southwest 511 48.14% 20.74 -1.517 41.68% -0.277 0.7684
West 1327 45.7% 25.39 2.569 46.87% 0.379 1.1551

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 29 0.0% 30.83 0.0 58.62%
Not Using Events or Tokens 60 36.67% 14.3 2.485 23.33% 0.005 0.3822
Skip Initial Invader Actions 331 15.94% 41.03 8.514 83.38% 0.505 0.2136
Start of Game Growth 478 17.6% 39.33 0.43 80.33% -0.228 -0.7843
Unlimited Undo 1478 36.01% 27.38 -1.683 63.13% -0.728 -0.6646
Using Tokens but Not Events 1588 35.98% 29.73 2.624 66.94% 0.656 0.5289

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5089 12.44 6.25%
II 6133 29.94 66.53%
III 6354 34.9 86.1%
IV 1904 38.84 99.68%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.357 Win Model: 0.152
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13660 43.44% 25.91 58.6%
2 3884 47.96% 25.92 61.92%
3 1249 40.42% 29.5 68.37%
4 535 42.32% 33.19 75.33%
5 54 28.3% 44.72 72.22%
6 98 38.78% 28.35 62.24%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 317
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5329
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3795
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1880
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3555
Lose: Invader deck ran out 108
Lose: Adversary condition 1582
Win: Sacrifice victory 80
Lose: Scenario condition 101
Win: Scenario condition 366
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2214
Lose: Spirit destroyed 153

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 938 34.51% 34.97 -8.659 72.49% -1.288 -1.3845
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 98 28.57% 27.03 -11.379 56.12% -0.228 -0.553
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 26 34.62% 30.88 0.149 73.08% 0.058 -0.2035
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 127 28.35% 33.02 2.625 70.08% 0.547 -0.174
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 690 53.48% 32.83 -8.792 69.57% -0.873 -0.5739
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 164 29.88% 38.3 1.713 79.27% -0.11 -0.6994
Dances Up Earthquakes 87 41.38% 28.51 -9.215 62.07% -0.991 -0.8088
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 916 39.39% 34.96 5.141 74.67% 0.394 0.2156
Downpour Drenches the World 469 34.33% 29.96 -1.19 63.54% 0.323 0.6823
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 526 31.37% 32.27 8.345 68.44% 0.98 0.5406
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1370 29.51% 38.16 -0.103 80.44% -0.074 -0.4232
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 713 34.64% 35.06 -2.621 74.05% -0.447 -0.8475
Finder of Paths Unseen 216 47.22% 21.73 -8.237 42.13% -1.123 -0.049
Fractured Days Split the Sky 533 44.84% 31.62 -10.107 58.54% -0.864 -0.4082
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 793 47.67% 29.82 0.889 61.29% 0.058 -0.0333
Heart of the Wildfire 934 64.03% 30.98 3.627 63.6% 0.867 1.2984
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2021 37.65% 36.14 0.144 77.09% 0.135 -0.3078
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 151 25.83% 32.68 0.957 68.87% 0.29 -0.2188
Lightning's Swift Strike 421 53.35% 32.84 -12.226 68.17% -0.414 -0.2514
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 139 49.64% 34.79 4.905 71.22% 0.284 -0.3942
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 295 47.96% 33.37 7.465 68.81% 1.014 0.6545
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 231 44.59% 33.93 0.946 65.37% 0.191 0.0446
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2501 37.8% 38.15 3.765 81.97% 1.055 0.878
Many Minds Move as One 1839 28.28% 37.73 -0.88 83.03% 0.175 0.0403
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1196 45.55% 35.11 -0.212 69.31% -0.148 -0.2253
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 179 56.98% 24.25 3.697 51.4% 0.811 1.0025
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 856 41.47% 34.84 2.608 75.35% 0.54 0.481
River Surges in Sunlight 819 42.7% 39.4 0.451 77.9% 0.305 0.3491
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 74 43.24% 29.07 6.956 55.41% 0.51 0.7401
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 369 52.85% 32.41 -5.087 63.96% -0.782 -0.7329
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 246 35.8% 37.76 5.786 68.7% 0.459 0.6259
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 869 44.3% 33.53 -6.863 71.35% -1.039 -1.2329
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 41 34.15% 21.8 -15.855 46.34% -0.536 -0.5505
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 314 59.24% 30.87 -13.418 62.42% -0.39 0.2346
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 68 55.88% 25.97 0.0 48.53%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 165 48.48% 35.22 -2.884 69.09% -0.475 -0.9101
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 79 45.57% 31.24 0.0 65.82%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 239 49.79% 34.17 1.502 71.13% 0.134 0.0473
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 182 59.89% 32.62 9.141 69.23% 0.284 0.6929
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1437 34.56% 36.65 -2.319 79.05% -0.338 -0.2804
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 17 47.06% 34.82 4.756 76.47% 1.072 0.5679
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 384 32.55% 30.55 2.486 63.02% 0.352 0.3145
Shifting Memory of Ages 545 51.01% 28.7 -10.553 59.27% -1.296 -0.9341
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 80 36.25% 30.5 -15.773 63.75% -0.935 -0.952
Shroud of Silent Mist 643 54.43% 27.77 -3.219 58.16% -0.521 0.0025
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 10 50.0% 40.4 6.994 80.0% 0.859 0.5182
Starlight Seeks its Form 758 36.94% 33.07 -1.362 68.73% -0.028 -0.2272
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1199 35.48% 31.63 -1.08 68.39% -0.256 -0.8711
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1065 34.05% 35.73 -1.366 74.93% -0.224 0.0091
Thunderspeaker 757 42.31% 37.25 3.611 73.32% 0.64 0.6224
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 126 36.51% 20.0 -0.712 40.48% -0.108 0.0924
Towering Roots of the Jungle 333 41.14% 32.4 0.161 70.27% 0.02 0.1862
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 779 65.6% 30.38 -0.447 65.47% -0.081 -0.0306
Vital Strength of the Earth 450 42.44% 31.26 6.157 65.11% 0.569 1.0391
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 132 35.61% 29.52 -11.777 60.61% -0.591 -0.1821
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 281 47.33% 27.36 4.393 58.01% 0.568 1.235
Volcano Looming High 887 51.35% 29.55 -0.236 62.91% 0.558 0.5418
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 288 34.03% 28.0 0.603 57.64% 0.352 0.0716

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 30 10.0% 14.63 0.0 33.33%
Blitz 0 396 37.12% 28.21 -6.382 52.02% -0.475 -0.232
Dahan Insurrection 4 311 24.76% 57.72 11.546 75.88% 0.116 0.1297
Despicable Theft 2 110 50.91% 29.42 11.123 44.55% 0.733 1.4993
Elemental Invocation 1 229 44.98% 24.61 11.598 46.72% 0.682 1.4348
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 901 23.97% 39.39 5.634 74.58% 0.478 -0.1177
Powers Long Forgotten 1 205 46.83% 25.54 -5.014 44.39% -0.623 0.125
Rituals of Terror 3 120 49.17% 28.48 0.493 39.17% 0.211 0.69
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 102 57.84% 25.36 -1.25 33.33% -0.177 0.5111
Second Wave 0 600 49.75% 34.85 1.2 67.67% -0.12 -0.1247
The Great River 3 117 44.44% 25.5 2.164 35.04% -0.17 0.9591
Varied Terrains 2 71 54.93% 25.58 -12.851 42.25% -0.386 0.3935
Ward the Shores 2 160 46.88% 31.95 -11.038 51.25% -0.366 0.5037

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 13060 43.88% 32.46 0.406 68.76% 0.015 0.2192
1 Thematic 1292 44.58% 29.47 -2.465 50.93% -0.466 0.1427
2 Archipelago 25 40.0% 35.36 0.0 56.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3062 43.5% 32.81 -2.128 72.57% -0.623 -0.5424
2 Coastline 332 42.3% 35.5 4.253 78.31% 0.755 0.6601
2 Fragment 66 50.0% 34.89 7.055 75.76% 0.447 0.4036
2 Heart 46 50.0% 33.35 0.0 67.39%
2 Opposite Shores 520 39.69% 33.8 7.314 73.27% 1.085 1.2172
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 705 37.87% 34.82 0.097 67.94% 0.095 0.4532
2 Top to Top 73 34.25% 37.85 0.0 82.19%
3 Archipelago 11 81.82% 33.82 -0.789 36.36% -0.258 -0.4283
3 Coastline 20 75.0% 47.05 8.596 95.0% 0.107 -0.0658
3 Other 38 50.0% 33.24 0.0 71.05%
3 Round (Default) 1273 38.76% 34.52 -1.117 74.31% -0.564 -0.5587
3 Sunrise 6 0.0% 34.5 0.0 83.33%
3 Thematic 113 36.28% 35.35 0.0 66.37%
4 Archipelago 13 53.85% 36.15 0.0 38.46%
4 Coastline 8 62.5% 55.25 0.0 62.5%
4 Leaf 3 33.33% 42.0 -0.31 100.0% 0.067 -0.955
4 Other 20 60.0% 34.0 0.545 75.0% 0.021 -0.8226
4 Thematic 187 22.46% 52.68 -8.004 85.03% -0.551 -0.7536
4 Trapezoid (Default) 510 30.26% 37.68 5.429 82.35% 0.059 0.2491
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 59 49.12% 35.49 0.7 69.49% -0.373 -0.5331
5 Thematic 4 25.0% 44.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Archipelago 5 0.0% 40.8 0.0 80.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 58.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 8 25.0% 35.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 8 37.5% 40.38 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 34 41.18% 39.21 13.804 64.71% 0.194 0.4422
6 Two Centers (Default) 58 31.03% 29.98 0.0 60.34%
7 Other 2 0.0% 48.0 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 629 29.93 1.305 60.73% 0.347 0.4953
Aid From Lesser Spirits 464 31.63 4.776 62.72% 0.744 0.6312
All Things Weaken 683 29.13 -8.236 57.25% -0.476 -0.1009
Attenuated Essence 131 27.4 -2.253 55.73% -0.23 -0.1046
Back Against the Wall 532 31.13 1.567 62.03% 0.216 0.2567
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 132 25.72 -2.331 50.76% -0.247 -0.0412
Burn Brightest Before the End 102 32.26 -6.597 61.76% -0.591 -0.5462
Disintegrating Ecosystem 562 26.42 0.208 51.25% 0.026 0.5238
Downward Spiral 642 30.61 -0.45 64.8% 0.04 0.2904
Erosion of Will 578 29.15 0.836 57.61% -0.075 0.1825
Intensifying Exploitation 145 26.52 0.403 55.86% -0.066 0.1534
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 270 35.25 -10.397 79.26% -0.969 -1.3546
Memory Fades to Dust 616 29.8 -0.172 62.18% 0.173 0.3782
Power Corrodes the Spirit 595 28.87 -4.21 59.16% -0.474 -0.2763
Promising Farmlands 581 28.92 -2.927 60.41% -0.636 -0.28
Shattered Fragments of Power 110 26.43 1.299 48.18% 0.283 0.5003
Slow Dissolution of Will 132 28.83 3.86 56.06% 0.75 1.1796
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 195 35.87 -8.225 82.56% -0.437 -1.0612
The Border of Life and Death 41 31.76 -10.093 70.73% -0.172 -0.4917
Thriving Communities 681 29.21 1.371 61.23% 0.131 0.4501
Thriving Crops 80 33.98 1.681 72.5% 0.266 0.1477
Unnatural Proliferation 665 30.27 -5.598 60.0% -0.885 -0.7955
Untended Land Crumbles 648 29.08 -1.329 60.8% -0.216 0.0087

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3731 42.94% 32.84 -1.084 70.46% -0.243 0.5559
B 3837 43.36% 33.53 -2.014 72.48% -0.606 0.1247
C 3932 40.04% 33.84 -0.928 72.38% -0.194 0.4102
D 3668 42.23% 32.86 2.382 69.55% 0.539 1.2961
E 3663 41.43% 34.1 1.554 72.4% 0.183 0.7671
F 3496 42.21% 33.53 -0.46 72.45% -0.14 0.563
G 2964 43.11% 32.87 0.601 70.31% 0.015 0.7724
H 3129 39.83% 34.08 2.423 73.15% 0.368 0.999
East 1539 37.56% 36.56 -1.557 65.5% -0.54 0.2437
Northeast 808 37.5% 38.73 -2.787 69.93% -0.448 0.3139
Northwest 685 36.35% 37.15 -1.794 65.84% -0.453 0.3893
Southeast 486 33.74% 35.23 10.276 64.2% 0.796 1.435
Southwest 492 39.84% 29.47 -5.01 56.1% -0.287 0.7585
West 1441 40.25% 33.28 -1.515 59.61% -0.388 0.3882

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 16 0.0% 51.5 0.0 87.5%
Not Using Events or Tokens 20 30.0% 12.45 -13.378 25.0% -0.355 0.022
Skip Initial Invader Actions 302 10.81% 47.37 -1.68 81.46% 0.049 -0.2427
Start of Game Growth 469 15.58% 44.83 -0.919 80.6% -0.118 -0.6751
Unlimited Undo 1674 32.47% 31.59 -6.411 64.81% -1.316 -1.2522
Using Tokens but Not Events 1427 39.9% 30.9 -2.463 66.57% 0.065 -0.0625

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3932 12.44 0.23%
II 4765 29.94 63.04%
III 8714 34.9 89.28%
IV 4166 38.84 99.69%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.457 Win Model: 0.241
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 14560 43.89% 32.04 66.73%
2 4709 42.6% 34.04 73.69%
3 1415 38.83% 34.97 74.42%
4 732 29.73% 41.41 82.38%
5 51 50.0% 34.49 64.71%
6 110 29.36% 34.96 64.55%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 9
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7590
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2805
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4128
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2995
Lose: Invader deck ran out 44
Lose: Adversary condition 1437
Win: Sacrifice victory 97
Lose: Scenario condition 127
Win: Scenario condition 317
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1878
Lose: Spirit destroyed 150

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 968 51.35% 32.58 2.328 52.69% 0.08 -0.0163
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 142 49.3% 35.83 3.571 55.63% 0.374 0.0489
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 16 62.5% 26.06 -6.422 43.75% -0.729 -0.9908
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 193 33.68% 41.4 5.346 71.5% 0.923 0.2021
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 637 72.24% 32.84 1.41 50.24% 0.416 0.7145
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 212 52.83% 40.55 1.788 66.51% 0.327 -0.2628
Dances Up Earthquakes 105 56.19% 30.55 -3.656 49.52% -0.289 -0.1074
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 901 58.44% 35.2 -2.186 56.16% -0.179 -0.3576
Downpour Drenches the World 522 50.48% 27.73 -5.835 44.44% -1.02 -0.6612
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 690 53.19% 32.48 0.665 53.33% -0.075 -0.5145
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1255 50.2% 39.64 -0.117 64.94% 0.004 -0.3455
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 539 60.59% 33.18 -6.175 50.65% -0.608 -1.0089
Finder of Paths Unseen 195 56.41% 20.34 -7.6 27.69% -0.701 0.3737
Fractured Days Split the Sky 525 61.14% 31.03 -13.019 42.67% -0.63 -0.1744
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 739 62.65% 30.78 -0.45 47.23% -0.06 -0.1514
Heart of the Wildfire 986 76.85% 28.82 6.952 42.6% 0.804 1.2356
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2865 54.63% 37.6 2.731 60.07% 0.724 0.2813
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 282 51.06% 30.8 -4.597 50.71% -0.447 -0.9556
Lightning's Swift Strike 397 72.49% 33.04 2.04 47.36% 0.408 0.571
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 239 65.13% 35.28 3.819 58.16% 0.162 -0.5168
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 291 65.98% 38.21 -2.046 63.92% 0.139 -0.2204
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 248 58.87% 34.52 4.268 51.61% 0.37 0.2233
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3938 49.12% 41.68 1.982 72.17% 0.389 0.2116
Many Minds Move as One 1876 50.11% 40.89 -1.939 70.42% -0.067 -0.2019
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1191 63.07% 32.58 -1.207 48.61% 0.056 -0.0214
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 219 63.01% 23.34 0.44 33.79% 0.322 0.5135
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 802 63.92% 35.33 -2.647 56.36% 0.203 0.1441
River Surges in Sunlight 828 71.24% 34.9 2.387 48.91% 0.127 0.1711
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 114 50.0% 33.62 0.58 50.88% 0.432 0.662
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 326 73.01% 26.71 -12.444 33.74% -1.014 -0.9646
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 309 51.78% 28.47 -4.449 41.75% -0.665 -0.4983
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 850 62.94% 34.68 7.397 54.47% 0.887 0.6933
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 74 41.89% 29.92 9.693 45.95% 0.898 0.8835
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 270 81.11% 30.1 -11.879 40.74% -1.063 -0.4391
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 73 54.79% 35.23 18.414 57.53% 0.849 0.8642
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 312 53.85% 33.9 3.703 53.53% 0.242 -0.1932
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 95 66.32% 34.21 5.601 55.79% 0.44 0.4629
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 229 71.18% 35.63 0.797 55.9% 0.004 -0.0835
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 219 78.54% 32.62 -3.015 48.4% -0.419 -0.0099
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1664 48.22% 40.36 -5.575 68.27% -0.841 -0.7834
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 30 56.67% 37.4 0.527 63.33% 0.154 -0.3494
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 390 50.51% 32.97 5.228 54.87% 0.662 0.625
Shifting Memory of Ages 532 64.47% 29.15 0.656 44.92% 0.286 0.6479
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 148 55.41% 29.08 0.54 45.95% -0.09 -0.1073
Shroud of Silent Mist 638 67.83% 30.29 -15.095 47.34% -0.36 0.1641
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 12 41.67% 24.58 -2.295 41.67% 0.174 -0.1668
Starlight Seeks its Form 1184 54.65% 31.84 -3.676 51.77% -0.345 -0.5435
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1565 51.76% 31.72 -5.005 50.1% -0.481 -1.0964
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1190 56.05% 36.56 0.718 60.92% 0.128 0.361
Thunderspeaker 785 62.79% 32.43 3.678 46.75% 0.417 0.3995
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 104 52.88% 21.12 -16.047 30.77% -0.634 -0.4338
Towering Roots of the Jungle 335 54.03% 29.58 -1.022 49.85% 0.223 0.3897
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 860 82.56% 30.21 -4.948 45.35% -0.935 -0.8853
Vital Strength of the Earth 380 64.38% 27.25 -11.873 37.89% -1.433 -0.9632
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 171 66.08% 25.05 11.327 33.92% 0.689 1.0982
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 304 62.17% 27.13 -4.256 40.46% -0.077 0.5897
Volcano Looming High 1021 66.67% 32.27 2.576 52.4% 0.568 0.552
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 343 57.43% 28.62 4.322 45.48% 0.501 0.2211

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 11 9.09% 24.18 0.0 45.45%
Blitz 0 252 46.03% 33.52 1.932 36.11% 0.349 0.5919
Dahan Insurrection 4 172 42.44% 50.62 20.687 54.07% 0.278 0.2919
Despicable Theft 2 60 43.33% 28.92 -6.066 35.0% -0.639 0.1272
Elemental Invocation 1 156 60.9% 26.53 0.57 34.62% -0.251 0.5019
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1058 34.59% 45.01 2.299 70.79% 0.12 -0.4764
Powers Long Forgotten 1 127 43.31% 25.23 13.148 31.5% 0.394 1.142
Rituals of Terror 3 62 64.52% 28.44 0.0 22.58%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 48 43.75% 18.33 0.0 16.67%
Second Wave 0 423 68.25% 35.27 10.957 48.7% 0.884 0.8794
The Great River 3 74 51.35% 29.15 -16.93 33.78% -1.022 0.1077
Varied Terrains 2 40 35.0% 15.45 0.0 22.5%
Ward the Shores 2 96 58.33% 29.76 -13.738 35.42% -0.38 0.4894

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 16407 56.8% 33.88 0.271 53.86% 0.251 0.4547
1 Thematic 885 59.32% 31.18 -1.559 38.76% -0.037 0.5716
2 Archipelago 16 75.0% 37.13 0.0 43.75%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3615 61.12% 33.78 -1.91 56.04% -0.176 -0.0956
2 Coastline 393 56.74% 36.47 0.554 58.78% -0.014 -0.1092
2 Fragment 105 66.67% 34.48 -2.758 52.38% -0.298 -0.3406
2 Heart 60 50.0% 43.87 -8.859 71.67% -0.481 -0.9421
2 Opposite Shores 681 62.5% 33.42 -0.645 53.16% 0.223 0.3549
2 Thematic 268 61.94% 32.13 -14.696 42.16% -0.364 -0.0054
2 Top to Top 109 59.63% 40.27 0.0 68.81%
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 48.83 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 10 60.0% 41.6 0.0 60.0%
3 Other 82 50.0% 24.07 0.069 39.02% -0.058 -0.4428
3 Round (Default) 1573 59.8% 36.9 2.835 60.27% 0.386 0.3911
3 Sunrise 50 16.0% 10.16 0.0 16.0%
3 Thematic 66 60.61% 38.67 8.948 56.06% 0.244 -0.187
4 Archipelago 3 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 4 25.0% 44.25 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 5 40.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 26 61.54% 45.38 0.0 80.77%
4 Thematic 72 66.67% 42.32 16.361 54.17% 0.167 -0.0356
4 Trapezoid (Default) 457 60.44% 40.43 5.065 68.49% 0.346 0.536
5 Other 61 49.06% 35.34 0.0 50.82%
5 Thematic 7 42.86% 10.29 0.0 14.29%
6 Archipelago 2 100.0% 55.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 26 4.17% 47.15 0.0 76.92%
6 Star 13 30.77% 26.46 0.0 38.46%
6 Thematic 24 58.33% 34.13 -0.697 45.83% 0.071 0.3194
6 Two Centers (Default) 57 47.37% 31.88 -9.088 50.88% -0.276 0.9255
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 925 31.82 -2.481 46.49% -0.276 -0.127
Aid From Lesser Spirits 827 33.49 1.117 46.31% -0.282 -0.3945
All Things Weaken 986 29.49 -3.872 41.48% -0.958 -0.5831
Attenuated Essence 279 29.51 -1.565 43.01% -0.102 0.0238
Back Against the Wall 728 31.56 5.102 43.27% 0.641 0.6821
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 220 29.44 -3.138 40.91% -0.499 -0.2931
Burn Brightest Before the End 194 31.4 -3.094 45.36% -0.246 -0.2017
Disintegrating Ecosystem 960 26.47 -1.031 35.1% -0.093 0.405
Downward Spiral 1040 30.14 -2.704 45.77% -0.327 -0.0773
Erosion of Will 940 30.2 2.0 42.23% 0.379 0.6362
Intensifying Exploitation 254 28.77 -0.894 45.67% -0.048 0.1707
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 315 37.83 -4.668 67.3% -0.152 -0.5379
Memory Fades to Dust 963 30.48 1.676 45.38% -0.121 0.0841
Power Corrodes the Spirit 987 29.3 -2.211 42.86% -0.508 -0.3099
Promising Farmlands 919 28.3 -3.158 39.5% -0.585 -0.2287
Shattered Fragments of Power 182 29.2 1.264 37.36% 0.211 0.4285
Slow Dissolution of Will 247 26.23 -1.819 35.63% -0.219 0.2102
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 219 40.42 -2.908 73.06% -0.155 -0.7791
The Border of Life and Death 65 27.82 -13.374 46.15% -0.357 -0.6774
Thriving Communities 1089 31.14 -5.713 48.58% -1.168 -0.8484
Thriving Crops 89 30.51 9.344 49.44% 0.779 0.6606
Unnatural Proliferation 1055 30.46 -2.168 41.61% -0.574 -0.4849
Untended Land Crumbles 1013 29.64 0.883 43.04% -0.055 0.1703

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4583 59.29% 34.0 -1.438 54.88% -0.412 0.3878
B 4709 58.34% 34.93 2.786 56.98% 0.37 1.1003
C 5029 55.83% 35.02 -1.375 56.77% -0.316 0.2879
D 4418 57.63% 33.83 1.447 54.44% 0.145 0.9022
E 4672 56.19% 34.99 -0.665 56.74% -0.117 0.4671
F 4050 59.96% 34.69 1.954 56.07% 0.35 1.0525
G 3394 58.46% 34.4 -1.766 55.57% -0.312 0.4456
H 3656 58.52% 35.73 0.048 57.44% -0.237 0.3944
East 834 59.35% 33.15 -4.772 41.25% -0.406 0.3773
Northeast 341 61.0% 33.3 -4.007 40.47% -0.332 0.4299
Northwest 302 56.95% 33.23 1.858 44.04% 0.118 0.9598
Southeast 323 59.13% 33.18 4.99 43.34% 0.277 0.916
Southwest 274 59.85% 32.18 7.888 45.99% 0.788 1.8332
West 739 60.49% 32.46 7.352 42.9% 0.615 1.3907

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 31 0.0% 58.68 0.0 77.42%
Not Using Events or Tokens 5 100.0% 20.8 0.0 20.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 385 16.35% 59.23 6.113 85.19% 0.385 0.0941
Start of Game Growth 541 23.52% 54.36 6.567 81.89% 0.849 0.292
Unlimited Undo 1978 47.9% 38.51 -5.638 61.83% -0.718 -0.6546
Using Tokens but Not Events 1193 54.73% 30.66 1.677 48.78% 0.324 0.1972

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5712 12.44 0.25%
II 8562 29.94 44.9%
III 6949 34.9 84.95%
IV 3874 38.84 99.59%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.201 Win Model: 0.215
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 17425 56.8% 33.67 52.93%
2 5157 61.63% 34.5 56.21%
3 1782 57.89% 35.66 57.86%
4 546 59.74% 40.67 67.4%
5 63 49.09% 34.06 49.21%
6 124 39.34% 34.81 54.03%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 13
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5807
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3742
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3832
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3882
Lose: Invader deck ran out 6
Lose: Adversary condition 2763
Win: Sacrifice victory 98
Lose: Scenario condition 131
Win: Scenario condition 127
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4465
Lose: Spirit destroyed 231

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 614 58.46% 38.54 17.622 56.68% 0.63 0.5341
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 81 54.32% 38.32 -1.61 56.79% -0.08 -0.4059
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 22 50.0% 34.41 5.3 54.55% 0.545 0.2836
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 137 32.12% 46.69 6.635 76.64% 1.338 0.6172
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 398 70.96% 34.59 -9.122 47.49% -0.806 -0.5072
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 150 52.0% 39.67 0.595 60.0% 0.177 -0.4126
Dances Up Earthquakes 106 62.26% 33.98 -11.997 44.34% -0.735 -0.5536
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 575 63.07% 39.44 15.869 58.61% 0.784 0.6052
Downpour Drenches the World 388 55.56% 28.9 -3.317 40.46% -0.065 0.2946
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 636 44.5% 36.11 1.913 55.97% 0.1 -0.3393
Eyes Watch From the Trees 898 52.06% 42.56 -2.173 63.59% 0.122 -0.2277
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 382 56.28% 39.37 0.483 54.45% 0.336 -0.0645
Finder of Paths Unseen 171 46.78% 22.56 -10.154 30.41% -0.882 0.1925
Fractured Days Split the Sky 431 58.14% 36.67 10.336 46.87% 0.72 1.1752
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 494 58.7% 38.38 0.3 55.87% 0.2 0.1088
Heart of the Wildfire 659 71.43% 33.5 -0.164 48.41% 0.086 0.5173
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2350 48.0% 44.11 0.428 70.09% 0.242 -0.2002
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 189 49.21% 34.89 5.588 50.79% 0.575 0.066
Lightning's Swift Strike 240 68.38% 37.86 -0.965 51.25% 0.319 0.4825
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 293 58.22% 47.9 1.366 64.16% -0.16 -0.8391
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 231 58.7% 40.71 -7.693 59.31% -0.216 -0.5748
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 193 49.22% 36.42 0.0 52.85%
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3398 45.41% 47.56 1.395 75.13% 0.321 0.1438
Many Minds Move as One 1383 48.3% 45.51 -0.075 71.51% 0.158 0.0229
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 813 64.35% 36.01 -4.421 49.82% -0.599 -0.6755
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 188 66.49% 24.42 0.558 32.45% 0.317 0.5083
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 625 67.42% 36.15 -4.113 52.0% -0.028 -0.0866
River Surges in Sunlight 626 66.99% 37.9 -15.704 51.12% -0.312 -0.2679
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 74 44.59% 33.42 7.221 47.3% 0.413 0.6433
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 225 64.44% 34.08 -4.556 41.33% -0.212 -0.1625
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 216 57.87% 36.32 3.807 47.22% 0.303 0.4694
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 682 61.29% 37.04 1.093 52.35% 0.018 -0.1755
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 48 50.0% 34.63 0.0 52.08%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 154 75.16% 34.91 -13.711 44.81% -0.579 0.0453
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 46 65.22% 38.15 -15.214 54.35% -0.77 -0.7544
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 233 52.36% 40.96 -3.504 62.66% -0.055 -0.4903
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 58 53.45% 30.72 -1.444 37.93% -0.022 0.0009
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 181 71.27% 35.52 -17.499 47.51% -0.341 -0.4278
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 143 72.73% 37.52 14.728 51.05% 0.612 1.0206
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1689 41.44% 49.37 -5.02 76.97% -0.186 -0.1287
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 34 55.88% 39.09 -0.039 64.71% 0.188 -0.3161
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 305 45.9% 36.12 2.239 52.79% 0.093 0.0558
Shifting Memory of Ages 373 65.68% 35.88 -0.042 51.74% 0.145 0.5076
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 78 48.72% 29.6 -2.921 43.59% -0.097 -0.1142
Shroud of Silent Mist 415 69.78% 32.74 -8.247 44.1% -0.534 -0.0099
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 17 47.06% 31.47 -7.014 52.94% -0.55 -0.8901
Starlight Seeks its Form 930 55.7% 35.77 -6.263 53.87% -0.335 -0.5341
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1102 52.91% 38.63 0.975 56.35% 0.213 -0.4021
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1009 57.98% 40.8 -1.273 62.44% 0.076 0.3095
Thunderspeaker 489 64.55% 37.47 4.298 51.53% 0.471 0.4535
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 87 54.02% 24.01 0.0 29.89%
Towering Roots of the Jungle 289 52.6% 39.12 -2.114 59.86% 0.107 0.2732
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 817 81.27% 35.87 -5.435 52.51% -0.394 -0.344
Vital Strength of the Earth 247 72.24% 29.15 -11.094 34.01% -0.651 -0.1805
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 124 59.35% 27.86 -9.854 38.71% -0.522 -0.1122
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 181 72.38% 32.12 -2.459 44.2% -0.008 0.6589
Volcano Looming High 855 65.93% 35.16 0.503 50.53% 0.179 0.1629
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 263 56.65% 30.83 -5.068 45.25% -0.329 -0.6091

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 16 43.75% 21.88 0.0 31.25%
Blitz 0 117 57.26% 19.82 -10.861 18.8% -0.596 -0.3526
Dahan Insurrection 4 85 37.65% 62.92 0.0 61.18%
Despicable Theft 2 53 49.06% 24.3 0.0 26.42%
Elemental Invocation 1 98 42.86% 34.16 6.269 50.0% 0.134 0.8868
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 879 27.08% 50.97 6.465 71.44% 0.584 -0.0126
Powers Long Forgotten 1 46 52.17% 22.07 0.0 19.57%
Rituals of Terror 3 78 51.28% 25.35 0.0 24.36%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 42 61.9% 27.05 -9.268 21.43% -0.517 0.1704
Second Wave 0 239 59.07% 45.14 -9.638 59.0% -0.445 -0.4496
The Great River 3 52 51.92% 18.15 -0.26 11.54% -0.35 0.7792
Varied Terrains 2 42 50.0% 19.0 0.0 21.43%
Ward the Shores 2 47 53.19% 19.13 -15.917 17.02% -0.334 0.5348

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12903 55.28% 38.71 0.988 57.27% 0.494 0.6983
1 Thematic 533 53.86% 30.93 -2.238 36.96% -0.01 0.5989
2 Archipelago 6 50.0% 68.0 0.0 100.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2625 61.18% 39.15 -0.816 59.01% -0.132 -0.0521
2 Coastline 301 62.13% 39.84 -3.441 60.47% -0.503 -0.5982
2 Fragment 37 72.97% 39.97 0.0 59.46%
2 Heart 38 78.95% 42.34 0.0 55.26%
2 Opposite Shores 590 48.47% 43.86 4.651 70.34% 0.54 0.6712
2 Thematic 143 65.03% 37.1 -5.811 46.15% -0.631 -0.2724
2 Top to Top 142 42.25% 43.37 7.988 70.42% 0.393 0.3041
3 Archipelago 8 75.0% 44.75 0.0 62.5%
3 Coastline 14 42.86% 56.0 0.0 85.71%
3 Other 19 47.37% 44.95 5.831 73.68% 0.407 0.022
3 Round (Default) 1233 58.33% 39.64 -5.198 61.23% -0.983 -0.9772
3 Sunrise 6 66.67% 31.67 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 55 61.82% 28.22 0.0 34.55%
4 Coastline 10 30.0% 47.4 0.0 70.0%
4 Leaf 6 100.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 12 75.0% 52.67 0.0 91.67%
4 Thematic 87 48.28% 52.94 12.602 73.56% 0.264 0.0616
4 Trapezoid (Default) 341 58.66% 45.15 1.715 69.21% -0.37 -0.1807
5 Other 48 65.22% 35.54 13.871 50.0% 0.502 0.341
5 Thematic 14 14.29% 25.79 0.0 21.43%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 10 70.0% 48.2 0.0 60.0%
6 Star 8 62.5% 40.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 55 5.45% 63.11 2.388 72.73% 0.015 0.263
6 Two Centers (Default) 52 28.85% 40.38 0.0 59.62%
7 Other 3 33.33% 10.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 739 34.42 -0.19 44.25% -0.015 0.1336
Aid From Lesser Spirits 562 36.65 5.4 48.22% 0.812 0.6991
All Things Weaken 784 33.84 -5.132 44.39% -0.658 -0.2831
Attenuated Essence 185 28.52 5.758 36.22% 0.601 0.7265
Back Against the Wall 549 35.56 -2.233 46.45% -0.079 -0.0376
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 196 29.35 -3.67 36.73% -0.81 -0.6037
Burn Brightest Before the End 137 34.91 1.258 43.07% -0.116 -0.0709
Disintegrating Ecosystem 698 29.56 0.703 36.53% -0.172 0.3261
Downward Spiral 736 33.24 -2.743 47.15% -0.056 0.1939
Erosion of Will 704 34.8 -6.142 46.16% -0.951 -0.6937
Intensifying Exploitation 203 31.19 -2.161 44.33% -0.072 0.1475
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 230 47.29 4.885 78.7% 0.266 -0.12
Memory Fades to Dust 798 34.19 -3.696 46.87% -0.335 -0.1295
Power Corrodes the Spirit 775 33.84 -8.953 46.84% -0.821 -0.6232
Promising Farmlands 674 31.8 -5.25 43.03% -0.806 -0.4499
Shattered Fragments of Power 121 34.1 0.02 44.63% -0.201 0.0168
Slow Dissolution of Will 180 30.2 2.976 41.11% 0.768 1.198
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 140 44.69 0.293 74.29% -0.095 -0.7191
The Border of Life and Death 31 28.68 0.0 45.16%
Thriving Communities 759 35.13 0.798 50.33% 0.232 0.5511
Thriving Crops 72 32.46 -1.261 54.17% 0.001 -0.1179
Unnatural Proliferation 796 35.45 -8.857 46.86% -1.397 -1.3074
Untended Land Crumbles 733 33.2 -0.372 44.2% 0.065 0.2902

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3289 57.78% 39.0 0.926 58.35% 0.114 0.9136
B 3781 55.47% 40.73 1.096 62.29% 0.251 0.9809
C 3865 55.94% 39.74 1.646 59.43% 0.274 0.8782
D 3288 56.12% 38.69 0.047 58.0% 0.104 0.8608
E 3666 54.4% 41.19 -0.054 62.71% 0.094 0.6782
F 3102 59.38% 38.44 -0.943 57.22% -0.156 0.5467
G 2675 59.14% 38.91 -2.2 58.13% -0.339 0.4182
H 2789 56.39% 39.86 -1.166 59.73% 0.045 0.6766
East 555 50.63% 39.93 3.42 48.11% 0.193 0.977
Northeast 295 48.81% 42.19 -10.392 50.17% -0.703 0.0583
Northwest 282 47.14% 41.26 1.406 49.65% 0.099 0.9413
Southeast 240 41.67% 45.08 2.319 57.08% 0.134 0.7731
Southwest 243 40.33% 38.69 2.319 48.97% 0.134 1.179
West 563 48.84% 35.99 2.388 44.58% 0.015 0.7903

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 28 0.0% 59.36 0.0 71.43%
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 33.33% 19.0 0.0 0.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 244 20.0% 55.73 -2.3 79.92% -0.331 -0.6222
Start of Game Growth 597 25.95% 54.25 1.297 79.56% -0.082 -0.6392
Unlimited Undo 1793 52.82% 42.46 2.286 65.09% 0.514 0.578
Using Tokens but Not Events 772 52.42% 41.04 -4.169 61.66% -0.308 -0.4355

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3552 12.44 0.42%
II 6883 29.94 48.71%
III 6497 34.9 83.85%
IV 2377 38.84 99.79%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.139 Win Model: 0.321
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13494 55.24% 38.37 56.42%
2 3853 59.04% 40.18 61.02%
3 1324 58.32% 39.51 60.8%
4 457 55.63% 46.59 69.15%
5 51 58.0% 30.0 41.18%
6 130 24.62% 49.68 63.08%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 15
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5384
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3289
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2356
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2731
Lose: Invader deck ran out 8
Lose: Adversary condition 1627
Win: Sacrifice victory 84
Lose: Scenario condition 92
Win: Scenario condition 60
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3459
Lose: Spirit destroyed 204

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 413 73.06% 34.33 -7.176 31.72% -0.825 -0.9213
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 70 52.86% 29.63 2.085 27.14% 0.107 -0.2182
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 10 70.0% 30.6 2.865 30.0% 0.371 0.1094
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 95 52.63% 36.43 3.469 41.05% 0.51 -0.2106
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 209 78.47% 27.35 -2.379 15.31% -0.28 0.0191
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 127 62.99% 25.59 -8.042 21.26% -0.976 -1.5656
Dances Up Earthquakes 30 70.0% 39.17 -6.702 46.67% -0.313 -0.1316
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 320 72.81% 31.72 2.663 28.44% -0.212 -0.3907
Downpour Drenches the World 236 53.39% 28.71 -2.16 30.08% -0.34 0.0194
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 384 64.58% 33.21 9.243 35.94% 1.14 0.7007
Eyes Watch From the Trees 670 67.71% 38.25 4.396 37.46% 0.076 -0.2739
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 184 78.69% 27.43 0.0 17.39%
Finder of Paths Unseen 148 64.19% 27.37 -6.137 25.68% -0.271 0.8038
Fractured Days Split the Sky 236 57.02% 38.28 -2.372 36.02% 0.254 0.7092
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 262 79.39% 31.75 -5.919 25.19% -0.222 -0.313
Heart of the Wildfire 422 80.57% 30.42 -5.142 24.88% -0.733 -0.3021
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1882 53.22% 44.34 -3.438 54.62% -0.362 -0.8042
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 95 56.84% 35.33 -15.388 40.0% -0.296 -0.8045
Lightning's Swift Strike 146 80.82% 32.41 -5.326 25.34% -0.173 -0.0096
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 135 64.44% 40.28 9.951 47.41% 1.355 0.6765
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 141 74.47% 36.87 0.717 37.59% 0.201 -0.1577
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 88 60.23% 33.42 -0.048 35.23% 0.14 -0.0062
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2625 56.02% 44.72 -1.341 55.47% 0.228 0.0509
Many Minds Move as One 808 73.02% 38.75 3.554 40.47% 0.737 0.6024
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 452 73.01% 30.74 0.799 25.0% 0.385 0.3081
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 88 68.18% 22.26 -2.058 18.18% 0.07 0.2619
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 319 79.94% 32.14 -6.426 26.65% -0.58 -0.6392
River Surges in Sunlight 348 77.23% 38.37 -8.371 35.06% -0.381 -0.3369
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 36 61.11% 29.67 -18.642 22.22% -0.301 -0.0713
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 130 76.15% 26.48 4.382 17.69% -0.036 0.0131
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 170 70.0% 36.74 -2.577 38.24% 0.011 0.1773
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 400 71.75% 33.87 -0.753 28.0% -0.338 -0.5312
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 39 56.41% 30.87 0.0 33.33%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 87 81.61% 23.74 0.0 9.2%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 17 76.47% 39.12 0.0 47.06%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 191 60.73% 38.88 -14.507 45.55% -0.217 -0.6523
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 25 64.0% 27.08 0.0 20.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 82 85.37% 30.9 0.294 18.29% -0.045 -0.1317
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 79 88.61% 29.25 -10.207 18.99% -0.73 -0.321
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 804 68.0% 45.03 -11.474 50.37% -0.45 -0.3924
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 21 52.38% 47.43 7.324 61.9% 1.034 0.5299
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 181 56.35% 22.4 -7.394 23.2% -0.435 -0.4724
Shifting Memory of Ages 161 70.19% 31.99 0.0 27.33%
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 44 61.36% 41.45 2.858 43.18% 0.401 0.3838
Shroud of Silent Mist 202 82.67% 24.91 -4.826 13.37% -0.426 0.0976
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 4 50.0% 42.25 7.451 50.0% 0.477 0.137
Starlight Seeks its Form 610 71.48% 34.65 -1.669 33.61% -0.312 -0.5109
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 682 67.3% 33.25 0.773 33.28% 0.284 -0.3313
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 627 71.13% 40.48 3.018 42.9% 0.525 0.7586
Thunderspeaker 288 76.57% 33.7 19.472 24.65% 0.373 0.3562
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 36 50.0% 13.89 0.0 5.56%
Towering Roots of the Jungle 176 57.39% 28.23 2.058 31.25% 0.36 0.5267
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 508 89.76% 32.84 -8.215 28.54% -0.342 -0.2914
Vital Strength of the Earth 124 74.8% 28.79 -9.314 21.77% -0.487 -0.0166
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 85 65.88% 28.85 0.0 24.71%
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 136 82.35% 30.15 19.649 19.12% 0.58 1.2464
Volcano Looming High 378 71.96% 33.28 2.076 33.33% 0.335 0.3188
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 141 59.57% 31.76 5.405 31.21% 0.33 0.0498

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 22.22% 11.33 0.0 11.11%
Blitz 0 59 52.54% 22.83 -7.099 18.64% -0.105 0.1383
Dahan Insurrection 4 99 46.46% 44.23 0.0 25.25%
Despicable Theft 2 28 60.71% 32.54 -0.505 25.0% -0.273 0.493
Elemental Invocation 1 72 61.11% 16.0 13.407 5.56% -0.018 0.7348
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 755 30.2% 54.49 5.655 64.64% 0.458 -0.138
Powers Long Forgotten 1 48 62.5% 18.44 0.0 6.25%
Rituals of Terror 3 16 87.5% 31.94 0.0 12.5%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 6 50.0% 37.67 0.0 33.33%
Second Wave 0 132 75.0% 39.45 -3.888 34.85% -0.187 -0.191
The Great River 3 6 66.67% 30.83 0.0 16.67%
Varied Terrains 2 5 20.0% 0.0 -2.389 0.0% -0.043 0.7371
Ward the Shores 2 24 66.67% 26.29 -7.226 16.67% -0.063 0.8065

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8614 62.76% 39.45 2.793 43.48% 0.95 1.1542
1 Thematic 486 64.4% 31.23 -5.056 23.66% -0.295 0.3139
2 Archipelago 30 36.67% 28.23 20.919 16.67% 0.377 0.5477
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1487 78.41% 34.68 -3.444 31.81% -0.376 -0.2953
2 Coastline 161 65.22% 44.44 0.0 51.55%
2 Fragment 35 94.29% 35.66 0.0 28.57%
2 Heart 25 80.0% 35.2 -8.706 40.0% -0.162 -0.6228
2 Opposite Shores 322 65.22% 31.8 -1.679 30.75% -0.031 0.1005
2 Thematic 91 60.44% 25.69 -0.725 14.29% -0.014 0.3443
2 Top to Top 116 43.1% 27.16 -4.24 31.03% -0.356 -0.4444
3 Archipelago 5 40.0% 22.8 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 57.75 0.0 62.5%
3 Other 21 90.48% 43.24 0.0 33.33%
3 Round (Default) 681 71.37% 35.38 -0.24 37.3% -0.562 -0.5569
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 23.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 40 55.0% 15.1 -5.67 10.0% -0.203 -0.6335
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 28.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 74.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 7 57.14% 33.0 0.0 28.57%
4 Thematic 40 77.5% 37.77 0.0 27.5%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 233 75.76% 36.46 6.717 37.34% 0.517 0.707
5 Other 30 50.0% 40.0 7.422 50.0% 0.299 0.138
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 72.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 4 50.0% 23.25 0.0 25.0%
6 Star 7 57.14% 21.0 0.0 14.29%
6 Thematic 10 40.0% 4.9 0.0 0.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 27 55.56% 29.93 -8.057 18.52% -0.159 1.0422
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 571 34.56 -3.421 27.15% -0.524 -0.3751
Aid From Lesser Spirits 410 40.28 5.79 37.8% 0.356 0.2434
All Things Weaken 570 34.08 -2.272 27.89% -0.682 -0.3071
Attenuated Essence 142 31.08 -7.573 28.17% -1.011 -0.8854
Back Against the Wall 395 34.26 -0.773 26.08% -0.307 -0.2664
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 170 27.03 -2.119 20.0% -0.682 -0.4766
Burn Brightest Before the End 86 30.81 -0.317 24.42% -0.448 -0.4031
Disintegrating Ecosystem 526 28.74 -8.0 19.58% -1.397 -0.8993
Downward Spiral 606 33.94 1.898 32.34% 0.15 0.3997
Erosion of Will 547 32.81 1.766 25.41% -0.188 0.0701
Intensifying Exploitation 141 28.82 -6.659 22.7% -0.745 -0.5264
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 134 44.66 3.487 58.21% 0.272 -0.114
Memory Fades to Dust 597 33.31 1.226 28.81% -0.173 0.0319
Power Corrodes the Spirit 527 33.07 -1.433 27.32% -0.436 -0.2374
Promising Farmlands 543 30.39 -6.244 23.76% -0.9 -0.5438
Shattered Fragments of Power 92 33.64 -0.968 26.09% -0.506 -0.2887
Slow Dissolution of Will 118 28.64 -0.255 24.58% 0.108 0.5371
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 87 44.9 0.0 62.07%
The Border of Life and Death 12 28.08 0.295 33.33% -0.195 -0.515
Thriving Communities 635 34.69 -0.47 32.44% -0.054 0.2653
Thriving Crops 42 26.93 -9.5 28.57% -0.464 -0.583
Unnatural Proliferation 615 34.85 0.168 27.8% -0.164 -0.0748
Untended Land Crumbles 590 32.48 -5.461 25.42% -0.829 -0.6034

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2144 69.44% 36.61 -2.029 37.73% -0.358 0.441
B 2356 66.54% 36.21 -0.209 37.82% 0.106 0.8362
C 2469 64.79% 37.22 3.104 39.65% 0.718 1.3221
D 1923 67.24% 35.63 0.345 35.78% 0.009 0.7656
E 2501 64.68% 41.03 3.609 45.58% 0.605 1.1898
F 1835 67.12% 36.16 -1.574 37.87% 0.022 0.7245
G 1562 71.03% 36.33 -1.348 37.13% -0.114 0.6434
H 1707 69.23% 37.98 -2.483 39.13% -0.213 0.418
East 418 62.44% 31.52 -3.298 24.16% -0.514 0.2697
Northeast 190 68.42% 32.03 -5.882 23.68% -0.355 0.4067
Northwest 173 63.01% 27.27 4.296 19.65% 0.229 1.0715
Southeast 147 55.1% 27.69 -5.081 23.81% -0.12 0.5189
Southwest 121 57.85% 21.14 -13.426 13.22% -0.327 0.7183
West 373 63.81% 25.96 3.583 16.89% 0.155 0.931

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 5 0.0% 38.6 0.0 40.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 279 14.8% 69.43 9.581 87.1% 0.611 0.3197
Start of Game Growth 524 27.01% 64.46 9.581 81.87% 0.611 0.0543
Unlimited Undo 1331 60.11% 40.87 -0.229 47.93% -0.157 -0.0932
Using Tokens but Not Events 532 54.08% 44.95 10.644 54.7% 0.999 0.8714

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2355 12.44 1.74%
II 6553 29.94 34.72%
III 2720 34.9 66.43%
IV 863 38.84 99.77%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.177 Win Model: 0.203
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 9157 62.67% 38.94 42.28%
2 2233 73.76% 34.34 32.33%
3 740 70.81% 34.43 35.54%
4 286 73.94% 37.05 37.41%
5 30 50.0% 34.57 40.0%
6 45 51.11% 25.6 17.78%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 41
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1775
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2235
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 856
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2113
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3
Lose: Adversary condition 1377
Win: Sacrifice victory 48
Lose: Scenario condition 86
Win: Scenario condition 29
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3798
Lose: Spirit destroyed 130

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2526 62.2% 44.82 0.959 33.21% 0.366 0.2702
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 742 45.69% 36.71 -2.033 29.51% 0.156 -0.1698
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 72 61.11% 24.39 -6.545 20.83% -0.423 -0.6843
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 491 62.86% 29.68 -1.992 27.29% 0.208 -0.5124
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1056 78.77% 41.8 2.922 22.54% 0.201 0.4996
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 1081 69.57% 32.46 -3.376 27.38% -0.065 -0.6542
Dances Up Earthquakes 725 52.55% 35.72 -0.372 35.86% 0.456 0.638
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1373 82.82% 28.22 -8.042 12.31% -0.714 -0.8923
Downpour Drenches the World 1588 58.19% 26.68 -1.614 18.39% 0.425 0.7841
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1589 73.57% 26.39 -0.206 19.01% 0.231 -0.2087
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2945 64.59% 49.82 -0.659 35.96% -0.103 -0.4528
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 739 80.33% 32.79 -6.894 19.35% -0.257 -0.6569
Finder of Paths Unseen 703 57.12% 27.77 -7.605 20.91% -0.526 0.5482
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3919 43.51% 51.28 -2.588 42.03% -0.268 0.1877
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1181 81.53% 31.82 -2.32 19.64% -0.251 -0.342
Heart of the Wildfire 1820 81.95% 26.44 -10.888 11.87% -1.442 -1.0111
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 16752 55.48% 54.59 6.576 60.97% 1.606 1.163
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 694 58.3% 28.31 -5.234 24.64% 0.376 -0.1331
Lightning's Swift Strike 695 78.77% 33.01 -3.288 19.28% -0.525 -0.3616
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1396 72.28% 39.47 2.795 32.59% 0.651 -0.0277
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 594 84.8% 37.88 -0.548 26.6% 0.179 -0.1806
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 777 59.07% 44.82 -2.628 41.18% -0.319 -0.4655
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 12186 68.62% 44.13 -0.932 41.71% 0.363 0.1863
Many Minds Move as One 3339 67.58% 46.91 0.372 35.31% 0.069 -0.0653
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2120 75.37% 30.99 1.113 17.64% 0.356 0.2791
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 782 68.63% 21.96 -3.031 13.81% -0.308 -0.1161
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1018 81.15% 34.14 1.715 22.1% 0.515 0.456
River Surges in Sunlight 2010 80.85% 54.12 -5.878 35.42% 0.019 0.064
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 403 59.8% 31.73 -10.419 20.6% -1.001 -0.7714
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 549 62.96% 37.96 -2.397 23.5% -0.057 -0.0077
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1109 65.52% 43.56 -0.032 30.57% 0.617 0.784
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3624 60.18% 45.86 1.791 40.2% 1.272 1.0783
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 217 62.21% 32.52 12.699 29.95% 1.368 1.3531
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 435 84.06% 35.83 -11.481 18.39% -0.239 0.3851
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 94 72.34% 31.14 -5.601 15.96% -0.169 -0.1531
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 1095 70.87% 31.87 -4.089 25.02% -0.793 -1.2276
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 144 71.53% 27.35 -6.726 20.14% -0.061 -0.0381
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 366 81.69% 34.15 -0.282 18.58% -0.006 -0.0931
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 320 77.19% 34.67 -12.19 23.75% -0.573 -0.1642
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2518 72.52% 44.1 -9.658 38.4% -0.401 -0.3439
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 56 78.57% 35.63 1.382 35.71% 0.643 0.1393
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1038 64.35% 29.12 -5.285 26.2% 0.096 0.0587
Shifting Memory of Ages 2342 54.25% 34.65 -2.647 22.12% -0.311 0.0506
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 571 53.06% 36.98 -1.969 33.45% -0.617 -0.6348
Shroud of Silent Mist 841 80.07% 28.99 -9.242 14.27% -1.213 -0.6895
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 51 74.51% 24.37 -2.873 17.65% -0.094 -0.4341
Starlight Seeks its Form 5145 62.85% 37.12 -5.599 35.49% -0.022 -0.2206
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 8973 53.04% 49.01 11.447 46.22% 1.97 1.3547
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2750 78.75% 42.77 -3.848 37.45% 0.205 0.4377
Thunderspeaker 1273 76.32% 40.15 -6.364 23.17% -0.712 -0.7287
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 176 74.86% 20.07 -14.334 11.36% -1.208 -1.0081
Towering Roots of the Jungle 964 61.1% 23.1 4.546 19.19% 0.74 0.9062
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2830 87.7% 33.17 -3.848 22.08% -0.741 -0.6908
Vital Strength of the Earth 489 76.89% 29.73 6.382 13.5% 0.679 1.1494
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 416 58.41% 28.42 -2.503 19.95% 0.272 0.6818
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 465 78.23% 29.24 -9.174 14.62% -0.379 0.2875
Volcano Looming High 2648 76.71% 36.69 -1.884 28.89% 0.244 0.228
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 826 63.56% 22.51 -11.604 13.8% -0.668 -0.9483

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 37.5% 7.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 390 55.18% 40.98 0.969 32.31% -0.197 0.0462
Dahan Insurrection 4 2970 31.23% 65.17 -2.94 48.92% -0.251 -0.2374
Despicable Theft 2 17 50.0% 30.82 -10.518 17.65% -0.087 0.6796
Elemental Invocation 1 171 78.82% 30.5 28.522 12.28% 0.546 1.2986
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3233 44.0% 47.44 1.765 41.11% 0.196 -0.4005
Powers Long Forgotten 1 30 36.67% 12.03 0.0 6.67%
Rituals of Terror 3 1355 44.24% 110.57 24.974 63.62% 1.634 2.1124
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 87 29.89% 17.7 -14.662 6.9% -0.179 0.5083
Second Wave 0 170 65.88% 47.99 -12.205 41.18% -0.707 -0.7115
The Great River 3 62 64.52% 29.48 -9.911 6.45% -0.197 0.9323
Varied Terrains 2 45 53.33% 42.84 -11.821 28.89% -0.116 0.6641
Ward the Shores 2 54 79.63% 36.13 2.588 14.81% -0.227 0.6421

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 67000 66.38% 42.31 1.059 39.37% -0.006 0.1981
1 Thematic 1242 69.4% 41.37 -4.772 27.29% -0.316 0.2929
2 Archipelago 173 36.99% 50.87 0.0 30.06%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5162 75.9% 36.78 -1.966 29.1% -0.238 -0.1573
2 Coastline 1140 67.4% 34.92 -5.934 27.11% -0.933 -1.0283
2 Fragment 124 80.65% 41.94 -8.414 37.1% -0.402 -0.4449
2 Heart 178 71.91% 43.65 0.328 27.53% -0.079 -0.5396
2 Opposite Shores 2101 64.64% 32.58 -0.79 18.13% 0.031 0.1631
2 Thematic 927 65.44% 83.2 -5.717 44.88% -0.042 0.3162
2 Top to Top 326 62.58% 32.96 -10.816 27.61% -0.627 -0.7158
3 Archipelago 80 73.75% 100.31 0.0 57.5%
3 Coastline 26 69.23% 35.38 18.735 30.77% 0.67 0.4973
3 Other 74 68.92% 44.59 6.234 37.84% 0.512 0.1264
3 Round (Default) 2624 68.14% 35.61 -4.762 29.27% -0.697 -0.691
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 44.0 -1.679 33.33% -0.259 -0.8659
3 Thematic 538 15.46% 103.15 10.645 62.83% 0.18 -0.2511
4 Archipelago 5 100.0% 125.6 33.555 100.0% 0.781 0.5409
4 Coastline 12 58.33% 35.08 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 10 80.0% 36.9 0.0 40.0%
4 Other 55 76.36% 43.05 0.0 27.27%
4 Thematic 399 30.83% 79.15 -3.052 58.9% -0.594 -0.7963
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1347 62.24% 35.92 1.67 28.43% -0.476 -0.2862
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 30.5 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 81.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 87 53.57% 40.55 0.0 29.89%
5 Thematic 43 51.16% 53.79 -9.467 25.58% -0.012 0.3258
6 Archipelago 17 43.75% 59.71 0.0 41.18%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 93 43.01% 47.32 0.0 53.76%
6 Star 22 40.91% 38.0 0.0 36.36%
6 Thematic 81 43.75% 21.64 -0.305 11.11% 0.253 0.5018
6 Two Centers (Default) 409 24.45% 47.34 0.582 43.52% 0.217 1.4186
7 Archipelago 8 42.86% 80.75 0.0 50.0%
7 Other 6 50.0% 17.83 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3776 39.83 -0.859 28.5% -0.598 -0.4494
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2691 44.13 1.804 34.37% -0.227 -0.3399
All Things Weaken 4046 39.9 1.963 28.23% -0.062 0.3131
Attenuated Essence 1136 33.22 -1.086 24.56% -0.561 -0.4353
Back Against the Wall 2595 42.93 8.859 32.02% 0.941 0.9824
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1141 34.11 -1.49 25.85% -0.573 -0.3675
Burn Brightest Before the End 755 37.81 2.404 28.61% 0.025 0.0694
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3580 34.22 -0.578 20.64% -0.544 -0.0462
Downward Spiral 3847 40.62 -1.278 32.41% -0.522 -0.2723
Erosion of Will 3723 37.94 -1.44 24.9% -0.706 -0.4478
Intensifying Exploitation 1168 33.27 0.631 26.28% 0.103 0.3219
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 865 57.03 6.699 64.05% 0.71 0.3244
Memory Fades to Dust 3937 39.88 1.664 29.74% -0.113 0.0919
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3828 38.52 -0.575 27.46% -0.272 -0.0742
Promising Farmlands 3649 37.72 -1.322 27.32% -0.466 -0.1103
Shattered Fragments of Power 713 35.86 5.873 24.96% 0.429 0.6466
Slow Dissolution of Will 1221 32.99 0.845 22.36% -0.41 0.0196
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 530 60.14 2.151 68.3% 0.28 -0.3438
The Border of Life and Death 210 38.29 5.602 42.38% 0.573 0.2527
Thriving Communities 3890 39.34 1.983 29.41% 0.103 0.4224
Thriving Crops 348 34.3 -0.889 36.78% 0.106 -0.0127
Unnatural Proliferation 4069 39.88 0.344 26.84% -0.028 0.0616
Untended Land Crumbles 4050 38.89 -0.636 28.57% -0.487 -0.2623

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 13834 67.9% 37.29 -1.28 30.81% -0.267 0.532
B 13986 68.67% 39.31 -0.595 34.23% -0.214 0.5161
C 15984 65.24% 42.09 -0.182 36.54% -0.162 0.4427
D 11830 67.14% 37.62 -1.843 31.22% -0.578 0.1789
E 15056 66.49% 42.23 1.513 38.83% 0.197 0.782
F 11266 66.14% 39.15 -1.89 34.39% -0.359 0.3434
G 9262 66.87% 40.18 1.057 35.33% 0.015 0.772
H 12033 59.42% 45.25 1.322 43.65% 0.069 0.7001
East 2375 47.77% 77.18 -1.765 47.03% -1.135 -0.3513
Northeast 1381 36.19% 81.44 2.007 50.54% -0.307 0.4541
Northwest 836 48.02% 64.9 -3.127 39.83% -0.258 0.5843
Southeast 533 50.56% 45.69 -8.039 29.83% -0.063 0.5764
Southwest 550 55.37% 38.37 5.032 26.0% 0.364 1.4097
West 2262 48.16% 75.29 10.895 46.24% 0.62 1.396

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 64 0.0% 58.06 0.799 60.94% 0.259 1.1323
Not Using Events or Tokens 12 66.67% 108.33 0.0 58.33%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2198 29.93% 60.75 1.774 61.92% 0.095 -0.1962
Start of Game Growth 3616 33.98% 59.34 1.908 63.66% 0.738 0.1809
Unlimited Undo 7599 57.37% 49.45 -3.252 52.32% -0.328 -0.2644
Using Tokens but Not Events 3961 56.38% 43.58 -4.883 35.4% -0.648 -0.7756

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 26621 12.44 0.63%
II 35936 29.94 37.09%
III 15235 34.9 76.61%
IV 6576 38.84 99.88%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.372 Win Model: -0.183
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 70131 66.01% 42.69 38.94%
2 8875 71.67% 40.99 29.94%
3 2964 64.95% 40.59 31.58%
4 1701 59.17% 40.12 32.33%
5 118 47.83% 37.07 25.42%
6 579 28.77% 45.25 43.01%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 149
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11488
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11661
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5963
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 16903
Lose: Invader deck ran out 73
Lose: Adversary condition 9579
Win: Sacrifice victory 1013
Lose: Scenario condition 668
Win: Scenario condition 1459
Lose: Blight pool ran out 24452
Lose: Spirit destroyed 960

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-10-18 23:57:56 (Pacific Time)