The Tsardom of Russia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 968 22.98% 27.41 1.083 85.23% 0.5 0.3773
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 619 44.08% 25.3 -2.831 81.1% -0.771 -0.5297
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 14 21.43% 33.57 5.702 78.57% 0.42 -0.5814
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1019 25.98% 27.98 2.588 88.03% 0.59 0.3631
Downpour Drenches the World 262 19.92% 26.61 -0.404 78.63% 0.137 0.4621
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 202 22.77% 25.8 1.147 75.25% 0.377 -0.1221
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1105 15.57% 31.52 3.966 91.67% 1.254 0.7937
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 886 23.86% 29.07 0.304 89.39% 0.197 -0.2325
Finder of Paths Unseen 116 30.17% 19.39 -3.558 54.31% -0.941 -0.1185
Fractured Days Split the Sky 492 32.99% 26.77 -0.955 72.76% -0.689 -0.0916
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 704 40.06% 26.68 -1.811 74.72% -0.356 -0.3568
Heart of the Wildfire 767 56.84% 23.29 0.367 73.66% 0.145 0.529
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1522 25.71% 27.69 1.389 89.62% 0.48 -0.015
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 21 19.05% 33.29 5.104 85.71% 0.913 0.3663
Lightning's Swift Strike 539 37.36% 26.36 -2.401 83.12% -0.808 -0.6249
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 101 35.64% 27.07 3.209 75.25% 0.372 -0.1646
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 302 25.91% 27.83 0.769 85.43% 0.242 -0.0491
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 260 28.57% 30.06 1.617 83.08% 0.202 0.0542
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1700 27.73% 28.3 0.909 87.76% 0.358 0.1065
Many Minds Move as One 1324 20.83% 28.29 0.543 91.16% -0.012 -0.1692
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1097 39.16% 26.59 -0.9 79.31% -0.383 -0.3721
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 910 29.12% 27.35 2.111 85.6% 0.683 0.5373
River Surges in Sunlight 722 37.5% 28.43 1.057 81.99% 0.3 0.3381
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 436 38.3% 29.16 0.435 82.11% 0.221 0.4807
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 111 35.14% 28.33 -0.041 68.47% 0.03 -0.0203
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 788 26.65% 27.69 1.549 85.41% 0.295 0.1205
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 328 50.76% 24.64 -3.508 78.05% -0.478 0.1341
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 43 27.91% 26.4 -0.627 67.44% -0.031 0.0728
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 18 50.0% 33.22 6.037 83.33% 0.973 0.3913
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 49 36.73% 24.08 1.092 73.47% 0.365 0.4111
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 283 32.51% 26.84 2.973 83.39% 0.13 0.2106
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 231 33.77% 26.42 -2.84 83.12% -0.462 -0.2538
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1106 26.13% 27.86 1.468 88.43% 0.198 0.2773
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 69 26.09% 21.61 -1.744 57.97% -0.838 -1.16
Shifting Memory of Ages 427 43.43% 23.6 -2.091 71.43% -0.603 -0.3379
Shroud of Silent Mist 576 45.14% 24.4 -1.78 77.08% -0.248 0.1199
Starlight Seeks its Form 631 25.64% 28.77 -0.028 79.71% -0.182 -0.4098
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1210 25.48% 26.23 0.115 88.02% 0.28 -0.0761
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 817 30.15% 26.42 -1.864 82.01% -0.489 -0.3557
Thunderspeaker 796 29.06% 29.44 0.183 84.05% 0.239 0.2684
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 69 34.78% 21.1 -3.374 47.83% -0.821 -0.5812
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1028 63.68% 23.34 -1.405 81.91% -0.225 -0.034
Vital Strength of the Earth 513 31.51% 23.67 -1.366 74.46% -0.278 0.2793
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 83 30.12% 22.29 -0.775 65.06% -0.341 0.0683
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 255 27.45% 22.47 -2.781 74.9% -0.545 0.1834
Volcano Looming High 814 44.4% 23.74 -1.085 75.92% -0.099 -0.0798
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 55 34.55% 25.91 1.912 72.73% 0.395 -0.1989

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 0.0% 23.11 0.0 66.67%
Blitz 0 253 29.48% 21.97 -2.966 71.54% -0.767 -0.6562
Dahan Insurrection 4 425 18.82% 46.46 3.048 81.88% -0.525 -0.7607
Despicable Theft 2 120 34.17% 28.22 -5.866 63.33% -1.672 -1.0289
Elemental Invocation 1 159 39.62% 26.19 1.03 74.21% -0.133 0.6693
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 627 10.85% 30.55 1.042 82.46% -0.397 -1.1707
Powers Long Forgotten 1 171 46.2% 24.9 -4.747 64.33% -1.425 -0.6521
Rituals of Terror 3 184 39.44% 32.41 -0.08 67.93% -0.755 -0.7386
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 133 57.89% 33.55 -1.916 69.92% -0.887 0.1701
Second Wave 0 351 50.14% 32.2 5.144 72.93% -0.012 0.0686
The Great River 3 154 43.51% 27.03 -3.428 56.49% -1.15 -0.021
Varied Terrains 2 84 42.86% 23.82 -3.195 50.0% -1.065 -0.3734
Ward the Shores 2 242 34.85% 28.3 -1.67 69.42% -0.822 0.0411

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11191 34.34% 26.07 -0.217 82.52% 0.562 0.7627
1 Thematic 1599 42.04% 29.64 1.029 79.92% 0.559 1.2786
2 Archipelago 16 37.5% 28.13 -0.295 56.25% -0.665 -0.4099
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2355 31.67% 25.93 -0.822 83.44% 0.158 0.166
2 Coastline 265 29.81% 25.64 0.332 83.02% 1.042 0.8366
2 Fragment 52 25.0% 26.04 2.099 80.77% 0.468 0.1905
2 Heart 31 45.16% 22.52 -0.348 74.19% -0.251 -0.4717
2 Opposite Shores 354 24.72% 27.64 2.06 89.55% 1.117 1.1737
2 Thematic 367 34.33% 30.35 -2.625 77.11% -0.77 -0.3186
2 Top to Top 42 21.43% 25.24 -6.155 83.33% -0.978 -1.0761
3 Archipelago 8 62.5% 42.38 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 14 50.0% 31.5 10.552 64.29% 0.415 -0.1515
3 Other 33 33.33% 23.85 -4.015 90.91% -0.132 -0.161
3 Round (Default) 1075 29.44% 27.16 1.656 86.05% 0.631 0.4049
3 Sunrise 2 50.0% 12.0 -9.942 50.0% -0.726 -1.7105
3 Thematic 76 38.16% 25.95 -3.764 64.47% -0.37 -0.1731
4 Archipelago 5 20.0% 36.2 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 5 60.0% 24.6 0.0 60.0%
4 Leaf 2 0.0% 31.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 16 43.75% 31.63 0.0 93.75%
4 Thematic 97 23.96% 35.29 3.891 86.6% 0.135 -0.0637
4 Trapezoid (Default) 443 24.15% 26.61 -1.547 83.75% -0.291 -0.5348
5 Other 34 36.36% 28.97 -2.917 70.59% -0.671 -1.7277
5 Thematic 3 0.0% 32.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 73.0 23.168 100.0% 0.307 -0.429
6 Other 3 66.67% 44.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 18 27.78% 31.28 -2.865 100.0% 0.037 -0.0194
6 Thematic 37 24.32% 31.95 -0.151 64.86% -0.186 0.5684
6 Two Centers (Default) 74 16.22% 31.35 4.099 82.43% -0.523 -1.1024
7 Other 4 0.0% 20.0 0.0 25.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 409 21.95 -0.324 66.99% -0.522 -0.3618
Aid From Lesser Spirits 347 23.22 1.601 68.88% -0.032 -0.1181
All Things Weaken 488 20.26 0.072 61.07% -0.059 0.2831
Attenuated Essence 25 22.4 0.938 60.0% 0.03 0.1041
Back Against the Wall 359 21.11 -0.642 59.89% -0.846 -0.7711
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 29 19.34 3.256 55.17% 0.509 0.6997
Burn Brightest Before the End 31 18.55 -0.762 51.61% -0.361 -0.2369
Disintegrating Ecosystem 400 18.68 -2.068 65.0% -0.346 0.0274
Downward Spiral 471 20.99 -0.741 70.7% 0.091 0.2276
Erosion of Will 390 22.15 1.515 66.41% 0.316 0.6101
Intensifying Exploitation 31 19.06 1.474 54.84% 0.342 0.5806
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 228 27.05 1.888 92.11% 0.461 -0.0714
Memory Fades to Dust 493 20.48 0.326 65.11% 0.165 0.4455
Power Corrodes the Spirit 445 21.5 -0.241 69.44% 0.195 0.3479
Promising Farmlands 372 20.02 -1.605 62.9% -0.228 0.1186
Shattered Fragments of Power 25 23.32 2.616 56.0% 0.118 0.3129
Slow Dissolution of Will 37 15.92 -0.246 35.14% 0.111 0.5623
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 144 25.82 3.166 90.97% 0.734 -0.0067
The Border of Life and Death 6 27.67 1.813 100.0% 0.784 0.3507
Thriving Communities 452 19.38 -0.895 63.94% -0.304 -0.0058
Thriving Crops 19 26.89 1.538 84.21% 0.331 0.2281
Unnatural Proliferation 477 21.41 2.937 63.31% 0.074 0.2191
Untended Land Crumbles 463 20.38 0.875 64.15% 0.152 0.4518

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3019 32.21% 26.1 -0.294 82.74% -0.52 0.4744
B 3131 31.41% 26.28 0.371 83.33% -0.313 0.6047
C 3317 31.28% 26.49 -0.236 83.84% -0.486 0.2569
D 3067 33.41% 26.21 -0.624 83.5% -0.488 0.4633
E 3039 31.42% 26.7 0.71 84.07% -0.193 0.5871
F 2879 31.36% 26.58 0.217 82.63% -0.367 0.5257
G 2488 30.19% 27.03 0.481 84.32% -0.381 0.4745
H 2635 31.91% 26.37 -0.044 82.62% -0.65 0.1979
East 1320 38.5% 30.96 2.743 82.05% 0.012 0.7815
Northeast 483 34.02% 32.05 1.405 77.02% 0.056 0.843
Northwest 459 35.37% 30.96 -0.21 76.25% -0.563 0.4205
Southeast 646 44.12% 29.09 0.209 85.6% -0.443 0.4316
Southwest 447 33.11% 25.96 -2.176 73.6% -0.909 0.2992
West 1162 36.52% 29.31 -0.359 74.7% -0.821 0.1138

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 44 0.0% 26.64 -12.727 84.09% -0.789 -0.1596
Not Using Events or Tokens 41 29.27% 28.05 -1.038 73.17% -0.475 0.0315
Skip Initial Invader Actions 371 7.34% 38.06 -0.94 93.8% -0.501 -1.136
Start of Game Growth 635 11.36% 35.43 4.85 92.44% 0.306 -0.0838
Unlimited Undo 1279 23.11% 27.64 -1.003 85.07% -0.07 -0.0252
Using Tokens but Not Events 1643 26.14% 26.96 0.152 82.23% -0.248 -0.2754

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2009 17.67 25.78%
II 6347 30.7 83.16%
III 6765 34.75 91.12%
IV 3124 38.22 99.2%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.36 Win Model: 0.699
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12999 35.37% 26.42 81.62%
2 3364 30.81% 26.79 84.75%
3 1161 30.19% 27.36 86.05%
4 564 24.16% 28.46 84.57%
5 20 31.58% 24.7 70.0%
6 137 20.44% 31.77 78.83%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 517
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5957
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4916
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3066
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 984
Lose: Invader deck ran out 155
Lose: Adversary condition 181
Win: Sacrifice victory 87
Lose: Scenario condition 123
Win: Scenario condition 516
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1622
Lose: Spirit destroyed 121

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 604 39.8% 30.25 -0.449 69.54% -0.087 -0.2097
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 385 64.42% 28.0 -2.572 65.45% -0.238 0.0027
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 15 53.33% 38.8 7.971 93.33% 1.51 0.5089
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 579 40.73% 32.68 4.93 75.65% 1.182 0.9552
Downpour Drenches the World 181 43.58% 23.73 -1.945 55.8% -0.469 -0.1439
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 169 32.54% 26.12 0.888 63.31% 0.047 -0.452
Eyes Watch From the Trees 856 32.12% 37.0 4.617 82.48% 1.121 0.66
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 507 42.66% 33.21 3.706 76.92% 0.681 0.2514
Finder of Paths Unseen 83 46.99% 20.04 -5.046 43.37% -0.859 -0.0365
Fractured Days Split the Sky 297 42.42% 30.53 -1.815 64.65% -0.656 -0.0588
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 452 53.88% 28.95 -0.767 66.37% -0.279 -0.28
Heart of the Wildfire 557 73.25% 22.93 -5.005 50.27% -1.115 -0.7304
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1173 43.94% 32.42 2.387 76.04% 0.601 0.1059
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 10 20.0% 25.6 1.432 50.0% -0.149 -0.6956
Lightning's Swift Strike 287 60.0% 27.38 -2.097 59.93% -0.419 -0.2365
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 34 47.06% 32.76 0.734 67.65% 0.292 -0.2446
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 172 61.63% 29.05 -4.574 63.37% -1.226 -1.517
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 157 40.76% 39.38 3.713 74.52% 0.524 0.3764
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1274 43.83% 33.53 2.0 82.42% 0.563 0.3117
Many Minds Move as One 1120 34.94% 35.13 -0.108 87.14% -0.133 -0.2901
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 701 53.09% 30.77 2.723 66.05% 0.449 0.4601
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 528 49.05% 31.52 0.371 74.81% 0.194 0.0484
River Surges in Sunlight 446 54.61% 31.55 2.914 68.39% 0.312 0.3498
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 277 55.07% 35.59 2.364 68.59% 0.581 0.8408
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 82 51.22% 25.45 -4.019 48.78% -1.334 -1.3844
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 445 50.79% 28.78 0.14 66.97% -0.233 -0.4075
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 200 64.0% 27.39 2.311 63.0% 0.705 1.3177
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 36 58.33% 28.5 2.37 61.11% 0.151 0.2549
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 16 31.25% 37.06 7.515 81.25% 1.107 0.5258
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 37 48.65% 28.41 2.688 67.57% 0.519 0.5648
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 160 58.75% 29.34 2.966 70.63% 0.315 0.3953
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 119 55.46% 32.18 10.077 69.75% 0.52 0.7276
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1021 40.2% 33.39 -1.655 79.73% -0.249 -0.1703
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 100 33.0% 26.16 3.194 61.0% 0.589 0.2663
Shifting Memory of Ages 290 51.72% 26.51 -2.465 63.45% -0.393 -0.1275
Shroud of Silent Mist 307 65.47% 24.63 -3.113 55.37% -0.711 -0.3432
Starlight Seeks its Form 451 26.73% 34.23 -0.893 78.71% -0.368 -0.596
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 706 44.1% 26.53 -1.729 62.32% -0.286 -0.6421
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 594 41.12% 32.3 0.107 72.56% -0.196 -0.0635
Thunderspeaker 625 44.96% 34.15 1.366 68.48% 0.298 0.3275
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 38 44.74% 16.79 -0.436 31.58% -0.368 -0.1286
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 426 77.23% 24.47 -3.565 57.51% -0.632 -0.4414
Vital Strength of the Earth 290 48.97% 26.75 -4.22 54.48% -0.455 0.1017
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 52 57.69% 25.71 -2.348 53.85% -0.239 0.1711
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 178 44.94% 25.88 -2.947 62.36% -0.337 0.3906
Volcano Looming High 491 56.62% 26.22 -1.632 61.91% -0.286 -0.2664
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 23 43.48% 22.7 0.925 47.83% -0.057 -0.6504

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 10 20.0% 21.6 2.681 50.0% 0.089 -0.0507
Blitz 0 195 47.69% 24.31 1.824 54.36% 0.238 0.3488
Dahan Insurrection 4 290 27.59% 54.66 6.697 76.21% -0.062 -0.2976
Despicable Theft 2 90 53.33% 24.16 -7.535 37.78% -1.489 -0.8464
Elemental Invocation 1 117 60.68% 23.29 -3.738 43.59% -0.624 0.1775
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 458 20.35% 35.81 1.95 75.33% 0.273 -0.5007
Powers Long Forgotten 1 146 56.16% 27.42 -1.686 52.05% -0.391 0.3816
Rituals of Terror 3 101 60.4% 34.94 0.574 53.47% -0.042 -0.0256
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 77 77.92% 34.39 -0.803 49.35% -0.445 0.6124
Second Wave 0 738 53.94% 31.1 -0.817 65.58% -0.628 -0.5476
The Great River 3 69 69.57% 26.43 -2.413 34.78% -0.607 0.5219
Varied Terrains 2 40 42.5% 23.38 -5.773 40.0% -0.874 -0.1815
Ward the Shores 2 172 47.67% 28.94 -2.298 51.74% -0.445 0.4184

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7492 46.79% 29.4 0.417 68.9% 0.292 0.4927
1 Thematic 1027 52.44% 30.08 -1.346 54.04% -0.334 0.3852
2 Archipelago 6 50.0% 41.17 -11.543 83.33% -0.538 -0.2828
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1590 50.32% 28.53 -0.501 69.94% 0.04 0.048
2 Coastline 233 48.71% 29.84 2.009 71.24% 0.57 0.3654
2 Fragment 54 57.41% 28.28 5.168 66.67% 0.89 0.6129
2 Heart 20 55.0% 24.1 -1.079 55.0% 0.275 0.0549
2 Opposite Shores 309 48.86% 29.72 -1.422 73.46% -0.056 0.0012
2 Thematic 267 56.55% 28.17 -3.25 54.31% -0.714 -0.2623
2 Top to Top 48 52.08% 33.13 -2.949 85.42% -0.243 -0.3408
3 Archipelago 11 81.82% 35.18 0.0 36.36%
3 Coastline 12 66.67% 41.5 3.3 75.0% 0.127 -0.44
3 Other 24 62.5% 32.13 -0.577 87.5% 0.139 0.1098
3 Round (Default) 643 36.45% 33.7 -0.353 78.85% -0.531 -0.7571
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 56 69.64% 33.71 3.686 66.07% 0.164 0.3602
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 26.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 34.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 26.0 9.146 50.0% 0.554 -0.1443
4 Other 25 56.0% 33.04 0.0 84.0%
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 80 53.75% 38.64 2.817 77.5% 0.279 0.0809
4 Trapezoid (Default) 243 45.45% 34.89 4.044 81.48% 0.58 0.3362
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 80.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 30 24.14% 48.13 0.0 76.67%
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 15 40.0% 47.07 -13.986 86.67% -0.858 -1.5947
6 Star 2 50.0% 20.0 -12.659 50.0% -0.467 -0.5237
6 Thematic 10 60.0% 38.3 0.148 60.0% -0.253 0.501
6 Two Centers (Default) 29 17.24% 56.48 4.298 93.1% 0.339 -0.2409
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 403 24.39 1.019 50.62% 0.022 0.1815
Aid From Lesser Spirits 351 26.94 3.009 58.97% 0.318 0.2314
All Things Weaken 434 24.25 1.729 50.92% -0.0 0.3417
Attenuated Essence 20 24.85 1.355 55.0% 0.283 0.3571
Back Against the Wall 334 24.23 2.136 47.31% 0.183 0.2576
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 21 15.43 -0.578 33.33% 0.238 0.4292
Burn Brightest Before the End 23 28.87 4.431 52.17% 0.412 0.5354
Disintegrating Ecosystem 405 19.7 -1.091 40.49% -0.31 0.0628
Downward Spiral 439 24.27 0.526 54.67% 0.209 0.3461
Erosion of Will 388 24.05 -0.282 53.61% -0.241 0.0536
Intensifying Exploitation 43 22.0 3.247 46.51% 0.634 0.8722
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 168 32.44 -5.522 78.57% -1.02 -1.5519
Memory Fades to Dust 486 24.58 -0.772 56.38% -0.115 0.1658
Power Corrodes the Spirit 409 22.84 0.048 49.39% 0.297 0.4496
Promising Farmlands 383 23.03 0.621 50.91% -0.377 -0.0303
Shattered Fragments of Power 24 24.25 4.419 50.0% 0.585 0.78
Slow Dissolution of Will 28 23.82 4.533 50.0% 0.343 0.7938
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 107 30.34 2.851 82.24% 0.834 0.0931
The Border of Life and Death 3 35.0 10.408 66.67% 0.605 0.1716
Thriving Communities 435 22.84 0.564 48.51% 0.167 0.4654
Thriving Crops 18 23.17 -1.016 50.0% 0.008 -0.0948
Unnatural Proliferation 443 24.26 4.185 50.11% 0.462 0.6075
Untended Land Crumbles 468 22.32 1.195 50.0% 0.177 0.4765

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2101 46.54% 30.5 -0.258 70.87% -0.344 0.6503
B 2149 46.48% 30.88 0.884 72.27% 0.167 1.0847
C 2241 44.3% 31.23 -0.281 73.32% -0.165 0.578
D 2071 46.23% 30.66 0.401 71.03% -0.19 0.7619
E 1961 45.42% 31.41 2.187 73.43% 0.327 1.1074
F 1884 47.71% 30.33 0.143 71.28% 0.003 0.8953
G 1636 45.99% 30.33 0.076 71.21% -0.039 0.8159
H 1672 46.91% 30.67 0.45 71.53% -0.032 0.8163
East 824 54.92% 31.78 -0.413 57.77% -0.305 0.4644
Northeast 337 57.74% 34.21 0.825 62.91% 0.033 0.8202
Northwest 299 53.51% 30.93 0.025 57.19% -0.239 0.7445
Southeast 302 54.3% 29.85 -1.851 57.28% -0.546 0.3282
Southwest 306 58.82% 25.19 -2.472 50.65% -0.386 0.8222
West 827 54.17% 29.88 -1.185 55.38% -0.231 0.7034

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 18 0.0% 31.06 8.93 55.56% 0.251 0.8801
Not Using Events or Tokens 31 35.48% 18.94 -6.747 29.03% -0.563 -0.0563
Skip Initial Invader Actions 237 13.48% 44.35 4.234 91.14% 0.27 -0.3645
Start of Game Growth 362 16.9% 41.89 3.443 86.46% 0.503 0.1138
Unlimited Undo 972 40.33% 30.82 -1.842 73.46% -0.276 -0.232
Using Tokens but Not Events 1010 38.31% 32.27 -0.301 72.38% 0.142 0.1145

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2131 17.67 10.51%
II 4294 30.7 69.03%
III 4440 34.75 86.42%
IV 1385 38.22 99.57%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.512 Win Model: 0.487
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8639 47.64% 29.36 66.58%
2 2468 50.79% 29.35 70.75%
3 719 40.11% 33.51 77.89%
4 346 46.38% 37.08 82.08%
5 33 15.63% 59.48 81.82%
6 45 40.0% 35.07 77.78%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 223
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3716
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2734
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1366
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 851
Lose: Invader deck ran out 68
Lose: Adversary condition 1115
Win: Sacrifice victory 55
Lose: Scenario condition 80
Win: Scenario condition 310
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1625
Lose: Spirit destroyed 107

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 695 35.5% 38.08 -0.352 78.27% 0.222 0.0993
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 533 54.78% 35.54 -0.219 75.42% -0.029 0.2116
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 41 29.27% 37.12 4.252 78.05% 0.813 -0.1879
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 655 42.11% 37.35 -0.854 80.46% 0.076 -0.1513
Downpour Drenches the World 216 36.57% 35.01 2.419 73.61% 0.633 0.9581
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 233 31.33% 33.77 1.719 73.39% 0.19 -0.3093
Eyes Watch From the Trees 956 29.63% 41.28 4.268 87.45% 1.057 0.5963
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 494 38.06% 39.15 3.374 83.4% 0.725 0.2952
Finder of Paths Unseen 106 53.77% 24.75 -2.432 46.23% -0.364 0.459
Fractured Days Split the Sky 354 49.15% 37.12 -3.289 68.93% -0.667 -0.0695
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 453 54.75% 33.55 -3.887 68.21% -0.728 -0.7293
Heart of the Wildfire 706 63.46% 33.6 -2.06 68.84% -0.46 -0.0752
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1479 38.95% 38.21 3.478 81.0% 0.637 0.142
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 30 23.33% 39.7 5.955 86.67% 1.282 0.7352
Lightning's Swift Strike 313 59.35% 34.74 -1.806 71.88% -0.209 -0.0265
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 69 46.38% 33.62 2.568 69.57% 0.434 -0.1026
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 212 50.24% 36.01 3.046 74.06% 0.344 0.053
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 166 45.78% 39.6 -0.403 75.9% 0.052 -0.0959
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1735 37.91% 40.34 2.949 87.2% 0.664 0.4132
Many Minds Move as One 1305 29.43% 40.13 0.733 88.58% 0.219 0.0622
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 885 47.62% 37.63 -0.524 74.24% -0.134 -0.1238
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 626 42.49% 36.71 -1.384 79.55% -0.186 -0.3319
River Surges in Sunlight 638 45.2% 41.33 1.249 81.35% 0.135 0.1724
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 269 56.51% 36.61 0.107 73.23% 0.057 0.3172
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 125 33.33% 41.17 6.179 74.4% 0.776 0.7256
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 622 46.78% 35.81 0.662 77.81% 0.031 -0.1432
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 252 57.94% 33.02 0.163 68.25% -0.221 0.3918
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 24 66.67% 24.13 -5.212 45.83% -0.314 -0.2104
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 36 44.44% 37.14 3.729 77.78% 0.55 -0.0319
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 40 40.0% 33.98 -0.019 75.0% -0.067 -0.0204
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 186 50.54% 36.46 -2.463 75.27% -0.403 -0.322
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 139 63.31% 34.53 -2.686 73.38% -0.496 -0.2883
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1128 35.26% 39.24 -2.194 84.84% -0.419 -0.3401
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 155 33.55% 31.12 -0.915 64.52% -0.202 -0.5247
Shifting Memory of Ages 363 53.72% 31.92 -1.999 66.39% -0.449 -0.1834
Shroud of Silent Mist 398 58.29% 33.54 -2.914 70.35% -0.475 -0.1074
Starlight Seeks its Form 420 38.1% 37.35 1.954 77.62% 0.54 0.3124
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 913 35.53% 33.46 0.238 73.06% 0.106 -0.2504
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 735 34.88% 39.17 -4.546 82.99% -0.752 -0.6192
Thunderspeaker 589 44.22% 39.48 -3.145 77.59% -0.762 -0.7326
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 49 32.65% 20.51 -9.473 42.86% -1.207 -0.9678
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 554 70.04% 32.28 -3.364 71.12% -0.542 -0.3516
Vital Strength of the Earth 300 43.33% 33.13 -1.856 71.33% -0.121 0.4363
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 52 34.62% 31.29 -1.534 65.38% -0.123 0.2868
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 197 47.72% 30.72 -2.029 67.51% -0.063 0.6651
Volcano Looming High 621 53.39% 32.37 -2.107 69.08% -0.191 -0.1721
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 37 35.14% 34.43 2.835 75.68% 0.564 -0.0297

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 10 10.0% 19.6 -0.114 50.0% 0.269 0.1293
Blitz 0 274 38.32% 33.24 0.872 60.58% 0.027 0.1382
Dahan Insurrection 4 231 22.51% 62.53 4.653 81.82% -0.596 -0.8308
Despicable Theft 2 62 62.9% 36.89 -2.596 54.84% -0.418 0.2248
Elemental Invocation 1 127 49.61% 28.54 -6.809 55.12% -1.061 -0.2593
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 635 24.57% 41.56 -3.869 79.84% -0.627 -1.4008
Powers Long Forgotten 1 134 57.46% 32.42 -4.596 57.46% -0.964 -0.1912
Rituals of Terror 3 71 54.93% 33.92 -9.893 45.07% -1.108 -1.0922
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 50 64.0% 30.76 -9.382 40.0% -0.809 0.2478
Second Wave 0 436 47.48% 37.17 4.073 73.17% 0.416 0.496
The Great River 3 77 53.25% 32.34 -6.328 44.16% -1.203 -0.0741
Varied Terrains 2 27 62.96% 26.48 -0.547 40.74% -0.178 0.514
Ward the Shores 2 108 56.48% 38.8 -6.452 62.04% -0.731 0.1324

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8918 45.1% 35.08 -0.171 74.6% 0.407 0.6077
1 Thematic 807 50.19% 33.23 -5.64 56.63% -0.956 -0.236
2 Archipelago 17 41.18% 38.06 -3.221 64.71% -0.306 -0.051
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2007 45.84% 36.19 1.464 80.72% 0.785 0.7928
2 Coastline 206 43.9% 37.59 -1.843 83.5% -0.032 -0.237
2 Fragment 45 55.56% 35.82 -0.454 77.78% 0.282 0.0049
2 Heart 31 54.84% 34.81 0.0 74.19%
2 Opposite Shores 350 42.98% 35.57 -0.007 77.43% 0.43 0.4872
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 354 39.83% 39.5 2.449 75.99% 0.296 0.7481
2 Top to Top 51 41.18% 39.94 4.763 88.24% 0.49 0.3921
3 Archipelago 6 83.33% 34.33 0.0 33.33%
3 Coastline 16 68.75% 45.38 0.0 93.75%
3 Other 34 52.94% 34.53 -1.624 73.53% -0.195 -0.2236
3 Round (Default) 752 41.62% 38.84 1.764 84.31% 0.606 0.3802
3 Sunrise 4 0.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 68 44.12% 40.81 -4.239 76.47% -0.723 -0.5268
4 Archipelago 13 53.85% 36.15 -12.686 38.46% -1.299 -2.4852
4 Coastline 6 83.33% 38.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 43.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 13 53.85% 40.08 3.819 92.31% 0.256 -1.1018
4 Thematic 159 20.13% 55.99 1.975 89.94% -0.161 -0.3598
4 Trapezoid (Default) 360 29.53% 39.91 1.172 89.17% 0.798 0.5542
5 Other 41 64.1% 36.73 3.126 73.17% 0.288 -0.7686
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 37.0 -5.775 66.67% -0.084 -0.5626
6 Archipelago 5 0.0% 40.8 -13.387 80.0% -0.513 -1.2493
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 58.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 4 50.0% 53.0 0.0 75.0%
6 Star 2 50.0% 43.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 21 38.1% 42.62 5.59 71.43% 0.395 1.1489
6 Two Centers (Default) 22 40.91% 29.14 -10.984 59.09% -0.774 -1.3541
7 Other 2 0.0% 48.0 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 472 30.74 4.27 62.29% 0.825 0.9853
Aid From Lesser Spirits 360 31.61 -1.209 62.5% -0.241 -0.3271
All Things Weaken 499 29.68 1.386 57.92% 0.012 0.3544
Attenuated Essence 31 22.68 1.1 45.16% -0.28 -0.2057
Back Against the Wall 386 31.54 4.169 62.18% 0.716 0.7914
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 29 25.38 3.508 48.28% 0.522 0.7132
Burn Brightest Before the End 24 33.54 3.398 62.5% 0.345 0.4688
Disintegrating Ecosystem 407 27.15 -2.139 52.58% -0.675 -0.3019
Downward Spiral 473 31.49 1.666 67.44% 0.026 0.1632
Erosion of Will 433 30.07 0.956 60.28% -0.097 0.198
Intensifying Exploitation 30 26.23 -5.92 56.67% -0.566 -0.3272
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 204 36.75 3.628 82.84% 0.445 -0.0874
Memory Fades to Dust 448 30.38 0.427 64.51% 0.187 0.4676
Power Corrodes the Spirit 439 29.67 1.952 61.5% 0.116 0.269
Promising Farmlands 434 29.05 2.137 61.06% 0.076 0.4224
Shattered Fragments of Power 24 23.29 -1.075 50.0% -0.16 0.035
Slow Dissolution of Will 27 26.3 -2.412 48.15% -0.768 -0.3164
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 144 37.45 9.476 87.5% 1.589 0.8487
The Border of Life and Death 16 33.19 7.469 68.75% 0.503 0.0696
Thriving Communities 500 30.07 2.68 63.6% 0.669 0.9672
Thriving Crops 16 27.75 5.872 62.5% 0.601 0.4986
Unnatural Proliferation 508 31.12 -0.5 62.6% -0.391 -0.2453
Untended Land Crumbles 479 30.04 1.917 63.05% 0.328 0.6271

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2419 45.09% 35.92 -0.033 77.59% -0.419 0.5749
B 2550 45.27% 36.54 0.272 79.76% -0.234 0.6846
C 2680 42.01% 36.54 -0.263 78.43% -0.35 0.3925
D 2419 45.07% 35.76 -0.199 75.94% -0.472 0.4793
E 2445 43.24% 36.69 1.302 78.77% -0.149 0.6315
F 2280 44.51% 36.32 1.013 79.04% -0.123 0.7691
G 1923 44.71% 35.73 -0.015 77.02% -0.378 0.4777
H 2105 40.94% 36.95 0.897 80.29% -0.202 0.6461
East 910 38.35% 41.53 1.194 72.53% 0.238 1.0071
Northeast 445 38.2% 45.79 3.483 79.1% 0.651 1.4388
Northwest 396 39.14% 42.43 -3.681 71.97% -1.361 -0.3778
Southeast 318 35.85% 39.13 -3.629 71.38% -0.633 0.2412
Southwest 296 43.92% 34.28 1.756 65.2% 0.257 1.4649
West 862 43.97% 37.9 -0.707 65.89% -0.384 0.5507

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 8 0.0% 68.13 0.0 100.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 7 42.86% 22.14 -11.165 42.86% -0.299 0.2077
Skip Initial Invader Actions 231 9.73% 50.94 10.888 87.01% 0.909 0.2737
Start of Game Growth 370 15.11% 47.89 5.391 87.03% 0.24 -0.1491
Unlimited Undo 1184 34.58% 35.08 -4.161 71.28% -0.953 -0.9086
Using Tokens but Not Events 930 42.19% 34.21 1.238 74.41% 0.487 0.4602

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1696 17.67 0.24%
II 3326 30.7 66.03%
III 6256 34.75 89.66%
IV 3048 38.22 99.74%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.634 Win Model: 0.523
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 9818 45.57% 34.89 72.93%
2 3015 45.1% 36.81 80.46%
3 857 41.54% 38.99 83.55%
4 551 28.78% 44.74 88.93%
5 29 60.71% 33.59 68.97%
6 56 36.36% 38.13 66.07%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5455
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2036
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3022
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 858
Lose: Invader deck ran out 37
Lose: Adversary condition 994
Win: Sacrifice victory 77
Lose: Scenario condition 89
Win: Scenario condition 255
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1391
Lose: Spirit destroyed 108

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 694 55.65% 37.34 1.972 59.94% 0.51 0.3878
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 503 73.8% 36.09 0.656 55.67% 0.148 0.3891
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 39 53.85% 38.23 4.223 66.67% 0.779 -0.222
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 659 60.49% 39.3 -1.349 63.43% 0.111 -0.1154
Downpour Drenches the World 207 60.19% 29.86 -2.108 45.89% -0.218 0.1067
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 314 56.37% 33.04 -1.183 56.37% -0.01 -0.5097
Eyes Watch From the Trees 900 50.45% 42.79 3.33 71.0% 0.911 0.4507
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 385 63.28% 37.33 1.299 57.92% 0.617 0.1874
Finder of Paths Unseen 74 58.11% 25.41 -8.085 33.78% -1.287 -0.4639
Fractured Days Split the Sky 362 67.13% 35.78 -5.852 50.0% -0.572 0.0254
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 462 61.04% 34.64 -1.549 54.11% -0.19 -0.1913
Heart of the Wildfire 731 81.78% 30.76 -1.632 44.87% -0.056 0.3286
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1995 55.28% 39.55 1.483 65.51% 0.311 -0.184
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 38 47.37% 33.5 3.246 55.26% 0.617 0.0697
Lightning's Swift Strike 305 76.59% 35.7 -4.489 50.49% -0.862 -0.679
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 112 64.86% 39.61 0.534 69.64% 0.516 -0.0206
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 221 65.16% 40.85 4.274 68.33% 0.631 0.3404
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 157 61.78% 38.34 -5.986 57.96% -0.737 -0.885
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2631 48.91% 45.21 5.305 79.21% 1.104 0.8531
Many Minds Move as One 1365 51.14% 44.51 1.602 77.22% 0.473 0.316
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 847 65.87% 35.25 -3.773 52.77% -0.926 -0.9154
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 585 63.53% 37.84 0.293 60.17% 0.241 0.095
River Surges in Sunlight 655 74.19% 37.75 0.481 53.44% 0.176 0.2137
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 250 78.0% 29.56 -1.944 36.8% -0.698 -0.4384
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 108 58.33% 36.29 0.474 53.7% 0.095 0.0447
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 621 67.47% 36.11 0.177 56.84% 0.047 -0.1277
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 203 83.25% 32.83 -3.309 44.83% -0.471 0.1414
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 35 68.57% 38.2 4.846 62.86% 0.591 0.6943
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 56 55.36% 36.57 4.562 58.93% 0.772 0.1901
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 48 64.58% 37.52 -1.839 64.58% -0.035 0.0113
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 194 71.13% 36.21 -4.8 55.67% -0.267 -0.1864
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 172 79.07% 35.32 -4.123 54.07% -0.728 -0.5204
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1275 50.31% 44.43 -1.051 75.37% 0.017 0.096
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 106 52.83% 32.87 4.094 56.6% 0.779 0.4563
Shifting Memory of Ages 338 66.86% 33.71 -3.485 53.55% -0.098 0.1676
Shroud of Silent Mist 415 71.6% 34.64 1.944 55.42% 0.515 0.8826
Starlight Seeks its Form 678 57.82% 35.64 -2.405 56.93% -0.218 -0.4453
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1151 53.48% 34.15 -2.86 54.65% -0.438 -0.7944
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 829 57.28% 40.54 1.792 68.4% 0.494 0.627
Thunderspeaker 570 67.25% 36.26 -5.763 52.81% -0.863 -0.8341
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 36 55.56% 23.58 1.696 33.33% 0.424 0.6641
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 666 84.98% 31.84 -4.01 48.2% -0.868 -0.6771
Vital Strength of the Earth 279 69.06% 31.54 -4.989 44.8% -0.77 -0.2126
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 77 67.53% 25.97 -0.38 33.77% -0.038 0.372
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 213 65.26% 30.69 -4.594 46.48% -0.738 -0.0097
Volcano Looming High 714 69.42% 35.1 -2.464 57.42% -0.2 -0.1807
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 62 56.45% 29.81 0.601 48.39% 0.228 -0.3658

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 0.0% 42.0 -18.751 75.0% -0.682 -0.822
Blitz 0 153 60.13% 30.42 5.267 32.68% -0.352 -0.2414
Dahan Insurrection 4 119 48.74% 54.98 -4.029 57.14% -0.547 -0.7822
Despicable Theft 2 23 60.87% 37.91 -9.606 47.83% -0.82 -0.1771
Elemental Invocation 1 80 72.5% 32.76 -8.512 47.5% -0.874 -0.0724
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 823 34.99% 47.17 3.745 75.94% 0.367 -0.4067
Powers Long Forgotten 1 80 53.75% 32.35 -6.106 40.0% -0.698 0.0752
Rituals of Terror 3 47 68.09% 33.02 -5.942 27.66% -0.577 -0.5609
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 19 47.37% 30.68 -1.501 31.58% -0.458 0.5987
Second Wave 0 309 66.34% 35.69 -5.52 49.84% -0.913 -0.8324
The Great River 3 41 63.41% 42.51 5.899 51.22% 0.047 1.1756
Varied Terrains 2 12 41.67% 21.58 -2.936 33.33% -0.106 0.5863
Ward the Shores 2 60 70.0% 35.28 -7.706 40.0% -1.178 -0.3145

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10782 59.57% 37.15 0.282 59.45% -0.11 0.0908
1 Thematic 621 66.83% 35.04 -5.174 44.28% -1.107 -0.3876
2 Archipelago 11 72.73% 37.82 -4.1 45.45% -0.382 -0.1277
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2370 63.28% 37.21 -0.557 62.24% -0.23 -0.222
2 Coastline 249 61.04% 41.16 8.718 68.27% 1.412 1.2064
2 Fragment 66 63.64% 37.18 3.078 57.58% 0.167 -0.1102
2 Heart 24 75.0% 40.42 0.0 70.83%
2 Opposite Shores 456 62.64% 37.39 -3.234 60.09% -0.701 -0.6441
2 Thematic 173 68.79% 35.81 1.377 46.24% -0.102 0.3497
2 Top to Top 72 59.72% 41.36 -0.871 70.83% -0.11 -0.2076
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 48.83 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 6 50.0% 46.0 -15.58 66.67% -0.33 -0.8966
3 Other 36 77.78% 41.81 16.235 69.44% 0.904 0.8749
3 Round (Default) 967 60.5% 39.37 0.17 65.25% -0.172 -0.3984
3 Sunrise 4 50.0% 45.25 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 40 70.0% 46.65 2.378 67.5% -0.026 0.171
4 Archipelago 3 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 4 25.0% 44.25 -10.19 75.0% -0.115 -0.7016
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 56.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 21 57.14% 48.62 10.967 90.48% 0.93 -0.427
4 Thematic 53 60.38% 45.62 0.0 62.26%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 310 60.53% 42.25 2.367 72.26% 0.362 0.1183
5 Other 30 58.33% 43.03 -7.167 60.0% -0.623 -1.6796
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 9.5 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 9 0.0% 63.78 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 2 50.0% 46.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 6 50.0% 47.17 0.0 66.67%
6 Two Centers (Default) 26 57.69% 39.5 1.348 65.38% 0.011 -0.5682
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -11.209 0.0% -0.239 -0.6506

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 677 33.2 4.784 49.04% 0.835 0.9944
Aid From Lesser Spirits 612 34.06 3.578 46.57% 0.301 0.2148
All Things Weaken 747 30.56 -2.968 43.37% -0.846 -0.5036
Attenuated Essence 68 28.76 2.853 44.12% 0.297 0.3715
Back Against the Wall 540 32.41 -2.171 44.81% -0.803 -0.7279
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 54 29.91 2.698 42.59% 0.447 0.6383
Burn Brightest Before the End 49 29.14 5.672 44.9% 0.594 0.7174
Disintegrating Ecosystem 705 27.58 -2.58 36.88% -0.701 -0.3277
Downward Spiral 763 31.4 0.929 47.44% 0.142 0.2783
Erosion of Will 721 30.81 -1.629 43.41% -0.545 -0.2501
Intensifying Exploitation 67 24.25 0.764 37.31% 0.179 0.4175
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 223 39.48 -0.249 69.51% -0.036 -0.5678
Memory Fades to Dust 718 31.12 1.021 46.24% 0.138 0.4188
Power Corrodes the Spirit 703 30.19 4.294 43.95% 0.881 1.0342
Promising Farmlands 652 29.61 -0.71 41.87% -0.149 0.1972
Shattered Fragments of Power 54 26.78 -2.329 31.48% -0.943 -0.7484
Slow Dissolution of Will 59 26.32 -3.184 38.98% -0.369 0.0822
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 164 43.15 -0.935 78.05% 0.092 -0.6482
The Border of Life and Death 13 30.77 -2.552 46.15% -0.491 -0.924
Thriving Communities 788 32.42 2.27 51.4% 0.182 0.4802
Thriving Crops 31 25.42 -1.335 41.94% -0.259 -0.3614
Unnatural Proliferation 767 31.12 -3.47 42.89% -1.08 -0.9349
Untended Land Crumbles 739 30.66 -1.541 45.2% -0.565 -0.2659

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2929 60.8% 37.43 -0.283 61.11% 0.11 1.1044
B 2989 60.23% 37.85 1.185 62.3% 0.448 1.3663
C 3246 59.18% 38.89 0.482 63.59% 0.29 1.033
D 2807 60.82% 37.51 -0.432 60.81% -0.011 0.941
E 3024 59.35% 38.8 0.81 63.56% 0.126 0.9065
F 2614 62.84% 37.93 -0.243 62.01% 0.183 1.0755
G 2214 61.28% 37.59 -0.81 61.02% 0.083 0.9388
H 2331 60.9% 38.76 0.283 62.98% 0.166 1.0147
East 556 65.29% 37.62 2.014 47.84% 0.569 1.3383
Northeast 230 64.78% 38.09 0.589 47.83% 0.173 0.9604
Northwest 199 61.31% 37.18 -8.073 48.74% -0.804 0.1795
Southeast 201 66.67% 38.21 -6.148 50.75% -0.901 -0.0262
Southwest 147 70.07% 39.03 1.892 56.46% -0.036 1.1719
West 478 66.74% 36.82 -2.275 48.33% -0.39 0.5446

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 20 0.0% 64.75 0.0 85.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 5 100.0% 20.8 0.0 20.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 258 16.73% 60.38 13.945 91.47% 1.66 1.0251
Start of Game Growth 367 22.32% 56.72 8.433 88.56% 0.442 0.0529
Unlimited Undo 1201 50.68% 42.32 1.656 70.11% 0.261 0.3058
Using Tokens but Not Events 749 62.41% 34.87 1.432 55.54% 0.609 0.5814

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2698 17.67 0.33%
II 5907 30.7 47.38%
III 4922 34.75 85.39%
IV 2831 38.22 99.51%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.216 Win Model: -0.179
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11463 59.93% 37.0 58.53%
2 3387 63.66% 37.76 62.15%
3 1049 60.63% 39.75 65.59%
4 386 58.95% 43.27 72.02%
5 29 56.52% 42.34 58.62%
6 44 44.19% 44.91 70.45%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 9
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4143
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2725
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2798
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1008
Lose: Invader deck ran out 4
Lose: Adversary condition 2007
Win: Sacrifice victory 61
Lose: Scenario condition 103
Win: Scenario condition 92
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3230
Lose: Spirit destroyed 178

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 444 59.32% 41.83 -0.151 61.04% 0.285 0.1625
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 312 74.84% 36.67 -5.469 50.0% -0.963 -0.7222
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 30 30.0% 42.7 5.508 66.67% 0.954 -0.0473
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 421 67.14% 43.33 1.868 64.85% 0.473 0.2464
Downpour Drenches the World 145 63.89% 33.97 -5.044 49.66% -0.514 -0.1892
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 246 43.5% 36.06 1.879 55.28% 0.561 0.0614
Eyes Watch From the Trees 650 53.0% 45.95 0.876 68.46% 0.554 0.0936
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 268 56.72% 43.93 2.783 61.57% 0.576 0.1467
Finder of Paths Unseen 65 49.23% 28.57 -5.393 36.92% -0.619 0.2037
Fractured Days Split the Sky 328 62.39% 39.78 -5.528 49.7% -0.866 -0.2692
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 313 59.74% 41.02 -5.888 59.11% -0.865 -0.866
Heart of the Wildfire 470 73.99% 37.2 -6.091 54.04% -0.63 -0.2455
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1768 47.23% 46.35 -0.598 74.6% 0.337 -0.158
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 40 37.5% 33.15 -0.216 50.0% 0.104 -0.4429
Lightning's Swift Strike 189 75.0% 38.66 -0.486 50.79% -0.021 0.1615
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 131 58.78% 51.7 9.331 69.47% 0.979 0.4422
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 160 59.12% 43.49 -7.536 64.38% -0.469 -0.7598
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 141 51.77% 40.43 -1.714 60.28% -0.009 -0.157
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2420 43.38% 50.68 4.087 81.12% 0.868 0.6165
Many Minds Move as One 1027 49.07% 50.32 1.282 79.75% 0.392 0.2351
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 593 66.72% 38.31 1.582 53.29% 0.302 0.3128
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 455 69.25% 39.88 -2.515 57.58% -0.155 -0.3011
River Surges in Sunlight 492 67.42% 41.36 -1.048 55.89% 0.275 0.3125
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 182 66.48% 36.7 -5.534 44.51% -0.568 -0.3077
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 98 52.04% 37.83 -4.556 51.02% -0.654 -0.7045
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 495 61.41% 39.73 -2.938 55.56% -0.15 -0.3244
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 126 76.0% 36.35 -14.953 45.24% -0.496 0.1162
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 24 70.83% 46.71 0.304 66.67% 0.102 0.2061
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 55 45.45% 43.38 5.477 70.91% 1.121 0.5396
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 39 58.97% 34.31 -0.171 41.03% 0.254 0.3001
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 137 72.99% 39.18 -1.782 53.28% -0.052 0.0289
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 115 75.65% 38.68 -10.529 52.17% -0.796 -0.5877
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1362 40.01% 52.03 5.574 81.2% 0.89 0.9691
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 121 36.36% 31.62 4.708 47.93% 0.668 0.3454
Shifting Memory of Ages 260 70.77% 39.25 -5.083 56.54% -0.627 -0.3621
Shroud of Silent Mist 264 74.22% 37.64 0.078 51.52% 0.345 0.7124
Starlight Seeks its Form 450 57.78% 40.77 1.519 61.33% 0.595 0.3673
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 818 54.9% 40.12 -1.72 58.92% -0.188 -0.5442
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 711 59.43% 43.58 -0.019 66.67% 0.125 0.2579
Thunderspeaker 353 69.32% 40.25 -10.155 56.09% -1.053 -1.024
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 41 63.41% 29.37 -2.555 34.15% -0.187 0.0524
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 618 82.36% 38.81 4.523 58.74% 0.931 1.1214
Vital Strength of the Earth 193 78.01% 32.3 -5.555 37.31% -0.803 -0.2458
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 57 66.67% 34.0 -6.877 47.37% -0.295 0.115
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 129 72.87% 33.53 -6.893 46.51% -0.771 -0.0429
Volcano Looming High 567 67.14% 37.79 -0.252 54.85% 0.161 0.1803
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 53 56.6% 29.77 -2.24 47.17% -0.083 -0.6769

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 75.0% 14.25 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 82 70.73% 27.0 -10.68 26.83% -0.629 -0.5178
Dahan Insurrection 4 67 37.31% 64.97 0.0 62.69%
Despicable Theft 2 26 57.69% 35.77 -6.733 42.31% -0.75 -0.1066
Elemental Invocation 1 38 52.63% 41.74 -7.242 63.16% -0.736 0.0663
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 659 26.4% 52.03 6.578 74.81% 0.657 -0.1173
Powers Long Forgotten 1 34 61.76% 26.06 -11.21 23.53% -0.962 -0.1888
Rituals of Terror 3 43 62.79% 30.91 -7.67 30.23% -0.684 -0.6683
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 19 68.42% 32.11 -10.395 26.32% -0.675 0.3819
Second Wave 0 169 59.52% 45.52 0.514 60.95% 0.001 0.0812
The Great River 3 21 66.67% 31.9 -13.786 23.81% -0.255 0.8739
Varied Terrains 2 15 33.33% 17.73 -12.001 20.0% -0.815 -0.1228
Ward the Shores 2 29 72.41% 28.52 -2.287 27.59% -0.559 0.3043

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8576 56.84% 42.69 0.12 63.65% 0.027 0.2276
1 Thematic 325 59.69% 37.35 -3.616 45.54% -0.328 0.3911
2 Archipelago 2 50.0% 90.0 0.0 100.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1714 64.47% 41.82 -0.178 62.89% -0.135 -0.1278
2 Coastline 214 64.95% 43.27 4.991 65.89% 0.622 0.4174
2 Fragment 29 72.41% 46.38 -13.372 72.41% -0.809 -1.0866
2 Heart 20 70.0% 45.65 4.82 65.0% -0.113 -0.333
2 Opposite Shores 443 46.95% 47.05 3.623 76.07% 0.485 0.5421
2 Thematic 95 78.95% 44.73 4.642 55.79% 0.477 0.9283
2 Top to Top 106 37.74% 44.63 8.102 72.64% 0.675 0.5768
3 Archipelago 2 50.0% 70.5 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 13 38.46% 58.92 0.0 92.31%
3 Other 16 50.0% 48.13 3.891 81.25% 0.239 0.2102
3 Round (Default) 742 58.97% 42.6 -0.995 66.17% -0.188 -0.4137
3 Sunrise 5 80.0% 38.0 0.0 60.0%
3 Thematic 28 67.86% 30.61 -10.738 28.57% -0.506 -0.3095
4 Coastline 9 22.22% 52.67 0.0 77.78%
4 Other 12 75.0% 52.67 0.0 91.67%
4 Thematic 70 45.71% 55.74 11.222 78.57% 0.465 0.2664
4 Trapezoid (Default) 240 57.64% 46.55 0.611 70.83% -0.16 -0.4032
5 Other 17 46.67% 41.18 0.0 58.82%
5 Thematic 8 12.5% 42.38 -14.263 37.5% -0.339 -0.8172
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -10.962 0.0% -0.167 -0.9039
6 Other 3 0.0% 55.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Star 6 50.0% 41.67 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 26 3.85% 60.58 3.029 65.38% -0.148 0.6066
6 Two Centers (Default) 34 14.71% 48.09 -9.307 76.47% -0.109 -0.6885

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 562 35.46 -2.207 46.26% -0.532 -0.3722
Aid From Lesser Spirits 427 37.97 -0.2 50.82% -0.146 -0.2327
All Things Weaken 539 35.85 1.375 48.24% 0.165 0.507
Attenuated Essence 41 32.78 -0.113 41.46% -0.266 -0.1916
Back Against the Wall 426 37.07 1.006 48.36% -0.194 -0.119
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 40 25.65 -0.389 32.5% -0.279 -0.0882
Burn Brightest Before the End 29 41.14 7.061 58.62% 0.715 0.8383
Disintegrating Ecosystem 497 30.2 -5.114 36.42% -1.218 -0.845
Downward Spiral 523 35.21 -3.396 51.05% -0.64 -0.5029
Erosion of Will 526 35.64 1.55 47.91% 0.223 0.5178
Intensifying Exploitation 35 30.74 -0.76 45.71% 0.03 0.2682
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 160 49.78 5.597 83.13% 0.761 0.2289
Memory Fades to Dust 582 34.73 2.039 46.74% 0.153 0.4335
Power Corrodes the Spirit 567 36.01 0.175 50.79% -0.266 -0.113
Promising Farmlands 490 33.29 -3.265 45.51% -0.591 -0.2444
Shattered Fragments of Power 31 35.13 3.392 48.39% 0.228 0.4225
Slow Dissolution of Will 40 36.02 4.266 55.0% 0.559 1.0098
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 103 48.58 6.978 81.55% 0.816 0.0757
The Border of Life and Death 11 33.27 -1.018 54.55% -0.337 -0.7705
Thriving Communities 556 36.23 1.324 51.98% 0.205 0.5037
Thriving Crops 15 34.27 -1.928 60.0% -0.172 -0.274
Unnatural Proliferation 584 36.24 -1.022 47.43% -0.366 -0.2212
Untended Land Crumbles 553 34.12 -1.921 45.21% -0.762 -0.4629

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2088 59.8% 43.08 2.138 65.09% 0.272 1.2662
B 2513 54.95% 44.19 -0.872 68.05% -0.156 0.7618
C 2556 56.14% 43.58 1.614 65.96% -0.015 0.7272
D 2152 56.8% 42.0 -0.304 63.15% -0.205 0.7467
E 2438 55.2% 44.73 2.027 68.33% 0.321 1.1019
F 2051 60.45% 41.86 -1.694 62.7% -0.287 0.606
G 1756 61.36% 41.73 -2.044 62.59% -0.449 0.406
H 1868 57.0% 43.42 -0.851 65.52% -0.148 0.7003
East 351 57.55% 44.95 1.206 53.85% -0.047 0.7221
Northeast 186 56.45% 46.38 -2.784 54.84% -0.614 0.1732
Northwest 168 50.6% 45.2 -1.081 54.17% -0.213 0.7704
Southeast 144 47.92% 48.5 7.017 61.11% 0.744 1.6183
Southwest 141 48.23% 43.33 -4.746 54.61% -0.708 0.5001
West 333 55.26% 42.66 -4.317 53.15% -0.776 0.1587

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 17 0.0% 73.71 0.0 94.12%
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 33.33% 19.0 0.0 0.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 183 16.07% 61.93 9.727 90.16% 0.146 -0.4892
Start of Game Growth 423 26.47% 58.34 7.358 86.76% 1.016 0.6266
Unlimited Undo 1228 56.23% 46.92 -0.603 72.48% 0.055 0.099
Using Tokens but Not Events 508 48.47% 44.74 -0.466 68.31% -0.19 -0.2169

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1604 17.67 0.44%
II 4780 30.7 52.13%
III 4620 34.75 84.76%
IV 1756 38.22 99.72%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.253 Win Model: 0.017
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8935 57.0% 42.5 62.98%
2 2606 60.97% 43.18 65.81%
3 802 59.05% 42.61 65.71%
4 332 53.13% 49.2 72.89%
5 15 35.71% 33.47 46.67%
6 70 12.86% 51.8 68.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 7
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3872
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2438
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1741
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 786
Lose: Invader deck ran out 6
Lose: Adversary condition 1137
Win: Sacrifice victory 58
Lose: Scenario condition 66
Win: Scenario condition 50
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2452
Lose: Spirit destroyed 147

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 282 75.8% 40.44 -0.764 39.01% 0.49 0.3677
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 162 83.95% 30.6 -5.393 18.52% -0.352 -0.1111
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 36 58.33% 31.97 -0.477 30.56% -0.036 -1.0377
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 236 77.97% 35.39 -3.454 30.51% -0.25 -0.477
Downpour Drenches the World 107 62.62% 33.67 -1.49 33.64% -0.291 0.0347
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 213 66.2% 32.95 0.563 35.21% 0.435 -0.0647
Eyes Watch From the Trees 476 67.23% 45.22 -1.182 47.27% -0.329 -0.7898
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 135 85.07% 31.72 -4.807 20.0% -0.365 -0.7945
Finder of Paths Unseen 68 70.59% 31.24 -3.682 25.0% -0.611 0.212
Fractured Days Split the Sky 157 66.88% 46.45 -0.761 43.95% 0.145 0.7416
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 165 82.42% 36.24 -2.769 29.09% -0.15 -0.1504
Heart of the Wildfire 303 85.15% 34.47 0.603 29.37% 0.38 0.7647
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1299 55.08% 46.3 1.294 56.27% 0.735 0.2398
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 12 75.0% 28.92 0.32 33.33% 0.403 -0.1444
Lightning's Swift Strike 114 85.09% 36.41 -10.051 29.82% -0.474 -0.2912
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 52 69.23% 38.31 0.769 40.38% 0.356 -0.1811
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 113 74.34% 39.59 -9.367 40.71% -0.346 -0.6367
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 49 59.18% 37.55 -4.148 40.82% 0.023 -0.125
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1903 55.47% 47.37 3.58 58.96% 1.204 0.9527
Many Minds Move as One 634 75.08% 42.62 0.687 45.43% 0.66 0.5027
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 312 78.53% 36.28 1.703 30.77% 0.608 0.6185
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 228 84.21% 34.17 -8.584 27.63% -0.975 -1.1208
River Surges in Sunlight 271 78.23% 42.06 -3.454 38.75% -0.642 -0.6042
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 80 85.0% 31.94 -13.986 21.25% -0.12 0.14
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 97 75.26% 42.61 2.759 47.42% 0.413 0.3625
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 286 75.87% 36.84 -4.495 31.12% -0.826 -0.9999
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 73 90.41% 27.33 -7.34 10.96% -0.367 0.2452
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 10 70.0% 42.1 -4.984 50.0% -0.129 -0.0252
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 52 50.0% 45.56 6.271 57.69% 1.028 0.4462
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 17 64.71% 35.94 -8.146 29.41% -0.243 -0.1969
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 72 88.89% 33.21 -6.986 20.83% -0.395 -0.3147
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 66 93.94% 32.41 4.641 21.21% 0.432 0.6399
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 697 69.54% 46.7 -0.062 51.94% 0.248 0.3267
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 66 60.61% 22.79 6.037 24.24% 0.822 0.4999
Shifting Memory of Ages 92 79.35% 38.65 -1.872 34.78% -0.254 0.0113
Shroud of Silent Mist 142 93.66% 28.49 -5.746 15.49% -0.643 -0.2756
Starlight Seeks its Form 392 77.3% 38.23 0.896 36.73% 0.463 0.2352
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 526 69.96% 35.91 -4.302 35.93% 0.008 -0.3481
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 472 73.31% 44.95 3.787 48.73% 0.731 0.8638
Thunderspeaker 208 85.99% 37.64 0.3 26.92% 0.073 0.1025
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 9 44.44% 10.56 -9.559 0.0% -0.32 -0.0806
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 389 92.54% 36.16 -1.332 32.65% -0.491 -0.2998
Vital Strength of the Earth 85 82.14% 35.35 -6.83 29.41% -0.302 0.2553
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 36 69.44% 33.28 -7.143 27.78% -0.725 -0.315
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 92 88.04% 30.86 -6.248 18.48% -0.525 0.2034
Volcano Looming High 245 73.88% 38.51 -1.799 39.59% 0.199 0.2186
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 20 65.0% 29.0 -2.146 30.0% -0.052 -0.6462

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 50.0% 15.5 0.515 0.0% -0.095 -0.2344
Blitz 0 28 60.71% 30.0 -6.526 25.0% -0.223 -0.112
Dahan Insurrection 4 50 62.0% 66.84 -10.7 42.0% -0.194 -0.429
Despicable Theft 2 10 60.0% 47.0 10.76 40.0% 0.251 0.8944
Elemental Invocation 1 35 82.86% 21.66 -7.421 5.71% -0.816 -0.0138
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 490 33.06% 56.45 6.788 65.92% 0.799 0.0246
Powers Long Forgotten 1 28 82.14% 21.79 -6.46 3.57% -1.086 -0.313
Rituals of Terror 3 14 92.86% 30.29 -4.541 7.14% -0.212 -0.1957
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 3 66.67% 66.0 0.0 66.67%
Second Wave 0 104 76.92% 39.53 0.0 31.73%
The Great River 3 6 66.67% 30.83 0.0 16.67%
Varied Terrains 2 1 0.0% 0.0 -11.043 0.0% -0.126 0.5658
Ward the Shores 2 17 88.24% 37.12 5.055 23.53% 0.338 1.2006

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5858 65.67% 42.82 0.285 47.12% -0.105 0.0954
1 Thematic 300 73.0% 39.19 -1.025 30.33% -0.606 0.1136
2 Archipelago 7 71.43% 91.14 0.0 57.14%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1080 82.69% 37.69 -1.792 34.35% -0.168 -0.1598
2 Coastline 128 63.28% 47.7 14.445 55.47% 1.149 0.9436
2 Fragment 31 96.77% 34.68 14.723 25.81% 0.585 0.3072
2 Heart 19 78.95% 39.32 0.0 47.37%
2 Opposite Shores 202 58.42% 34.74 -5.114 37.13% -0.626 -0.5689
2 Thematic 44 75.0% 38.77 22.977 20.45% 0.66 1.112
2 Top to Top 94 42.55% 28.7 1.67 32.98% -0.476 -0.5734
3 Archipelago 2 0.0% 0.0 -10.7 0.0% -0.194 -0.9852
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 57.75 0.0 62.5%
3 Other 18 88.89% 46.94 0.0 38.89%
3 Round (Default) 408 76.72% 41.36 1.525 44.12% 0.008 -0.2179
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 23.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 12 83.33% 39.17 -3.314 33.33% -0.112 0.0851
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 28.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 74.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 4 50.0% 45.75 0.351 50.0% -0.17 -1.5272
4 Thematic 29 75.86% 38.07 -14.796 31.03% -0.099 -0.2976
4 Trapezoid (Default) 151 83.33% 39.23 13.752 37.75% 1.017 0.7735
5 Other 9 55.56% 45.11 0.0 55.56%
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 145.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 3 0.0% 0.0 -16.156 0.0% -0.65 -0.7072
6 Thematic 4 25.0% 0.0 -4.159 0.0% -0.226 0.5284
6 Two Centers (Default) 5 20.0% 46.4 0.0 40.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 438 35.98 1.749 28.31% -0.342 -0.1825
Aid From Lesser Spirits 306 41.32 3.922 39.54% -0.243 -0.3296
All Things Weaken 436 35.55 0.423 28.67% -0.604 -0.2615
Attenuated Essence 40 34.75 5.84 37.5% 0.629 0.7032
Back Against the Wall 299 35.59 2.716 27.76% 0.135 0.2105
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 49 28.24 -0.258 24.49% -0.43 -0.2395
Burn Brightest Before the End 35 33.29 1.031 31.43% -0.153 -0.0289
Disintegrating Ecosystem 397 30.39 -5.203 20.91% -0.953 -0.58
Downward Spiral 429 36.16 -1.063 34.73% -0.468 -0.3318
Erosion of Will 423 34.61 -0.902 27.66% -0.347 -0.0525
Intensifying Exploitation 40 32.88 1.81 30.0% -0.129 0.1091
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 102 49.97 -0.142 64.71% -0.021 -0.5531
Memory Fades to Dust 449 34.11 1.677 28.29% -0.074 0.2068
Power Corrodes the Spirit 406 35.08 0.07 29.8% -0.574 -0.4206
Promising Farmlands 408 32.96 0.105 26.47% -0.449 -0.1025
Shattered Fragments of Power 33 32.7 2.485 27.27% -0.032 0.1631
Slow Dissolution of Will 37 27.92 -1.312 24.32% -0.577 -0.1256
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 58 52.84 4.972 74.14% 0.498 -0.2424
The Border of Life and Death 6 21.5 -11.571 33.33% -0.197 -0.6296
Thriving Communities 458 36.84 0.26 34.5% -0.278 0.021
Thriving Crops 13 33.38 3.376 38.46% 0.523 0.4202
Unnatural Proliferation 474 36.18 -0.135 29.11% -0.786 -0.6403
Untended Land Crumbles 448 34.08 4.381 26.34% 0.093 0.392

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1432 73.86% 40.51 2.23 41.76% 0.28 1.2743
B 1578 69.01% 39.74 -0.007 41.89% -0.009 0.9093
C 1666 66.13% 40.77 0.126 44.06% -0.075 0.6678
D 1303 71.22% 39.36 -0.882 39.68% -0.207 0.7449
E 1743 67.39% 44.78 -0.542 49.74% -0.182 0.5989
F 1168 70.3% 40.29 -2.167 42.21% -0.463 0.4296
G 1018 74.24% 39.85 -0.918 40.77% -0.093 0.7622
H 1140 75.26% 41.3 3.026 41.4% 0.499 1.3471
East 238 71.43% 41.86 1.733 33.19% -0.085 0.684
Northeast 109 75.23% 41.56 -1.355 33.03% 0.082 0.8691
Northwest 87 72.41% 37.62 -9.313 28.74% -0.807 0.177
Southeast 86 62.79% 38.21 -4.231 34.88% -0.291 0.5839
Southwest 71 70.42% 29.85 -2.87 19.72% -0.351 0.8571
West 202 74.75% 35.99 0.349 24.75% 0.079 1.0136

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 4 0.0% 48.25 0.0 50.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 186 17.3% 70.19 12.803 87.63% 1.618 0.983
Start of Game Growth 403 29.85% 65.58 11.304 83.37% 0.61 0.221
Unlimited Undo 803 66.46% 45.52 3.478 52.3% 0.686 0.7299
Using Tokens but Not Events 402 50.75% 49.71 0.479 62.19% 0.011 -0.0158

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1152 17.67 3.04%
II 4578 30.7 36.02%
III 2010 34.75 66.52%
IV 684 38.22 99.71%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.012 Win Model: -0.357
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6181 66.02% 42.71 46.3%
2 1597 75.95% 37.56 35.82%
3 437 76.66% 41.05 43.25%
4 192 79.58% 40.31 39.06%
5 5 60.0% 38.8 40.0%
6 12 16.67% 28.0 25.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 35
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1312
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1613
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 678
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 743
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3
Lose: Adversary condition 997
Win: Sacrifice victory 40
Lose: Scenario condition 65
Win: Scenario condition 25
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2811
Lose: Spirit destroyed 102

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1833 65.12% 50.03 3.983 37.86% 0.887 0.764
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 840 85.83% 43.48 0.242 22.5% -0.218 0.0229
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 222 74.77% 45.33 8.143 44.14% 1.431 0.4294
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 927 89.38% 32.65 -3.116 14.46% -0.708 -0.9347
Downpour Drenches the World 710 65.21% 31.08 -4.34 20.56% -0.52 -0.1949
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 907 70.45% 26.24 -3.886 20.18% -0.235 -0.7346
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2036 68.32% 54.52 -4.958 38.02% -0.91 -1.3706
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 525 86.48% 36.93 -1.467 22.29% 0.08 -0.3495
Finder of Paths Unseen 251 58.96% 34.14 -4.463 28.69% -0.62 0.2027
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2349 52.79% 61.47 0.544 49.98% 0.464 1.0614
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 808 86.14% 36.61 -1.342 23.51% 0.165 0.1641
Heart of the Wildfire 1311 84.72% 29.77 -7.94 13.42% -0.978 -0.5938
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 13139 57.43% 58.39 5.563 65.29% 1.401 0.9058
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 166 59.04% 32.48 1.216 30.72% 0.663 0.1156
Lightning's Swift Strike 511 84.03% 37.03 -6.84 21.92% -0.649 -0.4664
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 666 74.47% 42.43 4.384 32.88% 0.719 0.1821
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 440 89.07% 41.76 -2.482 29.55% -0.117 -0.4077
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 478 65.48% 52.95 -0.283 49.37% 0.61 0.4622
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 7871 71.62% 50.71 2.487 48.33% 0.757 0.5054
Many Minds Move as One 2133 77.58% 48.2 -2.136 38.02% -0.538 -0.6952
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1479 82.23% 35.82 -4.681 20.35% -0.518 -0.5079
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 706 86.47% 38.95 -7.206 26.2% -0.478 -0.6241
River Surges in Sunlight 1637 83.6% 55.35 -2.228 36.16% -0.54 -0.5018
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 390 68.97% 47.04 -5.414 28.46% -0.672 -0.4119
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 480 74.17% 49.98 4.234 33.54% 0.207 0.1568
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2399 67.65% 48.95 -0.404 42.18% 0.331 0.1567
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 391 86.67% 36.82 -1.808 18.16% -0.273 0.3395
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 58 81.03% 34.28 2.323 17.24% -0.0 0.1035
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 240 71.67% 33.89 1.484 27.08% 0.429 -0.1528
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 73 82.19% 39.14 -1.15 30.14% 0.358 0.4047
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 278 84.53% 37.46 -8.421 20.14% -0.519 -0.4378
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 227 82.38% 41.41 2.54 29.96% 0.214 0.4223
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2008 76.19% 47.5 -0.4 40.69% 0.274 0.3534
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 263 67.68% 31.08 4.08 26.62% 1.08 0.7576
Shifting Memory of Ages 1340 72.16% 42.0 -2.087 23.13% -0.058 0.207
Shroud of Silent Mist 544 87.62% 34.98 -1.346 17.46% -0.353 0.0144
Starlight Seeks its Form 2871 66.48% 44.94 -0.578 43.64% 0.3 0.0724
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4466 62.4% 47.03 0.88 38.6% 0.307 -0.049
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1901 82.44% 47.56 2.321 40.56% 0.713 0.8461
Thunderspeaker 886 82.92% 44.94 -9.024 25.28% -1.422 -1.3929
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 70 77.14% 22.76 -1.345 15.71% 0.423 0.663
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1900 93.26% 36.63 -4.733 24.11% -0.516 -0.3253
Vital Strength of the Earth 301 81.4% 34.89 -6.171 16.28% -1.015 -0.4576
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 164 60.98% 39.76 2.748 29.88% 1.182 1.5916
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 321 83.8% 34.39 -7.33 18.38% -0.703 0.0254
Volcano Looming High 1842 80.33% 41.67 -1.848 33.12% -0.334 -0.315
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 237 67.09% 25.19 -1.789 16.88% -0.08 -0.6736

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 303 62.54% 44.39 0.179 34.65% -0.08 0.0312
Dahan Insurrection 4 1836 37.22% 78.84 -0.391 57.68% 0.904 0.6687
Despicable Theft 2 11 50.0% 39.36 -5.841 27.27% 0.353 0.996
Elemental Invocation 1 115 83.48% 34.5 -4.848 13.04% -0.038 0.7637
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2327 46.39% 51.5 4.04 44.31% 0.585 -0.1885
Powers Long Forgotten 1 11 72.73% 25.18 -10.135 9.09% -0.126 0.6467
Rituals of Terror 3 727 55.43% 117.6 25.102 66.3% 3.636 3.6522
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 25 44.0% 36.4 -9.906 16.0% -0.059 0.9979
Second Wave 0 114 72.81% 51.01 1.844 42.98% -0.207 -0.1266
The Great River 3 46 78.26% 37.11 -1.858 8.7% -0.856 0.2724
Varied Terrains 2 14 42.86% 72.14 14.735 57.14% 0.289 0.9812
Ward the Shores 2 33 84.85% 35.91 -7.795 15.15% -0.145 0.7184

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 42461 70.34% 47.53 0.007 43.8% -0.377 -0.1759
1 Thematic 971 76.31% 44.31 -2.412 28.73% -0.4 0.3196
2 Archipelago 80 53.75% 96.17 -11.541 57.5% -1.059 -0.8042
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3304 79.48% 42.31 -1.338 33.87% -0.307 -0.2991
2 Coastline 717 78.38% 42.47 -1.336 32.5% -0.502 -0.7069
2 Fragment 90 84.44% 44.78 -0.035 37.78% -0.304 -0.5813
2 Heart 127 70.87% 45.31 -2.381 26.77% -1.444 -1.6648
2 Opposite Shores 1233 74.29% 40.22 -7.327 20.84% -1.384 -1.3272
2 Thematic 571 72.46% 95.78 7.159 50.79% 0.317 0.7689
2 Top to Top 202 63.86% 37.81 -4.994 31.19% -0.336 -0.4341
3 Archipelago 19 78.95% 120.16 36.913 73.68% 0.197 -0.5949
3 Coastline 13 84.62% 37.69 1.666 30.77% -0.242 -0.8086
3 Other 55 72.73% 51.95 15.066 47.27% 0.447 0.4184
3 Round (Default) 1526 76.02% 42.28 0.038 34.4% -0.456 -0.6815
3 Thematic 216 25.46% 108.12 18.409 67.59% 0.391 0.5881
4 Archipelago 4 100.0% 137.25 63.107 100.0% 0.685 -0.5006
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 47.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 4 75.0% 32.0 0.0 25.0%
4 Other 45 80.0% 43.62 5.51 22.22% 0.654 -0.7038
4 Thematic 291 32.3% 87.08 0.293 68.38% -0.323 -0.5211
4 Trapezoid (Default) 658 70.08% 46.72 0.494 37.69% -0.57 -0.8131
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 81.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 54 68.63% 48.65 -2.415 31.48% -0.616 -1.6728
5 Thematic 21 52.38% 80.0 0.0 42.86%
6 Archipelago 7 28.57% 102.29 38.285 85.71% 0.973 0.2361
6 Other 44 47.73% 54.93 6.803 61.36% 0.439 -0.2975
6 Star 10 30.0% 59.3 0.0 60.0%
6 Thematic 22 31.82% 35.95 -16.926 22.73% -0.576 0.1782
6 Two Centers (Default) 90 30.0% 53.82 -0.093 47.78% 0.088 -0.4919
7 Archipelago 4 75.0% 123.0 0.0 75.0%
7 Other 1 100.0% 0.0 4.044 0.0% -0.073 -0.4848

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2772 41.92 2.236 29.73% -0.393 -0.2328
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2036 45.82 5.389 35.95% 0.086 -0.0003
All Things Weaken 2932 41.61 1.645 28.72% -0.207 0.1352
Attenuated Essence 302 31.78 3.303 23.18% -0.117 -0.0434
Back Against the Wall 1986 44.33 3.07 32.83% -0.246 -0.1707
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 294 33.72 1.368 24.83% -0.45 -0.2586
Burn Brightest Before the End 209 39.36 7.252 26.79% 0.08 0.2037
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2573 36.08 -0.126 21.22% -0.615 -0.242
Downward Spiral 2739 43.55 3.251 34.5% -0.007 0.13
Erosion of Will 2720 39.41 1.384 25.11% -0.481 -0.1868
Intensifying Exploitation 303 34.42 3.568 26.4% -0.001 0.2379
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 592 62.86 3.766 70.95% 0.456 -0.076
Memory Fades to Dust 2850 42.35 1.624 31.75% -0.227 0.054
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2776 41.36 1.543 29.61% -0.399 -0.2458
Promising Farmlands 2608 40.19 0.563 28.68% -0.458 -0.1119
Shattered Fragments of Power 186 36.69 5.066 25.81% 0.004 0.199
Slow Dissolution of Will 332 33.26 1.669 21.08% -0.597 -0.1458
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 387 66.39 -2.165 75.71% 0.132 -0.6084
The Border of Life and Death 50 35.02 6.717 40.0% 0.667 0.2336
Thriving Communities 2819 41.67 2.838 30.58% -0.257 0.042
Thriving Crops 90 38.83 3.783 43.33% 0.469 0.3661
Unnatural Proliferation 2994 42.04 1.897 28.09% -0.684 -0.5384
Untended Land Crumbles 2907 40.93 1.164 29.62% -0.397 -0.0972

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8175 75.35% 43.2 -0.873 34.9% -0.34 0.654
B 8445 74.48% 44.29 0.311 37.73% -0.3 0.6184
C 9739 70.99% 47.13 0.164 40.3% -0.362 0.381
D 6916 73.17% 43.69 -0.879 36.0% -0.372 0.58
E 9497 71.37% 48.14 1.832 44.03% -0.066 0.7145
F 6860 71.63% 44.25 -2.742 38.38% -0.655 0.238
G 5651 73.75% 45.3 -0.189 39.27% -0.497 0.3585
H 7606 62.79% 53.19 0.118 51.85% -0.134 0.7141
East 1425 56.67% 83.34 6.732 51.93% -0.828 -0.059
Northeast 781 46.86% 87.67 12.813 56.34% 0.622 1.4099
Northwest 524 54.58% 78.4 -2.621 49.05% -1.025 -0.0412
Southeast 304 58.22% 57.69 -5.372 38.82% -0.223 0.6513
Southwest 340 61.76% 46.06 -12.788 33.24% -1.59 -0.3822
West 1358 57.18% 80.27 8.809 50.37% -0.294 0.6399

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 31 0.0% 70.52 5.745 74.19% -0.229 0.4008
Not Using Events or Tokens 11 72.73% 118.18 -11.306 63.64% -0.311 0.1952
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1309 33.2% 68.18 4.533 69.06% 0.214 -0.4211
Start of Game Growth 2235 34.63% 67.57 4.891 72.8% 0.836 0.4469
Unlimited Undo 4942 59.52% 56.68 0.62 60.95% 0.208 0.2522
Using Tokens but Not Events 2336 59.05% 52.69 -6.329 43.66% -0.47 -0.4969

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 13431 17.67 0.83%
II 24139 30.7 38.53%
III 10718 34.75 77.27%
IV 4585 38.22 99.85%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.399 Win Model: 0.022
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 44517 70.38% 48.14 43.37%
2 5483 77.33% 44.27 32.97%
3 1746 71.71% 48.58 37.51%
4 922 62.44% 51.93 43.06%
5 44 45.24% 58.82 43.18%
6 161 35.4% 54.38 52.8%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 97
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8147
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8095
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4258
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4621
Lose: Invader deck ran out 55
Lose: Adversary condition 6951
Win: Sacrifice victory 613
Lose: Scenario condition 542
Win: Scenario condition 1062
Lose: Blight pool ran out 17715
Lose: Spirit destroyed 717

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-01-31 03:48:31 (Pacific Time)