The Tsardom of Russia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 471 21.44% 27.6 0.109 91.72% -0.192 -0.0882
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 361 41.83% 25.64 -0.267 86.98% 0.057 0.2544
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 575 25.52% 27.88 0.371 94.43% 0.516 0.4028
Eyes Watch From the Trees 582 13.97% 31.44 1.666 96.91% 0.749 0.3454
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 446 22.57% 29.09 0.669 94.39% 0.52 0.2143
Fractured Days Split the Sky 269 34.57% 28.33 0.788 84.01% -0.613 -0.2644
Heart of the Wildfire 403 58.06% 22.89 -1.388 80.89% -0.189 0.1299
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 805 26.84% 27.18 0.041 93.91% 0.451 0.1086
Lightning's Swift Strike 615 27.91% 27.89 0.493 90.73% 0.018 0.2436
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 756 28.06% 27.73 0.433 93.12% 0.415 0.1281
Many Minds Move as One 879 19.98% 28.55 0.756 96.13% 0.65 0.1168
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 534 39.1% 25.54 -0.651 86.33% -0.144 -0.3688
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 461 32.32% 26.61 -0.258 91.11% 0.234 0.2481
River Surges in Sunlight 643 37.95% 28.23 0.589 84.76% -0.412 -0.2914
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 382 28.8% 26.48 -0.351 90.05% -0.12 -0.0177
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 510 40.86% 26.83 0.164 88.24% 0.119 0.5236
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 647 24.73% 28.13 0.539 93.82% 0.29 0.1782
Shifting Memory of Ages 79 44.3% 22.23 -2.015 81.01% -0.456 -0.3314
Shroud of Silent Mist 217 48.39% 23.87 -0.796 88.02% 0.241 0.2978
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 675 25.07% 25.49 -1.0 92.44% 0.216 0.1561
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 447 27.29% 27.41 0.036 89.71% -0.137 0.0236
Thunderspeaker 420 29.29% 29.69 0.579 87.62% -0.282 -0.258
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 429 62.24% 21.53 -1.947 81.35% -0.071 -0.0994
Vital Strength of the Earth 441 29.93% 23.72 -1.867 81.63% -0.987 -0.1429
Volcano Looming High 331 41.09% 23.88 -1.197 84.29% -0.385 -0.3748

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 136 27.41% 23.85 -1.813 84.56% -0.759 -0.1928
Dahan Insurrection 4 232 16.81% 50.07 10.943 90.95% -0.553 -0.1524
Despicable Theft 2 33 36.36% 32.03 2.761 78.79% -0.726 -0.4517
Elemental Invocation 1 59 37.29% 28.9 1.055 91.53% 0.222 0.7245
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 371 9.97% 29.78 0.795 88.41% -1.296 -0.9311
Powers Long Forgotten 1 86 54.65% 28.55 0.946 77.91% -0.55 -0.1034
Rituals of Terror 3 107 41.75% 36.81 4.838 77.57% -0.806 -0.161
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 73 64.38% 37.79 5.923 82.19% -0.035 0.6114
Second Wave 0 123 53.66% 26.32 0.626 78.86% -0.504 -0.0739
The Great River 3 76 48.68% 32.38 3.357 67.11% -1.55 -0.0771
Ward the Shores 2 112 44.14% 29.96 1.468 71.43% -1.109 -0.0775

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5732 33.25% 26.17 -0.374 88.94% 0.276 0.3627
1 Thematic 764 38.63% 32.01 1.548 81.54% 0.004 0.281
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1063 31.1% 25.45 -0.538 90.87% -0.061 -0.0354
2 Coastline 133 30.83% 26.35 -0.256 87.22% -0.242 -0.2666
2 Fragment 24 25.0% 24.25 -1.078 87.5% -0.4 -0.1777
2 Heart 21 42.86% 22.71 -1.443 80.95% -0.383 -0.2831
2 Opposite Shores 167 19.76% 26.51 -0.255 97.6% 0.784 0.8496
2 Thematic 143 32.17% 34.62 1.889 91.61% 0.508 0.4409
2 Top to Top 18 22.22% 28.67 0.55 94.44% 0.172 0.1027
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 29.0 1.978 100.0% 0.012 0.816
3 Coastline 9 55.56% 35.33 3.392 77.78% 0.061 -0.0897
3 Other 24 33.33% 24.29 -0.689 91.67% 0.018 0.1907
3 Round (Default) 489 29.51% 27.11 0.12 93.66% -0.112 -0.1504
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 19.0 -2.362 100.0% 0.013 -0.2472
3 Thematic 34 38.24% 29.47 -0.911 79.41% -0.873 -1.2391
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 31.0 3.324 100.0% 0.202 0.3215
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 31.0 0.829 100.0% 0.006 0.0774
4 Other 11 36.36% 28.45 1.363 90.91% 0.028 -0.0416
4 Thematic 60 16.67% 35.85 0.072 98.33% 0.315 -0.682
4 Trapezoid (Default) 198 19.19% 26.52 -0.159 93.43% -0.884 -0.8759
5 Other 7 57.14% 26.29 1.432 100.0% 0.314 -0.1471
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 50.0 4.328 100.0% 0.002 -2.3893

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 203 21.33 -3.26 73.4% -2.703 -0.6339
Aid From Lesser Spirits 158 20.82 -3.608 69.62% -2.838 -0.9249
All Things Weaken 230 19.33 -4.342 64.35% -3.114 -0.9549
Back Against the Wall 173 19.64 -4.103 61.27% -3.295 -1.2085
Disintegrating Ecosystem 211 17.06 -5.373 64.45% -3.16 -0.9381
Downward Spiral 223 20.37 -3.751 76.68% -2.4 -0.3785
Erosion of Will 167 20.36 -3.695 73.05% -2.707 -0.4992
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 109 25.61 -1.161 96.33% -0.323 0.3555
Memory Fades to Dust 249 19.02 -4.448 64.66% -3.08 -0.8646
Power Corrodes the Spirit 220 20.42 -3.659 72.27% -2.661 -0.6397
Promising Farmlands 187 18.32 -4.75 65.78% -3.005 -0.7969
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 74 25.65 -1.198 98.65% 0.348 0.7595
Thriving Communities 224 18.15 -4.801 67.86% -2.96 -0.8716
Unnatural Proliferation 243 19.97 -3.931 66.67% -3.041 -0.9602
Untended Land Crumbles 220 19.42 -4.205 67.27% -3.006 -0.9041

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1431 31.67% 26.02 -0.312 89.94% -0.018 -0.7058
B 1455 31.33% 25.99 -0.308 90.03% -0.074 -0.8576
C 1623 30.82% 26.32 -0.142 90.51% 0.005 -1.0073
D 1465 31.01% 26.2 -0.205 90.92% 0.034 -0.7432
E 1436 31.31% 26.48 -0.041 91.09% 0.047 -0.8475
F 1338 31.56% 25.98 -0.35 89.09% -0.227 -1.0677
G 1149 29.98% 26.46 -0.082 91.56% 0.096 -0.7364
H 1205 30.84% 26.13 -0.258 90.71% 0.007 -0.8318
East 272 27.78% 36.4 2.704 91.18% 0.259 -0.3172
Northeast 234 35.04% 33.23 1.175 84.62% -0.245 -0.7699
Northwest 202 36.14% 33.68 1.454 87.62% 0.021 -0.5737
Southeast 185 27.03% 32.95 1.369 89.73% 0.078 -0.5511
Southwest 173 34.68% 27.35 -1.653 79.77% -0.82 -1.0187
West 272 35.29% 34.88 1.924 85.66% 0.022 -0.3049

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 26 0.0% 29.73 -0.445 92.31% -0.947 1.1057
Not Using Events or Tokens 17 23.53% 31.76 0.812 76.47% -0.734 -0.5191
Skip Initial Invader Actions 209 7.54% 36.86 3.275 98.09% 0.886 0.2001
Start of Game Growth 320 11.58% 34.2 2.063 96.25% 0.142 -0.3271
Unlimited Undo 568 26.17% 28.3 0.324 91.9% 0.141 -0.2825
Using Tokens but Not Events 823 27.98% 26.72 -0.363 87.73% -0.408 -0.4586

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 538 22.37 55.2%
II 3383 30.88 87.08%
III 3433 34.39 91.81%
IV 1551 37.55 99.29%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.051 Win Model: 0.486
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6523 33.98% 26.85 88.01%
2 1562 29.67% 26.49 91.42%
3 549 30.29% 27.25 92.71%
4 271 19.56% 28.79 94.83%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 297
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3050
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2737
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1527
Lose: Invader deck ran out 70
Win: Sacrifice victory 33
Lose: Scenario condition 65
Win: Scenario condition 291
Lose: Blight pool ran out 780
Lose: Spirit destroyed 55

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 310 42.58% 31.61 -0.447 75.16% -0.252 -0.1481
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 211 66.35% 30.29 -0.101 72.99% 0.269 0.4665
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 300 41.28% 33.66 0.591 79.67% 0.132 0.0178
Eyes Watch From the Trees 465 32.11% 38.63 2.552 87.31% 0.555 0.1509
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 263 42.69% 34.4 1.095 82.51% 0.393 0.088
Fractured Days Split the Sky 154 46.1% 32.82 0.335 73.38% -0.284 0.0646
Heart of the Wildfire 334 79.94% 23.34 -3.313 51.8% -0.52 -0.2012
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 615 47.39% 31.06 -0.269 76.59% 0.085 -0.2577
Lightning's Swift Strike 344 56.27% 31.31 -0.391 70.64% -0.114 0.1121
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 617 40.26% 35.0 1.589 87.2% 0.746 0.4596
Many Minds Move as One 717 33.38% 36.72 2.183 92.05% 1.05 0.5175
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 362 54.44% 32.18 -0.294 73.48% -0.096 -0.3209
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 277 47.65% 33.82 0.722 80.87% 0.451 0.4647
River Surges in Sunlight 423 53.79% 32.16 0.401 71.39% -0.069 0.0518
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 249 53.82% 29.35 -1.338 70.28% -0.297 -0.1947
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 276 60.87% 30.53 -0.153 71.01% 0.023 0.4274
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 601 40.17% 34.4 0.999 84.19% 0.277 0.1645
Shifting Memory of Ages 55 43.64% 30.98 -0.019 80.0% 0.05 0.175
Shroud of Silent Mist 100 71.0% 26.04 -2.035 60.0% -0.425 -0.3683
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 412 43.31% 27.9 -2.392 65.78% -0.899 -0.9586
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 319 42.27% 33.31 0.368 78.37% 0.054 0.2142
Thunderspeaker 309 48.87% 33.49 0.19 70.87% -0.325 -0.301
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 251 80.08% 25.73 -2.074 62.55% -0.041 -0.0689
Vital Strength of the Earth 267 46.44% 28.36 -1.852 64.79% -0.74 0.1041
Volcano Looming High 187 60.96% 29.52 -0.505 74.87% 0.282 0.2928

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 75 41.33% 27.37 -2.652 66.67% -0.691 -0.1248
Dahan Insurrection 4 157 22.29% 56.71 11.359 85.35% -0.042 0.3588
Despicable Theft 2 15 66.67% 37.07 3.495 66.67% 0.257 0.5306
Elemental Invocation 1 32 68.75% 27.56 -1.297 50.0% -0.819 -0.3168
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 220 21.46% 36.53 1.834 83.18% -0.135 0.2298
Powers Long Forgotten 1 69 62.32% 27.96 -1.208 49.28% -0.802 -0.3553
Rituals of Terror 3 64 59.38% 40.77 4.294 64.06% -0.434 0.211
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 53 84.91% 37.06 3.485 54.72% -0.221 0.4261
Second Wave 0 445 54.18% 31.34 0.136 66.29% -0.52 -0.0898
The Great River 3 36 77.78% 26.89 -1.142 33.33% -1.457 0.0159
Ward the Shores 2 84 50.0% 37.06 2.338 70.24% -0.399 0.6327

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3775 48.91% 30.98 -0.259 73.85% 0.113 0.199
1 Thematic 556 56.76% 33.58 0.324 62.05% -0.422 -0.1447
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 716 49.72% 30.67 -0.474 77.23% 0.023 0.0488
2 Coastline 118 50.43% 30.31 -0.457 73.73% -0.042 -0.0668
2 Fragment 27 51.85% 29.44 -0.785 74.07% -0.008 0.2148
2 Heart 11 72.73% 22.27 -3.7 36.36% -1.118 -1.018
2 Opposite Shores 168 46.11% 31.76 -0.084 82.14% 0.251 0.3161
2 Thematic 115 63.48% 34.45 0.565 71.3% -0.237 -0.304
2 Top to Top 14 57.14% 36.07 2.27 92.86% 0.86 0.7915
3 Archipelago 2 100.0% 17.5 -4.82 0.0% -0.751 0.0534
3 Coastline 5 40.0% 28.6 -0.481 60.0% -0.025 -0.175
3 Other 17 58.82% 30.59 0.16 82.35% 0.685 0.8576
3 Round (Default) 278 32.85% 35.8 1.164 87.77% 0.361 0.3226
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 30.0 1.962 100.0% 0.463 0.2027
3 Thematic 34 61.76% 38.5 2.417 79.41% 0.414 0.0473
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 9.0 -9.1 0.0% -0.678 -0.1301
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 54.0 9.16 100.0% 0.058 0.1772
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 17.0 -4.812 0.0% -0.493 -0.4208
4 Other 16 50.0% 34.94 1.76 87.5% 0.513 0.4436
4 Thematic 39 46.15% 40.92 1.067 84.62% -0.126 -1.1225
4 Trapezoid (Default) 135 45.93% 35.27 0.597 85.93% 0.033 0.0409
5 Other 3 33.33% 40.0 2.15 100.0% 0.153 -0.3074

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 226 22.92 -5.205 47.79% -2.617 -0.5472
Aid From Lesser Spirits 182 26.41 -3.466 58.24% -2.139 -0.2265
All Things Weaken 248 23.4 -4.996 49.19% -2.502 -0.3422
Back Against the Wall 170 22.91 -5.138 44.71% -2.702 -0.6148
Disintegrating Ecosystem 194 19.58 -6.865 40.72% -2.854 -0.6317
Downward Spiral 216 24.87 -4.339 58.33% -2.123 -0.101
Erosion of Will 214 24.14 -4.604 54.67% -2.303 -0.0957
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 93 34.05 -0.108 84.95% -0.766 -0.0874
Memory Fades to Dust 254 24.32 -4.667 57.87% -2.234 -0.0188
Power Corrodes the Spirit 220 23.25 -5.125 52.27% -2.414 -0.3929
Promising Farmlands 226 23.46 -5.08 56.19% -2.338 -0.1296
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 51 31.71 -0.708 88.24% -0.344 0.0678
Thriving Communities 208 23.04 -5.366 51.92% -2.451 -0.3634
Unnatural Proliferation 242 24.07 -4.577 53.31% -2.4 -0.3193
Untended Land Crumbles 228 23.14 -5.234 53.51% -2.362 -0.2602

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1007 48.26% 31.4 -0.221 76.27% -0.024 -0.7119
B 1022 46.76% 32.22 0.27 78.86% 0.11 -0.6735
C 1057 43.84% 32.46 0.339 79.38% 0.13 -0.8823
D 962 46.41% 31.77 -0.046 76.51% -0.068 -0.8459
E 944 47.29% 31.84 -0.026 77.01% -0.061 -0.9553
F 926 48.54% 30.99 -0.352 75.05% -0.125 -0.9654
G 770 47.92% 31.7 -0.007 77.66% 0.068 -0.7642
H 788 50.76% 31.46 -0.124 76.9% 0.092 -0.7474
East 188 55.32% 37.22 1.386 69.68% -0.05 -0.6258
Northeast 172 59.06% 36.79 1.65 70.35% 0.298 -0.2271
Northwest 135 57.04% 34.46 0.212 69.63% -0.023 -0.6176
Southeast 139 59.71% 34.97 1.233 69.06% 0.23 -0.3994
Southwest 144 63.89% 28.6 -2.483 61.11% -0.288 -0.4864
West 216 50.0% 40.32 2.899 75.46% 0.296 -0.0314

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 11 0.0% 27.45 -4.896 54.55% -1.979 0.0737
Not Using Events or Tokens 17 35.29% 22.41 -5.445 29.41% -2.191 -1.9759
Skip Initial Invader Actions 129 12.9% 45.36 3.825 93.02% 0.068 -0.6185
Start of Game Growth 186 15.3% 44.01 3.86 93.01% 0.834 0.3653
Unlimited Undo 454 43.69% 32.8 0.183 79.3% 0.033 -0.3904
Using Tokens but Not Events 507 40.12% 32.68 0.009 76.73% -0.166 -0.217

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 731 22.37 17.1%
II 2207 30.88 71.55%
III 2341 34.39 86.76%
IV 755 37.55 99.6%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.246 Win Model: 0.305
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4348 50.12% 31.3 72.29%
2 1172 50.34% 31.28 77.05%
3 330 37.99% 35.34 85.76%
4 184 45.11% 36.53 85.87%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 124
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1953
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1446
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 747
Lose: Invader deck ran out 40
Lose: Adversary condition 569
Win: Sacrifice victory 24
Lose: Scenario condition 39
Win: Scenario condition 193
Lose: Blight pool ran out 848
Lose: Spirit destroyed 51

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 373 37.0% 38.66 -0.277 82.57% -0.318 -0.214
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 300 58.67% 36.7 -0.48 79.67% -0.003 0.1947
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 364 40.93% 39.23 0.594 86.54% 0.283 0.1697
Eyes Watch From the Trees 534 30.9% 42.78 1.971 91.57% 0.627 0.2233
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 288 40.63% 40.82 1.24 88.54% 0.482 0.1771
Fractured Days Split the Sky 197 51.27% 38.58 -0.096 72.08% -0.685 -0.3365
Heart of the Wildfire 414 63.29% 34.9 -1.244 75.36% -0.08 0.2383
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 800 41.13% 38.16 -0.147 84.63% 0.076 -0.2662
Lightning's Swift Strike 380 56.32% 36.87 -0.464 77.11% -0.19 0.0356
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 856 38.2% 41.99 1.843 92.17% 0.842 0.555
Many Minds Move as One 855 27.6% 42.42 1.959 94.62% 0.954 0.421
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 491 52.14% 37.22 -0.824 77.39% -0.327 -0.5514
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 343 43.15% 39.13 0.42 86.01% 0.373 0.3872
River Surges in Sunlight 550 52.0% 39.93 0.767 81.45% 0.053 0.1733
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 337 45.99% 36.88 -0.651 83.68% -0.061 0.0414
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 343 55.69% 36.55 -0.391 77.26% -0.168 0.2369
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 671 33.13% 41.26 1.154 89.42% 0.256 0.1444
Shifting Memory of Ages 80 60.0% 35.63 -0.871 78.75% -0.007 0.1179
Shroud of Silent Mist 166 57.23% 36.63 -0.613 78.92% -0.019 0.0375
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 531 34.65% 35.1 -1.941 78.53% -0.676 -0.7356
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 435 34.71% 41.25 0.873 89.2% 0.348 0.5082
Thunderspeaker 332 44.58% 42.04 0.72 82.83% -0.124 -0.1001
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 326 69.33% 32.52 -2.245 72.39% -0.277 -0.3051
Vital Strength of the Earth 318 47.8% 33.72 -2.105 74.21% -0.626 0.2183
Volcano Looming High 256 56.08% 34.02 -1.745 75.0% -0.385 -0.374

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 107 49.53% 32.07 -3.421 63.55% -1.145 -0.5792
Dahan Insurrection 4 110 14.55% 66.97 12.343 91.82% -0.011 0.389
Despicable Theft 2 17 70.59% 37.65 0.699 58.82% -0.536 -0.2624
Elemental Invocation 1 44 47.73% 37.8 -0.339 75.0% -0.416 0.0861
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 347 23.05% 42.86 1.759 87.32% -0.126 0.2389
Powers Long Forgotten 1 71 64.79% 39.65 0.998 71.83% -0.287 0.1596
Rituals of Terror 3 44 61.36% 38.64 0.869 50.0% -1.433 -0.7876
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 31 74.19% 38.16 1.1 48.39% -0.899 -0.2524
Second Wave 0 255 48.24% 38.37 0.296 77.25% -0.511 -0.0817
The Great River 3 39 69.23% 40.1 1.554 58.97% -1.355 0.1185
Ward the Shores 2 77 54.55% 40.94 0.595 63.64% -1.007 0.0253

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4618 45.6% 36.82 -0.424 79.82% -0.113 -0.0263
1 Thematic 466 53.65% 38.04 -0.298 66.74% -0.478 -0.2006
2 Archipelago 1 100.0% 41.0 3.555 100.0% 0.189 0.1961
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 948 46.73% 37.87 0.003 86.92% -0.073 -0.0473
2 Coastline 112 49.11% 39.58 0.674 88.39% 0.247 0.2226
2 Fragment 17 64.71% 39.18 0.261 82.35% -0.069 0.1541
2 Heart 12 66.67% 33.25 -1.477 66.67% -0.351 -0.2507
2 Opposite Shores 149 48.65% 38.62 0.185 87.25% 0.046 0.1116
2 Thematic 197 43.15% 43.33 1.429 84.77% 0.324 0.257
2 Top to Top 19 26.32% 38.0 -0.604 84.21% -0.526 -0.595
3 Coastline 14 71.43% 45.79 3.863 100.0% 1.15 0.9995
3 Other 19 47.37% 38.58 -0.05 89.47% -0.059 0.1136
3 Round (Default) 363 40.5% 39.0 -0.025 88.43% -0.576 -0.6149
3 Sunrise 3 0.0% 43.67 0.733 100.0% 0.022 -0.2382
3 Thematic 42 47.62% 48.67 2.441 92.86% 0.813 0.447
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 38.5 0.871 50.0% -0.437 -0.3177
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 47.0 4.523 100.0% 0.015 0.087
4 Other 7 28.57% 42.86 0.773 100.0% 0.144 0.0748
4 Thematic 98 17.35% 54.08 2.488 91.84% -0.044 -1.0406
4 Trapezoid (Default) 200 33.5% 40.65 0.389 93.0% -0.612 -0.6044
5 Other 7 71.43% 39.86 1.041 100.0% 0.406 -0.0551
6 Other 1 0.0% 57.0 8.974 100.0% 0.007 -0.1709

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 250 28.95 -5.196 58.8% -2.39 -0.3205
Aid From Lesser Spirits 204 30.49 -4.462 61.27% -2.308 -0.3947
All Things Weaken 265 28.92 -5.085 58.87% -2.324 -0.1646
Back Against the Wall 203 30.44 -4.718 60.1% -2.455 -0.3683
Disintegrating Ecosystem 214 26.31 -6.615 53.27% -2.658 -0.4363
Downward Spiral 256 32.48 -3.429 72.66% -1.695 0.3265
Erosion of Will 215 30.89 -4.168 66.98% -2.007 0.2005
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 108 37.61 -0.96 88.89% -0.567 0.1116
Memory Fades to Dust 226 30.43 -4.539 66.37% -2.011 0.2043
Power Corrodes the Spirit 257 29.5 -4.899 62.65% -2.17 -0.1487
Promising Farmlands 224 29.47 -4.868 65.18% -2.021 0.1869
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 89 37.27 -1.084 87.64% -0.676 -0.2649
Thriving Communities 270 28.79 -5.205 61.48% -2.211 -0.1225
Unnatural Proliferation 275 31.59 -3.907 66.18% -2.097 -0.0166
Untended Land Crumbles 259 30.73 -4.264 67.18% -1.958 0.1441

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1188 45.88% 37.88 0.076 84.26% 0.261 -0.4272
B 1270 45.86% 37.9 0.066 85.28% 0.349 -0.4346
C 1296 41.59% 38.48 0.273 85.11% 0.244 -0.7685
D 1148 45.42% 37.46 -0.129 82.67% 0.132 -0.6452
E 1206 43.45% 37.87 -0.035 84.0% 0.159 -0.7352
F 1162 44.75% 37.38 -0.27 83.73% 0.155 -0.6857
G 953 47.22% 37.41 -0.181 82.79% 0.119 -0.7128
H 1039 42.73% 38.45 0.219 85.27% 0.221 -0.6178
East 275 36.0% 46.96 1.555 82.55% -0.263 -0.8388
Northeast 245 39.18% 47.35 2.283 83.67% 0.228 -0.2966
Northwest 209 41.15% 46.21 1.556 82.3% 0.002 -0.5936
Southeast 178 38.2% 44.15 1.713 82.02% 0.33 -0.2992
Southwest 160 47.5% 38.14 -1.73 74.38% -0.385 -0.5834
West 261 38.7% 46.41 1.434 81.23% -0.186 -0.5135

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1 0.0% 46.0 2.665 100.0% 0.031 2.0844
Not Using Events or Tokens 4 50.0% 24.75 -6.453 50.0% -0.663 -0.448
Skip Initial Invader Actions 127 6.3% 50.95 4.237 97.64% 1.109 0.4223
Start of Game Growth 203 14.36% 47.59 2.917 94.09% 0.361 -0.1075
Unlimited Undo 477 41.09% 38.82 0.193 85.53% 0.005 -0.4185
Using Tokens but Not Events 491 45.31% 35.74 -1.161 78.82% -0.338 -0.3886

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 452 22.37 0.44%
II 1777 30.88 67.47%
III 3341 34.39 90.3%
IV 1726 37.55 99.94%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.351 Win Model: 0.349
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 5104 46.43% 36.95 78.61%
2 1452 46.66% 38.8 86.71%
3 428 41.36% 40.11 89.25%
4 312 29.17% 45.01 92.95%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2915
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1118
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1714
Lose: Invader deck ran out 23
Lose: Adversary condition 510
Win: Sacrifice victory 44
Lose: Scenario condition 38
Win: Scenario condition 150
Lose: Blight pool ran out 731
Lose: Spirit destroyed 51

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 356 57.02% 39.18 -0.524 63.2% -0.234 -0.1298
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 295 75.17% 36.38 -1.117 56.95% -0.064 0.1337
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 399 61.4% 39.72 -0.11 63.16% -0.013 -0.127
Eyes Watch From the Trees 513 51.27% 46.22 3.131 78.75% 0.72 0.3164
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 231 65.37% 40.1 -0.052 61.9% -0.057 -0.3621
Fractured Days Split the Sky 219 72.6% 36.2 -1.28 51.6% -0.4 -0.0515
Heart of the Wildfire 464 84.27% 31.17 -3.59 45.69% -0.345 -0.0267
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1181 55.86% 40.81 0.307 69.18% 0.138 -0.2044
Lightning's Swift Strike 430 73.49% 38.02 -0.418 58.84% 0.074 0.2998
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1392 48.13% 46.71 3.445 82.54% 0.888 0.601
Many Minds Move as One 931 51.56% 45.82 2.862 79.7% 0.661 0.1277
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 483 68.12% 37.05 -1.338 57.35% -0.247 -0.4716
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 383 61.88% 39.02 -0.457 62.4% -0.079 -0.0646
River Surges in Sunlight 617 74.68% 35.73 -1.686 49.43% -0.459 -0.3382
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 355 72.11% 38.12 -0.558 62.25% 0.048 0.151
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 383 79.63% 36.46 -1.121 54.57% -0.051 0.3536
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 787 49.36% 45.77 2.527 78.27% 0.453 0.3407
Shifting Memory of Ages 96 72.92% 38.16 -0.373 63.54% 0.194 0.3189
Shroud of Silent Mist 183 74.86% 36.3 -1.422 57.92% -0.161 -0.1046
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 687 54.6% 35.53 -2.508 58.37% -0.615 -0.6749
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 485 59.5% 41.86 1.027 71.13% 0.345 0.5058
Thunderspeaker 370 69.65% 37.58 -1.043 55.95% -0.258 -0.2336
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 417 85.13% 34.27 -1.94 54.44% 0.043 0.0154
Vital Strength of the Earth 286 72.38% 33.46 -3.064 49.3% -0.55 0.2946
Volcano Looming High 360 71.67% 37.75 -0.689 63.06% 0.099 0.1101

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 91 67.03% 26.32 -6.203 28.57% -1.739 -1.1729
Dahan Insurrection 4 75 52.0% 58.36 9.075 62.67% -0.352 0.0484
Despicable Theft 2 8 75.0% 43.63 2.639 50.0% -0.206 0.0677
Elemental Invocation 1 38 81.58% 37.97 -0.576 57.89% -0.099 0.4034
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 528 32.77% 48.31 3.373 80.11% 0.183 0.548
Powers Long Forgotten 1 50 64.0% 36.22 -1.719 44.0% -0.988 -0.5419
Rituals of Terror 3 18 72.22% 42.56 1.769 44.44% -0.593 0.0516
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 5 40.0% 50.6 4.755 60.0% -0.311 0.3354
Second Wave 0 171 69.01% 34.92 -2.429 47.95% -0.913 -0.4831
The Great River 3 20 70.0% 51.65 4.672 65.0% -0.414 1.0586
Ward the Shores 2 37 72.97% 37.59 -0.057 43.24% -0.525 0.507

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5748 60.0% 39.41 -0.108 64.11% -0.041 0.0458
1 Thematic 455 68.57% 37.23 -1.132 47.69% -0.369 -0.0922
2 Archipelago 3 100.0% 50.33 6.5 66.67% 0.104 0.1107
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1228 66.78% 39.77 0.141 66.94% -0.093 -0.0675
2 Coastline 131 58.78% 41.2 0.464 67.94% -0.135 -0.1601
2 Fragment 33 66.67% 37.09 -1.399 57.58% -0.606 -0.3833
2 Heart 8 62.5% 46.25 1.693 87.5% 0.33 0.4295
2 Opposite Shores 213 66.51% 38.62 -0.652 63.38% -0.317 -0.2513
2 Thematic 98 64.29% 40.46 0.348 53.06% -0.133 -0.1996
2 Top to Top 44 65.91% 40.66 0.429 70.45% 0.057 -0.0118
3 Coastline 5 60.0% 55.2 5.306 80.0% 0.136 -0.014
3 Other 24 79.17% 41.08 1.249 70.83% 0.295 0.468
3 Round (Default) 491 65.38% 40.47 0.3 68.84% -0.286 -0.3246
3 Sunrise 4 50.0% 45.25 3.326 75.0% 0.278 0.018
3 Thematic 17 58.82% 50.76 4.289 70.59% 0.588 0.2215
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 59.0 7.105 100.0% 0.24 0.3592
4 Leaf 3 33.33% 56.0 5.836 100.0% 0.277 0.3489
4 Other 15 60.0% 49.47 3.714 93.33% 0.759 0.6897
4 Thematic 46 58.7% 45.65 1.537 60.87% 0.149 -0.848
4 Trapezoid (Default) 178 56.25% 43.76 0.829 76.97% -0.496 -0.4877
5 Other 4 75.0% 37.0 -0.61 50.0% -0.709 -1.1699

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 392 32.76 -4.83 48.21% -2.307 -0.2374
Aid From Lesser Spirits 351 32.58 -5.102 44.16% -2.567 -0.654
All Things Weaken 410 31.64 -5.489 45.37% -2.473 -0.3141
Back Against the Wall 315 32.03 -5.215 44.76% -2.505 -0.4177
Disintegrating Ecosystem 400 27.43 -7.484 36.75% -2.778 -0.5561
Downward Spiral 445 31.9 -5.039 50.11% -2.171 -0.1495
Erosion of Will 405 30.82 -5.878 43.95% -2.515 -0.3071
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 119 44.24 0.405 80.67% -0.873 -0.1945
Memory Fades to Dust 380 31.57 -5.352 47.63% -2.334 -0.1186
Power Corrodes the Spirit 384 31.4 -5.475 47.4% -2.349 -0.3282
Promising Farmlands 405 29.57 -6.447 41.48% -2.591 -0.3827
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 92 44.27 0.617 80.43% -0.723 -0.3115
Thriving Communities 438 32.24 -4.979 50.46% -2.173 -0.0851
Unnatural Proliferation 459 31.67 -5.191 45.1% -2.383 -0.302
Untended Land Crumbles 421 30.26 -6.026 44.66% -2.443 -0.3411

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1456 63.16% 39.55 -0.099 65.8% 0.196 -0.4914
B 1525 62.9% 39.43 -0.154 65.05% 0.122 -0.6613
C 1704 59.33% 40.86 0.513 67.84% 0.233 -0.7797
D 1414 62.92% 39.72 -0.018 65.7% 0.155 -0.6226
E 1589 59.82% 40.67 0.342 67.72% 0.197 -0.6968
F 1406 65.46% 40.04 0.316 67.21% 0.36 -0.4803
G 1181 63.78% 39.48 0.0 64.94% 0.156 -0.6757
H 1226 62.53% 40.21 0.245 67.05% 0.242 -0.5972
East 164 62.2% 42.12 0.741 53.05% -0.176 -0.7526
Northeast 167 64.07% 40.38 -0.113 50.3% -0.199 -0.7233
Northwest 136 62.5% 41.1 0.925 52.94% 0.035 -0.5602
Southeast 136 66.91% 38.4 -0.64 50.0% -0.16 -0.7887
Southwest 91 65.93% 40.68 -0.286 60.44% 0.16 -0.0386
West 147 68.03% 41.39 0.23 52.38% -0.116 -0.4429

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3 0.0% 48.67 -0.726 100.0% 0.159 2.2118
Not Using Events or Tokens 4 100.0% 21.75 -6.409 25.0% -0.142 0.0724
Skip Initial Invader Actions 161 12.58% 59.9 6.795 97.52% 1.656 0.9696
Start of Game Growth 234 19.4% 56.89 5.564 93.59% 0.875 0.4062
Unlimited Undo 542 53.15% 43.87 1.707 74.91% 0.374 -0.0495
Using Tokens but Not Events 371 61.68% 38.13 -0.997 63.61% -0.194 -0.245

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1035 22.37 0.58%
II 3256 30.88 49.2%
III 2857 34.39 84.63%
IV 1603 37.55 99.44%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.324 Win Model: 0.132
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6215 60.66% 39.26 62.91%
2 1759 66.15% 39.8 65.89%
3 538 65.06% 40.98 69.14%
4 239 56.12% 44.68 74.9%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 6
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2376
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1561
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1579
Lose: Adversary condition 1101
Win: Sacrifice victory 35
Lose: Scenario condition 62
Win: Scenario condition 63
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1866
Lose: Spirit destroyed 102

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 247 58.94% 44.3 -0.584 65.99% -0.058 0.0459
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 194 80.41% 38.88 -2.344 54.12% -0.206 -0.0078
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 260 68.46% 43.75 -0.326 66.15% 0.229 0.1152
Eyes Watch From the Trees 367 53.41% 49.65 1.944 76.29% 0.382 -0.0224
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 162 60.49% 45.69 -0.223 66.67% 0.048 -0.2572
Fractured Days Split the Sky 214 66.2% 41.79 -1.474 53.27% -0.572 -0.2242
Heart of the Wildfire 280 77.14% 39.92 -2.145 58.21% -0.013 0.3054
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 901 56.0% 47.05 0.895 75.58% 0.428 0.0852
Lightning's Swift Strike 296 65.54% 44.08 -0.103 64.53% 0.085 0.3113
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1158 47.75% 52.31 3.475 85.06% 0.987 0.7002
Many Minds Move as One 694 48.41% 52.1 2.93 83.0% 0.684 0.1511
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 335 72.46% 38.63 -3.049 52.54% -0.569 -0.7938
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 294 70.75% 39.65 -2.285 55.78% -0.288 -0.2742
River Surges in Sunlight 426 70.42% 41.85 -1.312 55.63% -0.293 -0.1723
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 295 66.78% 41.6 -1.975 58.98% -0.43 -0.3276
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 246 73.17% 39.64 -2.292 52.44% -0.379 0.0262
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 822 40.51% 53.09 3.436 84.43% 0.693 0.5814
Shifting Memory of Ages 76 71.05% 42.26 -1.056 61.84% -0.024 0.1001
Shroud of Silent Mist 121 76.67% 38.8 -2.837 53.72% -0.374 -0.3179
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 487 57.08% 40.37 -3.143 60.99% -0.596 -0.6558
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 426 62.91% 45.84 0.704 70.89% 0.314 0.4748
Thunderspeaker 233 75.54% 42.0 -1.015 59.66% -0.015 0.0093
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 406 83.0% 41.71 -0.808 65.52% 0.462 0.4337
Vital Strength of the Earth 194 78.35% 34.23 -4.757 43.81% -0.705 0.1392
Volcano Looming High 299 67.22% 41.31 -1.648 61.87% -0.121 -0.1106

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 45 75.56% 31.42 -5.815 35.56% -1.074 -0.5082
Dahan Insurrection 4 41 41.46% 62.34 8.458 60.98% -0.752 -0.3512
Despicable Theft 2 4 50.0% 64.75 8.712 100.0% 0.5 0.7738
Elemental Invocation 1 16 68.75% 48.81 2.016 75.0% 0.577 1.0796
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 311 32.8% 52.13 2.425 78.14% -0.079 0.2862
Powers Long Forgotten 1 14 71.43% 32.64 -4.586 28.57% -1.028 -0.5817
Rituals of Terror 3 22 77.27% 45.59 1.254 45.45% -0.613 0.0318
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 11 90.91% 42.0 -0.251 36.36% -0.569 0.0776
Second Wave 0 90 64.44% 42.03 -1.631 54.44% -0.81 -0.3802
The Great River 3 15 80.0% 39.47 -3.334 33.33% -1.495 -0.0214
Ward the Shores 2 13 84.62% 35.0 -1.735 30.77% -0.307 0.7248

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4619 58.86% 45.18 0.031 68.26% -0.354 -0.2671
1 Thematic 168 62.5% 42.3 -1.172 54.17% -0.711 -0.4337
2 Archipelago 2 50.0% 90.0 20.544 100.0% 0.343 0.3499
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 953 67.26% 43.66 -0.478 66.21% -0.413 -0.3877
2 Coastline 129 67.44% 43.44 -0.37 65.12% -0.238 -0.2626
2 Fragment 14 78.57% 48.79 2.705 78.57% 0.393 0.6157
2 Heart 13 69.23% 46.31 1.247 69.23% -0.144 -0.0437
2 Opposite Shores 141 65.25% 45.97 0.428 73.76% -0.05 0.0153
2 Thematic 43 81.4% 45.14 -0.356 58.14% -0.245 -0.3121
2 Top to Top 45 62.22% 46.78 0.734 73.33% -0.044 -0.1133
3 Coastline 12 33.33% 59.33 5.714 91.67% 0.454 0.3033
3 Other 14 50.0% 47.43 2.622 78.57% 0.213 0.3859
3 Round (Default) 384 62.76% 44.67 -0.095 68.75% -0.444 -0.4833
3 Sunrise 3 100.0% 29.0 -5.588 33.33% -0.406 -0.6663
3 Thematic 11 72.73% 45.27 -0.857 54.55% -0.16 -0.5265
4 Coastline 8 25.0% 54.88 1.686 87.5% -0.122 -0.0026
4 Other 11 81.82% 51.55 5.17 90.91% 1.099 1.0302
4 Thematic 52 38.46% 60.6 2.272 88.46% 0.667 -0.3302
4 Trapezoid (Default) 106 50.0% 49.0 1.299 78.3% -0.289 -0.281
5 Other 3 100.0% 65.0 7.676 100.0% 0.335 -0.1259
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 69.0 3.326 100.0% 0.04 -2.3513

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 349 36.49 -5.78 49.0% -2.511 -0.4419
Aid From Lesser Spirits 251 37.07 -5.488 49.4% -2.567 -0.6543
All Things Weaken 298 36.93 -5.507 51.34% -2.419 -0.26
Back Against the Wall 236 38.91 -4.525 53.81% -2.322 -0.2348
Disintegrating Ecosystem 298 31.31 -8.354 38.93% -2.963 -0.7409
Downward Spiral 288 36.11 -5.809 52.78% -2.333 -0.311
Erosion of Will 310 35.7 -6.291 47.74% -2.635 -0.427
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 93 49.82 0.619 82.8% -0.857 -0.1778
Memory Fades to Dust 329 34.84 -6.618 47.72% -2.588 -0.3735
Power Corrodes the Spirit 322 36.9 -5.537 53.11% -2.355 -0.3339
Promising Farmlands 274 35.56 -6.107 50.73% -2.424 -0.2164
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 54 49.2 0.239 83.33% -0.83 -0.4185
Thriving Communities 323 37.94 -4.948 56.97% -2.167 -0.0788
Unnatural Proliferation 329 37.69 -5.217 52.58% -2.432 -0.3508
Untended Land Crumbles 323 33.5 -7.238 43.34% -2.787 -0.6853

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1065 62.88% 45.12 0.113 69.01% 0.495 -0.1931
B 1255 61.2% 45.63 0.281 70.44% 0.496 -0.2874
C 1298 60.14% 45.11 0.085 68.41% 0.38 -0.6331
D 1128 60.96% 44.64 -0.056 67.82% 0.384 -0.3932
E 1327 56.49% 46.58 0.605 71.59% 0.474 -0.4206
F 1053 63.72% 44.38 -0.206 67.43% 0.416 -0.4246
G 890 65.69% 44.64 0.008 68.09% 0.508 -0.3236
H 998 60.78% 44.43 -0.352 66.93% 0.282 -0.5571
East 97 48.45% 54.39 1.565 74.23% 0.196 -0.3802
Northeast 78 64.1% 51.23 0.984 67.95% 0.387 -0.1373
Northwest 77 51.95% 48.97 -0.007 63.64% 0.006 -0.5888
Southeast 64 57.81% 49.67 -0.435 67.19% -0.224 -0.8532
Southwest 63 63.49% 49.78 -0.11 71.43% 0.391 0.1925
West 81 49.38% 56.31 1.779 79.01% 0.425 0.0974

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2 0.0% 71.0 5.231 100.0% 0.039 2.0916
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 33.33% 19.0 -9.42 0.0% -1.029 -0.8147
Skip Initial Invader Actions 108 16.98% 62.06 5.016 92.59% 0.438 -0.2482
Start of Game Growth 239 22.78% 60.07 4.264 92.47% 0.74 0.2706
Unlimited Undo 617 57.89% 48.4 1.13 75.2% 0.31 -0.113
Using Tokens but Not Events 225 44.39% 50.33 1.674 80.89% 0.267 0.2159

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 553 22.37 0.36%
II 2506 30.88 53.27%
III 2629 34.39 84.02%
IV 1046 37.55 99.62%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.201 Win Model: -0.332
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4804 59.07% 45.1 67.8%
2 1334 67.39% 44.17 67.09%
3 423 62.41% 45.08 69.27%
4 173 44.77% 53.4 82.66%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2181
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1305
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1035
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2
Lose: Adversary condition 650
Win: Sacrifice victory 36
Lose: Scenario condition 30
Win: Scenario condition 29
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1384
Lose: Spirit destroyed 80

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 183 80.33% 41.22 -0.62 39.34% 0.074 0.178
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 108 88.89% 33.06 -4.004 21.3% -0.513 -0.3149
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 146 80.82% 38.6 -2.295 34.25% -0.204 -0.3181
Eyes Watch From the Trees 349 64.76% 48.34 -0.068 51.86% -0.096 -0.5002
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 81 87.5% 34.36 -4.318 22.22% -0.675 -0.9803
Fractured Days Split the Sky 97 65.98% 49.27 2.811 50.52% 0.314 0.662
Heart of the Wildfire 159 91.19% 36.52 -3.137 31.45% -0.127 0.1916
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 607 66.01% 48.5 2.252 56.67% 0.599 0.2568
Lightning's Swift Strike 180 82.22% 42.73 -0.015 41.67% 0.285 0.5113
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 764 61.78% 53.13 4.324 65.58% 0.957 0.6707
Many Minds Move as One 450 77.33% 45.88 0.551 49.33% 0.339 -0.1938
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 184 85.87% 36.32 -3.55 28.26% -0.545 -0.7695
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 134 88.81% 36.6 -2.289 29.1% 0.02 0.0342
River Surges in Sunlight 228 82.46% 42.62 0.127 38.6% 0.253 0.3736
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 170 82.35% 38.06 -2.515 31.76% -0.367 -0.2647
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 158 91.77% 32.66 -5.025 18.99% -0.883 -0.4778
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 407 70.69% 49.3 2.868 56.02% 0.689 0.5772
Shifting Memory of Ages 21 76.19% 42.29 0.262 42.86% 0.215 0.3397
Shroud of Silent Mist 33 96.97% 33.3 -4.305 24.24% -0.111 -0.0545
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 309 75.08% 37.96 -3.219 37.86% -0.366 -0.4256
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 291 72.16% 46.24 1.563 49.83% 0.465 0.6252
Thunderspeaker 143 88.11% 36.12 -3.048 23.08% -0.534 -0.51
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 293 92.83% 39.45 -1.385 38.91% 0.476 0.4477
Vital Strength of the Earth 108 88.89% 32.72 -4.54 21.3% -0.615 0.2296
Volcano Looming High 137 80.29% 39.66 -1.966 37.96% -0.049 -0.0385

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 16 62.5% 38.19 -4.033 31.25% -0.969 -0.403
Dahan Insurrection 4 26 61.54% 59.12 8.675 42.31% 0.033 0.4337
Elemental Invocation 1 13 100.0% 28.77 -5.691 7.69% -0.852 -0.3498
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 230 40.43% 55.87 4.666 65.65% 0.128 0.4927
Powers Long Forgotten 1 14 100.0% 25.79 -6.949 0.0% -1.266 -0.8192
Rituals of Terror 3 10 100.0% 31.1 -3.423 0.0% -0.914 -0.2691
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 2 50.0% 57.5 6.205 50.0% -0.132 0.515
Second Wave 0 55 83.64% 38.38 -2.475 30.91% -0.567 -0.1367
The Great River 3 3 100.0% 51.0 -1.095 33.33% -0.417 1.0565
Ward the Shores 2 8 87.5% 33.13 -6.145 12.5% -1.063 -0.0312

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 2694 69.53% 46.35 0.935 51.11% -0.0 0.0863
1 Thematic 193 76.17% 40.48 -1.388 31.09% -0.684 -0.4069
2 Archipelago 2 50.0% 99.0 23.233 100.0% 0.453 0.4595
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 637 85.4% 38.68 -1.976 34.07% -0.376 -0.3503
2 Coastline 68 69.12% 51.34 3.168 63.24% 0.522 0.4971
2 Fragment 12 100.0% 34.33 -5.297 25.0% -0.688 -0.4649
2 Heart 8 62.5% 45.38 1.68 50.0% 0.015 0.1146
2 Opposite Shores 63 77.78% 42.92 -0.354 42.86% -0.074 -0.0085
2 Thematic 25 68.0% 37.8 -3.697 24.0% -1.261 -1.3274
2 Top to Top 12 75.0% 55.75 6.727 75.0% 1.25 1.1814
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 57.75 4.748 62.5% -0.039 -0.1899
3 Other 15 100.0% 37.27 -0.712 33.33% 0.245 0.4173
3 Round (Default) 206 80.1% 45.1 1.596 48.06% 0.363 0.3246
3 Thematic 4 75.0% 41.75 -1.186 25.0% -0.378 -0.7444
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 74.0 14.435 100.0% 0.129 0.2488
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 64.0 6.548 100.0% 0.061 0.1328
4 Other 3 33.33% 52.0 -1.63 66.67% -0.288 -0.3573
4 Thematic 16 93.75% 47.06 2.522 43.75% 0.851 -0.1455
4 Trapezoid (Default) 105 85.71% 38.77 -1.075 34.29% -0.247 -0.2387
5 Other 4 50.0% 53.0 1.669 75.0% 0.173 -0.2882

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 237 35.83 -6.1 27.85% -2.706 -0.6368
Aid From Lesser Spirits 173 41.12 -3.334 38.73% -2.223 -0.3105
All Things Weaken 242 35.13 -6.829 26.86% -2.812 -0.6527
Back Against the Wall 170 35.52 -5.863 24.71% -2.76 -0.6733
Disintegrating Ecosystem 220 31.87 -7.928 21.82% -2.995 -0.7727
Downward Spiral 229 37.71 -5.185 37.12% -2.235 -0.213
Erosion of Will 221 37.68 -5.233 33.48% -2.443 -0.2356
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 53 55.68 3.313 75.47% -0.54 0.1392
Memory Fades to Dust 219 36.24 -6.138 31.96% -2.526 -0.3108
Power Corrodes the Spirit 211 34.52 -6.962 27.01% -2.775 -0.7541
Promising Farmlands 221 34.36 -6.728 28.51% -2.646 -0.4376
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 24 60.79 5.075 87.5% 0.107 0.5186
Thriving Communities 258 37.43 -5.425 35.27% -2.334 -0.2456
Unnatural Proliferation 266 36.26 -6.151 28.2% -2.707 -0.6264
Untended Land Crumbles 254 33.22 -7.493 23.62% -2.943 -0.8409

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 677 79.91% 43.45 -0.038 44.9% 0.372 -0.3158
B 741 78.0% 42.86 -0.362 43.45% 0.202 -0.5817
C 783 73.66% 45.18 0.678 48.79% 0.356 -0.6564
D 655 76.34% 42.03 -0.702 41.83% 0.112 -0.6651
E 887 68.43% 48.05 1.123 53.55% 0.288 -0.6064
F 575 76.44% 42.99 -0.721 43.83% 0.084 -0.7567
G 526 80.61% 42.08 -0.376 42.59% 0.341 -0.4914
H 626 78.27% 42.45 -0.533 41.85% 0.202 -0.6373
East 49 75.51% 41.45 -1.22 28.57% -0.468 -1.0437
Northeast 55 80.0% 43.75 -0.154 34.55% 0.022 -0.5023
Northwest 45 80.0% 43.91 1.016 35.56% 0.547 -0.0483
Southeast 47 70.21% 48.26 3.107 46.81% 0.847 0.2178
Southwest 45 73.33% 35.16 -4.073 26.67% -0.348 -0.5463
West 53 88.68% 39.81 -1.204 26.42% -0.099 -0.4262

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3 0.0% 35.33 -8.934 33.33% -1.154 0.8987
Skip Initial Invader Actions 44 25.0% 67.11 6.958 84.09% 0.549 -0.1369
Start of Game Growth 263 35.74% 63.46 6.866 82.51% 1.208 0.7395
Unlimited Undo 401 66.58% 49.11 1.906 54.86% 0.365 -0.0582
Using Tokens but Not Events 255 50.4% 56.04 2.684 70.59% 0.114 0.0635

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 334 22.37 2.4%
II 2281 30.88 34.98%
III 1075 34.39 66.6%
IV 387 37.55 99.74%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.248 Win Model: -0.398
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2896 69.96% 46.01 49.86%
2 828 83.09% 40.21 37.2%
3 224 79.91% 45.09 47.77%
4 129 82.95% 40.84 37.98%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 8
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 704
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 779
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 385
Lose: Adversary condition 532
Win: Sacrifice victory 20
Lose: Scenario condition 40
Win: Scenario condition 12
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1535
Lose: Spirit destroyed 62

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 879 74.89% 50.4 -1.222 40.73% 0.14 0.2441
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 480 94.58% 35.58 -6.88 16.67% -0.682 -0.4839
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 504 92.4% 35.01 -7.141 15.67% -0.837 -0.9502
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1207 62.47% 62.62 1.826 49.3% -0.102 -0.5065
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 319 89.66% 39.97 -5.095 24.45% -0.346 -0.6514
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1023 61.0% 63.25 3.474 55.62% 0.386 0.7342
Heart of the Wildfire 683 91.94% 33.49 -8.091 15.23% -0.88 -0.5612
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8081 56.52% 63.09 6.205 72.17% 1.355 1.0125
Lightning's Swift Strike 809 84.77% 44.21 -2.521 32.51% 0.067 0.2929
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3743 69.86% 56.93 2.834 57.6% 0.9 0.6128
Many Minds Move as One 1185 87.51% 45.85 -1.832 37.3% 0.377 -0.1558
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 764 88.51% 38.91 -5.319 22.25% -0.522 -0.7462
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 414 89.76% 41.69 -3.742 28.99% -0.065 -0.051
River Surges in Sunlight 1132 84.81% 46.48 -1.774 32.69% 0.063 0.1837
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1289 71.22% 55.0 0.625 51.59% 0.508 0.6109
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 622 89.37% 39.1 -5.437 21.86% -0.534 -0.1292
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1150 79.95% 47.7 -1.583 39.13% 0.122 0.0105
Shifting Memory of Ages 220 80.91% 48.66 -1.505 41.82% 0.251 0.3754
Shroud of Silent Mist 244 90.04% 39.74 -5.655 22.95% -0.481 -0.4245
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2408 66.86% 47.1 -2.312 44.35% 0.022 -0.0378
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1187 84.73% 48.26 -1.162 39.68% 0.337 0.4975
Thunderspeaker 560 87.46% 43.21 -4.059 25.71% -0.39 -0.3661
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1131 95.31% 39.98 -4.726 28.03% -0.005 -0.0334
Vital Strength of the Earth 358 87.43% 37.65 -6.018 21.23% -0.623 0.2209
Volcano Looming High 886 80.68% 47.72 -1.53 41.08% 0.291 0.3016

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 176 69.36% 47.14 -3.792 40.34% -0.81 -0.244
Dahan Insurrection 4 839 28.52% 93.77 18.426 80.21% 1.112 1.5126
Despicable Theft 2 3 100.0% 56.33 3.523 33.33% -0.188 0.0854
Elemental Invocation 1 82 93.9% 35.96 -6.897 9.76% -1.471 -0.9686
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1102 46.5% 57.07 1.035 53.45% -0.499 -0.1345
Powers Long Forgotten 1 6 100.0% 35.83 -9.077 16.67% -0.806 -0.3599
Rituals of Terror 3 14 85.71% 44.0 -2.376 14.29% -0.725 -0.0803
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 3 100.0% 31.33 -7.239 0.0% -0.477 0.1701
Second Wave 0 72 76.39% 51.68 -0.076 43.06% -0.103 0.327
The Great River 3 23 86.96% 40.43 -6.338 13.04% -1.76 -0.2871
Ward the Shores 2 16 81.25% 45.69 -0.147 25.0% -0.245 0.7865

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 21069 70.71% 53.16 0.734 51.32% -0.008 0.0784
1 Thematic 614 80.46% 47.9 -2.802 32.25% -0.706 -0.4291
2 Archipelago 21 23.81% 115.86 22.309 85.71% 0.311 0.3182
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1651 82.19% 48.27 -0.874 40.28% -0.166 -0.1407
2 Coastline 322 83.23% 46.32 -1.604 38.51% -0.219 -0.2441
2 Fragment 53 88.68% 48.28 -0.041 43.4% 0.166 0.3882
2 Heart 41 92.68% 54.0 1.643 58.54% 0.439 0.5387
2 Opposite Shores 360 85.83% 41.9 -2.856 28.61% -0.527 -0.4615
2 Thematic 77 89.47% 44.18 -4.188 18.18% -0.999 -1.0657
2 Top to Top 66 74.24% 53.94 1.666 51.52% 0.169 0.1003
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 135.0 29.955 100.0% 0.049 0.853
3 Coastline 6 100.0% 44.0 -0.938 33.33% 0.083 -0.0679
3 Other 40 80.0% 54.63 1.802 57.5% 0.38 0.553
3 Round (Default) 646 81.11% 48.35 0.41 41.95% 0.243 0.2042
3 Thematic 67 40.3% 83.1 7.122 64.18% 0.387 0.0207
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 42.67 3.249 33.33% 0.524 0.596
4 Other 32 78.13% 41.19 -5.131 25.0% -0.999 -1.068
4 Thematic 192 34.9% 72.22 2.444 67.19% 0.685 -0.3114
4 Trapezoid (Default) 345 77.25% 49.22 0.957 40.87% 0.114 0.1225
5 Other 12 81.82% 48.33 0.75 41.67% -0.087 -0.5482
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 70.33 2.365 66.67% 0.198 -2.1939

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1415 42.99 -6.196 32.3% -2.606 -0.5368
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1070 46.75 -4.323 37.94% -2.363 -0.4504
All Things Weaken 1570 41.75 -6.926 29.81% -2.721 -0.5614
Back Against the Wall 1048 45.95 -4.799 36.26% -2.448 -0.361
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1318 37.31 -9.007 23.9% -3.032 -0.8099
Downward Spiral 1425 44.84 -5.29 39.09% -2.257 -0.2351
Erosion of Will 1424 41.39 -7.012 28.72% -2.764 -0.5566
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 313 64.87 3.62 78.59% -0.653 0.0255
Memory Fades to Dust 1420 42.76 -6.482 33.59% -2.558 -0.3431
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1457 41.98 -6.816 32.12% -2.621 -0.6
Promising Farmlands 1368 41.64 -6.986 31.65% -2.649 -0.4408
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 187 68.98 5.388 85.56% -0.153 0.2582
Thriving Communities 1434 42.74 -6.33 33.54% -2.517 -0.4288
Unnatural Proliferation 1528 42.48 -6.322 30.17% -2.64 -0.5595
Untended Land Crumbles 1503 42.24 -6.649 32.47% -2.589 -0.4865

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3800 79.62% 47.45 -1.393 40.76% 0.184 -0.5039
B 3860 78.56% 49.04 -0.966 44.15% 0.261 -0.5226
C 4410 75.26% 49.9 -0.579 44.72% 0.233 -0.7797
D 3259 75.75% 49.13 -0.875 43.42% 0.213 -0.5645
E 4644 72.94% 52.76 0.284 50.82% 0.35 -0.5442
F 3241 74.32% 51.31 -0.186 48.16% 0.313 -0.5275
G 2730 75.05% 50.92 -0.31 46.85% 0.289 -0.5427
H 4007 60.49% 61.67 3.439 63.21% 0.661 -0.178
East 397 51.26% 68.53 2.55 54.16% 0.149 -0.4269
Northeast 302 51.99% 68.23 2.514 55.63% 0.368 -0.1563
Northwest 211 59.24% 59.85 -0.654 47.39% 0.014 -0.5811
Southeast 140 55.71% 57.96 -1.015 46.43% -0.108 -0.7369
Southwest 183 64.48% 52.63 -2.437 43.17% 0.075 -0.1234
West 324 44.89% 71.14 2.846 59.26% -0.094 -0.4211

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 21 0.0% 71.0 4.839 76.19% -0.466 1.5871
Not Using Events or Tokens 1 100.0% 26.0 -7.697 0.0% -0.213 0.0013
Skip Initial Invader Actions 759 35.35% 70.96 4.789 74.84% 0.264 -0.4224
Start of Game Growth 1464 36.11% 70.35 5.364 78.62% 0.488 0.0187
Unlimited Undo 2485 60.59% 61.79 3.673 67.04% 0.766 0.3425
Using Tokens but Not Events 957 60.68% 54.22 0.004 54.23% -0.232 -0.2828

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4447 22.37 1.12%
II 12735 30.88 42.29%
III 6176 34.39 80.1%
IV 2263 37.55 99.82%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.044 Win Model: -0.648
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 21841 70.97% 53.11 50.87%
2 2473 83.54% 46.82 37.65%
3 737 77.07% 51.43 43.55%
4 570 63.08% 56.44 49.12%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 48
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4863
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4647
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2242
Lose: Invader deck ran out 23
Lose: Adversary condition 3416
Win: Sacrifice victory 165
Lose: Scenario condition 233
Win: Scenario condition 677
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8974
Lose: Spirit destroyed 333

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2025-04-15 02:07:53 (Pacific Time)