The Tsardom of Russia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 720 23.09% 28.43 -0.21 89.58% -0.25 -0.3651
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 479 44.05% 26.56 0.03 87.27% 0.45 0.5458
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 788 27.77% 28.43 0.19 92.13% -0.168 -0.3297
Downpour Drenches the World 72 20.83% 30.54 -0.165 93.06% 0.269 0.5215
Eyes Watch From the Trees 835 15.75% 32.09 0.558 94.61% 0.311 -0.1265
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 667 24.59% 29.86 0.72 93.4% 0.942 0.4546
Finder of Paths Unseen 21 38.1% 31.33 -0.197 61.9% -1.089 -0.7257
Fractured Days Split the Sky 355 33.52% 29.96 3.236 84.79% -0.025 0.0308
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 372 43.55% 28.88 0.836 81.99% 0.548 0.516
Heart of the Wildfire 577 57.71% 23.61 -1.193 77.64% -0.523 -0.3489
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1177 26.71% 28.3 -0.123 93.46% 0.392 -0.0647
Lightning's Swift Strike 435 36.43% 27.32 -2.549 86.67% -0.636 -0.3621
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 22 45.45% 34.0 1.523 95.45% 0.994 0.2172
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 237 22.03% 28.93 0.562 91.14% 0.004 -0.6386
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 201 26.5% 31.57 0.103 90.05% -0.163 -0.429
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1194 28.74% 29.17 0.876 91.96% 0.359 0.0921
Many Minds Move as One 1066 20.32% 29.22 1.121 95.68% 0.637 0.0338
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 790 40.08% 27.29 0.819 86.2% 0.433 0.2482
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 670 31.34% 27.66 -0.871 89.25% -0.017 0.0038
River Surges in Sunlight 579 38.34% 29.28 1.053 83.77% 0.169 0.1344
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 353 37.96% 29.22 2.843 83.29% 0.438 0.8696
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 23 34.78% 34.17 1.126 82.61% -0.51 -0.8099
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 578 27.68% 28.66 1.48 91.0% 0.511 0.4584
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 279 50.72% 26.03 -0.07 81.72% 0.241 0.6512
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 9 33.33% 40.11 3.131 66.67% -0.537 -0.5303
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 9 44.44% 30.56 1.014 100.0% 0.623 0.2762
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 215 33.95% 27.42 0.351 88.84% -0.186 -0.1664
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 179 35.75% 28.24 0.882 89.94% 0.175 0.358
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 889 26.55% 28.29 -0.136 91.45% -0.248 -0.5345
Shifting Memory of Ages 254 43.7% 25.38 -2.271 77.95% -0.936 -0.8611
Shroud of Silent Mist 386 47.67% 25.75 0.387 83.94% 0.26 0.4966
Starlight Seeks its Form 311 25.72% 31.16 0.67 87.46% 0.027 -0.112
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 929 27.69% 26.58 -1.318 90.64% -0.101 -0.2833
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 610 31.15% 27.94 -0.041 88.36% 0.168 0.3524
Thunderspeaker 639 30.67% 30.41 -0.484 86.38% -0.255 -0.1908
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 647 62.75% 22.72 -1.072 82.84% 0.021 -0.0692
Vital Strength of the Earth 407 34.24% 24.35 -1.884 77.4% -1.067 -0.2582
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 19 47.37% 31.89 0.968 84.21% -0.043 0.3434
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 191 28.8% 23.66 -1.862 81.68% -0.433 0.7409
Volcano Looming High 564 44.58% 24.67 -1.59 81.74% -0.595 -0.5993

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 0.0% 40.67 3.753 100.0% 0.058 -0.1442
Blitz 0 174 28.32% 25.0 1.184 84.48% -0.517 -0.2601
Dahan Insurrection 4 322 17.39% 50.65 13.467 90.68% 0.497 0.9097
Despicable Theft 2 66 36.36% 36.3 3.349 81.82% -0.81 -0.3641
Elemental Invocation 1 96 40.63% 28.76 -0.332 85.42% 0.224 0.7101
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 507 11.24% 31.12 -0.492 85.8% -0.812 -0.5068
Powers Long Forgotten 1 118 52.54% 29.3 3.28 77.97% 0.292 0.4743
Rituals of Terror 3 132 46.88% 36.19 3.696 75.0% -0.066 0.0551
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 95 67.37% 37.67 4.902 78.95% -0.609 -0.1942
Second Wave 0 255 54.51% 30.15 1.815 73.73% -1.261 -0.6952
The Great River 3 102 50.0% 32.77 6.788 67.65% 0.393 1.7908
Varied Terrains 2 11 72.73% 40.36 5.545 63.64% -0.719 -0.1931
Ward the Shores 2 182 37.57% 31.33 2.35 77.47% 0.047 1.2092

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8221 35.03% 26.82 -0.588 87.14% -0.362 0.6544
1 Thematic 1076 39.98% 31.89 1.263 82.81% 0.194 1.3662
2 Archipelago 11 45.45% 30.82 -1.833 63.64% -0.44 0.5438
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1663 33.31% 27.06 0.131 89.48% 0.041 0.7924
2 Coastline 175 30.86% 27.38 -0.231 89.14% 0.343 0.9452
2 Fragment 37 27.03% 27.73 -1.014 89.19% 0.053 0.5005
2 Heart 24 41.67% 22.5 -8.814 79.17% -0.682 -0.1441
2 Opposite Shores 249 25.3% 27.11 -0.471 93.57% 0.117 1.1091
2 Thematic 242 38.43% 33.43 0.496 86.78% 0.276 0.9743
2 Top to Top 29 17.24% 28.48 -0.464 93.1% 0.092 0.6026
3 Archipelago 4 75.0% 30.75 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 11 63.64% 34.55 0.0 72.73%
3 Other 29 31.03% 24.59 8.428 93.1% 1.162 1.1266
3 Round (Default) 755 29.08% 28.02 -0.664 90.46% -0.118 0.4769
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 19.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 46 41.3% 30.15 -0.416 78.26% -0.355 -0.3923
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 4 75.0% 30.75 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 2 0.0% 31.0 2.636 100.0% 0.191 0.7537
4 Other 16 43.75% 31.63 0.905 93.75% 0.022 -0.2317
4 Thematic 78 19.23% 36.5 8.735 93.59% 0.072 0.6016
4 Trapezoid (Default) 320 23.13% 28.21 -0.337 90.31% 0.134 0.1072
5 Other 20 45.0% 36.65 -1.936 80.0% -0.415 -0.2463
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 3 66.67% 44.67 18.649 100.0% 0.012 0.8212
6 Star 16 31.25% 31.88 2.081 100.0% 0.567 1.3501
6 Thematic 17 17.65% 37.47 -1.732 94.12% -0.142 -0.4209
6 Two Centers (Default) 30 20.0% 32.77 -0.821 86.67% -0.844 -0.9377

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 315 21.74 -3.179 67.62% -1.657 0.246
Aid From Lesser Spirits 259 22.52 -2.641 68.34% -1.307 0.4224
All Things Weaken 360 20.36 -4.274 63.06% -1.939 0.046
Back Against the Wall 269 20.87 -2.895 60.59% -1.968 -0.151
Disintegrating Ecosystem 320 18.54 -2.573 65.31% -0.5 1.5501
Downward Spiral 347 20.92 -3.089 72.33% -1.67 0.3232
Erosion of Will 280 21.15 -3.32 67.86% -1.37 0.7134
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 173 27.65 0.199 94.8% 0.076 0.5167
Memory Fades to Dust 372 20.37 -3.556 65.86% -1.484 0.6
Power Corrodes the Spirit 327 21.28 -6.129 69.72% -2.507 -0.5684
Promising Farmlands 292 19.67 -5.231 63.01% -2.303 -0.257
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 107 26.25 -1.531 96.26% 0.129 0.5536
Thriving Communities 345 18.85 -2.973 65.51% -0.72 1.2633
Unnatural Proliferation 369 20.88 -4.71 64.5% -2.527 -0.5623
Untended Land Crumbles 342 20.11 -4.775 66.37% -2.081 -0.0883

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2173 33.21% 27.1 -0.36 87.71% -0.12 0.6774
B 2225 33.21% 26.98 -0.378 88.04% -0.442 0.3012
C 2385 31.89% 27.42 -0.141 89.06% 0.132 0.7001
D 2217 33.77% 27.29 0.139 88.68% 0.05 0.8455
E 2143 32.77% 27.44 -0.558 88.85% -0.136 0.5107
F 2054 31.92% 27.46 0.24 87.88% -0.372 0.3525
G 1779 31.64% 27.86 0.526 89.49% 0.27 1.0017
H 1871 32.55% 27.44 0.384 88.51% 0.21 0.922
East 859 35.59% 33.62 0.991 87.54% -0.282 0.4871
Northeast 343 36.15% 34.38 1.964 84.55% 0.216 1.0762
Northwest 307 36.48% 34.05 1.906 85.67% -0.69 0.3864
Southeast 356 36.52% 31.52 -0.305 90.73% 1.006 1.7119
Southwest 274 33.21% 28.76 -0.08 81.39% -0.143 0.9822
West 774 37.08% 32.46 0.323 82.69% -0.99 -0.0358

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 31 0.0% 29.45 -1.893 93.55% 0.075 2.2043
Not Using Events or Tokens 26 30.77% 30.23 0.151 80.77% 0.173 0.3483
Skip Initial Invader Actions 300 6.9% 38.2 2.99 96.67% 0.007 -0.1348
Start of Game Growth 503 11.36% 35.82 2.97 95.63% 0.29 -0.4707
Unlimited Undo 896 24.89% 29.45 0.298 92.3% 0.111 -0.4934
Using Tokens but Not Events 1161 28.41% 27.92 0.119 87.6% 0.373 0.2168

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 847 22.56 46.75%
II 4819 30.98 85.35%
III 5105 34.53 90.97%
IV 2316 37.77 99.31%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.029 Win Model: 0.189
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 9381 35.8% 27.43 86.45%
2 2385 32.2% 27.63 90.02%
3 827 29.7% 28.16 90.08%
4 420 23.1% 30.45 91.43%
5 8 37.5% 30.25 75.0%
6 66 24.24% 34.3 92.42%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 395
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4480
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3807
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2278
Lose: Invader deck ran out 121
Lose: Adversary condition 97
Win: Sacrifice victory 60
Lose: Scenario condition 97
Win: Scenario condition 433
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1230
Lose: Spirit destroyed 89

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 445 45.39% 32.22 -0.625 74.61% -0.314 -0.4288
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 288 68.4% 30.43 0.737 71.53% 0.669 0.7652
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 419 41.73% 34.31 -0.131 79.71% -0.258 -0.4198
Downpour Drenches the World 33 45.45% 29.88 -0.784 72.73% 0.149 0.4016
Eyes Watch From the Trees 645 32.61% 38.92 2.317 86.2% 0.758 0.3203
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 370 41.96% 34.94 2.835 82.16% 0.966 0.4786
Finder of Paths Unseen 6 50.0% 35.17 1.44 66.67% -0.169 0.1949
Fractured Days Split the Sky 210 48.57% 33.44 1.292 71.9% 0.037 0.0925
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 265 64.15% 32.05 -1.082 73.21% 0.227 0.195
Heart of the Wildfire 421 78.38% 23.64 1.063 51.54% 0.67 0.8449
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 874 44.9% 33.92 2.205 79.18% 0.836 0.3799
Lightning's Swift Strike 237 59.75% 28.75 -4.212 63.29% -1.037 -0.7623
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1 0.0% 38.0 2.13 100.0% 0.098 -0.6784
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 125 64.0% 32.36 -2.031 72.0% -0.425 -1.0674
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 123 41.46% 43.04 -7.188 79.67% -0.147 -0.4133
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 926 42.7% 35.21 0.801 86.07% 0.45 0.1838
Many Minds Move as One 895 34.9% 36.49 0.55 90.84% 0.578 -0.0251
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 496 54.66% 32.9 -0.968 71.77% -0.61 -0.7952
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 392 52.3% 33.37 -1.568 78.57% -0.378 -0.3571
River Surges in Sunlight 367 54.5% 32.11 -1.666 69.75% -0.541 -0.5757
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 229 54.82% 37.93 1.379 71.62% 0.235 0.666
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 15 66.67% 31.07 0.44 73.33% 0.152 -0.1486
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 339 53.98% 29.78 -2.34 69.91% -0.775 -0.8277
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 157 66.24% 28.77 1.459 64.97% 0.099 0.5092
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 9 66.67% 36.22 2.204 77.78% 0.201 0.208
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 5 60.0% 28.4 -2.19 60.0% -0.307 -0.6536
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 117 59.83% 31.49 -0.467 76.07% -0.273 -0.2539
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 89 53.93% 33.94 0.091 74.16% -0.181 0.002
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 804 40.85% 34.87 0.356 83.96% 0.469 0.182
Shifting Memory of Ages 163 55.21% 29.96 -1.6 70.55% -0.213 -0.1385
Shroud of Silent Mist 188 69.68% 27.39 -2.739 60.64% -0.434 -0.1978
Starlight Seeks its Form 197 29.95% 37.76 2.814 88.32% 1.164 1.0249
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 536 45.42% 28.01 -1.52 64.93% -0.401 -0.5825
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 450 42.19% 34.28 -0.779 77.33% -0.224 -0.0397
Thunderspeaker 464 46.77% 36.05 -1.085 71.34% -0.549 -0.4852
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 322 80.43% 25.96 -2.103 62.11% -0.09 -0.1808
Vital Strength of the Earth 229 50.66% 28.92 -3.807 56.77% -0.731 0.0779
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 6 50.0% 37.33 2.713 83.33% 0.515 0.9014
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 129 42.64% 29.63 1.265 72.09% 0.116 1.2904
Volcano Looming High 323 61.92% 29.02 -2.596 69.66% -0.323 -0.3278

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 116 51.72% 26.73 -2.134 61.21% -0.086 0.1718
Dahan Insurrection 4 236 25.85% 57.83 5.222 81.36% -0.541 -0.1275
Despicable Theft 2 50 74.0% 33.84 -0.229 50.0% -1.112 -0.6655
Elemental Invocation 1 64 67.19% 29.63 -1.96 56.25% -0.13 0.3553
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 340 22.12% 37.56 2.221 80.29% -0.446 -0.1402
Powers Long Forgotten 1 103 62.14% 30.51 3.029 56.31% 0.353 0.535
Rituals of Terror 3 74 63.51% 39.7 -1.862 62.16% -0.559 -0.4383
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 63 84.13% 36.57 0.0 52.38%
Second Wave 0 586 55.14% 31.65 0.355 66.55% -0.508 0.058
The Great River 3 50 78.0% 29.2 0.899 40.0% 0.006 1.4039
Varied Terrains 2 4 75.0% 35.25 2.031 50.0% -0.017 0.5084
Ward the Shores 2 112 52.68% 35.21 2.006 63.39% -0.431 0.7311

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5410 49.32% 31.07 0.151 73.14% 0.059 1.0749
1 Thematic 734 57.3% 33.42 -0.129 60.76% -0.562 0.6108
2 Archipelago 3 66.67% 37.67 0.0 100.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1083 51.53% 31.26 -0.428 76.82% 0.086 0.8371
2 Coastline 164 47.85% 31.83 -0.402 76.22% -0.308 0.2943
2 Fragment 37 54.05% 30.81 1.034 72.97% 0.326 0.7734
2 Heart 16 56.25% 26.25 0.0 56.25%
2 Opposite Shores 233 49.14% 31.27 0.018 78.11% 0.656 1.6482
2 Thematic 170 68.82% 32.74 -2.525 64.71% -0.785 -0.0865
2 Top to Top 28 57.14% 34.36 -0.789 85.71% 0.436 0.9462
3 Archipelago 10 80.0% 31.8 0.0 30.0%
3 Coastline 9 66.67% 39.78 0.0 77.78%
3 Other 19 57.89% 32.47 0.0 84.21%
3 Round (Default) 420 37.95% 36.81 -0.07 86.43% -0.525 0.0696
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 47 68.09% 36.57 0.455 72.34% -0.193 -0.2305
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 26.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 34.5 -10.896 50.0% -0.82 -0.7029
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 17.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 25 56.0% 33.04 1.112 84.0% 0.664 0.4097
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 59 57.63% 40.32 5.749 81.36% 0.533 1.0624
4 Trapezoid (Default) 174 45.4% 35.6 1.391 83.33% 0.272 0.2445
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 80.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 21 23.81% 56.71 0.875 90.48% 0.097 0.2658
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 7 0.0% 69.57 4.78 100.0% 0.11 0.9195
6 Thematic 1 0.0% 59.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 13 7.69% 79.85 -2.548 92.31% -0.242 -0.3359

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 324 24.76 -0.958 50.93% -1.02 0.8831
Aid From Lesser Spirits 270 26.82 -3.709 59.26% -1.302 0.4274
All Things Weaken 350 24.05 -4.995 50.0% -1.934 0.0512
Back Against the Wall 262 24.02 -2.619 46.56% -0.872 0.9446
Disintegrating Ecosystem 314 20.35 -6.275 42.36% -1.743 0.3071
Downward Spiral 326 24.48 -6.501 55.21% -1.761 0.2324
Erosion of Will 296 24.62 -3.161 55.74% -0.988 1.0953
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 133 34.91 -1.659 84.21% -0.181 0.2605
Memory Fades to Dust 363 25.19 -3.962 58.68% -1.433 0.6512
Power Corrodes the Spirit 317 23.16 -4.92 49.84% -1.535 0.4034
Promising Farmlands 293 23.18 -3.79 53.24% -1.284 0.7617
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 77 31.18 -0.667 84.42% 0.278 0.7031
Thriving Communities 336 23.19 -5.318 49.11% -2.083 -0.0989
Unnatural Proliferation 354 24.43 -3.081 50.85% -1.008 0.9568
Untended Land Crumbles 341 22.97 -6.762 51.61% -2.115 -0.1223

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1491 49.03% 32.35 -0.557 75.25% -0.272 0.5251
B 1502 47.8% 33.4 0.929 78.03% 0.524 1.2678
C 1573 45.87% 33.31 -0.46 78.0% -0.308 0.2601
D 1469 47.41% 32.63 0.199 75.77% 0.187 0.9828
E 1375 46.14% 33.18 0.131 77.96% 0.163 0.8101
F 1332 49.21% 32.45 0.355 75.83% 0.201 0.9251
G 1158 48.7% 32.61 -0.936 76.08% -0.353 0.379
H 1143 49.43% 32.75 0.881 76.38% 0.441 1.1533
East 568 60.85% 35.52 1.881 66.02% 0.047 0.816
Northeast 242 65.56% 36.7 2.662 69.01% 0.524 1.384
Northwest 202 59.9% 33.8 -0.474 63.86% 0.315 1.3921
Southeast 195 59.49% 35.23 3.958 69.23% 0.351 1.0573
Southwest 191 66.49% 27.55 -7.714 57.07% -0.787 0.3379
West 569 60.46% 33.59 -2.352 62.74% -1.027 -0.0735

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 11 0.0% 27.45 0.0 54.55%
Not Using Events or Tokens 24 37.5% 23.58 -2.429 37.5% -0.397 -0.2218
Skip Initial Invader Actions 166 15.53% 45.3 5.003 92.77% 0.594 0.4513
Start of Game Growth 248 20.0% 43.23 -0.197 89.11% -0.635 -1.3953
Unlimited Undo 656 45.2% 33.38 2.383 80.18% 0.757 0.1527
Using Tokens but Not Events 723 39.89% 34.92 -0.691 77.73% -0.113 -0.2696

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1058 22.56 16.07%
II 3221 30.98 70.66%
III 3343 34.53 86.3%
IV 1074 37.77 99.53%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.049 Win Model: 0.009
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6192 50.57% 31.33 71.41%
2 1727 52.29% 31.68 76.43%
3 485 41.53% 36.34 84.54%
4 260 46.92% 38.24 84.23%
5 24 12.5% 66.38 91.67%
6 8 12.5% 50.88 87.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 169
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2788
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2078
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1062
Lose: Invader deck ran out 51
Lose: Adversary condition 829
Win: Sacrifice victory 40
Lose: Scenario condition 61
Win: Scenario condition 263
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1270
Lose: Spirit destroyed 85

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 519 36.75% 40.62 1.633 82.66% 0.172 0.0573
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 429 58.51% 36.88 1.431 78.32% 0.614 0.7094
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 495 42.8% 39.18 1.749 84.65% 0.338 0.1767
Downpour Drenches the World 25 44.0% 39.2 0.316 80.0% 0.207 0.4596
Eyes Watch From the Trees 713 30.48% 42.82 2.837 90.88% 0.549 0.1113
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 378 39.42% 40.85 1.259 87.57% 0.082 -0.4056
Finder of Paths Unseen 23 73.91% 31.3 -3.35 56.52% -1.02 -0.6569
Fractured Days Split the Sky 261 50.96% 39.49 0.579 73.56% -0.666 -0.6105
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 272 55.88% 37.06 -2.719 75.74% -0.797 -0.8289
Heart of the Wildfire 543 63.54% 35.91 -2.293 73.85% -0.313 -0.1383
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1123 41.05% 38.35 0.072 82.81% -0.142 -0.5979
Lightning's Swift Strike 259 63.67% 36.64 -3.561 76.06% -0.474 -0.1995
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 7 57.14% 34.71 -0.386 71.43% -0.221 -0.9979
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 168 51.79% 37.64 2.947 77.38% 0.297 -0.346
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 136 47.06% 41.71 3.932 78.68% 0.434 0.1671
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1275 39.36% 41.88 0.532 90.67% 0.25 -0.0167
Many Minds Move as One 1056 29.55% 42.23 1.609 93.37% 0.343 -0.26
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 694 49.64% 39.21 -2.404 76.66% -0.935 -1.1203
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 461 42.52% 39.47 -0.953 85.9% -0.015 0.0058
River Surges in Sunlight 555 46.38% 42.56 0.328 83.06% -0.272 -0.3063
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 206 58.25% 38.33 1.977 77.18% 0.152 0.5831
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 25 44.0% 45.36 2.765 72.0% 0.11 -0.1904
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 453 48.34% 37.15 -0.046 81.68% 0.239 0.186
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 198 60.1% 34.53 -3.395 71.21% -0.356 0.054
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 2 0.0% 48.0 4.664 100.0% 0.187 0.1937
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 10 60.0% 36.1 -0.138 80.0% 0.223 -0.1238
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 147 50.34% 38.28 1.022 78.91% 0.112 0.1313
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 111 64.86% 36.71 -3.708 78.38% -0.493 -0.3098
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 909 34.07% 41.3 0.739 89.66% 0.293 0.0065
Shifting Memory of Ages 202 60.4% 36.44 -0.834 78.22% -0.271 -0.196
Shroud of Silent Mist 273 59.71% 36.9 2.884 79.12% 0.834 1.0703
Starlight Seeks its Form 230 40.0% 40.83 1.175 82.61% 0.506 0.3665
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 704 36.51% 34.85 -2.472 76.56% -0.262 -0.4439
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 578 35.18% 41.2 0.584 88.06% 0.222 0.4066
Thunderspeaker 450 45.43% 42.1 2.839 83.11% 0.702 0.766
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 437 71.62% 33.03 0.093 73.46% 0.143 0.0529
Vital Strength of the Earth 250 46.4% 34.36 0.215 74.4% 0.493 1.3011
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 16 31.25% 39.44 0.619 87.5% 0.165 0.5519
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 152 50.66% 33.03 -2.133 73.03% -0.394 0.7804
Volcano Looming High 429 55.61% 34.51 -2.264 73.66% -0.695 -0.699

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 164 53.05% 31.79 2.077 64.02% 0.385 0.6422
Dahan Insurrection 4 181 18.78% 66.4 6.902 88.4% -0.495 -0.0821
Despicable Theft 2 38 68.42% 38.84 3.01 57.89% -0.156 0.2898
Elemental Invocation 1 75 56.0% 37.37 4.52 72.0% 0.289 0.7749
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 508 25.79% 43.31 2.284 83.07% -0.25 0.0555
Powers Long Forgotten 1 96 65.63% 38.42 0.738 67.71% -0.04 0.1418
Rituals of Terror 3 55 60.0% 38.13 0.0 49.09%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 40 72.5% 37.7 -7.758 50.0% -0.854 -0.4387
Second Wave 0 336 48.81% 37.98 -0.644 75.0% -0.321 0.2448
The Great River 3 55 63.64% 38.93 0.563 54.55% -0.135 1.2628
Varied Terrains 2 2 100.0% 54.5 9.996 100.0% 0.449 0.9752
Ward the Shores 2 93 58.06% 41.2 -1.872 65.59% -0.251 0.9104

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6648 47.2% 36.77 -0.694 78.7% -0.372 0.6439
1 Thematic 586 55.8% 37.49 0.376 64.33% -0.703 0.4692
2 Archipelago 10 50.0% 43.0 6.105 70.0% 0.96 1.9434
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1383 47.22% 38.17 0.568 85.83% 0.265 1.0163
2 Coastline 147 48.98% 40.06 11.005 88.44% 0.321 0.9234
2 Fragment 33 57.58% 37.09 -2.794 78.79% -0.431 0.0168
2 Heart 19 68.42% 30.79 -9.764 63.16% -0.547 -0.0089
2 Opposite Shores 222 49.77% 38.78 -2.51 83.78% -0.953 0.0388
2 Thematic 259 44.4% 43.54 3.195 84.56% 0.499 1.1973
2 Top to Top 35 40.0% 38.77 3.895 85.71% 0.167 0.6776
3 Archipelago 5 100.0% 31.2 0.0 20.0%
3 Coastline 16 68.75% 45.38 9.1 93.75% 0.321 -0.4622
3 Other 25 52.0% 38.08 3.728 84.0% 0.57 0.5347
3 Round (Default) 531 41.81% 40.13 0.37 89.08% 0.25 0.8453
3 Sunrise 3 0.0% 43.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 56 48.21% 46.77 1.946 89.29% 0.162 0.1244
4 Archipelago 8 37.5% 45.25 12.583 50.0% 0.168 -0.5434
4 Coastline 5 80.0% 41.2 0.0 60.0%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 47.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 11 45.45% 40.55 6.12 90.91% 0.035 -0.2187
4 Thematic 140 17.14% 57.44 0.408 92.14% 0.095 0.624
4 Trapezoid (Default) 267 31.58% 41.29 0.007 91.76% -0.052 -0.0791
5 Other 17 73.33% 44.76 0.0 82.35%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 51.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 2 50.0% 44.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 5 0.0% 56.4 -0.597 100.0% 0.004 -0.2747
6 Two Centers (Default) 6 16.67% 40.33 -3.595 83.33% -0.734 -0.8283
7 Other 1 0.0% 96.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 370 30.4 -2.786 60.81% -1.192 0.7112
Aid From Lesser Spirits 290 31.67 -1.373 62.76% -0.63 1.1004
All Things Weaken 376 29.54 -5.626 58.24% -1.521 0.4641
Back Against the Wall 302 31.05 -2.237 60.26% -0.607 1.2095
Disintegrating Ecosystem 325 27.4 -5.286 53.85% -1.459 0.5916
Downward Spiral 380 31.72 -4.855 68.95% -1.505 0.4885
Erosion of Will 332 30.35 -5.08 62.35% -1.506 0.5774
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 153 37.05 -1.472 84.97% -0.501 -0.0596
Memory Fades to Dust 341 30.63 -3.879 65.69% -0.944 1.1405
Power Corrodes the Spirit 361 29.89 -5.239 62.33% -1.58 0.358
Promising Farmlands 343 29.19 -6.161 61.81% -1.518 0.5275
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 117 37.54 0.115 88.03% -0.118 0.3065
Thriving Communities 393 29.76 -3.763 62.6% -0.887 1.0965
Unnatural Proliferation 412 31.74 -5.23 65.05% -1.749 0.2151
Untended Land Crumbles 382 30.18 -4.763 63.61% -1.357 0.6357

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1705 47.27% 37.97 0.052 82.4% 0.128 0.925
B 1839 46.84% 38.3 0.336 84.01% -0.115 0.6289
C 1928 43.54% 38.58 0.071 83.09% -0.116 0.4519
D 1714 46.58% 37.7 -0.897 80.4% -0.407 0.389
E 1730 44.18% 38.52 0.921 83.76% 0.11 0.7575
F 1643 46.01% 37.75 0.789 82.96% 0.345 1.0688
G 1374 47.37% 37.59 -0.544 81.59% -0.513 0.2187
H 1528 43.75% 38.57 -0.337 84.16% -0.467 0.2453
East 686 41.25% 45.42 0.027 79.45% -0.318 0.4509
Northeast 348 39.94% 48.47 3.764 83.33% 0.562 1.4223
Northwest 292 40.75% 47.95 0.849 81.85% 0.204 1.2808
Southeast 230 37.39% 44.28 3.6 80.87% 0.734 1.4408
Southwest 198 45.96% 39.31 0.092 76.77% 0.122 1.2476
West 621 46.54% 43.24 -0.224 76.01% -0.273 0.6809

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 5 0.0% 79.2 10.155 100.0% 0.058 2.187
Not Using Events or Tokens 5 40.0% 28.0 0.0 60.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 151 9.52% 51.44 0.707 96.03% -0.089 -0.2312
Start of Game Growth 254 16.06% 48.69 2.347 94.09% -0.157 -0.9178
Unlimited Undo 740 42.53% 39.54 1.246 81.89% -0.038 -0.6425
Using Tokens but Not Events 699 45.82% 36.19 -1.36 78.97% -0.208 -0.3648

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 721 22.56 0.28%
II 2534 30.98 66.54%
III 4769 34.53 89.85%
IV 2419 37.77 99.88%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.217 Win Model: 0.339
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7274 48.03% 36.85 77.51%
2 2098 47.45% 38.92 85.32%
3 615 42.28% 40.84 88.94%
4 436 28.34% 46.6 91.06%
5 5 75.0% 45.8 80.0%
6 15 14.29% 50.2 86.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4152
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1550
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2403
Lose: Invader deck ran out 32
Lose: Adversary condition 777
Win: Sacrifice victory 62
Lose: Scenario condition 70
Win: Scenario condition 220
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1088
Lose: Spirit destroyed 87

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 470 57.48% 40.19 -1.011 64.68% -0.294 -0.4089
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 395 75.06% 36.68 1.773 56.71% 0.517 0.6126
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 512 61.52% 40.36 3.617 64.84% 0.601 0.4392
Downpour Drenches the World 40 65.0% 39.13 0.477 65.0% 0.4 0.6525
Eyes Watch From the Trees 655 49.31% 46.24 0.659 77.71% 0.159 -0.279
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 283 66.67% 40.02 1.594 61.48% 0.511 0.023
Finder of Paths Unseen 14 85.71% 37.0 -1.338 42.86% -0.282 0.0812
Fractured Days Split the Sky 279 72.4% 37.44 -4.015 53.05% -0.387 -0.3305
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 245 63.27% 40.11 -3.476 62.45% -0.574 -0.6059
Heart of the Wildfire 586 83.11% 31.91 -2.985 46.42% -0.535 -0.3605
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1525 56.57% 40.67 -1.253 68.13% -0.231 -0.6877
Lightning's Swift Strike 269 77.07% 36.09 -1.014 51.3% -0.192 0.0827
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 13 84.62% 40.77 1.773 69.23% 0.441 -0.3352
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 187 67.91% 42.1 2.311 70.05% 0.434 -0.2089
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 111 69.37% 39.05 2.44 57.66% -0.048 -0.3142
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1954 49.62% 46.73 4.815 81.83% 1.297 1.0299
Many Minds Move as One 1139 52.68% 45.8 1.889 79.28% 0.169 -0.4343
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 643 68.5% 38.15 -3.175 58.48% -0.622 -0.8072
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 475 62.45% 39.0 -3.198 62.32% -0.61 -0.5895
River Surges in Sunlight 557 73.19% 38.94 4.972 55.66% 0.831 0.7969
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 192 81.25% 31.41 -3.315 39.06% -0.442 -0.0107
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 13 61.54% 49.85 5.373 84.62% 1.004 0.7034
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 436 70.18% 38.36 0.185 60.55% -0.304 -0.3564
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 173 84.97% 33.65 4.584 45.66% 0.155 0.565
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 3 100.0% 40.67 1.333 66.67% 0.209 0.2153
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 6 66.67% 46.5 3.383 83.33% 0.329 -0.0178
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 163 74.23% 37.48 -3.127 57.67% -0.457 -0.4382
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 147 81.63% 36.52 6.311 56.46% 0.814 0.9972
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1035 50.15% 46.2 2.485 78.94% 0.376 0.0894
Shifting Memory of Ages 202 72.28% 37.86 -3.163 58.91% -0.764 -0.6887
Shroud of Silent Mist 288 75.26% 36.46 -3.751 57.99% -0.758 -0.5214
Starlight Seeks its Form 314 59.87% 43.58 2.994 68.79% 0.47 0.3308
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 905 54.77% 35.59 -4.411 57.57% -1.086 -1.2676
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 640 58.33% 42.87 1.778 72.34% 0.345 0.5297
Thunderspeaker 451 68.67% 37.82 -2.823 56.1% -0.729 -0.6645
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 546 85.71% 33.83 3.825 52.75% 1.082 0.9911
Vital Strength of the Earth 206 75.24% 34.17 -2.823 49.51% -0.36 0.4489
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 9 55.56% 35.56 -2.452 55.56% -0.482 -0.0955
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 150 68.67% 32.48 -3.222 49.33% -0.353 0.821
Volcano Looming High 506 71.34% 37.93 -2.347 62.85% -0.495 -0.4997

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 113 69.03% 26.91 0.0 30.09%
Dahan Insurrection 4 96 48.96% 59.34 16.087 63.54% 0.45 0.8628
Despicable Theft 2 15 60.0% 51.27 9.782 66.67% 0.136 0.5819
Elemental Invocation 1 64 78.13% 36.89 3.985 53.13% 0.345 0.8311
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 666 33.93% 47.8 -0.034 77.93% -0.387 -0.0815
Powers Long Forgotten 1 59 64.41% 37.78 6.007 47.46% 0.232 0.4137
Rituals of Terror 3 34 79.41% 39.85 11.893 32.35% 0.198 0.319
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 8 62.5% 46.38 0.0 50.0%
Second Wave 0 226 67.26% 36.93 0.313 51.33% -0.104 0.4614
The Great River 3 29 72.41% 47.93 0.0 55.17%
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 62.0 9.005 100.0% 0.331 0.857
Ward the Shores 2 44 68.18% 39.66 -8.331 47.73% -0.298 0.8639

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7922 61.3% 39.2 -0.514 63.0% -0.133 0.8831
1 Thematic 515 68.74% 37.53 -1.081 47.96% -0.223 0.9497
2 Archipelago 6 83.33% 43.17 0.609 50.0% -0.115 0.8681
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1658 66.32% 40.4 -0.091 67.79% 0.161 0.9129
2 Coastline 179 61.45% 41.39 -2.393 67.6% -0.362 0.2403
2 Fragment 47 65.96% 38.11 0.0 59.57%
2 Heart 16 75.0% 42.69 -5.433 75.0% -0.432 0.1064
2 Opposite Shores 309 63.96% 41.03 2.284 67.96% 0.325 1.3177
2 Thematic 126 69.84% 39.26 1.761 50.79% 0.358 1.0568
2 Top to Top 53 60.38% 43.43 0.0 75.47%
3 Archipelago 4 50.0% 53.75 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 5 60.0% 55.2 0.0 80.0%
3 Other 31 74.19% 41.97 8.197 67.74% 0.479 0.4435
3 Round (Default) 667 63.42% 41.25 -2.005 69.12% -0.589 0.006
3 Sunrise 4 50.0% 45.25 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 26 65.38% 52.38 6.826 73.08% 0.309 0.2715
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 59.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 59.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 56.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 17 64.71% 50.59 0.0 94.12%
4 Thematic 47 57.45% 45.34 0.0 59.57%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 230 59.03% 44.31 -0.401 76.96% 0.034 0.0073
5 Other 10 50.0% 61.9 7.918 80.0% 0.17 0.3382
6 Other 5 0.0% 59.8 0.875 100.0% 0.04 0.8495
6 Star 1 0.0% 75.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 4 50.0% 38.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 7 42.86% 43.0 0.0 57.14%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 548 33.6 -1.645 49.64% -0.808 1.0946
Aid From Lesser Spirits 506 33.66 -3.456 45.85% -1.338 0.3919
All Things Weaken 566 31.6 -7.05 45.76% -1.745 0.2406
Back Against the Wall 414 32.81 -0.31 45.89% -0.552 1.2646
Disintegrating Ecosystem 550 27.62 -7.335 36.36% -1.873 0.1772
Downward Spiral 596 31.91 -6.895 48.66% -1.845 0.1476
Erosion of Will 572 31.04 -5.57 43.36% -1.514 0.5693
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 158 42.78 0.303 76.58% -0.16 0.2814
Memory Fades to Dust 548 31.04 -7.092 45.44% -1.943 0.1408
Power Corrodes the Spirit 542 30.7 -7.632 44.1% -2.104 -0.1658
Promising Farmlands 514 29.86 -6.676 41.83% -1.781 0.265
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 128 45.16 0.716 81.25% 0.111 0.5358
Thriving Communities 607 32.62 -1.995 51.4% -0.674 1.3092
Unnatural Proliferation 616 31.86 -7.551 44.64% -2.125 -0.1601
Untended Land Crumbles 571 31.6 -2.912 47.29% -1.03 0.9632

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2039 62.96% 39.9 -0.816 65.57% -0.292 0.5058
B 2114 62.59% 40.06 1.293 65.99% 0.269 1.0123
C 2358 60.28% 41.2 0.423 67.77% -0.042 0.526
D 1943 62.59% 39.94 0.337 64.85% 0.029 0.8247
E 2157 60.66% 41.01 0.088 67.5% -0.005 0.6425
F 1889 65.41% 40.38 0.348 66.75% 0.09 0.8143
G 1627 63.79% 40.07 0.528 65.27% 0.151 0.8822
H 1679 62.37% 40.74 -1.402 66.89% -0.279 0.4331
East 442 66.29% 39.87 2.438 50.0% 0.1 0.8688
Northeast 190 66.32% 40.35 4.452 49.47% 0.072 0.932
Northwest 153 62.75% 41.14 1.474 53.59% 0.193 1.2698
Southeast 167 66.47% 38.92 0.549 50.9% 0.338 1.0442
Southwest 113 69.03% 40.35 9.659 59.29% 0.9 2.0251
West 365 67.4% 40.16 0.139 53.15% -0.182 0.772

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 9 0.0% 68.0 9.899 100.0% 0.182 2.3112
Not Using Events or Tokens 4 100.0% 21.75 0.0 25.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 185 13.48% 60.1 4.78 96.76% 0.62 0.4776
Start of Game Growth 289 20.92% 56.31 3.897 91.35% 0.359 -0.4016
Unlimited Undo 804 52.82% 44.91 3.594 76.12% 1.076 0.4723
Using Tokens but Not Events 506 64.19% 37.38 -2.887 59.88% -0.956 -1.1125

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1436 22.56 0.49%
II 4370 30.98 48.15%
III 3871 34.53 84.76%
IV 2221 37.77 99.46%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.361 Win Model: 0.138
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8466 61.81% 39.09 62.02%
2 2384 65.87% 40.65 67.24%
3 729 63.1% 41.71 69.41%
4 296 57.68% 45.11 75.34%
5 6 0.0% 78.5 100.0%
6 17 29.41% 48.65 70.59%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 7
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3229
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2045
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2192
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3
Lose: Adversary condition 1531
Win: Sacrifice victory 46
Lose: Scenario condition 82
Win: Scenario condition 82
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2544
Lose: Spirit destroyed 137

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 326 61.18% 44.11 -2.272 64.42% -0.371 -0.4856
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 240 78.33% 39.49 3.641 54.17% 0.537 0.6331
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 337 67.66% 44.31 3.99 67.36% 0.85 0.6883
Downpour Drenches the World 35 74.29% 43.63 0.617 62.86% 0.329 0.5821
Eyes Watch From the Trees 491 54.79% 48.92 2.296 73.93% 0.426 -0.0119
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 211 60.19% 45.69 0.207 65.4% 0.337 -0.1509
Finder of Paths Unseen 10 70.0% 40.4 -3.943 50.0% -0.785 -0.4219
Fractured Days Split the Sky 259 64.73% 42.93 3.998 54.44% 0.106 0.1621
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 205 59.02% 46.94 -0.53 69.76% -0.198 -0.2299
Heart of the Wildfire 358 76.75% 39.99 -2.764 58.1% -0.19 -0.0151
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1258 52.35% 47.8 1.269 76.63% 0.508 0.0522
Lightning's Swift Strike 159 78.06% 39.83 -5.16 52.83% -1.066 -0.7912
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 11 81.82% 52.82 4.755 81.82% 0.872 0.0958
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 132 62.12% 46.64 7.434 69.7% 0.821 0.1785
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 95 58.95% 47.71 1.158 72.63% 0.175 -0.0915
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1749 45.77% 52.68 3.564 84.56% 0.889 0.6228
Many Minds Move as One 852 49.88% 52.3 5.226 83.22% 1.054 0.4507
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 434 72.49% 39.79 -0.388 54.15% -0.176 -0.3614
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 359 72.42% 40.47 -0.274 58.22% 0.339 0.36
River Surges in Sunlight 412 68.7% 43.54 3.868 59.47% 0.289 0.2545
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 144 72.92% 38.64 -7.598 45.83% -0.975 -0.5434
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 15 53.33% 44.8 -0.291 60.0% -0.178 -0.478
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 384 66.15% 41.73 -2.057 58.33% -0.578 -0.6306
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 118 76.92% 37.51 2.792 46.61% 0.076 0.4855
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 4 75.0% 53.5 3.012 75.0% 0.235 0.2423
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 13 76.92% 34.92 -2.687 23.08% -0.674 -1.0212
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 106 73.58% 41.48 -3.89 57.55% -0.112 -0.0923
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 101 76.24% 40.32 -3.107 54.46% -0.151 0.0323
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1138 39.54% 53.12 2.993 83.39% 0.543 0.2564
Shifting Memory of Ages 167 75.45% 43.07 -3.112 62.28% -0.206 -0.1309
Shroud of Silent Mist 198 77.6% 39.48 0.221 54.04% 0.366 0.6027
Starlight Seeks its Form 202 65.84% 43.58 0.098 63.86% 0.288 0.1486
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 643 56.45% 41.01 -3.431 60.96% -0.897 -1.0786
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 546 63.28% 46.04 1.818 70.7% 0.609 0.7935
Thunderspeaker 285 72.98% 42.82 -4.787 60.35% -0.478 -0.4139
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 513 84.02% 40.44 -5.349 61.99% -0.549 -0.6393
Vital Strength of the Earth 152 80.79% 34.2 -6.529 40.79% -0.996 -0.1876
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 12 75.0% 32.58 -4.59 41.67% -0.493 -0.1064
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 97 76.29% 36.64 -10.418 52.58% -0.805 0.3697
Volcano Looming High 391 68.72% 41.79 1.699 62.66% 0.427 0.4227

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 100.0% 18.0 -14.995 0.0% -1.102 -1.3038
Blitz 0 58 77.59% 31.31 1.17 34.48% 0.042 0.2996
Dahan Insurrection 4 55 36.36% 66.16 17.89 63.64% 0.374 0.7869
Despicable Theft 2 10 50.0% 53.0 -8.107 70.0% -0.367 0.079
Elemental Invocation 1 20 60.0% 49.75 -11.888 75.0% -0.481 0.0051
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 424 28.77% 53.55 2.559 79.01% 0.236 0.5418
Powers Long Forgotten 1 23 78.26% 33.96 5.373 30.43% 0.392 0.5742
Rituals of Terror 3 28 78.57% 44.32 0.0 42.86%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 13 92.31% 39.46 0.0 30.77%
Second Wave 0 129 62.5% 45.08 0.708 59.69% -0.308 0.2579
The Great River 3 16 81.25% 38.19 0.0 31.25%
Ward the Shores 2 15 80.0% 35.73 -12.824 33.33% -0.316 0.8453

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6350 58.42% 45.14 -0.922 67.59% -0.177 0.8389
1 Thematic 229 67.25% 41.9 2.3 51.09% 0.177 1.3496
2 Archipelago 2 50.0% 90.0 0.0 100.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1256 68.15% 43.76 -0.329 65.84% -0.011 0.7406
2 Coastline 163 66.87% 44.45 -0.263 66.87% 0.138 0.7406
2 Fragment 25 72.0% 47.6 6.372 76.0% 0.598 1.0458
2 Heart 16 75.0% 43.31 0.0 62.5%
2 Opposite Shores 280 52.5% 47.92 0.696 76.79% -0.027 0.9649
2 Thematic 71 80.28% 45.44 -5.939 56.34% -0.618 0.081
2 Top to Top 53 60.38% 47.23 -1.522 73.58% -0.205 0.3056
3 Archipelago 2 50.0% 70.5 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 13 38.46% 58.92 4.242 92.31% 0.12 -0.6633
3 Other 15 53.33% 47.8 0.0 80.0%
3 Round (Default) 520 64.04% 45.66 2.212 71.15% 0.475 1.0701
3 Sunrise 4 75.0% 35.0 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 15 73.33% 41.73 -8.107 46.67% -0.367 -0.4047
4 Coastline 8 25.0% 54.88 0.0 87.5%
4 Other 11 81.82% 51.55 0.0 90.91%
4 Thematic 65 43.08% 57.86 -5.586 81.54% -0.087 0.4423
4 Trapezoid (Default) 162 53.55% 51.52 7.067 80.86% 0.293 0.2658
5 Other 6 80.0% 53.67 3.932 83.33% 0.022 0.1904
5 Thematic 4 0.0% 80.0 0.0 75.0%
6 Other 2 0.0% 83.0 12.3 100.0% 0.03 0.8399
6 Star 3 33.33% 20.67 0.0 0.0%
6 Thematic 8 12.5% 64.63 6.31 75.0% 0.181 -0.0978
6 Two Centers (Default) 14 21.43% 55.29 -0.879 92.86% -0.516 -0.6097

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 455 36.58 -2.874 48.35% -0.76 1.1433
Aid From Lesser Spirits 339 38.55 -3.287 52.21% -0.963 0.7669
All Things Weaken 397 36.76 -6.031 50.13% -1.282 0.7037
Back Against the Wall 338 37.55 -9.283 49.7% -2.322 -0.5053
Disintegrating Ecosystem 387 30.98 -7.199 37.73% -1.473 0.5776
Downward Spiral 416 36.31 -6.469 52.4% -1.385 0.6083
Erosion of Will 418 36.06 -3.993 48.33% -1.081 1.0023
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 118 50.67 0.925 84.75% 0.124 0.5647
Memory Fades to Dust 459 35.38 -6.033 47.49% -1.271 0.8134
Power Corrodes the Spirit 462 36.74 -3.903 52.38% -1.093 0.8456
Promising Farmlands 379 34.69 -8.519 47.76% -1.749 0.2965
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 79 48.18 -1.285 79.75% -0.245 0.1796
Thriving Communities 446 37.54 -2.943 55.16% -0.702 1.2817
Unnatural Proliferation 463 36.99 -6.532 49.03% -1.868 0.0962
Untended Land Crumbles 432 34.28 -9.118 44.68% -1.777 0.2163

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1459 63.05% 45.52 -0.855 69.29% -0.071 0.7261
B 1784 59.34% 46.0 0.614 70.35% 0.203 0.947
C 1822 59.68% 45.68 3.286 69.21% 0.878 1.4464
D 1537 60.57% 45.1 0.104 68.12% -0.052 0.7437
E 1816 56.62% 47.02 -0.298 72.03% -0.173 0.4737
F 1493 62.35% 44.64 -0.228 67.31% 0.009 0.7331
G 1233 65.31% 44.67 -0.518 67.48% -0.066 0.6661
H 1379 59.29% 45.52 1.157 68.82% 0.238 0.9502
East 245 63.27% 48.34 -5.11 58.78% -1.452 -0.6828
Northeast 125 66.4% 49.48 0.247 59.2% -0.116 0.7435
Northwest 118 55.93% 48.69 1.041 59.32% -0.273 0.8037
Southeast 95 56.84% 49.72 3.937 63.16% 0.189 0.8949
Southwest 86 56.98% 49.38 3.937 66.28% 0.189 1.3139
West 230 60.87% 48.44 1.151 62.17% 0.042 0.9962

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 9 0.0% 78.22 8.473 100.0% 0.244 2.3738
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 33.33% 19.0 0.0 0.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 137 16.41% 63.12 3.192 93.43% -0.05 -0.1918
Start of Game Growth 322 27.48% 59.45 4.389 89.75% 0.544 -0.2163
Unlimited Undo 904 58.55% 48.99 1.341 75.66% 0.363 -0.2406
Using Tokens but Not Events 326 51.42% 47.59 -1.519 73.01% -0.406 -0.5626

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 776 22.56 0.39%
II 3526 30.98 53.32%
III 3579 34.53 84.1%
IV 1417 37.77 99.72%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.697 Win Model: 0.202
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6604 58.81% 45.03 67.0%
2 1854 65.97% 44.72 67.75%
3 566 63.6% 45.89 71.2%
4 245 48.95% 53.9 81.22%
5 2 50.0% 52.5 100.0%
6 27 18.52% 56.26 77.78%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2972
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1836
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1405
Lose: Invader deck ran out 4
Lose: Adversary condition 899
Win: Sacrifice victory 50
Lose: Scenario condition 44
Win: Scenario condition 40
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1934
Lose: Spirit destroyed 111

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 213 81.22% 41.22 -4.104 38.97% -0.249 -0.3635
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 132 86.36% 32.86 -6.078 20.45% -0.226 -0.1301
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 193 81.35% 37.99 0.132 32.64% 0.553 0.392
Downpour Drenches the World 14 50.0% 47.64 0.911 50.0% 0.161 0.4138
Eyes Watch From the Trees 402 67.41% 47.56 -5.378 50.0% -0.349 -0.7865
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 97 87.5% 34.81 -10.865 23.71% -0.419 -0.9072
Finder of Paths Unseen 10 90.0% 37.2 -3.589 30.0% -0.354 0.009
Fractured Days Split the Sky 117 68.38% 50.12 -3.359 48.72% -0.221 -0.1646
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 97 78.35% 40.97 -3.061 38.14% -0.033 -0.0653
Heart of the Wildfire 234 88.03% 35.59 -1.149 29.49% 0.382 0.5565
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 880 62.68% 51.29 2.065 61.48% 0.756 0.2994
Lightning's Swift Strike 102 87.25% 38.52 10.658 32.35% 0.421 0.6955
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 7 28.57% 68.14 6.553 85.71% 0.566 -0.2109
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 91 76.92% 44.68 1.023 46.15% 0.034 -0.6085
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 34 70.59% 46.65 -3.05 50.0% -0.101 -0.3671
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1123 60.11% 53.76 5.897 66.25% 1.429 1.1627
Many Minds Move as One 535 78.5% 44.77 -2.391 46.92% 0.101 -0.502
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 221 86.43% 37.07 2.895 29.41% 0.316 0.1307
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 182 87.91% 36.86 -3.95 29.67% -0.085 -0.0642
River Surges in Sunlight 236 80.51% 44.06 3.883 40.68% 0.238 0.204
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 67 91.04% 34.34 -9.231 22.39% -0.752 -0.3208
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 5 80.0% 54.4 5.052 60.0% 0.849 0.5484
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 214 82.24% 38.32 -2.845 31.31% -0.317 -0.3693
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 63 90.48% 30.32 -6.057 12.7% -0.138 0.2718
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 1 100.0% 63.0 7.108 100.0% 0.387 0.394
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 6 83.33% 36.83 -7.389 33.33% -0.622 -0.969
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 65 89.23% 34.4 0.0 23.08%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 57 94.74% 33.75 -4.434 21.05% -0.055 0.1279
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 525 71.56% 48.64 0.868 54.1% 0.465 0.1783
Shifting Memory of Ages 54 85.19% 44.2 -4.147 38.89% -0.122 -0.0475
Shroud of Silent Mist 117 96.58% 29.38 -12.13 14.53% -0.915 -0.6782
Starlight Seeks its Form 210 82.86% 42.66 -0.844 42.86% 0.291 0.1516
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 410 73.66% 37.84 -6.668 36.34% -0.966 -1.1482
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 364 73.63% 46.33 -3.294 50.0% -0.425 -0.2406
Thunderspeaker 179 86.59% 37.97 -9.643 26.26% -0.936 -0.8722
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 336 92.86% 37.93 -10.651 35.42% -0.853 -0.9435
Vital Strength of the Earth 71 84.51% 34.55 0.0 25.35%
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 6 66.67% 36.33 -5.297 33.33% -0.296 0.0909
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 83 91.57% 31.37 -4.954 18.07% -0.348 0.8261
Volcano Looming High 187 79.14% 42.07 6.367 43.32% 1.448 1.4438

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 18 66.67% 39.56 9.417 33.33% 0.388 0.6457
Dahan Insurrection 4 47 63.83% 67.47 0.0 42.55%
Despicable Theft 2 1 100.0% 35.0 3.808 0.0% -0.034 0.4124
Elemental Invocation 1 19 100.0% 27.58 0.0 5.26%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 326 34.66% 58.77 6.986 69.02% 1.281 1.5865
Powers Long Forgotten 1 16 100.0% 28.38 0.0 6.25%
Rituals of Terror 3 10 100.0% 31.1 0.0 0.0%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 2 50.0% 57.5 0.0 50.0%
Second Wave 0 80 80.0% 38.51 4.149 30.0% 0.154 0.7196
The Great River 3 3 100.0% 51.0 0.0 33.33%
Ward the Shores 2 9 88.89% 33.56 0.0 11.11%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3904 68.91% 46.38 1.398 50.74% 0.092 1.1085
1 Thematic 242 77.27% 41.32 -0.177 31.82% 0.01 1.1824
2 Archipelago 7 71.43% 91.14 -10.481 57.14% -0.302 0.6813
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 814 85.5% 38.79 -3.073 34.28% -0.516 0.235
2 Coastline 97 67.01% 50.56 -2.047 59.79% -0.227 0.375
2 Fragment 14 100.0% 32.79 0.0 21.43%
2 Heart 10 70.0% 44.8 8.524 50.0% 0.411 0.9496
2 Opposite Shores 99 75.76% 45.57 0.907 45.45% 0.077 1.0692
2 Thematic 36 72.22% 38.89 0.0 19.44%
2 Top to Top 25 72.0% 48.44 -3.591 56.0% -0.188 0.322
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 57.75 0.0 62.5%
3 Other 16 100.0% 36.44 0.0 31.25%
3 Round (Default) 292 81.16% 44.46 1.99 46.92% 0.745 1.3393
3 Thematic 6 83.33% 49.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 56.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 74.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 3 33.33% 52.0 0.0 66.67%
4 Thematic 18 94.44% 46.44 0.0 38.89%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 128 86.72% 38.61 11.052 34.38% 0.442 0.4146
5 Other 7 71.43% 46.71 -2.305 57.14% -0.119 0.049
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 145.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 2 0.0% 47.0 -4.042 50.0% -0.4 -0.4938

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 322 35.51 -9.034 26.71% -1.542 0.3613
Aid From Lesser Spirits 241 42.53 -6.556 41.08% -1.156 0.5741
All Things Weaken 337 35.47 -8.624 27.3% -1.824 0.1619
Back Against the Wall 236 36.03 -1.83 26.69% -0.512 1.3043
Disintegrating Ecosystem 299 31.23 -11.206 20.4% -2.21 -0.1593
Downward Spiral 321 37.61 -6.62 36.14% -1.021 0.9719
Erosion of Will 321 36.08 -6.881 28.97% -1.414 0.6686
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 72 54.13 -3.887 70.83% -0.589 -0.1476
Memory Fades to Dust 325 35.9 -5.627 30.15% -1.158 0.9265
Power Corrodes the Spirit 304 35.16 -8.164 28.29% -1.585 0.3532
Promising Farmlands 311 34.43 -7.642 28.3% -1.317 0.7287
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 34 58.97 7.092 82.35% 0.275 0.6993
Thriving Communities 353 37.66 -9.817 34.56% -1.783 0.2012
Unnatural Proliferation 363 36.64 -4.273 29.2% -0.933 1.0314
Untended Land Crumbles 341 33.99 -4.343 25.22% -0.954 1.0389

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 995 78.99% 42.8 0.462 43.02% 0.11 0.9072
B 1031 77.5% 43.49 0.471 44.42% 0.244 0.9872
C 1090 72.82% 45.44 0.479 48.53% 0.02 0.5883
D 907 75.41% 42.19 -1.023 41.9% 0.117 0.9124
E 1241 69.7% 47.4 1.124 52.14% 0.142 0.7888
F 774 75.26% 43.83 -1.798 44.83% -0.455 0.269
G 707 77.93% 42.73 -0.399 43.42% -0.186 0.5453
H 847 77.92% 43.06 -1.541 42.86% -0.385 0.3274
East 171 74.85% 46.59 9.417 36.84% 0.388 1.1571
Northeast 78 83.33% 44.0 2.434 33.33% -0.026 0.834
Northwest 64 84.38% 43.06 -2.478 32.81% -0.104 0.9724
Southeast 61 67.21% 48.33 -8.712 44.26% -0.248 0.4579
Southwest 51 74.51% 34.57 0.0 23.53%
West 156 82.05% 38.85 0.0 25.64%

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3 0.0% 35.33 0.0 33.33%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 113 19.47% 69.81 4.663 85.84% 0.224 0.0817
Start of Game Growth 335 32.84% 64.75 5.99 82.69% 0.624 -0.1367
Unlimited Undo 521 66.6% 48.83 -0.961 54.51% 0.061 -0.5427
Using Tokens but Not Events 299 52.7% 55.26 0.679 68.56% 0.293 0.1366

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 512 22.56 4.49%
II 3255 30.98 36.41%
III 1456 34.53 66.48%
IV 509 37.77 99.61%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.409 Win Model: -0.385
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4163 69.38% 46.2 49.68%
2 1096 82.66% 40.5 37.32%
3 314 81.21% 44.57 46.5%
4 154 84.42% 40.99 37.66%
5 3 100.0% 38.33 33.33%
6 2 0.0% 47.0 50.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 23
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 946
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1153
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 506
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2
Lose: Adversary condition 755
Win: Sacrifice victory 34
Lose: Scenario condition 51
Win: Scenario condition 21
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2160
Lose: Spirit destroyed 81

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1238 70.77% 56.19 -2.689 43.13% -0.392 -0.5069
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 685 88.76% 43.71 -5.992 22.77% -0.753 -0.6574
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 685 93.1% 35.21 -1.53 16.2% 0.155 -0.0061
Downpour Drenches the World 108 76.85% 49.26 -1.489 37.96% -0.075 0.1776
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1536 67.19% 62.16 -2.245 45.38% -0.527 -0.9648
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 388 89.95% 40.52 -4.462 24.48% -0.305 -0.7927
Finder of Paths Unseen 42 69.05% 63.14 3.587 61.9% 0.913 1.2765
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1546 62.03% 63.27 10.17 51.62% 0.672 0.7279
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 465 88.17% 43.26 -6.382 29.68% -0.864 -0.8962
Heart of the Wildfire 936 91.76% 33.86 -6.398 15.38% -0.545 -0.3701
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10352 58.21% 61.94 4.27 69.6% 0.955 0.4988
Lightning's Swift Strike 424 88.94% 40.38 0.296 24.29% 0.383 0.6569
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 161 78.88% 50.32 0.303 37.27% 0.494 -0.2825
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 358 91.04% 43.22 5.979 30.45% 1.078 0.4354
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 305 70.49% 56.05 9.536 50.16% 1.077 0.8101
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5539 72.43% 55.58 1.083 54.36% 0.57 0.3031
Many Minds Move as One 1510 86.16% 47.53 1.229 38.28% 0.475 -0.1281
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1041 88.67% 39.62 -4.153 22.29% -0.325 -0.5099
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 514 89.02% 42.61 -4.721 29.18% -0.733 -0.712
River Surges in Sunlight 1351 86.61% 55.05 4.167 36.42% -0.067 -0.1013
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 325 71.69% 50.04 -4.075 30.77% -0.803 -0.3723
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 96 80.21% 57.74 0.108 30.21% -0.191 -0.4917
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1705 71.91% 55.27 -1.729 49.56% -0.132 -0.1851
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 352 88.89% 37.65 -1.167 18.75% 0.133 0.5428
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 8 100.0% 33.63 -6.259 12.5% -0.425 -0.4181
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 22 95.45% 45.73 -2.505 27.27% -0.02 -0.3665
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 239 85.77% 39.39 5.11 21.76% 0.15 0.1697
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 190 88.42% 44.55 3.302 31.58% 0.093 0.2755
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1579 78.6% 49.11 0.467 41.67% 0.32 0.0331
Shifting Memory of Ages 807 87.11% 50.43 0.305 26.89% 0.288 0.3634
Shroud of Silent Mist 416 92.49% 37.53 -3.105 18.27% -0.148 0.0887
Starlight Seeks its Form 1127 73.56% 55.58 0.375 52.71% 0.266 0.1272
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3388 66.25% 48.45 -1.933 41.09% -0.213 -0.3952
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1565 83.94% 49.27 3.449 41.79% 1.033 1.218
Thunderspeaker 713 86.5% 46.33 -1.502 26.79% -0.008 0.0565
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1451 95.8% 39.46 -4.797 26.81% -0.2 -0.2911
Vital Strength of the Earth 233 84.55% 38.26 -5.007 18.88% -0.199 0.61
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 26 80.77% 47.73 -3.954 30.77% -0.333 0.0534
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 230 88.26% 37.4 -9.349 20.87% -1.021 0.1533
Volcano Looming High 1286 82.72% 46.29 -4.259 38.1% -0.295 -0.2998

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 237 70.51% 44.31 -6.374 32.91% -0.963 -0.7055
Dahan Insurrection 4 1299 44.22% 84.54 9.626 60.51% 0.132 0.5452
Despicable Theft 2 4 100.0% 54.75 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 92 94.57% 37.58 -1.087 14.13% 0.184 0.6695
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1576 46.79% 56.57 -0.348 49.11% -0.839 -0.5334
Powers Long Forgotten 1 7 100.0% 35.0 0.0 14.29%
Rituals of Terror 3 376 64.89% 122.01 17.038 67.02% 1.869 1.9902
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 9 88.89% 68.22 -3.456 22.22% -0.145 0.2706
Second Wave 0 87 78.16% 50.2 -5.087 40.23% -0.169 0.3965
The Great River 3 33 81.82% 40.7 0.005 9.09% -0.155 1.243
Varied Terrains 2 2 100.0% 43.0 -9.425 0.0% -0.62 -0.0946
Ward the Shores 2 21 85.71% 42.9 -3.594 19.05% -0.186 0.9759

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 29712 72.35% 52.23 -2.349 48.99% -0.726 0.2901
1 Thematic 756 81.08% 47.4 -2.638 30.69% -0.519 0.6538
2 Archipelago 68 52.94% 100.9 11.126 60.29% -0.129 0.8542
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2358 83.67% 47.76 -2.896 38.8% -0.976 -0.2242
2 Coastline 476 84.03% 47.63 2.474 36.97% -0.214 0.3881
2 Fragment 59 88.14% 49.07 11.404 42.37% 0.431 0.8783
2 Heart 80 63.75% 54.13 8.438 33.75% 0.552 1.0902
2 Opposite Shores 791 85.34% 47.13 -4.171 22.63% -1.214 -0.2219
2 Thematic 344 80.47% 97.68 13.081 48.84% 0.292 0.9907
2 Top to Top 117 76.92% 51.26 -2.604 42.74% -0.771 -0.2609
3 Archipelago 5 80.0% 128.4 -6.926 80.0% -0.126 0.0468
3 Coastline 7 100.0% 42.43 0.0 28.57%
3 Other 48 75.0% 53.85 -5.815 52.08% -0.163 -0.1989
3 Round (Default) 969 81.42% 47.14 -2.402 38.18% -1.112 -0.5172
3 Thematic 105 42.86% 98.85 20.608 66.67% 0.4 0.362
4 Archipelago 2 100.0% 126.5 45.681 100.0% 0.612 -0.0996
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 83.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 42.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Other 39 76.92% 43.97 -0.565 25.64% -0.041 -0.2952
4 Thematic 252 32.14% 87.12 27.156 71.43% 0.514 1.0432
4 Trapezoid (Default) 442 76.1% 51.23 4.57 41.4% 0.401 0.3735
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 81.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 20 72.22% 56.05 2.636 55.0% -0.024 0.1447
5 Thematic 12 66.67% 90.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 82.0 5.969 100.0% 0.02 -0.2361
6 Other 1 100.0% 74.0 -0.361 100.0% 0.027 0.8361
6 Star 4 50.0% 86.25 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 8 50.0% 77.63 -13.936 37.5% -0.99 -1.2689
6 Two Centers (Default) 27 33.33% 92.26 12.184 81.48% 0.453 0.3586
7 Archipelago 3 66.67% 114.67 -9.319 66.67% -0.242 -0.8192

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2084 43.31 -4.701 31.19% -1.779 0.1236
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1544 46.8 -4.149 36.92% -1.74 -0.0096
All Things Weaken 2229 43.05 -3.718 30.06% -1.627 0.3581
Back Against the Wall 1541 45.5 -5.135 33.94% -2.031 -0.2141
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1941 37.39 -6.555 22.31% -2.081 -0.0309
Downward Spiral 2087 45.35 -3.338 36.85% -1.529 0.4638
Erosion of Will 2044 41.17 -6.468 26.71% -2.204 -0.1209
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 451 67.09 4.91 76.5% -0.209 0.2318
Memory Fades to Dust 2139 43.82 -5.258 32.96% -1.781 0.3028
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2131 42.8 -6.491 31.25% -2.081 -0.1426
Promising Farmlands 1962 41.82 -6.005 29.87% -2.022 0.0243
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 283 70.7 5.374 82.33% -0.267 0.1575
Thriving Communities 2103 43.64 -5.055 32.72% -1.891 0.0925
Unnatural Proliferation 2283 43.47 -5.4 29.79% -2.073 -0.1083
Untended Land Crumbles 2200 42.88 -3.876 31.59% -1.618 0.3748

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5536 80.17% 47.92 -1.27 38.98% -0.653 0.1443
B 5658 78.46% 49.34 -0.193 42.67% -0.468 0.2754
C 6467 75.81% 50.3 1.127 43.31% -0.342 0.2268
D 4750 76.98% 48.89 -1.36 41.09% -0.681 0.1145
E 6747 73.62% 52.43 -0.284 48.48% -0.54 0.1069
F 4627 75.54% 50.34 -1.364 44.8% -0.631 0.0934
G 3865 76.19% 50.51 -1.254 45.02% -0.711 0.0206
H 5412 63.84% 59.72 0.059 58.7% -0.482 0.2303
East 933 62.34% 82.75 15.19 53.27% 0.494 1.2627
Northeast 541 54.34% 84.7 7.87 56.38% -0.491 0.369
Northwest 408 59.07% 81.36 1.314 51.96% -0.552 0.5246
Southeast 199 60.8% 65.49 -4.138 44.22% -0.898 -0.1919
Southwest 234 67.52% 56.64 -3.539 41.88% -0.662 0.4633
West 908 63.73% 80.19 12.832 51.98% -0.511 0.4431

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 23 0.0% 72.26 0.0 78.26%
Not Using Events or Tokens 10 80.0% 130.0 0.0 70.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 990 34.12% 72.45 8.107 74.04% 0.366 0.2236
Start of Game Growth 1813 35.25% 71.21 9.15 77.83% 1.112 0.3517
Unlimited Undo 3432 60.16% 62.96 6.038 68.27% 1.031 0.4273
Using Tokens but Not Events 1473 65.59% 62.04 6.874 54.72% 0.477 0.3205

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7164 22.56 1.09%
II 17833 30.98 40.65%
III 8310 34.53 78.71%
IV 3409 37.77 99.85%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.535 Win Model: 0.48
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 31166 72.67% 52.83 48.38%
2 3692 83.36% 47.76 36.59%
3 1132 75.97% 54.1 41.78%
4 673 63.54% 57.08 48.89%
5 14 53.85% 78.86 64.29%
6 39 38.46% 91.46 82.05%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 68
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6429
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6356
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3251
Lose: Invader deck ran out 31
Lose: Adversary condition 5211
Win: Sacrifice victory 381
Lose: Scenario condition 395
Win: Scenario condition 788
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13259
Lose: Spirit destroyed 547

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-09-02 02:08:59 (Pacific Time)