The Tsardom of Russia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1126 22.95% 26.77 1.48 81.71% 0.741 0.5975
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 20 25.0% 29.5 3.292 80.0% 0.768 0.0549
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 675 43.68% 24.49 -3.902 78.52% -0.54 -0.276
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 92 26.09% 28.29 5.097 72.83% 1.008 0.1991
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1173 24.87% 27.19 0.359 84.4% 0.219 0.0549
Downpour Drenches the World 355 19.21% 24.14 -3.605 71.27% -0.438 -0.1643
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 294 22.45% 25.1 1.712 72.79% 0.608 0.1814
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1273 15.88% 30.88 3.317 88.69% 0.789 0.4294
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1051 22.58% 28.54 2.145 86.49% 0.495 0.0506
Finder of Paths Unseen 167 28.74% 16.85 -2.511 46.11% -0.822 -0.1339
Fractured Days Split the Sky 563 30.78% 25.4 -4.264 68.38% -1.011 -0.4219
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 828 38.41% 25.13 -1.442 70.53% -0.252 -0.3166
Heart of the Wildfire 885 56.11% 22.92 -1.069 71.75% -0.047 0.2803
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1709 25.53% 26.73 -0.281 85.96% 0.021 -0.2735
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 76 19.74% 26.13 -0.929 72.37% 0.084 -0.2865
Lightning's Swift Strike 599 36.95% 25.85 0.082 80.8% 0.224 0.5642
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 128 32.81% 25.5 -2.45 70.31% -0.4 -0.8738
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 343 26.32% 26.97 -2.339 81.92% -0.467 -0.8273
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 306 26.64% 29.23 0.644 79.41% 0.11 0.1168
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1898 27.52% 27.67 0.257 85.56% 0.262 -0.0329
Many Minds Move as One 1454 20.43% 27.45 -1.557 87.96% -0.036 -0.1819
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1275 37.37% 26.45 2.826 76.39% 0.384 0.3254
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1040 28.46% 26.85 2.061 82.79% 0.328 0.1646
River Surges in Sunlight 838 35.77% 28.8 4.256 80.67% 0.473 0.5711
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 12 8.33% 20.42 -0.91 66.67% 0.044 -0.0917
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 491 38.29% 28.19 -1.967 78.41% -0.938 -0.4621
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 158 31.01% 25.1 -3.25 60.76% -0.482 -0.5173
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 898 25.84% 26.86 -1.379 81.29% -0.331 -0.5861
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 353 50.57% 24.37 -0.184 76.77% 0.305 0.8262
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 59 33.9% 24.81 0.325 64.41% 0.171 0.3119
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 48 41.67% 29.04 2.425 77.08% 0.584 0.0059
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 68 32.35% 21.96 -0.529 64.71% -0.004 0.3459
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 306 32.35% 26.7 3.637 82.68% 0.431 0.4155
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 265 33.58% 26.3 0.639 82.26% 0.523 0.7714
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1224 26.07% 27.11 1.97 85.21% 0.465 0.3554
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 121 21.49% 22.31 -0.932 61.98% 0.275 0.1134
Shifting Memory of Ages 538 40.04% 21.62 -4.997 64.5% -0.979 -0.6342
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 18 22.22% 25.89 2.046 61.11% 0.016 -0.2928
Shroud of Silent Mist 674 44.21% 23.01 -4.169 72.11% -0.649 -0.3174
Starlight Seeks its Form 762 23.45% 27.01 -2.333 75.85% -0.209 -0.3833
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1327 25.57% 25.71 0.161 85.53% 0.327 -0.3827
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 922 29.38% 25.38 0.013 78.09% 0.168 0.3797
Thunderspeaker 921 27.39% 28.13 -0.245 79.37% 0.054 0.0335
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 99 29.29% 20.37 -1.175 46.46% -0.311 -0.1127
Towering Roots of the Jungle 44 22.73% 22.82 0.073 63.64% -0.113 -0.141
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1128 62.11% 22.39 -4.61 78.28% -0.803 -0.7373
Vital Strength of the Earth 593 30.29% 24.31 3.802 74.03% 0.408 0.9419
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 120 25.0% 20.93 -0.887 63.33% -0.137 0.4299
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 304 26.97% 20.7 -2.763 66.78% -0.905 -0.1467
Volcano Looming High 930 41.81% 23.05 -0.931 73.12% 0.122 0.2588
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 129 25.58% 24.97 0.264 68.99% 0.152 -0.1589

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 12 16.67% 21.08 0.0 58.33%
Blitz 0 297 27.46% 20.41 -3.73 64.98% -0.752 -0.4642
Dahan Insurrection 4 465 19.35% 44.76 2.979 78.71% -0.538 -0.7145
Despicable Theft 2 168 30.95% 23.18 -5.142 50.6% -1.511 -0.6496
Elemental Invocation 1 192 37.5% 23.77 -3.728 66.67% -0.848 0.0848
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 693 10.82% 30.39 3.205 80.81% -0.098 -0.7445
Powers Long Forgotten 1 215 40.47% 21.28 -7.083 54.88% -1.711 -0.7655
Rituals of Terror 3 218 35.51% 31.23 -1.273 65.14% -0.981 -0.9046
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 153 53.59% 30.9 -8.962 64.71% -1.756 -0.6409
Second Wave 0 395 48.35% 31.63 3.918 70.63% -0.332 -0.3016
The Great River 3 185 40.54% 25.22 -5.61 51.89% -1.761 -0.336
Varied Terrains 2 120 36.67% 21.85 -6.155 46.67% -1.493 -0.7185
Ward the Shores 2 295 32.65% 26.16 -0.609 63.39% -0.6 0.4449

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12637 33.87% 25.66 0.638 80.45% 0.619 0.8792
1 Thematic 1876 39.14% 28.22 1.129 75.11% 0.657 1.1227
2 Archipelago 18 38.89% 29.78 0.0 61.11%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2797 30.71% 24.84 -1.133 78.73% -0.373 -0.1873
2 Coastline 333 28.53% 24.08 -2.289 76.88% -0.033 -0.0499
2 Fragment 64 23.44% 24.73 -0.56 79.69% 0.483 0.1665
2 Heart 32 46.88% 22.91 6.353 75.0% 0.297 0.2028
2 Opposite Shores 424 23.46% 28.9 7.788 88.68% 0.866 0.8268
2 Thematic 436 33.94% 28.32 -1.474 71.79% 0.137 0.4236
2 Top to Top 54 29.63% 25.89 5.714 81.48% 0.818 0.7748
3 Archipelago 9 55.56% 37.67 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 14 50.0% 31.5 0.0 64.29%
3 Other 38 36.84% 25.89 3.549 89.47% 0.357 -0.1057
3 Round (Default) 1244 28.7% 26.76 0.572 84.0% -0.419 -0.6392
3 Sunrise 5 20.0% 25.2 0.0 80.0%
3 Thematic 91 34.07% 25.27 -2.232 59.34% -0.673 -0.9651
4 Archipelago 6 16.67% 38.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 6 66.67% 29.83 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 3 0.0% 30.67 4.285 100.0% 0.091 -0.0178
4 Other 16 43.75% 31.63 7.652 93.75% 0.463 0.2068
4 Thematic 105 23.08% 34.8 -0.298 83.81% -0.013 0.2398
4 Trapezoid (Default) 592 21.11% 23.13 -4.608 70.44% -2.453 -2.2383
5 Other 35 35.29% 28.77 0.0 71.43%
5 Thematic 4 0.0% 24.5 -6.873 50.0% -0.268 -0.6883
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 3 66.67% 44.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 19 26.32% 30.89 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 47 21.28% 27.06 -5.25 53.19% -0.319 -0.2178
6 Two Centers (Default) 81 16.05% 31.57 5.994 82.72% 0.21 -0.0475
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 4 0.0% 20.0 0.0 25.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 451 21.93 1.452 66.3% 0.309 0.4845
Aid From Lesser Spirits 380 23.31 1.49 67.89% -0.135 -0.1888
All Things Weaken 534 20.4 -1.682 60.67% -0.474 -0.1811
Attenuated Essence 57 21.53 2.374 59.65% 0.474 0.5576
Back Against the Wall 394 21.11 -1.586 59.39% -0.585 -0.5377
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 52 21.06 1.827 53.85% 0.338 0.5411
Burn Brightest Before the End 46 20.39 0.995 54.35% 0.19 0.3779
Disintegrating Ecosystem 441 18.85 -1.915 63.72% -0.444 -0.0352
Downward Spiral 526 20.83 -1.459 69.2% -0.311 -0.1837
Erosion of Will 427 21.92 -1.46 65.34% -0.508 -0.2253
Intensifying Exploitation 54 22.13 -0.061 59.26% -0.074 0.1741
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 248 27.33 0.752 91.53% 0.431 -0.0841
Memory Fades to Dust 533 20.65 1.735 64.35% 0.093 0.3296
Power Corrodes the Spirit 486 21.56 0.457 68.11% -0.111 0.1069
Promising Farmlands 416 19.63 -3.562 61.06% -0.548 -0.2537
Shattered Fragments of Power 40 22.95 -1.646 55.0% -0.451 -0.2501
Slow Dissolution of Will 57 16.33 -1.145 38.6% -0.253 0.1311
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 162 26.47 1.034 90.12% 0.322 -0.2589
The Border of Life and Death 12 24.17 -0.591 83.33% 0.235 -0.2824
Thriving Communities 509 19.06 -3.964 61.89% -1.024 -0.6846
Thriving Crops 27 25.93 0.847 81.48% 0.307 0.265
Unnatural Proliferation 517 21.52 0.611 63.25% 0.133 0.2737
Untended Land Crumbles 513 20.13 -1.721 62.96% -0.59 -0.1415

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3523 31.12% 25.42 -0.711 79.53% -0.298 0.5637
B 3683 30.31% 25.43 -0.091 79.61% -0.23 0.5864
C 3869 30.3% 25.99 0.904 80.8% -0.046 0.6329
D 3539 32.23% 25.44 -0.389 80.08% -0.203 0.6017
E 3505 30.9% 25.84 -1.097 80.49% -0.279 0.3898
F 3337 30.82% 25.72 -1.275 79.11% -0.554 0.2442
G 2898 29.07% 25.97 -1.532 80.12% -0.495 0.3308
H 3088 30.62% 25.74 0.248 79.24% -0.161 0.6115
East 1571 36.35% 29.34 3.243 76.32% 0.267 1.1126
Northeast 587 32.08% 30.01 -0.978 70.87% -0.844 -0.073
Northwest 537 33.4% 29.07 -1.826 70.95% -1.064 -0.2565
Southeast 727 41.4% 27.79 -1.263 80.33% -0.825 0.0446
Southwest 513 30.41% 24.15 -3.424 67.84% -1.073 0.2088
West 1346 34.2% 27.64 -1.524 69.99% -0.855 0.1414

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 46 0.0% 26.87 0.0 84.78%
Not Using Events or Tokens 51 25.49% 25.29 -3.978 68.63% -0.39 -0.0028
Skip Initial Invader Actions 405 7.77% 37.64 2.893 92.84% 0.27 -0.3447
Start of Game Growth 693 11.46% 35.13 5.594 91.49% 0.44 -0.1418
Unlimited Undo 1404 22.46% 26.82 -2.354 82.19% -0.299 -0.2553
Using Tokens but Not Events 1855 25.43% 26.82 2.49 80.27% 0.409 0.351

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2901 15.74 20.17%
II 7119 30.48 82.23%
III 7545 34.79 90.55%
IV 3454 38.41 99.25%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.168 Win Model: 0.685
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 14830 34.52% 25.8 78.87%
2 3947 30.19% 26.17 81.43%
3 1346 29.42% 27.16 84.1%
4 718 21.48% 25.19 73.26%
5 22 28.57% 23.45 68.18%
6 156 19.23% 30.15 74.36%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 584
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6609
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5465
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3394
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1852
Lose: Invader deck ran out 170
Lose: Adversary condition 229
Win: Sacrifice victory 94
Lose: Scenario condition 135
Win: Scenario condition 553
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1798
Lose: Spirit destroyed 136

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 696 38.13% 29.07 -2.735 66.81% -0.841 -0.9852
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 13 38.46% 29.77 4.717 61.54% 0.719 0.0059
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 423 62.88% 27.32 -0.348 63.36% -0.006 0.2576
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 39 38.46% 31.56 7.889 74.36% 1.162 0.3532
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 650 41.2% 31.72 0.832 73.23% 0.095 -0.0692
Downpour Drenches the World 218 40.28% 21.71 -4.862 51.38% -0.809 -0.5354
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 228 30.26% 25.64 4.789 62.72% 1.08 0.6532
Eyes Watch From the Trees 942 31.31% 35.66 0.43 79.72% 0.132 -0.2278
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 579 40.63% 32.2 4.589 74.61% 1.053 0.6089
Finder of Paths Unseen 117 47.86% 17.98 -4.852 40.17% -0.514 0.1739
Fractured Days Split the Sky 338 40.83% 28.3 -3.348 59.76% -0.464 0.1247
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 547 52.38% 26.94 0.279 61.43% 0.135 0.071
Heart of the Wildfire 611 71.19% 22.19 -2.835 48.77% -0.402 -0.0738
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1299 43.07% 31.17 1.346 73.13% 0.261 -0.0343
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 50 38.0% 27.36 0.694 64.0% 0.115 -0.2553
Lightning's Swift Strike 318 58.86% 26.26 -1.382 57.55% -0.072 0.2684
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 50 44.0% 29.86 -4.962 66.0% -0.487 -0.9605
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 201 57.71% 27.47 0.572 60.7% -0.021 -0.3818
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 183 43.72% 36.64 0.221 68.85% -0.164 -0.1571
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1440 42.91% 32.48 2.33 79.79% 0.556 0.2607
Many Minds Move as One 1238 34.68% 34.04 2.793 84.33% 0.629 0.4837
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 793 52.86% 29.44 -0.218 62.67% -0.335 -0.3928
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 610 47.7% 29.86 -0.652 70.66% -0.189 -0.3532
River Surges in Sunlight 500 52.51% 30.56 1.953 65.8% 0.21 0.3087
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 19 57.89% 19.47 -0.469 36.84% -0.133 -0.2681
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 311 54.84% 33.7 3.417 64.95% 0.509 0.9851
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 120 45.0% 23.19 -0.01 47.5% -0.293 -0.3284
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 522 50.19% 27.78 0.705 64.94% 0.291 0.0356
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 217 62.67% 26.49 -1.937 60.37% -0.392 0.1297
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 46 50.0% 27.15 -2.993 58.7% -0.513 -0.3723
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 81 41.98% 22.68 5.134 51.85% 0.958 0.3795
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 59 47.46% 26.44 1.407 62.71% 0.219 0.569
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 181 58.56% 28.42 0.288 67.96% 0.142 0.1262
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 130 53.08% 31.18 2.546 68.46% 0.303 0.552
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1109 39.98% 32.71 2.716 78.0% 0.649 0.5398
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 158 32.28% 25.18 2.482 60.13% 0.575 0.413
Shifting Memory of Ages 351 49.29% 25.1 -4.259 58.69% -1.022 -0.6777
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 15 33.33% 23.6 0.618 53.33% 0.036 -0.2732
Shroud of Silent Mist 370 62.97% 23.47 -3.052 53.24% -0.697 -0.3658
Starlight Seeks its Form 536 27.9% 31.57 -1.861 72.57% -0.571 -0.7452
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 816 42.31% 25.65 -0.025 60.05% -0.19 -0.9001
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 672 41.26% 30.43 -2.616 68.45% -0.62 -0.4085
Thunderspeaker 686 43.73% 33.15 2.567 66.91% 0.672 0.6509
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 58 46.55% 16.84 0.914 36.21% 0.338 0.5355
Towering Roots of the Jungle 35 45.71% 22.54 1.141 48.57% 0.19 0.1616
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 484 73.55% 23.43 -2.123 54.75% -0.53 -0.4644
Vital Strength of the Earth 330 47.88% 25.33 1.365 51.82% 0.504 1.0381
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 89 53.93% 20.81 -1.115 44.94% 0.08 0.6468
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 203 44.33% 24.31 -0.337 56.65% -0.646 0.1122
Volcano Looming High 576 54.86% 24.63 -5.05 57.81% -1.148 -1.0112
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 84 45.24% 20.37 -1.281 48.81% 0.018 -0.2929

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 15 26.67% 21.53 2.501 53.33% 0.359 0.3741
Blitz 0 247 42.51% 20.91 -6.547 46.56% -1.596 -1.3076
Dahan Insurrection 4 303 27.39% 53.73 5.714 74.92% 0.055 -0.1214
Despicable Theft 2 116 45.69% 22.21 -0.985 36.21% -0.253 0.6078
Elemental Invocation 1 141 56.74% 21.6 -4.915 40.43% -0.948 -0.0154
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 530 21.02% 35.17 4.954 73.4% 0.806 0.1595
Powers Long Forgotten 1 175 51.43% 24.54 -1.981 46.86% -0.212 0.7342
Rituals of Terror 3 109 58.72% 33.27 -6.334 50.46% -0.297 -0.2203
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 84 72.62% 31.52 -8.834 45.24% -0.478 0.6373
Second Wave 0 808 53.23% 30.0 0.489 62.87% -0.084 -0.0533
The Great River 3 84 60.71% 22.25 -6.71 28.57% -1.321 0.1041
Varied Terrains 2 60 41.67% 21.85 3.645 38.33% 0.302 1.0771
Ward the Shores 2 196 46.43% 26.32 -4.246 46.94% -0.925 0.1192

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8687 45.66% 28.04 0.6 65.57% 0.316 0.5762
1 Thematic 1147 50.44% 28.94 0.612 52.14% 0.252 0.718
2 Archipelago 7 57.14% 41.71 12.445 85.71% 0.415 0.888
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1857 49.06% 27.05 -1.938 65.86% -0.499 -0.3138
2 Coastline 271 45.93% 27.66 0.705 66.42% -0.09 -0.1062
2 Fragment 62 59.68% 27.24 -2.271 66.13% 0.238 -0.0783
2 Heart 24 58.33% 24.46 4.171 54.17% 0.177 0.0825
2 Opposite Shores 352 48.29% 28.68 3.705 70.17% 0.413 0.374
2 Thematic 316 52.53% 26.22 -3.545 51.27% -0.708 -0.4216
2 Top to Top 56 53.57% 32.71 7.28 83.93% 0.389 0.3453
3 Archipelago 11 81.82% 35.18 0.0 36.36%
3 Coastline 14 64.29% 36.86 1.751 64.29% -0.271 -1.0212
3 Other 24 62.5% 32.13 -7.481 87.5% -0.174 -0.6372
3 Round (Default) 758 36.33% 31.83 -1.814 74.27% -1.325 -1.5445
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 72 59.72% 30.31 2.647 59.72% 0.338 0.0454
4 Archipelago 10 50.0% 40.5 21.712 90.0% 0.516 0.7094
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 23.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 26.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 27 51.85% 33.78 8.777 85.19% 0.523 0.2662
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 87 52.87% 37.71 0.0 75.86%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 277 44.2% 33.05 2.474 77.98% 0.085 0.2997
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 80.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 37 25.0% 44.89 4.323 75.68% -0.204 -0.7695
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 27.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 15 40.0% 47.07 0.0 86.67%
6 Star 2 50.0% 20.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 11 63.64% 36.91 2.587 54.55% -0.206 -0.1048
6 Two Centers (Default) 33 21.21% 53.36 4.529 90.91% 0.058 -0.1995
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 446 24.07 0.993 49.78% -0.163 0.0123
Aid From Lesser Spirits 386 26.67 4.647 57.77% 0.897 0.843
All Things Weaken 490 23.74 2.274 50.0% 0.385 0.6785
Attenuated Essence 32 27.59 7.415 65.63% 1.262 1.3451
Back Against the Wall 364 24.09 0.802 46.98% -0.045 0.0021
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 50 20.6 2.452 46.0% -0.113 0.09
Burn Brightest Before the End 36 24.44 0.23 44.44% 0.095 0.2832
Disintegrating Ecosystem 440 19.63 1.69 40.23% 0.341 0.7497
Downward Spiral 496 23.88 2.065 53.63% 0.201 0.3285
Erosion of Will 416 24.08 2.094 53.61% 0.06 0.3432
Intensifying Exploitation 68 23.22 1.279 52.94% 0.175 0.4232
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 177 31.99 -3.771 77.97% -0.38 -0.8954
Memory Fades to Dust 538 24.35 1.706 55.58% 0.065 0.3023
Power Corrodes the Spirit 461 22.81 2.898 49.02% 0.748 0.9657
Promising Farmlands 422 23.09 1.901 50.24% 0.003 0.2973
Shattered Fragments of Power 50 24.66 3.596 52.0% 0.588 0.7891
Slow Dissolution of Will 44 20.45 -2.177 43.18% -0.514 -0.1295
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 116 30.18 7.642 81.9% 0.839 0.2579
The Border of Life and Death 12 25.17 1.694 50.0% 0.033 -0.4839
Thriving Communities 494 22.29 -1.195 47.37% -0.401 -0.0617
Thriving Crops 35 26.14 3.102 62.86% 0.577 0.5342
Unnatural Proliferation 480 24.23 3.677 50.42% 0.686 0.8259
Untended Land Crumbles 524 21.86 -2.679 48.28% -0.873 -0.4241

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2412 45.02% 28.97 -0.558 67.41% 0.001 0.8624
B 2513 45.65% 29.43 -0.173 68.72% -0.112 0.7045
C 2600 44.14% 29.62 0.689 69.42% 0.137 0.8159
D 2394 45.38% 29.49 0.73 68.17% 0.117 0.9212
E 2302 44.6% 29.54 -0.631 68.9% -0.122 0.5468
F 2195 46.19% 28.86 0.513 67.97% 0.302 1.1002
G 1890 45.05% 29.04 1.096 68.1% 0.389 1.2143
H 1935 45.45% 29.26 -0.442 68.22% -0.062 0.7105
East 951 51.47% 30.07 -3.641 55.1% -0.646 0.1994
Northeast 385 55.21% 32.83 2.095 61.04% 0.082 0.8532
Northwest 347 50.43% 29.59 2.651 55.33% 0.388 1.1952
Southeast 348 51.15% 28.48 -0.31 54.89% -0.15 0.7197
Southwest 355 56.06% 23.94 -2.238 48.17% -0.439 0.8427
West 947 51.53% 28.29 -2.035 52.8% -0.623 0.3726

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 19 0.0% 31.89 9.977 57.89% 0.169 0.9644
Not Using Events or Tokens 38 34.21% 17.08 -8.181 26.32% -0.78 -0.3925
Skip Initial Invader Actions 255 14.17% 43.29 -0.644 89.02% -0.305 -0.9199
Start of Game Growth 391 17.23% 41.06 1.042 84.65% 0.578 -0.0034
Unlimited Undo 1064 39.69% 29.8 -1.811 70.96% -0.409 -0.3652
Using Tokens but Not Events 1144 36.44% 31.27 2.069 70.72% 0.556 0.4977

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2962 15.74 8.51%
II 4794 30.48 68.06%
III 4930 34.79 86.27%
IV 1498 38.41 99.6%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.319 Win Model: 0.568
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 9987 46.29% 27.98 63.4%
2 2861 49.72% 27.95 67.11%
3 853 38.97% 31.61 73.15%
4 391 45.64% 35.72 80.05%
5 43 21.43% 52.16 76.74%
6 49 40.82% 34.71 77.55%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 251
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4128
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3023
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1478
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1592
Lose: Invader deck ran out 87
Lose: Adversary condition 1267
Win: Sacrifice victory 61
Lose: Scenario condition 86
Win: Scenario condition 319
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1775
Lose: Spirit destroyed 117

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 775 33.89% 36.79 -1.793 76.0% -0.157 -0.3008
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 19 10.53% 28.21 0.273 63.16% 0.138 -0.5752
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 567 53.97% 34.53 -3.065 73.37% -0.286 -0.0216
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 82 26.83% 38.4 7.607 81.71% 1.12 0.3115
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 735 40.65% 36.25 -0.221 78.1% 0.049 -0.1154
Downpour Drenches the World 284 37.32% 34.13 2.904 71.13% 0.474 0.7473
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 325 30.77% 33.53 4.429 72.31% 1.113 0.6864
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1060 29.93% 40.38 2.781 85.38% 0.248 -0.1119
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 567 37.57% 36.93 -2.471 79.01% -0.221 -0.6659
Finder of Paths Unseen 146 50.68% 23.06 -3.212 44.52% -0.849 -0.1611
Fractured Days Split the Sky 405 47.65% 35.66 -0.184 66.17% -0.334 0.255
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 538 53.16% 32.63 0.853 66.91% 0.29 0.2254
Heart of the Wildfire 783 64.24% 32.55 -3.155 66.79% -0.482 -0.1547
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1628 38.94% 37.57 0.173 79.85% 0.05 -0.2446
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 78 23.08% 35.92 6.246 74.36% 1.109 0.738
Lightning's Swift Strike 336 57.96% 33.9 -0.511 70.24% -0.212 0.1285
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 91 47.25% 36.49 4.334 72.53% 0.792 0.3179
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 234 51.07% 34.69 -2.151 70.94% -0.517 -0.8772
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 186 44.09% 37.1 -4.758 70.97% -0.961 -0.9541
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1928 38.42% 39.81 1.607 85.89% 0.189 -0.1061
Many Minds Move as One 1418 28.42% 39.53 0.276 87.31% -0.053 -0.1986
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 983 46.73% 36.96 -0.189 73.14% -0.15 -0.2079
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 691 42.26% 36.22 -1.545 78.58% -0.319 -0.4824
River Surges in Sunlight 682 45.8% 40.41 0.493 79.77% -0.063 0.0351
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 8 75.0% 36.38 4.076 62.5% -0.018 -0.153
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 298 56.38% 35.46 -0.193 70.13% 0.195 0.6706
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 162 35.63% 40.78 3.607 73.46% 0.411 0.3761
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 717 43.79% 34.83 -0.752 75.03% -0.162 -0.4173
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 266 57.14% 31.88 -1.959 65.79% -0.024 0.4971
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 41 65.85% 24.59 1.306 43.9% 0.104 0.2448
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 77 53.25% 38.6 5.954 77.92% 0.973 0.3947
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 56 44.64% 31.02 0.111 66.07% -0.126 0.2243
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 197 50.76% 35.54 -8.153 73.1% -1.066 -1.0815
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 146 61.64% 33.8 -12.361 71.92% -0.526 -0.2768
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1213 35.26% 38.38 -0.242 83.02% 0.007 -0.1023
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 216 30.56% 30.95 -1.311 62.96% -0.283 -0.4448
Shifting Memory of Ages 424 51.65% 30.72 -1.906 64.39% -0.162 0.1828
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 14 35.71% 37.57 3.379 78.57% 0.395 0.0858
Shroud of Silent Mist 450 58.0% 32.54 -2.158 68.44% -0.338 -0.0069
Starlight Seeks its Form 539 39.52% 35.46 -0.434 74.21% -0.218 -0.3926
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 999 35.97% 33.24 1.519 72.67% 0.202 -0.5073
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 829 34.3% 37.72 0.498 79.98% 0.202 0.4134
Thunderspeaker 621 43.23% 38.65 -5.648 75.85% -0.759 -0.7797
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 65 38.46% 20.55 0.28 40.0% -0.11 0.0882
Towering Roots of the Jungle 31 29.03% 33.9 3.45 74.19% 0.673 0.645
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 618 67.15% 31.81 0.328 69.58% -0.028 0.0377
Vital Strength of the Earth 332 43.98% 32.02 -4.912 68.07% -0.876 -0.3417
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 78 35.9% 30.21 4.241 62.82% 0.657 1.2239
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 220 47.27% 29.76 0.314 65.0% 0.29 1.0492
Volcano Looming High 682 52.72% 31.75 -0.55 67.74% -0.322 -0.1853
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 121 38.02% 32.4 1.561 71.07% 0.403 0.0915

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 13 15.38% 16.0 -10.455 38.46% -0.897 -0.8821
Blitz 0 320 38.75% 31.17 -5.368 57.5% -0.768 -0.4794
Dahan Insurrection 4 254 22.05% 61.49 2.712 80.71% -0.719 -0.8962
Despicable Theft 2 74 60.81% 35.84 -2.188 54.05% -0.739 0.1218
Elemental Invocation 1 165 49.09% 26.7 -1.278 50.91% -0.352 0.5811
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 718 24.79% 40.81 3.261 78.27% 0.566 -0.0806
Powers Long Forgotten 1 153 52.29% 29.26 -4.588 51.63% -0.429 0.5164
Rituals of Terror 3 85 56.47% 32.39 -0.719 42.35% -0.17 -0.0936
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 61 57.38% 26.28 -5.197 34.43% -0.637 0.4781
Second Wave 0 486 48.97% 36.32 2.007 70.99% -0.015 0.0152
The Great River 3 87 48.28% 28.62 -11.94 39.08% -1.157 0.2682
Varied Terrains 2 42 66.67% 26.1 4.611 40.48% 0.312 1.0864
Ward the Shores 2 124 52.42% 36.87 -2.776 60.48% -0.082 0.9627

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10035 44.46% 34.29 0.354 72.95% 0.18 0.4406
1 Thematic 920 49.02% 31.57 -2.865 53.91% -0.486 -0.02
2 Archipelago 18 38.89% 35.94 0.0 61.11%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2281 45.11% 34.72 -2.524 77.25% -0.705 -0.5192
2 Coastline 229 43.86% 37.36 3.914 82.97% 0.682 0.6657
2 Fragment 48 54.17% 35.77 -8.57 77.08% -0.632 -0.948
2 Heart 32 53.13% 35.19 0.0 75.0%
2 Opposite Shores 401 42.25% 35.41 2.624 77.31% 0.4 0.3604
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 421 40.86% 37.37 -1.446 71.5% -0.35 -0.0628
2 Top to Top 55 41.82% 38.15 -3.721 83.64% -0.467 -0.5109
3 Archipelago 7 85.71% 32.71 0.0 28.57%
3 Coastline 16 68.75% 45.38 0.0 93.75%
3 Other 34 52.94% 34.53 2.768 73.53% 0.05 -0.4131
3 Round (Default) 879 41.41% 38.03 1.564 82.14% -0.352 -0.5718
3 Sunrise 4 0.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 84 39.29% 39.18 3.93 73.81% 0.413 0.1209
4 Archipelago 13 53.85% 36.15 0.0 38.46%
4 Coastline 8 62.5% 55.25 0.0 62.5%
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 43.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 14 57.14% 39.5 4.556 92.86% 0.295 0.0382
4 Thematic 167 20.96% 55.01 1.281 88.02% 0.098 0.3506
4 Trapezoid (Default) 397 29.8% 39.53 5.692 88.41% 1.162 1.3764
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 49 55.32% 35.41 10.948 71.43% 0.177 -0.3887
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 37.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 5 0.0% 40.8 0.0 80.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 58.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 5 40.0% 56.0 0.0 80.0%
6 Star 3 33.33% 43.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Thematic 26 38.46% 39.31 4.379 65.38% -0.187 -0.0851
6 Two Centers (Default) 39 35.9% 31.59 0.635 64.1% -0.549 -0.8064
7 Other 2 0.0% 48.0 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 510 30.83 1.259 62.35% 0.018 0.1938
Aid From Lesser Spirits 395 31.39 2.674 62.28% 0.339 0.2845
All Things Weaken 551 29.8 3.343 58.98% 0.579 0.872
Attenuated Essence 63 26.56 -0.294 53.97% -0.136 -0.0524
Back Against the Wall 428 31.59 2.569 62.62% 0.356 0.4033
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 46 23.76 -5.001 45.65% -0.852 -0.6484
Burn Brightest Before the End 34 33.12 -0.284 61.76% -0.387 -0.199
Disintegrating Ecosystem 446 26.85 -4.693 51.57% -1.204 -0.7947
Downward Spiral 510 31.26 0.953 66.86% 0.096 0.2237
Erosion of Will 487 29.53 -0.959 59.14% -0.183 0.1
Intensifying Exploitation 63 27.97 0.661 58.73% 0.124 0.3718
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 221 36.37 0.559 82.35% 0.185 -0.3304
Memory Fades to Dust 489 30.59 2.193 64.62% 0.101 0.3379
Power Corrodes the Spirit 488 29.3 -1.357 60.45% -0.48 -0.2623
Promising Farmlands 482 29.18 3.874 61.0% 0.807 1.1013
Shattered Fragments of Power 43 25.19 1.647 51.16% -0.242 -0.0403
Slow Dissolution of Will 41 29.49 3.693 58.54% 0.669 1.0529
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 159 36.86 1.29 86.16% 0.254 -0.3273
The Border of Life and Death 21 35.19 4.166 76.19% 0.424 -0.0928
Thriving Communities 557 29.69 -0.176 62.66% 0.106 0.445
Thriving Crops 30 30.53 2.188 66.67% 0.491 0.4483
Unnatural Proliferation 539 30.63 -1.517 61.41% -0.298 -0.1572
Untended Land Crumbles 521 29.54 -2.71 62.0% -0.658 -0.2096

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2756 44.33% 34.92 0.566 75.18% 0.226 1.0875
B 2873 44.84% 35.83 0.77 78.25% 0.156 0.9729
C 3039 41.39% 35.79 1.169 76.67% 0.3 0.9794
D 2777 43.9% 34.88 1.116 74.11% 0.199 1.0037
E 2764 42.85% 35.86 1.771 76.63% 0.458 1.1264
F 2584 43.45% 35.56 0.456 77.24% 0.095 0.8929
G 2187 44.07% 34.83 -1.198 75.31% -0.143 0.6823
H 2374 40.64% 36.08 0.445 78.22% 0.209 0.9813
East 1032 38.76% 40.03 -0.992 69.86% -0.776 0.0702
Northeast 506 38.74% 43.43 1.104 75.1% -0.076 0.6947
Northwest 463 38.44% 39.51 0.892 67.39% 0.135 0.9421
Southeast 356 35.96% 38.05 2.672 68.82% 0.224 1.0938
Southwest 352 43.47% 31.69 -2.297 59.94% -0.21 1.0722
West 1015 43.35% 35.59 -1.399 62.07% 0.031 1.0265

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 8 0.0% 68.13 0.0 100.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 14 42.86% 17.79 -10.619 35.71% -1.101 -0.7134
Skip Initial Invader Actions 249 9.43% 49.69 -6.194 84.34% -0.86 -1.4746
Start of Game Growth 397 15.6% 47.14 -4.094 84.89% -0.468 -1.0495
Unlimited Undo 1291 33.72% 34.5 -0.426 70.33% 0.01 0.0538
Using Tokens but Not Events 1053 40.19% 33.05 -0.859 71.89% -0.078 -0.1362

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2253 15.74 0.22%
II 3727 30.48 65.47%
III 6880 34.79 89.61%
IV 3351 38.41 99.7%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.766 Win Model: 0.461
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11078 44.9% 34.0 71.11%
2 3421 44.57% 35.63 77.67%
3 999 40.94% 38.34 81.58%
4 598 29.03% 43.78 87.46%
5 38 56.76% 33.37 65.79%
6 77 31.58% 37.68 68.83%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 5
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6000
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2263
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3322
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1395
Lose: Invader deck ran out 38
Lose: Adversary condition 1106
Win: Sacrifice victory 82
Lose: Scenario condition 97
Win: Scenario condition 279
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1509
Lose: Spirit destroyed 115

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 821 51.65% 34.02 -5.321 54.93% -0.737 -0.8803
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 12 50.0% 30.58 -0.59 50.0% -0.258 -0.9713
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 552 73.41% 34.58 -5.041 53.26% -0.915 -0.651
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 92 51.09% 41.09 9.258 69.57% 1.216 0.407
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 742 60.32% 37.32 -1.102 59.84% -0.076 -0.2407
Downpour Drenches the World 281 56.07% 28.79 -1.409 45.55% 0.196 0.469
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 427 53.4% 32.85 4.024 56.21% 0.806 0.3795
Eyes Watch From the Trees 994 49.8% 42.02 1.414 69.72% 0.476 0.1164
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 418 62.83% 36.22 -1.752 55.74% -0.038 -0.4822
Finder of Paths Unseen 104 51.92% 24.3 -1.293 33.65% -0.276 0.4122
Fractured Days Split the Sky 416 64.9% 34.16 -1.664 47.6% -0.379 0.2099
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 533 61.54% 33.74 -0.121 52.53% -0.231 -0.2948
Heart of the Wildfire 817 78.31% 29.33 -4.788 43.08% -0.758 -0.4304
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2199 53.92% 38.88 -0.747 63.76% -0.209 -0.5038
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 103 49.51% 30.75 -0.794 48.54% -0.076 -0.4462
Lightning's Swift Strike 330 75.31% 35.36 2.86 50.3% 0.235 0.5747
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 139 67.39% 38.38 3.122 66.19% 0.442 -0.0316
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 235 65.53% 40.07 -2.137 67.23% 0.122 -0.2388
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 180 60.0% 36.6 -7.692 54.44% -1.146 -1.1391
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2954 49.39% 43.86 3.152 76.47% 0.559 0.264
Many Minds Move as One 1505 49.77% 43.48 4.708 75.42% 0.803 0.657
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 961 64.5% 34.59 -0.027 51.82% -0.407 -0.4654
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 635 64.35% 37.43 1.066 59.69% 0.188 0.0238
River Surges in Sunlight 700 72.69% 36.97 -0.985 52.43% -0.122 -0.0239
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 13 38.46% 33.54 3.604 53.85% 0.484 0.3488
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 263 76.05% 29.18 2.014 36.88% 0.242 0.7179
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 154 54.55% 34.4 -3.104 51.3% -0.269 -0.3037
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 697 65.57% 35.32 -3.037 54.95% -0.718 -0.9731
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 218 83.49% 32.42 1.551 44.5% 0.357 0.8786
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 51 52.94% 31.88 8.977 52.94% 0.512 0.6527
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 138 55.07% 37.22 7.588 60.14% 1.031 0.4524
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 55 67.27% 36.07 -3.642 61.82% -0.194 0.1565
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 200 70.5% 35.68 -9.715 55.0% -0.474 -0.4895
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 183 79.23% 34.52 -7.707 52.46% -0.822 -0.573
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1409 48.5% 42.36 2.934 71.75% 0.883 0.7738
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 178 51.12% 33.39 2.684 58.43% 0.799 0.6375
Shifting Memory of Ages 390 66.15% 31.67 -4.254 49.49% -0.664 -0.3192
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 18 50.0% 29.0 -0.256 50.0% 0.111 -0.1982
Shroud of Silent Mist 465 70.13% 32.83 -3.913 52.04% -0.737 -0.4058
Starlight Seeks its Form 816 55.64% 34.94 0.758 56.5% 0.182 0.007
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1254 52.76% 33.76 0.742 53.91% 0.344 -0.3659
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 913 56.94% 39.46 -0.539 66.37% -0.227 -0.0155
Thunderspeaker 612 66.07% 35.6 -3.484 51.63% -0.638 -0.6592
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 48 52.08% 22.42 3.223 31.25% 0.302 0.5002
Towering Roots of the Jungle 54 51.85% 33.63 2.799 55.56% 0.643 0.6153
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 734 83.51% 31.34 2.154 47.41% 0.263 0.3292
Vital Strength of the Earth 304 67.33% 30.52 -0.197 42.76% -0.098 0.4364
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 101 64.36% 25.02 -3.4 34.65% -0.225 0.3417
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 247 64.37% 28.14 -8.842 42.51% -1.06 -0.3016
Volcano Looming High 770 68.53% 34.63 3.752 56.88% 0.635 0.7722
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 163 54.6% 28.53 -1.116 46.01% 0.063 -0.2484

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 0.0% 27.63 -7.527 50.0% -0.313 -0.2974
Blitz 0 195 48.72% 35.14 7.663 37.44% -0.025 0.2627
Dahan Insurrection 4 132 47.73% 55.0 12.813 58.33% 0.306 0.1288
Despicable Theft 2 28 53.57% 36.32 14.726 46.43% 0.673 1.5345
Elemental Invocation 1 91 67.03% 29.76 -14.119 41.76% -0.913 0.0201
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 877 34.44% 46.55 7.256 74.69% 0.931 0.2844
Powers Long Forgotten 1 88 50.0% 30.31 -12.445 37.5% -0.712 0.2342
Rituals of Terror 3 52 67.31% 31.94 -6.349 25.0% -1.184 -1.1078
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 34 47.06% 22.09 -5.391 20.59% -0.243 0.8726
Second Wave 0 330 66.36% 35.45 5.445 49.39% 0.532 0.5622
The Great River 3 48 58.33% 39.77 -7.761 47.92% -0.758 0.6678
Varied Terrains 2 18 38.89% 15.28 -13.811 22.22% -0.309 0.4653
Ward the Shores 2 67 62.69% 32.55 -6.535 37.31% -0.406 0.6382

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12180 58.52% 36.0 -0.195 57.49% 0.339 0.5996
1 Thematic 685 65.4% 33.72 0.028 42.34% -0.001 0.4645
2 Archipelago 11 72.73% 37.82 0.0 45.45%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2649 62.54% 36.51 -0.035 61.16% 0.207 0.3919
2 Coastline 291 58.42% 40.7 -1.137 67.01% -0.41 -0.4262
2 Fragment 71 64.79% 36.56 0.798 56.34% 0.166 -0.1504
2 Heart 28 67.86% 40.29 0.0 71.43%
2 Opposite Shores 504 63.02% 35.99 -3.337 57.74% -0.671 -0.7103
2 Thematic 197 67.01% 35.23 -4.066 46.7% -0.24 0.0472
2 Top to Top 80 58.75% 42.71 10.328 72.5% 0.574 0.5304
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 48.83 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 7 57.14% 44.86 0.0 57.14%
3 Other 67 46.27% 23.88 -7.736 38.81% -1.172 -1.6349
3 Round (Default) 1103 59.56% 38.87 2.546 64.46% 0.035 -0.1851
3 Sunrise 48 12.5% 8.46 0.0 12.5%
3 Thematic 46 65.22% 42.07 2.816 60.87% 0.126 -0.166
4 Archipelago 3 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 4 25.0% 44.25 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 5 40.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 24 62.5% 44.29 -3.409 79.17% -0.525 -0.7815
4 Thematic 58 58.62% 43.31 -2.29 56.9% -0.158 0.0942
4 Trapezoid (Default) 350 61.34% 41.54 5.295 70.57% 0.256 0.4702
5 Other 37 48.39% 41.57 1.064 59.46% -0.17 -0.7358
5 Thematic 4 25.0% 4.75 -18.619 0.0% -0.321 -0.7409
6 Archipelago 2 100.0% 55.5 12.238 100.0% 0.7 -0.2326
6 Other 12 0.0% 63.0 8.61 100.0% 0.291 0.7173
6 Star 5 60.0% 48.0 0.0 60.0%
6 Thematic 6 50.0% 47.17 0.0 66.67%
6 Two Centers (Default) 34 52.94% 37.82 6.026 61.76% 0.127 -0.1305
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 732 32.83 -1.119 48.5% -0.671 -0.496
Aid From Lesser Spirits 662 33.89 1.224 46.68% -0.171 -0.2247
All Things Weaken 800 30.32 -0.708 43.25% -0.175 0.1187
Attenuated Essence 112 26.69 -3.908 38.39% -0.998 -0.9144
Back Against the Wall 577 32.08 -2.938 44.02% -0.705 -0.6574
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 80 31.35 4.417 46.25% 0.517 0.72
Burn Brightest Before the End 74 29.43 -1.397 44.59% -0.416 -0.2286
Disintegrating Ecosystem 775 27.3 -2.958 36.39% -1.071 -0.6619
Downward Spiral 836 31.09 0.213 47.01% -0.036 0.092
Erosion of Will 778 30.82 2.69 43.57% 0.206 0.4889
Intensifying Exploitation 112 25.74 -1.357 42.86% 0.023 0.2704
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 251 39.58 9.274 70.52% 1.915 1.3998
Memory Fades to Dust 790 30.87 0.048 45.82% -0.082 0.155
Power Corrodes the Spirit 761 29.84 -0.457 43.36% -0.223 -0.0046
Promising Farmlands 712 29.5 0.767 42.13% 0.131 0.4262
Shattered Fragments of Power 84 27.38 1.628 32.14% -0.642 -0.4406
Slow Dissolution of Will 112 26.12 -2.254 36.61% -0.587 -0.2029
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 176 42.82 2.018 77.27% 0.423 -0.1575
The Border of Life and Death 33 30.18 -1.024 51.52% 0.037 -0.4807
Thriving Communities 861 31.94 -1.647 50.17% -0.602 -0.2634
Thriving Crops 42 26.33 12.331 40.48% 0.353 0.3109
Unnatural Proliferation 836 30.93 0.589 42.82% -0.088 0.0521
Untended Land Crumbles 810 30.57 0.671 45.31% 0.142 0.5907

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3343 59.79% 36.64 1.216 59.86% 0.415 1.2764
B 3396 59.61% 37.01 1.29 60.9% 0.39 1.2066
C 3689 57.52% 37.31 0.881 60.86% 0.337 1.016
D 3218 58.73% 36.03 -0.803 58.48% -0.062 0.7428
E 3465 58.06% 37.27 -0.43 60.95% 0.069 0.7376
F 2973 61.71% 36.76 -0.81 59.84% -0.226 0.5719
G 2524 59.93% 36.68 1.923 59.47% 0.361 1.1864
H 2667 59.33% 37.74 0.611 61.0% 0.159 0.9313
East 617 63.53% 36.07 -0.163 45.54% 0.003 0.8489
Northeast 257 61.48% 36.19 -2.847 45.53% -0.774 -0.0031
Northwest 223 57.85% 35.06 -6.154 46.19% -0.418 0.3894
Southeast 226 65.04% 36.51 -3.759 47.79% -0.581 0.2885
Southwest 169 66.27% 37.08 -7.318 53.85% -0.539 0.7431
West 542 64.58% 35.18 -0.973 46.49% -0.029 0.9674

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 20 0.0% 64.75 0.0 85.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 5 100.0% 20.8 0.0 20.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 313 15.0% 60.76 8.937 88.18% 0.609 -0.0056
Start of Game Growth 423 20.49% 56.79 8.384 86.29% 0.568 -0.0134
Unlimited Undo 1402 48.52% 41.91 2.676 68.4% 0.252 0.2957
Using Tokens but Not Events 857 60.1% 33.59 -3.846 53.56% -0.594 -0.6522

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3440 15.74 0.29%
II 6549 30.48 46.6%
III 5439 34.79 85.09%
IV 3097 38.41 99.52%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.48 Win Model: 0.139
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12941 58.81% 35.84 56.59%
2 3784 63.01% 37.07 61.07%
3 1268 56.7% 37.03 60.96%
4 435 59.67% 42.05 69.43%
5 37 45.16% 39.86 56.76%
6 60 44.07% 44.6 70.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 10
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4558
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2969
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3058
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1745
Lose: Invader deck ran out 4
Lose: Adversary condition 2197
Win: Sacrifice victory 75
Lose: Scenario condition 107
Win: Scenario condition 102
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3511
Lose: Spirit destroyed 189

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 502 58.63% 40.49 -0.367 59.56% 0.172 0.0283
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 11 18.18% 54.91 11.026 90.91% 1.48 0.7673
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 336 74.55% 35.68 -3.045 48.51% -0.575 -0.3113
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 83 37.35% 43.49 10.923 67.47% 1.705 0.8968
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 465 65.3% 41.5 -4.538 62.15% -0.581 -0.7452
Downpour Drenches the World 198 55.84% 31.44 -6.18 46.46% -0.893 -0.6201
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 379 40.11% 35.83 2.065 55.94% 0.696 0.2695
Eyes Watch From the Trees 722 52.01% 44.35 2.003 66.34% 0.455 0.0954
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 304 56.58% 43.06 -1.567 59.87% -0.229 -0.6731
Finder of Paths Unseen 89 48.31% 27.25 -1.733 34.83% -0.466 0.2226
Fractured Days Split the Sky 360 59.89% 38.4 -2.445 48.33% -0.386 0.2034
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 359 58.22% 40.69 -3.106 59.05% -0.364 -0.4282
Heart of the Wildfire 528 72.3% 35.4 -7.005 51.14% -0.894 -0.5663
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1918 47.86% 45.42 0.545 72.84% 0.246 -0.0492
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 87 44.83% 34.32 -7.652 50.57% -0.691 -1.0616
Lightning's Swift Strike 196 73.82% 38.27 -14.529 50.51% -0.208 0.1325
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 174 56.32% 50.49 6.915 68.39% 1.071 0.5974
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 176 58.29% 43.26 0.543 63.64% -0.091 -0.4512
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 153 52.94% 39.96 -8.134 58.17% -0.332 -0.3246
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2702 44.41% 49.65 6.089 79.16% 1.204 0.9087
Many Minds Move as One 1124 49.2% 48.73 -3.288 77.05% -0.353 -0.4988
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 660 66.16% 37.5 -2.581 51.97% -0.611 -0.6697
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 492 67.69% 38.6 -7.633 55.69% -0.777 -0.9407
River Surges in Sunlight 526 68.4% 40.64 -3.946 55.13% -0.372 -0.273
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 14 57.14% 10.79 -10.651 14.29% -1.139 -1.2747
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 191 65.97% 35.9 -13.202 43.46% -0.353 0.1233
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 147 55.1% 38.28 -9.712 48.98% -1.385 -1.4202
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 557 61.4% 38.36 -3.676 53.32% -0.689 -0.944
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 135 75.37% 36.02 2.402 45.19% 0.191 0.7128
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 30 66.67% 42.07 0.0 60.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 119 57.98% 42.67 2.928 66.39% 0.512 -0.066
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 44 56.82% 33.41 -6.377 40.91% -0.229 0.1213
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 147 70.75% 37.37 15.628 50.34% 0.481 0.4654
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 124 76.61% 37.4 8.143 49.19% 0.367 0.6157
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1440 41.11% 51.46 1.52 80.21% 0.326 0.2167
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 162 41.36% 34.59 7.634 53.09% 1.281 1.119
Shifting Memory of Ages 305 68.2% 38.53 2.983 56.07% 0.571 0.9154
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 17 58.82% 40.88 2.948 64.71% 0.167 -0.1423
Shroud of Silent Mist 290 73.76% 37.24 2.036 51.38% 0.155 0.4866
Starlight Seeks its Form 601 57.07% 39.49 2.3 59.9% 0.498 0.3231
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 884 54.65% 39.6 -1.07 57.92% -0.24 -0.9497
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 792 59.16% 42.59 -0.686 64.9% 0.007 0.2189
Thunderspeaker 385 67.97% 39.42 2.693 54.81% 0.594 0.5731
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 56 57.14% 27.75 -7.798 33.93% -0.678 -0.4798
Towering Roots of the Jungle 46 63.04% 41.98 4.895 69.57% 0.988 0.9602
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 644 82.14% 38.46 2.211 58.23% 0.575 0.6407
Vital Strength of the Earth 205 77.83% 31.29 -8.87 35.61% -0.989 -0.4551
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 67 62.69% 34.61 10.019 47.76% 0.087 0.6541
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 140 70.71% 33.96 -7.641 47.14% -0.454 0.3046
Volcano Looming High 654 66.31% 36.64 0.71 53.21% 0.204 0.3407
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 138 57.25% 32.73 -0.444 49.28% 0.093 -0.2181

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 66.67% 19.0 -1.447 16.67% -0.128 -0.1126
Blitz 0 91 65.93% 24.55 -15.179 24.18% -0.495 -0.207
Dahan Insurrection 4 78 39.74% 63.74 49.687 61.54% 0.627 0.4501
Despicable Theft 2 37 56.76% 31.08 -9.676 35.14% -0.534 0.3274
Elemental Invocation 1 50 50.0% 36.62 2.682 54.0% 0.175 1.108
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 703 26.46% 51.97 5.516 73.97% 0.145 -0.5014
Powers Long Forgotten 1 36 58.33% 24.61 0.0 22.22%
Rituals of Terror 3 50 58.0% 28.58 0.193 28.0% -0.107 -0.0306
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 24 62.5% 27.21 -9.116 20.83% -0.767 0.3479
Second Wave 0 185 58.7% 44.93 10.741 60.0% 0.606 0.6368
The Great River 3 33 45.45% 21.12 -17.915 15.15% -1.068 0.3575
Varied Terrains 2 21 42.86% 18.95 0.953 19.05% -0.359 0.4159
Ward the Shores 2 33 63.64% 25.06 0.0 24.24%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 9623 56.13% 41.34 -0.811 61.5% 0.041 0.3006
1 Thematic 372 55.65% 35.11 -5.657 42.74% -0.725 -0.2593
2 Archipelago 4 25.0% 71.5 0.0 100.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1934 63.08% 40.98 0.17 61.79% 0.206 0.3915
2 Coastline 244 62.7% 41.93 -2.537 64.34% -0.355 -0.3715
2 Fragment 31 70.97% 45.32 0.0 70.97%
2 Heart 24 75.0% 44.46 9.289 62.5% 0.64 0.5455
2 Opposite Shores 489 47.24% 46.63 4.403 75.46% 0.816 0.7762
2 Thematic 110 75.45% 41.68 -0.91 52.73% 0.462 0.749
2 Top to Top 118 40.68% 45.24 11.434 72.88% 0.241 0.1971
3 Archipelago 7 85.71% 42.86 0.0 57.14%
3 Coastline 14 42.86% 56.0 -6.847 85.71% -0.385 -1.135
3 Other 18 50.0% 43.83 0.0 72.22%
3 Round (Default) 856 58.25% 42.32 2.39 66.12% 0.355 0.1354
3 Sunrise 6 66.67% 31.67 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 41 63.41% 31.22 -15.83 34.15% -0.206 -0.498
4 Coastline 9 22.22% 52.67 0.0 77.78%
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 17.4 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 12 75.0% 52.67 9.266 91.67% 0.18 -0.077
4 Thematic 76 50.0% 54.03 6.756 75.0% 0.423 0.6755
4 Trapezoid (Default) 268 59.14% 46.43 -2.07 70.9% -0.361 -0.1469
5 Other 32 60.0% 37.34 -2.298 53.13% -0.243 -0.8089
5 Thematic 11 9.09% 30.82 -13.838 27.27% -0.219 -0.6391
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 4 25.0% 56.75 0.0 75.0%
6 Star 6 50.0% 41.67 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 32 3.13% 62.63 1.501 68.75% -0.244 -0.1426
6 Two Centers (Default) 42 28.57% 44.88 0.0 66.67%
7 Other 1 100.0% 30.0 3.083 0.0% 0.032 -0.9833

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 602 35.43 -2.653 46.51% -0.842 -0.667
Aid From Lesser Spirits 452 37.66 -0.149 50.22% -0.358 -0.4119
All Things Weaken 596 35.47 0.47 47.48% -0.03 0.2631
Attenuated Essence 80 30.18 -2.167 37.5% -0.461 -0.377
Back Against the Wall 458 36.33 -5.971 47.38% -0.592 -0.5445
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 75 27.91 2.823 36.0% 0.271 0.4743
Burn Brightest Before the End 52 36.87 0.767 48.08% -0.168 0.0194
Disintegrating Ecosystem 541 30.12 -2.462 36.6% -0.495 -0.0857
Downward Spiral 578 34.98 -1.018 50.69% -0.193 -0.0651
Erosion of Will 570 35.18 -0.606 47.02% -0.347 -0.0645
Intensifying Exploitation 70 29.66 1.095 42.86% 0.134 0.3819
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 182 49.38 6.924 82.97% 1.028 0.5122
Memory Fades to Dust 625 34.49 -0.08 46.56% 0.059 0.2957
Power Corrodes the Spirit 630 35.54 2.658 50.0% 0.31 0.5275
Promising Farmlands 534 33.17 0.87 45.32% -0.323 -0.0279
Shattered Fragments of Power 49 31.84 -1.206 40.82% -0.369 -0.1674
Slow Dissolution of Will 79 33.96 -4.819 48.1% -0.625 -0.2412
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 108 48.27 12.928 80.56% 0.535 -0.0462
The Border of Life and Death 18 29.5 0.993 50.0% 0.177 -0.3402
Thriving Communities 617 35.73 -3.358 51.05% -0.865 -0.5259
Thriving Crops 35 34.03 -1.467 57.14% 0.129 0.0868
Unnatural Proliferation 635 35.88 4.803 46.93% 0.48 0.6204
Untended Land Crumbles 591 34.46 0.652 45.85% -0.232 0.2169

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2387 59.05% 42.02 -0.577 63.47% -0.044 0.818
B 2819 54.98% 43.31 0.664 66.73% 0.213 1.03
C 2892 56.4% 42.3 -0.243 63.76% -0.099 0.58
D 2451 56.61% 40.84 0.323 61.24% 0.076 0.8805
E 2769 54.66% 43.66 3.109 66.56% 0.468 1.1365
F 2330 59.99% 40.64 0.614 60.99% 0.142 0.94
G 1989 60.45% 40.98 0.104 61.54% -0.023 0.8026
H 2102 56.93% 42.28 -0.013 63.7% 0.124 0.8964
East 408 54.66% 42.54 -4.404 50.98% -0.778 0.0674
Northeast 216 54.63% 43.84 1.572 51.39% -0.174 0.5966
Northwest 205 49.76% 43.41 1.306 52.2% -0.287 0.5201
Southeast 168 44.64% 47.24 3.431 59.52% 0.47 1.3394
Southwest 167 44.91% 42.38 -2.9 54.49% -0.174 1.108
West 401 52.62% 39.91 -4.285 49.88% -0.755 0.2414

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 17 0.0% 73.71 0.0 94.12%
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 33.33% 19.0 0.0 0.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 196 18.78% 59.97 -1.633 86.73% -0.489 -1.1038
Start of Game Growth 454 27.56% 57.36 4.926 84.8% 0.472 -0.1096
Unlimited Undo 1394 54.97% 45.47 0.631 70.09% 0.07 0.1141
Using Tokens but Not Events 563 49.27% 44.12 1.953 67.5% 0.27 0.2116

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2090 15.74 0.33%
II 5308 30.48 51.17%
III 5098 34.79 84.78%
IV 1901 38.41 99.74%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.733 Win Model: 0.149
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 10038 56.13% 41.08 60.75%
2 2932 60.1% 42.39 64.77%
3 937 58.44% 42.04 65.1%
4 371 55.99% 48.23 71.16%
5 33 50.0% 30.21 42.42%
6 86 20.93% 51.12 65.12%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 7
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4272
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2658
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1885
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1283
Lose: Invader deck ran out 6
Lose: Adversary condition 1240
Win: Sacrifice victory 63
Lose: Scenario condition 70
Win: Scenario condition 56
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2694
Lose: Spirit destroyed 163

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 324 73.68% 38.77 1.722 37.65% 0.13 -0.0139
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 3 0.0% 20.67 -4.247 33.33% 0.314 -0.399
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 186 81.72% 29.19 -2.319 16.67% -0.31 -0.0463
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 56 60.71% 34.66 6.491 33.93% 0.543 -0.2655
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 255 75.29% 33.34 -7.624 29.02% -0.304 -0.4688
Downpour Drenches the World 134 59.7% 32.11 -0.158 32.09% 0.177 0.45
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 270 64.81% 33.05 -5.914 35.56% -0.294 -0.721
Eyes Watch From the Trees 518 66.34% 42.95 -2.829 44.4% -0.17 -0.53
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 145 83.33% 29.86 -9.036 18.62% -0.474 -0.9182
Finder of Paths Unseen 88 64.77% 29.9 -6.577 26.14% -0.045 0.643
Fractured Days Split the Sky 182 62.43% 42.62 -6.282 39.56% -0.575 0.0137
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 183 79.78% 36.08 11.458 29.51% 0.877 0.813
Heart of the Wildfire 324 84.26% 34.15 -5.422 29.01% -0.769 -0.4416
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1442 54.48% 45.91 6.735 56.31% 1.585 1.2902
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 38 63.16% 36.47 2.694 39.47% 0.261 -0.1097
Lightning's Swift Strike 123 84.55% 34.87 -8.152 27.64% -0.709 -0.3686
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 69 69.57% 40.17 3.108 43.48% 0.206 -0.268
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 117 74.36% 38.98 -6.292 40.17% -0.037 -0.3977
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 59 61.02% 36.25 -5.169 37.29% -0.048 -0.0413
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2058 56.05% 46.68 1.144 57.92% 0.424 0.1293
Many Minds Move as One 674 74.63% 41.53 -4.336 44.07% -0.185 -0.331
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 350 77.14% 34.43 -2.318 28.86% -0.12 -0.1785
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 252 83.33% 34.16 4.0 27.78% 0.529 0.3653
River Surges in Sunlight 291 78.28% 40.92 -1.233 37.46% -0.324 -0.2258
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 3 33.33% 0.0 -15.911 0.0% -0.63 -0.7657
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 92 81.52% 29.82 -7.788 19.57% -0.353 0.1227
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 128 74.22% 39.11 -11.881 40.63% -0.258 -0.2928
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 304 75.33% 36.37 1.258 30.59% 0.134 -0.1212
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 74 89.19% 26.96 -19.019 10.81% -0.419 0.1022
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 11 72.73% 44.36 0.0 54.55%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 104 54.81% 43.01 2.608 51.92% 0.309 -0.269
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 18 61.11% 33.94 0.0 27.78%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 76 88.16% 32.42 -4.739 19.74% -0.279 -0.2952
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 68 92.65% 31.85 0.0 20.59%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 723 69.25% 46.5 7.298 51.87% 0.819 0.709
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 89 58.43% 23.81 2.336 25.84% 0.313 0.1514
Shifting Memory of Ages 106 78.3% 38.52 3.553 35.85% 0.193 0.5375
Shroud of Silent Mist 158 89.24% 27.12 -10.366 15.19% -0.411 -0.08
Starlight Seeks its Form 430 73.95% 38.27 0.12 37.67% 0.111 -0.0639
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 557 69.3% 35.71 3.52 36.09% 0.355 -0.3551
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 519 72.45% 43.78 1.215 47.01% 0.195 0.4071
Thunderspeaker 237 81.7% 35.24 3.49 25.32% 0.394 0.3737
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 19 42.11% 9.95 -5.884 0.0% -0.098 0.1001
Towering Roots of the Jungle 50 46.0% 28.62 -2.518 34.0% -0.203 -0.2315
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 420 90.48% 35.0 -4.18 31.43% -0.396 -0.3298
Vital Strength of the Earth 92 79.12% 34.43 -5.014 29.35% -0.074 0.4602
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 46 67.39% 32.09 3.367 26.09% 0.181 0.7484
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 102 88.24% 30.25 0.0 16.67%
Volcano Looming High 262 72.9% 37.23 -13.993 37.79% -0.876 -0.7393
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 51 62.75% 29.18 -3.182 27.45% 0.101 -0.2104

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 20.0% 6.2 -6.452 0.0% -0.083 -0.0672
Blitz 0 34 61.76% 30.41 28.833 23.53% 0.625 0.913
Dahan Insurrection 4 82 50.0% 46.41 -7.617 26.83% -0.603 -0.7794
Despicable Theft 2 17 52.94% 34.76 -2.61 29.41% -0.102 0.7589
Elemental Invocation 1 42 69.05% 19.83 -12.072 7.14% -0.084 0.849
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 568 32.75% 55.2 7.241 64.61% 1.215 0.5683
Powers Long Forgotten 1 30 83.33% 22.0 -6.07 3.33% -0.189 0.7569
Rituals of Terror 3 16 87.5% 31.94 -11.987 12.5% -0.346 -0.2699
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 3 66.67% 66.0 0.0 66.67%
Second Wave 0 110 76.36% 38.94 2.93 31.82% 0.189 0.2192
The Great River 3 6 66.67% 30.83 0.0 16.67%
Varied Terrains 2 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 18 83.33% 35.06 -11.929 22.22% -0.104 0.9401

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6509 64.69% 41.88 2.09 46.15% 0.292 0.5517
1 Thematic 333 69.07% 37.1 -1.516 28.53% -0.382 0.0843
2 Archipelago 23 39.13% 32.26 -8.823 17.39% -0.438 0.0354
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1158 80.83% 37.26 -1.249 34.37% 0.186 0.3712
2 Coastline 132 64.39% 47.63 0.0 55.3%
2 Fragment 35 94.29% 35.66 14.981 28.57% 0.879 0.5624
2 Heart 19 78.95% 39.32 0.0 47.37%
2 Opposite Shores 210 58.1% 34.34 -7.055 36.19% -0.126 -0.1655
2 Thematic 54 68.52% 33.43 2.314 16.67% -0.102 0.185
2 Top to Top 98 42.86% 29.45 0.0 34.69%
3 Archipelago 5 40.0% 22.8 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 57.75 0.0 62.5%
3 Other 18 88.89% 46.94 0.0 38.89%
3 Round (Default) 481 75.68% 39.34 -1.405 42.2% 0.057 -0.1629
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 23.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 14 78.57% 35.43 -8.63 28.57% -0.23 -0.5229
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 28.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 74.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 6 66.67% 38.5 -1.126 33.33% -0.127 -0.3836
4 Thematic 33 75.76% 37.42 4.219 30.3% 0.13 0.3821
4 Trapezoid (Default) 162 81.88% 39.31 5.03 38.89% 0.047 0.2614
5 Other 17 52.94% 35.94 -1.881 41.18% -0.128 -0.694
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 72.5 -6.887 50.0% -0.02 -0.4399
6 Star 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Thematic 8 37.5% 6.13 -6.577 0.0% -0.045 0.056
6 Two Centers (Default) 13 53.85% 33.38 0.322 15.38% -0.011 -0.2677

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 472 35.99 3.402 28.39% -0.002 0.1736
Aid From Lesser Spirits 331 41.23 4.211 39.58% 0.115 0.0613
All Things Weaken 470 35.36 -2.643 29.15% -0.698 -0.4045
Attenuated Essence 62 34.18 -2.179 35.48% -0.568 -0.484
Back Against the Wall 330 35.68 3.781 28.18% -0.044 0.0032
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 70 28.66 -2.81 24.29% -0.343 -0.1398
Burn Brightest Before the End 47 30.13 -7.563 25.53% -0.675 -0.4871
Disintegrating Ecosystem 415 30.09 -9.561 20.48% -1.79 -1.3807
Downward Spiral 472 35.66 -3.418 34.53% -0.68 -0.5527
Erosion of Will 443 34.34 -3.975 27.31% -0.496 -0.2127
Intensifying Exploitation 65 32.92 0.313 29.23% -0.235 0.0127
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 108 49.07 0.0 63.89%
Memory Fades to Dust 475 34.1 -4.788 28.42% -0.969 -0.7316
Power Corrodes the Spirit 426 34.95 -0.081 29.58% -0.065 0.1525
Promising Farmlands 440 32.08 -6.87 25.23% -0.884 -0.5887
Shattered Fragments of Power 44 33.82 4.561 25.0% -0.196 0.0057
Slow Dissolution of Will 51 29.45 2.822 25.49% 0.173 0.5569
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 69 50.62 -14.364 69.57% -0.235 -0.816
The Border of Life and Death 8 27.63 0.0 37.5%
Thriving Communities 495 35.8 -6.781 33.33% -0.942 -0.6027
Thriving Crops 17 35.65 -16.746 41.18% -0.257 -0.2989
Unnatural Proliferation 507 35.91 -2.387 28.6% -0.561 -0.4208
Untended Land Crumbles 483 33.66 -1.117 26.5% -0.139 0.3098

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1586 72.24% 39.47 1.376 40.67% 0.233 1.0946
B 1742 68.64% 38.8 -2.642 40.7% -0.406 0.4112
C 1875 65.21% 39.9 0.362 43.2% 0.144 0.8232
D 1463 69.17% 38.25 -2.617 38.62% -0.425 0.38
E 1894 66.77% 43.99 0.748 49.1% 0.413 1.0815
F 1326 69.59% 38.66 -1.905 40.12% -0.205 0.5932
G 1134 73.14% 39.11 -0.805 40.21% 0.127 0.9523
H 1276 72.71% 40.62 2.643 41.3% 0.556 1.3289
East 272 66.91% 38.62 -1.276 30.15% -0.023 0.8233
Northeast 127 71.65% 38.04 -4.044 29.13% -0.914 -0.1428
Northwest 106 67.92% 33.42 -3.902 24.53% -0.447 0.36
Southeast 99 58.59% 34.97 5.59 31.31% 0.202 1.0715
Southwest 88 64.77% 27.68 4.118 18.18% 0.406 1.6881
West 240 70.0% 32.87 -2.758 22.08% -0.353 0.6427

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 5 0.0% 38.6 0.0 40.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 201 16.58% 69.75 10.906 87.06% 0.527 -0.0874
Start of Game Growth 421 29.12% 65.24 7.571 82.9% 0.66 0.0787
Unlimited Undo 884 65.53% 44.31 2.256 51.24% 0.754 0.7974
Using Tokens but Not Events 425 50.95% 48.4 0.105 60.24% 0.143 0.0851

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1417 15.74 2.54%
II 5028 30.48 35.76%
III 2173 34.79 67.0%
IV 730 38.41 99.73%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.415 Win Model: -0.214
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6880 64.78% 41.64 45.22%
2 1709 74.78% 37.08 35.46%
3 512 75.59% 39.09 41.41%
4 210 78.37% 39.82 39.05%
5 16 56.25% 28.0 25.0%
6 21 38.1% 25.62 14.29%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 36
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1428
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1761
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 724
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1050
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3
Lose: Adversary condition 1072
Win: Sacrifice victory 43
Lose: Scenario condition 71
Win: Scenario condition 26
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3028
Lose: Spirit destroyed 106

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2132 63.11% 47.73 -0.607 35.93% -0.074 -0.2175
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 114 41.23% 22.25 -2.277 18.42% 0.281 -0.4321
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 915 82.06% 42.42 -3.699 21.86% -0.553 -0.2894
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 520 76.35% 38.24 0.781 34.62% 0.48 -0.3287
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1066 85.96% 30.7 -3.943 13.41% -0.812 -0.977
Downpour Drenches the World 953 62.12% 28.25 -6.736 18.89% -0.628 -0.3552
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1154 73.31% 26.33 -2.909 18.72% -0.642 -1.0691
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2396 65.76% 53.82 10.435 38.73% 0.448 0.0878
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 561 85.0% 35.99 -0.794 21.57% -0.047 -0.4917
Finder of Paths Unseen 355 54.8% 29.59 -3.24 24.23% -0.07 0.618
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2756 49.96% 57.05 -1.493 46.41% -0.065 0.5235
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 931 84.84% 35.29 -1.139 22.77% 0.346 0.2813
Heart of the Wildfire 1403 83.43% 28.85 -7.187 12.97% -0.987 -0.6593
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 13928 57.18% 57.56 4.477 64.26% 1.136 0.8415
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 390 54.87% 28.94 -3.611 26.92% 0.229 -0.1412
Lightning's Swift Strike 555 82.75% 35.19 -7.171 20.72% -0.622 -0.2817
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 831 72.8% 42.21 6.813 33.57% 1.045 0.5711
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 481 87.92% 40.7 -1.098 28.69% -0.151 -0.512
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 532 63.53% 52.03 8.021 49.06% 0.844 0.8511
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 9185 69.7% 48.57 1.4 46.42% 0.755 0.4603
Many Minds Move as One 2448 74.37% 47.69 1.92 37.13% 0.147 0.0018
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1650 79.38% 34.16 -3.978 19.64% -0.514 -0.5722
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 810 84.1% 36.52 -2.978 23.83% -0.652 -0.8156
River Surges in Sunlight 1745 82.55% 55.66 4.078 36.33% 0.555 0.6536
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 90 55.56% 23.68 -4.389 14.44% -0.48 -0.6156
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 434 64.29% 42.82 -8.285 26.04% -0.644 -0.1681
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 637 70.33% 50.0 1.359 33.75% 0.325 0.2905
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2728 65.29% 48.02 3.819 41.83% 0.783 0.5283
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 404 86.6% 36.47 -5.811 18.07% -0.337 0.1843
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 62 80.65% 33.35 0.0 16.13%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 484 72.52% 33.64 -0.307 27.27% 0.355 -0.2233
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 87 79.31% 35.72 -3.882 26.44% -0.201 0.1494
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 311 84.89% 35.66 -4.922 18.97% -0.242 -0.2582
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 233 81.55% 40.69 -12.563 29.18% -0.117 0.1315
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2111 75.93% 46.99 3.73 40.41% 0.955 0.8453
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 510 64.31% 32.56 -2.317 29.02% 0.335 0.1733
Shifting Memory of Ages 1880 57.74% 35.03 -2.963 20.8% -0.162 0.1824
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 77 46.75% 31.35 1.561 29.87% 0.69 0.3811
Shroud of Silent Mist 650 82.38% 31.54 -4.767 15.38% -1.063 -0.7317
Starlight Seeks its Form 3317 66.01% 44.03 2.754 42.78% 0.689 0.5147
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5050 60.08% 46.95 3.543 38.5% 0.768 0.0579
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2061 81.28% 45.7 -2.221 38.86% 0.251 0.4623
Thunderspeaker 967 80.62% 43.51 -1.682 24.92% 0.328 0.3068
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 95 75.53% 21.21 -8.346 13.68% -0.735 -0.5371
Towering Roots of the Jungle 232 68.53% 26.38 -3.177 20.69% -0.021 -0.0492
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2133 91.75% 35.59 -3.737 23.44% -0.286 -0.2201
Vital Strength of the Earth 318 80.19% 33.92 -6.924 15.72% -0.439 0.0955
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 229 58.52% 33.3 -5.726 23.58% -0.699 -0.132
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 352 81.53% 33.07 -5.649 17.9% -0.345 0.4138
Volcano Looming High 2081 78.54% 40.01 -1.71 32.05% 0.161 0.2978
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 479 65.97% 24.62 -2.73 15.87% -0.122 -0.4332

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 337 59.46% 45.22 5.812 36.2% 0.292 0.5805
Dahan Insurrection 4 2517 32.45% 66.22 7.671 49.42% 1.409 1.2326
Despicable Theft 2 13 50.0% 35.77 -6.014 23.08% -0.022 0.8387
Elemental Invocation 1 118 82.2% 33.95 -3.929 12.71% -0.131 0.8024
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2641 45.15% 49.72 -1.517 42.82% -0.577 -1.2235
Powers Long Forgotten 1 13 61.54% 21.31 -8.231 7.69% -0.054 0.8915
Rituals of Terror 3 910 52.04% 115.23 23.537 65.6% 2.565 2.6412
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 41 46.34% 26.17 -15.706 9.76% -0.323 0.7924
Second Wave 0 121 72.73% 49.79 -6.759 42.15% -0.231 -0.2008
The Great River 3 51 70.59% 33.47 0.0 7.84%
Varied Terrains 2 17 41.18% 70.59 0.0 58.82%
Ward the Shores 2 42 83.33% 38.29 6.334 19.05% 0.004 1.0483

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 47941 69.38% 46.0 2.349 42.33% 0.508 0.7677
1 Thematic 1058 73.16% 42.74 0.143 27.79% 0.016 0.4817
2 Archipelago 98 46.94% 82.12 -16.723 50.0% -0.898 -0.4248
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3744 78.18% 40.38 -2.495 32.08% -0.117 0.0681
2 Coastline 861 69.53% 37.56 -9.129 28.8% -0.468 -0.4849
2 Fragment 109 79.82% 41.77 9.658 35.78% 1.324 1.0073
2 Heart 149 73.83% 44.03 3.771 25.5% 0.603 0.5091
2 Opposite Shores 1590 63.14% 34.31 1.51 18.49% 0.63 0.5906
2 Thematic 709 70.9% 88.35 -5.428 46.97% -0.994 -0.7076
2 Top to Top 245 62.04% 34.03 -7.155 26.94% -0.939 -0.9831
3 Archipelago 46 69.57% 121.83 24.025 73.91% -0.102 -1.2418
3 Coastline 17 76.47% 36.88 -0.899 29.41% -0.413 -1.1628
3 Other 62 69.35% 50.26 -2.202 45.16% 0.066 -0.3966
3 Round (Default) 1783 73.7% 40.85 -3.375 33.71% -0.735 -0.9552
3 Thematic 291 21.72% 105.64 15.424 65.29% 0.397 0.105
4 Archipelago 4 100.0% 137.25 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 4 50.0% 35.75 -24.907 25.0% -0.657 -1.0162
4 Leaf 6 66.67% 25.33 -9.344 16.67% -0.26 -0.3681
4 Other 49 75.51% 42.31 10.049 22.45% 0.429 0.1723
4 Thematic 329 31.61% 82.72 -4.851 63.53% -0.49 -0.2375
4 Trapezoid (Default) 841 65.58% 41.03 -5.98 32.94% -0.587 -0.3723
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 30.5 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 81.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 68 60.0% 42.84 3.081 29.41% 0.433 -0.1324
5 Thematic 35 51.43% 61.83 0.102 31.43% 0.249 -0.171
6 Archipelago 8 28.57% 89.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 57 50.88% 54.47 7.913 61.4% 0.33 0.7554
6 Star 11 27.27% 53.91 -8.184 54.55% -0.069 0.0432
6 Thematic 46 41.3% 21.83 -6.097 10.87% -0.287 -0.1853
6 Two Centers (Default) 171 26.32% 49.16 3.452 45.03% 0.152 -0.1047
7 Archipelago 5 75.0% 98.4 0.0 60.0%
7 Other 2 100.0% 30.5 -14.077 0.0% -0.063 -1.0791

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3010 41.38 0.099 29.5% -0.435 -0.2599
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2192 45.56 3.839 35.72% -0.051 -0.1046
All Things Weaken 3199 41.36 3.74 28.73% -0.133 0.1603
Attenuated Essence 481 32.51 -1.227 22.66% -0.892 -0.8086
Back Against the Wall 2135 43.72 1.921 31.99% -0.567 -0.5198
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 490 34.11 0.145 24.9% -0.395 -0.1916
Burn Brightest Before the End 329 38.22 -1.769 27.36% -0.922 -0.7346
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2825 35.57 -1.762 20.96% -0.82 -0.4111
Downward Spiral 2999 42.98 0.497 34.11% -0.288 -0.1608
Erosion of Will 2976 39.08 -0.194 25.0% -0.568 -0.2853
Intensifying Exploitation 506 34.51 0.044 25.89% -0.401 -0.1527
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 641 62.34 7.873 69.73% 0.55 0.0348
Memory Fades to Dust 3116 41.68 1.867 31.07% -0.285 -0.048
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3033 40.62 -0.678 28.98% -0.589 -0.3709
Promising Farmlands 2866 39.42 -3.265 28.3% -0.81 -0.5148
Shattered Fragments of Power 300 34.93 -0.284 22.67% -0.732 -0.5305
Slow Dissolution of Will 522 31.79 -1.847 20.31% -0.864 -0.4795
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 415 65.61 6.523 74.22% 0.35 -0.2306
The Border of Life and Death 85 35.53 -0.79 40.0% 0.143 -0.3738
Thriving Communities 3076 41.22 1.686 30.36% -0.108 0.2313
Thriving Crops 139 37.15 -1.507 39.57% 0.011 -0.0314
Unnatural Proliferation 3262 41.46 1.031 27.68% -0.57 -0.4293
Untended Land Crumbles 3199 40.13 0.732 29.17% -0.271 0.1782

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9741 71.49% 40.49 -1.808 32.79% -0.556 0.3063
B 9831 72.7% 42.57 -0.319 36.42% -0.214 0.6026
C 11145 69.39% 45.66 1.226 39.07% -0.312 0.3674
D 8072 70.41% 41.47 -3.215 34.3% -0.553 0.2511
E 10822 69.54% 46.23 0.467 42.23% -0.172 0.4971
F 7862 69.78% 42.81 0.197 37.24% -0.181 0.617
G 6448 71.67% 43.58 -1.167 37.58% -0.587 0.2388
H 8798 60.69% 49.77 0.119 48.22% -0.302 0.4708
East 1750 53.78% 78.35 1.169 48.23% -0.547 0.2991
Northeast 949 43.88% 83.91 3.093 53.11% -0.403 0.3679
Northwest 617 52.67% 72.98 0.231 45.22% 0.025 0.8324
Southeast 416 54.33% 49.06 -7.288 32.21% -0.712 0.1579
Southwest 435 59.08% 40.35 -6.159 27.36% -1.352 -0.0699
West 1650 54.43% 76.43 3.61 47.21% -0.227 0.7692

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 39 0.0% 66.1 15.249 66.67% 0.467 1.2626
Not Using Events or Tokens 11 72.73% 118.18 0.0 63.64%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1543 31.71% 65.96 8.351 67.01% 1.029 0.4145
Start of Game Growth 2563 34.02% 64.65 4.721 69.41% 0.674 0.0922
Unlimited Undo 5607 58.86% 54.22 1.152 58.05% 0.579 0.623
Using Tokens but Not Events 2740 57.09% 49.46 -6.005 40.47% -0.695 -0.7527

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 16575 15.74 0.76%
II 26946 30.48 37.71%
III 11726 34.79 76.75%
IV 5133 38.41 99.86%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.041 Win Model: 0.192
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 50556 68.93% 46.31 41.69%
2 6299 75.39% 43.33 31.97%
3 2039 69.35% 46.66 36.49%
4 1141 59.98% 46.08 37.6%
5 82 46.84% 39.12 26.83%
6 263 32.44% 49.68 48.29%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 109
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8851
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8756
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4728
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7609
Lose: Invader deck ran out 59
Lose: Adversary condition 7556
Win: Sacrifice victory 718
Lose: Scenario condition 588
Win: Scenario condition 1250
Lose: Blight pool ran out 19371
Lose: Spirit destroyed 785

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)