The Tsardom of Russia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 332 20.48% 27.47 -0.001 91.57% -0.334 -0.1876
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 267 39.7% 26.2 -0.016 88.76% 0.146 0.3828
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 458 24.62% 27.88 0.316 94.32% 0.395 0.3093
Eyes Watch From the Trees 394 12.72% 31.84 1.686 96.95% 0.69 0.3248
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 326 23.69% 29.33 0.768 95.71% 0.82 0.5752
Fractured Days Split the Sky 203 32.51% 27.77 0.626 84.24% -0.681 -0.3355
Heart of the Wildfire 284 58.1% 23.2 -1.262 81.69% -0.157 0.193
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 572 26.71% 27.15 0.018 94.06% 0.459 0.1597
Lightning's Swift Strike 449 26.35% 27.64 0.384 90.42% -0.177 0.0912
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 441 26.26% 27.87 0.485 94.78% 0.602 0.2827
Many Minds Move as One 727 18.51% 28.81 0.846 97.25% 0.871 0.351
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 367 40.71% 24.91 -0.826 86.1% -0.163 -0.3575
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 329 32.22% 26.32 -0.354 91.49% 0.129 0.1782
River Surges in Sunlight 471 38.64% 28.46 0.663 85.35% -0.361 -0.1991
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 289 26.3% 26.35 -0.403 90.66% -0.162 -0.0126
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 387 40.67% 26.87 0.165 88.63% 0.097 0.5471
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 472 23.03% 28.21 0.493 94.07% 0.128 0.0607
Shroud of Silent Mist 35 37.14% 25.03 -0.426 88.57% -0.256 -0.3005
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 533 26.13% 25.16 -1.179 92.12% 0.132 0.1127
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 319 29.15% 27.2 -0.054 89.97% -0.108 0.1084
Thunderspeaker 312 28.85% 30.11 0.687 88.46% -0.36 -0.3024
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 346 61.56% 21.28 -2.084 81.21% -0.199 -0.1795
Vital Strength of the Earth 334 28.44% 23.44 -2.027 80.84% -1.158 -0.287
Volcano Looming High 174 38.51% 23.74 -1.338 85.63% -0.375 -0.4375

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 105 29.52% 23.27 -2.005 82.86% -0.834 -0.2572
Dahan Insurrection 4 155 16.13% 51.26 11.161 91.61% -0.488 -0.0877
Despicable Theft 2 2 0.0% 32.5 2.8 50.0% -0.933 -0.5045
Elemental Invocation 1 25 36.0% 26.2 0.104 88.0% -0.35 0.0312
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 281 9.96% 29.93 0.874 90.39% -0.919 -0.5536
Powers Long Forgotten 1 62 53.23% 27.39 0.404 75.81% -0.766 -0.3247
Rituals of Terror 3 77 42.47% 36.68 4.582 76.62% -0.756 -0.1277
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 59 67.8% 37.66 5.828 81.36% 0.032 0.6821
Second Wave 0 94 52.13% 26.83 0.756 80.85% -0.48 -0.0639
The Great River 3 47 53.19% 31.62 3.207 63.83% -1.52 -0.0488
Ward the Shores 2 79 50.0% 29.97 1.376 69.62% -1.101 -0.0647

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4082 32.61% 26.23 -0.411 89.22% -0.034 0.3247
1 Thematic 544 38.08% 32.49 1.645 81.25% -0.348 0.1555
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 738 28.3% 25.74 -0.448 92.95% 0.154 0.35
2 Coastline 93 30.11% 26.03 -0.382 87.1% -0.396 -0.2538
2 Fragment 20 25.0% 25.05 -0.688 90.0% -0.147 0.2749
2 Heart 12 50.0% 22.67 -1.216 75.0% -0.506 -0.2133
2 Opposite Shores 111 17.12% 26.28 -0.453 97.3% 0.48 0.7043
2 Thematic 114 29.82% 34.82 1.929 92.11% 0.36 0.4051
2 Top to Top 11 18.18% 27.45 0.333 90.91% -0.065 0.0697
3 Coastline 3 33.33% 34.33 2.418 66.67% -0.516 -0.5496
3 Other 21 28.57% 24.48 -0.759 90.48% -0.339 0.0768
3 Round (Default) 346 28.61% 26.39 -0.081 93.64% 0.161 0.1997
3 Thematic 23 39.13% 29.7 -0.988 82.61% -0.615 -0.9719
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 31.0 3.398 100.0% 0.224 0.3824
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 31.0 0.762 100.0% 0.007 0.0345
4 Other 9 33.33% 30.22 2.026 100.0% 0.562 0.6748
4 Thematic 53 15.09% 35.77 0.036 98.11% 0.513 -0.5733
4 Trapezoid (Default) 138 19.57% 26.46 -0.08 94.2% -0.193 -0.2097
5 Other 7 57.14% 26.29 1.567 100.0% 0.45 0.2314

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 142 21.27 -3.435 72.54% -2.604 -0.5334
Aid From Lesser Spirits 117 20.56 -3.712 70.94% -2.586 -0.6675
All Things Weaken 166 19.92 -4.059 66.27% -2.952 -0.7969
Back Against the Wall 110 19.71 -4.114 61.82% -3.104 -1.0083
Disintegrating Ecosystem 141 17.2 -5.4 63.12% -3.035 -0.8107
Downward Spiral 161 20.92 -3.497 78.26% -2.178 -0.1613
Erosion of Will 109 19.51 -4.148 70.64% -2.739 -0.5298
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 76 25.3 -1.244 97.37% 0.004 0.7082
Memory Fades to Dust 169 18.58 -4.69 62.13% -3.091 -0.8761
Power Corrodes the Spirit 156 20.21 -3.838 69.87% -2.664 -0.6435
Promising Farmlands 128 17.75 -4.984 64.84% -2.937 -0.7243
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 52 25.65 -1.17 98.08% 0.179 0.6147
Thriving Communities 147 17.99 -4.918 68.03% -2.912 -0.8149
Unnatural Proliferation 162 20.3 -3.688 70.99% -2.74 -0.6622
Untended Land Crumbles 158 20.28 -3.869 68.35% -2.855 -0.7562

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1013 31.02% 25.79 -0.464 89.34% 0.044 -1.0454
B 1012 28.37% 26.42 -0.134 91.8% 0.335 -0.8507
C 1179 29.82% 26.36 -0.1 91.43% 0.339 -1.0758
D 1026 29.95% 26.08 -0.276 91.42% 0.257 -0.92
E 996 30.34% 26.31 -0.111 91.87% 0.326 -0.9512
F 922 30.25% 25.94 -0.373 89.59% -0.035 -1.278
G 827 29.37% 26.53 -0.017 92.02% 0.391 -0.8393
H 858 31.19% 25.91 -0.357 91.03% 0.282 -0.9583
East 209 27.54% 36.43 2.549 91.39% 0.437 -0.5138
Northeast 178 33.71% 34.39 1.544 88.2% 0.345 -0.5451
Northwest 157 32.48% 34.22 1.458 89.81% 0.275 -0.6895
Southeast 140 26.43% 32.71 1.255 89.29% 0.3 -0.7015
Southwest 131 32.06% 27.34 -1.849 78.63% -0.789 -1.3976
West 206 34.47% 34.96 1.767 84.95% 0.193 -0.4928

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 22 0.0% 30.95 0.141 95.45% -0.497 1.5468
Not Using Events or Tokens 12 25.0% 34.0 1.595 83.33% -0.189 0.0302
Skip Initial Invader Actions 157 7.43% 37.28 3.42 99.36% 1.424 0.7196
Start of Game Growth 238 11.21% 34.53 2.08 96.64% 0.208 -0.2463
Unlimited Undo 363 25.36% 28.34 0.289 93.39% 0.222 -0.1907
Using Tokens but Not Events 525 28.63% 26.01 -0.529 88.76% -0.159 -0.2064

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 364 22.34 57.14%
II 2377 30.75 87.8%
III 2455 34.26 91.45%
IV 1134 37.47 99.47%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.06 Win Model: -0.023
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4636 33.25% 26.96 88.31%
2 1100 27.53% 26.74 92.55%
3 391 29.92% 26.6 92.58%
4 203 19.7% 29.06 95.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 208
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2176
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1944
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1119
Lose: Invader deck ran out 46
Win: Sacrifice victory 24
Lose: Scenario condition 41
Win: Scenario condition 197
Lose: Blight pool ran out 538
Lose: Spirit destroyed 37

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 214 43.46% 31.73 -0.308 77.57% -0.1 0.0464
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 148 66.89% 30.31 -0.261 73.65% 0.208 0.4451
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 205 40.89% 33.9 0.448 80.49% 0.069 -0.0167
Eyes Watch From the Trees 339 30.47% 39.44 2.395 87.02% 0.41 0.0447
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 177 37.14% 35.59 1.367 85.88% 0.442 0.197
Fractured Days Split the Sky 112 45.54% 32.21 0.029 74.11% -0.31 0.0358
Heart of the Wildfire 233 78.11% 24.1 -3.2 54.51% -0.519 -0.1681
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 436 45.75% 31.66 -0.247 78.67% 0.099 -0.2005
Lightning's Swift Strike 231 54.78% 31.16 -0.486 73.16% -0.083 0.1859
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 363 39.67% 35.24 1.554 88.15% 0.715 0.3952
Many Minds Move as One 576 32.52% 36.95 2.151 93.06% 1.082 0.5618
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 217 55.81% 31.61 -0.629 74.19% -0.154 -0.3486
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 196 47.96% 34.52 0.712 82.65% 0.466 0.5151
River Surges in Sunlight 286 51.23% 32.77 0.385 72.73% -0.144 0.018
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 180 51.67% 29.83 -1.199 72.78% -0.253 -0.1034
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 200 59.0% 31.29 -0.051 73.5% 0.022 0.4719
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 444 40.41% 34.7 0.928 85.59% 0.316 0.249
Shroud of Silent Mist 5 60.0% 25.4 -2.794 60.0% -0.231 -0.275
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 313 44.87% 26.77 -2.963 62.94% -1.044 -1.0627
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 223 41.7% 33.95 0.409 80.27% 0.072 0.2881
Thunderspeaker 201 44.78% 35.57 0.596 75.62% -0.239 -0.181
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 178 78.65% 26.07 -2.272 62.36% -0.222 -0.2027
Vital Strength of the Earth 178 47.75% 28.92 -1.708 68.54% -0.534 0.3365
Volcano Looming High 85 61.18% 29.25 -0.794 74.12% 0.034 -0.0279

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 42 33.33% 30.0 -2.049 73.81% -0.474 0.1029
Dahan Insurrection 4 104 23.08% 60.14 12.326 89.42% 0.292 0.6927
Elemental Invocation 1 10 40.0% 33.8 0.815 70.0% -0.156 0.2251
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 163 20.86% 36.32 1.589 82.21% -0.215 0.1504
Powers Long Forgotten 1 50 68.0% 26.58 -1.968 44.0% -0.899 -0.4576
Rituals of Terror 3 46 56.52% 42.61 4.711 65.22% -0.5 0.1281
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 36 77.78% 39.47 4.086 61.11% -0.132 0.518
Second Wave 0 325 50.46% 31.93 0.031 67.38% -0.661 -0.2446
The Great River 3 19 84.21% 24.05 -2.126 26.32% -1.404 0.0677
Ward the Shores 2 62 51.61% 36.92 2.091 69.35% -0.365 0.6711

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 2483 47.01% 31.64 -0.212 75.63% -0.14 0.2184
1 Thematic 406 55.56% 34.64 0.331 63.05% -0.661 -0.1572
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 507 47.92% 31.21 -0.439 79.49% -0.153 0.0429
2 Coastline 86 47.67% 31.0 -0.224 74.42% -0.285 -0.1422
2 Fragment 15 53.33% 31.47 -0.407 80.0% -0.049 0.3736
2 Heart 7 71.43% 23.29 -3.451 42.86% -0.905 -0.6128
2 Opposite Shores 123 46.34% 31.83 -0.165 82.11% 0.006 0.2309
2 Thematic 76 60.53% 35.49 0.784 75.0% -0.22 -0.1754
2 Top to Top 7 28.57% 39.0 3.343 100.0% 0.627 0.7618
3 Coastline 5 40.0% 28.6 -0.206 60.0% -0.058 -0.0912
3 Other 14 71.43% 29.07 -0.284 78.57% 0.414 0.8291
3 Round (Default) 182 34.25% 33.96 0.536 87.36% 0.09 0.129
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 30.0 2.025 100.0% 0.442 0.2188
3 Thematic 23 65.22% 37.35 1.868 78.26% 0.513 0.1558
4 Other 10 60.0% 34.1 1.58 90.0% 0.474 0.5871
4 Thematic 31 41.94% 42.58 1.336 90.32% 0.018 -1.0685
4 Trapezoid (Default) 95 42.11% 36.28 0.766 88.42% -0.105 -0.1218
5 Other 2 0.0% 42.5 1.985 100.0% 0.013 -0.2054

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 154 22.97 -5.408 47.4% -2.532 -0.4613
Aid From Lesser Spirits 126 27.49 -3.217 63.49% -1.865 0.0536
All Things Weaken 171 24.16 -4.855 52.63% -2.259 -0.1046
Back Against the Wall 114 24.42 -4.543 50.88% -2.34 -0.244
Disintegrating Ecosystem 124 20.95 -6.402 45.16% -2.515 -0.2915
Downward Spiral 135 25.5 -4.309 62.22% -1.894 0.1232
Erosion of Will 143 23.93 -5.117 54.55% -2.286 -0.0767
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 65 34.77 -0.214 86.15% -0.654 0.0508
Memory Fades to Dust 159 25.06 -4.461 61.64% -1.943 0.2721
Power Corrodes the Spirit 141 24.01 -4.97 53.19% -2.274 -0.2536
Promising Farmlands 137 23.28 -5.286 55.47% -2.218 -0.0051
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 32 31.59 -0.978 84.38% -0.49 -0.0542
Thriving Communities 136 24.32 -4.804 56.62% -2.077 0.0206
Unnatural Proliferation 152 24.17 -4.722 53.29% -2.263 -0.1851
Untended Land Crumbles 152 23.32 -5.242 55.26% -2.114 -0.0151

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 695 45.76% 32.08 -0.115 78.85% 0.203 -0.8864
B 691 44.85% 32.72 0.277 81.33% 0.353 -0.832
C 727 43.19% 32.88 0.345 81.29% 0.391 -1.0237
D 635 45.43% 31.97 -0.11 78.43% 0.16 -1.0172
E 649 46.59% 31.83 -0.246 77.5% 0.072 -1.2054
F 624 46.62% 31.3 -0.395 76.76% 0.062 -1.1806
G 495 46.65% 31.82 -0.163 78.59% 0.208 -1.0225
H 524 48.85% 31.91 -0.142 78.24% 0.241 -0.9995
East 131 54.2% 37.88 1.243 70.99% -0.025 -0.9757
Northeast 127 53.97% 38.06 1.672 73.23% 0.411 -0.4794
Northwest 91 53.85% 35.87 0.358 74.73% 0.303 -0.6622
Southeast 101 58.42% 35.58 1.343 70.3% 0.41 -0.5918
Southwest 111 61.26% 28.85 -2.738 62.16% -0.269 -0.8769
West 162 50.0% 42.01 3.179 78.4% 0.538 -0.1484

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 9 0.0% 24.78 -6.008 44.44% -1.804 0.2399
Not Using Events or Tokens 6 16.67% 35.17 -1.394 66.67% -0.902 -0.6833
Skip Initial Invader Actions 100 11.58% 45.99 3.802 92.0% -0.122 -0.826
Start of Game Growth 142 12.95% 44.85 3.904 93.66% 0.942 0.488
Unlimited Undo 306 43.96% 33.22 0.166 80.07% 0.066 -0.3467
Using Tokens but Not Events 306 42.42% 31.08 -0.852 73.53% -0.427 -0.4744

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 491 22.34 17.52%
II 1453 30.75 73.92%
III 1591 34.26 88.06%
IV 539 37.47 99.44%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.217 Win Model: 0.103
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2896 48.34% 32.05 73.9%
2 822 48.66% 31.7 78.83%
3 224 40.36% 33.86 85.27%
4 132 41.67% 37.96 89.39%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 85
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1342
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 987
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 532
Lose: Invader deck ran out 22
Lose: Adversary condition 374
Win: Sacrifice victory 15
Lose: Scenario condition 30
Win: Scenario condition 136
Lose: Blight pool ran out 519
Lose: Spirit destroyed 32

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 276 39.49% 37.82 -0.495 80.07% -0.386 -0.24
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 209 58.37% 36.18 -0.742 77.03% -0.214 0.0231
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 250 40.8% 40.26 1.187 89.2% 0.587 0.5013
Eyes Watch From the Trees 367 31.06% 42.71 1.971 91.28% 0.606 0.2411
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 215 43.26% 40.16 0.976 87.44% 0.393 0.1483
Fractured Days Split the Sky 122 54.92% 37.48 -0.404 72.95% -0.647 -0.3012
Heart of the Wildfire 305 60.0% 35.24 -0.972 77.05% -0.048 0.3024
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 564 39.36% 38.36 -0.139 85.28% 0.053 -0.2464
Lightning's Swift Strike 282 54.26% 36.7 -0.54 76.24% -0.302 -0.0331
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 525 38.86% 41.99 2.025 92.57% 0.916 0.5969
Many Minds Move as One 672 26.19% 42.51 2.05 94.64% 0.902 0.3819
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 340 54.12% 35.99 -1.249 75.0% -0.418 -0.6121
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 243 41.15% 39.6 0.671 86.83% 0.403 0.4516
River Surges in Sunlight 404 52.72% 39.71 0.86 81.44% 0.06 0.2215
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 232 46.98% 36.34 -0.765 81.9% -0.164 -0.0148
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 252 54.76% 36.37 -0.537 76.19% -0.246 0.2038
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 509 32.28% 41.33 1.124 89.39% 0.192 0.1242
Shroud of Silent Mist 15 66.67% 39.67 1.907 93.33% 0.846 0.8021
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 378 36.24% 35.21 -1.806 79.1% -0.574 -0.5931
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 301 33.22% 40.68 0.704 88.37% 0.225 0.4415
Thunderspeaker 239 41.42% 41.54 0.585 80.75% -0.308 -0.2501
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 263 68.06% 32.27 -2.403 71.1% -0.397 -0.3771
Vital Strength of the Earth 238 47.9% 33.32 -2.324 73.11% -0.744 0.1261
Volcano Looming High 131 50.77% 33.95 -1.862 74.81% -0.544 -0.606

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 84 50.0% 31.85 -3.579 61.9% -1.161 -0.5847
Dahan Insurrection 4 67 14.93% 65.18 11.7 88.06% -0.275 0.1257
Despicable Theft 2 2 100.0% 52.0 7.312 100.0% 0.326 0.7545
Elemental Invocation 1 14 50.0% 41.14 1.092 85.71% 0.176 0.557
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 271 22.51% 43.08 2.016 88.19% 0.091 0.4569
Powers Long Forgotten 1 51 64.71% 41.14 1.598 74.51% -0.084 0.3571
Rituals of Terror 3 31 54.84% 40.58 1.558 51.61% -1.347 -0.7189
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 20 60.0% 46.0 4.42 65.0% -0.375 0.2748
Second Wave 0 197 45.18% 38.7 0.398 78.68% -0.449 -0.0327
The Great River 3 26 65.38% 41.31 1.864 61.54% -1.403 0.0681
Ward the Shores 2 62 56.45% 40.23 0.411 62.9% -1.03 0.0067

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3230 44.4% 36.93 -0.405 79.94% -0.169 0.1895
1 Thematic 357 55.18% 37.81 -0.337 66.11% -0.533 -0.0289
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 670 44.78% 38.11 0.084 87.31% 0.009 0.205
2 Coastline 72 40.28% 41.03 1.23 91.67% 0.518 0.6603
2 Fragment 6 83.33% 28.5 -3.683 66.67% -0.388 0.0347
2 Heart 7 71.43% 29.0 -3.308 57.14% -0.601 -0.3089
2 Opposite Shores 104 44.66% 37.7 -0.317 84.62% -0.162 0.0632
2 Thematic 150 44.67% 43.01 1.453 83.33% 0.332 0.377
2 Top to Top 14 21.43% 37.0 -0.901 85.71% -0.427 -0.2922
3 Coastline 12 75.0% 44.17 3.047 100.0% 1.029 0.9951
3 Other 15 53.33% 37.87 -0.04 86.67% -0.117 0.298
3 Round (Default) 243 39.92% 38.88 -0.024 89.3% -0.312 -0.273
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 43.0 0.078 100.0% 0.007 -0.2162
3 Thematic 25 52.0% 47.56 2.646 92.0% 0.82 0.4629
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 38.5 0.381 50.0% -0.435 -0.277
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 47.0 3.452 100.0% 0.01 0.0374
4 Other 5 40.0% 42.8 0.675 100.0% 0.129 0.2419
4 Thematic 63 14.29% 53.17 2.548 92.06% 0.248 -0.8387
4 Trapezoid (Default) 131 34.35% 40.52 0.553 92.37% -0.226 -0.2431
5 Other 5 80.0% 39.2 0.609 100.0% 0.291 0.0721

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 179 28.97 -5.219 58.66% -2.261 -0.1912
Aid From Lesser Spirits 144 31.67 -3.917 65.28% -2.063 -0.1447
All Things Weaken 170 28.46 -5.309 57.06% -2.255 -0.1008
Back Against the Wall 131 29.89 -4.984 57.25% -2.437 -0.3404
Disintegrating Ecosystem 157 26.43 -6.53 54.14% -2.522 -0.2979
Downward Spiral 180 32.79 -3.331 73.89% -1.581 0.4354
Erosion of Will 156 30.87 -4.186 66.67% -1.893 0.3162
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 72 37.97 -0.739 90.28% -0.247 0.4572
Memory Fades to Dust 146 28.18 -5.616 59.59% -2.198 0.0173
Power Corrodes the Spirit 169 28.91 -5.25 60.95% -2.152 -0.1319
Promising Farmlands 151 29.4 -4.896 63.58% -1.923 0.2895
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 57 36.46 -1.384 84.21% -0.825 -0.3893
Thriving Communities 194 28.56 -5.288 61.34% -2.133 -0.0351
Unnatural Proliferation 190 31.14 -4.064 65.26% -2.03 0.0474
Untended Land Crumbles 179 30.94 -4.014 67.04% -1.793 0.306

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 819 43.59% 38.12 0.192 85.23% 0.396 -0.6941
B 844 45.43% 37.65 -0.097 84.6% 0.319 -0.8664
C 939 40.15% 38.59 0.356 85.62% 0.359 -1.0557
D 777 43.17% 37.71 0.073 83.91% 0.32 -0.8572
E 827 42.32% 37.96 -0.051 83.8% 0.209 -1.0682
F 783 44.32% 37.47 -0.215 84.16% 0.276 -0.967
G 673 47.55% 37.19 -0.271 81.72% 0.148 -1.0823
H 740 42.3% 38.06 0.059 84.19% 0.211 -1.029
East 193 36.79% 45.81 1.428 80.83% -0.15 -1.1006
Northeast 177 42.37% 45.99 2.371 81.92% 0.414 -0.4763
Northwest 144 47.22% 43.83 0.829 77.78% -0.094 -1.0593
Southeast 140 38.57% 44.03 1.816 81.43% 0.419 -0.5828
Southwest 117 47.86% 37.77 -1.727 74.36% -0.269 -0.8772
West 181 37.57% 45.64 1.428 80.66% -0.066 -0.7515

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1 0.0% 46.0 3.291 100.0% 0.068 2.1117
Not Using Events or Tokens 4 50.0% 24.75 -6.474 50.0% -0.673 -0.4543
Skip Initial Invader Actions 95 4.21% 52.05 4.801 97.89% 1.308 0.6044
Start of Game Growth 163 13.58% 47.53 2.77 93.25% 0.107 -0.3469
Unlimited Undo 345 39.71% 38.9 0.252 85.8% 0.114 -0.2987
Using Tokens but Not Events 316 49.84% 34.27 -1.643 75.32% -0.411 -0.4591

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 324 22.34 0.31%
II 1229 30.75 67.37%
III 2358 34.26 90.29%
IV 1202 37.47 99.92%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.374 Win Model: 0.192
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 3595 45.54% 37.01 78.55%
2 1023 44.42% 38.92 86.61%
3 289 42.56% 39.74 89.62%
4 206 29.61% 44.43 92.23%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2062
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 779
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1193
Lose: Invader deck ran out 14
Lose: Adversary condition 370
Win: Sacrifice victory 26
Lose: Scenario condition 25
Win: Scenario condition 98
Lose: Blight pool ran out 506
Lose: Spirit destroyed 39

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 265 53.58% 40.42 -0.168 65.28% -0.224 -0.0781
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 213 76.89% 36.08 -1.286 55.87% -0.071 0.166
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 310 60.32% 40.18 -0.091 63.87% -0.007 -0.093
Eyes Watch From the Trees 393 51.4% 46.46 3.189 79.64% 0.787 0.4217
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 184 65.76% 40.32 -0.036 61.96% -0.025 -0.2699
Fractured Days Split the Sky 178 71.35% 35.98 -1.487 51.12% -0.458 -0.1127
Heart of the Wildfire 356 82.3% 32.13 -3.202 47.75% -0.269 0.0817
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 942 54.85% 40.76 0.157 68.9% 0.11 -0.1896
Lightning's Swift Strike 333 71.47% 38.98 -0.164 60.66% 0.112 0.3802
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 903 48.5% 46.62 3.309 81.95% 0.882 0.5622
Many Minds Move as One 759 51.38% 45.45 2.619 78.66% 0.599 0.0786
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 369 67.48% 37.16 -1.359 57.18% -0.285 -0.4793
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 289 61.94% 39.3 -0.44 62.28% -0.066 -0.0172
River Surges in Sunlight 445 72.97% 37.04 -1.171 52.58% -0.346 -0.1837
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 286 74.48% 37.52 -0.89 60.84% 0.006 0.1555
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 285 78.95% 36.7 -1.156 54.74% -0.072 0.3774
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 613 47.88% 45.74 2.404 77.81% 0.383 0.3158
Shroud of Silent Mist 21 66.67% 38.67 -0.651 61.9% -0.088 -0.132
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 540 53.72% 35.46 -2.752 57.78% -0.684 -0.7028
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 362 59.0% 42.04 1.116 71.27% 0.399 0.6152
Thunderspeaker 269 70.15% 38.01 -0.956 56.51% -0.236 -0.1783
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 330 85.76% 34.34 -1.981 54.55% 0.055 0.0745
Vital Strength of the Earth 213 71.83% 33.75 -3.08 49.3% -0.572 0.2983
Volcano Looming High 197 72.08% 38.56 -0.361 64.97% 0.202 0.1396

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 69 66.67% 26.67 -6.631 28.99% -1.861 -1.284
Dahan Insurrection 4 63 53.97% 58.08 8.705 61.9% -0.383 0.0176
Despicable Theft 2 1 100.0% 20.0 -6.945 0.0% -0.289 0.14
Elemental Invocation 1 16 68.75% 42.5 0.492 68.75% -0.08 0.3007
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 381 32.81% 48.53 3.402 80.84% 0.291 0.6563
Powers Long Forgotten 1 39 64.1% 37.44 -1.453 46.15% -0.921 -0.4793
Rituals of Terror 3 16 68.75% 42.19 1.243 43.75% -0.745 -0.1166
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 5 40.0% 50.6 4.458 60.0% -0.419 0.2311
Second Wave 0 131 67.18% 34.31 -2.691 46.56% -0.933 -0.5164
The Great River 3 18 66.67% 52.5 5.0 66.67% -0.34 1.1311
Ward the Shores 2 31 74.19% 35.71 -1.272 38.71% -0.736 0.3009

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4278 59.0% 39.65 -0.142 64.47% -0.052 0.3065
1 Thematic 330 65.76% 39.51 -0.509 53.33% -0.256 0.2479
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 905 66.19% 39.71 -0.034 66.3% -0.105 0.0907
2 Coastline 90 60.0% 40.79 0.141 66.67% -0.142 0.0004
2 Fragment 24 62.5% 38.96 -0.81 62.5% -0.414 0.0085
2 Heart 4 75.0% 44.0 1.585 75.0% 0.145 0.4377
2 Opposite Shores 138 65.69% 39.23 -0.317 65.94% -0.074 0.1508
2 Thematic 81 61.73% 39.47 -0.508 49.38% -0.48 -0.4355
2 Top to Top 33 60.61% 42.0 0.747 72.73% 0.043 0.1779
3 Coastline 5 60.0% 55.2 5.09 80.0% 0.14 0.1062
3 Other 17 82.35% 44.0 2.676 76.47% 0.75 1.1656
3 Round (Default) 363 65.29% 39.97 0.22 67.77% -0.137 -0.0978
3 Thematic 15 66.67% 49.13 3.359 66.67% 0.411 0.0546
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 59.0 7.171 100.0% 0.285 0.4437
4 Leaf 3 33.33% 56.0 5.958 100.0% 0.354 0.3816
4 Other 8 62.5% 46.63 1.979 87.5% 0.297 0.41
4 Thematic 39 53.85% 48.64 1.982 66.67% 0.182 -0.9042
4 Trapezoid (Default) 126 58.06% 44.02 1.092 76.98% -0.206 -0.2234
5 Other 1 100.0% 16.0 -13.3 0.0% -0.717 -0.9353

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 281 32.72 -5.083 47.33% -2.343 -0.2732
Aid From Lesser Spirits 263 32.38 -5.389 43.73% -2.552 -0.6336
All Things Weaken 305 31.9 -5.535 46.23% -2.426 -0.271
Back Against the Wall 242 32.86 -4.93 47.11% -2.367 -0.2704
Disintegrating Ecosystem 296 27.17 -7.792 35.81% -2.799 -0.5747
Downward Spiral 332 31.96 -5.125 50.3% -2.117 -0.0999
Erosion of Will 282 30.26 -6.358 41.84% -2.602 -0.3927
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 88 43.26 -0.008 79.55% -0.886 -0.1818
Memory Fades to Dust 273 31.51 -5.484 47.62% -2.273 -0.0575
Power Corrodes the Spirit 276 30.94 -5.845 46.01% -2.364 -0.3436
Promising Farmlands 285 29.74 -6.538 41.75% -2.558 -0.3459
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 65 44.17 0.343 80.0% -0.708 -0.2726
Thriving Communities 298 32.88 -4.765 52.35% -2.049 0.0491
Unnatural Proliferation 331 31.2 -5.556 43.81% -2.402 -0.3242
Untended Land Crumbles 320 30.76 -5.898 45.63% -2.353 -0.2539

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1073 62.59% 39.69 -0.204 65.61% 0.081 -1.0084
B 1102 61.55% 39.76 -0.095 65.52% 0.093 -1.0923
C 1250 59.36% 40.79 0.474 67.76% 0.227 -1.1881
D 1028 61.93% 39.73 -0.086 65.47% 0.093 -1.0845
E 1171 59.32% 40.85 0.332 67.98% 0.155 -1.1218
F 992 65.35% 40.04 0.278 67.24% 0.338 -0.9054
G 889 62.8% 39.31 -0.177 64.0% 0.049 -1.182
H 911 62.31% 40.27 0.234 67.07% 0.203 -1.0373
East 141 62.41% 42.89 0.798 54.61% -0.068 -1.019
Northeast 136 61.76% 41.06 -0.304 51.47% -0.23 -1.1203
Northwest 97 53.61% 44.18 1.614 59.79% 0.086 -0.8792
Southeast 104 64.42% 40.38 0.017 54.81% 0.081 -0.9201
Southwest 75 61.33% 42.56 -0.116 64.0% 0.065 -0.5432
West 110 65.45% 44.51 0.953 58.18% 0.024 -0.6617

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3 0.0% 48.67 -0.691 100.0% 0.157 2.201
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 100.0% 24.33 -6.17 33.33% -0.133 0.0862
Skip Initial Invader Actions 145 9.79% 60.31 6.713 97.93% 1.643 0.9385
Start of Game Growth 206 16.18% 57.48 5.524 94.17% 0.889 0.4352
Unlimited Undo 387 52.21% 44.82 2.137 76.74% 0.495 0.0829
Using Tokens but Not Events 285 64.89% 36.94 -1.519 60.35% -0.301 -0.349

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 750 22.34 0.67%
II 2389 30.75 49.77%
III 2119 34.26 84.19%
IV 1205 37.47 99.42%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.305 Win Model: 0.13
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4617 59.5% 39.64 63.68%
2 1273 65.41% 39.81 65.44%
3 400 65.5% 40.59 68.0%
4 173 56.14% 45.61 75.72%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 5
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1750
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1159
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1186
Lose: Adversary condition 802
Win: Sacrifice victory 25
Lose: Scenario condition 45
Win: Scenario condition 51
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1367
Lose: Spirit destroyed 73

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 184 58.7% 43.79 -0.555 65.22% -0.075 0.071
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 146 78.77% 38.23 -2.565 52.05% -0.338 -0.1013
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 202 68.81% 43.45 -0.372 65.35% 0.201 0.115
Eyes Watch From the Trees 278 52.88% 50.14 2.415 77.7% 0.509 0.1438
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 120 65.0% 44.25 -0.308 63.33% 0.027 -0.218
Fractured Days Split the Sky 166 68.07% 41.54 -1.31 52.41% -0.502 -0.1567
Heart of the Wildfire 201 75.12% 38.48 -2.768 54.23% -0.232 0.1188
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 658 55.32% 46.89 1.057 75.38% 0.452 0.1522
Lightning's Swift Strike 231 65.8% 44.03 0.147 64.5% 0.156 0.4248
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 726 49.45% 52.12 3.517 85.12% 1.036 0.7164
Many Minds Move as One 561 46.88% 52.32 3.254 83.42% 0.753 0.2327
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 253 73.12% 38.83 -2.664 52.57% -0.526 -0.7208
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 221 71.95% 38.65 -2.523 53.39% -0.351 -0.3018
River Surges in Sunlight 318 71.38% 40.64 -1.659 52.52% -0.383 -0.2211
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 225 72.0% 39.7 -2.756 54.22% -0.541 -0.3915
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 196 75.0% 38.43 -2.73 48.98% -0.484 -0.0346
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 531 45.76% 51.81 2.999 82.49% 0.676 0.609
Shroud of Silent Mist 8 75.0% 41.63 -1.746 62.5% 0.16 0.1164
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 375 57.33% 39.8 -3.09 59.47% -0.596 -0.6151
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 339 63.42% 45.57 0.782 69.91% 0.281 0.4973
Thunderspeaker 169 76.33% 40.77 -1.269 56.8% -0.051 0.0065
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 328 82.01% 42.08 -0.514 66.16% 0.479 0.4991
Vital Strength of the Earth 150 78.0% 33.89 -4.633 42.67% -0.718 0.1522
Volcano Looming High 172 65.7% 41.37 -1.408 61.63% -0.054 -0.1159

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 36 69.44% 31.89 -5.752 36.11% -1.191 -0.6138
Dahan Insurrection 4 30 43.33% 58.0 7.298 53.33% -0.68 -0.2797
Elemental Invocation 1 3 100.0% 45.33 2.667 66.67% 0.429 0.8105
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 240 30.83% 51.78 2.477 77.08% -0.169 0.1963
Powers Long Forgotten 1 12 75.0% 30.33 -5.464 25.0% -1.042 -0.601
Rituals of Terror 3 17 82.35% 40.0 -1.303 35.29% -0.891 -0.2625
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 9 88.89% 40.33 -0.933 33.33% -0.646 0.0036
Second Wave 0 73 61.64% 44.58 -0.521 60.27% -0.568 -0.1516
The Great River 3 12 75.0% 39.33 -3.932 33.33% -1.67 -0.1988
Ward the Shores 2 7 85.71% 35.14 -1.383 28.57% -0.248 0.7881

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3301 58.89% 45.18 0.179 68.25% -0.241 0.118
1 Thematic 119 63.87% 42.19 -0.973 52.1% -0.491 0.0129
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 728 66.76% 42.98 -0.589 64.56% -0.483 -0.2868
2 Coastline 86 73.26% 41.33 -0.648 60.47% -0.184 -0.0416
2 Fragment 12 75.0% 47.75 2.633 75.0% 0.346 0.7689
2 Heart 6 50.0% 59.0 6.962 100.0% 0.754 1.0464
2 Opposite Shores 97 60.82% 47.03 0.987 76.29% 0.035 0.2595
2 Thematic 35 80.0% 47.0 0.808 62.86% 0.094 0.1385
2 Top to Top 26 84.62% 38.04 -1.658 53.85% -0.343 -0.2083
3 Coastline 6 50.0% 57.67 6.265 83.33% 0.304 0.2705
3 Other 10 60.0% 47.5 2.876 80.0% 0.31 0.7252
3 Round (Default) 253 67.19% 43.07 -0.362 65.22% -0.552 -0.5133
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 16.5 -11.626 0.0% -0.798 -1.0211
3 Thematic 9 77.78% 45.89 -0.286 55.56% 0.069 -0.2877
4 Coastline 5 40.0% 49.4 -0.828 80.0% -0.219 -0.0608
4 Other 9 77.78% 54.56 6.518 100.0% 1.271 1.384
4 Thematic 37 45.95% 58.32 1.711 83.78% 0.337 -0.7492
4 Trapezoid (Default) 81 50.62% 47.52 1.163 74.07% -0.554 -0.5705
5 Other 1 100.0% 53.0 7.13 100.0% 0.241 0.0229
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 69.0 4.001 100.0% 0.066 -2.7617

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 260 36.43 -5.673 48.85% -2.38 -0.3101
Aid From Lesser Spirits 175 35.46 -6.099 44.57% -2.606 -0.6878
All Things Weaken 204 36.14 -5.683 49.02% -2.369 -0.2148
Back Against the Wall 161 39.48 -4.032 54.66% -2.119 -0.0231
Disintegrating Ecosystem 226 31.23 -8.167 38.5% -2.829 -0.6053
Downward Spiral 220 36.2 -5.611 52.73% -2.197 -0.1804
Erosion of Will 219 35.8 -6.028 48.4% -2.454 -0.2446
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 63 48.78 0.187 79.37% -0.912 -0.2073
Memory Fades to Dust 246 34.45 -6.662 46.75% -2.48 -0.2651
Power Corrodes the Spirit 224 37.41 -5.116 54.02% -2.193 -0.1726
Promising Farmlands 203 35.45 -5.934 50.25% -2.283 -0.0707
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 42 49.93 0.71 85.71% -0.508 -0.0729
Thriving Communities 246 37.96 -4.709 56.5% -2.021 0.0765
Unnatural Proliferation 233 38.15 -4.814 53.65% -2.228 -0.1506
Untended Land Crumbles 225 32.98 -7.257 42.67% -2.664 -0.5655

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 760 62.5% 44.9 0.152 68.42% 0.396 -0.6938
B 897 62.43% 44.85 0.233 68.78% 0.412 -0.773
C 928 60.56% 44.69 0.086 67.46% 0.274 -1.141
D 798 60.4% 44.5 0.034 68.05% 0.326 -0.8507
E 900 57.11% 46.18 0.552 70.78% 0.368 -0.9089
F 794 64.48% 43.66 -0.337 65.24% 0.258 -0.9854
G 668 65.57% 44.4 0.057 67.51% 0.405 -0.8256
H 688 65.12% 42.91 -0.723 63.66% 0.178 -1.0624
East 70 52.86% 53.93 1.75 72.86% 0.168 -0.7827
Northeast 63 66.67% 50.3 0.659 65.08% 0.081 -0.8094
Northwest 65 53.85% 47.86 -0.253 61.54% -0.196 -1.1612
Southeast 48 62.5% 47.19 -1.427 62.5% -0.658 -1.6599
Southwest 49 69.39% 47.69 -0.588 67.35% 0.165 -0.4434
West 57 52.63% 57.09 2.731 80.7% 0.535 -0.1513

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 33.33% 19.0 -9.27 0.0% -0.938 -0.7188
Skip Initial Invader Actions 91 12.09% 64.25 5.933 96.7% 1.048 0.3439
Start of Game Growth 200 23.5% 60.27 4.293 93.0% 0.636 0.1815
Unlimited Undo 418 54.55% 49.7 1.471 77.75% 0.302 -0.1102
Using Tokens but Not Events 139 41.73% 52.15 2.347 84.89% 0.462 0.4146

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 411 22.34 0.49%
II 1748 30.75 51.95%
III 1877 34.26 82.95%
IV 790 37.47 99.49%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.112 Win Model: -0.122
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 3431 59.14% 45.08 67.74%
2 986 67.75% 43.37 65.21%
3 281 67.26% 43.61 65.84%
4 128 47.66% 51.59 78.91%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1541
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 886
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 780
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2
Lose: Adversary condition 478
Win: Sacrifice victory 26
Lose: Scenario condition 26
Win: Scenario condition 18
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1012
Lose: Spirit destroyed 55

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 144 81.25% 40.02 -0.463 36.81% 0.165 0.3108
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 89 87.64% 32.75 -3.846 20.22% -0.495 -0.2585
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 113 81.42% 37.74 -2.33 32.74% -0.194 -0.2798
Eyes Watch From the Trees 300 63.33% 48.47 0.003 52.0% -0.103 -0.4679
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 67 87.88% 32.37 -5.048 17.91% -0.86 -1.1049
Fractured Days Split the Sky 80 67.5% 48.74 3.042 48.75% 0.389 0.7351
Heart of the Wildfire 119 89.92% 35.42 -3.236 29.41% -0.091 0.2598
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 448 70.92% 45.68 1.343 50.67% 0.531 0.2313
Lightning's Swift Strike 141 82.98% 41.16 -0.189 38.3% 0.292 0.5606
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 536 59.51% 53.15 4.308 65.11% 0.915 0.5958
Many Minds Move as One 367 74.39% 46.88 1.205 50.95% 0.414 -0.1061
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 151 86.09% 37.06 -2.737 29.8% -0.257 -0.4515
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 110 89.09% 36.11 -1.85 27.27% 0.106 0.1552
River Surges in Sunlight 192 83.33% 40.59 -0.409 33.85% 0.119 0.2807
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 143 83.22% 36.85 -2.809 28.67% -0.388 -0.2387
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 129 90.7% 32.68 -4.579 18.6% -0.801 -0.3513
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 331 73.03% 48.09 2.585 53.47% 0.706 0.6386
Shroud of Silent Mist 1 100.0% 23.0 -8.44 0.0% -0.161 -0.205
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 246 73.98% 37.8 -2.857 36.99% -0.288 -0.3069
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 215 70.7% 45.13 1.452 47.44% 0.455 0.6708
Thunderspeaker 113 86.73% 35.4 -2.784 22.12% -0.427 -0.369
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 263 92.78% 39.42 -1.167 38.78% 0.529 0.5488
Vital Strength of the Earth 83 87.95% 31.27 -5.123 16.87% -0.936 -0.0656
Volcano Looming High 91 81.32% 40.57 -1.533 39.56% 0.067 0.0045

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 13 61.54% 41.0 -2.555 38.46% -0.587 -0.0103
Dahan Insurrection 4 20 60.0% 52.75 6.233 35.0% -0.196 0.205
Elemental Invocation 1 8 100.0% 25.0 -7.245 0.0% -0.997 -0.6162
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 202 41.58% 54.57 4.692 62.87% 0.147 0.5132
Powers Long Forgotten 1 10 100.0% 25.3 -6.952 0.0% -1.057 -0.6155
Rituals of Terror 3 9 100.0% 30.67 -2.929 0.0% -0.599 0.029
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 2 50.0% 57.5 7.191 50.0% -0.027 0.6223
Second Wave 0 45 82.22% 39.44 -1.742 33.33% -0.401 0.0151
The Great River 3 3 100.0% 51.0 2.445 33.33% -0.152 1.3194
Ward the Shores 2 8 87.5% 33.13 -5.747 12.5% -0.972 0.0645

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 2082 69.7% 46.28 1.168 50.82% 0.269 0.6276
1 Thematic 162 75.31% 40.49 -1.28 30.86% -0.568 -0.0643
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 501 84.03% 38.05 -1.736 32.53% -0.148 0.0478
2 Coastline 49 75.51% 49.41 2.75 59.18% 0.647 0.7897
2 Fragment 6 100.0% 24.33 -11.056 0.0% -1.237 -0.8143
2 Heart 5 80.0% 40.4 0.3 40.0% 0.2 0.4925
2 Opposite Shores 53 81.13% 40.94 -0.813 37.74% 0.062 0.2872
2 Thematic 20 70.0% 36.05 -4.792 20.0% -1.312 -1.2669
2 Top to Top 11 72.73% 54.82 6.65 72.73% 1.325 1.4597
3 Coastline 4 100.0% 43.75 -1.023 25.0% -0.234 -0.267
3 Other 11 100.0% 42.27 1.765 45.45% 0.81 1.2258
3 Round (Default) 152 82.24% 42.45 1.05 42.11% 0.444 0.4828
3 Thematic 4 75.0% 41.75 -1.155 25.0% -0.338 -0.6944
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 64.0 7.221 100.0% 0.084 0.1121
4 Other 2 0.0% 47.0 -7.166 50.0% -0.802 -0.6887
4 Thematic 11 90.91% 52.45 4.382 54.55% 0.797 -0.2895
4 Trapezoid (Default) 91 84.62% 37.22 -1.378 29.67% -0.33 -0.3465
5 Other 4 50.0% 53.0 2.502 75.0% 0.351 0.1324

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 191 35.38 -5.999 26.7% -2.616 -0.5454
Aid From Lesser Spirits 137 40.79 -3.238 37.96% -2.105 -0.1865
All Things Weaken 190 34.62 -6.87 26.32% -2.714 -0.559
Back Against the Wall 136 35.45 -5.49 24.26% -2.58 -0.4843
Disintegrating Ecosystem 169 32.01 -7.599 21.89% -2.833 -0.6093
Downward Spiral 175 36.19 -5.631 33.71% -2.245 -0.2286
Erosion of Will 166 37.17 -5.128 32.53% -2.317 -0.1071
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 44 56.86 3.897 77.27% -0.31 0.3941
Memory Fades to Dust 170 36.01 -6.013 31.18% -2.416 -0.2013
Power Corrodes the Spirit 168 34.23 -6.828 26.19% -2.65 -0.6297
Promising Farmlands 170 33.7 -6.689 27.06% -2.548 -0.3354
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 22 60.73 5.296 86.36% 0.13 0.5657
Thriving Communities 205 35.95 -6.001 31.71% -2.378 -0.2808
Unnatural Proliferation 206 34.45 -6.871 23.79% -2.807 -0.7292
Untended Land Crumbles 187 33.13 -7.375 22.99% -2.835 -0.7364

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 535 80.19% 41.71 -0.62 40.93% 0.137 -0.9526
B 551 78.04% 41.75 -0.565 40.47% 0.035 -1.1504
C 630 74.56% 44.7 0.955 47.62% 0.369 -1.0459
D 514 77.24% 41.36 -0.765 40.08% 0.018 -1.1595
E 683 67.94% 47.64 1.095 52.71% 0.193 -1.0838
F 435 75.29% 43.35 -0.06 44.6% 0.119 -1.1235
G 419 82.1% 40.31 -0.917 38.19% 0.138 -1.0923
H 477 79.04% 40.97 -0.878 38.57% 0.007 -1.2328
East 35 74.29% 44.29 -0.172 34.29% -0.165 -1.116
Northeast 45 82.22% 43.36 -0.289 33.33% 0.184 -0.7059
Northwest 36 77.78% 43.42 0.355 33.33% 0.218 -0.7472
Southeast 37 67.57% 50.41 3.843 51.35% 0.909 -0.093
Southwest 44 72.73% 35.45 -3.762 27.27% -0.284 -0.8922
West 46 86.96% 39.87 -1.599 26.09% -0.297 -0.9831

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3 0.0% 35.33 -8.976 33.33% -1.105 0.9388
Skip Initial Invader Actions 28 25.0% 65.14 7.099 78.57% 0.242 -0.462
Start of Game Growth 245 35.92% 63.0 6.824 81.63% 1.251 0.7967
Unlimited Undo 345 66.08% 49.16 2.061 54.49% 0.36 -0.0522
Using Tokens but Not Events 226 46.64% 57.06 2.955 72.12% 0.046 -0.0019

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 271 22.34 1.48%
II 1779 30.75 33.11%
III 815 34.26 67.12%
IV 304 37.47 99.67%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.378 Win Model: -0.314
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2249 70.17% 45.87 49.4%
2 646 82.66% 39.23 34.98%
3 165 83.03% 42.41 41.21%
4 109 81.65% 39.76 34.86%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 536
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 576
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 302
Lose: Adversary condition 429
Win: Sacrifice victory 17
Lose: Scenario condition 39
Win: Scenario condition 8
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1209
Lose: Spirit destroyed 49

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 568 78.87% 47.97 -1.409 37.15% 0.047 0.193
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 368 95.65% 34.34 -6.891 14.4% -0.791 -0.5542
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 377 93.09% 34.34 -6.954 14.59% -0.85 -0.9358
Eyes Watch From the Trees 993 59.72% 64.23 2.89 51.86% 0.014 -0.3513
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 235 89.79% 38.94 -5.244 22.13% -0.428 -0.6725
Fractured Days Split the Sky 536 66.42% 59.43 3.254 53.17% 0.525 0.8712
Heart of the Wildfire 526 91.06% 33.02 -7.906 14.45% -0.909 -0.5582
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5090 59.09% 61.83 5.963 70.08% 1.362 1.062
Lightning's Swift Strike 598 85.45% 43.67 -2.302 31.44% 0.093 0.3618
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2420 70.66% 56.76 3.311 57.85% 1.007 0.6875
Many Minds Move as One 920 88.7% 44.92 -1.779 35.54% 0.389 -0.1317
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 526 90.49% 37.36 -5.509 19.96% -0.541 -0.7354
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 309 90.26% 41.43 -3.239 28.8% 0.099 0.1482
River Surges in Sunlight 811 88.4% 44.69 -1.702 30.7% 0.127 0.2886
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 919 74.97% 52.74 0.51 48.53% 0.461 0.6105
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 523 88.53% 39.16 -4.941 21.99% -0.482 -0.0328
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 830 81.08% 46.7 -1.34 37.23% 0.147 0.0801
Shroud of Silent Mist 16 100.0% 26.94 -10.765 0.0% -1.211 -1.2546
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1827 66.17% 46.93 -1.897 44.06% 0.073 0.054
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 922 85.99% 46.93 -1.337 37.64% 0.299 0.5152
Thunderspeaker 431 90.02% 41.9 -3.823 24.83% -0.268 -0.2102
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 758 96.31% 39.38 -4.671 26.78% -0.031 -0.0112
Vital Strength of the Earth 260 87.69% 37.75 -5.309 21.54% -0.449 0.4218
Volcano Looming High 499 82.16% 46.49 -1.438 38.68% 0.316 0.2542

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 125 76.23% 43.55 -5.059 33.6% -0.967 -0.3902
Dahan Insurrection 4 611 28.03% 92.91 18.039 80.69% 1.129 1.53
Elemental Invocation 1 11 81.82% 43.73 -3.453 27.27% -0.702 -0.3208
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 721 53.75% 52.53 0.628 46.46% -0.432 -0.0658
Powers Long Forgotten 1 3 100.0% 28.33 -14.567 0.0% -1.143 -0.7017
Rituals of Terror 3 10 90.0% 32.8 -8.162 0.0% -1.204 -0.5759
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 2 100.0% 30.0 -7.432 0.0% -0.352 0.2974
Second Wave 0 65 75.38% 53.45 0.896 46.15% 0.052 0.4682
The Great River 3 15 80.0% 40.2 -7.877 13.33% -1.87 -0.3986
Ward the Shores 2 12 91.67% 40.5 -2.005 16.67% -0.349 0.6873

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 14531 71.64% 52.31 0.842 49.48% -0.272 0.0866
1 Thematic 391 79.54% 47.51 -2.856 31.71% -1.111 -0.6072
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1123 83.79% 46.98 -0.941 37.76% -0.277 -0.0815
2 Coastline 219 84.02% 45.71 -1.429 37.44% -0.32 -0.1774
2 Fragment 43 90.7% 48.16 0.566 44.19% 0.161 0.5835
2 Heart 23 95.65% 48.65 0.079 47.83% -0.026 0.2667
2 Opposite Shores 249 87.95% 40.67 -2.888 26.91% -0.641 -0.4162
2 Thematic 32 90.32% 48.19 -2.25 28.13% -0.213 -0.1685
2 Top to Top 50 78.0% 54.84 2.998 54.0% 0.3 0.4339
3 Coastline 3 100.0% 45.33 2.16 33.33% 0.175 0.1417
3 Other 25 80.0% 51.8 0.508 52.0% -0.027 0.3887
3 Round (Default) 459 82.79% 47.29 0.534 40.74% 0.35 0.3894
3 Thematic 39 30.77% 93.64 11.619 79.49% 0.929 0.5724
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 42.67 3.434 33.33% 0.611 0.6385
4 Other 27 81.48% 40.22 -6.006 22.22% -0.942 -0.8283
4 Thematic 76 60.53% 56.95 -0.058 43.42% 0.386 -0.6999
4 Trapezoid (Default) 235 81.28% 47.49 1.443 39.15% 0.64 0.6231
5 Other 6 83.33% 42.5 1.6 33.33% 0.308 0.0891

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 993 42.42 -6.087 31.12% -2.531 -0.4605
Aid From Lesser Spirits 740 46.41 -3.936 37.43% -2.217 -0.2986
All Things Weaken 1119 41.46 -6.539 29.31% -2.578 -0.423
Back Against the Wall 700 45.66 -4.412 35.43% -2.328 -0.2319
Disintegrating Ecosystem 954 36.71 -8.862 22.75% -2.957 -0.7332
Downward Spiral 1011 44.77 -4.884 39.07% -2.113 -0.0964
Erosion of Will 988 41.07 -6.657 28.24% -2.63 -0.4207
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 202 64.05 3.97 76.24% -0.588 0.1163
Memory Fades to Dust 988 42.21 -6.223 32.39% -2.452 -0.2366
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1023 41.65 -6.43 31.48% -2.474 -0.4537
Promising Farmlands 966 40.65 -6.954 29.61% -2.597 -0.3841
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 113 69.8 6.208 85.84% 0.033 0.4683
Thriving Communities 961 42.42 -5.977 33.19% -2.391 -0.293
Unnatural Proliferation 1064 41.58 -6.363 28.29% -2.605 -0.5269
Untended Land Crumbles 1050 41.6 -6.534 31.24% -2.507 -0.4087

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2691 80.85% 46.45 -1.339 38.91% 0.362 -0.7272
B 2515 79.86% 48.45 -0.736 43.42% 0.47 -0.7158
C 3060 77.32% 48.12 -0.831 42.22% 0.39 -1.0252
D 2172 77.26% 47.45 -0.992 41.02% 0.376 -0.801
E 3199 74.71% 51.42 0.085 48.39% 0.462 -0.815
F 2222 74.88% 50.32 -0.169 46.13% 0.453 -0.7899
G 1926 76.79% 49.82 -0.302 44.91% 0.472 -0.7588
H 2820 60.82% 61.55 3.768 61.81% 0.832 -0.4078
East 171 60.59% 64.85 2.293 47.95% 0.398 -0.5527
Northeast 159 67.92% 60.07 1.28 41.51% 0.351 -0.5393
Northwest 113 79.65% 48.04 -2.316 30.09% 0.089 -0.8764
Southeast 62 66.13% 52.73 -1.028 38.71% 0.129 -0.8729
Southwest 97 72.16% 48.13 -2.696 37.11% 0.252 -0.3566
West 165 58.54% 65.65 2.55 49.09% 0.155 -0.5312

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 6 0.0% 65.83 -2.112 66.67% -0.95 1.0943
Skip Initial Invader Actions 433 37.47% 69.93 5.417 73.44% 0.28 -0.424
Start of Game Growth 928 40.13% 68.87 5.491 76.94% 0.46 0.0062
Unlimited Undo 1720 64.06% 60.01 3.704 64.36% 0.79 0.3776
Using Tokens but Not Events 759 60.96% 53.94 0.249 54.28% -0.183 -0.2302

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3146 22.34 0.99%
II 8724 30.75 40.23%
III 4141 34.26 78.65%
IV 1523 37.47 99.87%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.139 Win Model: -1.0
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 14997 71.85% 52.23 49.13%
2 1684 85.2% 45.66 35.51%
3 515 78.45% 50.83 43.3%
4 338 77.51% 48.57 38.46%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 30
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3201
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2977
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1511
Lose: Invader deck ran out 15
Lose: Adversary condition 2518
Win: Sacrifice victory 105
Lose: Scenario condition 162
Win: Scenario condition 495
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6290
Lose: Spirit destroyed 230

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2024-12-23 01:48:01 (Pacific Time)