The Tsardom of Russia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1346 22.74% 25.61 -0.696 77.27% -0.077 -0.1827
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 144 20.14% 23.29 0.27 64.58% 0.165 -0.3151
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 781 42.88% 23.8 -0.648 75.16% -0.102 0.0241
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 167 25.75% 28.5 7.923 74.85% 1.697 0.8501
Dances Up Earthquakes 94 25.53% 19.26 -0.103 54.26% 0.019 0.0561
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1406 23.25% 26.52 0.792 81.15% 0.301 0.1637
Downpour Drenches the World 539 18.77% 21.86 -2.299 63.45% -0.29 -0.0839
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 494 20.85% 23.93 1.158 69.84% 0.682 0.0716
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1563 15.42% 29.9 1.582 85.16% 0.469 0.0933
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1286 21.6% 27.44 0.916 81.57% 0.383 -0.007
Finder of Paths Unseen 251 28.29% 15.3 -2.126 40.64% -0.907 -0.1873
Fractured Days Split the Sky 688 28.82% 23.7 1.069 62.79% -0.126 0.4846
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1083 35.46% 24.08 2.966 65.84% 0.213 0.1132
Heart of the Wildfire 1051 52.53% 21.94 -3.215 68.32% -0.588 -0.2507
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2020 25.02% 26.05 -0.769 83.02% -0.14 -0.5707
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 148 20.27% 23.52 -0.541 66.89% -0.045 -0.3601
Lightning's Swift Strike 723 36.24% 25.34 0.284 78.84% 0.612 0.8416
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 186 31.52% 24.72 1.301 67.74% 0.223 -0.2216
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 411 27.07% 25.9 0.334 78.35% 0.255 -0.0559
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 381 26.12% 27.5 0.219 75.07% 0.12 -0.0227
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2314 27.52% 26.38 -1.038 80.86% -0.139 -0.3667
Many Minds Move as One 1728 19.7% 26.6 1.716 84.32% 0.623 0.3801
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1513 37.1% 25.73 0.307 74.29% 0.247 0.3563
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 79 46.84% 21.41 -1.345 50.63% -0.241 -0.1224
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1266 27.65% 25.77 0.508 78.44% 0.477 0.431
River Surges in Sunlight 993 36.06% 28.1 1.073 77.74% -0.256 -0.126
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 72 25.0% 19.38 0.65 55.56% -0.182 -0.0062
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 587 37.03% 26.88 0.832 75.13% 0.29 0.5881
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 230 31.0% 24.31 4.152 57.83% 0.75 0.6663
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1113 24.8% 25.76 0.678 76.73% 0.173 0.0615
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 28 28.57% 19.93 -3.643 53.57% -0.403 -0.5206
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 393 49.23% 23.92 -6.747 75.06% -0.424 0.0711
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 90 33.71% 22.6 -7.481 63.33% -1.084 -1.135
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 98 32.65% 26.37 -0.279 72.45% -0.217 -0.727
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 84 34.52% 22.48 4.8 66.67% 0.478 0.3505
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 358 31.84% 26.37 1.331 81.56% 0.28 0.2915
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 310 32.26% 25.45 2.744 78.39% 0.385 0.5207
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1426 25.95% 26.35 0.177 82.47% 0.168 0.217
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 220 18.81% 22.17 -2.581 60.91% -0.583 -0.7982
Shifting Memory of Ages 679 36.87% 20.46 -2.775 60.09% -0.449 -0.155
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 89 23.6% 17.56 -5.284 49.44% -0.933 -1.0518
Shroud of Silent Mist 850 42.82% 22.23 -0.403 69.41% -0.341 -0.0136
Starlight Seeks its Form 1048 23.08% 24.72 -1.67 70.8% -0.042 -0.1417
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1588 25.35% 25.09 1.161 81.93% 0.294 -0.236
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1123 28.71% 24.07 -1.13 73.82% -0.126 -0.0489
Thunderspeaker 1100 26.87% 26.89 0.028 75.36% -0.076 -0.0399
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 185 29.19% 20.29 -0.83 47.57% 0.056 0.1147
Towering Roots of the Jungle 247 23.48% 20.83 1.392 60.73% 0.627 0.7767
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1269 60.09% 21.71 0.138 74.86% 0.364 0.5104
Vital Strength of the Earth 717 30.35% 23.76 0.03 70.43% 0.029 0.5972
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 168 22.75% 22.79 0.103 64.88% -0.284 0.237
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 382 24.93% 19.29 -5.089 61.52% -0.92 -0.1783
Volcano Looming High 1156 39.64% 21.9 -2.591 68.77% -0.398 -0.3833
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 269 21.19% 23.96 -0.746 64.68% -0.139 -0.4312

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 30 20.0% 26.27 5.952 70.0% 0.592 0.565
Blitz 0 382 24.74% 18.61 -4.307 58.12% -0.808 -0.5576
Dahan Insurrection 4 540 18.89% 43.39 6.651 75.93% 0.033 -0.2155
Despicable Theft 2 245 26.94% 20.91 -2.289 46.94% -0.724 -0.2618
Elemental Invocation 1 250 34.4% 22.27 -1.183 61.2% -0.438 0.2646
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 820 10.74% 29.86 3.254 78.17% 0.181 -0.3712
Powers Long Forgotten 1 283 36.04% 19.8 -1.589 51.24% -0.49 0.1335
Rituals of Terror 3 271 33.71% 29.31 0.082 60.15% -0.455 -0.2623
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 184 52.17% 28.77 0.566 60.33% -0.389 0.5331
Second Wave 0 517 43.77% 31.82 4.68 68.86% -0.15 -0.0333
The Great River 3 234 35.47% 22.72 -6.843 47.01% -1.244 -0.1759
Varied Terrains 2 192 36.46% 21.24 0.245 46.35% -0.331 0.4106
Ward the Shores 2 381 31.05% 24.0 -2.271 57.74% -0.922 0.1614

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 15236 32.81% 25.02 1.14 77.27% 0.503 1.0297
1 Thematic 2246 36.64% 26.74 -1.439 70.26% -0.357 0.4972
2 Archipelago 28 39.29% 33.89 11.32 75.0% 0.706 1.7612
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3487 30.02% 23.59 -0.743 73.85% -0.24 0.038
2 Coastline 416 30.6% 23.33 0.205 73.08% -0.072 0.0306
2 Fragment 78 26.92% 23.97 5.789 76.92% 0.427 0.4401
2 Heart 44 45.45% 25.59 8.351 81.82% 0.786 0.8977
2 Opposite Shores 521 24.76% 28.76 1.312 86.95% -0.091 0.2449
2 Thematic 560 31.48% 26.27 -0.42 64.64% -0.181 0.5084
2 Top to Top 64 28.13% 25.48 0.224 79.69% 0.085 0.3269
3 Archipelago 14 42.86% 38.14 8.551 78.57% 0.825 0.1046
3 Coastline 24 33.33% 26.79 0.0 58.33%
3 Other 42 38.1% 26.81 4.194 88.1% 0.309 -0.2931
3 Round (Default) 1589 27.71% 25.68 -0.448 80.11% -0.451 -0.4447
3 Sunrise 6 16.67% 27.5 0.0 83.33%
3 Thematic 120 28.33% 25.7 0.228 59.17% -0.224 -0.139
4 Archipelago 8 12.5% 37.13 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 12 50.0% 22.83 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 3 0.0% 30.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 21 47.62% 30.05 14.834 90.48% 1.271 0.6525
4 Thematic 127 20.63% 33.47 3.285 81.1% 0.166 0.4333
4 Trapezoid (Default) 897 18.95% 20.32 -3.615 61.32% -2.15 -1.9859
5 Other 40 33.33% 27.27 6.681 70.0% 0.536 0.1504
5 Thematic 6 0.0% 23.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 5 60.0% 34.8 0.0 80.0%
6 Star 30 33.33% 26.5 4.274 90.0% 0.072 0.0547
6 Thematic 65 18.75% 26.45 3.213 49.23% -0.5 -0.3969
6 Two Centers (Default) 115 20.87% 29.13 -3.616 76.52% -1.631 -1.0659
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 5 0.0% 16.0 13.672 20.0% 0.066 -0.3684

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 522 21.69 -0.846 63.98% -0.417 -0.1677
Aid From Lesser Spirits 432 23.32 4.608 66.67% 0.246 0.1279
All Things Weaken 621 20.75 0.885 61.51% 0.113 0.4499
Attenuated Essence 103 21.77 3.833 53.4% 0.383 0.4094
Back Against the Wall 451 21.49 4.654 58.98% 0.797 0.7976
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 86 20.41 -1.259 53.49% -0.367 -0.1493
Burn Brightest Before the End 86 22.31 3.248 54.65% -0.042 -0.061
Disintegrating Ecosystem 514 19.18 -0.617 62.45% 0.068 0.4613
Downward Spiral 601 20.94 -0.616 69.05% 0.107 0.2151
Erosion of Will 489 21.35 -0.865 62.78% -0.142 0.2099
Intensifying Exploitation 100 21.25 0.607 54.0% -0.606 -0.36
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 278 27.02 0.125 89.93% 0.382 -0.1418
Memory Fades to Dust 615 20.42 -1.119 63.41% -0.252 -0.0041
Power Corrodes the Spirit 557 21.25 -0.059 66.25% -0.152 0.0696
Promising Farmlands 478 19.73 1.573 60.25% 0.545 0.828
Shattered Fragments of Power 81 22.02 -0.688 48.15% -0.518 -0.4407
Slow Dissolution of Will 109 17.07 -2.985 43.12% -0.351 0.0465
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 189 25.48 -0.432 86.77% 0.254 -0.441
The Border of Life and Death 25 27.4 6.55 80.0% 0.595 -0.0059
Thriving Communities 578 18.97 -0.974 60.55% -0.33 0.027
Thriving Crops 50 26.16 1.845 82.0% 0.254 0.0578
Unnatural Proliferation 590 21.75 3.057 63.39% 0.501 0.6631
Untended Land Crumbles 588 20.08 2.464 61.73% 0.563 0.7946

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4482 30.44% 24.33 -0.245 74.92% -0.456 0.5493
B 4668 29.19% 24.36 0.015 75.26% -0.366 0.5532
C 4798 29.25% 24.99 0.656 76.82% -0.273 0.4618
D 4430 30.87% 24.49 -0.11 76.32% -0.277 0.7014
E 4376 29.72% 24.71 -0.714 76.17% -0.514 0.306
F 4259 29.23% 24.57 -0.942 74.52% -0.658 0.2159
G 3718 28.89% 24.58 -1.133 74.69% -0.631 0.1782
H 3838 29.58% 24.6 -1.089 75.01% -0.661 0.1535
East 1927 33.4% 28.15 4.073 71.72% 0.21 1.113
Northeast 749 29.59% 28.55 -2.508 66.09% -1.128 -0.3195
Northwest 685 29.47% 27.71 0.616 65.69% -0.494 0.4063
Southeast 850 37.85% 26.67 0.15 75.53% -0.528 0.3223
Southwest 652 28.2% 22.56 -1.889 61.96% -0.76 0.6155
West 1695 31.6% 25.87 -0.854 64.31% -1.026 -0.0713

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 68 0.0% 27.38 -0.963 80.88% 0.066 0.7743
Not Using Events or Tokens 63 25.4% 21.67 -7.394 58.73% -0.594 -0.2261
Skip Initial Invader Actions 483 8.1% 36.89 6.085 90.27% 1.09 0.5048
Start of Game Growth 809 11.54% 34.41 1.041 88.38% -0.245 -0.7586
Unlimited Undo 1693 21.97% 25.97 0.441 78.74% 0.439 0.3296
Using Tokens but Not Events 2294 24.93% 26.15 0.503 76.9% -0.04 -0.0656

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4481 13.33 14.8%
II 8367 30.1 80.75%
III 8911 34.83 90.3%
IV 4080 38.67 99.31%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.117 Win Model: 0.869
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 17943 33.2% 24.94 75.17%
2 4877 30.0% 25.41 77.88%
3 1713 28.16% 26.23 80.56%
4 1055 19.45% 22.2 64.45%
5 28 25.93% 22.96 67.86%
6 223 22.07% 27.88 69.06%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 660
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7783
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6319
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4015
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3401
Lose: Invader deck ran out 192
Lose: Adversary condition 333
Win: Sacrifice victory 111
Lose: Scenario condition 147
Win: Scenario condition 630
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2085
Lose: Spirit destroyed 163

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 791 38.23% 27.58 -2.819 63.72% -0.526 -0.6313
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 83 39.76% 26.73 3.374 61.45% 0.481 0.0008
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 496 61.29% 26.14 -2.755 61.29% -0.522 -0.396
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 84 34.52% 29.99 2.851 67.86% 0.254 -0.593
Dances Up Earthquakes 40 42.5% 21.7 5.166 47.5% 0.553 0.5897
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 785 40.15% 30.2 0.924 69.55% -0.008 -0.1443
Downpour Drenches the World 316 39.17% 20.67 1.121 49.05% 0.311 0.5179
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 323 29.1% 24.23 0.771 59.13% 0.4 -0.2105
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1140 31.51% 34.01 2.286 75.96% 0.255 -0.12
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 721 38.21% 30.66 3.827 70.6% 0.854 0.4634
Finder of Paths Unseen 186 43.01% 15.34 -3.888 33.87% -0.468 0.2511
Fractured Days Split the Sky 436 38.53% 25.46 -1.447 52.29% -0.445 0.1657
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 681 52.35% 25.62 0.957 58.0% 0.308 0.2086
Heart of the Wildfire 727 68.6% 21.48 -1.542 46.91% -0.5 -0.1632
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1444 42.13% 30.34 0.853 71.12% 0.239 -0.1919
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 116 34.48% 27.22 4.362 64.66% 0.548 0.2338
Lightning's Swift Strike 384 57.07% 25.53 2.926 57.29% 0.961 1.1909
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 88 50.0% 25.98 -0.854 55.68% -0.438 -0.8823
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 240 55.42% 25.75 -6.982 56.25% -1.276 -1.5866
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 227 46.26% 33.11 -1.256 63.44% -0.003 -0.146
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1720 43.07% 31.61 3.807 77.33% 1.167 0.9386
Many Minds Move as One 1478 32.99% 31.89 2.352 78.89% 0.401 0.1578
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 925 50.6% 28.05 -1.043 60.0% -0.437 -0.3283
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 57 59.65% 19.96 -1.622 52.63% -0.116 0.0024
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 766 46.01% 28.14 -0.855 66.71% -0.001 -0.0468
River Surges in Sunlight 590 51.36% 29.17 -2.423 62.54% -0.901 -0.7701
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 59 38.98% 18.29 -4.386 42.37% -0.541 -0.3654
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 361 52.78% 31.79 -2.211 62.05% -0.349 -0.0507
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 162 44.44% 23.71 4.27 48.15% 0.565 0.4809
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 623 48.64% 26.7 -0.22 61.96% -0.358 -0.4694
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 14 21.43% 20.57 -3.218 50.0% -0.283 -0.4008
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 243 62.55% 25.86 2.975 58.44% 0.868 1.3629
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 72 43.66% 24.01 11.13 51.39% 1.115 1.064
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 140 41.73% 28.31 8.858 61.43% 1.34 0.8298
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 73 46.58% 25.55 9.363 60.27% 0.449 0.3211
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 206 54.85% 26.75 -6.697 64.08% -0.857 -0.8457
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 157 49.04% 27.94 -6.117 60.51% -0.962 -0.8264
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1266 39.21% 31.12 -0.242 74.49% 0.038 0.0864
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 293 32.99% 25.17 3.853 60.41% 0.857 0.6415
Shifting Memory of Ages 429 49.18% 23.85 -0.805 54.78% -0.038 0.2561
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 74 33.78% 17.57 -1.075 37.84% -0.428 -0.5467
Shroud of Silent Mist 473 58.26% 22.31 -1.481 51.8% 0.04 0.3674
Starlight Seeks its Form 723 30.1% 28.45 -1.173 65.84% -0.331 -0.4304
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 933 40.75% 25.01 0.537 58.74% 0.31 -0.2205
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 780 40.28% 29.62 -2.599 66.79% -0.61 -0.5328
Thunderspeaker 810 40.99% 31.22 -1.391 63.09% -0.309 -0.2732
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 94 42.55% 18.48 -0.226 40.43% 0.387 0.4459
Towering Roots of the Jungle 154 41.56% 23.66 0.739 57.14% 0.08 0.2299
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 609 68.64% 22.2 -3.31 51.56% -0.552 -0.4055
Vital Strength of the Earth 377 46.95% 24.31 -2.564 50.4% -0.674 -0.1059
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 126 53.97% 19.21 -2.885 42.06% -0.332 0.1887
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 245 43.27% 22.47 -2.677 51.02% -0.424 0.3169
Volcano Looming High 713 54.14% 23.35 -4.008 54.14% -0.532 -0.5174
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 165 42.42% 23.24 3.841 55.15% 0.753 0.4612

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 27 25.93% 13.81 -1.374 33.33% 0.067 0.0399
Blitz 0 312 36.54% 19.19 -6.191 43.27% -1.117 -0.8666
Dahan Insurrection 4 366 26.23% 50.25 7.654 69.4% 0.513 0.2643
Despicable Theft 2 157 41.4% 20.41 0.653 34.39% 0.105 0.5666
Elemental Invocation 1 190 50.0% 20.69 -0.743 40.0% 0.054 0.7572
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 678 22.49% 33.34 2.416 67.26% 0.076 -0.4769
Powers Long Forgotten 1 229 46.72% 21.42 -3.309 40.17% -0.548 0.0759
Rituals of Terror 3 134 53.73% 29.35 -6.789 43.28% -1.334 -1.1413
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 98 66.33% 27.81 -7.985 39.8% -0.754 0.168
Second Wave 0 955 51.79% 29.47 2.948 61.47% 0.273 0.3902
The Great River 3 103 58.25% 19.5 -5.134 25.24% -0.468 0.5998
Varied Terrains 2 100 41.0% 21.62 0.087 39.0% 0.131 0.872
Ward the Shores 2 225 45.33% 24.72 -0.998 44.0% -0.077 1.0071

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10617 44.05% 26.76 0.047 62.45% 0.142 0.6688
1 Thematic 1415 47.63% 27.05 -0.381 47.84% -0.065 0.7889
2 Archipelago 9 44.44% 37.78 0.0 77.78%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2280 47.12% 25.45 0.55 61.71% 0.35 0.6274
2 Coastline 302 45.85% 26.13 -7.181 62.58% -1.006 -0.9031
2 Fragment 75 58.67% 27.53 3.484 68.0% 1.074 1.0873
2 Heart 28 53.57% 23.86 0.0 53.57%
2 Opposite Shores 463 48.15% 27.36 -0.712 65.87% -0.266 0.0704
2 Thematic 424 47.88% 23.49 -3.971 45.75% -0.137 0.5522
2 Top to Top 64 53.13% 33.45 1.868 85.94% 0.355 0.5971
3 Archipelago 11 81.82% 35.18 0.0 36.36%
3 Coastline 15 66.67% 35.67 3.964 60.0% -0.159 -0.4993
3 Other 24 62.5% 32.13 0.0 87.5%
3 Round (Default) 993 37.64% 29.87 0.043 70.39% -0.371 -0.3653
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 104 52.88% 26.31 -2.653 51.92% -0.323 -0.2388
4 Archipelago 10 50.0% 40.5 0.0 90.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 23.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 26.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 27 51.85% 33.78 0.0 85.19%
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 95 53.68% 35.49 -6.951 70.53% -0.594 -0.326
4 Trapezoid (Default) 365 40.93% 31.72 4.809 75.07% 1.331 1.4947
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 80.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 43 33.33% 42.3 8.569 76.74% 0.028 -0.3584
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 20.75 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 17 47.06% 42.35 0.0 76.47%
6 Star 3 33.33% 13.33 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 15 53.33% 32.4 -2.138 46.67% -0.031 0.0724
6 Two Centers (Default) 53 24.53% 42.34 -3.26 77.36% -0.865 -0.2999
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 523 23.86 2.038 48.95% -0.024 0.2253
Aid From Lesser Spirits 431 26.76 2.786 58.24% 0.271 0.1525
All Things Weaken 586 23.11 0.746 47.61% 0.024 0.3616
Attenuated Essence 70 22.11 -4.465 47.14% -0.691 -0.6643
Back Against the Wall 416 24.12 1.573 47.36% 0.029 0.0301
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 107 20.7 -1.31 43.93% -0.658 -0.4405
Burn Brightest Before the End 78 24.79 2.258 50.0% 0.141 0.1222
Disintegrating Ecosystem 492 19.15 -2.625 39.02% -0.361 0.0326
Downward Spiral 572 23.94 4.178 53.32% 0.181 0.2889
Erosion of Will 479 23.64 0.688 51.98% -0.215 0.1368
Intensifying Exploitation 118 23.29 -2.404 56.78% -0.337 -0.0912
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 204 30.21 -5.971 73.53% -1.057 -1.5813
Memory Fades to Dust 614 24.02 1.3 54.72% -0.054 0.1938
Power Corrodes the Spirit 525 22.98 -2.456 49.71% -0.709 -0.4869
Promising Farmlands 495 22.43 -1.378 48.69% -0.22 0.0628
Shattered Fragments of Power 85 25.74 -1.273 52.94% -0.421 -0.3438
Slow Dissolution of Will 80 20.2 -2.095 40.0% -0.942 -0.5451
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 138 29.51 3.127 78.99% 0.378 -0.3174
The Border of Life and Death 22 24.41 -0.92 50.0% -0.064 -0.6647
Thriving Communities 573 21.82 -2.768 46.77% -0.708 -0.3511
Thriving Crops 51 24.27 2.828 56.86% 0.284 0.0876
Unnatural Proliferation 561 24.26 1.105 50.62% -0.208 -0.0458
Untended Land Crumbles 595 21.62 -0.502 47.73% -0.005 0.227

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3004 43.54% 27.24 -0.354 63.22% -0.251 0.7534
B 3091 44.63% 28.04 0.387 65.45% -0.005 0.9145
C 3176 43.22% 28.1 -0.293 65.9% -0.002 0.7329
D 2965 44.12% 27.8 0.037 64.59% 0.033 1.011
E 2811 42.97% 28.0 0.142 65.35% -0.06 0.7595
F 2770 44.09% 27.44 1.37 64.8% 0.277 1.1502
G 2332 44.27% 28.05 1.739 65.69% 0.331 1.1399
H 2424 44.75% 27.83 0.577 65.14% 0.041 0.8561
East 1209 48.76% 27.48 -1.049 49.38% -0.839 0.0635
Northeast 478 51.57% 29.94 -3.93 55.23% -0.863 -0.0554
Northwest 455 46.04% 26.91 -0.049 49.89% -0.035 0.8651
Southeast 448 48.88% 25.89 -1.271 48.88% -0.697 0.1531
Southwest 457 50.33% 21.63 -4.198 43.11% -0.866 0.5093
West 1201 47.58% 25.89 -2.59 48.21% -0.566 0.3885

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 28 0.0% 30.71 0.0 57.14%
Not Using Events or Tokens 53 35.85% 13.98 0.0 20.75%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 308 15.82% 41.99 4.569 86.36% 0.117 -0.4675
Start of Game Growth 447 17.93% 40.22 7.32 83.0% 0.715 0.2012
Unlimited Undo 1364 37.11% 28.14 0.361 65.1% -0.133 -0.2425
Using Tokens but Not Events 1429 36.33% 30.02 0.512 68.23% 0.153 0.127

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4321 13.33 6.94%
II 5640 30.1 67.22%
III 5786 34.83 86.1%
IV 1734 38.67 99.65%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.48 Win Model: 0.312
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12274 44.38% 26.56 59.96%
2 3484 48.36% 26.53 63.46%
3 1116 39.77% 29.76 69.35%
4 482 43.24% 33.82 76.56%
5 50 28.57% 46.94 74.0%
6 75 38.67% 30.37 66.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 299
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4848
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3519
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1712
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2806
Lose: Invader deck ran out 100
Lose: Adversary condition 1474
Win: Sacrifice victory 70
Lose: Scenario condition 97
Win: Scenario condition 353
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2057
Lose: Spirit destroyed 146

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 882 34.55% 35.7 -1.575 74.04% -0.3 -0.4052
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 71 30.99% 31.06 1.365 66.2% 0.274 -0.2058
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 627 52.47% 33.86 -0.659 72.09% -0.074 0.052
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 137 27.74% 39.49 7.741 82.48% 1.58 0.7329
Dances Up Earthquakes 52 44.23% 30.67 1.252 63.46% 0.088 0.1243
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 862 39.19% 35.39 4.476 75.87% 0.765 0.6284
Downpour Drenches the World 411 35.77% 30.96 0.432 64.72% -0.1 0.1069
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 453 29.58% 32.6 6.557 70.2% 1.251 0.6405
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1244 28.88% 39.02 3.613 82.32% 0.647 0.2719
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 662 34.74% 35.54 -1.051 75.38% 0.026 -0.364
Finder of Paths Unseen 189 50.26% 22.16 -6.099 43.39% -0.668 0.0512
Fractured Days Split the Sky 495 44.85% 32.33 -4.529 59.8% -0.818 -0.2074
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 709 49.08% 30.57 0.041 62.91% 0.323 0.2232
Heart of the Wildfire 895 64.36% 31.27 -3.736 64.25% -0.598 -0.2612
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1871 38.54% 36.65 2.002 78.19% 0.44 0.0097
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 127 23.62% 33.41 3.317 70.87% 0.856 0.5409
Lightning's Swift Strike 392 54.5% 32.91 -2.374 68.37% -0.394 -0.164
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 121 50.41% 34.87 -1.848 71.07% -0.29 -0.7345
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 275 48.18% 33.14 1.286 68.0% 0.094 -0.2167
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 218 44.04% 34.71 -6.309 66.97% -0.711 -0.8535
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2271 38.32% 38.81 3.766 83.4% 0.783 0.5547
Many Minds Move as One 1696 28.66% 38.29 0.306 84.2% 0.069 -0.1735
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1112 46.03% 35.85 -5.448 70.68% -0.965 -0.8562
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 110 62.73% 22.95 -1.41 47.27% -0.337 -0.2184
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 798 41.85% 35.21 -0.499 75.94% -0.104 -0.1503
River Surges in Sunlight 779 43.87% 39.81 4.184 78.43% 0.478 0.6081
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 58 46.55% 31.71 4.832 60.34% 0.891 1.0662
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 339 53.39% 33.62 -4.008 66.08% -0.649 -0.3506
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 218 34.88% 37.67 -1.732 67.89% -0.341 -0.425
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 818 44.74% 34.14 -1.727 72.98% -0.121 -0.2326
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 16 37.5% 28.69 0.023 62.5% 0.15 0.0325
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 288 57.29% 31.68 12.453 64.93% 0.772 1.2666
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 59 61.02% 25.17 -5.997 45.76% -0.699 -0.7501
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 138 47.1% 35.51 1.676 71.01% 0.189 -0.3219
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 72 44.44% 31.68 8.567 66.67% 0.728 0.6003
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 225 49.33% 34.75 5.508 72.0% 0.781 0.7931
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 170 60.0% 32.9 -1.459 70.0% -0.359 -0.2239
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1354 34.69% 37.39 -0.181 80.72% -0.179 -0.1305
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 325 31.38% 31.3 -2.821 64.0% -0.641 -0.856
Shifting Memory of Ages 498 51.41% 29.4 -5.372 60.84% -1.324 -1.0293
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 60 38.33% 29.48 2.267 60.0% 0.304 0.1853
Shroud of Silent Mist 590 54.92% 28.56 -0.387 59.83% -0.076 0.2518
Starlight Seeks its Form 701 37.52% 33.91 1.19 70.33% 0.171 0.072
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1123 35.29% 32.2 -1.692 69.99% -0.138 -0.6688
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 987 33.91% 36.67 -3.742 77.1% -0.719 -0.6421
Thunderspeaker 708 42.27% 37.4 -0.211 73.59% -0.103 -0.0664
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 106 33.02% 19.6 0.454 39.62% 0.041 0.0992
Towering Roots of the Jungle 236 41.95% 31.3 0.968 67.37% 0.171 0.3203
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 708 66.95% 31.0 -1.437 67.09% 0.035 0.1812
Vital Strength of the Earth 412 41.26% 31.88 3.304 66.75% 0.176 0.7442
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 112 36.61% 30.73 0.75 64.29% 0.338 0.8594
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 258 48.06% 28.12 -6.753 60.08% -1.093 -0.3519
Volcano Looming High 816 51.17% 30.53 -0.989 65.07% -0.088 -0.0737
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 240 34.17% 28.23 1.062 58.33% -0.135 -0.4274

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 24 12.5% 12.46 -8.255 29.17% -0.629 -0.6563
Blitz 0 378 37.04% 28.89 -4.28 53.17% -0.607 -0.3564
Dahan Insurrection 4 284 23.59% 59.54 13.111 78.17% 0.711 0.4625
Despicable Theft 2 95 50.53% 29.29 -10.342 44.21% -0.568 -0.106
Elemental Invocation 1 210 44.76% 24.07 -8.575 45.71% -0.994 -0.2912
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 850 24.0% 39.52 -4.445 75.06% -0.969 -1.5217
Powers Long Forgotten 1 190 47.37% 26.82 -7.517 46.84% -1.24 -0.6164
Rituals of Terror 3 108 50.0% 28.94 -12.441 38.89% -0.386 -0.1928
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 89 57.3% 24.9 -0.79 32.58% -0.381 0.5417
Second Wave 0 575 49.83% 35.26 -0.769 68.52% -0.242 -0.1245
The Great River 3 106 45.28% 25.56 -7.606 34.91% -1.001 0.0673
Varied Terrains 2 66 57.58% 27.52 -2.572 45.45% -0.265 0.4759
Ward the Shores 2 150 49.33% 33.33 -0.838 53.33% -0.533 0.5506

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11987 44.14% 33.02 -0.116 70.08% -0.067 0.4597
1 Thematic 1156 45.67% 29.77 -2.814 50.95% -0.793 0.0615
2 Archipelago 24 41.67% 36.83 9.981 58.33% 0.57 1.6252
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2755 43.59% 33.74 0.397 74.7% 0.045 0.323
2 Coastline 297 43.92% 35.37 -2.224 78.11% -0.212 -0.1095
2 Fragment 59 50.85% 34.97 0.0 76.27%
2 Heart 40 55.0% 36.63 9.881 75.0% 0.604 0.7157
2 Opposite Shores 476 39.58% 33.47 6.23 73.11% 0.819 1.1558
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 619 38.61% 35.53 0.111 68.98% -0.244 0.4457
2 Top to Top 69 34.78% 38.09 6.045 82.61% 0.204 0.4463
3 Archipelago 9 77.78% 34.33 0.0 33.33%
3 Coastline 19 73.68% 46.58 16.473 94.74% 0.498 0.1573
3 Other 36 50.0% 32.61 -9.507 69.44% -0.268 -0.8705
3 Round (Default) 1119 39.71% 35.5 -0.2 76.5% -0.053 -0.0472
3 Sunrise 5 0.0% 41.4 4.108 100.0% 0.208 0.1469
3 Thematic 110 36.36% 35.92 -6.945 67.27% -0.914 -0.8299
4 Archipelago 13 53.85% 36.15 0.0 38.46%
4 Coastline 8 62.5% 55.25 0.0 62.5%
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 43.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 19 63.16% 33.47 0.525 73.68% 0.302 -0.3174
4 Thematic 178 20.79% 53.92 12.617 86.52% 1.265 1.5324
4 Trapezoid (Default) 466 29.25% 38.63 1.041 84.55% -0.233 -0.0689
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 56 51.85% 35.75 -13.625 71.43% -0.535 -0.9208
5 Thematic 4 25.0% 44.5 13.304 75.0% 0.188 -0.6093
6 Archipelago 5 0.0% 40.8 0.0 80.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 58.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 7 28.57% 40.0 -11.007 57.14% -0.592 -0.6221
6 Star 8 37.5% 40.38 13.705 75.0% 0.307 0.2901
6 Thematic 30 43.33% 39.8 -3.747 66.67% -0.548 -0.445
6 Two Centers (Default) 46 34.78% 30.11 -4.218 60.87% -0.53 0.0346
7 Other 2 0.0% 48.0 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 592 30.21 1.582 61.49% 0.248 0.497
Aid From Lesser Spirits 440 31.36 3.23 62.05% 0.195 0.0771
All Things Weaken 647 29.44 -0.486 58.27% -0.042 0.2953
Attenuated Essence 105 27.6 -0.964 56.19% -0.058 -0.0312
Back Against the Wall 496 31.18 1.192 61.9% 0.154 0.1546
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 95 25.46 -0.472 49.47% -0.122 0.0954
Burn Brightest Before the End 82 33.46 1.046 63.41% -0.024 -0.0426
Disintegrating Ecosystem 514 26.58 -5.796 51.36% -1.321 -0.9282
Downward Spiral 592 31.15 1.621 66.22% 0.106 0.2141
Erosion of Will 542 29.11 -2.085 57.56% -0.414 -0.0616
Intensifying Exploitation 123 26.43 -1.185 55.28% -0.34 -0.0949
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 255 35.75 0.966 80.39% 0.127 -0.3975
Memory Fades to Dust 576 30.23 -1.696 63.37% -0.329 -0.0811
Power Corrodes the Spirit 552 29.09 0.084 59.78% 0.063 0.2846
Promising Farmlands 540 28.83 5.191 60.19% 0.784 1.0665
Shattered Fragments of Power 77 26.78 -0.641 51.95% -0.169 -0.0924
Slow Dissolution of Will 97 29.18 1.139 56.7% 0.053 0.4503
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 188 36.33 5.697 84.04% 0.955 0.2593
The Border of Life and Death 34 35.35 -0.226 76.47% 0.042 -0.5589
Thriving Communities 632 29.31 -0.318 61.55% -0.199 0.1571
Thriving Crops 61 35.9 7.222 77.05% 1.479 1.2829
Unnatural Proliferation 620 30.32 -1.802 60.16% -0.608 -0.4455
Untended Land Crumbles 594 29.52 4.137 61.78% 0.621 0.8528

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3360 43.34% 33.47 0.197 71.9% -0.303 0.7018
B 3456 43.81% 34.43 0.155 74.74% -0.159 0.7606
C 3595 40.45% 34.54 0.407 73.88% -0.142 0.5928
D 3330 43.1% 33.55 -2.112 71.14% -0.728 0.2505
E 3336 41.93% 34.66 0.626 73.68% -0.165 0.6551
F 3165 42.49% 34.28 0.25 74.03% -0.339 0.5351
G 2687 43.12% 33.34 1.745 71.49% 0.21 1.0195
H 2849 39.78% 34.67 -0.48 74.66% -0.514 0.3008
East 1372 37.68% 37.22 2.329 65.96% 0.189 1.0919
Northeast 697 38.02% 39.69 -1.863 70.44% -0.544 0.2641
Northwest 626 36.9% 37.7 1.42 66.29% -0.11 0.7896
Southeast 446 34.08% 35.64 -0.382 64.8% -0.194 0.6567
Southwest 443 41.31% 30.45 -1.438 57.79% -0.481 0.8942
West 1318 40.82% 34.03 0.273 60.62% -0.172 0.7835

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 16 0.0% 51.5 -0.766 87.5% -0.154 0.5543
Not Using Events or Tokens 18 33.33% 13.83 -13.764 27.78% -1.077 -0.7093
Skip Initial Invader Actions 284 11.15% 48.45 5.356 82.75% 0.238 -0.3468
Start of Game Growth 441 15.9% 45.82 -1.942 82.31% -0.513 -1.0273
Unlimited Undo 1540 32.96% 32.21 -1.495 65.78% -0.377 -0.4868
Using Tokens but Not Events 1295 39.41% 31.75 -0.574 68.57% -0.108 -0.1334

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3349 13.33 0.24%
II 4388 30.1 64.02%
III 8028 34.83 89.61%
IV 3875 38.67 99.66%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.609 Win Model: 0.395
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13323 44.25% 32.62 68.04%
2 4236 42.89% 34.61 75.05%
3 1260 39.4% 35.93 76.43%
4 680 28.91% 42.48 84.12%
5 47 52.17% 34.09 65.96%
6 94 32.26% 36.36 67.02%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 8
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7015
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2621
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3838
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2429
Lose: Invader deck ran out 41
Lose: Adversary condition 1308
Win: Sacrifice victory 90
Lose: Scenario condition 117
Win: Scenario condition 301
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1737
Lose: Spirit destroyed 135

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 917 51.32% 32.85 -2.592 53.0% -0.52 -0.6259
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 104 46.15% 35.81 1.417 55.77% 0.208 -0.2716
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 605 72.59% 33.15 -5.25 50.58% -0.492 -0.3669
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 182 52.2% 40.46 4.256 66.48% 0.783 -0.0638
Dances Up Earthquakes 61 52.46% 34.69 1.796 57.38% 0.413 0.4494
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 840 59.0% 35.92 -3.255 57.5% -0.675 -0.8116
Downpour Drenches the World 447 51.12% 28.2 2.413 45.64% 0.505 0.7118
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 569 53.6% 32.08 0.36 53.95% 0.167 -0.4436
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1169 50.13% 39.92 -3.703 65.61% -0.528 -0.9033
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 491 61.43% 34.52 1.942 52.95% 0.335 -0.0555
Finder of Paths Unseen 172 54.65% 21.53 -9.567 29.07% -1.959 -1.2398
Fractured Days Split the Sky 497 62.78% 31.19 -1.85 42.66% -0.483 0.128
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 664 62.65% 31.36 -2.027 48.34% -0.27 -0.37
Heart of the Wildfire 930 76.96% 28.84 -0.448 42.58% 0.063 0.3997
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2514 53.51% 38.42 2.743 63.01% 0.544 0.1136
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 225 50.22% 32.4 0.074 53.78% 0.245 -0.0693
Lightning's Swift Strike 366 74.44% 34.05 -4.369 48.91% -0.082 0.1475
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 197 64.8% 37.11 3.252 62.44% 0.233 -0.211
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 270 65.19% 37.97 1.521 63.33% 0.373 0.0622
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 226 58.85% 34.53 -6.536 51.77% -0.681 -0.8239
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3601 49.16% 42.2 4.706 73.09% 0.921 0.6929
Many Minds Move as One 1749 49.74% 41.54 2.903 71.64% 0.681 0.4382
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1118 63.09% 33.14 -4.365 49.64% -0.668 -0.5584
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 125 57.6% 23.1 -1.907 33.6% -0.289 -0.1703
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 719 64.48% 36.5 1.218 58.28% 0.27 0.2234
River Surges in Sunlight 763 71.35% 35.93 0.215 50.59% 0.096 0.2263
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 92 47.83% 34.24 -2.587 52.17% -0.445 -0.2691
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 297 74.75% 28.26 -6.355 35.35% -0.962 -0.6643
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 242 51.65% 29.6 -7.058 43.39% -1.249 -1.3331
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 795 64.28% 35.15 2.071 55.09% 0.48 0.3684
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 32 46.88% 31.16 0.066 46.88% 0.232 0.114
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 253 81.82% 31.08 6.46 42.29% 0.969 1.4638
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 66 54.55% 33.89 7.79 54.55% 0.564 0.5125
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 229 51.97% 35.13 0.719 55.46% 0.104 -0.4065
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 87 66.67% 34.03 11.07 55.17% 1.185 1.0571
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 218 71.1% 35.83 0.238 55.96% 0.131 0.1429
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 200 78.5% 33.76 -7.274 51.0% -0.5 -0.3647
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1549 48.77% 40.99 0.767 69.34% 0.267 0.3156
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 311 48.87% 33.44 1.072 55.95% 0.154 -0.0609
Shifting Memory of Ages 476 66.39% 30.29 -2.033 47.06% -0.37 -0.0759
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 99 56.57% 32.09 5.611 53.54% 0.839 0.7206
Shroud of Silent Mist 575 68.48% 31.07 2.39 48.35% 0.407 0.7347
Starlight Seeks its Form 1046 55.07% 33.12 -0.622 53.73% 0.123 0.0242
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1468 52.12% 32.08 -2.224 50.61% -0.336 -0.8667
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1071 56.43% 37.49 -0.085 62.75% -0.014 0.0634
Thunderspeaker 709 64.31% 33.73 -3.407 48.94% -0.432 -0.3955
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 89 53.93% 20.38 -6.588 29.21% -0.829 -0.7707
Towering Roots of the Jungle 247 56.68% 30.98 0.684 52.63% 0.322 0.4712
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 821 82.95% 30.44 -4.841 45.8% -1.152 -1.006
Vital Strength of the Earth 348 67.15% 28.65 -0.694 39.94% 0.075 0.6429
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 152 63.82% 23.78 -3.932 32.89% -0.439 0.0818
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 280 63.21% 27.5 4.556 41.07% 0.573 1.3144
Volcano Looming High 924 67.71% 33.33 4.075 54.33% 0.924 0.9387
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 286 56.64% 28.34 0.804 44.41% 0.008 -0.2837

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 11 9.09% 24.18 -14.363 45.45% -0.447 -0.4741
Blitz 0 239 46.86% 34.25 -7.781 36.4% -0.827 -0.5771
Dahan Insurrection 4 157 43.31% 52.14 7.993 56.05% 0.162 -0.0872
Despicable Theft 2 48 43.75% 28.98 -9.048 35.42% -0.302 0.1596
Elemental Invocation 1 131 61.83% 27.34 -3.63 35.88% -0.631 0.0714
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 997 34.8% 45.54 3.695 72.12% 0.271 -0.2815
Powers Long Forgotten 1 115 46.96% 26.31 -6.776 33.04% -0.587 0.0361
Rituals of Terror 3 58 63.79% 28.64 -13.79 22.41% -0.554 -0.3614
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 44 47.73% 20.0 -0.92 18.18% -0.161 0.7612
Second Wave 0 389 67.53% 34.77 2.654 48.07% 0.262 0.3794
The Great River 3 61 57.38% 34.21 -12.084 40.98% -0.528 0.54
Varied Terrains 2 31 35.48% 15.77 0.441 22.58% -0.334 0.4068
Ward the Shores 2 86 60.47% 31.0 -1.046 37.21% 0.128 1.2113

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 14613 57.18% 34.6 -0.546 55.33% -0.487 0.0392
1 Thematic 827 61.31% 31.95 -1.226 39.78% -0.657 0.1969
2 Archipelago 15 73.33% 38.4 0.0 46.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3256 62.06% 34.72 0.067 57.59% -0.18 0.0974
2 Coastline 360 58.06% 37.14 -4.43 60.0% -0.683 -0.5806
2 Fragment 89 66.29% 37.44 3.641 57.3% 0.772 0.7854
2 Heart 53 50.94% 45.19 7.662 73.58% 0.698 0.809
2 Opposite Shores 611 62.46% 34.52 -1.806 54.83% -0.722 -0.3855
2 Thematic 248 64.11% 32.91 -1.053 43.55% -0.387 0.3029
2 Top to Top 103 58.25% 41.29 6.397 70.87% 1.018 1.2601
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 48.83 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 9 66.67% 46.22 0.0 66.67%
3 Other 73 47.95% 23.9 -2.502 38.36% 0.023 -0.5792
3 Round (Default) 1378 59.99% 37.49 2.856 61.1% 0.301 0.3073
3 Sunrise 48 12.5% 8.46 0.0 12.5%
3 Thematic 58 65.52% 38.74 3.015 56.9% 0.258 0.3421
4 Archipelago 3 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 4 25.0% 44.25 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 5 40.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 25 64.0% 44.24 13.37 80.0% 0.811 0.1917
4 Thematic 66 63.64% 43.03 3.908 57.58% 0.092 0.3596
4 Trapezoid (Default) 415 60.39% 40.58 -1.844 69.4% -0.217 -0.0524
5 Other 55 53.06% 33.45 -0.228 47.27% -0.197 -0.5831
5 Thematic 7 42.86% 10.29 -6.341 14.29% -0.049 -0.8461
6 Archipelago 2 100.0% 55.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -7.746 0.0% -0.142 -0.9792
6 Other 25 4.35% 49.04 -6.834 80.0% -0.316 -0.3463
6 Star 8 50.0% 30.0 -13.484 37.5% -0.23 -0.2472
6 Thematic 16 56.25% 28.56 -1.849 37.5% -0.056 0.0469
6 Two Centers (Default) 49 42.86% 32.59 -5.563 53.06% 0.005 0.57
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 847 32.01 -0.79 46.99% -0.574 -0.3248
Aid From Lesser Spirits 757 33.98 1.819 47.42% -0.03 -0.1483
All Things Weaken 915 29.8 1.459 42.51% 0.006 0.3429
Attenuated Essence 206 28.9 -0.21 42.72% -0.273 -0.2465
Back Against the Wall 667 31.78 1.103 43.93% -0.378 -0.3766
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 157 31.64 0.874 45.22% -0.377 -0.1595
Burn Brightest Before the End 147 30.58 3.567 43.54% -0.085 -0.1037
Disintegrating Ecosystem 885 26.91 -2.755 35.82% -0.777 -0.3838
Downward Spiral 966 30.66 -0.271 46.48% -0.267 -0.1586
Erosion of Will 882 30.35 -2.646 42.4% -0.984 -0.6321
Intensifying Exploitation 189 27.04 0.954 41.8% -0.201 0.0448
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 287 39.0 -3.331 69.69% -0.318 -0.8422
Memory Fades to Dust 885 30.46 -1.078 45.54% -0.08 0.1677
Power Corrodes the Spirit 884 29.7 2.302 43.67% 0.307 0.5288
Promising Farmlands 834 28.73 0.452 40.77% -0.25 0.0332
Shattered Fragments of Power 143 29.07 2.531 37.06% 0.191 0.2675
Slow Dissolution of Will 193 26.1 -0.649 36.27% 0.078 0.4755
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 200 41.15 5.819 74.5% 0.757 0.062
The Border of Life and Death 54 29.65 9.778 50.0% 0.887 0.2857
Thriving Communities 998 31.56 0.618 49.6% -0.016 0.3406
Thriving Crops 66 28.3 4.513 45.45% 0.619 0.4231
Unnatural Proliferation 976 30.54 1.131 41.8% -0.252 -0.0894
Untended Land Crumbles 936 30.04 0.595 44.34% -0.155 0.0766

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4083 59.45% 34.78 -0.018 56.36% -0.067 0.9375
B 4145 58.79% 35.59 1.565 58.14% 0.284 1.2036
C 4487 56.39% 35.94 -0.407 58.37% -0.231 0.5038
D 3933 57.85% 34.55 -0.753 55.94% -0.113 0.8647
E 4207 56.85% 35.67 -0.518 58.0% -0.344 0.4756
F 3631 60.2% 35.53 0.477 57.67% 0.134 1.0075
G 3061 59.1% 35.09 -0.498 56.84% -0.228 0.5809
H 3274 58.81% 36.11 1.355 58.25% 0.152 0.9665
East 767 60.89% 33.98 2.319 42.76% -0.109 0.7939
Northeast 317 61.2% 33.89 -0.723 41.32% -0.481 0.3274
Northwest 280 57.86% 32.76 0.907 43.21% 0.352 1.2518
Southeast 290 60.34% 33.47 -5.24 44.48% -0.838 0.0124
Southwest 239 61.51% 32.26 0.286 46.86% 0.228 1.6034
West 679 62.15% 32.59 0.303 43.3% -0.022 0.9334

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 28 0.0% 57.43 0.0 75.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 5 100.0% 20.8 0.0 20.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 365 16.29% 59.68 1.925 85.75% 0.204 -0.3803
Start of Game Growth 504 22.9% 55.06 3.882 82.94% 0.659 0.1447
Unlimited Undo 1731 48.48% 39.95 0.446 64.01% 0.002 -0.1079
Using Tokens but Not Events 1059 57.13% 31.84 -0.547 50.71% -0.163 -0.1882

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4775 13.33 0.25%
II 7752 30.1 45.58%
III 6338 34.83 84.93%
IV 3575 38.67 99.58%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.243 Win Model: -0.183
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 15552 57.31% 34.41 54.38%
2 4661 62.33% 35.37 57.67%
3 1561 57.76% 36.02 58.42%
4 506 59.8% 41.23 68.77%
5 58 51.92% 31.55 44.83%
6 102 37.0% 35.6 55.88%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 11
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5298
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3436
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3535
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2991
Lose: Invader deck ran out 4
Lose: Adversary condition 2542
Win: Sacrifice victory 88
Lose: Scenario condition 121
Win: Scenario condition 120
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4082
Lose: Spirit destroyed 212

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 575 58.6% 39.62 4.48 58.61% 0.618 0.5123
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 50 52.0% 41.56 4.656 62.0% 0.563 0.083
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 380 71.96% 35.39 0.994 48.68% 0.258 0.3838
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 126 50.0% 39.9 4.529 60.32% 0.609 -0.2383
Dances Up Earthquakes 65 67.69% 33.94 7.765 41.54% 0.817 0.854
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 538 64.06% 39.79 -2.135 59.48% -0.309 -0.4453
Downpour Drenches the World 328 56.57% 29.15 -3.621 40.24% -0.568 -0.3619
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 565 42.48% 35.92 6.725 55.93% 1.153 0.5421
Eyes Watch From the Trees 833 51.8% 43.34 0.575 64.59% 0.087 -0.2888
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 348 55.46% 40.61 -5.919 56.32% -0.553 -0.9436
Finder of Paths Unseen 141 48.23% 24.33 -3.49 33.33% -0.294 0.4251
Fractured Days Split the Sky 402 58.85% 37.48 -2.753 47.76% -0.054 0.557
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 450 58.44% 38.86 1.484 56.44% 0.513 0.4135
Heart of the Wildfire 621 71.61% 33.55 -4.092 48.31% -0.57 -0.2331
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2170 48.29% 44.69 3.471 71.15% 0.674 0.2437
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 167 49.1% 34.64 1.354 50.9% 0.544 0.2296
Lightning's Swift Strike 225 70.32% 37.92 -2.762 50.67% -0.521 -0.2914
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 268 56.93% 49.0 7.536 65.3% 0.914 0.47
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 212 58.29% 41.28 -1.359 60.38% -0.265 -0.5759
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 177 50.28% 38.37 -0.914 55.93% -0.398 -0.541
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3109 45.06% 48.35 4.962 76.65% 0.825 0.5974
Many Minds Move as One 1285 48.56% 46.6 -1.046 73.39% -0.06 -0.3029
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 768 64.47% 36.25 -1.791 50.26% -0.243 -0.1344
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 115 66.96% 18.64 -5.289 20.0% -0.673 -0.5549
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 570 67.61% 36.87 -4.314 52.81% -0.545 -0.5909
River Surges in Sunlight 597 67.74% 38.76 -2.036 52.09% -0.285 -0.1544
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 56 51.79% 31.18 3.455 44.64% 0.302 0.4779
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 220 65.45% 34.22 -1.787 41.36% 0.048 0.3456
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 191 56.54% 37.3 0.069 47.64% -0.021 -0.105
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 637 61.38% 37.41 -1.859 52.43% -0.247 -0.3585
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 26 53.85% 36.46 -2.168 53.85% -0.332 -0.4504
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 148 75.51% 35.55 -1.804 45.95% 0.133 0.6279
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 40 62.5% 41.73 2.118 60.0% -0.086 -0.1369
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 194 53.61% 41.15 2.236 62.37% 0.108 -0.4027
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 50 54.0% 32.1 -10.685 40.0% -0.747 -0.8746
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 170 71.18% 35.61 -3.463 47.06% -0.609 -0.5977
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 135 74.81% 37.1 5.781 49.63% 0.363 0.499
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1613 41.85% 49.86 4.471 77.68% 0.743 0.7913
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 262 44.66% 35.58 0.68 51.91% 0.112 -0.1026
Shifting Memory of Ages 338 66.86% 37.26 0.159 54.14% 0.358 0.6519
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 54 53.7% 29.06 -6.889 42.59% -0.912 -1.0303
Shroud of Silent Mist 368 70.28% 33.88 -7.042 46.2% -1.192 -0.8647
Starlight Seeks its Form 822 56.2% 36.47 -3.625 54.74% -0.205 -0.304
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1033 53.93% 38.83 1.738 56.53% 0.434 -0.096
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 963 58.58% 41.06 4.32 62.82% 0.935 1.0121
Thunderspeaker 451 64.89% 37.88 -0.814 52.33% -0.071 -0.0349
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 81 53.09% 23.75 -6.22 29.63% -0.669 -0.6103
Towering Roots of the Jungle 228 52.63% 39.12 6.927 60.53% 1.466 1.616
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 769 81.66% 36.58 -0.907 53.71% -0.091 0.0553
Vital Strength of the Earth 227 74.22% 29.84 -6.638 34.36% -0.395 0.1731
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 107 61.32% 27.96 -6.454 38.32% -0.609 -0.0884
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 163 71.78% 32.78 -11.159 45.4% -0.759 -0.0172
Volcano Looming High 780 65.98% 35.5 -1.257 51.03% -0.259 -0.2441
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 218 58.26% 30.57 -0.261 44.95% 0.021 -0.2707

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 12 58.33% 20.5 -0.281 25.0% 0.124 0.0972
Blitz 0 107 61.68% 21.47 -15.397 20.56% -1.169 -0.9187
Dahan Insurrection 4 81 38.27% 62.4 0.0 60.49%
Despicable Theft 2 44 54.55% 27.2 -11.135 29.55% -0.527 -0.0649
Elemental Invocation 1 74 48.65% 37.41 13.203 55.41% 1.016 1.7193
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 815 26.5% 51.32 6.154 71.78% 0.446 -0.107
Powers Long Forgotten 1 40 52.5% 22.15 -17.813 20.0% -0.843 -0.2198
Rituals of Terror 3 68 55.88% 26.47 -8.265 25.0% -1.368 -1.1753
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 35 65.71% 23.8 -2.511 14.29% -0.71 0.2125
Second Wave 0 225 59.19% 45.33 5.347 59.56% 0.447 0.5639
The Great River 3 45 48.89% 19.22 -0.715 13.33% -0.359 0.7086
Varied Terrains 2 33 51.52% 21.3 -1.47 24.24% -0.108 0.633
Ward the Shores 2 40 57.5% 21.88 -15.155 20.0% -0.384 0.7001

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11720 55.8% 39.24 -0.401 58.03% 0.347 0.8739
1 Thematic 463 54.01% 32.72 -2.317 39.52% 0.108 0.962
2 Archipelago 5 40.0% 70.8 0.0 100.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2379 61.66% 39.71 0.94 59.77% 0.396 0.6742
2 Coastline 277 63.18% 39.99 -1.987 61.01% -0.278 -0.1755
2 Fragment 35 74.29% 42.26 -2.726 62.86% -0.46 -0.4475
2 Heart 38 78.95% 42.34 -11.875 55.26% -0.14 -0.0286
2 Opposite Shores 551 47.19% 44.14 -2.078 70.78% -0.14 0.1962
2 Thematic 125 68.8% 39.19 5.932 48.8% 0.218 0.9074
2 Top to Top 136 41.18% 44.1 -1.237 71.32% -0.1 0.1421
3 Archipelago 8 75.0% 44.75 0.0 62.5%
3 Coastline 14 42.86% 56.0 0.0 85.71%
3 Other 19 47.37% 44.95 0.387 73.68% -0.021 -0.6233
3 Round (Default) 1118 58.78% 40.74 1.585 62.88% 0.366 0.3718
3 Sunrise 6 66.67% 31.67 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 51 64.71% 30.43 -16.99 37.25% -0.227 -0.1421
4 Coastline 10 30.0% 47.4 0.0 70.0%
4 Leaf 6 100.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 12 75.0% 52.67 -0.044 91.67% -0.158 -0.777
4 Thematic 81 50.62% 52.1 -17.981 71.6% -0.386 -0.1184
4 Trapezoid (Default) 302 59.66% 45.65 1.841 69.21% -0.139 0.0252
5 Other 40 63.16% 37.02 2.313 55.0% 0.492 0.1059
5 Thematic 12 8.33% 28.25 0.0 25.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 7 57.14% 44.86 1.231 57.14% -0.019 -0.0498
6 Star 7 57.14% 43.29 0.0 57.14%
6 Thematic 48 4.17% 62.69 4.344 70.83% 0.121 0.224
6 Two Centers (Default) 46 30.43% 43.17 0.0 63.04%
7 Other 3 33.33% 10.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 692 34.58 -3.554 44.51% -0.859 -0.6091
Aid From Lesser Spirits 521 36.98 -3.365 48.56% -0.672 -0.7906
All Things Weaken 730 34.05 -3.418 44.93% -0.767 -0.4298
Attenuated Essence 149 28.23 -2.482 34.9% -0.44 -0.4133
Back Against the Wall 518 35.61 0.93 46.14% -0.114 -0.1127
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 149 29.14 -1.548 36.24% -0.543 -0.3256
Burn Brightest Before the End 105 34.61 1.79 41.9% -0.212 -0.2305
Disintegrating Ecosystem 643 29.7 -3.374 36.39% -0.64 -0.2473
Downward Spiral 678 33.5 -3.281 47.2% -0.802 -0.6934
Erosion of Will 659 35.22 4.428 46.89% 0.487 0.8391
Intensifying Exploitation 162 30.77 2.666 43.21% 0.155 0.401
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 213 48.17 4.608 80.28% 0.65 0.1254
Memory Fades to Dust 724 34.48 3.602 47.1% 0.483 0.7305
Power Corrodes the Spirit 731 34.34 -2.865 47.74% -0.615 -0.393
Promising Farmlands 633 32.4 -2.091 44.23% -0.382 -0.0986
Shattered Fragments of Power 99 34.14 3.643 44.44% 0.325 0.4014
Slow Dissolution of Will 142 30.23 -0.818 40.85% -0.251 0.1456
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 127 44.69 -5.615 74.02% -0.424 -1.1198
The Border of Life and Death 30 29.63 0.203 46.67% -0.259 -0.8596
Thriving Communities 705 35.33 -3.113 50.64% -0.665 -0.3089
Thriving Crops 55 34.13 -2.018 56.36% -0.176 -0.3721
Unnatural Proliferation 744 35.58 2.144 46.91% -0.122 0.0399
Untended Land Crumbles 675 33.56 -0.28 44.74% -0.129 0.1021

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2980 58.27% 39.82 -0.929 59.66% -0.104 0.9006
B 3435 55.59% 41.45 1.025 63.35% 0.257 1.1763
C 3519 56.47% 40.23 -0.139 60.16% 0.018 0.7527
D 3002 56.34% 38.99 1.276 58.33% 0.416 1.3939
E 3329 54.44% 41.75 0.232 63.53% 0.173 0.9928
F 2798 59.61% 39.25 0.939 58.58% 0.263 1.1367
G 2425 60.12% 39.63 1.064 58.97% 0.171 0.9799
H 2551 56.87% 40.56 -0.313 60.64% -0.101 0.7135
East 492 52.03% 41.03 1.931 49.19% 0.278 1.1803
Northeast 266 50.75% 42.5 -1.926 50.0% -0.455 0.3533
Northwest 256 48.03% 41.27 -3.559 49.22% -0.772 0.1282
Southeast 208 42.79% 46.33 -3.228 58.17% -0.704 0.1464
Southwest 205 40.0% 41.42 1.711 52.68% 0.339 1.7144
West 494 49.59% 37.5 3.002 46.56% 0.361 1.3155

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 28 0.0% 59.36 0.0 71.43%
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 33.33% 19.0 0.0 0.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 223 20.1% 57.78 0.0 82.96%
Start of Game Growth 552 26.64% 54.81 8.107 80.43% 0.65 0.1359
Unlimited Undo 1672 53.54% 42.98 1.963 65.79% 0.451 0.3412
Using Tokens but Not Events 711 52.56% 41.89 -1.79 62.87% -0.353 -0.3792

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3062 13.33 0.46%
II 6357 30.1 49.33%
III 5920 34.83 84.12%
IV 2189 38.67 99.77%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.548 Win Model: 0.055
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12232 55.76% 38.97 57.29%
2 3522 59.2% 40.74 61.87%
3 1208 58.96% 40.59 62.33%
4 413 56.75% 46.86 68.77%
5 41 55.0% 31.29 46.34%
6 112 22.32% 50.38 63.39%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 14
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4918
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3075
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2170
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2216
Lose: Invader deck ran out 6
Lose: Adversary condition 1511
Win: Sacrifice victory 80
Lose: Scenario condition 84
Win: Scenario condition 57
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3210
Lose: Spirit destroyed 187

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 378 72.94% 36.21 -3.214 34.13% -0.507 -0.6129
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 39 61.54% 27.59 -1.92 28.21% 0.021 -0.4593
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 197 79.7% 28.34 -3.917 16.24% -0.07 0.0553
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 110 59.09% 27.18 -9.541 24.55% -0.764 -1.6109
Dances Up Earthquakes 17 70.59% 34.18 1.498 41.18% 0.4 0.4364
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 296 73.99% 32.11 3.288 28.38% 0.476 0.3391
Downpour Drenches the World 194 54.12% 29.49 -3.649 30.41% 0.115 0.3217
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 334 64.37% 32.43 -1.614 34.73% -0.028 -0.6394
Eyes Watch From the Trees 636 67.4% 39.0 -4.174 38.52% -0.365 -0.7404
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 171 81.18% 28.32 -0.625 17.54% 0.666 0.2752
Finder of Paths Unseen 121 65.29% 29.53 -4.919 27.27% -0.888 -0.1686
Fractured Days Split the Sky 214 60.09% 38.93 -1.631 35.51% -0.286 0.3255
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 222 78.83% 33.74 -1.747 27.48% -0.067 -0.167
Heart of the Wildfire 379 81.0% 31.68 3.948 26.65% 0.638 0.9746
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1705 52.88% 45.09 4.932 55.84% 1.246 0.8159
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 78 58.97% 36.44 -3.75 41.03% -0.083 -0.3974
Lightning's Swift Strike 136 82.35% 33.43 -9.613 26.47% -0.483 -0.2533
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 101 66.34% 36.83 4.287 40.59% 0.417 -0.0275
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 123 74.8% 37.65 0.0 38.21%
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 74 63.51% 34.84 3.918 36.49% 0.504 0.362
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2420 56.1% 45.75 6.802 56.86% 1.394 1.1661
Many Minds Move as One 753 73.44% 40.05 -0.01 42.1% -0.082 -0.325
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 409 75.55% 31.96 -4.302 26.16% -0.317 -0.2084
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 54 68.52% 20.93 -6.43 14.81% -0.496 -0.3778
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 300 80.67% 33.12 0.107 27.67% 0.336 0.2902
River Surges in Sunlight 323 77.33% 39.3 1.904 35.91% 0.825 0.9552
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 30 66.67% 30.07 -9.497 20.0% -0.123 0.0525
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 113 78.76% 27.84 -2.147 18.58% -0.719 -0.4213
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 151 74.17% 39.03 2.871 40.4% 0.518 0.4347
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 348 73.56% 34.75 -2.777 29.02% -0.173 -0.2841
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 18 77.78% 31.28 -0.802 33.33% -0.142 -0.2603
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 84 82.14% 24.33 -10.948 9.52% -0.214 0.2806
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 15 73.33% 40.13 -12.579 46.67% -0.131 -0.1827
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 167 62.28% 39.86 3.238 46.71% 0.185 -0.3257
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 22 63.64% 29.77 -10.948 22.73% -0.214 -0.3418
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 81 85.19% 31.04 -2.763 18.52% -0.024 -0.012
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 71 91.55% 31.15 -0.668 19.72% -0.157 -0.0215
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 782 68.76% 45.4 1.141 50.64% 0.4 0.4483
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 153 52.94% 22.98 2.839 25.49% 0.507 0.2917
Shifting Memory of Ages 143 74.83% 34.34 -8.051 29.37% -0.697 -0.4023
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 22 77.27% 37.64 2.235 40.91% -0.111 -0.2289
Shroud of Silent Mist 175 85.71% 26.06 -9.123 14.29% -0.691 -0.363
Starlight Seeks its Form 531 73.26% 36.54 2.497 35.22% 0.723 0.6242
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 634 67.51% 33.97 -5.166 33.91% -0.655 -1.1854
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 583 72.21% 41.86 1.81 44.43% 0.682 0.7591
Thunderspeaker 271 79.93% 34.41 -3.078 24.35% -0.407 -0.3708
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 28 53.57% 14.71 -5.44 3.57% -0.616 -0.5578
Towering Roots of the Jungle 129 58.91% 29.53 2.278 32.56% 0.467 0.6168
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 484 89.67% 33.36 -3.12 29.13% -0.765 -0.6184
Vital Strength of the Earth 103 79.41% 32.62 -3.651 26.21% -0.64 -0.0722
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 72 68.06% 27.53 -2.659 22.22% 0.182 0.7028
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 120 84.17% 30.87 1.469 19.17% 0.252 0.9937
Volcano Looming High 316 72.47% 35.47 -4.255 36.08% -0.16 -0.1451
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 110 56.36% 31.84 -1.516 31.82% -0.033 -0.3249

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 25.0% 12.75 -0.314 12.5% -0.059 -0.0861
Blitz 0 48 60.42% 26.0 0.0 20.83%
Dahan Insurrection 4 95 47.37% 43.85 -8.544 25.26% -0.226 -0.4745
Despicable Theft 2 22 59.09% 34.27 -2.359 27.27% -0.013 0.4485
Elemental Invocation 1 61 67.21% 18.39 -11.439 6.56% -0.509 0.1935
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 655 30.84% 55.4 11.524 65.5% 1.503 0.9505
Powers Long Forgotten 1 39 71.79% 21.46 -2.653 7.69% -0.285 0.3383
Rituals of Terror 3 16 87.5% 31.94 0.0 12.5%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 6 50.0% 37.67 0.0 33.33%
Second Wave 0 124 74.19% 39.17 7.922 33.87% 1.008 1.125
The Great River 3 6 66.67% 30.83 0.0 16.67%
Varied Terrains 2 3 33.33% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 21 76.19% 30.05 -9.184 19.05% -0.188 0.8956

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7839 63.12% 40.08 1.883 44.14% 0.685 1.2119
1 Thematic 410 66.83% 33.58 -3.02 25.61% -0.221 0.6337
2 Archipelago 28 39.29% 27.43 -3.788 14.29% -0.025 1.0297
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1330 79.1% 36.05 0.084 33.08% 0.053 0.3306
2 Coastline 146 65.07% 46.0 -1.965 52.74% -0.128 -0.025
2 Fragment 35 94.29% 35.66 17.014 28.57% 0.394 0.4068
2 Heart 23 82.61% 37.65 0.0 43.48%
2 Opposite Shores 286 66.43% 32.3 -1.571 30.77% -0.457 -0.1202
2 Thematic 72 62.5% 29.56 -6.244 16.67% -0.297 0.393
2 Top to Top 103 42.72% 28.02 -12.398 33.01% -0.674 -0.4323
3 Archipelago 5 40.0% 22.8 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 57.75 20.019 62.5% 0.386 0.0459
3 Other 21 90.48% 43.24 0.0 33.33%
3 Round (Default) 598 72.91% 36.58 -0.975 39.46% 0.254 0.2595
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 23.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 21 57.14% 23.62 -6.219 19.05% -0.32 -0.2357
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 28.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 74.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 6 66.67% 38.5 23.772 33.33% 0.728 0.1086
4 Thematic 40 77.5% 37.77 0.0 27.5%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 199 81.22% 37.07 -3.401 37.19% -0.213 -0.0489
5 Other 24 54.17% 37.79 5.416 45.83% 0.349 -0.0371
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 72.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 1 0.0% 72.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 7 57.14% 21.0 4.194 14.29% -0.044 -0.0611
6 Thematic 10 40.0% 4.9 0.0 0.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 21 52.38% 36.29 0.373 23.81% -0.488 0.0768

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 530 35.22 0.984 27.92% -0.155 0.0947
Aid From Lesser Spirits 376 40.28 0.009 37.77% -0.427 -0.5453
All Things Weaken 530 34.73 -1.325 28.68% -0.228 0.109
Attenuated Essence 112 31.38 -0.182 28.57% -0.065 -0.0378
Back Against the Wall 371 34.82 2.115 26.68% -0.19 -0.1887
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 127 27.02 -2.847 20.47% -0.957 -0.7393
Burn Brightest Before the End 73 30.3 10.783 24.66% 0.616 0.5976
Disintegrating Ecosystem 481 29.44 -3.026 20.58% -0.679 -0.2863
Downward Spiral 552 34.62 -0.247 33.33% -0.168 -0.0595
Erosion of Will 507 33.27 -4.548 26.04% -0.956 -0.6036
Intensifying Exploitation 107 29.99 -2.97 25.23% -0.714 -0.4681
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 122 46.19 -4.368 59.84% -0.237 -0.7606
Memory Fades to Dust 551 33.56 3.441 28.31% -0.169 0.0782
Power Corrodes the Spirit 489 33.76 -0.95 28.02% -0.454 -0.2323
Promising Farmlands 505 31.14 0.122 24.55% -0.404 -0.1214
Shattered Fragments of Power 74 33.99 5.96 27.03% 0.869 0.9456
Slow Dissolution of Will 88 27.51 2.243 22.73% 0.176 0.573
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 79 46.8 -12.167 64.56% -0.076 -0.7717
The Border of Life and Death 11 28.45 0.0 36.36%
Thriving Communities 573 35.27 0.385 32.64% -0.301 0.0561
Thriving Crops 33 28.52 -11.303 30.3% -0.56 -0.756
Unnatural Proliferation 582 35.25 4.432 28.01% 0.511 0.673
Untended Land Crumbles 542 32.92 -9.497 25.83% -0.93 -0.6983

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1926 70.34% 37.98 0.488 39.36% 0.234 1.239
B 2077 67.49% 37.27 2.578 38.95% 0.69 1.6098
C 2240 65.43% 38.09 -0.216 40.63% -0.055 0.6793
D 1752 67.64% 36.22 -2.652 36.42% -0.419 0.5591
E 2268 65.81% 42.02 1.249 46.65% 0.335 1.1544
F 1627 67.71% 37.13 0.157 38.78% 0.156 1.0292
G 1365 72.27% 37.52 -1.577 38.32% 0.078 0.8874
H 1542 70.28% 38.59 1.212 39.62% 0.523 1.3378
East 341 64.22% 34.67 -4.983 26.69% -0.629 0.2737
Northeast 160 68.75% 33.96 -6.556 25.0% -0.155 0.6526
Northwest 151 64.24% 29.48 2.567 21.85% 0.873 1.7727
Southeast 119 56.3% 31.86 -8.576 28.57% -0.756 0.0949
Southwest 96 61.46% 25.64 -8.024 16.67% -0.512 0.8634
West 309 66.34% 29.44 -6.586 20.06% -0.595 0.3602

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 5 0.0% 38.6 0.0 40.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 252 14.8% 70.34 11.599 88.49% 0.775 0.1904
Start of Game Growth 492 27.55% 64.98 7.561 82.72% 0.446 -0.0678
Unlimited Undo 1201 61.87% 41.35 3.164 48.29% 0.431 0.3212
Using Tokens but Not Events 498 53.75% 45.42 0.15 55.02% 0.345 0.3198

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2000 13.33 2.0%
II 5962 30.1 35.26%
III 2479 34.83 66.88%
IV 802 38.67 99.75%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.176 Win Model: -0.155
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8300 63.14% 39.71 43.1%
2 1993 74.51% 35.63 33.52%
3 640 72.81% 36.25 38.28%
4 251 78.31% 37.75 37.45%
5 24 54.17% 31.0 33.33%
6 35 48.57% 31.0 22.86%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 40
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1628
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2063
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 795
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1683
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3
Lose: Adversary condition 1264
Win: Sacrifice victory 46
Lose: Scenario condition 77
Win: Scenario condition 28
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3495
Lose: Spirit destroyed 121

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2396 62.48% 45.32 -2.762 33.64% -0.006 -0.112
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 439 47.15% 33.89 5.573 27.11% 0.654 0.1741
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 975 80.6% 42.58 6.04 22.56% 0.64 0.7652
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 851 70.98% 33.64 0.166 29.14% 0.545 -0.3021
Dances Up Earthquakes 451 54.32% 36.34 -0.922 36.14% 0.692 0.7283
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1229 84.07% 29.35 -6.025 12.86% -0.89 -1.0268
Downpour Drenches the World 1355 60.15% 26.76 -2.521 17.86% -0.028 0.1783
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1457 73.64% 25.82 -5.656 18.12% -0.219 -0.8297
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2738 65.17% 51.41 -3.036 37.07% -0.345 -0.7203
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 651 82.9% 34.42 -2.365 20.43% -0.449 -0.8394
Finder of Paths Unseen 593 58.45% 29.0 -1.967 21.75% 0.518 1.2376
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3522 45.46% 53.38 -3.077 43.58% 0.182 0.7931
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1077 82.16% 32.84 -6.066 20.61% -0.942 -1.042
Heart of the Wildfire 1633 82.82% 27.57 -5.811 12.31% -0.895 -0.5584
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 15522 56.12% 55.76 3.41 62.29% 1.144 0.7136
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 599 56.86% 28.66 -3.358 25.04% 0.062 -0.2525
Lightning's Swift Strike 629 80.23% 33.93 -1.983 20.35% -0.43 -0.2004
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1174 71.04% 40.67 6.64 33.73% 1.231 0.7866
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 569 84.83% 38.08 -3.975 26.89% -0.643 -0.9534
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 658 60.79% 48.11 1.36 44.83% 0.652 0.5092
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 11120 68.76% 45.37 -1.0 42.98% 0.426 0.198
Many Minds Move as One 3017 69.45% 47.46 -0.14 36.29% 0.339 0.0965
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1982 76.18% 31.6 -8.349 18.01% -0.979 -0.8698
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 466 70.54% 22.3 -6.42 13.52% -0.824 -0.705
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 923 82.35% 35.12 -4.218 22.75% -0.87 -0.9157
River Surges in Sunlight 1919 81.14% 54.8 2.419 36.06% 0.556 0.6868
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 319 60.82% 32.6 -1.199 21.0% 0.217 0.3923
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 509 63.19% 39.18 -5.531 23.97% -0.797 -0.4987
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 934 66.77% 45.52 5.84 31.37% 0.399 0.3153
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3234 62.18% 46.69 -1.735 41.0% -0.04 -0.1509
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 143 60.84% 31.84 -0.677 27.27% 0.189 0.0713
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 420 85.89% 36.07 8.732 18.1% -0.007 0.488
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 86 76.74% 32.45 8.045 16.28% 0.214 0.1624
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 873 69.87% 31.57 -2.961 24.97% -0.015 -0.525
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 103 78.64% 33.04 -17.521 24.27% -0.449 -0.5765
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 344 82.85% 34.58 -2.703 18.6% -0.303 -0.291
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 269 78.81% 37.62 -2.717 26.77% 0.092 0.2276
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2412 72.86% 44.92 -5.295 39.1% -0.086 -0.0369
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 865 64.97% 29.95 -5.626 26.82% -0.133 -0.3481
Shifting Memory of Ages 2141 55.65% 34.98 -1.347 21.53% -0.037 0.2572
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 337 48.96% 36.99 5.11 36.5% 1.525 1.4066
Shroud of Silent Mist 761 80.08% 30.05 -7.884 14.98% -1.07 -0.7422
Starlight Seeks its Form 4312 63.63% 39.56 -6.391 38.01% -0.146 -0.245
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6919 55.93% 47.83 9.576 41.84% 1.656 1.1255
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2460 79.62% 43.53 -0.266 37.4% 0.703 0.7803
Thunderspeaker 1179 77.82% 41.53 4.645 23.92% 0.088 0.1245
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 133 74.24% 21.9 7.34 14.29% 0.787 0.8454
Towering Roots of the Jungle 809 59.58% 22.36 -3.872 18.29% -0.204 -0.0546
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2635 88.77% 33.65 -2.083 22.47% -0.189 -0.043
Vital Strength of the Earth 388 75.26% 31.21 -7.703 15.21% -0.246 0.3218
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 352 57.95% 28.52 -3.698 19.6% -0.538 -0.017
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 415 78.74% 30.49 -11.909 15.42% -0.971 -0.2295
Volcano Looming High 2430 76.84% 37.61 -2.499 29.84% 0.126 0.1406
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 710 63.66% 22.99 -6.035 14.37% -0.732 -1.0244

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 368 57.14% 42.86 -10.813 33.97% -0.616 -0.3661
Dahan Insurrection 4 2893 31.17% 65.53 26.539 49.36% 2.233 1.9846
Despicable Theft 2 13 50.0% 35.77 0.0 23.08%
Elemental Invocation 1 155 81.29% 30.8 -16.864 10.97% -0.22 0.4833
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2997 44.49% 48.1 -4.163 41.68% -0.369 -0.9216
Powers Long Forgotten 1 27 37.04% 10.26 0.0 3.7%
Rituals of Terror 3 1186 46.08% 112.78 22.077 64.76% 2.83 3.0227
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 53 39.62% 21.7 -14.521 7.55% -0.245 0.6769
Second Wave 0 148 68.24% 47.01 1.558 39.86% 0.03 0.1469
The Great River 3 55 65.45% 31.04 0.0 7.27%
Varied Terrains 2 28 50.0% 51.29 -12.365 39.29% -0.268 0.4733
Ward the Shores 2 47 82.98% 37.09 0.0 17.02%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 59185 67.37% 43.3 0.449 39.93% 0.142 0.6684
1 Thematic 1171 70.62% 41.27 -2.469 26.9% -0.582 0.2726
2 Archipelago 143 41.26% 60.53 -21.241 36.36% -0.545 0.5099
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4622 76.91% 38.05 1.36 30.01% 0.073 0.3506
2 Coastline 1037 68.99% 35.66 -0.855 27.29% -0.212 -0.1097
2 Fragment 118 81.36% 43.04 7.928 38.14% 0.279 0.2918
2 Heart 171 73.68% 44.16 -2.932 26.9% 0.028 0.1392
2 Opposite Shores 1904 63.97% 32.99 -3.554 18.01% -0.582 -0.2451
2 Thematic 841 67.14% 85.27 4.115 45.66% 0.102 0.7911
2 Top to Top 301 63.79% 33.35 6.956 27.57% 0.986 1.2278
3 Archipelago 75 73.33% 98.95 26.229 56.0% -0.273 -0.9939
3 Coastline 24 70.83% 33.71 0.0 29.17%
3 Other 69 68.12% 46.52 9.102 40.58% 0.988 0.3859
3 Round (Default) 2292 69.55% 36.83 -7.023 30.45% -1.529 -1.5229
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 80.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 454 16.78% 105.11 12.996 64.32% -0.182 -0.0975
4 Archipelago 4 100.0% 137.25 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 11 54.55% 38.27 0.0 36.36%
4 Leaf 7 71.43% 21.71 0.0 14.29%
4 Other 51 76.47% 41.98 -15.925 23.53% -0.298 -0.917
4 Thematic 370 31.08% 79.24 -2.026 59.73% -0.552 -0.2842
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1064 61.87% 37.71 -8.75 29.98% -2.511 -2.3471
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 30.5 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 81.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 78 54.67% 40.23 18.514 28.21% 1.359 0.9727
5 Thematic 42 50.0% 55.07 -8.471 26.19% -0.05 -0.8478
6 Archipelago 13 41.67% 64.15 0.0 46.15%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 87 43.68% 47.95 7.238 54.02% 0.619 0.5889
6 Star 17 41.18% 42.82 0.0 41.18%
6 Thematic 74 45.21% 22.47 39.904 10.81% 0.335 0.4383
6 Two Centers (Default) 279 25.45% 52.78 9.948 48.75% 0.564 1.1288
7 Archipelago 8 42.86% 80.75 -16.828 50.0% -0.156 -0.2303
7 Other 4 50.0% 15.25 -20.941 0.0% -0.335 -0.7695

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3468 40.34 0.83 28.69% -0.47 -0.2207
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2472 44.62 1.132 34.71% -0.477 -0.5958
All Things Weaken 3709 40.17 -0.724 28.12% -0.523 -0.1861
Attenuated Essence 880 33.18 2.361 24.2% -0.013 0.0141
Back Against the Wall 2408 43.13 0.638 31.6% -0.458 -0.4571
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 889 33.41 -0.209 24.3% -0.61 -0.3929
Burn Brightest Before the End 592 37.86 2.846 28.04% -0.045 -0.0638
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3265 34.49 -2.241 20.37% -0.964 -0.5708
Downward Spiral 3495 41.47 1.559 33.05% -0.071 0.0374
Erosion of Will 3401 38.48 1.099 25.05% -0.361 -0.0083
Intensifying Exploitation 902 32.91 -1.734 25.06% -0.586 -0.3403
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 777 58.17 3.156 64.99% 0.305 -0.2194
Memory Fades to Dust 3596 40.54 0.064 30.23% -0.405 -0.1575
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3509 39.18 0.589 27.84% -0.397 -0.1747
Promising Farmlands 3323 38.33 0.992 27.45% -0.322 -0.0392
Shattered Fragments of Power 544 35.14 2.176 23.35% -0.206 -0.129
Slow Dissolution of Will 913 32.28 0.771 20.7% -0.408 -0.0111
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 479 62.07 5.332 70.15% 0.429 -0.2661
The Border of Life and Death 159 38.76 1.186 44.03% -0.032 -0.6331
Thriving Communities 3559 39.63 -1.89 29.14% -0.762 -0.4053
Thriving Crops 262 33.07 3.988 34.73% 0.526 0.3296
Unnatural Proliferation 3751 40.36 1.425 26.9% -0.277 -0.1147
Untended Land Crumbles 3718 39.25 0.333 28.7% -0.368 -0.1363

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12198 69.14% 38.07 -1.866 31.05% -0.569 0.4363
B 12322 69.94% 40.12 -1.661 34.59% -0.482 0.4375
C 14065 66.69% 43.23 1.406 37.12% -0.379 0.3555
D 10324 67.77% 38.74 -1.019 32.0% -0.512 0.4664
E 13308 67.57% 43.31 0.336 39.59% -0.228 0.5916
F 9736 67.74% 40.5 -0.15 35.3% -0.455 0.4187
G 7937 68.91% 41.57 -0.348 36.3% -0.348 0.4608
H 10634 59.75% 46.66 -1.285 44.93% -0.544 0.271
East 2153 49.53% 77.48 6.567 47.19% -1.157 -0.2547
Northeast 1238 38.67% 81.55 6.732 50.73% -0.54 0.2679
Northwest 764 49.54% 65.68 -0.298 40.31% -0.764 0.1357
Southeast 496 51.92% 46.85 4.339 30.24% 0.71 1.5605
Southwest 505 56.94% 39.8 10.819 26.73% 0.44 1.8157
West 2046 49.58% 75.53 10.394 46.33% -0.06 0.8947

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 50 0.0% 55.94 -14.231 56.0% -0.43 0.2783
Not Using Events or Tokens 11 72.73% 118.18 0.0 63.64%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1891 31.16% 62.78 6.486 63.72% 0.437 -0.1482
Start of Game Growth 3168 34.39% 61.06 5.478 65.44% 0.755 0.2408
Unlimited Undo 6844 57.98% 50.74 3.68 53.9% 0.832 0.7229
Using Tokens but Not Events 3441 57.68% 45.63 -7.825 36.5% -1.037 -1.0627

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 22673 13.33 0.67%
II 32271 30.1 36.97%
III 13649 34.83 76.41%
IV 5973 38.67 99.88%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.345 Win Model: 0.156
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 62133 66.98% 43.66 39.43%
2 7893 73.14% 41.97 30.61%
3 2608 66.03% 41.83 32.75%
4 1398 57.96% 42.44 34.19%
5 102 47.47% 37.57 24.51%
6 432 30.7% 48.76 46.76%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 133
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10260
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10318
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5431
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 13225
Lose: Invader deck ran out 63
Lose: Adversary condition 8784
Win: Sacrifice victory 901
Lose: Scenario condition 635
Win: Scenario condition 1434
Lose: Blight pool ran out 22483
Lose: Spirit destroyed 899

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)