The Tsardom of Russia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1338 22.88% 25.68 -0.609 77.5% -0.044 -0.1392
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 138 20.29% 23.48 -0.861 65.22% -0.147 -0.623
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 777 43.1% 23.88 -0.003 75.42% -0.075 0.0377
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 166 25.9% 28.4 6.915 74.7% 1.664 0.8512
Dances Up Earthquakes 89 26.97% 18.53 -0.368 52.81% -0.033 -0.0423
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1397 23.26% 26.52 0.636 81.25% 0.186 0.0465
Downpour Drenches the World 529 18.75% 22.11 -2.155 64.08% -0.348 -0.1202
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 481 21.21% 23.94 0.539 69.85% 0.474 -0.095
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1549 15.43% 29.95 2.071 85.35% 0.561 0.1733
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1271 21.62% 27.47 1.251 81.67% 0.443 0.0488
Finder of Paths Unseen 250 28.4% 15.26 -3.046 40.4% -1.207 -0.4788
Fractured Days Split the Sky 682 28.78% 23.78 0.568 62.9% -0.383 0.2572
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1053 35.52% 23.59 0.164 65.72% 0.177 0.0432
Heart of the Wildfire 1044 52.6% 22.03 -2.114 68.58% -0.419 -0.0897
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2012 24.98% 26.06 -0.965 83.05% -0.191 -0.6146
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 146 20.55% 23.33 -2.002 66.44% -0.3 -0.6066
Lightning's Swift Strike 716 35.89% 25.39 0.285 78.91% 0.417 0.6545
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 183 31.49% 24.67 1.394 67.76% 0.334 -0.0739
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 409 27.21% 25.96 0.423 78.48% 0.163 -0.1559
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 378 26.06% 27.49 0.391 75.13% 0.263 0.1822
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2288 27.74% 26.48 -0.265 81.16% 0.017 -0.1762
Many Minds Move as One 1714 19.74% 26.63 1.549 84.31% 0.449 0.2325
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1500 37.02% 25.7 -0.274 74.2% 0.017 0.1565
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 72 47.22% 22.25 1.573 51.39% 0.434 0.5147
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1257 27.61% 25.82 0.585 78.68% 0.49 0.4121
River Surges in Sunlight 979 35.66% 28.3 2.373 78.35% 0.056 0.1819
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 71 25.35% 19.65 1.135 56.34% -0.024 0.1538
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 584 36.88% 26.87 1.512 75.0% 0.291 0.5698
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 227 30.53% 24.29 2.501 57.71% 0.32 0.197
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1110 24.86% 25.79 0.82 76.85% 0.169 0.0417
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 28 28.57% 19.93 -3.32 53.57% -0.439 -0.552
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 392 49.36% 23.98 -6.757 75.26% -0.725 -0.2098
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 89 34.09% 22.85 -7.199 64.04% -1.001 -1.0191
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 97 32.99% 26.64 1.784 73.2% 0.276 -0.2267
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 83 34.94% 22.3 5.913 66.27% 0.609 0.4175
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 355 32.11% 26.34 0.53 81.41% 0.227 0.1676
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 307 32.25% 25.54 1.504 78.83% 0.198 0.2794
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1415 25.94% 26.35 -0.481 82.4% 0.01 0.089
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 214 19.34% 22.64 -1.176 62.15% -0.286 -0.4728
Shifting Memory of Ages 673 37.2% 20.54 -1.618 60.48% -0.206 0.0617
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 87 24.14% 17.97 -4.424 50.57% -0.834 -0.9527
Shroud of Silent Mist 843 42.94% 22.37 0.766 69.87% -0.06 0.2914
Starlight Seeks its Form 1034 23.2% 24.87 -0.63 71.18% 0.201 0.0834
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1568 25.22% 25.13 1.561 82.27% 0.567 0.0535
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1110 28.78% 24.09 -1.189 74.14% -0.063 0.0545
Thunderspeaker 1095 26.9% 26.9 -0.059 75.34% -0.052 -0.0204
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 182 29.12% 20.2 -1.022 47.8% 0.143 0.1563
Towering Roots of the Jungle 234 23.5% 20.71 0.366 59.83% 0.335 0.4646
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1262 60.27% 21.8 -0.229 75.12% 0.271 0.3968
Vital Strength of the Earth 713 30.38% 23.75 -1.637 70.41% -0.359 0.2405
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 165 22.56% 22.47 -2.319 64.85% -0.437 0.0563
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 379 24.87% 19.31 -4.472 61.74% -0.901 -0.2036
Volcano Looming High 1143 39.65% 22.03 -1.069 69.12% -0.182 -0.134
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 266 21.05% 24.01 -0.885 64.66% -0.122 -0.412

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 30 20.0% 26.27 6.714 70.0% 0.644 0.8353
Blitz 0 370 24.73% 18.84 -3.183 58.92% -0.636 -0.4188
Dahan Insurrection 4 539 18.92% 43.38 6.309 75.88% -0.237 -0.4901
Despicable Theft 2 243 27.16% 20.78 -4.271 46.5% -1.147 -0.5602
Elemental Invocation 1 247 34.01% 22.4 -1.258 61.94% -0.464 0.2756
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 816 10.8% 29.85 3.267 78.31% 0.275 -0.2861
Powers Long Forgotten 1 282 36.17% 19.87 -0.869 51.42% -0.475 0.2848
Rituals of Terror 3 269 33.58% 29.15 -3.679 59.85% -1.037 -0.9167
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 183 51.91% 28.64 2.924 60.11% -0.139 0.7686
Second Wave 0 512 44.2% 31.94 5.581 69.34% 0.049 0.1874
The Great River 3 231 35.93% 22.85 -4.972 47.19% -1.126 -0.0256
Varied Terrains 2 189 36.51% 21.17 -0.282 46.03% -0.585 0.1914
Ward the Shores 2 379 31.22% 24.13 -1.976 58.05% -0.888 0.1861

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 15106 32.76% 25.01 0.589 77.41% 0.406 0.7389
1 Thematic 2233 36.71% 26.87 -0.038 70.62% -0.114 0.5723
2 Archipelago 27 37.04% 33.22 10.285 74.07% 0.464 1.0717
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3450 30.11% 23.63 -0.312 74.09% -0.16 -0.0403
2 Coastline 412 30.41% 23.47 1.626 73.54% 0.164 0.0918
2 Fragment 78 26.92% 23.97 5.58 76.92% 0.548 0.3632
2 Heart 43 44.19% 25.63 8.891 81.4% 0.618 0.4609
2 Opposite Shores 518 24.9% 28.78 1.488 86.87% -0.129 0.0218
2 Thematic 555 31.59% 26.32 -2.372 64.86% -0.72 -0.2123
2 Top to Top 62 29.03% 25.84 2.181 80.65% 0.401 0.3426
3 Archipelago 12 50.0% 37.92 6.226 75.0% 0.399 -0.5529
3 Coastline 24 33.33% 26.79 0.0 58.33%
3 Other 42 38.1% 26.81 3.748 88.1% 0.717 -0.0547
3 Round (Default) 1577 27.67% 25.64 -1.326 79.96% -0.833 -0.924
3 Sunrise 6 16.67% 27.5 0.0 83.33%
3 Thematic 120 28.33% 25.7 2.116 59.17% -0.233 -0.212
4 Archipelago 8 12.5% 37.13 3.914 100.0% 0.089 -0.4415
4 Coastline 12 50.0% 22.83 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 3 0.0% 30.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 19 42.11% 30.58 11.564 89.47% 0.982 0.2706
4 Thematic 126 20.8% 33.74 6.698 81.75% 0.534 0.6572
4 Trapezoid (Default) 875 19.31% 20.5 -3.023 61.83% -2.024 -2.0267
5 Other 40 33.33% 27.27 7.368 70.0% 0.548 0.0337
5 Thematic 6 0.0% 23.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 5 60.0% 34.8 9.8 80.0% 0.225 0.1211
6 Star 30 33.33% 26.5 3.939 90.0% 0.12 0.1065
6 Thematic 64 19.05% 26.86 4.444 50.0% -0.462 -0.1762
6 Two Centers (Default) 114 21.05% 29.39 -3.313 77.19% -1.806 -1.2734
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 5 0.0% 16.0 12.841 20.0% 0.048 -0.5107

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 518 21.6 -2.226 63.9% -0.675 -0.4244
Aid From Lesser Spirits 429 23.2 2.448 66.67% 0.054 -0.0041
All Things Weaken 619 20.75 1.341 61.55% 0.195 0.5295
Attenuated Essence 99 21.51 1.645 53.54% 0.144 0.178
Back Against the Wall 445 21.43 5.525 58.43% 0.404 0.4385
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 82 20.07 -2.322 53.66% -0.164 0.0531
Burn Brightest Before the End 82 21.51 -0.726 53.66% -0.74 -0.7291
Disintegrating Ecosystem 507 19.19 -0.217 62.52% 0.069 0.4135
Downward Spiral 595 20.99 0.881 69.24% 0.744 0.8615
Erosion of Will 486 21.3 -1.863 62.76% -0.389 -0.1147
Intensifying Exploitation 98 20.91 -0.031 54.08% -0.545 -0.3341
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 276 27.14 1.565 90.22% 0.402 -0.1705
Memory Fades to Dust 610 20.48 -0.863 63.77% -0.025 0.2276
Power Corrodes the Spirit 555 21.26 0.172 66.31% -0.065 0.1391
Promising Farmlands 476 19.73 0.946 60.29% 0.437 0.691
Shattered Fragments of Power 79 22.29 -1.307 49.37% -0.738 -0.6642
Slow Dissolution of Will 105 17.19 -3.81 42.86% -0.693 -0.3121
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 188 25.46 -0.945 86.7% 0.346 -0.3277
The Border of Life and Death 24 27.13 5.142 79.17% 0.579 -0.0219
Thriving Communities 575 18.99 -1.07 60.7% -0.363 -0.081
Thriving Crops 50 26.16 1.854 82.0% 0.21 0.0695
Unnatural Proliferation 587 21.73 1.382 63.37% 0.2 0.4033
Untended Land Crumbles 586 20.06 1.106 61.6% 0.301 0.4914

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4430 30.43% 24.38 -0.465 75.15% -0.522 0.4754
B 4607 29.3% 24.37 -0.387 75.43% -0.519 0.4037
C 4752 29.32% 25.01 0.707 77.0% -0.334 0.395
D 4379 30.86% 24.52 -0.14 76.5% -0.353 0.6063
E 4336 29.74% 24.72 -0.692 76.25% -0.689 0.1302
F 4212 29.32% 24.62 -0.75 74.74% -0.684 0.198
G 3677 28.86% 24.59 -0.757 74.82% -0.545 0.2801
H 3801 29.61% 24.66 -0.694 75.27% -0.59 0.2486
East 1915 33.51% 28.26 4.474 72.06% 0.293 1.168
Northeast 742 29.59% 28.73 0.254 66.58% -0.481 0.2706
Northwest 680 29.54% 27.88 0.402 66.03% -0.724 0.1677
Southeast 847 37.99% 26.77 1.428 75.8% -0.142 0.6971
Southwest 648 28.37% 22.7 -1.995 62.35% -0.817 0.4873
West 1683 31.7% 26.0 -1.531 64.65% -1.015 -0.0653

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 68 0.0% 27.38 -0.536 80.88% 0.18 0.9093
Not Using Events or Tokens 63 25.4% 21.67 -8.185 58.73% -1.297 -0.9508
Skip Initial Invader Actions 481 8.13% 36.9 2.744 90.23% 0.17 -0.4329
Start of Game Growth 803 11.37% 34.51 1.548 88.54% -0.081 -0.5851
Unlimited Undo 1680 22.08% 26.01 1.338 78.87% 0.602 0.4946
Using Tokens but Not Events 2266 24.8% 26.24 0.586 77.23% -0.051 -0.0805

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4401 13.42 15.04%
II 8310 30.13 80.82%
III 8838 34.83 90.3%
IV 4053 38.67 99.31%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.025 Win Model: 0.919
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 17789 33.18% 24.96 75.36%
2 4834 30.06% 25.41 77.99%
3 1699 28.16% 26.21 80.46%
4 1031 19.61% 22.38 64.89%
5 28 25.93% 22.96 67.86%
6 221 22.27% 28.14 69.68%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 659
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7717
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6280
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3988
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3329
Lose: Invader deck ran out 190
Lose: Adversary condition 328
Win: Sacrifice victory 111
Lose: Scenario condition 146
Win: Scenario condition 629
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2063
Lose: Spirit destroyed 162

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 787 38.04% 27.62 -2.146 63.79% -0.298 -0.3926
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 83 39.76% 26.73 3.233 61.45% 0.724 0.2476
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 496 61.29% 26.14 -1.017 61.29% -0.2 -0.0878
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 80 32.5% 29.29 -0.367 66.25% -0.349 -1.1622
Dances Up Earthquakes 40 42.5% 21.7 1.827 47.5% 0.16 0.1511
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 778 39.87% 30.34 1.951 70.05% 0.467 0.3273
Downpour Drenches the World 306 40.13% 20.36 -1.552 48.37% -0.147 0.081
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 320 29.06% 24.37 -0.099 59.38% 0.148 -0.4211
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1131 31.41% 34.01 2.597 75.95% 0.3 -0.0878
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 718 38.38% 30.74 5.596 70.75% 1.288 0.8944
Finder of Paths Unseen 184 43.48% 15.51 -3.324 34.24% -0.256 0.4718
Fractured Days Split the Sky 425 38.82% 25.77 -1.28 52.94% -0.45 0.1909
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 674 52.15% 25.65 -0.302 58.16% 0.138 0.0046
Heart of the Wildfire 724 68.74% 21.52 -0.517 46.96% -0.271 0.0583
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1441 42.08% 30.34 0.616 71.2% 0.388 -0.0357
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 114 35.09% 27.02 4.66 64.04% 0.708 0.4018
Lightning's Swift Strike 380 57.41% 25.71 0.974 57.63% 0.558 0.7957
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 87 49.43% 26.28 -0.002 56.32% -0.243 -0.6503
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 235 55.32% 26.08 -6.474 57.02% -1.242 -1.5612
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 225 46.22% 33.37 1.251 64.0% 0.38 0.2994
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1709 42.93% 31.62 3.238 77.36% 1.088 0.8949
Many Minds Move as One 1473 33.04% 31.92 2.743 78.95% 0.683 0.467
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 917 50.71% 28.03 -3.122 60.09% -0.767 -0.6276
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 52 63.46% 20.92 0.023 55.77% 0.288 0.369
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 760 45.98% 28.16 -1.652 66.71% -0.303 -0.3811
River Surges in Sunlight 582 51.72% 29.33 -1.174 62.71% -0.787 -0.6612
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 58 39.66% 18.6 -3.859 43.1% -0.425 -0.2463
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 355 53.39% 32.12 -1.151 62.54% -0.234 0.0449
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 155 44.52% 23.81 5.343 49.03% 0.754 0.6313
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 618 48.87% 26.73 -1.948 61.97% -0.687 -0.8142
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 13 23.08% 20.92 -3.482 53.85% -0.196 -0.3083
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 240 62.08% 25.76 -0.941 57.92% -0.114 0.402
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 72 43.66% 24.01 6.168 51.39% 0.761 0.7424
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 139 41.3% 28.45 10.174 61.87% 1.706 1.2033
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 73 46.58% 25.55 10.921 60.27% 0.589 0.3978
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 205 55.12% 26.69 -9.458 63.9% -1.367 -1.4264
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 157 49.04% 27.94 -5.281 60.51% -0.922 -0.8405
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1259 39.27% 31.13 -0.172 74.5% -0.018 0.0616
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 288 32.17% 25.08 2.844 60.07% 0.575 0.3882
Shifting Memory of Ages 427 49.18% 23.96 -0.132 55.04% 0.03 0.2976
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 73 32.88% 17.81 -2.446 38.36% -0.708 -0.8266
Shroud of Silent Mist 463 58.66% 22.24 -3.211 51.4% -0.512 -0.1608
Starlight Seeks its Form 714 30.2% 28.52 -0.13 66.25% 0.088 -0.03
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 929 40.93% 25.01 0.13 58.67% 0.22 -0.293
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 778 40.13% 29.63 -1.823 66.84% -0.359 -0.2411
Thunderspeaker 805 40.99% 31.3 -1.094 63.23% -0.255 -0.2231
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 92 43.48% 18.88 0.98 41.3% 0.539 0.5521
Towering Roots of the Jungle 151 42.38% 23.87 1.7 57.62% 0.273 0.403
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 601 68.89% 22.23 -3.19 51.41% -0.468 -0.3419
Vital Strength of the Earth 376 47.07% 24.28 -2.799 50.27% -0.742 -0.142
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 122 53.28% 19.43 -2.693 42.62% -0.306 0.188
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 241 43.15% 22.41 -5.229 51.04% -0.751 -0.0537
Volcano Looming High 706 54.25% 23.44 -3.624 54.25% -0.545 -0.4977
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 159 41.51% 23.28 5.474 55.35% 1.089 0.7994

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 26 23.08% 13.0 -8.855 30.77% -0.299 -0.1086
Blitz 0 308 37.01% 19.31 -6.042 43.51% -1.259 -1.0416
Dahan Insurrection 4 359 26.46% 50.77 5.112 70.19% -0.209 -0.4618
Despicable Theft 2 152 41.45% 19.95 -7.206 32.89% -1.011 -0.4249
Elemental Invocation 1 188 50.0% 20.76 -0.776 39.89% -0.202 0.5373
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 666 22.29% 33.36 1.555 67.72% 0.037 -0.5247
Powers Long Forgotten 1 228 46.93% 21.52 -3.218 40.35% -0.647 0.1126
Rituals of Terror 3 133 54.14% 29.57 -6.201 43.61% -1.339 -1.2189
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 97 67.01% 28.09 -7.038 40.21% -0.561 0.3467
Second Wave 0 950 51.95% 29.48 3.288 61.47% 0.312 0.4504
The Great River 3 103 58.25% 19.5 -5.322 25.24% -0.52 0.5804
Varied Terrains 2 99 40.4% 21.84 -0.34 39.39% -0.011 0.765
Ward the Shores 2 225 45.33% 24.72 3.061 44.0% 0.36 1.4343

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10506 44.11% 26.82 0.205 62.6% 0.144 0.4771
1 Thematic 1403 47.89% 27.09 -1.174 48.04% -0.393 0.2929
2 Archipelago 9 44.44% 37.78 0.0 77.78%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2264 47.19% 25.45 0.013 61.7% 0.292 0.4118
2 Coastline 301 45.67% 26.12 -7.732 62.46% -1.147 -1.2194
2 Fragment 74 58.11% 27.57 2.844 67.57% 0.83 0.6453
2 Heart 28 53.57% 23.86 0.0 53.57%
2 Opposite Shores 454 47.78% 27.52 -0.894 66.3% -0.255 -0.1039
2 Thematic 421 48.22% 23.66 -2.728 46.08% 0.064 0.5715
2 Top to Top 64 53.13% 33.45 0.701 85.94% 0.264 0.2052
3 Archipelago 11 81.82% 35.18 0.0 36.36%
3 Coastline 15 66.67% 35.67 4.072 60.0% -0.16 -0.5701
3 Other 24 62.5% 32.13 0.0 87.5%
3 Round (Default) 983 37.41% 30.1 2.052 71.01% 0.417 0.3256
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 104 52.88% 26.31 -3.144 51.92% -0.224 -0.2032
4 Archipelago 10 50.0% 40.5 0.0 90.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 23.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 26.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 27 51.85% 33.78 2.719 85.19% 0.317 -0.3942
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 95 53.68% 35.49 -6.335 70.53% -0.599 -0.476
4 Trapezoid (Default) 360 41.23% 31.63 3.028 74.72% 0.834 0.8315
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 80.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 43 33.33% 42.3 9.157 76.74% 0.037 -0.4769
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 20.75 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 17 47.06% 42.35 0.0 76.47%
6 Star 3 33.33% 13.33 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 15 53.33% 32.4 -0.574 46.67% -0.023 0.2625
6 Two Centers (Default) 53 24.53% 42.34 -5.445 77.36% -0.882 -0.3487
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 514 23.95 3.952 49.42% 0.421 0.6719
Aid From Lesser Spirits 427 26.82 3.644 58.31% 0.38 0.3219
All Things Weaken 582 23.09 0.614 47.59% -0.075 0.2596
Attenuated Essence 68 22.66 -2.547 48.53% -0.406 -0.3729
Back Against the Wall 415 24.11 1.69 47.23% -0.0 0.0346
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 104 20.89 0.631 44.23% -0.322 -0.1054
Burn Brightest Before the End 76 24.17 1.78 48.68% 0.172 0.1829
Disintegrating Ecosystem 490 19.23 -2.767 39.18% -0.775 -0.4309
Downward Spiral 572 23.94 4.229 53.32% 0.519 0.6359
Erosion of Will 476 23.58 0.594 51.89% -0.175 0.0996
Intensifying Exploitation 115 23.61 -1.093 57.39% -0.099 0.1117
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 204 30.21 -4.051 73.53% -0.878 -1.4512
Memory Fades to Dust 612 24.0 2.052 54.58% 0.056 0.3082
Power Corrodes the Spirit 521 23.05 -0.839 49.9% -0.316 -0.1117
Promising Farmlands 489 22.41 -3.074 48.67% -0.527 -0.273
Shattered Fragments of Power 81 25.9 0.001 53.09% -0.297 -0.2226
Slow Dissolution of Will 78 20.1 -0.543 39.74% -0.659 -0.2777
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 137 29.39 1.365 78.83% 0.357 -0.317
The Border of Life and Death 22 24.41 -0.74 50.0% -0.104 -0.7049
Thriving Communities 567 21.87 -2.709 46.91% -0.441 -0.1593
Thriving Crops 50 24.76 5.168 58.0% 0.615 0.4753
Unnatural Proliferation 559 24.22 1.475 50.45% -0.219 -0.0154
Untended Land Crumbles 591 21.61 -0.803 47.55% -0.291 -0.101

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2972 43.41% 27.34 -0.405 63.46% -0.211 0.7869
B 3064 44.63% 28.12 0.886 65.6% 0.119 1.0409
C 3147 43.2% 28.15 -1.028 65.94% -0.208 0.5214
D 2930 44.27% 27.85 -0.35 64.71% 0.054 1.0128
E 2788 43.08% 28.06 0.692 65.53% 0.114 0.9329
F 2750 44.01% 27.48 1.269 64.87% 0.298 1.18
G 2310 44.17% 28.06 1.733 65.76% 0.44 1.2654
H 2397 44.92% 27.94 1.204 65.42% 0.247 1.0862
East 1198 49.12% 27.54 1.653 49.67% -0.162 0.7125
Northeast 476 51.79% 29.96 -5.562 55.25% -1.081 -0.3288
Northwest 454 46.14% 26.97 -0.74 50.0% -0.472 0.4205
Southeast 445 48.99% 25.77 -1.914 48.99% -0.488 0.3512
Southwest 454 50.44% 21.69 -4.192 43.17% -0.739 0.5653
West 1196 47.7% 25.97 -2.325 48.33% -0.531 0.4192

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 28 0.0% 30.71 0.0 57.14%
Not Using Events or Tokens 53 35.85% 13.98 0.0 20.75%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 307 15.88% 41.98 3.057 86.32% -0.097 -0.6994
Start of Game Growth 446 17.97% 40.21 6.201 82.96% 0.631 0.1273
Unlimited Undo 1340 37.41% 28.24 1.247 65.6% 0.186 0.0788
Using Tokens but Not Events 1414 36.29% 30.08 -0.124 68.32% 0.016 -0.0141

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4246 13.42 6.95%
II 5610 30.13 67.25%
III 5740 34.83 86.13%
IV 1717 38.67 99.65%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.371 Win Model: 0.022
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12148 44.48% 26.62 60.13%
2 3455 48.36% 26.57 63.53%
3 1108 39.51% 29.91 69.77%
4 477 43.49% 33.77 76.31%
5 50 28.57% 46.94 74.0%
6 75 38.67% 30.37 66.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 294
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4810
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3504
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1695
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2744
Lose: Invader deck ran out 100
Lose: Adversary condition 1466
Win: Sacrifice victory 69
Lose: Scenario condition 94
Win: Scenario condition 351
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2041
Lose: Spirit destroyed 145

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 878 34.59% 35.79 -0.069 74.26% 0.063 -0.0321
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 67 29.85% 30.87 1.246 65.67% 0.367 -0.1089
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 625 52.64% 33.88 -0.694 72.16% -0.013 0.0999
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 136 27.94% 39.78 8.231 83.09% 1.775 0.9619
Dances Up Earthquakes 52 44.23% 30.67 -0.156 63.46% -0.121 -0.1301
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 858 39.25% 35.39 3.229 75.87% 0.544 0.404
Downpour Drenches the World 407 35.63% 31.01 -0.32 64.86% -0.173 0.055
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 451 29.49% 32.56 5.046 70.07% 0.905 0.3356
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1238 29.02% 39.04 2.338 82.39% 0.372 -0.0155
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 659 34.6% 35.58 -0.133 75.42% 0.053 -0.3413
Finder of Paths Unseen 187 50.27% 22.24 -4.065 43.32% -0.511 0.2174
Fractured Days Split the Sky 492 45.12% 32.4 -4.909 59.96% -0.844 -0.203
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 705 49.22% 30.56 -1.269 62.84% -0.022 -0.1559
Heart of the Wildfire 889 64.23% 31.44 -2.841 64.68% -0.42 -0.0911
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1863 38.54% 36.7 1.281 78.26% 0.305 -0.1188
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 121 21.49% 33.17 0.585 69.42% 0.069 -0.2374
Lightning's Swift Strike 390 54.78% 32.86 -2.735 68.21% -0.409 -0.1715
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 117 48.72% 34.83 -5.341 70.94% -0.452 -0.8597
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 275 48.18% 33.14 1.854 68.0% 0.26 -0.0595
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 217 44.24% 34.87 -3.529 67.28% -0.414 -0.4949
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2264 38.4% 38.85 2.885 83.48% 0.608 0.4148
Many Minds Move as One 1686 28.77% 38.42 2.053 84.46% 0.461 0.2451
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1111 46.07% 35.85 -5.189 70.66% -1.053 -0.9132
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 108 62.04% 22.9 -1.852 47.22% -0.429 -0.3483
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 798 41.85% 35.21 0.328 75.94% 0.162 0.0834
River Surges in Sunlight 777 43.98% 39.86 4.458 78.51% 0.48 0.606
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 58 46.55% 31.71 3.63 60.34% 0.645 0.8229
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 337 53.71% 33.82 -3.156 66.47% -0.467 -0.1876
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 213 34.76% 38.05 -2.165 68.54% -0.338 -0.461
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 816 44.85% 34.11 -2.733 72.92% -0.479 -0.6055
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 15 40.0% 30.6 7.213 66.67% 0.629 0.5164
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 288 57.29% 31.68 13.409 64.93% 0.9 1.4156
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 59 61.02% 25.17 -6.941 45.76% -0.692 -0.7108
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 136 47.06% 35.36 0.287 70.59% -0.003 -0.5062
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 72 44.44% 31.68 7.737 66.67% 0.711 0.519
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 224 49.55% 34.69 4.997 71.88% 0.762 0.7031
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 170 60.0% 32.9 -0.882 70.0% -0.131 -0.0491
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1351 34.62% 37.38 0.012 80.68% -0.145 -0.0661
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 319 31.97% 31.61 -0.645 64.58% -0.159 -0.3457
Shifting Memory of Ages 497 51.51% 29.46 -5.073 60.97% -1.061 -0.7941
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 60 38.33% 29.48 1.554 60.0% 0.125 0.0062
Shroud of Silent Mist 587 54.86% 28.67 0.105 60.14% 0.056 0.4074
Starlight Seeks its Form 695 37.55% 33.88 1.359 70.22% 0.2 0.0824
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1121 35.27% 32.22 -2.43 70.03% -0.321 -0.834
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 982 33.88% 36.8 -2.102 77.39% -0.269 -0.1515
Thunderspeaker 704 42.23% 37.42 -3.367 73.58% -0.608 -0.5761
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 104 31.73% 19.42 -0.032 39.42% -0.071 -0.0578
Towering Roots of the Jungle 234 41.88% 31.37 0.624 67.52% 0.182 0.3113
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 707 66.9% 31.05 -0.935 67.19% 0.109 0.2357
Vital Strength of the Earth 412 41.26% 31.88 3.212 66.75% 0.255 0.855
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 111 36.04% 30.68 -0.836 63.96% 0.003 0.4965
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 256 47.66% 28.29 -6.644 60.55% -0.97 -0.2722
Volcano Looming High 813 51.11% 30.52 -1.604 65.07% -0.109 -0.0609
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 238 33.61% 28.41 1.626 58.82% 0.008 -0.2816

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 23 13.04% 13.0 -7.378 30.43% -0.476 -0.2848
Blitz 0 378 37.04% 28.89 -3.647 53.17% -0.474 -0.2569
Dahan Insurrection 4 283 23.67% 59.51 12.451 78.09% 0.611 0.3582
Despicable Theft 2 94 51.06% 29.61 -4.142 44.68% -0.164 0.4222
Elemental Invocation 1 208 44.71% 24.1 -9.906 45.67% -1.361 -0.622
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 843 23.84% 39.75 -2.422 75.56% -0.596 -1.1575
Powers Long Forgotten 1 190 47.37% 26.82 -7.504 46.84% -1.186 -0.4261
Rituals of Terror 3 108 50.0% 28.94 -12.491 38.89% -0.388 -0.2676
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 89 57.3% 24.9 1.2 32.58% -0.254 0.6535
Second Wave 0 572 49.91% 35.34 -0.706 68.71% -0.219 -0.0805
The Great River 3 105 45.71% 25.8 -7.86 35.24% -1.103 -0.0028
Varied Terrains 2 66 57.58% 27.52 -1.388 45.45% -0.166 0.6101
Ward the Shores 2 150 49.33% 33.33 -2.319 53.33% -0.835 0.2398

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11915 44.05% 33.08 -0.213 70.2% 0.029 0.3615
1 Thematic 1154 45.67% 29.79 -3.17 50.95% -0.893 -0.2074
2 Archipelago 24 41.67% 36.83 7.627 58.33% 0.326 0.9333
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2742 43.73% 33.79 1.151 74.84% 0.282 0.4015
2 Coastline 296 44.07% 35.49 -0.649 78.38% 0.277 0.2043
2 Fragment 59 50.85% 34.97 0.0 76.27%
2 Heart 40 55.0% 36.63 9.762 75.0% 0.634 0.4773
2 Opposite Shores 475 39.66% 33.44 2.765 73.05% 0.222 0.3729
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 610 39.02% 35.74 1.205 69.34% 0.033 0.5407
2 Top to Top 68 35.29% 38.03 0.0 82.35%
3 Archipelago 9 77.78% 34.33 0.0 33.33%
3 Coastline 19 73.68% 46.58 16.361 94.74% 0.481 0.0708
3 Other 36 50.0% 32.61 -10.107 69.44% -0.28 -1.0513
3 Round (Default) 1114 39.71% 35.5 -0.853 76.48% -0.199 -0.2901
3 Sunrise 5 0.0% 41.4 4.697 100.0% 0.265 0.1687
3 Thematic 110 36.36% 35.92 -7.606 67.27% -0.929 -0.9079
4 Archipelago 13 53.85% 36.15 0.0 38.46%
4 Coastline 8 62.5% 55.25 0.0 62.5%
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 43.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 19 63.16% 33.47 0.021 73.68% 0.271 -0.44
4 Thematic 178 20.79% 53.92 11.383 86.52% 1.046 1.1691
4 Trapezoid (Default) 464 29.37% 38.7 0.247 84.7% -0.216 -0.2191
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 56 51.85% 35.75 -14.295 71.43% -0.54 -1.054
5 Thematic 4 25.0% 44.5 14.739 75.0% 0.241 0.1841
6 Archipelago 5 0.0% 40.8 0.0 80.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 58.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 7 28.57% 40.0 -10.525 57.14% -0.489 -0.5923
6 Star 8 37.5% 40.38 12.601 75.0% 0.234 0.2198
6 Thematic 30 43.33% 39.8 -3.456 66.67% -0.459 -0.1728
6 Two Centers (Default) 46 34.78% 30.11 -2.993 60.87% -0.316 0.2165
7 Other 2 0.0% 48.0 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 590 30.16 0.499 61.36% 0.125 0.3759
Aid From Lesser Spirits 438 31.31 2.042 61.87% 0.078 0.0198
All Things Weaken 643 29.54 -0.142 58.48% -0.081 0.254
Attenuated Essence 102 28.14 2.879 57.84% 0.646 0.6796
Back Against the Wall 493 31.12 -0.347 61.66% -0.173 -0.138
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 92 25.38 -2.555 48.91% -0.416 -0.1992
Burn Brightest Before the End 81 33.88 1.998 64.2% 0.052 0.0626
Disintegrating Ecosystem 510 26.75 -5.656 51.76% -1.308 -0.9641
Downward Spiral 589 31.16 1.664 66.21% 0.114 0.2312
Erosion of Will 539 29.1 -1.499 57.51% -0.451 -0.1767
Intensifying Exploitation 120 26.69 -0.911 55.83% -0.259 -0.0474
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 254 35.84 1.68 80.71% 0.395 -0.1774
Memory Fades to Dust 574 30.29 -0.692 63.59% -0.072 0.1805
Power Corrodes the Spirit 551 29.09 0.668 59.71% 0.19 0.3948
Promising Farmlands 539 28.81 0.341 60.11% -0.09 0.1645
Shattered Fragments of Power 77 26.78 -0.305 51.95% -0.162 -0.0884
Slow Dissolution of Will 94 29.47 1.314 57.45% 0.08 0.4615
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 186 36.31 4.704 83.87% 0.621 -0.0526
The Border of Life and Death 34 35.35 2.283 76.47% 0.351 -0.2493
Thriving Communities 631 29.3 -0.088 61.49% -0.287 -0.0059
Thriving Crops 58 35.84 8.931 75.86% 1.31 1.1699
Unnatural Proliferation 616 30.34 -2.344 60.06% -0.897 -0.6934
Untended Land Crumbles 594 29.52 4.749 61.78% 0.781 0.971

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3347 43.36% 33.53 0.538 72.0% -0.175 0.8234
B 3438 43.77% 34.46 0.485 74.78% -0.049 0.8728
C 3579 40.44% 34.6 0.3 73.99% -0.124 0.6046
D 3315 43.11% 33.6 -2.513 71.25% -0.633 0.3262
E 3317 41.96% 34.76 0.797 73.92% -0.08 0.7394
F 3146 42.49% 34.32 0.601 74.13% -0.231 0.6508
G 2672 43.1% 33.39 1.501 71.59% 0.146 0.9712
H 2837 39.8% 34.66 -1.09 74.62% -0.456 0.3824
East 1365 37.8% 37.31 1.582 66.08% 0.062 0.9369
Northeast 694 38.04% 39.8 -3.021 70.61% -0.694 0.0577
Northwest 624 36.86% 37.75 2.285 66.35% 0.23 1.1218
Southeast 443 34.31% 35.79 1.034 65.01% 0.218 1.0571
Southwest 437 41.65% 30.57 -2.659 57.89% -0.809 0.4955
West 1308 40.98% 34.11 1.014 60.7% 0.019 0.9692

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 16 0.0% 51.5 -0.426 87.5% -0.078 0.6507
Not Using Events or Tokens 18 33.33% 13.83 -14.68 27.78% -1.199 -0.8535
Skip Initial Invader Actions 284 11.15% 48.45 5.012 82.75% 0.293 -0.3096
Start of Game Growth 440 15.94% 45.93 -1.127 82.5% -0.4 -0.9041
Unlimited Undo 1535 33.07% 32.22 -2.831 65.8% -0.575 -0.6816
Using Tokens but Not Events 1289 39.51% 31.77 -0.813 68.66% -0.074 -0.1037

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3310 13.42 0.24%
II 4363 30.13 64.06%
III 7994 34.83 89.59%
IV 3867 38.67 99.66%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.48 Win Model: 0.324
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13247 44.18% 32.67 68.15%
2 4212 43.06% 34.68 75.19%
3 1256 39.36% 35.91 76.35%
4 678 28.99% 42.54 84.22%
5 47 52.17% 34.09 65.96%
6 94 32.26% 36.36 67.02%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 8
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6983
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2608
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3830
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2396
Lose: Invader deck ran out 41
Lose: Adversary condition 1298
Win: Sacrifice victory 90
Lose: Scenario condition 115
Win: Scenario condition 300
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1730
Lose: Spirit destroyed 135

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 910 51.27% 33.0 1.131 53.3% -0.049 -0.144
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 102 45.1% 36.41 4.482 56.86% 0.638 0.1619
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 602 72.79% 33.23 -5.813 50.66% -0.682 -0.5694
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 177 52.54% 40.6 3.87 66.67% 0.695 -0.1179
Dances Up Earthquakes 60 51.67% 35.27 4.148 58.33% 0.707 0.6979
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 834 59.18% 36.14 -0.511 57.91% -0.199 -0.3391
Downpour Drenches the World 446 51.24% 28.26 0.907 45.74% 0.267 0.494
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 561 53.12% 32.2 -1.446 54.37% -0.168 -0.7371
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1164 50.0% 40.06 -3.552 65.89% -0.611 -0.9985
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 488 61.19% 34.53 -0.659 52.87% -0.176 -0.5699
Finder of Paths Unseen 165 53.94% 22.12 -7.629 30.3% -1.438 -0.7095
Fractured Days Split the Sky 494 62.75% 31.23 -2.135 42.71% -0.678 -0.0372
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 657 62.4% 31.35 -3.549 48.25% -0.671 -0.805
Heart of the Wildfire 921 77.17% 29.04 1.997 42.89% 0.333 0.6627
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2511 53.53% 38.42 2.821 63.0% 0.578 0.1549
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 221 49.77% 32.51 0.628 53.85% 0.23 -0.0764
Lightning's Swift Strike 361 74.65% 34.35 -0.268 49.31% 0.348 0.5857
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 191 64.21% 37.5 4.917 63.35% 0.436 0.028
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 269 65.43% 38.12 3.356 63.57% 0.603 0.2836
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 225 59.11% 34.68 -6.783 52.0% -0.904 -0.9847
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3586 49.26% 42.2 3.763 73.09% 0.674 0.481
Many Minds Move as One 1735 49.74% 41.69 1.963 71.93% 0.391 0.175
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1112 62.89% 33.25 -3.094 49.91% -0.464 -0.3244
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 113 57.52% 22.49 -2.997 33.63% -0.456 -0.375
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 718 64.44% 36.55 1.428 58.36% 0.286 0.2072
River Surges in Sunlight 760 71.24% 35.9 -3.181 50.53% -0.426 -0.3008
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 91 48.35% 34.62 -1.527 52.75% -0.353 -0.1749
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 297 74.75% 28.26 -5.604 35.35% -1.218 -0.9392
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 235 52.77% 30.16 -6.873 44.26% -1.263 -1.3861
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 789 64.39% 35.22 2.05 55.26% 0.436 0.3088
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 28 46.43% 35.11 2.508 53.57% 0.428 0.3152
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 253 81.82% 31.08 8.075 42.29% 1.154 1.6691
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 65 55.38% 33.43 4.153 53.85% 0.285 0.2661
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 223 51.57% 35.45 2.798 56.5% 0.399 -0.1042
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 86 67.44% 33.84 11.728 54.65% 1.325 1.1335
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 217 70.97% 35.93 4.011 56.22% 0.634 0.575
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 199 78.89% 33.92 1.102 51.26% -0.084 -0.0027
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1541 48.63% 41.06 0.909 69.44% 0.22 0.2997
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 306 49.02% 33.54 0.291 56.21% -0.18 -0.3665
Shifting Memory of Ages 473 66.17% 30.32 -3.194 47.15% -0.629 -0.3614
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 98 57.14% 32.42 6.847 54.08% 0.999 0.8803
Shroud of Silent Mist 569 68.5% 31.18 0.222 48.68% -0.06 0.2912
Starlight Seeks its Form 1038 55.2% 33.29 0.336 54.05% 0.322 0.2042
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1465 52.09% 32.13 -2.42 50.72% -0.381 -0.8939
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1066 56.32% 37.57 -0.029 62.95% -0.044 0.0734
Thunderspeaker 706 64.44% 33.79 -3.225 49.01% -0.542 -0.5097
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 88 54.55% 20.61 -6.683 29.55% -0.873 -0.8599
Towering Roots of the Jungle 241 56.02% 31.55 2.001 53.94% 0.308 0.4372
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 817 82.99% 30.53 -1.926 46.02% -0.394 -0.2672
Vital Strength of the Earth 345 67.15% 28.79 -0.107 40.29% 0.221 0.8209
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 150 64.67% 23.8 -4.888 32.67% -0.666 -0.1721
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 279 63.08% 27.53 4.73 41.22% 0.443 1.1412
Volcano Looming High 920 67.57% 33.33 1.088 54.35% 0.304 0.3519
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 283 56.18% 28.35 0.776 44.88% 0.041 -0.2494

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 11 9.09% 24.18 -16.418 45.45% -0.554 -0.3631
Blitz 0 238 47.06% 34.39 -8.595 36.55% -1.008 -0.7902
Dahan Insurrection 4 157 43.31% 52.14 3.954 56.05% 0.021 -0.2314
Despicable Theft 2 48 43.75% 28.98 -5.698 35.42% -0.614 -0.0274
Elemental Invocation 1 130 62.31% 27.55 -3.228 36.15% -0.654 0.0855
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 991 34.81% 45.65 3.41 72.35% 0.116 -0.4455
Powers Long Forgotten 1 113 46.9% 26.21 -6.55 32.74% -0.49 0.2701
Rituals of Terror 3 58 63.79% 28.64 -10.952 22.41% -0.39 -0.27
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 42 47.62% 19.52 -6.38 16.67% -0.575 0.3326
Second Wave 0 386 67.27% 35.01 4.564 48.45% 0.53 0.6686
The Great River 3 60 58.33% 34.78 -1.377 41.67% 0.115 1.2152
Varied Terrains 2 29 37.93% 14.66 -1.806 20.69% -0.341 0.4344
Ward the Shores 2 82 59.76% 30.82 -4.365 36.59% -0.108 0.9668

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 14526 57.18% 34.67 -0.77 55.45% -0.317 0.0156
1 Thematic 818 61.74% 32.16 -0.67 39.98% -0.404 0.2818
2 Archipelago 15 73.33% 38.4 22.102 46.67% 0.222 0.8298
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3238 62.0% 34.79 0.162 57.69% -0.191 -0.0714
2 Coastline 360 58.06% 37.14 -5.291 60.0% -0.861 -0.9332
2 Fragment 89 66.29% 37.44 1.441 57.3% 0.26 0.0752
2 Heart 53 50.94% 45.19 6.86 73.58% 0.598 0.4405
2 Opposite Shores 607 62.38% 34.57 -2.115 55.02% -0.868 -0.7172
2 Thematic 247 63.97% 32.96 -2.374 43.72% -0.446 0.0624
2 Top to Top 102 58.82% 41.7 9.921 71.57% 1.488 1.4298
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 48.83 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 9 66.67% 46.22 0.0 66.67%
3 Other 73 47.95% 23.9 -1.152 38.36% 0.037 -0.7342
3 Round (Default) 1357 59.66% 37.66 2.794 61.68% 0.283 0.1917
3 Sunrise 48 12.5% 8.46 0.0 12.5%
3 Thematic 58 65.52% 38.74 2.782 56.9% 0.279 0.2998
4 Archipelago 3 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 4 25.0% 44.25 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 5 40.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 25 64.0% 44.24 12.912 80.0% 0.819 0.1078
4 Thematic 66 63.64% 43.03 3.371 57.58% 0.021 0.1442
4 Trapezoid (Default) 413 60.69% 40.77 0.036 69.73% -0.233 -0.2353
5 Other 55 53.06% 33.45 -1.866 47.27% -0.522 -1.0363
5 Thematic 7 42.86% 10.29 -6.157 14.29% -0.136 -0.1928
6 Archipelago 2 100.0% 55.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 25 4.35% 49.04 2.978 80.0% 0.075 -0.0288
6 Star 7 57.14% 34.29 0.0 42.86%
6 Thematic 16 56.25% 28.56 -1.917 37.5% -0.107 0.1791
6 Two Centers (Default) 48 43.75% 33.27 -4.753 54.17% -0.398 0.1348
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 842 32.07 -0.392 47.03% -0.466 -0.2147
Aid From Lesser Spirits 755 33.93 2.32 47.28% 0.061 0.0034
All Things Weaken 911 29.78 0.662 42.48% -0.185 0.1496
Attenuated Essence 202 29.28 2.391 43.56% 0.135 0.1684
Back Against the Wall 665 31.77 1.269 43.91% -0.209 -0.1737
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 154 31.81 1.223 45.45% -0.294 -0.077
Burn Brightest Before the End 145 30.68 2.946 44.14% -0.201 -0.1905
Disintegrating Ecosystem 874 26.99 -2.157 35.93% -0.66 -0.3152
Downward Spiral 963 30.68 0.376 46.52% -0.002 0.1152
Erosion of Will 878 30.39 -0.792 42.48% -0.628 -0.354
Intensifying Exploitation 182 26.82 1.44 42.31% 0.143 0.3542
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 287 39.0 2.25 69.69% 0.271 -0.3012
Memory Fades to Dust 881 30.58 -0.604 45.74% -0.088 0.1639
Power Corrodes the Spirit 876 29.67 1.459 43.49% 0.111 0.3151
Promising Farmlands 825 28.75 0.328 40.85% -0.258 -0.0037
Shattered Fragments of Power 141 28.94 2.241 36.88% 0.218 0.2921
Slow Dissolution of Will 192 26.13 -0.624 36.46% 0.133 0.5141
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 200 41.15 4.44 74.5% 0.7 0.0257
The Border of Life and Death 53 29.19 8.987 49.06% 0.665 0.0641
Thriving Communities 994 31.63 0.956 49.8% 0.15 0.4318
Thriving Crops 65 28.74 10.616 46.15% 1.121 0.9812
Unnatural Proliferation 971 30.51 0.095 41.81% -0.348 -0.1441
Untended Land Crumbles 931 30.12 1.888 44.47% -0.086 0.104

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4057 59.39% 34.88 -0.123 56.59% -0.068 0.9302
B 4122 58.83% 35.62 1.729 58.18% 0.299 1.2208
C 4454 56.36% 36.07 0.038 58.64% -0.169 0.56
D 3904 57.8% 34.67 -0.093 56.17% -0.055 0.9045
E 4178 56.83% 35.8 -0.077 58.31% -0.184 0.6348
F 3599 60.21% 35.63 0.016 57.85% -0.06 0.8215
G 3032 59.04% 35.22 -0.346 57.09% -0.22 0.6053
H 3253 58.88% 36.21 1.344 58.44% 0.189 1.028
East 760 61.18% 34.19 1.037 43.03% -0.502 0.3727
Northeast 314 61.78% 34.21 0.324 41.72% -0.371 0.3814
Northwest 279 57.71% 32.68 -0.887 43.01% 0.013 0.9047
Southeast 288 60.42% 33.64 -5.218 44.79% -0.812 0.0265
Southwest 236 61.86% 32.59 0.544 47.46% 0.244 1.5484
West 675 62.22% 32.68 -0.77 43.41% -0.262 0.6875

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 28 0.0% 57.43 0.0 75.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 5 100.0% 20.8 0.0 20.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 362 16.14% 59.8 -1.981 85.91% -0.249 -0.852
Start of Game Growth 500 22.47% 55.1 0.686 83.0% 0.117 -0.3868
Unlimited Undo 1719 48.41% 40.07 1.285 64.28% 0.115 0.0079
Using Tokens but Not Events 1050 57.34% 32.0 0.033 50.95% -0.078 -0.1077

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4714 13.42 0.25%
II 7713 30.13 45.66%
III 6310 34.83 85.04%
IV 3557 38.67 99.58%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.453 Win Model: 0.094
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 15456 57.32% 34.49 54.5%
2 4637 62.29% 35.44 57.8%
3 1539 57.48% 36.18 58.93%
4 505 59.92% 41.31 68.91%
5 58 51.92% 31.55 44.83%
6 99 38.14% 36.68 57.58%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 11
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5283
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3426
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3517
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2933
Lose: Invader deck ran out 4
Lose: Adversary condition 2530
Win: Sacrifice victory 87
Lose: Scenario condition 120
Win: Scenario condition 118
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4054
Lose: Spirit destroyed 211

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 575 58.6% 39.62 5.132 58.61% 0.74 0.6451
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 48 50.0% 41.06 0.243 60.42% -0.05 -0.5257
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 379 71.88% 35.44 0.579 48.81% 0.205 0.3179
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 126 50.0% 39.9 6.706 60.32% 0.907 0.0945
Dances Up Earthquakes 63 69.84% 33.0 3.507 39.68% 0.392 0.3831
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 534 64.17% 39.94 -2.202 59.74% -0.487 -0.6269
Downpour Drenches the World 323 56.83% 29.26 -2.536 40.25% -0.388 -0.1606
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 563 42.27% 35.98 6.867 56.13% 1.157 0.5879
Eyes Watch From the Trees 830 51.87% 43.42 2.062 64.7% 0.338 -0.0497
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 346 55.49% 40.68 -4.603 56.36% -0.486 -0.8798
Finder of Paths Unseen 140 47.86% 24.13 -5.489 32.86% -0.516 0.2126
Fractured Days Split the Sky 402 58.85% 37.48 -0.38 47.76% 0.22 0.8607
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 445 58.43% 39.09 3.499 56.85% 0.835 0.7013
Heart of the Wildfire 617 71.75% 33.57 -5.718 48.3% -0.988 -0.6585
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2159 48.26% 44.74 2.805 71.28% 0.663 0.2397
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 165 49.09% 34.41 0.453 50.3% 0.401 0.0945
Lightning's Swift Strike 225 70.32% 37.92 0.208 50.67% -0.045 0.1928
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 264 57.41% 48.98 7.258 65.15% 0.86 0.452
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 211 58.1% 41.39 -1.149 60.66% -0.294 -0.6132
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 176 50.57% 38.24 -4.056 55.68% -0.477 -0.5579
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3098 45.03% 48.43 4.172 76.79% 0.77 0.5777
Many Minds Move as One 1273 48.55% 46.79 -0.352 73.76% 0.052 -0.164
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 766 64.38% 36.33 -2.509 50.39% -0.349 -0.2095
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 109 68.81% 19.03 -5.388 20.18% -0.78 -0.6993
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 566 67.74% 36.99 -3.687 53.0% -0.438 -0.5168
River Surges in Sunlight 594 67.75% 38.92 -0.42 52.36% 0.051 0.1762
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 56 51.79% 31.18 4.152 44.64% 0.591 0.7694
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 220 65.45% 34.22 -1.928 41.36% 0.011 0.2901
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 189 56.08% 37.36 0.755 47.62% -0.051 -0.174
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 631 61.17% 37.66 -0.611 52.77% -0.385 -0.5123
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 23 60.87% 38.57 0.558 56.52% -0.174 -0.2861
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 148 75.51% 35.55 -7.12 45.95% -0.233 0.2824
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 40 62.5% 41.73 1.302 60.0% -0.122 -0.1401
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 191 54.45% 41.14 1.435 62.3% 0.033 -0.4699
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 50 54.0% 32.1 -10.087 40.0% -0.68 -0.8717
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 169 71.01% 35.72 -3.474 47.34% -0.505 -0.5641
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 135 74.81% 37.1 4.541 49.63% 0.172 0.2539
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1603 41.92% 50.01 5.677 77.92% 0.938 1.0176
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 259 44.4% 35.47 -1.682 51.74% -0.153 -0.3396
Shifting Memory of Ages 337 67.06% 37.37 -1.221 54.3% 0.161 0.4284
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 53 54.72% 29.6 -6.465 43.4% -0.795 -0.9131
Shroud of Silent Mist 365 70.31% 33.9 -6.716 46.3% -1.069 -0.7182
Starlight Seeks its Form 815 56.44% 36.55 -4.012 54.85% -0.22 -0.3382
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1027 53.66% 38.92 3.33 56.77% 0.76 0.2468
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 949 58.49% 41.14 3.018 62.91% 0.684 0.8014
Thunderspeaker 447 65.02% 37.84 0.913 52.13% 0.164 0.1965
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 81 53.09% 23.75 -6.446 29.63% -0.683 -0.6692
Towering Roots of the Jungle 225 52.0% 39.35 6.475 60.89% 1.289 1.418
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 765 81.83% 36.55 -1.872 53.59% -0.25 -0.1234
Vital Strength of the Earth 226 74.55% 29.97 -4.049 34.51% -0.19 0.4099
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 105 61.54% 27.35 -9.81 37.14% -1.148 -0.6545
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 162 71.6% 32.87 -3.1 45.68% -0.214 0.4834
Volcano Looming High 767 65.67% 35.61 0.33 51.37% 0.127 0.1748
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 218 58.26% 30.57 -2.123 44.95% -0.216 -0.5059

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 11 54.55% 17.36 -4.736 18.18% -0.184 0.0072
Blitz 0 105 62.86% 21.88 -16.607 20.95% -0.92 -0.7028
Dahan Insurrection 4 81 38.27% 62.4 25.606 60.49% 0.463 0.2101
Despicable Theft 2 43 53.49% 27.84 -11.89 30.23% -0.464 0.1223
Elemental Invocation 1 74 48.65% 37.41 6.269 55.41% 0.618 1.357
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 813 26.57% 51.26 5.543 71.71% 0.288 -0.274
Powers Long Forgotten 1 40 52.5% 22.15 -19.112 20.0% -0.91 -0.1502
Rituals of Terror 3 65 55.38% 27.35 -5.947 26.15% -0.894 -0.774
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 35 65.71% 23.8 -5.136 14.29% -1.031 -0.1236
Second Wave 0 225 59.19% 45.33 4.128 59.56% 0.25 0.3884
The Great River 3 44 50.0% 19.66 6.935 13.64% 0.006 1.1055
Varied Terrains 2 33 51.52% 21.3 -2.149 24.24% -0.041 0.7354
Ward the Shores 2 40 57.5% 21.88 -14.677 20.0% -0.364 0.7106

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11624 55.77% 39.34 -0.472 58.18% 0.28 0.6126
1 Thematic 459 54.05% 33.0 -0.842 39.87% 0.192 0.8779
2 Archipelago 5 40.0% 70.8 0.0 100.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2362 61.73% 39.75 0.938 59.86% 0.365 0.4848
2 Coastline 274 63.87% 40.22 -1.512 61.31% -0.295 -0.3672
2 Fragment 35 74.29% 42.26 3.047 62.86% -0.038 -0.223
2 Heart 38 78.95% 42.34 -0.685 55.26% 0.11 -0.0471
2 Opposite Shores 551 47.19% 44.14 -2.743 70.78% -0.299 -0.1473
2 Thematic 125 68.8% 39.19 5.011 48.8% 0.034 0.542
2 Top to Top 136 41.18% 44.1 -2.622 71.32% -0.285 -0.3435
3 Archipelago 8 75.0% 44.75 0.0 62.5%
3 Coastline 14 42.86% 56.0 0.0 85.71%
3 Other 19 47.37% 44.95 6.09 73.68% 0.248 -0.5231
3 Round (Default) 1110 58.94% 40.77 0.523 62.88% -0.031 -0.1222
3 Sunrise 6 66.67% 31.67 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 51 64.71% 30.43 -18.079 37.25% -0.308 -0.2875
4 Coastline 10 30.0% 47.4 0.0 70.0%
4 Leaf 6 100.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 12 75.0% 52.67 -1.294 91.67% -0.252 -0.9629
4 Thematic 81 50.62% 52.1 -18.471 71.6% -0.406 -0.2836
4 Trapezoid (Default) 299 59.23% 45.86 5.179 69.9% 0.177 0.1744
5 Other 40 63.16% 37.02 4.378 55.0% 0.672 0.1576
5 Thematic 12 8.33% 28.25 0.0 25.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 7 57.14% 44.86 1.016 57.14% -0.116 -0.2196
6 Star 7 57.14% 43.29 0.0 57.14%
6 Thematic 48 4.17% 62.69 3.497 70.83% 0.204 0.4897
6 Two Centers (Default) 46 30.43% 43.17 -4.526 63.04% -0.271 0.2616
7 Other 3 33.33% 10.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 689 34.69 -1.234 44.7% -0.486 -0.235
Aid From Lesser Spirits 519 37.09 -3.174 48.75% -0.867 -0.9253
All Things Weaken 727 34.1 -3.504 45.12% -0.869 -0.5341
Attenuated Essence 145 28.24 -3.432 35.17% -0.513 -0.4792
Back Against the Wall 517 35.68 -0.055 46.23% -0.263 -0.2279
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 146 28.64 -3.691 34.93% -1.048 -0.8308
Burn Brightest Before the End 104 34.76 -0.017 42.31% -0.234 -0.2229
Disintegrating Ecosystem 640 29.73 -3.304 36.41% -0.712 -0.3673
Downward Spiral 672 33.53 -3.402 47.32% -0.678 -0.5611
Erosion of Will 654 35.25 4.93 46.94% 0.619 0.8932
Intensifying Exploitation 157 30.92 2.943 43.31% 0.176 0.3876
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 211 48.12 2.102 80.09% 0.259 -0.3137
Memory Fades to Dust 717 34.53 3.601 47.14% 0.42 0.6725
Power Corrodes the Spirit 729 34.3 -3.759 47.6% -0.9 -0.6958
Promising Farmlands 627 32.51 -1.762 44.34% -0.384 -0.1301
Shattered Fragments of Power 95 34.17 4.342 44.21% 0.063 0.1372
Slow Dissolution of Will 139 30.24 -1.417 41.01% -0.228 0.1534
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 125 44.95 -16.886 74.4% -1.259 -1.9325
The Border of Life and Death 30 29.63 2.476 46.67% 0.033 -0.568
Thriving Communities 699 35.42 -0.139 50.79% -0.186 0.096
Thriving Crops 54 33.78 -4.145 55.56% -0.401 -0.5409
Unnatural Proliferation 741 35.55 1.213 46.83% -0.315 -0.1114
Untended Land Crumbles 673 33.63 1.051 44.87% 0.041 0.231

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2962 58.29% 39.9 -1.383 59.79% -0.224 0.7742
B 3407 55.58% 41.56 0.026 63.55% 0.064 0.9864
C 3493 56.46% 40.34 0.115 60.32% 0.024 0.7533
D 2979 56.51% 39.04 1.495 58.38% 0.377 1.3357
E 3302 54.43% 41.82 0.13 63.69% 0.157 0.9757
F 2783 59.54% 39.29 0.454 58.68% 0.175 1.057
G 2402 60.08% 39.7 1.6 59.12% 0.242 1.0674
H 2538 56.89% 40.66 0.407 60.84% -0.032 0.8068
East 490 52.04% 41.2 3.103 49.39% 0.3 1.1749
Northeast 264 50.76% 42.82 -0.264 50.38% -0.329 0.4232
Northwest 255 47.83% 41.43 -3.455 49.41% -0.735 0.1567
Southeast 208 42.79% 46.33 -2.31 58.17% -0.761 0.0775
Southwest 205 40.0% 41.42 0.732 52.68% 0.18 1.4847
West 492 49.59% 37.65 2.716 46.75% 0.279 1.2286

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 28 0.0% 59.36 0.0 71.43%
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 33.33% 19.0 0.0 0.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 223 20.1% 57.78 0.0 82.96%
Start of Game Growth 552 26.64% 54.81 10.594 80.43% 1.043 0.5392
Unlimited Undo 1661 53.48% 43.05 0.748 65.86% 0.218 0.1114
Using Tokens but Not Events 706 52.51% 42.01 -0.591 63.03% -0.128 -0.1574

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3018 13.42 0.46%
II 6308 30.13 49.45%
III 5891 34.83 84.09%
IV 2180 38.67 99.77%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.517 Win Model: 0.137
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12132 55.73% 39.08 57.45%
2 3502 59.28% 40.79 61.96%
3 1200 59.1% 40.62 62.33%
4 410 56.42% 47.02 69.27%
5 41 55.0% 31.29 46.34%
6 112 22.32% 50.38 63.39%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 14
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4892
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3058
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2161
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2169
Lose: Invader deck ran out 6
Lose: Adversary condition 1501
Win: Sacrifice victory 80
Lose: Scenario condition 84
Win: Scenario condition 57
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3192
Lose: Spirit destroyed 183

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 378 72.94% 36.21 -5.181 34.13% -0.839 -0.9341
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 39 61.54% 27.59 -4.293 28.21% -0.089 -0.5646
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 196 80.1% 28.48 -4.311 16.33% -0.082 0.0307
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 93 68.82% 32.15 0.928 29.03% 0.089 -0.724
Dances Up Earthquakes 15 66.67% 37.2 2.845 46.67% 0.549 0.5402
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 295 73.9% 31.99 -2.358 28.14% -0.082 -0.2224
Downpour Drenches the World 192 54.17% 29.8 -2.849 30.73% 0.277 0.5041
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 334 64.37% 32.43 -3.114 34.73% -0.215 -0.7845
Eyes Watch From the Trees 632 67.51% 39.09 -3.013 38.61% -0.034 -0.4219
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 169 80.95% 28.65 0.714 17.75% 0.397 0.0028
Finder of Paths Unseen 120 65.0% 29.58 -7.481 27.5% -0.921 -0.1928
Fractured Days Split the Sky 214 60.09% 38.93 -1.507 35.51% -0.218 0.4225
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 221 78.73% 33.89 -2.489 27.6% -0.145 -0.2782
Heart of the Wildfire 378 80.95% 31.71 4.941 26.72% 0.798 1.1268
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1701 52.94% 45.05 1.525 55.79% 0.859 0.4356
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 76 57.89% 37.08 -1.686 42.11% 0.411 0.1051
Lightning's Swift Strike 136 82.35% 33.43 -10.935 26.47% -0.549 -0.3116
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 101 66.34% 36.83 6.135 40.59% 0.682 0.2744
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 123 74.8% 37.65 -12.83 38.21% -0.093 -0.4125
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 73 63.01% 35.05 6.99 36.99% 0.726 0.6452
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2410 56.12% 45.83 7.425 56.97% 1.601 1.4084
Many Minds Move as One 751 73.64% 40.16 -0.525 42.21% -0.06 -0.2759
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 407 75.68% 31.96 -5.673 26.04% -0.417 -0.2771
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 53 67.92% 21.32 -6.18 15.09% -0.371 -0.29
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 299 80.6% 33.23 1.227 27.76% 0.621 0.543
River Surges in Sunlight 322 77.26% 39.22 1.428 35.71% 0.746 0.8716
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 30 66.67% 30.07 -8.4 20.0% -0.133 0.045
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 112 78.57% 28.09 -2.1 18.75% -0.628 -0.3491
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 151 74.17% 39.03 1.646 40.4% 0.361 0.2386
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 347 73.49% 34.85 2.2 29.11% -0.047 -0.1736
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 15 80.0% 36.0 3.119 40.0% 0.373 0.2607
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 84 82.14% 24.33 -12.458 9.52% -0.292 0.2236
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 14 71.43% 43.0 0.0 50.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 165 61.82% 39.56 1.518 46.06% -0.033 -0.5364
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 22 63.64% 29.77 -12.458 22.73% -0.292 -0.4836
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 81 85.19% 31.04 -10.861 18.52% -0.311 -0.3705
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 71 91.55% 31.15 0.042 19.72% -0.13 -0.0487
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 779 68.89% 45.49 1.669 50.71% 0.452 0.5314
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 152 52.63% 22.71 0.044 25.0% 0.365 0.1782
Shifting Memory of Ages 142 74.65% 34.58 -10.179 29.58% -0.819 -0.5521
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 22 77.27% 37.64 0.378 40.91% -0.124 -0.2428
Shroud of Silent Mist 175 85.71% 26.06 -8.97 14.29% -0.971 -0.6202
Starlight Seeks its Form 531 73.26% 36.54 2.24 35.22% 0.713 0.5948
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 634 67.51% 33.97 -4.989 33.91% -0.517 -1.0302
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 578 72.32% 41.88 -0.951 44.29% 0.185 0.3026
Thunderspeaker 271 79.93% 34.41 -3.995 24.35% -0.519 -0.4873
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 28 53.57% 14.71 -6.209 3.57% -0.654 -0.6404
Towering Roots of the Jungle 127 59.84% 30.0 5.18 33.07% 0.551 0.6803
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 484 89.67% 33.36 -3.389 29.13% -0.71 -0.584
Vital Strength of the Earth 103 79.41% 32.62 -5.16 26.21% -0.753 -0.1532
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 71 69.01% 27.92 -2.621 22.54% 0.234 0.7273
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 120 84.17% 30.87 1.57 19.17% 0.344 1.0421
Volcano Looming High 316 72.47% 35.47 -4.197 36.08% -0.04 0.0072
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 107 56.07% 31.14 -4.253 30.84% -0.405 -0.6947

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 25.0% 12.75 -1.037 12.5% -0.096 0.0951
Blitz 0 48 60.42% 26.0 -9.681 20.83% -0.065 0.1524
Dahan Insurrection 4 95 47.37% 43.85 -9.633 25.26% -0.263 -0.5158
Despicable Theft 2 22 59.09% 34.27 -2.348 27.27% -0.014 0.5724
Elemental Invocation 1 60 68.33% 18.7 -7.756 6.67% -0.585 0.1549
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 651 30.88% 55.28 10.804 65.28% 1.41 0.8489
Powers Long Forgotten 1 39 71.79% 21.46 -4.433 7.69% -0.415 0.3451
Rituals of Terror 3 16 87.5% 31.94 0.0 12.5%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 6 50.0% 37.67 -15.18 33.33% -0.171 0.7366
Second Wave 0 124 74.19% 39.17 7.367 33.87% 0.914 1.0523
The Great River 3 6 66.67% 30.83 0.0 16.67%
Varied Terrains 2 3 33.33% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 21 76.19% 30.05 -8.778 19.05% -0.157 0.918

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7793 63.3% 40.2 1.72 44.27% 0.499 0.8312
1 Thematic 408 66.67% 33.74 -2.196 25.74% -0.191 0.4952
2 Archipelago 28 39.29% 27.43 -4.877 14.29% -0.046 0.5615
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1330 79.1% 36.05 0.27 33.08% -0.002 0.1174
2 Coastline 146 65.07% 46.0 -2.471 52.74% -0.126 -0.1984
2 Fragment 35 94.29% 35.66 16.368 28.57% 0.332 0.1475
2 Heart 23 82.61% 37.65 17.616 43.48% 0.592 0.4351
2 Opposite Shores 286 66.43% 32.3 -0.879 30.77% -0.275 -0.1239
2 Thematic 69 65.22% 30.84 -5.152 17.39% -0.256 0.2521
2 Top to Top 103 42.72% 28.02 -13.08 33.01% -0.823 -0.8817
3 Archipelago 5 40.0% 22.8 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 57.75 17.676 62.5% 0.281 -0.1285
3 Other 21 90.48% 43.24 0.0 33.33%
3 Round (Default) 591 72.76% 36.64 -3.138 39.42% -0.206 -0.2976
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 23.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 21 57.14% 23.62 -6.683 19.05% -0.278 -0.257
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 28.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 74.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 6 66.67% 38.5 24.188 33.33% 0.656 -0.0546
4 Thematic 40 77.5% 37.77 0.0 27.5%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 199 81.22% 37.07 -2.786 37.19% -0.079 -0.0813
5 Other 23 52.17% 39.43 6.604 47.83% 0.414 -0.0996
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 72.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 1 0.0% 72.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 7 57.14% 21.0 4.393 14.29% -0.052 -0.066
6 Thematic 10 40.0% 4.9 0.0 0.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 21 52.38% 36.29 0.535 23.81% -0.462 0.0709

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 529 35.29 2.302 27.98% -0.054 0.1967
Aid From Lesser Spirits 375 40.32 -1.552 37.87% -0.582 -0.6397
All Things Weaken 530 34.73 -0.463 28.68% -0.042 0.293
Attenuated Essence 110 31.34 -2.085 28.18% -0.434 -0.4
Back Against the Wall 369 34.96 4.184 26.83% -0.045 -0.0097
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 125 27.09 -5.487 20.8% -1.092 -0.8745
Burn Brightest Before the End 72 30.4 16.366 25.0% 1.069 1.0793
Disintegrating Ecosystem 481 29.44 -4.043 20.58% -0.843 -0.4982
Downward Spiral 549 34.65 -0.162 33.33% -0.082 0.0351
Erosion of Will 505 33.4 -6.149 26.14% -1.178 -0.9036
Intensifying Exploitation 107 29.99 -0.8 25.23% -0.346 -0.135
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 122 46.19 -4.426 59.84% -0.242 -0.8142
Memory Fades to Dust 549 33.52 2.234 28.23% -0.273 -0.0209
Power Corrodes the Spirit 487 33.85 -1.426 28.13% -0.595 -0.3906
Promising Farmlands 504 31.06 -3.403 24.4% -0.81 -0.5561
Shattered Fragments of Power 71 33.21 2.76 25.35% 0.525 0.5986
Slow Dissolution of Will 88 27.51 0.742 22.73% 0.008 0.3893
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 79 46.8 -13.101 64.56% -0.097 -0.771
The Border of Life and Death 11 28.45 0.0 36.36%
Thriving Communities 573 35.27 -1.339 32.64% -0.526 -0.2449
Thriving Crops 33 28.52 -12.445 30.3% -0.637 -0.7767
Unnatural Proliferation 581 35.28 3.867 28.06% 0.428 0.6313
Untended Land Crumbles 541 32.98 -11.679 25.88% -1.206 -1.0158

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1915 70.59% 38.11 0.07 39.48% 0.117 1.1148
B 2068 67.49% 37.34 2.954 39.02% 0.647 1.5689
C 2230 65.46% 38.15 -0.858 40.67% -0.23 0.4993
D 1744 67.55% 36.24 -1.672 36.41% -0.069 0.8897
E 2258 65.8% 42.08 0.488 46.72% 0.279 1.0983
F 1619 67.74% 37.21 0.671 38.85% 0.287 1.1692
G 1355 72.65% 37.69 -2.048 38.45% -0.198 0.6276
H 1536 70.42% 38.65 1.459 39.65% 0.49 1.3292
East 336 64.58% 35.18 -6.097 27.08% -0.714 0.1606
Northeast 157 69.43% 34.61 -7.432 25.48% -0.196 0.5556
Northwest 150 64.67% 29.68 5.215 22.0% 1.105 1.9975
Southeast 118 55.93% 32.13 -8.667 28.81% -0.767 0.0717
Southwest 96 61.46% 25.64 -7.724 16.67% -0.489 0.8156
West 307 66.78% 29.63 -4.325 20.2% -0.474 0.476

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 5 0.0% 38.6 0.0 40.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 249 14.98% 70.25 12.031 88.35% 0.825 0.222
Start of Game Growth 489 27.72% 64.9 7.079 82.62% 0.489 -0.0155
Unlimited Undo 1198 61.94% 41.34 1.937 48.25% 0.092 -0.0156
Using Tokens but Not Events 496 53.77% 45.47 -1.82 55.04% 0.034 0.0043

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1970 13.42 2.03%
II 5942 30.13 35.26%
III 2472 34.83 66.91%
IV 800 38.67 99.75%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.189 Win Model: -0.162
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8252 63.3% 39.83 43.23%
2 1990 74.62% 35.69 33.57%
3 633 72.67% 36.3 38.23%
4 251 78.31% 37.75 37.45%
5 23 52.17% 32.35 34.78%
6 35 48.57% 31.0 22.86%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 40
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1624
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2056
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 793
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1647
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3
Lose: Adversary condition 1261
Win: Sacrifice victory 46
Lose: Scenario condition 77
Win: Scenario condition 28
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3488
Lose: Spirit destroyed 121

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2379 62.38% 45.44 -2.054 33.75% 0.257 0.1622
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 424 46.46% 33.71 6.45 27.12% 0.644 0.1678
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 973 80.56% 42.56 5.357 22.51% 0.475 0.5879
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 842 71.14% 33.93 0.536 29.45% 0.584 -0.2292
Dances Up Earthquakes 420 54.76% 36.69 0.85 35.95% 0.877 0.8676
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1219 84.1% 29.38 -6.893 12.88% -1.287 -1.4265
Downpour Drenches the World 1333 60.24% 26.63 -4.034 17.7% -0.259 -0.0315
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1445 73.49% 25.82 -6.453 18.06% -0.475 -1.0441
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2730 65.21% 51.47 -2.297 37.11% -0.25 -0.6375
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 651 82.9% 34.42 -1.404 20.43% -0.326 -0.7201
Finder of Paths Unseen 585 58.56% 28.95 0.351 21.54% 0.659 1.3876
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3505 45.39% 53.4 -2.801 43.57% 0.096 0.7371
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1071 82.34% 32.97 -5.66 20.73% -0.402 -0.5354
Heart of the Wildfire 1621 82.82% 27.6 -5.978 12.34% -0.881 -0.5517
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 15459 56.14% 55.85 3.675 62.4% 1.202 0.7785
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 589 56.97% 28.43 -4.949 24.79% -0.035 -0.3416
Lightning's Swift Strike 627 80.33% 33.99 -1.093 20.41% 0.104 0.342
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1168 71.15% 40.57 5.8 33.56% 1.311 0.9037
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 568 84.98% 38.14 -4.227 26.94% -0.652 -0.9709
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 653 60.8% 48.16 0.169 45.02% 0.452 0.3711
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 11044 68.8% 45.47 -1.018 43.06% 0.422 0.2291
Many Minds Move as One 2999 69.54% 47.52 -0.069 36.31% 0.299 0.0824
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1968 76.52% 31.66 -9.226 17.99% -1.276 -1.1362
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 443 70.36% 22.83 -5.521 14.0% -0.749 -0.6677
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 920 82.3% 35.2 -3.324 22.83% -0.784 -0.8626
River Surges in Sunlight 1908 81.24% 54.83 -0.012 36.01% 0.144 0.2697
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 313 60.7% 32.18 -2.112 20.45% 0.274 0.4521
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 505 62.9% 39.29 -5.906 23.96% -0.949 -0.6697
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 928 66.88% 45.68 5.063 31.57% 0.549 0.4264
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3220 62.24% 46.71 -0.874 41.02% 0.101 -0.0263
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 132 59.09% 30.48 -2.47 25.0% 0.062 -0.0502
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 420 85.89% 36.07 7.741 18.1% -0.008 0.5074
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 85 77.65% 31.81 -4.04 15.29% -0.142 -0.1607
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 863 70.45% 31.61 -1.424 24.91% 0.196 -0.3075
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 103 78.64% 33.04 -9.71 24.27% -0.689 -0.8805
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 340 83.24% 34.58 -5.503 18.53% -0.35 -0.4093
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 266 78.95% 37.74 -8.797 26.69% -0.227 -0.1456
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2400 73.02% 45.1 -4.087 39.29% 0.201 0.2805
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 852 64.91% 30.12 -4.173 27.0% 0.139 -0.048
Shifting Memory of Ages 2131 55.63% 34.89 -1.501 21.45% -0.052 0.2154
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 334 49.1% 36.6 3.311 35.93% 1.115 0.9969
Shroud of Silent Mist 753 80.0% 30.07 -8.944 15.01% -1.066 -0.715
Starlight Seeks its Form 4282 63.61% 39.65 -6.511 38.09% -0.178 -0.2953
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6713 56.28% 47.75 9.446 41.29% 1.686 1.1732
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2450 79.7% 43.65 2.14 37.51% 1.038 1.1559
Thunderspeaker 1173 78.05% 41.44 3.965 23.79% 0.019 0.0508
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 131 74.62% 21.65 9.755 13.74% 1.34 1.3532
Towering Roots of the Jungle 802 59.23% 22.29 -3.977 18.33% -0.102 0.0279
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2624 88.87% 33.65 -2.321 22.45% -0.177 -0.0507
Vital Strength of the Earth 384 75.52% 31.27 -9.319 15.1% -0.558 0.0415
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 348 57.76% 28.46 -4.528 19.54% -0.598 -0.1041
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 415 78.74% 30.49 -11.742 15.42% -0.961 -0.2632
Volcano Looming High 2419 76.95% 37.61 -3.65 29.81% -0.051 -0.0036
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 707 63.65% 23.09 -6.006 14.43% -0.651 -0.9407

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 366 57.46% 43.09 -8.428 34.15% -0.46 -0.2426
Dahan Insurrection 4 2889 31.14% 65.59 29.711 49.43% 2.633 2.3799
Despicable Theft 2 13 50.0% 35.77 0.0 23.08%
Elemental Invocation 1 155 81.29% 30.8 -16.661 10.97% -0.512 0.2269
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2987 44.5% 48.16 -4.443 41.71% -0.476 -1.0379
Powers Long Forgotten 1 27 37.04% 10.26 -14.031 3.7% -0.831 -0.0714
Rituals of Terror 3 1181 46.1% 112.86 21.486 64.78% 2.845 2.9652
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 52 38.46% 21.58 -26.714 7.69% -0.088 0.8192
Second Wave 0 148 68.24% 47.01 1.613 39.86% -0.03 0.1086
The Great River 3 55 65.45% 31.04 0.0 7.27%
Varied Terrains 2 28 50.0% 51.29 -11.825 39.29% -0.238 0.5382
Ward the Shores 2 47 82.98% 37.09 0.0 17.02%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 58652 67.49% 43.35 0.576 39.93% 0.079 0.4114
1 Thematic 1163 70.77% 41.29 -1.553 26.83% -0.575 0.1108
2 Archipelago 143 41.26% 60.53 -25.606 36.36% -0.983 -0.375
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4584 76.9% 38.05 0.282 29.97% -0.285 -0.1652
2 Coastline 1028 69.1% 35.73 0.751 27.24% -0.15 -0.2224
2 Fragment 118 81.36% 43.04 6.886 38.14% 0.198 0.0131
2 Heart 170 73.53% 44.42 4.767 27.06% 0.315 0.1578
2 Opposite Shores 1889 64.0% 33.08 -2.61 18.16% -0.328 -0.1765
2 Thematic 838 67.14% 85.21 0.903 45.58% 0.007 0.5147
2 Top to Top 301 63.79% 33.35 9.097 27.57% 1.258 1.1991
3 Archipelago 75 73.33% 98.95 27.658 56.0% -0.365 -1.3164
3 Coastline 24 70.83% 33.71 0.0 29.17%
3 Other 69 68.12% 46.52 9.978 40.58% 1.068 0.2969
3 Round (Default) 2270 69.65% 36.98 -7.347 30.53% -1.781 -1.8719
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 80.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 451 16.89% 105.44 16.432 64.52% -0.036 -0.015
4 Archipelago 4 100.0% 137.25 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 11 54.55% 38.27 0.0 36.36%
4 Leaf 7 71.43% 21.71 0.0 14.29%
4 Other 51 76.47% 41.98 -16.838 23.53% -0.365 -1.0755
4 Thematic 370 31.08% 79.24 -3.221 59.73% -0.65 -0.527
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1063 61.93% 37.74 -8.48 30.01% -2.45 -2.453
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 30.5 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 81.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 78 54.67% 40.23 17.941 28.21% 1.425 0.9113
5 Thematic 42 50.0% 55.07 -12.432 26.19% -0.051 -0.1078
6 Archipelago 13 41.67% 64.15 0.0 46.15%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 86 44.19% 47.56 7.092 53.49% 0.655 0.551
6 Star 17 41.18% 42.82 0.0 41.18%
6 Thematic 74 45.21% 22.47 37.008 10.81% 0.302 0.5877
6 Two Centers (Default) 271 24.72% 52.71 12.717 48.71% 0.82 1.3531
7 Archipelago 8 42.86% 80.75 -17.563 50.0% -0.215 -0.1503
7 Other 4 50.0% 15.25 -22.34 0.0% -0.382 -0.9403

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3454 40.33 0.257 28.63% -0.614 -0.3627
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2462 44.66 2.08 34.77% -0.402 -0.4599
All Things Weaken 3676 40.22 0.158 28.07% -0.5 -0.1649
Attenuated Essence 853 32.85 2.121 23.56% -0.062 -0.028
Back Against the Wall 2398 43.12 -0.172 31.57% -0.61 -0.575
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 871 33.57 0.475 24.45% -0.529 -0.3119
Burn Brightest Before the End 579 37.57 1.304 27.46% -0.318 -0.3077
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3245 34.5 -1.548 20.34% -0.864 -0.5195
Downward Spiral 3473 41.44 0.68 32.97% -0.117 -0.0001
Erosion of Will 3386 38.45 1.112 24.99% -0.325 -0.0508
Intensifying Exploitation 873 33.02 -1.188 25.09% -0.559 -0.3477
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 772 58.21 3.537 65.03% 0.251 -0.3213
Memory Fades to Dust 3576 40.58 -0.106 30.2% -0.549 -0.2965
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3484 39.3 2.114 27.96% -0.232 -0.0277
Promising Farmlands 3304 38.31 1.091 27.39% -0.282 -0.0275
Shattered Fragments of Power 533 34.87 2.669 22.89% -0.057 0.0168
Slow Dissolution of Will 906 32.26 1.381 20.64% -0.436 -0.0542
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 475 62.43 9.293 70.53% 0.798 0.1241
The Border of Life and Death 154 38.06 1.437 43.51% 0.004 -0.597
Thriving Communities 3544 39.68 -0.623 29.2% -0.503 -0.2213
Thriving Crops 256 32.89 0.155 34.38% -0.08 -0.2204
Unnatural Proliferation 3735 40.36 2.339 26.85% -0.099 0.105
Untended Land Crumbles 3702 39.28 1.022 28.71% -0.3 -0.1094

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12094 69.26% 38.11 -1.55 31.02% -0.436 0.5614
B 12215 70.06% 40.14 -1.785 34.54% -0.42 0.5023
C 13934 66.84% 43.29 1.058 37.13% -0.371 0.3583
D 10199 67.76% 38.82 -1.186 32.06% -0.488 0.4708
E 13200 67.65% 43.34 0.028 39.57% -0.248 0.5709
F 9674 67.8% 40.5 0.178 35.26% -0.385 0.4964
G 7872 69.07% 41.65 0.491 36.32% -0.199 0.6265
H 10555 59.79% 46.72 -1.495 44.97% -0.517 0.3216
East 2145 49.58% 77.61 8.025 47.27% -0.951 -0.0758
Northeast 1234 38.72% 81.68 5.878 50.81% -0.863 -0.1106
Northwest 764 49.54% 65.68 0.065 40.31% -0.597 0.2955
Southeast 495 52.02% 46.94 10.76 30.3% 0.769 1.6083
Southwest 500 57.11% 39.35 4.127 26.2% -0.184 1.1202
West 2036 49.63% 75.53 12.779 46.27% 0.115 1.0645

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 50 0.0% 55.94 -14.697 56.0% -0.473 0.2556
Not Using Events or Tokens 11 72.73% 118.18 0.0 63.64%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1875 31.21% 62.84 6.371 63.79% 0.15 -0.4527
Start of Game Growth 3145 34.48% 61.16 6.983 65.56% 1.093 0.5892
Unlimited Undo 6801 58.02% 50.79 2.649 53.98% 0.657 0.5494
Using Tokens but Not Events 3423 57.55% 45.77 -6.867 36.66% -0.802 -0.8318

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 22443 13.42 0.67%
II 32014 30.13 36.93%
III 13529 34.83 76.38%
IV 5938 38.67 99.88%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.375 Win Model: 0.113
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 61588 67.09% 43.72 39.44%
2 7829 73.18% 42.04 30.64%
3 2585 66.11% 42.03 32.84%
4 1397 58.0% 42.47 34.22%
5 102 47.47% 37.57 24.51%
6 423 30.4% 48.56 46.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 132
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10165
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10213
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5399
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 13002
Lose: Invader deck ran out 62
Lose: Adversary condition 8726
Win: Sacrifice victory 894
Lose: Scenario condition 633
Win: Scenario condition 1434
Lose: Blight pool ran out 22370
Lose: Spirit destroyed 894

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)