The Tsardom of Russia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 797 22.86% 28.68 -0.461 89.96% 0.179 0.0646
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 519 44.21% 26.79 -0.935 87.48% -0.325 -0.2609
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 866 27.35% 28.66 -1.322 91.57% -0.954 -1.1628
Downpour Drenches the World 144 19.44% 31.54 0.053 93.75% 0.064 0.4188
Eyes Watch From the Trees 924 15.64% 32.52 2.15 95.02% 0.937 0.4418
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 748 24.19% 30.14 0.639 93.45% 0.38 -0.1196
Finder of Paths Unseen 39 33.33% 29.0 -1.976 74.36% -0.068 0.3088
Fractured Days Split the Sky 387 33.33% 30.25 0.137 84.5% -0.402 -0.349
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 518 42.28% 29.2 -0.026 82.05% -0.339 -0.403
Heart of the Wildfire 624 57.21% 23.75 -1.965 77.08% -1.153 -0.8486
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1289 26.32% 28.57 0.225 93.79% 1.457 0.9084
Lightning's Swift Strike 465 36.88% 27.41 -0.116 86.67% 0.247 0.5746
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 44 29.55% 33.34 0.504 97.73% 0.38 -0.4466
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 261 23.85% 29.14 4.583 90.04% 0.318 -0.1468
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 215 27.57% 31.85 6.833 89.77% 0.336 -0.241
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1386 28.29% 29.41 0.508 91.92% 0.339 0.2613
Many Minds Move as One 1133 20.0% 29.45 1.238 95.76% 0.428 -0.1631
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 863 39.35% 27.65 -0.637 86.1% -0.515 -0.6502
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 736 30.84% 28.12 -0.988 89.27% 0.311 0.2866
River Surges in Sunlight 620 38.39% 29.43 -0.222 84.35% 0.169 0.033
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 383 37.86% 29.69 0.873 84.07% 0.194 0.6356
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 38 23.68% 35.5 2.21 86.84% -0.258 -0.6351
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 639 27.39% 28.9 -0.513 90.45% -0.796 -0.8999
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 296 50.51% 25.79 -1.584 81.08% 0.053 0.5166
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 15 26.67% 37.07 1.3 80.0% 0.25 0.2406
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 18 44.44% 30.78 -1.192 94.44% -0.257 -0.1335
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 236 33.9% 27.77 1.143 88.98% -0.002 -0.0591
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 190 36.32% 28.48 3.363 88.95% -0.246 -0.18
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 967 26.17% 28.52 0.224 91.42% 0.554 0.3553
Shifting Memory of Ages 315 44.44% 25.83 -0.884 78.73% -1.003 -0.8322
Shroud of Silent Mist 452 46.02% 26.18 -1.207 83.85% -0.301 -0.1048
Starlight Seeks its Form 438 24.66% 31.85 0.848 88.58% 0.258 0.1821
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1021 27.06% 26.89 -0.876 90.89% 0.503 0.2667
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 671 30.6% 28.2 -1.639 88.38% -0.588 -0.4993
Thunderspeaker 692 29.91% 30.37 -0.952 86.56% -0.407 -0.4735
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 904 64.93% 24.17 -0.247 86.28% 1.039 0.7718
Vital Strength of the Earth 443 32.2% 24.61 -2.345 77.65% -0.434 0.4252
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 33 33.33% 29.27 -1.846 81.82% -0.112 0.4253
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 205 29.27% 23.73 -1.854 81.95% 0.286 1.4832
Volcano Looming High 651 45.08% 25.21 -0.617 81.41% -0.368 -0.404

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 0.0% 37.75 0.0 100.0%
Blitz 0 191 30.0% 24.59 -3.011 82.72% -0.439 0.0499
Dahan Insurrection 4 342 17.84% 50.55 8.361 90.35% -0.481 -0.3408
Despicable Theft 2 79 36.71% 36.06 4.335 82.28% 0.218 0.6647
Elemental Invocation 1 113 41.59% 28.34 1.016 81.42% -0.114 0.5236
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 546 11.36% 31.47 2.558 86.08% -0.063 0.1038
Powers Long Forgotten 1 124 54.03% 28.84 -3.968 75.81% -1.19 -0.5795
Rituals of Terror 3 140 45.59% 36.61 5.972 75.71% -0.274 -0.4237
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 107 66.36% 37.99 5.114 79.44% -0.104 0.2236
Second Wave 0 297 51.52% 32.37 4.73 75.08% -0.162 0.3453
The Great River 3 113 51.33% 32.41 0.571 66.37% -1.213 0.5177
Varied Terrains 2 27 51.85% 33.85 -0.66 66.67% -0.927 -0.1669
Ward the Shores 2 193 37.5% 31.7 3.181 78.76% 0.28 1.0793

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 9175 34.71% 27.2 0.09 87.2% 0.308 0.9803
1 Thematic 1362 45.4% 31.12 -0.155 84.88% -0.127 0.9838
2 Archipelago 12 50.0% 29.17 -7.704 58.33% -0.689 0.4814
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1861 32.35% 27.47 -0.39 89.84% 0.161 0.684
2 Coastline 204 31.37% 27.88 0.429 89.22% 0.003 0.2357
2 Fragment 42 26.19% 28.07 0.0 88.1%
2 Heart 24 41.67% 22.5 0.0 79.17%
2 Opposite Shores 272 24.63% 28.14 -1.187 93.38% 0.31 0.8219
2 Thematic 292 35.62% 33.29 1.925 86.64% -0.045 0.9545
2 Top to Top 34 17.65% 28.32 -0.731 94.12% 0.069 0.3086
3 Archipelago 4 75.0% 30.75 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 11 63.64% 34.55 0.0 72.73%
3 Other 32 31.25% 24.59 0.0 93.75%
3 Round (Default) 845 29.89% 28.2 -0.022 90.06% 0.099 0.3565
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 19.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 51 41.18% 30.67 2.892 80.39% 0.158 0.6608
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 4 75.0% 30.75 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 2 0.0% 31.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 16 43.75% 31.63 -3.081 93.75% 0.008 -0.5272
4 Thematic 81 19.75% 36.36 -0.485 92.59% -0.266 -0.1363
4 Trapezoid (Default) 345 23.48% 28.35 -1.878 89.86% -0.641 -0.3566
5 Other 24 41.67% 35.29 -0.847 83.33% 0.253 -0.4387
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 3 66.67% 44.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 16 31.25% 31.88 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 23 17.39% 38.04 0.506 95.65% 0.073 -0.0583
6 Two Centers (Default) 50 14.0% 33.54 1.382 90.0% 0.065 0.5673
7 Other 2 0.0% 40.0 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 355 22.16 -2.443 69.01% -1.249 0.6997
Aid From Lesser Spirits 293 22.89 -3.107 69.62% -1.357 0.4127
All Things Weaken 419 20.48 -4.348 62.53% -1.789 0.2881
Back Against the Wall 306 21.09 -5.036 61.44% -2.219 -0.3305
Disintegrating Ecosystem 357 18.99 -3.233 66.67% -0.899 1.1891
Downward Spiral 400 21.43 -3.609 73.25% -1.124 0.7583
Erosion of Will 338 22.28 -3.88 68.64% -1.908 0.1923
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 193 27.73 0.497 94.82% 0.255 0.8393
Memory Fades to Dust 421 20.42 -5.172 65.8% -2.23 -0.1583
Power Corrodes the Spirit 378 22.01 -1.027 71.43% -1.066 0.8542
Promising Farmlands 322 19.99 -4.265 64.6% -0.842 1.2073
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 125 26.82 0.786 96.0% -0.313 0.0895
Thriving Communities 392 19.43 -4.513 66.33% -1.754 0.295
Unnatural Proliferation 407 21.05 -4.143 64.62% -1.504 0.4667
Untended Land Crumbles 388 20.85 -3.874 67.01% -1.729 0.2905

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2414 32.42% 27.51 0.325 87.78% -0.052 0.6962
B 2489 32.03% 27.47 0.268 88.51% 0.332 1.0386
C 2667 31.91% 27.84 0.062 89.09% 0.244 0.7211
D 2471 33.66% 27.52 -0.353 88.55% -0.183 0.4952
E 2403 32.43% 27.78 -0.04 88.64% 0.051 0.6142
F 2313 31.54% 27.95 -0.366 88.15% -0.235 0.4133
G 2009 31.25% 28.31 0.125 89.6% -0.037 0.5776
H 2098 32.38% 27.57 -0.617 88.13% -0.391 0.2357
East 1093 40.88% 32.76 0.848 89.11% -0.639 -0.0931
Northeast 384 35.94% 34.54 0.819 84.9% -0.424 0.25
Northwest 368 37.77% 33.7 1.443 85.6% 0.393 0.8636
Southeast 547 46.44% 30.36 0.224 92.87% 0.112 0.8165
Southwest 348 33.62% 28.69 -0.578 83.05% 0.262 1.2633
West 931 38.45% 32.0 1.039 83.35% -0.072 0.7106

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 34 0.0% 29.62 -0.709 94.12% 0.039 2.2677
Not Using Events or Tokens 28 28.57% 30.86 0.0 82.14%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 334 7.43% 39.05 0.583 96.71% 0.234 -1.0124
Start of Game Growth 567 11.71% 36.32 1.475 95.59% 0.131 -0.2933
Unlimited Undo 1022 25.07% 29.69 -0.672 92.37% -0.267 -0.756
Using Tokens but Not Events 1309 28.39% 28.6 0.667 87.85% 0.611 0.7717

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 936 22.68 47.12%
II 5356 31.11 85.03%
III 5815 34.69 91.33%
IV 2695 37.96 99.29%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.089 Win Model: 0.153
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 10644 36.29% 27.73 86.7%
2 2684 31.22% 28.08 90.28%
3 923 30.18% 28.33 89.92%
4 445 23.6% 30.32 90.79%
5 12 33.33% 29.67 83.33%
6 94 19.15% 34.85 92.55%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 440
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5130
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4227
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2650
Lose: Invader deck ran out 139
Lose: Adversary condition 119
Win: Sacrifice victory 74
Lose: Scenario condition 107
Win: Scenario condition 461
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1360
Lose: Spirit destroyed 95

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 478 44.86% 32.5 -0.085 74.9% 0.165 0.0512
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 317 68.45% 30.28 -2.425 70.03% -0.44 -0.3763
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 469 41.11% 34.2 -0.207 78.89% -0.246 -0.455
Downpour Drenches the World 63 42.62% 32.89 0.117 74.6% -0.57 -0.2143
Eyes Watch From the Trees 696 32.28% 38.85 1.508 85.78% 0.194 -0.3015
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 423 43.1% 35.05 2.562 81.8% 1.147 0.6476
Finder of Paths Unseen 21 61.9% 31.57 -1.104 71.43% 0.059 0.4355
Fractured Days Split the Sky 231 47.19% 33.96 2.397 72.29% -0.055 -0.0017
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 321 61.06% 32.38 1.261 73.21% 0.553 0.4891
Heart of the Wildfire 462 77.06% 24.17 -0.708 53.46% 0.257 0.5612
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 973 44.75% 33.84 -0.336 79.24% 0.091 -0.458
Lightning's Swift Strike 246 60.25% 28.94 1.188 63.41% 0.19 0.5176
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 12 50.0% 39.25 2.475 91.67% 0.243 -0.5835
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 134 61.94% 32.87 3.407 72.39% -0.043 -0.5075
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 133 41.35% 42.19 -3.027 78.2% -0.61 -1.1873
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1036 42.8% 35.18 1.263 86.2% 1.02 0.9427
Many Minds Move as One 960 34.93% 36.47 0.989 90.73% 0.443 -0.1474
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 557 54.43% 32.67 -0.818 70.92% -0.245 -0.3805
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 432 51.62% 33.44 -0.212 78.94% 0.328 0.304
River Surges in Sunlight 385 54.69% 32.2 1.42 69.61% -0.015 -0.1505
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 244 55.56% 37.43 -1.323 70.9% -0.524 -0.0822
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 27 59.26% 33.11 2.772 77.78% 0.33 -0.0469
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 361 54.29% 29.72 -1.126 69.25% -0.203 -0.3067
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 168 66.07% 28.74 -1.634 65.48% -0.209 0.2537
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 15 73.33% 33.47 6.268 73.33% 0.454 0.4446
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 11 72.73% 26.09 -2.156 54.55% -0.286 -0.1628
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 133 60.9% 30.79 -2.652 73.68% -0.232 -0.289
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 96 56.25% 33.74 -0.664 72.92% -0.263 -0.1965
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 878 40.36% 35.0 0.652 83.83% -0.033 -0.2324
Shifting Memory of Ages 189 55.56% 30.52 1.887 72.49% 0.507 0.678
Shroud of Silent Mist 220 70.0% 27.12 -1.361 60.45% 0.26 0.4569
Starlight Seeks its Form 318 24.84% 39.17 2.574 90.25% 0.95 0.8737
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 575 45.63% 27.98 -4.182 65.04% -0.726 -0.9626
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 489 42.8% 34.15 -1.124 76.89% -0.336 -0.2466
Thunderspeaker 511 45.99% 36.02 1.807 71.62% -0.228 -0.2938
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 346 80.92% 25.77 -6.142 61.27% -1.187 -1.454
Vital Strength of the Earth 247 50.2% 28.8 -3.56 57.49% -0.499 0.3603
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 14 50.0% 36.43 3.032 92.86% 0.774 1.3115
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 139 42.45% 29.7 -1.516 71.94% -0.087 1.1107
Volcano Looming High 365 60.55% 29.22 -1.881 69.32% -0.584 -0.62

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 0.0% 43.0 0.599 100.0% 0.093 -0.29
Blitz 0 138 53.62% 26.59 -3.017 59.42% -0.712 -0.2229
Dahan Insurrection 4 246 26.02% 57.73 11.958 81.3% 0.088 0.2281
Despicable Theft 2 58 74.14% 33.59 2.796 50.0% -0.055 0.3915
Elemental Invocation 1 72 66.67% 28.83 -4.622 52.78% -0.791 -0.153
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 380 21.37% 37.66 0.834 80.26% -0.258 -0.0917
Powers Long Forgotten 1 109 61.47% 30.83 1.738 56.88% -0.236 0.3746
Rituals of Terror 3 77 64.94% 39.75 0.0 62.34%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 66 83.33% 36.26 0.0 51.52%
Second Wave 0 634 54.59% 31.76 1.387 66.72% 0.198 0.7053
The Great River 3 53 79.25% 28.43 -5.204 37.74% -0.568 1.1623
Varied Terrains 2 14 50.0% 37.14 3.037 57.14% -0.241 0.519
Ward the Shores 2 126 51.59% 35.33 1.678 64.29% -0.254 0.5448

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6060 48.62% 31.32 -0.002 73.53% 0.433 1.1053
1 Thematic 797 56.91% 33.39 0.014 60.48% -0.153 0.9579
2 Archipelago 4 75.0% 45.5 17.458 100.0% 0.085 1.256
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1203 51.87% 31.17 -1.099 76.31% -0.171 0.3525
2 Coastline 176 48.57% 31.56 -2.322 75.57% 0.0 0.2328
2 Fragment 41 58.54% 30.07 -4.043 70.73% -0.513 -0.2844
2 Heart 16 56.25% 26.25 0.0 56.25%
2 Opposite Shores 247 48.78% 31.42 -2.477 78.14% -0.492 0.0205
2 Thematic 191 66.49% 33.71 3.383 66.49% 0.677 1.6768
2 Top to Top 42 50.0% 35.26 -0.599 90.48% 0.308 0.5476
3 Archipelago 10 80.0% 31.8 0.0 30.0%
3 Coastline 9 66.67% 39.78 0.0 77.78%
3 Other 20 60.0% 32.25 -1.799 85.0% 0.096 -0.6069
3 Round (Default) 478 37.74% 36.71 0.294 85.77% -0.205 0.0528
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 47 68.09% 36.57 0.0 72.34%
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 26.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 34.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 17.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 25 56.0% 33.04 0.0 84.0%
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 68 54.41% 39.9 -0.73 79.41% -0.619 -0.4888
4 Trapezoid (Default) 186 44.86% 35.58 0.656 83.87% 0.412 0.6961
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 80.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 25 29.17% 56.12 14.84 88.0% 0.105 -0.5862
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 8 12.5% 63.75 0.0 87.5%
6 Thematic 1 0.0% 59.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 17 17.65% 70.18 2.035 94.12% 0.059 0.5619

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 346 24.78 -6.339 51.45% -1.273 0.6756
Aid From Lesser Spirits 295 26.97 -5.182 60.0% -1.353 0.4167
All Things Weaken 389 24.2 -5.99 50.39% -1.553 0.5234
Back Against the Wall 288 24.06 -2.565 46.18% -0.661 1.2278
Disintegrating Ecosystem 343 20.25 -7.47 41.98% -1.738 0.3501
Downward Spiral 368 24.51 -4.768 54.89% -1.278 0.6045
Erosion of Will 326 24.52 -6.116 54.91% -1.785 0.316
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 147 34.8 0.972 84.35% 0.576 1.1606
Memory Fades to Dust 417 24.86 -4.656 57.07% -1.449 0.6227
Power Corrodes the Spirit 344 23.14 -7.836 49.71% -1.96 -0.0401
Promising Farmlands 322 23.51 -4.911 53.42% -1.495 0.5546
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 80 31.43 0.444 85.0% 0.13 0.5324
Thriving Communities 365 23.19 -5.629 49.04% -1.423 0.6256
Unnatural Proliferation 389 24.39 -4.019 50.9% -1.215 0.756
Untended Land Crumbles 382 22.75 -6.711 50.79% -1.592 0.4283

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1658 48.52% 32.36 -1.218 75.21% -0.319 0.4295
B 1683 47.41% 33.34 -0.366 77.84% 0.151 0.858
C 1759 45.64% 33.33 -0.105 78.0% 0.111 0.588
D 1614 47.18% 32.81 1.019 75.9% 0.473 1.1512
E 1538 46.12% 33.27 0.415 77.96% -0.047 0.5161
F 1481 49.63% 32.44 0.251 75.62% 0.166 0.8151
G 1276 48.55% 32.7 0.171 76.41% 0.243 0.8572
H 1291 48.6% 33.02 1.246 76.84% 0.298 0.9238
East 624 59.87% 35.71 2.43 66.19% 0.259 0.8054
Northeast 269 64.55% 36.69 0.878 68.4% -0.232 0.4421
Northwest 223 59.19% 34.01 1.605 63.68% -0.015 0.4549
Southeast 213 58.22% 35.33 1.593 69.01% -0.035 0.6702
Southwest 214 64.02% 27.79 -6.979 57.01% -1.209 -0.208
West 624 58.97% 33.68 1.989 62.82% -0.041 0.7424

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 15 0.0% 33.4 10.735 60.0% 0.044 2.2729
Not Using Events or Tokens 25 40.0% 23.08 0.0 36.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 195 14.36% 45.53 3.026 93.85% 0.557 -0.6894
Start of Game Growth 288 18.37% 43.59 2.159 90.28% 0.191 -0.2336
Unlimited Undo 754 43.78% 33.94 1.319 81.17% 0.682 0.1928
Using Tokens but Not Events 815 39.88% 34.77 -1.251 77.3% -0.528 -0.3673

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1178 22.68 16.98%
II 3614 31.11 70.95%
III 3724 34.69 86.39%
IV 1171 37.96 99.57%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.253 Win Model: 0.347
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6918 49.88% 31.53 71.73%
2 1907 52.23% 31.79 76.51%
3 541 41.3% 36.14 83.92%
4 279 46.04% 38.14 84.23%
5 28 18.52% 64.46 89.29%
6 14 28.57% 44.86 85.71%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 199
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3107
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2354
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1155
Lose: Invader deck ran out 57
Lose: Adversary condition 925
Win: Sacrifice victory 51
Lose: Scenario condition 70
Win: Scenario condition 281
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1397
Lose: Spirit destroyed 91

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 557 36.58% 40.62 -0.629 82.76% -0.472 -0.5861
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 457 57.77% 36.95 -0.627 78.56% -0.252 -0.1886
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 547 42.75% 39.35 1.022 84.83% 0.098 -0.1114
Downpour Drenches the World 79 50.63% 40.05 0.063 79.75% -0.061 0.2945
Eyes Watch From the Trees 796 30.06% 42.84 2.756 90.58% 0.601 0.1054
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 413 39.71% 41.12 0.424 87.65% 0.132 -0.3674
Finder of Paths Unseen 43 69.77% 35.67 0.615 65.12% -0.42 -0.0436
Fractured Days Split the Sky 288 51.04% 39.67 0.743 73.61% -0.317 -0.2636
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 329 57.75% 36.81 -1.313 75.08% -0.385 -0.4488
Heart of the Wildfire 590 64.92% 35.74 -1.523 73.39% -0.028 0.2764
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1225 40.82% 38.54 -0.524 83.02% -0.325 -0.8742
Lightning's Swift Strike 272 63.2% 36.52 -5.842 75.74% -1.154 -0.8266
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 26 46.15% 36.38 -2.699 76.92% -0.63 -1.4562
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 180 51.96% 37.75 -1.227 77.78% -0.153 -0.6179
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 146 47.26% 41.6 -2.896 78.77% -0.407 -0.9844
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1425 39.99% 41.74 1.418 90.39% 0.611 0.5335
Many Minds Move as One 1117 30.08% 42.29 1.797 93.55% 0.838 0.2471
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 742 50.34% 39.27 0.391 76.95% 0.105 -0.0302
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 516 42.64% 39.52 0.419 86.05% 0.287 0.2628
River Surges in Sunlight 589 46.08% 42.32 -0.774 83.02% -0.459 -0.5945
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 219 58.45% 38.21 -0.538 76.26% -0.387 0.0544
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 54 36.54% 48.89 6.505 85.19% 0.7 0.3223
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 507 48.92% 37.17 -1.331 81.07% -0.625 -0.7295
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 202 59.9% 34.55 2.01 71.29% 0.168 0.6307
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 6 66.67% 44.67 3.41 100.0% 0.274 0.2646
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 19 47.37% 38.53 0.873 84.21% 0.17 0.2936
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 157 50.96% 38.34 -4.105 78.98% -0.519 -0.576
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 119 65.55% 36.89 0.0 78.99%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 991 34.78% 41.2 2.001 89.2% 0.912 0.7132
Shifting Memory of Ages 241 59.34% 35.73 -1.827 75.52% -0.153 0.0177
Shroud of Silent Mist 318 61.32% 36.29 -3.061 77.04% -0.781 -0.5841
Starlight Seeks its Form 276 38.77% 41.02 3.017 83.7% 0.923 0.8474
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 760 36.89% 34.9 -1.431 76.71% 0.121 -0.1157
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 630 34.66% 41.33 1.684 88.25% 0.521 0.6095
Thunderspeaker 494 45.84% 42.27 0.795 83.2% 0.362 0.2958
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 475 72.0% 33.4 -0.33 74.11% 0.512 0.2455
Vital Strength of the Earth 260 46.15% 34.56 -0.817 74.62% -0.078 0.7806
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 25 28.0% 40.0 -1.306 88.0% -0.246 0.2917
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 160 50.63% 33.13 -2.158 73.75% 0.123 1.3201
Volcano Looming High 481 56.46% 34.81 1.248 74.22% 0.605 0.5689

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 100.0% 33.0 0.0 100.0%
Blitz 0 183 49.73% 32.47 -0.174 65.57% -0.049 0.4399
Dahan Insurrection 4 203 20.69% 64.88 2.615 85.22% -0.72 -0.5794
Despicable Theft 2 44 68.18% 40.48 6.082 61.36% 0.11 0.5571
Elemental Invocation 1 81 59.26% 37.02 -0.136 71.6% -0.157 0.4807
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 529 25.9% 43.32 -0.039 83.18% 0.104 0.2711
Powers Long Forgotten 1 105 65.71% 38.05 -1.856 66.67% -0.42 0.1898
Rituals of Terror 3 60 61.67% 38.83 0.606 51.67% -0.293 -0.443
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 40 72.5% 37.7 0.0 50.0%
Second Wave 0 368 49.73% 37.93 -2.782 74.46% -1.053 -0.5455
The Great River 3 56 64.29% 39.14 0.0 55.36%
Varied Terrains 2 12 91.67% 37.17 0.0 58.33%
Ward the Shores 2 94 58.51% 40.89 0.0 64.89%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7253 47.12% 36.85 -0.5 78.73% -0.659 0.0129
1 Thematic 646 56.5% 37.4 -1.547 63.62% -1.103 0.007
2 Archipelago 10 50.0% 43.0 0.0 70.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1561 48.24% 38.16 0.049 85.39% -0.025 0.4983
2 Coastline 163 47.53% 40.28 1.201 88.96% 0.495 0.7279
2 Fragment 38 57.89% 38.24 3.101 81.58% 0.279 0.5079
2 Heart 25 60.0% 33.04 1.348 68.0% 0.277 0.9212
2 Opposite Shores 241 46.67% 39.16 2.732 85.06% 0.706 1.2187
2 Thematic 273 45.05% 43.48 0.233 84.62% 0.029 1.0287
2 Top to Top 42 38.1% 39.74 1.793 88.1% 0.204 0.4429
3 Archipelago 5 100.0% 31.2 0.0 20.0%
3 Coastline 16 68.75% 45.38 0.0 93.75%
3 Other 29 51.72% 37.41 2.468 82.76% 0.477 -0.2261
3 Round (Default) 578 43.25% 40.27 0.457 88.75% -0.468 -0.2106
3 Sunrise 4 0.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 57 49.12% 46.37 -4.321 87.72% -0.191 0.3108
4 Archipelago 8 37.5% 45.25 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 5 80.0% 41.2 0.0 60.0%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 47.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 11 45.45% 40.55 0.0 90.91%
4 Thematic 148 18.24% 56.99 3.218 91.22% -0.133 -0.0027
4 Trapezoid (Default) 298 30.64% 41.3 0.18 92.28% -0.073 0.2114
5 Other 18 75.0% 44.56 0.0 83.33%
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 58.0 7.772 100.0% 0.204 -0.204
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 51.0 1.174 100.0% 0.002 -0.1308
6 Other 3 66.67% 56.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Star 2 50.0% 43.0 -2.186 50.0% -0.801 -0.1895
6 Thematic 10 20.0% 52.5 0.607 90.0% 0.052 -0.0796
6 Two Centers (Default) 11 36.36% 40.91 0.512 90.91% 0.321 0.823
7 Other 1 0.0% 96.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 416 30.2 -4.36 60.58% -1.147 0.8014
Aid From Lesser Spirits 311 32.13 -0.749 63.34% -0.531 1.2382
All Things Weaken 420 29.71 -3.673 58.57% -1.199 0.8778
Back Against the Wall 339 31.43 -3.099 61.06% -1.271 0.6173
Disintegrating Ecosystem 359 27.62 -7.646 54.32% -1.751 0.3364
Downward Spiral 412 32.08 -3.451 69.17% -0.725 1.1571
Erosion of Will 376 30.27 -6.362 61.17% -2.005 0.0952
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 175 37.26 -0.503 85.14% 0.114 0.6979
Memory Fades to Dust 385 30.59 -2.688 65.19% -0.537 1.5347
Power Corrodes the Spirit 394 29.95 -4.378 62.18% -1.218 0.7014
Promising Farmlands 369 29.31 -4.018 62.06% -1.209 0.8402
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 127 37.71 0.764 88.19% 0.449 0.8522
Thriving Communities 420 29.79 -5.171 62.86% -1.017 1.0314
Unnatural Proliferation 439 31.67 -3.791 64.69% -0.707 1.2634
Untended Land Crumbles 426 30.35 -5.333 63.38% -1.231 0.7886

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1884 47.18% 38.09 0.263 82.48% 0.15 0.898
B 2030 47.26% 38.33 -0.765 84.04% -0.458 0.2487
C 2127 43.53% 38.73 1.242 83.4% 0.292 0.7691
D 1895 46.93% 37.82 0.099 80.69% 0.016 0.6944
E 1919 44.73% 38.53 -1.376 83.06% -0.976 -0.413
F 1798 46.21% 37.92 1.642 83.09% 0.652 1.301
G 1516 47.22% 37.59 -0.47 81.46% -0.323 0.2916
H 1695 43.35% 38.78 0.948 84.78% 0.727 1.3528
East 737 41.93% 45.37 1.725 79.24% -0.189 0.357
Northeast 372 40.05% 48.57 5.086 83.6% 0.662 1.3366
Northwest 319 41.38% 47.51 -0.299 80.88% -0.439 0.0307
Southeast 251 38.65% 44.41 3.067 80.88% 0.525 1.23
Southwest 223 47.53% 38.69 -3.573 73.99% -0.996 0.0058
West 682 48.09% 42.67 -0.093 74.34% -0.384 0.3993

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 8 0.0% 68.13 0.0 100.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 5 40.0% 28.0 0.0 60.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 163 10.13% 51.36 2.041 96.32% 0.226 -1.0201
Start of Game Growth 274 16.04% 48.84 4.166 94.53% 0.604 0.1789
Unlimited Undo 825 42.05% 39.69 1.158 82.06% 0.092 -0.3971
Using Tokens but Not Events 759 45.81% 36.39 0.04 79.18% 0.313 0.474

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 800 22.68 0.5%
II 2784 31.11 67.03%
III 5257 34.69 89.79%
IV 2622 37.96 99.77%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.329 Win Model: 0.209
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7948 48.04% 36.93 77.48%
2 2337 47.71% 38.95 85.28%
3 667 43.48% 40.87 88.61%
4 476 28.27% 46.32 91.18%
5 6 80.0% 45.0 83.33%
6 29 32.14% 49.03 86.21%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4580
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1720
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2601
Lose: Invader deck ran out 33
Lose: Adversary condition 847
Win: Sacrifice victory 68
Lose: Scenario condition 77
Win: Scenario condition 233
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1206
Lose: Spirit destroyed 94

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 522 57.92% 40.49 -0.086 65.33% 0.143 0.0291
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 433 74.88% 37.08 0.108 57.04% 0.251 0.3146
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 564 61.81% 40.77 -0.78 65.07% -0.206 -0.4157
Downpour Drenches the World 85 69.05% 38.93 -1.724 58.82% -0.344 0.0114
Eyes Watch From the Trees 727 49.86% 45.8 0.95 76.34% -0.065 -0.5603
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 306 66.23% 40.24 0.435 62.09% 0.119 -0.3808
Finder of Paths Unseen 35 77.14% 38.89 -0.848 54.29% -0.27 0.1062
Fractured Days Split the Sky 305 72.13% 37.89 2.74 52.79% 0.081 0.1343
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 307 64.82% 39.48 -1.584 60.91% -0.226 -0.29
Heart of the Wildfire 635 83.75% 31.88 -2.347 46.46% -0.121 0.1837
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1662 56.69% 40.82 -1.818 67.63% -0.541 -1.0903
Lightning's Swift Strike 279 76.92% 36.65 -0.727 51.61% -0.329 -0.0014
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 50 79.59% 46.08 2.006 82.0% 0.358 -0.4688
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 189 67.72% 42.05 6.583 69.84% 0.129 -0.3357
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 120 68.33% 39.75 3.304 58.33% 0.048 -0.5294
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2145 49.63% 47.02 4.884 82.19% 1.327 1.2497
Many Minds Move as One 1212 52.23% 46.01 4.514 79.62% 0.936 0.3455
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 689 68.28% 38.81 0.586 59.22% -0.17 -0.3056
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 513 63.48% 38.75 -1.939 61.4% -0.336 -0.3596
River Surges in Sunlight 584 73.44% 39.15 1.513 55.65% 0.211 0.0755
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 205 79.51% 31.54 -1.461 39.51% -0.302 0.1395
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 46 67.39% 44.48 -3.058 65.22% -0.801 -1.1779
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 479 70.56% 38.89 -0.36 61.59% 0.181 0.0773
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 176 85.23% 33.39 -8.987 44.89% -0.596 -0.1327
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 13 84.62% 44.0 5.188 69.23% 0.687 0.6777
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 23 78.26% 46.91 1.373 82.61% 0.217 0.3406
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 172 73.26% 37.95 2.868 58.72% 0.222 0.1647
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 157 80.25% 36.58 -1.726 56.69% -0.092 -0.0261
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1135 50.22% 46.19 0.034 78.59% -0.133 -0.3324
Shifting Memory of Ages 239 71.55% 38.13 -1.045 59.41% -0.315 -0.1443
Shroud of Silent Mist 322 75.63% 37.05 1.69 59.32% 0.45 0.6463
Starlight Seeks its Form 395 61.52% 42.57 -0.164 66.84% 0.144 0.0677
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 968 54.4% 35.7 -2.898 57.54% -0.559 -0.7954
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 688 58.27% 43.17 1.676 72.67% 0.321 0.41
Thunderspeaker 497 68.89% 38.33 0.287 56.54% 0.221 0.1543
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 577 86.14% 33.63 -1.123 51.82% -0.023 -0.2893
Vital Strength of the Earth 227 74.34% 34.66 -2.806 49.34% -0.849 0.0095
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 27 77.78% 32.96 -2.033 44.44% -0.052 0.4856
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 167 70.06% 32.41 -3.154 49.1% -0.47 0.7271
Volcano Looming High 558 72.22% 37.99 1.014 62.9% 0.892 0.8562

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 50.0 0.0 100.0%
Blitz 0 126 65.87% 29.93 5.079 32.54% -0.041 0.4474
Dahan Insurrection 4 100 47.0% 59.27 -7.999 63.0% -0.957 -0.8168
Despicable Theft 2 15 60.0% 51.27 0.0 66.67%
Elemental Invocation 1 68 77.94% 37.28 -2.765 54.41% -0.137 0.501
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 720 35.14% 47.98 3.403 77.5% 0.618 0.7842
Powers Long Forgotten 1 62 64.52% 37.69 3.693 46.77% 0.049 0.6595
Rituals of Terror 3 37 81.08% 39.78 -6.122 32.43% -0.555 -0.7056
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 10 60.0% 45.4 16.364 50.0% 0.46 0.7869
Second Wave 0 243 67.08% 37.74 5.674 53.09% 0.527 1.0345
The Great River 3 33 72.73% 48.82 8.566 57.58% 0.35 2.0808
Varied Terrains 2 2 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
Ward the Shores 2 47 68.09% 40.34 5.882 48.94% 0.183 0.9819

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8703 61.33% 39.35 -0.124 63.07% 0.179 0.8509
1 Thematic 549 69.22% 37.38 -2.352 47.54% -0.413 0.6977
2 Archipelago 8 87.5% 49.38 11.012 62.5% 0.345 1.5162
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1815 66.15% 40.44 0.534 67.82% 0.155 0.6789
2 Coastline 193 62.18% 41.08 -3.751 66.84% -0.509 -0.2759
2 Fragment 54 68.52% 38.06 -0.481 59.26% 0.19 0.419
2 Heart 20 70.0% 41.7 -3.419 70.0% -0.116 0.5289
2 Opposite Shores 362 64.82% 40.62 -2.178 65.19% -0.605 -0.0926
2 Thematic 135 70.37% 38.75 -3.655 49.63% -0.411 0.5887
2 Top to Top 58 58.62% 43.72 7.768 75.86% 0.315 0.5544
3 Archipelago 4 50.0% 53.75 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 5 60.0% 55.2 0.0 80.0%
3 Other 34 76.47% 42.82 5.247 70.59% 0.619 -0.0841
3 Round (Default) 741 63.29% 41.81 1.697 69.64% 0.488 0.7457
3 Sunrise 4 50.0% 45.25 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 29 68.97% 52.79 4.244 75.86% 0.103 0.6056
4 Archipelago 3 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 59.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 56.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 18 61.11% 51.0 0.0 94.44%
4 Thematic 50 60.0% 45.98 0.0 62.0%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 247 60.33% 44.75 -3.117 76.52% -0.933 -0.6488
5 Other 14 50.0% 62.36 10.213 78.57% 0.172 -0.5196
6 Other 7 0.0% 64.71 1.895 100.0% 0.016 -0.5896
6 Star 1 0.0% 75.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 5 60.0% 41.4 0.0 60.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 10 50.0% 42.4 -0.492 60.0% 0.033 0.5351

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 598 33.36 -6.852 48.83% -1.865 0.0832
Aid From Lesser Spirits 555 33.88 -4.774 46.13% -1.491 0.2786
All Things Weaken 627 31.53 -8.842 45.14% -2.273 -0.1962
Back Against the Wall 464 32.73 -7.289 45.26% -1.968 -0.0796
Disintegrating Ecosystem 598 27.95 -6.058 36.96% -1.679 0.4089
Downward Spiral 662 32.07 -4.844 48.34% -1.201 0.6819
Erosion of Will 618 31.37 -1.636 43.85% -0.632 1.4687
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 185 42.53 -1.895 75.14% -0.647 -0.0626
Memory Fades to Dust 611 31.57 -4.545 46.64% -1.332 0.7398
Power Corrodes the Spirit 586 30.87 -7.107 44.2% -1.673 0.247
Promising Farmlands 568 30.34 -6.154 42.96% -1.476 0.5735
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 137 45.47 4.581 81.75% 0.369 0.7718
Thriving Communities 664 32.8 -5.002 51.66% -1.13 0.9187
Unnatural Proliferation 665 31.96 -5.894 44.51% -1.628 0.3423
Untended Land Crumbles 642 31.69 -6.56 47.35% -1.51 0.5102

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2272 63.13% 40.03 -1.22 65.23% -0.389 0.3592
B 2316 62.51% 40.33 -0.225 66.11% -0.079 0.6275
C 2602 60.78% 41.35 0.569 67.56% 0.323 0.7999
D 2163 62.55% 40.29 1.114 65.28% 0.47 1.1482
E 2379 61.09% 41.01 0.958 67.09% 0.35 0.9132
F 2073 64.83% 40.74 0.262 67.0% 0.071 0.7197
G 1775 63.58% 40.25 0.248 65.46% 0.15 0.7641
H 1849 62.66% 40.96 1.268 66.85% 0.227 0.8534
East 474 66.88% 40.13 -3.256 50.84% -0.397 0.1494
Northeast 200 67.0% 40.66 9.18 50.5% 0.401 1.0749
Northwest 167 64.67% 40.6 -2.881 52.69% -0.2 0.2698
Southeast 178 66.29% 39.75 2.713 53.37% 0.219 0.9239
Southwest 123 70.73% 40.24 -7.306 59.35% -0.46 0.541
West 397 69.02% 39.6 -1.653 52.14% -0.487 0.2964

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 16 0.0% 71.75 13.808 93.75% 0.503 2.7322
Not Using Events or Tokens 4 100.0% 21.75 0.0 25.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 212 13.5% 61.75 7.374 95.75% 0.681 -0.5655
Start of Game Growth 323 21.22% 57.76 8.008 91.33% 0.569 0.1445
Unlimited Undo 925 52.69% 45.7 1.387 75.89% -0.268 -0.7572
Using Tokens but Not Events 587 63.75% 37.69 -1.759 59.63% -0.422 -0.2613

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1589 22.68 0.5%
II 4830 31.11 48.3%
III 4228 34.69 85.1%
IV 2431 37.96 99.47%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.445 Win Model: 0.137
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 9289 61.82% 39.24 62.12%
2 2630 66.02% 40.56 66.73%
3 808 63.24% 42.25 70.05%
4 318 58.79% 45.6 75.47%
5 10 25.0% 72.5 90.0%
6 23 36.36% 50.39 73.91%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 8
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3545
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2268
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2400
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3
Lose: Adversary condition 1696
Win: Sacrifice victory 50
Lose: Scenario condition 92
Win: Scenario condition 86
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2780
Lose: Spirit destroyed 150

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 351 61.1% 44.23 2.422 64.67% 0.559 0.4454
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 261 79.23% 39.98 2.683 55.17% 0.6 0.6639
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 365 68.13% 44.23 -0.858 66.58% -0.024 -0.2337
Downpour Drenches the World 61 70.49% 44.64 2.302 65.57% 0.651 1.0066
Eyes Watch From the Trees 543 54.06% 48.97 1.63 73.48% 0.233 -0.2625
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 227 58.15% 46.5 5.461 66.52% 1.149 0.6492
Finder of Paths Unseen 25 52.0% 43.36 4.423 52.0% 0.057 0.4332
Fractured Days Split the Sky 283 66.31% 42.49 4.447 53.36% 0.078 0.1314
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 243 60.08% 46.23 -1.98 67.9% -0.205 -0.2683
Heart of the Wildfire 392 75.96% 40.03 -6.253 57.91% -0.797 -0.4924
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1444 48.47% 48.57 1.447 78.12% 0.566 0.0168
Lightning's Swift Strike 173 77.38% 40.12 -6.678 53.18% -0.817 -0.4895
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 41 58.54% 54.68 3.16 82.93% 0.217 -0.61
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 136 60.74% 47.29 6.885 70.59% 0.391 -0.0734
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 106 57.55% 47.54 -4.244 71.7% -0.449 -1.0265
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2005 44.66% 52.63 1.896 84.39% 0.626 0.5487
Many Minds Move as One 904 49.23% 52.33 3.422 83.08% 0.687 0.0963
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 465 72.05% 40.18 -3.237 54.84% -0.579 -0.7146
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 389 70.98% 41.38 0.688 59.9% 0.274 0.2501
River Surges in Sunlight 434 69.16% 43.65 -1.745 59.45% -0.169 -0.3048
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 159 69.18% 39.39 -9.467 47.8% -0.883 -0.4408
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 32 68.75% 49.25 3.479 65.63% 0.438 0.0607
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 416 63.94% 41.99 -2.759 58.65% -0.426 -0.5304
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 121 77.5% 37.75 -5.312 47.11% -0.369 0.0942
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 13 69.23% 48.85 7.633 69.23% 0.833 0.8232
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 20 70.0% 39.95 0.335 40.0% -0.031 0.093
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 117 73.5% 40.93 -4.815 55.56% -0.53 -0.5877
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 104 76.92% 40.38 -1.419 54.81% 0.007 0.0729
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1224 39.13% 53.17 2.056 83.17% 0.244 0.0449
Shifting Memory of Ages 191 75.39% 42.91 -2.961 61.78% -0.401 -0.2303
Shroud of Silent Mist 216 78.37% 39.94 -2.587 54.63% 0.068 0.2644
Starlight Seeks its Form 271 61.62% 45.44 2.372 67.9% 0.696 0.62
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 699 55.81% 41.07 -6.025 60.23% -1.121 -1.3574
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 596 62.44% 46.04 0.611 70.47% 0.077 0.1658
Thunderspeaker 309 71.84% 43.11 -1.207 60.84% -0.102 -0.1687
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 545 84.4% 40.12 -5.402 60.92% -0.643 -0.9102
Vital Strength of the Earth 171 80.0% 33.65 -2.565 39.18% -0.007 0.852
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 22 77.27% 34.55 -1.652 40.91% -0.64 -0.1022
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 103 76.7% 36.58 -2.994 52.43% -0.092 1.1054
Volcano Looming High 431 69.07% 41.28 -3.69 60.79% -0.559 -0.5954

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 100.0% 18.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 67 77.61% 30.7 -7.737 31.34% -0.501 -0.0118
Dahan Insurrection 4 61 36.07% 67.75 8.473 65.57% -0.208 -0.0679
Despicable Theft 2 14 64.29% 50.29 -9.314 57.14% -0.843 -0.3966
Elemental Invocation 1 25 56.0% 50.92 3.639 76.0% 0.038 0.676
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 480 26.67% 53.85 3.24 78.96% 0.11 0.2767
Powers Long Forgotten 1 24 79.17% 33.38 -14.066 29.17% -0.571 0.0392
Rituals of Terror 3 28 78.57% 44.32 0.0 42.86%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 14 85.71% 41.86 7.74 35.71% 0.03 0.3573
Second Wave 0 139 60.14% 46.43 7.507 62.59% 0.174 0.6808
The Great River 3 16 81.25% 38.19 0.0 31.25%
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 28.0 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 16 81.25% 37.25 7.986 37.5% 0.311 1.11

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6987 58.56% 45.14 -0.712 67.41% -0.701 -0.0293
1 Thematic 245 66.12% 42.15 0.811 51.43% -0.319 0.7912
2 Archipelago 2 50.0% 90.0 0.0 100.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1352 67.9% 43.86 -0.702 65.98% -0.192 0.3316
2 Coastline 179 66.48% 45.09 3.406 68.72% 0.814 1.0469
2 Fragment 26 69.23% 48.08 0.0 76.92%
2 Heart 16 75.0% 43.31 0.0 62.5%
2 Opposite Shores 361 43.21% 49.83 1.006 81.44% -0.061 0.4516
2 Thematic 79 82.28% 44.81 -2.583 54.43% -0.051 0.9487
2 Top to Top 67 53.73% 48.07 2.538 76.12% 0.481 0.7205
3 Archipelago 2 50.0% 70.5 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 13 38.46% 58.92 0.0 92.31%
3 Other 16 50.0% 48.13 4.265 81.25% 0.266 -0.4371
3 Round (Default) 559 64.22% 45.77 0.283 71.2% -0.027 0.2309
3 Sunrise 5 80.0% 38.0 0.0 60.0%
3 Thematic 21 71.43% 39.57 0.0 38.1%
4 Coastline 8 25.0% 54.88 0.0 87.5%
4 Other 12 75.0% 52.67 1.02 91.67% 0.032 -0.5027
4 Thematic 65 43.08% 57.86 0.0 81.54%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 175 53.94% 51.7 6.472 80.57% 0.524 0.808
5 Other 11 66.67% 51.09 -5.708 72.73% -0.169 -0.8604
5 Thematic 5 20.0% 67.8 -2.824 60.0% -0.009 -0.4166
6 Other 2 0.0% 83.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 3 33.33% 20.67 0.0 0.0%
6 Thematic 16 6.25% 65.0 0.704 68.75% -0.151 -0.2825
6 Two Centers (Default) 28 10.71% 54.04 -4.784 85.71% -0.413 0.0898

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 493 36.32 -8.161 47.67% -1.643 0.3049
Aid From Lesser Spirits 374 38.34 -8.354 51.34% -1.824 -0.0539
All Things Weaken 457 36.41 -8.143 48.8% -1.948 0.1288
Back Against the Wall 356 37.61 -5.787 49.72% -0.931 0.9576
Disintegrating Ecosystem 423 31.48 -8.907 38.77% -1.828 0.2597
Downward Spiral 455 36.39 -6.635 52.53% -1.244 0.6385
Erosion of Will 456 35.92 -3.683 47.59% -1.199 0.9012
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 137 50.74 0.629 85.4% 0.372 0.956
Memory Fades to Dust 508 35.41 -4.071 47.44% -0.965 1.1068
Power Corrodes the Spirit 499 36.77 -8.979 51.9% -2.026 -0.1057
Promising Farmlands 410 34.75 -4.525 47.8% -0.828 1.2216
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 84 48.54 1.155 80.95% 0.244 0.6463
Thriving Communities 484 37.22 -10.027 53.72% -2.194 -0.1448
Unnatural Proliferation 502 37.18 -2.364 49.4% -0.853 1.1177
Untended Land Crumbles 472 34.57 -5.249 45.34% -1.329 0.6909

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1620 62.29% 45.75 0.141 69.32% 0.17 0.9189
B 2016 57.02% 46.68 1.8 72.07% 0.689 1.3962
C 2008 58.15% 46.13 1.14 70.22% 0.449 0.9267
D 1691 59.49% 45.25 0.353 68.42% 0.265 0.9425
E 1989 56.55% 47.1 0.117 71.95% 0.019 0.5822
F 1653 62.03% 44.56 -1.132 66.79% -0.238 0.4113
G 1381 63.87% 44.62 -1.844 67.05% -0.307 0.3078
H 1513 59.04% 45.78 -0.707 69.13% -0.039 0.5869
East 275 61.45% 48.37 -2.978 57.45% -0.638 -0.0915
Northeast 141 61.7% 50.1 2.439 58.87% -0.23 0.4447
Northwest 129 52.71% 49.71 3.841 59.69% 0.232 0.702
Southeast 110 53.64% 50.83 -0.934 62.73% -0.219 0.4859
Southwest 107 56.07% 48.37 1.863 60.75% 0.097 1.098
West 257 60.31% 47.94 -2.632 59.92% -0.614 0.1694

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 15 0.0% 76.87 5.648 100.0% 0.362 2.5914
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 33.33% 19.0 0.0 0.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 165 14.47% 62.95 2.726 92.73% -0.2 -1.4467
Start of Game Growth 365 25.85% 60.02 5.595 89.86% 1.021 0.5959
Unlimited Undo 1002 57.75% 49.21 2.216 75.95% 0.498 0.0087
Using Tokens but Not Events 385 51.35% 47.99 0.934 72.99% 0.189 0.3499

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 856 22.68 0.47%
II 3916 31.11 53.68%
III 3950 34.69 84.35%
IV 1536 37.96 99.74%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.132 Win Model: -0.395
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7259 58.88% 45.05 66.87%
2 2070 63.57% 45.29 69.08%
3 613 63.78% 45.88 70.8%
4 259 49.19% 53.94 81.08%
5 8 57.14% 45.5 62.5%
6 49 10.2% 56.76 75.51%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3293
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2053
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1524
Lose: Invader deck ran out 4
Lose: Adversary condition 985
Win: Sacrifice victory 50
Lose: Scenario condition 54
Win: Scenario condition 46
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2121
Lose: Spirit destroyed 124

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 223 80.27% 41.75 2.679 39.91% 0.229 0.1153
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 140 86.43% 32.68 -10.633 20.0% -0.267 -0.2032
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 203 81.28% 37.84 -4.815 32.02% -0.353 -0.5624
Downpour Drenches the World 26 61.54% 50.12 3.274 53.85% 0.513 0.868
Eyes Watch From the Trees 424 68.4% 47.33 -0.707 49.53% 0.051 -0.4444
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 115 88.6% 33.77 -8.513 21.74% -1.129 -1.6285
Finder of Paths Unseen 22 59.09% 47.14 4.256 45.45% 0.513 0.8896
Fractured Days Split the Sky 142 70.42% 48.53 -3.139 45.07% -0.359 -0.3054
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 145 84.14% 38.08 2.242 30.34% 0.292 0.2287
Heart of the Wildfire 261 86.97% 35.86 1.549 30.27% 0.498 0.8025
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 999 60.42% 52.13 4.607 63.06% 0.99 0.4409
Lightning's Swift Strike 105 87.62% 38.16 -13.209 31.43% -0.774 -0.4471
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 22 59.09% 60.18 -0.055 68.18% 0.343 -0.4838
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 93 76.34% 44.76 -6.93 46.24% -0.368 -0.8325
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 36 69.44% 46.47 -1.604 50.0% 0.004 -0.5738
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1291 60.57% 54.13 3.763 66.85% 0.955 0.8778
Many Minds Move as One 558 78.49% 44.82 -1.163 47.13% 0.011 -0.58
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 241 85.89% 37.82 -2.654 30.71% -0.484 -0.619
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 196 86.73% 37.31 3.072 30.61% 0.514 0.49
River Surges in Sunlight 243 80.66% 44.12 -1.34 40.74% -0.321 -0.4565
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 70 91.43% 34.49 0.0 22.86%
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 22 90.91% 47.59 -1.238 45.45% 0.073 -0.3048
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 229 82.1% 38.47 -1.017 31.44% 0.054 -0.0499
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 64 90.63% 30.22 -8.272 12.5% -0.243 0.2198
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 2 100.0% 69.0 14.984 100.0% 0.47 0.4602
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 12 75.0% 40.92 1.761 33.33% -0.038 0.0861
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 66 89.39% 34.32 0.0 22.73%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 61 95.08% 33.89 -4.334 21.31% -0.254 -0.1878
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 586 70.94% 48.88 1.599 54.1% 0.262 0.0633
Shifting Memory of Ages 64 81.25% 43.34 -5.857 37.5% -0.804 -0.6331
Shroud of Silent Mist 121 96.69% 29.86 -0.897 15.7% 0.141 0.3378
Starlight Seeks its Form 293 84.98% 40.75 -2.301 36.86% -0.054 -0.1294
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 432 72.69% 38.13 -1.843 37.04% 0.097 -0.1394
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 408 73.04% 46.75 1.051 50.98% 0.307 0.3959
Thunderspeaker 188 86.17% 38.67 -6.308 27.13% -0.424 -0.4905
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 349 93.12% 37.43 -1.093 34.38% 0.177 -0.0893
Vital Strength of the Earth 75 84.0% 34.47 0.0 25.33%
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 21 71.43% 39.76 -1.019 33.33% 0.163 0.7012
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 84 91.67% 31.29 -5.17 17.86% -0.115 1.0827
Volcano Looming High 202 77.23% 41.83 -5.442 42.57% -0.481 -0.5173

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 18 66.67% 39.56 0.0 33.33%
Dahan Insurrection 4 49 63.27% 68.2 0.0 42.86%
Despicable Theft 2 5 80.0% 40.8 0.0 20.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 20 100.0% 27.9 0.0 5.0%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 361 33.8% 60.14 6.504 70.08% 0.466 0.6328
Powers Long Forgotten 1 16 100.0% 28.38 0.0 6.25%
Rituals of Terror 3 10 100.0% 31.1 0.0 0.0%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 2 50.0% 57.5 0.0 50.0%
Second Wave 0 91 78.02% 38.84 12.691 30.77% 0.401 0.9083
The Great River 3 3 100.0% 51.0 0.0 33.33%
Ward the Shores 2 11 90.91% 35.91 1.218 18.18% 0.161 0.9595

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4403 68.61% 46.64 -0.545 50.99% 0.171 0.8431
1 Thematic 248 76.61% 41.85 1.23 32.66% 0.269 1.3795
2 Archipelago 7 71.43% 91.14 0.0 57.14%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 913 85.54% 38.87 1.016 34.28% 0.211 0.7346
2 Coastline 106 65.09% 49.08 -6.291 56.6% -0.648 -0.4157
2 Fragment 17 94.12% 35.71 -0.887 29.41% 0.129 0.3582
2 Heart 11 72.73% 42.73 -10.861 45.45% -0.251 0.3935
2 Opposite Shores 116 75.86% 45.95 0.734 46.55% 0.298 0.8103
2 Thematic 40 75.0% 38.45 0.0 17.5%
2 Top to Top 31 74.19% 46.55 -9.518 51.61% -0.571 -0.3317
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 57.75 0.0 62.5%
3 Other 18 88.89% 46.94 17.23 38.89% 0.102 -0.6018
3 Round (Default) 313 81.15% 44.61 0.747 47.6% 0.198 0.4555
3 Thematic 6 83.33% 49.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 56.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 74.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 4 50.0% 45.75 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 18 94.44% 46.44 0.0 38.89%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 134 85.07% 39.27 1.794 35.82% -0.05 0.2336
5 Other 7 71.43% 46.71 0.0 57.14%
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 145.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 4 25.0% 58.0 16.027 50.0% 0.137 0.639

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 364 36.13 -1.789 27.75% -0.422 1.5259
Aid From Lesser Spirits 264 42.22 -3.746 40.15% -0.611 1.1585
All Things Weaken 372 36.01 -5.521 28.23% -1.098 0.9789
Back Against the Wall 257 35.63 -9.304 26.07% -1.21 0.6786
Disintegrating Ecosystem 337 31.32 -11.816 20.18% -2.117 -0.0287
Downward Spiral 361 37.65 -5.677 36.01% -0.939 0.9436
Erosion of Will 358 35.95 -9.495 28.49% -1.668 0.4322
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 80 54.71 4.181 71.25% 0.515 1.0989
Memory Fades to Dust 358 35.37 -9.941 28.77% -1.625 0.4468
Power Corrodes the Spirit 336 35.54 -7.192 29.17% -1.207 0.7129
Promising Farmlands 341 34.58 -6.974 28.45% -1.029 1.0201
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 43 59.3 6.444 83.72% 0.628 1.0304
Thriving Communities 383 37.61 -4.268 34.2% -0.547 1.5023
Unnatural Proliferation 412 36.78 -4.405 29.61% -0.817 1.1532
Untended Land Crumbles 384 34.31 -6.143 25.78% -1.012 1.0075

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1097 78.21% 43.04 0.561 43.12% 0.029 0.7771
B 1152 76.39% 43.91 -0.853 44.88% -0.373 0.3334
C 1228 72.94% 45.59 1.698 48.29% 0.238 0.7149
D 1017 75.22% 42.39 -1.324 42.28% -0.128 0.55
E 1393 69.85% 47.85 3.024 52.91% 0.462 1.025
F 868 74.36% 44.31 0.842 45.74% 0.04 0.6888
G 787 77.38% 42.71 -1.746 43.2% -0.32 0.2947
H 929 77.5% 43.27 1.091 42.95% 0.076 0.7022
East 175 74.86% 47.05 16.734 37.14% 0.528 1.0745
Northeast 80 82.5% 44.95 0.0 33.75%
Northwest 65 84.62% 43.32 0.0 32.31%
Southeast 61 67.21% 48.33 0.0 44.26%
Southwest 56 75.0% 34.43 -8.458 23.21% -0.446 0.5555
West 164 81.71% 39.01 14.496 25.61% 0.187 0.9699

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3 0.0% 35.33 0.0 33.33%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 138 18.12% 71.15 7.569 86.96% 0.582 -0.6641
Start of Game Growth 361 31.58% 65.51 4.438 83.1% 0.103 -0.3217
Unlimited Undo 564 67.2% 48.82 1.324 54.43% 0.061 -0.4273
Using Tokens but Not Events 312 53.72% 55.21 2.257 68.59% 0.466 0.6275

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 588 22.68 5.1%
II 3621 31.11 37.12%
III 1643 34.69 66.4%
IV 556 37.96 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.857 Win Model: 0.191
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4668 69.05% 46.47 50.02%
2 1236 82.44% 40.59 37.22%
3 335 81.19% 44.71 47.16%
4 161 83.23% 41.37 38.51%
5 3 100.0% 38.33 33.33%
6 5 20.0% 67.2 60.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 30
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1068
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1310
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 552
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2
Lose: Adversary condition 847
Win: Sacrifice victory 36
Lose: Scenario condition 54
Win: Scenario condition 23
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2395
Lose: Spirit destroyed 91

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1355 70.34% 56.83 -1.562 43.47% -0.446 -0.5598
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 744 88.31% 44.43 -2.653 22.98% -0.197 -0.1328
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 744 93.38% 35.31 -6.022 16.4% -0.354 -0.5634
Downpour Drenches the World 242 80.17% 48.86 0.173 36.36% 0.356 0.7111
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1676 69.21% 61.07 -5.023 43.79% -0.793 -1.2881
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 413 89.83% 40.52 -3.901 24.7% -0.064 -0.5637
Finder of Paths Unseen 89 76.4% 58.92 -3.694 55.06% -0.096 0.2802
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1797 58.43% 66.95 10.855 54.54% 0.144 0.1977
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 568 89.26% 42.36 -4.448 28.35% 0.16 0.0966
Heart of the Wildfire 1048 91.69% 33.74 -8.154 15.17% -0.813 -0.5083
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 11151 58.23% 61.96 6.019 69.66% 1.574 1.0255
Lightning's Swift Strike 441 88.68% 40.3 -8.652 24.26% -0.458 -0.1306
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 317 81.39% 51.18 -2.085 40.06% 0.362 -0.4649
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 397 91.41% 43.08 -5.261 30.48% 0.02 -0.4446
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 363 69.15% 58.43 5.866 53.44% 0.62 0.0422
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 6289 73.39% 54.9 -1.292 52.73% 0.347 0.2692
Many Minds Move as One 1680 84.35% 49.88 4.086 40.42% 1.163 0.5722
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1162 88.3% 39.78 -5.687 22.55% -0.589 -0.7243
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 567 88.63% 42.94 -9.033 29.63% -0.994 -1.018
River Surges in Sunlight 1420 86.06% 56.27 7.514 37.11% 0.736 0.6002
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 347 72.05% 49.85 -11.582 30.26% -0.824 -0.3819
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 218 80.73% 62.82 4.418 42.66% 0.916 0.5388
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1867 72.68% 54.97 -5.801 48.53% -0.388 -0.4916
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 354 88.95% 37.58 -13.029 18.64% -0.218 0.2453
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 23 91.3% 46.43 -5.77 30.43% -0.25 -0.26
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 39 92.31% 48.23 -0.877 35.9% 0.236 0.3599
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 257 85.99% 39.16 -4.345 21.4% -0.032 -0.0895
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 198 88.38% 44.93 6.608 32.32% 0.69 0.7559
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1735 78.22% 49.52 -1.298 42.36% 0.4 0.2009
Shifting Memory of Ages 894 86.02% 50.8 -4.262 27.07% -0.886 -0.7148
Shroud of Silent Mist 437 92.63% 37.7 0.511 18.76% 0.436 0.6322
Starlight Seeks its Form 1489 71.79% 56.44 2.178 54.73% 0.83 0.7546
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3629 65.33% 49.56 -0.348 41.61% 0.035 -0.2016
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1706 83.69% 49.41 0.385 42.26% 0.546 0.6348
Thunderspeaker 772 85.71% 47.37 -5.935 27.2% -0.726 -0.7921
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1535 95.77% 39.39 -2.946 26.64% 0.353 0.0861
Vital Strength of the Earth 247 85.02% 38.29 -9.449 19.03% -0.805 0.054
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 60 75.0% 57.17 -10.198 40.0% -0.272 0.2657
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 257 88.33% 37.06 -8.102 20.23% -0.448 0.7497
Volcano Looming High 1440 83.03% 46.39 -2.492 38.19% 0.164 0.1279

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 247 69.55% 45.11 -0.29 34.01% -0.501 -0.0118
Dahan Insurrection 4 1478 41.16% 87.0 21.977 63.4% 2.414 2.5542
Despicable Theft 2 4 100.0% 54.75 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 96 93.75% 37.68 -6.185 13.54% -0.577 0.0613
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1848 48.13% 56.14 1.973 48.27% 0.042 0.209
Powers Long Forgotten 1 7 100.0% 35.0 0.0 14.29%
Rituals of Terror 3 487 61.4% 124.35 21.455 68.99% 2.242 2.0922
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 10 90.0% 67.1 -20.217 20.0% -0.206 0.1217
Second Wave 0 95 80.0% 50.55 -13.673 41.05% -0.476 0.0307
The Great River 3 33 81.82% 40.7 0.0 9.09%
Varied Terrains 2 3 100.0% 43.0 -7.306 0.0% -0.19 0.5695
Ward the Shores 2 24 83.33% 43.67 1.897 20.83% -0.005 0.7939

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 32899 72.45% 52.28 -0.726 48.77% 0.202 0.8737
1 Thematic 811 80.27% 47.53 -3.608 30.83% -0.644 0.4663
2 Archipelago 71 52.11% 101.52 8.455 60.56% -0.124 1.0468
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2571 83.78% 47.66 -3.834 38.62% -0.912 -0.3882
2 Coastline 537 84.36% 47.43 2.076 36.87% 0.057 0.2893
2 Fragment 65 89.23% 47.34 1.019 38.46% 0.059 0.2876
2 Heart 101 71.29% 49.09 0.0 27.72%
2 Opposite Shores 900 84.78% 47.19 -5.685 23.44% -0.982 -0.4694
2 Thematic 423 78.2% 100.79 17.57 52.01% 1.364 2.3635
2 Top to Top 130 77.69% 50.89 -1.586 42.31% 0.039 0.2786
3 Archipelago 7 85.71% 120.86 -5.894 71.43% -0.099 0.2703
3 Coastline 7 100.0% 42.43 -11.292 28.57% -0.276 -0.2628
3 Other 48 75.0% 53.85 8.484 52.08% 0.434 -0.269
3 Round (Default) 1092 81.14% 48.18 1.479 39.84% 0.08 0.3372
3 Thematic 130 35.38% 107.84 13.481 70.0% -0.566 -0.0635
4 Archipelago 4 100.0% 137.25 42.036 100.0% 1.054 1.5297
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 83.0 2.159 100.0% 0.003 -0.4802
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 42.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Other 39 76.92% 43.97 0.0 25.64%
4 Thematic 266 31.95% 89.18 4.456 71.43% -0.081 0.0486
4 Trapezoid (Default) 489 75.52% 53.05 1.859 43.56% -0.196 0.0877
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 81.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 31 65.52% 56.87 0.06 41.94% -0.469 -1.1607
5 Thematic 14 64.29% 100.0 17.409 57.14% 0.019 -0.3895
6 Archipelago 3 33.33% 84.33 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 10 40.0% 74.3 4.975 90.0% 0.081 -0.5252
6 Star 5 60.0% 77.0 -2.237 80.0% -0.181 0.4301
6 Thematic 10 40.0% 79.1 -13.807 50.0% 0.002 -0.1294
6 Two Centers (Default) 34 32.35% 90.24 18.508 82.35% 0.035 0.5372
7 Archipelago 4 75.0% 123.0 0.0 75.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2309 43.39 -6.146 31.14% -1.932 0.0167
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1734 46.97 -3.456 37.25% -1.332 0.4377
All Things Weaken 2502 43.09 -7.503 29.94% -2.101 -0.0239
Back Against the Wall 1704 45.56 -6.189 33.92% -2.018 -0.1292
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2151 37.42 -10.101 22.13% -2.509 -0.421
Downward Spiral 2321 45.35 -7.383 36.54% -2.0 -0.1175
Erosion of Will 2284 41.01 -9.254 26.31% -2.493 -0.3928
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 486 67.65 1.866 76.75% -0.465 0.1196
Memory Fades to Dust 2373 44.05 -6.92 33.29% -1.905 0.1674
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2346 43.04 -6.365 31.2% -1.879 0.041
Promising Farmlands 2149 42.34 -6.077 30.71% -1.749 0.3001
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 316 71.46 4.454 82.59% -0.273 0.1297
Thriving Communities 2340 43.7 -6.855 32.56% -2.001 0.0482
Unnatural Proliferation 2520 43.6 -6.037 29.92% -1.956 0.015
Untended Land Crumbles 2438 42.94 -5.874 31.38% -1.684 0.3357

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6191 79.95% 48.28 -1.07 39.27% -0.315 0.4334
B 6286 78.42% 49.41 -0.733 42.67% -0.23 0.4771
C 7338 74.63% 51.72 2.054 44.69% -0.404 0.0737
D 5265 77.11% 48.77 -2.179 40.68% -0.514 0.1638
E 7461 73.89% 52.42 -0.66 48.38% -0.231 0.3319
F 5133 75.73% 50.43 -1.326 44.69% -0.306 0.3427
G 4251 76.47% 50.41 -0.623 44.6% -0.043 0.5717
H 5876 64.47% 59.34 1.439 58.25% 0.061 0.687
East 1070 60.62% 86.71 12.9 55.14% 0.228 0.7739
Northeast 606 51.16% 89.18 12.941 58.42% 0.058 0.7323
Northwest 449 57.68% 83.93 3.599 53.23% -0.354 0.1159
Southeast 226 59.73% 66.47 7.441 46.02% 0.564 1.2684
Southwest 267 67.79% 55.94 -2.681 40.82% -0.023 0.978
West 1043 62.67% 83.47 9.599 53.12% -0.308 0.4753

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 24 0.0% 72.71 0.0 79.17%
Not Using Events or Tokens 10 80.0% 130.0 0.0 70.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1075 34.72% 72.49 5.455 73.67% 0.724 -0.5223
Start of Game Growth 1916 35.84% 71.14 3.222 77.19% 0.22 -0.2044
Unlimited Undo 3863 60.56% 62.8 3.843 68.0% 0.878 0.3893
Using Tokens but Not Events 1686 66.61% 62.77 1.867 53.97% 0.354 0.5153

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8008 22.68 1.15%
II 19776 31.11 40.79%
III 9114 34.69 78.51%
IV 3819 37.96 99.87%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.646 Win Model: 0.437
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 34495 72.74% 52.94 48.22%
2 4143 82.93% 48.31 36.66%
3 1270 75.75% 55.35 43.39%
4 730 64.07% 58.17 49.45%
5 18 47.06% 74.61 61.11%
6 61 37.7% 87.57 83.61%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 79
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7033
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7013
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3600
Lose: Invader deck ran out 35
Lose: Adversary condition 5767
Win: Sacrifice victory 463
Lose: Scenario condition 461
Win: Scenario condition 940
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14724
Lose: Spirit destroyed 602

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-11-02 02:08:43 (Pacific Time)