The Tsardom of Russia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 851 23.41% 28.19 -0.304 88.37% 0.157 -0.0021
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 539 43.87% 26.21 -5.247 85.34% -1.107 -0.9854
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 905 26.83% 28.19 -1.327 90.06% -0.13 -0.2977
Downpour Drenches the World 185 22.7% 29.02 -1.567 85.41% -0.253 -0.0744
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 83 26.51% 26.75 1.854 83.13% 0.735 0.0134
Eyes Watch From the Trees 972 15.27% 32.12 1.954 93.83% 0.289 -0.2995
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 794 24.56% 29.72 0.83 92.19% 0.326 -0.1454
Finder of Paths Unseen 63 30.16% 22.76 -3.909 63.49% -0.723 -0.0286
Fractured Days Split the Sky 421 33.49% 28.4 -6.754 79.57% -1.603 -0.9182
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 572 41.26% 28.62 0.79 80.59% 0.177 0.0763
Heart of the Wildfire 665 56.84% 23.55 -0.42 75.94% 0.04 0.2838
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1354 26.17% 28.1 -1.843 92.17% -0.239 -0.6884
Lightning's Swift Strike 492 37.04% 26.97 -1.175 85.37% -0.118 0.0854
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 63 30.16% 29.1 -1.587 84.13% -0.351 -1.0478
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 278 25.63% 28.38 -1.091 87.41% -0.401 -0.6409
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 229 27.63% 31.01 -2.153 86.9% -0.587 -0.7466
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1482 27.83% 29.06 0.903 90.82% 0.353 0.2079
Many Minds Move as One 1189 20.57% 28.98 -1.677 94.2% -0.145 -0.3655
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 922 39.65% 27.39 1.057 84.49% 0.024 0.0145
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 777 30.5% 27.88 0.985 88.03% 0.351 0.2093
River Surges in Sunlight 653 38.4% 28.92 -1.143 83.31% -0.215 -0.2121
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 390 37.95% 29.78 5.561 84.1% 0.872 1.142
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 59 32.2% 31.29 1.501 81.36% 0.296 0.1664
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 674 27.45% 28.44 -1.136 88.87% -0.255 -0.4688
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 309 51.62% 25.52 -0.418 80.91% 0.522 0.9583
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 23 26.09% 29.7 -0.594 69.57% -0.024 -0.0244
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 24 41.67% 27.88 -1.601 87.5% 0.2 0.1918
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 249 32.93% 27.02 -3.902 86.35% -0.808 -0.8797
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 199 35.68% 28.31 1.901 87.94% 0.266 0.3243
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1012 26.39% 28.39 2.003 90.71% 0.548 0.4199
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 24 20.83% 27.46 2.39 79.17% 0.532 0.1692
Shifting Memory of Ages 348 44.54% 25.13 -0.471 77.01% 0.105 0.5125
Shroud of Silent Mist 493 44.42% 25.69 -0.762 81.74% -0.179 0.136
Starlight Seeks its Form 502 25.3% 31.49 3.248 86.65% 0.681 0.408
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1074 26.56% 26.83 2.33 90.6% 1.381 0.8858
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 710 30.61% 27.77 -0.104 86.9% -0.118 -0.088
Thunderspeaker 715 29.79% 30.15 0.984 86.01% 0.441 0.4222
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 18 33.33% 29.89 3.626 77.78% 0.416 0.3528
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 940 64.79% 23.97 -0.754 85.32% 0.053 0.1144
Vital Strength of the Earth 465 31.75% 24.17 -2.921 76.56% -0.459 0.0938
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 48 29.17% 24.75 -3.265 75.0% -0.289 -0.0332
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 216 28.7% 23.45 -0.866 80.09% -0.058 0.8389
Volcano Looming High 708 44.7% 24.8 -1.14 79.8% -0.119 -0.1086

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 0.0% 25.71 -7.82 71.43% -0.772 -0.8508
Blitz 0 209 30.77% 23.95 -2.337 78.95% -0.911 -0.7645
Dahan Insurrection 4 371 18.33% 48.46 0.544 86.25% -1.247 -1.4542
Despicable Theft 2 90 36.67% 34.33 1.183 77.78% -0.463 0.2193
Elemental Invocation 1 119 41.18% 28.03 0.836 80.67% 0.04 0.771
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 574 11.32% 31.02 0.654 84.67% -0.091 -0.6976
Powers Long Forgotten 1 131 52.67% 28.12 -3.222 73.28% -0.876 -0.388
Rituals of Terror 3 158 43.51% 35.34 2.341 73.42% -0.346 -0.2407
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 108 66.67% 38.15 5.274 79.63% -0.233 0.759
Second Wave 0 309 50.16% 32.39 3.118 74.43% -0.36 -0.2969
The Great River 3 127 48.82% 30.04 -4.744 61.42% -1.69 -0.342
Varied Terrains 2 40 50.0% 31.1 1.898 67.5% 0.138 0.7009
Ward the Shores 2 210 36.84% 30.73 -1.547 76.19% -0.835 0.3746

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 9726 34.71% 26.96 0.454 86.02% 0.428 0.6372
1 Thematic 1423 44.72% 30.81 0.995 83.42% 0.026 0.625
2 Archipelago 12 50.0% 29.17 0.0 58.33%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1997 32.25% 27.05 -0.123 88.43% 0.421 0.5813
2 Coastline 225 30.22% 26.72 -3.297 85.78% -0.443 -0.382
2 Fragment 44 27.27% 27.91 0.194 86.36% -0.153 -0.2167
2 Heart 25 44.0% 22.4 0.672 80.0% 0.346 0.1084
2 Opposite Shores 294 24.66% 27.86 -0.135 92.52% 0.279 0.4127
2 Thematic 324 33.64% 32.27 1.004 83.33% 0.445 1.0812
2 Top to Top 35 20.0% 28.46 4.061 94.29% 0.397 0.437
3 Archipelago 6 83.33% 37.83 14.917 83.33% 0.549 -0.5374
3 Coastline 12 58.33% 33.17 6.476 66.67% -0.038 -0.536
3 Other 32 31.25% 24.59 0.0 93.75%
3 Round (Default) 919 29.88% 27.69 0.186 88.57% 0.17 0.1291
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 19.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 63 38.1% 27.11 -4.335 69.84% -0.783 -0.747
4 Archipelago 5 20.0% 36.2 4.689 100.0% 0.493 0.2785
4 Coastline 5 60.0% 24.6 -9.263 60.0% -0.381 -0.2591
4 Leaf 2 0.0% 31.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 16 43.75% 31.63 1.864 93.75% 0.242 -0.608
4 Thematic 84 19.05% 35.46 -3.794 90.48% -0.245 -0.2618
4 Trapezoid (Default) 371 25.07% 27.46 -2.892 87.33% -0.793 -0.979
5 Other 28 39.29% 32.68 -0.703 78.57% -0.22 -0.7288
5 Thematic 3 0.0% 32.67 -9.611 66.67% -0.372 -0.7024
6 Other 3 66.67% 44.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 16 31.25% 31.88 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 23 17.39% 38.04 0.0 95.65%
6 Two Centers (Default) 59 15.25% 31.17 -1.697 84.75% -0.451 -0.4076
7 Other 4 0.0% 20.0 -4.816 25.0% -0.428 -1.2013

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 371 22.15 0.778 69.0% 0.362 0.6332
Aid From Lesser Spirits 307 22.91 0.017 69.06% -0.492 -0.4535
All Things Weaken 444 20.34 -2.382 61.94% -0.692 -0.2314
Attenuated Essence 6 20.0 -1.307 66.67% 0.031 0.2366
Back Against the Wall 315 21.25 0.833 61.59% 0.115 0.2765
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 8 17.38 -1.477 50.0% -0.171 0.2435
Burn Brightest Before the End 6 13.83 -3.456 33.33% -0.621 -0.3164
Disintegrating Ecosystem 368 18.86 -2.989 66.58% -0.016 0.5103
Downward Spiral 419 21.32 -2.302 72.32% -0.651 -0.2985
Erosion of Will 355 22.19 -1.267 67.61% -0.633 -0.2243
Intensifying Exploitation 6 14.17 -4.904 50.0% -0.538 -0.1515
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 210 27.14 -1.537 93.33% -0.056 -0.5811
Memory Fades to Dust 443 20.36 -1.704 65.24% -0.585 -0.1038
Power Corrodes the Spirit 399 21.75 -2.732 70.43% -0.529 -0.224
Promising Farmlands 335 20.27 1.143 64.48% -0.251 0.3349
Shattered Fragments of Power 6 19.0 -1.342 50.0% -0.496 -0.3177
Slow Dissolution of Will 9 16.78 -3.307 44.44% -0.772 -0.238
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 130 26.92 2.127 96.15% 0.52 -0.1578
The Border of Life and Death 2 23.0 0.173 100.0% 0.312 0.182
Thriving Communities 412 19.35 -2.614 65.29% -0.795 -0.3019
Thriving Crops 10 27.6 0.777 80.0% 0.336 0.4244
Unnatural Proliferation 430 21.16 -0.977 64.19% -0.638 -0.3408
Untended Land Crumbles 414 20.43 -4.774 65.7% -1.173 -0.8152

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2591 32.77% 26.96 -1.169 86.22% -0.549 0.2907
B 2665 31.88% 27.07 -0.297 87.13% -0.402 0.377
C 2872 31.76% 27.37 -0.457 87.33% -0.506 0.1483
D 2643 33.93% 27.14 0.23 87.17% -0.393 0.4058
E 2596 32.46% 27.39 -0.002 87.1% -0.393 0.236
F 2465 31.3% 27.54 -0.409 86.61% -0.643 0.0764
G 2142 30.9% 27.86 -0.208 88.1% -0.438 0.3042
H 2251 32.59% 27.2 -0.136 86.58% -0.541 0.1067
East 1163 40.05% 32.06 -0.669 86.5% -0.739 -0.1353
Northeast 413 35.35% 33.27 -1.177 81.36% -0.728 0.1528
Northwest 398 35.93% 32.64 -0.692 82.16% -0.781 -0.1083
Southeast 572 45.45% 29.95 0.247 91.08% -0.319 0.317
Southwest 374 32.62% 27.6 -4.439 80.21% -1.222 -0.0571
West 1000 37.1% 31.25 2.023 80.9% -0.484 0.4803

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 37 0.0% 29.16 -1.991 91.89% -0.105 0.7786
Not Using Events or Tokens 31 25.81% 30.06 -0.255 80.65% -0.179 0.1526
Skip Initial Invader Actions 349 7.74% 38.83 3.88 95.7% 0.416 -0.1192
Start of Game Growth 593 11.74% 36.12 3.685 94.6% 0.306 -0.0246
Unlimited Undo 1101 24.42% 29.12 -0.841 89.92% -0.378 -0.3995
Using Tokens but Not Events 1407 27.81% 28.14 0.526 86.35% 0.218 0.1638

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1191 21.03 38.87%
II 5668 31.04 84.46%
III 6095 34.74 91.26%
IV 2818 38.02 99.22%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.146 Win Model: 0.587
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11278 36.16% 27.44 85.37%
2 2894 30.98% 27.67 88.77%
3 1002 30.3% 27.8 88.32%
4 478 24.06% 29.3 88.28%
5 15 33.33% 28.27 80.0%
6 105 19.05% 32.74 87.62%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 462
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5374
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4448
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2766
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 233
Lose: Invader deck ran out 144
Lose: Adversary condition 137
Win: Sacrifice victory 78
Lose: Scenario condition 112
Win: Scenario condition 480
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1433
Lose: Spirit destroyed 105

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 513 42.77% 31.91 -0.97 73.1% -0.151 -0.3098
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 336 65.77% 29.78 0.096 69.05% 0.453 0.5744
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 506 41.27% 33.57 1.926 77.47% 0.502 0.3344
Downpour Drenches the World 96 43.62% 28.71 -1.748 67.71% -0.142 0.0374
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 97 34.02% 27.78 2.182 68.04% 0.69 -0.0312
Eyes Watch From the Trees 750 32.35% 38.27 3.714 84.67% 0.932 0.343
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 443 42.95% 34.62 0.334 80.59% 0.191 -0.2805
Finder of Paths Unseen 39 51.28% 22.33 -4.498 48.72% -0.896 -0.2014
Fractured Days Split the Sky 255 44.31% 32.29 -3.002 68.63% -0.682 0.0026
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 355 59.15% 31.62 0.308 71.55% 0.073 -0.0277
Heart of the Wildfire 480 75.83% 24.22 0.038 53.54% 0.242 0.4866
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1031 45.05% 33.65 3.459 78.56% 1.077 0.6274
Lightning's Swift Strike 257 59.22% 28.24 -5.208 61.87% -0.988 -0.7848
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 24 50.0% 36.29 1.326 70.83% -0.051 -0.7481
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 143 62.24% 31.73 -5.599 69.93% -0.742 -0.9819
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 138 39.86% 41.3 -4.016 76.81% -0.39 -0.55
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1090 43.07% 34.87 3.08 85.5% 0.988 0.8426
Many Minds Move as One 1012 34.42% 36.08 3.515 89.62% 1.05 0.8287
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 600 53.36% 31.82 -1.527 68.83% -0.446 -0.4548
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 458 50.87% 32.85 -0.91 77.51% -0.043 -0.185
River Surges in Sunlight 406 55.8% 31.89 0.343 68.97% -0.142 -0.1397
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 251 55.2% 36.84 -3.577 70.12% -0.596 -0.3259
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 42 52.38% 32.43 1.861 73.81% 0.273 0.1436
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 376 54.26% 29.55 -0.603 68.62% -0.096 -0.31
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 180 66.11% 28.07 -2.678 63.89% -0.483 -0.0472
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 23 56.52% 29.39 -0.88 65.22% 0.099 0.098
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 19 52.63% 25.95 2.951 57.89% 0.429 0.4202
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 143 60.84% 30.58 1.766 74.13% 0.676 0.6034
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 106 56.6% 32.96 1.929 71.7% 0.736 0.794
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 932 39.85% 34.42 0.392 82.19% 0.045 -0.0831
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 40 27.5% 24.48 -0.325 52.5% -0.032 -0.3953
Shifting Memory of Ages 221 52.94% 29.11 -3.058 69.23% -0.728 -0.3205
Shroud of Silent Mist 253 68.38% 26.26 -1.648 58.89% -0.232 0.0825
Starlight Seeks its Form 368 24.46% 37.36 1.684 86.68% 0.74 0.467
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 614 45.66% 27.41 -2.585 64.17% -0.198 -0.6931
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 515 42.19% 33.52 -0.825 75.53% 0.006 0.0362
Thunderspeaker 543 45.67% 35.64 1.568 70.72% 0.135 0.1157
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 9 33.33% 17.89 -2.317 33.33% -0.428 -0.4914
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 366 79.23% 25.78 -0.399 60.93% -0.013 0.0484
Vital Strength of the Earth 260 50.38% 28.43 -0.506 57.69% 0.355 0.9081
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 30 63.33% 30.43 0.144 60.0% -0.617 -0.3608
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 156 45.51% 27.99 -4.348 67.31% -0.791 0.1055
Volcano Looming High 399 60.15% 28.29 -1.821 66.67% -0.214 -0.2036

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 0.0% 22.33 -4.459 50.0% -0.551 -0.6293
Blitz 0 151 50.99% 25.6 -6.13 56.95% -1.014 -0.8672
Dahan Insurrection 4 258 26.74% 56.91 7.992 79.84% -0.179 -0.3857
Despicable Theft 2 66 66.67% 30.82 -5.053 46.97% -0.396 0.2867
Elemental Invocation 1 90 63.33% 27.94 1.268 53.33% 0.457 1.1887
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 405 21.29% 37.23 3.051 78.27% -0.145 -0.7513
Powers Long Forgotten 1 122 59.02% 30.11 1.638 56.56% 0.299 0.7872
Rituals of Terror 3 87 64.37% 38.13 2.498 58.62% 0.249 0.354
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 69 81.16% 35.39 -2.069 50.72% -0.073 0.9189
Second Wave 0 672 53.58% 31.73 3.638 66.96% 0.573 0.6357
The Great River 3 57 80.7% 28.77 0.938 36.84% -0.66 0.6886
Varied Terrains 2 22 54.55% 27.73 -5.253 40.91% -1.085 -0.5222
Ward the Shores 2 133 49.62% 34.08 -4.783 62.41% -0.486 0.7233

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6502 48.1% 30.75 0.543 72.21% 0.563 0.7728
1 Thematic 853 55.87% 32.69 -0.839 59.09% -0.183 0.4155
2 Archipelago 4 75.0% 45.5 0.0 100.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1333 51.01% 30.29 -1.062 74.12% -0.208 -0.0475
2 Coastline 191 48.42% 31.03 1.029 73.82% 0.177 0.2381
2 Fragment 45 60.0% 30.04 0.033 71.11% -0.012 -0.0757
2 Heart 17 52.94% 24.71 -11.115 52.94% -0.291 -0.5294
2 Opposite Shores 270 49.81% 30.59 0.064 75.56% 0.098 0.2321
2 Thematic 216 61.11% 31.87 -2.68 62.5% -0.557 0.0792
2 Top to Top 43 51.16% 34.44 -10.59 88.37% -0.252 -0.2115
3 Archipelago 10 80.0% 31.8 0.0 30.0%
3 Coastline 11 72.73% 42.09 11.774 72.73% 0.062 -0.4355
3 Other 21 57.14% 32.43 3.575 85.71% 0.078 0.1872
3 Round (Default) 532 35.97% 35.64 0.03 83.27% -0.368 -0.4096
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 51 68.63% 35.55 0.389 70.59% 0.11 0.146
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 26.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 34.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 17.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 25 56.0% 33.04 5.001 84.0% 0.282 -0.5677
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 74 52.7% 39.59 2.043 78.38% -0.156 -0.1731
4 Trapezoid (Default) 191 44.74% 35.4 1.559 83.25% -0.078 -0.2648
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 80.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 28 25.93% 51.57 -3.843 82.14% -0.302 -0.8106
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 14 42.86% 50.43 3.602 92.86% 0.346 -0.0488
6 Thematic 4 25.0% 68.25 14.251 100.0% 0.171 0.5697
6 Two Centers (Default) 17 17.65% 70.18 0.0 94.12%
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -6.639 0.0% -0.335 -1.1079

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 366 24.64 -0.873 51.37% -0.11 0.1611
Aid From Lesser Spirits 318 26.79 0.982 58.81% 0.109 0.1474
All Things Weaken 407 24.11 -0.419 50.37% -0.064 0.3963
Attenuated Essence 7 20.43 -2.169 42.86% -0.398 -0.1925
Back Against the Wall 301 24.19 2.722 47.18% 0.645 0.8074
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 2 33.5 5.06 100.0% 0.51 0.9249
Burn Brightest Before the End 8 32.25 2.979 62.5% 0.027 0.3319
Disintegrating Ecosystem 351 20.19 -2.741 41.88% -0.773 -0.2467
Downward Spiral 391 24.47 -0.317 54.48% -0.358 -0.0052
Erosion of Will 345 24.48 1.21 54.78% 0.466 0.8743
Intensifying Exploitation 9 27.33 2.062 66.67% 0.409 0.7964
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 155 34.05 -0.754 82.58% 0.017 -0.5079
Memory Fades to Dust 440 24.71 -0.682 56.82% -0.175 0.3062
Power Corrodes the Spirit 363 23.21 1.073 49.59% 0.055 0.3595
Promising Farmlands 342 23.46 -0.02 52.92% -0.223 0.3628
Shattered Fragments of Power 14 23.07 -0.3 50.0% -0.157 0.0217
Slow Dissolution of Will 9 23.11 0.429 55.56% 0.205 0.7387
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 88 31.63 4.807 86.36% 1.025 0.3474
Thriving Communities 390 23.14 -1.168 48.97% -0.418 0.075
Thriving Crops 7 25.57 -2.891 57.14% -0.344 -0.2557
Unnatural Proliferation 405 24.14 -1.404 49.88% -0.702 -0.4048
Untended Land Crumbles 401 22.73 -0.333 50.87% -0.051 0.3067

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1801 48.06% 31.71 0.179 73.74% -0.124 0.7158
B 1814 46.96% 32.56 -0.191 76.02% -0.201 0.578
C 1900 44.83% 32.63 0.005 76.47% -0.112 0.5418
D 1755 47.15% 32.24 1.258 74.64% 0.18 0.9797
E 1664 46.05% 32.64 0.703 76.5% -0.032 0.5971
F 1604 48.75% 31.71 -0.362 74.13% -0.288 0.4313
G 1390 47.51% 31.85 -0.325 74.46% -0.192 0.5502
H 1414 47.77% 32.07 -0.952 74.75% -0.47 0.1779
East 696 57.55% 34.52 -0.09 63.36% -0.476 0.1278
Northeast 298 60.61% 36.31 2.353 67.11% 0.073 0.9538
Northwest 244 56.56% 34.06 3.397 63.52% 0.609 1.282
Southeast 239 56.49% 34.01 -1.2 65.69% -0.463 0.1728
Southwest 236 61.02% 28.04 2.001 57.2% 0.299 1.4637
West 670 57.31% 33.21 -0.572 62.09% -0.608 0.3566

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 15 0.0% 33.4 0.0 60.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 27 37.04% 21.37 -11.949 33.33% -0.653 -0.3211
Skip Initial Invader Actions 214 14.01% 45.62 7.648 93.93% 1.438 0.9028
Start of Game Growth 317 17.31% 43.54 6.384 89.59% 0.772 0.4419
Unlimited Undo 812 43.36% 33.37 -0.135 79.43% -0.353 -0.3751
Using Tokens but Not Events 877 39.44% 34.21 -0.479 76.05% -0.194 -0.2477

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1438 21.03 14.39%
II 3837 31.04 70.45%
III 3953 34.74 86.42%
IV 1243 38.02 99.6%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.478 Win Model: 0.589
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7433 49.25% 30.92 70.33%
2 2091 51.56% 30.96 74.41%
3 605 39.9% 35.19 81.49%
4 288 45.3% 37.9 83.33%
5 31 16.67% 63.32 87.1%
6 23 43.48% 40.04 86.96%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 206
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3302
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2488
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1227
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 225
Lose: Invader deck ran out 63
Lose: Adversary condition 990
Win: Sacrifice victory 52
Lose: Scenario condition 74
Win: Scenario condition 289
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1458
Lose: Spirit destroyed 97

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 612 35.9% 39.57 -0.37 80.88% 0.189 0.0302
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 474 57.59% 36.54 -1.684 77.43% -0.256 -0.1348
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 579 42.63% 38.85 -0.001 83.77% 0.302 0.134
Downpour Drenches the World 123 43.9% 37.43 1.03 75.61% 0.43 0.6085
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 132 29.55% 34.55 2.395 75.76% 0.805 0.0837
Eyes Watch From the Trees 846 30.3% 42.45 3.329 89.72% 0.91 0.3211
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 435 39.31% 40.69 1.93 86.67% 0.558 0.0867
Finder of Paths Unseen 59 57.63% 29.63 -8.859 54.24% -1.287 -0.5932
Fractured Days Split the Sky 304 50.0% 39.12 0.385 72.37% -0.088 0.596
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 372 55.65% 36.23 1.108 74.19% 0.26 0.1591
Heart of the Wildfire 625 64.0% 35.26 -1.098 72.32% -0.06 0.184
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1306 40.12% 38.58 3.707 82.39% 0.709 0.2592
Lightning's Swift Strike 285 60.99% 35.98 -1.894 74.39% -0.309 -0.1057
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 36 47.22% 34.25 -0.911 69.44% -0.337 -1.0339
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 190 50.79% 36.87 -3.088 75.79% -0.45 -0.6891
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 150 47.33% 41.55 3.86 78.67% 0.554 0.3941
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1509 39.81% 41.24 2.096 89.13% 0.644 0.4992
Many Minds Move as One 1170 30.09% 41.7 -0.114 92.14% 0.226 0.0055
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 785 49.62% 39.06 1.178 76.69% 0.445 0.4353
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 551 43.01% 38.65 -1.18 83.85% -0.082 -0.2241
River Surges in Sunlight 594 46.02% 42.35 5.192 83.16% 0.655 0.6576
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 230 57.39% 37.75 -0.273 74.78% -0.457 -0.1871
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 79 37.66% 41.3 -2.65 70.89% -0.508 -0.6375
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 535 48.41% 36.69 -0.703 80.0% -0.012 -0.2258
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 224 59.82% 34.56 1.822 71.88% 0.42 0.8564
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 9 77.78% 38.44 -3.536 77.78% -0.299 -0.2997
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 21 42.86% 34.86 -9.104 76.19% -0.411 -0.4193
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 164 51.83% 37.74 -2.869 78.05% -0.256 -0.328
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 130 63.85% 35.73 -2.689 76.15% -0.326 -0.2674
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1039 34.91% 40.5 -2.382 87.68% -0.141 -0.2695
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 66 36.36% 31.83 0.361 65.15% 0.048 -0.3151
Shifting Memory of Ages 280 58.21% 33.86 -3.254 71.07% -0.38 0.0269
Shroud of Silent Mist 345 59.42% 35.39 -3.599 74.49% -0.594 -0.2794
Starlight Seeks its Form 313 38.02% 39.86 0.511 81.79% 0.259 -0.0137
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 809 36.26% 34.48 -1.308 75.65% 0.009 -0.4863
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 667 35.44% 40.84 0.63 86.81% 0.074 0.104
Thunderspeaker 521 45.58% 41.46 -1.424 81.57% -0.165 -0.1836
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 27 40.74% 30.11 -0.313 66.67% 0.128 0.0645
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 504 71.03% 32.95 -2.721 72.82% -0.303 -0.2415
Vital Strength of the Earth 280 45.36% 33.9 -2.058 72.86% -0.232 0.3211
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 37 40.54% 36.54 -0.373 75.68% -0.095 0.1606
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 175 50.29% 32.03 -3.957 70.29% -0.906 -0.0097
Volcano Looming High 528 55.03% 34.5 1.336 73.67% 0.562 0.5725

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 25.0% 8.25 -9.403 25.0% -0.499 -0.5773
Blitz 0 209 47.37% 32.9 1.691 63.16% -0.159 -0.0124
Dahan Insurrection 4 211 21.33% 64.32 12.656 84.36% 0.468 0.2611
Despicable Theft 2 47 68.09% 40.13 2.026 61.7% 0.077 0.7598
Elemental Invocation 1 90 57.78% 35.28 -4.027 67.78% -0.575 0.1568
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 574 24.91% 42.46 2.107 81.36% 0.183 -0.4232
Powers Long Forgotten 1 114 62.28% 35.9 -8.746 63.16% -1.126 -0.6374
Rituals of Terror 3 62 59.68% 37.58 -14.966 50.0% -0.929 -0.8238
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 44 68.18% 34.66 -12.289 45.45% -1.263 -0.2708
Second Wave 0 395 47.59% 37.68 1.06 73.92% 0.13 0.1926
The Great River 3 60 60.0% 36.83 -12.209 51.67% -1.203 0.1452
Varied Terrains 2 15 80.0% 30.93 -11.925 46.67% -0.915 -0.352
Ward the Shores 2 103 57.28% 39.5 -2.203 63.11% -0.382 0.8279

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7772 46.53% 36.38 0.194 77.62% 0.151 0.3607
1 Thematic 696 54.89% 36.28 -2.95 61.78% -0.613 -0.0139
2 Archipelago 12 41.67% 45.33 12.778 75.0% 0.578 0.9352
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1696 47.35% 37.6 1.062 84.02% 0.405 0.5653
2 Coastline 172 45.61% 39.56 -1.414 87.79% 0.197 0.258
2 Fragment 40 55.0% 36.33 -14.883 77.5% -0.845 -0.9081
2 Heart 29 58.62% 34.17 5.164 72.41% 0.852 0.6139
2 Opposite Shores 269 44.78% 37.84 -2.136 82.16% -0.307 -0.173
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -17.477 0.0% -0.32 0.9237
2 Thematic 308 42.86% 41.69 -0.748 80.19% -0.421 0.2156
2 Top to Top 48 37.5% 39.83 4.817 87.5% 0.645 0.685
3 Archipelago 6 83.33% 34.33 9.174 33.33% 0.212 -0.8744
3 Coastline 16 68.75% 45.38 5.218 93.75% 0.268 -0.2301
3 Other 31 48.39% 36.52 -1.971 80.65% -0.175 -0.0657
3 Round (Default) 624 42.63% 39.77 0.866 87.18% 0.221 0.1795
3 Sunrise 4 0.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 61 47.54% 44.21 -3.382 83.61% -0.369 -0.3333
4 Archipelago 11 45.45% 40.55 -4.613 45.45% -1.04 -1.2546
4 Coastline 5 80.0% 41.2 0.0 60.0%
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 43.5 3.216 100.0% 0.161 -0.2144
4 Other 12 50.0% 40.33 -2.257 91.67% -0.067 -0.9164
4 Thematic 152 18.42% 56.75 7.15 90.79% 0.281 0.2638
4 Trapezoid (Default) 317 30.38% 40.64 -1.647 90.85% -0.117 -0.3038
5 Other 31 75.86% 38.52 -1.639 70.97% -0.626 -1.1344
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 55.5 13.51 100.0% 0.475 0.1452
6 Archipelago 4 0.0% 51.0 6.126 100.0% 0.069 -0.2362
6 Other 3 66.67% 56.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Star 2 50.0% 43.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 15 33.33% 45.67 -2.237 73.33% -0.534 -0.1347
6 Two Centers (Default) 13 38.46% 39.54 7.985 84.62% 0.256 0.2996
7 Other 2 0.0% 48.0 -3.386 50.0% -0.199 -0.972

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 433 30.45 3.918 61.66% 1.102 1.373
Aid From Lesser Spirits 331 32.08 1.23 63.14% 0.113 0.1514
All Things Weaken 447 29.89 0.991 58.61% -0.021 0.4401
Attenuated Essence 8 22.38 -2.723 37.5% -0.569 -0.3629
Back Against the Wall 352 31.36 0.481 61.36% 0.262 0.4238
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 12 24.08 -3.218 33.33% -1.066 -0.6514
Burn Brightest Before the End 7 26.14 -3.299 42.86% -0.547 -0.2427
Disintegrating Ecosystem 377 27.25 -5.421 53.32% -1.068 -0.5418
Downward Spiral 430 31.98 0.513 69.07% 0.246 0.5985
Erosion of Will 400 30.42 1.671 61.25% 0.18 0.5885
Intensifying Exploitation 7 36.29 2.67 71.43% 0.194 0.5813
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 185 37.11 1.748 83.78% 0.095 -0.4302
Memory Fades to Dust 404 30.66 1.441 65.1% 0.093 0.5747
Power Corrodes the Spirit 407 29.73 -3.845 61.92% -0.247 0.0579
Promising Farmlands 390 29.37 -1.16 62.31% -0.191 0.395
Shattered Fragments of Power 4 32.5 2.039 75.0% 0.281 0.4602
Slow Dissolution of Will 9 33.67 2.002 66.67% 0.193 0.7269
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 129 37.82 8.746 88.37% 0.545 -0.1328
The Border of Life and Death 4 34.0 2.792 75.0% 0.404 0.2742
Thriving Communities 452 30.1 1.704 63.72% 0.408 0.9008
Thriving Crops 5 18.8 -3.348 40.0% -0.115 -0.0274
Unnatural Proliferation 460 31.51 -0.399 64.35% -0.177 0.1201
Untended Land Crumbles 446 30.18 -0.795 63.23% 0.194 0.5521

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2056 46.88% 37.32 -0.587 80.74% -0.351 0.4889
B 2193 46.8% 37.87 0.947 82.85% -0.088 0.6907
C 2291 42.73% 38.08 -0.046 81.93% -0.279 0.3751
D 2058 46.47% 37.17 -0.374 79.11% -0.376 0.4235
E 2105 44.43% 37.89 0.517 81.57% -0.217 0.4117
F 1938 45.45% 37.37 0.173 81.53% -0.347 0.372
G 1638 46.14% 37.1 0.388 80.34% -0.204 0.5378
H 1815 42.64% 38.27 0.123 83.36% -0.343 0.3047
East 804 40.55% 44.01 0.044 76.74% -0.451 0.1536
Northeast 400 39.0% 47.41 0.846 81.5% -0.044 0.8365
Northwest 346 40.75% 45.64 -2.889 77.17% -0.922 -0.2489
Southeast 278 38.49% 42.51 -2.134 77.34% -0.522 0.1146
Southwest 250 46.8% 37.34 -0.822 71.2% -0.037 1.1273
West 749 47.0% 41.09 0.352 71.16% -0.288 0.6759

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 8 0.0% 68.13 0.0 100.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 6 50.0% 25.83 -8.419 50.0% -0.535 -0.2036
Skip Initial Invader Actions 191 10.75% 50.5 4.231 90.58% -0.384 -0.9191
Start of Game Growth 309 15.51% 48.29 4.857 90.94% 0.68 0.3499
Unlimited Undo 927 39.89% 38.81 0.21 79.83% 0.001 -0.0206
Using Tokens but Not Events 816 44.06% 35.4 -3.47 76.84% -0.655 -0.7093

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1051 21.03 0.38%
II 2967 31.04 66.84%
III 5592 34.74 89.88%
IV 2751 38.02 99.75%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.212 Win Model: 0.231
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8530 47.33% 36.38 76.26%
2 2555 46.53% 38.26 83.56%
3 718 42.62% 40.13 86.77%
4 502 28.4% 45.72 90.24%
5 18 82.35% 36.78 66.67%
6 38 35.14% 44.66 76.32%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4881
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1832
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2727
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 227
Lose: Invader deck ran out 34
Lose: Adversary condition 906
Win: Sacrifice victory 71
Lose: Scenario condition 83
Win: Scenario condition 242
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1255
Lose: Spirit destroyed 99

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 580 57.12% 38.68 -3.357 61.9% -0.685 -0.8444
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 448 75.06% 36.93 2.361 56.92% 0.351 0.4726
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 589 61.73% 40.37 -0.501 64.69% 0.014 -0.1535
Downpour Drenches the World 124 60.98% 33.16 -3.099 50.81% -0.291 -0.1118
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 143 60.14% 36.15 3.718 61.54% 0.746 0.0251
Eyes Watch From the Trees 758 49.67% 45.14 0.142 75.07% -0.111 -0.6999
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 325 65.43% 39.23 -2.164 60.62% -0.032 -0.5031
Finder of Paths Unseen 42 69.05% 34.69 -5.9 47.62% -0.663 0.0317
Fractured Days Split the Sky 323 69.97% 37.33 -0.571 52.01% -0.225 0.459
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 350 62.86% 38.0 -0.107 59.14% 0.254 0.1532
Heart of the Wildfire 668 82.91% 31.56 -1.315 46.11% -0.067 0.1767
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1783 55.85% 40.41 3.042 67.08% 0.726 0.2765
Lightning's Swift Strike 282 76.45% 36.37 -3.226 51.06% -0.406 -0.2025
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 68 71.64% 42.09 0.576 73.53% 0.249 -0.448
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 196 66.84% 41.39 1.008 68.88% 0.317 0.0775
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 135 65.19% 40.6 7.047 60.74% 0.616 0.4564
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2284 49.43% 46.33 4.332 81.0% 1.003 0.8577
Many Minds Move as One 1261 51.7% 45.61 3.767 79.06% 0.832 0.6113
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 741 67.08% 37.54 -3.96 56.95% -0.791 -0.7999
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 531 63.02% 38.95 7.055 61.96% 1.271 1.129
River Surges in Sunlight 608 73.5% 38.67 -0.547 54.61% -0.542 -0.539
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 216 77.78% 31.02 -3.33 38.89% -0.534 -0.264
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 61 62.3% 41.92 2.311 62.3% 0.182 0.0525
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 513 69.4% 38.09 -0.586 60.43% -0.002 -0.2152
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 179 85.47% 33.22 -3.123 44.69% 0.01 0.4456
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 20 75.0% 38.85 0.068 60.0% 0.025 0.0246
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 35 77.14% 39.11 -0.844 65.71% -0.07 -0.0781
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 178 72.47% 37.38 -2.274 57.87% -0.116 -0.1881
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 159 79.25% 36.48 1.077 56.6% 0.19 0.2486
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1186 50.64% 45.54 1.734 77.4% 0.336 0.208
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 39 64.1% 30.74 0.248 51.28% 0.172 -0.1907
Shifting Memory of Ages 268 69.03% 36.56 -3.787 56.72% -0.841 -0.4337
Shroud of Silent Mist 354 74.07% 35.95 -0.684 57.06% -0.003 0.3123
Starlight Seeks its Form 472 58.69% 39.85 -0.563 62.71% 0.146 -0.127
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1028 53.85% 34.98 -1.899 55.93% -0.338 -0.8334
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 729 57.32% 42.19 -1.743 71.19% -0.033 -0.0028
Thunderspeaker 515 68.81% 38.03 -0.315 55.92% -0.319 -0.3383
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 18 55.56% 19.56 -3.517 27.78% -0.299 -0.3623
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 607 85.67% 33.01 -2.738 50.58% -0.209 -0.1473
Vital Strength of the Earth 240 73.64% 34.3 1.165 49.17% 0.342 0.8948
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 44 70.45% 27.2 -5.601 34.09% -1.106 -0.8504
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 179 67.04% 32.41 1.105 49.72% 0.455 1.3514
Volcano Looming High 605 70.74% 37.14 -1.371 61.32% -0.145 -0.1348

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 0.0% 56.0 14.707 100.0% 0.623 0.5447
Blitz 0 140 62.86% 29.29 -2.776 31.43% -0.757 -0.6104
Dahan Insurrection 4 102 48.04% 59.04 9.099 62.75% -0.026 -0.2328
Despicable Theft 2 15 60.0% 51.27 0.0 66.67%
Elemental Invocation 1 69 76.81% 36.74 -11.723 53.62% -0.269 0.4626
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 757 34.87% 47.62 5.457 76.88% 0.543 -0.0633
Powers Long Forgotten 1 66 62.12% 35.76 -11.1 43.94% -0.977 -0.4882
Rituals of Terror 3 37 81.08% 39.78 -1.851 32.43% -0.226 -0.1207
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 13 46.15% 40.0 0.818 46.15% 0.191 1.1826
Second Wave 0 269 66.54% 36.8 -0.19 51.3% -0.208 -0.1456
The Great River 3 34 70.59% 47.38 -11.495 55.88% -0.187 1.161
Varied Terrains 2 5 60.0% 39.0 -2.575 60.0% -0.178 0.3843
Ward the Shores 2 50 68.0% 38.34 -7.836 46.0% -0.361 0.8482

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 9365 60.6% 38.51 0.258 61.69% 0.375 0.585
1 Thematic 570 68.42% 36.64 -4.562 46.49% -0.44 0.1589
2 Archipelago 10 70.0% 39.5 -16.636 50.0% -0.601 -0.2437
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1953 65.11% 39.4 -1.349 65.9% -0.155 0.0051
2 Coastline 206 61.17% 40.92 3.336 66.99% 0.201 0.2622
2 Fragment 54 68.52% 38.06 15.115 59.26% 0.317 0.2535
2 Heart 22 72.73% 39.91 -2.624 68.18% 0.069 -0.1687
2 Opposite Shores 375 63.1% 40.52 2.487 65.07% 0.278 0.4116
2 Thematic 150 68.67% 36.52 -3.642 46.67% -0.379 0.2568
2 Top to Top 62 58.06% 43.37 4.185 75.81% 0.434 0.4744
3 Archipelago 4 50.0% 53.75 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 5 60.0% 55.2 0.0 80.0%
3 Other 36 77.78% 41.81 3.956 69.44% 0.535 0.6444
3 Round (Default) 796 61.81% 41.43 3.135 69.1% 0.418 0.3766
3 Sunrise 4 50.0% 45.25 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 33 69.7% 49.48 -0.445 69.7% -0.319 -0.2827
4 Archipelago 3 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 59.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 56.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 20 60.0% 48.35 -4.838 90.0% -0.306 -1.156
4 Thematic 52 61.54% 46.5 14.69 63.46% 0.62 0.6024
4 Trapezoid (Default) 278 61.03% 43.06 -2.454 73.02% -1.01 -1.1968
5 Other 15 44.44% 61.87 11.134 80.0% 0.368 -0.1406
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 -12.618 0.0% -0.358 -0.688
6 Other 8 0.0% 64.25 9.173 100.0% 0.109 -0.2859
6 Star 1 0.0% 75.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 6 50.0% 47.17 18.557 66.67% 0.11 0.5085
6 Two Centers (Default) 19 63.16% 39.95 1.513 63.16% -0.376 -0.3329

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 613 33.27 2.527 48.61% 0.117 0.3882
Aid From Lesser Spirits 577 33.93 3.32 46.1% 0.16 0.1985
All Things Weaken 665 31.13 -2.521 44.36% -0.82 -0.3598
Attenuated Essence 22 29.45 0.037 45.45% -0.114 0.0912
Back Against the Wall 487 32.97 4.716 46.0% 0.579 0.7414
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 14 27.21 0.347 42.86% 0.062 0.4766
Burn Brightest Before the End 20 23.9 -2.419 30.0% -0.685 -0.3807
Disintegrating Ecosystem 632 27.96 -0.898 37.18% -0.449 0.0772
Downward Spiral 686 32.03 1.864 48.4% 0.247 0.6003
Erosion of Will 653 31.43 2.222 44.41% 0.233 0.6411
Intensifying Exploitation 15 31.07 -0.002 53.33% 0.025 0.4119
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 195 40.98 -7.542 72.31% -0.807 -1.3327
Memory Fades to Dust 630 31.47 1.601 46.51% 0.201 0.6827
Power Corrodes the Spirit 615 30.17 -4.652 42.93% -0.975 -0.6706
Promising Farmlands 594 29.97 -2.752 41.92% -1.099 -0.5126
Shattered Fragments of Power 12 33.0 1.379 50.0% -0.131 0.0478
Slow Dissolution of Will 15 27.2 -0.113 33.33% -0.394 0.1395
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 144 45.08 4.966 81.25% 0.67 -0.0076
The Border of Life and Death 2 33.0 3.412 50.0% 0.132 0.002
Thriving Communities 703 32.67 1.714 51.78% 0.446 0.9388
Thriving Crops 6 34.83 2.59 66.67% 0.415 0.503
Unnatural Proliferation 704 31.77 0.014 44.46% -0.215 0.0816
Untended Land Crumbles 672 31.46 0.287 46.73% -0.355 0.0026

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2451 62.34% 39.21 0.527 63.97% 0.148 0.9883
B 2502 61.61% 39.5 0.061 64.63% -0.143 0.6361
C 2780 60.18% 40.61 0.073 66.44% -0.085 0.5688
D 2366 62.1% 39.34 0.481 63.78% 0.034 0.8337
E 2582 60.22% 40.26 1.441 65.92% 0.167 0.7961
F 2234 63.91% 39.75 -0.524 65.17% -0.235 0.4841
G 1897 62.55% 39.29 -1.352 63.84% -0.277 0.465
H 1990 61.64% 40.3 1.513 65.78% 0.279 0.9266
East 508 66.14% 38.89 -1.104 49.21% -0.541 0.0631
Northeast 214 65.42% 39.18 -1.638 48.6% -0.15 0.731
Northwest 178 62.36% 39.3 -2.744 51.12% -0.262 0.4107
Southeast 190 66.32% 39.29 2.248 52.63% 0.099 0.7352
Southwest 130 70.0% 40.21 2.825 59.23% 0.372 1.5364
West 422 67.77% 38.54 -1.108 50.71% -0.326 0.6379

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 18 0.0% 68.44 4.314 88.89% -0.052 0.831
Not Using Events or Tokens 4 100.0% 21.75 0.0 25.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 228 14.42% 61.01 10.915 93.86% 1.548 1.0131
Start of Game Growth 344 22.36% 56.94 4.186 89.53% -0.114 -0.4444
Unlimited Undo 1022 51.14% 43.96 -0.802 72.8% -0.18 -0.2016
Using Tokens but Not Events 642 62.66% 36.44 -2.468 57.79% -0.296 -0.3497

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1939 21.03 0.46%
II 5144 31.04 48.11%
III 4425 34.74 85.22%
IV 2549 38.02 99.49%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.641 Win Model: 0.412
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 9978 61.04% 38.38 60.75%
2 2811 64.97% 39.73 65.28%
3 869 62.03% 41.75 69.28%
4 352 59.54% 44.09 72.73%
5 13 28.57% 65.08 84.62%
6 34 45.45% 47.97 73.53%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 9
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3716
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2409
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2517
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 301
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3
Lose: Adversary condition 1796
Win: Sacrifice victory 53
Lose: Scenario condition 94
Win: Scenario condition 87
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2910
Lose: Spirit destroyed 162

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 378 59.09% 43.16 -2.92 62.96% -0.39 -0.5488
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 279 77.62% 38.92 -3.117 53.76% -0.072 0.0494
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 382 67.72% 43.97 3.467 65.97% 0.609 0.4408
Downpour Drenches the World 84 69.88% 39.64 -2.51 58.33% 0.146 0.3248
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 149 49.66% 36.44 2.487 55.7% 0.7 -0.0215
Eyes Watch From the Trees 575 53.66% 48.31 2.14 72.0% 0.183 -0.4062
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 235 57.87% 45.43 -6.134 64.68% -0.455 -0.9265
Finder of Paths Unseen 35 45.71% 35.54 -8.005 45.71% -0.358 0.3358
Fractured Days Split the Sky 299 65.77% 41.61 -1.134 51.84% -0.461 0.2231
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 271 60.15% 43.82 -4.159 63.84% -0.549 -0.6505
Heart of the Wildfire 421 74.29% 38.81 -5.468 56.29% -0.39 -0.1456
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1591 46.7% 47.52 1.462 76.49% 0.446 -0.004
Lightning's Swift Strike 175 77.06% 39.81 -7.835 52.57% -0.666 -0.4623
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 55 54.55% 48.09 -0.663 70.91% 0.041 -0.656
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 142 59.57% 46.41 0.904 69.01% 0.027 -0.2124
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 117 55.56% 45.56 -3.768 68.38% -0.345 -0.5045
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2166 43.95% 51.88 5.168 83.15% 1.047 0.9019
Many Minds Move as One 945 48.68% 51.53 1.208 81.8% 0.369 0.1485
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 500 71.2% 39.83 0.817 55.0% 0.641 0.6319
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 412 71.39% 40.63 -1.267 58.25% -0.249 -0.391
River Surges in Sunlight 453 69.28% 42.86 -4.551 57.84% -0.821 -0.8185
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 164 68.29% 39.12 -3.713 47.56% -0.221 0.0495
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 50 62.0% 40.62 -3.552 54.0% -0.4 -0.5295
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 438 62.79% 41.41 -1.313 58.22% 0.307 0.0932
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 122 77.69% 37.54 -0.125 46.72% 0.068 0.5034
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 15 73.33% 47.8 7.021 66.67% 0.363 0.3624
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 27 59.26% 37.15 -1.828 40.74% 0.173 0.1642
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 119 73.95% 41.3 14.108 56.3% 0.849 0.7769
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 108 76.85% 39.7 -6.154 53.7% -0.432 -0.3739
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1263 39.11% 52.63 1.521 82.34% 0.488 0.3591
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 59 33.9% 25.66 -4.279 40.68% -0.341 -0.7039
Shifting Memory of Ages 215 73.95% 41.38 -1.775 59.53% -0.068 0.3391
Shroud of Silent Mist 227 77.17% 38.81 -5.698 52.86% -0.605 -0.2902
Starlight Seeks its Form 334 62.28% 43.6 2.12 64.97% 0.553 0.28
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 726 55.11% 41.1 3.052 60.33% 0.52 0.025
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 647 61.78% 44.81 -1.579 68.62% -0.012 0.0182
Thunderspeaker 327 71.17% 42.4 -1.941 59.63% -0.17 -0.1893
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 18 72.22% 23.61 -3.016 22.22% -0.47 -0.533
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 559 83.72% 39.99 1.797 60.82% 0.451 0.5124
Vital Strength of the Earth 177 79.43% 33.33 -6.758 38.42% -0.8 -0.2475
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 36 86.11% 35.47 2.798 44.44% 0.465 0.7206
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 107 75.7% 36.5 0.057 52.34% -0.057 0.8397
Volcano Looming High 464 68.25% 40.32 -2.84 59.27% -0.312 -0.3018

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 100.0% 18.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 74 75.68% 29.46 -5.81 29.73% -0.865 -0.7184
Dahan Insurrection 4 63 36.51% 65.97 3.852 63.49% 0.024 -0.1827
Despicable Theft 2 17 64.71% 48.94 7.483 58.82% 0.682 1.3652
Elemental Invocation 1 26 53.85% 48.96 -14.351 73.08% -0.289 0.4425
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 526 25.48% 53.15 4.68 77.95% 0.232 -0.3747
Powers Long Forgotten 1 27 74.07% 31.85 -1.576 29.63% -0.05 0.438
Rituals of Terror 3 32 75.0% 38.78 -14.447 37.5% -0.777 -0.6721
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 15 80.0% 39.07 -12.046 33.33% -0.191 0.8006
Second Wave 0 143 59.15% 46.76 8.265 62.94% 0.191 0.2533
The Great River 3 18 77.78% 35.28 -10.219 27.78% -0.687 0.6613
Varied Terrains 2 6 33.33% 26.5 -4.752 33.33% -0.497 0.066
Ward the Shores 2 19 78.95% 36.26 0.521 36.84% -0.033 1.1766

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7495 57.9% 44.15 -0.964 65.87% -0.033 0.1763
1 Thematic 266 62.41% 41.49 -0.065 51.13% -0.12 0.4789
2 Archipelago 2 50.0% 90.0 0.0 100.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1462 66.35% 43.37 1.787 65.32% 0.319 0.4795
2 Coastline 193 64.77% 43.62 -3.249 66.32% -0.619 -0.5582
2 Fragment 27 70.37% 48.48 10.213 77.78% 0.3 0.2364
2 Heart 18 72.22% 45.33 10.215 66.67% 0.506 0.2684
2 Opposite Shores 396 45.45% 48.33 -1.289 78.54% -0.395 -0.2611
2 Thematic 81 81.48% 44.04 -3.55 53.09% -0.164 0.4722
2 Top to Top 100 38.0% 44.86 0.182 73.0% -0.194 -0.1541
3 Archipelago 2 50.0% 70.5 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 13 38.46% 58.92 0.0 92.31%
3 Other 16 50.0% 48.13 2.259 81.25% 0.318 0.4279
3 Round (Default) 613 62.91% 45.03 2.175 69.82% 0.426 0.3843
3 Sunrise 5 80.0% 38.0 0.0 60.0%
3 Thematic 21 71.43% 39.57 0.0 38.1%
4 Coastline 8 25.0% 54.88 0.0 87.5%
4 Other 12 75.0% 52.67 0.0 91.67%
4 Thematic 66 43.94% 56.98 -11.636 80.3% -0.275 -0.2927
4 Trapezoid (Default) 203 54.69% 48.88 -0.693 74.88% -0.242 -0.4288
5 Other 14 58.33% 45.07 -6.472 64.29% -0.401 -0.9093
5 Thematic 6 16.67% 56.5 -8.038 50.0% -0.062 -0.3922
6 Other 2 0.0% 83.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 5 60.0% 33.8 5.056 40.0% 0.182 0.6574
6 Thematic 18 5.56% 62.28 2.685 66.67% 0.092 0.491
6 Two Centers (Default) 31 12.9% 50.45 -5.307 80.65% -0.021 0.023

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 517 35.84 -3.817 46.81% -0.95 -0.6789
Aid From Lesser Spirits 388 38.13 -0.194 51.03% -0.317 -0.278
All Things Weaken 488 36.05 -1.335 48.36% -0.367 0.0936
Attenuated Essence 9 35.44 1.366 44.44% -0.214 -0.0086
Back Against the Wall 376 37.53 0.671 49.47% -0.327 -0.1649
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 12 19.08 -6.763 16.67% -1.197 -0.7827
Burn Brightest Before the End 4 36.75 1.929 50.0% -0.027 0.2776
Disintegrating Ecosystem 443 31.0 -6.813 37.92% -1.333 -0.8065
Downward Spiral 474 36.21 1.711 52.53% 0.302 0.6548
Erosion of Will 478 35.85 1.022 47.7% 0.073 0.4818
Intensifying Exploitation 12 28.25 -2.476 33.33% -0.606 -0.219
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 147 49.31 0.939 82.31% 0.151 -0.3747
Memory Fades to Dust 526 35.32 -0.455 47.34% -0.333 0.148
Power Corrodes the Spirit 526 36.77 3.195 52.09% 0.514 0.8183
Promising Farmlands 443 34.26 -2.012 46.95% -0.56 0.0257
Shattered Fragments of Power 6 18.83 -5.987 16.67% -0.721 -0.5423
Slow Dissolution of Will 11 32.45 0.267 45.45% -0.021 0.513
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 85 48.68 9.204 81.18% 0.364 -0.3138
The Border of Life and Death 3 37.33 0.067 66.67% 0.072 -0.0574
Thriving Communities 506 36.63 -4.071 52.37% -1.01 -0.5165
Thriving Crops 4 13.5 -6.782 25.0% -0.166 -0.0784
Unnatural Proliferation 533 36.7 -2.11 48.41% -0.838 -0.5407
Untended Land Crumbles 505 34.54 0.602 45.94% 0.061 0.419

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1786 61.46% 44.41 0.24 67.02% 0.04 0.8796
B 2201 55.66% 45.73 1.248 70.65% 0.307 1.0855
C 2206 57.26% 45.0 -0.304 68.54% -0.019 0.6353
D 1837 58.93% 44.03 -2.314 66.25% -0.486 0.3135
E 2136 55.79% 46.32 2.179 70.83% 0.535 1.1637
F 1778 61.3% 43.69 -0.188 65.41% -0.063 0.6567
G 1510 62.96% 43.51 -0.883 65.3% -0.161 0.5805
H 1637 57.9% 45.03 1.595 68.05% 0.263 0.9115
East 295 58.64% 47.17 -9.53 56.27% -0.939 -0.3353
Northeast 151 58.94% 48.77 0.49 57.62% -0.026 0.8549
Northwest 135 51.11% 48.57 -2.477 58.52% -0.154 0.5187
Southeast 120 50.0% 49.7 3.427 61.67% 0.278 0.9147
Southwest 113 54.87% 47.78 3.768 60.18% 0.371 1.5353
West 268 58.96% 47.04 -6.857 58.96% -0.838 0.1266

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 17 0.0% 73.71 1.304 94.12% -0.351 0.5322
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 33.33% 19.0 0.0 0.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 175 14.37% 62.72 7.706 92.0% 0.427 -0.1075
Start of Game Growth 387 25.27% 59.61 7.725 89.15% 1.074 0.744
Unlimited Undo 1082 57.56% 48.54 3.555 74.77% 0.586 0.5638
Using Tokens but Not Events 425 50.74% 46.5 0.24 70.82% 0.232 0.1781

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1085 21.03 0.46%
II 4209 31.04 52.84%
III 4185 34.74 84.59%
IV 1600 38.02 99.69%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.304 Win Model: -0.202
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7793 58.11% 44.05 65.34%
2 2263 61.86% 44.53 68.05%
3 667 62.61% 45.19 69.57%
4 290 50.0% 51.2 76.21%
5 10 55.56% 43.3 60.0%
6 56 14.29% 53.93 73.21%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 5
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3501
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2174
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1587
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 251
Lose: Invader deck ran out 5
Lose: Adversary condition 1038
Win: Sacrifice victory 50
Lose: Scenario condition 58
Win: Scenario condition 47
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2233
Lose: Spirit destroyed 130

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 238 78.15% 41.63 4.383 39.92% 0.578 0.4191
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 142 86.62% 32.82 -0.673 20.42% -0.008 0.1134
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 215 80.0% 37.06 -3.497 32.09% -0.11 -0.278
Downpour Drenches the World 43 60.47% 39.0 -5.517 41.86% -0.504 -0.3255
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 96 71.88% 35.42 0.46 36.46% 0.235 -0.4861
Eyes Watch From the Trees 438 68.49% 47.06 1.198 49.77% 0.59 0.0014
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 120 86.55% 32.79 -7.131 20.83% -0.815 -1.2866
Finder of Paths Unseen 34 67.65% 40.44 -0.444 35.29% -0.184 0.5099
Fractured Days Split the Sky 149 69.13% 47.7 -0.783 44.97% 0.569 1.2533
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 150 83.33% 37.45 -6.74 30.0% -0.415 -0.5165
Heart of the Wildfire 271 86.35% 35.73 -1.394 30.63% 0.194 0.4382
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1076 58.7% 50.59 -0.55 61.34% 0.54 0.0901
Lightning's Swift Strike 106 87.74% 37.8 -19.196 31.13% -0.451 -0.247
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 30 60.0% 49.7 -4.671 56.67% -0.176 -0.8726
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 97 74.23% 43.59 -9.927 45.36% -0.329 -0.5683
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 41 60.98% 42.63 -8.397 46.34% -0.595 -0.7553
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1402 58.84% 52.66 1.528 64.98% 0.572 0.4265
Many Minds Move as One 573 78.71% 44.56 -0.143 47.12% 0.347 0.1256
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 264 82.58% 36.92 -2.661 29.92% -0.365 -0.3742
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 205 85.85% 36.84 -3.597 30.73% 0.157 0.0151
River Surges in Sunlight 251 79.68% 43.84 -1.82 40.64% -0.146 -0.1429
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 77 87.01% 33.18 -7.85 22.08% -0.608 -0.3383
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 54 81.48% 49.57 5.855 55.56% 0.713 0.5842
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 239 81.59% 38.31 1.625 31.8% 0.253 0.0392
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 65 90.77% 30.2 -3.802 12.31% -0.408 0.0279
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 7 71.43% 54.57 2.975 71.43% 0.443 0.4427
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 13 76.92% 39.92 0.95 30.77% -0.056 -0.0647
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 68 89.71% 34.06 -0.804 22.06% -0.227 -0.2996
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 63 95.24% 32.81 -17.165 20.63% -0.444 -0.3858
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 623 70.42% 48.67 4.83 54.25% 0.893 0.7641
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 21 76.19% 32.43 -2.749 33.33% -0.262 -0.6253
Shifting Memory of Ages 73 80.82% 40.1 -7.507 34.25% -0.687 -0.2803
Shroud of Silent Mist 125 96.0% 30.0 -3.601 16.0% -0.64 -0.3253
Starlight Seeks its Form 326 82.52% 39.81 -1.269 36.81% -0.017 -0.2896
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 459 72.98% 37.75 -0.054 37.04% 0.377 -0.1177
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 423 72.34% 46.33 1.607 50.83% 0.631 0.6613
Thunderspeaker 193 86.53% 38.7 -2.618 27.46% -0.184 -0.2028
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 4 25.0% 6.75 -14.174 0.0% -0.858 -0.9212
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 358 92.18% 36.85 -6.312 33.8% -0.184 -0.123
Vital Strength of the Earth 78 83.33% 34.68 2.499 26.92% 0.409 0.9621
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 24 70.83% 37.58 0.316 33.33% 0.297 0.553
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 86 90.7% 31.37 6.428 18.6% 0.456 1.3524
Volcano Looming High 215 76.74% 40.63 -3.767 41.4% -0.211 -0.2015

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 0.0 -8.555 0.0% -0.18 -0.2586
Blitz 0 22 72.73% 37.32 -1.204 31.82% 0.186 0.3329
Dahan Insurrection 4 49 63.27% 68.2 0.0 42.86%
Despicable Theft 2 7 71.43% 52.0 22.278 42.86% 0.7 1.383
Elemental Invocation 1 22 100.0% 30.27 6.09 9.09% -0.052 0.6799
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 395 34.43% 58.49 4.525 67.85% 0.508 -0.0985
Powers Long Forgotten 1 18 88.89% 25.22 -15.639 5.56% -0.388 0.1007
Rituals of Terror 3 13 92.31% 30.46 0.107 7.69% 0.073 0.1786
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 3 66.67% 66.0 22.424 66.67% 0.456 1.4477
Second Wave 0 96 76.04% 40.22 9.562 33.33% 0.361 0.4241
The Great River 3 6 66.67% 30.83 -7.213 16.67% -0.377 0.9713
Ward the Shores 2 11 90.91% 35.91 0.0 18.18%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4700 68.15% 46.0 0.486 50.43% -0.01 0.1993
1 Thematic 262 75.57% 41.68 2.965 32.82% 0.051 0.65
2 Archipelago 7 71.43% 91.14 0.0 57.14%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 953 84.78% 38.93 3.493 35.15% 1.001 1.1611
2 Coastline 120 63.33% 46.69 -2.813 53.33% -0.375 -0.3142
2 Fragment 25 96.0% 32.36 -4.586 20.0% -0.717 -0.7809
2 Heart 13 76.92% 40.54 -2.515 46.15% 0.34 0.1022
2 Opposite Shores 129 72.87% 45.83 5.641 47.29% 0.744 0.8775
2 Thematic 41 73.17% 37.51 -8.555 17.07% -0.18 0.4562
2 Top to Top 54 48.15% 35.63 -6.509 42.59% -0.476 -0.4353
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -21.408 0.0% -0.295 -1.3814
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 57.75 0.0 62.5%
3 Other 18 88.89% 46.94 0.0 38.89%
3 Round (Default) 347 79.54% 43.43 1.062 46.97% 0.915 0.8739
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 23.0 0.937 0.0% -0.043 0.1537
3 Thematic 8 87.5% 55.5 16.605 50.0% 0.691 0.7276
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 28.0 -15.967 0.0% -0.149 -0.3636
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 74.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 4 50.0% 45.75 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 25 80.0% 41.2 -2.067 32.0% -0.162 -0.1791
4 Trapezoid (Default) 139 84.89% 38.36 -8.182 34.53% -0.452 -0.6386
5 Other 8 62.5% 40.88 -9.776 50.0% -0.022 -0.5303
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 145.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 1 0.0% 0.0 -15.704 0.0% -0.122 0.3529
6 Thematic 2 50.0% 0.0 -14.014 0.0% -0.31 0.0889
6 Two Centers (Default) 4 25.0% 58.0 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 380 36.3 2.317 28.16% -0.18 0.0909
Aid From Lesser Spirits 277 42.38 1.432 40.79% -0.045 -0.006
All Things Weaken 391 35.85 -1.859 28.39% -0.478 -0.0172
Attenuated Essence 13 32.77 -1.731 38.46% -0.391 -0.1856
Back Against the Wall 262 35.66 -0.502 26.34% -0.272 -0.1103
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 9 25.89 -3.339 22.22% -0.493 -0.0781
Burn Brightest Before the End 10 28.0 -2.361 20.0% -0.514 -0.2091
Disintegrating Ecosystem 349 31.19 -4.93 20.63% -0.753 -0.2262
Downward Spiral 377 37.18 -3.072 35.54% -0.545 -0.1924
Erosion of Will 371 35.75 -4.215 28.3% -1.135 -0.7268
Intensifying Exploitation 15 42.53 5.074 53.33% 0.621 1.0085
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 83 55.31 15.155 72.29% 0.901 0.3754
Memory Fades to Dust 375 35.45 -0.018 28.8% -0.658 -0.1763
Power Corrodes the Spirit 351 35.62 1.08 29.63% -0.106 0.1989
Promising Farmlands 366 33.93 -4.499 27.6% -1.179 -0.5926
Shattered Fragments of Power 10 38.3 3.05 40.0% 0.079 0.2575
Slow Dissolution of Will 12 38.0 0.188 41.67% -0.406 0.1273
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 47 56.26 -6.134 78.72% -0.333 -1.0105
The Border of Life and Death 2 33.0 3.806 50.0% 0.245 0.1156
Thriving Communities 403 37.72 1.619 35.24% 0.297 0.7896
Thriving Crops 2 46.5 7.307 50.0% 0.414 0.5022
Unnatural Proliferation 428 36.68 -0.835 29.67% -0.15 0.1467
Untended Land Crumbles 394 34.19 -3.402 25.89% -0.663 -0.305

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1171 77.2% 42.65 1.754 43.38% 0.338 1.178
B 1260 74.05% 42.74 -2.033 44.05% -0.295 0.4842
C 1329 71.23% 44.48 -1.005 47.55% -0.016 0.6378
D 1082 74.86% 41.37 -4.253 41.31% -0.648 0.1516
E 1484 69.07% 47.43 3.564 52.7% 0.378 1.0073
F 946 73.31% 43.38 -0.494 45.24% -0.091 0.6283
G 855 76.26% 42.12 0.289 43.04% 0.098 0.8394
H 986 76.77% 42.51 -2.495 42.09% -0.673 -0.0246
East 197 73.1% 45.72 -1.985 36.55% -0.581 0.0231
Northeast 92 78.26% 44.28 3.345 34.78% 0.8 1.6814
Northwest 74 78.38% 40.28 -5.479 29.73% -0.585 0.0877
Southeast 71 64.79% 44.49 -4.006 40.85% -0.15 0.486
Southwest 63 71.43% 32.87 -5.243 22.22% -0.563 0.6013
West 180 78.33% 38.08 0.98 25.56% 0.337 1.3016

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3 0.0% 35.33 0.0 33.33%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 147 17.01% 71.27 12.558 87.76% 1.172 0.6369
Start of Game Growth 372 30.91% 65.34 6.789 83.06% 0.776 0.4455
Unlimited Undo 637 67.19% 47.96 2.478 54.0% 0.362 0.3401
Using Tokens but Not Events 343 54.71% 52.76 -2.665 65.31% -0.31 -0.3644

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 691 21.03 4.34%
II 3868 31.04 37.23%
III 1734 34.74 66.67%
IV 583 38.02 99.66%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.938 Win Model: -0.633
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4982 68.53% 45.85 49.5%
2 1335 80.3% 40.02 37.45%
3 371 79.51% 43.42 46.36%
4 177 80.79% 39.97 36.72%
5 4 75.0% 28.75 25.0%
6 7 28.57% 48.0 42.86%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 30
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1133
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1406
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 578
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 140
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3
Lose: Adversary condition 889
Win: Sacrifice victory 37
Lose: Scenario condition 59
Win: Scenario condition 23
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2486
Lose: Spirit destroyed 92

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1493 69.06% 54.41 -2.237 41.26% -0.102 -0.261
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 787 88.06% 43.81 1.674 22.74% 0.189 0.3106
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 771 91.79% 34.49 -6.338 15.82% -1.054 -1.2214
Downpour Drenches the World 364 73.35% 38.83 -5.802 28.02% -0.487 -0.3083
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 548 69.89% 26.44 -2.742 20.62% 0.231 -0.4906
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1789 68.59% 58.36 -6.515 41.42% -0.996 -1.5853
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 447 88.81% 39.08 -3.19 23.49% -0.111 -0.5819
Finder of Paths Unseen 134 66.42% 45.81 -4.689 42.54% 0.046 0.74
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1865 57.91% 66.16 5.333 53.83% 0.748 1.4329
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 684 88.89% 38.71 -4.733 24.71% -0.669 -0.7701
Heart of the Wildfire 1133 89.49% 32.16 -6.741 14.56% -0.348 -0.1036
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 11807 57.99% 60.67 4.717 68.07% 1.372 0.9221
Lightning's Swift Strike 457 87.72% 39.63 -3.653 23.63% -0.548 -0.3448
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 473 80.34% 45.35 0.835 33.4% 0.674 -0.0228
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 407 90.89% 42.53 -0.069 29.98% 0.026 -0.2136
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 394 68.27% 57.57 5.817 53.05% 0.925 0.7651
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 6767 73.14% 53.33 1.209 50.94% 0.723 0.5783
Many Minds Move as One 1815 81.93% 49.82 3.012 40.28% 0.638 0.4173
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1280 86.31% 38.37 -3.855 21.48% -0.589 -0.5981
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 615 87.89% 41.73 -3.235 28.78% -0.308 -0.4495
River Surges in Sunlight 1505 85.04% 56.51 1.948 37.08% -0.23 -0.2271
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 359 71.31% 49.19 -4.62 29.81% -0.413 -0.1427
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 311 79.1% 56.36 3.04 37.94% 0.238 0.109
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2000 72.15% 53.54 -0.059 46.7% -0.01 -0.2238
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 363 88.67% 37.56 -2.221 18.46% -0.231 0.2045
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 39 82.05% 36.05 -3.91 20.51% -0.465 -0.4659
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 48 83.33% 44.04 -1.511 33.33% 0.261 0.253
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 267 85.02% 38.51 -2.323 20.97% 0.032 -0.04
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 210 85.24% 43.48 -9.413 31.43% -0.574 -0.5159
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1830 77.16% 48.8 2.372 41.8% 0.791 0.6621
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 105 73.33% 28.73 -1.619 22.86% 0.359 -0.0035
Shifting Memory of Ages 971 84.86% 49.23 -1.194 26.26% 0.012 0.4195
Shroud of Silent Mist 478 91.16% 36.59 -3.92 18.62% -0.111 0.204
Starlight Seeks its Form 2052 68.32% 50.75 2.294 50.1% 1.064 0.7916
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3875 64.79% 49.03 2.074 40.88% 0.514 0.0187
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1773 83.56% 48.7 0.925 41.57% 0.751 0.7814
Thunderspeaker 818 84.93% 46.49 -1.164 26.53% -0.076 -0.0955
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 34 82.35% 21.74 -3.925 11.76% -0.215 -0.2784
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1606 95.33% 39.0 -0.182 26.21% 0.058 0.1194
Vital Strength of the Earth 267 83.9% 36.64 -6.89 17.6% -1.126 -0.5736
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 94 71.28% 45.87 -6.443 28.72% -0.722 -0.4662
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 281 87.54% 36.33 -0.255 19.57% -0.137 0.76
Volcano Looming High 1564 82.52% 44.66 -2.859 36.45% -0.048 -0.0385

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 0.0% 0.0 -14.055 0.0% -0.322 -0.4001
Blitz 0 268 65.91% 45.23 6.485 34.7% 0.413 0.5591
Dahan Insurrection 4 1498 41.28% 86.87 18.26 63.15% 1.564 1.3569
Despicable Theft 2 5 80.0% 43.8 -17.426 20.0% -0.059 0.6233
Elemental Invocation 1 97 93.81% 37.68 4.761 13.4% -0.192 0.5397
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1969 47.56% 54.83 2.138 47.23% 0.502 -0.1048
Powers Long Forgotten 1 9 88.89% 30.78 -17.129 11.11% -0.57 -0.0816
Rituals of Terror 3 571 59.19% 121.59 21.706 68.13% 3.318 3.423
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 16 56.25% 41.94 -22.792 12.5% -0.319 0.673
Second Wave 0 106 74.53% 52.4 14.511 44.34% 1.065 1.1281
The Great River 3 35 77.14% 38.37 -11.13 8.57% -0.261 1.0873
Varied Terrains 2 8 62.5% 69.13 22.202 50.0% 0.796 1.3587
Ward the Shores 2 26 84.62% 42.65 1.804 19.23% -0.168 1.0418

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 35994 71.95% 50.45 -0.466 46.81% -0.519 -0.3091
1 Thematic 828 79.71% 47.44 2.335 30.92% -0.239 0.3596
2 Archipelago 76 53.95% 99.38 14.448 59.21% 0.231 0.588
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2826 82.27% 45.39 -3.963 36.59% -1.114 -0.9539
2 Coastline 588 83.16% 46.42 2.217 35.88% -0.184 -0.1237
2 Fragment 70 88.57% 47.51 13.154 40.0% 1.1 1.0368
2 Heart 106 70.75% 49.42 11.697 30.19% 0.994 0.7561
2 Opposite Shores 1005 83.18% 45.86 -0.769 23.48% -0.857 -0.723
2 Thematic 477 75.42% 99.98 11.584 52.41% -0.018 0.6187
2 Top to Top 139 76.26% 49.09 -3.566 40.29% -0.935 -0.8946
3 Archipelago 13 84.62% 123.77 35.087 76.92% 0.741 -0.3451
3 Coastline 8 87.5% 37.13 -1.456 25.0% -0.015 -0.5133
3 Other 50 74.0% 52.26 3.235 50.0% 0.521 0.6307
3 Round (Default) 1238 79.64% 45.55 -4.128 37.0% -1.806 -1.8478
3 Thematic 153 30.07% 106.07 9.335 67.97% -0.689 -0.653
4 Archipelago 4 100.0% 137.25 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 83.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 42.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Other 39 76.92% 43.97 6.255 25.64% -0.079 -0.9281
4 Thematic 273 32.97% 88.44 3.373 70.33% 0.212 0.1945
4 Trapezoid (Default) 532 73.9% 51.64 2.704 42.67% 0.404 0.2174
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 81.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 39 69.44% 56.36 9.099 35.9% 0.549 0.041
5 Thematic 14 64.29% 100.0 0.0 57.14%
6 Archipelago 3 33.33% 84.33 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 18 44.44% 71.83 12.952 88.89% 1.072 0.6776
6 Star 7 42.86% 55.0 -13.775 57.14% -0.356 0.1189
6 Thematic 11 45.45% 71.91 -23.573 45.45% -0.193 0.2062
6 Two Centers (Default) 47 27.66% 73.26 -8.33 68.09% -1.223 -1.1796
7 Archipelago 4 75.0% 123.0 0.0 75.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2485 42.77 1.888 30.54% -0.273 -0.0021
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1825 46.5 3.373 36.6% -0.265 -0.2268
All Things Weaken 2633 42.61 1.473 29.59% -0.28 0.1807
Attenuated Essence 92 26.02 -2.484 16.3% -0.829 -0.6237
Back Against the Wall 1804 45.13 4.532 33.59% 0.094 0.2563
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 91 35.81 3.062 30.77% 0.091 0.505
Burn Brightest Before the End 77 37.74 3.122 27.27% -0.187 0.1177
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2304 36.98 0.319 21.7% -0.692 -0.1649
Downward Spiral 2466 44.68 0.852 35.6% -0.426 -0.0734
Erosion of Will 2427 40.45 1.132 25.88% -0.34 0.0687
Intensifying Exploitation 104 32.18 0.525 23.08% -0.245 0.1419
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 525 65.58 4.063 74.1% 0.524 -0.0018
Memory Fades to Dust 2525 43.47 0.845 32.63% -0.434 0.0473
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2501 42.4 0.829 30.79% -0.231 0.0737
Promising Farmlands 2297 41.43 -1.104 29.73% -0.805 -0.2186
Shattered Fragments of Power 51 35.53 2.158 27.45% -0.146 0.0324
Slow Dissolution of Will 120 35.14 1.702 23.33% -0.428 0.1053
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 341 70.04 6.486 80.06% 0.616 -0.0622
The Border of Life and Death 15 27.93 -3.482 26.67% -0.383 -0.5121
Thriving Communities 2509 42.83 0.255 31.69% -0.406 0.0869
Thriving Crops 31 27.0 -1.8 32.26% 0.054 0.1425
Unnatural Proliferation 2694 43.03 1.806 29.21% -0.514 -0.2176
Untended Land Crumbles 2606 42.2 1.286 30.62% -0.249 0.1092

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6814 78.31% 46.51 -1.155 37.91% -0.347 0.4931
B 6984 77.3% 47.54 -0.918 40.69% -0.6 0.1786
C 8112 73.96% 49.72 -0.632 42.64% -0.521 0.1333
D 5768 75.65% 46.78 -2.899 38.78% -0.767 0.0324
E 8154 73.42% 50.88 1.255 46.77% -0.086 0.5432
F 5638 74.83% 48.52 -0.953 42.73% -0.42 0.2991
G 4707 75.9% 48.41 -0.839 42.51% -0.476 0.2663
H 6392 64.45% 57.44 2.28 56.16% -0.008 0.6402
East 1162 59.26% 86.68 11.973 54.82% 0.016 0.6197
Northeast 652 49.69% 88.81 8.077 57.82% -0.832 0.0493
Northwest 465 57.63% 82.42 -9.694 52.04% -1.184 -0.5113
Southeast 234 58.97% 66.54 16.15 46.15% 0.544 1.1807
Southwest 273 67.03% 54.71 -23.842 39.93% -1.102 0.0623
West 1123 61.41% 83.5 10.204 52.8% -0.093 0.8715

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 25 0.0% 74.12 30.202 80.0% 0.697 1.58
Not Using Events or Tokens 10 80.0% 130.0 0.0 70.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1161 34.15% 70.74 4.713 71.66% 0.486 -0.0492
Start of Game Growth 2016 35.36% 69.97 4.51 75.64% 0.58 0.2497
Unlimited Undo 4254 60.04% 60.07 1.007 64.79% 0.322 0.2999
Using Tokens but Not Events 1812 66.48% 62.05 1.614 52.54% -0.17 -0.2242

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9632 21.03 1.04%
II 21237 31.04 39.71%
III 9652 34.74 78.14%
IV 4064 38.02 99.85%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.117 Win Model: 0.083
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 37675 72.22% 51.19 46.41%
2 4599 81.04% 46.81 35.29%
3 1426 74.89% 52.36 40.46%
4 780 63.8% 56.64 47.95%
5 21 47.37% 69.1 57.14%
6 84 34.52% 74.61 73.81%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 86
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7417
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7359
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3802
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1345
Lose: Invader deck ran out 43
Lose: Adversary condition 6196
Win: Sacrifice victory 520
Lose: Scenario condition 477
Win: Scenario condition 949
Lose: Blight pool ran out 15763
Lose: Spirit destroyed 628

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-11-29 03:49:58 (Pacific Time)