The Tsardom of Russia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 866 23.12% 28.24 0.457 88.34% 0.308 0.1603
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 554 44.12% 26.17 -1.265 84.84% -0.24 -0.1089
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 924 26.38% 28.08 -0.255 89.72% 0.212 0.067
Downpour Drenches the World 196 22.56% 28.55 -0.748 83.67% -0.111 0.0684
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 107 24.3% 25.59 1.994 77.57% 0.466 -0.2987
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1001 15.28% 31.94 1.455 93.21% 0.111 -0.4774
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 808 24.38% 29.6 0.61 91.71% -0.051 -0.5475
Finder of Paths Unseen 80 27.5% 22.24 -1.819 65.0% -0.005 0.6591
Fractured Days Split the Sky 435 33.33% 27.85 -5.773 77.93% -1.414 -0.8281
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 591 41.29% 28.14 -0.528 79.19% -0.114 -0.209
Heart of the Wildfire 675 56.44% 23.54 0.149 75.56% -0.092 0.1497
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1372 26.04% 28.12 -0.784 92.13% -0.143 -0.5851
Lightning's Swift Strike 504 36.57% 26.93 0.17 85.12% 0.222 0.4045
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 68 30.88% 28.56 -0.463 82.35% 0.074 -0.4132
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 282 25.62% 28.29 -2.665 86.88% -0.786 -0.9536
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 231 28.26% 30.82 -4.274 86.15% -0.887 -1.0002
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1520 27.66% 28.99 2.22 90.39% 0.73 0.5972
Many Minds Move as One 1208 20.66% 28.86 -0.736 93.79% 0.081 -0.1408
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 949 40.11% 27.28 1.205 83.25% -0.301 -0.3438
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 798 30.33% 27.67 0.13 87.34% 0.126 -0.0516
River Surges in Sunlight 661 38.24% 28.81 -0.491 82.9% -0.244 -0.1743
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 393 37.66% 29.81 4.451 83.97% 0.557 0.8675
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 65 30.77% 30.65 -0.301 80.0% 0.139 0.0258
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 703 26.88% 28.28 1.24 88.19% 0.426 0.1886
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 315 51.27% 25.13 -2.878 79.68% -0.219 0.3104
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 25 28.0% 29.68 -0.386 68.0% -0.125 -0.2001
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 30 40.0% 25.37 -1.438 76.67% -0.109 -0.2148
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 255 33.33% 27.04 -0.859 85.88% -0.191 -0.2093
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 203 35.96% 28.28 1.695 88.18% 0.918 1.0951
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1023 26.3% 28.3 1.515 90.42% 0.425 0.2345
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 30 23.33% 26.17 0.504 73.33% -0.085 -0.4663
Shifting Memory of Ages 359 44.29% 24.85 -0.772 76.04% 0.126 0.479
Shroud of Silent Mist 510 44.9% 25.33 -1.784 80.2% -0.478 -0.228
Starlight Seeks its Form 527 25.38% 30.95 1.988 85.58% 0.46 0.1988
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1099 26.32% 26.73 1.578 90.17% 0.765 0.2873
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 723 30.33% 27.51 -0.533 86.17% -0.02 0.0431
Thunderspeaker 730 29.45% 30.08 1.598 85.75% 0.464 0.4304
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 25 32.0% 26.96 3.332 76.0% 0.499 0.4593
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 950 64.63% 23.85 -0.572 84.84% 0.083 0.176
Vital Strength of the Earth 469 31.69% 24.16 -2.059 76.33% -0.345 0.1798
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 55 29.09% 24.24 -2.59 72.73% -0.224 0.0362
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 221 28.96% 23.31 -1.713 79.19% -0.358 0.4177
Volcano Looming High 725 44.75% 24.64 -1.055 79.31% -0.042 -0.0852

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 0.0% 23.11 -7.128 66.67% -0.676 -0.9313
Blitz 0 213 30.66% 23.62 -3.424 77.93% -1.228 -1.0312
Dahan Insurrection 4 380 18.68% 48.36 3.695 86.05% -0.538 -0.9804
Despicable Theft 2 96 37.5% 32.86 -1.911 73.96% -0.822 -0.01
Elemental Invocation 1 121 40.5% 27.57 -3.206 79.34% -0.509 0.1934
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 583 11.15% 30.96 0.631 84.39% -0.119 -0.7638
Powers Long Forgotten 1 135 52.59% 27.58 -4.473 71.85% -1.003 -0.3674
Rituals of Terror 3 162 43.04% 34.54 -2.066 71.6% -0.967 -0.8658
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 114 64.91% 36.81 -1.678 76.32% -1.136 -0.1268
Second Wave 0 317 49.53% 32.13 1.638 74.13% -0.042 0.0238
The Great River 3 132 47.73% 29.11 -4.402 59.85% -1.172 0.0449
Varied Terrains 2 48 43.75% 27.81 -1.926 60.42% -0.442 0.1815
Ward the Shores 2 215 36.92% 30.17 -2.478 74.88% -0.822 0.2623

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 9955 34.69% 26.81 0.343 85.39% 0.327 0.3809
1 Thematic 1452 44.38% 30.58 0.846 82.64% 0.081 0.5583
2 Archipelago 12 50.0% 29.17 0.0 58.33%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2049 32.06% 26.86 -0.247 87.55% 0.217 0.299
2 Coastline 230 30.0% 26.32 -4.021 84.78% -0.754 -0.9077
2 Fragment 45 26.67% 27.29 -2.184 84.44% -0.24 -0.4896
2 Heart 26 46.15% 22.88 3.225 80.77% 0.387 0.1
2 Opposite Shores 302 25.33% 27.73 1.123 91.72% 0.594 0.6167
2 Thematic 338 33.73% 31.51 -1.067 81.07% -0.037 0.3667
2 Top to Top 36 22.22% 27.67 -2.684 91.67% -0.254 -0.42
3 Archipelago 6 83.33% 37.83 12.595 83.33% 0.347 -1.2025
3 Coastline 12 58.33% 33.17 0.0 66.67%
3 Other 32 31.25% 24.59 5.006 93.75% 0.333 0.8742
3 Round (Default) 944 29.61% 27.6 0.191 88.24% 0.342 0.2269
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 19.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 65 38.46% 27.37 -1.697 70.77% -0.018 0.0622
4 Archipelago 5 20.0% 36.2 5.035 100.0% 0.594 -0.08
4 Coastline 5 60.0% 24.6 -7.625 60.0% -0.348 -0.1173
4 Leaf 2 0.0% 31.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 16 43.75% 31.63 0.0 93.75%
4 Thematic 86 19.77% 35.55 2.211 89.53% -0.117 -0.3792
4 Trapezoid (Default) 380 24.47% 27.42 -1.807 87.11% -0.286 -0.3685
5 Other 29 37.93% 31.55 -6.13 75.86% -1.017 -1.3022
5 Thematic 3 0.0% 32.67 -8.485 66.67% -0.428 -0.5215
6 Other 3 66.67% 44.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 16 31.25% 31.88 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 24 16.67% 36.46 -8.186 91.67% -0.177 0.2436
6 Two Centers (Default) 64 14.06% 31.53 1.794 85.94% -0.03 0.0745
7 Other 4 0.0% 20.0 -2.879 25.0% -0.259 -0.872

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 377 22.29 1.374 69.23% 0.448 0.6909
Aid From Lesser Spirits 310 22.98 1.149 69.03% -0.577 -0.6545
All Things Weaken 454 20.49 -0.34 62.33% 0.137 0.5296
Attenuated Essence 9 21.44 0.248 55.56% 0.059 0.1656
Back Against the Wall 320 21.15 0.186 61.25% -0.052 0.0056
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 12 15.83 -1.828 50.0% -0.087 0.1146
Burn Brightest Before the End 8 16.75 -1.784 37.5% -0.502 -0.292
Disintegrating Ecosystem 373 18.81 -3.51 66.22% -0.403 0.0207
Downward Spiral 423 21.28 -0.996 72.1% -0.303 -0.0677
Erosion of Will 361 22.11 -1.871 67.31% -0.873 -0.5641
Intensifying Exploitation 13 12.62 -3.53 38.46% -0.512 -0.2245
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 212 27.07 0.247 92.92% 0.214 -0.2802
Memory Fades to Dust 451 20.32 -0.51 64.75% -0.292 0.044
Power Corrodes the Spirit 402 21.66 -2.211 70.15% -0.491 -0.2705
Promising Farmlands 343 20.14 -0.152 64.14% -0.244 0.2091
Shattered Fragments of Power 8 16.25 -1.977 37.5% -0.672 -0.621
Slow Dissolution of Will 15 13.53 -3.373 26.67% -1.027 -0.6282
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 131 26.86 3.637 95.42% 0.64 -0.0708
The Border of Life and Death 2 23.0 0.504 100.0% 0.361 0.026
Thriving Communities 423 19.39 -0.133 64.78% -0.339 0.0243
Thriving Crops 14 29.0 2.325 85.71% 0.655 0.4573
Unnatural Proliferation 440 21.1 -0.665 63.86% -0.043 0.1721
Untended Land Crumbles 421 20.31 -5.51 65.08% -1.298 -1.0165

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2669 32.53% 26.83 -0.532 85.61% -0.455 0.2855
B 2742 31.64% 26.79 -0.912 86.21% -0.462 0.2634
C 2933 31.51% 27.34 0.712 87.08% -0.204 0.378
D 2707 33.68% 26.95 -0.394 86.41% -0.634 0.0776
E 2654 32.39% 27.32 0.882 86.85% -0.148 0.4173
F 2539 31.33% 27.37 -0.625 85.7% -0.746 -0.0759
G 2194 30.71% 27.72 -0.077 87.47% -0.447 0.2049
H 2299 32.56% 27.09 -0.086 86.17% -0.377 0.1936
East 1194 39.68% 31.67 0.577 85.18% -0.572 -0.0327
Northeast 427 35.36% 32.68 -2.21 79.63% -0.912 -0.2769
Northwest 411 36.25% 32.38 0.383 81.02% -0.463 0.3459
Southeast 582 45.02% 29.81 0.52 90.38% -0.422 0.2837
Southwest 386 32.38% 27.24 -2.609 79.27% -0.738 0.2515
West 1030 37.09% 30.89 -0.335 79.81% -0.608 0.2959

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 41 0.0% 28.59 -4.139 90.24% -0.664 0.1123
Not Using Events or Tokens 31 25.81% 30.06 -0.649 80.65% -0.129 0.2498
Skip Initial Invader Actions 358 7.6% 38.7 6.297 95.53% 1.461 0.8433
Start of Game Growth 606 11.56% 35.9 4.346 94.06% 0.271 -0.0778
Unlimited Undo 1133 24.14% 28.75 -3.046 88.7% -1.177 -1.1835
Using Tokens but Not Events 1435 27.55% 28.0 0.048 85.92% 0.11 0.0996

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1327 20.4 35.57%
II 5761 31.01 84.27%
III 6194 34.76 91.23%
IV 2876 38.07 99.2%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.128 Win Model: 0.606
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11548 36.09% 27.26 84.67%
2 2967 30.92% 27.49 87.93%
3 1027 30.14% 27.75 88.12%
4 489 23.72% 29.27 87.93%
5 16 31.25% 26.5 75.0%
6 111 18.02% 32.59 87.39%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 471
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5460
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4511
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2822
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 349
Lose: Invader deck ran out 145
Lose: Adversary condition 149
Win: Sacrifice victory 79
Lose: Scenario condition 113
Win: Scenario condition 488
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1465
Lose: Spirit destroyed 106

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 532 41.62% 31.45 -1.279 71.99% -0.358 -0.506
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 343 65.89% 29.64 -2.181 68.8% -0.228 -0.097
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 513 41.88% 33.51 1.778 77.39% 0.424 0.2789
Downpour Drenches the World 108 44.34% 28.22 -1.832 66.67% -0.24 -0.0605
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 116 31.9% 27.46 1.953 67.24% 0.548 -0.2173
Eyes Watch From the Trees 762 32.5% 38.27 4.347 84.78% 1.019 0.4298
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 454 42.57% 34.65 3.13 80.4% 0.655 0.1585
Finder of Paths Unseen 58 51.72% 22.52 -1.966 50.0% -0.522 0.1421
Fractured Days Split the Sky 263 43.35% 32.17 -0.953 68.06% -0.514 0.0719
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 374 58.82% 31.05 -0.876 70.05% -0.331 -0.4259
Heart of the Wildfire 501 74.85% 23.99 -0.089 53.09% 0.075 0.3163
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1051 44.67% 33.4 1.13 77.93% 0.471 0.0288
Lightning's Swift Strike 259 59.53% 28.2 -2.642 61.78% -0.408 -0.2248
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 25 52.0% 35.08 -2.25 68.0% -0.531 -1.0182
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 146 63.01% 31.92 -2.697 70.55% -0.377 -0.5444
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 139 39.57% 41.45 -1.134 76.98% -0.36 -0.4736
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1126 43.64% 34.68 3.35 85.08% 0.983 0.8507
Many Minds Move as One 1030 34.6% 35.96 2.305 89.42% 0.66 0.439
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 617 53.51% 31.76 -0.192 68.72% -0.189 -0.2314
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 470 50.43% 32.54 -0.841 76.81% 0.071 -0.1073
River Surges in Sunlight 411 55.37% 31.89 1.252 69.1% 0.263 0.3326
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 254 54.55% 37.05 -0.736 70.47% -0.197 0.1131
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 53 52.83% 30.72 1.521 64.15% 0.106 -0.0078
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 392 53.06% 29.42 0.172 68.37% 0.066 -0.1712
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 185 65.41% 27.63 -2.942 62.7% -0.561 -0.0312
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 25 56.0% 30.2 2.451 68.0% 0.459 0.3834
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 19 52.63% 25.95 7.735 57.89% 0.75 0.6437
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 146 61.64% 30.58 1.703 73.97% 0.453 0.4344
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 110 54.55% 32.1 1.144 70.0% 0.455 0.6319
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 959 40.08% 34.16 0.601 81.54% 0.029 -0.1606
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 55 34.55% 26.02 1.034 60.0% 0.222 -0.1594
Shifting Memory of Ages 236 52.54% 28.89 -0.782 69.07% -0.144 0.2096
Shroud of Silent Mist 267 67.04% 26.03 -1.274 58.8% -0.033 0.2176
Starlight Seeks its Form 382 24.87% 36.66 1.123 85.08% 0.553 0.2913
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 635 44.62% 27.26 -1.754 63.78% -0.324 -0.8007
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 528 41.71% 33.22 -0.656 74.81% -0.251 -0.1878
Thunderspeaker 553 45.57% 35.49 1.772 69.98% 0.063 0.0288
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 13 46.15% 17.46 -2.841 30.77% -0.988 -1.0271
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 380 79.47% 25.72 0.041 61.05% 0.11 0.2029
Vital Strength of the Earth 265 50.19% 28.01 -0.866 56.6% 0.045 0.5694
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 32 62.5% 30.06 -0.906 59.38% -0.56 -0.2997
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 157 45.22% 27.82 -6.802 66.88% -0.685 0.0912
Volcano Looming High 414 60.14% 27.95 -2.275 65.94% -0.126 -0.1694

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 0.0% 22.33 -0.02 50.0% -0.099 -0.3544
Blitz 0 156 49.36% 25.15 -6.469 55.77% -1.029 -0.8313
Dahan Insurrection 4 272 27.21% 55.57 6.351 77.21% -0.146 -0.5884
Despicable Theft 2 68 64.71% 29.91 -7.417 45.59% -0.603 0.2096
Elemental Invocation 1 92 61.96% 27.34 -1.614 52.17% -0.082 0.6206
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 417 21.39% 36.91 1.398 77.46% -0.107 -0.7517
Powers Long Forgotten 1 126 58.73% 29.85 1.809 56.35% 0.321 0.9562
Rituals of Terror 3 87 64.37% 38.13 2.165 58.62% 0.048 0.1489
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 70 80.0% 36.06 9.931 51.43% 0.127 1.1364
Second Wave 0 684 53.67% 31.66 1.978 66.81% 0.082 0.1485
The Great River 3 57 80.7% 28.77 10.253 36.84% 0.119 1.336
Varied Terrains 2 28 60.71% 29.68 -0.847 50.0% -0.472 0.1513
Ward the Shores 2 135 49.63% 33.58 -5.05 61.48% -0.646 0.4382

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6679 47.89% 30.51 0.162 71.66% 0.428 0.4826
1 Thematic 880 55.4% 32.29 -1.196 58.07% -0.225 0.2523
2 Archipelago 4 75.0% 45.5 0.0 100.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1391 50.97% 29.98 -0.488 73.18% -0.208 -0.1256
2 Coastline 195 48.45% 30.61 -2.185 72.82% -0.799 -0.9534
2 Fragment 47 59.57% 29.68 -0.071 70.21% -0.004 -0.2526
2 Heart 17 52.94% 24.71 -9.262 52.94% -0.315 -0.6027
2 Opposite Shores 275 49.64% 30.53 1.584 75.64% 0.584 0.6075
2 Thematic 225 59.11% 31.09 -1.386 60.44% -0.222 0.1815
2 Top to Top 45 53.33% 34.47 0.402 88.89% 0.269 0.1025
3 Archipelago 10 80.0% 31.8 0.0 30.0%
3 Coastline 11 72.73% 42.09 10.253 72.73% 0.119 -0.395
3 Other 21 57.14% 32.43 4.407 85.71% 0.092 0.6327
3 Round (Default) 550 36.61% 35.35 -0.246 82.91% -0.295 -0.4102
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 52 67.31% 34.87 -2.825 69.23% -0.13 -0.0495
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 26.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 34.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 17.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 25 56.0% 33.04 3.989 84.0% 0.069 -1.0146
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 76 52.63% 39.38 3.892 77.63% -0.068 -0.3307
4 Trapezoid (Default) 200 44.72% 35.7 5.232 83.5% 0.08 -0.003
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 80.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 28 25.93% 51.57 -8.497 82.14% -0.435 -0.7199
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 62.0 18.905 100.0% 0.08 0.2307
6 Other 14 42.86% 50.43 1.614 92.86% 0.114 -0.1193
6 Thematic 4 25.0% 68.25 3.802 100.0% 0.073 0.4935
6 Two Centers (Default) 20 20.0% 65.55 5.081 95.0% 0.153 0.2572
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 375 24.61 -1.046 51.47% -0.298 -0.056
Aid From Lesser Spirits 322 26.92 1.823 59.32% -0.014 -0.0914
All Things Weaken 414 24.05 0.444 50.24% -0.059 0.3336
Attenuated Essence 8 22.13 0.052 50.0% -0.07 0.0372
Back Against the Wall 310 24.18 2.229 47.1% 0.136 0.1935
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 9 13.78 -4.004 33.33% -0.306 -0.1046
Burn Brightest Before the End 10 30.3 6.063 60.0% 0.675 0.8852
Disintegrating Ecosystem 363 20.22 -0.338 41.87% -0.24 0.1841
Downward Spiral 401 24.51 1.635 54.61% 0.267 0.5027
Erosion of Will 354 24.49 -0.604 54.52% -0.37 -0.0603
Intensifying Exploitation 14 19.57 -2.589 42.86% -0.547 -0.2598
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 155 34.05 -2.981 82.58% -0.474 -0.9674
Memory Fades to Dust 452 24.82 -0.12 57.3% 0.024 0.3609
Power Corrodes the Spirit 369 23.33 1.463 49.86% 0.012 0.2322
Promising Farmlands 350 23.35 0.849 52.57% 0.184 0.6373
Shattered Fragments of Power 15 22.2 0.794 46.67% -0.08 -0.0287
Slow Dissolution of Will 13 19.54 -0.804 46.15% -0.029 0.3704
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 91 31.55 3.557 85.71% 0.725 0.0139
The Border of Life and Death 1 13.0 -3.58 0.0% -0.226 -0.5615
Thriving Communities 397 22.98 -0.327 48.36% -0.378 -0.0154
Thriving Crops 7 25.57 -1.046 57.14% -0.345 -0.5426
Unnatural Proliferation 413 24.12 -0.228 50.12% -0.279 -0.0638
Untended Land Crumbles 411 22.91 1.238 51.58% 0.402 0.6842

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1858 47.77% 31.58 0.522 73.47% -0.053 0.6867
B 1873 46.87% 32.39 0.285 75.6% -0.074 0.6516
C 1971 44.89% 32.49 1.173 76.2% 0.239 0.8209
D 1816 47.27% 32.06 1.768 74.34% 0.4 1.1113
E 1714 46.23% 32.29 0.099 75.67% -0.023 0.5419
F 1657 48.46% 31.56 0.669 73.87% 0.158 0.8282
G 1431 47.27% 31.54 -0.312 73.72% 0.04 0.6921
H 1457 47.73% 31.79 -0.897 73.99% -0.346 0.2244
East 719 56.82% 33.98 -0.639 61.89% -0.47 0.0687
Northeast 304 59.74% 36.04 2.472 66.45% 0.213 0.848
Northwest 252 55.16% 33.68 0.893 62.7% 0.356 1.1647
Southeast 244 55.33% 33.32 -3.053 64.34% -0.613 0.0929
Southwest 244 59.43% 27.57 0.893 56.15% 0.343 1.3324
West 695 56.26% 32.62 -1.725 60.72% -0.722 0.1814

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 15 0.0% 33.4 0.0 60.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 27 37.04% 21.37 -12.936 33.33% -0.773 -0.3936
Skip Initial Invader Actions 216 13.88% 45.69 10.166 93.98% 1.679 1.0617
Start of Game Growth 321 17.09% 43.59 6.561 89.41% 0.463 0.114
Unlimited Undo 841 42.93% 32.8 -2.017 77.88% -0.631 -0.638
Using Tokens but Not Events 889 39.36% 33.94 -1.673 75.37% -0.484 -0.4946

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1553 20.4 13.72%
II 3928 31.01 70.19%
III 4041 34.76 86.46%
IV 1268 38.07 99.61%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.603 Win Model: 0.551
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7644 48.98% 30.66 69.7%
2 2166 51.43% 30.6 73.55%
3 623 40.35% 34.94 81.22%
4 299 45.3% 37.98 83.28%
5 31 16.67% 63.32 87.1%
6 27 40.74% 40.78 88.89%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 212
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3380
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2538
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1252
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 322
Lose: Invader deck ran out 64
Lose: Adversary condition 1015
Win: Sacrifice victory 52
Lose: Scenario condition 76
Win: Scenario condition 293
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1488
Lose: Spirit destroyed 98

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 631 35.61% 39.0 -1.679 79.87% -0.195 -0.3424
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 485 57.11% 36.41 -0.982 77.11% -0.157 -0.0264
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 596 42.42% 38.84 2.702 83.56% 0.815 0.6702
Downpour Drenches the World 138 41.3% 36.78 2.564 75.36% 0.929 1.1085
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 157 29.3% 34.46 2.933 75.8% 0.832 0.0671
Eyes Watch From the Trees 869 29.72% 42.28 3.068 89.41% 0.876 0.2871
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 442 38.91% 40.6 4.442 86.43% 0.916 0.4192
Finder of Paths Unseen 67 52.24% 26.49 -11.11 47.76% -1.918 -1.254
Fractured Days Split the Sky 315 49.52% 38.86 0.685 72.06% -0.162 0.4239
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 381 55.38% 35.67 -0.064 72.97% 0.05 -0.0445
Heart of the Wildfire 643 63.92% 34.61 -2.474 70.92% -0.365 -0.1233
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1343 39.84% 38.43 3.364 81.83% 0.678 0.2357
Lightning's Swift Strike 290 60.63% 35.7 -0.419 73.79% -0.096 0.0874
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 40 50.0% 34.33 2.817 70.0% 0.314 -0.1727
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 195 51.03% 36.36 -2.349 74.87% -0.306 -0.4737
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 155 47.1% 40.55 -3.304 76.77% -0.297 -0.4108
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1560 39.02% 41.27 3.786 89.23% 0.94 0.8082
Many Minds Move as One 1194 30.15% 41.43 -0.44 91.54% 0.078 -0.1431
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 804 49.56% 38.5 -1.928 75.5% -0.412 -0.454
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 568 43.13% 38.34 -1.338 83.1% -0.147 -0.3243
River Surges in Sunlight 602 45.58% 42.03 -0.291 82.56% 0.24 0.3104
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 233 57.08% 37.45 -0.388 74.25% -0.233 0.0773
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 89 35.63% 40.48 -0.299 71.91% 0.175 0.0618
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 555 48.29% 36.53 1.148 79.64% 0.334 0.0969
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 229 60.26% 34.06 0.078 70.74% 0.095 0.6246
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 10 80.0% 35.8 -8.652 70.0% -0.973 -1.0479
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 22 40.91% 35.45 -0.868 77.27% 0.014 -0.0914
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 168 51.79% 37.6 -2.349 77.98% -0.156 -0.1745
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 132 64.39% 35.51 -3.397 75.76% -0.371 -0.1938
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1058 35.13% 40.37 -0.196 87.24% 0.222 0.0322
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 84 33.33% 32.77 1.289 66.67% 0.207 -0.174
Shifting Memory of Ages 296 57.77% 33.49 -2.628 69.93% -0.328 0.0256
Shroud of Silent Mist 359 59.05% 34.95 -4.045 73.54% -0.659 -0.409
Starlight Seeks its Form 324 37.65% 39.45 0.327 81.17% 0.12 -0.1413
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 830 35.83% 34.21 -1.485 74.82% -0.148 -0.625
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 682 35.39% 40.56 0.79 86.07% 0.134 0.1969
Thunderspeaker 532 45.57% 41.31 0.273 81.2% 0.155 0.1207
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 37 40.54% 24.38 -3.608 51.35% -0.537 -0.5762
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 513 70.76% 32.99 -0.34 72.9% 0.086 0.1787
Vital Strength of the Earth 284 44.72% 33.75 -1.948 72.54% -0.153 0.3711
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 40 40.0% 35.73 0.298 75.0% 0.003 0.2634
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 178 49.44% 31.69 -4.323 69.66% -0.758 0.0181
Volcano Looming High 543 55.17% 34.13 0.311 72.74% 0.36 0.3172

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 20.0% 14.6 -4.251 40.0% -0.075 -0.331
Blitz 0 228 44.3% 33.05 0.742 61.84% -0.724 -0.527
Dahan Insurrection 4 213 21.13% 64.02 13.333 84.04% 0.556 0.1134
Despicable Theft 2 51 64.71% 40.08 3.206 60.78% -0.16 0.6519
Elemental Invocation 1 95 56.84% 33.89 -4.089 65.26% -0.469 0.2338
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 594 24.58% 42.48 3.873 81.65% 0.607 -0.0379
Powers Long Forgotten 1 118 61.02% 35.12 -6.168 61.86% -0.839 -0.2032
Rituals of Terror 3 62 59.68% 37.58 -13.576 50.0% -0.459 -0.3581
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 44 68.18% 34.66 -8.203 45.45% -0.65 0.359
Second Wave 0 407 48.4% 37.47 0.747 73.46% -0.014 0.052
The Great River 3 66 57.58% 35.0 -6.401 48.48% -1.325 -0.1076
Varied Terrains 2 19 73.68% 26.21 -8.793 36.84% -1.161 -0.538
Ward the Shores 2 103 57.28% 39.5 0.08 63.11% -0.166 0.9183

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8032 46.2% 36.08 0.08 76.89% 0.001 0.0554
1 Thematic 722 53.88% 35.6 -4.365 60.53% -1.104 -0.6264
2 Archipelago 12 41.67% 45.33 16.097 75.0% 0.257 0.3612
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1761 46.68% 37.22 0.381 83.08% 0.037 0.1186
2 Coastline 181 44.44% 39.48 2.664 87.85% 0.687 0.5328
2 Fragment 40 55.0% 36.33 -12.968 77.5% -0.757 -1.0066
2 Heart 30 56.67% 34.57 11.925 73.33% 0.533 0.2456
2 Opposite Shores 278 44.4% 37.42 -2.381 81.29% -0.34 -0.3167
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 315 42.54% 41.38 0.316 79.68% -0.416 -0.0123
2 Top to Top 48 37.5% 39.83 5.723 87.5% 0.595 0.4291
3 Archipelago 6 83.33% 34.33 10.387 33.33% 0.273 -1.2762
3 Coastline 16 68.75% 45.38 4.005 93.75% 0.177 -0.3365
3 Other 31 48.39% 36.52 -17.247 80.65% -0.748 -0.2072
3 Round (Default) 642 42.37% 39.81 2.458 87.07% 0.271 0.156
3 Sunrise 4 0.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 61 47.54% 44.21 -1.377 83.61% -0.074 0.0065
4 Archipelago 11 45.45% 40.55 12.139 45.45% 0.08 -0.5946
4 Coastline 5 80.0% 41.2 0.0 60.0%
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 43.5 5.478 100.0% 0.213 -0.1306
4 Other 12 50.0% 40.33 4.415 91.67% 0.442 -0.6422
4 Thematic 152 18.42% 56.75 9.475 90.79% 0.444 0.1813
4 Trapezoid (Default) 320 30.09% 40.56 -2.507 90.63% -0.719 -0.802
5 Other 31 75.86% 38.52 -0.955 70.97% -0.661 -0.9454
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 55.5 17.338 100.0% 0.7 0.6062
6 Archipelago 4 0.0% 51.0 4.731 100.0% 0.034 0.1855
6 Other 4 50.0% 53.0 8.23 75.0% 0.382 0.1489
6 Star 2 50.0% 43.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 16 37.5% 42.81 -4.546 68.75% -0.862 -0.4414
6 Two Centers (Default) 15 46.67% 38.27 1.012 80.0% -0.268 -0.1638
7 Other 2 0.0% 48.0 -2.787 50.0% -0.17 -0.7829

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 443 30.39 2.369 61.4% 0.387 0.6298
Aid From Lesser Spirits 336 31.96 0.031 63.1% -0.077 -0.1545
All Things Weaken 458 30.01 2.451 58.95% 0.27 0.6625
Attenuated Essence 19 22.16 -1.511 42.11% -0.148 -0.0409
Back Against the Wall 353 31.39 -0.211 61.47% 0.248 0.3055
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 13 24.77 -2.296 38.46% -0.934 -0.732
Burn Brightest Before the End 11 31.0 1.665 45.45% -0.23 -0.0194
Disintegrating Ecosystem 386 27.48 -1.662 53.63% -0.696 -0.2726
Downward Spiral 435 31.71 -1.916 68.28% -0.248 -0.0125
Erosion of Will 406 30.31 0.087 61.08% -0.194 0.1157
Intensifying Exploitation 12 32.83 2.69 66.67% 0.335 0.6225
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 189 37.11 1.724 83.6% -0.06 -0.554
Memory Fades to Dust 413 30.65 4.439 65.13% 1.05 1.386
Power Corrodes the Spirit 413 29.73 -0.444 61.74% 0.308 0.5281
Promising Farmlands 396 29.29 0.866 62.12% 0.253 0.706
Shattered Fragments of Power 8 21.38 -3.101 37.5% -0.572 -0.5212
Slow Dissolution of Will 14 29.29 0.245 57.14% -0.055 0.3438
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 132 37.85 6.249 88.64% 0.871 0.1606
The Border of Life and Death 7 28.29 -0.342 57.14% 0.038 -0.2974
Thriving Communities 461 29.99 1.88 63.34% 0.266 0.6285
Thriving Crops 7 24.0 2.65 57.14% 0.585 0.387
Unnatural Proliferation 474 31.26 -0.389 63.5% -0.345 -0.1302
Untended Land Crumbles 450 30.09 -0.799 63.11% -0.083 0.1989

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2116 46.54% 37.03 -0.187 80.1% -0.154 0.5866
B 2270 46.18% 37.73 1.451 82.47% 0.029 0.7545
C 2368 42.56% 37.7 -0.69 81.0% -0.406 0.1767
D 2121 45.98% 36.84 -0.667 78.36% -0.265 0.4464
E 2178 44.28% 37.68 0.748 80.99% -0.178 0.3871
F 2001 45.22% 37.23 1.272 81.11% -0.051 0.6194
G 1691 45.94% 36.77 0.287 79.54% -0.107 0.5442
H 1862 41.99% 38.06 1.044 82.81% -0.028 0.5423
East 820 40.49% 43.74 3.48 76.22% 0.257 0.7955
Northeast 410 39.02% 47.03 2.316 80.98% 0.375 1.01
Northwest 359 40.39% 44.72 -3.395 75.77% -0.918 -0.1087
Southeast 284 38.73% 41.88 -3.174 76.06% -0.987 -0.2816
Southwest 256 46.09% 36.46 -2.324 69.53% 0.028 1.0178
West 771 46.3% 40.26 -3.06 69.78% -0.809 0.0947

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 8 0.0% 68.13 0.0 100.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 6 50.0% 25.83 0.0 50.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 203 10.61% 50.3 6.436 88.67% 0.35 -0.2679
Start of Game Growth 328 15.22% 48.11 6.137 89.63% 0.704 0.3552
Unlimited Undo 981 39.01% 38.18 -0.1 77.98% -0.125 -0.1314
Using Tokens but Not Events 826 43.89% 35.16 -3.184 76.27% -0.584 -0.5948

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1184 20.4 0.34%
II 3047 31.01 66.75%
III 5730 34.76 89.86%
IV 2802 38.07 99.75%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.466 Win Model: 0.206
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8821 46.94% 36.05 75.47%
2 2641 45.93% 37.95 82.89%
3 736 42.39% 40.15 86.68%
4 505 28.23% 45.63 90.1%
5 18 82.35% 36.78 66.67%
6 42 39.02% 42.86 73.81%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5002
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1883
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2778
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 349
Lose: Invader deck ran out 35
Lose: Adversary condition 924
Win: Sacrifice victory 72
Lose: Scenario condition 85
Win: Scenario condition 243
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1289
Lose: Spirit destroyed 99

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 601 56.62% 38.06 -2.337 60.9% -0.219 -0.3665
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 464 75.05% 36.6 1.073 56.25% 0.142 0.2723
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 607 61.72% 39.9 -0.38 63.92% 0.084 -0.0605
Downpour Drenches the World 134 60.15% 33.41 -0.02 52.24% 0.305 0.4838
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 184 55.98% 36.21 4.57 62.5% 1.006 0.2405
Eyes Watch From the Trees 800 49.69% 44.25 0.13 73.38% 0.034 -0.5547
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 340 63.72% 38.21 -5.188 59.12% -0.669 -1.166
Finder of Paths Unseen 45 66.67% 32.69 -8.401 44.44% -0.928 -0.2635
Fractured Days Split the Sky 331 69.18% 37.0 1.62 51.66% 0.008 0.5943
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 367 62.67% 37.09 -1.667 57.49% -0.009 -0.1036
Heart of the Wildfire 677 82.4% 31.5 -0.933 46.09% 0.21 0.4509
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1825 55.49% 40.3 3.158 67.07% 0.777 0.3346
Lightning's Swift Strike 284 76.62% 36.34 -3.334 51.06% -0.097 0.0858
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 73 72.22% 41.08 0.716 71.23% 0.218 -0.2683
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 201 66.67% 41.02 -4.985 68.16% -0.539 -0.7067
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 138 64.49% 41.02 14.644 61.59% 1.782 1.669
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2345 49.47% 46.07 5.143 80.51% 1.121 0.9889
Many Minds Move as One 1284 51.79% 45.27 2.1 78.43% 0.633 0.4113
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 761 66.89% 37.0 -4.673 55.85% -1.096 -1.1381
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 543 62.92% 38.47 2.932 60.96% 0.449 0.271
River Surges in Sunlight 619 73.65% 38.26 -1.286 53.8% -0.495 -0.4252
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 221 77.38% 30.52 -5.184 38.46% -0.628 -0.318
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 66 62.12% 40.86 2.412 60.61% 0.344 0.2305
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 530 69.43% 37.81 1.254 60.0% 0.154 -0.0831
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 185 85.41% 33.35 2.556 44.86% -0.045 0.4843
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 22 72.73% 37.73 -0.137 59.09% 0.171 0.096
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 39 74.36% 37.85 -1.443 64.1% 0.067 -0.0392
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 181 71.82% 37.36 0.469 58.01% 0.357 0.3388
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 159 79.25% 36.48 -12.933 56.6% -0.31 -0.133
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1210 50.71% 45.24 0.963 76.69% 0.192 0.0022
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 51 62.75% 32.14 0.857 52.94% 0.139 -0.2424
Shifting Memory of Ages 279 69.53% 36.25 -0.994 56.63% -0.212 0.1412
Shroud of Silent Mist 362 73.54% 35.64 -0.739 56.63% -0.027 0.2228
Starlight Seeks its Form 509 58.15% 38.76 -2.129 61.3% -0.195 -0.4561
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1050 53.87% 34.92 0.339 55.81% 0.143 -0.3344
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 747 57.28% 41.97 -1.117 70.95% 0.14 0.2029
Thunderspeaker 530 68.75% 37.74 -0.092 55.28% -0.248 -0.2819
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 23 56.52% 19.61 -3.129 30.43% -0.052 -0.0918
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 620 85.48% 32.61 -3.492 49.68% -0.769 -0.6754
Vital Strength of the Earth 247 73.17% 33.53 -2.755 47.77% -0.637 -0.1121
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 46 71.74% 27.35 -1.801 34.78% -0.259 0.001
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 187 66.31% 32.02 -3.062 49.2% -0.258 0.5182
Volcano Looming High 630 70.27% 36.68 -1.612 60.48% -0.115 -0.1579

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 0.0% 56.0 16.777 100.0% 0.323 0.0677
Blitz 0 140 62.86% 29.29 -7.91 31.43% -0.992 -0.7946
Dahan Insurrection 4 104 47.12% 58.64 0.723 62.5% -0.395 -0.837
Despicable Theft 2 17 64.71% 48.06 -1.256 58.82% -0.367 0.4449
Elemental Invocation 1 69 76.81% 36.74 -11.25 53.62% -0.287 0.4163
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 764 35.08% 47.57 4.782 76.7% 0.185 -0.4597
Powers Long Forgotten 1 68 61.76% 35.07 -8.182 42.65% -0.912 -0.2762
Rituals of Terror 3 38 78.95% 38.74 -13.153 31.58% -0.322 -0.221
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 13 46.15% 40.0 -8.536 46.15% -0.251 0.7584
Second Wave 0 279 66.67% 36.75 1.227 51.25% -0.172 -0.1056
The Great River 3 36 66.67% 44.75 -15.387 52.78% -0.781 0.4368
Varied Terrains 2 6 50.0% 32.5 -3.836 50.0% -0.11 0.5129
Ward the Shores 2 51 68.63% 37.94 -5.239 45.1% -0.174 0.9101

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 9614 60.35% 38.27 0.458 61.3% 0.748 0.8021
1 Thematic 575 68.17% 36.6 -2.811 46.43% -0.042 0.4355
2 Archipelago 10 70.0% 39.5 -12.808 50.0% -0.416 -0.3121
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2048 64.48% 38.78 -0.787 64.94% 0.132 0.2139
2 Coastline 215 61.4% 40.27 1.017 65.58% -0.005 -0.1593
2 Fragment 55 69.09% 37.71 -4.39 58.18% -0.371 -0.6198
2 Heart 24 75.0% 40.42 3.048 70.83% 0.508 0.221
2 Opposite Shores 388 63.57% 40.08 -0.143 64.18% -0.333 -0.31
2 Thematic 153 67.97% 36.66 -1.981 47.06% -0.018 0.386
2 Top to Top 62 58.06% 43.37 4.379 75.81% 0.44 0.2737
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 48.83 -12.165 66.67% -0.193 -1.742
3 Coastline 5 60.0% 55.2 0.0 80.0%
3 Other 36 77.78% 41.81 -3.236 69.44% -0.286 0.2551
3 Round (Default) 825 61.7% 40.78 -0.452 67.88% -0.353 -0.4681
3 Sunrise 4 50.0% 45.25 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 33 69.7% 49.48 2.785 69.7% -0.14 -0.0602
4 Archipelago 3 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 59.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 56.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 20 60.0% 48.35 -4.145 90.0% -0.424 -1.5075
4 Thematic 52 61.54% 46.5 0.0 63.46%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 283 61.37% 42.85 0.947 72.44% -0.367 -0.4499
5 Other 16 40.0% 58.0 5.203 75.0% 0.123 -0.1615
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 9.5 -7.565 0.0% -0.538 -0.6316
6 Other 8 0.0% 64.25 7.844 100.0% 0.061 -0.172
6 Star 1 0.0% 75.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 6 50.0% 47.17 24.334 66.67% 0.316 0.7367
6 Two Centers (Default) 21 61.9% 40.48 7.798 66.67% 0.559 0.663

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 624 33.11 0.477 48.4% -0.115 0.1276
Aid From Lesser Spirits 582 33.93 4.6 46.22% 0.08 0.0024
All Things Weaken 675 31.04 -3.889 44.15% -1.176 -0.7832
Attenuated Essence 26 29.58 2.383 46.15% 0.399 0.5062
Back Against the Wall 494 33.07 5.591 45.95% 0.51 0.5675
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 23 34.65 4.885 52.17% 0.512 0.7138
Burn Brightest Before the End 26 22.08 -3.934 26.92% -0.867 -0.6567
Disintegrating Ecosystem 648 27.78 -2.727 36.88% -0.78 -0.3561
Downward Spiral 703 31.74 -0.43 47.8% -0.228 0.0075
Erosion of Will 665 31.24 1.227 44.06% 0.048 0.3571
Intensifying Exploitation 23 26.43 -2.381 43.48% -0.349 -0.0617
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 198 40.96 -2.008 72.22% -0.205 -0.6985
Memory Fades to Dust 642 31.27 -1.241 45.95% -0.421 -0.085
Power Corrodes the Spirit 632 30.13 -2.831 43.04% -0.646 -0.4258
Promising Farmlands 604 29.82 -2.723 41.72% -1.01 -0.5571
Shattered Fragments of Power 25 30.84 2.865 44.0% 0.212 0.2634
Slow Dissolution of Will 29 30.28 -0.063 44.83% -0.476 -0.0772
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 145 45.12 7.457 81.38% 1.014 0.3032
The Border of Life and Death 4 28.25 2.425 50.0% 0.334 -0.0016
Thriving Communities 721 32.45 -0.172 51.32% -0.046 0.317
Thriving Crops 13 32.46 1.907 61.54% 0.345 0.1475
Unnatural Proliferation 714 31.73 -0.307 44.4% -0.279 -0.0644
Untended Land Crumbles 681 31.34 0.101 46.55% -0.336 -0.0545

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2545 62.0% 38.72 -0.042 63.14% -0.026 0.7138
B 2604 61.27% 39.06 0.534 63.9% -0.026 0.6999
C 2850 60.07% 40.24 -0.448 65.79% -0.26 0.3224
D 2437 61.97% 38.95 0.65 63.23% 0.102 0.8133
E 2670 59.99% 39.97 1.747 65.54% 0.197 0.7623
F 2301 63.66% 39.3 -2.15 64.28% -0.681 -0.0104
G 1958 62.26% 38.98 -0.602 63.33% -0.2 0.4519
H 2055 61.44% 39.95 1.84 65.06% 0.23 0.8003
East 514 65.95% 38.76 -1.182 49.03% -0.64 -0.1008
Northeast 217 64.98% 39.04 -1.648 48.39% -0.44 0.1953
Northwest 181 62.43% 39.2 -0.684 50.83% -0.302 0.5072
Southeast 190 66.32% 39.29 1.747 52.63% -0.117 0.5892
Southwest 133 69.17% 40.45 7.747 59.4% 0.645 1.6348
West 429 67.37% 38.6 -1.229 50.82% -0.438 0.4662

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 19 0.0% 65.58 2.566 84.21% -0.154 0.6219
Not Using Events or Tokens 5 100.0% 20.8 -6.661 20.0% -0.421 -0.042
Skip Initial Invader Actions 230 14.29% 60.79 8.675 93.48% 1.34 0.7229
Start of Game Growth 348 22.09% 56.67 5.022 89.08% 0.563 0.2143
Unlimited Undo 1061 51.29% 43.49 -0.747 72.2% -0.153 -0.1594
Using Tokens but Not Events 676 62.56% 35.54 -4.087 56.07% -0.87 -0.8801

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2056 20.4 0.44%
II 5309 31.01 47.84%
III 4509 34.76 85.23%
IV 2601 38.07 99.5%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.806 Win Model: 0.668
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 10236 60.78% 38.15 60.38%
2 2931 64.63% 39.22 64.48%
3 900 61.78% 41.15 68.11%
4 357 59.83% 43.92 72.27%
5 15 33.33% 57.67 73.33%
6 36 45.71% 47.83 75.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 9
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3785
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2474
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2569
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 431
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3
Lose: Adversary condition 1835
Win: Sacrifice victory 55
Lose: Scenario condition 96
Win: Scenario condition 88
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2966
Lose: Spirit destroyed 164

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 397 59.54% 42.47 -0.574 61.96% 0.149 0.0013
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 286 77.11% 38.29 -7.381 52.8% -0.707 -0.5767
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 388 67.18% 43.9 2.581 65.72% 0.606 0.4612
Downpour Drenches the World 99 70.41% 39.33 -0.572 58.59% 0.46 0.6395
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 186 46.24% 36.09 1.696 54.3% 0.531 -0.2344
Eyes Watch From the Trees 587 53.75% 47.76 -0.784 71.21% -0.045 -0.6336
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 244 57.38% 44.65 -6.427 63.11% -0.909 -1.4058
Finder of Paths Unseen 43 51.16% 33.53 -5.862 41.86% -0.511 0.1533
Fractured Days Split the Sky 303 65.23% 41.43 -3.613 51.82% -0.649 -0.0633
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 280 60.36% 43.61 -1.389 63.57% -0.09 -0.1845
Heart of the Wildfire 430 74.59% 38.68 -3.492 56.28% -0.098 0.1437
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1645 46.62% 47.26 1.291 75.99% 0.473 0.0305
Lightning's Swift Strike 178 76.3% 39.56 -7.383 52.25% -0.759 -0.5757
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 65 53.85% 49.2 6.168 70.77% 0.731 0.2444
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 149 60.14% 45.57 -2.797 67.79% -0.167 -0.3346
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 125 55.2% 43.79 -5.329 65.6% -0.559 -0.672
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2219 43.35% 51.9 6.526 83.15% 1.249 1.1164
Many Minds Move as One 958 48.75% 51.3 0.289 81.42% 0.226 0.0042
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 514 70.81% 39.93 1.432 55.25% 0.7 0.6574
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 419 70.91% 40.76 0.434 58.71% 0.037 -0.1407
River Surges in Sunlight 464 68.49% 42.38 -6.799 57.33% -1.058 -0.9878
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 165 68.48% 38.98 -6.296 47.27% -0.219 0.0912
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 62 61.29% 40.19 -1.39 51.61% -0.321 -0.4343
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 450 63.11% 40.91 -1.283 57.33% 0.291 0.0539
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 123 77.05% 37.24 -12.607 46.34% -0.595 -0.0649
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 19 68.42% 50.53 8.779 73.68% 0.866 0.7906
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 28 60.71% 37.68 -0.608 42.86% 0.256 0.1506
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 124 72.58% 40.73 0.22 55.65% 0.254 0.2356
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 108 76.85% 39.7 0.396 53.7% -0.01 0.1671
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1293 39.21% 52.44 4.829 81.98% 0.844 0.654
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 72 31.94% 26.21 -5.687 40.28% -0.475 -0.856
Shifting Memory of Ages 226 73.01% 41.59 0.569 60.18% 0.165 0.5183
Shroud of Silent Mist 234 76.55% 37.94 -10.452 51.28% -1.702 -1.4521
Starlight Seeks its Form 353 60.62% 43.47 2.772 64.59% 0.439 0.1781
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 743 54.79% 41.08 2.797 60.43% 0.565 0.0876
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 655 61.33% 44.64 -0.48 68.4% 0.313 0.3761
Thunderspeaker 329 70.73% 42.32 -3.39 59.57% -0.41 -0.4441
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 25 68.0% 31.2 0.687 36.0% 0.03 -0.0091
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 565 83.36% 39.95 0.106 60.88% 0.389 0.4821
Vital Strength of the Earth 179 79.1% 33.23 -4.324 38.55% -0.38 0.1442
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 42 80.95% 37.48 3.535 50.0% 0.558 0.8182
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 111 75.68% 35.42 -8.225 50.45% -0.411 0.3647
Volcano Looming High 479 67.36% 39.87 -3.35 58.46% -0.29 -0.3331

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 100.0% 19.0 -6.863 0.0% -0.355 -0.6103
Blitz 0 76 76.32% 29.13 -6.719 28.95% -1.036 -0.8391
Dahan Insurrection 4 66 37.88% 64.67 -0.084 62.12% -0.17 -0.6124
Despicable Theft 2 18 61.11% 46.22 -9.012 55.56% -0.124 0.6883
Elemental Invocation 1 26 53.85% 48.96 -14.454 73.08% -0.289 0.4141
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 550 24.55% 53.11 7.17 77.64% 0.584 -0.061
Powers Long Forgotten 1 28 71.43% 30.71 -4.295 28.57% 0.068 0.7032
Rituals of Terror 3 33 72.73% 37.61 -13.838 36.36% -0.796 -0.6949
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 15 80.0% 39.07 0.0 33.33%
Second Wave 0 152 60.26% 46.3 5.154 61.84% 0.174 0.2398
The Great River 3 19 73.68% 35.26 -8.03 26.32% -0.488 0.7297
Varied Terrains 2 8 37.5% 28.25 -2.812 37.5% -0.357 0.2664
Ward the Shores 2 19 78.95% 36.26 7.486 36.84% 0.151 1.2355

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7677 57.71% 43.89 -1.045 65.51% -0.238 -0.1835
1 Thematic 272 62.13% 40.65 -2.11 50.0% -0.565 -0.0877
2 Archipelago 2 50.0% 90.0 0.0 100.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1522 65.57% 43.24 2.494 65.11% 0.254 0.3359
2 Coastline 196 64.8% 43.55 -4.616 66.33% -0.569 -0.7234
2 Fragment 27 70.37% 48.48 8.386 77.78% 0.566 0.3169
2 Heart 18 72.22% 45.33 12.85 66.67% 0.602 0.3151
2 Opposite Shores 410 45.37% 47.66 -3.233 77.32% -0.835 -0.8124
2 Thematic 88 82.95% 44.49 4.187 54.55% 0.586 0.9896
2 Top to Top 100 38.0% 44.86 2.271 73.0% -0.008 -0.1743
3 Archipelago 2 50.0% 70.5 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 13 38.46% 58.92 15.49 92.31% 0.457 -0.0567
3 Other 16 50.0% 48.13 0.536 81.25% 0.182 0.723
3 Round (Default) 636 61.89% 44.8 0.773 69.65% 0.243 0.1278
3 Sunrise 5 80.0% 38.0 0.0 60.0%
3 Thematic 24 75.0% 34.63 -9.824 33.33% -0.315 -0.2352
4 Coastline 9 22.22% 52.67 9.454 77.78% -0.081 0.1502
4 Other 12 75.0% 52.67 0.0 91.67%
4 Thematic 68 44.12% 56.12 -3.959 79.41% 0.201 -0.0609
4 Trapezoid (Default) 209 54.55% 49.09 -0.091 75.12% -0.225 -0.308
5 Other 15 53.85% 42.07 -1.788 60.0% -0.402 -0.6868
5 Thematic 6 16.67% 56.5 -5.23 50.0% -0.035 -0.1291
6 Other 2 0.0% 83.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 6 50.0% 41.67 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 21 4.76% 59.9 1.21 61.9% -0.28 0.1408
6 Two Centers (Default) 31 12.9% 50.45 -3.579 80.65% 0.117 0.2209

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 524 35.88 -0.209 46.95% -0.257 -0.0145
Aid From Lesser Spirits 395 38.06 0.154 50.89% -0.25 -0.3273
All Things Weaken 498 36.0 -2.044 48.39% -0.391 0.0015
Attenuated Essence 14 32.93 0.245 42.86% -0.224 -0.1172
Back Against the Wall 382 37.54 0.298 49.48% -0.411 -0.3534
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 16 24.06 -3.063 25.0% -0.891 -0.6895
Burn Brightest Before the End 13 35.69 2.766 46.15% 0.037 0.2471
Disintegrating Ecosystem 454 30.77 -5.719 37.44% -1.231 -0.8072
Downward Spiral 481 36.11 0.497 52.6% 0.174 0.4098
Erosion of Will 484 35.92 2.898 47.93% 0.311 0.62
Intensifying Exploitation 16 32.88 2.254 43.75% 0.147 0.4346
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 151 49.7 5.972 82.78% 0.696 0.2026
Memory Fades to Dust 542 35.11 -0.679 47.23% -0.179 0.1575
Power Corrodes the Spirit 532 36.43 2.567 51.5% 0.533 0.7539
Promising Farmlands 451 34.05 -1.393 46.56% -0.436 0.0169
Shattered Fragments of Power 13 32.0 -2.601 38.46% -0.675 -0.6242
Slow Dissolution of Will 13 29.15 -2.245 38.46% -0.256 0.1437
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 91 49.01 9.944 82.42% 1.159 0.4479
The Border of Life and Death 4 28.0 -0.444 50.0% 0.069 -0.2664
Thriving Communities 514 36.42 -3.362 51.95% -0.804 -0.4409
Thriving Crops 8 33.0 1.091 62.5% 0.479 0.2816
Unnatural Proliferation 541 36.65 -3.416 48.24% -1.17 -0.9553
Untended Land Crumbles 511 34.59 1.168 46.18% 0.16 0.4421

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1841 60.98% 44.19 -0.031 66.76% 0.007 0.7474
B 2262 55.35% 45.52 0.674 70.29% 0.162 0.8873
C 2270 57.01% 44.82 0.536 68.24% 0.131 0.7133
D 1887 58.53% 43.66 -2.048 65.66% -0.515 0.1959
E 2192 55.6% 46.04 1.279 70.35% 0.289 0.8539
F 1832 60.96% 43.53 -0.136 65.17% -0.124 0.5461
G 1552 62.41% 43.52 1.181 65.4% 0.154 0.8058
H 1693 56.98% 44.72 1.101 67.57% 0.156 0.7264
East 308 59.09% 46.93 -4.8 56.17% -0.605 -0.0665
Northeast 159 59.12% 48.61 4.448 57.23% 0.552 1.1865
Northwest 149 52.35% 46.45 -5.982 55.7% -1.068 -0.2584
Southeast 127 49.61% 49.43 5.601 61.42% 0.629 1.3345
Southwest 122 54.1% 45.87 -1.251 57.38% -0.144 0.8458
West 286 59.09% 45.64 -3.174 56.99% -0.752 0.1514

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 17 0.0% 73.71 19.457 94.12% 0.301 1.0769
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 33.33% 19.0 0.0 0.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 177 15.43% 62.2 7.993 90.96% 0.549 -0.0685
Start of Game Growth 393 25.66% 59.27 8.397 88.3% 1.347 0.998
Unlimited Undo 1101 57.2% 48.55 3.838 74.84% 0.511 0.5046
Using Tokens but Not Events 439 50.71% 46.66 3.374 71.07% 0.634 0.6237

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1176 20.4 0.43%
II 4324 31.01 53.01%
III 4268 34.76 84.65%
IV 1623 38.07 99.69%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.414 Win Model: -0.233
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7982 57.93% 43.78 64.96%
2 2346 61.47% 44.32 67.69%
3 693 61.85% 44.77 69.12%
4 299 49.83% 51.08 75.92%
5 11 50.0% 39.36 54.55%
6 60 13.33% 53.97 71.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 5
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3573
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2241
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1610
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 345
Lose: Invader deck ran out 5
Lose: Adversary condition 1056
Win: Sacrifice victory 51
Lose: Scenario condition 62
Win: Scenario condition 48
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2262
Lose: Spirit destroyed 133

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 248 77.42% 41.53 5.014 39.92% 0.354 0.2063
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 142 86.62% 32.82 14.456 20.42% 0.609 0.7397
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 219 79.0% 36.67 -1.662 31.96% 0.104 -0.0411
Downpour Drenches the World 55 61.82% 39.6 -0.646 43.64% 0.163 0.3421
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 137 76.64% 34.84 0.784 35.04% 0.182 -0.5832
Eyes Watch From the Trees 439 68.56% 46.95 -4.482 49.66% 0.097 -0.4918
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 120 86.55% 32.79 -3.295 20.83% -0.295 -0.7921
Finder of Paths Unseen 43 69.77% 38.58 0.16 34.88% 0.092 0.7563
Fractured Days Split the Sky 150 69.33% 47.88 0.889 45.33% 0.299 0.8852
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 152 83.55% 37.13 -7.312 29.61% -0.5 -0.5949
Heart of the Wildfire 284 85.56% 35.24 -2.106 30.28% -0.056 0.1858
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1131 57.43% 49.33 -2.169 59.86% 0.184 -0.2581
Lightning's Swift Strike 108 86.11% 38.01 -0.611 31.48% -0.017 0.1658
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 32 62.5% 47.31 -0.878 53.13% 0.125 -0.3616
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 101 74.26% 43.61 1.287 45.54% 0.418 0.2503
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 41 60.98% 42.63 -4.19 46.34% -0.312 -0.4255
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1491 58.15% 51.33 0.795 63.38% 0.457 0.3245
Many Minds Move as One 579 78.07% 44.38 -1.355 46.98% -0.15 -0.3714
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 271 82.29% 36.73 -3.788 29.89% -0.399 -0.4416
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 209 85.65% 36.25 -7.503 30.14% -0.41 -0.5877
River Surges in Sunlight 253 79.84% 43.5 -7.657 40.32% -0.229 -0.1589
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 78 85.9% 32.76 -12.008 21.79% -0.991 -0.6808
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 59 81.36% 48.42 7.222 55.93% 1.009 0.8954
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 244 81.15% 38.01 1.751 31.56% 0.094 -0.1438
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 65 90.77% 30.2 -0.96 12.31% -0.139 0.3902
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 8 62.5% 47.75 -3.5 62.5% -0.145 -0.2198
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 13 76.92% 39.92 0.0 30.77%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 68 89.71% 34.06 2.284 22.06% -0.124 -0.1424
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 63 95.24% 32.81 -11.651 20.63% -0.428 -0.2509
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 644 69.67% 48.07 2.674 53.73% 0.602 0.4115
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 28 75.0% 31.39 -1.342 32.14% 0.039 -0.3418
Shifting Memory of Ages 74 79.73% 39.55 -5.977 33.78% -0.466 -0.1126
Shroud of Silent Mist 131 94.66% 28.98 -7.138 15.27% -0.787 -0.5373
Starlight Seeks its Form 340 81.47% 39.27 -3.733 36.76% -0.409 -0.67
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 466 72.96% 37.74 0.323 37.34% 0.534 0.0569
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 427 72.37% 46.15 5.197 50.59% 0.872 0.9349
Thunderspeaker 196 86.73% 38.42 -4.465 27.55% -0.05 -0.0844
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 5 40.0% 10.2 -14.983 0.0% -0.841 -0.8799
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 358 92.18% 36.85 -12.846 33.8% -0.557 -0.4637
Vital Strength of the Earth 79 83.54% 34.97 7.686 27.85% 0.948 1.473
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 29 72.41% 38.14 4.826 34.48% 0.208 0.4684
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 86 90.7% 31.37 -5.987 18.6% -0.068 0.7077
Volcano Looming High 219 76.26% 40.3 -3.402 41.1% -0.274 -0.317

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 0.0 -12.677 0.0% -0.232 -0.4879
Blitz 0 22 72.73% 37.32 8.461 31.82% 0.563 0.76
Dahan Insurrection 4 49 63.27% 68.2 0.0 42.86%
Despicable Theft 2 7 71.43% 52.0 23.645 42.86% 0.748 1.5598
Elemental Invocation 1 24 95.83% 27.75 -3.501 8.33% -0.373 0.3295
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 405 34.32% 58.38 6.167 67.9% 0.597 -0.0471
Powers Long Forgotten 1 18 88.89% 25.22 -13.743 5.56% -0.157 0.478
Rituals of Terror 3 13 92.31% 30.46 -10.882 7.69% -0.297 -0.1964
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 3 66.67% 66.0 22.075 66.67% 0.541 1.5503
Second Wave 0 98 76.53% 39.84 9.569 32.65% 0.538 0.6041
The Great River 3 6 66.67% 30.83 -7.9 16.67% -0.355 0.862
Ward the Shores 2 12 91.67% 35.08 -1.078 16.67% -0.159 0.9248

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4844 67.98% 45.65 1.855 50.1% 0.468 0.5219
1 Thematic 264 75.76% 41.53 -1.309 32.58% -0.197 0.2805
2 Archipelago 7 71.43% 91.14 0.0 57.14%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 979 84.37% 38.82 2.737 35.04% 0.563 0.645
2 Coastline 120 63.33% 46.69 -0.903 53.33% -0.012 -0.1662
2 Fragment 29 96.55% 33.83 -1.482 24.14% -0.403 -0.6517
2 Heart 16 81.25% 39.94 0.066 43.75% 0.355 0.0679
2 Opposite Shores 152 64.47% 41.1 -3.765 43.42% -0.23 -0.2075
2 Thematic 41 73.17% 37.51 -12.677 17.07% -0.232 0.1713
2 Top to Top 60 45.0% 32.5 -6.27 38.33% -0.635 -0.8009
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 57.75 0.0 62.5%
3 Other 18 88.89% 46.94 0.0 38.89%
3 Round (Default) 361 78.67% 42.49 -0.171 45.98% 0.608 0.4927
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 23.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 8 87.5% 55.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 28.0 -14.982 0.0% -0.248 -0.9222
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 74.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 4 50.0% 45.75 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 28 78.57% 39.43 3.929 32.14% 0.345 0.0827
4 Trapezoid (Default) 144 84.72% 38.72 1.524 36.11% 0.534 0.4512
5 Other 8 62.5% 40.88 0.0 50.0%
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 145.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 1 0.0% 0.0 -17.013 0.0% -0.401 -0.4138
6 Thematic 2 50.0% 0.0 -14.748 0.0% -0.246 0.1746
6 Two Centers (Default) 5 20.0% 46.4 -7.42 40.0% -0.058 0.0464

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 392 36.28 1.896 28.57% -0.157 0.0855
Aid From Lesser Spirits 280 42.02 -2.832 40.36% -0.532 -0.6098
All Things Weaken 398 35.84 -0.039 28.64% -0.327 0.0651
Attenuated Essence 19 29.32 -0.53 31.58% -0.35 -0.2436
Back Against the Wall 265 35.66 2.13 26.42% -0.005 0.0531
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 15 33.27 1.637 33.33% -0.089 0.1126
Burn Brightest Before the End 14 32.71 2.585 28.57% 0.122 0.3323
Disintegrating Ecosystem 359 31.25 -1.398 21.17% -0.156 0.2673
Downward Spiral 383 37.04 -3.395 35.51% -0.596 -0.3601
Erosion of Will 384 35.62 -0.064 28.39% -0.454 -0.1451
Intensifying Exploitation 19 41.05 3.873 47.37% 0.238 0.5258
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 85 55.56 15.787 72.94% 1.069 0.5749
Memory Fades to Dust 385 35.12 -2.742 28.31% -1.016 -0.6797
Power Corrodes the Spirit 356 35.79 1.339 30.06% -0.051 0.1698
Promising Farmlands 374 33.63 -5.078 27.01% -1.481 -1.0277
Shattered Fragments of Power 15 32.93 0.348 26.67% -0.632 -0.5809
Slow Dissolution of Will 15 35.0 0.927 33.33% -0.381 0.0178
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 48 55.08 -7.523 77.08% -0.482 -1.1922
The Border of Life and Death 3 22.0 -2.155 33.33% 0.024 -0.3116
Thriving Communities 413 37.65 2.327 35.35% 0.312 0.6747
Thriving Crops 5 35.6 -2.841 40.0% -0.244 -0.4418
Unnatural Proliferation 435 36.62 0.721 29.66% -0.151 0.0645
Untended Land Crumbles 401 34.04 -3.88 25.69% -0.863 -0.5812

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1213 76.92% 42.29 1.545 43.12% 0.25 0.9901
B 1331 72.58% 41.74 -1.267 43.35% 0.096 0.8217
C 1399 69.6% 43.44 -1.304 46.6% -0.005 0.5777
D 1115 75.07% 41.0 -3.21 40.9% -0.585 0.1263
E 1523 69.01% 47.1 1.862 52.4% 0.158 0.7232
F 977 72.41% 43.2 0.864 45.34% 0.206 0.8763
G 879 76.0% 41.86 0.159 42.89% 0.208 0.8592
H 1011 76.56% 42.22 -1.681 41.74% -0.597 -0.0265
East 201 73.13% 45.28 -0.282 36.32% -0.164 0.3746
Northeast 93 77.42% 44.6 9.028 35.48% 0.766 1.4011
Northwest 75 77.33% 40.73 -1.637 30.67% -0.089 0.7204
Southeast 74 66.22% 42.99 -10.202 39.19% -0.703 0.0027
Southwest 66 72.73% 31.71 -10.613 21.21% -0.666 0.3234
West 184 78.26% 37.78 -0.755 25.54% 0.099 1.0028

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3 0.0% 35.33 0.0 33.33%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 151 17.22% 71.36 13.952 88.08% 1.484 0.8667
Start of Game Growth 376 30.85% 65.44 9.681 83.24% 0.837 0.4888
Unlimited Undo 678 66.67% 47.26 2.499 53.69% 0.342 0.3358
Using Tokens but Not Events 346 55.1% 52.61 -0.837 65.03% -0.253 -0.2634

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 736 20.4 4.08%
II 3987 31.01 36.82%
III 1783 34.76 66.8%
IV 601 38.07 99.67%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.921 Win Model: -0.258
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 5128 68.37% 45.51 49.2%
2 1397 78.88% 39.35 36.94%
3 385 78.7% 42.54 45.45%
4 185 80.54% 39.95 37.84%
5 4 75.0% 28.75 25.0%
6 8 25.0% 42.0 37.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 30
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1168
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1434
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 596
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 217
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3
Lose: Adversary condition 904
Win: Sacrifice victory 37
Lose: Scenario condition 59
Win: Scenario condition 23
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2543
Lose: Spirit destroyed 93

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1603 66.67% 51.56 -4.546 39.18% -0.174 -0.3219
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 795 87.92% 43.56 -0.573 22.64% -0.218 -0.0873
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 812 90.84% 33.74 -5.307 15.15% -1.582 -1.7271
Downpour Drenches the World 448 70.98% 36.7 -3.475 25.89% -0.226 -0.0465
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 619 70.11% 26.7 -2.5 20.68% 0.219 -0.5458
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1824 68.91% 58.0 -4.739 41.12% -0.466 -1.0547
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 456 88.6% 38.67 -3.423 23.03% -0.498 -0.9952
Finder of Paths Unseen 151 65.56% 43.39 -3.291 39.74% 0.213 0.8772
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1937 56.22% 66.56 12.867 54.36% 1.173 1.7585
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 702 88.6% 38.36 -5.048 24.5% -0.69 -0.7846
Heart of the Wildfire 1187 87.35% 31.16 -6.966 14.32% -0.239 0.0023
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 12201 57.88% 59.92 4.064 67.14% 1.289 0.8469
Lightning's Swift Strike 474 86.21% 38.91 -1.027 23.21% 0.208 0.3911
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 545 76.33% 43.19 1.0 32.66% 0.601 0.1143
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 415 90.58% 42.65 6.311 30.36% 1.015 0.8477
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 418 66.51% 55.46 -0.153 50.96% 0.408 0.2946
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 6989 72.97% 52.74 1.228 50.35% 0.703 0.571
Many Minds Move as One 1863 81.31% 49.7 4.114 40.15% 0.671 0.4496
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1308 85.44% 37.84 -5.623 21.33% -0.489 -0.5319
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 632 88.06% 41.21 -3.803 28.16% -0.19 -0.3676
River Surges in Sunlight 1531 84.82% 56.65 3.018 37.17% 0.13 0.2001
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 361 70.91% 48.91 -6.273 29.64% -0.146 0.164
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 359 77.16% 53.05 0.925 35.1% -0.043 -0.1567
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2118 69.92% 51.63 -2.036 45.0% 0.129 -0.1081
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 371 88.92% 37.47 -0.972 18.33% -0.447 0.0824
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 41 82.93% 35.8 -3.771 19.51% -0.48 -0.5548
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 53 84.91% 40.94 -8.792 30.19% -0.741 -0.8466
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 270 84.81% 38.19 -6.94 20.74% -0.618 -0.636
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 219 83.11% 41.81 -13.061 30.14% -1.098 -0.9213
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1872 76.86% 48.63 3.647 41.72% 0.929 0.7385
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 139 71.94% 28.1 -1.374 21.58% 0.244 -0.1372
Shifting Memory of Ages 1029 81.83% 47.46 -2.333 25.75% 0.228 0.5811
Shroud of Silent Mist 491 90.78% 35.95 -4.049 18.13% -0.176 0.0741
Starlight Seeks its Form 2259 67.46% 49.16 0.977 48.74% 0.856 0.5949
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3966 64.51% 48.7 1.386 40.49% 0.506 0.0291
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1802 83.15% 48.42 0.933 41.45% 0.679 0.7422
Thunderspeaker 834 84.25% 46.57 -2.754 26.5% 0.123 0.0891
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 44 84.09% 23.73 -4.54 13.64% -0.418 -0.4574
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1654 95.1% 38.81 0.112 26.12% 0.189 0.2823
Vital Strength of the Earth 283 83.04% 35.95 -3.195 17.31% -0.558 -0.0334
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 109 66.06% 41.21 -9.552 26.61% -0.645 -0.3849
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 286 86.71% 36.14 -0.544 19.58% -0.146 0.6303
Volcano Looming High 1604 82.15% 44.03 -4.106 35.91% -0.129 -0.1715

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 0.0% 0.0 -15.7 0.0% -0.424 -0.6794
Blitz 0 285 64.77% 44.62 0.556 34.39% -0.409 -0.2118
Dahan Insurrection 4 1561 40.51% 86.69 21.746 63.36% 2.161 1.7183
Despicable Theft 2 6 80.0% 52.17 -1.388 33.33% 0.054 0.8663
Elemental Invocation 1 97 93.81% 37.68 3.568 13.4% -0.117 0.5854
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2005 47.16% 54.35 -2.411 46.73% -0.276 -0.9205
Powers Long Forgotten 1 9 88.89% 30.78 -9.716 11.11% -0.457 0.1778
Rituals of Terror 3 601 59.07% 120.99 21.421 67.89% 3.021 3.1224
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 17 52.94% 39.47 -12.482 11.76% -0.326 0.6832
Second Wave 0 109 72.48% 51.71 10.315 44.04% 0.597 0.6629
The Great River 3 35 77.14% 38.37 -10.866 8.57% -0.23 0.9872
Varied Terrains 2 10 50.0% 74.4 26.494 60.0% 0.899 1.5217
Ward the Shores 2 26 84.62% 42.65 -0.688 19.23% -0.368 0.7163

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 37185 71.63% 50.0 0.968 46.39% -0.248 -0.1941
1 Thematic 889 78.97% 46.26 -1.476 29.7% -0.826 -0.3483
2 Archipelago 77 53.25% 99.35 16.955 59.74% 0.637 0.7408
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2954 80.94% 44.15 -4.265 35.55% -1.053 -0.9714
2 Coastline 619 80.78% 44.77 -1.779 34.57% -0.372 -0.5258
2 Fragment 75 86.67% 46.85 11.765 40.0% 1.109 0.86
2 Heart 111 69.37% 47.87 1.762 29.73% 0.47 0.1832
2 Opposite Shores 1022 82.97% 45.68 0.207 23.58% -0.678 -0.6546
2 Thematic 502 75.05% 99.32 10.367 52.39% 0.44 0.844
2 Top to Top 147 76.19% 47.31 -5.436 38.78% -1.03 -1.1961
3 Archipelago 13 84.62% 123.77 41.183 76.92% 1.414 -0.1353
3 Coastline 11 81.82% 39.18 2.294 36.36% 0.019 -0.4943
3 Other 51 72.55% 51.24 4.683 49.02% 0.251 0.7917
3 Round (Default) 1310 77.71% 44.19 -4.149 36.03% -1.493 -1.6081
3 Thematic 161 28.57% 107.26 16.272 68.32% -0.304 -0.224
4 Archipelago 4 100.0% 137.25 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 47.67 7.176 33.33% -0.058 0.1736
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 42.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Other 39 76.92% 43.97 18.551 25.64% 1.663 0.5796
4 Thematic 275 33.09% 88.37 -8.345 70.18% -0.438 -0.7006
4 Trapezoid (Default) 586 71.55% 48.7 -1.887 39.93% -0.629 -0.7119
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 81.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 42 66.67% 54.19 12.43 35.71% 0.877 0.5921
5 Thematic 16 56.25% 87.5 -21.511 50.0% -0.054 -0.1477
6 Archipelago 3 33.33% 84.33 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 21 47.62% 65.33 10.209 80.95% 0.561 0.3278
6 Star 8 37.5% 58.25 0.829 62.5% -0.229 -0.2413
6 Thematic 11 45.45% 71.91 0.0 45.45%
6 Two Centers (Default) 50 26.0% 71.24 -4.768 66.0% -1.898 -1.7939
7 Archipelago 4 75.0% 123.0 0.0 75.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2541 42.56 1.554 30.3% -0.289 -0.047
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1866 46.39 4.973 36.55% 0.067 -0.0104
All Things Weaken 2707 42.44 1.589 29.41% -0.347 0.0459
Attenuated Essence 133 27.79 -0.764 18.05% -0.62 -0.5137
Back Against the Wall 1832 45.04 4.861 33.62% 0.267 0.3251
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 133 36.26 4.184 29.32% 0.13 0.3317
Burn Brightest Before the End 108 35.18 3.47 23.15% -0.191 0.0191
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2342 36.87 -0.011 21.65% -0.73 -0.3067
Downward Spiral 2531 44.45 1.628 35.48% -0.159 0.0769
Erosion of Will 2472 40.29 1.309 25.81% -0.194 0.1156
Intensifying Exploitation 139 31.5 0.666 22.3% -0.301 -0.0139
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 538 65.3 5.105 73.98% 0.531 0.0367
Memory Fades to Dust 2581 43.35 2.075 32.58% -0.106 0.2306
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2544 42.37 0.835 30.74% -0.185 0.0352
Promising Farmlands 2363 41.25 0.427 29.75% -0.292 0.1613
Shattered Fragments of Power 83 33.98 1.606 22.89% -0.498 -0.4466
Slow Dissolution of Will 164 34.65 2.446 23.78% -0.249 0.1502
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 360 69.24 9.169 78.61% 0.913 0.2018
The Border of Life and Death 22 39.32 3.98 45.45% 0.428 0.0926
Thriving Communities 2563 42.52 0.855 31.37% -0.201 0.1619
Thriving Crops 45 33.89 3.076 42.22% 0.478 0.2804
Unnatural Proliferation 2752 42.86 1.447 29.11% -0.427 -0.2119
Untended Land Crumbles 2665 41.88 0.248 30.36% -0.386 -0.1043

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7085 77.57% 45.7 -1.764 37.19% -0.387 0.3531
B 7253 76.51% 46.8 -1.273 40.11% -0.463 0.2627
C 8434 73.11% 49.25 -0.131 42.29% -0.37 0.2123
D 5995 74.86% 45.94 -3.45 38.05% -0.781 -0.0698
E 8474 72.62% 49.96 0.158 45.96% -0.091 0.4741
F 5855 74.35% 47.66 -1.629 41.91% -0.398 0.2725
G 4932 75.19% 47.6 0.085 41.83% -0.221 0.4309
H 6627 64.12% 56.77 2.698 55.61% 0.101 0.6715
East 1242 59.71% 84.92 13.409 53.22% 0.05 0.5888
Northeast 681 49.49% 87.97 6.745 57.12% -0.492 0.1428
Northwest 479 56.58% 81.04 -14.952 51.15% -1.577 -0.7674
Southeast 269 60.97% 61.42 1.469 40.89% -0.251 0.4544
Southwest 281 66.55% 53.76 -14.444 39.15% -0.928 0.0623
West 1171 60.6% 82.84 10.641 52.43% 0.317 1.2204

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 29 0.0% 73.34 18.68 79.31% 0.784 1.5604
Not Using Events or Tokens 10 80.0% 130.0 0.0 70.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1203 33.64% 70.16 6.559 71.07% 1.351 0.7338
Start of Game Growth 2074 34.91% 69.22 3.44 74.73% 0.08 -0.2686
Unlimited Undo 4442 59.87% 59.41 3.676 64.27% 0.745 0.7386
Using Tokens but Not Events 1954 64.94% 59.58 -2.346 50.0% -0.735 -0.7457

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10347 20.4 1.01%
II 21812 31.01 39.58%
III 9874 34.76 78.07%
IV 4180 38.07 99.86%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.493 Win Model: 0.097
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 38956 71.89% 50.73 45.97%
2 4807 79.69% 45.76 34.47%
3 1501 73.28% 50.95 39.57%
4 834 62.8% 54.26 45.68%
5 25 43.48% 61.16 52.0%
6 90 34.44% 72.73 72.22%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 90
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7583
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7514
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3903
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1960
Lose: Invader deck ran out 46
Lose: Adversary condition 6326
Win: Sacrifice victory 538
Lose: Scenario condition 487
Win: Scenario condition 992
Lose: Blight pool ran out 16127
Lose: Spirit destroyed 647

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-12-12 04:02:30 (Pacific Time)