The Tsardom of Russia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1095 22.78% 26.88 1.681 82.28% 0.356 0.2533
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 667 43.91% 24.59 -2.016 78.86% -0.409 -0.2493
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 79 27.85% 27.22 2.153 69.62% 0.429 -0.4071
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1128 25.42% 27.46 1.027 85.46% 0.238 0.1069
Downpour Drenches the World 329 20.12% 24.95 -1.466 73.56% -0.16 0.1581
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 268 22.39% 25.64 2.566 74.63% 0.775 0.2906
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1225 15.93% 31.09 3.191 89.55% 0.649 0.1955
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1000 23.14% 28.74 2.448 87.6% 0.464 0.0116
Finder of Paths Unseen 149 28.86% 16.99 -4.85 47.65% -0.824 -0.1573
Fractured Days Split the Sky 548 31.44% 25.71 -2.763 69.16% -0.925 -0.2472
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 802 39.03% 25.34 -3.225 71.2% -0.68 -0.6181
Heart of the Wildfire 852 56.05% 23.16 0.68 72.65% 0.286 0.5454
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1666 25.65% 26.98 -0.609 86.85% 0.0 -0.3931
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 61 19.67% 28.2 -0.121 75.41% 0.201 -0.1942
Lightning's Swift Strike 586 36.92% 26.12 0.974 81.57% 0.124 0.378
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 121 33.88% 26.47 -1.047 72.73% -0.166 -0.7198
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 335 25.75% 27.35 0.479 82.99% 0.179 -0.0572
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 293 26.8% 29.36 1.741 80.2% 0.08 -0.1716
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1848 27.94% 27.78 0.143 86.04% 0.27 -0.0541
Many Minds Move as One 1417 20.75% 27.75 -1.454 88.92% -0.376 -0.5762
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1239 37.81% 26.35 1.17 76.51% -0.069 -0.0975
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 999 28.63% 26.84 0.606 83.48% 0.495 0.3533
River Surges in Sunlight 806 36.57% 28.68 4.062 81.14% 0.591 0.7074
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 474 37.97% 28.34 -2.933 79.75% -0.511 -0.1734
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 152 32.24% 25.61 0.148 61.84% -0.097 -0.2451
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 872 26.26% 27.08 -1.191 82.11% -0.58 -0.7474
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 346 50.72% 24.58 4.155 77.46% 0.775 1.319
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 54 35.19% 25.63 1.631 64.81% 0.307 0.3925
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 38 44.74% 29.74 2.956 76.32% 0.426 0.0559
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 64 32.81% 21.84 -2.283 65.63% -0.316 -0.1503
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 305 32.46% 26.66 2.621 82.62% 0.791 0.8218
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 258 33.72% 26.28 1.783 82.17% 0.784 0.9549
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1196 26.09% 27.24 -0.934 85.79% -0.266 -0.3609
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 108 22.22% 22.78 1.219 62.96% 0.289 0.048
Shifting Memory of Ages 495 41.5% 22.72 -3.63 67.88% -0.512 -0.1342
Shroud of Silent Mist 646 43.96% 23.46 -3.257 73.53% -0.7 -0.3291
Starlight Seeks its Form 733 23.56% 27.61 0.123 77.49% 0.265 0.0585
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1290 25.83% 25.78 -1.021 86.12% 0.056 -0.661
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 887 29.86% 25.68 -2.035 79.26% -0.542 -0.3602
Thunderspeaker 882 28.04% 28.54 -0.377 80.84% -0.071 -0.0566
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 85 32.94% 21.24 1.725 48.24% 0.434 0.5397
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1102 62.76% 22.64 -4.08 79.4% -0.69 -0.5495
Vital Strength of the Earth 574 30.59% 24.11 2.922 74.04% 0.426 0.9679
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 108 25.93% 20.79 -1.14 63.89% 0.191 0.5289
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 296 27.03% 20.83 -4.988 68.24% -1.235 -0.519
Volcano Looming High 892 42.47% 23.23 -2.047 73.99% -0.103 -0.1359
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 112 27.68% 25.79 0.992 71.43% 0.316 -0.1218

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 12 16.67% 21.08 -8.127 58.33% -0.905 -0.8533
Blitz 0 275 28.94% 20.99 -5.421 67.64% -1.138 -0.9369
Dahan Insurrection 4 455 19.34% 45.09 -0.008 79.34% -0.884 -1.0953
Despicable Theft 2 158 32.28% 24.26 -5.277 53.16% -1.729 -0.8842
Elemental Invocation 1 180 37.22% 24.66 -4.18 69.44% -0.896 0.1753
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 675 10.81% 30.26 1.331 80.89% -0.145 -0.8695
Powers Long Forgotten 1 200 41.5% 22.21 -8.205 57.5% -1.971 -1.0653
Rituals of Terror 3 208 36.76% 31.91 3.65 66.83% 0.089 0.1187
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 147 54.42% 31.86 -5.246 66.67% -1.003 0.1859
Second Wave 0 381 48.82% 31.51 0.527 70.87% -0.34 -0.2594
The Great River 3 172 41.86% 26.47 0.628 54.65% -0.557 0.8308
Varied Terrains 2 109 38.53% 22.94 -2.926 48.62% -1.36 -0.4588
Ward the Shores 2 277 33.33% 26.6 -3.097 64.62% -1.17 -0.1149

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12224 34.08% 25.78 0.845 81.02% 0.792 0.8226
1 Thematic 1814 39.81% 28.38 -0.487 75.74% 0.21 0.642
2 Archipelago 18 38.89% 29.78 0.0 61.11%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2647 31.09% 25.16 -1.618 80.43% -0.082 -0.1304
2 Coastline 315 28.89% 24.57 -1.224 78.41% -0.256 -0.3568
2 Fragment 61 24.59% 24.7 -1.102 78.69% 0.101 -0.3122
2 Heart 31 45.16% 22.52 0.0 74.19%
2 Opposite Shores 409 24.08% 28.41 4.714 88.51% 0.68 0.5005
2 Thematic 409 34.72% 29.05 0.512 73.84% 0.739 0.9256
2 Top to Top 49 26.53% 24.86 2.932 81.63% 0.142 -0.0572
3 Archipelago 9 55.56% 37.67 -9.896 66.67% -0.514 -1.6347
3 Coastline 14 50.0% 31.5 -12.201 64.29% -0.478 -1.1399
3 Other 36 38.89% 25.69 5.0 91.67% 0.797 0.4635
3 Round (Default) 1210 29.09% 26.89 1.927 84.71% 0.306 0.0399
3 Sunrise 5 20.0% 25.2 0.0 80.0%
3 Thematic 85 36.47% 26.32 4.792 62.35% 0.231 -0.215
4 Archipelago 6 16.67% 38.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 6 66.67% 29.83 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 2 0.0% 31.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 16 43.75% 31.63 12.936 93.75% 0.666 -0.0711
4 Thematic 101 24.0% 35.42 -2.586 85.15% -0.426 -0.223
4 Trapezoid (Default) 555 21.8% 23.92 -3.69 72.97% -2.352 -2.0116
5 Other 35 35.29% 28.77 0.0 71.43%
5 Thematic 3 0.0% 32.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 3 66.67% 44.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 19 26.32% 30.89 2.176 100.0% 0.021 0.3188
6 Thematic 46 21.74% 27.65 -5.385 54.35% -0.862 -0.8366
6 Two Centers (Default) 79 16.46% 31.72 6.768 82.28% 0.047 0.1445
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -6.276 0.0% -0.327 0.1997
7 Other 4 0.0% 20.0 0.0 25.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 439 21.98 1.075 66.74% 0.436 0.5744
Aid From Lesser Spirits 372 23.38 1.654 68.55% 0.034 -0.0251
All Things Weaken 521 20.55 1.328 61.42% 0.085 0.44
Attenuated Essence 45 20.4 -0.543 55.56% -0.152 -0.0407
Back Against the Wall 385 21.02 -3.943 59.22% -1.105 -1.0287
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 48 20.56 2.413 52.08% 0.198 0.4083
Burn Brightest Before the End 42 19.86 1.728 52.38% -0.059 0.0617
Disintegrating Ecosystem 430 18.8 0.61 63.95% -0.371 -0.0022
Downward Spiral 512 20.96 -0.5 70.12% 0.308 0.5042
Erosion of Will 416 21.91 -1.44 65.38% -0.263 0.0038
Intensifying Exploitation 47 22.17 0.269 59.57% -0.156 0.1138
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 241 27.3 5.585 91.7% 0.961 0.4502
Memory Fades to Dust 527 20.6 1.536 64.33% -0.156 0.1555
Power Corrodes the Spirit 475 21.48 -0.713 68.21% -0.524 -0.2297
Promising Farmlands 408 19.78 -2.903 61.52% -0.69 -0.354
Shattered Fragments of Power 36 23.19 -0.277 55.56% -0.512 -0.4029
Slow Dissolution of Will 54 16.07 -5.432 37.04% -1.377 -0.9773
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 159 26.48 3.074 89.94% 0.537 -0.0765
The Border of Life and Death 11 24.73 -0.488 81.82% -0.125 -0.4175
Thriving Communities 496 19.2 -1.809 62.7% -0.529 -0.1958
Thriving Crops 24 25.79 1.041 83.33% 0.354 0.2673
Unnatural Proliferation 508 21.46 2.006 63.19% 0.41 0.5582
Untended Land Crumbles 499 20.22 -1.247 63.53% -0.1 0.2065

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3388 31.45% 25.68 0.251 80.61% -0.378 0.5273
B 3525 30.79% 25.7 -0.561 80.71% -0.539 0.2896
C 3707 30.74% 26.1 0.876 81.58% -0.242 0.4386
D 3410 32.8% 25.61 -0.542 80.91% -0.423 0.4304
E 3366 30.96% 26.08 -0.971 81.52% -0.637 0.0643
F 3223 31.07% 25.99 -0.212 80.17% -0.463 0.3187
G 2797 29.29% 26.23 -1.405 81.3% -0.571 0.2011
H 2956 31.04% 25.85 -0.048 79.97% -0.385 0.3834
East 1507 37.3% 29.64 0.016 77.31% -0.686 0.1756
Northeast 560 33.27% 30.53 0.249 72.32% -0.687 0.0595
Northwest 513 34.18% 29.69 -0.84 72.71% -0.611 0.2226
Southeast 703 42.53% 28.08 -0.989 81.37% -0.803 -0.0273
Southwest 493 31.44% 24.75 -3.39 69.57% -1.143 0.1759
West 1289 34.86% 28.2 -0.098 71.53% -0.564 0.4418

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 46 0.0% 26.87 1.093 84.78% 0.123 0.9539
Not Using Events or Tokens 49 26.53% 25.84 -5.298 69.39% -0.775 -0.334
Skip Initial Invader Actions 394 7.2% 37.79 5.636 93.4% 1.081 0.5192
Start of Game Growth 679 11.25% 35.06 2.892 91.75% 0.557 0.0178
Unlimited Undo 1369 22.6% 27.09 -1.949 82.98% -0.373 -0.3323
Using Tokens but Not Events 1795 25.61% 26.85 2.425 80.78% 0.239 0.2152

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2637 16.23 21.62%
II 6901 30.54 82.42%
III 7322 34.77 90.67%
IV 3376 38.37 99.23%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.048 Win Model: 0.961
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 14326 34.8% 25.94 79.52%
2 3752 30.58% 26.38 82.73%
3 1307 29.92% 27.3 84.93%
4 677 22.19% 26.0 75.63%
5 21 30.0% 24.57 71.43%
6 153 19.61% 30.41 74.51%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 569
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6422
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5308
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3316
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1590
Lose: Invader deck ran out 167
Lose: Adversary condition 220
Win: Sacrifice victory 92
Lose: Scenario condition 134
Win: Scenario condition 540
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1747
Lose: Spirit destroyed 131

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 680 38.14% 29.5 0.832 67.94% 0.081 -0.0222
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 407 63.39% 27.58 -1.27 64.13% 0.191 0.3514
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 30 40.0% 29.17 -1.08 70.0% -0.106 -0.9416
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 628 40.26% 32.26 3.282 74.68% 0.649 0.517
Downpour Drenches the World 207 41.46% 22.25 -4.077 52.66% -0.705 -0.3866
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 216 29.63% 25.34 0.555 61.57% 0.245 -0.2397
Eyes Watch From the Trees 909 31.46% 36.2 1.003 80.97% 0.395 -0.058
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 563 41.25% 32.39 3.919 74.96% 0.749 0.2966
Finder of Paths Unseen 107 47.66% 18.79 -4.18 42.06% -0.471 0.1954
Fractured Days Split the Sky 326 41.72% 28.87 -6.752 60.74% -1.294 -0.6165
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 519 53.47% 27.2 -3.036 62.04% -0.711 -0.6499
Heart of the Wildfire 597 71.52% 22.38 -1.381 49.25% -0.194 0.0658
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1251 42.88% 31.48 1.875 73.86% 0.467 0.0733
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 39 41.03% 29.41 4.175 69.23% 0.806 0.4109
Lightning's Swift Strike 308 58.82% 26.63 -3.382 58.44% -0.454 -0.1997
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 48 43.75% 31.02 0.058 68.75% 0.095 -0.4584
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 192 59.9% 28.0 0.169 61.98% 0.052 -0.1841
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 177 43.5% 37.15 2.273 69.49% -0.085 -0.3365
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1400 43.13% 32.74 2.186 80.43% 0.575 0.2506
Many Minds Move as One 1206 34.85% 34.33 1.463 85.16% 0.408 0.2079
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 765 53.49% 29.72 -0.343 63.4% -0.364 -0.3916
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 593 48.4% 30.34 0.197 71.84% 0.032 -0.1097
River Surges in Sunlight 490 53.17% 30.73 3.735 66.12% 0.406 0.5234
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 305 54.93% 33.89 -2.426 65.25% -0.682 -0.3444
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 114 46.49% 23.03 0.151 46.49% -0.064 -0.2126
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 502 50.6% 28.32 2.619 66.53% 0.738 0.571
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 213 61.97% 26.82 -0.568 61.5% -0.139 0.4048
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 40 57.5% 29.4 4.624 62.5% 0.019 0.105
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 72 38.89% 21.56 4.685 48.61% 0.945 0.575
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 52 50.0% 26.67 -0.252 63.46% 0.006 0.1715
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 174 58.62% 28.59 0.477 68.39% 0.05 0.0809
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 129 53.49% 31.09 0.373 68.22% 0.353 0.524
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1097 40.15% 32.91 3.053 78.49% 0.708 0.6127
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 137 31.39% 25.38 0.957 61.31% 0.355 0.1144
Shifting Memory of Ages 336 50.0% 25.65 -0.577 60.42% -0.228 0.15
Shroud of Silent Mist 347 62.82% 24.07 0.395 54.76% 0.28 0.6511
Starlight Seeks its Form 510 28.15% 32.17 -4.026 74.12% -0.705 -0.911
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 791 42.13% 25.79 0.312 60.43% 0.06 -0.6563
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 651 41.36% 30.88 -2.683 69.59% -0.51 -0.3278
Thunderspeaker 675 44.15% 33.24 0.968 66.96% 0.065 0.0792
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 50 48.0% 16.96 1.225 36.0% 0.412 0.518
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 461 75.05% 23.75 -3.057 55.75% -0.594 -0.4533
Vital Strength of the Earth 319 48.9% 25.51 -1.982 51.72% -0.318 0.2237
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 78 55.13% 21.88 -2.781 47.44% -0.406 -0.0684
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 196 43.88% 24.7 -2.362 58.67% -0.633 0.0835
Volcano Looming High 556 55.58% 25.03 -1.38 58.99% -0.159 -0.1919
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 71 45.07% 21.52 -1.069 52.11% -0.029 -0.4668

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 14 28.57% 23.07 2.989 57.14% 0.362 0.4134
Blitz 0 228 43.86% 22.27 -4.563 50.0% -0.855 -0.6538
Dahan Insurrection 4 295 27.8% 54.32 12.054 75.59% 0.277 0.0652
Despicable Theft 2 112 47.32% 22.56 -2.671 36.61% -0.651 0.1939
Elemental Invocation 1 135 57.78% 22.03 -5.834 41.48% -1.147 -0.0762
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 506 20.24% 35.42 4.213 73.72% 0.401 -0.324
Powers Long Forgotten 1 171 51.46% 24.88 -4.736 47.37% -0.726 0.18
Rituals of Terror 3 107 59.81% 33.89 -11.588 51.4% -0.479 -0.4484
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 82 73.17% 32.29 0.0 46.34%
Second Wave 0 790 53.81% 30.21 0.536 63.42% -0.314 -0.2326
The Great River 3 78 61.54% 23.38 -9.515 30.77% -1.019 0.3681
Varied Terrains 2 50 40.0% 20.26 -7.183 34.0% -1.243 -0.3414
Ward the Shores 2 193 46.11% 26.48 -5.726 47.15% -1.247 -0.1917

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8316 45.93% 28.41 0.53 66.56% 0.309 0.3395
1 Thematic 1107 51.18% 29.28 -1.135 52.66% -0.465 -0.0331
2 Archipelago 6 50.0% 41.17 0.0 83.33%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1780 49.38% 27.46 -1.194 66.97% -0.19 -0.2393
2 Coastline 263 45.8% 27.87 2.759 66.92% 0.512 0.4116
2 Fragment 59 57.63% 27.54 2.034 66.1% 0.504 0.0911
2 Heart 21 57.14% 23.38 0.0 52.38%
2 Opposite Shores 340 48.82% 28.78 0.468 70.59% -0.092 -0.2718
2 Thematic 298 54.7% 27.1 -1.962 52.68% -0.422 -0.2356
2 Top to Top 54 55.56% 32.85 2.038 85.19% 0.132 -0.0675
3 Archipelago 11 81.82% 35.18 0.0 36.36%
3 Coastline 13 61.54% 38.31 -7.402 69.23% -0.364 -1.0258
3 Other 24 62.5% 32.13 -1.15 87.5% -0.135 -0.4692
3 Round (Default) 732 36.8% 32.33 0.496 75.68% -0.103 -0.3686
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 66 63.64% 31.08 0.262 60.61% -0.317 -0.7638
4 Archipelago 9 55.56% 38.56 12.063 88.89% 1.266 0.7084
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 23.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 26.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 27 51.85% 33.78 8.216 85.19% 0.343 -0.3942
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 87 52.87% 37.71 6.949 75.86% 0.435 0.6381
4 Trapezoid (Default) 267 44.36% 33.36 -2.582 78.65% -0.805 -0.4648
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 80.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 36 22.86% 45.61 2.376 77.78% 0.017 -0.7038
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 27.67 8.601 66.67% 0.166 0.3264
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 15 40.0% 47.07 0.0 86.67%
6 Star 2 50.0% 20.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 10 60.0% 38.3 0.0 60.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 32 18.75% 54.28 -3.408 90.63% -0.589 -0.4907
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 431 24.02 -0.512 49.65% -0.29 -0.1514
Aid From Lesser Spirits 376 26.72 4.128 57.98% 0.436 0.3769
All Things Weaken 479 23.78 0.336 49.9% -0.03 0.3242
Attenuated Essence 26 26.0 5.958 61.54% 0.596 0.7065
Back Against the Wall 356 24.25 2.273 47.47% 0.184 0.2599
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 41 19.71 3.906 48.78% 0.942 1.1526
Burn Brightest Before the End 31 24.52 -6.213 41.94% -1.014 -0.8936
Disintegrating Ecosystem 431 19.44 -2.605 39.68% -0.809 -0.4398
Downward Spiral 480 23.91 1.437 53.96% 0.541 0.7378
Erosion of Will 405 24.14 2.706 54.32% 0.746 1.0131
Intensifying Exploitation 61 23.95 9.154 54.1% 1.259 1.5293
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 173 32.46 6.485 79.19% 0.616 0.1053
Memory Fades to Dust 520 24.49 0.977 56.35% 0.24 0.5512
Power Corrodes the Spirit 449 22.83 3.218 48.78% 0.403 0.6978
Promising Farmlands 406 23.25 3.597 51.23% 0.546 0.8819
Shattered Fragments of Power 42 24.24 3.373 50.0% 0.471 0.5799
Slow Dissolution of Will 37 22.0 -0.501 48.65% 0.219 0.6194
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 114 30.12 3.069 81.58% 0.649 0.0356
The Border of Life and Death 8 29.5 1.12 62.5% 0.142 -0.15
Thriving Communities 475 22.5 -0.603 47.79% -0.168 0.1649
Thriving Crops 30 26.63 4.243 63.33% 0.76 0.6731
Unnatural Proliferation 472 24.24 2.848 50.42% 0.559 0.7067
Untended Land Crumbles 511 22.06 0.072 49.12% 0.148 0.4549

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2341 45.7% 29.28 -0.732 68.18% -0.126 0.7788
B 2403 45.66% 29.85 0.259 69.95% 0.029 0.8572
C 2500 43.91% 29.94 -0.344 70.44% 0.001 0.6808
D 2294 45.57% 29.81 1.225 68.96% 0.118 0.9714
E 2206 44.59% 30.1 0.777 70.22% 0.053 0.7542
F 2102 46.71% 29.29 -0.142 69.03% -0.01 0.7711
G 1824 45.41% 29.34 0.012 68.7% -0.111 0.6606
H 1850 45.8% 29.69 -0.495 69.35% -0.168 0.6009
East 904 52.93% 30.77 -0.843 56.19% -0.342 0.5199
Northeast 370 56.37% 33.15 3.221 61.62% 0.817 1.5643
Northwest 332 51.81% 29.87 1.863 55.72% 0.242 1.0758
Southeast 324 52.47% 29.4 1.283 56.48% 0.179 0.9545
Southwest 337 57.27% 24.47 -1.96 49.26% -0.179 1.1401
West 907 52.7% 28.78 -1.647 53.58% -0.41 0.596

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 19 0.0% 31.89 4.557 57.89% 0.089 0.9197
Not Using Events or Tokens 35 34.29% 18.29 -8.085 28.57% -0.972 -0.5313
Skip Initial Invader Actions 248 12.92% 44.08 6.375 90.73% 0.814 0.2518
Start of Game Growth 383 16.27% 41.63 5.853 85.9% 0.525 -0.0139
Unlimited Undo 1031 39.61% 30.18 -2.744 71.87% -0.458 -0.4174
Using Tokens but Not Events 1110 37.03% 31.5 1.882 71.08% 0.487 0.4636

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2717 16.23 9.02%
II 4643 30.54 68.51%
III 4774 34.77 86.38%
IV 1467 38.37 99.59%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.242 Win Model: 0.291
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 9568 46.66% 28.36 64.34%
2 2740 50.09% 28.33 68.1%
3 823 39.54% 32.0 74.36%
4 381 45.79% 36.0 80.58%
5 41 17.5% 53.68 80.49%
6 48 39.58% 34.94 77.08%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 244
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4000
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2946
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1447
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1374
Lose: Invader deck ran out 83
Lose: Adversary condition 1213
Win: Sacrifice victory 60
Lose: Scenario condition 85
Win: Scenario condition 314
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1722
Lose: Spirit destroyed 113

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 759 34.48% 37.06 -0.357 76.42% -0.046 -0.1484
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 562 54.27% 34.7 -3.164 73.67% -0.519 -0.359
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 77 27.27% 37.88 5.349 80.52% 0.925 0.0891
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 712 40.85% 36.55 -0.106 78.79% 0.072 -0.0598
Downpour Drenches the World 262 36.64% 34.39 1.417 71.76% 0.17 0.4882
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 299 30.43% 33.64 2.106 72.24% 0.359 -0.126
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1024 29.52% 40.77 1.922 86.33% 0.343 -0.1105
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 545 37.25% 37.51 -3.898 80.0% -0.453 -0.9056
Finder of Paths Unseen 132 50.0% 23.66 -5.757 45.45% -1.045 -0.3782
Fractured Days Split the Sky 392 47.7% 36.13 -2.071 67.09% -0.67 0.0075
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 508 53.35% 32.95 -0.641 67.32% -0.082 -0.0204
Heart of the Wildfire 763 63.96% 32.81 -1.92 67.1% -0.114 0.1455
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1582 38.94% 37.85 1.601 80.4% 0.335 -0.0584
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 65 27.69% 35.0 -0.769 72.31% -0.422 -0.817
Lightning's Swift Strike 333 58.18% 34.05 -4.854 70.57% -0.838 -0.5842
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 86 47.67% 36.0 8.747 70.93% 0.768 0.2142
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 230 50.66% 34.87 -4.188 71.3% -0.755 -0.9912
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 177 44.07% 38.01 -4.485 72.88% -0.655 -0.9059
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1869 38.51% 40.08 2.534 86.52% 0.689 0.3648
Many Minds Move as One 1393 28.36% 39.73 1.867 87.72% 0.367 0.1669
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 959 46.86% 37.33 2.855 73.93% 0.674 0.6457
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 672 42.26% 36.65 2.818 79.61% 0.897 0.7554
River Surges in Sunlight 669 45.5% 40.63 -0.573 79.97% -0.049 0.0675
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 294 56.8% 35.81 1.136 70.75% 0.039 0.3768
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 150 37.16% 41.46 5.25 74.0% 0.391 0.2425
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 698 44.27% 35.26 0.751 76.07% 0.248 0.0803
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 262 58.02% 32.03 -11.28 66.03% -1.636 -1.0916
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 36 66.67% 24.19 5.538 41.67% 0.324 0.4094
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 72 54.17% 38.03 5.373 76.39% 0.868 0.4981
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 53 43.4% 31.58 -0.961 67.92% 0.212 0.3776
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 191 51.31% 36.32 9.27 74.87% 0.558 0.5895
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 144 62.5% 34.27 -2.386 72.92% -0.221 -0.0503
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1194 34.98% 38.59 0.635 83.5% 0.23 0.1343
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 197 30.96% 31.58 1.048 63.96% -0.043 -0.2836
Shifting Memory of Ages 409 51.83% 31.14 -3.878 65.28% -0.601 -0.2224
Shroud of Silent Mist 433 58.2% 33.09 1.997 69.75% 0.674 1.0453
Starlight Seeks its Form 512 39.65% 36.15 0.124 75.78% 0.231 0.0244
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 976 35.79% 33.31 1.432 72.95% 0.715 -0.0015
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 811 34.2% 38.03 1.076 80.64% 0.272 0.4534
Thunderspeaker 611 43.61% 39.1 0.502 76.6% -0.362 -0.3482
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 59 35.59% 20.98 -0.79 42.37% 0.284 0.3898
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 603 67.66% 32.09 -0.258 70.32% -0.106 0.0344
Vital Strength of the Earth 323 43.65% 32.27 -3.632 68.73% -0.818 -0.2755
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 72 34.72% 29.81 -2.555 62.5% -0.401 -0.0626
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 216 47.69% 29.94 -4.34 65.28% -0.77 -0.0533
Volcano Looming High 668 52.47% 31.78 -1.683 67.96% -0.225 -0.258
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 93 36.56% 34.33 3.066 75.27% 0.797 0.3596

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 10 10.0% 19.6 0.0 50.0%
Blitz 0 315 38.41% 31.45 -5.954 58.1% -0.873 -0.6724
Dahan Insurrection 4 248 22.18% 62.18 11.809 81.45% 0.377 0.1654
Despicable Theft 2 69 60.87% 36.26 2.862 55.07% 0.092 0.9362
Elemental Invocation 1 155 47.1% 27.04 -1.336 51.61% -0.45 0.6205
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 699 24.75% 41.04 2.997 78.68% 0.166 -0.5588
Powers Long Forgotten 1 149 53.02% 29.56 -13.014 52.35% -2.084 -1.1781
Rituals of Terror 3 82 57.32% 32.89 -10.935 42.68% -0.955 -0.9249
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 58 56.9% 26.52 -14.536 34.48% -1.251 -0.0627
Second Wave 0 473 48.2% 36.53 -0.155 71.67% -0.439 -0.3581
The Great River 3 83 49.4% 30.0 -10.973 40.96% -0.659 0.7284
Varied Terrains 2 37 64.86% 24.89 -3.729 37.84% -0.351 0.5502
Ward the Shores 2 122 52.46% 37.11 -1.636 60.66% 0.032 1.0871

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 9709 44.62% 34.56 0.05 73.5% 0.283 0.3138
1 Thematic 880 49.2% 32.08 -4.643 54.66% -0.819 -0.3867
2 Archipelago 18 38.89% 35.94 -16.399 61.11% -0.632 -0.1393
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2217 45.47% 35.18 -1.64 78.35% -0.212 -0.2608
2 Coastline 217 44.44% 37.44 2.496 82.95% 0.236 0.1357
2 Fragment 47 53.19% 36.19 4.825 78.72% 0.323 -0.0901
2 Heart 32 53.13% 35.19 0.0 75.0%
2 Opposite Shores 388 42.89% 35.64 2.797 77.84% 0.725 0.5455
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 400 40.25% 38.23 1.032 73.25% -0.055 0.132
2 Top to Top 54 40.74% 38.63 11.417 85.19% 0.519 0.3195
3 Archipelago 7 85.71% 32.71 -8.534 28.57% -0.536 -1.6572
3 Coastline 16 68.75% 45.38 27.002 93.75% 0.317 -0.3449
3 Other 34 52.94% 34.53 0.0 73.53%
3 Round (Default) 843 41.16% 38.34 2.1 82.8% 0.16 -0.1062
3 Sunrise 4 0.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 76 40.79% 39.76 2.949 75.0% 0.22 -0.2263
4 Archipelago 13 53.85% 36.15 0.0 38.46%
4 Coastline 8 62.5% 55.25 0.0 62.5%
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 43.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 13 53.85% 40.08 0.0 92.31%
4 Thematic 163 20.86% 55.88 4.376 89.57% -0.126 0.0776
4 Trapezoid (Default) 388 29.46% 39.5 2.078 88.14% -0.239 0.1008
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -5.188 0.0% -0.155 -0.6833
5 Other 47 55.56% 34.47 -0.074 70.21% 0.119 -0.602
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 37.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 5 0.0% 40.8 0.0 80.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 58.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 5 40.0% 56.0 0.0 80.0%
6 Star 3 33.33% 43.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Thematic 25 36.0% 40.04 -1.29 68.0% -0.24 -0.2145
6 Two Centers (Default) 34 38.24% 32.47 1.157 64.71% -0.346 -0.2476
7 Other 2 0.0% 48.0 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 497 30.95 2.629 62.78% 0.325 0.4641
Aid From Lesser Spirits 388 31.24 -0.734 61.86% -0.289 -0.3482
All Things Weaken 538 29.77 1.159 58.92% 0.441 0.7956
Attenuated Essence 51 25.92 -0.805 50.98% -0.269 -0.158
Back Against the Wall 416 31.59 0.944 62.5% 0.248 0.3239
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 36 25.61 -3.346 50.0% -0.633 -0.422
Burn Brightest Before the End 31 34.13 1.528 64.52% 0.038 0.1585
Disintegrating Ecosystem 433 27.16 -0.406 52.66% -0.156 0.2126
Downward Spiral 502 31.31 -1.352 66.93% -0.225 -0.0284
Erosion of Will 475 29.7 -0.83 59.58% -0.202 0.0648
Intensifying Exploitation 50 28.52 -1.239 60.0% -0.148 0.1222
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 215 36.75 5.412 83.26% 1.034 0.5234
Memory Fades to Dust 472 30.54 1.59 64.62% -0.037 0.275
Power Corrodes the Spirit 480 29.56 -0.983 61.04% -0.404 -0.1095
Promising Farmlands 467 29.09 0.467 60.81% -0.091 0.2451
Shattered Fragments of Power 38 24.79 -0.514 52.63% -0.343 -0.2344
Slow Dissolution of Will 38 30.29 3.67 60.53% 0.883 1.2835
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 156 37.03 -1.12 86.54% -0.173 -0.7863
The Border of Life and Death 19 34.58 3.314 73.68% 0.27 -0.0219
Thriving Communities 539 29.79 -1.695 62.89% -0.318 0.015
Thriving Crops 24 29.29 -4.817 62.5% -0.374 -0.4607
Unnatural Proliferation 530 30.77 -1.533 61.7% -0.477 -0.3293
Untended Land Crumbles 510 29.74 -1.872 62.55% -0.318 -0.011

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2660 44.54% 35.19 -0.131 75.75% -0.327 0.5782
B 2786 44.84% 36.09 1.498 78.79% 0.198 1.0263
C 2927 41.68% 36.07 0.986 77.25% -0.161 0.5186
D 2675 44.38% 35.13 0.337 74.58% -0.205 0.6486
E 2686 43.01% 36.05 -0.333 76.99% -0.413 0.288
F 2506 43.53% 35.8 0.954 77.85% -0.033 0.7482
G 2115 44.2% 35.3 0.016 76.26% -0.097 0.6746
H 2302 40.35% 36.39 0.552 78.89% -0.167 0.6011
East 989 38.52% 40.66 3.591 70.98% 0.22 1.0813
Northeast 476 38.45% 44.56 -0.003 77.1% -0.194 0.5532
Northwest 439 38.5% 40.33 -4.528 68.79% -0.891 -0.0578
Southeast 343 35.86% 38.4 -1.084 69.68% -0.771 0.0047
Southwest 332 43.07% 32.63 -2.445 61.75% -0.451 0.8687
West 962 43.24% 36.35 0.93 63.31% -0.123 0.8829

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 8 0.0% 68.13 0.0 100.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 12 41.67% 19.67 -3.204 41.67% 0.002 0.4435
Skip Initial Invader Actions 244 9.62% 50.61 0.916 86.07% -0.413 -0.9749
Start of Game Growth 392 15.8% 47.68 6.452 85.97% 0.613 0.074
Unlimited Undo 1269 33.84% 34.58 0.055 70.45% 0.093 0.134
Using Tokens but Not Events 1026 40.57% 33.41 -0.717 72.61% -0.117 -0.1399

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2080 16.23 0.24%
II 3594 30.54 65.78%
III 6708 34.77 89.62%
IV 3283 38.37 99.7%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.818 Win Model: 0.609
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 10703 45.03% 34.29 71.71%
2 3314 44.84% 36.03 78.64%
3 955 40.94% 38.67 82.3%
4 586 28.77% 44.05 87.71%
5 35 55.88% 32.34 65.71%
6 72 32.39% 38.51 69.44%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 5
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5850
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2188
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3254
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1227
Lose: Invader deck ran out 38
Lose: Adversary condition 1064
Win: Sacrifice victory 82
Lose: Scenario condition 96
Win: Scenario condition 275
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1473
Lose: Spirit destroyed 113

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 805 51.81% 34.38 -3.567 55.65% -0.33 -0.4329
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 543 73.7% 34.84 -4.094 53.78% -0.704 -0.5438
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 81 51.85% 40.17 6.77 67.9% 0.956 0.1203
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 729 60.3% 37.64 0.049 60.36% -0.13 -0.2618
Downpour Drenches the World 263 58.4% 29.64 -1.228 46.77% -0.038 0.28
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 401 53.62% 32.67 2.504 55.86% 0.582 0.0975
Eyes Watch From the Trees 966 49.79% 42.38 5.139 70.29% 0.766 0.3128
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 412 63.26% 36.4 -0.08 56.07% -0.02 -0.4719
Finder of Paths Unseen 95 50.53% 24.23 -0.478 33.68% -0.034 0.6325
Fractured Days Split the Sky 400 65.75% 34.65 2.117 48.5% 0.086 0.764
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 511 61.45% 33.8 -2.157 52.84% -0.3 -0.239
Heart of the Wildfire 798 78.54% 29.69 -2.253 43.73% -0.117 0.1429
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2135 53.94% 39.13 1.619 64.4% 0.368 -0.0256
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 83 46.99% 31.33 -0.39 50.6% 0.058 -0.3373
Lightning's Swift Strike 324 75.47% 35.53 3.257 50.62% 0.205 0.459
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 133 66.67% 38.8 4.126 66.92% 0.794 0.2402
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 233 66.09% 40.16 -0.393 67.38% 0.382 0.1465
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 176 60.8% 36.97 -5.234 55.11% -1.052 -1.3031
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2869 49.07% 44.17 2.665 77.1% 0.59 0.2661
Many Minds Move as One 1475 49.9% 43.68 4.422 75.73% 1.047 0.8471
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 939 64.84% 34.55 -0.014 51.97% 0.058 0.03
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 616 63.58% 37.82 3.666 60.55% 0.714 0.5721
River Surges in Sunlight 689 72.98% 37.08 -3.632 52.54% -0.694 -0.5773
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 260 76.54% 29.05 -3.822 36.54% -0.373 -0.0357
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 144 55.56% 35.07 -5.237 52.08% -0.799 -0.947
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 682 65.69% 35.37 -3.643 55.13% -0.516 -0.6839
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 210 83.33% 32.55 4.462 44.76% 0.462 1.0063
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 50 54.0% 31.28 -6.005 52.0% -0.334 -0.2485
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 121 55.37% 35.23 2.511 57.85% 0.432 0.0623
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 54 66.67% 35.83 -2.069 61.11% -0.123 0.0425
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 198 70.71% 35.97 3.995 55.56% 0.622 0.6528
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 182 79.67% 34.71 -6.403 52.75% -1.049 -0.8783
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1387 48.41% 42.34 -1.41 71.67% -0.058 -0.1537
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 161 50.31% 33.35 2.941 57.76% 0.422 0.1815
Shifting Memory of Ages 371 65.5% 32.19 -6.59 50.94% -0.81 -0.4317
Shroud of Silent Mist 452 70.6% 33.37 -2.462 53.1% -0.169 0.202
Starlight Seeks its Form 784 56.25% 35.17 1.865 56.76% 0.46 0.2534
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1240 52.71% 33.86 -0.576 54.11% -0.007 -0.7235
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 891 57.22% 39.71 2.301 67.12% 0.807 0.9889
Thunderspeaker 600 66.56% 35.92 -1.001 52.17% -0.153 -0.1393
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 47 51.06% 21.96 -6.317 29.79% -0.804 -0.6987
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 721 83.36% 31.43 -1.124 47.57% -0.193 -0.0526
Vital Strength of the Earth 296 67.46% 30.62 -4.85 42.91% -0.938 -0.396
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 91 64.84% 26.38 -0.213 36.26% 0.187 0.5248
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 240 64.17% 28.8 -6.383 43.75% -0.665 0.0518
Volcano Looming High 754 68.92% 34.61 2.251 56.76% 0.606 0.5735
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 143 56.64% 29.01 -0.583 46.85% -0.168 -0.6052

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 0.0% 31.57 2.79 57.14% 0.208 0.2594
Blitz 0 184 51.09% 33.64 2.127 35.87% -0.532 -0.3317
Dahan Insurrection 4 131 47.33% 55.24 9.53 58.78% 0.384 0.1726
Despicable Theft 2 25 60.0% 34.88 -15.012 44.0% -0.436 0.4082
Elemental Invocation 1 89 68.54% 30.43 -11.281 42.7% -0.98 0.0915
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 856 34.81% 46.54 0.682 74.88% -0.204 -0.9283
Powers Long Forgotten 1 86 51.16% 31.01 -3.606 38.37% -0.564 0.3415
Rituals of Terror 3 49 67.35% 32.45 -14.957 26.53% -0.454 -0.4237
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 33 48.48% 22.76 -10.303 21.21% -1.169 0.0194
Second Wave 0 326 66.26% 35.43 2.487 49.39% -0.141 -0.0604
The Great River 3 43 62.79% 41.42 -7.213 48.84% -0.514 0.8739
Varied Terrains 2 17 35.29% 16.18 -10.442 23.53% -0.923 -0.0216
Ward the Shores 2 66 63.64% 32.08 -13.914 36.36% -1.337 -0.2813

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11796 58.72% 36.27 0.269 57.93% 0.351 0.3819
1 Thematic 672 65.48% 34.0 -1.257 42.86% 0.131 0.5631
2 Archipelago 11 72.73% 37.82 0.0 45.45%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2558 62.65% 36.84 1.152 61.69% 0.311 0.2623
2 Coastline 286 58.74% 40.86 -0.447 67.48% -0.41 -0.5107
2 Fragment 69 63.77% 37.36 2.111 57.97% -0.11 -0.5226
2 Heart 28 67.86% 40.29 6.1 71.43% 0.65 0.5601
2 Opposite Shores 499 63.65% 35.92 -6.314 57.52% -1.007 -1.1862
2 Thematic 194 67.01% 35.38 2.031 46.91% 0.453 0.6393
2 Top to Top 78 58.97% 42.54 9.745 71.79% 0.552 0.3524
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 48.83 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 7 57.14% 44.86 3.709 57.14% -0.364 -1.0253
3 Other 62 50.0% 25.81 -7.845 41.94% -1.209 -1.5427
3 Round (Default) 1062 59.51% 38.88 3.035 64.78% 0.61 0.3444
3 Sunrise 48 12.5% 8.46 -11.973 12.5% -1.994 -1.4831
3 Thematic 44 63.64% 42.41 -7.142 61.36% -0.342 -0.7883
4 Archipelago 3 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 4 25.0% 44.25 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 5 40.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 21 57.14% 48.62 6.708 90.48% 0.103 -0.6347
4 Thematic 57 59.65% 43.56 0.0 57.89%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 341 60.9% 41.74 5.87 71.26% 0.504 0.8446
5 Other 33 55.56% 41.21 7.564 57.58% 1.361 0.6396
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 6.33 -8.226 0.0% -0.135 0.025
6 Archipelago 2 100.0% 55.5 15.691 100.0% 0.567 -0.1484
6 Other 11 0.0% 63.09 14.099 100.0% 0.485 0.925
6 Star 5 60.0% 48.0 -11.664 60.0% -0.387 -0.0894
6 Thematic 6 50.0% 47.17 0.0 66.67%
6 Two Centers (Default) 33 51.52% 38.42 -0.61 63.64% -0.626 -0.5277
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 720 32.95 2.374 48.89% 0.228 0.367
Aid From Lesser Spirits 646 33.84 -0.59 46.44% -0.542 -0.6007
All Things Weaken 779 30.37 -1.675 43.26% -0.316 0.0385
Attenuated Essence 101 27.55 -0.455 40.59% -0.529 -0.4177
Back Against the Wall 569 32.22 1.432 44.29% -0.202 -0.1255
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 73 31.79 4.102 46.58% 0.061 0.272
Burn Brightest Before the End 66 29.85 1.605 45.45% -0.167 -0.0464
Disintegrating Ecosystem 753 27.46 -0.909 36.92% -0.381 -0.0118
Downward Spiral 821 31.21 0.818 47.26% 0.101 0.2972
Erosion of Will 764 30.74 0.392 43.32% -0.157 0.1101
Intensifying Exploitation 97 24.81 0.02 40.21% 0.047 0.3176
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 241 39.07 1.782 69.29% 0.475 -0.036
Memory Fades to Dust 770 30.99 0.68 45.97% -0.084 0.2273
Power Corrodes the Spirit 745 29.79 -3.619 43.22% -0.78 -0.4856
Promising Farmlands 685 29.5 -0.386 41.75% -0.154 0.1821
Shattered Fragments of Power 77 27.52 2.715 32.47% -0.225 -0.1163
Slow Dissolution of Will 96 26.46 1.582 37.5% 0.054 0.4539
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 174 42.72 1.52 77.01% 0.045 -0.5686
The Border of Life and Death 28 30.07 1.074 50.0% 0.203 -0.089
Thriving Communities 841 32.18 2.901 50.77% 0.153 0.4859
Thriving Crops 41 25.71 4.218 39.02% 0.233 0.1467
Unnatural Proliferation 825 31.03 1.487 43.03% -0.053 0.0948
Untended Land Crumbles 785 30.78 2.177 45.61% 0.297 0.6041

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3247 60.02% 36.78 1.714 59.99% 0.377 1.2819
B 3281 59.9% 37.16 0.724 61.05% 0.151 0.9797
C 3579 57.47% 37.59 -1.662 61.39% -0.172 0.5085
D 3106 59.11% 36.34 0.063 59.05% 0.285 1.1379
E 3353 57.88% 37.67 0.03 61.8% 0.197 0.8981
F 2874 61.82% 36.98 0.496 60.4% 0.301 1.0823
G 2440 60.44% 36.87 -0.113 59.92% 0.054 0.8259
H 2580 59.59% 37.96 1.102 61.51% 0.205 0.9736
East 603 63.68% 36.26 -9.76 45.94% -1.106 -0.2445
Northeast 252 62.3% 36.5 0.597 46.03% 0.136 0.8829
Northwest 220 58.64% 35.4 -3.23 46.82% -0.206 0.627
Southeast 221 64.71% 36.86 -6.183 48.42% -0.428 0.3481
Southwest 164 66.46% 38.02 7.978 55.49% 1.151 2.4707
West 531 64.78% 35.65 -0.764 47.27% -0.213 0.7931

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 20 0.0% 64.75 0.0 85.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 5 100.0% 20.8 0.0 20.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 295 14.89% 60.9 11.866 89.15% 1.387 0.8244
Start of Game Growth 405 20.92% 56.76 4.934 86.91% -0.28 -0.8186
Unlimited Undo 1336 48.52% 42.01 2.123 69.01% 0.305 0.3462
Using Tokens but Not Events 844 60.32% 33.72 -3.54 53.79% -0.681 -0.7045

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3254 16.23 0.28%
II 6359 30.54 46.77%
III 5312 34.77 85.17%
IV 3026 38.37 99.5%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.287 Win Model: 0.025
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12541 59.01% 36.11 57.02%
2 3678 63.19% 37.32 61.47%
3 1219 56.69% 37.14 61.44%
4 422 59.38% 42.53 70.62%
5 33 51.85% 39.3 54.55%
6 58 43.86% 44.76 70.69%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 9
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4456
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2893
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2988
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1563
Lose: Invader deck ran out 4
Lose: Adversary condition 2142
Win: Sacrifice victory 71
Lose: Scenario condition 107
Win: Scenario condition 101
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3431
Lose: Spirit destroyed 186

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 487 58.8% 40.83 -0.324 59.96% 0.13 0.027
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 324 74.53% 36.2 -5.477 49.69% -0.364 -0.2041
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 72 37.5% 41.88 4.594 63.89% 0.565 -0.2706
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 457 66.01% 41.7 -5.779 62.58% -0.37 -0.5011
Downpour Drenches the World 190 57.14% 32.09 -5.058 47.37% -0.678 -0.3594
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 292 42.12% 36.37 3.743 55.48% 0.641 0.1558
Eyes Watch From the Trees 705 52.7% 44.54 -0.598 66.52% 0.174 -0.2787
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 296 56.76% 43.3 0.464 60.47% 0.201 -0.2515
Finder of Paths Unseen 86 48.84% 27.57 0.252 34.88% -0.084 0.5828
Fractured Days Split the Sky 351 60.0% 38.68 -4.452 48.72% -0.481 0.1969
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 346 57.8% 41.27 3.671 60.12% 0.643 0.7043
Heart of the Wildfire 506 73.47% 36.01 -6.828 51.98% -0.832 -0.5723
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1874 47.92% 45.65 -1.312 73.21% -0.053 -0.4467
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 79 43.04% 35.43 -0.321 51.9% -0.135 -0.5305
Lightning's Swift Strike 195 74.21% 38.47 0.797 50.77% 0.226 0.4802
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 155 58.06% 50.27 4.257 67.74% 0.714 0.1601
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 169 58.33% 43.64 0.251 64.5% 0.09 -0.1454
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 152 52.63% 40.09 -0.732 58.55% -0.119 -0.3703
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2635 44.28% 49.69 3.351 79.17% 0.627 0.3029
Many Minds Move as One 1094 48.99% 49.34 0.575 78.06% 0.301 0.1007
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 642 66.77% 37.76 0.86 52.34% -0.073 -0.1007
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 479 68.28% 39.0 -6.56 56.16% -0.874 -1.0156
River Surges in Sunlight 519 68.16% 40.75 -3.394 55.11% -0.538 -0.4215
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 190 66.32% 36.08 0.732 43.68% 0.049 0.3867
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 141 54.61% 39.32 3.232 51.06% 0.416 0.2684
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 541 61.18% 39.01 0.764 54.53% 0.117 -0.0501
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 134 75.94% 36.29 4.174 45.52% 0.35 0.8942
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 30 66.67% 42.07 -6.109 60.0% -0.431 -0.3456
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 103 52.43% 43.48 1.695 67.96% 0.151 -0.2182
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 41 58.54% 34.41 0.0 41.46%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 146 71.23% 37.21 -11.275 50.0% -1.216 -1.1845
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 124 76.61% 37.4 -5.638 49.19% -0.97 -0.7993
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1429 41.15% 51.59 6.88 80.41% 1.219 1.1237
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 148 39.86% 33.27 -0.641 50.68% -0.104 -0.3449
Shifting Memory of Ages 296 68.58% 38.36 -0.261 55.74% 0.111 0.4893
Shroud of Silent Mist 286 73.74% 37.02 -2.483 50.7% -0.349 0.0222
Starlight Seeks its Form 573 57.42% 39.67 3.657 60.03% 0.736 0.5298
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 873 54.76% 39.68 -1.632 58.19% -0.078 -0.7943
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 774 59.51% 42.76 0.789 65.12% 0.251 0.4332
Thunderspeaker 378 68.44% 39.44 -2.438 54.76% -0.295 -0.2809
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 52 59.62% 28.37 -5.925 34.62% -0.488 -0.3824
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 636 82.39% 38.47 -1.063 58.18% 0.204 0.3441
Vital Strength of the Earth 201 77.89% 31.54 -7.585 36.32% -0.664 -0.1214
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 67 62.69% 34.61 7.575 47.76% 0.65 0.9881
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 137 71.53% 34.32 9.976 47.45% 0.943 1.6595
Volcano Looming High 631 66.51% 36.9 -1.445 53.57% -0.27 -0.3027
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 118 55.93% 32.42 0.307 50.0% 0.114 -0.323

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 80.0% 22.8 11.567 20.0% 0.35 0.4012
Blitz 0 89 67.42% 25.1 0.0 24.72%
Dahan Insurrection 4 77 40.26% 62.95 6.419 61.04% 0.156 -0.0549
Despicable Theft 2 36 58.33% 31.94 -3.603 36.11% -0.466 0.3783
Elemental Invocation 1 46 50.0% 35.87 -11.5 52.17% -0.782 0.2887
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 681 26.73% 52.19 17.478 74.6% 1.525 0.8007
Powers Long Forgotten 1 36 58.33% 24.61 -15.779 22.22% -0.359 0.5468
Rituals of Terror 3 49 57.14% 28.71 -5.393 28.57% -0.389 -0.359
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 20 65.0% 30.5 -14.761 25.0% -0.356 0.8327
Second Wave 0 180 58.1% 44.83 1.099 60.0% -0.104 -0.0226
The Great River 3 31 48.39% 22.48 -15.52 16.13% -1.254 0.1333
Varied Terrains 2 17 29.41% 15.65 -14.681 17.65% -0.578 0.3231
Ward the Shores 2 33 63.64% 25.06 -17.406 24.24% -0.781 0.2738

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 9272 56.51% 41.69 -0.515 62.03% 0.022 0.0525
1 Thematic 365 55.62% 35.23 -4.299 43.01% -0.509 -0.0765
2 Archipelago 4 25.0% 71.5 10.169 100.0% 0.651 1.1437
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1881 63.48% 41.19 0.56 61.99% 0.191 0.1423
2 Coastline 236 63.56% 42.13 0.632 64.41% 0.133 0.0325
2 Fragment 31 70.97% 45.32 9.765 70.97% 0.209 -0.2041
2 Heart 22 72.73% 44.05 0.0 59.09%
2 Opposite Shores 469 48.19% 46.95 6.464 75.91% 1.056 0.8762
2 Thematic 103 76.7% 42.69 -8.339 53.4% -0.69 -0.5034
2 Top to Top 118 40.68% 45.24 3.644 72.88% 0.206 0.0069
3 Archipelago 7 85.71% 42.86 -1.192 57.14% -0.187 -1.3075
3 Coastline 13 38.46% 58.92 0.0 92.31%
3 Other 18 50.0% 43.83 -0.757 72.22% 0.388 0.054
3 Round (Default) 826 58.18% 42.38 1.84 66.1% 0.514 0.2482
3 Sunrise 6 66.67% 31.67 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 40 62.5% 32.0 6.441 35.0% 0.562 0.1151
4 Coastline 9 22.22% 52.67 0.0 77.78%
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 17.4 -10.966 0.0% -1.229 -0.3833
4 Other 12 75.0% 52.67 -5.617 91.67% -0.101 -0.8382
4 Thematic 74 48.65% 54.03 -3.783 74.32% -0.526 -0.323
4 Trapezoid (Default) 260 57.83% 46.67 5.667 71.15% 0.964 1.3039
5 Other 28 65.38% 37.93 -3.465 53.57% -0.682 -1.4031
5 Thematic 10 10.0% 33.9 0.0 30.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 3 0.0% 55.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Star 6 50.0% 41.67 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 30 3.33% 63.23 6.72 70.0% 0.151 0.1761
6 Two Centers (Default) 42 28.57% 44.88 -3.103 66.67% -0.434 -0.336

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 588 35.5 1.222 46.6% -0.042 0.0969
Aid From Lesser Spirits 448 37.75 1.0 50.45% -0.171 -0.2298
All Things Weaken 584 35.6 -0.257 47.77% -0.423 -0.0683
Attenuated Essence 68 29.76 -3.611 36.76% -0.851 -0.7402
Back Against the Wall 451 36.59 -2.083 47.67% -0.604 -0.5278
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 67 26.73 -0.796 32.84% -0.589 -0.3781
Burn Brightest Before the End 42 39.07 3.719 50.0% -0.024 0.097
Disintegrating Ecosystem 533 30.05 -4.322 36.4% -0.955 -0.5862
Downward Spiral 564 35.1 0.876 50.89% -0.01 0.1867
Erosion of Will 556 35.3 -2.046 47.3% -0.712 -0.4446
Intensifying Exploitation 60 28.73 -2.293 40.0% -0.396 -0.1257
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 175 49.24 6.57 82.29% 0.772 0.2608
Memory Fades to Dust 614 34.44 -3.724 46.25% -0.712 -0.4
Power Corrodes the Spirit 619 35.51 -1.05 49.92% -0.507 -0.2121
Promising Farmlands 517 33.09 0.929 45.26% -0.004 0.3322
Shattered Fragments of Power 44 31.86 -4.447 40.91% -0.677 -0.5684
Slow Dissolution of Will 75 34.6 0.108 49.33% -0.486 -0.0861
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 106 48.04 0.348 80.19% -0.078 -0.6909
The Border of Life and Death 13 28.15 -18.722 46.15% -0.767 -1.0594
Thriving Communities 592 36.13 -1.44 51.86% -0.489 -0.1559
Thriving Crops 27 35.0 -0.434 59.26% 0.064 -0.0224
Unnatural Proliferation 617 35.73 -4.012 46.52% -1.013 -0.8656
Untended Land Crumbles 578 34.49 1.329 45.85% -0.22 0.0871

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2287 59.36% 42.37 0.292 63.88% -0.164 0.7406
B 2728 55.13% 43.51 1.3 66.86% 0.021 0.8493
C 2798 56.44% 42.61 -1.031 64.33% -0.343 0.3375
D 2361 56.77% 41.15 -0.276 61.75% -0.151 0.7023
E 2676 55.03% 43.9 1.838 66.85% 0.049 0.7506
F 2233 60.31% 40.9 -1.116 61.22% -0.32 0.4608
G 1914 61.1% 41.27 1.798 61.96% 0.089 0.8605
H 2066 56.96% 42.42 -0.496 63.94% -0.297 0.4713
East 390 54.62% 42.99 -4.211 51.28% -1.048 -0.186
Northeast 207 54.59% 44.23 -5.307 51.69% -1.05 -0.3029
Northwest 198 49.49% 43.37 0.625 52.02% -0.006 0.8273
Southeast 159 44.65% 47.52 4.235 59.75% 0.191 0.967
Southwest 160 45.63% 42.89 3.949 55.0% 0.556 1.8753
West 387 52.45% 40.27 1.054 50.13% -0.049 0.9571

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 17 0.0% 73.71 0.0 94.12%
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 33.33% 19.0 0.0 0.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 193 17.42% 60.41 4.238 87.56% 0.23 -0.3317
Start of Game Growth 445 26.98% 57.55 3.319 85.17% 0.297 -0.2418
Unlimited Undo 1322 55.25% 46.07 0.193 71.1% 0.106 0.1468
Using Tokens but Not Events 552 49.53% 44.38 2.703 67.93% 0.395 0.3717

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1953 16.23 0.36%
II 5144 30.54 51.28%
III 4939 34.77 84.79%
IV 1861 38.37 99.73%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.657 Win Model: 0.161
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 9680 56.49% 41.41 61.25%
2 2840 60.6% 42.66 65.04%
3 906 58.34% 42.13 65.12%
4 361 54.73% 48.42 71.19%
5 28 55.56% 30.86 42.86%
6 82 19.51% 51.2 65.85%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 7
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4140
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2582
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1845
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1132
Lose: Invader deck ran out 6
Lose: Adversary condition 1214
Win: Sacrifice victory 60
Lose: Scenario condition 67
Win: Scenario condition 55
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2630
Lose: Spirit destroyed 159

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 317 74.37% 39.13 1.669 37.85% 0.355 0.2524
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 185 81.62% 29.22 -3.843 16.76% -1.09 -0.9299
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 52 63.46% 31.96 -2.162 30.77% -0.202 -1.0376
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 248 75.81% 34.02 -10.606 29.44% -0.866 -0.998
Downpour Drenches the World 128 58.59% 31.52 -4.739 31.25% -0.504 -0.1858
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 247 66.4% 34.24 6.575 36.84% 1.129 0.6439
Eyes Watch From the Trees 507 66.8% 43.49 -6.419 44.97% -1.202 -1.6553
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 143 83.8% 30.28 -12.964 18.88% -0.869 -1.3207
Finder of Paths Unseen 88 64.77% 29.9 -1.249 26.14% 0.19 0.8561
Fractured Days Split the Sky 179 63.48% 43.33 -3.148 40.22% -0.19 0.488
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 180 80.56% 35.69 -2.303 28.89% -0.241 -0.179
Heart of the Wildfire 320 85.0% 34.37 2.401 29.06% 0.381 0.6407
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1390 54.86% 45.97 6.622 56.12% 1.437 1.0433
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 34 64.71% 37.26 4.092 41.18% 0.783 0.3874
Lightning's Swift Strike 118 85.59% 35.96 -0.304 28.81% -0.166 0.0883
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 67 70.15% 40.03 6.965 43.28% 0.942 0.388
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 116 75.0% 39.32 -5.396 40.52% -0.218 -0.4538
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 57 61.4% 37.53 4.696 38.6% 0.657 0.4062
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2009 56.18% 46.97 3.299 58.29% 0.698 0.3737
Many Minds Move as One 664 74.85% 41.8 -5.122 44.43% -0.325 -0.5249
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 332 78.01% 34.72 -9.118 28.92% -1.09 -1.1181
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 245 83.27% 33.87 -5.259 26.94% -0.876 -1.0178
River Surges in Sunlight 284 79.15% 41.45 0.558 38.03% 0.064 0.1809
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 85 83.53% 31.04 -4.951 20.0% -0.446 -0.1086
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 127 74.02% 39.42 -3.19 40.94% -0.466 -0.6137
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 300 75.67% 36.65 0.172 30.67% 0.11 -0.0575
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 73 90.41% 27.33 0.0 10.96%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 11 72.73% 44.36 0.0 54.55%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 91 51.65% 43.26 6.097 52.75% 0.766 0.3968
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 18 61.11% 33.94 0.0 27.78%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 73 89.04% 33.12 0.0 20.55%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 68 92.65% 31.85 -2.53 20.59% -0.045 0.1254
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 714 69.57% 46.52 -0.129 51.82% 0.119 0.0234
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 80 58.75% 22.55 0.689 25.0% 0.781 0.5401
Shifting Memory of Ages 103 78.64% 38.76 7.032 35.92% 0.57 0.9481
Shroud of Silent Mist 157 89.17% 27.17 -3.827 15.29% -0.182 0.1891
Starlight Seeks its Form 427 73.77% 38.37 6.071 37.94% 1.06 0.8534
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 552 69.2% 35.7 0.783 35.87% 0.264 -0.4529
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 508 72.64% 44.04 1.803 47.24% 0.673 0.8553
Thunderspeaker 233 81.39% 35.37 -2.654 25.32% -0.058 -0.0435
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 18 44.44% 10.5 -8.21 0.0% -0.587 -0.481
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 412 90.78% 35.27 -3.804 31.8% -0.256 -0.1157
Vital Strength of the Earth 91 78.89% 34.81 0.934 29.67% 0.176 0.7185
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 42 69.05% 32.79 -1.89 26.19% -0.106 0.2319
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 102 88.24% 30.25 -3.29 16.67% -0.693 0.0232
Volcano Looming High 261 72.8% 37.26 -7.454 37.93% -0.605 -0.6378
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 49 63.27% 29.94 -2.396 28.57% 0.039 -0.3981

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 25.0% 7.75 -11.443 0.0% -0.102 -0.0502
Blitz 0 33 63.64% 28.36 -8.394 21.21% -0.722 -0.521
Dahan Insurrection 4 74 55.41% 51.43 -3.201 29.73% -0.302 -0.5132
Despicable Theft 2 16 56.25% 36.94 -6.315 31.25% -0.25 0.5947
Elemental Invocation 1 41 70.73% 20.32 -12.878 7.32% -0.474 0.5974
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 532 32.71% 55.49 6.254 64.47% 0.511 -0.2139
Powers Long Forgotten 1 30 83.33% 22.0 -2.033 3.33% -0.281 0.6246
Rituals of Terror 3 15 93.33% 34.07 0.0 13.33%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 3 66.67% 66.0 0.0 66.67%
Second Wave 0 109 77.06% 38.59 -1.661 31.19% 0.117 0.1981
The Great River 3 6 66.67% 30.83 0.0 16.67%
Varied Terrains 2 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 18 83.33% 35.06 -9.42 22.22% -0.083 0.9718

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6300 65.19% 42.06 1.427 46.25% 0.41 0.4412
1 Thematic 330 69.39% 37.37 -4.627 28.79% -0.595 -0.1629
2 Archipelago 14 57.14% 53.0 -1.891 28.57% -0.145 0.3482
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1146 81.15% 37.37 -0.613 34.47% 0.246 0.1973
2 Coastline 132 64.39% 47.63 0.0 55.3%
2 Fragment 33 96.97% 34.03 -5.536 24.24% -0.284 -0.6964
2 Heart 19 78.95% 39.32 0.0 47.37%
2 Opposite Shores 207 58.94% 34.36 -2.24 36.23% -0.19 -0.3699
2 Thematic 51 68.63% 34.37 -8.772 17.65% -0.34 -0.1529
2 Top to Top 98 42.86% 29.45 8.152 34.69% 0.947 0.7476
3 Archipelago 5 40.0% 22.8 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 57.75 0.0 62.5%
3 Other 18 88.89% 46.94 0.0 38.89%
3 Round (Default) 461 75.7% 40.0 -2.166 42.52% -0.393 -0.6591
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 23.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 12 83.33% 39.17 0.0 33.33%
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 28.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 74.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 6 66.67% 38.5 -5.046 33.33% -0.559 -1.296
4 Thematic 30 76.67% 40.17 29.575 33.33% 0.482 0.685
4 Trapezoid (Default) 159 81.53% 39.36 4.951 38.99% 0.786 1.1262
5 Other 13 61.54% 40.0 -0.256 46.15% 0.188 -0.5328
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 145.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Thematic 8 37.5% 6.13 0.761 0.0% -0.136 -0.1111
6 Two Centers (Default) 13 53.85% 33.38 2.12 15.38% -0.436 -0.3383

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 459 35.71 -1.664 27.67% -1.095 -0.9563
Aid From Lesser Spirits 329 41.33 3.049 39.82% 0.103 0.0441
All Things Weaken 461 35.55 -1.181 29.28% -0.426 -0.0712
Attenuated Essence 57 34.49 0.647 36.84% 0.104 0.2153
Back Against the Wall 319 35.43 3.301 27.59% -0.127 -0.0512
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 63 28.81 0.208 23.81% -0.416 -0.2053
Burn Brightest Before the End 43 31.72 -6.591 27.91% -0.717 -0.5959
Disintegrating Ecosystem 408 30.26 -4.808 20.83% -0.891 -0.522
Downward Spiral 462 35.89 -2.238 34.85% -0.521 -0.3244
Erosion of Will 440 34.46 -1.363 27.5% -0.601 -0.3337
Intensifying Exploitation 58 31.81 -3.041 27.59% -0.794 -0.5236
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 108 49.07 14.32 63.89% 0.74 0.2291
Memory Fades to Dust 466 34.32 6.436 28.76% 0.706 1.0171
Power Corrodes the Spirit 422 34.94 0.11 29.38% -0.403 -0.1083
Promising Farmlands 430 32.39 -5.629 25.35% -1.276 -0.9403
Shattered Fragments of Power 44 33.82 1.854 25.0% -0.514 -0.4049
Slow Dissolution of Will 47 29.19 0.648 25.53% -0.32 0.08
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 68 51.37 15.345 70.59% 1.125 0.5115
The Border of Life and Death 8 27.63 5.831 37.5% 0.144 -0.1481
Thriving Communities 485 36.07 -6.926 33.61% -1.558 -1.225
Thriving Crops 16 37.88 13.672 43.75% 0.321 0.2345
Unnatural Proliferation 498 36.05 1.843 28.71% 0.067 0.2152
Untended Land Crumbles 472 33.73 -5.364 26.27% -1.002 -0.6948

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1542 72.62% 39.61 -0.87 40.66% -0.232 0.673
B 1703 69.1% 39.17 1.154 41.1% -0.014 0.8141
C 1808 65.8% 40.04 0.483 43.14% 0.07 0.7502
D 1413 70.21% 38.68 -0.425 39.0% -0.074 0.7798
E 1850 67.12% 44.24 1.117 49.24% 0.254 0.9554
F 1284 69.84% 38.91 -2.981 40.19% -0.762 0.0188
G 1105 73.25% 39.32 0.745 40.27% 0.207 0.979
H 1238 73.73% 40.89 1.426 41.36% 0.166 0.9341
East 262 67.56% 39.68 3.006 31.3% 0.357 1.219
Northeast 120 72.5% 39.58 -3.798 30.83% -0.655 0.0922
Northwest 99 68.69% 34.95 2.619 26.26% 0.028 0.861
Southeast 97 58.76% 35.42 -3.089 31.96% -0.046 0.7293
Southwest 84 65.48% 28.43 1.843 19.05% 0.332 1.6515
West 229 70.74% 33.88 0.21 23.14% -0.182 0.8237

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 5 0.0% 38.6 -19.313 40.0% -0.184 0.6467
Skip Initial Invader Actions 195 16.58% 69.69 9.593 87.18% 0.652 0.0894
Start of Game Growth 413 29.2% 65.44 11.249 83.29% 0.962 0.4237
Unlimited Undo 850 66.86% 44.63 -0.709 51.29% 0.506 0.5467
Using Tokens but Not Events 414 51.1% 48.85 -5.267 60.87% -0.518 -0.5413

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1347 16.23 2.67%
II 4895 30.54 35.75%
III 2115 34.77 66.76%
IV 717 38.37 99.72%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.097 Win Model: -0.088
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6659 65.35% 41.86 45.35%
2 1689 75.07% 37.2 35.58%
3 490 75.71% 39.81 41.84%
4 203 78.61% 40.51 39.9%
5 12 66.67% 29.75 25.0%
6 21 38.1% 25.62 14.29%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 36
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1385
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1713
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 711
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 957
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3
Lose: Adversary condition 1048
Win: Sacrifice victory 42
Lose: Scenario condition 71
Win: Scenario condition 26
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2977
Lose: Spirit destroyed 105

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2039 63.59% 48.62 -2.102 36.59% -0.24 -0.3426
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 892 83.61% 43.25 2.6 22.31% -0.364 -0.2037
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 473 75.05% 38.67 -1.717 35.73% 0.404 -0.4319
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1048 86.48% 30.88 -8.503 13.45% -1.44 -1.5713
Downpour Drenches the World 853 64.36% 29.79 -6.256 19.7% -0.384 -0.066
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1082 72.18% 26.22 -3.391 19.22% -0.234 -0.7185
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2169 68.22% 53.5 0.645 37.3% 0.059 -0.3942
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 557 85.07% 36.11 -3.691 21.72% -0.24 -0.692
Finder of Paths Unseen 317 57.91% 31.55 -3.445 26.18% 0.013 0.6791
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2605 51.79% 59.03 1.427 47.98% -0.057 0.6209
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 887 85.21% 35.44 -2.552 22.44% -0.239 -0.1775
Heart of the Wildfire 1375 83.9% 29.18 -7.515 13.16% -0.748 -0.4881
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 13744 57.16% 57.79 7.291 64.57% 1.558 1.1646
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 361 55.12% 29.94 -3.35 27.98% 0.111 -0.2846
Lightning's Swift Strike 541 83.62% 35.83 -10.543 21.07% -0.824 -0.5699
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 786 73.92% 41.87 3.545 32.7% 0.782 0.2279
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 476 88.42% 40.75 -1.949 28.78% 0.254 0.018
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 525 64.0% 52.1 2.65 48.95% 0.565 0.3137
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 8842 69.77% 49.23 2.531 47.16% 0.964 0.6396
Many Minds Move as One 2353 75.04% 47.78 -0.325 37.53% 0.124 -0.0761
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1596 80.19% 34.75 -6.818 20.05% -0.583 -0.6113
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 785 84.74% 37.0 -6.781 24.33% -0.841 -0.9824
River Surges in Sunlight 1715 82.94% 55.6 3.397 36.27% 0.083 0.2003
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 410 67.07% 44.99 -17.915 27.32% -0.816 -0.4785
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 589 72.16% 51.01 5.553 34.47% 0.29 0.1415
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2616 66.28% 48.47 3.756 42.16% 0.973 0.8058
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 394 86.51% 36.88 16.104 18.27% 0.335 0.8794
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 62 80.65% 33.35 1.384 16.13% -0.193 -0.1075
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 398 72.11% 33.27 -0.652 26.63% 0.247 -0.1228
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 76 80.26% 37.95 -8.217 28.95% -0.163 0.0028
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 283 84.45% 37.27 -12.323 20.14% -0.089 -0.0575
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 232 81.9% 40.86 -8.455 29.31% -0.472 -0.3015
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2078 76.07% 47.11 0.926 40.42% 0.508 0.4125
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 436 65.14% 34.36 2.246 31.19% 0.958 0.7175
Shifting Memory of Ages 1756 60.0% 36.03 -3.581 21.18% 0.244 0.622
Shroud of Silent Mist 620 83.14% 32.18 -11.672 15.81% -1.782 -1.4107
Starlight Seeks its Form 3200 66.11% 44.47 3.381 43.38% 0.88 0.6731
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4899 60.74% 46.95 6.95 38.6% 1.358 0.6411
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2017 81.61% 46.14 -3.899 39.27% 0.297 0.4785
Thunderspeaker 939 81.75% 43.79 -4.018 25.03% 0.135 0.1492
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 92 75.82% 21.41 -8.114 14.13% -0.475 -0.3694
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2033 92.08% 36.05 -3.546 23.95% 0.025 0.1651
Vital Strength of the Earth 313 80.83% 34.28 -1.411 15.97% 0.111 0.6535
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 197 57.87% 36.7 -8.89 26.4% -0.899 -0.5608
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 341 82.4% 33.85 -1.988 18.48% -0.266 0.4503
Volcano Looming High 1978 78.69% 40.59 -1.248 32.66% 0.622 0.5891
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 428 68.22% 24.21 -4.564 15.42% -0.334 -0.7716

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 327 59.44% 45.46 9.879 36.39% 0.906 1.1068
Dahan Insurrection 4 2201 33.61% 69.56 10.465 50.93% 1.553 1.3413
Despicable Theft 2 12 54.55% 38.75 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 116 82.76% 34.21 -17.713 12.93% -0.053 1.0177
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2603 45.47% 49.83 0.408 42.87% -0.063 -0.7879
Powers Long Forgotten 1 12 66.67% 23.08 0.0 8.33%
Rituals of Terror 3 856 53.15% 116.06 22.773 66.0% 2.564 2.5942
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 38 47.37% 26.82 -22.757 10.53% -0.468 0.7209
Second Wave 0 118 73.73% 50.78 5.178 43.22% 0.515 0.5965
The Great River 3 51 70.59% 33.47 -15.214 7.84% -0.605 0.7829
Varied Terrains 2 17 41.18% 70.59 12.345 58.82% 0.467 1.3686
Ward the Shores 2 40 85.0% 39.38 4.565 20.0% 0.2 1.2549

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 46424 69.52% 46.33 0.376 42.71% 0.367 0.3981
1 Thematic 1042 73.51% 43.01 -4.227 28.02% -0.228 0.2045
2 Archipelago 86 51.16% 91.83 -4.738 55.81% -0.886 -0.3932
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3582 78.87% 40.97 -5.71 32.61% -0.912 -0.9606
2 Coastline 782 74.3% 40.41 -9.631 30.95% -0.362 -0.4625
2 Fragment 101 80.2% 42.59 6.563 36.63% 0.7 0.2874
2 Heart 136 72.06% 44.76 2.921 25.74% 0.082 -0.0075
2 Opposite Shores 1558 63.61% 34.5 -0.519 18.42% 0.367 0.1873
2 Thematic 640 71.52% 94.84 13.662 50.63% 0.543 0.7294
2 Top to Top 215 63.26% 36.18 -11.032 29.3% -1.389 -1.5881
3 Archipelago 34 70.59% 122.74 27.626 76.47% 0.659 -0.4616
3 Coastline 17 76.47% 36.88 -4.593 29.41% -0.655 -1.3171
3 Other 60 68.33% 51.45 -2.348 46.67% -0.499 -0.8327
3 Round (Default) 1679 74.15% 41.65 -1.631 34.48% -0.368 -0.6338
3 Thematic 265 22.64% 105.91 9.618 65.66% -0.277 -0.7237
4 Archipelago 4 100.0% 137.25 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 4 50.0% 35.75 -26.063 25.0% -0.724 -1.3427
4 Leaf 4 75.0% 32.0 0.0 25.0%
4 Other 49 75.51% 42.31 5.784 22.45% 0.323 -0.4149
4 Thematic 310 32.58% 86.98 15.594 67.1% 0.146 0.3497
4 Trapezoid (Default) 740 70.15% 45.03 1.886 36.22% 0.463 0.8036
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 30.5 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 81.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 65 59.68% 44.42 32.414 30.77% 0.77 0.0493
5 Thematic 32 50.0% 60.97 -11.5 31.25% -0.297 -0.1367
6 Archipelago 8 28.57% 89.5 -20.594 75.0% -0.033 -0.7478
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 50 50.0% 56.3 20.101 64.0% 0.698 1.1384
6 Star 10 30.0% 59.3 0.0 60.0%
6 Thematic 41 41.46% 21.95 -13.666 12.2% -0.249 -0.2234
6 Two Centers (Default) 131 27.48% 52.6 2.719 48.09% -0.344 -0.2464
7 Archipelago 5 75.0% 98.4 -15.888 60.0% -0.18 0.3462
7 Other 2 100.0% 30.5 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2928 41.6 -0.325 29.68% -0.555 -0.416
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2138 45.63 2.838 35.78% -0.027 -0.0862
All Things Weaken 3120 41.35 1.563 28.72% -0.248 0.1071
Attenuated Essence 421 32.73 1.337 23.28% -0.439 -0.3284
Back Against the Wall 2089 43.84 1.635 32.22% -0.373 -0.297
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 431 34.16 0.52 24.83% -0.487 -0.2763
Burn Brightest Before the End 289 39.26 0.758 28.03% -0.287 -0.1662
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2738 35.77 -1.151 21.04% -0.724 -0.3555
Downward Spiral 2921 43.25 3.674 34.34% 0.229 0.4254
Erosion of Will 2901 39.23 2.066 25.13% -0.339 -0.0721
Intensifying Exploitation 453 35.0 -0.428 26.49% -0.472 -0.2022
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 625 62.69 11.589 70.4% 1.004 0.4928
Memory Fades to Dust 3024 41.91 0.554 31.42% -0.238 0.0731
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2968 40.8 0.793 29.18% -0.387 -0.0926
Promising Farmlands 2784 39.7 -0.935 28.52% -0.442 -0.1056
Shattered Fragments of Power 260 35.56 0.527 23.85% -0.414 -0.3054
Slow Dissolution of Will 455 32.75 -1.207 21.76% -0.499 -0.0985
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 407 65.45 5.011 74.45% 0.498 -0.1147
The Border of Life and Death 74 36.58 2.887 40.54% 0.284 -0.0085
Thriving Communities 2994 41.4 2.431 30.49% 0.036 0.3691
Thriving Crops 125 38.05 -0.592 40.0% -0.198 -0.2843
Unnatural Proliferation 3184 41.56 1.335 27.73% -0.487 -0.3392
Untended Land Crumbles 3120 40.23 -0.54 29.23% -0.214 0.0934

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9272 72.08% 41.11 -1.246 33.39% -0.377 0.5284
B 9422 73.46% 43.1 -1.299 36.83% -0.454 0.3746
C 10682 69.77% 46.18 1.624 39.63% -0.172 0.5079
D 7650 71.78% 42.44 -2.634 35.07% -0.582 0.2716
E 10342 70.21% 46.98 0.703 43.07% -0.164 0.5371
F 7507 70.46% 43.35 0.358 37.72% -0.187 0.5938
G 6162 72.35% 44.25 0.301 38.32% -0.175 0.5967
H 8444 61.12% 50.57 0.585 49.09% -0.146 0.6221
East 1625 54.5% 81.19 6.586 50.28% 0.145 1.0071
Northeast 886 44.36% 85.71 4.34 54.63% -0.723 0.0242
Northwest 584 53.08% 74.96 -1.859 46.75% 0.242 1.0753
Southeast 376 56.38% 52.73 -2.764 34.84% -0.632 0.1432
Southwest 400 60.25% 42.81 -8.357 29.5% -1.748 -0.4287
West 1543 55.12% 78.51 7.975 48.8% 0.35 1.3559

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 36 0.0% 66.08 7.22 69.44% 0.31 1.1411
Not Using Events or Tokens 11 72.73% 118.18 0.0 63.64%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1470 31.97% 66.78 7.661 67.89% 0.835 0.2726
Start of Game Growth 2451 34.13% 65.63 2.842 70.46% 0.296 -0.243
Unlimited Undo 5427 58.82% 54.84 -0.088 58.8% 0.231 0.2724
Using Tokens but Not Events 2612 58.39% 50.93 -2.732 41.81% -0.383 -0.4066

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 15624 16.23 0.78%
II 26031 30.54 37.9%
III 11459 34.77 77.0%
IV 5002 38.37 99.86%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.427 Win Model: 0.216
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 48878 69.21% 46.74 42.14%
2 6003 75.76% 43.59 32.3%
3 1918 69.92% 47.98 37.59%
4 1028 62.82% 49.67 40.76%
5 76 45.21% 40.5 28.95%
6 213 33.96% 52.87 51.64%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 105
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8681
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8585
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4618
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6713
Lose: Invader deck ran out 59
Lose: Adversary condition 7375
Win: Sacrifice victory 690
Lose: Scenario condition 584
Win: Scenario condition 1127
Lose: Blight pool ran out 18824
Lose: Spirit destroyed 755

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-03-13 05:04:05 (Pacific Time)