The Tsardom of Russia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 381 21.0% 27.59 0.065 91.6% -0.342 -0.2062
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 295 40.34% 26.12 -0.062 88.47% 0.121 0.3527
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 493 24.9% 27.89 0.342 94.52% 0.447 0.3608
Eyes Watch From the Trees 451 14.25% 31.5 1.606 96.9% 0.689 0.3187
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 356 23.16% 29.26 0.736 95.22% 0.668 0.4126
Fractured Days Split the Sky 227 35.24% 27.68 0.599 84.14% -0.633 -0.2719
Heart of the Wildfire 316 57.91% 23.0 -1.371 81.01% -0.239 0.1105
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 643 26.76% 27.27 0.06 94.09% 0.441 0.1395
Lightning's Swift Strike 488 26.92% 27.74 0.427 90.78% -0.115 0.1465
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 530 27.32% 27.78 0.457 94.34% 0.573 0.2829
Many Minds Move as One 781 19.41% 28.69 0.806 96.93% 0.767 0.2403
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 417 38.7% 25.44 -0.701 86.81% -0.156 -0.3523
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 375 33.33% 26.55 -0.264 91.47% 0.178 0.2228
River Surges in Sunlight 516 38.57% 28.47 0.67 85.27% -0.386 -0.2335
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 319 26.65% 26.58 -0.33 90.6% -0.185 -0.0408
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 427 40.38% 27.05 0.259 89.23% 0.139 0.5813
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 524 24.38% 28.09 0.449 93.51% 0.095 0.0233
Shroud of Silent Mist 104 48.08% 23.63 -0.831 87.5% 0.048 0.0246
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 580 25.56% 25.17 -1.192 91.9% 0.042 0.0211
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 363 28.93% 27.09 -0.098 89.26% -0.236 -0.0274
Thunderspeaker 348 29.89% 29.97 0.65 87.93% -0.39 -0.3357
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 375 62.4% 21.46 -2.007 81.33% -0.172 -0.1583
Vital Strength of the Earth 366 29.78% 23.58 -1.936 81.42% -1.068 -0.2003
Volcano Looming High 218 39.45% 23.87 -1.225 86.24% -0.313 -0.3417

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 114 29.2% 23.33 -2.012 83.33% -0.817 -0.2358
Dahan Insurrection 4 180 16.67% 50.49 10.994 91.11% -0.555 -0.1512
Despicable Theft 2 12 8.33% 33.92 3.204 75.0% -1.363 -1.0135
Elemental Invocation 1 36 41.67% 26.44 0.317 88.89% -0.022 0.3508
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 310 9.68% 30.08 0.938 90.32% -1.003 -0.6385
Powers Long Forgotten 1 71 52.11% 27.72 0.557 76.06% -0.785 -0.3436
Rituals of Terror 3 89 42.35% 36.09 4.415 75.28% -0.858 -0.2238
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 64 68.75% 38.11 6.032 82.81% 0.094 0.7346
Second Wave 0 104 55.77% 26.71 0.814 79.81% -0.473 -0.0493
The Great River 3 56 51.79% 32.13 3.423 66.07% -1.493 -0.0715
Ward the Shores 2 89 48.86% 29.53 1.205 68.54% -1.194 -0.1525

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4589 32.9% 26.19 -0.409 89.13% -0.102 0.2254
1 Thematic 604 38.6% 32.19 1.591 80.96% -0.383 0.091
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 831 30.83% 25.63 -0.466 92.3% 0.062 0.2589
2 Coastline 106 30.19% 26.59 -0.148 88.68% -0.294 -0.1433
2 Fragment 20 25.0% 25.05 -0.726 90.0% -0.197 0.207
2 Heart 15 46.67% 23.13 -1.181 80.0% -0.399 -0.0872
2 Opposite Shores 129 17.83% 26.47 -0.367 97.67% 0.641 0.8647
2 Thematic 118 28.81% 34.96 1.951 92.37% 0.396 0.4246
2 Top to Top 11 18.18% 27.45 0.31 90.91% -0.127 0.0127
3 Coastline 3 33.33% 34.33 2.285 66.67% -0.544 -0.5915
3 Other 21 28.57% 24.48 -0.776 90.48% -0.323 0.1153
3 Round (Default) 397 28.72% 26.97 0.071 94.21% 0.21 0.2679
3 Thematic 27 33.33% 29.85 -0.958 81.48% -0.802 -1.1628
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 31.0 3.422 100.0% 0.28 0.4507
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 31.0 0.646 100.0% 0.006 0.0693
4 Other 10 30.0% 29.4 1.493 100.0% 0.511 0.642
4 Thematic 56 16.07% 35.73 0.131 98.21% 0.669 -0.3907
4 Trapezoid (Default) 154 20.13% 26.36 -0.224 93.51% -0.348 -0.3098
5 Other 7 57.14% 26.29 1.479 100.0% 0.426 0.2267

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 164 21.27 -3.403 72.56% -2.706 -0.6357
Aid From Lesser Spirits 131 20.85 -3.586 71.76% -2.649 -0.7271
All Things Weaken 184 19.86 -4.049 67.39% -2.968 -0.8145
Back Against the Wall 130 19.69 -4.098 61.54% -3.223 -1.1268
Disintegrating Ecosystem 160 17.29 -5.325 64.38% -3.049 -0.8231
Downward Spiral 176 21.03 -3.456 78.98% -2.214 -0.1956
Erosion of Will 130 19.64 -4.076 71.54% -2.75 -0.5395
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 84 25.69 -1.126 97.62% 0.026 0.7196
Memory Fades to Dust 190 18.74 -4.574 63.68% -3.074 -0.8591
Power Corrodes the Spirit 182 20.25 -3.794 71.43% -2.671 -0.6545
Promising Farmlands 146 18.4 -4.68 66.44% -2.978 -0.765
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 61 25.23 -1.313 98.36% 0.243 0.6732
Thriving Communities 170 17.84 -5.005 65.88% -3.016 -0.9207
Unnatural Proliferation 197 19.68 -4.062 67.51% -2.981 -0.8949
Untended Land Crumbles 169 19.91 -4.051 66.86% -2.978 -0.8822

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1141 32.01% 25.99 -0.364 89.83% 0.148 -0.9533
B 1142 29.99% 26.14 -0.26 91.16% 0.287 -0.9088
C 1309 29.84% 26.44 -0.079 91.44% 0.319 -1.1096
D 1164 30.78% 26.18 -0.227 91.58% 0.309 -0.8822
E 1134 30.8% 26.62 0.022 92.24% 0.411 -0.8878
F 1038 31.4% 25.91 -0.405 89.11% -0.051 -1.3057
G 930 29.84% 26.46 -0.07 91.61% 0.328 -0.9145
H 967 30.88% 25.95 -0.357 90.8% 0.236 -1.0215
East 223 26.7% 36.4 2.607 91.48% 0.459 -0.5009
Northeast 190 32.63% 34.33 1.542 87.37% 0.284 -0.6176
Northwest 170 31.76% 33.89 1.393 88.82% 0.123 -0.8518
Southeast 154 28.57% 32.45 1.167 88.31% 0.235 -0.7697
Southwest 142 33.1% 27.53 -1.669 78.87% -0.702 -1.3013
West 224 34.82% 34.65 1.72 84.82% 0.209 -0.4903

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 24 0.0% 30.67 0.051 95.83% -0.434 1.6147
Not Using Events or Tokens 12 25.0% 34.0 1.68 83.33% -0.164 0.0563
Skip Initial Invader Actions 171 8.7% 36.71 3.271 98.25% 1.025 0.32
Start of Game Growth 261 11.46% 34.08 1.986 96.17% 0.074 -0.3773
Unlimited Undo 425 24.76% 28.24 0.276 92.94% 0.165 -0.2518
Using Tokens but Not Events 625 28.29% 26.29 -0.485 88.0% -0.3 -0.3512

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 417 22.33 56.35%
II 2666 30.75 87.51%
III 2740 34.25 91.68%
IV 1280 37.47 99.45%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.048 Win Model: -0.026
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 5204 33.55% 26.88 88.2%
2 1230 29.2% 26.68 92.36%
3 447 29.53% 27.12 93.06%
4 222 20.27% 28.88 95.05%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 235
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2437
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2167
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1263
Lose: Invader deck ran out 52
Win: Sacrifice victory 26
Lose: Scenario condition 46
Win: Scenario condition 225
Lose: Blight pool ran out 611
Lose: Spirit destroyed 41

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 234 44.02% 31.63 -0.335 76.5% -0.143 -0.0068
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 165 66.06% 30.75 -0.015 74.55% 0.266 0.4971
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 234 41.38% 33.97 0.537 81.62% 0.196 0.1099
Eyes Watch From the Trees 378 29.97% 39.23 2.463 87.83% 0.495 0.1248
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 193 38.74% 34.95 1.145 83.94% 0.341 0.0854
Fractured Days Split the Sky 126 44.44% 32.54 0.197 74.6% -0.256 0.1058
Heart of the Wildfire 257 78.21% 24.46 -2.95 55.64% -0.436 -0.0872
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 463 46.1% 31.45 -0.268 78.19% 0.097 -0.2045
Lightning's Swift Strike 264 57.03% 30.69 -0.569 71.59% -0.077 0.1846
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 460 39.87% 35.08 1.533 88.04% 0.745 0.4552
Many Minds Move as One 620 32.96% 36.82 2.14 92.58% 1.04 0.5128
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 257 58.04% 30.84 -0.871 71.98% -0.218 -0.4139
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 228 47.37% 34.27 0.684 82.02% 0.43 0.4743
River Surges in Sunlight 317 51.9% 32.62 0.407 72.87% -0.114 0.039
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 187 51.87% 29.89 -1.123 73.26% -0.204 -0.0596
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 223 60.54% 30.8 -0.186 71.75% -0.007 0.4354
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 485 40.91% 34.55 0.947 85.15% 0.323 0.2512
Shroud of Silent Mist 40 65.0% 24.7 -2.904 55.0% -0.771 -0.7943
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 341 44.71% 27.02 -2.824 63.93% -1.016 -1.0365
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 254 41.9% 33.93 0.534 81.1% 0.18 0.3894
Thunderspeaker 213 46.01% 35.12 0.516 74.65% -0.242 -0.1886
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 198 78.79% 26.07 -2.188 63.13% -0.146 -0.1322
Vital Strength of the Earth 205 47.8% 28.59 -1.836 65.85% -0.686 0.1822
Volcano Looming High 114 63.16% 29.76 -0.539 78.07% 0.348 0.3194

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 54 31.48% 29.2 -2.289 72.22% -0.656 -0.0748
Dahan Insurrection 4 115 22.61% 59.19 12.037 87.83% 0.114 0.5179
Despicable Theft 2 1 100.0% 50.0 11.0 100.0% 0.35 0.7
Elemental Invocation 1 19 47.37% 32.16 0.227 63.16% -0.614 -0.2421
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 171 21.05% 36.29 1.611 82.46% -0.24 0.1245
Powers Long Forgotten 1 56 66.07% 27.41 -1.595 46.43% -0.87 -0.4287
Rituals of Terror 3 49 55.1% 42.57 4.709 65.31% -0.543 0.0913
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 41 80.49% 39.59 4.366 63.41% 0.039 0.68
Second Wave 0 377 52.27% 31.76 0.074 67.11% -0.636 -0.2124
The Great River 3 24 79.17% 26.58 -0.952 33.33% -1.287 0.134
Ward the Shores 2 65 52.31% 36.72 2.083 69.23% -0.391 0.6502

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 2825 48.16% 31.5 -0.166 75.43% -0.081 0.2466
1 Thematic 454 55.41% 34.13 0.24 62.78% -0.608 -0.1349
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 564 48.93% 30.87 -0.491 78.55% -0.175 0.0217
2 Coastline 98 51.55% 30.27 -0.5 72.45% -0.392 -0.2413
2 Fragment 18 50.0% 30.94 -0.488 77.78% -0.136 0.2687
2 Heart 7 71.43% 23.29 -3.349 42.86% -0.873 -0.5609
2 Opposite Shores 127 46.46% 31.64 -0.153 81.1% -0.033 0.1905
2 Thematic 85 61.18% 35.42 0.807 75.29% -0.191 -0.1622
2 Top to Top 9 44.44% 38.67 3.199 100.0% 0.806 0.946
3 Coastline 5 40.0% 28.6 -0.442 60.0% -0.098 -0.145
3 Other 14 71.43% 29.07 -0.242 78.57% 0.425 0.8635
3 Round (Default) 219 33.94% 34.31 0.701 87.67% 0.132 0.1897
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 30.0 1.772 100.0% 0.348 0.1507
3 Thematic 27 66.67% 37.74 1.988 81.48% 0.57 0.2091
4 Other 10 60.0% 34.1 1.661 90.0% 0.533 0.6641
4 Thematic 31 41.94% 42.58 1.335 90.32% -0.004 -1.0639
4 Trapezoid (Default) 103 40.78% 36.09 0.69 88.35% -0.213 -0.1748
5 Other 2 0.0% 42.5 2.092 100.0% 0.013 -0.1864

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 176 23.19 -5.236 48.3% -2.548 -0.4775
Aid From Lesser Spirits 140 27.2 -3.306 62.14% -1.991 -0.0695
All Things Weaken 191 24.3 -4.732 52.88% -2.337 -0.1837
Back Against the Wall 130 23.5 -4.937 46.92% -2.567 -0.4711
Disintegrating Ecosystem 142 20.72 -6.489 44.37% -2.627 -0.4015
Downward Spiral 153 25.27 -4.305 61.44% -1.957 0.0616
Erosion of Will 165 23.3 -5.342 52.12% -2.435 -0.2244
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 75 34.03 -0.343 85.33% -0.735 -0.0416
Memory Fades to Dust 187 25.11 -4.412 62.03% -2.035 0.1799
Power Corrodes the Spirit 162 23.46 -5.168 53.09% -2.362 -0.3451
Promising Farmlands 165 23.68 -5.079 56.36% -2.239 -0.0258
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 40 31.38 -0.975 85.0% -0.526 -0.0955
Thriving Communities 157 24.18 -4.86 56.69% -2.192 -0.0962
Unnatural Proliferation 175 24.47 -4.528 54.86% -2.307 -0.2206
Untended Land Crumbles 172 23.49 -5.125 55.81% -2.188 -0.0919

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 780 47.56% 31.57 -0.268 77.44% 0.144 -0.9575
B 796 46.03% 32.34 0.169 80.4% 0.295 -0.901
C 824 43.69% 32.63 0.309 80.58% 0.345 -1.0835
D 707 45.18% 32.16 0.023 78.93% 0.165 -1.0257
E 727 47.24% 31.85 -0.195 77.3% 0.049 -1.2502
F 705 47.86% 31.18 -0.374 76.17% 0.033 -1.2211
G 575 47.29% 31.73 -0.136 78.78% 0.229 -1.0132
H 586 48.63% 31.96 -0.067 78.5% 0.261 -0.9959
East 150 52.67% 37.88 1.31 71.33% -0.054 -1.0141
Northeast 138 56.2% 37.72 1.752 73.19% 0.445 -0.4559
Northwest 99 56.57% 35.71 0.462 74.75% 0.253 -0.7222
Southeast 111 56.76% 35.75 1.497 71.17% 0.418 -0.5865
Southwest 115 62.61% 28.35 -2.873 60.87% -0.338 -0.9379
West 169 49.7% 41.75 3.212 78.7% 0.536 -0.1633

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 10 0.0% 26.3 -5.172 50.0% -1.857 0.1915
Not Using Events or Tokens 7 14.29% 33.14 -1.909 57.14% -1.149 -0.9281
Skip Initial Invader Actions 108 12.62% 45.35 3.559 91.67% -0.239 -0.9442
Start of Game Growth 159 14.74% 44.2 3.804 93.08% 0.931 0.4796
Unlimited Undo 363 44.35% 33.07 0.194 80.44% 0.099 -0.3178
Using Tokens but Not Events 360 41.43% 31.66 -0.479 75.83% -0.277 -0.328

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 539 22.33 17.44%
II 1639 30.75 73.03%
III 1825 34.25 87.56%
IV 597 37.47 99.5%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.228 Win Model: 0.147
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 3289 49.31% 31.85 73.67%
2 906 49.72% 31.41 78.04%
3 265 39.77% 34.25 86.04%
4 140 40.71% 37.72 89.29%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 93
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1534
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1100
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 590
Lose: Invader deck ran out 26
Lose: Adversary condition 422
Win: Sacrifice victory 20
Lose: Scenario condition 33
Win: Scenario condition 146
Lose: Blight pool ran out 600
Lose: Spirit destroyed 36

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 294 39.46% 37.91 -0.415 80.61% -0.319 -0.1829
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 227 58.15% 36.32 -0.639 77.97% -0.12 0.1115
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 278 40.65% 39.96 1.035 88.13% 0.492 0.4052
Eyes Watch From the Trees 403 32.26% 42.78 1.993 91.32% 0.658 0.2882
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 239 42.26% 40.18 0.958 87.03% 0.389 0.134
Fractured Days Split the Sky 143 55.24% 37.46 -0.43 71.33% -0.693 -0.3316
Heart of the Wildfire 333 59.46% 35.3 -0.913 77.48% 0.035 0.3845
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 627 39.07% 38.45 -0.088 85.17% 0.075 -0.2268
Lightning's Swift Strike 314 56.05% 36.54 -0.529 76.11% -0.201 0.0601
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 609 39.24% 41.98 2.007 92.45% 0.931 0.6411
Many Minds Move as One 724 27.35% 42.41 2.04 94.48% 0.932 0.4052
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 375 54.93% 35.92 -1.176 75.47% -0.325 -0.5207
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 269 43.49% 39.01 0.411 85.13% 0.306 0.3499
River Surges in Sunlight 442 52.26% 39.83 0.907 81.9% 0.109 0.2618
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 252 48.41% 36.46 -0.63 82.94% -0.002 0.1419
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 280 56.43% 36.09 -0.597 75.36% -0.253 0.1891
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 549 32.3% 41.27 1.134 89.25% 0.247 0.1745
Shroud of Silent Mist 66 54.55% 35.5 -0.989 75.76% -0.183 -0.2063
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 413 35.59% 35.18 -1.84 78.45% -0.599 -0.6198
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 335 34.63% 40.65 0.709 88.36% 0.287 0.4957
Thunderspeaker 260 42.31% 41.41 0.538 81.15% -0.272 -0.218
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 277 68.95% 32.3 -2.345 71.48% -0.297 -0.2838
Vital Strength of the Earth 259 50.19% 33.11 -2.297 72.2% -0.657 0.2108
Volcano Looming High 164 55.21% 33.8 -1.764 75.0% -0.407 -0.4361

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 91 51.65% 31.7 -3.527 61.54% -1.145 -0.5635
Dahan Insurrection 4 79 13.92% 66.1 12.155 89.87% -0.142 0.2613
Despicable Theft 2 11 63.64% 35.0 -0.795 54.55% -0.739 -0.3893
Elemental Invocation 1 20 55.0% 41.05 1.356 85.0% 0.297 0.6691
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 295 23.73% 42.99 1.992 87.8% 0.064 0.4285
Powers Long Forgotten 1 53 66.04% 40.13 1.203 71.7% -0.189 0.252
Rituals of Terror 3 33 57.58% 40.09 1.45 51.52% -1.274 -0.6394
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 22 63.64% 46.82 4.916 68.18% -0.243 0.3982
Second Wave 0 218 45.41% 38.52 0.325 77.52% -0.526 -0.1022
The Great River 3 28 67.86% 40.89 1.786 60.71% -1.32 0.1016
Ward the Shores 2 63 57.14% 40.51 0.596 63.49% -0.953 0.0883

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3597 44.76% 36.92 -0.375 79.76% -0.198 0.1292
1 Thematic 402 55.22% 37.52 -0.431 65.42% -0.576 -0.1025
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 741 46.02% 37.99 0.088 87.18% 0.017 0.2142
2 Coastline 86 41.86% 40.79 1.153 91.86% 0.508 0.6588
2 Fragment 8 87.5% 31.0 -2.453 75.0% -0.225 0.1793
2 Heart 8 62.5% 30.63 -2.96 62.5% -0.642 -0.3297
2 Opposite Shores 117 48.28% 37.78 -0.205 85.47% -0.066 0.1575
2 Thematic 156 44.23% 42.99 1.448 83.33% 0.323 0.3518
2 Top to Top 14 21.43% 37.0 -0.887 85.71% -0.468 -0.3284
3 Coastline 12 75.0% 44.17 3.015 100.0% 0.993 0.9455
3 Other 17 47.06% 38.88 0.194 88.24% -0.12 0.3187
3 Round (Default) 281 40.57% 38.72 -0.046 88.61% -0.383 -0.3249
3 Sunrise 2 0.0% 43.0 -0.059 100.0% 0.013 -0.1842
3 Thematic 32 50.0% 48.13 2.491 90.63% 0.746 0.3854
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 38.5 0.514 50.0% -0.444 -0.273
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 47.0 3.505 100.0% 0.009 0.0728
4 Other 5 40.0% 42.8 0.676 100.0% 0.12 0.2517
4 Thematic 67 14.93% 53.36 2.601 92.54% 0.243 -0.8164
4 Trapezoid (Default) 134 35.07% 40.49 0.511 92.54% -0.307 -0.2685
5 Other 6 83.33% 39.67 1.446 100.0% 0.475 0.2765

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 193 28.84 -5.224 58.03% -2.294 -0.223
Aid From Lesser Spirits 160 31.6 -3.916 65.63% -2.07 -0.1487
All Things Weaken 199 28.6 -5.213 57.79% -2.259 -0.1056
Back Against the Wall 152 30.43 -4.687 59.21% -2.382 -0.2858
Disintegrating Ecosystem 175 26.69 -6.338 54.29% -2.496 -0.2699
Downward Spiral 199 32.92 -3.175 74.37% -1.523 0.4956
Erosion of Will 169 30.73 -4.21 66.27% -1.91 0.3001
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 84 38.02 -0.753 90.48% -0.297 0.3964
Memory Fades to Dust 163 28.23 -5.522 59.51% -2.202 0.0133
Power Corrodes the Spirit 185 29.31 -5.032 61.62% -2.128 -0.1107
Promising Farmlands 177 29.18 -4.99 63.28% -1.994 0.219
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 66 36.48 -1.481 84.85% -0.841 -0.4111
Thriving Communities 218 28.25 -5.43 60.09% -2.208 -0.112
Unnatural Proliferation 220 31.28 -3.934 65.45% -2.025 0.061
Untended Land Crumbles 202 30.61 -4.238 65.84% -1.879 0.2167

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 921 44.84% 37.86 0.111 84.36% 0.385 -0.7166
B 955 46.33% 37.76 0.027 85.03% 0.403 -0.7927
C 1025 40.88% 38.67 0.409 85.76% 0.411 -1.0179
D 871 44.02% 37.45 -0.047 83.12% 0.28 -0.9107
E 914 43.11% 38.03 0.049 84.25% 0.285 -1.0138
F 876 45.09% 37.29 -0.287 83.45% 0.254 -1.0003
G 742 47.71% 36.98 -0.353 81.27% 0.127 -1.1156
H 819 42.49% 38.21 0.152 84.62% 0.282 -0.975
East 211 37.44% 45.83 1.358 80.57% -0.199 -1.1593
Northeast 188 41.49% 46.22 2.368 81.91% 0.395 -0.5062
Northwest 156 45.51% 43.83 0.873 77.56% -0.092 -1.0669
Southeast 153 39.22% 44.29 1.943 81.7% 0.489 -0.515
Southwest 129 48.84% 37.5 -1.8 73.64% -0.22 -0.8194
West 197 39.09% 45.4 1.37 79.7% -0.063 -0.7627

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1 0.0% 46.0 3.174 100.0% 0.051 2.0991
Not Using Events or Tokens 4 50.0% 24.75 -6.488 50.0% -0.7 -0.4795
Skip Initial Invader Actions 108 4.63% 51.64 4.624 98.15% 1.325 0.6206
Start of Game Growth 179 13.48% 47.66 2.874 93.85% 0.22 -0.2318
Unlimited Undo 389 40.1% 38.7 0.184 85.09% 0.021 -0.3963
Using Tokens but Not Events 358 49.3% 34.22 -1.682 75.14% -0.442 -0.4926

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 358 22.33 0.56%
II 1387 30.75 66.83%
III 2616 34.25 90.25%
IV 1327 37.47 99.92%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.373 Win Model: 0.132
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4008 45.88% 36.97 78.32%
2 1130 45.62% 38.82 86.73%
3 336 42.56% 39.76 88.99%
4 214 30.37% 44.56 92.52%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2286
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 869
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1318
Lose: Invader deck ran out 17
Lose: Adversary condition 410
Win: Sacrifice victory 30
Lose: Scenario condition 28
Win: Scenario condition 111
Lose: Blight pool ran out 572
Lose: Spirit destroyed 45

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 283 53.71% 40.56 -0.042 66.08% -0.149 -0.0132
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 238 75.53% 36.12 -1.336 55.88% -0.114 0.1171
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 336 60.71% 40.15 -0.062 63.99% 0.011 -0.0753
Eyes Watch From the Trees 423 51.77% 46.23 3.113 78.96% 0.746 0.3764
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 201 65.17% 40.2 -0.087 61.69% -0.058 -0.3137
Fractured Days Split the Sky 193 71.5% 36.24 -1.292 51.81% -0.392 -0.0306
Heart of the Wildfire 383 83.03% 31.64 -3.492 46.74% -0.335 0.0139
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1003 55.1% 40.93 0.255 69.49% 0.142 -0.16
Lightning's Swift Strike 361 72.02% 38.38 -0.432 59.0% 0.029 0.2903
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1031 48.3% 46.69 3.318 82.25% 0.877 0.5874
Many Minds Move as One 815 51.41% 45.7 2.735 79.26% 0.62 0.0936
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 403 67.99% 37.55 -1.213 58.56% -0.219 -0.4153
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 316 62.66% 38.84 -0.585 61.71% -0.079 -0.0343
River Surges in Sunlight 481 72.29% 37.68 -0.863 54.26% -0.269 -0.1163
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 310 74.19% 37.61 -0.832 60.97% 0.023 0.1674
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 309 79.61% 36.93 -1.091 55.34% -0.057 0.3853
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 654 48.24% 45.87 2.428 78.29% 0.396 0.3237
Shroud of Silent Mist 92 80.43% 36.25 -1.306 58.7% 0.023 -0.0006
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 575 54.28% 35.48 -2.71 57.91% -0.661 -0.6812
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 408 60.44% 41.39 0.755 69.36% 0.277 0.4858
Thunderspeaker 296 69.49% 37.65 -1.171 55.41% -0.308 -0.2537
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 353 85.84% 33.96 -2.155 53.54% 0.01 0.0237
Vital Strength of the Earth 226 72.12% 33.96 -2.917 50.0% -0.519 0.3488
Volcano Looming High 241 72.2% 38.41 -0.448 64.73% 0.174 0.1448

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 75 65.33% 27.39 -6.141 30.67% -1.747 -1.1658
Dahan Insurrection 4 65 53.85% 57.94 8.715 61.54% -0.397 0.0063
Despicable Theft 2 6 66.67% 43.5 2.473 50.0% -0.276 0.0742
Elemental Invocation 1 23 78.26% 39.0 -0.323 60.87% -0.063 0.3096
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 421 32.78% 48.52 3.366 80.76% 0.242 0.6069
Powers Long Forgotten 1 39 64.1% 37.44 -1.427 46.15% -0.91 -0.4684
Rituals of Terror 3 16 68.75% 42.19 1.305 43.75% -0.74 -0.1058
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 5 40.0% 50.6 4.521 60.0% -0.386 0.2549
Second Wave 0 153 66.67% 35.43 -2.434 49.02% -0.923 -0.4993
The Great River 3 18 66.67% 52.5 5.083 66.67% -0.309 1.1118
Ward the Shores 2 34 73.53% 36.82 -0.647 41.18% -0.625 0.4167

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4649 59.24% 39.65 -0.127 64.51% -0.021 0.3064
1 Thematic 362 66.85% 38.59 -0.824 51.1% -0.304 0.1692
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 984 66.46% 39.89 0.071 66.97% -0.068 0.1287
2 Coastline 104 62.5% 39.99 -0.178 64.42% -0.243 -0.0918
2 Fragment 26 61.54% 38.58 -0.954 61.54% -0.487 -0.0829
2 Heart 5 60.0% 45.6 1.412 80.0% 0.129 0.4409
2 Opposite Shores 153 64.47% 40.58 0.238 69.28% 0.053 0.2767
2 Thematic 86 62.79% 39.95 -0.161 51.16% -0.374 -0.3455
2 Top to Top 35 62.86% 41.4 0.533 71.43% 0.006 0.1461
3 Coastline 5 60.0% 55.2 5.156 80.0% 0.134 0.0868
3 Other 18 83.33% 42.28 1.77 72.22% 0.475 0.9136
3 Round (Default) 401 65.84% 39.97 0.11 67.58% -0.247 -0.1886
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 52.0 10.183 100.0% 0.561 0.3634
3 Thematic 15 66.67% 49.13 3.46 66.67% 0.413 0.0521
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 59.0 7.044 100.0% 0.256 0.4267
4 Leaf 3 33.33% 56.0 5.784 100.0% 0.307 0.3703
4 Other 10 60.0% 48.0 3.013 90.0% 0.502 0.6333
4 Thematic 42 54.76% 47.4 1.727 64.29% 0.053 -1.0072
4 Trapezoid (Default) 151 58.39% 43.54 0.888 76.16% -0.357 -0.3193
5 Other 1 100.0% 16.0 -13.544 0.0% -0.761 -0.9603

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 309 32.54 -5.107 47.25% -2.353 -0.2823
Aid From Lesser Spirits 282 32.81 -5.127 45.04% -2.506 -0.5844
All Things Weaken 337 31.72 -5.662 45.7% -2.489 -0.3357
Back Against the Wall 260 33.3 -4.733 48.46% -2.348 -0.2517
Disintegrating Ecosystem 322 27.23 -7.753 36.02% -2.81 -0.5838
Downward Spiral 367 31.88 -5.152 49.86% -2.162 -0.1436
Erosion of Will 313 30.3 -6.307 42.17% -2.605 -0.3942
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 104 43.6 0.125 79.81% -0.905 -0.2117
Memory Fades to Dust 302 31.66 -5.423 48.01% -2.303 -0.0874
Power Corrodes the Spirit 309 31.11 -5.71 46.28% -2.369 -0.3524
Promising Farmlands 313 29.43 -6.67 40.89% -2.609 -0.3958
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 73 44.48 0.481 80.82% -0.702 -0.2722
Thriving Communities 323 32.85 -4.766 52.32% -2.079 0.0163
Unnatural Proliferation 364 31.38 -5.501 44.23% -2.431 -0.3445
Untended Land Crumbles 342 30.78 -5.868 45.61% -2.373 -0.2768

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1163 62.56% 39.76 -0.188 65.95% 0.077 -1.025
B 1205 62.09% 39.69 -0.136 65.48% 0.075 -1.121
C 1385 59.64% 40.76 0.438 67.51% 0.183 -1.2457
D 1136 62.29% 40.12 0.107 66.73% 0.146 -1.0445
E 1287 60.11% 40.77 0.304 67.83% 0.154 -1.1453
F 1100 65.03% 40.18 0.31 67.55% 0.326 -0.9278
G 964 62.99% 39.37 -0.148 64.42% 0.061 -1.1812
H 1010 62.64% 40.19 0.155 66.83% 0.162 -1.0957
East 148 62.84% 42.58 0.778 54.05% -0.099 -1.0585
Northeast 146 62.33% 41.32 -0.082 52.05% -0.197 -1.0985
Northwest 99 54.55% 44.05 1.653 59.6% 0.101 -0.8743
Southeast 114 65.79% 39.16 -0.409 51.75% -0.061 -1.0654
Southwest 81 62.96% 41.47 -0.312 61.73% 0.074 -0.5253
West 120 66.67% 42.96 0.57 55.0% -0.053 -0.7527

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3 0.0% 48.67 -0.744 100.0% 0.135 2.1834
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 100.0% 24.33 -6.243 33.33% -0.135 0.0851
Skip Initial Invader Actions 154 12.5% 59.91 6.641 97.4% 1.623 0.9183
Start of Game Growth 220 17.89% 57.15 5.519 93.64% 0.826 0.3738
Unlimited Undo 423 51.78% 44.74 2.045 76.36% 0.448 0.0315
Using Tokens but Not Events 311 64.29% 37.29 -1.367 61.41% -0.269 -0.3202

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 798 22.33 0.75%
II 2642 30.75 49.66%
III 2308 34.25 84.27%
IV 1306 37.47 99.39%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.298 Win Model: 0.168
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 5020 59.8% 39.58 63.55%
2 1392 65.71% 40.03 66.16%
3 441 65.99% 40.62 68.03%
4 201 56.78% 44.83 74.63%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 6
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1908
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1280
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1286
Lose: Adversary condition 874
Win: Sacrifice victory 27
Lose: Scenario condition 50
Win: Scenario condition 54
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1486
Lose: Spirit destroyed 83

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 194 58.76% 43.79 -0.618 64.95% -0.076 0.0595
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 158 79.75% 38.94 -2.177 54.43% -0.169 0.0617
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 214 69.63% 43.28 -0.533 64.95% 0.2 0.1132
Eyes Watch From the Trees 302 51.99% 49.69 2.125 76.49% 0.403 0.0334
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 135 62.22% 44.96 -0.252 65.19% 0.007 -0.2481
Fractured Days Split the Sky 180 66.67% 41.17 -1.532 51.11% -0.587 -0.2255
Heart of the Wildfire 224 76.79% 38.35 -2.757 54.46% -0.151 0.198
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 722 54.43% 47.09 1.056 75.9% 0.468 0.1664
Lightning's Swift Strike 249 65.46% 44.04 -0.002 64.26% 0.108 0.369
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 823 49.57% 52.11 3.499 85.05% 1.054 0.7647
Many Minds Move as One 591 47.88% 52.14 3.089 83.08% 0.745 0.218
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 268 73.51% 39.19 -2.542 53.73% -0.445 -0.6413
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 240 71.25% 38.85 -2.486 53.75% -0.341 -0.2965
River Surges in Sunlight 341 70.97% 40.79 -1.687 53.08% -0.358 -0.2051
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 242 71.49% 39.83 -2.672 54.55% -0.496 -0.3517
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 206 75.24% 38.74 -2.617 50.0% -0.418 0.0247
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 640 40.78% 52.82 3.448 84.38% 0.742 0.6697
Shroud of Silent Mist 46 73.91% 38.93 -2.925 54.35% -0.321 -0.3443
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 397 57.68% 39.68 -3.22 59.19% -0.582 -0.603
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 361 63.99% 45.75 0.836 70.36% 0.337 0.5459
Thunderspeaker 181 77.35% 40.49 -1.484 56.35% -0.072 -0.0177
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 356 82.87% 41.38 -0.891 64.61% 0.431 0.4442
Vital Strength of the Earth 158 78.48% 34.27 -4.533 43.67% -0.65 0.2184
Volcano Looming High 201 67.16% 41.05 -1.567 61.19% -0.047 -0.0759

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 36 69.44% 31.89 -5.817 36.11% -1.21 -0.6288
Dahan Insurrection 4 30 43.33% 58.0 7.299 53.33% -0.681 -0.2776
Despicable Theft 2 2 50.0% 62.5 6.946 100.0% 0.228 0.5775
Elemental Invocation 1 6 100.0% 45.33 2.959 66.67% 0.634 1.0066
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 255 31.76% 51.96 2.573 77.65% -0.08 0.2841
Powers Long Forgotten 1 13 69.23% 33.62 -4.251 30.77% -0.987 -0.5457
Rituals of Terror 3 17 82.35% 40.0 -1.235 35.29% -0.87 -0.2356
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 9 88.89% 40.33 -1.038 33.33% -0.656 -0.0152
Second Wave 0 81 64.2% 43.05 -1.177 56.79% -0.684 -0.26
The Great River 3 13 76.92% 38.0 -4.499 30.77% -1.75 -0.3292
Ward the Shores 2 8 75.0% 33.5 -2.764 25.0% -0.63 0.4111

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3691 58.82% 45.22 0.168 68.36% -0.252 0.0754
1 Thematic 140 61.43% 42.93 -0.759 55.0% -0.545 -0.0711
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 778 67.22% 42.98 -0.628 64.65% -0.435 -0.238
2 Coastline 100 69.0% 42.41 -0.502 63.0% -0.188 -0.0369
2 Fragment 12 75.0% 47.75 2.598 75.0% 0.366 0.7698
2 Heart 8 50.0% 54.0 4.446 87.5% 0.305 0.6176
2 Opposite Shores 103 62.14% 46.59 0.834 75.73% 0.113 0.3364
2 Thematic 40 82.5% 45.77 0.133 60.0% -0.092 -0.0635
2 Top to Top 27 85.19% 38.67 -1.425 55.56% -0.244 -0.1042
3 Coastline 8 37.5% 58.13 5.903 87.5% 0.402 0.355
3 Other 12 58.33% 48.83 3.566 83.33% 0.521 0.959
3 Round (Default) 273 64.84% 43.68 -0.267 66.67% -0.453 -0.3953
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 16.5 -11.734 0.0% -0.766 -0.9634
3 Thematic 9 77.78% 45.89 -0.381 55.56% 0.015 -0.3458
4 Coastline 8 25.0% 54.88 1.893 87.5% -0.102 0.0694
4 Other 10 80.0% 51.2 5.104 90.0% 1.061 1.1925
4 Thematic 39 43.59% 58.79 1.76 84.62% 0.287 -0.7724
4 Trapezoid (Default) 84 51.19% 47.81 1.23 75.0% -0.371 -0.3333
5 Other 1 100.0% 53.0 6.872 100.0% 0.256 0.0571
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 69.0 3.684 100.0% 0.056 -2.9009

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 286 36.53 -5.628 49.3% -2.358 -0.2878
Aid From Lesser Spirits 194 36.28 -5.667 46.91% -2.499 -0.5775
All Things Weaken 226 35.76 -5.888 48.23% -2.407 -0.2539
Back Against the Wall 179 39.18 -4.225 54.19% -2.16 -0.0637
Disintegrating Ecosystem 243 31.48 -8.057 39.09% -2.809 -0.5828
Downward Spiral 241 36.07 -5.681 52.7% -2.198 -0.1792
Erosion of Will 244 36.07 -6.006 49.18% -2.463 -0.2527
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 67 48.61 0.054 79.1% -0.962 -0.2683
Memory Fades to Dust 268 34.74 -6.554 47.39% -2.471 -0.2559
Power Corrodes the Spirit 259 37.23 -5.241 53.67% -2.211 -0.1943
Promising Farmlands 222 35.45 -5.952 50.45% -2.281 -0.0677
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 43 49.14 0.302 83.72% -0.664 -0.234
Thriving Communities 263 38.1 -4.715 57.03% -2.018 0.0783
Unnatural Proliferation 260 38.02 -4.901 53.46% -2.257 -0.1706
Untended Land Crumbles 255 33.35 -7.125 43.14% -2.662 -0.566

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 832 62.62% 44.7 0.032 68.03% 0.384 -0.717
B 985 62.64% 45.04 0.269 69.24% 0.436 -0.7601
C 1012 59.88% 44.81 0.055 67.69% 0.261 -1.1671
D 882 60.32% 44.39 -0.099 67.69% 0.289 -0.9019
E 1009 56.89% 46.4 0.601 71.36% 0.403 -0.8961
F 861 64.34% 43.7 -0.397 65.51% 0.268 -0.9859
G 731 65.66% 44.44 0.045 67.58% 0.409 -0.8335
H 768 61.85% 43.85 -0.422 65.76% 0.215 -1.0427
East 77 54.55% 52.61 1.061 70.13% 0.102 -0.8579
Northeast 67 65.67% 50.93 1.044 67.16% 0.275 -0.6262
Northwest 69 53.62% 48.84 0.343 63.77% 0.057 -0.918
Southeast 50 60.0% 48.16 -1.032 64.0% -0.565 -1.5697
Southwest 54 66.67% 48.91 0.127 70.37% 0.394 -0.2054
West 63 53.97% 55.76 1.99 77.78% 0.328 -0.3719

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 33.33% 19.0 -9.233 0.0% -0.941 -0.7209
Skip Initial Invader Actions 93 11.83% 64.25 5.957 96.77% 1.083 0.3782
Start of Game Growth 205 22.93% 60.41 4.374 93.17% 0.674 0.2222
Unlimited Undo 456 55.7% 49.36 1.343 76.97% 0.279 -0.1383
Using Tokens but Not Events 158 42.41% 50.87 1.919 82.28% 0.334 0.2831

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 452 22.33 0.44%
II 1952 30.75 52.72%
III 2096 34.25 83.21%
IV 848 37.47 99.53%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.125 Win Model: -0.218
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 3844 59.0% 45.14 67.9%
2 1064 67.86% 43.42 65.41%
3 303 64.69% 44.22 67.33%
4 137 46.72% 51.96 79.56%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1728
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1007
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 838
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2
Lose: Adversary condition 521
Win: Sacrifice victory 26
Lose: Scenario condition 27
Win: Scenario condition 18
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1112
Lose: Spirit destroyed 67

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 164 82.32% 39.77 -0.719 35.98% 0.08 0.216
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 91 87.91% 33.02 -3.664 20.88% -0.465 -0.2333
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 124 82.26% 37.31 -2.569 31.45% -0.274 -0.3609
Eyes Watch From the Trees 306 63.4% 48.4 0.016 51.96% -0.104 -0.4737
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 73 88.89% 33.04 -4.456 19.18% -0.698 -0.9535
Fractured Days Split the Sky 86 67.44% 48.35 2.791 47.67% 0.297 0.6587
Heart of the Wildfire 125 89.6% 35.54 -3.136 29.6% -0.091 0.2581
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 489 69.67% 46.29 1.633 51.74% 0.547 0.2454
Lightning's Swift Strike 153 82.35% 41.54 -0.153 39.22% 0.262 0.5235
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 595 59.83% 53.04 4.285 64.87% 0.899 0.609
Many Minds Move as One 397 76.07% 46.25 1.011 49.87% 0.432 -0.0952
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 156 86.54% 36.97 -2.754 29.49% -0.27 -0.4666
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 118 89.83% 36.03 -1.963 27.12% 0.086 0.1303
River Surges in Sunlight 199 82.91% 41.02 -0.192 34.67% 0.161 0.3131
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 148 83.11% 36.71 -2.837 28.38% -0.428 -0.2839
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 146 91.78% 32.0 -4.981 17.12% -0.902 -0.4598
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 351 73.43% 47.98 2.554 53.28% 0.693 0.6206
Shroud of Silent Mist 14 100.0% 34.29 -3.276 28.57% 0.059 0.0363
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 262 74.43% 37.48 -3.078 36.26% -0.368 -0.3891
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 235 71.49% 45.45 1.519 48.09% 0.464 0.6727
Thunderspeaker 121 87.6% 34.75 -3.175 20.66% -0.546 -0.4923
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 272 92.65% 39.48 -1.136 38.97% 0.524 0.5372
Vital Strength of the Earth 90 87.78% 32.11 -4.73 18.89% -0.811 0.0568
Volcano Looming High 99 80.81% 41.25 -1.121 41.41% 0.16 0.1309

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 15 60.0% 39.07 -3.057 33.33% -0.805 -0.2237
Dahan Insurrection 4 20 60.0% 52.75 6.168 35.0% -0.251 0.1527
Elemental Invocation 1 10 100.0% 30.0 -4.874 10.0% -0.621 -0.2491
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 206 40.78% 54.9 4.747 63.59% 0.125 0.4898
Powers Long Forgotten 1 12 100.0% 25.5 -6.902 0.0% -1.171 -0.7302
Rituals of Terror 3 9 100.0% 30.67 -2.886 0.0% -0.608 0.026
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 2 50.0% 57.5 6.736 50.0% -0.069 0.5719
Second Wave 0 50 84.0% 39.7 -1.619 34.0% -0.318 0.1057
The Great River 3 3 100.0% 51.0 0.003 33.33% -0.235 1.1857
Ward the Shores 2 8 87.5% 33.13 -5.853 12.5% -1.003 0.0388

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 2243 69.96% 46.26 1.227 50.78% 0.286 0.6133
1 Thematic 177 76.84% 40.11 -1.366 30.51% -0.465 0.0089
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 549 84.88% 37.89 -1.933 32.24% -0.201 -0.0043
2 Coastline 52 75.0% 49.75 2.86 59.62% 0.664 0.8154
2 Fragment 6 100.0% 24.33 -10.812 0.0% -1.205 -0.8006
2 Heart 5 80.0% 40.4 0.178 40.0% 0.162 0.4738
2 Opposite Shores 56 78.57% 41.71 -0.574 39.29% 0.04 0.2632
2 Thematic 21 66.67% 35.71 -5.056 19.05% -1.416 -1.3876
2 Top to Top 11 72.73% 54.82 6.566 72.73% 1.3 1.44
3 Coastline 6 66.67% 53.67 3.754 50.0% -0.137 -0.1843
3 Other 11 100.0% 42.27 1.666 45.45% 0.757 1.1951
3 Round (Default) 166 82.53% 42.77 1.227 42.77% 0.466 0.524
3 Thematic 4 75.0% 41.75 -1.085 25.0% -0.333 -0.6945
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 64.0 7.063 100.0% 0.075 0.138
4 Other 2 0.0% 47.0 -7.002 50.0% -0.775 -0.6433
4 Thematic 11 90.91% 52.45 4.362 54.55% 0.861 -0.1985
4 Trapezoid (Default) 93 84.95% 36.95 -1.375 29.03% -0.376 -0.3376
5 Other 4 50.0% 53.0 2.426 75.0% 0.322 0.1226

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 205 35.24 -6.044 26.34% -2.668 -0.5979
Aid From Lesser Spirits 144 40.67 -3.247 37.5% -2.145 -0.2233
All Things Weaken 208 34.74 -6.819 26.44% -2.75 -0.5968
Back Against the Wall 147 35.86 -5.307 25.17% -2.598 -0.5019
Disintegrating Ecosystem 183 31.8 -7.661 21.31% -2.895 -0.669
Downward Spiral 185 36.39 -5.544 34.05% -2.275 -0.2562
Erosion of Will 186 37.11 -5.252 32.26% -2.416 -0.2052
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 47 57.26 4.273 78.72% -0.226 0.4677
Memory Fades to Dust 182 36.32 -5.854 31.87% -2.429 -0.2136
Power Corrodes the Spirit 185 34.34 -6.823 26.49% -2.693 -0.6765
Promising Farmlands 187 33.7 -6.689 26.74% -2.606 -0.3923
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 22 60.73 5.341 86.36% 0.128 0.558
Thriving Communities 215 36.24 -5.785 32.56% -2.357 -0.2609
Unnatural Proliferation 227 34.9 -6.538 24.67% -2.786 -0.7001
Untended Land Crumbles 207 33.39 -7.146 23.67% -2.811 -0.715

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 574 80.14% 42.04 -0.435 41.64% 0.191 -0.9106
B 604 77.81% 42.0 -0.474 41.06% 0.059 -1.1374
C 674 74.74% 44.3 0.692 46.59% 0.296 -1.1322
D 546 77.11% 41.66 -0.58 40.84% 0.077 -1.1143
E 738 68.56% 47.7 1.16 52.85% 0.227 -1.0723
F 476 77.0% 42.38 -0.531 42.44% 0.052 -1.2025
G 445 82.25% 40.49 -0.881 38.65% 0.156 -1.0861
H 520 79.04% 41.3 -0.701 39.23% 0.054 -1.203
East 37 72.97% 43.38 -0.443 32.43% -0.305 -1.2647
Northeast 47 82.98% 42.7 -0.497 31.91% 0.12 -0.7812
Northwest 36 77.78% 43.42 0.474 33.33% 0.232 -0.7424
Southeast 41 65.85% 50.39 4.071 51.22% 0.948 -0.0564
Southwest 44 72.73% 35.45 -3.728 27.27% -0.305 -0.9042
West 47 87.23% 39.53 -1.583 25.53% -0.287 -0.9869

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3 0.0% 35.33 -8.692 33.33% -1.065 0.984
Skip Initial Invader Actions 30 23.33% 65.73 7.252 80.0% 0.328 -0.3773
Start of Game Growth 247 35.63% 63.09 6.922 81.78% 1.262 0.8103
Unlimited Undo 361 65.64% 48.92 1.891 54.02% 0.269 -0.1484
Using Tokens but Not Events 231 47.81% 56.45 2.63 71.0% -0.035 -0.0863

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 287 22.33 1.74%
II 1924 30.75 33.37%
III 883 34.25 66.25%
IV 324 37.47 99.69%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.365 Win Model: -0.296
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2425 70.52% 45.82 49.32%
2 701 83.02% 39.15 34.81%
3 181 82.32% 43.06 42.54%
4 111 81.98% 39.49 34.23%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 5
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 574
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 628
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 322
Lose: Adversary condition 459
Win: Sacrifice victory 18
Lose: Scenario condition 39
Win: Scenario condition 8
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1312
Lose: Spirit destroyed 53

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 715 79.44% 47.63 -1.517 35.66% 0.05 0.1856
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 382 94.76% 35.09 -6.677 15.45% -0.754 -0.5224
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 423 92.65% 34.56 -6.917 14.89% -0.846 -0.9321
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1077 61.0% 63.04 2.44 50.14% -0.064 -0.4343
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 248 89.52% 39.54 -4.901 23.39% -0.372 -0.6273
Fractured Days Split the Sky 758 68.21% 58.25 2.405 49.47% 0.346 0.7073
Heart of the Wildfire 587 91.82% 32.89 -7.86 14.31% -0.892 -0.5432
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5804 59.18% 61.85 5.996 70.02% 1.338 1.0366
Lightning's Swift Strike 655 85.45% 43.48 -2.379 30.99% 0.065 0.3259
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2799 70.85% 56.54 3.218 56.98% 0.968 0.6786
Many Minds Move as One 1005 88.36% 45.02 -1.754 35.72% 0.376 -0.151
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 622 90.19% 37.23 -5.549 19.45% -0.586 -0.7825
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 341 90.59% 40.89 -3.589 27.86% 0.01 0.0544
River Surges in Sunlight 902 87.79% 45.27 -1.452 31.37% 0.149 0.3013
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1068 73.69% 53.76 0.747 49.53% 0.497 0.6415
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 539 88.68% 39.38 -4.817 22.26% -0.46 -0.0174
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 916 80.24% 47.56 -1.08 38.65% 0.177 0.1045
Shroud of Silent Mist 123 95.93% 35.36 -6.825 15.45% -0.757 -0.7802
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2043 67.06% 46.7 -1.946 43.61% 0.073 0.0526
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 994 85.6% 47.01 -1.293 37.63% 0.291 0.4997
Thunderspeaker 467 88.44% 42.25 -3.812 24.84% -0.352 -0.2978
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 921 95.55% 39.07 -4.761 25.95% -0.078 -0.0644
Vital Strength of the Earth 281 87.9% 37.92 -5.249 21.71% -0.453 0.4157
Volcano Looming High 645 81.86% 46.76 -1.389 39.22% 0.303 0.2739

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 150 74.15% 44.65 -4.325 35.33% -0.896 -0.3148
Dahan Insurrection 4 696 28.78% 92.99 18.332 80.46% 1.164 1.5674
Elemental Invocation 1 73 94.52% 35.99 -6.364 9.59% -1.304 -0.9312
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 793 51.64% 53.54 0.821 48.05% -0.462 -0.098
Powers Long Forgotten 1 4 100.0% 28.5 -13.336 0.0% -1.16 -0.7185
Rituals of Terror 3 12 83.33% 38.5 -5.408 8.33% -1.012 -0.3779
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 3 100.0% 31.33 -6.924 0.0% -0.452 0.1889
Second Wave 0 69 75.36% 52.78 0.575 44.93% -0.038 0.3855
The Great River 3 16 81.25% 39.69 -8.11 12.5% -1.944 -0.5228
Ward the Shores 2 12 91.67% 40.5 -2.051 16.67% -0.325 0.7168

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 16408 71.96% 52.28 0.881 49.46% -0.254 0.0735
1 Thematic 522 80.84% 46.94 -2.672 31.23% -0.95 -0.4764
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1274 83.91% 47.05 -0.84 37.6% -0.237 -0.0405
2 Coastline 245 84.9% 45.5 -1.545 37.14% -0.293 -0.1419
2 Fragment 45 88.89% 48.47 0.794 44.44% 0.181 0.5852
2 Heart 29 96.55% 49.14 0.195 48.28% -0.03 0.2826
2 Opposite Shores 298 87.92% 40.11 -2.929 25.5% -0.615 -0.3918
2 Thematic 57 91.07% 42.18 -3.174 19.3% -0.4 -0.3713
2 Top to Top 53 75.47% 55.3 2.935 54.72% 0.267 0.4074
3 Coastline 3 100.0% 45.33 2.301 33.33% 0.203 0.1557
3 Other 28 78.57% 54.11 1.438 57.14% 0.132 0.5704
3 Round (Default) 522 83.14% 47.0 0.296 39.66% 0.336 0.3944
3 Thematic 64 37.5% 85.33 8.887 67.19% 0.73 0.3686
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 42.67 3.721 33.33% 0.644 0.7078
4 Other 29 82.76% 39.17 -6.011 20.69% -0.907 -0.7762
4 Thematic 109 54.13% 61.28 0.766 50.46% 0.787 -0.2729
4 Trapezoid (Default) 264 78.41% 47.83 1.284 39.39% 0.522 0.5601
5 Other 8 87.5% 38.0 -1.751 25.0% -0.085 -0.2841

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1127 42.49 -5.987 31.23% -2.521 -0.4505
Aid From Lesser Spirits 854 46.58 -3.831 37.7% -2.208 -0.2863
All Things Weaken 1263 41.51 -6.521 29.3% -2.589 -0.4356
Back Against the Wall 812 45.48 -4.43 35.22% -2.334 -0.2374
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1073 36.84 -8.763 22.83% -2.954 -0.728
Downward Spiral 1141 44.24 -5.05 37.95% -2.154 -0.1354
Erosion of Will 1127 40.78 -6.734 27.6% -2.659 -0.4489
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 233 64.5 4.149 77.68% -0.54 0.1531
Memory Fades to Dust 1130 42.07 -6.282 32.12% -2.474 -0.2591
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1172 41.88 -6.338 31.74% -2.48 -0.4629
Promising Farmlands 1094 40.8 -6.878 29.89% -2.586 -0.3725
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 138 69.59 6.206 86.23% 0.07 0.4998
Thriving Communities 1109 42.28 -6.007 32.55% -2.417 -0.3213
Unnatural Proliferation 1222 41.38 -6.388 27.82% -2.623 -0.5365
Untended Land Crumbles 1210 41.78 -6.374 31.57% -2.487 -0.3908

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3031 81.25% 46.29 -1.428 38.6% 0.323 -0.7782
B 2958 80.21% 48.03 -0.918 42.33% 0.402 -0.7938
C 3474 77.25% 48.23 -0.761 42.2% 0.369 -1.0596
D 2482 77.44% 47.68 -0.89 41.3% 0.365 -0.8258
E 3632 74.5% 51.65 0.182 48.71% 0.45 -0.8495
F 2512 75.47% 50.1 -0.242 45.74% 0.421 -0.8334
G 2149 76.64% 49.84 -0.338 44.77% 0.425 -0.8175
H 3121 61.07% 61.3 3.69 61.65% 0.8 -0.4571
East 264 60.08% 64.79 2.495 47.35% 0.363 -0.5968
Northeast 213 61.5% 64.18 2.473 47.89% 0.436 -0.4656
Northwest 136 74.26% 51.48 -1.891 35.29% 0.0 -0.9746
Southeast 103 67.96% 50.29 -1.822 33.98% -0.141 -1.1456
Southwest 147 72.79% 47.13 -2.804 34.69% 0.137 -0.4631
West 221 54.09% 67.72 3.312 52.49% 0.155 -0.5449

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 8 0.0% 62.25 -3.612 62.5% -1.311 0.7374
Skip Initial Invader Actions 515 37.08% 70.4 5.376 74.37% 0.334 -0.3704
Start of Game Growth 1052 38.7% 69.55 5.632 77.85% 0.471 0.0192
Unlimited Undo 1961 63.49% 60.51 3.767 65.22% 0.787 0.3698
Using Tokens but Not Events 823 62.33% 53.43 0.169 53.22% -0.168 -0.2187

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3645 22.33 0.96%
II 9915 30.75 40.45%
III 4690 34.25 78.49%
IV 1711 37.47 99.77%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.14 Win Model: -0.971
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 17016 72.22% 52.16 49.02%
2 1938 85.49% 45.41 34.78%
3 605 78.02% 51.04 42.15%
4 402 72.89% 50.43 40.8%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 33
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3616
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3408
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1697
Lose: Invader deck ran out 21
Lose: Adversary condition 2836
Win: Sacrifice victory 118
Lose: Scenario condition 178
Win: Scenario condition 562
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7210
Lose: Spirit destroyed 282

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2025-01-22 01:48:30 (Pacific Time)