The Tsardom of Russia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 288 21.88% 27.3 -0.045 91.32% -0.32 -0.1739
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 237 39.24% 26.08 -0.075 89.45% 0.187 0.4232
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 422 24.58% 28.02 0.338 94.31% 0.362 0.2753
Eyes Watch From the Trees 352 12.82% 32.22 1.743 96.88% 0.68 0.3105
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 296 24.66% 29.55 0.815 95.61% 0.865 0.6319
Fractured Days Split the Sky 185 30.81% 28.1 0.698 84.32% -0.768 -0.4342
Heart of the Wildfire 254 57.09% 23.43 -1.22 81.89% -0.18 0.1674
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 517 27.43% 26.91 -0.112 93.42% 0.362 0.064
Lightning's Swift Strike 408 25.68% 27.73 0.388 90.2% -0.266 0.0025
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 359 28.29% 27.83 0.463 94.71% 0.676 0.3157
Many Minds Move as One 684 18.5% 28.71 0.783 97.22% 0.882 0.3687
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 327 40.67% 24.92 -0.79 86.54% -0.096 -0.2928
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 308 33.12% 26.17 -0.432 90.91% 0.047 0.0941
River Surges in Sunlight 435 38.16% 28.63 0.711 85.29% -0.392 -0.2251
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 257 26.46% 26.53 -0.365 89.88% -0.274 -0.125
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 343 41.23% 26.84 0.083 88.34% 0.059 0.5084
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 437 23.04% 28.2 0.468 93.82% 0.07 0.0052
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 485 26.65% 25.19 -1.208 91.34% 0.028 0.0089
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 281 29.18% 27.23 -0.06 90.04% -0.09 0.1254
Thunderspeaker 286 28.67% 30.32 0.71 89.16% -0.313 -0.2527
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 310 61.29% 21.23 -2.146 80.32% -0.315 -0.2789
Vital Strength of the Earth 306 28.76% 23.49 -2.053 80.39% -1.19 -0.3254
Volcano Looming High 116 32.76% 24.89 -0.881 90.52% -0.039 -0.1401

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 94 31.91% 23.05 -2.156 80.85% -0.923 -0.3503
Dahan Insurrection 4 143 15.38% 51.64 11.18 92.31% -0.421 -0.02
Elemental Invocation 1 17 41.18% 24.47 -0.722 82.35% -0.718 -0.2523
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 257 8.95% 29.82 0.745 89.49% -1.088 -0.7129
Powers Long Forgotten 1 57 54.39% 27.63 0.535 77.19% -0.672 -0.2254
Rituals of Terror 3 72 43.48% 35.97 4.247 75.0% -0.833 -0.2107
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 56 66.07% 37.48 5.637 80.36% -0.023 0.6013
Second Wave 0 88 52.27% 27.09 0.866 80.68% -0.478 -0.0593
The Great River 3 39 53.85% 30.67 2.677 58.97% -1.843 -0.3582
Ward the Shores 2 74 49.32% 30.03 1.327 68.92% -1.167 -0.136

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3655 32.28% 26.31 -0.429 89.3% -0.074 0.2803
1 Thematic 495 38.41% 32.82 1.74 81.01% -0.341 0.1567
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 654 27.11% 25.78 -0.503 92.97% 0.052 0.2414
2 Coastline 85 29.41% 25.64 -0.519 87.06% -0.444 -0.309
2 Fragment 18 16.67% 26.0 -0.346 94.44% -0.077 0.3491
2 Heart 12 50.0% 22.67 -1.278 75.0% -0.548 -0.2572
2 Opposite Shores 97 19.59% 26.21 -0.468 96.91% 0.417 0.6435
2 Thematic 106 29.25% 34.73 1.833 91.51% 0.34 0.3845
2 Top to Top 11 18.18% 27.45 0.323 90.91% -0.042 0.0743
3 Coastline 3 33.33% 34.33 2.674 66.67% -0.486 -0.5234
3 Other 20 30.0% 24.45 -0.766 90.0% -0.373 0.0286
3 Round (Default) 307 30.94% 26.08 -0.136 93.49% 0.221 0.2522
3 Thematic 20 35.0% 30.1 -0.811 85.0% -0.337 -0.6759
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 31.0 3.483 100.0% 0.232 0.3547
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 31.0 0.815 100.0% 0.008 0.0875
4 Other 9 33.33% 30.22 2.045 100.0% 0.581 0.6621
4 Thematic 49 16.33% 36.08 0.144 97.96% 0.556 -0.522
4 Trapezoid (Default) 119 19.33% 26.95 0.03 93.28% -0.438 -0.4704
5 Other 7 57.14% 26.29 1.592 100.0% 0.502 0.2849

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 129 21.42 -3.4 73.64% -2.45 -0.3816
Aid From Lesser Spirits 102 20.75 -3.723 70.59% -2.551 -0.6349
All Things Weaken 140 20.07 -4.109 65.71% -2.938 -0.7777
Back Against the Wall 96 19.13 -4.48 58.33% -3.251 -1.1591
Disintegrating Ecosystem 128 17.07 -5.437 63.28% -2.971 -0.75
Downward Spiral 142 21.49 -3.315 79.58% -2.071 -0.0564
Erosion of Will 96 19.45 -4.238 69.79% -2.72 -0.5086
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 72 25.49 -1.155 98.61% 0.348 1.0593
Memory Fades to Dust 148 18.43 -4.8 61.49% -3.094 -0.8784
Power Corrodes the Spirit 147 20.49 -3.723 70.07% -2.617 -0.5976
Promising Farmlands 110 18.06 -4.834 65.45% -2.862 -0.6475
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 48 24.88 -1.464 97.92% 0.163 0.5799
Thriving Communities 131 17.66 -5.141 66.41% -2.983 -0.8763
Unnatural Proliferation 147 20.39 -3.648 71.43% -2.702 -0.6213
Untended Land Crumbles 141 20.42 -3.862 67.38% -2.897 -0.8016

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 892 30.86% 25.7 -0.54 89.01% 0.033 -1.0399
B 907 27.8% 26.47 -0.147 91.95% 0.385 -0.7793
C 1072 29.53% 26.52 -0.043 92.16% 0.473 -0.9234
D 927 29.88% 26.12 -0.279 91.05% 0.229 -0.9293
E 896 30.8% 26.28 -0.131 91.85% 0.359 -0.8975
F 813 29.84% 26.14 -0.304 89.79% 0.008 -1.2174
G 720 29.39% 26.5 -0.067 91.39% 0.316 -0.897
H 758 31.84% 25.96 -0.352 90.9% 0.346 -0.8753
East 191 28.57% 36.47 2.499 91.1% 0.445 -0.4905
Northeast 158 32.91% 34.7 1.576 87.97% 0.291 -0.5783
Northwest 143 33.57% 34.14 1.321 88.81% 0.238 -0.7074
Southeast 131 25.95% 32.9 1.294 89.31% 0.325 -0.6576
Southwest 123 33.33% 27.45 -1.864 78.05% -0.807 -1.4319
West 194 34.54% 35.24 1.824 85.05% 0.236 -0.4288

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 19 0.0% 30.95 0.28 94.74% -0.531 1.5074
Not Using Events or Tokens 11 27.27% 34.36 1.687 81.82% -0.145 0.0754
Skip Initial Invader Actions 145 7.91% 37.36 3.451 99.31% 1.386 0.6804
Start of Game Growth 222 11.98% 34.56 2.065 96.4% 0.179 -0.2797
Unlimited Undo 328 24.76% 28.52 0.348 93.9% 0.288 -0.114
Using Tokens but Not Events 473 27.97% 26.11 -0.469 89.64% -0.028 -0.0744

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 330 22.34 57.58%
II 2136 30.71 87.83%
III 2199 34.23 91.41%
IV 1007 37.48 99.5%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.059 Win Model: -0.027
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4160 33.0% 27.08 88.34%
2 983 26.78% 26.77 92.47%
3 349 31.81% 26.35 92.55%
4 180 20.0% 29.59 95.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 190
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1947
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1742
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 994
Lose: Invader deck ran out 41
Win: Sacrifice victory 22
Lose: Scenario condition 40
Win: Scenario condition 183
Lose: Blight pool ran out 485
Lose: Spirit destroyed 28

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 190 42.63% 32.32 -0.071 78.95% -0.051 0.0951
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 133 66.92% 30.81 -0.019 75.19% 0.269 0.5056
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 180 41.9% 33.73 0.295 79.44% -0.024 -0.1106
Eyes Watch From the Trees 299 29.53% 40.07 2.506 87.96% 0.423 0.0538
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 160 37.11% 36.09 1.581 87.5% 0.545 0.312
Fractured Days Split the Sky 94 45.74% 32.28 -0.088 74.47% -0.343 -0.0092
Heart of the Wildfire 195 77.44% 24.81 -2.934 56.92% -0.417 -0.0694
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 387 45.85% 31.7 -0.268 79.33% 0.104 -0.1942
Lightning's Swift Strike 209 53.37% 30.9 -0.775 71.77% -0.241 0.027
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 299 37.79% 35.65 1.64 89.63% 0.803 0.442
Many Minds Move as One 541 32.04% 36.92 2.124 93.35% 1.106 0.5924
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 193 55.73% 31.68 -0.603 74.61% -0.157 -0.3542
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 176 48.86% 34.35 0.621 82.39% 0.458 0.5058
River Surges in Sunlight 266 51.5% 32.64 0.318 72.56% -0.18 -0.0131
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 166 52.41% 29.81 -1.291 72.29% -0.326 -0.1765
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 177 58.76% 31.32 -0.112 74.01% 0.034 0.4828
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 406 40.49% 34.49 0.822 84.98% 0.234 0.1696
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 290 44.64% 26.78 -3.04 62.76% -1.101 -1.1199
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 198 43.43% 33.75 0.324 80.3% 0.085 0.3006
Thunderspeaker 186 45.7% 35.09 0.362 74.73% -0.326 -0.2664
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 164 78.05% 26.31 -2.238 63.41% -0.206 -0.1701
Vital Strength of the Earth 154 48.05% 29.1 -1.63 69.48% -0.508 0.3566
Volcano Looming High 56 64.29% 28.46 -1.163 73.21% -0.027 -0.1279

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 40 35.0% 30.5 -1.858 75.0% -0.391 0.1812
Dahan Insurrection 4 93 21.51% 60.96 12.599 90.32% 0.397 0.7978
Elemental Invocation 1 3 33.33% 34.0 1.335 66.67% -0.14 0.325
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 143 18.88% 36.17 1.38 81.82% -0.358 0.0172
Powers Long Forgotten 1 48 66.67% 26.4 -2.201 43.75% -0.996 -0.5492
Rituals of Terror 3 43 58.14% 42.77 4.72 65.12% -0.48 0.1425
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 35 77.14% 40.26 4.328 62.86% -0.101 0.5234
Second Wave 0 292 51.37% 31.89 -0.062 67.47% -0.656 -0.2367
The Great River 3 17 82.35% 25.18 -1.603 29.41% -1.282 0.2032
Ward the Shores 2 58 51.72% 36.43 1.712 67.24% -0.49 0.5408

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 2200 47.24% 31.75 -0.258 75.82% -0.125 0.2301
1 Thematic 377 54.79% 35.15 0.429 64.19% -0.599 -0.1013
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 438 47.72% 31.38 -0.375 80.59% -0.086 0.1032
2 Coastline 82 45.12% 31.2 -0.143 74.39% -0.256 -0.1212
2 Fragment 13 53.85% 30.92 -0.822 76.92% -0.256 0.1695
2 Heart 6 66.67% 25.5 -2.906 50.0% -0.811 -0.5201
2 Opposite Shores 115 44.35% 32.19 -0.087 83.48% 0.085 0.3118
2 Thematic 67 64.18% 35.06 0.565 73.13% -0.277 -0.2328
2 Top to Top 7 28.57% 39.0 3.262 100.0% 0.616 0.7323
3 Coastline 5 40.0% 28.6 -0.365 60.0% -0.104 -0.1416
3 Other 14 71.43% 29.07 -0.332 78.57% 0.405 0.8073
3 Round (Default) 168 35.33% 33.56 0.346 86.31% -0.041 -0.0099
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 30.0 1.94 100.0% 0.409 0.1561
3 Thematic 21 66.67% 38.33 2.338 80.95% 0.702 0.3628
4 Other 9 55.56% 33.44 0.928 88.89% 0.234 0.3152
4 Thematic 29 37.93% 42.28 1.308 89.66% -0.09 -1.1676
4 Trapezoid (Default) 79 39.24% 36.46 0.801 91.14% 0.199 0.1667
5 Other 2 0.0% 42.5 1.801 100.0% 0.013 -0.2043

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 142 23.29 -5.383 48.59% -2.518 -0.4498
Aid From Lesser Spirits 108 27.99 -3.11 63.89% -1.846 0.0704
All Things Weaken 153 23.32 -5.2 50.33% -2.335 -0.1747
Back Against the Wall 99 24.59 -4.517 51.52% -2.32 -0.2275
Disintegrating Ecosystem 113 22.02 -5.968 48.67% -2.378 -0.1564
Downward Spiral 124 25.57 -4.329 62.1% -1.887 0.1274
Erosion of Will 128 23.77 -5.328 53.13% -2.363 -0.1517
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 58 33.91 -0.547 84.48% -0.8 -0.0883
Memory Fades to Dust 149 24.99 -4.544 61.07% -1.982 0.2342
Power Corrodes the Spirit 117 24.67 -4.78 54.7% -2.253 -0.2332
Promising Farmlands 119 23.83 -5.067 57.14% -2.135 0.0795
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 30 30.93 -1.347 83.33% -0.573 -0.156
Thriving Communities 125 23.98 -5.024 56.0% -2.101 0.0061
Unnatural Proliferation 132 24.45 -4.624 54.55% -2.215 -0.1344
Untended Land Crumbles 133 24.25 -4.852 57.89% -2.021 0.074

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 619 44.59% 32.21 -0.125 79.81% 0.196 -0.8777
B 617 44.72% 32.77 0.247 81.69% 0.318 -0.8464
C 658 43.62% 32.63 0.207 80.85% 0.334 -1.0624
D 558 45.7% 32.01 -0.144 78.85% 0.141 -1.0168
E 578 45.74% 31.78 -0.323 77.34% 0.005 -1.2518
F 561 46.79% 31.34 -0.428 77.36% 0.075 -1.1513
G 431 45.12% 32.33 0.034 79.81% 0.243 -0.9698
H 454 49.23% 32.24 -0.084 79.3% 0.255 -0.9668
East 121 52.89% 38.58 1.547 72.73% 0.077 -0.859
Northeast 121 54.17% 38.07 1.545 73.55% 0.358 -0.5111
Northwest 83 54.22% 36.06 0.335 74.7% 0.299 -0.6458
Southeast 96 57.29% 35.47 1.217 69.79% 0.34 -0.6428
Southwest 98 62.24% 28.19 -3.017 60.2% -0.36 -0.9855
West 146 50.0% 42.68 3.331 79.45% 0.58 -0.0856

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 7 0.0% 28.71 -4.092 57.14% -1.375 0.6634
Not Using Events or Tokens 6 16.67% 35.17 -1.554 66.67% -0.94 -0.7196
Skip Initial Invader Actions 89 11.63% 47.02 4.165 93.26% 0.078 -0.628
Start of Game Growth 132 13.18% 44.97 3.802 93.18% 0.742 0.2829
Unlimited Undo 264 42.25% 33.78 0.387 81.06% 0.072 -0.3305
Using Tokens but Not Events 264 43.58% 30.68 -1.06 73.48% -0.432 -0.4786

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 436 22.34 17.43%
II 1287 30.71 74.2%
III 1428 34.23 88.52%
IV 483 37.48 99.38%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.204 Win Model: 0.152
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2583 48.47% 32.24 74.14%
2 730 48.22% 31.86 79.59%
3 208 41.55% 33.59 84.62%
4 113 38.05% 38.14 91.15%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 75
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1217
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 874
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 476
Lose: Invader deck ran out 21
Lose: Adversary condition 331
Win: Sacrifice victory 10
Lose: Scenario condition 27
Win: Scenario condition 123
Lose: Blight pool ran out 450
Lose: Spirit destroyed 30

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 256 39.84% 37.89 -0.497 79.69% -0.382 -0.2352
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 191 57.59% 36.32 -0.677 77.49% -0.117 0.1198
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 238 40.76% 40.33 1.262 89.92% 0.732 0.6456
Eyes Watch From the Trees 336 30.65% 42.68 1.956 91.37% 0.674 0.3052
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 196 43.37% 39.98 0.814 86.22% 0.29 0.0574
Fractured Days Split the Sky 106 52.83% 37.49 -0.373 73.58% -0.575 -0.2419
Heart of the Wildfire 275 61.09% 34.83 -1.237 75.27% -0.111 0.236
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 516 39.92% 38.35 -0.131 85.47% 0.12 -0.1781
Lightning's Swift Strike 252 56.35% 36.62 -0.566 76.19% -0.232 0.0362
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 438 41.32% 41.46 1.843 92.01% 0.91 0.5488
Many Minds Move as One 641 26.05% 42.6 2.099 94.85% 0.994 0.4805
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 318 53.77% 35.84 -1.321 74.53% -0.397 -0.5936
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 233 40.77% 39.45 0.593 86.27% 0.395 0.4427
River Surges in Sunlight 379 52.24% 39.91 0.917 81.53% 0.1 0.2675
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 210 47.62% 36.4 -0.724 82.38% -0.063 0.086
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 228 53.07% 36.46 -0.583 75.88% -0.284 0.1655
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 465 32.26% 41.4 1.178 89.68% 0.27 0.2056
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 333 37.54% 34.63 -1.933 78.08% -0.562 -0.5812
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 271 33.58% 40.66 0.757 88.93% 0.344 0.559
Thunderspeaker 212 43.87% 40.74 0.372 79.72% -0.286 -0.2263
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 243 68.72% 31.97 -2.48 70.37% -0.37 -0.3332
Vital Strength of the Earth 205 46.34% 33.28 -2.385 73.17% -0.725 0.1391
Volcano Looming High 81 46.91% 34.88 -1.547 75.31% -0.529 -0.6296

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 77 46.75% 31.91 -3.592 62.34% -1.163 -0.5904
Dahan Insurrection 4 58 13.79% 65.69 12.261 89.66% -0.09 0.311
Elemental Invocation 1 8 37.5% 42.0 1.159 87.5% -0.097 0.3683
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 248 22.58% 43.25 2.054 88.71% 0.115 0.4906
Powers Long Forgotten 1 49 65.31% 40.76 1.478 73.47% -0.09 0.357
Rituals of Terror 3 29 51.72% 40.93 1.549 51.72% -1.445 -0.8231
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 19 57.89% 47.47 5.066 68.42% -0.249 0.3753
Second Wave 0 179 44.13% 39.07 0.565 79.33% -0.379 0.04
The Great River 3 20 80.0% 42.1 2.532 65.0% -0.962 0.5224
Ward the Shores 2 58 53.45% 40.86 0.608 63.79% -1.023 0.0077

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 2904 44.49% 37.0 -0.371 80.17% -0.089 0.2655
1 Thematic 342 54.68% 37.98 -0.278 66.67% -0.496 0.0017
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 601 43.93% 38.19 0.102 87.19% 0.065 0.2548
2 Coastline 61 40.98% 40.51 0.952 90.16% 0.348 0.4827
2 Fragment 6 83.33% 28.5 -3.677 66.67% -0.351 0.0751
2 Heart 7 71.43% 29.0 -3.361 57.14% -0.568 -0.2775
2 Opposite Shores 97 45.36% 37.4 -0.424 83.51% -0.158 0.0685
2 Thematic 140 43.57% 43.09 1.53 83.57% 0.301 0.345
2 Top to Top 14 21.43% 37.0 -0.89 85.71% -0.38 -0.2632
3 Coastline 12 75.0% 44.17 2.966 100.0% 0.997 0.959
3 Other 11 45.45% 40.09 0.917 90.91% 0.107 0.5085
3 Round (Default) 218 42.2% 38.5 -0.071 88.53% -0.254 -0.2231
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 43.0 0.174 100.0% 0.007 -0.2457
3 Thematic 23 52.17% 45.91 2.313 91.3% 0.77 0.4309
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 38.5 0.415 50.0% -0.482 -0.3596
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 47.0 3.279 100.0% 0.013 0.0926
4 Other 5 40.0% 42.8 0.724 100.0% 0.135 0.2157
4 Thematic 56 16.07% 51.95 2.291 91.07% 0.125 -0.9534
4 Trapezoid (Default) 119 34.45% 40.42 0.457 92.44% -0.138 -0.171
5 Other 3 66.67% 40.0 -0.871 100.0% 0.07 -0.1466

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 162 29.56 -4.93 61.11% -2.153 -0.0846
Aid From Lesser Spirits 129 32.19 -3.685 66.67% -1.961 -0.0449
All Things Weaken 155 28.77 -5.112 58.06% -2.188 -0.0282
Back Against the Wall 123 29.82 -5.027 56.91% -2.434 -0.3415
Disintegrating Ecosystem 144 25.75 -6.859 52.08% -2.583 -0.3615
Downward Spiral 161 33.03 -3.281 75.16% -1.56 0.4541
Erosion of Will 140 30.74 -4.236 66.43% -1.908 0.3033
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 60 39.03 -0.135 93.33% 0.117 0.8288
Memory Fades to Dust 129 27.81 -5.816 58.14% -2.268 -0.0521
Power Corrodes the Spirit 156 29.03 -5.209 60.9% -2.147 -0.1268
Promising Farmlands 140 29.49 -4.882 63.57% -1.919 0.296
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 52 36.69 -1.408 84.62% -0.872 -0.455
Thriving Communities 176 28.51 -5.342 61.36% -2.155 -0.0477
Unnatural Proliferation 172 31.08 -4.141 64.53% -2.087 -0.0065
Untended Land Crumbles 161 30.38 -4.312 64.6% -1.9 0.1956

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 730 43.56% 38.3 0.253 85.48% 0.342 -0.7312
B 764 44.76% 37.74 -0.053 84.82% 0.257 -0.9078
C 846 40.19% 38.65 0.359 85.82% 0.334 -1.0626
D 707 42.72% 37.55 -0.035 83.45% 0.2 -0.958
E 737 42.2% 38.03 -0.018 84.12% 0.163 -1.0942
F 697 45.77% 37.27 -0.319 83.64% 0.197 -1.0287
G 608 48.03% 37.13 -0.292 81.58% 0.083 -1.1291
H 667 42.13% 37.98 -0.004 83.66% 0.081 -1.1401
East 177 37.85% 44.9 1.205 79.66% -0.2 -1.1356
Northeast 164 42.68% 45.42 2.329 81.71% 0.442 -0.4272
Northwest 131 47.33% 43.56 0.742 77.1% -0.197 -1.1422
Southeast 135 39.26% 43.33 1.661 80.74% 0.382 -0.6014
Southwest 113 47.79% 37.6 -1.723 74.34% -0.326 -0.9509
West 164 37.8% 45.52 1.594 81.71% 0.01 -0.655

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 1 100.0% 30.0 -2.451 100.0% 0.284 0.5043
Skip Initial Invader Actions 79 5.06% 52.76 5.09 97.47% 1.275 0.5696
Start of Game Growth 142 14.08% 47.4 2.643 92.25% -0.006 -0.4647
Unlimited Undo 314 40.45% 38.74 0.197 85.35% 0.136 -0.2666
Using Tokens but Not Events 277 50.18% 34.29 -1.611 75.45% -0.385 -0.4315

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 291 22.34 0.34%
II 1099 30.71 66.7%
III 2130 34.23 90.38%
IV 1103 37.48 99.91%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.336 Win Model: 0.196
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 3254 45.64% 37.1 78.73%
2 923 43.77% 38.93 86.24%
3 261 44.44% 39.41 89.27%
4 185 29.73% 43.98 91.89%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1864
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 690
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1095
Lose: Invader deck ran out 13
Lose: Adversary condition 335
Win: Sacrifice victory 22
Lose: Scenario condition 22
Win: Scenario condition 89
Lose: Blight pool ran out 460
Lose: Spirit destroyed 32

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 229 53.28% 40.29 -0.193 64.63% -0.224 -0.0776
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 183 75.27% 36.11 -1.244 55.74% -0.089 0.1475
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 293 59.04% 40.1 -0.182 63.48% -0.07 -0.156
Eyes Watch From the Trees 363 50.14% 47.16 3.528 81.54% 0.918 0.5489
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 173 65.9% 40.34 -0.04 61.85% -0.025 -0.2581
Fractured Days Split the Sky 154 72.08% 35.56 -1.653 50.0% -0.485 -0.1511
Heart of the Wildfire 323 82.35% 31.98 -3.259 47.37% -0.279 0.0687
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 856 54.87% 40.79 0.216 69.04% 0.133 -0.1649
Lightning's Swift Strike 310 70.0% 39.29 -0.061 61.29% 0.096 0.3648
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 714 49.02% 46.57 3.329 82.07% 0.937 0.5761
Many Minds Move as One 714 50.84% 45.61 2.764 78.99% 0.654 0.1409
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 350 66.86% 37.28 -1.253 57.43% -0.252 -0.4495
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 262 61.07% 39.32 -0.489 62.21% -0.095 -0.0477
River Surges in Sunlight 419 72.73% 37.28 -1.05 53.22% -0.319 -0.1525
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 258 74.03% 37.37 -0.937 60.08% -0.021 0.1281
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 250 78.0% 35.88 -1.586 52.0% -0.205 0.2448
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 544 48.8% 45.55 2.295 77.39% 0.382 0.3177
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 503 54.49% 35.4 -2.752 57.46% -0.656 -0.6744
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 323 59.63% 41.58 0.928 69.97% 0.357 0.572
Thunderspeaker 243 69.42% 38.0 -0.972 55.97% -0.247 -0.1875
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 285 85.96% 33.94 -2.092 53.33% 0.029 0.0651
Vital Strength of the Earth 197 70.56% 33.93 -2.978 49.75% -0.559 0.3052
Volcano Looming High 118 69.49% 37.82 -0.567 61.86% 0.122 0.021

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 62 64.52% 27.52 -6.222 30.65% -1.722 -1.1498
Dahan Insurrection 4 58 53.45% 59.71 9.489 65.52% -0.188 0.213
Elemental Invocation 1 6 83.33% 49.17 4.121 83.33% 0.47 0.935
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 325 32.62% 49.07 3.698 82.15% 0.436 0.8109
Powers Long Forgotten 1 33 60.61% 38.79 -1.025 48.48% -0.927 -0.48
Rituals of Terror 3 16 68.75% 42.19 1.272 43.75% -0.716 -0.0937
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 5 40.0% 50.6 4.422 60.0% -0.418 0.2065
Second Wave 0 114 69.3% 33.56 -3.039 44.74% -0.971 -0.552
The Great River 3 11 54.55% 49.0 2.597 54.55% -0.957 0.528
Ward the Shores 2 29 72.41% 36.59 -0.857 41.38% -0.635 0.3953

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3781 59.19% 39.6 -0.16 64.32% -0.025 0.33
1 Thematic 297 63.3% 40.51 -0.218 55.22% -0.231 0.2663
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 807 64.93% 39.67 -0.009 65.92% -0.079 0.1105
2 Coastline 79 55.7% 41.86 0.553 69.62% -0.055 0.0802
2 Fragment 22 68.18% 37.59 -1.324 59.09% -0.446 -0.0205
2 Heart 4 75.0% 44.0 1.562 75.0% 0.138 0.4283
2 Opposite Shores 129 66.41% 38.71 -0.447 64.34% -0.09 0.1363
2 Thematic 66 60.61% 39.0 -0.666 48.48% -0.525 -0.4808
2 Top to Top 31 58.06% 41.48 0.401 70.97% -0.071 0.0458
3 Coastline 4 50.0% 52.25 4.25 75.0% 0.144 0.1065
3 Other 15 86.67% 42.73 2.211 73.33% 0.717 1.1185
3 Round (Default) 333 66.07% 39.7 0.173 66.97% -0.092 -0.0607
3 Thematic 13 76.92% 48.08 2.897 61.54% 0.368 0.0285
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 59.0 7.926 100.0% 0.404 0.5266
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 54.5 6.073 100.0% 0.371 0.4503
4 Other 8 62.5% 46.63 2.116 87.5% 0.305 0.3858
4 Thematic 39 53.85% 48.64 1.728 66.67% 0.134 -0.9438
4 Trapezoid (Default) 106 55.77% 43.64 0.891 75.47% -0.244 -0.2766
5 Other 1 100.0% 16.0 -13.002 0.0% -0.698 -0.915

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 256 32.14 -5.309 46.09% -2.332 -0.2641
Aid From Lesser Spirits 224 32.25 -5.403 43.3% -2.495 -0.5786
All Things Weaken 265 31.7 -5.587 45.28% -2.402 -0.2424
Back Against the Wall 220 33.0 -4.866 47.27% -2.315 -0.2224
Disintegrating Ecosystem 267 27.34 -7.751 36.33% -2.741 -0.5192
Downward Spiral 293 31.77 -5.218 49.49% -2.111 -0.0965
Erosion of Will 249 30.33 -6.347 41.77% -2.577 -0.3653
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 73 44.44 0.426 82.19% -0.707 0.0045
Memory Fades to Dust 247 31.31 -5.576 46.56% -2.269 -0.0536
Power Corrodes the Spirit 248 30.34 -6.087 44.35% -2.373 -0.3534
Promising Farmlands 248 29.93 -6.423 42.74% -2.487 -0.2723
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 58 45.38 0.906 82.76% -0.506 -0.0888
Thriving Communities 258 32.71 -4.759 52.33% -1.988 0.1188
Unnatural Proliferation 296 31.26 -5.459 43.92% -2.322 -0.2421
Untended Land Crumbles 285 30.52 -5.988 44.91% -2.343 -0.2477

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 963 62.16% 39.85 -0.064 66.04% 0.145 -0.9286
B 983 60.86% 39.8 -0.041 65.51% 0.115 -1.0494
C 1094 59.6% 40.93 0.623 68.19% 0.299 -1.0979
D 901 62.0% 39.56 -0.137 64.82% 0.08 -1.0782
E 1053 59.13% 40.57 0.184 67.05% 0.117 -1.1397
F 878 65.18% 39.61 0.08 66.17% 0.297 -0.929
G 802 62.63% 38.92 -0.351 62.84% 0.015 -1.198
H 814 62.12% 40.07 0.199 66.34% 0.206 -1.0158
East 129 61.24% 43.61 0.977 55.81% -0.035 -0.9704
Northeast 115 60.87% 41.39 -0.321 51.3% -0.23 -1.0994
Northwest 82 53.66% 43.88 1.284 58.54% -0.019 -0.9642
Southeast 100 64.0% 40.83 0.109 56.0% 0.182 -0.8006
Southwest 72 61.11% 42.71 -0.36 63.89% -0.051 -0.6762
West 100 63.0% 45.97 1.463 61.0% 0.167 -0.4981

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3 0.0% 48.67 -0.29 100.0% 0.175 2.2139
Not Using Events or Tokens 2 100.0% 29.5 -4.418 50.0% -0.0 0.2202
Skip Initial Invader Actions 140 10.14% 60.29 6.696 97.86% 1.655 0.9487
Start of Game Growth 197 16.92% 57.47 5.5 93.91% 0.869 0.4098
Unlimited Undo 335 52.55% 44.54 2.092 76.12% 0.493 0.0908
Using Tokens but Not Events 262 65.64% 36.36 -1.766 58.78% -0.358 -0.4038

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 665 22.34 0.6%
II 2120 30.71 49.1%
III 1884 34.23 84.24%
IV 1071 37.48 99.63%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.251 Win Model: 0.102
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4086 59.5% 39.67 63.68%
2 1136 64.32% 39.71 65.05%
3 366 66.67% 40.18 66.94%
4 152 54.67% 45.46 74.34%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1556
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1012
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1056
Lose: Adversary condition 724
Win: Sacrifice victory 21
Lose: Scenario condition 33
Win: Scenario condition 50
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1223
Lose: Spirit destroyed 61

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 167 59.28% 43.07 -0.838 63.47% -0.157 -0.0103
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 134 79.1% 38.31 -2.464 52.24% -0.295 -0.0589
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 184 66.85% 43.96 -0.146 66.3% 0.217 0.1309
Eyes Watch From the Trees 258 53.1% 50.4 2.588 78.29% 0.551 0.1816
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 106 66.98% 42.62 -0.599 60.38% -0.023 -0.2558
Fractured Days Split the Sky 151 66.89% 42.25 -0.964 54.3% -0.443 -0.1092
Heart of the Wildfire 186 75.27% 38.39 -2.775 53.76% -0.236 0.1112
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 609 54.68% 47.15 1.252 75.7% 0.483 0.1851
Lightning's Swift Strike 217 64.52% 44.24 0.251 64.52% 0.153 0.4211
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 614 49.67% 52.08 3.621 85.34% 1.087 0.7267
Many Minds Move as One 524 45.99% 52.55 3.435 83.78% 0.785 0.2715
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 240 74.17% 38.39 -2.839 51.67% -0.553 -0.7503
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 209 71.77% 39.06 -2.339 54.07% -0.319 -0.2711
River Surges in Sunlight 295 70.51% 40.68 -1.575 52.54% -0.382 -0.215
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 211 74.41% 39.09 -2.869 53.08% -0.527 -0.3774
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 186 74.73% 38.54 -2.601 49.46% -0.448 0.0016
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 426 50.7% 50.65 2.601 80.05% 0.62 0.5554
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 341 57.18% 38.89 -3.366 57.18% -0.691 -0.7097
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 321 61.99% 46.01 1.033 70.72% 0.322 0.5373
Thunderspeaker 159 74.84% 40.33 -1.468 55.97% -0.118 -0.0584
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 310 81.61% 42.09 -0.481 66.13% 0.475 0.511
Vital Strength of the Earth 132 78.79% 33.85 -4.677 42.42% -0.727 0.1379
Volcano Looming High 113 67.26% 42.18 -0.789 62.83% 0.116 0.0148

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 32 65.63% 31.5 -6.183 34.38% -1.368 -0.7958
Dahan Insurrection 4 27 44.44% 54.3 5.771 48.15% -0.814 -0.4137
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 217 32.72% 51.02 2.404 76.04% -0.106 0.2697
Powers Long Forgotten 1 11 81.82% 27.45 -6.451 18.18% -1.072 -0.625
Rituals of Terror 3 17 82.35% 40.0 -1.17 35.29% -0.828 -0.2059
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 9 88.89% 40.33 -0.782 33.33% -0.633 -0.0091
Second Wave 0 65 61.54% 45.11 -0.404 61.54% -0.555 -0.1364
The Great River 3 7 71.43% 43.86 -2.185 42.86% -1.247 0.238
Ward the Shores 2 5 80.0% 40.2 1.073 40.0% 0.102 1.1323

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 2946 59.71% 45.01 0.185 67.79% -0.22 0.1348
1 Thematic 112 64.29% 41.11 -1.321 50.0% -0.566 -0.0684
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 669 66.37% 43.09 -0.54 64.57% -0.463 -0.2739
2 Coastline 80 73.75% 41.0 -0.722 60.0% -0.164 -0.0289
2 Fragment 11 81.82% 47.27 2.719 72.73% 0.343 0.7686
2 Heart 6 50.0% 59.0 6.99 100.0% 0.744 1.0345
2 Opposite Shores 88 61.36% 46.9 1.092 76.14% 0.114 0.341
2 Thematic 28 75.0% 48.5 1.102 64.29% 0.034 0.0787
2 Top to Top 24 83.33% 38.0 -1.6 54.17% -0.287 -0.1705
3 Coastline 6 50.0% 57.67 5.791 83.33% 0.278 0.2405
3 Other 10 60.0% 47.5 2.928 80.0% 0.337 0.7392
3 Round (Default) 228 67.98% 42.92 -0.343 64.91% -0.513 -0.482
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 16.5 -11.389 0.0% -0.771 -1.0239
3 Thematic 9 77.78% 45.89 -0.37 55.56% 0.029 -0.3099
4 Coastline 5 40.0% 49.4 -0.871 80.0% -0.218 -0.0957
4 Other 9 77.78% 54.56 6.509 100.0% 1.282 1.3633
4 Thematic 30 46.67% 57.73 1.907 83.33% 0.399 -0.6787
4 Trapezoid (Default) 75 48.0% 47.09 1.038 72.0% -0.65 -0.6823
5 Other 1 100.0% 53.0 7.31 100.0% 0.248 0.0312

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 232 36.06 -5.742 47.84% -2.381 -0.3133
Aid From Lesser Spirits 160 35.81 -5.872 45.63% -2.529 -0.6129
All Things Weaken 187 36.25 -5.607 49.2% -2.335 -0.1749
Back Against the Wall 146 39.12 -4.13 53.42% -2.114 -0.0216
Disintegrating Ecosystem 206 30.96 -8.24 37.38% -2.827 -0.606
Downward Spiral 205 35.84 -5.712 52.2% -2.193 -0.1789
Erosion of Will 191 35.51 -6.006 47.64% -2.4 -0.1888
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 60 48.47 0.174 78.33% -0.909 -0.1971
Memory Fades to Dust 232 34.29 -6.67 46.12% -2.468 -0.2519
Power Corrodes the Spirit 205 37.24 -5.141 53.17% -2.188 -0.1677
Promising Farmlands 171 36.19 -5.519 51.46% -2.202 0.0129
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 40 49.77 0.797 85.0% -0.507 -0.0899
Thriving Communities 218 37.81 -4.717 55.5% -2.033 0.0739
Unnatural Proliferation 220 38.57 -4.53 54.55% -2.144 -0.0638
Untended Land Crumbles 202 33.12 -7.135 43.07% -2.619 -0.5234

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 694 62.54% 44.62 0.048 67.58% 0.331 -0.7423
B 792 62.5% 45.08 0.441 68.94% 0.431 -0.7338
C 843 61.45% 44.62 0.12 67.38% 0.292 -1.1045
D 711 60.76% 44.26 0.011 67.37% 0.306 -0.8519
E 815 57.55% 46.0 0.5 70.31% 0.336 -0.9212
F 716 64.66% 43.31 -0.44 64.25% 0.215 -1.0113
G 615 66.02% 44.37 0.147 67.48% 0.423 -0.7891
H 636 65.57% 42.84 -0.701 63.52% 0.17 -1.0512
East 60 55.0% 53.23 2.092 71.67% 0.26 -0.6762
Northeast 52 69.23% 48.65 0.604 61.54% 0.048 -0.8212
Northwest 53 54.72% 45.21 -0.677 56.6% -0.202 -1.1473
Southeast 41 63.41% 46.63 -1.353 60.98% -0.571 -1.554
Southwest 43 67.44% 48.12 -0.515 67.44% 0.15 -0.4749
West 47 55.32% 56.02 2.587 78.72% 0.381 -0.2839

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 33.33% 19.0 -8.984 0.0% -0.855 -0.6347
Skip Initial Invader Actions 83 13.25% 63.71 5.838 96.39% 0.888 0.182
Start of Game Growth 181 24.86% 59.96 4.316 93.37% 0.81 0.3512
Unlimited Undo 362 52.21% 50.49 1.709 79.28% 0.304 -0.0982
Using Tokens but Not Events 135 41.48% 51.95 2.328 84.44% 0.448 0.4017

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 368 22.34 0.54%
II 1577 30.71 51.05%
III 1683 34.23 82.59%
IV 712 37.48 99.44%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.121 Win Model: -0.11
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 3069 59.95% 44.87 67.19%
2 902 67.41% 43.43 65.19%
3 256 67.97% 43.53 65.63%
4 113 46.9% 50.65 76.99%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1376
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 786
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 703
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2
Lose: Adversary condition 444
Win: Sacrifice victory 23
Lose: Scenario condition 24
Win: Scenario condition 15
Lose: Blight pool ran out 923
Lose: Spirit destroyed 42

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 137 81.02% 39.84 -0.693 36.5% 0.1 0.2468
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 85 88.24% 32.56 -3.945 20.0% -0.506 -0.2692
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 104 82.69% 37.13 -2.839 31.73% -0.273 -0.3598
Eyes Watch From the Trees 287 62.02% 48.93 -0.047 52.61% -0.192 -0.5611
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 66 87.69% 32.42 -5.161 18.18% -0.889 -1.1222
Fractured Days Split the Sky 75 66.67% 48.19 2.635 48.0% 0.306 0.6392
Heart of the Wildfire 106 89.62% 36.0 -3.074 31.13% -0.022 0.3254
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 403 69.9% 46.82 1.898 53.35% 0.679 0.3812
Lightning's Swift Strike 137 83.21% 41.34 -0.147 38.69% 0.316 0.5849
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 460 58.48% 54.32 4.627 67.61% 0.986 0.6254
Many Minds Move as One 351 73.79% 47.34 1.309 51.85% 0.429 -0.0845
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 145 86.21% 36.74 -2.91 28.97% -0.293 -0.4899
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 99 87.88% 37.27 -1.399 30.3% 0.208 0.2553
River Surges in Sunlight 181 83.43% 40.54 -0.57 33.7% 0.085 0.2516
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 128 82.03% 37.37 -2.76 29.69% -0.38 -0.2309
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 126 90.48% 32.58 -4.765 18.25% -0.858 -0.4084
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 315 72.93% 48.09 2.524 53.33% 0.71 0.6456
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 237 73.42% 37.53 -3.145 36.29% -0.37 -0.3894
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 209 70.81% 45.08 1.318 47.37% 0.411 0.6262
Thunderspeaker 106 85.85% 35.08 -3.194 20.75% -0.61 -0.5504
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 249 94.38% 39.43 -1.074 38.96% 0.587 0.6236
Vital Strength of the Earth 70 88.57% 31.43 -5.118 17.14% -0.876 -0.0113
Volcano Looming High 70 78.57% 41.47 -1.174 41.43% 0.086 -0.0152

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 10 60.0% 33.6 -5.046 20.0% -0.986 -0.4137
Dahan Insurrection 4 20 60.0% 52.75 6.262 35.0% -0.121 0.2796
Elemental Invocation 1 1 100.0% 24.0 -8.395 0.0% -0.313 0.1521
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 193 42.49% 54.34 4.376 62.18% 0.096 0.4715
Powers Long Forgotten 1 8 100.0% 25.5 -6.826 0.0% -0.886 -0.439
Rituals of Terror 3 9 100.0% 30.67 -2.967 0.0% -0.573 0.0493
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 2 50.0% 57.5 6.944 50.0% -0.046 0.5781
Second Wave 0 39 84.62% 38.38 -2.204 30.77% -0.426 -0.0075
The Great River 3 3 100.0% 51.0 2.258 33.33% -0.149 1.3355
Ward the Shores 2 8 87.5% 33.13 -6.015 12.5% -1.023 0.0072

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1949 69.32% 46.55 1.088 51.41% 0.193 0.5479
1 Thematic 153 75.16% 40.45 -1.429 30.72% -0.704 -0.2065
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 460 84.57% 38.32 -1.583 33.26% -0.077 0.1123
2 Coastline 44 72.73% 52.43 4.083 65.91% 0.876 1.0106
2 Fragment 6 100.0% 24.33 -11.291 0.0% -1.282 -0.856
2 Heart 5 80.0% 40.4 0.291 40.0% 0.214 0.505
2 Opposite Shores 51 80.39% 40.8 -0.932 37.25% 0.022 0.2486
2 Thematic 20 70.0% 36.05 -4.803 20.0% -1.336 -1.2919
2 Top to Top 9 77.78% 56.67 7.961 77.78% 1.476 1.5926
3 Coastline 4 100.0% 43.75 -1.115 25.0% -0.229 -0.2665
3 Other 10 100.0% 40.1 0.437 40.0% 0.514 0.916
3 Round (Default) 142 81.69% 42.82 1.097 42.96% 0.468 0.4995
3 Thematic 3 66.67% 46.67 0.245 33.33% -0.218 -0.5569
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 64.0 6.432 100.0% 0.074 0.1539
4 Other 1 0.0% 27.0 -14.311 0.0% -0.761 -0.6805
4 Thematic 11 90.91% 52.45 4.242 54.55% 0.768 -0.3097
4 Trapezoid (Default) 80 83.75% 36.49 -1.748 27.5% -0.339 -0.3719
5 Other 4 50.0% 53.0 2.391 75.0% 0.364 0.1465

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 167 36.61 -5.387 29.34% -2.46 -0.3924
Aid From Lesser Spirits 130 41.32 -3.138 39.23% -2.095 -0.1787
All Things Weaken 177 34.38 -7.122 25.99% -2.752 -0.5922
Back Against the Wall 127 35.53 -5.523 24.41% -2.595 -0.503
Disintegrating Ecosystem 158 32.3 -7.614 22.78% -2.809 -0.5872
Downward Spiral 170 36.36 -5.648 34.12% -2.246 -0.2318
Erosion of Will 152 37.06 -5.366 32.24% -2.363 -0.1521
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 41 57.24 3.776 78.05% -0.306 0.4059
Memory Fades to Dust 162 35.86 -6.137 30.86% -2.434 -0.2178
Power Corrodes the Spirit 149 34.74 -6.629 27.52% -2.579 -0.5594
Promising Farmlands 159 33.74 -6.887 27.04% -2.6 -0.3855
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 20 64.5 6.613 95.0% 0.643 1.0597
Thriving Communities 190 35.63 -6.21 31.05% -2.405 -0.2976
Unnatural Proliferation 192 34.55 -6.975 23.96% -2.823 -0.7427
Untended Land Crumbles 174 33.12 -7.509 22.99% -2.847 -0.7513

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 494 79.55% 42.17 -0.493 41.9% 0.148 -0.9251
B 482 78.22% 42.4 -0.278 41.91% 0.117 -1.0472
C 588 74.45% 44.8 0.868 47.79% 0.342 -1.0546
D 482 76.97% 41.44 -0.766 40.25% 0.031 -1.1271
E 646 67.49% 47.91 1.044 53.25% 0.184 -1.0729
F 399 74.81% 43.62 -0.07 45.11% 0.111 -1.1154
G 398 82.16% 40.27 -1.016 38.44% 0.137 -1.0754
H 441 78.91% 40.95 -0.985 38.32% -0.046 -1.2673
East 35 74.29% 44.29 -0.203 34.29% -0.139 -1.0748
Northeast 43 81.4% 44.12 -0.363 34.88% 0.142 -0.7272
Northwest 34 76.47% 44.35 0.664 35.29% 0.313 -0.6318
Southeast 35 65.71% 50.51 3.899 51.43% 0.916 -0.0672
Southwest 41 73.17% 35.24 -3.935 26.83% -0.295 -0.9206
West 43 88.37% 39.6 -1.772 25.58% -0.293 -0.9587

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3 0.0% 35.33 -9.402 33.33% -1.174 0.8648
Skip Initial Invader Actions 26 26.92% 64.69 6.989 76.92% 0.187 -0.519
Start of Game Growth 243 36.21% 62.94 6.641 81.48% 1.242 0.7833
Unlimited Undo 317 65.29% 49.85 2.358 55.84% 0.454 0.0513
Using Tokens but Not Events 216 44.6% 58.03 3.302 74.07% 0.144 0.0984

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 239 22.34 1.67%
II 1659 30.71 33.63%
III 762 34.23 66.67%
IV 293 37.48 99.66%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.369 Win Model: -0.367
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2107 69.82% 46.11 49.93%
2 596 82.89% 39.62 35.91%
3 153 82.35% 42.72 41.83%
4 97 81.44% 39.16 32.99%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 497
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 545
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 291
Lose: Adversary condition 400
Win: Sacrifice victory 17
Lose: Scenario condition 37
Win: Scenario condition 8
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1114
Lose: Spirit destroyed 40

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 494 82.19% 45.55 -1.751 35.43% -0.006 0.141
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 325 95.38% 34.85 -6.642 15.38% -0.811 -0.5742
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 340 92.33% 34.49 -6.783 15.0% -0.891 -0.9777
Eyes Watch From the Trees 879 59.73% 64.44 3.106 52.33% -0.016 -0.3854
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 214 90.65% 38.87 -5.257 21.96% -0.49 -0.7234
Fractured Days Split the Sky 468 68.59% 57.04 2.827 51.28% 0.421 0.7542
Heart of the Wildfire 494 91.7% 33.21 -7.773 14.98% -0.903 -0.5559
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4475 59.44% 61.46 5.868 69.34% 1.269 0.9706
Lightning's Swift Strike 560 85.71% 43.66 -2.289 31.43% 0.016 0.2841
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2076 69.75% 57.4 3.658 59.15% 0.985 0.6241
Many Minds Move as One 873 88.55% 44.78 -1.808 35.28% 0.306 -0.2075
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 473 90.7% 37.56 -5.404 20.3% -0.593 -0.7903
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 291 90.0% 41.78 -3.111 29.55% 0.052 0.0995
River Surges in Sunlight 728 87.76% 45.77 -1.298 32.83% 0.131 0.2978
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 842 77.32% 51.01 0.175 46.91% 0.364 0.5135
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 488 88.32% 39.52 -4.657 22.75% -0.486 -0.037
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 749 80.64% 47.13 -1.095 38.05% 0.119 0.054
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1676 66.05% 47.22 -1.691 44.69% 0.048 0.0294
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 881 86.02% 46.98 -1.338 37.68% 0.211 0.4267
Thunderspeaker 385 89.87% 42.33 -3.738 25.97% -0.314 -0.2543
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 694 96.69% 38.47 -5.052 24.93% -0.198 -0.1612
Vital Strength of the Earth 228 88.16% 38.0 -4.933 22.37% -0.423 0.4416
Volcano Looming High 353 82.44% 47.54 -0.841 40.79% 0.364 0.2635

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 94 75.82% 45.32 -4.252 37.23% -0.693 -0.1204
Dahan Insurrection 4 517 29.65% 91.98 18.01 79.88% 1.133 1.534
Elemental Invocation 1 8 87.5% 36.25 -7.195 12.5% -1.151 -0.6854
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 679 54.87% 52.29 0.532 46.1% -0.428 -0.0527
Powers Long Forgotten 1 3 100.0% 28.33 -15.016 0.0% -1.196 -0.7491
Rituals of Terror 3 10 90.0% 32.8 -8.146 0.0% -1.214 -0.5916
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 1 100.0% 29.0 -6.779 0.0% -0.173 0.4514
Second Wave 0 46 76.09% 51.78 0.54 41.3% -0.108 0.3109
The Great River 3 15 80.0% 40.2 -7.966 13.33% -1.86 -0.3751
Ward the Shores 2 9 88.89% 44.89 0.362 22.22% -0.101 0.9294

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12972 71.97% 51.99 0.706 48.9% -0.284 0.0703
1 Thematic 331 80.06% 46.76 -2.861 29.91% -1.212 -0.7144
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1014 83.53% 47.62 -0.733 38.86% -0.249 -0.0599
2 Coastline 204 83.33% 46.08 -1.334 38.24% -0.305 -0.1705
2 Fragment 41 90.24% 47.98 0.588 43.9% 0.188 0.6138
2 Heart 22 95.45% 49.59 0.605 50.0% 0.101 0.3912
2 Opposite Shores 207 86.47% 41.84 -2.595 29.47% -0.57 -0.3432
2 Thematic 24 86.96% 54.96 0.774 37.5% 0.099 0.1436
2 Top to Top 44 79.55% 52.84 2.136 50.0% 0.15 0.2661
3 Coastline 3 100.0% 45.33 2.064 33.33% 0.189 0.1515
3 Other 24 79.17% 52.79 1.029 54.17% 0.118 0.5198
3 Round (Default) 419 82.34% 47.96 0.802 42.24% 0.382 0.4135
3 Thematic 12 58.33% 77.67 8.958 66.67% 0.703 0.364
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 42.67 3.411 33.33% 0.591 0.6712
4 Other 26 80.77% 40.73 -6.104 23.08% -0.95 -0.8688
4 Thematic 66 59.09% 58.39 0.797 46.97% 0.118 -0.9598
4 Trapezoid (Default) 222 81.98% 47.7 1.517 39.64% 0.65 0.6171
5 Other 6 83.33% 42.5 1.413 33.33% 0.311 0.0943

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 888 42.09 -6.158 30.41% -2.534 -0.4658
Aid From Lesser Spirits 670 46.75 -3.678 38.21% -2.15 -0.2331
All Things Weaken 983 41.56 -6.383 29.5% -2.526 -0.3663
Back Against the Wall 622 45.53 -4.424 35.05% -2.322 -0.2296
Disintegrating Ecosystem 856 36.88 -8.786 23.01% -2.927 -0.706
Downward Spiral 901 44.6 -4.838 38.73% -2.089 -0.0751
Erosion of Will 894 40.87 -6.673 27.85% -2.616 -0.4043
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 180 63.44 3.821 75.0% -0.619 0.0926
Memory Fades to Dust 890 41.84 -6.325 31.8% -2.449 -0.2337
Power Corrodes the Spirit 919 41.73 -6.306 31.56% -2.441 -0.4214
Promising Farmlands 861 40.26 -7.0 29.04% -2.58 -0.3653
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 97 69.73 6.207 85.57% 0.017 0.4342
Thriving Communities 868 42.16 -6.038 32.49% -2.393 -0.2864
Unnatural Proliferation 965 41.51 -6.301 28.19% -2.573 -0.493
Untended Land Crumbles 936 42.12 -6.165 32.26% -2.421 -0.326

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2457 81.06% 46.57 -1.237 39.28% 0.309 -0.764
B 2234 79.61% 48.25 -0.729 43.06% 0.38 -0.7841
C 2807 77.84% 47.89 -0.827 41.79% 0.32 -1.0769
D 1907 76.25% 48.13 -0.667 42.27% 0.313 -0.8449
E 2850 75.09% 51.37 0.139 48.28% 0.393 -0.8633
F 1981 75.51% 49.92 -0.33 45.38% 0.348 -0.8784
G 1747 76.59% 49.81 -0.277 44.88% 0.383 -0.8291
H 2519 61.65% 61.16 3.725 61.18% 0.753 -0.4687
East 126 68.0% 59.58 1.392 43.65% 0.332 -0.6035
Northeast 121 77.69% 51.88 -0.043 33.06% 0.296 -0.5737
Northwest 99 78.79% 47.79 -1.934 30.3% 0.067 -0.8785
Southeast 49 61.22% 57.12 0.03 44.9% 0.118 -0.8648
Southwest 69 63.77% 52.81 -1.244 44.93% 0.383 -0.2422
West 121 65.83% 60.31 1.81 45.45% 0.307 -0.3581

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 6 0.0% 65.83 -2.251 66.67% -0.98 1.0589
Skip Initial Invader Actions 376 37.84% 69.95 5.51 73.4% 0.263 -0.4433
Start of Game Growth 832 40.68% 68.72 5.504 76.8% 0.438 -0.0208
Unlimited Undo 1559 65.55% 59.34 3.644 63.05% 0.805 0.4023
Using Tokens but Not Events 676 61.19% 53.41 0.068 53.4% -0.215 -0.2609

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2833 22.34 1.02%
II 7745 30.71 39.55%
III 3693 34.23 78.61%
IV 1369 37.48 99.85%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.088 Win Model: -0.847
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13371 72.17% 51.9 48.54%
2 1507 84.66% 46.47 37.03%
3 447 81.43% 48.62 42.28%
4 315 77.78% 49.08 39.68%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 28
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2851
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2617
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1358
Lose: Invader deck ran out 12
Lose: Adversary condition 2275
Win: Sacrifice victory 93
Lose: Scenario condition 153
Win: Scenario condition 415
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5637
Lose: Spirit destroyed 201

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2024-11-22 01:58:16 (Pacific Time)