The Tsardom of Russia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1275 23.23% 26.0 -0.687 78.67% -0.209 -0.3233
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 107 22.43% 24.69 0.261 69.16% 0.468 -0.069
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 742 43.51% 24.15 -2.612 76.55% -0.673 -0.5269
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 146 25.34% 27.85 2.178 72.6% 0.662 -0.1508
Dances Up Earthquakes 43 25.58% 19.77 -0.383 55.81% -0.064 -0.2343
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1315 24.18% 26.94 1.622 82.81% 0.182 -0.0558
Downpour Drenches the World 464 18.57% 23.17 -1.013 66.81% -0.199 0.1303
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 418 22.01% 24.54 2.077 71.53% 0.964 0.4893
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1464 15.72% 30.37 2.817 86.54% 0.779 0.3909
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1184 21.85% 27.91 0.957 83.28% 0.213 -0.1761
Finder of Paths Unseen 222 28.83% 15.47 -6.416 41.89% -1.159 -0.4748
Fractured Days Split the Sky 650 28.97% 23.96 -4.844 63.69% -1.312 -0.8615
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 981 36.6% 23.99 -1.04 66.46% -0.47 -0.515
Heart of the Wildfire 998 53.57% 22.39 -2.508 69.84% -0.612 -0.2904
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1923 25.2% 26.46 2.187 84.56% 0.747 0.2462
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 126 20.63% 24.63 0.928 69.84% 0.394 0.0008
Lightning's Swift Strike 682 35.42% 25.6 -0.01 79.62% -0.077 0.117
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 162 33.13% 25.25 0.127 69.14% 0.172 -0.1919
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 395 27.16% 26.14 1.464 78.99% 0.432 0.1275
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 353 26.21% 28.05 -0.412 76.49% 0.006 0.2233
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2162 27.46% 26.94 1.289 82.75% 0.59 0.3918
Many Minds Move as One 1634 19.85% 26.88 -1.786 85.37% -0.483 -0.7052
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1455 37.07% 25.97 1.739 74.85% 0.481 0.6024
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 34 47.06% 19.71 -0.248 35.29% -0.675 -0.5863
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1188 28.03% 26.22 1.875 79.8% 0.379 0.2924
River Surges in Sunlight 929 35.75% 28.44 0.218 79.01% -0.564 -0.6009
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 48 18.75% 18.85 -0.761 58.33% 0.067 0.3361
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 555 37.18% 27.07 -3.23 75.5% -0.442 -0.3236
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 206 31.71% 24.13 -3.46 56.8% -1.059 -1.2206
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1063 25.68% 25.97 -0.442 77.52% -0.083 -0.2573
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 16 18.75% 21.81 1.085 62.5% 0.285 -0.213
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 384 49.09% 24.3 -4.446 76.04% -0.775 -0.2872
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 83 35.37% 23.93 2.758 67.47% 0.928 0.9173
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 83 33.73% 27.42 -0.965 75.9% 0.19 -0.2434
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 78 34.62% 21.77 5.739 65.38% 0.398 0.6382
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 342 31.87% 26.5 -0.591 81.87% -0.123 -0.1939
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 292 32.88% 25.66 3.657 79.79% 0.4 0.5539
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1351 25.54% 26.71 2.368 83.64% 0.745 0.621
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 184 21.86% 23.52 3.217 64.13% 0.734 0.5888
Shifting Memory of Ages 626 37.76% 20.92 -0.956 61.5% 0.021 0.3798
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 74 27.03% 19.12 -4.219 54.05% -0.574 -0.4709
Shroud of Silent Mist 791 42.98% 22.54 -1.329 71.05% 0.171 0.5989
Starlight Seeks its Form 937 22.72% 25.67 -1.751 72.89% -0.336 -0.3973
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1491 25.18% 25.3 -2.824 83.17% -0.394 -0.897
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1048 29.15% 24.62 -0.582 75.67% 0.163 0.2325
Thunderspeaker 1031 27.31% 27.41 -0.566 77.01% -0.073 -0.0913
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 166 30.12% 20.63 -1.829 47.59% -0.312 0.0405
Towering Roots of the Jungle 196 23.98% 21.11 -0.408 60.2% -0.276 -0.0945
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1217 61.1% 21.96 -1.722 75.84% -0.564 -0.5362
Vital Strength of the Earth 670 30.54% 24.07 0.507 71.79% 0.146 0.64
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 154 22.22% 22.96 3.896 66.23% 1.093 1.6113
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 346 26.09% 20.13 -2.244 64.45% -0.295 0.3964
Volcano Looming High 1072 40.51% 22.35 0.613 70.34% 0.253 0.3169
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 221 23.08% 25.29 2.257 67.42% 0.379 0.0878

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 25 24.0% 24.92 -0.18 68.0% 0.286 -0.0406
Blitz 0 341 26.25% 19.29 -4.905 60.41% -0.903 -0.5973
Dahan Insurrection 4 518 18.92% 43.84 7.808 76.64% 0.292 -0.1352
Despicable Theft 2 216 28.7% 22.1 0.464 49.07% -0.431 0.211
Elemental Invocation 1 232 34.91% 22.71 -1.942 62.93% -0.584 0.0669
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 793 10.73% 29.94 3.894 78.69% 0.112 -0.5157
Powers Long Forgotten 1 264 37.5% 20.09 1.554 51.89% 0.297 0.9093
Rituals of Terror 3 254 34.0% 30.14 -5.374 61.81% -1.219 -1.1367
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 172 52.33% 28.93 -4.245 60.47% -1.029 -0.2367
Second Wave 0 484 45.32% 31.92 4.379 69.83% 0.018 0.1477
The Great River 3 219 37.44% 23.45 -0.377 48.4% -0.279 0.7092
Varied Terrains 2 166 36.14% 21.52 0.79 46.39% -0.379 0.4532
Ward the Shores 2 347 32.66% 25.16 -0.058 60.23% -0.207 0.7897

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 14319 33.02% 25.29 1.073 78.42% 0.43 0.7795
1 Thematic 2128 37.16% 27.19 -1.318 71.66% -0.489 0.1565
2 Archipelago 25 36.0% 32.72 0.0 72.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3259 30.06% 23.91 -1.053 75.15% 0.102 0.2507
2 Coastline 388 29.72% 23.63 -1.488 74.23% -0.211 -0.4105
2 Fragment 77 25.97% 23.94 2.267 76.62% 0.127 0.0804
2 Heart 39 46.15% 24.44 6.752 79.49% 0.55 0.2341
2 Opposite Shores 485 24.32% 29.06 4.113 88.45% 0.702 0.7605
2 Thematic 528 31.82% 26.85 1.622 66.48% 0.247 0.733
2 Top to Top 57 29.82% 26.46 -1.349 82.46% 0.148 0.032
3 Archipelago 10 60.0% 39.3 0.0 70.0%
3 Coastline 24 33.33% 26.79 2.904 58.33% 0.14 -0.7789
3 Other 40 40.0% 26.55 0.0 87.5%
3 Round (Default) 1479 28.36% 26.24 0.46 81.81% 0.239 0.1997
3 Sunrise 6 16.67% 27.5 0.0 83.33%
3 Thematic 111 29.73% 25.96 7.156 59.46% 0.462 0.1215
4 Archipelago 7 14.29% 37.57 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 12 50.0% 22.83 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 3 0.0% 30.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 19 42.11% 30.58 0.0 89.47%
4 Thematic 121 21.67% 33.6 -3.976 80.99% -0.911 -0.8551
4 Trapezoid (Default) 754 20.56% 21.52 -3.62 65.25% -1.335 -1.4224
5 Other 39 34.21% 27.97 10.354 71.79% 0.378 0.0107
5 Thematic 6 0.0% 23.5 -11.055 50.0% -0.48 -0.5245
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 4 50.0% 33.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Star 28 35.71% 26.32 -9.804 89.29% -1.051 -0.2913
6 Thematic 60 18.64% 26.33 1.136 48.33% 0.303 0.2018
6 Two Centers (Default) 106 18.87% 30.33 9.506 80.19% 0.079 0.3585
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 4 0.0% 20.0 0.0 25.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 492 21.92 0.04 65.04% -0.445 -0.4096
Aid From Lesser Spirits 415 23.16 0.106 66.75% -0.127 -0.262
All Things Weaken 591 20.71 0.028 61.42% -0.179 -0.0501
Attenuated Essence 89 21.16 -2.604 52.81% -1.305 -1.3184
Back Against the Wall 430 21.1 -4.393 57.91% -1.207 -1.2358
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 74 21.03 -0.04 55.41% 0.689 0.8663
Burn Brightest Before the End 74 21.72 0.802 55.41% 0.148 0.1618
Disintegrating Ecosystem 486 19.1 0.848 62.55% 0.1 0.3232
Downward Spiral 572 21.0 -0.582 69.06% 0.055 0.1091
Erosion of Will 464 21.58 -0.725 63.58% -0.381 -0.2379
Intensifying Exploitation 90 20.94 -0.286 55.56% 0.332 0.4413
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 268 27.23 3.408 90.67% 0.393 -0.1298
Memory Fades to Dust 579 20.68 -2.099 64.42% -0.745 -0.5502
Power Corrodes the Spirit 535 21.33 -1.247 66.54% -0.311 -0.2248
Promising Farmlands 456 19.71 0.015 60.09% -0.147 0.0762
Shattered Fragments of Power 68 22.76 -4.523 51.47% -0.663 -0.6057
Slow Dissolution of Will 92 16.97 2.516 42.39% -0.037 0.3369
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 184 25.66 1.948 86.96% 1.111 0.434
The Border of Life and Death 17 27.59 5.022 82.35% -0.205 -0.6163
Thriving Communities 552 18.94 -1.119 61.05% -0.291 -0.0788
Thriving Crops 45 26.2 2.046 84.44% 0.146 -0.1259
Unnatural Proliferation 559 21.75 2.692 63.33% 0.271 0.3144
Untended Land Crumbles 560 20.0 -1.425 61.61% -0.639 -0.4265

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4134 30.8% 24.82 -0.265 76.73% -0.571 0.3672
B 4304 29.34% 24.76 -0.871 76.91% -0.743 0.112
C 4452 29.66% 25.33 -0.35 78.32% -0.603 0.0902
D 4110 31.4% 24.92 0.417 77.79% -0.312 0.5365
E 4082 30.21% 25.16 -0.493 77.73% -0.872 -0.1936
F 3922 29.93% 25.1 -0.731 76.44% -0.574 0.2051
G 3432 29.19% 25.13 -0.547 76.54% -0.666 0.0858
H 3569 29.96% 25.07 -0.3 76.6% -0.54 0.1839
East 1819 33.83% 28.5 1.672 72.84% -0.115 0.6945
Northeast 699 29.7% 29.04 -0.746 66.95% -0.698 0.1022
Northwest 641 30.09% 28.23 1.495 67.08% -0.191 0.5684
Southeast 811 38.52% 26.94 0.86 76.7% -0.332 0.519
Southwest 609 28.83% 23.06 -1.012 63.55% -0.64 0.6955
West 1598 32.18% 26.39 -2.519 65.77% -1.338 -0.454

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 65 0.0% 27.71 3.933 81.54% 0.493 1.1523
Not Using Events or Tokens 57 22.81% 23.68 -10.359 64.91% -0.311 0.166
Skip Initial Invader Actions 466 8.14% 37.18 3.426 90.77% -0.018 -0.787
Start of Game Growth 771 11.56% 35.0 5.755 89.75% 0.987 0.5776
Unlimited Undo 1587 22.01% 26.24 -1.098 79.84% -0.181 -0.2298
Using Tokens but Not Events 2146 24.51% 26.54 2.17 78.29% 0.795 0.6782

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3891 14.06 16.58%
II 7973 30.26 81.24%
III 8422 34.84 90.3%
IV 3881 38.62 99.3%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.076 Win Model: 0.638
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 16857 33.48% 25.27 76.44%
2 4581 29.87% 25.59 78.78%
3 1593 28.97% 26.76 82.11%
4 905 20.8% 23.39 67.96%
5 27 26.92% 23.81 70.37%
6 204 21.18% 28.52 70.59%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 644
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7359
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6050
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3818
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2815
Lose: Invader deck ran out 187
Lose: Adversary condition 306
Win: Sacrifice victory 104
Lose: Scenario condition 144
Win: Scenario condition 606
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1978
Lose: Spirit destroyed 156

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 759 39.05% 28.09 -2.628 64.82% -0.355 -0.4699
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 62 40.32% 26.94 1.852 61.29% 0.665 0.1279
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 476 61.97% 26.51 -3.293 62.18% -0.305 -0.1589
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 70 31.43% 30.7 2.148 71.43% 0.254 -0.5587
Dances Up Earthquakes 17 41.18% 20.47 0.38 52.94% 0.327 0.1567
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 733 40.55% 30.71 2.192 70.94% 0.198 -0.0392
Downpour Drenches the World 277 39.64% 20.54 -2.463 48.74% -0.228 0.1006
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 296 29.73% 24.77 2.237 60.47% 0.681 0.2064
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1049 30.81% 34.6 2.445 77.41% 0.71 0.3222
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 686 38.51% 30.84 1.277 71.14% 0.274 -0.1155
Finder of Paths Unseen 164 44.51% 16.03 -4.541 34.76% -0.883 -0.1985
Fractured Days Split the Sky 386 38.86% 26.66 -5.74 55.96% -1.166 -0.7155
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 627 52.72% 26.17 0.291 59.17% 0.004 -0.0412
Heart of the Wildfire 686 69.34% 21.65 -1.623 47.38% -0.182 0.14
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1390 42.69% 30.72 -0.075 72.01% -0.094 -0.595
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 98 36.73% 26.89 -0.213 64.29% 0.023 -0.3702
Lightning's Swift Strike 359 57.14% 25.99 -1.954 57.94% -0.152 0.0421
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 75 46.67% 27.48 -7.207 61.33% -0.751 -1.1143
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 225 55.56% 26.74 0.832 58.67% 0.296 -0.0089
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 212 45.75% 34.3 -5.373 65.09% -0.885 -0.6679
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1630 42.68% 31.86 4.46 78.04% 1.097 0.8992
Many Minds Move as One 1403 33.98% 32.39 0.651 80.19% 0.252 0.0293
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 878 51.49% 28.62 -1.615 61.39% -0.257 -0.1365
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 26 61.54% 20.31 -1.113 53.85% 0.052 0.1406
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 720 45.9% 28.88 1.25 68.61% 0.489 0.4023
River Surges in Sunlight 557 50.81% 29.87 -2.4 64.45% -0.588 -0.6252
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 47 36.17% 19.87 4.477 44.68% 0.845 1.1135
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 339 52.66% 32.78 -2.029 63.72% -0.008 0.1105
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 141 43.97% 23.13 -3.837 48.94% -0.698 -0.8599
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 593 49.07% 27.06 -1.237 62.9% -0.413 -0.5868
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 6 33.33% 33.17 5.793 83.33% 0.707 0.2096
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 234 63.68% 26.03 0.459 58.55% -0.151 0.3375
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 68 41.79% 23.69 -2.38 50.0% -0.28 -0.2912
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 121 41.32% 26.22 2.177 57.02% 0.305 -0.1284
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 71 45.07% 25.06 5.512 59.15% 0.68 0.9208
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 195 57.44% 27.68 -1.282 66.15% 0.035 -0.0352
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 148 50.68% 29.01 -3.249 62.84% -0.522 -0.3682
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1219 39.57% 31.52 2.332 75.47% 0.633 0.5092
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 241 33.89% 24.53 3.492 58.92% 1.139 0.9938
Shifting Memory of Ages 401 49.88% 24.19 -3.401 55.61% -0.985 -0.6259
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 54 35.19% 18.44 -0.755 40.74% -0.09 0.0127
Shroud of Silent Mist 438 58.81% 22.82 -0.269 52.97% 0.192 0.6201
Starlight Seeks its Form 659 29.22% 29.32 -0.061 68.13% 0.089 0.0285
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 890 41.6% 25.19 3.181 58.99% 0.834 0.3305
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 750 40.56% 30.01 2.178 67.47% 0.372 0.4423
Thunderspeaker 762 42.26% 31.99 -0.232 64.57% -0.269 -0.2871
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 81 41.98% 18.38 1.609 39.51% 0.165 0.5177
Towering Roots of the Jungle 130 39.23% 24.02 -0.948 58.46% 0.062 0.2435
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 568 70.6% 22.77 1.618 52.99% 0.577 0.6049
Vital Strength of the Earth 359 47.63% 24.86 -2.231 51.53% -0.601 -0.1069
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 108 55.56% 20.0 -2.594 43.52% -0.209 0.3092
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 231 43.29% 22.94 -6.898 52.38% -1.542 -0.8505
Volcano Looming High 666 54.65% 23.92 -0.472 55.41% -0.429 -0.3645
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 142 42.25% 22.63 1.72 54.23% 0.458 0.1669

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 24 25.0% 14.08 -10.593 33.33% -0.993 -1.3197
Blitz 0 287 38.33% 20.11 -4.299 45.3% -0.57 -0.2637
Dahan Insurrection 4 332 26.2% 52.44 7.491 73.8% 0.043 -0.3839
Despicable Theft 2 145 42.07% 20.28 0.141 33.1% -0.158 0.4839
Elemental Invocation 1 176 51.7% 21.08 0.837 40.34% 0.14 0.7917
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 616 21.17% 34.16 1.582 70.45% 0.131 -0.4967
Powers Long Forgotten 1 211 47.87% 22.15 -7.644 41.23% -1.308 -0.6959
Rituals of Terror 3 123 54.47% 31.39 -3.781 47.15% -0.656 -0.5737
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 94 68.09% 28.99 -7.964 41.49% -0.895 -0.1029
Second Wave 0 912 51.71% 29.55 0.303 61.62% -0.289 -0.1587
The Great River 3 100 59.0% 19.89 -4.186 26.0% -0.608 0.3795
Varied Terrains 2 93 39.78% 21.74 -0.215 38.71% -0.271 0.5612
Ward the Shores 2 219 45.21% 24.76 -3.386 43.84% -0.437 0.5598

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 9866 44.62% 27.28 -0.304 63.75% 0.243 0.5927
1 Thematic 1313 48.51% 27.69 -0.161 49.73% -0.206 0.4393
2 Archipelago 9 44.44% 37.78 2.165 77.78% 0.193 1.0052
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2145 47.31% 25.74 -0.02 62.47% 0.194 0.3422
2 Coastline 293 46.23% 26.66 -8.699 63.82% -0.719 -0.9177
2 Fragment 68 55.88% 27.56 1.552 66.18% -0.004 -0.0509
2 Heart 28 53.57% 23.86 2.757 53.57% 0.224 -0.0917
2 Opposite Shores 434 48.37% 27.82 2.788 67.05% 0.763 0.8222
2 Thematic 396 48.99% 24.38 -0.373 47.47% -0.315 0.1716
2 Top to Top 61 52.46% 33.49 8.478 85.25% 0.436 0.3209
3 Archipelago 11 81.82% 35.18 0.0 36.36%
3 Coastline 14 64.29% 36.86 1.256 64.29% 0.285 -0.6338
3 Other 24 62.5% 32.13 -5.076 87.5% -0.624 -1.377
3 Round (Default) 906 37.06% 30.63 -1.138 72.52% 0.04 0.0006
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 95 55.79% 28.05 -1.091 55.79% -0.289 -0.6296
4 Archipelago 10 50.0% 40.5 0.0 90.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 23.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 26.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 27 51.85% 33.78 0.0 85.19%
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 92 53.26% 36.16 0.0 71.74%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 341 41.47% 31.59 2.394 74.49% 0.78 0.6929
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 80.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 42 34.15% 42.02 -11.603 76.19% -0.251 -0.6186
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 20.75 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 17 47.06% 42.35 0.0 76.47%
6 Star 3 33.33% 13.33 -13.331 33.33% -0.59 0.1696
6 Thematic 13 61.54% 37.38 10.122 53.85% 0.114 0.0127
6 Two Centers (Default) 47 25.53% 46.6 0.747 85.11% -0.294 -0.0144
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 492 23.76 0.53 48.78% -0.115 -0.0792
Aid From Lesser Spirits 415 26.74 1.561 58.07% 0.386 0.2514
All Things Weaken 551 23.23 -3.362 48.09% -1.486 -1.3563
Attenuated Essence 61 23.79 -4.713 52.46% -1.138 -1.151
Back Against the Wall 392 24.2 2.972 47.7% 0.65 0.6206
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 89 20.88 2.375 46.07% 0.338 0.5155
Burn Brightest Before the End 60 24.13 -0.825 46.67% -0.491 -0.4765
Disintegrating Ecosystem 474 19.36 0.463 39.66% 0.206 0.4293
Downward Spiral 546 23.91 4.082 53.85% 0.91 0.9637
Erosion of Will 459 23.71 0.647 52.72% -0.189 -0.045
Intensifying Exploitation 100 24.38 -0.115 59.0% 0.009 0.1178
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 195 30.95 1.931 75.38% -0.076 -0.5982
Memory Fades to Dust 584 23.95 0.987 54.62% 0.182 0.3767
Power Corrodes the Spirit 498 23.18 2.823 50.2% 0.533 0.6189
Promising Farmlands 468 22.81 2.046 49.57% 0.446 0.6693
Shattered Fragments of Power 72 26.74 1.193 55.56% -0.243 -0.1859
Slow Dissolution of Will 69 20.42 2.915 43.48% -0.221 0.1534
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 130 29.22 -3.548 78.46% -0.382 -1.0589
The Border of Life and Death 19 24.26 -1.85 47.37% -0.275 -0.6868
Thriving Communities 545 22.14 -1.558 47.34% -0.334 -0.1214
Thriving Crops 43 23.91 1.5 55.81% -0.324 -0.596
Unnatural Proliferation 535 24.25 -0.126 50.65% -0.196 -0.1527
Untended Land Crumbles 563 21.83 4.545 48.31% 0.573 0.7856

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2772 44.07% 27.88 -0.642 64.9% -0.439 0.4988
B 2910 45.1% 28.48 1.003 66.53% -0.071 0.7841
C 2975 43.31% 28.71 1.335 67.33% 0.001 0.6934
D 2768 44.43% 28.36 0.499 65.93% -0.221 0.6272
E 2627 43.47% 28.45 -0.021 66.46% -0.155 0.5228
F 2582 44.16% 27.77 -1.585 65.53% -0.587 0.192
G 2171 44.65% 28.34 0.328 66.37% -0.146 0.6057
H 2248 45.1% 28.26 -0.182 66.19% -0.297 0.4267
East 1118 49.78% 28.44 4.084 51.88% 0.519 1.3286
Northeast 456 52.75% 30.85 1.598 56.8% 0.116 0.9163
Northwest 426 47.29% 27.57 -3.056 51.41% -0.785 -0.0254
Southeast 403 49.63% 27.16 3.135 52.36% 0.225 1.0761
Southwest 413 52.3% 22.7 -4.179 45.52% -1.102 0.2337
West 1117 48.84% 26.75 0.459 49.96% 0.005 0.8887

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 27 0.0% 30.48 -1.138 55.56% -0.52 0.1393
Not Using Events or Tokens 50 38.0% 14.82 -3.67 22.0% -0.583 -0.1056
Skip Initial Invader Actions 297 16.03% 42.3 5.718 87.21% 0.902 0.1326
Start of Game Growth 435 18.16% 40.31 7.128 83.22% 0.81 0.4007
Unlimited Undo 1240 37.82% 28.67 -2.695 67.58% -0.605 -0.6537
Using Tokens but Not Events 1329 36.18% 30.67 2.912 69.75% 0.607 0.4906

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3798 14.06 7.5%
II 5342 30.26 67.5%
III 5482 34.84 86.21%
IV 1661 38.62 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.364 Win Model: 0.373
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11398 45.01% 27.1 61.34%
2 3288 48.58% 26.92 64.36%
3 1024 39.33% 30.4 71.19%
4 456 43.74% 33.98 76.54%
5 49 29.17% 47.9 75.51%
6 68 41.18% 32.71 72.06%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 284
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4596
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3348
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1639
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2354
Lose: Invader deck ran out 98
Lose: Adversary condition 1386
Win: Sacrifice victory 64
Lose: Scenario condition 90
Win: Scenario condition 341
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1947
Lose: Spirit destroyed 136

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 849 34.71% 36.12 0.835 74.79% 0.157 0.0419
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 51 27.45% 30.39 11.044 64.71% 1.127 0.5896
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 607 53.21% 34.24 -4.288 72.98% -0.531 -0.3851
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 114 27.19% 39.0 7.986 81.58% 1.04 0.2272
Dances Up Earthquakes 22 54.55% 33.45 3.348 77.27% 0.724 0.5541
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 825 39.49% 35.43 1.586 76.12% 0.307 0.0694
Downpour Drenches the World 370 34.86% 31.36 -0.962 65.68% -0.055 0.2737
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 423 29.31% 32.25 0.06 69.5% 0.005 -0.4695
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1180 28.84% 39.43 0.155 83.22% 0.141 -0.2475
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 637 35.64% 35.87 1.035 76.14% 0.08 -0.3097
Finder of Paths Unseen 173 52.02% 22.14 -7.436 42.77% -0.859 -0.1738
Fractured Days Split the Sky 470 46.38% 33.11 -5.016 61.06% -1.161 -0.71
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 661 49.32% 30.85 1.014 63.24% 0.254 0.2086
Heart of the Wildfire 848 64.15% 31.86 -2.074 65.33% -0.425 -0.1029
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1783 38.31% 37.03 3.406 78.91% 0.682 0.1815
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 114 20.18% 33.51 -2.129 70.18% -0.461 -0.8549
Lightning's Swift Strike 368 57.81% 33.26 1.401 69.02% 0.433 0.6275
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 113 48.67% 35.27 4.588 71.68% 0.661 0.2973
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 256 48.63% 33.36 -3.539 68.36% -0.205 -0.51
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 206 43.2% 35.6 -5.183 68.45% -0.715 -0.4976
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2169 38.46% 39.13 3.381 84.14% 0.558 0.3604
Many Minds Move as One 1624 28.63% 38.67 2.12 85.1% 0.454 0.2315
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1087 46.81% 36.16 -1.023 71.21% -0.318 -0.1972
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 52 67.31% 22.12 -2.806 48.08% -0.537 -0.4483
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 757 42.01% 35.6 0.307 77.01% -0.095 -0.1811
River Surges in Sunlight 726 44.67% 39.93 1.94 79.06% -0.039 -0.0766
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 42 45.24% 31.1 -0.136 59.52% -0.052 0.2168
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 320 55.0% 34.44 -1.787 67.5% -0.615 -0.4965
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 197 34.54% 39.18 7.013 70.05% 0.342 0.18
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 796 44.35% 34.36 1.5 73.49% 0.187 0.0133
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 13 38.46% 29.08 -1.178 61.54% -0.301 -0.7991
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 283 56.89% 31.43 -1.484 64.66% -0.57 -0.0821
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 53 62.26% 26.45 9.748 47.17% 0.581 0.5705
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 119 48.74% 36.0 5.115 72.27% 0.513 0.0802
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 70 42.86% 31.34 8.933 65.71% 0.414 0.6542
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 219 49.77% 34.69 -3.532 71.69% -0.361 -0.4313
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 156 59.62% 33.46 -4.058 71.15% -0.429 -0.2751
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1316 34.93% 37.63 0.459 81.31% -0.105 -0.2287
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 286 31.47% 32.15 -0.977 65.38% -0.261 -0.406
Shifting Memory of Ages 477 50.94% 29.96 1.279 62.47% 0.122 0.4804
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 46 34.78% 28.63 -4.575 58.7% -0.63 -0.5271
Shroud of Silent Mist 556 55.04% 28.73 -3.838 60.25% -0.946 -0.5182
Starlight Seeks its Form 657 37.9% 33.97 1.333 70.62% 0.162 0.1007
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1085 35.61% 32.54 -3.55 70.78% -0.327 -0.83
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 951 34.04% 37.24 0.634 78.34% 0.046 0.1162
Thunderspeaker 686 42.54% 37.75 2.172 74.34% 0.425 0.4068
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 94 34.04% 19.14 -5.527 38.3% -0.813 -0.4606
Towering Roots of the Jungle 209 38.76% 31.37 1.893 67.94% 0.436 0.6179
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 680 67.35% 31.3 -1.145 67.65% -0.225 -0.1973
Vital Strength of the Earth 375 41.87% 31.25 0.436 66.4% 0.137 0.6313
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 103 33.98% 31.04 5.509 64.08% 0.612 1.1303
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 243 48.97% 29.08 5.233 62.14% 0.644 1.3359
Volcano Looming High 781 50.9% 30.74 -3.794 65.43% -0.865 -0.801
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 216 32.41% 28.14 6.26 59.26% 1.104 0.8126

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 18 16.67% 14.22 -17.454 33.33% -1.103 -1.43
Blitz 0 363 36.36% 29.25 -1.736 53.72% -0.319 -0.0132
Dahan Insurrection 4 273 23.44% 59.74 2.314 78.39% -0.582 -1.0088
Despicable Theft 2 90 53.33% 30.38 -10.291 45.56% -1.074 -0.4324
Elemental Invocation 1 197 45.69% 24.96 -4.534 47.21% -0.932 -0.2805
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 815 24.17% 40.27 0.989 76.56% -0.108 -0.7358
Powers Long Forgotten 1 179 48.04% 27.72 -2.088 48.6% -0.859 -0.2471
Rituals of Terror 3 107 50.47% 29.21 -8.259 39.25% -0.838 -0.7554
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 76 56.58% 24.32 2.091 31.58% -0.318 0.4745
Second Wave 0 552 49.73% 35.71 -0.397 69.38% -0.185 -0.0547
The Great River 3 97 47.42% 26.84 -11.719 36.08% -1.296 -0.3078
Varied Terrains 2 58 60.34% 28.24 9.215 46.55% 0.891 1.7228
Ward the Shores 2 140 50.71% 33.97 -8.133 55.0% -1.57 -0.5729

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11313 44.02% 33.38 -0.818 70.87% -0.074 0.2762
1 Thematic 1095 46.39% 30.25 -1.862 51.87% -0.522 0.1234
2 Archipelago 21 47.62% 35.86 -0.021 57.14% -0.267 0.5455
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2599 44.17% 33.92 2.675 75.38% 0.782 0.9302
2 Coastline 280 43.01% 36.15 1.419 79.64% 0.375 0.1755
2 Fragment 59 50.85% 34.97 2.841 76.27% 0.31 0.2632
2 Heart 36 55.56% 35.08 0.0 72.22%
2 Opposite Shores 454 40.4% 33.37 0.621 73.13% -0.009 0.0495
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 578 39.97% 36.16 1.293 70.07% -0.412 0.0745
2 Top to Top 68 35.29% 38.03 11.069 82.35% 0.745 0.6293
3 Archipelago 9 77.78% 34.33 0.0 33.33%
3 Coastline 17 70.59% 45.82 0.0 94.12%
3 Other 35 51.43% 33.54 0.0 71.43%
3 Round (Default) 1050 39.66% 36.06 -2.584 77.81% -0.844 -0.883
3 Sunrise 5 0.0% 41.4 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 105 37.14% 37.07 0.647 69.52% 0.029 -0.3116
4 Archipelago 13 53.85% 36.15 0.0 38.46%
4 Coastline 8 62.5% 55.25 0.0 62.5%
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 43.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 17 64.71% 35.18 0.0 76.47%
4 Thematic 174 21.26% 54.05 0.0 86.21%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 450 29.18% 38.81 -1.691 85.11% -0.294 -0.3809
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 54 53.85% 37.07 6.979 74.07% 0.321 -0.0464
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 37.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 5 0.0% 40.8 0.0 80.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 58.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 5 40.0% 56.0 0.0 80.0%
6 Star 7 28.57% 37.71 0.0 71.43%
6 Thematic 28 39.29% 40.71 8.981 67.86% 0.119 0.018
6 Two Centers (Default) 44 36.36% 30.3 -14.877 61.36% -0.532 -0.2527
7 Other 2 0.0% 48.0 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 565 30.19 6.412 61.24% 1.639 1.6742
Aid From Lesser Spirits 423 31.34 3.608 62.17% 0.488 0.3539
All Things Weaken 606 29.69 2.925 58.75% 0.573 0.7021
Attenuated Essence 92 27.58 -0.881 55.43% -0.404 -0.4172
Back Against the Wall 472 31.28 -1.27 61.86% -0.703 -0.7325
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 82 25.4 4.699 48.78% 0.345 0.5227
Burn Brightest Before the End 65 34.68 5.729 67.69% 0.702 0.7157
Disintegrating Ecosystem 489 27.12 -1.298 52.76% -0.117 0.1064
Downward Spiral 567 31.21 0.393 66.67% 0.095 0.1486
Erosion of Will 518 29.21 -1.204 57.72% -0.331 -0.1875
Intensifying Exploitation 101 27.12 3.118 57.43% 0.828 0.9369
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 242 36.15 -3.701 81.4% -0.16 -0.6828
Memory Fades to Dust 552 30.5 -0.616 63.95% -0.092 0.1025
Power Corrodes the Spirit 528 29.08 -0.991 59.47% -0.14 -0.0535
Promising Farmlands 523 28.77 -1.268 60.04% -0.277 -0.0533
Shattered Fragments of Power 71 26.72 -5.604 52.11% -1.27 -1.2124
Slow Dissolution of Will 77 29.88 2.518 58.44% 0.491 0.8653
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 175 36.4 -2.446 84.57% -0.006 -0.6826
The Border of Life and Death 29 35.83 -4.045 75.86% -0.121 -0.5328
Thriving Communities 613 29.34 -0.073 61.83% 0.007 0.2195
Thriving Crops 52 34.71 12.586 73.08% 1.601 1.3288
Unnatural Proliferation 592 30.55 0.657 60.98% 0.014 0.0568
Untended Land Crumbles 573 29.24 -4.485 61.26% -0.637 -0.4244

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3172 43.35% 33.78 -1.265 72.73% -0.36 0.5782
B 3283 43.8% 34.69 0.331 75.39% -0.174 0.681
C 3426 40.65% 34.88 -0.489 74.61% -0.257 0.4356
D 3143 43.08% 34.13 2.232 72.35% 0.123 0.9711
E 3144 42.12% 35.02 1.616 74.62% 0.14 0.8185
F 2994 42.59% 34.5 0.572 74.75% -0.049 0.7301
G 2507 43.43% 33.62 -2.169 72.12% -0.847 -0.0951
H 2701 39.84% 35.05 -0.166 75.56% -0.075 0.6483
East 1295 38.22% 37.87 2.947 66.95% 0.297 1.1066
Northeast 662 38.22% 40.55 -0.563 71.75% -0.436 0.3645
Northwest 602 37.71% 37.96 3.975 66.78% 0.549 1.3087
Southeast 414 34.78% 36.39 -2.565 65.94% -0.387 0.4639
Southwest 412 42.96% 31.1 -2.615 58.98% -0.605 0.7306
West 1253 41.82% 34.54 1.106 61.45% 0.036 0.9196

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 11 0.0% 62.55 5.147 100.0% 0.284 0.9433
Not Using Events or Tokens 15 40.0% 16.6 0.0 33.33%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 276 10.0% 48.78 5.94 83.7% 0.615 -0.154
Start of Game Growth 427 15.24% 46.48 2.929 83.84% 0.37 -0.0391
Unlimited Undo 1463 33.15% 32.7 -6.062 66.78% -1.071 -1.1196
Using Tokens but Not Events 1214 39.15% 32.1 -0.16 69.52% -0.18 -0.2963

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3012 14.06 0.23%
II 4172 30.26 64.29%
III 7644 34.84 89.65%
IV 3724 38.62 99.68%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.765 Win Model: 0.448
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12579 44.23% 32.99 68.84%
2 3992 43.53% 34.84 75.75%
3 1191 39.24% 36.46 77.58%
4 659 28.92% 42.66 84.37%
5 44 55.81% 34.89 68.18%
6 87 31.4% 37.39 68.97%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 7
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6680
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2499
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3688
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2125
Lose: Invader deck ran out 39
Lose: Adversary condition 1236
Win: Sacrifice victory 90
Lose: Scenario condition 110
Win: Scenario condition 290
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1657
Lose: Spirit destroyed 131

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 893 51.24% 33.08 -3.921 53.42% -0.219 -0.3338
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 90 43.33% 35.79 -3.519 55.56% -0.266 -0.8034
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 582 73.06% 33.92 -1.835 51.72% -0.481 -0.3357
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 154 51.95% 41.77 4.418 68.18% 0.656 -0.1568
Dances Up Earthquakes 27 48.15% 35.41 2.764 55.56% 0.561 0.3909
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 806 59.25% 36.56 6.286 58.68% 1.27 1.0321
Downpour Drenches the World 401 51.5% 28.19 1.635 45.14% 0.532 0.8611
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 527 52.18% 32.73 0.513 55.41% 0.191 -0.2832
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1116 50.0% 40.85 3.069 67.29% 0.485 0.0968
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 462 61.61% 35.15 1.087 53.9% 0.24 -0.1491
Finder of Paths Unseen 148 51.35% 22.99 -2.727 32.43% -0.289 0.3956
Fractured Days Split the Sky 466 63.52% 32.03 -11.852 44.21% -1.625 -1.1748
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 624 61.54% 32.07 -3.481 49.68% -0.231 -0.2766
Heart of the Wildfire 885 77.71% 29.0 -2.297 42.6% -0.058 0.2642
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2410 53.83% 38.74 3.219 63.49% 0.803 0.3028
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 190 51.05% 33.54 5.26 55.26% 1.086 0.6923
Lightning's Swift Strike 351 74.49% 34.53 -5.08 49.0% -0.185 0.0095
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 182 62.43% 37.39 7.909 63.74% 1.05 0.6864
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 255 65.1% 38.34 -11.113 63.92% -0.702 -1.0064
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 214 59.81% 35.77 3.815 53.74% 0.785 1.0023
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3405 49.2% 42.74 3.643 74.13% 0.951 0.7527
Many Minds Move as One 1647 49.91% 42.3 0.187 73.1% 0.466 0.2442
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1078 63.39% 33.72 -1.787 50.65% -0.162 -0.0407
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 47 68.09% 27.53 -1.649 42.55% -0.022 0.0667
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 690 64.88% 36.92 1.548 59.13% 0.718 0.6311
River Surges in Sunlight 747 71.82% 36.21 -1.044 50.87% -0.239 -0.2759
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 82 45.12% 35.46 -0.41 54.88% -0.073 0.1958
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 288 74.65% 28.59 -5.349 36.11% -0.679 -0.5605
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 205 53.17% 33.02 2.006 49.27% 0.009 -0.1525
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 761 64.65% 35.31 5.373 55.06% 0.849 0.6749
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 9 66.67% 43.89 6.632 55.56% 0.452 -0.0455
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 242 81.82% 30.81 -7.012 41.32% -1.174 -0.6858
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 62 53.23% 33.27 -7.794 53.23% -0.196 -0.2073
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 191 52.36% 36.37 -3.265 58.12% -0.314 -0.747
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 77 67.53% 32.35 -10.91 51.95% -0.566 -0.3258
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 209 71.29% 35.99 5.232 55.98% 0.556 0.4854
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 196 78.57% 33.99 0.527 51.53% -0.007 0.1468
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1493 48.72% 41.51 -4.721 70.19% -0.592 -0.716
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 271 49.08% 34.18 -0.655 57.93% 0.132 -0.0136
Shifting Memory of Ages 435 65.75% 31.0 -4.109 48.28% -0.239 0.1196
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 83 55.42% 31.54 -3.305 51.81% -0.292 -0.1894
Shroud of Silent Mist 539 68.41% 31.58 -6.22 49.54% -1.018 -0.5897
Starlight Seeks its Form 954 56.18% 34.09 3.382 55.14% 1.066 1.0049
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1393 52.48% 32.72 -1.41 51.69% 0.068 -0.4359
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1018 56.82% 38.14 1.839 63.95% 0.546 0.6156
Thunderspeaker 675 64.14% 34.44 0.885 50.07% -0.151 -0.1696
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 76 56.58% 21.88 -6.281 31.58% -0.71 -0.3572
Towering Roots of the Jungle 203 55.17% 31.44 1.081 53.69% 0.492 0.674
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 789 83.52% 30.9 -0.926 46.77% 0.197 0.2244
Vital Strength of the Earth 329 67.38% 28.87 -8.78 39.82% -1.175 -0.6808
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 136 64.71% 24.88 -4.337 34.56% -0.6 -0.0819
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 271 63.47% 27.37 -8.038 40.96% -0.914 -0.2218
Volcano Looming High 856 67.49% 33.67 -3.597 55.02% -0.567 -0.503
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 244 54.51% 28.7 -2.182 46.31% -0.277 -0.5683

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 10 10.0% 26.6 5.99 50.0% 0.28 -0.0466
Blitz 0 229 47.16% 35.43 -5.789 37.55% -0.827 -0.5207
Dahan Insurrection 4 151 44.37% 53.13 5.234 56.95% 0.046 -0.3813
Despicable Theft 2 40 50.0% 33.77 -16.248 42.5% -0.952 -0.3107
Elemental Invocation 1 118 62.71% 28.49 2.033 38.14% 0.101 0.7525
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 971 34.91% 45.86 1.705 72.81% -0.058 -0.6856
Powers Long Forgotten 1 107 46.73% 27.06 -21.629 33.64% -0.689 -0.0766
Rituals of Terror 3 56 66.07% 29.66 -12.794 23.21% -0.288 -0.2054
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 39 48.72% 20.41 -8.511 17.95% -0.272 0.5204
Second Wave 0 369 66.58% 35.04 -1.206 48.51% -0.165 -0.0349
The Great River 3 57 57.89% 35.51 -13.555 42.11% -0.254 0.7342
Varied Terrains 2 23 34.78% 12.96 -18.634 17.39% -0.471 0.3613
Ward the Shores 2 74 60.81% 32.7 -10.434 37.84% -0.542 0.4554

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 13794 57.56% 35.21 -0.316 56.35% 0.042 0.3916
1 Thematic 796 62.94% 32.44 -3.785 40.33% -0.872 -0.2271
2 Archipelago 14 71.43% 35.36 0.0 42.86%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3072 62.46% 35.21 0.836 58.46% 0.22 0.3687
2 Coastline 343 58.31% 38.28 -2.259 62.1% -0.591 -0.7906
2 Fragment 81 64.2% 38.47 0.0 58.02%
2 Heart 48 52.08% 45.44 -14.583 72.92% -0.403 -0.7194
2 Opposite Shores 572 62.87% 35.51 1.294 56.99% 0.229 0.2874
2 Thematic 228 64.91% 33.96 4.474 45.18% 0.318 0.8047
2 Top to Top 95 58.95% 41.67 -0.024 70.53% -0.366 -0.4815
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 48.83 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 9 66.67% 46.22 6.583 66.67% 0.372 -0.547
3 Other 71 46.48% 24.38 11.945 39.44% 0.77 0.0172
3 Round (Default) 1270 59.65% 37.98 0.834 62.13% 0.153 0.1139
3 Sunrise 48 12.5% 8.46 0.0 12.5%
3 Thematic 51 64.71% 39.49 0.0 56.86%
4 Archipelago 3 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 4 25.0% 44.25 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 5 40.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 25 64.0% 44.24 8.75 80.0% 0.253 -0.5322
4 Thematic 61 60.66% 43.75 0.0 59.02%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 387 60.1% 41.46 -0.397 70.54% 0.025 -0.0624
5 Other 47 51.22% 35.98 -0.635 53.19% 0.156 -0.211
5 Thematic 4 25.0% 4.75 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 2 100.0% 55.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 24 0.0% 48.92 -3.502 79.17% -0.421 -0.564
6 Star 7 57.14% 34.29 0.0 42.86%
6 Thematic 14 57.14% 28.79 0.0 35.71%
6 Two Centers (Default) 43 44.19% 35.47 -4.683 58.14% -0.519 -0.239
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 808 32.37 -0.239 47.65% -0.073 -0.0371
Aid From Lesser Spirits 723 34.14 -1.046 47.58% -0.397 -0.5312
All Things Weaken 879 29.81 0.334 42.43% -0.044 0.0852
Attenuated Essence 178 29.13 -2.086 43.26% -0.464 -0.4775
Back Against the Wall 636 31.9 2.024 44.18% 0.068 0.0393
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 135 32.28 1.62 46.67% -0.144 0.0332
Burn Brightest Before the End 126 30.37 1.948 44.44% 0.097 0.1111
Disintegrating Ecosystem 844 27.17 -0.576 36.14% -0.363 -0.1402
Downward Spiral 930 30.91 0.708 46.88% 0.038 0.0919
Erosion of Will 847 30.61 -2.125 42.98% -0.684 -0.5404
Intensifying Exploitation 165 26.87 -2.278 42.42% -0.381 -0.2717
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 270 39.4 6.218 70.37% 0.259 -0.2632
Memory Fades to Dust 845 30.77 5.239 45.8% 0.782 0.9766
Power Corrodes the Spirit 838 29.78 3.878 43.56% 0.651 0.7369
Promising Farmlands 786 28.97 -3.937 41.35% -0.738 -0.5146
Shattered Fragments of Power 122 29.14 8.93 36.89% 0.463 0.5211
Slow Dissolution of Will 176 26.47 -1.382 36.36% -0.407 -0.0324
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 191 41.44 -3.159 74.87% -0.058 -0.7344
The Border of Life and Death 49 29.08 -5.013 48.98% -0.351 -0.7624
Thriving Communities 950 31.91 -0.95 50.21% -0.078 0.1343
Thriving Crops 59 27.02 -1.053 42.37% 0.007 -0.2648
Unnatural Proliferation 930 30.71 -0.526 42.26% -0.462 -0.4187
Untended Land Crumbles 896 30.17 2.509 44.64% 0.062 0.2747

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3855 59.59% 35.44 -1.879 57.56% -0.595 0.3435
B 3898 59.01% 36.03 0.304 58.83% -0.125 0.7305
C 4218 56.45% 36.59 0.396 59.6% -0.15 0.5424
D 3682 57.72% 35.26 -1.001 57.14% -0.433 0.4148
E 3956 56.99% 36.3 0.839 59.23% -0.184 0.4939
F 3404 60.78% 36.14 1.318 58.61% 0.025 0.804
G 2858 59.45% 35.81 -0.429 58.08% -0.281 0.4708
H 3066 59.15% 36.74 1.212 59.33% 0.101 0.8245
East 717 61.51% 34.74 -4.509 43.65% -0.575 0.2348
Northeast 298 61.74% 34.55 1.512 41.95% 0.361 1.1611
Northwest 257 57.98% 33.39 -3.564 43.58% -0.201 0.5585
Southeast 271 60.89% 34.55 -0.617 45.76% 0.142 0.9926
Southwest 216 62.5% 33.33 0.24 48.15% 0.033 1.368
West 635 62.83% 33.13 0.911 43.78% 0.005 0.8887

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 28 0.0% 57.43 -1.208 75.0% -0.472 0.1868
Not Using Events or Tokens 5 100.0% 20.8 0.0 20.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 355 15.29% 60.52 10.115 87.04% 1.157 0.388
Start of Game Growth 490 21.89% 55.68 3.636 83.88% 0.519 0.1103
Unlimited Undo 1642 48.0% 40.54 0.456 64.98% -0.022 -0.0704
Using Tokens but Not Events 989 58.06% 32.42 -3.229 51.77% -0.649 -0.7658

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4293 14.06 0.28%
II 7357 30.26 46.19%
III 6061 34.84 85.08%
IV 3424 38.62 99.56%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.187 Win Model: 0.137
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 14688 57.76% 35.01 55.36%
2 4388 62.68% 35.98 58.77%
3 1445 57.13% 36.4 59.24%
4 476 59.15% 42.01 69.75%
5 47 48.78% 34.64 51.06%
6 91 37.08% 37.95 59.34%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 11
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5076
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3304
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3385
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2521
Lose: Invader deck ran out 4
Lose: Adversary condition 2420
Win: Sacrifice victory 86
Lose: Scenario condition 118
Win: Scenario condition 114
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3893
Lose: Spirit destroyed 203

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 560 58.38% 39.6 -1.176 58.39% 0.213 0.0981
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 38 44.74% 43.05 0.143 65.79% -0.115 -0.6519
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 365 73.0% 35.56 -0.371 48.77% -0.013 0.1328
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 117 47.86% 39.74 1.715 59.83% 0.351 -0.4619
Dances Up Earthquakes 42 76.19% 30.38 0.688 33.33% 0.199 0.029
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 514 64.13% 40.32 2.146 60.51% 0.371 0.133
Downpour Drenches the World 284 55.83% 29.88 -4.863 41.55% -0.633 -0.3045
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 526 41.63% 35.4 3.63 54.94% 0.822 0.3473
Eyes Watch From the Trees 796 51.82% 43.72 2.286 65.2% 0.231 -0.1569
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 332 55.72% 41.36 -6.381 57.53% -0.68 -1.0695
Finder of Paths Unseen 125 45.6% 23.88 -9.785 32.0% -0.899 -0.2139
Fractured Days Split the Sky 389 59.54% 37.65 0.174 47.56% 0.263 0.714
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 425 58.12% 39.36 2.97 56.94% 0.458 0.4129
Heart of the Wildfire 587 71.84% 34.34 -3.927 49.74% -0.15 0.172
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2086 47.74% 45.1 5.038 72.05% 0.986 0.4857
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 147 46.26% 34.78 0.588 50.34% 0.054 -0.339
Lightning's Swift Strike 212 71.84% 38.11 -13.246 50.94% -0.72 -0.5257
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 238 56.12% 49.67 6.042 65.97% 0.822 0.4581
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 204 58.62% 41.68 -1.194 61.27% 0.287 -0.0176
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 171 50.29% 38.71 -3.025 56.73% -0.047 0.1708
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2965 44.82% 48.84 4.913 77.61% 0.971 0.7728
Many Minds Move as One 1227 48.17% 47.47 0.188 74.98% 0.191 -0.0317
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 734 65.84% 36.82 -1.538 50.95% 0.08 0.2012
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 39 69.23% 18.72 -6.044 15.38% -0.976 -0.888
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 541 67.54% 37.75 -0.525 54.34% 0.205 0.1186
River Surges in Sunlight 569 68.09% 39.32 -3.612 52.9% -0.797 -0.8344
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 45 51.11% 27.2 -4.978 37.78% -0.376 -0.1071
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 211 66.82% 34.57 1.671 41.23% 0.092 0.2109
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 170 54.12% 38.35 1.419 49.41% 0.09 -0.0715
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 611 60.88% 37.95 0.298 53.36% 0.211 0.0372
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 5 60.0% 60.4 15.902 100.0% 1.653 1.155
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 143 76.06% 36.38 0.0 46.85%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 39 61.54% 42.23 3.02 61.54% 0.169 0.1579
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 166 55.42% 42.01 1.418 65.06% 0.332 -0.1008
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 48 56.25% 32.98 -12.393 41.67% -0.236 0.0041
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 162 70.37% 36.43 -9.365 48.77% -0.694 -0.7649
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 131 76.34% 37.38 2.601 49.62% 0.108 0.2617
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1534 41.85% 50.45 6.633 78.62% 0.991 0.8667
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 224 44.2% 36.43 0.113 53.57% -0.059 -0.2041
Shifting Memory of Ages 327 66.97% 37.75 -3.054 54.74% 0.008 0.3665
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 39 56.41% 32.97 -3.806 48.72% -0.565 -0.4623
Shroud of Silent Mist 339 71.0% 34.98 -3.826 47.79% -0.46 -0.0314
Starlight Seeks its Form 749 56.48% 37.82 0.274 56.61% -0.05 -0.1112
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 988 54.26% 38.89 2.14 56.48% 0.411 -0.0927
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 893 57.9% 41.46 2.895 63.27% 0.638 0.708
Thunderspeaker 424 66.9% 38.26 -8.83 52.59% -0.847 -0.8657
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 73 52.05% 24.47 -14.278 30.14% -0.963 -0.6102
Towering Roots of the Jungle 191 52.36% 38.51 -0.243 59.16% 0.153 0.3346
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 718 81.62% 37.25 -0.044 55.15% -0.256 -0.2287
Vital Strength of the Earth 222 75.45% 30.18 -5.438 34.68% -0.355 0.1387
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 92 60.44% 29.86 -7.932 41.3% -0.836 -0.3174
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 157 70.7% 33.3 -2.976 46.5% -0.036 0.6556
Volcano Looming High 721 66.11% 36.09 -6.833 52.29% -0.538 -0.4735
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 192 56.25% 31.07 -2.947 45.83% -0.228 -0.5198

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 55.56% 19.22 0.0 22.22%
Blitz 0 102 64.71% 22.52 -14.91 21.57% -0.813 -0.507
Dahan Insurrection 4 80 38.75% 62.15 0.0 60.0%
Despicable Theft 2 41 56.1% 29.2 0.0 31.71%
Elemental Invocation 1 64 50.0% 35.95 0.566 53.13% -0.064 0.5871
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 783 26.56% 51.51 5.961 72.41% 0.384 -0.2434
Powers Long Forgotten 1 38 55.26% 23.32 0.0 21.05%
Rituals of Terror 3 61 54.1% 28.0 0.327 27.87% -0.177 -0.0947
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 28 64.29% 25.61 0.483 17.86% -0.147 0.6451
Second Wave 0 217 60.47% 45.73 -9.514 59.91% -0.891 -0.7609
The Great River 3 42 47.62% 18.33 -8.854 11.9% -1.1 -0.1121
Varied Terrains 2 30 50.0% 20.7 13.037 23.33% 0.361 1.1928
Ward the Shores 2 39 58.97% 22.44 -7.744 20.51% -0.692 0.3053

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10987 55.75% 39.93 -1.672 59.13% -0.525 -0.1754
1 Thematic 425 54.14% 33.52 1.478 40.47% -0.093 0.5523
2 Archipelago 5 40.0% 70.8 0.0 100.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2231 62.03% 40.25 2.343 60.6% -0.018 0.1298
2 Coastline 265 63.02% 40.51 1.239 61.89% -0.365 -0.5641
2 Fragment 32 71.88% 44.38 0.0 68.75%
2 Heart 36 80.56% 43.03 10.548 55.56% 0.891 0.5747
2 Opposite Shores 525 46.86% 45.15 2.177 72.76% 0.192 0.2504
2 Thematic 121 70.25% 39.12 -4.513 48.76% -0.144 0.3428
2 Top to Top 127 41.73% 44.98 10.864 72.44% 0.506 0.3906
3 Archipelago 7 85.71% 42.86 0.0 57.14%
3 Coastline 14 42.86% 56.0 0.0 85.71%
3 Other 19 47.37% 44.95 19.14 73.68% 0.655 -0.0984
3 Round (Default) 1034 58.53% 41.36 -1.267 64.12% -0.335 -0.3744
3 Sunrise 6 66.67% 31.67 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 50 66.0% 31.04 -12.297 38.0% -0.319 -0.6591
4 Coastline 10 30.0% 47.4 0.0 70.0%
4 Leaf 6 100.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 12 75.0% 52.67 0.0 91.67%
4 Thematic 80 50.0% 52.75 -14.585 72.5% -0.697 -0.6406
4 Trapezoid (Default) 290 59.35% 45.99 -5.302 70.0% -0.491 -0.5779
5 Other 33 58.06% 36.21 -13.379 51.52% -0.174 -0.541
5 Thematic 11 9.09% 30.82 0.0 27.27%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 4 25.0% 56.75 0.0 75.0%
6 Star 7 57.14% 43.29 0.0 57.14%
6 Thematic 43 2.33% 62.58 7.39 69.77% 0.525 0.4241
6 Two Centers (Default) 45 28.89% 43.64 2.737 64.44% 0.098 0.3775
7 Other 3 33.33% 10.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 666 35.02 -2.089 45.35% -0.839 -0.8037
Aid From Lesser Spirits 501 37.49 4.829 49.5% 0.197 0.0625
All Things Weaken 675 34.94 -3.562 46.52% -1.072 -0.9425
Attenuated Essence 123 29.16 -3.809 35.77% -0.816 -0.8291
Back Against the Wall 495 36.02 -1.699 46.87% -0.57 -0.5992
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 114 30.0 3.462 38.6% 0.187 0.365
Burn Brightest Before the End 91 35.8 -4.717 43.96% -1.291 -1.2767
Disintegrating Ecosystem 605 30.12 0.009 36.86% -0.251 -0.028
Downward Spiral 643 34.07 -1.872 48.37% -0.65 -0.5964
Erosion of Will 630 35.09 1.196 46.51% -0.247 -0.1031
Intensifying Exploitation 132 29.89 -0.925 42.42% -0.296 -0.1865
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 201 48.66 1.526 81.09% 0.018 -0.5045
Memory Fades to Dust 686 34.54 2.015 46.94% -0.078 0.1166
Power Corrodes the Spirit 696 34.83 1.724 48.56% -0.009 0.0772
Promising Farmlands 598 32.78 -0.708 44.65% -0.365 -0.1418
Shattered Fragments of Power 82 32.8 0.32 41.46% -0.329 -0.2711
Slow Dissolution of Will 114 31.75 -3.997 42.98% -0.578 -0.2039
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 121 46.44 7.989 76.86% 0.667 -0.01
The Border of Life and Death 23 26.52 -8.532 43.48% -0.499 -0.9108
Thriving Communities 669 35.6 2.194 50.97% 0.328 0.5405
Thriving Crops 47 34.7 9.265 57.45% 0.876 0.6034
Unnatural Proliferation 707 35.62 1.92 46.96% 0.104 0.1468
Untended Land Crumbles 646 33.68 -2.039 44.74% -0.456 -0.2432

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2802 58.01% 40.54 -0.697 60.89% 0.138 1.0757
B 3223 55.46% 42.22 1.152 64.69% 0.115 0.9701
C 3275 56.06% 41.04 -1.901 61.59% -0.264 0.4283
D 2805 56.45% 39.51 -0.434 59.07% -0.023 0.8249
E 3136 54.34% 42.41 2.563 64.57% 0.525 1.2029
F 2639 59.72% 39.81 -1.102 59.57% -0.06 0.7192
G 2261 59.88% 40.01 -0.022 59.58% -0.106 0.6461
H 2399 56.85% 41.18 1.608 61.73% 0.275 0.9986
East 464 52.8% 41.52 -1.455 49.78% -0.11 0.6994
Northeast 248 51.61% 43.23 1.578 50.81% -0.138 0.662
Northwest 235 47.21% 42.28 -2.729 50.64% -0.305 0.4547
Southeast 198 43.43% 46.84 4.274 59.09% 0.285 1.1363
Southwest 194 40.72% 41.52 -0.993 52.58% -0.208 1.1271
West 461 49.89% 38.13 -1.663 47.29% -0.496 0.3875

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 28 0.0% 59.36 -5.284 71.43% -1.006 -0.3472
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 33.33% 19.0 0.0 0.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 222 20.2% 58.05 8.432 83.33% 0.401 -0.3684
Start of Game Growth 535 27.13% 54.71 2.603 80.37% 0.405 -0.0043
Unlimited Undo 1596 53.78% 43.68 -0.921 67.04% 0.117 0.0684
Using Tokens but Not Events 679 52.84% 42.39 -1.361 63.62% -0.531 -0.6474

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2726 14.06 0.51%
II 5979 30.26 50.09%
III 5636 34.84 84.3%
IV 2096 38.62 99.76%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.332 Win Model: -0.17
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11460 55.72% 39.67 58.4%
2 3319 59.45% 41.36 62.91%
3 1122 58.84% 41.18 63.46%
4 400 56.33% 47.26 69.5%
5 33 50.0% 30.21 42.42%
6 103 19.42% 50.63 64.08%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 14
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4692
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2936
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2079
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1871
Lose: Invader deck ran out 6
Lose: Adversary condition 1423
Win: Sacrifice victory 74
Lose: Scenario condition 80
Win: Scenario condition 56
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3029
Lose: Spirit destroyed 177

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 368 73.3% 36.93 -1.318 35.05% -0.122 -0.2368
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 33 60.61% 29.36 -1.979 30.3% 0.155 -0.3824
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 190 81.58% 28.9 0.0 16.32%
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 78 65.38% 32.41 -5.409 30.77% -0.606 -1.4191
Dances Up Earthquakes 3 100.0% 66.67 20.002 100.0% 1.634 1.4639
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 284 75.0% 32.38 3.662 28.17% -0.056 -0.2936
Downpour Drenches the World 177 55.37% 30.16 -4.57 30.51% -0.352 -0.0228
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 317 64.67% 32.87 -1.603 35.33% 0.318 -0.1562
Eyes Watch From the Trees 608 67.87% 39.66 -3.106 39.14% -0.531 -0.9193
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 160 82.39% 28.87 -11.752 17.5% -0.143 -0.5328
Finder of Paths Unseen 113 65.49% 30.54 3.294 29.2% 0.549 1.2342
Fractured Days Split the Sky 198 59.9% 40.43 4.522 37.37% -0.017 0.4339
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 213 78.87% 34.46 -3.852 28.17% -0.206 -0.2519
Heart of the Wildfire 369 81.03% 31.69 -8.801 26.56% -0.796 -0.4741
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1640 53.69% 45.44 4.714 56.16% 1.15 0.6497
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 67 56.72% 38.48 -0.319 43.28% 0.089 -0.3043
Lightning's Swift Strike 132 83.33% 34.27 -8.143 27.27% -0.269 -0.0755
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 94 65.96% 36.77 -8.503 40.43% -0.174 -0.5371
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 122 74.59% 37.96 -5.395 38.52% -0.438 -0.7422
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 67 62.69% 34.66 -9.53 35.82% -0.218 -0.0007
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2258 56.67% 46.08 6.965 57.04% 1.468 1.2705
Many Minds Move as One 730 73.84% 40.47 3.578 42.6% 0.493 0.2707
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 391 76.21% 32.6 -4.996 26.6% -1.236 -1.1152
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 33 66.67% 21.7 -2.479 15.15% -0.317 -0.2289
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 283 82.33% 33.14 0.317 26.5% -0.252 -0.3387
River Surges in Sunlight 300 77.26% 40.04 -11.12 36.67% -0.426 -0.4629
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 29 65.52% 31.1 -2.002 20.69% -0.128 0.1403
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 98 80.61% 29.64 -8.229 20.41% -0.126 -0.0071
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 138 73.19% 39.12 3.368 40.58% 0.186 0.024
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 343 74.05% 35.19 0.206 29.45% 0.286 0.1122
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 4 75.0% 35.5 5.697 50.0% 0.811 0.3129
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 83 83.13% 24.63 -7.816 9.64% -0.06 0.4286
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 14 71.43% 43.0 0.0 50.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 146 63.7% 40.76 1.824 48.63% 0.266 -0.1672
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 21 66.67% 31.19 0.0 23.81%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 79 87.34% 31.82 0.0 18.99%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 69 91.3% 31.39 -4.221 20.29% -0.022 0.1316
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 744 69.04% 46.1 0.789 51.48% 0.204 0.0797
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 130 53.08% 23.75 -5.03 26.15% -0.013 -0.1583
Shifting Memory of Ages 137 76.64% 35.58 -1.607 30.66% -0.471 -0.1124
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 20 80.0% 40.25 2.681 45.0% 0.281 0.3841
Shroud of Silent Mist 167 86.83% 26.8 0.0 14.97%
Starlight Seeks its Form 509 73.67% 36.7 3.017 35.17% 0.585 0.5244
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 607 67.55% 34.7 -2.511 34.93% -0.041 -0.5446
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 554 72.74% 42.44 -5.454 44.95% -0.664 -0.5937
Thunderspeaker 255 81.03% 35.38 7.927 25.1% 0.559 0.5409
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 24 50.0% 14.17 -3.851 4.17% -0.38 -0.0272
Towering Roots of the Jungle 120 58.33% 29.63 -4.03 32.5% -0.253 -0.0709
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 448 90.85% 34.5 -1.24 30.58% 0.226 0.2534
Vital Strength of the Earth 95 79.79% 33.85 -7.272 28.42% -0.441 0.0534
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 60 70.0% 29.07 -0.72 21.67% -0.511 0.0071
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 113 84.96% 30.6 -2.719 17.7% -0.258 0.4335
Volcano Looming High 305 72.46% 35.93 -1.871 36.39% -0.008 0.0559
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 88 57.95% 32.83 0.335 32.95% -0.007 -0.2981

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 33.33% 17.0 0.0 16.67%
Blitz 0 47 61.7% 26.55 -3.69 21.28% -0.036 0.27
Dahan Insurrection 4 93 48.39% 44.8 1.052 25.81% -0.013 -0.4401
Despicable Theft 2 21 61.9% 35.9 6.142 28.57% -0.137 0.5043
Elemental Invocation 1 55 69.09% 19.58 4.431 7.27% -0.191 0.4598
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 633 31.6% 55.23 6.919 65.09% 0.82 0.1924
Powers Long Forgotten 1 32 78.13% 20.63 0.0 3.13%
Rituals of Terror 3 16 87.5% 31.94 0.0 12.5%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 5 60.0% 45.2 0.0 40.0%
Second Wave 0 116 73.28% 39.35 -14.265 33.62% -0.236 -0.1061
The Great River 3 6 66.67% 30.83 0.0 16.67%
Varied Terrains 2 3 33.33% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 19 78.95% 33.21 0.0 21.05%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7388 63.83% 40.6 0.219 44.63% 0.282 0.6319
1 Thematic 386 67.1% 34.58 -3.482 26.42% -0.632 0.0134
2 Archipelago 27 40.74% 28.44 0.0 14.81%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1289 79.44% 36.28 2.659 33.2% 0.419 0.5672
2 Coastline 144 65.97% 46.48 -3.191 53.47% -0.03 -0.2291
2 Fragment 35 94.29% 35.66 15.983 28.57% 0.649 0.6018
2 Heart 22 81.82% 36.41 0.0 40.91%
2 Opposite Shores 265 64.15% 32.9 1.36 32.45% 0.798 0.8568
2 Thematic 62 67.74% 32.84 -8.128 17.74% -0.245 0.241
2 Top to Top 98 42.86% 29.45 0.0 34.69%
3 Archipelago 5 40.0% 22.8 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 57.75 0.0 62.5%
3 Other 21 90.48% 43.24 -14.219 33.33% -1.182 -1.9357
3 Round (Default) 556 73.92% 37.47 -1.153 40.11% -0.052 -0.0909
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 23.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 17 70.59% 29.18 -2.917 23.53% -0.1 -0.4397
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 28.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 74.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 6 66.67% 38.5 0.0 33.33%
4 Thematic 39 79.49% 38.74 0.0 28.21%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 185 82.51% 38.26 2.914 38.38% 0.246 0.1589
5 Other 20 55.0% 39.1 -6.09 45.0% -0.164 -0.5316
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 72.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 1 0.0% 72.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Thematic 10 40.0% 4.9 0.0 0.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 15 46.67% 41.47 0.0 26.67%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 512 35.26 3.449 27.73% 0.398 0.4334
Aid From Lesser Spirits 365 40.6 1.1 38.36% -0.328 -0.4629
All Things Weaken 513 34.96 3.171 28.65% 0.302 0.4314
Attenuated Essence 94 31.87 0.097 28.72% -0.347 -0.3605
Back Against the Wall 361 34.9 -0.314 26.87% -0.712 -0.7414
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 109 28.29 2.137 22.94% -0.175 0.0028
Burn Brightest Before the End 69 29.46 2.764 23.19% 0.341 0.3546
Disintegrating Ecosystem 462 29.72 -1.691 20.78% -0.49 -0.267
Downward Spiral 522 35.05 -0.419 33.91% -0.248 -0.1942
Erosion of Will 487 33.89 4.942 26.69% 0.151 0.2943
Intensifying Exploitation 94 30.16 1.547 25.53% 0.107 0.2168
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 119 46.97 -3.602 61.34% -0.259 -0.781
Memory Fades to Dust 523 33.34 -2.444 27.72% -0.296 -0.1016
Power Corrodes the Spirit 464 34.12 1.206 28.45% -0.001 0.0852
Promising Farmlands 481 31.34 -2.262 24.53% -0.588 -0.3646
Shattered Fragments of Power 62 32.61 -3.765 22.58% -0.822 -0.7648
Slow Dissolution of Will 76 27.39 -6.323 22.37% -0.649 -0.2751
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 78 47.4 1.058 65.38% 0.295 -0.3814
The Border of Life and Death 11 28.45 19.006 36.36% 0.449 0.0374
Thriving Communities 546 35.68 5.573 33.15% 0.647 0.8592
Thriving Crops 29 31.66 -1.638 34.48% -0.308 -0.5797
Unnatural Proliferation 563 35.31 1.4 27.71% -0.461 -0.4184
Untended Land Crumbles 530 33.3 -2.286 26.23% -0.614 -0.4013

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1787 71.22% 38.72 -0.032 40.01% -0.182 0.7566
B 1985 68.15% 37.53 0.748 39.04% -0.029 0.8259
C 2090 65.49% 38.79 0.657 41.58% 0.069 0.7619
D 1663 68.25% 36.8 -0.783 36.86% -0.144 0.7036
E 2147 66.12% 42.7 -0.014 47.41% -0.272 0.4064
F 1528 68.5% 37.45 -1.067 38.87% 0.011 0.7897
G 1291 72.77% 38.36 4.378 39.27% 0.937 1.689
H 1452 71.12% 39.23 -1.789 40.08% 0.024 0.7477
East 314 66.56% 37.13 -3.902 28.66% -0.501 0.3084
Northeast 151 70.86% 35.53 -4.945 25.83% -0.286 0.5143
Northwest 139 64.75% 29.6 -2.917 20.86% -0.1 0.6599
Southeast 109 57.8% 34.4 0.414 31.19% -0.024 0.8272
Southwest 90 64.44% 27.07 0.0 17.78%
West 285 68.07% 30.38 -5.815 20.35% -0.511 0.3729

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 5 0.0% 38.6 0.0 40.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 240 15.13% 70.62 17.038 88.75% 1.498 0.7285
Start of Game Growth 476 28.06% 65.24 11.47 82.98% 1.16 0.7505
Unlimited Undo 1051 65.01% 42.26 2.405 48.53% 0.235 0.1865
Using Tokens but Not Events 489 53.93% 45.79 1.553 55.42% 0.103 -0.0137

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1809 14.06 2.21%
II 5639 30.26 35.2%
III 2382 34.84 66.88%
IV 782 38.62 99.74%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.087 Win Model: -0.281
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7823 63.84% 40.25 43.6%
2 1913 74.8% 36.14 34.08%
3 595 74.12% 37.24 38.99%
4 236 79.49% 38.89 38.56%
5 20 55.0% 30.95 30.0%
6 25 36.0% 31.92 24.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 40
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1564
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1946
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 775
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1441
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3
Lose: Adversary condition 1210
Win: Sacrifice victory 45
Lose: Scenario condition 77
Win: Scenario condition 28
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3369
Lose: Spirit destroyed 114

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2315 62.55% 45.89 -5.085 34.13% -0.352 -0.4672
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 355 46.48% 30.39 -4.275 24.23% -0.5 -1.0371
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 955 80.92% 42.52 0.857 22.3% -0.111 0.0348
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 747 71.49% 34.16 -2.548 29.85% 0.396 -0.4167
Dances Up Earthquakes 166 59.64% 42.29 4.488 39.76% 0.913 0.7431
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1168 84.61% 29.83 -6.854 13.27% -0.646 -0.8834
Downpour Drenches the World 1224 59.97% 26.72 -6.784 17.73% -0.991 -0.6621
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1348 73.66% 26.1 -4.034 18.32% -0.438 -0.9127
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2636 65.22% 52.13 -3.51 37.67% -0.402 -0.7907
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 628 83.23% 34.51 1.364 20.54% 0.363 -0.0267
Finder of Paths Unseen 561 58.75% 28.86 -3.067 21.39% -0.417 0.2674
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3250 47.88% 55.27 14.306 44.92% 0.974 1.4245
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1023 83.56% 33.79 -10.031 21.31% -1.202 -1.2474
Heart of the Wildfire 1580 83.13% 27.87 -2.834 12.53% -0.321 0.0013
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 14926 56.4% 56.44 5.06 63.08% 1.377 0.876
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 530 56.9% 28.93 -4.143 25.28% 0.372 -0.022
Lightning's Swift Strike 612 80.5% 34.14 -1.531 20.59% 0.046 0.2399
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1097 71.19% 40.37 2.444 33.09% 0.745 0.381
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 541 85.0% 38.85 -8.01 27.91% -0.183 -0.4877
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 629 61.21% 48.71 -5.9 45.31% -0.154 0.0631
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 10471 69.09% 46.32 1.879 43.99% 0.847 0.6491
Many Minds Move as One 2818 70.56% 47.86 1.144 36.66% -0.019 -0.2415
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1906 77.13% 32.25 -6.093 18.42% -1.074 -0.953
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 210 67.14% 22.77 -4.468 15.71% -0.392 -0.3033
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 871 82.68% 35.84 3.001 23.77% 0.79 0.7035
River Surges in Sunlight 1861 81.52% 55.11 5.582 36.22% 0.505 0.4678
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 299 60.2% 32.52 1.217 20.4% 0.422 0.6905
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 481 62.5% 40.24 -0.662 24.95% 0.851 0.9698
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 870 68.51% 45.03 -2.961 31.15% 0.22 0.0579
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3065 62.81% 47.3 5.505 41.53% 1.126 0.9517
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 51 64.71% 33.12 0.9 27.45% 0.664 0.1661
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 418 85.82% 36.12 -1.144 18.18% 0.34 0.8282
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 84 77.38% 31.87 -4.855 15.48% -0.537 -0.5482
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 804 69.53% 31.56 -2.01 24.88% 0.219 -0.2138
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 98 78.57% 33.92 -29.035 25.51% -0.48 -0.239
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 336 83.33% 34.81 -4.311 18.75% -0.392 -0.4627
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 264 78.79% 37.91 -2.917 26.89% -0.179 -0.0253
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2327 73.68% 45.86 -1.339 39.92% 0.37 0.2457
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 679 64.36% 31.63 -4.311 28.13% 0.019 -0.1266
Shifting Memory of Ages 2060 56.05% 34.83 -4.28 21.12% -0.773 -0.4138
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 278 48.2% 36.64 -0.613 36.69% 0.633 0.7356
Shroud of Silent Mist 721 80.78% 30.77 -4.723 15.53% -0.055 0.3732
Starlight Seeks its Form 3971 64.38% 41.26 -6.369 39.79% -0.307 -0.3682
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5741 58.22% 47.1 7.095 38.46% 1.22 0.7162
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2382 79.92% 43.91 2.182 37.7% 0.676 0.746
Thunderspeaker 1119 78.33% 41.23 -5.417 23.86% -0.937 -0.9554
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 123 73.77% 20.76 -1.097 13.01% 0.133 0.4861
Towering Roots of the Jungle 707 58.56% 22.01 -4.503 18.39% -0.379 -0.1971
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2401 89.8% 34.16 -4.717 22.7% -0.3 -0.2728
Vital Strength of the Earth 356 77.25% 32.73 -7.453 15.73% -0.059 0.4354
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 301 56.48% 29.56 -6.641 21.26% -0.251 0.2669
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 403 78.86% 31.08 -10.267 15.88% -0.949 -0.2574
Volcano Looming High 2316 77.22% 38.12 -4.32 30.22% -0.624 -0.5594
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 641 63.34% 23.4 -7.496 14.82% -1.005 -1.2962

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 357 58.64% 43.81 -13.3 34.73% -0.306 -0.0002
Dahan Insurrection 4 2830 31.36% 65.16 17.923 48.98% 2.005 1.5775
Despicable Theft 2 13 50.0% 35.77 0.0 23.08%
Elemental Invocation 1 150 82.67% 31.83 -3.514 11.33% -0.902 -0.2511
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2920 44.97% 48.61 0.329 42.02% -0.086 -0.7134
Powers Long Forgotten 1 17 47.06% 16.29 -13.422 5.88% -0.1 0.5117
Rituals of Terror 3 1098 46.95% 113.25 22.745 64.75% 2.478 2.5598
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 51 39.22% 22.0 -17.407 7.84% -0.502 0.2902
Second Wave 0 141 68.79% 47.56 -13.286 40.43% -0.319 -0.1892
The Great River 3 55 65.45% 31.04 -6.953 7.27% -0.049 0.9394
Varied Terrains 2 26 50.0% 54.12 20.395 42.31% 0.768 1.6006
Ward the Shores 2 47 82.98% 37.09 1.188 17.02% -0.475 0.5224

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 54812 68.17% 44.01 0.41 40.41% -0.024 0.3257
1 Thematic 1135 70.93% 41.34 -1.416 26.96% -0.082 0.5632
2 Archipelago 141 41.84% 61.39 -29.161 36.88% -2.105 -1.2926
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4373 77.18% 38.39 -1.902 30.28% -0.314 -0.1658
2 Coastline 963 68.92% 36.21 0.627 27.73% -0.278 -0.4768
2 Fragment 116 81.03% 43.2 14.361 38.79% 1.261 1.2144
2 Heart 164 73.78% 44.33 14.573 26.22% 0.821 0.505
2 Opposite Shores 1835 63.92% 33.34 -3.13 18.2% -0.634 -0.5755
2 Thematic 796 68.3% 85.74 3.25 45.6% -0.823 -0.3369
2 Top to Top 284 62.32% 32.63 -0.736 26.41% 0.038 -0.0772
3 Archipelago 69 73.91% 97.06 31.729 55.07% -0.124 -1.0043
3 Coastline 24 70.83% 33.71 6.978 29.17% 0.509 -0.4094
3 Other 66 68.18% 47.61 -3.638 42.42% 0.044 -0.7091
3 Round (Default) 2075 71.08% 38.94 -5.244 32.24% -1.343 -1.3827
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 80.0 26.847 100.0% 0.745 0.0925
3 Thematic 414 16.95% 104.45 15.121 64.01% 0.315 -0.0252
4 Archipelago 4 100.0% 137.25 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 11 54.55% 38.27 31.122 36.36% 0.913 0.8603
4 Leaf 7 71.43% 21.71 0.0 14.29%
4 Other 50 76.0% 41.46 2.089 22.0% 0.188 -0.5976
4 Thematic 361 31.58% 79.85 -2.652 60.39% 0.061 0.1168
4 Trapezoid (Default) 991 63.01% 39.25 1.612 31.58% 0.252 0.1645
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 30.5 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 81.0 21.948 100.0% 0.461 -0.2085
5 Other 76 53.42% 40.5 -16.808 28.95% -0.704 -1.0712
5 Thematic 41 48.78% 55.66 -9.835 26.83% -0.043 -0.087
6 Archipelago 13 41.67% 64.15 -6.01 46.15% -0.729 -1.7255
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 73 47.95% 47.67 -11.266 53.42% -1.08 -1.2228
6 Star 17 41.18% 42.82 -10.965 41.18% -0.356 0.4037
6 Thematic 73 45.83% 20.6 -5.584 9.59% -0.249 -0.3497
6 Two Centers (Default) 242 23.55% 51.5 8.338 47.52% 1.189 1.469
7 Archipelago 6 60.0% 107.67 0.0 66.67%
7 Other 2 100.0% 30.5 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3291 40.67 1.194 28.93% -0.264 -0.2286
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2370 45.02 2.524 35.23% -0.019 -0.1537
All Things Weaken 3512 40.5 2.469 28.19% 0.351 0.4799
Attenuated Essence 731 32.16 1.236 22.3% -0.139 -0.1527
Back Against the Wall 2300 43.49 0.972 31.91% -0.388 -0.4173
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 749 33.68 1.372 24.7% 0.001 0.1786
Burn Brightest Before the End 483 37.9 6.354 27.12% 0.589 0.6031
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3088 34.88 -0.387 20.6% -0.378 -0.1551
Downward Spiral 3329 41.85 1.566 33.25% 0.022 0.0753
Erosion of Will 3251 38.61 1.452 24.98% -0.016 0.1278
Intensifying Exploitation 746 33.11 0.359 25.2% 0.139 0.248
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 719 59.33 -2.521 66.48% 0.062 -0.4604
Memory Fades to Dust 3423 40.89 1.013 30.44% -0.055 0.1389
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3332 39.49 0.197 27.97% -0.149 -0.0622
Promising Farmlands 3174 38.4 -1.064 27.32% -0.452 -0.2284
Shattered Fragments of Power 464 34.9 3.07 22.63% -0.121 -0.0635
Slow Dissolution of Will 785 31.79 -1.458 19.62% -0.908 -0.5334
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 454 62.79 0.639 70.93% 0.485 -0.1916
The Border of Life and Death 125 37.4 11.163 42.4% 0.901 0.4893
Thriving Communities 3399 40.08 0.438 29.48% 0.001 0.2131
Thriving Crops 203 32.71 -1.489 33.99% 0.053 -0.2188
Unnatural Proliferation 3573 40.57 0.883 26.81% -0.393 -0.3496
Untended Land Crumbles 3527 39.53 0.361 28.86% -0.182 0.0303

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11354 69.76% 38.64 -0.76 31.31% 0.107 1.0451
B 11406 70.98% 40.96 -0.34 35.16% 0.018 0.8734
C 13033 67.58% 43.86 1.82 37.49% -0.047 0.6453
D 9447 68.66% 39.45 -1.124 32.44% -0.14 0.7085
E 12349 68.3% 44.1 -0.924 40.19% 0.015 0.6932
F 9137 68.34% 40.88 -2.049 35.49% -0.138 0.6407
G 7358 69.97% 42.14 1.168 36.49% 0.118 0.8705
H 9909 60.16% 47.75 -1.049 45.99% -0.025 0.6989
East 2044 50.17% 77.3 7.317 47.16% -0.0 0.8096
Northeast 1165 39.47% 81.69 4.262 50.99% -0.661 0.1395
Northwest 730 50.34% 65.88 -5.128 40.41% -0.553 0.2062
Southeast 489 52.46% 46.77 -8.796 30.06% -0.41 0.4414
Southwest 489 57.17% 38.39 -7.032 25.56% -0.817 0.5181
West 1943 50.46% 74.87 8.324 45.91% 0.195 1.0787

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 48 0.0% 57.77 7.878 58.33% 0.383 1.0418
Not Using Events or Tokens 11 72.73% 118.18 0.0 63.64%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1800 31.26% 63.19 5.773 64.17% -0.046 -0.8156
Start of Game Growth 2980 33.98% 61.73 8.009 66.14% 1.231 0.8221
Unlimited Undo 6443 57.79% 51.49 -0.041 54.83% 0.326 0.2772
Using Tokens but Not Events 3257 58.15% 46.97 0.8 37.67% -0.298 -0.4149

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 20577 14.06 0.71%
II 30265 30.26 37.02%
III 12771 34.84 76.38%
IV 5667 38.62 99.88%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.012 Win Model: -0.212
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 57666 67.71% 44.34 39.86%
2 7433 73.64% 42.17 30.8%
3 2385 67.17% 44.04 34.47%
4 1320 58.59% 43.93 35.68%
5 99 46.88% 36.49 24.24%
6 377 30.67% 48.03 45.89%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 128
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9593
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9646
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5167
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 11286
Lose: Invader deck ran out 62
Lose: Adversary condition 8276
Win: Sacrifice victory 840
Lose: Scenario condition 627
Win: Scenario condition 1392
Lose: Blight pool ran out 21408
Lose: Spirit destroyed 855

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-06-30 13:18:54 (Pacific Time)