The Tsardom of Russia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 455 21.76% 27.58 0.095 91.65% -0.232 -0.1181
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 354 41.53% 25.72 -0.249 87.29% 0.039 0.2455
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 565 25.62% 27.89 0.363 94.51% 0.505 0.3991
Eyes Watch From the Trees 559 13.64% 31.5 1.678 97.32% 0.847 0.4548
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 433 22.33% 29.16 0.679 94.46% 0.509 0.2183
Fractured Days Split the Sky 264 35.23% 28.31 0.798 84.09% -0.615 -0.2615
Heart of the Wildfire 392 58.16% 22.87 -1.386 80.87% -0.217 0.1111
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 783 27.09% 27.15 0.016 93.74% 0.398 0.0676
Lightning's Swift Strike 594 27.67% 27.94 0.519 91.08% 0.036 0.2724
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 726 28.22% 27.73 0.448 93.53% 0.479 0.1914
Many Minds Move as One 864 20.09% 28.49 0.733 96.18% 0.629 0.098
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 517 39.22% 25.5 -0.655 86.46% -0.152 -0.367
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 447 32.66% 26.53 -0.299 91.05% 0.184 0.2076
River Surges in Sunlight 621 37.84% 28.32 0.617 85.02% -0.414 -0.2834
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 376 28.99% 26.54 -0.337 89.89% -0.18 -0.0652
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 501 41.4% 26.76 0.137 88.02% 0.079 0.4956
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 626 24.92% 28.06 0.495 93.61% 0.212 0.1143
Shifting Memory of Ages 59 45.76% 22.86 -1.67 84.75% -0.258 -0.1673
Shroud of Silent Mist 205 47.32% 24.06 -0.728 88.78% 0.263 0.2921
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 665 25.3% 25.44 -1.028 92.48% 0.208 0.16
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 437 27.69% 27.37 0.007 89.47% -0.187 -0.0126
Thunderspeaker 408 29.66% 29.79 0.616 87.75% -0.305 -0.2724
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 423 62.41% 21.53 -1.939 81.56% -0.085 -0.1032
Vital Strength of the Earth 432 30.32% 23.64 -1.905 81.25% -1.037 -0.1829
Volcano Looming High 322 41.3% 23.84 -1.209 84.16% -0.424 -0.4427

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 133 28.03% 23.78 -1.847 84.21% -0.795 -0.2253
Dahan Insurrection 4 223 17.04% 50.2 10.957 91.48% -0.47 -0.072
Despicable Theft 2 32 34.38% 32.56 2.982 81.25% -0.639 -0.3692
Elemental Invocation 1 58 37.93% 28.78 1.003 91.38% 0.202 0.666
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 358 9.5% 29.99 0.897 89.66% -1.158 -0.7918
Powers Long Forgotten 1 85 55.29% 28.48 0.915 77.65% -0.551 -0.1058
Rituals of Terror 3 104 41.0% 36.6 4.746 77.88% -0.783 -0.1381
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 73 64.38% 37.79 5.906 82.19% -0.035 0.6104
Second Wave 0 121 53.72% 26.43 0.682 79.34% -0.475 -0.0463
The Great River 3 74 48.65% 32.19 3.271 66.22% -1.585 -0.1211
Ward the Shores 2 109 43.52% 30.15 1.529 71.56% -1.162 -0.1285

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5609 33.33% 26.16 -0.398 88.98% 0.146 0.3189
1 Thematic 739 38.32% 32.24 1.626 82.14% -0.102 0.26
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1016 31.23% 25.53 -0.506 91.34% 0.007 0.0588
2 Coastline 127 29.92% 26.5 -0.217 87.4% -0.269 -0.2619
2 Fragment 24 25.0% 24.25 -1.08 87.5% -0.404 -0.1474
2 Heart 20 40.0% 22.55 -1.639 80.0% -0.561 -0.4186
2 Opposite Shores 158 19.62% 26.46 -0.288 97.47% 0.706 0.7971
2 Thematic 133 31.58% 34.65 1.885 92.48% 0.576 0.5348
2 Top to Top 17 23.53% 28.88 0.609 94.12% 0.119 0.0882
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 29.0 2.013 100.0% 0.014 1.0958
3 Coastline 8 50.0% 34.88 2.984 75.0% -0.139 -0.3369
3 Other 24 33.33% 24.29 -0.694 91.67% 0.034 0.2087
3 Round (Default) 482 29.73% 27.03 0.095 93.57% 0.001 -0.0728
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 19.0 -2.361 100.0% 0.015 -0.2616
3 Thematic 32 40.63% 29.38 -0.976 78.13% -0.835 -1.2371
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 31.0 3.354 100.0% 0.253 0.3036
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 31.0 0.769 100.0% 0.006 -0.0224
4 Other 11 36.36% 28.45 1.339 90.91% -0.011 -0.1246
4 Thematic 60 16.67% 35.85 0.059 98.33% 0.465 -0.6196
4 Trapezoid (Default) 190 20.0% 26.38 -0.206 93.16% -0.649 -0.7356
5 Other 7 57.14% 26.29 1.438 100.0% 0.37 -0.2337
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 50.0 4.155 100.0% 0.002 -2.7601

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 201 21.31 -3.295 73.13% -2.72 -0.6468
Aid From Lesser Spirits 156 20.99 -3.537 70.51% -2.787 -0.8687
All Things Weaken 228 19.36 -4.339 64.47% -3.113 -0.9431
Back Against the Wall 165 19.64 -4.103 61.21% -3.299 -1.2075
Disintegrating Ecosystem 203 17.2 -5.308 65.02% -3.129 -0.9038
Downward Spiral 219 20.33 -3.783 76.71% -2.395 -0.3725
Erosion of Will 165 20.38 -3.687 73.33% -2.714 -0.5052
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 106 25.52 -1.195 96.23% -0.358 0.3282
Memory Fades to Dust 242 18.93 -4.476 64.88% -3.056 -0.8373
Power Corrodes the Spirit 215 20.42 -3.634 72.56% -2.664 -0.6406
Promising Farmlands 179 18.21 -4.773 65.92% -3.001 -0.7865
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 73 25.52 -1.239 98.63% 0.308 0.7177
Thriving Communities 216 18.17 -4.781 68.06% -2.937 -0.8427
Unnatural Proliferation 238 20.07 -3.884 67.23% -3.024 -0.9373
Untended Land Crumbles 212 19.7 -4.1 67.92% -2.978 -0.8725

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1385 31.86% 26.01 -0.328 89.89% 0.054 -0.7068
B 1410 31.46% 25.97 -0.319 90.07% 0.006 -0.8509
C 1594 30.86% 26.31 -0.143 90.59% 0.091 -0.9976
D 1432 31.17% 26.18 -0.211 91.06% 0.126 -0.724
E 1390 31.12% 26.55 -0.018 91.37% 0.159 -0.8065
F 1300 31.79% 25.99 -0.349 89.15% -0.142 -1.0563
G 1112 30.26% 26.44 -0.086 91.55% 0.178 -0.7278
H 1170 31.16% 26.08 -0.283 90.68% 0.09 -0.8245
East 265 27.76% 36.49 2.689 91.32% 0.307 -0.3427
Northeast 221 33.94% 33.85 1.41 86.88% 0.001 -0.5974
Northwest 194 35.05% 33.69 1.394 88.14% 0.076 -0.5932
Southeast 181 27.07% 32.99 1.347 89.5% 0.11 -0.5963
Southwest 165 35.15% 27.21 -1.739 79.39% -0.784 -1.0574
West 263 35.74% 34.87 1.885 85.55% 0.084 -0.3145

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 25 0.0% 30.6 -0.036 96.0% -0.402 1.6539
Not Using Events or Tokens 17 23.53% 31.76 0.788 76.47% -0.77 -0.5543
Skip Initial Invader Actions 201 7.85% 36.91 3.28 98.01% 0.885 0.1985
Start of Game Growth 308 11.71% 34.19 2.022 96.1% 0.087 -0.3832
Unlimited Undo 545 26.74% 28.17 0.26 91.74% 0.126 -0.2936
Using Tokens but Not Events 789 28.4% 26.6 -0.4 87.71% -0.4 -0.4524

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 519 22.35 56.07%
II 3275 30.84 87.15%
III 3356 34.35 91.81%
IV 1515 37.52 99.41%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.057 Win Model: 0.28
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6367 33.97% 26.86 88.17%
2 1496 29.83% 26.55 91.58%
3 539 30.48% 27.15 92.58%
4 263 20.15% 28.76 94.68%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 291
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2982
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2652
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1493
Lose: Invader deck ran out 69
Win: Sacrifice victory 32
Lose: Scenario condition 59
Win: Scenario condition 282
Lose: Blight pool ran out 751
Lose: Spirit destroyed 54

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 301 43.52% 31.63 -0.416 75.08% -0.235 -0.1211
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 206 66.02% 30.38 -0.028 73.79% 0.308 0.5138
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 288 41.96% 33.61 0.59 79.51% 0.148 0.0424
Eyes Watch From the Trees 453 32.3% 38.59 2.513 86.98% 0.52 0.1278
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 255 42.46% 34.31 1.069 82.35% 0.37 0.079
Fractured Days Split the Sky 152 46.05% 32.93 0.399 73.68% -0.262 0.0921
Heart of the Wildfire 327 79.82% 23.32 -3.319 51.68% -0.526 -0.1981
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 591 46.95% 31.0 -0.297 76.65% 0.087 -0.2432
Lightning's Swift Strike 331 57.27% 30.79 -0.541 69.79% -0.136 0.0997
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 589 39.63% 35.02 1.662 87.95% 0.802 0.5151
Many Minds Move as One 705 33.38% 36.65 2.17 91.91% 1.04 0.5092
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 340 56.51% 31.29 -0.582 72.06% -0.143 -0.3579
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 264 47.73% 33.98 0.793 81.44% 0.481 0.5052
River Surges in Sunlight 404 52.85% 32.29 0.458 71.53% -0.079 0.0509
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 245 53.47% 29.52 -1.254 71.02% -0.271 -0.1558
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 265 61.13% 30.67 -0.082 71.7% 0.054 0.4711
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 585 40.58% 34.38 1.011 84.1% 0.287 0.1897
Shifting Memory of Ages 38 44.74% 30.18 -0.352 73.68% -0.292 -0.2011
Shroud of Silent Mist 89 70.79% 26.56 -1.719 61.8% -0.326 -0.2967
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 405 43.32% 27.83 -2.411 65.68% -0.899 -0.9477
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 309 42.35% 33.32 0.405 78.64% 0.078 0.2522
Thunderspeaker 293 49.83% 33.13 0.009 69.97% -0.367 -0.3342
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 243 80.25% 25.64 -2.144 61.73% -0.095 -0.1135
Vital Strength of the Earth 249 46.18% 28.73 -1.671 66.27% -0.649 0.2049
Volcano Looming High 175 62.86% 29.45 -0.503 75.43% 0.323 0.3043

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 71 40.85% 27.69 -2.545 67.61% -0.671 -0.102
Dahan Insurrection 4 144 22.92% 57.01 11.541 85.42% 0.006 0.4041
Despicable Theft 2 15 66.67% 37.07 3.519 66.67% 0.252 0.5217
Elemental Invocation 1 29 65.52% 28.59 -0.782 55.17% -0.656 -0.1919
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 209 21.15% 36.33 1.765 82.78% -0.17 0.1969
Powers Long Forgotten 1 66 60.61% 28.11 -1.173 50.0% -0.816 -0.3707
Rituals of Terror 3 64 59.38% 40.77 4.307 64.06% -0.429 0.2165
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 53 84.91% 37.06 3.48 54.72% -0.239 0.4059
Second Wave 0 430 53.74% 31.43 0.159 66.28% -0.546 -0.1176
The Great River 3 35 77.14% 27.2 -1.014 34.29% -1.436 0.0278
Ward the Shores 2 84 50.0% 37.06 2.364 70.24% -0.394 0.6402

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3627 49.23% 31.0 -0.244 73.89% 0.035 0.2076
1 Thematic 541 56.67% 33.58 0.314 62.11% -0.518 -0.1562
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 693 49.2% 30.76 -0.443 77.49% -0.023 0.0289
2 Coastline 116 49.57% 30.47 -0.387 74.14% -0.063 -0.0555
2 Fragment 25 52.0% 29.12 -1.037 72.0% -0.208 0.0481
2 Heart 10 70.0% 23.6 -3.065 40.0% -0.922 -0.7798
2 Opposite Shores 159 46.2% 31.72 -0.065 81.76% 0.196 0.2861
2 Thematic 108 62.96% 34.58 0.6 71.3% -0.305 -0.3462
2 Top to Top 14 57.14% 36.07 2.305 92.86% 0.843 0.812
3 Archipelago 2 100.0% 17.5 -4.86 0.0% -0.747 0.3345
3 Coastline 5 40.0% 28.6 -0.476 60.0% -0.008 -0.206
3 Other 17 58.82% 30.59 0.191 82.35% 0.698 0.8728
3 Round (Default) 262 33.33% 35.09 0.983 87.4% 0.361 0.2873
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 30.0 2.06 100.0% 0.483 0.2066
3 Thematic 30 60.0% 38.53 2.367 83.33% 0.688 0.2861
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 9.0 -9.189 0.0% -0.638 -0.1299
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 54.0 9.112 100.0% 0.056 0.1064
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 17.0 -4.94 0.0% -0.519 -0.5472
4 Other 16 50.0% 34.94 1.793 87.5% 0.5 0.3859
4 Thematic 39 46.15% 40.92 1.133 84.62% -0.114 -1.198
4 Trapezoid (Default) 132 46.97% 35.09 0.597 85.61% 0.075 -0.0113
5 Other 3 33.33% 40.0 2.175 100.0% 0.155 -0.4484

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 219 22.72 -5.289 47.49% -2.611 -0.5383
Aid From Lesser Spirits 179 26.53 -3.42 58.66% -2.109 -0.1914
All Things Weaken 238 23.55 -4.926 49.58% -2.47 -0.3002
Back Against the Wall 163 23.2 -5.021 45.4% -2.678 -0.5865
Disintegrating Ecosystem 186 19.88 -6.72 41.94% -2.775 -0.5502
Downward Spiral 208 24.96 -4.292 58.65% -2.099 -0.0764
Erosion of Will 207 24.12 -4.613 54.59% -2.3 -0.0908
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 91 34.12 -0.079 85.71% -0.707 -0.0209
Memory Fades to Dust 246 24.46 -4.57 58.54% -2.19 0.0288
Power Corrodes the Spirit 212 23.44 -5.057 52.83% -2.392 -0.3681
Promising Farmlands 212 23.26 -5.129 55.66% -2.317 -0.1026
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 49 31.61 -0.708 87.76% -0.369 0.041
Thriving Communities 200 22.93 -5.403 51.5% -2.455 -0.3599
Unnatural Proliferation 235 23.97 -4.641 52.77% -2.427 -0.3405
Untended Land Crumbles 222 23.14 -5.186 53.6% -2.341 -0.235

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 977 48.93% 31.23 -0.257 76.15% 0.029 -0.7317
B 984 46.53% 32.24 0.282 79.07% 0.139 -0.7183
C 1020 44.06% 32.5 0.374 79.41% 0.172 -0.9167
D 921 46.63% 31.7 -0.029 76.66% -0.019 -0.8688
E 912 47.74% 31.73 -0.054 76.86% -0.025 -0.9906
F 893 48.76% 31.03 -0.34 75.36% -0.066 -0.9798
G 728 47.66% 31.35 -0.155 76.92% 0.035 -0.8708
H 759 50.99% 31.46 -0.093 76.94% 0.14 -0.7744
East 185 55.14% 37.06 1.261 69.19% -0.091 -0.7407
Northeast 163 58.02% 37.12 1.761 71.78% 0.392 -0.2064
Northwest 128 57.81% 34.43 0.259 70.31% 0.09 -0.5801
Southeast 133 59.4% 34.89 1.221 69.17% 0.304 -0.4018
Southwest 137 62.04% 28.64 -2.497 61.31% -0.267 -0.5402
West 207 49.76% 40.45 2.913 75.85% 0.365 -0.0333

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 11 0.0% 27.45 -4.8 54.55% -1.95 0.1059
Not Using Events or Tokens 16 37.5% 23.06 -5.181 31.25% -2.041 -1.8256
Skip Initial Invader Actions 126 12.4% 45.48 3.84 92.86% 0.039 -0.6483
Start of Game Growth 183 15.0% 44.03 3.83 92.9% 0.809 0.3389
Unlimited Undo 434 44.1% 32.81 0.212 79.26% 0.047 -0.3726
Using Tokens but Not Events 478 41.76% 32.2 -0.133 76.36% -0.164 -0.2163

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 700 22.35 17.14%
II 2117 30.84 71.47%
III 2264 34.35 86.79%
IV 723 37.52 99.59%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.241 Win Model: 0.217
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4183 50.37% 31.32 72.32%
2 1125 49.96% 31.29 77.16%
3 315 38.22% 34.88 85.71%
4 181 45.86% 36.42 85.64%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 119
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1889
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1390
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 715
Lose: Invader deck ran out 34
Lose: Adversary condition 550
Win: Sacrifice victory 23
Lose: Scenario condition 39
Win: Scenario condition 182
Lose: Blight pool ran out 815
Lose: Spirit destroyed 48

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 363 37.74% 38.45 -0.287 82.37% -0.316 -0.2014
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 291 58.76% 36.54 -0.554 79.04% -0.058 0.1477
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 354 41.24% 39.23 0.625 86.44% 0.284 0.1782
Eyes Watch From the Trees 517 31.33% 42.83 2.001 91.49% 0.623 0.2298
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 282 40.78% 40.83 1.267 88.65% 0.494 0.2035
Fractured Days Split the Sky 189 50.79% 38.59 -0.052 72.49% -0.679 -0.3256
Heart of the Wildfire 404 63.12% 34.84 -1.208 75.5% -0.089 0.2396
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 768 39.97% 38.25 -0.145 84.77% 0.031 -0.2993
Lightning's Swift Strike 365 56.44% 36.49 -0.582 76.71% -0.22 0.0157
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 816 39.09% 41.73 1.777 91.91% 0.807 0.5198
Many Minds Move as One 829 27.86% 42.36 1.937 94.57% 0.939 0.4082
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 471 52.87% 36.72 -0.953 76.86% -0.36 -0.5747
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 329 42.55% 39.11 0.39 85.71% 0.321 0.3446
River Surges in Sunlight 529 52.36% 39.93 0.809 81.66% 0.071 0.2012
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 327 46.18% 36.79 -0.685 83.18% -0.104 0.0108
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 336 55.06% 36.67 -0.347 77.38% -0.188 0.2287
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 654 33.08% 41.3 1.167 89.3% 0.217 0.1201
Shifting Memory of Ages 60 60.0% 38.0 0.302 85.0% 0.43 0.521
Shroud of Silent Mist 158 56.33% 36.79 -0.597 79.11% -0.058 -0.0286
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 514 35.21% 35.1 -1.917 78.4% -0.689 -0.7377
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 425 34.35% 41.14 0.872 89.18% 0.341 0.5148
Thunderspeaker 321 44.86% 41.86 0.692 82.55% -0.156 -0.1233
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 315 68.89% 32.32 -2.369 71.43% -0.356 -0.3744
Vital Strength of the Earth 308 47.4% 33.73 -2.094 74.35% -0.619 0.235
Volcano Looming High 237 56.36% 33.96 -1.74 75.11% -0.378 -0.3964

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 106 49.06% 31.97 -3.426 63.21% -1.147 -0.5781
Dahan Insurrection 4 100 16.0% 66.73 12.311 91.0% -0.045 0.3532
Despicable Theft 2 16 68.75% 39.19 1.425 62.5% -0.389 -0.1194
Elemental Invocation 1 42 50.0% 37.48 -0.465 73.81% -0.426 0.0389
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 342 23.1% 42.93 1.82 87.43% -0.094 0.272
Powers Long Forgotten 1 68 64.71% 39.88 1.113 72.06% -0.263 0.182
Rituals of Terror 3 43 60.47% 38.4 0.723 48.84% -1.494 -0.849
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 28 71.43% 40.43 2.118 53.57% -0.686 -0.0406
Second Wave 0 249 47.79% 38.45 0.336 77.51% -0.503 -0.0743
The Great River 3 37 67.57% 39.35 1.095 56.76% -1.506 -0.0424
Ward the Shores 2 76 55.26% 40.8 0.627 63.16% -0.997 0.0367

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4425 45.4% 36.85 -0.414 79.8% -0.17 0.0022
1 Thematic 453 54.3% 37.85 -0.378 66.0% -0.526 -0.1638
2 Archipelago 1 100.0% 41.0 2.917 100.0% 0.13 0.3569
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 925 46.27% 37.95 0.041 87.14% -0.075 -0.023
2 Coastline 108 49.07% 39.65 0.724 88.89% 0.269 0.276
2 Fragment 14 71.43% 35.93 -0.903 78.57% -0.181 0.0755
2 Heart 12 66.67% 33.25 -1.459 66.67% -0.369 -0.2274
2 Opposite Shores 146 47.59% 38.82 0.283 87.67% 0.071 0.1617
2 Thematic 192 43.75% 43.32 1.487 84.38% 0.359 0.3174
2 Top to Top 18 27.78% 37.89 -0.655 83.33% -0.555 -0.5862
3 Coastline 14 71.43% 45.79 3.989 100.0% 1.202 1.0034
3 Other 18 50.0% 38.56 0.12 88.89% -0.095 0.079
3 Round (Default) 351 41.03% 38.68 -0.119 88.32% -0.592 -0.6661
3 Sunrise 3 0.0% 43.67 0.728 100.0% 0.022 -0.2541
3 Thematic 42 47.62% 48.67 2.512 92.86% 0.889 0.4867
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 38.5 1.227 50.0% -0.377 -0.3265
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 47.0 4.564 100.0% 0.016 -0.0127
4 Other 6 33.33% 42.67 0.719 100.0% 0.127 0.0136
4 Thematic 94 18.09% 53.24 2.425 91.49% 0.082 -1.0028
4 Trapezoid (Default) 190 33.68% 40.54 0.384 92.63% -0.609 -0.6956
5 Other 7 71.43% 39.86 1.046 100.0% 0.402 -0.2019
6 Other 1 0.0% 57.0 8.993 100.0% 0.007 -0.1557

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 239 28.74 -5.314 58.16% -2.421 -0.3483
Aid From Lesser Spirits 195 30.64 -4.398 61.54% -2.324 -0.4056
All Things Weaken 257 28.9 -5.094 58.75% -2.329 -0.1587
Back Against the Wall 195 30.55 -4.67 60.0% -2.464 -0.3722
Disintegrating Ecosystem 208 26.74 -6.405 54.81% -2.586 -0.3616
Downward Spiral 243 32.19 -3.598 71.6% -1.769 0.2544
Erosion of Will 209 31.03 -4.113 67.46% -1.989 0.2199
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 103 37.87 -0.869 89.32% -0.532 0.1545
Memory Fades to Dust 212 30.01 -4.752 65.09% -2.073 0.1456
Power Corrodes the Spirit 247 29.59 -4.875 62.75% -2.173 -0.1494
Promising Farmlands 218 29.37 -4.925 64.68% -2.041 0.1733
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 87 37.22 -1.142 87.36% -0.707 -0.2968
Thriving Communities 259 28.42 -5.376 60.23% -2.271 -0.1763
Unnatural Proliferation 269 31.64 -3.874 66.17% -2.106 -0.0191
Untended Land Crumbles 245 30.8 -4.216 67.35% -1.942 0.1642

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1142 45.88% 37.83 0.069 84.24% 0.309 -0.4515
B 1222 45.95% 37.81 0.032 85.11% 0.383 -0.4745
C 1248 41.67% 38.4 0.246 84.94% 0.286 -0.803
D 1101 45.18% 37.46 -0.094 82.92% 0.203 -0.6472
E 1157 43.04% 37.92 -0.012 84.1% 0.204 -0.761
F 1111 44.73% 37.47 -0.214 83.98% 0.23 -0.6843
G 921 47.34% 37.4 -0.168 82.84% 0.179 -0.7267
H 1014 42.5% 38.42 0.199 85.11% 0.254 -0.6608
East 267 37.08% 46.49 1.447 82.02% -0.242 -0.891
Northeast 235 40.43% 46.93 2.23 82.98% 0.22 -0.3784
Northwest 201 42.29% 45.71 1.511 81.59% 0.025 -0.6442
Southeast 176 38.64% 44.15 1.77 81.82% 0.372 -0.3344
Southwest 158 48.1% 38.06 -1.73 74.05% -0.343 -0.6159
West 254 38.58% 45.98 1.371 80.71% -0.198 -0.5971

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1 0.0% 46.0 2.66 100.0% 0.029 2.0855
Not Using Events or Tokens 4 50.0% 24.75 -6.405 50.0% -0.654 -0.4386
Skip Initial Invader Actions 124 5.65% 51.07 4.27 97.58% 1.048 0.361
Start of Game Growth 200 14.07% 47.61 2.929 94.0% 0.38 -0.0907
Unlimited Undo 456 39.69% 38.86 0.169 85.53% -0.043 -0.4628
Using Tokens but Not Events 470 46.27% 35.31 -1.283 78.3% -0.34 -0.3919

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 433 22.35 0.46%
II 1725 30.84 67.25%
III 3209 34.35 90.37%
IV 1656 37.52 99.94%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.344 Win Model: 0.286
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4895 46.31% 36.96 78.53%
2 1415 46.46% 38.82 86.71%
3 415 41.93% 39.86 89.16%
4 298 29.53% 44.7 92.62%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2803
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1086
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1645
Lose: Invader deck ran out 20
Lose: Adversary condition 497
Win: Sacrifice victory 42
Lose: Scenario condition 37
Win: Scenario condition 139
Lose: Blight pool ran out 701
Lose: Spirit destroyed 51

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 343 56.85% 39.21 -0.481 62.97% -0.237 -0.1227
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 283 75.18% 36.31 -1.142 56.54% -0.074 0.1322
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 386 61.4% 39.76 -0.074 63.21% 0.004 -0.1012
Eyes Watch From the Trees 501 51.3% 46.13 3.094 78.44% 0.711 0.3179
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 223 65.02% 40.46 0.087 62.78% -0.008 -0.2985
Fractured Days Split the Sky 217 72.35% 36.18 -1.292 51.61% -0.393 -0.0395
Heart of the Wildfire 449 83.96% 31.04 -3.654 45.21% -0.363 -0.0349
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1156 55.42% 40.87 0.335 69.38% 0.15 -0.1799
Lightning's Swift Strike 417 72.9% 38.16 -0.365 59.23% 0.079 0.3148
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1343 48.03% 46.81 3.501 82.73% 0.912 0.6249
Many Minds Move as One 918 51.85% 45.7 2.806 79.41% 0.656 0.1255
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 471 68.58% 36.85 -1.429 56.9% -0.254 -0.469
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 370 62.16% 39.06 -0.421 62.7% -0.045 -0.0214
River Surges in Sunlight 604 74.79% 35.69 -1.688 49.34% -0.444 -0.3135
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 349 72.21% 38.05 -0.585 62.18% 0.052 0.1669
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 373 79.36% 36.57 -1.077 54.69% -0.048 0.3693
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 757 48.94% 45.84 2.553 78.2% 0.444 0.3462
Shifting Memory of Ages 77 75.32% 36.22 -1.26 58.44% -0.004 0.0871
Shroud of Silent Mist 166 77.71% 35.87 -1.491 57.23% -0.127 -0.098
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 678 54.44% 35.48 -2.527 58.26% -0.611 -0.6596
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 471 59.79% 41.59 0.923 70.28% 0.322 0.4961
Thunderspeaker 354 69.41% 37.87 -0.9 56.5% -0.22 -0.1877
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 411 85.16% 34.17 -1.993 54.01% 0.032 0.0138
Vital Strength of the Earth 279 73.48% 33.24 -3.128 48.39% -0.554 0.2998
Volcano Looming High 346 72.54% 37.77 -0.643 63.29% 0.137 0.1183

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 88 65.91% 26.35 -6.205 28.41% -1.77 -1.2009
Dahan Insurrection 4 73 53.42% 57.95 8.888 61.64% -0.366 0.0319
Despicable Theft 2 8 75.0% 43.63 2.649 50.0% -0.206 0.0637
Elemental Invocation 1 36 80.56% 37.64 -0.695 55.56% -0.176 0.2887
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 511 32.68% 48.46 3.414 80.43% 0.198 0.5648
Powers Long Forgotten 1 49 63.27% 36.55 -1.566 44.9% -0.95 -0.5047
Rituals of Terror 3 18 72.22% 42.56 1.744 44.44% -0.606 0.0394
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 5 40.0% 50.6 4.745 60.0% -0.311 0.3339
Second Wave 0 169 68.64% 34.91 -2.421 47.93% -0.914 -0.4851
The Great River 3 19 68.42% 53.21 5.339 68.42% -0.298 1.1651
Ward the Shores 2 37 72.97% 37.59 -0.036 43.24% -0.514 0.5201

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5596 59.99% 39.39 -0.13 63.99% -0.044 0.1285
1 Thematic 436 68.58% 37.51 -1.044 48.39% -0.343 0.0188
2 Archipelago 3 100.0% 50.33 6.629 66.67% 0.138 0.3651
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1188 66.58% 39.77 0.141 66.84% -0.08 -0.029
2 Coastline 127 58.27% 41.38 0.526 68.5% -0.115 -0.1072
2 Fragment 33 66.67% 37.09 -1.411 57.58% -0.598 -0.3414
2 Heart 7 57.14% 45.86 1.155 85.71% 0.181 0.3232
2 Opposite Shores 201 66.0% 38.96 -0.461 64.18% -0.242 -0.1518
2 Thematic 98 64.29% 40.46 0.342 53.06% -0.128 -0.1692
2 Top to Top 43 65.12% 40.4 0.25 69.77% 0.0 -0.0304
3 Coastline 5 60.0% 55.2 5.16 80.0% 0.142 -0.0566
3 Other 24 79.17% 41.08 1.3 70.83% 0.337 0.5117
3 Round (Default) 475 65.47% 40.28 0.262 68.21% -0.265 -0.3382
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 34.5 1.175 50.0% 0.225 -0.0511
3 Thematic 17 58.82% 50.76 4.231 70.59% 0.587 0.185
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 59.0 7.122 100.0% 0.252 0.3025
4 Leaf 3 33.33% 56.0 5.872 100.0% 0.287 0.2589
4 Other 13 69.23% 48.62 3.486 92.31% 0.759 0.6448
4 Thematic 46 58.7% 45.65 1.397 60.87% 0.122 -0.9623
4 Trapezoid (Default) 176 56.32% 43.87 0.919 77.27% -0.407 -0.4937
5 Other 3 100.0% 25.33 -6.678 33.33% -0.782 -1.3852

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 382 32.37 -5.026 47.12% -2.336 -0.2631
Aid From Lesser Spirits 343 32.44 -5.18 43.73% -2.569 -0.6514
All Things Weaken 404 31.62 -5.506 45.3% -2.464 -0.2941
Back Against the Wall 311 31.88 -5.266 44.37% -2.497 -0.4054
Disintegrating Ecosystem 392 27.28 -7.559 36.22% -2.785 -0.5598
Downward Spiral 434 31.89 -5.022 50.0% -2.151 -0.1282
Erosion of Will 388 30.62 -5.966 43.3% -2.527 -0.3177
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 117 44.4 0.498 81.2% -0.821 -0.1344
Memory Fades to Dust 368 31.82 -5.199 48.37% -2.28 -0.0612
Power Corrodes the Spirit 371 31.83 -5.246 48.52% -2.284 -0.2605
Promising Farmlands 397 29.62 -6.421 41.56% -2.569 -0.3548
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 90 44.13 0.552 80.0% -0.73 -0.3207
Thriving Communities 419 32.37 -4.903 50.84% -2.145 -0.0498
Unnatural Proliferation 439 31.43 -5.288 44.65% -2.383 -0.2966
Untended Land Crumbles 402 30.39 -5.918 44.78% -2.407 -0.3016

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1418 63.16% 39.55 -0.093 65.8% 0.187 -0.5731
B 1477 62.98% 39.47 -0.114 65.2% 0.137 -0.7205
C 1657 59.44% 40.86 0.54 67.83% 0.239 -0.8494
D 1371 62.7% 39.74 0.002 65.72% 0.15 -0.7
E 1541 59.87% 40.58 0.301 67.36% 0.177 -0.7886
F 1358 65.71% 39.84 0.232 66.64% 0.329 -0.5848
G 1147 63.58% 39.36 -0.043 64.6% 0.136 -0.7692
H 1189 62.54% 40.15 0.223 66.86% 0.229 -0.6853
East 163 62.58% 42.25 0.777 53.37% -0.145 -0.7943
Northeast 160 63.75% 40.61 -0.092 50.63% -0.213 -0.8116
Northwest 134 62.69% 41.16 0.9 52.99% 0.023 -0.6471
Southeast 133 66.92% 38.21 -0.877 49.62% -0.244 -0.9503
Southwest 90 65.56% 41.0 -0.177 61.11% 0.186 -0.087
West 142 67.61% 42.2 0.56 54.23% -0.04 -0.4382

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3 0.0% 48.67 -0.748 100.0% 0.155 2.2114
Not Using Events or Tokens 4 100.0% 21.75 -6.467 25.0% -0.155 0.0608
Skip Initial Invader Actions 159 12.1% 59.9 6.757 97.48% 1.635 0.948
Start of Game Growth 231 19.21% 56.87 5.517 93.51% 0.866 0.3957
Unlimited Undo 517 52.23% 44.1 1.823 75.24% 0.396 -0.0241
Using Tokens but Not Events 359 62.08% 38.06 -1.036 63.51% -0.204 -0.2567

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1005 22.35 0.6%
II 3163 30.84 49.23%
III 2774 34.35 84.39%
IV 1557 37.52 99.42%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.312 Win Model: 0.116
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6044 60.64% 39.26 62.87%
2 1701 65.88% 39.85 65.9%
3 520 65.38% 40.76 68.46%
4 234 56.9% 44.56 74.79%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 6
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2300
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1519
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1533
Lose: Adversary condition 1069
Win: Sacrifice victory 33
Lose: Scenario condition 60
Win: Scenario condition 61
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1818
Lose: Spirit destroyed 100

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 240 59.17% 44.25 -0.484 66.25% -0.032 0.082
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 187 80.21% 39.1 -2.193 54.55% -0.18 0.0263
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 253 68.38% 43.57 -0.398 65.61% 0.195 0.0901
Eyes Watch From the Trees 353 52.12% 49.9 2.056 76.77% 0.379 -0.0138
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 159 61.01% 45.58 -0.185 66.67% 0.068 -0.2223
Fractured Days Split the Sky 211 66.35% 41.39 -1.589 52.61% -0.593 -0.2391
Heart of the Wildfire 273 76.92% 39.61 -2.215 57.51% -0.031 0.2968
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 873 55.44% 47.13 0.96 75.83% 0.433 0.1028
Lightning's Swift Strike 289 65.4% 44.02 -0.145 64.36% 0.059 0.2953
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1110 47.84% 52.21 3.46 84.95% 0.98 0.693
Many Minds Move as One 674 47.92% 52.16 2.983 83.23% 0.7 0.1696
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 326 72.31% 38.87 -2.878 53.07% -0.544 -0.7589
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 290 70.69% 39.69 -2.236 55.86% -0.283 -0.2587
River Surges in Sunlight 411 70.32% 41.76 -1.317 55.47% -0.307 -0.1764
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 290 66.9% 41.46 -2.012 58.62% -0.451 -0.3358
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 232 73.71% 39.26 -2.454 51.29% -0.426 -0.0091
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 780 40.64% 52.85 3.345 83.97% 0.654 0.5567
Shifting Memory of Ages 58 68.97% 42.47 -0.957 63.79% 0.024 0.1146
Shroud of Silent Mist 105 75.24% 39.42 -2.436 56.19% -0.255 -0.2258
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 480 57.08% 40.07 -3.247 60.42% -0.632 -0.6806
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 418 63.88% 45.63 0.659 70.33% 0.303 0.4771
Thunderspeaker 225 76.0% 41.98 -0.979 60.0% 0.002 0.0346
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 397 83.12% 41.49 -0.871 64.99% 0.443 0.425
Vital Strength of the Earth 192 78.13% 34.22 -4.731 43.75% -0.706 0.1482
Volcano Looming High 290 67.24% 41.49 -1.544 62.41% -0.099 -0.1172

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 44 75.0% 30.82 -6.115 34.09% -1.16 -0.5905
Dahan Insurrection 4 40 42.5% 61.77 8.102 60.0% -0.755 -0.3571
Despicable Theft 2 3 33.33% 65.33 8.417 100.0% 0.258 0.5277
Elemental Invocation 1 16 68.75% 48.81 2.067 75.0% 0.581 1.0452
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 302 32.12% 52.26 2.552 78.48% -0.055 0.3117
Powers Long Forgotten 1 14 71.43% 32.64 -4.597 28.57% -1.037 -0.5923
Rituals of Terror 3 22 77.27% 45.59 1.292 45.45% -0.605 0.0395
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 11 90.91% 42.0 -0.225 36.36% -0.563 0.0826
Second Wave 0 88 63.64% 42.53 -1.367 55.68% -0.74 -0.3114
The Great River 3 15 80.0% 39.47 -3.333 33.33% -1.498 -0.0343
Ward the Shores 2 13 84.62% 35.0 -1.778 30.77% -0.331 0.7026

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4496 58.82% 45.14 0.038 68.15% -0.305 -0.1329
1 Thematic 161 61.49% 42.27 -1.182 54.04% -0.696 -0.3339
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 118.0 30.362 100.0% 0.076 0.3025
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 914 66.96% 43.7 -0.442 66.3% -0.37 -0.3182
2 Coastline 125 66.4% 43.66 -0.26 65.6% -0.181 -0.1737
2 Fragment 14 78.57% 48.79 2.734 78.57% 0.432 0.6886
2 Heart 13 69.23% 46.31 1.3 69.23% -0.095 0.0465
2 Opposite Shores 136 63.97% 45.85 0.366 73.53% -0.04 0.0508
2 Thematic 43 81.4% 45.14 -0.318 58.14% -0.233 -0.275
2 Top to Top 44 63.64% 46.32 0.643 72.73% -0.004 -0.0347
3 Coastline 12 33.33% 59.33 5.715 91.67% 0.46 0.2619
3 Other 14 50.0% 47.43 2.616 78.57% 0.246 0.4208
3 Round (Default) 363 63.36% 44.37 -0.136 68.6% -0.372 -0.4454
3 Sunrise 3 100.0% 29.0 -5.63 33.33% -0.404 -0.6804
3 Thematic 11 72.73% 45.27 -0.868 54.55% -0.181 -0.5826
4 Coastline 8 25.0% 54.88 1.749 87.5% -0.098 -0.0473
4 Other 10 80.0% 51.2 4.833 90.0% 1.019 0.9053
4 Thematic 49 38.78% 60.14 2.105 87.76% 0.531 -0.5535
4 Trapezoid (Default) 104 50.96% 48.85 1.304 77.88% -0.258 -0.3444
5 Other 2 100.0% 53.5 5.093 100.0% 0.342 -0.2611
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 69.0 3.477 100.0% 0.043 -2.7196

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 341 36.4 -5.81 48.97% -2.494 -0.4211
Aid From Lesser Spirits 242 37.0 -5.482 49.17% -2.549 -0.6305
All Things Weaken 291 36.66 -5.633 50.52% -2.439 -0.2687
Back Against the Wall 224 39.13 -4.361 54.46% -2.277 -0.1854
Disintegrating Ecosystem 287 31.08 -8.427 38.33% -2.963 -0.7383
Downward Spiral 280 35.85 -5.906 52.14% -2.346 -0.3233
Erosion of Will 295 35.64 -6.29 47.8% -2.613 -0.4044
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 93 49.82 0.631 82.8% -0.843 -0.1569
Memory Fades to Dust 318 34.73 -6.662 47.48% -2.585 -0.3662
Power Corrodes the Spirit 310 36.71 -5.609 52.58% -2.358 -0.3344
Promising Farmlands 269 35.59 -6.071 50.93% -2.403 -0.1891
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 51 48.73 -0.02 82.35% -0.876 -0.4662
Thriving Communities 315 38.14 -4.843 57.46% -2.14 -0.0448
Unnatural Proliferation 318 37.59 -5.262 52.52% -2.423 -0.3365
Untended Land Crumbles 311 33.25 -7.324 42.77% -2.793 -0.6872

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1019 62.51% 45.05 0.114 69.09% 0.47 -0.2907
B 1213 61.17% 45.51 0.261 70.24% 0.468 -0.3887
C 1253 59.78% 45.06 0.096 68.4% 0.353 -0.7355
D 1091 60.77% 44.6 -0.078 67.83% 0.349 -0.5015
E 1275 56.63% 46.43 0.556 71.29% 0.437 -0.5279
F 1028 63.72% 44.34 -0.196 67.41% 0.396 -0.518
G 867 65.63% 44.63 0.053 68.17% 0.493 -0.4126
H 963 61.02% 44.28 -0.395 66.56% 0.247 -0.6671
East 94 48.94% 53.96 1.491 73.4% 0.19 -0.4598
Northeast 74 62.16% 51.8 1.178 68.92% 0.399 -0.1996
Northwest 77 51.95% 48.97 0.031 63.64% 0.023 -0.6467
Southeast 61 59.02% 48.77 -0.672 65.57% -0.294 -1.0003
Southwest 59 64.41% 49.36 -0.004 71.19% 0.449 0.1758
West 78 50.0% 55.86 1.677 78.21% 0.374 -0.0245

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1 0.0% 54.0 -1.19 100.0% 0.032 2.0885
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 33.33% 19.0 -9.305 0.0% -1.0 -0.784
Skip Initial Invader Actions 106 16.19% 61.8 4.974 92.45% 0.412 -0.2747
Start of Game Growth 235 22.65% 59.83 4.24 92.34% 0.736 0.2655
Unlimited Undo 599 57.53% 48.4 1.15 75.29% 0.311 -0.1091
Using Tokens but Not Events 215 44.86% 50.13 1.658 80.93% 0.295 0.2424

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 538 22.35 0.37%
II 2429 30.84 53.03%
III 2549 34.35 84.11%
IV 1010 37.52 99.6%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.195 Win Model: -0.296
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4673 58.99% 45.06 67.71%
2 1284 66.98% 44.15 67.06%
3 401 62.84% 44.87 69.08%
4 168 45.83% 52.92 82.14%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2116
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1259
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 999
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2
Lose: Adversary condition 635
Win: Sacrifice victory 36
Lose: Scenario condition 29
Win: Scenario condition 28
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1342
Lose: Spirit destroyed 78

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 181 81.22% 40.88 -0.548 38.67% 0.085 0.1994
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 106 88.68% 33.22 -3.856 21.7% -0.503 -0.2969
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 144 80.56% 38.58 -2.174 34.03% -0.218 -0.3229
Eyes Watch From the Trees 341 63.93% 48.57 0.085 52.2% -0.109 -0.5018
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 79 88.46% 34.01 -4.219 21.52% -0.652 -0.9427
Fractured Days Split the Sky 97 65.98% 49.27 2.865 50.52% 0.298 0.6514
Heart of the Wildfire 153 90.85% 35.44 -3.534 29.41% -0.246 0.0818
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 572 67.6% 47.62 1.928 54.9% 0.539 0.2091
Lightning's Swift Strike 178 82.02% 42.71 0.078 41.57% 0.281 0.5171
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 732 61.48% 53.24 4.397 65.85% 0.937 0.65
Many Minds Move as One 438 77.4% 45.85 0.628 49.32% 0.343 -0.1874
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 177 86.44% 36.56 -3.287 28.81% -0.481 -0.6958
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 133 88.72% 36.71 -2.113 29.32% 0.04 0.0638
River Surges in Sunlight 227 82.38% 42.31 0.133 38.33% 0.246 0.3766
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 169 82.25% 37.88 -2.56 31.36% -0.421 -0.3063
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 151 91.39% 32.53 -4.976 18.54% -0.907 -0.4898
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 390 70.69% 49.12 2.838 55.64% 0.656 0.5591
Shifting Memory of Ages 13 84.62% 46.69 3.142 53.85% 0.791 0.8815
Shroud of Silent Mist 32 96.88% 33.66 -4.029 25.0% -0.079 -0.0501
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 302 75.17% 37.8 -3.156 37.42% -0.38 -0.4279
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 286 71.68% 46.17 1.583 49.65% 0.428 0.6018
Thunderspeaker 139 87.77% 35.01 -3.44 21.58% -0.638 -0.6052
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 292 92.81% 39.38 -1.353 38.7% 0.457 0.4386
Vital Strength of the Earth 103 89.32% 32.87 -4.364 21.36% -0.598 0.256
Volcano Looming High 131 80.92% 39.4 -2.094 37.4% -0.102 -0.1208

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 16 62.5% 38.19 -3.855 31.25% -0.952 -0.3823
Dahan Insurrection 4 24 58.33% 55.75 7.02 37.5% -0.244 0.1544
Elemental Invocation 1 13 100.0% 28.77 -5.624 7.69% -0.832 -0.3679
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 224 40.63% 55.44 4.697 64.73% 0.115 0.4819
Powers Long Forgotten 1 14 100.0% 25.79 -6.811 0.0% -1.259 -0.8137
Rituals of Terror 3 10 100.0% 31.1 -3.315 0.0% -0.91 -0.2647
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 2 50.0% 57.5 6.356 50.0% -0.123 0.5226
Second Wave 0 54 83.33% 38.61 -2.296 31.48% -0.503 -0.0738
The Great River 3 3 100.0% 51.0 -1.134 33.33% -0.433 1.0308
Ward the Shores 2 8 87.5% 33.13 -6.086 12.5% -1.037 -0.0029

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 2600 69.62% 46.34 1.044 51.08% 0.126 0.2982
1 Thematic 190 76.84% 39.93 -1.461 30.0% -0.579 -0.2168
2 Archipelago 2 50.0% 99.0 23.779 100.0% 0.502 0.7286
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 621 85.19% 38.5 -1.986 33.66% -0.371 -0.3199
2 Coastline 64 71.88% 50.36 2.881 60.94% 0.505 0.5121
2 Fragment 12 100.0% 34.33 -5.622 25.0% -0.77 -0.5142
2 Heart 7 71.43% 42.43 0.846 42.86% -0.001 0.1408
2 Opposite Shores 63 77.78% 42.92 -0.259 42.86% -0.035 0.0551
2 Thematic 24 70.83% 36.29 -4.12 20.83% -1.24 -1.2814
2 Top to Top 12 75.0% 55.75 6.786 75.0% 1.287 1.2563
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 57.75 4.894 62.5% -0.054 -0.2524
3 Other 13 100.0% 38.85 0.131 38.46% 0.434 0.6081
3 Round (Default) 198 80.81% 44.15 1.286 46.46% 0.261 0.1877
3 Thematic 4 75.0% 41.75 -0.793 25.0% -0.338 -0.7403
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 74.0 14.506 100.0% 0.111 0.1612
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 64.0 6.808 100.0% 0.055 0.0266
4 Other 3 33.33% 52.0 -1.967 66.67% -0.388 -0.502
4 Thematic 14 92.86% 46.79 2.686 42.86% 0.703 -0.3817
4 Trapezoid (Default) 105 85.71% 38.77 -0.947 34.29% -0.355 -0.4415
5 Other 4 50.0% 53.0 1.972 75.0% 0.176 -0.4272

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 227 35.96 -5.957 28.19% -2.679 -0.6062
Aid From Lesser Spirits 168 40.83 -3.399 38.1% -2.235 -0.3166
All Things Weaken 234 34.61 -6.997 26.07% -2.833 -0.6625
Back Against the Wall 164 35.35 -5.827 24.39% -2.745 -0.6533
Disintegrating Ecosystem 210 31.8 -7.872 21.43% -2.995 -0.7699
Downward Spiral 223 37.57 -5.218 36.77% -2.254 -0.2313
Erosion of Will 213 37.57 -5.25 33.33% -2.453 -0.2441
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 53 55.68 3.391 75.47% -0.531 0.1551
Memory Fades to Dust 212 36.45 -6.006 32.55% -2.504 -0.2849
Power Corrodes the Spirit 204 34.47 -6.888 26.96% -2.757 -0.7336
Promising Farmlands 217 34.23 -6.742 28.11% -2.66 -0.4456
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 23 60.91 5.195 86.96% 0.099 0.5091
Thriving Communities 253 37.14 -5.526 34.78% -2.362 -0.2668
Unnatural Proliferation 262 36.12 -6.15 27.86% -2.71 -0.6237
Untended Land Crumbles 246 32.91 -7.536 22.76% -2.969 -0.8637

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 653 79.79% 43.17 -0.096 44.56% 0.301 -0.4596
B 710 78.59% 42.71 -0.35 43.24% 0.16 -0.6968
C 771 74.03% 45.06 0.704 48.51% 0.311 -0.7774
D 633 76.15% 42.04 -0.657 41.86% 0.057 -0.7934
E 864 68.63% 47.8 1.04 53.13% 0.225 -0.7397
F 557 76.58% 42.84 -0.654 43.45% 0.044 -0.8702
G 509 81.34% 41.58 -0.489 41.45% 0.268 -0.6372
H 607 78.25% 42.21 -0.573 41.19% 0.114 -0.8004
East 47 74.47% 41.13 -1.144 27.66% -0.521 -1.1702
Northeast 50 84.0% 41.7 -0.906 30.0% -0.106 -0.7046
Northwest 42 80.95% 42.95 0.832 33.33% 0.45 -0.2198
Southeast 46 69.57% 47.63 3.057 45.65% 0.781 0.0747
Southwest 45 73.33% 35.16 -3.862 26.67% -0.345 -0.6185
West 51 88.24% 39.45 -1.179 25.49% -0.151 -0.5495

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3 0.0% 35.33 -8.935 33.33% -1.174 0.8823
Skip Initial Invader Actions 38 23.68% 65.97 6.58 81.58% 0.311 -0.3762
Start of Game Growth 257 35.8% 63.21 6.806 82.1% 1.169 0.6987
Unlimited Undo 398 66.58% 49.04 1.978 54.77% 0.383 -0.0366
Using Tokens but Not Events 253 50.4% 55.96 2.682 70.36% 0.125 0.0729

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 324 22.35 2.16%
II 2209 30.84 34.4%
III 1039 34.35 66.79%
IV 374 37.52 99.73%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.25 Win Model: -0.232
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2796 70.14% 45.94 49.68%
2 807 83.15% 39.92 36.68%
3 216 80.56% 44.61 46.76%
4 127 82.68% 40.71 37.8%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 7
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 682
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 744
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 372
Lose: Adversary condition 521
Win: Sacrifice victory 19
Lose: Scenario condition 40
Win: Scenario condition 10
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1491
Lose: Spirit destroyed 60

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 854 75.35% 50.38 -1.215 40.75% 0.146 0.2606
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 464 94.4% 35.61 -6.883 16.59% -0.721 -0.5151
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 490 92.2% 35.11 -7.076 15.92% -0.835 -0.9406
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1181 61.9% 62.87 1.904 49.62% -0.122 -0.5151
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 307 89.58% 40.01 -5.077 24.43% -0.365 -0.6558
Fractured Days Split the Sky 999 60.56% 63.52 3.49 55.96% 0.37 0.7238
Heart of the Wildfire 667 92.04% 33.37 -8.102 14.99% -0.904 -0.5756
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7733 56.87% 62.92 6.124 71.86% 1.333 1.0028
Lightning's Swift Strike 786 85.35% 43.81 -2.7 31.81% 0.025 0.2606
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3574 69.8% 57.1 2.944 57.89% 0.904 0.6165
Many Minds Move as One 1156 87.2% 46.25 -1.623 38.06% 0.401 -0.1297
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 740 89.09% 38.66 -5.412 21.89% -0.544 -0.7583
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 398 89.62% 41.55 -3.781 28.89% -0.07 -0.0462
River Surges in Sunlight 1097 84.42% 46.88 -1.607 33.45% 0.075 0.2056
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1254 70.97% 55.17 0.607 51.83% 0.471 0.5861
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 599 89.13% 39.39 -5.273 22.37% -0.515 -0.0979
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1106 80.15% 47.53 -1.65 38.79% 0.094 -0.003
Shifting Memory of Ages 137 77.37% 51.54 -0.186 47.45% 0.433 0.5244
Shroud of Silent Mist 220 88.94% 40.2 -5.551 23.64% -0.488 -0.459
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2364 66.92% 46.95 -2.342 44.08% 0.005 -0.0439
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1151 84.62% 48.17 -1.181 39.53% 0.314 0.4882
Thunderspeaker 550 87.41% 43.13 -3.987 25.82% -0.382 -0.3498
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1096 95.26% 39.76 -4.815 27.55% -0.047 -0.0648
Vital Strength of the Earth 337 86.94% 37.8 -5.941 21.36% -0.643 0.2104
Volcano Looming High 856 80.82% 47.46 -1.634 40.65% 0.262 0.2428

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 175 69.77% 46.93 -3.855 40.0% -0.804 -0.2345
Dahan Insurrection 4 827 27.97% 94.09 18.543 80.77% 1.146 1.5443
Despicable Theft 2 3 100.0% 56.33 3.558 33.33% -0.235 0.0349
Elemental Invocation 1 80 93.75% 36.13 -6.835 10.0% -1.424 -0.9598
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1060 46.93% 56.84 0.957 53.02% -0.495 -0.1282
Powers Long Forgotten 1 6 100.0% 35.83 -9.146 16.67% -0.832 -0.3867
Rituals of Terror 3 13 84.62% 44.92 -2.139 15.38% -0.698 -0.053
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 3 100.0% 31.33 -7.179 0.0% -0.472 0.1735
Second Wave 0 72 76.39% 51.68 -0.102 43.06% -0.116 0.3126
The Great River 3 22 86.36% 37.91 -7.726 9.09% -2.033 -0.569
Ward the Shores 2 15 86.67% 42.87 -1.008 20.0% -0.283 0.7504

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 20318 70.77% 53.1 0.767 51.18% -0.078 0.0943
1 Thematic 604 80.3% 47.88 -2.797 32.28% -0.789 -0.4275
2 Archipelago 18 22.22% 115.94 21.919 83.33% -0.051 0.1759
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1592 82.1% 48.16 -0.959 39.95% -0.2 -0.1482
2 Coastline 306 83.66% 45.96 -1.682 37.91% -0.231 -0.2239
2 Fragment 53 88.68% 48.28 0.012 43.4% 0.147 0.4036
2 Heart 38 92.11% 53.58 1.523 57.89% 0.329 0.471
2 Opposite Shores 350 86.29% 41.44 -2.998 27.71% -0.564 -0.4738
2 Thematic 77 89.47% 44.18 -4.193 18.18% -1.058 -1.0995
2 Top to Top 64 73.44% 54.88 2.101 53.13% 0.198 0.1672
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 135.0 29.921 100.0% 0.044 1.1263
3 Coastline 6 100.0% 44.0 -0.696 33.33% 0.1 -0.0985
3 Other 37 83.78% 54.08 1.691 56.76% 0.35 0.5246
3 Round (Default) 613 81.24% 48.45 0.492 42.25% 0.339 0.2654
3 Thematic 64 37.5% 85.33 7.793 67.19% 0.571 0.1687
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 42.67 3.295 33.33% 0.566 0.5382
4 Other 31 80.65% 40.06 -5.714 22.58% -0.999 -1.1127
4 Thematic 186 33.87% 72.76 2.481 68.28% 0.859 -0.2259
4 Trapezoid (Default) 323 77.56% 49.78 1.303 42.11% 0.345 0.2586
5 Other 10 80.0% 44.8 -0.212 40.0% -0.047 -0.6506
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 70.33 2.168 66.67% 0.204 -2.5584

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1367 43.1 -6.108 32.55% -2.572 -0.499
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1029 46.84 -4.257 38.19% -2.333 -0.4148
All Things Weaken 1514 41.8 -6.862 29.92% -2.692 -0.5216
Back Against the Wall 1014 45.74 -4.836 35.8% -2.439 -0.3475
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1268 37.41 -8.953 24.13% -3.007 -0.7819
Downward Spiral 1377 44.84 -5.225 39.14% -2.224 -0.2013
Erosion of Will 1376 41.28 -7.035 28.56% -2.751 -0.5421
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 299 64.66 3.594 78.26% -0.647 0.0397
Memory Fades to Dust 1360 42.63 -6.498 33.38% -2.541 -0.3221
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1415 42.14 -6.695 32.44% -2.581 -0.5572
Promising Farmlands 1326 41.46 -7.047 31.22% -2.645 -0.4309
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 180 69.32 5.552 86.11% -0.093 0.3165
Thriving Communities 1369 42.73 -6.299 33.53% -2.499 -0.404
Unnatural Proliferation 1482 42.21 -6.43 29.62% -2.65 -0.5633
Untended Land Crumbles 1450 42.17 -6.631 32.28% -2.574 -0.4683

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3658 79.63% 47.43 -1.384 40.76% 0.284 -0.4767
B 3683 78.95% 48.82 -1.041 43.77% 0.35 -0.5073
C 4255 75.18% 49.87 -0.565 44.63% 0.33 -0.7583
D 3128 75.87% 49.02 -0.875 43.29% 0.315 -0.5352
E 4463 73.18% 52.71 0.28 50.71% 0.447 -0.5182
F 3112 74.16% 51.27 -0.184 48.07% 0.402 -0.5121
G 2649 75.24% 50.8 -0.325 46.66% 0.39 -0.5149
H 3856 60.48% 61.77 3.507 63.3% 0.774 -0.1407
East 386 50.65% 68.98 2.605 54.92% 0.253 -0.3969
Northeast 286 50.0% 69.37 2.783 57.34% 0.505 -0.0934
Northwest 203 58.13% 60.58 -0.417 48.77% 0.165 -0.5047
Southeast 138 55.8% 57.8 -1.026 46.38% 0.005 -0.7008
Southwest 183 64.48% 52.63 -2.473 43.17% 0.163 -0.11
West 318 44.48% 71.43 2.785 59.75% -0.028 -0.427

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 20 0.0% 69.45 3.79 75.0% -0.588 1.4687
Not Using Events or Tokens 1 100.0% 26.0 -7.792 0.0% -0.225 -0.009
Skip Initial Invader Actions 734 34.44% 71.31 4.848 75.34% 0.253 -0.4341
Start of Game Growth 1408 35.73% 70.6 5.433 78.98% 0.49 0.0194
Unlimited Undo 2425 60.58% 61.87 3.724 67.18% 0.781 0.3605
Using Tokens but Not Events 926 61.04% 54.1 0.026 54.1% -0.208 -0.2602

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4307 22.35 1.02%
II 12290 30.84 42.29%
III 5914 34.35 80.0%
IV 2186 37.52 99.82%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.041 Win Model: -0.804
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 21063 71.02% 53.05 50.73%
2 2393 83.65% 46.59 37.11%
3 697 76.9% 51.76 44.19%
4 544 62.85% 56.91 50.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 42
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4649
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4468
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2165
Lose: Invader deck ran out 23
Lose: Adversary condition 3315
Win: Sacrifice victory 159
Lose: Scenario condition 222
Win: Scenario condition 671
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8657
Lose: Spirit destroyed 326

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2025-04-01 02:56:45 (Pacific Time)