The Tsardom of Russia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 425 21.65% 27.67 0.122 91.53% -0.308 -0.1753
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 328 40.55% 26.16 -0.028 89.02% 0.184 0.4123
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 528 25.52% 27.91 0.353 94.51% 0.467 0.3807
Eyes Watch From the Trees 501 14.03% 31.56 1.628 97.01% 0.71 0.3369
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 405 22.39% 29.15 0.709 94.81% 0.593 0.3325
Fractured Days Split the Sky 251 35.46% 27.97 0.709 84.06% -0.638 -0.2703
Heart of the Wildfire 368 58.97% 22.74 -1.435 80.43% -0.254 0.0965
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 730 27.0% 27.12 -0.001 93.56% 0.338 0.0343
Lightning's Swift Strike 548 27.44% 27.81 0.459 90.69% -0.059 0.2004
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 647 27.02% 27.89 0.492 93.97% 0.523 0.2498
Many Minds Move as One 830 19.23% 28.61 0.763 96.63% 0.662 0.1476
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 479 38.99% 25.39 -0.702 86.22% -0.218 -0.4137
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 417 33.33% 26.51 -0.263 91.37% 0.213 0.259
River Surges in Sunlight 574 38.15% 28.31 0.616 85.02% -0.429 -0.2764
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 358 28.49% 26.51 -0.373 89.94% -0.218 -0.074
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 474 41.65% 26.76 0.141 88.19% 0.056 0.4967
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 582 24.57% 28.14 0.502 93.64% 0.178 0.1064
Shroud of Silent Mist 167 49.1% 23.83 -0.778 88.02% 0.16 0.1406
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 630 24.96% 25.26 -1.114 92.38% 0.168 0.1484
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 405 29.14% 27.17 -0.064 88.89% -0.238 -0.0349
Thunderspeaker 388 28.87% 30.09 0.706 88.4% -0.324 -0.2724
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 403 62.28% 21.46 -1.994 81.64% -0.144 -0.1359
Vital Strength of the Earth 407 29.24% 23.59 -1.933 81.33% -1.103 -0.2325
Volcano Looming High 280 40.71% 23.8 -1.218 85.0% -0.384 -0.4069

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 123 27.87% 23.43 -1.957 83.74% -0.814 -0.2404
Dahan Insurrection 4 199 16.08% 50.72 11.133 91.96% -0.477 -0.0769
Despicable Theft 2 25 32.0% 32.72 3.008 80.0% -0.754 -0.4713
Elemental Invocation 1 50 40.0% 27.96 0.849 92.0% 0.283 0.723
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 341 9.38% 29.97 0.904 90.03% -1.049 -0.6834
Powers Long Forgotten 1 79 51.9% 28.29 0.829 78.48% -0.586 -0.1453
Rituals of Terror 3 100 41.67% 36.31 4.593 77.0% -0.804 -0.1604
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 67 65.67% 38.34 6.121 83.58% 0.09 0.7315
Second Wave 0 117 53.85% 26.41 0.673 79.49% -0.503 -0.0751
The Great River 3 70 50.0% 31.54 2.989 64.29% -1.668 -0.2085
Ward the Shores 2 103 45.1% 30.16 1.519 70.87% -1.143 -0.1063

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5200 33.03% 26.18 -0.402 89.0% -0.144 0.1883
1 Thematic 667 38.25% 32.31 1.643 81.71% -0.361 0.1376
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 923 30.79% 25.64 -0.458 92.09% -0.006 0.1946
2 Coastline 118 30.51% 26.36 -0.246 87.29% -0.351 -0.196
2 Fragment 22 22.73% 24.91 -0.843 90.91% -0.193 0.2027
2 Heart 17 47.06% 22.12 -1.646 76.47% -0.693 -0.371
2 Opposite Shores 146 19.18% 26.34 -0.375 97.26% 0.538 0.7671
2 Thematic 127 29.92% 34.52 1.822 92.13% 0.445 0.5062
2 Top to Top 16 25.0% 29.06 0.662 93.75% -0.039 0.0928
3 Coastline 8 50.0% 34.88 3.081 75.0% -0.126 -0.1644
3 Other 23 30.43% 24.57 -0.638 91.3% -0.14 0.2801
3 Round (Default) 452 29.71% 26.96 0.066 93.58% 0.082 0.138
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 19.0 -2.344 100.0% 0.014 -0.1797
3 Thematic 30 36.67% 28.93 -1.186 80.0% -0.71 -1.0397
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 31.0 3.463 100.0% 0.288 0.4137
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 31.0 0.646 100.0% 0.005 0.0517
4 Other 10 30.0% 29.4 1.514 100.0% 0.457 0.5694
4 Thematic 60 16.67% 35.85 0.137 98.33% 0.692 -0.332
4 Trapezoid (Default) 171 19.88% 26.28 -0.261 92.98% -0.445 -0.4103
5 Other 7 57.14% 26.29 1.5 100.0% 0.387 0.1322

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 188 20.97 -3.487 71.81% -2.755 -0.682
Aid From Lesser Spirits 147 21.35 -3.366 72.11% -2.646 -0.7269
All Things Weaken 205 19.48 -4.24 66.34% -3.02 -0.8607
Back Against the Wall 148 19.45 -4.137 61.49% -3.254 -1.16
Disintegrating Ecosystem 183 17.25 -5.327 64.48% -3.107 -0.8826
Downward Spiral 198 20.47 -3.703 77.27% -2.313 -0.292
Erosion of Will 146 19.62 -4.04 71.23% -2.794 -0.5857
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 98 25.79 -1.064 96.94% -0.159 0.5338
Memory Fades to Dust 225 19.18 -4.37 65.33% -2.981 -0.7623
Power Corrodes the Spirit 198 20.05 -3.847 71.21% -2.696 -0.6749
Promising Farmlands 167 18.56 -4.614 67.07% -2.919 -0.7044
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 70 25.54 -1.248 98.57% 0.307 0.7184
Thriving Communities 195 17.97 -4.883 67.18% -2.94 -0.8472
Unnatural Proliferation 218 19.83 -3.992 67.43% -2.988 -0.8981
Untended Land Crumbles 192 19.78 -4.083 67.71% -2.929 -0.823

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1283 32.06% 26.01 -0.349 89.95% 0.235 -0.8768
B 1297 30.65% 26.06 -0.293 90.36% 0.214 -0.9944
C 1474 30.52% 26.45 -0.067 91.04% 0.337 -1.1021
D 1331 31.2% 26.16 -0.216 91.21% 0.337 -0.8647
E 1284 30.96% 26.56 -0.016 91.74% 0.393 -0.9196
F 1187 31.45% 25.99 -0.36 89.22% 0.042 -1.2236
G 1026 29.77% 26.48 -0.065 91.62% 0.381 -0.8758
H 1079 31.01% 25.92 -0.359 90.45% 0.254 -1.0116
East 244 27.27% 36.55 2.691 91.8% 0.54 -0.441
Northeast 206 32.52% 34.22 1.573 88.35% 0.324 -0.6074
Northwest 180 33.33% 33.49 1.247 88.33% 0.089 -0.9105
Southeast 165 26.67% 32.79 1.281 89.09% 0.205 -0.8211
Southwest 157 35.03% 27.22 -1.746 78.34% -0.674 -1.2939
West 249 35.34% 34.53 1.71 84.74% 0.164 -0.5612

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 25 0.0% 30.6 0.051 96.0% -0.371 1.6836
Not Using Events or Tokens 16 25.0% 30.31 0.272 75.0% -0.768 -0.55
Skip Initial Invader Actions 188 7.87% 36.65 3.198 97.87% 0.842 0.1485
Start of Game Growth 287 11.15% 34.11 2.006 96.17% 0.147 -0.3165
Unlimited Undo 494 25.42% 28.01 0.199 91.7% 0.035 -0.3853
Using Tokens but Not Events 706 28.78% 26.29 -0.506 87.25% -0.411 -0.463

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 476 22.34 54.62%
II 3044 30.81 87.55%
III 3074 34.31 91.77%
IV 1409 37.5 99.5%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.057 Win Model: -0.063
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 5879 33.62% 26.87 88.2%
2 1369 29.45% 26.6 92.04%
3 512 30.72% 27.11 92.38%
4 243 20.16% 28.79 94.65%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 260
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2733
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2478
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1391
Lose: Invader deck ran out 63
Win: Sacrifice victory 30
Lose: Scenario condition 54
Win: Scenario condition 256
Lose: Blight pool ran out 689
Lose: Spirit destroyed 49

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 271 43.17% 32.07 -0.192 77.49% -0.126 0.0068
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 184 64.67% 30.97 0.142 75.54% 0.341 0.5693
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 266 41.29% 33.95 0.65 81.2% 0.205 0.1189
Eyes Watch From the Trees 417 31.01% 39.0 2.536 87.77% 0.534 0.1612
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 230 41.23% 34.58 1.036 83.48% 0.324 0.0639
Fractured Days Split the Sky 142 44.37% 32.39 0.103 72.54% -0.398 -0.03
Heart of the Wildfire 286 77.97% 24.51 -2.877 55.59% -0.434 -0.0837
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 532 46.89% 31.19 -0.271 77.82% 0.118 -0.186
Lightning's Swift Strike 294 58.02% 30.44 -0.683 69.73% -0.144 0.115
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 540 39.89% 35.0 1.564 87.96% 0.759 0.4856
Many Minds Move as One 667 32.88% 36.81 2.181 92.5% 1.054 0.539
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 295 58.36% 30.69 -0.833 71.53% -0.211 -0.4068
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 253 48.22% 33.97 0.661 81.03% 0.386 0.4315
River Surges in Sunlight 368 52.32% 32.38 0.377 71.74% -0.158 -0.0056
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 217 51.61% 30.42 -0.94 74.19% -0.174 -0.03
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 247 59.92% 30.93 -0.049 72.06% 0.022 0.4627
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 543 40.77% 34.41 0.939 84.53% 0.277 0.2057
Shroud of Silent Mist 66 66.67% 26.74 -1.783 62.12% -0.34 -0.3601
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 378 44.3% 27.0 -2.797 63.76% -1.044 -1.0641
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 284 41.7% 33.67 0.478 80.28% 0.139 0.342
Thunderspeaker 260 48.85% 33.84 0.156 71.54% -0.361 -0.31
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 226 79.65% 25.69 -2.242 61.5% -0.161 -0.153
Vital Strength of the Earth 233 46.78% 28.67 -1.799 65.67% -0.751 0.1187
Volcano Looming High 153 61.44% 29.81 -0.549 77.12% 0.324 0.3002

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 65 38.46% 28.45 -2.433 70.77% -0.615 -0.0423
Dahan Insurrection 4 128 24.22% 58.05 11.754 85.94% 0.01 0.4094
Despicable Theft 2 6 50.0% 41.5 5.346 83.33% 0.515 0.7979
Elemental Invocation 1 27 62.96% 28.85 -0.808 55.56% -0.733 -0.2938
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 190 20.53% 36.52 1.729 83.16% -0.217 0.1487
Powers Long Forgotten 1 64 60.94% 28.11 -1.196 50.0% -0.817 -0.3757
Rituals of Terror 3 56 57.14% 41.38 4.389 64.29% -0.496 0.1478
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 48 83.33% 38.4 3.97 58.33% -0.094 0.5477
Second Wave 0 412 53.66% 31.56 0.122 66.75% -0.576 -0.1478
The Great River 3 32 78.13% 27.38 -0.926 34.38% -1.423 0.0364
Ward the Shores 2 78 50.0% 37.24 2.361 70.51% -0.41 0.627

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3229 48.6% 31.27 -0.218 74.64% -0.106 0.2264
1 Thematic 499 56.02% 33.85 0.277 62.32% -0.582 -0.0842
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 646 48.14% 30.91 -0.456 78.17% -0.252 -0.0516
2 Coastline 112 50.45% 30.29 -0.478 73.21% -0.351 -0.1963
2 Fragment 23 52.17% 29.61 -0.87 73.91% -0.357 0.0391
2 Heart 7 71.43% 23.29 -3.281 42.86% -0.886 -0.5637
2 Opposite Shores 142 45.77% 31.95 -0.005 82.39% 0.013 0.2419
2 Thematic 98 63.27% 35.31 0.851 74.49% -0.168 -0.1066
2 Top to Top 13 53.85% 38.0 2.929 100.0% 1.062 1.194
3 Coastline 5 40.0% 28.6 -0.485 60.0% -0.108 -0.1462
3 Other 16 62.5% 30.38 0.152 81.25% 0.408 0.8282
3 Round (Default) 241 33.75% 34.25 0.707 87.55% 0.065 0.1204
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 30.0 1.821 100.0% 0.365 0.1708
3 Thematic 28 64.29% 37.82 2.016 82.14% 0.605 0.2757
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 54.0 8.832 100.0% 0.03 0.1549
4 Other 10 60.0% 34.1 1.521 90.0% 0.49 0.6017
4 Thematic 38 44.74% 41.68 1.293 86.84% -0.036 -1.0605
4 Trapezoid (Default) 121 44.63% 35.59 0.662 86.78% -0.253 -0.2187
5 Other 3 33.33% 40.0 1.993 100.0% 0.088 -0.1673

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 204 23.03 -5.26 48.53% -2.581 -0.508
Aid From Lesser Spirits 159 26.96 -3.364 61.01% -2.086 -0.1671
All Things Weaken 221 23.72 -4.94 50.23% -2.485 -0.3266
Back Against the Wall 145 23.38 -4.984 46.21% -2.651 -0.5575
Disintegrating Ecosystem 166 20.31 -6.635 43.37% -2.736 -0.5113
Downward Spiral 181 25.38 -4.221 60.22% -2.056 -0.0346
Erosion of Will 182 24.05 -4.862 54.4% -2.356 -0.1471
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 82 34.05 -0.223 85.37% -0.741 -0.0479
Memory Fades to Dust 217 25.23 -4.265 61.75% -2.062 0.1562
Power Corrodes the Spirit 181 23.08 -5.324 51.93% -2.467 -0.4464
Promising Farmlands 190 23.43 -5.165 55.79% -2.332 -0.1177
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 42 31.1 -1.083 85.71% -0.531 -0.1201
Thriving Communities 184 23.2 -5.346 53.26% -2.399 -0.3057
Unnatural Proliferation 203 24.41 -4.528 54.19% -2.4 -0.3102
Untended Land Crumbles 197 23.09 -5.272 53.81% -2.333 -0.2274

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 880 47.95% 31.43 -0.267 76.82% 0.153 -0.9589
B 908 46.19% 32.25 0.189 79.63% 0.278 -0.9295
C 930 43.23% 32.8 0.427 80.97% 0.392 -1.0476
D 817 45.59% 31.84 -0.029 77.72% 0.149 -1.053
E 824 47.14% 31.87 -0.104 77.67% 0.109 -1.2032
F 811 47.9% 31.16 -0.35 75.96% 0.06 -1.2052
G 658 48.02% 31.36 -0.209 77.36% 0.194 -1.0631
H 671 49.93% 31.72 -0.074 77.94% 0.301 -0.965
East 170 54.12% 37.64 1.383 70.59% -0.038 -1.0192
Northeast 153 57.24% 37.29 1.679 71.9% 0.406 -0.5253
Northwest 118 57.63% 35.01 0.36 72.03% 0.197 -0.8025
Southeast 125 58.4% 35.29 1.275 70.4% 0.353 -0.673
Southwest 128 63.28% 28.95 -2.557 62.5% -0.228 -0.8477
West 188 50.0% 41.21 3.067 77.66% 0.468 -0.257

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 10 0.0% 26.3 -5.307 50.0% -1.989 0.0652
Not Using Events or Tokens 14 35.71% 25.0 -4.509 35.71% -1.895 -1.6773
Skip Initial Invader Actions 120 12.17% 45.47 3.73 92.5% -0.07 -0.7632
Start of Game Growth 175 13.95% 44.21 3.823 93.14% 0.831 0.3679
Unlimited Undo 401 43.88% 33.04 0.246 79.8% 0.072 -0.349
Using Tokens but Not Events 410 40.5% 32.05 -0.211 77.07% -0.162 -0.2146

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 617 22.34 17.02%
II 1890 30.81 72.59%
III 2069 34.31 87.1%
IV 658 37.5 99.54%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.245 Win Model: 0.179
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 3738 49.73% 31.6 72.98%
2 1041 49.33% 31.47 78.0%
3 288 39.02% 34.23 86.11%
4 167 44.31% 37.26 87.43%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 104
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1731
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1262
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 651
Lose: Invader deck ran out 31
Lose: Adversary condition 486
Win: Sacrifice victory 21
Lose: Scenario condition 35
Win: Scenario condition 165
Lose: Blight pool ran out 707
Lose: Spirit destroyed 41

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 335 38.21% 38.15 -0.347 81.49% -0.34 -0.207
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 262 58.78% 36.4 -0.579 78.63% -0.053 0.1755
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 304 40.13% 39.92 1.004 88.49% 0.5 0.4142
Eyes Watch From the Trees 462 32.03% 42.69 1.991 91.34% 0.656 0.2826
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 268 41.42% 40.52 1.163 88.06% 0.453 0.1928
Fractured Days Split the Sky 170 52.35% 37.76 -0.245 71.18% -0.725 -0.3567
Heart of the Wildfire 368 62.23% 34.92 -1.096 76.09% -0.025 0.3256
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 694 39.91% 38.19 -0.172 84.58% 0.016 -0.2877
Lightning's Swift Strike 343 56.27% 36.43 -0.587 76.38% -0.227 0.0327
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 719 38.53% 41.9 1.931 92.63% 0.929 0.6554
Many Minds Move as One 779 27.73% 42.37 2.021 94.74% 0.973 0.458
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 411 54.74% 36.04 -1.13 75.67% -0.354 -0.5493
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 301 43.19% 38.8 0.289 85.05% 0.257 0.3031
River Surges in Sunlight 494 53.44% 39.74 0.833 81.38% 0.096 0.2486
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 284 47.89% 36.4 -0.696 82.39% -0.093 0.0517
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 309 55.34% 36.2 -0.564 76.05% -0.265 0.1753
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 604 32.34% 41.23 1.12 89.24% 0.206 0.1342
Shroud of Silent Mist 107 54.21% 36.92 -0.643 79.44% -0.076 -0.0953
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 478 35.77% 35.13 -1.877 78.24% -0.667 -0.6872
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 382 34.82% 40.73 0.788 88.74% 0.352 0.5543
Thunderspeaker 289 43.6% 41.4 0.581 82.01% -0.221 -0.1698
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 295 68.47% 32.41 -2.313 71.86% -0.318 -0.31
Vital Strength of the Earth 276 49.64% 33.36 -2.183 73.55% -0.611 0.2594
Volcano Looming High 208 56.04% 33.66 -1.833 74.52% -0.398 -0.4217

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 99 49.49% 31.96 -3.4 62.63% -1.149 -0.5753
Dahan Insurrection 4 85 16.47% 65.79 12.084 89.41% -0.166 0.234
Despicable Theft 2 13 69.23% 38.23 0.869 61.54% -0.431 -0.1486
Elemental Invocation 1 37 51.35% 37.97 -0.158 75.68% -0.284 0.1557
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 319 23.51% 43.11 1.981 88.09% 0.036 0.4013
Powers Long Forgotten 1 58 67.24% 40.02 1.201 72.41% -0.184 0.2572
Rituals of Terror 3 37 56.76% 39.68 1.301 51.35% -1.345 -0.7007
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 27 70.37% 41.37 2.614 55.56% -0.566 0.0757
Second Wave 0 235 45.96% 38.46 0.29 77.45% -0.551 -0.1229
The Great River 3 33 66.67% 40.88 1.86 60.61% -1.256 0.2039
Ward the Shores 2 71 56.34% 40.75 0.762 63.38% -0.937 0.1005

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3999 45.06% 36.9 -0.388 79.74% -0.264 0.0686
1 Thematic 435 55.17% 37.7 -0.374 65.75% -0.602 -0.1043
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 836 45.33% 38.1 0.144 87.68% 0.022 0.2222
2 Coastline 99 45.45% 39.99 0.896 89.9% 0.347 0.5014
2 Fragment 11 72.73% 34.0 -1.747 81.82% -0.211 0.1849
2 Heart 10 60.0% 32.4 -2.079 70.0% -0.398 -0.0757
2 Opposite Shores 130 48.84% 37.88 -0.134 86.15% -0.043 0.1857
2 Thematic 174 45.4% 42.91 1.449 83.33% 0.361 0.422
2 Top to Top 16 25.0% 36.25 -1.114 81.25% -0.695 -0.5632
3 Coastline 12 75.0% 44.17 3.083 100.0% 1.004 0.9658
3 Other 17 47.06% 38.88 0.215 88.24% -0.135 0.2846
3 Round (Default) 316 40.19% 38.67 -0.114 88.61% -0.404 -0.3478
3 Sunrise 3 0.0% 43.67 0.69 100.0% 0.024 -0.1696
3 Thematic 35 45.71% 48.4 2.619 91.43% 0.838 0.509
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 38.5 0.649 50.0% -0.422 -0.2969
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 47.0 4.382 100.0% 0.017 0.0637
4 Other 6 33.33% 42.67 0.88 100.0% 0.148 0.26
4 Thematic 82 20.73% 51.67 2.236 90.24% 0.246 -0.7785
4 Trapezoid (Default) 159 35.85% 40.3 0.406 92.45% -0.291 -0.2563
5 Other 7 71.43% 39.86 1.178 100.0% 0.482 0.2271

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 218 29.16 -5.079 59.17% -2.31 -0.2369
Aid From Lesser Spirits 173 31.11 -4.157 64.16% -2.184 -0.2646
All Things Weaken 223 29.04 -5.007 59.19% -2.264 -0.1051
Back Against the Wall 169 29.96 -4.938 57.4% -2.519 -0.4249
Disintegrating Ecosystem 193 26.67 -6.397 54.4% -2.554 -0.33
Downward Spiral 216 32.31 -3.498 72.22% -1.688 0.3334
Erosion of Will 185 31.03 -4.02 67.57% -1.896 0.3126
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 94 37.83 -0.887 89.36% -0.476 0.2169
Memory Fades to Dust 190 29.54 -4.954 63.16% -2.103 0.1155
Power Corrodes the Spirit 223 29.3 -5.051 61.43% -2.196 -0.1754
Promising Farmlands 198 29.13 -4.999 63.64% -2.035 0.1793
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 75 37.09 -1.264 86.67% -0.754 -0.3429
Thriving Communities 240 28.4 -5.38 60.42% -2.232 -0.1389
Unnatural Proliferation 248 31.47 -3.911 65.73% -2.098 -0.0089
Untended Land Crumbles 224 30.62 -4.286 66.07% -1.95 0.156

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1031 44.52% 37.98 0.15 84.58% 0.409 -0.703
B 1086 46.08% 37.73 0.02 85.27% 0.474 -0.7337
C 1130 41.33% 38.49 0.323 85.49% 0.423 -1.0163
D 971 44.85% 37.35 -0.091 82.7% 0.285 -0.9165
E 1045 42.78% 37.99 0.019 84.4% 0.316 -0.9963
F 986 45.03% 37.33 -0.267 83.57% 0.291 -0.9743
G 829 46.92% 37.15 -0.298 82.27% 0.213 -1.0438
H 923 42.58% 38.3 0.163 84.94% 0.325 -0.9405
East 244 38.93% 45.54 1.384 80.74% -0.128 -1.1084
Northeast 210 42.86% 45.93 2.135 81.43% 0.292 -0.6387
Northwest 177 44.63% 44.69 1.345 79.66% 0.091 -0.9086
Southeast 167 39.52% 43.92 1.845 81.44% 0.498 -0.5276
Southwest 144 50.0% 37.13 -2.017 72.22% -0.302 -0.9218
West 227 40.09% 45.0 1.245 79.3% -0.108 -0.8333

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1 0.0% 46.0 3.02 100.0% 0.041 2.0956
Not Using Events or Tokens 4 50.0% 24.75 -6.429 50.0% -0.677 -0.459
Skip Initial Invader Actions 118 5.93% 51.18 4.362 97.46% 1.099 0.4054
Start of Game Growth 192 14.14% 47.53 2.906 93.75% 0.303 -0.16
Unlimited Undo 420 39.05% 38.8 0.129 85.24% -0.039 -0.46
Using Tokens but Not Events 428 46.6% 35.04 -1.37 77.1% -0.396 -0.4482

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 395 22.34 0.51%
II 1557 30.81 67.37%
III 2925 34.31 90.19%
IV 1473 37.5 99.93%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.342 Win Model: 0.066
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4444 46.13% 36.97 78.38%
2 1275 45.6% 38.84 86.98%
3 376 41.49% 39.73 89.1%
4 255 32.16% 44.0 91.76%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2554
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 985
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1463
Lose: Invader deck ran out 20
Lose: Adversary condition 454
Win: Sacrifice victory 36
Lose: Scenario condition 31
Win: Scenario condition 121
Lose: Blight pool ran out 635
Lose: Spirit destroyed 49

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 317 54.57% 40.09 -0.2 65.3% -0.172 -0.0392
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 269 74.25% 36.45 -1.183 56.88% -0.097 0.1314
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 357 60.78% 40.04 -0.071 63.87% 0.003 -0.0828
Eyes Watch From the Trees 471 50.74% 46.12 3.006 78.56% 0.688 0.3153
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 213 64.79% 40.06 -0.128 61.5% -0.064 -0.3244
Fractured Days Split the Sky 211 72.04% 36.15 -1.349 51.66% -0.405 -0.0372
Heart of the Wildfire 418 83.73% 31.16 -3.644 45.69% -0.352 -0.0016
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1073 54.95% 40.97 0.272 69.52% 0.131 -0.1725
Lightning's Swift Strike 387 71.83% 38.39 -0.394 59.43% 0.049 0.3084
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1208 48.1% 46.73 3.358 82.53% 0.886 0.6122
Many Minds Move as One 871 51.44% 45.59 2.694 79.1% 0.623 0.1087
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 435 67.59% 37.47 -1.26 58.62% -0.221 -0.4168
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 347 62.25% 39.07 -0.492 62.54% -0.051 -0.0047
River Surges in Sunlight 526 72.76% 37.44 -0.95 53.8% -0.276 -0.1233
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 332 74.1% 37.87 -0.689 61.75% 0.071 0.2153
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 346 79.77% 36.57 -1.163 54.62% -0.066 0.3743
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 700 48.07% 45.87 2.456 78.29% 0.405 0.3335
Shroud of Silent Mist 133 81.95% 35.19 -1.731 55.64% -0.095 -0.1144
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 635 53.71% 35.39 -2.679 57.64% -0.677 -0.6971
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 438 59.27% 41.56 0.838 70.09% 0.298 0.501
Thunderspeaker 334 68.47% 37.97 -0.999 56.29% -0.274 -0.223
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 389 85.09% 34.09 -2.1 53.73% 0.014 0.022
Vital Strength of the Earth 260 73.46% 33.74 -2.986 49.62% -0.513 0.357
Volcano Looming High 310 71.61% 38.28 -0.5 64.84% 0.185 0.162

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 81 65.43% 26.48 -6.42 28.4% -1.845 -1.2716
Dahan Insurrection 4 69 53.62% 58.19 8.906 62.32% -0.347 0.053
Despicable Theft 2 6 66.67% 43.5 2.488 50.0% -0.278 0.0048
Elemental Invocation 1 26 73.08% 41.23 0.749 65.38% 0.073 0.5122
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 472 32.63% 48.37 3.303 80.51% 0.201 0.5667
Powers Long Forgotten 1 43 60.47% 39.35 -0.472 51.16% -0.744 -0.3023
Rituals of Terror 3 17 70.59% 43.76 2.192 47.06% -0.556 0.0877
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 5 40.0% 50.6 4.576 60.0% -0.363 0.2791
Second Wave 0 159 67.92% 34.91 -2.514 47.8% -0.932 -0.5039
The Great River 3 18 66.67% 52.5 5.038 66.67% -0.334 1.1252
Ward the Shores 2 35 74.29% 37.46 -0.309 42.86% -0.56 0.4775

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5110 59.43% 39.62 -0.126 64.5% -0.042 0.291
1 Thematic 404 67.33% 38.33 -0.803 50.25% -0.308 0.1905
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1091 66.18% 39.73 0.052 66.64% -0.092 0.1084
2 Coastline 116 60.34% 40.7 0.25 67.24% -0.114 0.0409
2 Fragment 29 62.07% 39.86 -0.32 65.52% -0.333 0.063
2 Heart 7 57.14% 45.86 1.136 85.71% 0.171 0.4936
2 Opposite Shores 174 64.74% 40.45 0.083 68.39% -0.067 0.1619
2 Thematic 92 63.04% 40.13 0.013 52.17% -0.285 -0.2235
2 Top to Top 41 63.41% 40.32 -0.014 68.29% -0.163 -0.0314
3 Coastline 5 60.0% 55.2 5.244 80.0% 0.146 0.1075
3 Other 23 78.26% 42.22 1.545 73.91% 0.364 0.7841
3 Round (Default) 444 65.09% 40.06 0.115 67.79% -0.288 -0.2323
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 34.5 1.044 50.0% 0.221 0.0275
3 Thematic 15 66.67% 49.13 3.687 66.67% 0.522 0.1923
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 59.0 7.142 100.0% 0.254 0.3789
4 Leaf 3 33.33% 56.0 5.829 100.0% 0.298 0.3448
4 Other 10 60.0% 48.0 3.045 90.0% 0.472 0.5843
4 Thematic 45 57.78% 45.44 1.262 60.0% 0.037 -0.9875
4 Trapezoid (Default) 169 56.29% 43.99 0.929 77.51% -0.392 -0.3577
5 Other 2 100.0% 31.5 -4.062 50.0% -0.375 -0.63

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 345 32.7 -5.026 47.83% -2.347 -0.2733
Aid From Lesser Spirits 305 32.31 -5.32 43.61% -2.583 -0.6634
All Things Weaken 365 31.78 -5.562 45.75% -2.482 -0.3237
Back Against the Wall 282 32.7 -5.015 46.81% -2.432 -0.3385
Disintegrating Ecosystem 348 26.86 -7.869 35.06% -2.854 -0.6291
Downward Spiral 402 32.07 -5.057 50.25% -2.167 -0.1462
Erosion of Will 344 30.49 -6.17 43.02% -2.568 -0.359
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 114 44.1 0.323 80.7% -0.85 -0.1573
Memory Fades to Dust 334 31.59 -5.443 47.6% -2.33 -0.1112
Power Corrodes the Spirit 342 31.82 -5.335 48.54% -2.292 -0.2713
Promising Farmlands 347 29.31 -6.719 40.63% -2.637 -0.4224
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 81 44.77 0.66 81.48% -0.681 -0.2695
Thriving Communities 375 32.9 -4.73 52.0% -2.111 -0.0173
Unnatural Proliferation 411 31.44 -5.405 44.77% -2.405 -0.3151
Untended Land Crumbles 376 30.57 -5.908 45.21% -2.394 -0.2879

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1297 62.5% 39.66 -0.18 65.92% 0.162 -0.9502
B 1342 62.09% 39.73 -0.113 65.72% 0.145 -1.0635
C 1522 59.0% 40.88 0.451 67.81% 0.241 -1.1981
D 1265 62.1% 40.08 0.11 66.72% 0.212 -0.9898
E 1417 59.96% 40.62 0.233 67.61% 0.198 -1.1144
F 1237 64.7% 40.23 0.345 67.74% 0.398 -0.8674
G 1062 62.83% 39.45 -0.104 64.78% 0.141 -1.1162
H 1099 62.48% 40.2 0.167 66.88% 0.238 -1.028
East 159 63.52% 42.03 0.673 52.83% -0.076 -1.0566
Northeast 154 62.99% 40.85 -0.099 51.3% -0.15 -1.0809
Northwest 119 58.82% 42.34 1.166 55.46% 0.04 -0.959
Southeast 125 66.4% 38.5 -0.683 50.4% -0.141 -1.1666
Southwest 87 65.52% 41.0 -0.218 60.92% 0.228 -0.3918
West 126 66.67% 42.47 0.539 53.97% -0.059 -0.7838

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3 0.0% 48.67 -0.738 100.0% 0.149 2.2029
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 100.0% 24.33 -6.257 33.33% -0.132 0.0854
Skip Initial Invader Actions 157 12.26% 59.85 6.659 97.45% 1.679 0.9853
Start of Game Growth 226 18.3% 56.9 5.442 93.36% 0.775 0.3124
Unlimited Undo 479 51.78% 44.23 1.809 75.37% 0.381 -0.0392
Using Tokens but Not Events 343 61.76% 37.64 -1.291 62.39% -0.284 -0.3363

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 887 22.34 0.68%
II 2906 30.81 49.66%
III 2554 34.31 84.26%
IV 1438 37.5 99.44%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.283 Win Model: 0.092
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 5523 60.02% 39.52 63.46%
2 1552 65.38% 39.98 66.24%
3 487 65.3% 40.56 67.97%
4 223 56.11% 44.72 74.89%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 6
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2114
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1408
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1415
Lose: Adversary condition 962
Win: Sacrifice victory 30
Lose: Scenario condition 56
Win: Scenario condition 58
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1645
Lose: Spirit destroyed 91

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 216 59.26% 44.01 -0.512 65.74% -0.038 0.0951
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 173 80.35% 38.68 -2.303 53.76% -0.183 0.0452
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 234 68.8% 43.36 -0.475 64.96% 0.196 0.1105
Eyes Watch From the Trees 331 51.36% 49.79 2.056 76.44% 0.359 -0.0142
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 146 61.64% 44.91 -0.382 65.07% -0.001 -0.2617
Fractured Days Split the Sky 191 64.92% 41.34 -1.549 51.83% -0.608 -0.2396
Heart of the Wildfire 251 77.29% 39.15 -2.38 56.57% -0.047 0.303
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 802 54.61% 47.16 1.035 76.06% 0.459 0.1548
Lightning's Swift Strike 273 64.84% 43.91 -0.181 64.1% 0.045 0.3045
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 985 48.63% 51.98 3.395 84.57% 0.983 0.7097
Many Minds Move as One 644 47.67% 52.22 3.026 83.39% 0.729 0.2142
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 304 72.04% 39.12 -2.581 53.62% -0.464 -0.6597
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 267 69.66% 40.06 -1.991 56.93% -0.218 -0.1719
River Surges in Sunlight 376 69.95% 41.45 -1.464 54.79% -0.33 -0.1776
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 269 70.63% 40.61 -2.29 56.51% -0.436 -0.2914
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 221 73.76% 39.22 -2.449 51.13% -0.41 0.0308
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 713 40.67% 52.7 3.306 83.87% 0.655 0.5838
Shroud of Silent Mist 80 75.0% 38.66 -2.697 53.75% -0.326 -0.3458
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 446 57.17% 39.98 -3.215 60.09% -0.607 -0.6267
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 394 64.21% 45.04 0.425 68.78% 0.233 0.4358
Thunderspeaker 204 75.0% 41.75 -1.008 59.31% -0.012 0.0391
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 374 82.89% 41.49 -0.852 64.97% 0.44 0.4481
Vital Strength of the Earth 175 78.29% 34.37 -4.561 44.0% -0.654 0.2161
Volcano Looming High 252 67.46% 41.43 -1.503 62.3% -0.07 -0.0932

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 40 72.5% 30.4 -6.405 32.5% -1.325 -0.7522
Dahan Insurrection 4 31 41.94% 58.65 7.406 54.84% -0.726 -0.3265
Despicable Theft 2 2 50.0% 62.5 7.02 100.0% 0.23 0.5127
Elemental Invocation 1 13 69.23% 49.38 2.57 76.92% 0.701 1.1406
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 286 32.87% 51.89 2.476 77.62% -0.069 0.2973
Powers Long Forgotten 1 14 71.43% 32.64 -4.633 28.57% -1.036 -0.5951
Rituals of Terror 3 18 77.78% 41.89 -0.376 38.89% -0.795 -0.1515
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 9 88.89% 40.33 -0.912 33.33% -0.62 0.0219
Second Wave 0 82 63.41% 43.28 -1.077 57.32% -0.673 -0.2447
The Great River 3 15 80.0% 39.47 -3.287 33.33% -1.516 -0.0568
Ward the Shores 2 11 81.82% 34.36 -2.282 27.27% -0.508 0.5287

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4097 58.48% 45.21 0.108 68.32% -0.286 0.0468
1 Thematic 154 61.04% 42.36 -1.153 53.9% -0.697 -0.199
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 830 67.11% 43.33 -0.522 65.54% -0.376 -0.1758
2 Coastline 112 66.07% 43.83 0.001 66.07% -0.092 0.0623
2 Fragment 13 76.92% 48.38 2.797 76.92% 0.433 0.8293
2 Heart 13 69.23% 46.31 1.445 69.23% -0.081 0.2415
2 Opposite Shores 121 62.81% 46.06 0.443 74.38% -0.013 0.2161
2 Thematic 42 80.95% 45.64 0.048 59.52% -0.079 -0.0184
2 Top to Top 36 69.44% 43.42 -0.115 66.67% -0.09 0.0423
3 Coastline 12 33.33% 59.33 5.795 91.67% 0.471 0.4331
3 Other 13 53.85% 46.69 2.194 76.92% 0.167 0.5866
3 Round (Default) 330 63.33% 43.91 -0.226 67.27% -0.41 -0.3537
3 Sunrise 3 100.0% 29.0 -5.433 33.33% -0.367 -0.5606
3 Thematic 10 80.0% 43.4 -1.637 50.0% -0.183 -0.5126
4 Coastline 8 25.0% 54.88 1.819 87.5% -0.112 0.0132
4 Other 10 80.0% 51.2 4.825 90.0% 1.02 1.1326
4 Thematic 45 40.0% 59.71 2.124 86.67% 0.498 -0.526
4 Trapezoid (Default) 98 53.06% 48.21 1.197 76.53% -0.269 -0.234
5 Other 2 100.0% 53.5 5.11 100.0% 0.321 0.0659
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 69.0 3.76 100.0% 0.055 -2.8884

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 312 35.88 -6.005 47.44% -2.491 -0.418
Aid From Lesser Spirits 220 36.88 -5.511 48.64% -2.521 -0.6018
All Things Weaken 249 35.84 -5.981 48.59% -2.471 -0.3122
Back Against the Wall 202 39.34 -4.222 54.95% -2.218 -0.1241
Disintegrating Ecosystem 262 31.56 -8.109 39.31% -2.86 -0.6351
Downward Spiral 260 35.84 -5.906 51.92% -2.315 -0.2943
Erosion of Will 266 35.47 -6.311 47.74% -2.565 -0.3567
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 78 49.33 0.432 82.05% -0.836 -0.1434
Memory Fades to Dust 296 34.6 -6.684 47.3% -2.545 -0.3267
Power Corrodes the Spirit 287 36.9 -5.487 52.96% -2.299 -0.2776
Promising Farmlands 250 35.52 -6.095 50.8% -2.377 -0.1629
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 48 49.21 0.315 83.33% -0.75 -0.3393
Thriving Communities 288 38.14 -4.793 57.29% -2.083 0.0105
Unnatural Proliferation 289 37.91 -5.042 53.29% -2.34 -0.2509
Untended Land Crumbles 282 33.29 -7.223 42.91% -2.725 -0.6191

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 929 61.79% 45.19 0.207 69.32% 0.481 -0.6317
B 1090 61.93% 45.26 0.275 69.63% 0.484 -0.7242
C 1125 59.11% 45.06 0.136 68.36% 0.35 -1.0896
D 998 60.82% 44.2 -0.238 67.23% 0.321 -0.8811
E 1156 55.97% 46.47 0.6 71.45% 0.446 -0.866
F 952 64.39% 44.03 -0.293 66.6% 0.374 -0.8917
G 806 65.63% 44.39 -0.017 67.62% 0.46 -0.7965
H 880 61.14% 44.13 -0.398 66.36% 0.251 -1.0152
East 88 51.14% 53.2 1.254 71.59% 0.154 -0.8269
Northeast 72 62.5% 52.03 1.375 69.44% 0.459 -0.4718
Northwest 74 51.35% 49.51 0.324 64.86% 0.095 -0.9049
Southeast 56 60.71% 47.5 -1.047 62.5% -0.465 -1.4908
Southwest 56 66.07% 48.48 -0.009 69.64% 0.454 -0.1665
West 73 52.05% 55.25 1.514 76.71% 0.255 -0.4701

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 33.33% 19.0 -9.181 0.0% -0.942 -0.724
Skip Initial Invader Actions 98 13.27% 63.72 5.686 95.92% 0.873 0.1792
Start of Game Growth 222 22.07% 60.51 4.465 93.69% 0.798 0.335
Unlimited Undo 503 55.67% 49.26 1.355 76.94% 0.314 -0.1068
Using Tokens but Not Events 193 43.01% 50.22 1.688 80.83% 0.252 0.2001

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 493 22.34 0.41%
II 2190 30.81 52.88%
III 2338 34.31 83.62%
IV 931 37.5 99.57%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.164 Win Model: -0.303
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4266 58.67% 45.11 67.84%
2 1161 67.18% 43.83 66.41%
3 367 62.94% 44.44 67.85%
4 158 47.47% 52.38 81.01%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1935
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1135
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 921
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2
Lose: Adversary condition 572
Win: Sacrifice victory 29
Lose: Scenario condition 28
Win: Scenario condition 20
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1236
Lose: Spirit destroyed 72

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 175 81.14% 40.73 -0.474 38.29% 0.13 0.2632
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 98 87.76% 33.2 -3.735 21.43% -0.489 -0.2601
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 135 82.96% 37.44 -2.573 31.85% -0.255 -0.3415
Eyes Watch From the Trees 321 63.24% 48.69 0.145 52.65% -0.086 -0.4588
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 76 89.33% 33.76 -4.28 21.05% -0.61 -0.8701
Fractured Days Split the Sky 90 66.67% 48.7 2.812 48.89% 0.288 0.6561
Heart of the Wildfire 141 90.78% 35.16 -3.417 29.08% -0.151 0.1992
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 539 68.59% 46.7 1.641 52.88% 0.521 0.2175
Lightning's Swift Strike 172 81.98% 42.37 -0.037 40.7% 0.27 0.5297
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 678 60.18% 53.34 4.472 65.78% 0.945 0.6717
Many Minds Move as One 428 77.1% 45.9 0.729 49.3% 0.376 -0.1391
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 166 86.75% 36.73 -3.091 28.92% -0.404 -0.5997
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 127 88.98% 36.77 -1.942 29.13% 0.082 0.1275
River Surges in Sunlight 214 82.71% 41.31 -0.24 35.51% 0.147 0.299
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 156 83.33% 36.9 -2.91 28.85% -0.467 -0.3226
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 148 91.22% 32.19 -5.08 17.57% -0.945 -0.5039
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 379 71.16% 49.01 2.893 55.41% 0.702 0.6301
Shroud of Silent Mist 24 95.83% 37.08 -2.069 33.33% 0.305 0.2852
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 279 74.91% 37.67 -3.09 36.92% -0.373 -0.393
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 258 72.87% 45.68 1.507 48.84% 0.48 0.6823
Thunderspeaker 133 87.97% 34.83 -3.335 21.05% -0.598 -0.5467
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 280 92.5% 39.6 -1.167 39.29% 0.503 0.5111
Vital Strength of the Earth 99 88.89% 32.89 -4.326 21.21% -0.607 0.2636
Volcano Looming High 117 82.91% 39.58 -1.861 37.61% 0.016 -0.0076

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 15 60.0% 39.07 -3.22 33.33% -0.852 -0.2786
Dahan Insurrection 4 20 60.0% 52.75 6.079 35.0% -0.271 0.1288
Elemental Invocation 1 12 100.0% 28.83 -5.58 8.33% -0.78 -0.3402
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 215 40.47% 55.04 4.586 63.72% 0.055 0.4207
Powers Long Forgotten 1 13 100.0% 25.69 -6.962 0.0% -1.255 -0.814
Rituals of Terror 3 10 100.0% 31.1 -3.314 0.0% -0.912 -0.268
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 2 50.0% 57.5 6.556 50.0% -0.115 0.5264
Second Wave 0 52 84.62% 39.17 -1.914 32.69% -0.379 0.0494
The Great River 3 3 100.0% 51.0 -1.191 33.33% -0.409 1.0501
Ward the Shores 2 8 87.5% 33.13 -6.051 12.5% -1.044 -0.0071

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 2449 69.83% 46.33 1.113 51.0% 0.235 0.5676
1 Thematic 181 76.24% 40.32 -1.314 30.94% -0.477 0.0216
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 589 85.06% 38.09 -2.019 32.77% -0.291 -0.0908
2 Coastline 60 71.67% 51.5 3.39 63.33% 0.689 0.8435
2 Fragment 8 100.0% 29.75 -7.676 12.5% -0.857 -0.4609
2 Heart 6 83.33% 37.83 -0.727 33.33% 0.023 0.3451
2 Opposite Shores 60 80.0% 41.92 -0.493 40.0% 0.028 0.2566
2 Thematic 23 69.57% 36.91 -4.134 21.74% -1.181 -1.1201
2 Top to Top 11 72.73% 54.82 6.467 72.73% 1.256 1.3878
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 57.75 5.161 62.5% 0.032 -0.0062
3 Other 13 100.0% 38.85 0.272 38.46% 0.52 0.9398
3 Round (Default) 185 81.62% 43.56 1.246 44.86% 0.373 0.4291
3 Thematic 4 75.0% 41.75 -1.087 25.0% -0.378 -0.7072
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 74.0 15.016 100.0% 0.138 0.2636
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 64.0 6.955 100.0% 0.061 0.1078
4 Other 2 0.0% 47.0 -6.939 50.0% -0.783 -0.6708
4 Thematic 13 92.31% 48.46 3.073 46.15% 0.727 -0.2968
4 Trapezoid (Default) 97 85.57% 37.96 -1.06 31.96% -0.343 -0.3085
5 Other 4 50.0% 53.0 2.275 75.0% 0.253 -0.0024

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 218 35.5 -6.059 27.06% -2.687 -0.6132
Aid From Lesser Spirits 159 40.69 -3.329 37.74% -2.195 -0.2764
All Things Weaken 223 34.45 -7.028 25.56% -2.837 -0.6777
Back Against the Wall 158 35.82 -5.46 25.32% -2.647 -0.5534
Disintegrating Ecosystem 202 31.84 -7.796 21.29% -2.97 -0.746
Downward Spiral 200 37.43 -5.147 36.5% -2.206 -0.1851
Erosion of Will 202 37.94 -5.004 34.16% -2.389 -0.1806
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 49 56.71 3.927 77.55% -0.353 0.3396
Memory Fades to Dust 196 36.39 -5.976 32.14% -2.486 -0.268
Power Corrodes the Spirit 196 34.29 -6.884 26.53% -2.732 -0.7112
Promising Farmlands 207 34.38 -6.542 28.5% -2.597 -0.3829
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 22 60.73 5.241 86.36% 0.103 0.5142
Thriving Communities 237 36.68 -5.677 33.76% -2.364 -0.2702
Unnatural Proliferation 244 35.25 -6.413 25.82% -2.771 -0.6819
Untended Land Crumbles 231 33.41 -7.273 23.81% -2.879 -0.7727

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 618 80.1% 42.55 -0.28 43.04% 0.225 -0.8875
B 661 78.21% 42.47 -0.338 42.51% 0.108 -1.1002
C 721 74.58% 44.69 0.672 47.57% 0.279 -1.1602
D 593 76.9% 41.84 -0.615 41.32% 0.045 -1.1568
E 813 68.39% 47.77 1.056 53.01% 0.174 -1.1384
F 525 77.06% 42.52 -0.644 42.86% 0.009 -1.2565
G 479 81.21% 41.26 -0.597 40.5% 0.192 -1.0648
H 573 78.36% 41.86 -0.598 40.49% 0.072 -1.1935
East 41 73.17% 42.0 -0.953 29.27% -0.588 -1.5687
Northeast 49 83.67% 42.04 -0.845 30.61% -0.083 -1.0145
Northwest 40 80.0% 43.73 0.941 35.0% 0.466 -0.5333
Southeast 43 67.44% 49.28 3.56 48.84% 0.831 -0.1943
Southwest 44 72.73% 35.45 -3.862 27.27% -0.369 -0.9893
West 50 88.0% 39.74 -1.211 26.0% -0.163 -0.8878

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3 0.0% 35.33 -8.852 33.33% -1.141 0.913
Skip Initial Invader Actions 37 24.32% 65.57 6.619 81.08% 0.301 -0.393
Start of Game Growth 254 35.43% 63.14 6.822 81.89% 1.196 0.7332
Unlimited Undo 383 66.32% 49.16 2.032 54.83% 0.365 -0.0555
Using Tokens but Not Events 246 49.38% 56.09 2.666 70.33% 0.055 0.0028

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 308 22.34 1.62%
II 2086 30.81 33.94%
III 966 34.31 66.87%
IV 355 37.5 99.72%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.273 Win Model: -0.219
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2635 70.33% 45.93 49.64%
2 760 83.16% 39.49 35.66%
3 202 81.19% 44.01 45.05%
4 118 82.2% 40.31 36.44%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 5
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 634
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 694
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 353
Lose: Adversary condition 487
Win: Sacrifice victory 19
Lose: Scenario condition 40
Win: Scenario condition 8
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1416
Lose: Spirit destroyed 59

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 790 77.44% 49.12 -1.269 38.73% 0.122 0.2552
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 422 95.02% 35.17 -6.907 15.88% -0.759 -0.5302
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 479 92.03% 34.98 -6.991 15.66% -0.851 -0.9371
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1135 62.29% 62.36 2.055 49.52% -0.077 -0.4496
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 288 89.24% 40.0 -4.91 24.31% -0.364 -0.6242
Fractured Days Split the Sky 882 62.81% 61.87 3.313 54.08% 0.384 0.752
Heart of the Wildfire 616 91.71% 33.51 -7.827 15.26% -0.872 -0.5221
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6744 58.54% 62.19 5.954 70.66% 1.313 1.0088
Lightning's Swift Strike 712 84.84% 44.01 -2.401 32.02% 0.062 0.3211
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3211 70.11% 57.13 3.192 57.96% 0.942 0.6689
Many Minds Move as One 1080 87.59% 45.74 -1.714 37.04% 0.367 -0.1478
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 685 88.97% 38.58 -5.234 21.9% -0.52 -0.7156
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 375 89.57% 41.58 -3.604 29.07% -0.032 0.0143
River Surges in Sunlight 1014 85.83% 46.11 -1.501 32.45% 0.09 0.2424
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1148 71.52% 54.92 0.659 51.48% 0.459 0.6037
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 567 88.87% 39.45 -5.126 22.4% -0.525 -0.084
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1023 80.8% 47.51 -1.376 38.81% 0.142 0.0705
Shroud of Silent Mist 180 88.76% 40.63 -5.251 23.89% -0.457 -0.4765
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2236 66.91% 46.76 -2.243 43.65% 0.013 -0.0069
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1077 84.62% 47.71 -1.258 38.63% 0.271 0.4737
Thunderspeaker 516 88.52% 42.45 -4.006 25.0% -0.379 -0.3273
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1000 95.4% 39.81 -4.606 27.5% -0.03 -0.0226
Vital Strength of the Earth 305 86.89% 37.94 -5.695 21.64% -0.593 0.2767
Volcano Looming High 765 80.52% 47.61 -1.403 40.65% 0.283 0.2596

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 171 70.83% 46.56 -3.807 39.18% -0.798 -0.2248
Dahan Insurrection 4 768 28.68% 93.21 18.43 80.47% 1.12 1.5195
Elemental Invocation 1 78 93.59% 36.29 -6.835 10.26% -1.463 -1.0238
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 929 48.92% 55.69 1.056 51.24% -0.439 -0.0736
Powers Long Forgotten 1 6 100.0% 35.83 -9.118 16.67% -0.865 -0.4238
Rituals of Terror 3 12 83.33% 38.5 -5.488 8.33% -1.018 -0.3746
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 3 100.0% 31.33 -7.069 0.0% -0.468 0.1738
Second Wave 0 71 76.06% 52.04 0.188 43.66% -0.086 0.3423
The Great River 3 21 85.71% 37.86 -8.048 9.52% -2.033 -0.5731
Ward the Shores 2 13 84.62% 44.31 -0.372 23.08% -0.172 0.8646

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 18435 71.48% 52.67 0.82 50.3% -0.286 0.0467
1 Thematic 593 80.78% 47.46 -2.738 31.7% -1.002 -0.5042
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1412 83.5% 47.64 -0.872 38.81% -0.241 -0.0411
2 Coastline 265 83.77% 45.96 -1.465 38.11% -0.268 -0.1132
2 Fragment 48 87.5% 50.21 1.238 47.92% 0.235 0.6305
2 Heart 34 94.12% 52.94 1.603 55.88% 0.114 0.4366
2 Opposite Shores 318 87.74% 40.56 -3.062 26.42% -0.631 -0.402
2 Thematic 59 89.66% 43.31 -3.337 20.34% -0.553 -0.4914
2 Top to Top 59 71.19% 56.29 2.815 55.93% 0.169 0.3012
3 Coastline 6 100.0% 44.0 -0.533 33.33% 0.11 0.0714
3 Other 32 81.25% 53.78 1.298 56.25% 0.136 0.5559
3 Round (Default) 578 81.66% 47.99 0.427 41.52% 0.382 0.4374
3 Thematic 64 37.5% 85.33 8.086 67.19% 0.555 0.2253
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 42.67 3.355 33.33% 0.617 0.6635
4 Other 30 83.33% 38.8 -6.185 20.0% -0.923 -0.8108
4 Thematic 148 41.22% 68.7 1.809 62.16% 0.751 -0.2731
4 Trapezoid (Default) 289 76.24% 50.03 1.52 42.56% 0.578 0.6126
5 Other 9 77.78% 41.56 -1.129 33.33% -0.079 -0.3338
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 91.5 9.772 100.0% 0.369 -2.5738

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1252 43.08 -5.907 32.51% -2.506 -0.4328
Aid From Lesser Spirits 946 46.73 -4.041 38.05% -2.255 -0.3357
All Things Weaken 1391 41.58 -6.763 29.48% -2.641 -0.4818
Back Against the Wall 907 45.25 -4.84 34.73% -2.416 -0.3224
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1173 37.27 -8.802 23.79% -2.957 -0.7326
Downward Spiral 1259 44.63 -5.102 38.76% -2.169 -0.1478
Erosion of Will 1253 41.16 -6.821 28.41% -2.684 -0.475
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 267 63.98 3.549 76.78% -0.661 0.0315
Memory Fades to Dust 1256 42.18 -6.474 32.48% -2.508 -0.2901
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1308 42.05 -6.49 32.26% -2.503 -0.4816
Promising Farmlands 1221 41.26 -6.938 30.79% -2.601 -0.3868
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 163 69.33 5.769 86.5% -0.006 0.4049
Thriving Communities 1242 42.71 -6.018 33.49% -2.41 -0.3163
Unnatural Proliferation 1367 42.02 -6.284 29.19% -2.601 -0.5112
Untended Land Crumbles 1332 42.17 -6.442 32.36% -2.506 -0.4001

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3356 80.33% 46.89 -1.415 39.78% 0.354 -0.758
B 3311 79.52% 48.48 -0.974 43.22% 0.433 -0.7747
C 3863 76.07% 49.13 -0.674 43.46% 0.39 -1.0491
D 2796 76.93% 48.37 -0.863 42.53% 0.403 -0.7989
E 4043 73.82% 52.25 0.222 49.89% 0.496 -0.8164
F 2834 74.91% 50.75 -0.193 47.07% 0.471 -0.7944
G 2399 76.09% 50.42 -0.297 45.81% 0.467 -0.7897
H 3478 60.77% 61.5 3.618 62.68% 0.846 -0.4203
East 325 53.7% 67.92 2.856 53.23% 0.519 -0.4618
Northeast 259 54.83% 66.75 2.347 52.9% 0.439 -0.492
Northwest 182 64.29% 56.99 -0.983 43.41% 0.165 -0.8349
Southeast 118 61.86% 54.29 -1.541 40.68% -0.009 -1.0351
Southwest 166 68.67% 50.28 -2.55 39.76% 0.216 -0.4042
West 263 46.95% 70.94 3.265 58.94% 0.263 -0.4618

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 16 0.0% 65.31 1.237 68.75% -0.919 1.1358
Not Using Events or Tokens 1 100.0% 26.0 -7.656 0.0% -0.224 -0.0058
Skip Initial Invader Actions 658 36.42% 70.65 5.028 74.77% 0.279 -0.4141
Start of Game Growth 1268 37.14% 70.13 5.573 78.55% 0.507 0.0444
Unlimited Undo 2240 61.42% 61.51 3.872 66.83% 0.799 0.3782
Using Tokens but Not Events 881 61.85% 53.7 0.047 53.46% -0.197 -0.2497

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4001 22.34 0.95%
II 11117 30.81 41.4%
III 5297 34.31 79.38%
IV 1969 37.5 99.8%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.047 Win Model: -1.01
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 19123 71.76% 52.56 49.84%
2 2126 84.85% 46.06 36.08%
3 665 77.29% 51.49 43.46%
4 470 65.66% 55.04 47.45%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 36
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4130
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3936
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1951
Lose: Invader deck ran out 22
Lose: Adversary condition 3101
Win: Sacrifice victory 136
Lose: Scenario condition 198
Win: Scenario condition 621
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7946
Lose: Spirit destroyed 307

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2025-02-27 02:06:44 (Pacific Time)