The Tsardom of Russia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 774 22.77% 28.66 0.243 89.92% 0.02 -0.0551
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 513 44.14% 26.8 0.099 87.72% 0.416 0.4945
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 850 27.74% 28.57 -0.565 91.41% -0.736 -0.9609
Downpour Drenches the World 130 20.77% 31.58 -0.203 93.85% 0.487 0.7515
Eyes Watch From the Trees 903 15.89% 32.42 2.654 94.91% 0.965 0.4617
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 732 24.04% 30.14 1.653 93.58% 1.012 0.4259
Finder of Paths Unseen 34 32.35% 29.41 -1.356 73.53% 0.166 0.5216
Fractured Days Split the Sky 383 32.9% 30.34 1.231 84.86% -0.182 -0.1004
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 481 43.04% 29.15 0.074 82.12% -0.086 -0.1809
Heart of the Wildfire 614 57.33% 23.66 -4.004 77.04% -1.304 -0.8982
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1266 26.17% 28.51 -0.163 93.68% 0.787 0.1839
Lightning's Swift Strike 459 36.48% 27.41 -2.441 86.71% -0.481 -0.1162
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 39 33.33% 32.95 -0.609 97.44% 0.607 -0.1417
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 255 24.02% 28.87 -0.155 89.8% -1.027 -1.5905
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 212 27.49% 31.44 0.96 89.62% 0.42 -0.0743
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1347 28.22% 29.32 0.416 91.98% 0.109 -0.0428
Many Minds Move as One 1119 20.16% 29.4 2.295 95.8% 1.357 0.7708
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 850 39.24% 27.58 -0.316 86.12% -0.47 -0.6394
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 725 31.03% 28.11 0.719 89.1% -0.33 -0.3862
River Surges in Sunlight 609 38.1% 29.44 0.661 84.24% 0.387 0.3123
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 378 38.36% 29.59 1.058 83.86% 0.448 0.8742
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 31 25.81% 34.74 1.229 83.87% -0.534 -0.8749
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 625 27.52% 28.98 0.787 90.72% 0.212 0.0181
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 291 51.38% 25.77 -3.017 80.76% -0.868 -0.3936
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 12 33.33% 37.17 -0.458 75.0% 0.209 0.3882
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 17 41.18% 32.47 2.826 100.0% 0.299 0.3547
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 230 34.35% 27.67 0.628 89.13% 0.427 0.4048
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 186 36.56% 28.32 3.356 89.25% 0.34 0.4563
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 953 26.24% 28.44 -0.398 91.29% -0.142 -0.3332
Shifting Memory of Ages 300 43.33% 25.62 -1.441 79.0% -0.596 -0.381
Shroud of Silent Mist 445 46.29% 26.19 -1.366 84.04% 0.013 0.147
Starlight Seeks its Form 407 25.06% 31.66 1.72 88.21% 0.565 0.4502
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1007 27.14% 26.89 0.236 90.86% 0.155 -0.0833
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 665 30.72% 28.2 -0.8 88.42% 0.425 0.5553
Thunderspeaker 675 29.93% 30.35 -2.101 86.52% -0.687 -0.7039
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 873 64.95% 24.02 -0.446 86.03% 0.728 0.5125
Vital Strength of the Earth 437 32.64% 24.58 -1.655 77.35% -1.243 -0.3446
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 31 35.48% 29.26 -2.628 80.65% -0.81 -0.3875
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 203 29.06% 23.76 -2.065 81.77% -0.336 0.7787
Volcano Looming High 639 44.98% 25.06 -1.216 81.06% -0.663 -0.6834

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 0.0% 37.75 0.0 100.0%
Blitz 0 186 29.73% 24.7 -3.513 83.33% 0.016 0.4591
Dahan Insurrection 4 335 17.61% 50.6 8.543 90.45% -0.287 -0.1895
Despicable Theft 2 77 37.66% 35.84 4.022 81.82% 0.315 0.8137
Elemental Invocation 1 108 42.59% 28.0 -2.486 80.56% -1.206 -0.6598
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 536 11.38% 31.25 0.735 85.82% -0.485 -0.2534
Powers Long Forgotten 1 124 54.03% 28.84 -3.785 75.81% -1.214 -0.806
Rituals of Terror 3 138 45.52% 36.62 8.144 76.09% 0.114 -0.1218
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 103 65.05% 38.11 6.841 79.61% 0.186 0.4118
Second Wave 0 291 51.89% 32.25 6.133 74.91% -0.668 0.024
The Great River 3 108 50.0% 32.56 -0.248 66.67% -1.253 0.3283
Varied Terrains 2 25 56.0% 33.8 -0.035 64.0% -1.115 -0.3288
Ward the Shores 2 192 37.7% 31.63 2.512 78.65% 0.391 1.272

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8975 34.86% 27.1 -0.158 87.12% -0.27 0.3925
1 Thematic 1328 45.06% 31.17 0.117 84.71% 0.101 1.1578
2 Archipelago 11 45.45% 30.82 0.0 63.64%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1817 32.58% 27.43 0.506 89.82% 0.387 0.905
2 Coastline 200 31.0% 27.91 0.932 89.5% 0.076 0.2766
2 Fragment 42 26.19% 28.07 -9.793 88.1% -0.501 -0.2033
2 Heart 24 41.67% 22.5 0.0 79.17%
2 Opposite Shores 270 24.81% 28.13 -1.132 93.33% 0.374 0.9124
2 Thematic 277 36.46% 33.08 0.918 86.64% -0.111 0.6711
2 Top to Top 33 18.18% 28.36 -0.092 93.94% 0.134 0.2623
3 Archipelago 4 75.0% 30.75 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 11 63.64% 34.55 0.0 72.73%
3 Other 32 31.25% 24.59 -1.295 93.75% 0.252 -0.4121
3 Round (Default) 825 29.65% 28.12 -0.233 90.06% -0.503 -0.1981
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 19.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 49 40.82% 30.47 5.101 79.59% 0.01 0.2179
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 4 75.0% 30.75 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 2 0.0% 31.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 16 43.75% 31.63 0.0 93.75%
4 Thematic 81 19.75% 36.36 -1.315 92.59% -0.228 -0.1241
4 Trapezoid (Default) 341 23.17% 28.41 0.135 90.32% 0.13 0.2075
5 Other 24 41.67% 35.29 -1.894 83.33% 0.125 -0.3919
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 3 66.67% 44.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 16 31.25% 31.88 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 23 17.39% 38.04 0.348 95.65% 0.213 0.4539
6 Two Centers (Default) 43 13.95% 33.02 -0.022 88.37% -0.348 -0.1567
7 Other 2 0.0% 40.0 -3.323 50.0% 0.005 -0.4788

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 346 21.99 -2.97 68.79% -1.327 0.6438
Aid From Lesser Spirits 290 22.94 -1.075 70.0% -0.749 1.0292
All Things Weaken 406 20.39 -4.25 62.56% -1.549 0.4999
Back Against the Wall 296 21.12 -3.398 61.82% -1.612 0.3269
Disintegrating Ecosystem 352 19.01 -3.007 66.48% -1.379 0.749
Downward Spiral 391 21.25 -3.759 72.63% -1.674 0.2868
Erosion of Will 330 22.14 -1.649 68.79% -1.173 0.9085
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 190 27.62 -0.041 94.74% 0.312 0.8138
Memory Fades to Dust 412 20.5 -3.551 66.26% -1.643 0.4979
Power Corrodes the Spirit 370 21.72 -2.424 70.81% -1.236 0.745
Promising Farmlands 318 19.95 -3.828 64.47% -1.035 0.9867
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 121 26.63 0.413 96.69% 0.28 0.7771
Thriving Communities 386 19.38 -3.27 66.32% -1.371 0.6879
Unnatural Proliferation 400 21.06 -3.351 65.0% -1.294 0.6631
Untended Land Crumbles 382 20.81 -1.879 67.02% -1.531 0.5027

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2358 32.47% 27.39 0.128 87.79% -0.187 0.5491
B 2433 32.11% 27.37 0.392 88.45% 0.427 1.1242
C 2606 32.04% 27.77 -0.146 88.99% -0.121 0.3492
D 2408 33.67% 27.43 -0.852 88.58% -0.165 0.5441
E 2352 32.54% 27.71 0.263 88.61% -0.171 0.3734
F 2269 31.49% 27.9 0.183 88.19% 0.023 0.6845
G 1966 31.38% 28.25 0.587 89.57% 0.064 0.6948
H 2049 32.62% 27.53 -1.201 88.09% -0.686 -0.0209
East 1071 40.6% 32.77 3.167 89.08% -0.07 0.5919
Northeast 377 35.81% 34.53 1.125 84.88% 0.024 0.6836
Northwest 356 38.2% 33.71 0.751 85.39% -0.664 -0.0533
Southeast 531 46.14% 30.29 -0.06 92.84% 1.029 1.5598
Southwest 336 33.63% 28.55 -0.405 83.04% 0.813 1.7814
West 894 38.37% 31.98 -0.047 83.11% -0.857 -0.0518

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 34 0.0% 29.62 -0.022 94.12% 0.119 2.3478
Not Using Events or Tokens 28 28.57% 30.86 -0.818 82.14% 0.027 0.2535
Skip Initial Invader Actions 329 7.55% 39.13 0.872 96.66% 0.068 -0.9124
Start of Game Growth 555 11.79% 36.4 1.057 95.68% 0.728 0.2716
Unlimited Undo 999 24.85% 29.69 -1.046 92.49% 0.295 -0.2569
Using Tokens but Not Events 1278 28.3% 28.47 2.256 87.79% 0.194 0.349

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 919 22.65 47.12%
II 5235 31.08 85.0%
III 5684 34.66 91.24%
IV 2629 37.91 99.32%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.061 Win Model: 0.061
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 10404 36.37% 27.64 86.62%
2 2619 31.42% 28.0 90.23%
3 904 30.04% 28.31 89.93%
4 441 23.36% 30.39 91.16%
5 12 33.33% 29.67 83.33%
6 87 19.54% 34.7 91.95%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 432
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5007
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4129
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2587
Lose: Invader deck ran out 139
Lose: Adversary condition 117
Win: Sacrifice victory 71
Lose: Scenario condition 104
Win: Scenario condition 454
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1333
Lose: Spirit destroyed 94

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 472 45.01% 32.42 0.417 74.58% -0.292 -0.3672
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 306 68.3% 30.2 -4.079 69.93% -1.229 -1.1506
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 458 41.67% 34.13 -0.156 78.82% -0.08 -0.3045
Downpour Drenches the World 56 40.74% 33.2 0.787 76.79% -0.329 -0.0644
Eyes Watch From the Trees 687 32.7% 38.71 0.89 85.59% 0.071 -0.4324
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 412 42.79% 34.93 0.966 81.55% 0.362 -0.225
Finder of Paths Unseen 18 66.67% 30.22 -1.696 66.67% 0.171 0.5272
Fractured Days Split the Sky 222 47.75% 33.7 2.47 72.07% -0.254 -0.1726
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 305 62.3% 31.99 0.178 72.46% 0.318 0.223
Heart of the Wildfire 454 77.53% 24.04 -1.925 53.08% -0.027 0.3787
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 953 44.85% 33.86 -0.195 79.22% 0.275 -0.3286
Lightning's Swift Strike 244 60.33% 28.84 -0.017 63.11% -0.044 0.3205
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 8 62.5% 37.5 2.456 87.5% 0.062 -0.6873
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 132 62.12% 32.63 4.538 72.73% 0.38 -0.184
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 131 41.22% 42.53 -1.055 79.39% -0.271 -0.7649
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1012 42.63% 35.09 0.843 85.97% 0.486 0.3341
Many Minds Move as One 944 34.89% 36.43 0.976 90.78% 0.814 0.228
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 546 54.8% 32.59 -2.463 70.7% -0.846 -1.0155
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 427 51.52% 33.46 0.168 78.92% 0.291 0.2351
River Surges in Sunlight 383 54.45% 32.23 2.337 69.71% 0.5 0.4257
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 239 55.04% 37.82 1.306 71.97% 0.146 0.5721
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 24 62.5% 31.63 -0.512 75.0% 0.117 -0.2239
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 358 54.19% 29.69 -2.825 69.27% -0.665 -0.8582
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 165 66.67% 28.71 -5.42 65.45% -0.399 0.076
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 15 73.33% 33.47 1.639 73.33% 0.466 0.646
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 10 80.0% 24.9 -3.568 50.0% -0.527 -0.4711
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 127 62.2% 30.87 -2.762 74.02% -0.31 -0.3324
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 96 56.25% 33.74 6.041 72.92% 0.414 0.5299
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 868 40.37% 34.97 1.004 83.87% 0.202 0.0111
Shifting Memory of Ages 183 56.28% 30.3 1.696 71.58% 0.426 0.6407
Shroud of Silent Mist 214 69.63% 27.13 -2.719 60.28% -0.319 -0.1848
Starlight Seeks its Form 289 25.61% 39.16 3.411 90.31% 1.046 0.9313
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 568 45.84% 27.97 -4.539 64.96% -0.703 -0.9419
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 481 42.68% 34.27 0.353 77.13% -0.017 0.1135
Thunderspeaker 498 46.18% 35.87 -2.226 71.29% -0.834 -0.8517
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 332 80.42% 26.14 -0.065 62.95% 0.699 0.4834
Vital Strength of the Earth 239 50.21% 28.95 -1.576 57.32% -0.138 0.7602
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 12 50.0% 36.08 1.734 91.67% 0.551 0.9735
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 138 42.75% 29.62 0.44 71.74% 0.281 1.3955
Volcano Looming High 353 61.19% 29.0 -1.558 68.84% -0.578 -0.5987

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 0.0% 43.0 0.999 100.0% 0.203 0.699
Blitz 0 134 54.48% 26.18 -4.353 58.96% -0.728 -0.2854
Dahan Insurrection 4 244 26.23% 57.61 11.521 81.15% 0.452 0.5494
Despicable Theft 2 56 73.21% 33.66 -2.102 50.0% -0.859 -0.36
Elemental Invocation 1 70 68.57% 28.83 -3.384 52.86% -0.453 0.0929
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 372 21.29% 37.41 0.358 79.84% -0.455 -0.2239
Powers Long Forgotten 1 106 62.26% 30.77 7.512 56.6% 0.433 0.841
Rituals of Terror 3 77 64.94% 39.75 13.421 62.34% 0.464 0.2285
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 66 83.33% 36.26 -5.618 51.52% -0.37 -0.1442
Second Wave 0 622 55.0% 31.62 -0.942 66.24% -0.852 -0.1599
The Great River 3 52 78.85% 28.62 -5.872 38.46% -0.56 1.0216
Varied Terrains 2 11 63.64% 33.09 -0.552 45.45% -0.255 0.5316
Ward the Shores 2 124 51.61% 35.4 3.072 64.52% 0.144 1.0246

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5899 48.81% 31.24 -0.179 73.45% -0.04 0.6227
1 Thematic 786 57.07% 33.3 -0.169 60.31% -0.594 0.4633
2 Archipelago 4 75.0% 45.5 19.154 100.0% 0.235 0.7059
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1181 52.08% 31.17 -0.978 76.38% -0.127 0.3913
2 Coastline 174 47.98% 31.68 -3.051 75.86% -0.236 -0.035
2 Fragment 39 56.41% 30.36 -5.111 71.79% -0.329 -0.0308
2 Heart 16 56.25% 26.25 0.0 56.25%
2 Opposite Shores 244 48.56% 31.53 3.997 78.69% 0.583 1.1222
2 Thematic 188 67.02% 33.48 3.615 65.96% 0.564 1.346
2 Top to Top 41 51.22% 35.29 2.283 90.24% 0.727 0.8553
3 Archipelago 10 80.0% 31.8 0.0 30.0%
3 Coastline 9 66.67% 39.78 0.0 77.78%
3 Other 20 60.0% 32.25 0.16 85.0% 0.224 -0.4395
3 Round (Default) 466 37.42% 36.67 0.173 85.84% -0.212 0.0925
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 47 68.09% 36.57 0.0 72.34%
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 26.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 34.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 17.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 25 56.0% 33.04 0.0 84.0%
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 66 56.06% 39.67 -0.678 78.79% -0.419 -0.3152
4 Trapezoid (Default) 182 44.75% 35.64 3.089 83.52% 0.633 0.7109
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 80.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 24 26.09% 55.75 6.823 87.5% -0.371 -0.887
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 8 12.5% 63.75 -1.216 87.5% -0.271 -0.2263
6 Thematic 1 0.0% 59.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 15 20.0% 73.93 0.0 93.33%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 343 24.77 -5.565 51.31% -1.347 0.624
Aid From Lesser Spirits 290 27.06 -3.194 60.34% -0.816 0.9621
All Things Weaken 384 24.13 -5.188 50.52% -1.281 0.7674
Back Against the Wall 282 24.09 -3.582 46.1% -1.648 0.2909
Disintegrating Ecosystem 337 20.26 -6.369 42.14% -1.244 0.8838
Downward Spiral 357 24.64 -3.53 55.18% -1.242 0.7187
Erosion of Will 319 24.67 -4.111 55.49% -1.335 0.7465
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 144 34.79 -0.984 84.03% -0.354 0.1473
Memory Fades to Dust 409 24.83 -5.98 57.21% -1.939 0.2018
Power Corrodes the Spirit 338 23.09 -7.06 49.41% -2.251 -0.2699
Promising Farmlands 313 23.54 -3.875 53.67% -1.279 0.7423
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 78 31.29 4.122 84.62% 0.139 0.6359
Thriving Communities 357 23.09 -6.441 48.74% -1.776 0.2834
Unnatural Proliferation 378 24.33 -3.499 50.53% -1.206 0.7511
Untended Land Crumbles 375 22.76 -7.001 50.93% -1.704 0.3291

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1621 48.7% 32.35 -0.902 75.26% -0.151 0.5851
B 1632 47.54% 33.35 0.394 78.0% 0.319 1.0166
C 1721 45.78% 33.34 -0.404 78.09% -0.019 0.451
D 1582 47.18% 32.76 0.459 75.79% -0.225 0.4849
E 1505 46.2% 33.23 0.968 77.87% 0.11 0.654
F 1443 49.55% 32.42 -0.46 75.68% -0.167 0.4943
G 1246 48.59% 32.62 0.164 76.08% 0.16 0.7908
H 1260 48.77% 32.9 0.74 76.67% 0.304 0.9687
East 613 60.13% 35.61 2.022 66.07% 0.007 0.6684
Northeast 262 64.75% 36.69 2.088 68.32% -0.084 0.5756
Northwest 219 60.27% 33.74 1.852 63.01% 0.057 0.6679
Southeast 210 58.57% 35.15 0.463 69.05% -0.134 0.3973
Southwest 213 63.85% 27.79 -3.169 56.81% -0.84 0.1289
West 617 59.48% 33.54 1.371 62.4% -0.149 0.6569

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 15 0.0% 33.4 4.835 60.0% -0.26 1.9694
Not Using Events or Tokens 25 40.0% 23.08 -10.429 36.0% -0.513 -0.2861
Skip Initial Invader Actions 184 15.25% 45.46 3.664 93.48% 0.726 -0.2538
Start of Game Growth 275 19.26% 43.46 3.593 89.82% 0.573 0.1166
Unlimited Undo 731 44.63% 33.65 -0.038 80.57% 0.018 -0.5338
Using Tokens but Not Events 793 39.46% 34.85 -0.241 77.55% -0.103 0.0517

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1155 22.65 16.71%
II 3515 31.08 70.95%
III 3644 34.66 86.31%
IV 1147 37.91 99.56%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.275 Win Model: 0.216
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6745 50.1% 31.45 71.61%
2 1875 52.27% 31.8 76.64%
3 529 41.1% 36.1 83.93%
4 274 46.15% 38.17 83.94%
5 27 15.38% 64.44 88.89%
6 11 36.36% 45.55 81.82%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 192
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3037
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2287
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1131
Lose: Invader deck ran out 56
Lose: Adversary condition 902
Win: Sacrifice victory 49
Lose: Scenario condition 69
Win: Scenario condition 278
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1370
Lose: Spirit destroyed 90

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 547 36.7% 40.65 -0.632 82.63% -0.984 -1.0595
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 450 58.0% 36.91 -0.322 78.44% -0.083 -0.004
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 539 42.83% 39.32 -0.378 84.79% -0.301 -0.526
Downpour Drenches the World 69 47.83% 40.25 -0.289 79.71% -0.264 0.0011
Eyes Watch From the Trees 775 30.1% 42.9 2.403 90.84% 0.497 -0.0062
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 404 39.11% 41.18 2.924 87.87% 0.359 -0.2272
Finder of Paths Unseen 41 70.73% 35.24 -0.993 63.41% -0.917 -0.5613
Fractured Days Split the Sky 284 51.06% 39.62 0.578 73.24% -0.461 -0.3793
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 319 57.68% 36.6 -1.632 74.61% -0.418 -0.5133
Heart of the Wildfire 579 64.42% 35.75 -2.295 73.23% -0.551 -0.146
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1198 41.24% 38.48 -1.07 82.89% -0.387 -0.9905
Lightning's Swift Strike 270 63.67% 36.49 -6.599 75.56% -1.056 -0.6907
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 18 44.44% 38.39 -0.188 83.33% -0.261 -1.0105
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 178 51.98% 37.81 2.347 78.09% 0.569 0.0057
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 145 46.9% 41.61 -0.126 78.62% -0.343 -0.8372
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1402 40.21% 41.7 0.569 90.3% 0.361 0.2091
Many Minds Move as One 1102 30.04% 42.31 2.878 93.56% 1.169 0.5832
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 737 50.41% 39.27 0.166 76.8% -0.027 -0.1964
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 500 42.6% 39.48 0.064 86.2% 0.526 0.4698
River Surges in Sunlight 582 46.46% 42.38 0.929 82.99% 0.163 0.0889
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 217 58.06% 38.22 2.307 76.5% 0.429 0.8553
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 52 38.0% 49.0 5.46 84.62% 0.875 0.5341
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 497 48.69% 37.25 -0.997 81.49% -0.429 -0.623
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 200 60.0% 34.45 0.177 71.0% 0.06 0.5344
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 6 66.67% 44.67 1.865 100.0% 0.359 0.5386
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 17 52.94% 38.06 4.501 82.35% 0.541 0.5967
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 155 50.32% 38.3 -1.585 78.71% -0.476 -0.4984
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 119 65.55% 36.89 -2.154 78.99% 0.03 0.146
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 977 34.87% 41.13 -0.571 89.05% -0.381 -0.572
Shifting Memory of Ages 231 59.31% 35.66 -3.395 75.32% -0.694 -0.4794
Shroud of Silent Mist 305 61.31% 36.5 -0.778 78.03% -0.03 0.1038
Starlight Seeks its Form 259 39.38% 41.03 2.489 83.4% 0.709 0.5941
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 747 37.0% 34.9 -1.095 76.57% -0.154 -0.3926
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 619 34.47% 41.31 0.785 88.21% -0.083 0.0476
Thunderspeaker 486 45.77% 42.25 0.783 82.92% 0.004 -0.0137
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 471 71.97% 33.42 1.931 74.1% 0.71 0.4941
Vital Strength of the Earth 258 46.12% 34.56 -1.144 74.81% 0.046 0.9439
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 25 28.0% 40.0 -0.387 88.0% -0.051 0.372
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 158 51.27% 33.03 -2.48 73.42% 0.025 1.1391
Volcano Looming High 466 56.77% 34.73 2.847 74.03% 1.05 1.0297

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 100.0% 33.0 0.029 100.0% 0.114 0.6097
Blitz 0 173 52.02% 31.82 -3.971 64.16% -0.66 -0.2171
Dahan Insurrection 4 203 20.69% 64.88 5.582 85.22% -0.316 -0.2188
Despicable Theft 2 40 67.5% 39.75 8.541 60.0% 0.051 0.5496
Elemental Invocation 1 78 57.69% 37.18 2.435 71.79% 0.258 0.8037
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 522 25.48% 43.42 4.716 83.52% 0.538 0.7694
Powers Long Forgotten 1 104 66.35% 37.98 -3.016 66.35% -0.797 -0.3891
Rituals of Terror 3 60 61.67% 38.83 -0.688 51.67% -0.537 -0.7728
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 40 72.5% 37.7 0.0 50.0%
Second Wave 0 358 49.16% 38.14 -1.413 75.14% -0.803 -0.1108
The Great River 3 56 64.29% 39.14 0.0 55.36%
Varied Terrains 2 12 91.67% 37.17 -3.238 58.33% -0.656 0.1307
Ward the Shores 2 94 58.51% 40.89 -10.394 64.89% -0.551 0.3303

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7134 47.22% 36.82 -0.144 78.69% -0.308 0.3545
1 Thematic 631 56.26% 37.34 -1.755 63.55% -0.868 0.1884
2 Archipelago 10 50.0% 43.0 0.0 70.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1518 47.89% 38.16 -0.215 85.51% -0.112 0.4062
2 Coastline 159 48.73% 40.23 0.111 88.68% 0.26 0.4601
2 Fragment 36 55.56% 37.58 0.136 80.56% 0.094 0.3917
2 Heart 22 63.64% 31.91 -1.273 68.18% 0.221 0.6818
2 Opposite Shores 235 47.86% 39.02 1.304 84.68% 0.447 0.9861
2 Thematic 268 44.78% 43.59 -1.0 84.7% -0.084 0.6985
2 Top to Top 41 39.02% 39.73 2.761 87.8% 0.367 0.4949
3 Archipelago 5 100.0% 31.2 0.0 20.0%
3 Coastline 16 68.75% 45.38 0.0 93.75%
3 Other 28 50.0% 37.32 -0.109 82.14% 0.059 -0.6047
3 Round (Default) 571 43.43% 40.29 1.793 88.79% -0.053 0.2517
3 Sunrise 4 0.0% 41.0 -3.231 100.0% 0.066 0.526
3 Thematic 57 49.12% 46.37 -6.654 87.72% -0.274 -0.0656
4 Archipelago 8 37.5% 45.25 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 5 80.0% 41.2 0.0 60.0%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 47.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 11 45.45% 40.55 0.0 90.91%
4 Thematic 147 18.37% 57.05 3.774 91.16% 0.074 0.1779
4 Trapezoid (Default) 290 31.49% 41.28 0.644 92.07% 0.19 0.2676
5 Other 18 75.0% 44.56 0.0 83.33%
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 58.0 9.31 100.0% 0.342 0.055
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 51.0 1.341 100.0% 0.007 -0.1398
6 Other 3 66.67% 56.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Star 2 50.0% 43.0 -1.052 50.0% -0.531 0.2395
6 Thematic 10 20.0% 52.5 0.749 90.0% -0.133 0.1076
6 Two Centers (Default) 10 30.0% 41.7 1.175 90.0% 0.261 0.4521
7 Other 1 0.0% 96.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 407 30.31 -4.058 60.93% -1.076 0.8953
Aid From Lesser Spirits 308 32.09 -0.384 63.31% -0.348 1.4299
All Things Weaken 416 29.62 -4.966 58.41% -1.609 0.4396
Back Against the Wall 328 31.2 -3.762 60.37% -1.253 0.6862
Disintegrating Ecosystem 354 27.68 -6.894 54.52% -1.755 0.373
Downward Spiral 406 32.0 -6.048 69.21% -1.242 0.7195
Erosion of Will 368 30.28 -5.16 61.68% -1.773 0.3084
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 170 37.28 0.197 85.29% 0.346 0.8475
Memory Fades to Dust 377 30.41 -3.921 64.72% -1.028 1.1126
Power Corrodes the Spirit 384 30.01 -2.978 62.5% -0.627 1.3534
Promising Farmlands 365 29.36 -3.004 62.19% -0.928 1.0934
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 125 37.62 -2.096 88.0% -0.171 0.3259
Thriving Communities 412 29.83 -5.994 62.86% -1.255 0.8041
Unnatural Proliferation 435 31.64 -4.637 64.6% -0.986 0.9709
Untended Land Crumbles 417 30.34 -3.131 63.31% -0.772 1.2608

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1855 47.27% 38.09 -0.299 82.43% -0.141 0.595
B 1988 47.5% 38.33 -0.133 84.05% -0.065 0.6322
C 2084 43.61% 38.65 1.042 83.21% 0.429 0.8985
D 1866 47.02% 37.79 0.129 80.6% 0.221 0.9303
E 1885 44.47% 38.57 -0.46 83.24% -0.235 0.3096
F 1752 46.4% 37.84 1.079 82.88% 0.536 1.1975
G 1478 47.35% 37.61 0.124 81.66% 0.262 0.893
H 1659 43.63% 38.73 0.814 84.63% 0.634 1.2983
East 725 41.66% 45.41 2.216 79.17% -0.027 0.6349
Northeast 369 40.11% 48.58 4.454 83.47% 0.525 1.1845
Northwest 314 41.72% 47.56 -1.053 80.89% -0.469 0.1412
Southeast 246 37.8% 44.46 2.058 80.89% 0.325 0.8561
Southwest 220 47.27% 38.81 -3.624 74.09% -0.79 0.1787
West 669 47.83% 42.81 0.528 74.59% -0.212 0.5938

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 8 0.0% 68.13 0.536 100.0% 0.062 2.2906
Not Using Events or Tokens 5 40.0% 28.0 0.0 60.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 160 9.68% 51.47 3.837 96.25% 0.28 -0.7006
Start of Game Growth 268 15.27% 48.89 5.355 94.4% 0.543 0.0864
Unlimited Undo 805 42.11% 39.67 1.375 82.11% 0.463 -0.0886
Using Tokens but Not Events 741 45.84% 36.39 -0.096 79.22% 0.242 0.3967

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 782 22.65 0.51%
II 2735 31.08 66.84%
III 5145 34.66 89.76%
IV 2584 37.91 99.77%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.284 Win Model: 0.131
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7811 48.1% 36.9 77.45%
2 2275 47.65% 38.92 85.27%
3 659 43.55% 40.89 88.62%
4 467 28.82% 46.39 91.01%
5 6 80.0% 45.0 83.33%
6 28 29.63% 49.61 85.71%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4480
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1682
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2563
Lose: Invader deck ran out 33
Lose: Adversary condition 832
Win: Sacrifice victory 66
Lose: Scenario condition 76
Win: Scenario condition 233
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1185
Lose: Spirit destroyed 92

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 506 58.45% 40.23 0.378 64.82% 0.354 0.2791
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 409 75.18% 36.59 -0.773 56.23% 0.121 0.1993
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 553 61.84% 40.64 -0.865 64.92% -0.082 -0.3066
Downpour Drenches the World 74 71.23% 38.74 -2.677 60.81% -0.539 -0.2746
Eyes Watch From the Trees 702 50.14% 45.9 2.261 76.78% 0.326 -0.1771
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 299 66.44% 40.3 3.275 62.21% 0.682 0.0956
Finder of Paths Unseen 30 83.33% 37.5 -1.426 50.0% -0.136 0.22
Fractured Days Split the Sky 298 72.48% 37.62 -0.131 52.35% -0.598 -0.5162
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 292 64.73% 39.66 -0.824 61.3% -0.047 -0.1424
Heart of the Wildfire 623 83.95% 31.8 -3.685 46.39% -0.215 0.1902
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1636 56.89% 40.81 0.01 67.91% 0.144 -0.4594
Lightning's Swift Strike 275 77.41% 36.52 1.843 51.64% -0.207 0.158
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 44 79.07% 47.59 5.137 86.36% 1.239 0.4899
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 188 68.09% 41.98 -8.99 69.68% -0.399 -0.9627
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 119 68.91% 39.62 0.898 57.98% -0.349 -0.843
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2106 49.69% 46.9 4.472 82.1% 1.336 1.1843
Many Minds Move as One 1186 52.53% 45.91 2.781 79.51% 0.608 0.0223
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 676 68.61% 38.66 2.317 59.17% 0.288 0.1184
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 505 63.29% 38.91 -0.855 61.78% -0.003 -0.0589
River Surges in Sunlight 575 73.59% 38.89 -1.847 55.13% -0.485 -0.5594
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 203 79.8% 31.48 -1.985 39.41% -0.191 0.2356
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 38 65.79% 46.5 0.615 71.05% -0.078 -0.4196
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 470 70.43% 38.88 0.836 61.49% 0.244 0.0498
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 176 85.23% 33.39 -11.042 44.89% -0.809 -0.3344
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 11 90.91% 41.91 0.288 63.64% 0.168 0.3473
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 18 83.33% 47.06 1.173 83.33% 0.14 0.1958
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 169 73.96% 37.64 3.39 57.99% 0.424 0.4012
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 155 81.29% 36.35 -2.39 56.13% -0.091 0.0252
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1106 50.36% 46.31 1.29 78.93% 0.28 0.0886
Shifting Memory of Ages 231 72.73% 38.02 -1.759 59.31% -0.39 -0.1751
Shroud of Silent Mist 316 75.48% 36.95 -0.461 59.18% 0.091 0.2249
Starlight Seeks its Form 372 59.95% 42.87 -1.126 67.2% -0.197 -0.3117
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 948 54.81% 35.66 -4.998 57.38% -1.043 -1.2813
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 679 58.31% 43.2 1.658 72.75% 0.382 0.5127
Thunderspeaker 483 69.02% 38.2 -0.125 56.11% -0.215 -0.2319
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 571 86.34% 33.68 0.113 52.01% 0.422 0.2067
Vital Strength of the Earth 221 75.0% 34.95 1.259 50.23% 0.097 0.9952
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 24 79.17% 30.79 -3.031 37.5% -0.511 -0.0885
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 164 70.12% 32.47 -3.921 49.39% -0.477 0.6374
Volcano Looming High 550 72.0% 37.95 -0.935 62.73% 0.198 0.1771

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 50.0 0.0 100.0%
Blitz 0 121 67.77% 27.99 -2.196 29.75% -0.999 -0.5562
Dahan Insurrection 4 98 47.96% 59.87 22.139 64.29% 0.587 0.6847
Despicable Theft 2 15 60.0% 51.27 0.0 66.67%
Elemental Invocation 1 66 77.27% 37.45 -4.372 54.55% 0.012 0.558
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 704 34.52% 47.86 2.658 77.7% 0.113 0.3443
Powers Long Forgotten 1 62 64.52% 37.69 4.329 46.77% 0.085 0.4922
Rituals of Terror 3 35 80.0% 40.63 14.627 34.29% 0.347 0.111
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 10 60.0% 45.4 14.636 50.0% 0.486 0.7118
Second Wave 0 242 66.94% 37.66 2.018 52.89% 0.247 0.9395
The Great River 3 33 72.73% 48.82 7.2 57.58% 0.16 1.741
Varied Terrains 2 2 100.0% 61.0 11.489 100.0% 0.414 1.2009
Ward the Shores 2 45 66.67% 40.24 11.438 48.89% 0.169 1.0499

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8518 61.31% 39.36 0.004 63.17% 0.171 0.8335
1 Thematic 538 68.77% 37.65 -1.458 48.14% -0.374 0.6832
2 Archipelago 6 83.33% 43.17 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1778 66.46% 40.34 -0.358 67.66% 0.046 0.5646
2 Coastline 193 62.18% 41.08 -2.38 66.84% -0.454 -0.2531
2 Fragment 53 67.92% 38.45 4.521 60.38% 0.81 1.1079
2 Heart 19 68.42% 43.05 1.372 73.68% 0.033 0.4935
2 Opposite Shores 346 65.51% 40.69 -1.75 65.9% -0.135 0.4041
2 Thematic 132 70.45% 38.64 -11.543 49.24% -0.843 -0.0613
2 Top to Top 57 59.65% 43.46 0.976 75.44% -0.246 -0.1183
3 Archipelago 4 50.0% 53.75 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 5 60.0% 55.2 17.002 80.0% 0.259 -0.2484
3 Other 34 76.47% 42.82 6.917 70.59% 0.72 0.0557
3 Round (Default) 717 64.16% 41.65 -0.078 69.18% -0.63 -0.3251
3 Sunrise 4 50.0% 45.25 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 29 68.97% 52.79 5.905 75.86% 0.394 0.6017
4 Archipelago 3 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 59.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 56.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 18 61.11% 51.0 4.816 94.44% 0.205 -0.5088
4 Thematic 50 60.0% 45.98 4.938 62.0% 0.257 0.3608
4 Trapezoid (Default) 244 60.25% 44.93 4.539 77.05% 0.057 0.1346
5 Other 13 50.0% 59.92 0.531 76.92% -0.468 -0.9845
6 Other 5 0.0% 59.8 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 1 0.0% 75.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 5 60.0% 41.4 0.0 60.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 8 50.0% 39.75 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 585 33.37 -8.126 48.89% -2.016 -0.0451
Aid From Lesser Spirits 541 33.85 -4.589 46.03% -1.444 0.3342
All Things Weaken 610 31.79 -5.59 45.9% -1.633 0.4159
Back Against the Wall 454 32.84 -8.152 45.59% -2.075 -0.1355
Disintegrating Ecosystem 585 27.91 -5.351 36.92% -1.356 0.7718
Downward Spiral 647 31.88 -6.084 47.91% -1.53 0.431
Erosion of Will 609 31.18 -4.05 43.35% -1.376 0.7052
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 177 42.86 -0.574 76.27% -0.415 0.0865
Memory Fades to Dust 594 31.33 -6.848 46.13% -1.716 0.425
Power Corrodes the Spirit 577 30.79 -6.882 44.19% -1.629 0.3514
Promising Farmlands 554 30.44 -3.042 43.32% -0.716 1.3058
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 137 45.47 1.811 81.75% 0.284 0.7811
Thriving Communities 652 32.88 -4.111 51.99% -0.977 1.0824
Unnatural Proliferation 655 32.09 -4.288 45.04% -1.319 0.6376
Untended Land Crumbles 633 31.7 -5.525 47.39% -1.302 0.7313

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2218 63.43% 40.01 -0.507 65.28% -0.285 0.4512
B 2262 62.53% 40.27 0.093 66.14% -0.295 0.4022
C 2541 60.93% 41.29 0.816 67.57% 0.228 0.6977
D 2105 62.82% 40.15 0.518 65.13% 0.205 0.9146
E 2321 61.34% 40.9 -0.116 66.95% -0.049 0.4951
F 2020 65.13% 40.63 0.189 66.88% -0.011 0.6509
G 1731 63.77% 40.25 2.013 65.63% 0.657 1.2876
H 1815 62.81% 40.89 -0.204 66.78% -0.194 0.4706
East 467 66.81% 40.21 1.75 50.96% -0.013 0.6481
Northeast 198 67.17% 40.49 2.107 50.0% 0.174 0.8338
Northwest 163 63.8% 40.96 -0.901 53.37% -0.009 0.6015
Southeast 178 66.29% 39.75 3.902 53.37% 0.655 1.186
Southwest 122 70.49% 40.5 -3.018 59.84% -0.147 0.8217
West 387 68.48% 39.89 -1.329 52.71% -0.511 0.295

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 14 0.0% 68.36 3.887 92.86% -0.367 1.8624
Not Using Events or Tokens 4 100.0% 21.75 0.0 25.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 205 13.33% 61.04 8.232 95.61% 0.222 -0.7582
Start of Game Growth 315 20.98% 57.32 9.042 91.43% 0.891 0.4342
Unlimited Undo 888 52.63% 45.58 4.05 76.58% 0.605 0.0539
Using Tokens but Not Events 567 64.38% 37.4 -3.132 59.26% -0.859 -0.7043

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1544 22.65 0.52%
II 4723 31.08 48.36%
III 4154 34.66 85.03%
IV 2367 37.91 99.49%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.628 Win Model: 0.483
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 9092 61.78% 39.26 62.24%
2 2569 66.3% 40.5 66.72%
3 784 64.03% 42.12 69.64%
4 315 58.71% 45.75 75.87%
5 9 25.0% 70.11 88.89%
6 19 36.84% 47.32 68.42%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 8
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3479
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2221
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2337
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3
Lose: Adversary condition 1651
Win: Sacrifice victory 49
Lose: Scenario condition 88
Win: Scenario condition 85
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2718
Lose: Spirit destroyed 149

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 348 61.34% 44.1 0.64 64.37% 0.246 0.1708
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 256 78.82% 39.91 0.38 55.08% 0.228 0.3063
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 359 67.88% 44.34 -0.895 66.85% -0.142 -0.3667
Downpour Drenches the World 57 71.93% 44.35 0.175 64.91% 0.36 0.625
Eyes Watch From the Trees 536 54.02% 48.97 1.748 73.51% 0.564 0.0606
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 220 59.09% 46.13 5.378 65.91% 0.768 0.1811
Finder of Paths Unseen 25 52.0% 43.36 -4.57 52.0% -0.628 -0.2723
Fractured Days Split the Sky 279 66.55% 42.22 -1.268 53.05% -0.044 0.0379
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 235 59.57% 46.54 -2.783 68.51% -0.414 -0.5087
Heart of the Wildfire 383 75.65% 40.39 -2.521 58.75% -0.247 0.1586
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1406 49.29% 48.46 2.077 77.95% 1.132 0.5289
Lightning's Swift Strike 170 77.58% 40.12 -5.561 52.94% -0.776 -0.4114
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 36 61.11% 55.0 6.048 83.33% 0.85 0.1014
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 134 61.65% 47.07 10.779 70.15% 0.219 -0.345
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 105 58.1% 47.39 -2.363 71.43% -0.262 -0.7564
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1947 44.91% 52.62 2.284 84.33% 0.787 0.6349
Many Minds Move as One 891 49.38% 52.26 2.201 82.94% 0.32 -0.2657
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 462 72.31% 40.05 -2.836 54.55% -0.351 -0.5208
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 385 71.2% 41.35 2.443 59.74% 0.593 0.5367
River Surges in Sunlight 430 69.1% 43.53 -3.475 59.07% -0.577 -0.6509
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 159 69.18% 39.39 -5.546 47.8% -0.794 -0.368
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 31 70.97% 48.1 -0.225 64.52% 0.153 -0.1879
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 414 64.01% 42.01 -3.381 58.7% -0.584 -0.7778
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 120 77.31% 37.59 -16.016 46.67% -0.667 -0.1929
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 11 63.64% 47.36 3.729 63.64% 0.215 0.3946
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 20 70.0% 39.95 -0.246 40.0% -0.129 -0.0737
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 113 74.34% 40.89 -10.68 55.75% -0.52 -0.5424
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 103 76.7% 40.18 -14.136 54.37% -0.6 -0.4846
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1203 39.32% 53.17 2.375 83.21% 0.441 0.25
Shifting Memory of Ages 186 74.73% 43.46 2.519 63.44% 0.678 0.8927
Shroud of Silent Mist 213 78.05% 39.91 -2.082 54.46% -0.079 0.0553
Starlight Seeks its Form 263 60.46% 45.57 3.548 68.06% 1.031 0.9166
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 693 55.86% 41.05 -3.984 60.32% -0.683 -0.9214
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 581 63.02% 46.03 -0.652 70.57% 0.145 0.2748
Thunderspeaker 301 72.76% 42.92 -2.139 60.8% -0.092 -0.1095
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 537 84.17% 40.19 -5.365 61.08% -0.555 -0.7707
Vital Strength of the Earth 168 80.24% 33.7 -3.608 39.29% -0.218 0.6806
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 19 73.68% 35.79 1.546 47.37% 0.107 0.53
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 101 76.24% 36.51 -10.812 52.48% -0.444 0.6699
Volcano Looming High 420 68.5% 41.41 -4.52 61.19% -0.519 -0.5396

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 100.0% 18.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 64 78.13% 30.86 -3.576 31.25% -0.377 0.0663
Dahan Insurrection 4 58 36.21% 67.78 19.122 65.52% 0.128 0.2249
Despicable Theft 2 13 61.54% 51.46 -12.252 61.54% -0.59 -0.0916
Elemental Invocation 1 25 56.0% 50.92 4.338 76.0% -0.038 0.5081
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 470 27.23% 53.68 0.361 78.72% -0.682 -0.4503
Powers Long Forgotten 1 23 78.26% 33.96 0.0 30.43%
Rituals of Terror 3 28 78.57% 44.32 0.0 42.86%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 14 85.71% 41.86 5.184 35.71% 0.006 0.2325
Second Wave 0 139 60.14% 46.43 5.987 62.59% 0.483 1.1759
The Great River 3 16 81.25% 38.19 0.0 31.25%
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 28.0 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 16 81.25% 37.25 10.759 37.5% 0.528 1.4093

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6860 58.55% 45.13 -0.808 67.41% -0.713 -0.0505
1 Thematic 243 66.26% 42.14 0.396 51.44% -0.492 0.5643
2 Archipelago 2 50.0% 90.0 0.0 100.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1326 68.17% 43.81 -0.846 65.91% -0.373 0.1448
2 Coastline 174 66.09% 45.01 2.771 68.39% 0.642 0.843
2 Fragment 26 69.23% 48.08 2.198 76.92% 0.022 0.3203
2 Heart 16 75.0% 43.31 0.0 62.5%
2 Opposite Shores 345 44.35% 49.63 2.232 81.16% 0.745 1.2833
2 Thematic 79 82.28% 44.81 -0.548 54.43% 0.068 0.8501
2 Top to Top 57 61.4% 46.54 3.062 71.93% 0.233 0.3613
3 Archipelago 2 50.0% 70.5 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 13 38.46% 58.92 0.0 92.31%
3 Other 16 50.0% 48.13 2.152 81.25% 0.127 -0.537
3 Round (Default) 548 64.05% 45.8 2.035 71.35% 0.384 0.6888
3 Sunrise 5 80.0% 38.0 4.494 60.0% 0.284 0.7445
3 Thematic 21 71.43% 39.57 -3.576 38.1% -0.377 -0.1688
4 Coastline 8 25.0% 54.88 0.0 87.5%
4 Other 12 75.0% 52.67 2.766 91.67% 0.052 -0.6619
4 Thematic 65 43.08% 57.86 0.0 81.54%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 175 53.94% 51.7 -0.775 80.57% -0.429 -0.3508
5 Other 11 66.67% 51.09 0.824 72.73% 0.169 -0.3479
5 Thematic 5 20.0% 67.8 -5.447 60.0% -0.016 -0.3028
6 Other 2 0.0% 83.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 3 33.33% 20.67 0.0 0.0%
6 Thematic 14 7.14% 65.57 1.347 71.43% 0.036 0.2764
6 Two Centers (Default) 28 10.71% 54.04 -2.532 85.71% -0.371 -0.1792

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 486 36.42 -5.562 47.94% -1.222 0.7485
Aid From Lesser Spirits 373 38.4 -5.155 51.47% -1.287 0.4903
All Things Weaken 445 36.66 -6.469 49.44% -1.382 0.6668
Back Against the Wall 351 37.44 -5.402 49.29% -0.988 0.9509
Disintegrating Ecosystem 418 31.48 -5.779 38.76% -1.398 0.7303
Downward Spiral 449 36.41 -4.573 52.56% -0.852 1.1089
Erosion of Will 448 35.94 -4.604 47.77% -1.21 0.8719
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 130 50.98 1.26 85.38% 0.557 1.0592
Memory Fades to Dust 500 35.49 -3.03 47.6% -0.767 1.3744
Power Corrodes the Spirit 492 36.77 -4.224 52.03% -1.117 0.8639
Promising Farmlands 398 34.63 -7.73 47.49% -1.441 0.5807
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 82 48.43 1.598 80.49% 0.267 0.7641
Thriving Communities 478 37.31 -6.923 53.97% -1.656 0.4033
Unnatural Proliferation 495 37.01 -5.052 49.09% -1.07 0.8868
Untended Land Crumbles 459 34.62 -2.539 45.53% -0.53 1.5032

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1577 62.53% 45.7 0.89 69.31% 0.316 1.0524
B 1972 57.33% 46.57 0.668 71.75% 0.236 0.933
C 1972 58.25% 46.1 2.481 70.13% 0.887 1.3563
D 1660 59.7% 45.2 -0.997 68.31% -0.133 0.5766
E 1955 56.35% 47.12 0.883 71.97% 0.312 0.8563
F 1619 62.16% 44.57 -1.544 66.83% -0.273 0.389
G 1356 64.17% 44.61 -1.777 67.11% -0.221 0.4101
H 1486 59.24% 45.73 -0.237 69.11% 0.231 0.8954
East 272 62.13% 48.2 -3.895 57.35% -0.999 -0.3373
Northeast 139 62.59% 49.94 1.526 58.99% -0.064 0.596
Northwest 127 53.54% 49.54 3.168 59.84% 0.332 0.9421
Southeast 108 54.63% 50.64 1.185 62.96% -0.059 0.472
Southwest 105 57.14% 48.13 -1.697 60.95% -0.226 0.7419
West 254 60.63% 47.96 -0.882 60.24% -0.335 0.4709

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 15 0.0% 76.87 7.499 100.0% 0.322 2.5513
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 33.33% 19.0 0.0 0.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 162 14.77% 62.9 3.364 92.59% 0.096 -0.8838
Start of Game Growth 357 26.45% 59.9 5.157 89.92% 1.093 0.6362
Unlimited Undo 979 57.99% 49.25 2.983 76.1% 0.647 0.0954
Using Tokens but Not Events 365 51.43% 47.99 1.794 73.15% 0.35 0.5055

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 842 22.65 0.48%
II 3831 31.08 53.48%
III 3882 34.66 84.39%
IV 1504 37.91 99.73%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.041 Win Model: -0.488
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7130 58.87% 45.04 66.86%
2 2013 64.28% 45.14 68.75%
3 602 63.62% 45.91 70.93%
4 259 49.19% 53.94 81.08%
5 8 57.14% 45.5 62.5%
6 47 10.64% 56.57 76.6%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3237
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2002
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1492
Lose: Invader deck ran out 4
Lose: Adversary condition 971
Win: Sacrifice victory 50
Lose: Scenario condition 53
Win: Scenario condition 44
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2081
Lose: Spirit destroyed 121

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 222 80.18% 41.64 1.091 39.64% -0.089 -0.1641
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 139 86.33% 32.75 -6.19 20.14% -0.594 -0.5158
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 201 81.59% 37.74 -4.632 31.84% -0.283 -0.5073
Downpour Drenches the World 23 60.87% 49.65 3.271 52.17% 0.461 0.7261
Eyes Watch From the Trees 422 68.25% 47.35 0.753 49.53% 0.362 -0.1413
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 101 87.0% 34.89 -4.212 23.76% -0.458 -1.0441
Finder of Paths Unseen 21 61.9% 46.29 0.594 42.86% -0.018 0.338
Fractured Days Split the Sky 139 70.5% 48.39 -3.741 44.6% -0.729 -0.6474
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 145 84.14% 38.08 -2.905 30.34% -0.085 -0.1796
Heart of the Wildfire 260 86.92% 35.76 -2.005 30.0% 0.266 0.6717
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 979 60.22% 52.26 5.712 63.33% 1.443 0.8392
Lightning's Swift Strike 104 87.5% 38.29 -12.606 31.73% -0.41 -0.0452
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 15 40.0% 68.8 3.813 80.0% 0.203 -0.5462
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 93 76.34% 44.76 3.083 46.24% 0.031 -0.5325
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 34 70.59% 46.65 0.0 50.0%
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1262 60.22% 54.23 5.332 66.96% 1.394 1.2425
Many Minds Move as One 554 78.52% 44.81 -0.537 47.11% 0.275 -0.3106
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 240 85.83% 37.9 -2.983 30.83% -0.435 -0.6047
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 192 88.02% 36.65 -6.968 29.17% -0.388 -0.4438
River Surges in Sunlight 242 80.99% 44.19 -0.218 40.91% 0.06 -0.0142
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 70 91.43% 34.49 -10.116 22.86% -0.443 -0.0166
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 19 89.47% 48.42 2.304 47.37% 0.381 0.0396
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 224 82.14% 38.41 -1.509 31.25% -0.107 -0.3011
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 63 90.48% 30.32 0.0 12.7%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 2 100.0% 69.0 15.613 100.0% 0.559 0.7383
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 12 75.0% 40.92 -2.202 33.33% -0.215 -0.16
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 66 89.39% 34.32 0.0 22.73%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 57 94.74% 33.75 0.0 21.05%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 583 70.96% 48.84 2.711 54.03% 0.636 0.4448
Shifting Memory of Ages 64 81.25% 43.34 -3.945 37.5% -0.66 -0.4456
Shroud of Silent Mist 119 96.64% 29.63 0.044 15.13% 0.193 0.3276
Starlight Seeks its Form 284 85.21% 40.54 -5.205 36.27% -1.024 -1.1393
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 425 72.94% 38.01 -1.569 36.71% 0.088 -0.1507
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 401 72.82% 46.82 2.453 51.12% 0.527 0.6573
Thunderspeaker 186 86.02% 38.84 8.182 27.42% 0.728 0.7107
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 348 93.1% 37.35 -10.018 34.2% -0.917 -1.1321
Vital Strength of the Earth 75 84.0% 34.47 -5.82 25.33% -0.07 0.8283
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 19 68.42% 39.53 -0.128 31.58% 0.334 0.7566
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 84 91.67% 31.29 -6.052 17.86% -0.168 0.946
Volcano Looming High 201 77.11% 41.93 -3.683 42.79% -0.547 -0.5683

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 18 66.67% 39.56 0.0 33.33%
Dahan Insurrection 4 49 63.27% 68.2 0.0 42.86%
Despicable Theft 2 5 80.0% 40.8 -3.128 20.0% -0.534 -0.035
Elemental Invocation 1 20 100.0% 27.9 0.0 5.0%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 357 33.89% 60.12 3.454 70.03% -0.387 -0.1551
Powers Long Forgotten 1 16 100.0% 28.38 0.0 6.25%
Rituals of Terror 3 10 100.0% 31.1 0.0 0.0%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 2 50.0% 57.5 0.0 50.0%
Second Wave 0 91 78.02% 38.84 -2.461 30.77% -0.046 0.6461
The Great River 3 3 100.0% 51.0 0.0 33.33%
Ward the Shores 2 11 90.91% 35.91 3.736 18.18% 0.408 1.2891

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4306 68.42% 46.75 1.248 51.18% 0.398 1.0609
1 Thematic 245 76.73% 41.66 4.819 32.24% 0.083 1.1402
2 Archipelago 7 71.43% 91.14 0.0 57.14%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 903 85.71% 38.75 -2.2 34.0% -0.309 0.2092
2 Coastline 106 65.09% 49.08 -6.464 56.6% -0.79 -0.5894
2 Fragment 17 94.12% 35.71 0.699 29.41% 0.247 0.5452
2 Heart 11 72.73% 42.73 -10.843 45.45% -0.253 0.2073
2 Opposite Shores 114 76.32% 45.63 0.564 45.61% 0.273 0.812
2 Thematic 40 75.0% 38.45 0.0 17.5%
2 Top to Top 29 72.41% 48.17 3.217 55.17% 0.352 0.4797
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 57.75 0.0 62.5%
3 Other 18 88.89% 46.94 17.829 38.89% 0.792 0.1275
3 Round (Default) 309 80.91% 44.62 -1.392 47.57% -0.499 -0.1945
3 Thematic 6 83.33% 49.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 56.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 74.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 4 50.0% 45.75 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 18 94.44% 46.44 0.0 38.89%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 133 84.96% 39.07 -1.175 35.34% -0.501 -0.4235
5 Other 7 71.43% 46.71 0.0 57.14%
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 145.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 4 25.0% 58.0 21.966 50.0% 0.202 0.3933

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 359 36.06 -5.261 27.58% -1.225 0.7455
Aid From Lesser Spirits 258 42.13 -5.811 39.92% -0.914 0.8636
All Things Weaken 370 35.98 -7.261 28.11% -1.635 0.4135
Back Against the Wall 253 35.67 -8.633 26.09% -1.54 0.3994
Disintegrating Ecosystem 329 31.42 -10.142 20.36% -1.716 0.4124
Downward Spiral 351 37.51 -8.081 35.61% -1.697 0.2641
Erosion of Will 353 36.12 -7.85 28.9% -1.656 0.4256
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 77 54.77 8.385 71.43% 0.635 1.1363
Memory Fades to Dust 349 35.59 -10.462 29.23% -2.019 0.1223
Power Corrodes the Spirit 328 35.48 -5.653 28.96% -1.014 0.9671
Promising Farmlands 333 34.74 -6.274 28.83% -1.234 0.7873
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 42 59.07 4.299 83.33% 0.701 1.1975
Thriving Communities 378 37.62 -6.904 34.13% -1.379 0.68
Unnatural Proliferation 403 36.65 -6.934 29.28% -1.358 0.5986
Untended Land Crumbles 375 34.13 -7.642 25.33% -1.698 0.3353

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1078 78.2% 43.01 -1.069 43.04% -0.378 0.3585
B 1134 76.37% 44.01 1.252 45.06% 0.071 0.7686
C 1208 72.99% 45.52 -0.941 48.1% -0.289 0.1808
D 1002 75.05% 42.48 -0.607 42.42% 0.066 0.7759
E 1364 69.57% 47.89 3.093 52.93% 0.725 1.2691
F 853 74.5% 44.25 1.179 45.6% 0.425 1.0861
G 773 77.23% 42.68 -3.135 43.08% -0.615 0.0157
H 918 77.45% 43.25 -1.129 42.92% -0.484 0.1807
East 174 74.71% 46.89 0.0 36.78%
Northeast 80 82.5% 44.95 23.994 33.75% 0.297 0.9573
Northwest 65 84.62% 43.32 0.0 32.31%
Southeast 61 67.21% 48.33 0.0 44.26%
Southwest 54 75.93% 33.94 -21.684 22.22% -0.379 0.5893
West 162 82.1% 38.9 12.065 25.31% 0.165 0.9708

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3 0.0% 35.33 0.0 33.33%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 136 17.65% 71.09 9.128 86.76% 0.985 0.0047
Start of Game Growth 359 31.48% 65.45 6.646 83.01% 0.397 -0.0593
Unlimited Undo 551 66.97% 48.85 1.315 54.45% 0.03 -0.522
Using Tokens but Not Events 306 52.81% 55.42 7.198 68.95% 0.89 1.0448

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 574 22.65 5.05%
II 3552 31.08 37.02%
III 1612 34.66 66.5%
IV 551 37.91 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.4 Win Model: 0.3
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4568 68.87% 46.57 50.18%
2 1222 82.57% 40.5 36.99%
3 331 80.97% 44.72 47.13%
4 160 83.13% 41.21 38.13%
5 3 100.0% 38.33 33.33%
6 5 20.0% 67.2 60.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 29
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1049
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1281
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 548
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2
Lose: Adversary condition 828
Win: Sacrifice victory 35
Lose: Scenario condition 53
Win: Scenario condition 23
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2350
Lose: Spirit destroyed 91

The Tsardom of Russia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1336 70.52% 56.76 -1.8 43.34% -0.628 -0.7034
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 727 88.17% 44.4 -2.523 22.83% -0.566 -0.4877
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 732 93.27% 35.23 -6.023 16.26% -0.512 -0.7362
Downpour Drenches the World 222 81.53% 47.9 -3.368 35.14% -0.272 -0.0075
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1654 68.98% 61.13 -5.666 43.95% -0.895 -1.3983
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 409 89.73% 40.43 -3.369 24.45% -0.052 -0.6383
Finder of Paths Unseen 72 75.0% 61.54 -2.522 59.72% -0.103 0.2525
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1715 59.77% 65.59 9.587 53.41% 0.228 0.3102
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 534 88.58% 42.6 -5.406 28.65% -0.348 -0.443
Heart of the Wildfire 1036 91.59% 33.87 -7.527 15.35% -0.964 -0.5588
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10970 58.27% 61.9 5.375 69.55% 1.259 0.6557
Lightning's Swift Strike 431 88.42% 40.52 -5.564 24.59% -0.217 0.1481
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 284 81.69% 50.85 -1.846 39.08% 0.269 -0.4802
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 382 91.6% 43.03 -5.635 30.37% -0.166 -0.7298
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 351 68.95% 58.19 6.718 53.28% 0.916 0.4215
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 6174 73.29% 55.03 -0.86 52.98% 0.277 0.125
Many Minds Move as One 1653 84.39% 49.57 2.516 40.05% 0.516 -0.0699
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1136 88.3% 39.83 -5.438 22.62% -0.566 -0.7357
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 557 88.43% 43.21 -2.561 30.16% -0.075 -0.131
River Surges in Sunlight 1411 86.04% 56.14 9.344 36.92% 0.405 0.3307
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 346 71.97% 49.9 -6.697 30.35% -0.722 -0.2959
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 202 81.19% 61.76 1.892 41.09% 0.284 -0.0567
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1812 72.08% 55.47 -0.626 49.39% 0.13 -0.0633
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 354 88.95% 37.58 -12.523 18.64% -0.483 -0.0088
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 22 90.91% 47.36 0.191 31.82% 0.249 0.4282
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 35 91.43% 47.69 -1.406 34.29% 0.243 0.2982
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 250 86.0% 39.09 -8.655 21.2% -0.274 -0.2963
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 197 88.32% 44.74 4.422 31.98% 0.703 0.8187
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1697 78.2% 49.73 3.83 42.78% 1.05 0.8586
Shifting Memory of Ages 878 85.88% 50.94 -0.114 27.11% -0.613 -0.3983
Shroud of Silent Mist 434 92.81% 37.65 -2.86 18.66% 0.231 0.3652
Starlight Seeks its Form 1394 71.95% 56.59 3.554 55.02% 0.844 0.7289
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3582 65.46% 49.46 -0.106 41.68% -0.118 -0.3566
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1692 83.61% 49.4 -0.393 42.2% 0.299 0.4296
Thunderspeaker 763 85.94% 47.3 -4.638 27.13% -0.336 -0.3532
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1518 95.78% 39.46 -4.197 26.81% 0.001 -0.2151
Vital Strength of the Earth 247 85.02% 38.29 -2.992 19.03% -0.331 0.5674
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 55 74.55% 57.78 2.511 41.82% 0.413 0.8362
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 248 87.9% 37.26 -5.153 20.56% -0.099 1.0156
Volcano Looming High 1413 82.99% 46.43 -0.663 38.36% 0.474 0.4531

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 242 70.59% 44.43 -6.449 33.06% -0.298 0.1447
Dahan Insurrection 4 1416 42.47% 85.86 19.292 61.94% 1.252 1.3494
Despicable Theft 2 4 100.0% 54.75 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 93 94.62% 37.58 -3.541 13.98% -0.063 0.4827
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1811 48.01% 56.07 0.508 48.15% -0.342 -0.1105
Powers Long Forgotten 1 7 100.0% 35.0 0.0 14.29%
Rituals of Terror 3 476 61.97% 123.62 19.159 68.28% 2.205 1.9695
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 10 90.0% 67.1 -21.818 20.0% -0.127 0.0993
Second Wave 0 95 80.0% 50.55 1.085 41.05% 0.013 0.7058
The Great River 3 33 81.82% 40.7 0.0 9.09%
Varied Terrains 2 2 100.0% 43.0 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 24 83.33% 43.67 2.428 20.83% 0.064 0.9449

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 32173 72.47% 52.26 -0.764 48.84% 0.049 0.7116
1 Thematic 801 80.4% 47.36 -4.879 30.46% -0.857 0.2
2 Archipelago 70 52.86% 100.94 11.82 60.0% -0.01 0.4606
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2525 83.72% 47.7 -3.065 38.73% -0.709 -0.191
2 Coastline 531 84.56% 47.46 0.089 36.91% 0.075 0.2757
2 Fragment 65 89.23% 47.34 -6.233 38.46% -0.274 0.0238
2 Heart 101 71.29% 49.09 -9.686 27.72% -1.505 -1.0441
2 Opposite Shores 880 84.89% 47.26 -3.823 23.41% -0.6 -0.0615
2 Thematic 416 78.55% 99.88 13.616 51.2% 1.016 1.7984
2 Top to Top 128 77.34% 51.17 2.787 42.97% 0.468 0.5963
3 Archipelago 7 85.71% 120.86 18.976 71.43% 0.53 0.3113
3 Coastline 7 100.0% 42.43 12.992 28.57% 0.82 0.3132
3 Other 48 75.0% 53.85 0.523 52.08% 0.327 -0.3373
3 Round (Default) 1070 81.12% 48.0 1.061 39.53% 0.027 0.332
3 Thematic 127 36.22% 106.65 13.612 69.29% -0.633 -0.4253
4 Archipelago 4 100.0% 137.25 39.458 100.0% 0.75 0.7129
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 83.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 42.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Other 39 76.92% 43.97 7.083 25.64% 0.148 -0.5664
4 Thematic 263 31.56% 89.27 11.598 71.86% -0.071 0.0326
4 Trapezoid (Default) 480 75.48% 52.82 0.994 43.33% -0.493 -0.4157
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 81.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 29 66.67% 56.1 -4.545 41.38% -0.455 -0.9717
5 Thematic 14 64.29% 100.0 16.627 57.14% 0.159 -0.1279
6 Archipelago 3 33.33% 84.33 13.563 100.0% 0.015 -0.1313
6 Other 7 28.57% 72.43 -1.545 85.71% -0.398 -0.3536
6 Star 5 60.0% 77.0 -5.493 80.0% -0.157 0.6137
6 Thematic 10 40.0% 79.1 -12.237 50.0% 0.009 0.2496
6 Two Centers (Default) 33 33.33% 89.73 8.91 81.82% 0.213 0.4046
7 Archipelago 4 75.0% 123.0 0.0 75.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2264 43.4 -5.561 31.18% -1.989 -0.0182
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1696 46.87 -3.61 37.15% -1.402 0.3761
All Things Weaken 2442 43.12 -7.844 30.02% -2.271 -0.2221
Back Against the Wall 1666 45.65 -4.1 34.15% -1.787 0.1521
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2106 37.38 -10.644 22.08% -2.794 -0.6659
Downward Spiral 2270 45.5 -6.18 36.83% -1.794 0.1666
Erosion of Will 2231 41.15 -6.3 26.58% -1.936 0.1452
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 479 67.9 7.311 77.24% 0.578 1.0799
Memory Fades to Dust 2334 44.08 -5.501 33.33% -1.781 0.3602
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2305 43.05 -6.845 31.19% -2.067 -0.0865
Promising Farmlands 2108 42.38 -3.569 30.79% -1.289 0.7329
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 307 71.38 9.165 83.06% 0.715 1.2119
Thriving Communities 2290 43.74 -5.503 32.62% -1.762 0.2974
Unnatural Proliferation 2469 43.64 -5.387 29.97% -1.877 0.0804
Untended Land Crumbles 2384 42.8 -6.666 31.25% -1.936 0.0972

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6083 79.88% 48.31 -0.547 39.34% -0.303 0.433
B 6171 78.46% 49.38 -1.19 42.62% -0.428 0.2696
C 7118 75.03% 51.36 3.03 44.51% -0.013 0.4572
D 5156 77.24% 48.72 -2.24 40.61% -0.61 0.0993
E 7311 73.79% 52.51 0.334 48.58% -0.159 0.3853
F 5017 75.64% 50.51 -0.714 44.89% -0.302 0.3592
G 4176 76.46% 50.4 -1.907 44.61% -0.441 0.1903
H 5765 64.37% 59.31 -0.28 58.13% -0.312 0.3522
East 1054 60.97% 86.07 12.337 54.65% 0.333 0.9947
Northeast 597 51.59% 88.46 11.367 57.96% -0.125 0.5346
Northwest 442 57.92% 83.57 5.492 53.17% 0.355 0.965
Southeast 221 60.18% 65.67 4.06 45.25% 0.143 0.6739
Southwest 262 67.18% 56.1 -0.705 40.84% -0.123 0.8454
West 1026 62.63% 83.2 10.924 52.92% -0.742 0.0637

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 24 0.0% 72.71 11.284 79.17% 0.062 2.2906
Not Using Events or Tokens 10 80.0% 130.0 0.0 70.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1056 34.78% 72.5 4.864 73.77% 0.433 -0.5475
Start of Game Growth 1892 35.81% 71.2 3.813 77.43% 0.48 0.0236
Unlimited Undo 3768 60.6% 62.82 3.578 68.07% 0.692 0.1408
Using Tokens but Not Events 1660 66.38% 62.64 1.65 53.98% 0.095 0.2503

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7810 22.65 1.17%
II 19350 31.08 40.72%
III 8958 34.66 78.51%
IV 3738 37.91 99.87%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.861 Win Model: 0.45
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 33749 72.77% 52.91 48.27%
2 4068 82.99% 48.29 36.73%
3 1247 75.7% 55.24 43.14%
4 718 63.74% 58.13 49.58%
5 17 50.0% 74.24 58.82%
6 57 36.84% 87.7 82.46%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 78
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6912
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6888
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3528
Lose: Invader deck ran out 33
Lose: Adversary condition 5636
Win: Sacrifice victory 450
Lose: Scenario condition 452
Win: Scenario condition 880
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14404
Lose: Spirit destroyed 595

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-10-19 02:56:39 (Pacific Time)