The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5776 26.08% 23.04 -0.261 80.0% 0.106 -0.001
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 64 17.19% 21.98 0.809 64.06% 0.247 -0.2418
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3833 47.32% 21.97 -0.511 75.84% -0.07 0.0735
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 101 19.8% 26.13 5.536 71.29% 1.075 0.3264
Dances Up Earthquakes 30 36.67% 20.77 1.443 73.33% 0.551 0.3746
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2719 26.29% 24.98 1.054 85.8% 0.219 0.0118
Downpour Drenches the World 501 25.15% 17.83 -0.291 56.89% -0.022 0.2977
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 453 22.52% 20.9 1.002 62.25% 0.246 -0.1944
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3154 17.01% 27.53 3.341 89.19% 0.771 0.4276
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2810 22.81% 25.94 -0.772 86.94% -0.297 -0.6512
Finder of Paths Unseen 261 33.72% 13.46 -1.693 39.46% -0.471 0.3139
Fractured Days Split the Sky 662 34.59% 21.35 -3.179 59.97% -1.148 -0.7
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 871 38.81% 22.08 -0.314 67.97% 0.136 0.112
Heart of the Wildfire 3842 56.54% 20.37 -1.488 70.56% -0.292 0.0354
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5247 27.66% 26.26 1.844 88.18% 0.567 0.0716
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 108 25.23% 24.59 4.54 67.59% 1.159 0.596
Lightning's Swift Strike 5684 41.89% 21.88 -0.149 73.43% 0.17 0.3686
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 179 29.38% 24.57 3.046 72.63% 1.048 0.6005
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 394 30.79% 25.48 0.487 80.96% -0.219 -0.5381
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 340 36.58% 23.54 0.567 73.82% 0.039 0.1638
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1587 32.72% 25.29 -0.837 79.21% -0.264 -0.4202
Many Minds Move as One 1116 23.78% 25.49 4.072 82.89% 0.826 0.6195
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5742 41.33% 22.98 -0.286 78.06% -0.034 0.095
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 33 51.52% 16.21 -0.851 63.64% 0.069 0.1743
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2515 28.77% 23.88 0.002 81.67% -0.353 -0.4028
River Surges in Sunlight 6767 38.32% 24.53 -0.086 74.83% -0.113 -0.0799
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 50 22.0% 19.7 1.861 54.0% 0.194 0.4018
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 546 37.0% 24.52 2.14 73.44% 0.119 0.2703
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 225 36.49% 22.42 0.485 63.56% 0.145 0.1546
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3298 35.74% 22.31 -0.293 79.14% 0.198 0.099
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 10 10.0% 27.6 3.51 80.0% 0.329 -0.1618
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4228 52.74% 21.43 -0.671 70.67% -0.069 0.4425
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 98 36.73% 21.18 -4.064 59.18% -0.511 -0.5543
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 92 26.37% 23.04 -3.45 70.65% -0.629 -1.0775
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 95 32.63% 21.66 3.423 66.32% 0.173 0.2318
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 301 37.87% 23.96 0.43 78.74% 0.109 -0.0811
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 261 42.15% 23.3 -2.628 75.1% -0.432 -0.3481
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3418 29.37% 25.4 0.356 82.74% -0.001 -0.0988
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 152 22.3% 19.97 -1.869 59.87% -0.637 -0.8314
Shifting Memory of Ages 722 46.45% 19.85 0.766 63.85% -0.186 0.2034
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 66 24.24% 20.24 1.915 60.61% 0.694 0.6421
Shroud of Silent Mist 804 47.31% 20.06 -1.076 66.79% 0.028 0.4427
Starlight Seeks its Form 1167 21.67% 24.96 1.803 73.95% 0.442 0.4022
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1839 27.85% 23.54 -0.215 82.06% 0.208 -0.2942
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2201 32.95% 22.85 -1.092 77.37% -0.201 -0.1182
Thunderspeaker 5289 30.0% 25.12 0.224 79.26% 0.118 0.1123
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 116 27.59% 16.81 -3.792 47.41% -0.885 -0.4964
Towering Roots of the Jungle 173 28.9% 17.42 -0.888 56.65% -0.109 0.1016
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1458 55.99% 19.4 -4.087 70.37% -0.696 -0.6187
Vital Strength of the Earth 5689 32.79% 20.72 -1.844 70.5% -0.402 0.0473
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 169 25.75% 17.77 -3.294 52.07% -0.744 -0.2494
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 322 27.36% 17.87 -1.255 60.25% -0.463 0.2295
Volcano Looming High 1169 36.79% 22.13 -0.755 71.09% -0.309 -0.2447
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 204 24.02% 22.47 0.482 65.2% 0.15 -0.099

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 22 9.09% 21.14 14.913 68.18% 0.506 -0.0518
Blitz 0 1096 37.82% 18.96 -3.304 63.69% -0.665 -0.242
Dahan Insurrection 4 890 22.5% 41.21 6.291 72.7% -0.156 -0.638
Despicable Theft 2 193 30.57% 20.23 -1.961 47.67% -0.766 -0.2233
Elemental Invocation 1 229 39.3% 20.01 -2.09 55.9% -0.392 0.3456
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2229 8.54% 28.68 1.939 78.02% -0.031 -0.6874
Powers Long Forgotten 1 522 43.87% 24.5 -1.969 64.37% -0.807 -0.2446
Rituals of Terror 3 624 40.65% 29.26 -2.666 59.94% -1.1 -1.2423
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 355 58.31% 27.86 1.101 56.34% -0.786 -0.037
Second Wave 0 961 54.72% 25.52 2.07 70.03% 0.08 0.1743
The Great River 3 194 39.18% 20.75 -3.49 39.18% -1.114 0.1317
Varied Terrains 2 158 29.75% 15.06 -4.559 37.97% -1.258 -0.3894
Ward the Shores 2 603 36.21% 26.47 2.069 64.34% -0.284 0.57

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 39606 38.84% 22.52 -0.146 75.73% 0.452 0.8255
1 Thematic 4524 39.86% 28.39 2.831 69.89% 0.285 0.9996
2 Archipelago 25 32.0% 32.76 0.0 76.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9059 33.97% 22.38 -0.126 77.93% 0.26 0.4214
2 Coastline 798 32.19% 22.94 1.177 79.7% 0.773 0.5803
2 Fragment 188 37.84% 21.91 -0.604 80.85% -0.306 -0.3542
2 Heart 135 56.39% 20.19 -2.22 70.37% -0.148 -0.3597
2 Opposite Shores 1041 33.07% 22.9 0.228 82.52% 0.249 0.381
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 1064 37.48% 28.24 -3.263 68.89% -1.038 -0.318
2 Top to Top 205 34.31% 21.55 1.464 78.54% 0.409 0.324
3 Archipelago 16 56.25% 27.94 0.0 68.75%
3 Coastline 26 34.62% 19.81 -0.075 57.69% -0.171 -0.8013
3 Other 99 39.39% 19.07 6.588 67.68% 0.516 -0.3604
3 Round (Default) 2936 28.61% 23.76 0.887 82.63% 0.405 0.3817
3 Sunrise 9 11.11% 25.78 4.367 88.89% 0.267 -0.18
3 Thematic 261 35.25% 27.08 3.809 67.05% 0.678 0.6853
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 32.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Coastline 6 16.67% 10.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 8 25.0% 23.63 5.83 87.5% 0.34 0.7757
4 Other 45 31.11% 18.62 -4.897 68.89% -0.284 -0.8522
4 Thematic 707 30.54% 28.77 -0.966 87.55% -0.681 -0.6179
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1480 23.84% 22.05 -1.581 77.09% -0.58 -0.5745
5 Other 52 38.46% 25.08 -8.605 73.08% -0.426 -0.7501
5 Thematic 9 33.33% 32.56 0.0 88.89%
6 Other 8 37.5% 20.75 2.381 62.5% 0.089 0.0446
6 Star 7 0.0% 22.86 0.0 71.43%
6 Thematic 61 6.78% 21.43 5.2 50.82% 0.008 0.2118
6 Two Centers (Default) 79 20.25% 17.13 -5.422 54.43% -0.86 -0.3856
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 7 0.0% 30.0 7.542 57.14% 0.045 -0.6307

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1353 18.02 3.12 59.72% 1.429 1.5005
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1199 19.49 0.425 59.47% -0.097 -0.2073
All Things Weaken 681 17.81 0.685 55.36% -0.004 0.1732
Attenuated Essence 102 18.28 -0.142 55.88% 0.312 0.364
Back Against the Wall 1183 18.99 0.653 57.99% -0.337 -0.3528
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 74 17.77 0.065 51.35% -0.104 0.0799
Burn Brightest Before the End 45 18.0 -1.56 53.33% -0.608 -0.5215
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1359 15.66 -1.478 54.97% -0.162 0.129
Downward Spiral 5005 16.28 -0.618 60.0% 0.01 0.1159
Erosion of Will 1411 17.95 -0.769 57.55% -0.61 -0.4445
Intensifying Exploitation 89 18.0 2.663 51.69% 0.736 0.9243
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 252 23.77 3.673 86.11% 0.684 0.2556
Memory Fades to Dust 5090 15.78 -1.316 56.07% -0.076 0.1589
Power Corrodes the Spirit 665 18.83 4.852 61.95% 0.478 0.5742
Promising Farmlands 1423 17.11 0.918 60.01% 0.287 0.6516
Shattered Fragments of Power 67 22.96 0.809 58.21% -0.539 -0.474
Slow Dissolution of Will 80 17.95 -2.717 48.75% -0.627 -0.1634
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 207 23.88 1.754 88.41% 0.567 -0.0344
The Border of Life and Death 28 23.68 22.15 67.86% 0.33 -0.1458
Thriving Communities 678 17.4 -3.839 56.19% -0.826 -0.6004
Thriving Crops 37 19.97 -0.29 67.57% 0.304 0.079
Tipping Point 504 16.8 0.0 60.52%
Unnatural Proliferation 668 19.69 0.527 59.58% -0.22 -0.0983
Untended Land Crumbles 709 17.61 -2.74 57.55% -0.968 -0.7361

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 13805 37.25% 21.99 -1.004 76.23% -0.537 0.3819
B 14109 35.9% 22.27 -0.595 76.55% -0.606 0.2349
C 14495 35.32% 22.43 -0.814 77.02% -0.541 0.1423
D 13765 35.25% 22.45 -0.161 77.33% -0.409 0.4338
E 4391 32.31% 23.33 0.345 76.45% -0.2 0.4516
F 6400 32.62% 23.3 0.62 78.73% -0.315 0.4447
G 5937 33.29% 22.77 -0.031 77.61% -0.307 0.4505
H 6172 32.86% 23.44 0.338 79.12% -0.341 0.3777
East 4267 36.06% 28.97 2.561 73.19% 0.52 1.333
Northeast 2594 35.06% 28.93 1.089 74.44% -0.512 0.156
Northwest 2060 35.18% 28.39 0.869 74.51% -0.135 0.6694
Southeast 646 32.3% 25.15 0.822 66.1% -0.389 0.3162
Southwest 578 31.77% 21.67 -2.463 62.98% -0.806 0.5835
West 3779 37.82% 27.75 -2.083 71.45% -1.112 -0.318

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 612 0.0% 20.07 -0.563 64.05% -0.37 0.3485
Not Using Events or Tokens 15272 43.95% 20.17 -1.887 69.47% -0.416 0.0687
Skip Initial Invader Actions 932 9.45% 34.34 5.702 90.77% 1.078 0.3467
Start of Game Growth 1431 14.12% 31.1 -0.12 87.28% -0.255 -0.7009
Unlimited Undo 3492 27.19% 25.47 1.727 81.93% 0.355 0.3217
Using Tokens but Not Events 4566 28.27% 24.68 1.991 81.82% 0.673 0.5111

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9857 14.25 28.34%
II 21863 30.3 77.08%
III 20645 34.84 86.38%
IV 10169 38.61 99.11%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.139 Win Model: 0.58
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 44586 38.87% 23.05 74.8%
2 12247 34.54% 23.15 78.67%
3 3262 29.1% 23.95 81.42%
4 2239 26.44% 24.14 80.62%
5 65 12.31% 15.4 38.46%
6 134 16.79% 22.75 64.93%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2787
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 17333
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 15949
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9985
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5090
Lose: Invader deck ran out 848
Lose: Adversary condition 345
Win: Sacrifice victory 225
Lose: Scenario condition 563
Win: Scenario condition 1280
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7717
Lose: Spirit destroyed 412

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4023 25.93% 31.42 2.118 80.19% 0.263 0.1565
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 64 23.44% 23.92 0.526 67.19% 0.285 -0.203
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2343 50.19% 27.18 -0.264 75.89% -0.053 0.0904
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 102 22.55% 33.29 5.966 79.41% 0.995 0.2468
Dances Up Earthquakes 18 50.0% 30.0 3.508 77.78% 0.488 0.3113
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1919 28.23% 29.7 -1.188 85.04% -0.288 -0.4947
Downpour Drenches the World 409 25.25% 22.32 -1.588 63.33% -0.176 0.1437
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 399 20.51% 28.27 4.031 77.44% 0.679 0.2388
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2415 18.71% 33.14 0.224 90.56% -0.048 -0.3917
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2140 21.79% 36.77 2.784 87.06% -0.096 -0.4502
Finder of Paths Unseen 231 36.09% 19.87 -5.495 45.45% -0.929 -0.1447
Fractured Days Split the Sky 529 33.52% 27.44 -5.808 66.73% -1.223 -0.7748
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 617 38.9% 25.59 -0.733 67.59% -0.058 -0.0819
Heart of the Wildfire 2620 56.96% 26.49 1.411 75.84% 0.421 0.7483
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3967 35.37% 30.36 1.318 86.41% 0.345 -0.1502
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 120 25.83% 27.89 5.873 70.83% 0.51 -0.0532
Lightning's Swift Strike 3536 39.44% 28.32 -0.5 77.83% 0.011 0.2094
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 436 10.55% 57.41 4.645 78.44% -0.37 -0.8177
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 291 32.3% 30.34 -0.677 81.79% -0.214 -0.5332
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 293 33.79% 28.83 2.427 77.47% 0.405 0.5301
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1210 35.24% 29.64 1.42 81.16% 0.635 0.4791
Many Minds Move as One 901 25.95% 29.26 1.517 81.35% 0.229 0.022
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3727 40.17% 31.4 1.593 78.56% -0.006 0.1234
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 30 53.33% 24.03 0.451 66.67% 0.059 0.1638
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2075 29.61% 35.15 4.659 83.18% 0.731 0.6812
River Surges in Sunlight 4569 38.24% 32.27 2.058 77.19% 0.097 0.1302
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 37 37.84% 23.11 5.034 64.86% 0.266 0.4747
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 363 45.58% 26.76 -3.431 68.6% -0.872 -0.7206
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 259 35.41% 29.0 2.594 68.73% 0.207 0.2163
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1982 37.2% 27.91 -0.782 79.82% 0.036 -0.0632
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 7 28.57% 27.57 1.22 85.71% 0.514 0.0232
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2412 55.24% 25.87 -1.856 70.02% -0.332 0.1797
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 58 45.45% 26.98 -3.271 70.69% -0.333 -0.3763
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 105 30.48% 30.08 2.785 75.24% 0.071 -0.3771
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 82 35.37% 24.62 -3.724 68.29% -0.444 -0.3859
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 274 37.23% 28.53 -0.968 81.02% -0.113 -0.3037
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 168 54.82% 28.79 0.0 75.6%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2495 31.3% 30.61 0.857 83.61% 0.102 0.0044
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 175 18.6% 25.06 0.704 70.29% 0.393 0.1982
Shifting Memory of Ages 536 41.87% 23.06 -0.671 63.43% -0.186 0.2036
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 50 26.0% 22.86 3.606 58.0% 0.457 0.4056
Shroud of Silent Mist 578 52.6% 24.02 -4.368 69.55% -0.685 -0.2705
Starlight Seeks its Form 611 32.13% 25.74 0.943 71.85% 0.279 0.2388
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1176 38.8% 24.82 0.661 75.94% 0.178 -0.3249
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1582 35.61% 27.79 -0.057 78.13% 0.163 0.246
Thunderspeaker 3501 32.63% 30.37 -1.328 79.66% -0.173 -0.1785
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 100 38.0% 20.85 -1.953 53.0% -0.328 0.0607
Towering Roots of the Jungle 149 29.53% 21.39 1.425 65.1% 0.488 0.6987
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 879 64.8% 22.6 -5.326 67.01% -1.275 -1.1978
Vital Strength of the Earth 3288 38.91% 24.92 -2.102 71.08% -0.292 0.1573
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 152 35.76% 21.95 -4.294 58.55% -1.006 -0.5114
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 238 36.55% 22.7 -1.645 63.03% -0.374 0.3183
Volcano Looming High 784 44.96% 25.04 0.587 72.07% 0.282 0.3462
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 200 24.0% 28.59 2.739 79.0% 0.74 0.4914

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 26 30.77% 26.35 -1.013 65.38% -0.38 -0.938
Blitz 0 916 44.16% 21.65 -4.612 60.26% -0.965 -0.542
Dahan Insurrection 4 676 23.4% 47.98 3.992 78.4% -0.474 -0.9558
Despicable Theft 2 171 38.01% 23.2 -3.756 47.37% -0.963 -0.4199
Elemental Invocation 1 225 48.44% 21.04 -5.188 51.11% -1.418 -0.6806
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2023 10.02% 37.45 4.862 75.14% -0.116 -0.7727
Powers Long Forgotten 1 512 49.22% 26.05 -2.277 59.18% -0.678 -0.116
Rituals of Terror 3 488 47.13% 33.01 -0.796 61.48% -0.744 -0.8856
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 325 61.23% 29.92 -1.454 55.08% -0.625 0.1242
Second Wave 0 2534 43.96% 29.4 1.969 75.69% 0.186 0.2804
The Great River 3 163 38.04% 26.31 -0.084 44.17% -0.785 0.4607
Varied Terrains 2 137 35.77% 18.65 -2.223 37.96% -0.841 0.0276
Ward the Shores 2 492 45.42% 29.48 -1.119 59.55% -0.504 0.3507

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 24097 40.53% 26.78 -0.523 75.91% 0.066 0.4394
1 Thematic 3676 44.11% 31.33 -0.623 66.46% -0.308 0.4065
2 Archipelago 17 58.82% 45.82 0.0 100.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6016 36.11% 27.73 -0.855 80.44% 0.13 0.2917
2 Coastline 641 41.53% 27.42 2.679 79.25% 0.82 0.6274
2 Fragment 162 50.31% 27.14 -7.441 81.48% -0.556 -0.6038
2 Heart 122 34.43% 29.21 6.349 88.52% 0.41 0.198
2 Opposite Shores 972 33.4% 28.51 3.141 86.01% 1.184 1.3161
2 Thematic 929 41.27% 31.25 3.206 67.17% 0.517 1.2368
2 Top to Top 181 40.68% 27.83 6.482 78.45% 0.912 0.8276
3 Archipelago 16 25.0% 42.44 15.252 93.75% 0.554 0.0104
3 Coastline 22 59.09% 36.68 0.0 77.27%
3 Other 77 34.21% 28.17 -8.693 87.01% -0.447 -1.3231
3 Round (Default) 2257 29.07% 29.0 -2.696 84.18% -0.628 -0.6517
3 Sunrise 5 40.0% 27.6 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 192 38.02% 30.13 -3.567 63.02% -0.199 -0.1913
4 Archipelago 13 30.77% 39.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 12 33.33% 19.58 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 8 37.5% 36.13 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 55 36.36% 28.8 0.0 85.45%
4 Snake 1 0.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 325 42.59% 34.2 -2.645 81.23% -0.404 -0.3414
4 Trapezoid (Default) 920 30.22% 28.85 -2.872 83.15% -0.327 -0.3216
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.0 14.25 100.0% 0.177 -0.0319
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 32.5 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 53 28.3% 29.19 5.252 86.79% 0.194 -0.1303
5 Thematic 9 22.22% 25.56 0.0 55.56%
6 Archipelago 264 0.76% 71.98 7.076 81.44% 0.12 -0.918
6 Other 45 6.67% 65.33 6.775 86.67% 0.415 0.3709
6 Star 8 0.0% 28.38 -11.506 75.0% -0.599 0.0338
6 Thematic 26 34.62% 23.92 0.0 53.85%
6 Two Centers (Default) 56 23.21% 23.73 -6.37 58.93% -1.098 -0.624
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 51.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 977 23.16 -2.327 61.31% -0.384 -0.3129
Aid From Lesser Spirits 922 24.11 0.108 63.23% -0.596 -0.7053
All Things Weaken 531 22.46 0.712 59.51% -0.241 -0.0644
Attenuated Essence 70 23.64 -2.998 64.29% -0.641 -0.589
Back Against the Wall 862 23.44 0.097 60.79% -0.555 -0.5709
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 91 20.65 -1.18 56.04% 0.091 0.2746
Burn Brightest Before the End 55 26.29 0.0 54.55%
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1049 20.67 -0.595 59.68% 0.124 0.4157
Downward Spiral 3066 20.9 -1.4 61.09% 0.126 0.2316
Erosion of Will 1044 22.07 0.569 57.66% 0.126 0.2921
Intensifying Exploitation 65 22.15 -2.086 53.85% -0.301 -0.1129
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 183 28.63 7.108 89.07% 1.296 0.8677
Memory Fades to Dust 3170 20.11 -0.685 55.68% -0.045 0.1894
Power Corrodes the Spirit 485 21.82 1.081 59.79% 0.322 0.418
Promising Farmlands 1114 21.45 -1.101 60.41% -0.281 0.0827
Shattered Fragments of Power 47 23.68 -1.036 59.57% -0.1 -0.0348
Slow Dissolution of Will 61 19.56 -1.89 49.18% -0.48 -0.0169
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 126 29.6 3.245 94.44% 0.706 0.1052
The Border of Life and Death 24 24.79 1.613 79.17% 0.243 -0.2328
Thriving Communities 503 21.0 -2.203 60.44% 0.065 0.2906
Thriving Crops 35 23.97 -0.242 62.86% -0.646 -0.8706
Tipping Point 365 21.32 0.0 59.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 541 22.67 -3.779 55.27% -1.209 -1.087
Untended Land Crumbles 513 21.78 -1.605 61.21% -0.405 -0.1732

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9289 38.23% 28.53 0.82 77.86% -0.177 0.7416
B 9625 35.83% 29.01 1.343 79.41% -0.107 0.7344
C 9851 35.96% 29.12 1.112 79.89% -0.08 0.6029
D 9171 35.61% 29.1 0.907 79.61% -0.083 0.759
E 3238 34.6% 27.73 1.184 77.64% -0.091 0.5607
F 4405 34.84% 27.97 0.932 79.89% -0.006 0.7536
G 4225 34.37% 30.58 0.678 79.1% -0.526 0.2311
H 4347 31.69% 31.08 1.695 80.81% -0.34 0.3784
East 3254 42.17% 32.15 2.289 68.04% -0.052 0.7611
Northeast 1862 43.6% 32.26 -2.399 68.8% -1.114 -0.4464
Northwest 1446 42.59% 32.41 1.315 72.54% 0.049 0.8535
Southeast 481 35.14% 26.5 1.24 59.46% -0.043 0.6624
Southwest 476 38.45% 23.43 0.417 56.09% -0.101 1.2887
West 2862 43.67% 30.84 -0.416 67.54% -0.748 0.0452

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 322 0.0% 24.54 0.433 69.25% 0.371 1.0895
Not Using Events or Tokens 7808 45.47% 24.61 -2.764 69.31% -0.74 -0.2547
Skip Initial Invader Actions 518 9.83% 39.43 8.121 88.61% 0.946 0.2155
Start of Game Growth 794 12.9% 37.07 6.445 88.54% 0.678 0.232
Unlimited Undo 2530 31.6% 28.36 0.155 79.33% 0.022 -0.0112
Using Tokens but Not Events 3490 28.78% 32.76 2.701 81.58% 0.315 0.1525

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6911 14.25 29.69%
II 15197 30.3 78.81%
III 13452 34.84 88.6%
IV 5648 38.61 99.15%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.839 Win Model: 0.456
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 28067 40.96% 27.3 74.3%
2 8873 37.2% 28.44 80.77%
3 2506 30.16% 29.32 83.48%
4 1308 33.1% 30.21 82.57%
5 62 19.35% 26.92 79.03%
6 392 6.63% 61.52 78.32%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2051
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11543
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11234
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5555
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3094
Lose: Invader deck ran out 373
Lose: Adversary condition 152
Win: Sacrifice victory 129
Lose: Scenario condition 485
Win: Scenario condition 1036
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5319
Lose: Spirit destroyed 237

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5213 31.11% 31.55 -0.485 79.78% -0.243 -0.3501
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 134 26.12% 29.93 -1.293 72.39% -0.014 -0.5026
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2974 57.9% 29.18 -0.079 74.34% -0.089 0.0537
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 130 35.38% 37.02 6.226 81.54% 0.99 0.2415
Dances Up Earthquakes 34 38.24% 29.12 1.921 73.53% 0.451 0.274
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2388 35.28% 32.19 1.671 83.0% 0.369 0.162
Downpour Drenches the World 584 34.31% 27.5 -1.385 68.49% -0.465 -0.1451
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 739 26.52% 31.83 1.755 79.43% 0.601 0.1608
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3128 24.51% 35.43 2.784 88.62% 0.72 0.3766
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2377 31.29% 33.59 1.397 83.34% 0.515 0.1608
Finder of Paths Unseen 321 47.35% 21.12 -3.499 48.29% -0.736 0.0481
Fractured Days Split the Sky 781 41.23% 30.3 0.86 64.53% -0.371 0.0774
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 979 46.31% 29.43 0.761 72.11% 0.2 0.176
Heart of the Wildfire 3400 65.82% 26.55 -2.761 67.53% -0.562 -0.235
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5882 39.19% 33.64 3.909 85.16% 0.967 0.4722
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 226 29.2% 30.12 2.155 73.45% 0.509 -0.0542
Lightning's Swift Strike 4105 46.97% 29.03 -0.133 72.28% 0.053 0.2515
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 218 46.76% 31.36 -0.015 69.72% -0.233 -0.6806
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 454 37.67% 32.56 3.872 81.72% 0.862 0.5427
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 407 39.9% 32.76 4.898 73.22% 0.129 0.2542
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2012 40.78% 32.28 0.264 79.08% 0.142 -0.0137
Many Minds Move as One 1184 30.36% 32.32 0.42 83.19% 0.05 -0.1565
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4894 51.75% 28.96 -0.504 71.48% -0.288 -0.1582
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 50 58.0% 28.06 0.549 68.0% -0.111 -0.0065
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2337 36.95% 31.43 3.35 81.64% 1.202 1.1529
River Surges in Sunlight 5290 49.0% 31.49 1.462 72.89% 0.141 0.1742
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 71 40.85% 30.51 3.168 67.61% 0.434 0.6424
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 583 50.86% 31.09 0.069 69.13% -0.199 -0.0476
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 339 41.27% 33.01 -0.669 70.8% -0.294 -0.2849
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3451 40.11% 31.67 1.339 81.6% 0.359 0.2597
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 16 18.75% 27.69 1.663 75.0% 0.399 -0.0924
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2658 66.29% 26.76 -2.439 64.26% -0.58 -0.068
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 77 54.55% 27.19 -0.24 61.04% 0.02 -0.0229
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 171 42.11% 29.08 -1.307 65.5% -0.652 -1.1002
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 99 52.53% 30.08 -1.764 76.77% -0.283 -0.2248
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 333 48.49% 29.55 -0.03 74.77% 0.527 0.3367
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 260 62.31% 27.8 -1.258 68.08% -0.078 0.006
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3263 36.65% 32.71 -1.372 81.06% -0.202 -0.2998
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 208 26.47% 31.75 3.893 69.23% 0.459 0.2651
Shifting Memory of Ages 826 51.94% 26.76 -1.672 63.92% -0.359 0.0307
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 87 35.63% 28.92 -0.723 68.97% 0.096 0.0448
Shroud of Silent Mist 926 55.29% 26.67 -2.677 69.55% -0.47 -0.0554
Starlight Seeks its Form 1012 40.75% 29.04 1.614 70.75% 0.388 0.3479
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1738 44.39% 26.89 -1.285 73.36% -0.215 -0.7173
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1932 45.5% 29.12 1.323 73.08% 0.289 0.3722
Thunderspeaker 4470 41.38% 31.93 -1.241 76.69% -0.286 -0.2919
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 162 35.8% 24.31 -1.743 56.17% -0.146 0.2429
Towering Roots of the Jungle 213 40.85% 24.76 -0.155 65.26% 0.062 0.2727
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1341 71.87% 25.71 -1.352 68.61% -0.343 -0.2654
Vital Strength of the Earth 3812 43.98% 26.9 -3.741 67.08% -1.093 -0.6444
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 208 37.68% 27.87 -3.904 68.27% -0.807 -0.3124
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 350 41.43% 25.34 -3.639 62.86% -0.65 0.043
Volcano Looming High 1402 46.65% 28.78 -3.759 73.25% -0.822 -0.7579
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 380 31.32% 33.46 2.767 80.26% 0.358 0.1087

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 32 31.25% 25.06 -3.888 59.38% -0.667 -1.225
Blitz 0 1107 48.68% 25.24 -5.076 59.71% -1.157 -0.7337
Dahan Insurrection 4 712 30.89% 48.28 6.381 71.35% 0.144 -0.3384
Despicable Theft 2 175 48.0% 25.5 0.527 47.43% -0.406 0.1371
Elemental Invocation 1 222 45.95% 23.83 0.078 52.7% -0.309 0.4288
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2202 18.66% 33.13 4.222 67.89% 0.135 -0.5219
Powers Long Forgotten 1 457 56.02% 26.37 -6.835 50.98% -1.142 -0.5798
Rituals of Terror 3 382 50.92% 33.8 0.582 53.66% -0.21 -0.3522
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 230 63.48% 33.05 -7.195 53.48% -0.922 -0.1733
Second Wave 0 2206 53.26% 30.78 0.378 69.67% -0.444 -0.3491
The Great River 3 141 55.32% 25.67 -1.108 39.01% -0.767 0.4786
Varied Terrains 2 109 51.38% 17.68 -4.748 29.36% -0.863 0.0051
Ward the Shores 2 524 50.95% 31.1 -0.823 57.82% -0.697 0.1575

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 30836 47.94% 28.59 -0.542 72.37% -0.033 0.3406
1 Thematic 3444 53.49% 31.6 1.34 61.38% -0.132 0.5818
2 Archipelago 17 70.59% 43.29 7.262 70.59% -0.268 0.2562
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8139 43.37% 30.0 -0.049 77.7% 0.019 0.1805
2 Coastline 924 41.89% 31.49 1.651 80.41% 0.345 0.1516
2 Fragment 218 51.83% 30.45 6.02 75.69% 1.232 1.1836
2 Heart 122 43.33% 31.61 5.911 76.23% 0.933 0.7203
2 Opposite Shores 1443 42.53% 31.73 1.855 82.47% 0.241 0.3733
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 1264 51.58% 30.93 -3.419 61.0% -0.645 0.0752
2 Top to Top 272 45.76% 31.43 -1.23 79.78% -0.493 -0.5776
3 Archipelago 12 75.0% 40.42 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 26 30.77% 29.81 0.0 73.08%
3 Other 138 33.09% 32.3 3.728 83.33% 0.4 -0.4767
3 Round (Default) 3457 36.19% 31.69 -0.276 81.31% -0.36 -0.3833
3 Sunrise 22 40.91% 29.77 0.509 77.27% 0.075 -0.372
3 Thematic 273 47.06% 36.01 2.698 71.43% 0.106 0.114
4 Archipelago 13 46.15% 45.31 0.0 84.62%
4 Coastline 8 87.5% 36.38 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 10 40.0% 28.7 0.0 70.0%
4 Other 71 30.43% 33.39 0.0 85.92%
4 Thematic 419 43.69% 37.04 -1.924 76.61% 0.079 0.1423
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1537 33.62% 32.11 -0.756 85.17% -0.726 -0.7211
5 Archipelago 7 85.71% 33.71 0.0 42.86%
5 Other 80 40.0% 31.7 0.0 75.0%
5 Thematic 6 33.33% 19.33 -14.122 33.33% -0.346 -0.489
6 Archipelago 5 20.0% 63.4 0.0 80.0%
6 Coastline 3 0.0% 17.0 12.002 33.33% 0.134 -0.9238
6 Other 38 31.58% 29.45 5.796 57.89% 0.421 0.3763
6 Star 14 50.0% 28.21 0.0 71.43%
6 Thematic 76 28.38% 45.83 7.634 75.0% -0.185 0.0188
6 Two Centers (Default) 100 20.0% 29.98 -0.724 64.0% -0.975 -0.5006
7 Other 6 0.0% 36.83 -1.319 50.0% -0.244 -0.9194

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1705 25.54 -0.005 59.47% -0.266 -0.1951
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1393 27.39 3.963 62.74% 0.573 0.4628
All Things Weaken 877 25.21 -0.14 58.61% -0.382 -0.2052
Attenuated Essence 118 24.81 -1.922 59.32% -0.249 -0.1968
Back Against the Wall 1421 27.45 1.477 63.48% 0.513 0.4979
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 150 23.64 -1.801 56.67% -0.582 -0.3987
Burn Brightest Before the End 101 27.72 -0.423 67.33% -0.101 -0.014
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1610 23.09 -1.276 57.83% -0.313 -0.0217
Downward Spiral 4209 23.64 -0.813 60.56% 0.094 0.2003
Erosion of Will 1696 24.42 -0.257 56.31% -0.159 0.0071
Intensifying Exploitation 148 24.44 -0.976 57.43% -0.055 0.1329
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 359 32.33 3.901 89.69% 0.473 0.0454
Memory Fades to Dust 4189 22.93 -1.963 55.22% -0.262 -0.027
Power Corrodes the Spirit 916 25.25 0.178 61.46% -0.099 -0.0033
Promising Farmlands 1668 23.66 -3.185 58.57% -0.565 -0.2008
Shattered Fragments of Power 132 30.05 4.373 65.15% 0.257 0.3223
Slow Dissolution of Will 142 25.96 -3.63 58.45% -0.596 -0.1324
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 230 32.2 4.518 91.3% 0.65 0.0487
The Border of Life and Death 53 30.42 8.547 83.02% 0.841 0.3655
Thriving Communities 844 24.31 -2.552 59.83% -0.78 -0.5546
Thriving Crops 55 27.0 -1.317 72.73% -0.015 -0.2399
Tipping Point 576 24.66 0.0 60.59%
Unnatural Proliferation 867 25.69 -2.54 59.52% -0.67 -0.5481
Untended Land Crumbles 838 23.56 -2.68 57.88% -0.507 -0.2748

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12288 44.27% 29.74 -0.891 76.16% -0.515 0.4031
B 12590 44.16% 29.77 -0.295 76.21% -0.327 0.5141
C 12954 42.38% 30.07 0.693 76.86% -0.222 0.4616
D 12006 44.48% 29.68 0.245 76.33% -0.251 0.5912
E 4686 42.5% 30.0 0.47 75.74% -0.326 0.3255
F 6379 40.19% 30.74 0.469 77.9% -0.195 0.5652
G 5632 43.08% 30.26 0.555 77.31% -0.297 0.4602
H 5689 41.11% 30.61 -0.041 77.2% -0.67 0.0483
East 3642 49.13% 33.42 2.513 65.29% -0.064 0.7496
Northeast 2037 48.42% 34.57 -1.554 67.55% -0.783 -0.1152
Northwest 1638 52.3% 33.26 1.46 64.1% -0.184 0.6211
Southeast 626 44.86% 31.59 4.806 63.42% 0.316 1.0219
Southwest 585 42.44% 30.06 -3.492 63.08% -1.463 -0.0731
West 3162 52.54% 32.13 -3.225 62.93% -1.451 -0.6573

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 291 0.0% 29.07 1.458 72.51% 0.559 1.2783
Not Using Events or Tokens 8512 51.23% 26.09 -2.646 65.91% -0.493 -0.0083
Skip Initial Invader Actions 745 16.95% 42.71 5.311 85.23% 0.911 0.1802
Start of Game Growth 1177 16.89% 41.22 2.949 84.79% 0.153 -0.2931
Unlimited Undo 4131 39.12% 30.91 0.713 77.03% -0.016 -0.0495
Using Tokens but Not Events 4092 37.52% 31.24 0.864 79.11% 0.208 0.0451

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6863 14.25 7.52%
II 20722 30.3 72.79%
III 16765 34.84 88.64%
IV 8701 38.61 99.16%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.384 Win Model: 0.704
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 34591 48.48% 28.82 70.95%
2 12229 44.31% 30.69 77.58%
3 3885 36.48% 32.03 81.0%
4 2045 35.86% 33.39 83.72%
5 61 42.62% 28.98 62.3%
6 240 24.79% 35.54 66.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 515
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14455
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 14365
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8559
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4027
Lose: Invader deck ran out 545
Lose: Adversary condition 187
Win: Sacrifice victory 226
Lose: Scenario condition 760
Win: Scenario condition 968
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8071
Lose: Spirit destroyed 373

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5067 39.43% 37.79 -1.735 77.01% -0.297 -0.404
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 160 39.38% 35.52 3.316 68.75% 0.878 0.3898
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3099 69.87% 33.6 -2.85 65.05% -0.573 -0.43
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 224 38.84% 37.76 5.346 69.64% 0.71 -0.0379
Dances Up Earthquakes 78 57.69% 31.83 1.016 61.54% 0.091 -0.0862
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2763 36.09% 40.06 2.565 82.48% 0.519 0.3114
Downpour Drenches the World 694 42.07% 25.71 -1.583 49.28% -0.365 -0.0452
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 987 24.52% 36.94 5.675 74.27% 1.315 0.8747
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2984 40.32% 39.86 1.745 81.17% 0.485 0.1419
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2620 42.39% 38.62 1.617 78.02% 0.313 -0.0414
Finder of Paths Unseen 379 52.51% 27.6 -7.62 50.92% -1.479 -0.6942
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1144 38.42% 35.06 -1.414 60.93% -0.538 -0.0899
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1388 45.46% 36.13 2.259 72.26% 0.16 0.1365
Heart of the Wildfire 4230 67.56% 33.66 0.758 66.12% 0.002 0.3288
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6832 51.02% 40.57 2.441 80.47% 0.405 -0.0905
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 527 14.61% 19.91 4.289 39.47% 0.798 0.2357
Lightning's Swift Strike 4376 53.54% 37.16 -0.309 72.26% -0.06 0.1386
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 386 44.56% 30.65 1.36 59.07% 0.106 -0.3416
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 701 38.77% 43.79 3.625 87.45% 0.569 0.25
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 486 39.92% 33.78 3.33 64.2% 0.104 0.2293
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2448 46.81% 37.62 4.02 75.16% 0.732 0.5763
Many Minds Move as One 1197 42.73% 38.36 -1.457 79.11% -0.449 -0.6559
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4850 60.06% 33.55 -2.07 65.77% -0.52 -0.3907
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 92 62.22% 24.15 -3.156 47.83% -0.718 -0.6125
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2528 40.82% 38.6 1.125 80.58% 0.295 0.2457
River Surges in Sunlight 5489 57.38% 38.72 1.709 71.98% 0.077 0.1102
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 75 48.0% 25.68 -2.951 45.33% -0.613 -0.405
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 554 58.33% 31.76 -1.718 56.68% -0.698 -0.5471
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 403 48.37% 34.6 2.727 60.05% 0.133 0.1419
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3286 54.54% 35.87 -0.368 72.12% -0.124 -0.2225
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 25 56.0% 39.08 4.144 88.0% 1.024 0.5327
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2453 73.35% 33.06 -2.554 61.48% -0.525 -0.0134
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 67 34.33% 23.06 9.305 44.78% 0.525 0.4816
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 220 52.73% 35.11 2.705 69.09% 0.307 -0.1418
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 103 40.78% 26.84 -4.392 52.43% -0.367 -0.3087
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 442 47.96% 38.25 1.419 77.83% -0.017 -0.2076
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 214 68.22% 34.77 -0.637 68.22% 0.201 0.2849
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3882 39.32% 41.75 -0.16 82.2% -0.222 -0.3203
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 282 36.52% 34.05 -0.414 68.09% -0.13 -0.3239
Shifting Memory of Ages 767 63.23% 30.96 -2.398 61.93% -0.516 -0.1264
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 140 45.0% 30.34 -1.407 53.57% -0.403 -0.4541
Shroud of Silent Mist 1005 63.94% 30.07 -4.002 61.19% -0.597 -0.1828
Starlight Seeks its Form 1321 48.37% 35.51 0.945 70.1% 0.115 0.0745
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2447 54.2% 31.92 -2.935 68.78% -0.372 -0.8742
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2257 47.95% 37.3 2.588 74.75% 0.35 0.4328
Thunderspeaker 4185 51.13% 38.31 0.096 73.12% -0.053 -0.0583
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 189 28.57% 13.52 -5.787 25.93% -0.842 -0.4531
Towering Roots of the Jungle 317 49.53% 25.3 -3.049 52.68% -0.435 -0.2249
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1818 81.35% 33.14 -0.543 69.31% -0.074 0.0033
Vital Strength of the Earth 3223 56.34% 31.18 -5.644 60.56% -0.943 -0.4936
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 275 38.01% 23.76 2.129 46.55% 0.54 1.0348
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 438 48.17% 31.89 -1.325 63.93% -0.199 0.4935
Volcano Looming High 1674 55.97% 35.9 1.942 72.4% 0.521 0.585
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 636 30.5% 36.18 5.221 75.0% 0.952 0.703

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 22 40.91% 19.95 13.587 40.91% 0.452 -0.1062
Blitz 0 758 53.92% 31.84 -2.751 59.37% -0.717 -0.2944
Dahan Insurrection 4 1057 21.38% 37.79 -0.494 48.91% -0.517 -0.9991
Despicable Theft 2 87 56.32% 34.15 -13.243 49.43% -0.432 0.1105
Elemental Invocation 1 208 65.87% 27.94 3.475 41.83% -0.073 0.6647
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2237 23.9% 41.33 5.431 72.37% 0.667 0.0107
Powers Long Forgotten 1 292 71.58% 34.12 -4.315 52.74% -0.814 -0.2515
Rituals of Terror 3 306 58.82% 34.98 -3.431 44.77% -2.594 -2.7356
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 101 62.38% 35.52 -0.562 48.51% -0.457 0.2923
Second Wave 0 1543 61.93% 34.84 3.113 61.83% 0.076 0.1703
The Great River 3 108 68.52% 34.23 -8.527 44.44% -2.001 -0.756
Varied Terrains 2 51 54.9% 26.94 -2.039 39.22% -0.391 0.4771
Ward the Shores 2 297 64.65% 37.22 1.603 54.21% -0.241 0.6135

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 37783 55.92% 35.8 -1.097 70.82% -0.273 0.1005
1 Thematic 2477 59.61% 38.81 2.662 61.16% -0.199 0.5152
2 Archipelago 30 63.33% 35.6 0.0 53.33%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8618 52.06% 36.81 0.2 75.16% 0.077 0.2381
2 Coastline 1016 52.88% 38.48 2.186 76.48% 0.198 0.0049
2 Fragment 202 61.69% 36.43 -6.008 72.77% -0.153 -0.2013
2 Heart 124 60.66% 38.23 -10.276 79.84% -0.237 -0.4495
2 Opposite Shores 1604 56.38% 37.74 -0.161 76.75% -0.152 -0.0193
2 Thematic 932 55.53% 38.49 -0.638 62.77% 0.029 0.7498
2 Top to Top 297 57.91% 35.92 1.237 70.71% 0.431 0.3466
3 Archipelago 12 58.33% 40.25 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 46 36.96% 45.63 0.0 91.3%
3 Other 143 42.66% 40.46 4.719 84.62% 0.519 -0.3574
3 Round (Default) 3249 47.24% 38.5 1.034 78.79% 0.206 0.183
3 Sunrise 13 38.46% 37.0 0.0 84.62%
3 Thematic 157 53.21% 39.75 -9.405 66.24% -0.399 -0.3914
4 Archipelago 12 66.67% 41.75 0.0 83.33%
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 34.0 -4.788 33.33% -0.254 -0.125
4 Leaf 9 88.89% 37.67 -17.659 88.89% -0.631 -0.1954
4 Other 57 38.6% 39.02 8.041 82.46% 0.1 -0.4682
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 66.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 100.0% 30.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 278 42.34% 49.1 2.965 74.1% 0.607 0.6701
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1705 43.11% 40.34 3.957 83.34% 1.131 1.1365
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 5 0.0% 45.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 68 54.41% 39.09 6.562 80.88% 0.655 0.331
5 Thematic 8 50.0% 36.88 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 19 21.05% 56.42 0.0 78.95%
6 Coastline 2 50.0% 34.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 33 15.15% 37.03 -4.507 66.67% -0.332 -0.3764
6 Star 12 25.0% 19.83 -13.219 33.33% -0.804 -0.1714
6 Thematic 422 3.56% 3.39 -8.263 4.74% -0.666 -0.4624
6 Two Centers (Default) 52 31.37% 34.31 -1.671 69.23% -0.087 0.3878
7 Other 3 33.33% 17.0 0.0 33.33%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2344 32.89 1.5 61.13% 0.218 0.2887
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1928 35.46 0.595 66.13% 0.101 -0.0093
All Things Weaken 1209 31.04 0.644 56.49% 0.001 0.1781
Attenuated Essence 201 30.2 0.161 60.2% 0.131 0.1826
Back Against the Wall 1828 33.84 0.075 61.71% -0.281 -0.2962
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 211 31.15 -2.637 57.35% -0.681 -0.4976
Burn Brightest Before the End 141 32.62 2.173 59.57% -0.07 0.0172
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2282 29.5 -1.601 57.36% -0.294 -0.003
Downward Spiral 4983 31.36 1.21 62.71% 0.586 0.692
Erosion of Will 2328 31.34 0.382 57.39% -0.161 0.0049
Intensifying Exploitation 218 28.55 -3.885 54.59% -0.887 -0.6986
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 489 40.84 0.036 90.18% 0.216 -0.2118
Memory Fades to Dust 4930 30.3 -2.033 57.65% -0.324 -0.089
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1292 32.89 1.068 65.33% 0.16 0.2562
Promising Farmlands 2303 30.29 -1.292 58.66% -0.279 0.0856
Shattered Fragments of Power 143 33.32 -0.244 62.94% -0.351 -0.2859
Slow Dissolution of Will 177 29.98 -0.533 52.54% -0.626 -0.1629
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 331 42.02 9.104 92.45% 1.341 0.7402
The Border of Life and Death 51 37.98 8.523 82.35% 1.068 0.5929
Thriving Communities 1269 30.29 0.929 58.87% 0.036 0.2612
Thriving Crops 90 33.91 2.217 72.22% 0.458 0.2335
Tipping Point 816 30.56 0.0 56.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 1287 33.43 1.985 63.25% 0.052 0.1734
Untended Land Crumbles 1183 30.63 0.261 58.66% -0.224 0.0087

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 13317 53.34% 36.44 -0.402 73.05% -0.125 0.7934
B 13674 52.47% 36.99 1.07 74.21% 0.119 0.9598
C 14510 53.32% 37.02 0.6 74.32% 0.113 0.7964
D 12993 53.47% 36.55 -0.301 73.51% -0.089 0.7537
E 5686 51.9% 37.33 0.599 75.71% 0.016 0.668
F 7289 49.35% 37.95 0.672 76.58% 0.017 0.7765
G 6302 53.27% 36.66 0.756 73.85% -0.017 0.7405
H 6644 50.85% 37.55 -0.145 75.71% -0.226 0.492
East 2923 48.85% 35.59 -3.696 55.7% -1.075 -0.2614
Northeast 1800 44.15% 32.23 0.054 50.11% 0.026 0.6938
Northwest 1427 41.73% 29.94 -0.467 46.95% -0.352 0.4527
Southeast 809 24.01% 22.24 -4.51 37.08% -0.698 0.0076
Southwest 869 23.62% 20.2 -3.647 34.87% -0.422 0.9678
West 2575 47.0% 33.5 -1.772 53.05% -0.386 0.4073

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 223 0.0% 34.18 0.979 63.68% 0.475 1.1941
Not Using Events or Tokens 7151 60.88% 31.3 -3.091 61.33% -0.515 -0.0305
Skip Initial Invader Actions 680 13.28% 53.57 6.565 88.53% 0.701 -0.0297
Start of Game Growth 997 18.53% 49.17 2.704 85.86% 0.205 -0.2408
Unlimited Undo 4836 47.12% 37.67 -0.499 74.11% -0.149 -0.1823
Using Tokens but Not Events 4272 40.05% 35.68 -0.618 70.67% -0.156 -0.3184

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8856 14.25 8.19%
II 25614 30.3 72.75%
III 17164 34.84 89.81%
IV 7798 38.61 99.65%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.306 Win Model: 0.099
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 40480 56.11% 35.95 70.14%
2 12701 53.43% 37.3 74.79%
3 3596 46.75% 38.7 78.5%
4 2057 43.7% 41.47 82.11%
5 59 44.07% 36.59 74.58%
6 539 8.19% 10.66 18.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 723
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 15098
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 17899
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7710
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4921
Lose: Invader deck ran out 367
Lose: Adversary condition 188
Win: Sacrifice victory 259
Lose: Scenario condition 550
Win: Scenario condition 855
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10343
Lose: Spirit destroyed 519

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3226 49.64% 37.82 -0.773 69.03% -0.27 -0.3772
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 74 50.0% 40.09 5.411 75.68% 1.005 0.5162
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1840 76.1% 32.46 -0.882 53.7% -0.093 0.0501
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 165 55.76% 39.3 -1.445 72.73% -0.387 -1.1353
Dances Up Earthquakes 31 77.42% 26.39 -0.835 45.16% -0.307 -0.4842
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1868 54.49% 39.32 2.304 73.82% 0.592 0.3845
Downpour Drenches the World 349 51.44% 28.28 -0.843 49.0% -0.109 0.2115
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 601 36.94% 41.07 8.286 78.54% 1.513 1.0726
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1862 51.53% 40.68 0.062 74.76% -0.035 -0.3784
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1811 58.41% 39.23 2.59 72.61% 0.228 -0.1267
Finder of Paths Unseen 255 60.78% 25.58 -1.505 44.31% -0.178 0.6062
Fractured Days Split the Sky 567 56.26% 34.14 -3.336 55.73% -0.669 -0.2207
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 908 58.7% 36.68 1.414 66.85% -0.091 -0.1148
Heart of the Wildfire 2576 78.71% 32.38 -2.567 54.11% -0.207 0.1195
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5340 61.98% 40.23 2.989 73.54% 0.57 0.075
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 225 48.44% 37.62 5.653 68.44% 0.851 0.2884
Lightning's Swift Strike 2620 64.12% 34.63 -2.149 59.24% -0.281 -0.0824
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 246 59.09% 41.11 6.844 70.73% 1.0 0.5523
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 477 53.36% 41.9 -0.984 79.04% 0.091 -0.2284
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 318 51.57% 39.41 4.833 67.3% 0.308 0.4331
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1881 62.69% 38.26 2.201 69.48% 0.386 0.2298
Many Minds Move as One 731 51.3% 39.31 -0.395 75.65% -0.066 -0.2731
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3293 68.72% 33.98 -3.892 58.64% -0.583 -0.4537
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 60 76.67% 25.33 -1.422 43.33% -0.427 -0.3221
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1743 54.05% 38.84 -1.931 73.32% -0.463 -0.5126
River Surges in Sunlight 3724 66.95% 37.51 0.451 61.33% -0.058 -0.0245
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 23 52.17% 25.26 1.103 34.78% 0.031 0.2395
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 294 71.09% 33.86 -2.451 53.4% -0.422 -0.2709
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 245 61.63% 35.92 3.177 57.14% 0.027 0.0358
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2058 67.51% 34.48 -2.083 60.54% -0.196 -0.2947
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 6 66.67% 36.33 2.088 66.67% 0.128 -0.3632
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1407 75.46% 31.44 0.987 48.54% -0.066 0.4461
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 47 65.96% 32.26 -0.256 57.45% -0.123 -0.1667
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 175 67.24% 39.11 5.037 71.43% 0.877 0.4288
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 53 67.92% 30.81 15.077 54.72% 0.388 0.4461
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 280 69.64% 38.41 -3.018 71.07% -0.466 -0.6563
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 171 75.44% 35.35 -3.829 58.48% -0.706 -0.6222
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2680 50.52% 40.5 2.605 71.79% 0.138 0.0406
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 137 56.2% 33.16 5.835 60.58% 0.818 0.6232
Shifting Memory of Ages 448 73.38% 28.88 -7.162 47.1% -0.895 -0.5057
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 70 54.29% 37.64 3.941 70.0% 0.701 0.6496
Shroud of Silent Mist 605 77.32% 30.4 -2.255 52.4% -0.558 -0.1437
Starlight Seeks its Form 992 57.42% 32.56 -2.877 56.96% -0.599 -0.6388
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1443 69.01% 30.92 -0.64 58.84% -0.153 -0.6558
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1320 58.94% 38.01 1.643 68.79% 0.173 0.2556
Thunderspeaker 2576 62.17% 38.28 1.578 65.26% 0.363 0.3578
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 111 44.14% 20.35 -4.267 30.63% -0.65 -0.2613
Towering Roots of the Jungle 176 55.68% 26.72 -0.903 47.16% -0.422 -0.2115
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1182 89.85% 30.47 -3.441 52.79% -0.7 -0.6226
Vital Strength of the Earth 1767 70.28% 29.28 -4.248 44.82% -0.647 -0.198
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 161 56.96% 31.76 11.687 52.17% 0.694 1.1881
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 250 66.0% 29.78 -6.911 46.4% -0.847 -0.1539
Volcano Looming High 1041 65.23% 35.45 1.512 63.5% 0.334 0.3983
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 410 48.05% 38.15 4.752 74.15% 0.752 0.5033

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 458 60.26% 34.23 -6.584 50.0% -0.729 -0.3062
Dahan Insurrection 4 445 45.17% 56.92 6.083 69.21% 0.051 -0.4311
Despicable Theft 2 32 46.88% 32.5 -13.994 40.63% -0.834 -0.2917
Elemental Invocation 1 106 70.75% 24.16 -4.095 33.02% -0.552 0.1861
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1292 24.48% 42.33 5.212 67.11% 0.413 -0.243
Powers Long Forgotten 1 200 69.0% 30.59 -8.016 40.5% -0.997 -0.4346
Rituals of Terror 3 159 71.7% 31.82 14.599 31.45% -0.021 -0.1632
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 112 79.46% 34.53 -11.894 33.93% -0.266 0.4826
Second Wave 0 944 69.37% 34.51 0.81 53.92% -0.495 -0.4005
The Great River 3 47 36.17% 26.79 6.163 31.91% -0.095 1.1507
Varied Terrains 2 19 84.21% 26.89 12.318 36.84% 0.281 1.1491
Ward the Shores 2 117 71.79% 34.78 -0.188 39.32% -0.332 0.5219

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 25684 65.09% 34.9 -1.68 61.94% -0.098 0.2753
1 Thematic 1882 65.07% 37.84 1.839 50.96% 0.273 0.9869
2 Archipelago 7 57.14% 45.14 0.0 57.14%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5550 63.79% 36.75 2.499 67.23% 0.336 0.4976
2 Coastline 703 56.29% 39.1 0.273 72.97% -0.176 -0.3688
2 Fragment 124 66.13% 33.63 3.188 57.26% 0.233 0.1853
2 Heart 113 70.54% 33.26 0.0 54.87%
2 Opposite Shores 1116 66.67% 36.21 -0.275 65.77% -0.103 0.0296
2 Thematic 565 69.73% 36.69 -1.087 47.96% -0.119 0.6008
2 Top to Top 168 71.26% 36.24 4.187 67.26% 0.441 0.3566
3 Archipelago 5 80.0% 54.8 14.084 100.0% 0.389 -0.1545
3 Coastline 18 50.0% 47.28 0.0 88.89%
3 Other 112 52.68% 38.61 6.125 68.75% 0.6 -0.2762
3 Round (Default) 2190 56.1% 38.55 1.13 70.0% -0.391 -0.414
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 32.86 0.0 57.14%
3 Thematic 150 64.67% 33.69 7.314 45.33% 0.437 0.4449
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 16.33 0.0 33.33%
4 Coastline 4 25.0% 28.0 -20.523 50.0% -0.661 -0.5318
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 37.6 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 63 46.03% 44.43 0.0 84.13%
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 50.0% 47.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 154 55.84% 37.38 -16.075 48.05% -1.06 -0.9974
4 Trapezoid (Default) 949 56.32% 37.42 -2.847 66.28% -0.238 -0.233
5 Other 33 51.61% 32.94 2.662 45.45% 0.128 -0.1955
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 20.67 0.0 33.33%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 14 57.14% 39.14 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 13 30.77% 28.85 0.0 38.46%
6 Thematic 9 33.33% 32.56 0.0 44.44%
6 Two Centers (Default) 55 56.36% 33.18 0.0 65.45%
7 Other 1 0.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1906 32.22 0.49 50.89% -0.265 -0.1944
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1492 34.71 1.148 56.03% -0.197 -0.3063
All Things Weaken 1034 30.32 -0.649 47.68% -0.193 -0.0161
Attenuated Essence 154 34.66 0.725 62.99% -0.256 -0.2041
Back Against the Wall 1485 34.42 5.69 55.02% 0.521 0.5057
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 173 29.05 0.399 48.55% -0.09 0.0938
Burn Brightest Before the End 118 33.95 1.604 53.39% 0.017 0.1039
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1899 30.42 -0.372 52.34% -0.246 0.0452
Downward Spiral 3596 30.93 -0.412 53.28% -0.007 0.0988
Erosion of Will 2015 31.13 0.935 48.09% -0.368 -0.202
Intensifying Exploitation 174 30.48 -1.541 54.02% -0.734 -0.546
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 333 44.28 6.34 92.19% 0.831 0.4029
Memory Fades to Dust 3655 29.76 -0.364 47.93% -0.173 0.0621
Power Corrodes the Spirit 997 31.06 0.113 52.86% -0.036 0.0602
Promising Farmlands 1967 30.15 -2.01 49.26% -0.562 -0.1975
Shattered Fragments of Power 136 33.2 6.369 56.62% 0.777 0.842
Slow Dissolution of Will 146 26.68 -4.83 38.36% -1.245 -0.7813
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 192 44.5 6.158 92.71% 0.763 0.1615
The Border of Life and Death 30 36.7 10.182 76.67% 0.483 0.0078
Thriving Communities 967 28.96 -0.9 46.43% -0.318 -0.0929
Thriving Crops 79 38.39 3.798 77.22% 0.574 0.3489
Tipping Point 662 31.51 0.0 50.0%
Unnatural Proliferation 1098 32.27 -0.589 51.46% -0.571 -0.4488
Untended Land Crumbles 1052 29.9 -0.729 48.19% -0.588 -0.3557

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8755 63.68% 35.48 -0.405 62.91% -0.151 0.7674
B 9193 62.86% 35.94 -1.824 64.24% -0.35 0.4911
C 9351 63.33% 36.16 0.557 64.61% 0.084 0.7674
D 8340 62.21% 36.01 0.495 64.86% 0.138 0.9801
E 3893 62.98% 36.23 1.607 65.09% 0.233 0.8843
F 4780 61.01% 36.75 1.558 66.9% 0.298 1.0578
G 4234 62.72% 35.97 0.758 64.95% 0.023 0.7809
H 4574 60.86% 37.47 0.621 68.19% -0.068 0.6507
East 1741 64.5% 38.06 2.253 50.37% 0.107 0.9209
Northeast 930 65.16% 37.94 -2.778 50.0% -0.892 -0.225
Northwest 774 69.34% 35.24 1.401 44.19% -0.325 0.4803
Southeast 277 58.84% 34.13 -6.765 50.18% -1.059 -0.3538
Southwest 282 48.94% 34.66 -3.598 56.03% -0.704 0.6854
West 1587 65.51% 36.1 -0.896 47.89% -0.023 0.7705

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 130 0.0% 36.22 3.447 60.77% 0.832 1.5506
Not Using Events or Tokens 4202 67.24% 29.79 -3.561 50.83% -0.647 -0.1625
Skip Initial Invader Actions 566 16.76% 55.84 6.198 88.69% 0.122 -0.6085
Start of Game Growth 823 22.71% 51.93 5.737 85.05% 0.901 0.4545
Unlimited Undo 3187 56.41% 38.76 1.048 69.85% 0.06 0.027
Using Tokens but Not Events 2167 55.85% 37.07 0.154 68.57% 0.278 0.1151

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6608 14.25 3.6%
II 15216 30.3 58.25%
III 13619 34.84 84.8%
IV 4282 38.61 99.63%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.363 Win Model: 0.292
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 27725 65.04% 35.07 61.06%
2 8301 64.62% 36.83 65.92%
3 2414 55.4% 38.77 70.46%
4 1166 55.61% 37.74 64.67%
5 28 46.15% 23.89 32.14%
6 91 50.55% 32.71 56.04%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 237
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11345
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8520
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4217
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3044
Lose: Invader deck ran out 359
Lose: Adversary condition 99
Win: Sacrifice victory 179
Lose: Scenario condition 409
Win: Scenario condition 419
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10507
Lose: Spirit destroyed 390

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1526 50.69% 40.3 -1.498 64.88% -0.004 -0.1113
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 42 38.1% 42.45 11.584 73.81% 1.003 0.5144
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 848 75.32% 32.56 -3.261 45.75% -0.554 -0.4108
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 101 51.49% 37.35 -0.146 63.37% -0.183 -0.9317
Dances Up Earthquakes 15 80.0% 27.07 -0.066 40.0% -0.217 -0.3942
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 802 56.0% 41.92 3.882 70.45% 0.324 0.1171
Downpour Drenches the World 204 50.98% 24.72 -1.528 36.27% -0.307 0.0133
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 267 41.95% 42.0 5.762 73.03% 0.588 0.1474
Eyes Watch From the Trees 860 58.6% 39.31 0.944 63.02% 0.271 -0.0721
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 823 61.61% 39.47 -1.379 60.63% -0.472 -0.8262
Finder of Paths Unseen 181 53.04% 34.76 -7.658 59.12% -1.09 -0.3057
Fractured Days Split the Sky 233 48.07% 33.94 1.212 49.36% -0.13 0.3185
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 410 56.1% 39.4 6.445 66.34% 1.276 1.2527
Heart of the Wildfire 1295 75.84% 33.52 -1.92 49.34% -0.34 -0.0127
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2369 64.09% 39.85 -1.321 62.73% -0.109 -0.6041
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 93 44.09% 45.76 8.524 75.27% 0.926 0.3634
Lightning's Swift Strike 1266 67.28% 36.23 -0.811 52.05% -0.344 -0.1461
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 174 79.53% 34.89 0.455 36.21% -0.062 -0.5096
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 252 46.03% 43.78 -0.814 74.6% 0.049 -0.2707
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 173 56.65% 40.21 -7.219 61.85% -1.157 -1.0325
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 825 68.36% 36.64 3.315 55.52% 0.454 0.2976
Many Minds Move as One 314 54.46% 39.76 -1.119 66.88% -0.057 -0.264
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1434 70.93% 36.31 -1.087 54.39% -0.022 0.1074
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 19 84.21% 26.37 -0.781 42.11% -0.162 -0.0567
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 824 55.16% 41.08 -0.162 69.66% 0.018 -0.0314
River Surges in Sunlight 1596 68.44% 37.66 0.983 52.26% -0.014 0.019
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 18 50.0% 25.67 -8.572 38.89% -0.765 -0.5573
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 120 70.0% 31.82 1.122 45.0% -0.574 -0.4228
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 161 68.32% 31.53 0.909 31.06% -0.082 -0.0727
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 955 66.63% 35.39 1.383 53.09% 0.25 0.1509
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 8 62.5% 31.38 3.243 50.0% 0.262 -0.2293
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 680 75.0% 31.28 -3.117 40.0% -0.709 -0.1971
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 31 66.67% 16.23 9.362 19.35% 0.254 0.211
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 94 78.72% 33.56 10.713 52.13% 1.406 0.9574
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 28 57.14% 31.71 -0.388 50.0% -0.001 0.0577
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 97 61.86% 39.55 15.649 64.95% 0.443 0.2526
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 68 77.94% 25.74 7.449 30.88% 0.705 0.7883
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1394 50.22% 43.32 2.977 69.37% 0.117 0.0187
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 70 51.43% 29.9 -5.117 41.43% -0.534 -0.7283
Shifting Memory of Ages 226 69.03% 28.67 -1.752 39.82% -0.599 -0.2094
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 30 65.52% 47.93 10.533 90.0% 1.525 1.4739
Shroud of Silent Mist 275 80.36% 26.67 -0.283 32.36% -0.448 -0.0333
Starlight Seeks its Form 351 53.28% 32.75 -5.043 54.13% -0.722 -0.762
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 546 74.91% 27.35 1.187 43.96% 0.277 -0.2252
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 677 66.02% 38.09 4.442 56.72% 0.229 0.3121
Thunderspeaker 1263 64.22% 36.92 -2.973 54.55% -0.405 -0.4106
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 51 49.02% 18.31 0.939 25.49% -0.35 0.0381
Towering Roots of the Jungle 90 62.22% 23.42 -2.507 34.44% -0.618 -0.4075
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 652 88.79% 31.71 -3.592 48.47% -0.741 -0.6637
Vital Strength of the Earth 854 67.84% 31.06 2.966 41.33% 0.654 1.1035
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 99 63.54% 26.49 0.699 36.36% 0.058 0.5522
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 133 66.92% 33.73 -5.072 50.38% -0.137 0.5557
Volcano Looming High 491 64.77% 36.16 8.358 57.23% 1.128 1.1923
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 208 53.85% 36.56 2.468 62.98% 0.092 -0.157

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 14.29% 35.43 0.0 42.86%
Blitz 0 275 62.31% 27.25 -6.383 36.0% -1.109 -0.6863
Dahan Insurrection 4 225 50.22% 50.84 -1.566 53.78% -0.257 -0.7392
Despicable Theft 2 30 50.0% 31.5 9.37 40.0% 0.387 0.9296
Elemental Invocation 1 45 60.0% 23.78 -7.397 24.44% -0.428 0.3093
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 869 27.81% 46.89 5.276 68.81% 0.4 -0.2567
Powers Long Forgotten 1 77 79.22% 32.04 3.955 37.66% 0.053 0.6149
Rituals of Terror 3 138 63.04% 33.68 -4.168 30.43% -0.647 -0.7886
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 74 64.86% 37.88 -13.986 39.19% -0.736 0.0127
Second Wave 0 363 66.85% 36.45 5.211 51.24% 0.096 0.1904
The Great River 3 46 50.0% 25.28 5.264 19.57% -0.153 1.0925
Varied Terrains 2 22 63.64% 18.95 0.0 22.73%
Ward the Shores 2 85 63.53% 30.71 -14.855 30.59% -0.58 0.2747

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12113 66.09% 34.55 -0.972 52.56% 0.289 0.6622
1 Thematic 1199 60.72% 39.53 3.887 47.79% 0.701 1.4148
2 Archipelago 3 33.33% 27.0 0.0 33.33%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2853 66.03% 37.86 0.128 60.25% 0.07 0.2308
2 Coastline 298 63.64% 40.45 8.901 65.44% 0.546 0.3531
2 Fragment 67 78.79% 34.01 -3.209 47.76% -0.653 -0.7011
2 Heart 39 74.36% 38.9 -8.173 58.97% -0.104 -0.3165
2 Opposite Shores 410 66.5% 39.27 -6.554 61.71% -0.317 -0.1849
2 Thematic 238 71.43% 36.28 -6.217 40.34% -0.599 0.1214
2 Top to Top 87 64.37% 35.41 -5.102 48.28% -0.339 -0.4233
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 23 69.57% 50.65 0.0 78.26%
3 Other 36 69.44% 40.58 4.996 61.11% 0.529 -0.3471
3 Round (Default) 926 58.42% 39.63 3.963 63.93% 0.27 0.2471
3 Sunrise 7 71.43% 40.14 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 84 66.67% 25.94 4.049 25.0% 0.301 0.3084
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 28.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 33.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 24 25.0% 54.79 0.0 95.83%
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 76 56.58% 41.93 -6.145 50.0% -0.268 -0.2045
4 Trapezoid (Default) 369 54.37% 40.07 -1.018 63.96% -0.324 -0.3186
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 14 50.0% 26.79 6.757 50.0% 0.273 -0.0507
5 Thematic 8 37.5% 9.5 -17.418 12.5% -0.401 -0.5438
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 2 50.0% 31.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 3 0.0% 34.33 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 3 66.67% 49.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Two Centers (Default) 16 50.0% 26.75 -1.954 37.5% 0.008 0.482
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 956 33.37 -0.77 44.67% -0.732 -0.6614
Aid From Lesser Spirits 721 35.42 8.35 47.57% 0.93 0.8202
All Things Weaken 511 31.14 0.039 39.92% -0.001 0.176
Attenuated Essence 89 31.96 0.647 49.44% -0.171 -0.1192
Back Against the Wall 656 35.58 6.778 48.78% 0.493 0.4777
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 77 34.79 3.209 54.55% 0.239 0.4228
Burn Brightest Before the End 64 29.94 3.406 34.38% -0.026 0.061
Disintegrating Ecosystem 912 29.87 -2.282 41.12% -0.869 -0.578
Downward Spiral 1871 30.91 0.096 43.08% 0.101 0.2069
Erosion of Will 908 29.77 -3.047 35.79% -0.511 -0.3452
Intensifying Exploitation 68 23.65 -2.168 32.35% -0.431 -0.2431
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 103 46.83 17.263 86.41% 0.962 0.534
Memory Fades to Dust 1880 29.74 0.281 38.94% -0.226 0.0092
Power Corrodes the Spirit 468 30.18 1.709 40.81% -0.086 0.0102
Promising Farmlands 911 29.75 -0.93 38.2% -0.243 0.1208
Shattered Fragments of Power 59 32.78 -6.349 45.76% -1.053 -0.9879
Slow Dissolution of Will 77 21.19 -3.764 23.38% -0.787 -0.3237
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 84 44.86 -9.171 86.9% -0.215 -0.8159
The Border of Life and Death 8 40.63 18.209 75.0% 0.482 0.0068
Thriving Communities 491 27.57 2.33 35.23% 0.124 0.3495
Thriving Crops 32 36.19 4.928 68.75% 0.542 0.3174
Tipping Point 324 29.92 0.0 36.11%
Unnatural Proliferation 511 32.52 2.431 43.64% 0.247 0.3685
Untended Land Crumbles 490 31.45 0.222 43.27% -0.106 0.1265

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3936 65.23% 36.4 -1.242 56.28% -0.179 0.7391
B 4254 64.14% 36.3 0.58 55.74% 0.254 1.0955
C 4340 66.0% 36.19 -0.257 56.01% 0.002 0.6851
D 3899 63.53% 36.97 -0.102 57.58% 0.079 0.9214
E 1806 63.71% 37.27 1.946 59.91% 0.468 1.1197
F 2214 61.5% 36.81 2.241 58.13% 0.435 1.1949
G 1933 62.73% 37.17 0.816 59.23% 0.268 1.0252
H 2115 63.52% 37.23 -0.155 58.53% -0.116 0.6021
East 1010 62.87% 38.02 0.631 42.97% -0.237 0.5769
Northeast 543 62.98% 37.27 -4.747 41.62% -1.111 -0.4431
Northwest 385 65.97% 36.17 -1.912 40.78% -0.181 0.6237
Southeast 177 54.24% 37.62 -2.603 51.41% -0.589 0.1166
Southwest 158 56.96% 30.11 0.949 39.87% -0.116 1.2743
West 825 63.39% 36.87 -2.602 43.03% -0.437 0.3567

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 63 0.0% 40.14 10.052 63.49% 0.526 1.2446
Not Using Events or Tokens 2193 67.1% 32.2 -2.638 47.74% -0.424 0.0604
Skip Initial Invader Actions 277 15.36% 58.0 9.67 90.61% 0.854 0.1228
Start of Game Growth 460 24.33% 51.64 -0.962 82.39% -0.227 -0.6732
Unlimited Undo 1791 59.88% 38.75 0.894 63.2% 0.236 0.2029
Using Tokens but Not Events 1090 59.76% 33.95 -0.522 53.12% 0.107 -0.0549

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4912 14.25 6.19%
II 6697 30.3 55.02%
III 5373 34.84 81.31%
IV 1932 38.61 99.59%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.321 Win Model: 0.399
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13372 65.58% 34.97 52.06%
2 3970 66.68% 38.12 59.35%
3 1056 59.2% 38.98 61.74%
4 470 52.89% 40.9 62.98%
5 20 50.0% 17.35 30.0%
6 26 42.31% 28.5 38.46%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 303
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4269
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3549
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1903
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1779
Lose: Invader deck ran out 144
Lose: Adversary condition 52
Win: Sacrifice victory 67
Lose: Scenario condition 282
Win: Scenario condition 191
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6137
Lose: Spirit destroyed 238

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 9648 47.01% 44.5 -0.106 65.16% 0.415 0.3085
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 469 35.18% 34.37 2.988 52.03% 0.707 0.2189
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4593 77.61% 34.73 -0.818 45.81% 0.309 0.4524
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 1054 61.86% 39.43 6.83 56.17% 0.894 0.1459
Dances Up Earthquakes 170 62.35% 24.66 -3.035 37.65% -0.381 -0.5576
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4587 53.39% 44.66 3.384 69.57% 0.508 0.3008
Downpour Drenches the World 1353 49.48% 31.98 -4.88 43.61% -0.926 -0.606
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2904 38.79% 46.52 6.002 73.52% 1.075 0.635
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4953 52.02% 41.32 -1.555 62.41% -0.147 -0.49
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4042 62.38% 42.48 5.313 62.12% 0.537 0.1832
Finder of Paths Unseen 1263 55.28% 38.69 -0.253 57.48% 0.009 0.7931
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2867 51.05% 43.69 -2.893 58.25% -0.552 -0.1041
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 3550 58.22% 44.19 4.316 64.93% 0.456 0.4324
Heart of the Wildfire 7463 69.76% 38.93 -1.704 53.22% -0.14 0.1872
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 14036 58.96% 44.56 -0.699 65.95% -0.3 -0.7953
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 735 55.78% 36.83 0.961 54.01% 0.302 -0.261
Lightning's Swift Strike 6352 64.76% 38.1 -0.204 52.14% 0.047 0.2458
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1739 65.61% 43.24 7.219 56.07% 0.854 0.406
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 2619 56.47% 48.29 6.658 75.98% 1.125 0.8059
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1599 51.34% 48.59 1.472 67.67% 0.295 0.42
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5190 62.33% 41.67 -0.2 60.75% -0.192 -0.3485
Many Minds Move as One 2085 48.22% 45.7 5.185 73.29% 0.781 0.5748
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8767 66.28% 37.15 -4.333 48.35% -0.751 -0.6216
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 223 78.03% 22.89 -4.401 31.39% -0.769 -0.6645
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4750 52.66% 46.03 3.705 72.93% 0.644 0.5943
River Surges in Sunlight 8392 62.75% 44.02 1.347 58.11% 0.278 0.3109
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 150 60.67% 31.09 -0.558 41.33% -0.136 0.0727
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 658 66.21% 35.67 -4.949 43.01% -1.024 -0.8733
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1136 60.41% 37.96 -0.652 46.3% -0.178 -0.1684
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6910 57.9% 40.47 -4.846 58.06% -0.84 -0.9392
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 58 53.45% 35.38 0.407 53.45% 0.041 -0.4497
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2317 74.32% 34.06 -5.748 40.4% -1.015 -0.5026
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 190 74.74% 30.37 5.4 38.42% 0.686 0.6427
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 833 69.28% 33.82 2.751 48.74% 0.248 -0.2
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 173 71.1% 36.42 6.351 49.71% 0.505 0.5635
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 1089 66.12% 41.89 5.699 58.31% 0.604 0.4136
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 517 72.34% 37.38 -3.272 46.03% -0.426 -0.3421
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5805 49.6% 46.16 1.519 68.73% 0.206 0.1085
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 763 51.9% 31.1 4.057 46.26% 0.393 0.1991
Shifting Memory of Ages 1522 70.72% 33.94 -6.119 41.79% -1.169 -0.7788
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 246 52.03% 34.94 -1.162 47.15% -0.347 -0.3986
Shroud of Silent Mist 1419 76.48% 31.74 -1.292 42.85% -0.303 0.1113
Starlight Seeks its Form 3712 55.73% 40.54 2.56 59.0% 0.422 0.3821
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5517 69.33% 33.14 -4.117 45.97% -0.83 -1.3322
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3903 57.59% 43.93 0.378 64.57% 0.248 0.3306
Thunderspeaker 4951 64.22% 40.06 -4.669 54.55% -0.432 -0.4377
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 317 54.26% 21.92 1.178 30.91% -0.255 0.1333
Towering Roots of the Jungle 798 59.77% 25.21 -3.047 36.09% -0.436 -0.2256
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 5103 82.34% 38.14 1.032 56.18% 0.053 0.1308
Vital Strength of the Earth 3147 62.79% 32.62 -3.725 40.71% -0.833 -0.3842
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 655 56.68% 33.61 0.943 47.33% -0.176 0.3183
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 929 65.9% 33.79 5.609 42.84% 0.407 1.0994
Volcano Looming High 4485 61.87% 42.76 -2.295 64.59% -0.36 -0.2962
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1510 52.72% 39.47 3.755 60.07% 0.438 0.1884

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 40 77.5% 42.6 12.156 42.5% 0.501 -0.0574
Blitz 0 849 55.81% 39.7 0.865 50.88% 0.221 0.6442
Dahan Insurrection 4 1126 44.79% 58.69 -1.072 60.12% -0.057 -0.5389
Despicable Theft 2 77 62.34% 28.97 -1.597 27.27% -0.194 0.3483
Elemental Invocation 1 147 72.11% 31.25 -5.464 33.33% -0.552 0.1854
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8950 23.37% 53.28 7.2 72.58% 0.809 0.1526
Powers Long Forgotten 1 204 67.82% 30.82 -17.363 28.43% -0.527 0.0349
Rituals of Terror 3 414 48.31% 29.57 13.235 20.05% 0.688 0.5463
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 93 86.02% 35.29 6.703 27.96% -0.033 0.7156
Second Wave 0 916 77.6% 37.06 0.071 47.16% -0.348 -0.253
The Great River 3 112 44.64% 20.43 -16.24 11.61% -0.49 0.7551
Varied Terrains 2 87 68.97% 27.76 -5.319 25.29% -1.401 -0.5327
Ward the Shores 2 235 73.08% 33.43 -10.945 31.06% -0.859 -0.0043

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 85035 64.69% 38.62 -0.601 55.64% -0.187 0.1866
1 Thematic 3027 53.21% 42.66 4.443 49.65% -0.064 0.6505
2 Archipelago 64 65.08% 34.81 -11.417 34.38% -0.084 0.4393
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11772 64.63% 41.14 0.311 60.54% -0.306 -0.1444
2 Coastline 1786 61.86% 41.52 0.918 60.97% 0.01 -0.1829
2 Fragment 331 68.88% 44.86 -1.44 67.98% -0.386 -0.4341
2 Heart 214 79.44% 41.61 13.55 48.13% 1.324 1.1119
2 Opposite Shores 2704 60.74% 39.29 -1.265 54.07% -0.237 -0.1048
2 Thematic 606 66.17% 41.49 -6.217 40.26% -1.372 -0.6515
2 Top to Top 507 65.48% 41.05 1.389 58.97% 0.099 0.0145
3 Archipelago 20 60.0% 68.6 0.0 85.0%
3 Coastline 84 29.76% 51.4 19.727 77.38% 0.755 0.1246
3 Other 131 66.41% 45.49 8.985 68.7% 0.692 -0.1842
3 Round (Default) 4655 56.16% 42.75 1.07 63.18% -0.559 -0.5819
3 Sunrise 25 68.0% 42.88 0.0 60.0%
3 Thematic 149 68.97% 46.09 11.666 45.64% 0.678 0.6854
4 Archipelago 16 37.5% 57.94 0.0 56.25%
4 Coastline 27 11.11% 53.41 0.0 81.48%
4 Leaf 13 76.92% 17.77 0.0 15.38%
4 Other 250 34.4% 53.16 4.16 84.4% 0.137 -0.4314
4 Thematic 1221 32.18% 62.56 -9.157 79.44% -0.805 -0.7424
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3583 45.83% 39.62 -4.166 57.55% -1.182 -1.177
5 Archipelago 17 64.71% 28.94 0.0 23.53%
5 Coastline 32 3.13% 55.41 15.205 87.5% 0.372 -0.6485
5 Other 117 60.71% 53.2 10.192 83.76% 1.379 1.0549
5 Thematic 22 40.91% 42.77 0.0 54.55%
6 Archipelago 19 0.0% 58.05 0.0 73.68%
6 Coastline 14 14.29% 40.57 15.464 64.29% 0.101 -0.9573
6 Other 34 30.3% 40.35 -4.191 52.94% -0.599 -0.6437
6 Star 24 29.17% 36.63 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 436 71.26% 52.22 1.916 71.79% 0.328 0.5319
6 Two Centers (Default) 157 30.13% 42.25 -10.398 57.32% -1.229 -0.7551
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 5633 35.0 0.795 44.12% -0.097 -0.0261
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4460 39.49 3.123 52.44% 0.115 0.0053
All Things Weaken 3513 35.06 -1.099 44.32% -0.724 -0.547
Attenuated Essence 768 33.38 3.754 46.09% 0.266 0.3182
Back Against the Wall 4175 38.45 3.935 49.51% 0.247 0.2313
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 781 30.46 0.734 41.74% -0.089 0.0948
Burn Brightest Before the End 465 34.48 1.748 45.38% -0.116 -0.0288
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5579 32.8 0.089 44.02% -0.16 0.1318
Downward Spiral 8621 33.19 -1.901 44.57% -0.461 -0.3548
Erosion of Will 5572 33.59 -2.114 40.94% -0.687 -0.5207
Intensifying Exploitation 761 29.04 1.081 39.03% 0.165 0.3529
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 890 48.52 4.041 83.03% 0.843 0.4153
Memory Fades to Dust 8779 32.32 -0.901 39.8% -0.384 -0.1496
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3475 34.38 -0.419 45.21% -0.25 -0.1542
Promising Farmlands 5464 32.96 -3.269 42.61% -0.659 -0.2946
Shattered Fragments of Power 481 34.72 3.952 45.53% 0.3 0.3655
Slow Dissolution of Will 724 29.74 1.136 36.33% -0.143 0.3202
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 624 51.39 7.463 88.46% 1.061 0.4599
The Border of Life and Death 131 40.4 -4.734 66.41% -0.357 -0.8324
Thriving Communities 3387 32.68 -2.732 42.78% -0.89 -0.6643
Thriving Crops 240 34.67 1.19 57.08% 0.249 0.0246
Tipping Point 1596 32.84 0.0 40.1%
Unnatural Proliferation 3731 36.6 0.802 46.64% -0.268 -0.1459
Untended Land Crumbles 3359 33.92 -1.326 44.09% -0.549 -0.3172

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 24255 60.46% 39.55 -1.248 56.94% -0.38 0.538
B 24512 60.72% 38.92 -1.245 55.74% -0.445 0.3959
C 26291 64.15% 38.95 -0.108 55.43% -0.425 0.2583
D 22062 63.1% 38.93 -0.262 55.84% -0.345 0.4973
E 13174 61.86% 40.58 -0.089 59.62% -0.259 0.3921
F 15360 57.22% 42.41 0.508 63.19% -0.155 0.6048
G 13278 59.56% 40.88 0.729 59.96% -0.18 0.5772
H 13573 60.5% 40.54 0.067 59.95% -0.283 0.4354
East 3848 50.0% 51.32 2.132 61.51% -0.342 0.471
Northeast 2546 48.89% 53.22 3.515 63.63% -0.146 0.521
Northwest 2270 50.04% 50.13 0.32 60.57% -0.464 0.3407
Southeast 1035 55.32% 51.07 1.359 68.12% -0.214 0.4918
Southwest 1014 58.7% 49.01 -0.004 66.37% -0.532 0.858
West 3549 50.48% 49.28 2.626 59.34% -0.329 0.4643

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 704 0.0% 36.51 -1.451 53.13% -0.024 0.6944
Not Using Events or Tokens 7465 69.07% 31.34 -4.612 40.78% -1.033 -0.5478
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3400 18.6% 61.98 10.452 84.24% 1.02 0.289
Start of Game Growth 4585 21.04% 59.37 8.772 82.18% 1.002 0.5559
Unlimited Undo 13087 49.87% 44.96 -1.322 68.16% -0.297 -0.3307
Using Tokens but Not Events 5791 52.16% 40.47 -2.167 57.02% -0.48 -0.642

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 31257 14.25 8.0%
II 37942 30.3 57.93%
III 37308 34.84 84.16%
IV 10646 38.61 99.79%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.045 Win Model: 0.572
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 88461 64.3% 38.79 55.44%
2 17753 64.09% 41.0 58.96%
3 5015 56.21% 42.95 63.13%
4 5105 41.88% 45.77 64.0%
5 130 45.24% 50.28 76.15%
6 689 55.25% 48.88 67.05%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2497
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 30833
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 21200
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10508
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 12464
Lose: Invader deck ran out 870
Lose: Adversary condition 577
Win: Sacrifice victory 573
Lose: Scenario condition 1909
Win: Scenario condition 892
Lose: Blight pool ran out 33345
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1485

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)