The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3553 27.29% 24.76 -0.203 87.53% -0.14 -0.008
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2537 50.04% 23.41 -0.293 81.63% -0.021 0.2082
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1609 25.38% 26.0 0.232 92.04% 0.357 0.2705
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1897 16.22% 28.38 1.243 94.57% 0.355 -0.0181
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1633 23.5% 26.99 0.607 93.63% 0.511 0.2493
Fractured Days Split the Sky 235 39.57% 26.37 0.784 79.15% -0.637 -0.2693
Heart of the Wildfire 2548 59.01% 20.99 -1.327 74.8% -0.274 0.0755
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3560 28.83% 26.6 0.499 91.66% 0.426 0.1222
Lightning's Swift Strike 3984 40.97% 24.14 -0.142 81.28% -0.204 0.0549
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 508 30.97% 25.96 0.429 90.94% 0.229 -0.0434
Many Minds Move as One 462 25.32% 26.75 0.642 93.72% 0.419 -0.0947
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3683 41.77% 24.55 -0.098 85.34% 0.223 0.027
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1509 28.7% 25.16 -0.164 89.46% 0.121 0.1664
River Surges in Sunlight 4741 37.79% 26.58 0.893 81.4% -0.291 -0.1384
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2129 38.03% 23.14 -0.773 84.83% -0.088 0.056
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2961 54.11% 23.71 -0.272 78.59% -0.05 0.3902
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2405 29.54% 26.64 0.619 88.07% -0.078 -0.1493
Shroud of Silent Mist 171 47.37% 23.46 -0.341 89.47% 0.499 0.4841
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 915 28.09% 23.58 -1.052 91.04% 0.065 0.0449
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1285 33.59% 24.27 -0.49 83.97% -0.371 -0.1684
Thunderspeaker 3345 29.97% 27.34 1.001 86.94% -0.027 0.0234
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 703 62.0% 20.13 -2.051 78.09% -0.126 -0.1182
Vital Strength of the Earth 3835 33.96% 22.99 -0.976 79.04% -0.764 0.1072
Volcano Looming High 316 35.13% 23.33 -0.697 87.03% -0.078 -0.1009

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 713 43.77% 21.96 -1.427 77.56% -0.417 0.1555
Dahan Insurrection 4 698 22.25% 46.01 10.008 82.23% -1.031 -0.63
Despicable Theft 2 14 42.86% 32.29 3.405 78.57% -0.412 -0.118
Elemental Invocation 1 36 50.0% 24.22 -0.494 75.0% -0.506 -0.0731
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1994 7.9% 30.11 1.853 84.55% -1.795 -1.4295
Powers Long Forgotten 1 381 50.39% 29.02 1.717 76.9% -0.355 0.0866
Rituals of Terror 3 467 46.52% 35.15 5.055 73.23% -0.674 -0.0289
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 277 67.51% 31.57 3.657 63.9% -0.723 -0.0813
Second Wave 0 637 59.5% 23.21 -0.198 71.43% -0.516 -0.088
The Great River 3 48 56.25% 27.88 2.13 54.17% -2.022 -0.5659
Ward the Shores 2 447 44.74% 30.66 2.628 74.5% -0.723 0.3137

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 23169 39.99% 23.72 -0.574 82.44% -0.092 0.2416
1 Thematic 2839 43.42% 31.04 2.108 77.14% -0.063 0.4333
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 31.0 2.569 100.0% 0.094 0.0331
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5511 33.5% 24.22 -0.294 86.7% -0.086 0.1147
2 Coastline 420 34.78% 24.41 -0.121 89.05% 0.253 0.4084
2 Fragment 110 37.27% 23.15 -0.64 88.18% 0.039 0.4379
2 Heart 72 60.0% 20.54 -1.324 77.78% -0.149 0.177
2 Opposite Shores 578 32.09% 24.08 -0.453 88.41% -0.018 0.2139
2 Thematic 609 42.01% 32.92 1.949 82.1% 0.219 0.2763
2 Top to Top 116 29.57% 23.22 -0.785 86.21% -0.336 -0.203
3 Coastline 8 50.0% 26.75 1.418 87.5% 0.356 0.3189
3 Other 53 47.17% 20.38 -1.566 73.58% -0.934 -0.5149
3 Round (Default) 1575 27.19% 24.85 -0.085 89.78% -0.276 -0.2206
3 Sunrise 2 0.0% 30.5 0.913 100.0% 0.039 -0.1356
3 Thematic 111 39.64% 30.95 0.214 79.28% -0.164 -0.4987
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 21.33 -2.404 66.67% -0.571 -0.4448
4 Leaf 5 20.0% 27.4 1.963 100.0% 0.18 0.2256
4 Other 21 23.81% 22.9 -0.671 90.48% -0.414 -0.303
4 Thematic 343 31.76% 31.89 0.238 93.88% 0.931 -0.1052
4 Trapezoid (Default) 738 26.16% 25.21 0.22 92.68% -0.057 -0.0216
5 Other 11 81.82% 23.73 0.81 100.0% 0.829 0.5775
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 29.67 0.18 100.0% 0.259 -2.6944

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 888 17.95 -4.294 61.82% -3.381 -1.3076
Aid From Lesser Spirits 788 18.91 -3.918 60.79% -3.421 -1.5014
All Things Weaken 280 17.03 -4.583 60.71% -3.391 -1.2305
Back Against the Wall 761 18.03 -4.232 58.48% -3.561 -1.4671
Disintegrating Ecosystem 896 15.05 -5.808 54.91% -3.645 -1.4204
Downward Spiral 3167 17.2 -4.464 64.64% -2.946 -0.9248
Erosion of Will 932 17.84 -4.349 60.41% -3.453 -1.244
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 111 23.82 -1.353 94.59% -0.763 -0.0694
Memory Fades to Dust 3231 16.18 -4.985 58.09% -3.258 -1.0392
Power Corrodes the Spirit 274 17.31 -4.657 63.87% -3.279 -1.2575
Promising Farmlands 964 16.88 -4.862 62.03% -3.368 -1.1535
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 85 24.87 -0.921 96.47% -0.422 -0.0092
Thriving Communities 268 17.43 -4.438 66.42% -3.208 -1.1142
Tipping Point 504 16.8 -4.839 60.52% -3.346 -1.1203
Unnatural Proliferation 284 18.74 -3.937 63.03% -3.275 -1.1875
Untended Land Crumbles 313 17.03 -4.585 62.3% -3.348 -1.2435

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8326 38.14% 23.65 -0.423 84.01% 0.271 -0.8439
B 8532 36.99% 23.86 -0.323 84.05% 0.221 -0.9909
C 8739 36.42% 24.14 -0.196 84.94% 0.311 -1.1314
D 8284 35.64% 24.05 -0.217 85.02% 0.287 -0.9178
E 1576 31.49% 24.97 0.132 89.4% 0.418 -0.8989
F 3198 33.23% 24.46 -0.117 87.74% 0.31 -0.9581
G 3035 33.74% 24.0 -0.367 86.16% 0.163 -1.0976
H 3245 33.28% 24.58 -0.11 87.83% 0.346 -0.9238
East 1339 39.64% 32.94 2.162 83.94% 0.214 -0.7691
Northeast 1431 38.83% 32.2 1.824 82.67% 0.13 -0.8016
Northwest 1182 38.08% 31.56 1.306 81.73% -0.003 -1.0026
Southeast 223 40.81% 29.17 0.678 82.51% 0.002 -1.0241
Southwest 195 43.08% 25.5 -1.273 81.54% -0.046 -0.6641
West 1294 43.1% 31.8 1.53 80.68% 0.026 -0.6999

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 335 0.0% 21.56 -2.653 71.64% -2.824 -0.7696
Not Using Events or Tokens 8812 46.22% 22.61 -0.806 77.93% -0.371 -0.1536
Skip Initial Invader Actions 544 6.53% 35.15 3.303 96.32% 1.115 0.4225
Start of Game Growth 777 12.07% 32.31 2.002 93.56% -0.098 -0.5617
Unlimited Undo 1773 30.7% 26.47 0.443 88.66% 0.343 -0.0778
Using Tokens but Not Events 2833 28.18% 25.85 0.136 88.7% -0.062 -0.115

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3616 22.35 55.92%
II 14026 30.81 80.88%
III 12503 34.31 86.72%
IV 6153 37.51 99.04%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.026 Win Model: 0.055
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 26035 40.37% 24.52 81.87%
2 7410 34.41% 24.88 86.5%
3 1739 28.61% 25.1 88.67%
4 1113 28.4% 27.21 93.08%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1503
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8298
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8161
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4659
Lose: Invader deck ran out 535
Win: Sacrifice victory 136
Lose: Scenario condition 373
Win: Scenario condition 907
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4828
Lose: Spirit destroyed 259

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2229 29.27% 30.03 -0.244 85.06% -0.3 -0.1677
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1534 51.87% 29.22 -0.083 82.59% 0.039 0.2681
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1011 28.6% 31.69 0.458 92.19% 0.535 0.4479
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1358 18.08% 34.28 1.407 94.04% 0.411 0.0379
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1008 24.4% 33.12 1.0 93.45% 0.61 0.3479
Fractured Days Split the Sky 180 45.0% 30.9 0.583 78.89% -0.74 -0.3732
Heart of the Wildfire 1767 57.77% 27.7 -0.625 79.46% -0.022 0.3282
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2758 35.31% 31.25 0.453 89.56% 0.348 0.0436
Lightning's Swift Strike 2529 39.32% 30.36 0.244 83.16% -0.118 0.1404
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 349 32.18% 30.91 0.393 89.68% 0.185 -0.0869
Many Minds Move as One 343 26.24% 32.05 0.771 92.13% 0.309 -0.2039
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1933 45.06% 29.19 -0.469 82.72% -0.118 -0.3138
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 992 31.72% 30.78 -0.064 88.31% 0.067 0.113
River Surges in Sunlight 2765 41.27% 31.44 0.756 81.84% -0.231 -0.0781
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1273 38.81% 28.94 -0.692 84.29% -0.105 0.0396
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1802 54.85% 28.51 -0.507 77.36% -0.163 0.2771
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1661 32.02% 32.12 0.722 87.66% 0.059 -0.0123
Shroud of Silent Mist 124 54.03% 27.08 -0.969 85.48% 0.284 0.2687
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 525 42.83% 26.21 -1.889 84.95% -0.015 -0.0352
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 862 34.85% 30.0 -0.379 84.45% -0.312 -0.1096
Thunderspeaker 2192 33.16% 32.63 0.971 85.36% -0.078 -0.0275
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 453 70.35% 23.7 -2.269 74.17% -0.231 -0.2234
Vital Strength of the Earth 2191 40.65% 27.31 -1.484 77.82% -0.639 0.2324
Volcano Looming High 196 46.94% 27.63 -0.768 85.2% -0.064 -0.0873

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 580 49.74% 25.31 -2.131 72.07% -0.683 -0.1101
Dahan Insurrection 4 565 22.82% 52.0 10.347 86.19% -0.592 -0.1913
Despicable Theft 2 19 57.89% 30.42 0.195 57.89% -1.449 -1.1552
Elemental Invocation 1 34 73.53% 28.18 -0.063 70.59% -0.365 0.0675
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1166 13.87% 32.3 0.444 77.79% -1.92 -1.5547
Powers Long Forgotten 1 338 63.02% 29.89 0.021 66.57% -0.768 -0.326
Rituals of Terror 3 330 45.76% 39.62 4.834 74.55% -0.757 -0.112
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 218 70.18% 35.72 3.201 64.22% -0.677 -0.0357
Second Wave 0 2072 47.55% 29.69 0.157 76.35% -0.742 -0.314
The Great River 3 45 44.44% 31.62 1.504 55.56% -2.161 -0.705
Ward the Shores 2 385 49.48% 33.94 1.949 71.17% -0.868 0.1691

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 13026 42.04% 28.77 -0.627 82.31% -0.409 -0.0761
1 Thematic 2285 46.56% 34.75 1.667 73.87% -0.607 -0.1105
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3122 37.0% 29.53 -0.21 87.7% 0.074 0.2748
2 Coastline 341 42.94% 28.86 -0.301 86.8% 0.163 0.3179
2 Fragment 87 43.68% 28.77 -0.481 89.66% 0.263 0.6614
2 Heart 59 35.59% 28.22 -0.792 84.75% -0.277 0.0495
2 Opposite Shores 570 34.1% 29.17 -0.446 87.54% -0.045 0.1869
2 Thematic 535 46.82% 35.32 1.068 76.07% -0.157 -0.0992
2 Top to Top 98 40.21% 28.07 -0.853 81.63% -0.337 -0.2047
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 31.88 1.213 75.0% 0.603 0.5663
3 Other 47 29.79% 27.79 -0.796 91.49% 0.027 0.4454
3 Round (Default) 1199 27.23% 31.13 0.257 91.99% 0.358 0.4134
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 25.0 -2.59 100.0% 0.009 -0.1657
3 Thematic 89 40.45% 35.96 0.582 75.28% -0.191 -0.526
4 Coastline 7 42.86% 23.86 -3.624 28.57% -1.755 -1.6283
4 Leaf 4 0.0% 38.5 2.557 100.0% 0.058 0.1043
4 Other 39 35.9% 29.51 0.134 89.74% 0.203 0.3135
4 Thematic 244 43.44% 36.48 0.585 90.16% 1.19 0.1535
4 Trapezoid (Default) 479 30.77% 30.67 0.046 88.52% 0.165 0.2
5 Other 5 40.0% 34.4 3.08 100.0% 0.441 0.1895

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 603 23.38 -4.38 62.85% -3.213 -1.1395
Aid From Lesser Spirits 616 23.86 -4.0 63.8% -3.214 -1.2938
All Things Weaken 214 22.53 -4.662 61.68% -3.172 -1.0111
Back Against the Wall 571 23.06 -4.478 59.89% -3.369 -1.2755
Disintegrating Ecosystem 653 20.96 -5.612 61.41% -3.307 -1.0824
Downward Spiral 1809 22.13 -4.692 65.62% -2.839 -0.8176
Erosion of Will 659 21.83 -5.151 57.51% -3.472 -1.2628
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 75 28.28 -1.534 92.0% -0.91 -0.2172
Memory Fades to Dust 1877 21.24 -5.184 59.56% -3.151 -0.9319
Power Corrodes the Spirit 201 22.72 -4.61 65.17% -3.03 -1.0087
Promising Farmlands 692 21.35 -5.344 61.85% -3.29 -1.0752
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 54 30.2 -0.613 98.15% 0.14 0.5522
Thriving Communities 202 20.5 -5.391 61.88% -3.191 -1.097
Tipping Point 365 21.32 -5.494 59.18% -3.417 -1.1912
Unnatural Proliferation 216 23.5 -4.323 60.19% -3.286 -1.1981
Untended Land Crumbles 180 21.58 -4.877 64.44% -2.967 -0.8625

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5073 41.17% 28.86 -0.42 83.95% 0.265 -0.8507
B 5254 38.3% 29.23 -0.303 85.0% 0.271 -0.9404
C 5410 38.49% 29.34 -0.21 85.05% 0.276 -1.1666
D 5111 37.83% 29.51 -0.049 85.78% 0.41 -0.7956
E 1058 34.94% 29.51 -0.209 87.24% 0.222 -1.0951
F 1960 33.11% 29.89 -0.125 88.37% 0.372 -0.8965
G 1797 36.34% 29.92 -0.146 87.2% 0.289 -0.9718
H 1878 32.67% 30.15 -0.099 88.45% 0.318 -0.9513
East 1114 44.52% 36.43 1.863 78.01% 0.165 -0.8174
Northeast 1151 46.31% 35.34 1.279 76.89% 0.022 -0.909
Northwest 929 43.75% 35.74 1.408 80.84% 0.432 -0.5675
Southeast 183 38.25% 34.21 0.517 79.23% -0.013 -1.0391
Southwest 150 42.67% 30.7 -1.425 77.33% -0.143 -0.7604
West 1018 49.36% 34.93 0.915 76.03% 0.044 -0.6819

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 136 0.0% 26.75 -2.616 75.0% -2.405 -0.3497
Not Using Events or Tokens 4030 47.88% 27.51 -0.981 77.15% -0.399 -0.1825
Skip Initial Invader Actions 290 9.02% 43.01 3.834 94.48% 0.176 -0.5169
Start of Game Growth 452 14.59% 39.41 2.544 92.7% 0.295 -0.1696
Unlimited Undo 1274 33.44% 30.85 0.113 87.13% 0.113 -0.3077
Using Tokens but Not Events 1843 31.57% 31.23 0.284 87.47% -0.054 -0.1064

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2466 22.35 49.59%
II 8900 30.81 81.28%
III 7726 34.31 89.17%
IV 3154 37.51 99.02%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.041 Win Model: -0.29
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 15327 42.69% 29.66 81.07%
2 4813 38.37% 30.02 86.2%
3 1342 28.73% 31.32 90.76%
4 764 34.93% 32.47 88.48%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 830
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5017
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4751
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2299
Lose: Invader deck ran out 218
Win: Sacrifice victory 67
Lose: Scenario condition 281
Win: Scenario condition 761
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3125
Lose: Spirit destroyed 153

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3155 32.19% 33.1 0.217 84.28% -0.18 -0.0476
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1873 60.15% 31.07 -0.023 79.82% 0.141 0.3699
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1299 33.44% 34.31 0.769 89.45% 0.358 0.2709
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1676 22.93% 36.6 1.678 92.6% 0.443 0.0694
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1310 29.42% 35.3 1.16 89.24% 0.28 0.0178
Fractured Days Split the Sky 252 44.44% 33.08 0.471 71.03% -1.041 -0.6732
Heart of the Wildfire 2211 67.65% 27.73 -1.658 71.05% -0.293 0.0567
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3644 40.46% 34.03 0.993 87.6% 0.465 0.161
Lightning's Swift Strike 3001 46.46% 31.52 -0.186 78.77% -0.23 0.029
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 576 37.67% 33.82 0.734 87.5% 0.246 -0.026
Many Minds Move as One 438 31.12% 35.87 1.569 94.75% 0.971 0.458
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2855 54.85% 30.53 -0.679 78.42% -0.13 -0.3259
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1256 36.84% 33.08 0.219 86.94% 0.167 0.2126
River Surges in Sunlight 3609 49.16% 33.43 0.861 78.33% -0.167 -0.0145
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2202 40.7% 32.12 -0.094 84.65% 0.073 0.2172
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2061 66.88% 29.17 -0.971 70.89% -0.213 0.228
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2165 37.12% 33.81 0.623 83.83% -0.109 -0.18
Shroud of Silent Mist 201 53.73% 30.04 -0.682 79.6% -0.104 -0.1191
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 757 44.11% 29.6 -1.443 84.15% -0.077 -0.0975
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1054 44.79% 31.84 -0.284 81.5% -0.063 0.1397
Thunderspeaker 2781 42.89% 34.28 1.031 83.35% 0.105 0.1552
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 638 74.29% 27.14 -1.856 74.76% -0.026 -0.0179
Vital Strength of the Earth 2584 44.39% 29.37 -1.326 73.76% -0.665 0.2055
Volcano Looming High 438 44.06% 31.94 0.003 86.53% 0.128 0.1049

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 629 57.78% 27.34 -2.259 68.04% -0.666 -0.093
Dahan Insurrection 4 473 31.21% 52.14 9.469 77.8% -1.009 -0.6084
Despicable Theft 2 19 68.42% 36.89 3.102 73.68% -0.287 0.007
Elemental Invocation 1 37 75.68% 27.81 -1.335 67.57% -0.396 0.0367
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1700 16.42% 33.46 -0.008 72.35% -2.153 -1.7872
Powers Long Forgotten 1 362 65.75% 31.73 0.087 62.98% -0.73 -0.2876
Rituals of Terror 3 266 56.23% 40.7 4.254 63.91% -0.946 -0.3003
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 181 73.48% 37.87 3.028 60.22% -0.796 -0.1546
Second Wave 0 1595 55.18% 31.39 -0.16 70.72% -0.816 -0.3884
The Great River 3 40 62.5% 34.95 1.557 55.0% -1.677 -0.2204
Ward the Shores 2 413 55.21% 35.42 1.751 64.89% -1.022 0.0145

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 15683 49.94% 30.63 -0.555 78.24% 0.062 0.3949
1 Thematic 2219 56.95% 34.48 1.051 66.92% -0.274 0.2227
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4147 43.84% 32.21 0.094 85.36% 0.293 0.4934
2 Coastline 468 43.23% 32.5 0.115 85.47% 0.303 0.4584
2 Fragment 120 56.67% 30.29 -0.655 78.33% -0.005 0.3936
2 Heart 63 42.86% 29.43 -1.252 76.19% -0.306 0.0205
2 Opposite Shores 779 41.94% 32.38 0.105 85.88% 0.375 0.6071
2 Thematic 685 60.03% 34.69 0.448 66.86% -0.32 -0.2626
2 Top to Top 137 48.18% 32.34 0.255 85.4% 0.425 0.5581
3 Coastline 13 30.77% 36.08 0.624 84.62% 0.058 0.0207
3 Other 81 31.25% 32.44 -0.294 83.95% -0.484 -0.0652
3 Round (Default) 1748 36.18% 32.82 0.077 87.13% 0.14 0.1961
3 Sunrise 11 36.36% 27.82 -3.018 54.55% -1.545 -1.7193
3 Thematic 148 55.78% 37.67 1.285 77.03% -0.059 -0.3933
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 36.0 3.695 100.0% 0.271 0.3974
4 Leaf 5 40.0% 34.4 0.843 80.0% -0.207 -0.1611
4 Other 52 21.15% 34.06 0.209 92.31% 0.129 0.2401
4 Thematic 241 41.67% 39.07 1.039 83.4% -0.053 -1.0894
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1032 32.22% 33.58 0.419 89.24% 0.171 0.2066
5 Other 18 44.44% 36.22 1.513 100.0% 0.893 0.6413
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 42.0 2.835 100.0% 0.167 -2.7862

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1040 25.32 -4.282 59.42% -3.115 -1.0415
Aid From Lesser Spirits 848 26.89 -3.526 61.44% -3.082 -1.1626
All Things Weaken 344 24.59 -4.522 59.01% -3.193 -1.0324
Back Against the Wall 861 27.39 -3.319 64.11% -2.968 -0.8745
Disintegrating Ecosystem 977 22.99 -5.468 58.44% -3.197 -0.9724
Downward Spiral 2477 24.7 -4.378 63.58% -2.9 -0.8781
Erosion of Will 1032 24.42 -4.706 57.17% -3.268 -1.0585
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 119 33.66 -0.037 95.8% -0.35 0.3429
Memory Fades to Dust 2427 23.86 -4.818 58.14% -3.13 -0.9112
Power Corrodes the Spirit 336 24.47 -4.577 62.8% -3.113 -1.0915
Promising Farmlands 1036 24.17 -4.817 60.71% -3.089 -0.8746
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 92 33.51 -0.12 98.91% 0.607 1.0193
Thriving Communities 308 24.55 -4.612 62.34% -3.051 -0.9578
Tipping Point 575 24.7 -4.56 60.7% -3.046 -0.8201
Unnatural Proliferation 364 24.78 -4.407 60.44% -3.161 -1.0735
Untended Land Crumbles 317 24.04 -4.758 62.78% -3.042 -0.9377

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6747 44.76% 31.65 -0.074 82.5% 0.185 -0.9308
B 7002 44.66% 31.54 -0.133 82.26% 0.162 -1.0491
C 7327 43.38% 31.8 0.044 82.71% 0.176 -1.2664
D 6778 46.04% 31.29 -0.185 81.79% 0.18 -1.0255
E 1570 42.32% 32.27 0.031 85.16% 0.145 -1.1712
F 2744 40.07% 32.9 0.259 85.9% 0.267 -1.0008
G 2477 42.81% 32.08 -0.09 84.46% 0.207 -1.0533
H 2562 41.11% 32.34 -0.021 84.5% 0.135 -1.1348
East 1226 53.15% 37.1 1.681 72.51% 0.233 -0.7495
Northeast 1203 53.71% 36.83 1.578 73.32% 0.359 -0.5722
Northwest 1013 56.53% 34.59 0.277 67.23% -0.02 -1.0198
Southeast 213 51.89% 33.0 -0.474 70.89% -0.23 -1.2564
Southwest 176 52.57% 32.91 -0.603 76.7% 0.31 -0.3083
West 1084 57.72% 35.52 0.801 69.1% 0.083 -0.6431

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 148 0.0% 31.75 -1.494 81.76% -2.002 0.0525
Not Using Events or Tokens 4418 54.53% 29.45 -0.807 74.58% -0.144 0.0735
Skip Initial Invader Actions 356 13.55% 45.46 4.312 95.22% 1.057 0.3639
Start of Game Growth 598 17.47% 41.48 2.556 90.64% -0.083 -0.5471
Unlimited Undo 1868 44.08% 32.75 0.199 82.92% 0.109 -0.312
Using Tokens but Not Events 2175 40.36% 32.85 0.252 85.33% 0.172 0.1189

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2003 22.35 15.03%
II 11754 30.81 75.62%
III 9306 34.31 88.81%
IV 4589 37.51 99.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.177 Win Model: 0.078
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 17924 50.84% 31.11 76.83%
2 6401 45.58% 32.45 83.24%
3 1998 37.11% 33.2 86.24%
4 1329 33.79% 34.66 88.41%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 203
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6168
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6102
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3396
Lose: Invader deck ran out 277
Win: Sacrifice victory 124
Lose: Scenario condition 488
Win: Scenario condition 635
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4665
Lose: Spirit destroyed 225

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3067 40.33% 41.69 0.604 85.1% -0.03 0.1024
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1914 73.1% 36.16 -1.225 69.7% -0.303 -0.0736
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1559 35.63% 43.33 1.27 89.35% 0.282 0.1954
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1749 41.17% 43.26 1.315 88.11% 0.291 -0.0825
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1546 44.01% 42.35 0.903 85.51% 0.169 -0.0928
Fractured Days Split the Sky 383 48.04% 42.1 0.937 77.28% -0.653 -0.2855
Heart of the Wildfire 2751 69.46% 36.55 -1.254 72.12% -0.211 0.1391
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4581 51.97% 42.33 1.25 85.09% 0.356 0.0514
Lightning's Swift Strike 3281 52.08% 40.63 0.357 80.07% -0.097 0.1617
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 761 51.38% 42.71 1.353 87.25% 0.418 0.1456
Many Minds Move as One 495 48.58% 43.08 1.452 91.31% 0.728 0.2151
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2856 65.38% 37.17 -1.309 73.42% -0.316 -0.5117
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1451 41.57% 42.55 1.016 88.9% 0.39 0.4354
River Surges in Sunlight 3611 56.79% 42.09 1.282 78.32% -0.086 0.0668
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2013 56.33% 38.57 -0.749 78.04% -0.206 -0.0615
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2055 72.82% 35.98 -1.454 67.59% -0.386 0.0543
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2810 38.7% 43.32 1.6 85.52% 0.007 -0.0641
Shroud of Silent Mist 219 74.89% 38.14 -0.296 79.91% 0.177 0.1618
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1257 59.28% 35.26 -2.223 77.88% -0.247 -0.2677
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1327 49.89% 41.58 0.575 83.27% 0.089 0.291
Thunderspeaker 2442 51.5% 42.49 1.058 81.2% 0.025 0.0752
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 936 82.91% 34.91 -1.716 74.57% 0.076 0.0842
Vital Strength of the Earth 2250 59.67% 34.64 -2.545 66.71% -0.823 0.0482
Volcano Looming High 504 56.94% 39.55 0.006 82.94% 0.073 0.0498

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 505 59.6% 35.29 -2.334 66.14% -0.739 -0.1666
Dahan Insurrection 4 522 38.77% 62.59 10.493 82.95% -0.244 0.157
Despicable Theft 2 20 60.0% 39.25 -0.316 55.0% -1.221 -0.9269
Elemental Invocation 1 41 56.1% 45.15 2.097 90.24% 0.556 0.988
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1724 22.47% 43.53 1.069 79.47% -1.304 -0.9388
Powers Long Forgotten 1 264 75.0% 39.27 -0.289 63.26% -0.58 -0.1385
Rituals of Terror 3 197 62.94% 47.97 4.232 65.99% -0.628 0.0178
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 77 87.01% 42.13 1.354 51.95% -0.663 -0.0212
Second Wave 0 1054 64.1% 36.02 -1.926 62.62% -1.073 -0.6452
The Great River 3 37 75.68% 39.7 0.118 48.65% -1.772 -0.3157
Ward the Shores 2 280 64.64% 42.02 1.097 64.29% -0.759 0.2779

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 20398 58.02% 38.43 -0.528 76.59% -0.47 -0.1364
1 Thematic 1611 60.12% 42.24 0.788 67.04% -0.447 0.0492
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4640 54.2% 40.04 0.081 81.9% -0.186 0.0149
2 Coastline 597 55.59% 40.78 0.317 82.58% -0.106 0.0493
2 Fragment 114 59.65% 39.53 -0.43 78.07% -0.374 0.025
2 Heart 64 59.38% 39.09 -0.233 81.25% -0.193 0.1333
2 Opposite Shores 868 57.85% 40.27 0.124 83.53% 0.017 0.2488
2 Thematic 510 59.72% 44.22 1.094 71.57% 0.277 0.3342
2 Top to Top 129 55.81% 37.73 -0.79 73.64% -0.611 -0.4778
3 Coastline 38 31.58% 47.79 2.696 97.37% 1.224 1.1867
3 Other 102 40.2% 42.4 0.544 90.2% 0.061 0.4797
3 Round (Default) 1638 46.72% 41.23 0.315 86.02% 0.006 0.0619
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 58.0 6.434 100.0% 0.177 0.0023
3 Thematic 80 63.29% 42.52 -0.004 67.5% 0.628 0.2935
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 19.0 -11.715 0.0% -0.589 -0.4622
4 Leaf 4 100.0% 43.0 2.405 100.0% 0.407 0.4531
4 Other 40 30.0% 43.88 1.166 92.5% 0.151 0.2617
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 66.0 5.956 100.0% 0.012 -0.7692
4 Thematic 179 41.34% 50.92 1.364 77.65% 0.919 -0.117
4 Trapezoid (Default) 881 41.24% 43.58 0.906 89.56% 0.247 0.2822
5 Other 12 58.33% 39.5 0.167 83.33% 0.159 -0.0922
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 22.0 -12.747 0.0% -0.757 -3.7101

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1525 33.09 -4.403 61.57% -3.092 -1.0186
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1260 35.72 -3.067 67.3% -2.871 -0.9511
All Things Weaken 531 31.68 -4.896 59.51% -3.254 -1.0931
Back Against the Wall 1181 34.06 -3.896 62.91% -3.072 -0.9785
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1409 30.7 -5.59 60.04% -3.155 -0.9304
Downward Spiral 2970 32.88 -4.294 65.99% -2.813 -0.7914
Erosion of Will 1456 32.1 -4.941 59.62% -3.236 -1.0267
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 215 42.82 0.437 96.74% -0.277 0.4161
Memory Fades to Dust 2889 31.53 -5.006 60.09% -3.076 -0.8574
Power Corrodes the Spirit 553 33.61 -3.972 69.08% -2.805 -0.7838
Promising Farmlands 1450 30.98 -5.388 59.93% -3.153 -0.9389
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 148 44.51 1.064 98.65% 0.455 0.8672
Thriving Communities 521 30.89 -5.35 61.8% -3.176 -1.0825
Tipping Point 814 30.57 -5.662 56.27% -3.246 -1.0201
Unnatural Proliferation 515 34.69 -3.319 68.54% -2.787 -0.6998
Untended Land Crumbles 470 32.16 -4.658 63.83% -3.084 -0.9799

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7341 55.15% 39.38 -0.092 79.46% 0.411 -0.7045
B 7645 53.79% 39.71 0.075 80.07% 0.403 -0.8081
C 8193 55.0% 39.79 0.185 80.26% 0.465 -0.9782
D 7394 55.0% 39.48 0.042 79.81% 0.445 -0.7601
E 2044 55.17% 39.91 0.088 83.07% 0.528 -0.7889
F 3366 50.07% 40.92 0.404 83.99% 0.5 -0.7679
G 3053 54.9% 39.44 -0.266 80.48% 0.341 -0.9197
H 3375 51.4% 40.3 0.074 82.22% 0.366 -0.9036
East 890 56.58% 45.23 1.327 69.66% -0.029 -1.0119
Northeast 881 57.39% 44.47 1.154 69.24% -0.024 -0.9557
Northwest 636 56.69% 44.91 0.89 71.38% 0.168 -0.8315
Southeast 179 49.16% 45.63 1.569 79.33% 0.373 -0.6525
Southwest 169 53.25% 41.54 -0.852 75.15% -0.124 -0.7416
West 755 56.71% 44.46 0.627 67.42% -0.238 -0.9637

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 108 0.0% 34.19 -4.043 63.89% -3.065 -1.0097
Not Using Events or Tokens 3438 67.33% 36.17 -1.166 71.0% -0.121 0.0963
Skip Initial Invader Actions 378 11.44% 55.45 4.861 96.3% 0.916 0.2234
Start of Game Growth 520 15.67% 52.64 3.68 94.04% 0.339 -0.1246
Unlimited Undo 2118 51.09% 41.45 0.672 83.1% 0.236 -0.1843
Using Tokens but Not Events 1965 47.38% 42.09 0.756 85.45% 0.277 0.2242

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2742 22.35 17.4%
II 14887 30.81 75.13%
III 9980 34.31 89.65%
IV 4301 37.51 99.65%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.288 Win Model: -0.278
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 22047 58.16% 38.72 75.92%
2 6921 55.42% 40.37 81.16%
3 1839 46.25% 41.53 85.75%
4 1103 41.46% 44.69 87.4%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 326
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6925
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7965
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3422
Lose: Invader deck ran out 222
Win: Sacrifice victory 149
Lose: Scenario condition 348
Win: Scenario condition 613
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6134
Lose: Spirit destroyed 311

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1991 52.45% 40.39 0.56 73.83% -0.135 -0.0021
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1262 80.4% 35.2 -1.264 58.4% -0.248 -0.0194
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1062 55.07% 41.01 0.878 76.08% 0.129 0.042
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1111 51.8% 43.29 1.731 78.94% 0.194 -0.18
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1093 57.93% 42.09 1.414 78.04% 0.302 0.0406
Fractured Days Split the Sky 235 59.15% 41.74 1.252 68.09% -0.384 -0.0171
Heart of the Wildfire 1699 79.75% 34.11 -2.014 57.62% -0.296 0.0541
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3666 62.23% 41.24 1.328 76.08% 0.34 0.0355
Lightning's Swift Strike 2079 63.12% 38.99 0.075 68.49% -0.117 0.1415
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 721 62.83% 40.59 1.069 76.7% 0.272 0.0001
Many Minds Move as One 336 51.19% 45.01 2.777 87.8% 0.953 0.44
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2037 72.18% 36.76 -0.984 63.82% -0.247 -0.4429
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 957 53.87% 41.52 1.094 78.06% 0.223 0.269
River Surges in Sunlight 2524 67.95% 40.74 1.083 66.05% -0.114 0.0391
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1358 71.64% 36.6 -1.145 63.92% -0.198 -0.0536
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1218 77.76% 35.35 -1.422 57.06% -0.369 0.072
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1914 50.71% 41.71 1.323 73.82% -0.119 -0.1906
Shroud of Silent Mist 158 82.91% 36.66 -0.486 68.99% 0.256 0.2408
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 756 70.2% 32.86 -2.928 62.83% -0.404 -0.424
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 807 57.29% 40.91 0.747 74.72% 0.051 0.2535
Thunderspeaker 1595 64.54% 42.0 1.424 72.23% 0.176 0.2262
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 675 91.11% 32.09 -2.538 56.74% -0.144 -0.1357
Vital Strength of the Earth 1329 75.45% 32.84 -2.685 51.54% -0.731 0.1395
Volcano Looming High 342 67.54% 39.52 0.491 74.56% 0.207 0.1839

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 316 70.74% 33.07 -2.904 50.32% -0.797 -0.2244
Dahan Insurrection 4 348 54.89% 59.86 10.054 72.41% -0.05 0.3503
Despicable Theft 2 5 60.0% 60.2 8.25 100.0% 0.775 1.0691
Elemental Invocation 1 16 93.75% 30.13 -3.552 43.75% -0.638 -0.2051
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1065 24.65% 43.87 1.516 71.08% -1.385 -1.0194
Powers Long Forgotten 1 167 76.05% 36.48 -0.995 47.9% -0.83 -0.3885
Rituals of Terror 3 104 85.58% 37.56 -0.131 35.58% -1.201 -0.5555
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 92 88.04% 39.79 0.749 38.04% -0.739 -0.0974
Second Wave 0 649 73.65% 36.33 -1.274 56.09% -0.684 -0.2569
The Great River 3 13 61.54% 48.46 4.158 61.54% -0.799 0.6569
Ward the Shores 2 106 81.13% 38.74 0.512 44.34% -0.675 0.3613

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 13651 67.05% 37.45 -0.62 66.57% -0.34 -0.0065
1 Thematic 1302 67.67% 40.71 0.553 54.15% -0.674 -0.1778
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3118 67.05% 39.65 0.528 73.06% 0.105 0.3059
2 Coastline 381 58.47% 42.54 1.327 80.05% 0.347 0.5026
2 Fragment 62 66.13% 34.97 -1.598 58.06% -0.602 -0.2033
2 Heart 65 72.31% 34.25 -2.261 56.92% -0.592 -0.2658
2 Opposite Shores 523 66.73% 38.58 -0.206 70.17% -0.021 0.2114
2 Thematic 356 78.09% 39.94 0.302 53.65% -0.102 -0.0443
2 Top to Top 88 72.41% 37.26 -0.384 69.32% 0.059 0.1919
3 Coastline 12 33.33% 54.33 5.559 100.0% 0.771 0.7336
3 Other 70 42.86% 40.26 -0.335 72.86% -0.69 -0.271
3 Round (Default) 1137 57.33% 41.09 0.681 76.96% 0.182 0.2381
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 50.0 3.894 100.0% 0.02 -0.1538
3 Thematic 82 74.39% 38.84 -0.841 50.0% -0.127 -0.4614
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 50.0 3.486 100.0% 0.024 0.1506
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 37.6 -0.418 80.0% 0.407 0.4534
4 Other 52 40.38% 44.71 1.454 84.62% 0.071 0.1818
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 4.665 100.0% 0.012 -0.7696
4 Snake 2 50.0% 47.0 2.704 100.0% 0.437 0.5917
4 Thematic 104 63.46% 41.4 -0.522 54.81% 0.006 -1.0301
4 Trapezoid (Default) 563 59.89% 40.44 0.047 71.23% -0.028 0.0071
5 Other 5 40.0% 52.8 5.442 100.0% 0.64 0.389
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 62.0 10.686 100.0% 0.126 -2.8269

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1173 32.69 -4.325 51.58% -3.101 -1.0272
Aid From Lesser Spirits 948 34.99 -3.27 56.65% -2.979 -1.0594
All Things Weaken 425 31.81 -4.562 51.29% -3.171 -1.0105
Back Against the Wall 909 34.08 -3.699 53.03% -3.089 -0.9948
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1163 31.53 -4.835 55.12% -2.963 -0.739
Downward Spiral 2219 32.96 -3.968 56.87% -2.783 -0.7616
Erosion of Will 1286 31.68 -4.831 48.99% -3.232 -1.0235
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 133 47.15 2.851 99.25% 0.948 1.6409
Memory Fades to Dust 2258 31.47 -4.742 51.2% -3.009 -0.7905
Power Corrodes the Spirit 438 31.39 -4.739 53.2% -3.076 -1.0545
Promising Farmlands 1259 31.05 -5.124 50.83% -3.137 -0.9226
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 76 46.54 2.612 97.37% 0.213 0.6254
Thriving Communities 385 28.65 -6.112 45.71% -3.428 -1.3341
Tipping Point 661 31.49 -4.832 49.92% -3.089 -0.8628
Unnatural Proliferation 470 31.37 -4.745 48.51% -3.31 -1.2223
Untended Land Crumbles 450 30.07 -5.399 49.11% -3.255 -1.1504

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4824 65.82% 38.28 -0.199 68.33% 0.415 -0.6998
B 5168 65.19% 38.87 0.137 69.97% 0.508 -0.7031
C 5347 65.54% 38.46 -0.031 68.8% 0.444 -0.9991
D 4877 64.89% 38.72 0.15 69.9% 0.508 -0.6969
E 1497 64.28% 39.42 0.421 73.28% 0.621 -0.6956
F 2234 62.96% 39.52 0.291 72.34% 0.503 -0.7648
G 2061 65.18% 38.95 0.022 71.32% 0.509 -0.7509
H 2341 60.45% 40.35 0.592 74.71% 0.585 -0.6844
East 648 68.83% 42.19 1.141 55.4% 0.315 -0.6679
Northeast 626 71.57% 41.22 0.827 55.27% 0.42 -0.5113
Northwest 526 74.9% 38.19 -0.838 48.1% 0.167 -0.833
Southeast 122 68.03% 40.56 -0.285 60.66% 0.38 -0.6455
Southwest 124 54.03% 41.24 -0.332 67.74% 0.34 -0.2782
West 593 69.98% 40.16 -0.002 51.43% 0.089 -0.6372

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 80 0.0% 33.34 -4.001 53.75% -2.913 -0.8583
Not Using Events or Tokens 2178 75.06% 35.41 -1.093 60.7% -0.132 0.0851
Skip Initial Invader Actions 358 15.06% 56.45 5.879 94.41% 1.182 0.4893
Start of Game Growth 481 21.66% 53.33 4.319 90.64% 0.286 -0.1778
Unlimited Undo 1438 62.18% 40.2 0.646 72.32% 0.168 -0.2529
Using Tokens but Not Events 1224 59.45% 39.17 -0.101 70.83% -0.113 -0.1654

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2481 22.35 5.93%
II 8895 30.81 60.78%
III 7796 34.31 84.83%
IV 2410 37.51 99.46%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.255 Win Model: -0.404
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 14974 67.1% 37.75 65.51%
2 4589 67.32% 39.6 71.32%
3 1303 57.09% 41.07 75.36%
4 716 59.24% 40.92 69.69%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 115
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5194
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3881
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1868
Lose: Invader deck ran out 216
Win: Sacrifice victory 112
Lose: Scenario condition 277
Win: Scenario condition 299
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6268
Lose: Spirit destroyed 258

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 938 54.29% 43.91 1.844 71.11% 0.141 0.2737
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 538 79.55% 36.77 -1.065 51.67% -0.223 0.0063
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 486 55.17% 44.97 2.25 76.54% 0.547 0.4605
Eyes Watch From the Trees 477 59.92% 45.05 2.335 72.96% 0.44 0.0662
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 524 61.85% 42.7 1.15 65.65% 0.077 -0.1848
Fractured Days Split the Sky 99 60.61% 45.62 2.213 68.69% -0.076 0.2918
Heart of the Wildfire 805 81.27% 35.13 -1.947 50.68% -0.177 0.1728
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1639 64.59% 41.75 0.913 65.28% 0.237 -0.0673
Lightning's Swift Strike 1116 64.86% 40.62 0.265 61.56% -0.134 0.1249
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 278 68.71% 41.32 0.997 66.55% 0.131 -0.1413
Many Minds Move as One 160 60.62% 45.07 2.49 76.88% 0.615 0.102
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 936 75.13% 38.36 -0.698 57.26% -0.117 -0.3128
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 440 57.86% 43.8 1.864 73.18% 0.405 0.4504
River Surges in Sunlight 1179 72.18% 40.71 0.588 56.49% -0.207 -0.0544
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 632 69.94% 38.82 -0.806 58.7% -0.108 0.0363
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 528 78.79% 36.56 -1.556 47.92% -0.354 0.0861
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 880 55.45% 43.81 1.928 69.2% 0.127 0.056
Shroud of Silent Mist 76 85.53% 32.88 -2.882 47.37% -0.361 -0.3755
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 277 78.34% 31.54 -4.009 49.82% -0.46 -0.4801
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 468 66.09% 39.76 -0.174 60.04% -0.24 -0.0376
Thunderspeaker 812 68.91% 41.38 0.771 61.08% -0.035 0.0161
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 276 91.27% 31.09 -3.393 43.84% -0.269 -0.2609
Vital Strength of the Earth 666 74.74% 34.68 -2.462 46.1% -0.697 0.1742
Volcano Looming High 137 68.61% 42.34 1.447 72.99% 0.493 0.4698

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 192 72.97% 33.86 -2.946 45.83% -0.676 -0.1035
Dahan Insurrection 4 204 63.24% 54.8 7.506 53.92% -0.531 -0.1305
Despicable Theft 2 3 100.0% 44.67 4.435 66.67% 0.415 0.7082
Elemental Invocation 1 10 80.0% 33.9 -2.706 40.0% -0.387 0.0452
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 738 24.32% 47.94 3.019 70.73% -0.968 -0.6025
Powers Long Forgotten 1 65 84.62% 40.78 0.672 52.31% -0.057 0.3851
Rituals of Terror 3 94 71.28% 43.47 2.014 41.49% -0.971 -0.3253
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 60 80.0% 43.0 2.209 40.0% -0.585 0.0566
Second Wave 0 272 70.59% 39.02 -0.868 52.94% -0.581 -0.1533
The Great River 3 8 75.0% 30.88 -5.331 12.5% -2.173 -0.7162
Ward the Shores 2 78 78.21% 42.23 0.623 43.59% -0.665 0.3713

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6233 70.3% 37.77 -0.947 56.67% -0.511 -0.1778
1 Thematic 819 63.0% 42.71 1.181 51.89% -0.175 0.3208
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1517 72.77% 39.62 -0.077 62.16% -0.302 -0.1011
2 Coastline 166 66.27% 43.58 1.403 72.29% 0.147 0.3026
2 Fragment 25 80.0% 36.08 -1.368 56.0% -0.277 0.122
2 Heart 20 75.0% 45.15 2.534 75.0% 0.327 0.6534
2 Opposite Shores 254 65.22% 40.41 -0.067 63.39% -0.337 -0.1051
2 Thematic 153 75.82% 42.07 0.795 46.41% 0.46 0.5174
2 Top to Top 38 63.16% 39.82 -0.016 60.53% -0.262 -0.1288
3 Coastline 16 56.25% 50.81 4.695 81.25% 0.488 0.4507
3 Other 21 57.14% 46.0 1.607 80.95% -0.051 0.3676
3 Round (Default) 516 63.09% 44.42 1.695 75.0% 0.169 0.2253
3 Sunrise 4 50.0% 38.0 -2.65 50.0% -0.753 -0.9272
3 Thematic 39 89.74% 32.95 -3.712 25.64% 0.167 -0.1672
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 57.0 4.398 100.0% 0.011 0.1376
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 33.5 -1.958 50.0% -0.127 -0.0808
4 Other 20 30.0% 54.9 3.176 95.0% 0.186 0.297
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 61.0 5.046 100.0% 0.136 -0.6456
4 Thematic 56 60.71% 46.79 0.408 55.36% 1.051 0.0147
4 Trapezoid (Default) 220 49.54% 45.64 1.145 74.09% -0.351 -0.3154
5 Other 2 0.0% 52.0 4.001 100.0% 0.032 -0.2191

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 603 34.3 -4.195 46.27% -2.859 -0.7852
Aid From Lesser Spirits 473 35.25 -3.79 46.93% -2.858 -0.938
All Things Weaken 199 31.76 -5.072 41.71% -3.012 -0.8516
Back Against the Wall 431 36.03 -3.381 49.65% -2.766 -0.6718
Disintegrating Ecosystem 562 30.37 -6.226 40.57% -3.098 -0.874
Downward Spiral 1162 32.64 -4.855 45.18% -2.793 -0.7711
Erosion of Will 549 30.99 -5.965 37.52% -3.277 -1.0682
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 42 52.02 4.376 97.62% 0.613 1.3057
Memory Fades to Dust 1178 31.02 -5.626 40.15% -3.016 -0.7975
Power Corrodes the Spirit 185 30.44 -5.802 41.62% -3.047 -1.0259
Promising Farmlands 600 29.82 -6.497 37.5% -3.278 -1.064
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 38 51.32 3.924 97.37% 0.528 0.9403
Thriving Communities 201 28.59 -6.548 37.31% -3.168 -1.074
Tipping Point 323 29.83 -6.459 35.91% -3.326 -1.0998
Unnatural Proliferation 210 32.97 -4.547 43.81% -2.905 -0.8174
Untended Land Crumbles 204 31.25 -5.521 41.67% -3.096 -0.9917

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2258 69.91% 39.69 0.079 61.03% 0.466 -0.6495
B 2431 68.55% 39.04 -0.32 59.89% 0.319 -0.8924
C 2490 70.46% 39.32 0.012 60.88% 0.461 -0.9821
D 2178 67.01% 40.43 0.562 63.36% 0.528 -0.6771
E 650 65.18% 42.07 1.157 69.23% 0.693 -0.6237
F 1037 64.5% 40.84 0.431 65.19% 0.437 -0.8309
G 928 63.82% 41.44 0.529 66.81% 0.462 -0.7984
H 1019 64.85% 41.18 0.402 65.65% 0.437 -0.8329
East 328 71.04% 41.42 -0.146 43.6% -0.453 -1.4356
Northeast 348 67.82% 41.53 0.064 45.11% -0.412 -1.3432
Northwest 252 73.41% 40.96 -0.411 44.44% -0.179 -1.1787
Southeast 88 55.68% 47.74 3.073 68.18% 0.479 -0.5465
Southwest 70 61.43% 36.53 -3.045 47.14% -0.651 -1.2686
West 319 67.4% 44.26 1.562 50.78% 0.089 -0.6363

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 40 0.0% 39.67 -1.825 62.5% -2.003 0.0521
Not Using Events or Tokens 1174 76.84% 37.43 -0.535 54.34% 0.086 0.3033
Skip Initial Invader Actions 193 13.16% 60.49 6.654 95.34% 1.008 0.3153
Start of Game Growth 292 20.63% 56.23 5.067 91.78% 0.735 0.2706
Unlimited Undo 796 66.08% 42.11 1.196 66.33% 0.328 -0.093
Using Tokens but Not Events 588 66.61% 36.63 -1.612 53.57% -0.475 -0.5272

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2014 22.35 8.74%
II 3924 30.81 55.68%
III 3064 34.31 80.81%
IV 1121 37.51 99.38%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.498 Win Model: -0.243
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7063 69.43% 38.37 56.17%
2 2173 71.63% 40.18 61.99%
3 590 63.99% 43.77 71.69%
4 297 50.51% 46.57 72.05%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 138
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1945
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1625
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 892
Lose: Invader deck ran out 94
Win: Sacrifice victory 37
Lose: Scenario condition 195
Win: Scenario condition 144
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3742
Lose: Spirit destroyed 141

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5551 47.01% 48.94 1.661 72.82% -0.004 0.1285
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2817 83.25% 38.16 -1.739 51.19% -0.186 0.0433
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2612 55.05% 47.01 1.342 73.66% 0.181 0.0946
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2587 57.53% 48.06 2.016 72.63% 0.23 -0.1433
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2399 66.08% 44.02 0.044 64.69% -0.035 -0.2967
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1223 54.87% 50.99 3.226 71.63% -0.022 0.345
Heart of the Wildfire 4902 69.72% 41.93 -1.452 57.65% -0.236 0.1141
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8465 59.89% 46.72 1.124 69.82% 0.172 -0.132
Lightning's Swift Strike 5866 64.38% 44.55 0.501 64.17% -0.037 0.2213
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1893 62.9% 45.49 0.914 68.15% 0.039 -0.2331
Many Minds Move as One 863 49.13% 52.06 4.022 87.02% 1.068 0.5546
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5306 71.42% 41.32 -1.775 54.11% -0.4 -0.5956
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2720 53.78% 47.85 1.789 75.7% 0.295 0.3406
River Surges in Sunlight 5612 64.93% 47.29 1.454 62.53% -0.072 0.0806
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4148 61.48% 45.79 0.587 67.98% 0.066 0.2102
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2336 75.83% 38.04 -3.007 46.75% -0.64 -0.2
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3791 49.41% 48.67 1.571 71.99% -0.01 -0.0817
Shroud of Silent Mist 341 83.28% 38.4 -2.2 53.37% -0.237 -0.2522
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2985 71.63% 37.28 -3.039 57.29% -0.334 -0.3547
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2081 59.83% 46.6 1.021 69.25% 0.025 0.2277
Thunderspeaker 3122 68.07% 44.8 0.34 61.34% -0.042 0.0084
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2449 84.52% 39.48 -1.464 59.82% 0.126 0.1339
Vital Strength of the Earth 2364 71.51% 37.62 -3.049 47.97% -0.758 0.1131
Volcano Looming High 1564 58.57% 46.59 1.535 73.34% 0.206 0.1828

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 567 66.91% 39.11 -2.907 52.03% -0.725 -0.1528
Dahan Insurrection 4 817 44.49% 69.79 10.934 75.15% 0.148 0.5483
Despicable Theft 2 7 85.71% 59.86 7.686 85.71% 0.704 0.9972
Elemental Invocation 1 44 72.73% 41.25 -1.497 52.27% -0.65 -0.2171
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5340 20.88% 53.74 3.71 77.36% -0.814 -0.4486
Powers Long Forgotten 1 139 80.29% 38.58 -2.259 39.57% -0.72 -0.2786
Rituals of Terror 3 136 83.09% 41.01 -0.552 31.62% -1.107 -0.4614
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 73 91.78% 40.75 -0.577 32.88% -0.834 -0.1926
Second Wave 0 651 79.23% 40.17 -1.859 49.31% -0.581 -0.1534
The Great River 3 21 66.67% 32.57 -8.241 14.29% -3.118 -1.6618
Ward the Shores 2 150 83.89% 38.97 -1.738 36.0% -0.913 0.1233

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 39519 68.84% 41.75 -0.628 60.52% -0.451 -0.118
1 Thematic 1408 68.86% 43.55 -0.665 48.15% -0.632 -0.1357
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6035 67.2% 44.9 0.486 67.13% -0.108 0.0925
2 Coastline 827 64.68% 46.12 1.13 69.29% -0.004 0.1513
2 Fragment 194 69.07% 47.21 1.867 73.2% 0.175 0.5742
2 Heart 75 78.67% 42.35 -0.507 61.33% -0.096 0.23
2 Opposite Shores 1209 63.73% 43.38 -0.289 62.37% -0.339 -0.1071
2 Thematic 327 69.54% 44.82 -1.266 48.01% -0.211 -0.1534
2 Top to Top 198 68.37% 44.01 0.563 63.64% -0.199 -0.0663
3 Coastline 59 23.73% 56.59 4.576 84.75% -0.138 -0.1749
3 Other 80 62.5% 48.54 1.462 76.25% -0.156 0.2633
3 Round (Default) 2339 55.79% 46.48 0.53 70.03% -0.13 -0.0744
3 Sunrise 16 68.75% 42.44 -1.103 56.25% -0.376 -0.5503
3 Thematic 67 81.25% 42.94 -3.423 41.79% 0.189 -0.1452
4 Coastline 15 0.0% 64.33 6.224 100.0% 0.403 0.5295
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 25.4 -9.395 20.0% -0.991 -0.9449
4 Other 218 32.11% 53.76 2.29 85.78% 0.167 0.278
4 Thematic 873 25.06% 66.55 3.311 83.28% 1.268 0.232
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1813 56.83% 46.77 -0.017 68.73% -0.203 -0.1676
5 Other 24 66.67% 53.83 3.137 95.83% 1.093 0.8417
5 Thematic 4 25.0% 71.25 6.103 100.0% 0.776 -2.1772

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3289 35.32 -5.408 44.63% -3.199 -1.1254
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2562 39.2 -3.643 52.15% -2.937 -1.0171
All Things Weaken 1339 35.3 -5.253 45.86% -3.192 -1.0308
Back Against the Wall 2441 38.0 -4.207 49.41% -3.042 -0.9481
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3180 33.33 -6.416 44.94% -3.193 -0.9685
Downward Spiral 4982 34.51 -5.562 46.45% -2.955 -0.9337
Erosion of Will 3242 34.52 -5.889 42.87% -3.304 -1.0948
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 270 54.03 3.555 94.81% -0.135 0.5579
Memory Fades to Dust 5191 33.36 -6.161 41.34% -3.15 -0.9311
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1311 35.27 -5.165 48.67% -3.064 -1.0424
Promising Farmlands 3179 33.32 -6.408 42.78% -3.288 -1.0737
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 226 54.5 3.893 96.02% 0.22 0.6326
Thriving Communities 1264 34.09 -5.805 46.36% -3.181 -1.087
Tipping Point 1595 32.86 -6.653 40.13% -3.368 -1.1421
Unnatural Proliferation 1407 36.47 -4.608 47.76% -3.09 -1.002
Untended Land Crumbles 1231 35.05 -5.374 48.17% -3.104 -0.9994

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12214 64.88% 43.8 0.214 63.7% 0.711 -0.4043
B 12405 64.74% 43.07 -0.276 62.47% 0.572 -0.6398
C 13465 67.72% 42.6 -0.305 61.52% 0.635 -0.8078
D 11560 67.61% 42.43 -0.336 61.35% 0.645 -0.5603
E 4366 65.0% 44.81 0.554 68.3% 0.763 -0.5533
F 6638 60.74% 46.26 1.181 70.52% 0.846 -0.4219
G 5731 63.52% 44.68 0.3 66.76% 0.668 -0.5927
H 6227 63.56% 44.73 0.62 67.8% 0.79 -0.4798
East 1395 41.53% 59.13 2.309 70.82% 0.465 -0.5174
Northeast 1323 43.88% 57.52 1.777 67.5% 0.364 -0.5672
Northwest 1133 41.8% 57.57 0.596 67.34% -0.028 -1.0283
Southeast 195 41.54% 57.19 1.565 75.9% 0.586 -0.4397
Southwest 202 48.51% 51.61 -1.486 67.33% 0.023 -0.5952
West 1322 39.21% 59.53 2.287 71.48% 0.405 -0.3206

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 236 0.0% 49.44 -0.485 72.88% -2.07 -0.015
Not Using Events or Tokens 3772 75.35% 37.94 -1.99 49.31% -0.345 -0.1276
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1619 19.93% 61.33 4.82 90.24% 0.58 -0.1122
Start of Game Growth 2238 21.46% 60.07 4.312 89.28% 0.422 -0.0417
Unlimited Undo 6782 52.38% 50.11 2.792 77.54% 0.566 0.1457
Using Tokens but Not Events 2812 57.05% 43.78 -0.589 63.19% -0.293 -0.3457

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10926 22.35 11.72%
II 19446 30.81 58.42%
III 19336 34.31 83.79%
IV 5597 37.51 99.84%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.43 Win Model: -0.606
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 40997 68.83% 41.82 60.13%
2 8836 66.8% 44.8 65.92%
3 2560 55.8% 46.64 69.84%
4 2912 45.23% 53.31 74.38%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 752
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13040
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8489
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4625
Lose: Invader deck ran out 450
Win: Sacrifice victory 245
Lose: Scenario condition 1014
Win: Scenario condition 667
Lose: Blight pool ran out 18548
Lose: Spirit destroyed 862

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2025-03-01 01:58:23 (Pacific Time)