The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3400 27.38% 24.75 -0.211 87.47% -0.125 0.0102
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2438 50.31% 23.36 -0.307 81.34% -0.024 0.207
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1525 25.46% 26.02 0.244 92.0% 0.363 0.2772
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1821 16.18% 28.41 1.256 94.56% 0.359 -0.0105
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1555 23.91% 26.97 0.607 93.5% 0.514 0.2597
Fractured Days Split the Sky 218 39.91% 26.14 0.693 77.98% -0.708 -0.348
Heart of the Wildfire 2450 59.46% 20.94 -1.345 74.61% -0.266 0.0837
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3416 28.9% 26.59 0.493 91.48% 0.422 0.1202
Lightning's Swift Strike 3827 41.02% 24.11 -0.15 81.13% -0.206 0.0557
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 438 32.95% 25.8 0.376 90.18% 0.194 -0.087
Many Minds Move as One 428 25.0% 26.78 0.667 93.93% 0.461 -0.0682
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3550 41.99% 24.51 -0.107 85.13% 0.227 0.032
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1451 28.53% 25.23 -0.131 89.59% 0.133 0.1777
River Surges in Sunlight 4564 37.97% 26.57 0.892 81.16% -0.291 -0.1366
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2045 38.27% 23.14 -0.775 84.74% -0.082 0.0625
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2840 54.32% 23.63 -0.296 78.24% -0.058 0.3839
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2323 29.75% 26.64 0.619 87.86% -0.083 -0.1548
Shroud of Silent Mist 120 44.17% 23.57 -0.43 88.33% 0.361 0.3378
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 855 28.42% 23.45 -1.094 90.64% 0.024 0.0067
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1226 33.33% 24.33 -0.474 84.01% -0.367 -0.16
Thunderspeaker 3243 30.15% 27.29 0.992 86.74% -0.03 0.0236
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 661 62.31% 20.02 -2.081 77.91% -0.123 -0.1086
Vital Strength of the Earth 3703 33.73% 23.03 -0.931 79.04% -0.749 0.1199
Volcano Looming High 243 35.39% 23.26 -0.744 87.24% -0.023 -0.0526

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 684 43.72% 21.89 -1.455 77.19% -0.453 0.1274
Dahan Insurrection 4 679 22.29% 46.04 10.015 82.03% -1.046 -0.6421
Despicable Theft 2 11 27.27% 35.55 4.427 90.91% -0.089 0.2485
Elemental Invocation 1 27 51.85% 24.22 -0.408 77.78% -0.283 0.1282
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1921 8.15% 30.05 1.834 84.07% -1.818 -1.4538
Powers Long Forgotten 1 370 50.54% 28.99 1.693 76.49% -0.382 0.0565
Rituals of Terror 3 460 46.58% 35.24 5.112 73.48% -0.654 -0.0191
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 269 68.03% 31.41 3.609 63.57% -0.732 -0.0896
Second Wave 0 619 59.61% 23.34 -0.129 71.73% -0.49 -0.0644
The Great River 3 42 54.76% 27.69 1.979 52.38% -2.179 -0.7461
Ward the Shores 2 429 45.22% 30.56 2.57 73.89% -0.758 0.2832

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 22136 40.15% 23.68 -0.587 82.26% -0.173 0.1643
1 Thematic 2736 43.55% 31.11 2.138 77.23% -0.132 0.3509
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 31.0 2.603 100.0% 0.094 0.0329
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5270 33.6% 24.2 -0.296 86.58% -0.095 0.1108
2 Coastline 399 35.37% 24.27 -0.152 88.47% 0.192 0.3518
2 Fragment 103 35.92% 23.2 -0.648 88.35% 0.007 0.4111
2 Heart 69 61.19% 20.36 -1.379 76.81% -0.191 0.1293
2 Opposite Shores 537 32.25% 24.12 -0.44 88.08% -0.058 0.1749
2 Thematic 589 42.42% 32.85 1.929 82.0% 0.193 0.224
2 Top to Top 112 30.63% 23.27 -0.728 85.71% -0.36 -0.2083
3 Coastline 8 50.0% 26.75 1.454 87.5% 0.426 0.3638
3 Other 51 47.06% 20.49 -1.515 74.51% -0.834 -0.3931
3 Round (Default) 1521 27.33% 24.84 -0.082 89.55% -0.245 -0.1807
3 Sunrise 2 0.0% 30.5 0.937 100.0% 0.044 -0.1416
3 Thematic 109 39.45% 30.86 0.156 78.9% -0.206 -0.5652
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 21.33 -2.352 66.67% -0.536 -0.3671
4 Leaf 5 20.0% 27.4 1.978 100.0% 0.191 0.2572
4 Other 21 23.81% 22.9 -0.664 90.48% -0.364 -0.2391
4 Thematic 328 31.69% 31.95 0.228 93.6% 0.933 -0.1316
4 Trapezoid (Default) 703 26.19% 25.18 0.221 92.32% 0.026 0.0663
5 Other 10 90.0% 23.7 1.019 100.0% 0.863 0.6454
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 29.67 0.233 100.0% 0.264 -2.6945

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 859 18.02 -4.253 62.17% -3.352 -1.2803
Aid From Lesser Spirits 757 18.88 -3.938 60.37% -3.419 -1.4984
All Things Weaken 248 17.04 -4.582 60.89% -3.337 -1.1828
Back Against the Wall 737 17.98 -4.246 58.34% -3.557 -1.4617
Disintegrating Ecosystem 868 15.04 -5.813 54.49% -3.644 -1.4167
Downward Spiral 3045 17.18 -4.463 64.5% -2.934 -0.9139
Erosion of Will 893 17.89 -4.333 60.13% -3.446 -1.2355
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 104 23.96 -1.277 94.23% -0.765 -0.0722
Memory Fades to Dust 3124 16.16 -4.983 57.84% -3.249 -1.0315
Power Corrodes the Spirit 259 17.21 -4.693 64.09% -3.239 -1.2227
Promising Farmlands 926 17.0 -4.806 62.2% -3.343 -1.1304
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 79 24.9 -0.9 96.2% -0.446 -0.0178
Thriving Communities 244 17.23 -4.516 65.98% -3.212 -1.1145
Tipping Point 504 16.8 -4.833 60.52% -3.336 -1.1139
Unnatural Proliferation 265 18.86 -3.865 63.02% -3.243 -1.1559
Untended Land Crumbles 284 16.89 -4.639 61.62% -3.339 -1.2434

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8009 38.3% 23.62 -0.422 83.82% 0.333 -0.7757
B 8188 37.18% 23.83 -0.326 83.89% 0.285 -0.9197
C 8385 36.48% 24.12 -0.192 84.77% 0.368 -1.0669
D 7951 35.89% 24.0 -0.229 84.71% 0.337 -0.8611
E 1441 30.83% 25.0 0.144 89.17% 0.43 -0.8763
F 3026 33.17% 24.45 -0.116 87.71% 0.372 -0.8888
G 2860 34.06% 23.97 -0.378 86.08% 0.241 -1.0077
H 3087 33.26% 24.58 -0.106 87.79% 0.415 -0.8479
East 1292 39.77% 32.96 2.17 83.82% 0.284 -0.6803
Northeast 1387 39.13% 32.17 1.803 82.62% 0.213 -0.6963
Northwest 1147 38.29% 31.57 1.299 81.69% 0.071 -0.9108
Southeast 206 41.75% 29.01 0.575 81.07% -0.005 -1.0061
Southwest 181 42.54% 25.43 -1.328 81.22% -0.009 -0.6174
West 1250 43.1% 31.89 1.558 80.8% 0.108 -0.596

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 325 0.0% 21.58 -2.628 71.38% -2.818 -0.7678
Not Using Events or Tokens 8429 46.46% 22.54 -0.835 77.61% -0.38 -0.1601
Skip Initial Invader Actions 526 6.77% 35.15 3.315 96.39% 1.17 0.4706
Start of Game Growth 758 12.24% 32.24 1.985 93.54% -0.085 -0.5424
Unlimited Undo 1700 31.0% 26.42 0.437 88.41% 0.324 -0.092
Using Tokens but Not Events 2720 28.38% 25.84 0.139 88.68% -0.051 -0.1041

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3495 22.34 55.65%
II 13423 30.77 80.79%
III 11919 34.27 86.54%
IV 5879 37.49 99.01%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.028 Win Model: -0.074
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 24896 40.52% 24.5 81.72%
2 7075 34.56% 24.86 86.33%
3 1682 28.78% 25.09 88.41%
4 1062 28.45% 27.21 92.75%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1426
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7785
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7681
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4387
Lose: Invader deck ran out 516
Win: Sacrifice victory 133
Lose: Scenario condition 368
Win: Scenario condition 874
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4657
Lose: Spirit destroyed 250

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2180 29.24% 30.03 -0.241 85.09% -0.281 -0.1451
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1496 51.65% 29.28 -0.051 82.75% 0.068 0.2983
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 971 28.44% 31.75 0.476 92.17% 0.534 0.4474
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1292 18.31% 34.33 1.417 93.96% 0.422 0.0528
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 964 24.69% 33.14 1.018 93.46% 0.635 0.3806
Fractured Days Split the Sky 166 45.18% 30.74 0.514 78.31% -0.745 -0.3848
Heart of the Wildfire 1725 57.67% 27.65 -0.646 79.13% -0.026 0.3237
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2674 35.37% 31.23 0.454 89.57% 0.364 0.062
Lightning's Swift Strike 2429 39.0% 30.42 0.257 83.2% -0.105 0.1562
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 301 32.0% 30.9 0.382 89.7% 0.196 -0.0852
Many Minds Move as One 316 25.95% 31.92 0.704 91.46% 0.202 -0.3273
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1872 44.98% 29.15 -0.49 82.53% -0.123 -0.3182
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 949 31.89% 30.75 -0.07 88.41% 0.102 0.1465
River Surges in Sunlight 2674 41.16% 31.5 0.771 81.9% -0.212 -0.0574
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1244 39.0% 28.9 -0.705 84.0% -0.107 0.0377
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1732 54.43% 28.55 -0.504 77.37% -0.155 0.2867
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1614 31.84% 32.11 0.718 87.55% 0.05 -0.0213
Shroud of Silent Mist 85 58.82% 26.26 -1.355 83.53% 0.176 0.1537
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 488 41.98% 26.19 -1.887 85.25% -0.034 -0.051
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 828 34.71% 29.94 -0.413 84.06% -0.338 -0.1314
Thunderspeaker 2132 33.25% 32.61 0.956 85.32% -0.071 -0.0183
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 436 70.57% 23.81 -2.179 74.77% -0.186 -0.1724
Vital Strength of the Earth 2119 40.81% 27.36 -1.462 77.91% -0.607 0.2619
Volcano Looming High 156 51.92% 27.19 -0.816 84.62% -0.017 -0.0466

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 550 49.35% 25.31 -2.153 72.18% -0.674 -0.094
Dahan Insurrection 4 556 22.83% 51.93 10.326 86.15% -0.598 -0.1939
Despicable Theft 2 12 50.0% 35.17 2.187 75.0% -0.659 -0.3213
Elemental Invocation 1 26 76.92% 27.62 -0.131 69.23% -0.325 0.086
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1133 13.65% 32.3 0.425 77.58% -1.929 -1.5651
Powers Long Forgotten 1 329 63.53% 29.79 -0.006 66.26% -0.77 -0.3319
Rituals of Terror 3 316 44.94% 39.75 4.885 74.68% -0.733 -0.0982
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 211 70.14% 35.32 3.014 63.03% -0.731 -0.0882
Second Wave 0 2000 47.87% 29.63 0.13 76.05% -0.746 -0.3205
The Great River 3 38 42.11% 31.32 1.079 55.26% -2.277 -0.8443
Ward the Shores 2 373 50.0% 34.06 2.024 71.31% -0.836 0.2053

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12482 42.19% 28.74 -0.64 82.18% -0.358 -0.0208
1 Thematic 2192 46.12% 34.83 1.695 73.91% -0.529 -0.0463
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3018 37.22% 29.51 -0.212 87.61% 0.07 0.2751
2 Coastline 327 43.26% 28.8 -0.322 86.24% 0.115 0.2749
2 Fragment 85 42.35% 29.14 -0.344 90.59% 0.345 0.749
2 Heart 52 36.54% 27.83 -0.937 82.69% -0.441 -0.1207
2 Opposite Shores 547 34.44% 29.13 -0.459 87.2% -0.073 0.159
2 Thematic 519 46.91% 35.33 1.086 76.11% -0.115 -0.0842
2 Top to Top 93 38.04% 28.41 -0.738 81.72% -0.38 -0.2283
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 31.88 1.372 75.0% 0.619 0.5576
3 Other 44 29.55% 27.64 -0.844 90.91% -0.024 0.4174
3 Round (Default) 1165 27.08% 31.13 0.245 91.85% 0.28 0.3445
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 25.0 -2.422 100.0% 0.01 -0.1756
3 Thematic 87 40.23% 35.99 0.534 74.71% -0.246 -0.6054
4 Coastline 4 0.0% 30.25 -1.505 50.0% -1.279 -1.11
4 Leaf 4 0.0% 38.5 2.544 100.0% 0.052 0.1182
4 Other 39 35.9% 29.51 0.14 89.74% 0.135 0.2604
4 Thematic 241 43.98% 36.47 0.559 90.04% 1.133 0.0678
4 Trapezoid (Default) 460 29.84% 30.73 0.058 88.7% 0.025 0.0657
5 Other 5 40.0% 34.4 3.109 100.0% 0.431 0.2128

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 587 23.54 -4.276 63.71% -3.154 -1.0824
Aid From Lesser Spirits 595 23.82 -4.015 63.36% -3.218 -1.2978
All Things Weaken 203 22.67 -4.584 62.07% -3.139 -0.9848
Back Against the Wall 552 23.03 -4.502 59.42% -3.366 -1.2708
Disintegrating Ecosystem 637 20.9 -5.641 60.91% -3.316 -1.0889
Downward Spiral 1732 22.09 -4.724 65.36% -2.845 -0.8251
Erosion of Will 635 21.87 -5.121 57.64% -3.448 -1.2376
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 62 28.27 -1.605 95.16% -0.582 0.1108
Memory Fades to Dust 1813 21.21 -5.214 59.4% -3.147 -0.9301
Power Corrodes the Spirit 178 22.53 -4.716 64.61% -3.037 -1.0208
Promising Farmlands 674 21.31 -5.347 61.87% -3.276 -1.0629
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 49 29.37 -0.927 97.96% -0.006 0.4222
Thriving Communities 194 20.45 -5.392 61.86% -3.194 -1.0962
Tipping Point 365 21.32 -5.488 59.18% -3.403 -1.1801
Unnatural Proliferation 196 23.48 -4.322 60.71% -3.247 -1.1595
Untended Land Crumbles 169 21.69 -4.791 65.68% -2.899 -0.8034

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4901 41.06% 28.88 -0.414 83.94% 0.282 -0.8266
B 5095 38.27% 29.22 -0.31 84.87% 0.275 -0.9297
C 5220 38.48% 29.34 -0.207 85.02% 0.304 -1.1314
D 4942 37.79% 29.51 -0.047 85.71% 0.432 -0.7656
E 964 35.03% 29.34 -0.273 86.93% 0.214 -1.0922
F 1864 33.15% 29.93 -0.102 88.63% 0.429 -0.8312
G 1716 36.31% 29.94 -0.142 87.12% 0.306 -0.9428
H 1785 32.75% 30.13 -0.103 88.24% 0.323 -0.94
East 1081 44.59% 36.43 1.853 78.08% 0.17 -0.7937
Northeast 1119 45.93% 35.47 1.328 77.3% 0.046 -0.8635
Northwest 909 43.39% 35.79 1.399 80.75% 0.395 -0.5864
Southeast 167 40.12% 33.88 0.384 78.44% 0.015 -0.9863
Southwest 140 42.14% 30.69 -1.478 76.43% -0.221 -0.8301
West 987 49.19% 34.96 0.907 75.99% 0.043 -0.6603

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 134 0.0% 26.61 -2.682 74.63% -2.416 -0.366
Not Using Events or Tokens 3875 47.76% 27.55 -0.959 77.06% -0.398 -0.1786
Skip Initial Invader Actions 282 9.27% 43.1 3.845 94.33% 0.162 -0.5382
Start of Game Growth 441 14.95% 39.44 2.55 92.52% 0.288 -0.1695
Unlimited Undo 1219 33.79% 30.87 0.145 87.28% 0.147 -0.2693
Using Tokens but Not Events 1770 31.8% 31.2 0.282 87.29% -0.052 -0.1055

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2387 22.34 49.48%
II 8569 30.77 81.26%
III 7406 34.27 89.13%
IV 3012 37.49 98.97%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.045 Win Model: -0.257
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 14689 42.75% 29.65 80.97%
2 4640 38.53% 30.01 86.06%
3 1306 28.6% 31.32 90.58%
4 739 34.34% 32.6 88.9%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 788
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4737
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4490
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2158
Lose: Invader deck ran out 205
Win: Sacrifice victory 64
Lose: Scenario condition 276
Win: Scenario condition 745
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3019
Lose: Spirit destroyed 148

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3044 32.38% 33.07 0.207 84.2% -0.193 -0.0573
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1801 59.74% 31.18 0.021 80.07% 0.148 0.379
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1235 33.06% 34.47 0.824 89.72% 0.367 0.2812
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1590 22.71% 36.71 1.719 92.77% 0.467 0.0974
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1250 29.23% 35.4 1.203 89.6% 0.311 0.0562
Fractured Days Split the Sky 220 45.91% 33.08 0.469 70.45% -1.061 -0.7014
Heart of the Wildfire 2155 67.46% 27.76 -1.647 71.09% -0.306 0.0438
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3497 40.72% 34.0 0.976 87.47% 0.453 0.1514
Lightning's Swift Strike 2896 46.63% 31.51 -0.203 78.69% -0.241 0.0202
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 501 35.93% 34.09 0.823 87.82% 0.197 -0.0836
Many Minds Move as One 402 30.92% 35.96 1.59 94.53% 0.901 0.372
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2746 54.73% 30.57 -0.659 78.7% -0.123 -0.3184
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1209 36.7% 33.07 0.201 86.85% 0.137 0.1816
River Surges in Sunlight 3490 49.0% 33.45 0.863 78.28% -0.186 -0.0317
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2108 40.81% 32.08 -0.108 84.49% 0.049 0.1935
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1990 66.5% 29.22 -0.961 71.01% -0.229 0.2129
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2095 36.92% 33.85 0.632 83.87% -0.111 -0.1826
Shroud of Silent Mist 148 50.0% 31.14 -0.199 84.46% 0.205 0.182
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 706 44.18% 29.6 -1.457 84.14% -0.096 -0.1138
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 997 45.36% 31.85 -0.291 81.44% -0.059 0.1475
Thunderspeaker 2701 43.02% 34.25 1.015 83.27% 0.091 0.1445
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 601 73.88% 27.02 -1.928 74.71% -0.062 -0.0478
Vital Strength of the Earth 2503 44.47% 29.36 -1.338 73.63% -0.672 0.1968
Volcano Looming High 367 47.41% 31.71 -0.073 86.1% 0.166 0.1358

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 606 58.5% 27.14 -2.35 67.16% -0.699 -0.1193
Dahan Insurrection 4 458 30.7% 52.21 9.495 77.95% -1.013 -0.6092
Despicable Theft 2 12 75.0% 35.25 2.143 75.0% -0.4 -0.0625
Elemental Invocation 1 29 79.31% 28.03 -1.172 68.97% -0.264 0.147
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1650 16.0% 33.58 0.041 72.48% -2.153 -1.7887
Powers Long Forgotten 1 354 65.54% 31.93 0.174 63.56% -0.693 -0.255
Rituals of Terror 3 261 56.15% 40.82 4.308 64.37% -0.918 -0.2825
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 177 74.01% 37.77 2.989 59.89% -0.795 -0.1526
Second Wave 0 1532 54.97% 31.48 -0.132 71.02% -0.811 -0.3857
The Great River 3 37 64.86% 34.86 1.549 54.05% -1.608 -0.1754
Ward the Shores 2 401 55.11% 35.46 1.781 65.09% -0.983 0.0581

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 15007 50.0% 30.63 -0.555 78.22% 0.124 0.462
1 Thematic 2137 57.21% 34.43 1.031 66.5% -0.217 0.2653
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3981 43.78% 32.23 0.095 85.41% 0.327 0.5327
2 Coastline 452 43.21% 32.47 0.093 85.4% 0.326 0.486
2 Fragment 113 57.52% 30.61 -0.524 79.65% 0.072 0.4759
2 Heart 58 37.93% 29.84 -1.192 77.59% -0.348 -0.0281
2 Opposite Shores 742 42.28% 32.38 0.102 86.12% 0.443 0.6753
2 Thematic 653 60.22% 34.62 0.42 66.16% -0.321 -0.2899
2 Top to Top 127 47.24% 32.58 0.327 85.04% 0.413 0.5655
3 Coastline 13 30.77% 36.08 0.587 84.62% 0.013 -0.0485
3 Other 80 30.38% 32.38 -0.359 83.75% -0.513 -0.0713
3 Round (Default) 1662 36.37% 32.83 0.066 87.0% 0.153 0.2177
3 Sunrise 10 40.0% 26.8 -3.463 50.0% -1.6 -1.7848
3 Thematic 142 56.03% 37.82 1.372 76.76% -0.041 -0.4006
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 36.0 3.619 100.0% 0.288 0.4573
4 Leaf 5 40.0% 34.4 0.777 80.0% -0.232 -0.1656
4 Other 47 17.02% 34.45 0.262 91.49% -0.035 0.0898
4 Thematic 234 41.2% 39.04 1.067 83.33% -0.071 -1.1353
4 Trapezoid (Default) 995 31.9% 33.68 0.452 89.65% 0.207 0.2476
5 Other 16 50.0% 35.63 1.25 100.0% 0.882 0.6639
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 42.0 2.871 100.0% 0.163 -2.7954

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 993 25.35 -4.265 59.42% -3.117 -1.0452
Aid From Lesser Spirits 823 27.03 -3.463 61.85% -3.065 -1.1444
All Things Weaken 310 24.49 -4.575 59.03% -3.199 -1.0442
Back Against the Wall 821 27.52 -3.247 64.56% -2.937 -0.8423
Disintegrating Ecosystem 941 23.1 -5.422 58.87% -3.173 -0.9458
Downward Spiral 2405 24.72 -4.366 63.74% -2.893 -0.8734
Erosion of Will 998 24.26 -4.799 56.41% -3.3 -1.0897
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 104 33.8 0.001 96.15% -0.242 0.4502
Memory Fades to Dust 2344 23.78 -4.856 57.76% -3.142 -0.9245
Power Corrodes the Spirit 303 24.5 -4.562 62.71% -3.093 -1.0769
Promising Farmlands 1000 24.17 -4.826 60.6% -3.086 -0.8735
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 89 33.75 -0.008 100.0% 1.047 1.4758
Thriving Communities 276 24.75 -4.514 63.04% -3.019 -0.9217
Tipping Point 575 24.7 -4.566 60.7% -3.042 -0.8194
Unnatural Proliferation 331 24.86 -4.365 60.73% -3.154 -1.0669
Untended Land Crumbles 292 24.17 -4.678 63.36% -3.014 -0.9181

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6505 44.73% 31.68 -0.058 82.64% 0.158 -0.9506
B 6757 44.59% 31.54 -0.139 82.26% 0.117 -1.0872
C 7061 43.11% 31.83 0.042 82.72% 0.126 -1.3089
D 6535 45.95% 31.34 -0.173 81.87% 0.146 -1.0513
E 1412 43.02% 32.27 0.033 85.27% 0.148 -1.1583
F 2581 40.16% 32.94 0.266 86.05% 0.242 -1.0185
G 2334 42.78% 32.17 -0.054 84.75% 0.182 -1.0665
H 2396 41.46% 32.32 -0.031 84.27% 0.081 -1.1826
East 1191 53.37% 37.0 1.64 72.12% 0.197 -0.7676
Northeast 1163 53.49% 36.84 1.583 73.17% 0.315 -0.5945
Northwest 981 56.34% 34.52 0.236 66.87% -0.074 -1.056
Southeast 196 52.82% 32.55 -0.695 69.39% -0.33 -1.3306
Southwest 165 53.94% 32.64 -0.71 75.76% 0.262 -0.3463
West 1053 57.52% 35.53 0.818 68.85% 0.052 -0.6512

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 143 0.0% 31.54 -1.608 81.12% -2.048 0.0027
Not Using Events or Tokens 4265 54.56% 29.4 -0.835 74.47% -0.141 0.0788
Skip Initial Invader Actions 347 13.62% 45.41 4.28 95.1% 1.042 0.3424
Start of Game Growth 572 17.38% 41.55 2.55 90.38% -0.127 -0.585
Unlimited Undo 1773 43.86% 32.77 0.201 82.91% 0.111 -0.3047
Using Tokens but Not Events 2082 40.81% 32.8 0.227 85.25% 0.175 0.1221

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1946 22.34 15.16%
II 11289 30.77 75.76%
III 8868 34.27 88.79%
IV 4373 37.49 98.99%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.183 Win Model: 0.154
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 17165 50.93% 31.1 76.76%
2 6128 45.54% 32.47 83.26%
3 1901 37.27% 33.22 86.06%
4 1282 33.47% 34.72 88.69%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 197
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5783
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5782
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3185
Lose: Invader deck ran out 265
Win: Sacrifice victory 117
Lose: Scenario condition 472
Win: Scenario condition 617
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4473
Lose: Spirit destroyed 216

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2976 40.35% 41.65 0.581 84.95% -0.037 0.0981
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1849 72.8% 36.1 -1.269 69.44% -0.315 -0.0847
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1517 35.4% 43.27 1.237 89.12% 0.259 0.1731
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1680 40.9% 43.19 1.286 88.1% 0.289 -0.0808
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1487 44.28% 42.38 0.92 85.68% 0.199 -0.0557
Fractured Days Split the Sky 342 48.25% 42.07 0.913 78.07% -0.573 -0.2133
Heart of the Wildfire 2668 69.29% 36.58 -1.243 72.15% -0.204 0.1455
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4425 52.29% 42.27 1.231 84.9% 0.354 0.0519
Lightning's Swift Strike 3166 51.85% 40.71 0.398 80.2% -0.078 0.1838
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 675 50.96% 42.68 1.308 86.81% 0.381 0.1005
Many Minds Move as One 462 48.37% 42.98 1.397 90.91% 0.671 0.1421
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2751 65.63% 37.16 -1.312 73.21% -0.313 -0.5082
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1401 41.85% 42.51 0.996 88.79% 0.396 0.4398
River Surges in Sunlight 3485 56.35% 42.16 1.307 78.48% -0.076 0.0782
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1954 56.03% 38.71 -0.685 78.3% -0.18 -0.0356
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1989 72.77% 35.92 -1.491 67.37% -0.392 0.0499
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2745 38.42% 43.36 1.614 85.61% 0.023 -0.0482
Shroud of Silent Mist 169 72.19% 37.77 -0.529 79.29% 0.104 0.0808
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1188 59.11% 35.19 -2.263 77.61% -0.265 -0.282
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1270 49.53% 41.73 0.621 83.62% 0.11 0.3163
Thunderspeaker 2379 51.31% 42.54 1.074 81.25% 0.034 0.087
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 895 83.13% 34.87 -1.72 74.53% 0.085 0.0993
Vital Strength of the Earth 2170 59.56% 34.63 -2.561 66.59% -0.823 0.046
Volcano Looming High 434 55.07% 40.04 0.221 84.56% 0.149 0.1196

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 489 58.88% 35.43 -2.291 66.46% -0.736 -0.1559
Dahan Insurrection 4 504 39.17% 62.38 10.423 82.54% -0.266 0.1376
Despicable Theft 2 17 58.82% 38.41 -0.721 52.94% -1.325 -0.9872
Elemental Invocation 1 35 57.14% 45.83 2.426 91.43% 0.644 1.0557
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1694 22.52% 43.54 1.06 79.4% -1.302 -0.9384
Powers Long Forgotten 1 252 75.0% 39.21 -0.33 63.1% -0.582 -0.1442
Rituals of Terror 3 197 62.94% 47.97 4.224 65.99% -0.625 0.0098
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 76 86.84% 41.82 1.19 51.32% -0.689 -0.0459
Second Wave 0 1024 63.73% 36.2 -1.857 62.99% -1.06 -0.6352
The Great River 3 32 78.13% 38.84 -0.19 46.88% -1.737 -0.3047
Ward the Shores 2 271 63.84% 42.1 1.129 64.21% -0.765 0.2759

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 19624 57.9% 38.42 -0.547 76.56% -0.392 -0.0541
1 Thematic 1549 59.52% 42.52 0.883 67.33% -0.329 0.1538
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4460 53.97% 40.06 0.076 81.79% -0.175 0.0302
2 Coastline 563 55.4% 40.85 0.307 82.59% -0.109 0.0513
2 Fragment 108 57.41% 39.33 -0.57 76.85% -0.45 -0.0456
2 Heart 58 56.9% 38.64 -0.544 79.31% -0.314 0.0061
2 Opposite Shores 838 57.89% 40.34 0.161 83.53% 0.038 0.2709
2 Thematic 493 60.16% 44.32 1.135 71.4% 0.366 0.3971
2 Top to Top 126 56.35% 37.76 -0.767 73.81% -0.557 -0.4053
3 Coastline 38 31.58% 47.79 2.691 97.37% 1.186 1.1247
3 Other 93 41.94% 42.08 0.462 89.25% 0.021 0.4627
3 Round (Default) 1576 46.71% 41.29 0.326 86.17% -0.021 0.0433
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 58.0 6.436 100.0% 0.171 -0.0141
3 Thematic 79 62.82% 42.38 -0.085 67.09% 0.648 0.2884
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 19.0 -11.494 0.0% -0.596 -0.4262
4 Leaf 4 100.0% 43.0 2.445 100.0% 0.393 0.4596
4 Other 40 30.0% 43.88 1.145 92.5% 0.088 0.2134
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 66.0 5.933 100.0% 0.011 -0.7681
4 Thematic 171 41.52% 50.32 1.225 77.19% 0.943 -0.1216
4 Trapezoid (Default) 856 40.8% 43.6 0.904 89.49% 0.122 0.1622
5 Other 9 55.56% 42.67 1.623 88.89% 0.24 0.0225
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 22.0 -12.836 0.0% -0.747 -3.7061

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1473 33.07 -4.441 61.37% -3.085 -1.0127
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1218 35.61 -3.134 66.91% -2.877 -0.9565
All Things Weaken 495 31.55 -4.969 59.19% -3.259 -1.1042
Back Against the Wall 1138 34.14 -3.869 63.09% -3.05 -0.9556
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1357 30.73 -5.587 59.99% -3.138 -0.9109
Downward Spiral 2867 32.82 -4.331 65.75% -2.811 -0.791
Erosion of Will 1410 32.19 -4.908 59.86% -3.214 -1.0033
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 199 42.83 0.459 96.98% -0.177 0.5153
Memory Fades to Dust 2783 31.55 -4.997 60.19% -3.062 -0.8449
Power Corrodes the Spirit 510 33.43 -4.065 68.82% -2.804 -0.7883
Promising Farmlands 1392 30.99 -5.396 59.91% -3.138 -0.9251
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 133 44.7 1.149 98.5% 0.386 0.8145
Thriving Communities 481 30.84 -5.371 61.33% -3.177 -1.0793
Tipping Point 813 30.59 -5.666 56.33% -3.232 -1.009
Unnatural Proliferation 475 34.72 -3.309 68.63% -2.77 -0.6828
Untended Land Crumbles 430 32.09 -4.695 64.19% -3.059 -0.9635

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7105 54.97% 39.37 -0.112 79.31% 0.381 -0.7281
B 7406 53.66% 39.76 0.1 80.22% 0.403 -0.8013
C 7932 54.92% 39.81 0.186 80.24% 0.448 -0.9875
D 7153 54.79% 39.47 0.03 79.76% 0.426 -0.7718
E 1889 55.3% 39.74 0.004 82.64% 0.484 -0.8224
F 3163 49.72% 41.03 0.442 84.22% 0.499 -0.7611
G 2899 54.44% 39.48 -0.269 80.37% 0.307 -0.9414
H 3231 51.15% 40.38 0.105 82.36% 0.363 -0.8996
East 860 56.58% 45.15 1.292 69.53% -0.091 -1.0551
Northeast 858 57.29% 44.44 1.155 69.23% -0.067 -0.9764
Northwest 618 56.89% 44.73 0.823 71.04% 0.094 -0.8875
Southeast 164 48.17% 46.33 1.807 80.49% 0.397 -0.604
Southwest 155 52.26% 42.1 -0.743 75.48% -0.175 -0.7832
West 737 56.87% 44.34 0.618 67.3% -0.273 -0.9764

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 107 0.0% 34.07 -4.088 63.55% -3.066 -1.0154
Not Using Events or Tokens 3324 67.12% 36.14 -1.184 70.97% -0.121 0.0986
Skip Initial Invader Actions 371 11.67% 55.36 4.844 96.23% 0.919 0.2195
Start of Game Growth 511 15.96% 52.53 3.653 93.93% 0.335 -0.1224
Unlimited Undo 2034 51.06% 41.38 0.645 82.89% 0.227 -0.1888
Using Tokens but Not Events 1895 47.98% 41.94 0.703 85.33% 0.284 0.2308

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2659 22.34 17.53%
II 14341 30.77 75.19%
III 9579 34.27 89.66%
IV 4111 37.49 99.66%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.288 Win Model: -0.202
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 21205 58.0% 38.73 75.91%
2 6650 55.29% 40.4 81.05%
3 1768 46.3% 41.57 85.8%
4 1067 41.08% 44.62 87.35%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 315
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6579
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7582
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3233
Lose: Invader deck ran out 210
Win: Sacrifice victory 141
Lose: Scenario condition 342
Win: Scenario condition 590
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5898
Lose: Spirit destroyed 305

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1938 52.69% 40.4 0.567 73.79% -0.129 0.0065
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1230 80.62% 35.03 -1.353 57.8% -0.271 -0.0407
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 998 55.7% 40.98 0.862 75.85% 0.138 0.0518
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1070 51.64% 43.35 1.753 78.97% 0.201 -0.1688
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1054 57.7% 42.06 1.386 77.99% 0.297 0.0419
Fractured Days Split the Sky 210 60.48% 41.09 0.955 66.19% -0.442 -0.0818
Heart of the Wildfire 1633 79.67% 34.29 -1.93 58.11% -0.278 0.0716
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3550 61.95% 41.36 1.375 76.39% 0.351 0.0497
Lightning's Swift Strike 1995 63.5% 38.81 -0.012 68.02% -0.135 0.1263
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 568 65.85% 40.06 0.836 75.0% 0.23 -0.0509
Many Minds Move as One 317 50.47% 45.03 2.753 87.7% 0.93 0.4007
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1988 72.4% 36.68 -1.024 63.48% -0.254 -0.4496
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 925 53.68% 41.49 1.053 77.84% 0.2 0.2447
River Surges in Sunlight 2457 67.84% 40.68 1.056 65.85% -0.123 0.0314
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1327 71.66% 36.63 -1.127 63.98% -0.189 -0.0453
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1180 77.81% 35.34 -1.437 57.12% -0.37 0.0719
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1878 50.61% 41.72 1.318 73.8% -0.124 -0.1952
Shroud of Silent Mist 109 77.98% 37.83 -0.05 72.48% 0.322 0.2987
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 709 69.77% 33.1 -2.841 63.61% -0.379 -0.3968
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 786 57.03% 41.06 0.801 75.06% 0.068 0.2745
Thunderspeaker 1546 64.71% 42.14 1.491 72.57% 0.207 0.2601
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 645 91.01% 32.27 -2.448 57.21% -0.119 -0.1051
Vital Strength of the Earth 1278 75.49% 32.83 -2.684 51.41% -0.725 0.1443
Volcano Looming High 288 65.97% 39.56 0.427 74.65% 0.186 0.1563

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 309 70.39% 33.23 -2.857 50.81% -0.778 -0.1985
Dahan Insurrection 4 340 55.29% 59.72 9.929 72.06% -0.086 0.3178
Despicable Theft 2 4 50.0% 60.0 7.448 100.0% 0.474 0.8109
Elemental Invocation 1 11 90.91% 33.45 -2.305 54.55% -0.407 0.0043
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1038 24.59% 43.88 1.499 71.0% -1.388 -1.0241
Powers Long Forgotten 1 159 76.1% 36.45 -1.073 47.8% -0.861 -0.4229
Rituals of Terror 3 102 86.27% 37.42 -0.204 35.29% -1.199 -0.5641
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 90 87.78% 39.96 0.753 37.78% -0.759 -0.1162
Second Wave 0 629 73.61% 36.28 -1.317 55.8% -0.704 -0.2788
The Great River 3 12 58.33% 47.42 3.466 58.33% -1.041 0.3918
Ward the Shores 2 103 83.5% 38.2 0.27 42.72% -0.689 0.3518

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12994 67.11% 37.46 -0.628 66.55% -0.336 0.0015
1 Thematic 1244 67.12% 41.11 0.678 54.82% -0.637 -0.1538
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2996 67.05% 39.59 0.498 72.86% 0.091 0.2962
2 Coastline 372 58.54% 42.67 1.393 80.38% 0.371 0.5309
2 Fragment 57 66.67% 34.3 -1.895 56.14% -0.666 -0.2623
2 Heart 58 70.69% 33.9 -2.395 55.17% -0.631 -0.311
2 Opposite Shores 499 66.93% 38.59 -0.189 70.14% -0.017 0.2157
2 Thematic 351 77.78% 40.06 0.272 53.85% -0.095 -0.0636
2 Top to Top 82 71.6% 37.24 -0.38 69.51% 0.064 0.2159
3 Coastline 12 33.33% 54.33 5.684 100.0% 0.833 0.7717
3 Other 64 46.88% 39.16 -0.74 70.31% -0.706 -0.2647
3 Round (Default) 1108 57.48% 40.98 0.637 76.62% 0.162 0.2262
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 50.0 3.837 100.0% 0.02 -0.1652
3 Thematic 82 74.39% 38.84 -0.92 50.0% -0.121 -0.4804
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 50.0 3.526 100.0% 0.024 0.1938
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 37.6 -0.388 80.0% 0.4 0.4665
4 Other 51 41.18% 44.49 1.424 84.31% 0.049 0.1742
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 4.701 100.0% 0.012 -0.7667
4 Snake 2 50.0% 47.0 2.716 100.0% 0.435 0.5932
4 Thematic 102 62.75% 41.81 -0.464 55.88% 0.048 -1.0166
4 Trapezoid (Default) 548 59.89% 40.38 0.05 70.8% -0.048 -0.0071
5 Other 5 40.0% 52.8 5.538 100.0% 0.648 0.4302
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 62.0 10.627 100.0% 0.132 -2.8265

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1116 32.78 -4.303 51.79% -3.071 -0.9994
Aid From Lesser Spirits 917 35.04 -3.266 56.71% -2.964 -1.0435
All Things Weaken 391 31.55 -4.698 50.38% -3.188 -1.033
Back Against the Wall 874 34.36 -3.576 53.78% -3.039 -0.9439
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1110 31.45 -4.878 54.86% -2.96 -0.7332
Downward Spiral 2154 33.07 -3.909 57.1% -2.75 -0.7296
Erosion of Will 1234 31.57 -4.915 48.54% -3.237 -1.0265
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 120 47.06 2.815 99.17% 0.905 1.5975
Memory Fades to Dust 2193 31.44 -4.763 51.07% -2.996 -0.7795
Power Corrodes the Spirit 399 31.36 -4.751 53.13% -3.06 -1.0444
Promising Farmlands 1201 31.22 -5.049 51.37% -3.099 -0.8861
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 69 47.25 2.964 100.0% 0.965 1.3936
Thriving Communities 351 28.5 -6.189 45.3% -3.427 -1.3298
Tipping Point 661 31.49 -4.848 49.92% -3.076 -0.8538
Unnatural Proliferation 431 31.11 -4.86 47.8% -3.31 -1.2228
Untended Land Crumbles 408 30.31 -5.293 49.75% -3.214 -1.1179

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4657 65.91% 38.22 -0.238 68.07% 0.412 -0.6969
B 5000 65.22% 38.89 0.157 70.04% 0.526 -0.6778
C 5162 65.57% 38.45 -0.035 68.75% 0.449 -0.9859
D 4710 64.98% 38.69 0.137 69.77% 0.516 -0.6815
E 1357 64.28% 39.44 0.444 73.4% 0.645 -0.6613
F 2116 63.12% 39.47 0.253 72.12% 0.502 -0.7579
G 1948 65.26% 39.01 0.032 71.41% 0.521 -0.7278
H 2221 60.24% 40.32 0.552 74.47% 0.566 -0.6974
East 634 68.45% 42.38 1.145 55.84% 0.309 -0.6553
Northeast 606 70.79% 41.8 1.021 56.44% 0.459 -0.4506
Northwest 515 74.56% 38.35 -0.869 48.35% 0.137 -0.8447
Southeast 117 68.38% 40.52 -0.37 60.68% 0.34 -0.6615
Southwest 118 53.39% 41.53 -0.317 68.64% 0.346 -0.2625
West 579 69.43% 40.41 0.039 51.99% 0.09 -0.6138

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 79 0.0% 33.24 -4.011 53.16% -2.929 -0.8781
Not Using Events or Tokens 2115 75.27% 35.37 -1.12 60.57% -0.138 0.0815
Skip Initial Invader Actions 353 14.99% 56.44 5.862 94.33% 1.178 0.4778
Start of Game Growth 474 21.77% 53.31 4.291 90.51% 0.283 -0.1741
Unlimited Undo 1336 62.46% 40.25 0.631 72.23% 0.159 -0.2575
Using Tokens but Not Events 1188 59.86% 39.02 -0.169 70.37% -0.13 -0.1828

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2386 22.34 6.04%
II 8483 30.77 60.73%
III 7473 34.27 84.88%
IV 2294 37.49 99.48%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.241 Win Model: -0.409
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 14258 67.12% 37.78 65.54%
2 4411 67.3% 39.58 71.19%
3 1269 57.44% 40.93 74.94%
4 698 59.19% 40.92 69.48%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 112
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4928
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3638
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1758
Lose: Invader deck ran out 210
Win: Sacrifice victory 102
Lose: Scenario condition 270
Win: Scenario condition 289
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5982
Lose: Spirit destroyed 253

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 921 54.54% 43.93 1.896 71.12% 0.161 0.2961
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 528 79.17% 36.82 -1.023 51.7% -0.223 0.0076
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 466 54.53% 45.02 2.263 76.61% 0.539 0.4525
Eyes Watch From the Trees 463 60.43% 44.85 2.27 72.35% 0.427 0.0569
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 506 62.48% 42.45 1.067 64.82% 0.062 -0.1932
Fractured Days Split the Sky 92 60.87% 46.08 2.418 70.65% 0.02 0.38
Heart of the Wildfire 785 81.56% 35.04 -1.972 50.45% -0.175 0.1752
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1557 64.2% 41.98 1.017 65.57% 0.25 -0.0512
Lightning's Swift Strike 1090 65.31% 40.52 0.25 61.28% -0.13 0.1313
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 250 69.2% 40.47 0.653 64.0% 0.001 -0.2801
Many Minds Move as One 149 61.07% 45.32 2.669 77.85% 0.682 0.1526
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 917 75.49% 38.22 -0.731 56.82% -0.121 -0.317
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 422 57.96% 43.66 1.778 72.51% 0.367 0.4113
River Surges in Sunlight 1149 72.5% 40.5 0.533 56.05% -0.21 -0.0555
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 622 69.61% 39.02 -0.703 59.32% -0.078 0.0667
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 519 78.81% 36.55 -1.537 47.78% -0.35 0.0916
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 868 55.53% 43.78 1.923 69.12% 0.124 0.0528
Shroud of Silent Mist 73 87.67% 32.48 -3.022 46.58% -0.354 -0.3765
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 262 78.24% 31.37 -4.056 49.24% -0.473 -0.49
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 456 66.08% 39.55 -0.263 59.43% -0.272 -0.0653
Thunderspeaker 799 69.15% 41.33 0.782 60.95% -0.028 0.0247
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 263 91.98% 30.68 -3.559 42.59% -0.305 -0.291
Vital Strength of the Earth 644 74.03% 34.98 -2.333 46.89% -0.67 0.1989
Volcano Looming High 122 68.03% 42.3 1.487 72.95% 0.489 0.4588

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 184 72.88% 33.93 -2.951 46.2% -0.67 -0.0901
Dahan Insurrection 4 197 63.45% 55.06 7.619 54.31% -0.5 -0.0959
Despicable Theft 2 3 100.0% 44.67 4.506 66.67% 0.426 0.7636
Elemental Invocation 1 9 77.78% 35.56 -2.045 44.44% -0.339 0.0721
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 724 24.23% 47.99 3.033 70.86% -0.964 -0.6001
Powers Long Forgotten 1 65 84.62% 40.78 0.684 52.31% -0.053 0.3851
Rituals of Terror 3 93 72.04% 43.16 1.885 40.86% -0.978 -0.3432
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 60 80.0% 43.0 2.219 40.0% -0.584 0.0588
Second Wave 0 262 70.99% 38.72 -1.014 51.91% -0.612 -0.187
The Great River 3 7 71.43% 32.57 -4.924 14.29% -2.116 -0.6831
Ward the Shores 2 77 77.92% 42.49 0.756 44.16% -0.616 0.4247

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5989 70.21% 37.76 -0.916 56.59% -0.544 -0.2064
1 Thematic 806 63.15% 42.68 1.167 51.74% -0.213 0.2694
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1460 73.56% 39.28 -0.198 61.16% -0.351 -0.1453
2 Coastline 159 67.3% 43.57 1.46 72.33% 0.147 0.3071
2 Fragment 24 79.17% 35.58 -1.563 54.17% -0.363 0.0407
2 Heart 18 77.78% 46.17 3.12 77.78% 0.513 0.8326
2 Opposite Shores 252 65.74% 40.53 0.063 63.89% -0.31 -0.0776
2 Thematic 150 76.0% 42.2 0.86 46.67% 0.453 0.4843
2 Top to Top 38 63.16% 39.82 0.019 60.53% -0.287 -0.135
3 Coastline 16 56.25% 50.81 4.715 81.25% 0.481 0.419
3 Other 21 57.14% 46.0 1.664 80.95% -0.049 0.3917
3 Round (Default) 505 62.87% 44.32 1.67 74.65% 0.131 0.1953
3 Sunrise 4 50.0% 38.0 -2.649 50.0% -0.755 -0.9398
3 Thematic 39 89.74% 32.95 -3.742 25.64% 0.149 -0.2101
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 33.5 -1.826 50.0% -0.111 -0.0441
4 Other 20 30.0% 54.9 3.257 95.0% 0.185 0.31
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 61.0 5.161 100.0% 0.141 -0.6376
4 Thematic 54 59.26% 47.76 0.735 57.41% 1.134 0.0694
4 Trapezoid (Default) 220 49.54% 45.64 1.168 74.09% -0.353 -0.3124
5 Other 2 0.0% 52.0 3.962 100.0% 0.032 -0.1859

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 592 34.42 -4.135 46.45% -2.842 -0.7705
Aid From Lesser Spirits 458 34.91 -3.947 45.85% -2.888 -0.9672
All Things Weaken 191 32.18 -4.828 42.93% -2.935 -0.7804
Back Against the Wall 416 36.0 -3.392 49.28% -2.764 -0.6693
Disintegrating Ecosystem 541 30.43 -6.17 40.67% -3.076 -0.849
Downward Spiral 1135 32.48 -4.905 44.67% -2.815 -0.7948
Erosion of Will 538 30.96 -5.982 37.36% -3.277 -1.0666
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 38 52.0 4.313 97.37% 0.559 1.251
Memory Fades to Dust 1146 30.9 -5.661 39.88% -3.025 -0.8083
Power Corrodes the Spirit 176 30.52 -5.764 42.05% -3.011 -0.9953
Promising Farmlands 575 29.76 -6.516 37.22% -3.277 -1.0644
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 35 51.57 3.94 97.14% 0.475 0.9031
Thriving Communities 189 28.89 -6.358 38.1% -3.112 -1.0146
Tipping Point 323 29.83 -6.45 35.91% -3.32 -1.097
Unnatural Proliferation 194 32.96 -4.509 43.81% -2.88 -0.7931
Untended Land Crumbles 182 31.23 -5.48 41.21% -3.079 -0.9835

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2196 69.93% 39.63 0.076 60.93% 0.481 -0.628
B 2372 68.61% 38.95 -0.332 59.57% 0.324 -0.8806
C 2435 70.57% 39.31 0.042 60.82% 0.483 -0.9522
D 2128 67.08% 40.35 0.553 63.11% 0.536 -0.6617
E 602 66.06% 41.7 1.01 68.27% 0.683 -0.6235
F 1004 64.53% 40.72 0.376 64.84% 0.434 -0.8259
G 877 63.31% 41.69 0.629 67.27% 0.483 -0.7658
H 958 65.12% 41.18 0.41 65.45% 0.455 -0.8085
East 327 70.95% 41.49 -0.142 43.73% -0.46 -1.4247
Northeast 342 67.84% 41.54 0.043 45.03% -0.417 -1.3259
Northwest 245 73.47% 41.17 -0.302 44.9% -0.143 -1.1249
Southeast 82 53.66% 48.55 3.36 69.51% 0.517 -0.4843
Southwest 68 61.76% 36.6 -3.058 47.06% -0.64 -1.2486
West 314 67.52% 44.43 1.625 51.27% 0.128 -0.5756

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 40 0.0% 39.67 -1.753 62.5% -2.001 0.0499
Not Using Events or Tokens 1151 77.34% 37.27 -0.577 54.13% 0.098 0.3173
Skip Initial Invader Actions 191 13.3% 60.43 6.668 95.29% 1.022 0.3222
Start of Game Growth 285 20.79% 56.15 5.019 91.58% 0.709 0.2511
Unlimited Undo 775 66.71% 41.87 1.113 65.68% 0.306 -0.1103
Using Tokens but Not Events 576 66.96% 36.42 -1.682 52.95% -0.482 -0.5353

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1961 22.34 8.87%
II 3783 30.77 55.46%
III 2959 34.27 80.74%
IV 1077 37.49 99.35%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.487 Win Model: -0.269
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6805 69.35% 38.36 56.06%
2 2102 72.29% 39.98 61.37%
3 578 63.76% 43.71 71.45%
4 295 50.51% 46.62 72.2%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 136
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1858
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1541
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 848
Lose: Invader deck ran out 87
Win: Sacrifice victory 37
Lose: Scenario condition 191
Win: Scenario condition 141
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3631
Lose: Spirit destroyed 140

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5309 47.2% 48.96 1.652 72.8% 0.004 0.1396
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2698 83.14% 38.12 -1.765 51.11% -0.193 0.0373
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2518 54.8% 47.02 1.331 73.63% 0.167 0.0806
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2486 57.41% 48.1 2.034 72.73% 0.237 -0.1328
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2277 66.15% 43.95 0.014 64.43% -0.045 -0.2997
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1128 54.79% 50.97 3.279 71.54% -0.031 0.3292
Heart of the Wildfire 4766 69.57% 41.95 -1.428 57.68% -0.234 0.1156
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8140 59.6% 46.75 1.144 69.86% 0.174 -0.1276
Lightning's Swift Strike 5590 64.6% 44.48 0.452 63.9% -0.051 0.2106
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1629 62.92% 45.44 0.909 68.2% 0.058 -0.2223
Many Minds Move as One 801 49.06% 52.2 4.077 87.39% 1.102 0.5732
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5115 71.17% 41.36 -1.76 54.15% -0.404 -0.5997
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2616 53.59% 47.92 1.817 75.84% 0.305 0.3494
River Surges in Sunlight 5445 64.83% 47.25 1.457 62.44% -0.081 0.0736
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4049 61.28% 45.76 0.605 67.92% 0.068 0.2117
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2247 75.71% 38.13 -2.999 46.82% -0.643 -0.2009
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3666 49.26% 48.62 1.538 71.74% -0.028 -0.1
Shroud of Silent Mist 229 83.41% 39.03 -1.778 55.46% -0.116 -0.1386
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2843 71.6% 37.29 -2.997 57.44% -0.327 -0.3441
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1977 59.38% 46.57 0.968 69.04% -0.007 0.2
Thunderspeaker 3016 68.14% 44.64 0.259 60.81% -0.071 -0.0178
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2190 84.16% 39.53 -1.494 59.86% 0.111 0.1252
Vital Strength of the Earth 2289 71.68% 37.57 -3.065 47.88% -0.759 0.11
Volcano Looming High 1302 57.6% 46.91 1.672 74.04% 0.228 0.1979

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 536 67.44% 38.92 -2.916 51.49% -0.727 -0.1466
Dahan Insurrection 4 792 45.13% 69.54 10.871 74.75% 0.158 0.5618
Despicable Theft 2 4 100.0% 56.5 7.342 75.0% 0.619 0.9564
Elemental Invocation 1 39 74.36% 39.74 -2.054 48.72% -0.782 -0.3703
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5220 20.74% 53.7 3.726 77.28% -0.807 -0.4428
Powers Long Forgotten 1 134 79.55% 39.11 -2.032 41.04% -0.643 -0.2044
Rituals of Terror 3 136 83.09% 41.01 -0.552 31.62% -1.106 -0.4713
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 73 91.78% 40.75 -0.579 32.88% -0.831 -0.1882
Second Wave 0 634 79.15% 40.26 -1.844 49.37% -0.576 -0.1509
The Great River 3 18 61.11% 34.44 -7.492 16.67% -3.047 -1.6139
Ward the Shores 2 137 83.09% 39.92 -1.368 37.96% -0.84 0.2007

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 37358 68.78% 41.72 -0.664 60.41% -0.411 -0.0732
1 Thematic 1328 67.73% 44.27 -0.448 48.95% -0.575 -0.0924
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5758 66.81% 44.99 0.511 67.21% -0.089 0.116
2 Coastline 783 64.65% 46.24 1.203 69.6% 0.038 0.1981
2 Fragment 190 68.95% 47.21 1.876 73.16% 0.184 0.588
2 Heart 74 79.73% 42.05 -0.572 60.81% -0.075 0.2451
2 Opposite Shores 1162 62.95% 43.64 -0.204 62.82% -0.321 -0.0881
2 Thematic 322 69.38% 44.79 -1.283 47.83% -0.195 -0.1637
2 Top to Top 182 67.22% 44.45 0.762 64.84% -0.131 0.0209
3 Coastline 58 22.41% 57.17 4.718 86.21% -0.14 -0.2019
3 Other 78 61.54% 48.31 1.259 75.64% -0.204 0.2369
3 Round (Default) 2275 55.6% 46.42 0.499 69.89% -0.147 -0.0829
3 Sunrise 16 68.75% 42.44 -1.091 56.25% -0.378 -0.563
3 Thematic 67 81.25% 42.94 -3.374 41.79% 0.198 -0.161
4 Coastline 13 0.0% 64.54 5.949 100.0% 0.352 0.5218
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 25.4 -9.371 20.0% -1.011 -0.9442
4 Other 211 31.75% 53.69 2.258 85.31% 0.104 0.2289
4 Thematic 836 25.33% 66.3 3.29 82.66% 1.23 0.1653
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1747 57.38% 46.52 -0.088 68.17% -0.254 -0.2135
5 Other 24 66.67% 53.83 3.131 95.83% 1.085 0.8674
5 Thematic 4 25.0% 71.25 5.934 100.0% 0.778 -2.1809

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3168 35.3 -5.425 44.51% -3.179 -1.1074
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2430 39.34 -3.578 52.51% -2.897 -0.977
All Things Weaken 1219 35.17 -5.305 45.69% -3.174 -1.0195
Back Against the Wall 2326 38.03 -4.22 49.44% -3.021 -0.9263
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3030 33.33 -6.415 44.92% -3.169 -0.9414
Downward Spiral 4772 34.48 -5.579 46.23% -2.945 -0.9249
Erosion of Will 3076 34.43 -5.936 42.59% -3.291 -1.0803
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 234 53.95 3.516 94.44% -0.177 0.5156
Memory Fades to Dust 4979 33.3 -6.196 41.15% -3.139 -0.9218
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1178 35.74 -4.945 49.75% -3.006 -0.9895
Promising Farmlands 3036 33.23 -6.464 42.42% -3.279 -1.0662
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 207 54.28 3.784 95.65% 0.144 0.5729
Thriving Communities 1122 34.13 -5.79 46.52% -3.155 -1.0578
Tipping Point 1595 32.86 -6.653 40.13% -3.345 -1.122
Unnatural Proliferation 1261 36.51 -4.586 47.9% -3.056 -0.9687
Untended Land Crumbles 1124 35.27 -5.291 48.84% -3.061 -0.9651

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11681 64.79% 43.81 0.214 63.64% 0.672 -0.4371
B 11946 64.64% 43.05 -0.289 62.38% 0.531 -0.6737
C 12891 67.55% 42.64 -0.284 61.57% 0.601 -0.8337
D 11088 67.52% 42.39 -0.362 61.18% 0.6 -0.5973
E 3996 64.71% 44.89 0.554 68.49% 0.721 -0.5857
F 6237 60.59% 46.33 1.197 70.66% 0.814 -0.446
G 5372 63.32% 44.72 0.299 66.79% 0.627 -0.6215
H 5920 63.06% 44.75 0.617 67.84% 0.745 -0.518
East 1354 42.12% 58.8 2.244 70.09% 0.416 -0.5479
Northeast 1287 44.1% 57.3 1.731 67.06% 0.313 -0.5963
Northwest 1101 41.83% 57.42 0.585 67.03% -0.075 -1.0573
Southeast 176 41.48% 56.77 1.306 75.0% 0.456 -0.5452
Southwest 166 43.37% 54.67 -0.656 72.29% 0.035 -0.5735
West 1283 39.7% 59.22 2.253 70.85% 0.365 -0.3382

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 228 0.0% 49.64 -0.318 72.81% -2.048 0.0025
Not Using Events or Tokens 3578 76.08% 37.9 -1.987 49.13% -0.314 -0.095
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1532 20.22% 61.36 4.871 90.14% 0.582 -0.1176
Start of Game Growth 2140 21.65% 60.05 4.322 89.16% 0.423 -0.0344
Unlimited Undo 6499 52.17% 50.08 2.781 77.44% 0.557 0.1406
Using Tokens but Not Events 2709 57.67% 43.52 -0.635 62.57% -0.296 -0.3491

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10468 22.34 11.88%
II 18459 30.77 58.57%
III 18294 34.27 83.85%
IV 5270 37.49 99.83%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.421 Win Model: -0.535
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 38754 68.73% 41.82 60.06%
2 8442 66.39% 44.92 66.06%
3 2492 55.56% 46.6 69.7%
4 2803 45.75% 53.04 73.81%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 715
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12190
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7965
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4302
Lose: Invader deck ran out 420
Win: Sacrifice victory 229
Lose: Scenario condition 995
Win: Scenario condition 643
Lose: Blight pool ran out 17600
Lose: Spirit destroyed 819

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2025-01-29 01:48:25 (Pacific Time)