The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3725 27.4% 24.75 -0.19 87.62% -0.094 0.0106
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2624 49.79% 23.41 -0.282 81.71% 0.009 0.2063
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1683 25.51% 26.0 0.252 92.16% 0.42 0.3067
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2010 16.51% 28.31 1.238 94.58% 0.412 0.0075
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1727 23.44% 26.99 0.614 93.4% 0.494 0.1889
Fractured Days Split the Sky 260 40.77% 26.12 0.706 78.08% -0.633 -0.2842
Heart of the Wildfire 2640 58.77% 21.01 -1.318 74.96% -0.24 0.0783
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3697 28.68% 26.63 0.511 91.78% 0.47 0.1275
Lightning's Swift Strike 4164 40.9% 24.13 -0.142 81.24% -0.179 0.0473
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 572 31.52% 25.92 0.426 90.91% 0.289 0.0019
Many Minds Move as One 501 25.75% 26.77 0.676 93.81% 0.518 -0.0153
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3828 42.12% 24.46 -0.12 85.11% 0.239 0.0149
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1576 28.7% 25.16 -0.153 89.53% 0.16 0.1736
River Surges in Sunlight 4954 38.01% 26.53 0.881 81.29% -0.259 -0.1381
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2211 37.74% 23.22 -0.747 84.94% -0.052 0.051
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3104 53.7% 23.75 -0.273 78.8% -0.017 0.3881
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2485 29.19% 26.66 0.637 88.13% -0.053 -0.1649
Shifting Memory of Ages 87 50.57% 21.06 -1.554 80.46% -0.262 -0.1371
Shroud of Silent Mist 218 46.79% 22.97 -0.581 87.16% 0.259 0.315
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 990 28.69% 23.62 -1.024 90.81% 0.102 0.0425
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1355 34.08% 24.23 -0.487 84.21% -0.296 -0.1352
Thunderspeaker 3468 30.0% 27.36 1.013 87.0% 0.021 0.0448
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 743 61.35% 20.19 -2.01 78.2% -0.098 -0.1259
Vital Strength of the Earth 3982 33.76% 22.98 -0.995 78.98% -0.752 0.0922
Volcano Looming High 361 34.63% 23.17 -0.76 85.87% -0.182 -0.1709

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 749 44.2% 22.0 -1.381 77.7% -0.387 0.1788
Dahan Insurrection 4 730 22.1% 45.85 9.955 81.92% -1.064 -0.6636
Despicable Theft 2 24 29.17% 34.04 4.255 87.5% -0.199 0.0751
Elemental Invocation 1 42 52.38% 24.64 -0.276 76.19% -0.369 0.1332
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2081 7.86% 30.01 1.814 84.14% -1.826 -1.4613
Powers Long Forgotten 1 392 50.51% 28.98 1.715 77.04% -0.338 0.1087
Rituals of Terror 3 486 47.18% 35.05 5.026 72.63% -0.695 -0.0503
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 287 66.55% 31.84 3.772 64.46% -0.718 -0.0708
Second Wave 0 659 59.48% 23.21 -0.197 71.32% -0.52 -0.0902
The Great River 3 54 53.7% 27.94 2.141 53.7% -2.12 -0.6474
Ward the Shores 2 472 44.7% 30.68 2.661 74.58% -0.73 0.302

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 24268 40.03% 23.7 -0.58 82.41% 0.064 0.1505
1 Thematic 2974 43.3% 30.99 2.105 77.14% 0.126 0.4029
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 31.0 2.587 100.0% 0.1 0.1071
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5756 33.36% 24.23 -0.285 86.64% -0.063 -0.0373
2 Coastline 443 34.78% 24.4 -0.123 88.71% 0.261 0.2362
2 Fragment 115 35.65% 23.35 -0.585 88.7% 0.085 0.3076
2 Heart 74 59.72% 20.57 -1.308 78.38% -0.08 0.0195
2 Opposite Shores 605 32.31% 24.02 -0.463 88.76% 0.058 0.1238
2 Thematic 630 42.83% 32.86 1.954 81.43% 0.289 0.222
2 Top to Top 120 30.25% 23.09 -0.822 85.83% -0.3 -0.3688
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 26.0 0.689 100.0% 0.009 0.813
3 Coastline 8 50.0% 26.75 1.42 87.5% 0.35 0.1999
3 Other 58 48.28% 20.22 -1.62 74.14% -0.919 -0.7466
3 Round (Default) 1648 27.26% 24.86 -0.06 90.05% -0.318 -0.3573
3 Sunrise 2 0.0% 30.5 0.894 100.0% 0.036 -0.2245
3 Thematic 116 39.66% 30.72 0.139 78.45% -0.184 -0.5497
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 21.33 -2.41 66.67% -0.617 -0.4973
4 Leaf 5 20.0% 27.4 1.949 100.0% 0.151 0.2233
4 Other 22 27.27% 22.95 -0.467 90.91% -0.25 -0.3191
4 Thematic 373 32.7% 31.6 0.205 93.83% 0.909 -0.0876
4 Trapezoid (Default) 790 26.09% 25.24 0.222 92.53% -0.287 -0.2787
5 Other 15 66.67% 24.33 0.681 93.33% 0.331 -0.1299
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 31.0 0.145 100.0% 0.289 -2.1023

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 939 17.91 -4.31 61.66% -3.383 -1.3138
Aid From Lesser Spirits 822 18.84 -3.941 60.58% -3.419 -1.5057
All Things Weaken 310 17.11 -4.524 61.61% -3.349 -1.1896
Back Against the Wall 791 18.18 -4.149 58.79% -3.534 -1.4472
Disintegrating Ecosystem 924 15.11 -5.763 55.41% -3.619 -1.397
Downward Spiral 3308 17.16 -4.476 64.54% -2.94 -0.9184
Erosion of Will 981 17.75 -4.396 59.94% -3.464 -1.256
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 122 23.81 -1.34 95.08% -0.671 0.0072
Memory Fades to Dust 3354 16.22 -4.952 58.41% -3.233 -1.0176
Power Corrodes the Spirit 307 17.4 -4.628 63.19% -3.301 -1.2802
Promising Farmlands 1009 16.81 -4.878 61.74% -3.376 -1.1683
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 89 24.78 -0.943 96.63% -0.331 0.0807
Thriving Communities 300 17.38 -4.474 66.0% -3.209 -1.1214
Tipping Point 504 16.8 -4.828 60.52% -3.338 -1.1133
Unnatural Proliferation 308 18.46 -4.041 62.01% -3.317 -1.2361
Untended Land Crumbles 345 17.0 -4.575 62.61% -3.327 -1.2245

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8679 38.29% 23.64 -0.416 83.97% 0.14 -0.5483
B 8906 36.97% 23.85 -0.321 84.06% 0.089 -0.6951
C 9111 36.19% 24.15 -0.194 85.05% 0.181 -0.8321
D 8640 35.62% 24.07 -0.197 85.07% 0.159 -0.6183
E 1713 31.6% 24.87 0.106 89.26% 0.274 -0.6199
F 3399 33.09% 24.46 -0.11 87.7% 0.171 -0.6697
G 3236 34.17% 23.97 -0.363 85.85% 0.018 -0.8139
H 3437 33.29% 24.54 -0.115 87.78% 0.207 -0.6319
East 1394 39.87% 32.93 2.202 84.29% 0.102 -0.4744
Northeast 1511 39.03% 32.09 1.786 82.4% -0.072 -0.5963
Northwest 1243 38.15% 31.4 1.258 81.58% -0.184 -0.7792
Southeast 248 42.74% 29.0 0.636 81.85% -0.138 -0.7666
Southwest 214 43.46% 25.59 -1.281 81.31% -0.249 -0.4471
West 1365 43.35% 31.64 1.496 80.51% -0.158 -0.4851

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 338 0.0% 21.54 -2.656 71.89% -2.795 -0.7417
Not Using Events or Tokens 9206 46.01% 22.63 -0.794 77.99% -0.376 -0.1616
Skip Initial Invader Actions 565 7.06% 35.12 3.296 96.28% 1.068 0.3818
Start of Game Growth 815 12.13% 32.31 2.031 93.74% -0.063 -0.5315
Unlimited Undo 1896 30.88% 26.49 0.465 88.66% 0.352 -0.0708
Using Tokens but Not Events 2951 28.31% 25.85 0.144 88.68% -0.062 -0.1127

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3788 22.37 55.6%
II 14632 30.88 80.86%
III 13133 34.39 86.71%
IV 6478 37.55 99.04%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.027 Win Model: 0.278
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 27298 40.41% 24.5 81.82%
2 7725 34.36% 24.85 86.52%
3 1811 28.36% 25.1 88.9%
4 1196 28.52% 27.18 93.06%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1587
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8827
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8619
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4976
Lose: Invader deck ran out 556
Win: Sacrifice victory 145
Lose: Scenario condition 402
Win: Scenario condition 949
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5059
Lose: Spirit destroyed 272

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2371 28.74% 30.09 -0.179 85.41% -0.221 -0.1171
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1600 52.14% 29.14 -0.103 82.31% 0.093 0.2912
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1082 28.01% 31.57 0.43 92.05% 0.547 0.4331
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1460 18.12% 34.27 1.468 94.32% 0.546 0.1423
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1090 24.33% 32.95 0.981 93.12% 0.624 0.3184
Fractured Days Split the Sky 206 43.69% 31.01 0.597 79.13% -0.664 -0.316
Heart of the Wildfire 1867 56.9% 27.78 -0.565 79.81% 0.048 0.3663
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2875 35.13% 31.29 0.502 89.67% 0.438 0.095
Lightning's Swift Strike 2682 39.43% 30.32 0.256 83.07% -0.04 0.1863
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 425 31.84% 30.55 0.225 88.0% 0.046 -0.2404
Many Minds Move as One 384 27.6% 31.96 0.805 92.19% 0.45 -0.0827
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2050 45.15% 29.17 -0.445 82.63% -0.044 -0.2681
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1075 32.71% 30.6 -0.081 87.81% 0.127 0.1413
River Surges in Sunlight 2913 41.47% 31.32 0.729 81.5% -0.18 -0.0595
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1323 38.4% 28.97 -0.668 84.43% -0.041 0.0614
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1888 54.98% 28.39 -0.536 77.22% -0.1 0.3045
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1727 31.96% 32.08 0.736 87.72% 0.136 0.0235
Shifting Memory of Ages 69 43.48% 25.94 -1.698 79.71% -0.497 -0.3724
Shroud of Silent Mist 178 56.18% 26.32 -1.269 80.9% 0.006 0.0621
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 566 41.67% 26.17 -1.894 84.98% 0.035 -0.0251
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 932 34.59% 29.93 -0.371 84.33% -0.267 -0.1069
Thunderspeaker 2331 33.12% 32.53 0.971 85.5% 0.004 0.0277
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 492 71.49% 23.54 -2.28 73.78% -0.144 -0.1717
Vital Strength of the Earth 2303 40.49% 27.25 -1.495 77.85% -0.565 0.2795
Volcano Looming High 236 47.46% 27.21 -0.897 83.47% -0.091 -0.0807

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 594 49.83% 25.27 -2.139 71.89% -0.689 -0.1232
Dahan Insurrection 4 580 22.74% 52.01 10.379 86.38% -0.574 -0.1737
Despicable Theft 2 27 59.26% 32.33 1.216 66.67% -1.019 -0.745
Elemental Invocation 1 50 70.0% 28.7 0.174 74.0% -0.234 0.269
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1248 14.09% 32.25 0.449 77.88% -1.907 -1.5424
Powers Long Forgotten 1 357 63.31% 29.69 -0.002 65.83% -0.809 -0.3624
Rituals of Terror 3 349 46.99% 39.37 4.773 74.21% -0.729 -0.0837
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 234 70.51% 35.38 3.113 63.25% -0.708 -0.0618
Second Wave 0 2145 47.85% 29.58 0.137 75.99% -0.748 -0.3186
The Great River 3 52 42.31% 32.35 1.892 57.69% -2.144 -0.6714
Ward the Shores 2 393 50.0% 33.7 1.872 70.23% -0.907 0.1247

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 13938 42.1% 28.7 -0.624 82.23% 0.035 0.121
1 Thematic 2379 46.51% 34.67 1.653 73.85% -0.211 0.0664
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3352 36.79% 29.5 -0.185 87.53% 0.209 0.2349
2 Coastline 373 40.82% 28.97 -0.305 86.6% 0.287 0.2623
2 Fragment 96 43.75% 28.47 -0.601 88.54% 0.341 0.5634
2 Heart 63 36.51% 28.52 -0.607 85.71% 0.01 0.1098
2 Opposite Shores 598 34.18% 29.15 -0.422 87.46% 0.094 0.1593
2 Thematic 555 46.75% 35.39 1.133 76.04% -0.102 -0.1687
2 Top to Top 102 39.6% 28.15 -0.779 81.37% -0.23 -0.2987
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 31.88 1.136 75.0% 0.558 0.407
3 Other 50 28.0% 27.94 -0.796 92.0% -0.003 0.1692
3 Round (Default) 1270 27.91% 31.04 0.257 91.81% 0.256 0.2175
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 25.0 -2.537 100.0% 0.007 -0.2526
3 Thematic 95 42.11% 35.57 0.485 73.68% -0.489 -0.8555
4 Coastline 7 42.86% 23.86 -3.754 28.57% -1.944 -1.8242
4 Leaf 4 0.0% 38.5 2.554 100.0% 0.039 0.1107
4 Other 40 37.5% 29.57 0.192 90.0% 0.118 0.0489
4 Thematic 252 43.03% 36.66 0.646 90.08% 0.602 -0.395
4 Trapezoid (Default) 524 29.88% 30.6 -0.003 88.74% -0.27 -0.2619
5 Other 5 40.0% 34.4 3.1 100.0% 0.406 -0.0549

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 650 23.46 -4.299 63.38% -3.19 -1.1207
Aid From Lesser Spirits 649 23.77 -4.003 63.94% -3.211 -1.2982
All Things Weaken 240 22.51 -4.611 61.25% -3.201 -1.0418
Back Against the Wall 592 22.96 -4.492 59.46% -3.395 -1.3084
Disintegrating Ecosystem 696 20.71 -5.683 60.78% -3.339 -1.1171
Downward Spiral 1908 21.99 -4.742 65.25% -2.855 -0.8334
Erosion of Will 694 21.74 -5.144 57.49% -3.469 -1.2615
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 88 28.66 -1.387 93.18% -0.766 -0.0878
Memory Fades to Dust 1986 21.15 -5.2 59.37% -3.154 -0.9388
Power Corrodes the Spirit 223 22.61 -4.568 65.92% -2.984 -0.9625
Promising Farmlands 728 21.4 -5.284 61.95% -3.282 -1.0737
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 60 30.32 -0.582 98.33% 0.188 0.5997
Thriving Communities 233 20.07 -5.599 59.23% -3.305 -1.2167
Tipping Point 365 21.32 -5.472 59.18% -3.42 -1.1956
Unnatural Proliferation 256 22.9 -4.538 58.2% -3.372 -1.2913
Untended Land Crumbles 206 21.33 -4.966 63.59% -3.041 -0.9385

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5360 40.95% 28.8 -0.429 83.82% -0.059 -0.7465
B 5553 38.13% 29.2 -0.291 84.93% -0.046 -0.8294
C 5729 38.2% 29.37 -0.164 85.27% -0.003 -1.0159
D 5414 38.04% 29.45 -0.051 85.54% 0.089 -0.6881
E 1200 35.31% 29.39 -0.228 86.58% -0.109 -1.0034
F 2159 33.16% 29.78 -0.121 88.19% 0.071 -0.77
G 1985 36.6% 29.7 -0.188 86.9% -0.026 -0.858
H 2076 33.58% 29.98 -0.12 88.05% 0.004 -0.8346
East 1145 44.23% 36.49 1.895 77.99% -0.099 -0.6752
Northeast 1189 46.13% 35.35 1.304 76.87% -0.244 -0.7689
Northwest 970 43.9% 35.79 1.463 80.82% 0.191 -0.4037
Southeast 198 39.39% 34.15 0.619 79.29% -0.166 -0.7947
Southwest 164 43.9% 30.21 -1.557 75.61% -0.479 -0.6775
West 1060 49.24% 34.94 0.946 75.75% -0.239 -0.5661

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 142 0.0% 26.96 -2.552 75.35% -2.385 -0.3322
Not Using Events or Tokens 4346 47.12% 27.57 -0.935 77.4% -0.406 -0.1913
Skip Initial Invader Actions 311 9.15% 42.66 3.74 94.53% 0.157 -0.5291
Start of Game Growth 484 14.77% 39.22 2.54 92.98% 0.336 -0.1334
Unlimited Undo 1383 33.93% 30.79 0.131 87.13% 0.137 -0.2856
Using Tokens but Not Events 1972 31.41% 31.14 0.266 87.27% -0.083 -0.1341

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2674 22.37 50.07%
II 9425 30.88 81.22%
III 8204 34.39 88.96%
IV 3410 37.55 99.09%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.046 Win Model: 0.244
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 16350 42.74% 29.57 80.98%
2 5131 38.0% 30.01 86.22%
3 1415 29.3% 31.23 90.6%
4 817 34.08% 32.42 88.62%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 946
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5423
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5157
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2551
Lose: Invader deck ran out 227
Win: Sacrifice victory 73
Lose: Scenario condition 298
Win: Scenario condition 777
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3358
Lose: Spirit destroyed 159

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3298 31.91% 33.17 0.265 84.63% -0.144 -0.0393
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1954 60.22% 31.02 -0.038 79.63% 0.15 0.3479
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1386 33.86% 34.14 0.718 89.25% 0.363 0.2494
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1784 23.07% 36.57 1.684 92.66% 0.476 0.072
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1407 30.02% 35.18 1.131 88.98% 0.28 -0.0256
Fractured Days Split the Sky 274 45.26% 32.95 0.471 70.8% -0.995 -0.6465
Heart of the Wildfire 2284 67.71% 27.8 -1.612 71.37% -0.261 0.0581
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3819 40.38% 34.07 1.024 87.77% 0.494 0.1516
Lightning's Swift Strike 3141 46.54% 31.5 -0.192 78.67% -0.214 0.0119
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 684 39.77% 33.57 0.672 87.13% 0.257 -0.0301
Many Minds Move as One 491 31.84% 35.74 1.54 94.7% 0.978 0.4452
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2981 54.9% 30.56 -0.664 78.46% -0.114 -0.3381
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1342 36.49% 33.03 0.208 86.89% 0.171 0.1856
River Surges in Sunlight 3757 49.18% 33.39 0.852 78.23% -0.159 -0.0387
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2307 40.86% 32.09 -0.107 84.66% 0.086 0.1885
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2157 66.48% 29.14 -0.979 70.79% -0.207 0.1974
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2252 37.1% 33.83 0.654 83.97% -0.078 -0.1897
Shifting Memory of Ages 128 54.69% 29.55 -0.888 78.91% -0.293 -0.1689
Shroud of Silent Mist 286 57.69% 29.93 -0.634 79.37% -0.028 0.0281
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 824 44.28% 29.58 -1.406 84.34% -0.018 -0.0782
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1117 45.14% 31.71 -0.32 81.38% -0.058 0.1028
Thunderspeaker 2897 42.81% 34.33 1.064 83.47% 0.14 0.1638
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 688 74.24% 26.96 -1.915 74.27% -0.054 -0.082
Vital Strength of the Earth 2695 44.49% 29.38 -1.309 73.73% -0.644 0.2003
Volcano Looming High 537 45.44% 31.53 -0.148 85.85% 0.108 0.1189

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 650 57.76% 27.4 -2.218 68.15% -0.655 -0.089
Dahan Insurrection 4 497 30.91% 52.19 9.51 78.07% -0.994 -0.5936
Despicable Theft 2 27 66.67% 37.22 3.35 77.78% -0.09 0.184
Elemental Invocation 1 46 67.39% 28.0 -1.564 67.39% -0.584 -0.0811
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1756 16.36% 33.44 -0.019 72.38% -2.159 -1.7938
Powers Long Forgotten 1 371 66.04% 31.47 -0.013 62.26% -0.753 -0.3067
Rituals of Terror 3 283 57.45% 40.04 4.013 62.54% -0.992 -0.347
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 192 72.92% 37.66 2.97 59.9% -0.825 -0.1782
Second Wave 0 1659 55.52% 31.29 -0.182 70.58% -0.809 -0.3794
The Great River 3 45 57.78% 34.98 1.592 55.56% -1.81 -0.337
Ward the Shores 2 426 54.93% 35.57 1.827 65.49% -0.993 0.0384

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 16784 50.01% 30.59 -0.558 78.21% 0.193 0.2795
1 Thematic 2295 56.94% 34.37 1.013 66.8% -0.136 0.1414
2 Archipelago 2 0.0% 47.0 7.313 100.0% 0.053 0.06
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4379 44.15% 32.15 0.087 85.2% 0.31 0.3353
2 Coastline 512 42.91% 32.54 0.149 85.74% 0.359 0.3341
2 Fragment 127 57.48% 30.22 -0.651 78.74% 0.077 0.2998
2 Heart 65 41.54% 29.69 -1.173 76.92% -0.268 -0.1685
2 Opposite Shores 815 42.1% 32.41 0.134 86.13% 0.44 0.5058
2 Thematic 731 58.85% 34.86 0.532 67.58% -0.262 -0.3289
2 Top to Top 148 47.97% 32.46 0.35 86.49% 0.573 0.5037
3 Archipelago 2 50.0% 31.5 0.095 50.0% -0.521 0.2838
3 Coastline 13 30.77% 36.08 0.633 84.62% 0.073 -0.0773
3 Other 94 31.52% 32.44 -0.226 86.17% -0.235 -0.0626
3 Round (Default) 1830 35.8% 32.85 0.083 87.27% 0.061 0.0223
3 Sunrise 11 36.36% 27.82 -3.047 54.55% -1.628 -1.8885
3 Thematic 152 56.29% 37.74 1.313 76.97% -0.098 -0.4645
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 42.0 3.448 100.0% 0.062 0.61
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 36.0 3.754 100.0% 0.274 0.3939
4 Leaf 6 50.0% 30.17 -0.722 66.67% -0.747 -0.6746
4 Other 55 25.45% 34.04 0.296 92.73% 0.263 0.1936
4 Thematic 246 42.04% 39.3 1.106 83.74% -0.124 -1.1207
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1078 32.33% 33.58 0.401 89.42% 0.019 0.0275
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 51.0 9.732 100.0% 0.063 1.223
5 Other 21 47.62% 37.9 2.475 100.0% 0.92 0.4592
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 42.0 2.926 100.0% 0.17 -2.2212
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 55.0 12.411 100.0% 0.145 0.5102

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1103 25.33 -4.252 59.47% -3.123 -1.0531
Aid From Lesser Spirits 889 26.84 -3.529 61.42% -3.093 -1.1805
All Things Weaken 398 24.69 -4.421 60.3% -3.165 -1.0054
Back Against the Wall 915 27.33 -3.333 63.83% -2.987 -0.8997
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1028 23.01 -5.425 58.75% -3.192 -0.9702
Downward Spiral 2577 24.69 -4.36 63.64% -2.886 -0.8646
Erosion of Will 1091 24.33 -4.739 57.01% -3.285 -1.0778
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 139 33.7 -0.002 96.4% -0.222 0.4562
Memory Fades to Dust 2555 23.89 -4.788 58.36% -3.111 -0.8964
Power Corrodes the Spirit 385 24.15 -4.7 61.82% -3.154 -1.1326
Promising Farmlands 1100 24.02 -4.876 60.36% -3.112 -0.9042
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 106 33.25 -0.145 99.06% 0.668 1.079
Thriving Communities 351 24.05 -4.827 60.68% -3.143 -1.0554
Tipping Point 575 24.7 -4.538 60.7% -3.041 -0.8161
Unnatural Proliferation 420 24.73 -4.423 60.0% -3.203 -1.1222
Untended Land Crumbles 358 24.35 -4.584 63.69% -3.014 -0.9121

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7105 44.74% 31.64 -0.072 82.41% 0.098 -0.5903
B 7369 44.76% 31.51 -0.138 82.18% 0.084 -0.6992
C 7713 43.68% 31.77 0.039 82.67% 0.106 -0.9064
D 7113 46.07% 31.3 -0.168 81.84% 0.11 -0.6672
E 1788 43.42% 32.29 0.086 85.4% 0.135 -0.7597
F 2993 40.36% 32.85 0.275 86.03% 0.211 -0.6295
G 2681 42.36% 32.1 -0.063 84.56% 0.132 -0.6995
H 2746 41.76% 32.27 -0.008 84.41% 0.082 -0.7571
East 1268 52.89% 37.12 1.676 72.48% 0.125 -0.4512
Northeast 1253 53.56% 36.86 1.607 73.58% 0.293 -0.2315
Northwest 1051 56.39% 34.64 0.327 67.55% -0.094 -0.6894
Southeast 222 51.13% 33.39 -0.316 71.62% -0.267 -0.8964
Southwest 190 52.91% 32.93 -0.665 75.79% 0.199 0.0001
West 1124 57.98% 35.48 0.788 68.95% -0.01 -0.3372

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 158 0.0% 31.42 -1.6 81.65% -1.992 0.061
Not Using Events or Tokens 4652 54.03% 29.51 -0.782 74.72% -0.154 0.0605
Skip Initial Invader Actions 369 13.33% 45.43 4.343 95.39% 1.111 0.425
Start of Game Growth 619 17.7% 41.42 2.552 90.63% -0.113 -0.5819
Unlimited Undo 2018 43.81% 32.73 0.233 83.3% 0.125 -0.2984
Using Tokens but Not Events 2287 40.32% 32.82 0.249 85.22% 0.148 0.0968

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2096 22.37 15.12%
II 12430 30.88 75.35%
III 9912 34.39 88.81%
IV 4934 37.55 99.01%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.185 Win Model: 0.237
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 19117 50.89% 31.05 76.82%
2 6781 45.62% 32.45 83.34%
3 2085 36.71% 33.21 86.47%
4 1389 34.14% 34.73 88.62%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 219
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6690
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6556
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3737
Lose: Invader deck ran out 299
Win: Sacrifice victory 134
Lose: Scenario condition 504
Win: Scenario condition 666
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4959
Lose: Spirit destroyed 239

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3200 40.62% 41.61 0.589 85.09% -0.007 0.0974
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2026 73.16% 36.23 -1.211 69.84% -0.284 -0.0859
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1672 35.85% 43.31 1.267 89.59% 0.326 0.2123
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1870 40.99% 43.36 1.361 88.4% 0.333 -0.0712
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1653 43.7% 42.34 0.902 85.6% 0.179 -0.1264
Fractured Days Split the Sky 541 41.22% 43.27 1.382 77.08% -0.913 -0.5642
Heart of the Wildfire 2882 69.77% 36.43 -1.3 71.89% -0.205 0.1134
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4795 52.11% 42.33 1.265 85.19% 0.384 0.0411
Lightning's Swift Strike 3439 52.1% 40.65 0.368 80.17% -0.079 0.1464
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 869 50.75% 42.62 1.3 87.11% 0.425 0.1383
Many Minds Move as One 577 47.4% 43.12 1.428 91.16% 0.728 0.1955
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3009 64.98% 37.3 -1.257 73.81% -0.296 -0.5201
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1543 41.56% 42.41 0.938 88.53% 0.348 0.362
River Surges in Sunlight 3780 57.08% 41.95 1.22 78.15% -0.08 0.0411
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2119 56.85% 38.56 -0.738 78.29% -0.164 -0.0611
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2151 72.91% 36.14 -1.37 68.15% -0.346 0.0592
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2902 38.82% 43.27 1.585 85.42% 0.02 -0.092
Shifting Memory of Ages 138 78.99% 35.88 -1.246 75.36% -0.008 0.116
Shroud of Silent Mist 305 73.44% 37.39 -0.726 78.03% 0.025 0.0811
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1339 59.09% 35.2 -2.224 77.6% -0.248 -0.3082
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1401 50.25% 41.42 0.524 83.08% 0.096 0.2563
Thunderspeaker 2551 51.49% 42.48 1.056 81.3% 0.05 0.0736
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1023 83.68% 34.67 -1.801 74.1% 0.071 0.0426
Vital Strength of the Earth 2320 59.42% 34.68 -2.521 66.98% -0.802 0.0426
Volcano Looming High 599 57.26% 39.15 -0.137 81.47% 0.049 0.0597

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 525 60.38% 35.3 -2.335 66.67% -0.718 -0.1519
Dahan Insurrection 4 552 38.84% 62.38 10.393 82.61% -0.277 0.1231
Despicable Theft 2 22 63.64% 37.36 -1.092 50.0% -1.327 -1.0529
Elemental Invocation 1 69 66.67% 36.03 -1.897 63.77% -0.937 -0.4348
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1797 22.46% 43.33 0.952 79.08% -1.342 -0.9769
Powers Long Forgotten 1 271 75.65% 38.89 -0.456 62.36% -0.611 -0.1648
Rituals of Terror 3 200 63.0% 47.76 4.123 65.5% -0.67 -0.025
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 79 86.08% 42.67 1.516 53.16% -0.65 -0.0032
Second Wave 0 1089 64.8% 35.65 -2.083 61.62% -1.116 -0.686
The Great River 3 41 78.05% 39.73 0.223 48.78% -1.685 -0.2122
Ward the Shores 2 282 64.89% 41.86 1.021 63.83% -0.79 0.2418

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 21651 58.05% 38.42 -0.518 76.55% -0.535 -0.4489
1 Thematic 1678 60.64% 41.98 0.692 66.81% -0.507 -0.2305
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 53.0 4.923 100.0% 0.013 0.0202
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4953 54.41% 40.02 0.086 81.97% -0.213 -0.1876
2 Coastline 638 55.94% 40.72 0.302 81.97% -0.183 -0.2076
2 Fragment 120 60.0% 39.67 -0.281 79.17% -0.324 -0.1011
2 Heart 68 60.29% 38.62 -0.515 79.41% -0.343 -0.2429
2 Opposite Shores 920 57.03% 40.32 0.144 83.8% -0.002 0.0637
2 Thematic 532 59.32% 44.5 1.207 72.56% 0.305 0.2387
2 Top to Top 145 57.24% 37.92 -0.688 73.79% -0.638 -0.7068
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 68.0 14.95 100.0% 0.116 0.9208
3 Coastline 38 31.58% 47.79 2.714 97.37% 1.24 1.0893
3 Other 115 41.74% 41.8 0.311 88.7% -0.138 0.035
3 Round (Default) 1740 46.91% 41.13 0.281 85.75% -0.021 -0.0602
3 Sunrise 2 50.0% 54.0 4.854 100.0% 0.18 -0.0806
3 Thematic 84 62.65% 43.35 0.27 69.05% 0.723 0.3572
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 44.0 2.279 100.0% 0.12 0.6679
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 19.0 -11.742 0.0% -0.566 -0.4459
4 Leaf 4 100.0% 43.0 2.422 100.0% 0.418 0.4894
4 Other 44 34.09% 43.05 0.921 90.91% 0.086 0.0168
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 66.0 5.979 100.0% 0.012 -0.7896
4 Thematic 188 41.49% 51.39 1.521 78.72% 1.062 0.0655
4 Trapezoid (Default) 947 41.32% 43.62 0.921 89.97% 0.316 0.3243
5 Other 13 53.85% 40.15 0.246 84.62% 0.188 -0.2731
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 22.0 -12.832 0.0% -0.746 -3.1375

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1598 33.06 -4.387 61.51% -3.074 -1.0043
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1335 35.77 -3.005 67.64% -2.834 -0.9217
All Things Weaken 591 31.83 -4.809 59.73% -3.194 -1.0345
Back Against the Wall 1230 34.23 -3.784 63.41% -3.031 -0.9443
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1479 30.79 -5.528 60.51% -3.119 -0.8967
Downward Spiral 3121 32.89 -4.286 66.16% -2.776 -0.7541
Erosion of Will 1559 31.92 -5.007 59.27% -3.235 -1.0276
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 240 42.92 0.507 96.25% -0.362 0.3164
Memory Fades to Dust 3040 31.57 -4.986 60.16% -3.039 -0.8245
Power Corrodes the Spirit 632 33.84 -3.806 69.94% -2.712 -0.6909
Promising Farmlands 1527 30.9 -5.395 59.86% -3.14 -0.9321
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 165 44.45 1.07 98.79% 0.595 1.0066
Thriving Communities 582 30.8 -5.346 61.17% -3.152 -1.0639
Tipping Point 816 30.56 -5.648 56.25% -3.234 -1.0096
Unnatural Proliferation 598 34.48 -3.399 67.89% -2.788 -0.7071
Untended Land Crumbles 528 32.13 -4.627 63.83% -3.031 -0.9287

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7702 55.19% 39.41 -0.066 79.56% 0.484 -0.2043
B 8069 54.0% 39.68 0.07 80.03% 0.469 -0.315
C 8668 55.07% 39.73 0.156 80.15% 0.523 -0.4898
D 7787 55.19% 39.48 0.058 79.86% 0.522 -0.2552
E 2331 54.47% 39.93 0.082 82.75% 0.558 -0.3367
F 3714 50.27% 40.84 0.388 83.79% 0.558 -0.2832
G 3290 54.92% 39.44 -0.237 80.55% 0.418 -0.4141
H 3631 51.82% 40.25 0.056 82.18% 0.432 -0.4066
East 926 56.65% 45.4 1.367 70.3% 0.036 -0.5397
Northeast 907 57.73% 44.57 1.193 69.57% 0.039 -0.4857
Northwest 657 56.71% 44.92 0.877 71.54% 0.207 -0.3882
Southeast 188 48.4% 46.18 1.768 80.32% 0.479 -0.1499
Southwest 184 52.72% 41.74 -0.832 74.46% -0.124 -0.3226
West 785 56.7% 44.74 0.736 68.28% -0.162 -0.4891

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 114 0.0% 34.01 -4.145 63.16% -3.047 -0.9942
Not Using Events or Tokens 3585 67.5% 36.2 -1.16 71.1% -0.137 0.0776
Skip Initial Invader Actions 388 11.17% 55.4 4.884 96.39% 0.962 0.2753
Start of Game Growth 546 15.69% 52.41 3.662 93.77% 0.324 -0.1451
Unlimited Undo 2272 50.84% 41.54 0.727 83.58% 0.275 -0.1482
Using Tokens but Not Events 2189 45.43% 42.29 0.819 84.65% 0.155 0.1039

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2887 22.37 17.11%
II 15752 30.88 74.89%
III 10581 34.39 89.78%
IV 4667 37.55 99.61%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.281 Win Model: -0.398
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 23388 58.25% 38.69 75.88%
2 7364 55.44% 40.36 81.29%
3 1952 46.45% 41.44 85.45%
4 1183 41.62% 44.72 87.91%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 343
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7471
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8554
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3781
Lose: Invader deck ran out 253
Win: Sacrifice victory 160
Lose: Scenario condition 373
Win: Scenario condition 636
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6493
Lose: Spirit destroyed 328

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2063 52.51% 40.31 0.533 73.53% -0.109 -0.0044
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1322 80.45% 35.37 -1.171 58.77% -0.181 0.017
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1157 55.39% 40.96 0.886 76.15% 0.187 0.0733
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1180 51.95% 43.26 1.761 79.24% 0.276 -0.1282
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1172 58.29% 41.81 1.318 77.39% 0.305 -0.0005
Fractured Days Split the Sky 262 60.31% 41.65 1.239 67.94% -0.318 0.0301
Heart of the Wildfire 1759 79.99% 34.02 -2.044 57.42% -0.254 0.0649
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3871 62.32% 41.26 1.354 76.23% 0.395 0.0528
Lightning's Swift Strike 2178 62.97% 39.01 0.101 68.6% -0.067 0.1588
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 836 61.96% 40.98 1.266 77.87% 0.385 0.0981
Many Minds Move as One 362 50.55% 45.13 2.838 88.12% 1.01 0.4773
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2115 72.35% 36.74 -0.996 63.88% -0.195 -0.4191
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1022 53.97% 41.41 1.051 77.79% 0.247 0.2613
River Surges in Sunlight 2670 68.01% 40.66 1.064 65.88% -0.078 0.0423
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1401 71.29% 36.62 -1.147 63.88% -0.164 -0.0612
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1287 78.02% 35.33 -1.411 57.11% -0.317 0.0875
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1981 50.66% 41.7 1.304 73.8% -0.083 -0.1948
Shifting Memory of Ages 100 74.0% 32.97 -2.648 53.0% -0.721 -0.5967
Shroud of Silent Mist 205 85.37% 35.11 -1.142 63.41% 0.085 0.1409
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 797 70.23% 32.99 -2.855 63.24% -0.328 -0.3875
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 850 57.45% 40.95 0.808 74.94% 0.125 0.2855
Thunderspeaker 1660 64.72% 41.95 1.403 72.17% 0.214 0.2383
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 733 91.27% 32.08 -2.535 56.75% -0.098 -0.1263
Vital Strength of the Earth 1373 75.44% 32.7 -2.736 51.2% -0.703 0.1413
Volcano Looming High 382 67.28% 39.58 0.525 74.08% 0.25 0.2602

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 331 70.86% 33.13 -2.828 50.76% -0.763 -0.1969
Dahan Insurrection 4 362 54.42% 59.8 10.056 72.1% -0.07 0.3299
Despicable Theft 2 8 75.0% 44.63 1.999 62.5% -0.082 0.1921
Elemental Invocation 1 26 92.31% 27.96 -4.573 34.62% -0.983 -0.4804
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1113 24.08% 43.74 1.449 70.71% -1.454 -1.0892
Powers Long Forgotten 1 173 75.72% 36.74 -0.905 48.55% -0.817 -0.3708
Rituals of Terror 3 104 85.58% 37.56 -0.129 35.58% -1.2 -0.5553
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 93 88.17% 39.57 0.648 37.63% -0.766 -0.1193
Second Wave 0 668 73.95% 36.3 -1.275 55.99% -0.673 -0.2435
The Great River 3 15 60.0% 45.27 2.689 53.33% -1.234 0.2396
Ward the Shores 2 108 81.48% 38.43 0.38 43.52% -0.703 0.3287

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 14677 67.03% 37.51 -0.569 66.72% -0.043 0.0436
1 Thematic 1348 68.1% 40.42 0.445 53.64% -0.464 -0.1869
2 Archipelago 3 66.67% 47.33 5.21 33.33% -0.719 -0.7122
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3253 67.38% 39.53 0.477 72.67% 0.205 0.2309
2 Coastline 399 58.59% 42.28 1.258 79.45% 0.452 0.4271
2 Fragment 68 67.65% 35.21 -1.555 60.29% -0.373 -0.1506
2 Heart 68 72.06% 34.13 -2.253 57.35% -0.458 -0.3584
2 Opposite Shores 558 66.85% 38.43 -0.27 69.89% 0.094 0.1598
2 Thematic 370 77.84% 39.95 0.324 53.51% -0.125 -0.1919
2 Top to Top 93 71.74% 37.58 -0.242 69.89% 0.202 0.1335
3 Coastline 12 33.33% 54.33 5.83 100.0% 0.837 0.6868
3 Other 77 44.16% 40.79 0.018 74.03% -0.59 -0.4173
3 Round (Default) 1208 57.61% 40.92 0.63 76.49% 0.097 0.0585
3 Sunrise 2 50.0% 45.5 2.59 100.0% 0.275 0.015
3 Thematic 84 75.0% 38.75 -0.87 50.0% -0.33 -0.6965
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 48.5 3.505 100.0% 0.044 0.1635
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 37.6 -0.401 80.0% 0.31 0.3816
4 Other 55 40.0% 45.27 1.731 85.45% 0.002 -0.067
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 4.691 100.0% 0.009 -0.7925
4 Snake 2 50.0% 47.0 2.755 100.0% 0.405 0.5308
4 Thematic 106 63.21% 41.67 -0.382 55.66% -0.407 -1.404
4 Trapezoid (Default) 577 60.0% 40.55 0.098 71.75% -0.209 -0.2012
5 Other 6 33.33% 56.0 7.034 100.0% 0.657 0.1965
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 62.0 10.639 100.0% 0.092 -2.3001
6 Other 1 0.0% 73.0 16.64 100.0% 0.074 -0.104

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1248 32.59 -4.356 51.28% -3.129 -1.0594
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1002 34.9 -3.288 56.49% -2.996 -1.0828
All Things Weaken 489 31.74 -4.58 50.92% -3.2 -1.0406
Back Against the Wall 979 34.19 -3.622 53.63% -3.08 -0.993
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1233 31.65 -4.759 55.39% -2.967 -0.745
Downward Spiral 2337 32.79 -4.05 56.48% -2.818 -0.7961
Erosion of Will 1343 31.7 -4.811 49.14% -3.24 -1.0324
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 152 47.16 2.806 99.34% 1.041 1.7199
Memory Fades to Dust 2368 31.54 -4.703 51.39% -3.022 -0.8074
Power Corrodes the Spirit 495 31.6 -4.635 53.94% -3.067 -1.0459
Promising Farmlands 1322 31.03 -5.125 50.91% -3.154 -0.9461
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 87 46.79 2.724 97.7% 0.288 0.6999
Thriving Communities 445 28.98 -5.93 46.74% -3.389 -1.3006
Tipping Point 661 31.49 -4.828 49.92% -3.102 -0.8777
Unnatural Proliferation 533 31.6 -4.639 48.97% -3.305 -1.2245
Untended Land Crumbles 499 29.83 -5.518 47.9% -3.318 -1.2162

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5082 65.57% 38.38 -0.139 68.56% 0.288 -0.4003
B 5449 65.37% 38.81 0.107 69.81% 0.357 -0.4269
C 5634 65.54% 38.48 -0.012 68.9% 0.307 -0.7053
D 5087 65.08% 38.7 0.152 69.9% 0.371 -0.4063
E 1683 65.32% 39.24 0.367 72.61% 0.468 -0.4264
F 2453 62.83% 39.59 0.351 72.48% 0.381 -0.4601
G 2230 65.5% 38.78 -0.039 70.72% 0.343 -0.4893
H 2496 60.74% 40.19 0.527 74.12% 0.412 -0.4269
East 661 68.99% 42.07 1.113 55.07% 0.208 -0.3682
Northeast 643 71.85% 41.19 0.88 55.21% 0.365 -0.1595
Northwest 542 75.28% 38.12 -0.814 47.97% 0.087 -0.5084
Southeast 132 68.18% 40.27 -0.313 59.85% 0.249 -0.3799
Southwest 134 53.73% 41.22 -0.261 67.91% 0.28 0.0812
West 606 70.3% 40.17 0.039 51.49% 0.046 -0.2812

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 83 0.0% 33.42 -3.954 54.22% -2.879 -0.8265
Not Using Events or Tokens 2300 74.78% 35.38 -1.123 60.57% -0.137 0.0779
Skip Initial Invader Actions 361 15.77% 56.28 5.833 94.18% 1.155 0.4686
Start of Game Growth 487 22.01% 53.23 4.299 90.55% 0.284 -0.1846
Unlimited Undo 1539 62.19% 40.2 0.663 72.45% 0.174 -0.2491
Using Tokens but Not Events 1284 59.24% 39.35 -0.019 71.5% -0.081 -0.1318

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2639 22.37 5.91%
II 9453 30.88 60.78%
III 8293 34.39 84.7%
IV 2591 37.55 99.5%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.258 Win Model: -0.137
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 16061 67.14% 37.76 65.62%
2 4803 67.51% 39.48 71.0%
3 1377 57.22% 41.03 75.38%
4 735 59.07% 41.13 70.34%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 124
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5596
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4213
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2048
Lose: Invader deck ran out 228
Win: Sacrifice victory 121
Lose: Scenario condition 293
Win: Scenario condition 308
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6682
Lose: Spirit destroyed 269

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 969 53.95% 43.86 1.838 71.0% 0.166 0.2706
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 579 80.31% 36.32 -1.185 50.43% -0.208 -0.0101
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 514 55.86% 44.79 2.261 75.88% 0.588 0.474
Eyes Watch From the Trees 518 60.62% 44.23 2.038 70.85% 0.374 -0.0299
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 541 62.13% 42.48 1.129 65.25% 0.115 -0.1907
Fractured Days Split the Sky 109 60.55% 45.33 2.073 67.89% -0.093 0.2551
Heart of the Wildfire 838 81.18% 35.34 -1.774 51.31% -0.096 0.223
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1702 64.61% 41.65 0.946 65.1% 0.284 -0.0589
Lightning's Swift Strike 1162 65.01% 40.57 0.319 61.53% -0.071 0.1551
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 299 68.23% 41.45 1.131 67.22% 0.22 -0.0665
Many Minds Move as One 179 58.66% 45.09 2.574 76.54% 0.613 0.0801
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 965 75.16% 38.34 -0.633 57.31% -0.052 -0.2766
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 465 57.54% 43.96 2.009 73.98% 0.508 0.5222
River Surges in Sunlight 1216 72.21% 40.61 0.61 56.17% -0.163 -0.0426
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 646 70.13% 38.79 -0.743 58.82% -0.033 0.0701
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 553 79.2% 36.41 -1.528 47.74% -0.291 0.1133
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 902 55.65% 43.81 1.982 69.29% 0.187 0.0746
Shifting Memory of Ages 42 88.1% 30.74 -3.571 38.1% -0.685 -0.56
Shroud of Silent Mist 103 88.35% 31.11 -3.486 41.75% -0.451 -0.3943
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 312 78.53% 31.37 -3.993 49.68% -0.417 -0.477
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 481 66.39% 39.63 -0.168 59.67% -0.201 -0.0405
Thunderspeaker 841 69.03% 41.22 0.762 60.88% 0.026 0.0503
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 299 90.6% 31.85 -2.976 45.82% -0.145 -0.1727
Vital Strength of the Earth 692 74.24% 34.75 -2.408 46.24% -0.65 0.1941
Volcano Looming High 169 69.23% 40.66 0.719 68.64% 0.299 0.3099

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 193 73.12% 33.8 -2.919 45.6% -0.672 -0.1063
Dahan Insurrection 4 210 62.86% 55.03 7.684 54.29% -0.511 -0.1111
Despicable Theft 2 3 100.0% 44.67 4.386 66.67% 0.393 0.6665
Elemental Invocation 1 13 84.62% 30.92 -3.934 30.77% -0.616 -0.1139
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 760 24.47% 47.69 2.957 70.13% -1.014 -0.649
Powers Long Forgotten 1 67 85.07% 40.15 0.415 50.75% -0.104 0.3423
Rituals of Terror 3 98 71.43% 43.15 1.939 40.82% -0.993 -0.3479
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 63 80.95% 42.95 2.166 39.68% -0.591 0.0556
Second Wave 0 278 70.86% 38.87 -0.896 52.52% -0.597 -0.1672
The Great River 3 9 77.78% 30.11 -5.728 11.11% -2.266 -0.7927
Ward the Shores 2 78 78.21% 42.23 0.646 43.59% -0.674 0.3577

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6642 70.71% 37.61 -0.947 56.32% -0.367 -0.2809
1 Thematic 847 63.75% 42.35 1.078 51.12% -0.096 0.181
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 55.0 2.245 100.0% 0.016 0.0225
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1591 72.14% 39.68 0.018 62.35% -0.181 -0.1547
2 Coastline 175 66.86% 43.58 1.506 72.57% 0.301 0.2763
2 Fragment 29 79.31% 34.69 -1.956 51.72% -0.365 -0.1419
2 Heart 21 76.19% 43.95 2.109 71.43% 0.318 0.4181
2 Opposite Shores 268 65.92% 40.26 -0.067 63.06% -0.218 -0.1523
2 Thematic 158 76.58% 42.3 0.952 46.84% 0.522 0.4554
2 Top to Top 43 60.47% 40.79 0.434 62.79% -0.147 -0.2163
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 25.0 -6.392 0.0% -0.525 0.2792
3 Coastline 19 63.16% 47.42 3.24 73.68% 0.289 0.1388
3 Other 23 60.87% 43.57 0.646 73.91% -0.233 -0.0599
3 Round (Default) 526 62.64% 44.43 1.718 75.1% 0.258 0.219
3 Sunrise 4 50.0% 38.0 -2.659 50.0% -0.736 -0.9958
3 Thematic 40 90.0% 33.52 -3.378 27.5% 0.231 -0.1348
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 57.0 4.833 100.0% 0.015 0.1341
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 33.5 -1.974 50.0% -0.11 -0.038
4 Other 21 28.57% 54.9 3.24 95.24% 0.284 0.215
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 61.0 5.051 100.0% 0.147 -0.6551
4 Thematic 56 60.71% 46.79 0.378 55.36% 0.928 -0.0692
4 Trapezoid (Default) 224 50.0% 45.46 1.058 73.66% -0.335 -0.3268
5 Other 2 0.0% 52.0 4.027 100.0% 0.035 -0.4258

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 639 33.92 -4.319 45.23% -2.924 -0.8548
Aid From Lesser Spirits 491 35.03 -3.839 46.44% -2.9 -0.9876
All Things Weaken 228 31.47 -5.122 41.23% -3.054 -0.8947
Back Against the Wall 454 36.03 -3.306 49.78% -2.783 -0.696
Disintegrating Ecosystem 592 30.49 -6.067 41.22% -3.086 -0.8644
Downward Spiral 1222 32.51 -4.856 44.84% -2.821 -0.7992
Erosion of Will 584 30.82 -5.939 37.16% -3.295 -1.0869
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 46 50.76 3.977 93.48% 0.073 0.7518
Memory Fades to Dust 1245 30.88 -5.64 39.76% -3.052 -0.8367
Power Corrodes the Spirit 215 30.16 -5.773 40.47% -3.085 -1.0643
Promising Farmlands 625 29.78 -6.442 37.44% -3.304 -1.0956
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 43 51.42 4.164 97.67% 0.619 1.0301
Thriving Communities 225 28.53 -6.521 37.33% -3.192 -1.1037
Tipping Point 323 29.83 -6.415 35.91% -3.352 -1.1271
Unnatural Proliferation 229 33.34 -4.236 44.54% -2.881 -0.7999
Untended Land Crumbles 222 31.28 -5.449 41.89% -3.099 -0.9972

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2350 70.24% 39.49 0.039 60.64% 0.378 -0.3103
B 2536 68.71% 38.98 -0.276 59.78% 0.249 -0.5349
C 2621 70.49% 39.21 0.018 60.59% 0.37 -0.6428
D 2288 67.14% 40.31 0.572 63.11% 0.446 -0.3318
E 710 65.87% 41.71 1.125 68.31% 0.612 -0.2824
F 1110 64.52% 40.62 0.398 64.68% 0.343 -0.4979
G 981 63.91% 41.24 0.538 66.36% 0.388 -0.4435
H 1089 65.28% 40.83 0.339 64.83% 0.342 -0.497
East 338 71.6% 41.33 -0.102 43.49% -0.478 -1.0541
Northeast 362 68.51% 41.46 0.077 45.03% -0.425 -0.9493
Northwest 256 73.83% 40.8 -0.412 44.14% -0.221 -0.8162
Southeast 91 56.04% 47.21 2.881 67.03% 0.388 -0.241
Southwest 72 62.5% 36.42 -3.046 47.22% -0.684 -0.8825
West 326 68.1% 44.26 1.635 50.92% 0.067 -0.2606

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 44 0.0% 39.39 -1.939 61.36% -2.034 0.0186
Not Using Events or Tokens 1248 77.04% 37.15 -0.634 53.53% 0.05 0.2644
Skip Initial Invader Actions 196 13.99% 60.39 6.645 94.9% 0.961 0.2742
Start of Game Growth 296 21.03% 56.21 5.095 91.55% 0.734 0.265
Unlimited Undo 850 66.35% 42.15 1.315 66.59% 0.363 -0.0599
Using Tokens but Not Events 616 66.12% 37.02 -1.388 54.71% -0.43 -0.4814

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2121 22.37 8.58%
II 4121 30.88 54.99%
III 3267 34.39 80.41%
IV 1186 37.55 99.41%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.509 Win Model: -0.175
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7502 69.91% 38.17 55.79%
2 2287 71.29% 40.18 62.05%
3 604 63.83% 43.74 71.69%
4 302 50.67% 46.45 71.85%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 144
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2094
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1701
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 957
Lose: Invader deck ran out 99
Win: Sacrifice victory 40
Lose: Scenario condition 205
Win: Scenario condition 148
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3986
Lose: Spirit destroyed 151

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5871 47.42% 49.04 1.675 73.07% 0.029 0.1335
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2975 83.16% 38.09 -1.799 51.06% -0.17 0.0279
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2826 55.66% 46.82 1.281 73.32% 0.197 0.0833
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2782 57.83% 48.07 2.047 72.93% 0.289 -0.1152
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2590 66.21% 44.22 0.123 65.21% 0.023 -0.2822
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1317 54.9% 51.05 3.218 71.83% 0.016 0.3645
Heart of the Wildfire 5171 70.02% 42.0 -1.45 57.76% -0.201 0.1173
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8983 60.33% 46.86 1.167 70.17% 0.22 -0.1224
Lightning's Swift Strike 6221 64.34% 44.73 0.549 64.49% -0.002 0.2241
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2201 62.98% 45.88 1.037 69.2% 0.117 -0.1694
Many Minds Move as One 954 49.9% 51.92 3.941 86.69% 1.085 0.5517
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5573 71.31% 41.55 -1.696 54.66% -0.359 -0.5836
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2908 54.11% 47.91 1.831 75.96% 0.349 0.3633
River Surges in Sunlight 5921 65.22% 47.42 1.473 62.79% -0.038 0.0828
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4337 61.8% 45.89 0.594 68.23% 0.111 0.2134
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2514 76.62% 37.83 -3.067 46.46% -0.615 -0.21
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4020 50.0% 48.67 1.568 72.19% 0.036 -0.0759
Shifting Memory of Ages 314 78.34% 39.07 -2.218 52.87% -0.452 -0.3271
Shroud of Silent Mist 517 85.69% 37.79 -2.359 52.42% -0.218 -0.1616
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3193 72.03% 37.07 -3.173 56.66% -0.328 -0.3882
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2320 59.18% 46.92 1.166 70.04% 0.087 0.2475
Thunderspeaker 3243 68.11% 44.82 0.341 61.42% -0.01 0.0135
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2782 84.76% 39.38 -1.502 59.56% 0.144 0.1163
Vital Strength of the Earth 2522 72.0% 37.49 -3.138 47.54% -0.747 0.0973
Volcano Looming High 1944 59.05% 46.68 1.547 73.3% 0.232 0.2424

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 591 67.02% 39.35 -2.91 52.45% -0.731 -0.1654
Dahan Insurrection 4 884 45.53% 69.16 10.579 73.76% 0.058 0.4578
Despicable Theft 2 10 90.0% 54.1 5.35 70.0% 0.494 0.7681
Elemental Invocation 1 46 71.74% 41.91 -1.244 54.35% -0.593 -0.0909
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5591 20.69% 53.93 3.774 77.84% -0.804 -0.4387
Powers Long Forgotten 1 141 79.86% 38.71 -2.23 39.72% -0.726 -0.2797
Rituals of Terror 3 140 83.57% 40.98 -0.662 31.43% -1.123 -0.4777
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 76 92.11% 41.17 -0.329 34.21% -0.753 -0.106
Second Wave 0 663 79.15% 40.2 -1.864 49.32% -0.583 -0.1528
The Great River 3 23 65.22% 32.26 -8.133 13.04% -3.368 -1.8949
Ward the Shores 2 152 84.11% 39.33 -1.559 36.84% -0.857 0.1752

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 42485 68.97% 41.8 -0.59 60.69% -0.111 -0.025
1 Thematic 1466 68.96% 43.5 -0.743 48.09% -0.331 -0.054
2 Archipelago 1 100.0% 17.0 -9.717 0.0% -0.38 -0.3733
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6550 68.06% 44.72 0.431 66.89% 0.031 0.0571
2 Coastline 934 65.95% 45.63 0.932 68.31% 0.114 0.0892
2 Fragment 202 69.8% 46.96 1.721 72.77% 0.298 0.5211
2 Heart 79 77.22% 43.08 -0.216 62.03% 0.103 0.2028
2 Opposite Shores 1293 64.52% 43.36 -0.296 62.34% -0.188 -0.1225
2 Thematic 340 70.41% 44.56 -1.52 46.76% -0.173 -0.2393
2 Top to Top 213 69.19% 44.16 0.631 64.32% 0.001 -0.0675
3 Coastline 65 27.69% 54.97 3.957 81.54% -0.227 -0.3775
3 Other 94 65.96% 47.09 0.975 72.34% -0.138 0.0344
3 Round (Default) 2489 56.73% 46.38 0.474 69.83% -0.194 -0.2333
3 Sunrise 17 70.59% 43.0 -0.739 58.82% -0.249 -0.5093
3 Thematic 73 82.86% 43.15 -3.331 42.47% 0.237 -0.1294
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 22.0 -10.164 0.0% -0.448 0.1
4 Coastline 17 0.0% 64.41 6.119 100.0% 0.379 0.4982
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 25.4 -9.397 20.0% -1.115 -1.0432
4 Other 223 31.84% 53.73 2.203 85.65% 0.011 -0.058
4 Thematic 965 28.17% 66.42 3.349 84.15% 1.127 0.1299
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1955 55.72% 47.19 0.11 69.72% -0.415 -0.4068
5 Other 31 66.67% 56.03 4.066 93.55% 0.951 0.4905
5 Thematic 5 20.0% 71.2 5.434 100.0% 0.757 -1.6342

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3523 35.37 -5.387 44.79% -3.223 -1.1533
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2747 39.47 -3.505 53.04% -2.93 -1.017
All Things Weaken 1557 35.72 -5.053 46.76% -3.169 -1.0097
Back Against the Wall 2610 38.06 -4.18 49.69% -3.064 -0.9765
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3410 33.23 -6.468 44.72% -3.233 -1.0112
Downward Spiral 5277 34.68 -5.491 46.88% -2.969 -0.9476
Erosion of Will 3468 34.34 -5.969 42.39% -3.351 -1.1436
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 318 54.16 3.613 95.28% -0.074 0.6046
Memory Fades to Dust 5494 33.6 -6.061 41.92% -3.158 -0.9429
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1522 35.24 -5.161 48.36% -3.099 -1.0782
Promising Farmlands 3399 33.4 -6.371 43.04% -3.306 -1.0981
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 264 54.71 3.935 96.59% 0.327 0.7388
Thriving Communities 1434 34.28 -5.754 46.72% -3.191 -1.1028
Tipping Point 1595 32.86 -6.649 40.13% -3.392 -1.167
Unnatural Proliferation 1638 36.46 -4.623 47.56% -3.124 -1.043
Untended Land Crumbles 1408 34.9 -5.463 47.66% -3.15 -1.0477

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12995 65.24% 43.84 0.216 63.89% 0.468 -0.2203
B 13238 65.12% 43.05 -0.306 62.44% 0.318 -0.4655
C 14349 67.97% 42.6 -0.315 61.59% 0.385 -0.6282
D 12241 67.89% 42.45 -0.344 61.43% 0.396 -0.3815
E 4944 65.49% 44.81 0.575 68.31% 0.53 -0.3641
F 7391 60.83% 46.27 1.196 70.52% 0.596 -0.2452
G 6270 63.94% 44.62 0.285 66.71% 0.42 -0.4119
H 6780 64.02% 44.68 0.588 67.61% 0.537 -0.3025
East 1499 42.82% 59.4 2.344 71.85% 0.224 -0.3524
Northeast 1410 45.1% 57.74 1.832 67.87% 0.134 -0.3902
Northwest 1194 42.77% 57.89 0.687 68.01% -0.27 -0.8654
Southeast 238 45.8% 56.98 1.324 77.31% 0.328 -0.3011
Southwest 251 51.79% 52.58 -1.155 70.92% -0.098 -0.2966
West 1433 40.74% 59.7 2.318 72.51% 0.188 -0.1388

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 254 0.0% 49.94 -0.38 73.23% -2.09 -0.0368
Not Using Events or Tokens 4007 75.46% 38.25 -1.902 50.09% -0.318 -0.1037
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1714 19.76% 61.37 4.795 89.96% 0.588 -0.0982
Start of Game Growth 2357 21.23% 60.18 4.304 89.1% 0.366 -0.1029
Unlimited Undo 7112 53.01% 50.07 2.781 77.54% 0.578 0.1546
Using Tokens but Not Events 2957 56.56% 43.97 -0.545 63.54% -0.299 -0.3495

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11597 22.37 11.93%
II 20953 30.88 58.25%
III 20925 34.39 83.72%
IV 6028 37.55 99.82%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.434 Win Model: -0.204
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 44047 68.97% 41.87 60.29%
2 9572 67.64% 44.63 65.72%
3 2728 56.81% 46.48 69.5%
4 3156 45.36% 53.66 75.38%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 854
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14332
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9297
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5051
Lose: Invader deck ran out 473
Win: Sacrifice victory 269
Lose: Scenario condition 1044
Win: Scenario condition 707
Lose: Blight pool ran out 19945
Lose: Spirit destroyed 918

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2025-04-15 02:07:53 (Pacific Time)