The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3676 27.33% 24.76 -0.192 87.65% -0.128 -0.0138
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2602 49.67% 23.45 -0.271 81.86% -0.01 0.1962
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1662 25.53% 26.0 0.244 92.12% 0.381 0.2758
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1988 16.39% 28.33 1.237 94.62% 0.374 -0.0189
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1704 23.29% 26.95 0.602 93.43% 0.458 0.1675
Fractured Days Split the Sky 256 40.63% 26.12 0.691 78.13% -0.672 -0.3184
Heart of the Wildfire 2619 58.63% 21.06 -1.299 75.11% -0.263 0.0653
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3669 28.59% 26.62 0.506 91.74% 0.433 0.1028
Lightning's Swift Strike 4118 40.92% 24.14 -0.142 81.28% -0.207 0.029
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 555 31.23% 25.94 0.423 90.81% 0.237 -0.05
Many Minds Move as One 494 25.71% 26.74 0.64 93.72% 0.456 -0.075
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3796 41.92% 24.49 -0.118 85.14% 0.204 -0.0102
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1559 28.82% 25.16 -0.162 89.61% 0.143 0.1673
River Surges in Sunlight 4899 38.0% 26.54 0.882 81.34% -0.287 -0.1562
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2179 37.7% 23.2 -0.756 85.04% -0.076 0.0394
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3069 53.7% 23.76 -0.268 78.79% -0.047 0.3699
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2466 29.29% 26.67 0.635 88.16% -0.08 -0.1772
Shifting Memory of Ages 62 56.45% 21.76 -1.064 87.1% 0.404 0.4945
Shroud of Silent Mist 207 48.31% 23.04 -0.545 87.92% 0.344 0.3734
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 972 28.5% 23.62 -1.032 90.84% 0.055 0.0071
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1335 33.84% 24.27 -0.479 84.12% -0.343 -0.1689
Thunderspeaker 3435 29.97% 27.33 0.998 86.96% -0.019 0.0136
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 737 61.58% 20.16 -2.027 78.15% -0.125 -0.1435
Vital Strength of the Earth 3944 33.75% 22.99 -0.995 79.01% -0.779 0.0747
Volcano Looming High 350 34.29% 23.34 -0.694 87.14% -0.095 -0.1138

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 739 43.85% 22.02 -1.392 77.54% -0.41 0.1592
Dahan Insurrection 4 722 21.93% 45.93 9.997 82.13% -1.053 -0.6552
Despicable Theft 2 20 35.0% 33.4 4.001 85.0% -0.242 0.0276
Elemental Invocation 1 39 51.28% 24.79 -0.243 76.92% -0.366 0.0988
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2058 7.85% 30.07 1.832 84.35% -1.814 -1.4471
Powers Long Forgotten 1 389 50.64% 29.0 1.725 77.12% -0.326 0.1187
Rituals of Terror 3 477 46.6% 35.01 5.012 72.96% -0.688 -0.0435
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 283 66.78% 31.66 3.681 63.96% -0.738 -0.0926
Second Wave 0 651 59.45% 23.25 -0.181 71.43% -0.516 -0.0876
The Great River 3 52 55.77% 27.88 2.122 53.85% -2.053 -0.5895
Ward the Shores 2 463 44.71% 30.76 2.69 74.73% -0.714 0.3202

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 23973 40.01% 23.72 -0.576 82.46% 0.127 0.2998
1 Thematic 2937 43.23% 31.01 2.109 77.15% 0.185 0.5469
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 31.0 2.557 100.0% 0.098 0.3251
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5700 33.32% 24.23 -0.288 86.74% -0.048 0.003
2 Coastline 436 34.42% 24.52 -0.082 89.22% 0.312 0.3197
2 Fragment 115 35.65% 23.35 -0.59 88.7% 0.092 0.3484
2 Heart 74 59.72% 20.57 -1.311 78.38% -0.075 0.0667
2 Opposite Shores 600 32.25% 24.03 -0.469 88.67% 0.053 0.1438
2 Thematic 619 42.14% 32.9 1.961 81.91% 0.308 0.2664
2 Top to Top 119 29.66% 23.11 -0.832 85.71% -0.319 -0.3502
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 26.0 0.437 100.0% 0.004 1.0861
3 Coastline 8 50.0% 26.75 1.417 87.5% 0.317 0.1182
3 Other 58 48.28% 20.22 -1.638 74.14% -0.996 -0.8219
3 Round (Default) 1629 27.46% 24.84 -0.077 89.93% -0.379 -0.4529
3 Sunrise 2 0.0% 30.5 0.885 100.0% 0.034 -0.2422
3 Thematic 115 39.13% 30.87 0.197 79.13% -0.209 -0.6106
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 21.33 -2.409 66.67% -0.642 -0.5917
4 Leaf 5 20.0% 27.4 1.943 100.0% 0.139 0.1105
4 Other 22 27.27% 22.95 -0.481 90.91% -0.362 -0.4755
4 Thematic 364 32.13% 31.65 0.197 93.68% 0.765 -0.3198
4 Trapezoid (Default) 781 26.26% 25.24 0.216 92.45% -0.395 -0.4812
5 Other 14 64.29% 25.64 1.13 100.0% 0.769 0.1651
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 31.0 0.052 100.0% 0.262 -2.5001

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 924 17.92 -4.307 61.8% -3.387 -1.3136
Aid From Lesser Spirits 813 18.86 -3.937 60.64% -3.43 -1.512
All Things Weaken 298 17.1 -4.544 61.41% -3.366 -1.1957
Back Against the Wall 779 18.13 -4.175 58.66% -3.549 -1.4576
Disintegrating Ecosystem 916 15.07 -5.787 55.24% -3.636 -1.4115
Downward Spiral 3265 17.16 -4.484 64.62% -2.949 -0.9263
Erosion of Will 966 17.73 -4.401 60.04% -3.469 -1.2603
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 121 23.88 -1.331 95.04% -0.709 -0.0226
Memory Fades to Dust 3322 16.21 -4.962 58.37% -3.246 -1.0268
Power Corrodes the Spirit 301 17.46 -4.61 63.79% -3.286 -1.2623
Promising Farmlands 1000 16.82 -4.879 61.8% -3.382 -1.1682
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 87 24.84 -0.918 96.55% -0.403 0.0067
Thriving Communities 290 17.44 -4.453 66.55% -3.192 -1.0974
Tipping Point 504 16.8 -4.836 60.52% -3.345 -1.1188
Unnatural Proliferation 305 18.6 -3.99 62.62% -3.298 -1.2116
Untended Land Crumbles 333 16.99 -4.584 62.76% -3.338 -1.2321

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8590 38.21% 23.66 -0.413 84.06% 0.147 -0.613
B 8815 37.01% 23.86 -0.321 84.07% 0.092 -0.7654
C 9025 36.22% 24.16 -0.195 85.04% 0.181 -0.9079
D 8549 35.61% 24.07 -0.205 85.1% 0.162 -0.688
E 1685 31.47% 24.89 0.105 89.38% 0.28 -0.6848
F 3349 33.07% 24.48 -0.113 87.82% 0.182 -0.7323
G 3179 34.1% 23.97 -0.368 85.91% 0.012 -0.8931
H 3395 33.26% 24.56 -0.114 87.89% 0.221 -0.6938
East 1371 39.52% 32.92 2.177 84.32% 0.095 -0.5545
Northeast 1486 38.67% 32.11 1.785 82.5% -0.063 -0.6615
Northwest 1227 37.83% 31.46 1.27 81.66% -0.171 -0.8407
Southeast 244 42.21% 29.11 0.689 82.38% -0.117 -0.8229
Southwest 205 43.9% 25.53 -1.273 81.46% -0.225 -0.4985
West 1347 43.04% 31.71 1.514 80.55% -0.154 -0.5523

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 336 0.0% 21.55 -2.662 71.73% -2.822 -0.7661
Not Using Events or Tokens 9097 46.04% 22.64 -0.794 78.03% -0.371 -0.1551
Skip Initial Invader Actions 558 6.95% 35.14 3.296 96.24% 1.065 0.3781
Start of Game Growth 804 12.17% 32.3 2.013 93.66% -0.07 -0.5397
Unlimited Undo 1862 30.85% 26.52 0.472 88.72% 0.356 -0.0643
Using Tokens but Not Events 2921 28.22% 25.86 0.139 88.7% -0.062 -0.1147

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3745 22.35 55.78%
II 14468 30.84 80.93%
III 12965 34.35 86.76%
IV 6402 37.52 99.03%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.025 Win Model: 0.359
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 26953 40.37% 24.51 81.87%
2 7656 34.28% 24.87 86.61%
3 1792 28.49% 25.09 88.84%
4 1178 28.45% 27.2 93.04%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1570
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8692
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8502
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4901
Lose: Invader deck ran out 549
Win: Sacrifice victory 143
Lose: Scenario condition 392
Win: Scenario condition 939
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4988
Lose: Spirit destroyed 265

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2323 28.99% 30.03 -0.213 85.15% -0.251 -0.1367
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1581 52.01% 29.17 -0.083 82.42% 0.08 0.2857
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1055 28.26% 31.6 0.442 92.04% 0.541 0.4361
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1431 18.14% 34.26 1.451 94.2% 0.501 0.1087
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1065 24.15% 33.04 1.006 93.33% 0.631 0.34
Fractured Days Split the Sky 199 44.22% 31.07 0.636 78.89% -0.684 -0.3303
Heart of the Wildfire 1834 57.29% 27.73 -0.588 79.61% 0.019 0.3475
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2841 35.12% 31.28 0.494 89.62% 0.41 0.0803
Lightning's Swift Strike 2639 39.46% 30.27 0.234 82.99% -0.069 0.1667
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 408 31.94% 30.41 0.181 87.75% 0.002 -0.2857
Many Minds Move as One 367 27.25% 31.92 0.775 92.1% 0.411 -0.1193
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2012 45.39% 29.11 -0.462 82.46% -0.075 -0.2891
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1053 32.54% 30.63 -0.075 87.94% 0.112 0.1363
River Surges in Sunlight 2861 41.53% 31.32 0.733 81.48% -0.198 -0.068
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1307 38.57% 28.97 -0.664 84.39% -0.054 0.0613
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1857 54.79% 28.45 -0.505 77.33% -0.114 0.3033
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1708 32.02% 32.09 0.738 87.7% 0.117 0.0195
Shifting Memory of Ages 52 44.23% 26.37 -1.538 80.77% -0.386 -0.2947
Shroud of Silent Mist 165 54.55% 26.81 -1.058 83.03% 0.114 0.1436
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 552 42.18% 26.19 -1.887 84.96% 0.018 -0.0306
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 911 34.51% 29.95 -0.372 84.3% -0.285 -0.1108
Thunderspeaker 2292 33.07% 32.52 0.966 85.34% -0.033 -0.0007
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 481 71.25% 23.51 -2.317 73.39% -0.209 -0.2275
Vital Strength of the Earth 2277 40.39% 27.22 -1.505 77.78% -0.595 0.2585
Volcano Looming High 220 47.73% 27.21 -0.907 84.09% -0.057 -0.0754

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 589 50.0% 25.22 -2.15 71.82% -0.69 -0.1207
Dahan Insurrection 4 574 22.63% 51.99 10.362 86.24% -0.591 -0.1929
Despicable Theft 2 23 60.87% 32.04 1.206 65.22% -1.089 -0.8196
Elemental Invocation 1 45 71.11% 29.16 0.381 75.56% -0.191 0.2737
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1227 14.24% 32.17 0.411 77.59% -1.92 -1.5534
Powers Long Forgotten 1 352 63.07% 29.62 -0.063 65.34% -0.859 -0.414
Rituals of Terror 3 343 46.06% 39.47 4.786 74.05% -0.773 -0.128
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 228 70.61% 35.33 3.078 63.16% -0.717 -0.072
Second Wave 0 2128 47.76% 29.63 0.152 76.08% -0.749 -0.3203
The Great River 3 52 42.31% 32.35 1.882 57.69% -2.138 -0.6748
Ward the Shores 2 389 49.74% 33.82 1.92 70.69% -0.886 0.1477

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 13713 42.09% 28.71 -0.623 82.25% -0.195 -0.0223
1 Thematic 2353 46.51% 34.69 1.661 73.82% -0.433 -0.071
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3268 36.94% 29.47 -0.198 87.55% 0.147 0.1981
2 Coastline 367 41.5% 28.89 -0.316 86.38% 0.208 0.2152
2 Fragment 95 44.21% 28.52 -0.566 88.42% 0.267 0.5231
2 Heart 62 37.1% 28.42 -0.61 85.48% -0.053 0.0888
2 Opposite Shores 587 34.13% 29.19 -0.405 87.56% 0.039 0.13
2 Thematic 550 46.81% 35.31 1.1 76.0% -0.161 -0.202
2 Top to Top 101 40.0% 28.14 -0.782 81.19% -0.295 -0.3258
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 31.88 1.158 75.0% 0.61 0.4113
3 Other 49 28.57% 28.02 -0.733 91.84% 0.019 0.1937
3 Round (Default) 1236 27.38% 31.07 0.26 91.83% 0.321 0.2475
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 25.0 -2.532 100.0% 0.009 -0.2679
3 Thematic 95 42.11% 35.57 0.498 73.68% -0.405 -0.8071
4 Coastline 7 42.86% 23.86 -3.752 28.57% -1.823 -1.7729
4 Leaf 4 0.0% 38.5 2.57 100.0% 0.049 0.0212
4 Other 40 37.5% 29.57 0.206 90.0% 0.2 0.0862
4 Thematic 250 42.8% 36.6 0.622 90.0% 0.829 -0.2554
4 Trapezoid (Default) 508 30.18% 30.5 -0.025 88.39% -0.055 -0.1418
5 Other 5 40.0% 34.4 3.123 100.0% 0.445 -0.1585

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 642 23.4 -4.327 63.4% -3.194 -1.1205
Aid From Lesser Spirits 638 23.78 -4.016 63.79% -3.212 -1.2936
All Things Weaken 231 22.74 -4.519 62.34% -3.129 -0.9592
Back Against the Wall 584 23.01 -4.475 59.59% -3.38 -1.2888
Disintegrating Ecosystem 686 20.77 -5.663 60.93% -3.323 -1.0982
Downward Spiral 1884 21.98 -4.744 65.18% -2.852 -0.8286
Erosion of Will 678 21.81 -5.12 57.52% -3.465 -1.2557
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 84 28.4 -1.445 92.86% -0.784 -0.0976
Memory Fades to Dust 1961 21.16 -5.199 59.36% -3.149 -0.9303
Power Corrodes the Spirit 221 22.52 -4.622 65.61% -2.999 -0.975
Promising Farmlands 720 21.32 -5.322 61.81% -3.284 -1.0697
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 57 30.21 -0.599 98.25% 0.171 0.5805
Thriving Communities 222 20.16 -5.549 59.91% -3.259 -1.1646
Tipping Point 365 21.32 -5.476 59.18% -3.418 -1.1917
Unnatural Proliferation 242 22.96 -4.535 58.26% -3.351 -1.2646
Untended Land Crumbles 200 21.64 -4.798 65.0% -2.953 -0.8469

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5274 41.1% 28.77 -0.442 83.69% 0.094 -0.6662
B 5460 38.16% 29.18 -0.298 84.91% 0.115 -0.7418
C 5622 38.3% 29.35 -0.171 85.22% 0.154 -0.9346
D 5309 38.05% 29.44 -0.05 85.52% 0.251 -0.5996
E 1157 34.98% 29.35 -0.258 86.52% 0.017 -0.9477
F 2101 33.46% 29.78 -0.125 88.2% 0.236 -0.6775
G 1938 36.49% 29.74 -0.176 86.95% 0.125 -0.7801
H 2012 33.13% 30.07 -0.098 88.27% 0.174 -0.7404
East 1136 44.19% 36.45 1.884 77.9% 0.057 -0.5928
Northeast 1180 46.02% 35.34 1.299 76.78% -0.104 -0.7031
Northwest 960 44.0% 35.77 1.463 80.94% 0.367 -0.3028
Southeast 193 38.86% 34.1 0.551 78.76% -0.088 -0.7944
Southwest 162 43.21% 30.34 -1.51 75.93% -0.329 -0.6022
West 1052 49.29% 34.9 0.929 75.76% -0.083 -0.4819

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 138 0.0% 26.7 -2.619 74.64% -2.424 -0.3676
Not Using Events or Tokens 4267 47.28% 27.51 -0.958 77.2% -0.413 -0.1973
Skip Initial Invader Actions 299 9.09% 42.75 3.747 94.31% 0.102 -0.5848
Start of Game Growth 466 14.58% 39.28 2.555 92.92% 0.378 -0.092
Unlimited Undo 1350 33.79% 30.76 0.117 86.89% 0.11 -0.3103
Using Tokens but Not Events 1941 31.38% 31.14 0.269 87.33% -0.074 -0.1261

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2613 22.35 49.64%
II 9272 30.84 81.21%
III 8088 34.35 89.03%
IV 3327 37.52 99.07%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.04 Win Model: -0.052
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 16092 42.73% 29.58 81.02%
2 5024 38.23% 29.98 86.13%
3 1385 28.92% 31.26 90.54%
4 799 34.26% 32.37 88.36%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 904
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5326
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5040
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2468
Lose: Invader deck ran out 226
Win: Sacrifice victory 72
Lose: Scenario condition 297
Win: Scenario condition 770
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3295
Lose: Spirit destroyed 158

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3258 31.93% 33.17 0.264 84.59% -0.145 -0.0311
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1936 60.26% 31.01 -0.044 79.6% 0.144 0.3502
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1365 33.65% 34.2 0.734 89.38% 0.368 0.2626
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1755 22.92% 36.57 1.677 92.65% 0.465 0.0721
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1386 29.68% 35.23 1.146 89.11% 0.28 -0.0105
Fractured Days Split the Sky 266 45.11% 32.95 0.448 70.68% -1.014 -0.6604
Heart of the Wildfire 2263 67.69% 27.79 -1.622 71.37% -0.267 0.0613
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3770 40.46% 34.06 1.016 87.72% 0.487 0.1564
Lightning's Swift Strike 3094 46.57% 31.5 -0.19 78.7% -0.217 0.0192
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 660 39.55% 33.61 0.684 87.12% 0.257 -0.0304
Many Minds Move as One 479 32.01% 35.74 1.532 94.78% 0.997 0.4662
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2947 55.15% 30.52 -0.68 78.38% -0.118 -0.3323
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1320 36.65% 32.99 0.187 86.74% 0.154 0.1779
River Surges in Sunlight 3704 49.15% 33.4 0.853 78.24% -0.165 -0.0343
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2273 40.66% 32.13 -0.095 84.69% 0.083 0.198
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2124 66.73% 29.15 -0.975 70.86% -0.203 0.2141
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2230 37.29% 33.79 0.633 83.86% -0.086 -0.1835
Shifting Memory of Ages 102 55.88% 29.4 -0.914 78.43% -0.293 -0.2016
Shroud of Silent Mist 261 58.24% 29.85 -0.645 78.93% -0.03 -0.001
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 807 44.35% 29.59 -1.412 84.26% -0.033 -0.0815
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1094 44.8% 31.84 -0.277 81.72% -0.039 0.1351
Thunderspeaker 2857 42.85% 34.3 1.048 83.41% 0.13 0.1622
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 674 74.44% 26.97 -1.925 74.18% -0.059 -0.0766
Vital Strength of the Earth 2654 44.47% 29.4 -1.308 73.78% -0.645 0.2091
Volcano Looming High 506 45.45% 31.55 -0.15 85.97% 0.103 0.0846

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 645 57.75% 27.44 -2.206 68.37% -0.647 -0.0779
Dahan Insurrection 4 492 31.22% 52.1 9.475 77.85% -0.999 -0.6011
Despicable Theft 2 25 68.0% 36.52 2.989 76.0% -0.199 0.0708
Elemental Invocation 1 45 66.67% 28.4 -1.363 68.89% -0.493 -0.0285
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1744 16.29% 33.47 -0.009 72.48% -2.16 -1.7933
Powers Long Forgotten 1 369 66.12% 31.47 -0.014 62.33% -0.752 -0.3074
Rituals of Terror 3 280 57.35% 40.06 4.012 62.5% -1.001 -0.3562
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 188 72.87% 37.79 3.003 60.11% -0.824 -0.1791
Second Wave 0 1644 55.42% 31.35 -0.161 70.74% -0.806 -0.3769
The Great River 3 44 59.09% 35.3 1.739 56.82% -1.684 -0.2206
Ward the Shores 2 418 55.02% 35.52 1.804 65.31% -1.003 0.0306

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 16460 49.98% 30.62 -0.549 78.27% 0.142 0.3141
1 Thematic 2274 57.07% 34.4 1.024 66.84% -0.194 0.1677
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 56.0 11.574 100.0% 0.025 0.2522
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4311 44.18% 32.13 0.072 85.18% 0.301 0.3529
2 Coastline 507 42.74% 32.56 0.148 85.8% 0.347 0.3546
2 Fragment 126 57.14% 30.22 -0.659 78.57% 0.05 0.3065
2 Heart 64 42.19% 29.53 -1.216 76.56% -0.279 -0.137
2 Opposite Shores 803 41.98% 32.43 0.141 86.18% 0.435 0.5261
2 Thematic 716 59.38% 34.77 0.498 67.32% -0.28 -0.3213
2 Top to Top 148 47.97% 32.46 0.35 86.49% 0.565 0.5343
3 Archipelago 2 50.0% 31.5 0.103 50.0% -0.531 0.5505
3 Coastline 13 30.77% 36.08 0.6 84.62% 0.043 -0.155
3 Other 90 32.58% 32.36 -0.243 85.56% -0.257 -0.0827
3 Round (Default) 1803 35.93% 32.82 0.074 87.19% 0.099 0.0252
3 Sunrise 11 36.36% 27.82 -3.039 54.55% -1.596 -1.8728
3 Thematic 150 56.38% 37.81 1.355 77.33% -0.051 -0.4528
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 47.0 5.584 100.0% 0.061 0.5697
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 36.0 3.731 100.0% 0.273 0.3227
4 Leaf 6 50.0% 30.17 -0.701 66.67% -0.702 -0.7306
4 Other 55 25.45% 34.04 0.302 92.73% 0.303 0.1891
4 Thematic 245 41.8% 39.28 1.095 83.67% -0.09 -1.1743
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1065 32.25% 33.56 0.395 89.3% 0.088 0.0013
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 51.0 9.771 100.0% 0.066 0.9427
5 Other 20 45.0% 37.6 2.267 100.0% 0.893 0.2899
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 42.0 2.928 100.0% 0.175 -2.587
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 55.0 12.43 100.0% 0.149 0.8815

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1088 25.39 -4.227 59.74% -3.107 -1.0343
Aid From Lesser Spirits 872 26.86 -3.526 61.35% -3.091 -1.1728
All Things Weaken 378 24.89 -4.333 60.58% -3.145 -0.9751
Back Against the Wall 894 27.39 -3.311 63.98% -2.976 -0.8851
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1013 23.01 -5.433 58.64% -3.2 -0.975
Downward Spiral 2556 24.71 -4.359 63.65% -2.889 -0.8661
Erosion of Will 1077 24.32 -4.748 56.92% -3.286 -1.0772
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 135 33.69 0.003 96.3% -0.234 0.4529
Memory Fades to Dust 2522 23.93 -4.774 58.49% -3.112 -0.8928
Power Corrodes the Spirit 370 24.24 -4.662 62.16% -3.148 -1.1239
Promising Farmlands 1086 24.06 -4.859 60.5% -3.103 -0.8886
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 105 33.29 -0.135 99.05% 0.663 1.0724
Thriving Communities 340 24.08 -4.828 60.88% -3.142 -1.0472
Tipping Point 575 24.7 -4.544 60.7% -3.042 -0.816
Unnatural Proliferation 402 24.72 -4.433 59.95% -3.2 -1.1136
Untended Land Crumbles 344 24.17 -4.683 63.37% -3.021 -0.9151

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7002 44.85% 31.63 -0.077 82.41% 0.139 -0.6218
B 7261 44.75% 31.52 -0.134 82.23% 0.125 -0.7318
C 7594 43.63% 31.76 0.032 82.66% 0.139 -0.9492
D 7014 46.01% 31.3 -0.171 81.85% 0.146 -0.7041
E 1729 43.17% 32.31 0.08 85.37% 0.158 -0.8073
F 2924 40.23% 32.84 0.258 85.94% 0.233 -0.6811
G 2627 42.57% 32.1 -0.064 84.55% 0.168 -0.7371
H 2701 41.72% 32.27 -0.015 84.45% 0.12 -0.7938
East 1254 53.0% 37.12 1.683 72.57% 0.172 -0.4769
Northeast 1234 53.81% 36.88 1.613 73.66% 0.347 -0.2519
Northwest 1040 56.61% 34.64 0.32 67.5% -0.05 -0.7196
Southeast 217 50.93% 33.34 -0.335 71.43% -0.227 -0.9335
Southwest 187 52.69% 32.89 -0.7 75.4% 0.198 -0.0751
West 1117 57.99% 35.47 0.78 68.93% 0.029 -0.3694

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 153 0.0% 31.56 -1.567 81.7% -2.017 0.0396
Not Using Events or Tokens 4591 54.17% 29.5 -0.791 74.73% -0.151 0.0646
Skip Initial Invader Actions 367 13.12% 45.44 4.325 95.37% 1.082 0.3949
Start of Game Growth 613 17.36% 41.47 2.556 90.7% -0.102 -0.5722
Unlimited Undo 1969 43.84% 32.78 0.247 83.34% 0.132 -0.2881
Using Tokens but Not Events 2252 40.28% 32.83 0.255 85.39% 0.166 0.1141

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2071 22.35 15.16%
II 12227 30.84 75.46%
III 9724 34.35 88.81%
IV 4853 37.52 98.99%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.181 Win Model: 0.155
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 18767 50.88% 31.08 76.87%
2 6679 45.7% 32.42 83.29%
3 2056 36.9% 33.19 86.38%
4 1373 34.02% 34.71 88.49%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 216
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6528
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6425
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3656
Lose: Invader deck ran out 288
Win: Sacrifice victory 132
Lose: Scenario condition 500
Win: Scenario condition 655
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4871
Lose: Spirit destroyed 235

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3157 40.45% 41.64 0.596 85.11% -0.013 0.1016
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1990 72.97% 36.24 -1.21 69.9% -0.288 -0.0815
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1643 36.0% 43.3 1.265 89.47% 0.312 0.2062
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1841 40.9% 43.32 1.338 88.32% 0.312 -0.081
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1630 43.95% 42.36 0.907 85.58% 0.179 -0.1112
Fractured Days Split the Sky 480 43.75% 42.94 1.258 77.29% -0.806 -0.4524
Heart of the Wildfire 2857 69.89% 36.4 -1.316 71.79% -0.214 0.1141
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4737 51.99% 42.32 1.251 85.12% 0.368 0.0375
Lightning's Swift Strike 3403 52.14% 40.65 0.371 80.16% -0.083 0.1533
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 838 51.19% 42.66 1.334 87.35% 0.434 0.1463
Many Minds Move as One 554 47.38% 43.19 1.457 91.52% 0.742 0.2108
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2970 64.99% 37.26 -1.269 73.74% -0.3 -0.5144
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1518 41.32% 42.37 0.926 88.41% 0.331 0.3547
River Surges in Sunlight 3734 57.07% 42.0 1.243 78.2% -0.078 0.0521
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2094 56.83% 38.56 -0.74 78.32% -0.168 -0.0526
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2127 72.94% 36.08 -1.401 67.94% -0.356 0.0606
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2874 38.78% 43.32 1.601 85.53% 0.023 -0.0739
Shifting Memory of Ages 116 81.03% 34.71 -1.77 72.41% -0.139 -0.0482
Shroud of Silent Mist 279 73.48% 37.8 -0.532 79.21% 0.092 0.1213
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1317 58.86% 35.34 -2.179 78.06% -0.236 -0.2848
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1380 50.15% 41.37 0.494 82.97% 0.08 0.2545
Thunderspeaker 2513 51.56% 42.48 1.056 81.26% 0.044 0.077
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1001 83.32% 34.73 -1.796 74.23% 0.067 0.0494
Vital Strength of the Earth 2298 59.55% 34.67 -2.529 66.88% -0.807 0.0465
Volcano Looming High 566 56.89% 39.69 0.065 83.04% 0.095 0.0765

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 521 60.27% 35.33 -2.324 66.6% -0.715 -0.1458
Dahan Insurrection 4 543 39.48% 62.34 10.416 82.5% -0.258 0.1399
Despicable Theft 2 22 63.64% 37.36 -1.138 50.0% -1.347 -1.0771
Elemental Invocation 1 49 55.1% 45.02 2.062 89.8% 0.562 1.0266
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1776 22.38% 43.42 0.992 79.22% -1.338 -0.9712
Powers Long Forgotten 1 270 75.56% 38.86 -0.47 62.22% -0.615 -0.1704
Rituals of Terror 3 200 63.0% 47.76 4.125 65.5% -0.664 -0.0185
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 78 85.9% 42.38 1.379 52.56% -0.679 -0.0338
Second Wave 0 1076 64.56% 35.78 -2.027 61.99% -1.097 -0.6682
The Great River 3 40 77.5% 40.23 0.407 50.0% -1.657 -0.1935
Ward the Shores 2 282 64.89% 41.86 1.023 63.83% -0.787 0.2469

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 21322 58.07% 38.43 -0.517 76.62% -0.545 -0.3721
1 Thematic 1658 60.53% 42.04 0.719 66.89% -0.528 -0.1661
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 53.0 4.807 100.0% 0.013 0.2394
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4854 54.33% 40.04 0.086 81.97% -0.207 -0.1557
2 Coastline 635 55.89% 40.72 0.287 81.89% -0.191 -0.1834
2 Fragment 119 60.5% 39.64 -0.301 78.99% -0.323 -0.0668
2 Heart 68 60.29% 38.62 -0.525 79.41% -0.345 -0.2034
2 Opposite Shores 908 57.4% 40.32 0.154 83.81% 0.012 0.1023
2 Thematic 523 59.2% 44.35 1.127 72.08% 0.26 0.2187
2 Top to Top 140 56.43% 38.25 -0.579 75.0% -0.576 -0.6067
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 68.0 14.958 100.0% 0.119 1.2004
3 Coastline 38 31.58% 47.79 2.699 97.37% 1.236 1.0377
3 Other 113 42.48% 41.69 0.28 88.5% -0.128 0.0463
3 Round (Default) 1704 46.84% 41.13 0.278 85.74% 0.001 -0.0723
3 Sunrise 2 50.0% 54.0 4.815 100.0% 0.185 -0.091
3 Thematic 83 63.41% 43.18 0.239 68.67% 0.716 0.3138
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 44.0 2.182 100.0% 0.119 0.6274
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 19.0 -11.82 0.0% -0.572 -0.5221
4 Leaf 4 100.0% 43.0 2.397 100.0% 0.425 0.3971
4 Other 43 32.56% 43.0 0.834 90.7% 0.035 -0.079
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 66.0 6.008 100.0% 0.013 -0.8415
4 Thematic 185 41.62% 51.15 1.483 78.38% 1.051 -0.033
4 Trapezoid (Default) 934 41.36% 43.6 0.916 89.83% 0.351 0.2639
5 Other 13 53.85% 40.15 0.245 84.62% 0.202 -0.4013
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 22.0 -12.864 0.0% -0.755 -3.5171

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1584 33.03 -4.414 61.43% -3.091 -1.0183
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1312 35.74 -3.033 67.53% -2.853 -0.9349
All Things Weaken 578 31.77 -4.84 59.69% -3.226 -1.0561
Back Against the Wall 1218 34.19 -3.817 63.38% -3.05 -0.9591
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1460 30.77 -5.546 60.34% -3.138 -0.9136
Downward Spiral 3086 32.89 -4.287 66.14% -2.795 -0.7724
Erosion of Will 1536 31.99 -4.981 59.51% -3.239 -1.0298
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 230 42.89 0.475 96.52% -0.325 0.361
Memory Fades to Dust 2999 31.55 -4.994 60.09% -3.058 -0.839
Power Corrodes the Spirit 609 33.8 -3.853 69.95% -2.749 -0.7254
Promising Farmlands 1499 30.95 -5.383 59.97% -3.15 -0.936
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 158 44.45 1.061 98.73% 0.53 0.94
Thriving Communities 571 30.93 -5.296 61.82% -3.153 -1.0577
Tipping Point 816 30.56 -5.653 56.25% -3.245 -1.0186
Unnatural Proliferation 577 34.62 -3.333 68.28% -2.787 -0.7009
Untended Land Crumbles 511 32.28 -4.572 64.38% -3.039 -0.9333

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7607 55.18% 39.42 -0.066 79.58% 0.479 -0.281
B 7965 53.96% 39.69 0.073 80.06% 0.465 -0.3925
C 8546 55.08% 39.75 0.164 80.19% 0.52 -0.5691
D 7670 55.14% 39.48 0.049 79.86% 0.514 -0.3363
E 2247 54.68% 39.89 0.053 82.87% 0.554 -0.4114
F 3618 50.4% 40.87 0.403 83.86% 0.559 -0.3547
G 3236 54.86% 39.46 -0.243 80.56% 0.41 -0.4949
H 3563 51.72% 40.23 0.051 82.18% 0.427 -0.487
East 914 56.63% 45.36 1.381 70.13% 0.05 -0.5999
Northeast 895 57.61% 44.46 1.148 69.27% 0.036 -0.5623
Northwest 649 56.48% 44.89 0.871 71.49% 0.213 -0.4569
Southeast 184 48.91% 45.95 1.696 79.89% 0.453 -0.2534
Southwest 177 53.67% 41.76 -0.76 75.14% -0.054 -0.3271
West 776 56.72% 44.6 0.69 67.91% -0.168 -0.5668

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 109 0.0% 34.39 -3.966 64.22% -3.02 -0.9639
Not Using Events or Tokens 3545 67.55% 36.2 -1.167 71.03% -0.138 0.0783
Skip Initial Invader Actions 387 11.2% 55.4 4.896 96.38% 1.007 0.32
Start of Game Growth 541 15.84% 52.42 3.592 93.72% 0.248 -0.2219
Unlimited Undo 2225 50.79% 41.53 0.723 83.51% 0.266 -0.1541
Using Tokens but Not Events 2109 46.36% 42.08 0.737 84.68% 0.175 0.1227

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2834 22.35 17.18%
II 15513 30.84 74.92%
III 10425 34.35 89.8%
IV 4581 37.52 99.61%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.277 Win Model: -0.409
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 23036 58.25% 38.71 75.95%
2 7236 55.43% 40.37 81.26%
3 1915 46.46% 41.44 85.43%
4 1166 41.62% 44.67 87.74%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 336
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7333
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8386
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3696
Lose: Invader deck ran out 241
Win: Sacrifice victory 160
Lose: Scenario condition 366
Win: Scenario condition 628
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6389
Lose: Spirit destroyed 323

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2041 52.43% 40.29 0.531 73.49% -0.11 0.0046
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1309 80.49% 35.39 -1.149 58.82% -0.171 0.0347
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1127 55.18% 41.06 0.928 76.4% 0.197 0.0917
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1166 51.93% 43.24 1.757 79.16% 0.27 -0.1227
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1147 58.43% 41.8 1.318 77.33% 0.311 0.0206
Fractured Days Split the Sky 252 59.92% 41.32 1.09 67.46% -0.351 0.0024
Heart of the Wildfire 1743 79.86% 34.05 -2.016 57.49% -0.248 0.0805
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3792 62.54% 41.16 1.312 75.98% 0.386 0.0564
Lightning's Swift Strike 2150 62.8% 39.01 0.1 68.6% -0.069 0.1666
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 812 61.95% 41.0 1.305 77.96% 0.397 0.11
Many Minds Move as One 353 50.99% 45.14 2.851 88.1% 1.023 0.4919
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2087 72.42% 36.67 -1.022 63.63% -0.203 -0.4181
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1011 53.86% 41.34 1.02 77.55% 0.228 0.2516
River Surges in Sunlight 2631 67.84% 40.7 1.086 65.91% -0.074 0.0563
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1393 71.42% 36.54 -1.158 63.75% -0.164 -0.0488
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1277 78.0% 35.34 -1.398 57.09% -0.316 0.1013
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1956 50.69% 41.71 1.325 73.82% -0.077 -0.1744
Shifting Memory of Ages 84 75.0% 31.15 -3.33 48.81% -0.854 -0.763
Shroud of Silent Mist 195 84.62% 35.32 -1.067 64.62% 0.098 0.1278
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 788 70.14% 33.03 -2.823 63.32% -0.327 -0.375
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 833 57.3% 40.93 0.798 74.91% 0.119 0.2932
Thunderspeaker 1641 64.56% 42.03 1.444 72.33% 0.228 0.2607
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 709 91.11% 32.09 -2.518 56.84% -0.095 -0.1131
Vital Strength of the Earth 1358 75.39% 32.74 -2.712 51.33% -0.693 0.1611
Volcano Looming High 364 68.41% 39.31 0.45 73.9% 0.256 0.2378

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 329 70.99% 33.06 -2.865 50.46% -0.778 -0.2085
Dahan Insurrection 4 361 54.29% 59.91 10.103 72.3% -0.063 0.3356
Despicable Theft 2 7 71.43% 48.71 3.828 71.43% 0.179 0.4486
Elemental Invocation 1 20 95.0% 29.35 -3.836 40.0% -0.721 -0.2564
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1099 24.34% 43.72 1.454 70.7% -1.443 -1.0769
Powers Long Forgotten 1 171 75.44% 36.71 -0.907 48.54% -0.82 -0.3753
Rituals of Terror 3 104 85.58% 37.56 -0.117 35.58% -1.199 -0.5541
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 92 88.04% 39.79 0.768 38.04% -0.728 -0.0828
Second Wave 0 661 73.98% 36.34 -1.244 56.13% -0.667 -0.2383
The Great River 3 14 64.29% 46.71 3.41 57.14% -0.948 0.5154
Ward the Shores 2 107 81.31% 38.57 0.461 43.93% -0.683 0.3507

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 14378 67.09% 37.46 -0.588 66.57% -0.129 0.0434
1 Thematic 1342 68.03% 40.47 0.467 53.73% -0.534 -0.1723
2 Archipelago 3 66.67% 47.33 5.229 33.33% -0.76 -0.5328
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3216 67.31% 39.55 0.503 72.76% 0.191 0.2421
2 Coastline 392 58.87% 42.32 1.274 79.59% 0.437 0.4447
2 Fragment 66 68.18% 34.98 -1.585 59.09% -0.418 -0.1621
2 Heart 68 72.06% 34.13 -2.235 57.35% -0.477 -0.3349
2 Opposite Shores 547 66.91% 38.44 -0.259 69.84% 0.068 0.1581
2 Thematic 364 77.75% 40.06 0.36 53.85% -0.112 -0.1536
2 Top to Top 92 71.43% 37.53 -0.284 69.57% 0.154 0.1228
3 Coastline 12 33.33% 54.33 5.737 100.0% 0.796 0.5973
3 Other 75 44.0% 40.71 -0.037 74.67% -0.546 -0.3712
3 Round (Default) 1194 57.53% 40.95 0.654 76.55% 0.141 0.0677
3 Sunrise 2 50.0% 45.5 2.606 100.0% 0.282 0.0054
3 Thematic 83 74.7% 38.98 -0.763 50.6% -0.238 -0.6401
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 48.5 3.715 100.0% 0.05 0.0997
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 37.6 -0.377 80.0% 0.36 0.3323
4 Other 54 40.74% 44.81 1.541 85.19% 0.048 -0.0658
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 4.672 100.0% 0.01 -0.8444
4 Snake 2 50.0% 47.0 2.739 100.0% 0.425 0.4788
4 Thematic 105 62.86% 41.49 -0.501 55.24% -0.306 -1.3901
4 Trapezoid (Default) 570 59.5% 40.55 0.085 71.58% -0.133 -0.2197
5 Other 5 40.0% 52.8 5.466 100.0% 0.63 0.0263
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 62.0 10.556 100.0% 0.098 -2.6648

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1233 32.58 -4.352 51.26% -3.13 -1.057
Aid From Lesser Spirits 983 34.84 -3.316 56.26% -3.008 -1.0899
All Things Weaken 466 31.57 -4.658 50.43% -3.217 -1.0468
Back Against the Wall 967 34.15 -3.638 53.57% -3.084 -0.9923
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1213 31.62 -4.765 55.4% -2.968 -0.7429
Downward Spiral 2307 32.85 -4.008 56.65% -2.803 -0.7804
Erosion of Will 1323 31.64 -4.834 48.9% -3.248 -1.0387
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 146 47.18 2.827 99.32% 1.016 1.7028
Memory Fades to Dust 2346 31.49 -4.721 51.28% -3.022 -0.8038
Power Corrodes the Spirit 477 31.71 -4.566 54.3% -3.051 -1.0273
Promising Farmlands 1302 30.95 -5.155 50.61% -3.163 -0.9494
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 83 46.8 2.748 97.59% 0.26 0.6696
Thriving Communities 430 28.73 -6.036 46.05% -3.419 -1.3242
Tipping Point 661 31.49 -4.82 49.92% -3.102 -0.876
Unnatural Proliferation 513 31.31 -4.786 48.34% -3.341 -1.2544
Untended Land Crumbles 485 29.89 -5.475 48.25% -3.307 -1.2017

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5006 65.65% 38.34 -0.147 68.48% 0.326 -0.4342
B 5385 65.3% 38.79 0.106 69.75% 0.393 -0.4641
C 5549 65.48% 38.44 -0.018 68.79% 0.343 -0.7461
D 5025 65.07% 38.67 0.149 69.81% 0.408 -0.4417
E 1636 65.61% 39.13 0.349 72.56% 0.514 -0.4508
F 2364 62.92% 39.46 0.29 72.25% 0.402 -0.512
G 2186 65.38% 38.82 -0.013 70.86% 0.384 -0.5213
H 2456 60.67% 40.27 0.582 74.43% 0.473 -0.4409
East 657 68.8% 42.19 1.164 55.4% 0.26 -0.3895
Northeast 636 71.86% 41.25 0.895 55.35% 0.394 -0.2047
Northwest 537 75.23% 38.09 -0.839 47.86% 0.108 -0.5618
Southeast 129 67.44% 40.67 -0.174 61.24% 0.339 -0.3673
Southwest 132 53.03% 41.32 -0.23 68.18% 0.295 0.0221
West 603 70.15% 40.1 -0.029 51.24% 0.04 -0.3591

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 80 0.0% 33.34 -4.001 53.75% -2.919 -0.8632
Not Using Events or Tokens 2278 74.7% 35.36 -1.132 60.45% -0.152 0.0642
Skip Initial Invader Actions 359 15.3% 56.42 5.878 94.43% 1.187 0.4998
Start of Game Growth 484 21.73% 53.32 4.318 90.7% 0.287 -0.1831
Unlimited Undo 1521 62.14% 40.18 0.665 72.39% 0.172 -0.2483
Using Tokens but Not Events 1274 58.99% 39.41 0.019 71.66% -0.075 -0.1277

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2607 22.35 5.91%
II 9286 30.84 60.74%
III 8146 34.35 84.68%
IV 2540 37.52 99.49%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.257 Win Model: -0.237
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 15751 67.17% 37.72 65.49%
2 4741 67.53% 39.5 71.06%
3 1362 57.19% 41.03 75.4%
4 725 58.77% 41.02 70.07%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 122
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5472
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4108
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1997
Lose: Invader deck ran out 226
Win: Sacrifice victory 118
Lose: Scenario condition 289
Win: Scenario condition 308
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6579
Lose: Spirit destroyed 266

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 962 54.14% 43.83 1.822 71.0% 0.167 0.2812
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 561 80.04% 36.52 -1.107 50.98% -0.19 0.0161
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 502 55.2% 44.87 2.266 76.29% 0.577 0.4721
Eyes Watch From the Trees 509 60.47% 44.28 2.054 71.12% 0.377 -0.0155
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 535 62.26% 42.49 1.114 65.23% 0.112 -0.1792
Fractured Days Split the Sky 108 60.19% 45.42 2.122 68.52% -0.048 0.3056
Heart of the Wildfire 825 81.36% 35.3 -1.8 51.15% -0.101 0.2269
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1672 64.45% 41.74 0.971 65.31% 0.285 -0.0452
Lightning's Swift Strike 1141 65.01% 40.55 0.288 61.44% -0.085 0.151
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 293 67.58% 41.52 1.146 67.24% 0.205 -0.082
Many Minds Move as One 175 58.86% 44.86 2.451 76.0% 0.578 0.0469
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 949 75.05% 38.38 -0.634 57.43% -0.056 -0.271
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 458 57.77% 43.93 1.986 73.8% 0.495 0.5185
River Surges in Sunlight 1208 72.27% 40.58 0.581 56.13% -0.174 -0.0433
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 638 70.06% 38.85 -0.735 58.93% -0.041 0.0739
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 547 79.34% 36.35 -1.582 47.53% -0.307 0.11
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 892 55.61% 43.77 1.959 69.17% 0.177 0.0802
Shifting Memory of Ages 35 91.43% 30.86 -3.422 40.0% -0.529 -0.4382
Shroud of Silent Mist 101 88.12% 31.0 -3.584 41.58% -0.482 -0.4527
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 298 78.19% 31.63 -3.884 50.0% -0.4 -0.4484
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 478 66.39% 39.68 -0.145 59.83% -0.193 -0.019
Thunderspeaker 832 68.69% 41.34 0.796 61.18% 0.023 0.0558
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 288 90.59% 31.21 -3.305 44.1% -0.219 -0.2368
Vital Strength of the Earth 685 74.42% 34.71 -2.414 46.28% -0.649 0.2047
Volcano Looming High 163 68.71% 40.71 0.769 68.71% 0.321 0.3019

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 192 72.97% 33.86 -2.911 45.83% -0.673 -0.1041
Dahan Insurrection 4 207 62.8% 54.92 7.631 54.11% -0.522 -0.1237
Despicable Theft 2 3 100.0% 44.67 4.413 66.67% 0.401 0.6706
Elemental Invocation 1 13 84.62% 30.92 -3.963 30.77% -0.625 -0.1608
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 751 24.43% 47.76 2.97 70.31% -1.011 -0.6449
Powers Long Forgotten 1 66 84.85% 40.47 0.531 51.52% -0.087 0.3581
Rituals of Terror 3 96 71.88% 43.06 1.873 40.63% -0.993 -0.3483
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 60 80.0% 43.0 2.241 40.0% -0.59 0.0551
Second Wave 0 275 70.91% 38.81 -0.933 52.36% -0.593 -0.1638
The Great River 3 8 75.0% 30.88 -5.345 12.5% -2.192 -0.7288
Ward the Shores 2 78 78.21% 42.23 0.646 43.59% -0.671 0.3625

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6516 70.57% 37.65 -0.943 56.4% -0.354 -0.1813
1 Thematic 832 63.34% 42.47 1.127 51.44% -0.06 0.3016
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1563 72.29% 39.65 -0.01 62.32% -0.183 -0.132
2 Coastline 171 66.67% 43.58 1.471 72.51% 0.289 0.2959
2 Fragment 29 79.31% 34.69 -1.956 51.72% -0.379 -0.1227
2 Heart 21 76.19% 43.95 2.104 71.43% 0.314 0.4555
2 Opposite Shores 264 66.16% 40.17 -0.095 62.88% -0.227 -0.1365
2 Thematic 158 76.58% 42.3 0.961 46.84% 0.556 0.5143
2 Top to Top 42 59.52% 40.36 0.177 61.9% -0.23 -0.2611
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 25.0 -6.322 0.0% -0.52 0.5619
3 Coastline 16 56.25% 50.81 4.758 81.25% 0.551 0.3524
3 Other 23 60.87% 43.57 0.65 73.91% -0.247 -0.0727
3 Round (Default) 522 62.74% 44.44 1.714 75.1% 0.24 0.1664
3 Sunrise 4 50.0% 38.0 -2.666 50.0% -0.745 -1.0215
3 Thematic 39 89.74% 32.95 -3.744 25.64% 0.118 -0.2841
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 57.0 4.834 100.0% 0.014 0.0643
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 33.5 -1.941 50.0% -0.122 -0.1506
4 Other 21 28.57% 54.9 3.268 95.24% 0.266 0.1524
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 61.0 5.077 100.0% 0.139 -0.7158
4 Thematic 56 60.71% 46.79 0.383 55.36% 0.95 -0.1346
4 Trapezoid (Default) 224 50.0% 45.46 1.069 73.66% -0.369 -0.4557
5 Other 2 0.0% 52.0 3.983 100.0% 0.034 -0.5698

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 633 33.88 -4.355 45.02% -2.926 -0.8527
Aid From Lesser Spirits 486 35.06 -3.829 46.5% -2.886 -0.9677
All Things Weaken 215 31.59 -5.081 41.4% -3.036 -0.8658
Back Against the Wall 446 35.92 -3.359 49.55% -2.779 -0.6882
Disintegrating Ecosystem 586 30.45 -6.102 41.13% -3.084 -0.8597
Downward Spiral 1197 32.55 -4.851 45.03% -2.809 -0.7858
Erosion of Will 572 30.88 -5.922 37.41% -3.28 -1.0705
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 44 51.7 4.36 97.73% 0.645 1.3317
Memory Fades to Dust 1218 30.94 -5.624 39.9% -3.038 -0.8193
Power Corrodes the Spirit 209 30.45 -5.663 41.15% -3.057 -1.0326
Promising Farmlands 620 29.67 -6.509 37.1% -3.311 -1.0967
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 42 51.4 4.126 97.62% 0.606 1.0156
Thriving Communities 216 28.65 -6.466 37.5% -3.168 -1.0728
Tipping Point 323 29.83 -6.426 35.91% -3.345 -1.1192
Unnatural Proliferation 222 33.07 -4.371 43.69% -2.901 -0.8145
Untended Land Crumbles 215 31.05 -5.522 41.4% -3.103 -0.9974

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2327 70.16% 39.54 0.057 60.76% 0.385 -0.3758
B 2498 68.68% 39.01 -0.277 59.85% 0.251 -0.6064
C 2581 70.49% 39.25 0.023 60.67% 0.374 -0.7146
D 2251 67.13% 40.26 0.533 62.95% 0.439 -0.4112
E 692 65.27% 41.72 1.087 68.35% 0.6 -0.3655
F 1083 64.16% 40.82 0.469 65.19% 0.358 -0.5564
G 968 63.87% 41.25 0.525 66.43% 0.387 -0.5183
H 1062 65.34% 40.85 0.322 64.88% 0.342 -0.5723
East 335 71.64% 41.28 -0.156 43.28% -0.505 -1.1541
Northeast 353 67.99% 41.47 0.075 45.04% -0.448 -1.0471
Northwest 256 73.83% 40.8 -0.416 44.14% -0.228 -0.8977
Southeast 90 55.56% 47.56 3.03 67.78% 0.415 -0.2913
Southwest 72 62.5% 36.42 -3.068 47.22% -0.703 -0.9755
West 321 67.6% 44.4 1.681 51.09% 0.064 -0.3347

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 41 0.0% 40.07 -1.581 63.41% -1.962 0.0948
Not Using Events or Tokens 1215 76.79% 37.27 -0.585 53.83% 0.057 0.2727
Skip Initial Invader Actions 194 13.09% 60.53 6.684 95.36% 1.0 0.3133
Start of Game Growth 293 20.56% 56.27 5.11 91.81% 0.736 0.2662
Unlimited Undo 830 65.9% 42.09 1.244 66.39% 0.337 -0.0826
Using Tokens but Not Events 607 66.28% 36.94 -1.438 54.7% -0.425 -0.4778

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2095 22.35 8.59%
II 4060 30.84 55.3%
III 3189 34.35 80.59%
IV 1164 37.52 99.4%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.502 Win Model: -0.158
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7361 69.74% 38.22 55.89%
2 2249 71.43% 40.13 61.94%
3 596 63.68% 43.79 71.81%
4 302 50.67% 46.45 71.85%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 142
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2037
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1682
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 935
Lose: Invader deck ran out 94
Win: Sacrifice victory 40
Lose: Scenario condition 201
Win: Scenario condition 146
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3913
Lose: Spirit destroyed 148

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5772 47.34% 48.98 1.66 72.94% 0.025 0.1394
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2910 83.2% 38.18 -1.755 51.27% -0.161 0.0452
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2758 55.58% 46.87 1.303 73.42% 0.204 0.0985
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2728 57.64% 48.05 2.036 72.84% 0.277 -0.1155
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2527 66.26% 44.11 0.08 64.94% 0.011 -0.2798
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1289 54.85% 51.0 3.206 71.76% 0.016 0.3697
Heart of the Wildfire 5093 70.05% 41.96 -1.453 57.71% -0.202 0.1263
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8804 60.19% 46.84 1.167 70.13% 0.218 -0.1119
Lightning's Swift Strike 6089 64.4% 44.68 0.534 64.43% -0.003 0.2332
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2109 63.24% 45.64 0.966 68.61% 0.101 -0.1867
Many Minds Move as One 930 49.68% 51.92 3.934 86.67% 1.076 0.545
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5482 71.35% 41.5 -1.713 54.52% -0.361 -0.5756
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2846 54.0% 47.94 1.847 76.04% 0.355 0.3787
River Surges in Sunlight 5833 65.27% 47.34 1.454 62.61% -0.041 0.0897
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4284 61.75% 45.85 0.597 68.18% 0.11 0.225
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2434 76.1% 37.97 -3.039 46.71% -0.614 -0.1974
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3945 49.89% 48.65 1.558 72.07% 0.032 -0.0657
Shifting Memory of Ages 258 78.29% 38.93 -2.197 52.71% -0.471 -0.3798
Shroud of Silent Mist 485 85.57% 37.85 -2.326 52.58% -0.214 -0.1843
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3126 71.75% 37.17 -3.115 56.94% -0.318 -0.3666
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2224 59.67% 46.74 1.092 69.6% 0.068 0.2419
Thunderspeaker 3196 68.05% 44.82 0.34 61.39% -0.013 0.0191
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2685 84.8% 39.35 -1.515 59.52% 0.146 0.1281
Vital Strength of the Earth 2450 71.79% 37.61 -3.06 47.96% -0.722 0.1315
Volcano Looming High 1810 59.23% 46.65 1.548 73.37% 0.25 0.2316

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 584 66.9% 39.22 -2.944 52.4% -0.738 -0.1684
Dahan Insurrection 4 865 45.02% 69.31 10.682 74.1% 0.075 0.473
Despicable Theft 2 9 88.89% 56.67 6.534 77.78% 0.61 0.8796
Elemental Invocation 1 46 71.74% 41.91 -1.233 54.35% -0.599 -0.1342
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5481 20.87% 53.79 3.713 77.49% -0.819 -0.4527
Powers Long Forgotten 1 139 80.29% 38.58 -2.258 39.57% -0.72 -0.2748
Rituals of Terror 3 139 83.45% 41.07 -0.589 31.65% -1.112 -0.4668
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 76 92.11% 41.17 -0.325 34.21% -0.754 -0.1085
Second Wave 0 661 79.09% 40.24 -1.84 49.47% -0.574 -0.145
The Great River 3 21 66.67% 32.57 -8.209 14.29% -3.137 -1.6733
Ward the Shores 2 152 84.11% 39.33 -1.555 36.84% -0.856 0.1776

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 41571 68.99% 41.78 -0.607 60.64% -0.115 0.0572
1 Thematic 1452 68.91% 43.45 -0.739 48.07% -0.318 0.0439
2 Archipelago 1 100.0% 17.0 -9.753 0.0% -0.388 -0.1614
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6385 67.73% 44.86 0.491 67.2% 0.022 0.0736
2 Coastline 886 65.57% 45.89 1.051 68.96% 0.125 0.1322
2 Fragment 200 70.0% 46.84 1.678 72.5% 0.265 0.5212
2 Heart 77 77.92% 42.29 -0.492 61.04% 0.051 0.1933
2 Opposite Shores 1265 64.6% 43.26 -0.337 62.13% -0.218 -0.127
2 Thematic 338 70.24% 44.56 -1.503 46.75% -0.167 -0.2089
2 Top to Top 209 68.6% 44.17 0.617 64.11% -0.043 -0.0736
3 Coastline 63 25.4% 56.13 4.327 84.13% -0.213 -0.4115
3 Other 85 63.53% 48.41 1.395 75.29% -0.136 0.0384
3 Round (Default) 2441 56.53% 46.35 0.469 69.68% -0.238 -0.3116
3 Sunrise 17 70.59% 43.0 -0.724 58.82% -0.281 -0.5572
3 Thematic 71 82.35% 42.86 -3.46 40.85% 0.157 -0.2451
4 Coastline 16 0.0% 64.25 6.017 100.0% 0.328 0.3784
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 25.4 -9.397 20.0% -1.147 -1.1752
4 Other 222 31.53% 53.7 2.231 85.59% -0.077 -0.1905
4 Thematic 938 27.06% 66.4 3.35 84.01% 1.092 0.0074
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1908 56.46% 46.98 0.038 69.18% -0.494 -0.5803
5 Other 26 65.38% 54.15 3.361 96.15% 1.079 0.4753
5 Thematic 5 20.0% 71.2 5.462 100.0% 0.755 -2.0073

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3455 35.41 -5.37 44.83% -3.209 -1.136
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2685 39.42 -3.53 52.85% -2.926 -1.0077
All Things Weaken 1497 35.43 -5.189 46.09% -3.186 -1.0159
Back Against the Wall 2556 38.05 -4.186 49.61% -3.054 -0.9624
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3343 33.23 -6.466 44.75% -3.219 -0.9941
Downward Spiral 5190 34.69 -5.481 46.92% -2.957 -0.9343
Erosion of Will 3389 34.44 -5.917 42.67% -3.327 -1.1181
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 299 54.08 3.601 94.98% -0.119 0.5675
Memory Fades to Dust 5411 33.6 -6.058 41.93% -3.147 -0.9286
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1463 35.23 -5.179 48.39% -3.089 -1.0647
Promising Farmlands 3339 33.36 -6.392 42.95% -3.299 -1.085
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 248 54.5 3.899 96.37% 0.287 0.697
Thriving Communities 1384 34.26 -5.756 46.68% -3.183 -1.0883
Tipping Point 1595 32.86 -6.652 40.13% -3.382 -1.1558
Unnatural Proliferation 1562 36.58 -4.558 48.02% -3.096 -1.01
Untended Land Crumbles 1351 35.07 -5.372 48.11% -3.12 -1.0145

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12759 65.19% 43.81 0.208 63.8% 0.513 -0.2475
B 12945 65.05% 43.07 -0.294 62.48% 0.369 -0.4881
C 14048 67.94% 42.61 -0.307 61.6% 0.436 -0.653
D 12013 67.92% 42.44 -0.344 61.42% 0.444 -0.4057
E 4761 65.39% 44.79 0.562 68.28% 0.571 -0.3938
F 7161 60.89% 46.22 1.169 70.41% 0.64 -0.2739
G 6091 63.95% 44.62 0.296 66.74% 0.474 -0.4316
H 6616 63.95% 44.7 0.608 67.71% 0.591 -0.3234
East 1469 42.3% 59.3 2.347 71.55% 0.265 -0.3843
Northeast 1383 44.65% 57.66 1.805 67.82% 0.165 -0.4339
Northwest 1176 42.4% 57.76 0.652 67.86% -0.236 -0.9058
Southeast 225 44.0% 56.85 1.383 76.44% 0.356 -0.3502
Southwest 237 50.21% 52.16 -1.234 69.62% -0.1 -0.3729
West 1403 40.23% 59.54 2.287 72.13% 0.22 -0.1783

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 241 0.0% 49.69 -0.415 73.44% -2.07 -0.0137
Not Using Events or Tokens 3938 75.41% 38.24 -1.885 50.15% -0.313 -0.0974
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1677 19.76% 61.41 4.818 90.22% 0.604 -0.0828
Start of Game Growth 2313 21.18% 60.19 4.319 89.28% 0.374 -0.096
Unlimited Undo 7021 52.86% 50.11 2.804 77.67% 0.582 0.1624
Using Tokens but Not Events 2892 57.03% 43.8 -0.607 63.21% -0.305 -0.3574

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11376 22.35 11.74%
II 20466 30.84 58.28%
III 20440 34.35 83.81%
IV 5899 37.52 99.83%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.434 Win Model: -0.231
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 43115 68.98% 41.85 60.25%
2 9322 67.39% 44.73 65.93%
3 2668 56.51% 46.51 69.49%
4 3076 45.42% 53.5 75.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 806
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13949
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9031
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4924
Lose: Invader deck ran out 465
Win: Sacrifice victory 263
Lose: Scenario condition 1037
Win: Scenario condition 696
Lose: Blight pool ran out 19493
Lose: Spirit destroyed 904

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2025-04-01 02:56:45 (Pacific Time)