The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4587 27.35% 24.7 -0.428 86.27% 0.158 -0.0011
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3169 49.31% 23.29 -1.592 80.62% -0.241 -0.1189
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2174 26.02% 26.16 0.494 91.4% 0.486 0.3179
Downpour Drenches the World 150 25.33% 22.61 -2.71 74.0% -0.28 -0.101
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 100 21.0% 23.16 1.544 66.0% 0.314 -0.4073
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2579 17.03% 28.41 1.243 93.1% 0.383 -0.206
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2266 23.5% 27.34 1.661 92.76% 0.674 0.2029
Finder of Paths Unseen 75 34.67% 19.81 -4.131 58.67% -0.888 -0.194
Fractured Days Split the Sky 405 41.48% 25.68 -2.918 73.33% -0.756 -0.0717
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 470 45.11% 26.44 -0.88 79.36% -0.169 -0.2703
Heart of the Wildfire 3202 58.67% 21.2 0.878 74.23% 0.575 0.8191
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4487 28.58% 26.87 1.61 91.26% 0.577 0.1276
Lightning's Swift Strike 4661 42.38% 23.48 -1.332 78.85% -0.079 0.1241
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 59 25.42% 28.85 -1.322 88.14% -0.293 -0.9902
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 275 29.56% 27.84 -4.272 88.73% -0.837 -1.0764
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 241 38.75% 25.24 -0.034 80.5% -0.182 -0.3418
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1084 32.96% 27.35 2.539 88.28% 0.599 0.4536
Many Minds Move as One 752 25.83% 27.54 2.725 91.89% 0.965 0.7442
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4641 42.47% 24.36 0.098 83.9% 0.297 0.2874
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2021 29.81% 25.17 0.248 87.53% 0.528 0.3864
River Surges in Sunlight 5635 38.83% 26.02 -0.224 79.54% 0.079 0.082
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 383 38.12% 26.14 0.384 78.85% 0.081 0.3506
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 61 34.43% 24.18 -2.64 70.49% -0.628 -0.7575
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2649 37.18% 23.58 1.01 84.6% 0.578 0.3645
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3428 54.69% 23.14 -0.979 76.14% -0.099 0.3372
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 38 28.95% 26.71 -1.761 76.32% -0.529 -0.5299
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 30 16.67% 27.73 0.159 76.67% 0.12 0.1119
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 227 37.0% 26.42 -6.959 87.22% -1.15 -1.2219
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 170 42.94% 26.26 0.678 85.29% -0.026 0.0326
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2971 30.15% 26.6 -1.562 87.01% -0.385 -0.5138
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 26 15.38% 23.42 1.714 76.92% 0.584 0.2213
Shifting Memory of Ages 395 51.39% 22.94 -1.289 74.94% 0.046 0.4536
Shroud of Silent Mist 492 53.37% 23.11 -2.018 77.85% -0.149 0.1655
Starlight Seeks its Form 671 20.0% 30.75 3.033 88.97% 0.778 0.5055
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1411 28.98% 24.6 1.043 88.09% 0.556 0.0607
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1780 34.56% 24.38 -0.461 83.26% 0.102 0.1325
Thunderspeaker 4246 30.37% 27.14 1.15 85.85% 0.527 0.5077
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 8 12.5% 20.13 0.698 50.0% -0.013 -0.0762
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1066 59.89% 20.87 -2.037 77.86% -0.065 -0.0035
Vital Strength of the Earth 4613 34.37% 22.55 -2.681 76.93% -0.56 -0.0074
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 49 14.29% 23.16 -4.755 73.47% -0.779 -0.5227
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 206 33.82% 21.27 -4.119 74.76% -0.615 0.2821
Volcano Looming High 717 38.52% 23.97 -0.434 79.78% -0.022 -0.0122

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 33.33% 24.33 6.234 100.0% 0.686 0.6075
Blitz 0 778 43.51% 22.06 -0.785 75.19% -0.136 0.0108
Dahan Insurrection 4 678 22.5% 45.36 10.116 80.83% 0.508 0.3009
Despicable Theft 2 79 39.24% 30.89 -1.258 73.42% -0.62 0.0629
Elemental Invocation 1 116 50.0% 24.56 -1.881 68.1% -0.291 0.4407
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1861 8.41% 30.19 3.395 83.02% 0.323 -0.2833
Powers Long Forgotten 1 381 49.61% 27.94 -2.933 74.8% -0.968 -0.4799
Rituals of Terror 3 449 45.07% 34.15 -3.283 70.16% -1.388 -1.2826
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 261 64.37% 31.75 -4.706 63.98% -1.244 -0.2516
Second Wave 0 734 55.99% 24.96 -1.044 71.53% -0.674 -0.6111
The Great River 3 111 47.75% 27.21 -4.665 51.35% -1.926 -0.5782
Varied Terrains 2 41 43.9% 25.73 -1.232 68.29% -0.626 -0.0636
Ward the Shores 2 464 41.38% 29.92 -2.908 73.06% -1.008 0.2014

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 31355 39.91% 23.97 0.556 81.38% 0.467 0.677
1 Thematic 3595 42.38% 30.78 0.7 76.41% -0.324 0.2742
2 Archipelago 9 22.22% 33.0 14.185 66.67% 0.336 0.6931
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7226 34.95% 24.03 -0.193 84.65% 0.431 0.5911
2 Coastline 591 34.13% 24.42 -2.884 85.62% -0.399 -0.3386
2 Fragment 150 38.1% 22.77 -0.71 85.33% 0.322 0.2588
2 Heart 97 57.89% 21.29 -4.715 77.32% 0.076 -0.1615
2 Opposite Shores 766 33.11% 23.85 -2.7 87.34% -0.304 -0.1705
2 Thematic 798 42.21% 32.23 -1.353 79.32% -0.582 0.0539
2 Top to Top 150 33.56% 23.06 -8.438 84.67% -0.387 -0.3461
3 Archipelago 6 50.0% 31.67 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 11 45.45% 24.91 -8.228 72.73% -0.218 -0.7155
3 Other 74 40.54% 20.73 -3.244 75.68% -0.244 -0.1342
3 Round (Default) 2203 29.0% 24.89 -0.485 88.2% 0.232 0.1907
3 Sunrise 8 12.5% 25.63 2.398 87.5% 0.363 0.5596
3 Thematic 173 37.57% 30.91 -1.466 75.72% -0.528 -0.4923
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 47.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 4 25.0% 16.0 -7.297 50.0% -0.19 -0.0679
4 Leaf 6 16.67% 27.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 28 25.0% 23.46 2.657 89.29% 0.254 -0.5952
4 Thematic 547 30.88% 30.66 0.972 92.87% -0.161 -0.1784
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1010 27.15% 24.79 -0.599 89.01% 0.083 -0.103
5 Other 30 46.67% 29.03 7.421 90.0% 0.838 0.3294
5 Thematic 8 37.5% 32.25 0.0 87.5%
6 Other 4 50.0% 21.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 3 0.0% 24.67 5.293 66.67% 0.174 0.6489
6 Thematic 18 5.88% 39.17 6.115 100.0% 0.179 0.5776
6 Two Centers (Default) 35 11.43% 19.86 -5.689 68.57% -1.118 -1.0746
7 Other 5 0.0% 30.2 -9.185 60.0% -0.654 -1.4269

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1182 18.29 0.048 61.17% -0.218 0.0528
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1049 19.43 -1.303 60.15% -0.452 -0.4133
All Things Weaken 519 17.97 -1.986 57.23% -0.544 -0.0833
Attenuated Essence 8 27.5 3.175 75.0% 0.25 0.4555
Back Against the Wall 1002 18.68 0.86 58.28% -0.155 0.0073
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 6 18.83 -0.592 50.0% -0.406 0.0084
Burn Brightest Before the End 1 7.0 -6.675 0.0% -0.606 -0.3018
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1160 15.68 -2.084 56.12% -0.59 -0.0637
Downward Spiral 4063 16.97 -1.606 63.18% -0.22 0.1326
Erosion of Will 1222 18.04 -1.807 59.08% -0.621 -0.2128
Intensifying Exploitation 9 11.22 -3.912 44.44% -0.723 -0.3356
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 202 24.89 3.749 92.08% 0.472 -0.0533
Memory Fades to Dust 4164 16.31 -1.653 58.21% -0.415 0.0667
Power Corrodes the Spirit 506 18.67 -2.055 62.25% -0.558 -0.2538
Promising Farmlands 1241 17.0 -0.587 60.6% -0.711 -0.1252
Shattered Fragments of Power 3 5.67 -6.074 0.0% -1.012 -0.8336
Slow Dissolution of Will 7 23.71 1.417 85.71% 0.556 1.0894
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 150 25.08 3.056 94.0% 0.165 -0.5129
The Border of Life and Death 8 26.38 3.212 87.5% 0.672 0.5427
Thriving Communities 484 18.03 -1.244 61.57% -0.615 -0.1219
Thriving Crops 4 19.0 -0.004 75.0% 0.203 0.2908
Tipping Point 504 16.8 0.0 60.52%
Unnatural Proliferation 518 19.66 0.863 61.0% 0.154 0.4505
Untended Land Crumbles 550 17.81 -2.746 60.0% -1.246 -0.8877

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10832 38.89% 23.48 -0.74 82.16% -0.596 0.2437
B 11069 37.36% 23.85 -0.724 82.66% -0.596 0.1831
C 11416 36.61% 24.03 0.229 83.29% -0.268 0.3861
D 10834 35.87% 24.01 -0.612 83.42% -0.452 0.3474
E 2930 33.32% 25.43 0.158 85.6% -0.51 0.1192
F 4778 33.92% 24.83 0.298 85.89% -0.186 0.5333
G 4476 34.28% 24.42 -0.388 84.63% -0.475 0.2665
H 4738 34.07% 24.82 -0.234 85.61% -0.496 0.1526
East 3237 38.54% 31.92 0.171 81.12% -0.44 0.1641
Northeast 1971 37.16% 31.82 0.351 82.39% -0.243 0.6377
Northwest 1601 37.51% 30.86 0.086 81.01% -0.309 0.3634
Southeast 399 38.44% 29.92 0.879 79.45% -0.199 0.4373
Southwest 356 41.69% 26.52 -2.971 78.37% -0.73 0.4343
West 2903 41.1% 30.68 0.778 78.99% -0.21 0.7542

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 490 0.0% 20.61 1.775 67.35% 0.5 1.3836
Not Using Events or Tokens 11536 45.85% 22.22 -2.124 76.46% -0.583 -0.2508
Skip Initial Invader Actions 741 8.95% 35.19 4.688 94.47% 0.457 -0.0783
Start of Game Growth 1130 13.42% 32.57 2.406 92.65% 0.319 -0.0116
Unlimited Undo 2664 29.0% 26.88 -1.319 87.99% -0.362 -0.3844
Using Tokens but Not Events 3651 28.74% 25.87 -0.393 86.77% -0.226 -0.2796

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5155 21.03 47.7%
II 18224 31.04 79.74%
III 17115 34.74 86.83%
IV 8446 38.02 99.12%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.246 Win Model: 0.263
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 35121 40.2% 24.68 80.79%
2 9721 35.53% 24.64 84.63%
3 2423 29.3% 25.2 87.21%
4 1596 28.71% 26.82 90.66%
5 14 7.14% 27.57 85.71%
6 64 11.29% 26.73 76.56%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2455
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14425
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 13731
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8292
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 489
Lose: Invader deck ran out 710
Lose: Adversary condition 189
Win: Sacrifice victory 189
Lose: Scenario condition 477
Win: Scenario condition 1132
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6501
Lose: Spirit destroyed 350

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2967 28.53% 30.26 2.26 85.0% 0.384 0.2251
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1942 51.97% 28.67 -2.318 80.59% -0.327 -0.2056
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1478 29.43% 31.24 0.778 90.19% 0.35 0.1823
Downpour Drenches the World 111 26.13% 29.05 -0.97 81.98% -0.356 -0.1769
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 83 17.07% 32.73 3.799 87.95% 1.315 0.5939
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1981 18.61% 34.28 3.115 94.19% 0.922 0.3335
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1510 24.77% 33.09 1.62 92.05% 0.287 -0.184
Finder of Paths Unseen 76 44.0% 32.26 -1.173 75.0% -0.838 -0.1435
Fractured Days Split the Sky 358 37.82% 32.15 0.969 78.77% -0.091 0.5931
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 341 43.99% 29.94 -0.437 78.89% -0.19 -0.2913
Heart of the Wildfire 2229 57.69% 27.44 0.559 78.56% 0.239 0.4831
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3434 35.63% 31.32 1.24 89.14% 0.67 0.22
Lightning's Swift Strike 2943 39.9% 30.03 -0.664 82.23% 0.044 0.247
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 81 27.16% 43.25 6.024 85.19% 0.68 -0.0166
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 208 33.17% 31.32 -2.785 84.62% -0.712 -0.9519
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 190 36.32% 33.15 4.363 90.0% 0.35 0.1897
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 836 36.65% 31.23 1.306 86.36% 0.436 0.291
Many Minds Move as One 602 28.41% 31.87 0.94 89.7% 0.667 0.4457
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2730 44.01% 29.64 0.459 82.45% 0.054 0.0449
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1446 34.19% 30.83 2.089 86.65% 0.65 0.5082
River Surges in Sunlight 3507 40.5% 31.37 0.408 80.9% -0.254 -0.2518
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 267 48.12% 29.46 -2.393 75.66% -0.671 -0.4011
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 77 42.86% 30.49 -1.399 74.03% -0.67 -0.7997
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1645 38.17% 29.3 0.897 84.32% 0.521 0.3078
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1974 56.39% 27.94 0.497 75.58% 0.095 0.5307
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 10 60.0% 33.9 1.828 90.0% 0.2 0.1995
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 32 37.5% 28.56 2.165 81.25% 0.549 0.5406
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 210 39.52% 30.07 -4.356 85.24% -0.89 -0.9624
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 131 57.36% 30.59 -2.513 81.68% -0.371 -0.3123
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2124 31.52% 32.03 0.406 87.34% 0.153 0.0244
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 25 16.0% 27.28 1.748 76.0% 0.538 0.1748
Shifting Memory of Ages 298 46.46% 27.46 -1.417 74.83% -0.794 -0.3865
Shroud of Silent Mist 380 55.67% 27.18 0.678 79.74% 0.449 0.7637
Starlight Seeks its Form 299 41.14% 29.75 1.651 82.27% 0.859 0.5863
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 850 42.06% 26.35 1.132 82.35% 0.414 -0.0806
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1247 35.11% 29.61 -1.024 83.0% -0.082 -0.0513
Thunderspeaker 2877 33.24% 32.32 -0.791 84.67% -0.148 -0.1666
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 13 38.46% 11.46 -5.317 30.77% -1.033 -1.0965
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 680 70.31% 24.13 -3.882 72.65% -0.888 -0.8266
Vital Strength of the Earth 2707 40.81% 26.76 -3.016 76.28% -0.658 -0.1057
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 67 39.39% 26.87 -1.783 68.66% -0.27 -0.014
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 144 41.67% 24.0 -4.012 68.75% -0.813 0.0836
Volcano Looming High 482 49.38% 27.58 -2.291 78.63% -0.356 -0.3457

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 60.0% 39.4 9.403 100.0% 0.532 0.4537
Blitz 0 617 50.0% 25.47 -3.507 70.5% -1.161 -1.0142
Dahan Insurrection 4 528 22.58% 51.24 9.856 84.66% 0.388 0.1809
Despicable Theft 2 85 50.59% 31.55 -5.774 64.71% -1.424 -0.741
Elemental Invocation 1 105 63.81% 27.62 -3.234 69.52% -1.099 -0.3678
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1320 12.61% 33.91 5.903 79.62% 0.77 0.1633
Powers Long Forgotten 1 361 55.96% 30.93 1.257 71.19% 0.018 0.5064
Rituals of Terror 3 329 47.42% 39.34 -4.765 74.47% -1.046 -0.9411
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 235 71.06% 34.56 -4.937 61.7% -1.354 -0.3625
Second Wave 0 2113 45.37% 30.19 2.812 77.9% 0.263 0.3252
The Great River 3 99 45.45% 31.76 -0.119 53.54% -1.472 -0.1237
Varied Terrains 2 25 48.0% 32.4 -0.707 72.0% -0.567 -0.0043
Ward the Shores 2 402 50.37% 31.92 -4.517 63.93% -1.354 -0.1441

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 18638 42.06% 28.54 0.262 81.3% 0.411 0.6207
1 Thematic 2922 46.06% 34.23 -0.421 72.86% -0.246 0.3525
2 Archipelago 7 28.57% 43.0 26.968 100.0% 0.38 0.7371
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4601 37.52% 29.52 -0.252 86.13% 0.254 0.4139
2 Coastline 498 40.78% 29.13 1.294 85.34% 0.546 0.6064
2 Fragment 125 46.4% 28.29 -1.459 85.6% -0.1 -0.1636
2 Heart 83 34.94% 28.81 1.897 87.95% 0.494 0.256
2 Opposite Shores 776 34.42% 29.35 1.214 88.27% 0.88 1.0135
2 Thematic 689 46.37% 35.41 -1.838 75.47% -0.453 0.1829
2 Top to Top 141 40.29% 28.82 -4.374 82.27% -0.594 -0.5538
3 Archipelago 5 20.0% 41.2 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 13 61.54% 32.46 -15.618 76.92% -0.538 -1.0357
3 Other 66 30.3% 28.11 4.208 89.39% 0.472 0.5816
3 Round (Default) 1654 28.91% 30.85 -2.275 90.33% -0.515 -0.556
3 Sunrise 3 66.67% 28.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 132 41.67% 34.77 -2.683 72.73% -0.274 -0.2373
4 Archipelago 6 33.33% 38.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 10 40.0% 23.5 -14.971 40.0% -0.643 -0.5213
4 Leaf 5 0.0% 37.6 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 50 40.0% 28.22 0.384 84.0% 0.717 -0.133
4 Thematic 284 42.76% 36.82 -4.119 88.73% -0.409 -0.4266
4 Trapezoid (Default) 701 31.0% 30.36 -1.957 86.73% -0.252 -0.4381
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.0 16.32 100.0% 0.372 -0.8538
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 25.0 16.142 0.0% 0.011 -0.0321
5 Other 25 36.0% 30.96 -0.182 84.0% 0.076 -0.432
5 Thematic 4 0.0% 38.0 10.852 75.0% 0.164 -0.1657
6 Archipelago 9 11.11% 79.22 13.209 100.0% 0.35 0.0453
6 Other 17 11.76% 67.24 8.879 88.24% -0.825 -1.2199
6 Star 3 0.0% 33.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 13 46.15% 35.62 0.048 76.92% 0.04 0.4387
6 Two Centers (Default) 20 35.0% 29.0 -11.488 75.0% -1.348 -1.3048
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 51.0 6.601 100.0% 0.211 -0.5616

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 836 23.97 -0.92 64.0% -0.365 -0.0935
Aid From Lesser Spirits 802 24.06 2.624 63.34% 0.005 0.0436
All Things Weaken 395 23.32 -0.399 62.78% -0.1 0.3602
Attenuated Essence 2 20.5 -2.581 50.0% -0.481 -0.2755
Back Against the Wall 749 23.52 -2.737 61.15% -0.573 -0.4116
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 14 21.21 -2.067 50.0% -0.752 -0.3371
Burn Brightest Before the End 6 18.67 -4.219 33.33% -0.926 -0.6211
Disintegrating Ecosystem 912 20.87 -2.65 60.53% -0.545 -0.0185
Downward Spiral 2457 21.91 -0.965 64.22% 0.107 0.46
Erosion of Will 886 22.16 -2.356 58.01% -0.576 -0.1681
Intensifying Exploitation 5 29.4 2.471 100.0% 0.641 1.028
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 137 29.57 1.27 92.7% 0.341 -0.1842
Memory Fades to Dust 2566 21.1 -1.934 58.85% -0.486 -0.0051
Power Corrodes the Spirit 364 21.85 -3.585 60.99% -0.699 -0.3941
Promising Farmlands 943 21.59 -1.511 61.51% -0.674 -0.0881
Shattered Fragments of Power 1 10.0 -6.608 0.0% -0.455 -0.2759
Slow Dissolution of Will 7 19.57 -2.332 42.86% -0.167 0.3668
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 97 31.32 3.943 98.97% 0.572 -0.1055
The Border of Life and Death 2 16.0 -3.528 50.0% -0.311 -0.4407
Thriving Communities 366 21.11 -2.502 59.56% -0.441 0.052
Thriving Crops 5 21.6 -2.229 60.0% -0.426 -0.3383
Tipping Point 365 21.32 0.0 59.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 422 23.77 0.012 59.0% -0.061 0.2357
Untended Land Crumbles 374 22.31 -1.073 63.9% -0.217 0.1413

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6998 40.69% 28.98 0.916 83.2% -0.031 0.8094
B 7221 38.27% 29.38 0.747 84.35% -0.129 0.6496
C 7522 37.79% 29.49 0.735 84.76% 0.032 0.6863
D 6982 37.89% 29.48 0.548 84.53% -0.21 0.5892
E 2095 36.48% 29.66 -0.363 84.3% -0.475 0.1538
F 3185 35.64% 29.57 -0.753 85.4% -0.34 0.379
G 2930 38.22% 29.5 1.408 84.23% 0.086 0.8276
H 3025 35.15% 29.89 0.176 85.49% -0.37 0.2785
East 2557 44.58% 35.46 0.2 75.4% -0.136 0.4683
Northeast 1472 45.58% 35.29 0.876 76.02% -0.375 0.5064
Northwest 1152 44.35% 35.7 1.375 80.03% 0.265 0.9379
Southeast 297 41.08% 33.71 -0.717 76.09% 0.019 0.6552
Southwest 275 44.0% 29.76 -4.392 71.27% -0.828 0.3366
West 2224 46.31% 34.32 -4.706 75.13% -1.496 -0.5316

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 229 0.0% 25.61 -0.611 73.8% 0.145 1.0284
Not Using Events or Tokens 5744 46.89% 27.23 -1.391 76.78% -0.336 -0.0041
Skip Initial Invader Actions 396 9.44% 41.93 3.075 93.43% 0.276 -0.2585
Start of Game Growth 616 13.38% 39.17 2.889 93.67% 0.527 0.1971
Unlimited Undo 1907 33.6% 30.62 -1.845 85.95% -0.461 -0.4828
Using Tokens but Not Events 2559 31.98% 31.03 1.984 85.62% 0.264 0.2101

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3688 21.03 45.58%
II 12276 31.04 80.55%
III 10949 34.74 88.73%
IV 4600 38.02 99.2%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.536 Win Model: 0.414
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 21674 42.61% 29.32 80.05%
2 6869 38.43% 30.05 85.59%
3 1846 30.09% 30.99 89.17%
4 1040 34.24% 32.03 86.54%
5 22 18.18% 35.36 95.45%
6 62 24.19% 48.32 83.87%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1680
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9380
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9239
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4524
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 306
Lose: Invader deck ran out 312
Lose: Adversary condition 88
Win: Sacrifice victory 107
Lose: Scenario condition 374
Win: Scenario condition 917
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4394
Lose: Spirit destroyed 192

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4233 31.71% 33.36 0.387 84.48% 0.212 0.0529
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2430 60.04% 30.88 -0.683 78.72% 0.031 0.1531
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1876 35.13% 33.61 -0.408 86.83% -0.062 -0.2294
Downpour Drenches the World 205 34.8% 30.95 0.077 80.0% 0.111 0.2897
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 218 22.48% 32.14 3.334 79.36% 0.778 0.0568
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2489 23.89% 36.61 3.314 91.84% 0.815 0.2259
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1878 31.57% 34.86 -0.204 87.11% 0.054 -0.417
Finder of Paths Unseen 86 54.65% 23.62 -4.251 55.81% -0.84 -0.1455
Fractured Days Split the Sky 517 44.68% 33.77 -2.028 72.73% -0.458 0.2267
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 571 46.83% 33.04 0.601 81.09% 0.277 0.1763
Heart of the Wildfire 2822 66.95% 27.92 -1.877 71.19% -0.289 -0.0447
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4894 39.54% 34.44 2.871 87.62% 0.33 -0.1199
Lightning's Swift Strike 3345 47.77% 30.84 -0.132 76.62% 0.079 0.2823
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 82 41.25% 35.43 1.905 84.15% 0.506 -0.1906
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 344 37.5% 34.74 2.202 88.08% 0.463 0.2232
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 287 43.36% 35.04 -0.489 80.49% -0.148 -0.3074
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1375 40.83% 34.1 1.107 84.36% 0.267 0.122
Many Minds Move as One 777 32.77% 34.9 0.826 91.12% 0.244 0.0236
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3776 53.96% 30.93 -0.611 77.83% -0.162 -0.1709
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1848 37.53% 33.01 1.559 86.04% 0.487 0.3455
River Surges in Sunlight 4385 49.16% 33.22 1.142 77.22% 0.202 0.2047
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 405 52.59% 33.48 0.449 74.57% -0.406 -0.1355
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 142 46.81% 36.3 3.038 77.46% 0.581 0.452
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2829 40.41% 32.45 1.167 84.34% 0.305 0.091
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2265 67.57% 28.22 -2.223 67.73% -0.312 0.1239
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 23 52.17% 36.61 4.957 78.26% 0.447 0.4464
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 40 47.5% 38.25 0.137 97.5% -0.073 -0.0817
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 270 50.19% 31.99 0.241 81.11% 0.361 0.2885
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 199 66.83% 29.39 -3.85 71.36% -0.322 -0.2636
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2779 37.44% 33.8 -0.757 83.63% -0.128 -0.2566
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 42 35.71% 30.83 2.069 73.81% 0.355 -0.0079
Shifting Memory of Ages 486 54.94% 29.7 -2.401 73.05% -0.51 -0.103
Shroud of Silent Mist 594 59.93% 29.1 -2.985 75.76% -0.491 -0.1756
Starlight Seeks its Form 531 42.08% 32.87 -0.239 79.1% -0.153 -0.4263
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1218 45.96% 29.3 -1.578 80.79% 0.014 -0.4808
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1514 45.65% 31.32 -0.172 79.52% 0.129 0.1589
Thunderspeaker 3638 42.93% 34.16 -0.992 82.16% -0.032 -0.0511
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 33 39.39% 25.61 -0.612 63.64% -0.173 -0.2359
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1045 74.23% 27.02 -2.482 72.82% -0.288 -0.2267
Vital Strength of the Earth 3165 44.64% 28.89 -3.034 72.04% -0.605 -0.0524
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 83 38.55% 32.47 2.934 77.11% 0.193 0.4489
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 235 43.4% 27.84 -3.262 69.36% -0.892 0.0048
Volcano Looming High 989 47.62% 31.0 -2.315 80.18% -0.481 -0.4706

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 11 36.36% 29.36 2.201 72.73% 0.418 0.3396
Blitz 0 756 52.13% 28.46 0.35 69.44% -0.178 -0.0317
Dahan Insurrection 4 531 30.3% 52.2 9.41 77.4% 0.173 -0.0337
Despicable Theft 2 86 58.14% 35.26 -2.759 67.44% -0.76 -0.0775
Elemental Invocation 1 115 62.61% 28.35 -5.031 62.61% -0.734 -0.003
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1670 17.81% 34.26 2.492 71.38% -0.314 -0.9205
Powers Long Forgotten 1 317 64.35% 30.8 0.188 60.25% -0.582 -0.0934
Rituals of Terror 3 269 58.21% 39.59 0.571 62.08% -0.232 -0.1264
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 181 70.17% 37.82 -0.544 61.33% -0.185 0.8065
Second Wave 0 1764 54.46% 31.44 2.801 71.77% 0.071 0.1335
The Great River 3 87 64.37% 30.98 -2.019 45.98% -1.036 0.312
Varied Terrains 2 30 43.33% 28.37 -3.32 53.33% -0.889 -0.3268
Ward the Shores 2 408 55.88% 34.87 -3.049 64.46% -0.613 0.5961

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 23269 49.82% 30.41 0.373 77.29% 0.111 0.321
1 Thematic 2800 56.25% 33.84 -1.757 65.93% -0.482 0.1167
2 Archipelago 9 55.56% 43.0 0.0 88.89%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6119 44.64% 31.98 -0.396 83.25% -0.126 0.0343
2 Coastline 721 41.97% 32.9 -0.631 84.88% -0.113 -0.0525
2 Fragment 153 56.21% 30.97 6.459 79.74% 0.536 0.473
2 Heart 95 43.01% 33.26 12.686 81.05% 0.913 0.6755
2 Opposite Shores 1067 43.03% 32.37 1.008 84.91% 0.257 0.3911
2 Thematic 944 54.99% 34.49 -2.178 68.01% -0.422 0.2143
2 Top to Top 201 46.27% 33.26 -0.053 87.06% -0.086 -0.0454
3 Archipelago 11 72.73% 40.91 0.0 72.73%
3 Coastline 17 35.29% 34.24 0.206 82.35% -0.001 -0.4989
3 Other 117 32.17% 31.95 2.811 83.76% 0.624 0.7338
3 Round (Default) 2558 35.75% 33.4 0.326 86.83% 0.201 0.1595
3 Sunrise 14 35.71% 28.86 0.0 64.29%
3 Thematic 214 49.3% 38.74 6.487 77.57% 0.736 0.7717
4 Archipelago 13 46.15% 45.31 6.048 84.62% 0.185 -0.0298
4 Coastline 4 75.0% 30.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 7 42.86% 31.14 0.0 71.43%
4 Other 64 27.42% 34.44 4.604 89.06% -0.394 -1.2434
4 Thematic 355 43.1% 38.8 2.811 79.44% 0.317 0.2996
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1311 33.77% 33.33 0.962 88.41% 0.193 0.006
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 35.5 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 43 41.86% 36.37 0.149 86.05% 0.065 -0.4432
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 34.0 -0.0 66.67% -0.058 -0.3879
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 55.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -12.213 0.0% -0.538 -1.1813
6 Other 12 25.0% 43.67 -17.547 75.0% -0.661 -1.055
6 Star 2 0.0% 38.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 22 33.33% 45.41 -4.707 81.82% -0.636 -0.237
6 Two Centers (Default) 35 34.29% 37.0 0.652 65.71% -0.055 -0.0118
7 Other 3 0.0% 47.33 4.147 66.67% 0.022 -0.7508

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1438 25.66 0.372 60.29% 0.257 0.5278
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1183 27.55 0.823 63.23% -0.066 -0.0276
All Things Weaken 667 25.89 -1.581 61.17% -0.378 0.083
Attenuated Essence 8 19.88 -3.257 50.0% -0.23 -0.0243
Back Against the Wall 1194 27.73 1.415 64.41% 0.306 0.4676
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 16 23.38 -0.864 56.25% -0.043 0.3714
Burn Brightest Before the End 12 36.58 4.425 91.67% 0.697 1.0015
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1340 23.29 -1.877 58.96% -0.211 0.3154
Downward Spiral 3340 24.59 -1.229 63.32% -0.138 0.2152
Erosion of Will 1435 24.55 0.43 56.72% 0.094 0.5022
Intensifying Exploitation 9 27.44 1.277 66.67% 0.156 0.5428
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 260 32.97 -0.485 92.69% 0.396 -0.1294
Memory Fades to Dust 3322 23.79 -1.223 57.53% -0.355 0.1263
Power Corrodes the Spirit 673 25.16 0.236 61.81% 0.499 0.8032
Promising Farmlands 1422 24.05 -1.746 59.35% -0.39 0.196
Shattered Fragments of Power 19 24.37 -0.502 47.37% -0.418 -0.2389
Slow Dissolution of Will 9 31.22 1.586 77.78% 0.305 0.8388
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 170 33.52 0.934 96.47% 0.517 -0.1613
The Border of Life and Death 8 26.5 0.807 75.0% 0.181 0.0518
Thriving Communities 631 24.57 -2.812 60.7% -0.481 0.0123
Thriving Crops 8 26.63 -0.503 62.5% -0.227 -0.1391
Tipping Point 576 24.66 0.0 60.59%
Unnatural Proliferation 690 25.98 0.783 60.0% -0.252 0.0449
Untended Land Crumbles 627 24.29 -1.365 60.13% -0.329 0.0291

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9479 44.87% 31.63 0.405 81.37% -0.241 0.5986
B 9749 45.44% 31.5 -0.129 81.14% -0.248 0.5311
C 10089 43.63% 31.6 -1.268 81.33% -0.555 0.099
D 9357 45.75% 31.3 0.231 81.03% -0.196 0.6029
E 3082 44.16% 32.36 0.89 82.64% -0.095 0.5337
F 4532 40.69% 32.87 0.725 83.96% -0.091 0.628
G 4067 43.96% 31.94 0.045 82.25% -0.355 0.3863
H 4076 42.86% 32.36 1.371 82.41% -0.163 0.4856
East 2827 51.81% 36.02 -1.806 70.64% -0.984 -0.3802
Northeast 1634 51.48% 36.69 0.186 72.46% -0.324 0.5572
Northwest 1323 55.14% 34.87 0.641 67.8% -0.156 0.5164
Southeast 373 49.06% 33.98 0.524 70.51% -0.164 0.4722
Southwest 358 47.19% 32.46 -1.846 72.07% -0.562 0.6029
West 2487 55.5% 34.49 0.163 67.91% -0.442 0.5221

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 227 0.0% 30.33 -1.837 76.21% -0.189 0.6946
Not Using Events or Tokens 6184 53.23% 29.0 -2.734 73.27% -0.648 -0.3159
Skip Initial Invader Actions 521 17.35% 44.23 4.363 89.64% -0.106 -0.6408
Start of Game Growth 830 16.92% 42.57 7.946 89.88% 1.168 0.8373
Unlimited Undo 3018 41.4% 32.9 0.468 83.04% -0.106 -0.1284
Using Tokens but Not Events 3081 39.49% 32.71 1.079 83.8% 0.341 0.2875

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3214 21.03 12.73%
II 16533 31.04 74.61%
III 13539 34.74 88.68%
IV 6914 38.02 99.1%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.283 Win Model: 0.419
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 26190 50.59% 30.78 75.96%
2 9272 45.4% 32.4 82.28%
3 2893 36.22% 33.75 86.24%
4 1750 35.61% 34.62 86.63%
5 20 40.0% 35.55 75.0%
6 75 29.73% 40.48 72.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 408
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11677
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11715
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6795
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 466
Lose: Invader deck ran out 460
Lose: Adversary condition 104
Win: Sacrifice victory 176
Lose: Scenario condition 649
Win: Scenario condition 831
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6603
Lose: Spirit destroyed 316

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4079 41.22% 40.96 -1.491 83.28% -0.406 -0.5654
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2534 73.05% 35.97 0.191 69.3% 0.02 0.142
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2213 36.46% 42.78 2.366 88.07% 0.542 0.3743
Downpour Drenches the World 223 48.43% 33.15 -3.944 63.68% -0.896 -0.7167
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 318 24.21% 36.75 4.852 72.01% 1.294 0.5728
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2390 42.05% 42.77 2.184 87.07% 0.546 -0.043
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2118 44.57% 41.95 2.23 84.61% 0.511 0.0394
Finder of Paths Unseen 132 59.85% 32.55 -1.519 62.12% -0.132 0.5624
Fractured Days Split the Sky 806 41.4% 42.06 -4.004 74.19% -1.037 -0.3528
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 796 50.5% 41.6 -0.875 82.66% -0.269 -0.3702
Heart of the Wildfire 3486 69.49% 35.99 -1.552 70.6% -0.236 0.0086
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5857 51.94% 42.13 0.338 83.66% -0.064 -0.5135
Lightning's Swift Strike 3511 55.34% 39.44 -1.284 77.16% -0.258 -0.0544
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 114 54.21% 44.58 8.037 89.47% 1.573 0.8763
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 527 37.45% 45.83 4.419 91.46% 0.727 0.4878
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 285 48.42% 42.95 1.229 82.11% 0.187 0.0275
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1662 50.33% 40.29 -1.398 80.26% -0.086 -0.2315
Many Minds Move as One 854 47.25% 42.61 1.598 88.99% 0.297 0.076
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3739 64.15% 36.98 -1.624 72.61% -0.281 -0.2901
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1997 43.35% 41.71 0.568 86.88% 0.025 -0.1166
River Surges in Sunlight 4325 58.03% 41.56 -0.742 77.34% -0.43 -0.4274
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 365 61.1% 37.28 -1.698 67.95% -0.191 0.0788
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 151 58.67% 41.19 0.068 70.86% -0.323 -0.4519
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2599 57.05% 38.34 0.647 77.41% 0.124 -0.0893
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2103 75.38% 34.85 -2.154 64.48% -0.504 -0.0683
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 20 65.0% 29.8 -7.195 55.0% -0.823 -0.824
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 45 48.89% 33.36 1.707 64.44% 0.571 0.563
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 340 50.59% 41.96 3.502 86.47% 0.817 0.7444
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 169 75.15% 39.11 1.789 77.51% 0.377 0.435
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3441 39.9% 43.2 4.699 85.15% 0.999 0.8708
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 53 39.62% 34.13 2.284 67.92% 0.414 0.0507
Shifting Memory of Ages 459 69.06% 34.94 -3.218 68.85% -0.569 -0.1614
Shroud of Silent Mist 632 72.27% 36.21 -2.931 73.58% -0.663 -0.3486
Starlight Seeks its Form 747 53.41% 39.95 2.15 78.98% 0.365 0.0925
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1801 58.57% 34.92 -2.417 75.57% -0.271 -0.7657
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1805 50.97% 40.78 2.241 81.5% 0.748 0.7786
Thunderspeaker 3137 52.55% 42.09 -0.562 80.33% -0.172 -0.1908
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 30 30.0% 15.73 -2.853 33.33% -0.317 -0.3802
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1431 82.67% 34.65 -2.11 72.89% -0.465 -0.4035
Vital Strength of the Earth 2564 59.55% 34.57 -3.082 66.81% -0.473 0.0802
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 94 42.39% 34.43 -4.034 67.02% -0.758 -0.5023
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 313 51.44% 35.05 -3.534 71.25% -0.347 0.55
Volcano Looming High 1143 58.27% 38.66 -0.033 78.3% -0.016 -0.0057

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 50.0% 34.25 -16.817 75.0% -0.364 -0.4428
Blitz 0 551 59.89% 35.54 -2.294 66.61% -0.432 -0.2857
Dahan Insurrection 4 571 32.4% 58.56 -2.989 75.83% -1.019 -1.2259
Despicable Theft 2 59 59.32% 39.47 3.053 54.24% 0.136 0.819
Elemental Invocation 1 118 73.73% 34.92 0.92 58.47% 0.175 0.9059
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1747 23.67% 43.11 0.604 76.93% -0.326 -0.9322
Powers Long Forgotten 1 247 74.49% 37.38 -6.062 58.7% -1.009 -0.5204
Rituals of Terror 3 179 60.89% 47.74 -2.416 65.92% -0.723 -0.6183
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 66 81.82% 46.64 10.185 63.64% 0.612 1.6043
Second Wave 0 1198 65.41% 35.54 -0.178 62.94% -0.22 -0.1578
The Great River 3 67 76.12% 40.97 -6.125 52.24% -0.778 0.5699
Varied Terrains 2 14 78.57% 35.64 0.53 50.0% -0.269 0.2935
Ward the Shores 2 240 65.83% 40.45 -7.224 59.17% -0.448 0.7616

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 28955 57.92% 38.19 0.101 75.72% -0.321 -0.1112
1 Thematic 1977 61.74% 41.72 1.918 66.31% 0.377 0.9757
2 Archipelago 10 50.0% 52.7 0.0 90.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6481 54.93% 39.63 -0.864 80.79% -0.537 -0.3767
2 Coastline 800 55.11% 40.45 1.377 80.75% -0.008 0.0529
2 Fragment 160 60.62% 38.54 3.271 76.88% 0.363 0.3
2 Heart 89 61.8% 38.78 0.0 79.78%
2 Opposite Shores 1208 57.27% 40.51 1.755 82.95% 0.308 0.4418
2 Thematic 785 56.89% 41.13 -2.837 67.26% -0.869 -0.2331
2 Top to Top 217 59.91% 37.22 -1.499 71.89% -0.392 -0.3518
3 Archipelago 9 66.67% 51.22 0.0 88.89%
3 Coastline 42 33.33% 47.9 12.725 95.24% 0.292 -0.2062
3 Other 132 41.67% 40.48 -2.433 84.85% -0.313 -0.2031
3 Round (Default) 2365 48.33% 40.83 0.56 83.93% -0.228 -0.2698
3 Sunrise 4 25.0% 48.25 0.54 100.0% 0.051 0.2471
3 Thematic 120 61.34% 42.97 -0.726 70.0% -0.223 -0.1868
4 Archipelago 4 75.0% 47.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 41.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 42.6 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 52 40.38% 41.63 11.126 88.46% 0.255 -0.5949
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 66.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 100.0% 30.5 -1.548 50.0% -0.438 -0.4586
4 Thematic 244 42.62% 51.75 6.6 78.69% 0.703 0.6856
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1267 42.99% 42.87 0.942 88.48% -0.154 -0.3408
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 0.0 -18.277 0.0% -1.069 -2.2949
5 Other 32 71.88% 40.44 6.685 84.38% 0.981 0.4731
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 42.75 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 4 0.0% 84.75 25.608 100.0% 0.9 0.5954
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 48.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 17 17.65% 44.35 -1.1 76.47% -0.404 -0.7981
6 Star 4 0.0% 38.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 57 14.04% 13.14 -3.986 19.3% -0.693 -0.2946
6 Two Centers (Default) 23 39.13% 43.22 1.37 91.3% 0.016 0.0599
7 Other 1 100.0% 51.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2009 33.23 1.181 61.47% -0.103 0.1677
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1670 35.82 0.694 66.77% -0.302 -0.2637
All Things Weaken 925 32.41 -1.237 60.0% -0.666 -0.2051
Attenuated Essence 24 31.58 0.425 62.5% -0.035 0.1707
Back Against the Wall 1570 34.37 0.736 63.18% -0.164 -0.0021
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 21 34.81 1.435 61.9% 0.213 0.627
Burn Brightest Before the End 14 27.5 -1.626 42.86% -0.671 -0.3659
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1916 30.55 -2.684 59.45% -0.671 -0.1448
Downward Spiral 3977 32.63 -1.504 65.33% -0.305 0.0478
Erosion of Will 2008 32.0 -0.357 58.62% -0.315 0.0935
Intensifying Exploitation 16 32.5 0.077 62.5% -0.094 0.2932
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 396 42.87 4.019 94.7% 1.076 0.5506
Memory Fades to Dust 3891 31.71 -2.087 60.5% -0.416 0.0654
Power Corrodes the Spirit 985 33.7 -1.667 68.02% -0.482 -0.1778
Promising Farmlands 1958 30.86 -1.447 59.45% -0.317 0.2686
Shattered Fragments of Power 16 28.88 -1.153 50.0% -0.559 -0.3797
Slow Dissolution of Will 17 20.06 -5.314 23.53% -1.16 -0.6264
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 265 43.53 0.163 96.23% 0.2 -0.4777
The Border of Life and Death 3 21.67 -4.346 33.33% -0.463 -0.5925
Thriving Communities 968 31.47 -2.053 60.95% -0.398 0.0954
Thriving Crops 14 25.5 -3.099 57.14% -0.378 -0.2902
Tipping Point 816 30.56 0.0 56.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 984 34.28 0.959 65.24% -0.006 0.2912
Untended Land Crumbles 896 32.28 -0.913 62.83% -0.068 0.2899

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9981 55.41% 39.19 0.462 78.62% 0.059 0.8992
B 10420 54.18% 39.45 1.043 79.26% 0.231 1.0101
C 11243 55.2% 39.5 0.801 79.39% 0.193 0.847
D 9988 55.64% 39.08 0.714 78.68% 0.227 1.0267
E 3873 53.99% 39.83 0.229 80.89% 0.032 0.6613
F 5347 50.99% 40.43 0.269 81.95% -0.03 0.6899
G 4644 55.66% 38.93 0.335 78.62% 0.036 0.7776
H 5004 53.04% 39.79 1.038 80.54% 0.157 0.8055
East 2079 57.17% 43.65 -0.947 68.73% 0.035 0.6392
Northeast 1184 56.47% 42.66 -1.49 66.55% -0.486 0.3951
Northwest 880 56.66% 41.58 -3.488 65.23% -0.791 -0.118
Southeast 358 43.85% 42.13 -2.981 70.95% -0.513 0.1235
Southwest 426 40.38% 34.5 -3.665 60.56% -1.089 0.0756
West 1806 56.04% 41.28 -2.996 65.56% -0.537 0.4273

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 160 0.0% 34.21 -2.951 62.5% -0.55 0.3328
Not Using Events or Tokens 4666 66.74% 35.58 -2.141 69.93% -0.261 0.071
Skip Initial Invader Actions 529 11.29% 55.67 1.244 93.38% -0.196 -0.7306
Start of Game Growth 762 16.6% 52.54 2.138 91.73% 0.325 -0.0051
Unlimited Undo 3238 48.85% 41.84 0.245 82.92% -0.18 -0.2022
Using Tokens but Not Events 3017 44.43% 41.61 -0.342 83.03% -0.005 -0.059

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4252 21.03 14.09%
II 20568 31.04 74.28%
III 13956 34.74 89.82%
IV 6317 38.02 99.65%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.013 Win Model: 0.153
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 31044 58.17% 38.42 75.12%
2 9710 55.65% 39.86 79.78%
3 2642 48.01% 41.06 83.54%
4 1574 43.38% 44.24 86.98%
5 16 68.75% 30.69 62.5%
6 107 19.63% 28.87 50.47%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 597
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12253
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 14647
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6239
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 512
Lose: Invader deck ran out 317
Lose: Adversary condition 92
Win: Sacrifice victory 219
Lose: Scenario condition 477
Win: Scenario condition 752
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8561
Lose: Spirit destroyed 427

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2572 52.29% 40.29 -0.064 73.48% 0.181 0.0219
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1539 80.66% 35.31 0.737 58.54% 0.273 0.3945
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1569 55.22% 41.1 1.201 77.06% 0.141 -0.0266
Downpour Drenches the World 120 55.0% 33.98 -1.256 59.17% -0.158 0.0206
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 179 37.43% 41.67 6.009 79.33% 1.352 0.6302
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1496 52.58% 43.07 1.746 79.34% 0.322 -0.2671
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1464 59.62% 41.11 -0.825 76.09% -0.015 -0.4861
Finder of Paths Unseen 94 64.89% 29.53 -6.817 52.13% -1.056 -0.3613
Fractured Days Split the Sky 402 60.2% 39.7 -4.981 64.68% -0.8 -0.116
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 535 61.68% 41.5 2.132 77.01% 0.537 0.4359
Heart of the Wildfire 2182 80.15% 33.75 -1.05 56.05% -0.199 0.0456
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4636 62.64% 40.9 -0.286 74.98% 0.026 -0.4242
Lightning's Swift Strike 2121 66.15% 37.65 -1.578 64.64% -0.161 0.042
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 76 50.67% 47.01 7.335 86.84% 0.685 -0.0116
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 371 51.75% 44.3 2.056 84.37% 0.466 0.2261
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 228 55.26% 42.7 -1.558 73.68% -0.293 -0.4528
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1347 64.24% 39.87 0.838 72.9% 0.014 -0.1314
Many Minds Move as One 529 52.93% 44.38 2.557 86.39% 0.664 0.4432
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2618 71.76% 36.76 -1.287 63.45% -0.251 -0.2602
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1376 54.95% 41.26 1.135 77.83% 0.271 0.1288
River Surges in Sunlight 3003 67.97% 40.92 2.892 66.67% 0.561 0.5635
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 214 73.83% 35.95 -7.042 56.07% -0.877 -0.6069
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 113 60.18% 42.73 0.499 66.37% 0.17 0.0406
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1685 70.97% 36.66 -0.279 64.15% -0.033 -0.2471
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1165 79.48% 33.99 -0.457 52.53% -0.377 0.0588
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 12 91.67% 43.58 5.617 91.67% 0.343 0.3426
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 23 78.26% 39.48 -3.909 73.91% -0.253 -0.2611
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 224 69.2% 41.13 3.973 78.13% 0.838 0.766
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 148 77.7% 35.91 9.545 58.78% 0.439 0.4974
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2323 51.57% 41.51 0.898 73.22% 0.114 -0.0147
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 36 41.67% 30.0 -0.317 55.56% 0.27 -0.0929
Shifting Memory of Ages 277 78.7% 33.91 -4.521 55.96% -0.527 -0.1202
Shroud of Silent Mist 384 84.07% 33.33 -5.979 58.07% -0.858 -0.5435
Starlight Seeks its Form 587 62.52% 37.24 -1.372 63.37% -0.163 -0.4356
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1102 71.21% 32.63 -2.99 62.16% -0.497 -0.9918
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1084 60.43% 40.19 -1.451 72.88% 0.126 0.1566
Thunderspeaker 2071 64.75% 41.81 2.476 71.32% 0.524 0.5053
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 29 48.28% 27.52 -1.272 41.38% -0.063 -0.1261
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 992 91.33% 31.56 -4.01 54.54% -0.471 -0.4093
Vital Strength of the Earth 1417 75.42% 32.33 -3.915 49.89% -0.783 -0.2306
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 58 58.62% 31.66 -1.737 50.0% -0.246 0.0104
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 192 72.92% 32.3 -5.043 50.0% -0.287 0.6098
Volcano Looming High 717 66.53% 38.46 0.672 69.32% 0.218 0.2276

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 335 70.91% 33.41 -1.31 51.94% -0.129 0.0171
Dahan Insurrection 4 356 48.88% 62.01 6.589 75.0% 0.006 -0.201
Despicable Theft 2 19 68.42% 45.37 7.368 57.89% 0.108 0.791
Elemental Invocation 1 61 85.25% 29.49 -6.786 37.7% -0.982 -0.2504
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1019 24.56% 43.97 3.982 70.95% 0.312 -0.2943
Powers Long Forgotten 1 154 75.97% 36.6 -2.636 49.35% -0.165 0.3238
Rituals of Terror 3 120 84.17% 37.6 13.516 37.5% 0.552 0.6573
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 92 86.96% 39.84 -12.408 39.13% -0.267 0.7245
Second Wave 0 707 74.08% 35.26 0.487 54.74% 0.019 0.0818
The Great River 3 26 53.85% 40.27 -4.293 46.15% -0.32 1.0278
Varied Terrains 2 4 75.0% 44.25 0.0 75.0%
Ward the Shores 2 98 77.55% 38.71 -1.52 43.88% -0.581 0.6288

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 19624 67.34% 37.17 -0.354 65.91% 0.002 0.2119
1 Thematic 1601 67.96% 40.39 0.849 54.22% -0.102 0.4969
2 Archipelago 6 50.0% 50.0 0.0 66.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4266 67.11% 39.22 -0.123 71.71% -0.085 0.0748
2 Coastline 535 57.52% 42.28 -0.728 78.88% -0.308 -0.2477
2 Fragment 96 71.88% 35.31 3.635 60.42% 0.41 0.3466
2 Heart 94 67.74% 33.81 -1.046 55.32% -0.447 -0.6852
2 Opposite Shores 828 68.0% 38.85 -0.801 71.14% -0.241 -0.1074
2 Thematic 463 75.16% 38.67 -2.71 50.11% -0.844 -0.2074
2 Top to Top 121 73.33% 38.46 0.0 71.07%
3 Archipelago 2 100.0% 57.5 13.821 100.0% 0.221 -0.8653
3 Coastline 15 46.67% 50.6 0.0 93.33%
3 Other 95 48.42% 40.78 5.335 74.74% 0.781 0.8905
3 Round (Default) 1630 58.73% 40.63 1.491 74.23% 0.012 -0.029
3 Sunrise 4 75.0% 45.5 8.497 100.0% 0.241 0.4368
3 Thematic 92 75.0% 39.93 0.0 52.17%
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 48.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 37.6 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 57 40.35% 44.81 11.758 84.21% 1.003 0.1536
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 50.0% 47.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 120 63.33% 42.22 6.161 56.67% 0.729 0.7119
4 Trapezoid (Default) 715 58.98% 40.65 1.19 71.33% 0.357 0.1706
5 Other 17 66.67% 44.29 2.433 52.94% -0.068 -0.5764
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 31.0 -11.833 50.0% -0.261 -0.5907
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -15.226 0.0% -0.41 -0.7155
6 Other 8 37.5% 52.13 0.0 62.5%
6 Star 8 25.0% 29.75 0.0 37.5%
6 Thematic 6 50.0% 39.5 -2.319 50.0% -0.217 0.1817
6 Two Centers (Default) 17 58.82% 37.65 -4.546 76.47% -0.731 -0.6879

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1618 33.23 2.693 52.72% 0.31 0.5808
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1273 35.16 1.696 56.64% -0.093 -0.0544
All Things Weaken 808 31.44 -0.552 49.13% -0.271 0.1899
Attenuated Essence 14 39.86 3.747 71.43% 0.412 0.6173
Back Against the Wall 1263 34.59 1.923 55.03% 0.024 0.1861
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 14 24.71 -2.158 42.86% -0.332 0.0821
Burn Brightest Before the End 7 34.71 2.35 42.86% -0.074 0.2307
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1604 31.32 -2.881 53.99% -0.758 -0.2309
Downward Spiral 2925 32.44 -1.597 55.83% -0.176 0.177
Erosion of Will 1715 31.6 -0.494 48.45% -0.408 0.0007
Intensifying Exploitation 28 37.32 3.204 67.86% 0.526 0.913
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 251 47.0 3.713 98.41% 0.477 -0.0488
Memory Fades to Dust 2956 31.27 -2.257 50.61% -0.594 -0.1123
Power Corrodes the Spirit 758 31.98 0.87 54.35% 0.204 0.5083
Promising Farmlands 1673 31.11 0.284 50.63% -0.208 0.3782
Shattered Fragments of Power 20 35.7 1.765 60.0% 0.066 0.2452
Slow Dissolution of Will 23 24.91 -3.336 30.43% -1.001 -0.467
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 141 45.71 4.077 95.74% 0.881 0.2035
The Border of Life and Death 3 30.0 0.525 66.67% 0.359 0.2293
Thriving Communities 754 29.48 -0.247 46.68% -0.159 0.3344
Thriving Crops 7 50.0 8.346 100.0% 0.971 1.0589
Tipping Point 662 31.51 0.0 50.0%
Unnatural Proliferation 875 32.68 0.852 51.43% -0.18 0.1167
Untended Land Crumbles 799 31.0 -0.192 49.81% -0.073 0.2854

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6724 66.18% 38.0 -0.213 67.21% -0.017 0.8229
B 7037 65.21% 38.63 0.259 69.21% 0.174 0.9524
C 7282 65.64% 38.41 0.475 68.61% 0.139 0.7934
D 6434 65.04% 38.48 0.707 69.26% 0.208 1.0075
E 2717 66.08% 38.42 -0.145 69.05% -0.016 0.613
F 3486 63.14% 39.33 0.271 71.72% 0.112 0.8313
G 3137 65.4% 38.41 0.082 69.05% -0.029 0.7129
H 3444 62.19% 39.62 -0.037 72.3% 0.056 0.7043
East 1407 69.08% 41.07 -0.346 54.44% -0.07 0.5345
Northeast 749 70.63% 41.25 -2.923 55.14% -0.582 0.2991
Northwest 642 74.3% 37.7 3.326 46.73% 0.448 1.1211
Southeast 188 64.36% 38.86 -5.47 57.45% -0.688 -0.0515
Southwest 196 53.06% 40.17 0.558 64.8% 0.156 1.3203
West 1301 69.95% 39.13 0.11 51.5% -0.744 0.2204

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 103 0.0% 35.58 -0.268 58.25% 0.187 1.0705
Not Using Events or Tokens 2876 73.98% 35.03 -3.278 60.08% -0.593 -0.2611
Skip Initial Invader Actions 434 17.59% 56.25 2.656 92.63% 0.038 -0.497
Start of Game Growth 641 24.92% 52.5 1.782 88.3% -0.115 -0.4454
Unlimited Undo 2239 59.85% 40.69 2.25 73.6% 0.492 0.4696
Using Tokens but Not Events 1667 58.55% 39.17 -0.658 71.87% 0.076 0.0223

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3698 21.03 5.08%
II 12290 31.04 59.69%
III 10988 34.74 85.14%
IV 3469 38.02 99.57%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.248 Win Model: 0.166
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 21320 67.41% 37.42 64.97%
2 6408 67.4% 39.15 69.96%
3 1781 57.44% 41.3 75.8%
4 888 58.41% 41.17 70.16%
5 9 71.43% 32.22 22.22%
6 39 46.15% 37.41 58.97%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 188
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9173
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7030
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3414
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 274
Lose: Invader deck ran out 287
Lose: Adversary condition 72
Win: Sacrifice victory 153
Lose: Scenario condition 353
Win: Scenario condition 375
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8783
Lose: Spirit destroyed 343

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1228 51.85% 43.91 1.61 71.5% 0.584 0.4247
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 688 79.77% 35.9 -4.3 50.58% -0.477 -0.3549
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 642 55.63% 44.37 5.945 75.23% 1.13 0.9619
Downpour Drenches the World 81 65.43% 33.33 -5.095 44.44% -0.937 -0.7581
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 68 32.35% 46.21 7.62 80.88% 1.62 0.8982
Eyes Watch From the Trees 648 60.19% 43.06 -1.691 68.98% -0.121 -0.7094
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 663 62.92% 41.59 -2.651 64.4% 0.118 -0.3533
Finder of Paths Unseen 108 55.56% 44.09 -4.07 77.78% -0.41 0.284
Fractured Days Split the Sky 151 60.26% 43.55 -4.981 62.91% -0.811 -0.1263
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 216 54.17% 45.07 2.026 76.39% 0.64 0.5387
Heart of the Wildfire 1074 78.6% 35.34 -2.244 51.77% -0.2 0.0442
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2056 64.65% 41.75 0.811 65.61% 0.318 -0.1317
Lightning's Swift Strike 1054 69.1% 38.79 1.711 56.07% 0.506 0.7092
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 67 86.57% 35.51 0.37 31.34% -0.972 -1.6693
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 203 43.84% 47.61 2.338 82.76% 0.503 0.2635
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 132 56.82% 46.05 1.89 71.97% 0.223 0.0627
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 499 71.14% 40.35 -1.684 63.73% -0.312 -0.4567
Many Minds Move as One 238 58.82% 43.43 0.024 72.27% 0.298 0.0774
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1176 74.91% 38.53 2.383 57.65% 0.754 0.7446
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 630 58.35% 43.09 0.242 71.9% 0.357 0.2152
River Surges in Sunlight 1339 70.84% 40.62 -1.66 56.68% 0.049 0.052
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 67 76.12% 39.0 -8.349 56.72% -0.484 -0.2141
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 30 63.33% 44.7 0.089 63.33% 0.095 -0.0338
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 798 69.8% 37.75 -2.236 56.39% -0.083 -0.2971
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 527 79.51% 36.21 -6.676 47.06% -0.006 0.4296
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 3 66.67% 41.33 -6.301 66.67% -0.243 -0.2441
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 10 80.0% 40.4 10.962 60.0% 0.767 0.759
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 77 68.83% 40.97 -1.905 67.53% 0.119 0.0472
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 49 87.76% 29.63 -9.193 34.69% -0.477 -0.4192
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1136 54.31% 43.95 6.134 69.37% 1.15 1.0216
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 10 30.0% 40.1 6.213 70.0% 1.097 0.7343
Shifting Memory of Ages 113 77.88% 29.58 -9.216 42.48% -1.092 -0.6847
Shroud of Silent Mist 182 85.71% 29.61 -3.993 37.36% -0.303 0.0114
Starlight Seeks its Form 166 59.64% 38.79 -6.283 61.45% -0.458 -0.7307
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 411 78.59% 30.4 -7.108 48.42% -0.478 -0.9732
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 571 66.37% 39.8 2.097 59.54% -0.144 -0.1138
Thunderspeaker 1024 67.52% 40.8 -4.306 60.74% -0.387 -0.4056
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 7 71.43% 12.71 -7.916 14.29% -0.84 -0.903
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 512 91.59% 34.08 -0.128 53.52% 0.165 0.2262
Vital Strength of the Earth 705 72.73% 34.03 -6.1 44.26% -1.045 -0.4928
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 35 65.71% 30.43 -8.124 42.86% -0.911 -0.6549
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 106 68.87% 37.65 -1.68 58.49% 0.102 0.9991
Volcano Looming High 325 67.08% 39.25 -0.568 63.08% 0.226 0.2357

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 100.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%
Blitz 0 196 71.96% 33.12 -2.041 43.88% -0.107 0.0397
Dahan Insurrection 4 189 53.44% 54.54 4.801 58.2% -0.449 -0.6556
Despicable Theft 2 15 66.67% 34.8 -8.427 40.0% -0.253 0.4293
Elemental Invocation 1 20 70.0% 33.55 -4.102 40.0% -0.03 0.7009
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 711 26.81% 49.3 6.621 73.56% 0.691 0.0846
Powers Long Forgotten 1 56 85.71% 37.95 1.972 44.64% -0.572 -0.0837
Rituals of Terror 3 95 72.63% 41.95 -0.816 38.95% -0.451 -0.3462
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 53 73.58% 44.06 -6.349 43.4% -0.363 0.6289
Second Wave 0 275 67.27% 38.4 1.274 53.82% 0.46 0.5229
The Great River 3 21 71.43% 38.29 1.525 33.33% -0.111 1.237
Varied Terrains 2 4 75.0% 12.5 -10.047 0.0% -0.867 -0.3048
Ward the Shores 2 61 77.05% 40.46 -11.201 40.98% -0.243 0.9669

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8953 70.08% 37.53 0.158 56.63% -0.196 0.0139
1 Thematic 1013 62.78% 42.28 -0.753 51.43% -0.727 -0.1286
2 Archipelago 2 50.0% 40.5 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2125 69.86% 40.33 0.114 64.52% 0.249 0.4096
2 Coastline 229 63.76% 43.01 0.752 71.18% -0.035 0.0261
2 Fragment 45 77.78% 38.4 4.718 60.0% 0.28 0.2169
2 Heart 34 73.53% 40.59 0.0 61.76%
2 Opposite Shores 328 65.75% 40.73 5.068 64.33% 0.722 0.8552
2 Thematic 182 76.37% 41.11 -3.852 45.6% -0.243 0.393
2 Top to Top 58 58.62% 39.19 -4.481 58.62% -0.233 -0.1926
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 23 69.57% 50.65 0.0 78.26%
3 Other 32 68.75% 41.06 11.622 65.63% 1.053 1.1628
3 Round (Default) 674 60.84% 43.24 -0.901 72.11% -0.213 -0.2546
3 Sunrise 5 60.0% 40.6 0.0 60.0%
3 Thematic 52 88.46% 32.96 -3.513 25.0% -0.758 -0.7217
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 33.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 21 28.57% 54.9 -8.117 95.24% -0.045 -0.8942
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 63 61.9% 46.1 3.698 53.97% 0.505 0.4878
4 Trapezoid (Default) 279 51.81% 43.37 -3.608 68.82% -0.908 -1.0943
5 Other 4 25.0% 36.75 -7.719 75.0% -0.102 -0.6102
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -6.792 0.0% -0.04 -0.3454
6 Star 3 0.0% 34.33 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 1 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 5 60.0% 54.6 0.0 80.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 815 34.34 -0.544 46.26% -0.51 -0.2388
Aid From Lesser Spirits 618 35.31 6.295 46.93% 0.993 1.0318
All Things Weaken 366 32.01 0.655 41.53% -0.132 0.3285
Attenuated Essence 13 29.54 -0.5 46.15% 0.194 0.3997
Back Against the Wall 572 35.98 0.439 49.3% -0.286 -0.1246
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 7 29.86 -2.432 42.86% -0.502 -0.0875
Burn Brightest Before the End 9 23.33 -4.622 22.22% -1.001 -0.6963
Disintegrating Ecosystem 755 30.52 -2.096 41.46% -0.508 0.019
Downward Spiral 1538 32.56 -0.183 45.51% -0.039 0.3142
Erosion of Will 752 30.9 -3.614 37.5% -0.832 -0.4236
Intensifying Exploitation 2 38.0 3.071 50.0% 0.053 0.4397
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 76 48.96 0.911 90.79% 0.166 -0.359
Memory Fades to Dust 1538 30.82 -4.402 40.12% -1.178 -0.6966
Power Corrodes the Spirit 342 31.23 -0.094 42.98% -0.126 0.1786
Promising Farmlands 756 30.11 -5.131 38.36% -1.001 -0.4153
Shattered Fragments of Power 7 29.57 -1.876 42.86% -0.282 -0.1033
Slow Dissolution of Will 4 18.25 -5.736 0.0% -0.793 -0.2588
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 55 51.2 12.268 98.18% 0.49 -0.1876
The Border of Life and Death 2 31.5 0.776 50.0% -0.03 -0.1596
Thriving Communities 364 29.7 -0.725 39.01% -0.415 0.0779
Thriving Crops 2 0.0 -17.792 0.0% -0.75 -0.6615
Tipping Point 324 29.92 0.0 36.11%
Unnatural Proliferation 374 33.66 0.12 45.72% -0.42 -0.1229
Untended Land Crumbles 363 32.35 -2.133 45.45% -0.162 0.1963

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3005 68.89% 39.35 0.092 60.9% 0.156 0.9962
B 3193 66.48% 39.18 -0.664 60.7% -0.004 0.7743
C 3356 69.61% 38.95 -1.947 60.16% -0.358 0.2957
D 2961 65.89% 40.03 0.115 62.75% 0.012 0.8114
E 1165 67.1% 40.84 -0.709 66.61% -0.068 0.5604
F 1556 64.15% 40.08 -0.599 63.56% 0.097 0.8162
G 1409 64.72% 40.56 0.531 64.94% 0.211 0.9523
H 1529 66.64% 40.11 2.153 62.92% 0.399 1.0472
East 815 67.12% 41.74 0.298 46.63% -0.401 0.2032
Northeast 440 67.5% 41.68 0.416 45.68% 0.016 0.8972
Northwest 302 71.85% 40.35 -0.395 44.37% -0.081 0.5914
Southeast 123 55.28% 45.24 1.256 61.79% 0.109 0.7454
Southwest 98 61.22% 36.66 -4.385 48.98% -0.325 0.8392
West 644 68.01% 41.47 -1.215 48.14% -0.785 0.1795

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 52 0.0% 37.92 -2.839 57.69% -0.299 0.5842
Not Using Events or Tokens 1600 72.6% 37.42 -5.346 55.81% -0.619 -0.2868
Skip Initial Invader Actions 227 14.86% 59.92 7.318 94.71% 0.755 0.2197
Start of Game Growth 359 22.44% 55.17 2.513 89.69% 0.358 0.0279
Unlimited Undo 1253 64.98% 42.24 -0.796 68.32% -0.343 -0.3646
Using Tokens but Not Events 781 63.62% 36.87 -3.07 55.83% -0.218 -0.2722

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2886 21.03 8.49%
II 5382 31.04 55.69%
III 4325 34.74 81.41%
IV 1550 38.02 99.55%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.356 Win Model: -0.371
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 10004 69.37% 38.02 56.09%
2 2992 69.25% 40.61 63.77%
3 773 62.76% 42.76 69.21%
4 362 52.09% 44.46 67.68%
5 2 50.0% 21.5 50.0%
6 10 30.0% 44.9 60.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 244
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3426
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2875
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1530
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 183
Lose: Invader deck ran out 124
Lose: Adversary condition 27
Win: Sacrifice victory 52
Lose: Scenario condition 239
Win: Scenario condition 179
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5069
Lose: Spirit destroyed 195

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7621 48.82% 48.4 -0.133 70.88% 0.063 -0.0957
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3732 82.86% 38.26 -2.808 50.48% -0.481 -0.3597
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3675 55.0% 46.61 -1.68 72.95% -0.037 -0.2053
Downpour Drenches the World 523 54.98% 45.53 -3.512 63.1% -0.093 0.0857
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1012 35.87% 48.36 7.752 77.77% 1.551 0.8291
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3610 58.51% 47.27 -1.301 71.0% 0.207 -0.3814
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3243 65.35% 44.56 0.217 65.12% 0.391 -0.0807
Finder of Paths Unseen 527 59.01% 48.07 -1.115 72.49% -0.018 0.6764
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1999 55.63% 51.45 0.971 70.09% 0.041 0.7253
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2273 60.17% 48.69 -0.443 71.18% 0.125 0.0237
Heart of the Wildfire 6236 71.01% 41.52 -2.437 56.65% -0.169 0.0748
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 11502 60.76% 47.22 1.029 70.25% 0.405 -0.0445
Lightning's Swift Strike 5195 68.35% 41.5 -4.334 56.54% -0.145 0.0582
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 728 71.43% 44.92 3.318 57.55% 0.864 0.1673
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 2000 57.11% 50.82 1.227 80.4% 0.396 0.1567
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1112 51.53% 52.82 -1.195 74.19% 0.048 -0.1115
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3711 64.3% 45.22 -1.874 66.34% -0.08 -0.2248
Many Minds Move as One 1430 50.42% 51.71 3.846 84.41% 0.663 0.4424
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6864 70.83% 41.24 -3.176 53.55% -0.406 -0.4149
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3759 53.88% 47.99 0.503 76.27% 0.276 0.1343
River Surges in Sunlight 6923 64.89% 47.53 -0.526 62.72% -0.086 -0.0829
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 451 71.62% 41.24 -4.054 49.45% -0.591 -0.3213
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 455 66.0% 45.93 -1.423 54.29% -0.202 -0.3312
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5360 63.95% 45.1 0.934 65.11% 0.192 -0.0215
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2008 77.88% 36.58 -4.615 43.03% -1.04 -0.6037
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 97 82.47% 37.27 -1.273 46.39% -0.106 -0.1069
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 98 77.55% 38.03 1.139 48.98% 0.649 0.6402
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 756 71.43% 42.27 2.392 58.99% 0.446 0.3734
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 363 76.03% 40.31 5.099 52.34% 0.582 0.6405
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4937 50.88% 48.69 1.722 72.15% 0.529 0.4006
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 162 55.56% 37.86 1.163 60.49% 0.472 0.1093
Shifting Memory of Ages 934 77.62% 39.42 -2.782 49.04% -0.503 -0.0955
Shroud of Silent Mist 914 83.1% 37.16 -5.238 50.66% -0.814 -0.4991
Starlight Seeks its Form 1959 59.21% 46.92 -0.33 68.1% 0.228 -0.0445
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4287 72.26% 36.43 -4.012 51.46% -0.471 -0.9658
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3158 58.87% 46.78 0.099 68.62% 0.076 0.1059
Thunderspeaker 3979 68.35% 44.71 -1.82 61.1% -0.16 -0.1791
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 76 68.42% 32.29 -1.224 50.0% 0.102 0.0389
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3994 84.18% 39.66 -2.362 58.81% -0.163 -0.1012
Vital Strength of the Earth 2462 71.82% 36.65 -5.738 45.17% -1.079 -0.5261
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 234 68.8% 42.43 1.253 59.4% 0.315 0.5713
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 704 68.61% 37.23 -7.432 48.58% -1.281 -0.3844
Volcano Looming High 3339 61.96% 45.83 -0.913 69.87% 0.046 0.0562

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 25 96.0% 27.2 11.014 16.0% 0.401 0.3225
Blitz 0 634 63.97% 40.63 -0.695 53.31% -0.482 -0.3358
Dahan Insurrection 4 878 47.37% 67.55 4.339 70.16% 0.033 -0.1745
Despicable Theft 2 29 82.76% 45.31 -6.412 48.28% -0.606 0.0768
Elemental Invocation 1 87 75.86% 41.94 -7.696 48.28% -0.672 0.0594
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6462 23.77% 54.38 6.969 74.3% 1.115 0.5088
Powers Long Forgotten 1 142 77.14% 36.61 -15.864 33.1% -1.324 -0.8353
Rituals of Terror 3 183 80.87% 48.44 22.824 34.43% 1.251 1.3561
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 74 87.84% 39.45 -11.999 32.43% -0.538 0.454
Second Wave 0 671 82.12% 38.12 -3.389 46.8% -0.297 -0.2344
The Great River 3 56 67.86% 34.27 -5.013 17.86% -0.771 0.5773
Varied Terrains 2 38 86.84% 34.84 -5.808 28.95% -0.868 -0.3059
Ward the Shores 2 167 83.73% 39.16 -1.25 35.33% -0.431 0.7784

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 61745 67.95% 41.95 -0.023 60.32% -0.368 -0.1579
1 Thematic 1976 65.0% 43.63 0.196 48.28% -1.199 -0.6
2 Archipelago 19 68.42% 58.68 0.84 57.89% -0.092 0.2648
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8816 68.2% 44.21 -1.863 64.96% -0.647 -0.4872
2 Coastline 1265 65.84% 45.98 -2.599 67.11% -0.875 -0.8138
2 Fragment 276 70.65% 47.63 19.773 73.55% 1.24 1.1763
2 Heart 132 78.03% 43.56 4.125 56.06% 0.184 -0.0538
2 Opposite Shores 1842 64.32% 44.02 0.367 61.13% -0.349 -0.2151
2 Thematic 483 70.21% 44.43 -4.276 43.06% -1.606 -0.9693
2 Top to Top 332 70.91% 45.32 5.626 66.27% 0.48 0.5203
3 Archipelago 6 66.67% 85.0 22.306 100.0% 0.402 -0.6844
3 Coastline 71 29.58% 54.7 9.547 81.69% 0.396 -0.102
3 Other 115 66.96% 47.98 8.143 73.04% 0.975 1.0847
3 Round (Default) 3354 58.04% 46.55 -0.271 69.35% -0.527 -0.5678
3 Sunrise 22 63.64% 46.68 0.0 68.18%
3 Thematic 99 79.17% 47.0 11.506 46.46% 0.598 0.6343
4 Archipelago 11 36.36% 66.45 21.247 63.64% 0.828 0.6138
4 Coastline 22 0.0% 61.32 7.298 95.45% -0.193 -0.0709
4 Leaf 8 87.5% 26.75 -4.313 25.0% -0.421 -0.7964
4 Other 240 32.5% 53.72 5.868 85.42% 0.507 -0.3425
4 Thematic 1132 32.06% 65.23 3.804 82.86% -0.142 -0.1591
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2425 55.0% 47.69 -0.919 69.69% -0.253 -0.4398
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 66.67 0.0 66.67%
5 Coastline 21 4.76% 60.62 -3.445 95.24% -0.663 -0.7059
5 Other 64 59.32% 60.55 10.246 90.63% 0.819 0.3104
5 Thematic 9 33.33% 76.11 14.914 100.0% 0.269 -0.0612
6 Archipelago 7 0.0% 54.29 -18.633 57.14% -0.415 -0.7204
6 Coastline 6 16.67% 49.67 -14.208 83.33% -0.461 -1.1051
6 Other 16 43.75% 62.56 6.664 81.25% 0.042 -0.3524
6 Star 8 62.5% 58.63 6.622 87.5% 0.032 0.5072
6 Thematic 184 66.85% 55.7 1.529 77.72% -0.226 0.1732
6 Two Centers (Default) 83 30.12% 52.58 -1.241 73.49% -0.861 -0.8171
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -8.203 0.0% -0.27 -1.0429

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 4665 35.9 -1.439 45.14% -0.562 -0.2912
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3779 39.92 4.082 53.0% 0.418 0.4571
All Things Weaken 2652 36.59 -1.845 46.34% -0.684 -0.2238
Attenuated Essence 89 33.6 -1.732 47.19% -0.509 -0.3033
Back Against the Wall 3537 38.58 2.944 49.59% 0.327 0.4885
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 78 26.54 -4.574 33.33% -0.921 -0.5062
Burn Brightest Before the End 45 31.13 -2.603 37.78% -0.928 -0.6233
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4639 33.7 -1.94 44.84% -0.466 0.0608
Downward Spiral 6947 34.93 -1.187 47.03% -0.127 0.226
Erosion of Will 4597 34.63 -0.986 42.16% -0.398 0.01
Intensifying Exploitation 103 29.72 -2.383 43.69% -0.413 -0.026
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 612 53.6 0.245 91.67% 0.106 -0.4197
Memory Fades to Dust 7157 33.86 -1.679 41.76% -0.421 0.0602
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2618 36.08 -0.741 47.52% -0.175 0.1299
Promising Farmlands 4535 33.89 -3.039 43.35% -0.695 -0.1095
Shattered Fragments of Power 54 40.94 2.703 62.96% 0.237 0.4159
Slow Dissolution of Will 80 29.68 -2.998 36.25% -0.803 -0.2692
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 474 54.8 5.302 94.3% 0.972 0.2936
The Border of Life and Death 20 43.0 3.122 70.0% 0.385 0.255
Thriving Communities 2457 34.84 -1.991 45.83% -0.496 -0.0032
Thriving Crops 31 30.94 -2.86 54.84% -0.211 -0.1226
Tipping Point 1595 32.86 0.0 40.13%
Unnatural Proliferation 2811 37.41 0.312 47.35% -0.241 0.0555
Untended Land Crumbles 2476 35.7 0.131 47.05% -0.012 0.3459

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 17586 64.81% 43.93 0.494 63.19% -0.562 0.2775
B 17837 64.82% 42.99 -1.667 61.55% -0.938 -0.1589
C 19523 67.67% 42.46 -0.475 60.44% -0.709 -0.055
D 16414 66.91% 42.61 -0.389 61.29% -0.584 0.2153
E 8673 65.45% 44.69 -0.049 65.97% -0.776 -0.1468
F 10862 60.23% 46.56 0.801 69.78% -0.566 0.1536
G 9367 63.47% 44.67 0.304 65.54% -0.647 0.0952
H 9704 64.07% 44.51 -0.071 66.16% -0.64 0.0084
East 2785 52.44% 54.64 1.985 64.6% -0.436 0.1686
Northeast 1839 48.71% 56.8 3.042 66.99% -0.179 0.7024
Northwest 1627 48.61% 55.85 -0.304 66.38% -1.17 -0.4976
Southeast 600 55.67% 55.06 1.805 73.83% -0.217 0.4193
Southwest 602 57.31% 52.18 0.123 70.1% -1.071 0.0932
West 2572 51.84% 53.39 3.452 63.22% -0.12 0.8446

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 378 0.0% 44.06 -9.234 63.49% -1.84 -0.9566
Not Using Events or Tokens 5230 75.93% 37.28 -4.227 48.87% -0.433 -0.1007
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2435 19.07% 63.65 7.286 89.2% 0.937 0.4021
Start of Game Growth 3330 21.7% 61.74 6.837 87.63% 1.077 0.7462
Unlimited Undo 9577 52.9% 50.12 -0.314 76.55% 0.034 0.012
Using Tokens but Not Events 4274 54.11% 45.35 -1.841 64.23% -0.125 -0.1787

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 17663 21.03 11.26%
II 29520 31.04 59.01%
III 29385 34.74 84.09%
IV 8252 38.02 99.82%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.343 Win Model: 0.744
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 63923 67.87% 42.04 59.96%
2 13071 67.68% 44.43 64.01%
3 3639 58.08% 46.7 69.19%
4 3824 46.45% 53.42 74.71%
5 54 36.0% 63.31 88.89%
6 309 52.75% 54.93 76.38%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1983
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 24239
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 16714
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8160
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1254
Lose: Invader deck ran out 696
Lose: Adversary condition 366
Win: Sacrifice victory 442
Lose: Scenario condition 1599
Win: Scenario condition 817
Lose: Blight pool ran out 27317
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1233

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-11-29 03:49:58 (Pacific Time)