The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5231 26.7% 23.69 -0.658 82.66% -0.061 -0.0965
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3528 48.46% 22.52 0.062 77.89% 0.222 0.3802
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 32 12.5% 27.59 4.578 68.75% 0.299 -0.7137
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2443 25.98% 25.49 1.155 88.42% 0.445 0.2322
Downpour Drenches the World 325 27.69% 18.84 -0.451 60.31% -0.045 0.2018
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 275 21.45% 22.3 0.652 64.73% 0.076 -0.4869
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2860 16.94% 27.76 2.002 90.8% 0.573 0.0939
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2521 23.34% 26.66 0.815 90.16% 0.256 -0.1507
Finder of Paths Unseen 166 34.94% 13.47 -6.19 40.96% -1.651 -0.8885
Fractured Days Split the Sky 517 37.52% 22.44 -3.446 64.22% -1.016 -0.3534
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 650 41.69% 23.98 -0.513 73.23% -0.022 -0.0242
Heart of the Wildfire 3505 57.52% 20.71 -0.446 72.3% -0.015 0.3553
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4863 28.21% 26.53 2.648 89.68% 0.8 0.3737
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 26 3.85% 23.81 2.196 73.08% 0.442 -0.0506
Lightning's Swift Strike 5214 42.25% 22.53 -0.945 75.51% -0.246 -0.0324
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 115 26.96% 25.8 2.899 75.65% 0.459 -0.1569
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 332 30.21% 26.84 2.762 85.84% 0.96 0.674
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 290 37.02% 24.01 0.387 76.21% -0.007 -0.1097
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1325 33.31% 26.18 1.908 83.4% 0.359 0.1129
Many Minds Move as One 926 24.81% 26.17 1.15 86.07% 0.082 -0.0792
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5185 41.89% 23.54 0.397 80.69% 0.086 0.1198
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2255 29.68% 24.53 0.102 85.01% 0.186 0.0187
River Surges in Sunlight 6190 38.78% 25.19 0.431 76.95% -0.109 -0.0817
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 467 37.26% 24.97 0.74 75.16% 0.16 0.4986
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 134 35.07% 23.13 1.702 65.67% -0.069 -0.101
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2930 36.25% 22.91 -0.09 81.95% 0.194 0.0837
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3805 54.05% 22.21 -0.658 73.01% -0.297 0.2786
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 67 38.81% 22.63 -1.22 62.69% -0.606 -0.5824
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 27 22.22% 27.33 4.482 81.48% 0.721 0.2686
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 59 28.81% 22.46 -0.877 67.8% 0.096 0.3324
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 263 36.88% 24.86 -0.32 82.13% 0.197 0.1099
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 207 42.03% 25.09 1.193 81.16% 0.59 0.7858
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3193 29.78% 25.96 -0.751 84.84% -0.277 -0.2988
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 68 19.4% 21.5 2.277 66.18% 0.452 0.1198
Shifting Memory of Ages 575 47.55% 20.81 -1.587 68.35% -0.403 -0.122
Shroud of Silent Mist 633 51.59% 21.21 -1.235 71.09% -0.116 0.1569
Starlight Seeks its Form 901 21.52% 26.88 -0.901 79.02% -0.088 -0.3077
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1625 28.29% 24.14 3.084 85.11% 0.842 0.3949
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1982 34.13% 23.56 -1.186 80.27% -0.193 -0.0708
Thunderspeaker 4771 30.34% 25.94 -0.58 82.02% -0.294 -0.2754
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 48 29.17% 17.1 -2.37 45.83% -0.486 -0.2812
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1243 58.19% 19.89 -2.003 73.45% -0.371 -0.1967
Vital Strength of the Earth 5164 33.4% 21.54 -2.374 73.41% -0.698 -0.1257
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 100 21.0% 19.29 -2.109 59.0% -1.047 -0.6656
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 264 30.15% 18.98 -2.769 65.53% -0.708 0.0496
Volcano Looming High 915 36.18% 23.12 -0.158 75.96% 0.08 0.0532
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 69 18.84% 24.65 3.767 78.26% 1.098 0.5639

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 12 8.33% 19.5 -1.649 66.67% -0.218 -0.4038
Blitz 0 938 40.78% 20.58 -0.251 69.51% 0.106 0.2371
Dahan Insurrection 4 762 23.54% 43.51 8.256 77.17% 0.271 0.0164
Despicable Theft 2 127 27.56% 22.84 -1.934 55.12% -0.829 -0.2878
Elemental Invocation 1 170 44.12% 22.56 -2.301 62.94% -0.436 0.421
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2040 8.5% 29.37 3.763 80.29% 0.638 -0.1332
Powers Long Forgotten 1 447 46.09% 25.62 -1.75 68.01% -0.606 0.3287
Rituals of Terror 3 539 42.99% 31.14 4.346 63.64% -0.162 -0.0658
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 301 60.47% 29.58 -3.234 59.8% -1.417 -0.2202
Second Wave 0 840 56.19% 25.32 3.292 71.19% -0.034 0.0514
The Great River 3 144 43.75% 24.03 1.313 46.53% -0.414 0.9475
Varied Terrains 2 91 30.77% 17.38 -4.565 45.05% -1.316 -0.528
Ward the Shores 2 535 38.2% 27.61 -3.149 67.48% -0.988 0.0438

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 35245 39.48% 23.17 0.119 78.36% -0.068 0.1227
1 Thematic 4077 40.77% 29.34 0.11 72.53% -0.384 0.2615
2 Archipelago 13 38.46% 34.69 9.084 76.92% 0.586 1.0176
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8116 34.71% 23.22 -0.998 81.25% -0.553 -0.5569
2 Coastline 682 32.99% 23.75 2.581 83.14% 0.623 0.6784
2 Fragment 169 37.95% 22.29 3.272 82.84% 0.562 0.2956
2 Heart 116 51.75% 20.13 -2.148 72.41% -0.739 -0.7778
2 Opposite Shores 913 33.56% 23.04 1.381 84.01% 0.205 0.2194
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -7.771 0.0% -0.347 0.3734
2 Thematic 909 40.02% 30.42 -0.327 74.37% -0.455 -0.2578
2 Top to Top 177 33.52% 22.43 -0.784 81.92% -0.698 -0.7956
3 Archipelago 11 45.45% 30.0 8.238 72.73% 0.473 0.0259
3 Coastline 16 50.0% 20.5 5.657 68.75% 0.501 -0.523
3 Other 86 39.53% 19.87 -2.694 73.26% -0.477 -0.8696
3 Round (Default) 2601 28.75% 24.17 0.99 84.89% -0.313 -0.6482
3 Sunrise 8 12.5% 25.63 0.0 87.5%
3 Thematic 204 37.25% 28.6 2.653 69.61% -0.121 -0.4047
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 47.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 6 16.67% 10.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 6 16.67% 27.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 33 27.27% 21.55 1.028 81.82% 0.153 -1.1769
4 Thematic 612 30.54% 29.59 1.551 90.03% 0.345 0.2658
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1206 25.34% 23.09 -2.89 82.67% -1.83 -1.987
5 Other 42 45.24% 25.38 3.313 78.57% 0.346 -0.7283
5 Thematic 9 33.33% 32.56 7.641 88.89% 0.206 0.1988
6 Other 6 33.33% 22.17 0.0 66.67%
6 Star 5 0.0% 20.0 0.0 60.0%
6 Thematic 42 7.32% 20.36 -6.637 50.0% -0.82 -0.1713
6 Two Centers (Default) 46 10.87% 17.65 -1.53 60.87% -0.335 -0.6698
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 7 0.0% 30.0 13.439 57.14% 0.024 0.4198

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1280 18.09 -0.227 60.0% 0.032 0.1612
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1126 19.52 2.023 59.77% 0.199 0.081
All Things Weaken 591 17.85 0.258 55.84% -0.382 -0.075
Attenuated Essence 42 17.76 1.796 54.76% 0.517 0.5492
Back Against the Wall 1096 18.88 1.463 58.3% 0.179 0.2088
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 33 19.73 -1.252 48.48% -0.243 -0.0568
Burn Brightest Before the End 9 17.78 0.808 44.44% -0.037 0.033
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1254 15.64 -0.924 55.58% -0.221 0.1549
Downward Spiral 4521 16.57 -1.787 61.38% -0.331 -0.1651
Erosion of Will 1327 17.9 -0.292 57.87% -0.336 -0.1214
Intensifying Exploitation 39 13.79 -0.729 43.59% -0.031 0.2109
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 224 24.27 -1.014 88.84% 0.309 -0.2723
Memory Fades to Dust 4649 16.02 -1.128 56.96% -0.206 0.087
Power Corrodes the Spirit 587 18.67 1.142 62.35% 0.647 0.8077
Promising Farmlands 1335 16.97 -0.659 60.07% 0.08 0.3764
Shattered Fragments of Power 35 23.29 1.237 60.0% -0.086 0.0021
Slow Dissolution of Will 37 20.68 4.11 59.46% 0.623 1.0163
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 172 24.78 3.477 93.6% 1.201 0.4896
The Border of Life and Death 13 22.77 -8.687 69.23% -0.183 -0.6624
Thriving Communities 585 17.97 -0.946 59.49% -0.215 0.0848
Thriving Crops 23 18.3 -2.388 65.22% -0.339 -0.4411
Tipping Point 504 16.8 0.0 60.52%
Unnatural Proliferation 575 19.31 0.644 59.3% -0.052 0.1173
Untended Land Crumbles 642 17.69 -0.085 58.72% -0.069 0.1887

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12256 38.24% 22.7 0.112 79.11% -0.317 0.8261
B 12528 36.74% 22.99 -0.382 79.54% -0.535 0.5197
C 12881 36.04% 23.11 -0.59 79.85% -0.597 0.2916
D 12262 35.68% 23.15 0.018 80.17% -0.457 0.5967
E 3603 32.66% 24.11 0.273 80.35% -0.411 0.4933
F 5516 33.19% 23.97 -0.431 82.18% -0.679 0.3249
G 5171 34.1% 23.62 -0.482 81.26% -0.521 0.4473
H 5416 33.31% 24.04 -0.09 82.13% -0.623 0.3697
East 3723 37.19% 30.2 0.753 76.42% -0.887 0.1013
Northeast 2270 35.96% 30.12 1.689 77.62% -0.46 0.4894
Northwest 1812 36.62% 29.25 0.064 76.77% -0.665 0.3759
Southeast 502 34.73% 26.94 -0.44 71.51% -0.443 0.4752
Southwest 454 35.1% 23.66 -2.041 69.6% -0.885 0.5722
West 3304 39.25% 28.97 -0.116 74.55% -0.827 0.2801

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 548 0.0% 20.01 -2.332 65.69% -0.626 0.0373
Not Using Events or Tokens 13406 44.8% 21.11 -1.156 72.62% -0.228 0.2664
Skip Initial Invader Actions 838 9.56% 34.64 5.851 92.12% 0.698 0.0758
Start of Game Growth 1278 14.43% 31.63 2.652 89.51% 0.371 -0.0418
Unlimited Undo 3084 28.04% 26.02 1.822 84.37% 0.536 0.4412
Using Tokens but Not Events 4085 28.68% 25.03 -0.506 83.7% -0.342 -0.2665

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7371 16.77 35.4%
II 19994 30.59 78.27%
III 18811 34.74 86.67%
IV 9237 38.3 99.16%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.049 Win Model: 0.85
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 39611 39.6% 23.79 77.56%
2 10944 35.2% 23.87 81.58%
3 2864 29.29% 24.32 83.73%
4 1860 27.4% 25.29 85.54%
5 45 13.33% 15.13 42.22%
6 88 11.63% 23.24 68.18%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2605
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 15838
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 14807
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9069
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2663
Lose: Invader deck ran out 773
Lose: Adversary condition 248
Win: Sacrifice victory 208
Lose: Scenario condition 509
Win: Scenario condition 1194
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7123
Lose: Spirit destroyed 376

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3466 27.45% 29.99 1.218 82.2% 0.145 0.1089
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2150 51.41% 27.84 0.786 77.77% 0.085 0.2432
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 40 22.5% 35.55 5.313 87.5% 0.785 -0.2272
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1693 28.73% 30.36 0.38 87.6% 0.169 -0.0436
Downpour Drenches the World 251 22.71% 23.08 -3.271 65.34% -0.83 -0.5834
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 229 17.98% 28.83 0.981 78.17% 0.236 -0.3268
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2188 18.61% 33.7 2.092 92.37% 0.467 -0.0119
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1733 23.71% 33.6 3.181 89.21% 0.511 0.1045
Finder of Paths Unseen 144 38.46% 23.2 -5.177 52.78% -1.375 -0.6132
Fractured Days Split the Sky 436 34.48% 29.8 -2.316 72.02% -0.703 -0.0405
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 486 39.09% 26.77 -2.303 70.99% -0.796 -0.7986
Heart of the Wildfire 2415 57.36% 26.83 -1.743 76.89% -0.147 0.2232
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3685 35.57% 30.76 1.339 87.52% 0.266 -0.1605
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 40 20.0% 26.6 1.994 70.0% 0.535 0.0429
Lightning's Swift Strike 3238 39.37% 29.1 -0.192 79.96% 0.097 0.3105
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 177 18.08% 50.19 7.451 80.79% -0.232 -0.8479
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 254 33.07% 30.64 1.259 82.28% 0.302 0.0161
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 243 33.33% 29.22 -9.278 79.42% -2.099 -2.2008
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1011 35.94% 30.34 1.753 83.48% 0.394 0.1478
Many Minds Move as One 751 26.5% 30.43 -1.653 85.62% -0.455 -0.6163
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3132 42.54% 29.78 2.4 80.33% 0.267 0.3011
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1671 32.45% 31.76 3.071 84.68% 0.163 -0.0036
River Surges in Sunlight 4009 40.09% 30.98 1.826 78.3% 0.043 0.0702
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 323 44.1% 27.76 -3.431 71.52% -1.065 -0.7264
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 170 32.74% 29.25 3.426 69.41% 0.169 0.137
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1811 37.4% 28.59 -0.494 82.05% 0.117 0.0071
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2183 55.8% 26.82 -1.063 72.61% -0.168 0.4072
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 36 47.22% 30.03 4.288 80.56% 0.598 0.6215
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 40 27.5% 30.63 4.419 80.0% 0.55 0.0976
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 58 27.59% 27.76 2.319 79.31% 0.587 0.8232
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 239 37.24% 29.36 2.269 83.68% 0.634 0.5467
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 143 55.32% 29.97 0.442 79.72% -0.153 0.0428
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2314 31.83% 31.21 0.083 85.18% 0.094 0.0729
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 84 11.9% 26.2 2.355 71.43% 0.622 0.2902
Shifting Memory of Ages 407 43.35% 24.98 -0.563 68.3% -0.316 -0.0346
Shroud of Silent Mist 481 54.79% 25.63 -3.165 74.43% -0.868 -0.5953
Starlight Seeks its Form 462 35.36% 27.34 -1.066 74.68% 0.076 -0.1438
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1006 41.0% 25.52 1.155 78.93% 0.529 0.0817
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1399 35.35% 28.49 -0.74 80.06% -0.059 0.0631
Thunderspeaker 3199 32.72% 31.38 1.459 82.24% 0.296 0.3149
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 49 34.69% 17.82 -0.838 46.94% -0.015 0.1898
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 773 68.31% 23.64 -1.025 70.76% -0.061 0.1134
Vital Strength of the Earth 2993 39.68% 25.83 -1.701 73.5% -0.475 0.0971
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 107 37.74% 24.72 0.236 67.29% 0.362 0.7439
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 188 37.23% 23.06 0.121 65.96% 0.304 1.0616
Volcano Looming High 632 47.15% 25.8 -0.668 74.68% -0.032 -0.0586
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 97 18.56% 29.58 3.19 83.51% 1.158 0.6244

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 12 33.33% 30.5 0.401 83.33% -0.022 -0.2085
Blitz 0 767 46.75% 23.27 -4.374 64.93% -0.76 -0.6289
Dahan Insurrection 4 597 22.15% 49.79 4.569 82.08% -0.486 -0.7414
Despicable Theft 2 123 43.9% 26.24 -3.875 52.85% -1.353 -0.8121
Elemental Invocation 1 163 53.37% 23.87 -2.939 58.9% -0.896 -0.0395
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1610 11.58% 34.1 2.126 76.15% -0.3 -1.071
Powers Long Forgotten 1 422 53.32% 28.8 -5.666 66.11% -1.525 -0.5904
Rituals of Terror 3 394 46.19% 36.19 2.384 68.27% -0.327 -0.2309
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 273 65.93% 31.61 -3.827 56.78% -1.327 -0.1304
Second Wave 0 2305 44.44% 29.69 1.018 76.57% -0.246 -0.1607
The Great River 3 122 40.98% 27.93 -5.394 46.72% -0.825 0.5366
Varied Terrains 2 85 35.29% 19.61 -3.023 38.82% -1.507 -0.7181
Ward the Shores 2 446 47.64% 30.33 -5.198 60.99% -1.253 -0.2209

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 21314 41.26% 27.57 0.012 78.35% 0.143 0.3345
1 Thematic 3255 45.07% 32.73 -0.896 69.55% -0.04 0.605
2 Archipelago 12 50.0% 43.17 10.284 100.0% 0.934 1.3663
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5236 36.54% 28.7 -0.876 83.61% -0.182 -0.1852
2 Coastline 570 41.11% 27.74 -0.189 80.88% 0.389 0.4452
2 Fragment 147 48.98% 27.78 2.392 82.31% 0.058 -0.2084
2 Heart 95 33.68% 28.53 1.96 87.37% 0.597 0.5583
2 Opposite Shores 880 34.18% 28.74 0.271 86.59% -0.021 -0.0071
2 Thematic 813 43.35% 32.74 0.38 70.23% 0.694 0.8905
2 Top to Top 160 43.04% 27.23 -9.748 78.13% -1.476 -1.5738
3 Archipelago 8 25.0% 45.75 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 13 61.54% 32.46 0.0 76.92%
3 Other 74 32.88% 28.34 10.071 87.84% 0.365 -0.0272
3 Round (Default) 1949 28.25% 29.8 -0.726 86.81% -0.282 -0.6171
3 Sunrise 5 40.0% 27.6 -1.338 100.0% 0.233 0.4753
3 Thematic 152 39.47% 32.32 -0.816 66.45% -0.534 -0.8176
4 Archipelago 10 20.0% 38.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 11 36.36% 21.36 0.0 36.36%
4 Leaf 5 0.0% 37.6 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 53 37.74% 28.55 4.818 84.91% 0.292 -1.0375
4 Thematic 298 42.76% 36.04 -1.501 85.91% -0.462 -0.5415
4 Trapezoid (Default) 801 31.26% 29.77 -0.041 85.14% -0.317 -0.4732
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 32.5 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 40 22.5% 30.88 -0.268 87.5% 0.376 -0.6987
5 Thematic 6 0.0% 25.33 -7.465 50.0% -0.179 -0.1853
6 Archipelago 57 3.51% 69.61 13.465 80.7% 0.094 -1.2055
6 Other 43 6.98% 66.28 0.0 86.05%
6 Star 3 0.0% 33.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 18 33.33% 25.72 -8.095 55.56% -0.332 0.3163
6 Two Centers (Default) 36 27.78% 22.03 -3.64 55.56% -0.956 -1.2908
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 51.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 915 23.6 -0.584 62.84% -0.516 -0.3869
Aid From Lesser Spirits 862 23.96 1.201 62.88% -0.112 -0.2303
All Things Weaken 462 22.6 -1.597 60.17% -0.729 -0.4215
Attenuated Essence 35 23.71 -2.579 68.57% -0.293 -0.2609
Back Against the Wall 799 23.41 -0.121 60.95% -0.537 -0.5068
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 46 20.91 -1.328 56.52% -0.23 -0.0442
Burn Brightest Before the End 33 26.12 5.369 54.55% 0.84 0.9108
Disintegrating Ecosystem 982 20.75 -0.799 60.39% 0.095 0.4704
Downward Spiral 2740 21.34 -1.435 62.26% -0.393 -0.2276
Erosion of Will 971 22.14 -0.103 57.88% -0.391 -0.1761
Intensifying Exploitation 22 20.77 -4.216 50.0% -0.655 -0.414
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 156 29.1 4.31 90.38% 0.51 -0.0713
Memory Fades to Dust 2867 20.51 -2.139 56.82% -0.618 -0.325
Power Corrodes the Spirit 422 21.56 0.77 59.95% 0.161 0.3221
Promising Farmlands 1020 21.55 1.714 61.37% 0.216 0.5119
Shattered Fragments of Power 17 22.41 3.913 47.06% 0.004 0.0915
Slow Dissolution of Will 26 20.62 1.407 57.69% 0.374 0.7667
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 114 30.23 3.035 96.49% 0.772 0.0605
The Border of Life and Death 14 26.43 6.256 85.71% 1.02 0.5408
Thriving Communities 423 21.05 -0.454 60.05% -0.01 0.2901
Thriving Crops 22 25.41 3.43 72.73% 0.136 0.0346
Tipping Point 365 21.32 0.0 59.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 480 23.44 0.484 57.92% -0.22 -0.0507
Untended Land Crumbles 432 21.85 -2.204 62.5% -0.456 -0.1975

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8026 39.75% 28.39 0.88 80.16% -0.161 0.9817
B 8296 37.08% 28.78 0.728 81.53% -0.178 0.8769
C 8612 37.06% 28.94 0.722 82.15% -0.133 0.755
D 7993 36.89% 28.93 0.972 81.85% -0.066 0.9877
E 2644 35.51% 28.62 0.603 80.37% -0.056 0.8479
F 3754 34.79% 28.68 0.896 82.61% 0.005 1.0095
G 3459 36.26% 29.31 0.523 81.58% -0.45 0.5182
H 3579 33.6% 29.8 1.566 83.01% -0.06 0.933
East 2862 43.11% 33.81 -0.434 71.66% -0.641 0.3473
Northeast 1638 44.44% 33.85 0.141 72.59% -0.751 0.1986
Northwest 1284 43.14% 34.0 0.095 76.01% -0.473 0.5683
Southeast 371 36.66% 29.54 -3.622 66.31% -1.199 -0.2811
Southwest 355 40.56% 25.63 -3.485 61.69% -0.949 0.5078
West 2506 45.01% 32.39 -1.547 70.83% -0.976 0.1308

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 274 0.0% 24.66 1.637 70.44% 0.363 1.0268
Not Using Events or Tokens 6770 46.23% 25.79 -1.48 72.61% -0.375 0.1191
Skip Initial Invader Actions 464 9.57% 40.14 3.119 90.52% 0.148 -0.4748
Start of Game Growth 722 13.42% 37.49 1.213 90.03% 0.032 -0.3804
Unlimited Undo 2187 31.92% 29.28 -0.662 82.08% -0.038 -0.1333
Using Tokens but Not Events 2906 30.58% 31.03 0.462 83.1% -0.398 -0.3228

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5190 16.77 35.43%
II 13648 30.59 79.51%
III 12143 34.74 88.72%
IV 5106 38.3 99.22%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.842 Win Model: 0.714
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 24755 41.74% 28.21 76.97%
2 7820 37.74% 29.13 82.93%
3 2156 29.27% 30.07 86.13%
4 1159 34.0% 31.31 84.81%
5 45 8.89% 28.42 80.0%
6 152 13.16% 53.76 76.32%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1838
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10416
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10156
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5025
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1614
Lose: Invader deck ran out 341
Lose: Adversary condition 114
Win: Sacrifice victory 120
Lose: Scenario condition 422
Win: Scenario condition 975
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4850
Lose: Spirit destroyed 216

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4749 31.65% 32.31 -0.267 81.87% 0.056 0.0197
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2706 59.24% 29.89 -1.615 76.31% -0.272 -0.1133
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 66 42.42% 38.44 4.1 86.36% 0.606 -0.4067
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2126 35.24% 32.77 -0.161 84.85% 0.139 -0.0736
Downpour Drenches the World 389 36.6% 27.43 1.762 71.21% 0.664 0.9105
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 472 25.21% 32.07 3.402 80.51% 0.999 0.436
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2801 24.12% 36.08 3.237 90.54% 0.831 0.3514
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2119 31.71% 34.3 2.621 85.32% 0.534 0.1273
Finder of Paths Unseen 208 49.52% 21.28 -3.037 49.04% -0.696 0.0662
Fractured Days Split the Sky 628 43.15% 31.89 -1.973 68.31% -0.763 -0.1007
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 750 46.99% 31.08 -1.413 76.8% -0.332 -0.3345
Heart of the Wildfire 3101 66.35% 27.16 -1.896 69.2% -0.338 0.032
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5379 39.47% 34.04 2.687 86.19% 0.388 -0.0386
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 106 31.13% 30.91 2.859 75.47% 0.504 0.0115
Lightning's Swift Strike 3720 47.74% 29.84 -1.113 74.11% -0.342 -0.1291
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 140 46.38% 30.89 4.08 72.14% 0.55 -0.0653
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 391 39.9% 33.81 0.868 84.65% -0.458 -0.744
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 332 42.6% 33.56 -0.06 77.11% -0.124 -0.2263
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1674 41.3% 33.45 2.256 82.2% 0.446 0.1996
Many Minds Move as One 979 31.01% 33.43 3.084 86.41% 0.624 0.4624
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4281 52.71% 29.82 -1.453 74.61% -0.494 -0.4596
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2065 37.51% 32.34 1.336 84.21% 0.443 0.2757
River Surges in Sunlight 4842 49.27% 32.1 -1.462 74.47% -0.474 -0.4462
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 479 52.19% 32.47 1.23 72.03% -0.251 0.0879
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 234 44.64% 34.29 2.065 75.21% 0.571 0.5392
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3140 40.51% 32.12 2.364 83.15% 0.547 0.4371
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2462 67.24% 27.38 -0.81 65.64% -0.081 0.4946
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 54 55.56% 30.76 -0.26 68.52% 0.377 0.4004
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 61 34.43% 29.03 1.429 65.57% 0.185 -0.2675
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 66 59.09% 32.52 0.473 81.82% 0.277 0.5131
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 296 48.81% 30.77 -7.187 77.7% -1.02 -1.1071
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 232 63.36% 28.78 0.898 70.26% 0.021 0.2163
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3048 37.0% 33.24 1.515 82.38% 0.415 0.394
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 127 26.19% 30.05 -0.818 67.72% -0.747 -1.079
Shifting Memory of Ages 658 53.95% 28.11 -1.379 67.78% -0.43 -0.1487
Shroud of Silent Mist 785 57.96% 27.86 -1.17 72.61% -0.131 0.1421
Starlight Seeks its Form 744 42.26% 30.75 -0.481 74.73% -0.169 -0.3889
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1483 44.99% 27.75 -1.788 76.47% -0.028 -0.4746
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1693 45.91% 30.01 -2.56 75.72% -0.594 -0.4727
Thunderspeaker 4019 42.52% 32.96 -1.045 79.3% -0.354 -0.3353
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 103 39.81% 25.85 -3.758 60.19% -0.877 -0.6728
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1202 72.27% 26.03 -2.273 69.97% -0.18 -0.0059
Vital Strength of the Earth 3499 44.14% 27.83 -1.564 69.53% -0.277 0.2951
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 152 39.07% 29.51 -1.176 72.37% -0.179 0.2029
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 288 42.71% 26.44 0.286 66.67% 0.377 1.1348
Volcano Looming High 1181 48.18% 29.72 0.705 76.63% 0.273 0.2469
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 180 32.22% 33.34 2.375 81.67% 0.511 -0.0231

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 20 30.0% 26.05 -3.519 65.0% -0.175 -0.3609
Blitz 0 938 49.25% 26.82 -2.464 63.86% -0.83 -0.6985
Dahan Insurrection 4 607 31.95% 50.37 7.066 74.14% -0.204 -0.4591
Despicable Theft 2 125 51.2% 29.57 -5.968 57.6% -1.36 -0.8189
Elemental Invocation 1 153 54.25% 23.94 -9.064 52.29% -1.835 -0.978
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1916 18.35% 33.63 2.086 69.83% -0.037 -0.8083
Powers Long Forgotten 1 377 61.8% 28.39 -2.4 54.64% -0.892 0.0431
Rituals of Terror 3 334 54.65% 35.26 -3.887 55.39% -1.19 -1.0945
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 212 66.98% 34.59 -5.308 55.66% -1.71 -0.5135
Second Wave 0 1956 53.79% 31.1 0.119 70.86% -0.282 -0.1961
The Great River 3 116 58.62% 27.75 -6.582 42.24% -1.291 0.0707
Varied Terrains 2 61 39.34% 19.46 -5.64 36.07% -0.935 -0.1464
Ward the Shores 2 449 54.34% 33.22 -1.984 61.92% -0.651 0.3812

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 26847 48.94% 29.38 -0.246 74.5% -0.141 0.0497
1 Thematic 3088 54.88% 32.48 -3.146 63.24% -1.104 -0.459
2 Archipelago 12 66.67% 41.5 5.627 75.0% -0.13 0.3016
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7050 44.56% 30.99 0.131 80.48% -0.071 -0.0747
2 Coastline 800 41.83% 32.21 -0.619 83.0% 0.025 0.0808
2 Fragment 186 52.15% 30.51 -0.589 79.03% -0.173 -0.4392
2 Heart 108 44.34% 32.31 -5.463 77.78% -1.04 -1.0788
2 Opposite Shores 1218 43.32% 31.83 3.265 83.91% 1.07 1.0839
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 1103 53.59% 32.32 -1.673 63.55% -0.795 -0.5979
2 Top to Top 231 47.19% 32.44 2.118 84.42% 0.093 -0.0047
3 Archipelago 12 75.0% 40.42 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 21 28.57% 33.1 0.0 80.95%
3 Other 127 34.4% 31.09 0.554 81.89% -0.068 -0.4603
3 Round (Default) 2993 36.23% 32.56 0.971 84.13% 0.2 -0.1351
3 Sunrise 20 35.0% 29.65 2.722 75.0% 0.872 1.1147
3 Thematic 241 47.92% 37.11 0.694 74.27% -0.359 -0.6434
4 Archipelago 13 46.15% 45.31 0.0 84.62%
4 Coastline 8 87.5% 36.38 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 9 33.33% 30.89 0.0 77.78%
4 Other 64 27.42% 34.44 0.0 89.06%
4 Thematic 394 44.19% 37.92 3.558 77.92% 0.68 0.6007
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1427 33.4% 32.62 0.126 86.76% 0.369 0.2119
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 35.5 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 63 46.03% 33.35 -1.09 79.37% -0.265 -1.34
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 29.0 -3.086 50.0% -0.215 -0.2216
6 Archipelago 4 25.0% 58.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 16 18.75% 37.06 0.0 62.5%
6 Star 12 58.33% 24.92 -15.963 66.67% -1.223 -1.1232
6 Thematic 44 28.57% 46.36 6.814 77.27% -0.249 0.3998
6 Two Centers (Default) 69 24.64% 33.13 -2.907 68.12% -0.491 -0.8251
7 Other 4 0.0% 35.5 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1557 25.5 -1.032 59.54% -0.629 -0.4994
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1285 27.44 2.653 62.96% 0.368 0.2493
All Things Weaken 773 25.28 0.011 59.25% -0.116 0.1916
Attenuated Essence 59 23.0 -0.49 57.63% -0.032 0.0004
Back Against the Wall 1310 27.63 -0.016 64.05% -0.2 -0.1699
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 80 21.81 -3.365 53.75% -0.958 -0.7718
Burn Brightest Before the End 46 32.02 -0.263 78.26% 0.166 0.2364
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1470 23.08 -2.98 58.1% -0.746 -0.3703
Downward Spiral 3779 24.0 -1.814 61.44% -0.464 -0.2986
Erosion of Will 1559 24.47 1.23 56.51% -0.06 0.1549
Intensifying Exploitation 71 25.52 -1.603 57.75% -0.664 -0.4229
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 313 31.88 0.745 89.46% 0.403 -0.1784
Memory Fades to Dust 3767 23.2 -2.175 55.99% -0.642 -0.3494
Power Corrodes the Spirit 787 25.04 -0.237 61.63% -0.101 0.0605
Promising Farmlands 1544 23.7 -2.733 58.68% -0.514 -0.2178
Shattered Fragments of Power 75 28.93 2.489 64.0% 0.286 0.3738
Slow Dissolution of Will 70 24.37 -2.88 52.86% -0.711 -0.3175
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 204 32.92 5.564 94.61% 1.308 0.5967
The Border of Life and Death 34 27.94 2.507 79.41% 0.737 0.2573
Thriving Communities 732 24.7 -0.174 61.2% -0.026 0.2741
Thriving Crops 34 28.15 1.08 73.53% 0.492 0.3901
Tipping Point 576 24.66 0.0 60.59%
Unnatural Proliferation 771 25.84 2.5 59.53% 0.378 0.5474
Untended Land Crumbles 719 23.62 -1.997 58.55% -0.479 -0.221

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10816 44.74% 30.59 0.015 78.62% -0.667 0.4758
B 11137 44.96% 30.55 0.087 78.44% -0.639 0.4162
C 11403 43.29% 30.79 0.288 79.06% -0.651 0.2368
D 10591 45.32% 30.44 0.061 78.64% -0.568 0.4859
E 3799 43.69% 30.94 -0.044 78.78% -0.776 0.1286
F 5423 40.65% 31.66 -0.558 80.71% -0.924 0.0799
G 4783 43.47% 31.14 0.916 80.03% -0.615 0.3535
H 4820 42.11% 31.41 0.695 79.75% -0.59 0.4032
East 3223 50.67% 34.47 0.612 67.48% -0.59 0.3984
Northeast 1838 50.19% 35.53 0.641 69.59% -0.533 0.416
Northwest 1470 54.15% 33.77 -0.529 65.17% -1.003 0.0385
Southeast 494 45.62% 31.94 0.01 65.79% -0.25 0.668
Southwest 462 44.23% 30.84 -1.001 66.88% -1.057 0.3998
West 2798 54.2% 33.08 1.433 64.94% -0.185 0.9215

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 254 0.0% 29.54 2.522 74.02% 0.832 1.4952
Not Using Events or Tokens 7308 52.27% 27.31 -1.668 68.9% -0.103 0.3916
Skip Initial Invader Actions 613 17.36% 43.66 6.045 87.6% 0.063 -0.5597
Start of Game Growth 976 16.86% 42.14 7.515 87.5% 1.003 0.5911
Unlimited Undo 3540 40.06% 31.85 1.083 80.17% 0.237 0.1421
Using Tokens but Not Events 3473 38.78% 31.89 -0.611 81.4% -0.147 -0.0717

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4872 16.77 9.4%
II 18475 30.59 73.37%
III 15029 34.74 88.52%
IV 7852 38.3 99.12%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.512 Win Model: 0.726
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 30156 49.57% 29.65 73.09%
2 10600 45.36% 31.51 80.0%
3 3374 36.53% 32.82 83.58%
4 1908 35.76% 33.99 85.22%
5 40 47.5% 31.2 70.0%
6 150 26.35% 36.93 68.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 457
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12943
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 12895
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7718
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2112
Lose: Invader deck ran out 506
Lose: Adversary condition 134
Win: Sacrifice victory 201
Lose: Scenario condition 693
Win: Scenario condition 885
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7336
Lose: Spirit destroyed 348

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4618 40.35% 39.01 -0.71 79.41% 0.043 0.0072
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2765 71.5% 34.87 -2.908 67.41% -0.458 -0.2996
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 113 36.28% 39.57 5.32 76.99% 1.043 0.0304
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2475 36.19% 41.2 0.964 84.77% 0.348 0.1354
Downpour Drenches the World 452 44.25% 26.52 -1.476 51.33% -0.181 0.0662
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 648 24.07% 37.06 4.035 73.61% 1.038 0.4754
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2702 40.85% 40.79 -3.022 82.94% -0.557 -1.0363
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2362 43.35% 39.95 0.088 80.52% -0.01 -0.4162
Finder of Paths Unseen 250 56.4% 28.25 -1.395 54.4% -0.456 0.3063
Fractured Days Split the Sky 965 39.85% 37.66 -2.459 66.32% -0.592 0.0698
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1097 47.95% 37.69 0.595 75.57% 0.528 0.5259
Heart of the Wildfire 3830 68.3% 34.75 -2.077 68.22% -0.351 0.019
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6359 51.36% 41.05 0.452 81.4% 0.092 -0.3342
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 240 16.67% 20.93 1.978 41.67% 1.009 0.5166
Lightning's Swift Strike 3898 54.54% 38.16 0.076 74.32% -0.098 0.1156
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 224 53.49% 37.1 1.089 72.77% 0.404 -0.2113
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 610 38.65% 44.76 3.355 89.51% 0.645 0.3592
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 384 41.93% 35.62 -1.728 68.23% -0.432 -0.534
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2009 48.85% 38.5 1.607 76.75% 0.499 0.2522
Many Minds Move as One 1010 45.09% 40.28 -2.296 84.06% -0.271 -0.4327
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4294 61.63% 34.85 -2.13 68.47% -0.373 -0.3386
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2245 42.3% 39.79 -0.902 82.94% -0.023 -0.1902
River Surges in Sunlight 4913 58.19% 39.64 1.924 73.62% 0.185 0.212
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 444 58.33% 34.29 -1.119 62.61% -0.127 0.212
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 268 50.94% 35.17 0.17 61.57% -0.053 -0.0846
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2961 55.33% 36.75 2.362 74.03% 0.408 0.2977
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2243 74.49% 33.98 -3.361 62.91% -0.568 0.0071
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 43 44.19% 23.09 -0.612 44.19% 0.174 0.197
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 113 54.87% 38.77 4.748 77.88% 1.084 0.6324
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 75 38.67% 28.97 -1.554 57.33% 0.06 0.2956
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 398 48.99% 38.79 -4.83 79.4% -0.912 -0.9988
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 194 70.1% 35.83 -0.781 70.62% -0.017 0.1783
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3660 39.34% 42.42 -0.989 83.44% -0.194 -0.2159
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 175 35.43% 35.83 5.997 71.43% 1.164 0.8314
Shifting Memory of Ages 629 65.98% 32.11 -0.535 64.55% 0.145 0.4266
Shroud of Silent Mist 818 68.18% 32.61 -1.973 66.01% -0.272 0.0005
Starlight Seeks its Form 986 49.8% 37.23 -0.652 74.34% 0.092 -0.1275
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2099 56.06% 33.23 -1.311 71.7% 0.04 -0.4069
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2009 49.33% 38.66 -2.085 77.25% -0.254 -0.1328
Thunderspeaker 3520 51.3% 40.2 -1.579 76.9% -0.284 -0.2651
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 105 26.67% 14.59 -2.767 27.62% -0.577 -0.3726
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1628 82.25% 33.73 -1.125 70.76% -0.045 0.1296
Vital Strength of the Earth 2868 57.57% 32.57 -5.571 62.9% -1.01 -0.4379
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 186 39.56% 24.47 -3.096 47.85% -0.526 -0.1446
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 357 50.7% 33.51 -8.608 67.51% -1.174 -0.417
Volcano Looming High 1414 57.28% 36.64 -1.273 74.12% -0.235 -0.2618
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 334 27.54% 36.42 3.982 76.95% 1.215 0.6816

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 13 38.46% 14.0 -13.496 30.77% -1.015 -1.2007
Blitz 0 655 57.38% 33.2 -0.228 61.98% -0.255 -0.1238
Dahan Insurrection 4 820 24.76% 44.28 -1.919 57.44% -0.382 -0.6369
Despicable Theft 2 71 59.15% 37.18 4.154 52.11% 0.063 0.6045
Elemental Invocation 1 172 67.44% 29.19 -10.823 43.02% -1.757 -0.9008
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1935 23.44% 42.15 2.899 74.47% 0.021 -0.7502
Powers Long Forgotten 1 269 72.49% 35.74 -9.077 56.13% -0.915 0.0201
Rituals of Terror 3 235 53.62% 39.91 -6.318 54.89% -1.074 -0.9785
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 85 68.24% 38.06 -10.626 51.76% -1.759 -0.5621
Second Wave 0 1364 63.56% 34.97 1.586 62.02% 0.043 0.1289
The Great River 3 88 69.32% 36.65 -0.736 47.73% -0.358 1.0032
Varied Terrains 2 28 64.29% 25.79 -4.027 35.71% -1.117 -0.3281
Ward the Shores 2 256 65.63% 39.57 -1.818 57.81% -0.577 0.455

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 32959 57.11% 36.92 -0.016 73.07% -0.237 -0.0457
1 Thematic 2124 60.34% 40.63 0.55 64.55% -0.141 0.5038
2 Archipelago 21 57.14% 41.0 2.467 66.67% -0.022 0.4098
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7451 53.42% 38.08 -0.779 77.73% -0.37 -0.374
2 Coastline 898 53.98% 39.45 -0.092 78.84% -0.284 -0.2283
2 Fragment 180 60.0% 37.83 2.271 75.0% -0.291 -0.5577
2 Heart 108 62.04% 38.47 1.889 79.63% -0.094 -0.1333
2 Opposite Shores 1419 57.75% 38.75 0.021 79.0% -0.459 -0.4448
2 Thematic 848 56.08% 39.96 0.032 65.33% 0.009 0.2056
2 Top to Top 253 58.89% 36.86 2.571 72.33% 0.601 0.503
3 Archipelago 9 66.67% 51.22 0.0 88.89%
3 Coastline 45 35.56% 46.64 -2.693 93.33% -0.161 -1.1852
3 Other 136 42.65% 40.24 -0.535 84.56% 0.183 -0.2096
3 Round (Default) 2788 47.86% 39.49 0.092 80.99% -0.354 -0.6893
3 Sunrise 4 25.0% 48.25 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 134 58.65% 42.03 4.629 69.4% 0.456 0.1722
4 Archipelago 6 66.67% 42.33 -15.812 83.33% -0.249 -0.4055
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 41.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 8 100.0% 42.38 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 54 40.74% 41.19 4.85 87.04% 0.464 -0.8652
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 66.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 100.0% 30.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 254 42.52% 50.69 19.791 77.17% 1.302 1.2222
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1463 41.97% 40.77 6.128 84.28% 0.991 0.8341
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 5 0.0% 45.0 5.404 100.0% 0.263 -0.6491
5 Other 40 65.0% 41.48 8.55 87.5% 0.563 -0.5118
5 Thematic 6 50.0% 28.5 0.293 33.33% -0.008 -0.0143
6 Archipelago 5 0.0% 80.2 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 2 50.0% 34.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 21 14.29% 38.14 -0.813 66.67% -0.706 -0.9096
6 Star 4 0.0% 38.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 265 5.66% 4.77 -3.62 6.79% -1.778 -1.1291
6 Two Centers (Default) 35 28.57% 35.54 -2.499 74.29% -0.324 -0.6585
7 Other 3 33.33% 17.0 0.0 33.33%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2165 32.96 -0.043 61.15% -0.346 -0.216
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1799 35.59 1.789 66.26% 0.018 -0.1001
All Things Weaken 1044 31.73 -3.039 58.24% -0.878 -0.5705
Attenuated Essence 106 29.88 -0.725 60.38% -0.404 -0.3724
Back Against the Wall 1691 34.01 -1.49 62.21% -0.613 -0.5832
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 100 28.77 -3.574 50.0% -1.049 -0.8625
Burn Brightest Before the End 86 32.24 1.918 59.3% 0.1 0.1699
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2097 29.91 -3.702 58.13% -0.853 -0.4772
Downward Spiral 4425 31.93 0.007 63.93% 0.061 0.2269
Erosion of Will 2173 31.54 0.587 57.85% 0.006 0.2206
Intensifying Exploitation 110 28.49 -3.5 54.55% -0.589 -0.3478
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 433 41.94 -0.628 92.84% -0.001 -0.582
Memory Fades to Dust 4306 31.03 -0.728 59.17% -0.121 0.1715
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1131 33.1 0.507 66.58% -0.06 0.1011
Promising Farmlands 2138 30.57 -1.803 59.03% -0.529 -0.2331
Shattered Fragments of Power 80 35.48 2.025 67.5% 0.119 0.2066
Slow Dissolution of Will 91 29.31 0.002 51.65% -0.226 0.1672
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 294 42.73 7.561 94.56% 1.454 0.7427
The Border of Life and Death 20 29.55 3.332 65.0% 0.547 0.0675
Thriving Communities 1115 30.83 -2.242 59.91% -0.699 -0.3988
Thriving Crops 47 28.85 1.17 65.96% 0.312 0.2103
Tipping Point 816 30.56 0.0 56.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 1131 34.09 0.493 64.81% -0.236 -0.0672
Untended Land Crumbles 1029 31.3 -1.926 60.35% -0.764 -0.506

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11448 54.44% 37.6 -0.46 75.31% -0.129 1.0131
B 11884 53.32% 37.98 0.906 76.26% 0.079 1.1342
C 12681 54.32% 38.2 0.314 76.74% -0.075 0.8131
D 11376 54.61% 37.56 -0.062 75.61% -0.135 0.9194
E 4678 53.27% 38.63 2.762 78.52% 0.415 1.3197
F 6252 50.28% 38.93 0.699 78.77% -0.006 0.9985
G 5426 54.52% 37.59 0.633 75.86% -0.077 0.891
H 5803 51.55% 38.59 0.541 78.08% -0.129 0.8641
East 2454 51.73% 39.02 -2.647 61.41% -0.628 0.3598
Northeast 1486 48.82% 36.23 -1.481 56.53% -0.184 0.7656
Northwest 1141 46.4% 33.59 -2.208 52.85% -0.359 0.6826
Southeast 604 28.48% 27.31 -3.92 45.7% -1.334 -0.4163
Southwest 671 28.32% 23.81 -3.527 41.58% -0.91 0.5468
West 2146 50.05% 36.45 -2.408 58.06% -0.838 0.2686

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 185 0.0% 33.53 2.635 61.62% 0.551 1.215
Not Using Events or Tokens 5621 63.46% 33.22 -1.361 65.33% -0.072 0.4219
Skip Initial Invader Actions 607 12.82% 54.69 10.235 90.44% 0.803 0.1806
Start of Game Growth 867 17.93% 51.02 3.421 88.93% -0.129 -0.5411
Unlimited Undo 3829 47.45% 39.7 -0.536 78.85% -0.13 -0.2247
Using Tokens but Not Events 3606 42.16% 38.09 -2.04 75.6% -0.222 -0.1465

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6367 16.77 10.24%
II 22751 30.59 73.22%
III 15411 34.74 89.85%
IV 7053 38.3 99.66%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.163 Win Model: 0.165
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 35254 57.28% 37.12 72.49%
2 11090 54.63% 38.49 77.17%
3 3095 47.49% 39.74 80.71%
4 1779 42.84% 42.25 83.53%
5 29 48.28% 37.28 79.31%
6 335 8.96% 11.89 20.3%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 650
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13545
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 15980
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6972
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2531
Lose: Invader deck ran out 339
Lose: Adversary condition 128
Win: Sacrifice victory 244
Lose: Scenario condition 511
Win: Scenario condition 796
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9409
Lose: Spirit destroyed 477

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2897 50.89% 39.09 0.009 71.35% 0.128 0.0925
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1656 79.07% 34.31 -2.371 56.88% -0.495 -0.3369
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 81 56.79% 41.01 5.496 77.78% 0.938 -0.0748
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1684 54.42% 40.13 0.465 75.24% 0.136 -0.0766
Downpour Drenches the World 255 51.18% 27.68 -3.101 46.27% -0.672 -0.425
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 388 35.57% 40.5 6.195 77.32% 1.078 0.5149
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1696 51.74% 41.52 0.379 76.53% 0.182 -0.297
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1617 59.11% 40.23 1.436 74.71% 0.437 0.0309
Finder of Paths Unseen 158 60.76% 26.41 -2.253 47.47% -0.135 0.6273
Fractured Days Split the Sky 466 59.87% 36.93 -1.411 60.3% -0.314 0.3479
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 714 59.94% 38.35 -0.983 70.31% -0.286 -0.2885
Heart of the Wildfire 2366 79.36% 33.01 -4.147 55.07% -0.681 -0.3104
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4944 62.22% 40.59 2.527 74.29% 0.142 -0.2845
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 89 42.7% 35.73 3.374 64.04% 0.424 -0.0689
Lightning's Swift Strike 2339 65.24% 36.24 -2.568 62.16% -0.16 0.0527
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 168 55.69% 41.02 -2.071 70.83% -0.842 -1.4579
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 433 52.78% 42.94 0.877 81.29% -0.081 -0.3672
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 283 53.71% 39.94 -1.174 68.9% -0.445 -0.5474
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1572 64.2% 39.11 0.309 70.87% -0.148 -0.3941
Many Minds Move as One 608 51.64% 42.5 -0.721 82.4% -0.117 -0.2779
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2919 69.97% 35.46 -1.189 61.19% -0.247 -0.2125
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1516 54.46% 40.35 0.869 76.32% 0.319 0.1515
River Surges in Sunlight 3250 67.48% 39.64 0.052 64.65% 0.041 0.0685
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 248 72.98% 35.77 5.665 56.45% 0.506 0.8453
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 184 61.96% 38.49 5.909 61.96% 0.745 0.7138
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1845 69.68% 35.46 0.177 62.11% 0.03 -0.0806
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1267 77.97% 32.38 -7.491 49.72% -1.452 -0.8762
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 25 76.0% 40.36 3.383 76.0% 0.015 0.0385
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 91 61.54% 40.89 5.828 74.73% 0.85 0.3984
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 42 66.67% 32.79 -3.318 59.52% -0.287 -0.0514
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 259 69.88% 39.0 7.246 72.59% 1.014 0.9267
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 158 77.85% 35.75 0.0 58.86%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2512 51.08% 41.21 4.501 72.97% 0.818 0.7962
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 83 54.22% 31.46 7.697 60.24% 1.104 0.7716
Shifting Memory of Ages 376 73.6% 30.65 -4.135 50.27% -0.85 -0.5691
Shroud of Silent Mist 498 80.89% 31.63 0.609 54.22% -0.083 0.1902
Starlight Seeks its Form 774 59.69% 33.96 -3.898 58.53% -0.543 -0.763
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1263 70.13% 31.34 -3.844 59.62% -0.597 -1.0441
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1178 59.42% 39.32 2.864 71.39% 0.42 0.5413
Thunderspeaker 2290 63.53% 40.14 -1.735 68.47% -0.051 -0.0322
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 71 38.03% 22.72 0.127 32.39% -0.309 -0.1046
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1084 90.04% 30.92 -2.6 53.69% -0.202 -0.0273
Vital Strength of the Earth 1572 72.92% 30.81 -4.252 47.39% -0.992 -0.4198
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 105 52.38% 32.0 -0.651 52.38% 0.019 0.4003
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 216 70.83% 30.9 -1.251 47.69% -0.214 0.5435
Volcano Looming High 881 65.61% 36.7 -0.528 65.61% -0.088 -0.1142
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 189 44.97% 40.92 6.002 80.95% 1.223 0.6893

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 0.0% 0.0 -15.67 0.0% -0.633 -0.8193
Blitz 0 394 63.75% 34.11 1.902 51.52% -0.733 -0.6021
Dahan Insurrection 4 393 46.06% 60.01 7.258 73.03% 0.221 -0.0342
Despicable Theft 2 26 57.69% 37.85 -10.345 50.0% -0.098 0.4435
Elemental Invocation 1 79 78.48% 25.97 -4.353 34.18% -0.143 0.7133
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1148 24.76% 43.09 2.549 68.9% -0.25 -1.0212
Powers Long Forgotten 1 170 72.35% 34.4 -10.446 46.47% -0.891 0.0442
Rituals of Terror 3 136 78.68% 35.17 -1.673 35.29% -0.146 -0.0506
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 104 84.62% 36.65 -11.582 35.58% -1.18 0.0163
Second Wave 0 812 71.52% 34.79 0.29 54.19% -0.228 -0.1421
The Great River 3 33 48.48% 34.21 -14.411 39.39% -0.76 0.6018
Varied Terrains 2 12 75.0% 24.33 -2.679 33.33% -0.598 0.1904
Ward the Shores 2 105 76.19% 37.31 -7.175 42.86% -0.616 0.4158

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 22220 65.99% 36.05 -0.355 63.92% -0.158 0.0331
1 Thematic 1736 66.53% 38.88 -3.124 52.07% -0.95 -0.3048
2 Archipelago 6 50.0% 50.0 0.0 66.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4890 65.45% 37.97 -0.272 69.51% -0.038 -0.042
2 Coastline 622 57.19% 40.69 0.676 76.21% 0.226 0.2815
2 Fragment 106 67.92% 34.82 -0.696 59.43% 0.158 -0.1084
2 Heart 105 70.19% 33.68 0.045 55.24% -0.018 -0.0568
2 Opposite Shores 958 67.61% 37.15 -1.405 67.54% -0.325 -0.3109
2 Thematic 508 72.64% 37.63 2.891 49.02% 0.154 0.3505
2 Top to Top 146 69.66% 36.56 3.084 67.81% 0.708 0.6099
3 Archipelago 4 100.0% 55.75 9.567 100.0% 0.387 -0.0602
3 Coastline 17 47.06% 47.47 0.0 88.24%
3 Other 106 51.89% 38.15 -3.861 67.92% -0.507 -0.8995
3 Round (Default) 1891 57.09% 39.69 2.891 72.34% 0.685 0.3494
3 Sunrise 4 75.0% 45.5 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 106 72.64% 38.4 3.419 50.0% 0.298 0.014
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 49.0 8.179 100.0% 0.213 0.056
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 37.33 -4.521 66.67% -0.264 -1.2029
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 37.6 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 62 45.16% 44.35 2.354 83.87% 0.273 -1.0562
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 50.0% 47.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 125 62.4% 41.56 5.66 55.2% 0.15 0.0701
4 Trapezoid (Default) 802 57.56% 39.13 3.233 68.83% 0.844 0.6869
5 Other 21 63.16% 39.86 0.61 47.62% 0.048 -1.0271
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 20.67 0.0 33.33%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 0.0 -12.168 0.0% -0.369 -1.6682
6 Other 9 44.44% 46.33 0.0 55.56%
6 Star 12 33.33% 27.08 -9.792 33.33% -0.925 -0.8259
6 Thematic 7 42.86% 33.86 -17.818 42.86% -0.412 0.2369
6 Two Centers (Default) 32 46.88% 32.5 -5.043 68.75% -0.185 -0.5198

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1749 32.69 -1.798 51.69% -0.726 -0.5962
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1377 34.9 2.026 56.28% 0.07 -0.048
All Things Weaken 919 30.92 -0.418 48.42% -0.398 -0.0904
Attenuated Essence 67 36.28 1.646 67.16% -0.178 -0.1457
Back Against the Wall 1362 34.5 4.077 55.14% 0.276 0.3063
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 67 31.06 3.431 53.73% 0.403 0.5891
Burn Brightest Before the End 55 32.38 1.749 49.09% -0.061 0.0097
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1740 30.97 -2.493 53.39% -0.497 -0.121
Downward Spiral 3188 31.77 -0.881 54.74% -0.035 0.1304
Erosion of Will 1853 31.42 -0.526 48.46% -0.395 -0.181
Intensifying Exploitation 99 31.29 -0.755 56.57% -0.15 0.0913
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 292 45.53 3.114 94.86% 0.65 0.0685
Memory Fades to Dust 3245 30.66 -0.137 49.61% -0.051 0.2416
Power Corrodes the Spirit 874 31.21 -1.993 52.63% -0.645 -0.4839
Promising Farmlands 1799 30.73 0.775 50.03% -0.08 0.2163
Shattered Fragments of Power 66 33.15 1.816 57.58% 0.119 0.207
Slow Dissolution of Will 74 27.18 0.869 37.84% -0.367 0.0259
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 164 44.92 7.806 93.9% 0.87 0.1578
The Border of Life and Death 17 36.59 5.6 76.47% 0.548 0.0683
Thriving Communities 848 29.02 -1.87 46.11% -0.453 -0.1537
Thriving Crops 35 35.74 -0.029 74.29% 0.269 0.1676
Tipping Point 662 31.51 0.0 50.0%
Unnatural Proliferation 965 32.58 0.514 51.61% -0.241 -0.0717
Untended Land Crumbles 909 30.53 -0.332 48.84% -0.38 -0.122

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7600 64.99% 36.84 0.174 65.21% -0.207 0.9351
B 7973 63.98% 37.32 -0.463 66.75% -0.425 0.6297
C 8207 64.32% 37.29 -0.269 66.65% -0.322 0.5662
D 7291 63.33% 37.18 0.302 66.86% -0.142 0.9125
E 3260 64.21% 37.33 1.076 67.09% -0.19 0.7141
F 4054 62.01% 37.8 -0.213 68.89% -0.208 0.7958
G 3632 63.58% 37.12 -0.311 66.96% -0.412 0.5563
H 3964 61.26% 38.57 1.855 70.48% -0.123 0.8702
East 1548 67.57% 39.61 1.018 52.26% -0.145 0.8436
Northeast 826 69.13% 39.68 -0.847 52.3% -0.295 0.6543
Northwest 683 72.91% 36.56 -2.423 45.39% -0.566 0.4748
Southeast 222 62.61% 37.24 -2.718 54.95% -0.875 0.0432
Southwest 232 50.0% 37.4 1.088 60.78% 0.191 1.6476
West 1406 68.21% 37.88 1.91 50.07% 0.068 1.1753

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 111 0.0% 35.2 -15.307 57.66% -0.895 -0.2311
Not Using Events or Tokens 3394 70.42% 32.34 -5.341 55.1% -1.038 -0.5434
Skip Initial Invader Actions 498 16.77% 55.91 7.454 90.16% 0.249 -0.3731
Start of Game Growth 723 23.83% 52.17 9.296 86.45% 1.251 0.8389
Unlimited Undo 2644 57.77% 39.74 2.892 71.82% 0.252 0.1572
Using Tokens but Not Events 1876 57.19% 38.31 0.592 70.68% 0.178 0.2537

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4996 16.77 4.02%
II 13559 30.59 59.13%
III 12130 34.74 84.99%
IV 3846 38.3 99.61%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.615 Win Model: 0.278
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 24078 66.02% 36.24 62.97%
2 7325 65.99% 37.92 67.88%
3 2066 56.31% 40.19 73.38%
4 987 57.51% 39.78 67.98%
5 14 66.67% 26.71 21.43%
6 61 42.62% 31.9 54.1%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 201
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10118
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7689
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3787
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1495
Lose: Invader deck ran out 314
Lose: Adversary condition 88
Win: Sacrifice victory 166
Lose: Scenario condition 378
Win: Scenario condition 397
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9529
Lose: Spirit destroyed 369

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1356 51.34% 42.46 1.253 68.66% 0.24 0.204
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 762 77.4% 34.35 -1.062 48.43% 0.022 0.1801
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 42 40.48% 35.21 2.309 61.9% 0.422 -0.5907
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 724 54.85% 43.09 2.256 73.07% 0.532 0.3197
Downpour Drenches the World 130 56.92% 27.85 -5.658 38.46% -0.819 -0.572
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 163 39.26% 41.21 4.713 71.78% 0.801 0.238
Eyes Watch From the Trees 775 58.96% 40.52 -0.036 65.16% 0.279 -0.2007
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 755 62.4% 40.47 3.285 61.99% 0.318 -0.0878
Finder of Paths Unseen 152 50.66% 35.17 -10.239 60.53% -1.47 -0.7082
Fractured Days Split the Sky 182 54.4% 39.61 -1.581 57.69% -0.315 0.347
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 309 52.75% 41.45 3.644 69.58% 0.455 0.4523
Heart of the Wildfire 1175 77.74% 34.77 2.375 51.06% 0.504 0.8737
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2202 64.23% 40.75 -2.323 64.08% -0.456 -0.8821
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 27 40.74% 45.44 12.114 74.07% 1.509 1.0164
Lightning's Swift Strike 1146 68.26% 37.76 2.318 54.28% 0.218 0.4312
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 128 84.38% 33.13 -1.55 25.0% -0.293 -0.9087
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 235 45.96% 45.1 4.02 77.02% 0.452 0.166
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 154 57.79% 42.49 3.089 65.58% 0.248 0.1462
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 679 71.43% 36.86 -1.256 54.2% -0.374 -0.6202
Many Minds Move as One 276 56.88% 41.24 -1.381 68.84% -0.377 -0.5383
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1302 73.07% 37.53 1.261 55.84% 0.419 0.4535
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 721 56.25% 41.68 2.373 70.04% 0.69 0.5228
River Surges in Sunlight 1435 70.0% 39.29 -3.801 54.91% -0.446 -0.4185
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 91 71.43% 34.92 -2.356 51.65% -0.022 0.317
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 128 71.88% 32.86 0.069 29.69% -0.757 -0.7883
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 870 68.14% 36.53 -2.634 54.6% -0.425 -0.5357
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 574 77.53% 34.5 -9.923 44.25% -1.474 -0.8985
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 13 61.54% 16.46 -10.104 15.38% -0.22 -0.1967
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 45 84.44% 34.31 2.258 53.33% 0.263 -0.1892
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 22 63.64% 34.86 13.607 54.55% 0.58 0.8155
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 87 66.67% 41.15 4.392 67.82% 0.422 0.3351
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 60 83.33% 27.4 -5.716 31.67% -0.537 -0.3412
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1293 51.51% 43.46 6.334 69.37% 1.069 1.0475
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 44 54.55% 29.91 -4.15 43.18% -0.116 -0.4485
Shifting Memory of Ages 169 75.74% 30.33 2.181 42.01% 0.518 0.7992
Shroud of Silent Mist 251 80.48% 26.82 -4.422 32.27% -0.588 -0.3154
Starlight Seeks its Form 258 55.04% 35.6 -0.926 58.14% -0.178 -0.3983
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 460 75.43% 29.1 -8.367 46.96% -1.174 -1.6207
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 613 65.74% 39.04 3.591 58.4% 0.568 0.6902
Thunderspeaker 1135 66.37% 39.11 -0.869 57.8% 0.143 0.1619
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 27 55.56% 17.78 -3.783 22.22% 0.013 0.2173
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 595 90.24% 32.77 -0.902 50.25% 0.032 0.2064
Vital Strength of the Earth 767 70.5% 32.52 -6.178 42.5% -0.538 0.0345
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 53 54.72% 27.92 0.889 39.62% 0.507 0.8886
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 121 67.77% 35.78 -12.025 53.72% -0.435 0.3225
Volcano Looming High 417 66.19% 36.94 -0.741 58.27% -0.37 -0.3965
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 96 53.13% 37.24 4.633 65.63% 0.981 0.4474

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 50.0% 27.0 0.0 50.0%
Blitz 0 241 64.96% 29.36 -6.182 39.42% -0.856 -0.7246
Dahan Insurrection 4 202 54.46% 53.54 21.482 56.44% 0.664 0.4091
Despicable Theft 2 22 54.55% 30.5 -6.376 36.36% -0.281 0.2601
Elemental Invocation 1 36 61.11% 27.36 1.891 30.56% 0.194 1.0504
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 786 28.59% 47.87 9.544 70.23% 0.985 0.2134
Powers Long Forgotten 1 69 81.16% 33.62 -6.672 39.13% -0.198 0.7364
Rituals of Terror 3 118 67.8% 38.04 -1.241 34.75% -0.625 -0.5293
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 62 69.35% 39.58 -1.043 38.71% -0.5 0.6963
Second Wave 0 302 67.22% 37.83 -3.667 53.31% -0.504 -0.4184
The Great River 3 38 52.63% 26.11 -9.356 21.05% -1.266 0.0956
Varied Terrains 2 13 76.92% 11.77 -0.83 7.69% -0.249 0.5391
Ward the Shores 2 77 66.23% 33.27 -9.161 33.77% -0.975 0.0574

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10427 67.7% 35.98 -0.436 54.56% 0.796 0.9875
1 Thematic 1097 61.17% 40.69 -0.987 49.23% 0.104 0.7489
2 Archipelago 3 33.33% 27.0 0.0 33.33%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2446 67.87% 38.85 1.306 61.24% 0.122 0.1183
2 Coastline 271 64.21% 40.77 -5.019 65.68% -0.877 -0.8208
2 Fragment 52 80.39% 37.37 3.053 53.85% 0.042 -0.2242
2 Heart 37 72.97% 40.49 0.0 62.16%
2 Opposite Shores 368 67.57% 39.91 3.516 62.5% 0.545 0.5597
2 Thematic 216 74.07% 38.36 -3.296 42.59% -0.485 -0.2882
2 Top to Top 80 65.0% 36.69 0.232 50.0% 0.0 -0.0979
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 23 69.57% 50.65 0.0 78.26%
3 Other 35 71.43% 40.03 0.0 60.0%
3 Round (Default) 814 59.98% 40.96 -2.343 66.46% -1.066 -1.4015
3 Sunrise 7 71.43% 40.14 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 61 80.33% 29.85 -6.07 24.59% -0.581 -0.8646
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 28.5 -10.684 50.0% -0.452 -1.3908
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 33.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 24 25.0% 54.79 5.56 95.83% 0.128 -1.2018
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 67 62.69% 46.46 16.657 55.22% 0.383 0.3035
4 Trapezoid (Default) 317 54.46% 42.74 8.489 68.14% 0.732 0.5752
5 Other 6 33.33% 31.83 11.604 66.67% 0.262 -0.8125
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Star 3 0.0% 34.33 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 1 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 10 30.0% 27.3 0.0 40.0%
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 872 33.8 1.221 45.41% -0.295 -0.1653
Aid From Lesser Spirits 666 35.18 0.139 46.4% -0.395 -0.5135
All Things Weaken 447 31.67 2.79 40.04% 0.195 0.5028
Attenuated Essence 44 31.73 5.104 47.73% 0.591 0.6234
Back Against the Wall 609 35.54 2.437 48.6% 0.088 0.1182
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 46 32.59 4.312 45.65% 0.89 1.0764
Burn Brightest Before the End 40 26.88 0.226 27.5% -0.483 -0.4126
Disintegrating Ecosystem 834 30.06 -1.681 40.89% -0.566 -0.1899
Downward Spiral 1677 31.82 -1.147 44.31% -0.432 -0.2662
Erosion of Will 825 30.3 -3.679 36.36% -1.309 -1.0944
Intensifying Exploitation 33 24.85 -3.837 33.33% -0.844 -0.6026
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 90 46.86 -8.15 85.56% -0.831 -1.4119
Memory Fades to Dust 1681 30.26 -0.69 39.44% -0.133 0.1594
Power Corrodes the Spirit 400 30.38 0.039 41.0% -0.361 -0.1999
Promising Farmlands 833 30.21 1.518 38.78% -0.109 0.1869
Shattered Fragments of Power 32 40.72 6.17 62.5% 0.494 0.5819
Slow Dissolution of Will 30 23.3 -4.833 26.67% -0.941 -0.5477
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 70 47.26 6.247 91.43% 0.601 -0.1111
The Border of Life and Death 5 43.6 10.194 80.0% 0.387 -0.0926
Thriving Communities 421 28.2 -2.78 35.63% -0.749 -0.4494
Thriving Crops 14 36.71 10.994 71.43% 1.234 1.1319
Tipping Point 324 29.92 0.0 36.11%
Unnatural Proliferation 454 33.29 -0.143 44.71% -0.658 -0.489
Untended Land Crumbles 428 32.01 2.92 43.22% 0.204 0.4616

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3448 66.89% 37.88 0.742 58.35% 0.275 1.4172
B 3694 65.31% 37.74 0.03 57.85% 0.039 1.0946
C 3797 67.81% 37.7 1.182 58.26% 0.286 1.1741
D 3400 64.97% 38.39 0.348 59.56% -0.017 1.0366
E 1491 64.9% 38.37 1.417 61.57% 0.273 1.1776
F 1857 62.9% 38.4 0.177 60.47% -0.144 0.8606
G 1671 63.61% 38.36 -1.581 60.74% -0.409 0.5594
H 1811 64.21% 38.29 -0.547 60.19% -0.099 0.894
East 900 65.11% 39.91 -0.346 44.67% -0.451 0.5377
Northeast 475 65.68% 40.01 -1.137 44.21% -0.04 0.909
Northwest 338 70.12% 38.59 -1.153 42.9% -0.48 0.5613
Southeast 143 52.45% 41.2 -2.225 56.64% -0.079 0.839
Southwest 121 55.37% 33.23 -1.492 44.63% -0.118 1.3386
West 722 66.07% 39.43 0.108 45.84% 0.092 1.199

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 56 0.0% 38.96 10.709 60.71% 0.887 1.5503
Not Using Events or Tokens 1806 70.18% 35.39 -4.259 52.77% -0.902 -0.4076
Skip Initial Invader Actions 248 14.88% 59.65 8.726 93.95% 0.279 -0.3438
Start of Game Growth 411 24.81% 52.97 9.11 85.16% 0.845 0.433
Unlimited Undo 1477 61.37% 40.38 0.974 65.67% 0.277 0.1815
Using Tokens but Not Events 933 59.96% 34.86 -0.939 54.02% -0.02 0.0555

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3844 16.77 6.87%
II 6006 30.59 55.33%
III 4796 34.74 81.3%
IV 1736 38.3 99.54%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.743 Win Model: 0.821
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11568 67.09% 36.42 54.02%
2 3458 68.09% 39.08 60.38%
3 926 61.7% 40.52 64.15%
4 409 53.69% 43.8 67.24%
5 5 40.0% 17.4 40.0%
6 16 18.75% 28.06 37.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 263
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3801
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3196
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1710
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 925
Lose: Invader deck ran out 135
Lose: Adversary condition 43
Win: Sacrifice victory 60
Lose: Scenario condition 267
Win: Scenario condition 184
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5576
Lose: Spirit destroyed 222

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8670 47.95% 46.19 1.072 67.74% 0.44 0.4041
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4091 80.41% 36.69 -4.002 48.55% -0.416 -0.2574
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 460 61.96% 45.37 8.097 69.13% 1.287 0.2743
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4071 54.44% 45.76 3.577 71.31% 0.657 0.4446
Downpour Drenches the World 924 51.03% 36.53 -1.389 50.22% -0.175 0.072
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2079 39.7% 47.66 7.159 74.89% 1.277 0.7142
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4186 56.26% 44.82 -1.836 67.65% 0.006 -0.4737
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3607 63.59% 43.13 0.857 63.13% 0.412 0.0056
Finder of Paths Unseen 897 58.59% 41.05 -1.085 62.21% 0.003 0.7655
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2359 52.78% 47.29 -3.25 64.39% -0.554 0.1086
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2911 59.3% 45.94 2.556 67.37% 0.403 0.4
Heart of the Wildfire 6870 70.62% 40.04 -1.355 54.66% -0.192 0.1784
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 12754 60.23% 45.9 -0.209 68.16% 0.05 -0.3769
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 415 58.31% 36.0 2.079 54.94% 0.354 -0.1388
Lightning's Swift Strike 5651 67.49% 39.99 -1.718 54.59% -0.006 0.2076
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1258 69.24% 41.5 1.889 53.5% 0.384 -0.2315
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 2329 56.8% 49.09 2.566 77.29% 0.499 0.2135
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1363 51.14% 49.88 4.444 70.07% 0.83 0.7278
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4464 63.06% 43.21 0.553 63.46% 0.215 -0.0318
Many Minds Move as One 1810 48.47% 46.7 1.46 75.69% 0.46 0.2987
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7729 68.85% 39.45 -2.744 51.3% -0.402 -0.3674
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4251 53.48% 46.92 4.117 74.45% 0.728 0.5608
River Surges in Sunlight 7589 63.56% 45.66 -3.182 60.28% -0.212 -0.1847
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 544 68.01% 38.24 -4.435 46.88% -0.282 0.057
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 821 63.37% 39.77 0.308 48.48% -0.133 -0.1644
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6083 60.92% 42.98 -1.011 62.04% -0.105 -0.2155
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2159 75.52% 35.09 -2.79 41.45% -0.506 0.0696
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 160 73.75% 30.24 -2.09 38.13% -0.112 -0.0885
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 400 73.5% 35.3 1.833 51.5% 0.208 -0.2438
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 148 73.65% 36.61 -1.557 48.65% -0.283 -0.0468
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 900 68.11% 42.2 2.122 58.89% -0.084 -0.1715
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 431 72.62% 39.48 -1.278 50.35% -0.875 -0.6799
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5415 49.78% 47.09 -2.324 70.05% -0.171 -0.1929
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 527 51.23% 30.19 1.399 45.73% 0.119 -0.2137
Shifting Memory of Ages 1301 72.29% 36.52 -2.125 45.5% -0.513 -0.2323
Shroud of Silent Mist 1222 78.01% 32.89 -7.676 44.35% -1.307 -1.034
Starlight Seeks its Form 2911 55.9% 42.21 -0.577 61.59% 0.019 -0.2004
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4894 71.0% 34.46 -4.307 48.28% -0.62 -1.0671
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3481 58.32% 45.48 0.158 66.73% 0.17 0.2919
Thunderspeaker 4378 67.1% 42.9 1.346 58.52% 0.483 0.5012
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 233 51.07% 23.24 -2.615 33.91% -0.448 -0.2438
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4554 83.42% 38.74 -0.649 57.25% 0.072 0.2462
Vital Strength of the Earth 2839 65.79% 33.5 -6.616 41.35% -1.101 -0.5285
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 452 60.49% 35.07 -4.55 50.22% -0.675 -0.2932
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 821 68.81% 35.26 -4.913 44.82% -0.766 -0.0087
Volcano Looming High 3857 61.94% 44.48 1.459 67.9% 0.377 0.351
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 837 53.29% 39.37 4.315 62.84% 0.792 0.2583

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 28 92.86% 29.75 20.071 21.43% 0.611 0.4244
Blitz 0 750 58.5% 40.17 0.966 51.47% -0.117 0.0142
Dahan Insurrection 4 984 44.81% 63.14 3.929 65.45% 0.089 -0.1663
Despicable Theft 2 62 58.06% 28.85 -11.481 27.42% -1.051 -0.5098
Elemental Invocation 1 137 74.45% 32.8 -15.693 35.77% -0.394 0.4628
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7607 23.86% 53.83 9.829 73.56% 1.433 0.6618
Powers Long Forgotten 1 171 72.19% 34.22 -12.837 30.99% -1.274 -0.3397
Rituals of Terror 3 351 49.57% 27.95 -8.778 19.09% -2.129 -2.0332
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 90 86.67% 36.19 -2.569 28.89% 0.224 1.4202
Second Wave 0 783 80.97% 37.53 0.672 47.13% -0.058 0.0282
The Great River 3 79 56.96% 28.28 -11.101 16.46% -1.458 -0.0962
Varied Terrains 2 56 69.64% 29.32 -13.853 26.79% -1.284 -0.495
Ward the Shores 2 207 76.21% 34.94 -10.836 31.4% -1.499 -0.4673

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 73216 65.85% 40.03 -0.727 57.67% -0.226 -0.0346
1 Thematic 2543 57.61% 41.64 0.535 47.31% -0.971 -0.3261
2 Archipelago 25 70.83% 54.0 -11.787 56.0% -0.068 0.3643
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10146 66.85% 42.69 0.686 62.82% -0.098 -0.102
2 Coastline 1539 62.89% 43.56 -0.653 64.07% -0.094 -0.0386
2 Fragment 309 70.23% 46.01 11.835 69.9% 1.781 1.5149
2 Heart 163 77.91% 41.7 0.473 52.76% -0.599 -0.6378
2 Opposite Shores 2183 62.33% 41.88 -0.177 58.59% -0.273 -0.2585
2 Thematic 554 67.88% 42.18 -2.991 41.34% -0.686 -0.4895
2 Top to Top 412 65.77% 41.76 -0.669 60.68% -0.264 -0.3621
3 Archipelago 11 54.55% 87.27 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 73 30.14% 53.21 4.052 79.45% 0.22 -0.8037
3 Other 123 66.67% 46.72 16.447 70.73% 1.203 0.8101
3 Round (Default) 3961 57.87% 44.89 2.831 66.8% 0.235 -0.1001
3 Sunrise 22 63.64% 46.68 0.0 68.18%
3 Thematic 116 75.22% 46.08 1.856 45.69% -0.316 -0.6005
4 Archipelago 13 30.77% 63.85 28.551 61.54% 0.328 0.1705
4 Coastline 22 0.0% 61.32 0.0 95.45%
4 Leaf 11 72.73% 21.0 -14.754 18.18% -0.519 -0.6667
4 Other 242 33.06% 53.36 -7.877 84.71% 0.017 -1.312
4 Thematic 1157 32.76% 64.75 6.251 82.28% 0.296 0.2168
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2947 51.26% 43.65 -2.672 63.79% -0.59 -0.7462
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 66.67 0.0 66.67%
5 Coastline 28 3.57% 56.71 0.79 89.29% -0.218 -1.1303
5 Other 86 64.2% 56.2 9.108 87.21% 0.95 -0.1244
5 Thematic 12 41.67% 68.75 -13.348 91.67% -0.177 -0.1835
6 Archipelago 11 0.0% 52.91 13.326 63.64% 0.335 -0.9642
6 Coastline 10 10.0% 35.9 -12.578 60.0% -0.479 -1.2266
6 Other 26 40.0% 47.42 -6.257 61.54% -0.969 -1.1728
6 Star 14 50.0% 46.79 -5.737 64.29% -0.692 -0.5925
6 Thematic 300 70.33% 53.68 2.461 74.67% 0.227 0.8762
6 Two Centers (Default) 124 31.45% 48.04 5.04 66.94% 0.437 0.1029
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 3 0.0% 0.0 -4.065 0.0% 0.016 0.4121

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 5146 35.44 0.948 44.68% -0.258 -0.1283
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4134 39.71 3.457 52.69% 0.019 -0.0991
All Things Weaken 3066 35.84 1.063 45.53% -0.177 0.1302
Attenuated Essence 402 33.22 0.687 47.51% -0.026 0.0056
Back Against the Wall 3832 38.47 3.035 49.5% 0.053 0.0829
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 411 30.64 0.355 42.34% -0.132 0.0541
Burn Brightest Before the End 253 33.64 3.583 44.27% 0.206 0.2761
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5119 33.18 -0.453 44.38% -0.132 0.2434
Downward Spiral 7729 34.11 -0.126 46.07% 0.027 0.1931
Erosion of Will 5073 34.07 0.298 41.51% -0.305 -0.0904
Intensifying Exploitation 386 29.4 1.066 40.93% 0.047 0.2888
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 764 50.7 3.87 86.78% 0.649 0.0681
Memory Fades to Dust 7871 33.17 0.175 40.94% -0.148 0.1451
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3015 35.19 -1.675 46.2% -0.639 -0.478
Promising Farmlands 4998 33.41 -1.454 43.02% -0.457 -0.161
Shattered Fragments of Power 243 34.32 -0.279 47.74% -0.374 -0.2863
Slow Dissolution of Will 385 29.03 -1.912 34.55% -0.857 -0.4641
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 556 52.63 3.2 90.65% 0.555 -0.1563
The Border of Life and Death 83 40.71 3.305 69.88% 0.434 -0.0455
Thriving Communities 2905 33.65 -1.565 44.48% -0.424 -0.1238
Thriving Crops 144 35.83 6.442 59.03% 0.804 0.7027
Tipping Point 1596 32.84 0.0 40.1%
Unnatural Proliferation 3276 37.25 2.365 47.44% 0.012 0.1814
Untended Land Crumbles 2915 34.81 0.638 45.73% -0.179 0.0794

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 20841 62.42% 41.37 -1.866 59.63% -0.475 0.6679
B 20977 62.91% 40.82 -0.501 58.48% -0.432 0.6232
C 22751 65.77% 40.47 -1.015 57.72% -0.441 0.447
D 18956 64.88% 40.84 -0.232 58.83% -0.298 0.7562
E 10841 63.33% 42.42 1.059 62.58% -0.206 0.6986
F 13034 58.84% 44.37 2.384 66.45% 0.018 1.0218
G 11209 61.67% 42.77 1.651 62.98% -0.136 0.8318
H 11518 62.35% 42.72 0.659 63.43% -0.28 0.7123
East 3275 51.46% 52.68 1.855 62.96% -0.073 0.9153
Northeast 2153 49.14% 54.99 2.475 65.54% -0.081 0.8683
Northwest 1968 49.54% 51.73 0.002 61.94% -0.844 0.1975
Southeast 782 56.52% 52.81 1.583 71.1% -0.125 0.7929
Southwest 790 58.56% 50.34 -1.504 67.97% -0.59 0.8664
West 3077 51.27% 50.31 2.032 60.03% 0.086 1.1933

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 532 0.0% 37.09 -3.911 52.63% -0.318 0.3451
Not Using Events or Tokens 6054 72.44% 34.23 -7.131 44.68% -1.447 -0.953
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2882 18.75% 61.86 7.348 85.57% 0.923 0.3008
Start of Game Growth 3922 21.55% 59.43 5.406 83.43% 0.545 0.1329
Unlimited Undo 11171 51.38% 47.37 -0.101 72.13% 0.014 -0.0815
Using Tokens but Not Events 4977 53.08% 42.57 -2.665 60.38% -0.385 -0.3092

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 24140 16.77 9.11%
II 33526 30.59 58.36%
III 33311 34.74 84.29%
IV 9473 38.3 99.79%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.314 Win Model: 0.307
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 76038 65.57% 40.12 57.35%
2 15190 66.04% 42.69 61.63%
3 4271 57.83% 45.03 66.64%
4 4372 45.07% 49.91 69.99%
5 87 43.37% 53.93 80.46%
6 492 55.4% 51.45 71.34%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2193
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 27560
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18824
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9361
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6704
Lose: Invader deck ran out 785
Lose: Adversary condition 485
Win: Sacrifice victory 505
Lose: Scenario condition 1749
Win: Scenario condition 851
Lose: Blight pool ran out 30091
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1342

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-02-21 04:03:14 (Pacific Time)