The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5985 26.01% 22.77 -0.228 79.11% 0.2 0.1053
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 94 17.02% 23.2 4.577 67.02% 1.024 0.5481
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3978 47.28% 21.78 1.04 75.24% 0.56 0.6725
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 128 22.66% 26.78 6.051 73.44% 1.289 0.4758
Dances Up Earthquakes 101 32.67% 19.59 0.462 57.43% -0.302 -0.3114
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2851 25.88% 24.66 0.371 84.6% 0.265 0.125
Downpour Drenches the World 571 25.39% 17.35 -2.251 55.34% -0.455 -0.2275
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 541 21.63% 20.57 0.224 61.74% 0.174 -0.3958
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3288 16.98% 27.26 2.097 87.99% 0.318 -0.0692
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2961 23.0% 25.68 1.673 85.51% 0.301 -0.0926
Finder of Paths Unseen 300 32.78% 13.07 -2.765 38.33% -0.86 -0.1314
Fractured Days Split the Sky 722 33.52% 20.47 -2.753 57.2% -0.866 -0.2258
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 948 39.35% 21.8 1.418 66.35% 0.055 -0.0788
Heart of the Wildfire 3947 56.3% 20.22 -0.507 70.05% 0.144 0.4733
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5411 27.61% 26.04 0.254 87.41% 0.196 -0.228
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 142 21.99% 24.35 3.68 66.2% 0.363 0.0565
Lightning's Swift Strike 5905 42.01% 21.61 0.041 72.57% 0.234 0.4717
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 209 30.92% 23.6 -0.623 69.86% -0.067 -0.4749
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 429 31.54% 24.84 -0.323 78.09% -0.399 -0.718
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 374 35.12% 22.55 -2.415 70.86% -0.557 -0.6374
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1697 32.72% 25.08 2.679 77.78% 0.432 0.2393
Many Minds Move as One 1190 23.73% 25.14 0.293 81.43% 0.18 -0.0366
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5976 41.15% 22.5 -2.238 76.56% -0.546 -0.4059
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 91 45.05% 16.76 -0.419 59.34% 0.058 0.1387
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2610 28.8% 23.61 -1.179 80.57% -0.221 -0.2991
River Surges in Sunlight 7006 38.47% 24.24 0.965 73.99% 0.267 0.3927
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 69 23.19% 20.17 0.55 57.97% -0.059 0.1194
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 576 36.98% 24.1 0.173 72.4% 0.164 0.4433
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 256 36.36% 22.83 4.515 63.67% 0.581 0.4578
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3407 35.59% 22.12 0.412 78.34% 0.151 0.0243
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 33 21.21% 19.67 -1.991 60.61% -0.168 -0.2808
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4398 52.51% 21.1 -1.631 69.6% -0.39 0.1259
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 108 36.11% 20.38 -3.347 56.48% -0.909 -0.9273
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 105 30.77% 22.94 3.856 71.43% 0.823 0.3195
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 111 33.33% 22.18 2.287 64.86% -0.383 -0.5751
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 322 37.27% 23.69 2.422 77.02% 0.289 0.2295
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 280 40.71% 22.77 0.545 73.21% -0.151 -0.0693
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3516 29.29% 25.25 0.687 82.05% 0.074 0.1531
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 186 21.43% 20.93 3.963 62.9% 0.797 0.6102
Shifting Memory of Ages 774 44.88% 19.46 -2.784 62.27% -0.714 -0.447
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 96 26.04% 20.39 3.518 56.25% 0.056 -0.0625
Shroud of Silent Mist 867 45.59% 19.8 -0.891 66.09% 0.037 0.3884
Starlight Seeks its Form 1299 22.18% 24.18 -1.037 72.44% -0.068 -0.186
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1940 28.05% 23.19 -0.398 80.82% 0.222 -0.2915
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2286 32.97% 22.59 -0.728 76.33% -0.24 -0.1227
Thunderspeaker 5487 29.82% 24.74 -1.029 77.93% -0.395 -0.3626
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 136 28.15% 16.85 0.18 47.06% 0.068 0.0811
Towering Roots of the Jungle 232 31.03% 18.18 1.498 59.48% 0.689 0.8186
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1519 55.12% 19.45 0.906 70.24% 0.45 0.5764
Vital Strength of the Earth 5890 32.6% 20.4 -1.971 69.27% -0.732 -0.1319
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 194 25.0% 17.05 -3.272 50.52% -0.558 -0.0643
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 351 27.67% 17.46 -2.474 58.69% -0.698 0.0
Volcano Looming High 1277 36.26% 21.85 -1.018 69.69% -0.16 -0.1123
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 253 21.34% 22.3 1.569 65.61% 0.387 0.0969

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 28 14.29% 21.07 1.396 67.86% 0.176 0.3666
Blitz 0 1146 37.65% 18.67 -1.034 62.48% -0.513 -0.2959
Dahan Insurrection 4 938 22.55% 40.76 10.047 71.96% 0.579 0.326
Despicable Theft 2 213 30.05% 19.54 -2.752 46.01% -0.9 -0.3135
Elemental Invocation 1 250 38.4% 19.84 0.143 55.2% -0.178 0.5617
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2294 8.52% 28.33 0.016 76.94% -0.437 -0.9989
Powers Long Forgotten 1 542 43.54% 23.69 -6.499 62.18% -1.438 -0.6778
Rituals of Terror 3 658 40.52% 28.54 -0.071 58.36% -0.661 -0.5404
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 363 58.13% 27.67 -0.1 55.92% -0.49 0.4175
Second Wave 0 1003 54.22% 25.35 0.743 69.09% -0.476 -0.3372
The Great River 3 202 38.61% 20.56 3.742 39.11% -0.081 1.0188
Varied Terrains 2 176 28.98% 14.2 -4.582 35.8% -1.218 -0.4419
Ward the Shores 2 637 35.53% 25.77 -0.474 62.48% -0.66 0.4149

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 41460 38.82% 22.24 0.277 74.67% 0.387 0.7196
1 Thematic 4709 39.84% 27.89 -0.245 68.51% -0.279 0.4067
2 Archipelago 25 32.0% 32.76 0.0 76.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9458 33.62% 22.11 0.094 76.91% 0.321 0.4405
2 Coastline 840 32.13% 22.8 0.408 78.93% 0.144 0.0717
2 Fragment 197 37.11% 21.77 2.239 80.2% 0.673 0.4882
2 Heart 143 54.61% 20.1 0.13 69.93% 0.28 0.1233
2 Opposite Shores 1077 33.21% 22.85 3.682 81.89% 1.03 1.1815
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 1102 37.0% 27.79 -2.466 67.51% -0.592 -0.0842
2 Top to Top 214 35.21% 21.45 0.581 78.04% 0.574 0.5159
3 Archipelago 17 58.82% 26.29 -9.109 64.71% -0.431 -1.3828
3 Coastline 27 33.33% 19.07 -7.218 55.56% -0.512 -0.9216
3 Other 104 37.5% 18.8 -2.053 66.35% -0.349 -1.1206
3 Round (Default) 3096 28.97% 23.49 0.014 81.62% 0.095 0.0039
3 Sunrise 10 20.0% 25.2 4.798 90.0% 0.523 0.4269
3 Thematic 273 35.53% 26.71 2.63 65.93% 0.379 0.3996
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 32.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Coastline 6 16.67% 10.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 8 25.0% 23.63 0.0 87.5%
4 Other 52 30.77% 17.02 -1.024 63.46% 0.324 -0.3872
4 Thematic 745 30.73% 28.33 1.743 86.58% 0.595 0.7174
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1625 22.71% 21.41 -1.749 73.91% -0.971 -0.9735
5 Other 53 39.62% 25.81 20.728 73.58% 0.248 -0.2663
5 Thematic 9 33.33% 32.56 0.0 88.89%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 37.0 8.076 100.0% 0.141 -0.8973
6 Other 15 33.33% 18.27 -2.079 60.0% -0.408 -0.5114
6 Star 8 0.0% 25.38 9.82 75.0% 0.183 0.1691
6 Thematic 65 6.35% 21.22 -2.607 49.23% -1.146 -0.8605
6 Two Centers (Default) 87 18.39% 16.51 -4.962 51.72% -1.529 -0.9963
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 7 0.0% 30.0 0.0 57.14%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1387 17.96 -1.31 59.19% -0.595 -0.3442
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1233 19.53 2.829 59.45% 0.576 0.5185
All Things Weaken 717 17.77 -0.551 54.53% -0.562 -0.2271
Attenuated Essence 130 18.8 0.206 55.38% -0.223 -0.1897
Back Against the Wall 1222 18.96 -0.303 57.77% -0.403 -0.3676
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 86 18.78 3.237 54.65% 0.21 0.4268
Burn Brightest Before the End 60 18.42 0.058 53.33% -0.288 -0.2769
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1397 15.69 0.154 54.47% -0.377 -0.0331
Downward Spiral 5233 16.11 -1.649 59.45% -0.3 -0.1827
Erosion of Will 1445 17.94 0.351 57.65% 0.444 0.7185
Intensifying Exploitation 104 18.11 -0.799 51.92% -0.217 -0.0055
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 272 23.71 4.33 85.66% 1.181 0.6085
Memory Fades to Dust 5341 15.66 -1.065 55.4% -0.38 -0.1278
Power Corrodes the Spirit 704 18.84 1.418 61.36% 0.127 0.3311
Promising Farmlands 1465 16.95 -2.356 59.32% -0.67 -0.4158
Shattered Fragments of Power 84 22.63 1.335 59.52% 0.232 0.3061
Slow Dissolution of Will 98 17.68 -1.187 47.96% -0.397 -0.0156
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 219 23.71 -2.929 87.21% -0.188 -0.8616
The Border of Life and Death 28 23.68 0.0 67.86%
Thriving Communities 717 17.36 -1.001 56.35% 0.024 0.3059
Thriving Crops 46 19.3 -2.071 65.22% -0.299 -0.4392
Tipping Point 504 16.8 0.0 60.52%
Unnatural Proliferation 699 19.44 -0.901 59.08% -0.123 0.0802
Untended Land Crumbles 740 17.67 0.59 57.57% -0.068 0.1218

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14523 37.07% 21.68 -0.386 74.95% -0.858 0.1404
B 14785 35.73% 21.94 -0.812 75.33% -0.904 0.0184
C 15164 35.15% 22.13 -0.284 75.83% -0.779 -0.05
D 14412 34.97% 22.19 0.35 76.37% -0.476 0.4836
E 4737 32.03% 22.91 -0.427 74.77% -0.772 0.0468
F 6785 32.48% 23.02 0.104 77.38% -0.689 0.193
G 6259 33.22% 22.54 0.39 76.55% -0.652 0.1732
H 6501 32.49% 23.11 -0.594 77.73% -0.899 -0.0603
East 4457 36.23% 28.43 -0.456 71.64% -1.333 -0.4578
Northeast 2693 34.85% 28.46 -0.062 73.19% -0.801 -0.0491
Northwest 2146 34.94% 28.08 2.417 73.67% -0.287 0.6051
Southeast 687 32.7% 24.53 -1.406 64.48% -0.982 -0.1427
Southwest 622 30.65% 21.02 -3.462 61.25% -1.056 0.2486
West 3940 37.44% 27.34 0.854 70.41% -0.644 0.3058

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 640 0.0% 19.75 -4.032 62.97% -1.514 -0.7852
Not Using Events or Tokens 16132 43.88% 19.76 -1.287 68.08% -0.151 0.195
Skip Initial Invader Actions 964 9.59% 34.28 7.402 90.35% 1.251 0.6485
Start of Game Growth 1469 13.98% 30.98 4.713 86.73% 0.595 0.0911
Unlimited Undo 3638 26.93% 25.19 0.642 80.87% 0.063 -0.044
Using Tokens but Not Events 4751 28.7% 24.44 0.599 81.1% 0.359 0.3295

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10963 13.42 26.04%
II 22611 30.13 76.58%
III 21395 34.83 86.32%
IV 10542 38.67 99.13%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.012 Win Model: 0.948
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 46705 38.83% 22.73 73.63%
2 12722 34.3% 22.96 77.97%
3 3434 29.5% 23.7 80.49%
4 2427 25.6% 23.46 77.96%
5 68 14.71% 16.24 39.71%
6 154 15.23% 21.77 61.69%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2849
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 17951
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 16384
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10352
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6164
Lose: Invader deck ran out 879
Lose: Adversary condition 373
Win: Sacrifice victory 235
Lose: Scenario condition 576
Win: Scenario condition 1317
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8003
Lose: Spirit destroyed 428

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4244 25.31% 31.69 1.085 79.52% -0.131 -0.2257
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 86 26.74% 24.43 1.399 65.12% 0.36 -0.116
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2434 49.94% 26.86 -0.799 75.14% 0.227 0.3392
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 127 23.62% 33.52 6.119 80.31% 1.135 0.322
Dances Up Earthquakes 68 35.29% 23.74 -1.065 61.76% -0.449 -0.4577
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1998 27.98% 29.42 0.311 84.08% 0.137 -0.0034
Downpour Drenches the World 451 26.13% 22.23 0.396 63.19% 0.265 0.4926
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 450 20.77% 28.53 2.809 78.0% 0.608 0.0384
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2537 18.41% 33.02 3.455 90.11% 0.851 0.463
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2281 21.55% 37.48 4.012 86.19% 0.019 -0.3749
Finder of Paths Unseen 264 34.22% 19.0 -5.342 43.94% -1.357 -0.6284
Fractured Days Split the Sky 581 31.72% 26.34 -3.395 64.03% -1.114 -0.4731
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 667 37.93% 25.15 -2.005 66.42% -0.477 -0.6104
Heart of the Wildfire 2694 56.6% 26.23 -1.699 75.06% -0.491 -0.1613
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4073 35.21% 30.16 0.779 85.88% 0.206 -0.2178
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 141 24.82% 27.35 0.347 69.5% 0.142 -0.1642
Lightning's Swift Strike 3707 39.51% 27.91 -0.191 76.88% -0.019 0.2189
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 516 10.47% 58.46 6.362 78.88% 0.232 -0.1758
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 304 32.89% 29.99 0.807 80.59% 0.014 -0.3052
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 319 33.54% 29.1 2.877 78.06% 0.926 0.8454
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1287 35.39% 29.41 1.395 80.81% 0.393 0.2001
Many Minds Move as One 963 26.15% 28.76 -0.29 79.96% -0.023 -0.2394
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3918 39.56% 31.64 0.537 77.82% -0.39 -0.25
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 86 46.51% 23.8 -0.369 68.6% -0.045 0.0356
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2225 28.96% 35.91 3.753 82.61% 0.462 0.3837
River Surges in Sunlight 4834 38.0% 32.49 3.736 76.75% 0.401 0.5266
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 42 38.1% 23.07 1.783 64.29% 0.389 0.5672
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 390 46.02% 26.15 -1.901 66.15% -0.676 -0.3973
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 283 34.16% 28.49 1.763 67.84% 0.16 0.0371
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2045 37.1% 27.8 3.142 79.41% 0.778 0.6511
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 19 31.58% 25.89 1.092 68.42% 0.082 -0.0309
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2544 55.3% 25.36 -1.295 68.59% -0.365 0.1504
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 67 42.62% 26.75 3.865 70.15% 0.352 0.3338
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 128 29.69% 29.98 4.001 76.56% 0.994 0.4909
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 94 39.36% 24.39 0.195 68.09% 0.418 0.2259
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 285 35.79% 28.85 7.004 81.75% 1.211 1.1515
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 175 55.49% 28.37 -2.465 74.29% -0.547 -0.4655
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2587 31.38% 30.24 -1.352 82.53% -0.457 -0.378
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 207 16.18% 25.46 2.284 71.5% 0.679 0.4925
Shifting Memory of Ages 561 41.07% 22.65 -2.904 62.21% -0.648 -0.3811
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 68 25.0% 22.12 -1.271 55.88% -0.398 -0.5163
Shroud of Silent Mist 629 51.83% 23.68 -0.256 68.52% 0.056 0.4073
Starlight Seeks its Form 671 30.9% 24.99 -2.767 69.9% -0.595 -0.7131
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1225 38.39% 24.61 -0.84 75.27% 0.138 -0.375
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1667 35.71% 27.29 -1.867 76.66% -0.614 -0.4962
Thunderspeaker 3661 32.55% 30.09 1.701 78.91% 0.303 0.3354
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 113 39.82% 20.94 -1.64 52.21% -0.458 -0.4441
Towering Roots of the Jungle 181 29.83% 21.44 -1.197 64.64% -0.171 -0.0419
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 929 64.65% 22.32 -1.187 65.98% -0.243 -0.1169
Vital Strength of the Earth 3451 39.13% 24.6 -0.673 69.92% -0.37 0.2297
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 172 36.84% 21.92 -1.087 57.56% -0.653 -0.159
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 262 35.11% 22.18 -2.784 62.21% -0.108 0.5901
Volcano Looming High 851 44.05% 24.59 -1.777 70.51% -0.607 -0.5589
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 233 23.61% 28.59 2.073 77.68% 0.187 -0.1025

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 29 27.59% 23.62 -10.182 58.62% -0.992 -0.8015
Blitz 0 970 43.55% 21.07 -4.143 58.76% -0.805 -0.5875
Dahan Insurrection 4 715 23.8% 47.19 4.049 76.92% -0.795 -1.0484
Despicable Theft 2 190 35.79% 23.17 -1.452 47.37% -0.609 -0.0222
Elemental Invocation 1 256 47.27% 19.66 -4.958 48.05% -1.035 -0.2955
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2165 9.73% 38.19 4.968 75.15% 0.246 -0.3151
Powers Long Forgotten 1 545 47.71% 25.36 -2.48 57.8% -0.665 0.095
Rituals of Terror 3 520 46.35% 32.34 -3.222 60.19% -1.195 -1.0749
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 348 59.48% 29.25 -0.963 54.02% -0.788 0.1198
Second Wave 0 2619 44.1% 29.25 1.083 75.33% 0.069 0.2075
The Great River 3 176 36.93% 25.46 -3.939 42.05% -1.481 -0.3813
Varied Terrains 2 156 38.46% 17.47 -5.726 33.97% -1.652 -0.8758
Ward the Shores 2 510 44.99% 29.06 -0.409 58.63% -0.601 0.4738

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 25405 40.32% 26.41 -0.471 74.88% 0.182 0.5144
1 Thematic 3842 43.58% 30.78 0.839 65.23% -0.201 0.4849
2 Archipelago 19 63.16% 44.68 0.0 94.74%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6386 36.15% 27.44 -0.353 79.38% -0.017 0.1029
2 Coastline 673 42.25% 27.31 1.515 79.05% 0.501 0.4287
2 Fragment 173 48.84% 26.61 -1.694 80.92% 0.053 -0.132
2 Heart 133 31.58% 28.91 0.567 87.97% 0.574 0.417
2 Opposite Shores 1013 32.93% 28.36 1.456 85.29% 0.229 0.3805
2 Thematic 973 40.43% 30.52 -3.796 65.36% -0.768 -0.2601
2 Top to Top 193 42.33% 27.44 -0.019 78.24% 0.468 0.4099
3 Archipelago 18 33.33% 41.5 7.457 94.44% 0.712 -0.2401
3 Coastline 23 60.87% 35.91 1.747 73.91% -0.184 -0.5942
3 Other 80 34.18% 28.25 4.741 87.5% 0.608 -0.1629
3 Round (Default) 2364 29.02% 28.73 -2.77 83.16% -0.525 -0.616
3 Sunrise 6 33.33% 28.83 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 196 37.76% 29.93 1.415 62.76% 0.043 0.0637
4 Archipelago 15 26.67% 38.47 4.656 100.0% 0.245 -0.2848
4 Coastline 16 25.0% 20.75 -1.857 31.25% -0.716 -0.8016
4 Leaf 8 37.5% 36.13 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 56 35.71% 28.29 -3.049 83.93% -0.363 -1.0736
4 Snake 1 0.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 336 43.58% 33.81 -0.128 80.06% -0.498 -0.3749
4 Trapezoid (Default) 964 30.01% 28.73 -1.845 82.78% -0.293 -0.2955
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.0 13.557 100.0% 0.079 0.0491
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 32.5 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 56 28.57% 29.11 0.15 85.71% -0.221 -0.7347
5 Thematic 11 36.36% 26.64 2.592 54.55% -0.085 -0.1418
6 Archipelago 327 0.61% 72.54 9.873 81.96% 0.096 -0.9419
6 Other 46 6.52% 64.7 0.0 86.96%
6 Star 8 0.0% 28.38 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 29 34.48% 22.76 -1.726 51.72% 0.106 0.3919
6 Two Centers (Default) 64 20.31% 26.02 6.616 62.5% 0.284 0.8169
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 2 0.0% 25.5 -8.633 50.0% -0.716 -1.2742

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1005 23.06 -0.445 60.9% -0.108 0.1429
Aid From Lesser Spirits 954 24.18 1.97 63.1% -0.146 -0.2037
All Things Weaken 560 22.44 0.092 59.82% 0.264 0.5988
Attenuated Essence 89 24.61 2.132 64.04% 0.594 0.6274
Back Against the Wall 885 23.5 2.619 60.79% 0.152 0.187
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 106 20.49 -0.68 56.6% -0.161 0.0557
Burn Brightest Before the End 62 24.9 -4.48 51.61% -0.66 -0.6493
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1085 20.52 -2.69 59.35% -0.415 -0.0707
Downward Spiral 3231 20.66 -2.553 60.48% -0.619 -0.5014
Erosion of Will 1082 21.96 -2.229 57.21% -0.833 -0.5588
Intensifying Exploitation 82 21.51 -1.319 53.66% -0.236 -0.0252
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 195 28.45 1.948 88.72% 0.678 0.1058
Memory Fades to Dust 3334 19.95 -1.72 55.1% -0.632 -0.3793
Power Corrodes the Spirit 515 21.68 -1.384 59.22% -0.24 -0.0359
Promising Farmlands 1146 21.29 -3.12 59.86% -0.636 -0.3819
Shattered Fragments of Power 54 23.85 2.314 62.96% 0.437 0.5106
Slow Dissolution of Will 76 19.17 -2.289 48.68% -0.393 -0.0115
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 131 29.56 2.957 93.89% 0.469 -0.2047
The Border of Life and Death 29 26.93 8.043 82.76% 0.984 0.3836
Thriving Communities 535 20.86 -0.64 60.19% -0.021 0.261
Thriving Crops 41 24.68 1.783 68.29% 0.82 0.68
Tipping Point 365 21.32 0.0 59.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 569 22.63 -1.418 54.83% -0.739 -0.5357
Untended Land Crumbles 537 21.69 -1.3 60.71% -0.023 0.1673

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9848 37.79% 28.43 0.119 76.94% -0.482 0.5159
B 10149 35.64% 28.96 0.494 78.51% -0.466 0.4559
C 10411 35.76% 29.0 1.347 79.0% -0.143 0.5861
D 9726 35.34% 29.01 1.064 78.64% -0.248 0.7113
E 3475 34.11% 27.52 0.916 76.86% -0.218 0.6014
F 4674 34.52% 27.66 0.265 78.99% -0.169 0.7131
G 4510 33.95% 30.87 1.336 78.36% -0.368 0.4571
H 4622 31.2% 31.33 1.818 80.05% -0.297 0.5418
East 3402 41.98% 31.57 0.581 66.64% -0.061 0.8139
Northeast 1945 43.64% 31.65 -1.746 67.15% -1.383 -0.6309
Northwest 1503 42.17% 32.05 3.694 71.66% 0.486 1.3786
Southeast 520 34.62% 25.89 -0.392 58.08% -0.394 0.4446
Southwest 509 37.52% 22.39 -7.402 53.63% -1.791 -0.4861
West 2981 43.1% 30.3 -0.418 66.29% -0.532 0.4172

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 337 0.0% 24.55 -0.009 69.44% -0.028 0.7007
Not Using Events or Tokens 8362 45.36% 24.11 -1.581 67.96% -0.257 0.0886
Skip Initial Invader Actions 531 9.85% 39.27 5.135 88.32% 0.767 0.1644
Start of Game Growth 821 12.92% 36.61 -1.244 87.45% -0.376 -0.8801
Unlimited Undo 2650 30.83% 27.97 -1.179 78.26% -0.32 -0.427
Using Tokens but Not Events 3722 28.37% 33.0 2.05 81.03% 0.344 0.3143

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7683 13.42 27.63%
II 15857 30.13 78.58%
III 14027 34.83 88.46%
IV 5904 38.67 99.17%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.903 Win Model: 0.719
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 29578 40.69% 26.89 73.22%
2 9366 37.11% 28.15 79.86%
3 2624 30.21% 29.07 82.58%
4 1369 32.96% 29.98 81.81%
5 67 20.9% 26.88 77.61%
6 467 5.78% 62.62 79.01%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2122
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12020
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11697
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5804
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3753
Lose: Invader deck ran out 392
Lose: Adversary condition 170
Win: Sacrifice victory 141
Lose: Scenario condition 503
Win: Scenario condition 1062
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5564
Lose: Spirit destroyed 243

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5412 31.11% 31.22 0.228 79.03% 0.139 0.0439
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 184 30.98% 29.21 1.412 72.28% 0.721 0.2447
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3071 57.85% 28.92 -0.036 73.75% 0.189 0.3015
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 168 39.29% 35.17 2.898 76.79% 0.246 -0.5673
Dances Up Earthquakes 111 43.24% 28.32 1.499 67.57% -0.105 -0.1142
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2490 34.73% 31.94 1.012 82.29% 0.202 0.0617
Downpour Drenches the World 650 34.05% 26.76 -0.469 66.62% -0.123 0.1041
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 822 25.79% 31.41 1.325 78.22% 0.292 -0.2775
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3258 24.45% 35.13 2.38 87.88% 0.661 0.2734
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2492 31.25% 33.27 1.56 82.42% 0.3 -0.0939
Finder of Paths Unseen 369 46.07% 20.01 -4.809 45.8% -1.123 -0.3949
Fractured Days Split the Sky 834 40.77% 29.32 -3.929 62.47% -1.028 -0.3873
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1067 45.49% 29.04 0.697 71.7% 0.49 0.3566
Heart of the Wildfire 3490 65.83% 26.38 -0.775 67.19% -0.001 0.3283
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6044 39.23% 33.51 2.134 84.78% 0.444 0.021
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 265 28.3% 28.72 -1.727 69.81% -0.346 -0.6522
Lightning's Swift Strike 4271 47.06% 28.77 0.747 71.51% 0.16 0.3979
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 253 48.21% 31.29 2.931 69.17% 0.708 0.3007
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 478 38.08% 32.24 2.757 80.96% 0.333 0.0141
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 447 38.79% 32.12 -1.156 71.14% -0.862 -0.9432
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2143 40.38% 32.01 0.423 78.11% 0.031 -0.1621
Many Minds Move as One 1259 30.22% 31.94 0.963 82.13% 0.367 0.1511
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5062 51.36% 28.77 0.734 71.02% 0.203 0.3422
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 161 65.84% 24.91 0.195 59.63% 0.098 0.1788
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2448 37.51% 31.0 -1.418 80.31% -0.322 -0.4001
River Surges in Sunlight 5498 48.63% 31.26 1.032 72.34% 0.055 0.1803
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 94 39.36% 29.28 1.947 65.96% 0.513 0.6913
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 609 49.84% 30.62 -1.875 68.14% -0.544 -0.2648
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 385 42.59% 32.82 4.492 70.65% 0.87 0.7471
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3536 39.96% 31.58 2.579 81.33% 0.732 0.6051
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 67 23.88% 30.52 4.306 73.13% 0.536 0.4234
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2767 65.99% 26.29 -2.996 63.1% -0.695 -0.1799
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 89 52.81% 26.15 -1.878 59.55% -0.366 -0.3843
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 209 39.23% 30.87 4.836 69.38% 0.897 0.394
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 103 53.4% 29.43 -6.563 73.79% -0.924 -1.1156
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 366 49.59% 29.41 2.093 74.86% 0.564 0.5049
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 272 62.13% 27.67 0.6 68.01% 0.216 0.2977
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3361 36.74% 32.39 0.144 80.27% -0.027 0.0524
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 257 25.6% 31.5 -0.821 68.09% -0.631 -0.8173
Shifting Memory of Ages 858 51.75% 26.43 -1.979 63.05% -0.416 -0.1483
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 133 39.1% 27.16 -0.756 60.9% -0.521 -0.6396
Shroud of Silent Mist 995 55.28% 26.27 -1.163 68.64% -0.133 0.2176
Starlight Seeks its Form 1119 40.34% 28.62 0.717 69.08% 0.052 -0.0655
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1839 43.97% 26.75 0.198 72.81% 0.299 -0.2139
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2022 45.3% 28.76 -1.126 72.11% -0.234 -0.1169
Thunderspeaker 4655 41.38% 31.49 -0.976 75.62% -0.335 -0.3026
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 184 34.78% 24.83 1.319 56.52% 0.017 0.0305
Towering Roots of the Jungle 278 40.65% 24.02 -1.713 62.95% -0.4 -0.2701
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1426 71.44% 25.34 -2.708 67.25% -0.615 -0.4885
Vital Strength of the Earth 3955 43.84% 26.68 -0.496 66.45% -0.047 0.5526
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 237 37.29% 27.02 0.795 65.4% -0.104 0.3892
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 378 40.74% 24.61 -4.52 61.38% -0.577 0.1208
Volcano Looming High 1505 46.87% 28.35 -0.531 72.23% -0.092 -0.0447
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 448 32.37% 32.65 2.769 78.79% 0.655 0.3649

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 38 34.21% 24.11 -4.517 57.89% -0.257 -0.0663
Blitz 0 1160 47.57% 24.61 -3.822 58.19% -0.694 -0.4766
Dahan Insurrection 4 733 31.1% 47.68 1.785 70.4% -0.483 -0.7361
Despicable Theft 2 193 46.11% 24.65 -2.174 46.11% -0.522 0.0642
Elemental Invocation 1 241 44.81% 23.32 -6.393 51.87% -1.141 -0.4018
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2305 18.34% 33.09 3.602 67.85% 0.354 -0.208
Powers Long Forgotten 1 486 54.73% 25.17 -8.074 48.35% -1.896 -1.1367
Rituals of Terror 3 394 50.77% 33.42 -0.381 53.3% -0.271 -0.151
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 249 61.85% 32.19 -2.257 51.81% -1.056 -0.1482
Second Wave 0 2286 53.0% 30.82 3.831 69.69% 0.23 0.3685
The Great River 3 153 52.29% 24.38 -6.126 36.6% -1.424 -0.3243
Varied Terrains 2 122 50.0% 17.44 -4.057 29.51% -1.1 -0.3237
Ward the Shores 2 545 49.72% 30.89 1.35 57.8% -0.037 1.0379

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 32359 47.7% 28.27 -0.277 71.55% 0.123 0.4557
1 Thematic 3582 52.91% 31.12 -1.611 60.36% -0.83 -0.1438
2 Archipelago 20 70.0% 44.8 14.725 75.0% 0.555 1.1627
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8566 43.14% 29.65 0.624 76.73% 0.348 0.4674
2 Coastline 988 42.26% 30.81 -0.868 78.54% -0.104 -0.1764
2 Fragment 237 50.63% 30.04 0.523 74.68% 0.305 0.1199
2 Heart 132 44.62% 30.45 -2.273 72.73% -0.272 -0.4291
2 Opposite Shores 1518 42.16% 31.53 0.724 81.75% 0.336 0.4874
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 1321 50.87% 30.53 0.745 60.33% -0.326 0.182
2 Top to Top 289 44.6% 31.61 5.538 79.58% 0.976 0.918
3 Archipelago 12 75.0% 40.42 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 29 37.93% 29.93 2.791 75.86% 0.78 0.3702
3 Other 145 32.87% 31.56 -2.661 81.38% -0.139 -0.9102
3 Round (Default) 3656 36.17% 31.24 -0.69 80.2% 0.077 -0.0142
3 Sunrise 23 39.13% 29.91 0.0 78.26%
3 Thematic 286 47.37% 35.31 -2.005 70.28% -0.334 -0.3135
4 Archipelago 17 58.82% 43.35 4.898 82.35% 0.181 -0.3495
4 Coastline 9 77.78% 36.33 5.157 77.78% 0.283 0.1973
4 Leaf 10 40.0% 28.7 0.0 70.0%
4 Other 71 30.43% 33.39 4.502 85.92% 0.475 -0.2363
4 Thematic 433 43.43% 36.62 -2.441 75.98% -0.575 -0.4525
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1606 34.05% 32.04 1.604 84.87% 0.575 0.572
5 Archipelago 7 85.71% 33.71 0.0 42.86%
5 Other 82 40.24% 31.26 -6.621 74.39% -0.169 -0.6829
5 Thematic 6 33.33% 19.33 0.0 33.33%
6 Archipelago 5 20.0% 63.4 0.0 80.0%
6 Coastline 3 0.0% 17.0 0.0 33.33%
6 Other 42 38.1% 28.21 -7.022 54.76% -1.349 -1.4527
6 Star 24 29.17% 26.54 -1.662 58.33% -0.399 -0.4124
6 Thematic 87 27.06% 46.76 11.2 75.86% 0.589 0.8747
6 Two Centers (Default) 119 26.05% 30.09 1.25 61.34% -0.18 0.3528
7 Other 7 14.29% 34.0 -5.145 42.86% -0.379 -0.9371

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1754 25.6 2.766 59.41% 0.096 0.3468
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1447 27.35 0.799 62.47% -0.365 -0.4228
All Things Weaken 916 25.0 -0.862 58.08% -0.319 0.0155
Attenuated Essence 140 24.51 -2.341 58.57% -0.659 -0.6256
Back Against the Wall 1467 27.33 1.184 63.33% 0.464 0.4988
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 186 23.2 -0.217 56.45% 0.025 0.2422
Burn Brightest Before the End 114 28.44 4.547 68.42% 0.459 0.4694
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1660 22.95 -2.711 57.41% -0.707 -0.3629
Downward Spiral 4383 23.55 0.764 60.37% 0.353 0.4703
Erosion of Will 1745 24.36 -0.006 56.28% -0.172 0.1024
Intensifying Exploitation 180 23.54 -3.072 52.22% -1.144 -0.9324
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 383 32.35 2.959 89.3% 0.836 0.2637
Memory Fades to Dust 4380 22.77 -1.125 54.91% -0.159 0.0934
Power Corrodes the Spirit 961 24.99 -1.378 60.56% -0.511 -0.3064
Promising Farmlands 1714 23.55 -0.912 58.28% -0.215 0.0396
Shattered Fragments of Power 165 29.79 3.181 65.45% 0.37 0.4445
Slow Dissolution of Will 177 26.32 1.024 58.76% -0.261 0.1205
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 234 32.04 -2.952 91.03% 0.035 -0.639
The Border of Life and Death 61 30.46 -2.582 81.97% -0.366 -0.9664
Thriving Communities 891 24.24 -0.152 59.82% 0.149 0.4307
Thriving Crops 63 26.7 0.454 71.43% 0.127 -0.013
Tipping Point 577 24.62 0.0 60.49%
Unnatural Proliferation 919 25.58 0.591 59.09% -0.029 0.1743
Untended Land Crumbles 881 23.51 -0.814 57.43% -0.467 -0.2768

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12888 43.89% 29.4 -0.168 75.2% -0.412 0.5854
B 13185 44.07% 29.47 0.151 75.38% -0.334 0.5878
C 13603 42.32% 29.75 0.417 76.01% -0.27 0.4589
D 12575 44.42% 29.36 -0.316 75.46% -0.38 0.579
E 5065 42.51% 29.73 1.253 74.87% -0.132 0.6869
F 6805 40.25% 30.37 0.177 76.77% -0.451 0.4312
G 5974 42.92% 29.87 -0.175 76.08% -0.5 0.3257
H 6021 41.37% 30.23 -0.157 76.13% -0.507 0.3314
East 3795 48.73% 33.04 1.398 64.53% 0.05 0.9251
Northeast 2114 48.17% 34.36 2.323 67.12% 0.214 0.9658
Northwest 1708 51.21% 33.05 1.453 63.64% -0.176 0.7158
Southeast 682 43.95% 31.09 0.549 62.17% -0.047 0.7921
Southwest 632 41.49% 29.39 -3.181 61.08% -1.13 0.1743
West 3300 51.64% 31.72 0.082 62.09% -0.163 0.7872

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 311 0.0% 28.69 0.018 71.38% -0.073 0.656
Not Using Events or Tokens 8993 50.92% 25.64 -1.938 64.82% -0.517 -0.1717
Skip Initial Invader Actions 765 17.11% 42.67 3.881 85.23% 0.496 -0.1067
Start of Game Growth 1225 16.94% 41.02 3.633 84.24% 0.428 -0.0763
Unlimited Undo 4295 38.69% 30.63 -0.517 76.32% -0.058 -0.1654
Using Tokens but Not Events 4364 37.15% 30.97 1.595 78.25% 0.32 0.2906

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7683 13.42 6.96%
II 21559 30.13 72.48%
III 17460 34.83 88.52%
IV 9043 38.67 99.19%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.405 Win Model: 0.417
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 36280 48.19% 28.48 70.12%
2 12890 44.04% 30.32 76.56%
3 4099 36.59% 31.65 80.09%
4 2128 36.16% 33.24 83.46%
5 63 42.86% 28.49 61.9%
6 285 27.21% 35.16 64.21%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 534
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 15042
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 14887
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8901
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4836
Lose: Invader deck ran out 566
Lose: Adversary condition 204
Win: Sacrifice victory 235
Lose: Scenario condition 771
Win: Scenario condition 988
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8392
Lose: Spirit destroyed 389

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5262 39.17% 37.46 1.436 76.42% 0.383 0.2885
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 211 36.49% 35.8 2.877 69.19% 0.34 -0.1357
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3178 69.49% 33.33 -1.944 64.44% -0.572 -0.4599
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 283 40.99% 38.24 3.844 68.9% 0.666 -0.1469
Dances Up Earthquakes 167 50.3% 29.38 -2.443 53.89% -0.634 -0.6429
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2864 35.97% 39.95 3.808 82.26% 0.904 0.7638
Downpour Drenches the World 780 41.79% 25.82 -0.379 50.0% 0.086 0.3134
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1097 24.89% 37.02 4.677 74.57% 1.068 0.498
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3085 40.43% 39.68 2.236 80.88% 0.619 0.2312
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2718 42.37% 38.33 2.023 77.41% 0.488 0.0945
Finder of Paths Unseen 425 50.59% 28.74 1.305 52.47% 0.189 0.9174
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1196 38.09% 34.88 -0.828 60.62% -0.416 0.2243
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1538 45.58% 35.99 2.245 71.98% 0.565 0.4312
Heart of the Wildfire 4375 67.82% 33.28 -2.681 65.35% -0.636 -0.3067
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6994 51.01% 40.3 0.74 79.93% 0.066 -0.3579
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 582 15.98% 20.09 -1.16 39.86% -0.135 -0.4414
Lightning's Swift Strike 4535 53.39% 36.73 -1.545 71.4% -0.392 -0.1539
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 449 44.32% 30.47 0.588 58.8% 0.241 -0.1669
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 742 38.65% 43.62 5.196 87.2% 1.228 0.909
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 514 41.25% 33.18 -2.872 63.04% -0.657 -0.7376
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2571 47.14% 37.31 0.232 74.6% 0.016 -0.1767
Many Minds Move as One 1263 42.63% 38.26 2.339 79.02% 0.499 0.2831
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5038 59.82% 33.18 -2.101 65.09% -0.332 -0.192
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 251 66.26% 24.57 -3.951 48.21% -0.855 -0.7738
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2631 40.56% 38.39 0.247 80.08% 0.023 -0.0557
River Surges in Sunlight 5656 57.31% 38.35 -0.168 71.29% -0.254 -0.128
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 105 54.29% 24.08 -9.381 41.9% -1.458 -1.2795
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 755 58.3% 31.08 0.986 56.95% 0.07 0.3496
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 456 48.78% 33.2 -2.316 57.89% -0.63 -0.7532
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3373 54.05% 35.68 2.844 71.84% 0.636 0.5089
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 89 47.19% 34.16 -1.35 69.66% -0.403 -0.5151
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2530 73.05% 32.6 -3.853 60.67% -0.618 -0.102
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 77 36.36% 24.31 4.218 48.05% 0.717 0.6982
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 256 51.95% 34.83 0.756 68.36% 0.107 -0.3959
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 118 42.37% 26.47 1.311 51.69% 0.471 0.2795
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 470 47.66% 38.22 4.563 77.45% 0.746 0.6872
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 223 68.61% 34.22 -6.165 66.82% -0.769 -0.687
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3964 39.41% 41.46 -0.363 81.61% -0.165 -0.0856
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 322 38.2% 34.31 5.064 68.63% 0.696 0.5092
Shifting Memory of Ages 823 62.82% 30.56 -3.064 60.87% -0.777 -0.5097
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 167 42.51% 30.25 -1.171 53.29% -0.122 -0.2409
Shroud of Silent Mist 1083 63.22% 29.68 -2.45 60.2% -0.541 -0.1898
Starlight Seeks its Form 1431 47.52% 35.07 0.713 69.46% 0.078 -0.0401
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2564 54.22% 31.76 -0.093 68.25% 0.148 -0.3649
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2362 47.66% 37.04 0.284 74.13% -0.118 -0.0004
Thunderspeaker 4311 51.0% 37.93 -0.285 72.4% -0.121 -0.0891
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 205 31.22% 14.52 0.884 28.29% 0.053 0.0669
Towering Roots of the Jungle 367 48.23% 25.29 -1.818 52.59% -0.319 -0.1899
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1877 80.82% 33.02 0.647 69.1% 0.221 0.3478
Vital Strength of the Earth 3354 55.71% 30.82 -1.86 60.05% -0.189 0.4113
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 313 39.16% 24.19 -1.34 47.6% -0.08 0.4139
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 464 48.48% 31.09 -6.846 62.28% -1.167 -0.4688
Volcano Looming High 1782 56.51% 35.51 -0.026 71.66% 0.097 0.1444
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 727 31.22% 36.43 4.565 74.55% 0.978 0.6877

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 24 41.67% 22.29 6.699 45.83% 0.319 0.5102
Blitz 0 815 53.21% 30.91 -4.556 57.79% -0.589 -0.3719
Dahan Insurrection 4 1106 21.34% 36.91 -2.358 47.65% -1.021 -1.2737
Despicable Theft 2 95 57.89% 33.48 0.254 49.47% -0.054 0.5323
Elemental Invocation 1 216 64.81% 27.19 -10.376 40.74% -1.27 -0.5308
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2332 23.87% 41.26 4.725 72.21% 0.54 -0.0215
Powers Long Forgotten 1 299 71.24% 33.48 -9.671 51.51% -1.033 -0.273
Rituals of Terror 3 310 58.71% 34.88 0.017 44.84% 0.041 0.1607
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 105 61.9% 34.96 -7.86 47.62% -0.939 -0.0312
Second Wave 0 1606 61.79% 34.69 -0.339 61.52% -0.391 -0.2522
The Great River 3 114 65.79% 33.35 -2.141 42.98% -0.693 0.4071
Varied Terrains 2 60 56.67% 27.33 0.953 40.0% -0.106 0.67
Ward the Shores 2 304 64.47% 36.97 -6.389 53.95% -0.931 0.1438

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 39710 55.64% 35.45 -0.097 70.12% 0.068 0.4007
1 Thematic 2554 59.38% 38.37 -1.411 60.45% -0.613 0.073
2 Archipelago 36 69.44% 33.33 16.839 50.0% 0.797 1.405
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9106 51.94% 36.34 -0.365 74.24% 0.069 0.1884
2 Coastline 1058 52.67% 38.34 2.614 76.18% 0.595 0.523
2 Fragment 209 62.02% 36.28 0.044 72.73% 0.147 -0.0374
2 Heart 129 61.42% 38.09 1.398 79.84% 0.279 0.1219
2 Opposite Shores 1660 56.47% 37.43 0.764 76.08% 0.268 0.4187
2 Thematic 973 55.35% 38.08 0.792 61.97% -0.25 0.2575
2 Top to Top 305 58.03% 35.7 -7.723 70.49% -0.382 -0.4401
3 Archipelago 13 61.54% 44.38 0.0 69.23%
3 Coastline 48 35.42% 45.69 6.969 91.67% 0.261 -0.1487
3 Other 146 43.15% 40.58 5.986 84.93% 0.716 -0.0553
3 Round (Default) 3463 47.05% 38.04 0.521 77.91% 0.258 0.1664
3 Sunrise 13 38.46% 37.0 0.0 84.62%
3 Thematic 166 51.52% 39.28 3.359 65.66% 0.382 0.4023
4 Archipelago 12 66.67% 41.75 0.0 83.33%
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 34.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 9 88.89% 37.67 0.0 88.89%
4 Other 57 38.6% 39.02 13.736 82.46% 0.553 -0.1581
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 66.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 100.0% 30.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 289 42.46% 47.81 -2.433 71.97% -0.442 -0.3192
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1764 42.97% 40.13 1.467 82.94% 0.388 0.3856
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 5 0.0% 45.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 70 54.29% 38.31 0.853 78.57% 0.123 -0.3913
5 Thematic 8 50.0% 36.88 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 26 15.38% 59.96 13.948 80.77% 0.5 -0.5384
6 Coastline 2 50.0% 34.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 39 28.21% 31.97 -13.473 56.41% -1.795 -1.8983
6 Star 15 26.67% 23.4 0.953 40.0% -0.077 -0.0904
6 Thematic 441 3.64% 3.5 -3.563 4.99% -0.022 0.2641
6 Two Centers (Default) 64 36.51% 34.08 -1.32 67.19% -0.446 0.0871
7 Other 3 33.33% 17.0 0.0 33.33%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2428 32.71 -1.727 60.75% -0.505 -0.2542
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1992 35.33 1.626 65.91% 0.348 0.2902
All Things Weaken 1279 30.82 -0.348 55.98% -0.275 0.06
Attenuated Essence 242 30.38 0.26 60.33% 0.04 0.0736
Back Against the Wall 1880 33.81 2.602 61.65% 0.127 0.1618
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 270 30.74 -0.548 57.04% -0.049 0.1678
Burn Brightest Before the End 164 32.16 2.192 59.15% 0.281 0.2912
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2348 29.37 -2.113 57.03% -0.458 -0.114
Downward Spiral 5174 31.18 -0.117 62.33% 0.059 0.1765
Erosion of Will 2389 31.25 -0.244 57.05% -0.476 -0.2017
Intensifying Exploitation 260 28.97 1.397 55.0% 0.292 0.5035
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 521 40.39 0.665 89.06% 0.234 -0.3385
Memory Fades to Dust 5133 30.12 0.205 57.37% 0.174 0.4264
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1376 32.64 -1.251 64.9% -0.275 -0.0711
Promising Farmlands 2402 30.15 -1.787 58.45% -0.399 -0.1452
Shattered Fragments of Power 169 34.15 5.454 63.31% 0.552 0.626
Slow Dissolution of Will 220 29.8 0.649 51.82% -0.185 0.1962
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 346 41.48 -3.929 91.33% -0.306 -0.9803
The Border of Life and Death 60 37.52 1.849 81.67% 0.424 -0.1767
Thriving Communities 1339 30.11 -1.577 58.55% -0.274 0.0075
Thriving Crops 106 33.39 -0.938 71.7% 0.145 0.0046
Tipping Point 816 30.56 0.0 56.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 1362 33.22 0.051 62.7% -0.268 -0.0647
Untended Land Crumbles 1246 30.43 -1.411 58.27% -0.327 -0.1372

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 13970 53.13% 36.12 0.336 72.43% 0.196 1.1941
B 14303 52.25% 36.58 -0.685 73.38% -0.067 0.8549
C 15261 53.09% 36.62 0.595 73.45% 0.079 0.8074
D 13649 53.15% 36.12 -0.185 72.62% 0.109 1.0684
E 6074 51.89% 37.02 1.056 75.01% 0.227 1.0457
F 7755 49.49% 37.59 0.998 75.87% 0.243 1.1247
G 6625 53.14% 36.31 -1.156 73.07% -0.333 0.4925
H 7015 50.78% 37.27 1.482 75.1% 0.373 1.2121
East 3045 48.63% 35.13 -0.374 54.94% -0.236 0.6388
Northeast 1879 44.1% 31.93 1.076 49.71% 0.641 1.3929
Northwest 1486 41.35% 29.37 -5.613 45.96% -1.411 -0.5193
Southeast 841 23.57% 21.99 0.796 36.62% 0.349 1.188
Southwest 896 23.24% 19.83 -7.333 34.15% -1.779 -0.4746
West 2668 46.64% 32.94 -0.267 52.1% 0.569 1.5189

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 227 0.0% 34.38 6.863 63.88% 0.375 1.1036
Not Using Events or Tokens 7603 60.14% 30.75 -2.14 60.4% -0.288 0.0574
Skip Initial Invader Actions 692 13.41% 53.44 6.754 88.44% 1.098 0.495
Start of Game Growth 1043 19.03% 48.6 3.687 85.04% 0.633 0.1287
Unlimited Undo 5026 47.0% 37.35 -0.547 73.54% -0.034 -0.1409
Using Tokens but Not Events 4473 39.7% 35.34 -0.801 70.02% -0.12 -0.1494

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9761 13.42 7.67%
II 26634 30.13 72.52%
III 17910 34.83 89.75%
IV 8138 38.67 99.67%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.213 Win Model: 0.042
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 42516 55.84% 35.58 69.43%
2 13329 53.32% 36.91 74.03%
3 3826 46.53% 38.26 77.65%
4 2125 43.62% 41.16 81.55%
5 61 44.26% 35.79 72.13%
6 586 10.1% 11.74 19.45%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 747
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 15749
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18567
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8047
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5768
Lose: Invader deck ran out 379
Lose: Adversary condition 204
Win: Sacrifice victory 271
Lose: Scenario condition 558
Win: Scenario condition 868
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10754
Lose: Spirit destroyed 531

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3351 49.22% 37.3 -0.718 68.01% -0.087 -0.1818
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 106 46.23% 38.1 5.202 69.81% 0.531 0.0553
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1871 75.91% 32.34 -1.875 53.55% -0.329 -0.2169
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 216 55.09% 37.81 2.635 70.37% 0.575 -0.238
Dances Up Earthquakes 96 72.92% 28.92 3.072 52.08% 0.561 0.5517
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1944 54.21% 38.93 2.326 72.99% 0.546 0.4061
Downpour Drenches the World 435 50.69% 26.43 -3.949 46.67% -0.498 -0.2708
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 679 37.26% 40.66 6.325 78.06% 1.314 0.745
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1944 51.52% 40.06 -0.332 73.61% 0.118 -0.2697
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1879 58.37% 38.82 0.003 71.74% -0.051 -0.4449
Finder of Paths Unseen 280 60.0% 24.93 -2.216 42.86% -0.266 0.4624
Fractured Days Split the Sky 615 54.15% 32.8 -3.875 53.33% -0.788 -0.147
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 984 57.93% 36.4 3.239 66.57% 0.769 0.6352
Heart of the Wildfire 2660 78.4% 32.03 -2.287 53.57% -0.347 -0.0174
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5465 61.88% 39.97 1.448 73.1% 0.206 -0.2173
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 260 50.0% 36.2 0.439 65.77% 0.096 -0.2106
Lightning's Swift Strike 2707 63.91% 34.34 1.18 58.81% 0.152 0.3899
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 281 56.68% 38.5 -3.801 66.19% -0.627 -1.0345
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 502 52.89% 41.84 5.925 78.88% 0.924 0.6047
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 349 51.0% 38.33 1.325 65.04% 0.163 0.0825
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1986 62.55% 37.81 0.646 68.73% 0.183 -0.0097
Many Minds Move as One 794 51.51% 38.21 0.186 73.17% 0.08 -0.1363
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3390 68.46% 33.65 -2.23 58.05% -0.451 -0.3118
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 146 76.71% 26.14 1.17 45.89% 0.18 0.2607
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1795 53.66% 38.65 2.049 73.09% 0.415 0.3367
River Surges in Sunlight 3796 66.73% 37.22 -0.411 60.88% 0.041 0.1665
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 34 55.88% 21.85 -6.349 29.41% -1.136 -0.9576
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 308 70.78% 33.46 -2.308 52.92% -0.299 -0.0194
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 266 61.28% 35.06 1.054 55.64% -0.011 -0.1342
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2126 66.76% 34.27 1.782 60.4% 0.521 0.3939
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 40 52.5% 30.88 0.46 57.5% 0.327 0.214
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1468 74.85% 30.8 -3.822 47.68% -0.341 0.1747
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 54 66.67% 31.8 -1.309 55.56% -0.107 -0.1258
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 215 59.35% 36.33 1.065 66.05% 0.246 -0.2572
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 63 65.08% 29.67 -0.096 52.38% 0.09 -0.1014
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 293 67.92% 38.6 7.866 71.33% 0.836 0.7772
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 178 75.84% 35.39 6.234 58.43% 0.63 0.7112
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2730 50.7% 40.19 -1.99 71.17% -0.616 -0.5365
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 165 55.76% 33.15 2.955 60.61% 0.475 0.288
Shifting Memory of Ages 466 72.9% 28.77 2.956 47.0% 0.371 0.6387
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 105 42.86% 30.13 -4.447 57.14% -0.442 -0.5609
Shroud of Silent Mist 647 76.01% 29.72 -2.974 51.16% -0.571 -0.2196
Starlight Seeks its Form 1073 57.0% 32.33 1.542 57.04% 0.404 0.2867
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1516 68.92% 30.63 -1.464 58.18% -0.209 -0.7218
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1387 59.26% 37.27 -1.047 67.41% -0.056 0.0613
Thunderspeaker 2662 62.2% 37.9 -0.403 64.5% -0.178 -0.1463
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 126 47.62% 20.87 -1.567 30.95% -0.455 -0.4418
Towering Roots of the Jungle 253 58.5% 25.3 -2.486 44.27% -0.549 -0.4193
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1308 87.84% 29.85 -1.417 52.14% -0.086 0.0407
Vital Strength of the Earth 1807 69.67% 29.0 -3.971 44.38% -0.767 -0.1675
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 199 58.67% 29.24 -5.034 47.24% -0.999 -0.5051
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 266 65.04% 28.67 -5.503 44.36% -1.206 -0.5081
Volcano Looming High 1121 64.32% 34.59 -1.617 62.09% -0.117 -0.0693
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 456 47.59% 37.89 2.686 73.25% 0.437 0.1471

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 16.67% 12.17 1.69 16.67% 0.117 0.3083
Blitz 0 474 60.34% 33.81 -0.303 49.58% -0.113 0.1046
Dahan Insurrection 4 457 45.08% 56.34 7.399 68.71% 0.668 0.4146
Despicable Theft 2 33 48.48% 32.09 -2.879 39.39% -0.314 0.2721
Elemental Invocation 1 122 67.21% 22.45 -8.228 30.33% -1.039 -0.2993
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1351 23.85% 41.86 1.762 66.4% 0.144 -0.4174
Powers Long Forgotten 1 211 67.3% 30.04 -6.537 40.28% -0.771 -0.0111
Rituals of Terror 3 167 70.06% 31.48 -4.705 31.14% -0.818 -0.6982
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 114 79.82% 34.65 10.2 34.21% 0.212 1.1197
Second Wave 0 991 69.11% 34.45 2.327 53.88% 0.061 0.1998
The Great River 3 51 35.29% 26.45 2.427 31.37% -0.187 0.9126
Varied Terrains 2 24 75.0% 23.08 -9.262 29.17% -1.256 -0.4804
Ward the Shores 2 127 71.65% 33.34 -5.318 37.8% -0.763 0.3115

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 27051 64.64% 34.37 -0.597 61.05% -0.715 -0.3828
1 Thematic 1942 64.66% 37.33 -1.285 50.26% -0.873 -0.1875
2 Archipelago 8 62.5% 42.25 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5792 63.5% 36.36 0.185 66.49% -0.47 -0.3498
2 Coastline 750 56.36% 38.75 3.841 72.67% 0.55 0.4774
2 Fragment 126 65.08% 33.87 8.659 57.94% 0.238 0.0528
2 Heart 115 71.05% 33.17 2.261 54.78% 0.028 -0.1296
2 Opposite Shores 1162 66.44% 35.59 -3.434 64.54% -0.933 -0.7821
2 Thematic 596 70.3% 36.29 1.567 47.48% 0.061 0.5692
2 Top to Top 177 71.02% 36.08 7.397 66.67% 0.264 0.2055
3 Archipelago 5 80.0% 54.8 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 18 50.0% 47.28 0.0 88.89%
3 Other 113 53.1% 38.59 10.796 69.03% 1.056 0.2847
3 Round (Default) 2284 56.09% 38.45 4.13 69.92% 0.53 0.4386
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 32.86 0.0 57.14%
3 Thematic 161 65.22% 33.3 1.982 44.72% 0.312 0.3322
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 16.33 0.0 33.33%
4 Coastline 5 20.0% 22.4 0.0 40.0%
4 Leaf 7 71.43% 42.0 13.522 85.71% 0.667 0.5055
4 Other 64 46.88% 43.95 0.071 82.81% -0.093 -0.8039
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 50.0% 47.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 160 55.0% 36.23 -3.696 46.25% -0.23 -0.1075
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1026 55.3% 36.31 -2.312 64.52% -0.456 -0.4586
5 Other 36 47.06% 31.58 -2.752 44.44% 0.347 -0.167
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 20.67 0.0 33.33%
6 Archipelago 5 0.0% 0.0 -10.656 0.0% -0.352 -1.3897
6 Other 14 57.14% 39.14 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 18 33.33% 24.67 -8.898 33.33% -0.497 -0.5103
6 Thematic 12 25.0% 24.42 -9.538 33.33% -0.22 0.0658
6 Two Centers (Default) 59 57.63% 33.59 5.351 64.41% 0.02 0.5531
7 Other 1 0.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1968 32.06 0.678 50.61% -0.319 -0.0682
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1531 34.64 4.144 55.91% 0.41 0.352
All Things Weaken 1079 30.23 0.455 47.54% -0.309 0.0254
Attenuated Essence 189 32.69 -2.0 58.2% -0.672 -0.6386
Back Against the Wall 1525 34.27 1.272 54.75% -0.178 -0.1432
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 212 27.33 -2.851 45.28% -0.614 -0.3974
Burn Brightest Before the End 148 33.78 3.511 54.05% 0.337 0.3477
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1962 30.24 0.853 51.99% 0.054 0.3986
Downward Spiral 3721 30.7 0.748 53.08% 0.474 0.5912
Erosion of Will 2066 31.07 2.211 48.11% 0.15 0.4246
Intensifying Exploitation 220 28.98 -1.902 51.36% -0.504 -0.2929
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 347 44.09 8.349 91.64% 1.135 0.5621
Memory Fades to Dust 3791 29.62 1.64 47.88% 0.37 0.6227
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1055 30.66 0.954 52.42% 0.178 0.3825
Promising Farmlands 2030 29.99 -0.749 48.97% -0.294 -0.0395
Shattered Fragments of Power 161 33.04 2.044 55.9% -0.123 -0.0487
Slow Dissolution of Will 188 25.46 -2.234 36.17% -0.843 -0.4621
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 209 43.86 4.185 91.39% 0.724 0.0502
The Border of Life and Death 39 35.15 2.45 74.36% 0.489 -0.1119
Thriving Communities 1024 28.64 -0.132 45.9% -0.282 -0.0001
Thriving Crops 97 36.46 2.375 73.2% 0.469 0.3285
Tipping Point 662 31.51 0.0 50.0%
Unnatural Proliferation 1151 31.83 -1.494 50.65% -0.491 -0.2869
Untended Land Crumbles 1111 29.64 0.594 47.88% -0.045 0.1454

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9168 63.19% 34.96 -0.097 62.0% 0.043 1.0412
B 9625 62.46% 35.53 0.413 63.62% 0.301 1.2232
C 9780 62.86% 35.77 1.0 63.97% 0.263 0.9917
D 8708 61.91% 35.55 -0.835 64.02% -0.052 0.9071
E 4172 62.02% 35.49 -0.129 63.73% 0.023 0.8423
F 5107 60.68% 36.15 -0.331 65.89% 0.141 1.0226
G 4492 62.66% 35.42 0.597 64.02% 0.335 1.1601
H 4833 60.51% 36.91 -0.752 67.23% -0.1 0.7392
East 1819 64.27% 37.44 0.496 49.48% -0.068 0.8067
Northeast 979 65.07% 37.38 1.309 49.23% 0.005 0.7568
Northwest 803 68.83% 34.51 -5.825 43.09% -1.204 -0.3116
Southeast 299 58.86% 32.97 -3.012 48.16% -0.807 0.0324
Southwest 306 49.67% 33.2 -2.777 53.59% -0.057 1.2478
West 1651 65.27% 35.45 0.179 47.0% 0.072 1.0222

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 135 0.0% 36.76 8.894 61.48% 0.431 1.1598
Not Using Events or Tokens 4467 66.49% 29.08 -3.914 49.79% -0.755 -0.4096
Skip Initial Invader Actions 571 16.91% 55.77 4.499 88.62% 0.311 -0.2915
Start of Game Growth 895 24.74% 49.88 -0.674 82.35% -0.143 -0.6474
Unlimited Undo 3335 56.12% 38.1 0.061 68.7% 0.074 -0.0329
Using Tokens but Not Events 2267 55.67% 36.68 -0.342 67.89% -0.125 -0.1544

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7301 13.42 3.33%
II 15788 30.13 57.73%
III 14175 34.83 84.78%
IV 4481 38.67 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.086 Win Model: -0.398
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 29167 64.58% 34.54 60.21%
2 8670 64.43% 36.45 65.22%
3 2519 55.5% 38.62 70.23%
4 1252 54.66% 36.66 63.02%
5 31 41.38% 23.19 32.26%
6 106 48.11% 30.22 50.94%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 242
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11802
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8765
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4416
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3737
Lose: Invader deck ran out 369
Lose: Adversary condition 114
Win: Sacrifice victory 187
Lose: Scenario condition 418
Win: Scenario condition 427
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10867
Lose: Spirit destroyed 401

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1564 50.58% 40.07 3.571 64.39% 0.523 0.4282
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 59 35.09% 41.56 5.01 69.49% 0.724 0.2476
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 868 74.97% 32.35 -3.317 45.51% -0.49 -0.3779
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 115 52.17% 36.73 4.096 61.74% 0.429 -0.3841
Dances Up Earthquakes 43 74.42% 23.19 -4.425 32.56% -1.094 -1.1027
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 821 55.68% 41.76 3.904 70.28% 0.807 0.6675
Downpour Drenches the World 221 51.13% 24.6 -2.644 36.2% -0.406 -0.1781
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 309 42.07% 42.14 7.622 73.46% 1.432 0.8622
Eyes Watch From the Trees 887 58.16% 39.07 2.363 62.68% 0.515 0.1278
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 862 60.68% 38.75 -2.166 59.63% -0.396 -0.7904
Finder of Paths Unseen 202 52.48% 33.34 -1.339 56.93% -0.036 0.6927
Fractured Days Split the Sky 252 48.02% 32.7 -2.616 46.83% -0.943 -0.3023
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 450 55.33% 38.87 3.294 65.11% 0.27 0.1363
Heart of the Wildfire 1323 75.89% 33.29 -2.893 48.98% -0.68 -0.3511
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2416 63.88% 39.54 -1.444 62.29% -0.203 -0.6265
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 100 47.0% 45.92 9.699 76.0% 1.084 0.7773
Lightning's Swift Strike 1298 66.69% 35.83 -2.082 51.39% -0.233 0.0045
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 187 77.9% 34.35 -4.863 36.36% -0.729 -1.1368
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 261 47.13% 43.42 3.536 73.95% 0.436 0.1173
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 179 58.1% 40.06 2.681 61.45% -0.01 -0.0912
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 870 68.28% 36.28 0.609 54.71% -0.145 -0.3372
Many Minds Move as One 339 53.39% 39.54 3.495 66.37% 0.495 0.2786
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1464 70.36% 35.83 -5.079 53.55% -0.943 -0.8032
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 54 77.78% 22.91 -1.42 35.19% -0.324 -0.2428
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 850 54.89% 40.62 1.173 68.82% 0.304 0.2255
River Surges in Sunlight 1630 68.24% 37.31 1.933 51.72% 0.315 0.4402
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 23 43.48% 27.26 10.054 43.48% 0.507 0.6853
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 126 68.25% 30.83 -0.138 43.65% 0.078 0.3569
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 171 67.25% 32.6 10.597 33.92% 1.257 1.1342
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 979 66.12% 35.07 1.827 52.71% 0.626 0.4995
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 22 54.55% 27.73 -1.62 40.91% -0.301 -0.4136
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 701 74.18% 30.76 -6.327 39.23% -1.066 -0.5501
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 37 66.67% 16.11 -3.002 18.92% -0.407 -0.4252
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 109 76.15% 33.72 5.233 52.29% 0.614 0.1112
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 31 51.61% 28.65 -11.227 45.16% -0.654 -0.8458
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 107 62.62% 38.62 3.584 61.68% 0.122 0.0634
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 72 76.39% 26.08 -2.026 31.94% -0.092 -0.0108
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1416 49.93% 43.12 5.794 69.0% 0.738 0.8175
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 81 50.62% 31.02 6.632 44.44% 0.723 0.5364
Shifting Memory of Ages 237 67.93% 27.96 -4.039 38.82% -0.358 -0.0904
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 37 55.56% 45.81 8.932 83.78% 0.33 0.2115
Shroud of Silent Mist 303 79.21% 26.51 -1.673 33.0% -0.261 0.0896
Starlight Seeks its Form 372 54.3% 32.93 6.133 54.84% 1.257 1.1391
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 567 74.07% 27.23 3.115 43.74% 0.756 0.2424
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 698 65.47% 37.45 -4.163 55.87% -0.472 -0.3542
Thunderspeaker 1323 63.27% 36.29 -1.566 53.51% -0.392 -0.3597
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 54 50.0% 17.57 -9.291 24.07% -0.75 -0.7367
Towering Roots of the Jungle 107 59.81% 22.36 -2.872 31.78% -0.467 -0.3376
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 721 87.5% 30.93 -0.611 47.43% -0.263 -0.1368
Vital Strength of the Earth 878 66.89% 30.61 -1.418 40.55% -0.424 0.1757
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 110 63.46% 27.57 -0.956 38.18% -0.346 0.1478
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 139 66.19% 32.85 -11.842 48.92% -0.838 -0.1401
Volcano Looming High 526 63.69% 35.43 -2.447 56.08% -0.478 -0.4304
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 223 53.81% 36.2 -0.026 62.33% 0.035 -0.255

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 11.11% 27.56 -5.358 33.33% -0.084 0.1068
Blitz 0 289 61.7% 26.16 -9.833 34.26% -1.227 -1.0097
Dahan Insurrection 4 234 48.72% 49.68 2.156 52.56% 0.119 -0.1343
Despicable Theft 2 36 47.22% 26.92 -10.699 33.33% -0.964 -0.3779
Elemental Invocation 1 56 66.07% 23.68 -3.168 21.43% -0.891 -0.1514
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 901 27.71% 46.67 4.191 68.48% 0.407 -0.155
Powers Long Forgotten 1 84 76.19% 30.45 -5.345 35.71% -0.384 0.3754
Rituals of Terror 3 147 61.9% 31.93 -8.384 28.57% -0.879 -0.7588
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 75 65.33% 38.27 0.0 40.0%
Second Wave 0 382 66.93% 36.55 1.333 51.31% -0.109 0.0294
The Great River 3 49 53.06% 26.43 8.822 22.45% 0.469 1.5692
Varied Terrains 2 26 65.38% 17.73 -7.257 19.23% -0.569 0.2066
Ward the Shores 2 87 63.22% 30.71 0.736 31.03% -0.021 1.0532

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12642 65.93% 34.15 0.086 51.94% 0.319 0.6512
1 Thematic 1242 60.79% 39.0 -0.767 47.1% 0.101 0.7868
2 Archipelago 4 50.0% 24.75 0.0 25.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2974 65.29% 37.37 -0.622 59.52% 0.12 0.2398
2 Coastline 301 63.67% 40.21 -7.016 65.12% -0.228 -0.3
2 Fragment 72 77.46% 33.25 -4.684 47.22% -0.39 -0.5747
2 Heart 39 74.36% 38.9 0.0 58.97%
2 Opposite Shores 433 65.97% 38.31 -3.371 60.05% -0.541 -0.3903
2 Thematic 247 71.66% 35.48 -2.664 39.27% -0.527 -0.0189
2 Top to Top 93 60.22% 34.75 1.483 48.39% 0.188 0.1298
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 23 69.57% 50.65 0.0 78.26%
3 Other 37 70.27% 39.49 -2.604 59.46% -0.07 -0.8417
3 Round (Default) 971 57.22% 39.48 3.947 63.65% 0.686 0.5946
3 Sunrise 7 71.43% 40.14 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 84 66.67% 25.94 0.0 25.0%
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 28.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 33.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 25 28.0% 53.4 2.534 92.0% -0.113 -0.8239
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 79 54.43% 40.34 -1.612 48.1% -0.042 0.0811
4 Trapezoid (Default) 391 53.35% 38.94 -5.339 61.64% -1.472 -1.4749
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 16 56.25% 29.38 9.482 56.25% 0.652 0.1379
5 Thematic 8 37.5% 9.5 0.0 12.5%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 3 66.67% 37.33 10.393 66.67% 0.33 0.2259
6 Star 4 0.0% 45.0 22.518 50.0% 0.223 0.2089
6 Thematic 3 66.67% 49.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Two Centers (Default) 18 44.44% 27.39 4.82 38.89% 0.052 0.5845
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 982 33.25 1.621 44.5% -0.191 0.0599
Aid From Lesser Spirits 742 35.25 1.709 47.17% -0.288 -0.346
All Things Weaken 533 30.84 -0.932 39.4% -0.672 -0.3371
Attenuated Essence 108 30.98 -0.851 48.15% -0.295 -0.2615
Back Against the Wall 682 35.66 4.881 49.27% 0.55 0.5847
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 106 35.02 3.07 54.72% 0.24 0.4574
Burn Brightest Before the End 76 32.24 10.703 40.79% 1.486 1.4967
Disintegrating Ecosystem 928 29.8 1.498 41.06% 0.237 0.5813
Downward Spiral 1912 30.78 1.716 42.94% 0.292 0.4092
Erosion of Will 933 29.49 -5.279 35.26% -1.395 -1.1209
Intensifying Exploitation 85 24.35 1.152 32.94% -0.036 0.1755
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 109 45.94 3.152 84.4% 0.262 -0.3111
Memory Fades to Dust 1930 29.52 -1.629 38.55% -0.439 -0.1864
Power Corrodes the Spirit 491 29.79 -2.722 40.33% -0.488 -0.2834
Promising Farmlands 936 29.57 -1.022 37.93% -0.38 -0.1262
Shattered Fragments of Power 74 33.14 4.744 48.65% 0.598 0.6722
Slow Dissolution of Will 93 21.26 -0.356 23.66% -0.37 0.0111
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 85 44.33 -12.647 85.88% -0.298 -0.9715
The Border of Life and Death 12 31.83 -4.387 58.33% -0.248 -0.8485
Thriving Communities 513 26.95 -5.318 34.11% -1.194 -0.912
Thriving Crops 36 35.0 4.84 66.67% 0.244 0.1043
Tipping Point 324 29.92 0.0 36.11%
Unnatural Proliferation 537 32.26 -0.104 43.2% -0.397 -0.193
Untended Land Crumbles 511 31.23 0.475 43.05% -0.075 0.115

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4115 64.56% 35.8 -1.489 55.36% -0.175 0.8226
B 4431 63.63% 35.92 0.035 55.07% -0.04 0.8825
C 4522 65.48% 35.84 1.11 55.51% 0.273 1.0021
D 4045 63.09% 36.56 0.687 56.93% 0.162 1.1213
E 1919 63.13% 36.67 0.419 58.94% 0.218 1.037
F 2326 61.05% 36.37 0.546 57.27% -0.019 0.863
G 2026 62.28% 36.72 0.907 58.49% 0.272 1.0971
H 2226 63.21% 36.87 1.706 58.0% 0.314 1.1525
East 1042 62.86% 37.57 2.701 42.51% 0.097 0.972
Northeast 561 62.92% 36.5 -3.349 40.64% -0.534 0.2176
Northwest 403 65.26% 35.34 -0.866 39.7% -0.1 0.7925
Southeast 185 55.68% 36.95 0.469 50.27% 0.192 1.0305
Southwest 164 57.32% 29.63 -1.12 39.02% -0.148 1.1569
West 855 63.16% 36.15 -5.523 42.11% -0.627 0.3228

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 66 0.0% 41.29 4.787 65.15% 0.224 0.9524
Not Using Events or Tokens 2264 66.44% 31.62 -4.17 46.69% -0.923 -0.5771
Skip Initial Invader Actions 284 15.13% 58.36 14.337 90.85% 0.895 0.2919
Start of Game Growth 478 24.62% 51.36 6.954 81.8% 0.49 -0.0142
Unlimited Undo 1883 59.86% 38.39 2.141 62.56% 0.651 0.5434
Using Tokens but Not Events 1126 59.69% 33.81 0.971 52.84% 0.005 -0.0246

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5259 13.42 5.88%
II 6923 30.13 54.56%
III 5557 34.83 81.41%
IV 1994 38.67 99.6%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.535 Win Model: 0.176
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13950 65.43% 34.55 51.44%
2 4134 66.03% 37.58 58.54%
3 1102 58.14% 38.84 61.52%
4 495 52.03% 39.77 60.81%
5 22 54.55% 20.09 36.36%
6 30 40.0% 31.1 43.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 308
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4421
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3640
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1965
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2077
Lose: Invader deck ran out 148
Lose: Adversary condition 60
Win: Sacrifice victory 68
Lose: Scenario condition 289
Win: Scenario condition 194
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6322
Lose: Spirit destroyed 241

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 9920 46.85% 43.92 -1.848 64.25% -0.074 -0.1692
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 603 38.14% 35.7 4.11 53.9% 0.88 0.404
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4734 76.92% 34.35 -3.018 45.33% -0.29 -0.1776
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 1202 62.36% 39.84 6.663 57.15% 1.037 0.2244
Dances Up Earthquakes 434 67.97% 27.03 -1.47 40.09% 0.047 0.0377
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4743 53.38% 44.31 0.6 68.84% 0.03 -0.1103
Downpour Drenches the World 1515 50.53% 31.28 -2.794 42.64% -0.319 -0.0919
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 3261 38.4% 46.95 10.293 74.3% 1.86 1.2901
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5175 51.6% 40.72 -0.523 61.51% 0.087 -0.3004
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4205 61.99% 42.12 1.19 61.55% 0.241 -0.1526
Finder of Paths Unseen 1435 55.0% 37.44 -3.338 55.19% -0.638 0.0898
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2994 50.52% 43.02 -0.938 57.35% -0.107 0.534
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 3787 58.14% 43.99 5.456 64.96% 1.071 0.9374
Heart of the Wildfire 7712 69.75% 38.44 -1.929 52.55% -0.187 0.1427
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 14460 58.94% 44.21 -0.447 65.37% 0.079 -0.3444
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 850 56.59% 35.99 0.531 52.35% 0.045 -0.2614
Lightning's Swift Strike 6538 64.25% 37.61 -2.882 51.45% -0.359 -0.1213
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1924 65.64% 42.91 4.927 55.46% 0.522 0.114
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 2749 56.0% 47.7 1.37 75.01% 0.501 0.1816
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1721 52.41% 47.84 4.494 66.18% 0.985 0.904
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5424 62.02% 41.24 -1.001 60.1% -0.059 -0.2513
Many Minds Move as One 2208 48.07% 45.26 3.968 72.28% 0.618 0.4013
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9010 65.87% 36.64 -5.036 47.68% -0.712 -0.5723
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 571 75.66% 23.9 -3.884 31.17% -0.602 -0.5207
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4969 52.51% 45.79 3.857 72.55% 0.721 0.6426
River Surges in Sunlight 8587 62.54% 43.56 -1.103 57.48% -0.145 -0.0195
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 168 61.31% 30.75 1.721 40.48% -0.381 -0.2031
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 725 66.16% 34.3 -6.781 40.83% -1.683 -1.4041
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1298 60.77% 37.68 2.242 45.99% 0.157 0.0344
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7118 57.32% 39.99 -1.608 57.35% -0.157 -0.2844
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 168 54.76% 38.93 3.044 58.93% 0.568 0.4552
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2395 73.06% 33.21 -9.087 39.33% -1.686 -1.1704
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 212 73.58% 29.25 0.038 37.26% 0.252 0.2334
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 958 68.63% 33.84 0.058 48.54% 0.126 -0.3767
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 186 71.51% 36.45 2.621 50.0% 0.193 0.0016
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 1182 65.14% 41.56 3.32 57.53% 0.204 0.145
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 529 72.21% 36.97 -1.062 45.56% -0.172 -0.0909
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5932 49.59% 45.89 2.796 68.31% 0.432 0.5116
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 829 51.39% 31.61 3.21 46.92% 0.445 0.2584
Shifting Memory of Ages 1570 70.22% 33.47 -5.077 41.21% -0.701 -0.4333
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 320 52.19% 33.9 -0.255 45.31% -0.126 -0.2445
Shroud of Silent Mist 1562 76.59% 31.24 -1.811 42.13% -0.253 0.0979
Starlight Seeks its Form 4051 56.23% 39.93 2.086 58.21% 0.572 0.4544
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5763 68.91% 32.68 -4.667 45.29% -0.68 -1.1931
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4240 57.86% 43.17 3.004 63.68% 0.561 0.678
Thunderspeaker 5114 63.81% 39.42 -2.528 53.68% -0.074 -0.0421
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 349 55.01% 22.46 -2.39 31.52% -0.527 -0.5132
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1026 61.01% 24.17 -4.672 34.41% -0.536 -0.4069
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 5377 82.14% 37.74 -0.062 55.53% 0.146 0.2719
Vital Strength of the Earth 3316 61.31% 31.64 -7.313 39.41% -1.447 -0.8475
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 726 57.06% 33.29 1.912 46.69% 0.337 0.8309
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 988 66.12% 32.69 -6.591 41.09% -1.262 -0.5642
Volcano Looming High 4737 62.15% 42.22 0.273 63.56% 0.158 0.2059
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1694 53.31% 39.39 3.42 60.15% 0.733 0.443

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 42 73.81% 40.57 -9.597 40.48% -0.274 -0.0831
Blitz 0 875 55.16% 39.19 -6.325 50.17% -1.131 -0.9134
Dahan Insurrection 4 1155 44.27% 57.87 4.346 59.31% 0.314 0.0614
Despicable Theft 2 78 62.82% 28.87 -4.034 26.92% -0.318 0.2685
Elemental Invocation 1 152 73.03% 30.65 -6.025 32.24% -0.678 0.0616
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 9320 23.31% 53.04 8.368 72.24% 1.213 0.6514
Powers Long Forgotten 1 210 66.35% 29.94 -13.786 27.62% -0.692 0.0679
Rituals of Terror 3 437 48.05% 29.6 12.248 19.91% 0.503 0.623
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 94 85.11% 34.91 -25.634 27.66% -0.567 0.3406
Second Wave 0 958 77.53% 36.62 -1.667 46.45% -0.618 -0.4793
The Great River 3 115 44.35% 19.9 -13.062 11.3% -0.385 0.7151
Varied Terrains 2 123 64.23% 22.79 -10.038 20.33% -1.515 -0.739
Ward the Shores 2 243 72.31% 32.78 -7.742 30.45% -0.585 0.4894

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 90128 64.43% 38.09 -0.312 54.89% 0.122 0.4548
1 Thematic 3215 52.25% 42.35 1.127 49.58% -0.168 0.5178
2 Archipelago 68 65.67% 33.4 -10.665 32.35% -0.762 -0.1545
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12280 64.55% 40.72 0.556 59.89% 0.005 0.1244
2 Coastline 1873 61.79% 41.11 1.444 60.17% 0.215 0.1429
2 Fragment 335 68.06% 44.59 4.49 67.46% 0.113 -0.0721
2 Heart 225 78.67% 41.84 6.768 49.78% 0.885 0.7276
2 Opposite Shores 2835 60.51% 38.73 -1.713 53.19% -0.344 -0.1932
2 Thematic 633 65.71% 41.4 6.135 40.6% 0.533 1.0411
2 Top to Top 552 63.21% 39.84 -2.264 57.07% -0.32 -0.3782
3 Archipelago 20 60.0% 68.6 0.0 85.0%
3 Coastline 87 28.74% 50.26 8.379 75.86% 0.476 0.0656
3 Other 138 66.67% 44.67 5.183 67.39% 0.62 -0.151
3 Round (Default) 4921 55.54% 42.11 -0.382 62.26% -0.141 -0.2319
3 Sunrise 26 65.38% 43.85 21.651 61.54% 0.673 0.5767
3 Thematic 162 65.19% 46.38 2.681 45.06% -0.393 -0.3723
4 Archipelago 16 37.5% 57.94 0.0 56.25%
4 Coastline 28 10.71% 53.5 0.0 82.14%
4 Leaf 13 76.92% 17.77 0.0 15.38%
4 Other 251 34.66% 53.16 8.499 84.46% 0.951 0.2403
4 Thematic 1258 32.11% 61.14 -4.609 77.5% -1.016 -0.8932
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3705 45.59% 39.13 -2.633 56.73% -0.53 -0.5332
5 Archipelago 17 64.71% 28.94 0.0 23.53%
5 Coastline 36 5.56% 49.25 -13.144 77.78% -0.638 -0.7838
5 Other 131 60.32% 51.34 1.826 80.92% 0.288 -0.2258
5 Thematic 25 40.0% 40.28 4.738 52.0% 0.027 -0.0303
6 Archipelago 21 0.0% 55.86 -1.367 71.43% -0.485 -1.5236
6 Coastline 15 13.33% 41.8 16.357 66.67% 0.353 -0.6064
6 Other 41 37.5% 39.24 1.614 51.22% -0.311 -0.4144
6 Star 24 29.17% 36.63 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 501 71.8% 51.95 2.66 71.26% 0.392 0.678
6 Two Centers (Default) 170 31.95% 41.39 1.087 55.88% -0.582 -0.0487
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 4 0.0% 0.0 -0.757 0.0% -0.039 -0.5975

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 5844 34.79 -1.023 43.81% -0.563 -0.3123
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4616 39.26 1.548 51.99% -0.204 -0.2614
All Things Weaken 3740 34.75 0.174 43.9% -0.3 0.0344
Attenuated Essence 928 32.58 -1.33 44.94% -0.363 -0.3299
Back Against the Wall 4317 38.4 3.318 49.55% 0.175 0.2098
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 953 30.22 -0.445 41.24% -0.33 -0.1134
Burn Brightest Before the End 576 34.2 2.43 45.49% 0.184 0.1951
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5795 32.56 -1.844 43.74% -0.33 0.0142
Downward Spiral 8982 32.88 -0.258 44.12% -0.161 -0.0433
Erosion of Will 5787 33.46 0.75 40.82% -0.198 0.0763
Intensifying Exploitation 917 28.6 -0.551 38.28% -0.228 -0.0173
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 953 47.61 2.708 81.53% 0.578 0.0055
Memory Fades to Dust 9070 32.16 0.344 39.71% -0.027 0.2252
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3699 34.07 -0.822 44.88% -0.409 -0.2041
Promising Farmlands 5669 32.74 -1.148 42.25% -0.375 -0.1205
Shattered Fragments of Power 582 35.26 4.389 46.56% 0.212 0.2866
Slow Dissolution of Will 870 28.92 -1.828 34.83% -0.813 -0.4314
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 654 50.68 3.59 87.31% 0.613 -0.0607
The Border of Life and Death 153 38.98 1.543 64.71% 0.321 -0.2797
Thriving Communities 3591 32.47 0.35 42.55% -0.188 0.0941
Thriving Crops 285 34.53 0.384 56.84% 0.215 0.0745
Tipping Point 1597 32.82 -13.344 40.08% -0.305 0.0894
Unnatural Proliferation 3942 36.32 0.802 46.27% -0.27 -0.0661
Untended Land Crumbles 3557 33.56 -1.686 43.49% -0.623 -0.4332

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 25418 60.25% 38.99 -0.579 56.11% -0.345 0.653
B 25732 60.43% 38.46 0.005 55.09% -0.35 0.5726
C 27704 63.84% 38.47 0.791 54.76% -0.195 0.5344
D 23167 62.9% 38.37 -1.037 54.98% -0.423 0.5361
E 14113 61.64% 39.85 -0.892 58.4% -0.48 0.3388
F 16224 57.16% 41.84 0.248 62.36% -0.197 0.6851
G 14063 59.39% 40.38 1.03 59.28% -0.108 0.7169
H 14306 60.29% 39.99 -0.44 59.08% -0.413 0.4263
East 4058 49.9% 50.75 -0.964 60.89% -1.366 -0.4913
Northeast 2707 49.02% 52.56 4.849 62.91% 0.53 1.282
Northwest 2458 50.02% 48.82 -1.449 59.15% -0.773 0.1191
Southeast 1129 56.12% 50.81 4.118 67.76% 0.273 1.1121
Southwest 1113 59.41% 48.65 0.578 65.86% -0.676 0.6282
West 3801 50.23% 48.42 2.363 58.46% 0.155 1.1044

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 710 0.0% 36.47 -16.641 53.1% -1.319 -0.5901
Not Using Events or Tokens 7791 68.36% 30.6 -4.817 39.82% -0.424 -0.0784
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3524 18.69% 61.79 9.422 83.74% 0.824 0.2215
Start of Game Growth 4799 21.44% 58.99 6.743 81.5% 0.944 0.4396
Unlimited Undo 13591 49.42% 44.47 -0.076 67.35% -0.057 -0.1639
Using Tokens but Not Events 6145 52.33% 40.05 0.939 56.7% 0.113 0.0833

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 34051 13.42 7.61%
II 39752 30.13 57.71%
III 38905 34.83 84.13%
IV 11108 38.67 99.8%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.236 Win Model: 0.429
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 93766 64.01% 38.26 54.71%
2 18556 63.88% 40.57 58.27%
3 5300 55.58% 42.28 62.17%
4 5265 41.67% 45.04 62.91%
5 148 45.83% 47.55 72.3%
6 781 56.94% 48.55 66.45%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2586
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 32150
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 22150
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10963
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 14734
Lose: Invader deck ran out 897
Lose: Adversary condition 613
Win: Sacrifice victory 599
Lose: Scenario condition 1956
Win: Scenario condition 901
Lose: Blight pool ran out 34722
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1545

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)