The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5046 26.8% 24.01 0.301 83.61% 0.108 -0.0142
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3441 48.85% 22.7 -0.615 78.44% 0.026 0.2673
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 13 0.0% 27.85 4.188 69.23% 0.21 -0.7914
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2356 26.09% 25.71 1.645 89.39% 0.686 0.4593
Downpour Drenches the World 267 26.97% 19.64 -1.398 62.17% -0.575 -0.2499
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 238 23.11% 23.08 2.864 66.81% 0.548 0.0486
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2783 16.61% 27.91 1.949 91.3% 0.502 0.0407
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2452 23.68% 26.87 1.593 90.95% 0.619 0.1899
Finder of Paths Unseen 143 36.36% 15.0 -4.906 45.45% -1.41 -0.5869
Fractured Days Split the Sky 481 38.46% 23.45 -2.701 66.94% -1.023 -0.4261
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 595 42.86% 24.67 -0.572 75.13% 0.078 0.077
Heart of the Wildfire 3425 58.05% 20.83 -0.814 72.7% -0.128 0.2565
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4779 28.32% 26.62 3.275 90.02% 0.886 0.3914
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 15 6.67% 22.27 1.499 73.33% 0.374 -0.1731
Lightning's Swift Strike 5071 42.21% 22.72 -0.572 76.14% -0.191 -0.0081
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 98 26.53% 27.18 3.457 78.57% 0.253 -0.2835
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 318 29.97% 27.27 4.642 86.79% 1.284 0.9931
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 278 37.55% 24.56 2.328 77.7% 0.536 0.3883
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1263 32.96% 26.33 0.623 84.24% 0.178 -0.0734
Many Minds Move as One 876 24.8% 26.47 0.265 87.67% 0.037 -0.1196
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5030 42.21% 23.72 -0.672 81.49% -0.118 -0.1071
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2190 29.45% 24.75 0.241 85.89% 0.191 0.0451
River Surges in Sunlight 6033 38.81% 25.41 0.449 77.61% -0.07 -0.032
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 447 37.36% 25.04 0.178 75.39% -0.228 0.0316
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 115 36.52% 23.42 0.637 66.09% -0.215 -0.2658
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2848 36.38% 23.11 0.339 82.58% 0.324 0.1493
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3711 54.22% 22.41 -1.75 73.67% -0.465 0.1477
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 61 40.98% 23.59 -0.337 65.57% -0.471 -0.3673
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 19 31.58% 29.26 5.51 89.47% 1.348 0.7669
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 51 25.49% 23.16 -2.593 68.63% -0.277 -0.2306
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 251 36.25% 25.24 -4.794 83.27% -0.691 -0.6107
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 194 42.78% 25.44 2.323 81.96% 0.376 0.5839
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3125 29.72% 26.21 -0.307 85.66% -0.06 0.0196
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 55 18.18% 21.93 1.87 67.27% 0.079 -0.2435
Shifting Memory of Ages 519 48.26% 21.47 -1.359 70.33% -0.42 -0.1551
Shroud of Silent Mist 587 51.37% 21.76 -1.776 72.74% -0.402 -0.0341
Starlight Seeks its Form 820 20.96% 28.08 -0.376 82.07% -0.009 -0.2365
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1574 28.57% 24.2 1.023 85.71% 0.345 -0.0115
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1918 34.26% 23.92 -0.395 81.49% -0.007 0.1255
Thunderspeaker 4656 30.45% 26.17 -0.139 82.69% -0.145 -0.1158
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 38 26.32% 16.84 -5.065 44.74% -0.988 -0.7483
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1186 59.05% 20.26 -2.421 74.96% -0.312 -0.1214
Vital Strength of the Earth 5027 33.63% 21.77 -1.815 74.26% -0.43 0.1268
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 84 19.05% 20.87 -0.831 64.29% -0.45 -0.0406
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 247 30.2% 19.5 -3.236 67.61% -0.784 -0.056
Volcano Looming High 852 36.87% 23.66 1.234 77.7% 0.4 0.419
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 36 19.44% 24.14 3.177 77.78% 0.993 0.3995

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 14.29% 24.57 0.0 85.71%
Blitz 0 893 41.38% 20.79 -1.703 70.32% -0.632 -0.5213
Dahan Insurrection 4 750 23.21% 43.53 4.409 77.33% -0.3 -0.5355
Despicable Theft 2 116 29.31% 23.83 -3.816 57.76% -0.97 -0.3272
Elemental Invocation 1 157 45.22% 23.44 1.056 64.97% 0.004 0.8061
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2004 8.5% 29.49 3.758 80.69% 0.465 -0.3087
Powers Long Forgotten 1 427 47.31% 26.16 -1.896 69.56% -0.653 0.1198
Rituals of Terror 3 515 43.16% 31.3 -3.666 64.27% -1.377 -1.3613
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 287 61.67% 30.7 -1.676 62.37% -0.96 0.0974
Second Wave 0 821 56.76% 25.4 6.942 71.38% 0.292 0.3721
The Great River 3 133 44.36% 24.41 -0.057 46.62% -0.557 0.5715
Varied Terrains 2 70 34.29% 19.94 -2.34 51.43% -1.068 -0.3759
Ward the Shores 2 505 39.41% 28.62 -0.748 69.7% -0.578 0.2854

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 34212 39.6% 23.36 -0.216 79.1% -0.16 0.0411
1 Thematic 3932 41.34% 29.8 0.276 73.63% -0.671 0.0485
2 Archipelago 11 27.27% 33.91 10.714 72.73% 0.863 1.1174
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7883 34.81% 23.47 -0.615 82.18% -0.204 -0.1961
2 Coastline 653 33.39% 23.7 1.584 83.15% 0.79 0.5854
2 Fragment 166 38.04% 22.24 1.484 83.13% 0.674 0.397
2 Heart 109 54.21% 20.59 -5.138 74.31% -0.836 -1.0568
2 Opposite Shores 876 33.73% 23.02 0.318 84.47% 0.288 0.345
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -8.804 0.0% -0.437 0.8128
2 Thematic 880 41.0% 30.95 1.786 75.68% -0.148 0.3033
2 Top to Top 170 34.32% 22.57 -0.035 83.53% 0.438 0.3404
3 Archipelago 8 37.5% 27.88 -1.801 62.5% -0.222 -1.0131
3 Coastline 16 50.0% 20.5 0.0 68.75%
3 Other 79 39.24% 20.81 3.326 74.68% 0.412 0.3833
3 Round (Default) 2484 28.29% 24.52 1.896 86.03% 0.342 0.1158
3 Sunrise 8 12.5% 25.63 0.0 87.5%
3 Thematic 194 37.63% 28.61 -5.904 70.1% -0.875 -0.6787
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 47.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 6 16.67% 10.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 6 16.67% 27.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 31 29.03% 22.29 1.409 83.87% 0.302 -1.0559
4 Thematic 599 30.7% 29.82 0.949 90.65% 0.247 0.0489
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1136 25.94% 23.84 -1.787 85.3% -0.53 -0.7731
5 Other 35 54.29% 26.31 -0.44 77.14% -0.428 -1.4845
5 Thematic 8 37.5% 32.25 0.0 87.5%
6 Other 4 50.0% 21.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 5 0.0% 20.0 -0.25 60.0% 0.086 0.0289
6 Thematic 39 7.89% 21.28 0.685 51.28% 0.378 1.1319
6 Two Centers (Default) 45 11.11% 18.04 -2.051 62.22% -0.28 -0.8596
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 6 0.0% 25.17 -12.245 50.0% -0.622 -1.0337

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1253 18.15 -1.111 60.18% -0.603 -0.4433
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1107 19.44 0.519 59.62% -0.149 -0.2357
All Things Weaken 572 17.93 0.877 56.47% 0.074 0.4165
Attenuated Essence 36 16.86 -0.48 52.78% 0.283 0.3571
Back Against the Wall 1072 18.82 -0.094 58.21% -0.397 -0.3216
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 24 21.75 2.091 50.0% -0.185 0.0062
Burn Brightest Before the End 6 16.33 -2.041 33.33% -0.683 -0.5593
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1230 15.67 -1.247 55.61% -0.602 -0.2288
Downward Spiral 4421 16.65 -1.965 61.71% -0.359 -0.2224
Erosion of Will 1289 17.91 -1.177 58.18% -0.649 -0.3543
Intensifying Exploitation 33 12.67 -1.795 39.39% -0.669 -0.4309
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 217 24.69 1.448 89.86% 0.218 -0.3138
Memory Fades to Dust 4521 16.07 -1.557 57.18% -0.346 -0.0654
Power Corrodes the Spirit 559 18.63 -0.142 62.08% 0.241 0.3936
Promising Farmlands 1310 16.99 -2.747 60.08% -0.922 -0.576
Shattered Fragments of Power 24 25.54 3.358 66.67% 0.123 0.3175
Slow Dissolution of Will 30 20.27 0.29 56.67% -0.295 0.1561
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 160 24.68 -1.284 93.75% 0.522 -0.2185
The Border of Life and Death 13 22.77 -8.559 69.23% -0.785 -1.2176
Thriving Communities 559 18.02 -2.339 59.75% -0.767 -0.4686
Thriving Crops 20 18.4 -0.961 70.0% 0.136 0.0337
Tipping Point 504 16.8 0.0 60.52%
Unnatural Proliferation 558 19.4 1.727 59.68% 0.166 0.3115
Untended Land Crumbles 614 17.72 -3.226 59.12% -1.175 -0.8756

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11850 38.51% 22.9 -0.166 79.88% -0.411 0.5836
B 12117 36.94% 23.22 -0.064 80.41% -0.37 0.5478
C 12491 36.2% 23.36 -0.582 80.71% -0.625 0.1172
D 11842 35.7% 23.38 -0.439 81.05% -0.555 0.3962
E 3413 32.79% 24.45 0.033 81.51% -0.563 0.2178
F 5298 33.13% 24.28 0.372 83.31% -0.556 0.3362
G 4980 34.2% 23.9 0.456 82.25% -0.431 0.4239
H 5236 33.55% 24.29 0.566 83.17% -0.4 0.4479
East 3591 37.75% 30.62 -0.356 77.5% -0.832 -0.0625
Northeast 2202 36.43% 30.43 1.249 78.52% -0.259 0.5288
Northwest 1757 36.79% 29.66 1.18 77.75% -0.383 0.6006
Southeast 468 35.97% 27.67 0.45 72.86% -0.345 0.5294
Southwest 433 36.81% 24.39 0.127 71.59% -0.057 1.1511
West 3198 39.81% 29.39 -0.977 75.58% -0.799 0.1352

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 526 0.0% 20.14 -2.633 66.16% -0.487 0.1428
Not Using Events or Tokens 12939 45.11% 21.36 -0.969 73.48% -0.158 0.3487
Skip Initial Invader Actions 812 9.69% 34.74 6.401 92.36% 0.532 -0.1031
Start of Game Growth 1235 14.26% 31.81 2.727 89.8% -0.066 -0.4556
Unlimited Undo 3000 28.0% 26.19 1.484 84.93% 0.23 0.2739
Using Tokens but Not Events 3959 28.68% 25.36 0.545 84.9% 0.109 0.0819

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6753 17.67 38.03%
II 19525 30.7 78.69%
III 18345 34.75 86.67%
IV 9021 38.22 99.15%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.091 Win Model: 0.513
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 38393 39.79% 24.01 78.38%
2 10624 35.36% 24.03 82.29%
3 2733 28.76% 24.69 84.78%
4 1775 27.93% 25.92 87.55%
5 36 16.67% 13.92 33.33%
6 82 12.5% 23.34 68.29%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2564
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 15446
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 14529
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8860
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2038
Lose: Invader deck ran out 754
Lose: Adversary condition 237
Win: Sacrifice victory 199
Lose: Scenario condition 505
Win: Scenario condition 1177
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6965
Lose: Spirit destroyed 370

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3328 27.63% 29.92 1.12 82.81% 0.313 0.1905
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2106 51.25% 27.91 -0.595 78.25% -0.065 0.176
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 29 24.14% 34.41 4.632 86.21% 0.763 -0.2377
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1636 29.0% 30.59 0.441 88.2% 0.131 -0.0955
Downpour Drenches the World 215 24.19% 24.1 -2.268 68.37% -0.524 -0.1988
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 194 17.1% 29.61 1.613 80.41% 0.476 -0.023
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2125 18.55% 33.88 1.694 92.85% 0.232 -0.2283
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1661 24.02% 33.23 1.141 89.89% 0.375 -0.0547
Finder of Paths Unseen 125 37.9% 25.2 -4.501 57.6% -1.152 -0.3292
Fractured Days Split the Sky 414 36.08% 30.46 -3.873 73.43% -0.951 -0.3542
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 456 39.04% 27.2 -2.367 72.37% -0.79 -0.7909
Heart of the Wildfire 2371 57.41% 27.0 -0.663 77.35% 0.146 0.5304
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3622 35.36% 30.89 0.196 87.96% 0.153 -0.3419
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 20 10.0% 20.2 -0.96 55.0% -0.264 -0.8104
Lightning's Swift Strike 3168 39.46% 29.3 0.473 80.4% 0.25 0.4326
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 148 20.27% 46.26 4.631 79.05% -0.102 -0.6389
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 239 33.05% 30.93 1.682 82.85% 0.036 -0.2548
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 235 34.04% 29.86 -5.672 81.28% -0.947 -1.0953
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 955 36.79% 30.61 2.774 84.5% 0.746 0.495
Many Minds Move as One 716 26.68% 30.81 -0.591 86.87% -0.2 -0.3571
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3031 42.69% 29.54 0.878 80.73% 0.042 0.0529
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1591 33.02% 31.42 3.595 85.54% 0.74 0.5936
River Surges in Sunlight 3888 40.05% 30.91 0.8 78.78% -0.002 0.0361
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 306 44.59% 28.39 0.064 73.2% -0.162 0.0979
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 150 35.33% 28.38 0.996 68.67% -0.123 -0.1738
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1763 37.74% 28.81 -0.25 82.76% 0.055 -0.1197
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2138 55.9% 27.01 -2.781 73.06% -0.509 0.1036
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 30 53.33% 30.2 4.66 83.33% 0.969 1.0728
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 26 34.62% 31.54 4.141 80.77% 0.778 0.1963
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 48 29.17% 28.29 2.876 79.17% 0.525 0.5714
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 229 38.43% 29.2 -1.44 82.97% -0.173 -0.0924
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 141 55.4% 30.01 2.721 80.14% 0.215 0.4229
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2253 31.58% 31.45 0.888 85.75% 0.218 0.2973
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 73 10.96% 27.03 2.162 73.97% 0.424 0.1016
Shifting Memory of Ages 381 42.37% 25.2 -3.558 69.55% -0.946 -0.6811
Shroud of Silent Mist 450 53.9% 26.11 -2.277 76.22% -0.584 -0.216
Starlight Seeks its Form 424 37.12% 28.16 -0.136 76.65% -0.023 -0.251
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 959 41.13% 25.67 -0.603 79.67% 0.222 -0.1345
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1345 35.38% 28.79 -1.166 80.82% -0.294 -0.1614
Thunderspeaker 3129 32.85% 31.53 1.085 82.74% 0.398 0.4267
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 41 31.71% 16.27 -2.636 43.9% -0.566 -0.3264
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 745 69.14% 23.79 -2.705 71.28% -0.335 -0.1446
Vital Strength of the Earth 2927 39.72% 26.03 -2.301 74.17% -0.449 0.1083
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 96 35.79% 24.9 -0.469 66.67% 0.095 0.5047
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 170 39.41% 23.82 -0.04 68.24% 0.123 0.8507
Volcano Looming High 583 48.03% 26.3 -1.071 75.64% -0.271 -0.2516
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 62 19.35% 30.87 4.098 87.1% 1.33 0.7366

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 10 40.0% 31.9 4.075 90.0% 0.789 0.6488
Blitz 0 725 47.82% 23.8 -2.958 66.21% -0.516 -0.4052
Dahan Insurrection 4 581 22.24% 50.27 7.615 82.96% -0.063 -0.2978
Despicable Theft 2 108 44.44% 28.15 -0.571 57.41% -0.862 -0.2193
Elemental Invocation 1 139 56.12% 25.52 -1.678 63.31% -0.132 0.6702
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1534 11.83% 33.86 2.15 76.99% -0.255 -1.0287
Powers Long Forgotten 1 401 55.36% 29.73 -4.468 68.33% -1.374 -0.6015
Rituals of Terror 3 372 45.97% 36.97 1.381 69.62% -0.376 -0.3595
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 258 67.83% 32.81 -3.733 58.91% -1.234 -0.1767
Second Wave 0 2248 44.67% 29.78 -0.179 76.87% -0.415 -0.3347
The Great River 3 117 42.74% 28.7 -3.835 47.86% -1.292 -0.1633
Varied Terrains 2 68 33.82% 20.04 -6.211 44.12% -1.541 -0.8485
Ward the Shores 2 440 47.84% 30.62 0.409 61.82% -0.051 0.8117

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 20580 41.51% 27.83 0.203 79.2% 0.17 0.3708
1 Thematic 3153 45.45% 33.2 -0.988 70.47% -0.56 0.1596
2 Archipelago 12 50.0% 43.17 8.044 100.0% 0.686 0.9409
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5096 36.48% 28.87 0.162 84.18% 0.309 0.3165
2 Coastline 554 40.48% 27.88 -1.67 81.23% 0.014 -0.1914
2 Fragment 138 47.1% 27.63 -3.854 83.33% -0.838 -1.1151
2 Heart 87 34.48% 28.71 9.297 87.36% 0.38 0.1598
2 Opposite Shores 853 34.88% 28.83 0.569 86.99% 0.717 0.7744
2 Thematic 771 43.9% 33.51 0.225 71.47% -0.05 0.4022
2 Top to Top 157 42.58% 27.62 -7.15 79.62% -1.033 -1.1306
3 Archipelago 8 25.0% 45.75 8.469 100.0% 0.67 -0.1211
3 Coastline 13 61.54% 32.46 0.0 76.92%
3 Other 74 32.88% 28.34 6.893 87.84% 0.834 0.8046
3 Round (Default) 1883 28.09% 29.87 -0.965 86.99% -0.063 -0.2892
3 Sunrise 3 66.67% 28.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 141 41.13% 33.0 -2.913 68.79% -0.265 -0.0686
4 Archipelago 10 20.0% 38.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 11 36.36% 21.36 -6.477 36.36% -0.11 -0.696
4 Leaf 5 0.0% 37.6 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 50 40.0% 28.22 -5.977 84.0% -0.682 -2.039
4 Thematic 291 42.41% 36.54 -2.571 87.63% -0.257 -0.4555
4 Trapezoid (Default) 774 30.79% 30.06 1.68 85.79% 0.547 0.304
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 38 23.68% 30.84 2.166 86.84% 1.095 0.0385
5 Thematic 6 0.0% 25.33 -6.085 50.0% -0.204 -0.6822
6 Archipelago 32 6.25% 62.13 8.337 71.88% -0.436 -1.1725
6 Other 43 6.98% 66.28 -0.681 86.05% -0.288 -1.0247
6 Star 3 0.0% 33.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 14 42.86% 33.07 -1.987 71.43% -0.033 0.7212
6 Two Centers (Default) 32 31.25% 20.75 -7.951 53.13% -1.314 -1.8938
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 51.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 899 23.78 -0.104 63.52% -0.134 0.0257
Aid From Lesser Spirits 846 23.98 1.098 63.24% 0.259 0.1732
All Things Weaken 439 22.84 -0.945 61.05% -0.764 -0.4223
Attenuated Essence 26 25.12 -3.54 69.23% -0.395 -0.3209
Back Against the Wall 787 23.43 -1.381 61.25% -0.658 -0.5828
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 35 23.17 1.342 62.86% 0.086 0.2767
Burn Brightest Before the End 28 24.82 2.404 50.0% 0.238 0.3619
Disintegrating Ecosystem 959 20.78 -0.732 60.58% 0.271 0.6441
Downward Spiral 2670 21.42 -2.493 62.58% -0.584 -0.447
Erosion of Will 953 22.15 -0.446 58.03% -0.268 0.0262
Intensifying Exploitation 16 24.25 2.651 62.5% 0.138 0.3763
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 151 29.04 1.611 90.73% 0.137 -0.3954
Memory Fades to Dust 2785 20.67 -1.951 57.31% -0.567 -0.2859
Power Corrodes the Spirit 403 21.29 -2.061 59.06% -0.55 -0.3972
Promising Farmlands 1006 21.53 0.151 61.53% 0.168 0.5147
Shattered Fragments of Power 14 20.86 4.318 50.0% 0.715 0.9098
Slow Dissolution of Will 22 21.27 0.689 59.09% 0.24 0.6916
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 107 30.4 3.413 97.2% 0.457 -0.2834
The Border of Life and Death 12 24.67 4.541 83.33% 1.002 0.569
Thriving Communities 401 20.94 -2.375 59.6% -0.408 -0.1097
Thriving Crops 15 23.67 4.953 73.33% 0.365 0.2623
Tipping Point 365 21.32 0.0 59.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 462 23.59 0.116 58.66% -0.356 -0.2105
Untended Land Crumbles 407 22.21 -0.896 63.64% -0.141 0.1579

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7745 39.95% 28.43 0.059 80.77% -0.361 0.6331
B 8036 37.33% 28.83 0.184 82.07% -0.376 0.5422
C 8320 37.11% 29.01 0.326 82.69% -0.14 0.6027
D 7730 37.05% 28.95 -0.26 82.34% -0.346 0.6058
E 2495 35.42% 28.9 0.466 81.32% -0.175 0.6058
F 3618 34.97% 28.84 0.764 83.22% -0.057 0.8356
G 3316 36.86% 29.22 0.147 82.3% -0.506 0.3494
H 3447 33.91% 29.62 0.869 83.49% -0.072 0.7766
East 2767 43.62% 34.36 0.895 72.86% -0.299 0.4704
Northeast 1592 44.91% 34.21 1.087 73.43% -0.317 0.4705
Northwest 1234 43.75% 34.56 0.362 77.39% -0.097 0.8866
Southeast 336 37.5% 31.3 -4.314 70.54% -0.984 -0.11
Southwest 318 40.57% 27.15 -4.432 65.09% -0.719 0.4891
West 2399 45.43% 33.02 -4.086 72.2% -1.284 -0.3495

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 267 0.0% 24.45 -0.459 70.04% -0.326 0.3031
Not Using Events or Tokens 6555 46.16% 26.04 -2.107 73.3% -0.596 -0.0901
Skip Initial Invader Actions 446 9.38% 40.5 4.33 91.26% 0.635 -0.0001
Start of Game Growth 703 13.56% 37.47 0.717 90.18% 0.007 -0.3829
Unlimited Undo 2138 32.29% 29.41 -0.501 82.51% -0.008 0.0363
Using Tokens but Not Events 2802 31.02% 30.89 -0.419 83.69% -0.369 -0.3957

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4782 17.67 37.58%
II 13277 30.7 79.81%
III 11827 34.75 88.78%
IV 4966 38.22 99.23%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.324 Win Model: 0.324
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 23894 42.02% 28.52 77.86%
2 7593 37.71% 29.31 83.46%
3 2082 29.27% 30.13 86.36%
4 1122 33.69% 31.64 85.65%
5 38 10.53% 30.95 86.84%
6 123 16.26% 49.28 73.17%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1796
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10148
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9908
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4888
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1250
Lose: Invader deck ran out 332
Lose: Adversary condition 101
Win: Sacrifice victory 115
Lose: Scenario condition 411
Win: Scenario condition 967
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4721
Lose: Spirit destroyed 215

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4621 31.82% 32.53 -0.459 82.36% -0.106 -0.2284
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2633 59.44% 30.21 -0.854 77.14% -0.204 0.0371
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 47 42.55% 38.34 5.364 89.36% 1.107 0.1055
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2069 35.19% 32.97 0.872 85.36% 0.267 0.0397
Downpour Drenches the World 337 36.9% 27.34 -0.199 70.62% -0.08 0.2455
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 421 23.75% 31.99 2.302 80.52% 0.836 0.3368
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2709 24.24% 36.26 4.041 90.96% 0.972 0.5112
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2051 31.88% 34.34 1.948 85.52% 0.299 -0.1304
Finder of Paths Unseen 179 47.49% 21.89 -2.414 49.72% -0.863 -0.0406
Fractured Days Split the Sky 598 43.31% 32.56 1.446 69.9% -0.138 0.4595
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 695 47.54% 31.8 0.756 78.56% 0.213 0.2116
Heart of the Wildfire 3031 66.37% 27.33 -2.418 69.65% -0.446 -0.0616
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5257 39.57% 34.14 2.374 86.57% 0.285 -0.2099
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 58 24.14% 32.14 2.046 79.31% 0.068 -0.4788
Lightning's Swift Strike 3640 47.87% 30.04 -1.309 74.64% -0.352 -0.1691
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 122 45.83% 30.62 -0.459 73.77% -0.127 -0.6643
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 378 38.89% 34.04 1.632 85.98% 0.565 0.2738
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 318 43.53% 33.97 0.723 77.99% -0.097 -0.245
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1587 41.11% 33.68 2.831 82.8% 0.538 0.2869
Many Minds Move as One 915 31.0% 33.59 0.518 86.99% 0.032 -0.1248
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4140 52.91% 30.1 -1.47 75.51% -0.515 -0.5046
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2016 37.48% 32.51 2.26 84.62% 0.446 0.3001
River Surges in Sunlight 4755 49.26% 32.34 -0.871 75.06% -0.467 -0.4294
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 460 52.83% 32.71 -0.454 73.04% -0.588 -0.3278
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 215 45.33% 34.4 1.155 74.42% 0.094 0.043
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3048 40.55% 32.23 1.528 83.56% 0.407 0.2331
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2423 67.38% 27.55 -2.535 65.99% -0.642 -0.0294
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 44 52.27% 33.36 2.05 72.73% 0.348 0.4519
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 37 32.43% 32.03 1.886 78.38% 0.169 -0.4129
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 59 57.63% 34.1 -1.397 86.44% -0.332 -0.2856
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 287 48.95% 31.47 1.03 79.44% -0.006 0.0747
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 223 63.68% 28.95 2.052 70.85% 0.239 0.4466
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2983 37.34% 33.36 1.003 82.57% 0.06 0.1394
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 107 28.3% 29.7 0.769 70.09% -0.245 -0.5675
Shifting Memory of Ages 610 54.1% 28.37 -2.754 68.69% -0.575 -0.3102
Shroud of Silent Mist 734 59.26% 28.22 0.962 73.71% 0.359 0.7261
Starlight Seeks its Form 689 42.59% 31.38 0.631 76.49% 0.26 0.0324
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1408 45.55% 28.05 -2.778 77.2% -0.494 -0.8508
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1656 46.03% 30.3 -1.472 76.57% -0.383 -0.25
Thunderspeaker 3932 42.44% 33.26 -0.983 80.06% -0.299 -0.2694
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 91 43.96% 26.56 0.961 62.64% -0.044 0.1957
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1151 72.87% 26.29 -2.643 70.55% -0.414 -0.2238
Vital Strength of the Earth 3420 44.35% 28.01 -2.913 69.91% -0.63 -0.0731
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 137 41.18% 30.64 1.178 75.91% 0.588 0.9973
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 272 42.28% 26.61 -0.869 66.91% 0.073 0.801
Volcano Looming High 1132 47.97% 29.71 -1.887 76.68% -0.5 -0.4807
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 110 31.82% 35.55 4.777 85.45% 1.114 0.5201

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 18 33.33% 26.94 0.615 66.67% 0.342 0.2021
Blitz 0 887 49.94% 27.58 -0.643 65.61% -0.471 -0.3602
Dahan Insurrection 4 595 32.43% 50.65 6.443 74.45% -0.267 -0.5022
Despicable Theft 2 109 55.05% 31.81 -2.859 61.47% -0.736 -0.0933
Elemental Invocation 1 133 60.15% 26.41 -4.827 58.65% -0.756 0.0458
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1839 18.36% 33.79 3.092 70.31% 0.401 -0.3726
Powers Long Forgotten 1 363 61.71% 28.69 -4.48 55.37% -1.244 -0.4708
Rituals of Terror 3 296 57.29% 37.99 2.88 59.46% -0.277 -0.261
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 197 66.5% 36.28 -5.94 59.39% -0.761 0.2964
Second Wave 0 1902 53.95% 31.24 0.856 71.19% -0.332 -0.2515
The Great River 3 107 62.62% 29.07 0.798 43.93% -0.929 0.1993
Varied Terrains 2 57 36.84% 19.68 -6.843 36.84% -1.154 -0.4614
Ward the Shores 2 443 54.4% 33.41 -2.706 62.3% -0.802 0.0614

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 25847 49.31% 29.67 0.233 75.27% -0.056 0.1451
1 Thematic 3022 55.19% 32.78 -4.381 63.73% -1.4 -0.6807
2 Archipelago 10 60.0% 44.4 15.696 90.0% 0.281 0.5354
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6838 44.73% 31.17 -0.298 81.08% -0.285 -0.2775
2 Coastline 788 41.7% 32.5 2.355 83.76% 0.353 0.148
2 Fragment 176 52.84% 30.8 2.343 80.11% 0.607 0.3301
2 Heart 102 44.0% 33.42 4.578 81.37% 0.415 0.1949
2 Opposite Shores 1172 42.88% 31.82 1.9 83.79% 0.519 0.576
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -8.882 0.0% -0.35 0.8998
2 Thematic 1057 53.55% 32.82 -1.302 64.33% -0.992 -0.5399
2 Top to Top 221 46.61% 32.55 3.687 85.52% 0.695 0.5969
3 Archipelago 12 75.0% 40.42 1.882 75.0% 0.093 -0.698
3 Coastline 20 30.0% 32.95 0.0 80.0%
3 Other 127 34.4% 31.09 -0.435 81.89% -0.153 -0.1817
3 Round (Default) 2887 36.14% 32.74 0.047 84.76% -0.322 -0.548
3 Sunrise 15 33.33% 29.47 3.598 66.67% 0.089 -0.8954
3 Thematic 233 48.71% 37.84 4.177 75.54% 0.134 0.3307
4 Archipelago 13 46.15% 45.31 0.0 84.62%
4 Coastline 7 85.71% 35.86 5.717 71.43% 0.343 -0.2431
4 Leaf 9 33.33% 30.89 2.693 77.78% 0.28 -0.4185
4 Other 64 27.42% 34.44 0.561 89.06% 0.247 -1.1102
4 Thematic 386 44.06% 38.11 4.547 78.24% 0.417 0.2188
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1396 33.21% 32.74 0.116 86.96% 0.044 -0.1994
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 35.5 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 58 44.83% 33.74 1.783 79.31% -0.31 -1.3671
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 34.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 4 25.0% 58.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 -13.979 0.0% -0.605 -0.8451
6 Other 16 18.75% 37.06 0.423 62.5% -0.647 -1.3841
6 Star 10 70.0% 29.9 0.0 80.0%
6 Thematic 37 31.43% 44.19 3.365 78.38% -0.408 0.3463
6 Two Centers (Default) 58 27.59% 33.33 -2.098 65.52% -0.475 -1.055
7 Other 4 0.0% 35.5 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1525 25.57 0.426 59.93% -0.02 0.14
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1256 27.38 -1.18 62.82% -0.644 -0.7307
All Things Weaken 748 25.29 -3.031 59.36% -0.953 -0.6109
Attenuated Essence 46 23.22 0.388 54.35% -0.171 -0.0974
Back Against the Wall 1288 27.7 1.487 64.21% 0.092 0.1669
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 66 22.85 -2.349 57.58% -0.825 -0.6344
Burn Brightest Before the End 40 33.3 3.789 80.0% 0.867 0.9906
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1435 23.24 0.097 58.47% -0.187 0.1862
Downward Spiral 3677 24.17 -0.469 61.93% -0.032 0.1043
Erosion of Will 1530 24.4 -1.053 56.41% -0.55 -0.2555
Intensifying Exploitation 57 27.53 -0.156 64.91% -0.13 0.1085
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 298 32.14 0.965 90.27% 0.225 -0.3072
Memory Fades to Dust 3658 23.36 -2.167 56.42% -0.499 -0.218
Power Corrodes the Spirit 750 25.15 0.489 62.0% 0.138 0.2912
Promising Farmlands 1512 23.79 -3.202 58.93% -0.629 -0.283
Shattered Fragments of Power 60 28.23 1.996 61.67% 0.401 0.5958
Slow Dissolution of Will 60 24.35 -0.024 50.0% -0.446 0.0052
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 197 32.98 4.373 94.92% 0.946 0.2054
The Border of Life and Death 26 27.35 1.822 76.92% 0.222 -0.2114
Thriving Communities 709 24.72 0.588 61.35% 0.194 0.4925
Thriving Crops 22 28.45 -1.064 68.18% -0.211 -0.3138
Tipping Point 576 24.66 0.0 60.59%
Unnatural Proliferation 746 25.69 -1.445 58.98% -0.73 -0.5847
Untended Land Crumbles 690 23.66 -3.853 58.7% -0.896 -0.5968

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10463 44.81% 30.82 -0.915 79.25% -0.675 0.3192
B 10791 45.17% 30.78 0.094 79.03% -0.533 0.3852
C 11082 43.38% 30.98 -0.003 79.61% -0.477 0.2656
D 10275 45.44% 30.67 0.845 79.26% -0.195 0.7566
E 3617 43.79% 31.23 0.136 79.65% -0.618 0.1625
F 5170 40.88% 31.95 0.239 81.61% -0.47 0.4223
G 4588 43.62% 31.34 1.047 80.67% -0.3 0.5557
H 4626 42.5% 31.64 1.035 80.31% -0.366 0.4819
East 3115 50.95% 34.87 -0.106 68.22% -0.428 0.3415
Northeast 1789 50.67% 35.79 0.48 70.26% -0.373 0.4148
Northwest 1431 54.44% 34.06 -1.251 65.83% -1.292 -0.3081
Southeast 458 46.37% 32.22 -1.8 66.59% -0.635 0.2395
Southwest 435 44.91% 30.97 -2.405 68.05% -0.938 0.2692
West 2716 54.4% 33.44 1.528 65.61% -0.095 0.8396

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 250 0.0% 29.36 -1.696 73.6% -0.225 0.4041
Not Using Events or Tokens 7042 52.51% 27.67 -2.495 69.85% -0.461 0.0454
Skip Initial Invader Actions 598 17.52% 43.84 5.754 87.63% 0.796 0.1614
Start of Game Growth 946 17.13% 42.14 5.639 87.53% 0.419 0.03
Unlimited Undo 3417 40.62% 32.08 1.227 80.54% 0.18 0.2242
Using Tokens but Not Events 3363 38.92% 32.12 -0.037 81.95% -0.098 -0.1248

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4415 17.67 10.03%
II 17964 30.7 73.69%
III 14644 34.75 88.56%
IV 7604 38.22 99.09%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.439 Win Model: 0.79
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 29064 49.96% 29.96 73.84%
2 10276 45.34% 31.68 80.51%
3 3254 36.53% 33.06 84.23%
4 1868 35.5% 34.11 85.44%
5 35 45.71% 31.54 68.57%
6 130 28.91% 36.78 68.46%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 442
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12609
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 12591
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7472
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1650
Lose: Invader deck ran out 499
Lose: Adversary condition 124
Win: Sacrifice victory 194
Lose: Scenario condition 680
Win: Scenario condition 876
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7150
Lose: Spirit destroyed 340

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4484 40.67% 39.36 -1.197 80.06% -0.051 -0.174
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2711 71.78% 35.09 -2.191 67.76% -0.263 -0.0226
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 70 35.71% 41.34 6.031 82.86% 1.284 0.283
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2407 36.26% 41.59 0.726 85.71% 0.398 0.1712
Downpour Drenches the World 387 44.7% 27.24 -0.667 52.2% -0.141 0.1838
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 576 24.31% 37.34 5.3 74.13% 1.297 0.7973
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2630 41.29% 41.32 -1.885 84.03% -0.321 -0.7822
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2304 43.83% 40.34 -1.626 81.34% -0.268 -0.6972
Finder of Paths Unseen 200 55.5% 29.16 -2.269 57.0% -0.304 0.5187
Fractured Days Split the Sky 913 40.81% 38.78 -4.324 68.13% -1.16 -0.563
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1025 48.39% 38.52 1.621 77.07% 0.676 0.6756
Heart of the Wildfire 3741 68.62% 35.02 -2.277 68.75% -0.255 0.1291
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6237 51.63% 41.27 0.625 81.91% 0.081 -0.4144
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 155 18.71% 22.05 1.949 43.87% 0.905 0.358
Lightning's Swift Strike 3786 54.96% 38.42 0.389 74.91% 0.128 0.3105
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 184 55.37% 39.21 1.614 77.72% 0.452 -0.0848
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 588 39.08% 45.1 4.761 90.31% 1.087 0.796
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 362 43.09% 36.87 -0.211 70.44% 0.053 -0.0949
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1919 48.8% 38.93 1.734 77.64% 0.569 0.3183
Many Minds Move as One 982 45.57% 40.72 -1.342 84.93% -0.231 -0.3883
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4146 61.77% 35.34 -2.262 69.44% -0.362 -0.3518
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2175 42.98% 40.22 -2.772 83.86% -0.514 -0.6599
River Surges in Sunlight 4792 58.28% 39.8 0.32 73.91% -0.032 0.0062
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 429 58.51% 34.82 -1.12 63.64% -0.177 0.0825
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 229 51.75% 36.66 1.954 63.76% 0.344 0.2936
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2883 55.85% 36.83 -1.754 74.23% -0.458 -0.632
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2208 74.68% 34.18 -3.378 63.27% -0.589 0.0232
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 37 45.95% 24.35 1.006 45.95% 0.552 0.6554
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 83 54.22% 37.89 5.047 77.11% 1.287 0.7059
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 66 40.91% 30.97 1.175 60.61% 0.714 0.7605
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 386 48.96% 39.56 -3.322 81.09% -0.327 -0.2466
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 189 71.43% 35.96 -6.057 70.9% -1.351 -1.1428
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3618 39.47% 42.64 -2.08 83.91% -0.285 -0.206
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 143 36.36% 34.5 4.205 69.93% 1.062 0.7396
Shifting Memory of Ages 588 67.01% 32.16 -3.229 64.46% -0.501 -0.2355
Shroud of Silent Mist 774 68.56% 33.19 -3.029 67.18% -0.407 -0.0399
Starlight Seeks its Form 913 51.15% 37.91 1.021 75.36% 0.281 0.0533
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2010 56.65% 33.56 -2.355 72.49% -0.233 -0.5897
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1952 49.95% 39.21 -3.993 78.33% -0.841 -0.7082
Thunderspeaker 3391 51.6% 40.86 -0.009 78.12% 0.038 0.0672
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 85 28.24% 15.45 -3.806 29.41% -0.937 -0.6973
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1578 82.7% 33.99 1.995 71.36% 0.705 0.8956
Vital Strength of the Earth 2763 58.5% 33.25 -5.506 64.31% -1.123 -0.5663
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 159 37.58% 25.25 -6.276 49.06% -1.606 -1.1961
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 352 50.28% 33.75 -6.323 67.9% -1.021 -0.2925
Volcano Looming High 1313 57.5% 37.56 0.823 76.24% 0.211 0.2301
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 209 26.79% 37.79 5.419 79.43% 1.544 0.9503

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 10 40.0% 17.6 -13.592 40.0% -0.926 -1.0659
Blitz 0 632 58.21% 33.34 -4.471 62.34% -0.772 -0.6613
Dahan Insurrection 4 758 26.39% 47.51 -1.642 61.61% -0.714 -0.9489
Despicable Theft 2 70 58.57% 37.49 7.584 52.86% 0.914 1.5575
Elemental Invocation 1 165 69.7% 30.14 -9.492 44.24% -1.307 -0.5048
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1883 23.5% 42.4 2.305 75.04% 0.003 -0.7708
Powers Long Forgotten 1 266 72.93% 36.06 0.322 56.77% -0.12 0.6527
Rituals of Terror 3 196 59.18% 45.69 -5.188 63.27% -1.009 -0.9932
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 71 80.28% 44.62 -15.558 60.56% -0.506 0.5507
Second Wave 0 1321 63.86% 34.98 0.136 62.07% -0.205 -0.1247
The Great River 3 82 73.17% 37.88 -2.263 48.78% -0.905 0.2231
Varied Terrains 2 19 63.16% 29.63 1.709 42.11% -0.18 0.5125
Ward the Shores 2 249 65.46% 40.37 5.228 59.44% 0.567 1.4297

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 31846 57.39% 37.22 -0.689 73.71% -0.538 -0.3368
1 Thematic 2078 60.66% 40.95 -0.289 65.01% -0.489 0.231
2 Archipelago 14 42.86% 46.5 3.304 78.57% 0.165 0.4199
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7213 53.99% 38.48 0.619 78.54% 0.034 0.0414
2 Coastline 871 54.51% 39.84 3.494 79.56% 0.384 0.1792
2 Fragment 173 60.69% 37.72 2.029 75.14% 0.312 0.0351
2 Heart 103 62.14% 38.55 5.094 79.61% 0.657 0.437
2 Opposite Shores 1369 57.23% 39.01 0.521 79.47% -0.384 -0.3265
2 Thematic 834 56.3% 40.4 4.043 66.07% 0.393 0.8451
2 Top to Top 241 59.75% 37.12 1.758 72.2% -0.15 -0.2478
3 Archipelago 9 66.67% 51.22 0.0 88.89%
3 Coastline 44 36.36% 47.7 0.0 95.45%
3 Other 135 42.96% 40.54 2.41 85.19% 0.27 0.2413
3 Round (Default) 2679 48.08% 39.88 2.3 81.82% 0.477 0.251
3 Sunrise 4 25.0% 48.25 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 131 59.23% 42.14 6.215 69.47% 0.789 0.9861
4 Archipelago 5 80.0% 50.8 19.081 100.0% 0.545 -0.6411
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 41.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 8 100.0% 42.38 4.756 100.0% 0.368 -0.3312
4 Other 54 40.74% 41.19 3.275 87.04% 0.542 -0.8155
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 66.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 100.0% 30.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 251 43.03% 50.72 -5.532 77.29% -0.095 -0.2929
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1410 41.74% 40.76 -1.575 84.54% 0.472 0.2283
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 34 70.59% 40.59 -1.059 85.29% 0.027 -1.03
5 Thematic 5 40.0% 34.2 0.0 40.0%
6 Archipelago 5 0.0% 80.2 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 2 50.0% 34.0 -7.316 50.0% -0.563 -0.8034
6 Other 20 15.0% 40.05 -11.584 70.0% -0.745 -1.4824
6 Star 4 0.0% 38.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 207 6.28% 5.85 -3.368 8.21% -1.001 -0.2464
6 Two Centers (Default) 33 30.3% 36.33 -5.231 75.76% -0.356 -0.9358
7 Other 3 33.33% 17.0 -10.186 33.33% -0.097 -0.5085

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2126 32.99 -1.436 61.19% -0.637 -0.4771
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1776 35.65 2.276 66.39% 0.091 0.0047
All Things Weaken 1009 31.99 -1.925 58.87% -0.925 -0.5829
Attenuated Essence 81 29.65 1.049 60.49% 0.163 0.2373
Back Against the Wall 1660 34.24 0.501 62.77% -0.419 -0.3442
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 74 31.0 -0.345 55.41% -0.281 -0.0897
Burn Brightest Before the End 63 30.87 1.607 55.56% -0.105 0.0184
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2053 30.08 -1.864 58.5% -0.435 -0.0622
Downward Spiral 4314 32.07 0.09 64.23% 0.212 0.3483
Erosion of Will 2140 31.56 -1.582 57.8% -0.37 -0.075
Intensifying Exploitation 92 30.21 2.346 57.61% 0.197 0.4354
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 423 42.33 2.566 93.62% 0.605 0.0728
Memory Fades to Dust 4197 31.14 -2.56 59.35% -0.518 -0.2372
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1096 33.2 0.24 66.88% 0.009 0.1625
Promising Farmlands 2084 30.7 0.101 59.31% 0.058 0.4044
Shattered Fragments of Power 57 35.67 2.845 66.67% 0.248 0.4425
Slow Dissolution of Will 70 30.61 5.556 52.86% 0.501 0.9525
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 288 42.75 4.028 94.44% 0.718 -0.0222
The Border of Life and Death 17 26.53 2.393 58.82% 0.389 -0.0439
Thriving Communities 1076 31.13 1.039 60.69% 0.224 0.5225
Thriving Crops 37 26.68 -0.083 59.46% -0.008 -0.1108
Tipping Point 816 30.56 0.0 56.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 1087 34.22 2.933 65.13% 0.175 0.3204
Untended Land Crumbles 993 31.44 -1.586 60.93% -0.469 -0.17

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11057 54.94% 37.99 0.418 76.12% 0.029 1.0236
B 11481 53.5% 38.27 -0.149 76.89% -0.045 0.8729
C 12319 54.62% 38.45 0.231 77.22% -0.083 0.66
D 10994 54.93% 37.88 -0.081 76.28% -0.067 0.8842
E 4471 53.46% 38.79 1.188 78.89% 0.047 0.8274
F 6026 50.59% 39.22 0.668 79.41% -0.046 0.8464
G 5195 54.85% 37.95 -0.254 76.63% -0.233 0.622
H 5572 51.81% 38.95 0.844 78.93% -0.009 0.8394
East 2355 53.19% 40.21 -2.556 63.27% -0.971 -0.2013
Northeast 1406 50.89% 37.72 -1.67 58.82% -0.362 0.4253
Northwest 1068 48.92% 35.41 -2.897 55.62% -0.967 0.0165
Southeast 536 31.34% 30.5 -2.68 50.93% -0.315 0.5595
Southwest 597 30.32% 26.12 -3.528 45.56% -0.908 0.2999
West 2045 51.35% 37.69 -1.994 60.0% -0.192 0.742

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 178 0.0% 33.15 -1.943 60.67% -0.157 0.4729
Not Using Events or Tokens 5347 64.2% 33.6 -3.603 66.02% -0.549 -0.0425
Skip Initial Invader Actions 586 13.04% 54.83 11.54 91.13% 1.576 0.9412
Start of Game Growth 849 17.99% 51.06 2.8 89.28% 0.24 -0.1496
Unlimited Undo 3658 47.44% 40.25 -0.577 80.02% -0.13 -0.0859
Using Tokens but Not Events 3446 43.03% 39.07 -0.086 77.54% 0.169 0.1418

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5811 17.67 10.93%
II 22113 30.7 73.51%
III 15028 34.75 89.86%
IV 6863 38.22 99.65%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.255 Win Model: -0.092
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 34076 57.58% 37.44 73.14%
2 10744 54.98% 38.83 77.81%
3 2978 47.76% 40.07 81.46%
4 1725 42.65% 42.4 83.88%
5 18 66.67% 32.06 66.67%
6 274 10.22% 14.18 24.09%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 633
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13205
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 15587
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6782
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1987
Lose: Invader deck ran out 335
Lose: Adversary condition 119
Win: Sacrifice victory 234
Lose: Scenario condition 504
Win: Scenario condition 792
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9176
Lose: Spirit destroyed 461

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2818 51.14% 39.41 1.368 71.93% 0.625 0.5025
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1631 79.24% 34.48 -4.169 57.33% -0.407 -0.1658
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 53 49.06% 41.64 5.591 81.13% 1.067 0.0658
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1654 54.56% 40.38 -1.844 75.7% -0.155 -0.3815
Downpour Drenches the World 226 51.56% 28.09 -5.088 46.9% -1.054 -0.7289
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 354 35.03% 40.16 2.79 77.97% 0.751 0.2512
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1657 51.75% 41.84 1.297 77.13% 0.574 0.1134
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1575 59.29% 40.49 2.172 75.17% 0.531 0.1021
Finder of Paths Unseen 146 58.9% 26.44 -3.737 46.58% -0.612 0.2105
Fractured Days Split the Sky 443 60.05% 37.63 -4.304 61.17% -0.456 0.1406
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 665 61.05% 39.43 1.196 72.63% 0.373 0.3719
Heart of the Wildfire 2317 79.49% 33.29 -2.68 55.5% -0.351 0.0332
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4859 62.38% 40.62 1.322 74.5% 0.242 -0.2535
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 56 44.64% 35.59 2.42 66.07% 0.325 -0.2216
Lightning's Swift Strike 2259 66.05% 36.92 0.695 63.3% 0.253 0.4354
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 151 57.33% 41.59 -0.815 72.19% -0.252 -0.789
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 424 53.19% 43.12 6.61 81.6% 0.852 0.5613
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 260 55.0% 40.65 -0.661 69.62% -0.135 -0.2827
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1514 64.15% 39.48 1.893 71.8% 0.118 -0.1335
Many Minds Move as One 588 51.7% 42.78 0.44 82.99% -0.032 -0.1888
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2841 70.52% 35.73 -2.299 61.67% -0.234 -0.223
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1476 54.38% 40.69 2.141 76.9% 0.75 0.6044
River Surges in Sunlight 3148 67.32% 40.17 0.222 65.44% 0.174 0.2121
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 237 72.15% 35.68 1.394 56.54% 0.372 0.6318
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 174 61.49% 38.21 -0.388 60.92% -0.027 -0.0778
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1803 69.64% 35.61 -3.955 62.34% -0.487 -0.6613
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1252 78.27% 32.67 -7.463 50.32% -1.473 -0.8605
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 23 78.26% 40.91 8.562 78.26% 0.656 0.7599
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 62 69.35% 40.98 5.146 77.42% 0.926 0.3447
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 40 67.5% 33.3 -3.425 60.0% -0.532 -0.4853
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 254 70.87% 39.02 0.504 72.44% -0.057 0.0238
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 158 77.85% 35.75 -11.838 58.86% -0.196 0.0115
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2455 51.33% 41.29 1.779 72.91% 0.257 0.336
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 76 53.95% 30.49 1.644 57.89% 0.488 0.1654
Shifting Memory of Ages 346 75.65% 31.34 -4.753 51.16% -0.669 -0.4034
Shroud of Silent Mist 455 80.84% 31.76 0.703 54.73% 0.089 0.4562
Starlight Seeks its Form 723 60.17% 34.94 -2.569 60.17% -0.247 -0.4744
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1214 70.07% 31.86 -4.792 60.79% -0.661 -1.0168
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1160 59.57% 39.44 0.422 71.64% 0.108 0.2407
Thunderspeaker 2244 64.08% 40.6 1.538 69.21% 0.573 0.6025
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 64 35.94% 23.11 -7.514 32.81% -1.309 -1.0696
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1052 90.78% 31.19 1.321 53.99% 0.551 0.7417
Vital Strength of the Earth 1536 73.14% 31.07 -6.19 47.92% -1.252 -0.6949
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 93 56.99% 32.04 -0.14 50.54% -0.255 0.1543
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 207 70.53% 31.06 -6.66 47.83% -0.961 -0.2326
Volcano Looming High 841 65.87% 37.28 1.168 66.59% 0.25 0.269
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 113 48.67% 40.92 5.581 80.53% 1.19 0.5958

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 0.0 -12.782 0.0% -0.206 -0.3458
Blitz 0 370 67.95% 32.88 -1.364 51.08% -0.649 -0.538
Dahan Insurrection 4 385 47.01% 60.64 4.691 73.77% -0.165 -0.4
Despicable Theft 2 25 60.0% 39.36 -13.28 52.0% -0.301 0.3421
Elemental Invocation 1 74 81.08% 27.09 -5.371 35.14% -0.47 0.3322
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1121 24.55% 43.34 3.895 69.58% 0.36 -0.4143
Powers Long Forgotten 1 165 73.94% 35.44 -1.611 47.88% -0.1 0.6728
Rituals of Terror 3 129 80.62% 36.24 -6.661 36.43% -0.557 -0.5409
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 101 85.15% 37.5 -9.973 36.63% -1.13 -0.0727
Second Wave 0 784 71.52% 35.05 1.533 54.72% -0.159 -0.0782
The Great River 3 32 50.0% 35.28 -5.495 40.63% -0.762 0.3664
Varied Terrains 2 10 70.0% 24.0 -9.928 30.0% -1.053 -0.3609
Ward the Shores 2 101 76.24% 38.21 2.369 43.56% 0.048 0.9114

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 21447 66.4% 36.42 0.74 64.62% 0.784 0.9851
1 Thematic 1694 67.0% 39.38 -2.433 52.72% -0.352 0.3675
2 Archipelago 6 50.0% 50.0 0.0 66.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4744 65.86% 38.25 0.393 70.03% 0.532 0.5395
2 Coastline 603 57.33% 41.17 1.577 77.11% 0.618 0.413
2 Fragment 103 69.9% 34.78 -4.187 59.22% -0.449 -0.7261
2 Heart 101 69.0% 33.88 1.005 55.45% 0.178 -0.0424
2 Opposite Shores 928 67.75% 37.53 -2.29 68.32% -0.126 -0.0692
2 Thematic 489 73.21% 37.89 -1.774 49.08% -0.26 0.1919
2 Top to Top 130 71.32% 37.37 -4.518 69.23% -0.387 -0.485
3 Archipelago 3 100.0% 57.33 13.409 100.0% 0.38 -0.4113
3 Coastline 17 47.06% 47.47 -7.338 88.24% -0.093 -0.66
3 Other 102 50.98% 39.18 0.0 70.59%
3 Round (Default) 1845 57.1% 39.75 0.394 72.41% 0.182 -0.0439
3 Sunrise 4 75.0% 45.5 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 103 72.82% 38.79 7.25 50.49% 0.297 0.4935
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 37.33 -3.958 66.67% -0.313 -0.8998
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 37.6 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 58 41.38% 44.03 0.0 82.76%
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 50.0% 47.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 122 63.11% 41.7 1.629 55.74% -0.213 -0.4118
4 Trapezoid (Default) 781 57.83% 39.23 -2.5 68.89% 0.177 -0.0663
5 Other 20 61.11% 39.9 -3.809 45.0% -0.383 -1.4393
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 20.67 0.0 33.33%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 9 44.44% 46.33 -17.195 55.56% -0.692 -1.4286
6 Star 10 30.0% 28.6 6.027 40.0% 0.078 0.0216
6 Thematic 6 50.0% 39.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 28 50.0% 33.71 1.725 71.43% 0.34 -0.2393

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1707 32.93 2.803 52.2% 0.526 0.6858
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1344 34.94 0.774 56.18% -0.382 -0.468
All Things Weaken 896 31.04 -0.818 48.55% -0.405 -0.0627
Attenuated Essence 53 37.47 2.487 71.7% 0.373 0.4471
Back Against the Wall 1339 34.53 3.668 55.19% 0.586 0.6607
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 56 31.21 2.701 55.36% 0.314 0.5053
Burn Brightest Before the End 46 32.41 3.468 47.83% 0.221 0.3451
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1690 31.25 2.675 53.91% 0.458 0.8311
Downward Spiral 3127 31.95 -0.823 55.04% 0.061 0.1981
Erosion of Will 1812 31.49 0.132 48.57% -0.15 0.1442
Intensifying Exploitation 77 31.18 -1.181 55.84% -0.343 -0.1043
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 273 46.3 5.339 96.7% 0.93 0.3984
Memory Fades to Dust 3170 30.89 1.387 50.03% 0.301 0.5816
Power Corrodes the Spirit 852 31.39 -1.487 52.93% -0.452 -0.299
Promising Farmlands 1751 30.77 -2.147 50.03% -0.7 -0.3537
Shattered Fragments of Power 52 32.58 -0.831 55.77% -0.409 -0.2137
Slow Dissolution of Will 65 25.71 -2.891 33.85% -1.061 -0.6101
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 162 44.89 6.639 93.83% 1.236 0.4959
The Border of Life and Death 15 35.07 4.894 73.33% 0.466 0.0329
Thriving Communities 819 29.15 -1.451 46.15% -0.382 -0.0836
Thriving Crops 29 38.24 3.767 79.31% 0.806 0.7032
Tipping Point 662 31.51 0.0 50.0%
Unnatural Proliferation 934 32.8 4.445 52.03% 0.673 0.8184
Untended Land Crumbles 873 30.7 1.899 49.14% 0.048 0.3471

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7383 65.28% 37.14 -0.238 65.76% -0.087 0.9076
B 7711 64.37% 37.7 -0.727 67.48% -0.379 0.5395
C 7957 64.68% 37.65 0.261 67.26% -0.21 0.5331
D 7056 63.78% 37.51 -0.258 67.46% -0.17 0.7819
E 3126 64.53% 37.52 0.748 67.5% -0.034 0.7466
F 3912 62.06% 38.14 -0.487 69.48% -0.337 0.5551
G 3516 63.88% 37.36 -1.012 67.38% -0.365 0.4908
H 3805 61.33% 38.78 1.08 70.93% 0.089 0.9375
East 1505 67.84% 40.03 -4.072 52.82% -0.46 0.3094
Northeast 805 69.57% 40.19 0.969 53.17% -0.2 0.587
Northwest 665 73.53% 37.05 -0.538 46.02% -0.038 0.946
Southeast 212 62.74% 37.96 4.677 56.13% 0.404 1.2786
Southwest 217 51.61% 38.35 -2.279 62.21% 0.151 1.359
West 1363 68.89% 38.3 -3.79 50.48% -0.693 0.2415

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 109 0.0% 35.7 6.003 58.72% 0.67 1.2994
Not Using Events or Tokens 3247 71.71% 33.3 -3.846 56.85% -0.886 -0.38
Skip Initial Invader Actions 464 17.08% 55.99 8.524 92.03% 0.958 0.3228
Start of Game Growth 691 24.89% 51.85 4.909 87.12% 0.601 0.2114
Unlimited Undo 2540 58.53% 39.66 0.306 71.93% -0.046 -0.0015
Using Tokens but Not Events 1814 57.33% 38.57 0.901 71.06% 0.292 0.2646

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4599 17.67 4.31%
II 13227 30.7 59.28%
III 11815 34.75 85.1%
IV 3744 38.22 99.6%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.127 Win Model: 0.282
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 23254 66.45% 36.63 63.66%
2 7093 66.35% 38.21 68.41%
3 2014 56.17% 40.29 73.58%
4 958 57.58% 39.84 67.95%
5 13 63.64% 25.77 15.38%
6 53 45.28% 34.17 58.49%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 198
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9869
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7516
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3686
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1113
Lose: Invader deck ran out 308
Lose: Adversary condition 80
Win: Sacrifice victory 160
Lose: Scenario condition 372
Win: Scenario condition 393
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9331
Lose: Spirit destroyed 359

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1314 51.8% 42.81 1.585 69.33% 0.248 0.1257
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 744 77.93% 34.53 -0.63 48.52% -0.191 0.0499
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 37 35.14% 32.38 1.527 56.76% 0.304 -0.6973
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 698 54.6% 43.56 4.842 73.93% 0.894 0.6669
Downpour Drenches the World 108 62.04% 30.23 -2.399 40.74% -0.356 -0.0307
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 146 39.04% 41.83 3.399 73.29% 0.688 0.1886
Eyes Watch From the Trees 749 59.27% 41.06 2.093 66.09% 0.511 0.0504
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 735 63.29% 40.54 2.615 62.18% 0.203 -0.226
Finder of Paths Unseen 146 50.68% 36.05 -8.471 62.33% -1.046 -0.2236
Fractured Days Split the Sky 166 56.02% 41.07 -0.196 59.64% -0.171 0.4264
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 290 52.41% 41.27 2.535 69.66% 0.506 0.5049
Heart of the Wildfire 1161 78.08% 34.8 0.716 50.99% 0.104 0.4886
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2179 64.26% 40.8 -1.189 64.16% -0.069 -0.5646
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 16 50.0% 37.19 5.689 62.5% 0.74 0.1929
Lightning's Swift Strike 1129 68.76% 37.79 0.3 54.3% -0.105 0.0779
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 124 85.48% 33.57 2.025 25.0% 0.341 -0.1964
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 227 46.26% 45.51 -0.931 77.97% -0.15 -0.4408
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 147 57.82% 42.76 -6.695 65.99% -0.835 -0.9833
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 599 70.45% 38.08 1.412 59.43% 0.37 0.1187
Many Minds Move as One 266 56.77% 41.85 0.211 69.92% 0.064 -0.0926
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1267 73.99% 37.7 -2.551 56.04% -0.466 -0.4553
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 695 56.63% 41.79 0.204 70.07% 0.412 0.2657
River Surges in Sunlight 1408 70.5% 39.69 -3.54 55.4% -0.884 -0.8458
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 82 71.95% 36.71 6.35 53.66% 0.588 0.8475
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 61 59.02% 36.2 3.449 47.54% 0.02 -0.0307
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 857 68.48% 36.69 -0.789 54.84% -0.047 -0.2209
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 564 78.55% 34.95 -4.784 44.86% -0.451 0.1613
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 11 63.64% 19.45 -11.031 18.18% -0.341 -0.2376
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 24 79.17% 41.75 6.491 70.83% 0.873 0.2915
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 20 70.0% 32.65 1.734 50.0% 0.338 0.3844
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 81 66.67% 41.59 12.89 69.14% 1.006 1.0871
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 56 85.71% 28.0 -8.626 32.14% -0.551 -0.3427
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1222 52.45% 43.69 4.058 69.48% 0.716 0.7955
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 40 57.5% 31.63 4.53 45.0% 0.771 0.4486
Shifting Memory of Ages 155 75.48% 30.15 3.833 40.65% 0.301 0.5663
Shroud of Silent Mist 232 82.33% 27.53 -5.07 32.76% -1.131 -0.7634
Starlight Seeks its Form 225 55.56% 37.2 2.948 60.89% 0.548 0.3203
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 452 75.66% 29.19 -8.013 46.9% -0.828 -1.1847
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 604 65.89% 39.04 -2.839 58.28% -0.373 -0.2396
Thunderspeaker 1107 67.15% 39.46 -2.911 58.27% -0.709 -0.6802
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 26 57.69% 18.46 -5.707 23.08% -0.854 -0.6146
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 580 91.02% 32.96 -1.837 50.52% -0.174 0.0171
Vital Strength of the Earth 744 71.6% 33.05 -4.356 43.01% -0.665 -0.1083
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 48 54.17% 28.1 -0.728 39.58% 0.013 0.4228
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 119 68.07% 36.38 0.354 54.62% -0.22 0.5083
Volcano Looming High 404 66.09% 37.31 -0.082 59.41% -0.196 -0.177
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 60 51.67% 32.6 1.315 56.67% 0.23 -0.3641

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 50.0% 27.0 0.0 50.0%
Blitz 0 228 66.52% 29.86 -8.646 39.47% -1.589 -1.4783
Dahan Insurrection 4 198 54.04% 53.15 -11.568 56.06% -0.207 -0.4423
Despicable Theft 2 20 60.0% 33.55 -12.682 40.0% -0.181 0.4618
Elemental Invocation 1 31 64.52% 28.35 -0.721 32.26% -0.563 0.2386
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 771 28.63% 48.01 6.429 70.56% 0.737 -0.0364
Powers Long Forgotten 1 67 82.09% 33.85 -9.084 38.81% -0.871 -0.0984
Rituals of Terror 3 106 67.92% 39.92 2.195 37.74% -0.036 -0.0197
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 59 67.8% 39.58 -12.306 38.98% -0.892 0.1647
Second Wave 0 298 67.11% 38.09 0.327 53.69% -0.148 -0.0679
The Great River 3 30 63.33% 32.33 -0.18 26.67% -0.814 0.3144
Varied Terrains 2 10 80.0% 7.3 -6.75 0.0% -0.066 0.6264
Ward the Shores 2 73 69.86% 35.1 -11.881 35.62% -1.282 -0.4191

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10027 68.33% 36.24 -1.104 54.86% 0.061 0.2619
1 Thematic 1071 61.44% 41.07 -0.498 49.86% -0.198 0.5217
2 Archipelago 3 33.33% 27.0 0.0 33.33%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2326 67.98% 39.35 2.179 62.85% 0.47 0.4776
2 Coastline 262 64.89% 41.53 5.102 66.79% 0.583 0.3775
2 Fragment 50 79.59% 37.82 6.521 56.0% 0.299 0.0215
2 Heart 37 72.97% 40.49 -14.219 62.16% -0.398 -0.6188
2 Opposite Shores 361 67.22% 40.04 0.017 62.6% -0.012 0.0452
2 Thematic 210 75.24% 38.65 -2.905 42.86% -1.078 -0.6261
2 Top to Top 70 62.86% 37.13 -1.313 52.86% -0.583 -0.6805
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 23 69.57% 50.65 -4.521 78.26% -0.718 -1.2853
3 Other 35 71.43% 40.03 0.0 60.0%
3 Round (Default) 782 61.42% 41.44 -1.168 67.26% -0.171 -0.3968
3 Sunrise 7 71.43% 40.14 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 57 84.21% 31.04 -2.451 24.56% 0.081 0.2774
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 33.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 24 25.0% 54.79 9.784 95.83% 0.821 -0.5359
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 66 62.12% 45.76 16.818 54.55% 0.807 0.6091
4 Trapezoid (Default) 307 54.93% 42.58 3.748 67.43% 0.949 0.7055
5 Other 5 20.0% 29.4 0.0 60.0%
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 0.0 -7.526 0.0% -0.288 -0.7663
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Star 3 0.0% 34.33 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 1 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 10 30.0% 27.3 -8.129 40.0% -0.176 -0.7554
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -16.667 0.0% -0.467 -0.4152

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 849 33.84 -2.185 45.47% -0.728 -0.5683
Aid From Lesser Spirits 649 35.38 0.269 46.69% -0.556 -0.6425
All Things Weaken 429 31.58 1.338 39.86% -0.044 0.2985
Attenuated Essence 38 29.71 2.241 44.74% -0.154 -0.0794
Back Against the Wall 601 35.56 -1.012 48.59% -0.653 -0.5778
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 39 32.26 5.415 43.59% 0.257 0.448
Burn Brightest Before the End 30 26.03 -0.373 26.67% -0.44 -0.316
Disintegrating Ecosystem 806 30.11 -1.802 41.32% -0.386 -0.0134
Downward Spiral 1646 31.99 0.749 44.65% 0.1 0.2367
Erosion of Will 800 30.68 -0.114 37.38% -0.352 -0.0577
Intensifying Exploitation 22 26.86 -2.323 40.91% -0.344 -0.1054
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 87 47.57 6.04 87.36% 0.631 0.0987
Memory Fades to Dust 1637 30.4 -0.407 39.46% -0.173 0.1078
Power Corrodes the Spirit 386 30.42 0.594 41.19% -0.143 0.0104
Promising Farmlands 806 30.15 2.781 38.83% 0.207 0.5533
Shattered Fragments of Power 23 42.22 8.806 73.91% 1.218 1.4126
Slow Dissolution of Will 25 22.68 -5.106 24.0% -0.906 -0.4553
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 67 47.06 -3.524 91.04% -0.161 -0.9012
The Border of Life and Death 4 42.75 13.272 75.0% 0.396 -0.0367
Thriving Communities 410 28.27 -2.196 35.85% -0.923 -0.6241
Thriving Crops 13 35.31 6.076 69.23% 0.835 0.7321
Tipping Point 324 29.92 0.0 36.11%
Unnatural Proliferation 433 33.36 0.471 45.03% -0.461 -0.3158
Untended Land Crumbles 414 31.81 -1.0 43.24% -0.397 -0.0975

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3318 67.37% 38.25 0.158 59.16% 0.106 1.1002
B 3516 65.7% 38.18 0.605 58.96% 0.159 1.0774
C 3694 68.49% 37.92 1.407 58.47% 0.393 1.1357
D 3285 65.27% 38.7 0.477 60.21% 0.095 1.0465
E 1400 65.55% 38.62 1.09 62.29% 0.335 1.1158
F 1791 63.38% 38.6 0.636 60.75% 0.249 1.1416
G 1599 63.6% 38.83 -1.679 61.73% -0.29 0.5657
H 1727 65.13% 38.67 -0.714 60.63% -0.182 0.6666
East 882 65.31% 40.17 0.915 45.01% 0.1 0.869
Northeast 468 65.6% 40.12 0.042 44.23% 0.003 0.7904
Northwest 323 71.21% 39.18 -1.796 43.65% -0.113 0.8704
Southeast 139 53.96% 41.94 -4.196 57.55% -0.229 0.6451
Southwest 114 58.77% 33.69 -3.199 44.74% -0.229 0.9787
West 697 67.14% 39.89 0.469 46.34% 0.148 1.0824

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 55 0.0% 38.62 12.611 60.0% 1.312 1.9414
Not Using Events or Tokens 1735 71.49% 36.07 -1.945 53.78% -0.205 0.3016
Skip Initial Invader Actions 239 15.38% 59.49 8.43 94.14% 0.324 -0.3113
Start of Game Growth 401 25.13% 52.86 5.494 85.29% 1.02 0.6305
Unlimited Undo 1419 62.14% 40.66 0.846 65.96% 0.144 0.1885
Using Tokens but Not Events 894 60.91% 35.09 -3.061 53.91% -0.483 -0.5104

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3574 17.67 7.08%
II 5830 30.7 55.28%
III 4662 34.75 81.27%
IV 1686 38.22 99.58%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.41 Win Model: -0.024
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11140 67.68% 36.7 54.34%
2 3304 68.21% 39.55 61.74%
3 891 63.12% 41.01 64.87%
4 397 54.06% 43.69 66.75%
5 4 25.0% 10.75 25.0%
6 16 18.75% 28.06 37.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 252
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3692
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3100
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1661
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 735
Lose: Invader deck ran out 132
Lose: Adversary condition 36
Win: Sacrifice victory 58
Lose: Scenario condition 261
Win: Scenario condition 181
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5425
Lose: Spirit destroyed 219

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8406 47.95% 46.59 -0.982 68.3% 0.206 0.0831
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3999 81.09% 37.14 -4.453 49.14% -0.575 -0.334
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 278 65.83% 45.42 7.209 69.06% 1.108 0.1064
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3964 54.55% 45.91 4.26 71.52% 0.612 0.3846
Downpour Drenches the World 812 51.42% 37.43 -2.766 50.99% -0.392 -0.0667
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1902 39.4% 47.78 8.264 74.82% 1.539 1.0398
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4044 56.73% 45.35 -1.494 68.37% 0.027 -0.4342
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3504 64.1% 43.44 -0.149 63.56% 0.239 -0.19
Finder of Paths Unseen 790 58.17% 42.52 -0.055 64.18% 0.305 1.1273
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2220 53.38% 48.64 -4.112 66.31% -0.619 -0.0221
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2762 59.47% 46.54 3.679 68.21% 0.633 0.6324
Heart of the Wildfire 6724 70.78% 40.31 -4.195 54.98% -0.571 -0.1865
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 12465 60.33% 46.25 0.412 68.73% 0.182 -0.3133
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 224 57.59% 35.02 1.481 53.57% 0.294 -0.2528
Lightning's Swift Strike 5540 67.79% 40.33 -2.551 55.04% -0.008 0.1746
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1149 69.19% 42.1 0.824 53.52% 0.039 -0.4982
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 2245 56.74% 49.7 3.05 78.26% 0.576 0.2846
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1300 50.62% 50.21 1.812 70.46% 0.426 0.278
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4282 63.39% 43.55 0.365 63.85% 0.237 -0.0146
Many Minds Move as One 1703 47.76% 47.35 -3.162 76.98% -0.161 -0.3183
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7460 69.29% 40.04 -0.633 52.02% 0.084 0.0942
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4129 53.51% 47.1 3.733 74.86% 0.726 0.5802
River Surges in Sunlight 7426 63.7% 46.12 -2.918 60.91% -0.164 -0.1263
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 507 71.01% 39.74 -3.898 48.13% -0.51 -0.2506
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 723 63.25% 39.95 -1.108 47.86% -0.16 -0.2105
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5923 61.51% 43.25 -1.649 62.43% -0.111 -0.2852
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2145 75.6% 35.17 -5.536 41.54% -0.766 -0.1537
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 150 74.0% 30.67 -4.203 38.0% -0.673 -0.5691
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 283 77.39% 34.56 1.34 50.53% 0.25 -0.3317
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 140 75.0% 37.47 1.132 50.0% 0.21 0.2559
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 868 68.78% 42.27 5.01 59.1% 0.537 0.6181
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 413 73.85% 39.58 1.281 51.33% 0.048 0.2562
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5301 49.87% 47.52 -0.087 70.61% 0.143 0.2219
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 465 50.11% 28.8 -0.094 43.44% -0.026 -0.3485
Shifting Memory of Ages 1209 73.34% 36.93 0.835 46.15% 0.257 0.5225
Shroud of Silent Mist 1090 80.77% 35.2 -4.188 47.8% -0.574 -0.2065
Starlight Seeks its Form 2654 56.45% 43.39 2.958 63.3% 0.59 0.3618
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4735 71.14% 34.85 -6.868 48.93% -0.952 -1.3086
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3387 58.64% 45.81 0.472 67.11% 0.182 0.3152
Thunderspeaker 4264 67.19% 43.24 -3.871 58.89% -0.211 -0.1818
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 197 49.75% 22.22 -9.601 32.99% -1.366 -1.1261
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4401 83.46% 39.02 -2.244 57.6% -0.225 -0.0342
Vital Strength of the Earth 2659 69.01% 35.21 -6.131 43.59% -0.939 -0.3817
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 378 62.57% 37.48 -3.715 53.97% -0.328 0.0817
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 786 68.79% 36.05 -2.91 45.8% -0.951 -0.2224
Volcano Looming High 3689 61.97% 44.97 1.874 68.5% 0.397 0.4158
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 513 54.0% 38.43 3.484 61.01% 0.634 0.0406

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 26 92.31% 26.15 0.0 15.38%
Blitz 0 713 60.06% 40.18 0.846 51.89% -0.126 -0.0147
Dahan Insurrection 4 965 44.86% 63.62 -2.768 66.01% -0.375 -0.6104
Despicable Theft 2 55 61.82% 31.33 -14.45 29.09% -0.786 -0.1429
Elemental Invocation 1 135 75.56% 33.29 -6.765 36.3% -1.421 -0.6188
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7339 23.75% 53.94 9.184 73.78% 1.225 0.451
Powers Long Forgotten 1 164 74.07% 35.37 -1.307 32.32% -0.258 0.5144
Rituals of Terror 3 204 75.49% 45.63 -5.315 31.86% -0.612 -0.5962
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 89 87.64% 36.6 -3.117 29.21% -0.917 0.1398
Second Wave 0 748 80.75% 37.57 1.938 46.79% 0.154 0.2346
The Great River 3 71 60.56% 30.18 -7.837 16.9% -1.25 -0.1218
Varied Terrains 2 52 73.08% 31.19 -14.506 28.85% -0.944 -0.2515
Ward the Shores 2 201 77.0% 35.89 -3.415 32.34% -0.963 -0.1003

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 70099 66.38% 40.56 -0.57 58.39% -0.318 -0.1168
1 Thematic 2423 59.11% 41.91 1.284 47.42% -0.93 -0.2099
2 Archipelago 25 70.83% 54.0 9.379 56.0% 0.495 0.7497
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9751 67.18% 43.08 1.169 63.36% 0.0 0.0082
2 Coastline 1468 64.02% 44.56 3.531 65.46% 0.777 0.5719
2 Fragment 301 71.76% 45.74 -1.912 69.44% -0.849 -1.1267
2 Heart 156 78.21% 42.42 4.568 54.49% 0.216 -0.0047
2 Opposite Shores 2123 62.33% 42.04 -4.065 58.69% -0.96 -0.9033
2 Thematic 538 68.22% 42.71 -1.148 41.64% -0.874 -0.422
2 Top to Top 400 66.5% 42.26 -0.498 61.5% -0.235 -0.3329
3 Archipelago 11 54.55% 87.27 32.306 100.0% 0.575 -0.2166
3 Coastline 71 29.58% 54.7 19.466 81.69% 0.567 -0.0002
3 Other 122 66.39% 46.68 7.671 70.49% 0.773 0.7441
3 Round (Default) 3811 57.81% 45.01 1.358 66.96% 0.173 -0.0533
3 Sunrise 22 63.64% 46.68 0.0 68.18%
3 Thematic 110 78.5% 46.52 0.022 46.36% -0.415 -0.2181
4 Archipelago 13 30.77% 63.85 30.371 61.54% 0.331 -0.8547
4 Coastline 22 0.0% 61.32 0.0 95.45%
4 Leaf 10 80.0% 23.1 1.128 20.0% -0.119 -0.8173
4 Other 242 33.06% 53.36 -5.138 84.71% 0.061 -1.2963
4 Thematic 1153 32.61% 64.81 6.114 82.39% 0.771 0.5732
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2776 51.69% 44.48 -3.407 64.73% -0.62 -0.8636
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 66.67 0.0 66.67%
5 Coastline 28 3.57% 56.71 -4.882 89.29% -0.497 -0.3034
5 Other 84 64.56% 57.26 13.617 89.29% 2.055 0.998
5 Thematic 11 45.45% 75.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 9 0.0% 49.89 15.446 55.56% 0.195 -0.5412
6 Coastline 8 12.5% 44.88 -14.94 75.0% -0.211 -0.4516
6 Other 22 38.1% 49.41 -14.872 63.64% -0.696 -1.4325
6 Star 13 46.15% 48.23 -17.342 69.23% -0.813 -0.8702
6 Thematic 269 68.4% 54.21 -0.008 75.46% -0.23 0.5244
6 Two Centers (Default) 108 28.7% 47.59 3.864 66.67% 0.058 -0.5214
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 3 0.0% 0.0 -14.85 0.0% -0.748 -1.1601

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 5007 35.47 0.31 44.62% -0.366 -0.2059
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4030 39.77 2.143 52.78% -0.188 -0.2747
All Things Weaken 2964 36.02 -0.162 45.72% -0.393 -0.0513
Attenuated Essence 332 33.88 1.526 47.89% -0.027 0.0471
Back Against the Wall 3753 38.52 3.229 49.51% 0.029 0.1038
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 333 30.44 -0.593 41.44% -0.523 -0.3319
Burn Brightest Before the End 202 32.52 1.573 41.58% -0.379 -0.2557
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4975 33.29 -1.941 44.38% -0.411 -0.0386
Downward Spiral 7517 34.31 -0.989 46.31% -0.17 -0.0334
Erosion of Will 4940 34.12 -2.439 41.44% -0.954 -0.6598
Intensifying Exploitation 311 28.24 -1.713 38.26% -0.539 -0.3007
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 724 51.36 2.833 87.98% 0.503 -0.0289
Memory Fades to Dust 7693 33.33 -0.345 41.1% -0.207 0.0734
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2901 35.59 -0.673 46.78% -0.504 -0.3513
Promising Farmlands 4883 33.58 -1.127 43.21% -0.391 -0.0443
Shattered Fragments of Power 201 35.09 -0.385 49.75% -0.479 -0.2845
Slow Dissolution of Will 307 29.6 -1.195 35.18% -0.824 -0.3731
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 523 53.91 9.63 92.73% 1.621 0.8805
The Border of Life and Death 63 41.08 3.835 69.84% 0.438 0.0045
Thriving Communities 2777 33.89 -2.547 44.58% -0.744 -0.4458
Thriving Crops 116 32.91 0.856 55.17% 0.036 -0.0665
Tipping Point 1596 32.84 0.0 40.1%
Unnatural Proliferation 3147 37.47 3.067 47.76% 0.017 0.1618
Untended Land Crumbles 2776 34.94 -1.308 45.75% -0.577 -0.2777

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 19821 63.14% 42.17 -1.179 60.71% -0.453 0.5408
B 20196 63.16% 41.27 -0.316 59.1% -0.367 0.5516
C 21861 66.2% 40.98 -1.292 58.38% -0.531 0.2115
D 18274 65.33% 41.29 0.022 59.4% -0.333 0.6184
E 10210 63.89% 42.95 0.732 63.26% -0.299 0.4813
F 12480 59.03% 44.76 1.526 67.03% -0.131 0.7613
G 10686 62.1% 43.08 -0.081 63.37% -0.358 0.4972
H 11074 62.68% 43.06 0.247 63.94% -0.33 0.5186
East 3142 51.69% 53.28 1.951 63.56% 0.185 0.9543
Northeast 2061 49.1% 55.54 2.942 66.04% -0.272 0.5156
Northwest 1909 49.02% 52.07 -1.335 62.28% -0.731 0.2529
Southeast 737 55.77% 53.27 -3.333 71.64% -0.802 0.072
Southwest 745 57.93% 50.95 -1.335 68.72% -0.425 0.7832
West 2981 51.25% 50.72 2.488 60.45% -0.17 0.7646

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 497 0.0% 38.2 -3.006 54.73% -0.071 0.5584
Not Using Events or Tokens 5841 73.09% 34.96 -7.991 45.73% -1.642 -1.1354
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2745 18.44% 62.27 8.902 86.52% 1.53 0.8946
Start of Game Growth 3785 21.36% 59.75 2.755 84.2% 0.072 -0.3174
Unlimited Undo 10774 51.77% 47.95 -0.725 73.06% -0.027 0.0176
Using Tokens but Not Events 4829 53.32% 43.07 -2.609 61.07% -0.408 -0.4351

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 22368 17.67 9.61%
II 32517 30.7 58.56%
III 32246 34.75 84.25%
IV 9112 38.22 99.8%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.018 Win Model: 0.196
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 72781 66.13% 40.64 58.05%
2 14632 66.42% 43.1 62.16%
3 4114 57.8% 45.19 66.84%
4 4196 45.07% 50.73 70.9%
5 83 43.04% 56.25 84.34%
6 437 53.9% 51.87 72.08%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2145
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 26662
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18308
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9005
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5169
Lose: Invader deck ran out 756
Lose: Adversary condition 449
Win: Sacrifice victory 489
Lose: Scenario condition 1706
Win: Scenario condition 844
Lose: Blight pool ran out 29393
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1317

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-01-31 03:48:31 (Pacific Time)