The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5364 26.41% 23.59 -0.323 82.05% -0.004 -0.1066
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3590 48.22% 22.44 -0.1 77.55% 0.122 0.2822
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 39 20.51% 26.15 1.711 64.1% -0.179 -1.0142
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2495 26.03% 25.4 0.535 88.02% 0.238 0.1062
Downpour Drenches the World 362 26.52% 18.62 -0.33 59.67% 0.195 0.5129
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 304 21.38% 21.84 -0.611 63.82% -0.053 -0.5373
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2912 16.91% 27.69 2.672 90.32% 0.597 0.1443
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2580 23.2% 26.49 -0.023 89.46% 0.027 -0.4253
Finder of Paths Unseen 182 34.62% 13.64 -3.793 41.21% -0.97 -0.3036
Fractured Days Split the Sky 550 37.27% 22.23 -1.984 63.27% -0.711 -0.0329
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 684 40.35% 23.48 -1.25 71.49% -0.396 -0.3345
Heart of the Wildfire 3559 57.48% 20.72 0.711 72.24% 0.478 0.7379
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4956 28.16% 26.46 1.624 89.18% 0.394 0.0001
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 44 9.3% 25.77 2.82 72.73% 0.249 -0.1459
Lightning's Swift Strike 5281 42.2% 22.42 -1.461 75.16% -0.369 -0.115
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 131 27.91% 25.73 0.822 73.28% -0.136 -0.69
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 347 30.35% 26.76 3.844 85.59% 1.006 0.7702
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 299 36.58% 23.89 0.316 75.59% 0.171 -0.0804
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1377 33.38% 26.14 2.826 82.5% 0.375 0.0515
Many Minds Move as One 975 24.36% 26.06 1.983 85.44% 0.375 0.1756
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5278 41.74% 23.47 0.205 80.24% -0.006 -0.0342
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2294 29.39% 24.37 -0.618 84.35% -0.135 -0.2763
River Surges in Sunlight 6295 38.69% 25.08 0.658 76.58% -0.106 0.0112
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 488 37.7% 24.74 0.69 74.59% 0.068 0.4057
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 156 33.99% 23.21 1.429 64.1% -0.042 -0.1902
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3000 36.31% 22.81 -0.201 81.43% 0.102 -0.0654
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3897 54.0% 22.02 -0.875 72.47% -0.23 0.3141
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 69 37.68% 22.51 -1.849 62.32% -0.615 -0.529
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 39 26.32% 28.59 3.46 84.62% 0.58 0.2107
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 69 28.99% 22.26 -0.056 68.12% 0.265 0.4302
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 273 36.63% 24.52 -1.291 80.95% 0.111 0.1418
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 220 42.27% 24.45 -0.381 79.09% -0.022 0.1491
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3244 29.71% 25.82 -1.073 84.31% -0.326 -0.4212
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 85 16.05% 22.66 1.905 67.06% 0.292 0.0514
Shifting Memory of Ages 619 48.21% 20.59 -0.561 67.04% -0.124 0.2545
Shroud of Silent Mist 663 50.45% 20.96 -0.904 70.14% 0.01 0.3805
Starlight Seeks its Form 940 21.79% 26.31 -1.879 77.45% -0.405 -0.6116
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1673 28.35% 24.04 1.049 84.4% 0.293 -0.4236
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2027 33.81% 23.39 -2.414 79.58% -0.531 -0.3496
Thunderspeaker 4852 30.24% 25.82 -0.394 81.53% -0.215 -0.201
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 55 27.27% 17.73 2.047 49.09% 0.644 0.7493
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1290 58.21% 19.89 -0.11 73.02% 0.238 0.3781
Vital Strength of the Earth 5243 33.26% 21.45 -2.357 73.03% -0.837 -0.2949
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 117 19.13% 19.5 -0.778 58.97% -0.301 0.0369
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 275 29.67% 18.89 -1.3 64.36% -0.549 0.1677
Volcano Looming High 966 35.83% 23.09 0.761 75.36% 0.278 0.2449
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 101 21.78% 25.5 4.235 75.25% 0.838 0.4009

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 14 7.14% 19.43 0.159 64.29% -0.106 -0.0542
Blitz 0 972 40.21% 20.11 -2.647 67.9% -0.604 -0.4028
Dahan Insurrection 4 778 23.57% 43.2 5.377 76.61% -0.346 -0.5577
Despicable Theft 2 140 28.57% 22.27 -1.15 54.29% -0.681 0.1634
Elemental Invocation 1 190 41.58% 21.42 -4.241 59.47% -1.253 -0.1821
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2087 8.45% 29.22 2.656 79.73% 0.084 -0.641
Powers Long Forgotten 1 459 45.53% 25.49 -1.591 67.54% -0.838 0.0679
Rituals of Terror 3 559 42.7% 30.81 5.236 62.97% -0.091 -0.0606
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 309 59.87% 29.12 -3.017 58.9% -1.067 0.1221
Second Wave 0 868 55.87% 25.6 4.784 71.2% 0.37 0.4509
The Great River 3 156 42.95% 22.95 -2.601 43.59% -1.675 -0.2875
Varied Terrains 2 109 31.19% 16.37 -3.572 41.28% -1.349 -0.4477
Ward the Shores 2 548 37.29% 27.37 -3.005 66.97% -1.024 0.0314

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 36040 39.39% 23.05 0.223 77.87% 0.189 0.2199
1 Thematic 4162 40.64% 29.06 -0.584 71.84% -0.563 -0.131
2 Archipelago 20 25.0% 30.9 5.163 75.0% 0.565 1.0582
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8303 34.58% 23.06 -1.333 80.53% -0.299 -0.3483
2 Coastline 707 32.95% 23.65 1.97 82.46% 0.719 0.6189
2 Fragment 170 38.32% 22.16 -9.93 82.35% -0.402 -0.8147
2 Heart 121 52.94% 20.95 5.185 72.73% 0.259 0.1695
2 Opposite Shores 937 33.33% 23.09 4.183 83.78% 1.209 1.0289
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 -7.504 0.0% -0.504 0.1342
2 Thematic 937 39.47% 30.15 0.095 73.64% -0.761 -0.5747
2 Top to Top 184 32.79% 22.26 1.037 81.52% 0.235 0.0358
3 Archipelago 14 50.0% 27.29 1.246 71.43% -0.066 -1.1866
3 Coastline 16 50.0% 20.5 5.504 68.75% 0.352 -0.3097
3 Other 92 41.3% 19.68 -2.062 70.65% -0.774 -1.1077
3 Round (Default) 2665 28.4% 24.26 1.175 84.69% 0.146 -0.1201
3 Sunrise 8 12.5% 25.63 0.0 87.5%
3 Thematic 216 36.11% 27.53 -0.43 67.13% -0.892 -1.3383
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 47.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 6 16.67% 10.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 7 14.29% 23.57 -6.646 85.71% -0.485 0.3615
4 Other 35 25.71% 21.8 1.544 80.0% -0.244 -0.981
4 Thematic 628 31.2% 29.48 3.366 89.65% 0.467 0.6702
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1249 24.88% 22.8 -3.967 81.27% -1.466 -1.1258
5 Other 45 42.22% 26.09 3.659 80.0% 0.639 -0.0825
5 Thematic 9 33.33% 32.56 0.0 88.89%
6 Other 6 33.33% 22.17 5.568 66.67% 0.226 0.666
6 Star 6 0.0% 21.5 0.0 66.67%
6 Thematic 45 9.3% 21.42 4.007 53.33% 0.107 0.1319
6 Two Centers (Default) 49 12.24% 18.31 0.245 61.22% -0.738 -0.6402
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 7 0.0% 30.0 0.0 57.14%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1295 18.03 -0.837 59.77% -0.189 -0.0502
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1143 19.47 -0.197 59.58% -0.315 -0.3736
All Things Weaken 604 17.85 -0.481 55.79% -0.256 0.0983
Attenuated Essence 56 16.91 -3.195 50.0% -0.994 -0.8826
Back Against the Wall 1110 18.87 1.034 58.11% -0.119 -0.0428
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 38 19.39 -0.959 50.0% -0.027 0.184
Burn Brightest Before the End 15 22.93 4.227 66.67% 0.824 0.9442
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1275 15.7 -1.714 55.45% -0.818 -0.4495
Downward Spiral 4616 16.5 -1.522 61.09% -0.255 -0.0585
Erosion of Will 1345 17.9 -0.148 57.77% -0.26 0.0074
Intensifying Exploitation 45 16.18 3.865 48.89% 0.353 0.6236
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 230 24.12 0.128 88.26% 0.153 -0.358
Memory Fades to Dust 4724 15.98 -1.411 56.8% -0.389 -0.0771
Power Corrodes the Spirit 606 18.68 0.804 62.21% -0.004 0.2908
Promising Farmlands 1345 16.99 -0.103 60.0% -0.221 0.1154
Shattered Fragments of Power 39 22.03 -1.118 56.41% -0.263 -0.1545
Slow Dissolution of Will 44 20.7 0.753 59.09% 0.026 0.4264
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 179 24.71 1.893 92.74% 0.538 -0.0748
The Border of Life and Death 16 24.19 3.601 75.0% 0.512 0.2197
Thriving Communities 608 17.78 -2.741 58.39% -0.903 -0.5704
Thriving Crops 26 20.46 8.113 69.23% 0.689 0.6023
Tipping Point 504 16.8 0.0 60.52%
Unnatural Proliferation 594 19.34 -0.033 59.26% -0.109 0.0387
Untended Land Crumbles 656 17.62 -1.479 58.38% -0.403 -0.0965

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12546 38.14% 22.62 -0.184 78.61% -0.414 0.4912
B 12815 36.49% 22.86 -0.806 78.96% -0.67 0.1585
C 13191 35.79% 23.04 0.383 79.38% -0.374 0.3058
D 12541 35.61% 23.03 -0.202 79.61% -0.464 0.3895
E 3767 32.59% 23.98 0.277 79.43% -0.459 0.2426
F 5668 33.03% 23.89 0.205 81.6% -0.408 0.3727
G 5328 33.75% 23.42 -0.905 80.42% -0.631 0.141
H 5530 33.22% 23.94 0.047 81.63% -0.42 0.3488
East 3825 37.09% 29.89 1.664 75.61% -0.203 0.659
Northeast 2340 35.88% 29.79 1.579 76.79% -0.232 0.5144
Northwest 1849 36.71% 29.1 0.349 76.42% -0.23 0.6035
Southeast 523 34.36% 26.55 -0.958 70.17% -0.44 0.3361
Southwest 473 34.39% 23.44 -3.586 68.92% -0.974 0.3452
West 3387 39.13% 28.7 0.765 73.93% -0.176 0.83

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 579 0.0% 20.45 0.13 65.28% -0.781 0.0499
Not Using Events or Tokens 13721 44.8% 20.97 -0.908 72.1% -0.115 0.3259
Skip Initial Invader Actions 859 9.61% 34.89 6.851 92.08% 1.201 0.639
Start of Game Growth 1319 14.26% 31.71 3.629 89.01% 0.374 -0.1642
Unlimited Undo 3173 27.82% 26.06 2.566 84.05% 0.544 0.5854
Using Tokens but Not Events 4163 28.58% 25.04 0.681 83.33% -0.075 -0.0986

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7797 16.23 33.88%
II 20352 30.54 78.0%
III 19168 34.77 86.58%
IV 9422 38.37 99.16%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.057 Win Model: 0.686
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 40525 39.49% 23.64 77.04%
2 11205 35.05% 23.75 80.95%
3 2946 29.09% 24.38 83.37%
4 1919 27.25% 25.02 84.42%
5 48 12.5% 16.44 45.83%
6 95 13.04% 23.87 69.47%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2637
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 16124
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 15020
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9252
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3092
Lose: Invader deck ran out 789
Lose: Adversary condition 267
Win: Sacrifice victory 214
Lose: Scenario condition 527
Win: Scenario condition 1208
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7230
Lose: Spirit destroyed 379

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3579 27.02% 30.24 0.52 81.75% -0.228 -0.3305
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2187 51.27% 27.76 0.2 77.5% 0.135 0.2955
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 47 23.4% 35.77 7.98 87.23% 1.113 0.2777
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1749 28.74% 30.26 2.222 87.19% 0.792 0.66
Downpour Drenches the World 288 24.65% 23.21 -1.797 64.58% -0.576 -0.2576
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 263 18.32% 28.5 1.794 77.57% 0.641 0.1564
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2240 18.45% 33.59 2.77 92.01% 0.727 0.2744
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1812 23.39% 34.17 2.87 88.63% 0.221 -0.2312
Finder of Paths Unseen 174 39.31% 22.45 -4.185 51.72% -1.079 -0.412
Fractured Days Split the Sky 455 34.14% 29.25 -2.741 70.77% -0.733 -0.0549
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 519 39.11% 26.68 -0.038 70.33% -0.063 -0.0017
Heart of the Wildfire 2465 57.08% 26.74 -0.274 76.63% 0.185 0.4446
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3736 35.54% 30.66 -0.249 87.29% 0.012 -0.3817
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 54 31.48% 25.94 1.897 66.67% 0.3 -0.0955
Lightning's Swift Strike 3288 39.33% 29.01 -0.161 79.68% -0.044 0.2101
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 218 16.06% 53.5 6.975 81.19% -0.228 -0.7812
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 265 32.83% 30.49 3.16 82.26% 1.144 0.9086
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 255 32.94% 29.28 1.778 79.61% 0.45 0.199
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1056 35.45% 30.19 1.423 82.77% 0.235 -0.0893
Many Minds Move as One 783 25.96% 30.23 -0.146 84.93% -0.04 -0.24
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3246 42.18% 30.11 2.027 80.04% 0.157 0.129
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1756 31.74% 32.48 2.569 84.51% 0.278 0.1357
River Surges in Sunlight 4124 39.74% 31.28 3.492 78.27% 0.409 0.5259
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 334 45.05% 27.43 -2.984 70.66% -0.713 -0.3759
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 195 31.09% 29.24 4.009 70.26% 0.644 0.4958
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1853 37.31% 28.46 -0.794 81.44% -0.44 -0.6079
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2237 55.69% 26.62 -1.389 72.15% -0.268 0.276
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 41 51.22% 27.93 -3.441 73.17% -0.845 -0.7596
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 54 33.33% 29.85 1.277 74.07% -0.408 -0.7772
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 59 27.12% 27.29 -3.147 77.97% -0.614 -0.4481
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 248 37.1% 29.08 0.719 82.66% -0.036 -0.0053
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 151 54.36% 29.34 -1.319 78.15% -0.316 -0.1457
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2347 31.72% 31.14 0.72 84.96% 0.086 -0.0089
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 103 12.75% 27.02 3.726 74.76% 1.47 1.2296
Shifting Memory of Ages 446 42.92% 24.39 -2.01 66.82% -0.511 -0.1329
Shroud of Silent Mist 502 54.09% 25.23 -3.445 73.11% -0.682 -0.3108
Starlight Seeks its Form 496 34.55% 26.68 -3.171 72.58% -0.645 -0.8515
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1057 40.72% 25.41 -0.437 78.05% 0.024 -0.6928
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1434 35.04% 28.28 -0.884 79.71% 0.058 0.2398
Thunderspeaker 3265 32.74% 31.15 -0.811 81.68% -0.167 -0.1532
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 60 40.0% 21.38 3.066 55.0% 0.609 0.715
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 793 67.72% 23.44 -2.028 69.99% -0.21 -0.0699
Vital Strength of the Earth 3035 39.61% 25.76 -0.368 73.34% 0.079 0.6216
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 119 37.29% 23.7 -3.155 64.71% -0.57 -0.2319
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 197 38.07% 23.38 0.071 65.99% 0.255 0.9716
Volcano Looming High 664 46.39% 25.55 -1.802 73.8% -0.352 -0.3845
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 120 24.17% 28.66 1.064 81.67% 0.327 -0.1104

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 15 33.33% 26.8 -6.669 73.33% -0.389 -0.3374
Blitz 0 801 46.25% 23.0 -2.917 64.04% -0.574 -0.3735
Dahan Insurrection 4 610 22.66% 49.56 8.343 81.48% -0.088 -0.2992
Despicable Theft 2 128 43.75% 26.6 3.461 53.91% 0.027 0.8718
Elemental Invocation 1 175 51.43% 22.97 -7.183 56.57% -1.897 -0.8261
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1692 11.32% 34.83 4.211 76.18% 0.116 -0.6084
Powers Long Forgotten 1 436 52.29% 28.42 -4.274 64.91% -1.42 -0.514
Rituals of Terror 3 406 46.55% 36.18 4.806 68.47% -0.093 -0.0628
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 288 64.58% 30.76 -5.056 55.56% -1.18 0.0085
Second Wave 0 2375 44.27% 29.6 1.503 76.42% 0.13 0.2113
The Great River 3 127 40.16% 27.3 -6.307 45.67% -0.883 0.5044
Varied Terrains 2 88 36.36% 19.59 -2.213 38.64% -1.247 -0.3459
Ward the Shores 2 456 47.03% 30.04 -4.496 60.53% -1.324 -0.2683

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 21876 41.13% 27.39 -0.816 77.83% 0.077 0.1076
1 Thematic 3356 44.9% 32.44 0.574 68.92% 0.034 0.4666
2 Archipelago 13 53.85% 42.62 4.469 100.0% 0.323 0.8156
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5374 36.49% 28.57 -0.721 83.14% -0.063 -0.1121
2 Coastline 582 41.3% 27.61 -1.137 80.41% -0.254 -0.3541
2 Fragment 150 49.33% 27.65 0.786 82.0% 0.107 -0.3058
2 Heart 99 34.34% 28.24 -0.058 85.86% -0.13 -0.2193
2 Opposite Shores 901 33.93% 28.7 0.92 86.35% 0.389 0.2095
2 Thematic 828 43.17% 32.6 0.769 69.93% 0.209 0.396
2 Top to Top 164 41.98% 26.82 -7.483 76.83% -1.111 -1.311
3 Archipelago 10 20.0% 45.8 6.163 100.0% 0.332 -0.7886
3 Coastline 16 50.0% 33.44 4.215 81.25% 0.367 -0.2951
3 Other 75 32.43% 28.48 6.202 88.0% 0.471 0.1369
3 Round (Default) 2019 28.37% 29.78 0.903 86.58% 0.342 0.0758
3 Sunrise 5 40.0% 27.6 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 161 38.51% 32.54 2.367 67.08% 0.17 -0.2768
4 Archipelago 13 30.77% 39.0 4.168 100.0% 0.205 -0.3525
4 Coastline 11 36.36% 21.36 0.0 36.36%
4 Leaf 5 0.0% 37.6 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 54 37.04% 28.54 5.174 85.19% 0.781 0.0433
4 Thematic 306 42.62% 35.39 -7.065 84.31% -0.998 -0.7945
4 Trapezoid (Default) 833 31.3% 29.37 -4.953 84.15% -1.233 -0.8932
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 32.5 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 42 21.43% 30.4 -5.282 85.71% -0.592 -1.3131
5 Thematic 9 22.22% 25.56 0.44 55.56% 0.197 0.357
6 Archipelago 92 2.17% 71.42 8.239 82.61% -0.554 -1.2689
6 Other 43 6.98% 66.28 0.0 86.05%
6 Star 3 0.0% 33.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 19 31.58% 24.37 -11.253 52.63% -0.291 -0.2654
6 Two Centers (Default) 40 25.0% 23.93 3.464 60.0% 0.42 0.5175
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 51.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 924 23.52 -2.548 62.66% -0.149 -0.0107
Aid From Lesser Spirits 876 24.03 3.486 63.24% 0.963 0.9036
All Things Weaken 481 22.67 -0.074 60.29% 0.071 0.4259
Attenuated Essence 41 24.76 1.86 70.73% 0.733 0.8442
Back Against the Wall 817 23.44 0.71 60.95% 0.072 0.1484
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 51 20.1 -2.896 52.94% -0.672 -0.4617
Burn Brightest Before the End 36 26.33 4.295 55.56% 0.068 0.1882
Disintegrating Ecosystem 992 20.72 -3.378 60.28% -0.376 -0.0072
Downward Spiral 2803 21.27 -1.517 62.15% -0.165 0.0311
Erosion of Will 999 22.12 -0.869 57.66% -0.6 -0.3325
Intensifying Exploitation 31 22.52 1.265 54.84% 0.337 0.607
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 162 28.91 1.167 89.51% 0.298 -0.2127
Memory Fades to Dust 2921 20.43 -2.198 56.66% -0.409 -0.0979
Power Corrodes the Spirit 433 21.57 -0.196 59.35% -0.36 -0.0653
Promising Farmlands 1043 21.61 -0.864 61.46% -0.192 0.1445
Shattered Fragments of Power 22 23.91 5.249 54.55% 0.531 0.6393
Slow Dissolution of Will 29 20.0 -1.494 55.17% -0.112 0.288
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 118 30.1 2.646 95.76% 0.454 -0.1593
The Border of Life and Death 16 25.25 1.792 81.25% 0.384 0.0915
Thriving Communities 447 21.33 -0.226 60.63% -0.064 0.2687
Thriving Crops 22 25.41 -11.923 72.73% -0.842 -0.929
Tipping Point 365 21.32 0.0 59.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 491 23.31 -2.96 57.43% -0.826 -0.6777
Untended Land Crumbles 459 22.17 0.296 62.53% -0.293 0.0141

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8271 39.42% 28.4 0.206 79.72% -0.332 0.5728
B 8528 36.72% 28.8 0.238 81.07% -0.37 0.4586
C 8865 36.84% 28.99 1.515 81.76% 0.028 0.7079
D 8223 36.72% 28.97 0.705 81.45% -0.241 0.6122
E 2797 35.64% 28.45 0.845 79.76% -0.015 0.6866
F 3881 34.62% 28.6 1.217 82.2% -0.012 0.7688
G 3611 35.98% 29.61 1.791 81.22% 0.032 0.8037
H 3731 33.22% 30.05 1.448 82.5% -0.235 0.5334
East 2947 42.95% 33.48 -0.404 70.92% -0.428 0.4334
Northeast 1689 44.4% 33.62 1.365 71.94% -0.486 0.2613
Northwest 1314 43.29% 33.77 0.02 75.49% -0.461 0.3719
Southeast 388 36.34% 28.67 -6.044 64.43% -1.588 -0.8124
Southwest 388 40.46% 25.02 -2.307 60.05% -0.617 0.7021
West 2584 44.73% 32.12 1.152 70.24% -0.21 0.7958

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 278 0.0% 24.5 -1.777 69.78% -0.614 0.2164
Not Using Events or Tokens 6966 46.11% 25.6 -1.063 72.15% -0.153 0.2875
Skip Initial Invader Actions 471 9.48% 39.82 2.427 89.81% 0.271 -0.2911
Start of Game Growth 730 13.32% 37.26 5.362 89.45% 0.91 0.3713
Unlimited Undo 2232 31.85% 29.02 -3.552 81.27% -0.927 -0.8857
Using Tokens but Not Events 2990 30.26% 31.42 1.746 82.88% -0.1 -0.1236

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5503 16.23 34.04%
II 13968 30.54 79.37%
III 12424 34.77 88.71%
IV 5228 38.37 99.18%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.784 Win Model: 0.585
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 25433 41.62% 28.02 76.42%
2 8011 37.6% 29.01 82.51%
3 2235 29.37% 30.11 86.0%
4 1203 33.95% 30.88 83.79%
5 49 12.24% 28.55 79.59%
6 192 10.42% 56.97 78.13%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1872
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10658
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10383
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5143
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1897
Lose: Invader deck ran out 351
Lose: Adversary condition 119
Win: Sacrifice victory 123
Lose: Scenario condition 432
Win: Scenario condition 986
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4936
Lose: Spirit destroyed 223

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4850 31.5% 32.2 0.908 81.63% 0.459 0.3565
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2760 59.09% 29.65 -2.507 75.62% -0.592 -0.4317
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 81 37.04% 38.49 6.598 87.65% 1.258 0.4223
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2172 35.18% 32.67 0.813 84.53% 0.18 0.0483
Downpour Drenches the World 411 36.1% 27.22 1.338 71.05% 0.715 1.0336
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 515 25.83% 32.47 4.956 81.17% 1.285 0.8005
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2856 24.15% 35.93 2.703 90.16% 0.779 0.326
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2175 31.86% 34.13 2.064 84.87% 0.417 -0.0347
Finder of Paths Unseen 233 50.21% 21.46 -2.349 49.36% -0.63 0.0366
Fractured Days Split the Sky 661 42.66% 31.45 -0.71 67.17% -0.399 0.2791
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 791 46.32% 30.53 -2.051 75.47% -0.41 -0.348
Heart of the Wildfire 3169 66.35% 27.08 -0.808 69.01% -0.038 0.2223
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5489 39.39% 33.9 1.3 85.81% 0.289 -0.1043
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 124 30.65% 30.18 1.393 74.19% 0.316 -0.0793
Lightning's Swift Strike 3785 47.69% 29.69 -1.579 73.79% -0.404 -0.1499
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 161 50.31% 31.57 3.373 70.81% -0.013 -0.5665
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 406 38.42% 33.4 -1.734 83.5% -0.573 -0.8092
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 349 41.38% 33.74 4.195 76.79% 0.426 0.1753
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1744 41.02% 33.27 2.065 81.65% 0.5 0.1757
Many Minds Move as One 1019 30.88% 33.18 1.61 85.67% 0.373 0.1734
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4376 52.41% 29.81 0.286 74.43% -0.107 -0.1353
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2115 37.14% 32.12 0.163 83.64% 0.179 0.0371
River Surges in Sunlight 4941 49.23% 32.0 0.704 74.26% -0.047 0.0694
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 496 52.42% 32.35 2.121 71.98% 0.366 0.7035
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 256 45.28% 35.12 5.991 76.17% 1.261 1.1126
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3222 40.26% 32.04 1.392 82.77% 0.283 0.1159
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2485 67.1% 27.31 -2.671 65.51% -0.391 0.1534
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 59 57.63% 29.25 -2.592 64.41% -0.46 -0.3743
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 76 42.11% 30.32 0.811 67.11% 0.025 -0.3443
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 78 56.41% 30.9 -3.089 78.21% -0.629 -0.4631
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 303 48.68% 30.28 -10.287 76.24% -1.727 -1.6955
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 239 63.18% 28.52 -1.165 69.87% 0.046 0.2167
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3089 36.86% 33.13 1.026 82.16% 0.428 0.3323
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 145 27.08% 30.7 1.026 67.59% -0.343 -0.5839
Shifting Memory of Ages 709 53.03% 27.96 -0.063 67.42% -0.026 0.3526
Shroud of Silent Mist 808 57.05% 27.61 -1.596 71.91% -0.232 0.1391
Starlight Seeks its Form 785 41.71% 30.27 -1.324 73.5% -0.341 -0.5471
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1549 44.55% 27.51 -1.216 75.6% -0.08 -0.7962
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1738 45.66% 29.68 -4.282 74.91% -0.842 -0.66
Thunderspeaker 4118 42.16% 32.78 -0.264 78.82% -0.295 -0.2808
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 109 40.37% 25.35 -0.85 58.72% -0.278 -0.173
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1231 72.03% 25.93 -2.674 69.62% -0.32 -0.1794
Vital Strength of the Earth 3550 44.07% 27.67 -2.193 69.18% -0.357 0.1856
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 169 39.29% 29.51 -0.419 71.01% -0.348 -0.0099
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 300 41.67% 26.53 -0.045 66.67% -0.13 0.5861
Volcano Looming High 1242 47.67% 29.57 1.001 76.09% 0.371 0.3377
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 225 32.89% 33.2 2.554 81.33% 0.761 0.3236

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 21 28.57% 24.81 -4.613 61.9% -0.307 -0.255
Blitz 0 978 49.18% 26.42 -3.887 62.99% -0.834 -0.6336
Dahan Insurrection 4 627 31.73% 50.29 9.886 74.16% 0.333 0.1214
Despicable Theft 2 135 48.15% 28.14 -4.625 54.81% -1.104 -0.2595
Elemental Invocation 1 167 52.1% 24.01 -5.153 52.69% -1.041 0.0297
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1965 18.2% 33.51 2.264 69.41% -0.198 -0.9224
Powers Long Forgotten 1 389 60.93% 27.79 -6.669 53.47% -1.16 -0.254
Rituals of Terror 3 341 54.41% 35.05 -1.847 55.13% -0.738 -0.7079
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 217 66.82% 34.5 -1.718 55.76% -0.777 0.4114
Second Wave 0 2015 53.64% 31.0 1.913 70.57% 0.143 0.2244
The Great River 3 118 58.47% 27.28 -8.917 41.53% -1.317 0.0705
Varied Terrains 2 66 40.91% 19.0 -4.143 34.85% -0.672 0.2294
Ward the Shores 2 465 54.19% 32.85 -1.073 61.29% -0.54 0.5154

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 27617 48.6% 29.21 -0.313 74.06% 0.322 0.3522
1 Thematic 3148 54.44% 32.26 -1.58 62.8% -0.106 0.3263
2 Archipelago 12 66.67% 41.5 0.0 75.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7225 44.48% 30.8 -0.193 79.97% 0.015 -0.0341
2 Coastline 827 42.03% 32.03 -0.315 82.47% -0.029 -0.13
2 Fragment 188 52.13% 30.65 5.252 79.26% 0.753 0.3404
2 Heart 111 44.04% 31.69 -7.091 75.68% -1.214 -1.3036
2 Opposite Shores 1264 43.41% 31.92 4.394 83.78% 1.105 0.9254
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 1146 53.15% 31.93 -1.672 62.91% -0.376 -0.1894
2 Top to Top 240 46.25% 32.36 1.928 82.5% -0.354 -0.5532
3 Archipelago 12 75.0% 40.42 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 24 25.0% 30.46 -3.751 75.0% -0.193 -0.8545
3 Other 130 33.59% 31.48 3.568 82.31% 0.327 -0.0067
3 Round (Default) 3087 36.07% 32.43 0.302 83.77% -0.193 -0.4586
3 Sunrise 20 35.0% 29.65 2.261 75.0% 0.224 0.7349
3 Thematic 245 47.13% 36.8 -6.394 73.47% -0.825 -1.2719
4 Archipelago 13 46.15% 45.31 0.0 84.62%
4 Coastline 8 87.5% 36.38 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 10 40.0% 28.7 -5.314 70.0% -0.499 0.347
4 Other 68 28.79% 34.74 4.526 89.71% 1.102 0.3642
4 Thematic 399 44.64% 37.91 5.016 77.94% 0.759 0.962
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1443 33.31% 32.51 -0.284 86.56% -0.066 0.2743
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 35.5 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 67 46.27% 33.45 1.142 79.1% 0.141 -0.5802
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 29.0 -3.653 50.0% -0.299 -0.1387
6 Archipelago 4 25.0% 58.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 16 18.75% 37.06 0.0 62.5%
6 Star 12 58.33% 24.92 0.0 66.67%
6 Thematic 57 32.73% 46.23 4.659 77.19% -0.217 -0.1919
6 Two Centers (Default) 72 23.61% 32.85 -3.502 68.06% -1.245 -1.147
7 Other 4 0.0% 35.5 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1586 25.52 0.346 59.52% -0.213 -0.0747
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1304 27.4 1.208 62.88% 0.029 -0.0305
All Things Weaken 792 25.2 -1.159 59.34% -0.175 0.1793
Attenuated Essence 68 24.07 0.979 60.29% 0.307 0.418
Back Against the Wall 1328 27.62 1.277 64.08% 0.392 0.4678
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 94 23.24 -0.451 56.38% -0.353 -0.1428
Burn Brightest Before the End 51 31.25 -0.968 76.47% -0.222 -0.1012
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1490 23.1 -0.971 58.05% -0.09 0.2784
Downward Spiral 3850 24.0 -0.553 61.45% -0.047 0.1497
Erosion of Will 1585 24.42 1.305 56.28% -0.055 0.2117
Intensifying Exploitation 82 25.28 -1.923 57.32% -0.578 -0.3079
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 326 32.03 2.346 89.88% 1.108 0.5971
Memory Fades to Dust 3851 23.17 -1.503 55.91% -0.412 -0.1008
Power Corrodes the Spirit 809 25.11 0.662 61.93% 0.417 0.7118
Promising Farmlands 1565 23.69 0.256 58.59% 0.184 0.5197
Shattered Fragments of Power 84 29.49 2.751 65.48% 0.737 0.8456
Slow Dissolution of Will 86 25.37 2.434 56.98% 0.623 1.0231
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 210 32.78 1.744 93.81% 0.389 -0.2244
The Border of Life and Death 36 29.0 6.36 80.56% 0.911 0.6191
Thriving Communities 748 24.69 0.343 61.1% 0.066 0.3991
Thriving Crops 35 27.34 -2.035 71.43% -0.148 -0.2349
Tipping Point 576 24.66 0.0 60.59%
Unnatural Proliferation 787 25.85 1.055 59.47% -0.186 -0.0379
Untended Land Crumbles 751 23.73 -0.46 58.99% -0.003 0.3042

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11098 44.54% 30.47 0.341 78.23% -0.251 0.6543
B 11415 44.77% 30.44 0.703 78.12% -0.221 0.6071
C 11685 43.09% 30.65 0.522 78.66% -0.256 0.424
D 10833 45.13% 30.32 -0.072 78.29% -0.27 0.5838
E 3958 43.28% 30.74 -0.163 78.15% -0.486 0.2154
F 5593 40.66% 31.42 -0.545 80.08% -0.477 0.3039
G 4942 43.14% 30.94 0.141 79.44% -0.36 0.4117
H 4966 42.03% 31.25 0.538 79.34% -0.131 0.6377
East 3315 50.38% 34.25 0.303 67.0% -0.389 0.4724
Northeast 1882 49.87% 35.45 1.248 69.29% -0.584 0.163
Northwest 1505 53.82% 33.74 -0.496 65.05% -0.628 0.2057
Southeast 524 45.87% 31.89 0.894 65.08% -0.077 0.6991
Southwest 487 44.01% 30.72 -2.049 65.91% -1.104 0.2152
West 2881 53.78% 32.87 0.839 64.53% -0.317 0.6895

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 258 0.0% 29.59 3.99 74.03% 0.473 1.3037
Not Using Events or Tokens 7535 51.98% 27.15 -0.994 68.55% 0.006 0.447
Skip Initial Invader Actions 628 17.83% 43.53 0.788 87.26% -0.491 -1.0527
Start of Game Growth 1003 17.26% 42.15 5.772 87.34% 0.947 0.4084
Unlimited Undo 3649 39.7% 31.56 -0.5 79.39% -0.084 -0.0428
Using Tokens but Not Events 3595 38.48% 31.67 0.178 80.83% 0.081 0.0576

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5258 16.23 8.94%
II 18879 30.54 73.33%
III 15357 34.77 88.59%
IV 8021 38.37 99.11%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.547 Win Model: 0.709
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 30999 49.21% 29.47 72.65%
2 10895 45.26% 31.35 79.52%
3 3482 36.32% 32.69 83.2%
4 1932 35.78% 33.89 85.04%
5 41 48.78% 31.9 70.73%
6 166 27.44% 37.43 69.28%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 469
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13234
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 13167
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7884
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2484
Lose: Invader deck ran out 510
Lose: Adversary condition 149
Win: Sacrifice victory 207
Lose: Scenario condition 703
Win: Scenario condition 907
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7450
Lose: Spirit destroyed 351

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4716 40.36% 38.72 -1.067 78.82% -0.208 -0.311
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2819 71.3% 34.63 -2.686 66.97% -0.502 -0.3415
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 135 36.3% 37.55 2.342 72.59% 0.225 -0.6108
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2530 36.24% 40.96 1.908 84.27% 0.501 0.3692
Downpour Drenches the World 483 43.48% 25.88 -3.279 50.1% -0.666 -0.3482
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 717 23.85% 36.93 3.932 73.5% 0.883 0.3985
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2742 40.59% 40.66 1.017 82.6% 0.166 -0.287
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2399 43.35% 39.7 -0.019 80.08% 0.313 -0.1389
Finder of Paths Unseen 278 54.68% 27.97 -1.009 53.96% -0.178 0.4882
Fractured Days Split the Sky 993 39.74% 37.1 -4.178 65.36% -1.016 -0.3384
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1142 47.2% 37.22 -0.875 74.69% -0.096 -0.0347
Heart of the Wildfire 3914 68.03% 34.52 -1.731 67.78% -0.409 -0.1493
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6439 51.36% 40.93 0.545 81.15% 0.219 -0.1748
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 287 14.98% 21.31 1.391 42.86% 0.458 0.0624
Lightning's Swift Strike 3983 54.35% 37.96 -0.529 73.99% -0.215 0.0386
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 252 52.26% 37.02 4.609 71.83% 0.94 0.3859
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 632 38.57% 44.37 3.397 88.77% 0.708 0.4724
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 400 41.0% 35.18 2.429 67.5% 0.706 0.4548
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2123 47.97% 38.4 4.038 76.68% 0.942 0.6178
Many Minds Move as One 1046 44.4% 39.69 -3.661 82.79% -0.601 -0.8008
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4382 61.47% 34.63 -2.845 68.1% -0.68 -0.7084
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2305 42.16% 39.62 1.291 82.6% 0.353 0.2111
River Surges in Sunlight 5015 58.13% 39.48 1.999 73.4% 0.221 0.3378
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 457 57.55% 34.18 -2.361 62.14% -0.761 -0.4239
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 294 50.85% 34.71 0.879 60.88% 0.044 -0.1042
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3017 55.26% 36.59 1.354 73.82% 0.38 0.2123
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2278 74.17% 33.78 -3.56 62.64% -0.671 -0.1266
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 44 43.18% 23.59 3.966 45.45% 0.643 0.7284
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 128 53.13% 37.73 2.284 75.0% 0.173 -0.1969
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 79 39.24% 28.42 -0.559 55.7% -0.232 -0.0661
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 407 49.14% 38.46 -2.906 78.62% -0.517 -0.4861
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 198 69.7% 35.41 -2.936 69.7% -0.394 -0.2231
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3704 39.44% 42.28 1.626 83.21% 0.25 0.1551
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 198 35.35% 35.75 3.491 71.72% 0.997 0.7558
Shifting Memory of Ages 664 65.51% 31.62 -3.212 63.4% -0.735 -0.3564
Shroud of Silent Mist 841 67.62% 32.4 -1.995 65.76% -0.331 0.0403
Starlight Seeks its Form 1040 48.85% 36.75 -1.658 73.37% -0.279 -0.4855
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2161 55.49% 33.1 0.89 71.4% 0.457 -0.26
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2039 49.04% 38.44 -0.966 76.85% -0.049 0.1332
Thunderspeaker 3698 51.77% 39.71 -0.321 76.07% -0.056 -0.0424
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 125 26.4% 14.78 -4.664 28.0% -0.674 -0.5683
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1656 82.19% 33.72 0.724 70.77% 0.241 0.3816
Vital Strength of the Earth 2934 57.33% 32.32 -3.25 62.51% -0.649 -0.1072
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 197 39.9% 24.32 -1.652 47.72% -0.151 0.1874
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 365 49.86% 33.39 -0.836 67.4% 0.026 0.7427
Volcano Looming High 1445 57.09% 36.47 -2.075 73.77% -0.295 -0.3273
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 395 28.86% 36.32 3.16 75.7% 0.728 0.291

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 13 38.46% 14.0 -9.196 30.77% -0.734 -0.6819
Blitz 0 671 56.61% 32.9 -3.314 61.55% -0.597 -0.3961
Dahan Insurrection 4 846 24.0% 43.12 -4.8 55.91% -1.622 -1.8333
Despicable Theft 2 75 60.0% 37.24 4.156 53.33% 0.319 1.163
Elemental Invocation 1 174 67.24% 29.0 -6.588 42.53% -0.734 0.3372
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1974 23.33% 41.94 -0.525 74.01% -0.497 -1.2213
Powers Long Forgotten 1 270 72.59% 35.6 -13.008 55.93% -0.385 0.5212
Rituals of Terror 3 247 53.04% 38.78 -1.565 53.44% -0.29 -0.2604
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 87 66.67% 37.18 -13.463 50.57% -1.956 -0.7676
Second Wave 0 1408 62.96% 34.9 2.973 61.93% 0.346 0.4268
The Great River 3 90 67.78% 36.54 -2.089 47.78% -0.342 1.0456
Varied Terrains 2 30 60.0% 25.77 0.215 36.67% -0.09 0.8114
Ward the Shores 2 262 66.03% 39.05 -5.215 56.87% -0.711 0.3446

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 33805 56.88% 36.72 -0.018 72.69% -0.047 -0.0167
1 Thematic 2176 60.32% 40.31 0.431 64.02% -0.225 0.2075
2 Archipelago 23 60.87% 38.43 -9.962 60.87% -0.804 -0.3115
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7676 53.09% 37.88 -0.343 77.36% 0.012 -0.0373
2 Coastline 917 54.29% 39.34 0.166 78.52% -0.134 -0.2349
2 Fragment 182 60.44% 37.8 6.172 75.27% 1.034 0.6214
2 Heart 116 62.07% 38.62 3.838 80.17% 0.5 0.4107
2 Opposite Shores 1449 57.66% 38.6 0.452 78.74% 0.134 -0.0454
2 Thematic 860 56.34% 39.7 -0.631 65.0% -0.006 0.1804
2 Top to Top 255 58.43% 36.77 -1.29 72.16% -0.148 -0.3473
3 Archipelago 11 63.64% 43.91 -8.846 72.73% -0.602 -1.7232
3 Coastline 45 35.56% 46.64 -11.12 93.33% -0.248 -0.9097
3 Other 136 42.65% 40.24 5.469 84.56% 1.012 0.6785
3 Round (Default) 2867 47.48% 39.15 -0.176 80.22% 0.039 -0.2266
3 Sunrise 5 40.0% 48.2 7.405 100.0% 0.166 0.6771
3 Thematic 137 57.35% 41.46 4.701 68.61% 0.523 0.0761
4 Archipelago 6 66.67% 42.33 0.0 83.33%
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 41.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 8 100.0% 42.38 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 56 39.29% 39.71 -6.46 83.93% -0.216 -0.9536
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 66.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 100.0% 30.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 255 42.35% 50.49 -5.553 76.86% -0.162 0.0414
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1502 42.08% 40.55 3.668 84.02% 1.133 1.4735
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 5 0.0% 45.0 5.855 100.0% 0.366 -0.1621
5 Other 48 64.58% 40.06 3.242 85.42% 0.659 -0.0622
5 Thematic 8 50.0% 36.88 26.372 50.0% 1.432 1.5921
6 Archipelago 5 0.0% 80.2 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 2 50.0% 34.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 23 13.04% 38.91 -2.597 69.57% -0.461 -0.021
6 Star 4 0.0% 38.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 284 5.28% 4.77 -4.449 6.69% -1.53 -1.5046
6 Two Centers (Default) 38 26.32% 32.74 -16.937 68.42% -1.425 -1.3272
7 Other 3 33.33% 17.0 0.0 33.33%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2194 32.96 2.722 61.08% 0.408 0.547
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1822 35.54 1.771 66.14% -0.087 -0.1464
All Things Weaken 1064 31.57 -1.553 57.89% -0.526 -0.1708
Attenuated Essence 115 29.91 0.802 60.0% -0.092 0.0188
Back Against the Wall 1725 34.0 -0.422 62.2% -0.417 -0.3403
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 111 31.41 2.504 54.95% -0.198 0.0125
Burn Brightest Before the End 96 32.24 1.934 59.38% -0.026 0.0942
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2124 29.8 -4.472 57.96% -0.802 -0.4328
Downward Spiral 4542 31.82 -0.54 63.78% -0.067 0.13
Erosion of Will 2198 31.5 0.789 57.78% -0.021 0.2464
Intensifying Exploitation 126 27.55 -3.553 52.38% -0.735 -0.4649
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 444 41.8 3.017 92.57% 0.826 0.3147
Memory Fades to Dust 4432 30.97 -0.326 59.12% -0.145 0.167
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1154 32.97 -1.042 66.2% -0.348 -0.0532
Promising Farmlands 2171 30.53 -2.521 59.01% -0.687 -0.351
Shattered Fragments of Power 84 35.99 5.856 69.05% 0.803 0.9114
Slow Dissolution of Will 106 28.81 0.529 50.94% 0.098 0.4983
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 297 42.3 -2.623 93.6% -0.058 -0.6714
The Border of Life and Death 22 29.09 3.476 63.64% 0.271 -0.0217
Thriving Communities 1147 30.68 -2.684 59.63% -0.764 -0.4317
Thriving Crops 51 29.41 3.917 66.67% 0.482 0.3949
Tipping Point 816 30.56 0.0 56.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 1154 34.02 1.472 64.82% 0.181 0.3284
Untended Land Crumbles 1062 31.18 -1.516 60.17% -0.591 -0.2838

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11794 54.19% 37.32 -0.323 74.78% -0.164 0.7409
B 12184 53.17% 37.77 0.569 75.89% 0.017 0.845
C 12997 54.12% 38.01 0.349 76.42% -0.092 0.5879
D 11683 54.37% 37.32 -0.708 75.19% -0.176 0.6773
E 4879 52.9% 38.25 0.826 77.72% -0.056 0.645
F 6432 50.12% 38.79 1.673 78.47% 0.154 0.9353
G 5551 54.21% 37.36 -0.506 75.39% -0.194 0.5781
H 5930 51.28% 38.43 0.541 77.72% -0.208 0.56
East 2521 51.55% 38.44 -3.19 60.49% -0.786 0.0757
Northeast 1529 48.3% 35.58 -2.267 55.46% -0.534 0.2124
Northwest 1174 45.52% 33.18 -0.267 52.21% 0.104 0.937
Southeast 629 27.82% 26.76 -2.196 44.83% 0.314 1.0897
Southwest 695 27.48% 23.44 -2.738 40.86% -0.403 0.9162
West 2199 49.57% 36.08 -2.312 57.48% -0.594 0.4124

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 188 0.0% 33.79 7.878 62.23% 1.249 2.0802
Not Using Events or Tokens 5919 63.26% 32.97 -0.485 64.93% 0.027 0.4685
Skip Initial Invader Actions 613 12.71% 54.69 4.438 90.38% 0.114 -0.4481
Start of Game Growth 877 17.86% 50.96 4.563 88.71% 0.281 -0.2581
Unlimited Undo 4099 47.7% 39.23 1.058 77.92% 0.065 0.1062
Using Tokens but Not Events 3719 41.52% 37.67 -2.558 74.81% -0.658 -0.6812

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6786 16.23 9.9%
II 23268 30.54 73.22%
III 15707 34.77 89.85%
IV 7181 38.37 99.65%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.023 Win Model: 0.208
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 36157 57.06% 36.92 72.1%
2 11387 54.46% 38.31 76.85%
3 3179 47.11% 39.39 79.93%
4 1823 42.85% 41.98 83.21%
5 40 47.5% 36.58 77.5%
6 356 8.43% 11.45 19.38%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 670
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13808
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 16355
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7097
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2923
Lose: Invader deck ran out 342
Lose: Adversary condition 137
Win: Sacrifice victory 248
Lose: Scenario condition 518
Win: Scenario condition 799
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9564
Lose: Spirit destroyed 481

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2988 50.71% 38.85 0.9 70.95% 0.22 0.1171
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1676 78.72% 34.07 -4.015 56.44% -0.698 -0.5375
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 106 55.66% 39.83 5.19 74.53% 0.857 0.021
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1723 54.81% 40.08 2.506 75.1% 0.701 0.5689
Downpour Drenches the World 273 51.1% 27.83 -0.209 47.25% 0.091 0.4092
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 435 34.48% 40.73 6.704 77.47% 1.179 0.6944
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1750 51.86% 41.22 0.936 75.94% 0.383 -0.0705
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1657 59.01% 39.96 1.495 74.11% 0.277 -0.1755
Finder of Paths Unseen 176 61.93% 26.3 -2.697 46.02% -0.226 0.4401
Fractured Days Split the Sky 475 60.21% 36.66 -4.22 59.79% -0.634 0.0439
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 752 58.78% 37.88 -0.424 69.41% -0.022 0.04
Heart of the Wildfire 2399 79.06% 32.95 -1.526 54.94% -0.271 -0.011
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5028 62.17% 40.5 1.933 74.01% 0.225 -0.1683
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 114 46.49% 35.04 3.091 61.4% 0.276 -0.1189
Lightning's Swift Strike 2394 65.29% 36.09 0.927 61.82% 0.163 0.4169
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 181 55.56% 40.77 2.629 69.61% 0.266 -0.2878
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 440 52.62% 43.07 4.07 81.59% 0.598 0.3625
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 285 54.04% 39.72 -0.502 68.42% -0.057 -0.3083
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1665 64.46% 38.93 1.147 70.57% 0.107 -0.2166
Many Minds Move as One 632 51.27% 41.59 -2.647 80.38% -0.442 -0.6414
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2988 69.66% 35.22 -1.458 60.74% -0.396 -0.4242
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1572 54.68% 40.13 3.128 75.95% 0.721 0.5788
River Surges in Sunlight 3400 67.86% 38.9 -3.126 63.59% -0.267 -0.15
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 256 72.27% 34.99 -0.903 55.08% -0.331 0.006
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 195 61.54% 37.87 -0.324 60.51% -0.474 -0.6225
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1884 69.41% 35.31 0.884 61.84% 0.332 0.1649
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1292 77.54% 32.12 -4.197 49.3% -0.765 -0.2207
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 27 74.07% 38.26 -9.37 70.37% -0.697 -0.6109
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 116 65.52% 39.6 3.716 71.55% 0.494 0.1245
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 47 68.09% 31.21 -7.906 55.32% -0.675 -0.5095
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 262 69.85% 38.81 0.517 72.14% 0.156 0.1869
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 162 77.78% 35.75 4.552 59.26% 0.549 0.7197
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2549 50.92% 41.14 3.079 72.89% 0.617 0.522
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 91 56.04% 30.42 -1.254 58.24% 0.349 0.1086
Shifting Memory of Ages 406 73.58% 30.17 -1.323 49.26% -0.327 0.0509
Shroud of Silent Mist 510 80.35% 31.58 0.686 54.51% 0.41 0.7812
Starlight Seeks its Form 798 59.4% 33.76 -6.314 58.15% -0.943 -1.1493
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1296 70.04% 31.26 -4.048 59.26% -0.916 -1.6326
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1214 59.64% 39.23 3.485 71.0% 0.439 0.621
Thunderspeaker 2347 63.27% 39.77 -2.231 67.7% -0.269 -0.2554
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 83 44.58% 21.2 -9.292 30.12% -1.213 -1.1074
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1100 90.18% 30.92 -0.365 53.73% 0.269 0.409
Vital Strength of the Earth 1620 72.74% 30.45 -3.355 46.54% -0.76 -0.2183
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 113 51.33% 31.73 -2.193 52.21% -0.165 0.1727
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 220 70.0% 30.55 -4.825 47.27% -0.368 0.3487
Volcano Looming High 899 65.63% 36.73 0.176 65.74% 0.191 0.1579
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 253 43.87% 39.91 4.184 78.26% 1.034 0.5967

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 418 61.99% 34.97 3.164 51.67% -0.443 -0.2421
Dahan Insurrection 4 402 45.77% 59.3 1.203 72.14% -0.167 -0.378
Despicable Theft 2 26 57.69% 37.85 0.0 50.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 85 76.47% 24.78 -7.631 32.94% -0.814 0.2571
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1174 24.98% 42.93 2.803 68.4% -0.279 -1.0032
Powers Long Forgotten 1 176 72.16% 33.84 -5.829 45.45% -0.636 0.2694
Rituals of Terror 3 144 75.69% 33.83 -3.221 34.03% -0.574 -0.5436
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 108 82.41% 35.81 -9.597 35.19% -0.768 0.4208
Second Wave 0 847 71.16% 34.8 1.833 54.31% 0.041 0.1217
The Great River 3 34 47.06% 33.21 -12.983 38.24% -0.304 1.083
Varied Terrains 2 12 75.0% 24.33 -15.663 33.33% -0.525 0.3763
Ward the Shores 2 107 75.7% 36.62 -6.474 42.06% -0.464 0.5915

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 22951 65.82% 35.86 0.01 63.57% -0.066 -0.0358
1 Thematic 1760 66.19% 38.61 -3.244 51.7% -0.581 -0.1492
2 Archipelago 6 50.0% 50.0 0.0 66.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5031 65.23% 37.68 -0.552 68.95% -0.147 -0.1953
2 Coastline 634 56.74% 40.57 2.123 76.03% 0.214 0.1139
2 Fragment 107 67.29% 34.95 3.997 59.81% 0.474 0.061
2 Heart 108 71.03% 33.44 1.172 54.63% 0.142 0.0523
2 Opposite Shores 995 67.3% 37.14 1.237 67.54% 0.132 -0.048
2 Thematic 523 72.47% 37.32 1.628 48.37% 0.247 0.4339
2 Top to Top 151 70.0% 36.69 2.108 68.21% 0.404 0.2042
3 Archipelago 4 100.0% 55.75 4.038 100.0% 0.105 -1.0159
3 Coastline 18 50.0% 47.28 5.063 88.89% 0.223 -0.4382
3 Other 106 51.89% 38.15 2.158 67.92% 0.284 -0.0499
3 Round (Default) 1948 57.06% 39.35 0.78 71.61% -0.007 -0.2733
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 32.86 -9.923 57.14% -1.36 -0.8494
3 Thematic 111 70.27% 37.14 -6.152 48.65% -0.284 -0.7301
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 49.0 6.53 100.0% 0.156 -0.4012
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 37.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 37.6 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 62 45.16% 44.35 6.473 83.87% 0.823 0.0852
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 50.0% 47.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 134 63.43% 40.9 2.266 52.99% -0.233 -0.0292
4 Trapezoid (Default) 827 57.39% 38.78 -0.86 68.2% -0.212 0.1285
5 Other 21 63.16% 39.86 8.805 47.62% 0.61 -0.111
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 20.67 0.0 33.33%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 11 45.45% 43.36 -0.202 54.55% -0.104 0.3361
6 Star 12 33.33% 27.08 -10.867 33.33% -1.167 -0.8692
6 Thematic 8 37.5% 36.63 0.271 50.0% 0.052 0.0774
6 Two Centers (Default) 34 50.0% 33.26 2.233 70.59% 0.211 0.3091
7 Other 1 0.0% 54.0 8.338 100.0% 0.088 -1.3286

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1789 32.49 -3.484 51.31% -0.988 -0.8491
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1407 34.88 2.161 56.22% 0.052 -0.0072
All Things Weaken 938 30.85 -2.523 48.4% -0.775 -0.4205
Attenuated Essence 83 34.6 0.425 62.65% -0.246 -0.1351
Back Against the Wall 1397 34.41 1.513 54.9% -0.189 -0.1131
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 86 30.06 -0.566 50.0% -0.517 -0.3068
Burn Brightest Before the End 73 32.88 2.784 47.95% 0.196 0.3168
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1779 30.85 -1.93 53.18% -0.396 -0.0269
Downward Spiral 3267 31.56 -1.267 54.33% -0.421 -0.2248
Erosion of Will 1907 31.3 -0.782 48.24% -0.594 -0.3269
Intensifying Exploitation 112 32.03 1.153 58.93% -0.019 0.2516
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 300 45.35 4.001 94.67% 0.676 0.1647
Memory Fades to Dust 3335 30.48 -2.484 49.27% -0.734 -0.4225
Power Corrodes the Spirit 895 31.18 -0.241 52.74% 0.013 0.3082
Promising Farmlands 1841 30.5 -2.702 49.7% -0.573 -0.2368
Shattered Fragments of Power 72 33.97 5.582 59.72% 0.681 0.7895
Slow Dissolution of Will 85 27.61 0.101 40.0% -0.368 0.0317
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 173 45.08 7.861 94.22% 1.242 0.6293
The Border of Life and Death 18 37.22 9.842 77.78% 0.534 0.2418
Thriving Communities 872 29.06 -0.632 46.33% -0.266 0.0668
Thriving Crops 43 39.56 5.006 79.07% 0.85 0.7634
Tipping Point 662 31.51 0.0 50.0%
Unnatural Proliferation 987 32.44 -2.52 51.37% -0.863 -0.7156
Untended Land Crumbles 941 30.37 -0.936 48.78% -0.427 -0.1201

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7831 64.65% 36.64 0.535 64.91% 0.175 1.0797
B 8225 63.82% 37.05 -0.624 66.26% -0.063 0.7655
C 8409 64.26% 37.1 0.398 66.32% 0.187 0.8675
D 7491 63.17% 36.94 -0.095 66.45% 0.109 0.9627
E 3396 64.05% 37.11 0.437 66.58% -0.152 0.5493
F 4211 62.02% 37.58 0.674 68.32% 0.154 0.935
G 3770 63.42% 36.89 -0.103 66.53% 0.033 0.8043
H 4094 61.2% 38.28 0.709 69.86% 0.035 0.8032
East 1594 67.06% 39.16 0.918 51.51% -0.019 0.8423
Northeast 850 68.71% 39.43 0.061 51.76% -0.267 0.48
Northwest 699 72.82% 36.39 -1.605 45.06% -0.477 0.3566
Southeast 233 60.94% 36.03 -6.998 53.22% -0.766 0.0102
Southwest 239 49.79% 36.83 -0.301 59.83% 0.236 1.5548
West 1435 68.15% 37.55 -0.168 49.48% -0.263 0.7429

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 111 0.0% 35.2 -21.513 57.66% -1.372 -0.5409
Not Using Events or Tokens 3526 69.73% 32.0 -2.64 54.59% -0.216 0.2251
Skip Initial Invader Actions 518 16.7% 56.42 10.858 89.96% 1.039 0.4772
Start of Game Growth 745 23.38% 52.54 8.445 86.17% 0.08 -0.4584
Unlimited Undo 2754 57.38% 39.87 4.708 71.9% 0.843 0.884
Using Tokens but Not Events 1919 56.89% 38.32 1.471 70.77% 0.29 0.2668

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5303 16.23 3.83%
II 13932 30.54 59.03%
III 12433 34.77 84.95%
IV 3938 38.37 99.62%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.335 Win Model: -0.012
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 24846 65.81% 36.03 62.62%
2 7526 65.85% 37.73 67.53%
3 2132 56.3% 39.77 72.47%
4 1021 57.55% 39.41 67.09%
5 15 61.54% 27.93 26.67%
6 66 43.94% 32.76 56.06%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 202
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10368
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7895
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3879
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1776
Lose: Invader deck ran out 325
Lose: Adversary condition 91
Win: Sacrifice victory 168
Lose: Scenario condition 384
Win: Scenario condition 400
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9746
Lose: Spirit destroyed 372

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1380 51.17% 42.22 0.66 68.26% 0.276 0.1733
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 773 77.46% 34.11 -3.76 47.99% -0.791 -0.6313
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 66 53.03% 37.97 6.437 65.15% 0.974 0.1381
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 739 54.55% 43.03 2.625 73.07% 0.678 0.5469
Downpour Drenches the World 162 51.23% 26.54 -6.19 38.89% -0.649 -0.3311
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 182 38.46% 42.1 9.588 73.08% 1.415 0.9304
Eyes Watch From the Trees 802 59.22% 40.08 -1.332 64.21% -0.461 -0.9141
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 765 62.11% 40.26 -0.429 61.7% -0.249 -0.701
Finder of Paths Unseen 156 50.64% 34.96 -3.412 60.26% -0.233 0.4335
Fractured Days Split the Sky 186 54.3% 39.78 1.523 58.06% -0.034 0.6439
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 321 52.34% 40.95 3.4 68.85% 0.519 0.5808
Heart of the Wildfire 1194 77.34% 34.53 -3.769 50.67% -0.53 -0.2699
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2237 64.43% 40.57 -0.024 63.84% 0.093 -0.301
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 38 44.74% 44.95 8.492 71.05% 0.949 0.5534
Lightning's Swift Strike 1172 68.02% 37.35 -1.633 53.67% -0.063 0.1909
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 134 82.84% 33.87 8.536 27.61% 0.673 0.1192
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 237 45.57% 45.19 7.35 77.22% 0.596 0.3603
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 156 57.05% 41.95 -5.202 64.74% -0.738 -0.9892
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 736 70.52% 36.97 2.795 55.43% 0.547 0.2234
Many Minds Move as One 282 56.03% 40.77 -5.033 68.09% -0.658 -0.8574
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1335 72.45% 37.21 -1.587 55.51% 0.059 0.0315
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 757 56.08% 41.56 3.723 70.28% 0.91 0.7684
River Surges in Sunlight 1459 69.81% 38.98 -2.612 54.35% -0.382 -0.2648
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 94 70.21% 33.9 -8.373 50.0% -0.773 -0.436
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 130 70.77% 33.43 4.33 30.77% 0.53 0.3818
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 878 68.09% 36.38 -2.715 54.33% -0.531 -0.6984
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 599 76.79% 33.46 -8.961 42.9% -1.284 -0.7398
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 13 61.54% 16.46 -3.961 15.38% -0.073 0.0131
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 50 84.0% 34.66 -1.307 54.0% -0.193 -0.5621
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 24 62.5% 32.63 -3.04 50.0% -0.239 -0.0735
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 88 67.05% 40.92 -0.398 67.05% -0.28 -0.2485
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 61 81.97% 26.95 -17.303 31.15% -0.507 -0.3361
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1335 50.94% 43.43 7.178 69.44% 1.22 1.1252
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 48 54.17% 29.17 -2.87 41.67% -0.419 -0.66
Shifting Memory of Ages 174 74.71% 30.16 0.577 41.95% 0.178 0.5563
Shroud of Silent Mist 254 80.31% 26.63 -5.203 31.89% -0.547 -0.1765
Starlight Seeks its Form 266 54.51% 35.53 -2.088 58.27% -0.146 -0.3526
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 474 75.53% 29.09 -0.498 47.05% 0.314 -0.4028
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 616 65.58% 39.12 12.658 58.6% 1.663 1.8447
Thunderspeaker 1162 65.68% 38.69 -2.525 57.23% -0.08 -0.066
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 33 48.48% 15.12 -13.641 18.18% -1.294 -1.1888
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 606 89.92% 32.65 -2.294 50.17% -0.273 -0.1331
Vital Strength of the Earth 786 69.68% 32.08 -4.698 41.98% -0.389 0.1532
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 56 53.57% 26.8 -3.408 37.5% -0.111 0.2271
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 122 68.03% 35.64 -8.604 53.28% -0.412 0.3041
Volcano Looming High 434 66.36% 36.65 -1.305 58.06% -0.205 -0.2381
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 123 50.41% 37.06 4.757 65.85% 1.079 0.6421

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 33.33% 18.0 -11.931 33.33% -0.287 -0.2357
Blitz 0 247 63.75% 28.7 -10.902 38.46% -1.279 -1.0783
Dahan Insurrection 4 204 53.92% 53.81 20.691 56.86% 0.705 0.4939
Despicable Theft 2 25 48.0% 29.4 -1.414 36.0% -0.087 0.7579
Elemental Invocation 1 36 61.11% 27.36 0.0 30.56%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 794 28.43% 47.75 5.563 70.03% 0.605 -0.1202
Powers Long Forgotten 1 69 81.16% 33.62 -16.422 39.13% -0.492 0.4139
Rituals of Terror 3 123 65.04% 36.5 -5.203 33.33% -0.949 -0.9184
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 65 67.69% 38.88 -4.627 38.46% -0.3 0.8882
Second Wave 0 316 68.04% 37.1 -2.683 52.22% -0.456 -0.3746
The Great River 3 38 52.63% 26.11 -12.208 21.05% -1.174 0.2134
Varied Terrains 2 13 76.92% 11.77 -1.619 7.69% -0.161 0.7402
Ward the Shores 2 79 64.56% 32.43 -10.528 32.91% -0.568 0.487

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10798 67.1% 35.74 -0.73 54.33% -0.045 -0.0148
1 Thematic 1126 61.01% 40.06 -2.653 48.49% -0.661 -0.2288
2 Archipelago 3 33.33% 27.0 0.0 33.33%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2524 67.36% 38.74 1.345 61.33% 0.39 0.3414
2 Coastline 276 64.49% 40.72 -1.108 65.58% -0.17 -0.2708
2 Fragment 52 80.39% 37.37 0.0 53.85%
2 Heart 37 72.97% 40.49 0.0 62.16%
2 Opposite Shores 371 67.3% 39.86 1.824 62.53% 0.168 -0.0118
2 Thematic 221 73.76% 37.84 -5.189 42.08% -0.555 -0.3681
2 Top to Top 81 65.43% 36.44 6.475 49.38% 0.402 0.2021
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 23 69.57% 50.65 0.0 78.26%
3 Other 35 71.43% 40.03 0.0 60.0%
3 Round (Default) 836 59.83% 40.65 2.503 65.91% 0.379 0.1129
3 Sunrise 7 71.43% 40.14 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 64 76.56% 29.63 0.176 25.0% 0.052 -0.3943
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 28.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 33.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 24 25.0% 54.79 0.0 95.83%
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 67 62.69% 46.46 0.0 55.22%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 319 54.43% 42.54 0.421 67.71% -0.129 0.2114
5 Other 7 28.57% 27.29 -0.429 57.14% 0.07 -0.651
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 1 100.0% 17.0 -7.303 0.0% -0.324 0.1157
6 Star 3 0.0% 34.33 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 1 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 10 30.0% 27.3 0.0 40.0%
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 887 33.84 1.761 45.77% 0.207 0.3457
Aid From Lesser Spirits 676 35.17 -1.295 46.45% -0.757 -0.8157
All Things Weaken 460 31.56 0.22 40.0% -0.337 0.0177
Attenuated Essence 52 34.79 7.952 55.77% 1.186 1.2971
Back Against the Wall 617 35.46 1.594 48.46% -0.247 -0.1709
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 49 32.73 6.314 46.94% 0.882 1.0923
Burn Brightest Before the End 44 26.8 1.678 27.27% -0.296 -0.1752
Disintegrating Ecosystem 852 30.01 -1.663 40.96% -0.369 -0.0001
Downward Spiral 1720 31.59 -1.732 44.01% -0.32 -0.1235
Erosion of Will 841 30.14 -5.083 36.15% -1.373 -1.1063
Intensifying Exploitation 41 22.93 -6.948 29.27% -1.297 -1.0264
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 94 47.01 1.598 86.17% -0.143 -0.6536
Memory Fades to Dust 1718 30.2 -0.845 39.58% -0.093 0.2181
Power Corrodes the Spirit 407 30.21 -1.116 40.79% -0.443 -0.1478
Promising Farmlands 847 30.11 -2.236 38.72% -0.566 -0.2294
Shattered Fragments of Power 39 38.69 -0.632 58.97% -0.479 -0.3704
Slow Dissolution of Will 34 22.44 -6.327 23.53% -1.138 -0.7377
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 75 47.57 9.183 92.0% 1.041 0.4277
The Border of Life and Death 6 44.83 10.656 83.33% 0.854 0.5615
Thriving Communities 438 27.86 -4.526 35.16% -1.084 -0.7516
Thriving Crops 16 35.44 2.141 68.75% 0.205 0.1187
Tipping Point 324 29.92 0.0 36.11%
Unnatural Proliferation 463 33.38 -0.082 45.14% -0.693 -0.5452
Untended Land Crumbles 441 31.78 -2.871 42.86% -0.812 -0.5048

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3541 66.66% 37.6 0.308 57.92% -0.061 0.8437
B 3796 65.03% 37.54 1.021 57.67% 0.272 1.1001
C 3913 67.23% 37.33 -0.19 57.71% 0.083 0.7631
D 3504 64.35% 38.21 0.534 59.45% 0.103 0.9564
E 1540 64.72% 38.22 2.055 61.43% 0.239 0.9401
F 1924 62.63% 38.05 -0.403 60.14% -0.012 0.7693
G 1720 63.31% 38.25 0.817 60.76% 0.064 0.8356
H 1861 63.61% 38.23 0.089 60.24% -0.128 0.6402
East 921 64.6% 39.46 -1.433 44.3% -0.615 0.2471
Northeast 489 65.24% 39.48 -0.332 43.76% 0.203 0.9497
Northwest 349 69.34% 38.02 -1.277 42.41% -0.031 0.8019
Southeast 148 51.35% 40.59 -4.249 56.08% -0.233 0.5422
Southwest 131 56.49% 31.53 -4.668 41.98% -0.46 0.8594
West 744 65.73% 38.72 -7.495 45.03% -0.477 0.5286

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 56 0.0% 38.96 7.174 60.71% 0.274 1.105
Not Using Events or Tokens 1886 69.09% 34.66 -5.311 51.7% -0.879 -0.4382
Skip Initial Invader Actions 249 14.81% 59.66 10.291 93.98% 0.573 0.0108
Start of Game Growth 415 24.57% 52.93 7.509 85.06% 0.443 -0.0955
Unlimited Undo 1575 60.27% 39.99 0.278 65.46% 0.143 0.1842
Using Tokens but Not Events 968 59.85% 34.87 0.319 54.34% 0.036 0.0124

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4041 16.23 6.73%
II 6146 30.54 55.29%
III 4939 34.77 81.51%
IV 1777 38.37 99.55%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.939 Win Model: 0.131
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11970 66.54% 36.14 53.74%
2 3548 67.74% 38.97 60.43%
3 951 61.33% 40.21 63.62%
4 411 53.68% 43.64 66.91%
5 6 33.33% 14.5 33.33%
6 17 23.53% 27.41 35.29%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 271
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3927
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3270
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1751
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1095
Lose: Invader deck ran out 136
Lose: Adversary condition 45
Win: Sacrifice victory 60
Lose: Scenario condition 268
Win: Scenario condition 186
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5670
Lose: Spirit destroyed 224

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8819 47.82% 45.89 0.626 67.22% 0.196 0.0934
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4140 80.26% 36.52 -2.898 48.31% -0.152 0.0083
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 564 62.23% 45.19 7.419 68.44% 1.07 0.2339
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4166 54.14% 45.61 4.824 71.05% 0.898 0.7667
Downpour Drenches the World 1003 49.8% 35.49 -2.694 48.95% -0.258 0.0597
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2280 39.32% 47.15 6.761 74.17% 1.19 0.7053
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4370 55.07% 43.83 -1.98 66.18% -0.125 -0.5785
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3695 63.18% 42.84 0.936 62.65% 0.189 -0.2635
Finder of Paths Unseen 971 57.32% 39.91 -0.524 60.35% 0.075 0.7414
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2457 52.46% 46.67 -2.287 63.04% -0.464 0.2137
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 3021 59.16% 45.52 0.865 66.67% 0.147 0.2084
Heart of the Wildfire 6971 70.41% 39.83 -2.303 54.34% -0.454 -0.1938
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 13000 59.95% 45.55 -1.42 67.59% -0.142 -0.5355
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 504 56.35% 36.07 3.029 54.37% 0.348 -0.0471
Lightning's Swift Strike 5856 66.13% 39.29 -2.234 53.72% -0.092 0.1617
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1320 68.56% 41.78 3.551 53.86% 0.528 -0.0253
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 2391 56.92% 48.75 1.572 76.7% 0.384 0.148
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1408 51.07% 49.86 5.697 69.89% 0.767 0.5164
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4619 63.09% 42.94 2.287 62.85% 0.306 -0.0179
Many Minds Move as One 1847 48.48% 46.53 5.14 75.15% 0.892 0.6921
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7937 68.35% 38.96 -4.202 50.69% -0.641 -0.6693
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4380 53.21% 46.58 2.721 73.88% 0.448 0.306
River Surges in Sunlight 7786 63.36% 45.13 -1.021 59.61% 0.011 0.1282
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 562 67.97% 37.9 -5.59 46.26% -0.793 -0.4561
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 898 63.06% 39.49 2.978 48.44% 0.281 0.1332
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6205 60.37% 42.6 -1.715 61.4% -0.285 -0.4528
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2183 75.24% 34.88 -5.463 41.23% -0.644 -0.1004
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 167 73.65% 30.47 0.713 38.32% -0.153 -0.0674
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 530 70.57% 33.87 0.202 48.87% -0.03 -0.3996
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 152 73.68% 36.7 3.842 49.34% 0.71 0.8755
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 927 67.31% 42.13 2.21 58.68% -0.159 -0.1279
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 468 72.86% 38.74 -0.338 47.86% -0.973 -0.8021
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5471 49.93% 46.92 0.242 69.79% 0.186 0.0904
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 581 52.84% 30.33 0.44 45.27% 0.062 -0.1788
Shifting Memory of Ages 1373 70.82% 35.4 -6.053 43.92% -1.31 -0.9317
Shroud of Silent Mist 1269 77.8% 32.68 -5.906 43.89% -0.941 -0.5704
Starlight Seeks its Form 3090 55.61% 41.89 0.402 61.2% 0.181 -0.0259
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5025 70.48% 34.13 -2.82 47.76% -0.475 -1.1918
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3554 58.28% 45.3 3.898 66.54% 0.707 0.8884
Thunderspeaker 4494 66.38% 42.27 -2.599 57.65% -0.229 -0.2147
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 248 50.4% 22.38 -5.915 32.66% -0.837 -0.7319
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4686 83.01% 38.42 -1.161 56.76% -0.009 0.1311
Vital Strength of the Earth 2876 65.39% 33.49 -4.667 41.52% -0.335 0.2071
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 505 57.68% 34.69 -1.55 49.31% -0.473 -0.1346
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 835 68.25% 35.06 -5.248 44.67% -0.585 0.1311
Volcano Looming High 3984 62.12% 44.18 2.814 67.22% 0.512 0.4789
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 977 52.3% 39.45 4.784 62.74% 0.897 0.4595

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 28 92.86% 29.75 16.939 21.43% 0.119 0.1707
Blitz 0 776 57.93% 40.22 1.051 51.68% 0.225 0.4256
Dahan Insurrection 4 1030 44.84% 61.77 2.737 63.88% -0.043 -0.2548
Despicable Theft 2 65 56.92% 28.55 -11.365 27.69% -1.078 -0.2336
Elemental Invocation 1 140 73.57% 32.41 -11.805 35.0% -1.113 -0.0419
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7848 23.77% 53.8 10.035 73.45% 1.427 0.7025
Powers Long Forgotten 1 177 70.86% 33.73 -4.785 31.07% 0.186 1.0914
Rituals of Terror 3 355 49.01% 28.0 -9.109 19.15% -2.488 -2.4577
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 90 86.67% 36.19 0.0 28.89%
Second Wave 0 799 80.23% 37.31 -0.17 46.93% -0.204 -0.1228
The Great River 3 83 55.42% 26.92 -14.94 15.66% -1.546 -0.1585
Varied Terrains 2 62 69.35% 29.15 -4.373 27.42% -0.627 0.2741
Ward the Shores 2 212 76.3% 35.06 -4.195 32.08% -0.316 0.7397

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 75243 65.66% 39.74 -0.663 57.24% -0.101 -0.0703
1 Thematic 2632 56.57% 41.76 1.966 47.8% -0.602 -0.1698
2 Archipelago 52 72.55% 38.52 -1.808 36.54% 0.243 0.7359
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10556 65.91% 42.12 -0.196 62.03% 0.082 0.0333
2 Coastline 1592 62.87% 42.88 -2.068 63.19% -0.149 -0.2499
2 Fragment 311 70.42% 46.05 10.407 70.1% 1.193 0.7799
2 Heart 175 78.29% 42.34 7.44 52.57% 0.387 0.2971
2 Opposite Shores 2256 62.0% 41.88 3.728 58.42% 0.413 0.2336
2 Thematic 559 67.45% 42.19 -3.837 41.32% -0.801 -0.6141
2 Top to Top 433 66.05% 41.52 0.303 59.35% -0.309 -0.5087
3 Archipelago 13 61.54% 82.62 7.625 100.0% 0.293 -0.8281
3 Coastline 75 29.33% 51.79 5.102 77.33% -0.066 -0.7281
3 Other 123 66.67% 46.72 0.0 70.73%
3 Round (Default) 4068 57.75% 44.6 2.798 66.27% 0.216 -0.0501
3 Sunrise 22 63.64% 46.68 0.0 68.18%
3 Thematic 123 71.67% 45.91 9.09 46.34% 1.063 0.6163
4 Archipelago 13 30.77% 63.85 0.0 61.54%
4 Coastline 22 0.0% 61.32 0.0 95.45%
4 Leaf 11 72.73% 21.0 -14.406 18.18% -0.432 0.4143
4 Other 245 33.88% 53.37 -4.253 84.9% -0.51 -1.248
4 Thematic 1169 33.1% 64.39 -2.476 81.78% -0.568 -0.3648
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3078 49.75% 42.87 -1.887 62.61% -0.439 -0.099
5 Archipelago 17 64.71% 28.94 -6.242 23.53% -1.089 -1.0897
5 Coastline 28 3.57% 56.71 0.0 89.29%
5 Other 87 63.41% 55.55 3.371 86.21% 0.334 -0.3873
5 Thematic 20 35.0% 44.1 -8.822 55.0% -0.57 -0.4101
6 Archipelago 12 0.0% 53.92 12.078 66.67% 0.121 -0.5941
6 Coastline 10 10.0% 35.9 0.0 60.0%
6 Other 26 40.0% 47.42 12.691 61.54% 0.224 0.6646
6 Star 14 50.0% 46.79 -4.75 64.29% -0.607 -0.3087
6 Thematic 315 69.52% 53.46 2.903 74.29% 0.358 0.3831
6 Two Centers (Default) 132 30.3% 47.33 -0.23 65.15% 0.603 0.7004
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 5251 35.31 1.045 44.45% -0.244 -0.1055
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4197 39.69 4.196 52.66% 0.144 0.0852
All Things Weaken 3145 35.59 -0.831 45.15% -0.436 -0.0817
Attenuated Essence 471 33.47 1.208 47.35% -0.095 0.0159
Back Against the Wall 3901 38.48 4.268 49.47% 0.159 0.2353
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 467 30.65 0.356 42.18% -0.103 0.1078
Burn Brightest Before the End 294 34.55 5.106 45.92% 0.406 0.5266
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5210 33.1 -0.426 44.32% -0.165 0.2039
Downward Spiral 7887 33.94 0.168 45.8% -0.065 0.1318
Erosion of Will 5166 34.0 0.412 41.37% -0.274 -0.0073
Intensifying Exploitation 443 29.22 0.222 39.73% -0.244 0.0259
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 785 50.35 2.574 86.11% 0.308 -0.2033
Memory Fades to Dust 8049 32.95 -0.824 40.66% -0.304 0.0075
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3076 35.02 -2.779 45.97% -0.861 -0.566
Promising Farmlands 5107 33.27 -0.712 42.88% -0.332 0.0038
Shattered Fragments of Power 275 34.6 2.029 46.55% -0.261 -0.1522
Slow Dissolution of Will 442 28.71 -0.551 34.16% -0.416 -0.016
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 571 52.36 1.033 90.19% 0.207 -0.406
The Border of Life and Death 90 41.13 4.635 70.0% 0.38 0.0874
Thriving Communities 2985 33.43 -0.827 44.05% -0.366 -0.0327
Thriving Crops 161 35.56 4.322 59.01% 0.741 0.6547
Tipping Point 1596 32.84 0.0 40.1%
Unnatural Proliferation 3369 37.08 1.552 47.28% 0.002 0.1502
Untended Land Crumbles 2984 34.65 1.227 45.44% -0.111 0.1957

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 21463 61.94% 40.99 -1.153 59.06% -0.493 0.4119
B 21700 62.39% 40.36 -0.941 57.77% -0.579 0.2499
C 23450 65.43% 40.1 -0.654 57.19% -0.455 0.2255
D 19501 64.46% 40.47 -0.656 58.24% -0.504 0.349
E 11257 63.06% 42.05 0.803 61.86% -0.361 0.3399
F 13516 58.58% 43.93 1.43 65.72% -0.251 0.5302
G 11605 61.16% 42.43 1.808 62.48% -0.163 0.6082
H 11848 61.9% 42.33 -0.089 62.78% -0.526 0.2426
East 3370 51.04% 52.3 0.676 62.61% -0.201 0.6608
Northeast 2219 48.89% 54.49 2.165 65.03% -0.198 0.5493
Northwest 2018 49.35% 51.39 -0.062 61.6% -0.811 0.0227
Southeast 818 55.62% 52.15 2.168 70.29% 0.141 0.9165
Southwest 827 57.75% 49.86 -0.389 67.35% -0.67 0.6495
West 3162 50.81% 50.02 1.729 59.8% -0.255 0.7512

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 537 0.0% 36.92 -8.584 52.33% -1.206 -0.3748
Not Using Events or Tokens 6302 71.4% 33.56 -4.356 43.8% -0.848 -0.407
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2947 18.47% 62.05 12.311 85.54% 1.683 1.121
Start of Game Growth 4004 21.47% 59.52 10.1 83.27% 0.855 0.3162
Unlimited Undo 11478 51.03% 46.84 -0.304 71.32% 0.057 0.0979
Using Tokens but Not Events 5096 52.92% 42.17 -2.118 59.75% -0.347 -0.3707

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 25430 16.23 8.84%
II 34345 30.54 58.24%
III 34037 34.77 84.24%
IV 9670 38.37 99.78%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.205 Win Model: 0.422
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 78192 65.36% 39.84 56.93%
2 15762 65.35% 42.24 60.96%
3 4385 57.69% 44.75 66.13%
4 4536 44.34% 49.01 68.67%
5 92 42.05% 51.82 77.17%
6 515 54.67% 51.27 70.87%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2242
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 28143
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 19252
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9554
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7769
Lose: Invader deck ran out 799
Lose: Adversary condition 498
Win: Sacrifice victory 512
Lose: Scenario condition 1783
Win: Scenario condition 868
Lose: Blight pool ran out 30695
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1367

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-03-13 05:04:05 (Pacific Time)