The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4432 27.38% 24.96 -0.016 87.23% 0.158 0.054
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3068 49.44% 23.58 -0.193 81.75% 0.133 0.1988
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2103 26.09% 26.38 0.183 92.25% 0.528 0.3134
Downpour Drenches the World 114 26.32% 25.59 -1.008 81.58% -0.624 -0.3081
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2496 17.02% 28.65 1.331 93.99% 0.682 0.14
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2175 23.89% 27.59 1.975 93.75% 1.396 0.886
Finder of Paths Unseen 46 45.65% 25.35 -2.536 73.91% -0.282 0.0932
Fractured Days Split the Sky 384 42.19% 26.47 1.586 75.52% -0.677 -0.6347
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 416 44.71% 27.53 -0.167 82.69% -0.076 -0.1782
Heart of the Wildfire 3112 58.64% 21.25 -2.654 74.52% -0.849 -0.5331
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4378 28.45% 27.0 -0.4 91.87% 0.525 -0.0
Lightning's Swift Strike 4493 42.39% 23.83 -0.473 80.04% -0.314 0.0309
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 48 20.83% 31.69 1.146 97.92% 0.353 -0.4569
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 264 30.04% 28.61 -0.908 91.29% -0.547 -1.0358
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 225 38.22% 25.82 1.229 83.56% 0.179 -0.4085
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1020 33.17% 27.49 1.51 89.31% 0.63 0.5514
Many Minds Move as One 711 26.34% 27.73 3.208 92.69% 1.012 0.4075
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4502 42.63% 24.58 -0.27 84.72% 0.121 -0.0206
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1968 29.69% 25.34 -0.837 88.11% 0.052 0.0465
River Surges in Sunlight 5473 38.65% 26.31 0.743 80.39% -0.116 -0.2353
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 361 37.4% 26.47 -0.88 80.06% -0.14 0.2775
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 46 41.3% 29.09 0.13 84.78% -0.307 -0.6831
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2576 37.5% 23.66 0.636 85.09% 0.454 0.3372
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3319 55.1% 23.41 -1.659 77.1% -0.6 -0.1415
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 27 33.33% 32.0 0.392 92.59% -0.118 -0.091
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 21 19.05% 30.76 3.368 80.95% -0.081 0.0324
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 221 38.01% 26.98 -0.719 89.14% -0.4 -0.3206
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 159 43.4% 26.61 0.605 87.42% 0.203 0.2593
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2897 30.06% 26.87 -0.366 87.95% 0.336 0.1531
Shifting Memory of Ages 350 52.86% 23.69 -1.25 77.71% -0.117 0.0712
Shroud of Silent Mist 456 53.64% 23.77 -1.889 79.82% -0.622 -0.4603
Starlight Seeks its Form 574 21.29% 31.53 2.475 91.64% 1.12 1.0429
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1350 29.1% 24.74 -0.589 88.89% -0.228 -0.487
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1708 34.43% 24.67 -0.315 84.31% 0.366 0.4577
Thunderspeaker 4126 30.41% 27.36 0.29 86.55% 0.049 -0.0051
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1016 59.98% 21.14 -1.164 79.13% 0.178 -0.0971
Vital Strength of the Earth 4448 34.36% 22.92 -2.531 78.24% -1.275 -0.4399
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 37 13.51% 27.78 -1.178 86.49% -0.725 -0.1796
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 196 32.99% 21.72 1.016 76.53% 0.374 1.5466
Volcano Looming High 665 39.58% 24.46 -1.406 81.65% -0.422 -0.4516

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 100.0% 18.0 0.0 100.0%
Blitz 0 740 44.14% 22.39 -2.169 76.49% -0.821 -0.3137
Dahan Insurrection 4 653 21.05% 45.69 8.105 81.32% -0.672 -0.5877
Despicable Theft 2 67 40.3% 33.82 4.136 80.6% 0.13 0.555
Elemental Invocation 1 103 50.49% 25.64 1.218 70.87% -0.148 0.4699
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1816 8.34% 30.33 4.778 83.43% -0.131 0.0432
Powers Long Forgotten 1 361 50.97% 28.75 2.725 77.01% 0.202 0.7362
Rituals of Terror 3 430 45.67% 35.15 3.596 72.33% -1.178 -1.3902
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 252 66.27% 32.47 6.662 65.48% 0.246 0.4681
Second Wave 0 710 56.06% 25.16 0.294 72.25% -0.462 0.0574
The Great River 3 100 53.0% 29.21 3.949 56.0% -0.393 1.2923
Varied Terrains 2 25 56.0% 31.12 4.348 80.0% -0.072 0.6159
Ward the Shores 2 445 43.15% 30.61 3.31 74.61% 0.115 0.9648

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 30273 39.96% 24.13 -0.553 82.09% -0.035 0.5018
1 Thematic 3504 42.62% 31.05 2.777 77.2% -0.041 0.9288
2 Archipelago 8 25.0% 31.0 0.0 62.5%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6939 34.98% 24.31 -0.48 85.63% 0.052 0.4696
2 Coastline 566 34.77% 24.97 0.635 87.63% 0.347 0.4561
2 Fragment 146 38.46% 22.89 -1.04 85.62% 0.088 0.1667
2 Heart 94 58.7% 21.77 1.469 78.72% -0.326 0.0905
2 Opposite Shores 743 33.47% 24.19 -0.062 88.69% 1.074 1.4926
2 Thematic 754 43.09% 33.17 3.757 81.7% -0.264 0.6108
2 Top to Top 148 34.01% 23.18 -3.532 85.14% -0.24 -0.1379
3 Archipelago 6 50.0% 31.67 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 10 50.0% 27.4 0.0 80.0%
3 Other 72 41.67% 21.31 -3.521 77.78% 0.006 -0.8443
3 Round (Default) 2123 29.08% 25.2 0.366 89.45% 0.156 0.352
3 Sunrise 5 20.0% 24.8 0.0 80.0%
3 Thematic 159 38.99% 32.21 0.632 78.62% 0.135 0.5459
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 47.5 9.186 100.0% 0.018 0.171
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 21.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 6 16.67% 27.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 28 25.0% 23.46 -4.462 89.29% -0.693 -1.2614
4 Thematic 512 31.24% 31.27 0.157 94.92% 0.281 0.4229
4 Trapezoid (Default) 955 26.61% 25.34 -0.503 91.41% -0.109 0.1474
5 Other 25 44.0% 27.4 -1.899 92.0% 0.015 -0.7443
5 Thematic 8 37.5% 32.25 0.0 87.5%
6 Other 4 50.0% 21.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 2 0.0% 20.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 17 6.25% 39.65 1.652 100.0% 0.001 -0.0124
6 Two Centers (Default) 23 8.7% 25.3 -0.68 91.3% 0.034 0.4807
7 Other 3 0.0% 50.33 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1145 18.25 -3.741 61.22% -1.874 0.0859
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1029 19.47 -3.802 60.35% -1.592 0.1381
All Things Weaken 492 18.06 -3.635 57.52% -1.846 0.2214
Back Against the Wall 970 18.65 -4.335 58.14% -2.331 -0.4324
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1130 15.71 -5.564 56.37% -2.108 -0.0117
Downward Spiral 3934 17.05 -3.975 63.6% -1.801 0.0724
Erosion of Will 1190 18.08 -4.938 59.33% -2.096 0.0147
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 193 24.82 -0.573 92.75% 0.362 0.9202
Memory Fades to Dust 4038 16.39 -4.558 58.62% -1.764 0.3023
Power Corrodes the Spirit 476 18.77 -3.358 62.82% -1.698 0.2107
Promising Farmlands 1220 16.97 -4.837 60.9% -2.248 -0.2236
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 146 25.03 -4.631 94.52% -0.472 -0.0544
Thriving Communities 462 18.06 -3.944 62.34% -1.952 0.1074
Tipping Point 504 16.8 0.0 60.52%
Unnatural Proliferation 492 19.51 -4.278 60.57% -2.004 -0.0658
Untended Land Crumbles 522 17.88 -4.78 61.11% -1.671 0.3434

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10435 39.01% 23.75 -0.507 83.26% -0.081 0.659
B 10690 37.39% 24.11 0.235 83.67% 0.068 0.769
C 11032 36.83% 24.23 -0.243 84.14% -0.153 0.3205
D 10463 35.9% 24.27 -0.483 84.42% -0.161 0.528
E 2703 33.16% 25.94 0.625 87.9% 0.194 0.7553
F 4551 34.01% 25.07 -0.88 86.88% -0.597 0.053
G 4293 34.33% 24.71 -0.613 85.79% 0.035 0.6464
H 4531 34.08% 25.1 0.03 86.78% -0.183 0.4684
East 3107 38.97% 32.42 2.102 82.39% 0.708 1.3071
Northeast 1883 37.46% 32.37 3.105 83.75% 1.227 1.9067
Northwest 1526 37.98% 31.4 1.529 82.37% -0.183 0.2923
Southeast 374 39.41% 30.55 1.451 81.55% -0.064 0.6731
Southwest 336 43.88% 27.3 -2.595 80.65% -0.384 0.5662
West 2777 41.7% 31.2 0.751 80.37% -0.335 0.3957

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 470 0.0% 20.67 -2.137 67.45% -1.2 0.9904
Not Using Events or Tokens 11081 45.99% 22.56 -0.912 77.58% 0.169 0.4047
Skip Initial Invader Actions 723 9.02% 35.28 2.013 94.88% 0.621 -0.5523
Start of Game Growth 1099 13.58% 32.75 1.152 93.27% 0.42 -0.0119
Unlimited Undo 2579 29.36% 27.22 0.754 89.14% 0.579 0.0999
Using Tokens but Not Events 3531 28.93% 26.12 -0.202 87.74% 0.283 0.4345

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4600 22.68 52.35%
II 17731 31.11 80.03%
III 16615 34.69 86.92%
IV 8217 37.95 99.12%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.063 Win Model: 0.331
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 33919 40.28% 24.87 81.54%
2 9344 35.72% 24.96 85.76%
3 2330 29.59% 25.51 88.5%
4 1510 28.35% 27.33 92.65%
5 10 0.0% 30.8 100.0%
6 49 10.64% 31.31 89.8%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2404
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14018
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 13401
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8067
Lose: Invader deck ran out 687
Lose: Adversary condition 169
Win: Sacrifice victory 187
Lose: Scenario condition 468
Win: Scenario condition 1108
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6316
Lose: Spirit destroyed 338

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2851 28.82% 30.1 -0.617 85.41% 0.3 0.1953
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1879 52.28% 29.05 -1.67 81.59% -0.795 -0.7289
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1414 29.63% 31.52 1.445 91.16% 0.949 0.7338
Downpour Drenches the World 86 25.58% 31.29 -0.369 89.53% -0.345 -0.0293
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1916 18.99% 34.37 2.733 94.52% 1.464 0.9218
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1434 25.04% 33.11 1.35 93.17% 1.22 0.7092
Finder of Paths Unseen 46 50.0% 31.83 1.784 86.96% -0.087 0.2879
Fractured Days Split the Sky 324 40.56% 32.12 1.578 80.56% 0.17 0.2115
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 294 46.94% 31.11 0.704 82.31% 0.313 0.2106
Heart of the Wildfire 2163 58.12% 27.58 0.186 78.96% 0.346 0.661
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3346 35.69% 31.45 0.537 89.57% 0.388 -0.137
Lightning's Swift Strike 2879 39.89% 30.23 -0.229 82.67% 0.097 0.4421
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 42 40.48% 33.76 2.508 88.1% 0.595 -0.2152
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 193 33.68% 32.35 -2.052 88.08% -0.892 -1.3809
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 184 36.96% 33.04 -0.179 90.22% -0.212 -0.799
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 781 36.67% 31.59 0.814 87.71% 0.612 0.5338
Many Minds Move as One 576 28.13% 32.17 0.699 90.63% -0.139 -0.7428
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2614 44.5% 29.64 -0.178 83.01% -0.229 -0.3707
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1374 34.53% 30.63 -0.272 87.12% 0.403 0.3972
River Surges in Sunlight 3364 41.04% 31.47 0.296 81.54% -0.276 -0.396
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 242 47.72% 30.5 -0.188 78.51% -0.334 0.0828
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 54 40.74% 33.74 2.354 81.48% 0.599 0.2233
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1575 38.32% 29.34 -0.363 84.83% 0.007 -0.1097
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1926 56.6% 28.05 -1.884 75.91% -0.505 -0.0471
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 7 57.14% 35.0 1.438 100.0% 0.399 0.4267
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 23 47.83% 28.91 1.596 82.61% 0.208 0.321
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 196 39.29% 31.14 -0.092 88.27% 0.061 0.1408
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 128 57.14% 30.88 0.212 82.81% -0.062 -0.0065
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2075 31.83% 32.2 0.609 87.81% 0.234 0.0505
Shifting Memory of Ages 255 50.0% 27.56 -2.522 78.82% -1.031 -0.843
Shroud of Silent Mist 349 56.32% 27.58 -0.236 81.38% -0.451 -0.2889
Starlight Seeks its Form 257 41.63% 30.06 -0.819 83.27% -0.672 -0.7493
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 809 43.28% 26.43 -2.41 83.07% -0.646 -0.9052
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1196 35.1% 29.96 0.888 83.95% 0.639 0.7314
Thunderspeaker 2802 33.38% 32.61 1.179 85.4% 0.043 -0.0107
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 645 71.03% 24.66 -1.292 74.57% -0.273 -0.5484
Vital Strength of the Earth 2634 40.95% 27.02 -1.272 77.03% -0.91 -0.0756
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 50 46.94% 28.76 0.122 72.0% -0.346 0.2003
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 133 42.11% 24.64 -1.793 70.68% -0.316 0.8569
Volcano Looming High 443 51.02% 28.34 0.455 81.04% 0.115 0.0851

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 33.33% 36.0 -2.106 100.0% 0.01 -0.3381
Blitz 0 578 50.0% 26.14 -2.4 73.36% -0.69 -0.1819
Dahan Insurrection 4 510 22.0% 51.57 8.938 85.29% -0.436 -0.3518
Despicable Theft 2 72 58.33% 35.24 -0.031 72.22% -0.294 0.1308
Elemental Invocation 1 94 67.02% 28.95 -3.155 73.4% -0.74 -0.1223
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1237 13.05% 33.26 2.234 79.63% -0.176 -0.0016
Powers Long Forgotten 1 346 56.65% 31.17 3.084 71.39% 0.267 0.8018
Rituals of Terror 3 319 47.96% 40.16 4.877 75.86% -0.41 -0.6215
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 221 72.4% 35.94 7.612 64.25% -0.016 0.2064
Second Wave 0 2047 45.81% 30.23 0.845 78.02% -0.559 -0.0395
The Great River 3 87 45.98% 32.95 3.644 56.32% -0.583 1.1029
Varied Terrains 2 15 73.33% 38.73 1.444 86.67% -0.322 0.3658
Ward the Shores 2 388 51.42% 32.59 -0.883 65.46% -1.228 -0.3788

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 17882 42.24% 28.77 -0.913 82.03% 0.171 0.7074
1 Thematic 2831 46.52% 34.68 1.655 73.9% -0.594 0.3755
2 Archipelago 6 16.67% 36.33 -1.587 100.0% 0.046 1.0893
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4391 37.85% 29.75 0.408 86.93% 0.633 1.0506
2 Coastline 474 40.95% 29.18 0.231 85.65% 0.369 0.4775
2 Fragment 121 46.28% 28.56 -3.364 86.78% -0.493 -0.4142
2 Heart 80 36.25% 28.75 -0.634 87.5% -0.281 0.1357
2 Opposite Shores 754 34.9% 29.42 -0.102 88.33% 0.694 1.1117
2 Thematic 665 47.29% 35.96 3.662 76.54% 0.087 0.9613
2 Top to Top 135 41.35% 29.26 1.436 83.7% 0.713 0.8149
3 Archipelago 5 20.0% 41.2 0.868 100.0% 0.024 0.1979
3 Coastline 12 66.67% 35.17 0.0 83.33%
3 Other 66 30.3% 28.11 -8.271 89.39% -0.455 -1.3055
3 Round (Default) 1591 29.22% 31.16 0.446 91.39% 0.432 0.6278
3 Sunrise 3 66.67% 28.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 122 44.26% 36.54 3.122 76.23% 0.227 0.6375
4 Archipelago 6 33.33% 38.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 9 44.44% 26.11 2.967 44.44% 0.035 -0.4955
4 Leaf 5 0.0% 37.6 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 48 41.67% 28.69 0.0 85.42%
4 Thematic 280 43.01% 37.22 -0.503 89.64% -0.369 -0.2276
4 Trapezoid (Default) 660 31.11% 30.9 -1.0 88.03% -0.753 -0.4964
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.0 20.756 100.0% 0.039 -0.2701
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 21 38.1% 29.38 -0.063 80.95% -0.093 -0.8528
5 Thematic 3 0.0% 33.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 82.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 2 50.0% 39.5 5.778 100.0% 0.253 0.0015
6 Star 3 0.0% 33.67 0.822 100.0% 0.007 0.991
6 Thematic 11 36.36% 38.64 0.0 81.82%
6 Two Centers (Default) 15 40.0% 37.07 -2.47 93.33% -0.707 -0.2605
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 819 24.01 -2.051 64.1% -1.304 0.6556
Aid From Lesser Spirits 794 24.02 -4.626 63.35% -1.291 0.4387
All Things Weaken 375 23.3 -5.371 63.2% -1.835 0.2319
Back Against the Wall 730 23.68 -3.066 61.51% -0.948 0.9504
Disintegrating Ecosystem 888 20.97 -5.538 60.81% -1.642 0.4538
Downward Spiral 2366 21.95 -4.896 64.24% -1.741 0.1323
Erosion of Will 865 22.25 -4.547 58.27% -2.078 0.0335
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 133 29.64 -0.536 93.23% 0.449 1.0066
Memory Fades to Dust 2485 21.17 -3.66 59.11% -1.589 0.4772
Power Corrodes the Spirit 349 22.08 -5.669 61.6% -2.093 -0.1851
Promising Farmlands 920 21.62 -2.854 61.85% -0.915 1.1097
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 94 31.26 -0.742 98.94% 0.182 0.5998
Thriving Communities 349 21.2 -1.941 60.46% -0.65 1.4091
Tipping Point 365 21.32 0.0 59.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 405 23.82 -6.279 59.26% -2.046 -0.1081
Untended Land Crumbles 351 22.41 -5.825 64.1% -1.654 0.3599

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6724 40.91% 29.01 -0.018 83.74% -0.289 0.4511
B 6945 38.67% 29.46 -0.211 84.95% -0.204 0.497
C 7192 38.18% 29.59 -0.117 85.4% -0.322 0.1522
D 6722 38.38% 29.53 -0.044 85.17% -0.413 0.2758
E 1912 37.07% 30.04 -0.039 86.4% -0.303 0.2585
F 2995 36.03% 29.95 0.148 86.78% -0.412 0.238
G 2760 38.55% 29.56 0.115 85.07% -0.213 0.3982
H 2846 35.5% 30.0 0.211 86.79% -0.083 0.5681
East 2475 45.05% 35.88 1.687 76.32% -0.491 0.1088
Northeast 1422 46.06% 35.69 2.173 77.0% 0.159 0.8389
Northwest 1122 44.46% 36.04 -0.692 80.84% -0.757 -0.2811
Southeast 282 41.84% 34.51 0.856 77.66% -0.844 -0.1064
Southwest 247 46.15% 31.84 0.791 76.11% 0.175 1.1252
West 2148 47.02% 34.99 3.106 76.58% 0.54 1.2712

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 209 0.0% 25.95 -4.572 74.64% -1.62 0.5712
Not Using Events or Tokens 5491 46.98% 27.53 -1.657 77.58% -0.37 -0.134
Skip Initial Invader Actions 371 8.61% 42.57 2.739 95.15% 0.311 -0.8615
Start of Game Growth 594 13.5% 39.36 2.592 94.11% 0.68 0.2482
Unlimited Undo 1827 34.09% 31.03 1.494 87.19% 0.681 0.202
Using Tokens but Not Events 2451 32.66% 30.85 -0.216 86.13% -0.163 -0.0113

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3320 22.68 48.92%
II 11839 31.11 80.76%
III 10601 34.69 88.84%
IV 4453 37.95 99.19%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.272 Win Model: 0.638
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 20809 42.86% 29.6 80.85%
2 6585 38.78% 30.24 86.18%
3 1775 30.55% 31.39 90.42%
4 996 34.56% 32.52 87.55%
5 17 17.65% 33.53 94.12%
6 31 32.26% 38.32 90.32%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1623
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9092
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8920
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4378
Lose: Invader deck ran out 296
Lose: Adversary condition 70
Win: Sacrifice victory 105
Lose: Scenario condition 362
Win: Scenario condition 902
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4278
Lose: Spirit destroyed 187

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4104 31.95% 33.59 0.666 85.11% 0.563 0.4589
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2362 60.16% 31.12 -0.004 79.25% -0.198 -0.1316
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1798 35.08% 34.03 0.768 88.15% 0.187 -0.0281
Downpour Drenches the World 152 35.76% 32.74 0.368 84.87% 0.389 0.7047
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2391 23.82% 36.78 1.733 92.39% 0.917 0.3755
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1809 32.09% 35.2 0.241 88.06% 0.04 -0.4708
Finder of Paths Unseen 58 60.34% 26.78 -3.426 63.79% -0.993 -0.6173
Fractured Days Split the Sky 478 46.03% 34.8 1.103 74.9% -0.823 -0.7815
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 511 46.65% 33.77 -0.035 82.97% -0.086 -0.1883
Heart of the Wildfire 2725 67.39% 28.16 -0.114 71.89% -0.021 0.2944
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4719 40.05% 34.5 1.166 88.15% 0.336 -0.1894
Lightning's Swift Strike 3267 47.97% 31.06 -1.008 77.2% -0.231 0.114
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 56 50.0% 38.0 2.399 89.29% 0.057 -0.7537
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 327 38.23% 35.06 -2.25 88.99% -0.738 -1.2269
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 265 45.45% 35.68 0.492 81.89% -0.245 -0.8317
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1261 41.03% 34.64 0.102 85.65% 0.136 0.0572
Many Minds Move as One 723 33.43% 35.53 1.519 92.95% 0.603 -0.0013
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3643 54.36% 31.2 0.528 78.64% 0.417 0.276
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1777 37.79% 33.17 0.571 86.55% 0.504 0.4977
River Surges in Sunlight 4273 49.43% 33.42 0.224 77.7% -0.033 -0.1525
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 373 53.08% 33.8 0.832 76.14% 0.095 0.5119
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 96 51.58% 37.82 2.717 79.17% -0.291 -0.6667
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2755 40.66% 32.59 1.101 84.79% 0.874 0.757
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2209 67.95% 28.44 -3.287 68.27% -0.891 -0.4322
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 14 50.0% 37.57 1.555 78.57% 0.032 0.0595
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 35 54.29% 38.4 3.127 100.0% 0.991 1.1036
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 259 51.16% 32.22 -2.561 81.47% -0.426 -0.3467
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 185 70.27% 30.3 0.721 72.97% 0.527 0.5831
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2709 37.52% 34.06 2.073 84.2% 0.984 0.8007
Shifting Memory of Ages 437 55.61% 30.67 -0.848 75.74% -0.211 -0.0231
Shroud of Silent Mist 530 59.81% 30.22 -1.604 78.87% -0.317 -0.1554
Starlight Seeks its Form 453 43.81% 34.44 0.763 82.78% 0.208 0.1313
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1140 46.35% 29.72 -2.095 81.84% 0.107 -0.1527
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1446 46.77% 31.6 -1.324 80.08% -0.42 -0.3283
Thunderspeaker 3533 42.95% 34.51 0.163 82.96% -0.173 -0.2263
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 986 74.72% 27.39 -0.36 74.04% 0.165 -0.11
Vital Strength of the Earth 3080 44.97% 29.21 -1.537 72.86% -0.878 -0.0426
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 61 37.7% 32.59 -0.567 81.97% -0.126 0.4195
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 207 42.51% 29.17 -1.644 72.95% -0.653 0.5199
Volcano Looming High 920 47.93% 31.8 -0.689 82.28% 0.449 0.4194

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 50.0% 31.13 -4.114 75.0% -0.543 -0.8915
Blitz 0 681 53.63% 28.54 -1.27 71.66% -0.223 0.2848
Dahan Insurrection 4 509 30.24% 52.59 10.024 77.8% -0.399 -0.3146
Despicable Theft 2 77 61.04% 37.55 5.64 71.43% 0.434 0.8595
Elemental Invocation 1 105 65.71% 29.55 -1.762 64.76% -0.471 0.146
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1602 17.82% 34.35 0.884 72.1% -1.139 -0.9644
Powers Long Forgotten 1 302 65.56% 31.07 0.293 60.6% -0.075 0.4598
Rituals of Terror 3 262 59.39% 39.99 3.141 62.6% -0.568 -0.7805
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 173 71.1% 38.44 4.552 61.85% 0.009 0.2316
Second Wave 0 1691 54.8% 31.45 -0.112 71.97% -0.532 -0.0118
The Great River 3 78 66.67% 32.28 0.156 47.44% -0.565 1.1205
Varied Terrains 2 15 60.0% 39.0 3.758 73.33% -0.103 0.5851
Ward the Shores 2 397 56.17% 35.29 -0.218 64.99% -0.492 0.3577

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 22233 50.19% 30.66 -0.625 78.05% 0.569 1.1054
1 Thematic 2694 56.94% 34.38 1.152 66.93% 0.225 1.1943
2 Archipelago 9 55.56% 43.0 0.0 88.89%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5797 44.86% 32.43 -0.438 84.54% -0.325 0.0923
2 Coastline 690 42.27% 33.3 0.207 85.8% 0.305 0.4143
2 Fragment 151 55.63% 31.0 20.613 79.47% 0.107 0.1856
2 Heart 92 42.86% 32.75 -3.506 80.43% -0.276 0.1408
2 Opposite Shores 1033 43.39% 32.5 -0.735 85.29% -0.608 -0.19
2 Thematic 891 56.47% 35.34 1.15 69.47% -0.106 0.7683
2 Top to Top 193 46.63% 33.38 1.845 87.56% 0.234 0.336
3 Archipelago 11 72.73% 40.91 0.0 72.73%
3 Coastline 15 33.33% 35.8 -3.177 86.67% 0.003 0.0599
3 Other 107 32.38% 32.27 21.908 85.05% 0.265 -0.5857
3 Round (Default) 2432 36.19% 33.67 1.555 87.5% 0.267 0.4631
3 Sunrise 14 35.71% 28.86 0.0 64.29%
3 Thematic 210 49.76% 38.82 7.046 77.62% 0.518 0.9286
4 Archipelago 11 45.45% 47.45 0.0 90.91%
4 Coastline 4 75.0% 30.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 7 42.86% 31.14 0.0 71.43%
4 Other 60 27.12% 34.48 0.0 91.67%
4 Thematic 329 43.79% 39.39 0.546 81.16% -0.719 -0.5768
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1286 34.12% 33.41 -1.027 88.65% -0.52 -0.2639
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 35.5 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 36 41.67% 38.08 0.0 88.89%
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 42.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 55.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 11 27.27% 47.64 5.567 81.82% 0.008 -0.244
6 Star 2 0.0% 38.0 -1.129 100.0% 0.0 0.9848
6 Thematic 18 41.18% 48.94 -0.79 88.89% 0.021 0.0073
6 Two Centers (Default) 24 45.83% 40.13 0.0 62.5%
7 Other 2 0.0% 40.0 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1399 25.65 -2.633 60.11% -1.56 0.3998
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1150 27.57 -2.058 63.3% -1.074 0.6557
All Things Weaken 634 26.14 -1.91 61.99% -1.306 0.761
Back Against the Wall 1158 27.7 -1.966 64.16% -1.381 0.5175
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1304 23.35 -7.203 59.05% -2.256 -0.1602
Downward Spiral 3232 24.73 -4.341 63.71% -1.856 0.017
Erosion of Will 1406 24.53 -4.821 56.61% -2.121 -0.0094
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 246 33.5 -1.232 93.9% -0.621 -0.0636
Memory Fades to Dust 3220 23.9 -4.373 57.95% -1.827 0.2396
Power Corrodes the Spirit 643 25.13 -4.373 61.12% -1.814 0.0943
Promising Farmlands 1394 24.11 -4.906 59.61% -2.043 -0.0185
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 158 34.03 -2.566 98.1% 0.077 0.494
Thriving Communities 591 24.92 -3.429 61.59% -1.895 0.1636
Tipping Point 576 24.66 0.0 60.59%
Unnatural Proliferation 653 25.97 -2.587 60.49% -1.533 0.4047
Untended Land Crumbles 587 24.34 -6.501 60.31% -2.523 -0.5093

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9083 45.22% 31.88 0.36 82.14% 0.033 0.7736
B 9380 45.51% 31.77 0.436 81.93% 0.0 0.7009
C 9701 43.99% 31.94 -0.239 82.25% -0.1 0.3744
D 8980 46.09% 31.56 -0.019 81.82% -0.093 0.5959
E 2868 44.94% 32.71 0.171 83.54% -0.083 0.4778
F 4255 41.07% 33.25 0.326 84.98% -0.032 0.618
G 3829 44.47% 32.28 -0.85 83.15% -0.334 0.2777
H 3840 43.47% 32.57 -0.498 83.28% -0.309 0.3425
East 2686 52.86% 36.72 1.463 72.04% -0.172 0.4274
Northeast 1543 52.71% 37.4 1.68 74.01% -0.396 0.2835
Northwest 1275 55.89% 35.18 2.727 68.39% 0.079 0.5543
Southeast 341 51.03% 34.67 -1.656 72.14% -1.137 -0.4
Southwest 307 50.16% 34.12 -0.213 75.9% 0.427 1.3767
West 2371 56.53% 35.0 1.062 68.75% 0.017 0.7477

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 209 0.0% 31.35 -1.824 78.95% -0.867 1.3236
Not Using Events or Tokens 5942 53.44% 29.45 -1.322 74.5% -0.271 -0.035
Skip Initial Invader Actions 476 16.85% 44.52 4.693 92.02% 0.421 -0.7514
Start of Game Growth 782 17.21% 42.26 3.444 90.41% 0.432 0.0001
Unlimited Undo 2834 42.58% 33.23 0.854 84.33% 0.368 -0.1114
Using Tokens but Not Events 2942 39.87% 32.93 -0.324 84.57% -0.03 0.121

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2719 22.68 14.53%
II 15880 31.11 74.76%
III 13083 34.69 88.64%
IV 6691 37.95 99.09%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.355 Win Model: 0.826
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 25030 51.0% 31.07 76.76%
2 8823 45.67% 32.8 83.36%
3 2757 36.75% 34.02 86.83%
4 1692 36.05% 34.79 87.41%
5 14 35.71% 37.0 71.43%
6 57 37.5% 44.28 75.44%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 394
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11274
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11267
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6575
Lose: Invader deck ran out 435
Lose: Adversary condition 90
Win: Sacrifice victory 173
Lose: Scenario condition 632
Win: Scenario condition 811
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6414
Lose: Spirit destroyed 308

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3905 41.05% 41.6 1.738 84.76% 1.073 0.9689
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2452 73.37% 36.17 -0.85 69.58% -0.063 0.0033
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2122 36.94% 43.22 1.019 89.02% 0.412 0.1968
Downpour Drenches the World 149 53.02% 39.68 0.071 76.51% 0.118 0.4337
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2310 41.86% 43.12 -0.085 87.75% 0.117 -0.4244
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2052 45.22% 42.22 0.943 85.09% 0.281 -0.2298
Finder of Paths Unseen 85 68.24% 35.05 -1.1 67.06% -0.509 -0.1336
Fractured Days Split the Sky 749 42.32% 43.82 0.454 77.7% -0.828 -0.7857
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 708 50.71% 43.18 1.569 86.44% 0.251 0.1486
Heart of the Wildfire 3385 69.88% 36.36 -2.845 71.26% -1.02 -0.7045
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5693 52.45% 42.58 0.929 84.61% -0.106 -0.6315
Lightning's Swift Strike 3416 55.16% 39.79 -0.512 77.84% 0.308 0.6526
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 94 52.87% 44.39 1.416 90.43% 0.933 0.1223
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 507 36.96% 45.99 3.102 91.72% 0.284 -0.2045
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 255 50.98% 44.8 3.005 85.88% -0.015 -0.6018
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1480 51.59% 42.2 0.555 84.12% -0.275 -0.3539
Many Minds Move as One 802 48.56% 43.05 1.656 90.02% 0.489 -0.1153
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3624 64.73% 37.42 -2.793 73.48% -0.652 -0.7932
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1911 43.31% 42.24 1.96 88.07% 0.864 0.8584
River Surges in Sunlight 4164 57.89% 42.07 1.045 78.41% 0.169 0.0498
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 335 62.39% 38.69 -3.155 70.45% -0.661 -0.2433
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 103 65.69% 47.25 1.847 79.61% 0.138 -0.2379
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2492 57.21% 38.68 1.079 78.13% 0.415 0.2985
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2047 75.59% 35.11 -0.389 64.92% 0.298 0.756
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 12 66.67% 40.75 0.319 75.0% -0.086 -0.0591
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 32 65.63% 38.88 0.1 75.0% -0.007 0.1065
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 325 51.38% 42.15 1.595 86.77% 0.29 0.3697
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 161 75.78% 39.76 -1.459 78.88% -0.42 -0.3643
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3378 40.05% 43.25 1.53 85.23% 0.199 0.016
Shifting Memory of Ages 405 72.35% 36.15 -3.003 71.36% -0.664 -0.4757
Shroud of Silent Mist 561 73.04% 37.91 -0.135 77.54% 0.016 0.1778
Starlight Seeks its Form 658 53.34% 40.51 -1.474 80.4% -0.499 -0.5764
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1718 59.38% 35.51 -1.893 76.89% -0.438 -0.6975
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1737 51.65% 41.22 -0.627 82.21% -0.197 -0.1049
Thunderspeaker 3045 52.49% 42.51 0.578 81.08% 0.107 0.0531
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1372 83.75% 34.94 -0.324 73.76% 0.186 -0.0897
Vital Strength of the Earth 2489 60.2% 34.92 0.639 67.38% 0.169 1.0034
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 57 50.91% 42.58 -3.738 80.7% -0.92 -0.3737
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 296 50.68% 35.8 2.034 72.64% 0.281 1.4544
Volcano Looming High 1058 58.79% 39.33 1.089 79.68% 0.662 0.632

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 66.67% 45.67 3.033 100.0% 0.043 -0.305
Blitz 0 518 59.84% 36.15 4.159 67.95% -0.199 0.3089
Dahan Insurrection 4 526 34.79% 63.17 8.06 81.94% -0.412 -0.3275
Despicable Theft 2 53 64.15% 39.98 7.324 54.72% 0.684 1.1097
Elemental Invocation 1 110 73.64% 35.28 0.1 59.09% 0.057 0.6749
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1685 24.06% 43.48 2.139 77.74% -0.281 -0.1068
Powers Long Forgotten 1 237 75.95% 38.3 4.677 60.34% 0.416 0.9502
Rituals of Terror 3 174 62.07% 48.28 6.019 66.67% 0.182 -0.0301
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 61 80.33% 45.9 3.412 62.3% 0.072 0.2942
Second Wave 0 1137 65.67% 35.88 -0.954 63.41% -0.492 0.0274
The Great River 3 64 76.56% 41.64 0.294 53.13% -0.31 1.3759
Varied Terrains 2 9 88.89% 43.22 1.216 55.56% -0.362 0.3267
Ward the Shores 2 237 66.24% 40.69 1.892 59.49% -0.153 0.6961

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 27767 58.37% 38.5 0.09 76.39% 0.623 1.1603
1 Thematic 1943 62.0% 41.9 0.572 66.5% -0.081 0.888
2 Archipelago 10 50.0% 52.7 0.0 90.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6233 55.01% 40.06 -0.759 81.76% -0.043 0.3745
2 Coastline 765 54.75% 40.71 -1.518 81.31% -0.86 -0.7509
2 Fragment 149 61.07% 38.67 -0.134 77.18% 0.211 0.2896
2 Heart 89 61.8% 38.78 -5.164 79.78% -0.214 0.2028
2 Opposite Shores 1158 57.33% 40.75 -0.447 83.25% 0.076 0.4938
2 Thematic 670 61.58% 44.54 2.664 72.24% 0.399 1.2738
2 Top to Top 199 59.8% 38.06 -8.792 73.37% -0.889 -0.7874
3 Archipelago 9 66.67% 51.22 0.0 88.89%
3 Coastline 40 32.5% 46.98 0.0 95.0%
3 Other 126 42.86% 41.69 1.666 87.3% 0.237 -0.614
3 Round (Default) 2241 48.44% 41.26 0.684 84.78% -0.033 0.163
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 116 61.74% 43.69 1.78 71.55% 0.042 0.452
4 Archipelago 4 75.0% 47.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 41.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 42.6 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 52 40.38% 41.63 -2.191 88.46% 0.063 -0.505
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 66.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 239 42.26% 52.15 1.957 79.08% 0.046 0.1873
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1201 43.03% 43.35 2.138 89.51% 0.404 0.66
5 Other 22 63.64% 41.05 0.0 81.82%
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 42.75 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 48.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 12 8.33% 51.33 0.981 91.67% 0.006 -0.2452
6 Star 4 0.0% 38.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 12 50.0% 55.67 5.204 83.33% 0.006 -0.0077
6 Two Centers (Default) 20 40.0% 45.35 1.579 95.0% 0.032 0.4793
7 Other 1 100.0% 51.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1956 33.2 -3.713 61.5% -1.583 0.377
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1641 35.88 -4.577 66.97% -1.915 -0.1846
All Things Weaken 882 32.58 -3.649 60.43% -1.752 0.3154
Back Against the Wall 1535 34.47 -2.415 63.39% -1.399 0.5002
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1864 30.72 -5.655 59.87% -1.952 0.144
Downward Spiral 3832 32.83 -4.792 65.79% -1.804 0.0694
Erosion of Will 1956 32.05 -3.734 58.74% -1.784 0.3271
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 376 43.2 1.564 95.21% 0.39 0.9481
Memory Fades to Dust 3786 31.89 -4.712 60.86% -1.916 0.1503
Power Corrodes the Spirit 942 33.97 -4.008 68.9% -1.322 0.5862
Promising Farmlands 1906 30.93 -5.04 59.55% -1.733 0.2912
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 252 44.13 -0.551 97.62% -0.035 0.3821
Thriving Communities 919 31.69 -4.941 61.37% -2.079 -0.0202
Tipping Point 816 30.56 0.0 56.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 939 34.37 -2.581 65.39% -1.623 0.3151
Untended Land Crumbles 841 32.49 -3.309 63.02% -1.307 0.7075

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9578 55.64% 39.52 0.062 79.36% -0.04 0.7003
B 10013 54.46% 39.75 -0.534 79.94% -0.147 0.5533
C 10775 55.46% 39.83 0.664 80.08% 0.154 0.6282
D 9581 55.79% 39.41 -0.433 79.38% -0.274 0.4148
E 3612 54.71% 40.41 1.071 82.14% 0.329 0.89
F 5065 51.19% 40.89 0.279 83.04% 0.142 0.7913
G 4400 56.11% 39.32 -0.623 79.5% -0.199 0.4119
H 4750 53.19% 40.14 -0.446 81.33% -0.066 0.5853
East 1985 58.57% 44.94 3.261 70.78% 0.533 1.1323
Northeast 1106 58.91% 44.8 4.313 69.98% 0.534 1.2137
Northwest 818 59.85% 44.15 -0.506 69.32% -0.462 0.0137
Southeast 305 49.18% 48.44 0.629 81.64% -0.259 0.4784
Southwest 277 50.9% 44.75 -0.204 77.62% 0.031 0.9803
West 1635 59.28% 43.82 3.624 69.17% 0.681 1.4124

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 145 0.0% 35.41 -1.951 65.52% 0.007 2.1975
Not Using Events or Tokens 4472 67.14% 36.05 -3.117 70.91% -0.687 -0.4518
Skip Initial Invader Actions 498 11.58% 57.03 7.5 95.58% 0.232 -0.9405
Start of Game Growth 727 16.71% 53.39 4.67 93.12% -0.496 -0.9284
Unlimited Undo 3031 49.88% 42.5 2.43 84.3% 0.729 0.2498
Using Tokens but Not Events 2851 45.2% 42.61 1.016 85.2% 0.579 0.7304

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3698 22.68 15.79%
II 19778 31.11 74.48%
III 13533 34.69 89.81%
IV 6099 37.95 99.66%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.268 Win Model: 0.7
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 29801 58.62% 38.74 75.76%
2 9245 56.02% 40.44 81.0%
3 2503 48.1% 41.53 84.5%
4 1501 43.22% 44.66 87.67%
5 8 75.0% 37.0 62.5%
6 50 32.0% 48.88 90.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 582
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11876
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 14103
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6025
Lose: Invader deck ran out 311
Lose: Adversary condition 76
Win: Sacrifice victory 211
Lose: Scenario condition 464
Win: Scenario condition 749
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8298
Lose: Spirit destroyed 413

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2496 52.36% 40.57 1.117 74.08% 0.208 0.1042
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1503 80.93% 35.42 -3.261 58.68% -0.632 -0.5659
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1533 55.41% 41.29 3.186 77.56% 0.942 0.7271
Downpour Drenches the World 84 54.76% 36.74 -2.1 64.29% -0.627 -0.3114
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1460 52.67% 43.29 2.821 79.86% 0.688 0.1462
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1409 59.6% 41.6 1.919 77.0% 0.794 0.2834
Finder of Paths Unseen 63 77.78% 35.67 2.565 61.9% 0.777 1.152
Fractured Days Split the Sky 360 60.83% 41.76 3.36 67.78% -0.006 0.0357
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 471 60.93% 42.42 2.611 78.77% 0.524 0.4215
Heart of the Wildfire 2122 80.39% 33.88 -1.608 56.31% -0.314 0.0009
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4532 62.74% 41.14 1.206 75.42% 0.329 -0.1965
Lightning's Swift Strike 2089 66.11% 37.81 -3.738 64.91% -0.87 -0.5246
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 63 54.84% 46.92 2.619 88.89% 0.498 -0.3127
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 353 51.84% 44.81 -0.472 85.55% 0.041 -0.4475
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 209 54.55% 44.21 1.794 76.56% -0.139 -0.726
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1245 64.07% 40.46 -1.557 75.1% -0.538 -0.6164
Many Minds Move as One 502 53.59% 44.86 -0.576 87.65% 0.1 -0.504
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2544 71.97% 36.96 0.779 63.95% 0.102 -0.0398
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1326 54.31% 41.57 2.371 78.58% 0.739 0.7329
River Surges in Sunlight 2956 68.15% 41.01 1.174 66.71% 0.052 -0.0674
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 206 74.27% 36.56 1.475 57.28% -0.198 0.219
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 62 58.06% 53.08 5.413 83.87% 0.802 0.4266
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1618 71.06% 36.96 -1.328 64.71% -0.069 -0.1855
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1149 79.74% 34.03 -5.271 52.65% -1.184 -0.7255
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 11 90.91% 43.55 6.213 90.91% 0.527 0.5545
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 18 83.33% 44.06 5.892 83.33% 0.568 0.6805
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 216 68.98% 41.15 3.528 77.78% 0.347 0.4267
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 147 77.55% 35.84 -6.048 58.5% -0.693 -0.6368
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2277 51.87% 41.71 2.267 73.61% 0.092 -0.0913
Shifting Memory of Ages 263 78.71% 34.62 0.443 57.03% 0.173 0.3613
Shroud of Silent Mist 362 86.15% 34.21 -2.318 59.67% -0.373 -0.2113
Starlight Seeks its Form 500 64.4% 38.58 1.801 65.2% 0.255 0.1781
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1041 71.44% 33.14 -2.392 63.59% -0.398 -0.6575
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1053 60.11% 40.53 1.851 73.6% 0.369 0.4611
Thunderspeaker 2030 64.73% 41.96 2.522 71.63% 0.476 0.4219
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 959 91.97% 31.85 -2.058 55.06% -0.199 -0.4742
Vital Strength of the Earth 1391 75.76% 32.53 -6.117 50.18% -0.914 -0.0791
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 35 68.57% 34.17 -3.088 54.29% -0.859 -0.3128
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 191 72.77% 32.38 -4.816 50.26% -0.54 0.6336
Volcano Looming High 667 67.02% 39.04 -1.004 71.21% -0.531 -0.5612

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 326 71.34% 33.63 -4.976 52.15% -1.268 -0.7602
Dahan Insurrection 4 344 48.84% 62.82 14.839 76.45% 0.402 0.4869
Despicable Theft 2 17 64.71% 45.41 16.579 58.82% 0.205 0.6304
Elemental Invocation 1 54 90.74% 31.28 -1.894 40.74% -0.421 0.1966
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 968 24.51% 44.32 1.719 71.9% -0.778 -0.6038
Powers Long Forgotten 1 149 75.84% 37.03 0.0 49.66%
Rituals of Terror 3 118 84.75% 37.23 13.255 36.44% 0.136 -0.0764
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 91 87.91% 40.27 0.0 39.56%
Second Wave 0 681 74.85% 35.41 -0.824 54.77% -0.421 0.0985
The Great River 3 23 60.87% 42.65 0.0 47.83%
Varied Terrains 2 4 75.0% 44.25 0.0 75.0%
Ward the Shores 2 95 76.84% 39.18 -6.974 45.26% -0.552 0.2975

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 18867 67.66% 37.44 -0.867 66.35% 0.172 0.7086
1 Thematic 1570 67.96% 40.6 2.408 54.65% 0.667 1.6366
2 Archipelago 6 50.0% 50.0 0.0 66.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4037 67.69% 39.71 0.4 72.95% 0.079 0.496
2 Coastline 520 57.64% 42.63 1.382 79.62% 0.248 0.3568
2 Fragment 88 71.59% 34.76 -8.04 59.09% -0.585 -0.5061
2 Heart 87 68.6% 33.98 -0.437 56.32% 0.045 0.4613
2 Opposite Shores 791 68.9% 39.23 -0.055 71.68% 0.054 0.4727
2 Thematic 437 76.43% 39.4 -1.496 51.49% -0.774 0.1001
2 Top to Top 121 73.33% 38.46 1.328 71.07% 0.075 0.1767
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 15 46.67% 50.6 0.0 93.33%
3 Other 92 47.83% 40.84 3.149 75.0% 0.389 -0.4613
3 Round (Default) 1570 58.84% 40.82 0.281 74.59% -0.611 -0.4148
3 Sunrise 3 66.67% 44.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 92 75.0% 39.93 13.327 52.17% 0.039 0.4498
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 48.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 37.6 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 57 40.35% 44.81 0.0 84.21%
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 50.0% 47.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 114 64.04% 42.22 0.345 57.02% 0.04 0.1814
4 Trapezoid (Default) 690 59.24% 40.97 -0.376 72.03% -0.242 0.0143
5 Other 15 69.23% 45.47 0.0 53.33%
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 8 37.5% 52.13 9.463 62.5% 0.307 0.0558
6 Star 8 25.0% 29.75 0.0 37.5%
6 Thematic 4 75.0% 49.5 5.554 75.0% 0.035 0.0216
6 Two Centers (Default) 12 58.33% 45.75 4.241 91.67% 0.09 0.5372

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1577 33.16 -3.334 52.57% -1.642 0.3177
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1250 35.18 -2.687 56.72% -1.543 0.1873
All Things Weaken 767 31.57 -4.434 49.41% -1.822 0.2451
Back Against the Wall 1220 34.58 -1.892 55.0% -1.096 0.8027
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1562 31.5 -5.119 54.48% -1.787 0.3094
Downward Spiral 2840 32.63 -3.909 56.16% -1.411 0.4624
Erosion of Will 1668 31.66 -3.631 48.62% -1.535 0.5758
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 244 47.25 3.764 99.18% 1.143 1.701
Memory Fades to Dust 2881 31.41 -5.051 50.85% -1.823 0.2434
Power Corrodes the Spirit 719 32.06 -2.612 54.52% -1.047 0.8613
Promising Farmlands 1644 31.1 -4.662 50.67% -1.603 0.4219
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 130 46.38 3.734 96.92% 0.671 1.0884
Thriving Communities 715 29.47 -5.734 46.57% -1.956 0.1033
Tipping Point 662 31.51 0.0 50.0%
Unnatural Proliferation 831 32.65 -2.044 51.38% -1.278 0.6601
Untended Land Crumbles 771 31.05 -3.205 49.81% -1.347 0.6669

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6475 66.46% 38.3 0.311 67.83% 0.296 1.0366
B 6771 65.63% 38.92 0.282 69.69% 0.184 0.8853
C 7027 65.96% 38.63 -1.049 68.98% -0.134 0.3401
D 6181 65.34% 38.74 0.277 69.89% 0.074 0.7626
E 2522 66.72% 38.99 0.137 70.1% 0.001 0.5626
F 3315 63.14% 39.77 0.422 72.61% 0.189 0.8386
G 2994 65.62% 38.77 1.437 69.91% 0.375 0.9861
H 3277 62.72% 40.08 -0.511 73.24% -0.226 0.425
East 1365 69.45% 41.53 1.467 55.31% -0.203 0.3969
Northeast 733 71.08% 41.63 0.793 55.8% -0.269 0.4105
Northwest 625 75.2% 37.75 0.326 46.88% -0.442 0.0332
Southeast 177 66.1% 40.12 1.49 59.89% 0.132 0.869
Southwest 179 53.63% 41.31 0.859 68.16% 0.037 0.9863
West 1255 70.6% 39.5 3.935 52.27% 0.35 1.0813

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 98 0.0% 35.84 -5.597 58.16% -0.833 1.3581
Not Using Events or Tokens 2797 74.31% 35.37 -3.279 60.71% -0.437 -0.2011
Skip Initial Invader Actions 416 17.25% 56.99 4.611 93.99% 0.72 -0.4532
Start of Game Growth 618 24.67% 53.06 4.252 89.48% 0.843 0.4113
Unlimited Undo 2116 60.56% 41.0 1.748 74.01% 0.428 -0.0507
Using Tokens but Not Events 1587 59.3% 39.71 2.333 72.84% 0.635 0.7866

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3362 22.68 5.47%
II 11860 31.11 59.89%
III 10635 34.69 85.04%
IV 3367 37.95 99.55%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.334 Win Model: 0.319
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 20506 67.72% 37.69 65.43%
2 6107 67.94% 39.56 70.9%
3 1717 57.45% 41.47 76.12%
4 856 58.61% 41.4 70.79%
5 7 100.0% 41.43 28.57%
6 31 48.39% 42.87 67.74%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 184
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8863
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6801
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3312
Lose: Invader deck ran out 284
Lose: Adversary condition 66
Win: Sacrifice victory 152
Lose: Scenario condition 339
Win: Scenario condition 371
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8519
Lose: Spirit destroyed 333

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1177 51.67% 44.45 1.635 72.56% 0.154 0.0492
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 665 80.3% 36.55 1.171 51.58% 0.48 0.5465
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 625 56.18% 44.54 4.626 75.68% 1.129 0.9139
Downpour Drenches the World 65 69.23% 36.49 1.327 49.23% 0.261 0.5764
Eyes Watch From the Trees 623 60.84% 43.84 -0.785 70.47% -0.472 -1.0135
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 640 63.31% 42.21 -2.308 65.16% -0.416 -0.9265
Finder of Paths Unseen 98 58.16% 46.11 0.809 81.63% 0.098 0.4734
Fractured Days Split the Sky 144 60.42% 44.76 -0.484 65.97% -0.25 -0.2083
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 190 54.74% 46.56 -1.04 78.95% -0.149 -0.2516
Heart of the Wildfire 1022 79.27% 35.86 0.131 52.54% -0.26 0.0551
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2010 64.96% 41.99 1.278 66.02% 0.484 -0.0411
Lightning's Swift Strike 1032 69.58% 38.95 -1.689 56.3% -0.889 -0.5441
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 23 60.87% 45.7 2.83 78.26% 0.341 -0.4697
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 200 44.0% 47.8 1.565 83.0% 0.188 -0.3011
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 126 56.35% 46.65 3.645 73.02% 0.592 0.0049
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 473 71.04% 40.99 1.07 65.12% 0.172 0.0936
Many Minds Move as One 218 57.34% 44.77 0.056 75.23% 0.016 -0.5885
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1140 75.09% 38.75 -0.34 58.07% -0.213 -0.3541
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 597 58.22% 43.77 -3.191 73.37% -0.477 -0.4828
River Surges in Sunlight 1307 71.13% 41.03 4.217 57.23% 0.839 0.7192
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 65 76.92% 39.94 0.0 58.46%
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 20 55.0% 52.2 2.414 75.0% 0.074 -0.3015
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 774 70.16% 38.25 0.051 57.36% -0.148 -0.2649
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 523 79.73% 36.37 -3.928 47.23% -0.442 0.0162
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 2 50.0% 53.0 3.53 100.0% 0.148 0.1758
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 8 87.5% 37.38 -8.466 50.0% -0.321 -0.2083
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 75 69.33% 41.32 5.439 68.0% 0.941 1.0204
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 47 89.36% 30.51 0.0 36.17%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1038 55.97% 43.95 0.035 69.56% 0.078 -0.1049
Shifting Memory of Ages 93 83.87% 34.23 -4.399 49.46% -0.576 -0.3882
Shroud of Silent Mist 165 87.88% 30.55 0.082 38.79% 0.202 0.3641
Starlight Seeks its Form 142 64.79% 42.61 -0.958 66.9% -0.31 -0.3872
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 378 79.37% 31.76 -6.03 50.53% -0.645 -0.9041
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 564 66.49% 39.82 -0.515 59.75% -0.341 -0.2487
Thunderspeaker 994 68.05% 41.47 2.107 61.87% 0.441 0.3872
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 489 92.01% 34.3 -0.442 53.99% 0.15 -0.1257
Vital Strength of the Earth 689 72.97% 34.46 -4.467 44.99% -1.117 -0.2823
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 27 74.07% 35.22 -7.381 51.85% -0.891 -0.3448
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 103 68.93% 38.03 2.063 59.22% 0.054 1.2276
Volcano Looming High 291 67.35% 40.45 1.827 66.32% 0.81 0.7801

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 100.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%
Blitz 0 185 72.47% 33.67 2.042 44.32% 0.229 0.7365
Dahan Insurrection 4 153 56.86% 56.64 18.733 58.17% 0.502 0.5865
Despicable Theft 2 13 76.92% 40.15 0.0 46.15%
Elemental Invocation 1 19 73.68% 35.32 0.0 42.11%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 684 26.55% 49.59 4.801 74.12% 0.728 0.9022
Powers Long Forgotten 1 53 84.91% 37.98 -9.565 47.17% -0.897 -0.3628
Rituals of Terror 3 91 72.53% 42.51 -7.12 39.56% -0.716 -0.928
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 50 76.0% 46.08 0.016 46.0% -0.34 -0.1176
Second Wave 0 264 67.8% 38.7 1.543 53.79% 0.664 1.1835
The Great River 3 19 78.95% 38.58 0.0 31.58%
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 18.0 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 60 78.33% 41.13 0.0 41.67%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8492 71.06% 37.84 -1.207 57.09% -0.287 0.2495
1 Thematic 992 62.9% 42.56 3.142 51.92% 0.029 0.9988
2 Archipelago 2 50.0% 40.5 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2047 70.42% 40.72 1.816 65.07% 0.623 1.0396
2 Coastline 214 64.02% 43.82 0.766 73.36% 0.19 0.2985
2 Fragment 39 79.49% 35.79 -1.012 56.41% 0.378 0.4569
2 Heart 34 73.53% 40.59 -3.966 61.76% -0.258 0.1579
2 Opposite Shores 320 66.14% 40.75 -0.879 64.06% -0.004 0.414
2 Thematic 176 76.7% 41.96 -5.043 46.59% -0.703 0.1719
2 Top to Top 54 61.11% 40.57 -6.958 61.11% -0.207 -0.1057
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 23 69.57% 50.65 0.0 78.26%
3 Other 31 67.74% 40.77 -0.3 64.52% 0.201 -0.6494
3 Round (Default) 636 60.92% 44.45 1.098 74.84% 0.414 0.6094
3 Sunrise 5 60.0% 40.6 0.0 60.0%
3 Thematic 45 86.67% 34.2 0.0 28.89%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 33.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 21 28.57% 54.9 0.0 95.24%
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 58 62.07% 46.88 1.487 55.17% 0.058 0.2001
4 Trapezoid (Default) 259 50.78% 45.29 1.22 72.97% 0.066 0.3224
5 Other 3 33.33% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 3 0.0% 34.33 -12.578 33.33% -0.852 0.1326
6 Thematic 1 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 5 60.0% 54.6 0.0 80.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 798 34.37 -1.788 46.49% -0.694 1.2655
Aid From Lesser Spirits 597 34.96 -1.667 46.23% -0.813 0.9174
All Things Weaken 350 31.92 -3.132 41.43% -0.994 1.073
Back Against the Wall 545 36.21 -5.933 49.91% -1.48 0.4183
Disintegrating Ecosystem 735 30.61 -4.691 41.63% -0.899 1.1973
Downward Spiral 1494 32.73 -4.135 45.85% -1.24 0.6333
Erosion of Will 739 31.04 -5.169 37.75% -1.499 0.6123
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 70 50.17 -3.116 92.86% -0.226 0.3319
Memory Fades to Dust 1489 31.17 -3.669 40.83% -1.104 0.9624
Power Corrodes the Spirit 315 31.3 -4.096 43.49% -1.015 0.8937
Promising Farmlands 736 30.24 -7.614 38.59% -1.749 0.2756
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 54 51.19 1.192 98.15% 0.164 0.5812
Thriving Communities 340 29.75 -4.564 39.41% -1.097 0.9617
Tipping Point 324 29.92 0.0 36.11%
Unnatural Proliferation 358 33.91 -2.13 46.65% -0.624 1.3144
Untended Land Crumbles 348 32.61 -3.848 45.69% -1.055 0.9595

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2884 69.91% 39.8 0.764 61.62% 0.311 1.051
B 3049 67.24% 39.67 -0.168 61.56% 0.203 0.9034
C 3205 69.99% 39.55 1.493 61.34% 0.512 0.9858
D 2829 66.65% 40.5 -1.502 63.66% -0.348 0.3406
E 1074 67.94% 41.96 1.455 68.72% 0.377 0.9385
F 1466 64.68% 40.77 -0.612 64.8% -0.207 0.4421
G 1321 65.25% 41.13 0.164 66.01% 0.25 0.8617
H 1451 66.78% 40.47 -0.527 63.61% -0.312 0.3396
East 791 66.88% 42.1 -0.206 47.41% -0.394 0.2056
Northeast 424 66.75% 42.12 1.293 46.7% 0.125 0.8048
Northwest 285 72.63% 40.87 2.209 44.91% 0.194 0.6697
Southeast 116 56.03% 46.33 -5.798 63.79% -0.933 -0.1953
Southwest 93 62.37% 37.96 -3.116 50.54% -0.226 0.7238
West 614 68.08% 42.16 2.004 49.35% 0.091 0.8222

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 45 0.0% 40.49 0.0 62.22%
Not Using Events or Tokens 1543 73.44% 38.16 1.439 56.97% 0.308 0.5435
Skip Initial Invader Actions 222 14.68% 60.19 -0.537 95.05% -0.241 -1.4135
Start of Game Growth 352 22.61% 55.47 1.323 90.06% 0.136 -0.2965
Unlimited Undo 1181 66.27% 42.96 4.307 69.6% 1.161 0.6816
Using Tokens but Not Events 726 64.71% 37.8 1.193 56.89% 0.267 0.4184

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2627 22.68 8.98%
II 5155 31.11 55.6%
III 4168 34.69 81.31%
IV 1517 37.95 99.54%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.079 Win Model: -0.266
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 9515 70.23% 38.34 56.53%
2 2875 69.78% 40.99 64.38%
3 730 62.67% 43.89 71.78%
4 337 51.2% 46.11 71.22%
5 1 100.0% 43.0 100.0%
6 9 33.33% 49.89 66.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 235
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3301
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2757
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1498
Lose: Invader deck ran out 120
Lose: Adversary condition 20
Win: Sacrifice victory 52
Lose: Scenario condition 231
Win: Scenario condition 158
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4905
Lose: Spirit destroyed 190

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7283 48.8% 49.08 1.007 72.18% 0.056 -0.0483
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3654 83.4% 38.47 -1.561 50.82% -0.429 -0.3626
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3558 55.38% 47.1 2.93 73.72% 0.744 0.5292
Downpour Drenches the World 403 58.06% 50.73 1.74 69.23% 0.089 0.4042
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3477 58.69% 47.93 -0.104 71.99% 0.438 -0.1035
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3153 65.89% 44.81 1.059 65.46% 0.176 -0.3342
Finder of Paths Unseen 364 56.04% 53.08 3.221 80.22% 0.786 1.1609
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1905 55.59% 52.16 2.567 71.29% -0.164 -0.1224
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2072 60.84% 50.2 3.038 73.7% 0.448 0.3455
Heart of the Wildfire 6065 71.27% 41.87 -2.583 57.2% -0.394 -0.0782
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 11104 60.8% 47.53 1.365 70.67% 0.25 -0.275
Lightning's Swift Strike 5054 68.65% 42.07 -0.866 57.26% -0.18 0.1649
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 539 71.99% 46.66 0.797 59.0% 0.408 -0.4021
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1919 57.65% 51.43 3.661 81.4% 1.058 0.569
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1024 52.25% 54.45 3.671 76.27% 0.911 0.3234
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3478 64.77% 46.11 -0.62 67.71% -0.168 -0.2466
Many Minds Move as One 1361 50.62% 52.13 2.545 85.45% 0.69 0.0859
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6676 71.4% 41.62 -3.033 54.1% -0.674 -0.8153
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3618 53.91% 48.43 2.276 77.0% 0.85 0.8443
River Surges in Sunlight 6728 65.1% 47.98 2.692 63.36% 0.153 0.0329
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 432 72.45% 41.62 -5.54 49.77% -0.756 -0.3387
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 296 69.39% 54.37 4.253 62.5% 0.124 -0.2517
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5232 64.16% 45.27 -0.664 65.44% -0.011 -0.1277
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1966 77.87% 36.91 -2.244 43.49% -0.348 0.1103
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 69 88.41% 39.17 -0.489 46.38% -0.001 0.026
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 80 80.0% 37.92 -4.707 46.25% -0.806 -0.6925
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 738 71.68% 42.32 1.525 58.94% 0.27 0.3494
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 344 77.33% 39.92 1.193 51.16% 0.26 0.3159
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4819 51.05% 48.99 1.51 72.53% 0.155 -0.0282
Shifting Memory of Ages 851 78.61% 40.25 -4.777 49.59% -1.218 -1.0296
Shroud of Silent Mist 854 84.74% 38.17 -0.43 52.34% 0.035 0.1968
Starlight Seeks its Form 1656 60.02% 49.07 1.056 71.14% 0.326 0.2487
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4113 72.49% 36.85 -4.873 52.25% -0.633 -0.8921
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3072 59.2% 47.09 -1.076 69.11% -0.108 -0.0164
Thunderspeaker 3864 68.63% 45.17 0.599 61.83% -0.097 -0.1505
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3851 84.52% 39.96 -0.378 59.31% 0.515 0.2396
Vital Strength of the Earth 2379 72.14% 37.26 -2.31 46.07% -0.883 -0.0484
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 163 73.01% 43.28 -1.614 59.51% -0.198 0.3477
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 670 69.7% 38.07 -6.487 50.0% -1.424 -0.251
Volcano Looming High 3138 61.73% 46.6 0.675 71.19% 0.275 0.2453

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 23 100.0% 24.26 0.0 8.7%
Blitz 0 595 66.43% 40.83 4.112 53.78% 0.479 0.987
Dahan Insurrection 4 849 47.82% 68.43 13.755 71.14% 0.552 0.6362
Despicable Theft 2 25 84.0% 49.6 3.752 56.0% 0.05 0.4754
Elemental Invocation 1 80 78.75% 43.63 1.362 51.25% -0.029 0.5888
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6049 23.49% 54.79 3.719 75.04% -0.087 0.087
Powers Long Forgotten 1 137 79.26% 37.95 -3.235 34.31% -0.387 0.1474
Rituals of Terror 3 172 82.56% 46.45 4.626 33.14% -0.272 -0.4843
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 71 91.55% 41.11 0.0 33.8%
Second Wave 0 636 82.55% 38.71 -2.101 47.01% -0.454 0.0663
The Great River 3 52 67.31% 34.79 -6.758 17.31% -1.655 0.031
Varied Terrains 2 27 85.19% 37.7 -2.33 29.63% -0.825 -0.1364
Ward the Shores 2 148 84.35% 40.38 13.042 37.84% 0.311 1.1607

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 58416 68.73% 42.38 -1.045 60.81% 0.395 0.9319
1 Thematic 1840 66.94% 43.81 1.263 48.32% 0.228 1.1973
2 Archipelago 16 62.5% 61.88 11.435 56.25% 0.517 1.5606
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8410 69.1% 44.89 -0.979 66.02% 0.209 0.6257
2 Coastline 1213 66.36% 46.83 1.993 68.59% 0.695 0.8043
2 Fragment 274 70.8% 47.53 -3.808 73.36% -0.474 -0.3949
2 Heart 113 76.99% 43.65 -8.128 55.75% -1.467 -1.051
2 Opposite Shores 1742 65.21% 44.44 1.82 61.77% 0.266 0.6842
2 Thematic 459 72.37% 44.83 -3.003 43.57% -1.183 -0.3089
2 Top to Top 318 70.89% 45.41 1.314 66.04% 0.149 0.2507
3 Archipelago 4 50.0% 93.5 29.065 100.0% 0.037 0.2106
3 Coastline 70 30.0% 54.64 6.846 81.43% 0.458 0.5158
3 Other 111 66.67% 47.38 -0.31 72.97% 0.241 -0.6099
3 Round (Default) 3183 58.27% 47.2 2.024 70.22% 0.088 0.2836
3 Sunrise 22 63.64% 46.68 0.0 68.18%
3 Thematic 90 80.46% 45.06 -4.564 43.33% -0.735 -0.3243
4 Archipelago 9 33.33% 61.0 11.592 55.56% 0.009 0.1619
4 Coastline 21 0.0% 64.24 25.595 100.0% 0.62 0.089
4 Leaf 6 100.0% 26.5 0.0 16.67%
4 Other 238 31.93% 53.93 -1.849 85.71% -0.214 -0.7816
4 Thematic 1101 31.42% 65.78 2.63 83.92% 0.87 1.0114
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2329 55.45% 48.37 2.379 70.59% -0.033 0.223
5 Archipelago 2 50.0% 50.5 0.0 50.0%
5 Coastline 19 5.26% 63.58 3.28 100.0% 0.085 -0.586
5 Other 61 61.4% 59.92 5.804 90.16% 0.207 -0.553
5 Thematic 8 25.0% 76.88 7.907 100.0% 0.34 -0.0647
6 Archipelago 6 0.0% 63.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Coastline 5 20.0% 59.6 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 15 46.67% 63.0 -1.338 80.0% -0.131 -0.3827
6 Star 7 71.43% 58.57 -6.349 85.71% -0.264 0.7205
6 Thematic 114 60.53% 60.31 1.581 83.33% -0.326 -0.3394
6 Two Centers (Default) 66 28.79% 57.27 -3.394 80.3% -0.693 -0.2465
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 4551 36.02 -3.603 45.31% -1.687 0.2728
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3674 39.86 -1.626 52.83% -1.228 0.5018
All Things Weaken 2515 36.85 -4.298 46.96% -1.898 0.169
Back Against the Wall 3452 38.52 -1.807 49.39% -1.331 0.5678
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4501 33.77 -6.692 44.88% -2.12 -0.0239
Downward Spiral 6715 35.11 -4.411 47.19% -1.686 0.1867
Erosion of Will 4471 34.69 -5.469 42.18% -2.053 0.058
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 571 54.88 4.943 94.4% 1.214 1.7715
Memory Fades to Dust 6952 34.03 -5.568 42.0% -2.037 0.0286
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2488 36.2 -3.48 47.47% -1.611 0.2972
Promising Farmlands 4409 34.04 -6.118 43.55% -2.125 -0.1001
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 438 55.5 3.495 95.66% 0.664 1.0812
Thriving Communities 2324 35.1 -5.521 46.3% -2.053 0.0059
Tipping Point 1595 32.86 0.0 40.13%
Unnatural Proliferation 2674 37.52 -2.984 47.46% -1.575 0.3635
Untended Land Crumbles 2354 35.74 -4.727 46.94% -1.817 0.1975

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 16734 65.46% 44.39 0.384 63.77% -0.073 0.6674
B 17029 65.61% 43.55 -0.599 62.31% -0.332 0.3687
C 18578 68.45% 42.94 -0.868 61.08% -0.371 0.1028
D 15712 67.66% 43.06 0.363 61.81% -0.072 0.6169
E 8020 66.23% 45.5 1.13 67.23% 0.268 0.8288
F 10269 60.58% 47.19 1.808 70.76% 0.046 0.6957
G 8809 64.07% 45.28 0.904 66.35% -0.012 0.5997
H 9198 64.64% 45.08 0.059 66.88% -0.213 0.4377
East 2590 52.25% 55.3 4.744 65.21% 1.107 1.7068
Northeast 1731 47.53% 57.32 -0.137 67.3% -0.748 -0.0682
Northwest 1506 47.12% 56.81 -0.564 67.07% -0.377 0.0987
Southeast 481 53.64% 57.2 2.033 76.72% -0.076 0.6617
Southwest 490 55.71% 53.82 -1.033 72.65% -0.374 0.5757
West 2369 51.42% 54.16 1.293 64.08% -0.655 0.0763

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 315 0.0% 50.42 -13.767 73.65% -3.008 -0.8167
Not Using Events or Tokens 4979 76.28% 38.09 -2.71 50.05% 0.185 0.4202
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2342 19.22% 64.03 8.078 90.01% 1.124 -0.0487
Start of Game Growth 3203 21.62% 62.13 7.17 88.35% 1.299 0.8666
Unlimited Undo 9125 53.26% 50.9 1.415 77.68% 0.375 -0.1038
Using Tokens but Not Events 4032 54.41% 46.21 -1.392 65.58% -0.316 -0.1652

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 15983 22.68 11.91%
II 28139 31.11 58.64%
III 28148 34.69 83.95%
IV 8036 37.95 99.81%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.618 Win Model: 0.524
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 60437 68.69% 42.46 60.44%
2 12456 68.49% 45.03 64.96%
3 3457 58.3% 47.26 69.95%
4 3693 46.41% 54.08 75.68%
5 48 37.78% 63.23 89.58%
6 215 46.98% 59.33 81.86%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1899
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 23175
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 15809
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7949
Lose: Invader deck ran out 671
Lose: Adversary condition 338
Win: Sacrifice victory 420
Lose: Scenario condition 1532
Win: Scenario condition 802
Lose: Blight pool ran out 26515
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1196

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-10-31 03:36:05 (Pacific Time)