The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6472 25.82% 22.28 0.387 77.24% 0.579 0.1607
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 201 22.39% 21.7 -1.739 65.17% -0.017 -0.6735
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 19 15.79% 22.11 0.968 73.68% 0.606 0.4484
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 159 16.46% 25.74 5.516 79.25% 1.114 0.2536
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4271 46.88% 21.34 0.156 73.61% 0.081 0.2184
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 189 22.22% 27.69 3.906 73.54% 0.403 -0.6269
Dances Up Earthquakes 223 27.8% 17.42 -7.209 51.12% -1.46 -1.4957
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3160 25.32% 24.47 1.048 82.97% 0.246 -0.1085
Downpour Drenches the World 728 23.63% 17.08 -0.056 53.02% 0.248 0.3715
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 735 20.54% 20.63 2.032 61.63% -0.04 -0.6104
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3630 17.15% 26.81 2.01 86.01% 0.534 -0.1124
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3332 22.26% 25.33 0.294 83.58% 0.298 -0.1961
Finder of Paths Unseen 391 34.19% 13.14 -5.453 37.85% -0.737 -0.1482
Fractured Days Split the Sky 846 31.21% 19.85 -4.624 55.2% -0.942 -0.4951
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1114 38.24% 20.99 -1.415 63.46% -0.31 -0.4953
Heart of the Wildfire 4244 55.18% 19.99 -2.389 69.06% -0.354 -0.2112
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5788 27.42% 25.83 1.607 86.45% 0.726 0.0518
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 247 17.07% 24.22 -2.038 68.83% -0.66 -1.1874
Lightning's Swift Strike 6411 41.88% 21.09 -0.679 70.8% 0.136 0.1686
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 256 30.71% 23.72 -4.449 69.14% -0.337 -0.9892
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 464 31.97% 24.11 -6.766 75.65% -0.72 -1.2152
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 444 33.18% 22.18 1.819 68.92% 0.582 0.343
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1987 32.12% 24.82 3.201 76.4% 0.385 -0.0411
Many Minds Move as One 1377 23.07% 24.19 0.308 77.63% 0.293 -0.2157
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6418 41.08% 22.08 2.139 75.05% 1.148 0.8784
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 196 51.53% 16.8 0.517 56.63% -0.041 -0.1548
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2861 28.73% 23.18 -1.473 78.99% -0.248 -0.5418
River Surges in Sunlight 7556 38.38% 23.8 -0.802 72.58% -0.535 -0.7062
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 106 27.62% 18.5 -3.598 52.83% -0.581 -0.6919
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 657 38.11% 23.76 0.985 70.93% 0.347 0.2814
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 317 33.12% 22.8 -1.769 62.46% -0.621 -0.7508
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3582 35.31% 21.85 -1.387 77.11% -0.233 -0.4973
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 65 23.08% 19.8 -4.282 61.54% -0.5 -0.9307
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4761 51.74% 20.57 -1.628 67.95% 0.129 0.5571
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 130 36.15% 19.79 1.789 55.38% -0.255 -0.251
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 173 29.07% 22.99 3.537 71.68% 0.464 -0.2892
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 147 35.37% 21.33 -0.481 63.27% -0.089 -0.4074
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 362 37.02% 23.58 0.631 76.24% 0.324 0.1454
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 306 39.87% 22.76 2.084 72.55% 0.07 0.0274
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3689 29.27% 24.99 0.78 81.16% 0.298 -0.0677
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 18 27.78% 19.11 -2.615 55.56% -0.238 -0.7788
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 254 21.6% 20.02 -0.755 59.84% -0.084 -0.3282
Shifting Memory of Ages 909 43.82% 18.99 1.68 59.96% -0.106 0.1889
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 155 29.03% 18.95 1.235 54.84% 0.48 0.3169
Shroud of Silent Mist 1022 45.13% 19.13 -3.011 63.99% -0.49 -0.3074
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 26 30.77% 23.81 1.191 76.92% 0.311 -0.0993
Starlight Seeks its Form 1587 22.58% 23.37 0.566 69.88% 0.384 0.1413
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2225 27.06% 23.13 1.162 80.09% 0.344 -0.6083
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2502 32.17% 22.39 -2.929 75.06% -0.584 -0.541
Thunderspeaker 5892 29.55% 24.21 -0.572 76.22% -0.078 -0.2729
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 191 24.74% 16.49 0.383 48.69% 0.333 0.1643
Towering Roots of the Jungle 366 28.69% 18.57 -0.736 60.38% 0.12 0.0091
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1696 53.61% 19.13 0.382 68.22% 0.201 0.0503
Vital Strength of the Earth 6419 32.24% 19.74 -1.913 66.86% -0.269 0.0898
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 255 26.19% 16.87 -4.257 50.2% -0.404 -0.1609
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 412 28.26% 17.15 -1.74 57.04% -0.042 0.6388
Volcano Looming High 1481 35.82% 21.37 -1.598 67.93% -0.306 -0.6304
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 357 20.73% 21.73 -0.759 65.27% 0.339 -0.179

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 39 17.95% 22.69 -7.444 64.1% -0.513 -0.1436
Blitz 0 1315 36.56% 17.9 -3.277 59.54% -0.778 -0.3467
Dahan Insurrection 4 1028 22.42% 39.7 2.088 70.33% -0.159 -0.185
Despicable Theft 2 260 27.31% 18.53 -2.571 43.08% -0.69 -0.0301
Elemental Invocation 1 305 35.41% 18.41 -3.813 51.15% -0.578 -0.1305
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2428 8.46% 27.95 2.66 75.58% 0.194 -0.406
Powers Long Forgotten 1 604 41.89% 22.71 -2.919 59.6% -0.727 -0.1191
Rituals of Terror 3 730 40.77% 27.68 -0.273 56.44% -0.159 -0.0346
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 407 56.02% 26.28 -6.788 53.32% -1.76 -1.0217
Second Wave 0 1095 54.14% 25.05 -3.758 67.85% -1.401 -1.2943
The Great River 3 221 37.1% 19.82 -9.402 38.01% -0.944 0.2305
Varied Terrains 2 237 27.0% 14.69 -2.864 37.13% -0.385 0.3514
Ward the Shores 2 707 34.7% 24.71 -6.806 59.97% -1.735 -1.0528

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 45196 38.45% 21.89 1.064 73.14% 0.397 0.6213
1 Thematic 5159 38.64% 26.91 -0.588 66.12% -0.401 0.1493
2 Archipelago 25 32.0% 32.76 0.0 76.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10351 33.56% 21.59 -1.23 74.69% -0.219 -0.108
2 Coastline 922 32.57% 22.23 -2.229 76.57% -0.331 -0.4201
2 Fragment 222 36.07% 21.66 -2.47 77.93% 0.025 -0.314
2 Heart 157 53.55% 19.52 2.678 67.52% 0.215 -0.1124
2 Opposite Shores 1254 31.84% 23.14 0.794 82.38% 0.437 0.4733
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 1221 35.52% 26.67 -1.937 64.54% -0.523 0.0059
2 Top to Top 231 33.91% 20.64 0.331 75.32% 0.179 -0.0275
3 Archipelago 23 52.17% 29.91 0.0 69.57%
3 Coastline 30 33.33% 18.13 0.0 53.33%
3 Other 114 35.09% 19.19 7.202 67.54% 0.197 -0.5451
3 Round (Default) 3589 28.93% 23.19 1.99 80.02% 0.887 0.7906
3 Sunrise 10 20.0% 25.2 0.0 90.0%
3 Thematic 299 35.12% 25.79 -4.828 63.21% -0.338 -0.0963
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 32.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Coastline 7 28.57% 13.86 0.0 42.86%
4 Leaf 8 25.0% 23.63 0.0 87.5%
4 Other 55 30.91% 16.2 -3.525 60.0% -0.42 -0.9675
4 Thematic 825 29.32% 27.8 1.708 85.21% 0.091 0.5646
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1970 21.53% 20.54 -2.71 70.1% -0.829 -1.0177
5 Other 65 43.08% 25.98 1.188 70.77% 0.275 -0.0516
5 Thematic 12 33.33% 26.92 -3.707 75.0% -0.148 -0.6388
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 18.5 -3.815 50.0% -0.278 -1.2035
6 Other 16 31.25% 18.88 0.0 62.5%
6 Star 8 0.0% 25.38 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 75 8.22% 22.16 0.0 52.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 117 19.83% 17.5 -6.943 50.43% -0.352 -0.3749
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 8 0.0% 26.25 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1466 17.99 1.141 59.07% -0.214 0.0966
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1289 19.69 2.678 59.66% 0.616 0.6293
All Things Weaken 781 17.75 -4.972 53.65% -1.522 -1.0477
Attenuated Essence 181 19.43 2.249 57.46% 0.62 0.7662
Back Against the Wall 1277 18.92 0.771 57.48% -0.28 -0.1502
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 128 19.05 2.103 54.69% 0.395 0.7151
Burn Brightest Before the End 92 20.3 0.0 58.7%
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1480 15.66 -1.548 54.05% -0.477 -0.0969
Downward Spiral 5680 15.81 -0.736 58.12% -0.034 0.159
Erosion of Will 1544 18.12 1.123 57.38% -0.226 0.1117
Intensifying Exploitation 153 17.84 -4.556 53.59% -0.402 -0.0496
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 296 24.08 5.367 85.47% 0.324 -0.0395
Memory Fades to Dust 5730 15.42 -3.36 54.5% -0.822 -0.4931
Power Corrodes the Spirit 781 18.57 3.132 60.18% -0.053 0.2136
Promising Farmlands 1568 16.88 0.052 58.55% 0.15 0.5971
Shattered Fragments of Power 130 21.26 -1.133 58.46% -0.785 -0.7853
Slow Dissolution of Will 146 18.56 -1.356 51.37% -0.463 -0.052
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 243 23.61 -5.168 86.01% -0.434 -0.9927
The Border of Life and Death 45 24.02 -0.187 73.33% 0.013 -0.2317
Thriving Communities 789 17.48 2.62 56.15% -0.035 0.2431
Thriving Crops 69 18.3 -4.927 63.77% -0.319 -0.414
Tipping Point 504 16.8 0.0 60.52%
Unnatural Proliferation 775 19.52 0.572 59.35% 0.212 0.4163
Untended Land Crumbles 824 17.54 1.418 57.28% 0.211 0.5108

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 15981 36.59% 21.24 -1.294 73.12% -0.446 0.546
B 16302 35.31% 21.57 -0.856 73.54% -0.515 0.3503
C 16597 34.63% 21.77 -0.398 74.22% -0.239 0.5124
D 15886 34.5% 21.75 0.042 74.53% -0.238 0.707
E 5608 31.81% 22.49 1.305 72.65% 0.127 0.8817
F 7710 31.97% 22.58 0.562 75.24% -0.293 0.5812
G 7086 32.65% 22.11 -0.234 74.68% -0.082 0.78
H 7337 32.0% 22.67 -0.674 75.55% -0.649 0.1582
East 4935 35.11% 27.46 -0.446 69.22% -0.54 0.2057
Northeast 2987 33.93% 27.64 -0.932 71.04% -0.543 0.3503
Northwest 2368 33.18% 27.42 2.582 72.0% 0.395 1.1386
Southeast 791 31.18% 23.46 -1.901 61.57% -0.415 0.5934
Southwest 715 30.72% 20.06 -3.339 58.46% -0.669 0.4874
West 4327 36.06% 26.49 -2.277 68.32% -1.065 -0.0827

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 684 0.0% 19.34 -1.594 61.99% -0.596 0.1238
Not Using Events or Tokens 17727 43.39% 19.18 -1.397 65.98% -0.602 -0.1271
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1136 10.39% 33.26 3.804 88.2% 0.894 0.0895
Start of Game Growth 1579 13.87% 30.33 0.35 84.61% -0.12 -0.6866
Unlimited Undo 3979 26.44% 24.73 5.612 78.84% 1.722 1.7491
Using Tokens but Not Events 5209 29.24% 23.94 -0.28 79.54% -0.186 -0.2131

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 13141 12.25 23.0%
II 24357 29.91 75.76%
III 23166 34.94 86.18%
IV 11390 38.9 99.16%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.193 Win Model: 0.242
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 51006 38.35% 22.3 71.95%
2 13970 34.11% 22.52 76.09%
3 3946 29.25% 23.39 79.14%
4 2855 24.21% 22.58 74.64%
5 79 21.52% 18.04 43.04%
6 197 16.58% 21.71 59.39%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3016
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 19398
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 17481
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 11186
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 8298
Lose: Invader deck ran out 946
Lose: Adversary condition 447
Win: Sacrifice victory 263
Lose: Scenario condition 607
Win: Scenario condition 1390
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8563
Lose: Spirit destroyed 459

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4713 24.57% 32.59 2.197 78.91% 0.326 -0.0922
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 125 27.2% 25.06 4.572 64.0% 0.185 -0.4713
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 22 36.36% 25.68 5.439 77.27% 1.355 1.197
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 139 23.02% 29.59 4.262 82.01% 0.777 -0.0828
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2635 49.71% 26.33 -1.174 73.59% -0.237 -0.0993
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 162 25.31% 32.56 -0.009 79.01% -0.168 -1.197
Dances Up Earthquakes 151 34.44% 23.24 1.099 61.59% 0.305 0.2689
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2168 27.58% 28.99 -0.063 82.66% -0.202 -0.5565
Downpour Drenches the World 538 27.43% 22.37 -1.382 63.75% -0.304 -0.1805
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 559 21.47% 28.44 -0.085 77.82% -0.164 -0.7351
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2767 18.4% 32.65 2.509 89.05% 0.916 0.27
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2628 20.95% 39.16 4.12 85.69% 0.198 -0.296
Finder of Paths Unseen 334 34.23% 17.96 1.256 43.11% 0.258 0.8463
Fractured Days Split the Sky 651 32.05% 25.16 -10.021 60.98% -1.34 -0.8933
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 795 38.36% 24.44 0.724 64.53% 0.291 0.1056
Heart of the Wildfire 2827 56.27% 25.9 -0.132 74.11% -0.096 0.0467
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4313 35.15% 29.91 4.433 84.91% 0.899 0.2244
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 197 23.86% 26.55 -2.518 67.01% -0.427 -0.955
Lightning's Swift Strike 3986 39.62% 27.27 1.423 75.24% 0.817 0.85
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 716 9.92% 60.71 7.005 80.31% 0.587 -0.0655
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 338 31.45% 29.54 0.6 79.29% 0.308 -0.1876
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 350 32.29% 28.5 -3.181 76.86% -0.754 -0.993
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1441 35.63% 28.97 2.622 79.25% 0.446 0.0198
Many Minds Move as One 1097 25.69% 27.95 0.671 77.76% 0.319 -0.1899
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4354 38.08% 32.64 0.324 77.45% -0.507 -0.7763
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 177 50.28% 24.47 0.299 68.36% 0.21 0.0962
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2554 27.6% 37.53 1.55 81.6% -0.685 -0.9789
River Surges in Sunlight 5319 36.98% 33.04 3.714 75.54% 0.386 0.2155
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 78 35.06% 19.62 2.426 55.13% 0.236 0.1253
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 431 45.12% 25.86 -2.866 64.97% -0.125 -0.19
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 339 31.45% 28.41 8.369 67.55% 0.759 0.6286
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2175 37.13% 27.39 0.298 78.21% 0.259 -0.0054
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 45 28.89% 20.93 -3.287 55.56% -0.012 -0.4422
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2743 54.48% 24.72 -5.035 67.04% -0.732 -0.3032
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 88 43.9% 27.07 -0.674 71.59% -0.019 -0.0149
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 167 28.74% 29.49 -1.036 77.25% -0.009 -0.7617
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 111 40.0% 23.36 -6.007 64.86% -0.173 -0.4915
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 315 37.14% 28.17 -10.147 79.37% -0.375 -0.5536
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 205 50.25% 27.57 -3.246 72.2% -0.366 -0.409
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2719 31.07% 29.83 -0.475 81.43% -0.062 -0.4285
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 19 15.79% 25.32 -3.542 63.16% -0.264 -0.8049
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 238 19.15% 25.0 -5.255 70.17% -0.828 -1.0723
Shifting Memory of Ages 664 40.03% 21.68 -9.517 60.09% -1.062 -0.7677
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 98 27.55% 22.65 0.0 59.18%
Shroud of Silent Mist 727 49.66% 22.8 -5.505 66.3% -0.644 -0.4615
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 33 21.21% 21.52 -6.528 63.64% -0.937 -1.3468
Starlight Seeks its Form 853 30.75% 24.14 1.71 66.82% 0.343 0.1011
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1366 38.6% 24.11 -0.554 73.57% 0.271 -0.6809
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1836 35.69% 26.79 -2.251 75.49% -0.611 -0.5683
Thunderspeaker 3911 32.31% 29.5 1.857 77.47% 0.661 0.4658
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 144 36.11% 22.72 13.23 57.64% 0.448 0.2798
Towering Roots of the Jungle 276 31.88% 21.38 -0.411 63.77% -0.085 -0.1959
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1026 64.29% 21.94 -1.242 65.11% -0.063 -0.2134
Vital Strength of the Earth 3759 38.56% 23.9 -0.968 68.29% 0.285 0.6439
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 207 38.05% 21.14 1.257 55.07% 0.057 0.3001
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 305 34.43% 20.79 -0.078 58.36% 0.192 0.8732
Volcano Looming High 1002 43.34% 23.53 -5.85 67.27% -1.272 -1.5963
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 319 23.82% 28.04 3.01 76.18% 0.789 0.2711

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 36 25.0% 25.67 -0.568 58.33% -0.1 0.2697
Blitz 0 1088 41.74% 20.3 -4.278 56.43% -0.99 -0.5586
Dahan Insurrection 4 779 23.39% 46.46 11.48 76.12% 0.873 0.8467
Despicable Theft 2 225 37.78% 22.37 -5.142 45.33% -0.836 -0.1768
Elemental Invocation 1 317 42.9% 17.83 7.557 43.22% 0.48 0.9281
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2501 9.07% 39.65 4.703 74.53% 0.164 -0.4352
Powers Long Forgotten 1 620 45.97% 23.83 -2.687 53.87% -0.966 -0.3574
Rituals of Terror 3 579 44.73% 31.36 1.337 58.55% -0.166 -0.0415
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 376 57.71% 28.27 -4.99 52.39% -0.8 -0.0616
Second Wave 0 2811 44.29% 28.97 1.042 74.49% -0.288 -0.1814
The Great River 3 197 35.53% 23.92 -2.504 39.09% -0.477 0.6974
Varied Terrains 2 195 38.46% 17.84 4.422 34.87% 0.159 0.8953
Ward the Shores 2 550 44.08% 28.57 -0.749 58.0% -0.205 0.4775

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 27854 39.79% 25.88 -0.713 73.31% 0.282 0.5066
1 Thematic 4233 42.88% 29.67 1.319 62.89% 0.344 0.8938
2 Archipelago 22 54.55% 44.73 0.0 95.45%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6994 36.36% 26.89 -0.391 77.82% 0.513 0.6244
2 Coastline 738 41.08% 27.06 -4.405 78.18% -0.592 -0.6813
2 Fragment 195 47.42% 26.45 -7.406 80.0% -0.045 -0.3834
2 Heart 143 31.47% 27.45 0.0 83.92%
2 Opposite Shores 1112 32.91% 27.94 6.554 83.63% 0.222 0.2588
2 Thematic 1069 38.48% 29.45 -2.629 62.96% -0.223 0.3054
2 Top to Top 215 39.34% 27.56 4.236 78.6% 0.347 0.1406
3 Archipelago 20 30.0% 42.35 0.0 95.0%
3 Coastline 26 57.69% 33.81 0.0 69.23%
3 Other 93 39.13% 27.86 0.0 86.02%
3 Round (Default) 2673 29.08% 28.37 -2.419 82.45% -0.125 -0.2207
3 Sunrise 6 33.33% 28.83 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 217 35.94% 28.42 -1.981 59.45% -0.273 -0.0308
4 Archipelago 17 23.53% 33.94 0.0 88.24%
4 Coastline 21 23.81% 20.76 0.0 38.1%
4 Leaf 12 50.0% 35.58 0.0 91.67%
4 Other 69 44.93% 26.75 0.0 79.71%
4 Snake 1 0.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 357 42.7% 33.1 -2.168 78.15% -0.214 0.2599
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1063 30.23% 28.16 1.533 80.81% 0.17 -0.0184
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 3 0.0% 21.67 0.0 33.33%
5 Other 63 31.75% 29.37 0.0 84.13%
5 Thematic 11 36.36% 26.64 0.0 54.55%
6 Archipelago 484 0.83% 74.2 6.279 84.3% -0.152 -1.0769
6 Other 49 12.24% 62.88 0.0 87.76%
6 Star 10 0.0% 25.8 0.0 70.0%
6 Thematic 39 33.33% 19.85 -6.924 46.15% -0.266 0.3146
6 Two Centers (Default) 87 20.69% 25.64 1.871 64.37% 0.11 0.0873
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 3 0.0% 33.0 0.0 66.67%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1062 22.98 3.479 60.73% 0.171 0.4814
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1011 24.08 4.106 62.81% 0.461 0.4746
All Things Weaken 616 22.17 -2.376 58.93% -0.203 0.271
Attenuated Essence 124 23.39 4.474 61.29% 1.132 1.2788
Back Against the Wall 945 23.42 1.48 60.74% -0.251 -0.1221
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 141 20.94 1.371 57.45% 0.335 0.655
Burn Brightest Before the End 89 22.62 2.495 48.31% 0.38 0.5566
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1147 20.44 -2.003 59.2% -0.444 -0.0633
Downward Spiral 3501 20.37 -2.244 59.67% -0.015 0.1784
Erosion of Will 1147 21.8 -3.34 57.02% -0.652 -0.3141
Intensifying Exploitation 123 21.02 0.51 52.03% 0.435 0.7877
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 221 27.89 -5.987 85.97% -0.461 -0.8246
Memory Fades to Dust 3604 19.72 -0.867 54.5% -0.049 0.2802
Power Corrodes the Spirit 569 21.16 -0.055 57.64% -0.017 0.2498
Promising Farmlands 1222 21.13 -1.97 59.33% -0.381 0.0662
Shattered Fragments of Power 80 21.48 -7.991 55.0% -0.877 -0.8773
Slow Dissolution of Will 110 20.23 -1.232 50.91% -0.181 0.2298
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 153 29.83 5.65 92.16% 0.317 -0.2416
The Border of Life and Death 42 25.33 0.0 76.19%
Thriving Communities 588 20.15 -6.611 57.31% -1.299 -1.0218
Thriving Crops 57 27.14 8.325 70.18% 0.423 0.3275
Tipping Point 365 21.32 0.0 59.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 627 22.36 -0.243 54.39% -0.45 -0.2448
Untended Land Crumbles 598 21.62 -1.371 60.7% -0.318 -0.0192

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10942 36.85% 28.5 0.488 75.78% -0.114 0.8778
B 11255 35.29% 29.01 0.66 77.17% -0.225 0.6406
C 11513 34.98% 29.12 2.239 77.81% 0.415 1.1673
D 10758 34.64% 29.09 1.085 77.4% 0.087 1.0314
E 3998 34.02% 26.98 0.2 75.46% 0.024 0.7783
F 5218 34.32% 27.24 2.643 77.5% 0.331 1.2054
G 5207 33.74% 31.42 2.545 77.38% 0.156 1.0185
H 5273 30.72% 31.98 2.331 78.89% 0.011 0.8184
East 3742 41.11% 30.41 2.144 64.19% 0.45 1.1959
Northeast 2135 42.33% 30.34 -2.271 64.36% -0.727 0.166
Northwest 1638 40.71% 31.0 1.333 69.11% -0.373 0.3704
Southeast 605 33.55% 24.63 -3.397 55.37% -0.861 0.1474
Southwest 596 36.24% 20.94 -6.467 50.17% -1.316 -0.1594
West 3267 41.99% 29.23 -0.73 63.88% -0.583 0.3999

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 363 0.0% 24.56 -0.736 69.42% -0.284 0.436
Not Using Events or Tokens 9287 44.69% 23.36 -2.873 65.91% -0.862 -0.3871
Skip Initial Invader Actions 636 9.91% 37.89 3.766 86.64% 0.275 -0.5295
Start of Game Growth 886 12.61% 36.04 7.111 85.67% 0.627 0.0604
Unlimited Undo 2860 30.23% 27.32 -1.22 76.36% -0.035 -0.0079
Using Tokens but Not Events 4181 27.4% 34.01 2.276 80.15% -0.138 -0.1658

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9175 12.25 24.9%
II 17186 29.91 78.09%
III 15182 34.94 88.42%
IV 6398 38.9 99.17%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.875 Win Model: 0.362
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 32481 40.16% 26.29 71.52%
2 10256 36.9% 27.63 78.34%
3 2955 30.23% 28.59 81.73%
4 1512 33.15% 29.22 79.63%
5 73 24.66% 27.04 76.71%
6 664 6.02% 63.79 80.42%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2284
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13017
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 12607
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6290
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5072
Lose: Invader deck ran out 409
Lose: Adversary condition 200
Win: Sacrifice victory 152
Lose: Scenario condition 544
Win: Scenario condition 1125
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5977
Lose: Spirit destroyed 264

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5852 30.85% 30.7 -0.097 77.72% -0.227 -0.6451
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 274 27.14% 30.09 0.611 70.8% 0.241 -0.4148
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 43 30.23% 28.47 -3.619 67.44% -0.606 -0.7637
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 194 28.13% 32.66 5.592 82.47% 1.394 0.5338
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3283 57.59% 28.4 -2.603 72.43% -0.471 -0.333
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 233 37.34% 34.01 6.564 73.82% 0.48 -0.5497
Dances Up Earthquakes 225 46.67% 27.75 4.513 65.78% 0.279 0.2426
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2731 34.65% 31.71 1.0 81.25% 0.109 -0.2456
Downpour Drenches the World 776 34.11% 26.72 0.214 65.98% 0.179 0.3029
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1017 26.18% 31.34 1.912 77.58% 0.325 -0.2455
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3510 24.56% 34.76 4.654 87.01% 1.184 0.5382
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2690 30.88% 32.99 0.07 81.52% -0.017 -0.5113
Finder of Paths Unseen 420 46.43% 19.97 -11.799 46.43% -1.327 -0.7392
Fractured Days Split the Sky 933 39.76% 28.52 -2.921 60.45% -0.582 -0.1358
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1222 45.37% 28.4 -2.876 70.05% -0.366 -0.5508
Heart of the Wildfire 3791 64.94% 25.81 -1.426 65.47% -0.64 -0.497
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6383 39.29% 33.26 -0.514 84.07% -0.097 -0.7713
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 359 27.81% 27.65 -5.594 65.46% -0.908 -1.4361
Lightning's Swift Strike 4635 47.2% 27.99 -2.712 69.47% -0.645 -0.6125
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 330 46.18% 31.05 4.782 68.48% 0.199 -0.4537
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 525 37.28% 32.18 6.492 80.0% 0.878 0.382
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 501 37.8% 31.93 7.195 69.86% 0.648 0.4088
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2382 39.79% 31.96 1.881 77.5% 0.086 -0.3399
Many Minds Move as One 1408 29.83% 31.39 -0.84 80.33% -0.188 -0.6972
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5475 50.97% 28.39 -1.771 69.81% -0.635 -0.9048
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 340 59.76% 24.43 0.454 60.88% 0.263 0.1489
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2674 37.26% 30.43 1.395 78.61% -0.159 -0.4525
River Surges in Sunlight 5929 48.33% 30.54 0.438 70.62% -0.26 -0.4312
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 146 41.1% 26.67 -10.355 58.9% -1.548 -1.6593
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 675 50.3% 30.35 -0.163 68.44% 0.072 0.0067
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 457 42.44% 32.25 1.774 69.58% 0.031 -0.0991
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3727 39.73% 31.37 1.071 80.57% 0.22 -0.0446
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 116 26.09% 27.36 3.342 62.07% 0.583 0.1527
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3004 65.23% 25.68 0.285 61.82% -0.175 0.2537
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 109 52.29% 24.94 -11.732 56.88% -0.684 -0.6799
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 277 39.71% 31.95 5.023 70.76% 0.421 -0.3316
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 128 47.66% 27.83 0.0 69.53%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 393 48.21% 28.76 -4.054 73.28% -0.529 -0.7076
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 301 59.14% 27.1 -4.291 66.45% -0.538 -0.5807
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3559 36.47% 32.0 3.618 79.43% 1.068 0.7023
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 33 25.0% 30.39 5.505 75.76% 0.848 0.3067
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 359 26.3% 31.75 4.789 69.08% 0.825 0.5807
Shifting Memory of Ages 954 50.95% 25.77 -5.516 61.74% -0.798 -0.5032
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 197 40.61% 27.55 0.181 61.93% -0.189 -0.352
Shroud of Silent Mist 1119 55.14% 25.38 -2.028 65.95% 0.091 0.2729
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 42 50.0% 29.79 -0.579 73.81% 0.172 -0.2383
Starlight Seeks its Form 1295 40.03% 27.97 1.634 67.88% 0.553 0.3112
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2035 43.83% 26.44 -0.323 71.55% 0.158 -0.7947
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2179 45.06% 28.18 -0.697 70.35% -0.155 -0.1126
Thunderspeaker 5028 41.09% 30.8 1.566 74.09% 0.394 0.1992
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 237 33.33% 24.74 4.13 57.38% 0.301 0.1331
Towering Roots of the Jungle 412 41.99% 24.4 1.274 63.83% 0.293 0.1817
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1543 70.62% 24.81 -4.72 65.72% -0.191 -0.3423
Vital Strength of the Earth 4321 43.07% 25.75 -1.901 64.06% -0.622 -0.2633
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 272 37.04% 26.26 3.528 62.87% 0.377 0.6202
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 441 41.5% 24.09 -1.284 59.18% -0.219 0.4618
Volcano Looming High 1696 46.8% 27.65 -0.85 70.46% -0.003 -0.3275
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 575 33.57% 32.61 3.192 79.3% 0.881 0.3634

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 44 34.09% 22.75 0.0 54.55%
Blitz 0 1315 45.61% 22.96 -7.402 54.22% -1.275 -0.8429
Dahan Insurrection 4 796 30.77% 46.51 -3.525 68.59% -0.836 -0.8618
Despicable Theft 2 243 46.5% 25.64 7.119 48.56% 0.231 0.8904
Elemental Invocation 1 323 47.37% 23.59 -4.813 51.7% -0.774 -0.3266
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2497 18.05% 33.01 1.04 67.16% -0.287 -0.8862
Powers Long Forgotten 1 548 54.38% 24.47 -1.787 46.53% -0.189 0.4197
Rituals of Terror 3 442 48.64% 31.98 -2.246 50.9% -0.43 -0.3055
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 267 60.3% 31.09 -7.314 49.81% -1.434 -0.6957
Second Wave 0 2441 52.77% 30.6 2.825 69.07% 0.077 0.1833
The Great River 3 180 50.28% 23.86 -7.692 36.67% -0.902 0.2732
Varied Terrains 2 149 48.99% 18.79 5.326 31.54% 0.261 0.9971
Ward the Shores 2 590 48.64% 30.11 -5.692 56.61% -0.573 0.1092

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 35766 47.29% 27.7 0.003 70.03% 0.606 0.8306
1 Thematic 3830 51.95% 30.5 -1.378 59.09% 0.183 0.7328
2 Archipelago 22 72.73% 44.5 6.321 77.27% 0.183 -0.171
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9462 42.96% 29.04 0.204 74.95% 0.398 0.5095
2 Coastline 1102 41.86% 30.26 -0.25 76.77% 0.32 0.2307
2 Fragment 285 47.37% 28.62 -4.254 71.23% -0.444 -0.7827
2 Heart 147 43.45% 28.44 -9.438 68.03% -0.825 -1.1524
2 Opposite Shores 1670 41.97% 31.36 0.717 80.9% 0.248 0.2841
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 1416 49.5% 29.62 -3.508 58.69% -0.185 0.3438
2 Top to Top 319 45.25% 31.1 3.15 78.06% 0.334 0.1277
3 Archipelago 14 78.57% 39.71 0.0 78.57%
3 Coastline 34 39.39% 31.26 9.306 76.47% 0.121 -0.3997
3 Other 164 35.19% 31.4 -4.122 80.49% -0.245 -0.9869
3 Round (Default) 4067 36.02% 31.03 1.142 79.35% -0.06 -0.1558
3 Sunrise 29 41.38% 26.9 0.0 68.97%
3 Thematic 301 47.0% 34.36 -4.352 68.44% -0.501 -0.2586
4 Archipelago 20 50.0% 41.8 0.031 80.0% -0.381 -0.2997
4 Coastline 12 83.33% 36.42 0.0 83.33%
4 Leaf 15 46.67% 33.2 0.676 80.0% 0.071 -0.483
4 Other 84 35.37% 30.82 1.997 79.76% 0.228 -0.319
4 Thematic 473 43.35% 36.49 7.483 75.05% 0.732 1.205
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1759 32.95% 31.14 -0.429 82.43% -0.324 -0.5124
5 Archipelago 7 85.71% 33.71 0.0 42.86%
5 Coastline 1 100.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 88 40.91% 31.35 0.0 76.14%
5 Thematic 8 37.5% 20.75 0.0 37.5%
6 Archipelago 6 16.67% 65.33 14.179 83.33% 0.012 -0.913
6 Coastline 3 0.0% 17.0 0.0 33.33%
6 Other 45 37.78% 30.29 0.0 57.78%
6 Star 25 28.0% 25.48 0.0 56.0%
6 Thematic 106 25.96% 46.91 -0.134 73.58% -0.563 0.0177
6 Two Centers (Default) 143 28.26% 29.92 3.977 60.84% 0.064 0.0408
7 Other 9 12.5% 40.11 0.0 55.56%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1862 25.41 2.378 58.92% 0.414 0.725
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1561 27.35 -1.815 62.2% -0.705 -0.6923
All Things Weaken 1002 24.75 -0.575 56.89% -0.248 0.226
Attenuated Essence 204 24.59 -1.401 56.37% -0.319 -0.1724
Back Against the Wall 1552 27.21 -0.151 63.08% -0.263 -0.1341
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 245 22.31 -0.871 55.1% 0.047 0.3669
Burn Brightest Before the End 160 28.79 9.838 67.5% 0.384 0.5612
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1749 22.83 -2.054 57.23% -0.137 0.2435
Downward Spiral 4773 23.2 -1.309 59.56% -0.294 -0.101
Erosion of Will 1839 24.34 5.377 56.17% 0.884 1.2222
Intensifying Exploitation 242 22.99 -1.874 50.83% -0.14 0.213
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 424 31.98 3.795 87.97% 0.27 -0.0932
Memory Fades to Dust 4796 22.63 -0.319 54.75% -0.278 0.0517
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1077 24.81 -1.414 60.54% -0.17 0.0965
Promising Farmlands 1821 23.37 -2.674 57.33% -0.578 -0.1301
Shattered Fragments of Power 207 27.86 -4.675 60.39% -0.21 -0.2104
Slow Dissolution of Will 248 25.08 -3.847 54.44% -0.942 -0.5305
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 256 31.67 6.649 89.84% 0.696 0.1376
The Border of Life and Death 76 30.13 0.0 80.26%
Thriving Communities 979 23.89 -2.721 58.73% -0.754 -0.4768
Thriving Crops 94 27.99 5.887 70.21% 0.229 0.1333
Tipping Point 577 24.62 0.0 60.49%
Unnatural Proliferation 1024 25.82 2.33 59.08% 0.41 0.6144
Untended Land Crumbles 976 23.51 -0.305 56.97% -0.475 -0.1752

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14155 43.4% 28.86 0.356 73.69% -0.094 0.8979
B 14449 43.78% 28.92 0.055 73.87% -0.128 0.7369
C 14976 42.15% 29.12 -0.823 74.26% -0.317 0.4346
D 13806 44.34% 28.81 -0.1 73.82% -0.058 0.8867
E 5834 41.83% 29.24 1.033 73.26% 0.101 0.856
F 7608 40.02% 29.92 0.604 75.41% -0.114 0.7605
G 6707 42.28% 29.64 1.365 75.26% 0.082 0.9443
H 6767 41.19% 29.64 0.68 74.45% -0.116 0.6915
East 4079 47.79% 32.48 4.525 63.23% 0.562 1.3071
Northeast 2281 47.27% 33.82 2.434 65.67% -0.083 0.8106
Northwest 1837 50.11% 32.72 -2.334 62.77% -0.822 -0.0787
Southeast 776 42.75% 30.6 -3.703 60.44% -0.796 0.2132
Southwest 720 40.73% 29.02 -0.644 59.31% 0.067 1.2234
West 3547 50.68% 31.17 -2.933 60.87% -1.068 -0.0854

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 351 0.0% 28.34 -1.734 69.8% -0.567 0.1529
Not Using Events or Tokens 10179 50.56% 24.88 -0.62 63.0% 0.237 0.7117
Skip Initial Invader Actions 829 16.91% 42.14 4.257 84.32% 0.407 -0.3979
Start of Game Growth 1335 16.77% 40.62 8.706 83.07% 1.023 0.4562
Unlimited Undo 4720 38.1% 30.07 -0.728 74.49% -0.582 -0.5552
Using Tokens but Not Events 4867 37.16% 30.39 0.934 76.29% 0.422 0.395

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9369 12.25 6.25%
II 23347 29.91 71.82%
III 18994 34.94 88.46%
IV 9781 38.9 99.19%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.831 Win Model: 0.772
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 39998 47.68% 27.88 68.62%
2 14202 43.74% 29.75 74.97%
3 4541 36.46% 31.41 79.3%
4 2345 35.58% 32.42 81.19%
5 70 44.29% 28.63 64.29%
6 335 27.52% 35.82 64.18%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 585
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 16371
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 15992
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9629
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6458
Lose: Invader deck ran out 623
Lose: Adversary condition 255
Win: Sacrifice victory 245
Lose: Scenario condition 815
Win: Scenario condition 1037
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9064
Lose: Spirit destroyed 417

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5631 39.37% 36.83 2.898 75.1% 0.679 0.2615
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 300 39.0% 37.78 5.673 71.0% 0.849 0.1929
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 81 46.91% 31.35 -1.448 61.73% -0.518 -0.6762
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 412 32.52% 38.57 4.072 79.13% 1.133 0.2725
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3396 68.59% 32.59 -1.638 63.16% -0.607 -0.4694
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 350 42.29% 38.39 3.872 70.29% 0.721 -0.3088
Dances Up Earthquakes 276 50.36% 30.3 0.397 57.97% 0.424 0.3875
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3090 36.22% 39.57 0.342 81.49% 0.085 -0.2695
Downpour Drenches the World 944 43.43% 25.76 -6.521 49.89% -0.984 -0.8598
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1339 24.76% 37.6 6.432 75.35% 1.35 0.7798
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3338 40.06% 39.05 3.935 79.54% 0.891 0.2448
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2888 42.21% 37.97 1.196 76.66% 0.178 -0.3154
Finder of Paths Unseen 521 49.71% 28.8 -1.539 53.74% 0.035 0.6237
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1314 37.59% 33.78 -4.046 58.68% -0.739 -0.2921
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1783 45.23% 35.0 0.717 69.99% 0.245 0.0601
Heart of the Wildfire 4670 67.41% 32.75 -1.897 64.33% -0.402 -0.2587
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7402 50.78% 39.75 1.642 78.92% 0.559 -0.1156
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 681 17.62% 21.55 -0.015 42.29% 0.209 -0.319
Lightning's Swift Strike 4854 53.32% 36.03 -2.282 69.98% -0.582 -0.5493
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 527 44.59% 31.33 10.659 60.72% 0.443 -0.2088
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 795 39.02% 43.05 5.639 85.91% 0.291 -0.2042
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 580 40.34% 32.93 2.158 62.59% 0.109 -0.1306
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2928 46.85% 36.86 3.401 73.8% 0.619 0.1932
Many Minds Move as One 1406 42.7% 37.43 -0.019 77.31% 0.096 -0.4134
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5445 59.66% 32.62 0.779 64.06% 0.079 -0.1907
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 461 64.59% 24.32 -1.964 47.29% -0.147 -0.2612
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2812 40.11% 38.31 0.402 79.84% 0.094 -0.1995
River Surges in Sunlight 6005 57.03% 37.68 2.645 70.11% 0.351 0.18
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 136 54.41% 24.52 -5.009 41.18% -0.474 -0.5856
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1221 52.5% 31.11 2.373 59.13% 0.424 0.3588
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 567 50.81% 34.05 5.12 59.26% 0.716 0.5862
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3571 54.19% 35.16 -0.269 70.48% 0.127 -0.1372
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 157 43.31% 35.16 -1.44 68.15% -0.026 -0.4566
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2686 72.52% 32.02 -6.891 59.79% -0.909 -0.4806
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 93 39.78% 25.02 0.0 49.46%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 329 52.89% 35.73 -1.825 69.3% -0.695 -1.4482
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 141 41.84% 25.99 -13.529 51.06% -0.415 -0.7336
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 492 47.97% 37.95 4.174 76.83% 0.217 0.038
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 245 65.71% 33.19 -3.112 65.31% -0.015 -0.0579
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4163 39.51% 40.87 -4.219 80.54% -0.543 -0.9094
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 61 36.07% 32.39 0.199 67.21% -0.069 -0.6101
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 403 41.94% 34.81 7.905 68.73% 1.335 1.0911
Shifting Memory of Ages 922 63.34% 30.3 -0.884 60.41% -0.025 0.2694
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 241 46.06% 31.32 0.236 55.6% 0.208 0.0451
Shroud of Silent Mist 1197 62.71% 29.15 -2.934 59.06% -0.287 -0.1049
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 52 44.23% 32.29 -1.664 63.46% -0.128 -0.5382
Starlight Seeks its Form 1665 46.91% 34.82 -0.965 68.89% -0.201 -0.4428
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2838 53.46% 31.09 -4.76 66.91% -0.73 -1.682
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2530 48.15% 36.58 -3.238 73.0% -0.836 -0.7931
Thunderspeaker 4649 51.04% 37.13 0.928 71.03% 0.273 0.0777
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 246 34.96% 16.39 -3.838 32.11% -0.531 -0.6992
Towering Roots of the Jungle 526 50.38% 25.36 -4.286 52.09% -0.645 -0.7564
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2038 80.42% 32.8 -1.581 68.74% -0.055 -0.2058
Vital Strength of the Earth 3602 55.1% 30.16 -4.521 58.83% -0.948 -0.5892
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 406 40.8% 22.9 -6.56 44.58% -1.351 -1.1072
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 534 48.12% 29.96 -4.271 59.55% -0.636 0.0455
Volcano Looming High 1984 55.42% 35.01 -1.915 70.77% -0.275 -0.5991
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 899 31.92% 36.56 5.273 74.3% 1.309 0.7917

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 31 35.48% 20.0 -15.093 41.94% -0.853 -0.4826
Blitz 0 899 53.13% 30.2 -4.238 56.73% -0.661 -0.229
Dahan Insurrection 4 1183 21.22% 36.11 -3.113 46.49% -0.912 -0.9375
Despicable Theft 2 117 51.28% 29.55 -4.839 43.59% -0.679 -0.0197
Elemental Invocation 1 236 63.98% 26.93 -4.728 40.25% -0.974 -0.5262
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2570 23.62% 40.69 2.496 71.01% -0.023 -0.6221
Powers Long Forgotten 1 312 70.51% 33.02 9.432 50.96% 0.117 0.7257
Rituals of Terror 3 339 58.41% 34.8 5.932 44.84% 0.169 0.2934
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 117 58.97% 33.73 23.33 46.15% 0.477 1.2153
Second Wave 0 1730 62.13% 34.63 1.813 61.27% 0.089 0.1951
The Great River 3 128 64.06% 32.92 -8.52 42.97% -0.711 0.4639
Varied Terrains 2 90 50.0% 25.57 0.778 38.89% -0.1 0.6364
Ward the Shores 2 338 62.72% 35.39 -10.212 51.78% -1.081 -0.3982

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 43927 55.07% 34.79 -0.425 68.87% 0.149 0.3737
1 Thematic 2729 58.61% 37.49 4.043 59.07% 0.394 0.9444
2 Archipelago 40 67.5% 34.25 18.553 52.5% 0.208 -0.1459
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9997 51.5% 35.71 0.115 73.04% 0.033 0.1439
2 Coastline 1159 52.09% 37.81 0.587 75.24% -0.067 -0.1565
2 Fragment 227 60.62% 36.03 5.778 72.25% 0.467 0.1283
2 Heart 150 62.84% 36.31 -7.605 75.33% -0.687 -1.0144
2 Opposite Shores 1873 55.52% 36.78 1.391 74.59% 0.144 0.1808
2 Thematic 1048 53.87% 37.6 -1.841 61.26% -0.423 0.1052
2 Top to Top 330 56.36% 35.15 7.05 69.39% 0.207 0.0006
3 Archipelago 13 61.54% 44.38 0.0 69.23%
3 Coastline 52 34.62% 45.15 -0.563 90.38% 0.03 -0.4907
3 Other 158 45.57% 39.03 -3.44 81.01% -0.275 -1.0169
3 Round (Default) 3894 46.82% 37.3 -3.907 75.99% -0.999 -1.0955
3 Sunrise 17 41.18% 37.06 0.0 82.35%
3 Thematic 177 50.0% 38.53 -7.459 63.28% -0.138 0.1035
4 Archipelago 14 71.43% 43.5 0.0 85.71%
4 Coastline 5 60.0% 37.0 4.854 40.0% -0.158 0.1019
4 Leaf 9 88.89% 37.67 0.0 88.89%
4 Other 65 41.54% 39.55 3.434 83.08% 0.366 -0.1808
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 66.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 100.0% 30.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 308 42.11% 46.79 6.091 70.78% 0.432 0.9053
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1968 43.55% 39.3 4.257 81.15% 0.864 0.6756
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 5 0.0% 45.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 96 55.21% 39.05 -3.362 78.13% -0.137 -0.4637
5 Thematic 13 30.77% 40.0 0.0 69.23%
6 Archipelago 29 20.69% 58.34 0.0 79.31%
6 Coastline 2 50.0% 34.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 49 24.49% 32.94 0.0 61.22%
6 Star 18 22.22% 26.44 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 474 4.44% 4.28 -5.443 6.33% -0.42 0.1606
6 Two Centers (Default) 68 37.31% 33.44 0.0 66.18%
7 Other 5 60.0% 24.0 0.0 40.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2585 32.45 0.515 60.35% -0.048 0.2622
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2113 35.1 -2.594 65.4% -0.516 -0.5025
All Things Weaken 1410 30.64 0.589 55.74% 0.008 0.4816
Attenuated Essence 333 30.7 2.069 59.76% 0.232 0.379
Back Against the Wall 2017 33.79 1.496 61.58% 0.211 0.3406
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 376 30.56 1.949 57.18% -0.227 0.0927
Burn Brightest Before the End 242 33.14 3.423 61.98% 0.232 0.4094
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2523 29.04 -2.901 56.52% -0.303 0.0778
Downward Spiral 5606 30.86 -0.094 61.74% -0.013 0.1799
Erosion of Will 2541 30.96 -3.728 56.63% -0.778 -0.4398
Intensifying Exploitation 348 28.4 -5.28 53.45% -0.891 -0.5384
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 587 39.72 2.5 87.73% 0.389 0.0254
Memory Fades to Dust 5561 29.7 -3.834 56.64% -0.935 -0.606
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1518 32.25 -1.314 63.97% -0.426 -0.1591
Promising Farmlands 2568 30.08 -3.323 58.22% -0.513 -0.0657
Shattered Fragments of Power 225 33.04 -3.162 60.89% -0.676 -0.6766
Slow Dissolution of Will 282 29.91 2.325 52.84% 0.181 0.5924
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 397 40.61 4.051 89.67% 0.857 0.2988
The Border of Life and Death 83 39.35 5.259 85.54% 0.378 0.1328
Thriving Communities 1494 29.79 1.984 58.3% 0.798 1.076
Thriving Crops 133 33.73 -3.593 72.18% -0.329 -0.4243
Tipping Point 816 30.56 0.0 56.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 1510 32.79 0.521 61.66% -0.113 0.0919
Untended Land Crumbles 1403 30.15 -5.081 57.73% -1.014 -0.7143

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 15460 52.83% 35.37 -0.112 70.94% 0.169 1.1603
B 15733 51.77% 35.97 0.442 72.18% 0.114 0.9796
C 16803 52.65% 36.05 0.773 72.27% 0.17 0.922
D 15034 52.72% 35.39 -0.892 71.12% -0.209 0.7355
E 6972 51.57% 36.49 1.356 73.95% 0.36 1.1148
F 8740 49.15% 36.79 0.2 74.26% 0.044 0.9188
G 7342 52.84% 35.74 -0.239 71.77% 0.031 0.8937
H 7831 50.39% 36.69 0.552 73.78% -0.048 0.7595
East 3262 47.67% 34.56 0.515 54.14% 0.049 0.7943
Northeast 1999 43.2% 31.44 -3.933 49.12% -0.774 0.1188
Northwest 1591 40.63% 28.97 -0.576 45.51% -0.345 0.3978
Southeast 944 24.71% 22.55 0.092 37.5% 0.076 1.0849
Southwest 998 23.37% 20.14 -3.846 34.47% -0.734 0.4231
West 2872 46.07% 32.4 1.135 51.32% 0.069 1.0512

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 257 0.0% 34.53 3.443 64.59% 0.289 1.0091
Not Using Events or Tokens 8520 59.58% 30.03 -1.183 59.17% 0.218 0.6924
Skip Initial Invader Actions 735 14.06% 52.93 4.301 87.48% 0.39 -0.4152
Start of Game Growth 1129 19.44% 47.79 2.834 83.53% 0.083 -0.4835
Unlimited Undo 5524 46.38% 36.56 -1.729 72.07% -0.566 -0.5388
Using Tokens but Not Events 4940 39.86% 34.78 1.215 68.89% 0.412 0.3848

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11629 12.25 6.75%
II 28835 29.91 72.02%
III 19635 34.94 89.77%
IV 8880 38.9 99.68%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.244 Win Model: 0.279
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 46965 55.24% 34.9 68.18%
2 14645 52.76% 36.31 72.89%
3 4281 46.33% 37.49 75.73%
4 2356 44.1% 40.31 80.01%
5 91 46.15% 38.19 75.82%
6 641 11.11% 12.72 21.53%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 783
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 17280
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 19989
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8782
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7576
Lose: Invader deck ran out 414
Lose: Adversary condition 233
Win: Sacrifice victory 294
Lose: Scenario condition 602
Win: Scenario condition 902
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11564
Lose: Spirit destroyed 560

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3592 48.82% 36.35 -1.669 66.31% 0.033 -0.3845
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 175 49.14% 38.1 6.865 69.71% 1.029 0.3731
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 49 51.02% 36.29 2.04 69.39% 0.202 0.0441
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 279 48.39% 39.51 7.39 74.91% 1.582 0.7219
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2009 74.58% 31.66 -2.981 52.61% -0.487 -0.3491
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 287 52.96% 35.4 4.568 64.11% 0.308 -0.7214
Dances Up Earthquakes 186 69.35% 25.56 -2.823 45.7% -0.294 -0.3306
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2069 53.74% 38.65 1.958 72.64% 0.244 -0.1107
Downpour Drenches the World 541 49.81% 25.67 -1.39 45.47% -0.125 -0.0011
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 879 37.88% 39.79 0.779 75.77% 0.408 -0.1625
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2079 51.54% 39.22 1.726 71.72% 0.18 -0.4661
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1990 57.88% 38.42 0.794 71.11% 0.68 0.1859
Finder of Paths Unseen 327 57.49% 25.34 -0.982 44.34% 0.048 0.6367
Fractured Days Split the Sky 687 52.26% 31.91 -5.702 51.82% -0.617 -0.1699
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1134 55.91% 35.71 -3.573 65.61% -0.466 -0.6516
Heart of the Wildfire 2831 77.76% 31.47 -2.749 52.6% -0.474 -0.3312
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5773 61.48% 39.53 -0.063 72.39% 0.095 -0.5792
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 334 47.01% 35.02 0.938 63.47% 0.359 -0.1691
Lightning's Swift Strike 2907 63.98% 33.36 -3.376 57.0% -0.723 -0.6899
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 344 56.47% 37.72 3.711 66.28% 0.394 -0.2581
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 554 53.35% 41.1 -3.73 77.44% -0.113 -0.6088
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 405 51.36% 36.64 -1.561 61.73% 0.033 -0.206
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2203 62.44% 36.88 -2.933 67.0% -0.536 -0.9621
Many Minds Move as One 862 50.35% 37.05 -5.263 70.65% -0.498 -1.0072
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3628 67.68% 33.11 -0.571 56.95% 0.088 -0.1819
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 303 74.92% 25.3 -2.257 44.55% -0.604 -0.7178
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1952 53.08% 38.06 1.134 72.03% 0.365 0.0716
River Surges in Sunlight 3969 66.17% 36.73 0.849 60.09% 0.36 0.1887
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 58 67.24% 19.78 -5.858 27.59% -0.388 -0.4989
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 348 69.25% 33.51 1.687 53.45% 0.175 0.1094
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 340 61.18% 32.59 -2.006 52.06% -0.43 -0.5598
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2266 65.76% 33.55 2.734 59.22% 0.543 0.2784
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 93 60.22% 30.09 -6.746 50.54% -0.974 -1.4041
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1534 74.23% 30.32 -11.172 47.07% -0.627 -0.1988
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 71 66.2% 27.28 -11.122 46.48% -0.273 -0.2686
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 302 64.12% 35.95 5.354 65.23% 0.589 -0.1643
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 71 64.79% 29.34 0.0 52.11%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 313 67.41% 37.99 0.574 70.29% 0.379 0.2001
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 183 74.86% 34.64 0.0 57.38%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2837 50.69% 39.64 -3.821 70.22% -0.12 -0.486
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 35 68.57% 38.06 8.884 71.43% 0.757 0.2158
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 201 55.22% 32.36 -4.33 59.2% -0.147 -0.3911
Shifting Memory of Ages 533 70.86% 27.95 -5.837 45.4% -0.343 -0.0486
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 142 48.59% 30.27 -0.285 54.93% -0.439 -0.6023
Shroud of Silent Mist 715 74.09% 28.84 0.219 49.79% 0.017 0.1996
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 48 64.58% 33.9 4.496 64.58% 0.956 0.5463
Starlight Seeks its Form 1236 55.79% 31.94 3.799 56.63% 0.743 0.5012
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1664 67.88% 30.26 -6.151 57.39% -0.847 -1.7992
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1501 58.29% 36.66 -1.391 66.36% -0.15 -0.1072
Thunderspeaker 2826 61.67% 37.39 -2.295 63.59% -0.104 -0.2986
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 144 46.53% 21.1 -11.594 32.64% -0.377 -0.5458
Towering Roots of the Jungle 343 60.06% 24.79 -0.405 42.57% 0.421 0.3096
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1571 82.37% 28.84 -1.315 51.3% -0.461 -0.6119
Vital Strength of the Earth 1966 67.55% 27.85 -7.821 42.62% -1.497 -1.1389
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 230 55.07% 27.32 -2.573 43.91% -0.029 0.2144
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 314 63.69% 27.33 -0.681 41.72% -0.562 0.1192
Volcano Looming High 1267 62.83% 34.6 8.985 62.27% 0.861 0.5366
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 570 48.07% 37.2 0.929 71.05% 0.563 0.0454

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 11 27.27% 20.09 0.0 36.36%
Blitz 0 523 58.49% 32.54 6.028 47.42% 0.389 0.8207
Dahan Insurrection 4 499 44.69% 53.88 -1.045 65.73% -0.215 -0.2409
Despicable Theft 2 50 52.0% 29.64 -7.758 38.0% -0.296 0.3633
Elemental Invocation 1 152 66.45% 20.08 -13.424 25.66% -0.965 -0.5169
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1495 23.49% 41.32 5.909 65.42% 1.061 0.462
Powers Long Forgotten 1 236 65.25% 27.99 -7.579 37.29% -0.784 -0.1757
Rituals of Terror 3 195 65.13% 28.44 0.64 28.21% -0.219 -0.0949
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 125 76.8% 33.1 0.0 33.6%
Second Wave 0 1063 68.36% 34.68 5.363 54.47% 0.539 0.6452
The Great River 3 66 39.39% 24.05 -5.995 28.79% -0.726 0.4491
Varied Terrains 2 38 73.68% 20.58 0.0 21.05%
Ward the Shores 2 148 66.89% 32.53 -6.942 38.51% -0.637 0.0454

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 29980 63.99% 33.73 -0.186 60.0% 0.131 0.3559
1 Thematic 2070 63.41% 36.5 1.007 49.03% -0.093 0.4568
2 Archipelago 13 61.54% 40.54 0.0 46.15%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6380 62.34% 35.63 2.829 65.24% 0.894 1.0054
2 Coastline 825 56.08% 37.99 -2.715 71.39% -0.043 -0.1324
2 Fragment 155 65.16% 33.9 0.0 56.77%
2 Heart 123 70.25% 32.17 0.0 52.85%
2 Opposite Shores 1252 65.81% 35.06 -2.093 63.66% -0.504 -0.4677
2 Thematic 652 69.33% 35.14 2.318 46.01% 0.273 0.8018
2 Top to Top 194 71.5% 34.51 -17.585 63.92% -0.685 -0.8917
3 Archipelago 5 80.0% 54.8 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 18 50.0% 47.28 0.0 88.89%
3 Other 116 53.45% 37.84 25.685 67.24% 0.613 -0.1286
3 Round (Default) 2527 55.6% 37.58 -1.486 68.38% 0.033 -0.063
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 32.86 0.0 57.14%
3 Thematic 176 61.36% 32.35 0.953 44.32% 0.083 0.3251
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 16.33 0.0 33.33%
4 Coastline 5 20.0% 22.4 0.0 40.0%
4 Leaf 8 62.5% 36.75 0.0 75.0%
4 Other 65 47.69% 43.89 0.0 83.08%
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 50.0% 47.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 173 55.49% 35.9 2.206 45.09% -0.025 0.4489
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1134 54.17% 35.53 1.004 63.05% -0.122 -0.3104
5 Other 42 47.5% 29.07 0.0 40.48%
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 20.67 0.0 33.33%
6 Archipelago 10 0.0% 24.8 0.0 40.0%
6 Other 15 53.33% 36.53 0.0 46.67%
6 Star 18 33.33% 24.67 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 25 16.0% 13.6 -5.392 20.0% -0.46 0.1209
6 Two Centers (Default) 64 56.25% 33.11 -5.195 64.06% -0.088 -0.1113
7 Other 1 0.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2113 31.89 -0.167 50.5% -0.207 0.1032
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1608 34.84 -3.729 56.53% -0.176 -0.1629
All Things Weaken 1176 29.97 -3.183 47.11% -0.432 0.0416
Attenuated Essence 275 32.53 0.265 57.45% -0.304 -0.1569
Back Against the Wall 1619 34.18 1.958 54.79% 0.472 0.6014
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 282 27.61 -4.575 46.45% -0.654 -0.3336
Burn Brightest Before the End 201 32.1 -3.769 51.74% -0.189 -0.012
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2078 29.95 -3.181 51.44% -0.638 -0.2573
Downward Spiral 4019 30.33 -0.749 52.43% -0.029 0.1641
Erosion of Will 2184 30.88 0.126 47.94% -0.19 0.1473
Intensifying Exploitation 296 28.23 -5.436 49.66% -0.664 -0.311
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 379 43.04 -8.581 89.45% -0.503 -0.8659
Memory Fades to Dust 4097 29.33 0.662 47.5% 0.147 0.4764
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1171 30.44 2.98 52.09% 0.27 0.5363
Promising Farmlands 2157 29.86 -5.357 48.77% -0.938 -0.4902
Shattered Fragments of Power 206 33.41 5.145 56.8% 0.909 0.909
Slow Dissolution of Will 291 25.3 -0.25 37.46% -0.347 0.0642
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 234 42.89 3.794 89.32% 0.261 -0.2977
The Border of Life and Death 66 37.79 1.227 78.79% -0.135 -0.3798
Thriving Communities 1148 28.08 -1.944 45.21% -0.473 -0.1949
Thriving Crops 125 34.66 -3.796 70.4% -0.348 -0.4434
Tipping Point 662 31.51 0.0 50.0%
Unnatural Proliferation 1268 31.88 1.595 50.71% -0.132 0.0722
Untended Land Crumbles 1237 29.45 -1.372 48.02% -0.386 -0.0862

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10059 62.41% 34.25 -1.932 60.86% -0.191 0.8006
B 10573 61.95% 34.83 -0.041 62.38% 0.306 1.1708
C 10700 62.1% 35.13 -0.382 62.9% -0.115 0.6371
D 9482 61.08% 34.94 -0.093 63.04% 0.105 1.05
E 4806 60.92% 34.64 1.425 62.07% 0.14 0.895
F 5692 60.1% 35.44 1.473 64.69% 0.352 1.2266
G 5053 61.81% 34.53 -1.055 62.32% -0.137 0.7252
H 5357 59.73% 36.26 0.733 66.04% -0.081 0.726
East 1973 63.15% 36.47 -2.542 48.05% -0.431 0.3147
Northeast 1062 64.03% 36.19 -0.328 47.46% -0.203 0.6906
Northwest 869 67.17% 33.42 -1.572 42.0% -0.303 0.4402
Southeast 346 56.07% 31.72 -2.039 46.53% -0.384 0.6245
Southwest 362 45.86% 31.12 -2.69 50.28% -0.058 1.0987
West 1783 63.47% 34.31 -3.389 45.65% -0.775 0.2076

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 146 0.0% 38.04 13.082 63.7% 0.186 0.9062
Not Using Events or Tokens 5063 65.29% 28.07 -4.976 48.09% -0.53 -0.0551
Skip Initial Invader Actions 602 17.68% 55.14 8.155 87.54% 0.271 -0.5344
Start of Game Growth 1102 26.65% 45.26 0.502 76.32% 0.619 0.0528
Unlimited Undo 3593 55.76% 37.51 0.177 67.58% -0.03 -0.003
Using Tokens but Not Events 2492 54.83% 36.0 5.196 66.61% 1.243 1.2156

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8582 12.25 3.05%
II 17144 29.91 56.89%
III 15471 34.94 84.76%
IV 4888 38.9 99.65%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.424 Win Model: -0.292
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 32248 63.88% 33.87 59.17%
2 9517 63.5% 35.75 64.04%
3 2788 55.05% 37.71 68.47%
4 1366 53.53% 35.87 61.71%
5 36 44.12% 22.31 30.56%
6 130 41.54% 27.96 47.69%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 261
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12881
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9387
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4821
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5051
Lose: Invader deck ran out 404
Lose: Adversary condition 143
Win: Sacrifice victory 200
Lose: Scenario condition 447
Win: Scenario condition 450
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11617
Lose: Spirit destroyed 423

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1710 50.59% 38.21 5.103 61.35% 0.481 0.0635
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 105 40.63% 42.54 3.576 68.57% 0.064 -0.592
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 25 68.0% 41.76 7.765 68.0% 0.853 0.6951
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 160 35.63% 44.38 6.899 77.5% 1.343 0.4828
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 945 73.73% 31.2 -8.164 44.13% -0.95 -0.8123
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 147 51.7% 36.17 -7.598 61.22% -0.339 -1.3683
Dances Up Earthquakes 87 72.41% 27.68 -18.597 44.83% -0.593 -0.6292
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 893 54.43% 40.73 -5.378 68.65% -0.491 -0.8457
Downpour Drenches the World 271 46.49% 25.98 5.491 39.85% 0.327 0.4507
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 374 41.18% 42.47 5.652 74.06% 0.379 -0.1913
Eyes Watch From the Trees 959 57.44% 38.58 0.763 62.04% 0.269 -0.3773
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 924 60.5% 38.19 3.972 58.87% 0.489 -0.0052
Finder of Paths Unseen 261 52.11% 29.7 -5.257 50.19% -0.518 0.0703
Fractured Days Split the Sky 286 47.9% 33.53 2.499 49.3% 0.051 0.4977
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 529 53.12% 38.71 4.821 64.84% 0.825 0.6396
Heart of the Wildfire 1418 74.66% 32.79 -5.918 48.17% -1.085 -0.9417
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2536 63.69% 39.28 3.645 62.07% 0.757 0.0829
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 313 25.88% 48.98 4.634 82.11% 1.047 0.5192
Lightning's Swift Strike 1417 65.67% 34.66 -2.542 49.82% -0.431 -0.398
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 233 74.55% 35.46 -1.896 41.63% 0.113 -0.5397
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 287 48.78% 42.94 -9.006 73.17% -0.531 -1.0261
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 200 58.0% 40.11 0.0 61.0%
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 983 67.85% 36.38 1.65 55.34% -0.058 -0.4839
Many Minds Move as One 378 51.85% 39.42 0.581 66.4% -0.049 -0.5583
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1614 68.31% 34.63 -3.963 51.67% -0.393 -0.6622
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 140 74.29% 25.47 2.751 39.29% -0.015 -0.1294
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 929 54.53% 39.7 5.419 67.28% 0.513 0.2194
River Surges in Sunlight 1740 67.07% 36.39 -3.808 50.63% -0.595 -0.7662
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 35 48.57% 30.66 0.0 48.57%
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 135 69.63% 30.89 7.212 44.44% 0.626 0.5611
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 209 65.07% 33.83 4.797 38.28% 0.526 0.3958
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1032 65.33% 34.36 -7.404 51.65% -0.627 -0.8911
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 44 50.0% 33.25 9.314 52.27% 0.784 0.3539
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 736 73.23% 30.1 -14.555 38.18% -0.322 0.1061
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 47 58.7% 22.85 5.257 31.91% 0.039 0.0427
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 126 73.02% 33.92 0.0 53.17%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 34 52.94% 29.53 10.009 47.06% 0.225 -0.0935
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 112 62.5% 37.98 0.0 60.71%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 76 73.68% 25.58 -10.8 31.58% -0.219 -0.2623
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1652 45.04% 44.61 5.864 71.79% 1.475 1.1086
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 20 80.0% 38.55 -13.66 65.0% -0.333 -0.8741
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 101 47.52% 31.2 9.048 46.53% 0.228 -0.016
Shifting Memory of Ages 259 67.95% 27.97 -11.886 39.77% -0.251 0.0432
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 74 58.9% 41.96 11.632 72.97% 0.276 0.1132
Shroud of Silent Mist 353 77.05% 25.7 1.988 32.29% -0.105 0.0772
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 29 72.41% 33.24 -3.695 51.72% -0.447 -0.857
Starlight Seeks its Form 457 54.49% 32.81 1.802 54.92% 0.249 0.007
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 639 73.24% 27.0 -4.706 43.51% -0.597 -1.5489
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 764 63.6% 36.89 0.469 55.1% 0.124 0.1666
Thunderspeaker 1605 56.04% 37.51 1.212 56.64% -0.154 -0.3494
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 72 45.83% 15.32 -13.484 20.83% -0.829 -0.9978
Towering Roots of the Jungle 148 58.78% 23.56 -4.95 35.14% -0.734 -0.8449
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 828 82.95% 29.71 -5.597 46.14% -0.312 -0.4624
Vital Strength of the Earth 966 66.42% 29.32 1.558 38.72% 0.081 0.4397
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 138 60.8% 29.67 -2.883 42.03% -0.274 -0.0311
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 164 66.46% 32.35 -9.106 48.17% -1.279 -0.5976
Volcano Looming High 600 63.17% 34.8 -1.193 54.83% 0.053 -0.2715
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 289 50.52% 35.62 1.36 60.9% 0.509 -0.009

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 12 25.0% 30.17 -3.291 41.67% -0.034 0.3356
Blitz 0 351 59.59% 24.74 -0.033 32.76% 0.091 0.5231
Dahan Insurrection 4 269 48.33% 49.2 5.257 52.04% -0.101 -0.1272
Despicable Theft 2 52 51.92% 26.33 1.955 30.77% 0.059 0.7185
Elemental Invocation 1 69 55.07% 22.58 -7.271 23.19% -0.464 -0.0157
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1143 23.57% 47.14 2.718 70.87% 0.167 -0.4324
Powers Long Forgotten 1 94 73.4% 29.22 0.0 34.04%
Rituals of Terror 3 171 59.06% 29.15 0.254 25.73% -0.165 -0.0408
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 83 65.06% 37.31 0.0 39.76%
Second Wave 0 420 67.49% 36.75 2.347 51.43% -0.034 0.0725
The Great River 3 57 50.88% 24.75 -9.263 21.05% -0.765 0.41
Varied Terrains 2 39 64.1% 23.03 0.0 28.21%
Ward the Shores 2 100 62.0% 28.88 -7.824 30.0% -0.152 0.5304

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 14109 64.91% 33.52 -0.786 51.12% -0.097 0.1272
1 Thematic 1337 59.84% 37.46 -0.681 45.33% -0.082 0.4684
2 Archipelago 5 40.0% 19.8 0.0 20.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3272 64.18% 36.5 1.57 58.28% 0.411 0.5224
2 Coastline 326 63.58% 38.97 0.236 62.88% -0.088 -0.1776
2 Fragment 85 77.38% 32.56 0.0 45.88%
2 Heart 49 73.47% 37.69 0.0 59.18%
2 Opposite Shores 475 65.61% 37.91 0.112 60.42% -0.023 0.0138
2 Thematic 280 67.86% 34.39 3.827 38.57% 0.068 0.597
2 Top to Top 106 58.49% 34.6 0.0 49.06%
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 24 70.83% 49.42 0.0 75.0%
3 Other 40 72.5% 37.88 0.0 55.0%
3 Round (Default) 1125 56.66% 38.39 -0.081 62.84% 0.2 0.1043
3 Sunrise 7 71.43% 40.14 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 87 67.82% 26.25 0.0 25.29%
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 19.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 33.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 25 28.0% 53.4 0.0 92.0%
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 91 51.65% 39.6 0.0 46.15%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 586 39.62% 43.38 -0.029 70.48% -0.45 -0.6393
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 22 59.09% 29.14 0.0 45.45%
5 Thematic 8 37.5% 9.5 0.0 12.5%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 4 50.0% 28.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 5 0.0% 46.2 0.0 60.0%
6 Thematic 4 50.0% 37.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 22 54.55% 28.77 3.922 40.91% 0.047 0.0234
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1056 33.25 1.477 44.89% 0.039 0.3496
Aid From Lesser Spirits 787 35.16 -1.415 47.4% -0.127 -0.1138
All Things Weaken 588 30.71 0.577 39.46% 0.254 0.7281
Attenuated Essence 169 30.88 7.002 46.75% 0.903 1.0497
Back Against the Wall 726 35.44 -2.307 48.9% -0.413 -0.2832
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 146 32.45 -0.014 50.0% -0.004 0.3157
Burn Brightest Before the End 107 31.87 2.243 42.06% 0.027 0.2034
Disintegrating Ecosystem 988 29.72 1.23 41.4% 0.281 0.6614
Downward Spiral 2084 30.47 -1.58 42.75% -0.432 -0.2384
Erosion of Will 988 29.21 -9.664 35.02% -0.866 -0.5284
Intensifying Exploitation 146 24.88 -0.645 35.62% 0.025 0.3781
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 117 45.7 13.29 83.76% 0.514 0.151
Memory Fades to Dust 2073 29.24 -0.128 38.49% -0.447 -0.1177
Power Corrodes the Spirit 555 29.2 -3.927 39.82% -0.151 0.1156
Promising Farmlands 998 29.11 5.233 37.27% 0.319 0.7663
Shattered Fragments of Power 105 33.06 0.0 49.52%
Slow Dissolution of Will 131 22.9 2.592 27.48% -0.141 0.2701
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 92 43.64 -8.101 84.78% -0.251 -0.8092
The Border of Life and Death 17 31.0 -18.161 58.82% -0.557 -0.8025
Thriving Communities 562 27.05 4.661 34.52% 0.239 0.5169
Thriving Crops 46 34.37 9.117 65.22% 0.903 0.8078
Tipping Point 324 29.92 0.0 36.11%
Unnatural Proliferation 589 32.25 -3.639 43.63% -0.453 -0.2485
Untended Land Crumbles 570 31.15 3.632 42.98% 0.431 0.7302

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4735 61.51% 35.68 0.076 55.5% -0.065 0.9268
B 5057 60.6% 35.74 0.802 55.23% 0.102 0.9668
C 5120 63.02% 36.0 5.256 56.21% 1.168 1.9197
D 4485 61.81% 35.55 -2.931 55.61% -0.533 0.4121
E 2281 61.7% 36.32 -4.407 58.75% -0.895 -0.1405
F 2652 60.2% 35.91 -2.433 56.79% -0.552 0.3229
G 2348 60.26% 36.62 1.852 58.9% 0.214 1.0764
H 2528 61.85% 36.44 0.539 57.56% 0.142 0.9496
East 1132 62.01% 36.39 -4.963 41.17% -0.047 0.6987
Northeast 620 61.94% 35.09 4.744 39.19% 0.456 1.3488
Northwest 441 62.59% 34.15 -13.012 39.0% -0.495 0.2486
Southeast 202 54.46% 36.54 11.286 49.01% 0.446 1.4546
Southwest 190 54.74% 27.99 3.827 36.32% 0.068 1.2251
West 938 61.09% 34.97 -13.291 40.94% -0.373 0.6093

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 77 0.0% 43.47 3.576 68.83% 0.064 0.7841
Not Using Events or Tokens 2611 64.24% 29.71 -2.334 43.93% 0.121 0.5954
Skip Initial Invader Actions 301 14.95% 58.52 11.733 91.03% 0.466 -0.3388
Start of Game Growth 562 25.37% 47.95 9.099 76.87% 0.601 0.0345
Unlimited Undo 2050 59.41% 38.16 2.282 62.2% 0.674 0.7011
Using Tokens but Not Events 1227 58.9% 34.04 -1.088 53.46% 0.303 0.2762

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6234 12.25 7.22%
II 7567 29.91 54.37%
III 6141 34.94 81.55%
IV 2174 38.9 99.59%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.365 Win Model: 0.175
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 15526 64.42% 33.84 50.56%
2 4559 64.96% 36.7 57.38%
3 1262 57.74% 37.91 60.86%
4 704 40.8% 43.12 67.9%
5 28 57.14% 21.89 32.14%
6 37 43.24% 30.38 43.24%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 449
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4893
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3961
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2142
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2825
Lose: Invader deck ran out 164
Lose: Adversary condition 66
Win: Sacrifice victory 78
Lose: Scenario condition 311
Win: Scenario condition 214
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6754
Lose: Spirit destroyed 259

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 10584 46.3% 42.83 -2.242 62.42% -0.025 -0.4424
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 945 40.83% 37.27 7.49 54.07% 0.779 0.1225
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 153 39.22% 34.67 -0.753 54.25% -0.186 -0.3438
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 1191 41.93% 43.06 4.435 69.1% 0.832 -0.0281
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5111 75.88% 33.54 -3.584 44.22% -0.389 -0.2517
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 1732 63.76% 39.95 5.433 58.43% 0.815 -0.2143
Dances Up Earthquakes 716 67.74% 27.56 -3.234 39.25% -0.494 -0.5305
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5150 53.04% 43.34 1.837 67.28% 0.489 0.1341
Downpour Drenches the World 1839 50.84% 30.02 -2.575 40.67% -0.29 -0.1664
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 3895 38.67% 46.97 5.241 74.61% 0.842 0.2717
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5644 50.79% 39.81 1.494 60.17% 0.389 -0.2572
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4540 61.25% 41.35 -1.759 60.35% -0.236 -0.7296
Finder of Paths Unseen 1704 54.33% 36.71 0.221 54.46% 0.239 0.8278
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3340 49.39% 41.49 -4.193 55.12% -0.66 -0.2135
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 4414 58.38% 43.21 1.066 64.07% 0.433 0.2478
Heart of the Wildfire 8268 69.54% 37.42 -2.666 51.19% -0.261 -0.1183
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 15456 58.52% 43.56 -0.202 64.4% -0.109 -0.7831
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 1019 53.78% 36.1 1.456 53.29% 0.116 -0.4118
Lightning's Swift Strike 7012 63.22% 36.68 -2.722 50.14% -0.199 -0.1661
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 2367 66.08% 41.63 3.763 54.37% 0.683 0.0304
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 3075 53.59% 47.17 2.81 73.89% 0.698 0.2026
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1972 52.23% 46.28 -2.594 63.69% -0.426 -0.6659
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 6066 61.09% 40.54 1.066 59.1% 0.021 -0.4047
Many Minds Move as One 2486 47.64% 44.13 5.685 70.19% 0.895 0.3857
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9765 64.74% 35.51 -1.33 46.16% -0.192 -0.4612
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 1015 71.1% 24.23 -3.466 32.51% -0.234 -0.3478
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5562 50.14% 44.94 5.466 71.5% 1.36 1.0662
River Surges in Sunlight 9189 62.02% 42.62 -2.425 56.24% -0.458 -0.6286
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 219 58.45% 29.1 -2.452 37.9% 0.165 0.0541
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 811 65.06% 33.11 5.367 39.21% 0.772 0.7064
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1617 60.29% 36.58 0.992 45.21% 0.199 0.0687
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7758 55.18% 38.72 -7.531 55.32% -0.916 -1.1799
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 357 54.06% 36.45 3.066 53.78% 0.705 0.2744
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2563 71.42% 32.0 -11.85 37.77% -1.053 -0.6248
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 251 74.1% 28.63 0.0 36.25%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 1232 67.56% 33.88 -0.998 48.38% -0.22 -0.9724
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 223 69.06% 34.16 -6.589 45.74% -0.273 -0.5919
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 1346 61.96% 41.84 5.715 58.32% 0.386 0.207
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 581 69.19% 36.19 -7.412 45.09% -0.368 -0.4104
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6249 49.34% 45.04 -1.942 67.1% -0.15 -0.5163
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 163 68.71% 32.64 -3.149 49.69% -0.415 -0.956
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 995 51.46% 31.78 -2.661 46.53% -0.617 -0.8618
Shifting Memory of Ages 1729 69.24% 32.25 -4.245 39.33% -0.204 0.0906
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 536 50.47% 33.44 -0.361 44.22% -0.163 -0.3259
Shroud of Silent Mist 1781 75.08% 29.49 -2.481 39.58% -0.343 -0.1608
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 185 60.0% 30.23 2.72 45.95% 0.474 0.0639
Starlight Seeks its Form 4795 56.02% 39.19 -0.487 57.29% 0.081 -0.1616
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6287 68.03% 31.96 -2.886 44.08% -0.406 -1.3582
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4612 57.53% 42.36 -2.955 62.49% -0.198 -0.1558
Thunderspeaker 5628 62.35% 37.71 -3.869 51.26% -0.559 -0.7544
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 411 55.23% 22.74 1.966 31.87% 0.223 0.0548
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1379 60.19% 23.88 -5.342 34.45% -0.549 -0.66
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 5833 81.56% 36.99 -3.04 54.4% 0.014 -0.137
Vital Strength of the Earth 3591 59.79% 30.75 -5.996 38.37% -0.791 -0.4329
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 906 53.22% 32.35 -1.926 44.48% -0.222 0.0212
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 1103 63.91% 31.1 -5.543 39.35% -0.511 0.1708
Volcano Looming High 5306 61.76% 41.15 0.512 61.97% 0.204 -0.1201
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 2166 53.74% 39.02 3.895 60.06% 0.678 0.1604

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 46 69.57% 38.26 -13.47 39.13% -0.676 -0.306
Blitz 0 931 54.45% 38.36 -3.605 49.41% 0.158 0.5896
Dahan Insurrection 4 1324 44.36% 53.87 9.352 54.61% 0.789 0.7631
Despicable Theft 2 96 60.42% 29.06 20.042 29.17% 0.374 1.034
Elemental Invocation 1 182 67.4% 28.12 -18.668 28.57% -0.939 -0.4916
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 10408 23.08% 52.75 9.649 71.99% 1.495 0.8954
Powers Long Forgotten 1 234 63.79% 28.36 -11.021 26.5% -0.384 0.2241
Rituals of Terror 3 482 46.47% 31.36 11.709 21.58% 0.602 0.7263
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 107 79.44% 33.67 0.0 28.04%
Second Wave 0 1052 75.36% 37.22 -9.527 46.48% -0.799 -0.6925
The Great River 3 126 45.24% 20.91 -3.529 11.9% -0.36 0.8148
Varied Terrains 2 171 61.99% 22.81 0.0 19.3%
Ward the Shores 2 279 71.58% 32.25 0.0 29.03%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 101712 63.3% 37.32 0.456 53.98% 0.43 0.6541
1 Thematic 3643 51.23% 42.05 1.946 49.77% -0.013 0.5373
2 Archipelago 74 61.64% 32.91 0.0 32.43%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13690 63.75% 39.82 -0.456 58.74% 0.164 0.2755
2 Coastline 2040 61.32% 40.25 -4.531 59.02% -0.215 -0.3047
2 Fragment 363 68.32% 42.9 -13.713 65.01% -0.586 -0.9245
2 Heart 253 78.26% 41.67 12.021 50.59% 0.854 0.5272
2 Opposite Shores 3269 59.35% 37.45 -0.667 51.36% 0.304 0.3407
2 Thematic 729 63.64% 39.53 -5.456 38.0% -0.522 0.0068
2 Top to Top 632 62.32% 38.89 -2.557 56.01% 0.055 -0.1516
3 Archipelago 20 60.0% 68.6 0.0 85.0%
3 Coastline 100 33.0% 48.97 0.0 74.0%
3 Other 145 66.9% 43.32 10.626 64.83% 0.397 -0.3454
3 Round (Default) 5553 54.65% 40.68 -1.726 59.79% -0.178 -0.2736
3 Sunrise 30 66.67% 44.03 0.0 60.0%
3 Thematic 194 64.74% 45.32 2.024 42.27% -0.897 -0.6555
4 Archipelago 16 37.5% 57.94 0.0 56.25%
4 Coastline 28 10.71% 53.5 0.0 82.14%
4 Leaf 13 76.92% 17.77 0.0 15.38%
4 Other 254 34.25% 52.77 7.428 83.86% 0.594 0.0468
4 Thematic 1323 31.36% 59.9 1.881 75.59% 0.44 0.913
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4129 44.47% 37.93 -0.036 54.9% 0.048 -0.141
5 Archipelago 17 64.71% 28.94 0.0 23.53%
5 Coastline 36 5.56% 49.25 0.0 77.78%
5 Other 154 60.4% 49.27 5.372 77.27% 0.376 0.0497
5 Thematic 28 39.29% 39.68 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 24 4.17% 54.46 6.658 66.67% -0.347 -1.2718
6 Coastline 15 13.33% 41.8 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 57 32.14% 38.67 0.0 52.63%
6 Star 53 24.53% 34.55 0.0 41.51%
6 Thematic 576 69.74% 51.62 0.726 70.31% 0.126 0.7061
6 Two Centers (Default) 207 32.2% 38.05 -11.021 52.66% -0.384 -0.4072
7 Archipelago 3 0.0% 14.33 -14.504 0.0% -0.266 0.1405
7 Other 4 0.0% 0.0 -8.444 0.0% -0.396 -0.6516

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 6247 34.49 -2.516 43.51% -0.545 -0.234
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4925 39.12 4.749 51.72% 0.458 0.4714
All Things Weaken 4174 34.21 1.231 43.39% -0.144 0.3298
Attenuated Essence 1282 32.3 -1.56 44.31% -0.46 -0.3132
Back Against the Wall 4591 38.35 1.956 49.64% -0.04 0.0896
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1321 29.75 -2.357 40.12% -0.765 -0.4445
Burn Brightest Before the End 777 33.95 -4.76 45.05% -1.221 -1.044
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6256 32.2 -0.677 43.41% 0.005 0.3857
Downward Spiral 9750 32.44 -2.709 43.64% -0.482 -0.2885
Erosion of Will 6238 33.19 -1.513 40.73% -0.458 -0.1197
Intensifying Exploitation 1256 28.21 -3.102 38.06% -0.382 -0.0297
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1072 47.21 0.152 80.69% 0.193 -0.1707
Memory Fades to Dust 9799 31.85 -1.713 39.6% -0.309 0.0198
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4160 33.58 -0.867 44.28% -0.385 -0.118
Promising Farmlands 6146 32.51 -2.202 42.14% -0.595 -0.147
Shattered Fragments of Power 817 35.33 3.918 46.51% 0.336 0.3358
Slow Dissolution of Will 1234 29.52 -0.495 36.22% -0.514 -0.1027
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 732 49.77 4.805 85.66% 0.773 0.2141
The Border of Life and Death 220 40.6 -2.144 67.27% -0.061 -0.3066
Thriving Communities 4012 32.18 -0.751 42.27% -0.265 0.0127
Thriving Crops 401 34.82 6.375 57.86% 0.836 0.7404
Tipping Point 1597 32.82 0.0 40.08%
Unnatural Proliferation 4392 36.24 2.463 46.49% 0.088 0.293
Untended Land Crumbles 3988 33.06 -2.931 42.98% -0.329 -0.0295

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 28436 59.09% 38.05 -0.996 54.78% -0.376 0.6159
B 28767 59.32% 37.41 -0.693 53.68% -0.312 0.5527
C 31085 62.66% 37.5 -0.923 53.49% -0.377 0.3747
D 25812 61.81% 37.33 -1.011 53.56% -0.431 0.5139
E 16373 60.73% 38.91 0.751 57.08% -0.091 0.664
F 18284 56.63% 40.86 -0.184 60.92% -0.269 0.605
G 15879 58.45% 39.45 0.391 58.08% -0.293 0.5696
H 16235 59.3% 39.13 0.642 57.91% -0.18 0.6273
East 4595 48.98% 49.38 3.544 59.06% -0.416 0.3298
Northeast 3030 48.67% 51.4 5.878 61.32% 0.784 1.6768
Northwest 2692 49.76% 47.88 -1.824 57.91% -0.596 0.1472
Southeast 1318 54.52% 49.54 -1.551 65.63% -0.273 0.7362
Southwest 1245 59.02% 48.03 -2.178 64.66% -0.202 0.9543
West 4166 49.87% 47.62 -1.217 57.39% -0.534 0.4486

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 768 0.0% 36.88 -8.984 53.91% -0.738 -0.0179
Not Using Events or Tokens 8983 64.67% 29.4 -1.299 38.86% -0.391 0.0838
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3850 18.47% 61.45 6.74 83.01% 0.217 -0.5875
Start of Game Growth 5282 21.19% 58.64 7.367 80.94% 1.096 0.5298
Unlimited Undo 14656 48.85% 43.89 0.745 66.41% 0.186 0.2132
Using Tokens but Not Events 6935 52.5% 39.39 -2.611 55.31% -0.544 -0.5715

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 40253 12.25 7.03%
II 43689 29.91 57.33%
III 43118 34.94 84.29%
IV 12396 38.9 99.8%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.025 Win Model: 0.374
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 105859 62.88% 37.51 53.83%
2 20750 62.98% 39.6 56.96%
3 5981 54.9% 40.85 59.66%
4 5748 40.88% 43.6 60.86%
5 179 45.71% 45.94 68.16%
6 939 54.33% 46.85 64.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2823
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 35719
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 24215
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 12234
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 20052
Lose: Invader deck ran out 964
Lose: Adversary condition 690
Win: Sacrifice victory 654
Lose: Scenario condition 2070
Win: Scenario condition 946
Lose: Unique spirit condition 1
Lose: Blight pool ran out 37444
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1644

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)