The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5887 26.09% 22.85 -0.847 79.41% -0.1 -0.1943
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 76 15.79% 22.25 3.807 65.79% 0.671 0.163
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3926 47.22% 21.82 0.491 75.32% 0.184 0.3815
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 119 22.69% 27.18 8.292 73.95% 1.242 0.3689
Dances Up Earthquakes 73 28.77% 19.79 0.872 63.01% 0.139 0.0002
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2773 26.1% 24.89 1.565 85.39% 0.486 0.2637
Downpour Drenches the World 527 25.43% 17.7 -0.651 56.17% -0.391 -0.085
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 493 22.31% 20.98 1.479 63.08% 0.482 -0.0726
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3208 17.04% 27.37 1.837 88.68% 0.361 -0.0661
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2887 23.07% 25.84 1.774 86.25% 0.104 -0.3098
Finder of Paths Unseen 281 32.86% 12.89 -6.207 37.72% -1.738 -1.0826
Fractured Days Split the Sky 693 34.34% 20.79 -4.786 58.15% -1.642 -1.096
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 918 39.32% 21.81 -0.386 66.67% -0.3 -0.3847
Heart of the Wildfire 3898 56.37% 20.29 -0.829 70.27% -0.157 0.1589
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5319 27.76% 26.17 1.485 87.89% 0.353 -0.0904
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 126 23.2% 24.52 3.673 67.46% 0.604 0.3111
Lightning's Swift Strike 5809 41.86% 21.73 -0.05 72.92% 0.071 0.3327
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 194 30.21% 24.4 1.827 72.16% 0.559 0.2311
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 417 31.49% 25.25 2.029 79.38% -0.018 -0.3933
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 356 36.34% 22.93 -0.875 72.19% -0.109 -0.0092
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1633 32.54% 25.2 2.121 78.69% 0.268 0.0692
Many Minds Move as One 1154 23.95% 25.31 1.652 82.15% 0.331 0.1167
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5879 41.18% 22.66 -2.18 77.05% -0.589 -0.4414
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 61 52.46% 16.93 -0.028 62.3% 0.24 0.2849
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2564 28.93% 23.76 0.2 81.2% 0.13 0.0275
River Surges in Sunlight 6898 38.49% 24.31 0.129 74.15% -0.025 -0.0279
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 59 20.34% 20.05 0.89 57.63% 0.24 0.5287
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 562 37.54% 24.25 -0.004 72.78% -0.021 0.1818
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 236 36.48% 22.22 0.027 63.14% -0.16 -0.3733
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3344 35.6% 22.19 0.292 78.8% 0.434 0.2764
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 20 20.0% 24.0 1.636 70.0% 0.02 -0.363
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4332 52.64% 21.18 -1.584 69.81% -0.405 0.1708
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 105 36.19% 20.68 -0.945 57.14% -0.496 -0.5561
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 102 29.7% 22.76 0.68 70.59% 0.05 -0.3782
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 100 33.0% 22.1 6.569 67.0% 0.502 0.5077
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 314 37.26% 23.78 1.371 77.71% 0.152 0.0932
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 269 42.01% 23.1 -0.482 74.35% -0.187 0.0193
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3470 29.3% 25.35 2.749 82.45% 0.561 0.5931
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 174 21.76% 20.39 1.878 62.07% 0.439 0.2937
Shifting Memory of Ages 748 46.17% 19.64 -0.739 62.83% -0.551 -0.2258
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 79 25.32% 19.14 -0.467 56.96% -0.355 -0.3072
Shroud of Silent Mist 836 46.93% 20.0 -0.096 66.63% 0.193 0.5605
Starlight Seeks its Form 1228 22.0% 24.73 1.266 73.78% 0.483 0.4164
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1880 27.83% 23.41 0.388 81.65% 0.449 -0.0343
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2241 33.0% 22.68 -1.532 76.8% -0.266 -0.1066
Thunderspeaker 5387 30.01% 24.89 -0.649 78.5% -0.266 -0.2361
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 126 28.0% 16.7 -2.325 46.83% -0.671 -0.4801
Towering Roots of the Jungle 197 28.43% 17.91 0.422 58.38% 0.229 0.3744
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1489 55.5% 19.44 0.787 70.38% 0.473 0.4926
Vital Strength of the Earth 5791 32.69% 20.53 -2.199 69.82% -0.656 -0.0746
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 184 25.82% 17.43 -2.288 51.63% -0.648 -0.1644
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 333 27.96% 17.71 -1.652 59.76% -0.611 0.0083
Volcano Looming High 1211 36.84% 22.24 3.951 71.02% 0.575 0.6107
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 226 22.12% 22.38 2.917 65.49% 0.518 0.201

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 23 13.04% 21.43 6.592 69.57% 0.555 0.5991
Blitz 0 1121 37.6% 18.68 -3.768 62.71% -1.023 -0.8083
Dahan Insurrection 4 916 22.76% 40.67 3.019 71.62% -0.452 -0.7405
Despicable Theft 2 203 30.05% 19.91 0.176 46.8% -0.603 0.107
Elemental Invocation 1 240 38.75% 19.85 -0.665 55.0% -0.514 0.1874
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2264 8.63% 28.5 1.72 77.43% -0.005 -0.6054
Powers Long Forgotten 1 532 43.61% 24.08 -7.124 63.16% -1.872 -1.0344
Rituals of Terror 3 644 40.47% 28.93 0.605 59.32% -0.455 -0.3944
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 358 58.1% 27.77 0.267 56.15% -0.827 0.1595
Second Wave 0 985 54.4% 25.49 3.577 69.75% 0.273 0.5233
The Great River 3 199 38.69% 20.46 -3.042 38.69% -0.939 0.127
Varied Terrains 2 168 28.57% 14.43 -5.04 36.31% -1.488 -0.6589
Ward the Shores 2 617 36.04% 26.02 -4.044 63.21% -1.283 -0.0994

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 40676 38.86% 22.34 0.017 75.06% 0.726 0.9993
1 Thematic 4629 39.88% 28.1 0.914 69.09% 0.35 0.9247
2 Archipelago 25 32.0% 32.76 0.0 76.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9283 33.77% 22.2 -0.314 77.23% 0.284 0.3525
2 Coastline 825 31.99% 22.85 1.316 79.15% 0.624 0.4053
2 Fragment 194 37.7% 21.79 -0.457 80.41% 0.095 -0.1715
2 Heart 139 55.47% 20.11 -0.388 69.78% -0.036 -0.5066
2 Opposite Shores 1054 33.17% 22.83 0.756 82.07% 0.21 0.1883
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 1088 37.2% 27.96 -1.231 67.92% -0.276 0.0975
2 Top to Top 211 34.29% 21.52 0.766 78.67% 0.719 0.4615
3 Archipelago 17 58.82% 26.29 -9.422 64.71% -0.453 -1.3762
3 Coastline 26 34.62% 19.81 0.0 57.69%
3 Other 101 38.61% 19.06 -0.118 67.33% 0.086 -0.6782
3 Round (Default) 3012 28.68% 23.61 -0.257 82.14% -0.114 -0.2673
3 Sunrise 10 20.0% 25.2 4.957 90.0% 0.72 0.6416
3 Thematic 268 34.7% 26.67 -0.885 66.04% -0.271 -0.4189
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 32.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Coastline 6 16.67% 10.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 8 25.0% 23.63 0.0 87.5%
4 Other 49 32.65% 17.61 -4.087 65.31% -0.624 -1.3082
4 Thematic 726 30.43% 28.49 0.137 86.91% -0.081 -0.2587
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1514 23.6% 21.93 -0.119 76.49% -0.803 -1.1328
5 Other 52 38.46% 25.08 0.0 73.08%
5 Thematic 9 33.33% 32.56 0.0 88.89%
6 Other 11 45.45% 20.73 1.174 63.64% -0.009 -0.4258
6 Star 7 0.0% 22.86 0.0 71.43%
6 Thematic 62 6.67% 21.4 1.532 50.0% -0.506 -0.5548
6 Two Centers (Default) 81 19.75% 16.93 -2.657 54.32% -0.139 0.0756
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -11.127 0.0% -0.547 -0.6674
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 7 0.0% 30.0 6.027 57.14% 0.018 -1.0636

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1371 18.02 1.251 59.45% 0.251 0.3229
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1216 19.45 0.202 59.29% 0.023 -0.0477
All Things Weaken 698 17.84 0.259 55.01% -0.192 0.0672
Attenuated Essence 122 18.45 0.989 54.92% 0.019 -0.0173
Back Against the Wall 1206 19.01 0.849 58.04% -0.046 0.0078
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 80 18.61 1.32 53.75% -0.185 -0.0396
Burn Brightest Before the End 54 18.85 1.223 55.56% -0.049 -0.0325
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1381 15.65 -0.53 54.74% -0.061 0.1269
Downward Spiral 5141 16.16 -1.178 59.62% -0.07 0.0042
Erosion of Will 1427 17.93 0.899 57.53% 0.456 0.6102
Intensifying Exploitation 98 17.54 -2.072 48.98% -0.929 -0.7931
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 263 23.68 3.594 85.55% 0.953 0.339
Memory Fades to Dust 5240 15.7 -0.936 55.61% -0.149 0.0537
Power Corrodes the Spirit 686 18.71 0.278 61.22% -0.323 -0.1485
Promising Farmlands 1448 17.0 -2.21 59.46% -0.727 -0.5286
Shattered Fragments of Power 76 22.92 2.978 59.21% 0.132 0.1343
Slow Dissolution of Will 89 17.71 -2.277 48.31% -0.64 -0.342
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 215 23.93 3.436 87.91% 0.772 0.0752
The Border of Life and Death 28 23.68 0.0 67.86%
Thriving Communities 694 17.41 -0.831 56.2% -0.217 -0.0604
Thriving Crops 38 20.24 3.606 68.42% 0.284 -0.0285
Tipping Point 504 16.8 0.0 60.52%
Unnatural Proliferation 690 19.46 -1.945 58.99% -0.704 -0.5958
Untended Land Crumbles 725 17.61 -1.458 57.38% -0.717 -0.5348

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14168 37.21% 21.8 -0.917 75.49% -0.833 0.142
B 14469 35.88% 22.09 -0.34 75.93% -0.62 0.2692
C 14843 35.26% 22.24 -0.63 76.3% -0.8 -0.1076
D 14109 35.24% 22.29 0.277 76.75% -0.419 0.4761
E 4544 32.27% 23.14 0.566 75.68% -0.634 0.0958
F 6588 32.75% 23.18 0.761 78.08% -0.701 0.1301
G 6082 33.27% 22.67 0.624 77.24% -0.374 0.4059
H 6332 32.65% 23.28 -0.104 78.51% -0.689 0.0939
East 4373 36.15% 28.64 0.023 72.19% -0.976 -0.1663
Northeast 2646 34.83% 28.65 0.298 73.7% -0.775 0.023
Northwest 2107 34.87% 28.19 1.426 73.99% -0.438 0.2957
Southeast 667 32.78% 24.86 -1.065 65.22% -0.883 0.01
Southwest 598 31.38% 21.37 -1.022 62.21% -0.397 0.861
West 3866 37.51% 27.51 -0.334 70.82% -0.91 0.0877

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 635 0.0% 19.74 -1.502 62.99% -0.526 0.1416
Not Using Events or Tokens 15772 43.9% 19.87 -1.923 68.45% -0.428 -0.0076
Skip Initial Invader Actions 949 9.65% 34.15 2.574 90.31% 0.433 -0.3356
Start of Game Growth 1451 14.18% 30.91 0.437 86.77% -0.171 -0.6087
Unlimited Undo 3568 27.32% 25.3 0.764 81.45% 0.287 0.2217
Using Tokens but Not Events 4655 28.57% 24.56 1.115 81.5% 0.501 0.4583

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10503 13.76 26.96%
II 22257 30.19 76.81%
III 21030 34.82 86.34%
IV 10374 38.63 99.12%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.235 Win Model: 1.18
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 45804 38.88% 22.85 74.07%
2 12515 34.4% 23.02 78.17%
3 3343 29.17% 23.79 80.95%
4 2295 26.25% 23.95 79.96%
5 67 13.43% 15.52 38.81%
6 139 16.91% 22.37 64.03%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2826
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 17652
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 16181
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10188
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5696
Lose: Invader deck ran out 861
Lose: Adversary condition 358
Win: Sacrifice victory 230
Lose: Scenario condition 573
Win: Scenario condition 1290
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7890
Lose: Spirit destroyed 419

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4143 25.61% 31.44 1.55 79.63% 0.198 0.1043
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 75 21.33% 24.2 -3.021 66.67% -0.654 -1.1617
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2398 50.0% 27.0 -0.459 75.48% 0.138 0.3353
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 115 21.74% 33.37 7.403 80.0% 1.169 0.2959
Dances Up Earthquakes 48 39.58% 25.77 2.549 66.67% 0.253 0.1139
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1958 28.2% 29.54 -0.09 84.42% -0.134 -0.3563
Downpour Drenches the World 428 25.36% 22.28 0.286 63.08% 0.169 0.4746
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 418 20.34% 28.4 4.951 77.51% 0.82 0.2651
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2479 18.52% 33.08 5.096 90.28% 1.285 0.858
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2211 21.77% 37.07 4.174 86.75% 0.461 0.0477
Finder of Paths Unseen 241 35.0% 19.6 -5.654 45.23% -0.809 -0.154
Fractured Days Split the Sky 555 32.31% 26.96 -2.874 65.59% -0.813 -0.2679
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 643 38.88% 25.51 1.094 67.19% -0.083 -0.1676
Heart of the Wildfire 2652 56.79% 26.36 -1.765 75.45% -0.303 0.0127
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4018 35.27% 30.24 -0.409 86.06% -0.248 -0.6919
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 128 25.78% 27.48 -0.274 69.53% -0.107 -0.4
Lightning's Swift Strike 3640 39.41% 28.04 -0.029 77.2% 0.204 0.4665
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 474 10.55% 57.45 5.415 78.27% 0.332 0.0044
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 297 32.32% 30.26 -0.988 81.48% -0.197 -0.5731
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 306 33.66% 29.13 5.736 77.78% 1.063 1.1624
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1243 35.27% 29.52 2.414 81.01% 0.925 0.7264
Many Minds Move as One 934 25.99% 29.01 0.892 80.62% 0.287 0.0728
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3819 39.8% 31.42 0.039 78.03% -0.268 -0.1202
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 60 48.33% 23.03 0.198 66.67% 0.034 0.0784
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2139 29.38% 35.45 3.239 82.89% 0.159 0.0567
River Surges in Sunlight 4721 38.15% 32.26 2.658 76.78% 0.336 0.3339
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 40 40.0% 22.77 -0.664 62.5% -0.305 -0.0164
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 374 45.31% 26.45 -5.091 67.38% -1.555 -1.3519
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 270 35.45% 28.7 1.097 68.15% -0.282 -0.4956
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2012 37.09% 27.79 -0.812 79.47% -0.018 -0.176
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 11 18.18% 23.55 0.133 72.73% 0.414 0.0315
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2485 55.19% 25.53 -2.078 69.09% -0.402 0.1744
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 64 43.33% 26.27 -1.184 68.75% -0.22 -0.2795
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 122 30.33% 29.82 3.974 75.41% 0.65 0.2219
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 84 34.52% 24.6 1.073 67.86% -0.148 -0.1424
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 279 36.56% 28.68 4.54 81.36% 0.596 0.537
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 168 54.82% 28.79 0.0 75.6%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2538 31.4% 30.42 0.06 83.1% -0.119 -0.0868
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 193 16.84% 25.38 2.882 71.5% 0.866 0.7202
Shifting Memory of Ages 549 41.42% 22.93 -4.472 63.02% -0.956 -0.631
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 59 25.42% 21.76 -2.945 54.24% -0.575 -0.527
Shroud of Silent Mist 594 52.2% 23.79 -2.274 69.02% -0.105 0.2629
Starlight Seeks its Form 635 31.39% 25.54 -1.375 71.18% -0.127 -0.193
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1196 38.66% 24.66 -2.138 75.5% -0.26 -0.7432
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1622 35.71% 27.56 -1.257 77.5% -0.324 -0.1644
Thunderspeaker 3585 32.54% 30.21 0.488 79.19% 0.162 0.1924
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 106 37.74% 21.07 1.618 53.77% 0.156 0.3461
Towering Roots of the Jungle 163 29.45% 21.48 -0.082 64.42% -0.062 0.0838
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 904 64.67% 22.44 -2.652 66.37% -0.545 -0.5254
Vital Strength of the Earth 3383 38.94% 24.71 -1.848 70.41% -0.422 0.1589
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 161 35.0% 22.22 -0.741 58.39% -0.576 -0.093
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 249 36.14% 22.38 -3.051 62.25% -0.474 0.145
Volcano Looming High 815 44.65% 24.85 0.752 71.53% 0.334 0.3694
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 214 24.3% 28.54 3.257 78.5% 0.704 0.3863

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 26 30.77% 26.35 0.0 65.38%
Blitz 0 948 43.93% 21.28 -2.786 59.28% -0.528 -0.3135
Dahan Insurrection 4 695 23.33% 47.54 3.174 77.7% -0.793 -1.0812
Despicable Theft 2 181 35.91% 22.92 -0.554 46.96% -0.389 0.3212
Elemental Invocation 1 249 47.79% 20.05 -3.99 49.0% -1.021 -0.3202
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2101 9.89% 37.61 3.314 74.87% -0.036 -0.6359
Powers Long Forgotten 1 526 48.48% 25.74 -3.729 58.56% -0.977 -0.14
Rituals of Terror 3 511 46.77% 32.7 2.84 60.86% -0.262 -0.2013
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 341 60.41% 29.68 2.481 54.84% -0.424 0.5624
Second Wave 0 2573 44.07% 29.32 1.274 75.51% -0.046 0.2042
The Great River 3 173 36.42% 25.53 -2.723 42.2% -1.592 -0.5257
Varied Terrains 2 151 37.75% 17.91 -5.482 35.1% -1.978 -1.1485
Ward the Shores 2 502 45.11% 29.18 -1.54 58.96% -0.536 0.6479

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 24840 40.38% 26.55 -0.366 75.23% 0.203 0.476
1 Thematic 3755 43.76% 30.98 -1.416 65.75% -0.226 0.3494
2 Archipelago 19 63.16% 44.68 -8.025 94.74% -0.48 0.1977
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6212 36.1% 27.6 0.119 79.94% 0.223 0.2913
2 Coastline 658 41.52% 27.36 1.435 79.33% 0.777 0.558
2 Fragment 167 48.8% 26.89 -1.792 81.44% 0.348 0.0816
2 Heart 129 32.56% 28.83 0.497 87.6% 0.337 -0.1337
2 Opposite Shores 996 32.99% 28.34 0.15 85.44% 0.176 0.1543
2 Thematic 953 40.86% 30.86 1.872 66.11% 0.453 0.8263
2 Top to Top 186 41.76% 27.63 1.11 78.49% 0.68 0.4222
3 Archipelago 16 25.0% 42.44 0.0 93.75%
3 Coastline 22 59.09% 36.68 7.688 77.27% 0.207 -0.7569
3 Other 77 34.21% 28.17 -1.27 87.01% -0.013 -0.7771
3 Round (Default) 2300 29.28% 28.91 -0.477 83.78% -0.438 -0.5911
3 Sunrise 6 33.33% 28.83 4.598 100.0% 0.184 0.106
3 Thematic 192 38.02% 30.13 -9.877 63.02% -0.492 -0.639
4 Archipelago 13 30.77% 39.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 16 25.0% 20.75 0.175 31.25% -0.436 -0.4921
4 Leaf 8 37.5% 36.13 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 55 36.36% 28.8 0.0 85.45%
4 Snake 1 0.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 328 42.51% 34.04 -1.856 80.79% -0.309 -0.487
4 Trapezoid (Default) 935 30.05% 28.84 -1.302 83.1% 0.273 -0.0566
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 32.5 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 54 27.78% 29.15 1.727 87.04% 0.069 -0.6803
5 Thematic 9 22.22% 25.56 0.0 55.56%
6 Archipelago 292 0.68% 71.79 9.174 81.16% -0.772 -1.7426
6 Other 45 6.67% 65.33 -1.531 86.67% 0.029 -0.3884
6 Star 8 0.0% 28.38 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 27 33.33% 23.04 -6.874 51.85% -0.16 -0.2081
6 Two Centers (Default) 61 21.31% 24.97 0.217 60.66% -0.142 0.073
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 51.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 993 23.12 -0.044 61.03% -0.194 -0.122
Aid From Lesser Spirits 936 24.11 0.508 63.25% 0.017 -0.0542
All Things Weaken 544 22.42 -0.517 59.38% -0.012 0.2467
Attenuated Essence 79 24.42 1.995 64.56% 0.093 0.0572
Back Against the Wall 875 23.51 1.685 60.91% -0.021 0.0326
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 99 20.41 -1.429 55.56% -0.187 -0.0416
Burn Brightest Before the End 60 25.57 -0.662 53.33% -0.233 -0.2168
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1069 20.62 -1.001 59.68% 0.255 0.4428
Downward Spiral 3157 20.74 -1.449 60.69% 0.043 0.1167
Erosion of Will 1056 22.06 1.871 57.67% 0.417 0.5713
Intensifying Exploitation 74 21.43 -2.061 52.7% -0.333 -0.197
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 189 28.75 6.079 89.42% 1.136 0.5222
Memory Fades to Dust 3261 20.0 -1.056 55.29% -0.126 0.0767
Power Corrodes the Spirit 500 21.74 -0.344 59.6% -0.015 0.1598
Promising Farmlands 1127 21.37 -1.506 60.16% -0.04 0.1581
Shattered Fragments of Power 51 23.88 3.139 62.75% 1.131 1.1341
Slow Dissolution of Will 70 19.71 -0.593 50.0% -0.343 -0.045
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 127 29.68 6.146 94.49% 1.04 0.3431
The Border of Life and Death 26 25.12 4.989 80.77% 0.55 0.0517
Thriving Communities 519 20.92 -1.031 60.31% -0.025 0.1309
Thriving Crops 36 24.25 7.948 63.89% 0.282 -0.0302
Tipping Point 365 21.32 0.0 59.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 560 22.79 1.179 55.36% -0.347 -0.2378
Untended Land Crumbles 524 21.77 -0.283 60.88% -0.462 -0.2799

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9549 37.97% 28.44 0.304 77.36% -0.26 0.7156
B 9894 35.76% 28.96 0.942 78.91% -0.179 0.7102
C 10149 35.82% 28.97 0.056 79.26% -0.297 0.3957
D 9468 35.48% 28.99 0.787 78.97% -0.164 0.7314
E 3346 34.39% 27.65 1.478 77.32% -0.028 0.7012
F 4548 34.63% 27.82 0.595 79.49% -0.072 0.759
G 4368 34.15% 30.7 1.976 78.73% -0.066 0.7136
H 4493 31.48% 31.15 1.404 80.3% -0.405 0.3781
East 3314 41.89% 31.87 2.214 67.38% -0.081 0.728
Northeast 1891 43.3% 31.99 -3.14 68.16% -1.236 -0.4377
Northwest 1473 42.22% 32.1 1.158 71.83% -0.04 0.6937
Southeast 496 34.48% 26.19 0.504 58.87% -0.312 0.5818
Southwest 493 37.93% 22.92 -3.704 54.97% -0.934 0.3238
West 2925 43.35% 30.45 -2.245 66.67% -1.044 -0.0462

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 329 0.0% 24.5 1.928 69.3% 0.41 1.0782
Not Using Events or Tokens 8144 45.23% 24.23 -2.604 68.27% -0.755 -0.3339
Skip Initial Invader Actions 524 9.94% 39.35 3.908 88.55% 0.605 -0.1644
Start of Game Growth 804 12.89% 36.92 0.884 88.31% 0.171 -0.2669
Unlimited Undo 2591 31.17% 28.14 -0.597 78.77% -0.152 -0.2174
Using Tokens but Not Events 3601 28.57% 32.77 1.151 81.09% 0.062 0.0196

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7348 13.76 28.4%
II 15547 30.19 78.66%
III 13745 34.82 88.57%
IV 5772 38.63 99.17%

Number of Players

Score Model: 1.024 Win Model: 0.623
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 28908 40.78% 27.05 73.61%
2 9136 37.07% 28.29 80.33%
3 2549 30.33% 29.25 83.17%
4 1330 32.85% 30.14 82.26%
5 63 19.05% 26.92 79.37%
6 426 6.1% 61.67 78.17%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2086
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11792
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11475
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5677
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3472
Lose: Invader deck ran out 380
Lose: Adversary condition 160
Win: Sacrifice victory 135
Lose: Scenario condition 498
Win: Scenario condition 1049
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5449
Lose: Spirit destroyed 239

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5310 31.08% 31.34 -0.348 79.3% 0.055 -0.0395
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 160 28.13% 30.32 2.016 73.75% 0.809 0.3012
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3019 57.68% 29.06 1.278 74.06% 0.398 0.5956
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 142 39.44% 36.27 1.115 79.58% 0.059 -0.8143
Dances Up Earthquakes 87 45.98% 28.28 2.629 67.82% 0.487 0.3487
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2451 34.97% 32.02 1.581 82.54% 0.405 0.1824
Downpour Drenches the World 614 33.77% 27.04 -3.431 67.59% -0.618 -0.3124
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 786 25.95% 31.71 3.17 79.13% 0.775 0.2205
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3193 24.54% 35.3 3.001 88.29% 0.76 0.3333
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2441 31.13% 33.43 1.446 82.92% 0.404 -0.0096
Finder of Paths Unseen 353 46.74% 20.4 -5.094 46.74% -1.176 -0.5206
Fractured Days Split the Sky 809 41.16% 29.87 -2.489 63.66% -0.894 -0.3483
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1023 45.98% 29.16 0.382 71.75% 0.211 0.1264
Heart of the Wildfire 3432 65.86% 26.5 -1.241 67.42% -0.158 0.1572
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5962 39.23% 33.56 2.279 84.92% 0.423 -0.0201
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 242 28.93% 29.43 -1.014 71.9% -0.168 -0.4608
Lightning's Swift Strike 4183 46.85% 28.89 -0.841 71.89% -0.204 0.0584
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 238 48.31% 31.6 5.941 69.33% 0.643 0.3151
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 469 37.95% 32.33 0.761 81.24% 0.225 -0.1508
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 423 38.86% 32.53 -0.096 72.34% -0.502 -0.4023
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2079 40.33% 32.17 1.431 78.74% 0.295 0.0959
Many Minds Move as One 1214 30.46% 32.12 -0.324 82.62% -0.123 -0.3375
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4979 51.54% 28.83 -0.255 71.16% 0.077 0.2243
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 106 63.21% 25.01 -0.607 59.43% -0.249 -0.2043
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2396 37.28% 31.15 -0.535 80.93% 0.135 0.0325
River Surges in Sunlight 5388 48.76% 31.4 2.283 72.57% 0.151 0.1486
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 85 38.82% 29.2 -1.75 65.88% -0.343 -0.0543
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 588 50.6% 30.95 -0.365 68.88% -0.161 0.042
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 356 40.97% 32.79 0.938 70.22% 0.007 -0.2065
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3491 40.06% 31.62 1.738 81.47% 0.514 0.356
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 52 25.0% 29.65 2.206 71.15% 0.34 -0.0429
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2720 66.1% 26.44 -3.086 63.42% -0.6 -0.0235
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 81 53.09% 26.81 -0.674 60.49% 0.086 0.0261
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 195 38.97% 29.91 2.539 67.18% 0.173 -0.2549
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 101 52.48% 29.67 -7.089 75.25% -0.932 -0.9266
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 348 48.99% 29.46 1.995 74.43% 0.519 0.4602
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 267 62.92% 27.77 0.378 68.16% 0.135 0.3411
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3316 36.76% 32.51 -1.095 80.55% -0.355 -0.3229
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 230 26.22% 31.93 3.785 69.57% 0.644 0.4988
Shifting Memory of Ages 840 51.67% 26.61 -3.381 63.45% -0.662 -0.3372
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 111 36.94% 26.95 -2.33 63.96% -0.535 -0.4867
Shroud of Silent Mist 958 55.85% 26.61 0.568 69.42% 0.283 0.6506
Starlight Seeks its Form 1068 40.39% 28.79 0.337 69.94% 0.194 0.1281
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1795 43.82% 26.81 0.384 73.15% 0.353 -0.1306
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1977 45.42% 28.9 -1.083 72.48% -0.074 0.0858
Thunderspeaker 4558 41.3% 31.76 -0.079 76.33% 0.088 0.1187
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 174 35.63% 24.22 -1.46 55.75% -0.201 -0.011
Towering Roots of the Jungle 244 40.98% 24.26 -1.167 63.52% -0.31 -0.1645
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1389 71.47% 25.52 -1.717 67.89% -0.432 -0.4119
Vital Strength of the Earth 3894 43.85% 26.76 -1.85 66.64% -0.427 0.1537
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 231 37.39% 27.11 -2.279 65.8% -0.673 -0.1892
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 364 40.93% 25.02 -2.855 62.36% -0.34 0.279
Volcano Looming High 1454 46.69% 28.58 -1.019 72.83% -0.096 -0.0604
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 425 32.0% 33.09 3.35 80.0% 1.025 0.7074

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 35 34.29% 26.17 3.908 62.86% 0.546 0.5906
Blitz 0 1136 47.96% 24.93 -4.849 58.98% -0.78 -0.5655
Dahan Insurrection 4 725 31.16% 47.86 5.023 70.62% -0.137 -0.4255
Despicable Theft 2 185 47.03% 24.92 -3.388 46.49% -0.898 -0.1878
Elemental Invocation 1 230 46.09% 23.72 -2.075 52.61% -0.634 0.0674
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2262 18.51% 33.18 5.448 68.04% 0.842 0.2423
Powers Long Forgotten 1 473 55.18% 25.66 -6.487 49.47% -1.383 -0.5459
Rituals of Terror 3 389 50.9% 33.59 3.927 53.47% 0.4 0.4606
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 242 62.81% 32.52 -2.037 52.48% -0.911 0.0758
Second Wave 0 2237 52.95% 30.77 1.915 69.65% -0.032 0.2177
The Great River 3 146 54.11% 25.32 -1.008 38.36% -0.549 0.517
Varied Terrains 2 113 51.33% 17.05 -9.432 28.32% -1.402 -0.5727
Ward the Shores 2 534 50.56% 30.95 0.398 57.68% -0.31 0.8731

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 31609 47.84% 28.43 -0.28 71.94% 0.043 0.3167
1 Thematic 3526 53.18% 31.34 -1.024 60.81% -0.507 0.0683
2 Archipelago 18 72.22% 43.61 12.128 72.22% 0.385 1.0619
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8378 43.15% 29.78 -0.07 77.13% 0.192 0.2607
2 Coastline 962 42.36% 31.08 -0.306 79.42% 0.147 -0.0719
2 Fragment 232 51.29% 30.22 3.507 75.0% 0.961 0.6945
2 Heart 129 44.09% 30.58 -2.26 72.87% -0.491 -0.9617
2 Opposite Shores 1481 42.24% 31.75 3.752 82.31% 0.705 0.6827
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 1301 51.12% 30.64 -1.384 60.57% -0.405 -0.0321
2 Top to Top 282 44.64% 31.41 3.103 79.43% 0.261 0.0038
3 Archipelago 12 75.0% 40.42 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 26 30.77% 29.81 0.0 73.08%
3 Other 141 33.81% 31.79 -7.18 81.56% -0.989 -1.7529
3 Round (Default) 3555 36.11% 31.46 0.055 80.79% 0.021 -0.1318
3 Sunrise 23 39.13% 29.91 2.048 78.26% 0.273 0.1955
3 Thematic 280 47.67% 35.92 1.128 71.43% 0.049 -0.0984
4 Archipelago 16 56.25% 43.94 5.506 87.5% 0.336 -0.1916
4 Coastline 9 77.78% 36.33 5.064 77.78% 0.212 0.1552
4 Leaf 10 40.0% 28.7 0.0 70.0%
4 Other 71 30.43% 33.39 5.002 85.92% 0.355 -0.3299
4 Thematic 426 43.44% 37.01 3.2 76.76% 0.573 0.3956
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1560 33.44% 32.04 -1.058 84.81% -0.477 -0.8062
5 Archipelago 7 85.71% 33.71 0.0 42.86%
5 Other 80 40.0% 31.7 3.663 75.0% 0.08 -0.6701
5 Thematic 6 33.33% 19.33 0.0 33.33%
6 Archipelago 5 20.0% 63.4 0.0 80.0%
6 Coastline 3 0.0% 17.0 12.509 33.33% 0.269 -0.3108
6 Other 39 33.33% 28.87 1.619 56.41% -0.198 -0.6154
6 Star 19 36.84% 27.53 -5.338 63.16% -1.378 -1.0431
6 Thematic 81 29.11% 45.84 5.609 74.07% -0.572 -0.6199
6 Two Centers (Default) 108 22.22% 30.08 1.771 64.81% 0.332 0.5465
7 Other 6 0.0% 36.83 0.11 50.0% -0.051 -1.1325

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1727 25.54 1.086 59.35% -0.153 -0.0808
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1419 27.36 2.728 62.51% 0.122 0.0515
All Things Weaken 898 25.09 -1.586 58.35% -0.513 -0.2541
Attenuated Essence 129 25.06 0.152 59.69% -0.148 -0.1843
Back Against the Wall 1445 27.38 0.316 63.25% -0.206 -0.1527
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 166 23.53 -2.184 56.63% -0.451 -0.306
Burn Brightest Before the End 109 28.13 3.492 67.89% 0.786 0.8019
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1640 23.0 -1.961 57.68% -0.184 0.0044
Downward Spiral 4301 23.6 0.462 60.45% 0.422 0.4962
Erosion of Will 1721 24.35 -0.557 56.25% -0.089 0.0652
Intensifying Exploitation 162 23.82 -2.906 56.17% -0.364 -0.2278
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 375 32.29 3.809 89.07% 0.579 -0.0351
Memory Fades to Dust 4290 22.85 -0.875 55.03% 0.01 0.2137
Power Corrodes the Spirit 941 25.01 -2.111 60.57% -0.769 -0.5944
Promising Farmlands 1696 23.59 -2.131 58.37% -0.433 -0.2348
Shattered Fragments of Power 144 29.95 2.951 65.97% 0.419 0.4215
Slow Dissolution of Will 153 26.69 3.344 60.13% 0.411 0.7089
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 233 32.18 5.847 91.42% 1.187 0.4898
The Border of Life and Death 58 30.76 5.088 82.76% 0.471 -0.0266
Thriving Communities 870 24.37 -0.068 60.0% -0.036 0.12
Thriving Crops 56 27.04 4.607 73.21% 0.606 0.2943
Tipping Point 577 24.62 -12.294 60.49% -0.395 0.1241
Unnatural Proliferation 895 25.56 -0.874 59.11% -0.426 -0.3172
Untended Land Crumbles 860 23.56 -0.121 57.56% -0.301 -0.1187

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12601 44.1% 29.53 -0.349 75.57% -0.336 0.6394
B 12889 44.03% 29.6 -0.529 75.77% -0.356 0.5338
C 13277 42.24% 29.9 0.59 76.43% -0.082 0.6099
D 12299 44.37% 29.53 0.49 75.91% -0.169 0.7266
E 4873 42.48% 29.86 1.012 75.31% -0.071 0.6579
F 6589 40.16% 30.54 0.546 77.28% -0.239 0.5926
G 5803 42.92% 30.05 -0.103 76.7% -0.398 0.3812
H 5857 41.22% 30.4 -0.466 76.66% -0.578 0.2052
East 3735 49.03% 33.23 2.672 64.9% 0.043 0.8522
Northeast 2086 48.39% 34.4 0.701 67.16% -0.259 0.5388
Northwest 1678 51.59% 33.06 0.022 63.71% -0.415 0.3188
Southeast 655 44.85% 31.43 1.015 63.05% -0.051 0.8421
Southwest 608 42.15% 29.81 -2.161 62.34% -0.857 0.4007
West 3242 51.98% 31.89 -1.498 62.49% -0.767 0.2308

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 301 0.0% 28.81 -1.924 71.76% -0.343 0.325
Not Using Events or Tokens 8769 50.99% 25.82 -3.123 65.23% -0.854 -0.4333
Skip Initial Invader Actions 752 17.09% 42.71 8.403 85.37% 1.354 0.5854
Start of Game Growth 1198 16.7% 41.1 3.418 84.47% -0.068 -0.5056
Unlimited Undo 4220 38.88% 30.75 0.0 76.64% 0.088 0.0221
Using Tokens but Not Events 4223 37.35% 31.12 1.727 78.74% 0.298 0.2556

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7284 13.76 7.21%
II 21164 30.19 72.6%
III 17121 34.82 88.56%
IV 8885 38.63 99.18%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.435 Win Model: 0.439
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 35461 48.35% 28.65 70.5%
2 12607 44.13% 30.47 77.0%
3 3987 36.44% 31.84 80.59%
4 2079 35.75% 33.33 83.5%
5 61 42.62% 28.98 62.3%
6 259 25.68% 35.31 66.02%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 524
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14753
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 14639
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8743
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4453
Lose: Invader deck ran out 558
Lose: Adversary condition 195
Win: Sacrifice victory 229
Lose: Scenario condition 765
Win: Scenario condition 977
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8240
Lose: Spirit destroyed 378

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5164 39.23% 37.6 -0.819 76.65% -0.075 -0.1693
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 190 38.95% 35.62 2.774 68.95% 0.591 0.0835
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3153 69.66% 33.4 -2.807 64.61% -0.627 -0.4295
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 251 42.23% 38.23 5.665 68.92% 0.548 -0.3247
Dances Up Earthquakes 140 53.57% 30.34 0.226 56.43% -0.088 -0.2268
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2813 35.98% 40.06 3.892 82.47% 0.785 0.5626
Downpour Drenches the World 738 42.01% 25.78 -0.232 49.59% -0.168 0.1373
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1048 24.71% 37.04 4.993 74.71% 1.256 0.702
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3031 40.26% 39.79 3.078 81.03% 0.552 0.125
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2677 42.35% 38.44 0.886 77.7% 0.176 -0.2374
Finder of Paths Unseen 396 52.53% 28.47 3.238 51.77% 0.112 0.7673
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1173 38.15% 34.9 -1.468 60.61% -0.581 -0.0359
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1449 45.62% 36.06 3.48 71.98% 0.601 0.5163
Heart of the Wildfire 4301 67.66% 33.49 -1.55 65.78% -0.407 -0.092
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6919 51.02% 40.4 0.368 80.14% -0.061 -0.5046
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 551 15.25% 19.75 -3.01 39.2% -0.5 -0.7935
Lightning's Swift Strike 4454 53.35% 36.95 0.071 71.82% -0.089 0.1729
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 420 44.04% 30.85 2.839 59.29% 0.491 0.1631
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 724 39.06% 43.64 4.093 87.15% 0.554 0.1783
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 499 40.28% 33.39 -0.667 63.53% -0.261 -0.1609
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2521 47.12% 37.38 1.315 74.69% 0.24 0.0407
Many Minds Move as One 1235 42.63% 38.33 2.794 79.11% 0.434 0.2194
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4940 59.92% 33.34 -2.419 65.32% -0.542 -0.3945
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 194 68.59% 24.84 -2.511 48.97% -0.66 -0.6157
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2586 40.6% 38.56 3.777 80.47% 0.735 0.6329
River Surges in Sunlight 5595 57.33% 38.47 1.018 71.53% 0.057 0.0543
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 94 55.32% 25.64 -2.459 44.68% -0.846 -0.5574
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 657 58.32% 30.82 -1.025 55.56% -0.411 -0.2078
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 422 47.96% 33.96 0.048 59.24% -0.032 -0.2456
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3329 54.25% 35.69 -0.906 71.79% -0.081 -0.2385
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 61 50.82% 39.57 5.181 81.97% 1.025 0.6418
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2503 73.12% 32.76 -3.184 61.01% -0.501 0.0756
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 70 34.29% 22.73 -2.414 44.29% -0.278 -0.3373
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 239 51.05% 34.99 2.097 69.04% 0.23 -0.1987
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 107 41.12% 25.84 -7.25 50.47% -0.414 -0.4076
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 457 47.7% 38.38 6.979 78.12% 1.179 1.1197
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 221 68.33% 34.48 -0.481 67.42% -0.182 0.0249
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3922 39.2% 41.59 -2.047 81.87% -0.49 -0.4576
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 304 36.51% 33.94 0.733 68.09% 0.004 -0.1416
Shifting Memory of Ages 798 62.66% 30.76 -1.436 61.53% -0.275 0.0503
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 155 43.23% 30.41 -1.224 53.55% -0.154 -0.106
Shroud of Silent Mist 1050 63.58% 29.87 -1.492 60.67% -0.421 -0.053
Starlight Seeks its Form 1380 47.75% 35.13 -0.139 69.49% -0.065 -0.1311
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2515 54.13% 31.8 -0.305 68.39% 0.009 -0.474
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2305 48.06% 37.09 -0.194 74.19% -0.359 -0.1998
Thunderspeaker 4256 51.08% 38.11 0.18 72.72% -0.065 -0.0351
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 200 29.5% 14.31 -3.093 28.0% -0.342 -0.1511
Towering Roots of the Jungle 342 50.29% 25.03 -1.982 52.05% -0.334 -0.1878
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1849 81.02% 33.05 -0.128 69.12% -0.066 -0.0459
Vital Strength of the Earth 3289 56.12% 30.93 -4.7 60.11% -0.798 -0.2165
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 292 38.54% 23.94 0.158 46.92% 0.122 0.6054
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 453 48.56% 31.46 -3.199 62.91% -0.648 -0.029
Volcano Looming High 1736 56.34% 35.69 0.357 71.95% 0.049 0.0848
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 676 30.92% 36.32 5.94 74.85% 1.2 0.883

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 22 40.91% 19.95 0.0 40.91%
Blitz 0 794 53.23% 31.13 -4.544 58.06% -0.714 -0.4998
Dahan Insurrection 4 1081 21.28% 37.41 1.807 48.38% -0.454 -0.7423
Despicable Theft 2 91 57.14% 33.31 -7.738 48.35% -0.74 -0.03
Elemental Invocation 1 210 66.19% 27.77 -11.219 41.43% -1.108 -0.407
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2298 23.83% 41.31 6.183 72.32% 0.899 0.2987
Powers Long Forgotten 1 297 71.38% 33.66 -11.086 51.85% -1.478 -0.6407
Rituals of Terror 3 308 59.09% 34.93 0.435 44.81% 0.022 0.0825
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 104 62.5% 35.3 0.446 48.08% -0.302 0.6847
Second Wave 0 1580 61.85% 34.66 -1.682 61.39% -0.905 -0.6553
The Great River 3 109 67.89% 33.92 -11.625 44.04% -0.263 0.8029
Varied Terrains 2 55 54.55% 27.15 -2.42 40.0% -0.563 0.2666
Ward the Shores 2 299 64.55% 37.18 -1.236 54.18% -0.31 0.8737

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 38827 55.81% 35.59 -0.309 70.4% -0.096 0.1779
1 Thematic 2521 59.6% 38.56 0.165 60.81% -0.135 0.4398
2 Archipelago 36 69.44% 33.33 -3.288 50.0% -0.59 0.0876
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8894 52.06% 36.5 -0.525 74.51% -0.04 0.0286
2 Coastline 1035 52.97% 38.41 5.617 76.33% 1.157 0.9382
2 Fragment 205 61.76% 36.38 -2.218 72.68% -0.12 -0.3869
2 Heart 127 60.8% 38.33 0.473 80.31% 0.207 -0.2629
2 Opposite Shores 1632 56.21% 37.54 -0.132 76.35% -0.035 -0.0567
2 Thematic 959 55.22% 38.16 0.707 62.15% 0.139 0.5126
2 Top to Top 303 58.09% 35.78 -1.15 70.63% 0.104 -0.1537
3 Archipelago 13 61.54% 44.38 21.397 69.23% 0.128 -0.7948
3 Coastline 48 35.42% 45.69 5.082 91.67% 0.159 -0.8042
3 Other 146 43.15% 40.58 8.052 84.93% 1.132 0.3679
3 Round (Default) 3352 47.11% 38.23 0.717 78.25% 0.092 -0.0609
3 Sunrise 13 38.46% 37.0 0.0 84.62%
3 Thematic 162 52.17% 39.31 1.732 65.43% 0.133 -0.0146
4 Archipelago 12 66.67% 41.75 0.0 83.33%
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 34.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 9 88.89% 37.67 0.0 88.89%
4 Other 57 38.6% 39.02 2.793 82.46% 0.113 -0.5712
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 66.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 100.0% 30.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 280 42.03% 48.75 -8.407 73.57% -0.132 -0.3095
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1730 43.01% 40.24 1.66 83.12% 0.075 -0.2544
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 5 0.0% 45.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 70 54.29% 38.31 3.698 78.57% 0.68 -0.0698
5 Thematic 8 50.0% 36.88 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 24 16.67% 58.21 7.677 79.17% -0.169 -1.1392
6 Coastline 2 50.0% 34.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 33 15.15% 37.03 6.826 66.67% 0.103 -0.3137
6 Star 12 25.0% 19.83 -13.295 33.33% -0.802 -0.4664
6 Thematic 433 3.7% 3.44 -5.512 4.85% -0.456 -0.504
6 Two Centers (Default) 61 35.0% 34.64 -0.764 68.85% -0.688 -0.4731
7 Other 3 33.33% 17.0 0.0 33.33%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2379 32.87 2.524 61.12% 0.483 0.5546
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1965 35.37 1.501 65.9% 0.126 0.0555
All Things Weaken 1254 30.87 -0.499 56.06% -0.259 -0.0002
Attenuated Essence 221 30.27 1.211 60.63% 0.408 0.3722
Back Against the Wall 1862 33.83 2.95 61.65% 0.332 0.3852
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 244 31.11 -0.557 57.38% -0.059 0.0867
Burn Brightest Before the End 154 32.17 -0.209 59.09% 0.048 0.0642
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2325 29.41 -1.236 57.16% -0.186 0.0019
Downward Spiral 5084 31.26 1.167 62.51% 0.522 0.596
Erosion of Will 2349 31.29 -2.165 57.26% -0.659 -0.5043
Intensifying Exploitation 246 28.86 0.89 54.88% 0.292 0.4278
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 500 40.67 2.668 89.8% 0.604 -0.0101
Memory Fades to Dust 5056 30.2 1.074 57.5% 0.438 0.6407
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1333 32.68 0.037 64.89% 0.083 0.2581
Promising Farmlands 2356 30.23 0.005 58.7% 0.17 0.3683
Shattered Fragments of Power 154 33.33 -0.422 61.69% -0.685 -0.6821
Slow Dissolution of Will 201 29.84 -0.009 52.74% -0.127 0.1709
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 339 42.04 7.889 92.63% 1.576 0.8796
The Border of Life and Death 56 37.77 3.497 82.14% 0.525 0.0271
Thriving Communities 1313 30.21 -0.029 58.64% -0.164 -0.0075
Thriving Crops 97 33.84 0.318 72.16% 0.146 -0.1664
Tipping Point 816 30.56 0.0 56.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 1329 33.24 -0.142 62.6% -0.258 -0.1496
Untended Land Crumbles 1225 30.53 0.561 58.45% -0.018 0.1635

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 13668 53.23% 36.26 0.714 72.69% 0.192 1.1677
B 14007 52.43% 36.75 0.133 73.71% 0.059 0.9479
C 14939 53.2% 36.77 0.252 73.76% 0.093 0.7853
D 13354 53.3% 36.27 -1.045 72.89% -0.136 0.7592
E 5880 51.88% 37.18 1.183 75.34% 0.198 0.9271
F 7514 49.4% 37.76 1.259 76.26% 0.294 1.1258
G 6461 53.22% 36.53 0.294 73.56% -0.026 0.7539
H 6851 50.83% 37.36 0.559 75.26% -0.029 0.7543
East 2991 48.68% 35.3 -3.47 55.27% -0.72 0.0894
Northeast 1847 44.05% 32.06 2.25 49.86% 0.239 1.0368
Northwest 1462 41.41% 29.61 -2.702 46.37% -0.671 0.0623
Southeast 822 23.75% 21.96 -7.859 36.62% -1.166 -0.2723
Southwest 882 23.5% 20.03 -3.412 34.58% -0.312 0.9459
West 2631 46.8% 33.18 -1.643 52.53% -0.089 0.9085

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 225 0.0% 34.16 0.535 63.56% -0.063 0.605
Not Using Events or Tokens 7395 60.73% 30.93 -3.245 60.64% -0.625 -0.2044
Skip Initial Invader Actions 685 13.2% 53.55 7.405 88.61% 1.144 0.3746
Start of Game Growth 1023 19.08% 48.88 5.015 85.43% 0.817 0.3796
Unlimited Undo 4950 47.02% 37.51 -0.293 73.86% -0.102 -0.1674
Using Tokens but Not Events 4373 39.72% 35.53 0.363 70.36% 0.061 0.0185

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9362 13.76 7.87%
II 26179 30.19 72.6%
III 17537 34.82 89.76%
IV 7980 38.63 99.66%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.265 Win Model: 0.13
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 41588 56.01% 35.74 69.71%
2 13052 53.38% 37.04 74.27%
3 3709 46.63% 38.45 78.0%
4 2084 43.56% 41.34 81.86%
5 61 44.26% 35.79 72.13%
6 564 8.9% 11.46 19.15%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 735
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 15422
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18265
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7889
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5395
Lose: Invader deck ran out 375
Lose: Adversary condition 197
Win: Sacrifice victory 265
Lose: Scenario condition 554
Win: Scenario condition 862
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10573
Lose: Spirit destroyed 526

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3302 49.42% 37.48 -1.021 68.38% -0.099 -0.1934
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 92 48.91% 38.71 4.485 71.74% 0.64 0.1322
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1861 75.94% 32.39 0.68 53.63% 0.174 0.3714
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 194 54.12% 38.26 2.048 70.62% 0.248 -0.6251
Dances Up Earthquakes 75 76.0% 29.57 1.592 53.33% 0.097 -0.0416
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1892 54.54% 39.23 3.781 73.57% 0.64 0.4174
Downpour Drenches the World 406 50.62% 26.71 -4.467 46.8% -0.633 -0.327
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 648 36.42% 40.8 6.959 78.24% 1.409 0.8545
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1899 51.42% 40.42 1.731 74.25% 0.202 -0.2254
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1848 58.48% 39.04 2.109 72.19% 0.13 -0.2838
Finder of Paths Unseen 271 60.15% 24.89 -4.893 42.44% -1.173 -0.5174
Fractured Days Split the Sky 598 55.35% 33.22 -4.046 54.01% -1.026 -0.4806
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 952 57.98% 36.47 2.464 66.49% 0.286 0.2019
Heart of the Wildfire 2620 78.61% 32.14 -3.09 53.7% -0.472 -0.1563
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5388 61.98% 40.11 1.507 73.33% 0.302 -0.1411
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 247 50.61% 36.52 0.213 65.99% -0.047 -0.3399
Lightning's Swift Strike 2676 64.01% 34.43 -1.346 59.01% -0.163 0.0988
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 263 57.92% 39.94 0.929 69.2% 0.317 -0.0109
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 486 52.78% 41.88 4.982 78.81% 0.449 0.0732
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 337 50.45% 38.65 -0.428 65.88% -0.35 -0.2498
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1936 62.72% 38.17 3.889 69.42% 0.697 0.4982
Many Minds Move as One 772 51.68% 38.63 0.515 74.09% 0.004 -0.2108
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3357 68.51% 33.77 -1.284 58.27% -0.29 -0.1422
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 113 72.57% 25.15 -0.615 43.36% -0.175 -0.1301
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1773 53.7% 38.74 2.956 73.21% 0.68 0.5775
River Surges in Sunlight 3764 66.77% 37.32 0.64 61.0% 0.024 0.021
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 25 52.0% 25.04 -0.747 36.0% 0.109 0.3971
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 300 70.67% 33.91 4.513 53.67% 0.555 0.7581
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 256 61.33% 35.55 1.755 56.64% 0.253 0.0394
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2082 67.07% 34.39 0.035 60.47% 0.265 0.1073
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 27 55.56% 30.52 2.219 51.85% 0.257 -0.1256
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1450 75.02% 31.01 -2.931 48.0% -0.461 0.1155
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 50 66.0% 32.76 5.734 58.0% 0.437 0.3768
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 192 63.35% 37.4 0.611 68.23% 0.024 -0.4044
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 58 67.24% 31.31 5.098 55.17% 0.36 0.3661
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 285 68.42% 38.49 7.723 71.23% 0.616 0.5566
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 173 75.72% 35.45 3.373 58.96% 0.218 0.4247
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2697 50.54% 40.41 2.208 71.67% 0.212 0.2447
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 153 55.56% 33.05 1.399 60.78% 0.286 0.141
Shifting Memory of Ages 460 72.98% 28.77 -1.411 46.96% -0.348 -0.0226
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 83 48.19% 32.83 -6.957 61.45% -0.928 -0.88
Shroud of Silent Mist 630 75.99% 29.67 -7.37 51.11% -1.202 -0.8342
Starlight Seeks its Form 1022 57.1% 32.72 4.395 57.63% 0.933 0.8673
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1475 68.71% 30.73 -1.383 58.51% -0.15 -0.6333
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1364 59.46% 37.53 -0.915 67.89% -0.293 -0.1337
Thunderspeaker 2627 62.0% 38.05 1.635 64.83% 0.251 0.2812
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 120 46.67% 20.4 -4.568 30.0% -1.085 -0.8945
Towering Roots of the Jungle 209 55.98% 26.19 -1.876 46.41% -0.342 -0.1964
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1254 88.68% 30.29 -0.007 52.87% 0.169 0.1888
Vital Strength of the Earth 1793 69.88% 29.02 -5.935 44.39% -1.341 -0.7605
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 178 57.14% 30.69 -1.855 50.0% -0.364 0.1193
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 262 64.89% 28.85 -7.715 45.04% -1.147 -0.5279
Volcano Looming High 1080 64.72% 34.98 -1.345 62.59% -0.089 -0.0531
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 436 47.71% 38.25 5.177 74.31% 0.914 0.5968

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 20.0% 3.0 -8.256 0.0% -0.578 -0.5339
Blitz 0 468 60.26% 33.98 -2.82 49.79% -0.399 -0.185
Dahan Insurrection 4 452 44.91% 56.52 8.2 68.81% 0.372 0.0839
Despicable Theft 2 32 46.88% 32.5 0.0 40.63%
Elemental Invocation 1 114 69.3% 23.38 -8.769 31.58% -1.423 -0.7223
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1324 24.11% 42.29 6.272 67.07% 0.559 -0.0406
Powers Long Forgotten 1 205 67.8% 30.64 -0.927 40.98% -0.124 0.7135
Rituals of Terror 3 164 70.73% 31.64 4.437 31.71% 0.212 0.2728
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 113 79.65% 34.75 2.885 34.51% 0.069 1.0554
Second Wave 0 963 68.9% 34.47 2.269 53.89% -0.03 0.2199
The Great River 3 50 36.0% 25.66 -7.074 30.0% -0.855 0.2106
Varied Terrains 2 19 84.21% 26.89 0.0 36.84%
Ward the Shores 2 123 71.54% 33.98 -3.408 38.21% -0.637 0.5464

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 26428 64.9% 34.58 -1.116 61.38% -0.323 -0.0494
1 Thematic 1919 64.65% 37.56 0.06 50.55% -0.518 0.0564
2 Archipelago 8 62.5% 42.25 2.024 50.0% -0.183 0.4946
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5666 63.61% 36.54 0.536 66.87% -0.006 0.0628
2 Coastline 727 56.49% 38.92 4.078 72.76% 0.697 0.4784
2 Fragment 126 65.08% 33.87 5.805 57.94% 0.469 0.202
2 Heart 114 70.8% 33.11 -3.069 54.39% -0.241 -0.7108
2 Opposite Shores 1138 66.43% 35.95 -1.316 65.29% -0.365 -0.3873
2 Thematic 578 70.42% 36.62 2.85 47.75% -0.076 0.2973
2 Top to Top 175 71.26% 36.1 2.316 67.43% 0.56 0.303
3 Archipelago 5 80.0% 54.8 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 18 50.0% 47.28 0.0 88.89%
3 Other 112 52.68% 38.61 6.283 68.75% 0.287 -0.4773
3 Round (Default) 2250 56.14% 38.51 3.437 70.04% 0.594 0.4412
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 32.86 0.0 57.14%
3 Thematic 153 64.71% 33.44 5.176 45.1% 0.35 0.2027
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 16.33 0.0 33.33%
4 Coastline 5 20.0% 22.4 -13.308 40.0% -0.455 -0.5118
4 Leaf 7 71.43% 42.0 12.542 85.71% 0.558 0.467
4 Other 64 46.88% 43.95 -12.56 82.81% -0.787 -1.4716
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 50.0% 47.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 157 54.78% 36.67 -10.431 47.13% -0.324 -0.5013
4 Trapezoid (Default) 987 55.16% 36.86 -2.091 65.45% -0.081 -0.4103
5 Other 36 47.06% 31.58 0.778 44.44% 0.332 -0.418
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 20.67 0.0 33.33%
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 0.0 -10.764 0.0% -0.106 -1.077
6 Other 14 57.14% 39.14 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 15 33.33% 25.0 -15.756 33.33% -0.564 -0.2284
6 Thematic 12 25.0% 24.42 -9.119 33.33% -0.339 -0.387
6 Two Centers (Default) 59 57.63% 33.59 5.637 64.41% 0.208 0.4227
7 Other 1 0.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1941 32.11 -0.685 50.7% -0.529 -0.4575
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1517 34.62 2.398 55.83% -0.067 -0.1375
All Things Weaken 1051 30.28 -1.355 47.67% -0.576 -0.3171
Attenuated Essence 174 33.46 0.173 60.34% -0.115 -0.1512
Back Against the Wall 1511 34.36 3.457 54.86% 0.044 0.0974
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 189 28.25 -0.477 46.56% -0.32 -0.1741
Burn Brightest Before the End 134 33.94 2.015 53.73% -0.123 -0.107
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1928 30.28 -0.629 52.02% -0.355 -0.1666
Downward Spiral 3664 30.82 1.835 53.19% 0.733 0.8075
Erosion of Will 2037 31.06 0.469 48.06% -0.124 0.0306
Intensifying Exploitation 198 29.38 -2.609 52.02% -0.785 -0.6492
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 340 44.11 8.791 91.76% 1.272 0.6577
Memory Fades to Dust 3740 29.66 0.9 47.83% 0.298 0.5009
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1028 30.79 -0.711 52.63% -0.024 0.1504
Promising Farmlands 2002 30.08 -0.199 49.05% -0.481 -0.283
Shattered Fragments of Power 151 33.46 5.059 57.62% 0.742 0.7451
Slow Dissolution of Will 169 25.9 -3.441 37.28% -0.976 -0.6773
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 202 44.47 9.027 92.57% 1.459 0.7624
The Border of Life and Death 37 35.59 0.58 75.68% 0.363 -0.135
Thriving Communities 998 28.74 -1.765 46.09% -0.463 -0.3063
Thriving Crops 86 36.4 -0.343 73.26% 0.016 -0.2962
Tipping Point 662 31.51 0.0 50.0%
Unnatural Proliferation 1127 32.06 -0.347 51.02% -0.593 -0.4846
Untended Land Crumbles 1084 29.64 -2.191 47.88% -0.647 -0.4649

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8977 63.35% 35.11 -2.14 62.27% -0.368 0.6068
B 9448 62.65% 35.74 1.003 63.99% 0.291 1.1803
C 9591 63.17% 35.92 0.884 64.23% 0.243 0.9355
D 8534 61.96% 35.78 0.504 64.47% 0.107 1.0024
E 4038 62.57% 35.83 0.298 64.36% 0.05 0.7796
F 4955 60.69% 36.46 1.822 66.4% 0.352 1.1839
G 4353 62.65% 35.67 -1.254 64.39% -0.318 0.4619
H 4720 60.56% 37.16 0.364 67.63% -0.033 0.7501
East 1781 64.29% 37.7 1.365 49.8% 0.091 0.9002
Northeast 956 64.96% 37.55 0.611 49.48% 0.01 0.8084
Northwest 792 68.77% 34.85 -4.062 43.69% -1.023 -0.2898
Southeast 288 58.33% 33.14 -7.64 48.26% -1.551 -0.6575
Southwest 294 48.98% 33.72 -6.591 54.42% -0.677 0.5807
West 1619 65.14% 35.82 0.844 47.56% 0.204 1.2013

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 132 0.0% 36.53 11.8 61.36% 0.703 1.3704
Not Using Events or Tokens 4358 66.98% 29.32 -3.993 50.09% -0.942 -0.5207
Skip Initial Invader Actions 569 16.91% 55.75 2.343 88.58% 0.081 -0.6885
Start of Game Growth 869 24.38% 50.73 -0.259 83.54% -0.222 -0.6597
Unlimited Undo 3285 56.25% 38.31 0.053 69.04% 0.24 0.1745
Using Tokens but Not Events 2208 55.75% 36.97 1.648 68.48% 0.267 0.2243

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7004 13.76 3.44%
II 15507 30.19 57.95%
III 13908 34.82 84.82%
IV 4395 38.63 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.22 Win Model: -0.02
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 28511 64.82% 34.75 60.53%
2 8485 64.51% 36.64 65.6%
3 2475 55.47% 38.73 70.46%
4 1211 54.45% 37.15 63.83%
5 31 41.38% 23.19 32.26%
6 101 49.5% 31.03 52.48%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 240
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11589
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8637
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4330
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3420
Lose: Invader deck ran out 362
Lose: Adversary condition 108
Win: Sacrifice victory 184
Lose: Scenario condition 414
Win: Scenario condition 423
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10708
Lose: Spirit destroyed 399

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1551 50.62% 40.18 1.358 64.73% 0.589 0.4948
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 52 38.46% 39.63 -0.273 65.38% -0.291 -0.7992
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 865 75.12% 32.46 -0.422 45.66% 0.055 0.2519
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 110 51.82% 36.88 1.521 61.82% -0.074 -0.947
Dances Up Earthquakes 35 77.14% 24.34 -1.463 37.14% -0.19 -0.3286
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 811 55.75% 41.92 7.014 70.53% 1.083 0.8608
Downpour Drenches the World 210 51.43% 24.69 0.797 36.19% 0.039 0.3451
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 292 42.12% 41.98 8.419 72.95% 1.514 0.9593
Eyes Watch From the Trees 870 58.38% 39.21 0.286 62.87% 0.24 -0.1877
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 847 60.81% 38.98 -0.877 59.86% -0.239 -0.6521
Finder of Paths Unseen 188 52.66% 33.98 -7.679 57.98% -0.78 -0.1248
Fractured Days Split the Sky 244 47.54% 32.95 -0.575 47.54% -0.137 0.4088
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 431 55.45% 38.89 2.179 65.2% 0.191 0.1067
Heart of the Wildfire 1308 75.69% 33.5 1.672 49.39% 0.653 0.9679
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2394 64.01% 39.61 -2.71 62.32% -0.424 -0.8673
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 95 45.26% 45.58 9.167 74.74% 0.437 0.1436
Lightning's Swift Strike 1285 67.06% 36.04 -0.664 51.75% -0.175 0.0866
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 180 78.41% 34.51 -3.785 36.11% -0.545 -0.8727
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 255 46.67% 43.75 3.01 74.51% 0.131 -0.2443
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 178 57.87% 39.98 -1.131 61.24% -0.468 -0.3683
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 850 68.0% 36.51 3.318 55.18% 0.166 -0.0333
Many Minds Move as One 331 53.47% 39.29 2.233 65.86% 0.342 0.1278
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1449 70.6% 36.08 -2.638 54.04% -0.132 0.016
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 39 76.92% 22.67 -1.738 35.9% -0.234 -0.1892
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 829 55.07% 41.03 -1.693 69.48% -0.2 -0.3026
River Surges in Sunlight 1615 68.32% 37.44 -0.115 51.89% 0.083 0.0805
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 20 45.0% 23.1 -13.27 35.0% -0.667 -0.379
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 123 68.29% 31.04 -2.05 43.9% -0.914 -0.7113
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 165 67.88% 32.05 13.706 32.73% 1.293 1.0792
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 969 66.08% 35.29 1.195 53.04% 0.448 0.29
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 12 58.33% 32.75 4.435 50.0% 0.407 0.0242
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 695 74.39% 30.93 -3.17 39.42% -0.591 -0.0152
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 33 65.63% 15.82 -5.25 18.18% -0.353 -0.413
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 99 77.78% 33.31 0.91 51.52% 0.089 -0.3393
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 31 51.61% 28.65 -12.054 45.16% -0.752 -0.7462
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 100 61.0% 39.2 5.345 64.0% 0.359 0.2996
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 69 78.26% 25.36 -12.436 30.43% -0.168 0.0381
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1409 50.11% 43.13 0.012 68.99% -0.178 -0.1456
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 72 52.78% 29.49 -3.83 40.28% -0.352 -0.497
Shifting Memory of Ages 237 67.93% 27.96 -5.361 38.82% -0.683 -0.3576
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 36 57.14% 45.56 6.03 83.33% 0.53 0.5779
Shroud of Silent Mist 292 79.45% 26.72 0.711 33.22% 0.089 0.4566
Starlight Seeks its Form 365 53.42% 32.76 -1.211 54.25% -0.16 -0.2266
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 562 74.38% 27.13 -2.923 43.42% -0.565 -1.0482
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 691 65.7% 37.66 -0.511 56.15% -0.135 0.0242
Thunderspeaker 1289 63.78% 36.67 -0.294 54.07% -0.029 0.001
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 51 49.02% 18.31 0.0 25.49%
Towering Roots of the Jungle 101 61.39% 22.33 -6.72 31.68% -1.337 -1.1908
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 682 87.81% 31.4 -0.763 48.39% 0.166 0.1858
Vital Strength of the Earth 870 67.28% 30.67 -1.402 40.69% 0.008 0.5887
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 105 62.38% 27.23 3.356 38.1% 0.369 0.8522
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 137 66.42% 33.33 -2.071 49.64% -0.194 0.4251
Volcano Looming High 512 63.67% 35.93 2.785 57.03% 0.549 0.5848
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 217 53.92% 36.8 6.485 63.59% 0.975 0.6574

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 12.5% 31.0 -14.782 37.5% -0.247 -0.2026
Blitz 0 280 61.9% 26.87 -4.806 35.36% -0.925 -0.7111
Dahan Insurrection 4 232 49.14% 49.77 -2.203 52.59% -0.4 -0.6876
Despicable Theft 2 32 50.0% 30.28 4.453 37.5% 0.172 0.8827
Elemental Invocation 1 49 63.27% 24.16 3.033 24.49% 0.063 0.7646
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 891 27.68% 46.82 8.122 68.8% 1.009 0.4092
Powers Long Forgotten 1 82 76.83% 30.94 -4.041 36.59% -0.305 0.5321
Rituals of Terror 3 144 63.19% 32.59 -3.241 29.17% -0.942 -0.8812
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 75 65.33% 38.27 4.106 40.0% 0.16 1.1466
Second Wave 0 373 66.58% 36.71 5.922 51.74% 0.305 0.5551
The Great River 3 46 50.0% 25.28 0.0 19.57%
Varied Terrains 2 24 62.5% 18.29 -1.033 20.83% -0.21 0.6192
Ward the Shores 2 85 63.53% 30.71 -14.437 30.59% -0.336 0.8469

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12384 66.02% 34.33 -0.833 52.21% -0.144 0.1299
1 Thematic 1221 60.93% 39.22 -0.096 47.26% -0.282 0.2929
2 Archipelago 4 50.0% 24.75 -4.122 25.0% -0.291 0.3867
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2918 65.66% 37.65 1.926 59.94% 0.21 0.2784
2 Coastline 299 63.76% 40.48 14.762 65.55% 1.225 1.006
2 Fragment 72 77.46% 33.25 1.592 47.22% 0.296 0.0296
2 Heart 39 74.36% 38.9 0.0 58.97%
2 Opposite Shores 424 65.96% 38.49 -3.991 60.38% -0.713 -0.7347
2 Thematic 243 71.19% 35.66 -4.643 39.51% -0.617 -0.2436
2 Top to Top 91 61.54% 35.52 5.97 49.45% 0.471 0.2136
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 23 69.57% 50.65 0.0 78.26%
3 Other 36 69.44% 40.58 5.153 61.11% 0.165 -0.5986
3 Round (Default) 948 57.65% 39.61 4.31 63.92% 0.484 0.3305
3 Sunrise 7 71.43% 40.14 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 84 66.67% 25.94 -7.661 25.0% -0.042 -0.1896
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 28.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 33.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 24 25.0% 54.79 6.048 95.83% 0.108 -0.5768
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 78 55.13% 40.86 -4.593 48.72% -0.103 -0.2808
4 Trapezoid (Default) 387 53.13% 38.99 -5.144 61.76% -1.288 -1.6176
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 15 53.33% 27.93 9.437 53.33% 0.541 -0.2092
5 Thematic 8 37.5% 9.5 0.0 12.5%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 2 50.0% 31.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 3 0.0% 34.33 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 3 66.67% 49.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Two Centers (Default) 18 44.44% 27.39 0.633 38.89% -0.038 0.1765
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 968 33.21 0.362 44.32% -0.53 -0.4585
Aid From Lesser Spirits 732 35.3 2.913 47.4% 0.028 -0.0431
All Things Weaken 521 31.01 2.288 39.73% -0.043 0.2161
Attenuated Essence 103 30.59 0.376 46.6% -0.198 -0.2341
Back Against the Wall 667 35.65 6.662 49.18% 0.948 1.0014
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 90 35.34 7.585 55.56% 0.944 1.0891
Burn Brightest Before the End 71 30.96 7.292 36.62% 0.541 0.5569
Disintegrating Ecosystem 922 29.83 0.566 41.11% -0.16 0.0284
Downward Spiral 1893 30.88 1.75 43.05% 0.21 0.2838
Erosion of Will 923 29.69 -0.648 35.64% -0.473 -0.3182
Intensifying Exploitation 77 23.88 2.569 32.47% 0.321 0.4568
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 105 46.92 14.333 86.67% 0.714 0.1001
Memory Fades to Dust 1905 29.57 -0.164 38.58% -0.504 -0.3004
Power Corrodes the Spirit 478 29.92 -1.209 40.59% -0.096 0.0787
Promising Farmlands 922 29.72 1.434 38.18% -0.186 0.0126
Shattered Fragments of Power 67 32.49 1.106 46.27% -0.012 -0.0094
Slow Dissolution of Will 89 21.11 -1.401 23.6% -0.436 -0.1373
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 85 44.33 -10.074 85.88% -0.22 -0.9164
The Border of Life and Death 10 38.2 7.102 70.0% 0.662 0.1641
Thriving Communities 505 27.13 -4.8 34.46% -1.074 -0.9178
Thriving Crops 33 35.09 0.944 66.67% 0.02 -0.2921
Tipping Point 324 29.92 0.0 36.11%
Unnatural Proliferation 522 32.38 0.331 43.3% -0.424 -0.3156
Untended Land Crumbles 503 31.41 1.926 43.34% -0.016 0.1659

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4030 64.64% 36.06 -2.01 55.78% -0.164 0.8115
B 4356 63.9% 36.07 0.751 55.28% 0.3 1.1895
C 4440 65.78% 35.98 0.445 55.7% 0.261 0.9532
D 3994 63.14% 36.7 0.008 57.16% 0.168 1.0628
E 1855 63.36% 36.89 0.549 59.35% 0.521 1.2503
F 2267 61.05% 36.57 -0.065 57.7% -0.032 0.7993
G 1995 62.26% 36.91 1.111 58.85% 0.44 1.2197
H 2167 63.38% 37.08 2.59 58.28% 0.46 1.2432
East 1025 62.93% 37.71 2.914 42.54% 0.495 1.3042
Northeast 552 63.04% 36.78 -7.959 40.94% -1.272 -0.4744
Northwest 398 65.58% 35.45 -3.949 39.7% -0.907 -0.1736
Southeast 181 54.7% 37.03 -3.702 50.28% -0.754 0.1393
Southwest 162 56.79% 29.55 1.548 38.89% 0.171 1.4292
West 844 63.27% 36.38 -0.084 42.3% 0.212 1.2101

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 64 0.0% 40.56 6.404 64.06% 0.201 0.8684
Not Using Events or Tokens 2235 66.82% 31.86 -3.565 47.11% -0.647 -0.2261
Skip Initial Invader Actions 282 15.13% 58.32 13.371 90.78% 0.729 -0.0404
Start of Game Growth 474 24.51% 51.49 3.64 82.07% 0.403 -0.0348
Unlimited Undo 1832 59.88% 38.53 2.404 62.83% 0.572 0.506
Using Tokens but Not Events 1106 59.67% 33.78 -1.9 52.8% -0.419 -0.4619

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5099 13.76 6.02%
II 6818 30.19 54.75%
III 5461 34.82 81.36%
IV 1969 38.63 99.59%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.152 Win Model: -0.167
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13668 65.53% 34.74 51.7%
2 4062 66.3% 37.84 58.94%
3 1079 58.44% 38.94 61.72%
4 489 51.85% 39.94 61.15%
5 21 52.38% 18.62 33.33%
6 28 39.29% 28.79 39.29%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 306
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4342
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3597
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1940
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1941
Lose: Invader deck ran out 146
Lose: Adversary condition 55
Win: Sacrifice victory 67
Lose: Scenario condition 285
Win: Scenario condition 192
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6237
Lose: Spirit destroyed 239

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 9787 46.88% 44.16 -2.658 64.67% -0.018 -0.1125
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 530 37.36% 35.29 5.738 53.21% 1.108 0.5998
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4666 77.08% 34.5 -1.559 45.52% -0.088 0.1089
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 1118 62.16% 39.39 5.93 56.08% 0.914 0.0413
Dances Up Earthquakes 320 68.13% 28.72 -0.807 42.5% -0.007 -0.1457
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4670 53.36% 44.54 2.339 69.27% 0.103 -0.1197
Downpour Drenches the World 1407 50.28% 31.73 -3.149 43.07% -0.722 -0.416
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 3073 38.74% 46.8 9.96 74.06% 1.849 1.2949
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5052 51.63% 41.01 -2.249 61.96% -0.088 -0.5152
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4122 62.05% 42.26 0.5 61.72% -0.074 -0.4874
Finder of Paths Unseen 1350 55.27% 38.38 0.804 56.81% 0.144 0.7996
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2937 50.85% 43.29 -2.164 57.68% -0.318 0.2277
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 3663 58.28% 44.07 5.121 64.89% 0.854 0.7702
Heart of the Wildfire 7616 69.77% 38.6 -2.171 52.76% -0.219 0.0962
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 14274 58.9% 44.35 -0.642 65.59% -0.15 -0.5932
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 806 56.7% 36.18 1.141 52.48% 0.149 -0.1446
Lightning's Swift Strike 6429 64.35% 37.89 -0.692 51.87% 0.128 0.39
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1836 65.96% 43.01 4.412 55.72% 0.492 0.1647
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 2672 56.51% 48.11 4.765 75.64% 0.945 0.569
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1656 52.23% 48.3 4.122 66.97% 0.732 0.8316
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5327 62.06% 41.46 0.279 60.43% 0.093 -0.1058
Many Minds Move as One 2159 48.33% 45.42 3.614 72.72% 0.664 0.4495
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8869 65.93% 36.89 -6.071 48.03% -0.977 -0.8292
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 473 76.96% 23.95 -3.116 30.44% -0.631 -0.5869
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4872 52.63% 45.99 7.215 72.87% 1.305 1.202
River Surges in Sunlight 8478 62.56% 43.81 0.697 57.83% 0.152 0.1493
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 165 60.61% 30.81 -1.143 40.61% -0.38 -0.0915
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 681 66.32% 35.37 -3.078 42.58% -0.592 -0.3885
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1209 60.56% 37.72 0.34 45.82% 0.098 -0.1159
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7008 57.47% 40.22 -2.371 57.72% -0.141 -0.2986
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 126 59.52% 38.19 3.449 57.14% 0.606 0.223
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2351 73.58% 33.71 -5.363 39.98% -0.771 -0.1951
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 205 73.66% 29.53 -3.992 37.56% -0.265 -0.3248
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 902 68.45% 33.74 -0.063 48.34% -0.186 -0.614
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 179 72.07% 36.68 6.314 50.28% 0.745 0.7511
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 1134 65.52% 41.61 3.022 57.67% 0.107 0.048
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 522 72.22% 37.05 -6.876 45.59% -1.018 -0.8119
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5861 49.52% 46.03 2.671 68.55% 0.418 0.4504
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 801 51.69% 31.21 0.762 46.32% 0.005 -0.1402
Shifting Memory of Ages 1545 70.58% 33.7 -5.663 41.49% -1.028 -0.7033
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 287 52.96% 34.34 -0.554 45.64% -0.089 -0.0409
Shroud of Silent Mist 1485 76.52% 31.54 -0.532 42.69% -0.014 0.3537
Starlight Seeks its Form 3891 56.05% 40.11 -0.309 58.34% 0.059 -0.0071
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5654 69.07% 32.89 -3.61 45.61% -0.527 -1.0106
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4015 57.73% 43.55 0.96 64.08% 0.33 0.4902
Thunderspeaker 5027 63.94% 39.69 -4.569 54.01% -0.521 -0.4905
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 333 54.65% 21.99 -5.463 31.23% -0.681 -0.4902
Towering Roots of the Jungle 878 59.45% 24.45 -6.665 34.62% -1.103 -0.9571
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 5241 82.31% 37.9 0.94 55.81% 0.301 0.3212
Vital Strength of the Earth 3237 61.76% 32.0 -5.685 39.91% -1.169 -0.5875
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 706 57.12% 33.42 -1.152 46.88% -0.252 0.2313
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 949 65.88% 33.37 -6.166 42.36% -0.733 -0.1142
Volcano Looming High 4625 62.01% 42.45 0.218 63.94% -0.033 0.0031
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1607 53.14% 39.34 3.283 59.93% 0.662 0.3451

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 40 77.5% 42.6 0.0 42.5%
Blitz 0 860 55.68% 39.67 2.969 50.81% 0.257 0.4715
Dahan Insurrection 4 1144 44.43% 57.94 -4.724 59.35% -0.755 -1.0427
Despicable Theft 2 77 62.34% 28.97 0.886 27.27% 0.29 1.0007
Elemental Invocation 1 148 72.3% 31.18 -3.499 33.11% -0.32 0.3808
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 9157 23.28% 53.14 9.134 72.37% 1.362 0.7616
Powers Long Forgotten 1 205 67.49% 30.67 -13.105 28.29% -0.369 0.4683
Rituals of Terror 3 431 48.26% 29.28 1.387 19.72% -0.216 -0.1552
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 93 86.02% 35.29 0.0 27.96%
Second Wave 0 942 77.58% 36.8 -0.935 46.82% -0.39 -0.1404
The Great River 3 114 43.86% 20.07 -12.641 11.4% -0.291 0.7748
Varied Terrains 2 89 67.42% 28.64 0.481 26.97% -0.563 0.2665
Ward the Shores 2 237 72.88% 33.29 -9.876 30.8% -0.795 0.3887

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 87462 64.57% 38.34 -0.956 55.23% -0.23 0.0436
1 Thematic 3108 52.64% 42.76 5.225 49.97% 0.005 0.5797
2 Archipelago 68 65.67% 33.4 -8.014 32.35% -0.985 -0.308
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12025 64.61% 40.91 0.055 60.15% -0.311 -0.2427
2 Coastline 1826 61.98% 41.28 1.735 60.51% 0.051 -0.1682
2 Fragment 334 68.26% 44.62 5.085 67.66% 0.124 -0.1422
2 Heart 223 78.92% 41.95 12.555 49.78% 1.779 1.3088
2 Opposite Shores 2767 60.62% 39.06 -0.095 53.74% -0.347 -0.3686
2 Thematic 620 66.29% 41.27 -0.586 40.16% -0.731 -0.3575
2 Top to Top 516 65.3% 40.98 3.249 58.72% 0.296 0.0385
3 Archipelago 20 60.0% 68.6 0.0 85.0%
3 Coastline 87 28.74% 50.26 4.708 75.86% 0.256 -0.7075
3 Other 136 67.65% 44.91 1.784 67.65% -0.128 -0.8921
3 Round (Default) 4799 55.7% 42.37 -0.017 62.6% -0.498 -0.6508
3 Sunrise 25 68.0% 42.88 0.0 60.0%
3 Thematic 159 65.81% 45.38 1.21 44.03% -0.196 -0.3431
4 Archipelago 16 37.5% 57.94 0.0 56.25%
4 Coastline 28 10.71% 53.5 5.988 82.14% 0.037 -0.0199
4 Leaf 13 76.92% 17.77 0.0 15.38%
4 Other 251 34.66% 53.16 8.171 84.46% 0.672 -0.0125
4 Thematic 1246 31.86% 61.52 -8.031 78.09% -1.345 -1.5221
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3655 45.5% 39.27 -2.05 57.02% -0.763 -1.0921
5 Archipelago 17 64.71% 28.94 0.0 23.53%
5 Coastline 33 6.06% 53.73 0.55 84.85% 0.09 -0.4403
5 Other 126 59.5% 51.6 4.271 80.95% 0.203 -0.5469
5 Thematic 24 37.5% 39.21 -15.065 50.0% -0.229 -0.6157
6 Archipelago 19 0.0% 58.05 0.0 73.68%
6 Coastline 14 14.29% 40.57 16.393 64.29% 0.215 -0.3648
6 Other 36 34.29% 40.69 -1.686 52.78% 0.006 -0.4114
6 Star 24 29.17% 36.63 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 483 71.99% 52.0 2.849 71.43% 1.203 1.1544
6 Two Centers (Default) 165 31.71% 42.34 -0.527 57.58% -0.478 -0.2633
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 5725 34.96 1.24 44.09% 0.025 0.097
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4546 39.38 3.298 52.22% 0.188 0.1174
All Things Weaken 3623 34.85 -0.843 44.0% -0.399 -0.1395
Attenuated Essence 849 33.07 1.754 45.58% 0.222 0.1865
Back Against the Wall 4231 38.41 4.865 49.49% 0.593 0.6464
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 868 30.03 -0.834 40.78% -0.282 -0.1364
Burn Brightest Before the End 519 34.06 0.159 44.89% -0.187 -0.1713
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5689 32.7 0.378 43.89% -0.03 0.1582
Downward Spiral 8805 33.02 -0.907 44.33% -0.189 -0.115
Erosion of Will 5679 33.51 -0.011 40.87% -0.241 -0.0859
Intensifying Exploitation 831 28.57 -1.915 37.79% -0.504 -0.3682
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 918 48.25 5.65 82.57% 0.98 0.3657
Memory Fades to Dust 8912 32.23 -0.019 39.71% -0.103 0.1007
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3594 34.26 0.973 45.13% 0.044 0.2192
Promising Farmlands 5557 32.89 -0.248 42.5% -0.137 0.0611
Shattered Fragments of Power 527 34.64 2.509 45.73% 0.317 0.3197
Slow Dissolution of Will 792 29.15 -1.897 35.23% -0.594 -0.2962
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 642 50.77 0.462 87.38% 0.193 -0.504
The Border of Life and Death 143 39.59 2.461 65.73% 0.741 0.2435
Thriving Communities 3481 32.61 0.125 42.72% -0.079 0.077
Thriving Crops 260 34.79 1.678 57.31% 0.521 0.2086
Tipping Point 1596 32.84 0.0 40.1%
Unnatural Proliferation 3835 36.5 2.694 46.52% 0.16 0.269
Untended Land Crumbles 3463 33.81 0.547 43.86% -0.125 0.0566

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 24811 60.31% 39.25 -0.971 56.5% -0.139 0.8362
B 25095 60.5% 38.69 -0.108 55.42% -0.063 0.826
C 26965 64.02% 38.65 -0.341 55.01% -0.118 0.574
D 22611 62.98% 38.64 -0.722 55.37% -0.139 0.7562
E 13641 61.76% 40.19 -0.556 58.98% -0.156 0.5732
F 15760 57.25% 42.17 1.557 62.87% 0.285 1.1168
G 13716 59.53% 40.56 0.439 59.44% -0.007 0.7722
H 13957 60.31% 40.26 0.115 59.47% -0.08 0.7023
East 3971 49.91% 50.94 -1.091 61.09% -1.091 -0.2814
Northeast 2641 48.95% 52.82 4.712 63.23% 0.779 1.5768
Northwest 2376 49.98% 49.46 -0.486 59.93% -0.591 0.1428
Southeast 1101 56.09% 50.74 2.121 67.67% 0.232 1.1255
Southwest 1079 59.7% 48.69 -0.168 65.89% -0.659 0.5989
West 3693 50.31% 48.87 0.999 58.98% -0.022 0.9759

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 707 0.0% 36.54 -0.756 53.18% -0.339 0.3286
Not Using Events or Tokens 7650 68.57% 30.92 -4.051 40.21% -0.615 -0.1944
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3449 18.58% 61.78 7.911 83.94% 0.565 -0.2044
Start of Game Growth 4703 21.35% 59.0 7.565 81.67% 1.285 0.8471
Unlimited Undo 13339 49.64% 44.65 -0.698 67.7% 0.02 -0.0461
Using Tokens but Not Events 5861 52.16% 40.36 -0.89 56.92% -0.15 -0.193

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 32669 13.76 7.79%
II 38814 30.19 57.8%
III 38057 34.82 84.2%
IV 10847 38.63 99.8%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.002 Win Model: 0.169
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 90977 64.16% 38.52 55.05%
2 18146 64.03% 40.78 58.6%
3 5173 55.76% 42.51 62.46%
4 5204 41.54% 45.26 63.28%
5 140 45.59% 48.67 73.57%
6 747 56.99% 48.92 67.07%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2538
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 31472
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 21652
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10707
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 13564
Lose: Invader deck ran out 879
Lose: Adversary condition 597
Win: Sacrifice victory 584
Lose: Scenario condition 1940
Win: Scenario condition 894
Lose: Blight pool ran out 34047
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1513

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-07-13 03:02:19 (Pacific Time)