The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6015 26.03% 22.71 -0.217 78.9% 0.193 0.0877
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 99 17.17% 22.81 2.925 66.67% 0.628 0.1485
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3997 47.2% 21.73 0.061 75.08% 0.258 0.3837
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 129 22.48% 26.57 5.173 72.87% 1.059 0.2117
Dances Up Earthquakes 107 31.78% 19.24 -1.172 57.01% -0.62 -0.5832
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2867 25.98% 24.62 0.033 84.48% 0.331 0.1938
Downpour Drenches the World 582 25.95% 17.34 -1.831 54.98% -0.363 -0.156
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 553 21.52% 20.66 0.791 62.21% 0.397 -0.2136
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3305 16.95% 27.22 2.166 87.84% 0.362 -0.0137
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2971 22.95% 25.68 1.417 85.53% 0.35 -0.0401
Finder of Paths Unseen 307 32.68% 13.11 -2.259 38.44% -0.74 -0.0204
Fractured Days Split the Sky 728 33.38% 20.51 -1.342 57.14% -0.589 0.0219
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 961 39.85% 21.73 0.66 65.97% -0.252 -0.3515
Heart of the Wildfire 3961 56.28% 20.2 -0.813 70.01% 0.113 0.4499
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5431 27.7% 26.07 0.975 87.41% 0.322 -0.1088
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 142 21.99% 24.35 3.501 66.2% 0.187 -0.1272
Lightning's Swift Strike 5928 42.0% 21.59 0.16 72.52% 0.278 0.5075
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 212 30.95% 23.73 -0.523 69.81% -0.189 -0.6331
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 429 31.54% 24.84 -2.264 78.09% -0.387 -0.6971
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 376 34.93% 22.58 -1.526 70.74% -0.477 -0.6191
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1717 32.69% 25.02 2.394 77.64% 0.486 0.2583
Many Minds Move as One 1205 23.6% 25.07 0.66 81.16% 0.256 0.0135
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5999 41.09% 22.47 -2.079 76.46% -0.463 -0.3541
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 100 47.0% 16.28 -1.063 57.0% -0.222 -0.1035
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2627 28.88% 23.61 -0.6 80.47% -0.127 -0.1728
River Surges in Sunlight 7039 38.4% 24.19 0.938 73.83% 0.255 0.3855
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 74 24.32% 20.2 1.189 58.11% 0.067 0.2425
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 584 37.33% 24.14 -0.192 72.26% -0.097 0.2011
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 258 36.08% 22.93 5.788 63.95% 0.758 0.6741
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3419 35.58% 22.1 0.414 78.24% 0.135 0.0237
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 34 20.59% 19.82 -1.759 61.76% -0.017 -0.1352
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4424 52.56% 21.04 -1.03 69.46% -0.086 0.4085
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 108 36.11% 20.38 -3.094 56.48% -0.624 -0.6751
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 105 30.77% 22.94 2.522 71.43% 0.648 0.138
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 112 33.04% 22.29 2.574 65.18% -0.341 -0.4689
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 324 37.65% 23.75 2.913 77.16% 0.348 0.3597
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 280 40.71% 22.77 0.041 73.21% -0.114 0.0212
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3525 29.41% 25.24 0.494 81.99% 0.001 0.0496
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 189 21.62% 20.92 3.586 62.96% 0.739 0.5242
Shifting Memory of Ages 789 44.66% 19.35 -2.681 61.85% -0.698 -0.4038
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 101 27.72% 19.99 1.955 55.45% -0.069 -0.1873
Shroud of Silent Mist 877 45.53% 19.75 -0.607 65.91% 0.091 0.4189
Starlight Seeks its Form 1317 22.03% 24.1 -0.857 72.36% -0.02 -0.1189
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1953 28.12% 23.15 -0.302 80.7% 0.308 -0.2219
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2300 33.16% 22.59 0.043 76.26% -0.002 0.0749
Thunderspeaker 5515 29.78% 24.69 -0.642 77.77% -0.234 -0.1982
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 137 27.94% 16.73 -0.812 46.72% -0.178 -0.1198
Towering Roots of the Jungle 236 30.51% 18.2 1.099 59.75% 0.598 0.748
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1531 55.34% 19.47 0.377 70.08% 0.266 0.4122
Vital Strength of the Earth 5918 32.63% 20.35 -2.246 69.11% -0.79 -0.2222
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 195 25.39% 16.98 -4.347 50.26% -0.814 -0.2934
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 356 27.84% 17.29 -3.124 58.15% -0.793 -0.052
Volcano Looming High 1284 36.38% 21.84 -0.861 69.63% -0.199 -0.1847
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 262 20.99% 22.41 2.491 66.41% 0.764 0.4717

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 28 14.29% 21.07 1.558 67.86% 0.228 0.2011
Blitz 0 1155 37.8% 18.66 -0.022 62.42% -0.145 0.1055
Dahan Insurrection 4 946 22.89% 40.65 8.284 71.88% 0.365 0.1163
Despicable Theft 2 213 30.05% 19.54 -3.066 46.01% -0.803 -0.3412
Elemental Invocation 1 252 38.49% 19.88 2.101 55.16% 0.217 0.9202
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2298 8.5% 28.32 -0.034 76.85% -0.464 -1.0166
Powers Long Forgotten 1 546 43.41% 23.68 -4.382 62.09% -1.095 -0.472
Rituals of Terror 3 660 40.4% 28.53 -0.236 58.33% -0.831 -0.6382
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 364 57.97% 27.6 -1.27 55.77% -0.641 0.2817
Second Wave 0 1010 54.54% 25.29 0.678 68.81% -0.689 -0.5715
The Great River 3 207 38.65% 20.14 -3.31 38.16% -1.041 0.0274
Varied Terrains 2 182 28.02% 14.32 -2.531 36.26% -0.748 -0.0065
Ward the Shores 2 644 35.15% 25.7 0.191 62.27% -0.547 0.5363

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 41689 38.82% 22.2 0.114 74.53% 0.326 0.8525
1 Thematic 4724 39.86% 27.85 -0.37 68.42% -0.351 0.5035
2 Archipelago 25 32.0% 32.76 0.0 76.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9515 33.65% 22.09 0.33 76.78% 0.376 0.6538
2 Coastline 846 32.14% 22.76 0.901 78.61% 0.351 0.4532
2 Fragment 197 37.11% 21.77 1.091 80.2% 0.33 0.3431
2 Heart 144 54.23% 20.14 0.746 70.14% 0.469 0.5804
2 Opposite Shores 1081 33.27% 22.85 3.876 81.87% 1.204 1.54
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 1112 36.76% 27.72 -1.047 67.36% -0.182 0.5079
2 Top to Top 216 35.35% 21.27 -2.021 77.31% -0.066 0.1763
3 Archipelago 17 58.82% 26.29 0.0 64.71%
3 Coastline 27 33.33% 19.07 -7.74 55.56% -0.546 -0.886
3 Other 104 37.5% 18.8 -2.67 66.35% -0.548 -1.1496
3 Round (Default) 3119 28.92% 23.44 0.063 81.44% 0.181 0.1868
3 Sunrise 10 20.0% 25.2 0.0 90.0%
3 Thematic 275 35.64% 26.52 0.032 65.45% -0.306 -0.2218
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 32.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Coastline 6 16.67% 10.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 8 25.0% 23.63 0.0 87.5%
4 Other 53 30.19% 16.7 -3.478 62.26% -0.229 -0.8479
4 Thematic 749 30.56% 28.34 2.379 86.65% 0.618 0.8852
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1637 22.73% 21.36 -1.961 73.67% -0.994 -0.8294
5 Other 57 43.86% 26.88 10.812 75.44% 0.839 0.453
5 Thematic 10 40.0% 32.3 7.297 90.0% 0.505 -0.2924
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 37.0 8.563 100.0% 0.18 -0.9294
6 Other 15 33.33% 18.27 -1.843 60.0% -0.245 -0.2752
6 Star 8 0.0% 25.38 10.056 75.0% 0.216 0.1992
6 Thematic 66 7.81% 21.29 -1.66 50.0% -1.097 -0.9939
6 Two Centers (Default) 87 18.39% 16.51 -4.754 51.72% -1.376 -0.8115
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 7 0.0% 30.0 0.0 57.14%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1394 17.96 -0.641 59.18% -0.338 -0.0884
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1236 19.52 3.143 59.47% 0.792 0.674
All Things Weaken 722 17.74 -1.74 54.43% -0.613 -0.2758
Attenuated Essence 134 18.69 0.323 55.22% -0.167 -0.1407
Back Against the Wall 1226 18.95 -0.122 57.75% -0.26 -0.2592
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 88 18.49 2.491 53.41% -0.093 0.1245
Burn Brightest Before the End 63 18.86 1.041 55.56% 0.336 0.3178
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1400 15.69 -1.216 54.43% -0.804 -0.4105
Downward Spiral 5271 16.07 -1.416 59.29% -0.183 -0.0745
Erosion of Will 1453 17.95 1.011 57.54% 0.309 0.6612
Intensifying Exploitation 104 18.11 2.292 51.92% 0.5 0.746
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 274 23.71 3.522 85.77% 1.293 0.7686
Memory Fades to Dust 5365 15.66 -1.006 55.41% -0.258 -0.0102
Power Corrodes the Spirit 707 18.8 1.332 61.24% 0.341 0.563
Promising Farmlands 1473 16.95 -2.072 59.13% -0.714 -0.4312
Shattered Fragments of Power 84 22.63 1.617 59.52% 0.371 0.4481
Slow Dissolution of Will 105 18.55 0.218 50.48% -0.3 0.0974
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 222 23.75 -0.462 87.39% 0.19 -0.5058
The Border of Life and Death 29 22.86 -9.05 65.52% -0.478 -1.079
Thriving Communities 720 17.36 -0.646 56.39% 0.102 0.4582
Thriving Crops 47 18.89 -2.907 63.83% -0.507 -0.7028
Tipping Point 504 16.8 0.0 60.52%
Unnatural Proliferation 703 19.49 0.34 59.17% 0.272 0.4338
Untended Land Crumbles 748 17.65 0.142 57.35% -0.207 0.0243

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14618 37.13% 21.64 -0.48 74.78% -0.623 0.3817
B 14863 35.74% 21.91 -0.869 75.19% -0.757 0.1629
C 15257 35.14% 22.09 -0.021 75.69% -0.467 0.2674
D 14502 35.02% 22.15 0.383 76.21% -0.302 0.6756
E 4774 32.08% 22.9 -0.272 74.65% -0.607 0.2123
F 6828 32.48% 23.02 0.247 77.27% -0.507 0.367
G 6302 33.2% 22.5 -0.02 76.39% -0.598 0.2115
H 6531 32.5% 23.08 -0.461 77.63% -0.645 0.1704
East 4482 36.2% 28.37 0.348 71.53% -0.763 0.1401
Northeast 2712 34.79% 28.4 0.227 73.08% -0.698 0.1101
Northwest 2164 34.83% 28.05 2.897 73.61% 0.149 1.049
Southeast 691 32.95% 24.44 -2.415 64.25% -0.973 -0.1226
Southwest 628 30.99% 20.95 -3.015 61.15% -0.882 0.4937
West 3965 37.38% 27.29 0.827 70.32% -0.333 0.6222

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 641 0.0% 19.75 -2.213 63.03% -0.981 -0.2727
Not Using Events or Tokens 16243 43.85% 19.7 -1.296 67.91% -0.191 0.1767
Skip Initial Invader Actions 966 9.57% 34.24 7.853 90.27% 1.148 0.5636
Start of Game Growth 1476 13.91% 30.89 3.528 86.45% 0.445 -0.0685
Unlimited Undo 3659 26.88% 25.14 0.241 80.65% -0.129 -0.2386
Using Tokens but Not Events 4769 28.73% 24.41 0.489 81.02% 0.317 0.2911

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11097 13.33 25.79%
II 22700 30.1 76.53%
III 21492 34.83 86.27%
IV 10594 38.67 99.13%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.003 Win Model: 0.694
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 46954 38.84% 22.69 73.5%
2 12798 34.3% 22.93 77.82%
3 3458 29.44% 23.64 80.31%
4 2445 25.58% 23.42 77.79%
5 72 19.44% 17.61 43.06%
6 155 15.79% 21.8 61.94%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2856
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 18018
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 16439
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10404
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6293
Lose: Invader deck ran out 883
Lose: Adversary condition 375
Win: Sacrifice victory 236
Lose: Scenario condition 576
Win: Scenario condition 1325
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8045
Lose: Spirit destroyed 433

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4276 25.26% 31.7 1.115 79.47% -0.117 -0.2225
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 87 26.44% 24.46 0.438 65.52% 0.103 -0.3769
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2446 49.9% 26.81 -1.747 74.98% -0.054 0.072
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 130 24.62% 33.29 5.45 80.0% 0.923 0.0762
Dances Up Earthquakes 75 40.0% 24.39 -0.779 64.0% -0.493 -0.4559
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2012 27.98% 29.4 0.927 84.05% 0.32 0.1834
Downpour Drenches the World 460 26.77% 22.33 0.493 63.91% 0.429 0.6354
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 463 20.66% 28.51 2.511 78.19% 0.658 0.0467
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2554 18.49% 33.0 3.39 90.05% 0.88 0.5049
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2302 21.66% 37.52 3.945 86.1% 0.007 -0.3838
Finder of Paths Unseen 272 35.42% 18.87 -4.625 44.49% -1.007 -0.2877
Fractured Days Split the Sky 588 32.03% 26.2 -4.858 63.78% -1.407 -0.7963
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 668 37.87% 25.17 -2.264 66.47% -0.538 -0.6374
Heart of the Wildfire 2705 56.63% 26.2 -1.509 75.01% -0.318 0.0184
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4087 35.33% 30.13 0.342 85.78% 0.119 -0.3111
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 142 24.65% 27.16 0.971 69.01% 0.081 -0.2336
Lightning's Swift Strike 3740 39.59% 27.82 -0.413 76.68% -0.059 0.1712
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 524 10.69% 58.69 6.438 79.2% 0.204 -0.2407
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 305 32.79% 30.01 -1.021 80.66% -0.297 -0.6073
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 319 33.54% 29.1 2.985 78.06% 1.005 0.8622
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1294 35.35% 29.44 2.181 80.91% 0.585 0.3567
Many Minds Move as One 974 25.85% 28.75 0.383 79.98% 0.031 -0.212
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3947 39.58% 31.67 1.093 77.81% -0.145 -0.0354
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 93 47.31% 23.87 0.313 69.89% 0.174 0.2925
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2242 29.1% 35.94 3.022 82.47% 0.289 0.2425
River Surges in Sunlight 4857 37.92% 32.52 3.621 76.71% 0.346 0.4762
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 42 38.1% 23.07 3.884 64.29% 0.512 0.6874
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 392 46.04% 26.18 -1.766 66.33% -0.721 -0.4235
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 285 34.28% 28.41 0.891 67.72% -0.076 -0.1593
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2053 37.15% 27.8 3.171 79.44% 0.724 0.6124
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 21 28.57% 23.43 -0.63 61.9% -0.246 -0.3639
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2549 55.27% 25.34 -0.537 68.54% -0.128 0.367
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 69 42.86% 27.1 5.058 71.01% 0.705 0.6533
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 130 30.0% 30.06 5.834 76.92% 1.346 0.8359
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 94 39.36% 24.39 -0.713 68.09% 0.313 0.1852
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 288 36.11% 28.68 2.954 81.6% 0.681 0.6927
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 176 55.17% 28.2 -2.562 73.86% -0.51 -0.3749
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2597 31.38% 30.24 0.202 82.56% -0.06 -0.0117
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 210 15.94% 25.54 2.551 71.9% 0.593 0.3784
Shifting Memory of Ages 567 40.64% 22.77 -1.636 62.61% -0.423 -0.1283
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 69 24.64% 22.25 -0.88 56.52% -0.16 -0.2782
Shroud of Silent Mist 634 51.58% 23.63 -0.294 68.3% -0.015 0.3123
Starlight Seeks its Form 677 30.62% 24.95 -2.298 69.87% -0.431 -0.5302
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1235 38.32% 24.53 -1.025 75.14% 0.162 -0.3685
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1681 35.83% 27.27 -1.266 76.74% -0.353 -0.2754
Thunderspeaker 3676 32.62% 30.02 0.318 78.75% -0.064 -0.0274
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 115 39.13% 20.83 -2.059 52.17% -0.511 -0.4521
Towering Roots of the Jungle 187 29.95% 21.22 -1.543 64.17% -0.264 -0.1148
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 940 64.85% 22.32 -1.239 66.06% -0.201 -0.0546
Vital Strength of the Earth 3469 39.04% 24.55 -1.216 69.82% -0.587 -0.0194
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 172 36.84% 21.92 -2.453 57.56% -0.748 -0.2269
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 263 34.98% 22.1 -2.567 61.98% -0.145 0.5965
Volcano Looming High 862 43.72% 24.42 -3.057 70.07% -0.844 -0.8294
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 240 22.92% 28.72 3.295 77.92% 0.316 0.0241

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 29 27.59% 23.62 -10.222 58.62% -1.036 -1.0628
Blitz 0 975 43.42% 21.0 -4.858 58.56% -1.031 -0.7807
Dahan Insurrection 4 717 23.74% 47.13 3.96 76.85% -0.681 -0.9296
Despicable Theft 2 193 35.75% 23.03 -0.258 47.15% -0.436 0.0262
Elemental Invocation 1 259 46.72% 19.56 -6.754 47.88% -1.52 -0.8175
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2184 9.69% 38.29 5.612 75.23% 0.509 -0.0437
Powers Long Forgotten 1 549 47.54% 25.42 -0.36 57.92% -0.324 0.2991
Rituals of Terror 3 526 46.2% 32.18 -1.819 59.89% -0.876 -0.6827
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 348 59.48% 29.25 -3.135 54.02% -0.995 -0.073
Second Wave 0 2629 44.23% 29.23 1.304 75.28% 0.154 0.2708
The Great River 3 176 36.93% 25.46 -2.187 42.05% -0.856 0.2119
Varied Terrains 2 160 40.0% 17.21 -7.272 33.13% -1.933 -1.192
Ward the Shores 2 510 44.99% 29.06 -0.185 58.63% -0.576 0.5076

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 25580 40.34% 26.36 -0.4 74.78% 0.121 0.6473
1 Thematic 3864 43.54% 30.72 0.763 65.09% -0.328 0.5264
2 Archipelago 19 63.16% 44.68 0.0 94.74%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6423 36.07% 27.42 -0.603 79.32% -0.063 0.2147
2 Coastline 674 42.19% 27.33 1.494 79.08% 0.184 0.2864
2 Fragment 173 48.84% 26.61 -2.102 80.92% -0.055 -0.0425
2 Heart 134 31.34% 28.69 0.982 87.31% 0.626 0.7372
2 Opposite Shores 1020 33.3% 28.3 0.857 85.29% 0.467 0.803
2 Thematic 982 40.16% 30.35 -3.143 65.07% -0.809 -0.1196
2 Top to Top 197 41.45% 27.61 1.559 78.68% 0.61 0.8522
3 Archipelago 18 33.33% 41.5 8.104 94.44% 0.813 0.0921
3 Coastline 23 60.87% 35.91 1.854 73.91% -0.18 -0.5204
3 Other 81 33.75% 27.9 -2.357 86.42% -0.044 -0.646
3 Round (Default) 2383 29.1% 28.7 -1.726 83.21% -0.072 -0.0658
3 Sunrise 6 33.33% 28.83 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 199 37.69% 29.73 -0.5 62.31% -0.2 -0.1158
4 Archipelago 15 26.67% 38.47 5.452 100.0% 0.3 0.4504
4 Coastline 16 25.0% 20.75 -2.097 31.25% -0.267 -1.025
4 Leaf 8 37.5% 36.13 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 56 35.71% 28.29 -3.062 83.93% -0.335 -0.954
4 Snake 1 0.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 337 43.45% 33.71 0.446 79.82% -0.188 0.0796
4 Trapezoid (Default) 972 30.49% 28.71 -1.511 82.92% 0.056 0.2199
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.0 13.337 100.0% 0.068 -0.8105
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 32.5 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 57 29.82% 28.6 -1.219 84.21% -0.392 -0.7777
5 Thematic 11 36.36% 26.64 2.351 54.55% -0.078 -0.8758
6 Archipelago 333 0.6% 72.78 9.492 82.28% -0.1 -1.2097
6 Other 46 6.52% 64.7 0.0 86.96%
6 Star 8 0.0% 28.38 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 29 34.48% 22.76 -0.06 51.72% 0.225 0.3275
6 Two Centers (Default) 65 20.0% 26.12 1.655 63.08% 0.08 0.6452
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 2 0.0% 25.5 -7.339 50.0% -0.651 -1.0852

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1007 23.05 -1.778 60.87% -0.417 -0.1681
Aid From Lesser Spirits 959 24.2 2.15 63.19% -0.097 -0.2155
All Things Weaken 564 22.42 -0.162 59.75% 0.166 0.5028
Attenuated Essence 90 24.67 2.871 64.44% 0.675 0.702
Back Against the Wall 892 23.49 1.417 60.99% 0.251 0.252
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 108 20.69 0.017 57.41% 0.08 0.2976
Burn Brightest Before the End 64 24.88 -2.081 51.56% -0.624 -0.6426
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1091 20.52 -2.09 59.49% -0.234 0.1593
Downward Spiral 3260 20.63 -2.323 60.37% -0.628 -0.5196
Erosion of Will 1087 21.99 -1.31 57.31% -0.622 -0.2699
Intensifying Exploitation 83 21.63 -0.015 54.22% -0.142 0.1034
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 197 28.35 -1.496 88.83% 0.228 -0.2958
Memory Fades to Dust 3355 19.9 -2.581 54.93% -0.875 -0.6279
Power Corrodes the Spirit 517 21.65 -1.363 59.19% -0.216 0.0063
Promising Farmlands 1150 21.26 -3.794 59.83% -0.793 -0.5099
Shattered Fragments of Power 55 23.67 0.887 61.82% -0.024 0.0533
Slow Dissolution of Will 79 18.71 -4.519 46.84% -0.692 -0.2953
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 134 29.33 1.636 93.28% 0.578 -0.1171
The Border of Life and Death 30 27.07 7.391 83.33% 1.106 0.5049
Thriving Communities 540 20.9 0.43 60.56% 0.541 0.8977
Thriving Crops 41 24.68 0.562 68.29% 0.576 0.3798
Tipping Point 365 21.32 0.0 59.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 574 22.63 -1.875 54.88% -0.587 -0.4244
Untended Land Crumbles 541 21.74 -0.41 61.0% 0.25 0.4816

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9918 37.79% 28.42 0.328 76.89% -0.409 0.5956
B 10224 35.67% 28.94 -0.031 78.44% -0.564 0.3554
C 10484 35.74% 29.0 1.639 78.93% -0.06 0.6746
D 9803 35.36% 29.0 1.182 78.6% -0.137 0.8415
E 3493 34.14% 27.49 0.493 76.81% -0.295 0.5243
F 4693 34.55% 27.64 -0.211 78.97% -0.284 0.5892
G 4556 34.11% 30.89 1.166 78.45% -0.258 0.5512
H 4658 31.21% 31.37 1.988 80.08% -0.169 0.6457
East 3425 41.82% 31.47 0.034 66.45% -0.146 0.7571
Northeast 1956 43.55% 31.57 -0.934 66.97% -1.103 -0.2951
Northwest 1511 42.15% 31.97 3.757 71.41% 0.382 1.2817
Southeast 529 34.03% 25.71 0.463 57.84% -0.043 0.8071
Southwest 520 37.69% 22.29 -4.618 53.46% -1.058 0.3175
West 3000 43.1% 30.22 -1.793 66.1% -0.836 0.1191

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 339 0.0% 24.52 -0.139 69.32% -0.034 0.6735
Not Using Events or Tokens 8444 45.35% 24.04 -1.498 67.76% -0.196 0.1721
Skip Initial Invader Actions 536 9.77% 39.28 6.333 88.25% 0.8 0.215
Start of Game Growth 826 12.85% 36.63 0.341 87.41% -0.316 -0.8301
Unlimited Undo 2667 30.75% 27.91 -1.675 78.1% -0.376 -0.4851
Using Tokens but Not Events 3754 28.24% 33.02 1.916 80.98% 0.281 0.2555

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7774 13.33 27.48%
II 15952 30.1 78.54%
III 14107 34.83 88.49%
IV 5934 38.67 99.17%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.842 Win Model: 0.584
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 29779 40.71% 26.85 73.11%
2 9423 37.04% 28.12 79.8%
3 2646 30.28% 29.03 82.58%
4 1377 33.21% 29.93 81.84%
5 68 22.06% 26.49 76.47%
6 474 5.7% 62.85 79.32%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2135
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12095
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11764
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5834
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3825
Lose: Invader deck ran out 393
Lose: Adversary condition 170
Win: Sacrifice victory 141
Lose: Scenario condition 504
Win: Scenario condition 1063
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5598
Lose: Spirit destroyed 245

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5424 31.1% 31.21 0.335 79.02% 0.112 0.0067
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 192 31.25% 29.57 1.478 72.4% 0.447 -0.0331
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3081 57.79% 28.88 -0.86 73.64% -0.126 -0.0004
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 176 38.64% 35.28 3.938 77.27% 0.522 -0.3249
Dances Up Earthquakes 119 42.86% 28.29 2.158 68.07% 0.157 0.1937
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2500 34.63% 31.97 2.207 82.32% 0.402 0.2656
Downpour Drenches the World 654 34.0% 26.72 -1.111 66.51% -0.366 -0.1591
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 835 26.35% 31.52 3.101 78.32% 0.635 0.0246
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3264 24.41% 35.11 2.456 87.84% 0.538 0.1624
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2506 31.28% 33.22 -0.013 82.32% -0.164 -0.554
Finder of Paths Unseen 371 46.09% 20.22 -3.241 46.09% -0.94 -0.2202
Fractured Days Split the Sky 839 40.76% 29.28 -5.058 62.46% -1.093 -0.4817
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1070 45.36% 29.02 0.705 71.68% 0.38 0.2808
Heart of the Wildfire 3499 65.8% 26.37 -1.007 67.16% -0.139 0.1974
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6063 39.24% 33.49 2.404 84.76% 0.52 0.0899
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 272 28.31% 28.92 -0.066 70.22% -0.017 -0.3313
Lightning's Swift Strike 4292 46.99% 28.7 -0.197 71.34% -0.114 0.1158
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 258 47.66% 31.2 0.833 69.38% 0.33 -0.1146
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 479 38.2% 32.18 2.199 80.79% 0.191 -0.1199
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 450 38.98% 32.22 1.297 71.11% -0.423 -0.565
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2156 40.46% 31.99 0.689 78.11% 0.124 -0.1039
Many Minds Move as One 1267 30.26% 31.88 1.028 81.93% 0.36 0.1177
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5076 51.29% 28.74 0.21 70.94% 0.007 0.1156
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 185 61.62% 24.66 -0.547 60.0% -0.065 0.0537
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2463 37.53% 30.97 -1.026 80.27% -0.161 -0.2066
River Surges in Sunlight 5523 48.71% 31.2 0.644 72.15% -0.08 0.0503
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 96 39.58% 29.35 3.549 66.67% 0.799 0.9745
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 614 49.76% 30.49 -2.372 67.92% -0.621 -0.3235
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 395 41.49% 32.83 4.425 71.14% 0.914 0.8301
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3542 39.95% 31.58 2.611 81.34% 0.703 0.5916
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 74 25.68% 31.57 5.224 74.32% 0.576 0.4583
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2775 65.9% 26.24 -2.772 62.99% -0.725 -0.2306
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 91 52.75% 25.89 -0.89 59.34% -0.199 -0.2503
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 212 38.68% 30.92 6.384 69.81% 1.256 0.7459
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 103 53.4% 29.43 -6.053 73.79% -0.883 -1.0106
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 366 49.59% 29.41 2.422 74.86% 0.66 0.6716
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 274 61.68% 27.62 0.68 67.88% 0.171 0.3066
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3376 36.61% 32.33 0.1 80.12% -0.029 0.0196
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 273 27.07% 31.42 1.041 69.23% 0.051 -0.1639
Shifting Memory of Ages 859 51.8% 26.43 -2.041 63.1% -0.44 -0.1456
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 136 39.71% 27.18 -0.257 61.03% -0.601 -0.7191
Shroud of Silent Mist 1000 55.3% 26.23 -1.479 68.5% -0.267 0.0609
Starlight Seeks its Form 1134 40.16% 28.58 0.268 68.96% -0.139 -0.2387
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1841 43.92% 26.76 0.195 72.84% 0.215 -0.3158
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2030 45.37% 28.75 -0.442 72.02% -0.143 -0.0663
Thunderspeaker 4672 41.34% 31.47 -0.975 75.58% -0.332 -0.2961
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 187 34.76% 24.84 2.459 56.68% 0.084 0.1423
Towering Roots of the Jungle 291 40.55% 24.11 -1.694 62.89% -0.444 -0.294
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1435 71.62% 25.29 -2.923 67.04% -0.687 -0.5407
Vital Strength of the Earth 3970 43.81% 26.64 -0.61 66.35% -0.075 0.4928
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 238 37.13% 27.07 -0.382 65.55% -0.189 0.3321
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 385 41.56% 24.56 -3.759 61.04% -0.689 0.0528
Volcano Looming High 1521 46.9% 28.25 -0.516 71.93% -0.161 -0.1463
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 453 32.23% 32.7 2.787 79.03% 0.594 0.3017

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 38 34.21% 24.11 -14.054 57.89% -1.021 -1.0486
Blitz 0 1170 47.34% 24.47 -6.211 57.86% -1.314 -1.064
Dahan Insurrection 4 734 31.05% 47.62 3.436 70.3% -0.302 -0.5508
Despicable Theft 2 194 46.39% 24.58 -3.285 45.88% -0.777 -0.3155
Elemental Invocation 1 244 44.67% 23.36 -3.548 51.64% -0.788 -0.0852
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2314 18.27% 33.09 3.074 67.89% 0.324 -0.229
Powers Long Forgotten 1 488 54.51% 25.07 -7.438 48.16% -1.753 -1.1296
Rituals of Terror 3 396 50.76% 33.37 0.14 53.28% -0.227 -0.0337
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 250 61.6% 32.06 -2.221 51.6% -0.966 -0.0435
Second Wave 0 2292 53.08% 30.78 3.236 69.59% 0.08 0.1973
The Great River 3 155 52.9% 24.46 -4.145 36.77% -1.236 -0.1684
Varied Terrains 2 122 50.0% 17.44 -0.762 29.51% -0.585 0.1562
Ward the Shores 2 547 49.54% 30.86 2.556 57.77% 0.177 1.2608

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 32564 47.66% 28.21 -0.447 71.42% -0.0 0.5264
1 Thematic 3592 52.87% 31.07 -1.02 60.27% -0.735 0.119
2 Archipelago 20 70.0% 44.8 15.429 75.0% 0.581 1.6355
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8601 43.07% 29.64 0.581 76.7% 0.184 0.4614
2 Coastline 990 42.37% 30.83 -0.165 78.59% 0.009 0.1116
2 Fragment 243 50.62% 29.88 -0.258 74.49% 0.166 0.1786
2 Heart 132 44.62% 30.45 -1.782 72.73% -0.212 -0.1003
2 Opposite Shores 1521 42.21% 31.54 0.956 81.79% 0.263 0.5996
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 1332 50.75% 30.4 -0.954 60.14% -0.483 0.2063
2 Top to Top 289 44.6% 31.61 5.447 79.58% 0.825 1.0666
3 Archipelago 12 75.0% 40.42 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 29 37.93% 29.93 2.285 75.86% 0.661 0.3202
3 Other 145 32.87% 31.56 -2.423 81.38% -0.103 -0.705
3 Round (Default) 3673 36.14% 31.23 -0.672 80.18% -0.071 -0.0651
3 Sunrise 23 39.13% 29.91 0.0 78.26%
3 Thematic 288 47.04% 35.26 -1.53 70.14% -0.225 -0.1407
4 Archipelago 17 58.82% 43.35 4.313 82.35% 0.026 0.1765
4 Coastline 11 81.82% 35.55 5.49 81.82% 0.819 0.0605
4 Leaf 10 40.0% 28.7 0.0 70.0%
4 Other 71 30.43% 33.39 3.659 85.92% 0.632 0.0127
4 Thematic 435 43.46% 36.55 -2.288 75.86% -0.377 -0.1092
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1613 33.9% 32.04 2.512 84.87% 0.798 0.9623
5 Archipelago 7 85.71% 33.71 0.0 42.86%
5 Other 83 39.76% 31.34 -1.516 74.7% 0.257 -0.1288
5 Thematic 6 33.33% 19.33 0.0 33.33%
6 Archipelago 5 20.0% 63.4 0.0 80.0%
6 Coastline 3 0.0% 17.0 0.0 33.33%
6 Other 43 37.21% 28.44 -5.41 55.81% -1.24 -1.2704
6 Star 24 29.17% 26.54 -4.161 58.33% -0.717 -0.7341
6 Thematic 89 28.74% 46.31 7.49 75.28% 0.322 0.4252
6 Two Centers (Default) 121 27.27% 30.6 2.733 61.98% -0.377 0.1875
7 Other 7 14.29% 34.0 -5.506 42.86% -0.475 -0.9089

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1760 25.55 2.634 59.32% 0.231 0.4803
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1454 27.4 2.101 62.59% -0.036 -0.1539
All Things Weaken 923 24.98 -0.602 58.07% -0.144 0.1932
Attenuated Essence 141 24.33 -4.055 58.16% -0.792 -0.7653
Back Against the Wall 1469 27.32 0.746 63.31% 0.372 0.3729
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 192 23.24 -0.419 56.77% -0.058 0.1588
Burn Brightest Before the End 118 28.67 5.281 68.64% 0.333 0.3143
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1665 22.92 -2.394 57.36% -0.654 -0.2608
Downward Spiral 4396 23.52 0.301 60.26% 0.201 0.3094
Erosion of Will 1749 24.38 0.672 56.32% -0.036 0.3158
Intensifying Exploitation 186 23.31 -2.713 51.61% -1.012 -0.7665
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 385 32.28 4.33 89.09% 0.926 0.4019
Memory Fades to Dust 4408 22.76 -0.391 54.92% 0.073 0.3208
Power Corrodes the Spirit 965 24.96 -0.333 60.52% -0.173 0.0489
Promising Farmlands 1719 23.57 -0.615 58.23% -0.265 0.0175
Shattered Fragments of Power 168 29.73 2.751 65.48% 0.31 0.3868
Slow Dissolution of Will 181 26.06 0.113 58.01% -0.362 0.0346
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 234 32.04 -2.758 91.03% 0.092 -0.6032
The Border of Life and Death 61 30.46 -2.611 81.97% -0.417 -1.0175
Thriving Communities 898 24.23 -0.57 59.8% 0.003 0.3595
Thriving Crops 64 26.77 0.766 71.88% 0.16 -0.0363
Tipping Point 577 24.62 0.0 60.49%
Unnatural Proliferation 921 25.6 2.417 59.17% 0.434 0.5958
Untended Land Crumbles 884 23.5 -1.134 57.35% -0.462 -0.2309

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12944 43.88% 29.38 -0.227 75.15% -0.381 0.6233
B 13257 44.05% 29.44 0.456 75.33% -0.177 0.7428
C 13672 42.27% 29.71 0.451 75.92% -0.227 0.5074
D 12624 44.35% 29.34 -0.682 75.4% -0.448 0.5297
E 5105 42.49% 29.72 1.42 74.79% -0.091 0.7285
F 6842 40.24% 30.33 0.52 76.67% -0.31 0.5633
G 6007 42.9% 29.88 0.414 76.11% -0.359 0.4503
H 6073 41.35% 30.2 0.08 76.04% -0.381 0.4341
East 3814 48.64% 32.96 -0.352 64.39% -0.423 0.4793
Northeast 2123 48.2% 34.28 1.269 66.98% -0.005 0.8032
Northwest 1716 51.38% 33.01 1.893 63.58% -0.114 0.7856
Southeast 689 43.94% 30.99 -0.275 61.97% -0.261 0.5893
Southwest 640 41.6% 29.27 -3.167 60.78% -1.149 0.2268
West 3318 51.63% 31.67 0.628 62.0% 0.002 0.9568

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 313 0.0% 28.7 1.235 71.57% 0.31 1.0183
Not Using Events or Tokens 9053 50.92% 25.59 -1.491 64.7% -0.372 -0.0041
Skip Initial Invader Actions 765 17.11% 42.67 2.839 85.23% 0.12 -0.4651
Start of Game Growth 1227 16.91% 41.02 4.525 84.27% 0.656 0.1415
Unlimited Undo 4312 38.6% 30.63 0.441 76.32% 0.096 -0.0132
Using Tokens but Not Events 4411 37.16% 30.88 1.337 78.01% 0.203 0.1769

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7783 13.33 6.94%
II 21663 30.1 72.45%
III 17530 34.83 88.53%
IV 9077 38.67 99.18%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.469 Win Model: 0.438
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 36496 48.15% 28.42 69.99%
2 12947 44.0% 30.3 76.51%
3 4117 36.55% 31.64 80.06%
4 2139 36.11% 33.22 83.45%
5 64 42.19% 28.64 62.5%
6 290 28.13% 35.3 64.48%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 539
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 15106
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 14955
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8934
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4922
Lose: Invader deck ran out 568
Lose: Adversary condition 207
Win: Sacrifice victory 235
Lose: Scenario condition 773
Win: Scenario condition 989
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8433
Lose: Spirit destroyed 392

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5285 39.26% 37.38 0.397 76.25% 0.109 0.0037
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 213 36.15% 36.0 3.976 69.48% 0.528 0.0483
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3183 69.38% 33.31 -1.769 64.4% -0.506 -0.3808
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 284 40.85% 38.28 4.962 69.01% 0.888 0.0413
Dances Up Earthquakes 169 50.89% 29.5 -1.84 54.44% -0.512 -0.4755
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2882 35.92% 39.89 3.242 82.13% 0.713 0.576
Downpour Drenches the World 791 41.85% 25.68 -2.601 49.81% -0.302 -0.0953
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1107 24.95% 37.12 5.362 74.71% 1.082 0.4714
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3101 40.45% 39.65 2.639 80.75% 0.587 0.2119
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2726 42.32% 38.31 1.709 77.37% 0.312 -0.0784
Finder of Paths Unseen 428 50.7% 28.6 0.0 52.1% -0.204 0.5156
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1199 38.08% 34.85 -0.054 60.63% -0.199 0.4117
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1556 45.76% 35.87 1.562 71.66% 0.296 0.1961
Heart of the Wildfire 4385 67.77% 33.24 -2.966 65.27% -0.677 -0.3398
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7018 51.07% 40.26 0.564 79.87% 0.037 -0.3938
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 586 16.21% 20.14 -0.85 39.93% -0.06 -0.3744
Lightning's Swift Strike 4549 53.37% 36.69 -1.69 71.29% -0.489 -0.2591
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 453 44.37% 30.57 0.866 58.94% 0.238 -0.206
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 742 38.65% 43.62 6.041 87.2% 1.155 0.8445
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 518 40.93% 33.3 1.743 63.32% -0.081 -0.2234
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2593 47.24% 37.26 1.439 74.55% 0.387 0.159
Many Minds Move as One 1269 42.59% 38.23 2.685 78.96% 0.572 0.3295
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5054 59.77% 33.15 -2.562 65.04% -0.455 -0.3459
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 257 65.48% 24.85 -2.981 49.03% -0.712 -0.5937
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2637 40.54% 38.42 0.958 80.13% 0.183 0.1367
River Surges in Sunlight 5677 57.29% 38.29 -1.062 71.18% -0.437 -0.3062
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 108 55.56% 24.24 -7.691 42.59% -1.22 -1.0445
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 797 57.36% 30.95 1.152 56.96% 0.105 0.4028
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 461 48.46% 33.15 -1.969 57.92% -0.621 -0.7044
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3394 53.98% 35.52 -0.238 71.51% 0.033 -0.078
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 91 47.25% 34.27 -0.794 69.23% -0.368 -0.4859
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2541 73.05% 32.57 -2.397 60.61% -0.516 -0.0211
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 79 36.71% 24.72 6.655 49.37% 1.218 1.1668
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 259 52.51% 34.91 2.419 68.73% 0.455 -0.0557
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 118 42.37% 26.47 1.863 51.69% 0.552 0.4242
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 472 47.67% 38.14 1.686 77.33% 0.286 0.298
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 223 68.61% 34.22 -10.355 66.82% -1.121 -0.9857
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3974 39.42% 41.43 -0.375 81.56% -0.193 -0.1447
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 325 37.85% 34.26 4.984 68.62% 0.585 0.3702
Shifting Memory of Ages 831 62.94% 30.49 -4.223 60.77% -1.061 -0.7663
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 169 42.6% 30.24 -0.632 53.25% -0.13 -0.2482
Shroud of Silent Mist 1090 63.18% 29.58 -3.127 59.91% -0.648 -0.3199
Starlight Seeks its Form 1446 47.16% 35.02 0.948 69.36% 0.141 0.0419
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2574 54.24% 31.72 0.334 68.22% 0.319 -0.2114
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2367 47.64% 37.0 1.637 74.02% 0.162 0.2389
Thunderspeaker 4318 50.99% 37.93 0.255 72.37% -0.11 -0.0742
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 207 31.88% 14.69 -0.421 28.5% -0.303 -0.2447
Towering Roots of the Jungle 376 48.67% 24.99 -2.297 51.6% -0.547 -0.3978
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1885 80.8% 33.06 2.906 69.23% 0.869 1.0153
Vital Strength of the Earth 3363 55.66% 30.77 -2.412 59.92% -0.355 0.2128
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 316 39.1% 24.19 -0.307 47.78% 0.061 0.582
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 465 48.6% 31.07 -5.691 62.15% -0.974 -0.233
Volcano Looming High 1790 56.48% 35.44 -0.201 71.56% 0.11 0.1244
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 735 31.7% 36.37 4.149 74.15% 0.918 0.6263

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 24 41.67% 22.29 4.724 45.83% 0.191 0.1637
Blitz 0 830 53.33% 30.78 -2.871 57.59% -0.324 -0.0735
Dahan Insurrection 4 1110 21.35% 36.97 -1.322 47.75% -0.875 -1.1234
Despicable Theft 2 96 57.29% 33.14 1.28 48.96% 0.204 0.6661
Elemental Invocation 1 216 64.81% 27.19 -9.954 40.74% -1.171 -0.4681
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2353 23.91% 41.12 1.942 71.95% -0.07 -0.6232
Powers Long Forgotten 1 300 71.33% 33.52 -6.427 51.67% -0.328 0.2959
Rituals of Terror 3 317 58.68% 34.63 -2.592 44.16% -0.413 -0.2202
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 105 61.9% 34.96 -15.861 47.62% -1.004 -0.0813
Second Wave 0 1608 61.78% 34.71 1.102 61.57% -0.138 -0.0209
The Great River 3 114 65.79% 33.35 -2.1 42.98% -0.668 0.3997
Varied Terrains 2 60 56.67% 27.33 0.462 40.0% -0.019 0.7218
Ward the Shores 2 304 64.47% 36.97 -5.546 53.95% -0.801 0.2829

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 39947 55.64% 35.39 -0.227 70.0% -0.134 0.3923
1 Thematic 2560 59.32% 38.31 -3.226 60.35% -0.896 -0.0423
2 Archipelago 36 69.44% 33.33 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9156 51.92% 36.28 -0.267 74.1% -0.035 0.2426
2 Coastline 1060 52.57% 38.31 2.887 76.13% 0.648 0.7501
2 Fragment 209 62.02% 36.28 3.099 72.73% 0.481 0.4943
2 Heart 130 61.72% 38.02 0.86 80.0% 0.421 0.5322
2 Opposite Shores 1663 56.55% 37.41 0.665 76.07% 0.254 0.5903
2 Thematic 976 55.28% 38.15 3.293 62.09% 0.075 0.7641
2 Top to Top 308 57.47% 35.51 -6.442 70.13% -0.585 -0.3425
3 Archipelago 13 61.54% 44.38 0.0 69.23%
3 Coastline 48 35.42% 45.69 6.103 91.67% 0.2 -0.14
3 Other 146 43.15% 40.58 5.162 84.93% 0.281 -0.3213
3 Round (Default) 3480 46.99% 37.96 0.725 77.76% 0.224 0.2299
3 Sunrise 13 38.46% 37.0 0.0 84.62%
3 Thematic 166 51.52% 39.28 6.129 65.66% 0.476 0.5609
4 Archipelago 12 66.67% 41.75 0.0 83.33%
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 34.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 9 88.89% 37.67 0.0 88.89%
4 Other 58 37.93% 39.5 5.134 82.76% 0.342 -0.2774
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 66.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 100.0% 30.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 292 42.01% 47.82 0.355 72.26% -0.057 0.2102
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1768 43.1% 40.07 0.768 82.81% 0.075 0.2388
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 5 0.0% 45.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 72 52.78% 38.44 4.263 79.17% 0.435 0.0485
5 Thematic 8 50.0% 36.88 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 26 15.38% 59.96 21.091 80.77% 0.631 -0.4784
6 Coastline 2 50.0% 34.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 40 27.5% 32.35 -10.371 57.5% -1.611 -1.6413
6 Star 15 26.67% 23.4 1.326 40.0% -0.121 -0.1382
6 Thematic 441 3.64% 3.5 -6.193 4.99% -0.363 -0.26
6 Two Centers (Default) 64 36.51% 34.08 -0.308 67.19% -0.365 0.1998
7 Other 3 33.33% 17.0 0.0 33.33%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2439 32.65 -2.723 60.6% -0.801 -0.5517
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1995 35.3 1.763 65.86% 0.395 0.2767
All Things Weaken 1291 30.79 -0.525 55.93% -0.326 0.0111
Attenuated Essence 244 30.25 -0.184 59.84% -0.198 -0.1709
Back Against the Wall 1889 33.86 3.282 61.78% 0.339 0.3398
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 273 30.56 -0.885 56.78% -0.164 0.0535
Burn Brightest Before the End 167 32.1 1.01 59.28% 0.073 0.0546
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2366 29.32 -2.559 56.89% -0.718 -0.3252
Downward Spiral 5199 31.15 -0.098 62.3% 0.046 0.1541
Erosion of Will 2393 31.23 -0.419 57.0% -0.574 -0.2221
Intensifying Exploitation 263 29.04 0.576 55.51% 0.128 0.3732
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 527 40.24 1.4 88.61% 0.209 -0.3156
Memory Fades to Dust 5148 30.08 -0.403 57.28% 0.032 0.2794
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1383 32.57 -0.773 64.64% -0.262 -0.0399
Promising Farmlands 2411 30.13 -1.479 58.36% -0.522 -0.2391
Shattered Fragments of Power 173 34.09 4.281 63.01% 0.367 0.4442
Slow Dissolution of Will 222 29.78 0.425 51.8% -0.261 0.1361
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 348 41.49 -2.223 91.38% -0.095 -0.7903
The Border of Life and Death 62 37.85 2.323 82.26% 0.455 -0.146
Thriving Communities 1349 30.03 -2.256 58.41% -0.423 -0.066
Thriving Crops 107 33.47 -0.336 71.96% 0.227 0.0312
Tipping Point 816 30.56 0.0 56.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 1373 33.2 0.788 62.71% 0.034 0.1962
Untended Land Crumbles 1252 30.48 -0.547 58.39% -0.092 0.1394

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14049 53.12% 36.03 -0.359 72.25% 0.016 1.0206
B 14365 52.19% 36.54 -0.029 73.3% 0.033 0.9526
C 15339 53.07% 36.59 0.643 73.36% 0.058 0.7927
D 13721 53.12% 36.06 -0.231 72.49% 0.113 1.0906
E 6117 51.93% 36.97 1.319 74.94% 0.276 1.0954
F 7808 49.53% 37.52 1.333 75.73% 0.286 1.1601
G 6654 53.16% 36.24 -1.197 72.92% -0.362 0.4469
H 7044 50.77% 37.24 1.182 75.01% 0.272 1.0874
East 3055 48.54% 35.13 0.62 54.96% 0.041 0.9437
Northeast 1883 44.06% 31.93 -0.084 49.71% 0.324 1.1324
Northwest 1487 41.39% 29.4 -4.719 46.0% -1.189 -0.2891
Southeast 846 23.43% 22.04 0.77 36.76% 0.362 1.2125
Southwest 900 23.14% 19.9 -6.207 34.33% -1.477 -0.1017
West 2673 46.59% 32.96 -0.975 52.15% 0.213 1.1684

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 232 0.0% 34.03 0.798 63.36% 0.054 0.7616
Not Using Events or Tokens 7649 60.02% 30.67 -2.324 60.24% -0.279 0.089
Skip Initial Invader Actions 695 13.8% 53.46 9.981 88.49% 1.536 0.9517
Start of Game Growth 1049 19.32% 48.49 1.508 84.84% 0.145 -0.3688
Unlimited Undo 5046 46.89% 37.31 -0.12 73.48% 0.046 -0.0637
Using Tokens but Not Events 4499 39.81% 35.3 -1.017 69.93% -0.264 -0.2893

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9875 13.33 7.61%
II 26747 30.1 72.48%
III 17988 34.83 89.73%
IV 8166 38.67 99.67%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.275 Win Model: 0.101
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 42761 55.83% 35.53 69.31%
2 13390 53.29% 36.86 73.94%
3 3842 46.47% 38.18 77.51%
4 2133 43.64% 41.13 81.48%
5 63 42.86% 36.02 73.02%
6 587 10.09% 11.8 19.59%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 749
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 15814
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18636
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8074
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5868
Lose: Invader deck ran out 381
Lose: Adversary condition 206
Win: Sacrifice victory 272
Lose: Scenario condition 562
Win: Scenario condition 871
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10810
Lose: Spirit destroyed 533

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3368 49.07% 37.19 -1.013 67.84% 0.011 -0.0942
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 109 45.87% 38.28 5.484 70.64% 0.688 0.2083
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1881 75.77% 32.26 -2.405 53.43% -0.225 -0.0998
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 221 55.66% 37.66 1.734 70.14% 0.429 -0.4179
Dances Up Earthquakes 96 72.92% 28.92 3.076 52.08% 0.531 0.5678
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1957 54.21% 38.89 2.522 72.97% 0.586 0.4492
Downpour Drenches the World 441 50.68% 26.58 -1.718 46.94% -0.162 0.0448
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 691 38.06% 40.53 6.033 77.42% 1.109 0.4979
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1946 51.57% 40.05 -0.503 73.59% 0.126 -0.2492
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1882 58.38% 38.81 -1.281 71.73% -0.153 -0.5435
Finder of Paths Unseen 283 59.72% 25.0 0.338 43.11% 0.268 0.9875
Fractured Days Split the Sky 617 54.13% 32.7 -2.767 53.16% -0.636 -0.025
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 989 57.84% 36.42 2.871 66.63% 0.668 0.5684
Heart of the Wildfire 2681 78.46% 31.96 -1.585 53.38% -0.279 0.0582
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5486 61.83% 39.96 2.105 73.1% 0.375 -0.0561
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 265 50.57% 36.18 2.417 65.66% 0.417 0.1024
Lightning's Swift Strike 2720 63.93% 34.3 0.205 58.68% -0.097 0.1329
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 284 56.79% 38.61 -0.847 66.55% -0.162 -0.6059
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 505 52.98% 41.72 5.588 78.61% 0.825 0.5144
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 349 51.0% 38.33 1.942 65.04% 0.077 -0.0653
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1993 62.53% 37.81 0.61 68.79% 0.203 -0.0246
Many Minds Move as One 798 51.38% 38.15 -0.776 73.06% 0.007 -0.2355
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3402 68.42% 33.63 -1.713 58.0% -0.292 -0.1825
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 155 75.48% 26.69 1.26 47.74% 0.274 0.3926
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1807 53.69% 38.55 0.578 72.83% 0.143 0.0965
River Surges in Sunlight 3806 66.7% 37.2 0.237 60.85% 0.162 0.2928
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 34 55.88% 21.85 -7.475 29.41% -1.307 -1.1314
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 310 70.65% 33.39 -4.883 52.9% -0.503 -0.2053
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 270 61.48% 34.88 0.157 55.19% -0.16 -0.2438
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2133 66.73% 34.25 1.461 60.38% 0.449 0.3373
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 41 53.66% 31.24 2.695 58.54% 0.669 0.5506
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1471 74.9% 30.8 -3.706 47.65% -0.478 0.0165
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 54 66.67% 31.8 -2.009 55.56% -0.287 -0.3387
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 217 59.26% 36.46 2.573 66.36% 0.503 -0.0076
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 63 65.08% 29.67 -3.175 52.38% -0.105 -0.2331
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 294 67.69% 38.64 8.177 71.43% 0.775 0.787
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 179 75.42% 35.19 5.074 58.1% 0.4 0.5357
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2746 50.73% 40.06 -2.658 70.94% -0.576 -0.5275
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 166 56.02% 32.95 0.769 60.24% 0.094 -0.1214
Shifting Memory of Ages 467 72.75% 28.71 -1.23 46.9% -0.077 0.2176
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 107 42.99% 29.76 -2.935 56.07% -0.341 -0.459
Shroud of Silent Mist 650 75.96% 29.65 -1.172 51.08% -0.298 0.0293
Starlight Seeks its Form 1077 56.97% 32.22 0.303 56.82% 0.174 0.0745
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1520 68.8% 30.65 0.216 58.22% 0.097 -0.4329
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1390 59.35% 37.24 -2.167 67.34% -0.3 -0.2231
Thunderspeaker 2671 62.1% 37.79 -1.709 64.32% -0.319 -0.2824
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 126 47.62% 20.87 1.524 30.95% 0.194 0.2523
Towering Roots of the Jungle 254 58.27% 25.2 -2.894 44.09% -0.662 -0.5121
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1319 87.57% 29.8 -2.197 52.16% -0.191 -0.0451
Vital Strength of the Earth 1821 69.43% 28.86 -3.615 44.15% -0.73 -0.1616
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 203 59.0% 28.91 -5.866 46.31% -1.27 -0.7489
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 267 64.79% 28.66 -4.654 44.19% -1.133 -0.3919
Volcano Looming High 1132 64.31% 34.49 -1.364 61.93% -0.156 -0.1416
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 463 47.3% 37.83 1.847 73.22% 0.397 0.1048

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 16.67% 12.17 2.151 16.67% 0.217 0.1896
Blitz 0 479 59.92% 33.55 -1.613 49.27% -0.188 0.0627
Dahan Insurrection 4 458 45.2% 56.22 4.77 68.56% 0.376 0.1272
Despicable Theft 2 33 48.48% 32.09 -3.936 39.39% -0.405 0.0567
Elemental Invocation 1 126 67.46% 22.27 -7.059 29.37% -1.261 -0.558
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1353 23.81% 41.84 -0.357 66.37% -0.143 -0.6959
Powers Long Forgotten 1 211 67.3% 30.04 -9.042 40.28% -0.871 -0.2471
Rituals of Terror 3 169 69.23% 31.11 -6.814 30.77% -1.02 -0.8271
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 114 79.82% 34.65 9.602 34.21% 0.178 1.1004
Second Wave 0 992 69.04% 34.46 2.366 53.93% 0.134 0.2509
The Great River 3 52 36.54% 27.23 19.252 32.69% 0.582 1.6497
Varied Terrains 2 25 72.0% 22.16 -8.887 28.0% -1.223 -0.4824
Ward the Shores 2 128 71.09% 33.08 -6.51 37.5% -0.904 0.1795

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 27223 64.62% 34.33 -0.308 60.98% -0.501 0.0251
1 Thematic 1954 64.52% 37.2 -1.294 50.05% -0.549 0.3047
2 Archipelago 8 62.5% 42.25 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5819 63.44% 36.33 0.364 66.45% -0.262 0.0163
2 Coastline 752 56.34% 38.77 4.197 72.74% 0.688 0.7905
2 Fragment 129 63.57% 33.09 -4.872 56.59% -0.273 -0.2597
2 Heart 118 70.69% 32.32 -5.393 53.39% -0.463 -0.3512
2 Opposite Shores 1163 66.47% 35.59 -3.282 64.57% -0.706 -0.3696
2 Thematic 607 70.68% 36.04 -0.119 46.79% -0.265 0.4245
2 Top to Top 177 71.02% 36.08 8.891 66.67% 0.047 0.289
3 Archipelago 5 80.0% 54.8 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 18 50.0% 47.28 0.0 88.89%
3 Other 113 53.1% 38.59 10.422 69.03% 1.003 0.4006
3 Round (Default) 2288 56.08% 38.42 3.493 69.89% 0.475 0.4808
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 32.86 0.0 57.14%
3 Thematic 164 64.02% 33.32 2.37 45.12% 0.359 0.4435
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 16.33 0.0 33.33%
4 Coastline 5 20.0% 22.4 0.0 40.0%
4 Leaf 7 71.43% 42.0 12.989 85.71% 0.714 0.8509
4 Other 64 46.88% 43.95 7.371 82.81% 0.355 -0.2639
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 50.0% 47.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 160 55.0% 36.23 -2.815 46.25% -0.221 0.0461
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1029 55.24% 36.25 -1.553 64.43% -0.168 -0.0034
5 Other 37 45.71% 30.73 -3.897 43.24% 0.134 -0.2518
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 20.67 0.0 33.33%
6 Archipelago 5 0.0% 0.0 -12.914 0.0% -0.615 -1.7245
6 Other 14 57.14% 39.14 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 18 33.33% 24.67 -7.218 33.33% -0.366 -0.3832
6 Thematic 12 25.0% 24.42 -9.307 33.33% -0.231 -0.1282
6 Two Centers (Default) 59 57.63% 33.59 4.11 64.41% -0.073 0.4913
7 Other 1 0.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1974 32.06 1.16 50.66% -0.238 0.0114
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1537 34.63 4.533 55.89% 0.368 0.2495
All Things Weaken 1088 30.26 1.806 47.7% -0.018 0.3186
Attenuated Essence 193 32.78 0.204 58.55% -0.204 -0.1771
Back Against the Wall 1530 34.24 0.824 54.71% -0.199 -0.1979
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 212 27.33 -3.191 45.28% -0.642 -0.4252
Burn Brightest Before the End 149 33.79 1.97 54.36% 0.046 0.0278
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1968 30.17 -0.392 51.83% -0.174 0.2188
Downward Spiral 3735 30.67 0.509 53.01% 0.318 0.4261
Erosion of Will 2069 31.06 1.845 48.09% 0.021 0.373
Intensifying Exploitation 224 29.21 -0.407 52.23% -0.128 0.1171
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 349 43.91 5.322 91.12% 0.543 0.0188
Memory Fades to Dust 3819 29.6 1.485 47.79% 0.199 0.4464
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1060 30.58 -0.701 52.26% -0.215 0.0066
Promising Farmlands 2038 29.97 -0.248 48.92% -0.172 0.1105
Shattered Fragments of Power 165 32.73 -0.868 55.15% -0.764 -0.6874
Slow Dissolution of Will 191 25.7 -2.048 36.65% -0.864 -0.4674
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 210 43.88 3.976 91.43% 0.638 -0.0574
The Border of Life and Death 42 35.93 2.41 76.19% 0.288 -0.3132
Thriving Communities 1032 28.65 -0.728 45.93% -0.347 0.0098
Thriving Crops 97 36.46 2.279 73.2% 0.411 0.2143
Tipping Point 662 31.51 0.0 50.0%
Unnatural Proliferation 1162 31.76 -1.3 50.52% -0.458 -0.2959
Untended Land Crumbles 1119 29.66 1.165 47.9% -0.026 0.2056

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9209 63.14% 34.9 0.184 61.91% 0.037 1.0419
B 9676 62.44% 35.48 -0.465 63.51% -0.017 0.9023
C 9827 62.86% 35.72 0.406 63.89% 0.06 0.7941
D 8748 61.85% 35.51 -0.589 63.96% -0.041 0.9372
E 4201 61.95% 35.43 -0.232 63.65% -0.078 0.7419
F 5132 60.64% 36.11 -0.102 65.82% 0.065 0.9388
G 4511 62.62% 35.41 1.391 64.02% 0.365 1.1739
H 4853 60.5% 36.87 -0.728 67.17% -0.06 0.7552
East 1836 64.43% 37.29 -1.158 49.13% -0.59 0.3129
Northeast 991 65.39% 37.21 1.671 48.74% -0.209 0.5994
Northwest 808 68.53% 34.53 -3.184 43.19% -0.712 0.1885
Southeast 304 58.88% 32.73 -1.74 47.7% -0.232 0.6184
Southwest 312 49.04% 32.88 -3.314 53.21% -0.424 0.9514
West 1662 64.96% 35.33 -1.11 46.87% -0.109 0.8458

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 137 0.0% 36.55 5.278 61.31% 0.515 1.2227
Not Using Events or Tokens 4518 66.37% 29.01 -3.018 49.65% -0.554 -0.186
Skip Initial Invader Actions 571 16.91% 55.77 12.03 88.62% 0.491 -0.0933
Start of Game Growth 908 25.09% 49.4 -1.753 81.72% -0.15 -0.6636
Unlimited Undo 3345 56.08% 38.04 -0.185 68.58% -0.012 -0.1216
Using Tokens but Not Events 2280 55.75% 36.66 -0.148 67.85% -0.127 -0.1531

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7371 13.33 3.31%
II 15880 30.1 57.64%
III 14237 34.83 84.79%
IV 4499 38.67 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.101 Win Model: -0.248
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 29353 64.55% 34.49 60.13%
2 8715 64.41% 36.39 65.12%
3 2526 55.42% 38.6 70.19%
4 1255 54.61% 36.62 62.95%
5 32 40.0% 22.47 31.25%
6 106 48.11% 30.22 50.94%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 243
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11856
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8804
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4434
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3809
Lose: Invader deck ran out 374
Lose: Adversary condition 114
Win: Sacrifice victory 187
Lose: Scenario condition 418
Win: Scenario condition 427
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10919
Lose: Spirit destroyed 402

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1567 50.68% 40.02 1.314 64.33% -0.15 -0.2551
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 62 35.0% 41.5 7.203 69.35% 0.804 0.3245
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 869 75.0% 32.31 -5.063 45.45% -0.538 -0.4124
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 116 52.59% 36.58 0.778 61.21% 0.085 -0.7621
Dances Up Earthquakes 45 75.56% 23.33 -2.323 33.33% -0.561 -0.5244
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 824 55.6% 41.64 0.599 70.02% 0.24 0.103
Downpour Drenches the World 227 49.78% 24.68 -1.226 36.56% -0.172 0.0347
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 313 42.49% 42.19 7.647 73.48% 1.205 0.5943
Eyes Watch From the Trees 890 58.19% 38.99 1.518 62.47% 0.178 -0.1975
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 862 60.68% 38.75 -1.275 59.63% -0.226 -0.6162
Finder of Paths Unseen 207 52.66% 32.92 -1.671 56.04% -0.079 0.6402
Fractured Days Split the Sky 253 47.83% 32.57 -3.299 46.64% -1.091 -0.4803
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 451 55.43% 38.83 5.036 64.97% 0.474 0.3742
Heart of the Wildfire 1325 75.93% 33.32 -2.019 49.06% -0.474 -0.1371
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2420 63.81% 39.55 0.934 62.31% 0.221 -0.2099
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 103 48.54% 44.93 6.808 73.79% 0.813 0.498
Lightning's Swift Strike 1306 66.74% 35.74 -2.945 51.3% -0.42 -0.1907
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 187 77.9% 34.35 -3.864 36.36% -0.537 -0.9812
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 261 47.13% 43.42 0.87 73.95% 0.122 -0.1887
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 179 58.1% 40.06 12.125 61.45% 0.418 0.2751
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 873 68.27% 36.26 -0.173 54.64% -0.226 -0.4538
Many Minds Move as One 341 53.37% 39.54 5.257 66.28% 0.521 0.2784
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1471 70.43% 35.75 -4.699 53.43% -0.793 -0.6835
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 56 75.0% 22.09 -3.783 33.93% -0.698 -0.5799
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 850 54.89% 40.62 0.93 68.82% 0.393 0.3467
River Surges in Sunlight 1634 68.28% 37.27 0.083 51.65% 0.043 0.1732
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 23 43.48% 27.26 11.771 43.48% 0.608 0.784
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 126 68.25% 30.83 0.415 43.65% 0.15 0.4476
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 175 66.29% 32.55 8.032 34.29% 0.964 0.8798
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 983 66.15% 35.02 0.615 52.59% 0.255 0.1435
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 23 56.52% 28.7 0.888 43.48% 0.078 -0.0401
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 702 74.22% 30.71 -7.43 39.17% -1.099 -0.6044
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 37 66.67% 16.11 -2.471 18.92% -0.187 -0.238
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 110 75.45% 33.94 6.508 52.73% 0.749 0.2387
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 32 50.0% 29.53 13.796 46.88% 0.307 0.1794
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 109 61.47% 38.36 0.853 61.47% -0.1 -0.0881
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 73 76.71% 25.95 -0.535 31.51% -0.157 -0.0213
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1418 49.93% 43.06 5.387 68.9% 0.61 0.6586
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 82 50.0% 30.65 6.625 43.9% 0.84 0.6252
Shifting Memory of Ages 237 67.93% 27.96 1.097 38.82% 0.21 0.5039
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 38 56.76% 45.11 5.249 81.58% 0.229 0.1109
Shroud of Silent Mist 307 78.5% 26.35 -2.189 32.9% -0.364 -0.0365
Starlight Seeks its Form 372 54.3% 32.93 5.362 54.84% 0.938 0.8384
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 567 74.07% 27.23 2.416 43.74% 0.603 0.073
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 702 65.38% 37.33 -4.352 55.56% -0.744 -0.6669
Thunderspeaker 1327 63.31% 36.31 -0.197 53.58% -0.039 -0.0028
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 57 49.12% 16.91 -6.356 22.81% -0.742 -0.6837
Towering Roots of the Jungle 110 60.91% 21.89 -4.228 30.91% -0.657 -0.5078
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 721 87.5% 30.93 -0.789 47.43% -0.343 -0.1974
Vital Strength of the Earth 881 66.93% 30.63 0.295 40.64% 0.125 0.6933
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 110 63.46% 27.57 -0.823 38.18% -0.41 0.1105
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 139 66.19% 32.85 -12.48 48.92% -0.874 -0.1326
Volcano Looming High 530 63.58% 35.36 -3.828 56.04% -0.494 -0.4793
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 224 54.02% 36.28 1.941 62.5% 0.292 0.0004

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 10 10.0% 30.5 2.478 40.0% 0.232 0.2046
Blitz 0 294 60.98% 25.77 -9.017 33.67% -1.384 -1.1332
Dahan Insurrection 4 235 48.94% 49.46 -0.688 52.34% 0.014 -0.2349
Despicable Theft 2 36 47.22% 26.92 -10.077 33.33% -0.851 -0.3894
Elemental Invocation 1 56 66.07% 23.68 -1.301 21.43% -0.78 -0.077
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 904 27.62% 46.55 1.55 68.25% -0.246 -0.7987
Powers Long Forgotten 1 84 76.19% 30.45 -8.733 35.71% -0.545 0.079
Rituals of Terror 3 149 62.42% 31.72 -7.81 28.19% -0.761 -0.5678
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 75 65.33% 38.27 0.0 40.0%
Second Wave 0 383 67.02% 36.49 -1.996 51.17% -0.821 -0.7043
The Great River 3 49 53.06% 26.43 8.177 22.45% 0.363 1.4308
Varied Terrains 2 26 65.38% 17.73 -7.102 19.23% -0.545 0.1956
Ward the Shores 2 89 62.92% 30.22 -1.92 30.34% -0.165 0.9184

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12696 65.92% 34.12 0.51 51.88% 0.286 0.8123
1 Thematic 1243 60.74% 38.97 0.274 47.06% 0.262 1.116
2 Archipelago 4 50.0% 24.75 0.0 25.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2989 65.17% 37.25 -1.932 59.32% -0.104 0.1741
2 Coastline 302 63.79% 40.24 -5.757 65.23% -0.053 0.0495
2 Fragment 73 77.78% 33.05 -3.387 46.58% -0.503 -0.4901
2 Heart 40 72.5% 39.17 7.815 60.0% 0.272 0.3833
2 Opposite Shores 433 65.97% 38.31 -1.752 60.05% -0.173 0.1629
2 Thematic 248 71.37% 35.44 1.007 39.11% -0.146 0.5431
2 Top to Top 93 60.22% 34.75 -13.965 48.39% -0.715 -0.4728
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 23 69.57% 50.65 0.0 78.26%
3 Other 37 70.27% 39.49 -1.053 59.46% 0.087 -0.5151
3 Round (Default) 975 57.19% 39.48 4.059 63.69% 0.883 0.8887
3 Sunrise 7 71.43% 40.14 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 84 66.67% 25.94 0.0 25.0%
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 19.0 -10.101 33.33% -0.179 -0.9374
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 33.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 25 28.0% 53.4 -3.507 92.0% -0.372 -0.9913
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 79 54.43% 40.34 -2.716 48.1% -0.042 0.2253
4 Trapezoid (Default) 392 53.47% 38.89 -4.034 61.48% -1.278 -1.114
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 16 56.25% 29.38 12.577 56.25% 0.464 0.0783
5 Thematic 8 37.5% 9.5 0.0 12.5%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 3 66.67% 37.33 9.5 66.67% 0.302 0.2711
6 Star 4 0.0% 45.0 23.483 50.0% 0.213 0.196
6 Thematic 3 66.67% 49.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Two Centers (Default) 18 44.44% 27.39 7.609 38.89% 0.114 0.6786
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 987 33.23 3.785 44.48% 0.252 0.5015
Aid From Lesser Spirits 745 35.22 2.622 47.11% 0.008 -0.1103
All Things Weaken 537 30.74 -2.118 39.11% -0.957 -0.6197
Attenuated Essence 110 30.79 0.082 48.18% 0.185 0.212
Back Against the Wall 684 35.61 3.898 49.12% 0.235 0.2363
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 107 35.1 3.545 55.14% 0.406 0.6235
Burn Brightest Before the End 77 31.82 8.672 40.26% 1.276 1.2574
Disintegrating Ecosystem 932 29.8 0.471 41.09% 0.105 0.498
Downward Spiral 1918 30.76 0.54 42.91% 0.155 0.2634
Erosion of Will 934 29.48 -5.591 35.22% -1.536 -1.1837
Intensifying Exploitation 87 24.21 0.81 32.18% -0.197 0.0489
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 110 46.05 5.151 84.55% 0.508 -0.0162
Memory Fades to Dust 1936 29.53 1.508 38.64% 0.305 0.5523
Power Corrodes the Spirit 493 29.71 -2.211 40.16% -0.499 -0.2773
Promising Farmlands 938 29.54 -0.769 37.85% -0.313 -0.0303
Shattered Fragments of Power 75 32.93 3.021 48.0% 0.295 0.3724
Slow Dissolution of Will 94 21.03 -0.625 23.4% -0.446 -0.049
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 85 44.33 0.0 85.88%
The Border of Life and Death 12 31.83 -2.216 58.33% -0.139 -0.7395
Thriving Communities 514 26.92 -3.677 34.05% -0.824 -0.4675
Thriving Crops 36 35.0 5.205 66.67% 0.404 0.2082
Tipping Point 324 29.92 0.0 36.11%
Unnatural Proliferation 537 32.26 1.011 43.2% -0.15 0.0118
Untended Land Crumbles 513 31.25 0.451 43.08% -0.106 0.1255

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4133 64.58% 35.77 -1.151 55.31% -0.163 0.8413
B 4448 63.67% 35.86 -0.575 54.99% -0.134 0.7852
C 4540 65.41% 35.82 1.288 55.48% 0.2 0.9342
D 4063 63.15% 36.47 -0.001 56.76% -0.149 0.829
E 1927 63.03% 36.64 0.78 58.9% 0.065 0.8844
F 2344 60.97% 36.26 0.446 57.08% -0.147 0.7265
G 2034 62.18% 36.65 -0.655 58.36% -0.331 0.4781
H 2231 63.2% 36.84 1.264 57.96% 0.078 0.8927
East 1043 62.9% 37.53 2.942 42.47% 0.154 1.0565
Northeast 562 62.99% 36.43 -2.25 40.57% -0.446 0.362
Northwest 404 65.1% 35.32 0.766 39.6% 0.015 0.9153
Southeast 185 55.68% 36.95 7.113 50.27% 0.608 1.4583
Southwest 165 56.97% 29.45 2.51 38.79% 0.216 1.5916
West 857 63.01% 36.1 -5.309 42.01% -0.805 0.1502

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 68 0.0% 40.88 6.338 64.71% 0.726 1.434
Not Using Events or Tokens 2271 66.47% 31.59 -3.919 46.68% -0.895 -0.5268
Skip Initial Invader Actions 284 15.13% 58.36 13.164 90.85% 0.753 0.1683
Start of Game Growth 482 24.84% 51.21 3.572 81.54% 0.278 -0.2357
Unlimited Undo 1888 59.75% 38.34 1.867 62.5% 0.569 0.4594
Using Tokens but Not Events 1131 59.6% 33.84 3.804 52.87% 0.31 0.2847

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5294 13.33 5.84%
II 6946 30.1 54.56%
III 5579 34.83 81.36%
IV 1995 38.67 99.6%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.506 Win Model: 0.298
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 14007 65.42% 34.51 51.38%
2 4152 65.95% 37.5 58.41%
3 1106 58.11% 38.84 61.57%
4 497 52.23% 39.65 60.56%
5 22 54.55% 20.09 36.36%
6 30 40.0% 31.1 43.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 308
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4436
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3653
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1966
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2107
Lose: Invader deck ran out 148
Lose: Adversary condition 60
Win: Sacrifice victory 68
Lose: Scenario condition 290
Win: Scenario condition 194
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6342
Lose: Spirit destroyed 242

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 9957 46.82% 43.85 -0.948 64.15% 0.103 -0.0024
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 621 38.16% 36.19 4.914 54.59% 1.001 0.5207
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4759 76.92% 34.3 -0.827 45.28% 0.098 0.2233
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 1229 62.54% 40.06 7.755 57.61% 1.193 0.3457
Dances Up Earthquakes 449 68.82% 27.21 -2.256 40.31% -0.079 -0.0421
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4772 53.43% 44.27 0.999 68.76% 0.146 0.0096
Downpour Drenches the World 1548 50.81% 31.03 -3.073 42.18% -0.396 -0.1897
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 3308 38.34% 46.95 10.277 74.3% 1.792 1.1808
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5187 51.56% 40.7 0.298 61.5% 0.182 -0.193
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4228 61.96% 42.07 1.118 61.47% 0.221 -0.1691
Finder of Paths Unseen 1448 54.85% 37.37 -3.665 55.11% -0.707 0.0126
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3011 50.43% 43.0 2.38 57.36% 0.374 0.9851
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 3856 58.08% 44.01 5.811 65.04% 1.09 0.99
Heart of the Wildfire 7737 69.81% 38.41 -1.61 52.5% -0.153 0.1838
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 14509 58.96% 44.17 -0.506 65.31% 0.096 -0.3341
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 860 56.28% 36.18 1.185 52.67% 0.195 -0.1198
Lightning's Swift Strike 6565 64.26% 37.55 -2.404 51.39% -0.208 0.0222
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1962 65.85% 42.67 2.233 55.25% 0.18 -0.2639
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 2759 55.98% 47.66 2.041 74.95% 0.545 0.2343
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1747 52.72% 47.59 2.782 65.71% 0.618 0.476
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5453 61.98% 41.16 -0.537 59.99% -0.007 -0.2349
Many Minds Move as One 2222 48.12% 45.15 2.072 72.1% 0.329 0.0866
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9040 65.89% 36.6 -4.272 47.62% -0.574 -0.4654
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 610 74.59% 23.79 -3.754 31.15% -0.52 -0.4018
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4981 52.49% 45.74 3.252 72.48% 0.653 0.607
River Surges in Sunlight 8619 62.56% 43.48 -1.318 57.38% -0.063 0.0671
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 169 60.95% 30.57 -4.869 40.24% -0.739 -0.5636
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 738 65.94% 34.03 -6.943 40.38% -1.768 -1.4704
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1335 60.66% 37.24 0.558 45.39% 0.043 -0.0412
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7146 57.25% 39.97 -1.627 57.35% -0.183 -0.2941
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 181 54.14% 39.51 4.51 60.22% 0.892 0.7738
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2400 72.95% 33.14 -10.057 39.25% -1.933 -1.438
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 214 73.36% 29.38 1.067 37.38% 0.258 0.2062
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 977 68.72% 33.79 0.229 48.41% 0.131 -0.3797
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 188 71.81% 36.22 0.128 49.47% -0.039 -0.1668
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 1195 65.1% 41.27 1.673 57.07% 0.051 0.0632
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 534 72.47% 36.92 1.135 45.51% 0.198 0.3332
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5946 49.59% 45.89 3.081 68.31% 0.458 0.5062
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 836 51.32% 31.81 4.467 47.13% 0.571 0.3562
Shifting Memory of Ages 1573 70.15% 33.42 -6.854 41.13% -1.058 -0.7636
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 321 52.02% 33.99 -1.319 45.48% -0.395 -0.5137
Shroud of Silent Mist 1569 76.69% 31.2 -1.662 42.07% -0.191 0.1369
Starlight Seeks its Form 4080 56.37% 39.94 2.439 58.21% 0.607 0.5078
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5810 69.01% 32.58 -5.514 45.09% -0.855 -1.3854
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4288 57.87% 43.17 3.517 63.74% 0.657 0.7337
Thunderspeaker 5141 63.65% 39.39 -0.955 53.65% 0.202 0.2383
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 355 54.65% 22.52 -0.335 31.55% -0.218 -0.1591
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1096 61.41% 23.8 -4.564 34.12% -0.447 -0.2976
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 5396 82.11% 37.71 -0.616 55.47% -0.019 0.1267
Vital Strength of the Earth 3338 61.33% 31.52 -6.442 39.25% -1.253 -0.6848
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 743 56.83% 33.07 0.045 46.3% 0.031 0.5517
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 998 65.96% 32.39 -8.303 40.68% -1.711 -0.9695
Volcano Looming High 4773 62.18% 42.1 0.07 63.38% 0.213 0.2282
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1717 53.41% 39.44 4.349 60.28% 0.861 0.5686

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 42 73.81% 40.57 -12.544 40.48% -0.488 -0.5156
Blitz 0 881 55.01% 39.22 -3.497 50.28% -0.681 -0.4303
Dahan Insurrection 4 1159 44.46% 57.84 6.29 59.28% 0.497 0.2484
Despicable Theft 2 81 61.73% 29.65 4.64 28.4% -0.221 0.2412
Elemental Invocation 1 152 73.03% 30.65 -6.478 32.24% -0.708 -0.0048
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 9341 23.32% 53.04 8.451 72.25% 1.198 0.6458
Powers Long Forgotten 1 211 66.03% 30.11 -8.545 27.96% -0.429 0.1949
Rituals of Terror 3 438 47.95% 29.53 8.368 19.86% -0.071 0.1217
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 94 85.11% 34.91 -27.061 27.66% -0.637 0.2851
Second Wave 0 960 77.48% 36.6 -1.83 46.46% -0.587 -0.4695
The Great River 3 116 43.97% 19.72 -12.637 11.21% -0.403 0.6654
Varied Terrains 2 125 64.0% 22.57 -8.93 20.0% -1.397 -0.6561
Ward the Shores 2 243 72.31% 32.78 -7.813 30.45% -0.613 0.4706

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 90847 64.4% 38.01 -0.356 54.78% -0.098 0.4285
1 Thematic 3222 52.3% 42.34 -0.225 49.6% -0.516 0.3384
2 Archipelago 68 65.67% 33.4 -15.289 32.35% -0.367 0.6876
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12373 64.54% 40.63 0.19 59.78% -0.196 0.0815
2 Coastline 1880 61.83% 41.07 1.497 60.11% 0.056 0.1589
2 Fragment 337 68.25% 44.64 4.982 67.66% 0.019 0.0316
2 Heart 226 78.32% 41.65 2.228 49.56% 0.254 0.3659
2 Opposite Shores 2858 60.72% 38.67 -1.058 53.01% -0.513 -0.1768
2 Thematic 633 65.71% 41.4 7.757 40.6% 0.699 1.3883
2 Top to Top 557 63.36% 39.75 -2.4 57.09% -0.444 -0.202
3 Archipelago 20 60.0% 68.6 0.0 85.0%
3 Coastline 87 28.74% 50.26 23.773 75.86% 0.803 0.4631
3 Other 139 66.91% 44.52 5.051 66.91% 0.612 0.0102
3 Round (Default) 4942 55.5% 42.11 0.222 62.28% -0.193 -0.1868
3 Sunrise 26 65.38% 43.85 20.916 61.54% 0.58 0.518
3 Thematic 162 65.19% 46.38 -2.226 45.06% -0.487 -0.403
4 Archipelago 16 37.5% 57.94 0.0 56.25%
4 Coastline 28 10.71% 53.5 0.0 82.14%
4 Leaf 13 76.92% 17.77 0.0 15.38%
4 Other 251 34.66% 53.16 9.162 84.46% 1.136 0.5172
4 Thematic 1259 32.09% 61.1 -4.079 77.44% -0.793 -0.5255
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3717 45.49% 39.12 -0.971 56.71% -0.354 -0.1899
5 Archipelago 17 64.71% 28.94 0.0 23.53%
5 Coastline 36 5.56% 49.25 -13.081 77.78% -0.65 -0.5536
5 Other 138 60.9% 50.3 1.026 78.99% 0.075 -0.3112
5 Thematic 25 40.0% 40.28 6.131 52.0% 0.039 -0.7588
6 Archipelago 21 0.0% 55.86 -2.634 71.43% -0.485 -1.595
6 Coastline 15 13.33% 41.8 17.092 66.67% 0.392 -0.4453
6 Other 41 37.5% 39.24 0.937 51.22% -0.358 -0.3883
6 Star 25 32.0% 38.2 26.107 52.0% 0.541 0.5237
6 Thematic 511 71.76% 52.02 2.572 71.23% 0.207 0.3104
6 Two Centers (Default) 174 31.21% 41.16 -0.084 55.75% -0.877 -0.3119
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 4 0.0% 0.0 -2.67 0.0% -0.07 -0.5039

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 5875 34.74 -1.424 43.74% -0.58 -0.3303
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4637 39.24 1.824 51.95% -0.165 -0.2834
All Things Weaken 3770 34.68 -0.383 43.82% -0.42 -0.0825
Attenuated Essence 957 32.38 -1.364 44.62% -0.443 -0.4167
Back Against the Wall 4329 38.38 2.89 49.55% 0.102 0.1027
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 979 29.94 -0.841 40.65% -0.416 -0.1991
Burn Brightest Before the End 590 34.14 2.117 45.42% 0.068 0.0495
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5824 32.51 -2.071 43.68% -0.391 0.0024
Downward Spiral 9029 32.86 0.162 44.09% -0.082 0.0258
Erosion of Will 5812 33.44 0.595 40.81% -0.253 0.0993
Intensifying Exploitation 944 28.65 -0.551 38.35% -0.258 -0.0128
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 958 47.54 1.604 81.42% 0.377 -0.1475
Memory Fades to Dust 9132 32.12 -0.096 39.67% -0.149 0.0988
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3723 34.05 -0.679 44.88% -0.397 -0.1756
Promising Farmlands 5701 32.76 -0.196 42.31% -0.26 0.0233
Shattered Fragments of Power 595 35.04 3.452 46.22% 0.02 0.0971
Slow Dissolution of Will 895 28.8 -1.715 34.75% -0.715 -0.318
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 657 50.7 6.87 87.37% 1.153 0.4573
The Border of Life and Death 156 39.32 3.901 65.38% 0.426 -0.175
Thriving Communities 3626 32.41 -0.853 42.44% -0.427 -0.0706
Thriving Crops 292 34.8 0.864 57.53% 0.254 0.0576
Tipping Point 1597 32.82 -14.099 40.08% -0.398 0.0366
Unnatural Proliferation 3969 36.27 -0.062 46.13% -0.503 -0.3407
Untended Land Crumbles 3586 33.48 -3.116 43.42% -0.817 -0.5853

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 25603 60.26% 38.87 -1.096 55.92% -0.506 0.4992
B 25899 60.38% 38.39 -0.178 54.98% -0.423 0.4968
C 27910 63.84% 38.41 0.85 54.69% -0.273 0.4617
D 23323 62.89% 38.31 -0.471 54.91% -0.416 0.5623
E 14224 61.59% 39.79 -0.192 58.35% -0.388 0.4315
F 16349 57.15% 41.76 0.446 62.24% -0.267 0.6066
G 14162 59.43% 40.33 1.765 59.24% -0.04 0.7689
H 14413 60.25% 39.91 -0.685 58.95% -0.521 0.2935
East 4076 49.98% 50.73 -1.023 60.89% -1.289 -0.3861
Northeast 2725 49.13% 52.52 3.932 62.9% 0.359 1.1668
Northwest 2469 50.08% 48.82 -1.672 59.17% -0.898 0.0017
Southeast 1139 56.24% 50.85 4.533 67.78% 0.383 1.2338
Southwest 1123 59.5% 48.71 1.814 65.89% -0.347 1.0291
West 3812 50.26% 48.43 0.667 58.47% -0.525 0.4303

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 720 0.0% 36.08 -7.097 52.5% -0.899 -0.191
Not Using Events or Tokens 7858 68.26% 30.46 -5.45 39.62% -0.754 -0.3855
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3534 18.72% 61.79 9.391 83.73% 0.757 0.1727
Start of Game Growth 4820 21.46% 58.99 7.689 81.49% 1.067 0.5534
Unlimited Undo 13645 49.4% 44.45 0.055 67.32% -0.085 -0.1948
Using Tokens but Not Events 6195 52.27% 39.97 0.691 56.61% 0.029 0.0031

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 34435 13.33 7.56%
II 39987 30.1 57.66%
III 39138 34.83 84.12%
IV 11172 38.67 99.8%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.413 Win Model: 0.472
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 94497 63.99% 38.19 54.61%
2 18684 63.91% 40.49 58.16%
3 5322 55.55% 42.27 62.18%
4 5278 41.6% 45.01 62.86%
5 155 47.02% 46.8 70.97%
6 796 56.87% 48.58 66.46%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2599
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 32338
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 22267
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 11027
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 15059
Lose: Invader deck ran out 903
Lose: Adversary condition 613
Win: Sacrifice victory 602
Lose: Scenario condition 1959
Win: Scenario condition 903
Lose: Blight pool ran out 34911
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1551

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)