The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3022 26.88% 24.94 -0.145 87.89% -0.042 0.1078
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2184 50.44% 23.36 -0.329 80.77% -0.006 0.233
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1340 25.83% 25.93 0.233 92.24% 0.469 0.3828
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1556 15.91% 28.52 1.271 94.6% 0.421 0.0525
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1354 23.83% 26.91 0.576 93.21% 0.512 0.2856
Fractured Days Split the Sky 159 38.99% 26.6 0.916 80.5% -0.463 -0.1368
Heart of the Wildfire 2262 59.36% 20.97 -1.356 74.45% -0.244 0.1051
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3135 28.55% 26.6 0.49 91.26% 0.438 0.1414
Lightning's Swift Strike 3404 40.65% 24.15 -0.141 81.37% -0.151 0.1199
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 255 32.16% 25.61 0.305 89.8% 0.152 -0.2272
Many Minds Move as One 336 22.92% 26.89 0.641 93.45% 0.322 -0.1919
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3216 41.3% 24.58 -0.11 84.95% 0.248 0.0522
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1278 28.56% 25.2 -0.114 89.98% 0.225 0.2792
River Surges in Sunlight 4116 37.38% 26.72 0.95 81.54% -0.222 -0.0528
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1876 38.09% 23.22 -0.764 84.86% -0.024 0.1296
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2560 54.53% 23.65 -0.276 78.16% -0.009 0.4442
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2133 29.5% 26.58 0.58 87.58% -0.077 -0.14
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 695 27.91% 23.47 -1.046 90.65% 0.091 0.0769
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1090 33.76% 24.12 -0.559 83.39% -0.358 -0.1401
Thunderspeaker 2818 31.12% 27.1 0.858 86.05% -0.016 0.047
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 563 61.61% 20.1 -2.074 78.15% -0.081 -0.0351
Vital Strength of the Earth 3356 33.27% 23.15 -0.844 79.47% -0.672 0.1939
Volcano Looming High 66 36.36% 21.91 -1.259 80.3% -0.524 -0.6557

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 621 44.3% 21.67 -1.585 76.17% -0.513 0.0546
Dahan Insurrection 4 606 22.67% 46.14 10.019 82.01% -1.023 -0.6236
Elemental Invocation 1 6 50.0% 23.0 -0.041 83.33% 0.085 0.6258
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1750 7.85% 30.0 1.767 83.89% -1.87 -1.489
Powers Long Forgotten 1 334 49.7% 29.19 1.757 76.35% -0.446 0.0069
Rituals of Terror 3 423 47.12% 35.27 5.08 73.52% -0.637 -0.0134
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 246 68.7% 31.15 3.469 63.01% -0.76 -0.1329
Second Wave 0 555 60.54% 23.19 -0.235 70.63% -0.526 -0.1021
The Great River 3 26 53.85% 25.08 0.622 42.31% -2.628 -1.1596
Ward the Shores 2 384 44.53% 30.83 2.654 75.0% -0.702 0.3284

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 19418 40.39% 23.64 -0.616 82.02% -0.058 0.2988
1 Thematic 2443 43.23% 31.37 2.203 77.77% -0.082 0.4167
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4786 33.39% 24.24 -0.295 86.71% 0.038 0.2217
2 Coastline 332 34.05% 24.06 -0.246 87.65% 0.129 0.2529
2 Fragment 90 35.56% 23.09 -0.726 86.67% -0.094 0.339
2 Heart 57 60.0% 20.93 -1.109 80.7% 0.195 0.4817
2 Opposite Shores 492 32.29% 24.13 -0.443 87.6% 0.002 0.2227
2 Thematic 543 41.88% 33.12 1.975 82.32% 0.111 0.1553
2 Top to Top 102 32.67% 22.94 -0.833 84.31% -0.308 -0.1941
3 Coastline 7 42.86% 25.14 0.824 85.71% 0.242 0.2083
3 Other 45 46.67% 20.58 -1.505 75.56% -0.628 -0.2144
3 Round (Default) 1335 27.13% 24.87 -0.059 89.21% -0.164 -0.1461
3 Sunrise 2 0.0% 30.5 0.871 100.0% 0.052 -0.1967
3 Thematic 90 35.56% 31.16 -0.009 77.78% -0.593 -0.9289
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 21.33 -2.056 66.67% -0.478 -0.279
4 Leaf 5 20.0% 27.4 1.94 100.0% 0.188 0.2266
4 Other 17 29.41% 22.18 -0.98 88.24% -0.37 -0.2976
4 Thematic 272 29.74% 32.47 0.248 93.38% 0.576 -0.5103
4 Trapezoid (Default) 619 25.7% 25.24 0.25 92.41% 0.13 0.0777
5 Other 10 90.0% 23.7 1.026 100.0% 0.943 0.6923
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 29.67 0.038 100.0% 0.205 -2.511

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 780 18.08 -4.228 62.95% -3.299 -1.234
Aid From Lesser Spirits 675 19.17 -3.865 61.19% -3.355 -1.4393
All Things Weaken 183 17.44 -4.295 63.93% -3.137 -0.9782
Back Against the Wall 653 17.93 -4.279 57.58% -3.554 -1.4594
Disintegrating Ecosystem 774 15.09 -5.799 54.52% -3.616 -1.3938
Downward Spiral 2723 17.18 -4.465 64.56% -2.932 -0.9193
Erosion of Will 792 18.02 -4.307 60.1% -3.416 -1.2059
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 75 24.28 -1.078 93.33% -0.798 -0.0844
Memory Fades to Dust 2779 16.12 -4.998 57.54% -3.251 -1.0363
Power Corrodes the Spirit 205 17.05 -4.763 63.41% -3.201 -1.1839
Promising Farmlands 844 16.89 -4.878 61.49% -3.345 -1.1289
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 54 24.7 -1.027 96.3% -0.282 0.1515
Thriving Communities 196 16.97 -4.64 64.8% -3.207 -1.0907
Tipping Point 504 16.8 -4.85 60.52% -3.317 -1.103
Unnatural Proliferation 199 18.36 -4.089 61.31% -3.275 -1.1925
Untended Land Crumbles 222 16.64 -4.724 60.81% -3.312 -1.2181

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7192 38.03% 23.69 -0.4 83.79% 0.229 -0.8413
B 7373 37.24% 23.81 -0.343 83.66% 0.171 -0.9897
C 7514 36.08% 24.17 -0.179 84.91% 0.279 -1.117
D 7141 35.76% 24.01 -0.234 84.61% 0.236 -0.9195
E 1134 30.27% 24.78 0.062 88.62% 0.233 -1.0153
F 2566 33.53% 24.48 -0.069 87.8% 0.321 -0.899
G 2423 34.51% 23.84 -0.44 85.93% 0.147 -1.0652
H 2661 33.76% 24.47 -0.143 87.26% 0.265 -0.9537
East 1164 39.12% 33.28 2.239 83.51% 0.251 -0.6848
Northeast 1208 38.6% 32.29 1.759 82.78% 0.233 -0.6378
Northwest 1018 37.14% 31.84 1.353 82.12% 0.083 -0.863
Southeast 171 42.69% 29.33 0.635 81.29% 0.033 -0.9581
Southwest 152 42.11% 25.7 -1.218 82.24% 0.041 -0.5832
West 1114 42.16% 32.29 1.655 80.88% 0.132 -0.5328

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 301 0.0% 21.94 -2.486 71.76% -2.84 -0.8069
Not Using Events or Tokens 7376 47.2% 22.39 -0.904 77.37% -0.367 -0.1419
Skip Initial Invader Actions 481 7.02% 35.16 3.297 96.26% 1.122 0.4133
Start of Game Growth 684 12.23% 32.32 2.009 93.71% -0.003 -0.4606
Unlimited Undo 1454 31.2% 26.42 0.465 88.72% 0.385 -0.0124
Using Tokens but Not Events 2413 28.43% 25.8 0.113 88.69% -0.027 -0.0751

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3097 22.32 55.28%
II 12009 30.67 80.88%
III 10472 34.18 86.44%
IV 5093 37.44 99.02%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.023 Win Model: -0.009
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 21880 40.71% 24.5 81.55%
2 6398 34.31% 24.91 86.36%
3 1470 28.26% 25.11 88.1%
4 922 27.66% 27.3 92.73%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1193
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6559
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6615
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3615
Lose: Invader deck ran out 450
Win: Sacrifice victory 114
Lose: Scenario condition 334
Win: Scenario condition 785
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4144
Lose: Spirit destroyed 223

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1978 29.22% 30.1 -0.24 85.24% -0.279 -0.129
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1395 51.19% 29.38 -0.039 82.72% 0.037 0.2759
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 838 28.54% 31.94 0.543 92.36% 0.582 0.4959
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1124 18.29% 34.59 1.52 94.22% 0.478 0.1093
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 838 24.1% 33.31 1.052 93.44% 0.59 0.3637
Fractured Days Split the Sky 113 48.67% 29.37 -0.201 76.11% -0.885 -0.5592
Heart of the Wildfire 1616 57.97% 27.65 -0.647 79.15% -0.031 0.3185
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2461 35.55% 31.28 0.487 89.68% 0.381 0.0848
Lightning's Swift Strike 2193 39.51% 30.43 0.267 83.26% -0.083 0.188
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 177 29.55% 31.14 0.473 90.96% 0.248 -0.1317
Many Minds Move as One 248 26.61% 32.26 0.883 91.94% 0.335 -0.1794
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1702 44.96% 29.29 -0.428 83.2% -0.078 -0.2735
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 842 31.31% 30.99 0.019 89.07% 0.167 0.221
River Surges in Sunlight 2414 41.38% 31.46 0.738 81.77% -0.213 -0.0436
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1159 39.53% 28.9 -0.691 83.87% -0.103 0.0503
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1586 54.52% 28.72 -0.451 77.62% -0.145 0.3074
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1473 31.63% 32.18 0.726 87.58% 0.041 -0.0224
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 383 40.84% 26.57 -1.785 84.6% -0.104 -0.1187
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 750 34.18% 29.76 -0.466 84.13% -0.369 -0.151
Thunderspeaker 1843 35.08% 32.24 0.736 84.7% -0.067 -0.0042
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 385 69.79% 23.98 -2.141 75.32% -0.162 -0.1168
Vital Strength of the Earth 1975 41.31% 27.43 -1.435 78.28% -0.575 0.2911
Volcano Looming High 45 40.0% 28.76 -0.261 88.89% 0.011 -0.121

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 497 49.08% 25.25 -2.19 72.03% -0.711 -0.1434
Dahan Insurrection 4 516 23.83% 51.94 10.333 85.85% -0.593 -0.1933
Elemental Invocation 1 3 66.67% 33.67 2.497 100.0% 0.39 0.9304
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1040 13.71% 32.4 0.457 77.79% -1.904 -1.5228
Powers Long Forgotten 1 298 63.76% 29.71 -0.054 65.44% -0.8 -0.3472
Rituals of Terror 3 283 44.17% 40.04 5.015 75.27% -0.707 -0.0837
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 191 68.06% 35.56 3.049 63.35% -0.759 -0.132
Second Wave 0 1799 48.27% 29.6 0.097 75.71% -0.775 -0.3511
The Great River 3 20 35.0% 32.25 1.532 60.0% -1.973 -0.5043
Ward the Shores 2 347 48.55% 34.29 2.093 71.76% -0.854 0.1755

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10998 42.62% 28.63 -0.706 81.98% -0.327 0.0299
1 Thematic 2006 45.81% 35.02 1.759 73.98% -0.501 -0.0027
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2721 36.68% 29.63 -0.174 87.84% 0.113 0.2968
2 Coastline 276 44.4% 28.7 -0.29 87.32% 0.225 0.3492
2 Fragment 72 40.28% 29.35 -0.223 91.67% 0.449 0.8826
2 Heart 48 37.5% 27.46 -1.124 81.25% -0.503 -0.2162
2 Opposite Shores 508 34.92% 29.05 -0.498 86.81% -0.077 0.1431
2 Thematic 475 47.16% 35.6 1.192 77.05% -0.039 0.0051
2 Top to Top 86 38.37% 28.53 -0.709 81.4% -0.36 -0.2457
3 Coastline 6 66.67% 27.67 -0.551 66.67% 0.158 0.1243
3 Other 39 28.21% 27.9 -0.778 89.74% -0.102 0.3119
3 Round (Default) 1006 28.53% 31.0 0.229 91.85% 0.343 0.3605
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 25.0 -2.409 100.0% 0.01 -0.2391
3 Thematic 79 37.97% 36.06 0.343 74.68% -0.363 -0.6985
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 28.5 -2.731 50.0% -0.921 -0.7217
4 Leaf 3 0.0% 42.33 4.098 100.0% 0.041 0.0798
4 Other 34 41.18% 29.35 0.142 88.24% 0.127 0.1997
4 Thematic 232 44.4% 36.47 0.474 90.09% 1.052 -0.0345
4 Trapezoid (Default) 424 28.57% 31.04 0.168 89.15% 0.05 -0.0029
5 Other 5 40.0% 34.4 3.025 100.0% 0.4 0.149

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 530 23.54 -4.293 63.58% -3.13 -1.0647
Aid From Lesser Spirits 548 23.91 -3.979 63.32% -3.176 -1.2604
All Things Weaken 154 23.27 -4.342 61.69% -3.062 -0.9033
Back Against the Wall 494 23.18 -4.474 59.11% -3.346 -1.2517
Disintegrating Ecosystem 580 21.01 -5.606 61.38% -3.272 -1.0503
Downward Spiral 1574 22.2 -4.678 65.88% -2.809 -0.7961
Erosion of Will 573 21.95 -5.093 57.77% -3.392 -1.1824
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 49 28.94 -1.375 95.92% -0.355 0.359
Memory Fades to Dust 1637 21.13 -5.246 59.25% -3.133 -0.9187
Power Corrodes the Spirit 138 22.41 -4.759 64.49% -2.992 -0.9749
Promising Farmlands 625 21.24 -5.387 61.6% -3.258 -1.0417
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 38 28.89 -1.115 97.37% -0.121 0.3131
Thriving Communities 153 21.13 -5.078 64.05% -3.054 -0.9375
Tipping Point 365 21.32 -5.487 59.18% -3.381 -1.1669
Unnatural Proliferation 153 23.12 -4.421 60.13% -3.217 -1.1342
Untended Land Crumbles 123 21.9 -4.666 66.67% -2.825 -0.7313

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4463 41.38% 28.88 -0.404 84.05% 0.278 -0.7929
B 4623 38.82% 29.12 -0.354 84.56% 0.233 -0.9284
C 4705 38.73% 29.32 -0.214 85.06% 0.294 -1.1019
D 4482 37.6% 29.61 -0.008 86.21% 0.444 -0.7121
E 710 35.03% 29.43 -0.242 87.46% 0.239 -1.0093
F 1565 33.46% 29.79 -0.169 88.18% 0.371 -0.8492
G 1442 36.28% 29.82 -0.202 86.75% 0.234 -0.9785
H 1510 32.36% 30.18 -0.071 88.34% 0.328 -0.8911
East 1014 44.38% 36.54 1.869 78.7% 0.19 -0.7464
Northeast 1035 45.51% 35.63 1.324 77.68% 0.031 -0.8398
Northwest 855 42.92% 35.85 1.349 80.82% 0.347 -0.5988
Southeast 133 39.1% 34.31 0.385 78.2% -0.14 -1.1308
Southwest 113 45.13% 30.91 -1.414 76.99% -0.064 -0.6888
West 926 49.03% 35.2 0.965 76.67% 0.051 -0.6134

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 123 0.0% 27.63 -2.201 78.05% -2.2 -0.1668
Not Using Events or Tokens 3452 47.91% 27.57 -0.938 77.17% -0.404 -0.179
Skip Initial Invader Actions 261 8.82% 43.31 3.856 93.87% 0.027 -0.6819
Start of Game Growth 409 14.59% 39.67 2.614 92.42% 0.302 -0.1557
Unlimited Undo 1060 33.27% 30.97 0.172 87.26% 0.129 -0.2682
Using Tokens but Not Events 1465 34.2% 30.78 0.084 86.83% -0.017 -0.0648

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2083 22.32 47.34%
II 7672 30.67 81.49%
III 6592 34.18 89.2%
IV 2675 37.44 98.88%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.057 Win Model: -0.225
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13015 43.09% 29.62 80.76%
2 4188 38.3% 30.12 86.32%
3 1129 29.86% 31.21 90.43%
4 690 34.02% 32.86 89.28%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 593
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4038
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3818
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1824
Lose: Invader deck ran out 187
Win: Sacrifice victory 54
Lose: Scenario condition 248
Win: Scenario condition 692
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2691
Lose: Spirit destroyed 133

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2805 31.9% 33.13 0.211 83.96% -0.211 -0.0606
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1678 59.23% 31.2 -0.002 79.74% 0.106 0.3445
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1092 33.7% 34.46 0.835 89.38% 0.367 0.2806
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1400 22.79% 36.74 1.714 92.64% 0.443 0.0746
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1072 28.89% 35.74 1.319 90.3% 0.409 0.1824
Fractured Days Split the Sky 148 48.65% 32.3 0.215 68.24% -1.084 -0.758
Heart of the Wildfire 1999 67.22% 27.8 -1.656 71.04% -0.31 0.0397
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3179 40.29% 34.04 0.987 87.29% 0.448 0.1518
Lightning's Swift Strike 2626 45.86% 31.61 -0.178 78.71% -0.251 0.0206
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 291 35.4% 34.1 0.738 86.94% 0.138 -0.2408
Many Minds Move as One 311 30.0% 36.17 1.666 94.53% 0.897 0.3827
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2481 54.05% 30.78 -0.573 79.4% -0.071 -0.2666
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1063 35.91% 33.11 0.162 86.36% 0.078 0.1318
River Surges in Sunlight 3198 49.04% 33.39 0.822 78.14% -0.187 -0.0177
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1971 40.91% 32.02 -0.142 84.32% 0.04 0.1939
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1819 66.06% 29.32 -0.922 71.47% -0.206 0.2463
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1947 36.44% 33.85 0.606 83.62% -0.13 -0.1934
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 599 45.06% 29.62 -1.468 84.14% -0.094 -0.1085
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 858 46.08% 31.76 -0.357 80.89% -0.066 0.1514
Thunderspeaker 2467 43.07% 34.29 1.026 83.3% 0.093 0.1562
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 505 73.07% 27.09 -1.918 75.05% -0.07 -0.0241
Vital Strength of the Earth 2323 44.69% 29.48 -1.302 73.74% -0.653 0.2125
Volcano Looming High 87 49.43% 31.55 -0.04 87.36% 0.386 0.2539

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 550 59.19% 27.01 -2.408 66.73% -0.688 -0.1204
Dahan Insurrection 4 403 31.34% 52.41 9.518 78.66% -0.927 -0.5274
Elemental Invocation 1 3 66.67% 37.67 3.48 100.0% 0.549 1.0897
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1516 15.76% 33.55 -0.013 72.23% -2.158 -1.7762
Powers Long Forgotten 1 334 66.47% 31.82 0.115 62.87% -0.706 -0.2531
Rituals of Terror 3 241 56.67% 40.87 4.298 64.73% -0.882 -0.2587
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 170 73.53% 37.45 2.758 58.82% -0.855 -0.2281
Second Wave 0 1384 55.28% 31.58 -0.115 71.1% -0.79 -0.3669
The Great River 3 25 56.0% 35.08 1.42 52.0% -1.844 -0.3757
Ward the Shores 2 359 54.87% 35.81 1.912 66.57% -0.859 0.1709

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 13213 49.97% 30.62 -0.582 78.07% 0.107 0.464
1 Thematic 1956 56.78% 34.73 1.158 67.08% -0.222 0.276
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3545 43.8% 32.28 0.105 85.3% 0.359 0.5432
2 Coastline 384 43.2% 32.25 -0.011 84.9% 0.312 0.4364
2 Fragment 98 57.14% 30.88 -0.448 79.59% 0.04 0.4728
2 Heart 52 42.31% 29.04 -1.482 75.0% -0.358 -0.0719
2 Opposite Shores 674 42.39% 32.39 0.092 85.91% 0.461 0.6816
2 Thematic 600 61.27% 34.2 0.248 64.5% -0.393 -0.3487
2 Top to Top 104 50.0% 32.22 0.117 82.69% 0.32 0.4342
3 Coastline 10 20.0% 34.0 -0.601 80.0% -0.262 -0.2958
3 Other 65 26.56% 32.63 -0.334 84.62% -0.437 -0.0231
3 Round (Default) 1468 36.6% 32.66 0.001 86.38% 0.194 0.2111
3 Sunrise 10 40.0% 26.8 -3.554 50.0% -1.637 -1.8859
3 Thematic 122 52.07% 38.71 1.696 77.05% -0.079 -0.4141
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 36.0 3.672 100.0% 0.304 0.5033
4 Leaf 4 50.0% 31.75 -0.396 75.0% -0.221 -0.1818
4 Other 40 15.0% 35.38 0.715 95.0% 0.303 0.3751
4 Thematic 217 41.2% 38.84 0.934 82.03% -0.208 -1.2945
4 Trapezoid (Default) 936 30.98% 33.9 0.537 90.28% 0.389 0.3361
5 Other 15 53.33% 36.0 1.471 100.0% 0.896 0.6454
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 42.0 2.89 100.0% 0.165 -2.5512

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 901 25.44 -4.232 59.6% -3.066 -1.0006
Aid From Lesser Spirits 741 27.06 -3.459 61.4% -3.051 -1.1353
All Things Weaken 238 24.57 -4.564 58.4% -3.166 -1.0077
Back Against the Wall 724 27.73 -3.158 64.78% -2.868 -0.7731
Disintegrating Ecosystem 850 22.97 -5.501 58.24% -3.158 -0.9358
Downward Spiral 2185 24.77 -4.373 63.75% -2.888 -0.8751
Erosion of Will 894 24.23 -4.836 55.59% -3.287 -1.0773
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 79 34.15 0.044 94.94% -0.424 0.2893
Memory Fades to Dust 2117 23.74 -4.902 57.49% -3.146 -0.9317
Power Corrodes the Spirit 226 24.62 -4.562 61.5% -3.092 -1.0744
Promising Farmlands 905 24.09 -4.888 60.33% -3.055 -0.8393
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 68 33.75 -0.002 100.0% 0.981 1.4146
Thriving Communities 214 25.02 -4.425 63.55% -2.95 -0.8336
Tipping Point 575 24.7 -4.582 60.7% -3.015 -0.8004
Unnatural Proliferation 226 25.08 -4.269 60.62% -3.095 -1.0122
Untended Land Crumbles 232 24.41 -4.564 65.09% -2.902 -0.8077

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5906 44.69% 31.64 -0.089 82.29% 0.175 -0.8954
B 6148 44.56% 31.5 -0.182 81.98% 0.142 -1.0191
C 6408 43.06% 31.79 0.011 82.66% 0.173 -1.2227
D 5949 45.38% 31.46 -0.127 82.22% 0.208 -0.9478
E 1066 43.85% 32.48 0.136 85.55% 0.267 -0.9814
F 2131 40.03% 32.96 0.239 85.64% 0.247 -0.973
G 1977 41.63% 32.46 0.041 85.33% 0.264 -0.9485
H 2036 40.88% 32.45 -0.008 84.68% 0.171 -1.0483
East 1100 53.33% 36.96 1.598 71.73% 0.267 -0.6689
Northeast 1074 53.08% 36.82 1.526 72.72% 0.364 -0.5067
Northwest 912 56.37% 34.38 0.166 66.45% -0.005 -0.9511
Southeast 163 51.23% 32.3 -0.902 67.48% -0.408 -1.3987
Southwest 128 51.56% 32.74 -0.711 74.22% 0.233 -0.392
West 982 57.35% 35.71 0.916 69.04% 0.178 -0.4868

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 138 0.0% 31.6 -1.572 81.16% -2.052 -0.0193
Not Using Events or Tokens 3806 54.8% 29.41 -0.831 74.44% -0.112 0.1127
Skip Initial Invader Actions 325 13.58% 45.87 4.352 95.08% 1.031 0.3216
Start of Game Growth 537 16.53% 41.95 2.627 90.5% -0.12 -0.5776
Unlimited Undo 1516 43.61% 32.98 0.254 82.98% 0.124 -0.2732
Using Tokens but Not Events 1848 40.57% 33.06 0.329 85.71% 0.247 0.1994

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1765 22.32 15.07%
II 10074 30.67 75.78%
III 7846 34.18 88.76%
IV 3830 37.44 99.03%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.177 Win Model: 0.073
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 15185 50.87% 31.15 76.64%
2 5458 45.8% 32.44 82.85%
3 1670 37.07% 33.13 85.51%
4 1202 32.83% 34.84 88.94%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 168
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4904
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4908
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2655
Lose: Invader deck ran out 233
Win: Sacrifice victory 98
Lose: Scenario condition 432
Win: Scenario condition 555
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3999
Lose: Spirit destroyed 194

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2744 40.43% 41.69 0.627 84.99% -0.005 0.1448
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1699 72.46% 36.16 -1.249 69.45% -0.309 -0.0701
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1348 35.02% 43.45 1.318 89.32% 0.295 0.2088
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1470 40.82% 43.29 1.352 88.1% 0.313 -0.0559
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1315 43.99% 42.45 0.952 85.7% 0.208 -0.0185
Fractured Days Split the Sky 239 48.12% 41.7 0.759 78.24% -0.566 -0.2399
Heart of the Wildfire 2437 69.38% 36.55 -1.261 71.73% -0.216 0.1334
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4041 52.91% 42.12 1.18 84.36% 0.343 0.0461
Lightning's Swift Strike 2894 51.45% 40.74 0.394 80.13% -0.085 0.1864
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 418 49.52% 42.97 1.474 87.08% 0.38 0.0006
Many Minds Move as One 371 47.03% 43.07 1.48 90.84% 0.649 0.1346
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2515 66.44% 37.04 -1.352 72.76% -0.315 -0.5111
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1258 42.07% 42.54 1.029 88.55% 0.39 0.4441
River Surges in Sunlight 3214 56.44% 42.14 1.31 78.31% -0.074 0.0954
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1797 56.03% 38.69 -0.679 78.07% -0.17 -0.0163
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1789 73.07% 35.93 -1.497 67.13% -0.398 0.0547
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2541 38.04% 43.45 1.658 85.56% 0.028 -0.0352
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1025 59.63% 34.9 -2.343 76.88% -0.275 -0.2893
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1128 49.2% 41.97 0.747 84.04% 0.162 0.3802
Thunderspeaker 2171 51.06% 42.49 1.04 81.07% 0.016 0.0785
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 783 84.42% 34.16 -2.01 72.16% -0.007 0.0388
Vital Strength of the Earth 2002 59.02% 34.76 -2.507 66.78% -0.815 0.0507
Volcano Looming High 146 60.27% 39.36 0.046 84.25% 0.245 0.1125

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 442 58.81% 35.38 -2.344 66.06% -0.761 -0.1935
Dahan Insurrection 4 462 39.91% 62.29 10.452 82.25% -0.225 0.1748
Elemental Invocation 1 6 66.67% 44.67 3.152 100.0% 0.629 1.1699
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1566 22.57% 43.5 1.059 79.18% -1.271 -0.8896
Powers Long Forgotten 1 238 75.21% 39.47 -0.219 63.87% -0.535 -0.083
Rituals of Terror 3 189 62.96% 48.25 4.343 66.67% -0.589 0.034
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 68 85.29% 40.75 0.575 48.53% -0.858 -0.2312
Second Wave 0 912 63.67% 36.08 -1.934 62.17% -1.083 -0.6594
The Great River 3 17 94.12% 38.12 -0.322 47.06% -1.232 0.2361
Ward the Shores 2 252 62.3% 42.65 1.317 65.48% -0.739 0.2909

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 17570 57.76% 38.41 -0.563 76.45% -0.36 -0.0028
1 Thematic 1425 58.88% 42.88 1.014 67.93% -0.283 0.2157
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3955 53.99% 40.05 0.073 81.57% -0.115 0.0692
2 Coastline 511 54.17% 40.87 0.29 82.58% -0.089 0.0346
2 Fragment 101 56.44% 39.59 -0.511 77.23% -0.369 0.0641
2 Heart 53 60.38% 38.06 -0.83 77.36% -0.316 -0.0297
2 Opposite Shores 721 58.14% 40.29 0.176 83.5% 0.131 0.3511
2 Thematic 452 60.09% 44.05 1.035 70.35% 0.332 0.3766
2 Top to Top 119 57.98% 37.29 -0.914 72.27% -0.541 -0.4273
3 Coastline 30 13.33% 50.87 3.348 100.0% 0.726 0.6929
3 Other 62 50.0% 41.15 0.339 85.48% 0.039 0.4527
3 Round (Default) 1374 47.33% 41.14 0.304 85.59% 0.05 0.0671
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 58.0 6.432 100.0% 0.177 -0.072
3 Thematic 76 62.67% 42.36 0.036 67.11% 0.687 0.3519
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 19.0 -11.454 0.0% -0.655 -0.456
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 37.0 0.487 100.0% 0.22 0.2586
4 Other 37 32.43% 43.35 0.964 91.89% 0.16 0.2328
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 66.0 5.802 100.0% 0.012 -0.7906
4 Thematic 160 43.13% 49.45 0.996 75.63% 0.919 -0.1677
4 Trapezoid (Default) 782 40.7% 43.65 0.953 89.13% 0.23 0.1778
5 Other 9 55.56% 42.67 1.7 88.89% 0.33 0.0792
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 22.0 -12.659 0.0% -0.744 -3.4602

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1326 33.2 -4.382 61.76% -3.024 -0.9584
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1118 35.66 -3.1 66.99% -2.817 -0.9008
All Things Weaken 396 31.44 -4.98 58.33% -3.207 -1.048
Back Against the Wall 1031 33.89 -3.982 62.17% -3.033 -0.9379
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1221 30.7 -5.616 59.46% -3.114 -0.8922
Downward Spiral 2606 32.83 -4.334 65.85% -2.763 -0.7505
Erosion of Will 1282 32.13 -4.954 59.44% -3.187 -0.9775
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 159 43.4 0.816 98.11% 0.271 0.9842
Memory Fades to Dust 2549 31.63 -4.967 60.3% -3.017 -0.8026
Power Corrodes the Spirit 398 32.99 -4.202 68.34% -2.766 -0.7484
Promising Farmlands 1256 30.94 -5.433 59.32% -3.119 -0.9027
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 95 44.86 1.413 100.0% 1.007 1.4414
Thriving Communities 381 30.63 -5.452 60.89% -3.14 -1.0231
Tipping Point 813 30.59 -5.687 56.33% -3.2 -0.9855
Unnatural Proliferation 366 34.47 -3.368 67.76% -2.731 -0.6486
Untended Land Crumbles 338 31.85 -4.723 63.31% -3.005 -0.9116

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6436 54.89% 39.43 -0.074 79.29% 0.372 -0.6988
B 6728 53.7% 39.74 0.079 80.04% 0.381 -0.7801
C 7212 54.97% 39.73 0.155 79.91% 0.415 -0.9806
D 6485 54.76% 39.49 0.053 79.58% 0.41 -0.7459
E 1412 56.45% 39.2 -0.15 81.37% 0.439 -0.8099
F 2709 49.33% 40.98 0.4 83.87% 0.451 -0.769
G 2474 54.53% 39.45 -0.275 80.07% 0.276 -0.9359
H 2817 50.71% 40.51 0.168 82.36% 0.344 -0.8749
East 810 56.49% 45.1 1.298 69.38% -0.101 -1.0375
Northeast 787 56.74% 44.34 1.077 69.12% -0.07 -0.9402
Northwest 585 56.51% 44.54 0.743 70.43% 0.066 -0.8792
Southeast 146 48.63% 45.3 1.365 78.77% 0.253 -0.738
Southwest 130 53.08% 41.63 -0.734 75.38% -0.084 -0.7087
West 697 57.27% 44.39 0.693 67.43% -0.235 -0.9

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 99 0.0% 34.31 -4.027 64.65% -2.986 -0.953
Not Using Events or Tokens 3027 67.21% 36.16 -1.192 71.29% -0.122 0.1029
Skip Initial Invader Actions 350 11.76% 55.65 4.876 96.29% 0.962 0.2532
Start of Game Growth 472 15.54% 52.9 3.721 93.86% 0.318 -0.1399
Unlimited Undo 1792 51.04% 41.37 0.654 82.81% 0.249 -0.1486
Using Tokens but Not Events 1725 48.29% 41.72 0.617 84.75% 0.247 0.1994

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2426 22.32 17.6%
II 12916 30.67 75.25%
III 8515 34.18 89.57%
IV 3586 37.44 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.28 Win Model: -0.207
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 19024 57.82% 38.76 75.83%
2 5915 55.29% 40.36 80.73%
3 1525 47.0% 41.43 85.05%
4 979 41.09% 44.54 86.72%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 277
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5633
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6558
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2716
Lose: Invader deck ran out 190
Win: Sacrifice victory 122
Lose: Scenario condition 313
Win: Scenario condition 545
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5313
Lose: Spirit destroyed 281

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1749 52.79% 40.28 0.532 73.24% -0.149 0.0007
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1146 81.21% 34.89 -1.382 57.16% -0.279 -0.0401
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 883 55.14% 41.0 0.831 75.54% 0.092 0.0059
Eyes Watch From the Trees 956 52.15% 43.37 1.795 78.97% 0.218 -0.1506
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 935 57.56% 42.21 1.485 78.18% 0.323 0.0971
Fractured Days Split the Sky 159 60.38% 41.81 1.394 69.18% -0.214 0.1122
Heart of the Wildfire 1530 79.54% 34.24 -1.928 57.78% -0.281 0.0686
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3228 62.56% 41.3 1.419 76.15% 0.375 0.0783
Lightning's Swift Strike 1828 64.06% 38.69 -0.04 67.51% -0.137 0.1344
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 313 66.13% 40.17 0.867 76.04% 0.281 -0.0979
Many Minds Move as One 246 50.0% 45.51 3.011 89.02% 1.068 0.5541
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1826 72.49% 36.65 -1.006 63.09% -0.253 -0.4485
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 827 52.3% 41.87 1.197 78.6% 0.227 0.281
River Surges in Sunlight 2268 67.91% 40.63 1.076 65.56% -0.119 0.0505
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1252 72.28% 36.44 -1.196 63.26% -0.207 -0.0535
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1079 77.86% 35.2 -1.441 56.44% -0.375 0.0774
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1736 50.89% 41.54 1.286 73.04% -0.147 -0.2099
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 615 68.73% 33.31 -2.716 64.39% -0.352 -0.3662
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 720 57.68% 41.0 0.819 74.72% 0.091 0.3088
Thunderspeaker 1406 64.49% 42.25 1.55 72.33% 0.2 0.2625
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 553 90.96% 32.54 -2.232 58.23% -0.035 0.0102
Vital Strength of the Earth 1211 75.64% 32.86 -2.634 51.53% -0.71 0.1553
Volcano Looming High 81 71.6% 38.58 0.12 71.6% 0.076 -0.0564

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 278 70.7% 33.49 -2.733 51.08% -0.728 -0.1607
Dahan Insurrection 4 323 55.73% 59.47 9.798 71.52% -0.097 0.3022
Elemental Invocation 1 2 100.0% 44.5 2.935 100.0% 0.372 0.9132
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 934 24.12% 43.64 1.399 70.02% -1.448 -1.0664
Powers Long Forgotten 1 146 76.03% 37.01 -0.773 49.32% -0.739 -0.2865
Rituals of Terror 3 92 84.78% 37.87 0.093 35.87% -1.106 -0.4831
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 86 87.21% 40.37 0.911 38.37% -0.729 -0.102
Second Wave 0 560 74.29% 36.55 -1.129 56.25% -0.638 -0.2145
The Great River 3 8 75.0% 53.5 6.628 75.0% -0.104 1.3642
Ward the Shores 2 91 81.32% 39.15 0.65 45.05% -0.588 0.442

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11582 67.25% 37.33 -0.669 66.02% -0.279 0.0784
1 Thematic 1142 65.94% 41.73 0.92 55.87% -0.433 0.0655
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2679 67.52% 39.37 0.445 72.23% 0.078 0.2621
2 Coastline 341 58.58% 42.62 1.384 80.06% 0.353 0.4775
2 Fragment 49 69.39% 33.12 -2.463 53.06% -0.764 -0.3308
2 Heart 55 72.73% 33.6 -2.48 54.55% -0.594 -0.3077
2 Opposite Shores 426 67.61% 38.24 -0.263 69.01% -0.016 0.2045
2 Thematic 326 77.3% 40.02 0.193 53.07% 0.05 0.0947
2 Top to Top 74 72.6% 37.54 -0.193 70.27% 0.132 0.2464
3 Coastline 11 27.27% 53.27 5.255 100.0% 0.622 0.5888
3 Other 53 43.4% 39.38 -0.783 71.7% -0.632 -0.2184
3 Round (Default) 985 57.35% 41.12 0.747 76.85% 0.137 0.1549
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 50.0 3.889 100.0% 0.019 -0.2306
3 Thematic 79 73.42% 38.37 -1.229 48.1% -0.022 -0.3579
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 50.0 3.574 100.0% 0.021 0.2205
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 37.6 -0.316 80.0% 0.342 0.3808
4 Other 40 40.0% 44.75 1.391 82.5% -0.206 -0.1335
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 4.607 100.0% 0.01 -0.7924
4 Snake 2 50.0% 47.0 2.693 100.0% 0.404 0.5157
4 Thematic 94 65.96% 41.59 -0.365 55.32% 0.343 -0.7441
4 Trapezoid (Default) 497 60.41% 40.55 0.102 70.62% -0.171 -0.2236
5 Other 4 25.0% 54.75 5.667 100.0% 0.472 0.2208
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 62.0 10.468 100.0% 0.169 -2.5468

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1003 32.67 -4.347 51.05% -3.08 -1.0149
Aid From Lesser Spirits 814 35.02 -3.261 56.39% -2.96 -1.0441
All Things Weaken 300 31.43 -4.735 50.0% -3.188 -1.029
Back Against the Wall 792 34.24 -3.632 53.28% -3.049 -0.9549
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1013 31.56 -4.793 54.79% -2.934 -0.7125
Downward Spiral 1967 32.94 -3.945 56.63% -2.767 -0.7545
Erosion of Will 1130 31.42 -4.971 47.88% -3.238 -1.0276
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 87 46.62 2.648 98.85% 0.693 1.4066
Memory Fades to Dust 2004 31.39 -4.753 50.75% -3.006 -0.7918
Power Corrodes the Spirit 325 31.04 -4.893 52.31% -3.066 -1.0489
Promising Farmlands 1111 31.26 -5.018 51.31% -3.081 -0.8655
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 55 47.75 3.267 100.0% 0.868 1.3018
Thriving Communities 283 27.54 -6.61 42.05% -3.549 -1.4322
Tipping Point 661 31.49 -4.843 49.92% -3.069 -0.8548
Unnatural Proliferation 333 31.05 -4.826 47.15% -3.292 -1.2097
Untended Land Crumbles 326 29.62 -5.587 47.55% -3.283 -1.1893

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4259 65.95% 38.09 -0.266 67.46% 0.363 -0.7072
B 4534 65.37% 38.85 0.177 69.76% 0.501 -0.6597
C 4681 66.14% 38.29 -0.075 68.19% 0.413 -0.9823
D 4283 65.42% 38.61 0.167 69.51% 0.503 -0.6527
E 1021 64.08% 39.0 0.308 72.28% 0.569 -0.6794
F 1846 63.3% 39.42 0.232 71.78% 0.457 -0.763
G 1681 64.98% 39.31 0.218 72.16% 0.54 -0.6717
H 1900 59.89% 40.31 0.578 74.16% 0.526 -0.6928
East 589 68.25% 42.58 1.209 55.86% 0.191 -0.7452
Northeast 561 70.77% 41.91 1.002 56.33% 0.346 -0.5248
Northwest 488 74.39% 38.55 -0.812 48.36% 0.029 -0.9171
Southeast 96 65.63% 41.5 -0.059 62.5% 0.222 -0.7689
Southwest 106 52.83% 41.39 -0.569 67.92% 0.148 -0.4768
West 552 69.38% 40.38 -0.009 51.63% -0.053 -0.7178

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 75 0.0% 34.15 -3.586 56.0% -2.834 -0.801
Not Using Events or Tokens 1915 76.05% 35.19 -1.114 60.21% -0.098 0.1271
Skip Initial Invader Actions 344 13.91% 56.74 5.989 94.77% 1.249 0.5395
Start of Game Growth 452 21.72% 53.38 4.249 90.49% 0.24 -0.2176
Unlimited Undo 1199 63.1% 39.95 0.522 71.31% 0.134 -0.2636
Using Tokens but Not Events 1095 60.58% 38.83 -0.199 69.68% -0.116 -0.1635

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2175 22.32 6.3%
II 7633 30.67 60.64%
III 6629 34.18 84.42%
IV 2011 37.44 99.45%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.247 Win Model: -0.307
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12741 67.15% 37.72 65.13%
2 3948 67.72% 39.4 70.49%
3 1126 57.27% 41.0 74.87%
4 633 59.9% 41.05 69.19%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 105
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4192
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3133
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1479
Lose: Invader deck ran out 193
Win: Sacrifice victory 87
Lose: Scenario condition 247
Win: Scenario condition 272
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5413
Lose: Spirit destroyed 233

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 847 55.41% 43.87 1.943 70.96% 0.2 0.35
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 485 78.76% 36.94 -0.902 51.96% -0.194 0.0441
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 409 54.05% 45.09 2.297 76.53% 0.537 0.4507
Eyes Watch From the Trees 425 60.66% 44.91 2.278 72.24% 0.41 0.0413
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 469 62.72% 42.51 1.112 64.61% 0.056 -0.1699
Fractured Days Split the Sky 69 55.07% 46.52 2.323 71.01% -0.152 0.1745
Heart of the Wildfire 731 81.29% 34.85 -2.036 49.66% -0.21 0.1395
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1429 63.66% 41.71 0.831 64.38% 0.17 -0.1271
Lightning's Swift Strike 997 66.09% 40.38 0.241 60.68% -0.125 0.1461
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 158 66.46% 40.96 0.83 63.92% -0.075 -0.4537
Many Minds Move as One 124 57.26% 45.18 2.407 76.61% 0.441 -0.0737
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 828 75.4% 38.23 -0.698 56.52% -0.125 -0.3208
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 374 59.52% 43.76 1.828 72.73% 0.415 0.469
River Surges in Sunlight 1077 72.74% 40.27 0.467 55.25% -0.227 -0.0578
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 582 70.45% 38.78 -0.762 58.59% -0.094 0.0596
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 486 78.81% 36.48 -1.551 47.33% -0.354 0.0987
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 809 55.62% 43.88 2.004 69.1% 0.14 0.0771
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 220 77.27% 31.55 -3.947 50.0% -0.436 -0.4506
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 400 64.57% 39.65 -0.257 59.25% -0.312 -0.0943
Thunderspeaker 747 69.01% 41.24 0.807 60.51% -0.03 0.0329
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 189 90.43% 29.61 -4.138 38.62% -0.475 -0.4296
Vital Strength of the Earth 604 74.3% 34.97 -2.302 46.52% -0.67 0.1956
Volcano Looming High 32 68.75% 46.06 3.507 81.25% 0.987 0.8553

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 173 72.29% 34.46 -2.659 47.4% -0.601 -0.0329
Dahan Insurrection 4 192 63.02% 55.53 7.884 55.21% -0.442 -0.042
Elemental Invocation 1 2 100.0% 40.0 0.303 50.0% 0.052 0.5933
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 686 23.97% 48.08 3.121 70.85% -0.92 -0.538
Powers Long Forgotten 1 63 85.71% 40.32 0.46 50.79% -0.106 0.3465
Rituals of Terror 3 85 69.41% 43.94 2.24 42.35% -0.941 -0.318
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 53 77.36% 45.21 3.226 43.4% -0.483 0.144
Second Wave 0 232 72.84% 38.88 -0.832 51.29% -0.543 -0.1195
The Great River 3 6 66.67% 33.17 -4.646 16.67% -1.987 -0.5187
Ward the Shores 2 74 78.38% 42.76 0.882 44.59% -0.579 0.4505

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5255 70.14% 37.6 -0.974 55.93% -0.472 -0.1147
1 Thematic 757 62.09% 43.09 1.317 52.58% -0.099 0.3994
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1298 73.66% 39.16 -0.239 60.48% -0.321 -0.1368
2 Coastline 143 70.63% 42.83 1.342 70.63% 0.188 0.3116
2 Fragment 23 78.26% 35.09 -1.797 52.17% -0.393 0.0402
2 Heart 16 75.0% 47.75 3.93 81.25% 0.677 0.9639
2 Opposite Shores 223 65.77% 40.26 -0.036 62.78% -0.292 -0.0716
2 Thematic 146 75.34% 42.29 0.914 46.58% 0.516 0.5605
2 Top to Top 34 61.76% 39.18 -0.312 58.82% -0.341 -0.2267
3 Coastline 16 56.25% 50.81 4.687 81.25% 0.502 0.4687
3 Other 20 55.0% 45.6 1.411 80.0% -0.112 0.3016
3 Round (Default) 465 61.82% 44.58 1.822 74.84% 0.139 0.157
3 Sunrise 4 50.0% 38.0 -2.644 50.0% -0.791 -1.0398
3 Thematic 38 89.47% 32.42 -3.883 23.68% 0.166 -0.1692
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 33.5 -1.816 50.0% -0.106 -0.0673
4 Other 17 29.41% 55.88 3.295 94.12% -0.083 -0.0107
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 61.0 5.179 100.0% 0.13 -0.6727
4 Thematic 49 59.18% 48.1 0.724 57.14% 1.115 0.0278
4 Trapezoid (Default) 206 49.51% 45.46 1.09 73.3% -0.414 -0.4667
5 Other 1 0.0% 50.0 3.467 100.0% 0.02 -0.2308

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 527 34.55 -4.098 46.3% -2.79 -0.725
Aid From Lesser Spirits 410 34.81 -3.968 45.12% -2.839 -0.9228
All Things Weaken 153 31.18 -5.365 39.87% -2.988 -0.8295
Back Against the Wall 383 36.09 -3.35 49.35% -2.694 -0.5993
Disintegrating Ecosystem 490 30.23 -6.294 40.0% -3.054 -0.8325
Downward Spiral 1035 32.3 -4.948 43.86% -2.774 -0.7609
Erosion of Will 488 30.93 -6.009 36.89% -3.234 -1.0238
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 32 52.41 4.313 96.88% 0.494 1.2079
Memory Fades to Dust 1045 30.61 -5.751 39.04% -2.993 -0.7785
Power Corrodes the Spirit 134 30.5 -5.827 41.79% -2.942 -0.9245
Promising Farmlands 513 29.47 -6.678 36.06% -3.265 -1.0488
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 31 51.58 3.904 96.77% 0.424 0.8578
Thriving Communities 131 27.3 -7.057 33.59% -3.223 -1.1066
Tipping Point 323 29.83 -6.41 35.91% -3.263 -1.0492
Unnatural Proliferation 144 32.19 -4.859 41.67% -2.881 -0.798
Untended Land Crumbles 137 31.08 -5.497 40.88% -2.993 -0.8995

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2001 70.16% 39.46 0.027 60.22% 0.375 -0.6959
B 2155 68.8% 38.81 -0.39 59.03% 0.223 -0.938
C 2201 69.99% 39.39 0.124 60.61% 0.393 -1.0026
D 1939 67.22% 40.12 0.463 62.3% 0.423 -0.7329
E 448 64.88% 42.46 1.35 69.87% 0.693 -0.5557
F 880 64.19% 40.67 0.382 64.43% 0.339 -0.8806
G 757 62.12% 41.89 0.681 67.37% 0.369 -0.8434
H 831 64.36% 41.37 0.478 65.34% 0.359 -0.8601
East 314 71.02% 40.99 -0.44 42.04% -0.667 -1.6031
Northeast 321 66.98% 41.86 0.169 45.48% -0.487 -1.358
Northwest 236 73.73% 41.3 -0.278 44.92% -0.246 -1.1919
Southeast 73 47.95% 50.77 4.272 73.97% 0.598 -0.3928
Southwest 63 60.32% 37.84 -2.489 50.79% -0.537 -1.1616
West 293 66.89% 44.61 1.688 51.19% 0.04 -0.6242

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 39 0.0% 39.26 -1.744 61.54% -1.956 0.0772
Not Using Events or Tokens 1033 78.59% 36.86 -0.702 52.76% 0.068 0.2927
Skip Initial Invader Actions 187 13.51% 60.34 6.691 95.19% 1.072 0.3633
Start of Game Growth 271 21.05% 56.06 4.958 91.14% 0.679 0.2211
Unlimited Undo 662 64.94% 41.65 0.856 64.2% 0.187 -0.2108
Using Tokens but Not Events 549 67.72% 35.98 -1.804 51.73% -0.492 -0.5393

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1795 22.32 9.08%
II 3377 30.67 55.61%
III 2611 34.18 80.31%
IV 931 37.44 99.25%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.491 Win Model: -0.124
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6020 69.1% 38.31 55.55%
2 1886 72.57% 39.84 60.55%
3 533 62.95% 43.82 71.11%
4 275 50.55% 46.55 71.64%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 125
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1570
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1322
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 702
Lose: Invader deck ran out 78
Win: Sacrifice victory 34
Lose: Scenario condition 178
Win: Scenario condition 139
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3274
Lose: Spirit destroyed 122

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4722 46.9% 49.07 1.589 72.58% -0.037 0.113
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2494 82.84% 38.06 -1.792 50.88% -0.22 0.0184
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2224 53.81% 47.45 1.447 74.51% 0.169 0.0829
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2187 57.51% 47.93 1.938 72.25% 0.196 -0.1725
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2045 66.42% 43.82 -0.026 64.11% -0.072 -0.2985
Fractured Days Split the Sky 861 51.8% 51.66 3.56 73.17% -0.007 0.3195
Heart of the Wildfire 4413 69.27% 42.1 -1.358 57.94% -0.231 0.1186
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7402 58.85% 46.89 1.191 69.98% 0.16 -0.1362
Lightning's Swift Strike 4945 64.0% 44.79 0.573 64.49% -0.044 0.2277
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 994 60.06% 47.86 2.259 73.94% 0.365 -0.0147
Many Minds Move as One 654 47.86% 52.36 4.116 87.61% 1.073 0.5588
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4648 70.58% 41.5 -1.798 54.11% -0.448 -0.6435
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2279 53.41% 48.08 1.906 76.22% 0.305 0.3587
River Surges in Sunlight 4996 64.6% 47.31 1.473 62.41% -0.102 0.0676
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3692 60.96% 45.71 0.564 67.69% 0.028 0.1815
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1986 75.09% 38.35 -2.93 46.93% -0.658 -0.2054
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3402 49.0% 48.69 1.596 71.75% -0.032 -0.0951
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2420 71.16% 37.41 -2.859 57.93% -0.324 -0.3382
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1758 59.04% 46.84 1.054 69.62% -0.013 0.2048
Thunderspeaker 2775 67.09% 44.86 0.37 61.01% -0.088 -0.0251
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1768 83.88% 39.82 -1.399 60.58% 0.127 0.1722
Vital Strength of the Earth 2063 71.23% 37.85 -2.978 48.38% -0.75 0.1156
Volcano Looming High 380 61.84% 45.94 1.626 72.11% 0.264 0.1322

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 497 67.08% 38.88 -2.907 51.11% -0.733 -0.1652
Dahan Insurrection 4 748 45.92% 68.96 10.615 73.66% 0.109 0.5085
Elemental Invocation 1 8 75.0% 44.13 -0.057 62.5% 0.011 0.5523
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 4822 20.71% 53.45 3.621 76.57% -0.84 -0.4582
Powers Long Forgotten 1 121 79.83% 38.45 -2.487 39.67% -0.725 -0.2727
Rituals of Terror 3 129 83.72% 40.17 -0.96 30.23% -1.194 -0.5703
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 70 92.86% 39.83 -0.941 31.43% -0.866 -0.239
Second Wave 0 555 78.34% 40.68 -1.775 49.37% -0.604 -0.18
The Great River 3 16 62.5% 33.0 -8.156 12.5% -3.121 -1.6526
Ward the Shores 2 128 82.68% 40.34 -1.293 39.06% -0.824 0.2062

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 32278 68.69% 41.57 -0.746 59.88% -0.358 -0.001
1 Thematic 1141 69.02% 43.9 -0.488 46.98% -0.674 -0.176
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5192 65.87% 45.21 0.526 67.49% 0.0 0.1842
2 Coastline 687 64.81% 46.45 1.326 69.72% 0.179 0.3029
2 Fragment 154 68.18% 47.23 1.787 72.73% 0.255 0.6878
2 Heart 67 80.6% 41.18 -1.034 58.21% -0.058 0.2286
2 Opposite Shores 1048 60.92% 44.12 -0.078 63.84% -0.202 0.0178
2 Thematic 304 68.87% 44.81 -1.244 47.7% -0.433 -0.3883
2 Top to Top 159 67.52% 44.72 0.871 65.41% 0.05 0.1641
3 Coastline 57 22.81% 57.04 4.476 85.96% -0.091 -0.1239
3 Other 70 58.57% 49.06 1.503 77.14% 0.028 0.4424
3 Round (Default) 2063 54.96% 46.54 0.431 69.95% -0.05 -0.0324
3 Sunrise 14 64.29% 45.79 0.071 64.29% -0.063 -0.3126
3 Thematic 67 81.25% 42.94 -3.348 41.79% -0.177 -0.5119
4 Coastline 9 0.0% 64.11 5.43 100.0% 0.277 0.4766
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 25.4 -9.767 20.0% -1.01 -0.9709
4 Other 179 30.17% 53.41 1.841 83.24% 0.063 0.1352
4 Thematic 762 25.96% 66.1 3.252 81.76% 0.618 -0.4691
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1463 56.24% 47.88 0.423 71.29% 0.089 0.0366
5 Other 19 57.89% 53.63 2.68 94.74% 1.031 0.78
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 75.5 10.815 100.0% 0.563 -2.1525

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2840 35.44 -5.342 44.65% -3.124 -1.0586
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2130 39.32 -3.606 52.35% -2.859 -0.9432
All Things Weaken 923 34.92 -5.363 44.85% -3.158 -0.9996
Back Against the Wall 2043 38.09 -4.218 49.49% -2.979 -0.8841
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2703 33.2 -6.477 44.43% -3.139 -0.9172
Downward Spiral 4216 34.35 -5.616 45.68% -2.91 -0.8976
Erosion of Will 2690 34.39 -5.953 42.42% -3.248 -1.0381
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 157 54.29 3.664 94.9% -0.069 0.6452
Memory Fades to Dust 4425 33.21 -6.21 40.75% -3.1 -0.8855
Power Corrodes the Spirit 887 35.91 -4.844 50.39% -2.939 -0.9212
Promising Farmlands 2733 33.42 -6.368 42.74% -3.218 -1.0024
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 163 54.12 3.656 94.48% -0.056 0.3775
Thriving Communities 853 33.69 -5.999 45.37% -3.176 -1.0592
Tipping Point 1592 32.82 -6.663 40.01% -3.303 -1.0885
Unnatural Proliferation 955 36.19 -4.707 47.23% -3.044 -0.9616
Untended Land Crumbles 832 35.35 -5.209 49.4% -2.995 -0.9013

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10446 64.46% 43.92 0.248 63.67% 0.487 -0.5833
B 10619 63.99% 43.25 -0.234 62.62% 0.34 -0.8207
C 11546 66.81% 42.87 -0.19 61.91% 0.423 -0.9724
D 9889 67.14% 42.46 -0.344 61.17% 0.408 -0.7475
E 2970 63.94% 45.07 0.534 68.69% 0.516 -0.7323
F 5139 60.69% 46.28 1.089 70.31% 0.599 -0.6212
G 4532 62.72% 45.06 0.433 67.52% 0.461 -0.7514
H 5173 62.05% 45.02 0.749 68.53% 0.584 -0.6354
East 1255 43.14% 58.27 2.113 68.84% 0.362 -0.5743
Northeast 1195 44.57% 57.02 1.673 66.28% 0.302 -0.569
Northwest 1022 41.94% 57.36 0.677 66.44% -0.068 -1.0139
Southeast 137 43.07% 57.44 1.692 75.91% 0.494 -0.4961
Southwest 123 43.9% 56.18 0.109 74.8% 0.31 -0.3149
West 1185 40.37% 58.96 2.311 70.04% 0.393 -0.2718

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 210 0.0% 49.36 -0.442 71.43% -2.047 -0.0147
Not Using Events or Tokens 3057 77.6% 37.3 -2.254 47.07% -0.345 -0.1202
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1383 20.4% 61.19 4.968 89.8% 0.64 -0.069
Start of Game Growth 1939 21.7% 59.9 4.304 88.81% 0.376 -0.0816
Unlimited Undo 5836 51.69% 50.05 2.8 77.21% 0.548 0.1508
Using Tokens but Not Events 2395 57.0% 43.5 -0.607 62.25% -0.293 -0.3409

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9320 22.32 12.26%
II 16116 30.67 58.87%
III 15757 34.18 83.61%
IV 4547 37.44 99.8%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.497 Win Model: -0.338
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 33471 68.7% 41.66 59.47%
2 7592 65.42% 45.16 66.37%
3 2255 54.92% 46.69 69.53%
4 2422 44.66% 54.09 75.6%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 615
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10065
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6683
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3589
Lose: Invader deck ran out 365
Win: Sacrifice victory 179
Lose: Scenario condition 949
Win: Scenario condition 600
Lose: Blight pool ran out 15363
Lose: Spirit destroyed 719

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2024-11-07 01:58:35 (Pacific Time)