The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3242 27.26% 24.81 -0.195 87.69% -0.097 0.046
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2324 50.35% 23.39 -0.3 81.2% -0.026 0.2087
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1452 25.57% 25.97 0.222 92.08% 0.385 0.296
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1692 16.29% 28.41 1.243 94.62% 0.387 0.0195
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1469 23.66% 26.97 0.595 93.6% 0.533 0.2843
Fractured Days Split the Sky 199 37.19% 26.22 0.697 78.39% -0.772 -0.4242
Heart of the Wildfire 2363 59.66% 20.94 -1.354 74.44% -0.277 0.0714
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3283 28.79% 26.58 0.489 91.35% 0.404 0.1016
Lightning's Swift Strike 3644 40.93% 24.12 -0.159 81.06% -0.213 0.0525
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 380 33.77% 25.56 0.317 90.26% 0.234 -0.0863
Many Minds Move as One 386 23.58% 27.02 0.735 94.3% 0.472 -0.0513
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3408 41.84% 24.55 -0.108 85.04% 0.222 0.0263
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1368 28.58% 25.26 -0.118 89.69% 0.14 0.1861
River Surges in Sunlight 4376 37.73% 26.67 0.926 81.31% -0.274 -0.1159
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1970 38.25% 23.12 -0.788 84.72% -0.084 0.0616
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2702 54.49% 23.65 -0.284 78.24% -0.05 0.3969
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2227 29.91% 26.59 0.604 87.79% -0.078 -0.1478
Shroud of Silent Mist 38 47.37% 22.66 -0.758 86.84% 0.33 0.3366
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 781 28.3% 23.49 -1.068 90.65% 0.002 -0.0185
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1167 33.51% 24.27 -0.496 83.8% -0.382 -0.1682
Thunderspeaker 3115 30.12% 27.29 0.98 86.52% -0.05 0.0044
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 619 62.34% 20.09 -2.076 78.19% -0.123 -0.1053
Vital Strength of the Earth 3570 33.27% 23.09 -0.906 79.24% -0.743 0.1253
Volcano Looming High 183 36.61% 23.14 -0.7 87.43% 0.065 0.0067

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 656 43.76% 21.82 -1.503 76.83% -0.481 0.0967
Dahan Insurrection 4 638 23.1% 45.97 9.958 81.82% -1.013 -0.6139
Despicable Theft 2 5 40.0% 33.6 4.114 80.0% -0.467 -0.2797
Elemental Invocation 1 21 61.9% 23.14 -0.695 71.43% -0.381 0.0242
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1867 8.06% 30.06 1.818 83.93% -1.828 -1.4626
Powers Long Forgotten 1 353 50.71% 29.14 1.764 76.49% -0.388 0.0542
Rituals of Terror 3 440 46.42% 35.31 5.108 73.64% -0.645 -0.0165
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 260 68.46% 31.22 3.51 63.08% -0.741 -0.0897
Second Wave 0 581 60.07% 23.27 -0.201 71.08% -0.514 -0.0966
The Great River 3 35 57.14% 25.37 0.885 45.71% -2.457 -0.9891
Ward the Shores 2 407 44.72% 30.7 2.611 74.69% -0.695 0.342

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 20998 40.18% 23.66 -0.601 82.16% -0.118 0.2394
1 Thematic 2635 43.7% 31.15 2.148 77.31% -0.05 0.4498
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5055 33.44% 24.23 -0.297 86.61% -0.07 0.1264
2 Coastline 368 35.08% 24.08 -0.218 88.04% 0.164 0.3075
2 Fragment 100 36.0% 23.19 -0.663 88.0% -0.022 0.4024
2 Heart 58 58.93% 21.0 -1.105 81.03% 0.106 0.4
2 Opposite Shores 518 32.67% 24.08 -0.464 87.64% -0.059 0.1674
2 Thematic 574 42.48% 32.91 1.928 82.06% 0.234 0.2737
2 Top to Top 108 31.78% 23.01 -0.808 85.19% -0.357 -0.2206
3 Coastline 7 42.86% 25.14 0.781 85.71% 0.162 0.1197
3 Other 48 45.83% 20.58 -1.487 75.0% -0.807 -0.3973
3 Round (Default) 1439 27.34% 24.86 -0.072 89.51% -0.27 -0.2291
3 Sunrise 2 0.0% 30.5 0.898 100.0% 0.044 -0.1688
3 Thematic 100 39.0% 31.12 0.164 79.0% -0.197 -0.5627
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 21.33 -2.16 66.67% -0.537 -0.3543
4 Leaf 5 20.0% 27.4 1.962 100.0% 0.18 0.2082
4 Other 18 27.78% 22.61 -0.809 88.89% -0.418 -0.3024
4 Thematic 306 30.69% 32.21 0.246 93.46% 0.874 -0.2143
4 Trapezoid (Default) 661 25.88% 25.29 0.268 92.74% 0.045 0.0341
5 Other 10 90.0% 23.7 1.007 100.0% 0.861 0.6486
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 29.67 0.156 100.0% 0.271 -2.5758

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 832 18.12 -4.202 62.74% -3.299 -1.2274
Aid From Lesser Spirits 718 19.08 -3.867 60.86% -3.363 -1.4426
All Things Weaken 223 17.78 -4.229 64.57% -3.123 -0.9695
Back Against the Wall 700 17.99 -4.246 58.0% -3.543 -1.4456
Disintegrating Ecosystem 830 15.01 -5.838 54.1% -3.637 -1.4127
Downward Spiral 2912 17.17 -4.468 64.66% -2.916 -0.8987
Erosion of Will 841 18.0 -4.307 60.05% -3.417 -1.2075
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 89 23.79 -1.287 94.38% -0.664 0.0412
Memory Fades to Dust 2981 16.18 -4.99 57.53% -3.247 -1.0313
Power Corrodes the Spirit 242 17.18 -4.722 64.05% -3.213 -1.1891
Promising Farmlands 884 16.92 -4.847 61.88% -3.327 -1.115
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 71 24.83 -0.902 95.77% -0.486 -0.0441
Thriving Communities 224 17.06 -4.61 65.63% -3.2 -1.1058
Tipping Point 504 16.8 -4.834 60.52% -3.309 -1.0902
Unnatural Proliferation 237 18.56 -4.017 61.6% -3.269 -1.1865
Untended Land Crumbles 259 16.81 -4.655 61.39% -3.3 -1.2014

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7652 38.11% 23.64 -0.425 83.78% 0.283 -0.8048
B 7834 37.37% 23.83 -0.328 83.8% 0.246 -0.9388
C 7999 36.2% 24.15 -0.189 84.81% 0.325 -1.0904
D 7560 35.77% 24.0 -0.239 84.66% 0.289 -0.8881
E 1311 30.76% 24.97 0.14 89.09% 0.372 -0.906
F 2830 33.1% 24.54 -0.062 88.02% 0.374 -0.869
G 2687 34.13% 23.93 -0.391 86.08% 0.2 -1.0308
H 2928 33.58% 24.52 -0.126 87.6% 0.359 -0.8812
East 1241 39.63% 33.13 2.225 83.8% 0.246 -0.7032
Northeast 1321 39.27% 32.17 1.786 82.36% 0.147 -0.7416
Northwest 1103 38.09% 31.62 1.3 81.6% 0.025 -0.937
Southeast 191 41.88% 29.2 0.586 81.15% -0.063 -1.0645
Southwest 165 41.82% 25.73 -1.21 82.42% 0.004 -0.5982
West 1198 42.96% 31.99 1.568 80.72% 0.052 -0.6325

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 314 0.0% 21.8 -2.555 71.66% -2.816 -0.7715
Not Using Events or Tokens 8055 46.48% 22.56 -0.826 77.65% -0.359 -0.1387
Skip Initial Invader Actions 506 6.85% 35.21 3.314 96.44% 1.146 0.438
Start of Game Growth 721 12.15% 32.36 2.029 93.9% -0.005 -0.4576
Unlimited Undo 1583 31.16% 26.41 0.453 88.63% 0.362 -0.0516
Using Tokens but Not Events 2577 28.57% 25.75 0.103 88.51% -0.051 -0.0974

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3371 22.34 55.68%
II 12816 30.74 80.88%
III 11293 34.25 86.48%
IV 5536 37.46 99.01%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.022 Win Model: 0.005
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 23655 40.58% 24.5 81.63%
2 6775 34.44% 24.89 86.32%
3 1587 28.65% 25.11 88.41%
4 998 28.06% 27.34 92.99%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1358
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7253
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7239
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4049
Lose: Invader deck ran out 496
Win: Sacrifice victory 125
Lose: Scenario condition 358
Win: Scenario condition 826
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4431
Lose: Spirit destroyed 242

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2083 29.18% 30.08 -0.245 85.21% -0.283 -0.1397
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1449 51.46% 29.34 -0.048 82.68% 0.047 0.2813
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 916 28.18% 31.84 0.51 92.36% 0.56 0.4712
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1224 18.35% 34.4 1.43 93.95% 0.418 0.05
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 911 24.15% 33.14 0.982 93.52% 0.597 0.3485
Fractured Days Split the Sky 144 47.22% 30.82 0.555 79.17% -0.65 -0.3019
Heart of the Wildfire 1685 57.67% 27.71 -0.63 79.23% -0.026 0.3219
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2570 35.37% 31.26 0.465 89.65% 0.375 0.0726
Lightning's Swift Strike 2332 39.57% 30.35 0.222 83.1% -0.106 0.1599
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 240 33.05% 30.57 0.273 89.17% 0.111 -0.2087
Many Minds Move as One 286 26.22% 32.08 0.758 91.61% 0.235 -0.2885
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1790 45.14% 29.17 -0.478 82.79% -0.109 -0.3047
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 904 31.71% 30.79 -0.061 88.38% 0.086 0.1323
River Surges in Sunlight 2564 41.12% 31.49 0.751 81.98% -0.212 -0.0534
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1211 39.24% 28.86 -0.716 83.98% -0.113 0.0331
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1670 54.23% 28.6 -0.498 77.66% -0.155 0.2917
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1542 31.45% 32.17 0.721 87.68% 0.055 -0.0155
Shroud of Silent Mist 25 56.0% 25.56 -1.421 84.0% 0.047 0.0534
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 446 42.7% 26.17 -1.904 84.98% -0.031 -0.0509
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 792 34.52% 29.87 -0.437 84.22% -0.347 -0.1327
Thunderspeaker 2043 33.1% 32.68 0.969 85.61% -0.05 0.0043
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 417 70.67% 23.92 -2.134 75.06% -0.161 -0.1427
Vital Strength of the Earth 2060 40.81% 27.42 -1.443 78.11% -0.6 0.2686
Volcano Looming High 113 49.56% 27.64 -0.645 86.73% 0.049 -0.0097

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 527 49.23% 25.32 -2.16 72.49% -0.674 -0.0957
Dahan Insurrection 4 536 23.31% 51.83 10.251 85.82% -0.63 -0.2311
Despicable Theft 2 2 100.0% 28.0 0.969 50.0% -0.229 -0.0421
Elemental Invocation 1 21 76.19% 28.76 0.376 76.19% -0.075 0.3311
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1099 13.62% 32.31 0.412 77.71% -1.92 -1.5541
Powers Long Forgotten 1 316 63.29% 29.72 -0.055 65.82% -0.783 -0.3409
Rituals of Terror 3 296 43.92% 39.95 4.955 75.0% -0.723 -0.0949
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 200 69.5% 34.85 2.75 61.5% -0.821 -0.1702
Second Wave 0 1889 48.3% 29.53 0.064 75.7% -0.763 -0.3457
The Great River 3 29 37.93% 32.1 1.531 58.62% -2.09 -0.6214
Ward the Shores 2 360 48.74% 34.29 2.093 71.94% -0.829 0.2082

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11853 42.22% 28.73 -0.66 82.17% -0.352 0.005
1 Thematic 2111 45.76% 34.94 1.728 74.09% -0.541 -0.0411
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2905 37.08% 29.54 -0.21 87.64% 0.107 0.3043
2 Coastline 292 44.37% 28.69 -0.286 86.64% 0.206 0.3494
2 Fragment 79 41.77% 28.77 -0.483 89.87% 0.255 0.68
2 Heart 49 36.73% 27.51 -1.097 81.63% -0.475 -0.1813
2 Opposite Shores 529 34.67% 29.06 -0.501 86.96% -0.064 0.1629
2 Thematic 492 46.84% 35.41 1.106 76.63% -0.087 -0.0473
2 Top to Top 91 37.78% 28.35 -0.785 81.32% -0.396 -0.2595
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 31.88 1.234 75.0% 0.591 0.5486
3 Other 42 30.95% 27.57 -0.869 90.48% 0.021 0.4305
3 Round (Default) 1100 27.63% 31.19 0.285 92.27% 0.429 0.4703
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 25.0 -2.441 100.0% 0.01 -0.2028
3 Thematic 82 39.02% 35.72 0.349 74.39% -0.315 -0.6808
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 25.0 -4.323 33.33% -1.552 -1.3699
4 Leaf 4 0.0% 38.5 2.547 100.0% 0.058 0.0857
4 Other 35 40.0% 29.51 0.176 88.57% 0.195 0.3111
4 Thematic 239 43.93% 36.48 0.533 89.96% 1.102 0.0134
4 Trapezoid (Default) 443 28.94% 30.86 0.095 88.94% 0.117 0.1062
5 Other 5 40.0% 34.4 3.097 100.0% 0.445 0.232

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 554 23.47 -4.321 63.72% -3.138 -1.0665
Aid From Lesser Spirits 574 23.71 -4.085 62.72% -3.224 -1.3034
All Things Weaken 181 22.33 -4.782 59.67% -3.201 -1.0468
Back Against the Wall 524 23.15 -4.47 59.35% -3.347 -1.2502
Disintegrating Ecosystem 616 20.91 -5.648 60.88% -3.307 -1.0824
Downward Spiral 1666 22.19 -4.686 65.97% -2.812 -0.7945
Erosion of Will 603 21.99 -5.066 58.21% -3.39 -1.1807
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 56 28.64 -1.491 96.43% -0.308 0.3966
Memory Fades to Dust 1729 21.15 -5.249 59.46% -3.139 -0.9238
Power Corrodes the Spirit 157 22.21 -4.901 63.06% -3.085 -1.0611
Promising Farmlands 655 21.18 -5.408 61.53% -3.273 -1.0609
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 46 29.0 -1.051 97.83% -0.053 0.3886
Thriving Communities 178 20.94 -5.155 64.61% -3.05 -0.9559
Tipping Point 365 21.32 -5.492 59.18% -3.386 -1.1672
Unnatural Proliferation 179 23.4 -4.321 60.89% -3.207 -1.1244
Untended Land Crumbles 148 21.66 -4.809 66.89% -2.853 -0.7551

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4723 41.18% 28.88 -0.419 83.97% 0.264 -0.8239
B 4891 38.3% 29.22 -0.315 84.89% 0.246 -0.9385
C 4989 38.61% 29.33 -0.221 85.03% 0.283 -1.1316
D 4726 37.73% 29.55 -0.035 85.93% 0.422 -0.7551
E 861 34.92% 29.5 -0.202 87.34% 0.221 -1.057
F 1749 33.22% 29.88 -0.124 88.62% 0.399 -0.8439
G 1597 36.26% 29.88 -0.174 86.98% 0.252 -0.9782
H 1677 32.41% 30.21 -0.073 88.43% 0.312 -0.928
East 1049 44.23% 36.46 1.849 78.36% 0.181 -0.7688
Northeast 1077 45.59% 35.58 1.335 77.62% 0.056 -0.8323
Northwest 881 43.18% 35.84 1.378 80.7% 0.363 -0.5991
Southeast 154 40.26% 33.77 0.339 78.57% 0.042 -0.9587
Southwest 133 40.6% 30.76 -1.522 76.69% -0.251 -0.8529
West 953 49.05% 35.08 0.941 76.5% 0.075 -0.609

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 128 0.0% 27.39 -2.354 77.34% -2.246 -0.2011
Not Using Events or Tokens 3693 47.94% 27.57 -0.952 77.23% -0.388 -0.1684
Skip Initial Invader Actions 274 8.76% 43.18 3.822 94.16% 0.079 -0.6282
Start of Game Growth 427 14.47% 39.59 2.58 92.51% 0.281 -0.171
Unlimited Undo 1153 33.6% 30.92 0.166 87.6% 0.166 -0.2477
Using Tokens but Not Events 1674 31.57% 31.38 0.355 87.69% -0.013 -0.0597

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2284 22.34 49.78%
II 8190 30.74 81.29%
III 7036 34.25 89.23%
IV 2854 37.46 98.95%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.049 Win Model: -0.261
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13978 42.72% 29.67 80.97%
2 4437 38.49% 30.01 86.12%
3 1231 29.17% 31.36 90.9%
4 718 33.95% 32.71 89.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 744
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4424
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4204
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2001
Lose: Invader deck ran out 198
Win: Sacrifice victory 61
Lose: Scenario condition 265
Win: Scenario condition 719
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2865
Lose: Spirit destroyed 139

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2944 32.19% 33.12 0.209 84.21% -0.189 -0.0461
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1741 59.33% 31.22 0.02 80.01% 0.135 0.3696
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1171 32.99% 34.5 0.831 89.58% 0.359 0.2701
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1493 22.78% 36.72 1.706 92.7% 0.457 0.0891
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1168 28.28% 35.67 1.275 90.5% 0.402 0.1538
Fractured Days Split the Sky 199 46.73% 33.09 0.468 70.35% -1.046 -0.6982
Heart of the Wildfire 2087 67.36% 27.8 -1.646 71.2% -0.297 0.051
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3348 40.26% 34.08 0.998 87.54% 0.468 0.1656
Lightning's Swift Strike 2772 46.22% 31.53 -0.217 78.61% -0.261 0.005
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 412 35.19% 34.37 0.87 88.11% 0.217 -0.1036
Many Minds Move as One 358 31.65% 35.73 1.486 93.85% 0.795 0.2716
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2631 54.23% 30.66 -0.633 79.1% -0.095 -0.2907
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1143 35.85% 33.19 0.219 87.05% 0.135 0.1814
River Surges in Sunlight 3366 49.14% 33.42 0.829 78.22% -0.186 -0.0275
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2043 40.79% 32.1 -0.109 84.63% 0.068 0.2142
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1903 66.07% 29.34 -0.906 71.68% -0.189 0.2574
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2027 36.53% 33.91 0.644 83.97% -0.097 -0.167
Shroud of Silent Mist 61 52.46% 29.82 -0.811 81.97% -0.023 -0.0169
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 669 44.08% 29.65 -1.474 84.3% -0.106 -0.1264
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 931 45.57% 31.83 -0.323 81.42% -0.043 0.171
Thunderspeaker 2600 43.0% 34.27 1.01 83.35% 0.096 0.1508
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 546 73.44% 26.99 -1.973 74.91% -0.077 -0.0592
Vital Strength of the Earth 2417 44.77% 29.39 -1.335 73.65% -0.66 0.208
Volcano Looming High 263 47.53% 32.07 0.089 87.45% 0.292 0.2329

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 585 58.55% 27.11 -2.375 67.01% -0.701 -0.123
Dahan Insurrection 4 436 30.41% 52.52 9.596 78.67% -0.954 -0.5546
Despicable Theft 2 3 33.33% 44.33 5.621 100.0% 0.184 0.3712
Elemental Invocation 1 15 66.67% 30.47 0.048 80.0% 0.178 0.5841
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1599 16.07% 33.61 0.038 72.61% -2.139 -1.7733
Powers Long Forgotten 1 341 66.57% 31.72 0.079 62.76% -0.716 -0.2739
Rituals of Terror 3 247 55.69% 41.07 4.389 65.18% -0.884 -0.2552
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 175 73.71% 37.61 2.875 59.43% -0.836 -0.185
Second Wave 0 1439 55.25% 31.51 -0.151 71.09% -0.803 -0.3859
The Great River 3 33 60.61% 34.42 1.2 51.52% -1.861 -0.3929
Ward the Shores 2 380 54.74% 35.67 1.854 66.32% -0.875 0.1619

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 14211 50.05% 30.63 -0.567 78.21% 0.164 0.5207
1 Thematic 2054 56.75% 34.57 1.081 66.75% -0.216 0.2835
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3781 43.69% 32.27 0.1 85.51% 0.386 0.5827
2 Coastline 420 42.44% 32.43 0.033 85.0% 0.322 0.4647
2 Fragment 108 57.41% 30.59 -0.544 79.63% 0.095 0.5196
2 Heart 55 40.0% 29.6 -1.29 76.36% -0.33 -0.0365
2 Opposite Shores 711 42.15% 32.44 0.106 86.36% 0.521 0.7474
2 Thematic 630 60.35% 34.41 0.312 65.4% -0.409 -0.3692
2 Top to Top 119 46.22% 32.7 0.339 84.87% 0.431 0.5678
3 Coastline 12 25.0% 35.67 0.215 83.33% -0.225 -0.2676
3 Other 73 27.78% 32.51 -0.369 84.93% -0.426 -0.016
3 Round (Default) 1570 36.4% 32.84 0.06 86.88% 0.218 0.2585
3 Sunrise 10 40.0% 26.8 -3.514 50.0% -1.615 -1.8276
3 Thematic 128 54.33% 38.41 1.557 77.34% -0.136 -0.5014
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 36.0 3.598 100.0% 0.301 0.4837
4 Leaf 5 40.0% 34.4 0.8 80.0% -0.197 -0.169
4 Other 45 17.78% 34.29 0.189 91.11% -0.049 0.0665
4 Thematic 229 41.23% 38.95 1.002 82.97% -0.228 -1.3157
4 Trapezoid (Default) 966 30.98% 33.85 0.494 90.37% 0.356 0.3452
5 Other 16 50.0% 35.63 1.224 100.0% 0.912 0.6998
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 42.0 2.962 100.0% 0.159 -2.6875

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 945 25.35 -4.274 59.37% -3.103 -1.0319
Aid From Lesser Spirits 775 27.14 -3.418 61.94% -3.046 -1.1253
All Things Weaken 271 24.49 -4.585 59.04% -3.175 -1.0208
Back Against the Wall 782 27.63 -3.198 64.96% -2.895 -0.7978
Disintegrating Ecosystem 900 23.06 -5.454 58.67% -3.163 -0.9384
Downward Spiral 2310 24.7 -4.392 63.64% -2.905 -0.8883
Erosion of Will 951 24.28 -4.795 56.36% -3.288 -1.0781
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 94 33.9 0.018 95.74% -0.264 0.441
Memory Fades to Dust 2253 23.78 -4.874 57.75% -3.154 -0.9389
Power Corrodes the Spirit 258 24.74 -4.465 62.4% -3.079 -1.0554
Promising Farmlands 960 24.07 -4.886 60.31% -3.084 -0.8721
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 79 33.65 -0.098 100.0% 1.024 1.4658
Thriving Communities 244 24.68 -4.59 62.7% -3.025 -0.9316
Tipping Point 575 24.7 -4.578 60.7% -3.032 -0.8129
Unnatural Proliferation 282 25.26 -4.158 62.06% -3.055 -0.9727
Untended Land Crumbles 266 24.46 -4.523 64.66% -2.939 -0.8405

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6264 44.71% 31.69 -0.067 82.6% 0.123 -0.9645
B 6491 44.49% 31.52 -0.172 82.18% 0.075 -1.109
C 6759 42.95% 31.82 0.018 82.79% 0.097 -1.3176
D 6268 45.62% 31.43 -0.141 82.2% 0.14 -1.0367
E 1237 43.12% 32.41 0.088 85.85% 0.196 -1.0818
F 2379 40.03% 32.99 0.26 85.88% 0.196 -1.0465
G 2171 41.85% 32.37 0.006 85.26% 0.178 -1.0521
H 2228 41.13% 32.44 -0.008 84.69% 0.093 -1.147
East 1145 53.15% 37.03 1.641 72.23% 0.241 -0.7083
Northeast 1121 53.35% 36.78 1.506 72.79% 0.308 -0.5805
Northwest 944 56.0% 34.56 0.24 66.84% -0.04 -1.0023
Southeast 182 50.83% 32.8 -0.621 69.23% -0.357 -1.3583
Southwest 152 52.63% 32.41 -0.888 74.34% 0.163 -0.4391
West 1020 57.33% 35.63 0.862 69.02% 0.103 -0.5812

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 143 0.0% 31.54 -1.644 81.12% -2.082 -0.0374
Not Using Events or Tokens 4085 54.82% 29.43 -0.812 74.59% -0.101 0.1188
Skip Initial Invader Actions 341 13.56% 45.59 4.329 95.31% 1.116 0.4087
Start of Game Growth 561 16.98% 41.66 2.54 90.37% -0.178 -0.6305
Unlimited Undo 1650 43.54% 32.99 0.273 83.45% 0.151 -0.2621
Using Tokens but Not Events 1969 40.81% 32.88 0.25 85.53% 0.218 0.1715

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1856 22.34 15.46%
II 10770 30.74 75.79%
III 8407 34.25 88.91%
IV 4112 37.46 99.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.183 Win Model: 0.154
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 16282 50.91% 31.13 76.75%
2 5826 45.46% 32.48 83.21%
3 1789 37.08% 33.25 85.97%
4 1248 32.76% 34.85 89.18%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 189
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5396
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5409
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2929
Lose: Invader deck ran out 243
Win: Sacrifice victory 110
Lose: Scenario condition 454
Win: Scenario condition 594
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4246
Lose: Spirit destroyed 206

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2881 40.47% 41.67 0.594 84.94% -0.018 0.1253
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1784 72.59% 36.15 -1.272 69.45% -0.313 -0.0789
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1433 35.24% 43.39 1.283 89.39% 0.303 0.2135
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1579 40.66% 43.27 1.316 88.09% 0.299 -0.0689
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1421 44.08% 42.52 0.979 85.86% 0.227 -0.0215
Fractured Days Split the Sky 314 48.73% 41.88 0.807 77.71% -0.601 -0.2529
Heart of the Wildfire 2579 69.55% 36.52 -1.277 71.85% -0.207 0.1411
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4280 52.73% 42.21 1.211 84.72% 0.36 0.0582
Lightning's Swift Strike 3061 51.75% 40.74 0.397 80.14% -0.074 0.1923
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 576 50.52% 42.69 1.3 86.63% 0.358 0.0376
Many Minds Move as One 417 47.84% 42.88 1.337 90.41% 0.584 0.06
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2645 65.72% 37.17 -1.317 73.04% -0.313 -0.5091
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1346 41.92% 42.56 1.022 88.86% 0.418 0.4643
River Surges in Sunlight 3371 56.34% 42.14 1.295 78.37% -0.074 0.0841
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1893 55.89% 38.76 -0.662 78.39% -0.161 -0.0154
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1885 72.91% 36.03 -1.461 67.37% -0.384 0.0624
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2654 38.23% 43.44 1.641 85.68% 0.039 -0.0315
Shroud of Silent Mist 68 67.65% 37.13 -0.663 77.94% 0.073 0.0798
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1125 59.48% 35.1 -2.301 77.33% -0.264 -0.2841
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1209 49.71% 41.76 0.64 83.71% 0.133 0.3466
Thunderspeaker 2292 50.85% 42.65 1.095 81.41% 0.039 0.0936
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 847 83.47% 34.69 -1.803 73.79% 0.059 0.0773
Vital Strength of the Earth 2111 59.67% 34.61 -2.578 66.56% -0.812 0.056
Volcano Looming High 329 53.5% 39.96 0.203 84.8% 0.154 0.0949

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 469 58.19% 35.65 -2.231 66.95% -0.73 -0.1525
Dahan Insurrection 4 491 39.59% 62.39 10.474 82.48% -0.231 0.1681
Despicable Theft 2 4 75.0% 37.25 -1.295 50.0% -0.694 -0.5069
Elemental Invocation 1 29 55.17% 47.59 3.184 96.55% 1.062 1.4678
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1626 22.72% 43.56 1.071 79.4% -1.272 -0.906
Powers Long Forgotten 1 247 75.3% 39.06 -0.404 62.75% -0.594 -0.1521
Rituals of Terror 3 193 63.73% 47.9 4.209 65.8% -0.609 0.0194
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 75 86.67% 41.61 1.088 50.67% -0.716 -0.0656
Second Wave 0 967 64.08% 36.04 -1.95 62.56% -1.079 -0.6619
The Great River 3 31 77.42% 39.42 0.007 48.39% -1.694 -0.2252
Ward the Shores 2 266 63.91% 42.17 1.15 64.29% -0.753 0.284

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 18748 57.78% 38.45 -0.543 76.62% -0.361 -0.0034
1 Thematic 1515 59.54% 42.53 0.89 67.26% -0.311 0.1885
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4259 54.0% 40.04 0.054 81.57% -0.173 0.0239
2 Coastline 541 54.87% 40.9 0.307 82.44% -0.114 0.0294
2 Fragment 106 56.6% 39.36 -0.589 76.42% -0.472 -0.0473
2 Heart 55 58.18% 38.31 -0.722 78.18% -0.339 -0.0456
2 Opposite Shores 785 57.73% 40.42 0.209 83.82% 0.089 0.3153
2 Thematic 475 60.34% 44.17 1.058 70.74% 0.319 0.3596
2 Top to Top 123 57.72% 37.55 -0.823 73.17% -0.555 -0.418
3 Coastline 38 31.58% 47.79 2.693 97.37% 1.188 1.1451
3 Other 86 45.35% 41.9 0.49 89.53% 0.147 0.5568
3 Round (Default) 1485 46.75% 41.33 0.36 86.26% -0.001 0.0394
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 58.0 6.478 100.0% 0.174 -0.0392
3 Thematic 79 62.82% 42.38 -0.063 67.09% 0.61 0.2446
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 19.0 -11.508 0.0% -0.572 -0.3898
4 Leaf 4 100.0% 43.0 2.453 100.0% 0.407 0.4349
4 Other 37 32.43% 43.35 0.951 91.89% 0.077 0.1932
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 66.0 5.912 100.0% 0.011 -0.7757
4 Thematic 165 42.42% 49.99 1.169 76.36% 0.864 -0.224
4 Trapezoid (Default) 822 40.42% 43.63 0.904 89.17% 0.083 0.0723
5 Other 9 55.56% 42.67 1.653 88.89% 0.249 0.0362
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 22.0 -12.902 0.0% -0.775 -3.6214

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1410 33.09 -4.443 61.42% -3.07 -0.9988
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1182 35.69 -3.106 67.09% -2.851 -0.9298
All Things Weaken 459 31.59 -4.94 59.26% -3.224 -1.0702
Back Against the Wall 1088 34.15 -3.879 62.96% -3.038 -0.9413
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1302 30.62 -5.655 59.52% -3.142 -0.9175
Downward Spiral 2752 32.88 -4.32 65.88% -2.792 -0.775
Erosion of Will 1360 32.15 -4.948 59.56% -3.213 -1.003
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 176 43.19 0.656 97.73% 0.1 0.8051
Memory Fades to Dust 2682 31.61 -4.99 60.25% -3.048 -0.8327
Power Corrodes the Spirit 468 33.35 -4.102 69.02% -2.781 -0.758
Promising Farmlands 1336 30.99 -5.422 59.73% -3.138 -0.9264
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 117 44.97 1.362 99.15% 0.669 1.1107
Thriving Communities 442 30.89 -5.342 61.54% -3.143 -1.0494
Tipping Point 813 30.59 -5.68 56.33% -3.225 -1.0061
Unnatural Proliferation 425 34.67 -3.295 68.47% -2.735 -0.6522
Untended Land Crumbles 386 31.92 -4.748 63.47% -3.052 -0.9536

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6807 54.99% 39.41 -0.096 79.37% 0.375 -0.7127
B 7126 53.5% 39.83 0.112 80.31% 0.388 -0.7964
C 7645 54.94% 39.79 0.167 80.16% 0.423 -0.9919
D 6900 54.73% 39.49 0.034 79.71% 0.407 -0.7702
E 1686 55.7% 39.54 -0.058 82.09% 0.453 -0.8251
F 2964 49.31% 41.11 0.472 84.31% 0.489 -0.7538
G 2711 54.38% 39.49 -0.266 80.19% 0.282 -0.9486
H 3050 51.0% 40.39 0.087 82.23% 0.333 -0.9072
East 836 56.77% 45.11 1.302 69.38% -0.087 -1.0359
Northeast 836 57.6% 44.21 1.069 68.54% -0.089 -0.9771
Northwest 606 57.02% 44.58 0.777 70.46% 0.068 -0.8944
Southeast 158 49.37% 45.91 1.64 79.75% 0.353 -0.6482
Southwest 144 51.39% 42.38 -0.487 76.39% -0.094 -0.6958
West 721 57.3% 44.22 0.589 66.99% -0.281 -0.9653

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 105 0.0% 33.74 -4.234 62.86% -3.072 -1.0278
Not Using Events or Tokens 3203 67.01% 36.25 -1.154 71.34% -0.114 0.1057
Skip Initial Invader Actions 365 11.83% 55.34 4.846 96.16% 0.937 0.2295
Start of Game Growth 499 15.91% 52.57 3.652 93.79% 0.297 -0.1547
Unlimited Undo 1923 51.15% 41.38 0.645 82.94% 0.24 -0.1731
Using Tokens but Not Events 1813 48.37% 41.76 0.62 84.78% 0.24 0.1937

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2559 22.34 17.51%
II 13776 30.74 75.28%
III 9135 34.25 89.7%
IV 3867 37.46 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.285 Win Model: -0.177
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 20295 57.89% 38.77 75.93%
2 6348 55.29% 40.38 80.83%
3 1667 46.59% 41.59 85.84%
4 1027 40.92% 44.6 86.95%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 298
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6192
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7181
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2991
Lose: Invader deck ran out 199
Win: Sacrifice victory 133
Lose: Scenario condition 327
Win: Scenario condition 576
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5649
Lose: Spirit destroyed 296

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1853 52.3% 40.5 0.594 73.93% -0.116 0.0267
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1192 80.67% 35.01 -1.374 57.55% -0.272 -0.0377
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 952 55.45% 40.95 0.815 75.63% 0.118 0.0285
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1019 51.77% 43.49 1.811 79.29% 0.231 -0.1369
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1004 57.78% 42.14 1.414 77.99% 0.306 0.0577
Fractured Days Split the Sky 192 61.46% 40.94 0.911 65.63% -0.444 -0.0959
Heart of the Wildfire 1583 79.59% 34.24 -1.963 57.93% -0.28 0.0685
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3423 62.09% 41.36 1.382 76.42% 0.369 0.0667
Lightning's Swift Strike 1929 63.55% 38.85 0.003 68.07% -0.119 0.1467
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 465 66.24% 40.11 0.864 75.27% 0.248 -0.0717
Many Minds Move as One 296 51.01% 45.01 2.741 87.5% 0.922 0.3985
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1908 72.08% 36.66 -1.041 63.26% -0.254 -0.4504
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 889 53.27% 41.46 1.013 77.62% 0.184 0.2303
River Surges in Sunlight 2391 67.58% 40.75 1.077 65.96% -0.112 0.0459
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1298 71.64% 36.63 -1.138 63.87% -0.188 -0.0422
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1128 78.02% 35.25 -1.475 56.83% -0.371 0.076
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1834 50.52% 41.71 1.313 73.72% -0.122 -0.1919
Shroud of Silent Mist 43 76.74% 36.98 -0.42 69.77% 0.163 0.1694
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 659 68.84% 33.33 -2.756 64.49% -0.35 -0.3704
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 758 56.9% 41.14 0.841 75.07% 0.088 0.3022
Thunderspeaker 1494 64.75% 42.21 1.53 72.62% 0.223 0.2774
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 612 91.01% 32.34 -2.416 57.35% -0.097 -0.0793
Vital Strength of the Earth 1250 75.5% 32.84 -2.688 51.44% -0.716 0.1527
Volcano Looming High 231 67.1% 39.7 0.463 74.89% 0.224 0.1655

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 298 69.97% 33.6 -2.698 51.68% -0.739 -0.1617
Dahan Insurrection 4 334 55.69% 59.51 9.81 71.56% -0.11 0.2887
Despicable Theft 2 3 66.67% 58.33 8.419 100.0% 0.467 0.6548
Elemental Invocation 1 8 87.5% 36.38 -1.021 62.5% -0.171 0.2349
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1005 24.5% 43.66 1.38 70.35% -1.439 -1.0728
Powers Long Forgotten 1 154 75.97% 36.77 -0.91 48.7% -0.786 -0.3443
Rituals of Terror 3 99 85.86% 37.44 -0.175 35.35% -1.181 -0.5523
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 87 87.36% 40.64 1.055 39.08% -0.701 -0.0506
Second Wave 0 592 74.83% 36.35 -1.264 55.74% -0.666 -0.2482
The Great River 3 12 58.33% 47.42 3.458 58.33% -1.051 0.4175
Ward the Shores 2 98 82.65% 38.2 0.193 42.86% -0.713 0.3242

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12465 67.24% 37.43 -0.661 66.43% -0.318 0.0388
1 Thematic 1200 66.83% 41.5 0.853 55.58% -0.496 0.0041
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2867 66.68% 39.58 0.47 72.72% 0.057 0.2539
2 Coastline 352 58.17% 42.77 1.418 80.4% 0.369 0.5123
2 Fragment 56 66.07% 34.11 -2.04 55.36% -0.749 -0.3243
2 Heart 56 71.43% 33.89 -2.397 55.36% -0.614 -0.3203
2 Opposite Shores 461 67.03% 38.37 -0.297 69.2% -0.067 0.1592
2 Thematic 341 78.01% 40.0 0.238 53.67% 0.032 0.072
2 Top to Top 78 70.13% 38.08 -0.043 71.79% 0.153 0.2893
3 Coastline 12 33.33% 54.33 5.611 100.0% 0.805 0.7628
3 Other 56 44.64% 38.66 -1.092 69.64% -0.749 -0.3394
3 Round (Default) 1055 57.14% 41.2 0.725 77.25% 0.15 0.1909
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 50.0 3.802 100.0% 0.019 -0.1944
3 Thematic 80 73.75% 38.52 -1.115 48.75% -0.026 -0.3914
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 50.0 3.495 100.0% 0.022 0.2045
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 37.6 -0.389 80.0% 0.355 0.3832
4 Other 46 39.13% 44.52 1.301 82.61% -0.217 -0.1013
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 4.722 100.0% 0.011 -0.7751
4 Snake 2 50.0% 47.0 2.693 100.0% 0.417 0.5425
4 Thematic 99 64.65% 41.25 -0.567 54.55% 0.233 -0.8556
4 Trapezoid (Default) 528 59.69% 40.52 0.088 70.83% -0.129 -0.1393
5 Other 5 40.0% 52.8 5.479 100.0% 0.617 0.4041
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 62.0 10.527 100.0% 0.159 -2.6879

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1066 32.71 -4.346 51.5% -3.072 -1.0003
Aid From Lesser Spirits 883 35.03 -3.296 56.63% -2.965 -1.044
All Things Weaken 353 31.92 -4.51 51.56% -3.12 -0.9666
Back Against the Wall 835 34.32 -3.597 53.53% -3.038 -0.941
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1065 31.6 -4.807 55.12% -2.935 -0.7104
Downward Spiral 2081 33.09 -3.904 57.14% -2.742 -0.7248
Erosion of Will 1194 31.48 -4.968 48.16% -3.241 -1.032
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 108 46.95 2.784 99.07% 0.839 1.5445
Memory Fades to Dust 2115 31.45 -4.763 51.02% -2.991 -0.7756
Power Corrodes the Spirit 368 31.33 -4.774 52.99% -3.049 -1.0255
Promising Farmlands 1164 31.25 -5.05 51.37% -3.092 -0.8797
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 67 47.34 3.012 100.0% 0.958 1.3997
Thriving Communities 322 28.46 -6.196 45.34% -3.412 -1.3186
Tipping Point 661 31.49 -4.863 49.92% -3.074 -0.8551
Unnatural Proliferation 397 31.26 -4.8 47.86% -3.291 -1.2089
Untended Land Crumbles 372 29.94 -5.487 48.39% -3.253 -1.1543

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4481 65.64% 38.26 -0.225 68.09% 0.403 -0.6845
B 4816 65.06% 38.93 0.173 70.06% 0.516 -0.668
C 4954 65.68% 38.43 -0.054 68.65% 0.437 -0.9779
D 4549 64.75% 38.69 0.13 69.66% 0.496 -0.6814
E 1231 64.2% 39.43 0.442 73.35% 0.633 -0.6449
F 2008 63.02% 39.58 0.286 72.31% 0.493 -0.7494
G 1828 65.22% 39.14 0.088 71.61% 0.527 -0.7038
H 2090 60.14% 40.26 0.506 74.21% 0.537 -0.7032
East 614 68.73% 42.44 1.171 55.86% 0.236 -0.7135
Northeast 590 71.02% 41.73 0.959 56.27% 0.368 -0.52
Northwest 504 74.6% 38.45 -0.826 48.41% 0.071 -0.8919
Southeast 110 69.09% 41.05 -0.086 61.82% 0.326 -0.6752
Southwest 116 53.45% 41.25 -0.477 68.1% 0.195 -0.4072
West 567 69.66% 40.27 -0.04 51.5% -0.03 -0.7145

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 79 0.0% 33.24 -4.02 53.16% -2.932 -0.8879
Not Using Events or Tokens 2042 75.42% 35.27 -1.155 60.38% -0.135 0.0849
Skip Initial Invader Actions 351 15.07% 56.42 5.886 94.3% 1.204 0.4963
Start of Game Growth 465 21.98% 53.15 4.184 90.32% 0.232 -0.2206
Unlimited Undo 1274 62.76% 40.16 0.607 72.06% 0.164 -0.2498
Using Tokens but Not Events 1148 59.95% 39.05 -0.125 70.38% -0.118 -0.165

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2294 22.34 6.15%
II 8178 30.74 60.88%
III 7121 34.25 84.79%
IV 2175 37.46 99.45%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.244 Win Model: -0.365
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13684 67.21% 37.79 65.49%
2 4207 67.02% 39.57 70.98%
3 1203 57.09% 41.08 75.31%
4 674 59.22% 40.97 69.29%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 109
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4628
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3471
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1640
Lose: Invader deck ran out 202
Win: Sacrifice victory 98
Lose: Scenario condition 267
Win: Scenario condition 281
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5730
Lose: Spirit destroyed 248

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 887 55.51% 43.78 1.879 70.8% 0.166 0.3093
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 519 79.58% 36.78 -1.005 51.64% -0.224 0.0109
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 445 54.4% 45.01 2.297 76.4% 0.526 0.4371
Eyes Watch From the Trees 441 60.27% 45.08 2.394 72.79% 0.434 0.0664
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 489 62.6% 42.58 1.173 65.03% 0.081 -0.1676
Fractured Days Split the Sky 81 59.26% 45.62 2.107 69.14% -0.129 0.2184
Heart of the Wildfire 761 81.51% 34.82 -2.059 49.67% -0.222 0.1257
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1501 64.07% 41.82 0.922 65.02% 0.204 -0.0984
Lightning's Swift Strike 1059 65.71% 40.32 0.181 60.62% -0.161 0.105
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 213 69.01% 40.47 0.719 63.85% -0.001 -0.3212
Many Minds Move as One 136 59.56% 45.18 2.536 77.21% 0.557 0.0333
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 874 75.32% 38.27 -0.695 56.75% -0.133 -0.3294
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 402 58.6% 43.53 1.76 72.14% 0.356 0.4021
River Surges in Sunlight 1122 72.4% 40.37 0.507 55.61% -0.235 -0.0768
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 611 70.05% 38.77 -0.772 58.76% -0.106 0.0395
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 500 79.0% 36.53 -1.527 47.6% -0.354 0.0926
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 845 55.27% 43.92 2.006 69.35% 0.126 0.0562
Shroud of Silent Mist 18 83.33% 39.0 -0.242 66.67% 0.316 0.3228
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 247 78.14% 31.35 -4.077 49.39% -0.493 -0.5131
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 434 65.51% 39.3 -0.378 58.53% -0.332 -0.1178
Thunderspeaker 785 68.98% 41.32 0.818 60.89% -0.04 0.0151
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 251 91.6% 30.8 -3.468 43.03% -0.292 -0.2734
Vital Strength of the Earth 634 73.78% 34.98 -2.303 46.85% -0.686 0.1821
Volcano Looming High 93 67.74% 42.54 1.722 73.12% 0.512 0.453

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 178 73.1% 33.97 -2.886 46.07% -0.651 -0.0735
Dahan Insurrection 4 196 63.27% 55.22 7.718 54.59% -0.48 -0.081
Elemental Invocation 1 6 83.33% 32.17 -4.043 33.33% -0.511 -0.1056
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 706 24.14% 48.09 3.111 71.1% -0.921 -0.5553
Powers Long Forgotten 1 64 84.38% 40.56 0.571 51.56% -0.084 0.358
Rituals of Terror 3 89 70.79% 43.94 2.271 42.7% -0.889 -0.261
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 59 79.66% 42.64 2.084 38.98% -0.624 0.0269
Second Wave 0 241 72.61% 38.7 -0.922 51.04% -0.567 -0.15
The Great River 3 7 71.43% 32.57 -4.914 14.29% -2.118 -0.6499
Ward the Shores 2 74 78.38% 42.76 0.885 44.59% -0.573 0.4637

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5700 70.26% 37.69 -0.933 56.35% -0.462 -0.1053
1 Thematic 789 62.61% 42.83 1.209 51.96% -0.155 0.3448
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1398 73.54% 39.22 -0.187 60.94% -0.296 -0.0995
2 Coastline 151 69.54% 43.04 1.322 70.86% 0.174 0.3171
2 Fragment 24 79.17% 35.58 -1.527 54.17% -0.319 0.1055
2 Heart 16 75.0% 47.75 3.901 81.25% 0.683 0.977
2 Opposite Shores 240 66.11% 40.48 0.098 63.75% -0.244 -0.0176
2 Thematic 147 75.51% 42.13 0.832 46.26% 0.458 0.4979
2 Top to Top 36 63.89% 39.11 -0.327 58.33% -0.34 -0.2033
3 Coastline 16 56.25% 50.81 4.77 81.25% 0.514 0.472
3 Other 20 55.0% 45.6 1.391 80.0% -0.143 0.2665
3 Round (Default) 490 62.35% 44.35 1.7 74.49% 0.132 0.1731
3 Sunrise 4 50.0% 38.0 -2.629 50.0% -0.758 -0.9708
3 Thematic 39 89.74% 32.95 -3.678 25.64% 0.151 -0.2141
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 33.5 -1.79 50.0% -0.108 -0.08
4 Other 17 29.41% 55.88 3.342 94.12% -0.071 0.0446
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 61.0 5.097 100.0% 0.128 -0.658
4 Thematic 50 60.0% 47.56 0.636 56.0% 1.055 -0.0328
4 Trapezoid (Default) 215 49.3% 45.5 1.121 73.49% -0.404 -0.4143
5 Other 2 0.0% 52.0 3.948 100.0% 0.033 -0.1793

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 568 34.29 -4.195 45.95% -2.843 -0.7713
Aid From Lesser Spirits 437 34.79 -3.984 45.31% -2.88 -0.9595
All Things Weaken 176 32.05 -4.942 42.05% -2.961 -0.8073
Back Against the Wall 407 36.07 -3.349 49.39% -2.739 -0.6417
Disintegrating Ecosystem 518 30.29 -6.223 40.35% -3.069 -0.8446
Downward Spiral 1096 32.34 -4.959 44.16% -2.809 -0.7914
Erosion of Will 520 30.88 -6.009 37.12% -3.27 -1.0602
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 35 52.0 4.381 97.14% 0.545 1.2497
Memory Fades to Dust 1101 30.9 -5.628 39.96% -2.997 -0.782
Power Corrodes the Spirit 168 30.16 -5.943 41.07% -3.041 -1.0179
Promising Farmlands 553 29.56 -6.628 36.53% -3.293 -1.0809
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 33 51.61 3.947 96.97% 0.456 0.8983
Thriving Communities 167 28.29 -6.648 36.53% -3.167 -1.0727
Tipping Point 323 29.83 -6.419 35.91% -3.297 -1.0776
Unnatural Proliferation 168 33.18 -4.414 44.05% -2.845 -0.7625
Untended Land Crumbles 165 31.52 -5.267 41.82% -3.01 -0.9117

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2132 70.31% 39.54 0.084 60.65% 0.404 -0.6843
B 2287 68.45% 38.87 -0.359 59.29% 0.221 -0.9629
C 2331 70.38% 39.4 0.114 60.92% 0.409 -1.0058
D 2050 67.29% 40.2 0.502 62.63% 0.437 -0.7399
E 536 65.79% 41.95 1.149 68.84% 0.636 -0.6417
F 961 64.29% 40.57 0.33 64.31% 0.333 -0.9101
G 834 63.22% 41.49 0.543 66.55% 0.365 -0.8654
H 899 64.61% 41.29 0.455 65.63% 0.385 -0.8556
East 320 70.94% 41.22 -0.253 42.81% -0.566 -1.5152
Northeast 330 67.58% 41.56 0.054 44.85% -0.486 -1.3744
Northwest 240 73.75% 41.11 -0.271 44.58% -0.194 -1.156
Southeast 78 51.28% 49.6 3.802 71.79% 0.526 -0.4751
Southwest 65 60.0% 37.32 -2.758 49.23% -0.615 -1.2169
West 307 67.43% 44.24 1.545 50.49% 0.02 -0.6644

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 39 0.0% 39.26 -1.808 61.54% -2.0 0.0446
Not Using Events or Tokens 1111 77.54% 37.17 -0.586 53.92% 0.09 0.3096
Skip Initial Invader Actions 188 13.44% 60.4 6.701 95.21% 1.024 0.3161
Start of Game Growth 277 21.32% 56.09 4.992 91.34% 0.701 0.2488
Unlimited Undo 743 66.76% 41.82 1.114 65.55% 0.311 -0.1022
Using Tokens but Not Events 563 67.63% 36.09 -1.791 52.04% -0.504 -0.5513

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1900 22.34 8.89%
II 3614 30.74 55.53%
III 2825 34.25 80.5%
IV 1018 37.46 99.31%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.487 Win Model: -0.13
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6497 69.31% 38.33 55.86%
2 2015 72.49% 39.9 61.04%
3 559 63.42% 43.67 71.02%
4 286 50.35% 46.48 71.68%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 131
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1744
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1451
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 789
Lose: Invader deck ran out 82
Win: Sacrifice victory 36
Lose: Scenario condition 184
Win: Scenario condition 140
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3497
Lose: Spirit destroyed 133

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5018 47.16% 48.96 1.595 72.56% -0.015 0.1283
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2603 82.95% 38.15 -1.754 51.13% -0.196 0.0383
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2395 54.4% 47.21 1.389 74.07% 0.172 0.0827
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2371 57.35% 48.1 2.014 72.67% 0.227 -0.1402
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2182 66.19% 43.92 -0.023 64.34% -0.057 -0.3052
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1037 54.0% 50.82 3.231 70.97% -0.079 0.2689
Heart of the Wildfire 4598 69.22% 42.11 -1.381 57.96% -0.229 0.1195
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7802 59.21% 46.82 1.143 69.96% 0.164 -0.1386
Lightning's Swift Strike 5311 64.36% 44.6 0.497 64.07% -0.049 0.2164
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1384 62.36% 45.87 1.168 69.29% 0.109 -0.2109
Many Minds Move as One 715 48.11% 52.36 4.088 87.69% 1.1 0.5761
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4911 71.04% 41.37 -1.781 54.02% -0.42 -0.6163
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2488 53.71% 47.98 1.821 76.0% 0.309 0.355
River Surges in Sunlight 5263 64.8% 47.16 1.414 62.21% -0.099 0.059
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3939 61.25% 45.75 0.602 67.91% 0.061 0.207
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2152 75.66% 38.07 -3.032 46.56% -0.66 -0.213
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3561 49.48% 48.54 1.517 71.5% -0.035 -0.1051
Shroud of Silent Mist 84 86.9% 37.87 -1.701 53.57% -0.048 -0.0417
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2671 71.43% 37.42 -2.901 57.88% -0.316 -0.336
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1872 58.92% 46.81 1.05 69.6% 0.004 0.2179
Thunderspeaker 2910 67.91% 44.59 0.267 60.62% -0.081 -0.0265
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2008 84.11% 39.68 -1.445 60.31% 0.124 0.1421
Vital Strength of the Earth 2187 71.31% 37.76 -2.985 48.29% -0.745 0.1238
Volcano Looming High 985 57.46% 46.8 1.719 73.91% 0.24 0.1816

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 515 67.66% 38.78 -2.931 51.07% -0.719 -0.1412
Dahan Insurrection 4 772 45.4% 69.31 10.776 74.35% 0.143 0.5419
Despicable Theft 2 2 100.0% 70.0 13.776 100.0% 0.653 0.8406
Elemental Invocation 1 31 70.97% 41.61 -0.933 54.84% -0.546 -0.1403
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5060 20.58% 53.69 3.739 77.27% -0.805 -0.4391
Powers Long Forgotten 1 131 79.84% 38.81 -2.243 40.46% -0.677 -0.2352
Rituals of Terror 3 133 84.21% 40.09 -0.988 30.08% -1.171 -0.543
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 72 91.67% 41.03 -0.473 33.33% -0.817 -0.1662
Second Wave 0 596 78.82% 40.56 -1.789 49.33% -0.598 -0.1807
The Great River 3 18 61.11% 34.44 -7.62 16.67% -3.073 -1.6042
Ward the Shores 2 136 82.96% 39.74 -1.486 37.5% -0.872 0.165

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 35266 68.69% 41.71 -0.692 60.3% -0.434 -0.0773
1 Thematic 1254 67.66% 44.37 -0.394 48.88% -0.607 -0.1066
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5526 66.44% 45.11 0.534 67.41% -0.08 0.1172
2 Coastline 742 64.59% 46.4 1.297 69.81% 0.075 0.2179
2 Fragment 167 68.86% 47.33 1.882 73.05% 0.199 0.6236
2 Heart 73 79.45% 41.82 -0.681 60.27% -0.097 0.197
2 Opposite Shores 1105 61.58% 43.86 -0.169 63.26% -0.326 -0.1
2 Thematic 312 69.35% 44.48 -1.424 47.12% -0.253 -0.2131
2 Top to Top 171 67.46% 44.61 0.799 64.91% -0.103 0.0337
3 Coastline 58 22.41% 57.17 4.67 86.21% -0.125 -0.1671
3 Other 75 60.0% 49.03 1.434 77.33% -0.106 0.3033
3 Round (Default) 2187 55.28% 46.47 0.472 69.82% -0.142 -0.1011
3 Sunrise 16 68.75% 42.44 -1.133 56.25% -0.37 -0.5835
3 Thematic 67 81.25% 42.94 -3.332 41.79% 0.177 -0.1886
4 Coastline 12 0.0% 64.75 5.998 100.0% 0.349 0.5317
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 25.4 -9.456 20.0% -1.0 -0.9724
4 Other 195 30.77% 53.7 2.103 84.62% 0.085 0.2009
4 Thematic 793 25.7% 66.25 3.35 82.22% 1.191 0.1032
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1633 57.19% 46.71 -0.031 68.59% -0.178 -0.189
5 Other 23 65.22% 53.74 2.884 95.65% 1.085 0.8719
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 75.5 10.986 100.0% 0.699 -2.1477

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3038 35.37 -5.406 44.6% -3.166 -1.0946
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2305 39.36 -3.597 52.54% -2.886 -0.9656
All Things Weaken 1094 34.96 -5.406 45.06% -3.192 -1.0381
Back Against the Wall 2207 38.11 -4.217 49.52% -3.009 -0.9116
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2884 33.35 -6.432 44.9% -3.161 -0.9371
Downward Spiral 4554 34.4 -5.611 45.94% -2.944 -0.9269
Erosion of Will 2918 34.45 -5.944 42.67% -3.276 -1.0667
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 205 54.15 3.609 94.63% -0.141 0.5645
Memory Fades to Dust 4730 33.23 -6.214 40.87% -3.135 -0.9193
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1063 35.76 -4.957 49.86% -3.004 -0.9808
Promising Farmlands 2915 33.39 -6.399 42.74% -3.252 -1.04
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 183 54.14 3.717 95.08% 0.037 0.479
Thriving Communities 1014 33.96 -5.877 45.96% -3.172 -1.0784
Tipping Point 1593 32.84 -6.678 40.05% -3.338 -1.119
Unnatural Proliferation 1126 36.55 -4.59 48.05% -3.048 -0.966
Untended Land Crumbles 985 35.39 -5.254 49.24% -3.041 -0.9428

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11145 64.56% 43.86 0.216 63.62% 0.64 -0.4477
B 11421 64.36% 43.11 -0.278 62.44% 0.5 -0.6842
C 12366 67.3% 42.7 -0.273 61.6% 0.571 -0.8435
D 10589 67.5% 42.39 -0.368 61.13% 0.57 -0.6068
E 3564 64.09% 45.12 0.591 68.86% 0.689 -0.5887
F 5783 60.4% 46.33 1.136 70.53% 0.767 -0.4761
G 5005 63.01% 44.97 0.385 67.31% 0.614 -0.6161
H 5618 62.58% 44.87 0.658 68.17% 0.727 -0.5133
East 1295 42.81% 58.47 2.141 69.27% 0.372 -0.577
Northeast 1236 44.38% 57.17 1.67 66.59% 0.286 -0.6019
Northwest 1062 41.96% 57.41 0.675 66.76% -0.066 -1.0286
Southeast 155 43.87% 56.59 1.584 74.84% 0.518 -0.4827
Southwest 136 44.85% 54.97 -0.177 72.79% 0.229 -0.3729
West 1223 40.1% 59.06 2.273 70.32% 0.376 -0.3087

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 220 0.0% 49.56 -0.304 72.27% -2.06 -0.0156
Not Using Events or Tokens 3354 77.6% 37.4 -2.197 47.85% -0.326 -0.1066
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1453 20.68% 61.32 4.954 90.16% 0.643 -0.0647
Start of Game Growth 2036 21.91% 60.03 4.321 89.1% 0.388 -0.0644
Unlimited Undo 6163 51.72% 50.17 2.82 77.54% 0.559 0.145
Using Tokens but Not Events 2531 57.35% 43.5 -0.597 62.47% -0.288 -0.3347

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9969 22.34 12.05%
II 17496 30.74 58.76%
III 17264 34.25 83.8%
IV 4953 37.46 99.82%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.434 Win Model: -0.519
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 36584 68.65% 41.81 59.96%
2 8068 65.93% 45.03 66.24%
3 2393 55.31% 46.62 69.49%
4 2637 45.61% 53.19 73.99%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 672
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11329
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7451
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3991
Lose: Invader deck ran out 395
Win: Sacrifice victory 212
Lose: Scenario condition 964
Win: Scenario condition 624
Lose: Blight pool ran out 16650
Lose: Spirit destroyed 781

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2024-12-27 01:47:32 (Pacific Time)