The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4661 27.2% 24.51 -0.587 85.58% 0.093 -0.0551
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3202 49.11% 23.2 -1.791 80.32% -0.369 -0.2387
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2209 26.02% 26.07 0.829 90.9% 0.401 0.2564
Downpour Drenches the World 169 22.49% 21.55 -3.233 71.01% -0.462 -0.283
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 115 23.48% 22.37 1.249 64.35% 0.255 -0.5105
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2614 16.99% 28.32 2.001 92.77% 0.578 -0.0112
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2295 23.6% 27.28 1.93 92.42% 0.61 0.1128
Finder of Paths Unseen 86 37.21% 19.23 -2.783 56.98% -0.586 0.0785
Fractured Days Split the Sky 417 41.49% 25.18 -4.138 71.7% -1.262 -0.6765
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 488 44.47% 26.21 -0.139 78.69% -0.111 -0.2056
Heart of the Wildfire 3234 58.56% 21.15 0.538 74.09% 0.509 0.7503
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4537 28.53% 26.82 1.189 91.05% 0.434 -0.0078
Lightning's Swift Strike 4724 42.26% 23.3 -1.29 78.24% -0.095 0.0884
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 65 24.62% 28.08 0.658 84.62% -0.14 -0.6264
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 280 29.39% 27.53 -3.9 87.86% -0.57 -0.7375
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 248 39.27% 24.81 -2.004 79.03% -0.565 -0.6787
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1102 32.88% 27.22 2.006 87.75% 0.297 0.165
Many Minds Move as One 772 25.55% 27.32 2.249 91.06% 0.747 0.5256
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4689 42.38% 24.32 0.302 83.66% 0.22 0.1776
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2043 29.78% 25.09 1.208 87.32% 0.884 0.7063
River Surges in Sunlight 5684 38.84% 25.94 -0.666 79.31% -0.175 -0.105
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 390 37.95% 26.12 1.535 78.97% 0.297 0.6076
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 72 30.56% 24.44 0.195 70.83% -0.172 -0.2849
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2687 36.92% 23.4 -0.701 83.77% 0.066 -0.1712
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3471 54.69% 23.02 -1.326 75.71% -0.305 0.2243
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 39 28.21% 26.03 -0.932 74.36% -0.238 -0.3134
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 34 17.65% 26.09 -0.648 73.53% -0.035 -0.1409
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 231 36.8% 26.22 -2.96 86.58% -0.47 -0.4888
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 175 42.29% 25.87 -2.387 84.0% -0.368 -0.1916
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2989 30.14% 26.56 -0.396 86.85% -0.076 -0.2656
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 30 16.67% 22.33 1.729 73.33% 0.651 0.2698
Shifting Memory of Ages 426 50.59% 22.73 -0.281 74.88% 0.395 0.7481
Shroud of Silent Mist 503 53.0% 22.89 -2.01 77.14% -0.127 0.1237
Starlight Seeks its Form 710 19.55% 29.8 2.343 86.2% 0.693 0.4315
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1436 29.16% 24.53 1.086 87.81% 0.588 0.1113
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1796 34.7% 24.32 -1.177 83.02% -0.23 -0.1668
Thunderspeaker 4290 30.43% 27.05 0.316 85.52% 0.223 0.1892
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 12 8.33% 18.42 2.403 41.67% 0.269 0.2297
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1086 59.7% 20.82 -0.657 77.72% 0.391 0.4846
Vital Strength of the Earth 4681 34.21% 22.42 -2.197 76.44% -0.467 0.0576
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 54 14.81% 22.3 -2.926 70.37% -0.514 -0.2537
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 216 33.18% 20.47 -3.953 71.3% -0.923 -0.1465
Volcano Looming High 735 39.07% 23.98 0.467 79.18% -0.056 -0.0989

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 25.0% 26.0 7.275 100.0% 0.764 0.5085
Blitz 0 796 43.53% 21.74 -3.068 74.12% -0.81 -0.6129
Dahan Insurrection 4 687 22.79% 45.13 7.809 80.06% -0.031 -0.4731
Despicable Theft 2 86 36.05% 28.37 -4.827 67.44% -1.032 -0.2204
Elemental Invocation 1 119 49.58% 24.13 -4.274 67.23% -0.503 0.2
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1890 8.38% 29.88 0.924 82.06% 0.043 -0.6012
Powers Long Forgotten 1 385 49.35% 27.67 -3.388 74.03% -1.097 -0.4617
Rituals of Terror 3 456 45.25% 33.87 -3.277 69.74% -1.046 -0.9448
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 262 64.12% 31.8 -1.181 64.12% -0.595 0.4141
Second Wave 0 743 55.85% 24.85 -2.13 71.06% -0.958 -0.8921
The Great River 3 116 47.41% 26.43 -5.172 50.0% -1.86 -0.6423
Varied Terrains 2 46 43.48% 24.5 -3.263 65.22% -0.845 -0.2219
Ward the Shores 2 468 41.45% 29.71 -3.093 72.44% -1.021 0.0637

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 31717 39.91% 23.9 0.582 81.12% 0.423 0.4766
1 Thematic 3648 42.39% 30.6 -0.171 75.88% -0.436 0.0416
2 Archipelago 9 22.22% 33.0 0.0 66.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7325 34.81% 23.94 0.059 84.23% 0.431 0.513
2 Coastline 600 34.18% 24.32 -1.119 85.17% -0.112 -0.2666
2 Fragment 151 37.84% 22.62 -1.465 84.77% 0.082 -0.1667
2 Heart 99 57.73% 21.16 -5.937 76.77% -0.377 -0.6641
2 Opposite Shores 780 33.42% 23.62 -3.374 86.54% -0.384 -0.3611
2 Thematic 812 41.85% 31.99 0.382 78.69% 0.034 0.4378
2 Top to Top 152 33.77% 23.09 0.431 84.87% -0.05 -0.2164
3 Archipelago 6 50.0% 31.67 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 13 38.46% 21.08 -6.718 61.54% -0.314 -0.8276
3 Other 75 40.0% 20.45 -6.384 74.67% -0.497 0.044
3 Round (Default) 2240 28.87% 24.79 -0.326 87.81% 0.356 0.2408
3 Sunrise 8 12.5% 25.63 3.091 87.5% 0.446 0.7258
3 Thematic 177 37.85% 30.63 0.6 75.14% 0.1 0.1799
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 47.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 4 25.0% 16.0 -6.256 50.0% -0.21 0.021
4 Leaf 6 16.67% 27.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 30 30.0% 23.03 4.141 86.67% 0.76 -0.3241
4 Thematic 559 30.94% 30.47 1.441 92.49% 0.362 0.1
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1020 27.17% 24.74 -0.508 88.82% 0.268 0.1852
5 Other 30 46.67% 29.03 0.0 90.0%
5 Thematic 8 37.5% 32.25 0.0 87.5%
6 Other 4 50.0% 21.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 3 0.0% 24.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Thematic 36 2.86% 22.33 -3.839 52.78% -0.764 -0.3433
6 Two Centers (Default) 39 10.26% 18.64 -3.463 64.1% -0.602 -0.4978
7 Other 5 0.0% 30.2 -9.048 60.0% -0.588 -1.2005

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1191 18.26 -0.359 60.96% -0.277 -0.035
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1056 19.45 -0.978 60.23% -0.251 -0.3284
All Things Weaken 526 17.81 -3.037 56.46% -0.994 -0.6017
Attenuated Essence 13 19.54 1.092 53.85% 0.049 0.1555
Back Against the Wall 1010 18.75 2.385 58.42% 0.469 0.5264
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 10 24.8 1.933 50.0% -0.285 -0.0837
Burn Brightest Before the End 1 7.0 -5.893 0.0% -0.512 -0.3014
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1174 15.64 -2.928 56.05% -0.533 -0.1095
Downward Spiral 4116 16.95 -0.749 62.97% -0.209 0.027
Erosion of Will 1230 18.03 -1.175 59.02% -0.322 -0.0124
Intensifying Exploitation 16 9.81 -4.401 37.5% -0.905 -0.6174
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 207 24.79 4.074 91.3% 0.646 0.1524
Memory Fades to Dust 4205 16.27 -1.844 58.03% -0.576 -0.2392
Power Corrodes the Spirit 513 18.65 -0.87 61.99% 0.061 0.281
Promising Farmlands 1249 17.03 1.912 60.53% -0.103 0.3501
Shattered Fragments of Power 6 13.67 -1.744 33.33% -0.287 -0.2363
Slow Dissolution of Will 11 23.73 2.808 81.82% 0.498 0.8976
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 152 25.1 1.983 94.08% 0.505 -0.2061
The Border of Life and Death 8 26.38 2.77 87.5% 0.741 0.4051
Thriving Communities 495 18.11 -0.797 61.41% -0.636 -0.2728
Thriving Crops 5 19.8 1.292 80.0% 0.491 0.2931
Tipping Point 504 16.8 0.0 60.52%
Unnatural Proliferation 526 19.65 2.647 60.84% 0.665 0.8798
Untended Land Crumbles 563 18.01 -0.198 60.75% -0.108 0.1739

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10965 38.88% 23.42 -0.515 81.85% -0.567 0.1727
B 11186 37.25% 23.77 -0.552 82.36% -0.602 0.1234
C 11555 36.58% 23.94 -0.137 82.98% -0.379 0.2037
D 10953 35.83% 23.95 -0.405 83.19% -0.41 0.3011
E 2997 33.18% 25.25 -0.306 84.78% -0.708 -0.1422
F 4865 33.86% 24.68 0.115 85.34% -0.303 0.3675
G 4553 34.3% 24.29 -0.024 84.19% -0.34 0.3115
H 4811 34.07% 24.68 -0.428 85.14% -0.478 0.0925
East 3319 38.28% 31.55 -0.054 80.08% -0.642 -0.1027
Northeast 2026 36.94% 31.39 0.429 81.19% -0.257 0.3782
Northwest 1642 37.18% 30.41 -0.691 79.78% -0.642 0.1673
Southeast 429 36.45% 28.45 -1.679 75.29% -0.943 -0.2376
Southwest 384 38.9% 25.24 -2.074 74.22% -0.479 0.5111
West 2962 40.78% 30.36 0.18 78.19% -0.24 0.6634

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 498 0.0% 20.58 2.067 67.47% 0.663 1.4391
Not Using Events or Tokens 11696 45.78% 22.13 -1.245 76.15% -0.154 0.2254
Skip Initial Invader Actions 751 9.16% 35.05 3.33 94.27% 0.497 -0.1208
Start of Game Growth 1145 13.55% 32.41 1.359 92.31% 0.106 -0.2428
Unlimited Undo 2705 28.89% 26.76 -0.783 87.58% -0.163 -0.1697
Using Tokens but Not Events 3692 28.82% 25.82 0.341 86.54% 0.025 0.0145

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5366 20.4 46.07%
II 18396 31.01 79.55%
III 17298 34.76 86.8%
IV 8528 38.07 99.13%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.268 Win Model: 0.286
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 35548 40.2% 24.59 80.49%
2 9856 35.43% 24.52 84.19%
3 2464 29.21% 25.06 86.73%
4 1619 28.79% 26.76 90.49%
5 31 3.23% 14.55 38.71%
6 69 10.45% 25.75 73.91%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2468
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14578
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 13831
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8374
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 697
Lose: Invader deck ran out 721
Lose: Adversary condition 198
Win: Sacrifice victory 190
Lose: Scenario condition 480
Win: Scenario condition 1134
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6564
Lose: Spirit destroyed 353

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3034 28.36% 30.23 1.611 84.54% 0.192 0.0437
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1966 51.84% 28.54 -2.486 80.21% -0.422 -0.2911
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1494 29.18% 31.29 2.205 90.29% 0.699 0.5545
Downpour Drenches the World 119 26.05% 27.93 -1.572 78.15% -0.359 -0.1794
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 101 17.0% 32.14 3.932 86.14% 1.111 0.346
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2013 18.53% 34.27 4.372 93.99% 1.124 0.5353
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1533 24.79% 33.24 1.718 91.85% 0.118 -0.3786
Finder of Paths Unseen 87 41.86% 30.05 -1.918 70.11% -0.775 -0.111
Fractured Days Split the Sky 367 37.7% 31.98 1.069 78.2% -0.228 0.3579
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 361 42.94% 29.75 1.676 78.12% 0.349 0.2538
Heart of the Wildfire 2252 57.69% 27.39 -0.516 78.37% -0.076 0.1653
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3458 35.56% 31.27 1.671 89.01% 0.642 0.1999
Lightning's Swift Strike 2971 39.84% 29.92 -1.735 81.96% -0.298 -0.115
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 95 25.26% 45.31 6.766 86.32% 0.864 0.377
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 217 33.18% 31.32 -0.325 84.33% -0.177 -0.345
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 196 36.73% 32.75 1.861 88.78% 0.152 0.0387
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 856 36.73% 31.03 -0.073 85.86% 0.132 -0.0006
Many Minds Move as One 623 28.73% 31.64 0.06 89.25% 0.538 0.317
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2778 43.71% 29.67 0.325 82.15% -0.077 -0.1194
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1470 33.9% 31.06 3.28 86.67% 0.844 0.6665
River Surges in Sunlight 3567 40.45% 31.4 1.393 80.74% 0.01 0.0803
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 274 47.25% 29.41 -2.857 75.91% -0.608 -0.2973
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 86 40.7% 29.16 -1.989 72.09% -0.656 -0.7697
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1666 38.29% 29.26 0.562 84.09% 0.257 0.0201
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1995 56.3% 27.87 1.379 75.44% 0.38 0.9098
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 14 57.14% 31.0 -0.018 85.71% 0.223 0.1477
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 35 34.29% 29.0 3.451 82.86% 0.9 0.7943
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 216 38.89% 29.69 -5.991 84.26% -1.211 -1.2297
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 132 57.69% 30.48 -5.977 81.06% -0.976 -0.7994
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2140 31.33% 31.94 -0.135 87.06% 0.011 -0.179
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 28 17.86% 27.96 2.591 78.57% 0.851 0.4702
Shifting Memory of Ages 316 46.03% 26.88 -2.674 73.73% -0.564 -0.2102
Shroud of Silent Mist 392 55.5% 27.25 1.391 79.85% 0.564 0.8142
Starlight Seeks its Form 321 40.94% 29.49 1.281 81.31% 0.469 0.2075
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 870 42.25% 26.17 0.317 81.61% 0.285 -0.192
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1265 35.24% 29.45 -1.239 82.45% -0.144 -0.0815
Thunderspeaker 2917 33.17% 32.2 -0.508 84.37% -0.24 -0.2739
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 23 39.13% 14.04 -3.488 39.13% -0.386 -0.4252
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 693 70.58% 23.99 -4.59 72.15% -0.96 -0.8666
Vital Strength of the Earth 2733 40.64% 26.69 -2.877 76.07% -0.64 -0.1156
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 72 42.25% 26.0 -1.327 66.67% -0.173 0.0878
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 144 41.67% 24.0 -8.537 68.75% -1.136 -0.3599
Volcano Looming High 494 49.19% 27.54 -2.187 78.74% -0.25 -0.2934

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 50.0% 32.83 -6.196 83.33% -0.123 -0.3782
Blitz 0 632 49.27% 25.23 -2.964 69.78% -0.959 -0.7617
Dahan Insurrection 4 539 22.49% 51.24 10.737 84.6% 0.396 -0.0468
Despicable Theft 2 88 48.86% 30.97 -4.374 63.64% -0.902 -0.0898
Elemental Invocation 1 106 63.21% 27.75 1.381 69.81% 0.11 0.8132
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1346 12.52% 34.08 5.292 79.42% 0.467 -0.1771
Powers Long Forgotten 1 368 56.52% 30.74 -0.052 70.65% -0.353 0.2824
Rituals of Terror 3 333 47.15% 39.16 -1.139 73.87% -0.926 -0.8245
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 239 70.29% 34.16 -4.992 61.09% -1.017 -0.0079
Second Wave 0 2140 45.08% 30.21 2.211 77.94% 0.244 0.3097
The Great River 3 102 44.12% 31.01 -0.955 51.96% -1.438 -0.2205
Varied Terrains 2 40 42.5% 26.8 -0.928 57.5% -0.685 -0.0621
Ward the Shores 2 407 50.25% 31.74 -2.682 63.64% -1.02 0.0644

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 18923 42.01% 28.44 -0.408 81.01% 0.207 0.2609
1 Thematic 2954 45.97% 34.15 0.854 72.65% -0.141 0.3367
2 Archipelago 7 28.57% 43.0 27.433 100.0% 0.313 0.417
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4669 37.31% 29.43 -0.215 85.86% 0.123 0.2049
2 Coastline 507 40.81% 28.84 -0.112 84.22% -0.01 -0.1644
2 Fragment 126 46.03% 28.33 -0.091 85.71% -0.06 -0.3092
2 Heart 85 34.12% 28.51 -0.358 87.06% 0.16 -0.1273
2 Opposite Shores 791 34.53% 29.31 2.111 88.24% 1.254 1.2766
2 Thematic 700 46.07% 35.19 0.19 75.0% 0.057 0.4601
2 Top to Top 144 41.55% 28.49 -6.386 81.25% -0.742 -0.9086
3 Archipelago 5 20.0% 41.2 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 13 61.54% 32.46 -16.299 76.92% -0.629 -1.1422
3 Other 69 30.88% 28.83 8.062 89.86% 0.467 1.0077
3 Round (Default) 1695 28.86% 30.71 -1.544 89.79% -0.272 -0.3876
3 Sunrise 3 66.67% 28.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 136 41.18% 34.0 -4.531 71.32% -0.47 -0.3902
4 Archipelago 6 33.33% 38.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 10 40.0% 23.5 -14.835 40.0% -0.556 -0.3252
4 Leaf 5 0.0% 37.6 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 50 40.0% 28.22 -1.233 84.0% 0.596 -0.4881
4 Thematic 285 42.61% 36.91 -0.494 88.77% 0.04 -0.2227
4 Trapezoid (Default) 712 31.09% 30.32 -1.282 86.66% 0.185 0.1021
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.0 17.95 100.0% 0.226 -0.6898
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 25.0 18.419 0.0% 0.07 -0.5822
5 Other 26 34.62% 29.77 -14.63 80.77% -0.541 -0.8261
5 Thematic 5 0.0% 30.4 -8.099 60.0% -0.092 -0.186
6 Archipelago 9 11.11% 79.22 14.345 100.0% 0.355 0.5063
6 Other 27 11.11% 68.3 8.976 88.89% -0.475 -0.7075
6 Star 3 0.0% 33.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 13 46.15% 35.62 -2.243 76.92% -0.097 0.3231
6 Two Centers (Default) 21 38.1% 27.62 -10.508 71.43% -1.005 -0.9011
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 51.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 849 23.92 0.374 63.96% 0.168 0.4101
Aid From Lesser Spirits 805 24.08 5.669 63.48% 1.108 1.0305
All Things Weaken 402 23.17 -1.905 62.44% -0.35 0.0423
Attenuated Essence 8 25.5 2.472 62.5% 0.348 0.4553
Back Against the Wall 755 23.49 -1.263 61.19% 0.116 0.1734
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 17 22.18 -1.658 52.94% -0.582 -0.3807
Burn Brightest Before the End 13 24.15 -0.787 38.46% -0.944 -0.7341
Disintegrating Ecosystem 918 20.91 -1.727 60.68% -0.353 0.0704
Downward Spiral 2488 21.83 -1.226 64.11% -0.009 0.226
Erosion of Will 896 22.18 -1.32 58.04% -0.61 -0.3011
Intensifying Exploitation 6 24.5 0.227 83.33% 0.023 0.3109
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 139 29.57 2.977 92.81% 0.576 0.0822
Memory Fades to Dust 2595 21.04 -1.977 58.57% -0.716 -0.3795
Power Corrodes the Spirit 370 21.83 -2.273 60.54% -0.834 -0.6131
Promising Farmlands 956 21.61 -1.354 61.61% -0.299 0.1541
Shattered Fragments of Power 6 15.67 -2.518 33.33% -0.582 -0.5311
Slow Dissolution of Will 10 20.2 -1.755 50.0% -0.119 0.2804
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 99 31.32 2.721 98.99% 0.404 -0.3072
The Border of Life and Death 4 20.5 -1.375 75.0% 0.06 -0.2749
Thriving Communities 375 21.23 -0.415 60.27% 0.237 0.6001
Thriving Crops 7 26.29 2.7 71.43% 0.029 -0.1684
Tipping Point 365 21.32 0.0 59.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 426 23.75 -0.842 58.92% -0.327 -0.1119
Untended Land Crumbles 377 22.41 0.23 64.19% -0.036 0.2453

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7123 40.62% 28.91 0.997 82.82% -0.069 0.6712
B 7342 38.14% 29.32 0.615 84.05% -0.124 0.6017
C 7646 37.67% 29.43 0.758 84.42% -0.081 0.5015
D 7109 37.78% 29.43 1.039 84.25% -0.014 0.6978
E 2170 36.37% 29.65 -0.008 83.82% -0.441 0.124
F 3248 35.48% 29.45 -0.612 84.98% -0.327 0.3431
G 2978 38.23% 29.52 1.397 84.12% 0.063 0.715
H 3072 35.03% 29.96 0.001 85.38% -0.385 0.1856
East 2585 44.44% 35.41 0.76 75.24% -0.512 0.0266
Northeast 1485 45.52% 35.27 3.353 75.96% 0.231 0.8656
Northwest 1167 44.21% 35.44 -0.424 79.43% -0.181 0.6286
Southeast 305 40.66% 33.57 1.131 75.74% 0.308 1.0141
Southwest 287 42.51% 29.09 -5.116 69.69% -1.014 -0.0239
West 2254 46.09% 34.1 -3.584 74.62% -1.159 -0.2558

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 235 0.0% 25.57 -0.769 73.62% -0.076 0.6998
Not Using Events or Tokens 5844 46.81% 27.08 -1.15 76.35% -0.185 0.1943
Skip Initial Invader Actions 405 9.78% 41.53 2.082 92.84% -0.111 -0.7283
Start of Game Growth 626 13.69% 38.96 1.863 93.29% 0.505 0.157
Unlimited Undo 1946 33.49% 30.31 -3.493 85.15% -0.789 -0.7961
Using Tokens but Not Events 2595 31.8% 31.07 2.563 85.32% 0.287 0.2769

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3827 20.4 44.34%
II 12430 31.01 80.41%
III 11086 34.76 88.73%
IV 4670 38.07 99.21%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.655 Win Model: 0.36
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 22000 42.55% 29.21 79.76%
2 6974 38.32% 29.94 85.26%
3 1890 29.98% 30.87 88.73%
4 1052 34.23% 32.01 86.5%
5 24 16.67% 32.42 87.5%
6 73 23.29% 50.64 83.56%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1696
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9498
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9337
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4594
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 431
Lose: Invader deck ran out 315
Lose: Adversary condition 89
Win: Sacrifice victory 109
Lose: Scenario condition 379
Win: Scenario condition 928
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4444
Lose: Spirit destroyed 193

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4292 31.79% 33.27 0.158 84.13% -0.04 -0.1883
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2464 59.9% 30.75 -0.954 78.45% -0.029 0.1013
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1913 35.29% 33.55 1.766 86.83% 0.519 0.3744
Downpour Drenches the World 245 32.79% 29.1 -1.605 74.69% -0.361 -0.182
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 269 22.68% 31.96 3.575 79.55% 0.901 0.136
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2535 23.97% 36.54 3.705 91.76% 0.992 0.4035
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1901 31.66% 34.87 2.916 87.11% 0.646 0.1497
Finder of Paths Unseen 105 50.48% 23.63 -3.365 54.29% -0.726 -0.0623
Fractured Days Split the Sky 535 44.11% 33.51 -1.835 71.59% -0.632 -0.0461
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 592 46.69% 32.82 0.004 80.74% 0.066 -0.0283
Heart of the Wildfire 2859 66.57% 27.81 -2.024 70.93% -0.312 -0.0709
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4963 39.55% 34.39 2.909 87.47% 0.453 0.011
Lightning's Swift Strike 3402 47.68% 30.76 0.661 76.4% 0.265 0.4481
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 94 43.48% 33.49 0.449 79.79% -0.052 -0.5384
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 352 37.5% 34.76 3.955 87.78% 0.726 0.5584
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 291 43.1% 34.81 -4.341 80.07% -0.857 -0.9706
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1420 40.87% 33.92 1.118 83.87% 0.096 -0.0367
Many Minds Move as One 803 32.33% 34.39 -0.238 89.66% 0.012 -0.209
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3834 53.87% 30.9 -0.6 77.65% -0.21 -0.2528
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1872 37.47% 32.94 2.533 85.9% 0.846 0.6679
River Surges in Sunlight 4442 49.27% 33.09 0.265 76.92% -0.059 0.0115
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 413 52.3% 33.4 -2.208 74.58% -0.734 -0.4236
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 163 49.38% 36.07 1.621 77.3% 0.115 0.0016
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2870 40.53% 32.46 3.166 84.25% 0.833 0.5958
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2276 67.46% 28.16 -2.554 67.62% -0.351 0.1789
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 28 46.43% 35.25 3.689 75.0% 0.403 0.328
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 43 51.16% 38.23 4.626 97.67% 0.444 0.3383
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 274 49.45% 31.81 -0.556 80.66% 0.153 0.1345
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 207 65.22% 29.12 -3.725 71.01% -0.499 -0.3226
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2805 37.45% 33.75 -0.361 83.57% 0.083 -0.1072
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 53 33.96% 31.62 2.367 77.36% 0.463 0.0814
Shifting Memory of Ages 524 55.34% 29.63 -0.584 72.52% -0.164 0.189
Shroud of Silent Mist 632 60.13% 28.72 -1.794 75.16% -0.149 0.1012
Starlight Seeks its Form 558 42.37% 32.52 -0.859 78.67% -0.241 -0.502
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1259 45.74% 29.1 -1.948 80.14% -0.151 -0.6284
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1539 45.76% 31.15 -0.732 79.01% -0.114 -0.051
Thunderspeaker 3679 42.91% 34.06 -0.37 81.9% -0.058 -0.0922
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 40 45.0% 26.0 -0.657 65.0% 0.072 0.0329
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1064 74.22% 27.0 -1.18 72.37% -0.188 -0.095
Vital Strength of the Earth 3204 44.58% 28.79 -2.745 71.85% -0.496 0.0282
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 98 44.9% 32.27 1.575 77.55% -0.056 0.2045
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 243 43.21% 27.31 -2.901 67.9% -0.638 0.1382
Volcano Looming High 1028 47.76% 30.57 -2.665 79.18% -0.395 -0.4377

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 12 33.33% 30.17 1.815 75.0% 0.353 0.0977
Blitz 0 776 51.95% 28.18 -0.444 68.43% -0.589 -0.3915
Dahan Insurrection 4 541 30.48% 51.87 5.1 76.89% -0.235 -0.6776
Despicable Theft 2 91 56.04% 34.95 -3.569 67.03% -0.977 -0.165
Elemental Invocation 1 118 61.86% 27.63 -9.765 61.02% -1.697 -0.9942
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1697 18.42% 34.26 3.716 71.24% 0.211 -0.434
Powers Long Forgotten 1 324 64.2% 30.53 1.353 59.88% 0.101 0.7367
Rituals of Terror 3 272 58.3% 39.58 0.914 62.13% -0.213 -0.1124
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 183 69.4% 37.4 -0.14 60.66% -0.083 0.9265
Second Wave 0 1797 54.12% 31.45 1.714 71.79% -0.093 -0.0264
The Great River 3 89 62.92% 30.64 0.406 44.94% -0.756 0.4619
Varied Terrains 2 40 42.5% 24.1 -5.826 45.0% -1.269 -0.6464
Ward the Shores 2 414 56.04% 34.71 0.015 64.25% -0.113 0.9714

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 23648 49.75% 30.28 -0.14 76.94% 0.181 0.2353
1 Thematic 2840 56.16% 33.71 -0.958 65.63% -0.374 0.1035
2 Archipelago 9 55.56% 43.0 0.0 88.89%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6257 44.7% 31.86 0.181 83.04% 0.304 0.3864
2 Coastline 735 41.3% 32.91 2.178 84.9% 0.671 0.5173
2 Fragment 155 56.13% 30.79 0.334 79.35% 0.577 0.3282
2 Heart 97 43.16% 33.82 18.413 81.44% 0.839 0.5522
2 Opposite Shores 1079 43.3% 32.25 0.661 84.62% 0.278 0.3007
2 Thematic 963 54.32% 34.15 -2.519 67.39% -0.426 -0.022
2 Top to Top 207 46.38% 33.13 -0.159 86.96% 0.251 0.0852
3 Archipelago 11 72.73% 40.91 0.0 72.73%
3 Coastline 19 31.58% 34.68 0.362 84.21% 0.136 -0.3773
3 Other 120 32.2% 31.49 0.473 82.5% 0.353 0.8932
3 Round (Default) 2617 35.79% 33.36 0.732 86.7% 0.356 0.2407
3 Sunrise 14 35.71% 28.86 0.0 64.29%
3 Thematic 220 48.86% 38.39 5.397 76.82% 0.69 0.7705
4 Archipelago 13 46.15% 45.31 6.217 84.62% 0.328 -0.3465
4 Coastline 4 75.0% 30.5 22.472 50.0% 0.283 0.5138
4 Leaf 7 42.86% 31.14 0.0 71.43%
4 Other 64 27.42% 34.44 2.678 89.06% -0.488 -1.5717
4 Thematic 366 43.73% 38.5 1.592 78.96% 0.057 -0.2052
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1320 33.77% 33.23 -0.8 88.18% 0.166 0.0836
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 35.5 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 44 40.91% 35.55 -2.458 84.09% -0.372 -0.6567
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 34.0 -12.492 66.67% -0.408 -0.5014
6 Archipelago 4 25.0% 58.5 11.578 75.0% 0.013 0.1646
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 14 21.43% 37.43 -14.539 64.29% -1.516 -1.7486
6 Star 8 75.0% 35.75 -1.012 100.0% 0.306 0.2932
6 Thematic 23 31.82% 45.3 -0.083 82.61% -0.221 0.1997
6 Two Centers (Default) 45 33.33% 34.8 0.095 62.22% -0.453 -0.3485
7 Other 3 0.0% 47.33 4.104 66.67% 0.039 -0.5733

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1453 25.67 0.634 60.43% 0.258 0.5
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1190 27.55 1.692 63.28% 0.104 0.0267
All Things Weaken 685 25.83 -1.604 61.02% -0.274 0.1184
Attenuated Essence 15 20.33 -3.143 53.33% -0.355 -0.2487
Back Against the Wall 1206 27.71 2.474 64.26% 0.291 0.3491
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 27 26.0 1.606 62.96% 0.427 0.6291
Burn Brightest Before the End 20 33.8 4.198 80.0% 0.515 0.7255
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1357 23.32 -1.07 59.03% -0.261 0.163
Downward Spiral 3393 24.5 -1.616 62.98% -0.34 -0.1042
Erosion of Will 1447 24.49 -0.152 56.6% 0.048 0.3572
Intensifying Exploitation 19 28.26 1.564 63.16% 0.402 0.6891
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 267 32.81 1.139 92.51% 0.919 0.4249
Memory Fades to Dust 3371 23.75 -1.219 57.46% -0.263 0.0731
Power Corrodes the Spirit 689 25.19 -0.11 62.12% 0.465 0.6856
Promising Farmlands 1432 24.0 -1.838 59.29% -0.297 0.1566
Shattered Fragments of Power 33 28.06 0.943 60.61% -0.067 -0.016
Slow Dissolution of Will 13 23.77 -2.109 53.85% -0.58 -0.1806
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 177 32.97 -1.117 94.92% -0.242 -0.953
The Border of Life and Death 12 27.92 3.049 83.33% 0.783 0.4475
Thriving Communities 647 24.6 -0.661 60.9% 0.118 0.4813
Thriving Crops 10 26.6 2.034 60.0% 0.315 0.1168
Tipping Point 576 24.66 0.0 60.59%
Unnatural Proliferation 699 25.96 2.141 60.09% 0.123 0.3379
Untended Land Crumbles 636 24.16 -1.854 59.91% -0.152 0.1293

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9623 44.74% 31.53 0.386 81.12% -0.342 0.3977
B 9926 45.4% 31.38 -0.37 80.79% -0.535 0.1911
C 10250 43.6% 31.53 0.153 81.1% -0.404 0.1786
D 9500 45.71% 31.22 -0.068 80.76% -0.453 0.2583
E 3201 44.08% 32.08 0.298 82.01% -0.254 0.3109
F 4660 40.82% 32.67 0.35 83.43% -0.337 0.3329
G 4171 43.94% 31.82 -0.097 81.97% -0.532 0.1192
H 4180 42.92% 32.27 1.348 82.15% -0.226 0.3444
East 2889 51.67% 35.82 -0.7 70.23% -0.593 -0.0538
Northeast 1672 51.32% 36.53 1.352 72.07% -0.258 0.3764
Northwest 1343 55.06% 34.74 -0.153 67.61% -0.426 0.3826
Southeast 389 48.06% 33.42 -1.895 69.41% -0.518 0.1879
Southwest 375 46.65% 31.79 -2.734 70.67% -0.663 0.3268
West 2529 55.25% 34.27 0.064 67.54% -0.43 0.4732

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 228 0.0% 30.36 -2.592 76.32% -0.353 0.4231
Not Using Events or Tokens 6287 53.22% 28.85 -2.052 72.86% -0.41 -0.0312
Skip Initial Invader Actions 529 17.27% 44.2 6.417 89.22% 0.416 -0.2017
Start of Game Growth 846 17.08% 42.47 8.241 89.36% 0.854 0.5059
Unlimited Undo 3104 41.35% 32.65 -0.272 82.44% -0.19 -0.1971
Using Tokens but Not Events 3118 39.4% 32.68 1.194 83.58% 0.179 0.1683

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3399 20.4 12.06%
II 16757 31.01 74.46%
III 13739 34.76 88.7%
IV 7032 38.07 99.12%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.361 Win Model: 0.575
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 26624 50.48% 30.63 75.57%
2 9453 45.39% 32.31 82.14%
3 2962 36.22% 33.69 86.06%
4 1770 35.78% 34.5 86.33%
5 21 38.1% 33.86 71.43%
6 97 32.29% 38.55 70.1%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 409
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11854
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11852
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6912
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 652
Lose: Invader deck ran out 468
Lose: Adversary condition 108
Win: Sacrifice victory 179
Lose: Scenario condition 653
Win: Scenario condition 839
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6677
Lose: Spirit destroyed 324

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4143 41.27% 40.77 0.1 82.91% 0.111 -0.0369
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2560 73.13% 35.84 -0.331 69.1% 0.013 0.1438
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2256 36.43% 42.55 2.212 87.68% 0.546 0.4015
Downpour Drenches the World 251 45.42% 31.29 -5.549 60.16% -1.111 -0.932
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 409 24.94% 37.18 5.973 73.84% 1.397 0.6316
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2436 41.99% 42.57 1.929 86.7% 0.616 0.0274
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2149 44.57% 41.76 0.984 84.27% 0.369 -0.1275
Finder of Paths Unseen 152 59.87% 30.36 -2.329 57.89% -0.427 0.2374
Fractured Days Split the Sky 826 41.0% 41.69 -2.443 73.61% -0.626 -0.0396
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 840 49.64% 40.88 -1.097 81.19% -0.311 -0.4053
Heart of the Wildfire 3532 69.35% 35.86 -0.451 70.36% -0.012 0.2289
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5929 51.71% 41.99 0.273 83.37% 0.048 -0.3936
Lightning's Swift Strike 3567 55.36% 39.21 -0.593 76.42% -0.124 0.0591
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 130 53.66% 43.28 5.6 86.15% 0.988 0.5012
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 538 37.69% 45.71 4.431 91.26% 0.736 0.5681
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 298 47.65% 42.21 0.389 80.87% 0.058 -0.0553
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1705 50.29% 40.18 0.608 79.88% 0.193 0.0612
Many Minds Move as One 872 47.3% 42.35 1.75 88.53% 0.393 0.1717
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3812 63.83% 36.73 -1.247 72.17% -0.088 -0.1302
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2032 43.34% 41.52 1.825 86.47% 0.384 0.2065
River Surges in Sunlight 4401 58.18% 41.27 -1.14 76.8% -0.379 -0.3094
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 381 59.84% 37.03 -0.644 67.45% -0.086 0.2248
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 166 56.97% 40.02 0.267 69.28% -0.164 -0.2771
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2660 57.06% 38.06 0.13 76.88% 0.193 -0.0448
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2123 75.22% 34.75 -0.288 64.3% -0.207 0.3227
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 21 61.9% 30.76 -5.642 57.14% -0.648 -0.7226
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 52 48.08% 34.81 4.46 67.31% 1.014 0.9079
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 355 49.86% 41.41 1.313 84.79% 0.385 0.3668
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 169 75.15% 39.11 -0.899 77.51% -0.065 0.112
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3484 39.64% 43.2 5.774 85.02% 0.742 0.5515
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 70 37.14% 36.34 3.638 71.43% 0.578 0.197
Shifting Memory of Ages 488 68.03% 34.14 -4.038 67.21% -0.806 -0.4524
Shroud of Silent Mist 654 71.82% 35.65 -2.933 72.32% -0.637 -0.3864
Starlight Seeks its Form 774 53.36% 39.58 2.236 78.29% 0.383 0.122
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1852 57.98% 34.55 -3.297 74.68% -0.411 -0.8884
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1823 50.91% 40.64 0.043 81.24% 0.208 0.2706
Thunderspeaker 3162 52.51% 41.99 -1.153 80.17% -0.105 -0.1387
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 39 30.77% 20.62 0.968 38.46% 0.233 0.1938
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1454 82.67% 34.45 -2.047 72.28% -0.577 -0.4841
Vital Strength of the Earth 2598 59.31% 34.28 -7.175 66.28% -1.283 -0.7583
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 107 40.95% 33.47 -2.645 65.42% -0.375 -0.1144
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 316 51.9% 34.9 -6.063 70.89% -0.742 0.0341
Volcano Looming High 1192 57.89% 38.03 -1.114 76.85% -0.166 -0.2087

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 60.0% 35.2 -6.093 80.0% -0.165 -0.4205
Blitz 0 561 59.35% 35.26 -3.506 66.13% -0.491 -0.2939
Dahan Insurrection 4 600 30.83% 57.77 4.203 75.0% 0.559 0.117
Despicable Theft 2 62 58.06% 37.56 -2.538 51.61% -0.509 0.3027
Elemental Invocation 1 147 71.43% 32.03 -2.66 46.94% -1.556 -0.8534
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1781 23.61% 42.9 0.7 76.19% -0.569 -1.2137
Powers Long Forgotten 1 249 73.9% 37.08 -7.26 58.23% -1.02 -0.3851
Rituals of Terror 3 180 60.56% 47.48 -1.403 65.56% -0.41 -0.3086
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 68 80.88% 46.24 1.865 63.24% 0.008 1.0177
Second Wave 0 1224 65.17% 35.47 -0.683 62.91% -0.398 -0.3317
The Great River 3 69 73.91% 40.71 -1.3 52.17% -0.219 0.9989
Varied Terrains 2 15 73.33% 33.27 -3.135 46.67% -0.4 0.2226
Ward the Shores 2 241 65.56% 40.54 -0.98 59.34% -0.145 0.9393

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 29461 57.78% 38.02 0.09 75.36% 0.035 0.0889
1 Thematic 2000 61.38% 41.57 0.963 66.0% 0.36 0.8377
2 Archipelago 13 38.46% 47.15 -0.074 76.92% -0.28 -0.1758
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6630 54.75% 39.35 -1.278 80.21% -0.367 -0.2849
2 Coastline 814 54.89% 40.25 -0.289 80.34% -0.336 -0.4905
2 Fragment 163 60.74% 38.5 2.81 76.69% 0.381 0.1314
2 Heart 92 61.96% 38.98 5.83 80.43% 0.428 0.1411
2 Opposite Shores 1237 57.55% 40.01 -0.286 81.89% -0.115 -0.0924
2 Thematic 797 56.41% 41.03 -1.653 67.0% -0.458 -0.0547
2 Top to Top 221 59.73% 37.28 -0.325 72.4% 0.095 -0.0716
3 Archipelago 9 66.67% 51.22 0.0 88.89%
3 Coastline 42 33.33% 47.9 13.666 95.24% 0.409 -0.1048
3 Other 132 41.67% 40.48 -5.329 84.85% -0.917 -0.3762
3 Round (Default) 2432 48.23% 40.71 1.922 83.63% 0.024 -0.0917
3 Sunrise 4 25.0% 48.25 2.698 100.0% 0.105 0.3851
3 Thematic 121 60.83% 42.61 -0.775 69.42% -0.209 -0.1291
4 Archipelago 4 75.0% 47.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 41.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 42.6 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 52 40.38% 41.63 7.577 88.46% 0.109 -0.9753
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 66.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 100.0% 30.5 6.217 50.0% 0.249 -0.0972
4 Thematic 245 42.86% 51.77 9.194 78.78% 0.882 0.6201
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1285 43.09% 42.71 1.392 88.17% -0.123 -0.206
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 32 71.88% 40.44 6.187 84.38% 0.593 0.308
5 Thematic 5 40.0% 34.2 -5.183 40.0% -0.043 -0.1371
6 Archipelago 5 0.0% 80.2 23.354 100.0% 0.914 1.0653
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 48.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 17 17.65% 44.35 -0.109 76.47% -0.607 -0.8395
6 Star 4 0.0% 38.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 75 14.67% 12.11 -4.721 17.33% -1.006 -0.5851
6 Two Centers (Default) 26 34.62% 41.85 0.232 88.46% -0.511 -0.4072
7 Other 1 100.0% 51.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2031 33.22 2.327 61.6% 0.449 0.6913
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1690 35.82 2.298 66.8% 0.273 0.1952
All Things Weaken 940 32.34 -0.156 59.68% -0.166 0.227
Attenuated Essence 42 28.26 -0.388 57.14% 0.278 0.3844
Back Against the Wall 1586 34.37 2.672 63.18% 0.335 0.3922
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 35 34.14 2.966 57.14% 0.347 0.5488
Burn Brightest Before the End 26 29.54 1.207 50.0% -0.126 0.0838
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1943 30.45 -2.912 59.34% -0.512 -0.0882
Downward Spiral 4026 32.57 -0.292 65.28% 0.097 0.3328
Erosion of Will 2023 32.03 2.228 58.68% 0.291 0.5999
Intensifying Exploitation 43 27.53 -0.19 48.84% -0.124 0.1632
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 398 42.75 3.37 94.47% 0.786 0.2922
Memory Fades to Dust 3939 31.66 0.035 60.4% 0.053 0.3889
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1001 33.55 -0.741 67.63% -0.178 0.0421
Promising Farmlands 1979 30.8 0.967 59.37% 0.344 0.7972
Shattered Fragments of Power 22 34.5 2.878 59.09% 0.119 0.1699
Slow Dissolution of Will 25 24.64 -0.689 40.0% -0.097 0.3023
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 267 43.51 1.479 96.25% 0.41 -0.3003
The Border of Life and Death 7 15.57 -10.257 28.57% -0.974 -1.3097
Thriving Communities 992 31.45 0.244 60.99% 0.269 0.6315
Thriving Crops 18 26.56 -1.763 61.11% 0.039 -0.1592
Tipping Point 816 30.56 0.0 56.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 1005 34.23 0.397 65.07% -0.063 0.1516
Untended Land Crumbles 911 32.13 -1.046 62.46% -0.107 0.1748

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10186 55.33% 39.0 0.957 78.14% 0.163 0.9036
B 10602 54.06% 39.28 0.713 78.92% 0.162 0.8883
C 11442 55.11% 39.31 0.58 78.96% 0.176 0.7583
D 10173 55.57% 38.86 -0.093 78.27% 0.07 0.7809
E 3992 53.99% 39.64 1.295 80.54% 0.358 0.9234
F 5482 50.78% 40.15 0.048 81.34% -0.064 0.6059
G 4736 55.36% 38.76 0.48 78.29% 0.044 0.6961
H 5102 52.75% 39.65 1.428 80.26% 0.239 0.8091
East 2127 56.49% 43.16 -0.762 67.89% 0.063 0.602
Northeast 1219 55.67% 41.88 -4.003 65.3% -1.261 -0.626
Northwest 907 55.63% 40.63 -4.137 63.73% -0.467 0.3419
Southeast 383 42.04% 40.47 -2.588 67.62% -0.627 0.079
Southwest 449 38.98% 33.3 -3.833 58.13% -1.313 -0.3234
West 1844 55.32% 40.78 -2.058 64.75% -0.301 0.6031

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 164 0.0% 34.22 -2.148 62.8% -0.564 0.2121
Not Using Events or Tokens 4747 66.53% 35.37 -1.805 69.58% -0.226 0.1528
Skip Initial Invader Actions 541 11.65% 55.38 2.534 92.61% -0.089 -0.7063
Start of Game Growth 783 16.82% 52.27 3.997 91.19% 0.842 0.4932
Unlimited Undo 3362 48.51% 41.33 -0.105 82.06% -0.056 -0.0627
Using Tokens but Not Events 3095 44.4% 41.18 -0.926 81.78% -0.141 -0.1513

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4542 20.4 13.32%
II 20854 31.01 74.23%
III 14144 34.76 89.83%
IV 6410 38.07 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.113 Win Model: 0.242
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 31584 58.01% 38.24 74.75%
2 9917 55.53% 39.62 79.28%
3 2710 47.91% 40.93 83.25%
4 1594 43.46% 44.08 86.7%
5 16 68.75% 30.69 62.5%
6 129 18.6% 26.39 45.74%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 603
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12421
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 14832
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6331
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 774
Lose: Invader deck ran out 317
Lose: Adversary condition 112
Win: Sacrifice victory 221
Lose: Scenario condition 483
Win: Scenario condition 770
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8652
Lose: Spirit destroyed 434

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2623 51.84% 40.18 1.33 73.24% 0.482 0.3343
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1550 80.61% 35.24 0.498 58.45% 0.123 0.2538
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1588 55.13% 40.98 0.746 76.89% 0.364 0.2192
Downpour Drenches the World 138 54.35% 31.68 -4.171 53.62% -0.819 -0.6398
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 220 37.73% 41.58 6.482 79.55% 1.508 0.7431
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1519 52.11% 42.93 1.445 79.13% 0.266 -0.323
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1480 59.58% 40.99 0.193 75.95% 0.232 -0.2643
Finder of Paths Unseen 103 63.11% 28.83 -7.254 50.49% -1.12 -0.4558
Fractured Days Split the Sky 409 60.88% 39.36 -3.733 63.81% -0.683 -0.0975
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 565 61.06% 41.22 1.763 76.46% 0.464 0.3697
Heart of the Wildfire 2212 80.01% 33.73 0.506 56.06% 0.139 0.3799
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4674 62.63% 40.89 1.737 74.99% 0.472 0.0304
Lightning's Swift Strike 2142 66.11% 37.51 -3.096 64.38% -0.595 -0.4122
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 100 56.57% 44.64 2.968 79.0% 0.17 -0.3163
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 378 51.85% 44.32 4.908 84.39% 0.691 0.5231
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 234 55.13% 42.12 -0.992 72.65% 0.025 -0.0888
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1397 64.01% 39.73 2.426 72.58% 0.4 0.2677
Many Minds Move as One 537 52.7% 44.07 1.517 85.85% 0.543 0.3215
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2673 71.33% 36.5 -1.75 62.89% -0.316 -0.3583
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1391 54.93% 41.23 2.56 77.79% 0.406 0.2282
River Surges in Sunlight 3019 67.84% 40.87 3.001 66.58% 0.693 0.7634
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 218 72.48% 36.01 -1.243 56.42% -0.101 0.2096
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 124 58.87% 41.84 -0.905 66.13% 0.011 -0.1019
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1710 70.81% 36.44 -1.86 63.74% -0.312 -0.5497
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1173 79.45% 33.92 -0.518 52.43% -0.18 0.3495
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 14 78.57% 44.64 4.578 92.86% 0.471 0.3954
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 26 69.23% 40.88 4.658 76.92% 0.599 0.4933
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 226 69.47% 40.85 -2.552 77.43% -0.263 -0.2818
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 148 77.7% 35.91 8.351 58.78% 0.424 0.6004
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2349 51.56% 41.63 4.911 73.35% 0.694 0.5039
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 45 44.44% 30.0 -0.813 55.56% 0.066 -0.3152
Shifting Memory of Ages 287 78.05% 33.38 -4.843 54.7% -0.695 -0.3418
Shroud of Silent Mist 404 82.63% 32.5 -6.514 56.44% -1.122 -0.8714
Starlight Seeks its Form 606 61.55% 37.21 -0.568 63.53% 0.039 -0.2222
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1117 71.33% 32.59 -1.864 62.13% -0.283 -0.7603
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1097 60.26% 40.01 -1.063 72.65% 0.184 0.2469
Thunderspeaker 2104 64.55% 41.52 -0.364 70.67% 0.069 0.0346
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 35 48.57% 27.26 -0.704 40.0% -0.158 -0.1977
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1007 91.46% 31.43 -4.5 54.12% -0.869 -0.7754
Vital Strength of the Earth 1424 75.33% 32.3 -3.713 49.86% -0.732 -0.2078
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 69 59.42% 31.72 -0.833 50.72% -0.081 0.179
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 195 72.82% 31.91 -10.292 49.23% -0.931 -0.1546
Volcano Looming High 743 66.76% 38.19 -0.111 68.51% 0.018 -0.0252

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 339 70.66% 33.35 -0.616 51.92% 0.118 0.3157
Dahan Insurrection 4 372 47.31% 61.7 10.202 75.0% 0.434 -0.0083
Despicable Theft 2 22 63.64% 41.73 -0.353 54.55% -0.111 0.7013
Elemental Invocation 1 63 84.13% 29.54 -3.834 38.1% -0.674 0.0291
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1046 24.69% 43.85 3.672 70.75% 0.414 -0.2307
Powers Long Forgotten 1 155 75.48% 36.37 -4.261 49.03% -0.236 0.3996
Rituals of Terror 3 120 84.17% 37.6 15.383 37.5% 0.385 0.4858
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 95 86.32% 38.58 -13.672 37.89% -0.579 0.4302
Second Wave 0 720 73.71% 35.03 -3.793 54.31% -0.63 -0.5638
The Great River 3 26 53.85% 40.27 0.096 46.15% -0.294 0.9237
Varied Terrains 2 4 75.0% 44.25 0.0 75.0%
Ward the Shores 2 99 76.77% 38.32 -5.532 43.43% -0.3 0.7838

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 19930 67.23% 37.06 -0.526 65.72% -0.005 0.0488
1 Thematic 1614 67.66% 40.19 -0.603 53.84% -0.515 -0.0376
2 Archipelago 6 50.0% 50.0 0.0 66.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4361 66.61% 39.04 -0.088 71.43% -0.093 -0.0112
2 Coastline 544 57.12% 42.01 0.332 78.49% 0.226 0.0723
2 Fragment 98 71.43% 35.29 3.065 60.2% 0.224 -0.025
2 Heart 94 67.74% 33.81 0.094 55.32% -0.168 -0.4551
2 Opposite Shores 849 67.96% 38.71 -0.217 70.67% -0.204 -0.1805
2 Thematic 467 75.16% 38.55 -2.791 49.89% -0.568 -0.1649
2 Top to Top 122 73.55% 38.53 8.543 71.31% 0.34 0.174
3 Archipelago 2 100.0% 57.5 16.09 100.0% 0.291 -1.2581
3 Coastline 15 46.67% 50.6 -0.647 93.33% -0.351 -0.8648
3 Other 97 49.48% 40.2 -0.077 73.2% 0.005 0.5461
3 Round (Default) 1664 58.19% 40.65 2.453 74.22% 0.226 0.1103
3 Sunrise 4 75.0% 45.5 8.893 100.0% 0.196 0.4754
3 Thematic 97 75.26% 39.27 1.091 50.52% -0.022 0.0581
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 48.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 37.6 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 58 41.38% 44.03 1.833 82.76% 0.133 -0.9507
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 50.0% 47.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 121 62.81% 41.87 6.639 56.2% 0.69 0.4273
4 Trapezoid (Default) 724 59.36% 40.58 -0.51 70.86% 0.006 -0.0762
5 Other 17 66.67% 44.29 11.596 52.94% 0.502 0.2174
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 20.67 -13.01 33.33% -0.294 -0.3874
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 8 37.5% 52.13 0.0 62.5%
6 Star 8 25.0% 29.75 0.0 37.5%
6 Thematic 6 50.0% 39.5 -14.643 50.0% -0.282 0.1382
6 Two Centers (Default) 19 52.63% 36.11 -7.412 73.68% -0.978 -0.8743

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1634 33.15 1.86 52.57% 0.106 0.3484
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1292 35.1 2.653 56.5% 0.344 0.2666
All Things Weaken 821 31.47 1.223 49.21% 0.101 0.4935
Attenuated Essence 20 38.5 5.459 70.0% 0.962 1.0685
Back Against the Wall 1273 34.62 4.738 55.15% 0.731 0.7889
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 19 27.26 1.691 47.37% 0.317 0.5186
Burn Brightest Before the End 18 33.78 2.705 50.0% 0.266 0.4768
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1616 31.29 -1.752 53.84% -0.567 -0.1431
Downward Spiral 2952 32.43 0.78 55.86% 0.327 0.5625
Erosion of Will 1732 31.61 0.271 48.56% -0.187 0.122
Intensifying Exploitation 34 35.29 2.974 61.76% 0.368 0.6553
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 256 46.66 1.032 97.66% 0.331 -0.1632
Memory Fades to Dust 2992 31.16 -1.158 50.43% -0.145 0.1915
Power Corrodes the Spirit 776 31.85 -0.205 54.25% 0.041 0.2616
Promising Farmlands 1683 31.06 -0.523 50.56% -0.408 0.0451
Shattered Fragments of Power 28 35.29 1.306 60.71% -0.152 -0.1011
Slow Dissolution of Will 29 23.9 -3.202 27.59% -0.772 -0.3724
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 147 45.65 4.959 95.24% 0.844 0.1329
The Border of Life and Death 9 30.89 1.971 66.67% 0.446 0.1108
Thriving Communities 762 29.37 -2.04 46.46% -0.533 -0.1705
Thriving Crops 10 46.6 7.265 90.0% 0.996 0.798
Tipping Point 662 31.51 0.0 50.0%
Unnatural Proliferation 889 32.63 2.353 51.29% 0.141 0.356
Untended Land Crumbles 816 30.83 -0.45 49.51% -0.01 0.2721

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6832 65.99% 37.93 0.391 67.1% 0.015 0.7547
B 7165 65.01% 38.5 0.238 68.97% -0.015 0.7107
C 7391 65.49% 38.36 1.187 68.52% 0.128 0.7102
D 6542 64.79% 38.35 -0.475 68.95% -0.274 0.4374
E 2791 65.79% 38.28 1.091 68.65% 0.134 0.6991
F 3566 62.85% 39.06 -0.847 71.2% -0.273 0.3971
G 3189 65.05% 38.29 0.221 68.89% -0.045 0.6062
H 3503 62.0% 39.48 -0.201 72.02% -0.091 0.4798
East 1429 68.86% 40.74 1.347 53.81% 0.257 0.796
Northeast 764 70.16% 40.81 -3.592 54.19% -1.364 -0.7294
Northwest 646 73.99% 37.47 2.316 46.44% 0.506 1.315
Southeast 193 64.77% 38.49 -3.169 56.99% -0.559 0.1466
Southwest 201 53.23% 39.7 -2.341 64.18% -0.079 0.9113
West 1313 69.84% 38.93 -0.255 51.18% -0.883 0.0206

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 103 0.0% 35.58 -13.026 58.25% -0.342 0.4339
Not Using Events or Tokens 2916 73.85% 34.82 -3.389 59.64% -0.701 -0.3222
Skip Initial Invader Actions 438 17.66% 56.2 6.301 92.69% 1.005 0.3878
Start of Game Growth 647 25.16% 52.39 -0.186 88.25% -0.208 -0.557
Unlimited Undo 2281 59.84% 40.51 0.855 73.26% 0.146 0.1398
Using Tokens but Not Events 1693 58.48% 39.11 -0.025 71.71% 0.183 0.1727

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3845 20.4 4.92%
II 12468 31.01 59.67%
III 11139 34.76 85.19%
IV 3500 38.07 99.57%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.527 Win Model: 0.292
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 21645 67.27% 37.29 64.76%
2 6535 67.07% 39.0 69.73%
3 1822 57.08% 41.23 75.52%
4 899 58.7% 41.02 69.63%
5 10 75.0% 29.0 20.0%
6 41 43.9% 36.71 58.54%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 189
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9306
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7122
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3444
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 401
Lose: Invader deck ran out 289
Lose: Adversary condition 74
Win: Sacrifice victory 155
Lose: Scenario condition 356
Win: Scenario condition 387
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8880
Lose: Spirit destroyed 349

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1250 52.22% 43.51 -0.832 70.48% 0.011 -0.1366
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 692 79.59% 35.8 -6.054 50.43% -0.812 -0.6813
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 649 55.49% 44.22 5.014 75.04% 1.081 0.9362
Downpour Drenches the World 88 64.77% 32.02 -6.893 43.18% -0.921 -0.7415
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 91 32.97% 45.05 7.766 79.12% 1.714 0.9489
Eyes Watch From the Trees 665 60.45% 42.66 -2.329 67.82% -0.506 -1.0948
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 685 63.24% 41.15 -0.259 63.07% 0.304 -0.1925
Finder of Paths Unseen 111 56.76% 43.44 -6.241 75.68% -1.016 -0.352
Fractured Days Split the Sky 152 59.87% 43.26 -3.859 62.5% -0.642 -0.0565
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 237 54.01% 42.83 -1.42 71.31% 0.108 0.0129
Heart of the Wildfire 1086 78.47% 35.34 -1.042 51.75% 0.14 0.3812
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2076 64.71% 41.58 -1.514 65.37% 0.124 -0.318
Lightning's Swift Strike 1069 69.17% 38.61 1.864 55.57% 0.822 1.0048
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 111 91.89% 33.89 1.647 21.62% -0.313 -0.7995
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 207 43.96% 47.55 5.218 82.61% 0.734 0.5665
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 133 57.14% 45.7 -4.173 71.43% -0.124 -0.2371
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 516 70.93% 39.97 -0.109 62.79% 0.076 -0.056
Many Minds Move as One 246 58.13% 43.11 -0.022 71.95% 0.411 0.1901
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1198 74.96% 38.43 3.676 57.18% 1.117 1.0745
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 644 58.16% 43.05 2.825 71.89% 0.912 0.7344
River Surges in Sunlight 1342 70.75% 40.54 -2.477 56.56% -0.104 -0.0335
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 68 75.0% 38.43 -7.614 55.88% -0.639 -0.3283
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 43 55.81% 38.26 -1.991 53.49% 0.153 0.0392
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 806 69.85% 37.64 -2.083 56.08% -0.112 -0.349
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 540 79.63% 35.88 -3.612 45.93% -0.727 -0.1977
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 4 75.0% 35.5 -8.324 50.0% -0.654 -0.7288
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 16 75.0% 36.06 -0.775 56.25% 0.126 0.0204
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 77 68.83% 40.97 0.0 67.53%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 49 87.76% 29.63 -9.603 34.69% -0.523 -0.3464
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1166 53.34% 43.96 6.723 69.64% 1.257 1.0672
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 23 65.22% 31.0 -0.097 34.78% -0.009 -0.3903
Shifting Memory of Ages 129 79.84% 30.72 -2.817 41.09% -0.233 0.1202
Shroud of Silent Mist 200 86.5% 29.19 -3.837 34.5% -0.507 -0.2564
Starlight Seeks its Form 170 60.0% 38.66 -4.905 61.18% -0.104 -0.3655
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 422 78.2% 30.16 -5.891 48.1% -0.372 -0.8497
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 578 66.78% 39.56 -1.887 59.0% -0.144 -0.0811
Thunderspeaker 1047 67.66% 40.46 -3.143 59.89% -0.317 -0.3512
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 10 60.0% 21.2 -3.345 30.0% -0.019 -0.0584
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 524 91.2% 34.11 1.622 53.24% 0.329 0.4225
Vital Strength of the Earth 709 72.6% 33.93 -4.049 44.15% -0.151 0.3731
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 36 63.89% 31.06 -7.023 44.44% -0.863 -0.6024
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 112 69.64% 37.03 -2.294 56.25% -0.142 0.6345
Volcano Looming High 351 67.24% 38.29 0.09 60.68% 0.387 0.3436

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 100.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%
Blitz 0 197 71.58% 32.95 -3.364 43.65% -0.329 -0.1321
Dahan Insurrection 4 192 53.65% 53.69 3.26 57.29% -0.477 -0.9192
Despicable Theft 2 17 64.71% 39.47 12.987 47.06% 0.905 1.717
Elemental Invocation 1 21 71.43% 33.14 -3.164 38.1% -0.218 0.4849
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 735 28.4% 48.56 3.552 71.56% 0.172 -0.4721
Powers Long Forgotten 1 58 84.48% 37.69 7.441 44.83% 0.483 1.1186
Rituals of Terror 3 96 71.88% 41.51 -0.903 38.54% -0.288 -0.1871
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 54 72.22% 43.24 -9.393 42.59% -0.381 0.6283
Second Wave 0 277 67.51% 38.4 3.864 53.79% 0.469 0.5352
The Great River 3 21 71.43% 38.29 0.0 33.33%
Varied Terrains 2 7 85.71% 7.14 -9.975 0.0% -1.054 -0.4305
Ward the Shores 2 62 75.81% 39.81 -11.645 40.32% -0.345 0.7395

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 9139 69.7% 37.36 0.478 56.47% 0.22 0.2739
1 Thematic 1022 62.72% 42.09 -2.251 51.08% -0.846 -0.3681
2 Archipelago 2 50.0% 40.5 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2176 69.46% 40.01 -1.449 63.74% -0.076 0.0057
2 Coastline 240 65.42% 42.28 -2.543 67.92% -0.886 -1.0398
2 Fragment 49 79.59% 37.55 2.245 55.1% 0.06 -0.1893
2 Heart 36 75.0% 41.61 12.674 63.89% 0.606 0.3191
2 Opposite Shores 335 65.87% 40.73 4.843 63.88% 0.806 0.829
2 Thematic 183 76.5% 41.22 -5.37 45.9% -0.074 0.3294
2 Top to Top 60 60.0% 39.62 -6.497 60.0% -0.269 -0.4348
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 23 69.57% 50.65 0.0 78.26%
3 Other 35 71.43% 40.03 9.078 60.0% 1.173 1.7138
3 Round (Default) 719 62.89% 42.38 0.489 68.57% -0.158 -0.2731
3 Sunrise 5 60.0% 40.6 0.0 60.0%
3 Thematic 52 88.46% 32.96 -3.681 25.0% -0.549 -0.4683
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 33.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 21 28.57% 54.9 -12.3 95.24% -0.185 -1.2688
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 63 61.9% 46.1 6.113 53.97% 0.362 0.0994
4 Trapezoid (Default) 279 51.81% 43.37 -3.447 68.82% -0.657 -0.74
5 Other 5 20.0% 29.4 -15.103 60.0% -0.189 -0.4739
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -6.446 0.0% -0.019 0.1325
6 Star 3 0.0% 34.33 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 1 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 6 50.0% 45.5 -4.609 66.67% -0.104 0.0005

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 819 34.32 0.913 46.28% 0.042 0.2845
Aid From Lesser Spirits 627 35.23 7.152 46.41% 1.493 1.4152
All Things Weaken 385 31.97 3.391 40.26% 0.378 0.7704
Attenuated Essence 19 25.26 -1.626 36.84% -0.052 0.0553
Back Against the Wall 576 35.95 -1.982 49.13% -0.785 -0.7273
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 14 27.29 -2.368 28.57% -0.698 -0.4966
Burn Brightest Before the End 13 26.0 -1.482 23.08% -0.738 -0.5276
Disintegrating Ecosystem 763 30.57 -0.057 41.68% -0.079 0.3443
Downward Spiral 1560 32.4 -1.475 45.19% -0.23 0.0051
Erosion of Will 766 30.9 -1.657 37.47% -0.426 -0.1171
Intensifying Exploitation 5 22.8 -5.429 20.0% -0.604 -0.3168
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 78 48.85 3.066 89.74% -0.037 -0.5309
Memory Fades to Dust 1559 30.73 -3.801 39.83% -1.093 -0.757
Power Corrodes the Spirit 350 31.11 -0.466 42.86% -0.256 -0.0351
Promising Farmlands 761 30.17 -1.798 38.5% -0.472 -0.0187
Shattered Fragments of Power 9 31.67 -1.059 44.44% -0.302 -0.2506
Slow Dissolution of Will 8 22.63 -0.498 12.5% -0.234 0.1648
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 59 49.34 -2.94 94.92% 0.046 -0.6652
The Border of Life and Death 2 31.5 -10.965 50.0% -0.284 -0.6197
Thriving Communities 375 29.29 -2.357 38.4% -0.182 0.1808
Thriving Crops 3 16.67 -3.649 33.33% 0.105 -0.0926
Tipping Point 324 29.92 0.0 36.11%
Unnatural Proliferation 394 33.82 1.786 45.69% -0.097 0.1179
Untended Land Crumbles 382 32.31 -0.059 43.98% -0.26 0.022

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3063 68.92% 39.15 0.252 60.37% -0.066 0.6737
B 3275 66.49% 38.94 -0.231 59.94% -0.07 0.6553
C 3422 69.35% 38.71 -1.616 59.61% -0.425 0.1575
D 3039 66.01% 39.7 -0.612 61.86% -0.206 0.5056
E 1227 66.88% 40.22 -0.566 64.96% -0.205 0.3605
F 1620 64.58% 39.72 0.238 62.1% -0.027 0.643
G 1466 64.87% 40.04 -1.569 63.64% -0.344 0.3076
H 1558 66.49% 40.04 4.171 62.77% 0.823 1.3936
East 823 67.07% 41.61 2.783 46.42% 0.008 0.5469
Northeast 441 67.35% 41.58 -1.121 45.58% -0.323 0.3121
Northwest 303 71.62% 40.22 -1.843 44.22% -0.177 0.6322
Southeast 124 55.65% 44.88 -0.202 61.29% 0.215 0.9206
Southwest 98 61.22% 36.66 -10.734 48.98% -0.562 0.4274
West 647 68.01% 41.4 0.245 48.07% -0.354 0.5498

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 52 0.0% 37.92 -4.449 57.69% -0.393 0.3832
Not Using Events or Tokens 1617 72.32% 37.16 -5.097 55.41% -0.465 -0.0862
Skip Initial Invader Actions 227 14.86% 59.92 17.719 94.71% 1.135 0.5177
Start of Game Growth 367 23.89% 54.49 -1.816 87.74% -0.733 -1.0811
Unlimited Undo 1291 64.38% 41.86 -1.002 67.62% -0.226 -0.2331
Using Tokens but Not Events 804 63.04% 36.62 -2.138 55.72% 0.002 -0.008

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3021 20.4 8.14%
II 5491 31.01 55.64%
III 4386 34.76 81.33%
IV 1568 38.07 99.55%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.039 Win Model: -0.147
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 10201 69.01% 37.84 55.91%
2 3068 69.23% 40.36 62.97%
3 821 64.58% 41.98 66.02%
4 363 51.94% 44.34 67.49%
5 2 50.0% 21.5 50.0%
6 11 27.27% 40.82 54.55%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 245
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3472
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2933
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1548
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 268
Lose: Invader deck ran out 125
Lose: Adversary condition 33
Win: Sacrifice victory 52
Lose: Scenario condition 253
Win: Scenario condition 179
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5157
Lose: Spirit destroyed 201

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7780 48.59% 48.08 0.329 70.42% 0.415 0.2671
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3787 82.56% 38.02 -3.636 50.15% -0.434 -0.3032
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3738 54.93% 46.44 -1.344 72.53% -0.076 -0.2205
Downpour Drenches the World 587 53.75% 43.04 -3.412 58.94% -0.303 -0.1233
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1285 38.91% 47.84 8.986 75.25% 1.714 0.9494
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3671 58.41% 47.09 -0.426 70.72% 0.263 -0.3262
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3289 65.22% 44.33 -0.707 64.79% 0.254 -0.2424
Finder of Paths Unseen 606 58.42% 46.55 -1.848 69.97% -0.044 0.6201
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2043 55.36% 50.97 -0.193 69.46% 0.08 0.6662
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2404 60.26% 47.9 -0.618 69.88% 0.151 0.0563
Heart of the Wildfire 6342 70.87% 41.27 -3.139 56.29% -0.199 0.0424
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 11743 60.73% 46.99 0.673 69.89% 0.308 -0.1342
Lightning's Swift Strike 5240 68.19% 41.33 -4.46 56.32% -0.279 -0.0963
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 873 71.48% 43.16 2.906 53.72% 0.717 0.2304
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 2045 56.74% 50.66 2.819 80.1% 0.622 0.4542
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1193 50.88% 51.5 0.074 72.09% 0.287 0.1733
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3831 64.06% 44.96 0.541 65.99% 0.28 0.1481
Many Minds Move as One 1485 49.63% 50.5 -1.859 82.29% 0.066 -0.1553
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6980 70.38% 40.96 -3.867 53.12% -0.542 -0.5847
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3836 53.97% 47.78 1.612 75.99% 0.567 0.3887
River Surges in Sunlight 7009 64.68% 47.39 0.885 62.58% 0.132 0.2018
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 456 71.05% 41.0 -4.196 49.12% -0.525 -0.2142
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 512 64.71% 43.62 -2.374 51.17% -0.492 -0.6056
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5445 63.57% 44.83 -0.003 64.7% -0.08 -0.3171
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2029 77.32% 36.35 -6.385 42.78% -1.581 -1.0509
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 103 79.61% 35.71 -2.395 44.66% -0.174 -0.2486
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 107 77.57% 38.22 2.834 49.53% 0.723 0.6177
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 780 71.67% 41.84 -1.286 58.46% -0.116 -0.1347
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 369 75.07% 40.24 2.322 52.3% 0.061 0.2379
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5009 50.65% 48.48 1.589 71.93% 0.596 0.4061
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 198 53.03% 37.3 1.93 58.59% 0.542 0.1604
Shifting Memory of Ages 1010 76.04% 37.93 -4.99 46.53% -0.585 -0.2318
Shroud of Silent Mist 944 82.25% 36.7 -5.348 49.89% -0.749 -0.4987
Starlight Seeks its Form 2106 58.2% 45.67 -1.106 66.29% 0.163 -0.0981
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4380 72.12% 36.15 -3.981 50.98% -0.385 -0.8618
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3204 58.68% 46.64 0.643 68.35% 0.005 0.0679
Thunderspeaker 4030 68.35% 44.56 -0.227 60.65% -0.057 -0.0909
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 85 69.41% 33.04 2.319 50.59% 0.638 0.5987
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4085 83.89% 39.6 -0.656 58.68% 0.045 0.1385
Vital Strength of the Earth 2481 71.59% 36.54 -3.958 45.02% -0.808 -0.2838
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 254 69.29% 41.28 0.906 58.27% 0.495 0.7555
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 725 68.51% 36.89 -4.074 47.45% -1.006 -0.2301
Volcano Looming High 3405 61.94% 45.75 0.846 69.72% 0.336 0.2929

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 26 92.31% 26.15 3.356 15.38% 0.297 0.0417
Blitz 0 665 62.09% 40.77 1.958 52.93% -0.132 0.0651
Dahan Insurrection 4 901 46.72% 66.57 5.399 69.15% 0.249 -0.1937
Despicable Theft 2 39 74.36% 39.0 -1.724 38.46% -0.148 0.6645
Elemental Invocation 1 99 74.75% 39.63 -6.15 46.46% -0.529 0.1738
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6637 23.87% 54.2 8.351 74.11% 1.401 0.7563
Powers Long Forgotten 1 143 76.6% 36.36 -15.543 32.87% -0.705 -0.0694
Rituals of Terror 3 184 80.43% 48.18 7.323 34.24% -0.036 0.0646
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 75 88.0% 39.21 -8.524 32.0% -0.681 0.3282
Second Wave 0 677 81.54% 38.01 -2.889 46.68% -0.286 -0.2197
The Great River 3 61 63.93% 31.89 -13.596 16.39% -1.024 0.1937
Varied Terrains 2 41 82.93% 36.17 1.221 31.71% -0.063 0.5598
Ward the Shores 2 177 81.25% 38.08 -1.813 34.46% -0.417 0.6675

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 63212 67.55% 41.7 0.245 59.94% 0.113 0.1675
1 Thematic 2014 64.47% 43.44 -1.026 48.16% -0.653 -0.1756
2 Archipelago 21 70.0% 54.86 0.043 52.38% -0.046 0.058
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9042 68.04% 43.87 -1.279 64.37% -0.359 -0.2771
2 Coastline 1309 65.85% 45.54 -2.348 66.08% -1.026 -1.1799
2 Fragment 279 70.61% 47.36 4.575 72.76% -0.078 -0.3272
2 Heart 136 78.68% 43.6 2.674 56.62% 0.653 0.3654
2 Opposite Shores 1897 64.21% 43.71 -0.102 60.57% -0.231 -0.2082
2 Thematic 486 69.77% 44.46 -3.231 43.21% -1.23 -0.8268
2 Top to Top 351 69.34% 44.14 0.51 64.39% 0.37 0.2038
3 Archipelago 7 57.14% 86.57 26.605 100.0% 0.779 -0.7697
3 Coastline 71 29.58% 54.7 10.875 81.69% 0.515 0.001
3 Other 116 66.38% 47.57 -1.158 72.41% -0.003 0.5376
3 Round (Default) 3467 57.85% 46.06 0.08 68.39% -0.456 -0.5714
3 Sunrise 22 63.64% 46.68 0.0 68.18%
3 Thematic 99 79.17% 47.0 -2.178 46.46% 0.165 0.2453
4 Archipelago 11 36.36% 66.45 14.016 63.64% 0.452 -0.2228
4 Coastline 22 0.0% 61.32 9.818 95.45% -0.211 0.0202
4 Leaf 8 87.5% 26.75 -2.629 25.0% -0.44 -0.7834
4 Other 240 32.5% 53.72 4.245 85.42% 0.344 -0.74
4 Thematic 1140 32.28% 65.02 1.604 82.54% -0.664 -0.9267
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2478 54.47% 47.23 -0.365 68.93% -0.236 -0.3192
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 66.67 0.0 66.67%
5 Coastline 24 4.17% 60.83 15.908 95.83% 0.507 -0.1443
5 Other 71 60.61% 57.62 2.976 87.32% 0.389 0.1038
5 Thematic 10 40.0% 75.7 17.034 100.0% 0.248 0.1546
6 Archipelago 7 0.0% 54.29 0.0 57.14%
6 Coastline 7 14.29% 51.29 0.653 85.71% -0.415 -1.2158
6 Other 17 41.18% 58.88 -13.739 76.47% -0.137 -0.3699
6 Star 8 62.5% 58.63 4.461 87.5% 0.007 -0.0057
6 Thematic 214 69.16% 56.34 2.687 78.97% -0.087 0.333
6 Two Centers (Default) 89 28.09% 49.71 -0.384 69.66% -1.029 -0.9245
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -10.246 0.0% -0.323 -0.9354

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 4724 35.79 -2.246 44.92% -0.748 -0.5055
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3826 39.85 3.061 52.85% 0.078 0.0005
All Things Weaken 2707 36.49 0.048 46.18% -0.283 0.1093
Attenuated Essence 134 33.2 0.029 45.52% -0.251 -0.1447
Back Against the Wall 3578 38.6 3.938 49.58% 0.395 0.4526
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 125 30.74 -0.921 44.8% -0.143 0.0584
Burn Brightest Before the End 71 32.8 0.063 40.85% -0.537 -0.3269
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4698 33.64 -1.53 44.7% -0.468 -0.0443
Downward Spiral 7028 34.9 -0.095 46.98% 0.076 0.3116
Erosion of Will 4660 34.54 -0.743 42.0% -0.365 -0.0553
Intensifying Exploitation 134 28.88 -1.74 40.3% -0.294 -0.0064
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 634 53.11 1.831 90.85% 0.411 -0.0827
Memory Fades to Dust 7243 33.72 -1.788 41.5% -0.57 -0.2337
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2674 36.08 1.244 47.38% 0.076 0.2967
Promising Farmlands 4605 33.87 -1.464 43.39% -0.403 0.0506
Shattered Fragments of Power 87 40.05 3.516 59.77% 0.306 0.357
Slow Dissolution of Will 127 31.15 -0.438 38.58% -0.398 0.0014
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 479 54.46 1.485 93.74% 0.417 -0.2934
The Border of Life and Death 32 38.91 2.308 65.63% 0.416 0.0805
Thriving Communities 2515 34.69 -1.334 45.53% -0.366 -0.0032
Thriving Crops 51 33.35 1.361 54.9% 0.311 0.1128
Tipping Point 1595 32.86 0.0 40.13%
Unnatural Proliferation 2875 37.33 1.831 47.13% 0.022 0.2374
Untended Land Crumbles 2527 35.62 0.834 46.81% -0.015 0.2673

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 17968 64.51% 43.63 0.306 62.74% -0.667 0.0727
B 18345 64.37% 42.58 -1.861 60.88% -1.081 -0.3556
C 19962 67.29% 42.19 -0.634 60.04% -0.83 -0.2473
D 16764 66.49% 42.34 -0.027 60.83% -0.674 0.037
E 9020 64.9% 44.18 0.128 65.02% -0.875 -0.3099
F 11170 60.0% 46.15 0.908 69.03% -0.641 0.0293
G 9604 63.31% 44.38 0.944 65.1% -0.63 0.0218
H 9954 63.82% 44.25 0.515 65.62% -0.684 -0.1133
East 2844 52.61% 54.49 1.91 64.59% -0.165 0.3743
Northeast 1881 49.17% 56.66 1.457 67.04% -1.078 -0.4431
Northwest 1671 49.13% 55.7 0.229 66.49% -1.192 -0.3829
Southeast 637 56.83% 55.18 1.997 74.25% -0.547 0.1587
Southwest 642 58.57% 52.45 1.202 70.72% -1.303 -0.3133
West 2635 52.12% 53.29 3.158 63.3% -0.275 0.6289

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 393 0.0% 42.98 -7.716 61.83% -1.166 -0.3903
Not Using Events or Tokens 5291 75.74% 37.11 -4.124 48.59% -0.476 -0.0972
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2525 18.77% 62.82 4.647 87.6% 0.682 0.0642
Start of Game Growth 3439 21.5% 61.11 5.011 86.45% 0.969 0.6208
Unlimited Undo 9801 52.58% 49.76 0.103 75.92% 0.034 0.027
Using Tokens but Not Events 4360 53.9% 45.04 -1.875 63.85% 0.017 0.0065

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 18577 20.4 10.82%
II 30104 31.01 59.07%
III 29868 34.76 84.13%
IV 8359 38.07 99.82%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.434 Win Model: 1.027
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 65437 67.46% 41.79 59.59%
2 13422 67.5% 44.08 63.38%
3 3752 57.88% 46.26 68.34%
4 3885 46.26% 53.01 74.08%
5 65 37.7% 58.8 84.62%
6 347 54.47% 54.68 76.37%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2005
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 24650
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 17066
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8266
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1969
Lose: Invader deck ran out 704
Lose: Adversary condition 411
Win: Sacrifice victory 450
Lose: Scenario condition 1618
Win: Scenario condition 826
Lose: Blight pool ran out 27698
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1245

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-12-12 04:02:30 (Pacific Time)