The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6378 25.74% 22.35 -1.827 77.56% -0.3 -0.3959
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 179 23.46% 22.66 -0.356 67.6% -0.117 -0.4422
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 12 8.33% 20.83 -0.046 66.67% 0.225 -0.0369
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 121 16.67% 26.02 2.86 80.99% 0.91 0.1894
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4219 46.82% 21.41 -1.44 73.86% -0.263 0.0355
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 176 22.73% 27.74 7.14 73.3% 0.455 -0.1341
Dances Up Earthquakes 207 28.99% 17.86 -3.22 52.17% -0.908 -0.7264
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3082 25.61% 24.5 0.932 83.32% 0.401 0.2223
Downpour Drenches the World 692 24.28% 17.12 -4.791 53.03% -1.304 -0.9448
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 677 20.53% 20.64 -0.121 62.63% -0.084 -0.5229
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3548 17.26% 26.96 1.509 86.58% 0.684 0.3347
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3223 22.64% 25.43 2.937 84.11% 0.852 0.452
Finder of Paths Unseen 372 34.32% 13.51 -2.318 38.71% -0.845 0.2294
Fractured Days Split the Sky 822 31.75% 20.14 0.95 55.96% -0.225 0.2311
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1090 38.62% 21.1 -3.19 63.76% 0.001 -0.0901
Heart of the Wildfire 4190 55.49% 20.07 -0.724 69.33% -0.038 0.3932
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5697 27.46% 25.92 1.136 86.73% 0.355 -0.0871
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 230 17.47% 24.8 3.718 70.43% 0.479 -0.0295
Lightning's Swift Strike 6320 42.01% 21.18 -2.193 71.14% -0.377 -0.2135
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 245 32.1% 24.0 1.314 69.8% 0.265 -0.4137
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 457 32.02% 24.38 -3.329 76.59% -0.363 -0.7222
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 429 33.18% 22.26 -3.594 69.0% -0.634 -0.78
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1937 32.33% 24.8 0.906 76.72% 0.336 0.1585
Many Minds Move as One 1330 23.58% 24.41 0.455 78.35% -0.049 -0.184
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6341 41.07% 22.14 0.199 75.26% 0.073 -0.0038
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 182 51.1% 16.74 -3.654 57.14% -0.591 -0.3992
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2803 28.85% 23.31 0.528 79.49% 0.424 0.3648
River Surges in Sunlight 7450 38.19% 23.91 2.792 73.05% 0.655 0.6998
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 96 29.17% 19.03 -1.582 54.17% -0.449 -0.2187
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 648 38.02% 23.87 2.971 71.45% 0.809 0.8576
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 301 34.23% 23.0 -5.753 62.79% -0.497 -0.33
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3552 35.35% 21.91 1.191 77.34% 0.519 0.3252
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 55 23.64% 20.22 1.912 63.64% 0.642 0.6278
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4693 51.67% 20.69 -0.013 68.25% -0.087 0.5378
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 124 35.48% 19.6 0.0 55.65%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 163 28.4% 22.63 -0.83 70.55% -0.223 -0.6575
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 140 36.43% 21.09 -3.662 62.14% -0.356 -0.3338
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 357 36.97% 23.63 -3.405 76.19% -0.092 -0.1791
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 297 40.07% 22.65 1.379 72.73% 0.214 0.623
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3648 29.27% 25.05 0.768 81.36% 0.411 0.4686
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 13 23.08% 18.92 0.811 53.85% -0.11 -0.6134
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 245 21.99% 20.36 -0.405 60.82% 0.077 0.0396
Shifting Memory of Ages 885 44.1% 18.92 -2.984 60.34% -0.48 -0.1179
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 139 29.5% 18.88 -1.129 53.96% 0.095 0.078
Shroud of Silent Mist 997 44.86% 19.26 -2.003 64.39% -0.38 0.1435
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 15 26.67% 23.93 2.831 73.33% 0.378 0.0377
Starlight Seeks its Form 1529 22.46% 23.62 1.12 70.77% 0.261 0.0625
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2185 27.24% 23.16 1.265 80.32% 0.124 -0.4914
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2466 32.42% 22.46 -0.043 75.34% 0.157 0.3902
Thunderspeaker 5807 29.54% 24.32 1.141 76.61% 0.183 0.1654
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 179 24.72% 16.49 -1.526 48.04% 0.017 0.2173
Towering Roots of the Jungle 332 29.52% 18.73 2.284 61.14% 0.567 0.7338
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1662 53.86% 19.1 0.854 68.35% 0.286 0.336
Vital Strength of the Earth 6319 32.32% 19.86 -4.254 67.26% -1.342 -0.8723
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 243 27.39% 17.17 -1.5 51.03% -0.282 0.1272
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 401 28.46% 17.16 -2.94 56.86% -0.117 0.5498
Volcano Looming High 1445 36.02% 21.47 -2.686 68.3% -0.397 -0.4136
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 337 19.88% 22.02 0.048 65.28% 0.278 -0.0025

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 37 16.22% 23.35 0.0 67.57%
Blitz 0 1284 36.98% 18.11 -0.077 60.36% 0.298 0.5411
Dahan Insurrection 4 1006 22.51% 39.96 1.529 70.68% -0.702 -0.689
Despicable Theft 2 243 28.4% 18.72 -6.604 43.62% -0.919 -0.1528
Elemental Invocation 1 296 35.81% 18.58 -3.976 51.35% -0.835 -0.0823
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2397 8.44% 28.04 3.539 75.89% 0.2 -0.3957
Powers Long Forgotten 1 589 42.28% 23.03 0.639 60.44% -0.043 0.7048
Rituals of Terror 3 719 40.56% 27.9 6.844 56.88% 0.709 1.1877
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 398 56.53% 26.71 5.853 54.27% 0.174 0.8613
Second Wave 0 1079 54.01% 25.06 3.205 68.21% 0.25 0.2452
The Great River 3 218 37.61% 20.1 8.31 38.53% 0.166 1.2951
Varied Terrains 2 227 27.31% 14.66 -3.509 37.0% -0.877 -0.0971
Ward the Shores 2 695 34.29% 25.04 0.755 60.86% -0.082 0.7875

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 44485 38.49% 21.94 0.066 73.37% 0.34 0.5436
1 Thematic 5042 38.98% 27.2 -1.627 66.84% -0.553 0.0562
2 Archipelago 25 32.0% 32.76 0.0 76.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10183 33.62% 21.7 -0.002 75.2% 0.2 0.2801
2 Coastline 910 32.67% 22.34 0.849 76.92% 0.799 0.7039
2 Fragment 218 36.28% 21.85 0.0 78.44%
2 Heart 155 54.25% 19.43 5.965 67.1% 0.182 -0.2787
2 Opposite Shores 1237 32.2% 23.16 2.34 82.54% 0.766 0.8979
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 1198 35.79% 27.01 -0.034 65.36% -0.483 -0.1239
2 Top to Top 228 33.92% 20.79 -8.61 75.88% -0.786 -0.8744
3 Archipelago 21 57.14% 27.43 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 30 33.33% 18.13 -7.708 53.33% -0.46 -0.632
3 Other 112 35.71% 18.98 6.302 66.96% 0.44 0.0543
3 Round (Default) 3466 29.06% 23.15 0.771 80.09% 0.44 0.4459
3 Sunrise 10 20.0% 25.2 0.0 90.0%
3 Thematic 294 35.71% 26.12 1.165 63.95% -0.55 -0.981
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 32.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Coastline 7 28.57% 13.86 0.0 42.86%
4 Leaf 8 25.0% 23.63 0.0 87.5%
4 Other 53 30.19% 16.7 0.0 62.26%
4 Thematic 813 29.38% 27.86 4.35 85.36% 0.909 0.7066
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1885 21.92% 20.87 -2.652 71.35% -0.713 -0.5235
5 Other 61 40.98% 26.48 0.0 72.13%
5 Thematic 11 36.36% 29.36 0.0 81.82%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 37.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 16 31.25% 18.88 0.0 62.5%
6 Star 8 0.0% 25.38 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 74 8.33% 22.46 2.255 52.7% -0.133 0.1151
6 Two Centers (Default) 114 20.18% 17.96 0.915 51.75% -0.408 0.7939
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 8 0.0% 26.25 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1452 17.98 -0.016 59.02% 0.331 0.4797
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1282 19.65 1.229 59.52% -0.017 -0.1299
All Things Weaken 770 17.78 -2.037 54.03% -0.532 -0.1574
Attenuated Essence 177 19.32 6.991 56.5% 0.613 0.738
Back Against the Wall 1267 18.93 -2.902 57.62% -0.848 -0.8067
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 120 18.67 -2.451 53.33% -0.396 -0.1906
Burn Brightest Before the End 85 19.79 4.933 57.65% 0.482 0.5264
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1462 15.65 -3.848 54.17% -0.989 -0.4909
Downward Spiral 5585 15.84 -1.407 58.35% -0.078 0.1717
Erosion of Will 1526 18.11 1.74 57.47% 0.234 0.4913
Intensifying Exploitation 146 18.25 2.295 54.79% 0.593 0.812
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 293 24.06 -4.403 85.32% -0.352 -0.7384
Memory Fades to Dust 5651 15.48 -1.667 54.79% -0.103 0.1018
Power Corrodes the Spirit 770 18.51 -1.006 60.26% -0.217 -0.0191
Promising Farmlands 1545 16.88 0.665 58.58% -0.229 0.1272
Shattered Fragments of Power 118 21.59 1.531 60.17% 0.403 0.6209
Slow Dissolution of Will 131 18.82 0.804 51.91% -0.156 0.2734
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 239 23.58 1.42 86.19% 0.132 -0.492
The Border of Life and Death 40 24.85 6.087 75.0% 0.508 0.1883
Thriving Communities 774 17.42 -1.226 56.07% -0.756 -0.4361
Thriving Crops 65 18.52 0.338 64.62% 0.702 0.5837
Tipping Point 504 16.8 0.0 60.52%
Unnatural Proliferation 757 19.5 -2.044 59.18% 0.044 0.134
Untended Land Crumbles 817 17.52 -3.641 57.16% -0.575 -0.3496

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 15718 36.7% 21.34 -0.71 73.48% -0.351 0.4488
B 15999 35.41% 21.65 -0.307 73.95% -0.23 0.5001
C 16323 34.69% 21.85 0.286 74.51% -0.075 0.5297
D 15599 34.59% 21.82 -0.539 74.89% -0.204 0.5527
E 5421 32.08% 22.56 0.141 73.01% -0.301 0.2839
F 7508 32.2% 22.64 0.014 75.65% -0.044 0.6583
G 6909 32.9% 22.21 0.614 75.05% 0.195 0.9525
H 7135 32.14% 22.78 -0.362 76.12% -0.367 0.2646
East 4825 35.31% 27.77 -1.456 69.99% -0.423 0.3607
Northeast 2920 34.05% 27.9 2.088 71.68% -0.002 0.7597
Northwest 2330 33.51% 27.56 3.237 72.32% 0.75 1.592
Southeast 771 31.47% 23.9 -0.183 62.78% -0.169 0.4701
Southwest 700 31.23% 20.4 -1.409 59.43% -0.38 0.6656
West 4245 36.43% 26.72 2.074 68.93% -0.108 0.6675

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 679 0.0% 19.39 -1.413 62.15% -0.107 0.767
Not Using Events or Tokens 17469 43.36% 19.28 -1.887 66.4% -0.153 0.2244
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1084 10.41% 33.47 1.402 88.47% 0.377 0.0852
Start of Game Growth 1565 13.85% 30.46 -0.607 84.92% -0.172 -0.7291
Unlimited Undo 3918 26.58% 24.8 -0.161 79.1% -0.352 -0.2887
Using Tokens but Not Events 5086 29.19% 24.07 1.757 79.98% 0.526 0.3993

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 12697 12.44 23.58%
II 24036 29.94 75.96%
III 22820 34.9 86.19%
IV 11201 38.84 99.15%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.038 Win Model: 0.225
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 50144 38.43% 22.38 72.26%
2 13770 34.19% 22.61 76.48%
3 3816 29.44% 23.38 79.25%
4 2757 24.53% 22.87 75.66%
5 74 18.92% 18.26 43.24%
6 192 16.93% 22.27 60.94%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2988
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 19109
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 17295
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10999
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7855
Lose: Invader deck ran out 930
Lose: Adversary condition 431
Win: Sacrifice victory 258
Lose: Scenario condition 603
Win: Scenario condition 1377
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8456
Lose: Spirit destroyed 453

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4604 24.83% 32.22 2.706 79.04% 0.32 0.2241
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 121 27.27% 24.63 -2.62 63.64% -0.534 -0.8594
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 14 42.86% 26.0 -0.472 78.57% -0.086 -0.3477
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 101 17.82% 29.16 3.37 82.18% 0.873 0.1524
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2599 49.71% 26.4 -1.016 73.87% -0.106 0.1929
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 157 26.11% 32.77 1.756 79.62% 0.5 -0.0891
Dances Up Earthquakes 142 33.1% 23.5 3.944 61.97% 0.504 0.6863
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2136 27.48% 29.14 -0.188 83.1% 0.044 -0.1351
Downpour Drenches the World 515 28.17% 22.23 -3.144 63.5% -0.476 -0.1172
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 537 21.52% 28.61 4.724 78.03% 0.796 0.3567
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2724 18.46% 32.73 2.657 89.21% 0.772 0.4223
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2542 21.34% 38.54 6.283 85.88% 0.988 0.588
Finder of Paths Unseen 320 35.11% 17.62 -5.239 41.56% -1.228 -0.1534
Fractured Days Split the Sky 642 31.87% 25.42 -9.031 61.68% -1.653 -1.1971
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 776 38.02% 24.52 -1.409 64.56% -0.613 -0.704
Heart of the Wildfire 2803 56.32% 25.93 -2.787 74.28% -0.191 0.2399
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4266 35.28% 29.91 0.331 85.0% -0.208 -0.6504
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 183 25.68% 27.57 3.56 69.95% 0.771 0.2618
Lightning's Swift Strike 3937 39.67% 27.36 -1.967 75.41% -0.524 -0.3607
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 657 10.65% 59.61 7.102 79.76% 0.932 0.2537
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 331 31.12% 29.75 1.228 79.76% 0.089 -0.2701
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 343 32.36% 28.66 -3.463 77.26% -0.608 -0.7545
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1416 35.76% 29.02 0.819 79.45% 0.061 -0.1159
Many Minds Move as One 1072 25.72% 28.06 -1.033 78.08% -0.036 -0.1702
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4247 38.55% 32.29 2.492 77.63% 0.217 0.1399
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 166 48.8% 24.11 1.094 68.07% 0.827 1.0183
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2470 28.26% 36.91 2.267 81.74% -0.318 -0.3769
River Surges in Sunlight 5207 37.27% 32.74 1.85 75.72% -0.239 -0.1942
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 74 35.14% 19.09 7.004 54.05% 0.507 0.7374
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 427 45.07% 25.96 5.04 65.11% -0.073 -0.0238
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 333 31.12% 28.25 4.166 67.27% 0.679 0.8459
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2153 37.1% 27.42 -3.119 78.31% -0.468 -0.6613
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 42 28.57% 21.76 -3.79 57.14% -0.576 -0.5905
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2707 54.65% 24.86 -0.333 67.42% 0.077 0.7014
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 85 41.77% 27.53 5.856 72.94% 0.711 0.7265
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 156 30.13% 29.97 1.086 77.56% 0.176 -0.2593
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 107 41.51% 24.23 0.466 67.29% 0.115 0.1373
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 314 37.26% 28.26 8.33 79.62% 0.561 0.4742
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 199 49.75% 28.01 -3.736 73.37% -0.437 -0.0286
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2701 31.09% 29.87 -0.69 81.56% -0.039 0.0182
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 11 18.18% 27.73 0.916 72.73% 0.076 -0.4279
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 234 19.05% 25.32 5.363 71.37% 0.672 0.6345
Shifting Memory of Ages 654 40.18% 21.88 -3.249 60.55% -0.446 -0.0834
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 97 26.8% 22.86 -0.064 59.79% 0.029 0.0118
Shroud of Silent Mist 713 49.65% 22.97 -7.567 66.76% -0.877 -0.3534
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 20 25.0% 25.25 0.599 75.0% 0.177 -0.163
Starlight Seeks its Form 816 30.92% 24.12 -3.774 67.16% -0.745 -0.9441
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1343 38.59% 24.26 -0.071 74.01% 0.401 -0.2143
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1801 35.66% 26.95 -0.591 75.96% 0.124 0.3573
Thunderspeaker 3872 32.4% 29.56 -1.559 77.66% -0.092 -0.1095
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 141 36.88% 22.13 2.007 56.74% 0.031 0.2311
Towering Roots of the Jungle 259 32.43% 21.24 0.987 63.71% 0.478 0.6446
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1011 64.35% 21.96 -1.238 65.18% 0.121 0.1707
Vital Strength of the Earth 3705 38.7% 24.01 -2.69 68.48% -0.311 0.1589
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 198 38.58% 21.1 0.579 55.05% 0.141 0.5508
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 298 34.23% 20.91 -5.958 58.72% -1.239 -0.5726
Volcano Looming High 981 43.56% 23.72 -1.956 67.89% -0.224 -0.2406
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 306 22.88% 27.98 -0.461 75.82% -0.351 -0.6306

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 30 26.67% 24.43 0.0 60.0%
Blitz 0 1061 41.76% 20.5 -3.329 57.02% -0.292 -0.0488
Dahan Insurrection 4 766 23.39% 46.42 6.745 75.85% 0.249 0.2623
Despicable Theft 2 213 37.09% 22.49 -10.207 45.54% -1.091 -0.3248
Elemental Invocation 1 309 43.04% 17.84 -6.73 43.37% -1.438 -0.6851
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2414 9.31% 39.03 3.834 74.48% -0.048 -0.6441
Powers Long Forgotten 1 599 45.91% 24.24 -0.933 55.09% -0.576 0.1714
Rituals of Terror 3 560 45.54% 31.5 5.515 58.93% 0.408 0.887
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 369 57.99% 28.47 -9.819 52.57% -0.981 -0.2935
Second Wave 0 2788 44.33% 29.02 0.569 74.68% 0.144 0.1392
The Great River 3 195 35.38% 24.08 -0.446 39.49% -0.6 0.5292
Varied Terrains 2 187 38.5% 17.63 -2.368 34.22% -0.493 0.2867
Ward the Shores 2 543 44.28% 28.71 -2.17 58.2% -0.39 0.4789

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 27434 39.88% 25.97 0.042 73.55% 0.082 0.2856
1 Thematic 4135 42.98% 29.91 -1.776 63.46% -0.718 -0.1094
2 Archipelago 22 54.55% 44.73 0.0 95.45%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6887 36.3% 26.96 0.499 77.99% 0.619 0.699
2 Coastline 727 41.43% 27.2 -0.177 78.54% 0.027 -0.0683
2 Fragment 190 47.62% 26.84 3.959 81.05% 0.667 0.6243
2 Heart 141 31.91% 27.84 -12.901 85.11% -0.753 -1.2135
2 Opposite Shores 1107 32.97% 27.95 -0.488 83.74% 0.154 0.2853
2 Thematic 1048 38.68% 29.69 -2.342 63.74% -0.467 -0.1087
2 Top to Top 211 40.1% 27.41 2.97 78.2% 0.243 0.154
3 Archipelago 20 30.0% 42.35 0.0 95.0%
3 Coastline 26 57.69% 33.81 2.821 69.23% 0.078 -0.0947
3 Other 89 39.77% 28.01 1.483 87.64% 0.535 0.1497
3 Round (Default) 2631 29.11% 28.43 -1.056 82.67% 0.001 0.0068
3 Sunrise 6 33.33% 28.83 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 211 36.02% 28.91 -1.356 60.66% -0.036 -0.4666
4 Archipelago 17 23.53% 33.94 -10.017 88.24% -0.732 -0.9727
4 Coastline 21 23.81% 20.76 0.0 38.1%
4 Leaf 9 33.33% 32.11 0.0 88.89%
4 Other 69 44.93% 26.75 -1.547 79.71% 0.085 -0.7586
4 Snake 1 0.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 352 43.02% 33.38 -0.56 78.69% -0.301 -0.5033
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1046 30.24% 28.12 -1.265 80.88% 0.447 0.6364
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 3 0.0% 21.67 0.0 33.33%
5 Other 63 31.75% 29.37 0.0 84.13%
5 Thematic 11 36.36% 26.64 0.0 54.55%
6 Archipelago 429 0.93% 74.14 7.506 84.15% -0.007 -0.66
6 Other 49 12.24% 62.88 0.0 87.76%
6 Star 10 0.0% 25.8 0.0 70.0%
6 Thematic 36 36.11% 21.5 0.36 50.0% 0.185 0.4329
6 Two Centers (Default) 78 20.51% 25.56 0.0 61.54%
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 3 0.0% 33.0 -7.124 66.67% -0.4 -0.2183

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1054 23.01 -2.699 60.91% -0.211 -0.062
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1005 24.03 3.385 62.69% 0.191 0.0779
All Things Weaken 605 22.01 -2.839 58.51% -0.516 -0.1412
Attenuated Essence 117 23.06 6.627 58.97% 0.893 1.0189
Back Against the Wall 933 23.51 0.946 61.09% 0.552 0.5933
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 138 20.64 -0.672 56.52% -0.496 -0.2903
Burn Brightest Before the End 82 22.72 -4.968 47.56% -0.683 -0.6386
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1141 20.46 2.004 59.25% 0.787 1.2851
Downward Spiral 3453 20.45 -1.818 59.83% -0.456 -0.2062
Erosion of Will 1130 21.9 -1.085 57.26% -0.177 0.0812
Intensifying Exploitation 116 20.35 -5.401 50.0% -1.104 -0.8846
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 215 28.13 0.629 87.44% 0.426 0.0398
Memory Fades to Dust 3553 19.75 -2.446 54.63% -0.569 -0.3635
Power Corrodes the Spirit 557 21.29 -4.722 58.17% -0.931 -0.7324
Promising Farmlands 1205 21.16 -2.2 59.34% -0.425 -0.0688
Shattered Fragments of Power 77 22.17 -2.282 57.14% -0.653 -0.436
Slow Dissolution of Will 107 20.4 0.075 51.4% -0.367 0.0626
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 150 29.37 5.321 92.0% 0.086 -0.5381
The Border of Life and Death 41 25.0 5.155 75.61% 0.882 0.562
Thriving Communities 581 20.26 -2.343 57.83% -0.075 0.2443
Thriving Crops 51 26.22 0.225 70.59% 0.146 0.0269
Tipping Point 365 21.32 0.0 59.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 620 22.41 -2.559 54.52% -0.556 -0.4661
Untended Land Crumbles 586 21.72 1.425 61.09% 0.326 0.5517

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10731 37.03% 28.39 1.083 75.97% 0.069 0.8685
B 11034 35.54% 28.89 1.962 77.39% 0.388 1.1186
C 11316 35.21% 28.97 1.73 77.89% 0.255 0.8589
D 10575 34.81% 28.93 0.51 77.5% 0.105 0.8618
E 3923 34.06% 27.07 0.627 75.68% 0.039 0.6232
F 5115 34.44% 27.25 -0.976 77.65% -0.384 0.3187
G 5043 33.92% 31.15 1.223 77.61% 0.06 0.8177
H 5135 31.08% 31.62 0.965 78.97% -0.337 0.2938
East 3658 41.23% 30.73 1.545 64.95% 0.257 1.041
Northeast 2086 42.71% 30.72 -0.686 65.24% -0.158 0.6036
Northwest 1604 41.01% 31.25 -3.141 69.76% -0.638 0.2039
Southeast 587 34.07% 25.13 3.667 56.56% 0.463 1.1022
Southwest 577 36.74% 21.42 -5.287 51.3% -1.191 -0.1452
West 3197 42.19% 29.46 -3.624 64.5% -0.59 0.1859

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 356 0.0% 24.56 5.787 69.66% 0.799 1.6726
Not Using Events or Tokens 9116 44.82% 23.52 -1.548 66.34% -0.217 0.1604
Skip Initial Invader Actions 629 10.0% 37.88 2.953 86.65% 0.655 0.3631
Start of Game Growth 877 12.59% 35.98 4.515 85.63% 0.327 -0.2295
Unlimited Undo 2837 30.36% 27.39 -0.783 76.59% -0.077 -0.0131
Using Tokens but Not Events 4068 27.83% 33.58 2.034 80.29% 0.103 -0.024

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8883 12.44 25.32%
II 16936 29.94 78.15%
III 15000 34.9 88.44%
IV 6301 38.84 99.16%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.624 Win Model: 0.073
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 31943 40.24% 26.4 71.84%
2 10112 36.92% 27.71 78.55%
3 2908 30.32% 28.7 82.05%
4 1487 33.11% 29.22 79.76%
5 73 24.66% 27.04 76.71%
6 597 6.37% 63.68 80.23%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2248
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12865
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 12432
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6196
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4819
Lose: Invader deck ran out 409
Lose: Adversary condition 195
Win: Sacrifice victory 147
Lose: Scenario condition 536
Win: Scenario condition 1110
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5906
Lose: Spirit destroyed 257

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5765 30.83% 30.81 0.375 78.01% 0.138 0.0414
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 265 27.31% 30.15 -5.561 70.57% -0.739 -1.0645
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 29 31.03% 32.1 2.77 72.41% 0.363 0.1018
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 126 23.39% 33.85 5.361 86.51% 1.527 0.8068
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3246 57.56% 28.49 -0.464 72.64% -0.155 0.1441
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 225 36.44% 34.21 7.598 74.22% 0.531 -0.0588
Dances Up Earthquakes 201 44.78% 27.53 0.733 67.16% 0.061 0.2424
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2688 34.64% 31.76 1.759 81.4% 0.74 0.5616
Downpour Drenches the World 751 34.36% 26.8 -1.523 66.05% 0.011 0.3703
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 970 26.19% 31.43 0.246 77.63% -0.005 -0.4444
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3447 24.69% 34.78 2.85 87.03% 0.58 0.231
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2654 31.08% 33.11 3.191 81.8% 0.652 0.2513
Finder of Paths Unseen 411 47.45% 20.18 -2.422 46.72% -0.42 0.6543
Fractured Days Split the Sky 904 40.49% 28.82 -2.435 61.17% -0.448 0.0072
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1199 45.15% 28.64 -3.351 70.56% -0.865 -0.9562
Heart of the Wildfire 3736 64.98% 25.89 -4.927 65.85% -1.28 -0.8487
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6307 39.24% 33.36 0.892 84.3% 0.128 -0.3143
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 338 28.66% 28.64 -1.405 67.75% -0.336 -0.845
Lightning's Swift Strike 4576 47.36% 28.12 0.453 69.73% 0.056 0.2192
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 320 46.06% 30.76 -0.06 68.13% -0.114 -0.7926
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 512 37.5% 32.17 6.942 80.08% 0.401 0.0421
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 491 37.96% 31.69 9.786 69.45% 1.276 1.1299
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2343 39.81% 31.99 3.846 77.68% 0.831 0.6537
Many Minds Move as One 1381 29.87% 31.53 -0.947 80.81% -0.189 -0.3231
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5396 50.96% 28.46 -1.831 70.03% -0.248 -0.3247
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 309 59.61% 24.36 -0.967 61.17% -0.228 -0.0365
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2635 37.4% 30.46 -1.649 78.79% -0.25 -0.3095
River Surges in Sunlight 5848 48.4% 30.62 0.64 70.81% 0.185 0.2297
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 142 40.85% 27.13 2.902 59.86% 0.346 0.5754
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 665 50.45% 30.38 3.911 68.42% 0.691 0.7405
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 448 42.4% 32.32 -3.942 69.87% -0.939 -0.7728
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3686 39.79% 31.39 0.664 80.66% 0.012 -0.1812
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 110 26.61% 26.97 -3.12 60.91% -0.561 -0.5753
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2966 65.36% 25.71 2.02 61.9% 0.835 1.459
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 107 53.27% 25.4 -4.318 57.94% -0.52 -0.5046
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 269 39.78% 31.89 3.744 70.63% 0.228 -0.2071
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 128 47.66% 27.83 -2.863 69.53% -0.697 -0.6739
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 387 48.19% 29.05 -1.668 74.16% 0.099 0.0118
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 295 59.66% 27.17 -5.481 66.78% -0.83 -0.4214
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3519 36.37% 32.03 -3.163 79.43% -0.597 -0.5393
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 19 44.44% 28.47 2.121 68.42% 0.483 -0.0205
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 346 25.97% 31.61 -0.244 68.5% 0.13 0.0932
Shifting Memory of Ages 941 51.34% 25.92 -1.631 62.06% -0.571 -0.2092
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 186 40.86% 27.53 2.215 62.37% 0.225 0.2081
Shroud of Silent Mist 1099 54.87% 25.51 -1.94 66.15% 0.053 0.5765
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 25 56.0% 33.6 5.531 80.0% 1.257 0.9164
Starlight Seeks its Form 1261 40.16% 28.0 -1.85 67.88% -0.17 -0.3684
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1987 43.96% 26.6 -0.324 72.02% 0.126 -0.4887
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2151 44.81% 28.26 -1.51 70.57% -0.626 -0.3933
Thunderspeaker 4963 41.29% 30.85 -2.853 74.15% -0.827 -0.844
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 223 33.63% 24.41 4.022 56.5% 0.361 0.5608
Towering Roots of the Jungle 374 39.84% 24.25 -3.756 63.64% -0.417 -0.2504
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1533 70.69% 24.83 0.012 65.82% -0.117 -0.0667
Vital Strength of the Earth 4260 43.22% 25.85 -4.232 64.3% -0.889 -0.4191
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 269 37.08% 26.21 2.169 62.45% 0.333 0.7426
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 428 40.89% 24.0 -1.317 58.64% -0.223 0.4441
Volcano Looming High 1666 46.74% 27.74 -0.831 70.65% -0.311 -0.3278
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 549 33.88% 32.76 5.772 79.6% 1.126 0.8457

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 44 34.09% 22.75 -10.396 54.55% -0.391 -0.4205
Blitz 0 1285 46.05% 23.26 -1.554 54.94% -0.428 -0.1851
Dahan Insurrection 4 790 30.88% 46.62 4.593 68.73% -0.442 -0.4287
Despicable Theft 2 231 46.32% 25.03 -0.123 47.19% -0.528 0.2385
Elemental Invocation 1 309 47.9% 23.46 -0.258 51.46% 0.09 0.8426
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2459 18.17% 33.09 3.673 67.39% 0.242 -0.3537
Powers Long Forgotten 1 536 54.66% 24.6 -0.184 46.64% -0.463 0.2848
Rituals of Terror 3 435 48.73% 32.1 -3.884 51.03% -1.306 -0.8279
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 261 60.92% 31.43 -9.986 50.57% -1.269 -0.5818
Second Wave 0 2401 52.69% 30.6 1.763 69.1% 0.201 0.1962
The Great River 3 175 50.86% 24.15 -9.836 37.14% -1.382 -0.2529
Varied Terrains 2 146 49.32% 18.22 -9.968 30.14% -0.342 0.4381
Ward the Shores 2 581 48.71% 30.43 -1.389 57.14% -0.267 0.6023

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 35093 47.36% 27.78 -0.308 70.28% -0.154 0.0505
1 Thematic 3772 52.15% 30.68 -1.419 59.46% -0.331 0.2778
2 Archipelago 21 71.43% 44.9 0.0 76.19%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9296 42.92% 29.12 0.394 75.17% -0.183 -0.1021
2 Coastline 1088 42.31% 30.35 1.11 77.02% 0.106 0.0109
2 Fragment 270 49.63% 29.45 -9.534 73.33% -0.424 -0.4664
2 Heart 143 44.68% 29.24 4.131 69.93% 0.523 0.0616
2 Opposite Shores 1647 41.95% 31.4 2.998 81.12% 0.999 1.1311
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 1401 49.68% 29.73 -0.613 58.89% 0.126 0.4845
2 Top to Top 313 44.84% 31.15 5.188 78.59% 0.826 0.7371
3 Archipelago 13 76.92% 40.0 0.0 76.92%
3 Coastline 32 40.63% 30.41 7.441 75.0% 0.205 0.0322
3 Other 157 36.77% 31.38 12.459 80.25% 0.589 0.2039
3 Round (Default) 3987 35.92% 31.05 -0.123 79.41% -0.411 -0.4055
3 Sunrise 28 42.86% 26.75 -5.091 67.86% -0.479 -1.0856
3 Thematic 298 47.14% 34.62 -12.585 69.13% -0.461 -0.8919
4 Archipelago 18 55.56% 43.44 0.0 83.33%
4 Coastline 12 83.33% 36.42 0.0 83.33%
4 Leaf 13 53.85% 32.69 6.9 76.92% 0.386 -0.6364
4 Other 81 34.18% 31.22 0.0 80.25%
4 Thematic 467 43.7% 36.42 0.0 74.73%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1730 33.22% 31.31 -1.423 82.83% -0.39 -0.2005
5 Archipelago 7 85.71% 33.71 0.0 42.86%
5 Coastline 1 100.0% 13.0 -1.702 0.0% -0.09 -0.7492
5 Other 88 40.91% 31.35 0.0 76.14%
5 Thematic 7 28.57% 16.57 0.0 28.57%
6 Archipelago 5 20.0% 63.4 0.0 80.0%
6 Coastline 3 0.0% 17.0 0.0 33.33%
6 Other 45 37.78% 30.29 0.0 57.78%
6 Star 25 28.0% 25.48 0.0 56.0%
6 Thematic 104 25.49% 47.51 10.793 75.0% 0.072 0.3202
6 Two Centers (Default) 141 27.94% 29.69 -2.705 60.28% -0.535 0.6669
7 Other 8 14.29% 38.75 16.928 50.0% 0.175 0.3567

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1834 25.38 -5.818 58.78% -1.273 -1.1247
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1535 27.47 3.054 62.61% 0.653 0.5399
All Things Weaken 983 24.73 -0.359 56.97% -0.743 -0.3682
Attenuated Essence 189 24.62 3.209 56.61% 0.531 0.6568
Back Against the Wall 1528 27.24 3.134 63.15% 0.407 0.4479
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 233 22.49 -1.426 55.36% 0.369 0.5744
Burn Brightest Before the End 153 28.39 1.359 66.67% 0.304 0.3489
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1730 22.85 -2.473 57.17% -0.236 0.2624
Downward Spiral 4719 23.25 0.989 59.69% 0.413 0.6634
Erosion of Will 1824 24.29 -2.892 55.98% -0.547 -0.2897
Intensifying Exploitation 232 23.05 2.146 50.86% 0.174 0.3929
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 414 32.0 -6.718 88.41% -0.685 -1.0714
Memory Fades to Dust 4714 22.65 0.829 54.82% 0.316 0.5211
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1052 24.85 -0.352 60.55% 0.03 0.2281
Promising Farmlands 1790 23.4 3.257 57.43% 0.67 1.0266
Shattered Fragments of Power 204 27.91 -4.795 60.29% -1.356 -1.1382
Slow Dissolution of Will 236 25.33 -1.074 55.51% -0.497 -0.0677
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 253 31.63 0.838 89.72% 0.118 -0.5061
The Border of Life and Death 76 30.13 0.625 80.26% 0.412 0.0924
Thriving Communities 966 23.96 -5.668 59.11% -1.377 -1.0577
Thriving Crops 89 27.73 9.052 69.66% 0.862 0.7431
Tipping Point 577 24.62 0.0 60.49%
Unnatural Proliferation 1007 25.73 2.079 58.99% 0.627 0.7169
Untended Land Crumbles 954 23.44 -1.445 56.92% -0.322 -0.0968

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 13892 43.51% 28.93 -0.423 73.9% -0.048 0.7514
B 14225 43.89% 29.0 -0.182 74.07% 0.053 0.7829
C 14710 42.19% 29.24 0.088 74.61% 0.098 0.7024
D 13598 44.38% 28.9 -1.253 74.08% -0.396 0.3606
E 5693 42.07% 29.3 1.198 73.41% 0.141 0.7259
F 7426 39.9% 29.99 2.382 75.65% 0.473 1.1757
G 6560 42.44% 29.67 0.192 75.37% -0.047 0.7107
H 6621 41.18% 29.67 0.057 74.57% -0.007 0.624
East 4027 47.96% 32.58 -1.316 63.47% -0.404 0.3793
Northeast 2251 47.37% 33.91 0.373 65.93% -0.131 0.6305
Northwest 1816 50.25% 32.85 0.844 63.0% 0.008 0.8501
Southeast 758 42.97% 30.81 2.554 60.82% -0.178 0.4615
Southwest 700 40.75% 29.34 1.348 59.86% -0.062 0.9835
West 3496 50.8% 31.36 0.547 61.21% -0.264 0.5118

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 339 0.0% 28.41 -2.713 70.21% -0.275 0.5992
Not Using Events or Tokens 10001 50.6% 24.97 -1.34 63.21% -0.156 0.2207
Skip Initial Invader Actions 814 17.2% 42.19 7.425 84.28% 0.408 0.1166
Start of Game Growth 1316 16.83% 40.58 7.933 82.98% 1.179 0.6226
Unlimited Undo 4628 38.28% 30.21 -2.581 74.94% -0.748 -0.6844
Using Tokens but Not Events 4758 37.48% 30.45 0.283 76.5% 0.118 -0.0096

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9048 12.44 6.37%
II 23015 29.94 71.92%
III 18680 34.9 88.49%
IV 9630 38.84 99.18%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.2 Win Model: 0.214
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 39251 47.78% 27.98 68.89%
2 13971 43.78% 29.83 75.18%
3 4450 36.46% 31.44 79.37%
4 2302 35.85% 32.55 81.45%
5 70 44.29% 28.63 64.29%
6 329 27.41% 35.71 64.13%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 575
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 16100
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 15778
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9478
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6153
Lose: Invader deck ran out 616
Lose: Adversary condition 249
Win: Sacrifice victory 245
Lose: Scenario condition 807
Win: Scenario condition 1032
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8924
Lose: Spirit destroyed 416

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5552 39.38% 36.89 -0.374 75.2% -0.204 -0.3001
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 278 39.57% 37.27 4.658 70.14% 0.832 0.5065
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 44 43.18% 32.84 1.003 65.91% 0.067 -0.195
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 271 33.58% 39.15 3.032 80.44% 0.659 -0.062
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3354 68.76% 32.69 -4.023 63.3% -0.505 -0.2064
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 330 40.91% 38.48 3.778 70.0% 0.667 0.0776
Dances Up Earthquakes 249 48.59% 30.63 0.395 57.83% -0.135 0.0465
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3053 36.23% 39.7 2.813 81.79% 0.588 0.4097
Downpour Drenches the World 911 42.81% 25.94 -2.089 50.49% -0.424 -0.0651
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1298 25.0% 37.5 3.88 75.19% 0.768 0.3287
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3282 40.01% 39.16 2.948 79.71% 0.719 0.37
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2854 42.19% 38.08 2.065 76.94% 0.295 -0.105
Finder of Paths Unseen 497 50.3% 28.92 3.169 53.52% 0.609 1.6831
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1290 37.71% 34.05 -4.133 59.07% -0.455 0.0004
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1740 45.31% 35.1 -1.993 70.06% -0.209 -0.2996
Heart of the Wildfire 4608 67.42% 32.85 -3.348 64.52% -0.747 -0.316
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7301 50.78% 39.86 0.532 79.11% 0.268 -0.1746
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 663 17.35% 21.54 2.073 42.23% 0.013 -0.4963
Lightning's Swift Strike 4792 53.4% 36.2 -0.519 70.28% -0.188 -0.0245
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 523 44.55% 31.29 6.088 60.61% 0.931 0.2521
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 784 39.0% 43.06 -1.467 86.1% -0.272 -0.6311
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 567 40.21% 32.93 -2.513 62.61% -0.092 -0.2387
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2855 47.0% 36.92 2.235 74.01% 0.696 0.519
Many Minds Move as One 1376 42.62% 37.61 -3.735 77.69% -0.274 -0.409
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5364 59.74% 32.71 -0.984 64.19% 0.013 -0.064
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 432 65.64% 24.29 -4.563 47.22% -1.136 -0.9449
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2772 40.26% 38.38 2.177 80.01% 0.507 0.4475
River Surges in Sunlight 5932 56.99% 37.76 -0.876 70.2% -0.346 -0.3018
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 128 53.91% 25.04 -1.183 42.19% -0.749 -0.5189
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1187 53.0% 30.94 1.11 58.55% 0.316 0.365
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 540 50.57% 34.03 0.837 59.26% -0.305 -0.1388
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3544 54.06% 35.19 -3.137 70.54% -0.623 -0.8169
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 139 43.88% 35.44 6.733 69.06% 1.024 1.0093
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2660 72.79% 32.15 -3.165 59.96% -0.461 0.1632
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 92 40.22% 25.29 -8.442 50.0% -0.436 -0.4205
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 314 53.18% 36.13 7.253 70.38% 1.097 0.6624
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 139 41.73% 26.03 -3.074 51.08% -0.369 -0.3465
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 487 48.05% 37.98 8.257 77.0% 0.589 0.5016
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 239 66.95% 33.46 -13.709 65.69% -0.467 -0.0587
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4124 39.49% 41.01 -1.61 80.8% -0.445 -0.3871
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 45 31.11% 33.36 -1.788 71.11% -0.152 -0.6559
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 379 40.63% 34.59 3.988 68.34% 0.738 0.7007
Shifting Memory of Ages 897 63.1% 30.4 -0.102 60.42% -0.184 0.1778
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 221 45.25% 31.87 -1.644 56.11% -0.44 -0.4572
Shroud of Silent Mist 1182 62.91% 29.26 -0.303 59.31% 0.152 0.6756
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 29 44.83% 37.34 2.273 72.41% 0.25 -0.0905
Starlight Seeks its Form 1604 47.13% 34.93 -1.4 69.14% -0.338 -0.5368
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2766 53.66% 31.35 -2.755 67.46% -0.263 -0.8778
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2493 47.98% 36.86 0.233 73.77% -0.049 0.1843
Thunderspeaker 4562 50.75% 37.28 -1.715 71.17% -0.544 -0.561
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 243 34.57% 16.46 0.445 32.51% 0.171 0.3715
Towering Roots of the Jungle 481 50.1% 25.46 -2.865 52.6% -0.548 -0.3813
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2010 80.4% 32.84 -0.748 68.81% 0.043 0.0933
Vital Strength of the Earth 3560 55.27% 30.23 -2.244 58.9% -0.624 -0.1538
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 389 39.74% 23.21 -1.516 45.5% -0.328 0.0817
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 519 48.74% 30.13 -9.903 59.92% -0.928 -0.2614
Volcano Looming High 1933 55.69% 35.12 0.343 71.08% 0.353 0.3362
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 858 31.59% 36.32 2.181 73.66% 0.625 0.3451

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 29 37.93% 21.38 0.0 44.83%
Blitz 0 884 53.47% 30.44 3.599 57.13% 0.619 0.8628
Dahan Insurrection 4 1168 21.23% 36.31 1.918 46.75% -0.505 -0.492
Despicable Theft 2 112 51.79% 30.12 1.876 44.64% -0.299 0.467
Elemental Invocation 1 227 64.76% 27.21 -15.207 40.97% -0.285 0.4675
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2520 23.77% 40.79 2.0 71.23% -0.052 -0.648
Powers Long Forgotten 1 311 70.74% 32.92 0.0 50.8%
Rituals of Terror 3 335 58.51% 34.64 3.212 44.48% -0.416 0.0624
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 115 60.0% 33.71 0.0 46.09%
Second Wave 0 1696 61.7% 34.68 1.939 61.44% 0.194 0.1894
The Great River 3 125 64.8% 33.04 0.0 43.2%
Varied Terrains 2 86 52.33% 25.41 2.607 38.37% 0.373 1.153
Ward the Shores 2 330 63.33% 35.95 2.118 52.42% -0.218 0.651

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 43094 55.19% 34.89 -1.75 69.07% -0.737 -0.5326
1 Thematic 2705 58.73% 37.57 -1.25 59.19% -0.697 -0.0878
2 Archipelago 39 66.67% 33.33 0.0 51.28%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9831 51.55% 35.83 1.225 73.27% 0.371 0.4516
2 Coastline 1137 52.13% 37.9 1.095 75.46% -0.046 -0.1411
2 Fragment 223 60.81% 36.24 2.209 72.65% 0.324 0.2808
2 Heart 147 62.07% 36.72 1.384 76.87% -0.018 -0.4794
2 Opposite Shores 1811 55.76% 37.01 0.766 75.15% 0.178 0.3097
2 Thematic 1022 54.65% 37.86 1.289 61.55% -0.286 0.0727
2 Top to Top 328 56.4% 35.1 4.564 69.21% 0.038 -0.0507
3 Archipelago 13 61.54% 44.38 0.0 69.23%
3 Coastline 49 36.73% 44.76 -18.784 89.8% -0.344 -0.5166
3 Other 158 45.57% 39.03 -6.464 81.01% -1.109 -1.4939
3 Round (Default) 3800 46.81% 37.53 3.205 76.47% 0.961 0.9661
3 Sunrise 17 41.18% 37.06 0.0 82.35%
3 Thematic 175 50.57% 38.97 3.763 64.0% -0.015 -0.446
4 Archipelago 12 66.67% 41.75 0.0 83.33%
4 Coastline 4 50.0% 40.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 9 88.89% 37.67 0.0 88.89%
4 Other 62 40.32% 39.29 0.0 82.26%
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 66.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 100.0% 30.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 302 41.28% 46.83 -0.331 70.53% -0.116 -0.3184
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1903 43.36% 39.45 0.299 81.35% 0.565 0.755
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 5 0.0% 45.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 95 55.79% 39.46 -7.864 78.95% -0.432 -0.5923
5 Thematic 13 30.77% 40.0 0.0 69.23%
6 Archipelago 29 20.69% 58.34 -13.19 79.31% -0.126 -0.7791
6 Coastline 2 50.0% 34.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 49 24.49% 32.94 0.0 61.22%
6 Star 18 22.22% 26.44 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 464 4.54% 4.22 -2.165 6.25% 0.179 0.4275
6 Two Centers (Default) 68 37.31% 33.44 -1.337 66.18% 0.051 1.2531
7 Other 5 60.0% 24.0 -10.112 40.0% -0.539 -0.3571

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2552 32.45 1.391 60.31% 0.377 0.5261
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2093 35.2 0.351 65.65% -0.151 -0.2635
All Things Weaken 1384 30.63 -1.285 55.64% -0.537 -0.1625
Attenuated Essence 317 30.3 -2.149 58.99% -0.28 -0.155
Back Against the Wall 1985 33.75 -1.322 61.46% -0.28 -0.2388
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 350 30.06 3.228 56.29% 0.197 0.4027
Burn Brightest Before the End 217 32.38 -2.487 60.37% -0.683 -0.638
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2489 29.1 -6.716 56.61% -1.247 -0.7492
Downward Spiral 5520 30.9 -0.41 61.79% 0.038 0.288
Erosion of Will 2519 31.05 -1.755 56.85% -0.27 -0.0122
Intensifying Exploitation 329 28.89 -4.115 54.41% -0.759 -0.5401
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 574 39.81 0.262 87.98% 0.321 -0.0653
Memory Fades to Dust 5480 29.78 -1.807 56.77% -0.463 -0.2578
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1494 32.29 -0.059 64.12% -0.14 0.0586
Promising Farmlands 2531 30.16 -1.98 58.36% -0.198 0.1586
Shattered Fragments of Power 214 33.73 -0.41 62.62% -0.191 0.0261
Slow Dissolution of Will 269 29.62 -0.702 52.04% 0.068 0.4976
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 388 40.65 1.692 89.69% 0.201 -0.4237
The Border of Life and Death 81 39.2 4.985 85.19% 0.719 0.3991
Thriving Communities 1456 29.69 1.066 57.9% 0.129 0.4482
Thriving Crops 128 34.03 0.4 72.66% 0.197 0.078
Tipping Point 816 30.56 0.0 56.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 1476 32.82 -3.469 61.86% -0.7 -0.6105
Untended Land Crumbles 1370 30.28 -2.057 57.96% -0.197 0.0279

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 15151 52.86% 35.51 0.054 71.2% -0.079 0.7207
B 15425 51.81% 36.1 1.015 72.41% 0.269 0.9991
C 16470 52.77% 36.14 0.662 72.43% 0.091 0.695
D 14748 52.78% 35.52 -1.68 71.39% -0.406 0.3505
E 6827 51.56% 36.54 1.866 74.06% 0.299 0.8834
F 8503 49.29% 36.94 -0.069 74.54% -0.08 0.6225
G 7183 52.94% 35.9 0.176 72.07% -0.002 0.7557
H 7672 50.33% 36.8 0.799 74.06% 0.092 0.7233
East 3211 48.05% 34.71 0.008 54.28% 0.134 0.9179
Northeast 1972 43.39% 31.67 -1.063 49.44% 0.385 1.1462
Northwest 1569 40.75% 29.14 -6.146 45.83% -0.877 -0.0348
Southeast 914 24.86% 22.41 0.933 37.09% -0.054 0.5851
Southwest 973 23.66% 20.18 0.997 34.53% -0.112 0.9338
West 2822 46.18% 32.51 0.435 51.45% -0.18 0.5961

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 251 0.0% 34.54 9.339 64.54% 0.677 1.5505
Not Using Events or Tokens 8324 59.59% 30.14 -1.311 59.31% 0.159 0.5356
Skip Initial Invader Actions 726 13.91% 53.03 -0.511 87.74% -0.612 -0.9035
Start of Game Growth 1114 19.21% 47.87 5.486 83.75% 1.188 0.6308
Unlimited Undo 5374 46.58% 36.77 -3.244 72.4% -0.686 -0.6223
Using Tokens but Not Events 4827 39.75% 34.88 -0.239 69.05% 0.066 -0.0614

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11241 12.44 6.91%
II 28415 29.94 72.11%
III 19279 34.9 89.71%
IV 8714 38.84 99.68%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.277 Win Model: -0.254
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 46100 55.35% 35.01 68.37%
2 14363 52.85% 36.45 73.17%
3 4186 46.4% 37.7 76.13%
4 2279 43.74% 40.44 80.12%
5 90 46.67% 38.61 76.67%
6 631 11.29% 12.81 21.71%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 775
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 16952
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 19716
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8616
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7216
Lose: Invader deck ran out 410
Lose: Adversary condition 225
Win: Sacrifice victory 292
Lose: Scenario condition 594
Win: Scenario condition 896
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11399
Lose: Spirit destroyed 558

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3552 48.92% 36.51 1.423 66.55% 0.468 0.3721
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 155 49.68% 37.9 11.032 70.32% 0.81 0.4844
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 29 51.72% 40.72 2.267 79.31% 0.249 -0.0128
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 166 46.99% 38.54 4.533 72.89% 0.786 0.0651
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1983 75.0% 31.87 2.738 53.05% 0.763 1.0613
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 274 52.92% 35.47 3.938 64.6% 0.165 -0.4244
Dances Up Earthquakes 172 69.19% 25.77 -5.384 46.51% -0.63 -0.4484
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2050 53.99% 38.69 3.136 72.68% 0.613 0.4341
Downpour Drenches the World 509 50.0% 25.24 -8.043 44.2% -0.827 -0.4675
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 832 37.38% 40.24 1.43 76.44% -0.08 -0.5196
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2050 51.49% 39.36 -1.045 72.05% 0.103 -0.2469
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1966 58.07% 38.5 -1.89 71.16% -0.308 -0.7088
Finder of Paths Unseen 314 57.96% 25.16 -1.294 43.63% -0.164 0.91
Fractured Days Split the Sky 671 52.76% 32.42 1.561 52.61% 0.174 0.6297
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1099 56.69% 36.11 5.512 66.15% 0.845 0.754
Heart of the Wildfire 2799 77.87% 31.6 -7.75 52.77% -1.265 -0.8337
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5684 61.66% 39.71 1.551 72.71% 0.246 -0.197
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 309 48.87% 36.3 2.731 65.7% -0.01 -0.5192
Lightning's Swift Strike 2880 64.03% 33.46 -3.557 57.12% -0.548 -0.3851
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 333 56.23% 37.76 8.841 66.07% 0.608 -0.0705
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 549 53.1% 41.22 1.275 77.6% 0.232 -0.1272
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 396 52.27% 37.23 1.31 62.63% -0.501 -0.6476
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2142 62.77% 37.29 -1.849 67.79% -0.401 -0.5781
Many Minds Move as One 844 50.59% 37.31 -2.005 71.21% -0.459 -0.5936
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3585 68.0% 33.23 1.224 57.15% 0.254 0.1768
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 272 75.74% 25.5 -0.647 45.22% 0.338 0.53
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1927 52.94% 38.2 -0.018 72.29% 0.112 0.0525
River Surges in Sunlight 3936 66.53% 36.81 -3.547 60.19% -0.621 -0.5764
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 56 67.86% 19.64 -5.047 26.79% -0.731 -0.501
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 336 69.64% 33.57 -8.46 53.27% -0.868 -0.8193
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 321 62.31% 33.32 -2.142 53.27% -0.306 -0.1393
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2242 65.71% 33.59 -0.438 59.32% -0.191 -0.3846
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 77 58.44% 30.75 -2.856 53.25% -0.287 -0.3011
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1527 74.18% 30.44 -1.342 47.28% 0.314 0.9385
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 67 67.16% 28.72 -18.086 49.25% -0.526 -0.5106
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 286 63.51% 35.75 -2.359 64.69% -0.189 -0.6244
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 71 64.79% 29.34 0.0 52.11%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 307 67.43% 38.2 -18.579 70.68% -0.59 -0.6773
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 183 74.86% 34.64 0.0 57.38%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2816 50.75% 39.76 -4.414 70.38% -0.618 -0.5608
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 27 70.37% 38.04 3.157 70.37% 0.423 -0.0813
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 194 56.19% 32.67 3.285 59.79% 0.415 0.3778
Shifting Memory of Ages 519 71.24% 28.04 6.98 46.24% 1.038 1.4005
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 133 46.62% 29.86 7.29 55.64% 0.51 0.4924
Shroud of Silent Mist 705 74.29% 28.77 0.396 49.5% 0.276 0.8001
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 30 76.67% 34.03 -1.244 63.33% -0.196 -0.536
Starlight Seeks its Form 1196 56.4% 31.86 6.096 56.44% 1.007 0.8082
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1635 68.39% 30.42 -5.048 57.68% -0.937 -1.5518
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1474 58.41% 36.81 -2.81 66.69% -0.562 -0.3288
Thunderspeaker 2795 61.63% 37.54 4.761 63.86% 0.733 0.7163
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 142 47.18% 21.39 1.874 33.1% 0.207 0.4073
Towering Roots of the Jungle 323 58.51% 25.02 -1.504 43.03% -0.045 0.122
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1550 82.45% 28.9 -4.148 51.48% -0.708 -0.6574
Vital Strength of the Earth 1917 68.45% 28.27 -6.1 43.3% -0.572 -0.1015
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 224 56.11% 27.61 2.122 44.2% 0.177 0.5863
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 307 63.84% 27.31 3.268 42.02% 0.645 1.3122
Volcano Looming High 1240 63.15% 34.37 6.123 62.1% 0.556 0.54
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 545 47.34% 37.55 0.841 71.56% 0.07 -0.2095

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 11 27.27% 20.09 -18.355 36.36% -0.603 -0.6322
Blitz 0 507 58.57% 32.55 -4.936 47.93% -0.604 -0.361
Dahan Insurrection 4 484 45.66% 55.22 2.326 67.36% -0.394 -0.3807
Despicable Theft 2 49 53.06% 30.24 0.0 38.78%
Elemental Invocation 1 147 67.35% 20.65 1.858 26.53% -0.015 0.7381
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1467 23.67% 41.43 -2.175 65.51% -0.696 -1.2921
Powers Long Forgotten 1 231 65.37% 28.43 -3.124 38.1% -0.084 0.6641
Rituals of Terror 3 189 66.14% 28.84 -12.807 28.57% -0.65 -0.1709
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 124 76.61% 33.37 -19.647 33.87% -0.704 -0.0163
Second Wave 0 1050 68.6% 34.56 -5.722 54.19% -0.791 -0.7956
The Great River 3 60 38.33% 25.38 0.0 30.0%
Varied Terrains 2 37 72.97% 19.7 -2.245 18.92% -0.216 0.5634
Ward the Shores 2 144 68.06% 33.02 0.0 38.89%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 29433 64.18% 33.81 -0.778 60.08% -0.261 -0.0575
1 Thematic 2031 63.45% 36.63 -0.242 49.29% -0.17 0.4392
2 Archipelago 13 61.54% 40.54 0.0 46.15%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6266 62.44% 35.65 -0.186 65.21% -0.138 -0.0575
2 Coastline 806 56.41% 38.36 2.395 72.08% 0.534 0.439
2 Fragment 154 64.94% 33.71 0.0 56.49%
2 Heart 123 70.25% 32.17 0.0 52.85%
2 Opposite Shores 1227 65.85% 35.15 1.449 64.06% 0.116 0.2474
2 Thematic 635 69.45% 35.29 -5.965 46.14% -0.86 -0.5013
2 Top to Top 192 71.73% 34.87 5.626 64.58% 0.102 0.0133
3 Archipelago 5 80.0% 54.8 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 18 50.0% 47.28 0.0 88.89%
3 Other 116 53.45% 37.84 6.418 67.24% 0.35 -0.0353
3 Round (Default) 2454 56.03% 37.91 2.85 69.03% 0.492 0.4981
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 32.86 0.0 57.14%
3 Thematic 173 62.43% 32.61 -8.715 44.51% -0.122 -0.553
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 16.33 0.0 33.33%
4 Coastline 5 20.0% 22.4 0.0 40.0%
4 Leaf 8 62.5% 36.75 0.0 75.0%
4 Other 65 47.69% 43.89 11.033 83.08% 0.275 -0.5678
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 50.0% 47.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 170 55.88% 36.41 6.931 45.88% 0.324 0.122
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1112 54.26% 35.73 -1.153 63.58% -0.845 -0.6554
5 Other 41 46.15% 29.78 -9.029 41.46% -0.284 -0.445
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 20.67 0.0 33.33%
6 Archipelago 10 0.0% 24.8 7.286 40.0% 0.184 -0.4689
6 Other 15 53.33% 36.53 0.0 46.67%
6 Star 18 33.33% 24.67 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 14 28.57% 24.29 0.0 35.71%
6 Two Centers (Default) 62 56.45% 33.47 0.0 64.52%
7 Other 1 0.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2091 31.91 0.486 50.5% -0.071 0.0776
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1594 34.92 6.945 56.59% 1.095 0.9825
All Things Weaken 1160 30.04 -4.577 47.24% -0.789 -0.4144
Attenuated Essence 255 32.53 -4.903 57.65% -0.74 -0.6146
Back Against the Wall 1597 34.16 -3.896 54.6% -1.174 -1.1327
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 268 27.76 1.017 46.27% -0.156 0.0494
Burn Brightest Before the End 195 32.3 1.996 51.79% 0.295 0.34
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2057 29.98 -4.075 51.48% -0.898 -0.3999
Downward Spiral 3968 30.42 1.281 52.55% 0.693 0.9427
Erosion of Will 2162 30.88 -2.499 47.96% -0.775 -0.5173
Intensifying Exploitation 273 28.83 -3.84 51.28% -0.579 -0.3602
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 374 43.26 4.227 89.84% 0.549 0.1627
Memory Fades to Dust 4043 29.35 -0.865 47.46% -0.216 -0.0108
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1149 30.43 2.673 52.05% 0.406 0.6043
Promising Farmlands 2131 29.93 3.199 48.94% 0.432 0.7881
Shattered Fragments of Power 189 32.33 -3.11 53.44% -0.818 -0.6004
Slow Dissolution of Will 276 25.34 -2.221 37.32% -0.688 -0.2584
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 229 43.14 -4.886 89.96% -0.189 -0.8138
The Border of Life and Death 59 37.25 11.621 77.97% 0.559 0.2394
Thriving Communities 1129 28.04 -3.895 45.08% -0.646 -0.3262
Thriving Crops 120 34.96 -4.857 70.83% -0.524 -0.6423
Tipping Point 662 31.51 0.0 50.0%
Unnatural Proliferation 1245 31.8 -2.59 50.6% -0.549 -0.4596
Untended Land Crumbles 1203 29.53 -0.829 48.05% -0.073 0.1523

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9894 62.59% 34.34 -0.116 60.99% -0.004 0.7958
B 10390 61.99% 34.95 0.324 62.57% 0.068 0.7988
C 10518 62.37% 35.24 0.76 63.05% 0.314 0.9183
D 9327 61.21% 35.04 1.529 63.16% 0.394 1.1505
E 4685 61.34% 34.74 -0.336 62.31% -0.188 0.3966
F 5577 60.19% 35.55 0.232 64.89% 0.026 0.728
G 4922 62.04% 34.7 0.379 62.6% 0.037 0.7941
H 5217 59.92% 36.42 0.005 66.4% 0.253 0.8837
East 1919 63.68% 36.86 -5.04 48.62% -0.764 0.0199
Northeast 1038 64.84% 36.68 0.78 48.07% 0.16 0.9213
Northwest 840 67.94% 34.06 -1.035 42.86% -0.059 0.7833
Southeast 322 58.07% 32.92 0.0 48.14%
Southwest 340 47.35% 32.15 -0.926 51.76% -0.01 1.0351
West 1735 63.9% 34.71 -2.857 46.17% -0.285 0.4903

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 144 0.0% 37.72 9.572 63.19% 0.248 1.1217
Not Using Events or Tokens 4971 65.58% 28.25 -3.949 48.34% -1.103 -0.7256
Skip Initial Invader Actions 597 17.41% 55.11 11.819 87.44% 0.441 0.1497
Start of Game Growth 1075 26.33% 45.63 -3.164 76.65% -0.256 -0.8123
Unlimited Undo 3545 55.78% 37.58 1.687 67.7% 0.128 0.1918
Using Tokens but Not Events 2446 55.26% 36.08 1.139 66.8% 0.211 0.0841

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8321 12.44 3.1%
II 16886 29.94 57.0%
III 15208 34.9 84.68%
IV 4791 38.84 99.65%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.402 Win Model: -0.004
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 31660 64.06% 33.95 59.26%
2 9341 63.62% 35.82 64.16%
3 2708 55.46% 38.05 69.17%
4 1345 53.7% 36.09 62.16%
5 35 42.42% 22.94 31.43%
6 117 45.3% 30.69 52.14%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 257
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12649
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9262
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4724
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4785
Lose: Invader deck ran out 396
Lose: Adversary condition 133
Win: Sacrifice victory 196
Lose: Scenario condition 443
Win: Scenario condition 447
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11492
Lose: Spirit destroyed 422

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1689 50.57% 38.25 -2.711 61.34% -0.537 -0.6334
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 102 41.05% 41.91 -0.546 67.65% 0.052 -0.2735
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 18 77.78% 37.39 -0.871 55.56% -0.773 -1.0347
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 107 40.19% 44.5 5.62 77.57% 1.126 0.4051
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 931 74.09% 31.35 -6.782 44.25% -0.625 -0.3262
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 140 51.43% 36.88 1.575 62.14% -0.121 -0.7104
Dances Up Earthquakes 80 73.75% 28.91 0.572 47.5% 0.07 0.2513
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 876 55.03% 40.98 0.502 68.95% 0.545 0.366
Downpour Drenches the World 264 47.35% 25.34 5.38 38.64% 0.167 0.5261
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 366 41.8% 42.34 10.173 73.77% 1.242 0.8027
Eyes Watch From the Trees 941 57.69% 38.71 -2.454 62.27% -0.217 -0.566
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 911 60.26% 38.18 4.127 58.84% 0.785 0.3842
Finder of Paths Unseen 256 53.13% 29.84 -7.217 50.39% -0.977 0.0972
Fractured Days Split the Sky 281 47.33% 33.19 -0.01 48.4% -0.45 0.0055
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 509 53.83% 38.72 6.942 64.83% 0.892 0.8012
Heart of the Wildfire 1403 74.96% 32.91 -0.397 48.4% 0.214 0.6456
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2513 63.72% 39.25 0.825 61.96% -0.075 -0.5173
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 268 26.49% 49.32 2.904 82.46% 0.142 -0.3672
Lightning's Swift Strike 1398 65.85% 34.83 2.064 50.14% 0.711 0.8743
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 217 76.7% 35.77 -1.004 41.01% -0.115 -0.7939
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 281 48.04% 43.47 6.108 74.38% 0.4 0.0407
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 198 57.58% 40.26 -3.412 61.11% -0.511 -0.6573
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 954 68.24% 36.17 -3.368 54.82% -0.297 -0.4741
Many Minds Move as One 373 52.01% 39.51 4.907 66.49% 0.591 0.4562
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1594 68.6% 34.79 -3.565 51.88% -0.369 -0.446
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 132 74.24% 25.04 1.12 38.64% 0.264 0.4552
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 917 54.8% 39.68 1.41 67.18% 0.454 0.3947
River Surges in Sunlight 1728 67.43% 36.47 -4.308 50.69% -0.547 -0.502
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 35 48.57% 30.66 0.427 48.57% -0.148 0.0815
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 131 69.47% 30.73 0.0 43.51%
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 201 64.68% 33.72 5.806 37.31% 0.317 0.4838
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1026 65.62% 34.45 -5.393 51.75% -0.748 -0.9412
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 39 51.28% 30.08 0.361 46.15% -0.176 -0.1908
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 734 73.43% 30.18 -1.308 38.28% -0.133 0.4914
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 44 62.79% 21.68 0.0 29.55%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 125 73.6% 33.76 -18.712 52.8% -0.46 -0.8949
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 33 51.52% 28.64 0.0 45.45%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 112 62.5% 37.98 0.0 60.71%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 75 74.67% 25.92 6.326 32.0% 0.189 0.5973
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1605 45.86% 44.39 7.286 71.34% 1.52 1.5775
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 17 88.24% 39.41 5.227 64.71% 0.879 0.3756
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 97 47.42% 31.14 8.842 46.39% 0.843 0.8064
Shifting Memory of Ages 252 67.86% 28.22 1.992 40.08% -0.016 0.3457
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 69 58.82% 41.33 -2.906 72.46% -0.533 -0.5502
Shroud of Silent Mist 350 77.43% 25.58 -6.936 32.0% -0.638 -0.1147
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 16 75.0% 34.69 -0.092 56.25% -0.024 -0.364
Starlight Seeks its Form 440 53.18% 32.69 3.933 54.77% 0.711 0.5119
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 627 73.05% 26.94 -4.417 43.38% -0.457 -1.0716
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 755 64.1% 36.89 -2.329 54.97% -0.519 -0.2863
Thunderspeaker 1558 57.03% 37.22 0.74 56.03% -0.468 -0.4854
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 69 47.83% 15.99 -0.9 21.74% 0.106 0.3066
Towering Roots of the Jungle 139 58.27% 23.17 7.108 34.53% 0.471 0.6379
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 823 83.33% 29.74 -2.39 46.17% -0.378 -0.328
Vital Strength of the Earth 955 66.46% 29.39 -3.703 38.64% -0.889 -0.4184
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 126 60.0% 29.63 1.054 42.06% -0.318 0.0915
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 154 65.58% 33.53 3.053 51.3% -0.177 0.4898
Volcano Looming High 588 63.95% 34.89 0.602 54.93% 0.169 0.153
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 278 50.0% 35.48 -3.384 60.79% -0.404 -0.6842

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 10 10.0% 30.5 0.0 40.0%
Blitz 0 339 59.04% 24.55 -2.228 32.15% -0.142 0.1015
Dahan Insurrection 4 266 48.5% 49.2 6.064 51.88% 0.045 0.059
Despicable Theft 2 50 50.0% 25.8 -9.263 30.0% -0.183 0.5834
Elemental Invocation 1 65 58.46% 23.08 0.0 23.08%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1094 24.17% 46.83 1.852 70.02% 0.286 -0.3104
Powers Long Forgotten 1 93 73.12% 29.27 -8.003 34.41% -0.596 0.1514
Rituals of Terror 3 166 58.43% 29.37 -10.986 25.9% -0.072 0.4067
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 83 65.06% 37.31 0.0 39.76%
Second Wave 0 414 67.66% 36.63 -3.298 51.21% -0.4 -0.4048
The Great River 3 53 49.06% 24.43 0.0 20.75%
Varied Terrains 2 39 64.1% 23.03 0.0 28.21%
Ward the Shores 2 99 62.63% 29.17 0.0 30.3%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 13889 65.12% 33.55 -1.997 51.11% 0.08 0.2837
1 Thematic 1323 59.86% 37.54 -7.883 45.35% -1.015 -0.4065
2 Archipelago 5 40.0% 19.8 0.0 20.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3207 64.55% 36.59 2.944 58.34% 0.534 0.6146
2 Coastline 319 63.09% 39.12 -1.275 63.32% -0.094 -0.189
2 Fragment 85 77.38% 32.56 0.0 45.88%
2 Heart 48 72.92% 37.4 8.563 58.33% 0.608 0.147
2 Opposite Shores 466 65.59% 37.89 2.324 60.3% 0.582 0.7136
2 Thematic 270 69.26% 34.92 3.776 39.26% 0.038 0.3964
2 Top to Top 105 59.05% 34.42 -6.808 48.57% -0.561 -0.6498
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 24 70.83% 49.42 0.0 75.0%
3 Other 40 72.5% 37.88 0.0 55.0%
3 Round (Default) 1098 56.68% 38.34 2.179 62.57% 0.273 0.2785
3 Sunrise 7 71.43% 40.14 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 86 67.44% 26.27 -6.432 25.58% -0.455 -0.8859
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 19.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 33.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 25 28.0% 53.4 6.25 92.0% 0.271 -0.5724
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 90 52.22% 40.04 8.362 46.67% 0.409 0.2066
4 Trapezoid (Default) 545 41.88% 43.01 1.53 69.54% -0.738 -0.5478
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 22 59.09% 29.14 0.0 45.45%
5 Thematic 8 37.5% 9.5 0.0 12.5%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 4 50.0% 28.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 5 0.0% 46.2 0.0 60.0%
6 Thematic 4 50.0% 37.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 19 47.37% 28.58 8.959 42.11% 0.052 1.2536
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1045 33.23 2.254 44.88% 0.343 0.4914
Aid From Lesser Spirits 780 35.2 1.496 47.31% -0.496 -0.609
All Things Weaken 577 30.69 2.405 39.34% 0.212 0.5866
Attenuated Essence 159 30.23 -2.07 45.28% -0.721 -0.5959
Back Against the Wall 716 35.41 -0.927 48.74% -0.77 -0.7293
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 142 32.57 0.724 50.0% 0.275 0.4804
Burn Brightest Before the End 97 31.28 2.816 39.18% 0.174 0.219
Disintegrating Ecosystem 978 29.72 -6.134 41.31% -0.598 -0.0998
Downward Spiral 2063 30.48 0.931 42.7% 0.567 0.8169
Erosion of Will 980 29.3 -5.192 35.1% -0.735 -0.4769
Intensifying Exploitation 138 25.31 -5.015 36.96% -0.745 -0.5261
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 116 45.62 1.596 83.62% 0.074 -0.3117
Memory Fades to Dust 2053 29.24 -2.096 38.58% 0.039 0.2438
Power Corrodes the Spirit 544 29.23 -3.396 39.71% -1.039 -0.8413
Promising Farmlands 991 29.13 0.138 37.34% 0.058 0.4142
Shattered Fragments of Power 101 33.29 2.795 50.5% 0.153 0.3708
Slow Dissolution of Will 123 21.85 -6.198 26.02% -0.679 -0.2493
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 90 44.1 10.59 85.56% 0.314 -0.3103
The Border of Life and Death 16 32.94 0.0 62.5%
Thriving Communities 557 26.87 1.746 34.11% 0.336 0.6554
Thriving Crops 41 32.12 0.0 60.98%
Tipping Point 324 29.92 0.0 36.11%
Unnatural Proliferation 582 32.31 0.53 43.64% -0.235 -0.1451
Untended Land Crumbles 562 31.06 -3.987 42.7% -0.757 -0.5322

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4628 62.11% 35.61 -0.64 55.29% -0.192 0.6076
B 4934 61.08% 35.68 0.147 55.03% -0.276 0.4546
C 5013 63.56% 35.84 1.487 55.79% 0.413 1.0176
D 4424 62.15% 35.6 -0.646 55.65% 0.24 0.9967
E 2210 61.82% 36.37 4.678 58.78% 0.991 1.5756
F 2600 60.6% 36.01 0.712 56.88% 0.004 0.7067
G 2289 60.52% 36.5 -0.359 58.63% -0.209 0.5478
H 2460 62.18% 36.5 3.154 57.56% 0.511 1.1419
East 1112 62.23% 36.55 7.282 41.28% 0.138 0.922
Northeast 605 62.15% 35.4 1.222 39.5% 0.029 0.791
Northwest 437 63.16% 34.41 -1.385 39.36% -0.106 0.7363
Southeast 199 54.77% 36.36 0.0 48.74%
Southwest 188 54.79% 27.66 -7.407 35.64% -0.466 0.5791
West 929 61.36% 35.1 0.926 41.12% -0.265 0.5111

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 75 0.0% 42.85 2.018 68.0% 0.031 0.905
Not Using Events or Tokens 2575 64.75% 29.79 -6.805 43.96% -1.276 -0.8991
Skip Initial Invader Actions 298 15.0% 58.45 11.064 90.94% 0.456 0.1647
Start of Game Growth 558 25.46% 47.85 2.659 76.7% -0.023 -0.5797
Unlimited Undo 2022 59.38% 38.18 2.444 62.17% 0.275 0.3385
Using Tokens but Not Events 1204 59.1% 34.03 5.447 53.32% 0.726 0.5984

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6082 12.44 6.92%
II 7454 29.94 54.27%
III 6034 34.9 81.39%
IV 2146 38.84 99.58%

Number of Players

Score Model: 1.282 Win Model: 0.759
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 15291 64.61% 33.86 50.55%
2 4466 65.29% 36.81 57.5%
3 1235 57.78% 37.83 60.57%
4 662 42.79% 42.86 67.07%
5 28 57.14% 21.89 32.14%
6 34 38.24% 30.41 44.12%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 420
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4798
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3893
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2114
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2720
Lose: Invader deck ran out 164
Lose: Adversary condition 66
Win: Sacrifice victory 77
Lose: Scenario condition 308
Win: Scenario condition 212
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6689
Lose: Spirit destroyed 255

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 10435 46.3% 43.13 -0.363 62.96% 0.093 -0.0031
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 887 40.45% 37.0 2.496 53.89% 0.252 -0.0733
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 106 33.96% 36.18 1.821 57.55% 0.354 0.0927
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 827 42.86% 42.92 4.751 69.04% 0.867 0.146
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5049 76.22% 33.7 -5.583 44.42% -0.692 -0.3936
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 1644 63.58% 39.78 3.498 58.15% 0.713 0.1234
Dances Up Earthquakes 672 67.26% 27.08 -2.3 38.99% -0.459 -0.2767
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5085 53.02% 43.39 -3.096 67.35% -0.411 -0.5897
Downpour Drenches the World 1774 51.16% 30.34 -0.229 40.98% 0.138 0.4974
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 3797 38.62% 46.97 4.318 74.61% 0.794 0.3549
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5544 50.91% 39.95 -2.425 60.35% -0.249 -0.5985
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4478 61.37% 41.47 -4.087 60.54% -0.731 -1.1311
Finder of Paths Unseen 1638 54.56% 36.8 -1.168 54.46% 0.008 1.082
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3280 49.59% 41.79 -2.398 55.58% -0.486 -0.0305
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 4315 58.28% 43.43 2.461 64.43% 0.471 0.3804
Heart of the Wildfire 8179 69.68% 37.49 -3.832 51.28% -0.299 0.1318
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 15252 58.65% 43.67 -0.291 64.55% 0.277 -0.1659
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 992 54.33% 36.18 6.071 53.33% 0.87 0.3607
Lightning's Swift Strike 6936 63.46% 36.79 -2.546 50.32% -0.406 -0.243
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 2303 66.22% 41.66 2.289 54.28% 0.514 -0.1644
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 3002 53.76% 47.37 6.35 74.35% 1.206 0.8473
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1918 52.29% 46.75 -1.705 64.49% -0.033 -0.1792
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5879 61.46% 40.6 -1.483 59.24% -0.05 -0.2275
Many Minds Move as One 2426 47.83% 44.24 1.958 70.45% 0.526 0.3911
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9657 64.82% 35.56 -4.675 46.28% -0.484 -0.5607
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 952 71.08% 24.01 -3.273 32.04% -0.567 -0.3751
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5378 51.23% 45.02 1.743 71.49% 0.474 0.4148
River Surges in Sunlight 9068 62.13% 42.85 -3.327 56.59% -0.211 -0.1668
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 210 57.62% 29.55 -10.582 38.1% -0.932 -0.7018
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 800 65.08% 32.85 3.864 38.75% -0.039 0.0096
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1576 60.14% 36.63 -0.577 45.11% -0.178 -0.0113
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7640 55.7% 38.98 -3.203 55.73% -0.326 -0.5196
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 316 54.75% 36.33 -1.461 53.48% -0.419 -0.4335
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2545 71.89% 32.13 -4.006 37.92% -0.602 0.0226
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 250 74.0% 28.74 8.243 36.4% 0.54 0.5551
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 1157 67.88% 33.99 2.095 48.66% 0.06 -0.3747
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 220 69.55% 34.35 -2.828 45.91% -0.004 0.0185
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 1293 63.42% 41.41 6.088 57.7% 0.427 0.3402
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 578 69.38% 36.24 4.675 45.16% 0.654 1.0632
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6175 49.46% 45.17 -0.358 67.27% 0.033 0.0903
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 133 69.92% 33.2 -0.842 50.38% -0.044 -0.5477
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 968 51.45% 31.97 -3.836 47.11% -0.793 -0.8296
Shifting Memory of Ages 1681 69.61% 32.42 -9.006 39.74% -0.757 -0.3953
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 494 50.51% 33.78 -3.72 44.53% -0.749 -0.7662
Shroud of Silent Mist 1761 74.97% 29.49 -0.755 39.64% 0.307 0.8311
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 137 62.77% 29.2 -1.367 43.8% 0.001 -0.3397
Starlight Seeks its Form 4709 55.93% 39.29 1.543 57.51% 0.5 0.3012
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6199 68.24% 32.08 -3.449 44.28% -0.438 -1.0534
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4564 57.7% 42.46 0.908 62.71% 0.539 0.7724
Thunderspeaker 5533 62.58% 37.9 -5.636 51.58% -0.579 -0.5966
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 402 54.73% 22.36 1.373 31.09% 0.087 0.2872
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1330 60.53% 23.83 -6.849 34.36% -0.693 -0.5261
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 5750 81.72% 37.13 -2.006 54.56% -0.131 -0.0806
Vital Strength of the Earth 3542 60.26% 30.9 -4.575 38.54% -0.78 -0.3101
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 871 53.63% 32.44 0.561 44.78% 0.203 0.6126
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 1067 64.67% 31.56 2.958 39.74% 0.342 1.0086
Volcano Looming High 5186 61.82% 41.31 2.186 62.17% 0.496 0.4798
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 2059 53.91% 38.89 5.987 59.83% 1.203 0.9232

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 43 74.42% 40.93 0.0 41.86%
Blitz 0 922 54.67% 38.53 1.504 49.57% 0.353 0.5962
Dahan Insurrection 4 1278 44.31% 54.66 -5.721 55.79% -0.869 -0.8552
Despicable Theft 2 94 60.64% 28.27 7.108 27.66% 0.173 0.9394
Elemental Invocation 1 176 68.0% 28.59 -9.588 28.98% -0.363 0.3903
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 10113 23.16% 52.81 10.04 71.94% 1.565 0.9692
Powers Long Forgotten 1 233 63.64% 28.48 -13.945 26.61% -0.272 0.4753
Rituals of Terror 3 466 46.35% 31.2 17.465 21.24% 0.427 0.9051
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 106 79.25% 33.76 -16.429 28.3% -0.208 0.4795
Second Wave 0 1016 76.85% 35.78 -4.024 45.37% -0.498 -0.5019
The Great River 3 124 44.35% 20.83 -7.289 12.1% -0.962 0.1677
Varied Terrains 2 162 61.11% 22.08 0.0 19.14%
Ward the Shores 2 278 71.84% 32.37 -2.0 29.14% -0.547 0.3222

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 99607 63.57% 37.36 -0.094 53.96% -0.218 -0.014
1 Thematic 3493 51.97% 42.05 0.693 49.33% -0.859 -0.2503
2 Archipelago 73 62.5% 31.99 11.888 31.51% 0.142 0.3121
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13386 63.9% 40.0 2.187 59.02% 0.24 0.32
2 Coastline 2005 61.45% 40.5 1.095 59.45% 0.185 0.0902
2 Fragment 361 68.42% 43.08 0.528 65.37% 0.434 0.3908
2 Heart 249 78.31% 41.3 12.778 49.8% 0.831 0.3695
2 Opposite Shores 3188 59.74% 37.34 -0.868 51.29% -0.192 -0.0601
2 Thematic 702 64.23% 40.29 -8.513 39.32% -0.846 -0.4869
2 Top to Top 617 63.36% 39.11 5.78 56.24% 1.078 0.9888
3 Archipelago 20 60.0% 68.6 0.0 85.0%
3 Coastline 100 33.0% 48.97 0.0 74.0%
3 Other 145 66.9% 43.32 3.562 64.83% 0.807 0.4221
3 Round (Default) 5411 54.68% 41.08 -2.943 60.54% -0.845 -0.8398
3 Sunrise 30 66.67% 44.03 0.0 60.0%
3 Thematic 183 65.92% 44.85 0.075 42.62% -0.539 -0.9699
4 Archipelago 16 37.5% 57.94 0.0 56.25%
4 Coastline 28 10.71% 53.5 0.0 82.14%
4 Leaf 13 76.92% 17.77 0.0 15.38%
4 Other 254 34.25% 52.77 0.0 83.86%
4 Thematic 1301 31.9% 60.4 6.179 76.33% 0.338 0.1358
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4043 44.74% 38.13 -1.986 55.21% -0.435 -0.2456
5 Archipelago 17 64.71% 28.94 0.0 23.53%
5 Coastline 36 5.56% 49.25 0.0 77.78%
5 Other 151 59.59% 49.75 2.428 78.15% 0.089 -0.0716
5 Thematic 27 40.74% 39.93 14.288 51.85% 0.174 0.5123
6 Archipelago 22 4.55% 54.23 -9.1 68.18% -0.577 -1.2301
6 Coastline 15 13.33% 41.8 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 57 32.14% 38.67 -4.067 52.63% -0.168 -0.2066
6 Star 53 24.53% 34.55 -9.842 41.51% -0.698 -0.2322
6 Thematic 564 69.98% 51.65 4.302 70.57% -0.006 0.2422
6 Two Centers (Default) 201 31.66% 38.29 2.24 52.74% 0.143 1.345
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 6177 34.52 -1.736 43.52% -0.622 -0.4739
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4863 39.09 1.733 51.66% -0.138 -0.251
All Things Weaken 4097 34.21 -2.184 43.3% -0.68 -0.3052
Attenuated Essence 1228 32.14 0.722 44.22% 0.003 0.1281
Back Against the Wall 4538 38.32 1.023 49.56% 0.062 0.103
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1264 29.82 -0.909 40.27% -0.406 -0.2005
Burn Brightest Before the End 733 34.31 2.799 45.98% 0.031 0.0762
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6184 32.2 -2.248 43.34% -0.552 -0.0542
Downward Spiral 9620 32.5 -0.295 43.69% -0.095 0.1555
Erosion of Will 6149 33.2 -2.457 40.69% -0.518 -0.2607
Intensifying Exploitation 1195 28.09 -2.658 37.57% -0.43 -0.211
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1044 47.42 10.729 81.03% 1.835 1.4488
Memory Fades to Dust 9674 31.89 0.981 39.59% 0.047 0.2525
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4064 33.68 -2.429 44.51% -0.76 -0.5623
Promising Farmlands 6066 32.55 -1.605 42.19% -0.257 0.099
Shattered Fragments of Power 787 34.97 1.33 45.62% -0.218 -0.0005
Slow Dissolution of Will 1175 29.35 -0.782 36.09% -0.531 -0.1016
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 709 49.99 2.52 86.04% 0.117 -0.5076
The Border of Life and Death 208 40.78 1.237 67.31% 0.108 -0.2121
Thriving Communities 3940 32.12 -2.345 42.18% -0.392 -0.0723
Thriving Crops 380 34.2 4.821 56.84% 0.893 0.7742
Tipping Point 1597 32.82 0.0 40.08%
Unnatural Proliferation 4298 36.13 -0.733 46.3% -0.238 -0.1486
Untended Land Crumbles 3914 33.18 -0.966 43.08% -0.357 -0.1322

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 27882 59.33% 38.15 -0.401 54.9% -0.454 0.345
B 28183 59.55% 37.52 -0.509 53.85% -0.552 0.1781
C 30453 62.91% 37.65 -1.094 53.71% -0.598 0.006
D 25357 61.98% 37.45 -0.424 53.72% -0.454 0.3025
E 15906 60.86% 39.03 -1.426 57.21% -0.794 -0.2092
F 17852 56.81% 41.02 0.137 61.14% -0.369 0.3337
G 15571 58.67% 39.53 0.634 58.19% -0.413 0.3448
H 15846 59.64% 39.21 0.687 57.99% -0.356 0.2752
East 4423 49.67% 49.79 0.975 59.51% -0.488 0.2953
Northeast 2946 49.08% 51.54 1.689 61.61% -0.048 0.7133
Northwest 2625 50.19% 48.2 -0.863 58.4% -0.821 0.021
Southeast 1258 55.21% 50.01 -1.483 66.22% -0.778 -0.1387
Southwest 1219 59.13% 48.16 3.633 64.89% 0.289 1.3347
West 4065 50.32% 47.86 4.461 57.71% -0.135 0.6411

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 764 0.0% 36.9 -15.264 53.93% -0.618 0.2553
Not Using Events or Tokens 8722 65.8% 29.35 -4.154 38.55% -0.376 0.0014
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3794 18.63% 61.55 6.998 83.16% 0.395 0.1033
Start of Game Growth 5204 21.26% 58.71 8.288 81.01% 1.121 0.564
Unlimited Undo 14424 48.85% 44.06 1.713 66.63% 0.362 0.4255
Using Tokens but Not Events 6705 52.69% 39.4 -3.033 55.59% -0.608 -0.7348

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 39140 12.44 7.08%
II 42915 29.94 57.29%
III 42258 34.9 84.19%
IV 12132 38.84 99.79%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.025 Win Model: 0.407
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 103583 63.18% 37.55 53.81%
2 20296 63.23% 39.74 57.2%
3 5833 54.9% 41.24 60.4%
4 5641 41.17% 43.89 61.28%
5 171 46.11% 46.03 69.59%
6 921 54.31% 47.06 64.28%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2764
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 34955
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 23765
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 11973
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 19107
Lose: Invader deck ran out 957
Lose: Adversary condition 677
Win: Sacrifice victory 643
Lose: Scenario condition 2057
Win: Scenario condition 936
Lose: Unique spirit condition 1
Lose: Blight pool ran out 36983
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1627

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-10-18 23:57:56 (Pacific Time)