The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4292 27.46% 24.9 0.058 87.16% -0.147 -0.2818
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2972 49.46% 23.54 -0.869 81.86% 0.257 0.3025
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2032 26.3% 26.31 -0.063 92.13% 0.792 0.6716
Downpour Drenches the World 71 23.94% 26.42 0.49 85.92% 0.166 0.5148
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2375 17.04% 28.52 0.262 93.98% 0.083 -0.3376
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2092 23.74% 27.46 0.611 93.64% 0.582 0.0197
Finder of Paths Unseen 24 45.83% 28.79 -0.542 75.0% -0.776 -0.3744
Fractured Days Split the Sky 362 41.44% 26.48 -1.881 76.24% -1.018 -0.9638
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 354 44.35% 27.56 0.887 82.49% -0.238 -0.2469
Heart of the Wildfire 3008 58.57% 21.28 -1.298 74.83% -0.33 -0.103
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4246 28.39% 26.97 0.464 91.85% 0.524 0.0015
Lightning's Swift Strike 4344 42.43% 23.79 -0.807 79.97% 0.357 0.6004
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 37 18.92% 30.11 0.269 97.3% 1.043 0.1894
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 248 29.96% 28.43 2.962 91.94% 0.618 0.0082
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 204 37.75% 25.35 -0.791 83.82% -0.189 -0.5665
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 931 33.01% 27.22 0.743 89.58% -0.196 -0.4137
Many Minds Move as One 669 26.35% 27.36 0.169 92.68% -0.039 -0.5782
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4357 42.64% 24.52 0.278 84.71% 0.445 0.1286
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1894 30.01% 25.3 -1.109 87.96% -0.723 -0.7386
River Surges in Sunlight 5340 38.8% 26.3 -0.485 80.3% -0.589 -0.5367
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 343 37.61% 26.42 -0.804 79.88% -0.245 0.1125
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 23 43.48% 30.65 1.232 91.3% 0.485 0.2546
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2501 37.78% 23.56 -1.006 84.85% -0.184 -0.2178
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3243 55.16% 23.41 0.296 77.09% 0.837 1.304
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 17 35.29% 31.88 -0.43 94.12% 0.261 0.3582
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 11 9.09% 27.45 -1.68 72.73% -1.23 -1.405
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 213 38.5% 26.84 -0.067 89.2% -0.46 -0.5195
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 145 42.76% 26.62 -1.263 88.28% -0.01 0.1502
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2821 29.94% 26.85 -0.591 87.98% -0.18 -0.4822
Shifting Memory of Ages 306 52.94% 23.36 -1.594 76.47% -0.687 -0.6477
Shroud of Silent Mist 409 53.45% 23.84 -2.34 80.44% -0.875 -0.551
Starlight Seeks its Form 397 25.51% 30.39 1.218 89.42% 1.184 0.9798
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1278 29.13% 24.55 0.446 89.28% 1.108 0.9219
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1620 34.89% 24.57 -0.487 83.7% 0.038 0.1219
Thunderspeaker 4005 30.38% 27.33 1.512 86.47% 0.744 0.7129
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 952 60.97% 20.94 -0.729 78.36% 0.516 0.4724
Vital Strength of the Earth 4351 34.41% 22.93 -2.408 78.35% -0.855 -0.06
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 16 25.0% 27.25 -0.492 87.5% -0.033 0.4194
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 187 33.51% 21.47 -2.302 75.94% -1.164 -0.1329
Volcano Looming High 610 39.74% 24.46 0.328 82.3% 0.174 0.1998

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 712 44.19% 22.38 -0.017 76.69% 0.522 0.7892
Dahan Insurrection 4 631 20.67% 45.79 11.198 81.62% 0.264 0.5971
Despicable Theft 2 62 40.32% 33.71 3.454 80.65% -0.083 0.1674
Elemental Invocation 1 91 53.85% 25.31 -4.894 71.43% -1.674 -1.0255
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1769 8.28% 30.17 -0.523 83.27% -1.297 -1.1308
Powers Long Forgotten 1 352 51.42% 28.68 0.998 76.7% -0.323 0.0031
Rituals of Terror 3 411 44.61% 35.38 7.295 73.24% 0.627 0.5177
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 246 65.85% 32.76 10.878 66.26% 0.522 1.1785
Second Wave 0 670 56.72% 24.93 2.008 72.24% -1.006 -0.5349
The Great River 3 85 52.94% 28.52 3.485 52.94% -0.639 0.8619
Varied Terrains 2 5 60.0% 29.4 2.286 80.0% 0.024 0.5594
Ward the Shores 2 433 43.65% 30.58 -0.487 74.36% -1.312 -0.1247

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 28935 40.14% 24.01 0.064 82.05% -0.042 0.4058
1 Thematic 3412 42.77% 31.01 1.43 77.08% -0.195 0.408
2 Archipelago 8 25.0% 31.0 0.0 62.5%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6696 34.98% 24.25 -0.358 85.53% 0.062 0.4532
2 Coastline 533 34.86% 24.87 0.288 87.43% 0.135 0.2236
2 Fragment 140 37.96% 22.91 2.114 85.71% 0.167 0.2324
2 Heart 85 59.04% 21.46 1.849 80.0% 0.468 0.7404
2 Opposite Shores 725 33.33% 24.19 -1.754 88.69% 0.214 0.7063
2 Thematic 729 43.33% 32.97 1.941 81.48% -0.194 0.2744
2 Top to Top 141 33.57% 23.23 -3.988 85.11% -0.278 0.0036
3 Archipelago 6 50.0% 31.67 3.66 66.67% 0.122 -0.2607
3 Coastline 9 55.56% 28.0 0.0 88.89%
3 Other 72 41.67% 21.31 -0.609 77.78% 0.234 -0.8556
3 Round (Default) 2028 28.81% 25.06 -0.318 89.5% 0.016 0.2844
3 Sunrise 5 20.0% 24.8 0.0 80.0%
3 Thematic 152 40.79% 31.94 4.422 77.63% 0.132 -0.0914
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 49.0 10.778 100.0% 0.072 -0.7793
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 21.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 6 16.67% 27.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 27 25.93% 23.48 0.633 88.89% 0.034 -0.4115
4 Thematic 487 31.61% 31.25 -0.733 94.66% 0.111 0.207
4 Trapezoid (Default) 930 27.01% 25.37 -1.649 91.51% -0.37 -0.5071
5 Other 24 45.83% 27.54 1.421 91.67% 0.062 0.3316
5 Thematic 8 37.5% 32.25 0.0 87.5%
6 Other 4 50.0% 21.5 -2.486 50.0% 0.004 0.8919
6 Star 2 0.0% 20.5 -7.572 50.0% -0.567 0.3276
6 Thematic 15 7.14% 39.4 1.065 100.0% 0.052 0.4148
6 Two Centers (Default) 16 6.25% 25.19 -0.423 93.75% 0.189 0.567
7 Other 3 0.0% 50.33 5.722 100.0% 0.046 -0.8902

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1107 18.22 -3.131 61.43% -1.404 0.4273
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1003 19.48 -1.867 60.62% -0.915 0.7393
All Things Weaken 453 17.77 -4.34 57.62% -1.761 0.2156
Back Against the Wall 932 18.53 -4.168 58.26% -2.086 -0.2272
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1085 15.68 -3.775 56.31% -1.226 0.7482
Downward Spiral 3807 17.0 -5.414 63.44% -2.035 -0.1335
Erosion of Will 1154 18.04 -4.763 59.27% -2.277 -0.2332
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 183 24.77 -0.485 92.9% 0.286 0.8584
Memory Fades to Dust 3892 16.31 -4.999 58.3% -2.168 -0.1885
Power Corrodes the Spirit 442 18.66 -2.461 63.35% -1.044 0.8478
Promising Farmlands 1180 16.95 -5.688 61.27% -1.672 0.3671
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 138 25.27 -1.448 94.93% 0.325 0.7662
Thriving Communities 432 17.84 -4.367 62.96% -1.559 0.4051
Tipping Point 504 16.8 0.0 60.52%
Unnatural Proliferation 456 19.42 -2.726 60.75% -1.56 0.3457
Untended Land Crumbles 495 17.82 -3.869 61.41% -1.885 0.1497

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10058 39.14% 23.68 -0.604 83.16% -0.045 0.7226
B 10292 37.42% 24.01 -0.359 83.63% 0.02 0.7128
C 10635 36.86% 24.19 -0.678 84.12% -0.297 0.2678
D 10138 36.02% 24.22 -0.682 84.38% -0.411 0.3575
E 2487 33.25% 25.68 0.52 87.86% 0.187 0.7859
F 4293 34.02% 25.01 -0.236 87.19% 0.221 0.9305
G 4085 34.31% 24.62 0.506 85.78% -0.163 0.5627
H 4287 34.29% 24.96 -0.055 86.91% 0.007 0.6974
East 2992 39.36% 32.31 1.697 82.02% 0.669 1.2908
Northeast 1811 37.96% 32.22 1.309 83.27% 0.069 0.75
Northwest 1473 38.26% 31.34 0.719 82.21% -0.378 0.6894
Southeast 350 40.11% 30.39 0.999 81.43% -0.583 0.1453
Southwest 322 44.55% 27.28 -0.787 80.43% 0.087 1.0576
West 2697 42.05% 31.17 2.244 80.2% 0.705 1.7083

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 451 0.0% 20.66 -1.229 67.41% -0.681 1.3305
Not Using Events or Tokens 10673 46.12% 22.51 -1.851 77.39% -0.414 -0.1996
Skip Initial Invader Actions 702 8.99% 35.26 4.178 94.73% 0.51 0.4165
Start of Game Growth 1042 13.54% 32.77 1.479 93.09% -0.322 -1.0294
Unlimited Undo 2446 29.91% 27.04 1.46 88.92% 0.32 -0.3792
Using Tokens but Not Events 3384 29.14% 25.99 -1.448 87.71% -0.389 -0.4346

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4467 22.6 52.56%
II 17071 31.02 80.08%
III 15842 34.59 86.84%
IV 7839 37.83 99.11%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.214 Win Model: 0.046
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 32470 40.46% 24.77 81.48%
2 9011 35.71% 24.9 85.66%
3 2229 29.54% 25.35 88.47%
4 1459 28.73% 27.3 92.6%
5 9 0.0% 31.56 100.0%
6 40 10.53% 31.8 90.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2344
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13349
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 12894
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7696
Lose: Invader deck ran out 649
Lose: Adversary condition 144
Win: Sacrifice victory 179
Lose: Scenario condition 458
Win: Scenario condition 1082
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6095
Lose: Spirit destroyed 329

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2755 29.06% 30.03 -0.404 85.26% -0.111 -0.2451
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1824 52.32% 29.12 -0.634 81.96% -0.394 -0.3483
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1346 29.93% 31.4 -0.064 90.94% 0.497 0.3767
Downpour Drenches the World 48 33.33% 29.69 -1.448 87.5% -0.644 -0.2955
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1821 18.81% 34.27 0.771 94.29% 0.734 0.3128
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1366 25.35% 33.06 0.885 92.97% 0.094 -0.4682
Finder of Paths Unseen 30 50.0% 31.03 0.237 90.0% 0.132 0.5328
Fractured Days Split the Sky 301 39.53% 31.95 1.42 79.73% 0.233 0.2873
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 252 49.21% 31.06 1.399 81.75% 0.659 0.6507
Heart of the Wildfire 2111 58.31% 27.59 0.087 79.06% -0.044 0.1822
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3242 35.59% 31.35 0.021 89.45% 0.487 -0.0361
Lightning's Swift Strike 2800 39.65% 30.28 0.714 82.79% 0.187 0.4309
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 26 46.15% 33.42 1.229 88.46% 0.195 -0.6585
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 186 33.87% 32.53 0.477 88.71% -0.435 -1.0445
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 164 37.8% 33.14 2.748 90.85% 0.572 0.1948
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 704 35.7% 31.34 -0.371 87.64% -0.168 -0.3861
Many Minds Move as One 548 28.28% 32.12 0.621 90.69% 0.346 -0.1925
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2480 44.99% 29.54 0.276 82.98% 0.387 0.0701
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1312 33.72% 30.77 0.196 87.65% -0.056 -0.0723
River Surges in Sunlight 3239 40.85% 31.51 1.37 81.72% -0.072 -0.02
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 224 46.64% 30.34 1.9 78.57% 0.241 0.5988
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 33 42.42% 32.06 0.252 75.76% -0.781 -1.0114
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1523 38.31% 29.29 0.775 84.7% 0.275 0.2408
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1881 56.55% 28.15 -0.726 76.18% -0.441 0.0261
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 3 33.33% 36.0 3.57 100.0% 0.209 0.307
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 18 50.0% 27.28 -1.831 77.78% -0.43 -0.6055
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 187 38.5% 31.07 0.779 88.24% -0.177 -0.2362
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 117 58.26% 30.7 0.25 82.91% 0.224 0.384
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1988 31.84% 32.17 0.28 87.73% -0.228 -0.5302
Shifting Memory of Ages 225 50.0% 27.51 -1.606 79.56% -0.2 -0.1614
Shroud of Silent Mist 314 57.96% 27.26 -0.697 80.89% -0.254 0.07
Starlight Seeks its Form 213 40.85% 30.03 0.853 84.98% 0.452 0.2472
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 760 43.73% 26.25 -1.497 83.03% 0.151 -0.035
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1143 35.36% 29.83 -0.09 83.73% 0.459 0.5435
Thunderspeaker 2691 33.35% 32.59 1.148 85.54% 0.593 0.5616
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 603 71.0% 24.43 -1.332 74.3% -0.487 -0.5306
Vital Strength of the Earth 2550 41.23% 27.02 -2.469 77.18% -0.12 0.6743
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 27 44.44% 28.37 -2.475 70.37% -0.899 -0.4469
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 124 41.94% 24.42 -4.925 70.16% -0.739 0.2919
Volcano Looming High 402 50.25% 28.0 -2.582 81.09% -0.417 -0.3913

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 50.0% 38.5 4.073 100.0% 0.425 0.5335
Blitz 0 561 50.09% 26.05 -1.519 73.44% -0.473 -0.2055
Dahan Insurrection 4 495 22.06% 51.59 7.841 85.25% -0.605 -0.2728
Despicable Theft 2 67 58.21% 35.72 1.799 73.13% -0.633 -0.3819
Elemental Invocation 1 84 64.29% 30.23 3.542 77.38% 0.474 1.1226
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1150 13.34% 33.03 3.063 78.78% -0.382 -0.2162
Powers Long Forgotten 1 330 57.58% 30.92 0.962 70.61% -0.176 0.15
Rituals of Terror 3 300 48.0% 40.22 4.789 76.33% -0.146 -0.2559
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 216 72.22% 35.74 -0.126 63.89% -0.822 -0.1654
Second Wave 0 1905 46.08% 30.04 0.817 77.69% -0.391 0.0797
The Great River 3 80 47.5% 32.16 1.351 53.75% -0.559 0.9421
Varied Terrains 2 7 71.43% 39.86 3.903 85.71% 0.053 0.5886
Ward the Shores 2 368 50.68% 32.57 0.545 66.3% -0.733 0.4546

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 17022 42.36% 28.74 -0.174 82.01% 0.335 0.7822
1 Thematic 2738 46.89% 34.64 0.736 73.89% -0.525 0.0778
2 Archipelago 5 20.0% 37.6 0.0 100.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4167 37.61% 29.68 -0.187 86.99% -0.032 0.3589
2 Coastline 461 40.8% 29.11 -0.289 85.68% 0.091 0.1792
2 Fragment 117 45.3% 28.46 9.947 87.18% 0.039 0.105
2 Heart 72 36.11% 28.67 -0.379 87.5% 0.063 0.3351
2 Opposite Shores 727 35.14% 29.44 -0.384 88.45% -0.087 0.4062
2 Thematic 650 47.46% 35.77 1.895 76.31% 0.071 0.539
2 Top to Top 123 40.16% 28.85 -0.311 82.93% 0.116 0.398
3 Archipelago 4 25.0% 43.0 4.187 100.0% 0.107 -0.2764
3 Coastline 12 66.67% 35.17 0.0 83.33%
3 Other 64 28.13% 28.72 0.614 92.19% 0.327 -0.762
3 Round (Default) 1528 29.48% 31.09 -1.856 91.23% -0.713 -0.4447
3 Sunrise 3 66.67% 28.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 119 43.7% 36.35 4.893 75.63% 0.473 0.2494
4 Archipelago 3 66.67% 37.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 8 50.0% 24.13 0.0 37.5%
4 Leaf 5 0.0% 37.6 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 46 39.13% 28.89 -4.153 84.78% 0.038 -0.408
4 Thematic 272 43.54% 37.19 9.291 89.71% 0.081 0.1775
4 Trapezoid (Default) 630 30.68% 30.87 -0.387 88.89% -0.121 -0.2581
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.0 4.539 100.0% 0.047 -0.3699
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 20 35.0% 29.45 0.757 80.0% 0.107 0.3762
5 Thematic 3 0.0% 33.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 1 0.0% 38.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 2 0.0% 31.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 9 33.33% 33.89 -5.573 77.78% -0.543 -0.1804
6 Two Centers (Default) 12 41.67% 39.42 0.0 100.0%
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 782 23.81 -3.722 63.94% -1.352 0.4796
Aid From Lesser Spirits 775 24.02 -5.061 63.23% -2.352 -0.6975
All Things Weaken 351 23.5 -4.094 63.82% -1.407 0.5698
Back Against the Wall 704 23.55 -4.289 60.94% -1.533 0.3262
Disintegrating Ecosystem 842 20.95 -4.076 61.05% -1.04 0.9344
Downward Spiral 2270 22.04 -3.111 64.71% -1.044 0.8576
Erosion of Will 827 22.17 -2.084 58.28% -1.442 0.6015
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 124 29.6 0.085 92.74% 0.21 0.7825
Memory Fades to Dust 2394 21.14 -5.042 59.15% -2.085 -0.1054
Power Corrodes the Spirit 320 21.99 -6.459 61.56% -2.052 -0.1598
Promising Farmlands 892 21.4 -5.241 61.32% -1.885 0.1534
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 88 31.33 -2.709 98.86% 0.065 0.5056
Thriving Communities 326 20.83 -5.883 59.2% -1.991 -0.0266
Tipping Point 365 21.32 0.0 59.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 376 23.55 -3.587 58.78% -1.725 0.181
Untended Land Crumbles 324 22.13 -5.316 64.2% -1.411 0.6232

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6437 41.08% 28.95 0.156 83.75% 0.204 0.9716
B 6641 38.72% 29.42 0.631 85.0% 0.799 1.492
C 6875 38.16% 29.58 0.095 85.51% 0.497 1.0612
D 6451 38.4% 29.5 -0.539 85.3% 0.012 0.7806
E 1767 36.59% 29.86 -0.279 86.25% 0.119 0.7186
F 2813 35.79% 29.89 -1.048 87.06% -0.285 0.4245
G 2597 38.27% 29.49 -1.043 85.02% -0.476 0.2498
H 2689 35.34% 29.92 -0.67 86.87% -0.345 0.3455
East 2399 45.35% 35.79 3.419 76.28% 0.32 0.9421
Northeast 1387 46.5% 35.52 2.288 76.64% -0.188 0.4934
Northwest 1093 44.73% 36.0 1.209 80.97% -0.007 1.06
Southeast 262 41.22% 34.38 -2.009 79.01% -0.498 0.2304
Southwest 231 46.32% 31.29 -1.928 75.32% -0.791 0.1797
West 2082 47.31% 34.89 0.364 76.42% -0.735 0.2682

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 168 0.0% 27.14 -5.229 76.79% -1.194 0.8177
Not Using Events or Tokens 5242 46.95% 27.63 -0.751 77.87% -0.601 -0.3864
Skip Initial Invader Actions 351 9.09% 42.67 1.907 94.87% 0.416 0.3223
Start of Game Growth 561 14.12% 39.42 1.351 93.94% 0.496 -0.2118
Unlimited Undo 1743 34.4% 30.91 0.519 86.86% 0.496 -0.204
Using Tokens but Not Events 2314 32.85% 30.83 -0.954 86.17% -0.556 -0.6011

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3197 22.6 48.98%
II 11293 31.02 80.82%
III 10074 34.59 88.83%
IV 4266 37.83 99.18%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.025 Win Model: 0.027
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 19837 43.01% 29.58 80.84%
2 6290 38.65% 30.18 86.12%
3 1710 30.8% 31.37 90.35%
4 954 34.5% 32.47 87.95%
5 16 12.5% 33.88 93.75%
6 23 30.43% 35.78 91.3%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1566
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8635
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8502
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4194
Lose: Invader deck ran out 279
Lose: Adversary condition 57
Win: Sacrifice victory 97
Lose: Scenario condition 352
Win: Scenario condition 879
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4085
Lose: Spirit destroyed 184

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3961 32.04% 33.51 0.637 84.88% 0.097 -0.0376
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2278 60.25% 31.08 1.469 79.37% 0.338 0.384
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1724 34.88% 34.01 0.4 88.11% 0.204 0.0843
Downpour Drenches the World 88 31.82% 32.3 -0.821 80.68% -0.452 -0.1032
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2276 23.66% 36.75 1.479 92.4% 0.252 -0.1691
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1743 31.76% 35.24 1.285 88.12% 0.453 -0.1085
Finder of Paths Unseen 31 51.61% 28.35 -1.527 74.19% 0.116 0.5176
Fractured Days Split the Sky 429 45.45% 34.78 1.135 75.29% -0.484 -0.4294
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 428 47.29% 33.35 -0.768 82.94% 0.003 -0.0051
Heart of the Wildfire 2649 67.11% 28.07 -1.692 71.84% -0.328 -0.1014
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4559 40.15% 34.43 2.226 88.13% 1.559 1.0366
Lightning's Swift Strike 3176 47.8% 31.12 0.112 77.3% 0.018 0.2619
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 33 54.84% 36.36 1.031 90.91% 0.696 -0.1583
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 316 38.29% 35.1 1.212 89.56% 0.335 -0.2742
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 248 45.75% 35.68 0.934 82.26% -0.482 -0.8594
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1163 40.02% 34.73 0.97 86.24% 0.04 -0.1777
Many Minds Move as One 675 33.43% 35.51 1.256 93.04% 0.454 -0.085
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3507 54.61% 31.08 -0.317 78.59% 0.105 -0.2119
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1696 37.17% 33.2 0.245 86.73% 0.27 0.2541
River Surges in Sunlight 4122 49.15% 33.48 0.663 77.73% -0.295 -0.2424
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 354 51.98% 33.8 -2.253 76.27% -0.461 -0.1032
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 51 50.98% 34.78 0.381 82.35% 0.147 -0.0834
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2671 40.58% 32.47 -0.71 84.54% -0.719 -0.7528
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2132 68.02% 28.57 -2.694 68.67% -0.647 -0.1804
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 11 54.55% 36.91 1.024 72.73% -0.33 -0.2323
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 15 66.67% 38.13 1.317 100.0% 0.537 0.3618
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 246 50.61% 32.25 -0.482 81.3% 0.209 0.149
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 176 69.32% 30.45 -2.382 73.3% -0.165 -0.0045
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2619 37.59% 33.94 1.919 83.89% 0.55 0.2477
Shifting Memory of Ages 369 57.72% 30.19 -1.146 75.07% -0.106 -0.0671
Shroud of Silent Mist 490 59.59% 30.24 -2.034 78.78% -0.17 0.1546
Starlight Seeks its Form 382 44.36% 34.28 0.509 81.94% 0.148 -0.0567
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1078 46.0% 29.66 -0.96 81.73% 0.04 -0.1462
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1389 46.67% 31.63 -1.598 80.27% -0.674 -0.5892
Thunderspeaker 3408 43.01% 34.5 1.414 83.07% 0.355 0.3237
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 945 74.47% 27.26 -2.458 74.07% -0.037 -0.0804
Vital Strength of the Earth 3008 44.74% 29.23 -1.714 73.01% -0.888 -0.0935
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 32 37.5% 31.97 -0.862 81.25% -0.317 0.1348
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 191 41.88% 28.96 -2.672 73.3% -0.775 0.2559
Volcano Looming High 851 47.24% 31.88 0.682 82.73% 0.639 0.6652

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 40.0% 32.8 -1.075 80.0% -0.124 -0.0158
Blitz 0 640 55.05% 28.3 -1.501 71.09% -0.48 -0.2131
Dahan Insurrection 4 486 29.81% 52.49 8.043 78.19% -0.951 -0.6187
Despicable Theft 2 63 63.49% 36.87 3.604 69.84% -0.454 -0.2034
Elemental Invocation 1 96 65.63% 29.58 1.72 64.58% -0.344 0.3039
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1515 17.65% 34.23 0.979 72.01% -1.244 -1.0777
Powers Long Forgotten 1 289 65.4% 30.91 -3.856 60.21% -0.797 -0.4707
Rituals of Terror 3 253 58.33% 40.24 1.031 63.24% -1.475 -1.5851
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 169 70.41% 38.33 8.257 61.54% 0.072 0.7289
Second Wave 0 1566 54.86% 31.45 0.749 71.9% -0.279 0.1918
The Great River 3 73 64.38% 32.48 -3.239 47.95% -1.117 0.3834
Varied Terrains 2 9 55.56% 38.44 0.583 66.67% -0.523 0.0125
Ward the Shores 2 383 55.35% 35.49 1.693 65.27% -0.165 1.0225

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 21201 50.13% 30.64 -0.724 78.1% -0.024 0.423
1 Thematic 2612 57.08% 34.33 2.711 66.88% 0.462 1.0649
2 Archipelago 9 55.56% 43.0 0.0 88.89%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5498 44.79% 32.43 -0.227 84.74% -0.166 0.2253
2 Coastline 660 42.68% 33.22 0.368 85.3% -0.203 -0.115
2 Fragment 150 55.33% 31.04 -1.683 80.0% 0.494 0.5603
2 Heart 90 42.22% 32.96 8.967 81.11% 0.312 0.5846
2 Opposite Shores 998 43.16% 32.49 -1.996 85.67% -0.296 0.1963
2 Thematic 867 56.3% 35.27 1.722 69.32% 0.64 1.1077
2 Top to Top 185 47.57% 33.41 1.452 88.11% -0.076 0.206
3 Archipelago 10 80.0% 40.6 28.864 70.0% 0.339 -0.0442
3 Coastline 15 33.33% 35.8 0.0 86.67%
3 Other 106 31.73% 32.27 -4.171 84.91% -0.389 -1.4779
3 Round (Default) 2318 35.87% 33.52 -0.076 87.27% 0.202 0.4705
3 Sunrise 14 35.71% 28.86 0.0 64.29%
3 Thematic 197 51.02% 38.32 -0.153 77.16% -0.634 -0.858
4 Archipelago 11 45.45% 47.45 0.0 90.91%
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 35.33 6.928 66.67% -0.447 -0.4391
4 Leaf 7 42.86% 31.14 0.0 71.43%
4 Other 60 27.12% 34.48 6.888 91.67% 0.21 -0.2356
4 Thematic 304 44.44% 38.93 -2.665 80.59% -0.77 -0.6742
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1247 33.58% 33.52 1.599 88.69% 1.373 1.2355
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 35.5 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 34 44.12% 38.26 0.234 91.18% 0.128 0.3973
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 42.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 55.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 9 22.22% 46.89 -3.28 77.78% -0.909 -0.0212
6 Star 1 0.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 13 33.33% 49.46 4.122 84.62% 0.298 0.6606
6 Two Centers (Default) 24 45.83% 40.13 -2.284 62.5% -0.81 -0.4317
7 Other 2 0.0% 40.0 1.611 50.0% 0.273 -0.6623

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1335 25.53 -4.877 60.07% -2.476 -0.6442
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1112 27.37 -3.36 62.86% -1.655 -0.0003
All Things Weaken 579 25.74 -3.821 61.31% -1.89 0.0862
Back Against the Wall 1110 27.55 -2.858 63.69% -1.729 0.1298
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1257 23.44 -4.027 59.43% -1.9 0.0741
Downward Spiral 3104 24.73 -4.922 63.82% -2.138 -0.2358
Erosion of Will 1354 24.54 -4.78 56.87% -2.1 -0.0566
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 227 33.55 -1.343 94.27% -0.497 0.0753
Memory Fades to Dust 3100 23.89 -4.676 57.94% -2.335 -0.3554
Power Corrodes the Spirit 582 25.12 -2.171 61.51% -1.627 0.2646
Promising Farmlands 1346 24.17 -3.79 60.03% -2.057 -0.0182
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 152 33.95 -0.373 98.03% 0.2 0.6406
Thriving Communities 540 24.71 -3.905 61.85% -1.75 0.2138
Tipping Point 576 24.66 0.0 60.59%
Unnatural Proliferation 591 25.69 -5.053 60.24% -2.016 -0.1102
Untended Land Crumbles 542 24.49 -3.269 61.44% -1.512 0.5223

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8697 45.09% 31.85 0.325 82.17% -0.262 0.5062
B 8992 45.36% 31.72 -0.623 81.9% -0.384 0.3084
C 9349 43.95% 31.94 0.111 82.28% -0.112 0.4523
D 8601 46.03% 31.52 0.075 81.85% -0.114 0.6539
E 2692 44.7% 32.72 0.199 83.77% -0.358 0.2414
F 4029 41.09% 33.24 -0.867 85.08% -0.689 0.0208
G 3608 43.63% 32.34 -0.247 83.59% -0.412 0.3141
H 3654 43.19% 32.56 0.042 83.42% -0.325 0.365
East 2584 53.01% 36.62 3.023 72.02% 0.017 0.6398
Northeast 1480 52.86% 37.27 2.011 74.05% 0.202 0.8837
Northwest 1217 55.92% 34.81 0.473 67.79% -0.284 0.7825
Southeast 313 50.8% 34.25 -0.247 72.2% -0.247 0.4811
Southwest 284 50.71% 33.64 -0.316 74.65% -0.334 0.637
West 2275 56.9% 34.71 0.524 68.13% -0.812 0.191

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 197 0.0% 31.27 2.876 78.68% 0.333 2.344
Not Using Events or Tokens 5685 53.37% 29.46 -0.738 74.53% 0.095 0.3088
Skip Initial Invader Actions 452 17.54% 44.24 -0.638 91.59% -0.899 -0.992
Start of Game Growth 736 17.72% 42.15 4.356 90.08% 0.784 0.0764
Unlimited Undo 2677 43.25% 33.09 0.786 84.16% 0.706 0.0066
Using Tokens but Not Events 2777 40.14% 32.85 -0.861 84.62% 0.187 0.1411

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2593 22.6 14.73%
II 15199 31.02 74.83%
III 12480 34.59 88.62%
IV 6379 37.83 99.08%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.14 Win Model: 0.238
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 23902 50.97% 31.06 76.8%
2 8427 45.66% 32.78 83.45%
3 2634 36.59% 33.86 86.56%
4 1627 35.64% 34.73 87.46%
5 12 41.67% 37.33 75.0%
6 49 35.42% 43.86 71.43%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 381
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10750
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10785
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6268
Lose: Invader deck ran out 411
Lose: Adversary condition 75
Win: Sacrifice victory 164
Lose: Scenario condition 614
Win: Scenario condition 787
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6124
Lose: Spirit destroyed 292

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3765 41.04% 41.53 0.786 84.54% 0.191 0.0562
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2367 73.39% 36.23 -1.801 69.71% -0.506 -0.4603
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2044 36.54% 43.34 0.582 89.29% -0.209 -0.3287
Downpour Drenches the World 86 55.81% 37.95 -0.937 74.42% -0.313 0.0357
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2224 41.59% 43.21 2.499 87.86% 0.973 0.5519
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1971 45.05% 42.24 1.633 85.13% 0.998 0.4359
Finder of Paths Unseen 54 66.67% 33.7 -1.943 64.81% -0.369 0.0319
Fractured Days Split the Sky 720 42.5% 43.75 0.154 77.92% -0.739 -0.6849
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 631 52.14% 43.25 0.776 86.69% 0.207 0.198
Heart of the Wildfire 3292 69.51% 36.46 -2.384 71.54% -0.55 -0.3238
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5477 52.41% 42.51 1.311 84.72% 0.035 -0.4871
Lightning's Swift Strike 3341 54.76% 39.87 0.527 77.88% 0.074 0.317
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 55 57.14% 44.55 2.193 90.91% 0.6 -0.2537
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 477 36.97% 45.78 3.791 91.61% 1.198 0.5884
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 236 52.97% 43.96 0.95 85.17% -0.215 -0.5929
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1344 51.97% 42.03 0.064 84.15% -0.192 -0.4101
Many Minds Move as One 752 48.6% 42.93 0.825 90.16% 0.251 -0.2879
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3479 64.49% 37.52 -2.586 73.81% -1.092 -1.4092
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1840 43.25% 42.15 1.116 87.88% 0.724 0.7078
River Surges in Sunlight 4041 57.48% 42.16 0.963 78.57% -0.2 -0.1474
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 319 62.07% 39.06 -0.624 71.47% -0.279 0.0787
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 50 61.22% 46.24 2.791 84.0% 0.086 -0.1442
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2418 56.93% 38.65 0.377 78.08% -0.011 -0.0448
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2004 75.36% 35.12 -3.491 64.82% -0.848 -0.3805
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 8 50.0% 44.0 0.766 87.5% 0.025 0.1226
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 18 66.67% 40.39 3.5 77.78% 0.593 0.4177
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 314 51.91% 42.07 1.465 86.94% 0.637 0.5778
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 150 76.67% 39.99 -1.411 80.0% -0.433 -0.273
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3264 39.79% 43.3 2.092 85.39% 0.505 0.2026
Shifting Memory of Ages 355 72.39% 36.14 -1.431 70.7% -0.342 -0.3028
Shroud of Silent Mist 515 72.96% 37.8 -0.236 77.48% -0.387 -0.0624
Starlight Seeks its Form 571 51.49% 40.72 -2.043 81.09% -0.972 -1.1764
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1649 59.5% 35.41 -2.438 76.65% -0.381 -0.5669
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1662 51.03% 41.35 0.145 82.67% 0.025 0.1094
Thunderspeaker 2952 52.21% 42.56 1.672 81.23% 0.415 0.3843
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1295 84.02% 34.67 -0.733 73.44% 0.225 0.1811
Vital Strength of the Earth 2433 60.31% 34.82 0.257 67.04% 0.386 1.1811
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 30 53.57% 43.87 0.572 86.67% 0.165 0.6174
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 291 50.86% 35.68 -0.592 72.16% 0.383 1.4137
Volcano Looming High 962 58.63% 39.14 -0.208 79.11% -0.367 -0.3411

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 100.0% 45.0 0.0 100.0%
Blitz 0 490 60.82% 35.28 1.462 67.76% 0.585 0.8522
Dahan Insurrection 4 499 34.67% 63.07 12.911 82.57% 0.254 0.587
Despicable Theft 2 47 63.83% 38.64 2.73 51.06% -0.753 -0.5021
Elemental Invocation 1 102 72.55% 35.23 -7.143 58.82% -1.135 -0.4863
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1603 24.17% 43.45 0.875 77.67% -0.691 -0.5253
Powers Long Forgotten 1 235 75.74% 38.2 -0.395 60.0% -0.057 0.2692
Rituals of Terror 3 169 60.95% 48.17 3.172 66.27% 0.061 -0.049
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 58 81.03% 45.98 10.352 62.07% 0.272 0.9286
Second Wave 0 1056 66.0% 35.7 -2.5 62.88% -0.686 -0.2151
The Great River 3 61 77.05% 41.89 3.121 54.1% -0.589 0.912
Varied Terrains 2 5 80.0% 43.0 1.565 60.0% -0.477 0.0581
Ward the Shores 2 227 66.08% 40.75 0.945 59.91% -0.416 0.7714

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 26572 58.36% 38.45 -0.57 76.35% -0.204 0.2435
1 Thematic 1871 61.6% 41.76 2.908 66.33% 0.622 1.2248
2 Archipelago 9 55.56% 49.56 0.0 88.89%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5960 54.69% 40.17 -0.317 82.11% -0.283 0.1082
2 Coastline 736 55.01% 40.74 0.948 81.66% 0.624 0.7122
2 Fragment 147 60.54% 38.82 1.646 77.55% 0.135 0.2005
2 Heart 85 60.0% 39.32 2.756 81.18% 0.316 0.5877
2 Opposite Shores 1114 57.26% 40.73 -1.206 83.21% -0.618 -0.1248
2 Thematic 651 61.23% 44.57 2.399 72.5% 0.271 0.7386
2 Top to Top 192 58.33% 38.65 1.164 75.0% 0.081 0.3629
3 Archipelago 9 66.67% 51.22 4.053 88.89% 0.151 -0.2318
3 Coastline 40 32.5% 46.98 4.091 95.0% 0.278 -0.3612
3 Other 124 42.74% 41.85 6.868 87.9% 0.173 -0.916
3 Round (Default) 2148 48.26% 41.18 0.652 84.73% -0.182 0.0863
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 107 59.43% 43.57 -3.523 71.03% -0.621 -0.8446
4 Archipelago 4 75.0% 47.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 41.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 42.6 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 50 38.0% 41.98 -12.711 88.0% -0.548 -0.9942
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 66.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 234 42.31% 52.06 0.0 78.63%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1138 42.5% 43.36 -0.417 89.46% -0.28 -0.4169
5 Other 20 60.0% 42.05 3.023 85.0% 0.294 0.5632
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 42.75 6.937 50.0% 0.175 0.0683
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 48.0 5.949 100.0% 0.099 -0.3406
6 Other 9 11.11% 51.78 9.644 88.89% 0.068 0.9564
6 Star 4 0.0% 38.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 8 62.5% 48.25 -7.332 75.0% -0.259 0.1036
6 Two Centers (Default) 16 31.25% 46.63 -0.561 93.75% 0.109 0.4872
7 Other 1 100.0% 51.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1889 33.2 -3.899 61.51% -1.942 -0.1102
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1571 35.95 -0.449 67.35% -0.828 0.8268
All Things Weaken 810 32.2 -3.836 59.88% -1.578 0.3986
Back Against the Wall 1472 34.46 -2.933 63.32% -1.758 0.101
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1809 30.78 -5.78 60.09% -2.242 -0.2673
Downward Spiral 3691 32.88 -3.413 66.0% -1.573 0.3292
Erosion of Will 1874 31.9 -5.387 58.54% -2.136 -0.0919
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 351 43.05 0.717 95.16% 0.424 0.9965
Memory Fades to Dust 3628 31.88 -3.128 60.89% -1.638 0.3414
Power Corrodes the Spirit 875 34.04 -2.158 69.14% -1.003 0.8887
Promising Farmlands 1846 30.88 -5.442 59.43% -2.115 -0.0767
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 235 44.33 1.324 98.3% 0.438 0.8789
Thriving Communities 856 31.6 -4.256 61.57% -1.862 0.1026
Tipping Point 816 30.56 0.0 56.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 859 34.14 -3.704 64.96% -1.948 -0.0416
Untended Land Crumbles 772 32.35 -4.608 62.69% -1.905 0.1295

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9208 55.53% 39.51 0.387 79.41% 0.174 0.9425
B 9585 54.24% 39.77 0.918 80.0% 0.589 1.2812
C 10385 55.37% 39.79 0.151 80.01% -0.032 0.5322
D 9228 55.63% 39.44 -1.046 79.51% -0.256 0.5119
E 3352 54.81% 40.26 0.047 82.1% 0.321 0.9204
F 4794 50.91% 40.91 0.612 83.15% 0.235 0.9446
G 4175 55.93% 39.39 -1.339 79.83% -0.541 0.1852
H 4520 52.91% 40.17 0.347 81.44% 0.247 0.9371
East 1908 58.26% 44.83 3.109 70.6% 0.077 0.6995
Northeast 1065 58.93% 44.52 -0.259 69.58% -0.642 0.0388
Northwest 786 59.24% 44.04 0.092 69.47% -0.661 0.4061
Southeast 279 48.03% 48.49 4.436 82.44% 0.858 1.5855
Southwest 257 50.19% 44.45 -0.684 76.65% -0.012 0.9588
West 1577 58.73% 43.74 -1.599 69.18% -1.0 0.0033

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 142 0.0% 35.17 -5.031 64.79% -1.673 0.3386
Not Using Events or Tokens 4307 66.86% 36.17 -0.291 71.14% -0.183 0.0315
Skip Initial Invader Actions 468 12.11% 56.58 6.056 95.94% 0.269 0.1754
Start of Game Growth 695 17.19% 53.0 3.374 93.38% 0.16 -0.5478
Unlimited Undo 2885 50.19% 42.26 2.203 84.09% 0.48 -0.22
Using Tokens but Not Events 2710 44.9% 42.58 0.538 85.09% 0.203 0.1579

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3550 22.6 16.03%
II 18968 31.02 74.54%
III 12919 34.59 89.83%
IV 5834 37.83 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.213 Win Model: 0.29
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 28523 58.58% 38.68 75.71%
2 8871 55.76% 40.53 81.29%
3 2401 47.81% 41.49 84.51%
4 1431 42.75% 44.7 87.49%
5 6 66.67% 39.0 66.67%
6 39 30.77% 47.46 87.18%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 567
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11336
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 13535
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5762
Lose: Invader deck ran out 303
Lose: Adversary condition 67
Win: Sacrifice victory 201
Lose: Scenario condition 450
Win: Scenario condition 725
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7931
Lose: Spirit destroyed 394

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2422 52.24% 40.51 1.249 73.95% 0.717 0.583
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1474 80.76% 35.5 -1.448 58.89% -0.37 -0.3243
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1486 55.58% 41.2 0.108 77.19% -0.015 -0.1353
Downpour Drenches the World 49 51.02% 37.33 0.366 67.35% 0.179 0.5275
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1399 52.47% 43.37 1.851 79.91% 0.686 0.265
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1375 59.77% 41.57 0.031 76.87% 0.156 -0.4062
Finder of Paths Unseen 46 80.43% 33.72 -3.031 54.35% -0.757 -0.3562
Fractured Days Split the Sky 343 60.64% 41.64 -1.331 67.35% -0.964 -0.9097
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 412 60.44% 42.5 -0.667 79.37% -0.368 -0.3768
Heart of the Wildfire 2071 80.3% 33.85 -1.594 56.3% 0.065 0.2913
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4404 62.66% 41.21 0.89 75.66% 0.186 -0.3366
Lightning's Swift Strike 2033 65.78% 38.02 1.351 65.47% 0.201 0.4445
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 33 57.58% 49.33 5.297 96.97% 1.739 0.885
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 339 51.03% 44.91 1.259 85.84% -0.017 -0.6264
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 193 54.4% 44.38 3.334 77.2% 0.639 0.2619
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1166 63.69% 40.66 0.146 75.81% 0.037 -0.181
Many Minds Move as One 476 52.31% 45.08 1.855 88.03% 0.522 -0.017
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2468 72.13% 36.86 -0.215 63.82% 0.017 -0.2999
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1263 54.16% 41.46 0.233 78.07% 0.233 0.217
River Surges in Sunlight 2880 68.11% 40.99 -0.561 66.56% -0.466 -0.4135
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 196 74.49% 36.36 0.533 57.65% -0.431 -0.0736
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 39 56.41% 54.69 6.144 87.18% 0.788 0.5575
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1570 70.94% 36.93 0.08 64.46% 0.202 0.1677
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1103 79.25% 34.36 -3.209 53.58% -0.75 -0.2827
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 6 83.33% 41.67 3.454 83.33% 0.583 0.6803
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 11 72.73% 44.09 1.654 81.82% 0.221 0.0453
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 208 69.71% 40.97 -4.115 77.4% -0.936 -0.9958
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 142 76.76% 36.13 0.929 59.86% 0.2 0.3605
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2216 51.4% 41.7 2.133 73.69% 0.554 0.2515
Shifting Memory of Ages 231 77.49% 34.07 -1.771 54.98% -0.378 -0.3395
Shroud of Silent Mist 332 85.8% 34.59 -3.739 61.14% -0.557 -0.2328
Starlight Seeks its Form 449 64.37% 38.21 -0.65 64.14% -0.474 -0.6779
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 977 71.0% 33.03 -0.662 63.56% 0.495 0.3089
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1020 59.7% 40.46 -1.149 73.53% -0.08 0.0041
Thunderspeaker 1975 64.51% 42.03 1.507 71.7% -0.059 -0.0895
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 896 91.63% 31.87 -3.58 55.69% -0.494 -0.5381
Vital Strength of the Earth 1373 75.58% 32.61 -2.386 50.4% -0.783 0.0114
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 16 75.0% 32.88 -3.823 56.25% -0.783 -0.3312
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 184 72.28% 32.45 -2.71 50.54% -0.107 0.9239
Volcano Looming High 604 68.05% 39.01 0.364 71.69% 0.157 0.1829

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 316 70.74% 33.68 -0.307 52.85% -0.14 0.1271
Dahan Insurrection 4 334 48.5% 62.77 11.864 76.65% -0.144 0.1884
Despicable Theft 2 16 68.75% 43.31 0.0 56.25%
Elemental Invocation 1 51 92.16% 30.59 -7.236 39.22% -1.397 -0.7487
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 934 24.22% 44.18 2.791 71.95% -0.083 0.083
Powers Long Forgotten 1 147 75.51% 36.99 1.694 49.66% 0.084 0.4101
Rituals of Terror 3 117 85.47% 36.99 0.0 35.9%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 91 87.91% 40.27 9.264 39.56% 0.311 0.9675
Second Wave 0 641 75.16% 35.28 -1.462 54.29% -0.308 0.1627
The Great River 3 23 60.87% 42.65 9.39 47.83% 0.031 1.5319
Varied Terrains 2 4 75.0% 44.25 1.144 75.0% -0.317 0.2183
Ward the Shores 2 94 76.6% 39.31 6.987 45.74% 0.36 1.547

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 18112 67.36% 37.51 -1.109 66.6% -0.562 -0.1144
1 Thematic 1514 67.97% 40.57 0.059 54.36% -0.376 0.2264
2 Archipelago 6 50.0% 50.0 0.0 66.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3858 67.39% 39.73 0.691 73.04% 0.161 0.5523
2 Coastline 489 58.44% 42.45 2.35 78.94% 0.559 0.6475
2 Fragment 82 69.51% 35.26 -7.311 60.98% -0.396 -0.3305
2 Heart 82 70.37% 33.84 -1.35 56.1% -0.158 0.1137
2 Opposite Shores 759 69.04% 39.21 5.735 71.54% 1.498 1.9912
2 Thematic 424 77.12% 39.34 -3.846 51.42% -1.25 -0.7817
2 Top to Top 114 73.45% 38.4 -4.224 71.05% -0.73 -0.4479
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 15 46.67% 50.6 5.22 93.33% 0.487 -0.152
3 Other 90 48.89% 40.69 2.137 74.44% 0.543 -0.5457
3 Round (Default) 1515 58.92% 40.72 1.433 74.46% 0.555 0.8236
3 Sunrise 3 66.67% 44.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 91 75.82% 39.41 -4.653 51.65% -0.241 -0.465
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 48.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 37.6 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 57 40.35% 44.81 -10.35 84.21% -0.646 -1.0918
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 50.0% 47.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 112 63.39% 42.11 12.283 57.14% 0.338 0.4345
4 Trapezoid (Default) 671 58.97% 41.0 -2.762 72.13% -0.513 -0.6498
5 Other 15 69.23% 45.47 -7.273 53.33% -0.355 -0.0854
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 7 28.57% 51.71 -5.465 57.14% -0.274 0.614
6 Star 8 25.0% 29.75 0.0 37.5%
6 Thematic 3 100.0% 40.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Two Centers (Default) 9 55.56% 46.67 2.409 88.89% 0.317 0.6949

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1514 33.22 -2.444 52.77% -1.394 0.4374
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1201 35.34 -2.431 57.54% -1.431 0.2231
All Things Weaken 714 31.6 -4.262 49.58% -1.829 0.1476
Back Against the Wall 1174 34.54 -3.071 54.77% -1.616 0.2432
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1505 31.56 -5.178 54.82% -1.517 0.4575
Downward Spiral 2726 32.69 -2.58 56.35% -1.14 0.7621
Erosion of Will 1614 31.61 -7.157 48.57% -2.535 -0.4916
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 218 47.19 3.176 99.08% 0.598 1.1705
Memory Fades to Dust 2760 31.51 -4.875 51.09% -1.821 0.158
Power Corrodes the Spirit 686 31.83 -5.249 53.94% -1.89 0.0016
Promising Farmlands 1588 31.15 -2.942 50.88% -1.296 0.7423
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 121 46.31 1.19 96.69% 0.636 1.0771
Thriving Communities 668 29.35 -5.222 46.56% -1.896 0.0684
Tipping Point 662 31.51 2.09 50.0% 0.058 0.5466
Unnatural Proliferation 773 32.45 -3.753 50.84% -1.533 0.3731
Untended Land Crumbles 719 30.89 -3.396 49.37% -1.51 0.5249

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6240 66.34% 38.3 -0.255 67.79% -0.13 0.6379
B 6515 65.35% 38.95 0.844 69.79% 0.305 0.9981
C 6756 65.68% 38.73 0.494 69.23% 0.236 0.8007
D 5965 65.45% 38.74 -0.138 69.92% 0.123 0.8911
E 2397 66.58% 38.95 0.953 70.05% 0.471 1.0705
F 3136 62.73% 39.82 0.257 72.8% 0.189 0.8981
G 2874 65.33% 38.71 -0.222 69.83% -0.179 0.5469
H 3130 62.12% 40.18 -0.029 73.58% -0.017 0.6734
East 1327 69.56% 41.46 1.223 55.24% -0.113 0.5097
Northeast 719 71.07% 41.59 0.029 55.91% -0.086 0.5953
Northwest 605 75.54% 37.58 -3.604 46.45% -0.717 0.3496
Southeast 170 67.06% 39.89 -10.409 59.41% -1.249 -0.5212
Southwest 164 54.27% 41.21 6.577 68.29% 0.069 1.0401
West 1206 70.98% 39.39 -1.029 51.82% -0.151 0.8525

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 94 0.0% 35.6 -2.021 57.45% 0.061 2.0728
Not Using Events or Tokens 2656 74.01% 35.6 -0.02 61.22% 0.069 0.283
Skip Initial Invader Actions 400 17.4% 56.97 6.709 93.75% 0.242 0.1485
Start of Game Growth 599 24.96% 52.94 3.701 89.15% 0.626 -0.0816
Unlimited Undo 2027 60.74% 40.84 1.817 73.66% 0.54 -0.1596
Using Tokens but Not Events 1510 59.7% 39.45 0.956 72.12% 0.438 0.3925

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3199 22.6 5.6%
II 11420 31.02 60.02%
III 10209 34.59 85.05%
IV 3226 37.83 99.57%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.383 Win Model: -0.216
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 19682 67.43% 37.76 65.63%
2 5845 67.96% 39.55 70.81%
3 1659 57.59% 41.37 76.01%
4 835 58.28% 41.42 70.9%
5 7 100.0% 41.43 28.57%
6 26 46.15% 41.12 61.54%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 179
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8506
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6563
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3172
Lose: Invader deck ran out 280
Lose: Adversary condition 60
Win: Sacrifice victory 144
Lose: Scenario condition 332
Win: Scenario condition 364
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8142
Lose: Spirit destroyed 312

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1135 52.17% 44.39 2.729 72.6% 0.913 0.7791
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 645 80.78% 36.29 -1.678 50.85% -0.253 -0.2071
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 605 56.38% 44.44 0.226 75.37% 0.207 0.0867
Downpour Drenches the World 43 83.72% 31.14 -4.681 37.21% -0.759 -0.41
Eyes Watch From the Trees 605 61.67% 43.87 0.447 70.74% 0.213 -0.2079
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 619 63.36% 42.37 1.401 65.43% 0.603 0.0409
Finder of Paths Unseen 85 58.82% 46.19 2.994 82.35% 0.967 1.3682
Fractured Days Split the Sky 137 60.58% 44.81 -2.779 66.42% -0.378 -0.324
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 161 55.28% 46.89 1.144 80.12% 0.165 0.1561
Heart of the Wildfire 987 79.76% 35.61 -1.49 52.38% -0.196 0.0308
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1948 64.61% 41.97 0.479 65.86% 0.195 -0.3274
Lightning's Swift Strike 984 68.9% 39.05 0.999 57.42% 0.134 0.3777
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 18 66.67% 43.17 -1.182 72.22% -0.071 -0.9247
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 191 43.98% 47.82 6.48 83.25% 0.547 -0.0621
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 117 56.41% 46.09 -5.414 71.79% -0.387 -0.7642
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 435 71.03% 40.89 -1.911 65.52% -0.141 -0.3586
Many Minds Move as One 212 57.55% 44.98 -1.63 75.94% -0.058 -0.5966
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1073 74.46% 38.74 1.897 58.43% 0.231 -0.0862
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 577 57.99% 43.83 -0.331 73.66% -0.137 -0.1527
River Surges in Sunlight 1281 71.25% 40.85 0.336 56.67% -0.283 -0.2304
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 63 76.19% 40.63 2.44 60.32% 0.248 0.606
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 10 60.0% 49.9 4.586 70.0% 0.169 -0.061
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 745 70.88% 38.11 -2.651 57.18% -0.153 -0.1876
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 516 79.65% 36.33 -2.76 47.09% -0.611 -0.1435
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 1 100.0% 55.0 3.971 100.0% 0.12 0.2176
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 6 83.33% 36.33 -0.821 50.0% -0.043 -0.2184
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 65 66.15% 40.69 -0.588 66.15% 0.208 0.1488
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 47 89.36% 30.51 0.0 36.17%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 997 56.27% 43.86 1.938 69.41% 0.366 0.0634
Shifting Memory of Ages 81 85.19% 34.37 -3.118 49.38% -0.691 -0.6519
Shroud of Silent Mist 152 88.16% 30.09 -9.337 37.5% -0.209 0.1159
Starlight Seeks its Form 113 64.6% 43.48 5.528 69.03% 0.546 0.3415
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 363 79.06% 31.94 -4.005 51.24% -0.195 -0.381
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 546 66.67% 39.82 0.764 59.89% -0.127 -0.0431
Thunderspeaker 965 68.55% 41.35 3.348 61.35% 0.625 0.5944
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 460 92.37% 33.86 -2.138 52.61% 0.134 0.09
Vital Strength of the Earth 672 73.03% 34.46 -1.349 45.24% -0.238 0.5569
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 18 72.22% 36.06 -4.91 55.56% -0.824 -0.3724
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 99 69.7% 37.98 -1.982 59.6% 0.037 1.0685
Volcano Looming High 253 66.8% 40.17 -2.728 65.61% -0.673 -0.6466

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 100.0% 54.0 3.095 100.0% 0.248 0.3567
Blitz 0 179 72.67% 33.56 -8.052 44.13% -0.304 -0.0369
Dahan Insurrection 4 152 56.58% 56.51 18.938 57.89% 0.521 0.8538
Despicable Theft 2 12 75.0% 38.58 0.0 41.67%
Elemental Invocation 1 18 77.78% 34.17 0.0 38.89%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 643 25.43% 49.57 0.863 74.34% -0.375 -0.2086
Powers Long Forgotten 1 49 83.67% 38.78 10.607 48.98% 0.18 0.5057
Rituals of Terror 3 86 72.09% 43.1 0.0 40.7%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 47 74.47% 46.43 -11.164 46.81% -0.562 0.0948
Second Wave 0 253 68.38% 38.49 -1.908 52.96% -0.399 0.0724
The Great River 3 18 77.78% 37.22 2.385 27.78% -0.19 1.3105
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 18.0 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 60 78.33% 41.13 5.886 41.67% 0.035 1.2226

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8142 71.21% 37.8 -1.509 57.06% -0.292 0.1548
1 Thematic 967 62.77% 42.49 1.792 51.81% 0.131 0.7339
2 Archipelago 2 50.0% 40.5 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1948 70.36% 40.51 1.53 64.53% 0.415 0.8061
2 Coastline 208 64.9% 43.74 1.144 73.08% -0.203 -0.1145
2 Fragment 37 78.38% 35.97 5.353 56.76% 0.087 0.1529
2 Heart 29 72.41% 42.17 1.408 65.52% -0.159 0.1128
2 Opposite Shores 306 66.23% 40.74 2.887 64.38% 0.449 0.9414
2 Thematic 169 76.33% 42.25 -9.264 47.34% -0.725 -0.2565
2 Top to Top 52 61.54% 40.6 9.818 61.54% 0.33 0.6121
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 22 68.18% 50.09 9.742 77.27% 0.223 -0.4163
3 Other 30 66.67% 41.47 4.291 66.67% 0.313 -0.776
3 Round (Default) 596 61.66% 44.35 -0.443 75.0% -0.29 -0.0216
3 Sunrise 5 60.0% 40.6 0.0 60.0%
3 Thematic 44 88.64% 33.59 3.095 27.27% 0.248 0.0247
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 33.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 21 28.57% 54.9 0.0 95.24%
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 56 60.71% 46.79 0.0 55.36%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 251 50.0% 45.34 -2.811 73.31% -0.738 -0.8752
5 Other 3 33.33% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 1 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 4 50.0% 46.25 0.0 75.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 763 34.37 -3.824 46.66% -1.362 0.4696
Aid From Lesser Spirits 576 34.83 -4.094 46.18% -1.473 0.1812
All Things Weaken 323 31.61 -6.661 41.18% -2.018 -0.0416
Back Against the Wall 518 36.41 -3.694 50.58% -1.288 0.5704
Disintegrating Ecosystem 714 30.55 -4.167 41.46% -1.261 0.7138
Downward Spiral 1437 32.65 -4.951 45.72% -1.536 0.3657
Erosion of Will 707 30.89 -4.25 37.48% -1.246 0.7981
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 67 50.31 2.486 94.03% 0.457 1.0295
Memory Fades to Dust 1451 31.02 -5.134 40.52% -1.662 0.3174
Power Corrodes the Spirit 300 31.28 -5.513 43.67% -1.537 0.3544
Promising Farmlands 710 30.28 -2.223 38.73% -0.729 1.3093
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 52 51.25 2.38 98.08% 0.212 0.6524
Thriving Communities 319 29.71 -6.208 39.81% -1.621 0.3435
Tipping Point 324 29.92 5.906 36.11% 0.1 0.5894
Unnatural Proliferation 337 33.84 -4.265 46.59% -1.326 0.5797
Untended Land Crumbles 314 32.16 -5.89 44.9% -1.667 0.3674

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2760 70.41% 39.6 0.293 61.12% 0.167 0.9353
B 2924 67.45% 39.58 1.322 61.53% 0.308 1.0008
C 3089 70.29% 39.48 0.837 61.25% 0.195 0.7592
D 2690 66.45% 40.5 0.185 63.75% 0.089 0.8568
E 996 67.54% 41.79 0.672 68.57% 0.016 0.6151
F 1389 64.59% 40.73 0.119 65.01% 0.088 0.798
G 1252 65.41% 41.06 0.267 65.97% 0.012 0.7379
H 1387 66.91% 40.46 -2.64 63.95% -0.492 0.1978
East 765 66.8% 42.06 -2.8 47.32% -0.121 0.5013
Northeast 413 66.34% 42.14 4.472 46.73% -0.101 0.5805
Northwest 278 73.02% 40.63 -9.367 44.24% -0.598 0.469
Southeast 108 54.63% 46.94 -0.768 65.74% -0.228 0.4996
Southwest 92 61.96% 37.96 1.908 51.09% 0.226 1.197
West 599 67.95% 42.1 3.095 49.25% 0.248 1.2516

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 45 0.0% 40.49 6.912 62.22% 0.009 2.0208
Not Using Events or Tokens 1499 74.01% 37.9 1.022 56.24% 0.507 0.7212
Skip Initial Invader Actions 214 14.29% 60.4 5.216 95.33% 0.466 0.3726
Start of Game Growth 337 22.73% 55.45 2.786 89.91% 0.468 -0.24
Unlimited Undo 1117 66.67% 42.67 2.231 68.76% 0.563 -0.1367
Using Tokens but Not Events 694 65.84% 37.42 -1.82 56.05% -0.217 -0.2628

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2526 22.6 9.07%
II 4954 31.02 55.47%
III 3976 34.59 81.44%
IV 1443 37.83 99.51%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.626 Win Model: 0.204
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 9135 70.33% 38.3 56.5%
2 2743 69.78% 40.87 64.09%
3 686 63.34% 43.66 71.57%
4 329 50.61% 46.28 71.73%
5 1 100.0% 43.0 100.0%
6 5 40.0% 51.6 80.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 228
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3151
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2640
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1424
Lose: Invader deck ran out 110
Lose: Adversary condition 13
Win: Sacrifice victory 51
Lose: Scenario condition 223
Win: Scenario condition 157
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4718
Lose: Spirit destroyed 184

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6964 48.78% 49.04 2.441 72.27% 0.372 0.2373
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3485 83.98% 38.26 -1.192 50.7% -0.053 -0.0068
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3418 55.91% 46.84 1.137 73.2% 0.09 -0.0294
Downpour Drenches the World 240 60.0% 48.61 0.619 69.17% -0.137 0.2117
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3318 58.44% 48.0 1.11 72.39% 0.262 -0.1593
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3049 66.09% 44.63 -0.078 65.14% 0.059 -0.5028
Finder of Paths Unseen 229 57.64% 49.98 2.531 79.04% 0.604 1.005
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1796 55.68% 52.15 4.508 71.55% 0.517 0.5708
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1793 61.41% 49.89 0.677 74.01% -0.002 -0.0106
Heart of the Wildfire 5888 71.11% 41.85 -0.863 57.29% 0.113 0.3395
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10621 60.84% 47.39 1.202 70.57% 0.351 -0.1712
Lightning's Swift Strike 4939 68.79% 42.02 -1.295 57.12% -0.378 -0.1349
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 273 71.79% 46.33 0.444 60.07% 0.225 -0.6289
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1813 57.73% 51.3 2.459 81.19% 0.524 -0.0852
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 911 50.6% 53.73 4.214 76.51% 0.501 0.1238
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3181 64.45% 46.11 1.027 68.12% 0.367 0.1491
Many Minds Move as One 1243 50.76% 52.03 3.867 85.52% 0.789 0.2496
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6375 71.37% 41.62 -1.918 54.31% -0.492 -0.8091
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3455 53.93% 48.25 2.646 76.61% 0.621 0.6048
River Surges in Sunlight 6591 65.35% 47.84 1.957 63.09% 0.226 0.2782
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 410 71.95% 42.1 -5.892 51.22% -1.2 -0.8424
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 152 75.0% 50.0 1.815 57.24% -0.162 -0.3918
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5087 63.99% 45.25 -1.825 65.6% -0.404 -0.4382
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1940 77.84% 36.91 -5.71 43.45% -0.899 -0.4316
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 23 91.3% 41.96 -1.974 52.17% -0.232 -0.1343
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 39 84.62% 40.08 2.163 51.28% 0.418 0.2431
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 701 71.9% 42.04 3.569 58.49% 0.588 0.5284
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 315 79.37% 38.93 4.041 48.57% 0.265 0.425
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4665 50.91% 48.97 1.956 72.52% 0.408 0.1054
Shifting Memory of Ages 739 79.57% 40.44 -2.008 50.88% -0.546 -0.5068
Shroud of Silent Mist 773 85.12% 37.61 -0.912 51.23% -0.165 0.1592
Starlight Seeks its Form 1360 58.75% 48.75 2.009 70.96% 0.452 0.2478
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3939 72.11% 37.06 -5.046 52.91% -1.095 -1.2809
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2902 59.05% 47.15 -0.04 69.57% -0.033 0.0515
Thunderspeaker 3730 68.64% 45.07 0.135 61.69% -0.036 -0.0667
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3575 84.67% 39.71 -1.525 59.13% 0.124 0.0802
Vital Strength of the Earth 2323 72.79% 37.07 -3.102 45.67% -0.681 0.114
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 103 74.76% 42.41 -0.801 59.22% -0.273 0.1789
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 641 70.2% 38.13 -3.885 50.39% -0.671 0.3606
Volcano Looming High 2832 61.02% 46.78 -0.803 72.1% 0.095 0.1207

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 100.0% 19.5 -10.889 0.0% -0.674 -0.5653
Blitz 0 562 67.9% 39.37 -3.318 51.96% -0.384 -0.1167
Dahan Insurrection 4 815 48.1% 68.06 8.85 70.92% 0.075 0.4081
Despicable Theft 2 23 91.3% 47.91 10.266 52.17% 0.536 0.7863
Elemental Invocation 1 67 76.12% 41.45 -3.662 52.24% -0.396 0.2524
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5433 23.1% 54.79 3.947 75.46% -0.111 0.0547
Powers Long Forgotten 1 135 79.7% 37.93 3.139 34.07% 0.099 0.4252
Rituals of Terror 3 165 82.42% 45.67 1.713 32.12% -0.134 -0.244
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 71 91.55% 41.11 0.0 33.8%
Second Wave 0 609 82.43% 38.58 -7.869 46.8% -1.055 -0.5844
The Great River 3 46 67.39% 34.91 -3.513 17.39% -1.091 0.4099
Varied Terrains 2 9 88.89% 35.22 -2.16 22.22% -0.385 0.1509
Ward the Shores 2 144 85.31% 39.69 -2.123 36.81% -0.355 0.8317

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 55152 68.73% 42.31 -0.643 60.74% -0.152 0.2952
1 Thematic 1669 69.99% 43.12 1.184 47.15% -0.04 0.5626
2 Archipelago 9 88.89% 53.44 14.155 44.44% 0.325 0.9906
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8013 69.04% 44.91 -0.585 66.34% -0.276 0.1158
2 Coastline 1148 66.61% 46.45 2.686 68.21% 0.29 0.3778
2 Fragment 264 70.08% 48.11 4.599 75.38% 0.97 1.0355
2 Heart 99 76.77% 44.98 3.963 62.63% 0.482 0.7541
2 Opposite Shores 1643 65.73% 43.84 -1.238 61.29% -0.541 -0.048
2 Thematic 433 72.09% 44.86 -2.118 43.88% -1.14 -0.6724
2 Top to Top 295 70.65% 44.98 1.2 65.76% 0.207 0.4893
3 Archipelago 3 66.67% 82.33 7.678 100.0% 0.489 0.1056
3 Coastline 69 28.99% 54.7 4.928 81.16% 0.259 -0.3805
3 Other 111 66.67% 47.38 4.706 72.97% 1.026 -0.0631
3 Round (Default) 2996 58.27% 46.69 1.165 69.89% 0.077 0.345
3 Sunrise 22 63.64% 46.68 4.896 68.18% 0.231 0.011
3 Thematic 83 80.0% 44.66 -7.666 43.37% -0.137 -0.3607
4 Archipelago 7 42.86% 48.71 15.564 42.86% 0.011 -0.8405
4 Coastline 21 0.0% 64.24 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 25.4 0.0 20.0%
4 Other 235 31.06% 54.12 4.117 86.38% 0.173 -0.273
4 Thematic 1085 31.52% 65.84 13.703 84.06% 0.478 0.5739
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2241 55.73% 48.02 1.603 70.15% -0.275 -0.4123
5 Archipelago 2 50.0% 50.5 0.0 50.0%
5 Coastline 12 8.33% 63.5 3.89 100.0% 0.049 -0.4631
5 Other 50 61.22% 56.44 4.05 90.0% 0.396 0.6654
5 Thematic 7 14.29% 78.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 6 0.0% 63.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Coastline 5 20.0% 59.6 1.654 100.0% 0.007 -0.4328
6 Other 13 53.85% 65.08 4.554 84.62% 0.049 0.9367
6 Star 6 66.67% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 70 52.86% 59.77 0.884 85.71% -0.159 0.2039
6 Two Centers (Default) 51 27.45% 57.98 -7.939 80.39% -1.655 -1.2767
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 4357 35.84 -4.448 45.08% -2.099 -0.2675
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3501 39.7 -3.908 52.73% -2.034 -0.3793
All Things Weaken 2313 36.57 -5.344 46.74% -2.281 -0.3042
Back Against the Wall 3277 38.32 -3.391 49.16% -1.98 -0.1214
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4269 33.74 -6.785 44.88% -2.479 -0.5044
Downward Spiral 6409 35.04 -5.363 47.15% -2.016 -0.1141
Erosion of Will 4263 34.62 -5.625 42.15% -2.414 -0.3701
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 520 54.49 0.731 94.23% -0.404 0.1687
Memory Fades to Dust 6655 34.0 -5.57 42.03% -2.212 -0.2323
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2301 35.82 -5.02 46.89% -2.173 -0.2813
Promising Farmlands 4193 33.98 -5.933 43.62% -2.274 -0.235
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 400 55.49 4.322 95.75% 0.658 1.0984
Thriving Communities 2144 35.07 -5.328 46.55% -2.141 -0.1771
Tipping Point 1595 32.86 0.0 40.13%
Unnatural Proliferation 2430 37.26 -4.331 47.16% -2.144 -0.2385
Untended Land Crumbles 2117 35.59 -5.159 46.91% -2.176 -0.1419

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 15932 65.58% 44.22 0.914 63.72% -0.048 0.7204
B 16213 65.6% 43.42 -0.847 62.22% -0.411 0.2815
C 17658 68.33% 42.86 -0.78 61.17% -0.29 0.2745
D 14970 67.85% 42.9 -0.094 61.7% -0.165 0.6036
E 7300 66.19% 45.33 0.553 67.26% -0.049 0.5506
F 9709 60.73% 47.0 1.385 70.67% 0.019 0.7288
G 8267 63.99% 45.14 0.454 66.48% -0.171 0.5551
H 8683 64.84% 44.89 0.399 66.77% -0.095 0.5949
East 2436 52.27% 55.19 4.817 64.98% 0.266 0.8883
Northeast 1646 46.82% 57.42 5.776 67.38% 0.151 0.8326
Northwest 1406 45.77% 57.14 -1.551 67.43% -0.524 0.5425
Southeast 397 53.15% 57.06 1.226 77.33% -0.254 0.4743
Southwest 396 55.3% 54.12 0.064 74.75% -0.481 0.4895
West 2175 51.37% 54.41 -2.522 64.55% -0.934 0.0695

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 297 0.0% 50.66 -3.474 74.75% -0.738 1.2736
Not Using Events or Tokens 4776 75.99% 38.22 -2.521 50.23% -0.359 -0.1451
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2170 18.97% 63.38 7.875 90.0% 0.067 -0.0266
Start of Game Growth 2966 21.32% 61.62 7.83 88.23% 1.366 0.6585
Unlimited Undo 8687 52.95% 50.94 4.58 77.78% 0.94 0.24
Using Tokens but Not Events 3838 54.38% 46.14 2.168 65.53% 0.208 0.1621

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 15055 22.6 11.86%
II 26562 31.02 58.43%
III 26607 34.59 83.93%
IV 7617 37.83 99.8%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.743 Win Model: 0.513
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 56985 68.78% 42.37 60.35%
2 11822 68.57% 44.92 65.21%
3 3267 58.21% 46.83 69.67%
4 3586 46.44% 53.95 75.57%
5 29 37.93% 56.62 86.21%
6 152 41.45% 59.78 83.55%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1781
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 21901
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 14857
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7535
Lose: Invader deck ran out 632
Lose: Adversary condition 285
Win: Sacrifice victory 392
Lose: Scenario condition 1392
Win: Scenario condition 773
Lose: Blight pool ran out 25161
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1132

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-09-16 02:17:41 (Pacific Time)