The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4243 27.44% 24.87 0.202 87.23% 0.116 0.001
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2947 49.57% 23.53 -0.587 81.78% 0.237 0.3328
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2017 26.2% 26.28 -0.023 92.12% 0.381 0.2198
Downpour Drenches the World 65 23.08% 26.48 -0.685 84.62% -0.315 -0.0626
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2347 16.95% 28.53 0.583 94.08% 0.106 -0.3318
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2062 23.63% 27.44 0.95 93.65% 0.871 0.3828
Finder of Paths Unseen 18 38.89% 29.78 -0.883 77.78% -0.586 -0.2228
Fractured Days Split the Sky 355 41.41% 26.62 -0.356 76.62% -1.127 -1.0708
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 326 44.79% 27.05 -0.034 82.82% -0.036 -0.0674
Heart of the Wildfire 2988 58.5% 21.28 -0.533 74.83% -0.37 -0.1957
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4202 28.52% 26.94 0.578 91.79% 0.458 0.0017
Lightning's Swift Strike 4316 42.38% 23.79 -0.339 80.03% 0.678 0.952
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 25 16.0% 29.92 -0.332 96.0% 0.44 -0.3371
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 245 30.33% 28.33 1.91 91.84% 0.441 -0.2017
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 203 37.44% 25.39 -0.181 84.24% 0.2 -0.0666
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 902 33.3% 27.11 0.519 89.69% -0.381 -0.6472
Many Minds Move as One 660 26.25% 27.36 0.665 92.73% -0.113 -0.7156
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4323 42.66% 24.47 -0.594 84.66% 0.113 -0.0719
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1874 30.06% 25.3 -0.267 87.99% -0.548 -0.5276
River Surges in Sunlight 5303 38.81% 26.3 -1.038 80.33% -0.738 -0.7721
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 333 37.84% 26.33 -0.21 79.88% 0.193 0.6245
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 16 43.75% 32.81 1.864 93.75% 0.508 0.2076
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2489 37.64% 23.57 0.378 84.97% 0.669 0.6163
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3221 55.23% 23.38 -1.409 76.96% 0.019 0.4284
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 12 33.33% 34.5 3.332 91.67% 0.442 0.4486
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 8 12.5% 27.63 -0.828 62.5% -1.461 -1.8075
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 208 39.42% 26.65 -0.473 89.42% -0.112 -0.0926
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 144 43.06% 26.72 0.309 88.89% 0.555 0.738
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2799 29.74% 26.89 0.345 88.14% 0.137 -0.1501
Shifting Memory of Ages 292 54.45% 23.07 -1.786 75.34% -0.624 -0.5489
Shroud of Silent Mist 402 53.63% 23.77 -0.663 80.35% -0.171 0.0657
Starlight Seeks its Form 360 26.46% 30.18 1.503 88.61% 0.737 0.5981
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1255 29.11% 24.5 0.135 89.08% 0.711 0.5287
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1594 34.89% 24.55 -0.493 83.56% -0.416 -0.2313
Thunderspeaker 3963 30.54% 27.28 0.288 86.4% -0.119 -0.0544
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 929 61.41% 20.86 -0.252 77.93% 0.476 0.3855
Vital Strength of the Earth 4323 34.42% 22.94 -2.128 78.39% -0.252 0.5562
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 10 30.0% 30.3 0.64 80.0% -0.251 0.1355
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 186 33.7% 21.45 -2.548 75.81% -1.216 -0.0416
Volcano Looming High 587 39.08% 24.34 0.58 82.11% 0.525 0.5211

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 698 44.65% 22.28 0.854 76.5% 0.24 0.4977
Dahan Insurrection 4 622 20.98% 45.68 9.06 81.35% -0.714 -0.3012
Despicable Theft 2 57 38.6% 33.79 8.195 80.7% 0.406 0.8522
Elemental Invocation 1 89 53.93% 25.4 -2.637 71.91% -1.053 -0.5668
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1749 8.31% 30.17 0.753 83.3% -1.254 -0.9481
Powers Long Forgotten 1 347 51.59% 28.73 4.29 76.95% -0.084 0.0982
Rituals of Terror 3 406 44.91% 35.25 4.916 72.91% -0.369 -0.2477
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 243 65.84% 32.69 12.389 66.26% 0.807 1.2223
Second Wave 0 655 56.79% 24.9 2.902 71.91% -1.466 -0.9005
The Great River 3 84 53.57% 28.36 2.481 52.38% -1.101 0.2967
Varied Terrains 2 5 60.0% 29.4 0.959 80.0% -0.253 0.2726
Ward the Shores 2 426 43.9% 30.59 -0.462 74.41% -1.247 -0.0854

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 28619 40.26% 23.96 -0.486 82.03% -0.441 0.5749
1 Thematic 3375 43.04% 30.99 2.055 76.98% -0.907 0.2654
2 Archipelago 8 25.0% 31.0 0.0 62.5%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6625 34.85% 24.24 -0.087 85.52% -0.182 0.5689
2 Coastline 517 34.97% 24.76 -0.303 87.23% -0.093 0.5092
2 Fragment 140 37.96% 22.91 -0.437 85.71% -0.219 0.229
2 Heart 84 59.76% 21.36 0.154 79.76% 0.576 1.114
2 Opposite Shores 713 33.04% 24.24 -0.299 88.78% 0.388 1.3808
2 Thematic 721 43.81% 32.98 3.714 81.55% -0.141 0.5577
2 Top to Top 141 33.57% 23.23 -2.262 85.11% -0.031 0.4789
3 Archipelago 5 60.0% 32.0 10.981 60.0% 0.043 0.2164
3 Coastline 9 55.56% 28.0 0.0 88.89%
3 Other 71 42.25% 21.25 -2.554 77.46% 0.008 -0.0273
3 Round (Default) 1998 28.48% 25.08 -0.133 89.44% -0.26 0.3347
3 Sunrise 5 20.0% 24.8 0.0 80.0%
3 Thematic 149 40.94% 31.7 5.26 77.18% 0.026 -0.0114
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 21.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 6 16.67% 27.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 27 25.93% 23.48 1.342 88.89% 0.051 -0.2033
4 Thematic 477 31.86% 31.23 -1.52 94.55% 0.146 0.6752
4 Trapezoid (Default) 925 26.94% 25.38 -1.186 91.68% 0.459 0.4318
5 Other 24 45.83% 27.54 -0.588 91.67% 0.071 0.2395
5 Thematic 8 37.5% 32.25 0.373 87.5% 0.008 -0.2687
6 Other 4 50.0% 21.5 -5.037 50.0% -0.76 0.0499
6 Star 2 0.0% 20.5 -9.08 50.0% -0.623 0.1605
6 Thematic 15 7.14% 39.4 -1.008 100.0% 0.013 -0.2657
6 Two Centers (Default) 15 6.67% 25.27 -0.515 93.33% 0.21 0.1161
7 Other 3 0.0% 50.33 5.383 100.0% 0.051 -1.1007

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1097 18.15 -3.853 61.35% -1.758 0.145
Aid From Lesser Spirits 992 19.42 -2.032 60.38% -1.527 0.2026
All Things Weaken 447 17.65 -5.966 57.27% -2.362 -0.3761
Back Against the Wall 924 18.51 -4.049 58.33% -2.248 -0.4319
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1077 15.63 -4.544 56.17% -1.7 0.3505
Downward Spiral 3780 17.02 -5.298 63.52% -2.178 -0.1855
Erosion of Will 1148 18.01 -4.514 59.32% -2.241 -0.1582
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 180 24.72 -0.656 92.78% 0.593 1.0338
Memory Fades to Dust 3860 16.32 -4.166 58.32% -1.95 0.1342
Power Corrodes the Spirit 435 18.56 -2.668 63.45% -1.098 0.8407
Promising Farmlands 1168 16.96 -5.529 61.3% -1.851 0.1951
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 134 25.44 -0.11 94.78% 0.311 0.7358
Thriving Communities 423 17.78 -5.818 62.88% -2.104 -0.1203
Tipping Point 504 16.8 0.0 60.52%
Unnatural Proliferation 446 19.26 -3.271 60.54% -1.71 0.2543
Untended Land Crumbles 483 17.79 -4.07 61.49% -2.126 -0.1327

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9965 39.1% 23.67 -0.357 83.16% -0.27 0.5278
B 10193 37.44% 23.98 -0.548 83.6% -0.468 0.2759
C 10523 36.86% 24.18 -0.384 84.18% -0.315 0.2529
D 10028 35.99% 24.21 -0.546 84.39% -0.474 0.322
E 2419 33.36% 25.6 -0.251 87.85% -0.389 0.2578
F 4231 33.94% 24.96 0.108 87.1% 0.014 0.7384
G 4040 34.25% 24.56 0.527 85.72% -0.332 0.3995
H 4228 34.38% 24.9 -0.529 86.85% -0.571 0.141
East 2951 39.71% 32.31 1.489 81.94% -0.104 0.6644
Northeast 1783 38.33% 32.2 2.074 83.17% 0.37 1.2303
Northwest 1457 38.4% 31.33 1.348 82.16% -0.335 0.7421
Southeast 341 40.59% 30.38 1.279 81.52% -0.346 0.36
Southwest 313 44.87% 27.32 0.33 80.51% 0.01 1.1349
West 2663 42.33% 31.14 1.981 80.1% -0.003 0.9507

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 445 0.0% 20.68 -4.512 67.42% -2.501 -0.3717
Not Using Events or Tokens 10583 46.14% 22.51 -1.593 77.42% -0.435 -0.26
Skip Initial Invader Actions 697 8.9% 35.34 3.408 94.84% -0.248 -0.3903
Start of Game Growth 1025 13.14% 32.89 2.731 93.56% 1.064 0.3034
Unlimited Undo 2393 29.85% 26.97 2.041 88.84% 0.888 0.2838
Using Tokens but Not Events 3346 29.11% 25.99 -0.88 87.75% 0.009 -0.1473

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4419 22.56 52.64%
II 16896 30.98 80.07%
III 15643 34.53 86.78%
IV 7742 37.77 99.1%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.162 Win Model: 0.177
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 32109 40.58% 24.72 81.45%
2 8905 35.67% 24.89 85.65%
3 2194 29.28% 25.34 88.38%
4 1443 28.77% 27.28 92.65%
5 9 0.0% 31.56 100.0%
6 39 10.81% 32.0 89.74%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2322
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13171
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 12763
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7599
Lose: Invader deck ran out 640
Lose: Adversary condition 134
Win: Sacrifice victory 179
Lose: Scenario condition 454
Win: Scenario condition 1068
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6043
Lose: Spirit destroyed 327

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2722 29.19% 30.03 -0.407 85.23% -0.122 -0.2367
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1805 52.21% 29.16 -0.171 82.16% 0.06 0.1559
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1332 29.86% 31.43 0.476 90.99% 0.536 0.3746
Downpour Drenches the World 40 27.5% 30.43 -0.569 92.5% 0.172 0.4246
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1800 18.59% 34.28 0.821 94.33% 1.128 0.6908
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1347 25.41% 33.09 1.415 93.17% 0.569 0.0817
Finder of Paths Unseen 26 53.85% 31.46 0.201 92.31% 0.349 0.7128
Fractured Days Split the Sky 296 39.86% 31.89 0.824 79.39% 0.203 0.2595
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 247 48.99% 31.06 1.349 81.78% 0.964 0.9322
Heart of the Wildfire 2090 58.32% 27.55 0.149 79.09% 0.282 0.4563
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3218 35.61% 31.36 0.69 89.5% 0.739 0.283
Lightning's Swift Strike 2768 39.62% 30.28 -0.332 82.77% -0.473 -0.1989
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 19 47.37% 32.42 0.758 84.21% 0.049 -0.7275
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 185 34.05% 32.44 0.397 88.65% -0.453 -1.0956
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 160 37.5% 33.1 2.662 90.63% 0.694 0.428
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 684 35.58% 31.43 1.096 87.87% 0.312 0.0454
Many Minds Move as One 543 28.18% 32.08 -0.25 90.61% -0.296 -0.8987
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2450 45.05% 29.5 0.491 83.02% 0.226 0.0413
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1297 33.72% 30.77 0.523 87.66% -0.162 -0.1413
River Surges in Sunlight 3205 40.91% 31.46 0.63 81.59% -0.585 -0.6188
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 221 46.36% 30.24 0.586 78.28% 0.115 0.5466
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 23 43.48% 31.83 -0.053 73.91% -1.163 -1.4632
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1503 38.49% 29.23 0.378 84.7% 0.171 0.118
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1863 56.35% 28.16 0.038 76.33% 0.28 0.6898
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 2 50.0% 32.5 1.091 100.0% 0.261 0.268
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 14 50.0% 28.86 -1.27 85.71% -0.043 -0.3903
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 185 38.92% 30.99 0.519 88.11% -0.361 -0.3414
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 116 58.77% 30.7 1.12 82.76% 0.404 0.5875
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1972 31.89% 32.17 0.588 87.78% -0.02 -0.307
Shifting Memory of Ages 212 49.29% 27.78 -0.577 80.66% 0.531 0.6057
Shroud of Silent Mist 311 58.2% 27.12 -1.612 80.71% -0.602 -0.3658
Starlight Seeks its Form 200 42.5% 29.62 -0.084 84.0% -0.164 -0.303
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 742 43.57% 26.3 -1.61 83.15% -0.116 -0.2983
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1126 35.06% 29.81 -1.177 83.75% -0.428 -0.2437
Thunderspeaker 2672 33.35% 32.57 0.877 85.48% -0.258 -0.1933
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 595 71.11% 24.35 -1.718 74.29% -0.472 -0.5622
Vital Strength of the Earth 2524 41.13% 27.04 -2.807 77.22% -0.996 -0.1872
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 18 38.89% 30.39 -0.947 77.78% -0.81 -0.4231
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 122 41.8% 24.57 -0.706 71.31% 0.255 1.4295
Volcano Looming High 391 49.36% 28.15 -2.45 81.59% -0.742 -0.7466

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 33.0 1.816 100.0% 0.045 -0.1569
Blitz 0 548 49.91% 26.09 -0.357 73.72% -0.293 -0.0353
Dahan Insurrection 4 493 22.15% 51.53 8.858 85.19% -0.096 0.3173
Despicable Theft 2 63 57.14% 35.81 4.777 74.6% 0.259 0.7052
Elemental Invocation 1 81 64.2% 30.09 5.522 76.54% 0.094 0.5799
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1130 13.31% 32.96 2.543 78.76% -0.41 -0.104
Powers Long Forgotten 1 321 57.32% 31.05 4.192 71.03% 0.714 0.8955
Rituals of Terror 3 290 48.62% 39.93 3.154 75.86% -0.591 -0.4698
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 212 71.7% 35.99 4.211 64.62% -0.257 0.1584
Second Wave 0 1865 45.99% 30.04 1.623 77.59% -0.155 0.4111
The Great River 3 78 48.72% 32.1 0.0 53.85%
Varied Terrains 2 5 60.0% 45.6 5.753 100.0% 0.185 0.7107
Ward the Shores 2 364 50.96% 32.58 1.205 66.48% -0.646 0.5159

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 16785 42.46% 28.72 -0.44 81.95% -0.152 0.8642
1 Thematic 2702 46.74% 34.68 1.384 73.98% -0.49 0.6825
2 Archipelago 5 20.0% 37.6 0.0 100.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4103 37.48% 29.69 -0.361 87.16% -0.243 0.5081
2 Coastline 454 40.99% 29.07 0.803 85.68% -0.116 0.4864
2 Fragment 117 45.3% 28.46 -1.561 87.18% -0.639 -0.1915
2 Heart 72 36.11% 28.67 -1.88 87.5% 0.12 0.6583
2 Opposite Shores 720 35.06% 29.46 0.435 88.61% 0.294 1.2862
2 Thematic 643 47.2% 35.78 2.494 76.52% 0.639 1.3375
2 Top to Top 123 40.16% 28.85 1.891 82.93% 0.12 0.6305
3 Archipelago 4 25.0% 43.0 2.461 100.0% 0.012 0.1852
3 Coastline 12 66.67% 35.17 0.481 83.33% 0.019 -0.764
3 Other 62 29.03% 28.45 -0.851 91.94% 0.034 -0.0012
3 Round (Default) 1513 29.31% 31.14 0.021 91.47% 0.312 0.9066
3 Sunrise 3 66.67% 28.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 114 44.74% 35.55 -0.676 74.56% 0.514 0.4759
4 Archipelago 3 66.67% 37.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 8 50.0% 24.13 0.0 37.5%
4 Leaf 5 0.0% 37.6 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 46 39.13% 28.89 0.0 84.78%
4 Thematic 271 43.7% 37.1 5.091 89.67% 0.284 0.8134
4 Trapezoid (Default) 623 30.21% 30.92 0.057 88.92% -0.023 -0.0498
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.0 4.083 100.0% 0.039 -0.54
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 20 35.0% 29.45 0.459 80.0% 0.051 0.2195
5 Thematic 3 0.0% 33.67 -3.192 66.67% -0.361 -0.6373
6 Other 1 0.0% 38.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 2 0.0% 31.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 9 33.33% 33.89 -5.016 77.78% -0.603 -0.8813
6 Two Centers (Default) 12 41.67% 39.42 2.303 100.0% 0.147 0.0535
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 774 23.81 -2.222 63.95% -1.55 0.353
Aid From Lesser Spirits 770 24.05 -3.387 63.51% -1.612 0.1179
All Things Weaken 341 23.64 -2.112 63.93% -0.662 1.3233
Back Against the Wall 695 23.58 -2.393 61.01% -1.128 0.6884
Disintegrating Ecosystem 833 20.87 -4.14 60.86% -1.489 0.5615
Downward Spiral 2245 22.01 -3.374 64.63% -1.358 0.635
Erosion of Will 812 22.05 -4.042 58.13% -2.054 0.0295
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 124 29.6 -0.038 92.74% 0.382 0.8231
Memory Fades to Dust 2367 21.14 -5.168 59.19% -2.041 0.0431
Power Corrodes the Spirit 309 22.17 -5.277 62.14% -1.997 -0.0582
Promising Farmlands 883 21.43 -4.316 61.49% -1.884 0.1616
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 87 31.4 -1.202 98.85% 0.136 0.5607
Thriving Communities 316 20.94 -4.881 59.49% -2.153 -0.1691
Tipping Point 365 21.32 0.0 59.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 366 23.73 -0.744 59.56% -0.257 1.707
Untended Land Crumbles 317 22.07 -3.703 64.04% -1.287 0.7058

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6359 41.16% 28.93 -0.058 83.76% 0.281 1.0787
B 6567 38.69% 29.41 0.677 84.97% 0.742 1.4859
C 6789 38.2% 29.57 -0.175 85.52% 0.256 0.8246
D 6384 38.42% 29.51 -0.106 85.31% 0.268 1.0641
E 1724 36.69% 29.85 -0.254 86.37% 0.234 0.8809
F 2772 35.6% 29.92 -0.535 87.27% -0.107 0.6174
G 2558 38.1% 29.53 -0.355 85.18% -0.174 0.5578
H 2641 34.92% 30.0 -0.251 87.13% -0.111 0.6014
East 2369 45.37% 35.75 2.42 76.28% -0.163 0.606
Northeast 1368 46.56% 35.46 1.889 76.61% -0.213 0.6466
Northwest 1079 44.48% 35.99 1.292 81.09% 0.297 1.3739
Southeast 257 40.86% 34.43 -1.589 79.38% -0.06 0.646
Southwest 226 46.46% 31.12 -3.047 75.22% -0.963 0.1622
West 2053 47.15% 34.87 -0.017 76.52% -0.851 0.1029

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 166 0.0% 27.15 -3.761 76.51% -1.226 0.9032
Not Using Events or Tokens 5152 47.05% 27.6 -0.617 77.81% -0.271 -0.0962
Skip Initial Invader Actions 347 9.21% 42.74 2.226 94.81% 0.293 0.1509
Start of Game Growth 555 14.29% 39.47 2.905 93.87% 0.608 -0.1526
Unlimited Undo 1726 34.27% 30.91 0.158 86.85% -0.044 -0.6481
Using Tokens but Not Events 2284 32.66% 30.87 -0.426 86.34% -0.08 -0.2367

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3148 22.56 48.98%
II 11137 30.98 80.83%
III 9940 34.53 88.83%
IV 4217 37.77 99.17%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.053 Win Model: 0.038
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 19559 43.07% 29.57 80.81%
2 6209 38.56% 30.17 86.21%
3 1689 30.76% 31.35 90.53%
4 946 34.26% 32.49 87.95%
5 16 12.5% 33.88 93.75%
6 23 30.43% 35.78 91.3%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1542
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8519
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8380
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4145
Lose: Invader deck ran out 277
Lose: Adversary condition 52
Win: Sacrifice victory 95
Lose: Scenario condition 349
Win: Scenario condition 875
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4024
Lose: Spirit destroyed 184

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3917 32.09% 33.47 0.157 84.86% -0.173 -0.2881
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2253 60.56% 31.0 -0.494 79.32% -0.104 -0.008
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1700 34.96% 34.02 0.131 88.18% -0.056 -0.2174
Downpour Drenches the World 64 25.0% 32.69 -0.341 87.5% -0.044 0.2089
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2237 23.9% 36.76 2.193 92.45% 0.37 -0.0676
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1724 31.76% 35.22 1.031 88.23% 0.37 -0.1173
Finder of Paths Unseen 23 52.17% 27.96 -1.937 73.91% -0.098 0.2655
Fractured Days Split the Sky 421 45.37% 34.83 1.667 75.53% -0.048 0.0078
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 399 46.72% 33.39 -0.752 82.96% -0.192 -0.224
Heart of the Wildfire 2618 67.1% 28.09 -0.928 71.93% -0.055 0.1199
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4507 40.22% 34.38 2.146 88.06% 1.013 0.5571
Lightning's Swift Strike 3141 47.63% 31.11 0.262 77.3% 0.063 0.3369
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 26 62.5% 36.15 1.824 88.46% 0.55 -0.2262
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 308 37.66% 35.21 1.865 89.94% 0.21 -0.4331
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 244 45.68% 35.79 0.182 82.79% -0.77 -1.0362
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1130 40.21% 34.71 0.955 86.37% 0.382 0.1152
Many Minds Move as One 658 33.08% 35.6 2.079 93.31% 0.97 0.3669
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3465 54.37% 31.09 0.05 78.67% 0.188 0.0028
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1658 37.36% 33.19 0.819 86.91% 0.672 0.6928
River Surges in Sunlight 4070 49.12% 33.46 0.4 77.84% -0.285 -0.3194
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 343 51.9% 34.02 -1.888 76.97% -0.783 -0.352
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 30 46.67% 35.37 1.197 83.33% 0.042 -0.2585
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2645 40.6% 32.46 -0.352 84.69% -0.356 -0.4085
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2113 68.02% 28.56 -2.863 68.62% -0.766 -0.3563
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 8 62.5% 31.13 -0.419 62.5% -0.448 -0.4409
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 14 64.29% 38.5 3.129 100.0% 1.081 0.7339
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 241 50.42% 32.4 3.975 81.74% 0.583 0.6018
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 175 69.71% 30.43 -0.199 73.14% 0.09 0.2726
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2585 37.66% 33.89 1.006 83.87% 0.426 0.1393
Shifting Memory of Ages 353 57.51% 30.08 -1.68 74.79% -0.164 -0.089
Shroud of Silent Mist 474 59.49% 30.28 -1.482 79.11% -0.153 0.0835
Starlight Seeks its Form 354 44.76% 34.36 0.748 81.36% 0.091 -0.0484
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1060 45.75% 29.59 -1.157 81.7% -0.225 -0.4074
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1361 46.38% 31.65 -1.451 80.75% -0.748 -0.5637
Thunderspeaker 3373 43.07% 34.48 1.035 83.01% 0.125 0.1891
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 915 74.73% 27.04 -2.439 73.66% -0.051 -0.1419
Vital Strength of the Earth 2973 44.76% 29.21 -2.128 73.06% -0.988 -0.1791
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 21 38.1% 34.95 0.661 90.48% 0.449 0.8362
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 188 42.02% 28.96 -3.875 73.4% -1.438 -0.264
Volcano Looming High 838 47.37% 31.79 0.418 82.7% 0.576 0.5716

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 25.0% 32.75 -0.018 75.0% -0.016 -0.2184
Blitz 0 630 55.13% 28.21 -0.981 71.27% 0.021 0.2786
Dahan Insurrection 4 482 29.65% 52.58 9.73 78.42% -0.151 0.2624
Despicable Theft 2 62 64.52% 36.66 2.995 69.35% -0.331 0.1154
Elemental Invocation 1 95 65.26% 29.48 4.775 64.21% -0.07 0.4155
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1505 17.77% 34.24 0.835 72.23% -1.24 -0.9349
Powers Long Forgotten 1 286 65.38% 30.91 -3.186 60.14% -0.853 -0.6708
Rituals of Terror 3 250 58.23% 40.03 -0.015 62.8% -1.567 -1.4461
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 169 70.41% 38.33 8.982 61.54% 0.216 0.6314
Second Wave 0 1539 55.17% 31.4 1.64 71.8% 0.338 0.9042
The Great River 3 70 62.86% 33.14 -1.262 50.0% -0.708 0.6901
Varied Terrains 2 8 50.0% 40.75 3.486 75.0% -0.292 0.2341
Ward the Shores 2 381 55.38% 35.44 0.739 65.09% -0.459 0.7028

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 20855 50.17% 30.63 -0.609 78.07% -0.054 0.9624
1 Thematic 2572 57.31% 34.27 0.954 66.52% -0.215 0.9576
2 Archipelago 9 55.56% 43.0 4.553 88.89% 0.043 1.0261
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5400 44.78% 32.4 -0.079 84.91% -0.029 0.7228
2 Coastline 650 42.72% 33.22 0.426 85.38% -0.27 0.3324
2 Fragment 150 55.33% 31.04 -1.635 80.0% 0.235 0.6828
2 Heart 89 41.57% 32.51 3.105 80.9% -0.019 0.519
2 Opposite Shores 985 43.33% 32.54 -0.289 85.89% 0.22 1.2127
2 Thematic 859 56.48% 35.23 1.603 69.03% 0.341 1.0394
2 Top to Top 181 46.41% 33.52 6.665 88.4% 0.141 0.651
3 Archipelago 10 80.0% 40.6 28.573 70.0% 0.215 0.3886
3 Coastline 15 33.33% 35.8 0.0 86.67%
3 Other 105 31.07% 32.46 9.489 85.71% 0.145 0.1088
3 Round (Default) 2282 35.78% 33.51 -0.127 87.34% 0.029 0.6233
3 Sunrise 14 35.71% 28.86 0.0 64.29%
3 Thematic 191 51.05% 38.57 4.915 78.01% 0.158 0.1206
4 Archipelago 11 45.45% 47.45 0.0 90.91%
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 43.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 7 42.86% 31.14 3.388 71.43% 0.139 0.702
4 Other 60 27.12% 34.48 1.813 91.67% -0.304 -0.5583
4 Thematic 303 44.59% 38.94 -3.609 80.53% -1.211 -0.682
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1237 33.28% 33.49 0.577 88.6% 0.197 0.1699
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 35.5 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 33 45.45% 38.39 1.45 90.91% -0.04 0.1279
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 42.0 3.531 100.0% 0.348 0.0713
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 55.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 7 14.29% 45.29 0.368 85.71% -0.544 0.2649
6 Star 1 0.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 10 33.33% 47.3 0.0 80.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 20 45.0% 43.25 2.366 70.0% 0.145 0.0505

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1314 25.51 -5.076 60.12% -2.236 -0.3327
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1094 27.33 -3.417 62.61% -2.033 -0.303
All Things Weaken 558 25.73 -3.985 61.47% -1.933 0.0528
Back Against the Wall 1087 27.53 -2.135 63.85% -1.229 0.5875
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1239 23.35 -4.037 59.48% -1.694 0.3567
Downward Spiral 3067 24.71 -5.236 63.71% -2.096 -0.1034
Erosion of Will 1331 24.49 -3.635 56.72% -1.77 0.313
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 221 33.65 -0.495 94.57% -0.329 0.1119
Memory Fades to Dust 3066 23.89 -4.01 57.96% -2.049 0.0348
Power Corrodes the Spirit 568 25.11 -1.434 61.62% -1.361 0.5769
Promising Farmlands 1330 24.17 -5.161 60.08% -2.159 -0.113
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 151 33.95 -0.781 98.01% 0.492 0.9168
Thriving Communities 529 24.79 -3.068 62.19% -1.282 0.7021
Tipping Point 576 24.66 0.0 60.59%
Unnatural Proliferation 573 25.8 -3.578 60.73% -1.609 0.3559
Untended Land Crumbles 531 24.34 -5.207 61.02% -2.096 -0.1031

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8578 45.04% 31.83 0.104 82.27% -0.021 0.7769
B 8845 45.26% 31.74 -0.264 82.05% -0.021 0.7229
C 9229 43.88% 31.92 0.117 82.27% -0.052 0.5162
D 8479 46.02% 31.51 0.635 81.93% 0.177 0.9731
E 2620 44.67% 32.68 0.271 83.85% -0.203 0.4443
F 3955 40.94% 33.3 0.097 85.41% -0.268 0.4558
G 3539 43.75% 32.32 -0.48 83.64% -0.479 0.2529
H 3573 43.38% 32.51 0.06 83.52% 0.147 0.8595
East 2549 53.15% 36.59 1.504 71.79% -0.28 0.4883
Northeast 1457 53.01% 37.22 1.426 73.85% 0.05 0.9095
Northwest 1201 56.17% 34.76 0.048 67.53% -0.399 0.6778
Southeast 302 51.0% 34.06 -0.42 71.52% -0.261 0.4456
Southwest 273 52.03% 33.24 -2.584 73.63% -0.818 0.3072
West 2241 57.09% 34.66 0.471 67.92% -0.455 0.4991

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 197 0.0% 31.27 -0.682 78.68% -0.917 1.2126
Not Using Events or Tokens 5614 53.33% 29.47 -0.964 74.6% -0.056 0.1186
Skip Initial Invader Actions 439 17.11% 44.13 -2.773 91.57% -1.389 -1.5316
Start of Game Growth 718 17.6% 42.07 4.395 90.25% 0.704 -0.0563
Unlimited Undo 2623 43.34% 33.02 0.493 84.03% 0.061 -0.543
Using Tokens but Not Events 2743 40.28% 32.85 -0.839 84.58% 0.376 0.2196

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2550 22.56 14.78%
II 14970 30.98 74.83%
III 12272 34.53 88.62%
IV 6272 37.77 99.08%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.191 Win Model: 0.305
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 23508 51.02% 31.04 76.75%
2 8300 45.72% 32.76 83.48%
3 2592 36.49% 33.88 86.73%
4 1615 35.41% 34.72 87.43%
5 11 45.45% 37.64 72.73%
6 38 35.14% 44.63 76.32%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 376
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10568
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10618
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6162
Lose: Invader deck ran out 397
Lose: Adversary condition 69
Win: Sacrifice victory 162
Lose: Scenario condition 607
Win: Scenario condition 783
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6031
Lose: Spirit destroyed 291

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3712 41.09% 41.51 1.277 84.54% 0.665 0.5506
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2335 73.37% 36.22 -1.487 69.72% -0.445 -0.3496
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2009 36.23% 43.38 1.485 89.4% 0.119 -0.0424
Downpour Drenches the World 66 54.55% 37.71 -1.214 75.76% -0.405 -0.1522
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2195 41.64% 43.19 2.537 87.84% 1.284 0.8467
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1955 45.11% 42.22 0.828 85.01% 0.31 -0.1778
Finder of Paths Unseen 38 68.42% 32.53 -3.501 63.16% -0.808 -0.4449
Fractured Days Split the Sky 709 42.17% 43.78 2.06 78.28% -0.362 -0.3058
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 596 52.68% 43.08 0.474 86.74% 0.198 0.1665
Heart of the Wildfire 3263 69.49% 36.49 -0.782 71.65% -0.033 0.1411
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5422 52.4% 42.46 0.946 84.73% -0.068 -0.5239
Lightning's Swift Strike 3315 54.71% 39.87 0.752 77.92% 0.161 0.4353
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 41 67.57% 43.76 1.826 90.24% 0.585 -0.192
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 468 37.04% 45.79 3.009 91.45% 0.604 -0.0394
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 223 52.47% 43.75 -1.314 85.2% -0.559 -0.8253
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1296 52.36% 42.06 0.933 84.18% 0.056 -0.2105
Many Minds Move as One 738 48.17% 42.88 1.165 90.24% 0.238 -0.3644
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3428 64.71% 37.53 -0.959 73.92% -0.291 -0.4757
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1810 43.41% 42.12 1.188 87.79% 0.821 0.8418
River Surges in Sunlight 4002 57.32% 42.13 0.384 78.56% -0.329 -0.3631
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 312 61.54% 39.13 -0.455 71.79% -0.347 0.0845
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 34 66.67% 44.44 1.969 82.35% -0.221 -0.5213
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2389 56.74% 38.61 1.214 78.11% 0.36 0.3072
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1982 75.39% 35.14 -1.288 64.88% -0.202 0.2079
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 8 50.0% 44.0 1.093 87.5% 0.29 0.2967
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 15 73.33% 39.47 0.883 73.33% -0.071 -0.418
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 310 52.26% 42.07 2.58 86.77% 0.632 0.6518
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 147 77.55% 39.86 -2.202 79.59% -0.336 -0.1535
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3230 39.68% 43.26 0.63 85.33% 0.063 -0.2242
Shifting Memory of Ages 339 72.27% 35.8 -0.768 70.21% -0.284 -0.2088
Shroud of Silent Mist 509 73.23% 37.91 1.762 77.8% 0.795 1.0318
Starlight Seeks its Form 533 51.41% 40.92 -0.683 81.99% -0.277 -0.4165
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1619 59.31% 35.42 -2.793 76.84% -0.374 -0.5557
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1642 50.86% 41.31 -1.875 82.52% -0.69 -0.505
Thunderspeaker 2909 52.18% 42.49 0.372 81.09% -0.179 -0.1144
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1270 83.86% 34.51 -1.54 72.99% 0.013 -0.078
Vital Strength of the Earth 2405 60.35% 34.73 -1.08 66.74% -0.4 0.4084
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 21 52.38% 42.48 0.787 90.48% 0.482 0.8688
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 286 51.05% 35.62 -0.806 72.03% -0.103 1.0711
Volcano Looming High 923 58.4% 39.29 -0.96 79.74% -0.577 -0.5814

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 100.0% 45.0 3.697 100.0% 0.198 -0.0044
Blitz 0 479 62.03% 34.99 0.57 67.01% 0.459 0.7166
Dahan Insurrection 4 490 34.9% 62.91 13.179 82.45% 0.721 1.1337
Despicable Theft 2 45 62.22% 37.82 3.341 51.11% -0.617 -0.1713
Elemental Invocation 1 96 70.83% 35.91 0.0 60.42%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1580 24.21% 43.46 1.262 77.85% -0.65 -0.3444
Powers Long Forgotten 1 233 75.97% 38.24 -4.195 60.09% -0.876 -0.694
Rituals of Terror 3 168 60.71% 48.11 -3.045 66.07% -1.007 -0.8858
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 58 81.03% 45.98 10.12 62.07% 0.206 0.621
Second Wave 0 1036 65.73% 35.74 -2.187 62.84% -0.777 -0.2113
The Great River 3 57 77.19% 41.49 4.882 52.63% -0.465 0.9327
Varied Terrains 2 5 80.0% 43.0 2.313 60.0% -0.134 0.3918
Ward the Shores 2 225 66.22% 40.56 -4.131 59.56% -0.961 0.2004

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 26166 58.42% 38.44 -0.536 76.33% -0.171 0.8448
1 Thematic 1846 61.36% 41.72 1.793 66.03% -0.59 0.5829
2 Archipelago 9 55.56% 49.56 0.0 88.89%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5863 54.57% 40.17 -0.146 82.19% -0.039 0.7127
2 Coastline 725 55.29% 40.65 -0.391 81.38% 0.162 0.7643
2 Fragment 145 60.69% 38.94 0.0 77.93%
2 Heart 83 60.24% 39.18 3.322 80.72% 0.553 1.0913
2 Opposite Shores 1100 57.17% 40.74 0.564 83.36% 0.039 1.0311
2 Thematic 635 60.73% 44.4 1.417 72.28% -0.289 0.4093
2 Top to Top 189 57.67% 38.44 1.637 75.13% 0.506 1.0164
3 Archipelago 8 75.0% 51.13 3.154 87.5% 0.061 0.2339
3 Coastline 40 32.5% 46.98 8.489 95.0% 0.315 -0.4678
3 Other 124 42.74% 41.85 2.103 87.9% -0.112 -0.1477
3 Round (Default) 2097 48.19% 41.04 0.114 84.69% 0.137 0.7315
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 105 58.65% 43.63 -2.218 71.43% -0.491 -0.5291
4 Archipelago 4 75.0% 47.5 3.435 100.0% 0.031 -0.6798
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 41.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 42.6 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 50 38.0% 41.98 -7.968 88.0% -0.614 -0.8679
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 66.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 234 42.31% 52.06 3.407 78.63% 0.234 0.7635
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1129 42.49% 43.38 1.137 89.55% 0.365 0.3382
5 Other 19 57.89% 42.32 0.691 84.21% -0.22 -0.0515
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 42.75 5.157 50.0% 0.052 -0.2245
6 Other 8 12.5% 48.13 -0.554 87.5% -0.483 0.3267
6 Star 4 0.0% 38.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 6 83.33% 50.67 -0.013 83.33% 0.165 -0.1136
6 Two Centers (Default) 15 26.67% 47.2 0.0 93.33%
7 Other 1 100.0% 51.0 7.098 100.0% 0.148 -1.0038

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1870 33.11 -4.363 61.39% -2.013 -0.1101
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1559 35.88 -2.23 67.22% -1.643 0.0869
All Things Weaken 791 32.1 -5.349 59.67% -2.187 -0.2019
Back Against the Wall 1450 34.48 -2.833 63.38% -1.63 0.1865
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1778 30.77 -6.687 60.12% -2.418 -0.3674
Downward Spiral 3647 32.86 -2.67 65.97% -1.423 0.5702
Erosion of Will 1842 32.0 -2.956 58.79% -1.583 0.4995
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 338 42.93 0.096 94.97% -0.107 0.334
Memory Fades to Dust 3566 31.82 -3.374 60.77% -1.594 0.4902
Power Corrodes the Spirit 856 34.0 -2.208 69.04% -1.106 0.8321
Promising Farmlands 1813 30.85 -5.595 59.4% -2.207 -0.1614
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 233 44.19 0.305 98.28% 0.57 0.9948
Thriving Communities 834 31.49 -5.195 61.27% -2.279 -0.295
Tipping Point 816 30.56 0.0 56.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 846 34.22 -3.085 65.37% -1.785 0.1798
Untended Land Crumbles 748 32.22 -6.145 62.43% -2.529 -0.5357

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9069 55.51% 39.45 0.057 79.39% -0.045 0.7523
B 9448 54.37% 39.69 0.338 79.85% -0.003 0.7401
C 10233 55.4% 39.77 0.245 80.06% -0.079 0.489
D 9097 55.54% 39.45 -1.083 79.6% -0.531 0.2642
E 3257 54.75% 40.28 0.619 82.13% 0.143 0.7899
F 4722 50.97% 40.9 1.139 83.14% 0.254 0.9782
G 4102 55.75% 39.4 -0.95 79.99% -0.475 0.2568
H 4441 52.86% 40.13 0.244 81.4% 0.058 0.7701
East 1878 57.96% 44.77 1.683 70.39% -0.053 0.7153
Northeast 1050 58.72% 44.53 1.574 69.52% -0.334 0.526
Northwest 775 59.3% 43.99 -2.331 69.29% -1.062 0.0152
Southeast 264 46.97% 48.34 4.47 82.2% 1.043 1.7494
Southwest 249 50.2% 44.4 2.723 76.31% 0.515 1.6403
West 1553 58.54% 43.72 -1.34 69.03% -0.563 0.391

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 140 0.0% 34.89 -3.344 64.29% -1.844 0.285
Not Using Events or Tokens 4232 66.91% 36.11 -0.679 71.1% -0.266 -0.0906
Skip Initial Invader Actions 455 12.18% 56.32 3.949 96.04% -0.113 -0.2556
Start of Game Growth 669 17.52% 52.84 3.498 93.42% 0.771 0.0101
Unlimited Undo 2844 50.32% 42.22 2.87 84.14% 0.883 0.2792
Using Tokens but Not Events 2665 44.95% 42.56 1.446 84.99% 0.473 0.3168

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3506 22.56 16.06%
II 18668 30.98 74.53%
III 12722 34.53 89.84%
IV 5730 37.77 99.65%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.278 Win Model: 0.316
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 28091 58.62% 38.67 75.67%
2 8726 55.64% 40.51 81.33%
3 2348 47.74% 41.37 84.5%
4 1422 42.74% 44.72 87.55%
5 5 60.0% 39.4 60.0%
6 34 32.35% 47.12 88.24%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 561
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11163
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 13319
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5660
Lose: Invader deck ran out 300
Lose: Adversary condition 63
Win: Sacrifice victory 198
Lose: Scenario condition 442
Win: Scenario condition 715
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7819
Lose: Spirit destroyed 386

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2389 52.38% 40.45 1.85 73.75% 0.344 0.2294
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1462 80.88% 35.45 -3.631 58.82% -0.746 -0.6499
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1463 55.7% 41.21 1.256 77.17% 0.15 -0.0115
Downpour Drenches the World 34 50.0% 37.0 -0.949 67.65% -0.355 -0.1025
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1373 52.59% 43.34 3.99 79.75% 1.094 0.6562
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1367 59.75% 41.56 -0.078 76.81% 0.437 -0.0503
Finder of Paths Unseen 39 79.49% 31.33 -3.059 46.15% -0.831 -0.4674
Fractured Days Split the Sky 332 60.24% 41.92 2.097 68.37% 0.152 0.2083
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 392 60.97% 42.68 0.924 79.85% 0.054 0.0225
Heart of the Wildfire 2053 80.42% 33.8 -2.723 56.11% -0.395 -0.2206
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4361 62.67% 41.2 1.384 75.62% 0.259 -0.1977
Lightning's Swift Strike 2011 65.72% 37.97 2.375 65.44% 0.687 0.9615
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 21 66.67% 46.57 4.313 95.24% 1.269 0.4928
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 332 50.9% 45.08 3.374 86.45% 0.468 -0.1753
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 191 54.97% 44.29 4.113 76.96% 1.003 0.7369
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1134 63.64% 40.56 -0.96 75.57% -0.497 -0.7638
Many Minds Move as One 468 51.92% 45.13 3.514 88.25% 0.955 0.3524
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2442 72.25% 36.78 -1.246 63.6% -0.425 -0.6103
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1237 54.25% 41.44 0.98 77.93% 0.294 0.3147
River Surges in Sunlight 2846 67.94% 41.02 1.34 66.69% -0.125 -0.159
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 193 74.09% 36.33 2.221 57.51% -0.298 0.1332
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 24 58.33% 50.79 5.498 87.5% 0.753 0.4525
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1560 71.14% 36.9 1.003 64.42% 0.479 0.4266
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1099 79.36% 34.36 -3.82 53.59% -0.467 -0.0566
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 4 75.0% 40.75 0.28 75.0% -0.068 -0.0616
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 8 75.0% 44.63 2.802 87.5% 0.469 0.1223
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 200 69.5% 41.58 0.493 79.0% 0.148 0.1674
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 142 76.76% 36.13 -0.175 59.86% -0.031 0.1517
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2202 51.52% 41.62 0.44 73.52% -0.012 -0.299
Shifting Memory of Ages 218 76.15% 34.11 -1.953 55.05% -0.537 -0.4619
Shroud of Silent Mist 323 85.4% 34.79 -0.77 61.92% 0.039 0.2753
Starlight Seeks its Form 417 65.71% 37.8 -0.283 63.55% -0.135 -0.2745
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 962 70.97% 32.87 -3.832 62.99% -0.636 -0.8182
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 997 59.58% 40.5 -0.918 73.52% -0.168 0.0169
Thunderspeaker 1953 64.67% 41.93 0.319 71.63% -0.267 -0.2025
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 886 91.76% 31.85 -2.956 55.64% -0.212 -0.3026
Vital Strength of the Earth 1361 75.52% 32.59 -3.904 50.4% -1.033 -0.2247
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 12 66.67% 31.75 -3.311 50.0% -0.712 -0.3248
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 180 71.67% 32.38 -3.571 50.0% -0.476 0.6988
Volcano Looming High 583 68.44% 38.92 -2.268 71.53% -0.753 -0.7569

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 314 70.55% 33.66 0.221 52.87% 0.07 0.327
Dahan Insurrection 4 329 48.94% 62.22 7.689 76.29% -0.508 -0.0947
Despicable Theft 2 16 68.75% 43.31 0.0 56.25%
Elemental Invocation 1 49 91.84% 30.47 -9.902 38.78% -1.162 -0.6764
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 919 24.07% 44.05 2.97 71.71% -0.16 0.1451
Powers Long Forgotten 1 146 75.34% 37.11 10.524 50.0% 0.496 0.6783
Rituals of Terror 3 117 85.47% 36.99 12.082 35.9% 0.1 0.221
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 91 87.91% 40.27 9.493 39.56% 0.392 0.8073
Second Wave 0 631 75.12% 35.14 -3.519 53.88% -0.864 -0.2978
The Great River 3 22 63.64% 41.68 0.0 45.45%
Varied Terrains 2 2 100.0% 33.0 -1.684 50.0% -0.125 0.4007
Ward the Shores 2 92 77.17% 39.0 0.0 44.57%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 17809 67.39% 37.48 -0.69 66.54% -0.208 0.8078
1 Thematic 1505 67.84% 40.58 -0.126 54.35% -0.213 0.96
2 Archipelago 6 50.0% 50.0 0.0 66.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3812 67.28% 39.7 0.71 73.03% 0.364 1.1153
2 Coastline 476 59.2% 42.3 -0.516 78.57% 0.025 0.6277
2 Fragment 81 69.14% 35.42 0.98 61.73% 0.079 0.5269
2 Heart 80 70.89% 33.86 5.027 56.25% 0.047 0.5853
2 Opposite Shores 750 69.07% 38.95 2.286 71.2% 0.507 1.4991
2 Thematic 412 76.94% 39.52 -1.286 51.94% -0.501 0.1976
2 Top to Top 113 73.21% 38.62 0.662 71.68% -0.049 0.461
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 14 42.86% 50.86 0.0 92.86%
3 Other 90 48.89% 40.69 1.537 74.44% 0.511 0.4753
3 Round (Default) 1487 59.35% 40.53 0.453 73.97% 0.017 0.6118
3 Sunrise 3 66.67% 44.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 91 75.82% 39.41 3.649 51.65% 0.079 0.0418
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 48.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 37.6 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 57 40.35% 44.81 -9.59 84.21% -0.506 -0.7595
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 50.0% 47.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 111 63.96% 41.93 0.0 56.76%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 665 59.36% 40.97 -3.023 72.03% -0.411 -0.4378
5 Other 15 69.23% 45.47 7.294 53.33% -0.003 0.1655
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 6 16.67% 55.17 0.0 66.67%
6 Star 8 25.0% 29.75 0.0 37.5%
6 Thematic 3 100.0% 40.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Two Centers (Default) 8 50.0% 47.5 -0.778 87.5% 0.144 0.0499

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1491 33.13 -2.679 52.58% -1.333 0.5699
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1185 35.27 -3.842 57.38% -1.874 -0.1441
All Things Weaken 696 31.64 -2.151 49.86% -1.189 0.796
Back Against the Wall 1152 34.52 -1.066 54.69% -1.115 0.7015
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1482 31.64 -4.635 54.99% -1.532 0.5187
Downward Spiral 2695 32.62 -3.33 56.18% -1.393 0.6005
Erosion of Will 1591 31.66 -5.987 48.77% -2.257 -0.1739
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 211 47.08 3.428 99.05% 0.514 0.9555
Memory Fades to Dust 2728 31.49 -5.49 50.99% -2.203 -0.1188
Power Corrodes the Spirit 673 31.74 -5.747 53.64% -2.111 -0.1728
Promising Farmlands 1566 31.06 -4.43 50.64% -1.837 0.2087
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 117 46.32 2.275 96.58% 0.439 0.864
Thriving Communities 651 29.29 -5.49 46.39% -2.014 -0.0308
Tipping Point 662 31.51 2.828 50.0% 0.062 -0.0551
Unnatural Proliferation 758 32.44 -3.912 50.79% -1.889 0.0758
Untended Land Crumbles 705 30.89 -2.839 49.5% -1.573 0.4198

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6149 66.48% 38.23 -0.73 67.73% -0.006 0.7916
B 6415 65.41% 38.89 1.122 69.71% 0.478 1.2214
C 6659 65.73% 38.66 0.326 69.12% 0.127 0.6953
D 5897 65.53% 38.71 -0.097 69.83% 0.173 0.9689
E 2343 66.58% 38.86 0.689 69.74% 0.398 1.0447
F 3069 62.86% 39.81 1.121 72.73% 0.343 1.0676
G 2832 65.59% 38.63 -1.083 69.6% -0.326 0.4058
H 3074 61.98% 40.14 -0.047 73.52% -0.212 0.5002
East 1306 69.37% 41.52 1.171 55.36% 0.233 1.0019
Northeast 708 71.05% 41.67 2.161 56.07% 0.1 0.9597
Northwest 599 75.46% 37.7 -1.284 46.74% -0.297 0.78
Southeast 169 66.86% 40.01 -7.401 59.76% -1.123 -0.4167
Southwest 164 54.27% 41.21 6.781 68.29% 0.067 1.1923
West 1194 70.77% 39.46 -0.196 52.01% -0.278 0.6759

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 92 0.0% 35.2 3.811 56.52% 0.198 2.3269
Not Using Events or Tokens 2604 74.26% 35.46 -1.529 60.91% -0.3 -0.1248
Skip Initial Invader Actions 394 17.59% 56.62 -0.113 93.65% -0.242 -0.3843
Start of Game Growth 583 24.91% 52.79 2.436 89.02% 0.328 -0.4322
Unlimited Undo 1996 60.6% 40.82 2.448 73.7% 0.663 0.0587
Using Tokens but Not Events 1493 59.97% 39.39 0.998 71.94% 0.339 0.1821

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3164 22.56 5.66%
II 11244 30.98 59.95%
III 10027 34.53 85.01%
IV 3181 37.77 99.56%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.345 Win Model: -0.122
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 19364 67.45% 37.74 65.57%
2 5763 67.95% 39.5 70.78%
3 1630 57.93% 41.2 75.58%
4 828 58.66% 41.37 70.77%
5 7 100.0% 41.43 28.57%
6 24 41.67% 41.58 62.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 179
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8350
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6455
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3127
Lose: Invader deck ran out 276
Lose: Adversary condition 57
Win: Sacrifice victory 143
Lose: Scenario condition 331
Win: Scenario condition 357
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8031
Lose: Spirit destroyed 310

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1116 52.39% 44.24 2.471 72.13% 0.693 0.5784
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 636 80.66% 36.25 1.363 50.63% 0.374 0.4694
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 592 55.93% 44.49 1.901 75.51% 0.273 0.1117
Downpour Drenches the World 34 88.24% 28.47 -4.84 29.41% -0.952 -0.6995
Eyes Watch From the Trees 600 61.51% 43.88 -0.011 70.67% -0.252 -0.6899
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 612 63.1% 42.37 2.996 65.36% 0.741 0.2533
Finder of Paths Unseen 70 58.57% 46.24 3.947 82.86% 1.216 1.5792
Fractured Days Split the Sky 135 60.0% 44.96 -2.342 66.67% -0.747 -0.6915
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 146 55.48% 47.12 1.944 80.14% 0.018 -0.0134
Heart of the Wildfire 974 80.0% 35.58 0.243 52.26% 0.152 0.3266
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1921 64.48% 41.89 -1.116 65.59% -0.259 -0.7148
Lightning's Swift Strike 971 69.1% 38.89 0.173 56.95% -0.05 0.2245
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 11 63.64% 40.45 0.8 63.64% 0.036 -0.7406
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 190 44.21% 47.75 4.812 83.16% 0.469 -0.174
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 117 56.41% 46.09 -7.761 71.79% -0.877 -1.1431
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 420 70.48% 40.93 -0.617 65.48% -0.257 -0.5235
Many Minds Move as One 211 57.82% 44.91 -0.933 75.83% -0.287 -0.8896
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1057 74.57% 38.62 2.412 58.18% 0.624 0.4386
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 569 58.27% 43.7 -0.057 73.29% 0.153 0.1742
River Surges in Sunlight 1267 71.27% 40.75 0.02 56.43% -0.439 -0.4734
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 61 77.05% 40.15 0.293 59.02% -0.018 0.4128
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 8 62.5% 52.5 5.04 75.0% 0.239 -0.0609
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 733 70.82% 38.14 -0.214 57.16% 0.342 0.2895
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 512 79.49% 36.24 -2.543 46.88% -0.609 -0.1987
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 6 83.33% 36.33 -0.364 50.0% -0.059 -0.4059
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 61 67.21% 40.66 0.0 65.57%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 47 89.36% 30.51 5.026 36.17% 0.064 0.2469
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 985 56.04% 43.82 1.387 69.14% 0.021 -0.2659
Shifting Memory of Ages 76 86.84% 34.04 -2.38 48.68% -0.217 -0.1425
Shroud of Silent Mist 151 88.08% 30.19 0.0 37.75%
Starlight Seeks its Form 102 66.67% 42.06 -1.891 67.65% -0.243 -0.3818
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 360 78.89% 31.96 0.08 51.39% 0.44 0.2584
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 543 66.54% 39.74 2.254 59.85% 0.304 0.4891
Thunderspeaker 948 68.94% 41.21 1.57 60.97% 0.259 0.3228
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 456 92.31% 33.82 0.463 52.41% 0.602 0.5117
Vital Strength of the Earth 667 73.27% 34.4 -2.641 44.98% -0.664 0.1446
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 16 68.75% 36.13 -1.043 56.25% -0.084 0.3023
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 99 69.7% 37.98 -2.472 59.6% -0.08 1.0948
Volcano Looming High 245 66.94% 40.17 -4.686 65.71% -0.857 -0.8611

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 179 72.67% 33.56 -4.722 44.13% -0.555 -0.2976
Dahan Insurrection 4 151 56.29% 56.38 18.283 57.62% 0.21 0.6227
Despicable Theft 2 12 75.0% 38.58 -7.72 41.67% -0.76 -0.3136
Elemental Invocation 1 18 77.78% 34.17 8.052 38.89% 0.458 0.9435
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 635 25.28% 49.63 4.712 74.49% 0.536 0.8416
Powers Long Forgotten 1 49 83.67% 38.78 11.586 48.98% 0.184 0.3657
Rituals of Terror 3 86 72.09% 43.1 -7.904 40.7% -1.19 -1.0692
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 47 74.47% 46.43 -10.059 46.81% -0.592 -0.177
Second Wave 0 248 68.55% 38.49 -0.363 52.82% -0.258 0.308
The Great River 3 17 76.47% 38.18 9.351 29.41% 0.193 1.5902
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 18.0 -10.398 0.0% -0.415 0.1105
Ward the Shores 2 60 78.33% 41.13 7.041 41.67% 0.186 1.3482

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7995 71.29% 37.7 -1.66 56.82% -0.199 0.8172
1 Thematic 964 62.66% 42.57 2.874 51.97% 0.163 1.3356
2 Archipelago 2 50.0% 40.5 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1912 70.48% 40.33 1.208 63.96% 0.457 1.2082
2 Coastline 204 65.2% 43.74 1.1 73.04% -0.49 0.1124
2 Fragment 36 80.56% 35.39 0.0 55.56%
2 Heart 27 77.78% 41.81 1.278 62.96% -0.158 0.3799
2 Opposite Shores 302 66.45% 40.54 2.567 63.91% 0.474 1.4666
2 Thematic 168 76.19% 42.4 -7.641 47.62% -0.48 0.2183
2 Top to Top 52 61.54% 40.6 8.674 61.54% 0.29 0.8007
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 22 68.18% 50.09 6.876 77.27% 0.085 -0.6976
3 Other 29 65.52% 41.17 4.349 65.52% 0.1 0.064
3 Round (Default) 589 61.88% 44.33 0.953 74.87% 0.408 1.0023
3 Sunrise 5 60.0% 40.6 0.0 60.0%
3 Thematic 43 88.37% 33.12 -5.683 25.58% -0.103 -0.1409
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 33.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 21 28.57% 54.9 0.0 95.24%
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 56 60.71% 46.79 0.0 55.36%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 244 49.17% 45.43 -7.203 73.77% -0.614 -0.6414
5 Other 3 33.33% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 1 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 3 33.33% 44.0 0.0 66.67%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 756 34.35 -2.17 46.56% -1.012 0.8908
Aid From Lesser Spirits 565 34.64 -6.991 45.66% -1.949 -0.2187
All Things Weaken 312 31.64 -3.919 41.67% -1.164 0.8216
Back Against the Wall 511 36.41 -0.202 50.49% -0.655 1.1617
Disintegrating Ecosystem 704 30.46 -4.759 41.19% -1.732 0.3189
Downward Spiral 1410 32.53 -3.591 45.32% -1.328 0.665
Erosion of Will 693 30.74 -5.983 36.94% -1.989 0.0936
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 65 50.31 1.286 93.85% 0.503 0.9445
Memory Fades to Dust 1439 30.95 -6.133 40.31% -1.97 0.1145
Power Corrodes the Spirit 300 31.28 -3.838 43.67% -1.403 0.535
Promising Farmlands 701 30.16 -1.23 38.37% -0.716 1.3298
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 50 51.3 3.168 98.0% 0.167 0.5913
Thriving Communities 313 29.65 -4.717 39.94% -1.288 0.6953
Tipping Point 324 29.92 6.655 36.11% 0.081 -0.0365
Unnatural Proliferation 324 33.69 -4.449 45.99% -1.619 0.3453
Untended Land Crumbles 305 31.77 -5.968 44.26% -1.898 0.0953

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2729 70.49% 39.52 0.409 60.9% 0.143 0.9404
B 2879 67.54% 39.42 0.882 61.1% 0.17 0.9131
C 3046 70.24% 39.39 0.536 61.06% 0.153 0.7215
D 2629 66.64% 40.36 -0.189 63.33% -0.225 0.5703
E 963 67.67% 41.61 1.07 68.33% 0.325 0.9719
F 1351 64.71% 40.62 1.042 64.77% 0.316 1.0405
G 1228 65.47% 40.95 -0.369 65.64% -0.089 0.6422
H 1361 66.64% 40.49 -2.156 64.0% -0.377 0.3359
East 761 66.62% 42.14 2.806 47.44% 0.412 1.1804
Northeast 413 66.34% 42.14 -0.251 46.73% -0.488 0.3714
Northwest 277 72.92% 40.7 -2.781 44.4% -0.463 0.6136
Southeast 106 53.77% 47.15 -1.066 66.04% -0.396 0.3107
Southwest 90 61.11% 38.01 -0.2 51.11% -0.099 1.0265
West 596 67.79% 42.16 2.389 49.33% -0.14 0.8141

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 44 0.0% 39.39 0.0 61.36%
Not Using Events or Tokens 1472 74.22% 37.69 -0.228 55.57% 0.077 0.2516
Skip Initial Invader Actions 211 14.42% 60.33 3.411 95.26% 0.201 0.0584
Start of Game Growth 329 21.98% 55.61 2.981 90.27% 0.012 -0.7484
Unlimited Undo 1090 66.7% 42.64 4.233 68.72% 1.292 0.6884
Using Tokens but Not Events 687 65.98% 37.27 -1.928 55.75% -0.23 -0.3869

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2498 22.56 8.93%
II 4874 30.98 55.21%
III 3892 34.53 81.29%
IV 1420 37.77 99.51%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.802 Win Model: 0.071
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8983 70.38% 38.23 56.3%
2 2697 69.97% 40.71 63.59%
3 677 63.45% 43.61 71.34%
4 322 50.0% 46.37 72.05%
5 1 100.0% 43.0 100.0%
6 4 25.0% 51.25 75.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 222
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3079
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2584
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1401
Lose: Invader deck ran out 110
Lose: Adversary condition 13
Win: Sacrifice victory 49
Lose: Scenario condition 222
Win: Scenario condition 156
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4666
Lose: Spirit destroyed 182

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6894 48.81% 49.0 1.339 72.22% 0.22 0.1051
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3448 83.87% 38.23 -2.22 50.7% -0.212 -0.1163
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3372 55.99% 46.84 -0.766 73.28% -0.301 -0.4625
Downpour Drenches the World 191 54.97% 48.58 1.668 71.73% 0.187 0.4396
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3280 58.29% 47.99 -0.483 72.38% -0.3 -0.7374
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3015 66.03% 44.62 0.336 65.21% 0.06 -0.4278
Finder of Paths Unseen 183 61.2% 49.51 2.044 78.14% 0.55 0.9139
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1770 55.71% 52.02 3.523 71.24% -0.092 -0.0358
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1718 61.7% 49.94 1.512 74.21% 0.267 0.2351
Heart of the Wildfire 5816 71.09% 41.84 -1.969 57.39% -0.028 0.1467
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10471 60.83% 47.35 1.3 70.51% 0.323 -0.133
Lightning's Swift Strike 4881 68.89% 42.02 -0.952 57.14% -0.255 0.019
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 165 72.73% 48.3 1.994 69.09% 0.642 -0.1349
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1771 57.46% 51.41 3.334 81.42% 0.764 0.1216
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 879 50.51% 53.48 4.712 76.68% 0.741 0.4748
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3095 64.4% 46.01 0.44 67.95% 0.263 -0.0036
Many Minds Move as One 1221 50.86% 51.93 2.433 85.59% 0.637 0.0345
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6312 71.4% 41.61 -2.111 54.29% -0.561 -0.7455
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3395 53.88% 48.24 1.687 76.55% 0.3 0.3209
River Surges in Sunlight 6528 65.29% 47.87 2.828 63.13% 0.393 0.359
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 386 70.73% 42.85 -2.058 52.85% -0.571 -0.1396
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 111 77.48% 48.84 1.872 54.05% -0.091 -0.3918
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5034 63.89% 45.26 -3.535 65.63% -0.697 -0.7497
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1924 77.75% 36.99 -4.893 43.61% -0.641 -0.2307
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 16 93.75% 37.31 -2.563 50.0% -0.184 -0.1772
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 35 82.86% 40.29 -1.514 51.43% -0.341 -0.6881
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 676 73.08% 41.7 3.862 57.84% 0.668 0.6876
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 310 80.32% 38.65 4.214 48.06% 0.471 0.6536
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4604 50.83% 48.88 1.511 72.33% 0.263 -0.0234
Shifting Memory of Ages 710 80.0% 40.31 -0.299 50.85% 0.246 0.3214
Shroud of Silent Mist 753 85.39% 37.54 -0.685 51.13% 0.103 0.3394
Starlight Seeks its Form 1267 58.17% 48.6 1.467 71.03% 0.331 0.1912
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3830 72.59% 37.07 -4.65 53.79% -1.048 -1.2296
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2861 59.02% 47.15 -1.048 69.56% -0.269 -0.0838
Thunderspeaker 3678 68.68% 45.05 1.268 61.66% 0.121 0.1848
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3512 84.79% 39.57 -2.603 59.03% -0.054 -0.1442
Vital Strength of the Earth 2305 72.84% 37.04 -4.151 45.64% -0.843 -0.0342
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 77 77.92% 39.9 -1.481 53.25% -0.24 0.147
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 639 70.27% 38.13 -4.55 50.39% -0.985 0.189
Volcano Looming High 2753 60.59% 46.97 0.244 72.5% 0.348 0.3434

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 100.0% 18.0 -12.634 0.0% -0.536 -0.7382
Blitz 0 553 67.55% 39.53 -0.622 52.44% 0.163 0.4208
Dahan Insurrection 4 810 47.9% 68.09 5.231 70.99% -0.457 -0.0435
Despicable Theft 2 21 95.24% 46.24 0.0 47.62%
Elemental Invocation 1 64 76.56% 41.88 -4.52 53.13% -0.543 -0.0577
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5131 22.7% 54.96 4.796 76.85% 0.019 0.3244
Powers Long Forgotten 1 134 79.55% 37.71 12.741 33.58% 0.141 0.3231
Rituals of Terror 3 163 83.44% 44.48 -0.057 31.29% -0.442 -0.3206
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 71 91.55% 41.11 0.0 33.8%
Second Wave 0 599 82.14% 38.63 -10.109 46.91% -1.727 -1.1613
The Great River 3 39 66.67% 34.56 -6.556 15.38% -0.577 0.821
Varied Terrains 2 7 85.71% 39.29 -1.095 28.57% -0.446 0.08
Ward the Shores 2 144 85.31% 39.69 -3.474 36.81% -0.557 0.6044

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 53970 68.85% 42.27 -0.748 60.77% -0.613 0.4033
1 Thematic 1655 70.04% 43.08 -1.926 47.07% -0.872 0.3008
2 Archipelago 8 87.5% 51.13 24.136 37.5% 0.588 1.5717
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7902 69.03% 44.91 -0.009 66.38% -0.441 0.3101
2 Coastline 1128 66.28% 46.51 3.264 68.17% 0.132 0.734
2 Fragment 258 70.16% 48.01 8.838 75.19% 1.319 1.7663
2 Heart 94 77.66% 44.52 6.132 62.77% 0.768 1.306
2 Opposite Shores 1605 65.54% 43.79 -1.107 61.68% -0.562 0.4307
2 Thematic 426 72.1% 44.87 -1.257 44.13% -0.841 -0.1423
2 Top to Top 286 70.77% 44.83 1.043 65.38% -0.036 0.4746
3 Archipelago 3 66.67% 82.33 9.047 100.0% 0.571 0.744
3 Coastline 69 28.99% 54.7 6.134 81.16% 0.15 -0.6326
3 Other 111 66.67% 47.38 2.353 72.97% 0.512 0.4761
3 Round (Default) 2947 58.15% 46.61 0.136 69.77% -0.562 0.0331
3 Sunrise 22 63.64% 46.68 5.127 68.18% 0.178 0.2149
3 Thematic 83 80.0% 44.66 0.077 43.37% 0.025 -0.0127
4 Archipelago 6 50.0% 38.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Coastline 21 0.0% 64.24 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 25.4 0.0 20.0%
4 Other 235 31.06% 54.12 3.663 86.38% 0.115 -0.1387
4 Thematic 1084 31.54% 65.76 1.25 84.04% 0.061 0.5902
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2206 55.47% 47.84 1.039 70.04% -0.958 -0.985
5 Archipelago 2 50.0% 50.5 0.0 50.0%
5 Coastline 11 9.09% 63.27 3.712 100.0% 0.043 -0.5212
5 Other 50 61.22% 56.44 -1.991 90.0% -0.282 -0.1142
5 Thematic 7 14.29% 78.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 6 0.0% 63.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Coastline 5 20.0% 59.6 3.515 100.0% 0.201 -0.3876
6 Other 13 53.85% 65.08 6.447 84.62% 0.081 0.89
6 Star 6 66.67% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 65 52.31% 59.05 1.267 84.62% 0.089 -0.1895
6 Two Centers (Default) 47 29.79% 59.32 -2.554 82.98% -0.364 -0.4576
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 4285 35.78 -4.844 44.99% -2.303 -0.3998
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3435 39.7 -4.427 52.81% -2.328 -0.598
All Things Weaken 2246 36.62 -4.839 46.93% -2.294 -0.3089
Back Against the Wall 3215 38.26 -3.449 49.14% -2.166 -0.3492
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4190 33.74 -6.064 45.01% -2.341 -0.2903
Downward Spiral 6327 35.02 -4.771 47.08% -2.032 -0.0385
Erosion of Will 4189 34.57 -5.903 42.09% -2.64 -0.5567
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 507 54.69 3.267 94.87% 0.176 0.6173
Memory Fades to Dust 6557 33.97 -5.104 41.97% -2.231 -0.1471
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2229 35.67 -6.141 46.61% -2.616 -0.678
Promising Farmlands 4125 33.94 -5.885 43.52% -2.468 -0.4226
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 392 55.46 3.969 95.92% 0.265 0.6902
Thriving Communities 2077 34.99 -6.125 46.46% -2.402 -0.4185
Tipping Point 1595 32.86 0.0 40.13%
Unnatural Proliferation 2359 37.28 -3.126 47.35% -2.009 -0.0446
Untended Land Crumbles 2050 35.56 -4.016 46.98% -2.128 -0.1351

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 15679 65.6% 44.17 0.288 63.72% 0.095 0.8927
B 15868 65.72% 43.42 -0.168 62.45% 0.0 0.7439
C 17360 68.29% 42.84 -0.854 61.22% -0.125 0.4438
D 14736 67.8% 42.88 0.81 61.73% 0.255 1.0504
E 7126 66.12% 45.24 0.027 67.13% -0.06 0.5868
F 9501 60.81% 46.92 1.188 70.63% 0.163 0.8868
G 8079 64.09% 45.1 0.37 66.51% -0.01 0.7213
H 8509 64.8% 44.87 0.251 66.78% 0.137 0.8497
East 2420 52.29% 55.12 1.733 64.92% -0.136 0.6325
Northeast 1635 46.89% 57.29 1.499 67.22% -0.262 0.598
Northwest 1397 45.7% 57.08 -2.973 67.36% -1.137 -0.0602
Southeast 390 53.08% 56.91 1.699 77.18% 0.472 1.1785
Southwest 389 55.27% 54.0 0.222 74.55% -0.273 0.8525
West 2155 51.19% 54.44 -0.537 64.64% -0.364 0.5904

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 296 0.0% 50.75 0.41 75.0% -0.322 1.8071
Not Using Events or Tokens 4695 76.12% 38.16 -4.4 50.1% -0.847 -0.6724
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2126 19.07% 63.05 6.807 89.93% 0.293 0.1509
Start of Game Growth 2913 21.5% 61.33 6.67 88.09% 0.84 0.0791
Unlimited Undo 8513 52.91% 50.87 4.925 77.68% 0.858 0.2538
Using Tokens but Not Events 3792 54.44% 46.06 3.235 65.43% 0.244 0.087

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14672 22.56 11.82%
II 26062 30.98 58.36%
III 26115 34.53 83.88%
IV 7495 37.77 99.8%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.586 Win Model: 0.188
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 55776 68.9% 42.32 60.37%
2 11629 68.52% 44.92 65.29%
3 3218 58.1% 46.74 69.55%
4 3550 46.21% 53.89 75.55%
5 28 39.29% 56.29 85.71%
6 143 41.96% 59.94 83.92%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1729
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 21489
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 14553
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7417
Lose: Invader deck ran out 622
Lose: Adversary condition 245
Win: Sacrifice victory 372
Lose: Scenario condition 1292
Win: Scenario condition 770
Lose: Blight pool ran out 24740
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1115

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-09-02 02:08:59 (Pacific Time)