The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5441 26.33% 23.45 -0.289 81.53% -0.145 -0.2929
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 6 16.67% 17.17 -0.376 66.67% 0.129 -0.5874
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3645 48.07% 22.3 -1.516 77.06% -0.331 -0.0646
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 55 18.18% 26.76 3.539 69.09% 0.443 -0.3601
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2536 26.16% 25.29 1.047 87.54% 0.305 0.159
Downpour Drenches the World 403 25.06% 18.06 -1.468 58.06% -0.117 0.1723
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 330 20.91% 21.25 -1.492 62.73% -0.017 -0.4454
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2959 16.84% 27.64 2.418 90.0% 0.499 0.1324
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2625 23.11% 26.38 0.246 88.95% 0.117 -0.3297
Finder of Paths Unseen 201 33.33% 13.39 -4.159 40.8% -0.859 -0.1839
Fractured Days Split the Sky 574 36.76% 21.94 0.139 62.37% -0.258 0.3343
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 719 39.22% 23.09 -1.125 70.24% -0.47 -0.5328
Heart of the Wildfire 3617 57.31% 20.63 0.122 71.8% 0.124 0.4286
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5014 28.03% 26.42 1.331 89.01% 0.147 -0.1599
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 57 14.29% 23.49 2.497 66.67% 0.443 0.091
Lightning's Swift Strike 5351 42.07% 22.31 -0.88 74.81% -0.096 0.2331
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 138 27.21% 25.35 2.437 73.19% 0.41 -0.0726
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 358 30.81% 26.31 -0.018 84.08% 0.067 -0.2075
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 307 36.6% 23.97 0.345 75.57% -0.134 -0.1955
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1422 33.26% 26.04 2.742 82.07% 0.57 0.2733
Many Minds Move as One 1011 23.88% 25.7 0.916 83.98% 0.237 0.0602
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5363 41.49% 23.43 1.743 79.96% 0.239 0.1922
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2323 29.28% 24.28 0.649 84.07% 0.271 0.0866
River Surges in Sunlight 6389 38.54% 24.97 0.149 76.19% -0.268 -0.1613
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 8 12.5% 20.75 0.063 75.0% 0.195 0.0461
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 499 37.88% 24.65 -0.44 74.35% 0.083 0.5425
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 169 35.54% 23.22 1.468 65.09% 0.119 0.0892
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3054 36.13% 22.71 0.25 80.91% 0.129 -0.1226
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3957 53.79% 21.91 -0.969 72.15% -0.17 0.3724
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 76 35.53% 22.38 0.775 61.84% -0.261 -0.0687
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 49 25.0% 25.35 1.115 75.51% 0.268 -0.3251
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 74 28.38% 21.24 0.163 64.86% -0.01 0.2831
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 280 36.79% 24.48 2.816 80.71% 0.935 0.9317
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 231 41.99% 24.11 -1.424 77.92% -0.453 -0.2018
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3279 29.6% 25.75 0.245 83.99% -0.172 -0.2931
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 98 15.96% 21.93 1.15 65.31% 0.142 -0.022
Shifting Memory of Ages 643 47.97% 20.57 -0.13 66.72% -0.104 0.2471
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 12 16.67% 14.67 -1.954 50.0% -0.327 -0.6883
Shroud of Silent Mist 698 49.64% 20.73 -0.355 69.05% -0.074 0.2912
Starlight Seeks its Form 983 21.96% 25.76 -2.697 76.09% -0.599 -0.7604
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1725 28.13% 23.85 0.453 83.36% 0.075 -0.638
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2057 33.61% 23.27 -1.37 79.24% -0.115 0.1214
Thunderspeaker 4930 30.13% 25.72 1.64 81.12% 0.07 0.0532
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 66 30.3% 17.39 0.289 48.48% 0.313 0.4842
Towering Roots of the Jungle 43 27.91% 16.37 -1.478 53.49% -0.488 -0.503
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1324 57.7% 19.84 -0.111 72.51% 0.216 0.2975
Vital Strength of the Earth 5345 33.25% 21.26 -2.448 72.35% -0.764 -0.2207
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 124 19.67% 19.48 1.384 58.06% -0.035 0.5141
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 283 29.18% 18.74 -1.547 63.96% -0.392 0.3591
Volcano Looming High 1005 35.73% 23.01 2.107 74.93% 0.517 0.6774
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 135 22.22% 23.34 1.68 68.15% 0.213 -0.0929

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 16 6.25% 19.19 0.376 62.5% 0.129 0.1856
Blitz 0 1003 39.05% 19.88 -3.622 66.8% -1.144 -0.8399
Dahan Insurrection 4 822 22.91% 42.11 3.171 74.57% -0.505 -0.6673
Despicable Theft 2 153 27.45% 20.78 -4.24 50.33% -1.493 -0.6151
Elemental Invocation 1 206 40.78% 20.86 -2.962 58.25% -0.809 0.137
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2123 8.5% 29.11 2.957 79.32% 0.17 -0.4883
Powers Long Forgotten 1 470 45.11% 24.93 -5.683 65.96% -1.429 -0.4471
Rituals of Terror 3 572 42.25% 30.48 1.731 62.06% -0.564 -0.4368
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 320 60.31% 28.84 2.1 58.44% -0.204 0.99
Second Wave 0 879 56.08% 25.49 4.892 70.88% 0.471 0.5199
The Great River 3 161 41.61% 22.63 -4.773 42.86% -1.723 -0.3304
Varied Terrains 2 120 31.67% 16.23 -5.076 41.67% -1.499 -0.6917
Ward the Shores 2 561 37.14% 26.95 -4.146 65.78% -1.397 -0.3986

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 36751 39.24% 22.92 -0.158 77.35% -0.074 0.176
1 Thematic 4246 40.3% 28.87 0.452 71.31% -0.542 -0.0592
2 Archipelago 21 23.81% 29.43 1.808 71.43% -0.177 0.3284
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8431 34.58% 22.92 -1.429 79.97% -0.364 -0.1962
2 Coastline 725 32.68% 23.61 3.132 82.34% 0.938 0.8991
2 Fragment 172 38.46% 22.07 0.323 81.98% -0.175 -0.4408
2 Heart 121 52.94% 20.95 0.0 72.73%
2 Opposite Shores 968 33.09% 23.26 4.421 84.09% 1.391 1.3334
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 971 39.11% 29.56 -1.798 72.09% -0.957 -0.6731
2 Top to Top 187 32.8% 22.32 4.564 81.82% 1.312 1.2831
3 Archipelago 14 50.0% 27.29 0.0 71.43%
3 Coastline 18 44.44% 18.22 -2.826 61.11% -0.098 -0.8947
3 Other 94 41.49% 19.44 -0.969 69.15% -0.578 -1.0271
3 Round (Default) 2712 28.31% 24.19 1.832 84.33% 0.36 0.1507
3 Sunrise 8 12.5% 25.63 0.0 87.5%
3 Thematic 226 34.96% 27.37 1.107 66.81% -0.134 -0.3938
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 47.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 6 16.67% 10.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 7 14.29% 23.57 0.0 85.71%
4 Other 39 25.64% 20.44 -4.458 74.36% -0.702 -1.0657
4 Thematic 645 31.31% 29.51 4.322 89.92% 1.259 1.3942
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1299 24.3% 22.55 -2.119 80.22% -0.621 -0.3387
5 Other 49 40.82% 25.63 3.617 75.51% 0.062 -0.4135
5 Thematic 9 33.33% 32.56 0.0 88.89%
6 Other 6 33.33% 22.17 6.105 66.67% 0.354 0.9573
6 Star 6 0.0% 21.5 0.0 66.67%
6 Thematic 48 8.7% 20.08 -7.039 50.0% -0.75 -0.5839
6 Two Centers (Default) 53 11.32% 16.92 -4.456 56.6% -1.081 -1.3287
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 7 0.0% 30.0 0.0 57.14%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1307 18.0 -1.889 59.53% -0.717 -0.5426
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1152 19.46 0.148 59.38% -0.414 -0.452
All Things Weaken 621 17.88 1.535 56.04% 0.657 0.9515
Attenuated Essence 64 16.55 -2.179 50.0% -0.566 -0.4647
Back Against the Wall 1121 18.86 -0.285 57.98% -0.279 -0.2179
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 44 19.32 -0.387 50.0% -0.076 0.1118
Burn Brightest Before the End 20 21.85 3.218 65.0% 0.747 0.9194
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1289 15.71 -1.814 55.47% -0.415 -0.0089
Downward Spiral 4690 16.46 -1.253 60.81% -0.36 -0.2385
Erosion of Will 1361 17.96 1.971 57.83% 0.167 0.4573
Intensifying Exploitation 57 16.75 1.781 50.88% 0.279 0.5194
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 234 23.94 -1.027 87.61% 0.089 -0.402
Memory Fades to Dust 4782 15.98 -0.886 56.8% -0.146 0.0965
Power Corrodes the Spirit 621 18.56 -2.447 61.67% -0.842 -0.5985
Promising Farmlands 1357 17.01 1.215 59.84% -0.309 0.003
Shattered Fragments of Power 41 21.39 -6.285 53.66% -0.873 -0.6782
Slow Dissolution of Will 52 18.83 -2.342 53.85% -0.537 -0.1728
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 181 24.58 -2.311 91.71% -0.653 -1.2335
The Border of Life and Death 19 21.05 -1.485 63.16% -0.516 -1.0252
Thriving Communities 622 17.81 -1.038 57.88% -0.873 -0.5476
Thriving Crops 28 19.0 1.735 64.29% -0.004 -0.0282
Tipping Point 504 16.8 0.0 60.52%
Unnatural Proliferation 611 19.45 2.621 59.41% 0.602 0.7227
Untended Land Crumbles 673 17.54 -1.461 58.1% -0.353 0.0599

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12798 37.78% 22.47 -0.516 78.06% -0.573 0.2801
B 13048 36.38% 22.73 -1.083 78.47% -0.694 0.1219
C 13447 35.73% 22.93 0.608 78.95% -0.298 0.3859
D 12759 35.43% 22.92 0.123 79.18% -0.353 0.4515
E 3898 32.66% 23.82 0.785 78.58% -0.359 0.3116
F 5804 32.89% 23.75 0.26 80.98% -0.519 0.2827
G 5453 33.45% 23.22 -0.833 79.48% -0.838 -0.0137
H 5673 33.05% 23.79 -0.266 80.8% -0.662 0.1103
East 3926 36.77% 29.64 0.952 74.99% -0.499 0.3204
Northeast 2401 35.55% 29.53 0.601 76.18% -0.35 0.4347
Northwest 1901 36.34% 28.86 0.574 75.91% -0.399 0.4059
Southeast 551 33.7% 26.12 0.859 69.15% -0.134 0.6726
Southwest 496 33.81% 22.86 -1.937 67.14% -0.627 0.6415
West 3482 38.78% 28.47 1.489 73.32% -0.316 0.6934

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 585 0.0% 20.3 0.011 64.79% -0.909 -0.1115
Not Using Events or Tokens 14003 44.53% 20.83 -0.98 71.63% -0.102 0.2913
Skip Initial Invader Actions 872 9.59% 34.85 7.925 91.86% 1.011 0.3902
Start of Game Growth 1340 14.19% 31.61 3.14 88.66% 0.305 -0.2573
Unlimited Undo 3252 27.83% 25.86 2.166 83.33% 0.522 0.5741
Using Tokens but Not Events 4247 28.54% 24.98 2.224 83.0% 0.399 0.3577

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8231 15.78 32.47%
II 20647 30.49 77.83%
III 19456 34.78 86.5%
IV 9565 38.41 99.13%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.2 Win Model: 0.616
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 41347 39.31% 23.5 76.49%
2 11405 35.0% 23.64 80.5%
3 3002 28.91% 24.31 82.98%
4 1990 26.88% 24.81 83.67%
5 56 12.5% 15.55 41.07%
6 98 12.63% 23.14 67.35%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2668
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 16354
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 15198
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9391
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3518
Lose: Invader deck ran out 800
Lose: Adversary condition 282
Win: Sacrifice victory 215
Lose: Scenario condition 534
Win: Scenario condition 1227
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7329
Lose: Spirit destroyed 383

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3654 26.93% 30.27 0.778 81.36% -0.071 -0.2186
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 21 19.05% 21.9 -1.388 61.9% -0.124 -0.8401
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2227 50.88% 27.56 -1.816 77.01% -0.271 -0.0045
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 53 22.64% 35.38 7.177 86.79% 0.973 0.1693
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1786 28.54% 30.26 2.496 87.07% 0.862 0.7156
Downpour Drenches the World 316 24.05% 23.36 0.693 65.19% 0.181 0.4702
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 286 18.6% 28.34 2.266 76.57% 0.544 0.115
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2284 18.45% 33.58 3.253 91.86% 1.004 0.6372
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1870 23.04% 34.46 4.752 88.45% 0.844 0.3977
Finder of Paths Unseen 186 40.54% 21.9 -2.073 49.46% -0.969 -0.2946
Fractured Days Split the Sky 475 33.97% 28.59 -3.333 69.05% -0.903 -0.3113
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 533 39.59% 26.49 0.044 69.98% 0.074 0.0113
Heart of the Wildfire 2495 57.2% 26.64 -1.455 76.39% -0.183 0.1208
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3801 35.4% 30.52 0.318 86.92% 0.372 0.0655
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 65 32.31% 25.12 -0.673 64.62% -0.247 -0.5984
Lightning's Swift Strike 3335 39.46% 28.85 -0.216 79.25% -0.038 0.2909
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 249 14.86% 52.41 4.254 79.12% -0.381 -0.8631
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 269 33.09% 30.62 3.002 82.53% 0.653 0.3786
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 263 33.08% 29.31 3.478 79.47% 0.868 0.8058
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1079 35.44% 30.08 0.806 82.48% 0.15 -0.1466
Many Minds Move as One 798 25.72% 30.19 1.142 84.59% 0.104 -0.0722
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3312 41.91% 30.21 1.813 79.77% 0.102 0.0554
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1808 31.49% 32.72 3.791 84.29% 0.84 0.656
River Surges in Sunlight 4206 39.68% 31.28 2.15 77.96% 0.266 0.3726
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 18 38.89% 24.67 0.361 77.78% 0.5 0.3514
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 337 44.94% 27.57 4.168 70.92% 0.403 0.8629
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 207 32.2% 28.73 0.626 68.6% -0.384 -0.4132
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1877 37.26% 28.27 -2.861 81.03% -0.516 -0.7674
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2271 55.69% 26.51 -0.564 71.91% -0.039 0.5037
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 43 48.84% 27.4 -3.119 72.09% -0.772 -0.5795
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 62 32.26% 30.63 5.328 74.19% 0.491 -0.1019
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 65 30.77% 27.02 -1.222 75.38% -0.5 -0.2073
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 254 37.8% 28.72 -2.097 81.89% 0.018 0.0149
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 159 53.5% 28.75 -2.611 76.1% -0.619 -0.3673
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2378 31.52% 31.03 1.065 84.74% 0.223 0.1019
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 111 14.55% 26.59 1.855 72.97% 0.575 0.4109
Shifting Memory of Ages 460 42.92% 24.24 -2.361 66.09% -0.555 -0.2041
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 14 35.71% 25.43 1.135 71.43% 0.431 0.0698
Shroud of Silent Mist 517 53.49% 24.94 -3.675 72.34% -0.651 -0.2853
Starlight Seeks its Form 519 33.98% 26.32 -2.478 72.06% -0.22 -0.3816
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1079 40.54% 25.21 -1.849 77.29% -0.343 -1.0558
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1471 35.32% 28.21 0.514 79.47% 0.258 0.4938
Thunderspeaker 3322 32.72% 30.99 -0.361 81.28% -0.002 -0.0181
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 71 42.25% 21.3 -1.573 54.93% -0.511 -0.3399
Towering Roots of the Jungle 35 28.57% 21.94 -0.255 68.57% 0.149 0.1337
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 804 67.54% 23.22 -6.276 69.15% -1.491 -1.4089
Vital Strength of the Earth 3102 39.56% 25.52 -3.57 72.66% -0.691 -0.147
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 129 37.5% 22.59 -4.836 61.24% -1.204 -0.6549
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 202 37.62% 23.42 2.818 65.84% 0.357 1.1081
Volcano Looming High 679 46.39% 25.44 -1.792 73.49% -0.313 -0.1521
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 135 22.96% 27.96 1.137 80.0% 0.961 0.6551

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 16 31.25% 29.5 2.249 75.0% -0.034 0.0228
Blitz 0 824 45.31% 22.59 -5.13 62.74% -1.378 -1.0742
Dahan Insurrection 4 614 23.0% 49.45 7.606 81.27% 0.054 -0.1085
Despicable Theft 2 136 41.91% 25.71 -5.573 52.21% -1.256 -0.3783
Elemental Invocation 1 184 50.0% 22.54 -6.119 55.43% -1.306 -0.3596
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1736 11.26% 35.01 4.324 75.92% 0.051 -0.6073
Powers Long Forgotten 1 454 50.88% 27.48 -8.935 62.78% -2.498 -1.5153
Rituals of Terror 3 432 46.76% 35.23 -0.293 66.2% -1.056 -0.9293
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 295 64.41% 30.76 -0.461 55.93% -0.531 0.6632
Second Wave 0 2398 44.3% 29.52 0.76 76.19% -0.114 -0.0653
The Great River 3 131 39.69% 26.74 -5.02 44.27% -1.309 0.0839
Varied Terrains 2 95 34.74% 19.22 -3.068 37.89% -0.907 -0.1004
Ward the Shores 2 463 46.97% 29.97 -0.594 60.48% -0.334 0.6644

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 22348 41.05% 27.25 -0.36 77.4% -0.137 0.1131
1 Thematic 3423 44.67% 32.16 0.134 68.36% -0.42 0.0629
2 Archipelago 16 62.5% 45.56 10.036 100.0% 0.74 1.245
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5521 36.39% 28.41 -0.64 82.56% -0.021 0.1472
2 Coastline 594 41.82% 27.61 0.111 80.3% -0.04 -0.0781
2 Fragment 152 48.68% 27.67 -0.635 82.24% 0.237 -0.0287
2 Heart 100 35.0% 28.22 -4.534 86.0% -0.449 -0.5354
2 Opposite Shores 916 34.25% 28.48 -0.953 85.7% 0.055 -0.0021
2 Thematic 845 42.77% 32.36 -0.503 69.47% -0.509 -0.2249
2 Top to Top 166 41.46% 26.92 -4.608 77.11% -0.701 -0.7292
3 Archipelago 13 15.38% 45.46 3.702 100.0% 0.282 -0.9417
3 Coastline 16 50.0% 33.44 6.094 81.25% 0.261 -0.5362
3 Other 75 32.43% 28.48 1.329 88.0% 0.673 0.2242
3 Round (Default) 2079 28.52% 29.62 0.569 86.15% 0.487 0.2769
3 Sunrise 5 40.0% 27.6 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 169 38.46% 31.88 3.112 65.68% 0.272 0.0119
4 Archipelago 13 30.77% 39.0 3.516 100.0% 0.088 0.3486
4 Coastline 11 36.36% 21.36 0.0 36.36%
4 Leaf 5 0.0% 37.6 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 54 37.04% 28.54 0.0 85.19%
4 Thematic 307 42.48% 35.27 -5.929 84.04% -0.881 -0.7463
4 Trapezoid (Default) 846 31.17% 29.34 -3.85 84.16% -0.456 -0.1729
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 32.5 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 42 21.43% 30.4 -6.81 85.71% -0.336 -0.8114
5 Thematic 9 22.22% 25.56 1.926 55.56% 0.397 0.1009
6 Archipelago 111 1.8% 69.59 7.402 80.18% -0.821 -1.8486
6 Other 43 6.98% 66.28 0.0 86.05%
6 Star 3 0.0% 33.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 22 27.27% 23.5 -6.43 50.0% -0.065 0.1015
6 Two Centers (Default) 40 25.0% 23.93 1.244 60.0% 0.304 0.0558
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 51.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 935 23.5 -2.169 62.57% -0.782 -0.6078
Aid From Lesser Spirits 888 24.1 2.017 63.4% 0.392 0.3541
All Things Weaken 491 22.64 0.393 60.29% 0.214 0.5086
Attenuated Essence 46 25.2 2.677 71.74% 0.487 0.5879
Back Against the Wall 827 23.46 0.404 61.06% -0.016 0.0445
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 61 20.08 -1.352 52.46% -0.58 -0.393
Burn Brightest Before the End 41 25.49 -1.967 56.1% -0.352 -0.1794
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1009 20.67 -3.185 60.16% -0.48 -0.074
Downward Spiral 2865 21.19 -1.118 61.88% -0.02 0.1017
Erosion of Will 1006 22.11 -2.014 57.65% -0.775 -0.4839
Intensifying Exploitation 37 23.05 1.559 51.35% -0.456 -0.2157
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 168 28.91 1.778 89.88% 0.701 0.2098
Memory Fades to Dust 2979 20.37 -2.055 56.46% -0.43 -0.1879
Power Corrodes the Spirit 441 21.58 0.204 59.41% -0.055 0.1885
Promising Farmlands 1056 21.51 -2.865 60.98% -0.715 -0.4026
Shattered Fragments of Power 29 25.14 3.907 58.62% 0.756 0.9508
Slow Dissolution of Will 38 20.21 -1.886 52.63% -0.578 -0.2139
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 120 29.96 2.35 95.0% -0.067 -0.6468
The Border of Life and Death 19 26.74 4.735 84.21% 0.432 -0.0772
Thriving Communities 457 21.25 1.448 60.61% 0.833 1.1576
Thriving Crops 24 25.54 -1.088 70.83% -0.233 -0.2579
Tipping Point 365 21.32 0.0 59.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 502 23.2 0.062 57.17% -0.224 -0.104
Untended Land Crumbles 470 21.97 0.002 61.7% -0.534 -0.1215

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8460 39.29% 28.31 -0.647 79.23% -0.519 0.3341
B 8736 36.55% 28.77 0.72 80.76% -0.176 0.6393
C 9056 36.73% 28.91 0.458 81.27% -0.258 0.4252
D 8397 36.6% 28.88 0.366 81.01% -0.164 0.6402
E 2892 35.33% 28.27 -0.069 79.29% -0.284 0.3868
F 4003 34.69% 28.48 0.927 81.71% -0.071 0.7314
G 3707 35.81% 29.7 2.223 80.98% 0.202 1.0262
H 3849 33.29% 30.08 1.856 82.07% -0.02 0.7527
East 3003 42.69% 33.21 1.762 70.4% 0.129 0.9477
Northeast 1717 44.14% 33.46 0.957 71.64% -0.317 0.4674
Northwest 1342 43.06% 33.42 -1.779 74.66% -0.864 -0.0585
Southeast 413 35.59% 27.73 -3.839 62.23% -0.945 -0.1385
Southwest 407 40.29% 24.37 -3.27 58.23% -0.915 0.354
West 2644 44.44% 31.78 2.022 69.48% 0.357 1.366

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 278 0.0% 24.5 -5.295 69.78% -0.812 -0.0141
Not Using Events or Tokens 7146 46.12% 25.38 -1.548 71.55% -0.232 0.1616
Skip Initial Invader Actions 475 9.62% 39.73 1.898 89.47% 0.107 -0.5141
Start of Game Growth 735 13.37% 37.16 -1.538 89.12% -0.664 -1.2262
Unlimited Undo 2291 32.04% 28.88 0.431 80.97% 0.197 0.2484
Using Tokens but Not Events 3078 30.17% 31.4 1.73 82.49% 0.317 0.2761

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5778 15.78 32.92%
II 14217 30.49 79.25%
III 12645 34.78 88.6%
IV 5330 38.41 99.19%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.622 Win Model: 0.208
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 25987 41.51% 27.86 75.95%
2 8199 37.57% 28.89 82.1%
3 2305 29.43% 29.9 85.42%
4 1216 33.83% 30.85 83.8%
5 50 12.0% 27.98 78.0%
6 213 9.39% 57.02 77.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1901
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10839
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10559
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5243
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2137
Lose: Invader deck ran out 357
Lose: Adversary condition 128
Win: Sacrifice victory 126
Lose: Scenario condition 437
Win: Scenario condition 992
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5021
Lose: Spirit destroyed 230

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4926 31.36% 32.08 0.994 81.32% 0.338 0.1898
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 26 42.31% 36.12 3.42 84.62% 0.841 0.1243
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2796 59.0% 29.56 -1.426 75.36% -0.27 -0.0035
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 87 35.63% 38.26 7.419 86.21% 0.994 0.191
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2215 35.08% 32.58 2.091 84.33% 0.618 0.4717
Downpour Drenches the World 437 35.32% 27.25 0.413 70.48% 0.093 0.3828
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 553 24.95% 32.2 3.691 80.29% 0.947 0.5185
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2929 24.26% 35.72 1.558 89.66% 0.463 0.096
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2228 31.46% 33.93 -0.191 84.43% 0.096 -0.3508
Finder of Paths Unseen 263 49.05% 21.4 -2.555 49.81% -0.302 0.3722
Fractured Days Split the Sky 683 42.9% 31.2 -1.044 66.62% -0.544 0.0486
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 830 46.07% 30.07 -1.755 74.22% -0.373 -0.4356
Heart of the Wildfire 3205 66.35% 27.04 -0.871 68.95% 0.003 0.3075
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5542 39.43% 33.85 2.013 85.71% 0.617 0.3101
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 138 31.16% 29.2 -2.768 71.01% -0.586 -0.938
Lightning's Swift Strike 3828 47.47% 29.59 -1.624 73.54% -0.271 0.0583
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 180 47.75% 30.81 1.374 70.0% 0.049 -0.4335
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 414 38.41% 33.27 -2.168 83.33% -0.256 -0.5301
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 364 40.5% 33.34 2.095 75.27% 0.267 0.2053
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1784 40.89% 33.14 2.56 81.39% 0.787 0.4907
Many Minds Move as One 1044 30.9% 33.02 -0.492 85.25% 0.03 -0.1463
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4482 52.39% 29.6 -1.392 73.69% -0.468 -0.5149
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2161 37.18% 31.89 -0.821 83.02% -0.04 -0.2238
River Surges in Sunlight 5021 49.24% 31.88 0.365 73.91% -0.139 -0.0332
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 24 33.33% 32.96 2.146 66.67% -0.201 -0.3494
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 512 52.15% 31.93 -2.078 70.9% -0.615 -0.1552
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 278 43.48% 34.6 4.613 74.46% 0.47 0.4406
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3273 40.18% 31.94 1.495 82.46% 0.41 0.1585
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2525 67.07% 27.24 -0.677 65.31% 0.013 0.5559
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 64 54.69% 27.78 -7.838 60.94% -1.186 -0.9939
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 102 40.2% 30.56 2.145 70.59% 0.523 -0.0705
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 82 56.1% 30.8 -2.759 78.05% -0.419 -0.126
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 307 48.69% 30.04 -7.524 75.57% -1.239 -1.2418
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 241 62.66% 28.29 -4.862 69.29% -0.389 -0.1374
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3125 36.79% 33.06 0.534 81.95% 0.154 0.0323
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 153 27.63% 30.73 4.121 67.97% 0.506 0.3413
Shifting Memory of Ages 730 52.19% 27.7 -1.181 66.85% -0.332 0.0195
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 24 41.67% 31.0 2.38 70.83% 0.514 0.1535
Shroud of Silent Mist 830 57.23% 27.39 -3.449 71.2% -0.676 -0.3109
Starlight Seeks its Form 833 41.11% 29.83 -0.938 72.75% -0.063 -0.2246
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1576 44.61% 27.55 -0.386 75.51% 0.283 -0.4293
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1775 45.27% 29.49 -2.623 74.37% -0.449 -0.2132
Thunderspeaker 4191 42.16% 32.64 0.604 78.41% 0.005 -0.0118
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 117 40.17% 24.95 -3.784 58.12% -0.664 -0.4926
Towering Roots of the Jungle 63 41.27% 26.97 0.381 69.84% 0.339 0.3241
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1249 71.96% 25.86 -3.445 69.34% -0.492 -0.4104
Vital Strength of the Earth 3595 43.87% 27.6 -1.735 68.96% -0.473 0.0703
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 180 37.99% 29.31 3.087 71.11% 0.764 1.313
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 313 41.53% 26.33 -0.833 66.13% -0.058 0.6929
Volcano Looming High 1269 47.52% 29.44 -0.132 75.65% 0.075 0.2354
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 247 33.6% 33.44 4.502 80.97% 0.898 0.5918

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 22 27.27% 25.45 11.628 63.64% 0.539 0.5966
Blitz 0 1002 49.1% 26.22 -2.47 62.57% -0.492 -0.1885
Dahan Insurrection 4 642 31.77% 49.74 5.679 73.21% -0.142 -0.3042
Despicable Theft 2 145 47.59% 27.46 -3.985 52.41% -1.145 -0.2672
Elemental Invocation 1 181 51.38% 23.3 -3.957 51.38% -1.059 -0.1127
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2018 18.46% 33.27 0.596 68.83% -0.63 -1.2877
Powers Long Forgotten 1 401 59.85% 27.58 -4.568 53.12% -1.014 -0.0321
Rituals of Terror 3 348 53.31% 34.7 -1.411 54.6% -0.684 -0.5573
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 219 66.21% 34.18 -3.827 55.25% -0.532 0.662
Second Wave 0 2050 53.65% 30.91 2.496 70.29% 0.244 0.2933
The Great River 3 121 57.02% 26.6 -12.132 40.5% -1.316 0.0769
Varied Terrains 2 73 45.21% 18.58 -4.484 32.88% -1.163 -0.3565
Ward the Shores 2 470 54.04% 32.78 0.068 61.28% -0.023 0.976

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 28225 48.51% 29.1 0.172 73.78% 0.522 0.7718
1 Thematic 3205 54.32% 32.08 -0.945 62.43% -0.147 0.3361
2 Archipelago 12 66.67% 41.5 0.0 75.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7398 44.08% 30.62 -1.642 79.45% -0.036 0.1318
2 Coastline 840 41.74% 31.86 -0.628 81.9% 0.005 -0.0337
2 Fragment 198 52.53% 30.49 2.862 77.78% 0.618 0.3525
2 Heart 112 44.55% 31.46 -9.415 75.0% -0.653 -0.7399
2 Opposite Shores 1311 43.53% 31.95 4.377 83.6% 1.236 1.1789
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 1172 52.99% 31.77 -0.291 62.71% 0.199 0.4832
2 Top to Top 248 46.37% 32.06 0.762 81.45% -0.351 -0.3796
3 Archipelago 12 75.0% 40.42 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 24 25.0% 30.46 3.422 75.0% 0.591 -0.2055
3 Other 130 33.59% 31.48 4.862 82.31% 1.038 0.5891
3 Round (Default) 3172 35.7% 32.25 0.074 83.17% 0.187 -0.0226
3 Sunrise 20 35.0% 29.65 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 254 47.43% 36.77 -0.963 73.23% -0.312 -0.5715
4 Archipelago 13 46.15% 45.31 0.0 84.62%
4 Coastline 8 87.5% 36.38 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 10 40.0% 28.7 -5.261 70.0% -0.392 -0.1278
4 Other 69 29.85% 34.36 4.322 88.41% 0.367 0.0033
4 Thematic 403 44.44% 37.75 1.381 77.67% 0.07 0.205
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1465 33.36% 32.41 -0.861 86.14% -0.342 -0.0594
5 Archipelago 4 100.0% 37.0 3.243 50.0% -0.297 0.4664
5 Other 70 44.29% 32.01 -4.294 75.71% -0.728 -1.2029
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 29.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 4 25.0% 58.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 16 18.75% 37.06 0.0 62.5%
6 Star 12 58.33% 24.92 0.0 66.67%
6 Thematic 59 33.33% 46.71 3.517 77.97% -0.309 -0.1425
6 Two Centers (Default) 74 24.32% 32.49 -5.687 67.57% -0.629 -0.8771
7 Other 4 0.0% 35.5 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1606 25.46 -0.342 59.4% -0.4 -0.2258
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1321 27.39 0.4 62.76% -0.06 -0.098
All Things Weaken 810 25.25 0.683 59.26% -0.085 0.2096
Attenuated Essence 76 25.03 3.198 61.84% 0.606 0.7077
Back Against the Wall 1350 27.62 1.991 64.0% 0.237 0.2978
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 102 22.99 -0.624 55.88% -0.151 0.0362
Burn Brightest Before the End 60 28.83 -2.153 68.33% -0.401 -0.2281
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1508 23.15 0.429 58.22% 0.019 0.4245
Downward Spiral 3936 23.95 0.083 61.36% 0.137 0.2581
Erosion of Will 1601 24.44 1.203 56.28% 0.217 0.5078
Intensifying Exploitation 96 26.72 3.074 61.46% 0.679 0.9193
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 337 32.18 5.815 90.21% 1.96 1.468
Memory Fades to Dust 3921 23.15 -0.688 55.78% -0.285 -0.0422
Power Corrodes the Spirit 832 25.16 1.085 62.14% 0.359 0.6026
Promising Farmlands 1581 23.71 1.045 58.57% 0.221 0.5325
Shattered Fragments of Power 92 29.0 0.953 64.13% 0.012 0.2065
Slow Dissolution of Will 91 25.13 0.825 56.04% 0.19 0.5539
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 215 32.74 4.371 93.49% 0.677 0.0971
The Border of Life and Death 38 29.29 7.14 81.58% 0.835 0.3265
Thriving Communities 771 24.67 -0.414 61.09% 0.276 0.6006
Thriving Crops 35 27.34 0.0 71.43%
Tipping Point 576 24.66 0.0 60.59%
Unnatural Proliferation 797 25.86 1.364 59.72% 0.357 0.4774
Untended Land Crumbles 773 23.7 -1.105 58.47% -0.503 -0.0905

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11314 44.44% 30.32 -0.263 77.81% -0.484 0.3692
B 11635 44.63% 30.32 0.329 77.77% -0.334 0.4813
C 11928 42.88% 30.53 0.204 78.28% -0.47 0.2138
D 11051 44.94% 30.17 -0.715 77.84% -0.549 0.2555
E 4091 43.21% 30.55 0.228 77.51% -0.451 0.2199
F 5769 40.44% 31.25 0.079 79.55% -0.422 0.38
G 5086 43.22% 30.79 -0.483 78.96% -0.576 0.248
H 5120 41.65% 31.1 0.393 78.95% -0.187 0.5857
East 3384 50.24% 34.09 2.55 66.73% 0.272 1.0907
Northeast 1910 49.61% 35.35 1.16 69.16% -0.261 0.5232
Northwest 1528 53.72% 33.67 1.663 64.92% -0.072 0.7334
Southeast 551 46.72% 31.62 -0.133 64.25% -0.549 0.2568
Southwest 506 44.14% 30.41 -3.554 65.02% -1.066 0.2028
West 2935 53.68% 32.73 0.194 64.29% -0.581 0.4282

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 261 0.0% 29.67 6.402 74.33% 0.899 1.6967
Not Using Events or Tokens 7750 51.88% 26.97 -0.74 68.14% 0.097 0.4906
Skip Initial Invader Actions 644 17.94% 43.34 2.852 87.11% 0.955 0.3341
Start of Game Growth 1024 17.56% 41.97 2.63 87.01% -0.037 -0.5992
Unlimited Undo 3753 40.05% 31.41 -0.546 78.95% -0.18 -0.1281
Using Tokens but Not Events 3698 38.27% 31.57 0.66 80.31% 0.169 0.1276

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5566 15.78 8.59%
II 19230 30.49 73.32%
III 15663 34.78 88.55%
IV 8133 38.41 99.1%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.304 Win Model: 0.592
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 31681 49.11% 29.34 72.34%
2 11160 45.02% 31.22 79.11%
3 3577 36.05% 32.54 82.64%
4 1958 35.77% 33.75 84.63%
5 46 47.83% 30.11 65.22%
6 170 27.98% 37.49 69.41%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 477
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13499
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 13414
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7993
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2766
Lose: Invader deck ran out 516
Lose: Adversary condition 155
Win: Sacrifice victory 210
Lose: Scenario condition 715
Win: Scenario condition 915
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7576
Lose: Spirit destroyed 356

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4794 40.08% 38.49 -1.551 78.33% -0.229 -0.3767
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 32 40.63% 41.41 6.803 87.5% 1.733 1.0167
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2852 71.2% 34.49 -2.689 66.73% -0.49 -0.2231
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 146 35.62% 36.94 -0.487 71.23% -0.28 -1.0835
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2578 35.99% 40.72 1.431 83.79% 0.405 0.2587
Downpour Drenches the World 517 42.36% 25.63 -1.997 49.9% -0.489 -0.2
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 768 24.35% 36.9 3.788 73.57% 0.804 0.375
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2799 40.47% 40.44 0.168 82.24% 0.12 -0.2472
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2448 43.25% 39.36 -0.803 79.45% 0.134 -0.3127
Finder of Paths Unseen 299 55.52% 28.34 1.192 54.18% 0.26 0.9347
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1013 39.44% 36.76 -0.977 64.76% -0.386 0.2064
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1196 46.66% 36.81 0.943 73.75% 0.077 0.0145
Heart of the Wildfire 3991 67.77% 34.22 -3.102 67.18% -0.715 -0.411
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6506 51.3% 40.85 1.313 80.99% 0.096 -0.2105
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 339 13.86% 19.69 -0.712 39.53% 0.222 -0.1292
Lightning's Swift Strike 4045 54.17% 37.86 1.163 73.84% 0.228 0.5572
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 274 53.58% 36.23 1.729 70.44% 0.264 -0.2182
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 637 38.9% 44.29 1.027 88.7% 0.037 -0.237
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 421 40.14% 34.4 1.866 66.03% 0.748 0.6864
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2178 47.82% 38.17 2.861 76.31% 0.623 0.3263
Many Minds Move as One 1072 43.6% 39.29 -3.649 81.9% -0.649 -0.8252
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4457 61.17% 34.45 -2.484 67.74% -0.652 -0.6982
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2340 41.82% 39.48 3.613 82.31% 0.999 0.8154
River Surges in Sunlight 5112 58.04% 39.28 1.061 73.02% 0.061 0.1672
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 22 68.18% 31.23 0.251 68.18% 0.122 -0.0262
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 477 57.86% 33.52 -1.309 60.59% -0.472 -0.0128
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 313 49.36% 34.73 2.88 60.7% 0.117 0.0873
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3076 55.08% 36.41 -0.078 73.54% 0.187 -0.0648
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2316 73.76% 33.64 -1.361 62.44% -0.359 0.1838
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 47 40.43% 22.09 -1.099 42.55% 0.052 0.2443
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 142 52.82% 36.8 1.401 73.24% 0.281 -0.3122
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 85 42.35% 28.12 -2.983 54.12% -0.738 -0.4454
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 410 48.78% 38.51 -0.347 78.78% -0.227 -0.2303
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 201 69.15% 35.19 -5.489 69.15% -0.893 -0.6417
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3737 39.42% 42.22 2.438 83.11% 0.646 0.5247
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 214 36.45% 34.44 -1.301 69.16% -0.138 -0.303
Shifting Memory of Ages 687 65.36% 31.29 -2.812 62.59% -0.69 -0.339
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 38 63.16% 34.74 2.152 73.68% 0.356 -0.005
Shroud of Silent Mist 870 67.09% 32.07 -0.881 65.17% 0.115 0.4798
Starlight Seeks its Form 1082 48.89% 36.58 -0.17 73.11% -0.145 -0.3058
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2221 54.89% 32.8 -1.021 70.73% 0.118 -0.5948
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2083 48.87% 38.1 -1.549 76.19% -0.348 -0.1121
Thunderspeaker 3878 51.67% 39.1 0.262 74.73% 0.014 -0.0022
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 145 25.52% 14.63 -3.372 27.59% -0.745 -0.5736
Towering Roots of the Jungle 95 52.63% 26.97 -1.198 55.79% -0.354 -0.3696
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1676 82.04% 33.63 1.041 70.53% 0.368 0.4495
Vital Strength of the Earth 2991 56.86% 32.09 -4.024 62.12% -0.707 -0.1631
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 216 39.15% 23.79 0.042 46.76% 0.124 0.6731
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 376 50.0% 32.97 -3.124 66.22% -0.52 0.2305
Volcano Looming High 1499 56.77% 36.3 0.384 73.32% -0.018 0.1424
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 452 28.76% 36.41 4.181 75.66% 0.807 0.5005

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 18 38.89% 18.67 1.464 38.89% 0.146 0.203
Blitz 0 683 56.05% 32.54 -7.022 60.91% -0.895 -0.5912
Dahan Insurrection 4 896 22.99% 41.55 0.029 53.91% -0.235 -0.3974
Despicable Theft 2 77 58.44% 36.27 -2.089 51.95% -0.308 0.5702
Elemental Invocation 1 180 67.78% 29.06 -0.761 42.78% -0.366 0.5797
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2016 23.29% 41.82 1.88 73.86% 0.034 -0.6243
Powers Long Forgotten 1 274 72.63% 35.5 -2.76 55.47% -0.494 0.488
Rituals of Terror 3 251 52.19% 38.45 0.03 52.99% -0.282 -0.155
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 90 65.56% 37.26 1.018 51.11% -0.12 1.0739
Second Wave 0 1422 62.69% 34.86 2.378 61.88% 0.066 0.1153
The Great River 3 90 67.78% 36.54 0.0 47.78%
Varied Terrains 2 34 58.82% 24.94 -0.918 35.29% -0.351 0.4559
Ward the Shores 2 267 65.54% 38.74 -3.941 56.55% -0.651 0.3475

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 34581 56.66% 36.52 -0.343 72.28% -0.224 0.026
1 Thematic 2291 60.13% 39.57 -0.147 62.81% -0.483 0.0004
2 Archipelago 23 60.87% 38.43 -9.843 60.87% -0.92 -0.4152
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7840 52.92% 37.65 -0.239 76.91% -0.07 0.0983
2 Coastline 936 54.14% 39.04 -0.638 77.67% -0.458 -0.4967
2 Fragment 185 60.54% 37.18 -13.364 74.05% -1.011 -1.2765
2 Heart 118 61.02% 38.73 5.111 80.51% 0.649 0.5619
2 Opposite Shores 1467 57.56% 38.52 -0.161 78.6% 0.1 0.0425
2 Thematic 871 55.86% 39.58 3.416 64.75% 0.706 0.9901
2 Top to Top 260 58.46% 36.93 4.337 72.69% 0.486 0.4577
3 Archipelago 11 63.64% 43.91 -10.804 72.73% -0.557 -1.7807
3 Coastline 45 35.56% 46.64 0.0 93.33%
3 Other 138 42.75% 40.41 9.357 84.78% 1.331 0.882
3 Round (Default) 2950 47.51% 38.96 0.803 79.9% 0.098 -0.1119
3 Sunrise 13 38.46% 37.0 -1.942 84.62% -0.195 -0.111
3 Thematic 146 54.48% 41.29 7.506 68.49% 1.388 1.1281
4 Archipelago 6 66.67% 42.33 0.0 83.33%
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 41.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 8 100.0% 42.38 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 56 39.29% 39.71 0.0 83.93%
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 66.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 100.0% 30.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 255 42.35% 50.49 -8.144 76.86% -0.04 0.0946
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1548 42.41% 40.51 3.767 83.98% 0.896 1.1783
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 5 0.0% 45.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 52 59.62% 40.29 5.662 86.54% 1.252 0.7771
5 Thematic 8 50.0% 36.88 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 5 0.0% 80.2 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 2 50.0% 34.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 23 13.04% 38.91 4.566 69.57% 0.052 0.6554
6 Star 4 0.0% 38.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 321 4.67% 4.45 -4.423 6.23% -1.02 -0.8533
6 Two Centers (Default) 39 28.21% 32.54 -12.016 66.67% -1.241 -1.4894
7 Other 3 33.33% 17.0 0.0 33.33%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2222 32.94 1.31 61.12% 0.08 0.2543
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1841 35.55 4.009 66.27% 0.729 0.6911
All Things Weaken 1100 31.38 -1.939 57.45% -0.485 -0.1903
Attenuated Essence 125 29.18 -1.872 58.4% -0.482 -0.3803
Back Against the Wall 1745 33.9 0.268 61.95% -0.229 -0.1681
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 126 31.94 6.558 57.14% 0.915 1.1027
Burn Brightest Before the End 101 32.39 1.849 59.41% 0.072 0.2441
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2155 29.67 -3.279 57.63% -0.62 -0.2142
Downward Spiral 4652 31.76 0.959 63.59% 0.261 0.3828
Erosion of Will 2222 31.41 -1.565 57.56% -0.439 -0.1485
Intensifying Exploitation 145 28.57 0.393 55.17% -0.009 0.2314
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 452 41.75 3.656 92.26% 0.64 0.1481
Memory Fades to Dust 4545 30.78 -0.955 58.68% -0.194 0.0489
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1180 33.0 1.789 66.19% 0.132 0.3752
Promising Farmlands 2196 30.45 -1.628 58.88% -0.314 -0.0018
Shattered Fragments of Power 100 35.69 3.731 69.0% 0.604 0.799
Slow Dissolution of Will 119 29.99 2.925 52.94% 0.103 0.4672
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 300 42.36 3.681 93.67% 0.599 0.0185
The Border of Life and Death 30 34.2 7.987 73.33% 1.176 0.6675
Thriving Communities 1168 30.57 -2.215 59.5% -0.331 -0.0059
Thriving Crops 57 30.72 5.495 68.42% 0.725 0.7003
Tipping Point 816 30.56 0.0 56.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 1174 33.92 0.27 64.57% -0.077 0.0437
Untended Land Crumbles 1087 30.96 -1.86 59.61% -0.457 -0.0445

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12082 54.02% 37.14 0.71 74.46% 0.313 1.166
B 12479 53.05% 37.6 0.82 75.54% 0.279 1.0945
C 13279 53.99% 37.8 0.489 76.01% 0.27 0.9538
D 11936 54.25% 37.12 -0.549 74.81% 0.139 0.9433
E 5033 52.69% 38.06 0.701 77.29% 0.207 0.8782
F 6595 50.01% 38.54 0.568 77.97% 0.204 1.0062
G 5682 54.11% 37.28 1.402 75.26% 0.445 1.2696
H 6055 51.08% 38.28 -0.191 77.44% -0.076 0.6967
East 2634 50.82% 37.66 -1.504 59.23% -0.37 0.4488
Northeast 1599 47.25% 34.63 -2.672 53.97% -0.612 0.1723
Northwest 1250 44.44% 32.23 0.077 50.8% 0.136 0.9411
Southeast 675 26.37% 25.44 -2.681 42.67% 0.04 0.8462
Southwest 737 25.92% 22.43 -2.66 39.08% -0.154 1.1152
West 2309 48.59% 35.23 -3.118 56.13% -0.67 0.3389

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 190 0.0% 33.83 7.656 62.63% 1.102 1.8993
Not Using Events or Tokens 6236 62.45% 32.6 -0.47 64.05% -0.136 0.2578
Skip Initial Invader Actions 626 12.77% 54.25 2.318 89.94% 0.229 -0.3918
Start of Game Growth 896 17.93% 50.64 4.051 88.28% 0.412 -0.1505
Unlimited Undo 4261 47.77% 38.88 1.997 76.93% 0.377 0.4288
Using Tokens but Not Events 3825 41.1% 37.04 -3.932 73.54% -0.857 -0.8981

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7224 15.78 9.45%
II 23771 30.49 73.19%
III 15975 34.78 89.82%
IV 7277 38.41 99.66%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.005 Win Model: -0.126
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 37056 56.84% 36.69 71.62%
2 11604 54.26% 38.09 76.43%
3 3280 47.04% 39.21 79.63%
4 1869 43.1% 41.91 83.2%
5 45 44.44% 36.89 77.78%
6 393 7.63% 10.56 17.81%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 681
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14044
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 16703
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7193
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3349
Lose: Invader deck ran out 349
Lose: Adversary condition 144
Win: Sacrifice victory 249
Lose: Scenario condition 521
Win: Scenario condition 811
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9715
Lose: Spirit destroyed 488

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3045 50.53% 38.52 -1.057 70.31% -0.296 -0.444
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 20 45.0% 42.5 4.402 70.0% 0.422 -0.2941
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1695 78.25% 33.87 -4.012 56.11% -0.83 -0.5631
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 125 56.0% 39.65 6.4 74.4% 0.951 0.1477
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1749 54.8% 39.9 1.238 74.79% 0.342 0.1961
Downpour Drenches the World 293 51.37% 28.03 1.841 48.46% 0.423 0.7124
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 467 35.55% 40.62 5.788 77.52% 1.079 0.6506
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1774 51.84% 41.03 2.338 75.54% 0.338 -0.029
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1685 59.27% 39.84 1.314 73.95% 0.467 0.0199
Finder of Paths Unseen 191 61.26% 26.2 -3.09 46.07% -0.627 0.0479
Fractured Days Split the Sky 497 59.15% 35.66 -3.886 57.95% -0.853 -0.2604
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 776 59.15% 37.66 -0.111 68.81% -0.221 -0.2841
Heart of the Wildfire 2448 78.83% 32.85 1.117 54.86% 0.336 0.6398
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5083 62.17% 40.49 2.87 73.89% 0.23 -0.0763
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 139 46.76% 35.14 3.582 62.59% 0.596 0.2448
Lightning's Swift Strike 2436 64.86% 35.72 -2.43 61.12% -0.626 -0.2971
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 192 55.79% 40.99 8.414 70.31% 1.083 0.6008
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 440 52.62% 43.07 7.621 81.59% 0.587 0.3124
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 291 53.95% 39.51 -1.631 68.04% -0.316 -0.3781
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1724 64.05% 38.81 3.553 70.42% 0.587 0.2908
Many Minds Move as One 652 51.84% 41.29 1.047 79.91% 0.305 0.1282
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3043 69.38% 35.02 -0.106 60.4% -0.074 -0.1206
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1611 54.73% 39.86 2.705 75.48% 0.534 0.3498
River Surges in Sunlight 3479 67.7% 38.47 -2.206 62.86% -0.315 -0.2084
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 12 58.33% 30.17 -3.155 41.67% -0.754 -0.9029
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 259 71.81% 34.66 -6.791 54.44% -0.833 -0.3739
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 207 60.39% 37.2 -3.203 59.42% -0.753 -0.7824
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1916 68.82% 35.18 -0.227 61.59% -0.067 -0.3186
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1311 77.18% 31.95 -2.554 49.12% -0.432 0.111
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 29 72.41% 37.21 -6.958 68.97% -0.941 -0.7483
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 133 65.41% 40.35 7.027 73.68% 1.15 0.5568
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 49 69.39% 31.27 -0.621 55.1% 0.011 0.3035
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 265 69.81% 38.63 0.134 71.7% 0.098 0.0951
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 164 76.83% 35.65 1.906 59.15% -0.028 0.2239
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2586 50.85% 41.06 3.236 72.82% 0.573 0.4518
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 95 56.84% 30.64 1.746 58.95% 0.531 0.3663
Shifting Memory of Ages 414 73.37% 29.98 -1.827 49.03% -0.279 0.072
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 21 47.62% 46.43 6.937 80.95% 1.152 0.7917
Shroud of Silent Mist 535 78.84% 31.27 -1.499 54.21% 0.018 0.3829
Starlight Seeks its Form 839 58.76% 33.39 -1.742 57.57% -0.456 -0.6168
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1317 69.91% 31.14 -3.552 59.15% -0.425 -1.1376
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1233 59.45% 38.97 -0.19 70.64% -0.041 0.1951
Thunderspeaker 2411 62.79% 39.17 -4.287 66.74% -0.868 -0.8847
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 90 46.67% 21.31 -5.79 31.11% -0.734 -0.5626
Towering Roots of the Jungle 63 53.97% 23.17 -3.639 41.27% -0.658 -0.6731
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1109 90.08% 30.94 1.929 53.92% 0.646 0.7281
Vital Strength of the Earth 1649 72.0% 30.25 -3.475 46.33% -0.817 -0.2738
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 121 53.33% 31.47 -2.11 51.24% -0.37 0.1796
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 226 69.03% 30.65 -1.581 47.79% -0.124 0.6266
Volcano Looming High 922 65.51% 36.51 0.389 65.4% 0.092 0.2532
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 279 45.16% 39.54 3.404 77.78% 0.688 0.3815

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 431 61.03% 35.41 5.572 51.74% -0.234 0.0693
Dahan Insurrection 4 411 45.5% 58.69 0.583 71.29% -0.356 -0.5182
Despicable Theft 2 27 55.56% 36.44 -12.459 48.15% -0.16 0.7178
Elemental Invocation 1 90 75.56% 24.12 -7.338 32.22% -1.0 -0.0542
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1200 24.77% 42.72 3.855 67.92% 0.127 -0.5305
Powers Long Forgotten 1 180 71.11% 33.09 -7.789 44.44% -1.123 -0.1405
Rituals of Terror 3 150 74.0% 32.65 -9.482 32.67% -1.263 -1.1361
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 109 81.65% 35.48 -6.173 34.86% -0.585 0.6096
Second Wave 0 861 71.01% 34.66 -0.614 54.01% -0.448 -0.3987
The Great River 3 42 38.1% 26.88 -12.234 30.95% -0.954 0.4389
Varied Terrains 2 16 81.25% 22.81 -5.136 31.25% -0.544 0.2632
Ward the Shores 2 107 75.7% 36.62 0.0 42.06%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 23524 65.65% 35.65 0.211 63.22% 0.406 0.6552
1 Thematic 1783 65.96% 38.34 -5.417 51.37% -0.639 -0.1561
2 Archipelago 6 50.0% 50.0 0.0 66.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5160 64.83% 37.39 -0.299 68.45% 0.137 0.305
2 Coastline 642 56.81% 40.4 -0.315 75.7% 0.07 0.0316
2 Fragment 119 66.39% 34.05 1.352 57.98% 0.307 0.0414
2 Heart 109 70.37% 33.13 -7.24 54.13% -0.738 -0.8249
2 Opposite Shores 1006 67.46% 37.16 0.017 67.69% 0.022 -0.0351
2 Thematic 535 71.59% 37.39 3.316 48.6% 0.187 0.4717
2 Top to Top 156 70.97% 36.37 2.476 67.95% 0.793 0.7647
3 Archipelago 4 100.0% 55.75 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 18 50.0% 47.28 0.0 88.89%
3 Other 107 51.4% 38.35 9.647 68.22% 0.476 0.0269
3 Round (Default) 1995 56.74% 39.22 0.707 71.28% -0.108 -0.3178
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 32.86 0.0 57.14%
3 Thematic 131 65.65% 34.3 -3.558 45.8% -0.585 -0.8451
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 37.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 37.6 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 62 45.16% 44.35 0.0 83.87%
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 50.0% 47.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 138 61.59% 41.47 3.9 53.62% -0.453 -0.3179
4 Trapezoid (Default) 846 57.28% 38.52 1.841 68.09% 0.356 0.6392
5 Other 22 60.0% 38.05 0.463 45.45% -0.097 -0.5725
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 20.67 25.956 33.33% 0.499 0.2031
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 12 50.0% 39.75 -11.579 50.0% -0.266 0.3371
6 Star 12 33.33% 27.08 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 8 37.5% 36.63 0.0 50.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 35 48.57% 32.31 -6.016 68.57% -0.477 -0.7253
7 Other 1 0.0% 54.0 10.334 100.0% 0.089 -1.2437

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1818 32.37 -1.935 51.16% -0.711 -0.5365
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1431 34.94 4.438 56.46% 0.462 0.4238
All Things Weaken 956 30.75 -0.977 48.33% -0.411 -0.1167
Attenuated Essence 104 35.13 3.39 64.42% 0.49 0.5915
Back Against the Wall 1421 34.41 2.458 54.96% 0.097 0.1575
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 96 29.71 0.358 48.96% -0.43 -0.2428
Burn Brightest Before the End 83 33.22 3.311 50.6% 0.107 0.2795
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1814 30.58 -4.106 52.59% -0.857 -0.4515
Downward Spiral 3333 31.46 -0.253 54.25% -0.154 -0.0328
Erosion of Will 1931 31.22 -0.089 48.11% -0.332 -0.0409
Intensifying Exploitation 126 32.06 1.469 58.73% 0.188 0.4285
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 306 45.1 1.358 94.12% 0.396 -0.0955
Memory Fades to Dust 3391 30.41 -1.365 49.22% -0.399 -0.1565
Power Corrodes the Spirit 912 31.37 4.353 53.29% 0.771 1.0148
Promising Farmlands 1868 30.37 -3.352 49.46% -0.829 -0.5169
Shattered Fragments of Power 87 32.56 -0.973 56.32% -0.45 -0.2552
Slow Dissolution of Will 98 28.15 2.397 40.82% 0.162 0.5258
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 177 44.86 5.373 93.79% 0.735 0.1551
The Border of Life and Death 24 35.83 1.299 75.0% 0.16 -0.349
Thriving Communities 890 29.16 0.236 46.74% -0.155 0.1706
Thriving Crops 47 39.85 6.792 80.85% 1.115 1.0908
Tipping Point 662 31.51 0.0 50.0%
Unnatural Proliferation 1004 32.41 0.911 51.49% -0.097 0.0231
Untended Land Crumbles 964 30.3 -2.075 48.76% -0.654 -0.2415

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7991 64.4% 36.39 0.046 64.54% 0.064 0.9177
B 8417 63.75% 36.82 -0.316 65.84% -0.077 0.7391
C 8599 64.1% 36.9 0.747 65.96% 0.047 0.7307
D 7666 62.85% 36.69 -0.429 66.04% -0.096 0.7083
E 3495 63.87% 36.89 0.241 66.21% -0.078 0.5934
F 4329 61.92% 37.44 1.47 68.1% 0.152 0.9539
G 3866 63.12% 36.66 -0.206 66.22% -0.117 0.707
H 4205 60.93% 38.02 0.377 69.42% -0.097 0.6753
East 1640 66.16% 38.83 3.331 51.16% 0.957 1.776
Northeast 874 67.51% 38.98 -1.324 51.14% -0.459 0.326
Northwest 719 71.63% 36.12 -0.218 44.92% -0.068 0.7373
Southeast 245 60.41% 36.0 -3.299 53.47% -0.466 0.3398
Southwest 251 49.8% 36.63 -1.357 59.36% -0.254 1.0147
West 1478 67.12% 37.17 -1.854 49.05% -1.048 -0.0388

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 112 0.0% 35.52 2.832 58.04% 0.049 0.8466
Not Using Events or Tokens 3645 68.91% 31.54 -2.561 53.94% -0.006 0.3876
Skip Initial Invader Actions 532 16.27% 56.55 9.783 89.66% 0.824 0.2035
Start of Game Growth 760 22.94% 52.64 8.298 85.92% 0.642 0.0797
Unlimited Undo 2846 57.13% 39.67 3.458 71.5% 0.516 0.5677
Using Tokens but Not Events 1951 56.39% 38.08 0.766 70.37% 0.368 0.327

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5582 15.78 3.69%
II 14205 30.49 58.9%
III 12679 34.78 84.98%
IV 4008 38.41 99.63%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.538 Win Model: 0.504
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 25444 65.63% 35.81 62.28%
2 7703 65.56% 37.51 67.16%
3 2199 55.88% 39.47 71.81%
4 1044 57.24% 39.27 67.05%
5 17 53.33% 24.65 23.53%
6 67 44.78% 32.27 55.22%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 205
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10577
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8036
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3948
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2067
Lose: Invader deck ran out 334
Lose: Adversary condition 92
Win: Sacrifice victory 171
Lose: Scenario condition 390
Win: Scenario condition 403
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9876
Lose: Spirit destroyed 375

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1406 51.0% 41.78 -1.206 67.5% 0.153 0.0045
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 16 43.75% 41.88 5.23 68.75% 0.699 -0.0173
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 796 76.48% 33.57 -3.048 47.11% -0.559 -0.2925
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 80 53.75% 36.75 3.303 62.5% 0.558 -0.2451
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 747 54.77% 42.97 5.676 72.96% 0.945 0.7987
Downpour Drenches the World 171 50.88% 25.53 -3.471 36.84% -0.524 -0.2346
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 192 38.02% 42.12 9.875 72.92% 1.557 1.1286
Eyes Watch From the Trees 813 58.79% 39.92 2.393 63.96% 0.285 -0.0821
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 776 61.87% 40.18 4.246 61.73% 1.115 0.6687
Finder of Paths Unseen 157 50.96% 34.91 -1.056 59.87% -0.252 0.4228
Fractured Days Split the Sky 192 53.65% 38.65 -2.414 56.25% -0.478 0.1145
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 333 52.55% 40.44 1.591 67.87% 0.444 0.3812
Heart of the Wildfire 1220 76.75% 33.91 -7.14 49.59% -1.667 -1.3625
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2257 64.35% 40.4 0.299 63.62% 0.44 0.1335
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 42 47.62% 43.76 5.624 69.05% 0.681 0.3297
Lightning's Swift Strike 1187 67.66% 37.07 -1.755 53.24% -0.164 0.1648
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 138 81.88% 33.28 1.961 27.54% 0.319 -0.1637
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 241 46.06% 44.57 -4.6 75.93% -0.537 -0.8111
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 158 56.96% 41.75 -3.323 64.56% -0.081 -0.1428
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 761 69.65% 37.22 4.597 56.37% 0.97 0.6728
Many Minds Move as One 297 55.22% 40.33 1.172 67.68% 0.378 0.2021
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1346 72.46% 37.2 1.756 55.57% 0.699 0.6523
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 782 55.7% 41.58 4.094 70.46% 0.92 0.7359
River Surges in Sunlight 1480 69.62% 38.75 -0.086 53.92% -0.23 -0.124
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 3 33.33% 52.33 8.655 100.0% 0.888 0.7396
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 97 68.04% 32.86 -12.289 48.45% -0.63 -0.1703
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 142 69.72% 32.05 -4.79 29.58% -0.849 -0.8787
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 888 67.77% 36.1 -4.492 53.94% -0.576 -0.8282
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 609 76.35% 33.22 -5.485 42.53% -1.043 -0.5003
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 16 50.0% 13.38 -9.729 12.5% -0.638 -0.446
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 57 80.7% 30.7 -5.922 47.37% -0.511 -1.1041
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 24 62.5% 32.63 -7.879 50.0% -0.542 -0.249
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 88 67.05% 40.92 0.0 67.05%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 63 79.37% 26.1 -13.413 30.16% -0.795 -0.5429
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1354 50.44% 43.47 7.716 69.57% 1.308 1.1865
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 51 54.9% 29.43 2.526 43.14% 0.421 0.2565
Shifting Memory of Ages 182 73.08% 29.7 -2.705 41.21% -0.415 -0.0637
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 4 50.0% 54.0 8.527 100.0% 0.982 0.6214
Shroud of Silent Mist 258 79.84% 26.4 -4.886 31.78% -0.194 0.1713
Starlight Seeks its Form 287 52.61% 34.8 1.002 57.14% 0.368 0.2065
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 489 75.46% 28.52 -3.941 45.81% -0.49 -1.203
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 625 65.43% 38.67 -5.175 57.76% -0.626 -0.3896
Thunderspeaker 1180 65.36% 38.34 -2.14 56.69% 0.102 0.0857
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 40 45.0% 15.43 -6.635 20.0% -0.741 -0.5699
Towering Roots of the Jungle 23 52.17% 14.52 -6.654 17.39% -1.079 -1.0939
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 612 89.69% 32.43 -4.573 49.84% -0.395 -0.313
Vital Strength of the Earth 795 69.27% 31.91 -0.999 41.89% 0.365 0.9089
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 69 59.42% 24.1 -7.861 31.88% -1.404 -0.8546
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 124 67.74% 35.27 -6.091 52.42% -0.596 0.1548
Volcano Looming High 448 65.85% 36.6 0.398 57.81% -0.051 0.1101
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 138 47.83% 38.36 8.774 68.12% 1.36 1.0536

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 20.0% 10.8 -8.143 20.0% -0.464 -0.4066
Blitz 0 251 63.11% 28.32 -10.139 37.85% -1.39 -1.086
Dahan Insurrection 4 208 52.88% 53.15 4.694 56.25% 0.156 -0.0066
Despicable Theft 2 25 48.0% 29.4 5.851 36.0% 0.246 1.1239
Elemental Invocation 1 39 61.54% 25.9 -5.194 28.21% -0.417 0.5288
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 805 28.04% 47.4 -1.233 69.44% -0.266 -0.9238
Powers Long Forgotten 1 70 81.43% 33.99 17.031 40.0% 0.441 1.4232
Rituals of Terror 3 125 64.8% 35.91 -10.792 32.8% -0.834 -0.7074
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 66 66.67% 38.29 -10.278 37.88% -0.189 1.0052
Second Wave 0 320 67.5% 36.88 -2.093 51.88% -0.395 -0.3465
The Great River 3 38 52.63% 26.11 0.0 21.05%
Varied Terrains 2 16 62.5% 13.81 -1.985 12.5% -0.157 0.6499
Ward the Shores 2 80 65.0% 32.36 5.411 32.5% -0.064 0.9349

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11043 66.87% 35.45 -0.397 53.89% 0.097 0.347
1 Thematic 1140 61.14% 39.96 -2.541 48.33% -0.534 -0.0506
2 Archipelago 3 33.33% 27.0 0.0 33.33%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2585 66.81% 38.55 2.258 61.16% 0.746 0.9139
2 Coastline 279 64.16% 40.46 0.684 65.23% 0.493 0.4546
2 Fragment 53 80.77% 37.08 0.579 52.83% -0.103 -0.3689
2 Heart 38 73.68% 39.92 -4.439 60.53% -0.33 -0.4167
2 Opposite Shores 376 66.67% 39.45 -4.792 61.97% -0.124 -0.1811
2 Thematic 226 72.57% 37.45 -3.438 41.59% -0.459 -0.1744
2 Top to Top 83 63.86% 36.27 -2.096 49.4% -0.081 -0.1092
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 23 69.57% 50.65 0.0 78.26%
3 Other 36 69.44% 40.58 7.814 61.11% 0.162 -0.2867
3 Round (Default) 848 59.33% 40.36 0.082 65.45% 0.155 -0.0544
3 Sunrise 7 71.43% 40.14 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 77 66.23% 26.08 -1.166 23.38% 0.401 0.1411
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 28.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 33.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 24 25.0% 54.79 3.725 95.83% 0.04 -0.3237
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 69 62.32% 46.19 7.81 55.07% 0.294 0.4295
4 Trapezoid (Default) 326 54.8% 42.77 4.229 68.1% 0.625 0.9081
5 Other 10 30.0% 21.0 -8.994 40.0% -0.694 -1.169
5 Thematic 6 16.67% 4.17 -3.878 0.0% -0.408 -0.7042
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 1 100.0% 17.0 -7.142 0.0% -0.294 0.3091
6 Star 3 0.0% 34.33 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 1 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 10 30.0% 27.3 0.0 40.0%
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 898 33.66 1.267 45.21% -0.486 -0.3122
Aid From Lesser Spirits 684 35.13 1.689 46.49% -0.016 -0.0543
All Things Weaken 466 31.54 1.161 40.13% 0.09 0.3844
Attenuated Essence 63 33.11 5.794 52.38% 0.871 0.9724
Back Against the Wall 624 35.38 1.267 48.4% -0.131 -0.0699
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 54 35.15 8.345 51.85% 0.975 1.1626
Burn Brightest Before the End 48 28.67 6.141 31.25% 0.308 0.4804
Disintegrating Ecosystem 864 29.84 -0.485 40.51% -0.241 0.1644
Downward Spiral 1742 31.53 0.271 43.92% -0.238 -0.1171
Erosion of Will 850 30.11 -0.502 36.12% -0.546 -0.255
Intensifying Exploitation 45 23.04 -2.895 31.11% -0.374 -0.1336
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 95 47.01 4.353 86.32% 0.537 0.0453
Memory Fades to Dust 1744 30.16 2.627 39.51% 0.183 0.4254
Power Corrodes the Spirit 420 30.4 3.5 41.19% 0.196 0.4398
Promising Farmlands 860 30.02 -0.426 38.6% -0.24 0.0718
Shattered Fragments of Power 43 36.51 1.815 53.49% 0.024 0.2189
Slow Dissolution of Will 42 21.05 -5.254 21.43% -1.059 -0.6954
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 76 47.64 12.307 92.11% 1.038 0.4576
The Border of Life and Death 6 44.83 13.866 83.33% 0.526 0.0169
Thriving Communities 445 27.56 -5.014 34.83% -0.674 -0.3489
Thriving Crops 19 32.74 -0.34 63.16% 0.195 0.17
Tipping Point 324 29.92 0.0 36.11%
Unnatural Proliferation 472 33.32 -1.305 45.13% -0.658 -0.5373
Untended Land Crumbles 451 31.89 0.877 43.46% 0.232 0.6442

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3619 66.18% 37.38 0.291 57.7% -0.141 0.7125
B 3870 64.79% 37.33 0.421 57.34% -0.056 0.7598
C 3984 66.89% 37.09 -0.117 57.33% -0.044 0.6397
D 3584 64.09% 37.92 1.411 59.01% 0.161 0.9649
E 1584 64.37% 37.94 1.057 60.92% -0.058 0.6133
F 1972 62.07% 37.66 -1.766 59.53% -0.331 0.4711
G 1752 63.18% 38.12 1.842 60.67% 0.464 1.2884
H 1908 63.35% 37.91 -0.057 59.64% -0.311 0.4615
East 948 63.61% 38.76 -1.692 43.46% -0.381 0.438
Northeast 508 63.78% 38.27 -4.019 42.32% -0.756 0.0286
Northwest 364 68.41% 37.14 -3.244 41.48% -0.608 0.1971
Southeast 157 50.32% 39.37 -2.633 54.14% -0.32 0.4859
Southwest 137 56.2% 31.69 5.925 42.34% 0.811 2.0794
West 775 64.39% 37.96 0.374 44.26% 0.142 1.1512

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 56 0.0% 38.96 0.0 60.71%
Not Using Events or Tokens 1934 68.39% 34.17 -3.145 50.98% -0.655 -0.2612
Skip Initial Invader Actions 252 14.63% 59.19 -2.1 93.25% -0.141 -0.7622
Start of Game Growth 418 24.39% 52.7 3.315 84.69% 0.154 -0.4088
Unlimited Undo 1630 59.95% 39.79 2.019 65.21% 0.162 0.2135
Using Tokens but Not Events 989 59.59% 35.06 3.804 54.9% 0.293 0.2517

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4226 15.78 6.44%
II 6241 30.49 55.33%
III 5008 34.78 81.49%
IV 1807 38.41 99.56%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.324 Win Model: -0.108
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12234 66.33% 35.85 53.31%
2 3621 67.23% 38.78 60.23%
3 977 60.21% 39.56 62.64%
4 420 53.96% 43.77 67.14%
5 13 30.77% 10.08 15.38%
6 17 23.53% 27.41 35.29%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 271
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3981
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3324
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1779
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1242
Lose: Invader deck ran out 140
Lose: Adversary condition 46
Win: Sacrifice victory 63
Lose: Scenario condition 270
Win: Scenario condition 187
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5753
Lose: Spirit destroyed 226

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8958 47.81% 45.69 1.004 66.87% 0.219 0.0715
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 102 34.31% 40.17 4.588 63.73% 0.949 0.2321
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4218 79.5% 36.08 -4.126 47.72% -0.539 -0.2723
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 621 61.03% 45.58 6.859 68.6% 0.869 0.066
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4234 53.9% 45.23 0.185 70.48% 0.149 0.0028
Downpour Drenches the World 1093 49.73% 33.98 -5.786 46.66% -0.923 -0.6334
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2406 39.0% 47.13 6.038 74.19% 1.086 0.6573
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4498 54.23% 43.12 -3.379 65.07% -0.341 -0.7074
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3750 63.13% 42.75 2.076 62.53% 0.301 -0.1462
Finder of Paths Unseen 1018 56.5% 39.75 1.377 59.92% 0.378 1.0524
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2527 52.16% 46.16 -0.901 62.17% -0.437 0.1548
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 3112 58.97% 45.27 1.976 66.26% 0.331 0.2685
Heart of the Wildfire 7074 70.29% 39.57 -2.922 53.97% -0.392 -0.0878
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 13185 59.61% 45.28 -1.733 67.15% -0.121 -0.4272
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 551 55.72% 36.23 2.075 54.81% 0.293 -0.0582
Lightning's Swift Strike 5959 65.54% 38.95 -3.444 53.31% -0.297 0.032
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1392 67.46% 41.97 4.787 54.09% 0.462 -0.0201
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 2427 56.81% 48.73 5.777 76.6% 0.817 0.5431
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1438 51.18% 49.72 6.828 69.68% 0.806 0.7436
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4717 62.84% 42.72 1.868 62.52% 0.316 0.0189
Many Minds Move as One 1880 48.48% 46.36 2.485 74.89% 0.467 0.2909
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8092 67.78% 38.63 -3.919 50.25% -0.577 -0.6236
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4437 53.11% 46.48 2.923 73.72% 0.53 0.3462
River Surges in Sunlight 7860 63.3% 45.04 -0.594 59.54% 0.047 0.1536
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 56 55.36% 33.11 0.759 46.43% -0.028 -0.1768
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 580 67.93% 37.58 -3.686 45.69% -0.844 -0.3847
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 929 62.46% 39.1 0.894 48.01% 0.18 0.1506
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6301 60.18% 42.52 1.836 61.24% 0.208 -0.0442
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2201 75.03% 34.75 -5.463 41.12% -0.535 0.008
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 175 74.86% 30.39 -0.563 37.71% -0.441 -0.2488
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 588 70.92% 33.7 0.751 48.64% 0.132 -0.4611
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 159 73.58% 36.13 1.687 48.43% 0.389 0.6817
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 938 67.38% 42.1 1.195 58.64% -0.069 -0.0721
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 469 72.92% 38.77 -0.413 47.97% -0.152 0.0994
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5519 50.0% 46.86 3.151 69.7% 0.475 0.3532
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 606 52.81% 30.58 1.21 45.54% 0.129 -0.0357
Shifting Memory of Ages 1413 71.08% 35.05 -7.324 43.24% -1.705 -1.3534
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 68 57.35% 41.99 3.294 58.82% 0.352 -0.0088
Shroud of Silent Mist 1292 77.58% 32.39 -4.469 43.5% -0.744 -0.379
Starlight Seeks its Form 3206 55.93% 41.59 1.161 60.7% 0.227 0.0662
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5134 69.92% 33.84 -4.191 47.31% -0.505 -1.2179
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3621 58.14% 44.97 0.234 66.03% 0.039 0.2746
Thunderspeaker 4564 66.14% 41.98 -3.182 57.25% -0.311 -0.3276
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 260 50.77% 22.08 -7.866 32.31% -0.823 -0.652
Towering Roots of the Jungle 236 61.86% 25.24 -3.503 34.75% -0.615 -0.6305
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4740 83.01% 38.34 -1.04 56.67% -0.033 0.0484
Vital Strength of the Earth 2919 65.13% 33.4 -1.064 41.42% -0.217 0.3268
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 540 57.28% 34.13 -0.324 48.15% -0.196 0.3532
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 847 68.11% 35.24 1.418 44.98% 0.122 0.8726
Volcano Looming High 4067 62.16% 44.01 2.212 66.81% 0.285 0.4454
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1083 52.08% 39.06 3.072 62.05% 0.592 0.2862

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 28 92.86% 29.75 0.0 21.43%
Blitz 0 792 57.89% 40.12 0.996 51.64% 0.183 0.4865
Dahan Insurrection 4 1052 44.71% 61.04 -2.414 63.02% -0.856 -1.0187
Despicable Theft 2 68 58.82% 29.26 3.813 29.41% 0.277 1.155
Elemental Invocation 1 142 72.54% 31.95 -11.29 34.51% -1.284 -0.3377
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8062 23.55% 53.83 9.994 73.46% 1.247 0.5895
Powers Long Forgotten 1 182 70.56% 33.19 -9.218 30.22% -1.035 -0.0524
Rituals of Terror 3 371 49.87% 27.74 -4.176 18.6% -1.25 -1.1229
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 90 86.67% 36.19 0.0 28.89%
Second Wave 0 807 79.93% 37.15 -7.013 46.72% -1.077 -1.0283
The Great River 3 84 54.76% 26.6 -16.712 15.48% -1.201 0.1914
Varied Terrains 2 66 71.21% 28.59 -7.467 27.27% -0.754 0.0532
Ward the Shores 2 219 74.77% 34.68 1.044 31.96% 0.043 1.0414

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 76904 65.59% 39.53 -0.343 56.91% -0.186 0.0636
1 Thematic 2710 55.56% 42.14 5.468 48.38% -0.11 0.3736
2 Archipelago 55 68.52% 37.55 -1.578 36.36% -0.537 -0.0321
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10844 65.39% 41.73 -1.644 61.45% -0.321 -0.1526
2 Coastline 1620 62.71% 42.57 -1.278 62.53% -0.371 -0.4098
2 Fragment 315 70.48% 46.05 9.052 70.16% 0.976 0.7104
2 Heart 180 78.33% 41.75 0.25 51.67% -0.059 -0.1461
2 Opposite Shores 2302 61.63% 41.69 1.757 58.08% -0.248 -0.3056
2 Thematic 569 67.49% 42.02 -1.222 41.3% 0.198 0.482
2 Top to Top 446 65.01% 41.66 3.862 59.64% 0.186 0.1573
3 Archipelago 16 68.75% 74.25 -17.384 93.75% -0.491 -1.7148
3 Coastline 76 28.95% 51.93 4.218 77.63% -0.085 -0.8813
3 Other 128 65.63% 45.82 0.083 69.53% 0.245 -0.2033
3 Round (Default) 4152 57.43% 44.38 2.3 65.99% 0.33 0.1206
3 Sunrise 25 68.0% 42.88 -2.029 60.0% -0.382 -0.2976
3 Thematic 125 71.07% 45.95 2.603 46.4% 0.298 0.0383
4 Archipelago 14 28.57% 59.29 -27.597 57.14% -0.726 -0.4656
4 Coastline 22 0.0% 61.32 0.0 95.45%
4 Leaf 11 72.73% 21.0 0.0 18.18%
4 Other 245 33.88% 53.37 4.783 84.9% 0.56 0.196
4 Thematic 1174 33.13% 64.24 -3.806 81.6% -0.209 -0.0739
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3192 48.6% 42.18 -0.976 61.59% -0.498 -0.215
5 Archipelago 17 64.71% 28.94 -7.955 23.53% -1.6 -0.8366
5 Coastline 28 3.57% 56.71 0.0 89.29%
5 Other 94 66.29% 55.59 7.808 87.23% 0.648 0.1728
5 Thematic 20 35.0% 44.1 -7.865 55.0% -0.535 -0.8303
6 Archipelago 17 0.0% 59.06 10.307 76.47% 0.501 -0.5274
6 Coastline 11 18.18% 37.0 1.46 63.64% 0.084 -0.5793
6 Other 26 40.0% 47.42 11.697 61.54% 1.025 1.6282
6 Star 17 41.18% 38.53 -13.52 52.94% -0.366 -0.3093
6 Thematic 330 69.09% 52.85 0.774 73.03% 0.16 0.3266
6 Two Centers (Default) 136 29.41% 46.63 -7.157 63.97% -0.047 -0.2946
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 5319 35.22 -0.197 44.33% -0.428 -0.2536
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4239 39.62 2.56 52.56% -0.035 -0.0734
All Things Weaken 3208 35.5 -1.566 44.98% -0.617 -0.3228
Attenuated Essence 525 33.22 1.335 46.67% -0.147 -0.0462
Back Against the Wall 3940 38.41 3.193 49.37% -0.016 0.0445
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 525 30.68 -0.545 42.48% -0.313 -0.1258
Burn Brightest Before the End 327 34.14 1.821 44.65% -0.298 -0.1252
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5271 33.0 -1.703 44.15% -0.564 -0.1586
Downward Spiral 8012 33.81 -1.752 45.57% -0.458 -0.337
Erosion of Will 5250 33.83 -1.97 41.1% -0.661 -0.3704
Intensifying Exploitation 518 28.92 -1.441 38.8% -0.651 -0.4101
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 805 49.87 2.895 85.47% 0.644 0.1529
Memory Fades to Dust 8165 32.88 -0.905 40.59% -0.28 -0.0376
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3140 34.95 -0.946 45.92% -0.447 -0.2035
Promising Farmlands 5188 33.18 -1.843 42.75% -0.531 -0.219
Shattered Fragments of Power 303 34.46 1.993 45.87% -0.348 -0.1528
Slow Dissolution of Will 491 28.38 -1.456 33.6% -0.564 -0.1997
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 576 52.35 3.409 90.1% 0.196 -0.3837
The Border of Life and Death 98 42.1 7.328 70.41% 0.594 0.0854
Thriving Communities 3068 33.33 -1.037 44.07% -0.376 -0.0507
Thriving Crops 169 34.8 -2.371 57.4% -0.124 -0.1482
Tipping Point 1596 32.84 0.0 40.1%
Unnatural Proliferation 3431 36.89 -0.763 46.98% -0.424 -0.3034
Untended Land Crumbles 3059 34.44 -2.015 44.92% -0.909 -0.4964

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 21924 61.73% 40.77 -0.046 58.76% -0.228 0.6255
B 22229 61.98% 40.04 -1.069 57.33% -0.375 0.4409
C 23993 65.21% 39.83 -0.964 56.77% -0.393 0.2903
D 19931 64.14% 40.24 -0.71 57.88% -0.366 0.4379
E 11578 62.8% 41.82 0.792 61.51% -0.126 0.5455
F 13872 58.2% 43.64 1.189 65.22% -0.132 0.6697
G 11914 60.75% 42.13 0.611 62.04% -0.138 0.6861
H 12192 61.6% 41.88 -1.489 62.03% -0.556 0.2165
East 3452 50.71% 52.22 -0.825 62.54% -0.372 0.4476
Northeast 2267 48.71% 54.33 1.69 64.84% -0.347 0.4371
Northwest 2055 49.22% 51.17 -0.219 61.36% -0.49 0.3151
Southeast 852 55.28% 52.01 1.69 69.72% -0.029 0.7774
Southwest 849 57.43% 49.69 1.176 67.02% -0.183 1.0859
West 3220 50.59% 49.9 0.979 59.69% -0.523 0.486

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 571 0.0% 36.7 2.244 52.01% 0.442 1.2397
Not Using Events or Tokens 6461 71.01% 33.28 -4.777 43.48% -0.847 -0.4529
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3024 18.61% 62.04 10.905 85.25% 1.351 0.7305
Start of Game Growth 4066 21.24% 59.68 11.634 83.28% 1.03 0.4677
Unlimited Undo 11753 50.69% 46.41 -0.782 70.56% -0.055 -0.003
Using Tokens but Not Events 5209 52.64% 42.06 -0.837 59.53% -0.392 -0.4329

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 26429 15.78 8.69%
II 35020 30.49 58.15%
III 34582 34.78 84.2%
IV 9842 38.41 99.79%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.152 Win Model: 0.304
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 79946 65.25% 39.65 56.63%
2 16148 64.91% 41.91 60.47%
3 4482 57.39% 44.51 65.82%
4 4655 43.69% 48.37 67.8%
5 100 46.88% 52.09 78.0%
6 542 53.6% 50.66 69.93%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2292
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 28582
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 19607
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9722
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 8519
Lose: Invader deck ran out 817
Lose: Adversary condition 511
Win: Sacrifice victory 521
Lose: Scenario condition 1806
Win: Scenario condition 875
Lose: Blight pool ran out 31219
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1402

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-03-31 05:44:53 (Pacific Time)