The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5497 26.24% 23.4 -0.021 81.32% 0.12 -0.0767
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 16 6.25% 21.13 1.231 68.75% 0.404 -0.3108
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3673 47.91% 22.24 -1.017 76.83% -0.204 0.0649
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 62 17.74% 26.16 3.877 67.74% 0.707 0.1398
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2579 26.31% 25.1 -0.311 86.93% 0.166 0.0351
Downpour Drenches the World 422 25.36% 17.85 -2.074 57.35% -0.45 -0.18
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 350 22.0% 21.07 -0.62 62.86% 0.133 -0.2989
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2995 16.91% 27.62 4.344 89.82% 0.999 0.5762
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2662 22.94% 26.29 1.97 88.62% 0.556 0.1105
Finder of Paths Unseen 209 33.97% 13.23 -2.792 39.71% -0.613 0.0444
Fractured Days Split the Sky 583 36.19% 21.98 1.041 62.44% 0.027 0.8355
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 753 39.04% 22.98 0.588 69.72% 0.155 0.0373
Heart of the Wildfire 3651 57.15% 20.59 -0.681 71.65% -0.04 0.2471
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5053 27.87% 26.39 2.715 88.86% 0.637 0.2439
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 67 21.21% 23.25 0.247 64.18% -0.097 -0.5018
Lightning's Swift Strike 5393 41.99% 22.24 -0.958 74.52% -0.141 0.1267
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 145 27.97% 25.31 2.541 73.79% 0.922 0.5703
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 365 31.04% 26.14 -1.787 83.29% -0.396 -0.837
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 311 36.45% 23.88 4.959 75.24% 0.654 0.6108
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1446 33.06% 25.97 2.878 81.74% 0.724 0.4733
Many Minds Move as One 1031 23.8% 25.56 0.518 83.61% 0.16 -0.07
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5438 41.37% 23.37 1.406 79.62% 0.109 0.0054
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2364 28.98% 24.13 -0.184 83.54% 0.151 -0.0046
River Surges in Sunlight 6450 38.45% 24.93 1.594 76.03% 0.138 0.2269
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 14 14.29% 17.57 -0.59 57.14% 0.023 -0.0891
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 502 38.05% 24.63 1.382 74.3% 0.383 0.7727
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 180 36.16% 22.66 0.206 64.44% 0.086 0.2232
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3086 36.21% 22.64 0.749 80.69% 0.373 0.1795
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3998 53.66% 21.81 -2.395 71.84% -0.453 0.0331
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 83 38.55% 22.18 1.007 60.24% -0.319 -0.2635
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 55 24.07% 24.85 0.473 74.55% 0.119 -0.3495
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 79 30.38% 21.15 -2.806 65.82% -0.447 -0.2316
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 284 37.68% 24.32 -0.245 79.93% -0.071 -0.0416
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 232 41.81% 24.0 -0.755 77.59% -0.021 0.1512
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3300 29.57% 25.68 -0.723 83.73% -0.357 -0.5093
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 108 18.27% 21.18 -0.136 62.04% -0.243 -0.4422
Shifting Memory of Ages 655 47.85% 20.47 0.633 66.41% 0.071 0.5205
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 21 23.81% 16.52 -0.823 42.86% -0.354 -0.6586
Shroud of Silent Mist 722 49.37% 20.53 -1.547 68.28% -0.206 0.1302
Starlight Seeks its Form 1006 21.66% 25.55 -1.418 75.55% -0.162 -0.2175
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1755 28.05% 23.69 -0.728 82.91% 0.075 -0.548
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2079 33.45% 23.25 0.356 79.08% 0.322 0.516
Thunderspeaker 4986 30.09% 25.6 0.444 80.75% 0.009 -0.0446
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 71 29.58% 16.8 -1.554 46.48% -0.415 -0.2812
Towering Roots of the Jungle 77 32.47% 17.16 -0.711 55.84% -0.232 -0.2229
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1348 57.19% 19.82 0.405 72.26% 0.305 0.3876
Vital Strength of the Earth 5397 33.18% 21.16 -3.168 72.0% -0.809 -0.2149
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 138 24.26% 19.5 0.673 55.07% -0.82 -0.3803
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 289 28.67% 18.43 -5.693 62.63% -1.252 -0.5609
Volcano Looming High 1054 36.44% 22.67 0.542 73.72% 0.277 0.3802
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 153 21.57% 22.89 0.09 66.01% -0.244 -0.4959

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 20 10.0% 20.9 4.454 70.0% 0.797 0.5764
Blitz 0 1019 38.83% 19.66 -3.334 66.14% -0.943 -0.6559
Dahan Insurrection 4 834 22.69% 41.98 3.945 74.34% -0.29 -0.4046
Despicable Theft 2 164 29.88% 21.04 -1.205 50.61% -0.769 -0.0305
Elemental Invocation 1 210 40.48% 20.71 -1.985 58.1% -0.444 0.3122
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2139 8.43% 28.99 1.164 78.96% -0.293 -0.8747
Powers Long Forgotten 1 482 45.44% 24.85 -1.8 65.56% -0.785 0.069
Rituals of Terror 3 587 41.85% 30.23 0.563 61.67% -0.616 -0.7859
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 321 60.44% 28.78 1.802 58.26% -0.145 0.766
Second Wave 0 884 56.1% 25.43 -0.612 70.7% -0.388 -0.3086
The Great River 3 169 40.83% 21.87 -3.324 40.83% -1.649 -0.2856
Varied Terrains 2 128 32.81% 15.88 -3.207 40.63% -0.897 -0.0173
Ward the Shores 2 574 37.0% 26.66 -2.148 64.81% -1.356 -0.3742

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 37211 39.15% 22.85 -0.195 77.05% -0.286 0.0583
1 Thematic 4296 40.21% 28.75 1.139 71.0% -0.656 -0.1285
2 Archipelago 22 27.27% 30.86 7.622 72.73% 0.113 0.6117
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8555 34.38% 22.79 -1.882 79.51% -0.48 -0.1956
2 Coastline 743 32.15% 23.58 2.703 81.97% 0.766 0.7955
2 Fragment 175 38.95% 22.11 5.042 82.29% 0.713 0.4756
2 Heart 123 53.72% 21.03 6.872 73.17% 1.055 0.9069
2 Opposite Shores 990 32.95% 23.25 3.685 83.84% 0.912 0.9715
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 989 38.8% 29.49 0.427 71.89% -0.442 -0.0723
2 Top to Top 190 33.86% 22.24 2.856 81.05% 0.306 0.4291
3 Archipelago 14 50.0% 27.29 0.0 71.43%
3 Coastline 18 44.44% 18.22 -7.164 61.11% -0.412 -0.9611
3 Other 95 41.05% 19.23 -2.747 68.42% 0.054 -0.4838
3 Round (Default) 2764 28.69% 24.03 0.202 83.72% 0.258 0.1653
3 Sunrise 8 12.5% 25.63 0.0 87.5%
3 Thematic 231 34.2% 27.29 0.759 66.67% -0.369 -0.8875
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 47.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 6 16.67% 10.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 7 14.29% 23.57 0.0 85.71%
4 Other 41 26.83% 19.49 -2.257 70.73% -0.306 -0.2985
4 Thematic 653 30.92% 29.45 3.715 89.59% 0.832 0.9651
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1313 24.44% 22.5 0.034 80.05% 0.188 0.2952
5 Other 50 40.0% 25.12 0.356 74.0% -0.161 -0.6756
5 Thematic 9 33.33% 32.56 0.0 88.89%
6 Other 7 42.86% 20.0 -7.263 57.14% -0.512 0.1234
6 Star 6 0.0% 21.5 0.0 66.67%
6 Thematic 54 7.69% 20.31 -3.079 48.15% -0.547 -0.2243
6 Two Centers (Default) 56 10.71% 16.39 -7.349 55.36% -1.137 -1.24
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 7 0.0% 30.0 0.0 57.14%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1312 18.01 -0.225 59.6% -0.267 -0.1632
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1157 19.45 0.164 59.38% -0.366 -0.5109
All Things Weaken 636 17.88 0.308 55.97% 0.327 0.6933
Attenuated Essence 73 17.55 1.744 50.68% 0.374 0.3726
Back Against the Wall 1129 18.92 2.445 58.1% 0.187 0.2526
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 51 18.37 0.056 50.98% 0.377 0.6123
Burn Brightest Before the End 24 19.29 -2.219 54.17% -0.468 -0.308
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1299 15.71 -0.522 55.27% -0.237 0.1393
Downward Spiral 4741 16.43 -0.873 60.68% -0.092 -0.02
Erosion of Will 1368 17.96 1.67 57.75% 0.15 0.407
Intensifying Exploitation 63 16.75 1.374 50.79% 0.401 0.6747
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 237 23.88 -1.044 87.34% 0.091 -0.3954
Memory Fades to Dust 4830 15.95 -0.832 56.71% 0.015 0.1981
Power Corrodes the Spirit 626 18.56 -2.015 61.82% -0.507 -0.2939
Promising Farmlands 1365 17.01 0.156 59.78% -0.337 -0.0138
Shattered Fragments of Power 48 22.73 3.211 58.33% 0.487 0.6571
Slow Dissolution of Will 59 18.15 -2.811 50.85% -0.698 -0.3137
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 185 24.56 1.256 91.35% 0.034 -0.6422
The Border of Life and Death 20 22.05 -0.95 65.0% -0.258 -0.7747
Thriving Communities 628 17.72 -1.867 57.64% -0.749 -0.4245
Thriving Crops 31 19.19 -1.7 67.74% 0.128 0.1291
Tipping Point 504 16.8 0.0 60.52%
Unnatural Proliferation 623 19.58 3.859 59.87% 0.852 1.0387
Untended Land Crumbles 681 17.51 -1.58 57.86% -0.47 -0.1306

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12992 37.71% 22.37 -0.673 77.64% -0.667 0.1959
B 13241 36.27% 22.65 -0.21 78.14% -0.547 0.2744
C 13601 35.66% 22.83 -0.306 78.63% -0.528 0.1703
D 12910 35.36% 22.85 0.27 78.95% -0.299 0.5574
E 3979 32.76% 23.63 0.102 77.88% -0.53 0.1584
F 5913 32.88% 23.61 -0.241 80.37% -0.662 0.1556
G 5550 33.57% 23.06 -1.55 78.99% -1.04 -0.1593
H 5754 33.0% 23.71 0.183 80.48% -0.57 0.2101
East 3988 36.5% 29.51 0.699 74.57% -0.661 0.1322
Northeast 2441 35.29% 29.39 0.439 75.71% -0.522 0.3588
Northwest 1932 35.86% 28.81 2.096 75.62% -0.087 0.7839
Southeast 573 32.92% 25.93 0.71 68.24% -0.09 0.769
Southwest 515 33.14% 22.66 -3.158 66.02% -1.234 -0.025
West 3536 38.47% 28.39 2.588 73.05% -0.01 1.0499

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 590 0.0% 20.18 -6.097 64.41% -1.517 -0.8017
Not Using Events or Tokens 14211 44.38% 20.71 -1.47 71.21% -0.343 0.1309
Skip Initial Invader Actions 892 9.51% 34.66 4.836 91.59% 0.905 0.3378
Start of Game Growth 1373 14.09% 31.42 3.149 88.27% 0.521 -0.1432
Unlimited Undo 3296 27.66% 25.75 -0.423 82.98% -0.091 -0.0683
Using Tokens but Not Events 4310 28.59% 24.92 1.628 82.67% 0.246 0.2934

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8524 15.45 31.65%
II 20855 30.45 77.68%
III 19656 34.8 86.48%
IV 9659 38.47 99.14%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.152 Win Model: 0.46
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 41880 39.21% 23.41 76.16%
2 11580 34.82% 23.56 80.17%
3 3054 29.21% 24.19 82.51%
4 2014 26.87% 24.74 83.37%
5 61 11.48% 15.62 39.34%
6 104 12.87% 22.57 65.38%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2693
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 16517
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 15323
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9485
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3809
Lose: Invader deck ran out 811
Lose: Adversary condition 286
Win: Sacrifice victory 217
Lose: Scenario condition 542
Win: Scenario condition 1237
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7382
Lose: Spirit destroyed 392

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3705 26.97% 30.34 1.891 81.19% 0.127 -0.0696
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 27 25.93% 21.44 -0.863 62.96% 0.03 -0.6847
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2251 50.78% 27.5 -1.643 76.9% -0.287 -0.0187
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 71 29.58% 33.06 2.075 77.46% 0.184 -0.3832
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1819 28.44% 30.15 2.122 86.64% 0.529 0.398
Downpour Drenches the World 331 25.08% 23.16 -0.577 64.95% 0.145 0.4149
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 306 18.03% 28.26 1.276 76.8% 0.232 -0.1999
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2312 18.52% 33.51 3.772 91.61% 0.778 0.3547
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1913 23.02% 34.68 5.097 88.24% 0.878 0.4328
Finder of Paths Unseen 195 39.18% 21.37 -6.804 48.72% -1.404 -0.7469
Fractured Days Split the Sky 488 34.09% 28.26 -5.089 68.24% -1.29 -0.4821
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 553 39.6% 26.25 -1.512 69.44% -0.221 -0.3389
Heart of the Wildfire 2525 57.19% 26.6 -0.627 76.28% -0.034 0.253
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3845 35.47% 30.45 0.195 86.71% 0.007 -0.3863
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 79 27.85% 24.51 0.348 64.56% 0.045 -0.3597
Lightning's Swift Strike 3376 39.56% 28.73 -0.865 78.94% -0.091 0.1763
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 269 14.87% 52.65 2.366 78.44% -0.533 -0.8842
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 272 33.09% 30.57 5.768 82.35% 0.745 0.3037
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 277 33.94% 29.12 2.765 78.34% 0.109 0.0663
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1108 35.9% 29.95 1.342 82.22% 0.467 0.2163
Many Minds Move as One 812 25.71% 30.01 0.573 84.11% 0.127 -0.1035
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3394 41.69% 30.27 1.494 79.52% -0.011 -0.1148
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1844 31.41% 32.83 1.753 83.79% 0.055 -0.1006
River Surges in Sunlight 4260 39.41% 31.36 1.887 77.84% 0.096 0.1848
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 22 45.45% 25.32 1.725 77.27% 0.655 0.5428
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 343 45.32% 27.59 3.675 71.14% 0.76 1.1499
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 226 35.27% 29.35 3.579 69.47% 0.062 0.1991
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1903 37.27% 28.23 -1.652 80.82% -0.092 -0.2852
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2291 55.59% 26.42 -0.977 71.63% -0.117 0.3687
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 44 50.0% 27.36 -1.579 72.73% -0.047 0.0086
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 69 30.43% 31.13 7.331 76.81% 1.273 0.8049
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 70 31.43% 27.0 0.26 75.71% -0.08 0.1359
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 259 37.84% 28.77 -0.325 82.24% 0.437 0.4666
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 164 54.32% 28.82 1.6 76.22% -0.011 0.1617
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2404 31.47% 30.94 0.183 84.53% 0.126 -0.0271
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 123 15.0% 26.62 -0.132 73.17% -0.065 -0.2636
Shifting Memory of Ages 479 42.68% 23.94 -3.324 65.55% -0.886 -0.4371
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 23 34.78% 25.04 1.087 69.57% 0.441 0.1363
Shroud of Silent Mist 535 53.1% 24.74 -2.086 71.59% -0.368 -0.0324
Starlight Seeks its Form 539 33.27% 26.14 -2.366 71.61% -0.12 -0.1748
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1110 40.04% 25.09 -1.48 76.85% -0.195 -0.8181
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1490 35.43% 28.18 2.435 79.33% 0.541 0.7351
Thunderspeaker 3356 32.64% 30.91 0.026 81.02% -0.056 -0.11
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 78 44.87% 21.92 -1.052 56.41% -0.375 -0.2414
Towering Roots of the Jungle 72 38.89% 19.54 -1.375 61.11% -0.144 -0.1343
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 813 67.12% 23.19 -4.266 69.0% -0.971 -0.8885
Vital Strength of the Earth 3139 39.31% 25.36 -3.797 72.25% -0.813 -0.2185
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 136 37.04% 22.4 -4.504 60.29% -1.162 -0.7228
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 210 37.62% 23.17 1.062 65.24% 0.443 1.1343
Volcano Looming High 698 46.13% 25.38 0.212 73.21% 0.117 0.2207
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 148 25.0% 28.45 2.297 80.41% 0.407 0.1544

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 18 33.33% 28.28 -2.375 72.22% -0.216 -0.436
Blitz 0 837 45.2% 22.53 -4.638 62.6% -1.086 -0.7997
Dahan Insurrection 4 627 22.76% 49.36 10.622 81.02% 0.41 0.2951
Despicable Theft 2 140 40.71% 25.24 -7.415 51.43% -1.269 -0.5304
Elemental Invocation 1 193 50.78% 22.48 -1.572 54.92% -0.639 0.1176
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1771 11.16% 35.25 3.679 75.89% -0.05 -0.6318
Powers Long Forgotten 1 465 50.54% 27.17 -7.079 61.94% -1.751 -0.897
Rituals of Terror 3 450 47.11% 34.43 -1.221 64.44% -1.25 -1.4203
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 300 64.0% 30.89 5.469 56.33% 0.185 1.0959
Second Wave 0 2428 44.09% 29.49 1.027 76.11% -0.128 -0.0484
The Great River 3 139 38.85% 26.71 -0.615 44.6% -1.039 0.3249
Varied Terrains 2 107 38.32% 19.77 -0.84 40.19% -0.652 0.2278
Ward the Shores 2 470 46.7% 30.05 4.944 60.64% 0.511 1.4928

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 22695 40.9% 27.17 -0.093 77.12% -0.149 0.1948
1 Thematic 3463 44.68% 32.04 0.162 68.06% -0.215 0.3124
2 Archipelago 16 62.5% 45.56 15.162 100.0% 0.758 1.2567
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5605 36.36% 28.32 -0.985 82.25% -0.473 -0.1887
2 Coastline 607 41.92% 27.64 3.027 80.23% 0.419 0.4482
2 Fragment 153 49.02% 27.63 0.579 82.35% 0.623 0.3857
2 Heart 119 33.61% 28.97 4.317 88.24% 1.483 1.3352
2 Opposite Shores 933 33.84% 28.47 0.238 85.74% 0.13 0.1895
2 Thematic 871 42.41% 31.86 -2.092 68.43% -0.777 -0.4071
2 Top to Top 170 40.96% 27.18 2.818 77.06% -0.005 0.1188
3 Archipelago 15 20.0% 42.13 3.12 93.33% 0.148 -0.6491
3 Coastline 17 52.94% 32.53 0.0 76.47%
3 Other 75 32.43% 28.48 -1.163 88.0% 0.217 -0.3203
3 Round (Default) 2119 28.73% 29.49 -0.964 85.65% -0.644 -0.7364
3 Sunrise 5 40.0% 27.6 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 181 38.67% 31.13 0.183 64.64% -0.154 -0.672
4 Archipelago 13 30.77% 39.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 11 36.36% 21.36 -4.434 36.36% -0.569 -1.3296
4 Leaf 7 28.57% 34.0 0.615 100.0% 0.248 0.0366
4 Other 54 37.04% 28.54 10.253 85.19% 0.171 0.1786
4 Snake 1 0.0% 41.0 13.705 100.0% 0.721 0.6508
4 Thematic 310 43.04% 35.05 -7.656 83.55% -0.845 -0.7115
4 Trapezoid (Default) 862 31.29% 29.13 -2.459 83.64% -0.607 -0.5004
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 32.5 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 43 23.26% 30.58 1.704 86.05% 0.362 -0.1527
5 Thematic 9 22.22% 25.56 0.0 55.56%
6 Archipelago 125 1.6% 70.08 6.324 80.8% -1.3 -2.0294
6 Other 43 6.98% 66.28 0.0 86.05%
6 Star 3 0.0% 33.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 25 36.0% 23.52 1.17 52.0% 0.449 0.7718
6 Two Centers (Default) 44 25.0% 23.8 -2.184 61.36% -0.226 -0.3294
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 51.0 -1.053 100.0% 0.1 -1.3371

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 942 23.47 -0.016 62.42% -0.17 -0.0666
Aid From Lesser Spirits 900 24.17 1.531 63.56% 0.207 0.062
All Things Weaken 503 22.58 -0.762 59.84% -0.483 -0.1173
Attenuated Essence 51 25.98 4.5 70.59% 0.417 0.4158
Back Against the Wall 836 23.44 0.352 60.89% -0.132 -0.0671
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 72 21.01 1.135 55.56% 0.049 0.2836
Burn Brightest Before the End 46 26.15 0.357 58.7% -0.169 -0.009
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1021 20.73 -0.991 60.14% -0.242 0.1336
Downward Spiral 2894 21.18 -0.841 61.82% -0.085 -0.0127
Erosion of Will 1014 22.12 0.288 57.69% 0.109 0.3655
Intensifying Exploitation 42 21.62 -3.66 47.62% -1.223 -0.9491
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 173 28.64 0.941 89.02% 0.576 0.0893
Memory Fades to Dust 3015 20.3 -2.181 56.29% -0.493 -0.3104
Power Corrodes the Spirit 449 21.64 0.443 59.91% 0.435 0.6475
Promising Farmlands 1069 21.49 -3.26 60.99% -0.766 -0.443
Shattered Fragments of Power 33 24.67 -1.867 57.58% -0.486 -0.3152
Slow Dissolution of Will 43 20.4 -1.163 53.49% -0.5 -0.1159
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 120 29.96 -2.723 95.0% -0.176 -0.8517
The Border of Life and Death 19 26.74 4.527 84.21% 0.439 -0.077
Thriving Communities 463 21.11 -5.508 60.04% -0.973 -0.6492
Thriving Crops 25 25.64 1.611 72.0% 0.146 0.1478
Tipping Point 365 21.32 0.0 59.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 511 23.02 -3.272 56.56% -1.279 -1.0928
Untended Land Crumbles 484 21.9 -2.366 61.57% -0.426 -0.087

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8640 39.19% 28.28 0.22 78.97% -0.22 0.6436
B 8907 36.48% 28.78 1.707 80.62% 0.246 1.0669
C 9202 36.58% 28.87 0.068 80.96% -0.239 0.459
D 8536 36.48% 28.86 -0.204 80.67% -0.346 0.5103
E 2962 35.32% 28.17 0.127 78.93% -0.009 0.6798
F 4076 34.74% 28.4 0.044 81.35% -0.226 0.5919
G 3790 35.62% 29.73 0.345 80.66% -0.298 0.5823
H 3935 33.23% 30.16 1.534 81.91% 0.071 0.8516
East 3056 42.84% 33.0 3.235 69.96% 0.417 1.2094
Northeast 1745 44.29% 33.19 -1.309 71.0% -0.884 -0.0032
Northwest 1373 43.33% 33.05 -1.925 73.85% -0.879 -0.0078
Southeast 433 36.26% 27.51 -1.098 61.89% -0.535 0.3235
Southwest 425 40.47% 23.96 -3.057 57.41% -0.886 0.3235
West 2703 44.43% 31.44 -1.191 68.81% -0.458 0.602

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 285 0.0% 24.95 3.314 70.18% -0.134 0.5812
Not Using Events or Tokens 7266 45.88% 25.25 -2.3 71.18% -0.481 -0.007
Skip Initial Invader Actions 492 9.61% 39.6 3.353 89.23% 0.09 -0.4776
Start of Game Growth 759 13.17% 37.23 5.397 89.2% 0.853 0.1887
Unlimited Undo 2361 32.06% 28.73 0.533 80.47% 0.326 0.3494
Using Tokens but Not Events 3144 30.15% 31.48 1.359 82.25% 0.21 0.2578

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5990 15.45 32.15%
II 14428 30.45 79.22%
III 12809 34.8 88.59%
IV 5394 38.47 99.18%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.539 Win Model: 0.442
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 26388 41.37% 27.76 75.65%
2 8353 37.46% 28.82 81.87%
3 2357 29.76% 29.74 84.81%
4 1238 34.12% 30.63 83.36%
5 51 13.73% 28.18 78.43%
6 234 10.26% 57.02 77.35%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1925
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10979
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10711
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5306
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2323
Lose: Invader deck ran out 360
Lose: Adversary condition 131
Win: Sacrifice victory 126
Lose: Scenario condition 440
Win: Scenario condition 1006
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5079
Lose: Spirit destroyed 235

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4985 31.27% 31.95 -0.944 80.96% -0.091 -0.2873
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 55 29.09% 34.22 3.321 80.0% 1.201 0.4864
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2824 58.94% 29.49 -0.496 75.18% -0.003 0.2654
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 101 32.67% 37.81 5.757 83.17% 0.902 0.3348
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2249 35.0% 32.57 2.174 84.26% 0.554 0.4227
Downpour Drenches the World 479 34.94% 27.25 0.751 70.15% 0.067 0.3362
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 597 25.8% 32.1 2.377 79.9% 0.52 0.0877
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2958 24.3% 35.68 1.635 89.49% 0.222 -0.201
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2242 31.35% 33.87 -0.158 84.3% 0.198 -0.2477
Finder of Paths Unseen 283 48.06% 21.69 -3.472 49.82% -0.654 0.0035
Fractured Days Split the Sky 707 42.43% 30.99 -1.559 65.91% -0.852 -0.0443
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 871 46.08% 29.87 -0.219 73.36% -0.201 -0.3185
Heart of the Wildfire 3250 66.25% 26.95 -1.368 68.65% -0.202 0.0852
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5616 39.5% 33.78 2.292 85.56% 0.7 0.3069
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 162 29.63% 29.39 0.501 70.37% -0.101 -0.5052
Lightning's Swift Strike 3883 47.48% 29.47 -1.964 73.27% -0.335 -0.0674
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 187 47.57% 31.09 0.546 70.05% -0.051 -0.4022
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 421 38.24% 33.09 0.408 82.9% 0.326 -0.1156
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 374 39.95% 33.02 -0.551 74.87% 0.137 0.094
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1843 40.83% 32.93 0.736 80.85% 0.198 -0.0524
Many Minds Move as One 1081 30.77% 32.86 2.361 84.83% 0.684 0.4532
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4571 52.15% 29.5 -0.945 73.24% -0.402 -0.5061
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2206 37.24% 31.74 -1.301 82.5% -0.323 -0.4787
River Surges in Sunlight 5088 49.29% 31.8 -0.001 73.66% -0.32 -0.2311
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 34 44.12% 28.85 1.093 58.82% -0.268 -0.3801
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 532 51.69% 31.67 -2.556 70.49% -0.579 -0.1889
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 290 43.01% 34.55 1.879 74.48% 0.014 0.151
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3306 40.18% 31.88 -0.033 82.24% 0.031 -0.1624
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2545 66.97% 27.23 0.892 65.34% 0.396 0.8818
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 67 53.73% 28.09 -2.216 62.69% -0.032 0.0233
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 113 42.48% 30.54 2.689 69.91% 0.543 0.075
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 85 55.29% 30.86 3.515 78.82% 0.784 0.9991
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 311 48.39% 30.08 -3.159 75.56% -0.468 -0.4391
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 243 62.55% 28.28 -4.632 69.55% -0.15 0.0223
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3151 36.77% 33.04 2.136 81.88% 0.38 0.2272
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 162 27.95% 30.47 1.23 67.9% 0.145 -0.0535
Shifting Memory of Ages 757 51.78% 27.45 -3.684 66.05% -0.968 -0.5187
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 41 31.71% 32.56 2.789 70.73% 0.583 0.2784
Shroud of Silent Mist 848 56.72% 27.24 -2.393 70.87% -0.498 -0.1618
Starlight Seeks its Form 882 40.98% 29.27 -2.185 71.54% -0.49 -0.5456
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1610 44.6% 27.48 0.974 75.34% 0.449 -0.1737
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1816 45.07% 29.41 -0.302 74.12% 0.052 0.2452
Thunderspeaker 4245 42.1% 32.49 -0.215 78.0% -0.05 -0.1039
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 122 40.16% 24.89 -2.506 57.38% -0.702 -0.5682
Towering Roots of the Jungle 112 47.32% 25.78 0.278 67.86% 0.307 0.3162
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1278 71.89% 25.91 -0.583 69.41% -0.122 -0.0386
Vital Strength of the Earth 3634 43.72% 27.49 -2.2 68.6% -0.739 -0.1441
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 183 38.46% 29.21 0.374 71.04% 0.097 0.5367
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 328 42.07% 25.8 -3.583 64.63% -0.545 0.1466
Volcano Looming High 1289 47.4% 29.41 0.126 75.25% -0.051 0.0525
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 265 32.83% 32.94 2.889 79.62% 0.259 0.0069

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 22 27.27% 25.45 0.0 63.64%
Blitz 0 1029 48.68% 25.95 -3.628 61.81% -0.733 -0.4461
Dahan Insurrection 4 652 31.74% 49.5 2.777 72.85% -0.679 -0.7938
Despicable Theft 2 153 47.71% 26.65 -3.301 50.33% -1.15 -0.4111
Elemental Invocation 1 186 50.54% 23.29 -5.468 51.61% -1.048 -0.2914
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2047 18.49% 33.28 1.272 68.73% -0.38 -0.9616
Powers Long Forgotten 1 418 59.33% 27.75 -0.059 53.35% -0.641 0.2131
Rituals of Terror 3 353 52.56% 34.5 -0.999 54.39% -0.478 -0.6486
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 219 66.21% 34.18 -11.837 55.25% -0.847 0.0637
Second Wave 0 2088 53.49% 30.9 1.062 70.21% -0.223 -0.1433
The Great River 3 123 56.91% 26.17 -10.982 39.84% -1.317 0.0466
Varied Terrains 2 85 45.88% 18.49 -4.37 32.94% -1.598 -0.719
Ward the Shores 2 481 53.22% 32.35 -4.703 60.5% -0.977 0.0042

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 28710 48.51% 29.02 0.248 73.58% 0.306 0.6494
1 Thematic 3245 54.08% 31.98 -0.969 62.28% -0.495 0.0325
2 Archipelago 13 69.23% 40.0 -0.206 69.23% -0.354 0.1446
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7554 43.92% 30.52 -0.474 79.16% 0.168 0.4526
2 Coastline 854 41.76% 31.63 -2.156 81.38% -0.353 -0.3244
2 Fragment 207 53.14% 30.43 2.156 75.85% 0.218 -0.0189
2 Heart 115 44.25% 31.57 1.046 75.65% 0.075 -0.0724
2 Opposite Shores 1353 43.28% 31.93 3.035 83.37% 0.915 0.9738
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 1193 52.14% 31.5 -2.394 62.11% -0.685 -0.315
2 Top to Top 255 45.67% 31.94 -2.287 81.18% -0.335 -0.212
3 Archipelago 12 75.0% 40.42 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 24 25.0% 30.46 23.274 75.0% 0.073 -0.4756
3 Other 130 33.59% 31.48 5.382 82.31% 0.837 0.2992
3 Round (Default) 3234 35.78% 32.12 -0.248 82.68% 0.08 -0.0132
3 Sunrise 20 35.0% 29.65 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 259 47.29% 36.57 2.01 72.97% -0.212 -0.7307
4 Archipelago 13 46.15% 45.31 0.0 84.62%
4 Coastline 8 87.5% 36.38 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 10 40.0% 28.7 0.0 70.0%
4 Other 69 29.85% 34.36 7.28 88.41% 0.943 0.9505
4 Thematic 408 43.89% 37.58 0.083 77.45% -0.196 -0.0625
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1487 33.54% 32.26 -1.828 85.61% -0.584 -0.4769
5 Archipelago 4 100.0% 37.0 5.418 50.0% -0.028 0.1399
5 Other 72 44.44% 31.89 -9.333 75.0% -1.281 -1.7958
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 29.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 5 20.0% 63.4 0.0 80.0%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 27 22.22% 29.63 -6.186 48.15% -1.168 -0.5328
6 Star 12 58.33% 24.92 0.0 66.67%
6 Thematic 61 32.2% 46.67 6.226 78.69% 0.182 0.5051
6 Two Centers (Default) 79 24.05% 31.8 -2.4 67.09% 0.011 -0.0928
7 Other 5 0.0% 44.2 24.6 60.0% 0.517 -0.9196

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1630 25.48 0.142 59.39% -0.225 -0.1217
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1330 27.34 -0.896 62.71% -0.46 -0.6048
All Things Weaken 825 25.22 0.647 59.03% -0.282 0.0845
Attenuated Essence 87 26.0 4.408 63.22% 0.552 0.5507
Back Against the Wall 1372 27.47 -0.976 63.41% -0.771 -0.7062
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 111 23.21 -0.752 55.86% -0.414 -0.1794
Burn Brightest Before the End 67 29.16 -0.546 68.66% -0.422 -0.2612
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1532 23.09 -1.609 57.96% -0.484 -0.1084
Downward Spiral 3977 23.95 -0.127 61.38% 0.185 0.2574
Erosion of Will 1620 24.42 0.911 56.3% 0.062 0.318
Intensifying Exploitation 107 25.97 0.832 60.75% 0.533 0.8071
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 342 32.21 4.524 90.06% 1.093 0.6059
Memory Fades to Dust 3974 23.12 -0.934 55.69% -0.318 -0.1352
Power Corrodes the Spirit 859 25.07 -0.589 61.58% -0.276 -0.0636
Promising Farmlands 1607 23.76 0.956 58.81% 0.216 0.5391
Shattered Fragments of Power 103 28.92 0.353 64.08% -0.195 -0.0246
Slow Dissolution of Will 100 24.57 -1.854 55.0% -0.516 -0.1326
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 219 32.83 4.669 93.15% 0.531 -0.1451
The Border of Life and Death 42 28.74 1.479 80.95% 0.725 0.2086
Thriving Communities 780 24.63 -0.544 60.9% -0.049 0.2746
Thriving Crops 38 26.79 -1.811 71.05% 0.305 0.3065
Tipping Point 576 24.66 0.0 60.59%
Unnatural Proliferation 818 26.0 2.024 60.51% 0.921 1.1075
Untended Land Crumbles 789 23.68 -1.734 58.56% -0.598 -0.2586

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11526 44.42% 30.23 -0.351 77.46% -0.558 0.3051
B 11845 44.47% 30.22 -0.265 77.43% -0.505 0.3166
C 12141 42.9% 30.44 0.318 78.0% -0.37 0.328
D 11233 44.89% 30.1 -0.462 77.58% -0.593 0.263
E 4233 43.05% 30.37 -0.23 77.01% -0.489 0.1994
F 5917 40.42% 31.1 0.012 79.01% -0.645 0.173
G 5198 43.33% 30.61 -0.701 78.47% -0.583 0.2971
H 5249 41.6% 31.0 0.507 78.59% -0.311 0.4691
East 3435 49.81% 33.98 1.663 66.55% 0.17 0.9625
Northeast 1931 49.32% 35.25 -0.019 69.03% -0.334 0.547
Northwest 1543 53.52% 33.55 -0.547 64.74% -0.392 0.4789
Southeast 570 45.68% 31.57 0.881 64.21% -0.287 0.572
Southwest 526 42.83% 30.1 -2.036 64.45% -0.381 0.8279
West 2976 53.24% 32.54 -2.004 63.94% -0.968 0.0924

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 265 0.0% 29.76 4.375 74.34% 0.441 1.1567
Not Using Events or Tokens 7876 51.74% 26.84 -1.904 67.85% -0.347 0.1268
Skip Initial Invader Actions 667 17.82% 43.18 4.296 86.66% 0.785 0.2178
Start of Game Growth 1051 17.42% 41.85 3.776 86.68% 0.378 -0.2861
Unlimited Undo 3831 40.02% 31.32 0.496 78.52% 0.07 0.0929
Using Tokens but Not Events 3757 38.14% 31.59 1.356 80.17% 0.087 0.135

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5796 15.45 8.42%
II 19527 30.45 73.2%
III 15910 34.8 88.54%
IV 8260 38.47 99.12%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.098 Win Model: 0.552
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 32220 49.07% 29.26 72.14%
2 11406 44.81% 31.11 78.77%
3 3645 36.11% 32.43 82.22%
4 1984 35.8% 33.62 84.22%
5 49 48.98% 29.39 63.27%
6 189 26.74% 36.72 67.72%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 487
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13708
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 13602
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8120
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2991
Lose: Invader deck ran out 528
Lose: Adversary condition 158
Win: Sacrifice victory 215
Lose: Scenario condition 723
Win: Scenario condition 923
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7681
Lose: Spirit destroyed 357

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4850 40.03% 38.34 -0.458 78.04% 0.008 -0.1889
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 69 30.43% 39.93 5.776 79.71% 1.597 0.8826
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2878 71.11% 34.4 -2.855 66.57% -0.409 -0.141
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 162 36.42% 36.15 0.363 67.9% -0.469 -1.0367
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2619 36.0% 40.51 1.301 83.43% 0.488 0.3574
Downpour Drenches the World 554 42.6% 25.43 -2.033 49.28% -0.529 -0.2591
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 814 24.45% 36.26 1.984 72.11% 0.393 -0.0384
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2838 40.37% 40.34 1.976 82.06% 0.488 0.0648
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2483 42.97% 39.17 0.358 79.1% 0.229 -0.2164
Finder of Paths Unseen 312 54.49% 28.69 1.6 53.85% -0.084 0.5736
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1035 39.19% 36.56 0.22 64.25% -0.303 0.505
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1242 46.3% 36.5 1.609 73.19% 0.385 0.2671
Heart of the Wildfire 4044 67.45% 33.95 -3.191 66.64% -0.621 -0.3334
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6584 51.3% 40.79 3.133 80.91% 0.57 0.1768
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 403 13.15% 18.81 -0.191 37.47% 0.388 -0.0168
Lightning's Swift Strike 4123 53.91% 37.68 0.845 73.54% 0.2 0.4674
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 299 52.07% 34.61 -0.968 67.56% 0.029 -0.3222
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 644 38.63% 44.17 -0.464 88.51% 0.077 -0.3643
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 442 39.37% 33.64 -0.215 64.71% 0.401 0.3578
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2225 47.57% 38.0 1.57 75.96% 0.357 0.1062
Many Minds Move as One 1094 43.55% 39.06 -1.99 81.44% -0.257 -0.4879
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4543 60.77% 34.23 -1.948 67.29% -0.552 -0.6559
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2390 41.37% 39.17 1.565 81.76% 0.586 0.4303
River Surges in Sunlight 5191 58.0% 39.16 0.902 72.82% -0.098 -0.0086
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 35 57.14% 26.06 -0.052 57.14% 0.144 0.0318
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 482 57.88% 33.56 -1.898 60.79% -0.502 -0.1122
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 334 48.65% 34.17 2.394 59.88% 0.09 0.2278
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3135 54.77% 36.26 0.455 73.11% 0.022 -0.1712
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2335 73.57% 33.59 -1.475 62.4% -0.301 0.1841
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 52 38.46% 20.79 -4.093 40.38% -0.509 -0.4531
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 164 51.22% 35.55 1.853 70.73% 0.43 -0.0386
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 94 41.49% 26.93 -1.802 52.13% -0.365 -0.1492
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 413 48.67% 38.47 3.432 78.69% 0.322 0.3507
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 206 68.45% 35.23 3.19 69.42% 0.502 0.6747
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3759 39.3% 42.13 0.951 82.95% 0.111 -0.0419
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 233 36.05% 34.58 0.827 69.96% 0.147 -0.0521
Shifting Memory of Ages 707 65.06% 31.1 -3.359 62.23% -0.601 -0.1517
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 55 52.73% 32.47 0.916 61.82% -0.099 -0.4037
Shroud of Silent Mist 903 66.19% 31.41 -3.446 63.79% -0.596 -0.2598
Starlight Seeks its Form 1109 49.23% 36.67 2.344 73.04% 0.293 0.2376
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2273 54.57% 32.6 -1.607 70.3% -0.07 -0.6932
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2124 48.82% 37.84 -0.311 75.75% 0.048 0.2421
Thunderspeaker 3947 51.64% 38.92 -0.313 74.33% 0.001 -0.0529
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 152 25.66% 14.31 -3.494 26.97% -0.702 -0.5683
Towering Roots of the Jungle 170 51.18% 24.56 -2.066 50.59% -0.441 -0.4321
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1694 81.88% 33.54 -1.885 70.37% -0.103 -0.0202
Vital Strength of the Earth 3039 56.88% 31.93 -3.779 61.9% -0.509 0.085
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 233 39.74% 23.56 0.467 45.92% 0.012 0.4517
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 382 49.21% 32.79 -5.066 65.97% -0.866 -0.1748
Volcano Looming High 1530 56.54% 36.12 -0.077 73.01% -0.089 0.0142
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 490 29.18% 35.68 2.957 74.29% 0.679 0.4266

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 19 36.84% 20.47 2.846 42.11% 0.159 -0.0612
Blitz 0 701 55.32% 32.44 -2.199 60.63% -0.313 -0.0266
Dahan Insurrection 4 948 22.05% 39.73 1.458 51.48% 0.068 -0.0472
Despicable Theft 2 78 57.69% 35.81 -12.763 51.28% -0.88 -0.1416
Elemental Invocation 1 187 66.31% 28.53 -3.27 42.25% -0.629 0.1277
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2050 23.2% 41.69 2.0 73.61% 0.122 -0.4595
Powers Long Forgotten 1 278 72.3% 35.1 -5.103 54.68% -1.066 -0.2125
Rituals of Terror 3 256 53.13% 38.13 -5.969 51.95% -1.421 -1.5912
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 93 63.44% 36.05 -4.234 49.46% -0.651 0.2596
Second Wave 0 1457 62.37% 34.8 0.694 61.77% -0.217 -0.1377
The Great River 3 94 67.02% 35.57 -6.143 46.81% -0.795 0.5688
Varied Terrains 2 40 57.5% 25.5 -0.989 37.5% -0.522 0.3573
Ward the Shores 2 273 64.84% 38.47 -1.77 56.41% -0.313 0.669

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 35161 56.53% 36.41 0.202 72.06% -0.425 -0.0807
1 Thematic 2330 60.11% 39.19 -2.369 62.1% -0.934 -0.4066
2 Archipelago 23 60.87% 38.43 0.0 60.87%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7994 52.67% 37.45 -0.991 76.56% -0.437 -0.1526
2 Coastline 948 53.88% 39.06 2.881 77.74% -0.07 -0.0406
2 Fragment 191 60.73% 37.08 -1.15 73.82% -0.346 -0.5834
2 Heart 118 61.02% 38.73 0.0 80.51%
2 Opposite Shores 1489 57.65% 38.38 -0.295 78.24% -0.486 -0.4271
2 Thematic 883 55.44% 39.22 -3.054 64.21% -0.404 -0.0335
2 Top to Top 268 58.58% 36.43 0.643 71.64% -0.159 -0.0359
3 Archipelago 11 63.64% 43.91 0.0 72.73%
3 Coastline 46 36.96% 45.63 -11.275 91.3% -0.557 -1.1063
3 Other 140 42.14% 40.44 8.096 85.0% 1.048 0.5104
3 Round (Default) 3005 47.54% 38.9 1.483 79.7% 0.012 -0.0809
3 Sunrise 13 38.46% 37.0 0.516 84.62% 0.082 0.2329
3 Thematic 152 54.3% 40.45 5.782 67.11% 1.012 0.4936
4 Archipelago 10 80.0% 41.0 4.613 90.0% 0.683 1.1158
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 41.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 8 100.0% 42.38 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 56 39.29% 39.71 0.0 83.93%
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 66.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 100.0% 30.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 260 41.92% 50.28 12.281 76.54% 1.063 1.1962
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1577 42.48% 40.38 3.771 83.64% 0.585 0.6922
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 5 0.0% 45.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 57 54.39% 39.63 4.581 85.96% 1.03 0.5151
5 Thematic 8 50.0% 36.88 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 9 11.11% 64.11 0.589 77.78% -0.575 -1.305
6 Coastline 2 50.0% 34.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 25 12.0% 40.16 11.968 72.0% 0.547 1.1821
6 Star 4 0.0% 38.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 363 4.13% 3.94 -4.33 5.51% -1.607 -1.2835
6 Two Centers (Default) 43 32.56% 32.51 -6.493 67.44% -1.237 -1.3404
7 Other 3 33.33% 17.0 0.0 33.33%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2248 33.03 3.368 61.34% 0.529 0.6328
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1851 35.58 3.874 66.4% 0.856 0.7108
All Things Weaken 1125 31.16 -2.623 56.89% -0.761 -0.3953
Attenuated Essence 139 29.12 -1.744 58.27% -0.403 -0.4047
Back Against the Wall 1759 33.95 2.262 62.14% 0.24 0.3055
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 133 32.38 3.794 58.65% 0.528 0.763
Burn Brightest Before the End 104 32.29 5.226 58.65% 0.354 0.514
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2195 29.69 -0.898 57.72% -0.225 0.1509
Downward Spiral 4708 31.66 -0.421 63.36% 0.052 0.124
Erosion of Will 2245 31.35 -1.929 57.42% -0.59 -0.3332
Intensifying Exploitation 158 28.82 1.448 55.7% 0.212 0.4866
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 455 41.72 6.832 92.31% 1.075 0.5882
Memory Fades to Dust 4623 30.68 -1.002 58.51% -0.12 0.0632
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1198 32.98 1.385 66.03% 0.062 0.2747
Promising Farmlands 2226 30.36 -2.879 58.72% -0.532 -0.2092
Shattered Fragments of Power 106 35.86 3.415 69.81% 0.635 0.8054
Slow Dissolution of Will 134 30.16 2.781 54.48% 0.221 0.6044
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 303 42.35 7.76 93.73% 1.103 0.4268
The Border of Life and Death 33 34.97 9.344 75.76% 1.596 1.0797
Thriving Communities 1185 30.57 -0.86 59.49% 0.008 0.3324
Thriving Crops 63 30.7 5.671 68.25% 0.975 0.9761
Tipping Point 816 30.56 0.0 56.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 1201 33.78 -0.145 64.36% -0.23 -0.0437
Untended Land Crumbles 1101 30.92 -0.567 59.49% -0.096 0.2429

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12321 53.95% 37.02 1.087 74.22% 0.304 1.1673
B 12696 52.93% 37.49 1.224 75.32% 0.206 1.0269
C 13490 53.87% 37.69 0.305 75.78% 0.124 0.8218
D 12128 54.1% 37.03 0.146 74.62% 0.075 0.9308
E 5160 52.73% 37.92 1.38 77.03% 0.298 0.986
F 6735 49.7% 38.38 -0.087 77.62% -0.027 0.7912
G 5810 53.87% 37.12 1.191 74.91% 0.212 1.0921
H 6178 51.09% 38.14 0.528 77.14% 0.078 0.8589
East 2722 49.87% 36.76 -2.474 57.79% -0.402 0.3902
Northeast 1666 45.83% 33.65 -2.334 52.4% -0.525 0.3563
Northwest 1306 43.14% 31.17 0.065 49.16% 0.521 1.3925
Southeast 725 24.83% 23.76 -4.498 39.86% -0.846 0.0129
Southwest 784 24.36% 21.16 -4.45 36.86% -1.074 0.1351
West 2384 47.77% 34.4 -3.617 54.78% -0.878 0.1829

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 198 0.0% 34.05 3.506 63.13% 0.58 1.2952
Not Using Events or Tokens 6403 62.16% 32.38 -1.705 63.55% -0.359 0.1147
Skip Initial Invader Actions 639 12.73% 54.35 7.309 90.14% 0.99 0.4225
Start of Game Growth 924 18.1% 50.38 3.507 87.99% 0.33 -0.3339
Unlimited Undo 4376 47.72% 38.59 0.249 76.28% -0.001 0.0221
Using Tokens but Not Events 3919 40.67% 36.65 -1.757 72.77% -0.248 -0.2005

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7541 15.45 9.12%
II 24127 30.45 73.13%
III 16213 34.8 89.87%
IV 7362 38.47 99.65%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.035 Win Model: -0.08
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 37684 56.72% 36.56 71.37%
2 11813 54.07% 37.92 76.11%
3 3346 47.04% 39.12 79.38%
4 1905 43.26% 41.74 82.89%
5 50 40.0% 36.48 78.0%
6 445 7.64% 10.25 17.3%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 686
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14261
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 16942
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7277
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3667
Lose: Invader deck ran out 351
Lose: Adversary condition 151
Win: Sacrifice victory 253
Lose: Scenario condition 526
Win: Scenario condition 819
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9817
Lose: Spirit destroyed 493

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3099 50.23% 38.36 -0.377 70.05% -0.059 -0.2556
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 35 51.43% 38.6 4.011 68.57% 0.729 0.015
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1710 77.91% 33.71 -4.042 55.79% -0.71 -0.4419
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 135 57.04% 40.7 8.996 75.56% 1.249 0.6813
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1776 54.98% 39.78 1.294 74.55% 0.218 0.0874
Downpour Drenches the World 302 51.83% 28.16 0.781 49.01% 0.182 0.4518
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 490 36.12% 40.89 7.127 78.16% 1.508 1.0761
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1796 51.7% 41.01 3.779 75.45% 0.58 0.1571
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1697 59.09% 39.76 1.499 73.84% 0.476 0.0305
Finder of Paths Unseen 205 60.0% 26.12 -1.637 46.34% -0.124 0.5332
Fractured Days Split the Sky 514 58.56% 35.34 -1.978 57.39% -0.571 0.2375
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 803 59.03% 37.55 1.778 68.62% 0.107 -0.0108
Heart of the Wildfire 2476 78.82% 32.71 -0.641 54.6% -0.084 0.2026
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5137 62.14% 40.36 1.247 73.64% 0.085 -0.3079
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 153 46.41% 36.46 5.807 65.36% 1.011 0.6061
Lightning's Swift Strike 2469 64.55% 35.52 -5.489 60.75% -1.291 -1.0242
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 198 55.67% 41.24 6.09 70.71% 0.742 0.3909
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 450 53.01% 42.47 -6.455 80.22% -1.271 -1.7125
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 295 53.56% 39.38 1.747 67.8% -0.02 -0.0632
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1747 63.9% 38.72 1.835 70.23% 0.216 -0.0349
Many Minds Move as One 667 52.32% 41.22 3.065 79.61% 0.689 0.4586
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3089 69.24% 34.89 -0.394 60.21% 0.05 -0.0539
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1628 54.83% 39.77 0.996 75.25% 0.276 0.1197
River Surges in Sunlight 3526 67.37% 38.38 -0.395 62.79% -0.064 0.0246
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 15 53.33% 25.53 -5.464 33.33% -1.246 -1.3574
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 264 72.35% 34.28 -7.276 53.41% -1.369 -0.9791
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 217 60.37% 36.98 -0.998 58.99% -0.297 -0.159
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1949 68.42% 35.05 0.514 61.47% 0.28 0.0863
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1333 76.66% 31.9 1.031 49.21% 0.35 0.8361
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 34 70.59% 35.91 -0.461 64.71% -0.253 -0.1973
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 141 66.67% 40.34 8.06 73.76% 1.36 0.8919
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 50 70.0% 30.64 -4.192 54.0% -0.467 -0.2515
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 270 69.26% 38.64 3.546 71.85% 0.486 0.5154
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 164 76.83% 35.65 -0.151 59.15% -0.064 0.1079
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2601 50.83% 40.99 2.411 72.66% 0.413 0.2605
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 104 56.73% 30.81 2.686 57.69% 0.42 0.2211
Shifting Memory of Ages 421 73.57% 29.68 -5.469 48.22% -0.941 -0.4924
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 28 42.86% 42.14 5.126 75.0% 0.943 0.6381
Shroud of Silent Mist 555 78.16% 31.16 -2.374 53.87% -0.546 -0.2099
Starlight Seeks its Form 865 58.61% 33.24 -0.671 57.57% 0.065 0.0098
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1349 69.96% 31.06 -0.765 59.08% 0.251 -0.3724
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1247 59.18% 38.91 -0.298 70.49% -0.074 0.1198
Thunderspeaker 2439 62.76% 38.96 -3.862 66.3% -0.825 -0.8794
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 92 47.83% 21.52 -0.449 31.52% -0.246 -0.1119
Towering Roots of the Jungle 95 51.58% 23.72 -3.317 41.05% -0.728 -0.7191
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1128 89.72% 30.87 -1.123 53.81% -0.119 -0.0363
Vital Strength of the Earth 1677 71.21% 30.08 -2.31 46.21% -0.27 0.3249
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 134 55.73% 32.47 -0.13 52.24% -0.415 0.0241
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 231 68.83% 30.35 -6.313 47.19% -0.942 -0.2502
Volcano Looming High 956 65.38% 36.29 -0.135 65.06% 0.002 0.1056
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 308 46.43% 38.7 1.227 75.97% 0.281 0.0289

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 437 60.65% 35.11 2.555 51.26% -0.411 -0.1243
Dahan Insurrection 4 416 45.19% 58.32 3.908 70.91% 0.119 0.0042
Despicable Theft 2 28 53.57% 36.29 -5.459 46.43% -0.555 0.1833
Elemental Invocation 1 93 73.12% 24.48 -5.038 33.33% -0.564 0.1923
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1223 24.55% 42.59 2.929 67.78% 0.153 -0.429
Powers Long Forgotten 1 187 70.59% 32.25 -10.5 43.32% -1.445 -0.5915
Rituals of Terror 3 153 73.2% 32.18 -8.08 32.03% -1.35 -1.52
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 110 80.91% 35.15 -13.332 34.55% -0.59 0.3205
Second Wave 0 885 70.37% 34.91 1.086 54.58% -0.242 -0.1627
The Great River 3 42 38.1% 26.88 0.0 30.95%
Varied Terrains 2 16 81.25% 22.81 -5.476 31.25% -0.592 0.2871
Ward the Shores 2 108 75.0% 36.28 -12.031 41.67% -0.306 0.6753

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 23902 65.6% 35.54 -0.37 63.06% -0.098 0.2463
1 Thematic 1798 65.74% 38.3 -2.792 51.39% -0.67 -0.1426
2 Archipelago 6 50.0% 50.0 0.0 66.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5215 64.55% 37.35 -0.196 68.38% 0.065 0.3489
2 Coastline 658 56.79% 40.1 0.453 75.08% 0.132 0.1613
2 Fragment 119 66.39% 34.05 0.282 57.98% 0.051 -0.1867
2 Heart 110 70.64% 32.95 -12.053 53.64% -0.83 -0.9782
2 Opposite Shores 1019 67.22% 37.16 4.581 67.71% 0.93 0.989
2 Thematic 539 71.24% 37.25 2.728 48.42% 0.054 0.4244
2 Top to Top 158 70.7% 36.33 3.945 67.72% 0.577 0.7001
3 Archipelago 4 100.0% 55.75 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 18 50.0% 47.28 0.0 88.89%
3 Other 109 52.29% 38.36 8.483 67.89% 0.362 -0.1762
3 Round (Default) 2042 56.82% 39.06 1.201 71.01% 0.203 0.1098
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 32.86 0.0 57.14%
3 Thematic 137 66.42% 34.01 -0.653 45.26% -0.192 -0.7102
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 24.5 -13.578 50.0% -0.523 -0.0898
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 37.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 37.6 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 63 46.03% 44.43 10.343 84.13% 0.912 0.9194
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 50.0% 47.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 145 59.31% 39.7 -2.758 51.03% -0.466 -0.3327
4 Trapezoid (Default) 884 56.51% 38.23 0.997 67.65% 0.45 0.5568
5 Other 24 54.55% 34.88 -7.504 41.67% -0.441 -0.9554
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 20.67 26.01 33.33% 0.533 -0.449
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 12 50.0% 39.75 -12.228 50.0% -0.106 0.5295
6 Star 12 33.33% 27.08 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 8 37.5% 36.63 0.0 50.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 38 52.63% 31.11 -3.324 63.16% -0.543 -0.6466
7 Other 1 0.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1831 32.32 -1.464 50.96% -0.81 -0.7067
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1447 34.79 1.099 56.19% -0.11 -0.2551
All Things Weaken 972 30.8 1.249 48.46% -0.125 0.2407
Attenuated Essence 114 35.03 4.515 64.91% 0.972 0.9704
Back Against the Wall 1435 34.32 -0.067 54.84% -0.295 -0.23
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 114 30.03 0.666 50.0% -0.171 0.064
Burn Brightest Before the End 86 33.37 4.359 51.16% 0.465 0.6252
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1831 30.52 -4.138 52.43% -0.968 -0.5923
Downward Spiral 3375 31.36 -1.301 54.04% -0.342 -0.2705
Erosion of Will 1948 31.24 -0.04 48.31% -0.157 0.0998
Intensifying Exploitation 136 31.95 0.748 58.09% -0.138 0.1356
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 311 44.99 1.544 93.89% 0.216 -0.2711
Memory Fades to Dust 3430 30.32 -0.726 49.04% -0.298 -0.1151
Power Corrodes the Spirit 926 31.47 3.743 53.67% 0.714 0.9271
Promising Farmlands 1887 30.3 -4.28 49.39% -1.057 -0.7344
Shattered Fragments of Power 92 32.61 1.036 56.52% -0.054 0.1166
Slow Dissolution of Will 111 28.07 -0.259 41.44% -0.527 -0.1432
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 179 44.87 8.692 93.85% 0.923 0.2464
The Border of Life and Death 25 36.28 4.541 76.0% 0.596 0.0801
Thriving Communities 902 29.15 0.024 46.78% -0.143 0.1811
Thriving Crops 56 40.46 6.241 80.36% 1.004 1.0058
Tipping Point 662 31.51 0.0 50.0%
Unnatural Proliferation 1020 32.4 0.248 51.57% -0.082 0.1052
Untended Land Crumbles 990 30.08 -2.443 48.38% -0.687 -0.3481

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8144 64.14% 36.26 -0.354 64.32% 0.087 0.9503
B 8591 63.61% 36.65 0.237 65.51% -0.008 0.8135
C 8737 63.92% 36.82 0.443 65.8% -0.015 0.6833
D 7804 62.6% 36.6 0.115 65.94% 0.111 0.9676
E 3578 63.69% 36.74 0.772 65.96% 0.116 0.8043
F 4420 61.82% 37.29 0.904 67.78% 0.135 0.9525
G 3923 63.16% 36.53 -0.942 66.0% -0.117 0.7637
H 4260 61.0% 37.98 0.482 69.32% -0.009 0.7715
East 1663 65.72% 38.6 1.976 50.87% 0.63 1.4228
Northeast 891 66.89% 38.57 -1.837 50.62% -0.408 0.4732
Northwest 730 71.23% 35.89 2.051 44.66% 0.664 1.5355
Southeast 254 59.84% 35.62 -0.24 52.76% -0.12 0.7385
Southwest 257 49.42% 36.47 -1.141 59.14% -0.156 1.0537
West 1500 66.73% 36.93 -2.749 48.73% -0.945 0.1152

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 116 0.0% 36.16 5.621 59.48% 0.494 1.2093
Not Using Events or Tokens 3718 68.37% 31.37 -2.979 53.74% -0.204 0.2697
Skip Initial Invader Actions 539 16.12% 56.56 8.453 89.8% 0.704 0.1367
Start of Game Growth 768 22.76% 52.69 7.931 86.07% 1.042 0.3772
Unlimited Undo 2895 56.96% 39.57 1.249 71.3% 0.035 0.0579
Using Tokens but Not Events 1983 56.44% 37.95 -0.001 70.15% 0.062 0.1101

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5751 15.45 3.67%
II 14383 30.45 58.88%
III 12861 34.8 84.91%
IV 4071 38.47 99.63%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.273 Win Model: -0.028
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 25840 65.58% 35.7 62.14%
2 7793 65.29% 37.44 67.03%
3 2253 56.06% 39.3 71.46%
4 1091 56.33% 38.76 66.27%
5 19 47.06% 22.05 21.05%
6 70 47.14% 31.61 52.86%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 210
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10721
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8135
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4008
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2220
Lose: Invader deck ran out 341
Lose: Adversary condition 93
Win: Sacrifice victory 176
Lose: Scenario condition 394
Win: Scenario condition 405
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9985
Lose: Spirit destroyed 378

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1432 50.63% 41.47 0.243 66.9% 0.03 -0.1667
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 26 42.31% 40.38 5.346 69.23% 0.678 -0.0363
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 806 76.15% 33.4 -3.224 46.9% -0.63 -0.3612
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 86 54.65% 36.34 -0.326 61.63% 0.043 -0.5239
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 772 55.45% 42.3 -0.458 71.5% -0.237 -0.3675
Downpour Drenches the World 181 50.28% 25.1 -5.25 36.46% -0.878 -0.6081
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 203 38.42% 41.84 6.343 72.91% 1.039 0.6073
Eyes Watch From the Trees 824 58.85% 39.77 3.503 63.59% 0.3 -0.1229
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 781 61.73% 39.98 1.142 61.46% 0.453 0.0077
Finder of Paths Unseen 166 51.2% 35.78 12.015 61.45% 1.82 2.4772
Fractured Days Split the Sky 202 51.49% 36.74 -12.056 53.47% -1.755 -0.9466
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 360 53.61% 39.57 1.564 66.39% 0.217 0.0995
Heart of the Wildfire 1233 76.41% 33.94 -1.747 49.72% -0.29 -0.0026
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2280 64.57% 40.23 -1.45 63.29% -0.194 -0.5869
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 50 44.0% 45.42 8.767 72.0% 0.725 0.3207
Lightning's Swift Strike 1198 67.54% 37.03 4.065 53.17% 0.469 0.7367
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 138 81.88% 33.28 -2.352 27.54% 0.008 -0.3435
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 242 46.28% 44.38 -10.767 75.62% -0.392 -0.833
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 165 56.36% 41.35 4.298 64.24% 0.599 0.5558
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 780 68.97% 36.88 1.562 55.9% 0.246 -0.0046
Many Minds Move as One 303 55.45% 40.38 3.213 67.99% 0.701 0.4706
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1373 71.46% 36.74 -0.923 54.92% 0.085 -0.0194
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 792 55.5% 41.61 7.495 70.45% 1.233 1.0774
River Surges in Sunlight 1511 68.83% 38.32 0.329 53.34% -0.061 0.0284
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 7 57.14% 42.0 5.53 71.43% 0.362 0.2503
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 97 68.04% 32.86 -12.293 48.45% -0.55 -0.16
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 150 68.67% 31.59 -3.152 30.0% -0.605 -0.4677
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 905 67.45% 35.95 0.416 53.81% 0.318 0.1246
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 625 76.16% 32.64 -4.963 41.76% -0.681 -0.195
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 20 52.63% 13.5 -9.961 15.0% -0.943 -0.887
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 67 80.6% 32.42 -1.093 50.75% -0.263 -0.7314
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 24 62.5% 32.63 0.0 50.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 90 65.56% 40.57 1.228 66.67% 0.328 0.3576
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 63 79.37% 26.1 -10.704 30.16% -0.179 -0.0068
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1365 50.26% 43.4 7.976 69.45% 1.064 0.9112
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 56 51.79% 32.57 13.94 46.43% 0.455 0.2563
Shifting Memory of Ages 197 70.05% 28.6 -4.89 39.59% -0.967 -0.5176
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 10 55.56% 46.6 9.952 90.0% 1.617 1.312
Shroud of Silent Mist 259 79.54% 26.39 -3.551 31.66% -0.216 0.1199
Starlight Seeks its Form 294 51.7% 34.9 1.298 57.48% 0.272 0.2171
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 508 75.2% 28.07 -5.831 45.08% -1.043 -1.6656
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 640 66.09% 38.51 -1.79 57.5% -0.518 -0.3245
Thunderspeaker 1206 64.19% 37.89 -2.485 56.05% -0.298 -0.352
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 41 46.34% 15.44 -0.959 19.51% 0.162 0.2956
Towering Roots of the Jungle 48 58.33% 21.13 -4.103 31.25% -0.737 -0.7279
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 619 89.16% 32.35 -6.275 49.76% -0.624 -0.5408
Vital Strength of the Earth 811 68.64% 31.34 -6.874 41.06% -0.937 -0.3425
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 77 59.74% 24.73 -3.443 33.77% -0.421 0.018
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 125 68.0% 35.14 -3.26 52.0% -0.664 0.0268
Volcano Looming High 455 65.71% 36.56 3.318 57.8% 0.274 0.377
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 167 48.5% 37.47 4.631 65.87% 0.761 0.5089

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 14.29% 35.43 7.588 42.86% 0.075 -0.1448
Blitz 0 255 62.9% 28.4 -0.612 38.04% -0.196 0.0911
Dahan Insurrection 4 210 52.38% 53.02 -3.334 56.19% -0.415 -0.5301
Despicable Theft 2 26 50.0% 30.81 17.967 38.46% 0.3 1.0382
Elemental Invocation 1 40 62.5% 25.77 -3.886 27.5% -0.503 0.2536
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 816 27.78% 47.26 3.715 69.24% 0.351 -0.2302
Powers Long Forgotten 1 72 79.17% 33.04 0.56 38.89% 0.123 0.9769
Rituals of Terror 3 126 64.29% 35.63 -0.203 32.54% -0.024 -0.1944
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 69 68.12% 39.32 16.692 40.58% 1.366 2.2764
Second Wave 0 334 67.27% 36.2 -4.33 50.9% -0.813 -0.7334
The Great River 3 39 51.28% 26.18 -3.16 20.51% -0.579 0.7842
Varied Terrains 2 18 66.67% 19.5 9.228 22.22% 0.399 1.2782
Ward the Shores 2 80 65.0% 32.36 2.717 32.5% -0.168 0.8139

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11233 66.59% 35.27 -0.502 53.66% 0.195 0.5389
1 Thematic 1156 61.51% 39.74 1.71 48.01% 0.246 0.774
2 Archipelago 3 33.33% 27.0 0.0 33.33%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2659 66.41% 38.28 1.195 60.74% 0.184 0.4688
2 Coastline 286 64.21% 40.55 2.746 65.38% 0.309 0.3379
2 Fragment 56 80.0% 36.29 1.853 51.79% 0.287 0.0495
2 Heart 38 73.68% 39.92 -4.04 60.53% -0.359 -0.5064
2 Opposite Shores 384 66.32% 39.51 0.126 62.24% 0.245 0.3045
2 Thematic 228 71.93% 37.12 -6.055 41.23% -0.49 -0.1204
2 Top to Top 83 63.86% 36.27 -9.846 49.4% -0.194 -0.0703
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 23 69.57% 50.65 0.0 78.26%
3 Other 36 69.44% 40.58 9.545 61.11% 0.092 -0.4459
3 Round (Default) 879 58.32% 39.59 -3.176 63.94% -1.023 -1.1157
3 Sunrise 7 71.43% 40.14 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 81 66.67% 26.17 3.798 24.69% 0.964 0.4456
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 28.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 33.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 24 25.0% 54.79 10.807 95.83% 0.141 0.1487
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 71 60.56% 44.89 -6.932 53.52% -0.197 -0.0642
4 Trapezoid (Default) 341 54.73% 41.97 0.254 66.86% -0.39 -0.2828
5 Other 11 36.36% 23.55 4.781 45.45% 0.114 -0.4006
5 Thematic 6 16.67% 4.17 -7.398 0.0% -0.599 -1.5813
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 2 50.0% 31.0 13.998 50.0% 0.45 1.0853
6 Star 3 0.0% 34.33 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 1 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 10 30.0% 27.3 0.0 40.0%
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 910 33.71 2.096 45.16% -0.645 -0.5413
Aid From Lesser Spirits 695 35.09 2.814 46.47% 0.122 -0.0225
All Things Weaken 478 31.48 2.949 40.17% 0.232 0.5978
Attenuated Essence 68 34.44 6.107 55.88% 0.666 0.664
Back Against the Wall 632 35.42 5.13 48.58% 0.627 0.6918
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 62 35.11 6.677 53.23% 0.983 1.2184
Burn Brightest Before the End 50 28.12 6.354 30.0% 0.083 0.2435
Disintegrating Ecosystem 872 29.79 -1.06 40.6% -0.394 -0.0177
Downward Spiral 1762 31.4 0.271 43.76% 0.08 0.1522
Erosion of Will 862 30.05 0.415 35.96% -0.417 -0.1602
Intensifying Exploitation 49 25.37 6.872 36.73% 1.082 1.3561
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 98 47.11 11.389 86.73% 0.897 0.4105
Memory Fades to Dust 1761 30.07 1.801 39.41% 0.17 0.3528
Power Corrodes the Spirit 427 30.37 4.174 41.22% 0.371 0.5835
Promising Farmlands 869 29.86 -3.113 38.32% -0.766 -0.4428
Shattered Fragments of Power 47 35.43 -1.518 51.06% -0.576 -0.4056
Slow Dissolution of Will 47 22.38 -0.846 25.53% -0.205 0.1786
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 78 46.42 -2.383 89.74% -0.095 -0.7708
The Border of Life and Death 6 44.83 0.0 83.33%
Thriving Communities 453 27.44 -2.391 34.66% -0.312 0.0121
Thriving Crops 22 36.32 10.413 68.18% 1.01 1.0117
Tipping Point 324 29.92 0.0 36.11%
Unnatural Proliferation 482 32.85 -4.073 44.19% -1.126 -0.9396
Untended Land Crumbles 461 31.75 3.845 43.38% 0.731 1.0704

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3696 65.44% 37.11 0.468 57.36% 0.331 1.1939
B 3952 64.35% 37.05 0.24 56.86% 0.02 0.8416
C 4062 66.53% 36.86 0.199 57.02% 0.142 0.8402
D 3659 63.68% 37.65 -0.525 58.62% 0.002 0.8585
E 1646 64.19% 37.76 1.865 60.63% 0.377 1.0655
F 2048 61.81% 37.33 0.114 58.98% 0.077 0.8944
G 1797 62.91% 37.84 -0.399 60.21% -0.075 0.8053
H 1951 63.37% 37.62 -1.846 59.2% -0.249 0.5311
East 961 63.58% 38.58 -0.193 43.39% 0.164 0.9566
Northeast 514 63.62% 38.06 -1.914 42.22% -0.5 0.3809
Northwest 367 67.85% 36.84 -1.823 41.14% -0.603 0.2677
Southeast 165 51.52% 38.7 -0.121 53.33% -0.143 0.7163
Southwest 145 56.55% 30.63 -2.365 40.69% -0.417 0.7927
West 792 64.27% 37.42 0.048 43.56% -0.129 0.9314

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 58 0.0% 38.45 0.631 60.34% 0.271 0.9867
Not Using Events or Tokens 1985 67.61% 33.72 -2.965 50.33% -0.502 -0.028
Skip Initial Invader Actions 261 14.17% 58.54 2.939 91.95% 0.464 -0.1028
Start of Game Growth 428 24.11% 52.44 3.02 84.11% 0.352 -0.3128
Unlimited Undo 1674 59.88% 39.46 0.712 64.58% -0.002 0.0211
Using Tokens but Not Events 1020 59.7% 34.54 -0.456 53.92% -0.297 -0.2491

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4382 15.45 6.34%
II 6332 30.45 55.24%
III 5086 34.8 81.5%
IV 1836 38.47 99.56%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.082 Win Model: 0.18
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12442 66.11% 35.67 53.08%
2 3713 66.87% 38.57 59.95%
3 1012 59.36% 38.87 61.36%
4 437 53.69% 42.91 65.9%
5 14 35.71% 12.86 21.43%
6 18 22.22% 28.39 38.89%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 277
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4045
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3367
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1807
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1377
Lose: Invader deck ran out 141
Lose: Adversary condition 47
Win: Sacrifice victory 65
Lose: Scenario condition 272
Win: Scenario condition 188
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5822
Lose: Spirit destroyed 228

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 9111 47.76% 45.5 0.677 66.6% 0.086 -0.1102
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 173 39.88% 37.32 3.044 57.23% 0.799 0.0849
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4285 78.91% 35.86 -4.359 47.44% -0.497 -0.2287
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 749 64.75% 43.26 2.503 63.55% 0.281 -0.2864
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4301 53.9% 45.16 -0.132 70.33% 0.072 -0.0585
Downpour Drenches the World 1157 49.39% 33.29 -4.971 45.64% -0.726 -0.4566
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2511 39.08% 46.87 6.137 73.87% 1.21 0.7779
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4596 53.72% 42.65 -3.96 64.36% -0.427 -0.8496
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3797 63.06% 42.71 2.219 62.44% 0.335 -0.1102
Finder of Paths Unseen 1056 56.26% 39.8 2.59 59.66% 0.53 1.1871
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2593 51.72% 45.73 1.386 61.43% 0.124 0.9323
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 3196 58.92% 45.05 2.122 66.02% 0.54 0.423
Heart of the Wildfire 7168 70.17% 39.4 -2.646 53.74% -0.278 0.0095
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 13373 59.38% 45.11 -0.816 66.86% -0.098 -0.4913
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 612 57.35% 36.96 4.583 53.92% 0.627 0.2228
Lightning's Swift Strike 6018 65.4% 38.84 -2.156 53.21% 0.047 0.3144
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1476 66.94% 42.35 4.611 54.4% 0.496 0.1441
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 2462 56.78% 48.66 6.203 76.56% 1.126 0.685
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1466 51.16% 49.54 3.604 69.3% 0.478 0.4353
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4814 62.76% 42.54 0.556 62.3% 0.17 -0.0807
Many Minds Move as One 1928 48.62% 46.24 3.928 74.27% 0.54 0.3099
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8188 67.61% 38.46 -3.492 50.06% -0.31 -0.4141
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4518 52.75% 46.27 1.543 73.4% 0.445 0.2892
River Surges in Sunlight 7943 63.23% 44.93 3.586 59.42% 0.719 0.8082
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 81 61.73% 33.07 0.325 45.68% -0.046 -0.1581
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 593 67.12% 37.15 -8.239 45.03% -1.25 -0.8606
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 966 61.72% 39.24 0.312 48.03% -0.21 -0.072
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6448 59.86% 42.16 -0.208 60.64% -0.039 -0.2329
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2227 74.86% 34.57 -4.626 40.91% -0.56 -0.0741
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 175 74.86% 30.39 -0.146 37.71% -0.225 -0.1698
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 663 70.44% 32.87 -1.273 47.51% 0.044 -0.4241
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 161 73.29% 35.68 -7.685 47.83% -0.742 -0.5264
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 955 67.23% 41.86 -4.123 58.22% -0.654 -0.6248
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 471 72.82% 38.74 0.916 47.98% 0.359 0.5314
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5571 49.93% 46.74 1.512 69.5% 0.229 0.0766
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 630 52.38% 30.77 -1.198 45.71% -0.26 -0.4586
Shifting Memory of Ages 1442 71.32% 34.78 -5.332 42.86% -1.153 -0.7044
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 129 55.81% 37.18 1.649 48.84% 0.145 -0.16
Shroud of Silent Mist 1316 77.08% 32.18 -6.838 43.24% -0.877 -0.5409
Starlight Seeks its Form 3289 55.92% 41.48 1.558 60.5% 0.397 0.3422
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5211 69.96% 33.79 -2.163 47.11% -0.248 -0.871
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3664 57.95% 44.9 -0.124 65.94% -0.047 0.1469
Thunderspeaker 4635 65.58% 41.6 -3.108 56.81% 0.034 -0.0195
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 269 52.04% 21.94 -7.087 31.6% -0.834 -0.6996
Towering Roots of the Jungle 392 62.5% 24.49 -4.173 34.18% -0.549 -0.54
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4777 82.91% 38.33 2.345 56.63% 0.531 0.6137
Vital Strength of the Earth 2966 64.62% 33.27 -1.361 41.37% -0.076 0.5188
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 562 56.99% 33.77 -3.603 47.69% -0.613 -0.174
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 858 68.05% 35.17 2.414 44.64% -0.032 0.6597
Volcano Looming High 4134 61.91% 43.89 2.1 66.62% 0.492 0.5957
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1181 52.67% 39.45 2.621 61.13% 0.457 0.2051

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 37 78.38% 41.27 12.054 37.84% 0.505 0.2845
Blitz 0 817 56.82% 40.49 3.76 51.9% 0.285 0.572
Dahan Insurrection 4 1078 45.02% 60.24 -3.672 61.69% -1.285 -1.3998
Despicable Theft 2 73 61.64% 29.12 0.213 27.4% -0.134 0.604
Elemental Invocation 1 144 72.22% 31.63 -14.272 34.03% -0.994 -0.2382
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8236 23.5% 53.74 8.353 73.26% 0.951 0.369
Powers Long Forgotten 1 184 69.78% 32.83 -10.207 29.89% -1.286 -0.4321
Rituals of Terror 3 382 49.21% 28.77 4.878 19.63% 0.136 -0.0337
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 90 86.67% 36.19 0.0 28.89%
Second Wave 0 837 78.49% 37.24 0.645 47.19% -0.173 -0.0937
The Great River 3 106 46.23% 21.32 -15.491 12.26% -1.677 -0.313
Varied Terrains 2 70 71.43% 28.37 -4.443 27.14% -0.602 0.2771
Ward the Shores 2 221 74.55% 34.62 -1.162 32.13% -0.314 0.6672

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 78522 65.43% 39.38 -0.794 56.7% 0.149 0.4926
1 Thematic 2768 55.08% 42.35 6.503 48.77% 0.486 1.0131
2 Archipelago 62 65.57% 34.84 -7.386 33.87% -0.451 0.0475
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11019 65.39% 41.64 0.45 61.29% 0.233 0.5171
2 Coastline 1654 62.57% 42.44 0.737 62.39% -0.06 -0.0312
2 Fragment 319 70.53% 45.82 4.013 69.59% 0.008 -0.2291
2 Heart 198 79.29% 42.25 3.335 48.99% -0.041 -0.1891
2 Opposite Shores 2360 61.47% 41.5 0.17 57.63% -0.266 -0.2069
2 Thematic 578 66.96% 41.84 -2.29 41.18% -0.112 0.2585
2 Top to Top 461 65.94% 41.61 4.151 59.22% 0.442 0.5649
3 Archipelago 16 68.75% 74.25 -15.643 93.75% -0.296 -1.0938
3 Coastline 80 28.75% 51.58 12.14 77.5% 0.904 0.3545
3 Other 128 65.63% 45.82 2.716 69.53% 0.642 0.1038
3 Round (Default) 4236 57.31% 44.24 0.883 65.65% 0.162 0.0696
3 Sunrise 25 68.0% 42.88 -5.27 60.0% -0.658 -0.5069
3 Thematic 130 70.63% 47.26 16.728 46.92% 0.309 -0.2096
4 Archipelago 15 33.33% 55.33 -23.061 53.33% -0.792 -0.359
4 Coastline 24 8.33% 57.29 -2.663 87.5% -0.494 -1.2547
4 Leaf 13 76.92% 17.77 -17.692 15.38% -0.637 -0.8485
4 Other 249 34.14% 53.31 8.038 84.74% 0.976 0.9836
4 Thematic 1188 32.74% 63.71 -5.663 80.89% -0.555 -0.4215
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3296 47.94% 41.51 -3.355 60.5% -0.684 -0.5769
5 Archipelago 17 64.71% 28.94 0.0 23.53%
5 Coastline 28 3.57% 56.71 0.0 89.29%
5 Other 94 66.29% 55.59 15.901 87.23% 0.699 0.1846
5 Thematic 21 38.1% 42.0 -17.544 52.38% -0.365 -1.3468
6 Archipelago 17 0.0% 59.06 12.954 76.47% 0.672 -0.0577
6 Coastline 11 18.18% 37.0 2.155 63.64% 0.125 -0.9147
6 Other 26 40.0% 47.42 11.573 61.54% 0.956 1.5911
6 Star 19 36.84% 34.47 -17.539 47.37% -0.922 -0.6778
6 Thematic 340 68.82% 53.29 1.981 73.53% 0.061 0.3836
6 Two Centers (Default) 142 28.87% 44.66 -10.563 61.27% -1.327 -1.4305
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 5385 35.16 -0.685 44.25% -0.434 -0.3305
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4291 39.64 3.178 52.53% 0.025 -0.12
All Things Weaken 3276 35.39 -1.085 44.78% -0.597 -0.2307
Attenuated Essence 572 33.44 -0.305 46.68% -0.455 -0.4568
Back Against the Wall 3992 38.4 1.672 49.37% -0.203 -0.138
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 580 30.64 -0.967 42.24% -0.27 -0.0353
Burn Brightest Before the End 359 34.18 0.483 44.85% -0.343 -0.1831
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5335 32.96 -2.291 44.09% -0.654 -0.278
Downward Spiral 8131 33.75 -1.057 45.55% -0.203 -0.131
Erosion of Will 5313 33.78 -2.148 41.01% -0.725 -0.4681
Intensifying Exploitation 566 28.49 -1.908 37.81% -0.539 -0.2653
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 826 49.66 2.071 85.11% 0.726 0.2391
Memory Fades to Dust 8275 32.82 -0.844 40.57% -0.195 -0.0124
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3207 34.83 -0.778 45.68% -0.507 -0.2939
Promising Farmlands 5247 33.14 -1.184 42.73% -0.365 -0.0425
Shattered Fragments of Power 345 34.88 0.687 46.38% -0.37 -0.1992
Slow Dissolution of Will 532 28.28 -2.381 33.27% -0.807 -0.4231
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 584 52.2 5.308 89.9% 0.65 -0.0257
The Border of Life and Death 102 41.43 3.617 69.61% 0.475 -0.0408
Thriving Communities 3123 33.26 -2.048 43.87% -0.541 -0.2169
Thriving Crops 177 34.64 -3.425 57.06% -0.245 -0.2439
Tipping Point 1596 32.84 0.0 40.1%
Unnatural Proliferation 3494 36.83 -0.919 46.97% -0.45 -0.2631
Untended Land Crumbles 3131 34.33 -2.138 44.68% -0.872 -0.5333

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 22434 61.68% 40.53 -0.589 58.34% -0.55 0.3134
B 22702 61.74% 39.83 -0.957 57.04% -0.547 0.2741
C 24417 65.02% 39.67 -0.807 56.54% -0.526 0.1723
D 20332 63.93% 40.01 -0.83 57.56% -0.482 0.3738
E 11893 62.51% 41.54 0.123 61.02% -0.329 0.3589
F 14199 58.15% 43.45 1.54 64.81% -0.227 0.5905
G 12167 60.5% 41.88 -0.563 61.57% -0.562 0.318
H 12470 61.4% 41.66 -1.402 61.64% -0.65 0.1301
East 3521 50.29% 52.14 3.115 62.43% 0.066 0.8586
Northeast 2321 48.27% 54.22 4.397 64.63% -0.297 0.5837
Northwest 2093 49.09% 50.89 -2.038 61.01% -0.984 -0.1128
Southeast 871 55.11% 52.04 4.244 69.8% -0.186 0.6725
Southwest 871 57.24% 49.65 -1.497 67.05% -0.925 0.2842
West 3282 50.4% 49.78 2.026 59.57% -0.163 0.8974

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 619 0.0% 37.48 6.439 53.96% 1.283 1.9991
Not Using Events or Tokens 6624 70.63% 33.11 -2.896 43.4% -0.752 -0.2777
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3122 18.65% 61.93 7.863 84.72% 0.254 -0.3136
Start of Game Growth 4193 21.09% 59.64 10.213 83.0% 1.613 0.9482
Unlimited Undo 12041 50.39% 46.18 0.031 70.17% 0.082 0.1048
Using Tokens but Not Events 5303 52.66% 41.87 -1.254 59.16% -0.37 -0.3224

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 27316 15.45 8.6%
II 35672 30.45 58.13%
III 35094 34.8 84.18%
IV 10026 38.47 99.79%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.146 Win Model: 0.566
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 81634 65.07% 39.5 56.44%
2 16462 64.88% 41.81 60.21%
3 4570 57.27% 44.4 65.54%
4 4781 43.29% 47.63 66.7%
5 101 47.42% 51.57 77.23%
6 560 53.13% 50.24 69.29%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2344
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 28996
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 19977
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9902
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 9218
Lose: Invader deck ran out 826
Lose: Adversary condition 522
Win: Sacrifice victory 535
Lose: Scenario condition 1831
Win: Scenario condition 878
Lose: Blight pool ran out 31665
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1414

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)