The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4385 27.51% 24.94 0.028 87.18% -0.024 -0.099
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3051 49.29% 23.6 -0.164 81.81% -0.01 0.0682
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2091 26.15% 26.37 0.254 92.2% 0.655 0.4304
Downpour Drenches the World 100 28.0% 24.95 -2.502 80.0% -1.118 -0.8531
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2477 16.99% 28.63 1.48 93.98% 0.718 0.2148
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2148 23.86% 27.53 1.239 93.67% 1.046 0.4592
Finder of Paths Unseen 39 43.59% 25.82 -2.547 74.36% -0.142 0.2134
Fractured Days Split the Sky 377 42.18% 26.34 -1.803 75.33% -1.28 -1.1978
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 407 44.47% 27.57 0.054 82.56% 0.059 -0.0355
Heart of the Wildfire 3083 58.6% 21.24 -2.928 74.54% -0.926 -0.5201
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4343 28.42% 27.01 0.324 91.87% 0.685 0.0818
Lightning's Swift Strike 4465 42.48% 23.82 -0.543 79.96% -0.436 -0.0714
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 46 19.57% 31.63 1.39 97.83% 0.397 -0.3516
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 262 29.5% 28.62 2.751 91.6% -0.254 -0.8179
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 218 38.07% 25.69 1.785 83.49% 0.268 -0.2269
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1001 33.5% 27.37 1.024 89.11% 0.191 0.0395
Many Minds Move as One 702 26.53% 27.58 2.402 92.74% 0.779 0.1927
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4465 42.6% 24.57 -0.148 84.75% 0.076 -0.0933
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1952 29.84% 25.31 -1.021 88.01% 0.107 0.0507
River Surges in Sunlight 5443 38.72% 26.29 0.407 80.32% -0.391 -0.4656
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 354 37.57% 26.49 1.012 80.23% -0.036 0.3903
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 40 40.0% 28.45 -1.372 85.0% -0.332 -0.6727
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2559 37.55% 23.65 0.073 84.99% 0.248 0.0547
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3300 55.13% 23.41 -0.917 77.03% -0.516 -0.0411
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 26 34.62% 31.46 1.811 92.31% 0.282 0.4613
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 20 20.0% 30.75 3.486 80.0% 0.149 0.2048
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 218 38.07% 27.04 2.62 89.45% 0.57 0.5476
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 157 43.31% 26.44 0.185 87.26% -0.118 -0.0023
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2873 30.07% 26.85 -0.483 87.89% -0.192 -0.3837
Shifting Memory of Ages 339 52.8% 23.65 -0.639 77.58% 0.543 0.7579
Shroud of Silent Mist 443 53.18% 23.95 -0.372 80.59% 0.267 0.401
Starlight Seeks its Form 529 22.16% 31.28 2.569 91.3% 1.309 1.1943
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1327 29.23% 24.69 0.084 88.77% -0.764 -1.0032
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1696 34.38% 24.67 0.117 84.26% 0.287 0.4173
Thunderspeaker 4107 30.36% 27.37 1.127 86.56% 0.253 0.2355
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1010 59.74% 21.09 -2.477 79.11% 0.142 -0.0737
Vital Strength of the Earth 4424 34.47% 22.9 -2.894 78.19% -1.331 -0.4328
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 31 16.13% 28.48 -0.276 87.1% -0.216 0.2065
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 194 32.81% 21.47 -3.213 76.29% -0.285 0.8294
Volcano Looming High 652 39.75% 24.48 -0.91 81.75% -0.243 -0.264

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 100.0% 18.0 0.0 100.0%
Blitz 0 733 43.88% 22.43 -0.669 76.67% -0.253 0.1897
Dahan Insurrection 4 649 21.03% 45.66 6.616 81.36% -1.159 -1.0615
Despicable Theft 2 65 41.54% 33.52 -0.433 80.0% -0.535 -0.0363
Elemental Invocation 1 99 51.52% 25.72 2.772 70.71% -0.073 0.4729
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1806 8.38% 30.26 3.038 83.33% -0.106 0.1255
Powers Long Forgotten 1 360 51.11% 28.71 1.345 76.94% -0.07 0.3372
Rituals of Terror 3 430 45.67% 35.15 2.531 72.33% -1.056 -1.2923
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 251 66.14% 32.45 0.179 65.34% -0.479 -0.2523
Second Wave 0 700 56.29% 25.15 2.388 72.29% -0.406 0.2866
The Great River 3 96 54.17% 29.23 6.122 56.25% 0.293 1.8744
Varied Terrains 2 20 60.0% 28.8 2.846 75.0% -0.122 0.6643
Ward the Shores 2 440 43.18% 30.62 1.506 74.55% -0.298 0.5833

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 29963 39.97% 24.1 -0.273 82.06% 0.016 0.6789
1 Thematic 3477 42.75% 31.0 1.563 77.05% -0.57 0.4872
2 Archipelago 8 25.0% 31.0 0.0 62.5%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6883 35.09% 24.29 -0.317 85.57% 0.442 0.9603
2 Coastline 563 34.77% 24.97 -0.218 87.74% 0.23 0.4306
2 Fragment 144 38.3% 22.9 -2.785 85.42% -0.458 -0.16
2 Heart 92 57.78% 21.48 -1.686 78.26% -0.553 -0.0919
2 Opposite Shores 739 33.52% 24.19 -1.105 88.63% 0.489 1.0281
2 Thematic 744 43.13% 33.13 4.173 81.72% 0.246 1.0283
2 Top to Top 148 34.01% 23.18 -3.221 85.14% -0.156 -0.0282
3 Archipelago 6 50.0% 31.67 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 10 50.0% 27.4 0.0 80.0%
3 Other 72 41.67% 21.31 -2.785 77.78% 0.044 -0.6199
3 Round (Default) 2108 28.9% 25.2 0.885 89.47% 0.386 0.6902
3 Sunrise 5 20.0% 24.8 0.0 80.0%
3 Thematic 158 39.24% 32.15 0.791 78.48% 0.145 0.3531
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 47.5 9.076 100.0% 0.036 -0.001
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 21.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 6 16.67% 27.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 28 25.0% 23.46 -2.693 89.29% 0.059 -0.6547
4 Thematic 504 31.54% 31.31 1.207 94.84% 0.215 0.3184
4 Trapezoid (Default) 943 26.84% 25.35 -1.008 91.41% -0.491 -0.4133
5 Other 25 44.0% 27.4 -3.375 92.0% 0.022 -0.4945
5 Thematic 8 37.5% 32.25 0.0 87.5%
6 Other 4 50.0% 21.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 2 0.0% 20.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 16 6.67% 39.25 -1.18 100.0% 0.0 0.2412
6 Two Centers (Default) 22 9.09% 25.36 -0.72 90.91% -0.209 -0.0178
7 Other 3 0.0% 50.33 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1136 18.28 -3.743 61.44% -1.836 0.1353
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1022 19.48 -4.758 60.37% -2.388 -0.6103
All Things Weaken 482 17.9 -5.176 57.05% -2.464 -0.4151
Back Against the Wall 957 18.58 -4.264 58.2% -2.099 -0.1599
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1121 15.63 -6.546 56.2% -2.093 0.035
Downward Spiral 3903 17.02 -4.554 63.49% -1.85 0.1109
Erosion of Will 1182 18.1 -3.991 59.39% -1.691 0.3902
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 190 24.81 -1.974 92.63% -0.368 0.1334
Memory Fades to Dust 4006 16.35 -4.76 58.41% -1.874 0.2672
Power Corrodes the Spirit 468 18.68 -4.826 62.82% -1.867 0.1134
Promising Farmlands 1207 16.9 -7.037 60.98% -2.259 -0.2377
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 145 25.05 -4.331 94.48% -0.427 0.0691
Thriving Communities 459 18.07 -3.747 62.31% -2.15 -0.0912
Tipping Point 504 16.8 0.0 60.52%
Unnatural Proliferation 488 19.49 -3.986 60.45% -1.985 -0.0279
Untended Land Crumbles 514 17.82 -5.867 60.89% -2.025 0.0079

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10343 38.98% 23.74 -0.448 83.25% -0.034 0.7018
B 10611 37.43% 24.06 -0.192 83.59% -0.138 0.5587
C 10942 36.91% 24.21 -0.584 84.08% -0.328 0.1413
D 10390 35.92% 24.27 0.114 84.38% -0.144 0.5658
E 2649 33.01% 25.91 0.958 87.96% 0.193 0.7375
F 4481 34.07% 25.08 -0.443 87.01% -0.334 0.3274
G 4251 34.26% 24.71 -0.133 85.79% -0.19 0.4405
H 4488 34.16% 25.06 -0.095 86.7% -0.303 0.3615
East 3073 39.17% 32.37 1.641 82.2% 0.482 1.1439
Northeast 1866 37.59% 32.35 3.575 83.6% 0.825 1.4852
Northwest 1509 38.01% 31.38 0.888 82.31% -0.168 0.4425
Southeast 365 39.84% 30.41 2.248 81.1% 0.024 0.5551
Southwest 330 44.38% 27.28 -1.891 80.61% 0.001 0.9695
West 2750 41.82% 31.18 0.569 80.29% 0.054 0.8594

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 467 0.0% 20.64 -3.088 67.45% -1.164 1.0646
Not Using Events or Tokens 10993 46.01% 22.55 -0.737 77.51% 0.06 0.287
Skip Initial Invader Actions 715 8.97% 35.26 2.611 94.83% 0.446 -0.5341
Start of Game Growth 1082 13.41% 32.74 1.81 93.16% 0.593 0.136
Unlimited Undo 2552 29.39% 27.17 1.031 89.11% 0.703 0.1511
Using Tokens but Not Events 3495 28.91% 26.11 0.938 87.64% -0.149 0.0066

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4571 22.65 52.29%
II 17582 31.08 80.0%
III 16436 34.66 86.9%
IV 8122 37.91 99.11%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.094 Win Model: 0.416
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 33579 40.3% 24.83 81.49%
2 9269 35.79% 24.94 85.72%
3 2315 29.43% 25.51 88.51%
4 1490 28.6% 27.34 92.62%
5 10 0.0% 30.8 100.0%
6 47 11.11% 31.15 89.36%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2386
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13866
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 13277
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7974
Lose: Invader deck ran out 677
Lose: Adversary condition 166
Win: Sacrifice victory 185
Lose: Scenario condition 467
Win: Scenario condition 1101
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6276
Lose: Spirit destroyed 336

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2827 28.89% 30.07 0.255 85.32% 0.442 0.3666
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1867 52.24% 29.1 -0.279 81.79% -0.045 0.0336
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1396 29.63% 31.51 1.618 91.12% 1.091 0.8664
Downpour Drenches the World 74 24.32% 31.58 1.334 90.54% 0.439 0.704
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1891 19.08% 34.34 2.64 94.45% 1.81 1.3066
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1416 25.21% 33.09 1.368 93.08% 0.836 0.2493
Finder of Paths Unseen 41 53.66% 31.34 1.018 87.8% 0.018 0.3743
Fractured Days Split the Sky 315 40.45% 31.87 0.243 80.0% -0.252 -0.1701
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 281 48.04% 30.94 -1.328 81.49% -0.876 -0.9712
Heart of the Wildfire 2150 58.0% 27.6 -0.672 79.02% 0.005 0.4101
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3328 35.73% 31.44 1.293 89.57% 0.747 0.144
Lightning's Swift Strike 2854 39.68% 30.26 -0.42 82.66% -0.278 0.0872
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 35 45.71% 32.54 0.474 85.71% 0.13 -0.6194
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 191 33.51% 32.47 -0.69 88.48% -0.243 -0.807
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 172 38.37% 33.16 1.137 90.12% -0.138 -0.6323
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 764 36.44% 31.5 0.749 87.57% 0.113 -0.0386
Many Minds Move as One 571 27.85% 32.14 0.502 90.72% 0.161 -0.4247
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2585 44.61% 29.63 0.189 82.94% -0.121 -0.2908
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1362 34.24% 30.6 -2.44 87.0% -0.685 -0.7414
River Surges in Sunlight 3327 40.89% 31.47 0.269 81.54% -0.35 -0.424
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 239 47.48% 30.49 1.205 78.66% -0.033 0.393
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 47 42.55% 33.09 1.259 78.72% 0.073 -0.2678
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1557 38.51% 29.26 -1.378 84.65% -0.102 -0.2957
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1915 56.62% 28.07 -2.076 75.93% -0.359 0.1153
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 4 50.0% 35.0 1.504 100.0% 0.098 0.2776
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 21 52.38% 28.33 1.297 80.95% 0.25 0.3057
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 196 39.29% 31.14 -0.177 88.27% 0.11 0.0872
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 123 58.68% 30.45 -1.338 82.93% -0.004 0.112
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2054 31.87% 32.19 0.336 87.78% 0.052 -0.1391
Shifting Memory of Ages 249 50.0% 27.43 -2.255 79.12% -0.369 -0.1539
Shroud of Silent Mist 332 56.93% 27.31 -1.213 81.02% -0.127 0.007
Starlight Seeks its Form 243 40.74% 29.99 -0.848 83.54% -0.473 -0.5881
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 791 43.26% 26.4 -0.972 83.06% -0.444 -0.6823
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1180 35.29% 29.88 0.445 83.73% 0.369 0.4997
Thunderspeaker 2763 33.45% 32.57 0.238 85.23% -0.575 -0.5927
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 628 71.2% 24.58 -0.523 74.36% 0.052 -0.1632
Vital Strength of the Earth 2607 40.95% 27.01 -1.719 77.18% -0.511 0.3871
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 39 44.74% 26.67 -3.219 66.67% -0.809 -0.3858
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 131 41.98% 24.68 -0.789 70.99% 0.224 1.3379
Volcano Looming High 433 50.58% 28.29 -0.156 80.83% -0.031 -0.0519

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 50.0% 38.5 0.0 100.0%
Blitz 0 575 50.0% 26.14 -0.32 73.39% -0.168 0.2754
Dahan Insurrection 4 505 22.02% 51.59 9.23 85.35% -0.018 0.0788
Despicable Theft 2 71 57.75% 35.52 0.768 73.24% -0.498 0.0011
Elemental Invocation 1 89 66.29% 29.3 -5.19 74.16% -0.897 -0.3516
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1220 13.06% 33.15 1.763 79.34% -0.417 -0.1856
Powers Long Forgotten 1 344 56.4% 31.15 2.04 71.22% -0.262 0.1452
Rituals of Terror 3 313 47.6% 40.2 4.846 75.72% -0.525 -0.7611
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 219 72.6% 35.96 11.036 64.38% 0.341 0.567
Second Wave 0 2019 45.85% 30.22 1.464 78.11% -0.368 0.324
The Great River 3 87 45.98% 32.95 5.131 56.32% -0.355 1.2269
Varied Terrains 2 14 71.43% 39.43 3.619 85.71% -0.187 0.5995
Ward the Shores 2 385 51.56% 32.55 0.256 65.19% -1.034 -0.1529

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 17673 42.21% 28.78 -0.49 82.05% 0.274 0.9371
1 Thematic 2813 46.53% 34.67 1.016 73.91% -0.815 0.2415
2 Archipelago 5 20.0% 37.6 0.0 100.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4309 37.85% 29.68 -0.213 86.77% 0.466 0.9845
2 Coastline 469 40.74% 29.17 -0.102 85.5% -0.385 -0.1842
2 Fragment 120 45.83% 28.66 4.386 87.5% 0.228 0.526
2 Heart 78 35.9% 28.64 -0.866 87.18% 0.095 0.556
2 Opposite Shores 748 34.91% 29.41 -0.748 88.24% -0.103 0.4361
2 Thematic 661 47.42% 35.95 5.844 76.7% 0.843 1.6254
2 Top to Top 128 40.48% 29.07 0.404 82.81% 0.431 0.5593
3 Archipelago 4 25.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 12 66.67% 35.17 25.427 83.33% 0.164 -0.3431
3 Other 66 30.3% 28.11 -7.262 89.39% -0.999 -1.663
3 Round (Default) 1578 29.39% 31.13 0.297 91.32% 0.909 1.2132
3 Sunrise 3 66.67% 28.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 122 44.26% 36.54 4.92 76.23% 0.372 0.5804
4 Archipelago 6 33.33% 38.67 4.398 100.0% 0.066 0.0282
4 Coastline 9 44.44% 26.11 2.69 44.44% 0.028 -0.0097
4 Leaf 5 0.0% 37.6 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 48 41.67% 28.69 -2.619 85.42% 0.206 -0.5079
4 Thematic 277 42.75% 37.15 -2.67 89.53% -0.568 -0.4641
4 Trapezoid (Default) 648 31.23% 30.91 -0.557 88.27% -0.235 -0.1576
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 20 35.0% 29.45 -2.54 80.0% -0.258 -0.7741
5 Thematic 3 0.0% 33.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 2 50.0% 39.5 6.124 100.0% 0.203 0.2476
6 Star 2 0.0% 31.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 11 36.36% 38.64 5.905 81.82% 0.048 0.2889
6 Two Centers (Default) 14 35.71% 36.64 -6.372 92.86% -0.575 -0.3837
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 813 23.94 -3.095 63.96% -1.715 0.2556
Aid From Lesser Spirits 791 24.01 -4.788 63.21% -1.384 0.3937
All Things Weaken 368 23.34 -5.61 63.32% -1.71 0.3387
Back Against the Wall 725 23.68 -1.929 61.52% -0.628 1.3107
Disintegrating Ecosystem 876 20.89 -7.219 60.62% -2.441 -0.3132
Downward Spiral 2340 21.93 -6.289 64.19% -2.353 -0.3921
Erosion of Will 853 22.23 -4.569 58.26% -1.957 0.1246
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 132 29.58 -1.805 93.18% 0.424 0.9254
Memory Fades to Dust 2447 21.11 -5.52 58.97% -2.204 -0.0629
Power Corrodes the Spirit 338 22.16 -3.397 61.83% -1.353 0.6282
Promising Farmlands 912 21.53 -3.334 61.62% -1.336 0.6857
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 94 31.26 -1.373 98.94% 0.3 0.7963
Thriving Communities 338 21.15 -1.165 60.06% -0.06 1.9988
Tipping Point 365 21.32 0.0 59.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 399 23.89 -3.161 59.4% -1.641 0.3159
Untended Land Crumbles 345 22.54 -3.541 64.64% -1.216 0.8175

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6626 40.94% 28.98 -0.443 83.69% -0.31 0.426
B 6857 38.67% 29.45 0.044 84.91% -0.322 0.3756
C 7103 38.16% 29.58 -0.268 85.36% -0.293 0.1767
D 6658 38.44% 29.51 -0.03 85.21% -0.008 0.7011
E 1869 37.07% 29.99 0.13 86.36% -0.053 0.491
F 2944 36.0% 29.89 -0.47 86.79% -0.349 0.3128
G 2706 38.39% 29.48 -0.665 84.96% -0.354 0.2765
H 2803 35.47% 29.95 0.233 86.69% 0.033 0.6975
East 2453 45.04% 35.86 2.574 76.36% 0.339 1.0006
Northeast 1414 45.96% 35.68 3.665 76.94% 0.453 1.1125
Northwest 1118 44.53% 36.04 1.06 80.86% -0.32 0.2903
Southeast 275 41.45% 34.39 -1.311 78.18% -1.001 -0.47
Southwest 243 45.68% 31.7 0.392 76.13% 0.15 1.1179
West 2139 47.03% 34.97 2.742 76.58% 0.385 1.1904

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 207 0.0% 25.86 -4.578 74.4% -1.68 0.5486
Not Using Events or Tokens 5423 46.9% 27.54 -1.995 77.52% -0.62 -0.3932
Skip Initial Invader Actions 364 8.76% 42.59 2.481 95.05% 0.366 -0.614
Start of Game Growth 581 13.81% 39.38 2.231 93.98% 0.358 -0.0988
Unlimited Undo 1803 34.32% 30.97 0.917 87.08% 0.809 0.2571
Using Tokens but Not Events 2399 32.73% 30.83 -0.077 86.2% 0.218 0.3734

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3289 22.65 48.89%
II 11697 31.08 80.75%
III 10455 34.66 88.83%
IV 4404 37.91 99.21%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.069 Win Model: 0.195
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 20575 42.84% 29.61 80.87%
2 6484 38.76% 30.19 86.03%
3 1760 30.68% 31.37 90.4%
4 982 34.64% 32.49 87.58%
5 16 12.5% 33.88 93.75%
6 28 32.14% 36.57 89.29%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1607
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8964
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8810
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4330
Lose: Invader deck ran out 288
Lose: Adversary condition 69
Win: Sacrifice victory 103
Lose: Scenario condition 361
Win: Scenario condition 895
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4231
Lose: Spirit destroyed 187

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4065 32.06% 33.57 1.516 85.07% 0.887 0.8117
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2343 60.22% 31.11 0.478 79.34% 0.107 0.1858
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1771 35.05% 33.99 0.818 88.26% 1.022 0.7975
Downpour Drenches the World 145 36.11% 32.68 0.339 84.83% 0.639 0.9034
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2369 23.83% 36.77 1.942 92.4% 0.85 0.347
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1792 32.01% 35.23 1.634 88.17% 0.717 0.1299
Finder of Paths Unseen 54 61.11% 26.54 -3.278 62.96% -1.084 -0.7283
Fractured Days Split the Sky 467 45.61% 34.77 0.916 74.95% -0.927 -0.8451
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 485 47.51% 33.53 -0.398 82.47% -0.384 -0.479
Heart of the Wildfire 2706 67.39% 28.07 -2.374 71.77% -0.53 -0.125
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4674 40.07% 34.48 1.366 88.21% 0.595 -0.008
Lightning's Swift Strike 3248 48.16% 31.04 -1.68 77.12% -0.464 -0.0996
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 49 48.94% 36.31 1.251 87.76% -0.163 -0.9122
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 324 37.96% 35.13 -0.368 89.51% -0.391 -0.9547
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 256 45.1% 35.61 -0.13 82.03% -0.338 -0.8325
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1237 40.94% 34.65 0.168 85.77% -0.042 -0.1935
Many Minds Move as One 707 33.48% 35.47 0.756 92.93% 0.439 -0.1466
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3608 54.56% 31.14 0.188 78.55% 0.105 -0.0649
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1757 37.65% 33.14 -0.137 86.45% -0.057 -0.1128
River Surges in Sunlight 4234 49.41% 33.43 0.451 77.66% -0.135 -0.2096
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 366 53.01% 33.73 -1.766 75.96% -0.308 0.1188
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 81 56.25% 36.05 1.629 76.54% -0.567 -0.9086
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2731 40.77% 32.56 1.09 84.69% 0.56 0.3663
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2183 67.93% 28.5 -3.099 68.48% -0.97 -0.4957
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 13 53.85% 37.54 1.163 76.92% 0.063 0.2427
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 29 55.17% 38.45 2.606 100.0% 1.028 1.0832
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 257 51.17% 32.18 -0.5 81.32% 0.312 0.2892
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 184 70.11% 30.21 -2.508 72.83% -0.118 -0.0026
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2688 37.55% 34.02 1.827 84.11% 0.72 0.5289
Shifting Memory of Ages 423 56.5% 30.31 -0.842 75.18% -0.041 0.174
Shroud of Silent Mist 525 60.0% 30.18 -0.425 78.86% 0.257 0.391
Starlight Seeks its Form 431 43.72% 34.28 0.435 83.06% 0.563 0.4484
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1120 45.93% 29.72 -0.689 81.88% 0.385 0.1464
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1432 46.74% 31.58 -1.674 80.1% -0.58 -0.4496
Thunderspeaker 3504 43.01% 34.49 0.453 82.93% -0.134 -0.1511
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 981 74.69% 27.35 -1.115 73.9% -0.257 -0.4725
Vital Strength of the Earth 3059 44.84% 29.21 -1.408 72.97% -0.499 0.3995
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 55 40.0% 31.84 -0.446 80.0% 0.168 0.5908
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 204 43.14% 29.01 -0.913 72.55% -0.624 0.4908
Volcano Looming High 899 47.83% 31.79 -1.23 82.31% -0.342 -0.3627

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 42.86% 34.57 2.52 85.71% 0.311 0.8072
Blitz 0 668 54.23% 28.36 -2.069 71.11% -0.625 -0.182
Dahan Insurrection 4 501 29.92% 52.51 8.207 77.64% -0.906 -0.8085
Despicable Theft 2 73 61.64% 37.14 3.482 69.86% -0.195 0.3032
Elemental Invocation 1 101 65.35% 29.74 0.747 65.35% 0.052 0.5979
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1572 17.46% 34.38 2.297 72.58% -0.262 -0.03
Powers Long Forgotten 1 296 65.54% 31.07 2.427 60.81% 0.594 1.0012
Rituals of Terror 3 261 59.23% 40.08 4.353 62.84% -0.207 -0.4432
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 169 70.41% 38.33 0.0 61.54%
Second Wave 0 1667 55.11% 31.35 -0.442 71.75% -0.41 0.2823
The Great River 3 78 66.67% 32.28 -0.121 47.44% -0.65 0.9314
Varied Terrains 2 12 58.33% 40.42 8.809 75.0% 0.218 1.0045
Ward the Shores 2 394 55.84% 35.32 0.216 64.97% -0.2 0.6813

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 21990 50.24% 30.65 -0.437 78.06% 0.472 1.1349
1 Thematic 2676 56.99% 34.37 1.719 66.89% 0.123 1.1796
2 Archipelago 9 55.56% 43.0 0.0 88.89%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5713 44.81% 32.42 -0.44 84.63% -0.069 0.4488
2 Coastline 685 42.28% 33.33 1.522 85.84% 1.268 1.4684
2 Fragment 151 55.63% 31.0 -4.416 79.47% -0.197 0.1013
2 Heart 92 42.86% 32.75 -3.918 80.43% -0.309 0.1521
2 Opposite Shores 1029 43.42% 32.49 -1.351 85.33% -0.571 -0.0318
2 Thematic 887 56.61% 35.31 1.353 69.33% 0.105 0.8874
2 Top to Top 192 46.88% 33.27 0.379 87.5% 0.196 0.3238
3 Archipelago 11 72.73% 40.91 5.621 72.73% 0.057 -0.1612
3 Coastline 15 33.33% 35.8 -1.969 86.67% 0.013 -0.4943
3 Other 107 32.38% 32.27 10.03 85.05% 0.262 -0.4019
3 Round (Default) 2400 36.29% 33.54 1.249 87.38% 0.639 0.9431
3 Sunrise 14 35.71% 28.86 0.0 64.29%
3 Thematic 205 50.49% 38.36 0.675 77.07% -0.606 -0.3979
4 Archipelago 11 45.45% 47.45 0.0 90.91%
4 Coastline 4 75.0% 30.5 -7.823 50.0% -0.47 -0.5072
4 Leaf 7 42.86% 31.14 0.0 71.43%
4 Other 60 27.12% 34.48 -1.442 91.67% 0.193 -0.521
4 Thematic 320 44.09% 39.24 1.526 80.63% -0.317 -0.2129
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1271 33.97% 33.44 -0.847 88.67% 0.247 0.3243
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 35.5 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 35 42.86% 37.86 -5.87 88.57% -0.848 -1.3641
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 42.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 55.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 11 27.27% 47.64 5.316 81.82% 0.024 0.0686
6 Star 2 0.0% 38.0 -1.512 100.0% 0.001 0.771
6 Thematic 17 37.5% 48.59 -0.347 88.24% 0.237 0.4784
6 Two Centers (Default) 24 45.83% 40.13 0.0 62.5%
7 Other 2 0.0% 40.0 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1388 25.65 -2.699 60.09% -1.633 0.338
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1139 27.47 -1.975 63.21% -1.037 0.7403
All Things Weaken 616 25.88 -2.709 61.69% -1.34 0.7083
Back Against the Wall 1147 27.67 -2.084 64.17% -1.299 0.6405
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1295 23.35 -6.845 59.0% -2.45 -0.3216
Downward Spiral 3206 24.71 -4.499 63.72% -1.886 0.0751
Erosion of Will 1389 24.52 -5.406 56.66% -2.41 -0.3281
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 241 33.4 -1.511 93.78% -0.411 0.0911
Memory Fades to Dust 3193 23.91 -4.119 58.03% -1.849 0.2919
Power Corrodes the Spirit 634 25.14 -4.432 61.2% -1.943 0.0381
Promising Farmlands 1382 24.09 -6.266 59.7% -2.276 -0.2542
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 157 34.04 2.057 98.09% 0.225 0.7217
Thriving Communities 581 24.73 -5.429 61.45% -2.196 -0.1369
Tipping Point 576 24.66 0.0 60.59%
Unnatural Proliferation 648 26.02 -1.865 60.65% -1.375 0.582
Untended Land Crumbles 575 24.38 -5.17 60.52% -2.114 -0.0811

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8992 45.27% 31.86 0.097 82.15% -0.009 0.7268
B 9295 45.5% 31.75 0.268 81.95% 0.14 0.8368
C 9593 43.98% 31.93 -0.214 82.27% -0.14 0.33
D 8881 46.23% 31.52 -0.306 81.77% -0.192 0.5174
E 2821 45.05% 32.67 0.195 83.55% -0.055 0.4891
F 4190 41.15% 33.19 0.01 84.92% 0.011 0.6722
G 3775 44.31% 32.3 -0.463 83.31% -0.255 0.3757
H 3799 43.38% 32.55 -0.062 83.31% -0.097 0.568
East 2659 52.95% 36.64 2.817 71.87% 0.15 0.812
Northeast 1526 52.77% 37.28 0.059 73.79% -0.756 -0.0966
Northwest 1258 56.01% 35.0 2.158 68.04% 0.338 0.9486
Southeast 333 51.06% 34.31 -2.861 71.77% -1.392 -0.8607
Southwest 301 50.84% 33.97 0.687 75.42% 0.409 1.3773
West 2345 56.78% 34.89 2.003 68.49% -0.075 0.7302

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 208 0.0% 31.4 -0.228 79.33% -0.459 1.7699
Not Using Events or Tokens 5868 53.53% 29.46 -0.446 74.57% 0.155 0.382
Skip Initial Invader Actions 465 17.05% 44.38 4.896 91.83% 0.446 -0.5344
Start of Game Growth 765 17.48% 42.13 2.751 90.2% 0.129 -0.3273
Unlimited Undo 2783 42.66% 33.19 1.18 84.51% 0.937 0.3857
Using Tokens but Not Events 2899 40.09% 32.85 -0.636 84.48% -0.213 -0.0574

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2684 22.65 14.61%
II 15700 31.08 74.71%
III 12948 34.66 88.63%
IV 6619 37.91 99.08%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.226 Win Model: 0.461
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 24766 51.06% 31.06 76.77%
2 8727 45.68% 32.78 83.38%
3 2721 36.88% 33.9 86.7%
4 1668 35.97% 34.74 87.35%
5 13 38.46% 36.31 69.23%
6 56 36.36% 44.09 75.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 391
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11158
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11131
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6505
Lose: Invader deck ran out 429
Lose: Adversary condition 86
Win: Sacrifice victory 169
Lose: Scenario condition 622
Win: Scenario condition 802
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6353
Lose: Spirit destroyed 305

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3855 40.98% 41.57 1.603 84.67% 0.697 0.6222
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2436 73.49% 36.12 -1.749 69.42% -0.357 -0.2783
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2105 36.86% 43.21 -0.104 89.03% -0.061 -0.2859
Downpour Drenches the World 140 53.57% 39.24 -0.692 75.71% -0.268 -0.0036
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2293 41.86% 43.13 0.281 87.83% 0.305 -0.1978
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2029 45.19% 42.21 0.884 85.02% 0.268 -0.3188
Finder of Paths Unseen 79 68.35% 35.0 -1.464 67.09% -0.338 0.0182
Fractured Days Split the Sky 741 42.24% 43.81 1.232 77.87% -0.601 -0.5191
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 689 51.38% 43.07 0.65 86.07% -0.059 -0.1537
Heart of the Wildfire 3358 69.85% 36.36 -3.372 71.32% -0.716 -0.3107
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5641 52.58% 42.51 1.023 84.61% 0.105 -0.4981
Lightning's Swift Strike 3388 55.02% 39.79 -1.289 77.8% 0.004 0.3686
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 86 54.43% 44.01 0.608 89.53% 0.272 -0.4773
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 498 37.42% 45.94 4.549 91.77% 0.681 0.1174
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 248 51.61% 44.58 5.75 85.89% 0.697 0.2028
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1441 51.74% 42.18 2.089 84.32% 0.35 0.1982
Many Minds Move as One 794 48.55% 43.06 1.64 90.05% 0.354 -0.232
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3597 64.86% 37.4 -2.341 73.48% -0.438 -0.6076
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1883 43.32% 42.2 2.642 88.05% 1.31 1.2538
River Surges in Sunlight 4137 57.86% 42.03 -0.268 78.29% -0.323 -0.3972
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 331 62.24% 38.79 -3.82 70.69% -0.636 -0.2093
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 86 65.88% 48.1 2.179 80.23% 0.109 -0.2322
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2474 57.14% 38.66 -0.579 78.01% -0.203 -0.3968
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2037 75.52% 35.07 -1.932 64.75% -0.324 0.1509
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 11 63.64% 40.09 -4.336 72.73% -0.551 -0.3717
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 32 65.63% 38.88 -1.583 75.0% -0.368 -0.3129
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 324 51.23% 42.23 2.548 87.04% 0.427 0.4042
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 157 75.16% 39.81 -2.108 78.98% -0.906 -0.7905
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3342 40.01% 43.29 1.697 85.31% 0.264 0.0728
Shifting Memory of Ages 389 71.72% 36.45 0.138 71.98% 0.295 0.5104
Shroud of Silent Mist 551 72.91% 37.93 -0.235 77.68% 0.072 0.2063
Starlight Seeks its Form 634 52.68% 40.64 -0.147 80.76% -0.135 -0.2502
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1708 59.5% 35.48 -1.138 76.81% 0.002 -0.2373
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1720 51.63% 41.23 -0.319 82.27% 0.089 0.2193
Thunderspeaker 3020 52.46% 42.47 -0.342 81.03% -0.079 -0.096
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1361 83.84% 34.87 -0.199 73.62% 0.313 0.0976
Vital Strength of the Earth 2471 60.28% 34.89 0.649 67.26% 0.182 1.0799
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 50 47.92% 42.2 -1.602 80.0% -0.64 -0.217
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 295 50.85% 35.78 2.122 72.54% 0.361 1.4756
Volcano Looming High 1039 58.9% 39.3 0.792 79.5% 0.279 0.2585

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 100.0% 44.0 3.008 100.0% 0.075 0.5704
Blitz 0 506 60.68% 35.46 -0.112 67.59% -0.457 -0.0138
Dahan Insurrection 4 515 35.53% 63.16 7.243 81.94% -0.405 -0.3082
Despicable Theft 2 51 62.75% 39.39 3.073 52.94% -0.188 0.3104
Elemental Invocation 1 110 73.64% 35.28 -1.223 59.09% -0.367 0.1793
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1668 24.19% 43.43 0.74 77.64% -0.876 -0.6445
Powers Long Forgotten 1 236 75.85% 38.27 10.986 60.17% 0.515 0.9226
Rituals of Terror 3 169 60.95% 48.17 0.0 66.27%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 58 81.03% 45.98 0.0 62.07%
Second Wave 0 1119 65.92% 35.8 -1.185 63.18% -0.51 0.1826
The Great River 3 64 76.56% 41.64 1.0 53.13% -0.311 1.2709
Varied Terrains 2 7 85.71% 41.86 2.172 57.14% -0.065 0.7212
Ward the Shores 2 236 66.1% 40.64 -1.244 59.32% -1.087 -0.2057

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 27453 58.38% 38.48 0.143 76.37% 0.595 1.2576
1 Thematic 1931 61.97% 41.87 0.25 66.44% -0.052 1.005
2 Archipelago 10 50.0% 52.7 18.603 90.0% 0.137 0.6082
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6173 55.07% 40.03 -0.955 81.71% 0.122 0.6406
2 Coastline 760 55.11% 40.65 -1.589 81.18% -0.239 -0.0388
2 Fragment 148 60.81% 38.63 -2.042 77.03% -0.063 0.2354
2 Heart 89 61.8% 38.78 -1.714 79.78% 0.276 0.7365
2 Opposite Shores 1148 57.39% 40.74 1.026 83.28% 0.6 1.1392
2 Thematic 666 61.5% 44.52 -0.536 72.22% -0.148 0.6337
2 Top to Top 197 59.39% 38.28 -8.656 74.11% -0.699 -0.5708
3 Archipelago 9 66.67% 51.22 0.0 88.89%
3 Coastline 40 32.5% 46.98 -5.834 95.0% -0.462 -0.9688
3 Other 126 42.86% 41.69 0.448 87.3% -0.177 -0.8406
3 Round (Default) 2223 48.38% 41.25 0.933 84.84% 0.226 0.5306
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 115 61.4% 43.85 1.977 72.17% 0.119 0.3267
4 Archipelago 4 75.0% 47.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 41.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 42.6 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 50 38.0% 41.98 1.324 88.0% 0.316 -0.3977
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 66.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 237 42.19% 52.16 5.283 78.9% 0.132 0.2359
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1179 42.98% 43.33 1.902 89.4% 0.161 0.239
5 Other 22 63.64% 41.05 -1.745 81.82% -0.246 -0.7623
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 42.75 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 48.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 11 9.09% 51.55 1.958 90.91% 0.039 0.084
6 Star 4 0.0% 38.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 10 60.0% 51.4 3.692 80.0% 0.057 0.2979
6 Two Centers (Default) 19 36.84% 45.47 -0.947 94.74% 0.041 0.2328
7 Other 1 100.0% 51.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1943 33.22 -3.832 61.55% -1.807 0.1635
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1629 35.9 -3.698 67.1% -1.973 -0.1955
All Things Weaken 868 32.64 -2.25 60.71% -1.532 0.5165
Back Against the Wall 1523 34.47 -3.241 63.43% -1.621 0.3178
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1852 30.74 -5.471 59.94% -1.921 0.2073
Downward Spiral 3798 32.79 -5.286 65.67% -2.041 -0.0799
Erosion of Will 1932 32.01 -4.078 58.64% -2.012 0.07
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 368 43.1 1.358 95.11% 0.249 0.7505
Memory Fades to Dust 3748 31.86 -4.525 60.78% -1.923 0.218
Power Corrodes the Spirit 933 33.99 -4.321 69.02% -1.686 0.2948
Promising Farmlands 1892 30.89 -5.101 59.36% -2.0 0.022
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 246 44.31 0.337 97.97% -0.042 0.4542
Thriving Communities 901 31.67 -4.718 61.38% -1.948 0.1117
Tipping Point 816 30.56 0.0 56.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 916 34.23 -3.385 65.17% -1.827 0.1301
Untended Land Crumbles 823 32.48 -3.308 62.94% -1.474 0.5594

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9482 55.64% 39.49 -0.328 79.31% -0.171 0.5652
B 9898 54.44% 39.75 0.086 79.94% 0.14 0.8371
C 10674 55.52% 39.79 0.254 79.99% 0.093 0.5623
D 9489 55.73% 39.4 -0.386 79.39% -0.04 0.6693
E 3555 54.83% 40.36 1.201 82.05% 0.194 0.7379
F 4994 51.19% 40.88 0.004 83.02% 0.007 0.6687
G 4345 56.11% 39.31 -0.612 79.54% -0.158 0.4727
H 4704 53.25% 40.13 0.016 81.31% 0.028 0.693
East 1969 58.49% 44.91 2.05 70.75% 0.09 0.7512
Northeast 1094 58.92% 44.7 3.287 69.84% 0.362 1.0223
Northwest 812 60.05% 44.06 -1.985 69.21% -0.514 0.0962
Southeast 300 49.0% 48.45 0.826 82.0% -0.013 0.5183
Southwest 269 50.93% 44.64 2.441 77.7% 0.904 1.8722
West 1622 59.38% 43.77 0.885 69.11% 0.049 0.8547

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 145 0.0% 35.41 -0.634 65.52% 0.065 2.2936
Not Using Events or Tokens 4435 67.18% 36.0 -3.037 70.76% -0.37 -0.1432
Skip Initial Invader Actions 485 11.69% 56.75 6.847 95.88% 0.286 -0.6943
Start of Game Growth 713 16.91% 53.14 4.004 93.27% -0.405 -0.8615
Unlimited Undo 2974 50.03% 42.38 2.179 84.2% 0.369 -0.1828
Using Tokens but Not Events 2813 45.07% 42.61 0.953 85.21% 0.479 0.634

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3667 22.65 15.87%
II 19559 31.08 74.43%
III 13388 34.66 89.8%
IV 6037 37.91 99.65%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.149 Win Model: 0.433
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 29474 58.62% 38.71 75.73%
2 9164 56.09% 40.42 80.96%
3 2484 48.03% 41.53 84.58%
4 1475 43.1% 44.68 87.53%
5 8 75.0% 37.0 62.5%
6 46 32.61% 47.78 89.13%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 580
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11744
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 13941
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5964
Lose: Invader deck ran out 309
Lose: Adversary condition 74
Win: Sacrifice victory 210
Lose: Scenario condition 461
Win: Scenario condition 739
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8217
Lose: Spirit destroyed 412

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2477 52.36% 40.54 1.409 74.08% 0.439 0.3638
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1495 80.9% 35.42 -2.499 58.66% -0.454 -0.3759
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1522 55.42% 41.25 2.288 77.4% 0.42 0.1957
Downpour Drenches the World 73 53.42% 37.18 -0.926 65.75% -0.379 -0.114
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1448 52.7% 43.29 2.569 79.83% 0.503 -0.0005
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1395 59.63% 41.58 1.562 76.92% 0.277 -0.31
Finder of Paths Unseen 61 77.05% 35.43 1.826 60.66% 0.745 1.1006
Fractured Days Split the Sky 353 60.91% 41.72 3.261 67.71% 0.218 0.3001
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 455 60.88% 42.43 1.95 78.68% 0.223 0.1285
Heart of the Wildfire 2106 80.38% 33.86 -1.593 56.41% -0.244 0.1616
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4501 62.72% 41.12 -0.324 75.38% -0.16 -0.7639
Lightning's Swift Strike 2080 66.16% 37.79 -3.696 64.9% -0.84 -0.4749
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 59 56.9% 45.92 1.435 88.14% 0.343 -0.4058
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 349 51.86% 44.84 1.528 85.67% 0.463 -0.1008
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 201 54.73% 44.05 -1.6 76.12% -0.6 -1.0947
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1219 63.71% 40.68 1.483 75.8% 0.175 0.0231
Many Minds Move as One 496 53.23% 44.92 1.635 87.7% 0.598 0.012
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2518 72.04% 36.87 -0.203 63.86% 0.009 -0.161
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1314 54.19% 41.52 2.763 78.46% 1.052 0.996
River Surges in Sunlight 2936 68.17% 40.97 1.875 66.66% 0.182 0.1082
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 204 74.51% 36.6 0.141 57.35% -0.311 0.1149
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 51 56.86% 53.33 1.652 82.35% -0.051 -0.3917
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1602 71.09% 36.89 -1.863 64.48% -0.163 -0.3571
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1141 79.6% 34.08 -4.438 52.76% -1.058 -0.5834
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 11 90.91% 43.55 3.746 90.91% 0.845 1.0246
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 17 82.35% 43.94 6.791 82.35% 0.909 0.9649
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 214 69.16% 41.08 2.852 77.57% 0.318 0.2956
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 144 77.08% 35.88 -7.219 59.03% -0.447 -0.3313
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2260 51.86% 41.67 0.904 73.54% 0.056 -0.1352
Shifting Memory of Ages 256 78.91% 34.52 0.407 56.64% 0.119 0.3338
Shroud of Silent Mist 360 86.35% 34.21 -2.391 59.72% -0.341 -0.2064
Starlight Seeks its Form 490 64.29% 38.56 2.969 65.1% 0.482 0.3672
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1027 71.35% 33.11 -1.602 63.58% -0.204 -0.4427
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1047 60.08% 40.55 2.52 73.73% 0.446 0.576
Thunderspeaker 2024 64.78% 41.91 0.763 71.54% 0.123 0.1055
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 951 91.9% 31.8 -2.877 54.89% -0.643 -0.8587
Vital Strength of the Earth 1390 75.74% 32.54 -3.606 50.22% -0.738 0.16
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 31 67.74% 34.16 -3.469 54.84% -1.014 -0.5915
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 189 72.49% 32.46 -6.758 50.79% -0.633 0.481
Volcano Looming High 653 67.23% 38.92 -0.471 71.06% -0.381 -0.4023

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 319 71.02% 33.52 -9.142 52.35% -0.901 -0.4583
Dahan Insurrection 4 338 48.82% 62.55 3.294 76.04% -0.458 -0.3606
Despicable Theft 2 17 64.71% 45.41 18.648 58.82% 0.286 0.7844
Elemental Invocation 1 54 90.74% 31.28 -2.119 40.74% -0.511 0.0345
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 957 24.05% 44.34 4.709 72.31% 0.389 0.6205
Powers Long Forgotten 1 149 75.84% 37.03 4.55 49.66% 0.23 0.6378
Rituals of Terror 3 117 85.47% 36.99 0.0 35.9%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 91 87.91% 40.27 0.0 39.56%
Second Wave 0 672 74.96% 35.3 -0.535 54.46% -0.363 0.3292
The Great River 3 23 60.87% 42.65 0.0 47.83%
Varied Terrains 2 4 75.0% 44.25 0.0 75.0%
Ward the Shores 2 94 76.6% 39.31 0.0 45.74%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 18713 67.62% 37.43 -0.808 66.37% -0.057 0.6057
1 Thematic 1552 67.91% 40.6 1.917 54.57% 0.401 1.4576
2 Archipelago 6 50.0% 50.0 0.0 66.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3987 67.79% 39.64 -0.179 72.81% 0.037 0.5547
2 Coastline 518 57.67% 42.62 3.074 79.54% 0.393 0.5936
2 Fragment 88 71.59% 34.76 -5.381 59.09% -0.508 -0.2096
2 Heart 85 67.86% 33.69 -3.115 55.29% -0.66 -0.1989
2 Opposite Shores 778 68.77% 39.25 0.609 71.72% 0.045 0.5842
2 Thematic 432 76.85% 39.31 -2.541 51.39% -1.013 -0.231
2 Top to Top 120 73.95% 38.39 0.734 70.83% -0.024 0.104
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 15 46.67% 50.6 0.0 93.33%
3 Other 92 47.83% 40.84 3.58 75.0% 0.768 0.104
3 Round (Default) 1556 58.79% 40.82 1.941 74.74% 0.387 0.6912
3 Sunrise 3 66.67% 44.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 91 75.82% 39.41 0.0 51.65%
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 48.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 37.6 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 57 40.35% 44.81 0.0 84.21%
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 50.0% 47.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 113 63.72% 42.27 8.964 57.52% 0.334 0.4376
4 Trapezoid (Default) 685 59.38% 40.93 -2.262 71.82% -0.729 -0.6513
5 Other 15 69.23% 45.47 0.0 53.33%
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 7 28.57% 51.71 0.0 57.14%
6 Star 8 25.0% 29.75 0.0 37.5%
6 Thematic 4 75.0% 49.5 3.036 75.0% 0.007 0.2477
6 Two Centers (Default) 11 54.55% 45.82 0.189 90.91% 0.108 0.2989

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1559 33.15 -3.938 52.6% -1.685 0.2855
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1242 35.18 -2.624 56.76% -1.703 0.0748
All Things Weaken 750 31.44 -5.573 49.2% -1.952 0.0972
Back Against the Wall 1206 34.52 -3.03 54.81% -1.338 0.6006
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1552 31.5 -3.848 54.57% -1.574 0.5541
Downward Spiral 2820 32.62 -3.464 56.17% -1.356 0.6056
Erosion of Will 1661 31.66 -1.543 48.65% -1.137 0.9448
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 236 47.29 4.658 99.15% 1.117 1.6183
Memory Fades to Dust 2858 31.41 -4.691 50.84% -1.739 0.4021
Power Corrodes the Spirit 712 32.01 -0.916 54.35% -0.91 1.071
Promising Farmlands 1636 31.08 -5.129 50.55% -1.919 0.1027
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 128 46.28 3.049 96.88% 0.574 1.071
Thriving Communities 701 29.48 -4.372 46.79% -1.766 0.2936
Tipping Point 662 31.51 0.0 50.0%
Unnatural Proliferation 814 32.59 -1.955 51.23% -1.194 0.7628
Untended Land Crumbles 760 30.94 -3.325 49.74% -1.321 0.7121

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6428 66.54% 38.25 0.173 67.72% 0.082 0.818
B 6709 65.58% 38.9 -0.023 69.7% 0.039 0.7366
C 6969 65.95% 38.63 -0.826 68.96% -0.278 0.1913
D 6123 65.44% 38.71 0.237 69.84% -0.042 0.6679
E 2487 66.73% 38.95 0.766 69.96% -0.038 0.5068
F 3280 63.02% 39.77 0.637 72.62% 0.026 0.6873
G 2959 65.55% 38.73 0.538 69.82% 0.027 0.658
H 3243 62.48% 40.09 -0.078 73.36% -0.113 0.5521
East 1352 69.53% 41.5 2.449 55.25% -0.072 0.59
Northeast 728 71.02% 41.66 4.887 55.91% 0.436 1.0958
Northwest 617 75.36% 37.67 -1.429 46.84% -0.437 0.1737
Southeast 174 66.67% 40.03 2.148 59.77% 0.327 0.8585
Southwest 174 54.02% 41.19 -1.923 68.39% -0.503 0.4656
West 1238 70.76% 39.43 2.377 52.18% -0.002 0.8038

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 98 0.0% 35.84 -1.907 58.16% -0.749 1.4804
Not Using Events or Tokens 2775 74.25% 35.36 -3.134 60.72% -0.538 -0.3114
Skip Initial Invader Actions 410 17.26% 56.95 4.538 93.9% 0.537 -0.4435
Start of Game Growth 611 24.62% 53.0 3.993 89.36% 0.553 0.0964
Unlimited Undo 2088 60.51% 40.98 3.158 74.04% 0.853 0.302
Using Tokens but Not Events 1571 59.34% 39.65 2.412 72.69% 0.758 0.9132

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3325 22.65 5.5%
II 11764 31.08 59.86%
III 10541 34.66 85.01%
IV 3326 37.91 99.55%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.297 Win Model: 0.282
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 20331 67.67% 37.69 65.44%
2 6037 68.03% 39.51 70.76%
3 1702 57.43% 41.45 76.26%
4 850 58.67% 41.37 70.71%
5 7 100.0% 41.43 28.57%
6 29 44.83% 42.38 65.52%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 183
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8782
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6746
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3271
Lose: Invader deck ran out 283
Lose: Adversary condition 65
Win: Sacrifice victory 150
Lose: Scenario condition 336
Win: Scenario condition 365
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8447
Lose: Spirit destroyed 328

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1160 51.56% 44.42 -0.341 72.67% -0.284 -0.3588
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 653 80.7% 36.46 2.655 51.3% 0.375 0.4535
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 620 56.31% 44.54 2.944 75.65% 0.861 0.6365
Downpour Drenches the World 61 68.85% 36.41 3.452 49.18% 0.629 0.8933
Eyes Watch From the Trees 618 61.01% 43.8 -1.634 70.39% -0.743 -1.2459
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 632 63.32% 42.36 0.242 65.51% 0.043 -0.5439
Finder of Paths Unseen 97 57.73% 46.46 0.394 82.47% 0.246 0.6018
Fractured Days Split the Sky 141 60.28% 44.67 -3.148 65.96% -0.33 -0.2481
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 182 55.49% 46.63 -0.051 79.12% 0.059 -0.0355
Heart of the Wildfire 1005 79.22% 35.77 -0.674 52.64% -0.19 0.2156
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1999 64.96% 41.99 0.877 65.98% 0.441 -0.163
Lightning's Swift Strike 1001 68.72% 39.22 3.002 57.84% 0.551 0.9156
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 22 63.64% 45.23 5.694 77.27% 0.524 -0.2254
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 197 43.15% 48.02 5.294 83.76% 0.575 0.0116
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 124 56.45% 46.79 5.222 73.39% 0.692 0.1978
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 467 70.88% 41.03 -0.198 65.31% -0.155 -0.3068
Many Minds Move as One 215 56.74% 45.1 4.45 76.28% 0.35 -0.2358
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1120 74.91% 38.67 -2.477 58.21% -0.432 -0.6021
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 592 57.87% 43.8 -0.777 73.48% -0.339 -0.3953
River Surges in Sunlight 1303 71.2% 41.01 2.999 57.18% 0.386 0.3115
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 65 76.92% 39.94 -12.616 58.46% -0.988 -0.5614
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 17 52.94% 56.06 6.815 82.35% 0.642 0.3007
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 769 70.22% 38.2 -1.718 57.22% -0.557 -0.7512
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 520 79.62% 36.36 -2.377 47.12% -0.335 0.1398
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 1 100.0% 55.0 0.0 100.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 8 87.5% 37.38 -0.102 50.0% 0.019 0.074
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 74 70.27% 41.12 2.397 67.57% 0.632 0.6089
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 47 89.36% 30.51 0.0 36.17%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1028 55.84% 43.99 0.883 69.65% -0.061 -0.2519
Shifting Memory of Ages 90 83.33% 34.51 -3.198 50.0% -0.356 -0.141
Shroud of Silent Mist 162 87.65% 30.57 0.151 38.89% 0.257 0.3908
Starlight Seeks its Form 130 63.85% 42.95 -1.274 67.69% -0.388 -0.5029
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 373 79.09% 31.88 -5.448 50.94% -0.61 -0.8493
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 560 66.43% 39.85 1.328 60.0% 0.18 0.31
Thunderspeaker 988 68.16% 41.45 0.247 61.74% -0.094 -0.1109
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 485 92.36% 34.18 -0.17 53.61% 0.296 0.0805
Vital Strength of the Earth 686 72.85% 34.5 -4.364 45.19% -1.136 -0.2375
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 26 73.08% 35.77 -4.304 53.85% -0.759 -0.3363
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 101 69.31% 37.93 -3.213 59.41% -0.364 0.7507
Volcano Looming High 284 66.9% 40.54 1.159 66.55% 0.353 0.3325

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 100.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%
Blitz 0 185 72.47% 33.67 -1.639 44.32% -0.168 0.2749
Dahan Insurrection 4 153 56.86% 56.64 15.777 58.17% 0.17 0.2676
Despicable Theft 2 13 76.92% 40.15 0.0 46.15%
Elemental Invocation 1 19 73.68% 35.32 2.795 42.11% 0.047 0.5925
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 668 25.53% 49.55 3.761 74.4% 0.488 0.7199
Powers Long Forgotten 1 53 84.91% 37.98 -5.359 47.17% -0.645 -0.2377
Rituals of Terror 3 90 72.22% 42.71 -4.876 40.0% -0.79 -1.0257
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 50 76.0% 46.08 -0.695 46.0% -0.421 -0.1945
Second Wave 0 259 67.95% 38.78 4.849 53.67% 0.483 1.1754
The Great River 3 19 78.95% 38.58 0.0 31.58%
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 18.0 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 60 78.33% 41.13 0.0 41.67%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8385 71.02% 37.88 -0.901 57.29% -0.231 0.4322
1 Thematic 988 62.85% 42.55 1.421 51.92% -0.276 0.7806
2 Archipelago 2 50.0% 40.5 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2027 70.28% 40.71 1.03 65.07% 0.36 0.8783
2 Coastline 212 64.15% 43.88 1.241 73.58% 0.316 0.5162
2 Fragment 39 79.49% 35.79 -2.439 56.41% 0.167 0.4648
2 Heart 33 72.73% 41.12 -3.318 63.64% -0.144 0.3164
2 Opposite Shores 318 66.56% 40.66 -1.041 63.84% -0.188 0.3504
2 Thematic 174 76.44% 42.13 -3.3 47.13% -0.536 0.2459
2 Top to Top 54 61.11% 40.57 -2.599 61.11% -0.35 -0.2224
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 23 69.57% 50.65 0.0 78.26%
3 Other 30 66.67% 41.47 5.601 66.67% 0.484 -0.1804
3 Round (Default) 622 60.84% 44.42 0.226 75.08% 0.045 0.3499
3 Sunrise 5 60.0% 40.6 0.0 60.0%
3 Thematic 45 86.67% 34.2 8.131 28.89% 0.302 0.5104
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 33.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 21 28.57% 54.9 0.0 95.24%
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 56 60.71% 46.79 0.0 55.36%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 253 50.4% 45.46 13.124 73.52% 0.21 0.2872
5 Other 3 33.33% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 3 0.0% 34.33 -11.168 33.33% -0.72 0.0499
6 Thematic 1 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 5 60.0% 54.6 10.032 80.0% 0.116 0.307

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 787 34.34 -4.468 46.51% -1.231 0.74
Aid From Lesser Spirits 587 35.0 -1.431 46.51% -0.582 1.1954
All Things Weaken 340 31.96 -3.249 41.76% -1.159 0.8894
Back Against the Wall 535 36.43 -2.801 50.65% -0.946 0.9932
Disintegrating Ecosystem 730 30.64 -4.647 41.78% -0.902 1.2259
Downward Spiral 1478 32.74 -4.152 45.94% -1.321 0.6404
Erosion of Will 732 31.08 -4.042 37.98% -1.29 0.7919
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 69 50.35 6.314 94.2% 0.489 0.9903
Memory Fades to Dust 1477 31.16 -2.963 40.89% -1.026 1.1152
Power Corrodes the Spirit 311 31.38 -4.397 44.05% -0.942 1.0387
Promising Farmlands 727 30.34 -4.64 39.06% -1.035 0.9866
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 53 51.34 5.97 98.11% 0.128 0.6242
Thriving Communities 331 29.65 -10.264 39.58% -1.93 0.1291
Tipping Point 324 29.92 0.0 36.11%
Unnatural Proliferation 354 33.8 -5.512 46.61% -1.33 0.627
Untended Land Crumbles 337 32.29 -5.188 45.1% -1.353 0.6797

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2854 69.84% 39.8 0.906 61.63% 0.207 0.9433
B 3014 67.06% 39.73 0.558 61.84% 0.039 0.7362
C 3173 70.06% 39.53 -0.255 61.33% -0.088 0.3818
D 2780 66.5% 40.62 0.565 64.1% 0.327 1.0361
E 1054 67.81% 41.96 0.66 68.88% 0.324 0.8679
F 1443 64.67% 40.69 -1.92 64.8% -0.602 0.0597
G 1302 65.13% 41.16 0.805 66.21% 0.442 1.0733
H 1432 66.83% 40.48 -1.288 63.83% -0.456 0.2087
East 786 66.67% 42.15 3.498 47.58% 0.199 0.8606
Northeast 421 66.51% 42.15 0.22 46.79% -0.121 0.5389
Northwest 281 72.6% 40.68 1.052 44.48% 0.297 0.9073
Southeast 114 55.26% 46.68 -3.608 64.91% -0.702 -0.1712
Southwest 92 61.96% 37.96 0.0 51.09%
West 609 67.98% 42.09 -0.056 49.26% -0.114 0.6915

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 45 0.0% 40.49 0.0 62.22%
Not Using Events or Tokens 1534 73.48% 38.16 3.019 56.98% 0.992 1.2186
Skip Initial Invader Actions 219 14.42% 60.43 4.968 95.43% 0.302 -0.6785
Start of Game Growth 349 22.51% 55.58 4.573 90.26% 0.855 0.3983
Unlimited Undo 1174 66.5% 42.89 2.812 69.42% 0.885 0.3338
Using Tokens but Not Events 720 64.55% 37.88 3.484 57.08% 0.746 0.9015

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2583 22.65 9.1%
II 5097 31.08 55.7%
III 4125 34.66 81.41%
IV 1501 37.91 99.53%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.298 Win Model: -0.012
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 9402 70.17% 38.39 56.72%
2 2850 69.72% 40.98 64.39%
3 714 62.54% 43.86 71.99%
4 330 50.76% 46.3 71.82%
5 1 100.0% 43.0 100.0%
6 9 33.33% 49.89 66.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 234
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3270
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2730
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1482
Lose: Invader deck ran out 117
Lose: Adversary condition 13
Win: Sacrifice victory 52
Lose: Scenario condition 228
Win: Scenario condition 158
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4833
Lose: Spirit destroyed 189

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7182 48.86% 49.06 1.126 72.17% -0.013 -0.0879
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3595 83.83% 38.32 -2.322 50.71% -0.368 -0.289
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3531 55.46% 47.03 2.741 73.58% 0.667 0.4426
Downpour Drenches the World 367 59.13% 50.56 2.388 69.48% 0.159 0.4239
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3427 58.49% 47.98 0.8 72.22% 0.294 -0.2089
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3136 66.03% 44.75 1.227 65.34% 0.297 -0.29
Finder of Paths Unseen 340 55.59% 52.83 2.823 80.0% 0.71 1.0658
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1873 55.53% 52.22 3.008 71.6% -0.159 -0.077
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1998 60.74% 50.2 3.088 73.82% 0.5 0.4047
Heart of the Wildfire 6023 71.35% 41.84 -1.985 57.15% -0.203 0.2029
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10971 60.79% 47.47 1.422 70.62% 0.312 -0.2912
Lightning's Swift Strike 5019 68.64% 42.06 -1.36 57.26% -0.364 0.0006
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 494 74.29% 45.62 0.116 56.48% 0.212 -0.5372
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1889 57.56% 51.4 3.723 81.37% 1.058 0.4945
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 993 52.27% 54.16 4.571 76.03% 0.924 0.4296
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3422 64.8% 46.06 -0.348 67.65% -0.214 -0.3661
Many Minds Move as One 1328 50.68% 52.19 3.888 85.54% 0.942 0.3561
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6606 71.52% 41.57 -3.306 54.04% -0.796 -0.9657
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3574 54.01% 48.38 2.524 76.92% 0.935 0.8791
River Surges in Sunlight 6684 65.18% 47.95 3.886 63.35% 0.653 0.5792
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 430 72.33% 41.56 -6.869 49.77% -1.604 -1.1772
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 269 70.79% 53.52 3.543 60.97% 0.008 -0.3328
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5198 64.12% 45.27 -0.61 65.47% -0.077 -0.2706
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1958 77.89% 36.91 -2.886 43.46% -0.284 0.1904
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 63 90.48% 38.54 -1.823 44.44% 0.023 0.2022
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 65 81.54% 38.17 -4.685 47.69% -0.859 -0.8033
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 726 71.9% 42.19 1.677 58.82% 0.412 0.3896
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 338 77.51% 39.62 -0.684 50.3% -0.094 0.0215
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4773 50.97% 48.97 1.407 72.45% -0.014 -0.2053
Shifting Memory of Ages 831 79.18% 40.34 -3.165 49.94% -0.797 -0.5826
Shroud of Silent Mist 843 84.9% 38.05 -1.423 52.19% -0.097 0.0367
Starlight Seeks its Form 1560 59.55% 49.16 2.287 71.41% 0.643 0.5282
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4074 72.43% 36.86 -7.093 52.33% -1.129 -1.368
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3025 59.22% 47.12 -0.22 69.29% 0.064 0.1946
Thunderspeaker 3839 68.74% 45.17 1.0 61.84% 0.128 0.1111
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3812 84.55% 39.91 -0.664 59.23% 0.294 0.0784
Vital Strength of the Earth 2364 72.4% 37.18 -2.388 45.9% -0.728 0.1707
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 148 72.3% 43.72 -0.696 60.14% -0.133 0.2902
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 658 69.6% 38.31 -2.112 50.76% -0.748 0.3661
Volcano Looming High 3084 61.71% 46.62 0.099 71.27% -0.002 -0.0231

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 23 100.0% 24.26 -8.945 8.7% -2.158 -1.6627
Blitz 0 589 66.79% 40.55 1.827 53.31% -0.148 0.2955
Dahan Insurrection 4 839 47.91% 68.28 13.248 71.04% 0.256 0.3536
Despicable Theft 2 25 84.0% 49.6 3.49 56.0% 0.038 0.5372
Elemental Invocation 1 74 77.03% 42.28 3.345 51.35% 0.462 1.0079
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5869 23.46% 54.79 4.073 75.11% -0.159 0.0722
Powers Long Forgotten 1 135 79.7% 37.93 0.0 34.07%
Rituals of Terror 3 168 82.74% 46.01 3.646 32.74% -0.102 -0.3385
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 71 91.55% 41.11 0.0 33.8%
Second Wave 0 631 82.57% 38.64 -2.181 46.91% -0.373 0.3193
The Great River 3 51 68.63% 34.9 -4.608 17.65% -1.216 0.3652
Varied Terrains 2 25 84.0% 37.12 -3.66 28.0% -1.047 -0.2607
Ward the Shores 2 148 84.35% 40.38 6.952 37.84% 0.232 1.1129

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 57698 68.75% 42.36 -0.807 60.76% 0.213 0.8758
1 Thematic 1761 68.25% 43.46 0.07 47.59% -0.415 0.6418
2 Archipelago 16 62.5% 61.88 9.895 56.25% 0.394 0.8648
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8320 69.0% 44.9 -1.191 66.11% -0.066 0.4523
2 Coastline 1199 66.39% 46.72 1.781 68.47% 0.474 0.6741
2 Fragment 270 70.74% 47.82 1.59 74.07% 0.091 0.3892
2 Heart 107 76.64% 44.3 -4.63 58.88% -0.68 -0.2194
2 Opposite Shores 1710 65.49% 44.21 1.524 61.58% 0.154 0.6929
2 Thematic 454 72.28% 44.67 -3.726 43.61% -1.257 -0.4746
2 Top to Top 314 70.83% 45.36 2.881 66.24% 0.67 0.7978
3 Archipelago 4 50.0% 93.5 29.671 100.0% 0.094 -0.1242
3 Coastline 70 30.0% 54.64 8.205 81.43% 0.578 0.0708
3 Other 111 66.67% 47.38 8.247 72.97% 0.983 0.3192
3 Round (Default) 3132 58.49% 47.03 1.991 70.02% 0.281 0.5851
3 Sunrise 22 63.64% 46.68 0.0 68.18%
3 Thematic 88 80.0% 45.08 -0.614 43.18% -0.354 -0.1463
4 Archipelago 9 33.33% 61.0 12.36 55.56% 0.023 -0.0144
4 Coastline 21 0.0% 64.24 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 6 100.0% 26.5 -10.126 16.67% -0.368 -0.4701
4 Other 238 31.93% 53.93 -3.715 85.71% -0.58 -1.2938
4 Thematic 1093 31.47% 65.82 4.478 84.08% 0.848 0.9518
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2300 55.8% 48.26 1.836 70.39% -0.41 -0.3323
5 Archipelago 2 50.0% 50.5 0.0 50.0%
5 Coastline 16 6.25% 63.69 3.177 100.0% 0.042 -0.5455
5 Other 60 60.71% 59.05 7.986 90.0% 0.494 -0.0221
5 Thematic 8 25.0% 76.88 8.132 100.0% 0.278 -0.0093
6 Archipelago 6 0.0% 63.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Coastline 5 20.0% 59.6 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 15 46.67% 63.0 0.715 80.0% -0.07 -0.0249
6 Star 7 71.43% 58.57 -7.011 85.71% -0.276 0.4946
6 Thematic 105 59.05% 59.7 1.325 83.81% -0.371 -0.13
6 Two Centers (Default) 61 27.87% 57.97 -3.653 80.33% -0.84 -0.649
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 4514 36.01 -2.894 45.37% -1.596 0.3747
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3627 39.76 -3.158 52.74% -1.753 0.0251
All Things Weaken 2482 36.85 -3.153 47.1% -1.711 0.3374
Back Against the Wall 3410 38.46 -1.923 49.27% -1.581 0.3586
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4452 33.77 -6.229 44.9% -2.159 -0.0312
Downward Spiral 6645 35.1 -4.375 47.18% -1.804 0.1569
Erosion of Will 4417 34.64 -6.224 42.09% -2.416 -0.3347
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 557 54.68 4.749 94.25% 0.887 1.3883
Memory Fades to Dust 6894 34.0 -6.113 41.94% -2.343 -0.2017
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2442 36.04 -4.015 47.17% -1.864 0.1166
Promising Farmlands 4358 34.06 -5.517 43.67% -2.055 -0.0336
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 423 55.54 3.692 95.74% 0.783 1.2801
Thriving Communities 2276 35.06 -5.909 46.27% -2.268 -0.2091
Tipping Point 1595 32.86 0.0 40.13%
Unnatural Proliferation 2622 37.42 -4.047 47.29% -1.99 -0.0327
Untended Land Crumbles 2304 35.66 -5.137 46.79% -2.089 -0.0563

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 16541 65.55% 44.36 0.516 63.74% -0.186 0.5505
B 16819 65.64% 43.53 0.067 62.29% -0.264 0.433
C 18376 68.49% 42.89 -1.277 61.01% -0.575 -0.1048
D 15536 67.75% 43.0 0.195 61.73% -0.209 0.5
E 7868 66.29% 45.47 1.01 67.21% 0.113 0.6574
F 10127 60.62% 47.13 1.609 70.72% -0.01 0.6516
G 8678 64.16% 45.23 0.765 66.35% -0.161 0.4698
H 9069 64.74% 45.02 0.586 66.8% -0.171 0.4932
East 2542 52.22% 55.23 3.744 65.15% 0.666 1.328
Northeast 1707 47.32% 57.34 0.762 67.43% -0.828 -0.1679
Northwest 1467 46.8% 56.94 -0.527 67.35% -0.38 0.2302
Southeast 461 53.58% 57.06 1.673 76.79% -0.078 0.4529
Southwest 464 56.03% 53.65 -1.504 72.63% -0.55 0.418
West 2291 51.74% 54.19 0.917 64.16% -0.264 0.5413

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 311 0.0% 50.9 -4.01 74.6% -1.461 0.7682
Not Using Events or Tokens 4944 76.25% 38.11 -2.999 50.08% -0.002 0.2244
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2295 19.08% 63.94 8.187 89.98% 0.572 -0.4079
Start of Game Growth 3130 21.54% 62.04 7.188 88.34% 1.252 0.7953
Unlimited Undo 8998 53.11% 50.95 1.967 77.74% 0.47 -0.0813
Using Tokens but Not Events 3998 54.59% 46.16 -0.442 65.48% -0.152 0.0034

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 15768 22.65 11.89%
II 27782 31.08 58.56%
III 27778 34.66 83.93%
IV 7918 37.91 99.81%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.621 Win Model: 0.554
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 59636 68.74% 42.42 60.39%
2 12304 68.47% 45.01 65.04%
3 3405 58.49% 47.11 69.75%
4 3656 46.6% 54.04 75.63%
5 43 37.5% 60.93 88.37%
6 202 46.04% 59.5 82.18%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1870
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 22867
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 15585
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7834
Lose: Invader deck ran out 661
Lose: Adversary condition 326
Win: Sacrifice victory 412
Lose: Scenario condition 1489
Win: Scenario condition 794
Lose: Blight pool ran out 26226
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1182

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-10-19 02:56:39 (Pacific Time)