The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3097 26.98% 24.9 -0.17 87.89% -0.055 0.0912
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2230 50.45% 23.39 -0.318 80.99% -0.007 0.23
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1370 25.63% 25.96 0.232 92.26% 0.459 0.3721
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1600 15.78% 28.52 1.271 94.75% 0.423 0.0541
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1384 24.03% 26.91 0.574 93.35% 0.524 0.2896
Fractured Days Split the Sky 171 39.18% 26.3 0.762 78.95% -0.61 -0.2782
Heart of the Wildfire 2290 59.6% 20.95 -1.365 74.41% -0.255 0.0932
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3184 28.68% 26.56 0.473 91.21% 0.412 0.1134
Lightning's Swift Strike 3493 40.67% 24.19 -0.133 81.48% -0.162 0.1061
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 294 31.97% 25.7 0.37 90.82% 0.255 -0.1028
Many Minds Move as One 352 22.44% 27.04 0.677 93.75% 0.334 -0.1824
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3275 41.46% 24.57 -0.118 84.89% 0.227 0.0304
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1310 28.24% 25.32 -0.087 90.23% 0.229 0.2762
River Surges in Sunlight 4193 37.41% 26.72 0.936 81.52% -0.24 -0.0736
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1919 38.12% 23.17 -0.779 84.68% -0.059 0.091
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2601 54.51% 23.65 -0.288 78.2% -0.027 0.4225
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2160 29.78% 26.58 0.586 87.69% -0.07 -0.1343
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 729 27.98% 23.51 -1.046 90.81% 0.078 0.0583
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1112 33.82% 24.16 -0.54 83.54% -0.359 -0.1435
Thunderspeaker 2957 30.3% 27.24 0.937 86.41% -0.03 0.0301
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 579 61.81% 20.1 -2.072 78.24% -0.096 -0.0638
Vital Strength of the Earth 3429 33.22% 23.14 -0.871 79.5% -0.696 0.1681
Volcano Looming High 124 35.48% 22.75 -0.894 83.87% -0.32 -0.4118

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 635 43.79% 21.77 -1.551 76.54% -0.506 0.0688
Dahan Insurrection 4 617 22.75% 46.1 9.994 82.01% -1.014 -0.6126
Elemental Invocation 1 13 76.92% 17.46 -3.25 53.85% -0.784 -0.3153
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1783 7.99% 29.95 1.754 83.79% -1.872 -1.4981
Powers Long Forgotten 1 339 49.56% 29.16 1.738 76.4% -0.445 0.0005
Rituals of Terror 3 427 46.9% 35.36 5.117 73.77% -0.624 0.0004
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 249 67.87% 31.3 3.53 63.45% -0.753 -0.1289
Second Wave 0 563 60.57% 23.18 -0.236 70.69% -0.521 -0.1026
The Great River 3 29 55.17% 24.79 0.558 41.38% -2.67 -1.1945
Ward the Shores 2 391 43.99% 30.89 2.675 75.45% -0.684 0.3472

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 19973 40.16% 23.66 -0.606 82.14% -0.111 0.2415
1 Thematic 2495 43.37% 31.28 2.174 77.64% -0.139 0.3563
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4866 33.37% 24.24 -0.295 86.72% 0.007 0.1948
2 Coastline 344 33.73% 24.07 -0.255 87.79% 0.108 0.2431
2 Fragment 95 35.79% 23.09 -0.727 87.37% -0.029 0.3951
2 Heart 57 60.0% 20.93 -1.118 80.7% 0.157 0.4453
2 Opposite Shores 502 32.51% 24.14 -0.428 87.85% 0.012 0.2367
2 Thematic 552 42.11% 33.05 1.948 82.25% 0.086 0.129
2 Top to Top 105 32.69% 22.95 -0.819 84.76% -0.305 -0.1897
3 Coastline 7 42.86% 25.14 0.827 85.71% 0.242 0.2019
3 Other 46 45.65% 20.8 -1.413 76.09% -0.636 -0.237
3 Round (Default) 1376 27.43% 24.9 -0.055 89.32% -0.152 -0.1224
3 Sunrise 2 0.0% 30.5 0.88 100.0% 0.05 -0.2037
3 Thematic 93 35.48% 31.26 0.077 78.49% -0.529 -0.8728
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 21.33 -2.088 66.67% -0.475 -0.2971
4 Leaf 5 20.0% 27.4 1.94 100.0% 0.188 0.2668
4 Other 18 27.78% 22.61 -0.824 88.89% -0.36 -0.2757
4 Thematic 284 30.96% 32.39 0.275 93.31% 0.617 -0.4663
4 Trapezoid (Default) 632 25.48% 25.24 0.236 92.56% 0.157 0.124
5 Other 10 90.0% 23.7 1.028 100.0% 0.939 0.7166
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 29.67 0.08 100.0% 0.208 -2.5761

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 797 18.04 -4.246 62.74% -3.305 -1.2372
Aid From Lesser Spirits 694 19.12 -3.874 60.95% -3.365 -1.4483
All Things Weaken 198 17.4 -4.353 63.64% -3.15 -0.9923
Back Against the Wall 664 17.91 -4.291 57.53% -3.562 -1.4701
Disintegrating Ecosystem 787 15.06 -5.811 54.51% -3.621 -1.3996
Downward Spiral 2782 17.2 -4.461 64.77% -2.922 -0.907
Erosion of Will 800 18.02 -4.315 60.0% -3.421 -1.2094
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 81 24.04 -1.191 93.83% -0.718 -0.0066
Memory Fades to Dust 2839 16.18 -4.989 57.7% -3.245 -1.0295
Power Corrodes the Spirit 214 17.14 -4.708 64.49% -3.177 -1.1624
Promising Farmlands 854 16.87 -4.882 61.59% -3.34 -1.1278
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 63 24.92 -0.914 96.83% -0.205 0.2099
Thriving Communities 206 17.0 -4.618 65.05% -3.205 -1.0973
Tipping Point 504 16.8 -4.848 60.52% -3.315 -1.0995
Unnatural Proliferation 215 18.42 -4.085 60.47% -3.306 -1.2263
Untended Land Crumbles 231 16.54 -4.781 60.61% -3.326 -1.2324

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7334 37.98% 23.68 -0.41 83.87% 0.255 -0.8176
B 7527 37.14% 23.85 -0.33 83.82% 0.205 -0.9592
C 7666 36.06% 24.16 -0.191 84.87% 0.294 -1.1019
D 7284 35.66% 24.03 -0.233 84.67% 0.257 -0.9003
E 1204 30.67% 24.84 0.097 88.87% 0.308 -0.949
F 2669 33.25% 24.51 -0.071 87.9% 0.338 -0.887
G 2523 33.93% 23.96 -0.387 86.21% 0.176 -1.0354
H 2760 33.86% 24.47 -0.149 87.32% 0.297 -0.9225
East 1192 39.38% 33.24 2.247 83.64% 0.293 -0.6405
Northeast 1240 39.14% 32.22 1.758 82.66% 0.241 -0.6272
Northwest 1041 37.67% 31.8 1.35 82.13% 0.122 -0.8213
Southeast 177 41.81% 29.35 0.633 81.36% 0.016 -0.9643
Southwest 157 42.04% 25.77 -1.222 82.17% 0.059 -0.5648
West 1141 42.66% 32.14 1.598 80.72% 0.135 -0.5302

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 303 0.0% 21.92 -2.513 71.95% -2.833 -0.7929
Not Using Events or Tokens 7642 46.61% 22.52 -0.848 77.73% -0.36 -0.1403
Skip Initial Invader Actions 490 6.87% 35.2 3.311 96.33% 1.115 0.41
Start of Game Growth 698 12.28% 32.36 2.021 93.84% 0.02 -0.4367
Unlimited Undo 1494 31.33% 26.38 0.438 88.55% 0.369 -0.0341
Using Tokens but Not Events 2465 28.48% 25.77 0.103 88.68% -0.032 -0.079

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3208 22.34 55.83%
II 12291 30.72 80.99%
III 10734 34.24 86.44%
IV 5235 37.49 99.03%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.022 Win Model: -0.043
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 22490 40.52% 24.51 81.65%
2 6515 34.3% 24.91 86.4%
3 1515 28.49% 25.15 88.25%
4 947 27.88% 27.32 92.82%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1272
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6776
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6848
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3754
Lose: Invader deck ran out 466
Win: Sacrifice victory 119
Lose: Scenario condition 342
Win: Scenario condition 801
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4222
Lose: Spirit destroyed 229

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2010 29.05% 30.13 -0.224 85.32% -0.271 -0.1241
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1412 51.29% 29.31 -0.073 82.44% 0.014 0.2515
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 866 28.19% 31.88 0.52 92.26% 0.56 0.4736
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1153 18.17% 34.55 1.505 94.19% 0.469 0.0996
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 867 24.33% 33.19 1.013 93.31% 0.569 0.3342
Fractured Days Split the Sky 125 47.2% 29.99 0.141 77.6% -0.823 -0.4917
Heart of the Wildfire 1638 57.8% 27.7 -0.629 79.18% -0.028 0.3201
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2492 35.43% 31.29 0.493 89.77% 0.388 0.0894
Lightning's Swift Strike 2238 39.49% 30.4 0.254 83.24% -0.091 0.1772
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 199 32.32% 30.49 0.237 89.45% 0.1 -0.2581
Many Minds Move as One 259 27.41% 32.1 0.827 91.51% 0.266 -0.2502
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1735 45.14% 29.29 -0.425 83.17% -0.075 -0.2712
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 855 31.42% 30.97 0.022 89.01% 0.165 0.2123
River Surges in Sunlight 2456 41.16% 31.5 0.759 81.92% -0.21 -0.0442
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1173 39.48% 28.88 -0.699 83.89% -0.108 0.0413
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1612 54.64% 28.68 -0.458 77.61% -0.146 0.3041
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1490 31.6% 32.19 0.736 87.58% 0.052 -0.0128
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 405 42.08% 26.38 -1.828 84.69% -0.073 -0.0924
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 761 34.08% 29.78 -0.458 84.23% -0.364 -0.1486
Thunderspeaker 1863 35.08% 32.26 0.753 84.86% -0.051 0.0083
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 392 70.08% 23.95 -2.147 75.0% -0.167 -0.1344
Vital Strength of the Earth 2000 41.29% 27.4 -1.445 78.1% -0.587 0.2773
Volcano Looming High 75 40.0% 28.59 -0.351 89.33% 0.141 0.0486

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 507 48.7% 25.28 -2.183 72.19% -0.709 -0.1339
Dahan Insurrection 4 527 23.52% 51.84 10.288 85.77% -0.626 -0.2251
Elemental Invocation 1 7 71.43% 29.86 1.126 85.71% 0.147 0.6156
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1058 13.66% 32.38 0.449 77.88% -1.898 -1.5244
Powers Long Forgotten 1 302 63.58% 29.8 -0.002 65.89% -0.772 -0.3262
Rituals of Terror 3 284 44.37% 40.04 5.031 75.35% -0.689 -0.0646
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 191 68.06% 35.56 3.056 63.35% -0.752 -0.1281
Second Wave 0 1813 48.39% 29.58 0.092 75.68% -0.77 -0.3519
The Great River 3 24 37.5% 30.75 0.891 54.17% -2.241 -0.7653
Ward the Shores 2 350 48.7% 34.25 2.076 71.71% -0.851 0.1802

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11217 42.48% 28.65 -0.691 82.07% -0.383 -0.0297
1 Thematic 2028 45.71% 34.99 1.75 74.01% -0.572 -0.0775
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2792 36.75% 29.61 -0.18 87.71% 0.087 0.2751
2 Coastline 278 44.07% 28.74 -0.267 87.41% 0.228 0.3631
2 Fragment 72 40.28% 29.35 -0.218 91.67% 0.443 0.8673
2 Heart 49 36.73% 27.51 -1.114 81.63% -0.507 -0.2191
2 Opposite Shores 519 34.95% 29.01 -0.521 86.71% -0.105 0.119
2 Thematic 479 47.18% 35.53 1.166 76.83% -0.082 -0.0388
2 Top to Top 88 38.64% 28.55 -0.689 81.82% -0.347 -0.2318
3 Coastline 7 71.43% 30.29 1.002 71.43% 0.64 0.5999
3 Other 39 28.21% 27.9 -0.777 89.74% -0.065 0.3342
3 Round (Default) 1031 28.81% 31.06 0.255 91.95% 0.405 0.4351
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 25.0 -2.389 100.0% 0.011 -0.2432
3 Thematic 80 38.75% 35.73 0.26 73.75% -0.378 -0.7218
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 25.0 -4.145 33.33% -1.542 -1.3642
4 Leaf 3 0.0% 42.33 4.127 100.0% 0.046 0.1247
4 Other 34 41.18% 29.35 0.144 88.24% 0.183 0.2678
4 Thematic 233 44.21% 36.47 0.501 90.13% 1.117 0.0332
4 Trapezoid (Default) 431 28.81% 30.95 0.121 89.1% 0.126 0.0924
5 Other 5 40.0% 34.4 3.059 100.0% 0.441 0.2179

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 534 23.6 -4.264 63.86% -3.115 -1.0466
Aid From Lesser Spirits 557 23.84 -4.014 63.2% -3.182 -1.2649
All Things Weaken 165 22.48 -4.703 59.39% -3.197 -1.0387
Back Against the Wall 501 23.24 -4.45 59.28% -3.333 -1.241
Disintegrating Ecosystem 587 20.95 -5.639 61.16% -3.282 -1.0606
Downward Spiral 1599 22.21 -4.667 65.98% -2.802 -0.7873
Erosion of Will 579 22.02 -5.06 58.03% -3.385 -1.1737
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 51 28.75 -1.454 96.08% -0.337 0.3747
Memory Fades to Dust 1663 21.11 -5.249 59.41% -3.13 -0.9151
Power Corrodes the Spirit 146 22.28 -4.821 63.7% -3.036 -1.0209
Promising Farmlands 631 21.18 -5.405 61.49% -3.257 -1.045
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 40 28.95 -1.069 97.5% -0.103 0.3122
Thriving Communities 159 21.16 -5.037 64.78% -3.032 -0.9246
Tipping Point 365 21.32 -5.491 59.18% -3.379 -1.1634
Unnatural Proliferation 162 23.06 -4.456 59.88% -3.242 -1.1626
Untended Land Crumbles 130 21.97 -4.616 68.46% -2.763 -0.6694

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4547 41.27% 28.92 -0.385 84.14% 0.281 -0.7912
B 4710 38.76% 29.16 -0.332 84.69% 0.237 -0.9271
C 4790 38.65% 29.31 -0.224 85.01% 0.275 -1.1207
D 4547 37.57% 29.59 -0.017 86.14% 0.431 -0.7267
E 761 35.44% 29.27 -0.286 86.86% 0.202 -1.0555
F 1614 33.5% 29.81 -0.159 88.35% 0.386 -0.839
G 1485 36.57% 29.82 -0.192 86.8% 0.241 -0.9699
H 1549 32.64% 30.14 -0.085 88.25% 0.308 -0.9114
East 1020 44.41% 36.53 1.88 78.63% 0.204 -0.7296
Northeast 1045 45.74% 35.56 1.319 77.51% 0.043 -0.8253
Northwest 860 42.91% 35.81 1.343 80.7% 0.341 -0.6028
Southeast 140 38.57% 34.14 0.364 78.57% -0.077 -1.0566
Southwest 118 43.22% 30.93 -1.449 77.12% -0.106 -0.7305
West 930 48.92% 35.15 0.952 76.56% 0.047 -0.6182

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 124 0.0% 27.45 -2.282 77.42% -2.25 -0.2097
Not Using Events or Tokens 3513 47.95% 27.58 -0.942 77.23% -0.396 -0.1758
Skip Initial Invader Actions 269 8.94% 43.13 3.823 94.05% 0.055 -0.6503
Start of Game Growth 419 14.47% 39.62 2.625 92.6% 0.321 -0.136
Unlimited Undo 1091 33.43% 30.93 0.171 87.35% 0.14 -0.2639
Using Tokens but Not Events 1492 34.05% 30.79 0.095 86.93% -0.009 -0.0556

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2112 22.34 47.54%
II 7815 30.72 81.48%
III 6737 34.24 89.19%
IV 2726 37.49 98.9%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.054 Win Model: -0.269
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13258 42.94% 29.63 80.86%
2 4277 38.32% 30.09 86.23%
3 1156 30.2% 31.25 90.48%
4 699 34.01% 32.77 89.13%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 611
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4161
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3929
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1873
Lose: Invader deck ran out 189
Win: Sacrifice victory 56
Lose: Scenario condition 254
Win: Scenario condition 703
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2735
Lose: Spirit destroyed 135

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2852 31.95% 33.15 0.212 84.05% -0.207 -0.0607
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1699 59.38% 31.17 -0.015 79.75% 0.107 0.3442
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1117 33.66% 34.48 0.834 89.53% 0.373 0.2861
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1428 22.62% 36.75 1.708 92.79% 0.452 0.083
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1094 28.79% 35.69 1.291 90.31% 0.398 0.1636
Fractured Days Split the Sky 167 47.9% 32.69 0.328 69.46% -1.063 -0.7314
Heart of the Wildfire 2031 67.09% 27.87 -1.632 71.25% -0.305 0.043
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3228 40.17% 34.08 0.988 87.42% 0.449 0.15
Lightning's Swift Strike 2664 45.78% 31.6 -0.195 78.72% -0.264 0.0049
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 351 35.04% 34.35 0.802 87.46% 0.136 -0.222
Many Minds Move as One 323 30.12% 36.04 1.591 94.43% 0.839 0.3222
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2534 53.91% 30.81 -0.574 79.44% -0.081 -0.2778
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1086 35.89% 33.18 0.192 86.65% 0.093 0.1406
River Surges in Sunlight 3252 48.9% 33.44 0.832 78.26% -0.19 -0.024
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1997 40.88% 32.04 -0.133 84.48% 0.048 0.1981
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1853 65.92% 29.32 -0.927 71.67% -0.2 0.2495
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1970 36.68% 33.84 0.602 83.76% -0.118 -0.1821
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 634 44.94% 29.72 -1.445 84.23% -0.107 -0.1272
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 880 45.5% 31.85 -0.328 81.36% -0.053 0.1626
Thunderspeaker 2520 43.07% 34.27 1.001 83.33% 0.088 0.1482
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 519 73.22% 27.1 -1.933 75.14% -0.086 -0.0538
Vital Strength of the Earth 2353 44.63% 29.47 -1.315 73.78% -0.661 0.2033
Volcano Looming High 162 46.91% 32.67 0.381 88.89% 0.434 0.3421

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 560 59.03% 26.98 -2.443 66.43% -0.712 -0.137
Dahan Insurrection 4 415 30.43% 52.63 9.624 79.04% -0.938 -0.5369
Elemental Invocation 1 8 62.5% 33.0 1.163 87.5% 0.289 0.7576
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1539 15.78% 33.57 -0.001 72.38% -2.157 -1.783
Powers Long Forgotten 1 334 66.47% 31.82 0.113 62.87% -0.708 -0.263
Rituals of Terror 3 244 56.38% 40.9 4.31 64.75% -0.892 -0.2682
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 172 73.26% 37.62 2.847 59.3% -0.841 -0.2173
Second Wave 0 1395 55.2% 31.62 -0.103 71.33% -0.785 -0.3669
The Great River 3 29 58.62% 34.76 1.232 51.72% -1.921 -0.4461
Ward the Shores 2 370 55.14% 35.6 1.809 65.95% -0.883 0.1478

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 13545 50.04% 30.63 -0.582 78.12% 0.097 0.4503
1 Thematic 1985 56.8% 34.68 1.131 66.95% -0.209 0.2862
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3612 43.54% 32.31 0.106 85.49% 0.339 0.5266
2 Coastline 397 42.38% 32.37 0.018 85.39% 0.304 0.4393
2 Fragment 101 56.44% 31.13 -0.338 80.2% 0.049 0.4728
2 Heart 52 42.31% 29.04 -1.487 75.0% -0.387 -0.0987
2 Opposite Shores 688 42.11% 32.44 0.092 86.19% 0.448 0.672
2 Thematic 609 60.69% 34.27 0.27 64.86% -0.356 -0.3126
2 Top to Top 115 46.96% 32.59 0.269 84.35% 0.353 0.4681
3 Coastline 12 25.0% 35.67 0.193 83.33% -0.213 -0.253
3 Other 67 27.27% 32.73 -0.319 85.07% -0.471 -0.0721
3 Round (Default) 1509 36.6% 32.76 0.014 86.55% 0.155 0.1845
3 Sunrise 10 40.0% 26.8 -3.534 50.0% -1.649 -1.9032
3 Thematic 124 52.85% 38.68 1.657 77.42% -0.023 -0.3671
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 36.0 3.627 100.0% 0.294 0.4712
4 Leaf 4 50.0% 31.75 -0.399 75.0% -0.236 -0.1574
4 Other 40 15.0% 35.38 0.706 95.0% 0.276 0.3603
4 Thematic 222 41.18% 38.88 0.957 82.43% -0.109 -1.1928
4 Trapezoid (Default) 946 30.86% 33.89 0.522 90.38% 0.338 0.3051
5 Other 15 53.33% 36.0 1.445 100.0% 0.861 0.638
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 42.0 2.923 100.0% 0.174 -2.6107

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 916 25.45 -4.236 59.72% -3.074 -1.0053
Aid From Lesser Spirits 747 27.06 -3.465 61.45% -3.059 -1.1419
All Things Weaken 241 24.62 -4.54 58.92% -3.155 -0.9973
Back Against the Wall 741 27.66 -3.199 64.78% -2.887 -0.7948
Disintegrating Ecosystem 861 23.03 -5.477 58.42% -3.16 -0.939
Downward Spiral 2230 24.75 -4.38 63.81% -2.898 -0.8829
Erosion of Will 911 24.27 -4.81 56.09% -3.281 -1.0692
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 86 33.85 -0.084 95.35% -0.374 0.3371
Memory Fades to Dust 2166 23.75 -4.893 57.57% -3.155 -0.94
Power Corrodes the Spirit 237 24.68 -4.542 62.03% -3.079 -1.0636
Promising Farmlands 925 24.03 -4.924 60.11% -3.082 -0.8697
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 73 33.95 -0.021 100.0% 1.007 1.4225
Thriving Communities 226 25.14 -4.376 64.16% -2.939 -0.8311
Tipping Point 575 24.7 -4.584 60.7% -3.024 -0.8076
Unnatural Proliferation 243 25.25 -4.208 61.32% -3.055 -0.976
Untended Land Crumbles 243 24.37 -4.592 64.61% -2.935 -0.8407

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6028 44.52% 31.7 -0.074 82.48% 0.181 -0.8909
B 6269 44.56% 31.51 -0.183 82.1% 0.15 -1.0134
C 6523 42.97% 31.82 0.011 82.74% 0.17 -1.2259
D 6064 45.48% 31.46 -0.137 82.27% 0.213 -0.9451
E 1120 43.43% 32.59 0.169 85.98% 0.29 -0.9672
F 2208 39.95% 33.04 0.264 85.87% 0.272 -0.9528
G 2039 41.61% 32.47 0.037 85.43% 0.261 -0.95
H 2099 40.75% 32.44 -0.03 84.71% 0.157 -1.0625
East 1117 52.96% 37.04 1.631 72.07% 0.243 -0.6906
Northeast 1087 53.09% 36.79 1.51 72.68% 0.328 -0.5398
Northwest 920 56.43% 34.33 0.131 66.3% -0.042 -0.9853
Southeast 171 50.59% 32.73 -0.7 69.01% -0.384 -1.3637
Southwest 137 52.55% 32.69 -0.766 74.45% 0.209 -0.4153
West 994 57.16% 35.75 0.933 69.22% 0.154 -0.5106

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 140 0.0% 31.58 -1.562 81.43% -2.047 -0.0069
Not Using Events or Tokens 3923 54.9% 29.41 -0.826 74.56% -0.1 0.1196
Skip Initial Invader Actions 331 13.96% 45.71 4.319 95.17% 1.08 0.3743
Start of Game Growth 545 16.86% 41.83 2.585 90.46% -0.151 -0.6075
Unlimited Undo 1557 43.48% 32.96 0.24 83.11% 0.125 -0.2782
Using Tokens but Not Events 1885 40.4% 33.02 0.302 85.78% 0.243 0.1968

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1788 22.34 15.27%
II 10321 30.72 75.85%
III 8026 34.24 88.84%
IV 3920 37.49 99.03%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.18 Win Model: 0.083
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 15547 50.92% 31.14 76.69%
2 5574 45.41% 32.49 83.14%
3 1717 37.16% 33.22 85.73%
4 1217 32.75% 34.85 89.07%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 175
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5064
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5089
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2743
Lose: Invader deck ran out 235
Win: Sacrifice victory 102
Lose: Scenario condition 436
Win: Scenario condition 571
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4076
Lose: Spirit destroyed 195

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2803 40.24% 41.71 0.612 85.02% -0.018 0.1284
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1719 72.43% 36.19 -1.255 69.52% -0.314 -0.0767
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1384 35.19% 43.39 1.275 89.38% 0.294 0.2073
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1515 40.79% 43.33 1.35 88.25% 0.32 -0.0492
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1355 44.02% 42.54 0.982 86.05% 0.236 0.0016
Fractured Days Split the Sky 265 48.68% 41.87 0.82 78.49% -0.562 -0.2301
Heart of the Wildfire 2482 69.41% 36.58 -1.26 71.84% -0.212 0.1363
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4140 52.68% 42.16 1.188 84.52% 0.347 0.0484
Lightning's Swift Strike 2960 51.52% 40.8 0.41 80.27% -0.077 0.1916
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 478 49.58% 43.01 1.439 87.03% 0.389 0.0308
Many Minds Move as One 383 47.38% 43.15 1.512 91.12% 0.686 0.1694
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2569 65.93% 37.13 -1.34 72.99% -0.32 -0.5161
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1282 42.06% 42.56 1.015 88.69% 0.395 0.442
River Surges in Sunlight 3275 56.34% 42.16 1.3 78.35% -0.08 0.0858
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1840 55.92% 38.71 -0.685 78.21% -0.169 -0.0197
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1817 72.82% 36.04 -1.464 67.47% -0.39 0.0592
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2584 38.18% 43.46 1.657 85.68% 0.04 -0.0247
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1063 59.57% 35.02 -2.309 77.23% -0.259 -0.2791
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1159 49.44% 41.84 0.681 83.87% 0.146 0.361
Thunderspeaker 2213 50.86% 42.56 1.047 81.2% 0.015 0.0746
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 801 84.14% 34.29 -1.961 72.66% 0.014 0.046
Vital Strength of the Earth 2036 59.41% 34.67 -2.564 66.5% -0.825 0.0393
Volcano Looming High 256 54.69% 39.69 0.083 84.38% 0.156 0.0639

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 456 57.87% 35.64 -2.26 66.89% -0.744 -0.1691
Dahan Insurrection 4 472 39.7% 62.34 10.456 82.42% -0.224 0.1772
Elemental Invocation 1 20 55.0% 48.45 3.483 100.0% 1.149 1.6174
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1587 22.71% 43.52 1.054 79.21% -1.273 -0.8998
Powers Long Forgotten 1 240 75.42% 39.3 -0.296 63.33% -0.56 -0.1144
Rituals of Terror 3 190 63.16% 48.11 4.277 66.32% -0.606 0.0177
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 68 85.29% 40.75 0.575 48.53% -0.86 -0.2357
Second Wave 0 926 63.78% 36.05 -1.955 62.42% -1.082 -0.6639
The Great River 3 25 88.0% 37.08 -0.932 44.0% -1.582 -0.1066
Ward the Shores 2 256 62.5% 42.59 1.301 65.23% -0.737 0.2943

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 17985 57.66% 38.45 -0.555 76.57% -0.376 -0.0228
1 Thematic 1458 59.05% 42.68 0.936 67.56% -0.302 0.193
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4082 53.89% 40.1 0.081 81.72% -0.15 0.0381
2 Coastline 527 54.81% 40.74 0.237 82.16% -0.13 0.0053
2 Fragment 102 55.88% 39.75 -0.478 77.45% -0.405 0.0187
2 Heart 53 60.38% 38.06 -0.836 77.36% -0.35 -0.0618
2 Opposite Shores 739 58.07% 40.36 0.191 83.76% 0.102 0.3262
2 Thematic 462 60.3% 44.15 1.046 70.56% 0.317 0.3599
2 Top to Top 120 57.5% 37.4 -0.891 72.5% -0.577 -0.4621
3 Coastline 38 31.58% 47.79 2.723 97.37% 1.179 1.1391
3 Other 70 48.57% 41.39 0.346 87.14% 0.069 0.4683
3 Round (Default) 1413 46.87% 41.24 0.318 85.92% -0.001 0.0283
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 58.0 6.485 100.0% 0.18 -0.0741
3 Thematic 78 62.34% 42.62 0.152 67.95% 0.703 0.3584
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 19.0 -11.179 0.0% -0.611 -0.4335
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 37.0 0.415 100.0% 0.204 0.2829
4 Other 37 32.43% 43.35 0.952 91.89% 0.106 0.1906
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 66.0 5.895 100.0% 0.012 -0.781
4 Thematic 162 42.59% 49.65 1.053 75.93% 0.897 -0.1864
4 Trapezoid (Default) 798 40.38% 43.73 0.946 89.35% 0.155 0.122
5 Other 9 55.56% 42.67 1.677 88.89% 0.284 0.0611
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 22.0 -12.834 0.0% -0.766 -3.5505

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1362 33.13 -4.435 61.45% -3.052 -0.984
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1136 35.67 -3.107 66.99% -2.834 -0.9167
All Things Weaken 421 31.44 -5.013 58.43% -3.227 -1.069
Back Against the Wall 1053 34.07 -3.918 62.68% -3.029 -0.9372
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1242 30.72 -5.613 59.66% -3.121 -0.8996
Downward Spiral 2651 32.89 -4.318 65.98% -2.774 -0.7594
Erosion of Will 1308 32.02 -5.015 59.17% -3.214 -1.0023
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 170 43.24 0.683 97.65% 0.09 0.8019
Memory Fades to Dust 2586 31.71 -4.944 60.56% -3.024 -0.809
Power Corrodes the Spirit 423 33.02 -4.232 68.32% -2.798 -0.7824
Promising Farmlands 1283 30.95 -5.441 59.47% -3.129 -0.9164
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 104 44.9 1.324 100.0% 1.027 1.4427
Thriving Communities 404 30.87 -5.353 61.63% -3.131 -1.0233
Tipping Point 813 30.59 -5.689 56.33% -3.21 -0.9942
Unnatural Proliferation 388 34.35 -3.436 67.53% -2.755 -0.6754
Untended Land Crumbles 355 31.85 -4.767 63.38% -3.028 -0.9341

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6572 54.9% 39.45 -0.08 79.41% 0.376 -0.6958
B 6871 53.5% 39.81 0.097 80.22% 0.384 -0.78
C 7353 54.74% 39.8 0.165 80.12% 0.421 -0.9747
D 6646 54.71% 39.51 0.047 79.75% 0.413 -0.7447
E 1530 56.15% 39.37 -0.114 81.7% 0.438 -0.8196
F 2810 49.16% 41.07 0.437 84.16% 0.472 -0.7527
G 2558 54.58% 39.44 -0.293 80.06% 0.274 -0.9368
H 2909 50.62% 40.5 0.143 82.37% 0.338 -0.8819
East 819 56.48% 45.08 1.289 69.35% -0.108 -1.0417
Northeast 806 57.14% 44.22 1.02 68.73% -0.095 -0.963
Northwest 595 56.57% 44.65 0.814 70.76% 0.077 -0.8668
Southeast 152 48.68% 45.66 1.559 79.61% 0.313 -0.667
Southwest 137 52.55% 41.96 -0.612 75.91% -0.089 -0.713
West 707 57.3% 44.31 0.634 67.19% -0.261 -0.9263

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 101 0.0% 34.27 -4.055 64.36% -3.015 -0.9751
Not Using Events or Tokens 3084 67.01% 36.32 -1.136 71.63% -0.108 0.1122
Skip Initial Invader Actions 358 11.78% 55.4 4.822 96.09% 0.905 0.1995
Start of Game Growth 487 15.68% 52.7 3.682 93.84% 0.322 -0.1345
Unlimited Undo 1830 51.24% 41.33 0.622 82.62% 0.227 -0.1762
Using Tokens but Not Events 1752 48.46% 41.71 0.594 84.7% 0.238 0.1912

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2469 22.34 17.58%
II 13251 30.72 75.36%
III 8743 34.24 89.67%
IV 3676 37.49 99.65%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.284 Win Model: -0.189
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 19473 57.74% 38.78 75.91%
2 6089 55.26% 40.41 80.87%
3 1580 46.82% 41.51 85.44%
4 997 40.75% 44.62 86.96%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 284
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5844
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6815
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2804
Lose: Invader deck ran out 194
Win: Sacrifice victory 125
Lose: Scenario condition 319
Win: Scenario condition 556
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5412
Lose: Spirit destroyed 291

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1786 52.64% 40.32 0.548 73.4% -0.129 0.0177
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1157 80.95% 34.93 -1.372 57.3% -0.265 -0.028
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 910 55.26% 40.99 0.829 75.6% 0.114 0.027
Eyes Watch From the Trees 977 51.95% 43.34 1.774 79.02% 0.227 -0.1426
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 955 57.61% 42.17 1.458 78.12% 0.329 0.0939
Fractured Days Split the Sky 179 62.01% 40.79 0.936 65.92% -0.379 -0.047
Heart of the Wildfire 1549 79.6% 34.29 -1.903 57.97% -0.262 0.0861
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3312 62.27% 41.3 1.398 76.21% 0.38 0.0815
Lightning's Swift Strike 1865 63.8% 38.73 -0.033 67.67% -0.126 0.1426
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 400 66.0% 39.74 0.726 74.5% 0.219 -0.1388
Many Minds Move as One 267 49.81% 45.12 2.808 88.01% 0.957 0.4401
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1868 72.08% 36.71 -0.981 63.28% -0.239 -0.4357
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 844 52.19% 41.89 1.212 78.79% 0.254 0.3012
River Surges in Sunlight 2320 67.64% 40.7 1.092 65.82% -0.106 0.0599
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1270 72.04% 36.5 -1.167 63.46% -0.186 -0.0365
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1099 78.08% 35.13 -1.493 56.32% -0.371 0.0782
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1781 50.62% 41.59 1.288 73.27% -0.132 -0.1966
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 638 69.07% 33.25 -2.755 64.26% -0.339 -0.3589
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 727 57.54% 40.99 0.805 74.69% 0.094 0.3093
Thunderspeaker 1438 64.52% 42.21 1.537 72.39% 0.214 0.2742
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 571 90.72% 32.32 -2.356 57.62% -0.067 -0.0344
Vital Strength of the Earth 1226 75.53% 32.83 -2.668 51.39% -0.71 0.154
Volcano Looming High 157 66.88% 39.13 0.282 73.89% 0.205 0.1129

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 282 70.04% 33.55 -2.714 51.42% -0.727 -0.1513
Dahan Insurrection 4 325 55.69% 59.55 9.841 71.69% -0.084 0.3168
Elemental Invocation 1 5 80.0% 42.6 2.22 80.0% 0.269 0.7373
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 966 24.15% 43.66 1.399 70.19% -1.444 -1.0701
Powers Long Forgotten 1 150 76.0% 36.97 -0.789 49.33% -0.742 -0.297
Rituals of Terror 3 93 84.95% 38.09 0.194 36.56% -1.076 -0.452
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 86 87.21% 40.37 0.918 38.37% -0.73 -0.1055
Second Wave 0 566 74.38% 36.4 -1.213 55.83% -0.657 -0.2388
The Great River 3 8 75.0% 53.5 6.651 75.0% -0.101 1.3739
Ward the Shores 2 93 81.72% 38.72 0.484 44.09% -0.619 0.4122

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11944 67.01% 37.39 -0.65 66.26% -0.282 0.071
1 Thematic 1158 66.06% 41.64 0.896 55.7% -0.442 0.0528
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2758 67.47% 39.33 0.412 72.08% 0.06 0.2481
2 Coastline 346 58.02% 42.73 1.427 80.35% 0.368 0.503
2 Fragment 52 69.23% 33.25 -2.346 53.85% -0.738 -0.3144
2 Heart 56 71.43% 33.89 -2.383 55.36% -0.599 -0.3105
2 Opposite Shores 447 66.67% 38.49 -0.203 69.57% -0.021 0.2038
2 Thematic 329 77.51% 39.9 0.171 52.89% 0.047 0.0899
2 Top to Top 76 70.67% 37.82 -0.139 71.05% 0.14 0.2549
3 Coastline 11 27.27% 53.27 5.237 100.0% 0.63 0.5901
3 Other 53 43.4% 39.38 -0.792 71.7% -0.635 -0.2362
3 Round (Default) 1005 57.6% 41.11 0.751 76.92% 0.146 0.1759
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 50.0 3.863 100.0% 0.018 -0.2356
3 Thematic 79 73.42% 38.37 -1.188 48.1% -0.008 -0.3524
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 50.0 3.547 100.0% 0.021 0.1991
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 37.6 -0.334 80.0% 0.346 0.4244
4 Other 44 40.91% 44.48 1.306 81.82% -0.23 -0.1449
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 4.667 100.0% 0.011 -0.7819
4 Snake 2 50.0% 47.0 2.73 100.0% 0.408 0.5336
4 Thematic 95 66.32% 41.35 -0.422 54.74% 0.333 -0.7502
4 Trapezoid (Default) 513 59.68% 40.53 0.089 70.76% -0.178 -0.2117
5 Other 4 25.0% 54.75 5.69 100.0% 0.472 0.2492
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 62.0 10.45 100.0% 0.167 -2.6173

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1029 32.65 -4.363 51.21% -3.077 -1.0092
Aid From Lesser Spirits 842 35.02 -3.276 56.65% -2.958 -1.0408
All Things Weaken 325 31.51 -4.7 50.46% -3.17 -1.0122
Back Against the Wall 805 34.28 -3.613 53.42% -3.04 -0.9485
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1033 31.49 -4.837 54.6% -2.947 -0.726
Downward Spiral 2005 32.94 -3.97 56.66% -2.767 -0.7525
Erosion of Will 1152 31.38 -5.001 47.74% -3.249 -1.0372
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 91 46.77 2.713 98.9% 0.716 1.4279
Memory Fades to Dust 2048 31.38 -4.785 50.83% -3.005 -0.7899
Power Corrodes the Spirit 336 31.04 -4.907 52.38% -3.064 -1.0493
Promising Farmlands 1129 31.24 -5.036 51.28% -3.084 -0.8719
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 59 47.8 3.268 100.0% 0.902 1.3177
Thriving Communities 299 28.0 -6.401 43.81% -3.465 -1.3577
Tipping Point 661 31.49 -4.856 49.92% -3.072 -0.8558
Unnatural Proliferation 360 31.17 -4.804 47.5% -3.292 -1.2122
Untended Land Crumbles 347 29.76 -5.557 47.84% -3.268 -1.1745

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4351 65.59% 38.21 -0.212 67.87% 0.377 -0.6949
B 4662 65.25% 38.85 0.16 69.82% 0.493 -0.6706
C 4794 65.87% 38.33 -0.074 68.31% 0.407 -0.9891
D 4399 65.15% 38.61 0.137 69.45% 0.483 -0.6746
E 1099 63.81% 39.21 0.395 72.88% 0.598 -0.6596
F 1916 63.08% 39.46 0.255 71.97% 0.461 -0.7638
G 1735 64.97% 39.22 0.163 71.87% 0.523 -0.6886
H 1973 60.06% 40.2 0.516 74.0% 0.514 -0.7053
East 593 68.3% 42.48 1.18 55.65% 0.178 -0.7557
Northeast 570 70.88% 41.75 0.966 55.96% 0.331 -0.5373
Northwest 496 74.8% 38.41 -0.84 48.19% 0.028 -0.9154
Southeast 98 66.33% 41.38 -0.029 62.24% 0.264 -0.7161
Southwest 108 52.78% 41.19 -0.589 67.59% 0.119 -0.5052
West 553 69.44% 40.34 0.001 51.54% -0.051 -0.7163

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 75 0.0% 34.15 -3.609 56.0% -2.83 -0.7895
Not Using Events or Tokens 1957 75.63% 35.23 -1.122 60.3% -0.112 0.1077
Skip Initial Invader Actions 348 14.62% 56.44 5.882 94.25% 1.161 0.4558
Start of Game Growth 461 21.95% 53.15 4.191 90.24% 0.243 -0.2138
Unlimited Undo 1233 62.74% 40.07 0.581 71.78% 0.155 -0.2487
Using Tokens but Not Events 1113 60.22% 38.91 -0.169 69.99% -0.113 -0.16

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2222 22.34 6.21%
II 7865 30.72 60.79%
III 6821 34.24 84.55%
IV 2073 37.49 99.47%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.24 Win Model: -0.319
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13120 66.93% 37.77 65.34%
2 4061 67.51% 39.4 70.5%
3 1146 57.5% 41.0 74.96%
4 654 59.35% 40.99 69.27%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 106
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4360
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3283
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1541
Lose: Invader deck ran out 199
Win: Sacrifice victory 90
Lose: Scenario condition 254
Win: Scenario condition 274
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5538
Lose: Spirit destroyed 242

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 863 55.66% 43.8 1.915 70.8% 0.202 0.3483
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 497 79.07% 36.73 -1.002 51.51% -0.209 0.0277
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 424 53.79% 45.07 2.306 76.42% 0.534 0.4475
Eyes Watch From the Trees 431 60.75% 44.84 2.267 72.16% 0.421 0.0518
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 478 62.79% 42.5 1.127 64.85% 0.086 -0.1489
Fractured Days Split the Sky 71 53.52% 46.9 2.484 71.83% -0.128 0.2037
Heart of the Wildfire 740 81.39% 34.89 -2.013 49.73% -0.189 0.1589
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1447 63.97% 41.73 0.86 64.55% 0.201 -0.0978
Lightning's Swift Strike 1023 65.78% 40.36 0.228 60.7% -0.127 0.1414
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 172 68.02% 40.49 0.693 62.79% -0.069 -0.4272
Many Minds Move as One 129 58.14% 45.05 2.41 76.74% 0.504 -0.0129
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 849 75.42% 38.28 -0.681 56.77% -0.106 -0.3023
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 384 59.27% 43.66 1.795 72.4% 0.404 0.4515
River Surges in Sunlight 1099 72.74% 40.31 0.492 55.41% -0.21 -0.0438
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 603 69.98% 38.84 -0.73 58.87% -0.078 0.0715
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 493 78.9% 36.48 -1.542 47.46% -0.337 0.1127
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 823 55.89% 43.77 1.954 68.89% 0.144 0.0796
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 229 77.29% 31.53 -3.964 49.78% -0.447 -0.4664
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 410 64.22% 39.77 -0.2 59.76% -0.282 -0.0666
Thunderspeaker 761 69.06% 41.33 0.852 60.97% -0.002 0.0575
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 212 90.52% 30.23 -3.753 41.04% -0.358 -0.3256
Vital Strength of the Earth 617 74.19% 34.88 -2.332 46.35% -0.672 0.1921
Volcano Looming High 64 70.31% 42.69 1.968 73.44% 0.569 0.4774

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 174 72.46% 34.41 -2.691 47.13% -0.613 -0.0374
Dahan Insurrection 4 193 63.21% 55.4 7.824 54.92% -0.457 -0.0554
Elemental Invocation 1 3 100.0% 33.67 -2.999 33.33% -0.104 0.3644
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 691 23.94% 48.07 3.115 70.91% -0.928 -0.5541
Powers Long Forgotten 1 64 84.38% 40.56 0.578 51.56% -0.09 0.3551
Rituals of Terror 3 86 69.77% 43.66 2.14 41.86% -0.962 -0.3381
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 55 78.18% 44.38 2.881 41.82% -0.527 0.0972
Second Wave 0 237 73.0% 38.6 -0.957 50.63% -0.577 -0.1592
The Great River 3 6 66.67% 33.17 -4.676 16.67% -2.008 -0.5323
Ward the Shores 2 74 78.38% 42.76 0.893 44.59% -0.577 0.4545

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5422 70.23% 37.61 -0.958 56.01% -0.488 -0.1356
1 Thematic 764 62.3% 42.96 1.277 52.23% -0.133 0.362
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1338 73.62% 39.12 -0.242 60.54% -0.33 -0.1424
2 Coastline 144 70.83% 42.67 1.262 70.14% 0.149 0.2843
2 Fragment 24 79.17% 35.58 -1.488 54.17% -0.325 0.0987
2 Heart 16 75.0% 47.75 3.93 81.25% 0.668 0.9559
2 Opposite Shores 234 66.09% 40.47 0.083 63.68% -0.266 -0.0413
2 Thematic 147 75.51% 42.13 0.865 46.26% 0.49 0.5333
2 Top to Top 35 62.86% 39.63 -0.069 60.0% -0.267 -0.1518
3 Coastline 16 56.25% 50.81 4.721 81.25% 0.498 0.4574
3 Other 20 55.0% 45.6 1.4 80.0% -0.137 0.2622
3 Round (Default) 472 61.75% 44.6 1.798 75.0% 0.129 0.1588
3 Sunrise 4 50.0% 38.0 -2.624 50.0% -0.778 -1.0316
3 Thematic 39 89.74% 32.95 -3.705 25.64% 0.18 -0.1642
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 33.5 -1.909 50.0% -0.129 -0.0501
4 Other 17 29.41% 55.88 3.28 94.12% -0.088 -0.0034
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 61.0 5.25 100.0% 0.133 -0.6597
4 Thematic 50 60.0% 47.56 0.633 56.0% 1.11 0.0264
4 Trapezoid (Default) 210 49.04% 45.62 1.173 73.81% -0.406 -0.4397
5 Other 1 0.0% 50.0 3.555 100.0% 0.021 -0.2021

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 544 34.45 -4.119 46.14% -2.815 -0.7466
Aid From Lesser Spirits 424 34.48 -4.123 44.34% -2.897 -0.98
All Things Weaken 162 31.51 -5.164 40.74% -2.967 -0.8091
Back Against the Wall 392 36.19 -3.287 49.74% -2.698 -0.6067
Disintegrating Ecosystem 499 30.25 -6.256 40.08% -3.066 -0.8447
Downward Spiral 1060 32.28 -4.955 43.96% -2.796 -0.7809
Erosion of Will 505 30.93 -6.007 37.03% -3.254 -1.0423
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 32 52.41 4.323 96.88% 0.487 1.1986
Memory Fades to Dust 1071 30.75 -5.683 39.4% -3.001 -0.7856
Power Corrodes the Spirit 147 30.86 -5.624 42.86% -2.932 -0.9168
Promising Farmlands 521 29.52 -6.638 36.28% -3.277 -1.0642
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 33 51.61 3.928 96.97% 0.452 0.8677
Thriving Communities 139 27.6 -6.935 34.53% -3.221 -1.113
Tipping Point 323 29.83 -6.404 35.91% -3.28 -1.0639
Unnatural Proliferation 152 32.49 -4.736 42.76% -2.868 -0.7881
Untended Land Crumbles 148 30.59 -5.761 39.19% -3.1 -1.0057

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2054 70.3% 39.44 0.036 60.32% 0.39 -0.6824
B 2206 68.66% 38.8 -0.393 59.07% 0.225 -0.9388
C 2256 70.19% 39.4 0.141 60.77% 0.408 -0.9875
D 1984 67.16% 40.14 0.48 62.4% 0.428 -0.7295
E 487 65.43% 42.31 1.295 69.82% 0.694 -0.5637
F 905 64.18% 40.61 0.358 64.31% 0.339 -0.8855
G 781 62.39% 41.76 0.649 67.09% 0.374 -0.837
H 851 64.37% 41.43 0.515 65.69% 0.391 -0.8287
East 316 71.2% 40.96 -0.402 42.09% -0.636 -1.5698
Northeast 323 67.18% 41.76 0.151 45.2% -0.48 -1.3483
Northwest 237 73.84% 41.22 -0.267 44.73% -0.219 -1.1625
Southeast 76 50.0% 49.95 3.935 72.37% 0.518 -0.462
Southwest 64 60.94% 37.55 -2.633 50.0% -0.571 -1.1948
West 300 67.33% 44.33 1.581 50.67% 0.011 -0.6536

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 39 0.0% 39.26 -1.785 61.54% -1.989 0.0509
Not Using Events or Tokens 1073 78.35% 36.97 -0.648 53.22% 0.085 0.3048
Skip Initial Invader Actions 187 13.51% 60.34 6.698 95.19% 1.068 0.3628
Start of Game Growth 271 21.05% 56.06 4.969 91.14% 0.678 0.2212
Unlimited Undo 689 65.74% 41.68 0.964 64.73% 0.238 -0.1651
Using Tokens but Not Events 552 67.71% 36.02 -1.799 51.81% -0.497 -0.5436

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1832 22.34 9.06%
II 3473 30.72 55.43%
III 2688 34.24 80.39%
IV 963 37.49 99.27%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.496 Win Model: -0.149
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6194 69.22% 38.29 55.59%
2 1941 72.62% 39.81 60.69%
3 541 62.94% 43.86 71.35%
4 280 50.36% 46.56 71.79%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 128
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1634
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1369
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 734
Lose: Invader deck ran out 80
Win: Sacrifice victory 34
Lose: Scenario condition 179
Win: Scenario condition 139
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3364
Lose: Spirit destroyed 125

The Kingdom of Sweden — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4822 46.92% 49.05 1.581 72.58% -0.033 0.1135
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2518 82.85% 38.12 -1.775 51.03% -0.21 0.0273
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2270 54.0% 47.43 1.431 74.49% 0.177 0.09
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2245 57.36% 48.02 1.961 72.43% 0.205 -0.1645
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2084 66.43% 43.77 -0.076 64.01% -0.076 -0.3107
Fractured Days Split the Sky 921 52.33% 51.29 3.371 72.42% -0.044 0.2879
Heart of the Wildfire 4495 69.16% 42.13 -1.372 58.02% -0.229 0.1192
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7532 58.94% 46.9 1.178 70.05% 0.167 -0.1317
Lightning's Swift Strike 5085 64.27% 44.69 0.525 64.29% -0.046 0.2227
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1131 60.48% 47.11 1.838 71.88% 0.246 -0.1118
Many Minds Move as One 684 48.25% 52.21 4.022 87.28% 1.046 0.53
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4752 70.61% 41.43 -1.805 54.04% -0.442 -0.6385
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2345 53.32% 48.23 1.945 76.59% 0.335 0.3821
River Surges in Sunlight 5086 64.61% 47.23 1.431 62.25% -0.108 0.058
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3795 61.33% 45.74 0.605 67.88% 0.058 0.2074
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2064 75.5% 38.02 -3.074 46.32% -0.688 -0.2385
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3459 49.15% 48.67 1.578 71.78% -0.027 -0.0913
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2483 71.16% 37.48 -2.882 58.07% -0.325 -0.3449
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1804 58.59% 46.87 1.036 69.68% -0.019 0.1962
Thunderspeaker 2821 67.36% 44.78 0.343 60.9% -0.082 -0.0225
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1855 84.1% 39.77 -1.431 60.49% 0.127 0.1595
Vital Strength of the Earth 2090 71.22% 37.87 -2.971 48.47% -0.745 0.1196
Volcano Looming High 706 56.23% 47.5 2.113 75.5% 0.336 0.2441

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 501 67.15% 38.88 -2.911 51.1% -0.73 -0.1546
Dahan Insurrection 4 756 45.7% 69.09 10.669 73.94% 0.128 0.5292
Elemental Invocation 1 28 67.86% 41.0 -1.171 53.57% -0.657 -0.1889
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 4938 20.69% 53.57 3.671 76.93% -0.821 -0.4469
Powers Long Forgotten 1 125 80.49% 38.92 -2.201 40.8% -0.633 -0.1879
Rituals of Terror 3 129 83.72% 40.17 -0.957 30.23% -1.188 -0.5645
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 71 92.96% 40.27 -0.837 32.39% -0.848 -0.2235
Second Wave 0 561 78.57% 40.6 -1.816 49.2% -0.604 -0.1863
The Great River 3 16 62.5% 33.0 -8.076 12.5% -3.095 -1.6194
Ward the Shores 2 129 82.81% 40.22 -1.348 38.76% -0.832 0.1994

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 33408 68.59% 41.66 -0.717 60.13% -0.366 -0.0135
1 Thematic 1182 68.48% 43.97 -0.515 47.55% -0.667 -0.1721
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5305 65.93% 45.21 0.536 67.54% -0.014 0.174
2 Coastline 703 64.9% 46.36 1.284 69.56% 0.15 0.2858
2 Fragment 156 67.95% 47.35 1.827 73.08% 0.249 0.6735
2 Heart 68 80.88% 41.38 -0.96 58.82% -0.056 0.232
2 Opposite Shores 1071 61.2% 43.86 -0.194 63.21% -0.261 -0.0366
2 Thematic 308 69.28% 44.65 -1.331 47.4% -0.401 -0.358
2 Top to Top 161 67.3% 44.82 0.919 65.84% 0.048 0.1634
3 Coastline 58 22.41% 57.17 4.585 86.21% -0.091 -0.1313
3 Other 73 58.9% 48.93 1.347 76.71% -0.062 0.3375
3 Round (Default) 2107 55.29% 46.5 0.43 69.91% -0.078 -0.0486
3 Sunrise 14 64.29% 45.79 0.081 64.29% -0.082 -0.3358
3 Thematic 67 81.25% 42.94 -3.344 41.79% -0.102 -0.446
4 Coastline 9 0.0% 64.11 5.559 100.0% 0.283 0.4604
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 25.4 -9.635 20.0% -0.997 -0.9181
4 Other 189 30.16% 53.71 1.964 84.13% 0.083 0.1679
4 Thematic 772 25.75% 66.15 3.299 81.87% 0.741 -0.3427
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1519 56.34% 47.57 0.317 70.64% 0.019 -0.0147
5 Other 20 60.0% 53.7 2.734 95.0% 1.064 0.8411
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 75.5 10.806 100.0% 0.578 -2.2068

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2908 35.46 -5.352 44.74% -3.137 -1.069
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2181 39.22 -3.669 52.09% -2.885 -0.9679
All Things Weaken 984 34.99 -5.387 45.22% -3.168 -1.0098
Back Against the Wall 2092 38.16 -4.194 49.71% -2.984 -0.8923
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2770 33.31 -6.456 44.77% -3.146 -0.9247
Downward Spiral 4326 34.3 -5.65 45.61% -2.931 -0.9159
Erosion of Will 2779 34.41 -5.97 42.5% -3.263 -1.0514
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 177 54.28 3.669 94.92% -0.062 0.6493
Memory Fades to Dust 4536 33.13 -6.253 40.56% -3.123 -0.9078
Power Corrodes the Spirit 946 35.98 -4.854 50.53% -2.957 -0.9415
Promising Farmlands 2793 33.39 -6.408 42.68% -3.24 -1.0273
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 173 54.15 3.643 94.8% -0.011 0.404
Thriving Communities 914 34.03 -5.858 46.28% -3.149 -1.0418
Tipping Point 1592 32.82 -6.682 40.01% -3.32 -1.1043
Unnatural Proliferation 1027 36.46 -4.645 47.81% -3.046 -0.967
Untended Land Crumbles 890 35.52 -5.169 49.78% -3.003 -0.9087

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10680 64.5% 43.89 0.223 63.64% 0.521 -0.5512
B 10911 64.05% 43.23 -0.249 62.61% 0.375 -0.7889
C 11854 67.01% 42.81 -0.231 61.79% 0.454 -0.9419
D 10167 67.17% 42.47 -0.341 61.26% 0.448 -0.7099
E 3174 63.86% 45.16 0.57 68.97% 0.566 -0.6911
F 5392 59.96% 46.49 1.168 70.79% 0.642 -0.5825
G 4700 62.77% 45.04 0.394 67.47% 0.49 -0.7214
H 5323 62.24% 45.02 0.726 68.55% 0.621 -0.5983
East 1265 42.88% 58.36 2.145 69.01% 0.375 -0.5584
Northeast 1206 44.49% 57.05 1.674 66.33% 0.299 -0.5688
Northwest 1038 42.16% 57.21 0.619 66.18% -0.094 -1.037
Southeast 143 43.36% 57.11 1.59 75.52% 0.495 -0.4854
Southwest 127 43.31% 56.18 0.119 74.8% 0.292 -0.3322
West 1197 40.22% 58.99 2.308 70.09% 0.389 -0.2757

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 212 0.0% 49.25 -0.489 71.23% -2.08 -0.0398
Not Using Events or Tokens 3177 77.77% 37.15 -2.292 46.87% -0.342 -0.1226
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1413 20.62% 61.22 4.973 89.88% 0.643 -0.062
Start of Game Growth 1977 21.85% 59.95 4.313 88.92% 0.385 -0.0717
Unlimited Undo 5934 51.55% 50.1 2.787 77.3% 0.544 0.1406
Using Tokens but Not Events 2445 56.85% 43.62 -0.574 62.66% -0.282 -0.3285

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9562 22.34 12.27%
II 16654 30.72 58.9%
III 16301 34.24 83.8%
IV 4680 37.49 99.81%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.48 Win Model: -0.376
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 34644 68.58% 41.75 59.73%
2 7752 65.52% 45.12 66.32%
3 2305 55.29% 46.66 69.54%
4 2496 44.74% 53.85 75.24%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 644
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10536
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6995
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3722
Lose: Invader deck ran out 371
Win: Sacrifice victory 197
Lose: Scenario condition 954
Win: Scenario condition 608
Lose: Blight pool ran out 15816
Lose: Spirit destroyed 741

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2024-11-25 01:47:50 (Pacific Time)