The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 202 21.78% 26.29 -0.159 85.15% 0.185 0.0256
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 134 33.58% 27.83 -1.119 85.07% -0.037 0.085
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 164 22.56% 26.57 -0.952 85.37% 0.25 0.0822
Downpour Drenches the World 400 21.5% 24.68 -1.748 86.75% -0.277 -0.0985
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 130 17.69% 26.12 1.811 82.31% 0.758 0.0369
Eyes Watch From the Trees 208 14.49% 30.17 1.187 87.98% 0.313 -0.276
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 178 21.02% 30.33 2.391 91.01% 0.771 0.3001
Finder of Paths Unseen 178 43.82% 21.92 -1.441 73.6% -0.313 0.3813
Fractured Days Split the Sky 86 18.6% 27.7 -1.065 77.91% -0.388 0.2966
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 164 34.15% 26.07 -1.952 78.66% -0.402 -0.5033
Heart of the Wildfire 139 53.24% 23.78 -2.382 76.26% -0.393 -0.1493
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 269 23.05% 29.28 -0.46 88.85% 0.171 -0.2787
Lightning's Swift Strike 92 27.47% 28.49 1.964 91.3% 1.031 1.235
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 114 26.32% 29.68 3.961 95.61% 1.066 0.3689
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 47 23.4% 30.15 0.88 89.36% 0.429 0.1896
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 44 31.82% 32.68 2.415 84.09% -0.041 -0.2012
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 225 25.78% 30.04 0.495 85.78% 0.227 0.0819
Many Minds Move as One 117 20.51% 28.05 -0.243 74.36% -0.21 -0.4305
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 309 39.81% 27.45 0.348 82.52% 0.268 0.2589
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 177 33.33% 27.12 0.208 80.23% 0.35 0.2078
River Surges in Sunlight 111 31.82% 23.87 -2.686 69.37% -0.846 -0.8438
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 75 37.33% 28.2 -1.089 77.33% -0.361 -0.0912
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 143 32.17% 32.75 2.281 89.51% 0.47 0.3406
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 147 26.9% 25.96 -0.982 83.67% 0.051 -0.163
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 37 54.05% 23.84 -1.56 72.97% -0.212 0.2243
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 46 30.43% 27.7 -0.8 82.61% -0.279 -0.2794
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 37 32.43% 26.35 -3.918 75.68% -0.855 -0.8631
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 31 35.48% 27.9 -0.419 83.87% 0.021 -0.0514
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 13 53.85% 28.54 1.706 69.23% 0.492 0.5508
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 162 24.38% 29.73 0.229 86.42% 0.374 0.2459
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 17 29.41% 27.35 0.297 64.71% -0.279 -0.6419
Shifting Memory of Ages 120 35.0% 23.84 -2.291 78.33% -0.325 0.0823
Shroud of Silent Mist 122 40.16% 23.0 -2.329 72.13% -0.399 -0.084
Starlight Seeks its Form 435 11.49% 32.72 2.151 92.41% 0.756 0.4832
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 152 19.74% 28.89 1.862 87.5% 1.159 0.6637
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 133 31.06% 24.41 -3.407 72.93% -1.094 -1.0642
Thunderspeaker 252 20.4% 29.58 1.524 88.1% 0.042 0.0225
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 21 23.81% 24.52 1.219 71.43% 0.019 -0.0444
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 99 51.52% 25.89 -0.701 78.79% 0.334 0.3949
Vital Strength of the Earth 54 33.33% 21.41 -3.01 64.81% -0.813 -0.2606
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 112 31.53% 24.34 -1.953 77.68% -0.43 -0.1745
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 25 32.0% 21.64 -4.25 64.0% -1.262 -0.3657
Volcano Looming High 183 27.87% 25.93 0.445 81.42% 0.022 0.0325

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 17 17.65% 25.53 2.531 88.24% -0.071 -0.1499
Blitz 0 26 23.08% 31.85 -5.098 65.38% -1.076 -0.9298
Dahan Insurrection 4 61 19.67% 47.1 5.3 80.33% -0.815 -1.0224
Despicable Theft 2 17 35.29% 21.47 -5.956 41.18% -1.328 -0.6454
Elemental Invocation 1 40 22.5% 29.0 -3.313 77.5% -1.126 -0.3949
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 96 10.42% 32.63 3.48 82.29% 0.245 -0.3619
Powers Long Forgotten 1 22 45.45% 17.18 -8.807 31.82% -2.152 -1.6638
Rituals of Terror 3 20 35.0% 24.7 -10.085 45.0% -2.092 -1.9864
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 21 66.67% 27.86 -4.165 57.14% -1.491 -0.4994
Second Wave 0 94 40.43% 34.01 1.884 73.4% -0.087 -0.024
The Great River 3 24 50.0% 27.21 -4.56 54.17% -1.866 -0.5176
Varied Terrains 2 49 61.22% 29.88 0.778 63.27% -0.939 -0.3759
Ward the Shores 2 37 37.84% 27.35 -8.083 64.86% -2.204 -0.9944

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 2378 28.57% 28.08 1.195 85.37% 0.782 0.9918
1 Thematic 134 41.79% 29.15 -1.502 67.91% -0.542 0.0569
2 Archipelago 4 25.0% 22.5 -9.17 25.0% -0.611 -0.2543
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 532 28.63% 25.05 -0.896 80.26% 0.23 0.3899
2 Coastline 60 26.67% 26.58 0.208 85.0% 0.494 0.5551
2 Fragment 13 30.77% 30.23 3.924 100.0% 0.511 0.4479
2 Heart 12 25.0% 27.0 -1.451 91.67% 0.158 -0.0801
2 Opposite Shores 82 35.37% 26.76 -1.424 84.15% 0.162 0.2961
2 Thematic 60 30.0% 31.0 -2.124 68.33% -0.444 0.1927
2 Top to Top 18 22.22% 23.28 -1.99 72.22% -0.35 -0.3095
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 9.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 4 25.0% 33.75 0.0 75.0%
3 Other 8 37.5% 28.75 7.962 87.5% 0.639 0.7491
3 Round (Default) 319 27.13% 27.93 0.489 86.21% 0.404 0.3628
3 Thematic 12 16.67% 16.25 -10.093 33.33% -1.275 -1.2389
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 51.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -8.004 0.0% -0.376 -0.254
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 8 87.5% 26.63 3.28 100.0% 0.878 0.0285
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 4.122 100.0% 0.545 0.1611
4 Thematic 25 8.0% 35.36 -1.634 92.0% -0.102 -0.1197
4 Trapezoid (Default) 89 15.73% 24.38 -2.64 80.9% -0.54 -0.7267
5 Other 13 46.15% 31.38 3.106 92.31% 0.428 -0.08
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 -5.215 0.0% -0.161 -0.4907
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 35.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 2 0.0% 16.5 -8.932 50.0% -0.453 -0.8478
6 Star 3 33.33% 19.0 -10.06 66.67% -0.605 -0.1297
6 Thematic 16 25.0% 43.63 23.387 87.5% 0.617 1.0158
6 Two Centers (Default) 23 17.39% 24.48 -5.443 78.26% -0.838 -0.7945

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 70 22.13 -3.6 64.29% -1.089 -0.8182
Aid From Lesser Spirits 81 25.1 1.713 69.14% 0.289 0.3272
All Things Weaken 79 24.22 0.547 70.89% 0.044 0.5048
Attenuated Essence 8 20.5 -0.596 62.5% -0.066 0.1392
Back Against the Wall 67 23.76 -0.798 64.18% -0.248 -0.0864
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 11 21.64 1.468 54.55% 0.287 0.7018
Burn Brightest Before the End 6 24.33 1.231 66.67% 0.191 0.4962
Disintegrating Ecosystem 60 19.55 -3.009 63.33% -0.883 -0.3568
Downward Spiral 87 22.9 -5.271 73.56% -1.385 -1.0325
Erosion of Will 65 22.45 -1.992 63.08% -0.659 -0.2505
Intensifying Exploitation 7 22.86 -0.327 71.43% -0.066 0.3213
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 38 29.21 3.035 92.11% 0.678 0.1527
Memory Fades to Dust 99 21.7 -2.428 67.68% -0.523 -0.0421
Power Corrodes the Spirit 81 22.33 -1.639 69.14% -0.34 -0.0353
Promising Farmlands 60 20.18 -3.617 66.67% -0.784 -0.1981
Shattered Fragments of Power 4 23.25 2.978 75.0% 0.672 0.8509
Slow Dissolution of Will 12 22.42 -0.549 58.33% -0.126 0.4078
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 25 26.04 1.932 92.0% 0.743 0.0649
The Border of Life and Death 2 12.5 -3.961 50.0% -0.098 -0.2273
Thriving Communities 87 22.71 -0.912 66.67% -0.121 0.3722
Thriving Crops 2 24.0 3.926 50.0% 0.382 0.4704
Unnatural Proliferation 76 25.86 -1.025 67.11% -0.375 -0.0782
Untended Land Crumbles 65 19.91 -7.486 58.46% -1.512 -1.1545

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 758 30.25% 27.18 0.046 84.3% -0.186 0.6541
B 776 26.13% 27.15 -0.369 83.89% -0.303 0.4753
C 760 29.29% 27.98 0.593 86.32% -0.101 0.5529
D 692 25.4% 27.16 -0.223 84.1% -0.235 0.5645
E 678 27.66% 26.52 -1.63 82.3% -0.675 -0.0463
F 663 28.7% 26.71 0.059 83.56% -0.086 0.6331
G 568 26.28% 26.76 -0.023 83.63% -0.314 0.428
H 583 27.62% 26.69 -0.129 82.68% -0.207 0.4412
East 173 29.48% 33.07 1.744 73.99% -0.073 0.5306
Northeast 91 25.27% 32.2 -2.036 72.53% -0.483 0.3978
Northwest 70 25.71% 32.2 -2.984 74.29% -1.019 -0.346
Southeast 64 25.0% 34.17 2.272 76.56% 0.267 0.9029
Southwest 60 35.0% 27.72 -3.698 66.67% -0.951 0.214
West 155 32.26% 29.25 -0.204 68.39% -0.506 0.4585

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 8 0.0% 26.88 -1.254 87.5% -0.119 0.7639
Not Using Events or Tokens 143 17.48% 29.52 4.238 91.61% 1.011 1.3428
Skip Initial Invader Actions 102 16.16% 36.03 2.15 83.33% 0.22 -0.3148
Start of Game Growth 153 18.0% 33.71 1.404 83.01% -0.019 -0.3494
Unlimited Undo 291 24.22% 27.89 -1.838 81.79% -0.462 -0.484
Using Tokens but Not Events 330 22.67% 27.05 0.568 82.12% 0.46 0.4057

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 405 21.03 18.52%
II 1113 31.04 81.4%
III 1580 34.74 94.37%
IV 728 38.02 99.18%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.164 Win Model: 0.341
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2554 29.38% 28.11 83.83%
2 756 29.14% 25.87 81.22%
3 331 26.14% 27.66 85.8%
4 126 17.46% 26.75 84.13%
5 13 46.15% 31.38 92.31%
6 46 19.57% 30.89 80.43%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 75
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1456
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 856
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 718
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 214
Lose: Invader deck ran out 21
Lose: Adversary condition 107
Win: Sacrifice victory 17
Lose: Scenario condition 24
Win: Scenario condition 72
Lose: Blight pool ran out 241
Lose: Spirit destroyed 25

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 177 24.71% 32.42 0.36 74.58% 0.121 -0.0385
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 97 48.96% 29.96 -0.537 71.13% -0.116 0.0053
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 115 35.65% 31.93 0.808 75.65% 0.292 0.124
Downpour Drenches the World 375 25.81% 28.4 -1.693 66.67% -0.633 -0.4537
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 161 16.03% 31.63 3.101 73.29% 0.8 0.079
Eyes Watch From the Trees 197 24.87% 33.82 1.744 79.19% 0.384 -0.2045
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 140 30.0% 33.49 3.999 76.43% 0.962 0.4905
Finder of Paths Unseen 174 43.27% 25.96 -5.777 64.37% -1.182 -0.4876
Fractured Days Split the Sky 69 28.99% 34.03 2.612 68.12% 0.29 0.9748
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 215 43.72% 33.29 1.13 73.02% 0.192 0.0905
Heart of the Wildfire 108 64.81% 27.31 -3.256 64.81% -0.393 -0.1491
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 231 29.57% 34.09 2.067 78.79% 0.519 0.0694
Lightning's Swift Strike 63 49.21% 30.87 -0.87 73.02% -0.199 0.0044
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 99 37.11% 35.23 1.003 83.84% 0.112 -0.5853
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 37 38.89% 31.38 -4.037 67.57% -0.734 -0.9733
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 56 21.43% 34.75 1.144 83.93% 0.428 0.2678
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 169 38.46% 32.73 -0.191 73.37% -0.112 -0.2574
Many Minds Move as One 124 35.77% 29.02 -3.336 59.68% -0.741 -0.9622
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 352 38.0% 32.07 1.364 73.3% 0.255 0.246
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 135 33.33% 30.81 -0.351 71.85% -0.14 -0.282
River Surges in Sunlight 100 33.33% 32.23 1.073 74.0% 0.308 0.3102
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 51 33.33% 35.78 2.57 76.47% 0.475 0.7446
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 156 30.52% 36.02 2.094 81.41% 0.509 0.3802
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 105 31.43% 28.86 -3.341 64.76% -0.47 -0.684
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 23 52.17% 23.22 -3.93 60.87% -0.568 -0.132
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 44 38.64% 31.32 -1.983 70.45% -0.185 -0.1858
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 49 38.78% 28.65 -3.924 63.27% -0.673 -0.6815
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 21 33.33% 26.81 -2.045 57.14% -0.042 -0.1142
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 20 40.0% 30.0 -0.052 70.0% 0.146 0.2043
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 152 32.45% 32.64 -2.112 77.63% -0.177 -0.3058
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 37 45.95% 32.14 3.099 64.86% 0.607 0.2442
Shifting Memory of Ages 133 40.77% 26.44 -3.003 57.89% -0.702 -0.2952
Shroud of Silent Mist 93 44.09% 26.51 -2.171 60.22% -0.317 -0.0024
Starlight Seeks its Form 144 34.03% 31.76 1.098 73.61% 0.324 0.0515
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 161 26.25% 31.78 1.589 74.53% 0.678 0.1835
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 85 38.1% 29.18 -0.83 67.06% -0.151 -0.1203
Thunderspeaker 114 36.28% 32.32 1.538 76.32% 0.743 0.724
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 28 39.29% 22.93 -1.732 53.57% -0.281 -0.3444
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 90 56.67% 27.52 -0.843 66.67% 0.009 0.0708
Vital Strength of the Earth 50 26.0% 26.26 -1.782 64.0% 0.02 0.5725
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 98 34.02% 28.17 0.115 65.31% -0.129 0.1269
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 18 27.78% 26.33 -0.162 61.11% 0.226 1.1222
Volcano Looming High 134 36.57% 29.93 -0.529 73.88% -0.004 0.0056

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 12 25.0% 23.67 -11.098 58.33% -0.793 -0.8717
Blitz 0 29 37.93% 26.66 -4.377 55.17% -0.816 -0.6698
Dahan Insurrection 4 39 30.77% 50.69 10.67 69.23% -0.096 -0.3026
Despicable Theft 2 26 50.0% 31.88 -5.856 42.31% -1.279 -0.5965
Elemental Invocation 1 30 33.33% 27.23 -4.018 60.0% -0.86 -0.1285
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 85 11.76% 32.92 -0.101 64.71% -0.631 -1.2377
Powers Long Forgotten 1 14 42.86% 32.0 -0.55 50.0% -0.52 -0.0313
Rituals of Terror 3 5 40.0% 30.2 -5.367 40.0% -0.857 -0.7522
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 4 75.0% 41.0 -0.645 75.0% -0.192 0.7995
Second Wave 0 218 35.48% 35.35 1.681 74.31% -0.012 0.0507
The Great River 3 3 66.67% 36.33 8.324 66.67% 0.252 1.5998
Varied Terrains 2 28 46.43% 33.54 1.307 64.29% -0.156 0.4062
Ward the Shores 2 36 61.11% 22.53 -5.958 27.78% -1.587 -0.3772

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1971 36.1% 31.4 0.784 73.41% 0.677 0.8869
1 Thematic 141 38.3% 30.29 -2.008 57.45% 0.001 0.5999
2 Archipelago 1 100.0% 65.0 16.884 100.0% 0.212 0.5692
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 479 35.91% 29.91 0.144 70.35% 0.474 0.6343
2 Coastline 77 31.58% 29.38 -1.84 74.03% -0.121 -0.0602
2 Fragment 16 12.5% 22.69 -6.136 50.0% -1.307 -1.3703
2 Heart 13 61.54% 29.62 2.615 53.85% -0.209 -0.4472
2 Opposite Shores 98 32.65% 29.72 -1.258 70.41% 0.051 0.1849
2 Thematic 57 36.84% 27.77 -4.308 50.88% -0.725 -0.0892
2 Top to Top 19 42.11% 26.89 0.572 47.37% 0.014 0.0545
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 45.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 5 80.0% 33.4 2.153 100.0% 0.297 -0.2011
3 Other 5 40.0% 20.0 -3.191 40.0% 0.265 0.3751
3 Round (Default) 259 34.63% 33.17 1.851 78.38% 0.841 0.7995
3 Thematic 7 85.71% 26.86 8.838 42.86% 0.51 0.5463
4 Leaf 3 33.33% 44.0 10.192 100.0% 0.391 0.0161
4 Thematic 10 20.0% 31.8 0.783 40.0% -0.236 -0.2537
4 Trapezoid (Default) 60 30.0% 27.85 -3.505 70.0% -0.594 -0.7803
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 34.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 17 29.41% 34.65 4.527 76.47% 0.654 0.146
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 17.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 4 0.0% 32.25 -2.269 50.0% -1.066 -1.46
6 Thematic 17 7.14% 37.53 1.268 76.47% -0.164 0.2351
6 Two Centers (Default) 8 37.5% 21.0 -11.637 50.0% -0.625 -0.5812
7 Other 1 0.0% 62.0 6.484 100.0% 0.016 -0.7569

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 80 30.5 1.963 68.75% 0.072 0.3432
Aid From Lesser Spirits 53 28.85 1.396 56.6% 0.138 0.1768
All Things Weaken 72 27.38 -5.448 62.5% -1.016 -0.5556
Attenuated Essence 15 24.4 -0.4 53.33% -0.158 0.0473
Back Against the Wall 78 26.14 1.874 57.69% 0.621 0.7833
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 9 26.22 0.069 33.33% -0.569 -0.155
Burn Brightest Before the End 7 27.14 0.602 71.43% 0.341 0.6456
Disintegrating Ecosystem 69 27.58 0.946 63.77% 0.242 0.7688
Downward Spiral 92 26.72 2.04 66.3% 0.799 1.1514
Erosion of Will 69 25.19 0.336 53.62% -0.101 0.3069
Intensifying Exploitation 7 21.86 -2.559 42.86% -0.456 -0.0686
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 43 30.6 1.509 79.07% 0.731 0.2058
Memory Fades to Dust 84 26.19 -0.603 58.33% -0.379 0.1024
Power Corrodes the Spirit 80 28.46 -0.304 68.75% -0.04 0.2641
Promising Farmlands 93 25.14 -2.653 54.84% -0.526 0.0597
Shattered Fragments of Power 15 22.67 -0.594 53.33% -0.098 0.0808
Slow Dissolution of Will 9 27.44 -0.006 55.56% -0.189 0.3444
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 29 29.14 -3.737 79.31% -0.741 -1.4187
The Border of Life and Death 1 43.0 6.424 100.0% 0.151 0.0211
Thriving Communities 77 26.51 -0.058 63.64% 0.363 0.8565
Thriving Crops 4 15.75 -5.788 25.0% -0.582 -0.4936
Unnatural Proliferation 90 26.44 -0.95 52.22% -0.515 -0.2176
Untended Land Crumbles 89 25.17 -1.949 53.93% -0.695 -0.3368

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 622 35.75% 30.55 -0.55 70.42% -0.403 0.437
B 663 35.25% 31.07 1.035 72.4% -0.003 0.7755
C 664 34.09% 32.28 0.834 76.51% -0.182 0.4716
D 597 32.83% 30.06 -0.285 70.52% -0.269 0.5307
E 564 33.69% 31.75 0.402 75.53% -0.095 0.534
F 539 35.69% 30.45 -0.341 71.8% -0.206 0.5138
G 491 38.93% 29.59 -1.501 68.02% -0.8 -0.0585
H 485 36.98% 31.98 1.149 74.85% 0.034 0.6823
East 154 35.1% 31.14 -1.948 56.49% -0.348 0.2559
Northeast 78 40.0% 31.0 -1.948 53.85% -0.725 0.156
Northwest 59 33.93% 34.2 2.521 67.8% 0.333 1.0058
Southeast 55 25.0% 33.13 -0.248 65.45% 0.041 0.6768
Southwest 55 28.85% 28.62 -3.477 56.36% -0.595 0.5695
West 141 34.78% 29.38 -1.405 55.32% -0.553 0.4115

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 13 0.0% 29.38 -6.367 69.23% -0.894 -0.0109
Not Using Events or Tokens 30 20.0% 24.07 -6.171 56.67% -0.808 -0.4762
Skip Initial Invader Actions 106 4.95% 41.75 5.672 88.68% 1.184 0.6495
Start of Game Growth 145 12.14% 39.7 3.338 82.07% 0.047 -0.2838
Unlimited Undo 283 32.01% 34.58 0.644 79.15% 0.101 0.0791
Using Tokens but Not Events 299 24.83% 32.83 0.161 76.25% 0.188 0.1339

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 477 21.03 5.24%
II 742 31.04 52.83%
III 1266 34.74 90.21%
IV 788 38.02 99.49%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.178 Win Model: 0.448
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2136 36.5% 31.25 71.96%
2 747 34.85% 29.73 68.94%
3 270 36.19% 32.62 77.04%
4 71 28.17% 29.65 69.01%
5 18 33.33% 34.61 77.78%
6 31 17.86% 32.71 64.52%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 25
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1117
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 377
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 776
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 218
Lose: Invader deck ran out 11
Lose: Adversary condition 390
Win: Sacrifice victory 11
Lose: Scenario condition 22
Win: Scenario condition 37
Lose: Blight pool ran out 283
Lose: Spirit destroyed 6

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 245 34.16% 34.27 0.526 74.69% 0.437 0.2778
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 120 47.5% 31.64 -2.753 65.83% -0.733 -0.6115
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 151 39.07% 34.95 -1.016 78.15% -0.132 -0.2997
Downpour Drenches the World 399 32.58% 32.42 -1.219 67.92% -0.15 0.0293
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 211 25.59% 33.51 2.574 74.41% 0.784 0.0622
Eyes Watch From the Trees 256 40.63% 34.75 1.457 67.97% 0.29 -0.2986
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 136 39.71% 36.43 -1.614 80.88% 0.003 -0.468
Finder of Paths Unseen 224 48.66% 32.44 -0.967 74.11% 0.024 0.7184
Fractured Days Split the Sky 78 43.59% 31.46 -6.561 58.97% -1.57 -0.8852
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 151 52.0% 29.78 -1.253 56.29% -0.212 -0.313
Heart of the Wildfire 137 70.8% 30.65 -1.889 67.88% -0.401 -0.1566
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 320 31.35% 37.71 1.317 79.06% 0.338 -0.1116
Lightning's Swift Strike 69 52.17% 34.19 0.499 71.01% 0.055 0.2589
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 164 45.86% 38.6 3.63 83.54% 0.695 -0.0019
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 52 46.15% 37.25 -1.473 78.85% -0.253 -0.4923
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 48 27.08% 36.6 0.939 75.0% -0.114 -0.2735
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 207 44.44% 33.33 -0.932 70.53% -0.166 -0.3109
Many Minds Move as One 143 25.87% 34.88 0.109 72.73% -0.005 -0.2255
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 405 36.97% 34.61 0.372 74.57% 0.31 0.3012
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 178 43.82% 31.08 -0.538 59.55% 0.07 -0.0722
River Surges in Sunlight 102 38.24% 38.85 3.887 81.37% 0.575 0.5774
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 63 34.92% 35.37 -4.668 71.43% -0.712 -0.4424
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 178 38.07% 40.73 4.084 84.83% 1.09 0.9604
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 134 36.57% 32.69 0.716 67.91% 0.012 -0.2011
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 19 52.63% 19.84 -7.603 36.84% -0.787 -0.3516
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 40 57.5% 38.15 3.996 82.5% 0.581 0.5806
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 47 61.7% 33.19 4.413 65.96% 0.704 0.696
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 19 36.84% 34.16 1.34 73.68% 0.248 0.1763
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 11 81.82% 28.64 -10.24 63.64% -0.101 -0.0424
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 118 39.47% 34.81 0.457 74.58% 0.129 0.0004
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 67 37.31% 32.46 1.837 74.63% 0.633 0.2706
Shifting Memory of Ages 142 50.0% 31.09 -0.671 63.38% 0.08 0.4874
Shroud of Silent Mist 106 65.09% 29.65 -1.467 59.43% -0.257 0.0581
Starlight Seeks its Form 216 32.87% 34.62 -0.365 74.07% 0.073 -0.1994
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 196 28.35% 34.67 2.187 80.61% 0.542 0.0472
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 147 58.5% 30.14 -0.9 53.74% -0.199 -0.1685
Thunderspeaker 116 47.83% 34.74 1.482 75.0% 0.688 0.6687
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 37 40.54% 31.24 0.703 67.57% 0.045 -0.0181
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 122 72.95% 28.74 -0.79 65.57% 0.22 0.2809
Vital Strength of the Earth 47 32.61% 19.6 -9.529 31.91% -1.524 -0.971
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 125 40.5% 30.88 -3.591 64.8% -0.731 -0.4754
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 26 34.62% 28.62 -3.747 57.69% -0.737 0.1594
Volcano Looming High 229 48.47% 31.05 -0.431 67.25% 0.121 0.1308

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 15 6.67% 32.6 -2.27 73.33% -0.474 -0.5521
Blitz 0 43 23.26% 40.42 7.856 67.44% 0.485 0.6312
Dahan Insurrection 4 38 42.11% 41.39 5.252 44.74% -0.516 -0.723
Despicable Theft 2 28 60.71% 26.93 -1.433 14.29% -0.059 0.6233
Elemental Invocation 1 28 64.29% 27.5 -1.632 53.57% -0.303 0.4289
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 130 14.62% 37.49 3.611 63.85% 0.119 -0.4876
Powers Long Forgotten 1 11 27.27% 13.55 -10.203 18.18% -1.19 -0.7013
Rituals of Terror 3 7 71.43% 41.0 -7.411 71.43% -0.652 -0.5466
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 5 60.0% 22.4 -7.433 20.0% -0.276 0.7164
Second Wave 0 167 35.37% 36.86 1.136 70.06% -0.1 -0.0377
The Great River 3 4 25.0% 26.25 -10.624 25.0% -0.288 1.0598
Varied Terrains 2 46 67.39% 28.74 -3.58 39.13% -0.987 -0.4239
Ward the Shores 2 19 47.37% 36.26 3.783 52.63% 0.041 1.2505

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 2342 42.13% 33.01 -0.157 69.3% 0.049 0.2587
1 Thematic 124 38.71% 28.97 -2.954 45.16% -0.748 -0.1493
2 Archipelago 3 100.0% 25.0 -6.374 33.33% -0.285 0.0716
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 610 44.99% 33.91 0.517 72.3% 0.338 0.4978
2 Coastline 99 37.37% 36.78 2.3 84.85% 0.669 0.7295
2 Fragment 19 31.58% 31.74 -4.424 63.16% -0.475 -0.5385
2 Heart 16 56.25% 20.44 -3.201 31.25% -0.114 -0.3519
2 Opposite Shores 140 48.57% 33.62 -0.433 75.0% 0.033 0.1667
2 Thematic 54 33.33% 32.3 -0.983 53.7% -0.418 0.2184
2 Top to Top 27 33.33% 35.3 2.167 81.48% 0.646 0.6861
3 Archipelago 4 25.0% 38.5 -0.89 50.0% -0.415 -1.5015
3 Coastline 5 20.0% 30.6 -10.624 60.0% -0.288 -0.7864
3 Other 3 0.0% 21.67 -1.148 33.33% 0.122 0.2314
3 Round (Default) 282 36.86% 34.56 0.647 75.89% 0.372 0.3304
3 Thematic 13 30.77% 34.77 3.323 69.23% 0.421 0.4574
4 Archipelago 5 60.0% 26.6 -10.644 60.0% -0.522 -0.737
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 35.0 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 40.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 1 100.0% 0.0 -4.24 0.0% -0.186 -1.0357
4 Thematic 17 35.29% 29.29 2.316 35.29% 0.318 0.3012
4 Trapezoid (Default) 84 34.52% 36.1 3.121 83.33% 0.882 0.6951
5 Coastline 3 100.0% 27.67 0.0 66.67%
5 Other 16 43.75% 32.94 -3.533 75.0% -0.386 -0.8948
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 56.0 3.892 100.0% 0.049 -0.2556
6 Other 5 60.0% 30.4 0.0 40.0%
6 Star 1 100.0% 37.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 12 50.0% 37.0 0.025 66.67% -0.191 0.208
6 Two Centers (Default) 6 50.0% 38.83 3.721 83.33% 0.101 0.1441
7 Other 2 0.0% 52.0 7.83 100.0% 0.05 -0.7225

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 108 28.92 -0.576 57.41% -0.151 0.1201
Aid From Lesser Spirits 90 32.78 0.947 76.67% 0.482 0.5203
All Things Weaken 132 28.63 -0.789 57.58% -0.309 0.1516
Attenuated Essence 21 29.43 1.155 61.9% 0.463 0.6691
Back Against the Wall 85 30.82 -0.659 55.29% -0.586 -0.4237
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 12 20.42 -3.434 25.0% -0.937 -0.523
Burn Brightest Before the End 11 33.55 2.64 54.55% 0.112 0.4168
Disintegrating Ecosystem 102 31.93 2.265 72.55% 0.649 1.1757
Downward Spiral 122 26.95 -3.071 54.92% -0.602 -0.2492
Erosion of Will 91 29.21 -0.148 56.04% -0.244 0.1638
Intensifying Exploitation 23 28.39 -0.063 60.87% 0.212 0.5991
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 50 40.98 5.405 94.0% 0.97 0.4449
Memory Fades to Dust 108 30.56 1.747 63.89% 0.494 0.9755
Power Corrodes the Spirit 118 30.42 0.968 62.71% -0.053 0.2514
Promising Farmlands 121 29.35 -1.433 65.29% -0.114 0.4715
Shattered Fragments of Power 10 25.4 -1.464 40.0% -0.791 -0.612
Slow Dissolution of Will 10 36.5 4.012 70.0% 0.236 0.7701
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 38 32.08 1.026 71.05% 0.394 -0.2835
The Border of Life and Death 4 28.25 -1.006 50.0% -0.338 -0.4677
Thriving Communities 129 29.02 -0.086 59.69% 0.272 0.7652
Thriving Crops 8 33.88 2.355 75.0% 0.309 0.3974
Unnatural Proliferation 128 30.49 1.623 63.28% 0.402 0.6994
Untended Land Crumbles 112 27.13 -1.105 53.57% -0.153 0.2049

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 796 43.54% 34.17 0.514 72.11% 0.158 0.9975
B 771 40.52% 33.74 0.293 72.76% 0.094 0.8727
C 898 40.63% 33.94 0.063 74.16% 0.047 0.7011
D 682 37.93% 32.48 -0.295 68.77% 0.015 0.8146
E 713 44.52% 33.29 -0.003 68.86% 0.101 0.7298
F 661 43.03% 33.87 0.765 73.83% 0.183 0.9023
G 563 44.31% 33.58 0.425 72.65% 0.237 0.9791
H 532 40.87% 34.94 0.889 76.69% 0.219 0.8676
East 138 36.96% 28.83 0.201 44.2% -0.49 0.1143
Northeast 64 35.94% 29.28 -1.552 40.63% -0.379 0.5016
Northwest 59 30.51% 35.29 -0.64 64.41% 0.203 0.8758
Southeast 57 35.09% 29.79 -2.408 52.63% 0.132 0.7681
Southwest 60 43.33% 32.62 3.203 55.0% 0.538 1.7025
West 150 38.0% 33.23 -1.638 56.67% -0.195 0.7697

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 13 0.0% 42.38 6.739 92.31% 0.198 1.0815
Not Using Events or Tokens 44 29.55% 25.66 -3.152 50.0% -0.777 -0.4454
Skip Initial Invader Actions 88 17.72% 44.48 5.935 76.14% 0.382 -0.1531
Start of Game Growth 104 13.68% 44.31 5.802 78.85% 0.668 0.3375
Unlimited Undo 475 39.07% 33.28 -1.111 67.58% -0.328 -0.3498
Using Tokens but Not Events 350 36.2% 32.21 -1.28 68.29% -0.32 -0.3742

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 692 21.03 1.59%
II 856 31.04 58.29%
III 1397 34.74 90.91%
IV 960 38.02 98.85%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.298 Win Model: -0.033
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2489 42.21% 32.88 68.26%
2 954 43.55% 33.7 72.12%
3 310 35.43% 34.1 73.87%
4 112 38.39% 34.37 74.11%
5 14 50.0% 35.43 78.57%
6 26 46.15% 38.54 73.08%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 11
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1246
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 482
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 938
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 288
Lose: Invader deck ran out 14
Lose: Adversary condition 464
Win: Sacrifice victory 25
Lose: Scenario condition 33
Win: Scenario condition 27
Lose: Blight pool ran out 348
Lose: Spirit destroyed 29

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 314 22.19% 44.04 1.101 76.11% 0.388 0.2288
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 179 62.01% 38.92 -1.328 65.36% 0.013 0.1346
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 204 44.33% 43.2 1.714 78.43% 0.64 0.4718
Downpour Drenches the World 552 32.97% 40.43 -0.923 70.11% -0.039 0.1395
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 401 29.43% 42.96 3.794 78.55% 0.923 0.2016
Eyes Watch From the Trees 326 30.15% 47.51 3.062 84.66% 0.668 0.0787
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 246 37.8% 45.72 1.167 81.3% 0.517 0.0461
Finder of Paths Unseen 310 51.3% 37.44 -5.662 65.48% -0.92 -0.2254
Fractured Days Split the Sky 142 40.15% 44.31 -1.432 66.2% -0.306 0.3788
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 233 59.23% 39.3 -2.309 67.81% -0.362 -0.4636
Heart of the Wildfire 207 67.63% 34.7 -5.638 58.94% -0.896 -0.6515
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 601 33.84% 44.89 3.63 77.54% 0.656 0.2066
Lightning's Swift Strike 90 58.62% 40.2 -3.162 70.0% -0.635 -0.4316
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 337 42.15% 46.42 3.596 78.64% 0.589 -0.1077
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 91 48.35% 44.44 1.368 79.12% 0.188 -0.0513
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 100 39.0% 47.41 3.449 82.0% 0.723 0.5627
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 386 50.13% 38.99 -2.632 65.8% -0.498 -0.6427
Many Minds Move as One 180 35.56% 43.22 -1.56 77.78% -0.159 -0.3802
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 637 47.12% 42.93 -0.549 75.98% 0.149 0.1397
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 234 41.03% 43.7 2.425 79.49% 0.639 0.4974
River Surges in Sunlight 134 36.36% 48.65 4.114 85.07% 0.629 0.6317
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 75 34.67% 38.07 -3.239 62.67% 0.003 0.2728
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 320 40.75% 50.63 3.849 85.31% 0.643 0.514
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 291 33.68% 41.13 -0.358 72.51% 0.103 -0.1107
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 21 80.95% 27.19 -7.755 38.1% -0.603 -0.1673
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 51 66.67% 40.39 3.386 66.67% 0.552 0.5512
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 89 62.92% 39.25 -0.223 66.29% -0.247 -0.2555
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 44 65.91% 31.02 -5.216 45.45% -1.007 -1.0795
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 13 76.92% 34.46 -0.657 53.85% 0.247 0.305
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 241 41.84% 45.57 2.411 77.59% 0.355 0.2268
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 80 37.5% 39.01 1.069 70.0% 0.276 -0.0864
Shifting Memory of Ages 208 49.76% 39.75 -0.979 65.38% -0.064 0.3431
Shroud of Silent Mist 186 65.22% 35.52 -5.743 60.75% -0.892 -0.5772
Starlight Seeks its Form 488 40.37% 41.09 -1.265 71.11% -0.237 -0.5095
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 320 26.96% 42.54 1.178 76.56% 0.394 -0.1013
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 148 57.82% 38.28 -2.398 65.54% -0.395 -0.365
Thunderspeaker 180 46.86% 45.82 -0.149 72.78% -0.12 -0.1391
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 70 28.57% 34.03 -1.877 60.0% -0.378 -0.4411
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 252 73.41% 35.62 -4.013 64.29% -0.637 -0.5757
Vital Strength of the Earth 34 24.24% 32.26 -6.948 55.88% -0.818 -0.2652
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 235 40.52% 37.66 -2.67 62.98% -0.451 -0.1953
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 28 32.14% 38.21 -0.591 71.43% 0.022 0.9191
Volcano Looming High 387 57.88% 41.11 0.523 76.74% 0.37 0.3802

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 37.5% 33.13 -2.67 62.5% 0.197 0.1187
Blitz 0 38 50.0% 34.71 -3.909 52.63% -0.326 -0.1794
Dahan Insurrection 4 34 38.24% 65.12 14.592 61.76% 0.913 0.7058
Despicable Theft 2 7 57.14% 28.0 -16.655 28.57% -0.552 0.1303
Elemental Invocation 1 19 47.37% 41.05 -13.916 68.42% -0.448 0.2839
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 201 17.91% 44.73 3.688 64.18% 0.089 -0.5176
Powers Long Forgotten 1 11 54.55% 47.55 2.774 72.73% -0.055 0.4335
Rituals of Terror 3 6 33.33% 52.0 5.542 66.67% 0.066 0.1713
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 3 100.0% 33.33 0.0 33.33%
Second Wave 0 133 38.93% 44.78 4.732 68.42% 0.334 0.3963
The Great River 3 12 41.67% 34.0 0.0 25.0%
Varied Terrains 2 17 64.71% 41.94 -2.782 52.94% -0.449 0.1136
Ward the Shores 2 11 54.55% 43.55 13.807 54.55% 0.433 1.6422

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3727 46.62% 41.12 0.078 72.28% -0.496 -0.2865
1 Thematic 100 56.0% 39.68 -3.86 55.0% -1.116 -0.5176
2 Archipelago 4 50.0% 69.25 11.634 100.0% 0.165 0.5221
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 978 42.13% 41.23 -0.401 75.26% -0.555 -0.3947
2 Coastline 126 40.48% 44.37 0.426 78.57% -0.409 -0.3485
2 Fragment 19 52.63% 37.84 1.122 63.16% -0.044 -0.1072
2 Heart 15 46.67% 48.53 6.244 93.33% 0.463 0.2255
2 Opposite Shores 186 41.94% 40.15 -2.416 71.51% -0.922 -0.7886
2 Thematic 38 52.63% 43.08 3.201 63.16% 0.235 0.8708
2 Top to Top 50 54.0% 44.3 3.708 86.0% 0.897 0.9377
3 Archipelago 3 100.0% 30.33 0.0 33.33%
3 Coastline 1 0.0% 51.0 10.325 100.0% 0.762 0.2637
3 Other 14 28.57% 33.21 -1.422 50.0% -0.245 -0.1353
3 Round (Default) 462 41.74% 42.56 -1.297 72.73% -0.884 -0.9257
3 Thematic 11 27.27% 51.91 1.909 72.73% 0.031 0.0673
4 Archipelago 2 100.0% 54.0 10.624 100.0% 0.308 0.0931
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 37.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 4 50.0% 37.0 0.546 75.0% -0.071 -0.9208
4 Thematic 29 55.17% 46.66 8.205 62.07% 0.786 0.7688
4 Trapezoid (Default) 203 44.0% 45.47 4.312 77.83% 0.535 0.3488
5 Other 11 27.27% 52.55 7.852 100.0% 0.654 0.1459
5 Thematic 7 42.86% 59.29 3.44 42.86% -0.09 -0.4199
6 Other 8 50.0% 44.88 9.651 75.0% 0.653 0.2588
6 Star 3 66.67% 19.0 -14.045 33.33% -0.745 -0.2695
6 Thematic 35 11.43% 41.29 -3.788 54.29% -0.651 -0.2517
6 Two Centers (Default) 38 23.68% 40.29 -3.534 73.68% -0.893 -0.8496

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 196 40.56 2.487 72.45% 0.67 0.9412
Aid From Lesser Spirits 129 42.4 3.508 71.32% 0.669 0.7075
All Things Weaken 191 37.52 -1.014 63.87% -0.134 0.3263
Attenuated Essence 22 31.91 -2.395 54.55% -0.365 -0.1597
Back Against the Wall 154 39.01 -1.297 64.29% -0.612 -0.4501
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 24 30.71 -2.413 45.83% -0.506 -0.092
Burn Brightest Before the End 22 37.77 0.631 63.64% 0.025 0.3299
Disintegrating Ecosystem 193 35.21 -2.143 62.69% -0.389 0.138
Downward Spiral 184 38.26 -0.422 67.93% 0.157 0.5099
Erosion of Will 192 36.28 -2.808 59.38% -0.663 -0.2548
Intensifying Exploitation 19 32.42 -1.816 57.89% -0.135 0.2522
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 102 43.15 2.713 82.35% 0.723 0.1978
Memory Fades to Dust 204 36.03 -1.994 61.27% -0.235 0.2467
Power Corrodes the Spirit 181 37.1 -3.072 67.4% -0.294 0.0107
Promising Farmlands 194 36.97 -0.084 63.4% -0.036 0.5495
Shattered Fragments of Power 19 37.26 0.653 63.16% 0.073 0.2514
Slow Dissolution of Will 26 37.04 0.117 57.69% -0.144 0.3894
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 62 43.47 0.749 82.26% 0.266 -0.4121
The Border of Life and Death 2 49.0 5.534 100.0% 0.48 0.3505
Thriving Communities 219 35.56 -0.373 60.27% 0.137 0.63
Thriving Crops 14 32.36 -2.264 64.29% -0.068 0.0201
Unnatural Proliferation 198 39.51 0.576 68.69% 0.037 0.3342
Untended Land Crumbles 190 36.65 -0.377 63.16% 0.064 0.4224

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1253 46.1% 41.24 0.24 72.31% 0.088 0.9277
B 1300 44.05% 42.03 0.9 74.85% 0.243 1.0212
C 1407 43.3% 41.83 -0.911 73.35% -0.26 0.3939
D 1069 44.73% 40.44 -0.576 70.16% -0.212 0.5869
E 1154 42.84% 43.33 1.343 77.12% 0.163 0.7916
F 1009 44.33% 41.61 0.108 73.04% 0.018 0.7372
G 1016 44.41% 40.93 -0.95 71.95% -0.195 0.547
H 896 40.02% 43.32 0.641 78.13% 0.186 0.8344
East 154 44.16% 41.47 -1.27 51.3% -0.813 -0.2093
Northeast 100 37.0% 41.95 -3.522 49.0% -1.2 -0.3189
Northwest 83 33.73% 44.89 0.547 60.24% 0.192 0.8653
Southeast 82 36.59% 44.78 -0.732 59.76% -0.0 0.6361
Southwest 83 36.14% 42.45 -0.665 62.65% -0.142 1.0223
West 157 42.04% 45.62 2.49 63.69% 0.2 1.1646

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 27 0.0% 47.3 6.257 77.78% -0.097 0.7858
Not Using Events or Tokens 29 27.59% 36.24 -8.105 51.72% -1.296 -0.9645
Skip Initial Invader Actions 88 13.51% 45.99 -1.274 73.86% -0.234 -0.7685
Start of Game Growth 141 10.48% 47.23 0.507 75.18% -0.046 -0.3764
Unlimited Undo 550 42.83% 43.19 1.051 76.0% 0.275 0.2532
Using Tokens but Not Events 346 31.97% 41.02 -0.493 69.36% -0.103 -0.1565

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 845 21.03 2.84%
II 1562 31.04 59.48%
III 2545 34.74 92.06%
IV 1141 38.02 99.74%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.135 Win Model: 0.023
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 3863 46.95% 41.11 71.91%
2 1412 42.99% 41.61 75.0%
3 476 40.48% 42.6 72.9%
4 243 45.83% 45.59 75.72%
5 16 31.25% 56.25 81.25%
6 83 22.89% 40.01 63.86%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 24
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2300
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 912
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1128
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 349
Lose: Invader deck ran out 36
Lose: Adversary condition 622
Win: Sacrifice victory 43
Lose: Scenario condition 55
Win: Scenario condition 27
Lose: Blight pool ran out 563
Lose: Spirit destroyed 34

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 225 35.56% 43.84 0.369 68.89% 0.273 0.1137
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 135 69.63% 36.41 -6.184 51.11% -1.209 -1.0875
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 161 63.98% 40.78 -0.624 67.7% 0.103 -0.0653
Downpour Drenches the World 385 43.12% 40.64 0.602 63.9% 0.393 0.5721
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 347 40.35% 42.1 3.484 75.79% 1.017 0.2957
Eyes Watch From the Trees 242 44.21% 46.2 2.752 77.27% 0.679 0.0897
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 150 48.67% 45.37 3.089 77.33% 0.701 0.2297
Finder of Paths Unseen 205 57.07% 39.93 -2.176 66.83% -0.255 0.4392
Fractured Days Split the Sky 144 37.5% 32.3 -8.338 43.06% -1.077 -0.393
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 168 61.9% 41.88 0.379 66.07% -0.079 -0.1802
Heart of the Wildfire 141 76.6% 33.54 -5.374 51.77% -0.852 -0.6082
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 458 37.12% 50.04 4.174 82.97% 0.914 0.4639
Lightning's Swift Strike 47 59.57% 41.38 0.728 59.57% -0.05 0.153
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 290 60.34% 48.0 3.04 77.59% 0.479 -0.2174
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 59 49.15% 48.25 6.063 83.05% 1.049 0.8095
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 52 50.0% 39.35 -7.374 67.31% -0.993 -1.1528
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 244 58.61% 38.74 -3.089 61.48% -0.288 -0.4334
Many Minds Move as One 146 39.73% 43.1 -1.736 71.92% -0.013 -0.2337
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 440 51.94% 43.5 3.497 67.73% 0.758 0.7484
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 190 45.79% 40.91 0.314 62.63% 0.406 0.264
River Surges in Sunlight 100 50.0% 47.24 5.284 74.0% 0.936 0.9391
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 33 60.61% 46.97 1.096 78.79% -0.044 0.2264
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 243 55.14% 46.54 0.888 71.19% 0.287 0.1577
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 253 40.71% 46.43 3.511 75.49% 0.723 0.5096
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4 50.0% 38.0 0.0 50.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 25 76.0% 36.12 -3.348 52.0% -0.385 -0.3862
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 64 65.63% 40.97 -3.634 62.5% -0.427 -0.4358
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 31 67.74% 37.77 1.949 54.84% 0.6 0.5281
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 15 80.0% 21.2 -11.07 20.0% -0.952 -0.894
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 248 49.19% 44.68 3.068 74.6% 0.864 0.7361
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 48 45.83% 42.13 1.253 72.92% 0.308 -0.0546
Shifting Memory of Ages 146 56.16% 37.39 -3.155 60.27% -0.214 0.1936
Shroud of Silent Mist 116 72.41% 29.87 -5.455 39.66% -0.888 -0.573
Starlight Seeks its Form 389 43.44% 39.11 -3.687 61.18% -0.483 -0.7557
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 263 33.97% 41.24 1.78 66.54% 0.485 -0.0098
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 176 68.18% 32.23 -1.839 35.23% -0.392 -0.3619
Thunderspeaker 185 59.46% 44.4 -0.25 71.35% 0.048 0.0286
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 43 58.14% 38.35 0.677 69.77% 0.371 0.3077
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 227 80.18% 32.19 -6.229 47.14% -0.898 -0.8363
Vital Strength of the Earth 104 70.19% 24.5 -2.092 8.65% -0.887 -0.3346
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 174 56.9% 37.16 -2.578 50.57% -0.346 -0.0896
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 21 57.14% 29.1 -9.381 28.57% -0.716 0.1808
Volcano Looming High 317 60.57% 39.94 -1.404 65.93% -0.088 -0.0778

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 100.0% 51.0 0.0 100.0%
Blitz 0 31 12.9% 49.1 1.504 48.39% -0.463 -0.3164
Dahan Insurrection 4 32 50.0% 56.66 9.546 46.88% -0.05 -0.2566
Despicable Theft 2 7 57.14% 32.29 -3.287 28.57% -0.517 0.166
Elemental Invocation 1 11 45.45% 30.64 -3.486 36.36% -0.155 0.5765
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 296 21.28% 50.35 3.481 77.36% 0.113 -0.4939
Powers Long Forgotten 1 8 87.5% 44.5 3.557 37.5% -0.189 0.2989
Rituals of Terror 3 5 80.0% 29.6 -3.654 20.0% -0.285 -0.1801
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 5 100.0% 40.8 1.489 60.0% 0.222 1.2143
Second Wave 0 85 40.0% 44.8 1.527 64.71% -0.29 -0.2278
The Great River 3 6 66.67% 37.33 -5.454 33.33% -0.71 0.6385
Varied Terrains 2 7 85.71% 45.0 0.0 42.86%
Ward the Shores 2 14 28.57% 30.79 -6.551 28.57% -0.958 0.2517

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3508 53.71% 40.34 -0.663 62.74% -0.109 0.1004
1 Thematic 77 54.55% 42.87 1.988 54.55% 0.373 0.9715
2 Archipelago 5 20.0% 39.2 0.0 20.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 788 48.35% 43.64 2.232 73.86% 0.257 0.417
2 Coastline 112 60.71% 42.38 -3.347 71.43% -0.886 -0.8249
2 Fragment 15 73.33% 43.4 5.272 73.33% 0.881 0.8172
2 Heart 16 50.0% 42.19 -2.522 62.5% -0.55 -0.7885
2 Opposite Shores 210 53.33% 38.53 -2.221 63.81% -0.446 -0.3124
2 Thematic 94 72.34% 26.83 -1.916 12.77% -0.683 -0.0469
2 Top to Top 42 50.0% 46.83 3.262 83.33% 0.565 0.605
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 2 100.0% 52.5 12.819 50.0% 0.716 0.218
3 Other 6 33.33% 24.17 0.049 33.33% -0.39 -0.2807
3 Round (Default) 263 47.15% 43.71 1.27 69.96% -0.17 -0.2118
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 18.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 12 58.33% 52.75 3.655 66.67% 0.23 0.2665
4 Other 2 100.0% 50.0 2.863 100.0% 0.122 -0.7277
4 Thematic 4 75.0% 59.25 7.653 75.0% 0.309 0.2918
4 Trapezoid (Default) 72 43.06% 45.22 -0.874 73.61% -0.778 -0.9641
5 Other 5 40.0% 51.4 11.384 100.0% 0.391 -0.1169
5 Thematic 8 75.0% 32.88 -14.334 12.5% -0.186 -0.5157
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 4 25.0% 56.5 13.495 100.0% 0.38 -0.0143
6 Star 2 50.0% 36.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 6 33.33% 22.17 -8.901 16.67% -0.244 0.1549
6 Two Centers (Default) 5 20.0% 47.2 1.625 80.0% 0.061 0.1042

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 202 39.51 1.303 61.39% 0.131 0.4026
Aid From Lesser Spirits 148 39.09 3.07 56.76% 0.413 0.4514
All Things Weaken 203 37.63 0.505 54.19% 0.059 0.52
Attenuated Essence 23 32.7 -1.32 52.17% -0.089 0.1163
Back Against the Wall 154 40.6 1.447 61.04% 0.103 0.265
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 34 38.24 1.755 64.71% 0.474 0.8889
Burn Brightest Before the End 20 39.55 1.778 70.0% 0.37 0.6747
Disintegrating Ecosystem 180 36.01 -2.756 57.78% -0.429 0.0976
Downward Spiral 210 37.49 0.61 58.1% 0.232 0.5851
Erosion of Will 203 35.09 0.343 51.23% 0.383 0.7915
Intensifying Exploitation 31 35.42 -0.691 58.06% -0.047 0.34
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 87 44.31 0.031 77.01% 0.216 -0.3098
Memory Fades to Dust 221 37.65 -1.189 59.73% -0.178 0.3031
Power Corrodes the Spirit 185 36.59 -3.617 55.14% -0.587 -0.2824
Promising Farmlands 174 34.36 -3.269 48.85% -0.735 -0.1493
Shattered Fragments of Power 23 38.26 0.46 65.22% -0.035 0.1442
Slow Dissolution of Will 24 31.33 -3.037 45.83% -0.615 -0.0808
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 56 45.02 5.255 76.79% 0.821 0.1429
The Border of Life and Death 7 53.29 6.925 100.0% 0.881 0.7511
Thriving Communities 197 34.85 -2.294 49.75% -0.543 -0.0495
Thriving Crops 12 38.92 1.392 58.33% 0.239 0.3266
Unnatural Proliferation 206 37.67 -1.35 54.85% -0.22 0.0772
Untended Land Crumbles 183 37.04 2.193 56.28% 0.57 0.9279

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 942 53.5% 40.49 -0.921 65.61% 0.157 0.9968
B 990 52.12% 41.34 0.03 67.68% 0.334 1.1129
C 1152 49.09% 43.59 0.891 71.09% 0.415 1.0691
D 783 51.09% 39.27 -1.294 60.79% -0.126 0.6728
E 940 50.32% 42.89 0.686 68.83% 0.394 1.0223
F 826 52.18% 42.79 2.211 69.37% 0.642 1.3617
G 677 52.66% 41.36 0.517 65.88% 0.37 1.1114
H 788 51.65% 41.83 1.133 66.88% 0.447 1.0947
East 74 54.05% 39.51 -2.627 41.89% -0.219 0.3856
Northeast 47 53.19% 39.47 -2.028 38.3% -0.502 0.3787
Northwest 48 62.5% 44.54 1.263 54.17% 0.689 1.362
Southeast 28 46.43% 35.96 -8.271 35.71% -0.281 0.3553
Southwest 104 70.19% 26.8 -1.796 16.35% -0.474 0.6902
West 159 67.3% 33.99 -1.767 30.19% -0.672 0.2927

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2 0.0% 51.5 0.0 100.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 11 36.36% 39.27 -0.167 63.64% -0.094 0.2375
Skip Initial Invader Actions 62 12.9% 58.71 7.011 72.58% 1.147 0.6116
Start of Game Growth 119 18.49% 53.36 1.645 73.11% -0.867 -1.1977
Unlimited Undo 709 48.66% 42.33 0.238 68.55% 0.141 0.1187
Using Tokens but Not Events 294 46.23% 42.56 2.012 65.31% 0.367 0.3131

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1030 21.03 6.31%
II 1546 31.04 54.33%
III 1899 34.74 89.1%
IV 788 38.02 99.49%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.256 Win Model: -0.143
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 3614 53.71% 40.46 62.67%
2 1262 52.54% 41.43 67.19%
3 279 46.95% 43.58 69.53%
4 78 44.87% 45.12 73.08%
5 13 69.23% 44.77 53.85%
6 17 29.41% 39.0 58.82%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 65
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1676
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 818
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 779
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 347
Lose: Invader deck ran out 93
Lose: Adversary condition 638
Win: Sacrifice victory 24
Lose: Scenario condition 50
Win: Scenario condition 19
Lose: Blight pool ran out 712
Lose: Spirit destroyed 42

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 190 45.79% 49.84 2.093 73.68% 0.615 0.4562
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 113 73.45% 38.63 -4.993 44.25% -0.744 -0.6218
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 168 60.71% 35.82 -5.15 46.43% -0.637 -0.8044
Downpour Drenches the World 381 44.88% 48.01 2.133 67.45% 0.363 0.5416
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 342 42.11% 47.99 4.46 73.39% 1.003 0.2818
Eyes Watch From the Trees 224 45.09% 48.98 1.387 72.32% 0.28 -0.3089
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 132 61.36% 41.74 0.308 63.64% 0.196 -0.2751
Finder of Paths Unseen 334 60.78% 39.43 -5.769 52.69% -0.617 0.0774
Fractured Days Split the Sky 79 41.77% 48.94 0.234 64.56% -0.026 0.6583
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 191 58.64% 46.98 2.681 61.78% 0.022 -0.0794
Heart of the Wildfire 117 79.49% 40.71 -3.416 61.54% -0.287 -0.0426
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 545 46.42% 50.44 2.59 73.94% 0.701 0.2513
Lightning's Swift Strike 47 72.34% 41.87 -8.234 51.06% -1.028 -0.8247
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 293 63.14% 49.21 2.252 68.26% 0.349 -0.3483
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 48 64.58% 51.21 1.69 75.0% 0.135 -0.1049
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 64 43.75% 47.64 0.284 59.38% -0.09 -0.2498
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 247 67.21% 36.99 -5.591 46.56% -0.795 -0.9398
Many Minds Move as One 127 43.31% 49.39 0.269 69.29% 0.196 -0.0251
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 542 55.56% 43.06 -4.353 59.23% -0.448 -0.4568
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 191 53.93% 44.62 0.667 63.87% 0.393 0.2515
River Surges in Sunlight 72 58.33% 50.08 4.683 72.22% 0.646 0.6489
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 40 82.5% 34.23 -3.934 22.5% -0.217 0.0529
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 218 59.17% 57.87 3.341 71.1% 0.431 0.3018
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 291 38.14% 48.2 2.86 70.79% 0.474 0.2608
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3 100.0% 45.67 7.344 66.67% 0.315 0.7509
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 11 81.82% 39.09 1.286 54.55% 0.291 0.2907
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 28 64.29% 44.21 1.962 64.29% 0.322 0.3141
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 27 74.07% 38.37 -0.183 51.85% 0.2 0.1279
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 12 66.67% 29.25 -4.818 16.67% -0.936 -0.8779
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 255 52.55% 47.15 4.173 70.98% 1.015 0.8871
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 42 57.14% 51.52 4.596 71.43% 0.731 0.3683
Shifting Memory of Ages 113 67.26% 38.27 -2.818 50.44% -0.207 0.2001
Shroud of Silent Mist 59 76.27% 45.34 0.67 61.02% -0.055 0.2601
Starlight Seeks its Form 297 53.2% 48.33 2.903 63.97% 0.596 0.3233
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 220 55.0% 38.48 -3.488 56.36% -0.215 -0.7096
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 79 58.23% 36.8 -3.625 41.77% -0.702 -0.6721
Thunderspeaker 136 62.5% 40.99 -3.026 56.62% -0.278 -0.297
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 30 53.33% 39.97 0.13 53.33% -0.09 -0.1527
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 173 81.5% 36.29 -4.096 46.24% -0.656 -0.5951
Vital Strength of the Earth 20 55.0% 40.4 -0.466 40.0% -0.085 0.4674
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 135 52.59% 42.5 -2.678 56.3% -0.469 -0.2133
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 9 66.67% 35.44 -14.944 44.44% -1.306 -0.4093
Volcano Looming High 251 63.75% 46.09 2.925 67.33% 0.639 0.649

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 66.67% 59.17 7.594 100.0% 0.315 0.2362
Blitz 0 37 13.51% 68.54 5.74 78.38% 0.202 0.3485
Dahan Insurrection 4 97 62.89% 61.65 6.225 47.42% -0.054 -0.2614
Despicable Theft 2 12 83.33% 37.67 0.861 25.0% -0.24 0.4429
Elemental Invocation 1 15 73.33% 46.33 -10.274 40.0% -1.245 -0.5133
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 563 35.7% 51.21 3.554 66.79% 0.356 -0.251
Powers Long Forgotten 1 6 66.67% 38.83 -20.333 50.0% -0.863 -0.3745
Rituals of Terror 3 2 0.0% 51.0 -16.593 50.0% -0.349 -0.2438
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 1 0.0% 0.0 -9.161 0.0% -0.207 0.7853
Second Wave 0 50 42.0% 46.32 4.219 60.0% 0.308 0.3709
The Great River 3 12 50.0% 48.17 -8.418 50.0% -0.396 0.9519
Varied Terrains 2 13 53.85% 32.62 -5.688 30.77% -0.798 -0.2355
Ward the Shores 2 11 54.55% 45.91 -9.058 54.55% -0.247 0.9621

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3127 57.02% 42.19 -1.472 58.62% -0.229 -0.0195
1 Thematic 116 59.48% 47.01 -4.738 40.52% -1.58 -0.9809
2 Archipelago 18 27.78% 48.56 -13.344 38.89% -0.139 0.2184
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 575 59.48% 45.87 2.48 68.87% 0.527 0.6875
2 Coastline 126 64.29% 44.3 3.328 62.7% 0.808 0.8686
2 Fragment 9 66.67% 54.56 9.062 88.89% 0.605 0.5418
2 Heart 14 78.57% 36.57 5.061 42.86% 0.238 0.0003
2 Opposite Shores 191 50.26% 46.93 0.257 64.4% -0.092 0.0419
2 Thematic 53 77.36% 42.38 0.419 30.19% -0.26 0.3767
2 Top to Top 45 51.11% 51.13 2.149 82.22% 0.468 0.5088
3 Archipelago 4 75.0% 75.5 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 5 20.0% 64.8 9.482 80.0% 0.44 -0.0584
3 Other 10 20.0% 22.5 -7.584 40.0% -0.596 -0.4861
3 Round (Default) 256 48.83% 52.28 2.246 75.39% 0.063 0.0212
3 Thematic 8 50.0% 56.88 9.812 62.5% 0.417 0.4527
4 Archipelago 4 75.0% 51.25 10.493 75.0% 0.441 0.2267
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 78.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 60.0 0.89 100.0% 0.061 -0.3145
4 Other 6 16.67% 49.5 -8.341 66.67% -0.319 -1.1684
4 Thematic 8 25.0% 53.88 -9.161 62.5% -0.207 -0.2238
4 Trapezoid (Default) 90 70.0% 42.21 -4.213 58.89% -1.272 -1.4588
5 Other 8 50.0% 45.5 0.412 75.0% 0.075 -0.4334
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 59.0 10.027 100.0% 0.339 0.0093
6 Archipelago 7 14.29% 62.86 7.623 85.71% 0.124 -0.1815
6 Other 1 0.0% 87.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 2 100.0% 21.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Thematic 27 29.63% 50.52 -12.693 62.96% -0.371 0.028
6 Two Centers (Default) 6 16.67% 52.17 -24.473 66.67% -0.667 -0.6236
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 105.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 209 41.77 0.258 55.02% -0.083 0.1883
Aid From Lesser Spirits 157 44.66 1.267 62.42% 0.185 0.2237
All Things Weaken 184 39.22 -2.207 50.54% -0.383 0.0779
Attenuated Essence 31 36.77 -1.131 54.84% -0.142 0.0635
Back Against the Wall 146 44.1 4.932 57.53% 0.822 0.9843
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 25 34.36 -0.805 44.0% -0.164 0.2507
Burn Brightest Before the End 31 41.71 1.667 61.29% 0.197 0.5014
Disintegrating Ecosystem 160 35.98 -1.602 46.25% -0.266 0.2605
Downward Spiral 188 38.8 0.85 51.6% 0.037 0.3896
Erosion of Will 199 35.25 -4.029 41.71% -0.906 -0.4975
Intensifying Exploitation 40 29.05 -4.586 35.0% -0.923 -0.5356
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 69 53.1 4.996 85.51% 0.924 0.3988
Memory Fades to Dust 187 37.19 -2.934 47.06% -0.157 0.3239
Power Corrodes the Spirit 197 41.4 2.274 55.33% 0.167 0.4717
Promising Farmlands 175 37.5 -1.053 46.29% -0.471 0.1148
Shattered Fragments of Power 33 36.09 -0.304 48.48% -0.064 0.1144
Slow Dissolution of Will 38 32.74 -2.925 44.74% -0.576 -0.0424
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 41 50.59 1.576 78.05% 0.591 -0.0867
The Border of Life and Death 9 35.78 0.176 55.56% 0.266 0.1369
Thriving Communities 180 36.21 -3.683 47.22% -0.747 -0.2544
Thriving Crops 21 43.1 1.055 76.19% 0.575 0.6633
Unnatural Proliferation 194 41.16 1.313 51.55% 0.018 0.3147
Untended Land Crumbles 172 38.09 -3.707 50.58% -0.48 -0.1219

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 858 61.49% 43.37 -0.43 61.31% -0.09 0.7501
B 905 55.69% 45.3 0.365 64.97% 0.02 0.7983
C 1176 53.15% 46.32 1.837 65.22% 0.189 0.8434
D 714 54.76% 42.17 -0.979 56.3% -0.237 0.5624
E 831 55.6% 45.21 0.628 65.22% 0.126 0.755
F 750 57.6% 45.8 0.316 65.2% -0.125 0.5945
G 572 55.34% 45.08 0.293 63.64% -0.049 0.6924
H 654 55.96% 45.7 0.265 65.6% -0.032 0.6166
East 148 53.38% 49.31 0.85 45.95% 0.36 0.964
Northeast 69 46.38% 44.74 -5.433 43.48% -0.732 0.1487
Northwest 78 57.69% 44.64 -10.136 43.59% -1.172 -0.4992
Southeast 72 51.39% 48.93 -0.142 50.0% -0.062 0.5739
Southwest 52 42.31% 44.25 -6.061 51.92% -0.523 0.6418
West 127 57.48% 45.22 -0.563 44.09% -0.074 0.8904

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2 0.0% 37.0 0.0 50.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 9 11.11% 26.89 -6.673 44.44% -0.037 0.2952
Skip Initial Invader Actions 153 18.95% 72.64 12.034 85.62% 1.642 1.107
Start of Game Growth 173 21.39% 69.08 7.942 82.08% -0.124 -0.4546
Unlimited Undo 647 50.7% 42.63 -1.755 57.81% -0.194 -0.2162
Using Tokens but Not Events 270 45.15% 41.53 -0.785 57.04% 0.201 0.1471

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1109 21.03 7.39%
II 1860 31.04 62.47%
III 1339 34.74 90.37%
IV 427 38.02 99.53%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.584 Win Model: 0.028
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 3282 57.35% 42.45 58.2%
2 1009 57.78% 46.07 65.21%
3 278 47.84% 51.35 73.74%
4 113 63.72% 44.85 61.95%
5 8 50.0% 45.5 75.0%
6 45 28.89% 53.56 66.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 82
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1184
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1120
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 416
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 411
Lose: Invader deck ran out 64
Lose: Adversary condition 418
Win: Sacrifice victory 25
Lose: Scenario condition 73
Win: Scenario condition 52
Lose: Blight pool ran out 848
Lose: Spirit destroyed 42

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 952 44.54% 54.47 2.205 63.76% 0.653 0.4936
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 379 75.99% 40.26 -4.467 39.05% -0.322 -0.2004
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 362 68.78% 41.78 -2.015 44.2% -0.046 -0.2143
Downpour Drenches the World 1496 54.41% 49.21 -0.506 53.21% 0.115 0.294
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1311 57.71% 41.32 2.774 52.56% 0.812 0.0907
Eyes Watch From the Trees 666 56.16% 48.7 0.018 55.86% 0.276 -0.3125
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 431 76.1% 43.99 0.182 48.26% 0.173 -0.2979
Finder of Paths Unseen 841 61.0% 48.08 -2.013 54.58% -0.044 0.6504
Fractured Days Split the Sky 588 45.07% 57.64 1.133 58.16% 0.163 0.8476
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 601 73.38% 44.07 -1.411 47.09% -0.007 -0.108
Heart of the Wildfire 450 85.11% 31.96 -8.032 26.44% -1.067 -0.8226
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2659 51.22% 54.74 3.803 68.0% 0.765 0.3152
Lightning's Swift Strike 227 76.11% 43.43 -0.359 48.02% 0.494 0.6971
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1420 74.91% 50.0 3.441 57.46% 0.895 0.1977
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 385 72.4% 53.86 7.087 65.71% 1.23 0.9904
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 409 59.41% 56.33 2.959 57.21% 0.801 0.6416
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 793 71.25% 41.46 -3.817 40.23% -0.367 -0.5117
Many Minds Move as One 410 49.02% 56.4 3.342 69.51% 0.782 0.5614
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1546 59.69% 47.66 -2.344 50.52% 0.037 0.0278
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 561 59.54% 44.43 -1.527 48.84% 0.115 -0.0264
River Surges in Sunlight 311 67.52% 50.05 0.19 53.05% -0.042 -0.0398
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 100 74.75% 41.8 -7.374 33.0% -0.529 -0.2588
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 911 71.95% 52.94 0.158 52.91% 0.089 -0.0398
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1174 50.6% 55.54 2.407 59.2% 0.46 0.2462
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 49 69.39% 20.12 -11.59 12.24% -1.564 -1.1283
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 78 87.18% 36.38 -2.476 29.49% -0.012 -0.0125
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 127 82.68% 39.27 -7.339 36.22% -1.135 -1.1437
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 71 83.1% 35.49 -3.529 30.99% -0.479 -0.5508
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 223 62.78% 44.18 2.249 42.15% 0.507 0.5649
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 658 57.75% 49.65 -1.077 56.84% 0.186 0.058
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 213 50.7% 31.86 -2.908 38.97% -0.052 -0.4147
Shifting Memory of Ages 580 67.24% 45.93 -2.639 44.66% -0.331 0.0759
Shroud of Silent Mist 305 78.69% 36.47 -5.006 34.75% -0.594 -0.2791
Starlight Seeks its Form 2853 54.43% 50.86 2.573 59.9% 0.629 0.3557
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1144 67.55% 44.33 -0.552 47.73% 0.304 -0.1909
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 322 72.98% 41.04 -1.385 41.93% 0.051 0.0817
Thunderspeaker 417 66.11% 42.51 -4.849 39.57% -0.463 -0.4816
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 129 65.89% 33.05 -1.868 39.53% 0.044 -0.0188
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1025 82.44% 44.4 -0.472 49.95% 0.335 0.3963
Vital Strength of the Earth 78 65.38% 29.14 -7.171 16.67% -1.006 -0.4531
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 505 69.7% 43.68 -3.479 42.57% -0.481 -0.2256
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 59 61.02% 24.68 -7.327 16.95% -0.925 -0.028
Volcano Looming High 1463 73.26% 43.05 -1.048 48.94% 0.092 0.1021

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 55.56% 63.11 -3.594 77.78% -0.345 -0.4235
Blitz 0 148 25.68% 61.2 6.558 64.19% 0.613 0.7595
Dahan Insurrection 4 191 63.68% 51.15 -0.481 15.71% -0.72 -0.9269
Despicable Theft 2 3 66.67% 49.67 21.555 33.33% 0.388 1.0703
Elemental Invocation 1 79 83.54% 36.61 -0.888 2.53% -0.779 -0.0476
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1241 41.34% 46.78 2.396 39.56% 0.016 -0.5901
Powers Long Forgotten 1 5 80.0% 55.8 18.318 60.0% 0.857 1.3452
Rituals of Terror 3 82 62.2% 83.32 18.121 51.22% 1.061 1.1661
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 8 75.0% 56.75 -16.155 37.5% -0.177 0.8148
Second Wave 0 134 65.67% 48.68 -0.843 54.48% -0.478 -0.4153
The Great River 3 7 42.86% 50.57 -19.34 42.86% -0.422 0.9262
Varied Terrains 2 44 56.82% 26.43 -10.141 22.73% -1.057 -0.4944
Ward the Shores 2 37 86.49% 37.59 -1.156 18.92% -0.648 0.5611

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 15977 64.82% 45.61 -0.659 51.23% -0.795 -0.5856
1 Thematic 355 49.3% 44.63 2.358 32.11% -1.04 -0.4411
2 Archipelago 21 33.33% 38.67 -10.228 33.33% -0.195 0.1617
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1825 68.53% 43.73 -2.649 48.0% -1.026 -0.8655
2 Coastline 391 64.62% 50.8 4.17 60.61% 0.099 0.16
2 Fragment 57 68.42% 53.25 10.056 68.42% 0.549 0.4852
2 Heart 135 85.19% 45.99 7.273 40.0% 0.441 0.2027
2 Opposite Shores 397 59.19% 46.02 1.569 44.84% -0.576 -0.4428
2 Thematic 83 69.88% 57.51 3.098 36.14% 0.122 0.7583
2 Top to Top 131 64.12% 49.27 -0.037 58.78% -0.415 -0.3746
3 Archipelago 11 72.73% 71.09 13.409 54.55% 0.44 -0.6461
3 Coastline 4 75.0% 64.75 13.482 100.0% 0.533 0.0349
3 Other 18 38.89% 56.11 10.679 72.22% 0.862 0.9722
3 Round (Default) 976 62.09% 50.36 1.895 59.73% -0.456 -0.4978
3 Thematic 25 32.0% 87.48 4.902 48.0% -0.117 -0.0808
4 Archipelago 7 85.71% 86.86 23.082 85.71% 1.537 1.3222
4 Leaf 4 50.0% 38.5 -12.774 25.0% -0.207 -0.582
4 Other 4 25.0% 69.25 8.816 100.0% 0.523 -0.3261
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 52 51.92% 60.52 9.538 21.15% -0.067 -0.0846
4 Trapezoid (Default) 415 57.11% 55.75 -0.388 65.3% -0.505 -0.6914
5 Archipelago 6 33.33% 49.17 -0.576 50.0% -0.051 -1.2769
5 Coastline 13 0.0% 64.92 7.731 92.31% -0.01 -0.0526
5 Other 35 60.0% 59.26 3.457 42.86% -0.409 -0.9172
5 Thematic 6 66.67% 80.83 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 5 20.0% 31.2 -18.91 40.0% -0.656 -0.9611
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 71.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 66 56.06% 51.27 3.407 56.06% -0.907 -1.3016
6 Star 10 40.0% 58.7 4.079 80.0% -0.047 0.4286
6 Thematic 26 61.54% 50.62 -11.808 26.92% -0.304 0.0952
6 Two Centers (Default) 175 32.57% 60.86 -3.359 68.57% -1.134 -1.0907
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 96.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 5.236 0.0% 0.725 -0.0478

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 978 42.51 0.923 43.05% -0.253 0.0177
Aid From Lesser Spirits 771 47.61 3.666 50.32% 0.232 0.2704
All Things Weaken 937 44.51 1.01 47.28% -0.121 0.3391
Attenuated Essence 130 34.54 -0.53 35.38% -0.377 -0.1718
Back Against the Wall 770 46.65 3.709 48.31% 0.197 0.3593
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 173 36.38 0.608 39.31% -0.13 0.2849
Burn Brightest Before the End 102 39.32 1.185 41.18% -0.266 0.0388
Disintegrating Ecosystem 910 41.43 -0.489 44.29% -0.376 0.1505
Downward Spiral 1002 41.95 -0.135 44.31% -0.126 0.2268
Erosion of Will 998 41.45 -0.259 40.18% -0.345 0.0637
Intensifying Exploitation 159 32.96 -1.444 34.59% -0.349 0.0379
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 262 52.14 1.984 61.45% 0.225 -0.3003
Memory Fades to Dust 998 40.67 -1.349 40.88% -0.42 0.0612
Power Corrodes the Spirit 989 40.77 -0.09 41.15% -0.148 0.1563
Promising Farmlands 974 41.47 -1.192 43.22% -0.379 0.2074
Shattered Fragments of Power 88 40.56 2.444 42.05% -0.024 0.1545
Slow Dissolution of Will 165 33.51 -1.382 33.94% -0.452 0.0819
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 184 58.42 7.528 79.35% 1.146 0.4677
The Border of Life and Death 41 45.41 3.817 58.54% 0.436 0.3069
Thriving Communities 934 40.05 -0.253 39.08% -0.259 0.2343
Thriving Crops 65 40.74 2.06 52.31% 0.32 0.4076
Unnatural Proliferation 1068 44.04 1.83 43.26% -0.127 0.1695
Untended Land Crumbles 939 41.23 -0.58 42.28% -0.25 0.1075

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3657 63.04% 46.98 -0.108 52.47% -0.751 0.089
B 3671 64.0% 46.65 -0.005 51.87% -0.675 0.1036
C 4536 64.2% 47.5 0.176 53.92% -0.671 -0.0173
D 3207 60.49% 45.12 -1.735 46.52% -1.022 -0.2226
E 4520 62.14% 47.98 -0.216 55.75% -0.614 0.0144
F 3139 62.37% 47.84 -0.249 54.7% -0.738 -0.0187
G 2792 63.47% 47.66 0.285 53.22% -0.691 0.051
H 2707 62.68% 48.48 1.423 55.71% -0.462 0.1861
East 374 51.34% 52.61 0.376 28.61% -0.963 -0.3589
Northeast 196 54.08% 55.92 5.641 25.0% -0.592 0.2889
Northwest 168 61.31% 55.77 3.359 35.71% -0.099 0.5742
Southeast 110 50.0% 50.88 -1.116 37.27% -0.711 -0.075
Southwest 85 49.41% 47.33 1.451 41.18% -0.281 0.8835
West 331 56.8% 55.14 1.828 38.07% -0.592 0.3726

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 20 0.0% 45.45 1.013 55.0% 0.063 0.9463
Not Using Events or Tokens 53 78.85% 41.72 0.768 11.32% -1.258 -0.9257
Skip Initial Invader Actions 695 16.76% 72.0 5.189 78.71% 0.127 -0.4076
Start of Game Growth 1058 21.82% 70.85 5.454 77.88% 0.952 0.6222
Unlimited Undo 2857 48.13% 56.18 2.155 67.31% 0.501 0.4789
Using Tokens but Not Events 652 64.77% 41.27 -2.213 36.5% -0.335 -0.3894

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6394 21.03 5.88%
II 5383 31.04 36.41%
III 5353 34.74 83.86%
IV 4153 38.02 99.74%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.336 Win Model: 0.544
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 16518 64.49% 45.72 50.9%
2 2937 66.98% 45.87 49.44%
3 1032 61.43% 51.22 59.01%
4 464 57.11% 56.02 62.07%
5 54 40.74% 56.43 53.7%
6 278 39.21% 57.45 65.11%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 367
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4417
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1905
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4071
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1870
Lose: Invader deck ran out 296
Lose: Adversary condition 2316
Win: Sacrifice victory 170
Lose: Scenario condition 459
Win: Scenario condition 37
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5134
Lose: Spirit destroyed 241

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-11-29 03:49:58 (Pacific Time)