The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 400 18.75% 25.28 1.863 77.5% 0.348 0.3122
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 255 28.63% 23.73 -0.353 72.55% -0.209 -0.0503
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 46 10.87% 26.02 2.88 73.91% 0.53 -0.4824
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 365 23.29% 23.66 1.542 74.25% 0.687 0.4748
Downpour Drenches the World 636 20.13% 22.25 0.551 73.74% -0.112 0.1354
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 302 16.23% 25.91 3.002 77.81% 0.974 0.4118
Eyes Watch From the Trees 425 14.42% 27.75 3.532 80.71% 0.896 0.4164
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 374 17.52% 26.87 1.222 81.28% 0.438 0.0321
Finder of Paths Unseen 294 34.81% 16.49 -4.781 55.44% -1.249 -0.4865
Fractured Days Split the Sky 173 17.92% 21.63 -2.052 60.69% -0.78 -0.118
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 325 33.23% 22.85 -1.642 69.54% -0.34 -0.3421
Heart of the Wildfire 293 50.51% 19.7 -2.103 64.16% -0.288 0.0818
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 517 23.21% 26.53 -0.353 79.69% 0.228 -0.1987
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 39 15.38% 24.77 3.908 71.79% 1.032 0.5397
Lightning's Swift Strike 187 37.5% 22.94 -0.63 73.26% -0.207 0.0063
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 178 29.21% 27.43 1.083 83.15% 0.44 -0.1762
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 90 17.78% 26.38 -2.438 75.56% -0.579 -0.8644
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 91 19.78% 24.49 1.633 62.64% 0.232 0.1301
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 440 24.77% 25.9 0.11 75.23% 0.107 -0.1391
Many Minds Move as One 271 18.08% 25.9 1.929 68.27% 0.326 0.1648
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 611 35.08% 23.41 -1.451 71.19% -0.256 -0.2213
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 334 29.34% 23.57 -1.573 70.96% -0.209 -0.3758
River Surges in Sunlight 208 34.78% 22.7 2.435 67.31% 0.606 0.6335
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 114 33.33% 25.15 -2.66 69.3% -0.688 -0.349
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 263 27.38% 26.67 0.524 73.76% -0.02 -0.0515
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 279 22.38% 23.4 -0.774 73.12% -0.137 -0.2477
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 76 52.63% 19.38 0.967 59.21% 0.238 0.8136
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 71 30.99% 26.82 6.368 77.46% 0.868 0.8906
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 43 37.21% 22.7 2.041 58.14% 0.154 -0.2979
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 76 30.26% 21.72 -0.69 64.47% -0.098 0.1377
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 58 29.31% 23.83 0.084 74.14% 0.25 0.1624
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 26 30.77% 27.08 7.455 73.08% 0.682 0.8776
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 296 22.11% 25.08 -0.723 72.97% -0.306 -0.3278
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 78 16.67% 20.74 -1.31 56.41% -0.236 -0.5683
Shifting Memory of Ages 221 31.22% 20.24 -2.617 61.99% -0.803 -0.522
Shroud of Silent Mist 245 36.73% 19.64 0.214 61.63% 0.164 0.4365
Starlight Seeks its Form 600 14.21% 28.32 0.45 80.17% 0.189 -0.0309
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 324 17.59% 24.6 0.033 75.0% 0.196 -0.2505
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 314 27.16% 20.18 -1.744 63.06% -0.146 -0.024
Thunderspeaker 385 21.47% 26.25 -2.157 76.88% -0.637 -0.6187
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 63 25.4% 16.32 -0.218 46.03% -0.345 -0.1409
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 196 48.47% 18.77 -4.754 56.63% -1.031 -0.8565
Vital Strength of the Earth 137 32.85% 18.23 -1.13 58.39% -0.42 0.152
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 173 30.23% 23.08 -1.183 71.68% -0.24 0.1413
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 61 22.95% 18.52 -1.391 50.82% -0.306 0.4516
Volcano Looming High 341 30.5% 21.44 -1.942 66.57% -0.219 -0.2458
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 102 17.65% 26.06 3.527 77.45% 0.899 0.3651

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 30 16.67% 24.77 3.562 83.33% 0.521 0.3349
Blitz 0 84 19.05% 18.69 -2.186 45.24% -0.666 -0.5352
Dahan Insurrection 4 123 13.01% 41.96 17.178 69.11% 0.749 0.4942
Despicable Theft 2 63 20.63% 15.86 -4.575 33.33% -1.425 -0.8836
Elemental Invocation 1 85 17.65% 21.29 -3.976 56.47% -1.151 -0.2944
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 168 12.5% 29.63 1.076 72.02% -0.278 -1.0489
Powers Long Forgotten 1 81 28.4% 8.79 -5.885 17.28% -1.684 -0.7491
Rituals of Terror 3 79 18.99% 24.87 4.071 50.63% -0.019 0.0772
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 48 45.83% 18.6 -7.802 35.42% -1.333 -0.1362
Second Wave 0 152 41.45% 30.64 -0.852 67.11% -0.406 -0.3206
The Great River 3 48 37.5% 21.33 -0.147 41.67% -0.947 0.414
Varied Terrains 2 98 43.88% 21.44 -1.457 44.9% -0.727 0.0618
Ward the Shores 2 84 26.19% 19.88 0.496 46.43% -0.36 0.6718

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4346 27.6% 24.22 0.032 73.56% 0.127 0.3184
1 Thematic 419 29.12% 21.3 0.164 49.88% -0.005 0.64
2 Archipelago 6 50.0% 23.17 0.0 33.33%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1001 27.3% 21.88 -0.355 68.13% -0.283 -0.2863
2 Coastline 142 30.99% 23.94 0.89 74.65% 0.013 0.0684
2 Fragment 20 45.0% 25.5 3.151 90.0% 0.606 0.34
2 Heart 20 20.0% 24.5 -0.155 85.0% 0.008 -0.0312
2 Opposite Shores 166 34.55% 24.12 3.244 77.71% 0.295 0.3097
2 Thematic 143 23.08% 23.8 0.15 54.55% 0.264 0.4614
2 Top to Top 35 22.86% 20.63 3.618 65.71% 0.344 0.246
3 Archipelago 4 25.0% 31.0 10.59 75.0% 0.952 0.5056
3 Coastline 6 33.33% 33.0 8.336 66.67% 0.338 -0.6862
3 Other 22 31.82% 20.45 0.316 63.64% 0.029 -0.3634
3 Round (Default) 575 26.0% 26.49 0.721 81.39% 0.274 -0.0616
3 Sunrise 4 0.0% 20.25 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 30 20.0% 17.0 -3.938 33.33% -0.512 -0.7958
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 51.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 11 72.73% 25.18 3.101 81.82% 0.339 -0.9904
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 35 8.57% 30.69 -7.277 77.14% -0.389 -0.4683
4 Trapezoid (Default) 256 15.23% 18.96 -2.748 59.77% -1.555 -1.7117
5 Other 26 42.31% 27.35 2.597 84.62% 0.266 -0.8082
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 5 0.0% 35.4 0.0 80.0%
6 Other 2 0.0% 16.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 3 33.33% 19.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Thematic 25 20.0% 35.56 0.394 72.0% -0.188 0.4603
6 Two Centers (Default) 43 11.63% 22.88 3.282 67.44% -0.927 -1.2614

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 104 20.92 1.267 59.62% 0.172 0.3018
Aid From Lesser Spirits 130 24.18 4.788 70.0% 1.331 1.2128
All Things Weaken 116 23.19 0.296 68.1% -0.055 0.2528
Attenuated Essence 34 19.29 1.052 61.76% 0.84 0.8725
Back Against the Wall 104 23.96 1.436 62.5% -0.429 -0.3992
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 43 20.0 0.351 60.47% 0.179 0.365
Burn Brightest Before the End 25 19.28 0.696 48.0% -0.022 0.0483
Disintegrating Ecosystem 119 17.45 0.445 54.62% 0.359 0.7351
Downward Spiral 158 20.16 -0.306 68.35% 0.308 0.474
Erosion of Will 130 20.03 -1.423 52.31% -1.017 -0.8028
Intensifying Exploitation 37 17.19 1.659 48.65% 0.223 0.4643
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 55 26.71 1.761 89.09% 0.687 0.1057
Memory Fades to Dust 173 18.8 -0.871 57.8% -0.18 0.1126
Power Corrodes the Spirit 126 20.76 -0.194 62.7% -0.171 -0.0103
Promising Farmlands 109 18.93 -2.26 61.47% -0.464 -0.1675
Shattered Fragments of Power 28 21.25 -4.288 57.14% -0.924 -0.836
Slow Dissolution of Will 40 20.18 -0.999 60.0% -0.425 -0.0323
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 40 25.35 -2.101 87.5% 0.392 -0.3201
The Border of Life and Death 10 16.5 1.313 50.0% 0.334 -0.1459
Thriving Communities 135 21.39 0.277 61.48% -0.212 0.0878
Thriving Crops 19 21.16 7.483 57.89% 0.522 0.4206
Unnatural Proliferation 132 23.04 0.34 58.33% 0.033 0.2023
Untended Land Crumbles 121 21.15 0.253 63.64% 0.429 0.6874

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1427 28.26% 23.32 -0.099 72.11% -0.231 0.9118
B 1475 25.88% 23.52 -0.301 72.68% -0.276 0.7792
C 1460 26.58% 24.41 -0.082 75.68% -0.278 0.6099
D 1370 25.88% 22.86 -0.66 70.44% -0.432 0.6218
E 1329 24.66% 24.25 0.753 72.61% -0.182 0.7225
F 1202 25.98% 23.78 0.295 72.8% -0.267 0.7367
G 1121 26.63% 23.62 0.393 73.68% -0.006 0.9622
H 1135 26.39% 23.42 -0.854 70.75% -0.546 0.4463
East 412 24.51% 25.23 3.482 57.52% 0.235 1.2236
Northeast 204 25.49% 25.31 -0.039 55.88% -0.578 0.3715
Northwest 156 22.44% 23.94 -3.375 56.41% -1.117 -0.0754
Southeast 148 18.24% 25.13 1.12 59.46% -0.085 0.8332
Southwest 148 22.3% 19.37 -3.184 47.97% -1.019 0.4382
West 389 24.68% 21.42 -1.954 49.87% -1.135 -0.0279

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 16 0.0% 21.81 -6.166 68.75% -0.774 -0.1104
Not Using Events or Tokens 232 22.47% 25.24 -0.049 81.03% 0.195 0.6891
Skip Initial Invader Actions 157 12.24% 35.16 0.888 78.34% -0.529 -1.1511
Start of Game Growth 225 15.35% 32.8 4.598 78.22% 1.281 0.8689
Unlimited Undo 569 21.59% 25.0 0.336 71.88% 0.041 -0.0539
Using Tokens but Not Events 629 22.65% 24.7 1.771 75.52% 0.696 0.7711

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1565 16.77 8.75%
II 1880 30.59 74.04%
III 2678 34.74 92.72%
IV 1232 38.3 99.35%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.024 Win Model: 0.624
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4912 27.61% 23.7 70.28%
2 1429 29.22% 23.25 71.8%
3 612 24.75% 26.41 80.88%
4 298 15.1% 20.24 62.75%
5 26 42.31% 27.35 84.62%
6 78 14.1% 27.44 69.23%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 137
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2421
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1311
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1216
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1367
Lose: Invader deck ran out 34
Lose: Adversary condition 198
Win: Sacrifice victory 28
Lose: Scenario condition 40
Win: Scenario condition 123
Lose: Blight pool ran out 445
Lose: Spirit destroyed 35

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 355 23.58% 30.32 1.448 70.7% 0.372 0.3362
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 211 46.67% 26.78 -0.129 61.14% -0.099 0.0599
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 40 32.5% 34.6 5.486 75.0% 1.017 0.0047
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 230 35.22% 30.19 2.304 71.74% 0.781 0.5688
Downpour Drenches the World 546 25.65% 26.53 -0.335 60.44% -0.18 0.0672
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 339 17.66% 29.81 1.199 69.32% 0.504 -0.0583
Eyes Watch From the Trees 379 20.32% 32.3 4.693 74.93% 0.93 0.451
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 261 26.05% 31.84 5.504 73.56% 1.35 0.9433
Finder of Paths Unseen 280 37.91% 22.48 -4.732 55.71% -0.826 -0.0638
Fractured Days Split the Sky 176 32.39% 24.05 -3.099 47.16% -1.099 -0.4369
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 344 40.12% 28.33 -1.318 62.5% -0.182 -0.185
Heart of the Wildfire 237 58.23% 23.33 -4.438 54.01% -1.002 -0.6319
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 494 32.45% 29.83 -0.212 71.26% 0.145 -0.2811
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 48 18.75% 28.38 1.646 70.83% 0.533 0.0403
Lightning's Swift Strike 125 44.8% 27.18 -1.721 64.8% -0.111 0.1025
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 162 32.7% 31.3 0.565 72.22% -0.107 -0.7223
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 83 34.15% 33.25 5.41 72.29% 0.943 0.6571
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 108 26.85% 28.52 0.126 63.89% -0.238 -0.34
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 312 38.46% 27.92 -0.464 61.22% -0.019 -0.2656
Many Minds Move as One 245 26.64% 29.59 -0.253 65.31% -0.227 -0.3882
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 636 38.31% 29.31 -0.198 67.45% 0.085 0.1191
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 267 31.46% 28.13 0.329 66.67% 0.146 -0.021
River Surges in Sunlight 199 34.69% 30.29 2.179 69.85% 0.575 0.6024
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 105 35.24% 30.09 1.822 65.71% 0.25 0.5887
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 246 31.15% 32.75 3.04 73.98% 0.661 0.629
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 252 28.23% 27.28 1.179 60.71% 0.192 0.0813
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 73 39.44% 21.0 -5.241 50.68% -0.901 -0.3252
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 70 42.86% 27.5 -1.399 62.86% -0.249 -0.2256
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 45 37.78% 36.49 4.186 88.89% 0.821 0.3693
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 87 40.23% 27.74 -2.883 62.07% -0.98 -0.7437
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 52 36.54% 26.27 4.81 59.62% 0.593 0.5053
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 39 41.03% 24.92 -4.162 56.41% -0.662 -0.4665
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 236 34.04% 30.06 0.986 72.46% 0.449 0.4271
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 105 36.19% 28.94 0.556 61.9% -0.203 -0.5356
Shifting Memory of Ages 230 41.85% 24.52 -0.595 53.04% -0.199 0.0821
Shroud of Silent Mist 201 48.26% 23.14 -0.763 52.74% 0.067 0.3403
Starlight Seeks its Form 270 27.88% 26.59 -0.231 62.22% 0.209 -0.0109
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 337 25.89% 28.04 1.283 66.47% 0.56 0.113
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 195 36.79% 25.65 -1.637 56.92% -0.462 -0.3403
Thunderspeaker 221 31.96% 29.46 -1.646 66.52% -0.485 -0.4667
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 86 43.02% 21.98 -2.09 48.84% -0.163 0.0411
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 197 58.88% 23.2 -1.395 52.79% -0.311 -0.1366
Vital Strength of the Earth 107 28.04% 21.34 -3.174 48.6% -0.673 -0.101
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 161 29.38% 25.37 -3.306 54.66% -1.103 -0.7212
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 53 30.19% 21.74 -3.272 45.28% -0.645 0.112
Volcano Looming High 254 37.8% 24.91 -2.568 61.81% -0.387 -0.4137
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 124 20.16% 32.34 3.712 77.42% 0.766 0.2326

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 25 32.0% 21.32 -4.184 52.0% -0.437 -0.6229
Blitz 0 94 21.28% 18.23 -4.009 41.49% -0.451 -0.3198
Dahan Insurrection 4 84 38.1% 43.07 3.211 54.76% -1.074 -1.3293
Despicable Theft 2 56 39.29% 21.68 -0.129 30.36% -0.458 0.0831
Elemental Invocation 1 65 33.85% 25.18 1.492 52.31% 0.094 0.951
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 157 10.83% 30.82 5.977 59.87% 0.937 0.1655
Powers Long Forgotten 1 60 33.33% 17.08 -7.967 25.0% -1.696 -0.7615
Rituals of Terror 3 15 33.33% 26.8 3.563 46.67% -0.048 0.048
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 17 23.53% 16.71 -2.008 29.41% -0.429 0.7677
Second Wave 0 371 37.57% 32.32 2.546 66.85% 0.31 0.396
The Great River 3 20 35.0% 23.45 -4.905 40.0% -0.454 0.9077
Varied Terrains 2 69 40.58% 21.46 -1.669 36.23% -0.525 0.2632
Ward the Shores 2 63 47.62% 14.13 -8.578 15.87% -1.742 -0.7096

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3734 33.61% 27.68 -0.327 64.49% -0.054 0.1368
1 Thematic 314 32.17% 24.13 0.218 45.86% -0.004 0.641
2 Archipelago 2 100.0% 49.5 1.202 50.0% -0.315 0.1169
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 905 33.48% 26.47 -0.359 62.87% 0.045 0.0408
2 Coastline 148 31.51% 26.47 -2.456 63.51% -0.903 -0.8467
2 Fragment 30 30.0% 22.57 -1.076 50.0% -0.02 -0.2861
2 Heart 21 42.86% 32.62 3.596 71.43% 0.329 0.2905
2 Opposite Shores 184 33.88% 28.49 2.077 66.85% 0.186 0.2003
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 142 34.51% 23.05 -1.941 41.55% -0.797 -0.6005
2 Top to Top 32 46.88% 26.0 -3.792 50.0% -0.791 -0.8887
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 45.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 7 71.43% 36.71 3.483 100.0% 0.451 -0.5736
3 Other 13 46.15% 24.54 3.44 61.54% 0.835 0.4424
3 Round (Default) 522 36.24% 30.5 1.05 72.03% 0.034 -0.3018
3 Thematic 16 43.75% 25.5 -0.345 50.0% 0.191 -0.0931
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 35.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 4 50.0% 36.0 0.0 75.0%
4 Other 6 66.67% 26.17 2.114 83.33% 0.708 -0.6216
4 Thematic 17 23.53% 31.29 -10.967 41.18% -1.271 -1.3503
4 Trapezoid (Default) 149 29.53% 28.61 1.297 67.79% 0.045 -0.1113
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 34.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 27 29.63% 34.96 5.322 85.19% 0.29 -0.7851
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 2 50.0% 31.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 10 40.0% 27.5 -0.975 40.0% -0.475 -0.6781
6 Thematic 27 20.83% 30.22 13.404 59.26% 0.472 1.121
6 Two Centers (Default) 24 20.83% 27.92 -0.659 54.17% -0.666 -1.0005
7 Other 2 0.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 142 26.42 -0.377 59.15% 0.486 0.6155
Aid From Lesser Spirits 86 28.24 2.322 58.14% 0.249 0.1308
All Things Weaken 128 26.51 0.316 62.5% 0.264 0.5711
Attenuated Essence 51 24.45 2.51 52.94% 0.247 0.279
Back Against the Wall 120 26.05 -0.88 57.5% -0.215 -0.1854
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 40 26.9 1.514 52.5% 0.288 0.4737
Burn Brightest Before the End 43 27.81 5.555 53.49% 0.557 0.6269
Disintegrating Ecosystem 132 26.01 0.528 61.36% 0.291 0.6671
Downward Spiral 167 26.08 0.897 63.47% 0.635 0.8009
Erosion of Will 126 25.52 1.91 57.14% 0.581 0.7956
Intensifying Exploitation 48 21.5 -1.095 52.08% 0.339 0.5808
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 80 30.57 1.098 76.25% 0.252 -0.3293
Memory Fades to Dust 148 24.95 -0.633 56.08% 0.178 0.4707
Power Corrodes the Spirit 120 26.14 -3.557 61.67% -0.5 -0.3385
Promising Farmlands 140 25.36 2.272 57.14% 0.651 0.9475
Shattered Fragments of Power 33 25.67 4.744 51.52% 0.17 0.2578
Slow Dissolution of Will 40 19.93 -2.834 30.0% -0.963 -0.5697
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 49 30.16 1.604 71.43% -0.214 -0.9254
The Border of Life and Death 7 30.57 -0.862 71.43% -0.225 -0.7047
Thriving Communities 130 23.85 -1.121 56.15% -0.127 0.1727
Thriving Crops 26 28.77 6.503 61.54% 0.9 0.7984
Unnatural Proliferation 136 25.82 1.807 50.74% 0.065 0.2346
Untended Land Crumbles 140 24.11 -0.945 52.86% -0.324 -0.0659

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1219 33.99% 27.96 0.69 65.14% -0.113 1.0301
B 1262 34.29% 28.36 0.553 66.32% -0.121 0.9344
C 1302 32.53% 29.08 -0.127 68.28% -0.26 0.6285
D 1205 33.25% 27.58 -0.128 63.65% -0.304 0.7497
E 1129 32.77% 28.54 0.616 67.05% -0.177 0.727
F 1039 34.23% 27.59 -0.249 65.16% -0.18 0.824
G 939 35.61% 27.61 0.337 62.83% -0.304 0.6637
H 941 35.36% 28.29 0.682 66.42% 0.043 1.0361
East 342 31.56% 25.67 1.984 46.49% -0.087 0.9015
Northeast 167 34.76% 24.41 -1.192 41.92% -0.843 0.1068
Northwest 129 27.78% 25.25 -2.609 47.29% -0.853 0.1883
Southeast 117 26.32% 26.6 1.184 52.99% 0.046 0.9645
Southwest 116 29.2% 23.7 -1.024 47.41% -0.428 1.029
West 307 32.24% 23.53 -4.367 44.3% -1.113 -0.0057

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 21 0.0% 29.62 6.415 71.43% 0.236 0.8998
Not Using Events or Tokens 87 26.83% 24.39 -1.861 52.87% -0.454 0.0405
Skip Initial Invader Actions 152 7.48% 40.15 6.161 86.84% 1.115 0.4926
Start of Game Growth 247 13.22% 37.0 1.942 80.57% 0.246 -0.1664
Unlimited Undo 573 24.16% 27.25 -1.025 63.35% -0.279 -0.3741
Using Tokens but Not Events 553 22.53% 30.4 1.759 72.51% 0.641 0.7161

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1438 16.77 3.41%
II 1324 30.59 47.21%
III 2160 34.74 89.58%
IV 1428 38.3 99.16%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.543 Win Model: 0.436
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4118 33.49% 27.21 62.46%
2 1415 34.14% 27.01 62.61%
3 553 36.38% 29.96 70.71%
4 169 30.18% 30.02 68.64%
5 30 30.0% 32.6 80.0%
6 65 24.19% 29.92 55.38%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 49
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1894
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 604
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1403
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1055
Lose: Invader deck ran out 20
Lose: Adversary condition 698
Win: Sacrifice victory 19
Lose: Scenario condition 42
Win: Scenario condition 56
Lose: Blight pool ran out 493
Lose: Spirit destroyed 17

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 434 29.17% 33.04 1.57 72.81% 0.426 0.3906
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 206 50.0% 28.57 -1.997 59.22% -0.447 -0.2885
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 64 29.69% 37.63 5.844 79.69% 1.19 0.1772
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 299 39.8% 31.21 -0.122 68.9% 0.071 -0.1416
Downpour Drenches the World 620 31.06% 29.71 0.37 61.29% 0.271 0.5183
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 528 28.98% 33.1 3.047 71.97% 0.755 0.1922
Eyes Watch From the Trees 496 39.92% 32.95 3.443 66.13% 0.747 0.2678
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 322 40.99% 32.78 1.337 70.5% 0.43 0.0241
Finder of Paths Unseen 364 43.96% 27.51 -4.941 62.91% -0.769 -0.0073
Fractured Days Split the Sky 166 36.75% 28.77 0.702 54.82% -0.059 0.6035
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 334 47.75% 27.97 -0.772 54.49% -0.172 -0.1746
Heart of the Wildfire 284 69.96% 25.29 -4.677 53.52% -1.189 -0.8189
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 604 32.06% 34.19 0.349 72.35% 0.161 -0.2657
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 98 31.63% 34.6 2.156 80.61% 0.762 0.2691
Lightning's Swift Strike 141 44.68% 31.7 3.024 66.67% 0.672 0.8854
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 250 43.21% 35.63 1.055 77.2% 0.3 -0.3158
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 100 36.0% 33.25 -0.165 67.0% -0.172 -0.458
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 105 31.43% 31.98 -1.634 61.9% -0.287 -0.3896
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 422 41.71% 30.45 -0.451 65.17% 0.141 -0.1055
Many Minds Move as One 280 30.71% 32.34 -0.774 68.57% -0.13 -0.2916
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 789 39.8% 32.02 0.273 68.19% 0.132 0.1658
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 343 40.52% 29.55 0.724 59.18% 0.085 -0.082
River Surges in Sunlight 216 38.14% 36.5 2.395 77.31% 0.405 0.4326
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 117 46.15% 32.04 -2.651 62.39% -0.741 -0.4018
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 285 38.52% 36.71 2.327 75.09% 0.04 0.0084
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 331 34.86% 30.5 0.736 60.73% -0.022 -0.1327
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 42 57.14% 24.52 -1.151 50.0% -0.276 0.2996
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 65 53.85% 36.57 4.281 80.0% 1.065 1.0878
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 74 54.05% 30.66 1.165 62.16% 0.049 -0.4032
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 78 53.85% 32.03 -0.107 60.26% -0.016 0.2199
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 51 49.02% 28.27 1.373 62.75% 0.353 0.2657
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 35 54.29% 22.77 -10.457 48.57% -1.1 -0.9042
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 192 38.3% 32.23 -0.016 70.31% 0.129 0.1078
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 156 36.77% 30.92 -1.564 69.87% -0.404 -0.7365
Shifting Memory of Ages 293 45.05% 26.9 -0.955 56.66% -0.009 0.2723
Shroud of Silent Mist 210 59.52% 27.47 -0.978 56.67% -0.239 0.0343
Starlight Seeks its Form 429 31.24% 31.68 0.754 66.9% 0.09 -0.13
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 416 28.09% 31.64 0.517 71.63% 0.286 -0.1611
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 268 58.21% 29.68 1.574 57.84% 0.693 0.8147
Thunderspeaker 231 38.7% 31.06 -2.254 67.1% -0.306 -0.2869
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 88 36.36% 28.49 -1.424 61.36% -0.314 -0.1097
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 227 67.84% 26.58 -1.36 58.15% -0.126 0.0486
Vital Strength of the Earth 95 25.53% 21.95 -1.223 40.0% -0.607 -0.0353
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 194 39.68% 27.07 -4.158 54.12% -0.805 -0.4235
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 58 36.21% 27.6 -2.281 53.45% -0.948 -0.1905
Volcano Looming High 418 49.04% 29.61 -2.345 66.03% -0.3 -0.3268
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 164 32.93% 36.09 3.23 81.1% 0.714 0.1802

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 17 11.76% 31.18 5.223 70.59% 0.252 0.0662
Blitz 0 98 26.53% 26.67 -9.223 47.96% -1.481 -1.35
Dahan Insurrection 4 73 38.36% 38.85 7.922 45.21% 0.386 0.1306
Despicable Theft 2 40 50.0% 23.27 -11.523 17.5% -1.394 -0.8523
Elemental Invocation 1 63 44.44% 21.48 -4.378 39.68% -1.028 -0.1714
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 247 18.22% 33.36 1.522 57.49% -0.179 -0.9505
Powers Long Forgotten 1 45 28.89% 11.47 -8.887 20.0% -1.237 -0.3023
Rituals of Terror 3 19 52.63% 25.58 -11.9 42.11% -0.603 -0.5074
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 19 63.16% 20.05 -6.277 21.05% -0.475 0.7214
Second Wave 0 307 31.91% 36.25 3.552 69.38% 0.361 0.4471
The Great River 3 9 33.33% 20.11 -7.352 22.22% -0.601 0.7601
Varied Terrains 2 67 56.72% 25.88 -1.534 37.31% -0.523 0.2655
Ward the Shores 2 46 45.65% 26.26 -3.652 36.96% -0.867 0.1654

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4323 41.35% 30.52 -0.251 64.1% 0.342 0.5333
1 Thematic 289 32.87% 23.05 -0.033 35.64% 0.017 0.6621
2 Archipelago 19 63.16% 30.0 7.35 47.37% 0.474 0.9055
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1213 40.76% 30.9 -0.059 67.11% 0.326 0.3227
2 Coastline 173 41.62% 34.52 -1.089 77.46% -0.114 -0.0579
2 Fragment 31 38.71% 29.39 -1.655 61.29% -0.148 -0.4145
2 Heart 23 56.52% 21.04 -7.411 34.78% -0.747 -0.786
2 Opposite Shores 296 44.26% 30.97 1.269 66.89% 0.486 0.5001
2 Thematic 128 28.13% 23.97 -4.585 39.84% -0.463 -0.266
2 Top to Top 50 42.0% 32.3 -2.407 74.0% -0.109 -0.2071
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 40.17 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 6 33.33% 27.5 0.114 50.0% -0.279 -1.3027
3 Other 7 14.29% 30.29 3.783 57.14% 1.238 0.8457
3 Round (Default) 579 36.44% 32.66 0.618 70.47% 0.174 -0.1618
3 Sunrise 6 100.0% 28.5 -2.275 50.0% -0.242 0.0008
3 Thematic 17 29.41% 27.65 -6.794 52.94% -0.569 -0.8534
4 Archipelago 11 27.27% 33.91 7.943 63.64% 0.449 0.2921
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 35.0 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 38.25 4.025 75.0% 0.064 -0.0838
4 Other 5 20.0% 25.2 -0.873 60.0% -0.396 -1.7259
4 Thematic 42 47.62% 31.79 -1.354 52.38% -0.822 -0.9017
4 Trapezoid (Default) 203 35.96% 33.1 2.345 73.4% 0.527 0.3702
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 3 100.0% 27.67 0.0 66.67%
5 Other 48 43.75% 32.38 0.045 81.25% 0.449 -0.6258
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 7 42.86% 21.71 -15.5 28.57% -0.699 -0.9027
6 Star 4 75.0% 29.0 1.285 75.0% 0.076 0.1754
6 Thematic 34 42.42% 34.38 8.471 58.82% 0.571 1.22
6 Two Centers (Default) 13 30.77% 30.08 -8.943 61.54% -1.167 -1.5017
7 Other 2 0.0% 52.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 194 29.21 0.976 58.25% 0.139 0.2681
Aid From Lesser Spirits 154 32.75 2.425 72.73% 0.25 0.1319
All Things Weaken 214 28.98 2.181 59.35% 0.71 1.0174
Attenuated Essence 71 26.66 0.6 52.11% -0.009 0.0234
Back Against the Wall 140 30.46 1.101 57.14% 0.39 0.4197
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 66 25.71 -1.895 51.52% -0.376 -0.1901
Burn Brightest Before the End 38 33.76 2.251 63.16% 0.345 0.4152
Disintegrating Ecosystem 176 29.22 -2.493 65.34% -0.478 -0.1022
Downward Spiral 205 27.49 -0.401 58.05% 0.22 0.3859
Erosion of Will 160 27.56 0.481 51.25% -0.172 0.0422
Intensifying Exploitation 78 24.44 0.53 50.0% 0.31 0.5519
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 82 37.02 3.146 85.37% 0.92 0.3385
Memory Fades to Dust 204 30.0 3.013 63.24% 0.741 1.034
Power Corrodes the Spirit 192 28.47 -0.593 59.9% 0.041 0.202
Promising Farmlands 214 28.35 0.164 63.08% 0.26 0.5565
Shattered Fragments of Power 49 29.92 0.006 61.22% -0.031 0.0571
Slow Dissolution of Will 76 27.89 -2.285 52.63% -0.55 -0.1569
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 60 31.87 3.073 71.67% 0.603 -0.1086
The Border of Life and Death 20 29.0 -5.544 60.0% -0.441 -0.9208
Thriving Communities 225 27.1 -0.475 53.78% -0.019 0.2806
Thriving Crops 36 30.36 3.138 66.67% 0.622 0.5207
Unnatural Proliferation 207 29.12 0.321 59.9% 0.232 0.4008
Untended Land Crumbles 193 27.24 1.326 55.44% 0.58 0.8378

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1596 40.53% 31.79 -0.342 67.73% -0.514 0.6284
B 1527 39.83% 31.37 0.643 67.39% -0.139 0.9162
C 1729 39.21% 31.84 1.091 69.12% -0.041 0.8471
D 1393 37.6% 30.0 0.2 63.1% -0.403 0.6507
E 1371 41.46% 31.69 1.441 67.32% 0.026 0.9306
F 1267 45.26% 31.06 -0.436 67.48% -0.605 0.3991
G 1129 42.73% 30.85 -0.007 66.78% -0.332 0.6359
H 1093 39.47% 31.87 -0.373 68.44% -0.562 0.4307
East 339 34.62% 24.96 -1.116 39.23% -0.876 0.1119
Northeast 169 30.95% 25.99 -3.191 39.05% -1.139 -0.1896
Northwest 152 31.13% 30.3 0.497 53.95% 0.001 1.0428
Southeast 137 38.97% 26.42 -1.277 45.26% -0.206 0.7125
Southwest 130 38.76% 25.27 -4.567 43.08% -0.806 0.6504
West 324 34.98% 26.88 3.227 46.3% 0.548 1.6545

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 17 0.0% 40.65 8.502 88.24% 0.417 1.0805
Not Using Events or Tokens 100 26.8% 23.11 -5.107 45.0% -1.221 -0.7266
Skip Initial Invader Actions 148 16.67% 43.02 6.148 75.68% 0.862 0.2396
Start of Game Growth 173 15.95% 43.08 4.531 79.19% 0.672 0.2595
Unlimited Undo 849 35.55% 29.66 -1.617 60.66% -0.424 -0.5194
Using Tokens but Not Events 654 31.25% 31.16 0.2 66.21% 0.231 0.3068

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1741 16.77 1.26%
II 1542 30.59 52.66%
III 2508 34.74 90.19%
IV 1768 38.3 99.21%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.545 Win Model: 0.528
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4672 40.85% 29.96 62.11%
2 1896 41.27% 30.96 66.24%
3 617 36.3% 32.34 69.21%
4 263 36.5% 32.95 70.72%
5 51 50.98% 34.18 84.31%
6 60 38.98% 32.73 60.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 22
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2220
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 785
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1741
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1103
Lose: Invader deck ran out 30
Lose: Adversary condition 842
Win: Sacrifice victory 33
Lose: Scenario condition 51
Win: Scenario condition 49
Lose: Blight pool ran out 625
Lose: Spirit destroyed 58

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 586 25.26% 40.6 1.486 70.14% 0.635 0.5993
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 281 59.79% 36.99 -2.635 62.28% -0.21 -0.052
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 153 33.99% 43.16 2.317 74.51% 0.387 -0.6255
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 407 41.13% 37.85 -0.357 66.83% 0.217 0.0049
Downpour Drenches the World 836 28.95% 36.27 -1.432 62.32% -0.046 0.2013
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 826 30.51% 41.32 1.599 75.3% 0.563 0.0001
Eyes Watch From the Trees 598 29.98% 44.56 1.345 77.59% 0.342 -0.1374
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 427 40.52% 43.41 2.744 76.35% 0.681 0.2743
Finder of Paths Unseen 460 50.87% 33.67 -4.652 58.91% -0.531 0.2315
Fractured Days Split the Sky 285 36.79% 38.01 -1.375 52.63% -0.424 0.2385
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 460 51.3% 36.25 -0.036 63.91% 0.052 0.0497
Heart of the Wildfire 341 65.88% 30.29 -4.959 51.03% -0.462 -0.0923
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1058 31.4% 44.64 3.459 74.76% 0.653 0.2262
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 151 39.74% 39.93 2.703 71.52% 0.719 0.226
Lightning's Swift Strike 191 60.96% 37.6 -0.611 61.78% -0.239 -0.026
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 479 42.4% 44.53 0.031 76.2% 0.315 -0.3012
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 154 49.02% 39.66 -4.381 68.83% -0.791 -1.0768
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 221 29.41% 44.1 2.349 76.92% 0.886 0.7837
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 631 48.25% 37.84 -1.859 63.23% -0.223 -0.4694
Many Minds Move as One 329 32.83% 38.7 0.353 68.69% 0.293 0.1317
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1336 41.91% 39.53 -0.001 68.11% 0.15 0.1841
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 436 39.54% 40.85 0.053 73.39% 0.222 0.0548
River Surges in Sunlight 264 41.0% 46.22 2.298 78.79% 0.328 0.3556
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 163 35.58% 30.8 -6.962 50.92% -0.77 -0.4312
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 500 40.68% 47.25 3.55 76.0% 0.552 0.5207
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 642 31.62% 40.42 2.29 67.91% 0.355 0.2447
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 31 80.65% 29.65 2.885 41.94% 0.43 1.0059
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 82 67.07% 33.88 -5.883 56.1% -0.674 -0.6506
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 126 57.94% 38.06 0.47 63.49% -0.027 -0.4787
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 114 60.53% 37.27 -2.999 63.16% -0.257 -0.0214
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 64 67.19% 30.3 -11.033 45.31% -1.278 -1.3653
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 21 76.19% 32.67 -12.105 52.38% -0.782 -0.5866
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 357 38.59% 40.69 -4.372 69.19% -0.44 -0.4611
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 208 29.33% 38.33 -1.066 66.83% -0.098 -0.43
Shifting Memory of Ages 427 44.37% 34.24 -2.541 57.85% -0.228 0.0532
Shroud of Silent Mist 313 57.23% 32.96 -0.607 55.59% 0.16 0.4327
Starlight Seeks its Form 831 36.51% 37.61 -0.852 65.46% 0.015 -0.2051
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 591 29.32% 41.58 0.731 74.45% 0.42 -0.0265
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 291 48.1% 36.97 0.903 63.57% 0.369 0.4906
Thunderspeaker 312 44.63% 42.66 -0.107 68.91% 0.067 0.0855
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 148 37.16% 35.41 -0.491 51.35% -0.11 0.0946
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 393 72.26% 34.59 -2.732 62.09% -0.12 0.0544
Vital Strength of the Earth 88 32.56% 29.84 -2.225 46.59% -0.542 0.03
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 346 42.57% 35.73 -1.563 59.83% -0.124 0.2575
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 42 38.1% 34.74 -5.148 61.9% -0.611 0.1464
Volcano Looming High 682 54.25% 38.05 -0.537 69.5% 0.06 0.0337
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 317 41.01% 41.24 2.124 72.24% 0.579 0.0455

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 12 41.67% 33.83 0.0 66.67%
Blitz 0 133 19.55% 49.06 7.357 59.4% 0.014 0.1453
Dahan Insurrection 4 85 44.71% 51.15 0.579 41.18% -1.072 -1.3274
Despicable Theft 2 16 37.5% 35.81 10.483 43.75% 0.534 1.0751
Elemental Invocation 1 41 41.46% 31.71 -5.674 51.22% -0.408 0.4485
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 342 18.71% 41.71 0.674 59.06% -0.139 -0.9103
Powers Long Forgotten 1 22 40.91% 32.59 -5.767 50.0% -0.523 0.4122
Rituals of Terror 3 27 18.52% 25.67 -3.518 29.63% -0.061 0.0353
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 10 70.0% 32.6 18.166 40.0% 0.351 1.5477
Second Wave 0 265 35.36% 44.08 2.916 67.92% -0.028 0.0579
The Great River 3 30 50.0% 33.77 5.464 36.67% 0.254 1.6159
Varied Terrains 2 39 51.28% 27.82 -14.267 33.33% -1.472 -0.6836
Ward the Shores 2 23 47.83% 31.57 -11.845 43.48% -1.115 -0.0833

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6585 44.42% 38.63 0.106 66.86% 0.339 0.5302
1 Thematic 205 40.98% 33.12 -3.708 42.93% -0.652 -0.0068
2 Archipelago 16 31.25% 36.94 -5.889 50.0% -0.341 0.0905
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1746 40.26% 38.07 -0.541 69.13% 0.022 0.0183
2 Coastline 234 39.74% 41.8 1.782 73.93% 0.344 0.3999
2 Fragment 41 46.34% 32.15 -0.597 48.78% -0.388 -0.6543
2 Heart 28 46.43% 40.29 -2.969 71.43% -0.633 -0.6714
2 Opposite Shores 380 42.37% 35.78 -1.192 62.37% -0.049 -0.035
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 93 48.39% 32.78 -2.604 45.16% -0.053 0.1435
2 Top to Top 90 46.67% 45.06 4.473 85.56% 0.922 0.8243
3 Archipelago 8 87.5% 29.0 0.0 25.0%
3 Coastline 4 75.0% 54.0 5.121 100.0% 0.353 -0.6714
3 Other 27 18.52% 29.78 -1.25 44.44% 0.116 -0.2766
3 Round (Default) 958 37.71% 40.82 0.903 70.56% 0.009 -0.3264
3 Sunrise 2 0.0% 24.5 6.301 50.0% 0.206 0.4491
3 Thematic 29 17.24% 42.83 0.072 62.07% 0.184 -0.0999
4 Archipelago 11 90.91% 49.45 0.0 90.91%
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 37.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 37 51.35% 32.97 -2.672 67.57% -0.052 -1.3817
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 0.0 -14.43 0.0% -0.377 -0.0252
4 Thematic 52 50.0% 44.94 -0.438 53.85% -0.167 -0.2461
4 Trapezoid (Default) 362 39.28% 41.27 0.491 71.82% -0.333 -0.4894
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 25 28.0% 48.08 7.547 92.0% 0.477 -0.5977
5 Thematic 20 60.0% 58.8 -0.246 30.0% -0.428 -0.4343
6 Other 9 50.0% 49.44 0.0 77.78%
6 Star 9 33.33% 23.22 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 71 19.72% 44.65 3.717 56.34% 0.119 0.7677
6 Two Centers (Default) 51 23.53% 39.69 -2.826 74.51% -0.542 -0.877

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 289 39.0 -0.76 68.17% -0.145 -0.0152
Aid From Lesser Spirits 229 39.9 0.159 65.07% -0.206 -0.3245
All Things Weaken 293 36.19 -1.378 60.41% -0.449 -0.1414
Attenuated Essence 107 33.21 -1.636 54.21% -0.382 -0.3498
Back Against the Wall 243 37.84 -0.1 63.37% 0.06 0.0901
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 84 36.05 0.677 61.9% 0.242 0.4282
Burn Brightest Before the End 85 35.99 -0.728 58.82% -0.355 -0.2851
Disintegrating Ecosystem 300 34.21 -1.132 60.0% -0.218 0.1582
Downward Spiral 292 36.4 -0.94 64.04% -0.103 0.0627
Erosion of Will 305 35.99 -1.072 59.02% -0.28 -0.0652
Intensifying Exploitation 113 33.35 -1.519 54.87% -0.309 -0.0677
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 158 42.46 1.988 81.01% 0.82 0.2389
Memory Fades to Dust 323 34.07 -1.399 56.66% -0.363 -0.0704
Power Corrodes the Spirit 296 34.46 -1.412 59.8% -0.312 -0.1514
Promising Farmlands 307 34.52 -3.882 58.96% -0.537 -0.241
Shattered Fragments of Power 77 34.95 -0.16 55.84% -0.149 -0.0612
Slow Dissolution of Will 96 35.71 -2.78 58.33% -0.363 0.0298
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 97 42.67 2.769 79.38% 0.594 -0.1176
The Border of Life and Death 29 33.55 -4.717 65.52% -0.384 -0.864
Thriving Communities 335 35.47 -0.755 60.9% -0.11 0.1901
Thriving Crops 45 39.82 5.182 75.56% 1.104 1.0025
Unnatural Proliferation 319 37.51 -1.214 63.64% -0.491 -0.3215
Untended Land Crumbles 299 34.09 -2.287 58.53% -0.487 -0.2288

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2339 43.22% 37.99 -0.501 66.61% -0.26 0.8821
B 2385 40.12% 39.25 -0.371 69.43% -0.351 0.7037
C 2590 40.12% 38.63 0.019 67.61% -0.237 0.6509
D 2070 41.89% 37.31 -1.575 64.25% -0.58 0.4743
E 2116 41.06% 40.4 0.478 71.22% -0.225 0.6792
F 1846 42.07% 39.59 1.284 69.18% -0.065 0.9391
G 1778 42.55% 39.4 1.48 69.52% 0.091 1.0588
H 1699 39.75% 40.4 1.243 71.51% -0.142 0.8505
East 340 37.65% 38.33 0.745 44.41% -0.421 0.5675
Northeast 218 35.78% 41.51 0.629 44.95% -0.583 0.3663
Northwest 192 40.1% 42.68 0.841 50.0% -0.119 0.9226
Southeast 174 35.63% 42.74 1.301 52.3% -0.142 0.7765
Southwest 162 32.72% 39.22 -0.046 54.94% 0.066 1.5233
West 335 40.3% 40.61 -1.766 51.94% -1.1 0.0073

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 32 0.0% 46.66 0.0 75.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 53 35.85% 29.38 -8.621 45.28% -0.89 -0.3957
Skip Initial Invader Actions 265 12.4% 53.25 9.331 70.57% 1.199 0.576
Start of Game Growth 372 11.3% 47.66 2.402 69.09% -0.097 -0.5093
Unlimited Undo 1103 35.02% 42.44 1.307 72.44% 0.008 -0.0866
Using Tokens but Not Events 791 30.17% 39.93 0.547 68.9% 0.279 0.3548

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2104 16.77 2.04%
II 2698 30.59 56.12%
III 4333 34.74 90.35%
IV 1983 38.3 99.7%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.37 Win Model: 0.463
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6866 44.24% 38.41 66.05%
2 2591 41.53% 38.23 68.2%
3 1013 36.74% 40.5 69.69%
4 466 42.33% 41.25 69.96%
5 44 43.18% 52.84 63.64%
6 138 23.36% 41.57 63.04%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 43
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3855
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1480
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1961
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1400
Lose: Invader deck ran out 56
Lose: Adversary condition 1068
Win: Sacrifice victory 65
Lose: Scenario condition 82
Win: Scenario condition 45
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1004
Lose: Spirit destroyed 59

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 453 34.22% 41.02 2.546 64.24% 0.543 0.5068
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 238 64.29% 32.42 -4.914 46.64% -0.575 -0.4169
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 186 52.69% 39.19 3.179 58.6% 0.51 -0.5023
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 302 60.6% 35.46 0.722 56.29% 0.198 -0.0143
Downpour Drenches the World 606 41.75% 35.7 -4.506 55.61% -0.573 -0.3256
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 751 42.21% 39.83 2.446 70.04% 0.726 0.1633
Eyes Watch From the Trees 464 43.32% 41.86 3.627 68.75% 0.684 0.2049
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 290 52.76% 40.06 2.35 65.86% 0.476 0.0697
Finder of Paths Unseen 356 55.9% 34.44 -1.634 55.34% -0.111 0.6512
Fractured Days Split the Sky 221 40.72% 32.88 -1.418 45.25% 0.068 0.7302
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 343 55.1% 35.99 0.126 56.27% 0.091 0.0887
Heart of the Wildfire 254 75.98% 29.56 -5.217 45.28% -0.804 -0.4339
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 898 37.97% 42.51 -2.523 67.48% 0.001 -0.4258
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 134 42.54% 38.47 1.372 64.93% 0.437 -0.0558
Lightning's Swift Strike 104 59.62% 38.13 3.153 58.65% 0.543 0.756
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 465 57.63% 45.18 4.333 72.9% 0.834 0.2183
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 106 47.17% 42.22 -1.998 70.75% 0.058 -0.2275
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 158 40.51% 38.3 1.775 59.49% 0.136 0.0342
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 434 58.53% 36.28 -0.392 56.91% 0.052 -0.1947
Many Minds Move as One 339 34.22% 34.03 -0.129 55.16% 0.326 0.1647
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1019 56.19% 38.38 2.305 55.84% 0.526 0.5597
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 325 48.92% 38.31 -0.007 60.92% 0.076 -0.0909
River Surges in Sunlight 189 48.68% 41.6 4.732 64.55% 1.069 1.0965
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 65 63.08% 36.91 4.218 55.38% 0.537 0.8757
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 430 52.79% 42.93 2.96 64.42% 0.659 0.6276
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 490 37.14% 42.08 1.191 69.59% 0.165 0.0547
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 18 77.78% 31.0 0.735 33.33% -0.319 0.2561
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 48 68.75% 29.81 -4.17 43.75% -0.413 -0.3901
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 87 62.07% 36.31 0.118 59.77% 0.159 -0.2933
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 96 62.5% 35.66 -7.364 53.13% -0.898 -0.6618
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 47 63.83% 36.6 -6.816 55.32% -0.235 -0.3222
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 31 74.19% 21.29 -0.687 19.35% -0.373 -0.1779
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 334 49.7% 40.72 -5.299 67.66% -0.296 -0.317
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 207 39.13% 28.29 -5.316 45.89% -0.745 -1.077
Shifting Memory of Ages 260 53.08% 37.61 2.286 61.54% 0.355 0.6361
Shroud of Silent Mist 201 64.18% 28.17 -3.44 38.31% -0.949 -0.6762
Starlight Seeks its Form 830 43.86% 35.71 -0.832 55.3% -0.101 -0.3214
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 565 37.41% 37.49 1.261 61.42% 0.558 0.1114
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 270 60.74% 30.27 -4.896 35.56% -1.058 -0.9366
Thunderspeaker 363 49.31% 37.88 -1.226 61.43% 0.004 0.0228
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 83 54.22% 35.92 -1.867 60.24% -0.412 -0.2078
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 470 69.36% 31.07 -3.446 47.66% -0.215 -0.041
Vital Strength of the Earth 136 65.44% 23.16 -1.208 12.5% -0.435 0.1368
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 268 50.0% 35.69 -3.381 49.25% -0.749 -0.3671
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 53 60.38% 25.08 -6.45 24.53% -1.28 -0.5225
Volcano Looming High 588 59.69% 37.35 0.489 62.24% 0.306 0.2796
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 276 50.72% 39.34 3.013 64.86% 0.539 0.0052

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 50.0% 25.0 0.0 50.0%
Blitz 0 103 16.5% 48.43 -2.87 44.66% -0.269 -0.1376
Dahan Insurrection 4 76 42.11% 55.87 13.413 50.0% 0.086 -0.1686
Despicable Theft 2 17 41.18% 20.53 -11.462 17.65% -1.197 -0.6563
Elemental Invocation 1 26 38.46% 29.15 -6.996 42.31% -0.535 0.3217
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 429 21.68% 48.71 6.028 73.89% 0.452 -0.3196
Powers Long Forgotten 1 17 58.82% 25.0 -16.11 17.65% -0.36 0.5747
Rituals of Terror 3 17 47.06% 34.24 5.561 41.18% 0.184 0.2797
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 8 87.5% 28.63 -5.805 37.5% -0.61 0.5871
Second Wave 0 208 42.31% 43.57 5.792 63.46% 0.497 0.583
The Great River 3 14 78.57% 44.93 3.521 50.0% -0.368 0.9936
Varied Terrains 2 32 56.25% 30.72 -10.36 18.75% -1.298 -0.5094
Ward the Shores 2 29 44.83% 28.69 -7.835 27.59% -0.843 0.1892

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6278 53.04% 37.14 0.355 57.1% 0.034 0.2246
1 Thematic 157 43.95% 34.03 -1.548 41.4% -0.366 0.2793
2 Archipelago 12 25.0% 51.67 18.184 66.67% 1.175 1.607
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1438 45.97% 40.73 1.478 68.71% 0.099 0.0949
2 Coastline 203 50.74% 37.64 -2.568 62.07% -0.533 -0.4768
2 Fragment 39 64.1% 35.23 1.284 53.85% 0.111 -0.1554
2 Heart 30 53.33% 40.17 1.959 63.33% 0.126 0.0867
2 Opposite Shores 596 51.17% 31.03 -2.809 48.83% -0.587 -0.5732
2 Thematic 125 63.2% 26.85 -0.921 17.6% 0.01 0.2065
2 Top to Top 119 34.45% 32.72 -4.4 57.14% -0.371 -0.4692
3 Archipelago 9 88.89% 36.33 0.0 44.44%
3 Coastline 6 83.33% 54.0 11.565 66.67% 0.945 -0.0786
3 Other 10 40.0% 25.3 8.371 40.0% 0.823 0.4302
3 Round (Default) 672 46.73% 39.24 0.605 62.35% 0.033 -0.3026
3 Sunrise 8 25.0% 33.13 2.282 37.5% -0.154 0.0889
3 Thematic 23 73.91% 47.52 5.758 65.22% 0.505 0.2205
4 Archipelago 4 100.0% 30.75 0.0 25.0%
4 Other 7 71.43% 35.0 0.0 57.14%
4 Thematic 14 42.86% 30.21 -1.331 28.57% -0.353 -0.4324
4 Trapezoid (Default) 175 45.71% 39.77 0.353 65.14% 0.035 -0.1216
5 Other 20 65.0% 33.2 -5.33 45.0% -0.589 -1.6632
5 Thematic 9 66.67% 29.22 -15.773 11.11% -0.19 -0.1968
6 Archipelago 2 100.0% 39.0 -11.427 50.0% -0.605 -1.9044
6 Other 9 44.44% 41.33 0.0 77.78%
6 Star 5 20.0% 29.6 0.0 40.0%
6 Thematic 7 42.86% 22.0 -3.941 14.29% -0.128 0.5207
6 Two Centers (Default) 15 20.0% 44.2 -0.463 73.33% -0.011 -0.3456

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 337 37.03 1.339 56.68% 0.214 0.3432
Aid From Lesser Spirits 247 38.98 5.822 58.7% 1.058 0.9391
All Things Weaken 329 35.96 0.371 51.67% -0.244 0.0633
Attenuated Essence 128 31.93 -0.138 48.44% -0.005 0.027
Back Against the Wall 272 37.8 2.958 56.25% 0.368 0.3978
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 135 32.57 0.497 50.37% 0.01 0.1957
Burn Brightest Before the End 79 36.41 -1.509 53.16% -0.81 -0.7394
Disintegrating Ecosystem 318 33.98 -0.255 55.35% 0.104 0.4799
Downward Spiral 344 35.56 -1.781 54.94% -0.325 -0.1596
Erosion of Will 325 33.69 0.936 47.69% -0.122 0.0921
Intensifying Exploitation 126 32.96 1.1 51.59% 0.086 0.3272
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 140 41.73 4.308 70.0% 0.679 0.0975
Memory Fades to Dust 349 34.4 -2.123 52.15% -0.51 -0.2167
Power Corrodes the Spirit 313 33.62 -0.739 49.84% -0.153 0.0084
Promising Farmlands 283 32.76 -1.334 47.7% -0.331 -0.0349
Shattered Fragments of Power 100 37.35 2.035 57.0% 0.13 0.2182
Slow Dissolution of Will 130 31.82 0.791 46.15% -0.0 0.3931
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 90 43.24 4.442 75.56% 0.824 0.1125
The Border of Life and Death 41 38.24 -1.554 65.85% -0.317 -0.797
Thriving Communities 325 34.93 1.085 51.69% -0.092 0.2077
Thriving Crops 57 35.93 1.474 59.65% 0.499 0.3977
Unnatural Proliferation 334 36.51 0.934 52.4% -0.108 0.0611
Untended Land Crumbles 308 35.19 -0.899 51.95% -0.447 -0.1891

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2082 50.19% 35.3 -1.361 56.39% -0.313 0.83
B 2065 48.52% 37.63 0.348 60.73% -0.077 0.9785
C 2224 49.44% 39.28 1.108 63.13% 0.01 0.898
D 1574 48.35% 36.45 -0.908 56.42% -0.51 0.5444
E 1881 50.29% 38.4 0.529 60.93% -0.076 0.8285
F 1613 51.02% 38.5 0.115 61.44% -0.197 0.8073
G 1395 52.58% 38.45 0.94 60.65% -0.004 0.9642
H 1444 49.86% 37.72 -0.575 58.93% -0.32 0.6722
East 160 41.88% 32.02 1.517 34.38% -0.245 0.7432
Northeast 86 34.88% 31.63 -0.203 29.07% -0.672 0.2778
Northwest 89 52.81% 36.06 0.493 41.57% -0.114 0.9268
Southeast 58 51.72% 30.71 0.233 36.21% -0.2 0.7179
Southwest 136 69.85% 26.9 -2.111 21.32% -0.254 1.2028
West 239 60.67% 31.58 -1.609 30.96% -0.478 0.6289

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2 0.0% 51.5 0.0 100.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 36 36.11% 31.44 -1.173 52.78% 0.076 0.57
Skip Initial Invader Actions 164 14.02% 57.45 12.182 64.02% 1.485 0.8629
Start of Game Growth 316 24.37% 46.4 -2.826 60.76% -0.409 -0.8218
Unlimited Undo 1336 46.4% 40.06 -0.547 62.95% -0.095 -0.1905
Using Tokens but Not Events 544 45.39% 38.58 -1.177 59.01% -0.346 -0.271

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2505 16.77 3.91%
II 2725 30.59 48.88%
III 3295 34.74 88.32%
IV 1472 38.3 99.32%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.173 Win Model: 0.093
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6495 52.8% 37.09 56.77%
2 2517 48.15% 37.11 60.15%
3 719 47.84% 39.39 62.17%
4 202 46.53% 38.51 60.89%
5 27 74.07% 32.81 37.04%
6 37 32.43% 36.57 56.76%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 97
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2868
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1292
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1450
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1512
Lose: Invader deck ran out 145
Lose: Adversary condition 1117
Win: Sacrifice victory 49
Lose: Scenario condition 66
Win: Scenario condition 46
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1269
Lose: Spirit destroyed 86

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 359 42.06% 46.38 0.43 68.52% 0.084 0.0486
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 181 67.4% 34.06 -4.37 40.88% -0.467 -0.3088
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 139 56.83% 44.68 4.58 64.75% 0.551 -0.4619
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 282 64.18% 33.15 -1.482 44.68% -0.196 -0.4081
Downpour Drenches the World 587 41.74% 42.8 -2.519 59.28% -0.33 -0.083
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 696 43.1% 46.32 2.625 68.97% 0.406 -0.1563
Eyes Watch From the Trees 377 43.77% 45.13 1.828 67.64% 0.466 -0.0134
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 283 61.13% 38.0 0.519 55.48% 0.004 -0.4026
Finder of Paths Unseen 515 55.92% 34.49 -7.437 47.57% -0.82 -0.0579
Fractured Days Split the Sky 159 39.62% 42.74 0.92 55.35% -0.085 0.577
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 304 57.57% 42.48 -2.149 56.58% -0.385 -0.3871
Heart of the Wildfire 188 75.53% 35.93 -5.956 51.06% -0.975 -0.6048
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 895 46.15% 46.32 0.489 67.93% 0.16 -0.2667
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 143 44.06% 47.93 3.266 62.94% 0.253 -0.2399
Lightning's Swift Strike 76 68.42% 39.82 -3.214 50.0% -0.491 -0.2775
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 514 58.56% 50.7 5.624 71.01% 0.855 0.2391
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 83 66.27% 48.81 -1.008 69.88% -0.103 -0.389
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 119 38.66% 45.44 2.03 57.98% -0.261 -0.3635
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 414 69.32% 34.23 -4.546 40.58% -1.217 -1.4632
Many Minds Move as One 229 48.47% 48.32 5.681 70.31% 1.08 0.9187
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1093 56.37% 41.5 0.334 56.08% -0.055 -0.021
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 316 51.27% 42.38 0.377 61.71% 0.112 -0.0552
River Surges in Sunlight 116 56.03% 45.52 6.027 62.07% 0.658 0.6854
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 72 65.28% 34.93 5.568 31.94% 0.285 0.6237
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 354 53.67% 54.2 3.72 66.67% 0.354 0.3221
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 613 33.28% 46.62 1.653 68.68% 0.288 0.1773
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 10 80.0% 30.3 2.261 40.0% 0.146 0.7215
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 29 79.31% 40.0 4.216 62.07% 0.455 0.4784
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 87 65.52% 40.98 -0.576 59.77% -0.2 -0.6524
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 42 59.52% 45.6 -0.968 61.9% -0.385 -0.1493
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 41 68.29% 41.32 3.119 56.1% 0.401 0.3137
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 14 64.29% 28.5 3.088 21.43% 0.216 0.4118
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 540 48.52% 42.94 -0.34 66.3% 0.147 0.1259
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 94 47.87% 49.37 0.163 65.96% -0.402 -0.7343
Shifting Memory of Ages 231 66.23% 40.27 3.37 56.71% 0.553 0.8341
Shroud of Silent Mist 126 73.02% 34.85 -8.569 44.44% -1.17 -0.8969
Starlight Seeks its Form 531 49.34% 45.23 2.688 63.65% 0.558 0.3378
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 426 57.98% 35.76 -0.995 53.29% 0.049 -0.398
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 133 53.38% 36.65 1.62 45.11% 0.305 0.4269
Thunderspeaker 234 61.97% 38.92 4.375 54.7% 0.792 0.8104
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 52 59.62% 39.15 -7.574 53.85% -0.555 -0.351
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 369 76.42% 32.22 -6.771 41.46% -1.052 -0.8778
Vital Strength of the Earth 38 50.0% 31.84 -5.28 34.21% -0.106 0.4663
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 182 53.3% 42.59 4.154 56.04% 0.861 1.2431
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 23 56.52% 29.43 -16.404 39.13% -1.112 -0.3541
Volcano Looming High 421 60.33% 43.17 0.042 63.66% 0.163 0.1364
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 251 60.56% 41.14 1.896 58.17% 0.113 -0.4212

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 12 33.33% 53.83 3.767 75.0% -0.172 -0.3583
Blitz 0 75 14.67% 62.88 4.139 70.67% 0.065 0.1966
Dahan Insurrection 4 140 59.29% 62.01 11.225 47.86% 0.268 0.0125
Despicable Theft 2 27 70.37% 22.3 -16.777 14.81% -1.001 -0.4594
Elemental Invocation 1 25 64.0% 33.4 -3.786 28.0% -0.2 0.6563
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1190 29.58% 49.73 5.89 65.97% 0.619 -0.1522
Powers Long Forgotten 1 17 58.82% 26.71 -2.517 35.29% -0.361 0.5737
Rituals of Terror 3 5 20.0% 26.2 -14.488 20.0% -0.978 -0.8816
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Second Wave 0 101 49.5% 47.52 7.141 63.37% 0.509 0.5947
The Great River 3 16 56.25% 39.56 0.0 37.5%
Varied Terrains 2 24 58.33% 39.42 -20.484 45.83% -0.979 -0.1901
Ward the Shores 2 72 63.89% 29.0 -12.601 12.5% -1.283 -0.2512

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6073 54.23% 39.55 -1.377 55.31% -0.637 -0.4458
1 Thematic 187 52.94% 37.53 -3.633 31.02% -0.807 -0.1624
2 Archipelago 20 25.0% 48.0 -22.175 40.0% -0.319 0.1129
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1041 56.77% 42.24 -0.736 63.21% -0.348 -0.3514
2 Coastline 249 64.66% 42.37 2.833 61.04% 0.288 0.344
2 Fragment 11 63.64% 49.73 2.494 81.82% 0.405 0.1382
2 Heart 27 74.07% 42.63 8.947 59.26% 0.585 0.5463
2 Opposite Shores 334 50.6% 42.4 0.938 57.78% -0.404 -0.3901
2 Thematic 83 72.29% 40.07 5.282 32.53% 0.183 0.3796
2 Top to Top 81 50.62% 51.54 3.595 81.48% 0.09 -0.008
3 Archipelago 5 60.0% 73.6 8.321 80.0% 0.099 -0.3478
3 Coastline 5 20.0% 64.8 0.0 80.0%
3 Other 12 16.67% 23.58 8.49 41.67% 0.954 0.5616
3 Round (Default) 521 48.18% 49.75 3.257 70.63% 0.57 0.2344
3 Thematic 22 36.36% 48.41 14.118 45.45% 0.145 -0.1395
4 Archipelago 7 42.86% 67.0 0.0 85.71%
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 71.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 6 16.67% 49.5 13.635 66.67% 0.359 -0.9709
4 Thematic 11 18.18% 53.55 -2.272 63.64% -0.142 -0.221
4 Trapezoid (Default) 165 60.0% 43.35 -0.226 59.39% -0.584 -0.7407
5 Coastline 1 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 14 50.0% 36.07 2.482 57.14% 0.1 -0.9748
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 29.5 -17.569 50.0% -0.252 -0.2585
6 Archipelago 10 10.0% 61.9 0.0 80.0%
6 Other 4 50.0% 46.0 -5.76 50.0% -0.344 -0.5472
6 Star 3 100.0% 31.0 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 30 30.0% 46.2 -12.25 56.67% -0.04 0.609
6 Two Centers (Default) 38 63.16% 45.71 -7.318 73.68% -0.478 -0.8129
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 105.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 327 39.25 1.055 52.91% 0.079 0.2089
Aid From Lesser Spirits 238 43.95 0.721 61.34% -0.284 -0.4026
All Things Weaken 293 37.26 -1.26 47.1% -0.587 -0.2796
Attenuated Essence 132 36.27 -0.717 50.0% -0.023 0.0089
Back Against the Wall 228 42.29 1.549 54.39% -0.172 -0.1417
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 113 33.59 -2.166 47.79% -0.386 -0.1996
Burn Brightest Before the End 117 39.09 0.566 52.14% -0.083 -0.0131
Disintegrating Ecosystem 279 32.68 -2.701 42.65% -0.502 -0.1267
Downward Spiral 323 34.87 -3.126 45.82% -0.561 -0.3949
Erosion of Will 313 35.11 2.048 43.45% 0.015 0.2292
Intensifying Exploitation 161 32.61 0.428 41.61% -0.092 0.1491
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 114 47.61 1.845 75.44% 0.206 -0.3754
Memory Fades to Dust 325 35.64 -4.646 46.77% -0.738 -0.4447
Power Corrodes the Spirit 319 38.63 -2.488 52.04% -0.551 -0.3899
Promising Farmlands 285 35.95 -1.597 46.67% -0.366 -0.0704
Shattered Fragments of Power 88 39.49 1.018 54.55% 0.011 0.0986
Slow Dissolution of Will 139 33.62 0.615 41.73% -0.199 0.1944
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 81 45.56 2.771 71.6% 0.319 -0.3924
The Border of Life and Death 45 42.8 5.826 68.89% 0.985 0.5059
Thriving Communities 293 34.84 -1.858 45.05% -0.43 -0.13
Thriving Crops 59 36.39 1.44 57.63% 0.185 0.0832
Unnatural Proliferation 325 38.39 -0.122 48.0% -0.491 -0.3219
Untended Land Crumbles 278 36.56 -1.851 48.56% -0.428 -0.1699

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1631 58.9% 40.34 -0.171 57.2% -0.12 1.0226
B 1720 55.64% 42.37 0.808 58.84% -0.063 0.9921
C 2315 47.21% 43.54 0.02 62.2% -0.123 0.7656
D 1337 54.0% 39.82 0.623 54.0% 0.021 1.0754
E 1563 54.38% 42.95 0.346 61.87% -0.108 0.7967
F 1345 55.84% 42.57 -0.586 61.19% -0.172 0.8324
G 1074 57.13% 42.72 1.12 61.45% 0.111 1.0789
H 1384 54.34% 43.78 0.978 63.29% -0.056 0.9364
East 230 49.57% 42.3 1.723 38.26% 0.029 1.0173
Northeast 121 44.63% 38.21 -2.696 35.54% -0.777 0.1719
Northwest 106 57.55% 40.42 -0.389 41.51% -0.065 0.9765
Southeast 97 45.36% 44.29 1.408 44.33% -0.033 0.8852
Southwest 83 39.76% 36.24 -4.161 37.35% -1.194 0.263
West 198 54.55% 38.83 0.042 37.37% -0.032 1.075

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2 0.0% 37.0 0.0 50.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 34 47.06% 16.68 -11.287 23.53% -1.44 -0.9459
Skip Initial Invader Actions 277 13.72% 73.87 14.798 86.64% 2.157 1.5349
Start of Game Growth 426 29.58% 59.79 5.669 72.07% 0.587 0.1751
Unlimited Undo 1070 50.0% 39.55 0.107 55.7% 0.059 -0.0357
Using Tokens but Not Events 424 44.55% 39.99 -5.537 54.48% -1.021 -0.9456

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2447 16.77 7.52%
II 3328 30.59 59.44%
III 2343 34.74 90.23%
IV 868 38.3 99.65%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.752 Win Model: -0.054
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6334 54.41% 39.58 54.75%
2 1795 56.27% 42.74 61.23%
3 560 46.96% 49.19 69.11%
4 195 55.9% 45.66 62.05%
5 15 53.33% 33.67 53.33%
6 87 45.98% 48.08 66.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 183
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2081
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1909
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 851
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1412
Lose: Invader deck ran out 95
Lose: Adversary condition 692
Win: Sacrifice victory 41
Lose: Scenario condition 135
Win: Scenario condition 76
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1451
Lose: Spirit destroyed 60

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1965 42.09% 48.17 0.336 56.49% 0.208 0.1725
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 575 72.35% 37.79 2.236 36.87% 0.451 0.6095
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 844 59.0% 51.28 7.208 64.69% 1.263 0.2504
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 676 65.83% 36.42 -1.93 38.46% 0.007 -0.2055
Downpour Drenches the World 2370 51.14% 42.46 -4.347 44.47% -0.354 -0.1075
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2571 57.32% 41.17 1.725 51.93% 0.617 0.0539
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1185 55.11% 44.07 -1.515 50.38% 0.144 -0.3353
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 772 70.98% 38.68 -2.491 43.52% 0.053 -0.353
Finder of Paths Unseen 1377 58.02% 40.33 -6.485 45.32% -0.845 -0.0826
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1228 37.79% 45.21 -4.95 44.38% -0.746 -0.0841
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1029 70.94% 39.66 -2.341 40.33% -0.077 -0.0792
Heart of the Wildfire 845 79.64% 27.23 -8.051 22.37% -1.102 -0.7322
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5765 48.36% 52.29 6.692 66.7% 1.389 0.9624
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 485 54.64% 37.1 -1.245 42.06% 0.184 -0.3089
Lightning's Swift Strike 373 67.84% 36.08 -4.939 38.34% -0.335 -0.1216
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 2052 71.04% 47.29 1.522 55.51% 0.473 -0.1426
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 843 64.8% 48.19 5.786 57.18% 0.869 0.5836
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 798 51.5% 46.89 1.703 51.38% 0.362 0.2601
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1576 69.21% 34.58 -4.948 32.17% -0.469 -0.7151
Many Minds Move as One 822 48.3% 49.96 -0.17 59.61% 0.404 0.2424
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2818 56.08% 40.72 -3.32 43.83% 0.007 0.0417
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1071 58.5% 38.05 -3.075 41.46% -0.164 -0.3312
River Surges in Sunlight 589 61.33% 42.79 0.205 45.84% 0.214 0.2412
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 205 66.18% 32.5 -5.109 26.34% -0.398 -0.0587
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1514 67.0% 46.76 0.158 46.3% 0.2 0.1689
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2218 43.46% 51.49 3.835 56.85% 0.776 0.6661
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 90 72.22% 20.08 -7.532 13.33% -0.794 -0.2181
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 114 82.46% 33.35 -7.316 25.44% -0.102 -0.0784
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 344 79.65% 32.35 -3.512 34.3% -0.177 -0.629
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 224 80.8% 34.06 1.372 30.8% 0.587 0.8225
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 122 79.51% 31.13 -6.449 24.59% -0.686 -0.7737
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 430 62.56% 44.08 2.944 42.09% -0.263 -0.067
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 922 58.13% 46.14 -0.658 53.58% 0.343 0.3221
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 490 52.24% 33.48 -1.957 39.39% 0.16 -0.1725
Shifting Memory of Ages 1154 59.15% 41.07 -1.022 40.03% 0.087 0.3681
Shroud of Silent Mist 581 74.53% 30.85 -7.397 27.54% -0.997 -0.7244
Starlight Seeks its Form 4433 50.81% 47.53 1.43 56.28% 0.562 0.3419
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3165 60.76% 43.58 4.835 52.13% 1.212 0.7653
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 594 69.71% 32.86 -8.571 31.48% -0.992 -0.8707
Thunderspeaker 737 59.51% 36.44 -6.379 33.65% -0.557 -0.5388
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 236 65.68% 33.66 -3.002 39.41% -0.095 0.1097
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1771 77.7% 39.23 -1.467 43.14% 0.182 0.3563
Vital Strength of the Earth 157 58.6% 25.45 -8.293 17.2% -0.713 -0.1405
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 797 63.61% 39.34 -2.088 38.77% -0.222 0.16
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 104 57.69% 25.74 -8.427 20.19% -0.259 0.4986
Volcano Looming High 2554 68.78% 40.05 -2.592 46.2% -0.011 -0.037
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 849 64.43% 40.49 0.643 44.29% 0.36 -0.1733

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 20 60.0% 49.4 10.193 60.0% 0.377 0.1908
Blitz 0 256 22.27% 59.24 7.89 62.5% 0.808 0.9388
Dahan Insurrection 4 459 63.1% 46.81 5.244 14.16% 0.553 0.2977
Despicable Theft 2 15 66.67% 40.33 -4.654 40.0% -0.059 0.4822
Elemental Invocation 1 111 69.37% 32.44 -0.963 5.41% -0.346 0.5109
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2011 41.77% 45.63 5.701 40.03% 1.009 0.238
Powers Long Forgotten 1 11 45.45% 32.45 -15.325 36.36% -0.639 0.2958
Rituals of Terror 3 127 55.12% 80.45 17.469 49.61% 1.128 1.2239
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 22 50.0% 33.91 -7.293 18.18% -0.613 0.5838
Second Wave 0 227 68.28% 48.01 6.407 54.63% 0.81 0.8961
The Great River 3 17 47.06% 46.29 6.626 35.29% 0.329 1.6901
Varied Terrains 2 75 56.0% 28.69 -21.456 24.0% -0.507 0.2816
Ward the Shores 2 54 75.93% 31.22 22.362 16.67% 0.555 1.5874

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 31024 61.23% 41.84 0.072 48.14% 0.122 0.3132
1 Thematic 634 45.27% 39.92 -5.415 28.23% -1.24 -0.5947
2 Archipelago 77 58.44% 38.87 1.47 12.99% -1.286 -0.8543
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3613 63.73% 39.54 -0.606 45.23% -0.025 -0.0288
2 Coastline 716 62.89% 43.72 -2.432 50.7% -0.358 -0.3024
2 Fragment 74 72.97% 50.53 3.631 62.16% -0.007 -0.2733
2 Heart 169 81.66% 45.4 -8.484 36.09% -0.128 -0.1669
2 Opposite Shores 742 59.7% 42.58 -3.024 43.94% -0.386 -0.3721
2 Thematic 131 67.18% 51.55 5.216 32.06% -0.135 0.0619
2 Top to Top 226 61.06% 42.6 0.458 50.44% 0.145 0.0473
3 Archipelago 56 67.86% 56.55 5.508 23.21% -0.385 -0.8314
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 47.5 5.489 62.5% 0.183 -0.8412
3 Other 27 40.74% 52.96 4.734 62.96% 0.721 0.328
3 Round (Default) 1945 57.07% 45.02 0.427 53.93% -0.206 -0.5412
3 Thematic 59 28.81% 77.29 26.661 45.76% 0.213 -0.0709
4 Archipelago 12 66.67% 82.83 31.681 75.0% 0.677 0.52
4 Leaf 16 56.25% 37.69 -9.551 12.5% -0.776 -0.924
4 Other 5 20.0% 63.6 15.531 80.0% 2.098 0.7688
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 93 46.24% 46.67 -0.156 21.51% -0.398 -0.4775
4 Trapezoid (Default) 758 54.29% 46.41 1.136 51.58% -0.305 -0.4619
5 Archipelago 11 63.64% 53.73 6.579 27.27% -0.52 0.1547
5 Coastline 18 0.0% 54.94 0.0 77.78%
5 Other 46 60.0% 55.11 -0.178 41.3% -0.017 -1.0914
5 Thematic 6 66.67% 80.83 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 26 23.08% 61.15 11.258 69.23% 0.369 -0.9306
6 Coastline 26 0.0% 57.12 3.06 80.77% -0.785 -1.5326
6 Other 101 52.48% 53.22 5.956 61.39% -0.221 -0.4249
6 Star 21 38.1% 62.86 11.417 85.71% 0.333 0.432
6 Thematic 50 58.0% 41.14 -2.364 28.0% -0.201 0.4477
6 Two Centers (Default) 332 21.99% 54.89 1.845 59.94% -0.704 -1.039
7 Archipelago 6 16.67% 80.17 15.354 83.33% 0.178 0.2387
7 Other 5 0.0% 0.0 -13.856 0.0% -0.197 0.1993

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1605 40.65 0.418 41.43% -0.148 -0.0181
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1225 46.35 4.083 49.88% 0.358 0.2398
All Things Weaken 1587 41.75 -0.331 43.92% -0.363 -0.0555
Attenuated Essence 648 36.91 2.418 39.81% 0.202 0.2343
Back Against the Wall 1252 44.13 0.153 45.53% -0.385 -0.355
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 703 36.27 -0.145 37.7% -0.164 0.0226
Burn Brightest Before the End 470 41.78 3.5 42.98% 0.095 0.1651
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1488 39.74 0.774 43.08% 0.063 0.4384
Downward Spiral 1694 39.84 0.945 43.21% 0.124 0.29
Erosion of Will 1547 39.78 -0.659 39.56% -0.26 -0.0453
Intensifying Exploitation 688 34.56 -1.406 36.05% -0.336 -0.0942
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 441 48.11 -0.167 58.96% -0.017 -0.5983
Memory Fades to Dust 1616 38.29 -0.612 39.91% -0.066 0.2266
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1587 39.1 0.212 39.89% -0.168 -0.0068
Promising Farmlands 1584 39.29 -0.386 40.72% -0.213 0.0827
Shattered Fragments of Power 486 41.89 2.333 44.24% -0.057 0.031
Slow Dissolution of Will 680 32.84 -2.559 32.06% -0.649 -0.2562
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 319 54.37 6.036 75.24% 1.229 0.5168
The Border of Life and Death 146 43.51 4.391 57.53% 0.725 0.2454
Thriving Communities 1541 38.27 -0.938 38.61% -0.293 0.0072
Thriving Crops 270 46.83 3.864 60.74% 0.591 0.4893
Unnatural Proliferation 1663 43.0 2.261 43.48% 0.031 0.2004
Untended Land Crumbles 1588 39.24 -0.403 40.74% -0.161 0.097

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7000 58.92% 41.83 -1.275 46.87% -0.812 0.3308
B 7117 60.94% 41.4 -0.668 45.69% -0.754 0.3015
C 9306 58.86% 45.32 2.382 53.6% -0.333 0.5549
D 6164 56.1% 40.63 -1.69 42.7% -0.949 0.1055
E 8434 58.98% 43.14 0.781 49.93% -0.493 0.4113
F 5964 58.26% 43.49 0.958 50.4% -0.528 0.4757
G 5330 59.76% 43.4 0.891 49.04% -0.573 0.3951
H 5385 58.67% 43.85 0.146 50.92% -0.679 0.3134
East 680 47.5% 46.39 4.04 27.5% -0.927 0.0608
Northeast 372 47.04% 47.43 -0.784 25.54% -0.621 0.3285
Northwest 287 56.1% 46.4 0.561 30.66% -0.284 0.7574
Southeast 181 46.96% 45.33 2.883 34.81% 0.389 1.3074
Southwest 163 47.24% 38.46 -6.954 33.13% -1.518 -0.0611
West 569 51.14% 47.41 0.466 32.69% -0.709 0.3984

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 27 0.0% 46.78 -3.101 55.56% -0.174 0.4898
Not Using Events or Tokens 121 61.67% 27.46 -10.726 12.4% -1.21 -0.7162
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1219 16.01% 66.47 8.601 72.68% 0.64 0.0177
Start of Game Growth 1958 21.85% 62.83 4.861 69.77% 0.909 0.4969
Unlimited Undo 5286 46.18% 48.86 1.326 59.14% 0.405 0.3103
Using Tokens but Not Events 1135 58.34% 36.32 -2.908 33.48% -0.421 -0.3456

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14031 16.77 4.02%
II 9635 30.59 33.96%
III 9731 34.74 83.93%
IV 7703 38.3 99.79%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.569 Win Model: 0.759
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 31946 60.92% 41.91 47.82%
2 5624 63.53% 41.27 44.9%
3 2049 56.37% 45.65 53.34%
4 854 54.51% 46.66 48.95%
5 85 39.29% 51.86 45.88%
6 542 28.78% 54.45 62.55%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 555
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8055
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3176
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7577
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7426
Lose: Invader deck ran out 489
Lose: Adversary condition 3794
Win: Sacrifice victory 253
Lose: Scenario condition 679
Win: Scenario condition 74
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8620
Lose: Spirit destroyed 402

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-02-21 04:03:14 (Pacific Time)