The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 58 20.69% 27.47 -0.613 91.38% -0.087 -0.2019
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 40 35.0% 31.43 1.314 92.5% 0.283 0.3791
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 50 22.0% 29.64 -0.101 94.0% 0.471 0.3098
Downpour Drenches the World 230 19.13% 25.73 -1.415 93.04% 0.174 0.4264
Eyes Watch From the Trees 61 11.67% 32.2 1.688 93.44% 0.269 -0.1682
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 51 12.0% 31.8 0.839 96.08% 0.602 0.1147
Finder of Paths Unseen 105 47.62% 22.6 -2.69 80.0% -0.918 -0.5549
Fractured Days Split the Sky 31 19.35% 35.29 2.409 100.0% 1.004 1.0597
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 51 35.29% 29.43 -0.461 88.24% -0.05 -0.0823
Heart of the Wildfire 35 45.71% 26.74 -1.137 88.57% 0.002 0.1766
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 83 19.28% 30.7 0.758 95.18% 0.686 0.2295
Lightning's Swift Strike 22 13.64% 31.45 1.266 95.45% 0.221 0.4958
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 60 36.67% 28.17 0.517 96.67% 0.975 0.1986
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 14 7.14% 34.29 2.823 100.0% 0.56 -0.083
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 11 27.27% 35.64 1.802 100.0% 0.382 0.1153
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 68 25.0% 31.04 0.6 89.71% -0.085 -0.3515
Many Minds Move as One 28 21.43% 35.75 2.574 89.29% -0.077 -0.68
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 100 41.0% 29.93 0.435 90.0% 0.116 -0.0686
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 49 28.57% 27.41 -1.069 83.67% -0.442 -0.4208
River Surges in Sunlight 29 34.48% 30.38 0.007 79.31% -0.692 -0.7267
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 25 36.0% 33.28 2.032 92.0% 0.278 0.7094
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 68 32.35% 32.96 2.087 95.59% 0.667 0.3663
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 37 35.14% 29.03 -0.147 89.19% -0.113 -0.166
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 8 50.0% 25.0 -2.764 62.5% -1.165 -0.7548
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 25 32.0% 29.56 0.198 88.0% 0.077 0.0841
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 18 44.44% 28.89 -0.194 83.33% -0.264 -0.6104
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 6 33.33% 31.83 0.586 83.33% -0.022 -0.0027
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 1 100.0% 12.0 -7.376 0.0% -0.868 -0.6848
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 53 24.53% 32.7 1.441 96.23% 0.743 0.4561
Shifting Memory of Ages 29 31.03% 25.86 -1.014 86.21% -0.374 -0.2991
Shroud of Silent Mist 45 48.89% 24.49 -2.791 75.56% -0.847 -0.6102
Starlight Seeks its Form 118 12.71% 32.35 1.035 93.22% 0.371 0.2314
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 42 14.29% 29.62 -0.396 95.24% 0.538 0.3558
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 35 25.71% 27.23 -1.684 85.71% -0.44 -0.2557
Thunderspeaker 51 27.45% 30.65 0.19 92.16% 0.161 0.2248
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 27 44.44% 28.63 -0.544 81.48% -0.169 -0.2596
Vital Strength of the Earth 15 13.33% 24.53 -3.063 73.33% -1.234 -0.4257
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 53 35.85% 25.75 -1.603 84.91% -0.528 -0.1415
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 4 25.0% 30.75 1.045 100.0% 0.291 1.4649
Volcano Looming High 60 26.67% 27.47 -0.537 88.33% -0.453 -0.4578

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 12 25.0% 25.92 -0.178 91.67% -0.17 -0.372
Blitz 0 4 25.0% 33.5 1.82 75.0% -0.485 -0.2273
Dahan Insurrection 4 19 10.53% 50.74 10.235 94.74% 0.247 0.6601
Despicable Theft 2 3 66.67% 25.67 -1.829 33.33% -0.994 -0.548
Elemental Invocation 1 11 9.09% 31.64 0.175 81.82% -0.551 -0.0657
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 41 4.88% 33.56 0.639 87.8% -0.671 -0.3655
Powers Long Forgotten 1 5 40.0% 25.4 -1.023 60.0% -0.79 -0.608
Rituals of Terror 3 5 20.0% 52.4 9.127 80.0% -0.208 -0.0871
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 2 50.0% 36.5 5.537 100.0% 0.281 0.6965
Second Wave 0 37 32.43% 36.62 2.05 75.68% -0.83 -0.264
The Great River 3 6 83.33% 36.33 5.152 83.33% -0.039 1.3589
Varied Terrains 2 24 62.5% 30.63 1.899 66.67% -1.003 -0.4768
Ward the Shores 2 9 55.56% 32.22 0.642 88.89% -0.193 0.9689

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 756 29.44% 28.73 -0.36 89.68% 0.036 1.0527
1 Thematic 26 53.85% 34.08 1.732 76.92% -0.489 0.6833
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 76.0 19.266 100.0% 0.082 1.0656
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 159 27.67% 28.14 -0.199 89.94% -0.106 0.6453
2 Coastline 17 23.53% 29.59 0.451 94.12% 0.364 0.9662
2 Fragment 7 28.57% 31.0 2.255 100.0% 0.551 0.999
2 Heart 5 0.0% 31.6 1.059 100.0% 0.139 0.6775
2 Opposite Shores 31 35.48% 27.45 -0.843 93.55% 0.379 1.3712
2 Thematic 15 40.0% 42.8 4.205 86.67% 0.243 0.9419
2 Top to Top 3 0.0% 26.33 -0.459 100.0% 0.2 0.7102
3 Coastline 1 0.0% 35.0 5.308 100.0% 0.076 -0.707
3 Other 4 50.0% 33.0 -0.157 100.0% -0.432 -0.4677
3 Round (Default) 112 24.11% 29.03 0.099 91.07% -0.098 0.4971
3 Thematic 2 50.0% 18.0 -8.041 0.0% -1.377 -1.4147
4 Thematic 11 0.0% 38.45 2.06 100.0% 0.454 0.9827
4 Trapezoid (Default) 32 15.63% 28.56 -0.682 90.63% -0.506 -0.5327
5 Other 5 80.0% 26.0 2.057 100.0% 0.477 0.6454
6 Star 1 100.0% 30.0 2.356 100.0% 0.117 0.9005
6 Thematic 7 42.86% 35.0 -0.971 85.71% 0.229 -0.0496
6 Two Centers (Default) 8 0.0% 21.63 -2.856 87.5% -0.41 -0.504

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 21 23.62 -2.628 76.19% -1.154 0.7487
Aid From Lesser Spirits 22 25.82 -1.912 81.82% -0.831 0.8985
All Things Weaken 22 23.68 -3.25 68.18% -1.314 0.6714
Back Against the Wall 33 24.12 -2.803 69.7% -1.69 0.1263
Disintegrating Ecosystem 21 19.71 -5.07 66.67% -1.774 0.276
Downward Spiral 28 25.21 -2.17 85.71% -0.625 1.3676
Erosion of Will 22 25.68 -1.748 77.27% -1.142 0.9414
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 13 26.08 -1.474 84.62% -0.384 0.057
Memory Fades to Dust 37 24.32 -2.793 72.97% -1.377 0.7076
Power Corrodes the Spirit 20 24.2 -2.612 80.0% -1.038 0.8998
Promising Farmlands 17 18.94 -5.33 52.94% -2.318 -0.2718
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 10 24.5 -1.692 90.0% -0.245 0.18
Thriving Communities 37 24.46 -3.436 75.68% -1.181 0.8023
Unnatural Proliferation 22 26.32 -1.621 68.18% -1.434 0.5303
Untended Land Crumbles 21 22.81 -3.462 61.9% -1.808 0.1853

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 242 31.4% 28.44 -0.047 89.67% 0.147 0.9439
B 249 27.82% 28.27 -0.249 89.96% 0.035 0.7788
C 266 30.08% 29.53 0.44 92.86% 0.417 0.9858
D 202 22.77% 29.4 0.339 92.57% 0.271 1.067
E 214 25.23% 28.78 -0.096 92.06% 0.317 0.9643
F 220 28.31% 27.34 -0.759 87.73% -0.19 0.5345
G 178 25.28% 28.2 -0.285 91.01% 0.114 0.8459
H 193 25.39% 28.3 -0.223 89.12% -0.183 0.5295
East 44 31.82% 40.07 2.835 84.09% -0.038 0.7308
Northeast 24 33.33% 37.21 1.434 79.17% -0.77 0.0901
Northwest 21 33.33% 37.48 1.177 85.71% 0.174 1.2502
Southeast 20 40.0% 36.0 1.217 80.0% -0.088 0.6178
Southwest 19 36.84% 32.42 -1.557 84.21% -0.402 0.7238
West 47 38.3% 35.09 1.08 82.98% 0.179 1.1332

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2 0.0% 34.0 2.556 100.0% 0.075 2.2041
Not Using Events or Tokens 15 33.33% 25.67 -1.271 86.67% -0.458 -0.2825
Skip Initial Invader Actions 53 20.75% 37.66 2.087 84.91% -0.114 -0.2565
Start of Game Growth 65 18.46% 36.82 1.823 86.15% -0.295 -1.0555
Unlimited Undo 60 28.33% 32.63 1.408 93.33% 0.539 -0.0652
Using Tokens but Not Events 94 25.0% 29.0 -0.185 90.43% -0.016 -0.1721

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 70 22.56 28.57%
II 343 30.98 85.42%
III 525 34.53 96.0%
IV 265 37.77 99.62%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.112 Win Model: 0.042
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 790 29.95% 29.1 89.37%
2 233 29.61% 28.88 90.56%
3 117 23.93% 28.88 90.6%
4 42 11.9% 30.9 92.86%
5 5 80.0% 26.0 100.0%
6 16 25.0% 28.0 87.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 20
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 491
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 277
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 262
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2
Lose: Adversary condition 35
Win: Sacrifice victory 5
Lose: Scenario condition 5
Win: Scenario condition 26
Lose: Blight pool ran out 67
Lose: Spirit destroyed 13

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 45 31.11% 33.53 0.618 77.78% 0.355 0.2398
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 28 46.43% 31.43 -0.622 78.57% 0.112 0.2079
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 38 42.11% 35.16 0.939 84.21% 0.417 0.2561
Downpour Drenches the World 185 30.81% 29.84 -1.514 75.14% -0.433 -0.1806
Eyes Watch From the Trees 53 33.96% 36.19 1.508 86.79% 0.45 0.0124
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 43 34.88% 34.09 0.272 76.74% -0.24 -0.7282
Finder of Paths Unseen 92 41.3% 28.93 -1.928 73.91% -0.351 0.012
Fractured Days Split the Sky 19 26.32% 36.21 1.21 78.95% -0.02 0.0361
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 58 56.9% 30.93 -1.502 62.07% -0.55 -0.5821
Heart of the Wildfire 34 67.65% 29.62 -1.294 76.47% 0.232 0.4067
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 84 26.19% 35.15 0.737 84.52% 0.007 -0.4491
Lightning's Swift Strike 17 41.18% 33.59 0.203 82.35% 0.093 0.3669
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 51 31.37% 35.16 1.335 86.27% 0.519 -0.2576
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 13 46.15% 33.46 0.552 76.92% -0.124 -0.7667
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 11 9.09% 39.45 2.072 100.0% 0.616 0.3495
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 60 38.33% 35.2 0.799 78.33% 0.005 -0.2617
Many Minds Move as One 32 28.13% 36.16 1.649 75.0% -0.037 -0.6403
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 117 35.9% 33.26 0.17 77.78% 0.043 -0.1424
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 36 30.56% 32.36 -0.246 77.78% -0.146 -0.1256
River Surges in Sunlight 29 31.03% 30.86 -0.211 62.07% -0.596 -0.6301
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 15 20.0% 38.67 1.723 80.0% 0.034 0.4652
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 69 26.09% 37.52 2.314 89.86% 0.663 0.3626
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 28 28.57% 32.61 -0.289 78.57% -0.092 -0.1451
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1 100.0% 25.0 -2.733 100.0% 0.159 0.5685
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 24 41.67% 34.67 0.817 79.17% -0.007 0.0003
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 29 41.38% 31.14 -0.406 68.97% -0.339 -0.6858
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 3 66.67% 28.67 -2.445 66.67% -0.343 -0.3236
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 4 25.0% 37.75 2.253 100.0% 0.406 0.5894
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 40 30.0% 35.25 1.127 87.5% 0.684 0.3975
Shifting Memory of Ages 32 34.38% 28.91 -2.117 65.63% -0.598 -0.5231
Shroud of Silent Mist 19 42.11% 26.42 -2.483 57.89% -0.936 -0.6996
Starlight Seeks its Form 40 25.0% 33.8 0.03 82.5% -0.015 -0.1546
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 41 21.95% 34.8 0.749 82.93% 0.384 0.2021
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 28 40.74% 31.86 -0.69 75.0% -0.09 0.0945
Thunderspeaker 26 42.31% 31.15 -0.57 69.23% -0.153 -0.0889
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 24 37.5% 34.17 0.572 91.67% 0.549 0.4582
Vital Strength of the Earth 10 20.0% 27.2 -3.197 60.0% -0.874 -0.0651
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 53 37.74% 25.91 -3.728 60.38% -1.16 -0.7732
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 6 33.33% 30.33 -1.484 83.33% 0.08 1.2539
Volcano Looming High 42 26.19% 35.19 1.178 95.24% 1.226 1.2218

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 25.0% 31.0 -0.064 75.0% 0.196 -0.0062
Blitz 0 7 71.43% 27.29 -1.479 57.14% -0.312 -0.0541
Dahan Insurrection 4 9 22.22% 56.33 10.553 88.89% 0.1 0.5131
Despicable Theft 2 14 64.29% 38.36 1.717 50.0% -0.804 -0.3582
Elemental Invocation 1 5 0.0% 40.0 2.638 80.0% 0.01 0.4958
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 30 6.67% 36.0 1.076 76.67% -0.426 -0.1209
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1 100.0% 36.0 2.068 100.0% 0.357 0.5389
Rituals of Terror 3 1 0.0% 62.0 12.07 100.0% 0.297 0.4184
Second Wave 0 99 37.37% 34.46 0.745 73.74% -0.426 0.1394
Varied Terrains 2 2 100.0% 40.0 5.457 100.0% 0.482 1.0076
Ward the Shores 2 7 42.86% 30.71 -0.489 42.86% -0.907 0.2547

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 686 38.69% 33.02 0.177 79.15% 0.277 1.2928
1 Thematic 32 28.13% 38.38 1.434 68.75% -0.091 1.0819
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 137 40.15% 31.79 -0.051 78.1% 0.146 0.8971
2 Coastline 19 31.58% 32.42 0.274 89.47% 0.677 1.2791
2 Fragment 4 25.0% 34.5 -0.104 100.0% 0.406 0.8538
2 Heart 5 80.0% 28.6 -0.731 80.0% 0.356 0.8943
2 Opposite Shores 36 13.89% 33.75 -0.085 80.56% -0.022 0.97
2 Thematic 14 35.71% 30.14 -1.312 42.86% -0.489 0.2093
2 Top to Top 3 66.67% 13.0 -7.753 0.0% -0.976 -0.4656
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 45.33 6.055 66.67% -0.254 -0.081
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 34.33 0.184 100.0% 0.288 -0.495
3 Other 4 50.0% 25.0 -1.638 50.0% -0.375 -0.4111
3 Round (Default) 83 34.94% 31.9 -0.466 78.31% -0.247 0.3473
3 Thematic 2 100.0% 14.5 -9.088 0.0% -0.618 -0.6553
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 54.0 4.122 100.0% 0.028 0.5904
4 Thematic 2 50.0% 18.5 -7.692 0.0% -0.688 -0.1584
4 Trapezoid (Default) 21 14.29% 32.95 -0.769 80.95% -0.181 -0.2078
5 Other 4 0.0% 34.0 1.406 75.0% 0.176 0.3445
6 Other 1 0.0% 36.0 2.042 100.0% 0.172 0.9811
6 Thematic 4 0.0% 48.75 4.584 100.0% 0.719 0.4401
6 Two Centers (Default) 1 0.0% 34.0 -0.428 100.0% 0.028 -0.0657

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 31 27.97 -2.637 77.42% -0.214 1.6887
Aid From Lesser Spirits 13 25.85 -3.678 46.15% -1.289 0.4412
All Things Weaken 25 28.96 -2.513 68.0% -0.732 1.2535
Back Against the Wall 29 23.17 -4.982 51.72% -1.466 0.3501
Disintegrating Ecosystem 28 26.36 -3.683 60.71% -1.056 0.9943
Downward Spiral 36 25.61 -3.943 58.33% -1.104 0.8886
Erosion of Will 26 25.54 -3.804 57.69% -1.001 1.0822
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 13 35.23 -0.085 100.0% 0.848 1.2889
Memory Fades to Dust 31 27.55 -3.124 70.97% -0.605 1.479
Power Corrodes the Spirit 30 29.97 -2.113 73.33% -0.585 1.3537
Promising Farmlands 29 24.62 -4.755 58.62% -1.116 0.9299
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 6 34.83 0.766 100.0% 0.562 0.9864
Thriving Communities 30 27.77 -3.216 73.33% -0.63 1.3535
Unnatural Proliferation 33 28.0 -2.995 60.61% -1.119 0.8452
Untended Land Crumbles 33 26.88 -3.516 60.61% -0.95 1.0435

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 189 36.51% 32.46 -0.155 75.66% 0.03 0.8277
B 200 37.5% 31.12 -0.887 74.0% -0.141 0.603
C 224 32.74% 33.44 0.329 82.14% 0.386 0.954
D 180 32.78% 31.57 -0.735 76.67% -0.001 0.7949
E 202 34.65% 34.19 0.686 83.66% 0.389 1.0359
F 174 36.78% 32.64 -0.0 79.89% 0.302 1.0264
G 168 40.48% 32.75 0.107 78.57% 0.383 1.1142
H 158 33.54% 32.99 0.305 81.65% 0.455 1.1676
East 39 30.77% 34.95 2.312 58.97% 0.269 1.0379
Northeast 22 36.36% 33.09 -0.685 50.0% -0.917 -0.0567
Northwest 13 23.08% 35.46 -0.023 61.54% 0.31 1.3863
Southeast 12 25.0% 35.75 -1.426 66.67% -0.335 0.3711
Southwest 11 18.18% 35.27 -1.684 63.64% -0.41 0.7155
West 32 31.25% 33.09 0.254 53.13% -0.277 0.677

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1 0.0% 35.0 -0.181 100.0% 0.054 2.183
Not Using Events or Tokens 9 22.22% 31.11 -0.483 66.67% -0.424 -0.2488
Skip Initial Invader Actions 32 9.38% 41.31 2.587 84.38% 0.589 0.4468
Start of Game Growth 40 17.5% 39.6 0.803 75.0% -0.551 -1.3115
Unlimited Undo 80 34.18% 36.2 1.431 85.0% 0.475 -0.1292
Using Tokens but Not Events 77 17.11% 35.36 0.457 87.01% 0.319 0.1627

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 104 22.56 5.77%
II 236 30.98 63.56%
III 442 34.53 88.69%
IV 283 37.77 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.231 Win Model: -0.072
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 725 38.81% 33.3 78.48%
2 216 33.8% 31.87 77.31%
3 90 37.78% 31.12 75.56%
4 24 20.83% 32.63 75.0%
5 4 0.0% 34.0 75.0%
6 6 0.0% 44.17 100.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 6
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 382
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 147
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 281
Lose: Invader deck ran out 4
Lose: Adversary condition 122
Win: Sacrifice victory 4
Lose: Scenario condition 7
Win: Scenario condition 11
Lose: Blight pool ran out 100
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 57 33.93% 38.75 1.019 91.23% 0.572 0.4572
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 22 45.45% 37.95 1.205 81.82% 0.124 0.2198
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 36 50.0% 36.83 0.224 86.11% 0.227 0.0661
Downpour Drenches the World 223 36.49% 33.18 -1.483 70.85% -0.75 -0.4974
Eyes Watch From the Trees 62 32.26% 38.87 1.344 85.48% 0.293 -0.145
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 27 37.04% 40.15 1.73 88.89% 0.603 0.1154
Finder of Paths Unseen 114 55.26% 35.0 -0.474 82.46% 0.033 0.3968
Fractured Days Split the Sky 22 36.36% 39.73 1.676 77.27% -0.373 -0.3174
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 59 54.24% 31.07 -1.55 52.54% -0.393 -0.4251
Heart of the Wildfire 37 78.38% 31.38 -2.043 67.57% -0.708 -0.5332
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 95 33.68% 38.76 1.256 90.53% 0.589 0.1324
Lightning's Swift Strike 23 39.13% 36.13 1.258 69.57% 0.396 0.6701
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 64 47.46% 40.13 2.287 95.31% 1.254 0.4777
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 20 30.0% 41.35 2.85 90.0% 0.549 -0.0935
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 9 22.22% 42.78 2.401 100.0% 0.595 0.3284
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 60 46.67% 34.88 -0.695 78.33% -0.365 -0.632
Many Minds Move as One 43 18.6% 39.33 1.711 83.72% 0.182 -0.421
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 114 44.25% 37.46 0.665 85.96% 0.301 0.1157
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 34 38.24% 34.18 -0.949 73.53% -0.396 -0.3756
River Surges in Sunlight 28 39.29% 41.64 2.522 89.29% 0.375 0.3407
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 24 37.5% 42.58 3.942 91.67% 1.018 1.4496
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 71 44.29% 41.63 3.125 91.55% 0.8 0.4999
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 30 33.33% 29.73 -2.74 56.67% -0.914 -0.967
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4 75.0% 25.75 -4.47 50.0% -0.426 -0.0166
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 21 57.14% 38.38 0.88 85.71% 0.069 0.0759
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 23 73.91% 30.26 -1.67 56.52% -0.696 -1.0429
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 2 0.0% 29.0 -3.596 50.0% -0.577 -0.5576
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 1 100.0% 41.0 4.077 100.0% 0.182 0.3648
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 27 37.5% 34.41 -0.9 77.78% -0.147 -0.4336
Shifting Memory of Ages 23 60.87% 28.61 -3.719 47.83% -1.167 -1.0925
Shroud of Silent Mist 23 56.52% 34.57 0.059 73.91% 0.077 0.3137
Starlight Seeks its Form 78 37.18% 36.82 0.492 80.77% 0.015 -0.1241
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 46 28.26% 35.13 -0.699 86.96% 0.235 0.0534
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 25 36.0% 33.32 -1.636 76.0% -0.429 -0.2442
Thunderspeaker 31 48.39% 37.23 0.332 77.42% -0.298 -0.2336
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 28 75.0% 31.39 -1.667 75.0% 0.049 -0.0416
Vital Strength of the Earth 5 25.0% 33.2 -2.205 60.0% -0.448 0.3606
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 45 45.24% 36.36 -0.734 86.67% 0.028 0.4152
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 8 37.5% 33.63 -1.479 75.0% -0.261 0.9129
Volcano Looming High 64 56.25% 34.8 -0.435 82.81% 0.189 0.1848

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 33.33% 38.33 0.979 100.0% 0.161 -0.0411
Blitz 0 9 22.22% 35.44 -0.404 66.67% -0.386 -0.1288
Dahan Insurrection 4 3 33.33% 35.67 -1.01 33.33% -1.112 -0.6989
Despicable Theft 2 21 66.67% 23.29 -5.174 0.0% -2.569 -2.1233
Elemental Invocation 1 1 0.0% 40.0 1.903 100.0% 0.128 0.6141
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 38 15.79% 38.47 1.463 76.32% 0.101 0.407
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1 0.0% 18.0 -7.287 0.0% -0.495 -0.3128
Rituals of Terror 3 1 100.0% 50.0 7.292 100.0% 0.199 0.3202
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 2 100.0% 37.5 2.015 50.0% -0.333 0.0823
Second Wave 0 60 31.67% 38.75 1.397 71.67% -0.281 0.2847
Varied Terrains 2 18 83.33% 32.72 0.15 44.44% -1.061 -0.5348
Ward the Shores 2 5 40.0% 33.8 -1.345 40.0% -1.266 -0.1039

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 723 45.01% 34.61 -0.55 74.14% -0.074 0.9424
1 Thematic 32 31.25% 37.31 0.475 62.5% -0.375 0.7978
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 168 42.86% 36.99 0.655 83.93% 0.345 1.0967
2 Coastline 29 37.93% 34.66 -0.82 75.86% -0.478 0.1245
2 Fragment 7 14.29% 30.43 -4.067 42.86% -1.284 -0.8364
2 Heart 7 85.71% 16.0 -7.197 0.0% -1.053 -0.5146
2 Opposite Shores 37 45.95% 37.73 0.822 86.49% 0.229 1.2212
2 Thematic 12 41.67% 38.17 1.296 75.0% 0.01 0.708
2 Top to Top 10 30.0% 38.2 1.216 90.0% 0.24 0.7505
3 Archipelago 2 0.0% 48.0 4.348 100.0% 0.051 0.224
3 Coastline 2 0.0% 41.0 3.165 100.0% 0.24 -0.5425
3 Round (Default) 69 35.94% 37.65 0.254 89.86% 0.075 0.6694
3 Thematic 3 33.33% 40.33 2.229 100.0% 0.384 0.3462
4 Archipelago 3 100.0% 44.33 3.881 100.0% 0.167 -0.5439
4 Thematic 5 80.0% 33.8 -1.783 60.0% -0.504 0.0255
4 Trapezoid (Default) 30 33.33% 39.33 0.791 93.33% 0.289 0.2622
5 Other 5 80.0% 35.8 1.424 80.0% 0.018 0.1865
6 Thematic 3 66.67% 43.67 0.015 100.0% 0.133 -0.1461
6 Two Centers (Default) 2 50.0% 35.5 -0.013 100.0% 0.044 -0.0505

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 33 31.55 -2.453 75.76% -0.346 1.5573
Aid From Lesser Spirits 33 32.97 -1.698 78.79% -0.281 1.449
All Things Weaken 54 28.83 -3.496 57.41% -1.085 0.9
Back Against the Wall 26 30.58 -2.905 57.69% -1.011 0.8054
Disintegrating Ecosystem 26 32.69 -2.018 84.62% 0.153 2.2038
Downward Spiral 40 32.55 -1.663 77.5% 0.108 2.1012
Erosion of Will 28 30.21 -2.968 60.71% -0.854 1.2294
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 16 42.31 2.177 100.0% 1.032 1.4728
Memory Fades to Dust 26 27.73 -4.224 61.54% -0.867 1.2167
Power Corrodes the Spirit 35 32.6 -1.681 77.14% -0.057 1.8811
Promising Farmlands 47 30.62 -2.94 70.21% -0.542 1.5039
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 15 34.93 -1.389 80.0% -0.36 0.065
Thriving Communities 46 30.72 -2.466 67.39% -0.28 1.7032
Unnatural Proliferation 40 32.2 -2.13 72.5% -0.421 1.5435
Untended Land Crumbles 38 26.95 -4.722 52.63% -1.287 0.7059

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 221 42.13% 36.58 0.427 80.09% -0.045 0.7522
B 199 41.84% 36.51 0.504 80.9% 0.161 0.9049
C 258 44.09% 36.71 0.399 82.95% 0.118 0.6861
D 182 43.26% 34.03 -0.888 74.73% -0.316 0.4795
E 224 42.41% 36.29 0.365 81.7% 0.074 0.721
F 210 44.29% 34.46 -0.646 76.67% -0.245 0.4791
G 171 43.27% 35.43 -0.101 78.95% -0.039 0.6931
H 161 43.48% 37.85 0.97 84.47% 0.212 0.9248
East 35 45.71% 37.4 0.294 68.57% -0.406 0.3626
Northeast 17 52.94% 35.59 -1.973 64.71% -0.839 0.0206
Northwest 14 57.14% 46.21 4.891 100.0% 1.529 2.6058
Southeast 14 35.71% 40.64 2.248 85.71% 0.447 1.1536
Southwest 20 40.0% 33.35 -2.457 65.0% -0.618 0.5078
West 36 41.67% 38.47 0.426 75.0% -0.537 0.4168

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 6 0.0% 37.67 -1.416 83.33% -0.49 1.639
Not Using Events or Tokens 6 16.67% 37.5 0.533 83.33% 0.089 0.2637
Skip Initial Invader Actions 26 28.57% 42.27 1.714 80.77% -0.235 -0.3769
Start of Game Growth 28 26.09% 42.39 2.109 78.57% 0.272 -0.4882
Unlimited Undo 108 42.99% 39.16 1.644 90.74% 0.895 0.2915
Using Tokens but Not Events 99 40.86% 34.29 -1.069 72.73% -0.45 -0.6064

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 137 22.56 2.19%
II 238 30.98 60.08%
III 430 34.53 91.86%
IV 349 37.77 99.71%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.233 Win Model: 0.407
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 763 44.88% 34.75 73.92%
2 267 42.32% 36.19 79.78%
3 77 34.72% 38.36 90.91%
4 40 47.5% 38.33 87.5%
5 2 50.0% 35.5 100.0%
6 5 60.0% 40.4 100.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 386
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 140
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 339
Lose: Invader deck ran out 5
Lose: Adversary condition 149
Win: Sacrifice victory 18
Lose: Scenario condition 4
Win: Scenario condition 3
Lose: Blight pool ran out 97
Lose: Spirit destroyed 10

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 54 18.52% 46.33 0.838 83.33% 0.158 0.0433
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 55 67.27% 40.02 -1.217 65.45% -0.424 -0.3284
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 47 48.94% 44.64 0.385 85.11% 0.453 0.2917
Downpour Drenches the World 251 37.05% 41.08 -1.376 71.31% -0.461 -0.2086
Eyes Watch From the Trees 81 35.8% 48.22 1.935 85.19% 0.722 0.284
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 71 35.21% 47.23 1.574 87.32% 0.769 0.2814
Finder of Paths Unseen 134 56.72% 40.32 -1.478 70.9% -0.39 -0.0261
Fractured Days Split the Sky 32 46.88% 47.56 0.557 59.38% -0.794 -0.7382
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 52 53.85% 44.21 0.514 78.85% 0.142 0.1104
Heart of the Wildfire 48 64.58% 39.44 -2.065 68.75% -0.263 -0.0882
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 144 38.03% 43.46 0.044 75.0% -0.052 -0.5078
Lightning's Swift Strike 25 43.48% 45.72 0.607 80.0% 0.085 0.3595
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 110 50.0% 47.08 2.035 85.45% 0.772 -0.0048
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 18 38.89% 50.0 3.298 94.44% 0.863 0.2206
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 16 50.0% 45.81 1.324 75.0% -0.094 -0.3604
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 96 57.29% 40.5 -1.255 71.88% -0.099 -0.3658
Many Minds Move as One 38 36.84% 47.24 1.539 86.84% 0.42 -0.1825
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 143 45.99% 45.79 1.052 78.32% 0.345 0.1596
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 54 42.59% 46.87 1.639 85.19% 0.686 0.7063
River Surges in Sunlight 28 25.0% 47.68 1.693 75.0% 0.054 0.0195
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 10 50.0% 50.7 4.389 90.0% 0.934 1.365
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 118 38.46% 50.28 3.192 85.59% 0.598 0.2972
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 64 35.94% 42.42 -0.799 71.88% -0.333 -0.3862
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 7 100.0% 30.43 -5.692 42.86% -0.757 -0.3472
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 19 68.42% 37.84 -2.291 57.89% -0.673 -0.6659
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 40 60.0% 42.67 -0.392 72.5% -0.194 -0.5403
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 4 100.0% 33.0 -4.951 50.0% -0.711 -0.6916
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 4 100.0% 27.0 -7.474 25.0% -0.973 -0.7903
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 43 44.19% 44.81 0.235 76.74% 0.035 -0.252
Shifting Memory of Ages 29 58.62% 44.59 0.063 75.86% -0.13 -0.0554
Shroud of Silent Mist 39 74.36% 41.08 -0.586 74.36% 0.099 0.3348
Starlight Seeks its Form 114 33.33% 45.54 0.853 80.7% 0.175 0.0355
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 93 30.11% 43.08 -0.281 79.57% 0.25 0.0679
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 42 69.05% 40.88 -0.555 73.81% 0.017 0.2016
Thunderspeaker 59 39.29% 48.34 1.322 79.66% 0.19 0.2547
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 51 74.51% 38.04 -2.406 70.59% -0.292 -0.3823
Vital Strength of the Earth 5 20.0% 39.8 -1.892 60.0% -0.459 0.35
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 86 45.35% 38.66 -2.658 65.12% -0.711 -0.3246
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 7 14.29% 44.71 0.129 85.71% 0.094 1.2681
Volcano Looming High 82 67.07% 39.0 -1.86 73.17% -0.05 -0.0544

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 100.0% 15.0 -12.103 0.0% -0.807 -1.0089
Blitz 0 4 50.0% 43.5 0.36 75.0% 0.291 0.5485
Dahan Insurrection 4 7 71.43% 55.0 2.083 28.57% -0.671 -0.2576
Elemental Invocation 1 4 75.0% 51.5 3.215 100.0% 0.421 0.9066
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 43 18.6% 44.42 0.059 65.12% -0.767 -0.461
Powers Long Forgotten 1 4 50.0% 57.25 6.892 100.0% 0.522 0.7042
Rituals of Terror 3 2 50.0% 74.0 12.98 100.0% 0.294 0.4151
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 3 100.0% 33.33 -2.513 33.33% -0.439 -0.0237
Second Wave 0 52 44.23% 40.4 -1.666 55.77% -1.008 -0.4425
The Great River 3 1 0.0% 28.0 -9.391 0.0% -0.788 0.61
Varied Terrains 2 6 83.33% 42.17 0.157 50.0% -0.162 0.3637
Ward the Shores 2 6 50.0% 42.5 -0.854 50.0% -0.975 0.187

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1003 49.35% 42.71 -0.418 75.27% -0.262 0.7537
1 Thematic 28 64.29% 47.46 2.072 71.43% 0.034 1.2066
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 82.0 17.148 100.0% 0.053 1.0366
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 271 41.33% 44.27 0.309 80.07% 0.006 0.7575
2 Coastline 29 31.03% 47.69 1.389 86.21% 0.227 0.8291
2 Fragment 6 50.0% 28.0 -5.363 33.33% -0.866 -0.4184
2 Heart 2 50.0% 47.5 3.069 100.0% 0.409 0.9475
2 Opposite Shores 68 44.12% 42.69 -0.498 73.53% -0.336 0.6562
2 Thematic 12 58.33% 39.67 -0.843 58.33% -0.152 0.5466
2 Top to Top 9 44.44% 41.11 -1.539 77.78% -0.197 0.3138
3 Archipelago 2 100.0% 34.5 -1.907 50.0% -0.109 0.0639
3 Other 3 100.0% 63.0 3.312 66.67% 0.292 0.2566
3 Round (Default) 108 39.22% 45.08 0.402 81.48% 0.205 0.8001
3 Thematic 3 33.33% 55.0 7.823 100.0% 0.827 0.7889
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 55.0 1.629 100.0% 0.093 0.6554
4 Other 1 100.0% 46.0 2.055 100.0% 0.418 0.1645
4 Thematic 6 50.0% 29.83 -5.918 33.33% -0.624 -0.095
4 Trapezoid (Default) 29 62.07% 48.21 1.348 86.21% 0.453 0.4262
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 45.67 -6.955 0.0% -0.615 -0.8914
6 Other 3 33.33% 27.67 -7.963 33.33% -0.661 0.1482
6 Thematic 3 0.0% 52.0 3.75 66.67% 0.211 -0.0673
6 Two Centers (Default) 7 57.14% 41.0 -2.379 71.43% -0.088 -0.1819

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 55 40.24 -1.891 70.91% -0.579 1.3243
Aid From Lesser Spirits 42 40.55 -2.184 64.29% -0.859 0.8713
All Things Weaken 48 38.25 -3.212 64.58% -0.87 1.1152
Back Against the Wall 52 40.69 -2.256 69.23% -0.768 1.0489
Disintegrating Ecosystem 54 36.15 -3.99 66.67% -0.735 1.3152
Downward Spiral 57 36.0 -4.194 63.16% -0.955 1.0379
Erosion of Will 73 38.07 -3.272 64.38% -0.912 1.1711
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 28 46.25 1.074 92.86% 0.824 1.2653
Memory Fades to Dust 51 38.76 -2.517 68.63% -0.602 1.4823
Power Corrodes the Spirit 57 40.47 -1.758 75.44% -0.331 1.6073
Promising Farmlands 54 34.5 -4.792 57.41% -1.107 0.9388
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 12 47.92 1.333 100.0% 0.777 1.2015
Thriving Communities 60 35.27 -4.449 60.0% -1.056 0.9275
Unnatural Proliferation 60 39.7 -2.251 71.67% -0.586 1.3785
Untended Land Crumbles 50 35.48 -4.473 60.0% -1.16 0.8332

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 324 51.08% 42.69 -0.362 74.69% -0.079 0.7179
B 331 45.23% 43.74 0.035 77.64% -0.046 0.6976
C 367 44.48% 44.16 0.284 78.47% 0.02 0.5881
D 275 43.49% 42.05 -0.866 74.18% -0.302 0.4935
E 293 46.42% 44.29 0.591 80.2% 0.216 0.8627
F 243 50.62% 43.2 -0.273 73.66% -0.288 0.4361
G 250 46.8% 43.64 -0.024 76.4% -0.103 0.6289
H 217 39.63% 46.36 1.181 85.71% 0.468 1.1805
East 32 53.13% 41.59 -2.046 53.13% -0.92 -0.1512
Northeast 15 53.33% 46.67 0.369 60.0% 0.037 0.8967
Northwest 14 35.71% 48.07 0.583 57.14% -0.168 0.9083
Southeast 17 35.29% 42.82 -0.591 47.06% -0.248 0.4583
Southwest 22 45.45% 41.91 -0.38 59.09% -0.111 1.0141
West 41 48.78% 44.24 -0.654 58.54% -0.681 0.2728

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 6 0.0% 49.33 -1.209 83.33% -0.323 1.806
Not Using Events or Tokens 2 0.0% 53.0 3.568 100.0% 0.208 0.3833
Skip Initial Invader Actions 26 10.0% 50.77 1.636 80.77% -0.209 -0.3517
Start of Game Growth 40 8.82% 51.3 2.518 85.0% 0.585 -0.1755
Unlimited Undo 146 36.3% 46.68 1.293 83.56% 0.35 -0.2536
Using Tokens but Not Events 59 20.75% 44.03 -0.576 69.49% -0.719 -0.8753

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 160 22.56 4.38%
II 383 30.98 57.44%
III 720 34.53 90.97%
IV 338 37.77 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.055 Win Model: -0.0
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 1039 49.66% 42.89 75.26%
2 394 41.62% 43.77 77.92%
3 115 41.28% 45.75 81.74%
4 37 59.46% 45.35 78.38%
5 3 33.33% 45.67 0.0%
6 13 38.46% 40.46 61.54%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 7
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 646
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 219
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 333
Lose: Invader deck ran out 15
Lose: Adversary condition 184
Win: Sacrifice victory 10
Lose: Scenario condition 12
Win: Scenario condition 5
Lose: Blight pool ran out 161
Lose: Spirit destroyed 9

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 52 36.54% 45.73 -0.609 65.38% -0.508 -0.6227
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 31 67.74% 42.32 -0.485 64.52% -0.122 -0.0264
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 36 61.11% 46.28 1.153 77.78% 0.51 0.3485
Downpour Drenches the World 162 44.44% 41.93 -0.83 65.43% -0.186 0.0667
Eyes Watch From the Trees 58 32.76% 51.1 2.627 84.48% 0.605 0.1671
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 28 35.71% 51.21 3.368 92.86% 1.178 0.6907
Finder of Paths Unseen 85 69.41% 41.56 -1.119 68.24% -0.134 0.2298
Fractured Days Split the Sky 18 55.56% 46.89 1.124 66.67% -0.332 -0.2756
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 36 69.44% 43.14 0.143 66.67% 0.218 0.1861
Heart of the Wildfire 33 75.76% 35.88 -3.531 54.55% -0.402 -0.227
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 139 38.85% 52.79 4.487 89.93% 1.444 0.9883
Lightning's Swift Strike 20 60.0% 38.2 -3.097 55.0% -0.602 -0.3278
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 88 61.36% 46.94 1.688 78.41% 0.583 -0.1933
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 22 59.09% 49.23 3.612 86.36% 1.005 0.3621
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 11 45.45% 51.0 2.94 90.91% 0.584 0.3172
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 70 62.86% 42.76 -0.64 70.0% 0.003 -0.2632
Many Minds Move as One 29 41.38% 51.86 4.29 93.1% 1.339 0.7362
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 95 61.05% 41.17 -1.385 62.11% -0.322 -0.5069
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 45 37.78% 41.6 -0.51 60.0% 0.073 0.0937
River Surges in Sunlight 28 64.29% 45.54 1.186 67.86% 0.051 0.0165
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 6 83.33% 49.33 1.734 83.33% 0.416 0.8468
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 65 53.85% 47.92 2.304 72.31% 0.192 -0.1086
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 58 43.1% 49.36 1.845 82.76% 0.47 0.4171
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3 66.67% 31.33 -5.73 33.33% -0.714 -0.304
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 11 81.82% 41.27 -0.613 63.64% 0.011 0.0182
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 25 72.0% 39.12 -1.619 60.0% -0.21 -0.5571
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 8 50.0% 30.5 -6.195 25.0% -0.997 -0.9777
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 3 100.0% 20.67 -9.541 0.0% -0.829 -0.6457
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 71 43.66% 47.75 2.34 80.28% 0.667 0.3801
Shifting Memory of Ages 25 68.0% 40.92 -1.454 64.0% -0.096 -0.0206
Shroud of Silent Mist 30 70.0% 33.87 -4.241 46.67% -0.668 -0.4313
Starlight Seeks its Form 97 44.33% 40.52 -1.701 60.82% -0.476 -0.6155
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 62 30.65% 43.66 -0.515 72.58% 0.078 -0.1037
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 21 66.67% 41.95 -0.752 71.43% 0.07 0.2546
Thunderspeaker 43 53.49% 46.4 0.787 72.09% 0.156 0.22
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 42 78.57% 36.24 -3.619 52.38% -0.547 -0.6378
Vital Strength of the Earth 4 75.0% 22.5 -11.464 0.0% -1.357 -0.5484
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 72 56.94% 41.0 -1.415 59.72% -0.292 0.0949
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 3 33.33% 24.0 -9.112 0.0% -1.089 0.0855
Volcano Looming High 58 72.41% 44.72 1.028 81.03% 0.803 0.7983

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 100.0% 51.0 3.228 100.0% 0.161 -0.0414
Blitz 0 4 50.0% 39.0 -0.283 50.0% -0.298 -0.041
Dahan Insurrection 4 9 22.22% 66.67 7.325 66.67% -0.662 -0.2487
Despicable Theft 2 3 100.0% 37.67 -2.368 33.33% -0.74 -0.2938
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 139 17.99% 51.42 3.995 82.73% 0.621 0.9266
Powers Long Forgotten 1 2 100.0% 39.0 -0.548 50.0% -0.072 0.1097
Rituals of Terror 3 3 100.0% 35.33 -1.758 33.33% -0.249 -0.1276
Second Wave 0 24 45.83% 47.96 1.707 70.83% 0.091 0.6572
Varied Terrains 2 4 75.0% 50.75 2.649 50.0% -0.17 0.356
Ward the Shores 2 5 40.0% 40.4 -0.567 40.0% -0.486 0.6755

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1018 53.73% 42.77 -0.768 66.7% 0.005 1.0216
1 Thematic 23 56.52% 47.87 0.317 65.22% -0.15 1.0224
2 Archipelago 2 50.0% 43.0 0.439 50.0% -0.207 0.7763
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 170 54.12% 44.43 0.268 72.94% -0.184 0.567
2 Coastline 33 54.55% 46.7 1.01 81.82% 0.327 0.9291
2 Fragment 4 50.0% 46.0 1.996 75.0% 0.11 0.5573
2 Heart 3 66.67% 46.33 0.149 66.67% -0.099 0.4392
2 Opposite Shores 33 51.52% 44.58 0.088 72.73% -0.326 0.666
2 Thematic 7 14.29% 53.29 2.455 85.71% 0.209 0.9071
2 Top to Top 11 72.73% 48.64 2.391 72.73% 0.276 0.7865
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 56.0 0.505 100.0% 0.008 0.1812
3 Other 1 0.0% 53.0 2.262 100.0% 0.318 0.282
3 Round (Default) 45 51.11% 44.31 -0.378 68.89% -0.849 -0.2543
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 18.0 -10.597 0.0% -0.52 -0.4829
3 Thematic 4 25.0% 62.25 1.592 75.0% -0.199 -0.2368
4 Other 1 100.0% 52.0 2.359 100.0% 0.124 -0.1297
4 Thematic 1 0.0% 85.0 7.449 100.0% 0.038 0.5667
4 Trapezoid (Default) 15 60.0% 53.27 3.514 100.0% 0.592 0.5646
5 Other 1 0.0% 53.0 2.878 100.0% 0.143 0.3108
6 Star 1 100.0% 48.0 0.994 100.0% 0.023 0.8064

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 57 37.91 -3.296 57.89% -0.752 1.1509
Aid From Lesser Spirits 39 41.08 -2.119 61.54% -0.72 1.0095
All Things Weaken 57 38.02 -3.611 56.14% -0.951 1.0348
Back Against the Wall 44 40.89 -1.922 63.64% -0.501 1.3155
Disintegrating Ecosystem 49 38.61 -3.035 65.31% -0.483 1.5669
Downward Spiral 55 36.76 -4.072 56.36% -0.862 1.1315
Erosion of Will 61 37.11 -3.662 54.1% -0.884 1.1986
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 25 45.8 -0.021 80.0% 0.046 0.4874
Memory Fades to Dust 66 37.15 -3.799 59.09% -0.745 1.3392
Power Corrodes the Spirit 44 38.77 -2.594 61.36% -0.512 1.4259
Promising Farmlands 52 35.92 -4.067 51.92% -0.92 1.1258
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 12 45.08 -0.095 75.0% -0.001 0.4236
Thriving Communities 62 35.81 -4.138 54.84% -0.874 1.1093
Unnatural Proliferation 58 39.19 -2.753 58.62% -0.755 1.2095
Untended Land Crumbles 56 37.2 -3.489 58.93% -0.743 1.2505

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 216 64.35% 43.11 -0.241 68.52% 0.107 0.9043
B 227 55.95% 42.85 0.043 68.72% 0.164 0.9078
C 350 48.0% 45.93 1.093 74.86% 0.381 0.9494
D 198 58.08% 40.19 -1.439 61.11% -0.226 0.5693
E 236 54.24% 45.39 0.983 74.58% 0.278 0.9249
F 211 53.08% 44.81 0.313 73.46% 0.021 0.745
G 171 52.05% 44.02 0.109 69.01% 0.014 0.7455
H 142 49.3% 43.65 -0.461 68.31% -0.123 0.5898
East 21 42.86% 50.86 -0.882 66.67% -0.686 0.0828
Northeast 10 40.0% 56.5 1.8 70.0% -0.163 0.6966
Northwest 6 50.0% 57.0 2.578 66.67% -0.151 0.9256
Southeast 6 0.0% 58.17 4.963 100.0% 0.66 1.366
Southwest 6 33.33% 48.67 -0.643 83.33% 0.001 1.1265
West 20 35.0% 56.4 3.571 80.0% 0.159 1.113

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Skip Initial Invader Actions 11 27.27% 64.0 7.262 90.91% 0.489 0.3467
Start of Game Growth 34 23.53% 56.06 3.843 88.24% 0.684 -0.076
Unlimited Undo 153 60.13% 45.2 1.349 75.16% 0.627 0.0226
Using Tokens but Not Events 53 35.85% 47.62 2.024 71.7% 0.651 0.495

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 216 22.56 11.11%
II 475 30.98 59.37%
III 460 34.53 90.22%
IV 224 37.77 99.55%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.644 Win Model: 0.575
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 1048 53.82% 42.92 66.79%
2 258 53.49% 45.14 73.64%
3 50 48.0% 45.36 70.0%
4 17 58.82% 55.06 100.0%
5 1 0.0% 53.0 100.0%
6 1 100.0% 48.0 100.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 24
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 412
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 270
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 221
Lose: Invader deck ran out 27
Lose: Adversary condition 177
Win: Sacrifice victory 9
Lose: Scenario condition 16
Win: Scenario condition 8
Lose: Blight pool ran out 198
Lose: Spirit destroyed 13

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 42 59.52% 53.38 2.378 78.57% 0.406 0.2914
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 27 88.89% 36.07 -3.735 40.74% -0.707 -0.6109
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 43 79.07% 39.91 -3.453 51.16% -0.947 -1.108
Downpour Drenches the World 180 51.11% 46.52 0.73 66.67% -0.066 0.1871
Eyes Watch From the Trees 42 54.76% 52.88 3.745 80.95% 0.87 0.4328
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 29 62.07% 44.62 0.626 65.52% 0.251 -0.2367
Finder of Paths Unseen 117 81.2% 39.92 -2.567 51.28% -0.574 -0.2109
Fractured Days Split the Sky 16 43.75% 62.94 7.55 81.25% 0.733 0.7886
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 56 69.64% 37.82 -3.604 44.64% -0.766 -0.7974
Heart of the Wildfire 42 88.1% 45.19 -1.054 71.43% -0.017 0.1575
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 96 55.21% 55.08 4.967 85.42% 1.229 0.7729
Lightning's Swift Strike 17 82.35% 40.88 -1.154 41.18% -0.062 0.2126
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 74 68.92% 46.86 1.307 64.86% 0.309 -0.4675
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 11 63.64% 56.36 5.217 81.82% 0.693 0.0504
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 8 37.5% 53.5 -0.479 62.5% -0.646 -0.9129
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 63 73.02% 36.95 -3.205 42.86% -0.798 -1.0643
Many Minds Move as One 34 44.12% 51.62 2.791 70.59% 0.426 -0.1772
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 64 56.25% 49.19 1.084 70.31% 0.107 -0.0779
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 55 65.45% 46.93 2.574 65.45% 0.647 0.6674
River Surges in Sunlight 10 70.0% 53.1 2.992 80.0% 0.306 0.2714
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 21 95.24% 29.81 -5.657 14.29% -1.26 -0.8284
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 55 67.27% 56.91 4.57 76.36% 0.508 0.2074
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 38 65.79% 48.26 0.678 73.68% 0.238 0.1855
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 5 80.0% 35.0 -2.718 40.0% -0.155 -0.1481
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 9 66.67% 45.0 0.355 66.67% 0.172 -0.1744
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 7 71.43% 45.86 0.018 71.43% 0.2 0.2197
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 2 100.0% 41.0 -0.104 50.0% 0.052 0.2354
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 39 56.41% 46.08 0.389 64.1% -0.18 -0.4667
Shifting Memory of Ages 28 78.57% 32.93 -5.291 35.71% -1.088 -1.0129
Shroud of Silent Mist 11 72.73% 54.45 3.577 90.91% 0.764 1.0
Starlight Seeks its Form 82 53.66% 48.8 1.452 69.51% 0.183 0.0435
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 31 67.74% 46.48 0.287 70.97% 0.221 0.039
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 11 81.82% 40.36 -1.64 45.45% -0.335 -0.1502
Thunderspeaker 25 72.0% 42.32 -0.551 52.0% -0.296 -0.232
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 60 88.33% 38.53 -1.825 55.0% -0.0 -0.0908
Vital Strength of the Earth 3 66.67% 32.0 -5.141 0.0% -0.915 -0.1066
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 59 57.63% 45.0 -0.766 61.02% -0.313 0.0741
Volcano Looming High 49 73.47% 52.39 3.523 83.67% 1.162 1.1579

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 66.67% 61.33 4.914 100.0% 0.395 0.1933
Blitz 0 3 0.0% 47.33 -0.922 66.67% -0.195 0.0624
Dahan Insurrection 4 4 50.0% 91.0 19.463 100.0% 0.683 1.0964
Despicable Theft 2 6 83.33% 31.5 -6.775 0.0% -1.025 -0.5785
Elemental Invocation 1 1 100.0% 26.0 -9.406 0.0% -0.357 0.1289
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 57 40.35% 54.58 3.611 71.93% 0.343 0.6486
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1 100.0% 26.0 -7.408 0.0% -0.41 -0.2284
Second Wave 0 15 40.0% 44.67 -0.646 53.33% -0.411 0.1549
Varied Terrains 2 3 33.33% 41.33 -2.632 33.33% -0.618 -0.0919
Ward the Shores 2 2 100.0% 64.0 8.99 100.0% 0.464 1.626

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 733 67.26% 42.31 -1.082 54.84% -0.411 0.6047
1 Thematic 18 66.67% 46.22 -0.333 50.0% -0.489 0.6836
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 111.0 28.482 100.0% 0.184 1.1677
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 150 72.0% 44.47 -0.324 62.67% -0.425 0.3265
2 Coastline 28 64.29% 47.68 0.798 71.43% -0.164 0.4383
2 Fragment 4 75.0% 59.0 4.89 100.0% 0.479 0.9265
2 Heart 5 100.0% 27.4 -8.474 20.0% -1.111 -0.573
2 Opposite Shores 20 40.0% 56.85 3.466 90.0% 0.554 1.5467
2 Thematic 18 94.44% 33.0 -2.581 16.67% -0.778 -0.0799
2 Top to Top 7 42.86% 51.71 2.471 85.71% 0.391 0.9012
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 107.0 24.534 100.0% 0.089 0.2626
3 Other 2 100.0% 56.5 6.2 100.0% 1.157 1.1208
3 Round (Default) 60 48.33% 49.98 0.309 78.33% -0.498 0.0972
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 54.0 4.599 100.0% 0.164 -0.5467
4 Trapezoid (Default) 20 90.0% 54.35 3.802 90.0% 0.399 0.3718
6 Other 1 0.0% 87.0 10.367 100.0% 0.019 0.8288
6 Thematic 7 57.14% 62.14 1.968 100.0% 0.168 -0.1103
6 Two Centers (Default) 3 33.33% 53.0 -3.889 66.67% -0.826 -0.9197
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 105.0 20.869 100.0% 0.053 -0.5244

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 55 38.36 -3.718 43.64% -1.19 0.7125
Aid From Lesser Spirits 53 45.32 -0.355 60.38% -0.496 1.2342
All Things Weaken 60 40.15 -2.991 53.33% -0.981 1.0047
Back Against the Wall 48 43.35 -1.035 56.25% -0.524 1.2927
Disintegrating Ecosystem 40 35.63 -4.341 45.0% -0.873 1.177
Downward Spiral 48 35.69 -4.477 45.83% -0.862 1.1311
Erosion of Will 56 31.59 -5.959 30.36% -1.39 0.6926
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 23 53.91 3.467 78.26% 0.291 0.7322
Memory Fades to Dust 56 34.96 -5.576 37.5% -1.349 0.7356
Power Corrodes the Spirit 56 41.02 -1.918 57.14% -0.461 1.477
Promising Farmlands 52 37.96 -3.577 48.08% -0.784 1.2615
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 13 52.77 1.828 76.92% 0.015 0.4398
Thriving Communities 59 39.27 -2.67 52.54% -0.639 1.3451
Unnatural Proliferation 55 39.78 -3.332 50.91% -1.069 0.8958
Untended Land Crumbles 50 39.4 -3.56 52.0% -0.886 1.1071

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 188 72.34% 44.79 0.199 63.3% 0.157 0.9539
B 202 65.84% 46.57 1.102 66.83% 0.36 1.1032
C 240 61.67% 47.02 1.171 66.25% 0.221 0.7894
D 171 60.82% 44.57 -0.974 57.89% -0.479 0.3165
E 214 64.95% 44.99 -0.006 61.21% -0.016 0.6308
F 180 66.11% 47.17 1.227 67.78% 0.156 0.88
G 125 63.2% 47.29 0.998 67.2% 0.156 0.888
H 144 68.75% 45.67 0.337 62.5% 0.039 0.7516
East 17 70.59% 55.18 3.547 76.47% 0.205 0.974
Northeast 8 62.5% 61.5 2.98 100.0% 0.442 1.3021
Northwest 28 78.57% 39.89 -2.949 35.71% -1.276 -0.1991
Southeast 12 66.67% 52.75 0.177 75.0% -0.083 0.6237
Southwest 10 60.0% 53.2 -2.237 80.0% -0.577 0.5487
West 34 76.47% 41.76 0.773 41.18% 0.252 1.2056

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 1 100.0% 63.0 10.446 100.0% 0.352 0.5268
Skip Initial Invader Actions 19 31.58% 53.11 2.28 68.42% -0.147 -0.2892
Start of Game Growth 23 39.13% 54.7 3.727 69.57% 0.523 -0.237
Unlimited Undo 140 57.14% 49.18 1.916 72.86% 0.502 -0.1024
Using Tokens but Not Events 35 37.14% 48.37 0.857 68.57% 0.048 -0.1085

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 228 22.56 4.82%
II 441 30.98 56.69%
III 304 34.53 88.82%
IV 109 37.77 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.762 Win Model: 0.355
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 755 67.15% 42.5 54.83%
2 232 69.83% 45.52 63.36%
3 62 50.0% 50.19 79.03%
4 21 90.48% 54.33 90.48%
6 12 41.67% 65.5 91.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 11
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 265
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 244
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 107
Lose: Invader deck ran out 27
Lose: Adversary condition 125
Win: Sacrifice victory 7
Lose: Scenario condition 6
Win: Scenario condition 6
Lose: Blight pool ran out 267
Lose: Spirit destroyed 17

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 213 50.23% 60.39 3.169 69.48% 0.716 0.6008
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 118 73.73% 45.95 -1.895 41.53% -0.223 -0.1268
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 112 73.21% 40.19 -3.996 35.71% -0.428 -0.589
Downpour Drenches the World 657 60.12% 50.71 -0.032 55.25% 0.005 0.2575
Eyes Watch From the Trees 205 60.49% 51.76 1.24 56.59% 0.302 -0.1356
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 108 75.93% 47.95 -0.375 52.78% 0.331 -0.1564
Finder of Paths Unseen 318 61.32% 51.52 0.145 57.23% 0.064 0.4278
Fractured Days Split the Sky 137 48.18% 66.64 4.815 66.42% 0.323 0.3793
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 153 78.43% 47.75 -0.091 51.63% 0.285 0.2536
Heart of the Wildfire 108 86.11% 36.75 -5.454 29.63% -0.572 -0.3971
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 579 56.82% 56.42 3.218 69.95% 0.933 0.477
Lightning's Swift Strike 69 79.71% 45.19 -2.217 43.48% -0.157 0.1177
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 391 77.24% 49.97 0.829 53.96% 0.504 -0.2728
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 100 77.0% 51.65 1.533 56.0% 0.467 -0.1756
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 76 68.42% 59.95 3.71 57.89% 0.67 0.4038
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 199 76.38% 47.32 -1.943 47.24% -0.173 -0.4392
Many Minds Move as One 109 59.63% 59.23 4.584 75.23% 1.218 0.6152
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 392 70.66% 48.99 -0.293 51.53% 0.359 0.174
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 129 65.89% 46.74 -1.096 49.61% -0.014 0.0071
River Surges in Sunlight 88 75.0% 55.13 1.848 57.95% 0.35 0.3156
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 25 75.0% 42.44 -2.689 36.0% -0.403 0.0277
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 331 78.55% 53.63 1.64 50.76% 0.172 -0.1288
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 297 57.91% 58.12 1.908 59.93% 0.436 0.3836
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 6 100.0% 27.33 -8.894 0.0% -0.953 -0.5427
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 38 94.74% 33.53 -7.203 21.05% -1.14 -1.1336
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 55 90.91% 44.27 -2.218 45.45% -0.129 -0.4763
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 15 73.33% 40.87 -4.563 40.0% -0.605 -0.5862
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 47 48.94% 40.87 -2.641 29.79% -0.026 0.1571
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 154 55.84% 55.9 2.971 65.58% 0.539 0.2522
Shifting Memory of Ages 120 72.5% 54.61 -0.21 53.33% -0.069 0.0062
Shroud of Silent Mist 57 77.19% 44.82 -2.78 45.61% -0.226 0.0107
Starlight Seeks its Form 795 57.99% 54.71 2.458 63.77% 0.502 0.3629
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 353 69.69% 48.92 -0.172 58.64% 0.541 0.3592
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 100 81.0% 44.26 -2.701 45.0% -0.369 -0.1845
Thunderspeaker 111 78.18% 46.95 -1.712 38.74% -0.101 -0.0367
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 305 86.89% 46.24 -1.138 50.82% 0.293 0.2027
Vital Strength of the Earth 8 75.0% 30.5 -9.02 12.5% -1.12 -0.3118
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 211 77.73% 45.22 -2.702 43.13% -0.432 -0.0449
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 6 66.67% 24.83 -10.6 0.0% -1.198 -0.0238
Volcano Looming High 383 75.2% 44.1 -2.051 46.74% 0.062 0.0575

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 50.0% 62.0 1.801 75.0% -0.037 -0.2386
Blitz 0 9 77.78% 57.0 4.156 77.78% 0.979 1.2363
Dahan Insurrection 4 56 70.91% 55.66 0.284 12.5% -1.063 -0.6502
Despicable Theft 2 1 100.0% 31.0 -7.817 0.0% -0.348 0.0977
Elemental Invocation 1 1 0.0% 43.0 -9.828 0.0% -0.44 0.0456
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 278 39.93% 46.6 -1.748 35.25% -1.046 -0.7404
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1 100.0% 26.0 -9.942 0.0% -0.275 -0.0936
Rituals of Terror 3 19 63.16% 114.11 27.201 89.47% 1.768 1.889
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 3 66.67% 67.67 6.988 33.33% 0.006 0.4208
Second Wave 0 24 62.5% 49.38 -0.103 54.17% 0.038 0.6039
The Great River 3 1 100.0% 74.0 9.963 100.0% 0.196 1.5935
Varied Terrains 2 7 100.0% 44.57 -5.302 28.57% -0.728 -0.2019
Ward the Shores 2 1 100.0% 25.0 -8.481 0.0% -0.251 0.9104

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4161 68.25% 48.42 -0.618 52.73% -0.6 0.4162
1 Thematic 26 53.85% 47.77 -1.76 34.62% -1.028 0.1448
2 Archipelago 4 75.0% 113.5 20.141 75.0% 0.159 1.1427
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 532 73.07% 48.19 -0.822 51.5% -0.737 0.0145
2 Coastline 129 75.97% 51.74 2.086 60.47% -0.13 0.472
2 Fragment 22 59.09% 59.91 5.208 81.82% 0.451 0.8984
2 Heart 34 91.18% 42.15 -1.311 41.18% -0.653 -0.1146
2 Opposite Shores 127 53.54% 44.19 -3.333 39.37% -1.299 -0.307
2 Thematic 23 73.91% 70.13 5.537 47.83% 0.207 0.9057
2 Top to Top 44 61.36% 56.98 4.143 61.36% 0.238 0.7484
3 Archipelago 3 100.0% 57.0 -1.363 33.33% -0.256 -0.0829
3 Coastline 1 100.0% 65.0 17.501 100.0% 0.758 -0.0246
3 Other 10 30.0% 69.2 4.735 100.0% 0.391 0.3557
3 Round (Default) 242 68.18% 50.5 -1.155 58.26% -0.966 -0.3708
3 Thematic 4 50.0% 90.5 11.556 75.0% 0.398 0.3606
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 69.0 6.641 100.0% 0.092 -0.0949
4 Thematic 20 55.0% 69.6 2.523 25.0% -0.353 0.1763
4 Trapezoid (Default) 89 62.92% 62.71 1.882 73.03% -0.439 -0.4662
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 51.0 -3.163 0.0% -0.07 -0.6488
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 69.0 3.376 100.0% 0.019 -0.546
5 Other 9 44.44% 68.33 0.723 44.44% -0.288 -0.1198
5 Thematic 4 75.0% 64.5 1.272 50.0% 0.119 -0.1578
6 Other 20 65.0% 48.4 -2.661 50.0% -1.275 -0.4655
6 Star 1 0.0% 74.0 5.889 100.0% 0.034 0.8174
6 Thematic 12 75.0% 50.92 -2.173 25.0% -0.668 -0.9467
6 Two Centers (Default) 38 60.53% 81.0 5.371 92.11% 0.326 0.2319

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 301 40.84 -4.918 38.21% -1.434 0.4689
Aid From Lesser Spirits 229 46.97 -2.326 48.03% -1.083 0.6464
All Things Weaken 266 46.25 -2.465 47.74% -1.052 0.9336
Back Against the Wall 230 47.84 -2.212 48.26% -1.068 0.7483
Disintegrating Ecosystem 279 41.3 -4.965 41.58% -1.309 0.7412
Downward Spiral 310 42.02 -4.478 42.58% -1.271 0.7222
Erosion of Will 298 42.09 -4.601 38.93% -1.44 0.6435
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 64 54.48 1.135 64.06% -0.368 0.0731
Memory Fades to Dust 308 42.49 -4.265 41.56% -1.276 0.8083
Power Corrodes the Spirit 282 42.44 -4.372 42.2% -1.306 0.6319
Promising Farmlands 305 43.22 -3.951 44.92% -1.209 0.8369
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 54 60.3 3.985 83.33% 0.585 1.0095
Thriving Communities 266 39.92 -5.532 37.22% -1.491 0.4927
Unnatural Proliferation 312 44.16 -3.493 41.67% -1.345 0.6191
Untended Land Crumbles 300 42.31 -4.518 41.67% -1.37 0.623

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 971 68.66% 49.97 -0.058 54.38% -0.704 0.0934
B 1025 68.0% 49.12 -0.627 51.8% -0.859 -0.1157
C 1281 71.17% 50.68 0.392 56.13% -0.594 -0.0258
D 834 65.71% 46.35 -2.212 44.84% -1.204 -0.4082
E 1240 66.61% 51.63 1.124 57.02% -0.543 0.1043
F 718 68.25% 53.39 1.414 62.4% -0.412 0.312
G 653 68.15% 50.71 0.028 56.51% -0.737 -0.0057
H 703 67.57% 51.5 0.675 58.18% -0.607 0.1055
East 81 64.2% 62.14 2.541 34.57% -0.652 0.1163
Northeast 57 68.42% 61.82 1.309 29.82% -0.9 -0.0396
Northwest 47 61.7% 63.47 2.059 38.3% -0.481 0.5953
Southeast 22 72.73% 50.68 -1.539 27.27% -0.763 -0.0571
Southwest 15 73.33% 53.67 -1.5 33.33% -0.499 0.6263
West 59 66.1% 67.19 2.824 42.37% -0.948 0.0062

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1 0.0% 35.0 -7.248 0.0% -0.369 1.7599
Not Using Events or Tokens 7 100.0% 27.29 -9.911 0.0% -1.365 -1.1897
Skip Initial Invader Actions 201 17.91% 81.56 8.591 90.55% 0.416 0.2742
Start of Game Growth 241 21.67% 78.73 8.276 89.63% 1.246 0.4853
Unlimited Undo 684 48.17% 63.33 5.097 74.85% 0.817 0.2132
Using Tokens but Not Events 113 65.49% 53.49 0.806 53.98% 0.048 -0.109

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1491 22.56 7.24%
II 1478 30.98 34.51%
III 1422 34.53 82.98%
IV 1180 37.77 99.66%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.656 Win Model: 0.737
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4240 68.25% 48.65 52.74%
2 881 70.45% 48.83 51.87%
3 270 65.93% 52.71 58.15%
4 102 62.75% 62.95 67.65%
5 10 70.0% 56.8 40.0%
6 68 60.29% 67.81 75.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 104
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1161
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 499
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1153
Lose: Invader deck ran out 83
Lose: Adversary condition 711
Win: Sacrifice victory 50
Lose: Scenario condition 121
Win: Scenario condition 7
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1600
Lose: Spirit destroyed 82

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-09-02 02:08:59 (Pacific Time)