The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 541 17.5% 25.57 1.954 76.52% 0.785 0.5885
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 43 30.23% 25.63 2.411 72.09% 0.549 -0.1654
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 312 27.56% 23.34 -1.247 70.51% -0.28 -0.0115
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 88 15.91% 25.36 1.463 69.32% 0.214 -0.3537
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 462 21.83% 23.61 0.294 72.29% -0.027 -0.1576
Downpour Drenches the World 750 19.87% 21.64 -1.383 71.33% -0.258 0.0118
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 395 16.46% 25.8 3.058 76.46% 0.903 0.4715
Eyes Watch From the Trees 553 13.64% 26.79 2.492 76.67% 0.338 -0.0853
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 453 17.56% 26.8 2.779 80.35% 0.724 0.2789
Finder of Paths Unseen 351 33.14% 15.99 -3.362 52.99% -1.007 -0.3496
Fractured Days Split the Sky 227 18.5% 20.57 -0.185 54.19% -0.276 0.5324
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 407 31.7% 21.97 -0.634 65.11% -0.29 -0.4077
Heart of the Wildfire 372 50.0% 18.85 -3.604 60.48% -0.781 -0.4934
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 634 23.33% 26.1 0.572 77.76% 0.164 -0.229
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 95 20.0% 24.35 0.991 74.74% 0.567 0.1621
Lightning's Swift Strike 234 32.9% 23.07 1.143 72.65% 0.416 0.6835
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 221 28.57% 27.88 2.408 81.45% 0.642 0.2902
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 120 19.17% 24.77 -1.056 70.83% -0.159 -0.6002
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 116 23.28% 23.19 -2.549 61.21% -0.228 -0.2709
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 544 24.82% 25.49 0.636 73.9% 0.074 -0.177
Many Minds Move as One 373 16.8% 24.13 -1.559 64.34% -0.365 -0.5954
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 779 34.63% 23.44 1.156 69.7% 0.057 -0.0467
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 440 26.36% 22.78 1.124 68.64% 0.434 0.2776
River Surges in Sunlight 263 35.11% 22.34 1.215 66.92% 0.262 0.3508
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 33 21.21% 24.0 2.142 81.82% 0.911 0.7987
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 144 32.64% 23.58 -0.92 65.97% -0.107 0.2826
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 329 27.24% 25.9 0.719 69.6% -0.102 0.0351
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 358 20.22% 22.75 0.7 70.67% 0.3 0.1061
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 95 50.53% 19.85 0.695 61.05% 0.116 0.6019
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 92 31.52% 25.35 -3.229 72.83% -0.572 -0.5168
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 80 38.75% 23.64 0.125 62.5% -0.096 -0.5643
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 98 34.69% 21.81 -2.526 65.31% -0.452 -0.2366
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 73 32.88% 22.75 -2.556 68.49% -0.736 -0.7069
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 38 34.21% 25.84 -0.157 71.05% -0.143 0.029
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 364 22.1% 24.52 0.103 71.15% 0.059 -0.0933
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 124 20.83% 20.92 1.205 57.26% 0.44 0.2411
Shifting Memory of Ages 288 31.25% 18.72 -1.442 56.94% -0.34 0.1089
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 30 16.67% 19.7 -0.399 70.0% 0.271 -0.034
Shroud of Silent Mist 297 36.36% 19.87 1.152 61.62% 0.475 0.8107
Starlight Seeks its Form 706 15.06% 26.81 0.27 76.06% 0.193 0.1378
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 431 18.5% 23.86 -0.356 71.23% -0.227 -0.8502
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 396 27.37% 20.13 -0.755 61.87% -0.026 0.1674
Thunderspeaker 484 19.5% 25.25 -0.767 71.28% -0.519 -0.5732
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 102 22.55% 15.59 -2.893 44.12% -0.489 -0.3546
Towering Roots of the Jungle 80 26.25% 21.02 -0.219 68.75% 0.11 0.1191
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 256 48.44% 17.93 -4.183 55.47% -0.713 -0.6297
Vital Strength of the Earth 174 29.31% 17.09 -1.519 53.45% -0.248 0.3465
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 213 29.81% 23.09 -1.104 69.95% 0.276 0.7155
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 76 21.05% 17.59 -1.631 47.37% -0.404 0.2869
Volcano Looming High 431 30.63% 20.23 -1.775 61.72% -0.557 -0.4539
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 190 21.05% 25.76 2.594 74.74% 0.711 0.4583

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 40 17.5% 25.15 2.417 80.0% 0.472 0.2516
Blitz 0 113 20.35% 18.08 -0.586 46.02% -0.12 0.1662
Dahan Insurrection 4 167 13.17% 38.94 7.55 62.87% 0.141 0.0262
Despicable Theft 2 95 21.05% 16.09 0.276 34.74% -0.46 0.2788
Elemental Invocation 1 110 17.27% 20.39 -0.745 53.64% -0.552 0.2043
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 212 11.79% 28.43 2.616 69.81% 0.177 -0.405
Powers Long Forgotten 1 112 22.32% 9.98 -3.735 22.32% -1.029 -0.1751
Rituals of Terror 3 93 19.35% 24.22 2.137 49.46% -0.213 -0.3835
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 57 42.11% 18.75 2.166 36.84% 0.022 0.9323
Second Wave 0 212 41.5% 31.16 4.473 65.09% -0.35 -0.2708
The Great River 3 65 32.31% 20.75 -1.473 40.0% -0.406 0.9579
Varied Terrains 2 136 38.97% 18.68 -1.807 38.97% -0.921 -0.0413
Ward the Shores 2 121 23.97% 17.98 -2.328 42.15% -0.984 -0.0029

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5392 26.87% 23.52 0.513 71.24% 0.309 0.6528
1 Thematic 574 26.83% 20.16 -0.724 47.91% -0.419 0.1087
2 Archipelago 7 57.14% 27.43 16.438 42.86% 0.468 0.9666
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1318 27.03% 20.9 -1.364 64.49% -0.231 0.0532
2 Coastline 206 27.18% 24.53 3.932 76.7% 1.531 1.5598
2 Fragment 26 46.15% 24.85 1.128 84.62% 0.297 0.06
2 Heart 23 21.74% 24.48 2.858 82.61% 0.461 0.3128
2 Opposite Shores 202 33.33% 24.18 0.541 78.71% 0.837 0.8957
2 Thematic 210 25.24% 21.1 -2.99 49.52% -0.67 -0.2995
2 Top to Top 44 27.27% 18.93 -4.477 61.36% -0.321 -0.1979
3 Archipelago 5 20.0% 31.6 0.0 80.0%
3 Coastline 12 16.67% 24.0 -3.183 50.0% -0.468 -1.017
3 Other 28 32.14% 20.61 2.754 60.71% -0.166 -0.7034
3 Round (Default) 732 25.07% 26.72 1.128 79.64% -0.089 -0.1817
3 Sunrise 4 0.0% 20.25 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 45 24.44% 19.67 2.42 44.44% 0.314 -0.2043
4 Archipelago 4 50.0% 30.5 -2.725 50.0% -0.643 -0.2098
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 12 66.67% 25.25 0.0 83.33%
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 49 16.33% 29.88 4.3 71.43% 0.204 0.3371
4 Trapezoid (Default) 348 15.8% 18.59 -0.908 58.05% -0.433 -0.3264
5 Other 36 33.33% 24.72 -3.376 80.56% -0.553 -1.0679
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 26.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 8 0.0% 34.63 3.715 75.0% 0.076 -0.6537
6 Other 2 0.0% 16.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 4 25.0% 21.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 39 23.08% 32.15 -0.862 56.41% -0.43 -0.1071
6 Two Centers (Default) 54 12.96% 23.52 2.112 68.52% -0.077 -0.1806

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 124 20.83 -0.716 59.68% -0.122 -0.0182
Aid From Lesser Spirits 150 23.89 1.49 68.67% -0.018 -0.1629
All Things Weaken 141 22.27 1.196 65.96% 0.14 0.5055
Attenuated Essence 63 20.87 1.346 65.08% 0.195 0.1932
Back Against the Wall 130 22.92 -0.77 61.54% 0.113 0.1785
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 55 21.53 5.42 63.64% 1.093 1.3278
Burn Brightest Before the End 35 19.69 -1.312 51.43% -0.425 -0.2644
Disintegrating Ecosystem 147 17.46 -0.588 53.74% -0.068 0.3082
Downward Spiral 193 19.58 -2.933 67.88% -0.387 -0.3146
Erosion of Will 147 19.1 -4.284 49.66% -1.14 -0.8833
Intensifying Exploitation 51 17.27 -1.777 45.1% -0.218 0.0557
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 65 26.83 3.408 89.23% 1.162 0.6756
Memory Fades to Dust 209 19.17 0.671 57.42% -0.02 0.1631
Power Corrodes the Spirit 142 20.7 -1.974 62.68% -0.132 0.0812
Promising Farmlands 141 18.64 -1.535 58.87% -0.327 -0.0041
Shattered Fragments of Power 44 20.86 0.132 54.55% -0.25 -0.0795
Slow Dissolution of Will 67 19.12 -0.651 55.22% -0.399 -0.015
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 53 26.74 4.854 88.68% 0.492 -0.184
The Border of Life and Death 13 18.46 3.871 61.54% 0.779 0.2625
Thriving Communities 165 20.38 -3.637 57.58% -0.712 -0.3881
Thriving Crops 33 18.27 -3.085 57.58% -0.4 -0.3989
Unnatural Proliferation 149 22.54 0.403 57.72% -0.276 -0.089
Untended Land Crumbles 157 21.14 -0.592 61.15% -0.418 -0.0792

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1835 26.83% 22.67 -0.833 69.86% -0.564 0.2995
B 1898 25.39% 23.09 -0.183 70.5% -0.4 0.4211
C 1892 26.06% 23.73 0.406 73.63% -0.203 0.4951
D 1726 24.94% 22.45 -0.18 68.77% -0.379 0.4768
E 1679 24.18% 23.71 0.623 70.82% -0.049 0.6389
F 1518 24.93% 23.29 -0.01 69.76% -0.476 0.3414
G 1446 25.71% 22.71 -0.937 69.23% -0.642 0.2386
H 1476 26.42% 23.23 1.141 69.38% -0.141 0.6398
East 581 24.78% 23.46 -1.413 53.7% -1.06 -0.2671
Northeast 290 27.93% 24.45 1.169 54.14% -0.208 0.6724
Northwest 241 26.97% 24.1 1.194 55.6% 0.092 0.9634
Southeast 210 18.1% 23.58 1.527 54.76% 0.199 1.0576
Southwest 221 25.34% 18.69 -1.956 44.34% -0.609 0.6007
West 560 25.71% 20.96 -0.963 48.75% -0.995 0.0657

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 35 0.0% 38.49 11.16 77.14% 0.247 0.9625
Not Using Events or Tokens 296 24.65% 23.05 -2.077 73.65% -0.343 0.1306
Skip Initial Invader Actions 209 10.56% 37.03 3.858 79.9% 0.205 -0.3624
Start of Game Growth 288 13.51% 34.53 3.933 79.86% 0.641 -0.0231
Unlimited Undo 719 21.41% 25.25 1.171 71.07% 0.428 0.451
Using Tokens but Not Events 805 21.47% 24.53 0.536 74.04% 0.325 0.3731

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2212 15.45 7.82%
II 2342 30.45 73.06%
III 3307 34.8 91.93%
IV 1535 38.47 99.28%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.195 Win Model: 0.586
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6180 26.76% 22.9 67.65%
2 1874 28.69% 22.46 69.26%
3 791 24.45% 26.59 79.01%
4 406 16.5% 19.82 60.1%
5 40 37.5% 24.77 77.5%
6 105 15.24% 27.59 65.71%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 173
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2961
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1613
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1512
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2014
Lose: Invader deck ran out 39
Lose: Adversary condition 254
Win: Sacrifice victory 34
Lose: Scenario condition 48
Win: Scenario condition 155
Lose: Blight pool ran out 552
Lose: Spirit destroyed 41

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 481 25.31% 29.39 0.666 68.61% 0.331 0.1348
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 37 27.03% 31.46 2.864 75.68% 0.805 0.0905
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 239 45.38% 25.92 -3.357 59.41% -0.858 -0.5897
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 79 34.18% 34.63 4.414 77.22% 0.796 0.2284
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 334 29.82% 30.07 2.289 69.76% 0.573 0.4419
Downpour Drenches the World 648 25.16% 26.06 -0.179 58.95% -0.044 0.2258
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 434 19.11% 29.27 0.721 67.28% 0.231 -0.2003
Eyes Watch From the Trees 476 19.33% 31.62 3.447 72.48% 0.789 0.3658
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 345 25.8% 31.99 2.916 73.33% 0.896 0.4505
Finder of Paths Unseen 341 36.39% 21.6 -3.962 52.2% -0.62 0.0368
Fractured Days Split the Sky 228 28.95% 24.09 -2.103 47.37% -0.958 -0.1502
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 413 40.68% 27.38 -1.091 60.53% -0.256 -0.3731
Heart of the Wildfire 313 58.47% 22.89 -1.542 52.72% -0.102 0.1851
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 639 30.41% 29.1 0.449 69.64% 0.235 -0.1576
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 89 18.18% 29.0 4.747 68.54% 0.654 0.249
Lightning's Swift Strike 178 42.7% 26.02 0.362 61.8% 0.019 0.2867
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 188 31.35% 31.67 3.999 72.87% 0.57 0.2182
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 108 38.32% 31.43 0.533 67.59% -0.036 -0.4775
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 128 30.47% 28.68 1.349 63.28% 0.297 0.2544
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 405 38.02% 28.13 2.167 61.48% 0.37 0.1192
Many Minds Move as One 313 26.77% 29.82 2.562 66.45% 0.633 0.4023
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 795 39.77% 28.22 -1.437 64.78% -0.225 -0.3287
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 358 30.17% 27.23 1.194 64.25% 0.139 -0.0171
River Surges in Sunlight 271 35.07% 30.72 2.925 71.22% 0.544 0.6331
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 32 37.5% 23.31 -1.484 56.25% -0.28 -0.3919
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 150 36.67% 29.22 -2.733 64.0% -0.788 -0.3985
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 285 32.16% 32.05 3.564 72.28% 0.478 0.6157
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 320 25.0% 26.32 -1.576 59.06% -0.317 -0.5102
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 98 44.79% 21.34 -1.067 48.98% -0.228 0.2572
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 83 40.96% 26.95 3.498 60.24% 0.405 0.4602
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 77 38.96% 34.09 0.997 81.82% 0.095 -0.3732
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 103 39.81% 26.53 -1.406 61.17% 0.169 0.3851
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 63 38.1% 25.75 -0.041 57.14% -0.239 -0.21
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 48 43.75% 23.19 -3.887 50.0% -0.613 -0.4403
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 291 34.83% 28.67 -0.432 67.7% 0.182 0.029
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 153 31.13% 26.42 -0.705 58.82% -0.045 -0.2441
Shifting Memory of Ages 309 39.54% 24.03 -2.918 52.1% -0.665 -0.2155
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 40 35.0% 27.23 0.224 60.0% -0.084 -0.3888
Shroud of Silent Mist 255 50.59% 22.77 -1.113 51.37% -0.329 0.0068
Starlight Seeks its Form 371 29.46% 25.26 -1.392 59.3% -0.283 -0.3385
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 448 25.73% 27.33 -0.42 64.29% -0.078 -0.701
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 252 34.94% 24.37 -2.243 54.76% -0.373 -0.1797
Thunderspeaker 288 31.47% 28.42 2.34 64.93% 0.755 0.7008
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 103 40.78% 21.37 -8.318 47.57% -1.302 -1.1677
Towering Roots of the Jungle 83 25.3% 24.35 -0.736 56.63% -0.16 -0.1505
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 252 60.16% 23.39 -0.759 52.38% -0.294 -0.211
Vital Strength of the Earth 140 26.43% 21.81 -3.414 50.71% -0.163 0.4314
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 198 28.93% 23.91 -1.999 52.53% -0.206 0.2337
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 72 26.39% 20.35 -3.904 43.06% -0.358 0.3328
Volcano Looming High 336 36.31% 24.26 -2.385 59.52% -0.409 -0.3058
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 201 20.4% 32.44 4.011 77.61% 1.013 0.7603

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 30 26.67% 21.57 -0.807 53.33% 0.001 -0.2189
Blitz 0 147 21.09% 16.85 -7.195 38.1% -1.424 -1.1378
Dahan Insurrection 4 101 38.61% 41.1 0.898 51.49% -1.496 -1.611
Despicable Theft 2 76 42.11% 21.33 -4.384 31.58% -0.694 0.0443
Elemental Invocation 1 102 35.29% 23.87 -3.165 48.04% -1.101 -0.3448
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 215 11.63% 29.67 1.758 56.74% -0.121 -0.7028
Powers Long Forgotten 1 76 31.58% 16.55 -3.279 23.68% -0.617 0.2367
Rituals of Terror 3 21 33.33% 24.29 -0.522 38.1% -0.441 -0.611
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 21 33.33% 19.14 -7.559 33.33% -0.574 0.3365
Second Wave 0 433 37.96% 31.32 1.38 64.9% -0.116 -0.0366
The Great River 3 22 31.82% 23.91 0.0 40.91%
Varied Terrains 2 87 41.38% 21.64 -0.395 37.93% -0.179 0.7009
Ward the Shores 2 85 44.71% 14.69 -6.491 17.65% -0.978 0.0037

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4763 33.03% 26.85 0.629 62.33% 0.807 1.1511
1 Thematic 428 32.79% 23.62 -1.442 44.39% -0.386 0.1412
2 Archipelago 2 100.0% 49.5 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1195 33.17% 26.07 -0.312 61.67% 0.221 0.5048
2 Coastline 195 29.53% 25.79 -1.753 62.05% -0.334 -0.3051
2 Fragment 40 32.5% 21.75 -2.98 47.5% -0.495 -0.7326
2 Heart 29 41.38% 28.17 -3.761 62.07% -0.319 -0.4663
2 Opposite Shores 250 35.74% 26.91 -0.357 63.2% 0.321 0.3802
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 181 31.49% 21.75 -4.629 40.33% -0.746 -0.3762
2 Top to Top 41 48.78% 26.0 1.267 53.66% 0.6 0.7234
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 45.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 7 71.43% 36.71 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 14 42.86% 24.0 -2.977 57.14% -0.187 -0.7249
3 Round (Default) 711 36.13% 29.39 0.044 68.92% -0.461 -0.5538
3 Thematic 29 51.72% 30.45 3.401 62.07% -0.067 -0.5849
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 35.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 6 33.33% 36.67 0.0 83.33%
4 Other 7 71.43% 27.57 5.868 85.71% 1.122 1.1301
4 Thematic 21 23.81% 31.9 11.876 47.62% 0.602 0.7349
4 Trapezoid (Default) 199 28.14% 28.35 0.986 66.33% -0.028 0.079
5 Archipelago 2 50.0% 54.5 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 30 30.0% 35.43 3.671 86.67% 0.197 -0.3177
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 3 33.33% 45.0 19.433 66.67% 0.056 -0.6733
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 12 33.33% 26.25 -2.646 41.67% -0.38 0.2552
6 Thematic 31 21.43% 32.23 0.0 64.52%
6 Two Centers (Default) 44 20.45% 29.07 -0.397 59.09% -0.551 -0.654
7 Other 2 0.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 166 26.14 -1.09 58.43% -0.219 -0.1153
Aid From Lesser Spirits 110 26.58 -4.029 53.64% -1.038 -1.1823
All Things Weaken 152 25.86 0.08 59.21% 0.308 0.6736
Attenuated Essence 79 24.05 1.426 51.9% 0.371 0.3694
Back Against the Wall 146 26.26 4.734 56.85% 0.821 0.8856
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 67 25.84 1.278 53.73% 0.255 0.4905
Burn Brightest Before the End 61 27.77 4.141 57.38% 1.097 1.2576
Disintegrating Ecosystem 157 26.29 2.09 61.78% 0.309 0.6844
Downward Spiral 209 25.2 -0.797 61.24% -0.054 0.018
Erosion of Will 154 24.82 -2.743 53.25% -0.724 -0.468
Intensifying Exploitation 90 24.27 -1.011 61.11% 0.217 0.4906
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 101 30.41 2.858 75.25% 0.715 0.2281
Memory Fades to Dust 187 25.39 0.16 56.15% -0.21 -0.0273
Power Corrodes the Spirit 149 26.07 2.855 59.73% 0.312 0.5248
Promising Farmlands 184 23.78 -2.335 50.54% -0.312 0.0113
Shattered Fragments of Power 48 23.73 -1.16 47.92% 0.104 0.2746
Slow Dissolution of Will 64 20.66 -3.275 32.81% -0.863 -0.4789
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 61 29.79 4.855 72.13% 0.692 0.0162
The Border of Life and Death 17 27.88 1.341 70.59% 0.664 0.1475
Thriving Communities 157 23.54 -1.567 55.41% 0.074 0.3981
Thriving Crops 37 29.08 1.24 64.86% 0.307 0.3088
Unnatural Proliferation 171 25.86 0.121 53.22% 0.348 0.5349
Untended Land Crumbles 168 24.15 -0.569 53.57% -0.186 0.1528

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1600 33.02% 27.51 0.736 64.31% 0.095 0.9583
B 1657 34.4% 27.96 1.341 65.06% 0.192 1.013
C 1769 32.23% 28.07 -0.151 65.57% -0.179 0.5188
D 1588 32.3% 26.88 -0.269 61.84% -0.275 0.5815
E 1443 32.52% 27.87 0.943 65.21% 0.027 0.7154
F 1356 33.41% 26.88 -0.052 62.98% -0.179 0.6384
G 1207 34.5% 26.75 -0.892 60.81% -0.396 0.4847
H 1255 34.72% 27.55 -0.07 63.9% -0.315 0.4651
East 439 30.96% 25.26 -0.644 46.47% 0.164 0.9565
Northeast 202 32.66% 25.23 0.151 44.55% -0.149 0.7314
Northwest 171 27.98% 26.18 1.022 50.29% 0.549 1.4203
Southeast 157 27.27% 26.23 0.093 52.23% 0.156 1.0154
Southwest 158 31.82% 23.56 -2.728 47.47% -0.054 1.1556
West 422 33.25% 23.53 -0.375 44.79% -0.338 0.7227

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 26 0.0% 31.54 4.127 76.92% 0.493 1.2081
Not Using Events or Tokens 131 32.54% 22.05 -4.67 46.56% -1.023 -0.5488
Skip Initial Invader Actions 183 8.0% 39.89 5.04 85.25% 0.303 -0.2638
Start of Game Growth 287 13.21% 36.99 4.36 80.14% 0.819 0.1546
Unlimited Undo 707 23.13% 26.79 0.258 62.66% 0.168 0.1914
Using Tokens but Not Events 774 20.85% 29.77 1.412 70.8% 0.405 0.4527

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1992 15.45 3.26%
II 1713 30.45 44.72%
III 2738 34.8 89.48%
IV 1811 38.47 99.01%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.409 Win Model: 0.664
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 5285 32.97% 26.34 60.19%
2 1866 33.78% 26.39 61.31%
3 754 36.86% 29.29 68.3%
4 223 27.8% 29.38 67.71%
5 36 30.56% 32.56 77.78%
6 90 21.84% 31.67 61.11%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 65
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2398
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 742
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1780
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1520
Lose: Invader deck ran out 26
Lose: Adversary condition 916
Win: Sacrifice victory 22
Lose: Scenario condition 62
Win: Scenario condition 67
Lose: Blight pool ran out 633
Lose: Spirit destroyed 23

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 515 28.52% 31.93 1.334 70.1% 0.6 0.4034
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 42 33.33% 30.29 0.999 69.05% 0.425 -0.2896
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 230 51.3% 27.57 -7.552 57.39% -1.083 -0.8149
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 100 32.0% 34.5 2.21 70.0% 0.011 -0.556
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 374 38.77% 30.42 -0.02 66.31% 0.045 -0.0861
Downpour Drenches the World 727 31.3% 28.43 -3.481 58.05% -0.867 -0.5969
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 668 29.94% 32.94 2.161 72.31% 0.613 0.1808
Eyes Watch From the Trees 602 37.38% 32.5 1.309 65.61% 0.286 -0.1371
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 394 40.1% 32.31 0.964 69.8% 0.384 -0.0614
Finder of Paths Unseen 408 41.52% 27.11 -4.437 62.25% -0.711 -0.0534
Fractured Days Split the Sky 213 32.86% 28.52 -4.582 54.93% -1.109 -0.3008
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 408 47.67% 26.45 -3.989 51.23% -0.887 -1.0045
Heart of the Wildfire 350 69.63% 25.06 -0.576 54.57% 0.295 0.5822
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 749 30.66% 33.82 3.868 72.36% 1.508 1.1147
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 150 32.67% 32.71 -0.727 75.33% 0.057 -0.3475
Lightning's Swift Strike 190 47.89% 30.49 2.358 65.79% 0.847 1.1142
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 299 45.55% 35.33 2.932 76.59% 0.553 0.2019
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 123 35.77% 31.57 -2.5 63.41% -0.901 -1.3424
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 131 29.01% 32.57 0.756 61.83% -0.026 -0.0694
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 514 43.0% 29.89 -0.428 63.62% 0.016 -0.2346
Many Minds Move as One 349 30.95% 30.86 -2.275 65.33% -0.377 -0.6079
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1007 39.3% 31.45 0.497 66.43% 0.11 0.0056
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 446 37.44% 29.5 -0.153 59.64% -0.201 -0.3574
River Surges in Sunlight 269 40.3% 36.13 5.372 77.7% 1.364 1.4534
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 40 47.5% 27.73 -0.17 60.0% -0.204 -0.3153
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 139 44.6% 32.16 3.528 62.59% 0.68 1.0702
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 336 38.55% 36.2 -1.183 73.51% -0.495 -0.357
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 429 33.65% 30.83 3.208 59.91% 0.567 0.3735
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 48 58.33% 22.88 -10.137 45.83% -0.727 -0.2419
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 76 52.63% 35.12 -1.156 76.32% -0.182 -0.1259
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 110 54.55% 29.36 -0.335 60.91% -0.124 -0.5925
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 97 54.64% 29.04 -2.425 53.61% -0.212 0.004
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 61 49.18% 28.1 -2.264 62.3% -0.34 -0.3113
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 40 52.5% 22.6 9.276 47.5% 0.391 0.563
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 253 37.75% 31.85 3.151 68.38% 0.46 0.307
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 204 40.39% 30.72 -0.092 67.16% -0.156 -0.3549
Shifting Memory of Ages 365 42.47% 25.65 -3.263 53.7% -0.738 -0.2887
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 50 36.0% 28.2 0.242 56.0% -0.139 -0.4431
Shroud of Silent Mist 273 56.78% 25.97 -3.045 53.85% -0.667 -0.3314
Starlight Seeks its Form 499 30.06% 30.82 0.047 64.53% 0.156 0.1011
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 512 29.67% 30.69 0.913 69.53% 0.612 -0.0106
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 326 53.7% 29.06 -0.487 57.36% 0.023 0.2164
Thunderspeaker 287 37.06% 29.69 0.403 65.16% 0.614 0.5603
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 105 38.1% 28.81 2.091 62.86% 0.565 0.699
Towering Roots of the Jungle 134 29.85% 25.84 -1.014 55.97% -0.149 -0.1401
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 278 69.06% 25.54 -1.874 53.6% -0.332 -0.2493
Vital Strength of the Earth 124 30.08% 21.73 -1.475 42.74% 0.246 0.8403
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 230 40.89% 26.68 0.907 52.61% -0.055 0.3843
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 74 35.14% 25.57 -4.793 45.95% -1.612 -0.9207
Volcano Looming High 496 49.8% 29.65 2.244 66.53% 0.781 0.8845
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 271 30.63% 34.35 1.835 76.01% 0.468 0.2153

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 22 13.64% 28.14 -2.141 63.64% 0.135 -0.0852
Blitz 0 120 25.83% 25.48 -4.66 45.0% -0.841 -0.554
Dahan Insurrection 4 92 33.7% 36.99 0.808 42.39% -0.848 -0.9631
Despicable Theft 2 49 44.9% 20.82 -11.144 16.33% -1.071 -0.3325
Elemental Invocation 1 84 40.48% 19.38 -7.011 36.9% -1.16 -0.4036
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 302 17.55% 32.63 2.189 56.29% 0.107 -0.4751
Powers Long Forgotten 1 58 31.03% 13.03 -6.35 22.41% -0.795 0.0582
Rituals of Terror 3 24 50.0% 21.0 -14.777 33.33% -0.605 -0.7755
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 24 58.33% 21.21 -0.483 25.0% -0.287 0.624
Second Wave 0 385 32.37% 36.57 4.733 70.39% 0.517 0.5962
The Great River 3 16 31.25% 22.75 -2.02 31.25% -0.414 0.9495
Varied Terrains 2 84 57.14% 24.77 -3.441 34.52% -1.152 -0.2729
Ward the Shores 2 57 40.35% 25.49 -1.145 36.84% -0.382 0.5996

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5423 40.12% 29.76 0.556 62.57% 0.47 0.8136
1 Thematic 390 31.79% 22.39 -1.376 35.13% -0.244 0.2831
2 Archipelago 24 62.5% 26.58 -5.046 37.5% -0.578 -0.0788
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1539 40.51% 30.09 -0.434 65.17% 0.042 0.3261
2 Coastline 227 39.65% 33.39 -0.345 74.89% -0.046 -0.0167
2 Fragment 42 47.62% 28.57 3.296 61.9% 0.481 0.2434
2 Heart 27 55.56% 22.81 -1.085 40.74% 0.006 -0.142
2 Opposite Shores 375 40.91% 30.01 -4.351 64.27% -1.128 -1.069
2 Thematic 169 28.4% 24.76 2.129 43.2% 0.263 0.6327
2 Top to Top 68 45.59% 33.38 6.571 76.47% 1.346 1.4691
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 40.17 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 8 25.0% 33.13 3.824 62.5% 0.042 -0.5072
3 Other 12 33.33% 33.5 3.998 75.0% 0.724 0.1862
3 Round (Default) 745 36.07% 32.34 0.688 70.07% 0.121 0.0287
3 Sunrise 6 100.0% 28.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 26 30.77% 25.04 -1.901 42.31% -0.489 -1.0071
4 Archipelago 12 25.0% 35.08 10.121 66.67% 0.237 0.6701
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 35.0 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 38.25 0.0 75.0%
4 Other 8 25.0% 24.13 -1.918 50.0% -0.592 -0.5838
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 14.0 -2.463 0.0% -0.253 0.6838
4 Thematic 49 42.86% 30.02 -8.132 48.98% -0.491 -0.3583
4 Trapezoid (Default) 250 39.2% 32.0 0.009 70.4% -0.047 0.0601
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 3 100.0% 27.67 0.0 66.67%
5 Other 51 43.14% 31.73 5.714 78.43% 0.501 -0.0132
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 9 33.33% 18.78 -14.039 22.22% -0.496 0.1392
6 Star 5 80.0% 29.8 0.0 80.0%
6 Thematic 38 40.54% 34.53 5.204 60.53% 0.364 0.687
6 Two Centers (Default) 20 40.0% 28.85 0.49 55.0% -0.239 -0.3423
7 Other 2 0.0% 52.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 228 28.14 -2.666 55.26% -0.561 -0.4573
Aid From Lesser Spirits 176 32.09 -1.948 69.89% -0.729 -0.8733
All Things Weaken 247 28.42 -0.42 58.3% -0.233 0.1329
Attenuated Essence 102 25.75 -1.919 50.98% -0.28 -0.2815
Back Against the Wall 176 30.12 1.32 56.25% 0.075 0.1406
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 94 24.96 -2.511 51.06% -0.421 -0.1858
Burn Brightest Before the End 69 30.55 -0.257 57.97% -0.157 0.0031
Disintegrating Ecosystem 221 29.08 1.293 65.16% 0.136 0.5114
Downward Spiral 253 26.79 -1.025 56.92% -0.029 0.0428
Erosion of Will 204 28.34 1.724 54.41% 0.254 0.5104
Intensifying Exploitation 102 24.35 -4.144 50.98% -0.741 -0.4671
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 93 36.03 3.192 82.8% 0.569 0.0821
Memory Fades to Dust 253 29.37 -0.548 62.06% -0.061 0.1221
Power Corrodes the Spirit 217 28.25 1.787 58.06% -0.011 0.2015
Promising Farmlands 260 28.05 -0.612 62.31% -0.079 0.2442
Shattered Fragments of Power 72 29.92 2.373 61.11% 0.33 0.5008
Slow Dissolution of Will 108 28.27 1.786 55.56% 0.384 0.7683
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 68 31.51 -6.956 69.12% -0.75 -1.4262
The Border of Life and Death 32 30.22 1.746 62.5% 0.022 -0.4944
Thriving Communities 260 27.59 1.531 55.38% 0.468 0.792
Thriving Crops 56 28.77 1.17 64.29% 0.53 0.5315
Unnatural Proliferation 247 28.98 1.717 59.11% -0.081 0.1061
Untended Land Crumbles 236 27.23 -0.314 56.78% 0.062 0.4016

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2041 40.01% 30.81 -0.954 65.65% -0.334 0.5291
B 1914 38.9% 30.77 0.458 66.25% -0.001 0.8201
C 2132 39.04% 31.04 0.032 67.07% -0.097 0.6008
D 1776 37.68% 29.38 -0.702 61.37% -0.484 0.3718
E 1720 40.45% 30.99 0.807 65.52% -0.008 0.6802
F 1593 44.25% 30.45 0.218 66.42% -0.057 0.761
G 1425 41.57% 30.16 -0.34 65.26% -0.274 0.606
H 1406 40.03% 31.07 0.735 66.71% 0.114 0.8941
East 448 32.21% 24.14 2.307 38.17% 0.094 0.8865
Northeast 219 29.36% 24.86 -1.865 36.99% -0.724 0.1568
Northwest 182 30.39% 29.29 0.726 52.75% 0.067 0.9383
Southeast 185 35.87% 25.2 0.222 44.32% 0.075 0.934
Southwest 171 35.88% 25.2 -0.518 45.03% 0.024 1.2337
West 419 34.21% 26.6 -0.743 46.78% -0.504 0.5561

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 20 0.0% 40.0 6.297 85.0% 0.261 0.9762
Not Using Events or Tokens 134 29.77% 21.87 -3.303 41.04% -0.921 -0.4472
Skip Initial Invader Actions 161 16.78% 44.1 9.261 77.02% 0.635 0.068
Start of Game Growth 197 17.3% 43.35 2.554 79.19% 0.502 -0.1627
Unlimited Undo 1014 36.08% 28.88 -1.54 59.37% -0.357 -0.334
Using Tokens but Not Events 844 29.14% 30.16 -0.775 63.51% -0.423 -0.3748

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2381 15.45 1.22%
II 1918 30.45 52.5%
III 3105 34.8 90.6%
IV 2154 38.47 99.12%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.15 Win Model: 0.382
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 5900 39.5% 29.13 60.42%
2 2412 40.79% 30.35 64.88%
3 795 35.93% 32.15 69.18%
4 323 38.7% 31.65 67.18%
5 54 50.0% 33.46 81.48%
6 74 39.73% 31.66 58.11%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 29
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2762
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 976
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2122
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1593
Lose: Invader deck ran out 39
Lose: Adversary condition 1053
Win: Sacrifice victory 36
Lose: Scenario condition 60
Win: Scenario condition 59
Lose: Blight pool ran out 764
Lose: Spirit destroyed 65

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 742 26.02% 39.87 0.651 68.46% -0.148 -0.345
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 103 15.53% 35.83 1.873 63.11% 0.712 -0.0026
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 327 60.62% 36.54 2.031 61.77% 0.349 0.6176
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 232 31.47% 43.55 3.872 72.84% 0.505 -0.062
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 548 36.75% 36.36 0.831 63.87% 0.125 -0.0059
Downpour Drenches the World 1022 29.06% 34.95 -3.719 59.78% -0.7 -0.4302
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1009 30.53% 41.92 5.35 76.21% 1.322 0.8899
Eyes Watch From the Trees 730 29.22% 43.7 2.282 76.16% 0.301 -0.1218
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 519 38.54% 43.26 4.173 75.92% 0.763 0.318
Finder of Paths Unseen 559 50.81% 32.2 -5.745 56.17% -0.785 -0.1279
Fractured Days Split the Sky 360 38.31% 37.45 -0.954 51.39% -0.546 0.262
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 570 48.07% 35.92 0.061 62.98% -0.032 -0.1491
Heart of the Wildfire 472 66.88% 28.83 -1.427 47.46% -0.246 0.0411
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1285 30.73% 43.61 1.708 73.62% 0.313 -0.08
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 211 33.65% 42.49 6.393 75.36% 1.351 0.9466
Lightning's Swift Strike 233 60.26% 37.07 1.427 62.23% 0.146 0.4137
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 607 42.02% 44.3 3.214 76.77% 0.629 0.2778
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 178 46.33% 39.38 2.439 68.54% 0.142 -0.2988
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 308 26.62% 43.28 1.71 74.03% 0.527 0.4837
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 776 48.13% 37.94 0.872 64.05% 0.288 0.0374
Many Minds Move as One 402 32.34% 39.51 3.445 69.4% 0.68 0.4498
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1832 39.77% 38.3 0.093 65.23% 0.036 -0.0682
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 540 38.59% 39.6 -0.019 70.56% -0.017 -0.1735
River Surges in Sunlight 353 40.86% 44.94 0.653 75.64% -0.099 -0.0102
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 58 36.21% 44.0 3.115 65.52% 0.121 0.0095
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 222 31.08% 29.12 -4.273 49.1% -0.593 -0.2033
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 605 41.56% 46.25 1.802 73.55% 0.194 0.3314
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 825 30.91% 40.08 0.738 67.88% 0.007 -0.187
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 45 75.56% 29.02 0.385 37.78% 0.026 0.5116
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 92 65.22% 32.98 -9.316 54.35% -0.77 -0.7144
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 200 56.0% 39.26 2.194 66.0% 0.483 0.0148
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 134 59.7% 36.23 -3.342 60.45% -0.62 -0.4045
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 78 65.38% 29.49 -6.39 44.87% -0.493 -0.4637
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 26 69.23% 28.81 -1.461 46.15% -0.121 0.0516
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 437 38.85% 39.29 -1.846 66.59% -0.207 -0.3601
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 270 29.26% 39.07 2.002 67.78% 0.241 0.0424
Shifting Memory of Ages 564 43.34% 33.15 -1.295 55.85% -0.231 0.2175
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 121 23.97% 32.11 -0.586 59.5% 0.053 -0.2512
Shroud of Silent Mist 400 58.54% 32.4 -4.201 54.5% -0.599 -0.2627
Starlight Seeks its Form 1005 36.16% 37.85 1.809 66.17% 0.385 0.3303
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 724 31.9% 40.89 0.027 71.96% 0.067 -0.5565
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 377 47.2% 34.74 -4.925 57.82% -0.854 -0.6603
Thunderspeaker 391 43.75% 41.9 -0.278 68.03% 0.004 -0.0503
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 196 40.31% 38.58 4.662 53.57% 0.604 0.7382
Towering Roots of the Jungle 234 39.74% 31.38 -2.294 52.14% -0.449 -0.4394
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 475 69.89% 34.4 -2.479 61.26% -0.304 -0.2213
Vital Strength of the Earth 118 36.21% 28.15 -9.477 43.22% -1.732 -1.1373
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 389 42.75% 34.8 -3.692 57.84% -0.834 -0.3949
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 54 40.74% 33.7 -2.947 59.26% -0.566 0.1254
Volcano Looming High 841 53.39% 37.88 0.42 69.2% 0.23 0.3334
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 475 39.79% 41.73 2.791 71.79% 0.719 0.4664

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 17 41.18% 34.94 -20.043 58.82% -1.091 -1.3115
Blitz 0 148 20.95% 48.53 -3.202 58.78% -0.01 0.2767
Dahan Insurrection 4 129 43.41% 48.32 2.587 37.98% -0.93 -1.0453
Despicable Theft 2 22 31.82% 31.95 -8.262 40.91% -0.051 0.6873
Elemental Invocation 1 50 46.0% 29.5 -8.389 46.0% -0.702 0.0546
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 436 18.62% 40.88 1.468 56.19% -0.262 -0.8438
Powers Long Forgotten 1 40 42.5% 28.63 -7.234 37.5% -1.646 -0.7928
Rituals of Terror 3 29 24.14% 24.72 -5.281 27.59% -0.226 -0.3966
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 13 53.85% 25.08 -16.858 30.77% -0.461 0.4499
Second Wave 0 351 34.29% 44.61 6.709 69.23% 0.912 0.9914
The Great River 3 33 48.48% 31.52 -19.055 33.33% -0.539 0.8243
Varied Terrains 2 51 50.98% 28.02 -2.951 33.33% -0.486 0.3939
Ward the Shores 2 40 57.5% 27.02 -5.831 25.0% -2.152 -1.1703

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8340 43.96% 37.56 -0.923 64.89% -0.206 0.1376
1 Thematic 255 38.82% 30.95 -5.102 39.22% -1.296 -0.7681
2 Archipelago 18 33.33% 36.67 -1.043 50.0% -0.12 0.3794
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2179 39.97% 37.4 0.163 68.1% -0.062 0.2223
2 Coastline 306 42.81% 41.35 3.407 73.2% 0.743 0.772
2 Fragment 52 46.15% 32.04 5.523 50.0% 0.655 0.4173
2 Heart 48 39.58% 47.04 11.539 77.08% 1.111 0.9634
2 Opposite Shores 486 42.39% 36.87 2.729 62.96% 0.44 0.4992
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 115 45.22% 33.24 -4.171 46.96% -0.616 -0.2458
2 Top to Top 119 47.06% 41.94 -0.927 78.99% -0.176 -0.053
3 Archipelago 9 88.89% 33.67 0.0 33.33%
3 Coastline 6 50.0% 50.33 5.123 83.33% 0.491 -0.0576
3 Other 35 34.29% 34.4 4.776 57.14% 0.822 0.2842
3 Round (Default) 1260 36.58% 41.07 1.531 70.24% 0.008 -0.0852
3 Sunrise 6 66.67% 37.5 6.993 66.67% 0.658 0.809
3 Thematic 37 18.92% 40.86 -1.431 59.46% -0.37 -0.8889
4 Archipelago 12 83.33% 50.08 8.298 91.67% 0.125 0.5583
4 Leaf 3 33.33% 41.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Other 119 22.69% 22.09 -5.727 45.38% -1.325 -1.3174
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Snake 1 100.0% 38.0 2.744 0.0% -0.228 -0.2988
4 Thematic 57 45.61% 46.39 7.536 57.89% 0.381 0.5144
4 Trapezoid (Default) 477 38.19% 41.61 2.102 72.33% 0.263 0.37
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 32 28.13% 43.06 -8.309 81.25% -0.678 -1.1925
5 Thematic 21 57.14% 57.71 0.0 28.57%
6 Other 15 50.0% 35.73 -9.383 53.33% -0.823 -0.188
6 Star 10 30.0% 25.6 0.0 40.0%
6 Thematic 100 25.0% 47.48 5.208 55.0% 0.101 0.4239
6 Two Centers (Default) 60 25.0% 38.13 1.186 70.0% 0.114 0.0109

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 353 38.32 -0.457 67.14% 0.239 0.3425
Aid From Lesser Spirits 283 40.01 3.785 66.08% 0.555 0.4099
All Things Weaken 363 35.23 -1.6 58.68% -0.353 0.0131
Attenuated Essence 166 33.92 0.238 56.63% 0.196 0.1949
Back Against the Wall 297 36.65 0.547 60.27% 0.057 0.1223
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 133 35.06 -1.824 60.15% -0.246 -0.0111
Burn Brightest Before the End 118 36.53 0.653 60.17% -0.165 -0.0044
Disintegrating Ecosystem 355 34.06 -0.594 60.0% 0.212 0.5874
Downward Spiral 370 35.83 -0.655 62.7% -0.23 -0.158
Erosion of Will 372 35.62 0.253 57.53% 0.066 0.3223
Intensifying Exploitation 156 33.51 -5.143 52.56% -1.009 -0.7353
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 188 41.99 1.599 79.79% 0.139 -0.3478
Memory Fades to Dust 412 33.6 1.234 55.1% 0.118 0.301
Power Corrodes the Spirit 374 33.91 -2.323 59.36% -0.274 -0.0615
Promising Farmlands 352 34.53 1.373 59.09% 0.479 0.8017
Shattered Fragments of Power 112 35.92 -1.16 59.82% -0.243 -0.0727
Slow Dissolution of Will 147 36.18 -1.253 59.18% -0.412 -0.0278
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 113 42.31 4.997 79.65% 1.132 0.4555
The Border of Life and Death 51 32.82 -0.241 60.78% 0.126 -0.39
Thriving Communities 401 34.49 -1.006 59.6% -0.048 0.2756
Thriving Crops 71 40.34 1.324 76.06% 0.383 0.3844
Unnatural Proliferation 379 36.7 -2.637 61.21% -0.61 -0.4228
Untended Land Crumbles 378 33.89 -0.91 57.67% -0.33 0.0092

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3062 42.02% 37.43 0.297 65.51% -0.148 0.7153
B 3180 39.3% 38.63 -0.465 67.99% -0.366 0.4556
C 3369 39.14% 38.07 1.267 66.61% 0.056 0.7542
D 2694 40.55% 36.62 -0.035 63.03% -0.277 0.579
E 2730 41.47% 39.36 0.521 69.16% -0.114 0.5739
F 2370 40.7% 38.7 0.58 67.34% -0.145 0.6729
G 2241 41.3% 38.55 -0.682 67.74% -0.267 0.6138
H 2162 39.05% 39.2 -0.152 68.69% -0.129 0.652
East 431 34.8% 38.15 1.815 44.32% -0.464 0.3283
Northeast 281 33.45% 42.16 0.992 45.91% -0.18 0.7011
Northwest 244 40.57% 43.69 0.274 50.82% -0.039 0.8319
Southeast 229 34.5% 42.72 1.209 51.09% 0.151 1.01
Southwest 208 33.65% 39.93 -1.823 52.4% -1.062 0.1468
West 410 40.49% 40.76 2.881 51.22% 0.086 1.1461

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 36 0.0% 46.72 1.727 75.0% 0.19 0.906
Not Using Events or Tokens 83 40.96% 26.86 -3.55 40.96% -0.877 -0.4027
Skip Initial Invader Actions 308 14.19% 53.12 1.107 70.45% 0.04 -0.5277
Start of Game Growth 502 11.25% 43.73 -2.888 64.34% -0.555 -1.219
Unlimited Undo 1428 33.5% 40.04 -0.156 68.91% 0.073 0.0964
Using Tokens but Not Events 1019 28.99% 39.92 -0.598 68.6% -0.18 -0.1318

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2890 15.45 1.76%
II 3401 30.45 54.57%
III 5464 34.8 90.5%
IV 2449 38.47 99.71%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.41 Win Model: 0.378
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8692 43.8% 37.31 64.02%
2 3273 41.34% 38.0 67.67%
3 1336 36.06% 40.83 69.61%
4 668 36.84% 38.66 66.62%
5 54 40.74% 47.52 57.41%
6 181 26.67% 42.48 59.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 51
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4873
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1813
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2423
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2062
Lose: Invader deck ran out 75
Lose: Adversary condition 1352
Win: Sacrifice victory 75
Lose: Scenario condition 106
Win: Scenario condition 59
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1236
Lose: Spirit destroyed 79

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 559 32.68% 40.12 1.558 63.15% 0.243 0.0465
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 71 21.13% 40.99 3.771 70.42% 0.878 0.1636
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 263 65.4% 32.25 -3.564 46.39% -0.504 -0.2352
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 325 45.85% 35.21 0.363 52.31% 0.359 -0.2088
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 396 58.59% 33.99 -2.432 54.55% -0.115 -0.2455
Downpour Drenches the World 769 39.53% 32.66 -3.872 50.2% -0.567 -0.2976
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 911 40.83% 39.88 3.486 69.37% 0.773 0.3417
Eyes Watch From the Trees 553 43.94% 42.22 4.063 69.26% 0.736 0.313
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 369 51.49% 39.81 1.837 65.85% 0.302 -0.1436
Finder of Paths Unseen 413 53.51% 33.14 -7.555 52.06% -1.001 -0.3434
Fractured Days Split the Sky 287 39.37% 32.08 -4.733 44.95% -0.783 0.0249
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 388 54.9% 35.26 -2.374 55.67% -0.022 -0.1398
Heart of the Wildfire 347 74.93% 26.9 -7.829 39.48% -1.394 -1.107
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1155 37.4% 41.85 1.892 64.85% 0.508 0.1147
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 236 41.95% 36.53 -1.109 59.75% 0.141 -0.264
Lightning's Swift Strike 139 58.27% 33.96 -6.844 49.64% -1.175 -0.9079
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 571 55.71% 45.27 5.547 73.56% 1.192 0.8405
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 134 47.01% 40.71 1.125 68.66% 0.204 -0.2368
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 210 36.67% 35.29 -8.911 53.33% -1.231 -1.2744
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 507 57.0% 35.25 -1.229 55.23% -0.16 -0.4107
Many Minds Move as One 442 33.48% 33.07 1.805 53.85% 0.319 0.0884
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1289 55.9% 37.52 -0.302 55.0% 0.125 0.0213
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 429 47.32% 36.47 3.056 57.34% 0.612 0.4564
River Surges in Sunlight 261 49.81% 40.73 0.512 61.69% -0.012 0.0775
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 36 44.44% 37.28 1.214 58.33% 0.03 -0.0817
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 75 60.0% 35.77 3.426 54.67% 0.431 0.8207
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 495 52.32% 41.55 0.534 62.22% 0.04 0.1777
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 591 35.87% 41.77 2.74 68.53% 0.487 0.2936
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 32 75.0% 27.06 0.0 28.13%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 60 71.67% 27.5 -7.965 38.33% -0.894 -0.8386
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 140 61.43% 34.97 2.27 54.29% 0.39 -0.0788
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 104 64.42% 36.0 -5.111 54.81% -0.151 0.0648
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 63 68.25% 33.46 -4.183 47.62% -0.497 -0.4682
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 34 73.53% 24.06 11.379 26.47% 1.005 1.1769
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 379 48.81% 40.03 3.021 66.75% 0.64 0.4873
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 290 33.1% 27.27 -2.195 44.14% -0.182 -0.381
Shifting Memory of Ages 311 52.73% 36.67 -3.983 60.13% -0.181 0.2684
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 87 48.28% 34.38 0.667 56.32% 0.127 -0.1779
Shroud of Silent Mist 255 61.96% 28.09 -2.056 38.04% -0.269 0.0671
Starlight Seeks its Form 993 43.4% 35.12 -3.178 55.29% -0.212 -0.2673
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 690 38.9% 37.06 1.902 61.01% 0.647 0.024
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 331 61.03% 30.33 -0.838 38.37% 0.116 0.3093
Thunderspeaker 467 51.82% 35.94 -0.498 58.24% 0.198 0.1445
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 105 54.29% 35.35 1.035 59.05% 0.215 0.3494
Towering Roots of the Jungle 191 48.69% 29.94 -1.75 47.12% -0.138 -0.1283
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 557 70.2% 31.46 1.509 48.83% 0.344 0.4266
Vital Strength of the Earth 157 62.42% 23.92 -5.091 14.01% -0.601 -0.0066
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 318 50.63% 34.05 -4.085 45.28% -1.122 -0.6825
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 100 56.0% 21.47 -3.6 19.0% -0.881 -0.1897
Volcano Looming High 696 58.91% 36.55 1.988 60.92% 0.806 0.9094
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 453 52.32% 38.86 0.97 64.68% 0.323 0.0703

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 25.0% 12.5 -14.958 25.0% -1.186 -1.4062
Blitz 0 172 13.37% 50.13 3.006 45.35% -0.495 -0.2082
Dahan Insurrection 4 86 44.19% 54.64 20.827 48.84% 0.501 0.3858
Despicable Theft 2 21 38.1% 19.38 -1.481 19.05% -0.006 0.7328
Elemental Invocation 1 37 45.95% 28.51 -1.13 43.24% -0.274 0.482
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 508 22.83% 47.51 -0.314 71.26% -0.386 -0.9679
Powers Long Forgotten 1 18 55.56% 23.61 0.0 16.67%
Rituals of Terror 3 21 42.86% 29.48 -17.761 33.33% -0.576 -0.7458
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 13 76.92% 24.38 -7.928 30.77% -0.533 0.3776
Second Wave 0 280 45.32% 43.47 4.037 63.21% 0.248 0.3278
The Great River 3 21 71.43% 39.19 15.206 42.86% 0.479 1.8422
Varied Terrains 2 42 47.62% 31.71 13.999 26.19% 0.966 1.8459
Ward the Shores 2 37 40.54% 29.57 -4.977 32.43% -0.099 0.8822

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7895 52.07% 36.61 0.144 56.39% 0.116 0.4599
1 Thematic 202 47.03% 31.66 -3.167 36.14% -0.578 -0.0509
2 Archipelago 15 26.67% 45.6 -7.12 60.0% -0.413 0.0855
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1817 45.13% 39.43 1.07 66.37% 0.128 0.4123
2 Coastline 243 51.03% 37.06 3.149 60.49% 0.3 0.3288
2 Fragment 42 64.29% 34.36 -3.938 52.38% -0.036 -0.2737
2 Heart 36 50.0% 39.25 -3.051 63.89% -0.082 -0.2293
2 Opposite Shores 784 52.55% 31.47 -0.349 49.87% -0.231 -0.1716
2 Thematic 145 60.0% 28.46 3.638 23.45% 0.439 0.8088
2 Top to Top 151 37.75% 32.23 -2.134 54.97% -0.55 -0.4264
3 Archipelago 10 90.0% 37.6 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 7 71.43% 54.86 0.0 71.43%
3 Other 15 60.0% 36.47 6.969 60.0% 0.995 0.4571
3 Round (Default) 839 44.09% 38.81 0.07 62.22% -0.23 -0.3228
3 Sunrise 10 40.0% 36.3 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 31 64.52% 45.55 3.266 61.29% 0.241 -0.2773
4 Archipelago 4 100.0% 30.75 0.0 25.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 64.0 11.67 100.0% 0.5 -0.2602
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 19.0 -0.798 0.0% -0.208 -0.4193
4 Other 10 60.0% 24.5 8.808 40.0% 0.745 0.7526
4 Thematic 16 37.5% 27.81 0.217 25.0% -0.029 0.104
4 Trapezoid (Default) 298 44.3% 31.88 -5.496 48.66% -1.64 -1.5333
5 Other 23 56.52% 28.87 11.967 39.13% 0.605 0.0904
5 Thematic 11 63.64% 23.91 -11.717 9.09% -0.412 -1.3938
6 Archipelago 4 50.0% 49.75 16.611 75.0% 0.595 -0.1347
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 11 45.45% 36.36 -4.388 63.64% -0.233 0.4017
6 Star 5 20.0% 29.6 0.0 40.0%
6 Thematic 8 50.0% 25.88 0.0 25.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 24 33.33% 40.79 -16.628 58.33% -0.549 -0.6529

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 402 35.66 -0.899 53.98% -0.172 -0.0685
Aid From Lesser Spirits 295 38.52 2.782 57.97% 0.293 0.148
All Things Weaken 401 35.48 -0.872 50.87% -0.381 -0.0154
Attenuated Essence 179 31.78 -1.585 47.49% -0.156 -0.1572
Back Against the Wall 313 38.26 5.448 58.15% 0.799 0.8638
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 190 32.86 2.561 50.53% 0.504 0.7395
Burn Brightest Before the End 126 36.2 1.101 52.38% -0.051 0.1092
Disintegrating Ecosystem 387 33.31 -0.975 54.52% 0.186 0.5618
Downward Spiral 421 35.61 2.502 55.34% 0.401 0.4726
Erosion of Will 373 33.27 0.56 46.65% -0.147 0.1094
Intensifying Exploitation 177 33.26 -0.411 51.98% -0.173 0.101
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 177 41.4 5.157 68.93% 0.821 0.334
Memory Fades to Dust 417 33.62 -3.61 50.84% -0.658 -0.4748
Power Corrodes the Spirit 370 32.89 -1.431 48.65% -0.154 0.0589
Promising Farmlands 361 32.97 2.382 49.58% 0.76 1.0829
Shattered Fragments of Power 136 36.67 2.749 55.15% 0.161 0.3312
Slow Dissolution of Will 182 31.49 1.572 45.6% 0.176 0.5602
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 114 41.81 0.887 71.93% 0.117 -0.5596
The Border of Life and Death 59 35.27 -1.986 62.71% 0.076 -0.4407
Thriving Communities 402 34.14 -1.321 50.25% -0.498 -0.1736
Thriving Crops 87 35.69 1.415 59.77% 0.322 0.3233
Unnatural Proliferation 419 36.37 0.651 52.03% -0.067 0.1193
Untended Land Crumbles 376 34.6 -0.722 51.86% -0.058 0.2813

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2778 49.82% 34.3 -1.616 54.61% -0.228 0.6351
B 2664 48.74% 37.08 0.46 59.53% 0.147 0.9679
C 2756 47.68% 38.52 1.392 62.01% 0.28 0.9778
D 2073 46.72% 35.22 -0.363 54.7% 0.024 0.8803
E 2374 49.52% 37.44 0.494 59.27% 0.144 0.8323
F 2073 50.12% 37.29 0.213 59.0% 0.077 0.8945
G 1788 51.43% 36.79 -1.457 57.49% -0.197 0.6831
H 1836 47.93% 36.41 -0.377 56.48% -0.117 0.6636
East 216 43.52% 31.25 -3.572 34.26% -0.295 0.4975
Northeast 115 35.65% 30.89 -1.016 28.7% -0.52 0.3607
Northwest 100 51.0% 35.81 1.955 41.0% -0.106 0.7647
Southeast 77 54.55% 31.9 4.658 40.26% 0.49 1.3486
Southwest 157 67.52% 26.52 -2.688 23.57% -0.31 0.8992
West 277 59.57% 31.05 -1.789 31.05% -0.41 0.6503

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 4 0.0% 60.0 8.81 100.0% 0.152 0.8676
Not Using Events or Tokens 51 37.25% 30.2 0.002 47.06% -0.497 -0.0228
Skip Initial Invader Actions 246 11.89% 55.93 4.672 60.16% -0.119 -0.6866
Start of Game Growth 417 21.45% 47.51 5.35 59.47% 0.822 0.158
Unlimited Undo 1659 44.41% 39.53 -0.495 60.52% -0.113 -0.0902
Using Tokens but Not Events 688 44.01% 39.04 3.606 59.88% 0.609 0.6567

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3332 15.45 3.54%
II 3386 30.45 48.08%
III 4084 34.8 88.27%
IV 1864 38.47 99.46%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.278 Win Model: 0.098
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8165 51.94% 36.5 55.9%
2 3183 47.91% 36.45 59.25%
3 903 45.62% 39.13 62.35%
4 333 44.44% 31.31 46.55%
5 30 66.67% 29.53 33.33%
6 52 38.46% 36.56 51.92%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 117
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3553
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1584
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1841
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2174
Lose: Invader deck ran out 177
Lose: Adversary condition 1374
Win: Sacrifice victory 56
Lose: Scenario condition 78
Win: Scenario condition 54
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1559
Lose: Spirit destroyed 99

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 413 42.86% 44.94 -2.087 65.62% -0.23 -0.4268
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 43 46.51% 49.21 5.368 72.09% 0.731 0.0165
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 191 68.06% 33.83 -5.141 40.31% -0.917 -0.6489
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 200 57.0% 43.55 0.173 63.5% 0.101 -0.4666
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 343 62.97% 33.43 -1.511 44.9% -0.151 -0.2819
Downpour Drenches the World 666 41.29% 41.7 -4.409 57.96% -0.425 -0.155
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 827 44.01% 46.56 3.927 70.01% 0.748 0.3159
Eyes Watch From the Trees 471 43.95% 43.59 0.628 65.39% 0.689 0.2654
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 362 59.94% 39.09 2.789 57.18% 0.655 0.2099
Finder of Paths Unseen 711 58.37% 35.71 1.77 50.07% 0.37 1.0268
Fractured Days Split the Sky 199 39.7% 41.01 -3.944 53.27% -0.736 0.0724
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 349 57.31% 42.69 3.313 57.31% 0.331 0.214
Heart of the Wildfire 227 74.89% 33.49 -8.132 46.7% -1.213 -0.926
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1084 44.56% 46.34 1.471 67.71% 0.451 0.0585
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 292 38.36% 53.73 8.426 70.55% 1.088 0.683
Lightning's Swift Strike 93 65.59% 39.75 2.196 52.69% 0.104 0.3717
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 624 54.01% 52.75 9.479 72.44% 1.393 1.0411
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 108 62.04% 44.39 0.084 62.96% -0.033 -0.4744
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 146 41.78% 49.72 12.961 65.07% 1.592 1.5487
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 504 69.05% 34.46 -2.912 40.08% -0.268 -0.5191
Many Minds Move as One 277 48.38% 47.57 -1.173 69.31% -0.291 -0.5218
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1842 56.85% 41.96 2.361 58.79% 0.434 0.3296
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 412 47.33% 37.46 -7.243 54.85% -0.84 -0.9961
River Surges in Sunlight 139 59.71% 44.71 0.496 61.15% -0.122 -0.033
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 55 63.64% 45.51 3.922 67.27% 0.722 0.6106
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 82 64.63% 35.18 0.695 32.93% -0.09 0.2998
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 409 54.03% 52.81 0.341 64.79% -0.106 0.0315
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 724 35.08% 46.03 1.535 67.68% 0.292 0.0986
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 12 83.33% 30.92 0.0 41.67%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 36 80.56% 41.28 5.6 63.89% 0.311 0.3667
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 130 69.23% 39.31 -1.163 56.92% -0.054 -0.5219
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 58 56.9% 42.88 -4.143 56.9% -0.77 -0.5541
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 51 68.63% 39.24 -9.92 52.94% -1.0 -0.9711
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 14 64.29% 28.5 0.0 21.43%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 731 46.92% 40.6 -0.568 63.06% 0.105 -0.0473
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 138 47.83% 48.73 -1.311 64.49% 0.125 -0.0739
Shifting Memory of Ages 267 65.92% 39.08 -6.154 54.31% -0.9 -0.4513
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 51 60.78% 45.45 1.457 64.71% -0.108 -0.413
Shroud of Silent Mist 166 70.48% 34.3 -4.66 42.17% -0.697 -0.3606
Starlight Seeks its Form 731 44.73% 41.64 -4.493 57.59% -0.549 -0.6044
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 515 61.17% 36.83 1.593 54.95% 0.469 -0.1542
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 170 58.24% 35.06 -3.228 42.94% -0.563 -0.3696
Thunderspeaker 281 62.99% 39.54 2.629 55.87% 0.394 0.34
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 58 58.62% 40.83 14.673 56.9% 1.165 1.2995
Towering Roots of the Jungle 192 54.69% 31.06 -2.989 43.23% -0.406 -0.3968
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 454 75.33% 30.41 -7.625 38.99% -0.732 -0.6491
Vital Strength of the Earth 45 53.33% 33.4 -9.84 37.78% -0.873 -0.2785
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 219 51.6% 39.4 -7.897 50.68% -0.84 -0.4005
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 37 54.05% 31.08 -3.004 43.24% -0.183 0.5081
Volcano Looming High 518 59.07% 43.14 2.782 63.13% 0.392 0.4955
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 370 54.59% 44.38 4.009 63.78% 0.878 0.626

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 20 50.0% 61.5 3.532 85.0% 0.392 0.1722
Blitz 0 98 17.35% 62.23 7.231 69.39% 0.241 0.5276
Dahan Insurrection 4 204 56.86% 55.43 -2.147 42.65% -0.781 -0.8955
Despicable Theft 2 28 71.43% 22.5 -1.285 14.29% -0.251 0.4873
Elemental Invocation 1 28 64.29% 33.96 3.473 32.14% 0.068 0.8239
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1461 27.93% 50.99 6.259 66.8% 0.418 -0.1636
Powers Long Forgotten 1 19 52.63% 27.32 0.0 36.84%
Rituals of Terror 3 5 20.0% 26.2 0.0 20.0%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Second Wave 0 142 51.41% 46.31 -0.043 61.97% -0.066 0.0129
The Great River 3 30 36.67% 32.37 2.829 33.33% 0.008 1.3715
Varied Terrains 2 26 57.69% 38.08 0.0 42.31%
Ward the Shores 2 85 62.35% 27.45 -16.056 12.94% -0.94 0.0411

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8367 53.56% 39.26 0.484 55.46% 0.132 0.4758
1 Thematic 241 53.11% 36.74 -1.811 31.12% -0.638 -0.1107
2 Archipelago 37 21.62% 27.49 -16.474 24.32% -1.631 -1.1321
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1279 53.24% 40.45 -2.951 60.83% -0.169 0.1154
2 Coastline 296 63.18% 42.18 2.649 61.15% 0.481 0.5101
2 Fragment 18 61.11% 47.78 7.146 77.78% 0.592 0.3551
2 Heart 31 74.19% 41.42 4.459 58.06% 0.249 0.101
2 Opposite Shores 403 48.64% 44.5 1.308 59.31% -0.236 -0.1767
2 Thematic 97 72.16% 40.93 0.756 35.05% -0.097 0.2727
2 Top to Top 118 50.85% 49.41 1.749 76.27% -0.146 -0.0224
3 Archipelago 5 60.0% 73.6 0.0 80.0%
3 Coastline 8 12.5% 61.0 -1.635 75.0% -0.024 -0.5734
3 Other 13 15.38% 21.77 10.774 38.46% 0.494 -0.0436
3 Round (Default) 676 49.85% 49.76 1.606 69.08% -0.264 -0.3563
3 Thematic 34 41.18% 58.44 -5.012 55.88% -0.296 -0.8145
4 Archipelago 7 42.86% 67.0 0.0 85.71%
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 71.67 -2.541 100.0% -0.314 -1.0748
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 8 25.0% 47.0 9.539 62.5% 0.84 0.848
4 Thematic 13 23.08% 51.62 -0.556 61.54% 0.147 0.2802
4 Trapezoid (Default) 219 61.64% 43.41 1.626 60.27% -0.342 -0.235
5 Coastline 1 100.0% 0.0 3.185 0.0% 0.051 -0.4553
5 Other 23 69.57% 35.96 -0.476 52.17% -0.765 -1.2796
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 29.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 11 18.18% 62.09 3.185 81.82% 0.028 -0.7022
6 Other 6 66.67% 49.5 3.473 66.67% 0.068 0.7027
6 Star 3 100.0% 31.0 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 33 30.3% 44.58 1.386 54.55% -0.246 0.0775
6 Two Centers (Default) 45 66.67% 46.6 -1.881 75.56% 0.162 0.0586
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 105.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 413 38.95 -0.246 52.54% -0.313 -0.2089
Aid From Lesser Spirits 282 43.39 0.749 59.93% -0.252 -0.3971
All Things Weaken 374 36.69 1.212 47.06% 0.128 0.4944
Attenuated Essence 186 36.76 -0.461 51.61% -0.117 -0.1181
Back Against the Wall 302 41.07 -0.919 53.31% -0.607 -0.5414
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 182 34.46 -0.369 47.8% -0.493 -0.2585
Burn Brightest Before the End 157 38.97 -1.544 49.68% -0.8 -0.6397
Disintegrating Ecosystem 354 32.85 -2.096 43.5% -0.52 -0.1441
Downward Spiral 415 34.64 -1.974 45.78% -0.521 -0.4487
Erosion of Will 402 35.4 -1.139 44.78% -0.383 -0.127
Intensifying Exploitation 236 32.5 -4.125 42.8% -0.567 -0.2929
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 144 46.81 2.839 74.31% 0.503 0.0166
Memory Fades to Dust 408 36.17 -0.859 47.55% -0.39 -0.2068
Power Corrodes the Spirit 425 37.13 -1.734 49.65% -0.495 -0.2823
Promising Farmlands 375 35.63 -2.073 46.4% -0.467 -0.1443
Shattered Fragments of Power 139 40.17 2.954 54.68% 0.064 0.2347
Slow Dissolution of Will 216 35.01 -1.292 45.83% -0.286 0.0979
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 95 45.83 2.97 72.63% 0.411 -0.265
The Border of Life and Death 59 42.97 2.491 71.19% 0.39 -0.126
Thriving Communities 383 34.37 -1.774 44.39% -0.537 -0.2133
Thriving Crops 82 34.71 -0.565 54.88% 0.019 0.0206
Unnatural Proliferation 437 38.82 1.014 49.66% -0.279 -0.0923
Untended Land Crumbles 363 36.09 -1.46 47.93% -0.39 -0.0511

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2082 56.94% 40.0 0.501 57.25% -0.021 0.8425
B 2305 54.92% 41.91 0.764 58.87% -0.02 0.8016
C 2901 48.19% 42.75 -0.512 61.01% -0.425 0.2732
D 1719 53.58% 39.01 -1.525 53.05% -0.491 0.3652
E 2043 53.4% 42.58 -0.204 60.5% -0.319 0.3691
F 1764 54.82% 42.62 1.373 61.11% -0.039 0.7785
G 1375 56.11% 41.23 -1.226 58.84% -0.369 0.5117
H 2109 53.2% 42.99 0.647 62.64% -0.14 0.6406
East 296 51.35% 42.55 2.11 38.51% -0.467 0.3258
Northeast 166 46.39% 40.49 0.124 37.95% -0.315 0.5654
Northwest 118 59.32% 41.25 -2.627 43.22% -0.703 0.1678
Southeast 120 46.67% 45.63 -1.739 45.83% -0.28 0.579
Southwest 103 42.72% 37.51 -1.344 39.81% -0.369 0.8402
West 231 54.55% 38.65 -2.829 38.1% -0.472 0.5883

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2 0.0% 37.0 0.0 50.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 45 40.0% 19.16 4.964 26.67% -0.017 0.4574
Skip Initial Invader Actions 392 15.31% 74.75 11.099 86.73% 1.365 0.7978
Start of Game Growth 555 27.39% 62.88 8.835 74.41% 0.442 -0.2225
Unlimited Undo 1357 49.52% 37.95 -3.663 53.43% -0.389 -0.3659
Using Tokens but Not Events 515 42.5% 37.86 -3.756 52.04% -0.608 -0.5601

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3394 15.45 9.07%
II 4355 30.45 58.62%
III 3080 34.8 90.55%
IV 1201 38.47 99.5%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.554 Win Model: 0.441
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8729 53.63% 39.21 54.87%
2 2196 53.78% 42.15 60.29%
3 728 48.63% 49.46 67.86%
4 253 58.1% 45.13 62.06%
5 24 70.83% 34.46 50.0%
6 100 50.0% 48.05 68.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 307
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2740
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2464
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1177
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2109
Lose: Invader deck ran out 124
Lose: Adversary condition 852
Win: Sacrifice victory 59
Lose: Scenario condition 165
Win: Scenario condition 98
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1852
Lose: Spirit destroyed 83

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2509 40.14% 45.06 -3.305 52.41% -0.208 -0.4047
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 256 35.16% 47.6 4.243 55.86% 0.944 0.2293
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 639 72.14% 37.39 -1.137 36.46% 0.215 0.4839
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 1508 56.3% 46.84 -0.088 59.02% 0.622 0.0545
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 820 65.37% 35.68 -2.176 38.05% 0.012 -0.1188
Downpour Drenches the World 2674 50.19% 41.32 -0.582 43.49% 0.219 0.4891
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 3295 57.0% 39.62 -1.174 50.05% 0.471 0.0391
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1473 54.45% 41.57 -3.09 47.73% 0.065 -0.3576
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 936 69.3% 38.48 0.616 43.16% 0.358 -0.0868
Finder of Paths Unseen 1635 55.96% 38.31 -3.043 42.45% -0.248 0.4087
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1587 36.8% 44.02 0.403 42.91% 0.228 1.036
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1191 68.85% 38.24 -4.969 38.87% -0.303 -0.4202
Heart of the Wildfire 986 79.61% 25.75 -11.066 20.39% -1.796 -1.5088
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7668 47.25% 51.33 6.113 65.32% 1.668 1.2752
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 706 54.83% 36.55 -1.345 40.23% -0.062 -0.4662
Lightning's Swift Strike 467 66.95% 33.82 -8.0 34.48% -1.309 -1.0414
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 2472 68.96% 46.47 0.552 54.29% 0.25 -0.1016
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 958 64.33% 48.1 6.174 57.72% 1.481 1.0401
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 924 51.3% 45.84 1.318 50.76% 0.371 0.3279
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2034 68.19% 33.26 -3.91 31.02% -0.382 -0.6325
Many Minds Move as One 1027 48.39% 48.75 5.705 57.94% 1.119 0.8888
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3623 53.11% 38.75 -1.66 42.26% 0.278 0.1738
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1320 58.98% 36.79 -2.57 40.08% -0.015 -0.1714
River Surges in Sunlight 805 54.61% 39.71 -1.987 43.6% 0.112 0.2011
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 206 52.91% 41.93 -0.471 42.72% -0.153 -0.2649
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 376 60.27% 24.07 -9.074 19.41% -1.235 -0.8451
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1782 63.09% 43.48 -3.276 43.1% -0.151 -0.0136
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2908 40.41% 50.06 4.718 55.78% 1.279 1.0853
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 98 74.49% 21.22 -3.221 14.29% -0.407 0.0787
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 118 81.36% 33.33 17.42 26.27% 0.58 0.6353
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 506 76.88% 32.35 -5.283 34.39% -0.449 -0.9174
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 264 78.03% 31.69 -11.425 27.65% -0.978 -0.7626
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 138 79.71% 30.27 -10.095 23.91% -0.572 -0.5428
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 462 63.2% 44.32 12.198 42.42% 0.915 1.0867
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1054 58.35% 44.27 -5.916 51.42% -0.344 -0.4963
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 663 54.45% 33.69 -1.109 38.91% 0.171 -0.028
Shifting Memory of Ages 1441 56.11% 40.51 -1.356 39.14% -0.914 -0.4647
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 258 40.86% 39.0 0.964 47.29% 0.477 0.1726
Shroud of Silent Mist 705 74.47% 30.54 -5.254 27.52% -0.526 -0.1898
Starlight Seeks its Form 5159 50.07% 46.06 -1.397 54.86% 0.359 0.3043
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5074 56.38% 45.59 4.564 58.24% 1.309 0.6859
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 681 69.91% 31.51 -6.501 30.4% -0.683 -0.4889
Thunderspeaker 993 57.46% 33.74 -6.346 31.62% -0.493 -0.5467
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 292 66.1% 33.81 -1.996 39.04% 0.14 0.2739
Towering Roots of the Jungle 569 52.55% 29.99 -4.908 33.39% -0.374 -0.3646
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2268 76.54% 38.49 0.382 43.3% 0.425 0.5079
Vital Strength of the Earth 215 65.12% 28.07 -3.346 22.79% -0.381 0.2135
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 991 60.14% 36.49 -3.277 36.63% 0.04 0.4791
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 127 61.42% 25.77 -4.934 19.69% -0.846 -0.1544
Volcano Looming High 3536 58.42% 37.64 -4.101 39.56% -1.007 -0.903
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1173 63.26% 40.71 0.281 45.01% 0.184 -0.0681

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 31 58.06% 54.71 14.181 61.29% 0.907 0.6869
Blitz 0 387 20.41% 55.42 3.733 58.4% 0.008 0.2945
Dahan Insurrection 4 580 62.0% 43.27 -2.187 14.48% -0.552 -0.6674
Despicable Theft 2 23 56.52% 37.57 1.761 39.13% 0.366 1.1043
Elemental Invocation 1 122 68.03% 31.18 -8.85 4.92% -1.374 -0.6176
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2292 40.33% 45.61 3.118 40.84% 0.364 -0.2174
Powers Long Forgotten 1 14 42.86% 25.5 -12.016 28.57% -0.637 0.2166
Rituals of Terror 3 153 49.67% 79.52 12.236 49.02% 0.796 0.6257
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 24 50.0% 33.33 -0.338 16.67% -0.035 0.8756
Second Wave 0 305 64.92% 47.7 3.964 53.77% 0.28 0.3591
The Great River 3 37 27.03% 29.05 -13.147 24.32% -0.364 0.9998
Varied Terrains 2 81 53.09% 28.32 -10.601 22.22% -1.03 -0.151
Ward the Shores 2 124 41.13% 19.57 -7.948 12.9% -1.252 -0.2702

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 39769 59.53% 41.76 1.495 48.57% -0.382 -0.0382
1 Thematic 713 45.72% 39.13 -4.642 27.77% -0.968 -0.4404
2 Archipelago 94 50.0% 33.9 -13.629 12.77% -0.724 -0.2247
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4698 60.04% 37.64 -2.714 43.32% -0.817 -0.5332
2 Coastline 922 62.07% 42.02 -0.926 48.7% -0.396 -0.3672
2 Fragment 90 66.67% 50.01 11.623 61.11% 0.998 0.7609
2 Heart 196 79.59% 43.46 6.789 35.71% 0.45 0.302
2 Opposite Shores 972 59.16% 42.39 1.395 44.44% -0.493 -0.4334
2 Thematic 149 65.77% 52.83 13.902 34.9% 1.659 2.0286
2 Top to Top 289 59.86% 39.79 -5.357 44.64% -1.09 -0.9668
3 Archipelago 59 64.41% 57.64 0.0 27.12%
3 Coastline 13 53.85% 50.46 18.567 69.23% 0.64 0.0909
3 Other 32 46.88% 47.06 5.436 53.13% 0.83 0.2924
3 Round (Default) 2511 56.19% 44.22 3.662 53.21% -0.188 -0.2804
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 30.0 6.273 0.0% 0.074 0.2245
3 Thematic 70 27.14% 78.51 9.89 45.71% 0.162 -0.3567
4 Archipelago 15 60.0% 72.6 9.311 66.67% 0.646 1.0787
4 Coastline 5 40.0% 82.2 21.026 100.0% 0.365 -0.3956
4 Leaf 16 56.25% 37.69 0.0 12.5%
4 Other 12 41.67% 47.42 5.418 58.33% 0.199 0.207
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 111 41.44% 46.38 0.011 22.52% -0.174 -0.041
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1215 48.43% 35.51 -8.812 39.01% -1.922 -1.8154
5 Archipelago 12 66.67% 52.0 0.0 25.0%
5 Coastline 18 0.0% 54.94 0.0 77.78%
5 Other 50 57.14% 51.9 5.98 40.0% 0.43 -0.0848
5 Thematic 13 66.67% 49.77 -3.411 30.77% -0.123 -1.1052
6 Archipelago 35 20.0% 58.26 2.881 65.71% -0.019 -0.7491
6 Coastline 37 0.0% 57.38 14.405 81.08% 0.516 -0.5234
6 Other 134 43.28% 44.63 -3.494 50.75% -0.968 -0.3333
6 Star 25 44.0% 59.88 1.682 76.0% -0.236 0.0088
6 Thematic 84 57.14% 33.69 -1.593 20.24% -1.0 -0.6773
6 Two Centers (Default) 454 21.15% 55.26 7.955 59.25% 0.178 0.075
7 Archipelago 6 16.67% 80.17 0.0 83.33%
7 Other 6 16.67% 10.17 4.305 0.0% -0.09 -1.5269

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1914 40.65 -0.816 42.06% -0.362 -0.2585
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1485 46.15 3.651 50.1% 0.281 0.1358
All Things Weaken 1946 41.51 0.624 44.55% -0.03 0.3356
Attenuated Essence 954 37.63 0.189 41.19% -0.161 -0.1624
Back Against the Wall 1486 43.94 2.848 45.83% 0.166 0.2311
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 983 36.54 -0.768 38.66% -0.364 -0.1288
Burn Brightest Before the End 654 41.07 2.673 42.2% 0.065 0.2253
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1858 38.79 -0.863 42.52% -0.082 0.2937
Downward Spiral 2022 39.7 -0.944 43.87% -0.064 0.0079
Erosion of Will 1890 39.78 0.568 40.48% -0.074 0.1829
Intensifying Exploitation 983 34.56 -2.836 36.62% -0.519 -0.245
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 550 47.08 1.228 58.55% 0.337 -0.1501
Memory Fades to Dust 1960 38.23 -0.452 40.36% -0.225 -0.0416
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1914 38.99 -0.114 40.44% -0.202 0.0104
Promising Farmlands 1921 38.97 -0.45 41.07% -0.238 0.0854
Shattered Fragments of Power 658 41.56 3.059 44.07% 0.114 0.284
Slow Dissolution of Will 963 34.29 -0.709 35.31% -0.2 0.1837
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 400 53.01 4.008 73.25% 0.637 -0.0394
The Border of Life and Death 204 42.91 1.042 58.33% 0.323 -0.1928
Thriving Communities 1890 37.62 -1.67 38.57% -0.285 0.0387
Thriving Crops 382 46.03 0.12 60.47% 0.105 0.1059
Unnatural Proliferation 1997 43.32 2.229 44.82% 0.251 0.4377
Untended Land Crumbles 1934 38.95 -0.497 40.64% -0.215 0.1245

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9083 57.3% 40.51 -0.882 45.99% -0.585 0.2777
B 9351 58.85% 40.09 -1.011 44.78% -0.56 0.2609
C 12221 56.42% 44.79 1.666 53.81% -0.469 0.2287
D 7995 54.58% 39.31 -1.958 42.04% -0.841 0.0154
E 10635 57.58% 42.07 -0.858 48.87% -0.544 0.1443
F 7740 56.65% 42.17 0.375 49.3% -0.397 0.4207
G 7335 53.88% 41.03 -2.159 44.99% -1.024 -0.1439
H 7049 56.05% 42.38 0.021 49.52% -0.546 0.235
East 811 47.04% 45.18 2.514 27.0% -0.622 0.1711
Northeast 471 46.6% 45.56 -0.893 24.63% -1.557 -0.6763
Northwest 363 54.14% 43.07 -1.272 28.1% -0.354 0.5172
Southeast 230 48.03% 40.91 -3.056 30.0% -1.168 -0.3091
Southwest 213 48.36% 35.54 1.419 28.64% -0.287 0.9223
West 685 50.29% 46.2 3.881 31.53% -0.492 0.5684

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 34 0.0% 43.68 -6.434 50.0% 0.203 0.9188
Not Using Events or Tokens 153 53.29% 25.45 -6.839 12.42% -0.923 -0.4493
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1552 16.58% 65.7 8.132 71.01% 0.892 0.3244
Start of Game Growth 2466 22.03% 61.85 4.727 68.13% 0.446 -0.2184
Unlimited Undo 6519 45.31% 48.52 1.52 58.9% 0.326 0.3491
Using Tokens but Not Events 1470 52.89% 33.85 -5.676 29.66% -1.292 -1.2442

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 18386 15.45 3.59%
II 11926 30.45 33.42%
III 12710 34.8 84.37%
IV 9882 38.47 99.78%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.353 Win Model: 0.459
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 40833 59.31% 41.8 48.27%
2 7248 60.58% 39.57 43.38%
3 2641 55.55% 44.79 52.67%
4 1338 48.58% 36.49 38.19%
5 98 44.33% 48.17 40.82%
6 746 26.81% 52.12 58.04%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 646
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10578
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3867
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9726
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 10507
Lose: Invader deck ran out 616
Lose: Adversary condition 4563
Win: Sacrifice victory 313
Lose: Scenario condition 750
Win: Scenario condition 100
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10327
Lose: Spirit destroyed 911

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)