The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 726 18.28% 24.57 0.8 74.38% 0.418 0.3127
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 132 18.18% 22.02 3.191 63.64% 0.755 0.2752
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 398 30.15% 22.23 0.537 66.08% 0.192 0.3175
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 174 14.94% 25.72 3.505 70.69% 0.57 -0.2775
Dances Up Earthquakes 130 23.85% 15.66 -1.594 48.46% -0.365 -0.3287
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 652 21.76% 23.01 0.547 69.79% 0.39 0.2537
Downpour Drenches the World 965 19.59% 20.05 -2.199 65.28% -0.498 -0.2914
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 609 15.93% 23.87 0.809 70.61% 0.294 -0.3168
Eyes Watch From the Trees 794 12.82% 25.89 0.87 74.18% 0.239 -0.1366
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 700 18.94% 25.03 1.414 74.43% 0.435 0.0449
Finder of Paths Unseen 467 30.74% 14.65 -5.471 49.04% -1.028 -0.3086
Fractured Days Split the Sky 321 19.94% 18.78 -0.499 49.53% -0.427 0.1845
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 567 31.45% 20.26 -2.028 60.14% -0.27 -0.3699
Heart of the Wildfire 564 48.31% 17.85 -2.112 56.21% -0.334 0.0025
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 844 23.33% 24.71 0.653 73.46% 0.266 -0.1646
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 193 19.17% 22.39 1.401 67.36% 0.539 0.2247
Lightning's Swift Strike 336 35.14% 21.78 -2.374 67.26% -0.363 -0.1337
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 297 31.06% 25.51 1.263 74.41% 0.442 -0.0028
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 163 18.4% 22.63 -1.975 65.64% 0.014 -0.2966
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 180 21.67% 22.84 1.143 62.78% 0.11 -0.032
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 787 23.82% 23.9 -0.235 69.63% -0.035 -0.2632
Many Minds Move as One 529 16.76% 23.07 0.799 62.57% 0.262 0.0194
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1083 34.49% 22.13 0.927 65.93% 0.573 0.6818
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 129 38.76% 20.14 1.556 65.89% 0.82 0.9383
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 627 26.48% 20.83 -1.248 62.84% -0.073 -0.1187
River Surges in Sunlight 382 31.5% 22.64 1.769 64.92% -0.341 -0.2102
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 98 24.49% 20.08 2.047 64.29% 0.497 0.673
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 214 35.05% 21.9 -0.447 61.21% 0.004 0.3023
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 418 28.4% 25.17 1.921 68.42% 0.189 0.105
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 525 20.65% 20.85 -1.033 63.05% -0.305 -0.4158
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 47 19.15% 20.0 -0.405 61.7% -0.015 -0.133
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 133 46.62% 19.62 2.733 59.4% 0.446 0.9404
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 125 28.23% 22.64 -2.693 65.6% -0.669 -0.7203
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 124 35.48% 24.43 5.923 67.74% 0.705 0.1945
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 124 30.65% 21.08 -0.806 63.71% 0.185 0.0574
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 108 30.56% 22.12 1.252 64.81% 0.097 0.1086
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 68 29.41% 20.82 -5.253 57.35% -0.752 -0.6168
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 493 22.86% 23.38 -0.36 68.15% 0.041 0.0895
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 195 17.8% 19.09 0.765 53.85% 0.347 0.132
Shifting Memory of Ages 386 30.57% 17.46 -1.175 52.59% -0.277 0.017
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 99 18.18% 19.26 4.082 60.61% 0.57 0.4519
Shroud of Silent Mist 414 37.44% 19.75 0.553 59.42% -0.124 0.2039
Starlight Seeks its Form 939 15.8% 24.85 -0.652 71.46% -0.036 -0.135
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 609 19.34% 22.5 0.845 67.49% 0.523 -0.0078
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 609 28.69% 18.55 -2.69 56.16% -0.672 -0.5949
Thunderspeaker 616 20.39% 23.87 1.214 67.86% 0.244 0.2806
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 162 20.37% 15.72 -1.912 43.83% -0.306 -0.2477
Towering Roots of the Jungle 218 24.31% 19.15 -0.296 59.17% -0.227 -0.077
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 386 46.89% 16.48 -3.683 50.26% -0.858 -0.712
Vital Strength of the Earth 267 25.09% 17.84 1.655 52.43% 0.06 0.6278
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 262 31.13% 21.24 -3.941 64.5% -0.767 -0.2458
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 145 22.07% 16.73 -2.761 43.45% -0.632 0.1089
Volcano Looming High 632 28.8% 18.84 -2.873 57.44% -0.456 -0.4408
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 324 20.99% 25.23 2.865 71.6% 0.407 0.1151

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 53 18.87% 24.68 2.261 79.25% 0.36 0.333
Blitz 0 182 19.23% 16.95 -1.956 47.25% -0.384 -0.1333
Dahan Insurrection 4 213 13.62% 37.59 7.383 61.5% 0.274 0.0255
Despicable Theft 2 140 18.57% 16.16 -0.482 36.43% -0.421 0.0405
Elemental Invocation 1 157 17.83% 18.24 -4.491 45.22% -0.613 0.0901
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 271 12.92% 28.14 3.198 67.53% 0.03 -0.5223
Powers Long Forgotten 1 156 21.79% 10.55 -0.234 25.0% -0.403 0.2206
Rituals of Terror 3 131 24.43% 23.29 0.237 46.56% -0.663 -0.4704
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 85 38.82% 17.22 -1.191 34.12% -0.374 0.5485
Second Wave 0 302 43.79% 29.24 3.674 63.25% 0.201 0.3179
The Great River 3 96 29.17% 19.27 1.491 37.5% -0.254 0.8143
Varied Terrains 2 197 37.56% 18.74 2.272 40.61% -0.151 0.5902
Ward the Shores 2 189 25.93% 17.3 -0.141 39.15% -0.615 0.4691

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7712 27.95% 22.39 0.441 67.86% 0.737 1.2639
1 Thematic 839 26.22% 19.41 -0.264 45.89% 0.171 1.0247
2 Archipelago 16 43.75% 34.31 12.986 62.5% 0.158 1.213
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1934 27.51% 19.74 0.233 60.81% 0.414 0.6913
2 Coastline 310 26.77% 23.96 2.511 72.9% 0.579 0.6816
2 Fragment 39 38.46% 21.72 -2.007 71.79% -0.088 -0.075
2 Heart 37 35.14% 22.22 -4.021 75.68% -0.119 -0.0071
2 Opposite Shores 262 31.42% 23.66 1.203 76.72% 0.441 0.7775
2 Thematic 290 25.86% 20.78 1.352 47.93% 0.171 0.8602
2 Top to Top 62 25.81% 19.52 5.131 59.68% 0.098 0.3403
3 Archipelago 10 20.0% 25.1 1.367 60.0% 0.03 -0.6904
3 Coastline 20 15.0% 22.55 -1.024 50.0% -0.629 -0.9693
3 Other 37 27.03% 22.62 7.288 64.86% 0.774 0.1718
3 Round (Default) 993 22.84% 25.1 1.337 75.23% 0.167 0.1733
3 Sunrise 4 0.0% 20.25 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 63 20.63% 16.68 -7.642 36.51% -1.543 -1.4587
4 Archipelago 8 25.0% 28.0 -6.667 62.5% -0.232 -0.0816
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 18.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 18 55.56% 25.33 3.419 77.78% 0.728 0.1087
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 70 15.71% 27.1 -0.018 64.29% -0.345 -0.0774
4 Trapezoid (Default) 624 14.1% 16.28 -3.988 49.04% -1.729 -1.5645
5 Other 50 40.0% 24.86 3.274 80.0% 0.103 -0.283
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 26.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 8 0.0% 34.63 0.0 75.0%
6 Other 7 28.57% 27.29 3.062 71.43% 0.122 0.0911
6 Star 8 12.5% 21.13 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 48 27.08% 30.4 11.079 56.25% 0.296 0.3993
6 Two Centers (Default) 78 15.38% 22.47 -1.441 64.1% -0.857 -0.2927
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 179 19.84 -0.608 56.98% -0.06 0.1898
Aid From Lesser Spirits 197 23.04 1.846 64.97% 0.149 0.0302
All Things Weaken 201 21.08 0.555 60.2% 0.035 0.3725
Attenuated Essence 112 20.39 0.888 63.39% 0.639 0.6658
Back Against the Wall 186 22.75 2.396 63.98% 0.83 0.8313
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 99 19.42 -1.287 53.54% -0.879 -0.6614
Burn Brightest Before the End 66 21.97 5.093 59.09% 0.873 0.8548
Disintegrating Ecosystem 212 16.48 -0.089 51.42% 0.333 0.7264
Downward Spiral 290 19.54 -1.619 65.17% -0.261 -0.1529
Erosion of Will 205 18.36 -1.022 47.8% -0.418 -0.0656
Intensifying Exploitation 100 15.47 -4.824 41.0% -1.323 -1.0773
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 94 24.18 0.991 81.91% 0.551 0.0264
Memory Fades to Dust 309 18.33 -0.968 53.72% -0.287 -0.0399
Power Corrodes the Spirit 195 19.33 -1.58 57.95% -0.787 -0.5652
Promising Farmlands 191 18.31 0.214 57.59% 0.055 0.3374
Shattered Fragments of Power 88 19.4 -2.272 48.86% -1.334 -1.2575
Slow Dissolution of Will 106 19.92 0.144 57.55% -0.048 0.3491
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 74 26.54 3.335 86.49% 1.088 0.3929
The Border of Life and Death 28 18.96 -4.78 50.0% -0.861 -1.4614
Thriving Communities 211 19.34 -1.405 54.5% -0.336 0.0204
Thriving Crops 46 18.15 -0.064 58.7% 0.414 0.2175
Unnatural Proliferation 197 21.56 3.481 57.87% 1.043 1.2049
Untended Land Crumbles 222 20.8 1.283 59.46% 0.389 0.6203

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2661 26.03% 21.34 -0.939 65.28% -0.584 0.4206
B 2716 24.93% 21.66 -0.485 65.61% -0.456 0.4636
C 2804 26.36% 22.5 -0.22 69.19% -0.452 0.2821
D 2578 25.2% 21.21 -0.655 64.31% -0.496 0.4819
E 2422 24.11% 22.25 0.097 66.39% -0.462 0.3579
F 2270 24.34% 21.56 -0.282 64.76% -0.553 0.321
G 2094 25.12% 21.19 -0.86 64.09% -0.728 0.0812
H 2192 25.94% 21.67 -0.013 64.74% -0.371 0.4443
East 819 24.66% 22.18 2.309 50.67% -0.154 0.7487
Northeast 390 29.49% 23.2 0.372 51.03% -0.395 0.4133
Northwest 337 26.11% 22.84 -1.717 51.93% -1.094 -0.1943
Southeast 305 18.03% 21.13 -3.068 49.18% -0.985 -0.1349
Southwest 314 24.2% 17.54 -2.566 42.04% -1.076 0.2994
West 794 24.43% 19.88 1.397 46.22% -0.014 0.9407

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 49 0.0% 31.96 -3.301 69.39% -0.426 0.2816
Not Using Events or Tokens 398 27.91% 20.53 -2.135 66.08% -0.406 -0.0383
Skip Initial Invader Actions 257 11.89% 35.47 7.467 78.6% 0.752 0.1668
Start of Game Growth 375 14.45% 32.96 1.624 77.6% 0.244 -0.2697
Unlimited Undo 992 20.45% 23.44 0.692 66.23% -0.059 -0.1687
Using Tokens but Not Events 1072 20.7% 23.05 -0.928 70.15% -0.442 -0.468

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3596 13.33 6.4%
II 3228 30.1 69.52%
III 4629 34.83 91.19%
IV 2110 38.67 99.38%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.248 Win Model: 0.805
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8871 27.55% 21.78 64.31%
2 2716 28.77% 21.55 65.8%
3 1068 22.54% 25.16 75.09%
4 706 14.73% 17.37 51.27%
5 54 42.59% 24.89 77.78%
6 148 18.24% 25.85 63.51%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 229
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4115
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2115
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2080
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3381
Lose: Invader deck ran out 58
Lose: Adversary condition 370
Win: Sacrifice victory 49
Lose: Scenario condition 66
Win: Scenario condition 204
Lose: Blight pool ran out 830
Lose: Spirit destroyed 66

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 605 25.33% 29.28 2.214 68.93% 0.766 0.6605
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 103 21.36% 24.14 -2.51 53.4% -0.269 -0.7486
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 324 43.96% 25.02 -2.035 57.72% -0.173 -0.0477
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 139 28.78% 34.56 7.522 76.98% 1.397 0.5504
Dances Up Earthquakes 97 25.0% 29.0 0.498 69.07% 0.178 0.215
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 493 28.81% 29.7 1.955 66.73% 0.406 0.2696
Downpour Drenches the World 805 25.38% 25.45 -0.248 57.27% -0.087 0.1194
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 591 19.31% 29.48 5.114 68.87% 1.511 0.8997
Eyes Watch From the Trees 639 19.91% 31.21 3.893 70.42% 0.733 0.3572
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 478 23.43% 30.86 3.819 69.87% 0.717 0.3264
Finder of Paths Unseen 411 36.52% 20.43 -6.029 48.66% -0.833 -0.1133
Fractured Days Split the Sky 298 26.85% 23.23 -3.174 45.64% -0.684 -0.0726
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 512 41.41% 26.75 -3.061 59.18% -1.019 -1.1182
Heart of the Wildfire 427 58.69% 22.05 -3.963 50.82% -0.927 -0.5906
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 817 29.08% 28.86 1.817 68.54% 0.275 -0.1554
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 174 20.23% 30.8 3.022 71.84% 0.642 0.3277
Lightning's Swift Strike 267 40.07% 25.11 -1.082 58.8% -0.256 -0.026
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 267 32.2% 31.17 4.685 70.04% 0.53 0.0855
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 164 34.36% 31.0 0.584 67.68% -0.053 -0.3639
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 172 31.4% 27.76 -0.387 63.37% 0.044 -0.0987
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 542 36.78% 27.44 -0.885 60.7% 0.06 -0.168
Many Minds Move as One 462 25.11% 29.18 1.532 65.58% 0.224 -0.019
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1049 37.5% 27.67 0.677 64.06% 0.313 0.4216
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 170 49.11% 25.46 0.464 61.76% 0.08 0.1984
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 535 29.53% 26.64 0.882 61.87% 0.381 0.3352
River Surges in Sunlight 387 32.38% 30.38 0.97 70.54% 0.167 0.2978
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 80 40.0% 23.56 -0.129 55.0% -0.318 -0.142
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 219 36.24% 29.18 2.937 64.84% 0.42 0.7181
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 375 31.99% 31.9 4.118 68.8% 0.387 0.3029
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 439 24.37% 26.47 4.351 58.54% 0.79 0.679
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 24 29.17% 33.42 0.018 83.33% 0.232 0.1143
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 127 47.2% 20.76 1.199 47.24% 0.314 0.8087
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 121 43.48% 26.5 -1.312 57.85% -0.504 -0.5553
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 121 35.54% 33.69 4.476 80.17% 0.983 0.4727
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 123 43.09% 25.93 6.154 57.72% 0.524 0.3967
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 85 42.35% 26.34 -1.428 60.0% -0.533 -0.5213
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 62 41.94% 22.79 -2.041 50.0% -0.458 -0.3221
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 370 33.6% 28.72 0.928 67.57% 0.347 0.3956
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 257 29.6% 27.95 0.77 63.81% 0.071 -0.1436
Shifting Memory of Ages 387 38.54% 23.24 -5.818 50.9% -0.956 -0.6621
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 124 32.26% 22.79 -3.791 47.58% -1.057 -1.1752
Shroud of Silent Mist 367 46.05% 22.52 -2.851 50.14% -0.716 -0.3881
Starlight Seeks its Form 521 29.04% 24.31 -3.567 56.62% -0.639 -0.738
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 591 26.61% 26.46 0.112 62.44% 0.232 -0.2983
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 402 35.35% 22.88 -4.415 51.49% -1.174 -1.0971
Thunderspeaker 405 30.0% 27.17 -1.605 61.73% -0.421 -0.3847
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 149 38.93% 20.2 -3.891 45.64% -0.256 -0.1976
Towering Roots of the Jungle 222 27.03% 21.55 -1.166 49.55% -0.132 0.0173
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 335 58.08% 22.53 -2.305 51.04% -0.377 -0.2309
Vital Strength of the Earth 214 29.44% 21.82 0.992 49.53% -0.005 0.5627
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 243 29.34% 23.14 0.934 51.44% -0.027 0.4936
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 107 26.17% 21.53 1.762 47.66% 0.186 0.9269
Volcano Looming High 484 37.19% 24.15 -1.433 58.68% -0.151 -0.1365
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 315 21.9% 30.02 -2.012 70.48% -0.523 -0.8148

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 43 27.91% 22.95 -7.495 55.81% -0.694 -0.7208
Blitz 0 204 22.06% 16.51 -5.849 37.75% -0.801 -0.551
Dahan Insurrection 4 150 34.0% 39.35 5.023 44.67% -0.763 -1.0122
Despicable Theft 2 104 36.54% 22.05 -2.858 35.58% -0.274 0.188
Elemental Invocation 1 140 35.71% 23.38 -1.446 47.14% -0.591 0.1115
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 343 12.83% 29.52 1.452 56.56% -0.01 -0.5629
Powers Long Forgotten 1 119 34.45% 18.09 -0.833 25.21% -0.556 0.0671
Rituals of Terror 3 40 30.0% 24.35 -6.151 37.5% -0.896 -0.7034
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 38 36.84% 19.32 1.349 31.58% -0.294 0.6281
Second Wave 0 650 37.44% 30.79 1.557 64.31% 0.124 0.2416
The Great River 3 32 31.25% 24.53 8.299 40.63% 0.192 1.2596
Varied Terrains 2 126 42.86% 21.41 -3.075 38.89% -0.39 0.3508
Ward the Shores 2 123 40.65% 13.75 -2.738 17.89% -0.53 0.5541

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6790 32.81% 26.02 -0.859 60.32% -0.315 0.2113
1 Thematic 622 32.21% 23.98 0.548 44.69% -0.564 0.2907
2 Archipelago 5 80.0% 48.0 0.0 80.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1618 33.29% 25.88 1.866 60.75% 0.255 0.5332
2 Coastline 261 31.27% 24.52 -2.104 59.0% -0.585 -0.4825
2 Fragment 57 38.6% 23.16 3.398 52.63% 0.743 0.7561
2 Heart 34 47.06% 28.62 3.821 67.65% 0.929 1.0405
2 Opposite Shores 335 35.63% 27.44 1.172 64.78% 0.091 0.427
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 255 29.02% 21.42 -2.529 39.61% -0.617 0.0723
2 Top to Top 53 47.17% 26.62 3.586 58.49% 0.524 0.7659
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 45.0 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 38.25 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 15 46.67% 26.8 7.021 60.0% 0.422 -0.1797
3 Round (Default) 1011 34.18% 28.55 -1.19 65.97% -0.757 -0.7506
3 Thematic 58 41.38% 28.74 -0.31 55.17% -0.441 -0.3561
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 27.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 6 33.33% 36.67 0.0 83.33%
4 Other 10 80.0% 30.4 0.0 90.0%
4 Thematic 34 29.41% 33.59 4.0 55.88% 0.263 0.5305
4 Trapezoid (Default) 304 25.0% 27.65 1.244 65.46% 0.292 0.4563
5 Archipelago 2 50.0% 54.5 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 44 36.36% 32.5 -0.183 79.55% -0.253 -0.6388
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 4 25.0% 33.75 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 15 26.67% 23.67 1.074 40.0% 0.02 -0.0108
6 Star 2 0.0% 7.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Thematic 39 25.0% 31.26 -0.97 64.1% 0.108 0.2111
6 Two Centers (Default) 66 16.67% 28.91 -2.782 60.61% -0.747 -0.1822
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 55.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 3 33.33% 57.67 5.545 100.0% 0.047 -0.3872

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 227 25.83 0.256 57.71% 0.37 0.6199
Aid From Lesser Spirits 153 27.08 1.367 58.17% 0.384 0.2656
All Things Weaken 206 24.42 -0.384 55.83% 0.177 0.514
Attenuated Essence 121 24.79 0.699 56.2% 0.216 0.2427
Back Against the Wall 184 26.6 1.06 57.61% 0.124 0.1248
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 114 24.91 -1.556 53.51% -0.313 -0.0957
Burn Brightest Before the End 86 26.99 3.139 54.65% 0.583 0.5643
Disintegrating Ecosystem 219 25.89 -1.592 59.82% -0.615 -0.2215
Downward Spiral 297 24.15 0.244 57.58% 0.187 0.2949
Erosion of Will 206 24.35 -2.526 52.91% -0.525 -0.1731
Intensifying Exploitation 145 23.83 -0.755 57.24% 0.009 0.2546
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 128 29.65 -1.743 71.88% -0.379 -0.9029
Memory Fades to Dust 265 24.16 -0.776 53.21% -0.23 0.0171
Power Corrodes the Spirit 212 25.56 2.226 58.96% 0.808 1.0295
Promising Farmlands 232 23.92 -1.632 51.29% -0.017 0.2663
Shattered Fragments of Power 75 25.73 3.375 53.33% 0.52 0.5974
Slow Dissolution of Will 108 23.05 0.42 41.67% -0.447 -0.0499
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 83 29.82 2.199 75.9% 0.897 0.2014
The Border of Life and Death 27 30.96 6.014 77.78% 0.966 0.3653
Thriving Communities 206 24.05 -3.126 54.85% -0.678 -0.3219
Thriving Crops 63 27.27 1.617 65.08% 0.119 -0.0774
Unnatural Proliferation 240 25.57 1.856 54.17% 0.468 0.6299
Untended Land Crumbles 217 23.9 0.523 53.46% 0.352 0.5837

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2236 31.97% 26.77 0.279 62.66% -0.093 0.9115
B 2314 33.36% 27.12 0.662 62.92% 0.02 0.94
C 2425 30.64% 27.24 -1.13 63.18% -0.537 0.1979
D 2244 32.3% 26.06 -0.731 59.71% -0.437 0.5411
E 1993 32.01% 27.42 1.155 63.72% -0.037 0.7826
F 1943 32.85% 26.74 0.049 62.58% -0.208 0.6653
G 1756 34.59% 26.52 0.187 60.76% -0.051 0.7585
H 1808 34.18% 26.89 0.335 62.06% -0.19 0.6249
East 660 30.44% 25.82 -0.305 47.58% -1.037 -0.1344
Northeast 306 31.35% 26.02 2.947 47.71% 0.505 1.3128
Northwest 256 28.06% 25.23 -2.779 47.66% -0.972 -0.0715
Southeast 225 28.83% 26.77 1.467 53.33% 0.488 1.339
Southwest 216 32.55% 22.48 -1.041 45.37% -0.376 0.9998
West 599 31.76% 23.31 1.718 44.24% -0.028 0.9265

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 58 0.0% 28.79 -0.04 74.14% 0.274 0.9823
Not Using Events or Tokens 221 36.23% 18.74 -4.632 40.72% -0.876 -0.5076
Skip Initial Invader Actions 253 11.11% 39.26 3.997 83.0% 0.809 0.2245
Start of Game Growth 381 14.05% 36.73 3.174 77.95% -0.103 -0.6172
Unlimited Undo 1031 22.11% 26.07 0.714 59.94% 0.131 0.022
Using Tokens but Not Events 1126 21.07% 29.55 0.946 70.52% 0.174 0.1484

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3025 13.33 2.78%
II 2396 30.1 43.74%
III 3717 34.83 90.1%
IV 2533 38.67 99.05%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.321 Win Model: 0.363
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7561 32.78% 25.63 58.38%
2 2514 33.6% 26.17 60.66%
3 1079 35.1% 28.81 65.99%
4 342 26.02% 28.63 66.37%
5 47 36.17% 30.02 74.47%
6 128 20.0% 30.15 60.16%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 83
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3285
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1010
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2492
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2402
Lose: Invader deck ran out 33
Lose: Adversary condition 1264
Win: Sacrifice victory 31
Lose: Scenario condition 91
Win: Scenario condition 89
Lose: Blight pool ran out 856
Lose: Spirit destroyed 35

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 660 26.87% 31.99 4.118 70.0% 1.154 1.0486
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 118 27.97% 32.14 4.16 73.73% 1.256 0.7761
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 292 50.0% 27.05 -1.208 56.16% 0.002 0.1278
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 181 36.46% 34.02 7.265 69.61% 1.243 0.3959
Dances Up Earthquakes 147 33.33% 31.86 1.845 68.03% 0.199 0.2362
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 548 38.67% 29.68 0.893 63.14% 0.161 0.0245
Downpour Drenches the World 902 31.36% 27.5 -1.108 55.76% -0.014 0.1927
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 883 29.78% 32.55 3.374 71.69% 0.563 -0.0484
Eyes Watch From the Trees 811 34.86% 32.29 2.66 65.72% 0.402 0.0264
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 555 40.25% 31.62 0.487 68.65% 0.132 -0.2587
Finder of Paths Unseen 510 42.24% 25.7 -1.185 58.24% -0.251 0.4686
Fractured Days Split the Sky 298 32.89% 26.87 -0.507 51.34% -0.36 0.2507
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 556 45.41% 26.08 -2.42 50.72% -0.878 -0.9772
Heart of the Wildfire 501 68.4% 23.86 -3.162 51.7% -0.561 -0.2238
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1073 30.29% 32.93 -0.209 70.27% -0.136 -0.5663
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 259 28.57% 30.95 -1.868 70.27% -0.175 -0.49
Lightning's Swift Strike 284 44.68% 29.95 -3.842 64.08% -0.563 -0.3336
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 409 45.52% 33.89 1.366 72.37% 0.454 0.0092
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 189 40.64% 32.11 3.936 64.02% 0.673 0.3629
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 172 31.4% 31.66 6.035 59.3% 0.368 0.2257
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 736 43.61% 29.35 -1.027 61.55% -0.317 -0.5447
Many Minds Move as One 483 33.05% 30.21 1.942 62.94% 0.2 -0.0429
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1324 39.48% 30.91 0.056 65.26% -0.03 0.0792
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 297 52.88% 29.32 0.694 66.67% 0.266 0.3844
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 617 37.12% 30.42 1.261 61.75% 0.145 0.0994
River Surges in Sunlight 372 38.54% 34.98 1.118 73.92% -0.07 0.0601
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 113 37.5% 27.96 3.0 56.64% 0.013 0.1882
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 213 39.15% 29.62 -3.614 57.28% -0.647 -0.349
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 480 37.87% 34.12 -0.142 67.92% -0.043 -0.1267
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 582 35.81% 30.57 3.414 60.14% 0.725 0.614
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 60 23.33% 30.82 2.542 66.67% 0.577 0.4593
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 68 51.47% 21.72 -7.223 42.65% -0.678 -0.1835
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 100 51.02% 33.56 1.441 71.0% 0.221 0.1698
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 162 51.85% 30.28 1.137 62.35% 0.395 -0.1152
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 113 54.87% 28.26 -0.015 51.33% 0.073 -0.055
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 71 46.48% 27.06 -7.92 60.56% -0.801 -0.789
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 62 53.23% 24.39 0.247 46.77% -0.167 -0.0318
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 358 36.16% 30.68 1.977 66.48% 0.451 0.4999
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 271 38.87% 29.7 -2.998 65.31% -0.486 -0.701
Shifting Memory of Ages 462 40.69% 24.89 -2.897 51.3% -0.75 -0.4559
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 125 32.8% 25.82 2.02 53.6% 0.265 0.1467
Shroud of Silent Mist 394 56.6% 24.31 -4.84 49.75% -1.204 -0.8766
Starlight Seeks its Form 710 31.68% 29.66 1.913 62.11% 0.166 0.0669
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 715 29.4% 30.38 1.317 68.39% 0.404 -0.1264
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 464 51.09% 27.39 -4.647 53.66% -0.812 -0.7345
Thunderspeaker 413 34.15% 29.33 -0.466 63.44% 0.099 0.1355
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 161 36.65% 27.55 -1.962 58.39% -0.313 -0.2545
Towering Roots of the Jungle 311 36.01% 25.76 -0.205 53.38% 0.004 0.154
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 387 67.1% 24.86 -0.675 51.42% -0.154 -0.0076
Vital Strength of the Earth 172 35.09% 21.69 -2.135 44.19% -0.422 0.1458
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 309 39.8% 25.5 -3.504 50.49% -0.552 -0.0309
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 107 32.08% 24.36 -2.232 43.93% -0.255 0.4865
Volcano Looming High 679 47.57% 28.63 -1.469 63.77% -0.114 -0.0996
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 414 30.92% 33.37 2.142 73.43% 0.494 0.2017

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 26 15.38% 26.12 0.0 57.69%
Blitz 0 168 25.0% 22.65 -4.073 39.88% -0.72 -0.4692
Dahan Insurrection 4 127 33.86% 35.43 2.454 40.16% -0.402 -0.6512
Despicable Theft 2 60 46.67% 20.2 -1.937 16.67% -0.459 0.0033
Elemental Invocation 1 124 33.06% 20.97 -2.062 39.52% -0.013 0.69
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 420 18.33% 32.76 3.136 56.67% 0.538 -0.0149
Powers Long Forgotten 1 106 33.02% 14.79 -4.728 24.53% -0.589 0.0341
Rituals of Terror 3 43 46.51% 21.35 -8.243 27.91% -1.537 -1.3441
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 42 47.62% 17.81 -6.363 23.81% -0.817 0.1048
Second Wave 0 621 34.65% 36.44 5.063 69.24% 0.405 0.522
The Great River 3 26 30.77% 29.65 14.348 46.15% 0.602 1.6702
Varied Terrains 2 106 56.6% 25.96 6.88 36.79% 0.533 1.2745
Ward the Shores 2 88 40.91% 21.82 -7.964 29.55% -0.845 0.2391

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7789 39.58% 29.1 0.223 61.09% 0.048 0.5746
1 Thematic 577 33.8% 21.98 0.274 34.14% -0.0 0.8541
2 Archipelago 34 67.65% 29.03 2.047 47.06% -0.013 1.0416
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2105 39.64% 29.35 -0.179 63.66% -0.137 0.1404
2 Coastline 319 42.32% 31.97 -0.421 70.22% 0.018 0.1208
2 Fragment 51 50.98% 28.41 7.65 58.82% 0.611 0.6237
2 Heart 44 45.45% 23.07 -3.751 43.18% -0.567 -0.4551
2 Opposite Shores 542 37.41% 29.03 -3.974 61.81% -1.136 -0.7993
2 Thematic 256 27.73% 24.34 -2.28 41.41% 0.182 0.8721
2 Top to Top 103 46.6% 31.59 2.132 71.84% 0.451 0.6932
3 Archipelago 8 25.0% 41.25 10.795 62.5% 0.478 -0.2421
3 Coastline 14 50.0% 34.93 4.658 71.43% 0.398 0.0578
3 Other 23 43.48% 29.61 -2.25 65.22% -0.249 -0.8506
3 Round (Default) 1112 36.82% 31.06 0.969 67.72% 0.018 0.0243
3 Sunrise 6 100.0% 28.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 53 43.4% 25.72 -1.667 43.4% -0.333 -0.2488
4 Archipelago 14 28.57% 36.14 0.0 71.43%
4 Coastline 4 50.0% 39.75 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 38.25 0.0 75.0%
4 Other 11 36.36% 24.18 6.749 45.45% 0.943 0.3236
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 65 38.46% 29.48 0.45 46.15% -0.236 0.032
4 Trapezoid (Default) 343 37.9% 31.01 -0.465 66.47% -0.226 -0.0622
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 3 100.0% 27.67 0.0 66.67%
5 Other 64 50.0% 34.42 7.493 82.81% 0.605 0.2195
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 0.0 -10.664 0.0% -0.186 -0.9835
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 12 41.67% 22.08 -8.121 33.33% -0.641 -0.6717
6 Star 8 62.5% 33.63 2.414 87.5% 0.034 0.0165
6 Thematic 57 36.36% 32.61 1.326 54.39% -0.012 0.0904
6 Two Centers (Default) 49 30.61% 31.98 -3.02 65.31% -0.723 -0.1582
7 Other 2 0.0% 52.0 6.817 100.0% 0.117 -0.3174

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 303 27.74 0.473 54.13% 0.043 0.2929
Aid From Lesser Spirits 238 31.92 2.743 67.65% 0.213 0.0947
All Things Weaken 330 28.68 0.195 60.0% 0.06 0.3967
Attenuated Essence 168 26.25 1.684 52.98% 0.119 0.146
Back Against the Wall 239 30.1 -0.107 56.9% -0.15 -0.1491
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 156 25.31 -4.501 51.28% -0.785 -0.568
Burn Brightest Before the End 117 28.46 -2.243 53.85% -0.556 -0.575
Disintegrating Ecosystem 312 28.32 1.719 63.78% 0.614 1.0076
Downward Spiral 356 27.12 1.778 56.74% 0.629 0.7373
Erosion of Will 277 28.85 0.191 55.6% -0.185 0.1673
Intensifying Exploitation 176 23.93 -2.506 52.27% -0.059 0.186
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 143 34.1 1.196 78.32% 0.257 -0.2675
Memory Fades to Dust 339 28.32 0.732 58.7% 0.031 0.2783
Power Corrodes the Spirit 305 27.99 -0.921 57.7% -0.287 -0.0654
Promising Farmlands 362 27.42 1.409 59.94% 0.41 0.6929
Shattered Fragments of Power 115 29.6 -2.333 58.26% -0.483 -0.4063
Slow Dissolution of Will 173 26.83 0.341 52.02% 0.145 0.5417
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 106 31.62 1.821 70.75% 0.216 -0.4797
The Border of Life and Death 55 32.53 0.126 70.91% 0.135 -0.4654
Thriving Communities 339 27.74 2.821 56.34% 0.875 1.2313
Thriving Crops 92 29.88 2.109 68.48% 0.396 0.1996
Unnatural Proliferation 318 29.28 0.674 58.81% 0.237 0.3994
Untended Land Crumbles 315 26.22 -2.789 53.65% -0.667 -0.4352

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2904 39.78% 29.81 -0.256 63.71% -0.215 0.7901
B 2762 39.08% 29.66 0.001 63.98% -0.139 0.7804
C 3020 38.17% 30.43 0.284 65.5% -0.056 0.6784
D 2581 37.52% 28.55 -0.681 59.71% -0.227 0.7509
E 2424 39.43% 30.62 0.167 64.69% -0.275 0.5447
F 2276 42.43% 30.04 0.583 64.94% -0.011 0.8624
G 2031 41.62% 29.38 -0.375 63.02% -0.196 0.6129
H 1985 39.49% 30.65 1.329 65.64% 0.288 1.1034
East 682 32.5% 23.78 0.807 36.95% -0.108 0.7949
Northeast 343 30.21% 24.86 0.456 36.15% -0.487 0.321
Northwest 286 32.75% 27.88 -1.746 47.2% -0.97 -0.0698
Southeast 270 33.21% 24.08 -0.347 41.48% -0.441 0.4097
Southwest 249 34.41% 22.93 -2.592 40.56% -0.362 1.0136
West 635 35.55% 25.47 0.353 43.62% -0.215 0.7396

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 59 0.0% 37.88 -0.551 79.66% -0.436 0.2723
Not Using Events or Tokens 193 34.05% 21.37 -3.047 40.41% -0.699 -0.3313
Skip Initial Invader Actions 225 14.0% 43.32 0.406 75.11% -0.661 -1.246
Start of Game Growth 295 18.15% 41.18 3.61 74.92% 0.764 0.2498
Unlimited Undo 1312 35.43% 28.55 0.722 57.93% 0.099 -0.0103
Using Tokens but Not Events 1236 28.61% 30.65 2.825 63.67% 0.617 0.5914

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3637 13.33 1.35%
II 2749 30.1 50.85%
III 4341 34.83 90.83%
IV 2966 38.67 99.29%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.201 Win Model: 0.354
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8516 39.09% 28.42 58.77%
2 3350 39.89% 29.62 63.13%
3 1195 37.37% 31.08 67.2%
4 436 37.61% 30.89 63.99%
5 68 52.94% 34.16 82.35%
6 128 34.92% 32.0 60.16%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 49
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3879
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1358
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2924
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2552
Lose: Invader deck ran out 49
Lose: Adversary condition 1502
Win: Sacrifice victory 49
Lose: Scenario condition 78
Win: Scenario condition 76
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1089
Lose: Spirit destroyed 88

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 952 25.9% 39.83 1.822 69.22% 0.56 0.4548
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 470 27.02% 41.2 3.64 63.62% 0.144 -0.336
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 391 60.15% 36.07 -5.358 61.13% -0.698 -0.572
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 362 34.25% 42.46 2.824 71.55% 0.331 -0.5157
Dances Up Earthquakes 289 38.41% 38.11 -0.225 66.09% -0.075 -0.0386
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 753 35.24% 36.11 0.908 64.14% 0.365 0.2287
Downpour Drenches the World 1321 28.77% 34.87 -1.302 59.42% -0.214 -0.0073
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1349 30.1% 41.71 3.205 76.13% 0.725 0.1141
Eyes Watch From the Trees 975 30.6% 42.53 1.972 72.82% 0.324 -0.052
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 724 37.95% 42.95 2.309 74.72% 0.286 -0.1042
Finder of Paths Unseen 794 45.83% 29.39 -4.412 50.63% -0.696 0.0239
Fractured Days Split the Sky 505 37.4% 37.86 1.39 51.88% -0.146 0.4654
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 780 47.18% 36.77 1.113 64.87% 0.333 0.2332
Heart of the Wildfire 680 66.86% 27.6 -6.751 45.59% -1.068 -0.7311
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1779 31.21% 43.72 3.2 74.09% 0.727 0.2962
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 360 34.64% 40.33 0.104 71.11% 0.033 -0.2811
Lightning's Swift Strike 321 61.27% 35.48 -2.767 57.94% -0.48 -0.2507
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 776 42.41% 43.31 -0.182 75.77% 0.143 -0.3013
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 261 45.77% 39.54 2.588 69.35% 0.392 0.0818
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 476 24.16% 42.66 1.167 72.48% 0.436 0.2936
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1081 46.94% 37.04 -3.278 62.63% -0.683 -0.9105
Many Minds Move as One 580 33.28% 38.4 -1.178 67.41% -0.071 -0.3136
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2496 37.75% 37.7 -0.932 63.7% -0.319 -0.2099
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 785 58.79% 36.33 1.087 61.78% 0.259 0.3776
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 750 37.43% 39.69 1.254 70.27% 0.273 0.2274
River Surges in Sunlight 502 41.08% 43.52 1.109 71.91% 0.272 0.4021
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 176 39.77% 44.31 1.177 70.45% 0.094 0.2694
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 320 31.76% 30.13 1.227 50.63% 0.25 0.5474
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 832 41.81% 45.11 3.0 71.63% 0.302 0.218
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1153 31.42% 41.15 1.921 67.65% 0.395 0.2834
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 139 40.29% 45.32 1.964 77.7% 0.458 0.3403
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 65 67.69% 28.38 -17.652 38.46% -0.362 0.133
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 101 66.34% 33.9 2.15 56.44% 0.161 0.11
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 300 52.33% 39.64 3.25 65.33% 0.589 0.0784
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 154 58.44% 36.86 1.199 62.34% 0.099 -0.0288
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 91 62.64% 30.12 -5.967 45.05% -1.1 -1.0884
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 46 63.04% 28.83 -1.98 47.83% -0.084 0.0511
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 560 36.62% 38.17 -3.6 65.0% -0.568 -0.5196
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 403 29.03% 40.92 4.369 70.22% 1.097 0.8822
Shifting Memory of Ages 669 42.37% 33.09 -4.143 55.46% -0.798 -0.5041
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 425 31.53% 34.36 -0.88 59.76% -0.124 -0.2424
Shroud of Silent Mist 557 58.38% 31.78 -3.49 52.96% -0.703 -0.3753
Starlight Seeks its Form 1657 33.64% 38.61 2.134 67.17% 0.418 0.3185
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1010 32.63% 40.57 1.347 71.09% 0.373 -0.1572
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 555 44.89% 34.7 -3.084 57.3% -0.665 -0.5883
Thunderspeaker 544 42.29% 40.02 0.634 65.99% -0.06 -0.0242
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 281 41.64% 38.51 4.085 52.31% 0.426 0.4846
Towering Roots of the Jungle 518 37.21% 33.89 0.077 59.85% 0.215 0.365
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 669 66.82% 34.7 -1.424 59.94% -0.191 -0.0447
Vital Strength of the Earth 206 25.49% 25.75 -2.265 39.32% -0.711 -0.1428
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 531 40.34% 34.72 -8.012 57.06% -1.233 -0.712
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 129 40.94% 28.82 -3.562 51.94% -0.159 0.5828
Volcano Looming High 1168 52.31% 37.38 -1.413 67.29% -0.031 -0.0158
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 715 38.46% 41.83 3.24 73.57% 0.747 0.4549

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 24 54.17% 34.63 0.145 62.5% 0.327 0.2995
Blitz 0 236 22.46% 48.29 4.587 57.2% 0.202 0.4527
Dahan Insurrection 4 184 46.74% 47.4 -0.163 35.87% -0.962 -1.2106
Despicable Theft 2 33 36.36% 30.3 -0.959 36.36% 0.121 0.583
Elemental Invocation 1 82 41.46% 31.24 -10.325 48.78% -0.873 -0.1704
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 612 18.66% 40.55 0.396 56.05% -0.023 -0.5756
Powers Long Forgotten 1 60 41.67% 25.37 -4.814 33.33% -0.399 0.2243
Rituals of Terror 3 40 20.0% 28.6 6.664 30.0% -0.056 0.1367
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 29 55.17% 27.69 -0.421 27.59% -0.071 0.8514
Second Wave 0 526 33.46% 44.01 2.715 68.63% 0.034 0.1509
The Great River 3 49 46.94% 30.9 -5.517 32.65% -1.112 -0.0436
Varied Terrains 2 85 52.94% 30.13 4.101 38.82% -0.054 0.6868
Ward the Shores 2 61 47.54% 28.23 -8.89 31.15% -1.272 -0.1884

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12266 42.59% 36.74 -1.194 63.96% -0.234 0.2927
1 Thematic 385 38.7% 30.62 -6.84 39.48% -1.43 -0.5753
2 Archipelago 22 36.36% 35.23 -4.88 45.45% -0.314 0.7408
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3133 40.6% 37.33 1.423 67.6% 0.451 0.7289
2 Coastline 412 43.93% 40.78 1.049 71.84% -0.045 0.0572
2 Fragment 90 45.56% 41.22 2.888 61.11% 0.211 0.224
2 Heart 179 62.01% 55.5 1.737 69.27% -0.358 -0.2465
2 Opposite Shores 698 41.93% 37.23 1.171 63.9% 0.344 0.6801
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 170 42.94% 31.63 -2.388 44.12% -0.521 0.1682
2 Top to Top 164 47.56% 41.87 5.591 78.66% 0.624 0.8658
3 Archipelago 11 81.82% 34.36 -17.731 36.36% -0.521 -1.2413
3 Coastline 9 44.44% 48.33 0.0 77.78%
3 Other 44 31.82% 34.57 4.634 59.09% 1.172 0.5695
3 Round (Default) 1935 36.64% 41.3 1.75 69.77% 0.232 0.2376
3 Sunrise 6 66.67% 37.5 0.0 66.67%
3 Thematic 56 25.0% 39.7 0.644 60.71% 0.041 0.1259
4 Archipelago 12 83.33% 50.08 0.0 91.67%
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 5 20.0% 35.4 0.0 60.0%
4 Other 206 15.53% 18.93 -7.701 38.35% -0.45 -1.0688
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Snake 1 100.0% 38.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 77 42.86% 42.96 0.185 53.25% -0.089 0.1784
4 Trapezoid (Default) 667 37.2% 41.1 0.041 71.96% 0.28 0.4442
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 4 75.0% 32.25 -0.242 75.0% 0.438 0.5345
5 Other 58 24.14% 40.21 -9.977 74.14% -1.009 -1.3945
5 Thematic 27 59.26% 62.63 0.0 44.44%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 28.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 27 30.77% 35.11 -1.544 55.56% -0.297 -0.3275
6 Star 25 32.0% 27.36 -3.577 48.0% 0.535 0.5179
6 Thematic 138 25.55% 50.3 5.857 57.97% 0.309 0.412
6 Two Centers (Default) 88 29.89% 36.33 -8.16 61.36% -0.534 0.0309
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 75.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 1 100.0% 67.0 10.117 100.0% 0.093 -0.3416

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 506 38.3 -0.379 66.01% -0.286 -0.0367
Aid From Lesser Spirits 386 40.17 1.554 65.8% 0.05 -0.0686
All Things Weaken 522 35.52 0.393 59.39% 0.021 0.3579
Attenuated Essence 292 35.78 1.882 59.25% 0.347 0.3736
Back Against the Wall 396 38.25 0.933 62.37% -0.3 -0.2994
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 250 36.85 -1.449 63.6% -0.213 0.0045
Burn Brightest Before the End 203 35.08 -1.408 55.67% -0.493 -0.5112
Disintegrating Ecosystem 483 33.84 -3.378 59.21% -0.537 -0.1435
Downward Spiral 538 35.04 -0.296 61.52% 0.079 0.1868
Erosion of Will 491 35.13 -1.321 57.64% -0.002 0.3499
Intensifying Exploitation 270 37.02 2.929 61.48% 0.768 1.0136
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 250 41.41 4.701 77.6% 1.185 0.6612
Memory Fades to Dust 575 33.39 -1.333 54.26% -0.238 0.009
Power Corrodes the Spirit 523 34.05 -0.75 60.04% -0.056 0.1657
Promising Farmlands 517 34.76 -0.168 60.35% 0.123 0.4056
Shattered Fragments of Power 201 38.76 2.754 65.67% 0.491 0.5682
Slow Dissolution of Will 259 34.98 -2.833 56.76% -0.403 -0.0062
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 165 42.24 0.008 79.39% 0.245 -0.45
The Border of Life and Death 98 34.72 4.511 63.27% 0.933 0.3323
Thriving Communities 536 33.92 -1.917 58.77% -0.166 0.1908
Thriving Crops 135 40.86 3.482 77.78% 0.601 0.4049
Unnatural Proliferation 514 37.39 1.152 62.06% 0.18 0.3419
Untended Land Crumbles 505 34.21 2.078 58.22% 0.536 0.7674

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4532 40.68% 37.53 0.884 65.56% 0.12 1.1243
B 4686 39.07% 38.17 0.283 66.6% 0.017 0.9369
C 5016 38.51% 38.39 1.17 66.77% 0.078 0.813
D 3913 40.22% 35.71 -1.267 60.93% -0.375 0.6033
E 4112 40.04% 38.88 0.342 67.68% -0.095 0.7252
F 3564 40.96% 38.55 0.376 66.67% -0.042 0.832
G 3307 39.88% 37.5 -0.067 65.83% -0.075 0.734
H 3299 39.65% 38.6 0.37 67.08% -0.049 0.7663
East 627 35.46% 38.1 2.697 45.77% 0.328 1.231
Northeast 407 34.48% 41.2 -0.608 45.95% -0.228 0.5803
Northwest 337 38.1% 44.53 3.416 52.52% 0.314 1.2139
Southeast 316 36.19% 43.5 0.955 53.16% 0.185 1.036
Southwest 294 33.11% 40.27 -2.746 52.38% -0.703 0.6726
West 588 38.84% 40.23 -0.92 51.19% -0.748 0.2072

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 74 0.0% 42.81 -2.515 68.92% -0.417 0.291
Not Using Events or Tokens 129 46.77% 26.4 -7.041 40.31% -1.061 -0.6926
Skip Initial Invader Actions 438 12.69% 53.77 7.355 70.55% 0.809 0.2242
Start of Game Growth 783 10.62% 42.49 3.574 61.3% 0.288 -0.2259
Unlimited Undo 2076 31.15% 37.99 -1.797 64.26% -0.102 -0.2114
Using Tokens but Not Events 1580 28.06% 38.72 -1.081 66.2% -0.303 -0.3285

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4529 13.33 1.72%
II 4999 30.1 54.91%
III 7952 34.83 91.21%
IV 3485 38.67 99.63%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.458 Win Model: -0.01
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12806 42.48% 36.48 63.06%
2 4778 42.44% 38.62 67.46%
3 2045 36.27% 41.12 69.34%
4 970 33.61% 36.43 63.2%
5 87 36.78% 45.91 63.22%
6 279 27.54% 42.4 58.42%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 78
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7140
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2681
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3444
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3437
Lose: Invader deck ran out 98
Lose: Adversary condition 1967
Win: Sacrifice victory 120
Lose: Scenario condition 141
Win: Scenario condition 85
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1661
Lose: Spirit destroyed 113

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 726 31.71% 39.61 1.176 61.16% 0.225 0.1196
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 229 29.26% 40.47 2.575 67.25% 0.679 0.1987
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 303 64.36% 31.74 0.696 45.87% -0.077 0.0482
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 477 47.17% 34.78 -3.001 53.04% -0.841 -1.6879
Dances Up Earthquakes 230 44.35% 36.47 2.168 60.87% 0.505 0.5422
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 533 56.85% 33.8 -0.097 53.66% 0.224 0.0875
Downpour Drenches the World 1035 37.29% 30.46 -6.521 46.67% -1.064 -0.8575
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1203 41.23% 39.2 4.478 67.91% 0.972 0.361
Eyes Watch From the Trees 732 44.19% 41.22 2.101 67.49% 0.459 0.0834
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 517 50.29% 38.6 -1.239 63.25% 0.003 -0.3875
Finder of Paths Unseen 532 52.44% 31.98 -2.857 50.56% -0.445 0.2742
Fractured Days Split the Sky 364 37.09% 31.76 4.387 45.05% 0.609 1.2204
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 562 53.91% 34.04 -0.115 53.38% 0.12 0.0204
Heart of the Wildfire 495 71.92% 25.96 -5.445 37.37% -0.758 -0.4208
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1508 38.79% 41.54 4.188 65.12% 0.903 0.4725
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 349 41.26% 35.74 0.197 57.02% 0.322 0.007
Lightning's Swift Strike 223 53.36% 31.22 -5.738 44.39% -0.191 0.0383
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 799 54.17% 43.69 6.43 71.96% 1.368 0.924
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 178 49.44% 39.02 -6.9 66.29% -0.708 -1.019
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 271 39.48% 35.22 2.703 53.14% 0.509 0.367
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 659 55.54% 34.21 -1.188 54.02% -0.141 -0.3692
Many Minds Move as One 580 34.31% 32.8 3.695 53.28% 0.664 0.4214
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1666 54.23% 36.27 -2.501 53.36% -0.412 -0.303
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 496 67.48% 32.71 -0.666 53.43% 0.113 0.2311
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 564 49.65% 35.75 2.311 56.38% 0.337 0.2913
River Surges in Sunlight 385 46.75% 37.67 -1.381 56.62% -0.293 -0.1626
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 101 51.49% 34.28 -1.744 51.49% -0.7 -0.5246
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 134 53.73% 34.9 5.97 50.75% 1.043 1.3407
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 662 52.66% 40.56 0.103 59.52% -0.082 -0.1654
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 796 38.32% 40.05 2.641 63.57% 0.254 0.1428
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 88 36.36% 39.25 1.955 62.5% -0.014 -0.1317
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 43 72.09% 24.33 -11.266 23.26% -1.472 -0.9772
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 71 70.42% 25.45 -9.482 35.21% -0.123 -0.1745
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 253 59.29% 32.6 -4.835 50.2% -0.718 -1.2285
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 113 62.83% 34.81 3.456 52.21% 0.102 -0.026
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 73 68.49% 33.05 3.583 47.95% 0.421 0.4328
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 43 65.12% 24.77 0.251 30.23% 0.252 0.3872
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 473 48.63% 39.58 -2.482 65.33% -0.192 -0.1435
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 381 37.8% 29.42 1.169 48.56% 0.348 0.1329
Shifting Memory of Ages 350 54.0% 35.87 -9.341 58.29% -0.816 -0.5214
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 255 43.53% 29.38 1.64 49.8% 0.433 0.3149
Shroud of Silent Mist 331 58.91% 28.22 -4.039 40.48% -0.475 -0.1469
Starlight Seeks its Form 1337 44.95% 34.07 -0.048 52.8% 0.105 0.0054
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 931 36.32% 36.88 4.096 60.47% 0.757 0.227
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 442 59.41% 30.74 1.016 40.05% -0.154 -0.0772
Thunderspeaker 621 52.92% 35.08 0.066 55.56% 0.249 0.2848
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 155 47.1% 34.21 -1.913 57.42% 0.0 0.0586
Towering Roots of the Jungle 381 44.36% 30.75 -2.437 46.19% -0.473 -0.3232
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 701 69.9% 31.05 -0.312 48.07% -0.106 0.0397
Vital Strength of the Earth 181 58.56% 23.06 -8.633 14.92% -1.143 -0.575
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 405 50.0% 33.45 -1.589 44.69% -0.278 0.2431
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 121 54.55% 22.31 -3.247 22.31% -0.212 0.5297
Volcano Looming High 950 58.42% 34.46 -1.414 56.74% -0.058 -0.0431
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 666 51.8% 37.79 1.853 62.76% 0.252 -0.0403

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 15 13.33% 32.27 14.176 60.0% 0.403 0.3761
Blitz 0 204 17.16% 47.31 -2.72 44.61% -0.485 -0.2345
Dahan Insurrection 4 116 43.1% 50.93 -12.57 43.97% -0.968 -1.2165
Despicable Theft 2 34 35.29% 15.56 -4.699 11.76% -0.89 -0.4278
Elemental Invocation 1 56 50.0% 27.45 -5.937 41.07% -1.102 -0.3991
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 636 22.8% 46.53 0.925 68.55% -0.359 -0.9119
Powers Long Forgotten 1 32 62.5% 20.5 -3.615 15.63% -0.396 0.2274
Rituals of Terror 3 32 46.88% 24.81 -9.885 28.13% -0.613 -0.4199
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 24 70.83% 35.58 5.943 45.83% -0.102 0.8207
Second Wave 0 404 42.46% 43.34 2.864 62.62% -0.081 0.0365
The Great River 3 27 62.96% 33.63 -7.679 37.04% -0.458 0.6101
Varied Terrains 2 68 52.94% 29.1 10.899 22.06% 0.237 0.9781
Ward the Shores 2 48 37.5% 28.44 -4.241 29.17% -0.313 0.7704

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10818 52.04% 35.5 -0.225 54.79% -0.116 0.4104
1 Thematic 296 48.31% 30.62 -3.098 35.14% -0.603 0.2509
2 Archipelago 17 29.41% 45.59 0.0 58.82%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2563 45.3% 38.43 0.929 64.38% -0.019 0.259
2 Coastline 322 50.62% 37.67 3.899 62.73% 0.605 0.708
2 Fragment 50 62.0% 37.02 7.248 60.0% 0.721 0.7342
2 Heart 56 42.86% 37.05 -14.182 51.79% -0.33 -0.2184
2 Opposite Shores 966 52.8% 31.61 -3.548 50.0% -0.559 -0.2223
2 Thematic 211 55.92% 28.88 -4.022 22.75% -0.279 0.411
2 Top to Top 183 35.52% 33.92 -2.429 58.47% -0.199 0.0434
3 Archipelago 10 90.0% 37.6 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 9 66.67% 54.78 7.306 77.78% 0.479 0.1386
3 Other 17 58.82% 34.82 12.907 58.82% 0.493 -0.1093
3 Round (Default) 1190 43.84% 38.83 1.055 62.27% 0.023 0.0292
3 Sunrise 10 40.0% 36.3 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 47 65.96% 44.74 5.19 65.96% 0.57 0.6542
4 Archipelago 6 100.0% 30.67 -2.865 16.67% -0.673 -0.5222
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 7 71.43% 31.57 5.03 28.57% 0.091 0.2279
4 Other 13 61.54% 23.62 5.312 38.46% 0.911 0.2925
4 Thematic 17 35.29% 30.0 0.0 29.41%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 513 43.86% 28.18 -5.094 41.72% -0.974 -0.8098
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 44.0 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 45 55.56% 33.11 3.456 55.56% 0.364 -0.0218
5 Thematic 13 69.23% 24.46 0.0 7.69%
6 Archipelago 4 50.0% 49.75 0.0 75.0%
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 16 31.25% 39.44 -11.98 68.75% -0.286 -0.3165
6 Star 16 25.0% 33.25 2.687 50.0% 0.411 0.3934
6 Thematic 15 60.0% 27.73 1.167 33.33% -0.311 -0.2082
6 Two Centers (Default) 38 28.95% 29.63 -8.283 42.11% -0.696 -0.1309

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 539 35.67 2.536 54.73% 0.447 0.696
Aid From Lesser Spirits 377 38.24 -0.885 57.29% -0.497 -0.6154
All Things Weaken 530 34.49 -1.72 49.06% -0.563 -0.2258
Attenuated Essence 317 32.88 1.048 50.16% -0.008 0.0186
Back Against the Wall 390 37.68 -0.77 56.92% -0.325 -0.3243
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 312 33.2 0.822 50.64% 0.267 0.4841
Burn Brightest Before the End 211 35.98 2.963 54.03% 0.521 0.5028
Disintegrating Ecosystem 513 32.04 -2.331 50.88% -0.5 -0.1069
Downward Spiral 544 35.4 0.597 55.88% 0.371 0.4797
Erosion of Will 502 33.08 -1.011 47.61% -0.044 0.3081
Intensifying Exploitation 301 33.0 -0.027 51.16% -0.334 -0.0885
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 218 40.37 0.893 67.43% 0.214 -0.3097
Memory Fades to Dust 555 33.65 3.202 51.35% 0.637 0.8849
Power Corrodes the Spirit 500 32.58 -1.566 48.6% -0.304 -0.0825
Promising Farmlands 487 32.24 -2.31 48.46% -0.52 -0.2374
Shattered Fragments of Power 220 36.45 0.305 53.64% -0.157 -0.0805
Slow Dissolution of Will 275 31.19 -1.144 44.36% -0.493 -0.0963
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 147 39.71 4.078 69.39% 0.577 -0.1187
The Border of Life and Death 90 33.89 -4.114 58.89% -0.186 -0.7864
Thriving Communities 530 32.88 -1.57 47.55% -0.551 -0.1946
Thriving Crops 131 33.87 -2.845 54.96% -0.534 -0.7303
Unnatural Proliferation 564 36.77 3.289 53.55% 0.541 0.7035
Untended Land Crumbles 492 33.21 -2.22 48.58% -0.456 -0.2246

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3844 49.52% 33.83 0.525 53.62% 0.026 1.0313
B 3712 48.54% 35.91 -1.66 57.41% -0.479 0.4404
C 3869 47.75% 37.26 1.285 59.63% 0.151 0.8856
D 3053 47.15% 33.67 -2.014 51.85% -0.428 0.5496
E 3298 48.3% 36.29 -1.116 57.58% -0.429 0.3907
F 2865 49.32% 36.29 0.272 57.59% -0.175 0.6983
G 2488 50.56% 36.34 2.29 57.07% 0.301 1.1102
H 2548 47.52% 35.85 0.965 56.44% 0.16 0.975
East 337 47.18% 32.01 1.828 34.72% 0.068 0.971
Northeast 174 39.66% 30.13 -8.911 29.31% -1.412 -0.6036
Northwest 147 51.7% 34.97 2.869 42.18% 0.327 1.2267
Southeast 121 60.33% 34.59 4.734 41.32% 0.211 1.0618
Southwest 202 65.84% 27.17 0.294 26.73% -0.141 1.2351
West 394 56.35% 30.32 -0.988 32.23% -0.372 0.5826

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 21 0.0% 57.57 5.26 90.48% 0.567 1.2749
Not Using Events or Tokens 79 41.56% 30.37 -4.801 49.37% -0.373 -0.0045
Skip Initial Invader Actions 294 11.87% 55.72 8.317 62.24% 0.809 0.2239
Start of Game Growth 543 22.01% 45.72 4.024 59.67% 0.129 -0.3854
Unlimited Undo 2071 44.66% 38.23 -0.846 58.47% -0.073 -0.1828
Using Tokens but Not Events 938 42.66% 39.02 1.981 59.17% 0.204 0.1783

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4813 13.33 3.2%
II 4681 30.1 47.28%
III 5571 34.83 88.37%
IV 2417 38.67 99.59%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.127 Win Model: 0.282
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11203 51.94% 35.38 54.27%
2 4303 47.5% 36.23 58.66%
3 1273 45.4% 39.12 62.53%
4 558 44.27% 28.15 40.86%
5 56 64.29% 33.13 48.21%
6 89 34.83% 32.27 47.19%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 153
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4856
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2156
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2391
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3273
Lose: Invader deck ran out 226
Lose: Adversary condition 1915
Win: Sacrifice victory 76
Lose: Scenario condition 95
Win: Scenario condition 65
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2134
Lose: Spirit destroyed 142

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 691 36.87% 44.3 0.656 66.28% -0.115 -0.2204
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 205 30.35% 48.19 5.395 72.68% 1.364 0.8841
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 218 69.27% 33.38 -6.965 41.28% -0.467 -0.3417
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 349 52.72% 42.17 2.275 61.03% 0.394 -0.4527
Dances Up Earthquakes 158 51.27% 38.32 -1.448 54.43% -0.167 -0.1302
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 446 59.64% 33.73 0.989 46.19% 0.374 0.2368
Downpour Drenches the World 870 41.43% 39.79 -0.275 54.71% -0.039 0.1677
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1115 46.28% 45.26 1.701 68.52% 0.469 -0.1419
Eyes Watch From the Trees 652 43.4% 42.65 -1.309 63.8% -0.136 -0.5111
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 559 58.86% 39.68 -0.424 59.21% 0.286 -0.1041
Finder of Paths Unseen 1101 56.86% 36.41 -5.18 53.13% -0.542 0.1772
Fractured Days Split the Sky 316 36.08% 37.02 1.163 48.42% 0.55 1.1608
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 495 53.13% 40.86 1.699 56.36% 0.045 -0.0548
Heart of the Wildfire 330 67.78% 29.61 -1.063 40.3% -0.12 0.2173
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1517 43.7% 43.02 -3.581 63.35% -0.417 -0.8474
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 401 36.66% 53.02 -0.053 72.07% -0.129 -0.4437
Lightning's Swift Strike 123 63.41% 38.19 -4.187 52.03% -0.279 -0.0495
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 870 52.89% 51.43 1.495 70.8% 0.402 -0.0422
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 151 57.62% 45.89 5.353 66.23% 0.286 -0.0249
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 194 38.66% 45.53 3.434 59.28% 0.853 0.711
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 647 69.24% 34.37 -2.964 39.72% -0.778 -1.0058
Many Minds Move as One 456 42.98% 45.91 1.148 68.64% 0.137 -0.106
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2447 55.05% 42.3 0.5 58.56% 0.087 0.196
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 429 60.84% 32.91 -3.207 44.29% -0.1 0.0184
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 503 48.1% 37.85 1.139 54.87% -0.044 -0.0899
River Surges in Sunlight 196 57.65% 43.79 -1.071 59.18% -0.3 -0.1697
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 153 62.09% 39.12 1.034 54.25% 0.198 0.3741
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 138 63.04% 31.44 -1.611 29.71% -0.224 0.0738
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 590 55.08% 50.47 5.652 63.22% 0.811 0.7267
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1031 35.89% 45.9 4.748 69.25% 1.27 1.1589
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 190 17.89% 45.46 2.773 70.0% 0.549 0.4309
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 23 56.52% 24.17 -6.994 30.43% -0.588 -0.0934
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 50 70.0% 40.22 -6.371 62.0% -0.401 -0.4518
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 191 67.72% 39.18 -0.123 57.59% 0.295 -0.2156
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 76 52.63% 48.16 -6.961 61.84% -0.572 -0.6997
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 69 62.32% 36.94 -4.919 50.72% -0.142 -0.1303
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 31 77.42% 30.87 -5.526 32.26% -0.86 -0.724
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1528 39.14% 39.39 3.011 61.58% 0.594 0.6429
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 283 45.58% 44.95 1.744 59.72% 0.191 -0.0241
Shifting Memory of Ages 334 64.37% 39.12 -5.664 55.69% -0.127 0.1671
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 220 53.18% 41.87 -0.344 60.0% 0.023 -0.095
Shroud of Silent Mist 248 65.32% 32.17 -2.621 39.52% -0.232 0.096
Starlight Seeks its Form 1167 42.33% 42.89 1.699 61.61% 0.28 0.1809
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 757 60.24% 36.19 1.08 54.16% 0.275 -0.2551
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 257 58.37% 34.81 -6.342 44.75% -1.001 -0.9238
Thunderspeaker 422 56.87% 38.12 -2.334 54.27% -0.046 -0.0103
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 111 51.35% 41.76 -7.1 63.06% -0.404 -0.3454
Towering Roots of the Jungle 398 48.24% 34.03 -1.577 47.49% -0.014 0.1359
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 558 74.55% 30.45 -2.451 39.78% -0.213 -0.067
Vital Strength of the Earth 68 50.0% 34.38 -12.165 44.12% -0.861 -0.2925
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 327 50.16% 39.33 -2.195 53.52% -0.376 0.1453
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 68 48.53% 32.25 -5.753 42.65% -0.094 0.6477
Volcano Looming High 762 58.01% 40.07 -3.68 58.14% -0.373 -0.3581
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 574 52.09% 44.87 2.449 64.63% 0.498 0.2055

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 26 42.31% 65.58 0.0 84.62%
Blitz 0 119 22.69% 58.79 0.959 66.39% 0.148 0.3985
Dahan Insurrection 4 258 53.88% 49.31 -2.999 38.37% -0.606 -0.855
Despicable Theft 2 38 68.42% 23.21 9.17 18.42% 0.58 1.0421
Elemental Invocation 1 69 60.87% 23.2 -5.667 20.29% -0.649 0.0542
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2058 29.11% 49.08 3.89 62.93% 0.249 -0.3035
Powers Long Forgotten 1 26 53.85% 27.19 15.708 34.62% 0.543 1.1664
Rituals of Terror 3 13 30.77% 19.46 -16.985 7.69% -0.323 -0.1297
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 6 16.67% 24.67 15.156 33.33% 0.25 1.1721
Second Wave 0 234 50.22% 44.79 3.954 58.55% 0.307 0.4238
The Great River 3 35 31.43% 28.63 -15.709 28.57% -0.399 0.6693
Varied Terrains 2 36 55.56% 31.22 -11.094 33.33% -0.961 -0.2201
Ward the Shores 2 97 60.82% 26.53 9.014 14.43% 0.085 1.1692

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12017 52.3% 38.57 0.535 54.97% 0.409 0.935
1 Thematic 419 54.68% 34.7 -4.508 29.59% -0.743 0.111
2 Archipelago 75 32.0% 25.76 -3.074 24.0% -0.278 0.7771
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2182 49.54% 40.7 1.858 62.05% 0.732 1.0095
2 Coastline 432 53.7% 40.94 -3.639 60.88% -0.189 -0.0863
2 Fragment 32 59.38% 49.56 -1.008 71.88% 0.193 0.2063
2 Heart 37 70.27% 43.0 9.972 62.16% 0.763 0.8746
2 Opposite Shores 692 50.43% 42.86 -2.353 58.96% 0.135 0.4711
2 Thematic 134 64.18% 36.07 -9.669 31.34% -0.373 0.3171
2 Top to Top 167 46.71% 47.37 -3.815 74.25% -0.155 0.0873
3 Archipelago 5 60.0% 73.6 0.0 80.0%
3 Coastline 13 38.46% 55.69 0.0 76.92%
3 Other 18 22.22% 26.5 -12.676 44.44% -0.539 -1.1413
3 Round (Default) 1129 45.81% 48.37 2.612 68.56% 0.683 0.6892
3 Thematic 42 40.48% 49.4 -16.114 47.62% -0.168 -0.0836
4 Archipelago 9 33.33% 76.78 0.0 88.89%
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 71.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 7 100.0% 36.57 0.0 42.86%
4 Other 15 53.33% 49.13 3.251 73.33% 0.129 -0.4901
4 Thematic 38 21.05% 43.29 2.285 36.84% 0.109 0.3767
4 Trapezoid (Default) 306 59.8% 42.72 -6.65 60.13% -0.87 -0.7063
5 Coastline 1 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 30 60.0% 34.03 -0.465 50.0% 0.003 -0.3827
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 29.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 27 7.41% 53.37 -0.126 70.37% -0.071 -1.1808
6 Other 14 35.71% 23.64 0.0 28.57%
6 Star 11 54.55% 36.36 -19.862 54.55% -0.871 -0.8878
6 Thematic 42 28.57% 38.95 -4.031 47.62% -0.311 -0.2076
6 Two Centers (Default) 66 66.67% 40.65 -4.308 65.15% -0.053 0.5121
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 105.0 20.49 100.0% 0.455 0.3799

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 572 38.0 1.422 51.57% -0.005 0.2446
Aid From Lesser Spirits 391 42.82 -0.834 58.82% -0.654 -0.7722
All Things Weaken 528 35.93 -3.298 46.02% -0.553 -0.2158
Attenuated Essence 317 36.4 -3.612 51.42% -0.552 -0.5257
Back Against the Wall 420 41.18 0.961 55.48% 0.278 0.2794
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 300 34.98 -0.892 48.0% -0.24 -0.0227
Burn Brightest Before the End 240 39.55 0.947 49.58% -0.342 -0.3603
Disintegrating Ecosystem 520 33.19 -0.864 45.19% -0.068 0.325
Downward Spiral 594 34.24 -3.118 46.3% -0.613 -0.5049
Erosion of Will 580 34.92 -4.456 44.83% -0.902 -0.5498
Intensifying Exploitation 359 33.14 -2.612 45.13% -0.331 -0.0859
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 206 44.26 2.791 70.39% 0.173 -0.3515
Memory Fades to Dust 569 35.64 -0.342 47.45% 0.027 0.2742
Power Corrodes the Spirit 584 35.07 -7.79 46.58% -1.131 -0.9089
Promising Farmlands 531 34.62 -4.522 46.14% -0.636 -0.3536
Shattered Fragments of Power 222 38.43 -1.252 52.25% -0.23 -0.1535
Slow Dissolution of Will 343 35.33 -1.959 46.06% -0.636 -0.2386
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 128 44.63 -0.785 71.09% -0.053 -0.7486
The Border of Life and Death 87 41.92 -0.144 70.11% 0.231 -0.3698
Thriving Communities 528 33.76 -5.673 43.37% -1.074 -0.7173
Thriving Crops 129 38.81 3.174 61.24% 0.383 0.1864
Unnatural Proliferation 573 38.18 -1.143 49.56% -0.33 -0.1681
Untended Land Crumbles 549 35.06 -2.378 46.27% -0.601 -0.37

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3125 53.41% 39.33 1.113 56.9% 0.204 1.2083
B 3461 53.6% 40.44 -2.448 57.3% -0.594 0.3258
C 4244 47.3% 41.72 -0.456 60.18% -0.226 0.5084
D 2688 50.74% 38.34 -1.954 52.94% -0.477 0.5015
E 3416 48.45% 42.87 1.77 62.7% 0.085 0.9051
F 2730 51.41% 41.5 -0.395 60.18% -0.279 0.5947
G 2074 53.57% 40.24 0.621 58.05% -0.053 0.7563
H 3204 51.41% 42.57 2.026 62.55% 0.423 1.238
East 441 48.98% 38.78 1.227 34.24% -0.18 0.7223
Northeast 243 45.68% 36.3 -4.335 32.1% -0.98 -0.1716
Northwest 201 52.26% 36.68 -5.228 35.82% -0.868 0.0315
Southeast 171 43.27% 42.34 -3.04 42.69% -0.469 0.3816
Southwest 169 39.64% 32.71 -6.571 33.14% -1.113 0.2623
West 405 51.61% 34.37 1.758 32.35% 0.192 1.1465

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 12 0.0% 55.08 5.73 75.0% 0.161 0.8687
Not Using Events or Tokens 61 49.18% 21.85 -7.987 31.15% -0.232 0.1357
Skip Initial Invader Actions 510 14.2% 73.27 7.342 86.08% 0.73 0.1455
Start of Game Growth 742 24.86% 61.46 3.321 74.8% 0.469 -0.0449
Unlimited Undo 2023 49.08% 37.61 -1.348 52.15% 0.035 -0.0741
Using Tokens but Not Events 680 44.76% 37.49 -1.378 50.88% -0.556 -0.5818

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5226 13.33 8.11%
II 6423 30.1 59.49%
III 4643 34.83 90.91%
IV 1715 38.67 99.59%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.138 Win Model: 0.073
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12630 52.43% 38.43 54.14%
2 3610 50.25% 41.51 60.8%
3 1209 45.09% 48.11 67.33%
4 365 56.44% 43.69 59.73%
5 32 59.38% 31.91 46.88%
6 161 43.48% 41.34 58.39%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 423
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4155
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3709
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1687
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3549
Lose: Invader deck ran out 189
Lose: Adversary condition 1193
Win: Sacrifice victory 87
Lose: Scenario condition 244
Win: Scenario condition 113
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2547
Lose: Spirit destroyed 111

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3101 39.82% 43.61 2.755 50.69% 0.61 0.5048
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 822 35.52% 46.85 3.585 53.53% 0.664 0.1836
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 729 71.6% 36.67 -3.598 35.39% -0.436 -0.3106
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 2377 54.94% 43.94 3.641 54.44% 1.137 0.2899
Dances Up Earthquakes 768 61.85% 42.56 0.935 49.48% 0.446 0.4832
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1101 67.03% 34.56 -4.257 34.97% -1.047 -1.184
Downpour Drenches the World 3323 48.51% 39.45 -0.284 41.47% 0.299 0.5053
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 4210 56.33% 38.71 4.105 48.76% 1.008 0.3972
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1932 53.36% 40.63 3.938 47.05% 0.974 0.5987
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1182 68.81% 37.37 0.987 41.62% 0.411 0.0205
Finder of Paths Unseen 2168 53.69% 36.97 -4.227 40.27% -0.436 0.2838
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2249 34.99% 40.45 -7.734 39.62% -0.688 -0.0765
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1520 67.24% 36.75 -2.003 37.04% -0.12 -0.2198
Heart of the Wildfire 1387 77.13% 23.64 -7.686 18.89% -0.882 -0.545
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10016 46.65% 50.91 9.436 64.94% 1.902 1.4714
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 900 56.9% 35.07 -1.216 37.67% 0.057 -0.2574
Lightning's Swift Strike 683 64.64% 30.67 -3.613 30.16% -0.416 -0.1858
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 3103 66.51% 45.29 3.148 52.3% 0.655 0.2111
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1275 66.14% 45.52 1.127 54.9% 0.699 0.389
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1216 50.08% 44.61 4.307 48.77% 1.142 0.9996
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2576 67.16% 32.21 -4.571 30.63% -0.352 -0.5803
Many Minds Move as One 1479 46.99% 46.13 2.211 54.09% 0.639 0.3965
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5098 50.03% 36.62 -0.103 40.09% 0.242 0.3511
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 1252 65.97% 27.82 -5.287 27.72% -0.64 -0.5211
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1738 59.91% 36.62 -0.088 39.36% 0.303 0.2569
River Surges in Sunlight 1179 52.13% 36.93 -0.674 39.69% -0.274 -0.1436
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 461 62.69% 35.58 -2.733 31.89% -0.323 -0.1478
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 527 53.9% 24.83 -1.241 22.77% 0.282 0.58
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 2465 60.94% 39.86 0.768 38.99% 0.196 0.112
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3976 37.47% 50.76 3.671 54.63% 0.491 0.3793
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 302 40.73% 44.12 3.721 54.97% 0.786 0.6683
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 142 69.01% 18.86 1.561 10.56% 0.075 0.5692
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 135 81.48% 31.88 -9.612 24.44% -0.642 -0.6937
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 761 75.83% 31.1 -7.57 31.67% -1.455 -1.9657
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 293 77.13% 30.98 -7.155 27.3% -0.642 -0.7698
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 187 77.54% 26.3 -9.559 19.79% -0.94 -0.9287
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 503 64.02% 43.83 -4.521 41.55% -0.587 -0.4514
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1469 58.48% 41.06 0.994 45.88% 0.352 0.401
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 972 53.5% 31.27 -4.274 36.21% -0.346 -0.5615
Shifting Memory of Ages 1749 55.03% 39.29 -2.858 37.96% 0.033 0.327
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 766 47.19% 38.36 1.984 44.78% 0.446 0.3277
Shroud of Silent Mist 973 74.82% 31.54 -4.357 30.01% -0.227 0.1006
Starlight Seeks its Form 6443 50.18% 44.57 -0.158 53.03% 0.371 0.2721
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 7356 53.88% 45.2 -1.363 58.73% 0.343 -0.1875
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1039 70.75% 29.06 -5.917 25.89% -1.059 -0.9823
Thunderspeaker 1460 53.67% 31.03 0.198 30.48% 0.122 0.1578
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 382 64.92% 31.81 -4.99 36.39% -0.296 -0.2372
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1429 50.24% 29.88 -4.325 33.66% -0.231 -0.0813
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3019 74.75% 37.68 -1.845 41.77% -0.26 -0.1142
Vital Strength of the Earth 333 59.34% 24.01 -6.524 18.62% -0.878 -0.3096
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1398 57.7% 33.52 -5.865 33.62% -0.885 -0.3636
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 172 61.99% 25.95 -4.266 20.35% -0.531 0.2106
Volcano Looming High 4496 59.92% 37.04 0.621 39.86% 0.427 0.4419
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1680 61.96% 39.27 -1.024 43.99% -0.021 -0.3127

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 39 58.97% 53.38 18.116 64.1% 1.013 0.9861
Blitz 0 862 15.43% 57.84 2.533 53.13% -0.101 0.1495
Dahan Insurrection 4 697 58.05% 40.29 -2.026 13.77% -0.215 -0.4634
Despicable Theft 2 27 55.56% 39.15 -16.01 40.74% -0.185 0.2767
Elemental Invocation 1 147 68.03% 30.07 2.041 6.8% -0.085 0.6181
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2935 36.8% 43.92 0.987 39.73% -0.41 -0.9626
Powers Long Forgotten 1 31 35.48% 14.74 -19.81 16.13% -0.985 -0.3612
Rituals of Terror 3 213 44.6% 76.18 13.031 46.48% 0.925 1.1176
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 27 48.15% 31.11 0.0 14.81%
Second Wave 0 408 60.29% 46.97 2.552 52.45% 0.285 0.4021
The Great River 3 44 27.27% 29.77 -5.682 25.0% -0.915 0.1535
Varied Terrains 2 103 57.28% 28.14 0.0 19.42%
Ward the Shores 2 152 44.74% 18.18 -0.91 12.5% 0.191 1.2745

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 54785 58.32% 40.57 -0.274 47.15% -0.241 0.2858
1 Thematic 987 44.66% 37.8 -3.525 29.38% -1.276 -0.4213
2 Archipelago 99 48.48% 32.86 3.083 13.13% 0.412 1.4669
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6973 58.35% 37.29 0.585 43.38% -0.121 0.1565
2 Coastline 1467 54.74% 39.92 4.362 46.49% 0.123 0.2259
2 Fragment 126 59.52% 46.49 -1.12 57.14% -0.458 -0.4453
2 Heart 232 75.43% 44.73 8.134 40.95% 0.979 1.0906
2 Opposite Shores 1485 60.61% 39.25 -1.061 39.53% -0.27 0.0667
2 Thematic 242 53.31% 44.44 -3.812 27.69% -1.094 -0.4048
2 Top to Top 440 61.82% 40.14 -1.007 45.68% -0.438 -0.196
3 Archipelago 71 59.15% 56.7 -6.403 30.99% -0.322 -1.0428
3 Coastline 23 56.52% 39.35 16.065 52.17% 1.063 0.7228
3 Other 40 50.0% 46.65 11.516 55.0% 1.076 0.4739
3 Round (Default) 3298 55.12% 41.13 0.372 48.91% -0.298 -0.292
3 Sunrise 2 50.0% 45.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 113 28.32% 69.01 5.922 42.48% 0.455 0.5396
4 Archipelago 22 54.55% 61.14 0.0 59.09%
4 Coastline 11 45.45% 64.73 0.0 81.82%
4 Leaf 25 60.0% 33.92 1.131 20.0% 0.352 0.4893
4 Other 12 41.67% 47.42 10.853 58.33% 0.759 0.1401
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 138 37.68% 43.92 -6.092 22.46% -0.364 -0.0962
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1667 48.59% 33.92 -7.587 36.05% -1.118 -0.9535
5 Archipelago 13 61.54% 48.0 -11.394 23.08% -0.029 -0.9071
5 Coastline 22 0.0% 51.59 -12.079 72.73% -0.917 -0.8211
5 Other 69 52.94% 47.19 -1.63 39.13% -0.198 -0.5843
5 Thematic 15 57.14% 47.27 0.0 26.67%
6 Archipelago 47 29.79% 54.94 0.0 59.57%
6 Coastline 52 0.0% 57.27 5.015 80.77% -0.345 -1.1825
6 Other 204 39.71% 38.25 2.446 39.22% -0.283 -0.3133
6 Star 35 42.86% 49.17 -12.624 62.86% -0.152 -0.1691
6 Thematic 141 45.71% 31.79 0.06 24.11% -0.243 -0.1399
6 Two Centers (Default) 540 21.48% 55.97 1.507 59.81% -0.592 -0.0272
7 Archipelago 10 10.0% 68.8 -10.157 60.0% -0.175 -0.2494
7 Other 6 16.67% 10.17 20.262 0.0% 0.811 0.3765

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2490 39.58 0.427 40.88% -0.136 0.1133
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1909 45.21 1.213 48.35% -0.273 -0.3908
All Things Weaken 2626 40.53 -1.142 43.26% -0.598 -0.2612
Attenuated Essence 1493 37.52 -1.312 41.59% -0.279 -0.2524
Back Against the Wall 1901 43.31 2.899 45.24% 0.016 0.0167
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1524 35.6 -0.2 37.53% -0.138 0.0789
Burn Brightest Before the End 1004 40.27 0.5 40.54% -0.519 -0.5373
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2411 37.4 -2.426 40.77% -0.368 0.0246
Downward Spiral 2677 38.76 -1.411 42.7% -0.25 -0.1419
Erosion of Will 2488 38.58 -1.483 39.03% -0.473 -0.1205
Intensifying Exploitation 1519 33.14 -1.678 35.02% -0.139 0.1067
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 765 45.32 1.985 56.34% 0.381 -0.1435
Memory Fades to Dust 2618 37.06 -0.542 39.0% -0.187 0.0606
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2540 37.95 -2.204 39.61% -0.507 -0.2848
Promising Farmlands 2464 37.88 -0.956 39.77% -0.227 0.0559
Shattered Fragments of Power 1040 40.15 2.476 41.63% 0.113 0.1899
Slow Dissolution of Will 1524 34.19 -0.519 34.78% -0.166 0.2309
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 504 51.25 2.071 70.63% 0.445 -0.2501
The Border of Life and Death 318 42.52 4.36 57.55% 0.825 0.2245
Thriving Communities 2495 36.85 -0.929 37.8% -0.275 0.0812
Thriving Crops 603 44.09 0.324 57.21% 0.012 -0.1841
Unnatural Proliferation 2622 42.19 0.164 43.63% -0.272 -0.1098
Untended Land Crumbles 2530 37.85 -0.375 39.72% -0.221 0.0105

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12713 56.93% 38.66 -1.97 43.45% -0.756 0.2488
B 13081 57.5% 38.29 -1.95 42.75% -0.619 0.3002
C 17357 54.54% 43.61 4.656 52.35% -0.107 0.628
D 11250 53.84% 37.48 -2.403 39.72% -0.994 -0.0161
E 14552 56.67% 40.26 -1.215 46.56% -0.68 0.1396
F 10721 55.57% 41.02 -0.111 47.79% -0.56 0.3138
G 9776 53.78% 39.88 -0.176 44.23% -0.541 0.2678
H 9649 55.05% 40.97 0.332 47.61% -0.5 0.3149
East 1117 43.14% 42.79 -3.188 27.39% -0.708 0.1945
Northeast 664 41.24% 43.15 -2.421 26.2% -0.977 -0.169
Northwest 545 47.31% 38.22 0.489 27.52% -0.085 0.8152
Southeast 358 42.98% 36.79 -0.392 27.93% -1.073 -0.2229
Southwest 332 43.81% 32.92 -3.657 27.71% -0.896 0.48
West 1036 46.12% 42.38 -4.031 31.08% -1.272 -0.3171

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 51 0.0% 37.69 -23.337 41.18% -1.298 -0.5904
Not Using Events or Tokens 201 54.5% 26.97 -4.198 16.92% -0.36 0.008
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2689 15.81% 65.1 7.586 68.65% 0.507 -0.0774
Start of Game Growth 3947 20.61% 61.34 8.261 66.33% 1.44 0.9263
Unlimited Undo 9385 42.09% 48.55 5.51 57.91% 0.774 0.6645
Using Tokens but Not Events 2365 51.23% 32.36 -2.205 30.02% -0.279 -0.3046

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 26842 13.33 3.22%
II 16549 30.1 33.62%
III 17257 34.83 84.97%
IV 12863 38.67 99.81%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.373 Win Model: 0.499
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 56240 58.09% 40.6 46.89%
2 10844 58.25% 38.52 42.69%
3 3472 54.58% 41.66 48.68%
4 1836 48.39% 34.89 35.62%
5 130 45.74% 43.96 37.69%
6 989 26.52% 49.63 54.3%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 851
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14502
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5406
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 12665
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 16862
Lose: Invader deck ran out 757
Lose: Adversary condition 6268
Win: Sacrifice victory 392
Lose: Scenario condition 907
Win: Scenario condition 115
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13717
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1069

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)