The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 677 18.57% 25.03 3.445 75.48% 1.234 1.1396
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 114 18.42% 21.39 0.435 61.4% 0.12 -0.3883
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 380 29.74% 22.49 -0.636 66.84% -0.559 -0.3619
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 153 14.38% 25.99 5.462 70.59% 0.924 0.0509
Dances Up Earthquakes 80 23.75% 15.13 -2.306 48.75% -0.573 -0.7114
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 602 21.91% 23.44 1.74 71.1% 0.245 0.0232
Downpour Drenches the World 887 19.84% 20.69 -1.718 67.64% -0.611 -0.3048
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 542 16.97% 24.67 2.281 73.25% 0.571 0.0162
Eyes Watch From the Trees 727 13.31% 26.57 3.023 76.34% 1.033 0.6058
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 634 18.7% 25.57 1.784 76.18% 0.42 0.0069
Finder of Paths Unseen 437 31.64% 15.22 -4.635 50.8% -1.037 -0.3822
Fractured Days Split the Sky 298 19.46% 18.89 -1.894 50.0% -0.733 -0.1871
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 533 32.14% 20.79 -2.127 61.35% -0.431 -0.5154
Heart of the Wildfire 524 48.76% 18.32 -0.285 57.63% -0.272 0.0438
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 772 23.96% 25.23 1.535 75.13% 0.524 0.0803
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 159 21.38% 22.38 -0.538 66.67% -0.1 -0.3928
Lightning's Swift Strike 306 34.65% 22.53 0.107 68.95% -0.053 0.2089
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 285 30.96% 25.49 -0.553 74.39% -0.006 -0.334
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 159 18.87% 23.19 1.0 67.3% 0.443 0.0671
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 164 23.17% 23.2 4.014 63.41% 0.766 0.8657
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 724 24.93% 24.55 0.524 71.69% 0.216 0.0167
Many Minds Move as One 483 16.7% 23.76 1.598 64.39% 0.575 0.3608
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1019 34.92% 22.35 -3.039 66.14% -0.817 -0.6695
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 92 44.57% 20.49 0.874 66.3% 0.225 0.27
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 576 27.26% 21.34 -0.38 64.24% 0.004 -0.0984
River Surges in Sunlight 348 32.28% 22.82 3.416 66.67% -0.111 -0.1136
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 80 23.75% 19.51 -2.837 65.0% -0.753 -0.4641
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 201 34.33% 22.35 1.4 61.69% 0.32 0.5226
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 393 28.17% 25.3 2.34 69.21% 0.612 0.3986
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 492 20.41% 21.14 -1.323 64.02% -0.818 -0.9758
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 27 11.11% 20.93 1.597 66.67% 0.357 -0.0264
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 123 48.78% 19.01 -2.784 58.54% -0.901 -0.325
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 113 28.57% 23.78 -1.258 69.03% -0.79 -0.8501
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 118 35.59% 24.14 6.096 66.95% 1.255 0.8264
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 121 29.75% 21.42 4.703 64.46% 1.255 1.261
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 105 30.48% 22.01 0.809 64.76% 0.259 0.2003
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 64 31.25% 22.13 1.402 60.94% 0.099 0.3059
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 456 22.52% 23.96 1.484 69.74% 0.365 0.3976
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 183 16.76% 19.3 -1.577 54.1% -0.324 -0.469
Shifting Memory of Ages 364 31.32% 17.45 -1.846 52.47% -0.531 -0.206
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 84 17.86% 18.6 2.976 59.52% 0.203 0.2515
Shroud of Silent Mist 394 37.31% 19.77 -0.845 60.15% -0.266 0.1016
Starlight Seeks its Form 881 15.59% 25.37 -1.011 72.64% -0.296 -0.3622
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 553 19.13% 22.96 0.521 68.54% 0.059 -0.4244
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 551 28.57% 19.24 -1.942 57.89% -0.621 -0.4617
Thunderspeaker 580 20.77% 24.13 -0.972 68.62% -0.318 -0.2879
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 153 20.92% 15.73 -3.275 43.79% -0.485 -0.2942
Towering Roots of the Jungle 187 25.13% 19.79 0.973 60.96% 0.157 0.3024
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 358 47.21% 16.85 -2.818 51.12% -0.974 -0.9538
Vital Strength of the Earth 231 26.84% 17.51 4.478 53.25% 0.921 1.5023
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 246 30.29% 21.96 0.816 66.26% -0.436 0.047
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 121 23.14% 17.56 2.726 45.45% 0.117 0.7366
Volcano Looming High 587 29.47% 19.39 -1.825 59.11% -0.365 -0.3297
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 288 21.18% 25.44 2.748 72.57% 0.636 0.3189

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 51 17.65% 24.35 0.075 78.43% 0.256 0.2998
Blitz 0 152 20.39% 17.42 -3.197 47.37% -0.471 -0.2565
Dahan Insurrection 4 204 13.24% 37.38 2.625 60.78% -0.374 -0.6621
Despicable Theft 2 128 20.31% 16.23 -3.713 35.94% -0.94 -0.2299
Elemental Invocation 1 150 18.67% 18.69 -4.163 46.0% -1.54 -0.8392
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 259 11.97% 28.29 6.244 68.34% 0.59 -0.0099
Powers Long Forgotten 1 142 23.24% 9.94 -4.411 23.24% -1.283 -0.4459
Rituals of Terror 3 125 22.4% 23.28 -0.583 47.2% -0.566 -0.5057
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 80 38.75% 17.13 -4.686 33.75% -1.025 -0.0384
Second Wave 0 282 44.44% 29.33 2.976 63.12% 0.365 0.6146
The Great River 3 87 31.03% 18.83 1.826 35.63% -0.472 0.5942
Varied Terrains 2 180 37.22% 18.26 -0.739 39.44% -0.696 0.1338
Ward the Shores 2 173 26.01% 17.0 -2.253 38.15% -0.909 0.2742

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7169 27.97% 22.6 0.513 68.46% 0.361 0.634
1 Thematic 754 26.53% 19.57 -1.737 46.02% -0.523 0.0523
2 Archipelago 15 40.0% 33.13 0.0 60.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1785 27.52% 19.82 -1.318 61.18% -0.305 -0.2368
2 Coastline 287 26.13% 23.88 0.147 73.17% 0.069 -0.15
2 Fragment 35 42.86% 22.71 -2.667 74.29% -0.184 -0.4511
2 Heart 36 36.11% 22.25 0.523 75.0% 0.302 -0.1681
2 Opposite Shores 236 31.91% 23.99 2.4 77.97% 0.684 0.6621
2 Thematic 276 26.09% 20.71 -0.255 47.83% -0.248 0.1252
2 Top to Top 59 25.42% 18.83 5.609 59.32% 0.83 0.5727
3 Archipelago 9 22.22% 23.56 1.758 55.56% -0.118 -1.0409
3 Coastline 18 16.67% 24.11 9.327 55.56% 0.56 -0.4035
3 Other 34 29.41% 21.5 -0.747 61.76% -0.272 -1.036
3 Round (Default) 929 23.13% 25.53 2.231 76.32% 0.436 0.283
3 Sunrise 4 0.0% 20.25 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 53 22.64% 19.45 1.982 43.4% 0.279 0.1317
4 Archipelago 7 28.57% 32.0 0.0 71.43%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 18.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 16 62.5% 24.5 -2.227 75.0% -0.225 -0.9094
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 66 15.15% 27.92 4.525 66.67% 0.401 0.2234
4 Trapezoid (Default) 520 15.19% 17.71 -2.666 53.46% -1.032 -1.3616
5 Other 49 40.82% 25.37 0.517 81.63% 0.571 -0.1789
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 26.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 8 0.0% 34.63 0.0 75.0%
6 Other 6 33.33% 28.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Star 8 12.5% 21.13 1.308 75.0% 0.036 0.3713
6 Thematic 46 26.09% 29.83 -3.035 54.35% -0.816 -0.864
6 Two Centers (Default) 75 16.0% 23.37 4.112 66.67% -0.34 -0.125
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -11.019 0.0% -0.687 -0.8067

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 162 20.05 -0.905 56.79% -0.352 -0.2796
Aid From Lesser Spirits 182 23.03 1.817 65.93% 0.551 0.4799
All Things Weaken 191 21.05 1.463 59.69% -0.215 0.0437
Attenuated Essence 100 20.74 3.459 62.0% 1.271 1.2353
Back Against the Wall 171 22.6 1.001 62.57% 0.329 0.3823
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 91 19.38 -0.066 54.95% -0.161 -0.0155
Burn Brightest Before the End 57 20.25 0.811 52.63% -0.305 -0.2892
Disintegrating Ecosystem 197 16.37 -1.993 50.76% -0.162 0.0257
Downward Spiral 269 19.65 0.497 65.43% 0.351 0.4256
Erosion of Will 193 18.69 0.778 48.7% -0.01 0.1447
Intensifying Exploitation 89 16.46 -0.438 44.94% 0.215 0.3511
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 89 24.69 1.507 83.15% 0.929 0.3147
Memory Fades to Dust 289 18.42 -0.838 54.67% -0.158 0.0447
Power Corrodes the Spirit 183 19.78 -0.894 60.66% 0.103 0.2775
Promising Farmlands 181 18.17 -0.149 57.46% 0.335 0.533
Shattered Fragments of Power 81 19.84 -0.31 51.85% -0.173 -0.1703
Slow Dissolution of Will 95 20.26 -1.845 58.95% -0.273 0.0249
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 68 26.68 3.004 85.29% 0.764 0.0671
The Border of Life and Death 23 21.3 0.797 56.52% -0.348 -0.8462
Thriving Communities 201 19.54 -1.413 54.73% -0.478 -0.3221
Thriving Crops 44 18.05 1.442 56.82% 0.188 -0.1235
Unnatural Proliferation 190 21.43 -0.081 57.37% 0.069 0.178
Untended Land Crumbles 208 20.54 -0.581 58.65% -0.021 0.1607

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2439 26.59% 21.87 0.485 66.75% -0.376 0.5989
B 2512 25.23% 22.09 0.075 66.88% -0.43 0.4596
C 2581 26.65% 22.91 0.47 70.48% -0.376 0.3162
D 2349 25.5% 21.65 -0.006 65.39% -0.52 0.3752
E 2250 24.4% 22.57 -0.701 67.42% -0.622 0.1077
F 2067 25.11% 21.98 -0.613 66.18% -0.685 0.1465
G 1907 25.69% 21.74 0.25 66.02% -0.193 0.5863
H 2005 26.12% 22.08 0.296 65.99% -0.407 0.3756
East 753 25.1% 22.47 -0.19 51.0% -0.592 0.2178
Northeast 366 29.78% 23.65 2.048 51.91% -0.094 0.704
Northwest 313 26.84% 23.54 0.497 53.67% -0.612 0.1216
Southeast 279 18.28% 22.03 -0.762 50.9% -0.721 0.1721
Southwest 287 24.04% 18.02 -1.266 43.55% -0.549 0.7086
West 724 24.59% 20.36 -1.443 47.51% -0.903 0.095

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 44 0.0% 34.43 0.0 72.73%
Not Using Events or Tokens 371 26.67% 21.09 -0.963 68.19% 0.282 0.7025
Skip Initial Invader Actions 248 11.47% 35.38 -0.63 78.23% -0.317 -1.0861
Start of Game Growth 346 13.88% 33.55 3.652 78.32% 0.255 -0.1827
Unlimited Undo 947 20.8% 23.52 -0.183 66.74% 0.076 0.0108
Using Tokens but Not Events 992 20.65% 23.51 -0.778 71.57% -0.225 -0.2675

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3239 13.76 6.76%
II 3011 30.19 70.51%
III 4282 34.82 91.31%
IV 1983 38.63 99.34%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.322 Win Model: 0.734
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8216 27.64% 22.01 64.97%
2 2513 28.79% 21.58 66.02%
3 994 22.92% 25.67 76.56%
4 597 15.75% 18.76 55.44%
5 53 43.4% 25.36 79.25%
6 142 18.31% 26.17 64.08%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 218
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3812
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2001
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1955
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3016
Lose: Invader deck ran out 52
Lose: Adversary condition 336
Win: Sacrifice victory 47
Lose: Scenario condition 63
Win: Scenario condition 189
Lose: Blight pool ran out 767
Lose: Spirit destroyed 59

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 580 25.57% 29.16 -0.277 68.45% 0.271 0.1767
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 91 23.08% 25.23 -1.576 56.04% -0.185 -0.6927
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 302 44.85% 25.43 0.926 58.28% 0.208 0.4054
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 122 31.15% 33.84 7.054 75.41% 1.214 0.3405
Dances Up Earthquakes 57 21.05% 31.07 2.748 73.68% 0.631 0.4917
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 466 29.41% 29.91 1.396 67.38% 0.157 -0.0658
Downpour Drenches the World 761 25.27% 25.54 -3.36 57.69% -0.757 -0.4518
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 553 19.78% 29.05 2.775 67.27% 0.714 0.1597
Eyes Watch From the Trees 603 19.6% 31.15 2.183 70.32% 0.254 -0.1736
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 443 23.7% 30.78 0.922 69.98% 0.112 -0.3011
Finder of Paths Unseen 400 36.27% 20.56 -9.701 49.0% -1.621 -0.966
Fractured Days Split the Sky 284 27.82% 23.37 -4.283 45.77% -0.937 -0.3917
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 488 41.19% 27.19 -0.821 60.66% -0.14 -0.2239
Heart of the Wildfire 396 58.23% 22.56 -1.566 52.27% -0.205 0.1103
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 775 29.04% 28.92 2.53 69.03% 0.593 0.1499
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 161 20.0% 30.53 0.495 70.81% -0.042 -0.3352
Lightning's Swift Strike 243 40.33% 25.31 -0.368 59.67% -0.048 0.2141
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 246 31.28% 30.96 -0.752 70.73% -0.025 -0.3528
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 149 32.43% 31.47 2.703 68.46% 0.456 0.0807
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 158 32.28% 28.0 1.225 63.29% 0.223 0.3227
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 511 37.25% 27.81 1.72 61.06% 0.396 0.1967
Many Minds Move as One 429 25.42% 29.27 -1.33 65.97% -0.222 -0.4364
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1000 37.9% 27.84 2.712 64.3% 1.026 1.1734
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 119 48.31% 25.74 0.231 63.03% 0.25 0.295
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 505 29.5% 26.66 -0.88 61.98% -0.087 -0.1897
River Surges in Sunlight 365 31.3% 30.76 2.26 71.78% 0.369 0.3665
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 65 35.38% 23.55 2.333 58.46% 0.708 0.9965
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 207 36.41% 28.94 2.742 64.25% 0.474 0.6766
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 347 32.56% 31.75 2.417 70.61% 0.385 0.1714
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 420 24.76% 26.15 0.926 57.62% 0.221 0.0633
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 18 27.78% 36.17 6.349 88.89% 1.594 1.2109
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 120 44.92% 20.51 -5.27 45.83% -0.581 -0.0052
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 112 43.12% 26.63 -2.687 58.04% -0.711 -0.7703
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 108 37.04% 34.04 6.579 80.56% 1.002 0.5735
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 117 41.88% 25.38 -4.862 57.26% -0.695 -0.6892
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 78 43.59% 26.74 6.158 61.54% 0.725 0.6656
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 57 42.11% 23.58 3.502 52.63% 0.443 0.6496
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 349 33.33% 28.96 0.26 67.91% 0.004 0.036
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 223 32.87% 28.29 2.288 63.68% 0.19 0.0446
Shifting Memory of Ages 370 38.69% 23.86 -0.045 52.43% -0.02 0.305
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 103 33.98% 23.89 -3.531 50.49% -0.787 -0.7385
Shroud of Silent Mist 344 46.22% 22.39 -3.046 50.0% -0.823 -0.4549
Starlight Seeks its Form 485 29.55% 24.67 -2.153 57.53% -0.136 -0.2019
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 555 26.53% 26.57 -3.497 62.34% -0.877 -1.3599
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 368 35.91% 23.11 -2.74 51.63% -0.857 -0.697
Thunderspeaker 380 30.4% 27.48 -0.454 62.63% -0.18 -0.1496
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 140 40.0% 20.71 -8.013 46.43% -1.238 -1.0474
Towering Roots of the Jungle 185 27.57% 22.05 0.54 50.81% 0.208 0.3537
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 312 58.52% 22.37 -3.082 50.32% -0.541 -0.5214
Vital Strength of the Earth 192 27.6% 21.58 1.605 49.48% 0.475 1.0558
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 235 29.91% 23.09 -6.609 51.49% -1.26 -0.777
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 97 24.74% 21.03 -2.43 46.39% -0.198 0.4209
Volcano Looming High 450 37.11% 24.39 -1.65 59.33% -0.186 -0.1503
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 292 20.89% 30.66 0.119 72.6% -0.016 -0.3331

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 41 24.39% 23.63 -11.227 58.54% -0.599 -0.555
Blitz 0 191 21.99% 17.03 -1.974 38.74% -0.334 -0.1195
Dahan Insurrection 4 133 35.34% 39.54 11.783 47.37% 0.316 0.0275
Despicable Theft 2 102 37.25% 21.97 0.922 35.29% -0.004 0.7063
Elemental Invocation 1 135 37.04% 23.45 -0.585 48.15% 0.122 0.8231
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 321 12.77% 29.72 2.406 57.01% 0.172 -0.4277
Powers Long Forgotten 1 107 34.58% 17.21 -5.925 23.36% -1.065 -0.2282
Rituals of Terror 3 33 27.27% 28.27 6.763 45.45% 0.555 0.6158
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 33 33.33% 18.24 -8.941 30.3% -0.803 0.1842
Second Wave 0 597 37.42% 31.13 3.926 64.82% 0.317 0.5668
The Great River 3 28 28.57% 21.96 0.0 35.71%
Varied Terrains 2 123 43.09% 21.43 1.364 39.02% 0.057 0.8867
Ward the Shores 2 118 41.53% 13.52 -8.027 16.95% -1.597 -0.4133

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6272 32.55% 26.37 -0.442 61.24% -0.201 0.0724
1 Thematic 571 32.11% 23.73 -0.378 45.01% -0.525 0.0503
2 Archipelago 5 80.0% 48.0 7.458 80.0% 0.185 0.862
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1530 33.38% 25.7 0.957 60.33% 0.195 0.263
2 Coastline 246 30.33% 24.87 -1.496 60.16% -0.182 -0.4008
2 Fragment 54 35.19% 23.15 2.561 51.85% -0.228 -0.4946
2 Heart 30 40.0% 28.47 5.73 63.33% 0.27 -0.2006
2 Opposite Shores 320 35.42% 27.3 2.452 64.38% 0.604 0.582
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 244 28.69% 21.66 -2.375 40.16% -0.694 -0.3207
2 Top to Top 49 44.9% 25.94 -5.602 55.1% -0.202 -0.4589
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 45.0 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 38.25 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 15 46.67% 26.8 0.0 60.0%
3 Round (Default) 957 34.5% 28.87 0.616 66.77% -0.015 -0.1678
3 Thematic 53 41.51% 29.49 -0.681 58.49% -0.288 -0.4357
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 27.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 6 33.33% 36.67 0.0 83.33%
4 Other 9 77.78% 29.44 4.935 88.89% 0.365 -0.3202
4 Thematic 30 30.0% 32.67 4.554 53.33% 0.625 0.4477
4 Trapezoid (Default) 272 26.84% 27.43 1.784 64.71% 0.69 0.3606
5 Archipelago 2 50.0% 54.5 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 39 38.46% 34.51 -7.72 84.62% -0.199 -0.9483
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 4 25.0% 33.75 -16.562 50.0% -0.594 -1.5646
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 14 28.57% 22.5 0.0 35.71%
6 Star 2 0.0% 7.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Thematic 37 23.53% 31.62 0.966 64.86% -0.14 -0.1882
6 Two Centers (Default) 57 19.3% 28.58 -7.553 59.65% -0.201 0.014
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 55.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 2 0.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 210 26.16 0.708 58.57% 0.118 0.1901
Aid From Lesser Spirits 138 27.29 3.86 57.97% 1.107 1.0364
All Things Weaken 196 24.26 -1.566 54.59% -0.548 -0.2887
Attenuated Essence 114 24.63 0.052 55.26% 0.191 0.1547
Back Against the Wall 178 26.72 2.644 57.87% 0.381 0.4348
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 99 25.21 -0.981 53.54% -0.601 -0.4559
Burn Brightest Before the End 75 26.72 3.022 53.33% 0.189 0.2049
Disintegrating Ecosystem 198 26.32 -0.666 61.62% 0.363 0.5516
Downward Spiral 278 24.16 -2.169 57.55% -0.514 -0.4402
Erosion of Will 196 24.68 -0.225 54.08% 0.059 0.2132
Intensifying Exploitation 131 24.24 -0.019 58.78% 0.119 0.2544
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 121 30.04 0.409 73.55% -0.285 -0.8996
Memory Fades to Dust 241 24.51 -0.629 53.94% -0.021 0.1821
Power Corrodes the Spirit 192 25.51 0.764 58.33% 0.274 0.4492
Promising Farmlands 223 24.04 0.976 51.12% -0.081 0.1166
Shattered Fragments of Power 69 26.14 2.364 55.07% 0.025 0.0281
Slow Dissolution of Will 98 23.38 3.263 42.86% 0.2 0.4984
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 74 30.24 4.015 75.68% 0.801 0.1044
The Border of Life and Death 23 31.13 4.692 78.26% 0.493 -0.0053
Thriving Communities 197 24.49 3.208 56.35% 0.657 0.8131
Thriving Crops 58 26.62 -2.999 63.79% -0.044 -0.3558
Unnatural Proliferation 222 25.59 2.114 54.05% 0.875 0.9836
Untended Land Crumbles 202 23.79 -1.555 52.48% -0.462 -0.2797

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2068 32.0% 26.91 0.836 63.01% 0.159 1.1347
B 2163 33.81% 27.19 -0.179 62.97% -0.152 0.7373
C 2266 30.78% 27.66 1.12 64.25% 0.131 0.8232
D 2071 32.01% 26.24 -1.219 60.21% -0.399 0.4965
E 1852 32.41% 27.48 0.175 63.88% -0.216 0.5135
F 1813 32.91% 26.84 -0.146 62.88% -0.14 0.6912
G 1631 34.61% 26.59 0.03 60.58% -0.202 0.5775
H 1694 34.16% 26.99 -0.06 62.46% -0.136 0.6463
East 611 29.61% 25.64 -0.311 47.95% -0.427 0.3823
Northeast 292 30.45% 25.93 -0.631 47.6% -0.248 0.5501
Northwest 238 28.51% 25.68 -0.27 49.16% -0.312 0.4214
Southeast 204 27.36% 26.61 3.005 52.94% 0.686 1.5796
Southwest 202 32.83% 22.64 -2.027 46.04% -0.37 0.8881
West 562 32.08% 23.28 -1.609 44.48% -0.444 0.5535

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 51 0.0% 28.49 -2.617 72.55% -0.436 0.2318
Not Using Events or Tokens 196 35.52% 19.66 -3.978 42.86% -0.712 -0.2916
Skip Initial Invader Actions 229 9.35% 39.41 1.816 83.84% 0.687 -0.082
Start of Game Growth 354 14.12% 36.68 3.787 78.53% 0.117 -0.321
Unlimited Undo 932 21.67% 25.79 -0.767 60.3% -0.121 -0.1868
Using Tokens but Not Events 1031 20.14% 29.91 2.033 71.29% 0.619 0.5765

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2753 13.76 3.05%
II 2235 30.19 43.94%
III 3488 34.82 90.08%
IV 2372 38.63 99.03%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.102 Win Model: -0.074
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6983 32.51% 25.93 59.22%
2 2380 33.39% 26.09 60.42%
3 1019 35.26% 29.05 66.73%
4 309 27.83% 28.46 65.7%
5 42 38.1% 31.6 78.57%
6 115 20.54% 29.91 59.13%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 83
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3082
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 947
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2332
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2174
Lose: Invader deck ran out 29
Lose: Adversary condition 1180
Win: Sacrifice victory 30
Lose: Scenario condition 85
Win: Scenario condition 83
Lose: Blight pool ran out 792
Lose: Spirit destroyed 31

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 615 27.38% 31.83 2.194 69.59% 0.506 0.412
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 93 26.88% 30.74 0.279 69.89% 0.463 -0.0448
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 284 50.7% 27.4 -3.353 57.04% -0.459 -0.2613
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 172 36.05% 33.65 5.055 68.6% 1.005 0.1321
Dances Up Earthquakes 110 29.09% 33.07 3.931 70.0% 0.874 0.7351
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 506 39.09% 29.73 0.869 63.44% 0.286 0.0642
Downpour Drenches the World 864 31.24% 27.61 -3.754 55.9% -0.994 -0.6888
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 849 30.39% 32.53 -0.636 71.73% -0.01 -0.564
Eyes Watch From the Trees 765 35.08% 32.28 2.041 65.62% 0.376 -0.051
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 533 40.6% 31.67 0.018 69.04% 0.236 -0.1773
Finder of Paths Unseen 481 41.88% 25.66 -5.38 58.63% -0.869 -0.2134
Fractured Days Split the Sky 279 31.54% 26.76 -5.553 51.25% -0.672 -0.1266
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 515 45.91% 26.43 1.899 51.65% 0.059 -0.0251
Heart of the Wildfire 454 68.87% 24.13 -3.587 52.42% -0.721 -0.4051
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 999 30.85% 33.42 1.12 71.87% 0.429 -0.0148
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 224 30.8% 31.64 -3.054 71.43% -0.65 -0.9431
Lightning's Swift Strike 272 44.81% 30.5 1.514 65.44% 0.508 0.7701
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 386 46.44% 34.09 1.281 73.06% 0.191 -0.1363
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 167 40.0% 31.82 0.554 62.87% 0.181 -0.195
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 162 32.1% 30.98 -0.121 58.64% -0.037 0.0627
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 675 43.7% 29.79 1.793 62.96% 0.69 0.4907
Many Minds Move as One 447 33.71% 30.22 0.372 63.53% 0.174 -0.0404
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1277 39.53% 31.02 0.614 65.54% 0.268 0.4157
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 201 58.29% 29.5 0.754 67.66% 0.421 0.4656
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 581 37.01% 30.39 0.635 61.62% 0.343 0.2406
River Surges in Sunlight 351 38.57% 35.45 2.991 75.21% 0.568 0.5651
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 100 38.38% 26.79 1.344 57.0% 0.104 0.392
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 180 42.46% 32.3 0.384 62.22% -0.099 0.1044
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 435 38.82% 34.71 1.826 69.43% 0.179 -0.0346
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 550 36.08% 30.35 0.957 59.27% 0.22 0.0625
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 42 14.29% 30.19 1.25 64.29% 0.132 -0.2508
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 63 53.97% 22.78 -1.164 44.44% -0.055 0.5208
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 93 50.55% 33.99 -1.798 72.04% -0.414 -0.4741
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 158 50.63% 30.08 2.411 61.39% 0.313 -0.1151
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 109 54.13% 28.32 -4.79 51.38% -0.464 -0.4579
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 67 47.76% 27.96 5.405 62.69% 0.429 0.37
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 56 57.14% 24.46 -2.295 48.21% -0.125 0.0813
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 340 37.2% 30.75 2.191 66.47% 0.35 0.3826
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 243 40.83% 30.75 0.474 67.9% 0.179 0.034
Shifting Memory of Ages 433 41.11% 25.05 -0.629 51.96% 0.143 0.4681
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 112 33.04% 25.09 -3.843 51.79% -0.473 -0.425
Shroud of Silent Mist 358 56.42% 24.92 -5.088 51.4% -1.113 -0.7447
Starlight Seeks its Form 682 31.52% 29.5 0.277 61.58% -0.061 -0.1276
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 659 28.85% 30.36 -0.558 68.44% -0.046 -0.5291
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 435 51.98% 28.25 -1.482 55.17% -0.331 -0.1712
Thunderspeaker 386 33.94% 29.38 0.682 63.47% 0.428 0.4586
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 151 37.75% 27.56 -2.478 58.28% -0.638 -0.4475
Towering Roots of the Jungle 284 34.15% 25.96 -0.43 53.87% -0.101 0.0449
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 359 69.36% 24.71 -1.78 51.53% -0.082 -0.062
Vital Strength of the Earth 167 33.73% 21.61 -5.055 44.31% -0.884 -0.3029
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 292 40.42% 25.79 -4.689 51.03% -0.604 -0.1203
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 102 31.68% 24.19 -1.978 43.14% -0.409 0.2102
Volcano Looming High 637 47.88% 29.01 0.06 64.52% 0.128 0.1635
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 383 30.55% 33.65 1.321 73.89% 0.527 0.2099

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 26 15.38% 26.12 -10.088 57.69% -0.433 -0.3883
Blitz 0 157 26.11% 22.89 -5.514 40.13% -0.79 -0.5757
Dahan Insurrection 4 115 35.65% 35.53 -2.292 40.0% -1.031 -1.3188
Despicable Theft 2 58 44.83% 20.24 -0.929 17.24% 0.118 0.8289
Elemental Invocation 1 118 33.9% 20.87 -6.48 39.83% -0.848 -0.1474
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 391 18.41% 32.92 1.499 56.78% 0.166 -0.4344
Powers Long Forgotten 1 98 32.65% 14.76 -5.529 24.49% -1.103 -0.2658
Rituals of Terror 3 39 51.28% 22.31 -4.108 30.77% -0.669 -0.6091
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 34 55.88% 20.26 9.665 26.47% 0.115 1.1014
Second Wave 0 575 34.46% 36.25 0.989 68.7% -0.619 -0.3687
The Great River 3 24 29.17% 27.17 -13.197 41.67% -0.455 0.6108
Varied Terrains 2 102 55.88% 25.39 -2.474 35.29% -0.556 0.2734
Ward the Shores 2 82 41.46% 22.6 -8.228 30.49% -1.866 -0.6828

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7270 39.75% 29.24 -0.127 61.36% 0.11 0.3835
1 Thematic 546 33.88% 21.81 -2.709 33.7% -0.426 0.1491
2 Archipelago 30 66.67% 28.67 -1.24 46.67% -0.297 0.3799
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1982 39.83% 29.57 0.452 64.23% 0.124 0.1926
2 Coastline 282 40.07% 32.96 1.03 72.7% -0.181 -0.3996
2 Fragment 50 52.0% 28.14 10.334 58.0% 0.439 0.1721
2 Heart 40 47.5% 24.82 -1.529 47.5% -0.32 -0.7897
2 Opposite Shores 509 37.67% 29.59 -2.23 63.46% -0.732 -0.754
2 Thematic 237 28.27% 24.98 -0.743 42.19% -0.115 0.2586
2 Top to Top 94 48.94% 31.96 1.91 73.4% 0.573 0.3155
3 Archipelago 7 28.57% 41.0 0.0 57.14%
3 Coastline 13 46.15% 35.23 6.076 69.23% 0.941 -0.0229
3 Other 20 45.0% 31.3 3.399 70.0% 0.721 -0.0425
3 Round (Default) 1020 37.1% 31.04 0.618 67.55% -0.186 -0.3389
3 Sunrise 6 100.0% 28.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 49 42.86% 26.2 4.309 44.9% 0.684 0.5364
4 Archipelago 14 28.57% 36.14 0.0 71.43%
4 Coastline 4 50.0% 39.75 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 38.25 0.0 75.0%
4 Other 10 40.0% 22.4 -10.274 40.0% -0.593 -1.2776
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 62 38.71% 30.24 5.281 48.39% 0.557 0.38
4 Trapezoid (Default) 327 38.23% 31.16 -0.245 66.36% -0.676 -1.0049
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 3 100.0% 27.67 0.0 66.67%
5 Other 63 50.79% 34.08 4.688 82.54% 0.512 -0.2376
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 11 36.36% 22.73 1.831 36.36% 0.093 -0.3235
6 Star 7 71.43% 32.71 1.344 85.71% 0.081 0.4168
6 Thematic 47 40.0% 32.11 -5.895 55.32% -0.997 -1.045
6 Two Centers (Default) 40 30.0% 32.55 -2.455 67.5% -0.611 -0.3969
7 Other 2 0.0% 52.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 286 27.81 -0.176 54.9% 0.203 0.2752
Aid From Lesser Spirits 224 31.79 1.854 67.86% 0.203 0.1318
All Things Weaken 299 28.64 0.152 59.53% 0.217 0.4762
Attenuated Essence 152 25.89 -4.054 51.97% -1.171 -1.2068
Back Against the Wall 223 30.23 0.41 56.5% 0.056 0.1098
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 146 26.18 0.442 53.42% 0.016 0.1611
Burn Brightest Before the End 102 29.89 0.311 56.86% 0.267 0.2831
Disintegrating Ecosystem 299 28.23 -0.069 63.21% 0.259 0.4475
Downward Spiral 338 27.16 0.396 56.21% -0.234 -0.1596
Erosion of Will 267 29.22 1.577 56.55% -0.222 -0.0673
Intensifying Exploitation 163 24.1 -3.809 52.15% -1.158 -1.0222
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 134 34.66 3.851 79.85% 1.101 0.487
Memory Fades to Dust 320 28.39 -1.461 59.38% -0.183 0.0206
Power Corrodes the Spirit 290 27.97 -0.776 57.93% 0.084 0.2592
Promising Farmlands 338 27.36 -1.922 60.06% -0.395 -0.1971
Shattered Fragments of Power 103 30.38 0.95 60.19% -0.066 -0.0637
Slow Dissolution of Will 163 26.91 -0.155 52.15% 0.069 0.3668
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 97 31.71 0.693 71.13% 0.334 -0.3628
The Border of Life and Death 52 32.96 0.684 71.15% 0.283 -0.2146
Thriving Communities 320 27.45 0.14 55.0% 0.015 0.1712
Thriving Crops 85 29.87 3.256 68.24% 0.819 0.5069
Unnatural Proliferation 300 29.24 0.426 58.33% 0.028 0.1367
Untended Land Crumbles 299 26.37 -0.354 54.18% -0.109 0.0725

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2691 39.78% 30.08 -0.909 64.55% -0.289 0.6866
B 2553 39.54% 29.8 0.15 64.24% -0.053 0.8365
C 2836 38.56% 30.61 0.483 65.94% -0.135 0.5575
D 2387 37.74% 28.8 -0.023 60.12% -0.179 0.7158
E 2264 39.97% 30.73 0.563 65.06% -0.131 0.5981
F 2122 42.08% 30.16 1.102 65.36% -0.019 0.8124
G 1898 41.85% 29.55 -0.568 63.33% -0.441 0.3387
H 1859 39.63% 30.75 0.82 65.63% -0.134 0.6493
East 638 33.18% 23.87 -1.384 37.15% -0.942 -0.1327
Northeast 316 30.89% 24.81 -1.343 36.39% -0.736 0.0618
Northwest 256 32.68% 28.38 0.157 48.83% -0.105 0.6286
Southeast 247 35.1% 24.18 0.651 42.11% 0.133 1.0266
Southwest 226 36.61% 22.95 -2.909 40.71% -0.669 0.5892
West 581 36.1% 25.72 -0.008 44.23% -0.034 0.9631

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 48 0.0% 39.04 -0.134 83.33% 0.013 0.6812
Not Using Events or Tokens 174 33.73% 21.73 -1.287 40.8% -0.219 0.2021
Skip Initial Invader Actions 206 14.67% 44.21 8.46 77.67% 1.095 0.3257
Start of Game Growth 267 17.96% 41.81 3.297 76.4% 0.266 -0.1716
Unlimited Undo 1239 35.96% 28.6 0.599 58.11% -0.158 -0.2232
Using Tokens but Not Events 1120 29.26% 30.37 1.579 63.21% 0.5 0.4574

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3342 13.76 1.35%
II 2570 30.19 51.25%
III 4074 34.82 90.75%
IV 2782 38.63 99.25%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.33 Win Model: 0.402
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7951 39.29% 28.56 59.01%
2 3134 39.89% 29.94 63.98%
3 1093 37.65% 31.13 67.25%
4 417 37.89% 31.09 64.03%
5 66 54.55% 34.35 83.33%
6 107 36.19% 32.02 61.68%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 45
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3638
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1280
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2743
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2321
Lose: Invader deck ran out 46
Lose: Adversary condition 1396
Win: Sacrifice victory 44
Lose: Scenario condition 74
Win: Scenario condition 70
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1029
Lose: Spirit destroyed 82

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 904 25.95% 39.93 0.52 69.25% 0.214 0.1196
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 397 23.68% 39.63 -0.467 61.96% 0.078 -0.4298
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 381 60.16% 36.3 0.754 61.42% -0.003 0.1947
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 336 33.33% 42.57 1.216 71.13% 0.113 -0.7601
Dances Up Earthquakes 203 36.95% 39.69 1.499 69.95% 0.302 0.1627
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 719 34.96% 36.11 -0.212 63.98% 0.204 -0.0183
Downpour Drenches the World 1259 28.99% 34.86 -0.647 59.25% -0.235 0.0703
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1287 29.68% 41.71 3.263 76.15% 0.847 0.2929
Eyes Watch From the Trees 928 30.2% 42.57 0.265 72.84% -0.11 -0.5375
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 684 36.8% 43.05 3.608 75.0% 0.578 0.1643
Finder of Paths Unseen 762 46.18% 29.57 -5.394 51.18% -0.606 0.0496
Fractured Days Split the Sky 480 37.26% 37.57 1.388 51.25% -0.055 0.4907
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 722 47.37% 36.59 2.337 64.4% 0.613 0.5289
Heart of the Wildfire 619 67.48% 28.29 -7.357 46.85% -1.394 -1.0782
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1677 31.27% 43.71 3.045 73.82% 0.577 0.1336
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 331 33.43% 40.9 0.315 72.21% 0.118 -0.1753
Lightning's Swift Strike 299 61.09% 36.08 1.157 59.2% -0.005 0.2568
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 740 42.99% 43.58 1.947 76.08% 0.309 -0.0188
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 242 44.81% 39.25 3.518 68.6% 0.4 0.0243
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 430 24.19% 42.64 1.76 72.79% 1.081 1.1806
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1037 47.01% 37.23 -2.51 62.97% -0.478 -0.6773
Many Minds Move as One 525 32.57% 38.79 -1.985 67.81% -0.142 -0.3564
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2379 38.01% 37.71 -2.172 63.89% -0.512 -0.3646
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 485 61.62% 34.92 -0.854 57.53% -0.191 -0.1464
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 700 37.82% 39.74 1.918 70.43% 0.496 0.3933
River Surges in Sunlight 454 41.69% 44.12 3.583 73.13% 0.834 0.8312
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 158 38.61% 44.61 5.036 70.25% 0.906 1.1943
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 304 31.79% 29.45 -3.521 49.34% -0.21 -0.0068
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 772 42.84% 45.28 1.837 71.76% 0.301 0.0869
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1096 31.14% 41.0 -0.236 67.52% -0.031 -0.1886
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 93 43.01% 47.02 5.072 78.49% 0.916 0.5329
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 64 68.75% 28.83 -7.814 39.06% -1.459 -0.8825
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 98 65.31% 33.76 2.179 56.12% 0.042 -0.0178
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 275 55.27% 39.05 1.634 63.64% 0.071 -0.3576
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 148 58.78% 37.08 0.342 62.84% 0.244 0.2502
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 86 63.95% 30.4 -0.056 46.51% -0.216 -0.2749
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 41 60.98% 28.95 -7.626 46.34% -0.954 -0.747
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 525 36.78% 38.95 2.737 66.1% 0.316 0.3488
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 374 27.81% 40.44 1.528 68.72% 0.159 0.0133
Shifting Memory of Ages 639 42.79% 33.29 0.126 55.87% 0.105 0.43
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 385 31.95% 34.16 -1.932 58.96% -0.181 -0.1325
Shroud of Silent Mist 503 58.28% 31.92 -6.512 53.68% -1.0 -0.6319
Starlight Seeks its Form 1527 34.53% 38.39 0.109 66.4% -0.041 -0.1075
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 962 32.67% 40.52 -0.041 71.1% 0.05 -0.4332
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 512 45.96% 34.96 -3.116 58.2% -0.449 -0.2892
Thunderspeaker 508 42.05% 40.17 -0.184 66.14% -0.047 -0.0165
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 269 41.26% 38.38 -3.189 52.42% -0.592 -0.4012
Towering Roots of the Jungle 473 37.79% 33.48 0.405 58.56% 0.273 0.4186
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 616 68.18% 34.64 -1.132 59.9% -0.36 -0.3401
Vital Strength of the Earth 177 26.29% 25.02 -3.172 38.98% -0.679 -0.0984
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 514 40.7% 35.27 -2.858 57.98% -0.365 0.1188
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 108 37.74% 29.57 -4.45 51.85% -0.447 0.1718
Volcano Looming High 1106 52.53% 37.69 0.508 67.9% 0.199 0.2351
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 675 38.22% 41.65 2.347 72.89% 0.496 0.1787

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 21 47.62% 32.29 -7.385 57.14% -0.05 -0.0062
Blitz 0 231 21.65% 48.42 -0.083 56.71% -0.299 -0.0843
Dahan Insurrection 4 171 46.2% 48.27 -0.302 36.84% -1.569 -1.8571
Despicable Theft 2 30 33.33% 30.13 -3.247 36.67% -0.245 0.4659
Elemental Invocation 1 75 44.0% 32.69 -3.225 50.67% -0.631 0.0702
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 585 18.84% 40.79 0.516 56.24% -0.28 -0.8802
Powers Long Forgotten 1 58 41.38% 25.31 -6.581 32.76% -0.729 0.108
Rituals of Terror 3 39 20.51% 27.41 1.968 28.21% -0.555 -0.4945
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 27 59.26% 27.3 -0.975 25.93% -0.608 0.3792
Second Wave 0 484 32.56% 44.23 4.622 68.8% 0.28 0.5296
The Great River 3 44 47.73% 31.27 -3.023 34.09% -0.448 0.6174
Varied Terrains 2 81 53.09% 29.49 -3.362 38.27% -0.614 0.2158
Ward the Shores 2 56 46.43% 28.8 -1.696 32.14% -0.477 0.7065

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11361 42.79% 36.97 -0.55 64.17% -0.301 -0.0277
1 Thematic 349 39.54% 31.76 -2.515 41.26% -0.995 -0.4196
2 Archipelago 20 40.0% 35.7 -7.531 45.0% -0.688 -0.0103
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2921 40.64% 37.2 0.057 67.24% -0.108 -0.0395
2 Coastline 383 43.34% 41.17 0.994 73.37% -0.156 -0.3744
2 Fragment 83 44.58% 41.17 0.678 60.24% 0.292 0.0256
2 Heart 166 61.45% 56.81 5.132 71.08% -0.072 -0.5423
2 Opposite Shores 652 41.2% 37.19 -0.246 63.34% -0.223 -0.2452
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 158 43.67% 31.03 -6.503 43.04% -1.316 -0.943
2 Top to Top 154 47.4% 41.82 3.785 79.22% 0.859 0.6015
3 Archipelago 10 80.0% 37.8 20.818 40.0% 0.354 -0.5691
3 Coastline 9 44.44% 48.33 12.41 77.78% 0.153 -0.8107
3 Other 41 34.15% 33.22 4.3 56.1% 0.873 0.1095
3 Round (Default) 1778 36.3% 40.99 0.753 69.74% -0.054 -0.2069
3 Sunrise 6 66.67% 37.5 0.0 66.67%
3 Thematic 48 22.92% 39.02 -11.445 58.33% -0.738 -0.8857
4 Archipelago 12 83.33% 50.08 0.0 91.67%
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 1.402 0.0% 0.068 0.0112
4 Leaf 5 20.0% 35.4 -19.716 60.0% -0.576 -0.6668
4 Other 201 15.42% 18.87 -7.665 38.31% -0.419 -1.104
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Snake 1 100.0% 38.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 74 43.24% 43.23 -0.08 54.05% -0.114 -0.2913
4 Trapezoid (Default) 622 37.8% 41.27 -0.985 72.03% 0.143 -0.1867
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 53 22.64% 42.36 8.918 79.25% 0.823 0.0734
5 Thematic 27 59.26% 62.63 24.209 44.44% 0.971 0.585
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 28.0 -15.083 50.0% -0.289 -1.2593
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -13.336 0.0% -0.1 -0.6796
6 Other 25 33.33% 33.88 -6.072 52.0% -0.413 -0.8301
6 Star 16 31.25% 30.31 -0.095 50.0% 0.081 0.4167
6 Thematic 129 24.22% 49.83 4.143 57.36% 0.258 0.2096
6 Two Centers (Default) 86 30.59% 36.56 -3.607 61.63% -0.326 -0.1116
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 75.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 468 38.46 0.48 66.88% 0.301 0.373
Aid From Lesser Spirits 363 40.1 -1.44 65.84% -0.206 -0.277
All Things Weaken 481 35.43 0.785 59.25% 0.079 0.3379
Attenuated Essence 259 35.03 0.254 57.53% -0.098 -0.1341
Back Against the Wall 380 38.3 3.231 62.89% 0.324 0.3775
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 222 37.33 0.593 64.41% 0.333 0.478
Burn Brightest Before the End 182 35.13 -0.722 56.04% -0.018 -0.0021
Disintegrating Ecosystem 460 34.1 -0.04 59.57% 0.199 0.387
Downward Spiral 494 35.26 -0.079 61.94% 0.312 0.3858
Erosion of Will 462 35.51 -1.587 58.01% -0.119 0.036
Intensifying Exploitation 248 36.88 2.465 60.48% 0.737 0.8732
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 236 41.16 -0.021 76.69% 0.063 -0.5514
Memory Fades to Dust 533 33.65 0.047 54.97% 0.08 0.2834
Power Corrodes the Spirit 493 34.02 -2.171 60.24% 0.191 0.3663
Promising Farmlands 474 34.71 0.082 60.13% 0.71 0.9078
Shattered Fragments of Power 178 38.07 2.698 63.48% 0.301 0.3039
Slow Dissolution of Will 233 35.59 -1.001 57.08% -0.198 0.1
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 156 42.53 3.331 79.49% 0.543 -0.1539
The Border of Life and Death 88 33.39 1.496 60.23% 0.371 -0.1266
Thriving Communities 504 34.31 0.866 59.33% 0.512 0.6687
Thriving Crops 125 40.36 1.839 76.8% 0.489 0.177
Unnatural Proliferation 488 37.14 0.803 61.07% 0.163 0.2712
Untended Land Crumbles 473 33.93 -1.533 57.29% -0.183 -0.0015

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4210 40.51% 37.37 -0.827 65.25% -0.409 0.5659
B 4349 39.4% 38.35 0.168 66.8% -0.063 0.8259
C 4676 38.44% 38.35 2.006 66.7% 0.161 0.8529
D 3643 39.91% 35.85 -1.691 61.08% -0.608 0.2874
E 3822 39.95% 38.97 -0.582 67.9% -0.353 0.3768
F 3288 40.57% 38.53 0.116 66.76% -0.202 0.6292
G 3050 40.3% 37.62 -0.142 65.87% -0.129 0.65
H 3036 39.79% 38.68 -0.395 67.03% -0.209 0.5735
East 575 35.54% 38.23 4.064 45.39% 0.414 1.2229
Northeast 378 34.22% 41.54 1.561 46.03% -0.357 0.4407
Northwest 316 38.1% 44.31 3.736 52.22% 0.546 1.28
Southeast 298 35.35% 43.38 1.868 52.68% 0.0 0.8937
Southwest 273 32.35% 40.63 -1.472 53.11% -0.462 0.7957
West 544 39.04% 40.47 1.192 51.47% -0.032 0.9656

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 69 0.0% 42.22 1.28 68.12% 0.202 0.8696
Not Using Events or Tokens 111 45.28% 28.28 2.554 44.14% 0.523 0.9441
Skip Initial Invader Actions 413 12.6% 53.85 10.571 69.98% 0.992 0.2224
Start of Game Growth 742 10.47% 42.31 1.757 60.78% 0.282 -0.1556
Unlimited Undo 1972 31.05% 38.21 -3.442 64.35% -0.682 -0.7479
Using Tokens but Not Events 1468 28.13% 38.85 -1.883 66.69% -0.148 -0.191

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4165 13.76 1.73%
II 4646 30.19 54.86%
III 7392 34.82 91.17%
IV 3233 38.63 99.63%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.088 Win Model: 0.079
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11856 42.7% 36.73 63.31%
2 4451 42.32% 38.61 67.36%
3 1877 35.92% 40.78 69.21%
4 917 33.92% 36.4 63.03%
5 79 34.18% 47.82 64.56%
6 256 26.88% 42.56 58.2%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 72
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6633
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2489
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3194
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3107
Lose: Invader deck ran out 92
Lose: Adversary condition 1868
Win: Sacrifice victory 112
Lose: Scenario condition 134
Win: Scenario condition 81
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1547
Lose: Spirit destroyed 107

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 706 31.76% 39.55 6.257 60.91% 1.029 0.9349
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 190 26.32% 40.37 4.422 66.32% 1.043 0.5348
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 291 64.95% 31.68 -7.202 46.05% -0.242 -0.0446
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 451 46.56% 34.99 0.185 53.44% 0.265 -0.6083
Dances Up Earthquakes 177 45.76% 35.77 1.441 58.19% 0.35 0.2107
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 501 56.89% 33.68 -1.798 53.09% -0.228 -0.4505
Downpour Drenches the World 974 37.27% 31.16 -3.294 47.84% -0.34 -0.0346
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1158 41.02% 39.01 2.744 67.53% 0.726 0.1711
Eyes Watch From the Trees 700 43.86% 41.28 3.233 67.57% 0.451 0.0233
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 481 50.1% 39.23 0.681 64.03% 0.204 -0.2088
Finder of Paths Unseen 509 52.85% 32.07 -0.855 50.49% -0.027 0.6286
Fractured Days Split the Sky 353 37.68% 31.22 -0.106 43.91% 0.131 0.6769
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 535 53.83% 33.83 -4.483 53.08% -0.755 -0.8391
Heart of the Wildfire 461 72.45% 26.4 -4.412 38.39% -0.622 -0.3066
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1432 38.46% 41.48 3.659 64.66% 0.555 0.1111
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 337 41.25% 36.05 3.229 57.27% 0.614 0.3208
Lightning's Swift Strike 208 54.33% 31.81 -5.117 44.71% -0.228 0.0337
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 755 54.55% 43.59 3.857 71.66% 1.354 1.0264
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 170 47.65% 39.82 0.215 68.24% 0.392 0.0159
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 256 39.06% 35.5 2.425 53.13% 0.632 0.7315
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 625 55.68% 34.36 -2.978 54.24% -0.617 -0.8163
Many Minds Move as One 551 34.48% 32.35 -2.265 52.27% -0.488 -0.7025
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1597 54.89% 36.52 -1.247 53.54% -0.495 -0.3473
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 386 65.01% 33.1 -0.16 53.89% 0.181 0.2252
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 540 49.44% 35.5 -2.697 55.74% -0.376 -0.4782
River Surges in Sunlight 348 47.13% 38.65 6.75 58.33% 1.252 1.2499
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 89 48.31% 33.79 -1.481 51.69% -0.037 0.2518
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 121 52.89% 34.01 -6.461 47.93% -0.609 -0.4062
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 624 52.25% 41.15 2.211 60.26% -0.027 -0.2411
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 749 37.52% 40.21 5.432 63.95% 1.311 1.1535
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 60 45.0% 38.4 2.522 63.33% 0.451 0.0685
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 41 70.73% 24.61 -8.147 24.39% -0.836 -0.2597
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 70 71.43% 25.81 -15.75 35.71% -0.769 -0.8283
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 213 59.62% 34.34 -2.099 53.05% 0.0 -0.428
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 111 62.16% 34.46 -7.909 51.35% -0.809 -0.8032
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 67 65.67% 32.58 1.498 46.27% -0.153 -0.2121
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 40 67.5% 24.05 -8.825 27.5% -0.05 0.157
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 464 48.49% 39.85 3.079 65.73% 0.291 0.3232
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 345 35.94% 28.46 2.257 46.67% 0.646 0.5007
Shifting Memory of Ages 347 53.6% 36.05 -1.96 58.79% -0.144 0.1809
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 221 41.63% 27.95 -6.491 46.61% -0.801 -0.7529
Shroud of Silent Mist 312 58.65% 27.8 -4.851 39.1% -0.276 0.0922
Starlight Seeks its Form 1273 44.93% 34.11 0.218 52.63% 0.075 0.0092
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 874 37.2% 36.53 5.095 60.18% 1.066 0.5826
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 425 58.59% 30.25 -2.211 39.06% -0.388 -0.2285
Thunderspeaker 598 52.52% 34.74 -3.493 54.85% -0.464 -0.4332
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 142 48.59% 35.18 -2.887 58.45% -0.058 0.1324
Towering Roots of the Jungle 346 46.24% 30.74 -2.761 45.66% -0.597 -0.4512
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 674 69.73% 30.72 -4.753 47.48% -0.737 -0.7165
Vital Strength of the Earth 169 60.95% 23.59 -10.598 14.79% -1.3 -0.7191
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 386 49.6% 33.68 0.334 44.56% -0.165 0.3187
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 113 53.1% 21.58 -16.057 19.47% -0.408 0.2108
Volcano Looming High 921 58.09% 34.61 -2.829 57.0% -0.279 -0.2429
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 633 51.34% 37.63 -0.504 62.72% 0.18 -0.1369

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 14 14.29% 30.43 0.0 57.14%
Blitz 0 196 16.84% 48.26 1.971 44.9% -0.008 0.206
Dahan Insurrection 4 110 43.64% 53.71 10.881 46.36% 0.383 0.0945
Despicable Theft 2 30 33.33% 15.23 -14.029 13.33% -1.075 -0.3647
Elemental Invocation 1 50 48.0% 27.88 -8.505 44.0% -0.857 -0.156
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 594 23.4% 47.33 5.855 70.2% 0.544 -0.0563
Powers Long Forgotten 1 26 61.54% 18.85 -13.357 11.54% -0.48 0.3569
Rituals of Terror 3 30 46.67% 25.63 -3.548 30.0% -0.263 -0.2031
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 22 72.73% 34.36 0.0 45.45%
Second Wave 0 377 42.66% 43.33 4.348 62.6% 0.364 0.6134
The Great River 3 26 61.54% 33.85 -5.709 38.46% -0.049 1.0165
Varied Terrains 2 67 52.24% 28.66 -3.645 20.9% -0.353 0.4768
Ward the Shores 2 45 37.78% 28.98 -3.636 28.89% -0.254 0.9293

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10172 51.96% 35.59 -0.993 54.87% -0.286 -0.013
1 Thematic 280 48.21% 30.76 0.552 35.0% -0.54 0.0346
2 Archipelago 17 29.41% 45.59 0.292 58.82% -0.419 0.2586
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2422 45.17% 38.48 1.438 64.37% 0.348 0.4167
2 Coastline 310 50.65% 37.49 1.696 62.26% 0.432 0.2128
2 Fragment 48 64.58% 36.35 11.211 58.33% 0.808 0.5413
2 Heart 55 43.64% 37.73 2.206 52.73% 0.116 -0.3539
2 Opposite Shores 936 52.46% 31.75 -0.339 50.21% -0.249 -0.2708
2 Thematic 205 56.59% 29.04 -5.579 22.44% -0.704 -0.3309
2 Top to Top 179 35.2% 33.78 0.902 58.1% 0.039 -0.2179
3 Archipelago 10 90.0% 37.6 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 8 75.0% 54.63 0.0 75.0%
3 Other 17 58.82% 34.82 -2.533 58.82% 0.077 -0.6872
3 Round (Default) 1104 43.84% 38.91 3.964 62.14% 0.619 0.4659
3 Sunrise 10 40.0% 36.3 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 40 60.0% 44.2 6.315 62.5% 0.25 0.1025
4 Archipelago 4 100.0% 30.75 0.0 25.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 6 83.33% 28.33 0.0 16.67%
4 Other 13 61.54% 23.62 16.932 38.46% 0.495 -0.1895
4 Thematic 17 35.29% 30.0 3.047 29.41% 0.052 -0.1258
4 Trapezoid (Default) 485 44.12% 28.63 -4.302 42.06% -0.844 -1.1734
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 44.0 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 40 55.0% 30.98 -2.403 50.0% -0.174 -0.9239
5 Thematic 13 69.23% 24.46 0.0 7.69%
6 Archipelago 4 50.0% 49.75 0.0 75.0%
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 15 33.33% 42.07 15.142 73.33% 0.797 0.3797
6 Star 10 10.0% 30.8 -5.697 50.0% -0.299 0.0365
6 Thematic 12 50.0% 23.75 0.0 25.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 36 27.78% 29.92 -14.032 41.67% -0.922 -0.7075

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 511 35.43 -0.768 54.01% -0.191 -0.1192
Aid From Lesser Spirits 366 38.5 3.456 57.92% 0.471 0.4001
All Things Weaken 505 34.78 0.372 49.7% -0.124 0.1348
Attenuated Essence 284 32.67 -0.174 50.0% -0.161 -0.197
Back Against the Wall 379 37.85 5.068 57.26% 0.716 0.7698
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 287 32.99 -1.239 49.48% -0.312 -0.1661
Burn Brightest Before the End 189 34.95 -3.253 51.32% -0.639 -0.6232
Disintegrating Ecosystem 481 32.08 -0.063 50.73% 0.012 0.2005
Downward Spiral 513 35.37 0.507 55.36% 0.161 0.2349
Erosion of Will 472 32.96 -1.547 46.82% -0.149 0.006
Intensifying Exploitation 277 32.7 -3.321 50.9% -0.723 -0.5872
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 211 40.46 1.17 67.3% 0.054 -0.5605
Memory Fades to Dust 534 33.45 0.357 50.75% 0.257 0.4601
Power Corrodes the Spirit 473 32.62 1.306 48.41% 0.171 0.3462
Promising Farmlands 451 32.57 1.785 49.22% 0.323 0.5215
Shattered Fragments of Power 201 36.61 1.831 53.73% 0.151 0.1541
Slow Dissolution of Will 257 31.2 -1.05 44.36% -0.516 -0.2181
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 137 39.47 -6.045 68.61% -0.464 -1.1609
The Border of Life and Death 82 34.65 0.023 59.76% -0.1 -0.5976
Thriving Communities 511 33.02 0.85 47.95% -0.043 0.1135
Thriving Crops 118 35.19 0.892 58.47% 0.215 -0.0971
Unnatural Proliferation 530 36.49 3.698 52.45% 0.621 0.7293
Untended Land Crumbles 463 33.54 -1.851 49.03% -0.476 -0.2939

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3624 49.47% 33.72 -0.604 53.34% -0.18 0.7955
B 3505 48.6% 36.11 -0.398 57.6% -0.291 0.5981
C 3633 47.59% 37.33 1.243 59.59% 0.107 0.7994
D 2863 46.86% 33.96 -1.422 52.25% -0.336 0.5588
E 3129 48.4% 36.46 -0.069 57.88% -0.018 0.7117
F 2706 49.33% 36.31 -0.816 57.46% -0.343 0.4886
G 2330 50.73% 36.27 1.258 56.74% 0.229 1.0086
H 2395 47.28% 35.81 0.015 56.08% -0.026 0.7567
East 322 46.27% 31.98 1.746 33.85% 0.33 1.1395
Northeast 165 38.18% 30.52 -0.105 29.09% -0.604 0.1942
Northwest 131 50.38% 34.95 10.301 41.22% 1.178 1.9111
Southeast 113 58.41% 33.35 -0.393 38.05% -0.418 0.4752
Southwest 192 64.58% 26.16 -7.916 23.96% -0.413 0.8451
West 364 55.49% 30.1 -5.428 30.77% -1.065 -0.0672

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 16 0.0% 55.5 -2.739 87.5% -0.398 0.2702
Not Using Events or Tokens 66 40.63% 32.59 5.453 53.03% 0.794 1.2145
Skip Initial Invader Actions 284 11.76% 55.62 14.696 61.62% 1.429 0.6602
Start of Game Growth 526 21.4% 45.65 2.084 59.51% 0.385 -0.0528
Unlimited Undo 2007 44.65% 38.31 -1.971 58.59% -0.43 -0.4958
Using Tokens but Not Events 886 43.35% 38.95 3.166 59.14% 0.561 0.5185

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4531 13.76 3.18%
II 4422 30.19 47.22%
III 5237 34.82 88.35%
IV 2291 38.63 99.56%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.154 Win Model: -0.125
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 10538 51.87% 35.47 54.34%
2 4109 47.46% 36.24 58.53%
3 1177 45.12% 39.17 62.36%
4 529 44.61% 28.53 41.02%
5 51 64.71% 31.45 43.14%
6 77 31.17% 32.05 46.75%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 143
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4565
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2031
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2265
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3062
Lose: Invader deck ran out 218
Lose: Adversary condition 1818
Win: Sacrifice victory 72
Lose: Scenario condition 88
Win: Scenario condition 64
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2019
Lose: Spirit destroyed 136

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 623 37.68% 44.15 3.892 66.29% 0.909 0.8153
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 168 33.93% 47.74 4.424 73.21% 1.12 0.6121
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 214 69.16% 33.62 -1.391 41.59% 0.223 0.4199
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 330 52.42% 42.21 -0.517 61.21% -0.144 -1.017
Dances Up Earthquakes 118 54.24% 40.32 1.254 58.47% 0.272 0.1336
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 430 60.47% 33.56 1.132 45.58% 0.183 -0.0392
Downpour Drenches the World 832 41.03% 39.81 -0.632 54.81% 0.124 0.4299
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1054 46.02% 45.34 2.553 68.41% 0.605 0.0507
Eyes Watch From the Trees 602 42.86% 43.2 -0.949 65.12% -0.026 -0.4532
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 512 59.38% 39.88 1.403 59.18% 0.076 -0.337
Finder of Paths Unseen 1066 57.41% 36.49 0.798 53.19% 0.316 0.9714
Fractured Days Split the Sky 275 35.64% 37.27 1.436 49.45% -0.107 0.4381
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 475 52.63% 40.84 -0.224 56.42% 0.015 -0.0695
Heart of the Wildfire 308 68.73% 29.02 -5.342 39.61% -0.582 -0.2669
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1462 43.57% 43.3 -2.157 63.68% -0.341 -0.7849
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 383 36.81% 53.76 4.604 73.11% 0.534 0.2409
Lightning's Swift Strike 121 63.64% 38.32 3.596 52.07% 0.351 0.6132
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 829 52.36% 51.82 3.241 71.17% 0.235 -0.0922
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 145 57.93% 45.34 1.248 65.52% -0.078 -0.4535
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 184 39.13% 46.29 -4.099 60.33% -0.305 -0.2054
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 613 69.17% 34.79 -1.371 40.62% -0.48 -0.6786
Many Minds Move as One 425 42.35% 46.45 4.631 69.88% 0.687 0.4722
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2316 55.32% 42.24 -1.216 58.81% -0.321 -0.1732
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 352 61.93% 32.99 -1.827 43.18% -0.279 -0.2348
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 483 48.44% 37.86 1.393 55.28% 0.114 0.0113
River Surges in Sunlight 177 62.15% 44.66 4.329 61.58% 0.354 0.3512
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 136 63.24% 38.54 -5.117 54.41% -0.704 -0.4157
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 129 64.34% 31.73 -1.781 29.46% -0.178 0.025
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 559 54.92% 50.37 1.496 62.79% 0.103 -0.1105
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 966 35.51% 45.49 2.831 68.12% 0.183 0.0253
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 124 17.74% 46.23 4.361 73.39% 0.804 0.4211
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 21 57.14% 22.71 -8.953 28.57% -0.921 -0.345
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 50 70.0% 40.22 -6.624 62.0% -0.819 -0.8783
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 176 67.24% 39.18 -6.511 57.39% -0.726 -1.1543
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 74 51.35% 48.81 13.712 63.51% 0.834 0.8395
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 65 61.54% 37.09 -8.237 50.77% -0.839 -0.8979
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 24 70.83% 31.38 -6.206 33.33% -0.709 -0.5028
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1359 40.54% 38.54 2.764 60.26% 0.609 0.6413
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 255 44.31% 45.2 1.897 61.18% 0.089 -0.0561
Shifting Memory of Ages 327 64.83% 39.41 2.369 55.96% 0.244 0.5689
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 181 52.49% 42.36 1.129 60.77% 0.362 0.41
Shroud of Silent Mist 231 65.37% 32.35 -8.454 39.39% -1.374 -1.0065
Starlight Seeks its Form 1083 42.38% 42.8 2.792 61.4% 0.426 0.3601
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 706 60.2% 35.6 -2.638 53.68% -0.238 -0.7207
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 232 56.03% 35.65 -1.032 46.98% 0.285 0.4446
Thunderspeaker 390 56.92% 38.44 -2.693 54.62% -0.387 -0.3562
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 103 50.49% 43.08 7.623 65.05% 1.143 1.3333
Towering Roots of the Jungle 356 48.88% 33.69 -2.345 46.63% -0.461 -0.3151
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 533 75.05% 30.38 -1.082 39.59% -0.044 -0.0235
Vital Strength of the Earth 62 50.0% 36.06 -1.83 45.16% -0.412 0.1693
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 312 50.32% 39.21 -1.774 53.53% -0.121 0.3627
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 66 50.0% 33.23 1.098 43.94% 0.179 0.7984
Volcano Looming High 710 57.89% 40.68 -4.67 59.44% -0.712 -0.6765
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 540 51.67% 44.74 2.791 64.26% 0.38 0.0625

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 26 42.31% 65.58 5.784 84.62% 0.094 0.1385
Blitz 0 115 20.87% 59.73 0.798 66.96% 0.095 0.3091
Dahan Insurrection 4 234 53.42% 51.73 7.605 40.17% 0.393 0.1049
Despicable Theft 2 35 65.71% 20.66 -9.72 14.29% -0.766 -0.0557
Elemental Invocation 1 66 59.09% 23.18 -6.8 21.21% -1.027 -0.3261
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1895 29.23% 49.51 3.181 63.91% 0.222 -0.3782
Powers Long Forgotten 1 24 58.33% 23.67 -6.991 29.17% -0.682 0.1551
Rituals of Terror 3 12 25.0% 21.08 0.0 8.33%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 5 20.0% 14.4 0.0 20.0%
Second Wave 0 210 50.24% 43.6 -1.359 56.19% -0.52 -0.2702
The Great River 3 33 33.33% 30.36 -7.789 30.3% -0.559 0.5069
Varied Terrains 2 32 53.13% 33.19 -16.052 37.5% -0.322 0.5073
Ward the Shores 2 96 61.46% 26.07 -10.608 13.54% -0.434 0.7494

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11235 52.5% 38.42 -0.81 54.73% 0.046 0.319
1 Thematic 381 54.62% 35.5 -2.113 30.71% -0.538 0.037
2 Archipelago 73 31.51% 26.47 4.952 24.66% 0.448 1.125
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2064 48.93% 40.57 0.841 61.97% 0.274 0.3427
2 Coastline 400 54.5% 41.92 -2.328 62.5% -0.438 -0.6568
2 Fragment 28 60.71% 51.21 4.363 75.0% -0.003 -0.2696
2 Heart 35 71.43% 41.74 9.304 60.0% 0.398 -0.0727
2 Opposite Shores 653 49.92% 43.35 -1.479 59.26% -0.14 -0.1619
2 Thematic 123 67.48% 38.03 0.0 32.52%
2 Top to Top 162 46.3% 48.23 3.433 75.93% 0.596 0.3391
3 Archipelago 5 60.0% 73.6 0.0 80.0%
3 Coastline 13 38.46% 55.69 13.006 76.92% 0.849 -0.1144
3 Other 18 22.22% 26.5 0.838 44.44% 0.469 -0.2944
3 Round (Default) 1010 46.87% 48.43 2.076 68.22% 0.072 -0.0814
3 Thematic 41 41.46% 50.61 -4.431 48.78% -0.238 -0.386
4 Archipelago 9 33.33% 76.78 0.0 88.89%
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 71.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 7 100.0% 36.57 0.0 42.86%
4 Other 14 57.14% 48.36 3.532 71.43% 0.394 -0.2909
4 Thematic 21 19.05% 41.71 -2.892 42.86% -0.563 -0.7408
4 Trapezoid (Default) 292 59.59% 43.67 -5.479 61.64% -1.163 -1.4919
5 Coastline 1 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 28 64.29% 34.07 0.0 50.0%
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 29.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 23 8.7% 55.61 -2.21 73.91% -1.132 -2.1029
6 Other 14 35.71% 23.64 0.0 28.57%
6 Star 8 75.0% 50.0 4.954 75.0% 0.28 0.615
6 Thematic 41 26.83% 38.9 -5.066 48.78% -0.182 -0.2301
6 Two Centers (Default) 63 66.67% 40.95 -0.944 65.08% -0.172 0.0427
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 105.0 10.731 100.0% 0.059 -0.0613

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 541 37.63 -0.594 51.02% -0.204 -0.132
Aid From Lesser Spirits 366 43.13 4.323 59.84% 0.531 0.4599
All Things Weaken 494 36.23 2.845 46.56% 0.198 0.4566
Attenuated Essence 288 36.91 3.856 52.43% 0.749 0.713
Back Against the Wall 391 40.93 3.24 54.22% 0.391 0.445
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 281 35.04 -1.291 48.4% -0.126 0.0195
Burn Brightest Before the End 224 39.21 3.055 49.11% 0.213 0.2287
Disintegrating Ecosystem 484 32.95 0.13 44.42% -0.174 0.0142
Downward Spiral 551 34.2 -3.426 46.1% -0.383 -0.3092
Erosion of Will 546 35.31 -1.166 45.6% -0.324 -0.1695
Intensifying Exploitation 335 33.0 -1.001 44.48% -0.167 -0.0314
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 195 43.95 -0.64 70.26% -0.162 -0.7763
Memory Fades to Dust 541 35.47 0.506 46.95% 0.216 0.4197
Power Corrodes the Spirit 555 35.63 -1.381 47.39% -0.285 -0.1105
Promising Farmlands 498 34.97 -3.636 46.39% -0.63 -0.4315
Shattered Fragments of Power 209 38.83 -0.719 53.11% -0.082 -0.0791
Slow Dissolution of Will 322 35.41 1.238 46.89% 0.165 0.4629
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 120 44.94 5.44 71.67% 0.944 0.2468
The Border of Life and Death 83 41.93 1.517 69.88% 0.223 -0.2752
Thriving Communities 501 33.99 -0.696 43.91% -0.311 -0.1548
Thriving Crops 113 38.01 6.353 61.06% 0.773 0.4608
Unnatural Proliferation 555 38.29 -0.492 49.73% -0.154 -0.0455
Untended Land Crumbles 493 34.86 -2.602 46.04% -0.445 -0.2633

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2938 53.39% 39.19 -0.674 56.57% -0.396 0.5791
B 3272 53.9% 40.73 0.396 57.79% -0.2 0.6894
C 4029 47.21% 41.84 0.172 60.24% -0.312 0.3802
D 2502 50.72% 38.5 -1.963 53.16% -0.642 0.2529
E 3086 49.35% 42.75 3.258 62.44% 0.278 1.0077
F 2551 52.0% 41.67 -0.695 60.53% -0.453 0.3786
G 1936 54.03% 40.26 1.46 58.06% -0.191 0.588
H 2956 51.37% 42.41 1.107 62.21% -0.17 0.6124
East 390 50.26% 39.73 -0.892 35.9% -0.258 0.551
Northeast 219 47.49% 37.0 -6.232 33.79% -1.33 -0.5316
Northwest 178 55.11% 37.53 -1.216 38.2% -0.578 0.156
Southeast 155 42.58% 43.3 -4.166 44.52% -0.474 0.4192
Southwest 150 38.67% 33.49 -8.254 34.67% -1.254 0.0041
West 363 53.19% 35.09 -1.542 33.88% -0.703 0.2944

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 8 0.0% 47.13 7.819 62.5% 0.127 0.7946
Not Using Events or Tokens 57 49.12% 22.42 0.601 31.58% 0.191 0.612
Skip Initial Invader Actions 500 14.37% 73.46 10.362 86.0% 0.984 0.2152
Start of Game Growth 725 25.03% 61.66 5.603 74.76% 0.378 -0.0595
Unlimited Undo 1932 49.12% 37.81 -1.09 52.69% -0.14 -0.2053
Using Tokens but Not Events 652 45.34% 37.43 -0.71 50.92% -0.183 -0.2259

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4863 13.76 8.25%
II 6019 30.19 59.35%
III 4317 34.82 90.73%
IV 1609 38.63 99.63%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.69 Win Model: 0.452
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11802 52.62% 38.32 53.98%
2 3404 49.91% 41.75 61.13%
3 1081 46.1% 48.22 67.35%
4 341 57.48% 44.39 61.29%
5 30 63.33% 31.8 46.67%
6 150 44.67% 42.33 60.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 400
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3856
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3466
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1582
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3303
Lose: Invader deck ran out 181
Lose: Adversary condition 1114
Win: Sacrifice victory 82
Lose: Scenario condition 215
Win: Scenario condition 107
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2397
Lose: Spirit destroyed 105

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2955 39.89% 43.67 1.228 50.63% 0.827 0.7334
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 675 33.33% 47.82 6.776 57.19% 1.411 0.9027
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 711 71.17% 36.99 -1.957 35.86% -0.193 0.0045
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 2113 54.76% 44.33 4.225 54.85% 1.164 0.2909
Dances Up Earthquakes 528 61.17% 45.1 3.612 52.46% 0.747 0.6082
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 988 65.59% 35.29 -2.063 37.15% -0.492 -0.7146
Downpour Drenches the World 3192 48.62% 39.82 -1.599 41.79% -0.114 0.1914
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 4033 56.6% 38.6 0.789 48.55% 0.687 0.1324
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1843 53.5% 40.33 1.8 46.34% 0.489 0.0615
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1124 68.89% 37.4 -2.329 41.55% 0.09 -0.3236
Finder of Paths Unseen 2056 53.75% 37.56 -2.124 41.05% -0.213 0.4418
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2035 36.02% 43.07 -0.067 42.16% 0.07 0.6154
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1440 67.85% 37.03 0.072 37.29% -0.058 -0.1419
Heart of the Wildfire 1336 76.78% 23.62 -8.926 18.79% -1.206 -0.8906
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9192 47.08% 50.61 7.774 64.1% 1.531 1.0873
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 845 55.99% 35.48 0.178 38.34% 0.195 -0.0987
Lightning's Swift Strike 628 63.18% 30.76 -9.615 30.89% -1.098 -0.8362
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 2986 66.83% 45.21 1.017 52.21% 0.361 0.0337
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1193 65.58% 46.32 2.3 55.99% 0.89 0.5139
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1131 50.22% 44.78 2.539 49.25% 0.824 0.9235
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2458 67.29% 32.53 -4.397 30.68% -0.289 -0.4876
Many Minds Move as One 1366 46.93% 46.54 0.322 54.39% 0.332 0.1175
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4840 50.26% 36.69 -0.739 40.08% -0.029 0.119
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 916 64.66% 28.23 -4.584 29.04% -0.473 -0.4283
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1622 60.25% 36.43 -1.365 39.15% 0.156 0.0532
River Surges in Sunlight 1124 51.92% 37.2 -0.859 40.57% -0.139 -0.1411
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 424 62.03% 36.23 -5.516 32.78% -1.211 -0.9225
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 495 53.96% 24.17 -6.544 21.41% -0.63 -0.4271
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 2316 61.19% 40.05 -0.479 39.12% 0.095 -0.1192
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3787 38.32% 50.66 6.981 54.82% 1.308 1.1498
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 200 46.0% 42.22 2.747 52.5% 0.827 0.4443
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 139 69.06% 18.47 -0.443 10.07% -0.063 0.5134
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 132 81.82% 32.21 -20.143 25.0% -0.377 -0.4365
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 684 75.44% 32.31 -4.876 34.06% -0.804 -1.2327
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 287 77.7% 31.11 -7.675 27.53% -0.601 -0.5953
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 172 76.74% 27.31 -10.374 20.93% -0.674 -0.7328
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 490 63.67% 44.33 -7.907 42.24% -0.419 -0.2126
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1401 59.1% 40.92 -1.416 45.54% 0.033 0.0651
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 928 53.66% 31.45 -6.585 36.53% -0.315 -0.4605
Shifting Memory of Ages 1684 55.56% 39.57 -1.951 37.95% -0.511 -0.186
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 694 46.46% 37.77 -0.468 43.37% 0.284 0.3324
Shroud of Silent Mist 922 75.05% 32.02 -2.378 30.37% -0.057 0.3107
Starlight Seeks its Form 6159 50.04% 44.97 -0.975 53.48% 0.145 0.0787
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 7061 53.43% 45.71 6.096 59.52% 1.269 0.7856
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 861 69.0% 30.46 -5.197 28.92% -0.372 -0.2127
Thunderspeaker 1367 53.15% 30.62 -9.348 29.92% -1.053 -1.0228
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 354 64.69% 32.53 -4.627 37.29% -0.452 -0.2618
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1291 50.35% 30.39 -2.869 34.39% -0.0 0.1454
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2833 74.61% 37.83 -0.6 42.29% -0.023 -0.0028
Vital Strength of the Earth 303 60.26% 24.21 -7.865 19.14% -0.76 -0.1795
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1285 57.4% 34.46 -3.784 35.25% -0.582 -0.0987
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 160 62.26% 25.89 -7.502 20.63% -1.009 -0.3895
Volcano Looming High 4326 59.51% 37.08 0.993 39.76% 0.502 0.538
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1591 61.91% 39.48 -0.589 44.31% 0.268 -0.0492

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 37 56.76% 52.81 10.088 62.16% 0.149 0.1935
Blitz 0 745 17.05% 57.79 6.244 53.69% -0.497 -0.2826
Dahan Insurrection 4 671 59.55% 41.33 -2.581 14.16% -0.762 -1.0496
Despicable Theft 2 26 57.69% 40.65 18.846 42.31% 0.394 1.1044
Elemental Invocation 1 146 67.81% 30.01 3.198 6.85% -0.339 0.3619
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2832 37.15% 44.22 -0.293 40.25% -0.225 -0.8255
Powers Long Forgotten 1 30 33.33% 15.23 -18.216 16.67% -0.653 0.1839
Rituals of Terror 3 202 46.04% 77.57 13.024 47.52% 1.481 1.5419
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 27 48.15% 31.11 0.0 14.81%
Second Wave 0 393 61.07% 47.27 8.006 52.93% 0.803 1.0532
The Great River 3 39 28.21% 29.74 0.0 25.64%
Varied Terrains 2 103 57.28% 28.14 -19.218 19.42% -0.23 0.5996
Ward the Shores 2 150 44.67% 17.92 -6.434 12.0% -0.201 0.9823

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 51197 58.35% 40.83 -0.386 47.53% -0.667 -0.3934
1 Thematic 928 45.02% 38.39 0.883 30.17% -0.66 -0.0853
2 Archipelago 98 48.98% 32.52 -15.894 12.24% -0.409 0.2686
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6385 58.68% 37.13 -1.069 43.27% -0.872 -0.8039
2 Coastline 1326 55.89% 39.27 4.515 45.32% -0.134 -0.3533
2 Fragment 118 60.17% 47.86 7.795 59.32% 0.474 0.2072
2 Heart 229 75.98% 44.9 13.843 41.05% 1.25 0.7795
2 Opposite Shores 1387 60.42% 39.63 -1.962 39.94% -1.115 -1.1372
2 Thematic 215 56.74% 47.01 -6.18 29.3% -0.777 -0.4034
2 Top to Top 400 62.0% 40.72 0.793 47.25% -0.604 -0.8611
3 Archipelago 70 58.57% 57.11 12.072 31.43% 0.237 -0.6861
3 Coastline 23 56.52% 39.35 16.043 52.17% 0.615 -0.3484
3 Other 38 47.37% 46.71 10.294 55.26% 1.083 0.3189
3 Round (Default) 3142 55.25% 41.33 -1.287 49.2% -0.929 -1.0819
3 Sunrise 2 50.0% 45.5 15.36 50.0% 0.515 0.4367
3 Thematic 109 28.44% 70.04 -0.165 43.12% -0.301 -0.448
4 Archipelago 22 54.55% 61.14 19.071 59.09% 0.54 0.0124
4 Coastline 11 45.45% 64.73 13.361 81.82% 0.066 0.0099
4 Leaf 24 62.5% 35.33 16.773 20.83% 0.681 0.5905
4 Other 12 41.67% 47.42 18.952 58.33% 1.71 1.0256
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 133 39.1% 45.15 -18.845 23.31% -1.121 -1.2982
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1569 48.25% 34.33 -2.013 36.33% -0.749 -1.0781
5 Archipelago 12 66.67% 52.0 0.0 25.0%
5 Coastline 21 0.0% 54.05 -5.39 76.19% -0.469 -0.9991
5 Other 67 53.03% 48.21 0.779 40.3% -0.141 -0.8908
5 Thematic 15 57.14% 47.27 17.557 26.67% -0.01 -0.396
6 Archipelago 47 29.79% 54.94 -3.126 59.57% -0.695 -1.6652
6 Coastline 47 0.0% 57.21 13.04 80.85% 0.09 -0.4898
6 Other 197 38.58% 37.92 -5.726 39.09% -0.63 -1.0464
6 Star 33 42.42% 52.15 1.892 66.67% -0.526 -0.1905
6 Thematic 133 45.45% 31.97 2.617 23.31% 0.289 0.2405
6 Two Centers (Default) 523 21.03% 56.56 3.429 60.42% -1.367 -1.1523
7 Archipelago 8 12.5% 86.0 0.0 75.0%
7 Other 6 16.67% 10.17 17.12 0.0% 0.42 -0.661

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2340 39.67 0.44 40.94% -0.134 -0.0623
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1785 45.6 3.4 49.13% 0.194 0.1234
All Things Weaken 2482 41.0 1.121 44.12% 0.102 0.3609
Attenuated Essence 1364 37.95 0.91 42.38% 0.149 0.1132
Back Against the Wall 1806 43.33 -0.467 45.51% -0.214 -0.1599
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1411 35.51 -1.459 37.35% -0.374 -0.2289
Burn Brightest Before the End 933 40.68 1.436 41.59% -0.175 -0.1588
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2275 37.86 -0.275 41.36% -0.134 0.0546
Downward Spiral 2506 39.22 1.911 43.42% 0.351 0.4252
Erosion of Will 2324 38.93 -0.807 39.5% -0.41 -0.2557
Intensifying Exploitation 1377 33.23 -2.002 34.86% -0.316 -0.1803
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 708 45.73 3.519 56.64% 0.418 -0.1963
Memory Fades to Dust 2444 37.3 -1.398 39.36% -0.355 -0.1518
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2397 38.32 -0.394 40.18% -0.139 0.0356
Promising Farmlands 2314 38.17 -1.458 40.15% -0.259 -0.0613
Shattered Fragments of Power 939 40.16 3.072 41.53% 0.164 0.1663
Slow Dissolution of Will 1401 34.32 -0.36 34.98% -0.31 -0.0118
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 486 51.52 0.792 71.19% 0.261 -0.4358
The Border of Life and Death 289 42.07 -1.97 56.4% -0.085 -0.5826
Thriving Communities 2354 37.1 1.029 38.06% -0.033 0.1237
Thriving Crops 546 44.57 -0.304 58.06% 0.118 -0.1943
Unnatural Proliferation 2458 42.7 2.769 44.43% 0.174 0.2831
Untended Land Crumbles 2387 38.0 -0.475 39.97% -0.163 0.0193

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11926 56.87% 39.05 -1.385 44.0% -0.664 0.3114
B 12263 57.57% 38.75 -0.935 43.24% -0.558 0.331
C 15992 54.73% 43.36 2.686 51.88% -0.109 0.5829
D 10538 54.12% 37.84 -0.966 40.15% -0.667 0.2282
E 13599 56.24% 40.71 0.549 47.34% -0.282 0.4472
F 10075 55.6% 41.23 0.493 48.14% -0.412 0.4194
G 9225 53.71% 40.11 -0.029 44.41% -0.328 0.4516
H 9072 55.02% 41.28 -0.601 48.13% -0.565 0.2181
East 1045 43.91% 43.85 -2.938 28.04% -1.305 -0.4955
Northeast 624 42.12% 44.24 -1.397 26.76% -0.7 0.0977
Northwest 519 48.34% 38.8 -1.713 27.55% -1.258 -0.5241
Southeast 334 43.07% 37.0 -4.567 28.14% -0.802 0.0918
Southwest 312 43.73% 33.47 -5.49 28.21% -1.235 0.0233
West 973 46.95% 43.49 1.879 31.86% -0.613 0.3843

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 48 0.0% 40.04 -1.665 43.75% -0.304 0.3635
Not Using Events or Tokens 194 55.96% 27.37 -0.469 17.53% 0.289 0.7098
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2445 16.07% 65.4 8.87 69.37% 1.073 0.3035
Start of Game Growth 3651 20.88% 61.31 7.395 66.53% 0.913 0.4751
Unlimited Undo 8909 42.66% 48.27 3.459 57.76% 0.298 0.2327
Using Tokens but Not Events 2260 50.97% 32.48 -3.021 29.96% -0.446 -0.4888

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 24855 13.76 3.37%
II 15442 30.19 33.62%
III 16191 34.82 84.94%
IV 12155 38.63 99.79%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.45 Win Model: 0.284
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 52570 58.13% 40.87 47.28%
2 9945 58.74% 38.5 42.62%
3 3320 54.61% 41.88 48.89%
4 1733 48.21% 35.38 35.95%
5 126 45.6% 45.15 38.89%
6 949 26.05% 50.15 54.79%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 823
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13594
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5040
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 11963
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 15435
Lose: Invader deck ran out 717
Lose: Adversary condition 5846
Win: Sacrifice victory 377
Lose: Scenario condition 866
Win: Scenario condition 113
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12840
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1029

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-07-13 03:02:19 (Pacific Time)