The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 125 20.8% 29.23 -0.179 92.0% -0.308 -0.3836
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 95 33.68% 30.59 0.306 92.63% 0.876 0.9551
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 105 20.95% 29.98 -0.32 92.38% -0.077 -0.3017
Downpour Drenches the World 300 19.33% 26.15 -1.524 92.33% -0.101 0.1642
Eyes Watch From the Trees 150 13.42% 31.92 -0.252 92.0% -0.465 -0.9681
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 121 20.83% 31.22 0.319 94.21% -0.065 -0.6519
Finder of Paths Unseen 143 44.76% 22.76 -2.997 78.32% -0.851 -0.4956
Fractured Days Split the Sky 52 19.23% 33.0 -2.307 94.23% -0.625 -0.5431
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 108 31.48% 29.8 -1.143 87.96% -0.121 -0.2154
Heart of the Wildfire 84 57.14% 27.65 0.247 88.1% 0.562 0.9673
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 193 18.65% 31.75 1.476 95.34% 0.956 0.3523
Lightning's Swift Strike 48 20.83% 31.42 0.961 95.83% 0.277 0.642
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 93 29.03% 29.17 0.952 96.77% 1.101 0.3515
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 28 21.43% 33.89 0.174 96.43% -0.065 -0.6288
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 23 34.78% 35.52 3.778 91.3% 0.377 -0.117
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 156 28.21% 31.31 0.051 89.1% -0.386 -0.5378
Many Minds Move as One 69 24.64% 32.43 0.142 85.51% -0.294 -0.8799
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 217 43.78% 29.71 0.184 88.02% 0.048 -0.1214
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 125 33.6% 29.45 -0.036 84.0% -0.141 -0.1976
River Surges in Sunlight 60 27.12% 29.17 -0.461 83.33% 0.101 0.0267
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 52 40.38% 30.54 -1.179 84.62% -0.686 -0.2593
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 109 32.11% 33.58 -0.64 91.74% -0.174 -0.515
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 87 29.89% 29.47 0.222 93.1% 0.816 0.6225
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 15 53.33% 27.8 3.219 73.33% 0.372 0.8466
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 37 35.14% 29.22 0.775 86.49% 0.214 0.3938
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 28 39.29% 29.07 -1.234 85.71% 0.053 0.1088
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 22 40.91% 30.05 -0.127 90.91% -0.182 -0.2047
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 8 50.0% 29.63 -1.459 62.5% -0.842 -0.7265
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 119 25.21% 31.73 0.603 91.6% 0.08 -0.1109
Shifting Memory of Ages 69 42.03% 27.58 0.537 91.3% 0.935 1.1502
Shroud of Silent Mist 74 43.24% 26.26 0.601 81.08% 0.337 0.4708
Starlight Seeks its Form 325 11.38% 34.17 1.977 95.38% 1.37 1.2551
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 114 18.42% 29.66 -0.942 87.72% -0.256 -0.4945
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 91 31.87% 28.18 -1.354 84.62% -0.421 -0.2905
Thunderspeaker 146 25.34% 30.3 -0.289 91.1% -0.046 -0.0628
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 66 53.03% 27.8 -1.112 81.82% -0.498 -0.7141
Vital Strength of the Earth 32 28.13% 24.78 -1.013 78.13% -0.401 0.4976
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 91 32.97% 25.65 -0.17 81.32% 0.196 0.6189
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 13 38.46% 26.77 -2.447 84.62% -0.396 0.7188
Volcano Looming High 116 28.45% 27.37 -2.015 87.07% -0.652 -0.6731

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 14 21.43% 26.5 0.0 92.86%
Blitz 0 15 20.0% 40.67 6.938 80.0% -0.069 0.3737
Dahan Insurrection 4 40 10.0% 51.8 9.449 95.0% -0.021 0.0761
Despicable Theft 2 6 50.0% 33.17 2.248 66.67% 0.038 0.5364
Elemental Invocation 1 30 16.67% 33.07 1.574 90.0% 0.538 1.0834
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 68 10.29% 33.15 1.378 85.29% -0.236 -0.004
Powers Long Forgotten 1 13 53.85% 27.0 1.901 53.85% -0.225 0.1828
Rituals of Terror 3 10 50.0% 45.0 5.102 80.0% -0.343 -0.5786
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 9 66.67% 41.0 9.17 88.89% 0.346 0.5718
Second Wave 0 74 37.84% 36.32 2.908 77.03% -0.402 0.2906
The Great River 3 12 58.33% 34.92 5.721 75.0% 0.171 1.7523
Varied Terrains 2 38 65.79% 31.05 1.852 65.79% -0.61 0.177
Ward the Shores 2 25 40.0% 34.68 2.319 84.0% -0.345 0.5357

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1580 29.11% 29.26 -0.016 88.86% 0.257 0.9197
1 Thematic 74 50.0% 33.91 1.536 78.38% 0.242 1.2989
2 Archipelago 2 50.0% 45.0 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 319 31.35% 27.6 -0.761 88.09% 0.033 0.5515
2 Coastline 39 28.21% 27.85 -1.512 89.74% 0.247 0.4476
2 Fragment 10 20.0% 29.9 -0.186 100.0% 0.066 0.3644
2 Heart 8 25.0% 31.13 0.338 100.0% 0.21 0.6703
2 Opposite Shores 64 37.5% 28.59 0.547 90.63% 0.038 0.5773
2 Thematic 37 29.73% 39.46 0.074 86.49% -0.35 0.432
2 Top to Top 7 0.0% 32.43 -0.394 100.0% 0.155 0.283
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 9.0 -7.595 0.0% -0.354 -0.5724
3 Coastline 3 0.0% 38.67 2.929 100.0% 0.053 -0.454
3 Other 5 60.0% 29.8 -3.046 80.0% -0.649 -1.3133
3 Round (Default) 228 27.19% 29.96 0.141 91.23% 0.089 0.3931
3 Thematic 6 16.67% 31.0 0.0 66.67%
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 51.0 8.796 100.0% 0.049 0.0117
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 2 50.0% 26.5 -0.844 100.0% 0.082 -0.6319
4 Thematic 21 0.0% 38.95 1.048 100.0% 0.06 0.1638
4 Trapezoid (Default) 57 17.54% 27.81 -1.004 91.23% -0.113 -0.0355
5 Other 8 50.0% 32.25 2.611 100.0% 0.014 -0.5025
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 35.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 1 0.0% 33.0 1.623 100.0% 0.003 0.0478
6 Star 2 50.0% 28.5 -2.362 100.0% 0.001 0.7711
6 Thematic 14 28.57% 39.43 2.264 85.71% 0.032 0.2725
6 Two Centers (Default) 17 17.65% 29.0 2.739 88.24% -0.135 0.0565

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 53 24.23 -2.094 71.7% -0.673 1.2975
Aid From Lesser Spirits 56 25.98 0.182 71.43% -0.797 0.9808
All Things Weaken 48 24.06 -4.755 66.67% -2.022 0.0272
Back Against the Wall 53 24.49 -2.523 64.15% -1.643 0.2961
Disintegrating Ecosystem 40 19.25 -5.529 62.5% -1.699 0.4291
Downward Spiral 64 25.33 -3.031 82.81% -1.594 0.3668
Erosion of Will 38 24.82 -3.069 71.05% -1.098 0.9834
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 28 28.86 0.778 92.86% 0.513 1.015
Memory Fades to Dust 74 22.73 -3.883 70.27% -1.294 0.8468
Power Corrodes the Spirit 49 23.86 -3.511 77.55% -0.605 1.376
Promising Farmlands 42 21.67 -4.153 69.05% -1.235 0.7863
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 20 25.75 0.947 90.0% 0.308 0.8047
Thriving Communities 70 23.07 -3.657 67.14% -1.617 0.4422
Unnatural Proliferation 54 27.46 -2.147 68.52% -1.509 0.4483
Untended Land Crumbles 48 23.46 -3.596 68.75% -1.283 0.7503

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 499 31.26% 29.08 -0.256 89.78% -0.221 0.5154
B 522 25.91% 28.99 -0.315 89.08% -0.675 0.0226
C 503 30.62% 29.89 0.769 91.85% 0.248 0.7179
D 433 27.02% 29.61 -0.048 90.3% 0.061 0.7708
E 452 28.16% 29.4 0.124 89.82% -0.366 0.1785
F 452 31.04% 28.05 0.013 86.95% -0.297 0.3643
G 365 25.75% 28.92 -0.259 90.68% -0.163 0.4684
H 389 27.25% 28.75 -0.156 88.95% -0.062 0.6025
East 110 30.91% 38.56 3.45 85.45% 0.502 1.1633
Northeast 61 24.59% 38.67 2.243 86.89% 0.57 1.2299
Northwest 50 26.0% 37.14 -0.19 86.0% -0.632 -0.0217
Southeast 43 27.91% 38.23 0.369 86.05% -0.012 0.5196
Southwest 37 29.73% 34.81 -1.055 86.49% -0.205 0.7639
West 102 31.37% 35.19 0.699 84.31% -0.252 0.5532

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3 0.0% 34.33 0.0 100.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 69 24.64% 27.28 -0.07 94.2% 0.887 1.1137
Skip Initial Invader Actions 78 19.23% 37.49 2.271 84.62% -0.731 -1.7108
Start of Game Growth 113 21.24% 35.36 1.419 85.84% 0.007 -0.45
Unlimited Undo 199 28.14% 31.13 -0.02 90.45% -0.096 -0.6478
Using Tokens but Not Events 211 25.96% 28.82 -0.611 86.26% 0.285 0.4401

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 150 22.65 32.67%
II 734 31.08 83.24%
III 1082 34.66 95.1%
IV 544 37.91 99.63%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.018 Win Model: 0.62
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 1681 30.33% 29.54 87.92%
2 465 30.54% 28.76 90.54%
3 238 26.47% 29.74 90.34%
4 82 13.41% 31.06 93.9%
5 8 50.0% 32.25 100.0%
6 36 22.22% 33.47 88.89%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 49
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1002
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 571
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 539
Lose: Invader deck ran out 14
Lose: Adversary condition 81
Win: Sacrifice victory 11
Lose: Scenario condition 13
Win: Scenario condition 59
Lose: Blight pool ran out 153
Lose: Spirit destroyed 18

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 107 26.17% 34.82 -0.041 81.31% 0.045 -0.0302
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 63 50.0% 32.75 0.199 80.95% 0.306 0.3848
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 66 42.42% 34.02 -1.914 81.82% -0.369 -0.5931
Downpour Drenches the World 277 27.08% 30.1 -1.927 73.65% -0.633 -0.3678
Eyes Watch From the Trees 117 28.21% 35.91 1.55 86.32% 0.492 -0.0112
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 88 30.68% 34.17 -0.272 78.41% 0.009 -0.578
Finder of Paths Unseen 130 41.54% 29.34 -1.123 73.85% -0.436 -0.08
Fractured Days Split the Sky 40 32.5% 36.52 1.435 72.5% -0.54 -0.4583
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 147 44.22% 34.41 1.063 75.51% 0.531 0.4366
Heart of the Wildfire 65 60.0% 32.34 -0.17 75.38% -0.12 0.2853
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 158 27.85% 35.17 -0.206 82.28% -0.18 -0.7837
Lightning's Swift Strike 34 38.24% 37.62 3.821 88.24% 0.828 1.1932
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 79 37.97% 35.92 -0.007 86.08% 0.215 -0.5342
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 29 46.43% 34.03 -0.514 75.86% -0.389 -0.9529
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 29 27.59% 36.66 1.044 86.21% 0.332 -0.1623
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 110 37.27% 34.96 -0.506 79.09% -0.315 -0.4663
Many Minds Move as One 69 34.78% 35.81 1.586 76.81% 0.401 -0.1853
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 236 40.85% 33.39 -0.222 76.69% 0.139 -0.0305
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 89 34.83% 33.1 -0.156 77.53% -0.013 -0.0689
River Surges in Sunlight 59 39.66% 34.32 2.953 76.27% 0.71 0.6357
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 35 25.71% 37.26 -0.0 80.0% -0.182 0.2439
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 115 32.46% 38.38 2.665 86.09% -0.114 -0.4556
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 63 39.68% 33.48 0.061 74.6% -0.223 -0.4169
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 11 81.82% 29.45 0.57 81.82% 0.807 1.2816
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 36 44.44% 32.28 0.998 72.22% 0.155 0.3345
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 36 38.89% 32.28 2.518 72.22% 0.275 0.33
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 14 50.0% 28.07 -2.092 57.14% -0.07 -0.0931
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 14 21.43% 32.0 -0.18 71.43% -0.356 -0.2406
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 107 35.85% 36.21 1.794 85.98% 0.721 0.5297
Shifting Memory of Ages 74 35.14% 31.81 0.896 72.97% 0.154 0.3686
Shroud of Silent Mist 46 43.48% 31.96 2.225 76.09% 0.455 0.5889
Starlight Seeks its Form 92 34.78% 33.63 0.061 77.17% -0.006 -0.1205
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 93 30.43% 33.74 -0.905 78.49% -0.129 -0.3679
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 48 40.43% 31.96 -0.485 72.92% -0.201 -0.0704
Thunderspeaker 70 37.68% 33.94 0.759 78.57% 0.26 0.2426
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 56 57.14% 29.34 -3.527 71.43% -0.68 -0.8956
Vital Strength of the Earth 27 14.81% 29.52 -2.562 70.37% -0.546 0.3523
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 79 37.18% 27.96 -1.113 64.56% -0.378 0.045
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 13 38.46% 25.92 -8.784 53.85% -1.297 -0.1825
Volcano Looming High 80 35.0% 33.16 -0.357 85.0% 0.403 0.382

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 33.33% 31.56 -2.601 77.78% -0.021 0.4747
Blitz 0 18 50.0% 30.94 0.3 66.67% -0.257 0.1857
Dahan Insurrection 4 26 26.92% 53.23 6.96 76.92% -0.43 -0.3332
Despicable Theft 2 15 60.0% 39.27 0.0 53.33%
Elemental Invocation 1 13 46.15% 36.54 0.181 76.92% 0.27 0.816
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 51 7.84% 35.84 1.45 72.55% -0.193 0.0384
Powers Long Forgotten 1 6 33.33% 37.33 6.205 66.67% 0.344 0.7519
Rituals of Terror 3 2 0.0% 57.5 10.926 100.0% 0.297 0.0614
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 2 50.0% 56.5 11.215 100.0% 0.58 0.8058
Second Wave 0 164 36.59% 36.56 2.897 76.83% 0.203 0.8956
The Great River 3 2 50.0% 33.5 -9.368 50.0% -0.71 0.8713
Varied Terrains 2 15 60.0% 35.6 -0.27 66.67% -0.854 -0.068
Ward the Shores 2 17 64.71% 29.82 -3.305 41.18% -1.421 -0.5405

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1277 37.5% 33.21 0.148 78.31% -0.291 0.3718
1 Thematic 77 42.86% 35.43 0.15 64.94% -0.257 0.7999
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 272 39.71% 31.87 -1.438 74.26% -0.747 -0.2291
2 Coastline 44 25.58% 32.77 0.159 84.09% 0.016 0.2168
2 Fragment 5 20.0% 34.8 2.479 100.0% 0.184 0.4819
2 Heart 8 62.5% 26.75 1.482 62.5% 0.141 0.6016
2 Opposite Shores 60 28.33% 33.02 -0.392 80.0% 0.114 0.6525
2 Thematic 31 48.39% 36.32 1.999 64.52% 0.363 1.1456
2 Top to Top 8 50.0% 31.0 6.742 62.5% 0.471 0.5987
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 45.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 4 75.0% 33.25 -3.156 100.0% 0.089 -0.4182
3 Other 4 50.0% 25.0 2.341 50.0% 0.147 -0.5168
3 Round (Default) 175 36.78% 33.93 0.522 79.43% -0.313 -0.0083
3 Thematic 4 75.0% 29.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 42.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 6 16.67% 39.5 4.25 50.0% -0.332 -0.2285
4 Trapezoid (Default) 37 24.32% 33.89 0.672 89.19% 0.606 0.6841
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 34.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 12 41.67% 34.92 1.979 75.0% 0.052 -0.4641
6 Other 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 10 0.0% 46.0 -1.984 100.0% 0.047 0.2882
6 Two Centers (Default) 5 40.0% 26.4 -5.002 60.0% -0.683 -0.4914

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 54 31.54 -0.135 74.07% -0.704 1.2667
Aid From Lesser Spirits 35 29.09 -3.146 57.14% -0.886 0.8915
All Things Weaken 46 30.61 -1.331 71.74% -0.432 1.6172
Back Against the Wall 53 24.94 -4.359 52.83% -1.259 0.6801
Disintegrating Ecosystem 48 27.6 -3.373 64.58% -0.472 1.6563
Downward Spiral 66 25.67 -3.982 62.12% -0.652 1.3088
Erosion of Will 50 25.34 -5.678 56.0% -1.356 0.7255
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 26 32.77 -1.492 84.62% -0.314 0.1876
Memory Fades to Dust 62 27.89 -3.408 64.52% -1.156 0.9853
Power Corrodes the Spirit 55 29.31 -2.303 70.91% -0.354 1.6272
Promising Farmlands 60 26.05 -4.292 60.0% -1.183 0.8383
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 17 34.47 -0.184 100.0% 0.662 1.1581
Thriving Communities 57 27.07 -4.233 63.16% -1.142 0.9174
Unnatural Proliferation 66 28.12 -5.568 57.58% -1.767 0.19
Untended Land Crumbles 68 24.37 -4.158 54.41% -0.938 1.0952

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 367 37.7% 33.47 0.508 78.2% 0.241 0.9777
B 407 36.95% 32.77 0.391 76.17% 0.007 0.7037
C 420 34.21% 33.98 0.406 82.62% 0.203 0.6731
D 379 34.66% 31.98 -0.709 75.2% -0.299 0.4101
E 355 36.34% 33.97 0.244 82.25% 0.31 0.8541
F 334 38.14% 32.64 -0.736 76.95% -0.34 0.3216
G 321 42.77% 32.16 -1.148 75.7% -0.279 0.3517
H 308 36.48% 33.43 -0.065 78.9% -0.211 0.4534
East 86 37.21% 37.43 0.182 66.28% -0.614 0.0478
Northeast 48 41.67% 35.83 0.443 62.5% -0.359 0.3007
Northwest 34 26.47% 39.29 3.718 79.41% 0.643 1.2537
Southeast 31 19.35% 41.06 3.838 80.65% 0.398 0.9295
Southwest 31 29.03% 36.16 -1.224 70.97% -0.391 0.5773
West 77 36.36% 36.0 1.544 67.53% -0.253 0.5524

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 7 0.0% 40.14 2.471 100.0% 0.483 2.7117
Not Using Events or Tokens 17 23.53% 29.06 -3.74 64.71% -0.741 -0.5139
Skip Initial Invader Actions 66 4.62% 42.76 2.676 92.42% 0.972 -0.008
Start of Game Growth 95 12.77% 40.91 1.371 84.21% -0.074 -0.5311
Unlimited Undo 165 33.95% 37.27 1.766 84.24% 0.207 -0.3449
Using Tokens but Not Events 179 24.42% 35.77 0.708 82.68% 0.046 0.2011

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 204 22.65 8.33%
II 460 31.08 58.48%
III 823 34.66 89.91%
IV 559 37.91 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.066 Win Model: 0.06
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 1366 38.21% 33.35 77.38%
2 424 36.64% 32.48 75.71%
3 182 38.12% 33.46 78.57%
4 45 24.44% 35.02 84.44%
5 13 46.15% 34.85 76.92%
6 16 12.5% 39.25 87.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 17
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 718
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 260
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 552
Lose: Invader deck ran out 8
Lose: Adversary condition 249
Win: Sacrifice victory 9
Lose: Scenario condition 16
Win: Scenario condition 27
Lose: Blight pool ran out 186
Lose: Spirit destroyed 4

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 132 37.4% 36.67 -0.71 78.79% -0.299 -0.3742
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 61 52.46% 36.41 0.448 75.41% 0.083 0.1619
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 99 45.45% 37.54 1.574 82.83% 0.656 0.4314
Downpour Drenches the World 309 33.01% 33.24 -1.918 69.26% -0.568 -0.3036
Eyes Watch From the Trees 166 35.54% 36.17 -0.846 71.69% -0.475 -0.9783
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 86 36.05% 40.34 2.079 87.21% 0.756 0.1697
Finder of Paths Unseen 160 55.63% 33.99 -0.744 77.5% -0.046 0.3097
Fractured Days Split the Sky 51 43.14% 39.29 1.48 78.43% 0.144 0.2254
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 101 54.0% 31.1 -2.761 55.45% -0.755 -0.8501
Heart of the Wildfire 94 74.47% 32.26 -1.06 72.34% 0.248 0.6531
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 192 31.25% 40.24 2.984 86.98% 1.179 0.5754
Lightning's Swift Strike 42 50.0% 37.12 1.939 73.81% 0.632 0.9968
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 112 46.23% 39.44 1.359 89.29% 0.467 -0.2817
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 39 41.03% 41.05 1.059 87.18% 0.555 -0.0092
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 26 34.62% 41.19 2.092 96.15% 0.684 0.1895
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 145 44.14% 34.94 -0.334 75.86% -0.03 -0.1819
Many Minds Move as One 92 22.83% 37.98 -0.21 79.35% -0.182 -0.7679
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 248 39.84% 37.17 0.795 82.66% 0.528 0.3585
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 94 41.49% 34.34 -1.293 69.15% -0.442 -0.4986
River Surges in Sunlight 63 39.68% 40.08 1.315 85.71% 0.331 0.2569
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 41 41.46% 40.71 0.86 82.93% -0.206 0.2206
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 133 42.75% 41.5 3.743 85.71% 0.74 0.3989
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 82 34.15% 33.13 -0.31 67.07% -0.176 -0.3693
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 8 75.0% 27.25 -5.335 50.0% -0.275 0.1995
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 25 52.0% 37.92 -0.667 84.0% 0.039 0.2187
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 38 65.79% 31.71 -0.537 60.53% -0.391 -0.3355
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 10 30.0% 37.0 1.843 80.0% 0.368 0.3455
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 6 100.0% 28.17 -0.795 50.0% 0.221 0.3365
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 85 42.68% 34.48 -0.059 74.12% 0.027 -0.164
Shifting Memory of Ages 76 53.95% 32.76 -0.325 61.84% -0.032 0.1833
Shroud of Silent Mist 65 63.08% 32.69 -1.283 67.69% -0.193 -0.0587
Starlight Seeks its Form 148 37.84% 37.07 0.473 79.73% 0.025 -0.0899
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 115 33.63% 34.76 -0.399 85.22% 0.6 0.3616
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 89 58.43% 31.24 -2.838 57.3% -0.862 -0.7315
Thunderspeaker 76 50.0% 35.63 0.486 73.68% 0.122 0.1046
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 67 76.12% 30.97 -1.745 71.64% 0.129 -0.0862
Vital Strength of the Earth 18 29.41% 29.11 -4.296 44.44% -1.319 -0.4209
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 86 45.78% 33.03 -1.773 69.77% -0.811 -0.3884
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 17 35.29% 31.0 -4.099 64.71% -1.165 -0.0508
Volcano Looming High 126 50.0% 33.25 -2.468 76.19% -0.601 -0.6219

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 20.0% 41.2 2.695 100.0% 0.047 0.5424
Blitz 0 24 29.17% 35.29 -0.202 70.83% 0.21 0.6536
Dahan Insurrection 4 16 31.25% 45.13 8.249 50.0% -0.216 -0.1188
Despicable Theft 2 25 64.0% 26.04 2.162 8.0% -0.237 0.2615
Elemental Invocation 1 11 72.73% 28.18 -1.423 45.45% -0.242 0.3036
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 78 11.54% 39.95 0.936 78.21% -0.456 -0.2245
Powers Long Forgotten 1 3 33.33% 30.33 0.893 33.33% -0.358 0.05
Rituals of Terror 3 4 75.0% 53.0 9.382 100.0% 0.461 0.225
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 2 100.0% 37.5 0.0 50.0%
Second Wave 0 113 34.82% 37.86 1.112 70.8% -0.133 0.5597
The Great River 3 3 33.33% 35.0 -6.014 33.33% -1.113 0.4681
Varied Terrains 2 24 83.33% 34.71 1.987 50.0% 0.286 1.0729
Ward the Shores 2 13 46.15% 36.62 2.046 53.85% -0.307 0.5744

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1473 42.95% 35.17 -0.014 75.02% -0.287 0.3758
1 Thematic 57 40.35% 37.37 0.604 63.16% -0.203 0.854
2 Archipelago 1 100.0% 13.0 -8.195 0.0% -0.391 0.0796
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 370 44.99% 36.1 0.277 77.3% 0.241 0.7588
2 Coastline 59 32.2% 38.05 2.701 86.44% 1.163 1.3637
2 Fragment 10 10.0% 33.7 2.989 60.0% 0.346 0.6443
2 Heart 9 77.78% 17.78 -7.674 11.11% -0.469 -0.0084
2 Opposite Shores 82 48.78% 36.32 -0.485 81.71% -0.458 0.0806
2 Thematic 28 46.43% 35.46 1.985 60.71% 0.331 1.1135
2 Top to Top 19 36.84% 35.05 0.798 78.95% 0.157 0.2849
3 Archipelago 2 0.0% 48.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 4 25.0% 38.25 -1.515 75.0% -0.644 -1.1515
3 Round (Default) 146 41.43% 36.96 -1.039 80.14% -0.285 0.02
3 Thematic 6 33.33% 38.33 -1.5 83.33% -0.163 0.0452
4 Archipelago 3 100.0% 44.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 28.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 40.0 1.869 100.0% 0.087 -0.0149
4 Thematic 11 54.55% 28.82 -3.381 36.36% -0.237 -0.1335
4 Trapezoid (Default) 61 34.43% 36.62 -1.601 85.25% -0.127 -0.0496
5 Coastline 2 100.0% 18.5 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 8 75.0% 35.5 5.081 75.0% 0.523 0.0066
6 Other 3 66.67% 29.0 -2.423 33.33% -0.133 -0.088
6 Star 1 100.0% 37.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 8 62.5% 38.38 -0.656 62.5% -0.13 0.111
6 Two Centers (Default) 5 60.0% 38.0 -1.283 80.0% 0.005 0.1965
7 Other 1 0.0% 52.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 74 29.43 -4.944 59.46% -1.804 0.1672
Aid From Lesser Spirits 60 33.72 -2.972 76.67% -0.502 1.2753
All Things Weaken 97 29.46 -3.446 61.86% -0.608 1.4407
Back Against the Wall 51 32.22 -2.452 60.78% -0.771 1.1681
Disintegrating Ecosystem 62 31.4 -4.774 72.58% -1.22 0.9085
Downward Spiral 82 28.91 -4.951 60.98% -1.438 0.5233
Erosion of Will 63 29.65 -3.724 58.73% -1.295 0.7867
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 37 41.43 0.643 97.3% 0.95 1.4519
Memory Fades to Dust 64 30.25 -2.347 62.5% -0.766 1.3746
Power Corrodes the Spirit 80 30.68 -3.967 67.5% -1.149 0.8313
Promising Farmlands 86 30.56 -3.489 67.44% -0.725 1.297
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 24 32.04 -4.777 70.83% -0.915 -0.418
Thriving Communities 85 29.54 -3.735 58.82% -1.225 0.8346
Unnatural Proliferation 85 30.31 -4.288 63.53% -1.39 0.5673
Untended Land Crumbles 75 26.81 -4.351 52.0% -1.026 1.0073

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 494 44.88% 36.17 -0.158 76.32% 0.207 0.943
B 458 41.85% 36.04 0.141 78.6% 0.269 0.9663
C 537 44.36% 35.94 -0.055 79.52% 0.334 0.8036
D 391 39.64% 34.4 -1.045 72.12% -0.458 0.2519
E 463 45.89% 35.62 0.063 75.16% 0.072 0.6166
F 404 45.66% 35.09 -0.519 76.73% 0.057 0.719
G 336 43.58% 35.54 0.18 76.49% 0.295 0.9259
H 324 40.56% 37.32 0.939 82.41% 0.63 1.2944
East 71 46.48% 34.93 -0.634 56.34% -0.253 0.409
Northeast 36 44.44% 32.64 -2.996 47.22% -1.067 -0.4071
Northwest 30 46.67% 39.83 -0.185 73.33% 0.192 0.8029
Southeast 30 43.33% 36.4 -1.123 63.33% -0.183 0.3479
Southwest 39 48.72% 33.49 2.152 58.97% 0.476 1.4447
West 77 46.75% 37.26 -2.108 66.23% -0.923 -0.1172

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 11 0.0% 39.91 1.842 90.91% 0.296 2.5251
Not Using Events or Tokens 17 41.18% 29.65 2.284 52.94% 0.055 0.2815
Skip Initial Invader Actions 54 21.28% 43.09 0.642 77.78% -0.764 -1.7441
Start of Game Growth 63 17.86% 43.52 2.074 79.37% 0.18 -0.277
Unlimited Undo 230 43.81% 38.25 0.304 84.35% 0.208 -0.3433
Using Tokens but Not Events 194 38.8% 35.81 0.876 78.35% 0.719 0.8744

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 272 22.65 1.84%
II 534 31.08 58.8%
III 930 34.66 90.54%
IV 643 37.91 99.07%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.223 Win Model: -0.294
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 1543 43.08% 35.29 74.79%
2 573 43.88% 35.84 76.44%
3 159 40.52% 37.29 80.5%
4 80 42.5% 35.26 77.5%
5 7 71.43% 29.57 57.14%
6 17 58.82% 38.18 70.59%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 5
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 824
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 305
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 626
Lose: Invader deck ran out 12
Lose: Adversary condition 302
Win: Sacrifice victory 23
Lose: Scenario condition 16
Win: Scenario condition 15
Lose: Blight pool ran out 231
Lose: Spirit destroyed 20

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 182 24.31% 47.81 1.275 84.07% 0.484 0.4093
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 119 62.18% 41.52 -1.27 68.91% -0.284 -0.2053
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 133 47.37% 44.37 -0.397 79.7% -0.14 -0.3641
Downpour Drenches the World 401 36.66% 42.08 -0.824 71.82% -0.436 -0.1708
Eyes Watch From the Trees 213 32.86% 48.95 2.19 86.38% 0.74 0.237
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 171 35.67% 48.57 1.989 87.72% 0.691 0.1046
Finder of Paths Unseen 222 55.45% 40.54 -2.053 69.82% -0.664 -0.3084
Fractured Days Split the Sky 79 42.11% 50.9 1.673 69.62% -0.46 -0.3778
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 137 53.28% 43.01 -0.869 75.18% -0.387 -0.4822
Heart of the Wildfire 133 66.92% 39.0 -3.479 67.67% -0.67 -0.265
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 387 35.51% 45.24 0.684 78.55% 0.307 -0.297
Lightning's Swift Strike 47 46.67% 48.4 0.795 87.23% 0.218 0.5832
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 249 43.28% 47.15 1.838 80.72% 0.657 -0.0922
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 51 58.82% 47.51 -0.248 86.27% 0.206 -0.3577
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 54 50.0% 50.39 3.503 85.19% 0.768 0.274
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 239 55.65% 42.04 -0.099 71.55% 0.005 -0.1463
Many Minds Move as One 110 34.55% 46.63 0.728 83.64% 0.186 -0.4005
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 394 48.17% 46.06 0.653 80.46% 0.457 0.2869
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 153 41.18% 44.1 -1.338 79.74% -0.111 -0.1669
River Surges in Sunlight 82 36.59% 49.21 3.478 85.37% 1.433 1.3588
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 42 50.0% 43.43 -1.793 66.67% -0.457 -0.0305
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 228 39.21% 52.57 4.703 87.72% 1.073 0.7317
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 179 35.75% 44.22 -0.023 76.54% 0.059 -0.135
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 15 86.67% 30.33 -12.668 40.0% -1.323 -0.8484
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 36 72.22% 39.86 -1.844 63.89% -0.462 -0.2825
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 70 62.86% 40.66 -3.023 70.0% -0.62 -0.5641
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 25 64.0% 34.8 -4.182 52.0% -0.56 -0.5831
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 8 100.0% 29.25 -5.507 37.5% -0.195 -0.0793
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 160 40.88% 47.33 1.47 82.5% 0.481 0.2898
Shifting Memory of Ages 122 50.82% 42.74 -2.0 67.21% -0.599 -0.3836
Shroud of Silent Mist 114 68.14% 39.88 -3.554 68.42% -0.654 -0.5198
Starlight Seeks its Form 282 40.43% 44.12 -0.135 76.95% 0.05 -0.0645
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 205 28.43% 44.87 0.89 81.95% 0.582 0.3436
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 99 66.67% 40.18 -1.975 69.7% -0.419 -0.289
Thunderspeaker 128 52.03% 48.84 1.154 77.34% 0.093 0.0755
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 151 70.86% 38.92 -1.626 72.19% -0.022 -0.2374
Vital Strength of the Earth 14 23.08% 43.14 -1.478 78.57% -0.262 0.6364
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 155 43.79% 40.07 -0.691 67.1% -0.11 0.3126
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 11 36.36% 42.64 -0.12 81.82% 0.147 1.2618
Volcano Looming High 244 60.25% 41.74 -0.374 78.28% 0.309 0.2881

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 60.0% 33.4 1.19 60.0% 0.416 0.9121
Blitz 0 11 36.36% 45.55 2.41 81.82% 0.675 1.1179
Dahan Insurrection 4 21 52.38% 66.24 11.537 52.38% 0.017 0.1141
Despicable Theft 2 3 66.67% 37.0 0.567 33.33% -0.052 0.4472
Elemental Invocation 1 16 56.25% 45.25 1.833 75.0% -0.103 0.4431
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 108 16.67% 46.52 0.722 70.37% -0.43 -0.1989
Powers Long Forgotten 1 7 42.86% 52.71 5.936 85.71% 0.096 0.5033
Rituals of Terror 3 3 66.67% 57.0 -10.361 66.67% -0.644 -0.8797
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 3 100.0% 33.33 0.0 33.33%
Second Wave 0 94 39.78% 43.78 0.737 64.89% -0.305 0.3878
The Great River 3 3 0.0% 52.33 0.0 66.67%
Varied Terrains 2 12 75.0% 47.33 0.0 58.33%
Ward the Shores 2 10 60.0% 42.1 -3.793 50.0% -0.831 0.0499

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 2363 49.68% 43.09 -0.231 76.3% -0.103 0.5598
1 Thematic 70 60.0% 43.5 -3.138 60.0% -0.712 0.3449
2 Archipelago 2 50.0% 68.5 3.997 100.0% 0.17 0.6409
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 554 44.04% 44.08 0.299 80.51% 0.144 0.6622
2 Coastline 83 36.14% 46.93 0.105 81.93% -0.137 0.0639
2 Fragment 13 53.85% 36.23 -1.795 53.85% -0.503 -0.2043
2 Heart 4 50.0% 48.5 3.861 100.0% 0.086 0.5466
2 Opposite Shores 114 41.23% 43.89 0.604 77.19% -0.076 0.4627
2 Thematic 24 54.17% 41.13 -0.266 58.33% 0.049 0.8314
2 Top to Top 28 46.43% 43.75 2.664 82.14% 0.833 0.9611
3 Archipelago 3 100.0% 30.33 -6.706 33.33% -0.35 -0.5683
3 Other 5 80.0% 50.8 0.708 60.0% 0.152 -0.5118
3 Round (Default) 261 44.35% 47.19 0.635 81.99% -0.027 0.2772
3 Thematic 7 28.57% 59.29 0.385 85.71% -0.031 0.1774
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 37.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 1 100.0% 46.0 3.16 100.0% 0.217 -0.4971
4 Thematic 20 55.0% 45.15 2.816 55.0% 0.29 0.3937
4 Trapezoid (Default) 127 44.88% 44.71 -1.218 73.23% -1.325 -1.2477
5 Other 9 22.22% 53.56 3.241 100.0% 0.545 0.0287
5 Thematic 5 60.0% 62.2 0.0 40.0%
6 Other 5 20.0% 37.8 1.088 60.0% 0.038 0.0831
6 Star 1 100.0% 57.0 9.578 100.0% 0.363 1.1335
6 Thematic 17 17.65% 51.65 -0.93 70.59% -0.487 -0.2466
6 Two Centers (Default) 23 30.43% 45.26 0.32 78.26% -0.26 -0.0684

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 137 40.92 -2.282 72.99% -0.504 1.4666
Aid From Lesser Spirits 91 42.11 -0.746 68.13% -0.295 1.4832
All Things Weaken 129 38.84 -2.069 67.44% -0.565 1.4836
Back Against the Wall 114 39.47 -3.774 64.91% -1.341 0.5982
Disintegrating Ecosystem 129 35.75 -3.893 63.57% -0.691 1.4373
Downward Spiral 128 38.65 -1.692 67.97% -0.435 1.5256
Erosion of Will 145 36.6 -5.43 60.69% -1.411 0.6703
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 63 43.84 -2.812 85.71% -0.583 -0.0813
Memory Fades to Dust 135 37.76 -3.907 64.44% -0.914 1.2266
Power Corrodes the Spirit 127 40.03 -1.462 74.02% -0.074 1.9066
Promising Farmlands 147 37.23 -3.712 64.63% -0.978 1.0433
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 39 44.33 -2.067 84.62% -0.626 -0.1297
Thriving Communities 134 35.84 -3.809 59.7% -0.832 1.2272
Unnatural Proliferation 141 40.25 -1.972 70.92% -0.5 1.4574
Untended Land Crumbles 122 38.0 -3.151 66.39% -0.883 1.1502

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 759 50.0% 43.3 -0.916 75.63% -0.264 0.4727
B 782 47.14% 44.24 0.367 78.26% 0.175 0.8719
C 826 45.65% 44.9 0.655 78.69% 0.145 0.615
D 645 44.78% 42.71 -0.611 74.26% -0.232 0.4775
E 724 44.06% 44.92 0.415 79.83% 0.058 0.6025
F 605 47.26% 43.85 0.154 75.87% 0.106 0.7674
G 621 46.37% 44.12 -0.093 77.94% 0.048 0.6784
H 538 41.23% 46.33 0.91 83.27% 0.361 1.0257
East 96 50.0% 44.66 -0.708 53.13% -0.729 -0.067
Northeast 60 48.33% 47.95 -1.16 55.0% -1.184 -0.5241
Northwest 46 43.48% 49.8 -0.869 65.22% -0.315 0.2953
Southeast 50 38.0% 49.0 0.228 62.0% -0.316 0.2154
Southwest 54 40.74% 45.54 -0.937 68.52% -0.135 0.8333
West 101 49.5% 48.48 1.95 66.34% 0.208 1.0138

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 21 0.0% 45.43 -1.752 80.95% -0.403 1.8258
Not Using Events or Tokens 18 38.89% 44.22 -0.018 66.67% 0.073 0.2998
Skip Initial Invader Actions 52 14.29% 52.92 2.335 86.54% 0.289 -0.691
Start of Game Growth 87 10.81% 52.47 1.985 85.06% -0.084 -0.5403
Unlimited Undo 305 46.13% 45.76 0.987 80.66% 0.259 -0.293
Using Tokens but Not Events 197 32.39% 43.27 -1.252 72.59% -0.456 -0.3007

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 357 22.65 3.92%
II 983 31.08 59.82%
III 1641 34.66 92.14%
IV 770 37.91 99.74%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.071 Win Model: 0.112
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2455 50.1% 43.14 75.89%
2 814 43.12% 44.23 79.48%
3 272 45.17% 47.19 81.25%
4 151 47.02% 44.78 70.86%
5 13 30.77% 56.38 76.92%
6 46 26.09% 47.07 73.91%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 14
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1482
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 579
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 761
Lose: Invader deck ran out 28
Lose: Adversary condition 425
Win: Sacrifice victory 30
Lose: Scenario condition 27
Win: Scenario condition 16
Lose: Blight pool ran out 368
Lose: Spirit destroyed 21

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 131 32.06% 46.28 1.524 71.76% 0.346 0.2709
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 86 66.28% 41.77 0.536 60.47% -0.093 -0.0148
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 100 65.0% 42.51 -1.629 68.0% -0.158 -0.3825
Downpour Drenches the World 277 47.29% 41.79 -1.163 64.62% -0.366 -0.1012
Eyes Watch From the Trees 162 46.91% 47.61 1.479 78.4% 0.477 -0.0257
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 86 51.16% 44.84 -0.484 75.58% 0.102 -0.4849
Finder of Paths Unseen 139 65.47% 41.45 -0.68 67.63% 0.07 0.4254
Fractured Days Split the Sky 80 56.25% 42.6 1.759 53.75% -0.058 0.0243
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 107 64.49% 43.79 2.019 70.09% 0.7 0.6047
Heart of the Wildfire 89 76.4% 37.25 -2.502 58.43% -0.239 0.1664
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 299 40.13% 51.25 3.538 87.29% 1.008 0.4043
Lightning's Swift Strike 35 60.0% 40.91 -0.365 62.86% 0.095 0.4603
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 193 65.28% 48.2 4.214 80.31% 1.378 0.6295
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 41 53.66% 48.59 2.755 82.93% 0.607 0.0429
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 27 48.15% 50.78 5.693 88.89% 0.691 0.1961
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 169 63.91% 40.53 -2.731 63.31% -0.585 -0.7363
Many Minds Move as One 81 41.98% 49.53 1.5 85.19% 0.219 -0.3673
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 241 55.42% 42.96 0.177 65.15% 0.088 -0.0813
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 119 49.58% 42.36 -1.352 64.71% -0.317 -0.3735
River Surges in Sunlight 67 53.73% 46.31 1.968 70.15% -0.077 -0.1512
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 23 60.87% 50.26 2.4 86.96% 0.671 1.0979
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 158 57.59% 48.96 2.857 73.42% 0.463 0.1217
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 148 42.57% 47.81 1.584 77.7% 0.164 -0.0293
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4 50.0% 38.0 6.507 50.0% 0.14 0.6142
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 20 85.0% 38.1 -5.111 55.0% -0.782 -0.602
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 53 66.04% 42.3 0.55 64.15% -0.024 0.0317
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 20 60.0% 36.05 4.658 45.0% 0.451 0.4283
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 9 100.0% 25.22 -8.57 22.22% -0.837 -0.721
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 153 49.67% 45.35 0.278 74.51% 0.112 -0.0796
Shifting Memory of Ages 82 63.41% 42.39 1.677 64.63% 0.169 0.3837
Shroud of Silent Mist 70 72.86% 31.23 -7.036 37.14% -1.523 -1.3884
Starlight Seeks its Form 240 47.5% 43.31 0.278 67.92% 0.168 0.0527
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 164 33.74% 42.33 -1.487 69.51% -0.268 -0.5066
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 71 64.79% 39.99 -1.385 60.56% -0.282 -0.1515
Thunderspeaker 120 60.83% 46.52 1.348 71.67% 0.323 0.3058
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 139 84.17% 34.94 -3.893 48.92% -0.415 -0.6302
Vital Strength of the Earth 21 71.43% 28.0 -5.556 23.81% -0.746 0.1521
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 139 56.12% 38.24 -4.065 51.8% -0.967 -0.5441
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 16 68.75% 30.88 -10.336 25.0% -0.843 0.2713
Volcano Looming High 208 63.46% 42.89 -0.091 72.12% 0.262 0.2416

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 100.0% 51.0 0.0 100.0%
Blitz 0 6 50.0% 39.0 -1.97 50.0% -0.242 0.2013
Dahan Insurrection 4 19 52.63% 57.84 1.611 47.37% -0.643 -0.5453
Despicable Theft 2 3 100.0% 37.67 0.0 33.33%
Elemental Invocation 1 5 80.0% 35.0 -0.681 40.0% 0.312 0.8582
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 231 19.48% 51.33 4.461 80.95% 0.501 0.7323
Powers Long Forgotten 1 2 100.0% 39.0 0.0 50.0%
Rituals of Terror 3 3 100.0% 35.33 0.0 33.33%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 3 100.0% 48.0 5.16 66.67% 0.23 0.456
Second Wave 0 52 40.38% 48.1 0.222 73.08% -0.176 0.5166
The Great River 3 3 66.67% 39.67 0.76 33.33% -0.207 1.3749
Varied Terrains 2 7 85.71% 45.0 -0.156 42.86% -0.164 0.6222
Ward the Shores 2 5 40.0% 40.4 0.0 40.0%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 2248 57.7% 42.2 -0.477 65.12% -0.027 0.6355
1 Thematic 56 58.93% 44.91 -0.725 58.93% -0.467 0.5903
2 Archipelago 5 20.0% 39.2 -7.342 20.0% -1.687 -1.2162
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 487 50.51% 44.17 0.621 72.9% 0.375 0.8936
2 Coastline 81 59.26% 45.64 -0.534 77.78% -0.13 0.0705
2 Fragment 6 66.67% 46.17 3.649 83.33% 0.178 0.4762
2 Heart 5 60.0% 47.8 2.18 80.0% 0.291 0.7516
2 Opposite Shores 78 62.82% 44.85 -0.05 73.08% 0.078 0.6168
2 Thematic 15 60.0% 45.27 -1.674 60.0% -0.211 0.5711
2 Top to Top 25 60.0% 48.44 1.473 80.0% 0.467 0.5949
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 1 0.0% 53.0 5.764 100.0% 0.494 -0.1704
3 Round (Default) 140 52.14% 45.31 0.144 72.14% -0.116 0.1889
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 18.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 6 33.33% 60.5 7.178 83.33% 0.504 0.7116
4 Other 1 100.0% 52.0 2.53 100.0% 0.429 -0.285
4 Thematic 1 0.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 31 51.61% 50.23 1.735 80.65% -0.195 -0.1172
5 Other 4 25.0% 52.0 8.651 100.0% 0.216 -0.3001
5 Thematic 6 100.0% 43.83 -1.562 16.67% -0.452 -0.7389
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 3 33.33% 57.67 0.986 100.0% 0.321 0.3662
6 Star 2 50.0% 36.5 -10.668 50.0% -0.618 0.1526
6 Thematic 4 25.0% 33.25 -2.208 25.0% -0.207 0.0334
6 Two Centers (Default) 2 0.0% 39.0 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 137 39.93 -1.998 62.77% -0.404 1.5673
Aid From Lesser Spirits 108 38.73 -2.036 56.48% -0.662 1.1162
All Things Weaken 145 37.95 -3.907 52.41% -1.134 0.9144
Back Against the Wall 101 40.86 -1.855 61.39% -0.714 1.2249
Disintegrating Ecosystem 124 37.24 -3.773 60.48% -0.739 1.3893
Downward Spiral 139 37.4 -3.935 58.27% -0.99 0.9711
Erosion of Will 143 34.48 -4.205 47.55% -1.057 1.0242
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 54 46.31 2.436 79.63% 0.756 1.2575
Memory Fades to Dust 157 39.2 -1.629 63.06% -0.444 1.6966
Power Corrodes the Spirit 130 38.75 -2.821 59.23% -0.728 1.2527
Promising Farmlands 122 36.71 -2.605 54.92% -0.56 1.4617
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 29 45.62 1.515 79.31% 0.355 0.8519
Thriving Communities 152 35.04 -4.694 50.0% -1.196 0.8629
Unnatural Proliferation 144 38.97 -2.127 56.25% -0.923 1.034
Untended Land Crumbles 125 36.42 -4.924 53.6% -1.216 0.8173

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 554 61.91% 42.63 -0.194 67.15% -0.071 0.6657
B 579 55.27% 43.68 0.606 70.29% 0.01 0.7075
C 739 51.22% 45.6 0.894 74.15% 0.11 0.5798
D 467 56.53% 41.24 -0.765 64.03% -0.293 0.4167
E 563 53.82% 44.99 0.714 72.11% -0.032 0.5127
F 496 55.24% 43.45 -0.143 68.75% -0.187 0.4743
G 398 54.66% 43.27 -0.122 67.34% -0.133 0.4974
H 448 54.91% 42.7 -0.267 66.52% -0.258 0.4067
East 48 56.25% 44.0 -2.035 47.92% -0.75 -0.0887
Northeast 28 50.0% 46.04 -0.681 46.43% -0.378 0.2823
Northwest 32 62.5% 47.69 1.578 53.13% 0.035 0.6452
Southeast 21 57.14% 42.9 -0.713 42.86% -0.239 0.2921
Southwest 19 57.89% 40.68 -3.574 57.89% -0.612 0.356
West 60 60.0% 47.8 -1.845 60.0% -0.936 -0.1305

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2 0.0% 51.5 2.692 100.0% 0.178 2.4071
Not Using Events or Tokens 5 40.0% 45.8 -9.762 80.0% -0.411 -0.1844
Skip Initial Invader Actions 22 18.18% 59.27 1.255 90.91% 0.09 -0.8899
Start of Game Growth 54 20.37% 55.24 1.447 88.89% 0.126 -0.3308
Unlimited Undo 399 55.92% 44.97 1.626 74.69% 0.56 0.0086
Using Tokens but Not Events 167 48.48% 43.96 1.453 67.07% 0.556 0.7114

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 500 22.65 8.6%
II 1020 31.08 55.2%
III 1174 34.66 88.33%
IV 518 37.91 99.81%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.197 Win Model: 0.125
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2324 57.67% 42.32 65.06%
2 689 53.85% 44.6 73.15%
3 144 50.0% 45.5 72.92%
4 33 51.52% 51.33 81.82%
5 11 72.73% 48.45 54.55%
6 11 27.27% 41.09 54.55%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 43
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1023
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 548
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 513
Lose: Invader deck ran out 58
Lose: Adversary condition 424
Win: Sacrifice victory 22
Lose: Scenario condition 33
Win: Scenario condition 11
Lose: Blight pool ran out 507
Lose: Spirit destroyed 30

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 97 45.36% 54.25 1.829 78.35% 0.337 0.2616
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 70 78.57% 42.63 -1.378 50.0% -0.099 -0.0206
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 89 61.8% 42.0 -3.43 56.18% -0.905 -1.13
Downpour Drenches the World 291 46.74% 48.68 1.077 67.35% 0.415 0.6795
Eyes Watch From the Trees 133 44.36% 54.28 2.182 80.45% 0.463 -0.04
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 59 61.02% 45.66 -0.854 67.8% 0.073 -0.5136
Finder of Paths Unseen 225 69.78% 44.25 0.757 56.89% 0.293 0.6491
Fractured Days Split the Sky 40 45.0% 56.92 3.246 72.5% 0.792 0.8738
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 136 60.29% 46.77 0.776 62.5% 0.109 0.0136
Heart of the Wildfire 74 79.73% 46.45 -0.248 71.62% 0.38 0.7858
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 346 49.13% 53.94 2.447 79.19% 0.577 -0.0268
Lightning's Swift Strike 39 69.23% 44.18 1.497 53.85% 0.188 0.5531
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 197 67.01% 50.28 1.125 70.56% 0.546 -0.2032
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 32 56.25% 55.16 3.412 81.25% 0.869 0.3056
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 34 35.29% 53.29 2.065 64.71% 0.435 -0.0592
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 141 68.09% 41.54 -3.236 51.06% -0.804 -0.9557
Many Minds Move as One 85 42.35% 52.46 0.55 72.94% 0.05 -0.5357
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 326 56.48% 48.93 0.072 68.71% -0.012 -0.182
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 113 60.18% 47.28 -0.684 66.37% -0.035 -0.0915
River Surges in Sunlight 49 63.27% 52.82 3.682 75.51% 0.614 0.5397
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 26 88.46% 33.77 1.961 19.23% -0.69 -0.2631
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 174 62.07% 60.1 3.977 73.56% 0.919 0.578
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 116 55.17% 49.18 0.116 70.69% 0.2 0.0062
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 8 75.0% 38.13 4.269 50.0% 0.081 0.2607
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 23 69.57% 44.87 -2.327 65.22% -0.302 -0.2467
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 19 73.68% 39.89 -5.009 52.63% -0.697 -0.7201
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 4 50.0% 34.5 0.0 25.0%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 121 52.07% 46.93 -1.995 65.29% -0.442 -0.6331
Shifting Memory of Ages 75 69.33% 40.21 -2.692 52.0% -0.449 -0.2344
Shroud of Silent Mist 24 70.83% 50.79 0.39 75.0% 0.187 0.3209
Starlight Seeks its Form 200 51.5% 49.44 0.117 65.0% 0.132 0.0174
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 105 60.95% 47.26 -0.306 71.43% 0.157 -0.0815
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 43 62.79% 42.19 -4.58 48.84% -1.13 -1.0
Thunderspeaker 74 66.22% 48.04 -0.085 66.22% 0.045 0.0273
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 103 83.5% 38.04 -4.873 52.43% -0.402 -0.6178
Vital Strength of the Earth 13 61.54% 40.0 -9.038 30.77% -1.284 -0.3854
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 103 56.31% 43.73 -2.942 57.28% -0.64 -0.2174
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 6 83.33% 45.67 -1.347 66.67% -0.007 1.1072
Volcano Looming High 133 63.16% 49.33 -0.63 72.18% -0.133 -0.1543

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 50.0% 60.25 1.277 100.0% 0.06 0.5553
Blitz 0 18 5.56% 67.22 3.645 77.78% -0.669 -0.226
Dahan Insurrection 4 68 66.18% 62.1 1.943 45.59% -1.327 -1.2295
Despicable Theft 2 8 87.5% 39.38 2.34 25.0% 0.124 0.623
Elemental Invocation 1 6 100.0% 55.17 3.178 66.67% 0.211 0.7571
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 254 42.13% 55.86 2.738 72.44% 0.189 0.4205
Powers Long Forgotten 1 4 100.0% 58.25 7.956 75.0% 0.565 0.9721
Rituals of Terror 3 1 0.0% 102.0 15.432 100.0% 0.042 -0.1935
Second Wave 0 32 43.75% 45.16 -3.332 56.25% -0.754 -0.0615
The Great River 3 10 50.0% 51.0 1.269 50.0% -0.327 1.2545
Varied Terrains 2 4 50.0% 47.25 0.0 50.0%
Ward the Shores 2 7 71.43% 63.86 9.819 71.43% 0.602 1.4832

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1800 61.79% 45.17 -0.648 61.72% -0.225 0.4384
1 Thematic 71 60.56% 55.49 3.709 50.7% 0.01 1.0672
2 Archipelago 13 30.77% 58.31 0.521 53.85% -0.229 0.242
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 335 66.27% 47.13 0.813 68.36% 0.44 0.9581
2 Coastline 85 67.06% 44.79 -4.392 60.0% -0.975 -0.7747
2 Fragment 4 75.0% 59.0 5.465 100.0% 0.529 0.827
2 Heart 9 88.89% 28.67 -12.231 22.22% -0.947 -0.4864
2 Opposite Shores 67 52.24% 53.34 0.645 76.12% 0.072 0.6104
2 Thematic 43 86.05% 44.42 -3.603 30.23% -0.749 0.033
2 Top to Top 28 50.0% 55.46 3.226 89.29% 1.019 1.1472
3 Archipelago 4 75.0% 75.5 11.804 75.0% 0.251 0.0324
3 Coastline 3 0.0% 66.0 -13.184 66.67% -0.939 -1.4466
3 Other 2 100.0% 56.5 2.341 100.0% 0.265 -0.3985
3 Round (Default) 150 45.33% 55.63 3.349 82.67% 0.74 1.0446
3 Thematic 5 60.0% 53.0 -2.045 60.0% -0.37 -0.1623
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 40.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 78.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 4 0.0% 61.25 -0.141 75.0% -0.137 -0.8509
4 Thematic 6 33.33% 53.17 -0.117 66.67% -0.019 0.0844
4 Trapezoid (Default) 36 75.0% 51.36 -6.893 80.56% -0.903 -0.8251
5 Other 4 75.0% 56.75 4.751 100.0% 0.84 0.3238
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 66.0 5.934 100.0% 0.292 0.1458
6 Other 1 0.0% 87.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 2 100.0% 21.0 -11.044 0.0% -0.432 0.3384
6 Thematic 25 28.0% 54.56 -0.693 68.0% 0.137 0.3777
6 Two Centers (Default) 4 25.0% 63.5 0.0 75.0%
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 105.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 139 43.19 -3.213 55.4% -0.832 1.1385
Aid From Lesser Spirits 108 46.96 -0.741 65.74% -0.376 1.4016
All Things Weaken 129 41.4 -3.299 53.49% -1.03 1.0185
Back Against the Wall 102 42.97 -4.321 53.92% -1.294 0.6454
Disintegrating Ecosystem 107 36.08 -6.91 45.79% -1.572 0.5561
Downward Spiral 125 39.14 -4.428 51.2% -1.112 0.8492
Erosion of Will 131 36.97 -4.816 43.51% -1.262 0.8194
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 50 55.26 2.34 88.0% 0.902 1.4039
Memory Fades to Dust 132 39.55 -3.286 46.97% -0.871 1.2701
Power Corrodes the Spirit 130 41.4 -4.985 56.92% -1.183 0.7981
Promising Farmlands 124 37.96 -4.778 46.77% -1.213 0.8086
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 28 53.57 -1.099 78.57% -0.313 0.1833
Thriving Communities 117 38.82 -6.203 50.43% -1.537 0.5224
Unnatural Proliferation 129 40.08 -6.638 48.84% -1.758 0.1994
Untended Land Crumbles 107 42.6 -2.498 57.01% -0.731 1.3024

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 470 66.52% 46.77 -0.401 64.04% -0.156 0.5799
B 526 60.27% 48.49 0.631 69.58% 0.231 0.9286
C 606 58.91% 49.42 0.098 69.8% -0.118 0.3521
D 401 58.35% 45.45 -1.927 58.6% -0.508 0.2016
E 484 57.85% 48.36 0.517 68.18% 0.013 0.5578
F 432 59.49% 49.3 0.647 70.83% 0.106 0.7673
G 316 58.73% 48.06 -0.235 67.09% -0.213 0.4175
H 372 57.26% 49.13 1.884 70.43% 0.392 1.0563
East 99 55.56% 55.4 -0.384 52.53% -0.541 0.1202
Northeast 49 46.94% 50.39 -3.112 51.02% -0.675 -0.0152
Northwest 67 59.7% 47.45 -0.298 47.76% -0.024 0.5869
Southeast 54 46.3% 52.89 -2.125 53.7% -0.319 0.2119
Southwest 41 39.02% 48.78 -3.233 58.54% -0.873 0.0949
West 99 60.61% 49.13 2.907 49.49% 0.578 1.3831

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2 0.0% 37.0 -5.917 50.0% -0.373 1.8559
Not Using Events or Tokens 2 50.0% 61.5 0.0 100.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 82 15.85% 69.93 7.868 87.8% 1.391 0.4109
Start of Game Growth 91 19.78% 68.67 6.431 85.71% 0.477 0.0199
Unlimited Undo 318 55.38% 49.58 -0.453 69.5% 0.081 -0.471
Using Tokens but Not Events 128 37.3% 48.93 0.809 68.75% -0.179 -0.0234

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 539 22.65 9.83%
II 1098 31.08 62.48%
III 802 34.66 90.27%
IV 280 37.91 99.29%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.137 Win Model: -0.171
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 1901 61.87% 45.69 61.65%
2 572 64.16% 48.1 65.38%
3 157 46.5% 54.85 81.53%
4 50 60.0% 53.0 78.0%
5 4 75.0% 56.75 100.0%
6 35 28.57% 56.69 68.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 53
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 704
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 655
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 270
Lose: Invader deck ran out 45
Lose: Adversary condition 286
Win: Sacrifice victory 23
Lose: Scenario condition 36
Win: Scenario condition 36
Lose: Blight pool ran out 580
Lose: Spirit destroyed 31

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 542 47.97% 61.3 4.13 72.14% 0.807 0.7322
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 236 77.97% 46.39 -1.321 44.49% 0.065 0.1435
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 236 71.61% 44.98 -1.619 47.46% 0.06 -0.1647
Downpour Drenches the World 1119 58.18% 52.21 0.145 56.66% -0.03 0.2347
Eyes Watch From the Trees 463 60.69% 52.41 0.963 60.04% 0.462 -0.0415
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 271 76.01% 48.08 -0.452 54.61% 0.368 -0.2189
Finder of Paths Unseen 584 61.47% 53.15 0.141 60.79% 0.23 0.5858
Fractured Days Split the Sky 341 49.85% 65.2 2.831 65.69% -0.026 0.0557
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 399 72.93% 48.06 -1.39 52.38% -0.032 -0.1272
Heart of the Wildfire 292 89.73% 36.68 -6.448 30.14% -0.75 -0.3448
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1702 52.94% 58.21 4.406 72.68% 1.084 0.481
Lightning's Swift Strike 132 78.79% 45.77 -3.119 45.45% -0.36 0.0048
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 959 76.93% 52.28 1.109 59.33% 0.614 -0.1349
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 242 71.37% 54.14 2.813 63.64% 0.725 0.1614
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 262 63.36% 60.29 0.855 57.25% -0.153 -0.6477
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 486 76.75% 46.69 -4.47 46.5% -0.592 -0.7433
Many Minds Move as One 257 55.64% 60.97 3.545 75.49% 0.847 0.2615
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 985 63.54% 54.24 2.415 58.27% 0.452 0.2828
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 318 63.21% 50.65 0.328 56.29% 0.108 0.0521
River Surges in Sunlight 172 67.44% 57.02 3.674 61.05% 0.858 0.7842
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 85 76.19% 43.66 -5.976 32.94% -0.714 -0.2879
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 670 73.35% 56.28 2.348 55.37% 0.49 0.1488
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 732 56.56% 60.13 3.763 65.03% 0.789 0.5954
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 15 93.33% 37.47 -7.932 26.67% -0.567 -0.0929
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 65 87.69% 37.28 -5.495 29.23% -0.744 -0.5641
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 92 83.7% 44.64 -5.822 44.57% -0.95 -0.8945
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 37 83.78% 40.65 -6.152 37.84% -0.793 -0.8161
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 150 60.0% 45.59 -0.501 42.0% 0.433 0.5484
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 445 58.43% 54.31 -0.382 62.25% -0.019 -0.2105
Shifting Memory of Ages 335 71.94% 51.87 -2.344 49.85% -0.606 -0.3907
Shroud of Silent Mist 161 80.12% 44.12 -3.242 45.96% -0.204 -0.0696
Starlight Seeks its Form 1799 58.92% 54.65 1.058 63.81% 0.243 0.1283
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 723 70.59% 48.76 -2.445 55.33% 0.107 -0.1322
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 220 76.36% 44.46 -4.481 44.09% -0.8 -0.6699
Thunderspeaker 238 74.68% 50.11 0.418 47.48% 0.097 0.0802
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 739 85.25% 47.85 -1.178 54.94% 0.385 0.1694
Vital Strength of the Earth 28 60.71% 42.21 -4.949 21.43% -1.036 -0.1376
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 371 73.58% 47.69 -1.76 47.44% -0.377 0.0455
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 16 87.5% 34.94 -2.461 25.0% 0.08 1.194
Volcano Looming High 955 74.42% 46.71 -1.381 53.51% 0.144 0.1236

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 42.86% 66.14 9.953 85.71% 0.279 0.7746
Blitz 0 65 32.31% 59.74 -0.142 63.08% -0.362 0.0816
Dahan Insurrection 4 123 70.49% 57.92 2.643 16.26% -0.711 -0.6138
Despicable Theft 2 2 100.0% 34.0 -11.244 0.0% -0.604 -0.1055
Elemental Invocation 1 27 77.78% 37.15 -6.13 0.0% -1.221 -0.6755
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 799 42.05% 47.75 -1.252 38.3% -0.784 -0.5526
Powers Long Forgotten 1 3 100.0% 44.67 -0.423 33.33% -0.231 0.177
Rituals of Terror 3 54 68.52% 85.15 2.392 51.85% -1.091 -1.3272
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 4 75.0% 72.0 7.041 50.0% 0.129 0.355
Second Wave 0 97 68.04% 53.63 2.126 63.92% 0.652 1.3445
The Great River 3 5 20.0% 53.8 2.137 40.0% -0.348 1.2331
Varied Terrains 2 11 81.82% 55.73 -7.206 45.45% -0.134 0.6528
Ward the Shores 2 13 84.62% 50.54 2.274 38.46% -0.084 0.7966

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 9916 67.01% 49.96 -0.587 56.1% -0.439 0.2239
1 Thematic 133 57.14% 43.37 -3.45 24.06% -0.946 0.1106
2 Archipelago 6 50.0% 100.17 12.747 83.33% 0.274 0.7454
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1080 71.46% 50.79 -0.055 56.2% -0.437 0.0811
2 Coastline 285 67.96% 52.55 0.733 61.4% -0.299 -0.0983
2 Fragment 35 71.43% 59.26 2.693 80.0% 0.101 0.3992
2 Heart 78 87.18% 46.54 2.402 47.44% 0.09 0.5508
2 Opposite Shores 231 56.71% 47.91 -2.432 44.59% -0.892 -0.3536
2 Thematic 48 81.25% 66.63 4.238 43.75% 0.339 1.1216
2 Top to Top 83 67.47% 56.64 0.876 66.27% -0.017 0.1107
3 Archipelago 5 80.0% 60.6 -4.042 40.0% -0.229 -0.4474
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 65.0 3.925 100.0% 0.111 -0.3957
3 Other 13 46.15% 62.23 8.918 84.62% 0.757 0.0929
3 Round (Default) 600 67.17% 53.55 -0.848 62.0% -0.876 -0.5717
3 Thematic 14 50.0% 97.14 31.653 50.0% 1.11 1.318
4 Archipelago 3 100.0% 99.0 18.721 66.67% 0.658 0.621
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 32.0 -10.811 0.0% -0.286 -0.3881
4 Other 3 33.33% 69.67 5.029 100.0% 0.536 -0.1778
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 49 48.98% 61.55 -4.624 22.45% -1.436 -1.3327
4 Trapezoid (Default) 252 60.32% 63.29 3.132 72.62% -0.031 0.0467
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 51.0 5.901 0.0% 0.01 -0.0875
5 Coastline 6 0.0% 70.5 1.716 100.0% 0.053 -0.5342
5 Other 22 50.0% 68.14 4.737 59.09% 0.596 0.0799
5 Thematic 6 66.67% 80.83 46.827 66.67% 0.474 0.1871
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 81.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 49 57.14% 49.73 -2.504 51.02% -0.988 -0.943
6 Star 6 50.0% 64.5 1.519 83.33% -0.069 0.7018
6 Thematic 22 63.64% 54.95 -1.66 27.27% -0.682 -0.4413
6 Two Centers (Default) 77 54.55% 78.75 2.818 92.21% -0.256 -0.0651
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 96.0 11.28 100.0% 0.016 0.1645

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 695 44.32 -3.376 46.19% -1.08 0.8912
Aid From Lesser Spirits 524 49.09 -1.285 52.1% -0.714 1.064
All Things Weaken 637 46.77 -3.165 50.39% -0.947 1.1015
Back Against the Wall 533 48.3 -1.699 49.53% -0.825 1.1139
Disintegrating Ecosystem 621 43.43 -4.359 46.86% -1.034 1.0941
Downward Spiral 723 43.91 -3.427 46.61% -0.862 1.0992
Erosion of Will 689 43.25 -4.29 41.22% -1.305 0.7768
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 168 56.89 1.752 67.86% -0.109 0.3925
Memory Fades to Dust 672 43.18 -5.346 43.9% -1.337 0.8037
Power Corrodes the Spirit 659 42.85 -5.696 42.94% -1.431 0.5501
Promising Farmlands 650 44.2 -3.81 46.62% -1.06 0.9616
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 123 59.81 2.204 80.49% 0.27 0.7669
Thriving Communities 626 42.07 -5.192 41.53% -1.313 0.7458
Unnatural Proliferation 747 45.73 -3.36 45.38% -1.056 0.9005
Untended Land Crumbles 653 43.25 -4.639 44.1% -1.164 0.8693

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2222 67.52% 51.55 -0.25 57.2% -0.59 0.1463
B 2318 68.15% 50.54 -0.082 55.57% -0.494 0.2029
C 2772 68.34% 52.25 0.008 58.98% -0.553 -0.0833
D 1944 63.63% 50.23 -0.096 51.54% -0.827 -0.1173
E 2785 65.48% 53.59 1.747 62.23% -0.172 0.3723
F 1865 65.47% 53.31 0.139 61.66% -0.529 0.1321
G 1615 65.76% 52.87 0.266 59.88% -0.628 0.0026
H 1669 65.65% 52.5 -0.002 59.56% -0.64 0.0251
East 225 59.56% 57.56 2.226 28.44% -0.552 0.1091
Northeast 140 60.0% 57.63 -3.358 22.86% -2.319 -1.6593
Northwest 110 59.09% 59.74 0.069 31.82% -0.275 0.335
Southeast 61 59.02% 57.9 5.163 40.98% 0.384 0.9148
Southwest 47 61.7% 50.77 -3.613 38.3% -0.895 0.0734
West 168 63.1% 61.3 0.911 35.71% -0.746 0.06

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 17 0.0% 45.71 -2.544 52.94% -0.349 1.8801
Not Using Events or Tokens 29 78.57% 45.38 0.75 20.69% 0.374 0.6008
Skip Initial Invader Actions 449 17.63% 79.54 4.995 88.86% -0.142 -1.1224
Start of Game Growth 651 22.5% 79.64 10.777 89.4% 2.01 1.5532
Unlimited Undo 1615 48.94% 64.79 4.328 78.08% 0.631 0.0794
Using Tokens but Not Events 356 68.53% 46.74 -4.804 40.73% -1.036 -0.8812

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3228 22.65 8.33%
II 3502 31.08 38.29%
III 3504 34.66 84.28%
IV 2826 37.91 99.79%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.81 Win Model: 0.696
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 10162 66.91% 50.05 55.8%
2 1782 69.49% 51.23 55.72%
3 650 66.15% 54.8 60.77%
4 282 58.51% 62.71 68.44%
5 34 50.0% 63.18 52.94%
6 150 54.67% 66.85 76.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 260
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2906
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1303
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2774
Lose: Invader deck ran out 207
Lose: Adversary condition 1537
Win: Sacrifice victory 115
Lose: Scenario condition 328
Win: Scenario condition 25
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3435
Lose: Spirit destroyed 170

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-10-19 02:56:39 (Pacific Time)