The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 507 18.29% 25.75 3.387 76.73% 1.011 0.8675
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 31 32.26% 25.35 2.379 70.97% 0.736 0.0232
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 303 27.72% 23.63 2.319 71.62% 0.775 1.0388
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 80 15.0% 25.99 1.759 70.0% 0.051 -0.7579
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 442 21.69% 23.4 -1.185 72.17% -0.189 -0.3534
Downpour Drenches the World 715 19.86% 21.66 -2.249 71.89% -0.338 -0.0644
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 363 16.8% 25.54 1.545 75.76% 0.539 0.1122
Eyes Watch From the Trees 535 13.72% 26.82 1.405 76.82% 0.173 -0.187
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 432 16.78% 26.88 3.082 80.32% 0.768 0.3231
Finder of Paths Unseen 330 34.04% 15.92 -3.817 53.33% -0.813 -0.125
Fractured Days Split the Sky 218 18.35% 20.56 -1.17 54.13% -1.095 -0.5061
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 392 31.89% 21.99 0.286 65.05% -0.06 -0.1244
Heart of the Wildfire 347 49.57% 19.05 -2.411 61.38% -0.617 -0.2897
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 610 23.6% 26.19 0.836 77.87% 0.186 -0.1093
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 83 16.87% 24.6 1.771 72.29% 0.786 0.4155
Lightning's Swift Strike 222 33.33% 23.5 3.391 74.32% 1.065 1.405
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 216 28.77% 27.88 0.926 81.48% 0.127 -0.3468
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 116 18.97% 24.89 -0.488 70.69% -0.083 -0.4437
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 110 21.82% 23.63 -1.862 61.82% -0.052 -0.0452
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 519 24.28% 25.71 1.662 74.57% 0.639 0.3437
Many Minds Move as One 352 16.38% 24.29 -1.676 64.77% -0.265 -0.4102
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 741 34.78% 23.46 2.207 70.31% 0.575 0.5165
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 423 26.48% 22.95 0.438 69.03% 0.302 0.1379
River Surges in Sunlight 249 36.29% 22.24 -0.777 66.67% -0.183 -0.0848
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 21 23.81% 24.33 2.581 85.71% 0.971 0.8362
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 138 32.61% 23.51 -3.02 65.22% -0.66 -0.1836
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 318 26.6% 26.08 0.245 70.75% 0.012 -0.0227
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 344 20.47% 22.62 -0.652 70.64% 0.076 -0.1794
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 91 49.45% 20.01 0.589 61.54% -0.326 0.1955
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 88 31.82% 26.5 4.655 76.14% 1.025 1.1659
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 74 35.14% 24.07 1.483 63.51% 0.447 -0.1312
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 94 35.11% 21.89 -0.261 65.96% -0.006 0.3444
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 70 32.86% 22.54 -1.07 68.57% -0.375 -0.3911
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 35 34.29% 25.09 -1.892 71.43% -0.156 0.0932
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 353 21.94% 24.47 -0.222 71.1% 0.043 -0.067
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 115 20.72% 20.54 -0.923 55.65% -0.218 -0.38
Shifting Memory of Ages 278 31.65% 18.74 -2.981 57.19% -0.587 -0.2431
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 20 20.0% 20.95 0.242 75.0% 0.523 0.2143
Shroud of Silent Mist 281 35.94% 19.64 -0.221 61.21% 0.056 0.3875
Starlight Seeks its Form 680 14.75% 26.93 -0.743 76.18% -0.069 -0.2438
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 407 18.36% 24.12 -0.116 72.24% -0.151 -0.861
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 378 27.61% 20.08 -1.282 61.64% -0.275 -0.0638
Thunderspeaker 460 19.65% 25.47 -0.578 72.17% -0.687 -0.7077
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 95 21.05% 15.49 -5.129 43.16% -1.099 -0.9012
Towering Roots of the Jungle 53 20.75% 21.09 -0.227 67.92% 0.074 0.0462
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 244 47.95% 18.14 -2.226 55.74% -0.202 -0.1357
Vital Strength of the Earth 164 31.1% 17.2 -3.051 53.66% -0.675 -0.1406
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 202 29.44% 23.45 0.681 70.3% 0.058 0.6251
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 73 19.18% 17.37 -3.907 46.58% -1.042 -0.283
Volcano Looming High 408 29.9% 20.2 -3.794 62.5% -0.874 -0.7371
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 166 21.08% 25.33 3.272 72.29% 0.775 0.464

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 37 16.22% 24.97 2.748 78.38% 0.202 0.217
Blitz 0 105 20.0% 17.93 -1.344 44.76% -0.251 0.0372
Dahan Insurrection 4 157 13.38% 38.71 6.819 62.42% -0.04 -0.2167
Despicable Theft 2 87 18.39% 15.55 -2.183 33.33% -0.875 -0.0135
Elemental Invocation 1 104 17.31% 20.08 -3.054 52.88% -0.851 0.0817
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 194 11.34% 28.28 0.265 70.1% 0.048 -0.5987
Powers Long Forgotten 1 107 22.43% 9.51 -4.34 21.5% -0.939 0.0063
Rituals of Terror 3 90 18.89% 24.08 0.576 48.89% -0.573 -0.4969
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 57 42.11% 18.75 0.264 36.84% -0.306 0.8096
Second Wave 0 199 41.18% 31.21 3.145 65.33% -0.667 -0.6363
The Great River 3 62 33.87% 21.1 -2.661 40.32% -1.367 0.0579
Varied Terrains 2 129 38.76% 19.16 -4.343 40.31% -1.548 -0.7734
Ward the Shores 2 118 23.73% 18.02 -3.121 42.37% -1.287 -0.2421

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5135 27.01% 23.61 0.937 71.7% 0.498 0.7584
1 Thematic 548 26.82% 19.95 -1.86 47.08% -0.665 -0.1991
2 Archipelago 7 57.14% 27.43 18.001 42.86% 0.522 0.9956
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1242 27.24% 21.1 -1.242 64.9% -0.331 -0.1454
2 Coastline 187 28.34% 24.3 3.284 75.94% 1.233 1.2165
2 Fragment 24 45.83% 25.17 2.256 87.5% 0.587 0.2704
2 Heart 22 22.73% 24.59 2.996 81.82% 0.027 -0.0676
2 Opposite Shores 189 32.45% 24.35 3.351 78.31% 0.914 0.8745
2 Thematic 188 24.47% 21.68 -2.248 50.53% -0.577 -0.29
2 Top to Top 42 23.81% 19.26 -1.651 61.9% -0.162 -0.2056
3 Archipelago 5 20.0% 31.6 7.344 80.0% 0.307 -0.8333
3 Coastline 9 22.22% 27.44 -9.759 55.56% -0.374 -1.1234
3 Other 26 30.77% 21.04 2.798 61.54% 0.014 -0.4492
3 Round (Default) 704 25.66% 26.67 1.137 79.83% -0.2 -0.4201
3 Sunrise 4 0.0% 20.25 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 38 26.32% 18.37 -0.201 39.47% -0.132 -0.4239
4 Archipelago 4 50.0% 30.5 -3.075 50.0% -0.85 -0.6573
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 12 66.67% 25.25 3.542 83.33% 0.344 0.0874
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 45 13.33% 30.31 1.554 73.33% -0.245 0.0076
4 Trapezoid (Default) 332 14.16% 18.33 -2.758 57.23% -1.248 -1.0337
5 Other 36 33.33% 24.72 -2.486 80.56% -0.295 -0.8601
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 26.0 7.421 66.67% 0.218 -0.2028
6 Archipelago 7 0.0% 32.57 -2.31 71.43% -0.324 -1.2569
6 Other 2 0.0% 16.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 4 25.0% 21.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 38 23.68% 33.0 13.371 57.89% -0.095 0.0061
6 Two Centers (Default) 51 9.8% 23.78 3.997 68.63% 0.274 0.0169

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 120 21.0 0.813 60.83% 0.459 0.634
Aid From Lesser Spirits 146 23.98 0.712 69.18% -0.109 -0.1631
All Things Weaken 139 22.2 -2.31 65.47% -0.686 -0.3921
Attenuated Essence 57 20.16 0.699 61.4% 0.145 0.229
Back Against the Wall 122 23.54 1.091 62.3% 0.1 0.1471
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 51 20.67 1.366 62.75% 0.422 0.6255
Burn Brightest Before the End 32 20.63 3.364 53.13% -0.006 0.1818
Disintegrating Ecosystem 137 17.45 -0.289 54.01% -0.039 0.3697
Downward Spiral 185 19.84 -1.696 69.19% 0.23 0.3573
Erosion of Will 143 19.31 -4.701 50.35% -1.182 -0.8993
Intensifying Exploitation 45 17.04 -0.685 44.44% -0.711 -0.463
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 62 26.74 4.173 88.71% 1.012 0.4965
Memory Fades to Dust 197 19.15 1.5 57.87% 0.151 0.3875
Power Corrodes the Spirit 138 20.82 -0.229 63.04% 0.058 0.2762
Promising Farmlands 131 18.61 -1.485 59.54% -0.562 -0.2677
Shattered Fragments of Power 37 20.84 0.704 54.05% -0.232 -0.0311
Slow Dissolution of Will 60 19.07 -0.02 55.0% -0.043 0.3408
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 52 26.79 5.204 88.46% 0.907 0.3265
The Border of Life and Death 13 18.46 3.324 61.54% 0.698 0.1805
Thriving Communities 157 20.69 -3.745 58.6% -1.27 -0.9313
Thriving Crops 29 19.07 -1.944 58.62% -0.165 -0.207
Unnatural Proliferation 145 22.69 -0.555 58.62% -0.038 0.1025
Untended Land Crumbles 153 21.48 0.511 62.09% -0.034 0.4147

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1727 27.06% 22.74 -1.115 69.95% -0.659 0.2026
B 1795 25.22% 23.21 -0.221 70.86% -0.451 0.3658
C 1781 26.17% 23.77 0.194 73.89% -0.175 0.5036
D 1643 25.05% 22.55 -0.03 69.08% -0.449 0.3552
E 1602 24.16% 23.79 0.846 70.97% -0.063 0.606
F 1464 24.9% 23.21 -0.642 69.74% -0.73 0.0687
G 1383 25.51% 22.77 -0.853 69.78% -0.711 0.1148
H 1406 25.95% 23.29 0.859 69.56% -0.236 0.5368
East 541 25.51% 23.67 -1.494 53.79% -1.122 -0.2766
Northeast 268 28.73% 24.67 1.346 54.1% -0.188 0.5823
Northwest 222 25.68% 24.07 2.535 55.41% 0.351 1.158
Southeast 197 18.78% 23.86 1.1 54.82% 0.05 0.9193
Southwest 207 23.67% 18.72 -1.221 43.96% -0.707 0.5752
West 520 25.0% 20.89 -0.571 48.27% -1.06 -0.0636

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 35 0.0% 38.49 10.545 77.14% 1.065 1.8609
Not Using Events or Tokens 271 23.19% 23.94 -0.614 76.38% -0.248 0.1401
Skip Initial Invader Actions 199 11.18% 37.35 6.592 79.9% 0.431 -0.183
Start of Game Growth 276 13.77% 34.72 6.962 79.71% 1.034 0.4521
Unlimited Undo 697 21.51% 25.26 1.209 70.73% 0.278 0.3222
Using Tokens but Not Events 770 22.07% 24.64 0.999 74.03% 0.34 0.2814

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2076 15.74 8.0%
II 2220 30.48 73.15%
III 3157 34.79 91.99%
IV 1460 38.41 99.32%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.112 Win Model: 0.693
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 5885 26.87% 22.96 67.97%
2 1750 28.83% 22.71 69.71%
3 751 24.97% 26.57 79.36%
4 387 14.99% 19.63 59.69%
5 40 37.5% 24.77 77.5%
6 100 14.0% 27.91 66.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 166
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2830
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1529
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1440
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1882
Lose: Invader deck ran out 39
Lose: Adversary condition 242
Win: Sacrifice victory 32
Lose: Scenario condition 43
Win: Scenario condition 147
Lose: Blight pool ran out 523
Lose: Spirit destroyed 40

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 453 25.56% 29.12 -1.608 67.55% -0.346 -0.4901
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 30 30.0% 30.37 2.378 73.33% 0.614 -0.0986
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 235 46.15% 25.79 -6.241 59.15% -1.214 -0.9506
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 65 36.92% 34.45 4.601 75.38% 0.656 -0.1526
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 305 31.25% 30.25 3.452 70.49% 0.805 0.6403
Downpour Drenches the World 623 25.53% 26.23 1.044 59.07% 0.181 0.4547
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 409 18.81% 29.35 0.438 67.73% 0.132 -0.2943
Eyes Watch From the Trees 454 19.82% 31.54 2.686 72.69% 0.452 0.0923
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 325 26.15% 31.83 3.142 73.23% 0.689 0.2441
Finder of Paths Unseen 332 36.78% 21.67 -3.842 52.11% -1.149 -0.4604
Fractured Days Split the Sky 213 29.11% 24.15 -0.805 47.89% -0.565 0.0244
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 394 40.86% 27.6 0.211 61.42% 0.207 0.1425
Heart of the Wildfire 298 59.06% 22.72 -1.567 52.01% -0.204 0.124
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 605 30.79% 29.34 1.351 70.08% 0.282 -0.0124
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 83 19.28% 28.87 3.315 68.67% 0.679 0.3084
Lightning's Swift Strike 169 42.6% 25.96 0.098 61.54% 0.116 0.4563
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 183 31.11% 31.56 4.344 72.68% 0.665 0.1917
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 99 38.78% 31.67 1.601 67.68% 0.375 0.0148
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 127 30.71% 28.91 1.606 63.78% 0.105 0.1115
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 376 37.23% 28.26 3.088 61.97% 0.716 0.4215
Many Minds Move as One 292 26.55% 29.43 1.422 65.41% 0.322 0.1767
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 763 39.21% 28.52 -0.763 65.79% -0.07 -0.1281
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 337 30.56% 27.21 1.24 64.39% 0.36 0.196
River Surges in Sunlight 257 35.04% 30.67 3.457 71.21% 0.78 0.8786
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 28 32.14% 21.64 -2.286 50.0% -0.596 -0.7316
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 142 37.32% 30.27 1.696 66.9% -0.039 0.4371
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 274 31.99% 32.04 1.515 72.26% 0.295 0.2597
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 304 25.33% 26.3 -2.765 58.88% -0.795 -1.05
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 93 45.05% 20.88 -3.519 47.31% -1.031 -0.51
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 79 43.04% 26.72 1.115 60.76% 0.054 0.1947
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 65 38.46% 35.46 2.974 86.15% 0.542 -0.0361
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 98 38.78% 26.82 -3.012 61.22% -0.191 0.1591
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 59 37.29% 25.34 -3.898 55.93% -0.722 -0.7375
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 44 43.18% 24.2 -3.631 54.55% -0.398 -0.1487
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 285 34.86% 28.66 -0.377 67.72% -0.02 -0.1293
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 142 32.62% 26.75 0.208 59.15% 0.18 0.0184
Shifting Memory of Ages 295 39.73% 24.0 -1.339 51.86% -0.441 -0.0964
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 27 33.33% 29.67 1.344 62.96% 0.049 -0.2606
Shroud of Silent Mist 239 50.63% 22.74 -2.547 51.46% -0.778 -0.4471
Starlight Seeks its Form 351 28.86% 25.59 0.596 60.11% 0.209 0.0348
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 415 25.36% 27.61 0.602 65.54% 0.329 -0.3806
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 242 35.56% 24.9 -0.752 55.79% -0.098 0.1136
Thunderspeaker 275 30.77% 28.46 -0.177 65.45% 0.314 0.2934
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 100 42.0% 22.01 -1.496 49.0% -0.511 -0.3129
Towering Roots of the Jungle 60 31.67% 24.73 0.093 56.67% -0.005 -0.0331
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 230 57.83% 23.54 1.503 53.48% 0.11 0.1765
Vital Strength of the Earth 139 26.62% 21.97 -1.173 51.08% 0.041 0.5748
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 193 29.17% 24.17 -2.872 53.37% -0.436 0.1307
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 68 26.47% 20.63 -3.291 42.65% -0.604 0.1549
Volcano Looming High 321 36.76% 24.11 -1.748 58.88% -0.439 -0.3024
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 185 21.62% 31.82 4.336 76.22% 1.057 0.7455

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 28 28.57% 21.64 1.31 53.57% 0.307 0.3225
Blitz 0 136 22.06% 17.38 -4.674 38.97% -1.05 -0.7619
Dahan Insurrection 4 95 38.95% 41.79 1.078 52.63% -0.947 -1.1234
Despicable Theft 2 69 43.48% 21.78 -0.319 31.88% -0.205 0.6561
Elemental Invocation 1 84 34.52% 23.49 -7.759 47.62% -1.713 -0.7803
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 203 11.33% 29.28 -0.834 56.16% -0.499 -1.1459
Powers Long Forgotten 1 71 30.99% 16.13 -5.967 22.54% -1.431 -0.4852
Rituals of Terror 3 21 33.33% 24.29 1.801 38.1% -0.383 -0.3068
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 20 35.0% 20.1 -3.185 35.0% -0.391 0.7239
Second Wave 0 417 37.74% 31.36 0.323 64.75% -0.14 -0.11
The Great River 3 22 31.82% 23.91 1.263 40.91% 0.022 1.4471
Varied Terrains 2 85 42.35% 21.66 -2.18 37.65% -0.83 -0.0555
Ward the Shores 2 81 46.91% 14.27 -8.618 16.05% -1.313 -0.2688

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4545 33.16% 26.87 -0.129 62.38% 0.347 0.6071
1 Thematic 399 32.08% 23.81 -0.238 45.11% -0.119 0.3465
2 Archipelago 2 100.0% 49.5 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1117 32.97% 26.06 0.077 62.22% 0.156 0.341
2 Coastline 181 30.73% 25.54 -1.529 61.88% -0.222 -0.2387
2 Fragment 38 31.58% 22.74 0.04 50.0% -0.072 -0.3882
2 Heart 27 44.44% 28.7 -5.263 62.96% -0.575 -0.6694
2 Opposite Shores 241 34.58% 26.88 -1.697 62.66% -0.341 -0.3801
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 170 31.76% 22.11 -4.458 40.59% -0.931 -0.6445
2 Top to Top 40 50.0% 25.68 1.221 52.5% 0.506 0.4627
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 45.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 7 71.43% 36.71 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 13 46.15% 24.54 -0.095 61.54% 0.379 -0.0843
3 Round (Default) 667 36.82% 29.56 0.94 69.57% -0.373 -0.5927
3 Thematic 24 50.0% 29.5 3.87 58.33% -0.122 -0.4147
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 35.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 6 33.33% 36.67 8.055 83.33% 0.557 0.4487
4 Other 6 66.67% 26.17 6.139 83.33% 0.571 0.3147
4 Thematic 20 25.0% 31.65 9.905 45.0% 0.349 0.6014
4 Trapezoid (Default) 186 29.03% 28.67 0.117 66.13% -0.845 -0.6302
5 Archipelago 2 50.0% 54.5 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 30 30.0% 35.43 1.781 86.67% 0.099 -0.4667
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 3 33.33% 45.0 20.597 66.67% 0.172 -0.7609
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 12 33.33% 26.25 1.285 41.67% 0.006 0.4322
6 Thematic 31 21.43% 32.23 8.335 64.52% 0.19 0.291
6 Two Centers (Default) 39 20.51% 28.9 0.355 58.97% -0.505 -0.7617
7 Other 2 0.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 163 26.09 0.492 58.28% 0.093 0.268
Aid From Lesser Spirits 106 27.17 -1.579 55.66% -0.46 -0.5143
All Things Weaken 148 25.91 0.152 58.78% -0.366 -0.0725
Attenuated Essence 77 24.06 -0.304 51.95% -0.028 0.0553
Back Against the Wall 139 25.67 1.023 55.4% 0.256 0.3034
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 64 25.98 -0.649 54.69% 0.069 0.2723
Burn Brightest Before the End 58 27.02 1.271 55.17% 0.384 0.5713
Disintegrating Ecosystem 152 26.18 4.93 61.18% 0.627 1.0359
Downward Spiral 196 25.37 -0.958 61.73% -0.256 -0.1283
Erosion of Will 147 25.07 -1.167 54.42% -0.524 -0.2414
Intensifying Exploitation 76 24.28 0.269 61.84% 0.52 0.7674
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 92 30.54 5.039 76.09% 0.937 0.4212
Memory Fades to Dust 179 25.21 0.593 55.87% -0.178 0.0592
Power Corrodes the Spirit 145 25.89 2.571 60.0% 0.352 0.5704
Promising Farmlands 172 24.42 0.749 52.33% 0.171 0.4657
Shattered Fragments of Power 43 23.77 -2.463 46.51% -0.564 -0.363
Slow Dissolution of Will 58 21.26 -0.351 36.21% -0.259 0.1256
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 58 29.0 0.69 70.69% 0.495 -0.0864
The Border of Life and Death 17 27.88 -0.006 70.59% 0.205 -0.3126
Thriving Communities 150 23.68 -1.856 55.33% -0.385 -0.0455
Thriving Crops 34 29.38 2.762 64.71% 0.459 0.4165
Unnatural Proliferation 161 25.78 -1.314 52.8% -0.19 -0.0497
Untended Land Crumbles 164 24.04 -1.492 53.05% -0.511 -0.0622

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1517 33.6% 27.68 1.752 64.73% 0.366 1.2282
B 1568 34.19% 27.92 0.952 64.99% -0.029 0.7875
C 1675 32.61% 28.17 -0.038 65.67% -0.205 0.474
D 1501 32.22% 26.96 -0.348 62.03% -0.325 0.4793
E 1375 32.87% 27.77 -0.28 65.16% -0.245 0.4236
F 1271 33.6% 26.91 -0.244 63.34% -0.209 0.589
G 1132 34.66% 26.95 -0.33 61.31% -0.314 0.5117
H 1182 35.25% 27.55 0.46 64.3% -0.099 0.6738
East 412 30.56% 25.51 2.371 46.84% 0.635 1.4812
Northeast 195 32.29% 25.23 1.859 44.1% -0.252 0.5191
Northwest 163 28.13% 26.15 1.977 49.69% 0.228 1.0355
Southeast 145 26.06% 25.93 0.579 52.41% 0.531 1.4007
Southwest 147 33.33% 23.61 -3.18 46.94% -0.943 0.3392
West 393 32.56% 23.51 -0.107 44.53% -0.016 0.9797

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 23 0.0% 30.52 2.833 73.91% 0.052 0.8481
Not Using Events or Tokens 123 32.2% 23.01 -1.084 48.78% -0.183 0.2043
Skip Initial Invader Actions 170 8.59% 39.71 3.88 85.29% 0.306 -0.3089
Start of Game Growth 268 13.36% 36.81 2.777 79.85% 0.442 -0.1391
Unlimited Undo 665 22.98% 26.58 -1.531 61.95% -0.29 -0.2459
Using Tokens but Not Events 727 21.02% 29.77 1.808 70.98% 0.562 0.5043

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1880 15.74 3.09%
II 1620 30.48 45.31%
III 2615 34.79 89.48%
IV 1705 38.41 99.12%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.616 Win Model: 0.665
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 5029 33.03% 26.41 60.37%
2 1757 33.71% 26.35 61.47%
3 705 37.54% 29.46 68.94%
4 208 28.37% 29.67 67.31%
5 36 30.56% 32.56 77.78%
6 85 21.95% 31.74 61.18%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 58
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2292
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 711
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1677
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1431
Lose: Invader deck ran out 24
Lose: Adversary condition 865
Win: Sacrifice victory 21
Lose: Scenario condition 56
Win: Scenario condition 63
Lose: Blight pool ran out 599
Lose: Spirit destroyed 23

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 491 28.48% 32.11 0.669 70.67% 0.296 0.1524
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 27 22.22% 29.78 0.682 66.67% 0.101 -0.6121
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 225 51.11% 27.95 -8.466 58.22% -1.122 -0.8576
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 92 31.52% 35.04 3.075 72.83% 0.686 -0.1222
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 350 40.29% 30.68 0.908 67.71% 0.36 0.1952
Downpour Drenches the World 682 31.02% 29.14 -1.031 59.68% -0.362 -0.0892
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 623 29.7% 33.04 2.991 72.07% 0.665 0.2388
Eyes Watch From the Trees 572 38.46% 32.78 3.163 66.43% 0.815 0.4556
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 374 40.91% 32.64 2.658 70.59% 0.809 0.3642
Finder of Paths Unseen 398 41.56% 27.2 -1.482 62.56% -0.073 0.6153
Fractured Days Split the Sky 198 32.83% 29.34 -1.309 57.07% -0.227 0.3616
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 385 47.66% 27.08 -1.994 52.99% -0.223 -0.2876
Heart of the Wildfire 335 70.36% 25.1 -1.868 54.03% -0.149 0.1788
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 716 30.67% 33.67 2.273 71.51% 0.62 0.3248
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 141 31.21% 33.43 0.554 77.3% 0.328 -0.0431
Lightning's Swift Strike 177 47.46% 30.14 -2.111 64.41% -0.26 0.0798
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 284 45.85% 35.42 3.109 77.11% 0.962 0.4881
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 118 34.75% 31.84 -2.279 64.41% -0.374 -0.7343
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 130 29.23% 32.38 1.544 61.54% -0.151 -0.1443
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 487 42.51% 29.97 -0.146 63.66% -0.03 -0.3245
Many Minds Move as One 337 30.27% 30.96 -1.561 65.28% -0.263 -0.4083
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 948 38.64% 31.73 1.345 67.19% 0.359 0.3008
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 421 38.24% 29.59 1.684 59.86% 0.325 0.1611
River Surges in Sunlight 255 39.76% 35.85 4.428 76.47% 0.936 1.0348
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 29 44.83% 28.9 0.617 62.07% -0.032 -0.1677
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 126 45.24% 32.04 1.731 61.9% 0.055 0.531
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 314 38.59% 37.16 5.06 75.8% 0.711 0.676
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 417 33.9% 30.82 3.338 59.71% 0.457 0.2017
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 48 58.33% 22.88 -8.999 45.83% -0.773 -0.2518
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 69 53.62% 36.46 2.535 79.71% 0.068 0.2094
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 100 55.0% 29.3 0.627 60.0% 0.091 -0.4876
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 88 54.55% 30.19 -2.553 55.68% -0.105 0.2454
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 56 50.0% 28.59 0.285 64.29% 0.162 0.1461
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 39 53.85% 22.03 -7.371 46.15% -0.551 -0.302
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 231 38.33% 31.22 -2.297 67.1% -0.573 -0.6829
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 196 41.03% 30.97 0.364 67.86% -0.168 -0.3294
Shifting Memory of Ages 356 42.42% 25.74 -5.396 54.21% -0.757 -0.4125
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 23 34.78% 27.13 -1.115 52.17% -0.328 -0.6376
Shroud of Silent Mist 246 55.28% 26.1 -6.664 54.07% -1.287 -0.9558
Starlight Seeks its Form 482 29.67% 30.95 -1.599 64.94% -0.436 -0.611
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 481 29.92% 30.91 0.152 70.06% 0.449 -0.2604
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 306 54.1% 28.83 -2.461 56.21% -0.583 -0.3711
Thunderspeaker 269 37.31% 29.61 -0.776 64.31% 0.2 0.1789
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 98 39.8% 28.95 5.216 63.27% 0.948 1.1463
Towering Roots of the Jungle 101 31.68% 26.52 -0.066 56.44% 0.056 0.0278
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 257 67.32% 25.77 -3.817 55.25% -0.75 -0.6842
Vital Strength of the Earth 117 26.72% 21.43 -1.922 41.03% -0.043 0.4914
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 225 40.45% 26.83 -0.893 52.89% -0.307 0.2601
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 69 37.68% 25.9 -3.694 47.83% -0.824 -0.065
Volcano Looming High 471 50.11% 29.42 0.629 65.82% 0.191 0.3276
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 243 30.45% 34.57 1.833 75.72% 0.351 0.0399

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 21 9.52% 27.71 -5.894 61.9% -0.336 -0.321
Blitz 0 115 26.96% 25.43 -7.595 44.35% -1.277 -0.9885
Dahan Insurrection 4 87 35.63% 37.09 -0.801 42.53% -0.778 -0.9548
Despicable Theft 2 47 46.81% 21.7 -4.155 17.02% -0.685 0.1757
Elemental Invocation 1 79 37.97% 18.34 -9.005 34.18% -1.291 -0.3584
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 289 17.65% 32.92 2.84 57.09% 0.214 -0.4324
Powers Long Forgotten 1 52 34.62% 13.58 3.334 23.08% 0.198 1.1435
Rituals of Terror 3 23 52.17% 21.91 -6.763 34.78% -0.494 -0.4173
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 23 60.87% 22.13 2.409 26.09% 0.114 1.2291
Second Wave 0 367 31.68% 36.59 5.613 70.3% 0.727 0.7572
The Great River 3 15 26.67% 23.0 4.931 33.33% 0.245 1.67
Varied Terrains 2 79 54.43% 24.1 -4.923 34.18% -0.974 -0.199
Ward the Shores 2 54 42.59% 25.56 -10.512 37.04% -0.52 0.5243

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5159 40.45% 29.88 0.318 62.69% 0.085 0.3455
1 Thematic 365 31.23% 21.89 -3.442 33.7% -0.88 -0.4138
2 Archipelago 24 62.5% 26.58 -5.071 37.5% -0.715 -0.242
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1448 40.57% 30.35 -0.118 65.95% 0.155 0.3406
2 Coastline 211 37.91% 33.4 -2.136 74.88% -0.398 -0.4144
2 Fragment 40 45.0% 28.95 4.189 62.5% 0.287 -0.0291
2 Heart 25 56.0% 21.12 -7.539 36.0% -0.1 -0.1941
2 Opposite Shores 351 41.71% 30.39 -2.847 64.96% -0.446 -0.4857
2 Thematic 158 28.48% 24.58 2.413 42.41% 0.404 0.6909
2 Top to Top 63 44.44% 32.75 3.97 74.6% 0.634 0.5905
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 40.17 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 7 28.57% 31.43 10.932 57.14% 0.202 -0.5474
3 Other 9 11.11% 33.33 3.137 66.67% 0.195 -0.2682
3 Round (Default) 702 35.65% 32.46 1.679 70.51% 0.774 0.5537
3 Sunrise 6 100.0% 28.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 24 29.17% 26.0 0.285 45.83% 0.04 -0.2527
4 Archipelago 12 25.0% 35.08 10.32 66.67% 0.372 0.5649
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 35.0 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 38.25 0.0 75.0%
4 Other 5 20.0% 25.2 0.0 60.0%
4 Thematic 47 44.68% 30.36 -12.484 48.94% -0.481 -0.2288
4 Trapezoid (Default) 225 38.67% 32.75 3.123 72.44% 0.765 0.9794
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 3 100.0% 27.67 0.0 66.67%
5 Other 51 43.14% 31.73 0.147 78.43% -0.056 -0.6213
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 9 33.33% 18.78 -14.622 22.22% -1.371 -0.9455
6 Star 5 80.0% 29.8 -0.299 80.0% 0.081 0.194
6 Thematic 36 42.86% 33.94 -0.78 58.33% -0.095 0.0067
6 Two Centers (Default) 16 37.5% 31.63 4.36 56.25% -0.037 -0.2945
7 Other 2 0.0% 52.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 214 28.86 -1.041 57.48% -0.172 0.003
Aid From Lesser Spirits 171 32.4 -1.009 71.35% -0.428 -0.4817
All Things Weaken 240 28.39 -2.86 58.33% -0.592 -0.2987
Attenuated Essence 97 25.85 -1.286 51.55% -0.405 -0.3211
Back Against the Wall 164 30.36 2.537 56.71% 0.367 0.4146
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 90 25.32 -0.324 52.22% 0.035 0.2385
Burn Brightest Before the End 60 30.87 0.268 56.67% -0.378 -0.19
Disintegrating Ecosystem 207 29.2 1.565 65.7% 0.405 0.8144
Downward Spiral 234 26.47 -5.254 55.56% -1.252 -1.1244
Erosion of Will 195 27.99 1.52 53.33% 0.224 0.5072
Intensifying Exploitation 96 24.89 -0.307 52.08% -0.104 0.1442
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 90 36.18 2.54 83.33% 0.272 -0.2439
Memory Fades to Dust 244 29.32 -1.074 61.48% -0.311 -0.074
Power Corrodes the Spirit 209 28.27 2.016 58.85% 0.256 0.4736
Promising Farmlands 247 28.11 -0.416 62.35% -0.082 0.2126
Shattered Fragments of Power 68 29.44 1.471 60.29% 0.199 0.3999
Slow Dissolution of Will 90 27.18 -0.811 51.11% -0.156 0.2278
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 68 31.51 1.31 69.12% -0.078 -0.6594
The Border of Life and Death 32 30.22 -0.177 62.5% -0.239 -0.7558
Thriving Communities 245 27.29 1.12 53.88% 0.266 0.6049
Thriving Crops 50 28.4 0.569 62.0% 0.163 0.1204
Unnatural Proliferation 236 28.91 -0.643 58.9% -0.547 -0.4067
Untended Land Crumbles 228 27.11 -1.071 56.14% -0.242 0.2065

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1917 39.6% 31.21 0.718 66.51% -0.104 0.7577
B 1811 38.79% 30.93 0.423 66.43% -0.097 0.7203
C 2014 38.44% 31.38 0.422 67.87% -0.112 0.5667
D 1667 37.24% 29.58 -0.121 61.97% -0.316 0.4885
E 1623 40.44% 31.24 1.126 66.24% -0.093 0.5757
F 1498 44.99% 30.49 -0.204 66.36% -0.109 0.6899
G 1334 42.61% 30.25 -1.003 65.52% -0.453 0.3723
H 1312 39.92% 31.14 0.966 66.77% 0.019 0.7914
East 422 32.78% 23.8 0.269 37.2% -0.41 0.4362
Northeast 208 29.47% 24.87 -1.401 36.54% -0.811 -0.04
Northwest 172 30.41% 29.21 -3.266 52.33% -0.349 0.4582
Southeast 172 36.84% 24.66 -4.034 42.44% -1.181 -0.3116
Southwest 154 35.95% 25.04 2.017 43.51% 0.687 1.9688
West 389 34.28% 26.57 -0.543 46.27% -0.382 0.6137

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 19 0.0% 39.32 1.075 84.21% 0.099 0.8952
Not Using Events or Tokens 127 29.84% 21.97 -2.335 40.94% -0.851 -0.463
Skip Initial Invader Actions 157 15.75% 44.25 10.196 77.07% 0.806 0.1913
Start of Game Growth 187 15.91% 44.0 8.44 79.68% 0.587 0.005
Unlimited Undo 967 36.04% 29.01 -1.327 59.36% -0.33 -0.2858
Using Tokens but Not Events 810 29.22% 30.27 -0.915 63.83% -0.504 -0.562

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2225 15.74 1.17%
II 1819 30.48 52.67%
III 2946 34.79 90.53%
IV 2041 38.41 99.12%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.563 Win Model: 0.248
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 5604 39.79% 29.21 60.47%
2 2265 40.7% 30.56 65.39%
3 749 35.41% 32.21 69.29%
4 291 38.14% 32.49 69.42%
5 54 50.0% 33.46 81.48%
6 68 40.3% 32.09 57.35%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 26
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2617
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 929
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2010
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1473
Lose: Invader deck ran out 36
Lose: Adversary condition 999
Win: Sacrifice victory 36
Lose: Scenario condition 56
Win: Scenario condition 56
Lose: Blight pool ran out 731
Lose: Spirit destroyed 62

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 689 25.84% 40.22 2.399 68.94% 0.264 0.1198
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 54 16.67% 36.76 2.743 66.67% 0.607 -0.1058
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 323 60.12% 36.49 -1.748 61.61% -0.454 -0.1904
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 199 32.16% 43.89 5.194 76.88% 0.744 -0.0644
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 512 37.57% 36.7 0.015 64.65% 0.135 -0.0292
Downpour Drenches the World 971 29.25% 35.58 -2.264 61.17% -0.441 -0.1673
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 959 30.55% 41.76 4.528 75.91% 0.981 0.5546
Eyes Watch From the Trees 702 29.24% 43.76 2.741 76.21% 0.602 0.2425
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 499 39.28% 43.14 2.596 75.55% 0.345 -0.0998
Finder of Paths Unseen 520 51.35% 33.24 -2.31 57.88% -0.496 0.192
Fractured Days Split the Sky 349 38.37% 37.22 -2.202 51.58% -0.201 0.3879
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 536 49.44% 35.7 -1.457 62.87% -0.26 -0.3242
Heart of the Wildfire 442 67.12% 28.15 -5.42 46.15% -0.901 -0.5731
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1202 30.91% 43.95 2.623 74.04% 0.521 0.2265
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 200 35.0% 42.16 7.572 75.0% 1.303 0.9325
Lightning's Swift Strike 227 60.54% 37.04 -1.448 62.11% -0.199 0.1409
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 570 43.01% 44.27 3.676 76.84% 0.945 0.4708
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 171 46.47% 39.62 5.366 69.59% 0.862 0.5014
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 292 26.03% 42.48 -1.068 72.95% -0.115 -0.1084
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 747 48.79% 37.99 2.381 64.12% 0.486 0.1914
Many Minds Move as One 391 32.23% 39.37 3.35 69.05% 0.596 0.4501
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1700 40.75% 38.33 -1.691 65.53% -0.384 -0.4418
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 508 38.46% 39.81 -0.513 70.87% -0.132 -0.2962
River Surges in Sunlight 331 41.46% 45.71 4.659 77.64% 0.74 0.8383
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 30 43.33% 37.7 1.942 66.67% 0.255 0.1201
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 206 31.07% 28.89 -7.725 48.06% -1.164 -0.6884
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 586 42.22% 46.47 2.125 73.72% 0.018 -0.0174
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 781 30.73% 39.92 -0.657 67.61% 0.036 -0.219
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 45 75.56% 29.02 -1.957 37.78% -0.53 -0.0086
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 87 67.82% 33.72 -2.57 56.32% 0.024 0.1656
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 168 57.74% 40.08 4.581 67.86% 0.788 0.2094
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 130 59.23% 36.72 1.115 62.31% -0.007 0.3437
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 74 66.22% 29.57 -7.216 44.59% -1.038 -1.0544
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 26 69.23% 28.81 -11.943 46.15% -1.136 -0.8874
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 418 39.18% 39.83 -0.849 67.7% -0.26 -0.3699
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 261 29.89% 39.49 2.342 68.58% 0.517 0.3556
Shifting Memory of Ages 544 43.65% 33.25 -2.518 55.88% -0.374 -0.0296
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 65 27.69% 36.26 1.386 66.15% 0.213 -0.0963
Shroud of Silent Mist 385 58.49% 32.63 -3.386 55.06% -0.58 -0.249
Starlight Seeks its Form 960 36.5% 37.73 1.298 66.15% 0.272 0.0978
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 687 31.68% 41.11 1.563 72.63% 0.365 -0.3443
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 348 47.69% 35.58 -2.551 59.77% -0.637 -0.4254
Thunderspeaker 376 43.24% 42.33 1.076 68.62% 0.186 0.165
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 184 39.13% 37.58 3.046 52.17% -0.028 0.1701
Towering Roots of the Jungle 169 40.83% 31.79 -1.521 54.44% -0.309 -0.3373
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 451 70.51% 34.46 -3.122 61.64% -0.225 -0.1586
Vital Strength of the Earth 114 36.61% 28.28 -5.7 43.86% -0.799 -0.2652
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 378 42.4% 34.86 -5.486 58.2% -0.944 -0.3773
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 48 39.58% 33.98 -0.402 60.42% -0.231 0.5276
Volcano Looming High 799 54.19% 38.06 1.0 69.46% 0.07 0.2073
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 443 41.53% 41.46 2.036 70.88% 0.267 -0.0439

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 16 43.75% 37.13 -13.988 62.5% -0.589 -0.574
Blitz 0 140 19.29% 49.93 11.157 60.0% 0.356 0.6441
Dahan Insurrection 4 122 41.8% 47.76 -2.431 37.7% -1.045 -1.2218
Despicable Theft 2 20 30.0% 35.15 8.49 45.0% 0.294 1.1547
Elemental Invocation 1 50 46.0% 29.5 -7.838 46.0% -0.661 0.2722
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 389 18.56% 41.17 1.323 58.35% -0.104 -0.7501
Powers Long Forgotten 1 35 48.57% 29.4 -6.162 37.14% -1.475 -0.5288
Rituals of Terror 3 28 21.43% 24.75 -17.914 28.57% -0.473 -0.3964
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 12 58.33% 27.17 0.0 33.33%
Second Wave 0 333 34.55% 44.6 7.374 69.07% 0.802 0.8327
The Great River 3 33 48.48% 31.52 -16.536 33.33% -0.415 1.01
Varied Terrains 2 46 50.0% 27.09 3.24 32.61% 0.34 1.1147
Ward the Shores 2 38 57.89% 26.58 -5.534 26.32% -1.826 -0.782

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7901 44.38% 37.8 -0.587 65.4% -0.164 0.096
1 Thematic 235 39.15% 31.31 -6.647 40.85% -0.936 -0.4702
2 Archipelago 17 29.41% 34.76 -16.49 47.06% -0.446 0.0275
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2063 40.14% 37.53 -0.282 68.35% 0.033 0.2178
2 Coastline 293 42.66% 41.23 1.424 73.04% 0.449 0.4327
2 Fragment 48 47.92% 31.44 0.149 47.92% -0.206 -0.522
2 Heart 34 47.06% 39.35 0.424 70.59% 0.193 0.099
2 Opposite Shores 456 42.54% 36.68 3.255 62.72% 0.345 0.3052
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 107 45.79% 33.13 -4.796 46.73% -0.635 -0.3483
2 Top to Top 105 46.67% 43.24 -6.413 81.9% -0.866 -0.9101
3 Archipelago 9 88.89% 33.67 0.0 33.33%
3 Coastline 5 60.0% 48.6 8.127 80.0% 0.778 0.0278
3 Other 35 34.29% 34.4 5.243 57.14% 1.047 0.5838
3 Round (Default) 1191 36.9% 41.01 1.783 70.19% 0.206 -0.0142
3 Sunrise 6 66.67% 37.5 6.25 66.67% 0.599 0.6742
3 Thematic 35 20.0% 39.83 -4.204 57.14% -0.364 -0.6562
4 Archipelago 11 90.91% 49.45 0.0 90.91%
4 Leaf 3 33.33% 41.33 4.997 66.67% 0.198 0.0895
4 Other 90 26.67% 23.8 -5.597 48.89% -0.623 -0.8801
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 56 46.43% 46.27 12.756 57.14% 0.614 0.8661
4 Trapezoid (Default) 444 39.46% 41.68 2.548 72.75% 0.335 0.5495
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 32 28.13% 43.06 -1.927 81.25% -0.062 -0.6278
5 Thematic 21 57.14% 57.71 -9.278 28.57% -0.521 -0.9412
6 Other 10 44.44% 44.5 -23.917 70.0% -0.884 -0.458
6 Star 9 33.33% 23.22 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 93 23.66% 46.37 5.752 54.84% 0.32 0.4218
6 Two Centers (Default) 58 25.86% 38.57 -0.344 70.69% -0.37 -0.6267

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 343 38.5 0.548 67.35% 0.213 0.3885
Aid From Lesser Spirits 271 40.04 3.511 66.05% 0.516 0.4615
All Things Weaken 343 35.73 -0.209 59.48% -0.246 0.0471
Attenuated Essence 151 33.78 0.756 55.63% 0.28 0.3641
Back Against the Wall 285 36.66 -0.924 60.7% -0.172 -0.1246
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 124 36.23 2.102 62.9% 0.408 0.6119
Burn Brightest Before the End 111 36.57 1.021 60.36% -0.0 0.1873
Disintegrating Ecosystem 340 34.13 0.373 60.0% 0.395 0.8036
Downward Spiral 356 35.63 -2.502 63.2% -0.219 -0.0912
Erosion of Will 357 35.55 0.923 57.14% -0.185 0.0981
Intensifying Exploitation 152 33.61 -2.594 52.63% -0.76 -0.5124
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 181 42.0 0.187 80.11% -0.211 -0.7267
Memory Fades to Dust 385 33.4 -2.249 54.81% -0.629 -0.392
Power Corrodes the Spirit 365 34.17 -0.294 60.0% 0.096 0.3135
Promising Farmlands 342 34.45 0.589 58.77% 0.005 0.2997
Shattered Fragments of Power 101 36.59 3.623 61.39% 0.766 0.9676
Slow Dissolution of Will 133 36.03 -0.311 60.15% -0.061 0.3228
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 108 42.31 3.338 79.63% 0.741 0.16
The Border of Life and Death 47 33.79 -1.272 63.83% -0.024 -0.5412
Thriving Communities 386 34.67 -3.294 60.1% -0.201 0.1379
Thriving Crops 62 40.47 1.314 75.81% -0.019 -0.0611
Unnatural Proliferation 365 36.95 -1.953 61.92% -0.708 -0.5679
Untended Land Crumbles 355 33.44 -3.143 56.62% -0.72 -0.2709

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2876 42.5% 37.69 0.38 66.06% -0.177 0.6846
B 2972 39.67% 38.97 1.506 68.88% 0.041 0.8578
C 3181 39.5% 38.15 0.465 66.8% -0.11 0.5686
D 2536 41.17% 36.76 -0.368 63.49% -0.269 0.5356
E 2558 42.18% 39.52 0.404 69.55% -0.05 0.6185
F 2213 41.56% 38.71 -0.747 67.42% -0.359 0.4394
G 2112 41.93% 38.89 0.457 68.37% -0.016 0.8096
H 2025 39.38% 39.45 -0.873 69.09% -0.528 0.2446
East 404 35.4% 37.63 -0.925 43.81% -0.343 0.5028
Northeast 260 34.62% 41.44 -1.409 45.0% -0.919 -0.1487
Northwest 228 39.91% 43.81 5.13 51.32% 0.455 1.2625
Southeast 214 34.11% 42.35 0.754 50.93% -0.051 0.8185
Southwest 195 33.33% 39.75 -0.875 53.33% -0.505 0.7771
West 386 40.16% 41.08 2.806 52.07% -0.162 0.8341

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 35 0.0% 46.2 1.108 74.29% 0.069 0.8648
Not Using Events or Tokens 74 37.84% 26.68 -6.477 41.89% -0.66 -0.2724
Skip Initial Invader Actions 296 14.03% 53.17 2.243 70.61% 0.434 -0.1809
Start of Game Growth 456 11.26% 45.12 -4.294 65.79% -0.842 -1.4236
Unlimited Undo 1324 33.84% 40.7 -0.201 70.17% 0.197 0.2404
Using Tokens but Not Events 967 28.86% 39.97 1.093 68.77% 0.108 0.0502

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2658 15.74 1.81%
II 3234 30.48 54.64%
III 5159 34.79 90.5%
IV 2342 38.41 99.7%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.381 Win Model: 0.296
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8227 44.18% 37.56 64.59%
2 3078 41.65% 37.95 67.71%
3 1265 36.4% 40.68 69.41%
4 603 39.0% 39.55 68.16%
5 53 41.51% 48.42 58.49%
6 167 25.3% 42.29 60.48%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 48
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4598
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1726
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2316
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1880
Lose: Invader deck ran out 71
Lose: Adversary condition 1274
Win: Sacrifice victory 75
Lose: Scenario condition 89
Win: Scenario condition 56
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1183
Lose: Spirit destroyed 77

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 531 32.83% 40.23 1.305 63.09% 0.354 0.21
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 50 22.0% 40.86 3.123 70.0% 0.706 -0.0074
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 260 65.38% 32.25 -3.527 46.15% -0.642 -0.3776
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 283 48.76% 36.1 2.371 54.42% 0.718 -0.0907
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 371 58.76% 34.46 -1.113 55.26% -0.012 -0.1768
Downpour Drenches the World 717 39.75% 33.3 -3.863 51.05% -0.559 -0.2854
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 871 41.33% 40.04 4.124 69.58% 0.777 0.3503
Eyes Watch From the Trees 535 43.36% 42.32 5.179 69.35% 0.848 0.4883
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 348 50.0% 39.74 1.882 65.8% 0.552 0.1081
Finder of Paths Unseen 395 53.92% 33.8 -4.098 53.16% -0.599 0.0894
Fractured Days Split the Sky 276 39.49% 32.62 -2.352 45.65% -0.302 0.2874
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 379 54.62% 35.53 -1.179 55.94% 0.123 0.0583
Heart of the Wildfire 311 75.24% 28.33 -4.52 42.12% -0.781 -0.4534
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1074 37.9% 42.0 2.524 65.55% 0.471 0.1763
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 210 39.52% 37.4 0.553 60.95% 0.15 -0.2211
Lightning's Swift Strike 125 57.6% 36.1 -5.095 55.2% -0.726 -0.3855
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 538 56.42% 45.01 4.809 72.86% 0.936 0.4627
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 124 47.58% 41.51 5.115 70.16% 0.94 0.5799
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 196 36.73% 36.96 -0.655 56.12% 0.06 0.067
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 485 57.94% 35.35 -3.247 55.26% -0.494 -0.789
Many Minds Move as One 425 32.0% 32.48 -2.207 53.41% -0.141 -0.2869
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1224 55.93% 37.76 -1.363 55.15% -0.398 -0.4564
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 409 46.21% 36.18 1.063 56.72% 0.333 0.1696
River Surges in Sunlight 234 49.15% 41.88 3.975 64.53% 0.87 0.9687
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 28 42.86% 38.61 2.046 60.71% 0.36 0.2242
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 73 58.9% 35.27 -8.157 53.42% -0.277 0.1994
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 479 52.61% 41.81 3.131 62.84% 0.575 0.5403
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 561 35.65% 41.96 2.893 68.98% 0.295 0.0402
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 32 75.0% 27.06 -5.709 28.13% -1.055 -0.5335
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 59 72.88% 27.97 -6.569 38.98% -0.809 -0.6683
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 123 60.98% 34.99 0.056 56.1% 0.254 -0.3246
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 104 64.42% 36.0 2.404 54.81% 0.542 0.8919
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 59 66.1% 34.1 -7.71 49.15% -1.307 -1.3231
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 32 75.0% 22.34 8.429 21.88% 0.243 0.4916
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 360 49.17% 40.05 1.67 66.67% 0.402 0.2928
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 276 33.7% 27.27 -2.404 44.2% -0.115 -0.277
Shifting Memory of Ages 303 53.14% 36.91 0.089 60.4% 0.098 0.4419
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 47 48.94% 34.26 -0.813 55.32% -0.101 -0.4105
Shroud of Silent Mist 245 62.45% 27.99 -3.928 37.55% -0.785 -0.4534
Starlight Seeks its Form 954 42.98% 35.35 -1.289 55.35% -0.082 -0.2564
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 652 37.79% 37.25 2.503 61.35% 0.893 0.1834
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 322 60.56% 30.29 -1.269 37.89% -0.05 0.1621
Thunderspeaker 439 51.48% 36.14 -0.648 58.54% 0.238 0.2175
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 97 53.61% 35.56 0.085 59.79% 0.304 0.502
Towering Roots of the Jungle 146 45.89% 28.91 -2.426 44.52% -0.274 -0.3019
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 527 69.83% 30.84 -1.896 47.63% -0.048 0.018
Vital Strength of the Earth 156 62.82% 23.74 -1.637 13.46% -1.298 -0.764
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 307 49.35% 34.17 -4.912 46.25% -0.968 -0.4008
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 99 55.56% 21.19 -5.146 18.18% -1.162 -0.4029
Volcano Looming High 668 58.68% 36.49 0.234 60.33% 0.42 0.5571
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 404 51.24% 39.43 2.173 65.59% 0.654 0.3431

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 25.0% 12.5 -15.746 25.0% -1.267 -1.252
Blitz 0 142 11.97% 50.75 6.222 45.77% -0.233 0.0547
Dahan Insurrection 4 86 44.19% 54.64 3.668 48.84% -0.123 -0.3002
Despicable Theft 2 19 36.84% 18.37 -17.185 15.79% -0.439 0.4221
Elemental Invocation 1 34 41.18% 28.29 -0.925 44.12% 0.359 1.2919
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 486 21.81% 48.11 1.695 73.25% 0.036 -0.6103
Powers Long Forgotten 1 18 55.56% 23.61 0.0 16.67%
Rituals of Terror 3 21 42.86% 29.48 -16.544 33.33% -0.758 -0.6821
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 13 76.92% 24.38 -11.636 30.77% -0.772 0.3429
Second Wave 0 257 43.36% 43.63 2.757 63.42% -0.408 -0.3772
The Great River 3 20 75.0% 37.95 -1.718 40.0% -0.4 1.0249
Varied Terrains 2 42 47.62% 31.71 5.038 26.19% 0.434 1.2085
Ward the Shores 2 35 40.0% 29.6 -16.359 31.43% -0.928 0.1168

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7505 52.11% 36.7 0.202 56.48% 0.205 0.4653
1 Thematic 181 46.41% 31.95 -4.965 38.12% -0.524 -0.0582
2 Archipelago 15 26.67% 45.6 -8.089 60.0% -0.498 -0.025
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1709 44.65% 39.59 1.108 66.53% 0.429 0.6139
2 Coastline 232 50.86% 37.16 -2.011 60.78% -0.472 -0.4887
2 Fragment 41 63.41% 34.02 -14.212 51.22% -0.336 -0.6521
2 Heart 35 51.43% 38.83 2.246 62.86% 0.377 0.283
2 Opposite Shores 734 51.63% 31.45 -0.629 50.14% -0.145 -0.1841
2 Thematic 142 59.15% 27.8 -0.174 21.83% 0.12 0.4064
2 Top to Top 136 36.03% 33.32 0.956 58.09% 0.131 0.087
3 Archipelago 10 90.0% 37.6 8.511 50.0% 0.346 -0.7934
3 Coastline 6 83.33% 54.0 0.0 66.67%
3 Other 15 60.0% 36.47 10.077 60.0% 0.876 0.4135
3 Round (Default) 777 44.07% 39.23 1.312 62.55% 0.117 -0.1031
3 Sunrise 10 40.0% 36.3 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 30 66.67% 45.1 0.484 60.0% -0.315 -0.6073
4 Archipelago 4 100.0% 30.75 0.0 25.0%
4 Other 10 60.0% 24.5 13.655 40.0% 0.674 0.417
4 Thematic 16 37.5% 27.81 -1.198 25.0% -0.138 0.1142
4 Trapezoid (Default) 270 44.81% 33.1 -5.736 51.11% -1.445 -1.2308
5 Other 23 56.52% 28.87 11.181 39.13% 0.513 -0.0528
5 Thematic 10 70.0% 26.3 -14.32 10.0% -0.216 -0.6366
6 Archipelago 4 50.0% 49.75 11.686 75.0% 0.281 -0.6517
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 30.0 5.219 0.0% -0.177 -0.9743
6 Other 11 45.45% 36.36 -8.874 63.64% -0.427 -0.0013
6 Star 5 20.0% 29.6 0.0 40.0%
6 Thematic 8 50.0% 25.88 10.865 25.0% 0.281 0.3821
6 Two Centers (Default) 23 34.78% 40.3 1.926 56.52% -0.259 -0.5159

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 386 35.74 -3.155 54.15% -0.386 -0.2108
Aid From Lesser Spirits 283 38.41 0.841 57.24% -0.434 -0.4886
All Things Weaken 382 35.29 -0.637 50.52% -0.302 -0.0086
Attenuated Essence 166 32.09 -0.012 48.19% 0.01 0.0932
Back Against the Wall 302 37.84 3.817 56.95% 0.501 0.5482
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 178 32.94 0.725 50.56% 0.033 0.2368
Burn Brightest Before the End 111 36.67 2.859 54.95% 0.36 0.5477
Disintegrating Ecosystem 368 33.76 0.432 55.16% 0.207 0.6158
Downward Spiral 401 35.3 -1.081 54.86% -0.205 -0.0774
Erosion of Will 360 33.37 -1.125 46.94% -0.468 -0.1847
Intensifying Exploitation 166 33.39 -0.17 52.41% -0.126 0.1217
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 168 40.98 2.923 67.86% 0.311 -0.2047
Memory Fades to Dust 391 34.38 1.248 52.43% 0.295 0.5318
Power Corrodes the Spirit 354 32.86 -2.218 48.31% -0.369 -0.1508
Promising Farmlands 338 33.0 2.063 49.11% 0.61 0.9047
Shattered Fragments of Power 121 36.28 -1.067 54.55% -0.245 -0.0432
Slow Dissolution of Will 173 31.21 -0.753 43.93% -0.338 0.0467
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 101 42.83 0.954 75.25% 0.261 -0.3204
The Border of Life and Death 54 35.24 -3.969 62.96% -0.033 -0.5502
Thriving Communities 376 34.49 -1.408 51.33% -0.207 0.1324
Thriving Crops 79 34.65 -2.475 56.96% -0.361 -0.4029
Unnatural Proliferation 389 36.55 2.563 52.7% 0.28 0.4208
Untended Land Crumbles 359 34.9 0.167 52.37% 0.181 0.6299

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2599 49.5% 34.61 -1.763 55.29% -0.358 0.5037
B 2503 48.28% 37.33 0.785 59.97% 0.04 0.8573
C 2628 47.91% 38.69 1.984 62.1% 0.284 0.9625
D 1936 46.49% 35.35 -0.623 54.7% -0.119 0.6853
E 2245 49.62% 37.49 -0.039 59.2% -0.114 0.5546
F 1953 50.23% 37.49 0.43 59.29% -0.028 0.7701
G 1663 51.26% 37.34 -1.202 58.51% -0.262 0.5635
H 1733 48.12% 36.4 -0.64 56.38% -0.26 0.5129
East 199 43.22% 31.14 -3.928 34.17% -0.669 0.1774
Northeast 109 35.78% 30.5 -6.166 28.44% -1.169 -0.398
Northwest 98 52.04% 35.94 3.848 40.82% 0.013 0.8207
Southeast 72 54.17% 31.31 5.581 40.28% 0.677 1.5467
Southwest 154 68.18% 26.51 0.408 23.38% 0.251 1.5323
West 265 59.62% 30.86 -1.111 30.94% -0.284 0.7124

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3 0.0% 57.0 3.544 100.0% 0.116 0.9118
Not Using Events or Tokens 48 33.33% 29.77 -1.398 47.92% -0.307 0.0811
Skip Initial Invader Actions 217 11.11% 56.73 5.402 62.21% -0.085 -0.6995
Start of Game Growth 383 21.73% 47.33 5.648 60.57% 0.594 0.0124
Unlimited Undo 1560 44.19% 39.69 -0.298 61.54% -0.071 -0.0273
Using Tokens but Not Events 654 43.16% 39.22 4.678 60.55% 0.927 0.8686

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3124 15.74 3.62%
II 3214 30.48 48.23%
III 3869 34.79 88.34%
IV 1763 38.41 99.43%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.095 Win Model: 0.133
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7753 51.98% 36.6 56.07%
2 2995 47.31% 36.55 59.4%
3 839 45.82% 39.49 62.57%
4 303 44.88% 32.27 48.51%
5 29 68.97% 30.55 34.48%
6 51 39.22% 36.25 50.98%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 112
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3369
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1506
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1740
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2000
Lose: Invader deck ran out 171
Lose: Adversary condition 1310
Win: Sacrifice victory 54
Lose: Scenario condition 73
Win: Scenario condition 53
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1484
Lose: Spirit destroyed 98

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 398 43.22% 45.37 -1.93 66.33% -0.1 -0.2433
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 26 34.62% 48.35 2.177 69.23% 0.161 -0.5519
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 184 67.93% 34.21 3.365 41.3% 0.397 0.6609
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 196 56.12% 43.29 -0.439 62.76% -0.034 -0.8431
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 328 63.41% 33.55 -0.221 45.12% -0.027 -0.1915
Downpour Drenches the World 639 40.69% 42.15 -5.85 58.53% -0.643 -0.3696
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 787 43.58% 46.42 2.361 69.76% 0.714 0.2873
Eyes Watch From the Trees 449 44.32% 44.44 3.699 66.59% 0.855 0.4951
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 348 60.63% 38.53 0.411 56.03% 0.331 -0.1135
Finder of Paths Unseen 644 58.7% 34.81 -2.367 48.6% -0.104 0.5844
Fractured Days Split the Sky 190 39.47% 41.25 -1.598 53.68% 0.073 0.6617
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 332 57.53% 42.28 -1.18 56.63% -0.097 -0.1613
Heart of the Wildfire 215 75.35% 34.32 -7.978 48.37% -0.978 -0.6499
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1031 44.91% 46.23 1.957 67.41% 0.682 0.3871
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 246 38.62% 52.7 7.571 68.29% 0.877 0.5065
Lightning's Swift Strike 91 65.93% 39.21 -1.252 51.65% -0.1 0.2397
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 602 54.32% 52.3 6.385 71.93% 0.741 0.2673
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 98 62.24% 44.53 -2.44 63.27% -0.27 -0.631
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 137 41.61% 47.99 11.817 62.77% 1.239 1.2458
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 481 69.65% 34.69 -3.619 40.12% -0.648 -0.9432
Many Minds Move as One 260 48.08% 47.58 -5.062 69.23% -0.551 -0.6966
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1733 57.19% 41.85 2.206 58.68% 0.392 0.3334
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 347 52.45% 42.03 2.232 61.38% 0.465 0.3008
River Surges in Sunlight 132 58.33% 44.95 0.075 61.36% -0.073 0.0253
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 38 60.53% 45.37 2.29 68.42% 0.529 0.3935
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 80 65.0% 35.01 6.962 32.5% 0.09 0.5656
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 400 53.75% 53.13 2.245 65.5% 0.321 0.2863
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 705 34.61% 46.0 -0.137 67.66% -0.083 -0.3379
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 12 83.33% 30.92 0.0 41.67%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 36 80.56% 41.28 3.546 63.89% 0.384 0.5248
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 110 69.09% 41.39 4.735 60.91% 0.892 0.3133
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 53 60.38% 40.92 -12.111 54.72% -1.645 -1.2951
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 47 68.09% 41.28 4.802 57.45% 0.563 0.5469
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 14 64.29% 28.5 0.0 21.43%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 681 47.58% 40.31 -4.411 62.56% -0.262 -0.3712
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 122 49.18% 50.41 -2.274 66.39% -0.288 -0.4495
Shifting Memory of Ages 264 65.53% 38.89 -5.565 53.79% -0.961 -0.6166
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 33 60.61% 49.18 2.286 72.73% 0.332 0.0226
Shroud of Silent Mist 152 70.39% 34.39 -6.569 42.11% -0.854 -0.5231
Starlight Seeks its Form 647 47.3% 44.62 -0.371 61.98% -0.284 -0.4581
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 492 60.37% 36.58 0.513 54.27% 0.467 -0.2431
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 155 57.42% 35.42 -6.306 43.23% -0.697 -0.4851
Thunderspeaker 262 62.98% 39.25 -0.268 54.96% -0.234 -0.2551
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 56 58.93% 40.2 15.727 55.36% 0.559 0.7574
Towering Roots of the Jungle 115 62.61% 30.89 -3.783 42.61% -0.416 -0.4438
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 428 76.17% 31.12 -4.932 39.72% -0.358 -0.2916
Vital Strength of the Earth 43 53.49% 33.72 -4.486 37.21% -0.553 -0.0189
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 206 50.49% 40.49 -10.112 52.43% -1.519 -0.9516
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 33 51.52% 29.73 -2.338 39.39% -0.069 0.6898
Volcano Looming High 482 59.13% 43.14 2.408 63.49% 0.54 0.6769
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 336 55.36% 43.42 2.309 61.9% 0.497 0.1857

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 18 44.44% 62.0 9.452 83.33% 0.235 0.25
Blitz 0 96 17.71% 61.55 9.983 68.75% 0.727 1.0155
Dahan Insurrection 4 188 58.51% 59.03 5.961 46.28% -0.112 -0.2893
Despicable Theft 2 28 71.43% 22.5 -3.687 14.29% -0.398 0.4625
Elemental Invocation 1 27 62.96% 33.11 0.0 29.63%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1380 28.33% 50.63 5.52 66.38% 0.472 -0.1747
Powers Long Forgotten 1 19 52.63% 27.32 0.0 36.84%
Rituals of Terror 3 5 20.0% 26.2 0.0 20.0%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Second Wave 0 136 51.47% 46.68 0.378 62.5% -0.264 -0.2334
The Great River 3 28 39.29% 28.82 -13.282 28.57% -1.106 0.3198
Varied Terrains 2 26 57.69% 38.08 -5.071 42.31% -0.537 0.2373
Ward the Shores 2 84 63.1% 27.77 -11.737 13.1% -1.591 -0.5463

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7862 54.12% 39.31 -0.809 55.37% -0.489 -0.2288
1 Thematic 220 52.73% 36.12 -4.995 30.91% -0.79 -0.3244
2 Archipelago 26 23.08% 36.92 -23.055 30.77% -1.579 -1.1057
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1180 55.25% 41.98 -0.65 62.97% -0.235 -0.0501
2 Coastline 281 64.41% 42.36 2.972 61.57% 0.322 0.3056
2 Fragment 18 61.11% 47.78 3.079 77.78% 0.288 -0.028
2 Heart 30 76.67% 40.8 -4.271 56.67% -0.192 -0.2858
2 Opposite Shores 380 48.68% 44.07 0.893 58.68% -0.723 -0.7622
2 Thematic 93 73.12% 40.61 -1.412 34.41% -0.335 -0.0481
2 Top to Top 106 48.11% 50.7 2.116 81.13% 0.477 0.4338
3 Archipelago 5 60.0% 73.6 0.0 80.0%
3 Coastline 5 20.0% 64.8 9.853 80.0% 0.507 -0.2427
3 Other 13 15.38% 21.77 7.503 38.46% 0.932 0.469
3 Round (Default) 630 47.94% 50.13 2.349 70.32% 0.132 -0.0882
3 Thematic 33 39.39% 59.52 11.119 57.58% -0.007 -0.2989
4 Archipelago 7 42.86% 67.0 0.0 85.71%
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 71.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 6 16.67% 49.5 8.344 66.67% 0.55 0.293
4 Thematic 11 18.18% 53.55 0.0 63.64%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 201 62.69% 41.81 -2.336 56.72% -0.907 -0.6928
5 Coastline 1 100.0% 0.0 2.743 0.0% 0.058 -0.0467
5 Other 20 65.0% 34.55 -0.201 50.0% -0.537 -1.103
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 29.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 11 18.18% 62.09 8.163 81.82% 0.146 -0.7863
6 Other 5 60.0% 48.0 0.0 60.0%
6 Star 3 100.0% 31.0 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 30 30.0% 46.2 0.0 56.67%
6 Two Centers (Default) 42 64.29% 46.26 -15.642 73.81% -0.079 -0.3363
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 105.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 389 38.66 -2.259 51.93% -0.753 -0.578
Aid From Lesser Spirits 271 43.34 -2.031 59.78% -0.695 -0.749
All Things Weaken 360 36.7 -2.269 46.94% -0.592 -0.2984
Attenuated Essence 174 36.91 -2.369 51.72% -0.537 -0.4531
Back Against the Wall 281 41.76 -0.023 54.45% -0.44 -0.3921
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 166 34.37 -2.108 48.8% -0.525 -0.3218
Burn Brightest Before the End 148 39.33 -1.532 50.68% -0.96 -0.7727
Disintegrating Ecosystem 337 32.81 -3.7 43.32% -0.695 -0.2865
Downward Spiral 396 34.53 -2.629 45.96% -0.518 -0.3904
Erosion of Will 385 35.28 -1.017 44.42% -0.464 -0.181
Intensifying Exploitation 219 32.43 -4.621 42.01% -1.047 -0.7987
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 137 47.49 4.786 75.18% 0.604 0.0886
Memory Fades to Dust 394 36.39 -0.589 47.97% -0.375 -0.1382
Power Corrodes the Spirit 404 36.95 -4.281 49.01% -1.043 -0.8251
Promising Farmlands 352 35.8 -3.1 46.31% -0.907 -0.612
Shattered Fragments of Power 123 39.89 2.238 54.47% 0.064 0.2654
Slow Dissolution of Will 204 35.03 -0.862 45.1% -0.36 0.0238
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 89 45.76 3.342 71.91% 0.232 -0.3495
The Border of Life and Death 57 42.54 0.043 70.18% 0.151 -0.3659
Thriving Communities 356 34.67 -2.732 45.22% -0.571 -0.2323
Thriving Crops 79 34.95 -3.08 55.7% -0.278 -0.3202
Unnatural Proliferation 411 38.86 0.302 50.12% -0.274 -0.134
Untended Land Crumbles 344 36.3 -2.578 47.97% -0.905 -0.4558

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1946 57.53% 40.24 -0.104 57.5% -0.222 0.6401
B 2142 56.12% 42.33 0.851 59.15% -0.072 0.7446
C 2773 48.0% 42.88 -0.241 61.31% -0.348 0.3306
D 1609 54.13% 39.41 -0.928 53.7% -0.448 0.357
E 1916 53.44% 42.74 -0.917 60.8% -0.518 0.1509
F 1625 55.08% 42.48 -0.371 60.62% -0.316 0.4827
G 1277 56.82% 41.67 -2.215 59.2% -0.686 0.1397
H 1921 53.77% 43.5 2.337 63.4% 0.125 0.8976
East 269 50.56% 42.75 4.241 39.41% -0.232 0.6135
Northeast 149 46.31% 40.19 -1.308 37.58% -0.711 0.0597
Northwest 114 59.65% 41.75 4.253 43.86% 0.193 1.0003
Southeast 113 46.02% 46.54 3.946 46.9% -0.114 0.755
Southwest 92 42.39% 37.54 5.288 39.13% 0.117 1.3987
West 219 54.79% 38.79 -4.055 37.9% -0.731 0.2645

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2 0.0% 37.0 0.0 50.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 43 41.86% 17.79 -9.248 25.58% -0.328 0.0593
Skip Initial Invader Actions 367 16.35% 74.44 11.506 86.38% 1.878 1.2633
Start of Game Growth 529 28.54% 62.23 9.725 73.72% 0.825 0.2435
Unlimited Undo 1255 49.32% 38.33 -4.723 54.1% -0.498 -0.4542
Using Tokens but Not Events 486 42.77% 38.52 -2.975 52.88% -0.405 -0.4629

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3100 15.74 8.48%
II 4101 30.48 58.52%
III 2909 34.79 90.31%
IV 1146 38.41 99.48%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.509 Win Model: 0.25
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8191 54.22% 39.29 54.87%
2 2042 55.0% 43.05 61.61%
3 678 46.9% 49.79 69.03%
4 231 58.87% 43.95 59.31%
5 21 66.67% 32.9 47.62%
6 93 48.39% 48.48 67.74%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 262
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2581
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2311
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1122
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1892
Lose: Invader deck ran out 119
Lose: Adversary condition 808
Win: Sacrifice victory 56
Lose: Scenario condition 157
Win: Scenario condition 98
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1771
Lose: Spirit destroyed 79

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2388 40.66% 45.9 -1.218 53.56% 0.089 -0.0544
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 158 36.08% 45.96 4.191 53.16% 0.856 0.1434
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 626 72.36% 37.38 -3.088 36.42% -0.123 0.1411
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 1275 56.16% 49.92 4.248 63.29% 0.979 0.1698
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 775 66.32% 36.18 -0.194 38.84% 0.496 0.3314
Downpour Drenches the World 2574 50.43% 41.47 -3.306 43.55% -0.164 0.1093
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 3105 57.47% 40.24 -1.611 50.79% 0.265 -0.162
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1405 54.95% 41.97 -3.757 48.11% 0.032 -0.3278
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 891 69.36% 38.34 -1.191 43.32% 0.155 -0.2896
Finder of Paths Unseen 1554 56.82% 38.37 -6.194 42.6% -0.258 0.4307
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1474 37.38% 44.18 -1.379 42.94% -0.302 0.2874
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1154 69.67% 38.49 -3.156 38.99% -0.266 -0.3301
Heart of the Wildfire 925 80.0% 26.45 -9.254 21.41% -1.361 -1.0332
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7134 47.17% 51.65 5.313 66.05% 1.433 1.1385
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 669 55.01% 36.68 0.98 40.66% 0.422 0.0518
Lightning's Swift Strike 443 67.5% 34.79 -6.185 36.12% -0.927 -0.5872
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 2357 69.65% 46.6 0.191 54.52% 0.181 -0.2927
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 932 64.09% 47.97 3.751 57.4% 0.937 0.5766
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 899 51.39% 46.02 1.851 50.83% 0.426 0.4333
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1935 68.41% 33.51 -4.018 31.16% -0.3 -0.5951
Many Minds Move as One 975 48.21% 48.76 2.819 58.05% 0.906 0.7601
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3390 53.9% 39.08 -2.19 42.36% 0.204 0.1461
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1265 58.54% 36.82 -4.264 40.16% -0.23 -0.3938
River Surges in Sunlight 726 57.04% 40.4 -3.071 44.08% 0.135 0.2339
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 139 53.96% 39.37 -0.842 40.29% -0.137 -0.2719
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 364 60.61% 23.88 -10.028 19.51% -1.336 -0.8601
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1707 64.11% 44.35 -3.289 44.0% 0.012 -0.0227
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2715 41.36% 50.24 4.03 55.8% 0.917 0.6618
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 96 73.96% 21.14 -0.036 14.58% 0.003 0.5242
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 117 82.05% 33.03 -3.783 25.64% -0.004 0.1373
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 467 76.87% 32.72 -2.697 34.9% -0.186 -0.7648
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 255 78.43% 32.28 -10.093 28.24% -1.545 -1.1945
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 131 79.39% 30.95 -1.733 24.43% -0.275 -0.2911
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 462 63.2% 44.32 0.789 42.42% -0.263 -0.0139
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1022 58.71% 44.72 -2.165 51.96% 0.17 0.0604
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 632 53.96% 33.51 -1.233 38.61% 0.144 -0.0176
Shifting Memory of Ages 1401 56.79% 40.55 0.94 39.33% 0.125 0.4697
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 157 37.58% 37.3 1.019 47.13% 0.603 0.2937
Shroud of Silent Mist 680 74.71% 30.61 -3.939 27.65% -0.295 0.0366
Starlight Seeks its Form 4960 50.24% 46.62 0.372 55.4% 0.639 0.4643
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4660 57.2% 45.85 5.863 58.2% 1.452 0.7422
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 656 70.14% 32.02 -5.863 30.95% -0.675 -0.4633
Thunderspeaker 899 58.24% 34.62 -6.65 32.04% -0.648 -0.6691
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 281 65.84% 33.27 -2.746 38.43% 0.112 0.3099
Towering Roots of the Jungle 387 52.2% 31.61 -4.024 35.92% -0.201 -0.2291
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2167 76.88% 38.39 -3.344 43.01% 0.014 0.0804
Vital Strength of the Earth 206 63.59% 27.89 -1.595 22.82% 0.152 0.6866
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 939 61.02% 36.79 -4.446 36.42% -0.177 0.3903
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 118 59.32% 25.36 -11.092 20.34% -0.937 -0.1781
Volcano Looming High 3419 58.4% 37.71 -4.268 39.54% -1.004 -0.8667
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1089 62.9% 40.88 0.161 45.27% 0.224 -0.0873

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 29 62.07% 52.41 4.202 58.62% 0.145 0.1608
Blitz 0 341 21.41% 58.29 5.781 62.17% 0.215 0.5036
Dahan Insurrection 4 565 62.23% 43.57 -3.801 14.34% -1.425 -1.6019
Despicable Theft 2 22 59.09% 35.68 1.588 36.36% 0.121 0.9816
Elemental Invocation 1 122 68.03% 31.18 -10.758 4.92% -1.744 -0.8109
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2194 40.95% 45.89 4.666 40.84% 0.517 -0.1295
Powers Long Forgotten 1 13 46.15% 27.46 -22.952 30.77% -0.639 0.3072
Rituals of Terror 3 146 50.68% 78.84 7.751 48.63% 0.472 0.548
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 24 50.0% 33.33 -0.112 16.67% -0.135 0.9802
Second Wave 0 295 66.1% 47.07 1.834 52.88% -0.068 -0.0377
The Great River 3 22 36.36% 43.36 -2.624 36.36% 0.175 1.6008
Varied Terrains 2 79 54.43% 28.29 -19.949 22.78% -0.428 0.3467
Ward the Shores 2 103 46.6% 20.71 -9.53 13.59% -1.424 -0.3797

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 37796 59.76% 41.79 1.732 48.52% -0.343 -0.0825
1 Thematic 688 45.49% 39.46 -0.773 28.2% -0.708 -0.2424
2 Archipelago 91 51.65% 35.02 -11.278 13.19% -0.969 -0.4959
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4423 60.31% 37.81 -4.92 43.41% -1.189 -1.0037
2 Coastline 854 63.5% 42.72 0.582 49.06% -0.259 -0.2757
2 Fragment 83 68.67% 48.83 11.786 60.24% 1.049 0.733
2 Heart 194 79.9% 43.14 -2.226 35.05% -0.389 -0.4828
2 Opposite Shores 899 59.51% 42.89 3.135 44.61% -0.255 -0.2944
2 Thematic 142 65.49% 51.45 10.515 33.1% 1.062 1.3486
2 Top to Top 274 60.22% 40.3 -3.653 45.26% -1.095 -1.1384
3 Archipelago 56 67.86% 56.55 0.0 23.21%
3 Coastline 12 58.33% 48.83 14.356 66.67% 0.638 -0.1114
3 Other 31 45.16% 48.58 8.213 54.84% 1.312 0.8493
3 Round (Default) 2397 56.28% 44.29 4.149 53.32% 0.126 -0.0938
3 Thematic 68 27.94% 78.41 11.168 45.59% -0.405 -0.6974
4 Archipelago 14 57.14% 77.79 33.197 71.43% 0.802 0.9946
4 Coastline 4 50.0% 85.0 15.242 100.0% 0.293 -0.0662
4 Leaf 16 56.25% 37.69 0.0 12.5%
4 Other 8 25.0% 56.38 4.678 75.0% 0.74 0.4836
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 104 44.23% 46.61 2.585 22.12% -0.179 0.0733
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1043 50.0% 38.32 -7.668 42.09% -1.39 -1.1761
5 Archipelago 12 66.67% 52.0 0.985 25.0% -0.296 -0.0229
5 Coastline 18 0.0% 54.94 0.0 77.78%
5 Other 49 58.33% 52.96 -2.953 40.82% 0.038 -0.528
5 Thematic 12 66.67% 49.92 -4.869 33.33% -0.193 -0.6129
6 Archipelago 30 20.0% 58.17 -16.487 66.67% -0.522 -1.4544
6 Coastline 33 0.0% 55.76 11.63 78.79% 0.431 -0.3671
6 Other 118 47.46% 47.53 -8.21 55.08% -1.141 -0.7154
6 Star 23 43.48% 60.83 11.088 78.26% -0.096 0.0163
6 Thematic 73 58.9% 34.85 -2.253 21.92% -0.366 -0.2642
6 Two Centers (Default) 421 20.43% 55.25 6.385 59.62% 0.37 0.1133
7 Archipelago 6 16.67% 80.17 0.0 83.33%
7 Other 6 16.67% 10.17 -17.422 0.0% -0.159 -1.1742

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1854 40.79 1.007 42.13% -0.115 0.0604
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1420 46.05 3.034 49.93% 0.13 0.076
All Things Weaken 1861 41.69 1.637 44.55% 0.147 0.4406
Attenuated Essence 890 37.7 -0.19 41.46% -0.217 -0.1336
Back Against the Wall 1419 43.83 1.206 45.6% -0.114 -0.0664
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 908 36.2 -1.169 38.11% -0.266 -0.0621
Burn Brightest Before the End 613 41.05 0.451 42.09% -0.26 -0.0726
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1777 39.09 -0.411 42.88% -0.022 0.3871
Downward Spiral 1932 39.86 -0.234 43.89% -0.055 0.0728
Erosion of Will 1810 39.81 0.141 40.28% -0.092 0.1904
Intensifying Exploitation 916 34.99 -0.526 37.12% -0.243 0.0043
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 517 47.19 0.384 58.41% 0.055 -0.4607
Memory Fades to Dust 1869 38.12 -0.524 40.4% -0.105 0.1325
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1847 38.93 -1.423 40.34% -0.399 -0.1808
Promising Farmlands 1840 39.12 0.206 41.25% -0.01 0.285
Shattered Fragments of Power 620 41.36 0.653 43.87% -0.099 0.1019
Slow Dissolution of Will 886 34.14 -0.691 34.76% -0.256 0.1282
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 382 53.8 5.937 74.87% 1.123 0.5425
The Border of Life and Death 195 43.26 0.318 58.46% 0.2 -0.3169
Thriving Communities 1780 37.79 -2.224 38.65% -0.339 -0.0002
Thriving Crops 360 46.6 2.274 61.11% 0.363 0.3207
Unnatural Proliferation 1908 43.41 3.264 44.86% 0.361 0.5018
Untended Land Crumbles 1852 38.88 -1.599 40.39% -0.48 -0.0315

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8575 57.6% 40.83 -1.071 46.33% -0.712 0.15
B 8787 59.62% 40.43 -0.713 45.02% -0.658 0.1593
C 11460 56.98% 44.95 1.808 53.94% -0.476 0.2032
D 7479 54.92% 39.69 -1.345 42.36% -0.824 -0.0192
E 10068 57.91% 42.49 -0.339 49.36% -0.643 0.0258
F 7262 57.07% 42.4 -0.869 49.49% -0.679 0.1192
G 6894 54.28% 41.41 -1.742 45.36% -0.998 -0.1724
H 6601 56.6% 42.71 -0.701 49.83% -0.749 0.024
East 769 47.33% 45.5 3.013 27.18% -0.362 0.4835
Northeast 437 47.14% 46.17 1.146 24.71% -1.035 -0.2647
Northwest 338 55.62% 43.62 -3.035 28.11% -1.044 -0.2371
Southeast 217 48.39% 41.82 -1.1 31.34% -0.37 0.4997
Southwest 200 49.0% 35.77 -0.758 29.5% -0.606 0.676
West 648 50.77% 46.21 2.791 31.64% -0.255 0.7411

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 28 0.0% 47.57 7.862 57.14% 0.202 0.9973
Not Using Events or Tokens 150 52.35% 25.01 -4.847 12.0% -0.556 -0.1682
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1434 16.41% 66.19 7.567 71.76% 0.305 -0.3091
Start of Game Growth 2312 21.84% 62.22 5.074 68.77% 0.804 0.2223
Unlimited Undo 6207 45.42% 48.61 1.903 59.16% 0.493 0.5363
Using Tokens but Not Events 1373 53.34% 34.19 -5.663 30.01% -1.166 -1.2246

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 17320 15.74 3.63%
II 11344 30.48 33.5%
III 12067 34.79 84.3%
IV 9343 38.41 99.76%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.337 Win Model: 0.472
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 38816 59.52% 41.84 48.22%
2 6810 61.08% 39.83 43.47%
3 2520 55.71% 44.82 52.7%
4 1156 50.13% 39.19 40.92%
5 97 44.79% 48.67 41.24%
6 675 26.81% 52.93 59.7%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 616
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10034
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3685
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9192
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 9652
Lose: Invader deck ran out 586
Lose: Adversary condition 4356
Win: Sacrifice victory 300
Lose: Scenario condition 730
Win: Scenario condition 95
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9938
Lose: Spirit destroyed 890

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)