The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 646 18.54% 24.94 3.724 75.08% 0.961 0.8537
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 95 21.05% 21.29 -0.858 61.05% 0.055 -0.4337
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 363 27.82% 22.77 -0.053 68.04% -0.347 -0.2035
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 141 14.18% 25.59 1.593 69.5% 0.162 -0.5868
Dances Up Earthquakes 31 19.35% 21.9 1.251 70.97% 0.26 0.0833
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 570 21.02% 23.51 0.927 71.58% 0.224 0.0168
Downpour Drenches the World 853 19.58% 20.86 -1.653 68.46% -0.325 -0.0048
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 497 16.9% 24.74 -0.853 73.24% -0.078 -0.5187
Eyes Watch From the Trees 687 13.07% 26.61 2.019 75.98% 0.641 0.2976
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 584 17.73% 25.93 1.686 77.23% 0.615 0.2604
Finder of Paths Unseen 408 32.18% 15.69 -0.742 52.21% 0.351 1.1356
Fractured Days Split the Sky 274 18.25% 19.4 -2.584 51.46% -0.684 -0.2364
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 506 31.29% 21.22 -1.452 62.65% -0.052 -0.076
Heart of the Wildfire 491 48.78% 18.44 -0.332 58.04% -0.214 0.1128
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 734 23.42% 25.41 -1.501 75.61% -0.202 -0.6973
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 140 20.0% 22.74 -1.518 67.86% -0.18 -0.7431
Lightning's Swift Strike 280 33.94% 22.76 -0.638 70.36% -0.209 -0.0107
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 267 29.28% 26.06 -1.809 75.66% -0.332 -0.78
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 146 19.86% 23.31 0.631 66.44% -0.136 -0.4556
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 152 23.03% 23.05 1.787 63.16% 0.696 0.8209
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 695 25.11% 24.61 1.405 71.8% 0.537 0.3813
Many Minds Move as One 448 16.22% 23.74 -0.342 63.62% -0.058 -0.2644
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 978 33.61% 22.71 -0.696 67.28% -0.271 -0.1415
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 24 41.67% 15.04 -2.064 54.17% -0.264 -0.1592
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 533 25.89% 21.65 -2.18 65.1% -0.76 -0.8093
River Surges in Sunlight 324 33.13% 22.27 -1.107 66.67% -0.491 -0.4583
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 74 21.62% 19.7 -0.582 64.86% -0.155 0.0537
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 184 33.7% 22.35 0.495 61.41% 0.36 0.511
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 376 27.84% 25.38 0.996 68.62% -0.028 -0.0193
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 463 20.39% 21.4 -1.643 65.44% -0.332 -0.4305
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 12 8.33% 20.92 1.529 66.67% 0.366 -0.1254
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 113 50.44% 19.72 2.905 61.06% 0.448 0.9595
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 107 29.25% 24.21 0.073 71.03% 0.171 0.1277
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 115 35.65% 24.05 4.262 66.09% 1.042 0.5939
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 117 30.77% 21.14 -0.812 63.25% -0.055 0.0035
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 94 32.98% 21.78 -0.238 62.77% -0.058 -0.2482
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 57 28.07% 21.93 -1.782 61.4% -0.019 0.0647
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 432 22.14% 24.27 2.826 70.37% 0.849 0.7511
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 164 18.75% 19.8 -1.866 54.88% -0.413 -0.6071
Shifting Memory of Ages 339 30.38% 17.68 -2.062 53.39% -0.646 -0.256
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 75 17.33% 17.57 -0.726 58.67% 0.071 0.0193
Shroud of Silent Mist 364 36.54% 19.93 -0.565 60.99% -0.137 0.277
Starlight Seeks its Form 837 15.69% 25.87 0.554 74.19% 0.312 0.2722
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 516 18.36% 23.14 -0.809 69.19% -0.187 -0.6895
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 499 27.33% 19.73 -1.136 59.72% -0.198 -0.1154
Thunderspeaker 550 20.26% 24.49 -0.764 69.45% -0.119 -0.1242
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 135 22.96% 16.42 -4.793 45.19% -0.745 -0.3563
Towering Roots of the Jungle 159 25.79% 20.04 0.449 62.89% 0.189 0.3996
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 338 47.04% 17.0 -2.668 52.07% -0.527 -0.4496
Vital Strength of the Earth 209 27.27% 16.31 0.561 51.2% 0.18 0.6295
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 237 29.74% 21.94 -0.711 67.09% 0.037 0.5313
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 114 21.93% 17.6 0.26 45.61% 0.055 0.7479
Volcano Looming High 552 29.89% 19.5 -1.806 59.06% -0.369 -0.3045
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 265 20.38% 25.62 2.599 72.45% 0.646 0.3969

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 50 16.0% 24.5 7.324 78.0% 0.415 -0.1435
Blitz 0 140 20.71% 18.04 -2.55 47.86% -0.21 0.2132
Dahan Insurrection 4 193 13.47% 38.01 -3.297 61.66% -1.191 -1.6729
Despicable Theft 2 117 21.37% 16.79 -0.002 36.75% -0.425 0.1177
Elemental Invocation 1 135 17.04% 19.69 -3.004 49.63% -0.618 0.1195
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 243 11.52% 28.09 7.253 67.9% 0.125 -0.5313
Powers Long Forgotten 1 128 21.88% 9.97 -4.181 22.66% -0.709 -0.1463
Rituals of Terror 3 117 22.22% 23.81 0.175 47.86% -0.247 -0.3888
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 76 38.16% 17.29 -2.161 34.21% -0.583 0.1656
Second Wave 0 259 42.51% 29.77 2.1 63.32% 0.07 0.1647
The Great River 3 84 30.95% 18.71 -1.15 35.71% -0.745 0.5007
Varied Terrains 2 167 36.53% 18.45 -0.139 38.92% -0.679 0.1895
Ward the Shores 2 157 26.75% 17.51 1.956 39.49% 0.159 1.013

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6649 27.32% 22.94 0.925 69.33% 0.759 1.1322
1 Thematic 699 26.04% 19.89 -0.607 46.64% -0.328 0.3864
2 Archipelago 15 40.0% 33.13 18.824 60.0% 0.735 1.259
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1637 26.89% 20.16 -0.062 62.31% 0.523 0.6846
2 Coastline 259 26.64% 24.43 2.5 75.29% 0.935 0.7422
2 Fragment 30 43.33% 24.4 -4.671 80.0% -0.149 -0.1975
2 Heart 30 26.67% 23.03 0.042 76.67% 0.094 -0.1185
2 Opposite Shores 231 32.17% 23.84 -1.748 77.49% 0.032 0.1646
2 Thematic 254 25.98% 21.1 -3.137 49.21% -0.691 0.0293
2 Top to Top 52 26.92% 17.12 -7.21 55.77% -0.61 -0.6947
3 Archipelago 7 28.57% 23.43 0.0 57.14%
3 Coastline 17 11.76% 23.35 1.31 52.94% 0.1 -0.5301
3 Other 31 32.26% 21.65 -3.119 61.29% -0.282 -1.1578
3 Round (Default) 873 23.12% 25.65 1.3 76.98% 0.371 0.3479
3 Sunrise 4 0.0% 20.25 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 48 22.92% 20.23 10.962 45.83% 0.461 0.4682
4 Archipelago 6 33.33% 31.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 18.5 -4.472 50.0% -0.674 -0.2386
4 Other 15 60.0% 25.4 3.223 80.0% 0.32 -0.2485
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 62 16.13% 27.26 -0.741 64.52% -0.549 -0.4862
4 Trapezoid (Default) 495 15.56% 17.79 -3.284 53.74% -1.486 -1.4808
5 Other 45 37.78% 24.96 1.357 80.0% 0.332 0.0083
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 26.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 8 0.0% 34.63 0.0 75.0%
6 Other 6 33.33% 28.0 10.057 66.67% 0.373 0.3286
6 Star 8 12.5% 21.13 5.48 75.0% 0.431 1.0634
6 Thematic 43 27.91% 30.91 0.0 55.81%
6 Two Centers (Default) 72 13.89% 22.6 -3.694 65.28% -0.989 -0.5142
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -6.664 0.0% -0.445 -0.7685

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 152 20.41 -1.088 57.89% -0.503 -0.432
Aid From Lesser Spirits 169 23.29 -0.014 66.86% -0.259 -0.3691
All Things Weaken 169 21.36 -0.559 62.72% -0.377 -0.1997
Attenuated Essence 91 19.9 -1.309 58.24% -0.333 -0.2812
Back Against the Wall 159 22.57 -0.337 62.26% 0.165 0.1491
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 77 19.58 -2.347 55.84% -0.905 -0.7209
Burn Brightest Before the End 48 20.17 -1.363 54.17% 0.022 0.1091
Disintegrating Ecosystem 183 16.56 -1.256 51.37% -0.059 0.2326
Downward Spiral 248 19.81 -0.116 66.13% 0.141 0.2469
Erosion of Will 176 18.38 -2.944 47.73% -0.7 -0.5343
Intensifying Exploitation 76 16.3 -3.323 43.42% -0.719 -0.5305
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 83 24.35 -4.363 81.93% -0.471 -0.8989
Memory Fades to Dust 256 18.88 0.737 55.08% -0.005 0.23
Power Corrodes the Spirit 169 20.05 -3.468 60.95% -0.714 -0.618
Promising Farmlands 167 18.39 -0.412 56.89% -0.173 0.1912
Shattered Fragments of Power 65 20.58 0.91 53.85% 0.188 0.2539
Slow Dissolution of Will 87 21.05 3.56 60.92% 0.955 1.4181
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 66 26.7 4.453 84.85% 1.022 0.4209
The Border of Life and Death 19 21.84 7.97 63.16% 0.31 -0.165
Thriving Communities 188 19.75 -2.396 55.85% -0.234 -0.0088
Thriving Crops 41 17.73 2.688 56.1% 0.553 0.3287
Unnatural Proliferation 176 21.6 -1.599 56.82% -0.661 -0.5391
Untended Land Crumbles 188 21.02 -2.243 59.57% -0.596 -0.3641

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2250 25.98% 21.99 -0.053 67.42% -0.436 0.4819
B 2351 24.91% 22.27 -0.463 67.5% -0.475 0.3659
C 2410 25.84% 23.1 0.6 71.16% -0.15 0.5332
D 2184 25.0% 21.87 -0.246 66.16% -0.446 0.3966
E 2097 23.65% 22.92 -0.791 68.34% -0.579 0.0725
F 1921 24.83% 22.33 -0.687 67.15% -0.511 0.2492
G 1785 25.59% 21.93 -0.187 66.61% -0.286 0.4714
H 1862 25.7% 22.27 -1.233 66.38% -0.718 0.0001
East 697 24.82% 22.88 -0.75 51.94% -0.661 0.152
Northeast 340 29.41% 23.94 1.285 52.65% 0.053 0.7206
Northwest 291 27.15% 23.84 0.702 54.64% -0.332 0.4725
Southeast 256 17.97% 22.52 -0.211 51.95% -0.573 0.1321
Southwest 263 24.71% 18.09 -4.066 43.35% -0.836 0.5542
West 670 24.93% 20.61 0.028 48.06% -0.176 0.618

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 44 0.0% 34.43 -3.925 72.73% -0.332 0.3873
Not Using Events or Tokens 349 25.15% 21.5 -1.435 69.05% -0.2 0.2849
Skip Initial Invader Actions 240 11.43% 35.98 4.451 79.17% 0.494 -0.2368
Start of Game Growth 324 14.24% 34.1 4.092 79.32% 0.433 -0.0134
Unlimited Undo 891 20.76% 23.92 2.186 67.56% 0.397 0.3634
Using Tokens but Not Events 944 20.2% 23.94 0.415 72.67% 0.304 0.1414

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2925 14.25 7.15%
II 2822 30.3 71.19%
III 4003 34.84 91.41%
IV 1861 38.61 99.3%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.186 Win Model: 0.636
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7618 27.05% 22.35 65.84%
2 2306 28.39% 21.85 67.13%
3 935 22.76% 25.85 77.22%
4 567 16.23% 18.71 55.38%
5 49 40.82% 24.98 77.55%
6 136 17.65% 26.08 63.97%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 208
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3565
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1894
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1835
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2718
Lose: Invader deck ran out 49
Lose: Adversary condition 309
Win: Sacrifice victory 43
Lose: Scenario condition 61
Win: Scenario condition 180
Lose: Blight pool ran out 695
Lose: Spirit destroyed 54

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 559 25.41% 29.38 0.831 68.69% 0.07 -0.0368
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 75 28.0% 26.57 -3.789 60.0% -0.854 -1.3425
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 287 44.41% 25.48 -2.282 58.19% -0.588 -0.4452
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 107 34.58% 33.26 -0.631 74.77% -0.306 -1.054
Dances Up Earthquakes 28 3.57% 32.57 2.73 78.57% 0.73 0.5533
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 438 29.47% 29.92 -0.46 67.81% -0.448 -0.6554
Downpour Drenches the World 727 25.73% 25.9 -0.471 58.46% -0.039 0.2812
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 523 19.15% 28.98 1.155 66.92% 0.354 -0.0863
Eyes Watch From the Trees 568 19.93% 31.27 2.983 70.77% 0.47 0.1264
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 417 23.98% 30.99 2.141 70.5% 0.373 0.0185
Finder of Paths Unseen 391 36.6% 20.96 -6.279 50.13% -1.325 -0.5404
Fractured Days Split the Sky 272 27.57% 23.83 -0.108 46.69% -0.066 0.3822
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 472 41.74% 27.44 0.273 61.23% 0.318 0.2943
Heart of the Wildfire 377 57.45% 22.81 -1.557 53.05% -0.062 0.2646
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 738 29.43% 28.88 2.555 68.83% 0.893 0.3983
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 154 18.95% 30.45 1.791 70.78% 0.239 -0.3241
Lightning's Swift Strike 229 40.17% 25.64 2.016 60.7% 0.39 0.5883
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 237 30.77% 31.13 0.595 70.89% 0.035 -0.4125
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 134 34.59% 31.75 0.26 68.66% -0.091 -0.4103
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 152 32.89% 27.87 0.772 62.5% 0.376 0.5008
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 491 37.14% 27.8 0.068 60.9% -0.103 -0.2586
Many Minds Move as One 396 26.55% 29.95 2.015 67.68% 0.601 0.3945
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 973 37.82% 27.84 2.163 64.03% 0.711 0.8405
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 55 47.27% 26.0 -0.068 67.27% 0.312 0.4174
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 466 30.26% 27.09 -0.44 63.09% -0.1 -0.1498
River Surges in Sunlight 347 32.36% 30.85 3.104 71.76% 0.728 0.7612
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 62 33.87% 23.48 -2.577 58.06% -0.256 -0.0482
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 185 36.22% 28.35 -1.325 62.7% -0.142 0.0093
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 334 32.23% 31.89 1.603 70.96% 0.227 0.2364
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 397 23.41% 26.09 -0.159 57.68% 0.098 -0.0012
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 9 33.33% 39.89 7.658 100.0% 1.373 0.8825
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 117 45.22% 20.88 -4.599 47.01% -0.726 -0.2143
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 102 42.57% 26.93 1.908 59.8% 0.45 0.4068
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 102 37.25% 33.64 3.111 79.41% 0.34 -0.1086
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 114 40.35% 25.46 -7.52 57.89% -0.762 -0.7032
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 76 43.42% 26.28 1.237 60.53% 0.382 0.1917
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 54 40.74% 23.39 3.083 51.85% 0.586 0.6698
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 339 34.32% 29.08 2.569 68.14% 0.421 0.3235
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 202 32.82% 28.18 2.612 63.86% 0.494 0.2993
Shifting Memory of Ages 359 38.76% 23.94 -1.942 52.37% -0.684 -0.294
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 86 36.05% 25.13 -3.379 54.65% -0.699 -0.7504
Shroud of Silent Mist 320 47.81% 22.77 -2.446 51.25% -0.723 -0.3086
Starlight Seeks its Form 449 29.46% 25.32 -1.335 58.8% -0.583 -0.6228
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 534 26.27% 26.99 0.204 63.48% 0.129 -0.3736
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 338 35.84% 23.53 -0.962 53.25% -0.312 -0.229
Thunderspeaker 367 30.03% 27.77 0.401 63.49% 0.296 0.2899
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 131 41.22% 21.71 -2.908 48.85% -0.351 0.0373
Towering Roots of the Jungle 165 26.06% 21.16 -3.924 49.09% -0.681 -0.4703
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 296 58.64% 22.55 -4.49 50.68% -0.923 -0.8452
Vital Strength of the Earth 186 27.96% 21.12 -3.148 47.85% -0.747 -0.2981
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 228 30.84% 23.48 -2.441 52.63% -0.446 0.0487
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 90 24.44% 20.91 -1.976 44.44% -0.03 0.6628
Volcano Looming High 419 36.04% 24.78 1.071 60.38% 0.639 0.7032
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 267 20.97% 31.46 0.254 74.91% 0.108 -0.1411

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 39 25.64% 24.85 6.758 61.54% 0.637 0.0786
Blitz 0 178 21.91% 16.97 -1.369 38.76% -0.014 0.4086
Dahan Insurrection 4 128 35.94% 39.24 8.813 46.88% -0.17 -0.652
Despicable Theft 2 91 38.46% 21.09 -3.616 32.97% -0.432 0.1104
Elemental Invocation 1 127 37.8% 23.6 -4.452 48.03% -0.88 -0.1423
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 300 13.0% 29.86 2.416 57.33% 0.245 -0.411
Powers Long Forgotten 1 99 32.32% 17.96 -1.938 25.25% -0.742 -0.1797
Rituals of Terror 3 31 25.81% 28.68 3.385 45.16% -0.149 -0.2915
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 30 33.33% 19.57 -0.04 33.33% -0.526 0.2226
Second Wave 0 570 37.61% 31.15 2.812 64.91% 0.166 0.2609
The Great River 3 28 28.57% 21.96 -4.37 35.71% -0.286 0.9595
Varied Terrains 2 116 41.38% 21.07 -7.245 37.93% -1.217 -0.3489
Ward the Shores 2 111 44.14% 13.76 -6.668 17.12% -1.039 -0.1848

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5856 32.56% 26.58 -0.132 61.63% 0.084 0.4576
1 Thematic 527 31.56% 23.84 0.597 45.35% -0.086 0.6282
2 Archipelago 4 75.0% 48.5 14.345 75.0% 0.519 1.043
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1451 33.59% 25.79 1.26 60.58% 0.477 0.6387
2 Coastline 228 29.2% 24.93 -0.693 60.09% 0.162 -0.031
2 Fragment 52 34.62% 22.35 -3.64 50.0% -0.965 -1.0127
2 Heart 30 40.0% 28.47 6.987 63.33% 0.467 0.2551
2 Opposite Shores 299 36.24% 27.15 0.139 63.55% -0.184 -0.0519
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 230 29.13% 22.08 -2.274 41.3% -1.042 -0.3222
2 Top to Top 46 47.83% 26.87 3.34 56.52% 0.215 0.1305
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 45.0 8.347 50.0% 0.345 -0.1984
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 38.25 11.303 100.0% 0.167 -0.4633
3 Other 15 46.67% 26.8 0.0 60.0%
3 Round (Default) 898 34.62% 28.99 -0.681 67.48% -0.143 -0.1663
3 Thematic 40 37.5% 31.77 0.993 65.0% 0.071 0.0787
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 27.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 6 33.33% 36.67 0.0 83.33%
4 Other 9 77.78% 29.44 2.139 88.89% 0.089 -0.4789
4 Thematic 27 33.33% 33.19 10.704 51.85% 0.231 0.2937
4 Trapezoid (Default) 271 26.94% 27.37 -1.935 64.58% -0.425 -0.4201
5 Archipelago 2 50.0% 54.5 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 38 39.47% 33.92 -12.214 84.21% -0.527 -0.8506
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 3 33.33% 45.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 14 28.57% 22.5 0.0 35.71%
6 Star 2 0.0% 7.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Thematic 36 24.24% 32.5 3.874 66.67% 0.267 0.4709
6 Two Centers (Default) 53 20.75% 29.92 0.584 62.26% -0.028 0.4464
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 55.0 15.566 100.0% 0.26 -0.0635
7 Other 2 0.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 191 26.25 3.85 58.64% 0.378 0.4494
Aid From Lesser Spirits 128 27.17 0.624 56.25% 0.167 0.0572
All Things Weaken 178 24.93 -2.004 57.3% -0.115 0.0616
Attenuated Essence 105 24.57 -3.265 55.24% -0.835 -0.7831
Back Against the Wall 172 26.42 1.779 56.98% 0.398 0.3821
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 90 25.82 -3.581 56.67% -0.295 -0.1115
Burn Brightest Before the End 74 26.54 -2.87 52.7% -0.986 -0.899
Disintegrating Ecosystem 189 26.63 0.652 61.38% 0.316 0.6074
Downward Spiral 263 24.3 -1.154 58.17% -0.007 0.0992
Erosion of Will 184 24.67 2.767 53.8% 0.696 0.8618
Intensifying Exploitation 123 23.95 -2.73 57.72% -0.554 -0.3655
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 118 30.06 -4.677 73.73% -0.305 -0.7328
Memory Fades to Dust 222 25.1 1.025 55.41% 0.732 0.9671
Power Corrodes the Spirit 180 25.63 0.637 58.33% -0.248 -0.1522
Promising Farmlands 216 24.09 0.071 51.85% 0.167 0.5314
Shattered Fragments of Power 64 26.45 3.583 56.25% 0.381 0.4466
Slow Dissolution of Will 91 23.05 0.754 42.86% 0.18 0.6436
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 71 30.06 1.234 74.65% 0.34 -0.2614
The Border of Life and Death 21 30.71 0.0 76.19%
Thriving Communities 179 24.12 0.349 55.31% -0.262 -0.0367
Thriving Crops 56 26.86 -1.606 64.29% 0.348 0.1237
Unnatural Proliferation 210 25.41 -1.344 52.38% -0.34 -0.2177
Untended Land Crumbles 191 23.91 -3.18 52.88% -0.43 -0.1973

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1960 32.07% 26.95 -1.631 63.11% -0.524 0.3949
B 2044 34.25% 27.33 -0.735 63.26% -0.425 0.4162
C 2153 30.93% 27.73 0.769 64.47% 0.268 0.9512
D 1951 32.13% 26.53 0.104 60.84% 0.091 0.9333
E 1754 32.53% 27.67 -0.169 64.37% -0.261 0.391
F 1717 32.79% 27.0 1.243 63.37% 0.364 1.1235
G 1512 34.75% 26.8 0.14 60.91% -0.151 0.6065
H 1593 34.36% 27.17 -0.503 62.84% -0.217 0.5011
East 557 29.24% 25.96 0.871 48.65% 0.087 0.9006
Northeast 264 30.65% 26.36 0.253 48.11% -0.016 0.652
Northwest 214 27.49% 26.42 1.441 50.93% 0.337 1.1419
Southeast 189 26.88% 26.87 4.738 53.44% 0.735 1.4406
Southwest 188 32.07% 23.18 -2.992 47.34% -0.072 1.3175
West 517 31.97% 23.76 -2.393 45.65% -0.504 0.2891

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 42 0.0% 29.38 -4.804 73.81% -0.428 0.2905
Not Using Events or Tokens 179 35.93% 19.91 -5.546 43.02% -1.123 -0.6379
Skip Initial Invader Actions 223 9.09% 39.65 6.307 84.3% 0.584 -0.1472
Start of Game Growth 338 13.54% 36.81 3.54 79.29% 0.006 -0.4405
Unlimited Undo 876 21.87% 25.88 -0.864 60.39% -0.188 -0.2212
Using Tokens but Not Events 970 20.53% 30.12 2.737 71.75% 0.956 0.7939

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2535 14.25 3.23%
II 2105 30.3 44.18%
III 3297 34.84 89.99%
IV 2229 38.61 98.97%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.012 Win Model: 0.098
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6514 32.48% 26.12 59.61%
2 2244 33.66% 26.22 60.61%
3 953 34.94% 29.15 67.47%
4 304 28.29% 28.33 65.46%
5 42 38.1% 31.6 78.57%
6 109 21.7% 31.17 61.47%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 81
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2910
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 897
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2190
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1993
Lose: Invader deck ran out 29
Lose: Adversary condition 1107
Win: Sacrifice victory 28
Lose: Scenario condition 83
Win: Scenario condition 79
Lose: Blight pool ran out 740
Lose: Spirit destroyed 29

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 598 27.44% 31.79 2.183 69.23% 0.74 0.6335
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 84 29.76% 30.61 -0.236 69.05% 0.142 -0.3466
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 269 50.19% 27.9 -2.082 58.36% -0.187 -0.0441
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 149 30.87% 33.1 5.565 67.11% 1.089 0.3404
Dances Up Earthquakes 60 21.67% 29.27 0.686 61.67% 0.052 -0.1246
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 472 38.0% 29.9 2.483 63.77% 0.418 0.2103
Downpour Drenches the World 827 31.27% 27.95 -0.653 56.71% -0.474 -0.1542
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 811 30.21% 32.66 0.739 71.89% 0.221 -0.2198
Eyes Watch From the Trees 726 35.4% 32.46 2.649 65.98% 0.424 0.081
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 496 40.0% 31.92 0.735 69.35% 0.322 -0.0325
Finder of Paths Unseen 471 42.34% 25.92 -5.681 59.45% -0.92 -0.1353
Fractured Days Split the Sky 267 32.21% 27.28 -1.826 52.06% -0.738 -0.2904
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 491 46.12% 26.13 -2.593 51.32% -0.613 -0.6364
Heart of the Wildfire 426 68.71% 24.42 -3.309 53.29% -0.69 -0.3629
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 941 30.92% 33.62 3.092 72.16% 0.589 0.094
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 200 31.5% 32.91 4.577 75.5% 1.138 0.5755
Lightning's Swift Strike 251 45.78% 30.06 -0.099 64.14% -0.169 0.0293
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 353 48.27% 34.07 -0.116 73.94% 0.128 -0.3204
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 150 39.6% 32.29 6.446 64.0% 1.091 0.7712
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 152 29.61% 31.0 -5.213 58.55% -0.64 -0.515
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 643 43.23% 29.68 -0.491 62.52% -0.022 -0.1775
Many Minds Move as One 418 32.85% 30.31 2.421 63.88% 0.362 0.1551
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1232 39.67% 31.01 -0.453 65.42% -0.218 -0.0882
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 96 50.53% 28.96 0.466 68.75% 0.322 0.427
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 547 36.75% 30.44 3.298 61.43% 0.535 0.4856
River Surges in Sunlight 321 40.0% 35.4 1.743 75.08% 0.182 0.2149
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 88 40.23% 25.72 -2.955 54.55% -0.406 -0.1978
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 171 42.35% 32.7 2.384 63.16% -0.105 0.0458
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 408 38.94% 35.42 1.349 71.57% 0.067 0.0763
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 522 35.91% 30.34 -0.191 58.81% -0.027 -0.1256
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 29 10.34% 30.66 1.727 65.52% 0.233 -0.2577
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 57 52.63% 22.72 -3.025 43.86% -0.214 0.2979
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 87 49.43% 34.41 -3.495 72.41% -0.604 -0.6473
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 150 52.67% 30.03 5.026 61.33% 0.89 0.4418
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 105 54.29% 28.86 4.473 52.38% 0.357 0.4152
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 65 49.23% 27.57 0.0 61.54%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 52 57.69% 24.19 -3.8 48.08% -0.307 -0.2229
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 321 37.85% 30.68 -1.273 66.36% -0.15 -0.2474
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 229 40.97% 30.92 2.896 68.12% 0.787 0.5928
Shifting Memory of Ages 423 41.13% 24.94 -2.909 51.77% -0.579 -0.1893
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 105 35.24% 24.77 -3.313 50.48% -0.813 -0.8646
Shroud of Silent Mist 334 55.99% 25.63 1.461 53.29% 0.326 0.7403
Starlight Seeks its Form 618 31.38% 29.68 -0.819 62.14% -0.299 -0.3389
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 619 28.62% 30.53 0.552 69.14% 0.441 -0.0619
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 411 51.36% 28.46 0.12 55.23% -0.285 -0.2017
Thunderspeaker 353 36.57% 29.54 3.143 63.46% 0.478 0.4722
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 138 36.96% 27.96 -1.821 60.14% -0.158 0.2303
Towering Roots of the Jungle 260 33.46% 25.97 -0.04 53.46% 0.013 0.2231
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 338 68.64% 24.48 -3.672 50.89% -0.611 -0.5339
Vital Strength of the Earth 158 32.48% 21.51 -3.182 43.67% -0.659 -0.2099
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 273 41.04% 26.01 -1.391 50.92% -0.01 0.4844
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 89 31.82% 24.28 -9.868 43.82% -0.831 -0.1384
Volcano Looming High 597 47.74% 29.16 -0.361 65.33% 0.06 0.1243
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 353 29.75% 33.93 0.246 74.22% -0.074 -0.3235

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 24 16.67% 28.29 -4.069 62.5% -0.335 -0.8935
Blitz 0 154 25.97% 23.25 -5.881 40.91% -1.187 -0.7641
Dahan Insurrection 4 109 34.86% 36.39 5.147 42.2% 0.157 -0.3251
Despicable Theft 2 56 44.64% 20.07 -11.409 16.07% -0.563 -0.0205
Elemental Invocation 1 111 35.14% 21.23 1.555 40.54% 0.142 0.8802
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 379 18.73% 32.87 4.274 56.46% 0.346 -0.3107
Powers Long Forgotten 1 90 32.22% 14.91 -5.034 25.56% -0.8 -0.2372
Rituals of Terror 3 35 51.43% 22.89 13.159 31.43% 0.441 0.2987
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 33 54.55% 19.24 -3.905 24.24% -0.339 0.4096
Second Wave 0 547 34.14% 36.39 2.008 69.29% -0.048 0.047
The Great River 3 23 30.43% 28.35 10.18 43.48% 0.315 1.5599
Varied Terrains 2 99 55.56% 24.95 -5.021 34.34% -1.045 -0.1768
Ward the Shores 2 73 43.84% 24.22 -7.526 34.25% -1.288 -0.4333

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6770 39.82% 29.38 0.353 61.62% 0.584 0.9571
1 Thematic 520 33.08% 21.94 -3.723 33.85% -0.263 0.4512
2 Archipelago 28 64.29% 27.64 2.819 42.86% 0.264 0.7873
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1869 40.04% 29.61 -0.097 64.26% 0.325 0.4865
2 Coastline 270 39.26% 32.78 -0.489 72.59% -0.159 -0.3522
2 Fragment 50 52.0% 28.14 -2.588 58.0% -0.209 -0.2573
2 Heart 33 48.48% 24.82 0.0 48.48%
2 Opposite Shores 468 37.69% 30.22 3.244 65.17% 0.848 0.9802
2 Thematic 225 28.0% 25.2 2.096 42.67% 0.431 1.1513
2 Top to Top 83 48.19% 31.6 -1.462 72.29% 0.034 -0.0501
3 Archipelago 7 28.57% 41.0 0.0 57.14%
3 Coastline 10 30.0% 33.2 2.75 60.0% -0.203 -0.8335
3 Other 17 35.29% 30.82 -4.887 64.71% -0.6 -1.4767
3 Round (Default) 965 37.21% 31.1 -1.479 67.77% -0.681 -0.7042
3 Sunrise 6 100.0% 28.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 41 36.59% 23.15 -6.633 36.59% -0.437 -0.4295
4 Archipelago 14 28.57% 36.14 7.909 71.43% 0.309 0.1573
4 Coastline 4 50.0% 39.75 10.18 75.0% 0.315 0.4438
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 38.25 0.0 75.0%
4 Other 8 25.0% 24.13 7.881 50.0% 0.577 0.0086
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 60 40.0% 29.65 -2.127 46.67% -0.116 -0.0535
4 Trapezoid (Default) 298 38.59% 31.1 -1.932 66.78% -1.342 -1.3373
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 3 100.0% 27.67 0.0 66.67%
5 Other 59 47.46% 33.14 4.894 81.36% 0.607 0.2828
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 9 33.33% 18.78 0.0 22.22%
6 Star 6 66.67% 32.5 0.0 83.33%
6 Thematic 42 40.0% 35.36 4.18 61.9% -0.149 0.0552
6 Two Centers (Default) 37 29.73% 32.95 2.729 67.57% -0.277 0.1977
7 Other 2 0.0% 52.0 8.839 100.0% 0.122 -0.553

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 263 27.83 -0.222 53.99% -0.376 -0.3046
Aid From Lesser Spirits 207 31.98 4.536 68.6% 0.481 0.3709
All Things Weaken 290 28.68 0.929 59.31% 0.636 0.8133
Attenuated Essence 141 25.98 0.1 53.19% 0.027 0.0785
Back Against the Wall 204 30.16 2.385 55.88% 0.379 0.3637
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 132 25.73 -0.732 52.27% -0.202 -0.0186
Burn Brightest Before the End 96 29.99 0.435 57.29% 0.194 0.2808
Disintegrating Ecosystem 279 28.46 1.19 63.8% 0.612 0.9035
Downward Spiral 315 26.9 0.821 56.51% 0.037 0.1433
Erosion of Will 249 28.71 0.826 55.82% 0.052 0.2179
Intensifying Exploitation 149 24.34 -3.18 53.02% -0.342 -0.1538
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 120 34.54 1.516 79.17% 0.603 0.1747
Memory Fades to Dust 299 28.59 -1.073 59.87% -0.034 0.201
Power Corrodes the Spirit 271 28.16 1.199 58.3% 0.535 0.6314
Promising Farmlands 318 27.62 0.081 61.01% 0.157 0.5208
Shattered Fragments of Power 97 30.46 3.516 60.82% 0.591 0.6566
Slow Dissolution of Will 147 26.68 -2.875 51.02% -0.516 -0.0527
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 93 31.72 1.903 70.97% 0.388 -0.2134
The Border of Life and Death 45 33.31 5.792 71.11% 1.204 0.7285
Thriving Communities 308 27.53 1.14 55.19% 0.354 0.58
Thriving Crops 76 29.58 5.011 67.11% 1.052 0.8275
Unnatural Proliferation 284 29.42 5.505 58.8% 0.893 1.0148
Untended Land Crumbles 282 26.64 -1.639 54.96% -0.13 0.1024

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2524 39.46% 30.31 -0.694 64.82% -0.229 0.6896
B 2390 39.2% 29.9 -0.319 64.39% -0.028 0.8137
C 2636 38.21% 30.71 1.13 66.31% 0.259 0.9419
D 2202 37.88% 28.75 -1.52 59.72% -0.535 0.3072
E 2117 39.93% 30.86 1.273 65.47% 0.299 0.9509
F 2007 42.63% 30.18 0.836 65.47% 0.102 0.8616
G 1787 41.63% 29.67 0.509 63.74% 0.02 0.7781
H 1720 39.86% 30.75 0.539 65.93% 0.11 0.8282
East 599 32.16% 23.72 -2.952 36.56% -1.015 -0.201
Northeast 296 30.61% 24.85 -1.38 35.81% -0.814 -0.1469
Northwest 241 32.22% 28.78 0.342 49.38% 0.017 0.8215
Southeast 232 33.91% 24.0 -4.12 41.81% -0.78 -0.0742
Southwest 213 35.55% 23.89 0.03 42.72% 0.039 1.4293
West 547 35.41% 26.07 4.654 44.61% 0.482 1.2759

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 37 0.0% 42.3 5.715 89.19% 0.845 1.5638
Not Using Events or Tokens 165 33.54% 21.76 -0.583 40.61% -0.033 0.4516
Skip Initial Invader Actions 195 15.43% 44.23 4.132 77.44% 0.401 -0.3298
Start of Game Growth 246 18.58% 42.53 4.875 77.64% 0.742 0.2962
Unlimited Undo 1202 36.11% 28.54 -0.853 58.15% -0.3 -0.3332
Using Tokens but Not Events 1049 29.64% 30.32 0.522 63.01% 0.001 -0.1615

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3104 14.25 1.26%
II 2407 30.3 51.97%
III 3797 34.84 90.62%
IV 2618 38.61 99.2%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.405 Win Model: 0.603
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7415 39.26% 28.67 59.23%
2 2942 39.86% 30.06 64.21%
3 1026 37.24% 31.05 67.06%
4 384 38.02% 30.96 64.06%
5 63 52.38% 34.03 82.54%
6 96 35.11% 33.38 63.54%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 39
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3384
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1214
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2580
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2136
Lose: Invader deck ran out 44
Lose: Adversary condition 1315
Win: Sacrifice victory 41
Lose: Scenario condition 73
Win: Scenario condition 70
Lose: Blight pool ran out 955
Lose: Spirit destroyed 75

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 869 26.08% 39.76 -0.231 68.81% -0.074 -0.1812
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 343 22.16% 38.54 1.235 59.77% 0.187 -0.3017
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 369 60.22% 36.31 1.68 61.52% 0.588 0.7308
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 306 31.7% 42.74 0.363 71.24% 0.068 -0.6804
Dances Up Earthquakes 103 40.78% 37.89 1.567 66.99% 0.342 0.1654
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 675 34.87% 36.18 2.014 64.0% 0.514 0.3064
Downpour Drenches the World 1184 28.89% 34.77 -2.033 59.29% -0.478 -0.1576
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1211 30.22% 41.53 3.03 75.72% 0.683 0.2421
Eyes Watch From the Trees 884 29.45% 43.06 2.055 73.98% 0.235 -0.1085
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 647 36.12% 43.02 2.3 75.12% 0.332 -0.0227
Finder of Paths Unseen 718 46.79% 29.48 -5.704 51.11% -0.692 0.0926
Fractured Days Split the Sky 456 37.25% 37.21 1.721 50.66% 0.199 0.6475
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 692 47.11% 36.36 1.427 64.02% 0.458 0.4345
Heart of the Wildfire 575 67.07% 28.9 -4.164 48.0% -0.732 -0.4049
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1562 31.38% 43.57 0.728 73.3% 0.204 -0.2914
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 299 31.99% 41.38 2.694 73.24% 0.498 -0.0643
Lightning's Swift Strike 278 60.29% 35.62 -4.114 57.91% -1.089 -0.8907
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 711 42.63% 43.46 0.3 75.81% 0.385 -0.0631
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 214 47.42% 38.39 -0.952 67.29% -0.115 -0.434
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 387 25.32% 42.78 1.984 73.64% 0.76 0.8847
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 989 46.86% 37.26 -0.4 62.99% 0.006 -0.1497
Many Minds Move as One 504 31.75% 38.88 -3.077 67.86% -0.533 -0.74
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2305 38.28% 37.72 0.165 64.16% 0.062 0.1913
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 239 60.25% 30.34 -2.787 47.7% -0.5 -0.3952
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 655 37.83% 39.64 0.55 70.08% -0.023 -0.072
River Surges in Sunlight 420 40.53% 44.23 -2.008 73.33% -0.328 -0.2945
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 143 36.36% 44.73 1.855 69.23% 0.174 0.3826
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 292 31.38% 29.23 -3.274 48.63% -0.592 -0.4408
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 725 41.98% 45.04 0.93 71.72% 0.192 0.2016
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1037 30.88% 41.12 0.313 67.89% 0.056 -0.0428
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 45 33.33% 47.67 5.505 80.0% 0.853 0.3624
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 59 67.8% 29.22 -3.713 40.68% -0.675 -0.1628
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 96 65.63% 33.35 -0.857 55.21% -0.119 -0.1623
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 253 54.15% 38.75 2.096 63.24% 0.087 -0.3613
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 143 59.44% 37.21 7.588 62.94% 0.816 0.8743
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 84 64.29% 30.31 8.365 46.43% 0.857 0.6665
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 37 64.86% 29.43 -8.656 48.65% -0.877 -0.7938
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 505 37.65% 38.94 3.51 66.14% 0.564 0.466
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 341 28.45% 39.93 1.545 68.04% 0.25 0.0557
Shifting Memory of Ages 623 42.44% 33.36 -2.517 56.02% -0.637 -0.247
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 345 30.43% 33.15 -2.479 56.52% -0.102 -0.1534
Shroud of Silent Mist 477 57.68% 32.39 -3.056 54.72% -0.484 -0.07
Starlight Seeks its Form 1382 35.05% 38.52 2.492 66.93% 0.406 0.366
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 916 32.34% 40.32 -0.342 70.96% 0.079 -0.4231
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 481 45.07% 35.28 -2.915 58.63% -0.417 -0.334
Thunderspeaker 475 42.89% 40.5 -2.057 66.53% -0.169 -0.1748
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 251 41.04% 38.06 -2.723 52.19% -0.602 -0.213
Towering Roots of the Jungle 423 38.24% 32.85 -1.096 56.97% -0.191 0.0195
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 572 68.01% 34.16 -2.18 59.97% -0.462 -0.3846
Vital Strength of the Earth 161 27.04% 24.05 -5.02 37.89% -0.439 0.0105
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 486 41.2% 35.44 -1.557 58.02% -0.095 0.3994
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 76 39.19% 30.67 -5.967 51.32% -0.73 -0.0374
Volcano Looming High 1041 52.07% 37.8 -0.267 68.4% 0.077 0.1413
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 625 38.72% 41.56 4.832 72.48% 1.308 1.0594

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 19 42.11% 33.37 3.12 57.89% 0.299 -0.2593
Blitz 0 216 20.83% 49.19 -6.454 57.41% -1.02 -0.597
Dahan Insurrection 4 155 44.52% 48.45 -1.225 38.06% -0.897 -1.3795
Despicable Theft 2 28 35.71% 31.43 9.507 39.29% 0.385 0.9281
Elemental Invocation 1 72 44.44% 33.03 1.777 51.39% 0.127 0.8646
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 568 18.87% 40.58 -1.44 55.81% -0.645 -1.3014
Powers Long Forgotten 1 54 40.74% 25.44 -14.137 33.33% -1.253 -0.691
Rituals of Terror 3 36 22.22% 26.39 14.361 27.78% -0.189 -0.3309
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 23 52.17% 26.26 -1.081 26.09% -0.193 0.5563
Second Wave 0 464 33.04% 44.0 3.897 68.32% 0.288 0.3821
The Great River 3 42 50.0% 31.17 -11.735 33.33% -1.195 0.0501
Varied Terrains 2 67 52.24% 30.03 12.192 38.81% 0.451 1.3191
Ward the Shores 2 49 51.02% 27.61 -12.658 28.57% -1.032 -0.1777

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10495 42.81% 37.01 -0.51 64.0% -0.27 0.1028
1 Thematic 326 38.65% 31.88 0.822 41.72% -0.345 0.369
2 Archipelago 18 33.33% 36.67 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2724 40.35% 37.12 0.074 67.29% -0.048 0.1137
2 Coastline 367 43.87% 41.26 1.219 73.57% 0.428 0.2347
2 Fragment 81 44.44% 41.46 7.776 60.49% 1.208 1.1599
2 Heart 146 58.9% 57.49 7.563 72.6% -0.035 -0.2474
2 Opposite Shores 600 40.6% 36.75 -1.644 62.83% -0.176 -0.0435
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 -17.721 0.0% -0.549 -0.1049
2 Thematic 151 43.71% 31.43 -5.112 44.37% -0.873 -0.1525
2 Top to Top 139 48.92% 41.04 -3.461 77.7% -0.225 -0.3094
3 Archipelago 9 88.89% 33.67 0.0 33.33%
3 Coastline 8 50.0% 46.0 12.076 75.0% 0.654 0.0233
3 Other 41 34.15% 33.22 0.167 56.1% 0.28 -0.5965
3 Round (Default) 1614 36.18% 40.98 0.547 70.07% -0.043 -0.0662
3 Sunrise 6 66.67% 37.5 0.0 66.67%
3 Thematic 47 23.4% 39.36 -11.908 59.57% -0.973 -0.9653
4 Archipelago 12 83.33% 50.08 0.0 91.67%
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 -13.931 0.0% -0.387 -0.258
4 Leaf 5 20.0% 35.4 -4.527 60.0% -0.272 0.1633
4 Other 199 15.58% 18.54 -7.151 37.69% -0.303 -0.871
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Snake 1 100.0% 38.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 70 42.86% 43.23 11.809 52.86% 0.498 0.5605
4 Trapezoid (Default) 589 36.86% 41.52 1.934 72.33% 0.526 0.5313
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 52 23.08% 42.17 -3.588 78.85% -0.599 -0.923
5 Thematic 25 56.0% 58.16 16.3 40.0% 1.034 0.8911
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 28.0 -2.227 50.0% 0.075 -0.9634
6 Other 24 34.78% 34.25 -1.363 54.17% 0.32 0.2756
6 Star 13 30.77% 26.23 -4.757 38.46% -0.53 0.1029
6 Thematic 123 24.59% 48.52 -2.567 55.28% -0.514 -0.3105
6 Two Centers (Default) 76 29.33% 37.58 0.371 64.47% 0.018 0.4926
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 75.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 440 38.34 -0.253 66.59% -0.071 0.0005
Aid From Lesser Spirits 342 40.16 -4.127 65.5% -0.724 -0.8342
All Things Weaken 438 35.12 -1.716 58.68% -0.344 -0.1675
Attenuated Essence 227 34.52 0.593 56.83% 0.084 0.1356
Back Against the Wall 350 37.87 2.47 62.86% 0.48 0.4641
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 199 37.57 1.355 64.32% 0.4 0.5841
Burn Brightest Before the End 166 34.73 -4.806 56.02% -0.569 -0.4824
Disintegrating Ecosystem 422 33.81 -2.596 59.0% -0.351 -0.0599
Downward Spiral 459 35.51 1.203 62.31% 0.359 0.4647
Erosion of Will 442 35.58 -0.484 57.92% -0.087 0.0788
Intensifying Exploitation 225 36.0 2.102 58.67% 0.641 0.829
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 228 40.75 -1.479 76.32% -0.077 -0.5046
Memory Fades to Dust 482 33.5 -1.531 54.36% -0.5 -0.2653
Power Corrodes the Spirit 469 34.17 -0.21 59.91% 0.168 0.2634
Promising Farmlands 437 34.62 0.287 59.04% 0.372 0.7366
Shattered Fragments of Power 154 36.49 -0.446 61.69% -0.376 -0.3103
Slow Dissolution of Will 217 35.5 -3.776 56.68% -0.734 -0.2711
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 142 42.55 1.423 80.28% 0.481 -0.1201
The Border of Life and Death 77 31.44 -4.036 55.84% -0.461 -0.9363
Thriving Communities 470 34.04 -1.503 58.3% -0.16 0.0655
Thriving Crops 103 40.37 2.294 76.7% 0.544 0.3194
Unnatural Proliferation 464 37.18 0.865 61.21% 0.015 0.1369
Untended Land Crumbles 434 34.19 0.18 57.83% 0.087 0.319

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3938 40.3% 37.3 0.576 65.24% -0.013 0.9052
B 4047 38.9% 38.29 -0.093 66.74% -0.229 0.6118
C 4287 38.48% 38.08 0.499 66.32% -0.053 0.6302
D 3368 39.78% 35.77 -2.403 61.07% -0.689 0.1533
E 3539 39.9% 39.19 1.623 68.41% 0.062 0.7132
F 3049 40.05% 38.44 0.603 66.68% -0.217 0.5429
G 2817 40.24% 37.59 -1.662 65.74% -0.52 0.2373
H 2820 39.37% 38.8 -0.084 67.13% -0.171 0.547
East 543 34.87% 37.73 0.922 44.94% 0.199 1.0127
Northeast 361 33.89% 40.6 -3.008 44.88% -1.004 -0.3364
Northwest 302 38.21% 43.32 1.876 50.99% 0.473 1.278
Southeast 281 34.29% 42.78 -1.77 52.31% -0.276 0.4294
Southwest 262 32.57% 40.18 -2.208 52.67% -0.651 0.739
West 517 38.95% 40.28 3.022 51.45% 0.323 1.1162

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 60 0.0% 43.07 1.401 68.33% 0.098 0.8169
Not Using Events or Tokens 103 42.86% 27.43 -0.139 41.75% -0.053 0.4323
Skip Initial Invader Actions 399 12.97% 53.55 7.955 69.67% 1.049 0.3182
Start of Game Growth 714 10.26% 41.51 -0.643 59.66% -0.156 -0.602
Unlimited Undo 1878 30.92% 38.46 -2.307 64.86% -0.467 -0.5002
Using Tokens but Not Events 1348 27.69% 39.21 -0.804 67.28% -0.195 -0.3573

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3846 14.25 1.72%
II 4301 30.3 54.55%
III 6863 34.84 90.92%
IV 2991 38.61 99.73%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.018 Win Model: 0.088
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 10950 42.68% 36.77 63.16%
2 4151 42.05% 38.47 67.33%
3 1709 35.86% 40.74 69.51%
4 880 33.07% 36.34 62.73%
5 76 32.89% 45.91 63.16%
6 235 26.72% 42.46 57.87%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 66
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6147
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2293
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2958
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2859
Lose: Invader deck ran out 86
Lose: Adversary condition 1723
Win: Sacrifice victory 98
Lose: Scenario condition 129
Win: Scenario condition 73
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1467
Lose: Spirit destroyed 102

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 677 32.24% 39.28 0.678 60.71% 0.141 0.0342
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 161 27.33% 40.34 4.128 65.22% 1.09 0.6015
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 287 65.51% 31.97 -2.125 46.34% -0.08 0.0633
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 412 46.12% 35.06 -0.341 53.16% 0.075 -0.6739
Dances Up Earthquakes 92 44.57% 36.2 2.265 59.78% 0.453 0.2762
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 481 57.8% 33.83 -0.44 53.43% -0.217 -0.4246
Downpour Drenches the World 925 37.95% 31.49 -2.016 48.22% -0.037 0.2829
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1110 41.08% 39.01 1.26 67.48% 0.405 -0.0356
Eyes Watch From the Trees 670 44.63% 41.34 2.844 67.61% 0.33 -0.013
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 455 50.99% 39.63 3.512 64.84% 0.612 0.2578
Finder of Paths Unseen 489 53.37% 31.95 -5.372 50.31% -0.767 0.0176
Fractured Days Split the Sky 332 39.16% 31.28 -5.205 43.37% -0.943 -0.4953
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 498 53.82% 34.6 -1.732 54.62% -0.275 -0.2988
Heart of the Wildfire 429 72.73% 26.42 -5.837 38.23% -1.249 -0.9224
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1384 37.96% 41.28 3.185 64.6% 0.763 0.2681
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 311 39.23% 36.05 2.505 58.52% 0.332 -0.2308
Lightning's Swift Strike 203 54.19% 32.26 -1.364 45.32% -0.04 0.1583
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 704 54.23% 43.75 2.031 71.45% 0.602 0.1536
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 159 48.43% 40.86 5.991 69.81% 0.935 0.6156
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 243 39.51% 35.49 2.238 52.67% -0.08 0.0445
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 602 55.15% 34.47 -0.336 54.65% 0.236 0.0804
Many Minds Move as One 526 34.79% 32.38 -3.658 52.85% -0.397 -0.6034
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1553 55.03% 36.57 -1.144 53.7% -0.17 -0.0403
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 169 64.5% 34.6 1.645 57.4% 0.502 0.6068
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 513 49.12% 35.97 -0.308 56.34% -0.033 -0.0829
River Surges in Sunlight 334 47.31% 38.53 -1.653 58.08% -0.243 -0.2095
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 81 49.38% 34.2 2.284 51.85% 0.609 0.8169
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 113 53.1% 35.09 -0.745 49.56% -0.113 0.0385
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 596 52.02% 40.94 3.417 60.74% 0.598 0.607
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 730 37.53% 40.12 2.529 63.56% 0.558 0.4592
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 19 31.58% 29.89 -0.573 42.11% -0.322 -0.8133
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 35 74.29% 26.03 0.0 25.71%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 67 73.13% 26.97 -14.346 37.31% -0.245 -0.2884
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 196 60.71% 34.82 -0.855 53.57% -0.475 -0.9234
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 109 62.39% 34.74 0.0 52.29%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 66 66.67% 32.3 -10.497 45.45% -0.763 -0.9539
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 39 69.23% 24.67 0.504 28.21% 0.274 0.3573
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 455 49.01% 39.9 3.094 65.93% 0.443 0.3454
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 321 34.58% 27.9 4.766 45.48% 0.834 0.6399
Shifting Memory of Ages 340 53.82% 36.1 -7.086 58.82% -1.348 -0.9586
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 193 41.97% 28.48 -4.623 47.15% -0.38 -0.4312
Shroud of Silent Mist 290 58.62% 28.23 -0.919 38.97% 0.132 0.5459
Starlight Seeks its Form 1202 45.17% 34.19 -1.174 52.75% -0.048 -0.088
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 841 38.14% 36.13 0.473 59.57% 0.32 -0.1822
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 406 58.13% 30.52 -0.147 39.16% -0.194 -0.1107
Thunderspeaker 577 52.6% 35.2 -0.809 55.81% 0.162 0.1566
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 124 50.81% 36.7 7.542 60.48% -0.101 0.288
Towering Roots of the Jungle 316 46.2% 30.8 -4.319 46.2% -0.795 -0.5848
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 636 70.28% 31.16 -3.194 48.27% -0.443 -0.3658
Vital Strength of the Earth 164 61.59% 23.92 4.992 15.24% 0.125 0.5745
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 370 49.86% 33.47 -0.66 43.78% -0.351 0.1438
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 112 53.57% 21.77 -6.603 19.64% -0.679 0.0134
Volcano Looming High 872 58.14% 35.11 -1.481 57.91% -0.038 0.0263
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 596 51.51% 37.99 0.45 63.26% 0.162 -0.0869

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 14 14.29% 30.43 11.022 57.14% 0.935 0.3765
Blitz 0 187 16.04% 49.02 4.699 44.92% 0.505 0.928
Dahan Insurrection 4 106 44.34% 53.69 13.569 46.23% 0.433 -0.0495
Despicable Theft 2 28 35.71% 16.32 -7.696 14.29% -0.53 0.013
Elemental Invocation 1 42 50.0% 29.67 5.661 45.24% 0.199 0.9364
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 563 23.09% 47.49 7.629 70.69% 0.976 0.3198
Powers Long Forgotten 1 24 58.33% 20.42 0.0 12.5%
Rituals of Terror 3 26 46.15% 24.73 -11.347 26.92% -0.745 -0.8869
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 22 72.73% 34.36 8.942 45.45% 0.279 1.0278
Second Wave 0 360 42.9% 43.39 4.018 62.78% 0.525 0.6193
The Great River 3 23 65.22% 35.78 -14.115 39.13% -0.324 0.9217
Varied Terrains 2 65 53.85% 28.55 -6.347 20.0% -1.902 -1.0342
Ward the Shores 2 44 36.36% 29.18 -12.052 29.55% -0.171 0.6838

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 9422 51.65% 35.94 -0.435 55.43% -0.225 0.1487
1 Thematic 265 49.43% 30.43 -3.419 34.72% -0.883 -0.1684
2 Archipelago 16 31.25% 46.19 0.0 62.5%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2302 44.74% 38.64 0.926 64.64% -0.014 0.147
2 Coastline 285 50.18% 37.51 3.984 62.11% 0.567 0.3735
2 Fragment 47 63.83% 36.17 14.146 57.45% 0.243 0.1945
2 Heart 55 43.64% 37.73 2.426 52.73% -0.095 -0.307
2 Opposite Shores 915 52.13% 31.85 -0.147 50.38% -0.225 -0.0926
2 Thematic 201 56.72% 29.2 -2.363 22.39% -0.265 0.4557
2 Top to Top 175 35.43% 34.09 5.478 58.86% 0.757 0.6723
3 Archipelago 10 90.0% 37.6 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 8 75.0% 54.63 0.0 75.0%
3 Other 16 62.5% 37.0 2.186 62.5% 0.225 -0.6513
3 Round (Default) 1041 44.63% 38.54 2.477 61.48% 0.334 0.3107
3 Sunrise 10 40.0% 36.3 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 37 64.86% 44.08 7.542 62.16% 0.655 0.6629
4 Archipelago 4 100.0% 30.75 0.0 25.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 6 83.33% 28.33 0.0 16.67%
4 Other 13 61.54% 23.62 14.807 38.46% 0.571 0.0029
4 Thematic 17 35.29% 30.0 11.044 29.41% 0.3 0.3627
4 Trapezoid (Default) 446 45.29% 28.37 -4.715 41.7% -1.499 -1.4942
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 44.0 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 36 52.78% 31.89 0.002 50.0% -0.314 -0.6381
5 Thematic 13 69.23% 24.46 -1.034 7.69% -0.184 -0.3272
6 Archipelago 4 50.0% 49.75 0.0 75.0%
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 14 35.71% 41.36 14.738 71.43% 0.644 0.5995
6 Star 8 12.5% 32.38 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 12 50.0% 23.75 -5.488 25.0% -0.328 -0.1245
6 Two Centers (Default) 31 32.26% 34.74 1.524 48.39% -0.247 0.2272

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 479 35.82 2.853 54.7% 0.517 0.588
Aid From Lesser Spirits 345 38.5 3.257 57.97% 0.347 0.237
All Things Weaken 471 34.92 -0.02 49.68% -0.236 -0.0587
Attenuated Essence 254 32.7 -0.115 50.0% -0.029 0.0232
Back Against the Wall 363 37.67 1.911 56.75% -0.004 -0.0191
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 264 33.45 1.968 50.38% 0.048 0.2314
Burn Brightest Before the End 173 35.85 1.698 52.6% -0.167 -0.0801
Disintegrating Ecosystem 452 32.05 -1.562 50.66% -0.371 -0.0797
Downward Spiral 480 35.51 0.064 55.21% -0.142 -0.0363
Erosion of Will 439 33.41 0.255 47.38% -0.115 0.0507
Intensifying Exploitation 250 33.38 -1.98 52.4% -0.525 -0.3368
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 206 40.61 0.96 67.48% -0.074 -0.5017
Memory Fades to Dust 509 33.35 -0.01 50.29% -0.197 0.0378
Power Corrodes the Spirit 442 32.28 -2.658 47.74% -0.437 -0.3411
Promising Farmlands 421 32.38 -3.285 48.69% -0.452 -0.0876
Shattered Fragments of Power 184 36.74 2.531 53.8% 0.098 0.1635
Slow Dissolution of Will 231 31.29 -3.844 45.02% -0.872 -0.4088
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 129 41.14 0.805 71.32% 0.032 -0.5693
The Border of Life and Death 78 34.92 -3.633 61.54% -0.312 -0.7875
Thriving Communities 479 32.74 -3.501 47.39% -0.959 -0.7331
Thriving Crops 107 35.34 -0.991 59.81% 0.124 -0.1007
Unnatural Proliferation 491 36.26 -0.405 51.73% -0.21 -0.0883
Untended Land Crumbles 432 33.95 -0.131 50.0% -0.029 0.2033

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3426 49.55% 33.82 -0.333 53.53% 0.06 0.9783
B 3280 48.92% 36.36 0.704 58.23% 0.258 1.0995
C 3418 47.47% 37.42 0.339 59.77% 0.23 0.9134
D 2649 46.56% 34.18 -1.621 52.47% -0.237 0.6058
E 2960 48.56% 36.74 0.243 58.28% 0.235 0.887
F 2529 49.29% 36.57 -0.681 57.97% 0.08 0.8395
G 2163 50.58% 36.41 1.052 57.05% 0.386 1.1433
H 2247 47.39% 35.9 -0.177 55.81% -0.0 0.718
East 308 46.75% 31.53 -0.322 33.12% -0.019 0.7947
Northeast 159 38.36% 30.04 -2.036 28.3% -0.675 -0.0071
Northwest 128 50.78% 34.38 -2.571 39.84% 0.01 0.8147
Southeast 109 59.63% 33.42 0.664 38.53% -0.159 0.5467
Southwest 188 65.96% 26.26 1.762 23.94% 0.271 1.6612
West 351 56.7% 30.06 -3.284 30.48% -0.568 0.2254

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 12 0.0% 59.33 2.84 91.67% -0.206 0.5131
Not Using Events or Tokens 61 38.98% 31.75 1.867 50.82% 0.145 0.6297
Skip Initial Invader Actions 275 11.99% 55.32 10.397 60.73% 0.465 -0.2659
Start of Game Growth 500 20.93% 45.92 2.477 59.4% 0.27 -0.1757
Unlimited Undo 1918 44.49% 38.64 -0.771 59.12% -0.049 -0.0823
Using Tokens but Not Events 841 44.04% 38.76 0.833 58.38% 0.06 -0.1021

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4189 14.25 3.2%
II 4130 30.3 47.38%
III 4927 34.84 88.29%
IV 2175 38.61 99.54%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.14 Win Model: -0.134
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 9764 51.58% 35.8 54.88%
2 3941 47.17% 36.32 58.59%
3 1110 46.1% 38.86 61.8%
4 490 45.71% 28.28 40.61%
5 47 63.83% 32.19 42.55%
6 69 34.78% 34.3 49.28%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 133
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4290
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1905
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2150
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2812
Lose: Invader deck ran out 209
Lose: Adversary condition 1705
Win: Sacrifice victory 66
Lose: Scenario condition 85
Win: Scenario condition 62
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1881
Lose: Spirit destroyed 123

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 575 38.85% 43.76 1.191 65.22% 0.383 0.2765
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 137 34.31% 47.64 3.799 72.99% 0.812 0.3235
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 207 69.57% 33.96 1.712 41.55% 0.566 0.7089
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 302 53.64% 42.37 1.258 61.92% 0.279 -0.4698
Dances Up Earthquakes 74 56.76% 42.47 1.783 62.16% 0.491 0.3145
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 414 60.14% 33.1 -2.202 44.69% -0.502 -0.7094
Downpour Drenches the World 781 41.28% 40.16 -4.151 54.8% -0.995 -0.6749
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1012 45.55% 45.47 1.209 68.58% 0.383 -0.0573
Eyes Watch From the Trees 558 43.73% 44.01 2.723 66.67% 0.65 0.3064
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 463 59.4% 40.2 -0.395 60.26% 0.186 -0.1686
Finder of Paths Unseen 967 57.19% 36.55 1.227 53.05% 0.425 1.2097
Fractured Days Split the Sky 262 35.11% 36.9 -4.332 48.85% -0.924 -0.4763
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 456 52.41% 41.14 -2.42 56.8% -0.259 -0.2823
Heart of the Wildfire 302 69.1% 29.45 -1.162 40.4% -0.096 0.2314
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1397 43.74% 43.82 -4.285 64.42% -0.718 -1.2136
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 369 36.59% 53.75 -1.583 72.63% -0.263 -0.8253
Lightning's Swift Strike 117 62.39% 38.0 -3.825 51.28% -0.33 -0.1316
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 775 52.71% 52.28 4.227 72.39% 0.73 0.2818
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 136 58.09% 45.31 2.959 65.44% 0.243 -0.0766
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 176 39.2% 46.73 -3.486 60.8% -0.058 0.067
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 581 69.19% 34.51 -4.856 40.1% -1.032 -1.1885
Many Minds Move as One 395 43.8% 46.45 4.348 69.62% 0.933 0.7262
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2264 55.44% 42.42 2.504 59.14% 0.045 0.1743
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 220 60.91% 31.96 -2.599 39.55% -0.406 -0.301
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 468 48.71% 37.62 0.268 54.91% -0.148 -0.1972
River Surges in Sunlight 171 61.4% 44.29 3.254 60.82% 0.492 0.5252
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 129 62.79% 39.14 -0.369 55.81% 0.089 0.2974
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 117 64.1% 31.79 -0.901 28.21% -0.554 -0.4027
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 533 54.41% 50.62 -1.164 62.66% -0.46 -0.4507
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 920 35.65% 45.38 3.757 67.83% 0.811 0.7124
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 59 13.56% 46.19 3.196 72.88% 0.472 -0.0193
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 15 66.67% 24.73 -19.21 33.33% -0.705 -0.1933
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 45 71.11% 41.64 0.917 64.44% 0.241 0.1976
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 166 67.68% 40.03 0.633 58.43% 0.235 -0.2132
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 72 50.0% 48.89 17.861 62.5% 0.554 0.6126
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 59 64.41% 37.9 -10.358 50.85% -1.154 -1.3444
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 19 73.68% 32.11 -6.601 31.58% -0.429 -0.3456
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1268 41.17% 38.26 1.464 59.62% 0.259 0.1612
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 232 46.12% 44.06 -1.549 59.05% -0.142 -0.3363
Shifting Memory of Ages 320 64.69% 39.22 -0.219 55.63% 0.16 0.5496
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 157 52.23% 41.99 0.203 59.24% -0.187 -0.2388
Shroud of Silent Mist 213 65.73% 33.04 -8.222 41.31% -1.083 -0.6689
Starlight Seeks its Form 1017 42.67% 42.7 1.408 60.87% 0.129 0.0891
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 676 60.21% 35.74 -4.766 53.85% -0.484 -0.9862
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 215 55.81% 35.8 3.009 46.51% 0.513 0.5957
Thunderspeaker 360 58.89% 39.43 1.578 56.39% 0.343 0.3374
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 96 51.04% 42.91 4.038 64.58% 0.744 1.1323
Towering Roots of the Jungle 325 48.62% 34.28 0.598 47.69% 0.011 0.2212
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 517 74.85% 30.36 1.517 39.46% 0.55 0.6278
Vital Strength of the Earth 56 50.0% 36.27 4.757 44.64% 0.355 0.8042
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 291 50.69% 39.48 -1.397 53.26% -0.27 0.2249
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 59 50.85% 32.03 0.792 40.68% -0.366 0.3268
Volcano Looming High 666 57.81% 41.56 -0.836 60.81% -0.074 -0.0092
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 517 51.26% 44.61 -2.287 64.02% -0.441 -0.6901

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 25 44.0% 65.88 0.0 84.0%
Blitz 0 110 20.0% 60.03 -1.408 66.36% -0.226 0.1973
Dahan Insurrection 4 228 53.51% 51.63 -7.322 39.91% -1.061 -1.5429
Despicable Theft 2 31 64.52% 20.32 -21.032 12.9% -0.843 -0.3002
Elemental Invocation 1 56 51.79% 24.14 -1.913 23.21% -0.174 0.5638
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1784 29.26% 49.72 1.903 64.29% 0.158 -0.4985
Powers Long Forgotten 1 22 54.55% 23.59 -20.948 31.82% -0.971 -0.409
Rituals of Terror 3 12 25.0% 21.08 0.0 8.33%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 5 20.0% 14.4 0.0 20.0%
Second Wave 0 199 49.24% 44.09 2.108 57.29% 0.037 0.1318
The Great River 3 31 35.48% 31.32 0.0 32.26%
Varied Terrains 2 32 53.13% 33.19 -16.799 37.5% -0.624 0.2439
Ward the Shores 2 95 61.05% 26.35 -9.902 13.68% -0.578 0.2759

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10636 52.33% 38.6 -1.303 54.95% -0.574 -0.2007
1 Thematic 365 53.99% 35.98 0.565 30.96% -0.758 -0.0436
2 Archipelago 60 26.67% 22.18 -7.281 20.0% -0.5 0.0239
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1904 49.42% 40.81 2.142 62.24% 0.236 0.3972
2 Coastline 379 56.2% 42.61 1.969 63.59% 0.193 0.0003
2 Fragment 27 59.26% 52.26 3.875 77.78% 0.284 0.236
2 Heart 34 73.53% 41.35 5.749 58.82% 0.149 -0.0627
2 Opposite Shores 600 49.0% 44.21 -0.649 60.83% -0.292 -0.16
2 Thematic 123 67.48% 38.03 -10.928 32.52% -1.514 -0.7939
2 Top to Top 154 46.75% 48.35 3.513 75.97% 0.505 0.4204
3 Archipelago 5 60.0% 73.6 0.0 80.0%
3 Coastline 10 20.0% 54.1 2.193 70.0% 0.113 -0.5172
3 Other 16 18.75% 29.81 8.682 50.0% 0.952 0.076
3 Round (Default) 913 47.97% 48.52 0.79 67.69% -0.216 -0.2393
3 Thematic 38 39.47% 52.29 -12.218 50.0% -0.518 -0.5101
4 Archipelago 9 33.33% 76.78 0.0 88.89%
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 71.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 7 100.0% 36.57 0.0 42.86%
4 Other 14 57.14% 48.36 6.655 71.43% 1.081 0.5131
4 Thematic 19 15.79% 42.47 -5.585 47.37% -0.071 -0.0076
4 Trapezoid (Default) 282 60.28% 43.96 0.81 62.06% 0.049 0.0538
5 Coastline 1 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 28 64.29% 34.07 2.67 50.0% 0.117 -0.2067
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 29.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 16 12.5% 59.63 2.467 81.25% -0.007 -1.0453
6 Other 14 35.71% 23.64 -14.16 28.57% -1.154 -1.1986
6 Star 5 80.0% 46.6 8.959 60.0% 0.434 1.0668
6 Thematic 39 28.21% 39.41 1.676 48.72% 0.542 0.7461
6 Two Centers (Default) 59 64.41% 40.76 -7.183 64.41% -0.886 -0.4114
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 105.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 508 38.01 -3.149 51.57% -0.562 -0.4906
Aid From Lesser Spirits 345 42.91 1.927 59.13% 0.118 0.0079
All Things Weaken 473 35.7 -3.527 45.45% -0.845 -0.6681
Attenuated Essence 261 36.34 0.224 51.34% 0.151 0.2028
Back Against the Wall 375 40.95 1.653 54.13% 0.145 0.1293
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 258 35.18 -0.897 48.84% -0.421 -0.2375
Burn Brightest Before the End 206 39.17 1.944 49.03% -0.327 -0.2397
Disintegrating Ecosystem 454 32.51 -3.818 43.83% -0.578 -0.2869
Downward Spiral 523 34.45 -3.881 46.27% -0.628 -0.5218
Erosion of Will 503 35.65 -1.857 46.12% -0.501 -0.3355
Intensifying Exploitation 309 32.78 -3.546 43.69% -0.696 -0.5082
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 187 44.36 1.591 71.12% 0.332 -0.0963
Memory Fades to Dust 515 35.47 -2.339 46.8% -0.507 -0.2718
Power Corrodes the Spirit 523 36.06 -2.609 48.18% -0.456 -0.3602
Promising Farmlands 475 35.35 -1.86 46.95% -0.438 -0.074
Shattered Fragments of Power 185 38.78 -5.603 51.89% -1.259 -1.1937
Slow Dissolution of Will 304 35.28 -0.971 46.71% -0.427 0.0366
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 116 44.53 2.874 70.69% 0.572 -0.0296
The Border of Life and Death 79 41.53 -1.606 69.62% -0.079 -0.5541
Thriving Communities 474 34.16 -2.022 44.73% -0.383 -0.1578
Thriving Crops 106 37.28 5.028 59.43% 0.515 0.2907
Unnatural Proliferation 527 38.66 -0.224 50.09% -0.283 -0.1612
Untended Land Crumbles 467 35.26 -1.751 46.47% -0.317 -0.0847

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2735 54.06% 39.38 -1.511 56.71% -0.235 0.6837
B 3053 54.29% 41.02 0.491 58.24% 0.11 0.9509
C 3739 47.19% 42.0 -0.155 60.5% -0.078 0.6055
D 2333 50.66% 38.8 -1.548 53.45% -0.335 0.5074
E 2888 49.76% 42.78 3.451 62.19% 0.453 1.1049
F 2383 52.25% 41.96 -0.513 60.89% -0.182 0.5775
G 1808 54.54% 39.93 -2.579 57.36% -0.638 0.12
H 2797 51.45% 42.61 1.701 62.5% 0.32 1.0386
East 375 49.87% 40.31 -1.52 36.53% -0.252 0.561
Northeast 211 46.92% 37.34 -8.888 34.12% -1.374 -0.706
Northwest 171 55.62% 38.03 1.132 38.6% 0.123 0.9281
Southeast 147 42.86% 44.41 3.113 45.58% 0.329 1.0342
Southwest 146 39.73% 33.72 -6.975 34.93% -0.65 0.7394
West 348 53.18% 35.32 -3.054 33.91% -0.544 0.2491

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 7 0.0% 43.43 6.219 57.14% 0.079 0.7978
Not Using Events or Tokens 51 43.14% 21.53 1.946 29.41% -0.256 0.2292
Skip Initial Invader Actions 480 13.89% 73.81 14.293 86.46% 1.797 1.0658
Start of Game Growth 697 25.14% 61.71 3.519 74.75% 0.321 -0.1251
Unlimited Undo 1826 49.2% 38.03 -0.941 53.12% -0.094 -0.1275
Using Tokens but Not Events 621 45.44% 37.29 -2.931 50.72% -0.843 -1.0057

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4553 14.25 8.61%
II 5657 30.3 59.41%
III 4059 34.84 90.51%
IV 1534 38.61 99.61%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.198 Win Model: 0.005
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11170 52.41% 38.52 54.23%
2 3162 50.38% 42.1 61.57%
3 978 46.82% 48.3 66.77%
4 329 58.05% 44.73 62.01%
5 30 63.33% 31.8 46.67%
6 134 45.52% 41.97 58.96%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 391
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3613
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3259
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1508
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3061
Lose: Invader deck ran out 172
Lose: Adversary condition 1055
Win: Sacrifice victory 80
Lose: Scenario condition 201
Win: Scenario condition 104
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2259
Lose: Spirit destroyed 100

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2839 39.97% 43.98 3.46 51.0% 0.899 0.7921
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 575 32.7% 46.59 5.6 55.65% 1.017 0.5287
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 697 71.02% 37.11 -2.074 36.15% -0.483 -0.3401
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 1995 55.19% 43.98 -0.172 54.29% 0.402 -0.3467
Dances Up Earthquakes 270 60.0% 45.84 3.954 53.33% 0.686 0.5094
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 918 64.92% 35.53 -1.884 38.02% 0.109 -0.0984
Downpour Drenches the World 3077 48.75% 39.99 -0.976 42.05% 0.133 0.4527
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 3894 56.52% 38.53 -1.923 48.41% 0.216 -0.2248
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1742 53.56% 40.37 1.544 46.44% 0.65 0.3068
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1072 69.07% 37.56 -3.504 41.88% -0.257 -0.6108
Finder of Paths Unseen 1951 54.02% 37.35 -3.883 40.85% -0.664 0.1209
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1916 36.53% 43.2 1.625 42.38% 0.256 0.7044
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1375 67.42% 36.96 -3.325 37.53% -0.431 -0.4551
Heart of the Wildfire 1252 76.98% 24.0 -9.177 19.17% -0.992 -0.665
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8730 47.38% 50.53 4.208 63.77% 0.907 0.4117
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 802 55.25% 35.65 -1.305 38.65% -0.028 -0.5908
Lightning's Swift Strike 592 63.99% 31.14 -8.358 31.76% -0.76 -0.562
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 2865 67.39% 45.3 0.474 52.36% 0.519 0.0709
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1143 65.38% 46.78 4.48 56.43% 1.124 0.805
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1086 50.28% 44.8 1.588 49.17% 0.563 0.6882
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2389 67.39% 32.7 -4.298 30.72% -0.697 -0.8526
Many Minds Move as One 1283 46.45% 46.79 0.675 54.72% 0.428 0.2217
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4650 50.57% 36.62 -1.161 40.06% 0.287 0.4163
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 438 68.35% 29.25 -3.612 29.68% -0.376 -0.2712
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1536 60.2% 36.62 0.661 39.13% 0.076 0.0269
River Surges in Sunlight 1095 51.83% 37.1 -1.896 40.55% -0.196 -0.1631
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 366 59.29% 38.37 -0.053 36.61% 0.081 0.2891
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 475 54.12% 24.21 -5.289 21.47% -0.397 -0.2454
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 2206 60.98% 40.11 -5.952 39.21% -0.925 -0.916
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3593 39.08% 49.9 4.767 54.24% 0.773 0.6737
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 81 38.27% 47.8 6.325 61.73% 1.207 0.7159
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 138 68.84% 18.35 -11.511 10.14% -0.95 -0.4384
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 131 81.68% 32.46 -6.106 25.19% -0.808 -0.8517
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 646 76.09% 32.35 -4.237 34.67% -0.365 -0.8131
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 283 77.74% 31.23 -3.282 27.56% -0.166 -0.1078
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 170 76.47% 27.49 -14.051 21.18% -1.116 -1.3068
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 489 63.6% 44.37 -0.438 42.33% -0.498 -0.4144
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1307 58.99% 41.61 -1.182 46.52% -0.229 -0.327
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 835 54.61% 32.86 -5.877 38.32% -0.267 -0.4614
Shifting Memory of Ages 1635 55.57% 39.51 1.449 37.86% -0.15 0.2394
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 598 45.06% 37.56 -0.071 43.81% 0.33 0.2788
Shroud of Silent Mist 856 75.47% 31.84 2.532 29.67% 0.379 0.7934
Starlight Seeks its Form 5843 50.08% 45.48 3.114 54.29% 0.629 0.5886
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6866 53.4% 45.85 6.996 59.77% 1.393 0.8908
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 809 70.72% 30.75 -3.529 29.17% -0.276 -0.1928
Thunderspeaker 1330 53.2% 30.81 -9.449 30.15% -0.729 -0.7349
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 332 64.16% 32.99 -1.302 38.55% 0.149 0.5377
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1193 50.29% 30.42 -4.524 34.2% -0.364 -0.1539
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2694 74.56% 38.08 0.807 42.8% 0.271 0.3481
Vital Strength of the Earth 291 61.38% 24.23 -8.483 18.9% -0.897 -0.4476
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1196 57.49% 34.54 -6.607 35.45% -0.497 -0.0028
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 154 62.75% 26.06 -3.249 21.43% -0.228 0.4652
Volcano Looming High 4124 59.29% 37.08 1.16 39.57% 0.455 0.5195
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1485 62.09% 39.79 -0.167 44.78% 0.139 -0.1096

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 36 58.33% 52.42 15.65 61.11% 1.089 0.5305
Blitz 0 658 18.24% 55.35 2.311 51.67% -0.404 0.0191
Dahan Insurrection 4 644 59.72% 41.28 -9.846 13.98% -1.876 -2.358
Despicable Theft 2 26 57.69% 40.65 9.381 42.31% 0.041 0.584
Elemental Invocation 1 142 66.9% 29.49 -6.835 5.63% -0.483 0.2546
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2722 37.96% 44.5 3.139 40.37% 0.264 -0.3923
Powers Long Forgotten 1 23 39.13% 19.87 -15.112 21.74% -0.407 0.155
Rituals of Terror 3 186 47.31% 80.35 23.071 49.46% 0.96 0.8177
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 27 48.15% 31.11 -10.779 14.81% -0.086 0.6629
Second Wave 0 374 62.03% 46.92 3.602 52.14% -0.019 0.0754
The Great River 3 39 28.21% 29.74 0.0 25.64%
Varied Terrains 2 102 57.84% 28.41 -0.031 19.61% -1.142 -0.2737
Ward the Shores 2 147 44.22% 17.75 -13.197 12.24% -1.168 -0.3134

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 48307 58.58% 41.05 0.355 47.79% -0.39 -0.0163
1 Thematic 879 45.04% 37.81 -5.637 28.9% -1.281 -0.5669
2 Archipelago 96 50.0% 33.2 -9.744 12.5% -0.018 0.5054
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6022 58.5% 37.35 0.563 43.59% -0.349 -0.1876
2 Coastline 1217 56.95% 38.51 2.69 43.88% -0.032 -0.2249
2 Fragment 114 60.53% 47.66 6.819 59.65% 0.762 0.7134
2 Heart 215 77.67% 43.75 5.345 38.14% -0.11 -0.322
2 Opposite Shores 1239 59.64% 40.54 -1.106 41.32% -0.792 -0.6593
2 Thematic 197 58.38% 48.28 -6.436 30.96% -0.333 0.3869
2 Top to Top 380 62.63% 40.91 4.498 47.63% 0.44 0.355
3 Archipelago 68 58.82% 57.57 23.148 30.88% 0.695 0.1515
3 Coastline 22 54.55% 41.14 3.791 54.55% -0.147 -0.777
3 Other 37 48.65% 46.24 13.455 54.05% 1.218 0.3416
3 Round (Default) 3011 54.93% 41.51 -2.924 49.52% -0.555 -0.5787
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 101 29.7% 71.81 10.702 43.56% 0.546 0.554
4 Archipelago 21 52.38% 60.81 -12.565 57.14% -0.173 -0.3248
4 Coastline 11 45.45% 64.73 8.264 81.82% 0.094 0.2234
4 Leaf 22 59.09% 32.55 0.0 13.64%
4 Other 12 41.67% 47.42 14.835 58.33% 1.356 0.7876
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 128 39.84% 46.27 6.263 23.44% 0.433 0.4965
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1489 48.55% 34.04 -2.094 36.33% -0.651 -0.6455
5 Archipelago 12 66.67% 52.0 0.0 25.0%
5 Coastline 19 0.0% 55.89 0.0 78.95%
5 Other 61 55.0% 48.74 -8.46 40.98% -0.487 -0.8105
5 Thematic 14 61.54% 46.21 0.0 28.57%
6 Archipelago 44 25.0% 56.0 0.0 63.64%
6 Coastline 46 0.0% 56.87 7.078 80.43% 0.035 -1.0234
6 Other 184 40.76% 38.51 -5.462 40.22% -0.538 -0.5826
6 Star 30 40.0% 52.2 -7.128 66.67% -0.686 -0.0538
6 Thematic 126 44.8% 32.1 -2.053 23.81% -0.914 -0.7099
6 Two Centers (Default) 506 20.75% 55.93 2.872 59.88% -0.456 0.0179
7 Archipelago 7 14.29% 76.29 12.413 71.43% -0.012 -0.3363
7 Other 6 16.67% 10.17 16.179 0.0% 0.351 -0.3245

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2241 39.91 0.112 41.19% -0.207 -0.1355
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1708 45.82 5.863 49.59% 0.519 0.4093
All Things Weaken 2353 41.4 2.721 44.58% 0.181 0.3577
Attenuated Essence 1260 38.13 2.567 42.54% 0.394 0.4462
Back Against the Wall 1721 43.76 2.307 45.9% 0.124 0.1084
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1297 35.56 -2.492 37.47% -0.561 -0.3774
Burn Brightest Before the End 860 40.75 1.437 41.74% -0.163 -0.0762
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2172 38.08 0.091 41.76% -0.074 0.2176
Downward Spiral 2378 39.17 0.687 43.02% 0.013 0.119
Erosion of Will 2215 39.18 0.489 39.82% -0.258 -0.0916
Intensifying Exploitation 1299 33.34 -1.171 34.87% -0.214 -0.0263
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 656 45.65 0.079 56.4% -0.136 -0.5642
Memory Fades to Dust 2318 37.6 -0.145 39.86% -0.18 0.0548
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2284 38.68 1.018 40.59% 0.02 0.1158
Promising Farmlands 2223 38.41 -0.616 40.35% -0.275 0.0888
Shattered Fragments of Power 868 40.39 3.44 42.28% 0.177 0.2421
Slow Dissolution of Will 1290 34.39 0.507 35.27% -0.065 0.3978
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 464 52.19 6.414 72.41% 1.083 0.4814
The Border of Life and Death 265 43.03 1.465 57.74% 0.393 -0.0823
Thriving Communities 2229 37.22 0.509 38.27% -0.13 0.0956
Thriving Crops 506 45.49 2.829 59.29% 0.391 0.1663
Unnatural Proliferation 2325 42.9 2.635 44.69% 0.137 0.2592
Untended Land Crumbles 2258 38.33 0.664 40.3% -0.04 0.1924

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11239 56.6% 39.36 -0.262 44.59% -0.487 0.4315
B 11562 57.63% 38.96 -0.827 43.5% -0.627 0.2147
C 14978 55.17% 43.33 0.63 51.82% -0.462 0.2214
D 9947 54.26% 37.91 -2.035 40.19% -0.972 -0.13
E 12838 56.43% 40.91 0.835 47.64% -0.409 0.2429
F 9534 55.56% 41.41 1.324 48.49% -0.333 0.427
G 8771 53.51% 40.22 -0.714 44.5% -0.558 0.1995
H 8623 55.07% 41.49 0.11 48.46% -0.545 0.173
East 987 44.47% 44.11 1.166 27.66% -0.849 -0.0354
Northeast 589 42.59% 44.5 2.294 26.32% -0.417 0.2509
Northwest 487 48.45% 38.71 -6.002 27.31% -0.973 -0.1683
Southeast 314 43.27% 37.56 -8.374 28.66% -0.934 -0.2282
Southwest 298 43.77% 33.77 -3.779 28.52% -0.787 0.6025
West 918 47.16% 43.41 5.932 31.7% -0.098 0.6954

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 45 0.0% 38.62 -7.822 42.22% -1.075 -0.3561
Not Using Events or Tokens 176 55.43% 27.39 1.979 16.48% 0.811 1.2956
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2174 16.63% 64.71 8.992 68.31% 1.367 0.6363
Start of Game Growth 3270 21.55% 60.98 7.149 65.93% 0.395 -0.0516
Unlimited Undo 8303 43.48% 48.02 3.662 57.56% 0.587 0.5535
Using Tokens but Not Events 2108 51.41% 32.65 -3.432 29.74% -0.497 -0.6592

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 23222 14.25 3.35%
II 14542 30.3 33.37%
III 15397 34.84 84.82%
IV 11570 38.61 99.78%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.047 Win Model: 0.331
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 49602 58.36% 41.06 47.5%
2 9281 58.77% 38.66 42.82%
3 3180 54.31% 42.12 49.18%
4 1645 48.54% 35.04 35.81%
5 114 45.13% 45.9 40.35%
6 909 25.99% 49.95 54.9%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 763
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12906
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4712
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 11385
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 14264
Lose: Invader deck ran out 699
Lose: Adversary condition 5511
Win: Sacrifice victory 360
Lose: Scenario condition 840
Win: Scenario condition 108
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12186
Lose: Spirit destroyed 997

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)