The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 95 21.05% 28.62 -0.192 90.53% -0.041 -0.0889
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 71 35.21% 31.1 1.37 91.55% 0.425 0.4893
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 78 17.95% 29.41 -0.788 91.03% -0.448 -0.6863
Downpour Drenches the World 268 18.28% 26.05 -0.923 92.16% -0.328 0.0635
Eyes Watch From the Trees 121 13.33% 32.13 0.884 92.56% -0.057 -0.4721
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 92 18.68% 31.4 1.317 96.74% 1.267 0.672
Finder of Paths Unseen 128 46.09% 22.84 -2.843 79.69% -0.619 -0.2147
Fractured Days Split the Sky 41 19.51% 34.61 0.7 97.56% 0.278 0.3205
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 82 28.05% 30.15 0.207 87.8% -0.421 -0.4376
Heart of the Wildfire 64 56.25% 27.47 -0.654 85.94% 0.366 0.6947
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 144 18.75% 31.15 0.734 95.14% 0.895 0.2607
Lightning's Swift Strike 38 18.42% 31.74 0.464 97.37% 0.915 1.1879
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 81 32.1% 28.51 0.736 96.3% 0.795 -0.0376
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 23 17.39% 34.74 2.108 95.65% 0.022 -0.5499
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 17 23.53% 35.24 2.453 94.12% -0.093 -0.5173
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 116 26.72% 31.72 0.783 89.66% -0.042 -0.2494
Many Minds Move as One 51 25.49% 32.31 -1.018 84.31% -0.455 -0.9676
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 163 41.72% 29.4 -0.282 88.96% 0.298 0.0149
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 87 34.48% 29.05 0.52 80.46% -0.185 -0.1526
River Surges in Sunlight 48 29.79% 29.35 -0.96 81.25% -0.638 -0.632
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 43 44.19% 30.3 -0.654 83.72% -0.394 0.0506
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 98 28.57% 34.5 2.013 92.86% -0.099 -0.3418
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 65 26.15% 29.15 -0.49 90.77% 0.283 0.1389
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 12 66.67% 26.75 2.681 66.67% 0.237 0.739
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 34 32.35% 29.26 0.066 85.29% -0.005 0.134
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 24 41.67% 29.08 -0.008 87.5% 0.49 0.4126
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 16 37.5% 31.13 1.324 93.75% 0.725 0.7226
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 5 60.0% 29.8 1.739 60.0% -0.064 0.0051
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 86 25.58% 30.94 -0.746 89.53% -0.585 -0.8466
Shifting Memory of Ages 54 40.74% 26.74 -1.1 90.74% 0.888 0.9099
Shroud of Silent Mist 60 43.33% 25.15 -1.379 78.33% -0.308 -0.0631
Starlight Seeks its Form 228 12.72% 33.64 1.956 93.42% 0.851 0.6392
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 78 17.95% 29.53 -1.257 84.62% -0.849 -1.0183
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 66 22.73% 28.55 -1.102 86.36% -0.305 -0.1946
Thunderspeaker 90 31.11% 31.51 1.135 87.78% -0.044 -0.1394
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 48 52.08% 27.21 -1.371 81.25% -0.189 -0.2867
Vital Strength of the Earth 25 24.0% 24.6 -2.376 80.0% -0.013 0.869
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 74 37.84% 24.66 -2.798 77.03% -1.495 -1.0946
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 9 44.44% 25.67 -3.091 77.78% -0.676 0.366
Volcano Looming High 94 27.66% 27.62 -0.122 88.3% 0.107 0.0917

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 14 21.43% 26.5 1.28 92.86% 0.144 0.5839
Blitz 0 9 22.22% 34.22 2.71 77.78% -0.201 0.0555
Dahan Insurrection 4 33 6.06% 52.09 9.065 93.94% -0.126 0.1755
Despicable Theft 2 5 40.0% 32.4 4.291 60.0% 0.096 0.6404
Elemental Invocation 1 21 14.29% 32.19 -0.764 85.71% -0.316 0.2956
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 55 9.09% 32.47 -0.033 81.82% -1.133 -0.9387
Powers Long Forgotten 1 10 50.0% 25.6 -0.99 50.0% -0.757 -0.5113
Rituals of Terror 3 10 50.0% 45.0 5.923 80.0% -0.072 -0.9081
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 8 62.5% 41.25 7.922 87.5% -0.015 0.5108
Second Wave 0 59 35.59% 35.31 2.192 76.27% -0.307 0.2653
The Great River 3 9 77.78% 32.67 -0.401 66.67% -0.924 0.7151
Varied Terrains 2 36 63.89% 31.67 3.291 66.67% -0.242 0.5032
Ward the Shores 2 18 44.44% 35.06 2.898 83.33% -0.335 0.7193

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1229 30.42% 28.93 -0.327 88.12% 0.219 0.6646
1 Thematic 55 50.91% 34.49 1.838 78.18% 0.022 0.6541
2 Archipelago 2 50.0% 45.0 -6.392 50.0% -0.517 -0.5037
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 253 32.41% 27.45 -0.888 86.56% -0.185 0.1592
2 Coastline 28 35.71% 28.29 -0.883 89.29% 0.202 0.2849
2 Fragment 9 22.22% 30.22 0.366 100.0% 0.172 0.2604
2 Heart 6 0.0% 31.83 0.595 100.0% 0.081 0.6928
2 Opposite Shores 48 37.5% 27.46 -0.975 93.75% 0.156 0.5346
2 Thematic 30 33.33% 40.73 2.656 83.33% -0.296 0.2212
2 Top to Top 5 0.0% 34.0 2.567 100.0% 0.104 0.2433
3 Coastline 1 0.0% 35.0 4.327 100.0% 0.072 -0.5772
3 Other 4 50.0% 33.0 1.745 100.0% 0.021 -1.0502
3 Round (Default) 165 24.24% 29.85 1.019 90.91% 0.258 0.4504
3 Thematic 6 16.67% 31.0 0.384 66.67% 0.157 -0.0887
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 28.0 0.501 100.0% 0.097 0.5883
4 Other 1 0.0% 32.0 1.593 100.0% 0.037 -0.5044
4 Thematic 16 0.0% 40.13 3.346 100.0% 0.51 0.5156
4 Trapezoid (Default) 50 12.0% 27.96 -1.825 90.0% -0.783 -0.9236
5 Other 7 57.14% 32.43 7.443 100.0% 0.082 -0.0932
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 35.0 0.519 100.0% 0.011 -0.7395
6 Other 1 0.0% 33.0 1.665 100.0% 0.011 0.7082
6 Star 1 100.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 13 30.77% 39.69 -0.718 84.62% -0.423 0.0758
6 Two Centers (Default) 10 0.0% 22.2 -2.29 90.0% 0.021 0.2466

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 35 22.94 -4.468 71.43% -1.15 0.7596
Aid From Lesser Spirits 40 25.6 -2.701 67.5% -2.077 -0.3924
All Things Weaken 39 25.54 -2.293 71.79% -1.221 0.7786
Back Against the Wall 46 24.87 -0.946 67.39% -1.567 0.3813
Disintegrating Ecosystem 34 18.74 -5.534 61.76% -1.594 0.4719
Downward Spiral 49 25.41 -1.296 83.67% -0.619 1.344
Erosion of Will 32 24.63 -4.287 71.88% -1.411 0.6959
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 22 26.64 -0.621 90.91% 0.468 1.0845
Memory Fades to Dust 62 22.85 -4.826 67.74% -1.718 0.3389
Power Corrodes the Spirit 39 23.54 -4.197 71.79% -1.428 0.5507
Promising Farmlands 30 22.47 -2.773 66.67% -1.042 1.0599
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 16 23.5 -3.347 87.5% 0.069 0.3989
Thriving Communities 60 22.53 -4.761 66.67% -1.877 0.173
Unnatural Proliferation 41 26.15 -2.724 65.85% -1.215 0.7295
Untended Land Crumbles 37 23.08 -3.905 64.86% -1.077 0.9493

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 375 31.47% 28.9 0.272 89.07% 0.0 0.7595
B 406 25.68% 28.53 -0.288 88.92% -0.413 0.2634
C 389 31.36% 29.23 -0.271 91.52% -0.045 0.4802
D 336 25.0% 29.42 -0.314 90.18% -0.247 0.4797
E 344 27.7% 28.7 -0.333 89.24% -0.049 0.511
F 353 29.55% 27.66 -0.345 86.12% -0.223 0.4673
G 265 23.77% 29.11 0.848 90.94% 0.607 1.3021
H 305 28.85% 28.33 -0.476 87.54% -0.254 0.4069
East 90 33.33% 39.11 1.913 83.33% -0.416 0.2632
Northeast 50 28.0% 39.1 2.04 84.0% 0.266 0.8358
Northwest 40 25.0% 38.6 0.626 87.5% -0.194 0.648
Southeast 35 31.43% 39.77 2.602 85.71% 0.269 0.7954
Southwest 29 31.03% 36.66 0.927 86.21% -0.138 0.8027
West 81 30.86% 36.35 0.989 83.95% -0.385 0.6151

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3 0.0% 34.33 2.521 100.0% 0.143 2.2622
Not Using Events or Tokens 36 30.56% 25.78 -1.256 88.89% 0.228 0.468
Skip Initial Invader Actions 70 18.57% 37.19 2.371 87.14% 0.118 -0.2514
Start of Game Growth 98 21.43% 35.37 1.158 86.73% 0.135 -0.4877
Unlimited Undo 131 26.72% 31.59 0.442 91.6% 0.217 -0.4136
Using Tokens but Not Events 167 29.27% 28.96 -0.098 84.43% -0.392 -0.3482

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 123 22.62 32.52%
II 557 31.05 81.51%
III 845 34.62 95.15%
IV 418 37.86 99.52%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.114 Win Model: 0.487
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 1303 31.46% 29.22 87.34%
2 368 32.34% 28.87 89.13%
3 171 22.81% 29.63 90.64%
4 67 8.96% 30.76 92.54%
5 7 57.14% 32.43 100.0%
6 27 18.52% 32.26 88.89%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 40
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 786
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 421
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 413
Lose: Invader deck ran out 12
Lose: Adversary condition 62
Win: Sacrifice victory 8
Lose: Scenario condition 13
Win: Scenario condition 46
Lose: Blight pool ran out 126
Lose: Spirit destroyed 16

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 81 28.4% 34.64 1.003 82.72% 0.604 0.5563
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 51 48.0% 32.92 0.967 80.39% 0.474 0.5383
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 54 44.44% 34.13 0.233 81.48% -0.016 -0.2543
Downpour Drenches the World 246 28.46% 30.01 -2.093 73.98% -0.7 -0.3082
Eyes Watch From the Trees 85 29.41% 35.35 0.058 84.71% -0.152 -0.5671
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 70 34.29% 33.66 0.303 77.14% 0.249 -0.3461
Finder of Paths Unseen 115 42.61% 29.0 -1.949 72.17% -0.472 -0.068
Fractured Days Split the Sky 30 36.67% 35.73 1.493 76.67% 0.167 0.2091
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 112 47.32% 33.7 0.828 72.32% 0.434 0.4173
Heart of the Wildfire 49 63.27% 30.69 -0.894 75.51% -0.374 -0.045
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 127 27.56% 35.58 1.386 83.46% 0.283 -0.3518
Lightning's Swift Strike 30 36.67% 37.1 2.347 86.67% 0.635 0.9081
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 72 37.5% 36.17 2.256 86.11% 0.578 -0.2546
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 25 37.5% 36.2 2.359 84.0% 0.572 -0.0005
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 24 25.0% 36.54 1.073 91.67% 0.466 0.0413
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 89 38.2% 35.29 0.303 79.78% 0.133 -0.0744
Many Minds Move as One 52 30.77% 36.96 2.385 76.92% 0.134 -0.378
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 192 38.02% 33.44 -0.146 77.08% -0.235 -0.5181
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 64 29.69% 33.28 -0.704 79.69% -0.292 -0.2597
River Surges in Sunlight 49 36.73% 33.71 2.082 73.47% 0.871 0.8771
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 26 19.23% 38.04 1.03 80.77% 0.09 0.5346
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 98 30.93% 38.0 2.086 87.76% 0.112 -0.1308
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 48 35.42% 31.63 -0.998 75.0% -0.327 -0.471
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 8 87.5% 27.0 -2.121 75.0% -0.013 0.4885
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 33 45.45% 32.42 -2.545 72.73% -0.251 -0.1122
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 35 40.0% 31.94 2.005 71.43% 0.264 0.1862
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 10 40.0% 29.4 -1.445 60.0% -0.579 -0.5813
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 9 22.22% 36.56 0.595 88.89% 0.029 0.0981
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 73 38.36% 35.05 0.358 83.56% 0.152 -0.1102
Shifting Memory of Ages 60 33.33% 30.67 -1.361 71.67% -0.327 -0.3053
Shroud of Silent Mist 39 46.15% 30.97 -0.245 74.36% 0.116 0.3605
Starlight Seeks its Form 71 29.58% 33.82 0.337 78.87% -0.064 -0.2755
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 71 30.0% 34.15 -0.329 80.28% -0.148 -0.317
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 43 35.71% 30.65 -2.101 69.77% -0.26 -0.1497
Thunderspeaker 50 38.0% 33.34 0.231 78.0% 0.184 0.0884
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 32 46.88% 31.84 -2.777 84.38% -0.155 -0.2522
Vital Strength of the Earth 19 15.79% 29.47 -2.892 68.42% -0.892 -0.0099
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 73 39.73% 27.15 -0.895 63.01% -0.115 0.2859
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 9 44.44% 31.11 -1.55 77.78% -0.277 0.7649
Volcano Looming High 59 32.2% 33.42 -2.324 84.75% -0.572 -0.5876

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 25.0% 33.88 -0.251 87.5% 0.161 0.601
Blitz 0 14 57.14% 29.79 0.325 64.29% -0.019 0.2371
Dahan Insurrection 4 20 25.0% 55.45 9.504 85.0% -0.068 0.2341
Despicable Theft 2 15 60.0% 39.27 13.594 53.33% 0.518 1.0631
Elemental Invocation 1 10 50.0% 37.1 2.325 80.0% 0.589 1.2007
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 41 7.32% 34.95 -0.431 73.17% -0.614 -0.4203
Powers Long Forgotten 1 3 66.67% 23.67 -7.848 33.33% -1.15 -0.9047
Rituals of Terror 3 2 0.0% 57.5 12.232 100.0% 0.304 -0.5326
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 1 0.0% 60.0 8.797 100.0% 0.038 0.5634
Second Wave 0 139 37.41% 35.96 2.595 75.54% 0.059 0.632
The Great River 3 1 0.0% 49.0 7.778 100.0% 0.149 1.7883
Varied Terrains 2 7 85.71% 39.0 3.719 85.71% 0.306 1.0512
Ward the Shores 2 12 50.0% 32.17 0.657 50.0% -0.422 0.6331

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1032 37.9% 33.0 -0.014 77.81% 0.269 0.7141
1 Thematic 57 38.6% 35.7 -0.985 63.16% -0.473 0.1594
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 209 39.23% 32.0 -0.857 77.03% -0.203 0.1413
2 Coastline 35 23.53% 32.23 -1.007 82.86% -0.279 -0.196
2 Fragment 4 25.0% 34.5 0.0 100.0%
2 Heart 7 71.43% 25.43 -7.344 57.14% -0.852 -0.2406
2 Opposite Shores 56 23.21% 33.46 -0.358 80.36% -0.094 0.2842
2 Thematic 23 47.83% 34.57 4.172 60.87% 0.636 1.1537
2 Top to Top 7 57.14% 30.43 2.445 57.14% 0.079 0.2181
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 45.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 34.33 1.776 100.0% 0.181 -0.4679
3 Other 4 50.0% 25.0 4.599 50.0% 0.663 -0.4086
3 Round (Default) 143 38.46% 33.2 0.606 78.32% -0.284 -0.092
3 Thematic 4 75.0% 29.5 2.855 50.0% 0.138 -0.108
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 42.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 4 25.0% 33.25 -1.663 50.0% -0.434 -0.4279
4 Trapezoid (Default) 28 21.43% 33.79 1.32 85.71% 0.752 0.6111
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 34.0 2.438 100.0% 0.08 -0.2369
5 Other 8 37.5% 31.13 -2.025 75.0% -0.522 -0.697
6 Other 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 10 0.0% 46.0 0.483 100.0% 0.11 0.6085
6 Two Centers (Default) 2 0.0% 35.5 -1.928 100.0% 0.008 0.2343

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 42 31.29 2.604 76.19% -0.026 1.8835
Aid From Lesser Spirits 25 30.72 -0.821 60.0% -0.524 1.1607
All Things Weaken 34 30.76 -0.527 73.53% -0.07 1.9298
Back Against the Wall 45 24.38 -4.869 53.33% -1.422 0.5258
Disintegrating Ecosystem 41 27.41 -2.288 63.41% -0.445 1.62
Downward Spiral 52 24.83 -3.93 57.69% -0.726 1.2366
Erosion of Will 42 26.02 -3.775 59.52% -0.963 1.1445
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 22 32.27 -2.859 81.82% -0.778 -0.1616
Memory Fades to Dust 50 26.78 -4.06 64.0% -1.173 0.8839
Power Corrodes the Spirit 40 28.5 -4.016 65.0% -1.409 0.5695
Promising Farmlands 47 25.91 -3.735 61.7% -0.669 1.4335
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 11 35.0 -0.152 100.0% 0.505 0.8346
Thriving Communities 51 27.8 -3.231 66.67% -0.979 1.0702
Unnatural Proliferation 55 28.36 -2.546 58.18% -0.993 0.9509
Untended Land Crumbles 54 24.41 -5.552 53.7% -1.405 0.6218

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 295 37.29% 33.36 0.504 78.31% 0.418 1.1774
B 326 37.73% 32.33 0.454 76.07% 0.301 0.9777
C 333 33.53% 33.81 0.786 82.28% 0.395 0.9204
D 298 33.56% 31.68 -0.73 75.5% -0.127 0.6
E 285 34.74% 33.98 0.384 82.11% 0.266 0.826
F 272 37.87% 32.75 -0.71 77.57% -0.208 0.4819
G 263 43.68% 32.1 -0.863 76.05% -0.13 0.5658
H 245 36.07% 33.25 0.286 79.59% 0.165 0.8257
East 67 34.33% 37.0 0.962 67.16% 0.055 0.7342
Northeast 37 35.14% 36.19 1.299 62.16% -0.267 0.3024
Northwest 30 23.33% 38.63 1.108 76.67% 0.345 1.1864
Southeast 28 21.43% 40.07 1.316 82.14% 0.279 0.8055
Southwest 23 26.09% 36.78 -1.843 73.91% -0.517 0.4246
West 61 36.07% 34.87 1.202 63.93% 0.242 1.2422

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 4 0.0% 37.5 1.041 100.0% 0.308 2.427
Not Using Events or Tokens 14 21.43% 29.0 -2.566 64.29% -0.307 -0.0668
Skip Initial Invader Actions 49 6.12% 42.45 2.776 89.8% 0.454 0.0854
Start of Game Growth 70 11.43% 40.83 2.009 82.86% 0.484 -0.1388
Unlimited Undo 122 30.25% 37.02 2.024 86.89% 0.965 0.334
Using Tokens but Not Events 134 23.85% 35.21 0.285 81.34% -0.145 -0.1012

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 162 22.62 6.17%
II 364 31.05 59.34%
III 660 34.62 89.09%
IV 457 37.86 99.56%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.08 Win Model: 0.322
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 1100 38.47% 33.14 76.82%
2 337 34.82% 32.55 77.45%
3 150 40.0% 32.59 76.67%
4 34 23.53% 34.24 82.35%
5 9 44.44% 31.44 77.78%
6 13 0.0% 43.62 100.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 10
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 571
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 208
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 450
Lose: Invader deck ran out 8
Lose: Adversary condition 200
Win: Sacrifice victory 7
Lose: Scenario condition 13
Win: Scenario condition 23
Lose: Blight pool ran out 151
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 101 34.0% 37.89 0.425 84.16% 0.152 0.1048
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 46 47.83% 36.93 -0.607 78.26% -0.494 -0.4298
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 65 53.85% 35.77 -0.192 80.0% 0.007 -0.2312
Downpour Drenches the World 276 33.21% 33.47 -1.378 70.29% -0.731 -0.3395
Eyes Watch From the Trees 108 25.93% 38.59 0.758 84.26% 0.047 -0.3684
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 62 40.32% 40.47 2.633 88.71% 1.118 0.5235
Finder of Paths Unseen 143 58.74% 33.64 -2.218 76.92% -0.489 -0.0846
Fractured Days Split the Sky 36 36.11% 39.11 0.72 75.0% -0.475 -0.4329
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 81 53.75% 31.16 -2.694 55.56% -0.783 -0.8002
Heart of the Wildfire 79 74.68% 32.43 -0.883 73.42% 0.31 0.6383
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 151 34.44% 40.17 2.341 88.08% 0.302 -0.3323
Lightning's Swift Strike 35 48.57% 35.74 0.143 71.43% 0.263 0.536
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 101 48.42% 38.95 0.826 88.12% 0.139 -0.694
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 34 41.18% 42.03 3.46 88.24% 0.582 0.0096
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 20 30.0% 42.25 3.081 100.0% 1.066 0.6418
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 105 50.48% 34.65 -0.882 76.19% -0.259 -0.4657
Many Minds Move as One 65 18.46% 39.15 1.183 83.08% -0.104 -0.6164
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 197 41.84% 37.1 0.894 83.76% 0.597 0.3137
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 56 41.07% 34.93 0.824 75.0% 0.196 0.2286
River Surges in Sunlight 50 40.0% 40.12 1.583 86.0% 0.384 0.3902
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 32 40.63% 40.91 0.435 84.38% -0.356 0.0881
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 102 44.55% 40.96 2.351 87.25% 0.511 0.2681
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 59 38.98% 31.63 -1.15 62.71% -0.615 -0.7587
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 8 75.0% 27.25 -0.931 50.0% -0.226 0.2756
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 22 59.09% 38.0 -0.603 86.36% 0.303 0.4419
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 32 68.75% 30.28 -0.586 56.25% -0.263 -0.3404
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 6 33.33% 32.0 -0.949 66.67% -0.164 -0.1664
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 3 100.0% 25.67 -3.135 33.33% -0.362 -0.2931
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 61 39.66% 35.02 0.258 77.05% 0.131 -0.1312
Shifting Memory of Ages 50 58.0% 31.36 -0.362 58.0% 0.031 0.053
Shroud of Silent Mist 45 64.44% 33.71 -1.384 71.11% -0.354 -0.1087
Starlight Seeks its Form 120 39.17% 37.14 0.779 80.83% 0.167 -0.0448
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 83 34.57% 34.6 -0.873 85.54% 0.496 0.3267
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 52 44.23% 33.83 -0.869 75.0% -0.295 -0.1843
Thunderspeaker 65 50.77% 35.02 -0.527 70.77% -0.383 -0.4788
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 50 78.0% 30.1 -2.204 70.0% 0.051 -0.0465
Vital Strength of the Earth 8 28.57% 32.0 -2.693 62.5% -0.255 0.6273
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 69 50.0% 33.41 -3.088 72.46% -0.88 -0.4792
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 12 33.33% 33.75 -0.306 83.33% 0.633 1.6752
Volcano Looming High 99 54.55% 33.59 -1.207 78.79% -0.082 -0.0972

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 25.0% 41.0 4.234 100.0% 0.15 0.5899
Blitz 0 16 25.0% 35.38 -0.235 68.75% -0.302 -0.0463
Dahan Insurrection 4 8 25.0% 35.13 -0.016 25.0% -1.3 -0.9982
Despicable Theft 2 25 64.0% 26.04 0.805 8.0% -0.555 -0.0101
Elemental Invocation 1 8 75.0% 25.75 -4.988 37.5% -1.157 -0.5451
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 53 16.98% 40.36 3.699 81.13% 0.493 0.6867
Powers Long Forgotten 1 2 0.0% 35.5 6.789 50.0% 0.053 0.298
Rituals of Terror 3 2 50.0% 51.5 8.22 100.0% 0.114 -0.7224
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 2 100.0% 37.5 0.0 50.0%
Second Wave 0 90 37.78% 37.61 -0.151 71.11% -0.159 0.4135
The Great River 3 2 50.0% 38.5 1.865 50.0% -0.325 1.3136
Varied Terrains 2 22 81.82% 34.91 4.09 50.0% 0.436 1.1817
Ward the Shores 2 8 62.5% 31.38 -2.877 37.5% -0.605 0.4498

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1154 43.91% 34.82 -0.311 74.35% -0.36 0.0856
1 Thematic 48 41.67% 37.4 1.312 64.58% -0.023 0.6085
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 269 41.79% 36.59 -0.05 81.04% -0.223 0.1219
2 Coastline 49 34.69% 37.02 2.204 83.67% 0.81 0.8928
2 Fragment 9 11.11% 33.0 1.45 55.56% 0.358 0.4464
2 Heart 8 75.0% 17.88 -2.191 12.5% 0.045 0.6569
2 Opposite Shores 70 51.43% 37.07 0.504 85.71% 0.221 0.5991
2 Thematic 21 47.62% 34.71 -2.482 61.9% -0.805 -0.288
2 Top to Top 16 31.25% 34.75 -1.844 81.25% -0.399 -0.2595
3 Archipelago 2 0.0% 48.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 3 33.33% 41.67 2.749 100.0% 0.109 -0.5402
3 Round (Default) 110 40.95% 38.04 0.054 84.55% -0.195 -0.0023
3 Thematic 4 25.0% 41.25 1.585 100.0% 0.107 -0.1383
4 Archipelago 3 100.0% 44.33 13.02 100.0% 0.271 -0.1306
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 28.0 -3.653 50.0% -0.258 -0.0606
4 Thematic 6 83.33% 31.83 -2.588 50.0% -0.232 -0.2266
4 Trapezoid (Default) 48 35.42% 37.17 -1.021 87.5% -0.029 -0.1699
5 Coastline 2 100.0% 18.5 -5.429 50.0% -0.149 -0.4062
5 Other 7 85.71% 33.14 0.316 71.43% 0.339 0.1636
6 Other 1 100.0% 24.0 -4.143 0.0% -0.413 0.2837
6 Star 1 100.0% 37.0 4.079 100.0% 0.326 0.858
6 Thematic 5 80.0% 39.8 2.803 80.0% 0.318 0.8168
6 Two Centers (Default) 5 60.0% 38.0 -0.592 80.0% -0.363 -0.1369

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 54 30.67 -3.543 68.52% -0.939 0.9707
Aid From Lesser Spirits 51 34.08 -1.415 78.43% -0.53 1.1548
All Things Weaken 76 29.34 -4.033 60.53% -0.991 1.0087
Back Against the Wall 40 33.63 -0.382 65.0% -0.469 1.4785
Disintegrating Ecosystem 43 32.42 -2.006 76.74% -0.681 1.3849
Downward Spiral 68 28.91 -5.749 63.24% -1.588 0.3746
Erosion of Will 46 28.59 -4.718 58.7% -1.392 0.7154
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 31 42.06 2.144 96.77% 0.515 1.1317
Memory Fades to Dust 51 29.75 -1.709 62.75% -0.425 1.6325
Power Corrodes the Spirit 65 30.12 -4.214 67.69% -1.166 0.8132
Promising Farmlands 65 31.14 -2.372 70.77% -0.614 1.4882
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 20 32.55 -4.583 75.0% -0.865 -0.5358
Thriving Communities 68 28.99 -4.55 58.82% -1.387 0.6627
Unnatural Proliferation 67 31.1 -2.871 67.16% -0.887 1.0574
Untended Land Crumbles 61 26.56 -4.35 52.46% -1.23 0.7967

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 372 43.05% 36.71 0.637 79.84% 0.332 1.0914
B 339 42.56% 36.12 0.066 78.76% 0.117 0.7938
C 410 45.43% 35.8 -0.687 79.51% -0.078 0.4472
D 307 40.92% 34.18 -0.958 73.62% -0.431 0.296
E 344 44.9% 35.93 -0.05 79.07% 0.015 0.5746
F 333 46.99% 35.05 0.238 76.88% 0.2 0.8894
G 267 45.49% 35.39 -0.321 76.78% -0.129 0.5661
H 267 41.35% 37.39 0.983 83.15% 0.464 1.1242
East 49 48.98% 36.06 -1.273 63.27% -0.497 0.1826
Northeast 25 56.0% 33.84 -2.647 56.0% -0.676 -0.1065
Northwest 22 59.09% 42.41 0.392 86.36% -0.115 0.7264
Southeast 20 45.0% 38.0 0.265 75.0% 0.483 1.0093
Southwest 29 55.17% 31.48 -1.346 58.62% -0.122 0.8195
West 59 52.54% 37.63 3.949 71.19% 0.594 1.5936

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 10 0.0% 39.2 1.53 90.0% 0.419 2.5385
Not Using Events or Tokens 16 43.75% 28.69 -3.687 50.0% -0.975 -0.7344
Skip Initial Invader Actions 46 20.0% 43.52 2.226 78.26% -0.229 -0.5975
Start of Game Growth 49 18.6% 43.63 2.016 77.55% -0.235 -0.8576
Unlimited Undo 169 39.39% 39.42 1.828 88.17% 0.621 -0.0093
Using Tokens but Not Events 151 41.84% 34.92 0.484 76.82% 0.733 0.7771

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 207 22.62 1.93%
II 398 31.05 58.79%
III 726 34.62 90.91%
IV 518 37.86 99.23%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.033 Win Model: -0.086
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 1213 44.09% 34.96 74.2%
2 438 42.33% 36.12 79.22%
3 120 40.0% 38.53 85.83%
4 61 47.54% 36.15 81.97%
5 6 83.33% 25.83 50.0%
6 11 72.73% 38.73 81.82%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 649
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 230
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 505
Lose: Invader deck ran out 8
Lose: Adversary condition 233
Win: Sacrifice victory 19
Lose: Scenario condition 9
Win: Scenario condition 5
Lose: Blight pool ran out 170
Lose: Spirit destroyed 17

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 129 23.26% 48.11 1.121 84.5% 0.256 0.2082
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 94 61.7% 41.24 -0.546 67.02% -0.333 -0.2696
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 102 48.04% 44.9 0.621 81.37% 0.2 -0.0379
Downpour Drenches the World 322 37.27% 41.7 -1.158 72.67% -0.33 0.0617
Eyes Watch From the Trees 147 34.69% 48.71 1.439 85.03% 0.336 -0.0786
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 138 36.96% 47.96 2.204 86.23% 0.603 0.0082
Finder of Paths Unseen 185 54.35% 40.81 -1.729 70.81% -0.647 -0.2425
Fractured Days Split the Sky 66 43.94% 51.98 2.074 69.7% -0.464 -0.4216
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 94 55.32% 43.87 0.104 79.79% 0.357 0.3397
Heart of the Wildfire 98 68.37% 39.28 -1.993 67.35% -0.334 -0.0056
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 263 36.54% 45.09 1.061 79.85% 0.461 -0.1737
Lightning's Swift Strike 38 52.78% 47.63 2.292 84.21% 0.807 1.0806
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 186 46.59% 46.98 1.004 83.87% 0.23 -0.6023
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 34 50.0% 50.09 3.181 91.18% 0.756 0.1837
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 38 55.26% 46.16 0.823 78.95% 0.198 -0.2269
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 178 55.62% 40.88 -1.473 70.22% -0.28 -0.487
Many Minds Move as One 64 34.38% 47.53 2.066 85.94% 0.615 0.1023
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 294 48.06% 46.72 1.014 80.95% 0.455 0.1722
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 114 41.23% 44.91 -0.114 80.7% 0.04 0.0723
River Surges in Sunlight 66 37.88% 48.52 2.044 83.33% 0.58 0.5854
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 29 55.17% 45.66 -1.616 72.41% -0.55 -0.106
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 182 40.88% 52.34 4.432 87.36% 0.89 0.6474
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 130 36.15% 43.53 -0.688 75.38% -0.207 -0.351
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 15 86.67% 30.33 -5.653 40.0% -0.856 -0.3539
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 28 71.43% 37.14 -3.945 57.14% -0.649 -0.5104
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 57 61.4% 40.42 -4.003 68.42% -0.629 -0.7066
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 20 65.0% 36.1 -1.698 55.0% -0.339 -0.3409
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 8 100.0% 29.25 -5.088 37.5% -0.276 -0.2066
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 113 43.75% 46.78 1.316 81.42% 0.348 0.0858
Shifting Memory of Ages 75 56.0% 44.28 -0.067 76.0% -0.063 -0.0409
Shroud of Silent Mist 78 70.13% 41.91 -0.345 73.08% -0.065 0.1797
Starlight Seeks its Form 217 39.63% 43.65 -0.896 76.04% -0.298 -0.5096
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 163 27.78% 45.1 1.039 82.21% 0.438 0.2689
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 79 68.35% 39.51 -3.113 67.09% -0.738 -0.627
Thunderspeaker 105 53.0% 49.51 0.918 78.1% 0.031 -0.0644
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 111 74.77% 38.62 -1.6 72.07% -0.026 -0.1234
Vital Strength of the Earth 10 33.33% 40.6 -1.85 70.0% -0.05 0.8326
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 124 45.9% 39.42 -1.038 66.94% -0.272 0.1291
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 9 33.33% 41.89 -3.49 77.78% -0.057 0.9851
Volcano Looming High 181 61.33% 41.6 -0.492 77.9% 0.226 0.2109

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 100.0% 24.33 0.114 33.33% 0.21 0.6503
Blitz 0 8 50.0% 44.63 -0.059 75.0% -0.105 0.1512
Dahan Insurrection 4 17 58.82% 68.76 8.971 52.94% -0.251 0.0514
Despicable Theft 2 2 100.0% 23.5 -8.235 0.0% -0.685 -0.1403
Elemental Invocation 1 15 60.0% 44.67 -0.546 73.33% -0.309 0.302
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 68 20.59% 46.24 0.886 69.12% -0.333 -0.1388
Powers Long Forgotten 1 5 60.0% 49.8 -9.919 80.0% -0.478 -0.2322
Rituals of Terror 3 2 50.0% 74.0 0.0 100.0%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 3 100.0% 33.33 0.0 33.33%
Second Wave 0 70 40.0% 42.69 2.178 61.43% -0.019 0.5537
The Great River 3 3 0.0% 52.33 9.208 66.67% 0.162 1.801
Varied Terrains 2 12 75.0% 47.33 0.978 58.33% -0.118 0.6275
Ward the Shores 2 8 50.0% 42.13 -1.912 50.0% -0.441 0.6141

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1755 50.4% 42.65 -0.535 74.99% 0.07 0.5154
1 Thematic 54 64.81% 45.11 -0.902 64.81% -0.483 0.1488
2 Archipelago 2 50.0% 68.5 5.72 100.0% 0.285 0.2973
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 448 43.53% 43.99 -0.234 80.13% 0.127 0.4711
2 Coastline 56 39.29% 47.8 1.296 85.71% 0.375 0.4582
2 Fragment 8 50.0% 30.38 -3.314 37.5% -0.407 -0.3185
2 Heart 3 33.33% 46.67 -0.606 100.0% 0.125 0.737
2 Opposite Shores 89 39.33% 42.78 -1.445 73.03% -0.586 -0.208
2 Thematic 19 52.63% 41.47 -2.112 57.89% -0.752 -0.2349
2 Top to Top 23 39.13% 43.0 0.371 78.26% 0.271 0.4106
3 Archipelago 2 100.0% 34.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Other 5 80.0% 50.8 -3.511 60.0% -0.461 -1.5327
3 Round (Default) 194 43.96% 47.64 2.287 82.99% 0.617 0.8094
3 Thematic 7 28.57% 59.29 5.663 85.71% 0.59 0.3445
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 37.5 -11.412 50.0% -0.721 -0.2302
4 Other 1 100.0% 46.0 9.633 100.0% 0.225 -0.3155
4 Thematic 14 64.29% 44.43 -0.218 50.0% -0.25 -0.2441
4 Trapezoid (Default) 81 53.09% 45.62 -0.4 81.48% -0.373 -0.5145
5 Other 5 20.0% 50.0 0.815 100.0% 0.408 0.2328
5 Thematic 5 60.0% 62.2 -0.647 40.0% -0.545 -0.5793
6 Other 5 20.0% 37.8 2.783 60.0% 0.513 1.2099
6 Thematic 11 27.27% 57.45 2.293 90.91% 0.404 0.9027
6 Two Centers (Default) 20 35.0% 43.9 -2.496 75.0% -0.678 -0.4516

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 99 41.82 -0.732 74.75% -0.311 1.5981
Aid From Lesser Spirits 74 41.96 -1.407 66.22% -0.887 0.7979
All Things Weaken 99 38.16 -3.544 65.66% -0.937 1.0628
Back Against the Wall 90 39.86 -3.614 66.67% -1.183 0.7647
Disintegrating Ecosystem 97 36.4 -3.139 64.95% -0.765 1.3
Downward Spiral 98 38.26 -3.111 67.35% -0.788 1.1746
Erosion of Will 121 36.79 -4.049 61.16% -1.045 1.0625
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 44 44.66 -1.353 88.64% 0.041 0.6571
Memory Fades to Dust 95 38.08 -3.639 66.32% -0.87 1.1869
Power Corrodes the Spirit 97 38.94 -4.384 70.1% -1.06 0.9184
Promising Farmlands 112 36.38 -4.216 63.39% -1.189 0.9126
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 29 44.59 -2.213 82.76% -0.82 -0.4907
Thriving Communities 111 34.83 -5.352 55.86% -1.379 0.6706
Unnatural Proliferation 102 39.82 -2.337 69.61% -0.927 1.0167
Untended Land Crumbles 88 37.56 -2.392 64.77% -0.639 1.3872

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 570 50.18% 43.54 0.335 76.84% 0.012 0.7709
B 578 46.65% 43.37 -0.752 75.78% -0.502 0.1743
C 618 46.96% 44.64 0.602 79.13% 0.033 0.558
D 501 44.38% 42.26 -0.906 73.85% -0.525 0.2016
E 543 45.86% 44.68 0.5 80.11% -0.119 0.4412
F 445 50.79% 43.43 -0.52 75.06% -0.349 0.3408
G 461 46.62% 44.13 0.584 77.66% 0.043 0.7386
H 408 41.18% 46.67 1.11 84.8% 0.1 0.7606
East 71 54.93% 47.04 0.222 59.15% -0.973 -0.294
Northeast 40 52.5% 53.13 0.063 67.5% -0.882 -0.312
Northwest 34 50.0% 51.53 0.845 70.59% 0.019 0.861
Southeast 40 45.0% 50.8 0.884 65.0% -0.343 0.1834
Southwest 41 48.78% 46.27 -0.1 70.73% -0.043 0.8986
West 80 55.0% 49.09 3.185 66.25% 0.705 1.7049

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 15 0.0% 46.33 -1.758 86.67% 0.073 2.1916
Not Using Events or Tokens 14 35.71% 44.79 -0.29 64.29% -0.518 -0.2778
Skip Initial Invader Actions 46 16.22% 52.22 2.957 84.78% 0.507 0.1378
Start of Game Growth 72 11.67% 51.96 2.357 84.72% 0.255 -0.3679
Unlimited Undo 231 46.49% 45.62 0.705 80.52% 0.242 -0.3888
Using Tokens but Not Events 130 32.17% 42.25 -2.046 69.23% -0.699 -0.6552

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 268 22.62 4.1%
II 723 31.05 58.37%
III 1242 34.62 91.22%
IV 584 37.86 99.83%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.287 Win Model: 0.363
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 1826 50.85% 42.76 74.75%
2 640 42.66% 43.91 78.59%
3 207 44.62% 48.06 82.61%
4 99 55.56% 45.43 76.77%
5 9 33.33% 55.67 66.67%
6 36 30.56% 47.19 77.78%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 11
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1110
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 415
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 577
Lose: Invader deck ran out 25
Lose: Adversary condition 318
Win: Sacrifice victory 23
Lose: Scenario condition 18
Win: Scenario condition 13
Lose: Blight pool ran out 290
Lose: Spirit destroyed 17

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 95 30.53% 45.96 2.001 70.53% 0.417 0.3693
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 63 68.25% 41.27 -1.126 58.73% -0.306 -0.2418
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 72 62.5% 44.0 0.101 72.22% 0.174 -0.0637
Downpour Drenches the World 241 47.3% 41.6 -1.235 64.32% -0.333 0.0584
Eyes Watch From the Trees 114 41.23% 48.2 1.861 79.82% 0.353 -0.0621
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 63 47.62% 45.3 -0.239 76.19% 0.012 -0.5827
Finder of Paths Unseen 119 65.55% 41.54 -0.525 67.23% -0.179 0.2249
Fractured Days Split the Sky 65 60.0% 40.29 -2.004 47.69% -0.863 -0.8209
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 78 65.38% 41.54 -0.788 64.1% -0.118 -0.1352
Heart of the Wildfire 65 76.92% 37.94 -0.075 63.08% 0.478 0.8071
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 219 39.73% 51.42 3.982 88.13% 1.157 0.5227
Lightning's Swift Strike 31 61.29% 39.32 -1.619 58.06% -0.349 -0.0763
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 145 65.52% 47.23 2.927 81.38% 1.062 0.229
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 36 50.0% 48.86 2.2 83.33% 0.154 -0.4182
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 23 47.83% 49.91 2.235 86.96% 0.512 0.0871
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 127 61.42% 41.84 -0.264 66.93% 0.044 -0.1628
Many Minds Move as One 65 40.0% 49.2 2.734 84.62% 0.474 -0.0382
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 182 57.14% 42.24 -0.258 63.19% -0.104 -0.3865
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 97 47.42% 41.42 -0.134 62.89% -0.017 0.0158
River Surges in Sunlight 55 60.0% 45.51 2.539 69.09% 0.375 0.3811
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 16 68.75% 52.56 6.597 93.75% 1.333 1.7776
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 124 54.03% 48.48 3.295 70.97% 0.338 0.0951
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 100 42.0% 48.02 1.258 80.0% 0.2 0.0563
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3 66.67% 31.33 0.0 33.33%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 16 87.5% 40.5 -0.243 62.5% 0.032 0.171
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 43 67.44% 42.53 1.615 65.12% 0.16 0.0827
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 18 61.11% 34.11 -3.197 38.89% -0.701 -0.7034
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 9 100.0% 25.22 -5.842 22.22% -0.419 -0.3495
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 131 49.62% 45.24 0.614 74.05% 0.273 0.0117
Shifting Memory of Ages 64 64.06% 39.73 -2.529 59.38% -0.647 -0.6246
Shroud of Silent Mist 58 74.14% 30.9 -6.101 37.93% -1.109 -0.8646
Starlight Seeks its Form 171 48.54% 43.42 2.632 67.84% 0.637 0.4254
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 119 33.9% 41.92 -1.61 70.59% -0.139 -0.3083
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 55 65.45% 37.93 -2.048 54.55% -0.556 -0.4454
Thunderspeaker 87 57.47% 46.48 1.123 70.11% 0.196 0.1002
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 110 81.82% 35.44 -3.039 50.91% -0.449 -0.5467
Vital Strength of the Earth 18 66.67% 29.83 -4.622 27.78% -1.021 -0.1389
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 116 55.17% 38.41 -3.302 53.45% -0.887 -0.4861
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 15 66.67% 31.73 -2.867 26.67% -0.696 0.3465
Volcano Looming High 152 64.47% 42.7 0.13 73.03% 0.306 0.2907

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 100.0% 51.0 0.0 100.0%
Blitz 0 4 50.0% 39.0 0.0 50.0%
Dahan Insurrection 4 15 40.0% 61.4 5.077 53.33% -0.111 0.1911
Despicable Theft 2 3 100.0% 37.67 0.0 33.33%
Elemental Invocation 1 1 100.0% 24.0 -9.491 0.0% -0.425 0.1864
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 189 20.63% 51.04 3.701 81.48% 0.443 0.6368
Powers Long Forgotten 1 2 100.0% 39.0 0.0 50.0%
Rituals of Terror 3 3 100.0% 35.33 0.0 33.33%
Second Wave 0 44 43.18% 47.95 2.652 72.73% 0.297 0.8699
The Great River 3 3 66.67% 39.67 -0.07 33.33% -0.285 1.3535
Varied Terrains 2 5 80.0% 45.2 0.476 40.0% -0.179 0.5666
Ward the Shores 2 5 40.0% 40.4 0.0 40.0%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1801 58.17% 41.74 -0.813 64.3% -0.664 -0.2189
1 Thematic 47 57.45% 45.74 0.418 61.7% -0.969 -0.3371
2 Archipelago 2 50.0% 43.0 -6.294 50.0% -0.394 -0.3808
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 347 51.01% 43.37 0.098 71.18% -0.176 0.1688
2 Coastline 63 60.32% 46.11 2.014 80.95% 0.574 0.6564
2 Fragment 6 66.67% 46.17 1.109 83.33% 0.316 0.4041
2 Heart 4 50.0% 48.0 3.037 75.0% 0.058 0.67
2 Opposite Shores 53 60.38% 44.34 0.013 71.7% -0.318 0.0599
2 Thematic 7 14.29% 53.29 0.0 85.71%
2 Top to Top 16 62.5% 49.81 0.647 75.0% -0.518 -0.3789
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 1 0.0% 53.0 7.217 100.0% 0.489 -0.5826
3 Round (Default) 103 50.49% 45.13 0.95 73.79% 0.142 0.3338
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 18.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 6 33.33% 60.5 7.567 83.33% 0.201 -0.0451
4 Other 1 100.0% 52.0 -3.295 100.0% -0.034 -0.5754
4 Thematic 1 0.0% 85.0 11.634 100.0% 0.057 0.0632
4 Trapezoid (Default) 24 45.83% 52.21 2.738 87.5% -0.07 -0.2111
5 Other 2 0.0% 51.0 -0.875 100.0% 0.053 -0.1222
5 Thematic 5 100.0% 42.6 -1.212 20.0% 0.171 0.136
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 57.0 8.055 100.0% 0.389 -0.3619
6 Other 3 33.33% 57.67 6.769 100.0% 0.748 1.4449
6 Star 2 50.0% 36.5 -10.662 50.0% -0.55 -0.0178
6 Thematic 4 25.0% 33.25 -4.501 25.0% -0.373 0.1263
6 Two Centers (Default) 2 0.0% 39.0 -6.091 50.0% -0.663 -0.4375

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 109 40.06 -1.668 63.3% -0.537 1.3721
Aid From Lesser Spirits 82 38.04 -3.421 54.88% -0.989 0.6954
All Things Weaken 115 37.95 -2.89 53.04% -1.138 0.8617
Back Against the Wall 76 39.88 -2.593 60.53% -0.785 1.1631
Disintegrating Ecosystem 99 36.48 -4.04 58.59% -0.832 1.2332
Downward Spiral 105 37.16 -2.751 59.05% -0.519 1.4436
Erosion of Will 114 34.24 -5.34 47.37% -1.277 0.8305
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 45 45.11 0.566 77.78% -0.017 0.5996
Memory Fades to Dust 130 38.46 -1.615 62.31% -0.277 1.78
Power Corrodes the Spirit 95 37.58 -2.832 55.79% -0.751 1.2276
Promising Farmlands 96 35.63 -3.569 51.04% -0.989 1.1131
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 24 44.71 0.936 79.17% 0.406 0.7357
Thriving Communities 121 35.35 -3.604 52.07% -0.939 1.1101
Unnatural Proliferation 105 37.88 -2.888 55.24% -0.86 1.0835
Untended Land Crumbles 101 36.76 -3.355 55.45% -0.962 1.0648

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 437 62.47% 42.03 -0.692 66.36% -0.093 0.6659
B 443 56.43% 43.06 0.741 69.3% 0.234 0.9107
C 573 50.52% 45.35 1.203 74.35% 0.48 1.005
D 381 57.22% 40.4 -0.722 61.94% -0.142 0.5841
E 427 54.57% 44.81 1.276 71.9% 0.184 0.7445
F 372 54.03% 43.31 0.033 69.35% 0.048 0.7381
G 308 53.57% 43.01 -0.717 67.21% -0.167 0.5286
H 323 54.8% 42.42 -0.2 65.63% -0.069 0.5922
East 40 50.0% 45.05 -0.307 50.0% -0.556 0.1237
Northeast 24 45.83% 46.08 -0.856 45.83% -0.737 -0.1667
Northwest 24 54.17% 47.67 1.141 54.17% 0.184 1.0255
Southeast 17 47.06% 43.94 -3.489 47.06% -0.759 -0.2321
Southwest 16 50.0% 41.75 -3.869 62.5% -0.343 0.5983
West 45 51.11% 49.98 3.195 66.67% 0.69 1.69

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1 0.0% 49.0 3.095 100.0% 0.126 2.2453
Not Using Events or Tokens 4 25.0% 52.0 3.304 100.0% 0.404 0.6446
Skip Initial Invader Actions 21 14.29% 59.14 2.295 90.48% 0.126 -0.2426
Start of Game Growth 51 19.61% 55.1 3.705 88.24% 0.489 -0.1334
Unlimited Undo 305 58.22% 44.92 1.869 75.74% 0.543 -0.0873
Using Tokens but Not Events 120 52.94% 42.94 -0.266 64.17% 0.14 0.1838

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 395 22.62 8.35%
II 812 31.05 54.8%
III 898 34.62 88.08%
IV 400 37.86 99.75%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.315 Win Model: -0.205
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 1860 58.2% 41.88 64.41%
2 490 53.06% 44.18 72.45%
3 110 49.09% 45.78 74.55%
4 26 46.15% 53.46 88.46%
5 8 75.0% 47.13 50.0%
6 11 27.27% 41.09 54.55%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 33
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 779
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 430
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 396
Lose: Invader deck ran out 50
Lose: Adversary condition 333
Win: Sacrifice victory 20
Lose: Scenario condition 25
Win: Scenario condition 10
Lose: Blight pool ran out 405
Lose: Spirit destroyed 24

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 74 48.65% 53.95 1.82 77.03% 0.037 -0.0104
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 41 87.8% 37.05 -3.317 41.46% -0.541 -0.4774
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 75 65.33% 42.4 -1.729 57.33% -0.373 -0.6111
Downpour Drenches the World 241 46.47% 47.09 -1.452 65.15% -0.255 0.1364
Eyes Watch From the Trees 96 42.71% 54.01 1.722 79.17% 0.642 0.2268
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 43 60.47% 46.74 1.798 72.09% 0.877 0.2822
Finder of Paths Unseen 175 74.86% 41.29 -2.239 52.0% -0.346 0.0581
Fractured Days Split the Sky 35 42.86% 56.49 1.011 68.57% -0.288 -0.246
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 99 66.67% 45.16 1.011 63.64% 0.665 0.6484
Heart of the Wildfire 55 87.27% 45.45 -1.725 70.91% 0.125 0.4541
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 232 53.02% 54.25 2.891 80.6% 0.948 0.3132
Lightning's Swift Strike 33 81.82% 42.45 -3.762 48.48% -0.578 -0.3047
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 147 65.31% 51.73 3.937 72.11% 1.084 0.251
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 27 59.26% 55.7 3.515 81.48% 0.617 0.0453
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 23 34.78% 51.7 -0.266 60.87% -0.107 -0.5317
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 93 65.59% 42.85 -1.503 54.84% -0.399 -0.6057
Many Minds Move as One 54 44.44% 52.11 0.472 70.37% 0.152 -0.3602
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 182 59.34% 47.07 -0.668 67.58% 0.17 -0.1132
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 94 62.77% 46.33 -0.53 63.83% 0.142 0.1744
River Surges in Sunlight 40 67.5% 52.33 2.463 75.0% 0.548 0.5536
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 24 91.67% 31.0 -6.857 16.67% -0.812 -0.3676
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 136 66.91% 59.94 5.704 72.06% 1.382 1.1392
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 85 55.29% 49.54 1.04 71.76% 0.464 0.3205
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 7 85.71% 35.0 -7.055 42.86% -0.352 -0.2138
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 15 60.0% 42.67 -3.213 60.0% -0.502 -0.579
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 9 77.78% 44.22 -4.213 66.67% -0.334 -0.3358
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 4 50.0% 34.5 -11.387 25.0% -0.77 -0.7006
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 82 50.0% 47.74 -0.231 68.29% 0.092 -0.1693
Shifting Memory of Ages 49 59.18% 39.45 -2.206 48.98% -0.464 -0.4422
Shroud of Silent Mist 18 72.22% 50.61 -0.63 77.78% 0.263 0.508
Starlight Seeks its Form 163 51.53% 48.89 0.145 64.42% 0.181 -0.0303
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 64 71.88% 46.75 -1.523 71.88% 0.161 -0.0083
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 26 73.08% 41.23 -4.052 46.15% -0.779 -0.6689
Thunderspeaker 59 66.1% 47.14 0.267 64.41% 0.237 0.1416
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 85 87.06% 37.05 -4.518 50.59% -0.194 -0.2914
Vital Strength of the Earth 13 61.54% 40.0 -6.062 30.77% -1.276 -0.3936
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 82 57.32% 44.66 -1.105 59.76% -0.188 0.2126
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 4 75.0% 39.75 -2.442 50.0% -0.171 0.8714
Volcano Looming High 99 68.69% 48.39 -1.416 71.72% 0.164 0.1484

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 66.67% 61.33 0.0 100.0%
Blitz 0 5 20.0% 45.4 -7.654 60.0% -0.327 -0.0711
Dahan Insurrection 4 56 64.29% 64.29 4.634 48.21% -0.569 -0.267
Despicable Theft 2 7 85.71% 36.29 10.159 14.29% 0.325 0.87
Elemental Invocation 1 4 100.0% 51.75 7.991 75.0% 0.681 1.2922
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 152 44.08% 56.88 3.838 74.34% 0.57 0.7638
Powers Long Forgotten 1 3 100.0% 57.33 4.521 66.67% 0.098 0.3431
Second Wave 0 24 37.5% 46.13 -2.89 58.33% -0.661 -0.0885
The Great River 3 8 62.5% 44.0 -4.553 37.5% -1.169 0.47
Varied Terrains 2 4 50.0% 47.25 7.001 50.0% 0.114 0.859
Ward the Shores 2 3 100.0% 53.0 -5.037 66.67% -0.297 0.7572

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1320 63.86% 44.45 -1.395 59.39% -0.291 0.1541
1 Thematic 62 62.9% 55.79 2.879 48.39% -0.2 0.4318
2 Archipelago 3 0.0% 68.33 -1.4 66.67% -0.452 -0.4394
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 254 67.72% 46.21 -0.367 66.54% -0.345 -0.0005
2 Coastline 61 65.57% 43.69 -4.043 59.02% -1.226 -1.1436
2 Fragment 4 75.0% 59.0 0.0 100.0%
2 Heart 7 85.71% 31.29 -2.63 28.57% -0.249 0.363
2 Opposite Shores 40 45.0% 55.17 0.796 80.0% -0.219 0.1596
2 Thematic 37 89.19% 44.14 -0.963 29.73% -0.783 -0.2659
2 Top to Top 19 57.89% 53.05 2.668 84.21% 0.37 0.5096
3 Archipelago 3 66.67% 71.67 5.015 66.67% -0.115 -1.0929
3 Other 2 100.0% 56.5 9.793 100.0% 0.272 -0.7996
3 Round (Default) 99 48.48% 54.07 3.965 84.85% 1.056 1.2482
3 Thematic 3 66.67% 53.0 1.13 66.67% -0.101 -0.3462
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 40.5 -4.887 50.0% -0.342 -0.744
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 78.0 9.059 100.0% 0.06 0.2579
4 Other 1 0.0% 59.0 -2.656 100.0% 0.002 -0.539
4 Trapezoid (Default) 31 77.42% 53.71 3.262 90.32% 0.471 0.3301
5 Other 4 75.0% 56.75 1.889 100.0% 0.071 -0.1046
6 Other 1 0.0% 87.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 23 30.43% 53.26 -0.761 65.22% -0.021 0.4777
6 Two Centers (Default) 4 25.0% 63.5 18.404 75.0% 0.108 0.3343
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 105.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 105 42.84 -1.294 52.38% -0.575 1.3347
Aid From Lesser Spirits 83 46.25 -2.515 62.65% -0.696 0.9893
All Things Weaken 99 41.81 -4.434 55.56% -1.119 0.8806
Back Against the Wall 79 41.97 -5.046 50.63% -1.295 0.6524
Disintegrating Ecosystem 81 36.89 -5.979 46.91% -1.341 0.7248
Downward Spiral 90 37.02 -5.494 44.44% -1.297 0.666
Erosion of Will 97 36.04 -4.794 40.21% -1.156 0.9509
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 36 55.81 3.837 86.11% 1.09 1.7066
Memory Fades to Dust 101 39.36 -3.05 46.53% -0.855 1.2019
Power Corrodes the Spirit 99 41.97 -3.076 58.59% -0.818 1.1612
Promising Farmlands 95 36.84 -6.561 43.16% -1.627 0.4747
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 21 55.05 3.506 80.95% 0.346 0.6756
Thriving Communities 89 39.87 -4.701 53.93% -0.939 1.1107
Unnatural Proliferation 96 41.39 -3.36 52.08% -0.924 1.0197
Untended Land Crumbles 87 42.69 -3.491 57.47% -0.823 1.2037

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 348 69.83% 45.66 -1.421 62.64% -0.48 0.2795
B 383 62.4% 47.61 0.033 69.45% 0.108 0.7848
C 411 62.29% 49.0 1.326 70.32% 0.422 0.947
D 296 57.43% 45.12 -0.822 58.78% -0.222 0.5049
E 356 60.96% 48.17 1.259 67.98% 0.375 0.9347
F 330 61.82% 48.58 0.841 69.7% 0.152 0.8422
G 222 59.91% 48.3 1.104 69.37% 0.431 1.1268
H 257 58.75% 47.75 0.981 66.54% 0.135 0.7958
East 81 56.79% 55.93 6.379 51.85% 0.614 1.293
Northeast 41 48.78% 49.0 -5.499 46.34% -1.905 -1.3348
Northwest 58 63.79% 45.33 -0.115 41.38% -0.057 0.7851
Southeast 46 45.65% 53.48 -0.422 54.35% -0.344 0.1824
Southwest 31 45.16% 48.23 -3.518 58.06% -0.644 0.2973
West 79 67.09% 48.03 1.954 45.57% 0.141 1.1412

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 2 50.0% 61.5 2.751 100.0% 0.091 0.3319
Skip Initial Invader Actions 44 20.45% 64.0 7.076 84.09% 1.211 0.8416
Start of Game Growth 53 26.42% 62.85 4.707 81.13% 0.112 -0.5105
Unlimited Undo 214 57.48% 50.88 2.344 73.83% 0.709 0.0783
Using Tokens but Not Events 93 37.63% 48.74 0.113 69.89% -0.195 -0.1514

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 411 22.62 7.54%
II 799 31.05 61.58%
III 576 34.62 89.24%
IV 205 37.86 99.02%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.446 Win Model: 0.222
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 1402 63.84% 45.09 59.27%
2 417 65.95% 47.13 64.03%
3 103 50.49% 52.93 83.5%
4 36 69.44% 54.47 88.89%
5 4 75.0% 56.75 100.0%
6 29 27.59% 57.62 68.97%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 31
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 502
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 466
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 196
Lose: Invader deck ran out 38
Lose: Adversary condition 221
Win: Sacrifice victory 16
Lose: Scenario condition 22
Win: Scenario condition 29
Lose: Blight pool ran out 442
Lose: Spirit destroyed 28

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 406 47.04% 61.11 2.959 72.17% 0.595 0.5477
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 189 76.72% 46.24 -2.266 42.86% -0.195 -0.1308
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 171 67.25% 45.29 0.417 47.95% 0.204 -0.0341
Downpour Drenches the World 934 59.74% 51.36 -0.873 55.57% -0.315 0.0766
Eyes Watch From the Trees 345 60.29% 52.54 0.289 59.13% 0.095 -0.3202
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 188 74.47% 48.27 -0.306 53.72% 0.344 -0.2511
Finder of Paths Unseen 484 62.19% 52.81 0.339 60.33% 0.085 0.489
Fractured Days Split the Sky 274 47.45% 66.18 3.868 67.15% 0.175 0.2168
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 301 77.74% 48.26 -1.68 53.82% -0.104 -0.1204
Heart of the Wildfire 237 88.61% 37.12 -6.178 30.8% -0.667 -0.3388
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1197 54.97% 57.69 3.242 71.76% 0.836 0.202
Lightning's Swift Strike 99 74.75% 47.08 -2.613 47.47% -0.517 -0.2438
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 732 76.78% 52.48 0.724 59.29% 0.477 -0.3551
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 186 71.51% 52.66 0.692 59.68% 0.18 -0.392
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 183 61.75% 61.05 2.755 59.02% 0.387 -0.038
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 368 77.17% 47.8 -2.934 48.1% -0.365 -0.5722
Many Minds Move as One 192 56.77% 60.82 4.577 77.08% 0.95 0.4373
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 724 64.92% 53.33 2.09 59.25% 0.435 0.1521
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 245 63.67% 50.2 0.46 54.69% 0.298 0.3311
River Surges in Sunlight 145 68.97% 55.59 1.376 58.62% 0.349 0.3545
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 62 80.33% 47.92 -0.675 40.32% -0.079 0.3659
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 542 75.83% 55.32 1.815 54.06% 0.116 -0.1272
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 560 56.96% 60.22 2.774 65.18% 0.588 0.4445
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 12 91.67% 37.83 -2.105 25.0% -0.249 0.2525
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 53 90.57% 38.21 -0.47 32.08% 0.257 0.3955
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 79 84.81% 46.42 -2.699 49.37% -0.446 -0.5231
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 30 83.33% 38.63 -7.47 33.33% -1.007 -1.0091
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 130 60.0% 45.42 -0.277 41.54% 0.493 0.5625
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 334 56.59% 55.87 1.549 65.87% 0.252 -0.0094
Shifting Memory of Ages 222 70.72% 54.6 -1.179 54.95% -0.506 -0.4845
Shroud of Silent Mist 114 78.07% 45.67 -2.754 49.12% -0.271 -0.0259
Starlight Seeks its Form 1388 58.93% 55.01 1.533 64.7% 0.299 0.0874
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 540 69.2% 48.58 -2.401 57.22% -0.082 -0.2517
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 161 75.16% 46.07 -2.516 47.2% -0.368 -0.2579
Thunderspeaker 185 76.63% 49.15 -0.669 44.86% 0.03 -0.0657
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 533 84.62% 48.02 -1.946 54.97% 0.063 -0.0339
Vital Strength of the Earth 23 65.22% 40.52 -7.017 17.39% -1.375 -0.4925
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 309 75.08% 48.02 -1.189 47.9% -0.31 0.0911
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 13 84.62% 33.38 -3.154 23.08% 0.04 1.0826
Volcano Looming High 761 75.16% 46.28 -1.309 52.83% 0.139 0.1234

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 60.0% 62.6 6.209 80.0% 0.325 0.7653
Blitz 0 30 50.0% 48.4 -5.872 46.67% -1.056 -0.7998
Dahan Insurrection 4 99 72.45% 57.75 0.338 15.15% -0.978 -0.6765
Despicable Theft 2 1 100.0% 31.0 0.0 0.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 3 0.0% 41.67 -6.795 0.0% -0.491 0.1201
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 591 43.65% 48.41 -1.003 38.92% -0.823 -0.6293
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1 100.0% 26.0 0.0 0.0%
Rituals of Terror 3 28 60.71% 109.07 20.769 78.57% 1.22 0.3836
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 3 66.67% 67.67 0.0 33.33%
Second Wave 0 77 66.23% 53.18 0.841 61.04% 0.285 0.8573
The Great River 3 4 25.0% 45.0 -8.818 25.0% -1.333 0.3059
Varied Terrains 2 10 80.0% 58.0 14.482 50.0% 0.553 1.2982
Ward the Shores 2 11 81.82% 47.55 -0.812 36.36% -0.585 0.4698

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7608 67.45% 49.79 -0.836 55.81% -0.188 0.2573
1 Thematic 51 62.75% 46.27 -2.727 33.33% -0.687 -0.0546
2 Archipelago 6 50.0% 100.17 11.705 83.33% 0.313 0.3262
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 832 70.76% 50.3 -0.6 55.41% -0.406 -0.0615
2 Coastline 208 73.56% 54.0 3.321 65.38% 0.481 0.5634
2 Fragment 32 71.88% 58.69 2.234 78.13% 0.044 0.132
2 Heart 66 89.39% 44.18 -4.075 43.94% -1.007 -0.3955
2 Opposite Shores 184 54.35% 48.45 -1.09 45.11% -0.505 -0.1268
2 Thematic 34 76.47% 67.94 0.746 38.24% -0.343 0.1739
2 Top to Top 69 66.67% 57.25 2.495 68.12% 0.532 0.6713
3 Archipelago 3 100.0% 57.0 0.0 33.33%
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 65.0 6.899 100.0% 0.784 0.135
3 Other 13 46.15% 62.23 8.394 84.62% 1.395 0.3238
3 Round (Default) 456 66.89% 53.57 0.358 62.94% -0.491 -0.2986
3 Thematic 11 54.55% 89.73 11.38 45.45% 0.185 -0.0606
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 92.0 16.518 100.0% 0.635 0.2327
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 32.0 -12.468 0.0% -0.334 0.157
4 Other 3 33.33% 69.67 2.92 100.0% 0.293 -0.2475
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 36 52.78% 67.11 -0.486 25.0% -0.461 -0.4553
4 Trapezoid (Default) 182 59.34% 63.82 1.046 74.18% -0.253 -0.3944
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 51.0 5.899 0.0% 0.011 -0.3057
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 68.5 -3.731 100.0% -0.517 -0.7744
5 Other 18 44.44% 66.5 0.723 50.0% -0.275 -0.4504
5 Thematic 5 80.0% 64.6 1.539 60.0% -0.002 -0.037
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 81.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 39 53.85% 49.08 -6.889 48.72% -1.248 -0.5507
6 Star 5 40.0% 63.6 1.461 80.0% -0.047 0.4853
6 Thematic 18 66.67% 53.83 -1.197 22.22% -0.372 0.1268
6 Two Centers (Default) 61 59.02% 79.57 2.916 93.44% -0.291 -0.0654

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 544 43.56 -3.46 44.85% -1.113 0.7965
Aid From Lesser Spirits 410 48.84 -2.364 51.46% -1.071 0.6139
All Things Weaken 503 47.45 -2.776 51.69% -0.999 1.0008
Back Against the Wall 411 48.42 -2.85 49.88% -1.152 0.7955
Disintegrating Ecosystem 476 42.54 -4.377 44.96% -1.09 0.9758
Downward Spiral 538 43.16 -4.49 45.35% -1.195 0.7681
Erosion of Will 526 42.82 -5.204 40.49% -1.541 0.5658
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 129 56.98 2.271 67.44% -0.056 0.5604
Memory Fades to Dust 523 43.73 -3.838 45.51% -1.103 0.9547
Power Corrodes the Spirit 512 43.56 -4.494 44.92% -1.262 0.7166
Promising Farmlands 510 43.89 -4.992 45.88% -1.363 0.7391
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 97 61.77 4.1 85.57% 0.8 1.1299
Thriving Communities 471 42.04 -5.012 41.19% -1.369 0.6803
Unnatural Proliferation 557 46.33 -2.931 46.68% -1.039 0.9048
Untended Land Crumbles 504 43.12 -4.975 43.85% -1.298 0.7283

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1740 67.8% 51.11 -0.364 56.67% -0.717 0.0422
B 1827 67.32% 50.41 -0.489 55.06% -0.724 -0.0474
C 2162 68.52% 52.34 0.21 59.34% -0.603 -0.0781
D 1452 64.26% 49.15 -1.204 50.62% -1.047 -0.3208
E 2171 66.05% 53.48 1.534 61.72% -0.305 0.2545
F 1433 65.67% 53.89 0.496 62.81% -0.561 0.129
G 1186 66.19% 52.92 0.803 60.29% -0.435 0.2606
H 1219 66.69% 52.52 -0.102 59.72% -0.649 0.0121
East 138 63.04% 61.59 0.797 31.16% -1.136 -0.4564
Northeast 88 64.77% 62.75 0.048 27.27% -1.279 -0.7093
Northwest 81 62.96% 61.96 -1.308 30.86% -1.159 -0.3169
Southeast 36 63.89% 53.69 -1.169 33.33% -0.541 -0.0144
Southwest 24 66.67% 55.46 -1.099 33.33% -0.451 0.4906
West 106 66.04% 65.96 2.114 35.85% -0.341 0.6587

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2 0.0% 30.0 -13.258 0.0% -0.615 1.5037
Not Using Events or Tokens 14 76.92% 40.07 1.226 28.57% 0.307 0.5476
Skip Initial Invader Actions 378 17.99% 79.67 5.951 88.89% 0.09 -0.2789
Start of Game Growth 511 23.53% 78.12 7.903 88.65% 1.231 0.6089
Unlimited Undo 1269 49.25% 64.99 5.588 79.2% 1.068 0.4378
Using Tokens but Not Events 204 65.52% 50.67 -3.697 50.0% -0.837 -0.7935

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2478 22.62 9.12%
II 2665 31.05 37.67%
III 2670 34.62 84.46%
IV 2159 37.86 99.77%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.696 Win Model: 0.831
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7746 67.46% 49.96 55.76%
2 1381 69.57% 51.09 55.76%
3 500 65.4% 54.75 61.2%
4 201 59.2% 63.93 71.64%
5 25 56.0% 59.92 40.0%
6 119 55.46% 66.82 75.63%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 220
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2218
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 973
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2117
Lose: Invader deck ran out 151
Lose: Adversary condition 1177
Win: Sacrifice victory 92
Lose: Scenario condition 234
Win: Scenario condition 19
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2629
Lose: Spirit destroyed 142

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-09-29 02:31:34 (Pacific Time)