The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 466 18.06% 25.48 2.158 76.39% 0.473 0.3698
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 288 27.43% 23.73 2.04 71.88% 0.627 0.7867
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 59 15.25% 26.17 4.689 71.19% 0.739 -0.0968
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 404 22.64% 23.8 1.662 73.51% 0.57 0.4386
Downpour Drenches the World 664 19.58% 22.17 0.706 73.49% 0.146 0.4643
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 335 15.82% 26.0 3.954 77.31% 1.255 0.7701
Eyes Watch From the Trees 483 13.33% 27.0 1.525 77.85% 0.23 -0.2231
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 404 17.46% 26.94 1.608 80.94% 0.431 -0.0213
Finder of Paths Unseen 312 34.08% 16.32 -3.835 54.81% -1.027 -0.3603
Fractured Days Split the Sky 207 19.32% 20.54 -2.76 54.59% -1.16 -0.4819
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 367 32.7% 22.31 -2.238 66.49% -0.62 -0.5585
Heart of the Wildfire 317 50.47% 19.65 -1.733 63.41% -0.362 -0.1024
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 564 23.67% 26.56 0.669 79.26% 0.328 -0.0657
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 62 17.74% 24.84 2.547 72.58% 0.877 0.4818
Lightning's Swift Strike 202 35.68% 23.28 2.28 73.27% 0.502 0.7554
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 196 29.74% 27.64 2.634 82.14% 0.324 -0.2302
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 102 17.65% 25.89 0.331 73.53% -0.253 -0.4887
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 98 20.41% 24.7 1.312 63.27% -0.058 -0.3093
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 475 24.84% 26.06 2.292 75.58% 0.816 0.4921
Many Minds Move as One 309 17.26% 25.09 0.469 66.02% -0.067 -0.2665
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 685 34.9% 23.55 0.334 70.66% 0.113 0.0849
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 376 27.66% 22.86 -1.893 68.09% -0.552 -0.6936
River Surges in Sunlight 224 36.32% 22.34 0.017 66.52% 0.109 0.2261
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 130 34.62% 24.22 -0.753 66.92% -0.172 0.1654
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 294 27.24% 26.29 0.068 71.09% -0.043 -0.191
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 309 21.82% 22.86 -1.912 71.52% -0.553 -0.7207
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 88 50.0% 19.78 1.265 61.36% 0.299 0.8435
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 82 32.93% 26.65 2.901 76.83% 0.776 0.8613
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 57 36.84% 25.19 3.137 66.67% 0.21 -0.1594
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 87 33.33% 22.55 2.864 67.82% 0.988 1.1537
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 64 32.81% 23.89 0.342 73.44% -0.117 -0.0861
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 28 32.14% 27.39 6.478 75.0% 0.644 0.8147
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 327 21.54% 24.98 -0.503 72.78% -0.149 -0.2443
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 90 17.05% 20.48 -2.015 55.56% -0.513 -0.7536
Shifting Memory of Ages 253 32.41% 19.38 -2.177 59.29% -0.468 -0.09
Shroud of Silent Mist 264 35.98% 19.59 -1.126 60.98% -0.289 0.0818
Starlight Seeks its Form 650 14.97% 27.37 -2.065 77.54% -0.456 -0.6624
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 373 17.52% 24.23 1.863 73.73% 0.783 0.0665
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 344 27.57% 20.21 -1.844 62.5% -0.409 -0.2273
Thunderspeaker 425 20.24% 25.87 -1.319 73.88% -0.595 -0.5812
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 80 22.5% 16.26 -0.069 46.25% -0.084 0.0212
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 221 47.96% 18.77 -2.442 57.01% -0.371 -0.2308
Vital Strength of the Earth 158 31.01% 16.85 -4.027 53.16% -1.098 -0.5562
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 184 30.77% 23.12 0.595 71.2% 0.412 0.7496
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 66 21.21% 17.88 -7.504 48.48% -1.498 -0.7816
Volcano Looming High 368 30.71% 21.04 -2.399 65.22% -0.605 -0.6379
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 141 20.57% 25.91 2.824 73.05% 0.676 0.2387

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 32 18.75% 25.44 6.547 84.38% 1.147 1.1986
Blitz 0 94 20.21% 17.98 -2.494 43.62% -0.537 -0.3363
Dahan Insurrection 4 144 13.89% 39.52 6.896 63.19% -0.281 -0.4919
Despicable Theft 2 76 18.42% 15.29 -4.632 32.89% -1.39 -0.5455
Elemental Invocation 1 93 17.2% 20.44 -5.598 54.84% -1.074 -0.0032
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 180 11.67% 28.86 0.839 70.56% -0.255 -0.9799
Powers Long Forgotten 1 98 23.47% 9.78 -3.41 21.43% -0.817 0.0892
Rituals of Terror 3 85 20.0% 24.26 -1.348 49.41% -0.754 -0.7242
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 49 44.9% 19.06 -0.67 36.73% -0.667 0.5216
Second Wave 0 177 42.44% 30.3 0.441 65.54% -0.765 -0.6841
The Great River 3 59 33.9% 21.19 0.243 40.68% -1.143 0.244
Varied Terrains 2 115 40.87% 19.57 -3.791 40.87% -1.322 -0.421
Ward the Shores 2 99 23.23% 19.23 -0.743 45.45% -0.671 0.384

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4738 27.27% 23.92 0.398 72.6% 0.179 0.2101
1 Thematic 490 28.37% 20.6 -1.027 48.78% -0.409 0.023
2 Archipelago 6 50.0% 23.17 0.0 33.33%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1124 26.98% 21.5 -1.447 66.28% -0.625 -0.6743
2 Coastline 170 30.0% 23.84 2.478 74.12% 0.385 0.2847
2 Fragment 21 47.62% 25.33 3.788 90.48% 0.927 0.5141
2 Heart 20 20.0% 24.5 3.292 85.0% 0.194 0.1048
2 Opposite Shores 180 32.96% 24.3 2.264 77.78% 0.26 0.0808
2 Thematic 166 26.51% 23.39 0.781 53.61% -0.023 0.1637
2 Top to Top 37 24.32% 19.7 -2.002 62.16% 0.089 -0.1105
3 Archipelago 5 20.0% 31.6 9.583 80.0% 0.849 -0.2717
3 Coastline 8 25.0% 30.88 4.358 62.5% 0.036 -0.6258
3 Other 24 33.33% 20.17 -3.321 62.5% -0.263 -0.5967
3 Round (Default) 641 26.11% 26.66 2.346 80.66% 0.107 -0.159
3 Sunrise 4 0.0% 20.25 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 32 18.75% 17.56 3.718 37.5% 0.818 0.371
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 51.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 12 66.67% 25.25 7.235 83.33% 0.535 -0.202
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 39 12.82% 29.87 -0.694 71.79% -0.756 -0.5528
4 Trapezoid (Default) 288 14.24% 18.83 -3.619 58.68% -1.957 -1.6163
5 Other 27 40.74% 27.07 2.951 85.19% 0.71 -0.0115
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 26.0 7.781 66.67% 0.217 0.3772
6 Archipelago 5 0.0% 35.4 0.0 80.0%
6 Other 2 0.0% 16.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 4 25.0% 21.5 -1.213 75.0% 0.003 0.3006
6 Thematic 36 22.22% 32.56 -0.752 58.33% -0.493 -0.4673
6 Two Centers (Default) 47 10.64% 22.87 2.842 65.96% -0.935 -0.8371

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 112 21.03 1.137 59.82% 0.148 0.2866
Aid From Lesser Spirits 139 23.98 2.175 69.78% 0.483 0.4239
All Things Weaken 125 22.75 -2.276 67.2% -0.573 -0.2183
Attenuated Essence 41 19.15 -1.166 60.98% 0.123 0.2336
Back Against the Wall 114 23.81 1.097 62.28% 0.176 0.2517
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 48 20.54 3.183 62.5% 0.937 1.1481
Burn Brightest Before the End 29 19.76 0.678 51.72% 0.049 0.1698
Disintegrating Ecosystem 128 17.36 -2.153 53.91% -0.198 0.1702
Downward Spiral 171 20.25 0.378 69.59% 0.745 0.9421
Erosion of Will 138 19.54 -1.47 51.45% -0.614 -0.347
Intensifying Exploitation 40 18.27 4.775 47.5% 0.433 0.7037
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 57 26.72 5.174 87.72% 0.521 0.0104
Memory Fades to Dust 185 18.88 -1.712 57.3% -0.623 -0.3119
Power Corrodes the Spirit 133 20.96 0.352 63.16% -0.068 0.227
Promising Farmlands 120 18.71 -1.881 60.0% -0.41 -0.0737
Shattered Fragments of Power 31 21.26 -1.487 58.06% -0.398 -0.2888
Slow Dissolution of Will 50 19.12 -2.425 56.0% -0.68 -0.2802
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 49 26.27 4.323 87.76% 1.281 0.6675
The Border of Life and Death 10 16.5 0.0 50.0%
Thriving Communities 153 21.2 -1.173 60.13% -0.606 -0.2729
Thriving Crops 23 20.74 0.248 60.87% 0.471 0.3844
Unnatural Proliferation 140 22.59 -2.293 57.86% -0.425 -0.2767
Untended Land Crumbles 140 21.49 1.475 62.86% 0.091 0.3983

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1585 27.59% 23.21 0.102 71.29% -0.293 0.6118
B 1632 25.59% 23.45 0.336 71.75% -0.122 0.7066
C 1629 26.57% 24.14 0.255 74.89% -0.141 0.539
D 1505 25.68% 22.71 -0.193 69.63% -0.509 0.3447
E 1453 24.43% 24.01 0.782 71.58% -0.21 0.4909
F 1313 24.79% 23.62 -0.35 71.59% -0.5 0.2813
G 1253 25.76% 23.26 -1.183 71.35% -0.782 -0.0108
H 1259 26.18% 23.14 -0.396 69.82% -0.345 0.4237
East 487 25.67% 24.16 -0.452 54.83% -0.708 0.1542
Northeast 245 28.98% 24.73 0.162 53.88% -0.503 0.2442
Northwest 191 26.7% 24.55 1.176 55.5% -0.248 0.585
Southeast 181 18.23% 24.01 1.315 55.25% -0.074 0.7018
Southwest 180 23.89% 19.86 -1.339 47.22% -0.522 0.7975
West 454 26.21% 21.67 -0.745 49.78% -0.844 0.1617

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 26 0.0% 29.42 5.141 69.23% -0.204 0.6264
Not Using Events or Tokens 252 22.54% 24.25 -2.79 77.78% -0.656 -0.215
Skip Initial Invader Actions 175 12.26% 35.82 4.957 78.29% 0.362 -0.2005
Start of Game Growth 250 14.78% 33.34 5.298 78.4% 0.901 0.3618
Unlimited Undo 630 20.94% 24.97 -0.325 70.63% -0.389 -0.3478
Using Tokens but Not Events 713 23.02% 24.48 0.232 74.19% 0.031 0.0078

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1821 16.23 8.57%
II 2058 30.54 73.57%
III 2914 34.77 92.35%
IV 1346 38.37 99.26%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.219 Win Model: 0.806
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 5411 27.28% 23.33 69.06%
2 1587 29.02% 23.03 70.7%
3 683 24.93% 26.55 80.23%
4 335 14.63% 20.05 61.19%
5 30 43.33% 26.97 83.33%
6 93 15.05% 27.34 64.52%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 156
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2622
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1427
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1327
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1618
Lose: Invader deck ran out 36
Lose: Adversary condition 224
Win: Sacrifice victory 30
Lose: Scenario condition 43
Win: Scenario condition 135
Lose: Blight pool ran out 485
Lose: Spirit destroyed 36

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 415 24.76% 29.54 1.174 68.43% 0.388 0.2855
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 221 46.82% 26.57 -0.486 61.09% -0.16 0.0003
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 55 41.82% 35.44 7.239 78.18% 1.304 0.4685
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 269 33.21% 29.87 2.593 69.89% 0.577 0.4453
Downpour Drenches the World 583 25.56% 26.25 -0.644 59.35% -0.463 -0.1444
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 378 18.77% 29.58 1.931 68.25% 0.419 -0.0652
Eyes Watch From the Trees 413 20.82% 31.56 0.917 72.88% 0.14 -0.3131
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 284 25.7% 32.32 7.49 74.3% 1.599 1.1471
Finder of Paths Unseen 310 37.79% 21.87 -5.14 52.9% -1.312 -0.6457
Fractured Days Split the Sky 191 30.37% 24.02 -1.823 47.12% -0.686 -0.0085
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 364 40.11% 27.88 -1.842 61.54% -0.466 -0.4046
Heart of the Wildfire 268 58.21% 23.12 -1.583 52.99% -0.325 -0.0651
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 533 32.14% 29.65 1.657 70.73% 0.411 0.0171
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 72 19.44% 27.68 0.89 66.67% 0.322 -0.0731
Lightning's Swift Strike 143 45.45% 26.24 -0.926 62.24% -0.13 0.124
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 173 32.35% 31.17 2.521 72.25% 0.317 -0.2368
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 92 36.26% 32.28 -0.558 68.48% -0.162 -0.3978
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 119 30.25% 28.53 0.103 63.03% -0.192 -0.4435
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 342 37.72% 28.0 0.496 60.82% 0.178 -0.1464
Many Minds Move as One 265 26.24% 29.69 1.424 66.04% 0.519 0.3194
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 695 39.59% 28.99 0.622 66.76% 0.169 0.1405
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 304 30.59% 27.12 -1.286 64.14% -0.257 -0.3988
River Surges in Sunlight 220 35.02% 30.59 5.608 70.91% 1.188 1.3048
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 125 36.8% 30.38 2.846 67.2% 0.548 0.8855
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 266 32.2% 32.11 2.463 72.18% 0.479 0.3308
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 277 26.74% 26.74 0.109 59.93% 0.06 -0.1071
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 86 46.43% 21.41 -1.29 48.84% -0.64 -0.0963
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 76 44.74% 26.7 -1.709 60.53% -0.191 -0.1053
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 58 36.21% 35.57 4.856 86.21% 0.879 0.5092
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 94 38.3% 26.8 -5.487 60.64% -0.812 -0.6459
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 55 36.36% 25.91 2.986 58.18% 0.259 0.2903
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 43 41.86% 24.23 -5.708 55.81% -0.339 -0.1681
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 262 35.25% 29.12 -2.41 68.7% -0.734 -0.8297
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 126 35.2% 26.81 -4.22 57.94% -0.873 -1.114
Shifting Memory of Ages 269 41.35% 24.55 -0.169 53.16% -0.02 0.3586
Shroud of Silent Mist 223 49.33% 23.05 -0.044 52.47% 0.019 0.39
Starlight Seeks its Form 313 27.88% 25.58 -1.765 59.42% -0.342 -0.5489
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 376 25.6% 27.8 1.747 65.69% 0.554 -0.1625
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 223 36.82% 24.99 -1.267 56.5% 0.045 0.2272
Thunderspeaker 249 31.58% 28.62 -2.097 65.06% -0.184 -0.1702
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 94 42.55% 22.46 0.069 50.0% 0.096 0.2015
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 214 57.94% 22.97 -0.754 52.34% -0.07 0.0702
Vital Strength of the Earth 124 28.23% 22.29 -0.741 50.81% -0.173 0.3691
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 181 30.0% 24.29 -3.358 53.04% -0.515 -0.1772
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 60 30.0% 20.38 -6.331 41.67% -1.473 -0.7564
Volcano Looming High 280 37.5% 24.7 -1.167 60.71% -0.198 -0.2305
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 153 22.88% 32.15 4.0 76.47% 1.105 0.6677

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 27 29.63% 21.15 -5.211 51.85% -0.701 -0.6498
Blitz 0 115 20.87% 17.87 -3.89 40.87% -0.808 -0.6076
Dahan Insurrection 4 89 38.2% 42.88 7.274 55.06% -0.248 -0.4597
Despicable Theft 2 67 43.28% 21.76 0.371 31.34% -0.348 0.497
Elemental Invocation 1 77 35.06% 24.53 -0.046 50.65% -0.311 0.7598
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 187 11.76% 29.66 1.807 57.22% 0.07 -0.6546
Powers Long Forgotten 1 64 31.25% 16.5 -7.891 23.44% -1.412 -0.506
Rituals of Terror 3 19 31.58% 24.63 -1.356 42.11% -0.504 -0.4738
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 19 31.58% 20.26 4.252 36.84% 0.172 1.3603
Second Wave 0 395 38.32% 31.71 1.222 65.32% 0.142 0.2228
The Great River 3 22 31.82% 23.91 -4.277 40.91% -0.346 1.0413
Varied Terrains 2 81 41.98% 21.59 -1.736 37.04% -0.64 0.2617
Ward the Shores 2 76 47.37% 15.04 -3.319 17.11% -1.293 -0.2377

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4155 33.57% 27.1 -0.52 62.98% 0.63 0.6609
1 Thematic 353 32.29% 24.11 0.767 45.89% 0.342 0.7739
2 Archipelago 2 100.0% 49.5 -0.661 50.0% -0.548 -0.0546
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 992 33.4% 26.4 0.508 63.0% 0.518 0.4694
2 Coastline 162 30.0% 25.94 -1.042 62.96% -0.009 -0.1097
2 Fragment 31 29.03% 22.35 -1.658 48.39% -0.254 -0.6671
2 Heart 23 43.48% 30.65 -6.06 65.22% -0.535 -0.6245
2 Opposite Shores 209 34.13% 27.55 0.082 64.11% 0.573 0.3936
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 158 32.91% 23.0 -0.721 41.77% -0.661 -0.4746
2 Top to Top 34 47.06% 25.85 -4.345 50.0% -0.452 -0.6514
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 45.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 7 71.43% 36.71 3.937 100.0% 0.452 -0.2097
3 Other 13 46.15% 24.54 0.0 61.54%
3 Round (Default) 596 37.69% 29.61 -0.052 69.63% -0.101 -0.3674
3 Thematic 20 55.0% 30.0 9.25 60.0% 0.824 0.377
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 35.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 4 50.0% 36.0 0.0 75.0%
4 Other 6 66.67% 26.17 -2.302 83.33% -0.147 -0.8846
4 Thematic 18 22.22% 29.56 -16.708 38.89% -0.801 -0.5979
4 Trapezoid (Default) 162 30.86% 28.3 -1.025 64.81% -1.227 -0.8867
5 Archipelago 2 50.0% 54.5 24.432 100.0% 0.301 0.2998
5 Other 29 27.59% 35.59 4.392 86.21% 0.193 -0.5277
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 2 50.0% 31.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 10 40.0% 27.5 12.765 40.0% 0.477 0.9168
6 Thematic 30 22.22% 31.4 3.824 63.33% 0.1 0.1251
6 Two Centers (Default) 32 18.75% 28.69 1.856 56.25% -0.529 -0.4307
7 Other 2 0.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 149 26.36 1.164 59.06% 0.559 0.6974
Aid From Lesser Spirits 92 28.17 3.121 57.61% 0.369 0.3102
All Things Weaken 141 25.93 -0.351 58.87% -0.41 -0.0558
Attenuated Essence 65 23.2 -0.911 49.23% -0.166 -0.0547
Back Against the Wall 133 25.67 0.497 55.64% -0.044 0.032
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 53 25.57 1.212 50.94% 0.362 0.5732
Burn Brightest Before the End 49 26.84 1.923 51.02% 0.086 0.2069
Disintegrating Ecosystem 148 26.11 2.882 61.49% 0.768 1.1366
Downward Spiral 185 25.81 -0.197 63.24% 0.438 0.6346
Erosion of Will 141 25.38 0.777 55.32% -0.357 -0.0898
Intensifying Exploitation 62 24.48 1.619 59.68% 0.615 0.8857
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 85 29.82 0.578 74.12% 0.119 -0.3922
Memory Fades to Dust 165 25.55 2.479 57.58% 0.445 0.7562
Power Corrodes the Spirit 129 25.41 -4.274 59.69% -0.828 -0.5336
Promising Farmlands 159 24.77 0.904 53.46% -0.104 0.2317
Shattered Fragments of Power 38 24.5 -1.164 47.37% -0.617 -0.5083
Slow Dissolution of Will 51 21.31 1.344 35.29% -0.063 0.3366
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 53 29.13 -0.111 69.81% 0.273 -0.3401
The Border of Life and Death 10 27.6 -0.529 70.0% 0.091 -0.2013
Thriving Communities 139 24.12 -1.228 56.12% -0.363 -0.0302
Thriving Crops 29 29.28 6.995 65.52% 1.186 1.0991
Unnatural Proliferation 148 26.17 5.238 52.7% 0.96 1.1076
Untended Land Crumbles 152 24.13 0.822 53.29% 0.162 0.4691

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1359 34.19% 27.6 0.507 64.16% -0.226 0.6791
B 1393 34.46% 27.94 0.299 64.68% -0.401 0.4273
C 1476 33.42% 28.54 0.306 66.46% -0.349 0.3314
D 1345 32.91% 27.12 0.436 62.3% -0.238 0.6157
E 1254 33.49% 27.96 -0.95 65.79% -0.586 0.1148
F 1135 34.45% 27.27 -0.787 64.14% -0.601 0.1799
G 1040 34.85% 27.12 0.203 61.73% -0.375 0.3971
H 1056 35.01% 27.9 0.548 65.25% -0.293 0.4755
East 376 30.83% 25.67 1.974 46.81% -0.139 0.7229
Northeast 178 34.29% 25.19 3.355 44.38% 0.233 0.9802
Northwest 146 29.37% 26.49 2.82 50.68% -0.248 0.5857
Southeast 134 25.19% 26.23 -0.133 52.24% -0.404 0.3717
Southwest 136 33.08% 24.0 -0.349 47.79% -0.455 0.8647
West 353 33.14% 23.83 0.116 45.33% -0.105 0.9009

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 23 0.0% 30.52 5.679 73.91% 0.502 1.3329
Not Using Events or Tokens 107 29.41% 23.89 0.293 51.4% 0.021 0.4623
Skip Initial Invader Actions 159 7.24% 39.72 3.698 86.16% 0.43 -0.1323
Start of Game Growth 253 12.96% 36.83 4.078 80.24% 0.448 -0.0904
Unlimited Undo 622 23.78% 26.71 -1.061 62.06% -0.218 -0.1773
Using Tokens but Not Events 630 22.22% 30.05 1.469 71.59% 0.411 0.3879

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1658 16.23 3.38%
II 1470 30.54 45.85%
III 2373 34.77 89.13%
IV 1563 38.37 99.1%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.562 Win Model: 0.858
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4586 33.45% 26.67 61.06%
2 1557 33.81% 26.76 62.24%
3 631 38.3% 29.44 68.94%
4 181 30.39% 29.3 65.75%
5 35 28.57% 32.6 77.14%
6 74 22.54% 31.34 59.46%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 56
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2067
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 652
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1536
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1247
Lose: Invader deck ran out 24
Lose: Adversary condition 770
Win: Sacrifice victory 21
Lose: Scenario condition 52
Win: Scenario condition 62
Lose: Blight pool ran out 557
Lose: Spirit destroyed 20

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 467 28.88% 32.37 -1.32 71.09% -0.474 -0.5771
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 218 50.92% 28.48 -1.56 59.17% -0.334 -0.174
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 75 26.67% 35.36 -0.368 74.67% -0.019 -0.8542
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 317 40.69% 31.09 0.831 69.09% 0.352 0.2205
Downpour Drenches the World 644 30.99% 29.48 -0.958 60.87% -0.127 0.1914
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 568 29.4% 32.87 1.54 71.83% 0.425 -0.0597
Eyes Watch From the Trees 532 39.1% 32.79 2.319 65.98% 0.543 0.0899
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 346 41.04% 32.96 3.177 70.81% 0.642 0.1903
Finder of Paths Unseen 389 42.53% 27.43 -2.447 62.98% -0.166 0.5009
Fractured Days Split the Sky 186 33.87% 30.06 5.241 58.6% 1.187 1.8653
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 358 47.06% 27.38 -2.716 53.35% -0.589 -0.5272
Heart of the Wildfire 308 70.03% 24.89 -3.775 52.92% -0.771 -0.5112
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 677 31.11% 33.68 1.501 71.2% 0.35 -0.0434
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 119 28.57% 34.61 3.529 79.83% 0.906 0.5112
Lightning's Swift Strike 169 46.15% 30.51 0.17 65.09% 0.048 0.3016
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 272 44.15% 35.32 2.082 76.47% 0.748 0.194
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 112 34.82% 32.66 -1.07 66.96% -0.028 -0.264
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 117 29.91% 32.94 2.584 63.25% -0.065 -0.3156
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 449 42.09% 30.41 0.885 65.03% 0.408 0.0839
Many Minds Move as One 313 30.03% 31.62 -1.133 66.77% -0.453 -0.6524
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 888 39.12% 31.87 1.137 67.68% 0.296 0.2684
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 378 40.21% 29.87 2.786 60.58% 0.535 0.3936
River Surges in Sunlight 246 37.96% 35.92 1.644 76.42% 0.238 0.3548
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 122 45.9% 31.93 -2.685 61.48% -0.968 -0.6302
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 305 38.74% 37.13 6.953 75.74% 1.152 1.0044
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 386 34.29% 30.8 2.828 60.36% 0.492 0.3245
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 46 56.52% 23.59 -1.558 47.83% -0.01 0.5337
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 68 52.94% 36.37 2.176 79.41% 0.419 0.5048
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 90 55.56% 30.04 -0.672 61.11% -0.505 -0.8745
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 83 54.22% 30.67 -6.566 56.63% -1.56 -1.3939
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 54 50.0% 28.89 7.165 64.81% 1.287 1.318
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 37 54.05% 22.51 -5.903 48.65% -0.265 -0.0945
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 210 38.35% 31.99 1.436 69.52% 0.148 0.0523
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 180 40.78% 31.07 1.292 69.44% 0.103 -0.1379
Shifting Memory of Ages 336 42.86% 26.18 -3.173 55.36% -0.671 -0.2928
Shroud of Silent Mist 235 55.74% 26.68 -2.696 55.74% -0.333 0.0374
Starlight Seeks its Form 464 30.39% 31.05 -1.242 64.87% -0.313 -0.5197
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 453 29.78% 31.05 0.231 70.2% 0.294 -0.4231
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 283 56.74% 29.3 -5.278 57.24% -0.74 -0.5577
Thunderspeaker 252 36.65% 30.18 -2.159 65.08% -0.519 -0.5052
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 95 37.89% 28.58 1.975 62.11% 0.223 0.3285
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 248 67.74% 25.98 -2.659 55.65% -1.0 -0.8594
Vital Strength of the Earth 108 27.1% 21.49 -3.138 39.81% -0.73 -0.1874
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 213 39.9% 26.54 -3.175 53.05% -0.677 -0.3394
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 61 37.7% 27.3 -1.304 52.46% -0.236 0.48
Volcano Looming High 447 49.44% 29.38 -1.017 65.55% -0.045 -0.0783
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 200 29.0% 35.95 3.333 81.5% 0.962 0.525

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 18 11.11% 29.44 -4.328 66.67% -0.072 -0.0205
Blitz 0 104 25.96% 27.24 -2.311 48.08% -0.696 -0.4955
Dahan Insurrection 4 82 35.37% 38.67 6.478 45.12% -0.09 -0.3009
Despicable Theft 2 42 47.62% 22.17 -10.775 16.67% -0.719 0.1251
Elemental Invocation 1 72 41.67% 19.51 -6.579 36.11% -0.842 0.2293
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 267 17.6% 32.7 -0.277 56.93% -0.384 -1.1085
Powers Long Forgotten 1 50 36.0% 13.18 1.89 22.0% -0.286 0.6197
Rituals of Terror 3 23 52.17% 21.91 -10.027 34.78% -1.05 -1.0195
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 22 59.09% 20.5 -3.843 22.73% -0.379 0.8094
Second Wave 0 337 31.53% 36.44 5.2 70.03% 0.741 0.8224
The Great River 3 13 23.08% 23.0 -1.344 30.77% -0.323 1.0642
Varied Terrains 2 68 55.88% 25.82 1.34 36.76% -0.29 0.6109
Ward the Shores 2 54 42.59% 25.56 -3.736 37.04% -0.798 0.2577

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4722 40.63% 30.09 -0.516 63.09% -0.309 -0.2787
1 Thematic 333 31.23% 22.56 -2.476 35.74% -0.545 -0.1131
2 Archipelago 19 63.16% 30.0 0.0 47.37%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1351 40.22% 30.47 -0.084 66.25% 0.136 0.0868
2 Coastline 189 39.68% 34.33 0.319 77.25% -0.137 -0.2377
2 Fragment 36 44.44% 28.36 -1.106 61.11% -0.132 -0.5448
2 Heart 24 54.17% 22.0 0.596 37.5% -0.101 -0.1903
2 Opposite Shores 324 43.65% 31.29 2.397 66.98% 0.023 -0.1565
2 Thematic 144 27.08% 23.87 -1.776 40.28% -0.302 -0.1154
2 Top to Top 57 42.11% 32.74 4.407 75.44% 0.834 0.6349
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 40.17 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 7 28.57% 31.43 3.782 57.14% -0.192 -0.8541
3 Other 9 11.11% 33.33 6.752 66.67% 1.637 1.3032
3 Round (Default) 646 36.59% 32.84 1.915 71.21% 0.512 0.2465
3 Sunrise 6 100.0% 28.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 19 36.84% 26.89 -3.301 47.37% -0.571 -1.0176
4 Archipelago 11 27.27% 33.91 11.205 63.64% 0.602 0.0452
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 35.0 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 38.25 0.0 75.0%
4 Other 5 20.0% 25.2 0.0 60.0%
4 Thematic 45 44.44% 31.71 -3.503 51.11% -0.695 -0.4917
4 Trapezoid (Default) 215 37.67% 32.41 -2.163 71.63% -0.907 -0.567
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 3 100.0% 27.67 0.0 66.67%
5 Other 48 43.75% 32.38 4.705 81.25% 0.532 -0.1889
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 8 37.5% 21.13 -13.543 25.0% -1.012 -0.5722
6 Star 5 80.0% 29.8 -0.754 80.0% 0.155 0.4525
6 Thematic 34 42.42% 34.38 0.0 58.82%
6 Two Centers (Default) 13 30.77% 30.08 -9.884 61.54% -0.654 -0.5562
7 Other 2 0.0% 52.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 204 29.31 2.15 58.33% 0.552 0.691
Aid From Lesser Spirits 163 32.55 3.433 71.78% 0.505 0.4462
All Things Weaken 223 28.84 1.005 59.64% 0.453 0.8077
Attenuated Essence 82 26.33 -1.984 51.22% -0.461 -0.3505
Back Against the Wall 149 30.14 0.578 56.38% 0.199 0.2754
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 74 25.12 -3.359 50.0% -0.799 -0.588
Burn Brightest Before the End 49 31.9 0.475 59.18% -0.213 -0.0924
Disintegrating Ecosystem 193 29.3 0.649 66.32% 0.489 0.8582
Downward Spiral 220 27.19 0.175 57.73% 0.243 0.4394
Erosion of Will 179 27.99 3.419 52.51% 0.601 0.8681
Intensifying Exploitation 87 24.76 0.703 51.72% 0.278 0.5486
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 85 36.31 0.953 83.53% 0.122 -0.389
Memory Fades to Dust 218 29.75 1.228 62.39% 0.271 0.5822
Power Corrodes the Spirit 203 28.04 -2.882 58.13% -0.778 -0.483
Promising Farmlands 231 28.42 1.435 63.64% 0.617 0.9535
Shattered Fragments of Power 60 29.03 -2.835 58.33% -0.871 -0.7618
Slow Dissolution of Will 80 27.74 -1.007 52.5% -0.111 0.2895
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 62 31.73 3.976 70.97% 0.492 -0.1207
The Border of Life and Death 28 29.57 0.722 60.71% 0.052 -0.2407
Thriving Communities 240 27.26 2.334 53.75% 0.369 0.7015
Thriving Crops 41 28.61 -0.496 63.41% 0.04 -0.0469
Unnatural Proliferation 224 28.82 -0.982 59.38% -0.173 -0.0248
Untended Land Crumbles 207 27.23 -0.135 56.04% 0.253 0.5599

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1777 39.63% 31.49 -0.436 67.42% -0.188 0.7168
B 1668 39.18% 31.14 0.851 66.91% 0.013 0.8418
C 1864 39.02% 31.71 1.421 68.56% 0.058 0.7377
D 1543 37.31% 29.8 0.086 62.73% -0.334 0.5193
E 1502 41.17% 31.34 1.227 66.44% 0.032 0.7336
F 1384 45.22% 30.81 0.091 66.91% -0.068 0.7133
G 1228 42.46% 30.61 0.655 66.45% 0.027 0.7985
H 1198 39.46% 31.39 -0.534 67.36% -0.361 0.4075
East 380 32.72% 24.15 -0.334 37.89% -0.466 0.3961
Northeast 186 29.19% 25.46 -3.131 38.17% -0.895 -0.1481
Northwest 164 30.67% 29.58 -2.162 53.05% -0.285 0.5479
Southeast 155 37.01% 25.08 -5.029 42.58% -1.098 -0.3225
Southwest 142 36.17% 25.11 -3.603 42.96% -0.717 0.6022
West 358 34.45% 26.84 2.389 46.65% 0.315 1.3207

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 19 0.0% 39.32 -5.44 84.21% -0.239 0.5914
Not Using Events or Tokens 114 27.03% 22.39 -4.817 43.86% -0.933 -0.4919
Skip Initial Invader Actions 155 15.97% 43.9 10.405 76.77% 1.193 0.6311
Start of Game Growth 184 16.18% 43.73 8.918 79.35% 0.728 0.1891
Unlimited Undo 926 35.69% 29.24 -1.703 60.15% -0.289 -0.2476
Using Tokens but Not Events 721 29.79% 30.52 -1.075 64.91% -0.126 -0.1497

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1997 16.23 1.25%
II 1675 30.54 52.78%
III 2723 34.77 90.56%
IV 1908 38.37 99.11%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.714 Win Model: 0.162
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 5128 39.95% 29.46 61.0%
2 2095 40.8% 30.84 66.06%
3 689 36.48% 32.56 69.96%
4 278 37.41% 32.4 69.06%
5 51 50.98% 34.18 84.31%
6 62 39.34% 32.48 59.68%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 25
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2416
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 855
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1878
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1297
Lose: Invader deck ran out 31
Lose: Adversary condition 918
Win: Sacrifice victory 36
Lose: Scenario condition 53
Win: Scenario condition 56
Lose: Blight pool ran out 679
Lose: Spirit destroyed 59

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 653 26.19% 40.18 0.112 68.76% 0.07 -0.0326
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 301 60.47% 36.72 -0.169 62.13% 0.166 0.3261
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 183 32.79% 43.77 4.314 75.96% 0.847 0.011
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 462 38.61% 37.03 0.327 65.37% 0.325 0.1932
Downpour Drenches the World 908 28.96% 35.81 -1.615 61.56% -0.127 0.191
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 892 30.72% 41.7 3.76 75.56% 0.78 0.2948
Eyes Watch From the Trees 667 30.03% 43.8 0.47 76.31% 0.426 -0.0273
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 469 40.09% 43.13 2.525 75.48% 0.393 -0.059
Finder of Paths Unseen 486 52.07% 33.57 -1.65 58.44% -0.361 0.3058
Fractured Days Split the Sky 330 37.23% 37.61 -1.504 51.82% -0.062 0.6154
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 494 50.0% 35.8 -1.292 62.75% -0.304 -0.2428
Heart of the Wildfire 417 67.31% 28.41 -6.649 46.52% -1.163 -0.9036
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1139 31.22% 44.1 0.446 74.01% 0.037 -0.3569
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 184 35.33% 41.82 5.37 73.91% 0.879 0.4839
Lightning's Swift Strike 216 60.38% 36.93 -2.205 61.57% -0.51 -0.2561
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 529 43.33% 44.73 3.085 77.13% 0.681 0.127
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 165 46.95% 39.25 -2.418 68.48% -0.471 -0.7072
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 244 29.1% 43.86 1.805 75.82% 0.052 -0.1992
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 686 48.47% 37.94 2.723 63.7% 0.699 0.3745
Many Minds Move as One 371 32.08% 38.97 2.2 68.19% 0.215 0.0152
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1517 41.78% 38.99 -0.868 66.64% -0.144 -0.1723
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 471 40.0% 40.28 -2.164 71.97% -0.245 -0.3871
River Surges in Sunlight 308 40.98% 45.99 2.064 78.25% 0.172 0.2884
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 192 32.29% 29.94 -6.334 50.0% -0.574 -0.2364
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 557 42.45% 46.82 2.776 73.97% 0.367 0.2185
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 714 31.65% 40.19 1.838 68.07% 0.512 0.3448
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 34 76.47% 28.21 -4.077 38.24% -0.644 -0.0999
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 86 67.44% 34.12 0.884 56.98% 0.069 0.155
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 145 57.93% 38.75 2.851 64.83% 0.425 0.0559
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 123 58.54% 37.12 0.668 63.41% 0.181 0.3463
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 70 67.14% 29.94 -6.843 44.29% -1.383 -1.352
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 24 66.67% 28.58 -18.464 45.83% -1.122 -0.9511
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 395 38.68% 40.13 -2.507 68.1% -0.51 -0.6055
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 237 29.96% 38.79 1.43 67.09% 0.431 0.1899
Shifting Memory of Ages 501 42.6% 33.78 -1.686 57.09% -0.266 0.1119
Shroud of Silent Mist 364 58.01% 32.98 -1.896 55.49% -0.185 0.1859
Starlight Seeks its Form 901 36.33% 37.53 0.388 65.48% 0.044 -0.1626
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 638 30.97% 41.57 0.521 73.51% 0.336 -0.3807
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 329 47.09% 35.81 -2.687 60.18% -0.362 -0.1797
Thunderspeaker 357 44.16% 42.94 1.268 69.47% 0.307 0.3212
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 175 39.43% 37.15 3.085 51.43% 0.343 0.4486
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 429 70.86% 34.71 -1.256 61.77% -0.133 0.0072
Vital Strength of the Earth 98 33.33% 30.43 0.805 47.96% 0.151 0.6928
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 364 42.66% 35.23 -3.312 58.79% -0.455 -0.1173
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 47 40.43% 33.62 -2.212 59.57% -0.13 0.5862
Volcano Looming High 741 54.39% 38.03 -0.343 69.23% -0.08 -0.1125
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 391 40.15% 42.14 3.254 71.61% 0.563 0.1256

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 15 46.67% 39.6 11.178 66.67% 0.178 0.2295
Blitz 0 139 19.42% 49.93 4.907 59.71% -0.555 -0.3546
Dahan Insurrection 4 118 42.37% 48.43 -0.957 38.14% -1.426 -1.6372
Despicable Theft 2 19 31.58% 33.53 -0.482 42.11% -0.212 0.6328
Elemental Invocation 1 46 47.83% 30.57 -6.043 47.83% -0.647 0.4237
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 372 18.01% 41.24 0.522 58.33% 0.006 -0.7184
Powers Long Forgotten 1 24 45.83% 32.92 3.228 50.0% 0.081 0.9873
Rituals of Terror 3 28 21.43% 24.75 -17.517 28.57% -0.882 -0.8518
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 12 58.33% 27.17 -5.318 33.33% -0.21 0.9784
Second Wave 0 308 36.07% 44.05 3.014 67.86% -0.073 0.0081
The Great River 3 32 46.88% 32.5 -11.21 34.38% -0.785 0.6023
Varied Terrains 2 44 52.27% 26.89 -10.845 31.82% -1.266 -0.3643
Ward the Shores 2 25 48.0% 30.12 -12.888 40.0% -0.822 0.2328

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7288 44.76% 38.19 -0.101 66.11% 0.037 0.0673
1 Thematic 220 39.55% 31.72 -5.495 41.36% -0.767 -0.335
2 Archipelago 16 31.25% 36.94 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1908 40.25% 37.66 -0.895 68.4% 0.04 -0.0093
2 Coastline 270 40.74% 41.18 -0.471 72.22% -0.201 -0.3016
2 Fragment 47 46.81% 31.23 -1.755 46.81% -0.272 -0.6848
2 Heart 32 43.75% 39.03 -5.192 68.75% -0.79 -0.8797
2 Opposite Shores 418 42.58% 36.33 1.19 62.2% 0.034 -0.1453
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 99 48.48% 34.2 6.101 47.47% 0.619 0.8061
2 Top to Top 102 47.06% 43.4 -0.534 82.35% 0.212 0.0121
3 Archipelago 9 88.89% 33.67 16.803 33.33% 0.225 -0.8956
3 Coastline 5 60.0% 48.6 0.38 80.0% -0.345 -1.0069
3 Other 29 24.14% 31.93 4.146 48.28% 1.048 0.7138
3 Round (Default) 1053 37.76% 41.26 2.941 70.85% 0.427 0.1607
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 26.33 -4.645 33.33% -0.285 0.2258
3 Thematic 32 15.63% 41.41 -5.756 59.38% -0.528 -0.9747
4 Archipelago 11 90.91% 49.45 0.0 90.91%
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 37.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 66 34.85% 27.15 -4.684 56.06% -0.214 -0.951
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 0.0 -12.689 0.0% -0.242 0.3231
4 Thematic 55 47.27% 45.96 2.685 56.36% 0.409 0.6124
4 Trapezoid (Default) 406 38.46% 41.5 0.94 71.92% 0.044 0.3838
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 29 27.59% 46.52 3.273 89.66% 1.072 0.3507
5 Thematic 21 57.14% 57.71 -2.523 28.57% -0.58 -0.4195
6 Other 10 44.44% 44.5 -21.675 70.0% -0.659 -0.2191
6 Star 9 33.33% 23.22 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 86 25.58% 45.99 2.878 53.49% 0.013 0.0379
6 Two Centers (Default) 57 24.56% 38.44 -3.745 70.18% -0.424 -0.3265

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 325 38.7 0.777 67.69% 0.052 0.1903
Aid From Lesser Spirits 252 39.88 1.433 65.48% 0.203 0.1437
All Things Weaken 320 35.74 -1.765 59.38% -0.447 -0.0919
Attenuated Essence 130 34.09 0.519 56.15% -0.006 0.1052
Back Against the Wall 266 36.71 -3.637 60.53% -0.62 -0.5442
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 103 36.15 1.636 62.14% 0.425 0.6354
Burn Brightest Before the End 95 36.65 2.631 61.05% 0.512 0.6327
Disintegrating Ecosystem 323 34.17 -1.767 59.75% -0.291 0.0781
Downward Spiral 327 36.2 -0.228 64.53% 0.196 0.3928
Erosion of Will 343 35.57 -1.181 56.85% -0.478 -0.2106
Intensifying Exploitation 142 34.61 1.446 55.63% 0.18 0.4502
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 168 42.54 3.72 81.55% 1.025 0.5136
Memory Fades to Dust 354 33.33 -2.764 55.08% -0.592 -0.2808
Power Corrodes the Spirit 332 34.39 -0.403 59.94% 0.03 0.3249
Promising Farmlands 329 34.36 -1.518 58.36% -0.335 0.0016
Shattered Fragments of Power 93 36.85 4.068 61.29% 0.694 0.8028
Slow Dissolution of Will 117 36.71 0.101 60.68% -0.014 0.386
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 101 42.46 0.523 79.21% 0.425 -0.188
The Border of Life and Death 41 33.83 0.826 63.41% 0.246 -0.0467
Thriving Communities 362 34.76 -1.766 59.94% 0.05 0.3824
Thriving Crops 54 41.61 7.35 79.63% 1.52 1.4335
Unnatural Proliferation 340 37.55 -0.552 63.24% -0.489 -0.3408
Untended Land Crumbles 327 33.87 -2.888 57.8% -0.65 -0.3426

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2618 42.79% 37.68 -0.304 65.81% -0.194 0.7114
B 2700 40.01% 39.25 1.733 69.41% 0.123 0.9518
C 2860 39.85% 38.39 -0.136 67.2% -0.158 0.5225
D 2310 41.43% 36.93 -2.088 63.59% -0.683 0.1703
E 2346 42.24% 39.99 0.104 70.33% -0.134 0.5677
F 2043 41.88% 39.02 -0.083 67.84% -0.317 0.464
G 1958 42.67% 39.26 1.292 68.95% 0.022 0.7937
H 1873 39.48% 39.92 0.926 70.05% -0.162 0.6059
East 377 36.87% 38.21 0.121 43.77% -0.484 0.3776
Northeast 243 36.63% 42.3 0.934 45.27% -0.791 -0.0443
Northwest 217 41.01% 43.83 2.132 50.69% 0.161 0.9947
Southeast 196 35.71% 42.57 -0.784 50.0% -0.647 0.1286
Southwest 182 34.07% 39.95 -0.23 53.3% -0.193 1.1267
West 366 40.71% 41.37 0.151 52.19% -0.347 0.6594

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 33 0.0% 47.36 5.639 75.76% 0.063 0.8935
Not Using Events or Tokens 70 38.57% 27.23 -7.768 42.86% -0.91 -0.469
Skip Initial Invader Actions 282 13.16% 54.46 10.814 71.99% 1.299 0.7366
Start of Game Growth 417 11.56% 47.24 3.444 68.35% 0.444 -0.0949
Unlimited Undo 1210 34.42% 41.25 -3.279 70.66% -0.735 -0.6939
Using Tokens but Not Events 864 30.32% 40.46 3.138 70.02% 0.722 0.699

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2405 16.23 1.87%
II 2990 30.54 55.45%
III 4754 34.77 90.56%
IV 2159 38.37 99.68%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.27 Win Model: 0.235
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7594 44.56% 37.94 65.28%
2 2849 41.59% 38.01 67.6%
3 1116 36.78% 40.92 69.8%
4 540 39.85% 40.36 68.89%
5 50 42.0% 50.74 62.0%
6 159 25.95% 41.89 59.75%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 45
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4237
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1618
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2133
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1649
Lose: Invader deck ran out 59
Lose: Adversary condition 1172
Win: Sacrifice victory 72
Lose: Scenario condition 88
Win: Scenario condition 55
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1108
Lose: Spirit destroyed 72

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 501 32.4% 40.44 1.352 63.47% 0.322 0.2194
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 248 64.92% 32.74 -1.129 47.18% 0.054 0.2138
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 243 50.62% 36.56 2.429 54.73% 0.836 0.0005
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 339 59.0% 34.52 -1.829 54.87% -0.026 -0.1573
Downpour Drenches the World 672 40.18% 34.17 -5.28 52.83% -0.736 -0.418
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 810 41.85% 40.02 3.594 69.88% 0.703 0.2186
Eyes Watch From the Trees 505 42.97% 42.3 5.538 69.11% 0.946 0.493
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 318 50.94% 40.04 2.194 66.35% 0.615 0.1632
Finder of Paths Unseen 377 55.44% 34.45 -1.713 54.38% -0.36 0.3063
Fractured Days Split the Sky 248 40.32% 33.22 -0.32 46.37% 0.24 0.9184
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 367 54.5% 35.74 -0.961 56.13% 0.105 0.1667
Heart of the Wildfire 273 75.82% 29.04 -5.416 43.96% -0.807 -0.5472
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1004 38.15% 41.84 -1.031 65.94% -0.116 -0.5093
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 181 40.33% 37.92 2.065 61.88% 0.392 -0.0034
Lightning's Swift Strike 114 57.89% 36.97 -2.546 56.14% -0.314 -0.0602
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 494 57.2% 45.2 6.731 72.87% 1.232 0.6788
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 115 46.09% 41.37 -1.643 69.57% 0.172 -0.0641
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 188 37.23% 37.62 1.676 57.45% 0.609 0.3578
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 461 58.57% 35.84 -1.214 55.97% -0.168 -0.4918
Many Minds Move as One 391 33.5% 32.94 0.564 53.96% 0.564 0.3644
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1143 55.69% 38.27 1.284 55.82% 0.142 0.1141
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 381 46.72% 36.13 -4.108 56.69% -0.575 -0.7171
River Surges in Sunlight 212 48.58% 42.33 7.166 66.04% 1.458 1.5753
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 71 59.15% 35.58 -1.007 53.52% 0.078 0.4153
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 454 52.64% 42.06 -0.586 63.0% -0.021 -0.1687
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 533 35.27% 42.23 3.161 69.79% 0.617 0.4495
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 29 75.86% 27.48 -6.009 27.59% -1.003 -0.459
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 50 70.0% 29.5 -1.916 42.0% -0.466 -0.3798
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 107 62.62% 34.3 -0.291 54.21% 0.116 -0.2533
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 101 63.37% 36.49 -3.912 55.45% -0.395 -0.2292
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 59 66.1% 34.1 -4.98 49.15% -0.907 -0.8762
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 31 74.19% 21.29 7.335 19.35% 0.356 0.5262
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 348 49.71% 40.1 -3.084 66.67% -0.216 -0.3109
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 245 35.51% 27.36 -3.733 44.08% -0.662 -0.903
Shifting Memory of Ages 287 52.61% 37.42 1.941 61.32% 0.476 0.8545
Shroud of Silent Mist 221 64.71% 28.29 0.486 38.01% -0.062 0.3091
Starlight Seeks its Form 892 43.61% 35.9 1.418 56.05% 0.463 0.2567
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 606 37.69% 37.0 -1.461 60.23% 0.032 -0.6851
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 292 60.27% 30.11 -4.517 35.96% -0.547 -0.365
Thunderspeaker 398 49.75% 36.56 -4.255 59.05% -0.411 -0.3971
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 88 54.55% 35.34 -2.133 59.09% -0.235 -0.1296
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 506 69.76% 30.9 -3.435 47.63% -0.23 -0.0892
Vital Strength of the Earth 147 64.63% 23.24 -3.255 12.93% -0.704 -0.1622
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 281 49.29% 35.47 -3.207 48.75% -0.681 -0.3425
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 91 56.04% 21.12 -9.12 18.68% -2.021 -1.305
Volcano Looming High 636 58.96% 36.68 -1.238 60.85% 0.312 0.2793
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 351 48.43% 40.07 3.997 66.67% 0.904 0.4662

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 50.0% 25.0 0.0 50.0%
Blitz 0 118 14.41% 48.69 4.72 44.92% -0.051 0.1501
Dahan Insurrection 4 82 43.9% 54.15 1.933 47.56% -0.538 -0.7496
Despicable Theft 2 18 38.89% 19.39 -14.902 16.67% -1.411 -0.5666
Elemental Invocation 1 29 44.83% 27.69 -10.362 41.38% -0.488 0.583
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 467 22.06% 48.5 5.659 74.09% 0.762 0.0377
Powers Long Forgotten 1 18 55.56% 23.61 -6.377 16.67% -0.038 0.8679
Rituals of Terror 3 20 45.0% 30.95 -1.215 35.0% -0.458 -0.4282
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 12 75.0% 24.67 -5.379 33.33% -0.263 0.9254
Second Wave 0 235 42.74% 43.52 3.846 62.98% 0.111 0.1925
The Great River 3 15 73.33% 41.93 -0.818 46.67% -0.024 1.3635
Varied Terrains 2 34 52.94% 28.91 -12.197 17.65% -1.129 -0.2278
Ward the Shores 2 34 41.18% 30.47 0.234 32.35% 0.038 1.0934

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6898 52.55% 36.93 0.602 56.83% 0.089 0.1202
1 Thematic 172 45.93% 32.65 -4.833 39.53% -0.866 -0.4335
2 Archipelago 12 25.0% 51.67 14.15 66.67% 0.398 0.8905
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1571 45.0% 40.02 0.705 67.28% 0.161 0.1122
2 Coastline 218 50.92% 37.54 -2.888 61.47% -0.836 -0.937
2 Fragment 40 65.0% 34.88 3.39 52.5% 0.02 -0.3924
2 Heart 34 52.94% 39.97 5.09 64.71% 0.781 0.6919
2 Opposite Shores 651 50.38% 30.95 -1.33 49.0% -0.053 -0.2324
2 Thematic 136 60.29% 27.76 1.149 20.59% -0.35 -0.1631
2 Top to Top 130 35.38% 32.84 -0.923 57.69% 0.035 -0.1642
3 Archipelago 10 90.0% 37.6 9.448 50.0% 0.461 -0.6596
3 Coastline 6 83.33% 54.0 17.334 66.67% 0.56 -0.1018
3 Other 15 60.0% 36.47 9.0 60.0% 1.237 0.9033
3 Round (Default) 721 45.14% 39.63 0.723 62.97% 0.289 0.0227
3 Sunrise 10 40.0% 36.3 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 25 68.0% 48.36 13.591 68.0% 0.653 0.2064
4 Archipelago 4 100.0% 30.75 0.0 25.0%
4 Other 10 60.0% 24.5 -8.039 40.0% -0.511 -1.2488
4 Thematic 15 40.0% 29.67 -0.073 26.67% -0.344 -0.1409
4 Trapezoid (Default) 232 44.4% 35.36 -4.059 55.17% -0.949 -0.6085
5 Other 23 56.52% 28.87 -6.024 39.13% -0.692 -1.4136
5 Thematic 9 66.67% 29.22 0.0 11.11%
6 Archipelago 2 100.0% 39.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 9 44.44% 41.33 0.0 77.78%
6 Star 5 20.0% 29.6 0.0 40.0%
6 Thematic 7 42.86% 22.0 0.0 14.29%
6 Two Centers (Default) 20 35.0% 39.15 -0.454 55.0% -0.282 -0.1838

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 361 36.38 -0.754 55.12% -0.207 -0.068
Aid From Lesser Spirits 267 38.45 2.431 57.3% 0.252 0.1925
All Things Weaken 354 35.86 -1.633 51.69% -0.579 -0.2239
Attenuated Essence 143 32.1 0.318 48.95% 0.087 0.1983
Back Against the Wall 287 37.62 0.009 56.1% -0.154 -0.0783
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 160 32.17 -0.561 48.75% -0.273 -0.0618
Burn Brightest Before the End 97 36.77 1.028 54.64% -0.012 0.1084
Disintegrating Ecosystem 345 34.03 0.164 55.65% 0.25 0.6183
Downward Spiral 369 35.27 -1.002 54.47% -0.162 0.0341
Erosion of Will 345 33.31 -1.841 46.96% -0.558 -0.2909
Intensifying Exploitation 145 33.43 2.846 52.41% 0.496 0.7662
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 156 41.37 4.039 68.59% 0.628 0.1169
Memory Fades to Dust 367 34.33 -0.023 52.04% -0.31 0.0017
Power Corrodes the Spirit 332 33.28 0.15 49.1% 0.057 0.3513
Promising Farmlands 309 32.65 -0.77 47.9% -0.239 0.0968
Shattered Fragments of Power 112 36.86 0.099 55.36% -0.127 -0.0178
Slow Dissolution of Will 150 30.63 -2.949 42.67% -0.677 -0.2767
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 94 43.71 1.019 76.6% 0.176 -0.4373
The Border of Life and Death 47 36.47 -5.8 63.83% -0.645 -0.9374
Thriving Communities 347 34.79 0.823 51.87% 0.201 0.5334
Thriving Crops 71 35.92 3.356 59.15% 0.689 0.6027
Unnatural Proliferation 361 36.53 1.858 52.08% 0.201 0.3487
Untended Land Crumbles 332 34.83 -1.675 51.51% -0.396 -0.0886

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2305 49.35% 34.95 -0.868 55.79% -0.218 0.6865
B 2291 48.3% 37.6 1.3 60.37% -0.063 0.7652
C 2426 48.43% 38.92 -0.222 62.65% -0.229 0.4516
D 1767 46.8% 35.81 -0.913 55.46% -0.367 0.4866
E 2067 50.07% 37.79 -0.613 59.6% -0.283 0.4178
F 1795 50.7% 37.86 -0.016 59.78% -0.274 0.5076
G 1535 51.83% 37.62 -1.157 58.89% -0.453 0.3185
H 1602 49.0% 36.99 -0.492 57.55% -0.362 0.4067
East 181 41.99% 31.85 4.924 34.81% 0.434 1.2961
Northeast 98 33.67% 31.67 0.285 29.59% -0.525 0.2221
Northwest 92 52.17% 35.97 -1.202 41.3% -0.433 0.4003
Southeast 65 52.31% 31.03 0.877 38.46% 0.088 0.864
Southwest 147 68.03% 26.8 -3.692 23.13% -0.104 1.2157
West 252 59.92% 31.25 -1.422 31.35% -0.445 0.5608

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3 0.0% 57.0 8.364 100.0% 0.17 1.0012
Not Using Events or Tokens 41 34.15% 31.51 -2.752 53.66% -0.068 0.3732
Skip Initial Invader Actions 190 12.7% 56.08 4.451 63.16% 0.179 -0.3835
Start of Game Growth 351 23.43% 46.29 4.652 60.68% 0.801 0.2627
Unlimited Undo 1416 45.01% 40.16 -0.221 62.92% -0.14 -0.099
Using Tokens but Not Events 594 43.15% 38.54 -0.155 58.92% -0.233 -0.2569

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2799 16.23 3.93%
II 2986 30.54 48.29%
III 3574 34.77 88.05%
IV 1632 38.37 99.39%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.325 Win Model: 0.084
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7134 52.38% 36.84 56.43%
2 2744 47.3% 36.74 59.58%
3 778 46.72% 39.95 63.24%
4 264 44.7% 34.26 51.89%
5 29 68.97% 30.55 34.48%
6 42 38.1% 35.07 50.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 109
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3103
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1399
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1609
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1751
Lose: Invader deck ran out 153
Lose: Adversary condition 1219
Win: Sacrifice victory 51
Lose: Scenario condition 69
Win: Scenario condition 50
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1383
Lose: Spirit destroyed 95

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 389 43.19% 45.78 0.348 67.1% 0.084 -0.0186
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 182 67.58% 34.16 1.441 41.21% 0.426 0.5858
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 166 56.02% 43.97 1.768 63.86% 0.217 -0.6182
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 296 63.85% 33.53 -2.405 45.27% -0.295 -0.4267
Downpour Drenches the World 620 41.13% 42.67 -0.813 59.19% -0.226 0.0923
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 743 43.61% 46.63 4.495 69.99% 1.001 0.5167
Eyes Watch From the Trees 412 43.45% 44.89 1.195 67.23% 0.271 -0.1823
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 325 59.38% 39.24 3.606 57.23% 0.732 0.2797
Finder of Paths Unseen 594 57.58% 34.67 -1.751 48.32% 0.0 0.6668
Fractured Days Split the Sky 167 40.12% 43.03 -3.237 56.29% -0.447 0.2308
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 323 57.28% 42.37 -1.397 56.97% -0.084 -0.022
Heart of the Wildfire 199 75.88% 35.49 -6.918 50.75% -0.745 -0.485
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 958 45.51% 46.83 2.593 68.58% 0.573 0.1794
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 203 40.89% 50.93 3.927 65.02% 0.491 0.0958
Lightning's Swift Strike 84 69.05% 38.81 -3.185 50.0% -0.026 0.2276
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 574 54.88% 51.93 4.14 71.25% 0.215 -0.3386
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 90 62.22% 45.66 -13.359 65.56% -1.273 -1.5092
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 128 39.84% 46.56 2.628 60.16% 0.06 -0.1915
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 468 69.66% 34.84 -3.866 40.38% -0.932 -1.2559
Many Minds Move as One 247 48.58% 48.77 5.326 71.26% 1.025 0.8256
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1462 56.85% 41.73 1.394 57.66% 0.2 0.1715
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 333 51.95% 41.95 -3.366 61.26% -0.225 -0.3666
River Surges in Sunlight 120 55.83% 45.82 6.393 62.5% 0.845 0.9617
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 80 65.0% 35.01 -2.848 32.5% -0.524 -0.1862
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 379 53.56% 53.7 1.153 65.96% 0.119 -0.029
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 660 34.55% 46.48 0.128 68.48% -0.005 -0.1721
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 12 83.33% 30.92 -6.919 41.67% -0.433 0.1113
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 30 80.0% 40.3 3.99 63.33% 0.36 0.446
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 100 67.0% 41.08 -1.459 60.0% -0.122 -0.4914
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 43 60.47% 45.79 0.162 62.79% 0.049 0.2151
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 44 70.45% 40.91 2.295 56.82% 0.62 0.6517
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 14 64.29% 28.5 0.0 21.43%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 618 48.06% 41.47 -3.621 64.24% -0.204 -0.2997
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 114 48.25% 51.5 3.759 67.54% 0.11 -0.1304
Shifting Memory of Ages 245 66.12% 40.42 0.749 56.73% 0.076 0.4546
Shroud of Silent Mist 143 71.33% 34.53 -6.123 42.66% -0.925 -0.5538
Starlight Seeks its Form 599 47.75% 44.76 -0.025 62.1% -0.049 -0.255
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 453 58.28% 36.42 0.73 54.08% 0.297 -0.4195
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 142 54.23% 36.03 -4.95 44.37% -0.641 -0.4593
Thunderspeaker 248 61.29% 39.1 1.576 55.65% 0.753 0.7673
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 54 61.11% 39.07 -5.57 53.7% -0.45 -0.3448
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 412 75.97% 31.31 -7.917 39.81% -1.179 -1.0388
Vital Strength of the Earth 39 48.72% 32.56 -6.109 35.9% -0.25 0.2925
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 195 51.79% 42.3 0.655 54.87% 0.132 0.4696
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 24 54.17% 31.0 -8.065 41.67% -0.511 0.2051
Volcano Looming High 447 58.61% 43.47 0.343 64.21% 0.35 0.3169
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 313 55.27% 43.75 3.463 61.66% 0.604 0.1663

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 16 37.5% 60.75 6.241 81.25% 0.188 0.2394
Blitz 0 91 15.38% 61.11 1.192 68.13% -0.329 -0.1282
Dahan Insurrection 4 162 58.64% 62.06 7.785 47.53% -0.538 -0.7489
Despicable Theft 2 27 70.37% 22.3 -21.413 14.81% -0.678 0.1668
Elemental Invocation 1 27 62.96% 33.11 -6.314 29.63% -0.309 0.7623
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1301 29.05% 50.33 4.471 65.95% 0.509 -0.2157
Powers Long Forgotten 1 19 52.63% 27.32 0.931 36.84% 0.18 1.0854
Rituals of Terror 3 5 20.0% 26.2 -2.163 20.0% -0.259 -0.2288
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 2 0.0% 0.0 -20.176 0.0% -0.254 0.9348
Second Wave 0 123 47.97% 48.21 6.518 65.04% 0.368 0.4495
The Great River 3 19 57.89% 42.47 2.254 42.11% -0.265 1.1223
Varied Terrains 2 26 57.69% 38.08 -11.14 42.31% -0.722 0.179
Ward the Shores 2 74 64.86% 29.08 -7.656 13.51% -0.61 0.4457

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7035 54.44% 39.6 -1.618 55.59% -0.614 -0.5837
1 Thematic 204 52.94% 36.63 -5.516 30.88% -0.856 -0.4234
2 Archipelago 20 25.0% 48.0 -22.726 40.0% -0.386 0.1074
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1120 55.63% 42.13 0.083 63.04% -0.107 -0.1555
2 Coastline 270 64.44% 42.43 0.619 61.48% -0.01 -0.1106
2 Fragment 14 64.29% 47.86 6.519 78.57% 0.957 0.5438
2 Heart 28 75.0% 41.11 -17.117 57.14% -0.411 -0.5002
2 Opposite Shores 353 48.16% 44.15 4.497 58.92% -0.251 -0.4311
2 Thematic 85 72.94% 40.47 7.213 32.94% 0.193 0.3795
2 Top to Top 100 47.0% 49.94 2.272 80.0% 0.458 0.2581
3 Archipelago 5 60.0% 73.6 0.0 80.0%
3 Coastline 5 20.0% 64.8 0.0 80.0%
3 Other 12 16.67% 23.58 9.539 41.67% 1.091 0.757
3 Round (Default) 580 47.59% 50.47 1.435 70.69% 0.048 -0.2178
3 Thematic 31 41.94% 55.55 4.838 54.84% 0.05 -0.3963
4 Archipelago 7 42.86% 67.0 0.0 85.71%
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 71.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 6 16.67% 49.5 11.65 66.67% 0.299 -0.4386
4 Thematic 11 18.18% 53.55 5.096 63.64% 0.092 0.2952
4 Trapezoid (Default) 172 58.72% 43.42 -1.047 59.3% -0.631 -0.291
5 Coastline 1 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 17 58.82% 36.24 -5.029 58.82% -0.003 -0.7238
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 29.5 -20.531 50.0% -0.367 -0.2066
6 Archipelago 10 10.0% 61.9 0.0 80.0%
6 Other 4 50.0% 46.0 -6.147 50.0% -0.401 0.0389
6 Star 3 100.0% 31.0 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 30 30.0% 46.2 0.0 56.67%
6 Two Centers (Default) 39 64.1% 45.82 -8.459 74.36% -0.212 -0.1136
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 105.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 357 39.39 -0.402 53.5% -0.234 -0.0954
Aid From Lesser Spirits 256 43.95 -1.903 60.94% -0.695 -0.7536
All Things Weaken 330 36.27 -5.734 45.76% -0.979 -0.6243
Attenuated Essence 152 36.46 -2.721 50.0% -0.533 -0.4223
Back Against the Wall 261 41.75 -0.244 54.02% -0.307 -0.2308
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 142 33.92 -3.588 48.59% -0.623 -0.412
Burn Brightest Before the End 133 39.53 2.781 51.13% 0.103 0.224
Disintegrating Ecosystem 307 32.94 -2.072 43.97% -0.354 0.0148
Downward Spiral 354 34.9 -3.283 46.05% -0.561 -0.3649
Erosion of Will 348 35.45 -1.064 44.54% -0.417 -0.1497
Intensifying Exploitation 199 33.18 -2.184 43.22% -0.49 -0.2196
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 127 46.93 -1.631 74.02% -0.269 -0.7799
Memory Fades to Dust 357 35.89 -1.854 47.06% -0.508 -0.1962
Power Corrodes the Spirit 372 37.94 -3.429 51.08% -0.676 -0.3816
Promising Farmlands 321 35.76 -4.798 46.42% -0.987 -0.6509
Shattered Fragments of Power 106 38.92 -1.715 52.83% -0.517 -0.4082
Slow Dissolution of Will 169 35.22 -0.89 44.38% -0.443 -0.0429
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 84 46.04 0.444 72.62% 0.098 -0.5156
The Border of Life and Death 52 42.29 2.616 69.23% 0.565 0.2731
Thriving Communities 327 34.87 -3.309 45.26% -0.858 -0.5255
Thriving Crops 73 33.89 -5.757 53.42% -0.681 -0.7673
Unnatural Proliferation 375 38.83 1.334 49.87% 0.01 0.1576
Untended Land Crumbles 314 36.09 -4.455 47.45% -0.96 -0.653

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1786 57.93% 40.36 -0.438 57.39% -0.135 0.7697
B 1944 56.28% 42.61 1.139 59.1% -0.076 0.7527
C 2563 47.29% 43.24 -0.674 61.96% -0.269 0.4114
D 1465 53.99% 39.85 -0.358 54.27% -0.218 0.6357
E 1738 53.34% 43.29 0.096 61.91% -0.27 0.4316
F 1484 54.72% 43.1 1.752 61.66% 0.03 0.811
G 1169 56.85% 42.41 -2.228 60.31% -0.725 0.0462
H 1686 54.03% 43.68 1.343 63.4% -0.054 0.7145
East 248 50.0% 42.29 5.627 38.31% 0.213 1.0753
Northeast 134 45.52% 39.54 0.683 36.57% -0.5 0.2473
Northwest 111 59.46% 42.06 6.949 44.14% 0.538 1.3714
Southeast 107 45.79% 44.85 -0.89 44.86% -0.775 0.0007
Southwest 89 42.7% 37.47 -1.096 39.33% -0.377 0.9422
West 210 54.76% 39.21 -3.651 38.57% -0.886 0.1198

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2 0.0% 37.0 0.0 50.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 43 41.86% 17.79 -11.031 25.58% -1.264 -0.8225
Skip Initial Invader Actions 341 15.54% 74.04 11.03 85.63% 2.109 1.5464
Start of Game Growth 501 28.54% 61.51 8.33 72.85% 0.288 -0.2508
Unlimited Undo 1125 49.42% 39.49 -1.826 55.64% -0.339 -0.2978
Using Tokens but Not Events 447 43.37% 39.46 -7.248 53.91% -1.295 -1.3186

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2764 16.23 8.1%
II 3750 30.54 59.09%
III 2647 34.77 90.14%
IV 1031 38.37 99.52%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.862 Win Model: 0.067
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7330 54.59% 39.61 55.08%
2 1927 55.06% 43.02 61.55%
3 627 46.57% 50.16 69.38%
4 202 54.95% 45.64 61.88%
5 18 61.11% 34.22 55.56%
6 88 46.59% 48.1 67.05%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 223
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2349
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2136
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1010
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1634
Lose: Invader deck ran out 110
Lose: Adversary condition 754
Win: Sacrifice victory 47
Lose: Scenario condition 148
Win: Scenario condition 87
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1627
Lose: Spirit destroyed 67

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2215 41.94% 47.57 1.488 55.62% 0.405 0.3024
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 605 72.4% 37.48 1.419 36.53% 0.533 0.6935
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 1103 57.03% 50.74 4.978 64.01% 0.974 0.1386
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 741 66.8% 36.0 -3.162 38.19% -0.078 -0.2098
Downpour Drenches the World 2493 50.9% 41.77 -4.794 43.8% -0.439 -0.1204
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2864 57.21% 40.46 -0.38 50.87% 0.358 -0.1269
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1294 55.02% 43.17 -2.34 49.15% 0.026 -0.4272
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 840 70.48% 38.39 -1.887 42.98% -0.029 -0.4809
Finder of Paths Unseen 1462 57.52% 39.32 -6.905 43.84% -0.848 -0.1817
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1345 38.29% 44.87 -3.755 43.64% -0.575 0.1032
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1112 69.87% 38.89 -2.64 39.57% -0.118 -0.0563
Heart of the Wildfire 889 80.09% 26.83 -9.111 21.71% -1.47 -1.2099
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6366 47.8% 51.91 4.836 66.38% 1.11 0.7167
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 601 55.41% 36.47 -2.323 40.27% 0.05 -0.3451
Lightning's Swift Strike 395 67.09% 36.0 -1.526 38.48% 0.089 0.3424
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 2181 70.05% 47.3 1.492 55.57% 0.33 -0.2238
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 875 64.6% 47.97 2.883 57.03% 0.438 0.2023
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 849 51.59% 46.62 0.477 51.47% 0.048 -0.2035
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1778 69.11% 33.8 -5.094 31.1% -0.594 -0.9184
Many Minds Move as One 926 47.95% 48.43 -2.341 57.67% 0.184 -0.0163
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3074 55.64% 40.33 -1.742 43.66% 0.255 0.2269
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1188 58.8% 37.42 -2.714 40.91% 0.047 -0.0947
River Surges in Sunlight 646 59.63% 42.52 -1.147 46.28% 0.066 0.1828
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 295 64.29% 26.89 -8.684 21.69% -0.666 -0.3286
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1590 66.69% 46.19 1.937 45.85% 0.417 0.2686
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2475 42.87% 51.27 3.585 56.85% 0.648 0.4802
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 93 73.12% 20.56 -2.365 13.98% -0.17 0.3742
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 117 82.05% 33.03 -7.906 25.64% -0.128 -0.0423
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 429 77.39% 32.88 -3.727 35.2% -0.211 -0.5809
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 234 79.06% 33.29 -8.75 29.91% -0.782 -0.6165
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 127 78.74% 30.83 -2.827 24.41% -0.523 -0.4916
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 445 63.15% 44.26 5.403 42.47% 0.65 0.8203
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 984 58.94% 45.44 -2.524 52.74% -0.005 -0.1003
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 573 53.75% 33.24 -4.463 38.39% -0.264 -0.505
Shifting Memory of Ages 1316 58.17% 40.28 -2.41 39.06% -0.157 0.2215
Shroud of Silent Mist 634 74.61% 30.64 -5.0 27.44% -0.589 -0.2178
Starlight Seeks its Form 4715 50.4% 47.38 3.069 56.39% 0.85 0.6439
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3919 59.12% 45.21 6.283 56.37% 1.557 0.8404
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 628 69.92% 32.07 -9.089 30.89% -1.016 -0.8347
Thunderspeaker 812 58.82% 36.05 -5.301 33.37% -0.475 -0.4609
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 252 65.87% 34.04 -1.712 39.29% 0.248 0.3535
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1961 77.1% 38.88 -2.662 43.35% -0.001 0.1397
Vital Strength of the Earth 183 63.39% 27.64 0.668 22.4% 0.512 1.054
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 877 62.03% 37.44 -5.82 36.83% -0.356 -0.0185
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 112 58.93% 25.34 -6.242 19.64% -0.44 0.2763
Volcano Looming High 2779 68.25% 39.82 -1.444 45.74% 0.191 0.1579
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 993 63.95% 40.78 1.56 44.71% 0.454 0.017

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 27 62.96% 51.3 9.249 55.56% 0.416 0.4674
Blitz 0 294 22.11% 58.3 3.877 61.9% 0.16 0.3603
Dahan Insurrection 4 531 62.83% 44.56 -1.368 14.31% -1.046 -1.2573
Despicable Theft 2 19 63.16% 37.47 -10.731 36.84% -0.647 0.1972
Elemental Invocation 1 111 69.37% 32.44 -11.238 5.41% -0.522 0.549
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2102 41.39% 45.79 4.535 40.49% 0.39 -0.3343
Powers Long Forgotten 1 12 50.0% 29.75 -17.155 33.33% -0.055 0.8506
Rituals of Terror 3 131 53.44% 81.21 28.461 50.38% 1.401 1.4315
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 22 50.0% 33.91 -12.689 18.18% -0.02 1.1682
Second Wave 0 259 67.95% 47.9 6.156 53.67% 0.573 0.6539
The Great River 3 19 42.11% 46.11 5.416 36.84% 0.002 1.3898
Varied Terrains 2 78 55.13% 28.65 -6.138 23.08% -0.821 0.0802
Ward the Shores 2 58 77.59% 33.62 9.488 20.69% -0.112 0.9433

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 34075 60.92% 41.97 0.748 48.77% 0.066 0.097
1 Thematic 665 45.26% 39.41 -4.542 27.82% -1.103 -0.6705
2 Archipelago 81 56.79% 37.74 -11.864 13.58% -0.773 -0.2801
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4035 61.87% 38.7 -2.928 44.24% -0.531 -0.5795
2 Coastline 773 64.07% 43.4 0.638 49.94% -0.13 -0.2307
2 Fragment 79 70.89% 50.09 5.529 62.03% 0.534 0.1213
2 Heart 183 79.78% 43.09 -9.686 33.88% -1.227 -1.3169
2 Opposite Shores 836 59.69% 42.72 -0.35 44.26% -0.284 -0.4634
2 Thematic 136 66.18% 51.33 5.719 31.62% -0.207 -0.0202
2 Top to Top 251 61.75% 41.78 -1.703 47.41% -0.722 -0.9216
3 Archipelago 56 67.86% 56.55 13.289 23.21% 0.351 -0.7698
3 Coastline 10 60.0% 51.8 21.245 70.0% 1.215 0.5535
3 Other 30 43.33% 50.2 5.618 56.67% 0.634 0.3005
3 Round (Default) 2217 56.79% 44.34 1.284 53.13% -0.192 -0.4578
3 Thematic 61 29.51% 78.46 24.433 45.9% 0.285 -0.1616
4 Archipelago 13 61.54% 76.46 -20.267 69.23% -0.464 -1.021
4 Coastline 4 50.0% 85.0 13.248 100.0% 0.558 -0.0606
4 Leaf 16 56.25% 37.69 -7.148 12.5% -0.745 0.1013
4 Other 6 33.33% 53.0 11.779 66.67% 0.798 0.0601
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 94 46.81% 46.93 -0.104 22.34% -0.022 0.181
4 Trapezoid (Default) 844 54.09% 43.64 -1.983 48.22% -0.486 -0.1456
5 Archipelago 12 66.67% 52.0 6.177 25.0% -0.603 -0.6041
5 Coastline 18 0.0% 54.94 0.0 77.78%
5 Other 46 60.0% 55.11 19.948 41.3% 0.42 -0.3008
5 Thematic 9 66.67% 60.56 -5.759 44.44% -0.109 0.0513
6 Archipelago 28 21.43% 62.32 9.792 71.43% -0.024 -0.7389
6 Coastline 29 0.0% 56.1 7.574 79.31% -0.11 -0.5993
6 Other 104 50.96% 52.36 -4.64 60.58% -0.031 0.4094
6 Star 21 38.1% 62.86 15.582 85.71% 0.352 0.6503
6 Thematic 64 62.5% 36.16 -0.919 23.44% -0.254 -0.2284
6 Two Centers (Default) 378 21.16% 55.02 3.38 59.79% -0.448 -0.3502
7 Archipelago 6 16.67% 80.17 16.13 83.33% 0.145 0.6717
7 Other 6 16.67% 10.17 -0.54 0.0% -0.04 -1.456

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1735 41.0 2.02 42.25% 0.159 0.298
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1332 46.3 3.595 50.3% 0.332 0.2727
All Things Weaken 1736 41.73 -0.464 44.41% -0.252 0.1028
Attenuated Essence 766 37.42 0.669 40.86% -0.07 0.0412
Back Against the Wall 1345 43.96 1.202 45.43% -0.141 -0.0648
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 806 36.37 -0.219 38.34% -0.116 0.0947
Burn Brightest Before the End 537 41.01 0.65 41.71% -0.323 -0.2025
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1627 39.17 -2.111 42.66% -0.281 0.0879
Downward Spiral 1810 39.97 0.493 43.76% 0.062 0.2583
Erosion of Will 1685 39.87 -0.173 40.06% -0.237 0.0301
Intensifying Exploitation 797 34.88 -2.163 36.76% -0.408 -0.1377
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 479 47.9 0.877 59.08% 0.24 -0.2707
Memory Fades to Dust 1757 38.2 -1.441 40.18% -0.295 0.0163
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1709 39.11 0.125 40.37% -0.147 0.1478
Promising Farmlands 1717 39.18 -0.685 41.18% -0.127 0.2095
Shattered Fragments of Power 547 41.28 0.149 43.51% -0.24 -0.1311
Slow Dissolution of Will 783 33.8 -0.785 33.97% -0.209 0.1916
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 353 53.83 4.422 74.79% 0.946 0.3325
The Border of Life and Death 173 43.09 1.426 57.23% 0.262 -0.0306
Thriving Communities 1651 37.99 -0.983 38.64% -0.217 0.1158
Thriving Crops 310 47.54 4.142 62.26% 0.632 0.5451
Unnatural Proliferation 1782 43.4 3.486 44.5% 0.277 0.4247
Untended Land Crumbles 1719 39.05 -1.874 40.55% -0.467 -0.1596

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7772 58.16% 41.36 -1.421 46.74% -0.601 0.3039
B 7900 60.76% 41.06 -0.269 45.52% -0.418 0.41
C 10241 58.12% 45.36 2.332 54.07% -0.078 0.6023
D 6800 55.71% 40.31 -1.961 42.75% -0.741 0.1126
E 9282 58.47% 42.84 0.202 49.64% -0.357 0.3438
F 6626 58.02% 42.99 -0.187 49.92% -0.464 0.3174
G 5890 59.1% 43.17 1.253 49.08% -0.153 0.6185
H 5999 57.98% 43.46 0.255 50.63% -0.46 0.3087
East 724 48.2% 45.65 2.118 27.07% -0.335 0.5265
Northeast 402 48.26% 46.44 4.637 24.88% 0.063 0.8099
Northwest 310 57.42% 44.62 -2.73 29.03% -0.792 0.0409
Southeast 203 49.26% 43.06 1.323 32.51% 0.339 1.115
Southwest 183 49.18% 36.0 -7.196 30.05% -1.348 -0.0291
West 603 51.74% 46.21 -1.882 31.51% -0.745 0.261

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 27 0.0% 46.78 -20.264 55.56% -0.394 0.4366
Not Using Events or Tokens 136 56.3% 27.17 -8.469 13.24% -0.956 -0.5154
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1327 16.21% 66.26 8.802 72.12% 0.612 0.0496
Start of Game Growth 2142 22.02% 62.59 6.217 69.42% 0.904 0.3657
Unlimited Undo 5763 46.19% 48.86 2.038 59.36% 0.535 0.5759
Using Tokens but Not Events 1202 58.16% 35.66 -7.05 32.95% -0.892 -0.9159

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 15343 16.23 3.86%
II 10487 30.54 33.66%
III 10868 34.77 84.08%
IV 8557 38.37 99.75%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.247 Win Model: 0.506
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 35041 60.64% 42.02 48.44%
2 6242 62.35% 40.54 44.04%
3 2328 56.14% 44.98 52.66%
4 947 54.44% 44.1 46.15%
5 94 44.09% 49.01 41.49%
6 603 27.86% 54.12 61.69%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 584
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9016
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3420
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8420
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 8458
Lose: Invader deck ran out 526
Lose: Adversary condition 4076
Win: Sacrifice victory 269
Lose: Scenario condition 702
Win: Scenario condition 88
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9272
Lose: Spirit destroyed 424

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-03-13 05:04:05 (Pacific Time)