The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 229 21.4% 25.96 0.654 82.53% 0.152 0.0043
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 145 34.48% 27.47 0.11 84.14% 0.17 0.3003
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 188 22.87% 25.56 -1.381 82.45% -0.064 -0.2085
Downpour Drenches the World 427 22.25% 24.2 -1.289 85.01% -0.028 0.1515
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 153 16.99% 26.24 2.937 82.35% 0.908 0.1429
Eyes Watch From the Trees 235 14.1% 29.76 1.592 87.23% 0.67 0.0808
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 195 23.32% 29.68 1.791 88.72% 0.561 0.0641
Finder of Paths Unseen 189 42.33% 21.28 -2.945 71.43% -0.456 0.2076
Fractured Days Split the Sky 96 17.71% 27.42 -1.591 78.13% -0.512 0.0743
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 190 32.11% 25.46 -1.099 77.37% -0.159 -0.2541
Heart of the Wildfire 150 52.67% 23.1 -3.35 74.67% -0.505 -0.264
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 293 22.87% 29.53 1.52 89.08% 0.598 0.1556
Lightning's Swift Strike 108 30.84% 27.21 1.18 87.96% 0.741 0.9244
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 127 28.35% 28.17 0.887 88.98% 0.04 -0.4469
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 53 22.64% 29.3 2.291 86.79% 0.446 0.2778
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 45 31.11% 32.58 0.165 84.44% -0.079 -0.1925
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 245 24.9% 29.35 1.505 83.67% 0.322 0.1894
Many Minds Move as One 128 21.09% 27.55 -1.794 73.44% -0.401 -0.6221
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 336 38.39% 27.27 0.561 82.14% 0.321 0.2788
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 202 34.16% 26.84 1.073 79.21% 0.575 0.3976
River Surges in Sunlight 122 33.88% 23.88 -0.895 69.67% -0.221 -0.1506
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 80 35.0% 28.77 -1.041 78.75% -0.397 -0.0866
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 154 31.82% 32.24 2.927 88.96% 0.684 0.5703
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 161 25.79% 25.9 0.131 83.23% 0.454 0.2162
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 39 53.85% 23.05 -2.934 71.79% -0.269 0.2604
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 50 30.0% 27.1 -0.018 82.0% -0.126 -0.2015
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 43 39.53% 24.63 -4.254 69.77% -0.793 -0.8986
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 36 33.33% 28.11 -0.98 83.33% -0.218 -0.2365
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 16 43.75% 31.56 7.762 75.0% 0.643 0.8195
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 182 22.78% 28.47 -0.453 83.52% 0.264 0.0744
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 24 20.83% 19.38 -4.61 45.83% -1.266 -1.6472
Shifting Memory of Ages 135 34.07% 23.95 -0.569 77.78% 0.028 0.3816
Shroud of Silent Mist 143 39.86% 20.92 -4.043 65.73% -1.004 -0.7537
Starlight Seeks its Form 451 12.67% 32.35 1.319 92.02% 0.48 0.2188
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 179 18.44% 27.58 0.229 84.36% 0.505 0.0274
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 143 30.99% 23.62 -3.374 70.63% -0.805 -0.7426
Thunderspeaker 266 19.7% 29.03 1.166 85.71% -0.183 -0.2166
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 25 28.0% 22.28 -1.855 64.0% -0.71 -0.7497
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 115 52.17% 24.94 0.424 76.52% 0.552 0.6452
Vital Strength of the Earth 58 32.76% 21.83 -0.641 67.24% -0.27 0.2542
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 118 30.77% 24.12 -2.201 77.12% -0.293 -0.0327
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 28 32.14% 21.82 -0.691 64.29% -0.203 0.5728
Volcano Looming High 195 28.72% 25.76 0.67 81.03% 0.159 0.1159

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 20 15.0% 26.45 3.829 90.0% 0.565 0.3091
Blitz 0 34 17.65% 26.47 -6.592 55.88% -1.213 -1.0154
Dahan Insurrection 4 69 17.39% 44.9 4.885 75.36% -0.774 -1.2162
Despicable Theft 2 22 31.82% 22.59 -2.612 45.45% -0.689 0.123
Elemental Invocation 1 43 23.26% 27.65 -5.499 74.42% -0.59 0.1129
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 101 10.89% 32.6 3.673 82.18% 0.107 -0.5377
Powers Long Forgotten 1 27 40.74% 15.67 -7.406 29.63% -1.793 -1.1576
Rituals of Terror 3 26 30.77% 20.62 -8.753 38.46% -2.08 -1.9793
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 24 62.5% 28.96 -0.585 58.33% -0.876 0.1337
Second Wave 0 101 41.58% 33.97 1.453 73.27% -0.356 -0.2903
The Great River 3 28 46.43% 24.57 -4.938 50.0% -1.338 -0.1211
Varied Terrains 2 56 58.93% 28.27 0.729 60.71% -0.671 -0.0479
Ward the Shores 2 40 35.0% 25.3 -9.215 60.0% -1.933 -0.8485

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 2598 28.7% 27.41 0.999 83.6% 0.634 0.6884
1 Thematic 157 40.13% 27.77 -1.122 65.61% -0.564 -0.0863
2 Archipelago 4 25.0% 22.5 -7.56 25.0% -0.479 -0.375
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 600 29.05% 24.34 -1.039 78.33% 0.192 0.2744
2 Coastline 62 25.81% 26.21 0.131 83.87% 0.28 0.1261
2 Fragment 15 33.33% 27.33 1.01 93.33% 0.457 0.2079
2 Heart 12 25.0% 27.0 -1.377 91.67% 0.37 0.0824
2 Opposite Shores 92 32.61% 26.25 -0.895 83.7% 0.489 0.5115
2 Thematic 75 26.67% 29.11 -1.078 64.0% -0.269 0.1344
2 Top to Top 21 19.05% 23.95 -2.819 76.19% -0.491 -0.6572
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 9.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 4 25.0% 33.75 0.0 75.0%
3 Other 8 37.5% 28.75 7.707 87.5% 0.564 1.1049
3 Round (Default) 349 26.8% 27.97 1.604 85.96% 0.747 0.6314
3 Thematic 14 21.43% 16.14 -8.268 35.71% -1.282 -1.2018
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 51.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -6.943 0.0% -0.349 -0.1174
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 8 87.5% 26.63 3.499 100.0% 0.961 -0.1225
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 27 11.11% 34.93 -0.22 88.89% -0.076 -0.3388
4 Trapezoid (Default) 98 16.33% 23.82 -3.526 78.57% -0.886 -0.9686
5 Other 13 46.15% 31.38 -11.354 92.31% -0.476 -0.7608
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 -8.306 0.0% -0.207 -0.3007
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 35.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 2 0.0% 16.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 3 33.33% 19.0 -9.964 66.67% -0.57 -0.5826
6 Thematic 17 23.53% 44.47 19.718 88.24% 0.756 1.1769
6 Two Centers (Default) 25 16.0% 24.24 -2.241 76.0% -0.375 -0.2708

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 74 22.65 -0.717 64.86% -0.79 -0.5473
Aid From Lesser Spirits 87 24.85 2.473 68.97% 0.376 0.2984
All Things Weaken 84 23.98 0.148 70.24% -0.075 0.3172
Attenuated Essence 11 19.64 -0.003 63.64% 0.12 0.2266
Back Against the Wall 67 23.76 0.525 64.18% -0.003 0.0546
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 17 20.29 -0.45 58.82% 0.185 0.3871
Burn Brightest Before the End 7 22.57 0.495 57.14% -0.153 0.057
Disintegrating Ecosystem 69 18.61 -3.912 60.87% -1.071 -0.6477
Downward Spiral 99 22.32 -1.982 73.74% -0.092 0.1432
Erosion of Will 76 22.13 0.127 63.16% -0.268 0.0414
Intensifying Exploitation 15 21.13 -0.561 66.67% -0.087 0.2002
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 42 28.05 1.507 90.48% 0.883 0.3895
Memory Fades to Dust 106 20.87 -5.493 65.09% -1.141 -0.805
Power Corrodes the Spirit 85 21.88 -0.468 67.06% 0.172 0.3925
Promising Farmlands 61 19.85 -4.187 65.57% -0.709 -0.2553
Shattered Fragments of Power 6 24.83 2.061 83.33% 0.664 0.7147
Slow Dissolution of Will 15 23.6 0.959 66.67% 0.474 0.8737
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 27 26.41 3.666 92.59% 1.135 0.4238
The Border of Life and Death 2 12.5 1.171 50.0% 0.121 -0.2148
Thriving Communities 96 22.59 -0.189 66.67% -0.193 0.1701
Thriving Crops 3 24.67 1.834 66.67% 0.537 0.3393
Unnatural Proliferation 81 24.81 -2.745 64.2% -0.918 -0.7026
Untended Land Crumbles 72 21.1 -0.41 61.11% -0.262 0.0195

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 830 29.92% 26.65 -0.519 82.77% -0.404 0.3358
B 848 26.04% 26.59 -0.712 82.31% -0.473 0.2533
C 845 29.3% 27.35 0.497 84.97% -0.102 0.4799
D 752 25.37% 26.55 -0.439 82.45% -0.47 0.2412
E 732 27.26% 26.41 -0.685 81.69% -0.458 0.1072
F 714 28.33% 26.11 -0.319 81.79% -0.428 0.242
G 629 27.11% 26.18 -0.424 81.72% -0.542 0.11
H 655 27.79% 26.15 0.544 81.22% -0.06 0.5102
East 199 29.15% 31.41 0.018 70.85% -0.269 0.2694
Northeast 105 25.71% 30.9 -0.921 69.52% -0.579 0.056
Northwest 80 25.0% 32.15 0.504 73.75% -0.327 0.4826
Southeast 72 23.61% 32.75 1.331 73.61% 0.006 0.7123
Southwest 72 33.33% 27.01 0.006 63.89% -0.34 0.6498
West 182 30.77% 28.37 1.293 65.93% -0.242 0.6612

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 9 0.0% 26.89 2.461 88.89% 0.554 1.3305
Not Using Events or Tokens 153 18.3% 29.0 5.57 90.2% 1.293 1.6722
Skip Initial Invader Actions 106 16.67% 35.8 0.323 83.02% 0.187 -0.4305
Start of Game Growth 158 18.18% 33.61 0.935 82.91% -0.31 -0.6581
Unlimited Undo 326 23.84% 27.4 -1.033 80.37% -0.341 -0.3481
Using Tokens but Not Events 371 22.93% 26.68 0.65 80.86% 0.043 0.0328

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 510 20.4 15.29%
II 1196 31.01 80.52%
III 1726 34.76 94.26%
IV 783 38.07 99.23%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.097 Win Model: 0.308
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2804 29.41% 27.4 81.95%
2 849 28.89% 25.15 79.39%
3 364 25.97% 27.7 85.44%
4 136 18.38% 26.09 81.62%
5 13 46.15% 31.38 92.31%
6 49 18.37% 31.06 79.59%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 78
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1590
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 912
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 772
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 327
Lose: Invader deck ran out 22
Lose: Adversary condition 109
Win: Sacrifice victory 18
Lose: Scenario condition 25
Win: Scenario condition 75
Lose: Blight pool ran out 260
Lose: Spirit destroyed 27

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 194 24.61% 31.93 0.919 73.2% 0.146 -0.0018
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 107 50.0% 29.93 -0.102 71.03% -0.039 0.0914
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 129 37.98% 31.36 1.349 74.42% 0.373 0.2287
Downpour Drenches the World 389 25.39% 28.22 -0.786 65.81% -0.574 -0.395
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 195 15.26% 30.96 3.911 72.31% 0.894 0.1289
Eyes Watch From the Trees 216 23.61% 33.06 1.589 77.31% 0.284 -0.3049
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 156 29.49% 32.85 2.505 75.0% 0.548 0.0514
Finder of Paths Unseen 189 40.86% 25.15 -4.956 61.9% -1.142 -0.4775
Fractured Days Split the Sky 83 26.51% 29.95 -2.914 59.04% -0.998 -0.4121
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 235 41.28% 32.02 -0.624 69.79% -0.218 -0.3129
Heart of the Wildfire 121 62.81% 27.14 -1.093 64.46% 0.087 0.3282
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 262 29.5% 33.13 0.798 77.1% 0.211 -0.2307
Lightning's Swift Strike 64 48.44% 30.39 -0.032 71.88% 0.084 0.2666
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 105 36.89% 34.58 2.901 81.9% 0.51 0.0229
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 41 42.5% 30.07 -3.892 63.41% -1.034 -1.2019
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 61 19.67% 34.16 0.216 80.33% 0.064 -0.0496
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 191 38.74% 31.23 -0.736 69.11% -0.222 -0.3541
Many Minds Move as One 140 35.97% 29.6 -0.107 62.86% -0.119 -0.3399
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 378 37.87% 31.65 1.229 71.96% 0.054 0.0121
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 154 33.12% 30.27 0.356 72.08% 0.118 -0.0599
River Surges in Sunlight 105 33.65% 31.83 3.303 73.33% 0.641 0.711
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 59 32.2% 34.34 1.31 72.88% 0.055 0.3654
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 166 30.49% 35.61 2.24 80.12% 0.317 0.2034
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 125 30.65% 27.65 -2.851 60.8% -0.663 -0.9001
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 35 44.12% 24.31 -0.808 62.86% -0.214 0.3159
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 47 40.43% 30.17 -3.241 68.09% -0.525 -0.6003
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 54 37.04% 28.8 1.937 62.96% 0.477 0.3708
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 26 34.62% 29.15 4.506 65.38% 0.636 0.618
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 21 38.1% 30.86 2.658 71.43% 0.378 0.5546
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 163 33.95% 32.07 -1.553 76.69% -0.19 -0.3799
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 46 45.65% 32.2 3.149 67.39% 0.372 -0.0091
Shifting Memory of Ages 145 41.55% 26.73 -2.525 58.62% -0.561 -0.2081
Shroud of Silent Mist 106 44.34% 25.24 -2.439 57.55% -0.337 -0.0869
Starlight Seeks its Form 158 33.54% 31.17 0.036 72.15% 0.124 -0.1371
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 191 28.95% 30.52 0.988 71.2% 0.562 0.0848
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 102 36.63% 28.24 -0.515 65.69% -0.053 0.0097
Thunderspeaker 124 34.15% 31.85 1.785 75.0% 0.7 0.6655
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 37 40.54% 23.03 -0.467 56.76% 0.044 0.0046
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 102 58.82% 26.78 -0.261 65.69% 0.027 0.1203
Vital Strength of the Earth 58 27.59% 24.97 -0.962 60.34% -0.005 0.5193
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 110 32.11% 27.44 0.447 63.64% 0.04 0.3005
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 20 25.0% 25.5 -2.407 55.0% -0.48 0.2965
Volcano Looming High 152 36.18% 29.14 -0.328 72.37% 0.007 -0.0356

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 15 26.67% 23.33 -2.525 60.0% 0.267 0.0118
Blitz 0 38 31.58% 24.26 -3.817 52.63% -0.567 -0.3694
Dahan Insurrection 4 41 31.71% 50.39 10.408 68.29% -0.118 -0.5603
Despicable Theft 2 30 46.67% 29.2 -6.937 40.0% -1.121 -0.3089
Elemental Invocation 1 33 33.33% 26.52 -7.236 57.58% -1.336 -0.633
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 91 10.99% 33.01 2.197 64.84% -0.007 -0.6515
Powers Long Forgotten 1 16 37.5% 28.0 -5.499 43.75% -1.25 -0.6144
Rituals of Terror 3 5 40.0% 30.2 -5.414 40.0% -0.924 -0.8227
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 5 60.0% 32.8 -12.139 60.0% -0.622 0.3874
Second Wave 0 239 37.39% 35.01 3.341 73.22% 0.347 0.413
The Great River 3 5 40.0% 28.8 1.748 40.0% -0.344 0.8732
Varied Terrains 2 47 44.68% 25.49 -1.282 42.55% -0.958 -0.3349
Ward the Shores 2 41 60.98% 20.32 -7.225 24.39% -1.918 -0.8334

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 2168 35.77% 30.64 0.425 71.68% 0.364 0.4178
1 Thematic 168 34.52% 27.16 -3.773 51.79% -0.56 -0.0826
2 Archipelago 1 100.0% 65.0 0.0 100.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 542 35.42% 29.44 0.236 69.19% 0.366 0.4484
2 Coastline 85 32.14% 29.47 1.901 75.29% 0.781 0.6268
2 Fragment 21 23.81% 21.81 -6.664 42.86% -1.648 -1.8971
2 Heart 13 61.54% 29.62 3.306 53.85% -0.212 -0.4997
2 Opposite Shores 107 30.84% 29.73 0.15 70.09% 0.161 0.1842
2 Thematic 70 37.14% 27.61 -1.492 51.43% -0.329 0.0742
2 Top to Top 19 42.11% 26.89 -0.156 47.37% 0.2 0.0342
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 45.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 5 80.0% 33.4 3.475 100.0% 0.373 -0.141
3 Other 5 40.0% 20.0 6.595 40.0% 0.393 0.9338
3 Round (Default) 282 35.13% 32.37 1.203 76.6% 0.417 0.3014
3 Thematic 7 85.71% 26.86 7.382 42.86% 0.406 0.4861
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 35.0 7.038 0.0% -0.071 0.1605
4 Leaf 3 33.33% 44.0 11.981 100.0% 0.593 0.2496
4 Thematic 10 20.0% 31.8 0.902 40.0% -0.199 -0.4611
4 Trapezoid (Default) 74 31.08% 28.42 -0.557 71.62% 0.015 -0.0672
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 34.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 17 29.41% 34.65 1.972 76.47% 0.212 -0.0725
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 17.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -16.114 0.0% -0.585 -1.3855
6 Other 4 0.0% 32.25 -2.082 50.0% -0.556 -0.7888
6 Thematic 18 6.67% 35.44 0.636 72.22% -0.218 0.2028
6 Two Centers (Default) 9 33.33% 22.67 -2.454 44.44% -0.514 -0.4098
7 Other 1 0.0% 62.0 7.89 100.0% 0.038 -0.5749

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 86 29.77 0.314 66.28% -0.523 -0.2808
Aid From Lesser Spirits 56 28.84 4.013 57.14% 0.454 0.3761
All Things Weaken 80 27.63 -1.268 65.0% -0.1 0.2923
Attenuated Essence 21 22.76 -0.817 47.62% -0.099 0.0074
Back Against the Wall 83 25.96 1.216 56.63% 0.211 0.2688
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 14 23.29 -0.276 35.71% -0.587 -0.3852
Burn Brightest Before the End 9 23.78 -0.175 55.56% -0.049 0.1611
Disintegrating Ecosystem 79 27.19 0.363 64.56% 0.37 0.7935
Downward Spiral 107 26.64 0.939 65.42% 0.465 0.7008
Erosion of Will 74 25.55 1.227 55.41% -0.044 0.2656
Intensifying Exploitation 10 23.3 -2.637 50.0% -0.422 -0.1341
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 47 30.51 2.22 78.72% 0.749 0.2552
Memory Fades to Dust 90 25.42 -2.325 56.67% -0.378 -0.0417
Power Corrodes the Spirit 85 27.74 -2.196 65.88% -0.543 -0.3228
Promising Farmlands 101 25.18 0.078 55.45% -0.034 0.4191
Shattered Fragments of Power 18 23.5 -1.801 55.56% -0.608 -0.5569
Slow Dissolution of Will 14 22.29 0.211 35.71% -0.235 0.1645
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 32 30.31 1.357 81.25% 0.11 -0.6005
The Border of Life and Death 1 43.0 7.01 100.0% 0.151 -0.1843
Thriving Communities 81 26.14 -2.556 62.96% -0.055 0.3075
Thriving Crops 5 19.4 -0.243 40.0% -0.063 -0.2613
Unnatural Proliferation 92 26.21 -2.476 51.09% -0.921 -0.7055
Untended Land Crumbles 94 25.24 3.76 55.32% 0.765 1.0471

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 684 34.7% 30.08 -0.372 69.59% -0.292 0.4478
B 733 34.79% 30.73 1.158 71.62% 0.105 0.8305
C 739 33.24% 31.37 0.611 73.88% -0.137 0.4458
D 678 32.79% 29.59 0.246 68.73% -0.186 0.5252
E 632 33.54% 31.01 0.973 73.42% 0.025 0.5904
F 586 35.73% 29.89 0.102 70.82% 0.011 0.6812
G 541 38.85% 29.18 -0.864 67.47% -0.586 0.0661
H 539 37.73% 31.08 1.045 72.91% 0.087 0.658
East 178 33.14% 29.58 0.721 54.49% 0.341 0.8798
Northeast 92 37.08% 28.7 -1.925 50.0% -0.635 -0.0002
Northwest 70 31.34% 31.34 0.114 61.43% -0.137 0.6724
Southeast 62 25.42% 31.29 -2.213 62.9% 0.005 0.7105
Southwest 65 32.26% 26.46 -3.618 52.31% -0.799 0.1913
West 167 34.15% 27.05 -2.731 50.9% -0.878 0.0255

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 14 0.0% 28.21 -5.019 64.29% -0.341 0.4349
Not Using Events or Tokens 36 20.0% 25.0 -2.245 55.56% -0.64 -0.2612
Skip Initial Invader Actions 109 6.73% 41.67 6.439 88.99% 1.06 0.4427
Start of Game Growth 157 13.82% 38.63 1.032 80.25% -0.192 -0.5405
Unlimited Undo 328 30.34% 32.05 -2.603 73.17% -0.696 -0.7029
Using Tokens but Not Events 321 24.35% 32.24 1.458 74.77% 0.514 0.5038

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 595 20.4 4.54%
II 803 31.01 51.43%
III 1366 34.76 90.19%
IV 872 38.07 99.43%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.497 Win Model: 0.379
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2363 35.95% 30.29 69.83%
2 843 34.56% 29.47 68.21%
3 292 36.33% 31.85 75.34%
4 86 29.07% 29.91 69.77%
5 19 31.58% 32.79 73.68%
6 33 16.67% 31.82 60.61%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 27
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1206
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 398
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 858
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 313
Lose: Invader deck ran out 11
Lose: Adversary condition 435
Win: Sacrifice victory 12
Lose: Scenario condition 25
Win: Scenario condition 38
Lose: Blight pool ran out 306
Lose: Spirit destroyed 7

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 270 31.34% 33.55 0.364 72.96% 0.388 0.2406
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 135 51.85% 31.38 -3.487 65.19% -0.884 -0.7533
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 169 38.46% 35.08 1.272 78.7% 0.509 0.3638
Downpour Drenches the World 434 31.55% 31.43 -2.574 65.44% -0.529 -0.3501
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 270 26.67% 33.3 2.593 74.07% 0.635 -0.1301
Eyes Watch From the Trees 290 41.03% 34.27 1.434 66.9% 0.259 -0.3293
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 164 40.85% 35.48 1.114 77.44% 0.323 -0.1735
Finder of Paths Unseen 244 48.36% 32.1 -0.3 73.77% 0.17 0.8345
Fractured Days Split the Sky 89 40.45% 31.08 -4.765 58.43% -1.356 -0.7701
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 173 52.91% 28.98 -1.138 54.34% -0.312 -0.4068
Heart of the Wildfire 149 70.47% 30.64 0.378 67.79% 0.095 0.3368
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 357 31.46% 37.25 1.759 78.71% 0.648 0.2063
Lightning's Swift Strike 77 54.55% 32.94 -0.082 67.53% -0.206 -0.0232
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 177 45.29% 37.63 2.075 81.36% 0.31 -0.1764
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 64 40.63% 36.42 0.635 76.56% -0.045 -0.2132
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 55 29.09% 35.47 0.312 72.73% -0.196 -0.3089
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 235 46.38% 32.98 -1.358 69.36% -0.17 -0.3022
Many Minds Move as One 166 26.51% 34.85 1.39 72.29% 0.125 -0.0968
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 446 37.16% 33.95 -0.057 72.87% 0.264 0.2219
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 200 44.5% 31.04 0.135 60.5% 0.196 0.0183
River Surges in Sunlight 117 40.17% 37.6 3.171 79.49% 0.552 0.6225
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 71 39.44% 35.24 -4.686 69.01% -0.857 -0.5468
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 191 39.68% 40.34 3.587 84.82% 1.094 0.9809
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 157 33.12% 32.07 -0.78 66.88% -0.233 -0.4705
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 21 57.14% 19.19 -7.511 33.33% -0.926 -0.3961
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 40 57.5% 38.15 4.582 82.5% 0.684 0.6092
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 50 60.0% 32.64 2.152 64.0% 0.12 0.0143
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 21 38.1% 33.62 0.85 71.43% -0.026 -0.0446
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 14 78.57% 27.29 -4.513 57.14% -0.603 -0.4264
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 137 39.1% 34.75 1.99 75.18% 0.574 0.3839
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 80 38.75% 32.46 1.814 75.0% 0.628 0.2468
Shifting Memory of Ages 177 46.89% 28.5 -2.903 58.76% -0.405 -0.0517
Shroud of Silent Mist 120 65.83% 29.13 -0.319 59.17% -0.098 0.1521
Starlight Seeks its Form 254 31.89% 33.34 -0.595 71.65% -0.001 -0.2618
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 225 25.56% 34.32 0.555 79.56% 0.188 -0.2894
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 156 57.69% 29.54 -1.699 52.56% -0.466 -0.4031
Thunderspeaker 133 46.97% 34.2 1.189 73.68% 0.679 0.6448
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 46 32.61% 31.09 1.708 69.57% 0.345 0.3061
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 130 71.54% 28.88 -0.352 65.38% 0.185 0.2786
Vital Strength of the Earth 56 29.09% 21.02 -6.25 37.5% -1.106 -0.581
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 135 38.93% 30.26 -2.044 62.96% -0.505 -0.245
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 28 35.71% 29.21 -1.335 60.71% -0.5 0.2758
Volcano Looming High 266 48.87% 31.29 1.89 68.42% 0.651 0.6077

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 15 6.67% 32.6 -6.063 73.33% -0.793 -1.049
Blitz 0 46 23.91% 39.89 -2.561 67.39% -0.723 -0.5257
Dahan Insurrection 4 44 43.18% 39.93 3.677 43.18% -0.442 -0.8846
Despicable Theft 2 30 56.67% 26.9 -0.753 16.67% -0.054 0.7584
Elemental Invocation 1 31 61.29% 25.42 -1.44 48.39% 0.041 0.7435
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 145 14.48% 36.74 3.274 64.14% 0.317 -0.3274
Powers Long Forgotten 1 16 31.25% 12.0 -9.487 18.75% -1.388 -0.7531
Rituals of Terror 3 7 71.43% 41.0 -8.463 71.43% -0.129 -0.0279
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 5 60.0% 22.4 0.0 20.0%
Second Wave 0 179 35.23% 36.45 1.55 68.72% -0.073 -0.0067
The Great River 3 7 28.57% 22.71 -7.087 28.57% -0.896 0.3214
Varied Terrains 2 50 62.0% 26.44 -3.997 36.0% -1.078 -0.4545
Ward the Shores 2 20 45.0% 34.45 2.598 50.0% 0.201 1.2853

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 2603 41.98% 32.57 0.122 68.61% 0.297 0.3516
1 Thematic 152 38.82% 26.89 -2.66 41.45% -0.487 -0.0092
2 Archipelago 8 87.5% 36.0 6.045 50.0% 0.587 0.6914
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 704 43.67% 32.96 0.054 70.45% 0.203 0.2846
2 Coastline 112 35.71% 36.75 2.664 84.82% 0.652 0.4981
2 Fragment 21 38.1% 32.24 -3.111 66.67% -0.286 -0.5354
2 Heart 16 56.25% 20.44 -6.496 31.25% -0.364 -0.6512
2 Opposite Shores 151 47.68% 33.31 -0.554 74.83% 0.072 0.0951
2 Thematic 64 34.38% 31.08 -2.971 51.56% -0.636 -0.2329
2 Top to Top 32 37.5% 36.31 6.365 84.38% 1.138 0.9713
3 Archipelago 4 25.0% 38.5 1.035 50.0% -0.304 -1.853
3 Coastline 5 20.0% 30.6 -12.287 60.0% -0.25 -0.7639
3 Other 3 0.0% 21.67 -2.384 33.33% 0.028 0.5688
3 Round (Default) 306 36.91% 34.25 0.2 74.84% 0.151 0.0352
3 Thematic 13 30.77% 34.77 -1.265 69.23% -0.181 -0.1012
4 Archipelago 5 60.0% 26.6 -11.174 60.0% -0.582 -1.2568
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 35.0 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 40.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 2 50.0% 0.0 -6.539 0.0% -0.467 -1.5511
4 Thematic 22 40.91% 32.91 3.693 45.45% 0.197 -0.0658
4 Trapezoid (Default) 103 32.04% 34.63 1.582 80.58% 0.516 0.4332
5 Coastline 3 100.0% 27.67 0.0 66.67%
5 Other 18 38.89% 32.5 -0.121 72.22% -0.532 -0.8171
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 56.0 7.136 100.0% 0.032 0.1835
6 Other 5 60.0% 30.4 0.0 40.0%
6 Star 2 100.0% 39.5 1.563 100.0% 0.05 0.0373
6 Thematic 17 52.94% 33.53 0.767 58.82% -0.065 0.3556
6 Two Centers (Default) 7 42.86% 39.29 4.185 85.71% 0.153 0.2576
7 Other 2 0.0% 52.0 9.46 100.0% 0.068 -0.545

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 118 29.51 2.746 60.17% 0.894 1.1365
Aid From Lesser Spirits 101 32.67 2.406 76.24% 0.715 0.6371
All Things Weaken 142 28.47 0.023 57.04% -0.147 0.2454
Attenuated Essence 30 26.9 -0.683 53.33% -0.286 -0.1787
Back Against the Wall 92 30.2 -1.968 54.35% -0.665 -0.6071
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 19 22.89 -0.364 42.11% 0.036 0.2377
Burn Brightest Before the End 16 35.25 4.964 62.5% 0.612 0.8228
Disintegrating Ecosystem 108 31.19 0.846 70.37% 0.427 0.8509
Downward Spiral 136 27.3 -1.636 56.62% -0.434 -0.1984
Erosion of Will 103 28.98 -1.145 55.34% -0.49 -0.1805
Intensifying Exploitation 25 27.64 -0.063 60.0% 0.201 0.488
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 55 39.29 4.606 90.91% 1.121 0.6276
Memory Fades to Dust 119 30.92 3.456 65.55% 0.761 1.0973
Power Corrodes the Spirit 127 30.51 1.479 63.78% 0.147 0.3672
Promising Farmlands 139 28.85 -1.507 64.03% -0.334 0.119
Shattered Fragments of Power 16 29.25 -0.688 56.25% -0.521 -0.4701
Slow Dissolution of Will 14 35.07 0.796 71.43% -0.181 0.2178
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 38 32.08 2.939 71.05% 0.855 0.1446
The Border of Life and Death 9 32.56 2.134 66.67% 0.487 0.1514
Thriving Communities 141 29.28 1.239 60.28% 0.706 1.0692
Thriving Crops 14 30.43 2.486 64.29% 0.371 0.1731
Unnatural Proliferation 139 29.94 0.623 61.87% 0.055 0.2701
Untended Land Crumbles 122 26.96 1.07 53.28% 0.419 0.7006

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 906 41.44% 33.92 1.241 71.85% 0.233 0.9729
B 867 40.3% 33.1 0.158 71.74% 0.05 0.7762
C 992 40.3% 33.43 0.09 72.98% 0.017 0.5997
D 766 37.81% 31.84 -0.996 67.49% -0.276 0.435
E 801 43.38% 32.71 -0.101 67.92% -0.05 0.515
F 748 43.78% 33.51 1.034 73.26% 0.101 0.7716
G 641 43.75% 32.97 0.283 71.45% 0.067 0.7185
H 590 39.73% 34.43 0.975 75.76% 0.124 0.6941
East 172 37.21% 28.06 -0.9 43.6% -0.621 -0.0825
Northeast 81 37.04% 30.28 1.931 43.21% 0.096 0.7305
Northwest 74 33.78% 34.22 0.585 60.81% 0.123 0.9323
Southeast 73 35.62% 27.38 -5.722 47.95% -0.957 -0.2517
Southwest 68 44.12% 31.25 -1.908 52.94% -0.357 0.6326
West 179 41.34% 31.73 -0.456 53.63% -0.19 0.7135

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 13 0.0% 42.38 0.0 92.31%
Not Using Events or Tokens 52 25.0% 24.13 -3.994 46.15% -0.949 -0.5696
Skip Initial Invader Actions 99 21.11% 43.07 3.247 73.74% 0.676 0.0586
Start of Game Growth 115 16.98% 43.43 2.863 77.39% 0.309 -0.0393
Unlimited Undo 537 39.59% 32.23 -2.381 65.36% -0.609 -0.6151
Using Tokens but Not Events 388 35.2% 32.28 -0.413 68.3% -0.237 -0.2477

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 820 20.4 1.34%
II 962 31.01 57.59%
III 1542 34.76 90.99%
IV 1068 38.07 98.88%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.363 Win Model: 0.201
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2783 42.03% 32.29 67.19%
2 1089 42.83% 33.19 71.17%
3 334 35.58% 33.85 73.05%
4 137 36.5% 33.65 72.99%
5 16 43.75% 34.63 75.0%
6 33 48.48% 36.73 69.7%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 11
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1377
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 537
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1043
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 383
Lose: Invader deck ran out 17
Lose: Adversary condition 524
Win: Sacrifice victory 27
Lose: Scenario condition 36
Win: Scenario condition 29
Lose: Blight pool ran out 376
Lose: Spirit destroyed 32

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 344 23.75% 43.46 1.546 75.0% 0.328 0.1797
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 197 60.41% 38.78 -0.456 65.48% 0.21 0.3403
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 226 41.78% 42.15 1.179 75.66% 0.309 0.1648
Downpour Drenches the World 586 32.08% 39.27 -3.559 67.92% -0.621 -0.4413
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 495 30.3% 42.34 3.93 77.37% 0.782 0.0174
Eyes Watch From the Trees 346 29.28% 47.15 3.248 84.1% 0.577 -0.0119
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 266 38.72% 44.84 1.687 80.08% 0.566 0.0697
Finder of Paths Unseen 333 51.06% 36.98 -3.994 64.86% -0.591 0.0726
Fractured Days Split the Sky 157 39.47% 44.17 -2.191 66.88% -0.433 0.1527
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 275 54.55% 37.26 -3.53 64.36% -0.551 -0.6453
Heart of the Wildfire 220 68.64% 34.08 -5.578 57.73% -1.012 -0.7704
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 651 33.54% 44.72 3.682 77.57% 0.81 0.3677
Lightning's Swift Strike 108 59.05% 38.83 -4.11 66.67% -0.722 -0.5394
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 345 42.64% 46.53 3.541 78.84% 0.485 -0.0016
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 99 48.48% 44.98 3.645 80.81% 0.748 0.58
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 105 38.1% 47.7 4.394 81.9% 0.829 0.7153
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 411 48.78% 38.95 -2.431 65.94% -0.528 -0.6601
Many Minds Move as One 198 33.33% 42.09 -1.304 75.76% -0.117 -0.338
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 717 46.45% 42.32 0.213 74.9% 0.2 0.1576
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 255 40.0% 43.77 4.568 79.61% 0.931 0.7528
River Surges in Sunlight 152 38.0% 48.6 3.357 85.53% 0.654 0.7238
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 82 32.93% 36.73 -3.859 60.98% -0.192 0.118
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 340 41.59% 49.46 1.696 82.94% 0.172 0.059
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 321 34.27% 40.9 1.076 71.96% 0.392 0.1549
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 22 77.27% 28.23 -6.533 40.91% -0.377 0.153
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 61 65.57% 36.98 -1.854 60.66% -0.078 -0.1535
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 93 62.37% 38.82 -1.668 65.59% -0.326 -0.4314
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 47 68.09% 30.11 -5.805 42.55% -1.009 -1.0275
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 14 71.43% 35.36 0.901 57.14% 0.252 0.429
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 265 41.06% 44.17 -1.467 75.09% -0.186 -0.3756
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 97 36.08% 38.18 0.605 69.07% 0.273 -0.1081
Shifting Memory of Ages 248 49.8% 38.51 -1.134 64.11% -0.228 0.1257
Shroud of Silent Mist 197 64.1% 35.88 -3.822 61.42% -0.593 -0.3433
Starlight Seeks its Form 533 40.15% 40.46 -1.295 69.79% -0.309 -0.57
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 360 26.46% 42.76 3.017 77.5% 0.889 0.4117
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 163 54.32% 37.85 -0.889 64.42% -0.26 -0.1973
Thunderspeaker 185 46.67% 45.88 -0.586 72.97% -0.338 -0.3716
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 83 33.73% 33.99 -0.731 60.24% -0.064 -0.1036
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 281 72.6% 35.19 -2.438 63.7% -0.284 -0.1913
Vital Strength of the Earth 39 23.68% 31.36 -4.254 53.85% -0.698 -0.1734
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 257 40.16% 36.93 -2.153 61.48% -0.321 -0.0607
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 31 38.71% 39.29 1.522 74.19% 0.263 1.0392
Volcano Looming High 430 57.44% 40.34 0.492 75.35% 0.296 0.2527

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 37.5% 33.13 -17.32 62.5% -0.187 -0.4424
Blitz 0 44 45.45% 34.41 -4.026 54.55% -0.304 -0.1065
Dahan Insurrection 4 34 38.24% 65.12 15.471 61.76% 0.965 0.5225
Despicable Theft 2 8 50.0% 32.38 -0.997 37.5% 0.014 0.8266
Elemental Invocation 1 23 43.48% 33.91 -13.442 56.52% -0.782 -0.079
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 224 17.41% 43.5 2.358 62.5% -0.145 -0.79
Powers Long Forgotten 1 13 46.15% 40.23 -5.925 61.54% -0.564 0.0713
Rituals of Terror 3 8 25.0% 39.0 -15.302 50.0% -0.917 -0.8156
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 3 100.0% 33.33 0.0 33.33%
Second Wave 0 143 37.59% 45.12 6.325 69.23% 0.407 0.4736
The Great River 3 15 46.67% 31.93 -2.605 26.67% 0.011 1.228
Varied Terrains 2 20 70.0% 40.3 2.053 50.0% 0.095 0.7179
Ward the Shores 2 15 60.0% 43.47 7.584 60.0% 0.674 1.758

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4052 46.39% 40.62 0.37 71.45% -0.037 0.0172
1 Thematic 111 53.15% 38.01 -4.366 52.25% -0.912 -0.434
2 Archipelago 13 30.77% 35.92 -2.044 53.85% 0.203 0.3073
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1088 41.91% 40.42 -1.076 73.71% -0.366 -0.2836
2 Coastline 134 40.3% 44.25 0.395 78.36% -0.244 -0.3982
2 Fragment 20 50.0% 35.95 -0.183 60.0% -0.104 -0.3535
2 Heart 15 46.67% 48.53 4.775 93.33% 0.352 0.0647
2 Opposite Shores 203 41.87% 39.89 -0.279 71.43% -0.271 -0.248
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -13.759 0.0% -0.298 0.5254
2 Thematic 39 51.28% 43.44 5.445 64.1% 0.286 0.6898
2 Top to Top 54 55.56% 43.8 2.875 85.19% 0.775 0.6091
3 Archipelago 4 100.0% 22.75 -15.47 25.0% -0.302 -1.8514
3 Coastline 1 0.0% 51.0 8.359 100.0% 0.438 -0.0753
3 Other 14 28.57% 33.21 -3.162 50.0% -0.432 0.1089
3 Round (Default) 499 40.62% 42.28 -0.3 72.14% -0.399 -0.5147
3 Thematic 11 27.27% 51.91 2.98 72.73% 0.161 0.2415
4 Archipelago 2 100.0% 54.0 7.178 100.0% 0.108 -0.5664
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 37.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 7 57.14% 34.0 -1.581 71.43% -0.427 -1.5113
4 Thematic 32 50.0% 47.53 7.639 65.63% 0.412 0.1493
4 Trapezoid (Default) 230 42.29% 44.77 1.921 76.96% -0.193 -0.2758
5 Other 18 38.89% 48.22 5.572 94.44% 1.052 0.767
5 Thematic 7 42.86% 59.29 8.909 42.86% 0.034 -0.0598
6 Other 8 50.0% 44.88 12.268 75.0% 0.998 0.7655
6 Star 3 66.67% 19.0 -14.864 33.33% -0.861 -0.8741
6 Thematic 40 17.5% 40.13 -4.096 50.0% -0.721 -0.3007
6 Two Centers (Default) 42 21.43% 39.9 -0.152 73.81% -0.523 -0.4187

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 208 40.48 3.395 72.12% 0.681 0.9234
Aid From Lesser Spirits 142 41.75 1.371 70.42% 0.119 0.0413
All Things Weaken 205 36.74 -4.058 61.95% -0.873 -0.4804
Attenuated Essence 28 30.86 -3.874 53.57% -0.547 -0.4403
Back Against the Wall 159 38.87 -1.587 64.15% -0.764 -0.7061
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 33 31.24 -1.334 48.48% -0.339 -0.1372
Burn Brightest Before the End 25 36.68 1.882 60.0% 0.167 0.3778
Disintegrating Ecosystem 205 34.79 -1.64 61.95% -0.201 0.2224
Downward Spiral 197 37.96 0.346 67.51% 0.367 0.6022
Erosion of Will 205 36.54 0.764 60.0% 0.007 0.3166
Intensifying Exploitation 26 35.81 5.039 69.23% 1.554 1.8413
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 110 43.32 1.868 82.73% 0.569 0.075
Memory Fades to Dust 216 35.45 -2.413 60.19% -0.428 -0.0911
Power Corrodes the Spirit 196 36.22 -4.57 65.31% -0.758 -0.5378
Promising Farmlands 213 36.55 -1.499 62.44% -0.39 0.0629
Shattered Fragments of Power 26 34.31 -0.177 57.69% 0.042 0.0933
Slow Dissolution of Will 34 36.59 2.93 55.88% 0.418 0.8168
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 65 42.97 -1.517 81.54% 0.026 -0.6844
The Border of Life and Death 4 46.25 4.676 100.0% 0.714 0.3787
Thriving Communities 232 35.07 -1.073 59.48% -0.129 0.2342
Thriving Crops 17 35.18 -3.29 64.71% -0.622 -0.8195
Unnatural Proliferation 216 38.96 -0.366 67.59% -0.09 0.1249
Untended Land Crumbles 207 36.19 -0.992 63.29% -0.106 0.1753

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1402 45.7% 40.46 -0.091 70.97% 0.015 0.7552
B 1414 43.32% 41.74 1.54 74.61% 0.417 1.1426
C 1554 42.09% 41.16 -0.927 72.07% -0.302 0.2801
D 1179 44.54% 39.75 -0.367 68.96% -0.144 0.567
E 1260 42.81% 42.8 1.151 76.27% 0.137 0.7026
F 1106 43.25% 40.94 0.065 72.06% 0.013 0.6835
G 1113 43.95% 40.7 -0.117 71.79% -0.055 0.5967
H 993 40.75% 42.53 0.091 76.94% 0.024 0.5947
East 169 43.79% 40.86 -0.55 50.89% -0.526 0.0133
Northeast 111 36.94% 41.2 -2.501 48.65% -0.586 0.0486
Northwest 94 32.98% 44.15 0.347 58.51% -0.1 0.7088
Southeast 89 39.33% 44.0 -2.152 57.3% -0.59 0.1161
Southwest 89 37.08% 41.62 -3.173 59.55% -0.826 0.1638
West 171 40.35% 44.82 1.896 61.99% 0.262 1.1652

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 27 0.0% 47.3 -7.586 77.78% -0.334 0.4417
Not Using Events or Tokens 29 27.59% 36.24 -6.796 51.72% -0.565 -0.1863
Skip Initial Invader Actions 99 11.76% 45.48 0.492 73.74% 0.011 -0.6065
Start of Game Growth 159 11.27% 46.35 0.644 74.21% 0.108 -0.2407
Unlimited Undo 612 41.9% 42.79 0.749 75.49% 0.099 0.092
Using Tokens but Not Events 378 31.91% 41.1 -0.815 69.84% -0.188 -0.1988

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 981 20.4 2.65%
II 1696 31.01 59.14%
III 2769 34.76 91.73%
IV 1221 38.07 99.75%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.175 Win Model: 0.128
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4200 46.63% 40.57 71.0%
2 1562 42.64% 40.83 73.62%
3 514 39.6% 42.23 72.18%
4 277 43.8% 44.78 75.09%
5 23 43.48% 53.48 82.61%
6 91 23.08% 39.41 62.64%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 26
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2494
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 986
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1207
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 471
Lose: Invader deck ran out 39
Lose: Adversary condition 654
Win: Sacrifice victory 44
Lose: Scenario condition 59
Win: Scenario condition 30
Lose: Blight pool ran out 618
Lose: Spirit destroyed 39

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 259 34.75% 43.8 1.255 68.34% 0.271 0.1235
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 145 68.28% 36.71 -1.978 52.41% -0.336 -0.2049
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 183 62.84% 40.51 -0.618 66.67% -0.004 -0.1489
Downpour Drenches the World 439 44.42% 39.69 0.09 61.5% 0.168 0.3476
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 415 41.2% 41.81 3.512 74.22% 1.019 0.2542
Eyes Watch From the Trees 265 44.15% 45.89 2.219 76.98% 0.663 0.0745
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 171 47.95% 43.67 1.314 73.68% 0.235 -0.2614
Finder of Paths Unseen 223 56.95% 38.5 -3.097 62.78% -0.434 0.2298
Fractured Days Split the Sky 155 37.42% 33.12 -1.104 45.16% -0.08 0.506
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 204 62.25% 40.61 -0.496 63.73% -0.141 -0.2355
Heart of the Wildfire 148 75.68% 33.93 -3.467 52.7% -0.348 -0.1067
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 518 36.29% 50.1 5.195 81.08% 1.03 0.5882
Lightning's Swift Strike 53 58.49% 40.66 -2.61 58.49% -0.414 -0.231
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 316 58.86% 47.85 3.314 76.58% 0.631 0.1441
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 68 45.59% 47.94 3.043 80.88% 0.503 0.335
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 77 51.95% 37.56 -2.291 58.44% -0.497 -0.6108
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 274 58.76% 38.18 -1.542 60.58% 0.001 -0.1312
Many Minds Move as One 156 41.67% 41.92 -1.967 68.59% -0.07 -0.2918
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 564 55.95% 41.82 1.586 62.06% 0.426 0.3839
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 208 47.12% 40.8 1.584 63.46% 0.679 0.5015
River Surges in Sunlight 107 48.6% 47.45 6.165 74.77% 0.967 1.0373
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 37 64.86% 43.78 -5.258 70.27% -0.995 -0.685
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 270 52.59% 46.31 0.265 70.74% 0.107 -0.006
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 282 40.78% 44.77 2.396 73.05% 0.625 0.3876
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 9 66.67% 30.44 -4.252 33.33% -0.601 -0.0712
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 25 76.0% 36.12 0.783 52.0% -0.027 -0.1023
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 66 65.15% 41.2 -6.429 62.12% -0.768 -0.8742
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 33 66.67% 37.7 0.358 54.55% 0.279 0.2607
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 16 81.25% 21.06 -12.041 18.75% -1.216 -1.039
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 270 50.37% 44.03 1.232 74.07% 0.601 0.4108
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 66 48.48% 37.68 -0.449 65.15% 0.053 -0.3279
Shifting Memory of Ages 167 53.89% 37.13 -2.619 59.88% -0.167 0.1861
Shroud of Silent Mist 124 69.35% 29.14 -8.374 38.71% -1.116 -0.866
Starlight Seeks its Form 487 46.41% 38.01 -2.841 57.91% -0.436 -0.697
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 304 33.33% 39.75 1.33 64.14% 0.603 0.1259
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 184 67.39% 32.17 -3.173 35.87% -0.414 -0.3509
Thunderspeaker 199 57.29% 44.6 0.839 71.86% 0.273 0.2392
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 53 52.83% 38.91 -0.175 69.81% 0.088 0.0485
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 243 79.84% 32.38 -3.877 48.15% -0.36 -0.2672
Vital Strength of the Earth 111 66.67% 23.79 -3.472 9.01% -0.78 -0.2551
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 192 55.73% 36.66 -2.264 48.96% -0.392 -0.1317
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 24 54.17% 29.92 -4.215 33.33% -0.232 0.5444
Volcano Looming High 344 61.05% 39.78 0.972 65.99% 0.491 0.4477

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 50.0% 25.5 -19.329 50.0% -0.633 -0.8887
Blitz 0 56 14.29% 49.84 1.202 46.43% -0.542 -0.3443
Dahan Insurrection 4 42 45.24% 55.52 9.598 47.62% 0.059 -0.3835
Despicable Theft 2 8 50.0% 28.25 -6.513 25.0% -0.52 0.2923
Elemental Invocation 1 13 38.46% 34.69 1.326 46.15% 0.192 0.8952
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 323 21.67% 50.54 5.876 77.4% 0.689 0.0448
Powers Long Forgotten 1 11 72.73% 34.18 -13.17 27.27% -0.895 -0.2601
Rituals of Terror 3 8 75.0% 43.38 10.47 50.0% 0.639 0.7402
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 5 100.0% 40.8 -7.644 60.0% -0.088 0.9209
Second Wave 0 92 40.22% 45.1 1.465 65.22% -0.403 -0.3368
The Great River 3 9 77.78% 42.44 3.929 44.44% 0.074 1.2911
Varied Terrains 2 7 85.71% 45.0 0.0 42.86%
Ward the Shores 2 14 28.57% 30.79 -4.945 28.57% -0.706 0.3781

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3949 53.97% 39.58 -1.035 60.62% -0.148 -0.0938
1 Thematic 86 51.16% 40.95 -1.512 51.16% -0.041 0.4372
2 Archipelago 7 14.29% 44.43 8.112 42.86% 0.421 0.525
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 875 46.86% 43.45 2.685 73.37% 0.32 0.4017
2 Coastline 123 58.54% 41.17 -2.516 69.11% -0.635 -0.7891
2 Fragment 16 68.75% 44.19 8.966 75.0% 0.738 0.4886
2 Heart 18 55.56% 44.0 0.588 66.67% 0.127 -0.1604
2 Opposite Shores 235 52.77% 37.53 -3.388 61.28% -0.44 -0.4166
2 Thematic 96 71.88% 26.82 -0.809 12.5% -0.67 -0.2665
2 Top to Top 46 50.0% 46.5 4.621 82.61% 0.688 0.5222
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 35.0 6.006 33.33% 0.023 -0.4905
3 Other 6 33.33% 24.17 -0.367 33.33% -0.394 0.1467
3 Round (Default) 320 47.5% 43.07 0.911 69.06% 0.001 -0.1141
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 20.0 -0.844 0.0% -0.154 0.1254
3 Thematic 15 66.67% 52.6 7.813 73.33% 0.909 0.9891
4 Archipelago 4 100.0% 30.75 -0.719 25.0% -0.546 -1.2204
4 Other 4 75.0% 37.25 0.312 75.0% 0.116 -0.9678
4 Thematic 6 66.67% 43.5 -2.735 50.0% -0.33 -0.5923
4 Trapezoid (Default) 86 45.35% 44.78 0.077 70.93% -0.391 -0.4734
5 Other 6 50.0% 50.83 6.071 100.0% 0.14 -0.1452
5 Thematic 8 75.0% 32.88 -12.882 12.5% -0.074 -0.1676
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 4 25.0% 56.5 7.351 100.0% 0.123 -0.1096
6 Star 3 33.33% 49.33 19.225 66.67% 0.382 0.3694
6 Thematic 6 33.33% 22.17 -12.446 16.67% -0.339 0.0819
6 Two Centers (Default) 6 33.33% 47.67 2.193 83.33% 0.168 0.2717

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 220 39.14 0.719 60.45% 0.068 0.3108
Aid From Lesser Spirits 165 39.62 2.595 58.18% 0.352 0.2742
All Things Weaken 215 37.5 -0.291 53.95% -0.207 0.1854
Attenuated Essence 38 30.89 -2.569 42.11% -0.381 -0.2739
Back Against the Wall 167 39.9 0.871 59.28% -0.192 -0.1347
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 48 37.04 0.915 58.33% 0.148 0.3493
Burn Brightest Before the End 25 41.28 2.926 72.0% 0.486 0.6968
Disintegrating Ecosystem 208 34.77 -3.545 54.33% -0.557 -0.133
Downward Spiral 233 37.75 1.845 58.37% 0.425 0.6605
Erosion of Will 219 34.71 -1.674 49.32% -0.16 0.1495
Intensifying Exploitation 46 33.83 -0.903 52.17% -0.126 0.1617
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 92 44.67 -0.578 77.17% 0.187 -0.307
Memory Fades to Dust 233 37.43 -1.034 58.8% -0.225 0.1116
Power Corrodes the Spirit 213 34.41 -7.029 50.23% -1.25 -1.0298
Promising Farmlands 194 33.56 -3.012 46.39% -0.695 -0.2419
Shattered Fragments of Power 36 38.58 1.49 61.11% 0.13 0.1813
Slow Dissolution of Will 36 30.81 -3.901 38.89% -0.861 -0.4614
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 60 44.12 3.492 75.0% 0.678 -0.0332
The Border of Life and Death 11 52.18 7.26 90.91% 0.861 0.5251
Thriving Communities 217 35.75 1.866 52.07% 0.324 0.6872
Thriving Crops 23 39.22 0.506 56.52% 0.138 -0.0596
Unnatural Proliferation 228 37.78 -0.734 54.39% -0.275 -0.0595
Untended Land Crumbles 203 36.54 0.854 54.68% 0.259 0.5412

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1070 53.08% 40.02 -0.335 64.39% 0.157 0.8971
B 1129 51.82% 40.64 0.245 65.37% 0.224 0.95
C 1313 49.16% 42.73 0.508 69.38% 0.345 0.9272
D 884 50.79% 39.21 0.611 60.41% 0.145 0.8566
E 1067 50.61% 41.79 -0.91 65.98% 0.071 0.6363
F 940 51.91% 42.2 2.037 67.77% 0.652 1.3227
G 798 53.07% 41.12 0.978 64.79% 0.333 0.9844
H 877 51.2% 41.27 0.35 65.34% 0.244 0.8143
East 87 52.87% 37.14 -5.927 39.08% -0.853 -0.3138
Northeast 52 48.08% 37.37 -7.814 34.62% -1.648 -1.0135
Northwest 50 62.0% 44.64 0.397 54.0% 0.339 1.1481
Southeast 35 51.43% 34.31 -2.977 37.14% 0.046 0.7522
Southwest 110 70.91% 27.1 -0.859 18.18% -0.301 0.6886
West 169 66.86% 34.23 0.027 31.36% 0.042 0.9456

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2 0.0% 51.5 0.0 100.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 14 28.57% 32.21 -6.072 50.0% -0.757 -0.3775
Skip Initial Invader Actions 87 14.94% 58.89 7.487 66.67% 1.05 0.4325
Start of Game Growth 148 18.92% 53.99 3.705 69.59% -0.59 -0.9389
Unlimited Undo 813 47.72% 43.02 1.399 68.39% 0.294 0.2873
Using Tokens but Not Events 316 46.18% 42.55 2.084 65.51% 0.428 0.4179

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1261 20.4 5.55%
II 1714 31.01 53.56%
III 2095 34.76 89.02%
IV 864 38.07 99.42%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.462 Win Model: -0.113
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4073 53.94% 39.67 60.5%
2 1387 50.9% 41.2 66.83%
3 341 47.8% 42.88 68.62%
4 100 49.0% 43.1 67.0%
5 14 71.43% 45.0 57.14%
6 19 31.58% 41.47 63.16%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 70
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1844
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 894
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 854
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 480
Lose: Invader deck ran out 107
Lose: Adversary condition 731
Win: Sacrifice victory 26
Lose: Scenario condition 52
Win: Scenario condition 24
Lose: Blight pool ran out 805
Lose: Spirit destroyed 47

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 224 45.54% 48.42 1.206 71.88% 0.421 0.2729
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 123 73.98% 36.52 -8.465 41.46% -1.344 -1.2136
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 195 61.54% 34.48 -4.943 45.13% -0.443 -0.5876
Downpour Drenches the World 404 43.81% 46.98 -0.354 66.34% 0.072 0.2509
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 444 41.22% 47.14 3.982 70.5% 0.891 0.1259
Eyes Watch From the Trees 247 44.13% 47.44 -0.406 70.04% 0.135 -0.4533
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 162 62.96% 39.14 -2.068 58.64% -0.163 -0.6598
Finder of Paths Unseen 349 59.31% 39.42 -4.157 53.01% -0.355 0.3086
Fractured Days Split the Sky 92 39.13% 46.98 0.359 61.96% 0.049 0.6349
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 200 59.5% 46.64 4.865 62.0% 0.653 0.5586
Heart of the Wildfire 128 75.78% 41.1 -1.186 60.16% 0.184 0.4251
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 600 47.33% 49.27 0.799 72.33% 0.573 0.1315
Lightning's Swift Strike 49 71.43% 41.27 -9.938 51.02% -0.908 -0.7252
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 313 63.58% 48.96 1.569 68.37% 0.29 -0.1966
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 54 66.67% 51.5 0.208 72.22% -0.263 -0.4305
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 70 44.29% 46.77 2.273 60.0% 0.02 -0.0932
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 267 66.29% 36.53 -6.143 45.69% -0.859 -0.9916
Many Minds Move as One 133 42.11% 49.56 2.737 69.92% 0.622 0.4007
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 627 56.16% 42.37 -0.676 58.53% 0.344 0.3015
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 215 53.02% 43.41 -0.261 62.79% 0.33 0.1519
River Surges in Sunlight 77 58.44% 49.17 3.258 70.13% 0.243 0.3127
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 47 74.47% 32.62 -4.399 25.53% -0.146 0.1646
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 236 58.05% 56.53 1.737 69.07% 0.246 0.1323
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 382 35.08% 47.16 3.241 68.59% 0.375 0.1371
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3 100.0% 45.67 8.17 66.67% 0.384 0.9136
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 14 78.57% 36.14 -1.556 50.0% -0.062 -0.1367
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 31 64.52% 45.61 3.101 64.52% 0.033 -0.0728
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 30 73.33% 38.8 -0.216 50.0% 0.056 0.0372
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 12 66.67% 29.25 -10.856 16.67% -1.174 -0.9976
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 307 50.49% 47.11 6.287 72.31% 1.459 1.2688
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 52 51.92% 52.23 5.155 73.08% 0.726 0.3448
Shifting Memory of Ages 133 64.66% 40.24 0.388 54.89% 0.154 0.5075
Shroud of Silent Mist 72 73.61% 40.26 -3.636 52.78% -0.676 -0.4263
Starlight Seeks its Form 328 51.22% 48.23 2.105 64.33% 0.563 0.302
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 252 54.76% 37.4 -2.071 54.76% 0.068 -0.409
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 86 56.98% 37.14 -3.339 43.02% -0.77 -0.7068
Thunderspeaker 160 63.13% 38.91 -2.536 53.13% -0.241 -0.2751
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 36 55.56% 39.56 -1.979 55.56% 0.047 0.0076
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 198 78.79% 35.05 -4.705 42.93% -0.694 -0.6007
Vital Strength of the Earth 28 57.14% 34.14 -4.601 32.14% -0.661 -0.1363
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 147 53.06% 42.52 0.273 56.46% -0.132 0.1287
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 12 58.33% 30.08 -8.667 33.33% -0.646 0.1302
Volcano Looming High 286 61.54% 45.95 3.758 67.13% 0.751 0.7085

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 66.67% 59.17 9.087 100.0% 0.403 0.1478
Blitz 0 43 13.95% 69.28 10.339 76.74% 0.704 0.9017
Dahan Insurrection 4 99 61.62% 62.9 13.494 48.48% 0.764 0.3217
Despicable Theft 2 14 71.43% 32.29 -2.193 21.43% 0.018 0.8305
Elemental Invocation 1 17 70.59% 44.18 -7.384 41.18% -0.188 0.5147
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 700 34.0% 49.71 3.232 64.71% 0.479 -0.1654
Powers Long Forgotten 1 7 71.43% 33.29 -20.734 42.86% -0.958 -0.3231
Rituals of Terror 3 2 0.0% 51.0 -16.062 50.0% -0.324 -0.2227
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 1 0.0% 0.0 -5.416 0.0% -0.14 0.8694
Second Wave 0 54 42.59% 46.7 4.208 61.11% 0.374 0.4404
The Great River 3 15 53.33% 42.2 -6.471 40.0% -0.676 0.5411
Varied Terrains 2 15 53.33% 39.4 -0.47 40.0% -0.34 0.2826
Ward the Shores 2 11 54.55% 45.91 -13.306 54.55% -0.578 0.506

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3580 55.53% 41.56 -1.003 57.77% -0.195 -0.1409
1 Thematic 131 58.02% 42.64 -6.234 36.64% -1.486 -1.0082
2 Archipelago 19 26.32% 50.53 4.432 42.11% 0.167 0.2711
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 632 57.44% 45.91 3.633 69.15% 0.498 0.5799
2 Coastline 132 62.88% 44.77 6.733 63.64% 1.194 1.0403
2 Fragment 9 66.67% 54.56 11.784 88.89% 0.801 0.5517
2 Heart 24 70.83% 41.21 4.252 54.17% -0.096 -0.3828
2 Opposite Shores 233 52.36% 42.82 -1.916 58.37% -0.316 -0.2934
2 Thematic 55 74.55% 40.84 -10.623 29.09% -0.679 -0.2756
2 Top to Top 49 48.98% 51.71 4.447 83.67% 0.274 0.1079
3 Archipelago 4 75.0% 75.5 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 5 20.0% 64.8 13.699 80.0% 0.438 -0.0756
3 Other 10 20.0% 22.5 -4.6 40.0% -0.378 0.1628
3 Round (Default) 287 50.52% 50.26 -1.029 72.13% -0.646 -0.7611
3 Thematic 12 33.33% 59.75 6.778 58.33% -0.013 0.0676
4 Archipelago 4 75.0% 51.25 10.014 75.0% 0.318 -0.3563
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 78.0 17.157 100.0% 0.369 0.6001
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 6 16.67% 49.5 13.218 66.67% 0.406 -0.6774
4 Thematic 8 25.0% 53.88 -5.416 62.5% -0.14 -0.4022
4 Trapezoid (Default) 98 66.33% 41.91 -4.228 59.18% -1.467 -1.5497
5 Other 9 44.44% 40.44 -9.942 66.67% -0.58 -0.8649
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 59.0 14.752 100.0% 0.482 0.3878
6 Archipelago 10 10.0% 61.9 8.525 80.0% 0.137 0.2885
6 Other 1 0.0% 87.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 2 100.0% 21.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Thematic 28 32.14% 49.5 -2.766 60.71% -0.253 0.1674
6 Two Centers (Default) 15 53.33% 52.8 3.054 80.0% -0.171 -0.067
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 105.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 232 40.33 -1.239 53.02% -0.336 -0.0934
Aid From Lesser Spirits 172 44.15 0.118 62.21% -0.078 -0.1552
All Things Weaken 200 38.48 -3.353 49.0% -0.569 -0.1764
Attenuated Essence 43 35.95 -1.785 51.16% -0.323 -0.2161
Back Against the Wall 157 43.75 3.582 56.69% 0.285 0.3424
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 39 34.15 -0.572 46.15% -0.079 0.123
Burn Brightest Before the End 46 39.85 1.13 54.35% -0.081 0.1292
Disintegrating Ecosystem 177 35.27 -1.785 45.2% -0.273 0.1509
Downward Spiral 204 37.9 -1.365 50.0% -0.331 -0.0955
Erosion of Will 212 35.64 -2.953 42.92% -0.694 -0.385
Intensifying Exploitation 54 30.89 -3.929 38.89% -0.778 -0.4909
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 77 51.23 1.455 80.52% 0.143 -0.3513
Memory Fades to Dust 208 37.06 -1.807 48.08% 0.089 0.4254
Power Corrodes the Spirit 213 40.65 0.805 54.93% 0.152 0.3729
Promising Farmlands 188 37.21 -2.415 45.74% -0.677 -0.2239
Shattered Fragments of Power 40 38.08 1.693 50.0% 0.131 0.1818
Slow Dissolution of Will 47 33.02 -2.411 44.68% -0.53 -0.1311
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 45 48.64 0.906 75.56% 0.54 -0.1704
The Border of Life and Death 16 33.94 -0.856 56.25% 0.183 -0.1529
Thriving Communities 194 35.39 -4.3 45.36% -0.69 -0.3273
Thriving Crops 23 40.26 0.431 69.57% 0.317 0.119
Unnatural Proliferation 217 39.83 -1.102 50.23% -0.375 -0.1603
Untended Land Crumbles 181 37.93 -3.632 50.83% -0.41 -0.128

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 987 60.55% 42.11 -1.214 59.57% -0.217 0.5235
B 1013 55.58% 44.34 0.141 63.47% 0.01 0.7357
C 1363 51.14% 45.54 1.705 63.9% 0.165 0.7478
D 820 54.51% 41.03 -1.217 54.76% -0.348 0.3637
E 936 54.06% 44.82 0.798 65.06% 0.141 0.7061
F 852 57.86% 45.09 0.514 64.32% -0.078 0.5925
G 634 54.98% 45.01 1.041 64.04% 0.098 0.7496
H 750 53.47% 45.26 1.38 65.6% 0.179 0.7497
East 167 52.1% 46.2 0.91 42.51% 0.184 0.7233
Northeast 83 44.58% 41.96 -4.879 39.76% -0.93 -0.2955
Northwest 80 57.5% 43.8 -7.038 42.5% -0.84 -0.0308
Southeast 80 50.0% 47.59 -3.783 47.5% -0.555 0.1505
Southwest 55 41.82% 42.24 -5.293 49.09% -0.255 0.7345
West 132 56.06% 43.67 -1.569 42.42% -0.156 0.7475

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2 0.0% 37.0 0.0 50.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 10 20.0% 24.2 -7.205 40.0% -0.206 0.1729
Skip Initial Invader Actions 172 18.02% 73.06 13.512 84.3% 1.386 0.7688
Start of Game Growth 202 21.78% 68.0 6.73 79.21% -0.05 -0.3983
Unlimited Undo 728 50.0% 41.71 -0.838 57.28% -0.022 -0.0283
Using Tokens but Not Events 313 44.05% 40.5 -0.46 54.95% 0.226 0.2156

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1306 20.4 7.04%
II 2104 31.01 61.98%
III 1501 34.76 90.07%
IV 472 38.07 99.58%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.621 Win Model: 0.151
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 3754 55.86% 41.7 57.27%
2 1128 56.47% 45.29 64.36%
3 313 48.88% 49.77 70.61%
4 122 60.66% 44.07 61.48%
5 8 50.0% 45.5 75.0%
6 58 36.21% 53.28 68.97%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 92
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1325
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1260
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 461
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 562
Lose: Invader deck ran out 70
Lose: Adversary condition 456
Win: Sacrifice victory 26
Lose: Scenario condition 97
Win: Scenario condition 54
Lose: Blight pool ran out 936
Lose: Spirit destroyed 44

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1128 42.11% 52.03 1.332 61.08% 0.485 0.337
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 424 75.0% 39.08 -4.383 37.74% -0.354 -0.2237
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 439 66.51% 39.41 -2.54 41.91% -0.163 -0.3078
Downpour Drenches the World 1635 53.21% 47.77 -1.189 51.19% -0.042 0.137
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1610 57.36% 41.14 3.51 51.8% 0.889 0.124
Eyes Watch From the Trees 741 55.47% 48.22 2.692 55.87% 0.713 0.1244
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 474 74.47% 43.17 0.56 47.68% 0.314 -0.1824
Finder of Paths Unseen 956 59.21% 45.94 -2.99 52.41% -0.027 0.6373
Fractured Days Split the Sky 696 42.24% 54.55 -1.135 55.03% -0.187 0.3991
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 670 72.39% 42.04 -2.651 44.63% -0.144 -0.2387
Heart of the Wildfire 501 84.43% 31.3 -6.719 25.55% -1.059 -0.8177
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3132 50.8% 53.23 4.137 66.19% 0.862 0.42
Lightning's Swift Strike 245 72.84% 42.23 -2.263 46.94% 0.209 0.3915
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1580 72.64% 48.57 2.501 56.2% 0.661 0.1739
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 414 71.84% 52.73 3.982 64.49% 0.858 0.6902
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 487 56.88% 53.44 1.728 55.65% 0.574 0.461
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 917 69.87% 39.53 -3.914 37.73% -0.365 -0.4976
Many Minds Move as One 473 48.2% 54.59 4.543 67.44% 0.93 0.7082
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1718 58.38% 46.3 -1.839 49.59% 0.047 0.005
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 632 58.39% 43.03 -1.773 47.47% 0.073 -0.1046
River Surges in Sunlight 364 65.01% 48.34 2.318 51.92% 0.424 0.4938
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 123 72.13% 39.02 -4.714 30.89% -0.41 -0.0993
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1019 70.89% 51.16 0.501 51.32% 0.181 0.0674
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1335 48.01% 54.59 3.139 58.8% 0.76 0.5221
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 65 70.77% 18.03 -11.318 12.31% -1.378 -0.8486
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 81 86.42% 35.73 -7.132 28.4% -0.535 -0.6097
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 148 80.41% 36.59 -7.262 32.43% -1.127 -1.2328
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 79 82.28% 35.33 -1.858 30.38% -0.153 -0.1715
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 243 62.55% 43.56 1.701 40.74% 0.273 0.4498
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 720 57.08% 48.38 -1.467 55.42% 0.108 -0.082
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 292 50.0% 31.17 -2.472 36.3% 0.112 -0.2692
Shifting Memory of Ages 660 64.85% 44.29 -3.612 43.33% -0.477 -0.124
Shroud of Silent Mist 330 79.39% 36.11 -2.587 34.24% -0.202 0.0483
Starlight Seeks its Form 3297 53.11% 49.74 2.799 58.6% 0.653 0.3922
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1270 67.46% 43.19 -0.846 45.91% 0.215 -0.2625
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 404 70.97% 36.4 -5.944 35.64% -0.677 -0.6138
Thunderspeaker 453 65.71% 41.83 -2.978 39.51% -0.269 -0.303
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 144 65.28% 33.66 -0.893 40.28% -0.053 -0.0926
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1130 81.5% 43.18 -1.017 48.14% 0.228 0.321
Vital Strength of the Earth 84 63.1% 28.86 -5.908 16.67% -1.0 -0.4757
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 541 69.32% 42.92 -3.741 41.96% -0.386 -0.1257
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 71 60.56% 24.93 -3.331 16.9% -0.263 0.5132
Volcano Looming High 1654 71.45% 42.5 -0.064 48.55% 0.186 0.1427

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 11 45.45% 51.64 -11.876 63.64% -0.621 -0.8766
Blitz 0 173 23.7% 60.36 9.414 63.01% 0.731 0.9285
Dahan Insurrection 4 226 60.0% 45.97 -5.079 14.16% -1.091 -1.5338
Despicable Theft 2 3 66.67% 49.67 0.0 33.33%
Elemental Invocation 1 83 80.72% 35.65 0.492 2.41% -0.73 -0.0269
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1369 41.71% 46.22 2.908 39.01% 0.052 -0.5924
Powers Long Forgotten 1 6 66.67% 46.5 0.113 50.0% -0.023 0.6126
Rituals of Terror 3 83 62.65% 84.24 23.825 51.81% 1.161 1.2619
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 9 66.67% 50.44 -11.731 33.33% -0.226 0.7834
Second Wave 0 139 66.91% 47.52 -0.949 52.52% -0.427 -0.361
The Great River 3 7 42.86% 50.57 0.0 42.86%
Varied Terrains 2 52 61.54% 28.29 -6.711 23.08% -0.77 -0.1468
Ward the Shores 2 38 84.21% 36.61 -1.638 18.42% -0.807 0.2774

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 18160 63.86% 44.29 -0.418 49.76% -0.743 -0.6888
1 Thematic 400 48.0% 44.33 3.455 32.25% -0.673 -0.1956
2 Archipelago 33 27.27% 28.06 -10.56 21.21% -1.232 -1.1281
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2044 67.35% 42.53 -2.365 46.58% -1.18 -1.098
2 Coastline 443 63.57% 48.9 1.85 58.92% -0.322 -0.4758
2 Fragment 57 68.42% 53.25 11.348 68.42% 0.638 0.3887
2 Heart 136 85.29% 45.65 5.644 39.71% 0.333 0.046
2 Opposite Shores 448 59.15% 45.71 1.176 44.64% -0.896 -0.8731
2 Thematic 86 69.77% 58.23 4.832 37.21% 0.049 0.4529
2 Top to Top 146 63.7% 46.99 -1.52 55.48% -0.708 -0.8743
3 Archipelago 15 60.0% 73.0 18.262 66.67% 1.158 -0.3911
3 Coastline 4 75.0% 64.75 12.517 100.0% 0.095 -0.4186
3 Other 21 38.1% 57.67 14.482 76.19% 1.515 2.0554
3 Round (Default) 1140 59.47% 48.46 0.875 57.89% -0.731 -0.8467
3 Thematic 32 31.25% 72.0 -5.162 37.5% -0.482 -0.4016
4 Archipelago 8 75.0% 88.5 23.902 87.5% 1.161 0.4862
4 Leaf 4 50.0% 38.5 -10.801 25.0% -0.162 -0.5055
4 Other 4 25.0% 69.25 13.031 100.0% 0.448 -0.6362
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 56 51.79% 58.46 1.332 21.43% 0.379 0.1162
4 Trapezoid (Default) 479 55.53% 52.73 -2.088 61.38% -0.834 -0.9162
5 Archipelago 6 33.33% 49.17 19.548 50.0% 0.316 -0.6004
5 Coastline 14 0.0% 65.43 14.557 92.86% 0.26 -0.3919
5 Other 39 63.16% 58.44 2.417 43.59% -0.414 -0.6991
5 Thematic 6 66.67% 80.83 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 5 20.0% 31.2 0.0 40.0%
6 Coastline 6 0.0% 59.17 7.293 83.33% -0.322 -1.1226
6 Other 76 52.63% 52.57 11.451 60.53% 0.308 0.0755
6 Star 11 36.36% 59.82 7.411 81.82% -0.101 -0.1137
6 Thematic 29 65.52% 50.31 -5.458 31.03% -0.426 -0.0054
6 Two Centers (Default) 212 28.77% 58.35 -1.746 64.62% -1.617 -1.5132
7 Archipelago 5 20.0% 77.2 12.106 80.0% -0.215 -0.2339
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 2.766 0.0% 0.118 -0.4942

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1076 42.12 1.42 42.66% -0.066 0.1761
Aid From Lesser Spirits 821 47.31 4.21 50.18% 0.369 0.2914
All Things Weaken 1032 43.76 1.211 46.51% -0.021 0.3715
Attenuated Essence 204 34.27 0.282 35.29% -0.147 -0.0403
Back Against the Wall 837 45.94 2.692 47.43% 0.104 0.1618
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 255 35.42 1.155 37.65% 0.064 0.2656
Burn Brightest Before the End 160 39.41 2.93 38.75% -0.103 0.1073
Disintegrating Ecosystem 996 41.2 1.178 43.67% -0.044 0.3801
Downward Spiral 1099 41.22 -0.249 43.31% -0.148 0.0874
Erosion of Will 1067 41.04 0.446 39.93% -0.164 0.1454
Intensifying Exploitation 225 33.0 -0.442 35.11% -0.194 0.0935
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 292 50.61 1.729 59.93% 0.373 -0.1207
Memory Fades to Dust 1075 39.95 -1.387 40.47% -0.254 0.0829
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1069 40.11 0.128 40.04% -0.102 0.1182
Promising Farmlands 1072 40.82 -0.66 42.63% -0.309 0.1443
Shattered Fragments of Power 131 41.11 3.65 41.98% 0.195 0.2456
Slow Dissolution of Will 247 32.01 -2.287 30.77% -0.597 -0.1983
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 203 57.69 6.88 77.83% 0.999 0.2887
The Border of Life and Death 60 44.05 3.573 56.67% 0.465 0.1292
Thriving Communities 1011 39.51 -0.113 38.67% -0.178 0.1853
Thriving Crops 92 45.35 5.782 57.61% 0.785 0.587
Unnatural Proliferation 1154 43.33 1.873 42.63% -0.001 0.2143
Untended Land Crumbles 1038 40.66 -0.457 41.71% -0.225 0.0572

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4175 61.44% 45.91 0.625 51.59% -0.45 0.2897
B 4221 62.94% 44.94 -0.757 49.44% -0.711 0.0149
C 5209 62.48% 46.58 1.306 53.2% -0.31 0.2722
D 3612 58.54% 43.93 -1.569 45.63% -0.804 -0.0932
E 5233 60.22% 46.11 -0.443 53.47% -0.541 0.024
F 3559 61.41% 46.53 -0.021 53.25% -0.579 0.091
G 3156 62.2% 46.18 -0.115 51.49% -0.55 0.1017
H 3069 61.1% 47.16 0.886 54.28% -0.357 0.2137
East 409 50.86% 51.96 1.428 29.58% -0.462 0.0767
Northeast 213 53.99% 54.06 2.421 25.35% -0.106 0.5292
Northwest 185 62.16% 53.81 0.024 34.05% -0.789 0.0203
Southeast 124 49.19% 50.5 2.216 39.52% -0.258 0.448
Southwest 101 47.52% 45.54 0.617 40.59% -0.433 0.5571
West 373 55.23% 52.9 0.395 36.46% -1.014 -0.1102

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 23 0.0% 47.22 4.582 56.52% 0.07 0.8463
Not Using Events or Tokens 59 77.59% 40.76 -0.704 11.86% -0.326 0.0531
Skip Initial Invader Actions 809 15.92% 69.03 4.955 75.03% 0.404 -0.214
Start of Game Growth 1254 21.39% 67.59 5.376 74.32% 0.996 0.6479
Unlimited Undo 3252 46.69% 54.06 0.687 64.82% 0.336 0.3296
Using Tokens but Not Events 751 61.73% 39.72 -2.658 35.95% -0.437 -0.4475

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7657 20.4 5.32%
II 5989 31.01 36.13%
III 5934 34.76 83.5%
IV 4599 38.07 99.72%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.338 Win Model: 0.482
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 18768 63.53% 44.41 49.47%
2 3283 65.86% 44.49 47.91%
3 1201 58.7% 49.56 57.7%
4 531 55.74% 53.36 58.95%
5 58 42.11% 56.4 55.17%
6 338 35.5% 56.49 64.2%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 398
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4876
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2107
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4509
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2785
Lose: Invader deck ran out 327
Lose: Adversary condition 2542
Win: Sacrifice victory 183
Lose: Scenario condition 503
Win: Scenario condition 39
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5637
Lose: Spirit destroyed 273

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-12-12 04:02:30 (Pacific Time)