The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 341 19.65% 25.72 1.38 79.47% 0.41 0.2876
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 230 28.7% 24.47 -0.212 74.35% 0.016 0.2565
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 25 16.0% 26.96 3.13 72.0% 0.556 -0.4456
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 309 22.98% 24.23 1.08 75.73% 0.429 0.2019
Downpour Drenches the World 560 20.36% 22.69 0.455 76.96% 0.086 0.4113
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 259 18.15% 25.92 2.801 77.61% 0.828 0.3282
Eyes Watch From the Trees 354 12.78% 28.11 3.023 82.2% 0.879 0.4178
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 308 17.65% 28.47 2.789 85.71% 0.92 0.4903
Finder of Paths Unseen 262 36.26% 17.39 -6.919 58.78% -1.628 -0.8055
Fractured Days Split the Sky 142 17.61% 22.35 -3.803 64.08% -1.105 -0.5075
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 280 33.57% 23.81 -1.462 72.5% -0.139 -0.1396
Heart of the Wildfire 251 50.6% 20.73 -1.276 67.33% -0.146 0.238
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 442 22.85% 28.03 1.268 83.03% 0.374 -0.1209
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 18 5.56% 22.83 1.513 66.67% 0.35 -0.1971
Lightning's Swift Strike 151 34.67% 24.41 -0.862 78.15% -0.254 -0.0716
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 167 27.54% 27.8 4.357 83.83% 0.544 0.0074
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 81 19.75% 28.36 2.943 81.48% 0.844 0.5527
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 85 20.0% 24.71 -0.824 62.35% -0.197 -0.3454
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 372 25.54% 27.22 0.37 78.76% 0.259 0.0077
Many Minds Move as One 219 16.89% 26.05 1.455 68.95% 0.2 0.0428
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 523 34.87% 24.64 -0.695 73.61% -0.343 -0.3325
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 283 30.74% 24.79 -1.228 74.56% -0.082 -0.2283
River Surges in Sunlight 174 30.64% 23.38 1.364 68.97% 0.443 0.4807
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 109 33.94% 25.79 -0.647 70.64% -0.218 0.042
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 234 27.35% 27.56 0.109 76.07% 0.163 0.1127
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 247 22.86% 24.3 0.155 76.52% 0.225 0.0506
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 64 53.13% 18.94 -4.544 59.38% -0.986 -0.3741
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 64 34.38% 26.86 4.4 76.56% 0.313 0.4172
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 22 36.36% 22.73 1.61 63.64% 0.192 -0.3897
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 65 29.23% 22.46 2.34 66.15% 0.558 0.6046
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 53 28.3% 23.87 -3.445 73.58% -0.337 -0.2565
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 25 32.0% 26.76 0.036 72.0% 0.388 0.5962
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 258 21.88% 26.93 0.467 78.29% 0.065 0.1444
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 58 13.79% 21.5 0.333 55.17% 0.097 -0.2255
Shifting Memory of Ages 193 34.72% 21.1 -3.759 65.28% -1.079 -0.8133
Shroud of Silent Mist 212 36.32% 19.94 0.06 61.79% 0.202 0.5695
Starlight Seeks its Form 558 13.31% 28.85 -2.794 81.72% -0.613 -0.8404
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 282 17.73% 25.26 0.414 76.6% 0.177 -0.1788
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 257 25.78% 21.21 -0.215 65.76% 0.098 0.2305
Thunderspeaker 345 20.7% 28.12 2.092 82.32% 0.375 0.4039
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 53 26.42% 15.21 -5.273 43.4% -1.465 -1.2253
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 167 49.7% 20.59 -2.542 62.28% -0.597 -0.4061
Vital Strength of the Earth 111 31.53% 19.05 -1.544 61.26% -0.461 0.0959
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 155 30.52% 23.28 -0.917 72.9% -0.141 0.2684
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 51 27.45% 20.78 0.091 54.9% -0.272 0.4561
Volcano Looming High 295 31.19% 22.5 -2.445 70.17% -0.375 -0.3564
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 67 17.91% 25.1 2.848 74.63% 0.774 0.1797

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 25 16.0% 23.2 -5.907 80.0% -0.513 -0.6527
Blitz 0 64 20.31% 19.55 -3.099 46.88% -0.595 -0.4837
Dahan Insurrection 4 111 13.51% 40.57 5.208 68.47% -0.18 -0.4153
Despicable Theft 2 49 22.45% 16.57 -4.722 34.69% -1.269 -0.6259
Elemental Invocation 1 69 15.94% 23.06 -1.964 62.32% -0.586 0.2162
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 148 13.51% 30.67 1.319 75.0% -0.432 -1.2057
Powers Long Forgotten 1 62 32.26% 10.53 -4.346 20.97% -1.127 -0.3546
Rituals of Terror 3 66 18.18% 25.27 7.457 51.52% 0.382 0.3982
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 43 48.84% 20.33 -8.082 39.53% -1.805 -0.7482
Second Wave 0 129 37.98% 33.22 4.47 70.54% 0.004 0.0847
The Great River 3 41 41.46% 21.12 -4.839 41.46% -1.58 -0.4516
Varied Terrains 2 84 46.43% 22.32 -3.235 46.43% -1.364 -0.6714
Ward the Shores 2 72 25.0% 19.53 -3.676 45.83% -0.912 -0.0487

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3820 27.85% 24.95 -0.185 75.84% 0.254 0.4543
1 Thematic 300 29.33% 22.89 0.402 54.67% 0.096 0.816
2 Archipelago 6 50.0% 23.17 4.904 33.33% 0.353 0.6074
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 878 27.94% 22.46 -0.678 70.39% -0.127 -0.119
2 Coastline 106 26.42% 24.15 1.967 78.3% 0.98 0.7753
2 Fragment 17 41.18% 25.24 0.0 88.24%
2 Heart 18 22.22% 23.89 -1.574 83.33% 0.019 -0.2009
2 Opposite Shores 152 33.77% 23.81 -0.546 77.63% 0.052 0.1091
2 Thematic 117 24.79% 24.68 -2.771 55.56% -0.361 0.0909
2 Top to Top 30 13.33% 19.63 -2.743 63.33% -0.21 -0.3073
3 Archipelago 2 50.0% 23.0 7.227 50.0% 0.209 -0.5826
3 Coastline 4 25.0% 33.75 0.0 75.0%
3 Other 18 27.78% 20.06 -1.582 61.11% -0.088 -0.1168
3 Round (Default) 505 26.44% 27.47 2.678 82.77% 0.689 0.4628
3 Sunrise 4 0.0% 20.25 0.233 75.0% 0.199 -0.7853
3 Thematic 26 19.23% 15.96 -1.685 26.92% -1.083 -0.8862
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 51.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 9 77.78% 25.56 1.767 88.89% 0.379 -0.9783
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 34 8.82% 31.59 -1.373 79.41% -0.297 -0.4956
4 Trapezoid (Default) 188 13.83% 22.18 -0.74 69.15% -0.331 -0.5747
5 Other 21 33.33% 29.62 2.863 85.71% 0.377 -0.6794
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 5 0.0% 35.4 -0.216 80.0% -0.442 -1.1789
6 Other 2 0.0% 16.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 3 33.33% 19.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Thematic 22 22.73% 37.73 1.874 77.27% 0.403 1.1574
6 Two Centers (Default) 38 10.53% 20.37 -4.697 63.16% -1.071 -1.6511

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 98 20.99 -0.219 60.2% -0.102 0.0579
Aid From Lesser Spirits 117 23.47 0.472 67.52% 0.396 0.3095
All Things Weaken 103 23.87 0.042 70.87% 0.374 0.716
Attenuated Essence 31 18.35 -0.508 58.06% -0.163 -0.0894
Back Against the Wall 96 24.18 1.393 63.54% 0.019 0.0943
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 37 19.73 -0.233 59.46% -0.035 0.1558
Burn Brightest Before the End 18 18.78 -0.699 50.0% 0.317 0.4408
Disintegrating Ecosystem 100 17.37 -3.206 54.0% -0.85 -0.4766
Downward Spiral 137 20.84 -0.443 69.34% 0.511 0.6482
Erosion of Will 112 20.62 -1.338 57.14% -0.502 -0.2076
Intensifying Exploitation 30 16.23 -3.102 46.67% -0.605 -0.3666
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 50 27.28 2.138 90.0% 0.367 -0.1654
Memory Fades to Dust 144 18.88 -2.709 56.94% -0.849 -0.568
Power Corrodes the Spirit 111 21.2 -0.307 65.77% -0.103 0.0501
Promising Farmlands 95 19.45 -1.72 62.11% -0.721 -0.3751
Shattered Fragments of Power 21 24.71 2.07 71.43% 0.551 0.7462
Slow Dissolution of Will 33 20.76 0.059 60.61% -0.217 0.2347
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 36 26.83 1.181 91.67% 0.919 0.1785
The Border of Life and Death 8 14.75 -10.281 37.5% -0.902 -1.3349
Thriving Communities 116 22.29 2.479 65.52% 0.821 1.1197
Thriving Crops 14 16.29 -3.28 57.14% -0.134 -0.2359
Unnatural Proliferation 112 23.98 0.656 59.82% -0.359 -0.2141
Untended Land Crumbles 102 21.48 2.008 63.73% 0.587 0.886

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1250 28.58% 24.11 0.394 74.16% -0.06 0.9341
B 1274 25.33% 24.44 -0.085 75.12% -0.196 0.7216
C 1256 26.74% 25.35 0.708 78.66% 0.069 0.8114
D 1164 25.09% 23.71 -0.719 73.2% -0.36 0.5914
E 1138 25.09% 24.96 0.972 75.04% -0.152 0.6281
F 1049 26.15% 24.55 -0.315 75.02% -0.376 0.5169
G 946 26.38% 24.58 0.487 76.11% 0.08 0.9352
H 975 26.28% 24.41 -0.754 73.95% -0.591 0.2571
East 315 25.71% 26.65 2.349 60.63% -0.292 0.4769
Northeast 159 25.79% 27.17 1.269 60.38% -0.363 0.4244
Northwest 131 22.14% 25.97 -1.834 61.07% -0.542 0.4411
Southeast 121 19.01% 25.49 -1.939 60.33% -0.481 0.3936
Southwest 129 24.03% 20.27 -3.927 49.61% -0.773 0.435
West 315 24.13% 23.3 0.657 54.29% -0.192 0.7422

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 11 0.0% 27.45 1.218 90.91% 0.247 0.8763
Not Using Events or Tokens 191 19.47% 26.68 -1.326 84.29% -0.346 0.1601
Skip Initial Invader Actions 142 13.14% 36.46 6.164 80.99% 0.393 -0.2415
Start of Game Growth 207 15.84% 33.21 1.883 79.23% -0.122 -0.5117
Unlimited Undo 532 21.78% 25.34 0.625 72.74% 0.122 0.1668
Using Tokens but Not Events 567 22.8% 24.99 1.592 75.84% 0.371 0.3442

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1211 17.67 10.24%
II 1676 30.7 75.54%
III 2362 34.75 93.52%
IV 1086 38.22 99.36%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.104 Win Model: 0.323
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4224 27.86% 24.65 73.37%
2 1258 29.06% 23.3 72.58%
3 532 24.72% 27.09 81.77%
4 230 14.35% 23.48 71.74%
5 21 33.33% 29.62 85.71%
6 70 14.29% 26.73 68.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 124
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2153
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1196
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1071
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1017
Lose: Invader deck ran out 29
Lose: Adversary condition 162
Win: Sacrifice victory 26
Lose: Scenario condition 37
Win: Scenario condition 108
Lose: Blight pool ran out 380
Lose: Spirit destroyed 32

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 287 24.3% 31.01 2.271 71.08% 0.699 0.5765
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 186 47.03% 27.2 -0.454 62.37% -0.235 0.0064
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 27 40.74% 34.63 4.499 74.07% 0.605 -0.3965
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 199 39.2% 30.36 1.199 72.36% 0.44 0.2129
Downpour Drenches the World 497 25.56% 27.06 0.384 61.77% -0.104 0.2211
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 291 17.83% 30.29 0.228 70.1% 0.213 -0.2862
Eyes Watch From the Trees 327 22.02% 32.37 4.312 75.54% 1.178 0.7171
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 229 25.76% 31.37 1.586 72.05% 0.499 0.0694
Finder of Paths Unseen 252 38.55% 23.35 -2.107 57.94% -0.098 0.7252
Fractured Days Split the Sky 140 33.57% 25.76 -1.634 51.43% -0.661 -0.0642
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 322 40.68% 28.83 -2.154 63.35% -0.511 -0.5118
Heart of the Wildfire 203 61.08% 24.52 -1.651 57.14% -0.335 0.0498
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 413 31.8% 30.99 1.128 73.37% 0.487 -0.0083
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 24 20.83% 28.63 0.832 70.83% 0.158 -0.3887
Lightning's Swift Strike 98 44.9% 29.08 1.201 67.35% 0.207 0.3896
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 151 32.89% 31.2 -1.46 71.52% -0.763 -1.3001
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 76 33.33% 33.26 6.799 72.37% 1.435 1.1444
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 101 27.72% 28.77 -0.497 64.36% -0.336 -0.4839
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 273 37.36% 28.89 -0.945 63.0% -0.375 -0.6265
Many Minds Move as One 213 27.83% 30.46 1.216 67.14% 0.283 0.1263
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 572 37.88% 29.69 0.701 67.83% 0.296 0.3063
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 237 31.22% 28.46 0.887 67.09% 0.174 0.0285
River Surges in Sunlight 171 34.52% 30.5 1.6 69.59% -0.109 -0.0715
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 88 35.23% 30.28 -0.411 64.77% -0.346 -0.0862
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 220 30.28% 33.05 0.701 74.55% 0.112 0.0613
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 215 27.49% 27.46 1.314 60.0% 0.019 -0.155
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 63 42.62% 21.65 -5.497 52.38% -1.246 -0.6338
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 67 43.28% 27.93 -1.461 64.18% 0.149 0.2523
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 35 37.14% 36.0 4.596 88.57% 1.175 0.5932
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 74 43.24% 29.61 2.341 67.57% 0.419 0.4655
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 47 34.04% 25.57 -2.679 57.45% -0.432 -0.3508
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 33 45.45% 28.61 5.426 66.67% 0.845 1.0534
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 222 31.67% 30.57 1.378 73.87% 0.518 0.5974
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 90 32.22% 29.94 1.148 66.67% 0.434 0.1118
Shifting Memory of Ages 198 42.05% 24.79 -3.297 53.03% -0.75 -0.4851
Shroud of Silent Mist 168 48.81% 22.47 -2.848 49.4% -0.72 -0.3528
Starlight Seeks its Form 245 28.98% 26.64 -2.441 62.04% -0.379 -0.607
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 280 26.88% 28.43 0.192 66.43% -0.014 -0.37
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 163 34.16% 26.82 -0.731 60.74% -0.318 -0.1854
Thunderspeaker 205 32.02% 29.8 -0.347 66.83% -0.131 -0.1019
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 75 44.0% 21.65 -1.354 48.0% -0.357 -0.1174
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 162 57.41% 23.29 -2.771 53.09% -0.792 -0.6018
Vital Strength of the Earth 79 30.38% 22.94 -4.208 53.16% -1.121 -0.5642
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 146 31.03% 26.49 0.007 58.22% -0.045 0.3652
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 37 29.73% 24.35 -0.232 51.35% -0.125 0.6036
Volcano Looming High 230 39.57% 25.77 -3.106 63.91% -0.306 -0.287
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 78 26.92% 31.74 3.327 75.64% 0.794 0.2006

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 21 28.57% 21.38 -5.094 52.38% -0.61 -0.7502
Blitz 0 75 22.67% 19.65 -4.125 45.33% -0.521 -0.4101
Dahan Insurrection 4 76 35.53% 44.47 6.75 57.89% -0.424 -0.6593
Despicable Theft 2 49 38.78% 21.9 -4.538 30.61% -1.036 -0.3928
Elemental Invocation 1 53 37.74% 23.49 1.111 47.17% -0.204 0.5976
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 136 8.82% 30.1 1.246 58.82% -0.187 -0.9612
Powers Long Forgotten 1 50 36.0% 18.66 -6.076 28.0% -1.687 -0.9146
Rituals of Terror 3 12 25.0% 25.75 9.454 41.67% 0.345 0.3608
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 14 21.43% 13.29 -10.039 21.43% -0.794 0.2627
Second Wave 0 332 37.16% 32.69 1.088 67.77% -0.171 -0.0901
The Great River 3 16 37.5% 25.75 -0.226 43.75% -0.279 0.8491
Varied Terrains 2 64 39.06% 21.66 -5.772 35.94% -1.194 -0.5015
Ward the Shores 2 59 50.85% 14.37 -11.731 16.95% -2.2 -1.3372

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3241 34.28% 28.48 -0.065 66.43% 0.172 0.3728
1 Thematic 272 30.88% 24.49 -0.719 46.32% 0.08 0.7991
2 Archipelago 1 100.0% 65.0 0.0 100.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 791 33.75% 27.11 -1.123 64.35% -0.095 -0.0875
2 Coastline 122 31.67% 27.13 -1.948 65.57% -0.792 -0.9974
2 Fragment 28 28.57% 22.64 3.888 50.0% 0.579 0.3017
2 Heart 19 47.37% 32.05 4.49 68.42% 0.549 0.3283
2 Opposite Shores 172 33.14% 28.22 1.769 65.7% 0.038 0.0955
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -14.087 0.0% -0.507 0.7428
2 Thematic 117 36.75% 24.38 -1.607 44.44% -0.133 0.3183
2 Top to Top 28 50.0% 27.43 2.63 53.57% 0.246 0.1479
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 45.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 7 71.43% 36.71 9.996 100.0% 0.701 0.1345
3 Other 6 50.0% 16.67 -6.941 33.33% -0.345 -0.3739
3 Round (Default) 447 36.73% 30.4 0.497 71.36% -0.205 -0.4308
3 Thematic 12 50.0% 26.92 3.668 50.0% 0.257 0.454
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 35.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 4 50.0% 36.0 -3.385 75.0% -0.174 -0.8729
4 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -3.097 0.0% -0.33 -1.6873
4 Thematic 17 23.53% 31.29 -6.801 41.18% -1.192 -1.3901
4 Trapezoid (Default) 126 32.54% 29.11 3.122 68.25% 0.397 0.154
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 34.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 24 29.17% 34.38 3.862 83.33% 0.501 -0.5556
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 -15.343 0.0% -0.285 -0.7637
6 Archipelago 2 50.0% 31.0 3.585 50.0% 0.036 -0.7001
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 8 37.5% 30.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 27 20.83% 30.22 2.93 59.26% 0.442 1.196
6 Two Centers (Default) 21 23.81% 28.9 -1.753 57.14% -0.82 -1.4
7 Other 2 0.0% 61.0 12.188 100.0% 0.113 -0.2986

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 129 26.54 -1.726 58.14% -0.424 -0.2642
Aid From Lesser Spirits 77 28.09 0.788 55.84% -0.13 -0.2163
All Things Weaken 110 26.99 1.269 62.73% 0.316 0.6586
Attenuated Essence 45 24.02 1.626 51.11% 0.07 0.1445
Back Against the Wall 107 26.28 0.719 57.01% 0.215 0.2901
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 33 25.7 -0.226 48.48% 0.004 0.195
Burn Brightest Before the End 33 24.7 0.226 48.48% -0.399 -0.2755
Disintegrating Ecosystem 118 25.7 1.549 61.02% 0.339 0.7121
Downward Spiral 149 26.41 1.283 63.09% 0.281 0.4175
Erosion of Will 111 25.03 -0.606 54.95% -0.197 0.098
Intensifying Exploitation 34 22.38 1.596 50.0% 0.514 0.7521
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 72 31.39 1.983 79.17% 0.656 0.1242
Memory Fades to Dust 134 25.16 1.606 55.22% 0.457 0.7377
Power Corrodes the Spirit 110 27.51 1.963 65.45% 0.676 0.8295
Promising Farmlands 120 24.97 1.982 56.67% 0.852 1.1988
Shattered Fragments of Power 30 24.7 0.682 50.0% -0.493 -0.2985
Slow Dissolution of Will 29 20.76 -1.044 31.03% -0.587 -0.1362
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 42 30.95 3.541 76.19% 0.084 -0.6569
The Border of Life and Death 6 32.67 -5.229 83.33% -0.12 -0.5529
Thriving Communities 114 24.66 -1.54 58.77% -0.048 0.2504
Thriving Crops 24 27.33 1.626 58.33% 0.073 -0.0291
Unnatural Proliferation 122 24.8 -2.328 48.36% -0.862 -0.7171
Untended Land Crumbles 126 24.09 -0.532 52.38% -0.17 0.1294

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1046 33.37% 28.35 0.748 65.87% 0.084 1.078
B 1108 35.0% 28.71 -0.041 66.79% -0.334 0.5843
C 1124 33.33% 29.87 1.301 70.02% 0.029 0.7714
D 1042 33.95% 28.05 0.545 64.68% -0.116 0.8355
E 975 33.23% 29.11 0.344 68.41% -0.114 0.6669
F 901 34.71% 28.1 -0.314 65.82% -0.248 0.6442
G 811 36.39% 27.91 -0.126 63.63% -0.345 0.5108
H 809 36.18% 28.93 0.222 67.61% -0.128 0.7203
East 298 31.53% 26.38 0.391 47.65% -0.398 0.3714
Northeast 153 34.67% 25.16 -1.104 43.14% -0.779 0.008
Northwest 116 29.2% 26.59 -0.077 50.86% -0.045 0.9384
Southeast 106 27.18% 26.68 -0.94 52.83% -0.333 0.5418
Southwest 101 29.59% 23.83 -3.135 47.52% -0.583 0.6244
West 265 32.06% 24.58 -1.554 46.42% -0.82 0.1148

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 20 0.0% 29.1 0.0 70.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 67 24.19% 25.72 -2.869 53.73% -0.871 -0.3649
Skip Initial Invader Actions 139 8.21% 40.07 3.91 86.33% 0.587 -0.0476
Start of Game Growth 231 14.16% 36.76 3.674 79.65% 0.783 0.3938
Unlimited Undo 513 25.2% 27.56 -1.949 63.74% -0.43 -0.3859
Using Tokens but Not Events 472 24.51% 30.8 2.245 72.46% 0.64 0.6131

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1151 17.67 3.56%
II 1173 30.7 47.31%
III 1921 34.75 89.59%
IV 1260 38.22 99.13%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.511 Win Model: 0.53
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 3574 34.08% 27.98 64.27%
2 1236 34.36% 27.6 64.0%
3 464 37.12% 29.98 70.26%
4 144 30.56% 30.17 66.67%
5 27 29.63% 31.81 77.78%
6 60 24.56% 30.78 58.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 41
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1683
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 535
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1236
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 813
Lose: Invader deck ran out 17
Lose: Adversary condition 609
Win: Sacrifice victory 17
Lose: Scenario condition 38
Win: Scenario condition 54
Lose: Blight pool ran out 446
Lose: Spirit destroyed 16

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 390 28.35% 33.4 2.441 73.33% 0.684 0.5615
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 193 49.74% 29.14 -3.239 61.14% -0.381 -0.1398
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 50 30.0% 38.04 4.405 82.0% 0.805 -0.1958
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 261 39.08% 31.85 -0.399 71.65% 0.464 0.2371
Downpour Drenches the World 568 30.37% 29.89 -0.401 61.27% -0.205 0.1201
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 457 28.45% 33.25 4.773 72.65% 1.21 0.7105
Eyes Watch From the Trees 439 38.95% 32.79 1.517 64.92% 0.185 -0.2761
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 269 42.75% 32.94 0.001 71.0% 0.098 -0.3311
Finder of Paths Unseen 335 45.97% 28.11 -5.912 63.88% -1.227 -0.404
Fractured Days Split the Sky 145 36.55% 28.03 -3.703 52.41% -0.965 -0.3683
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 280 47.31% 28.56 0.337 55.36% -0.049 -0.0498
Heart of the Wildfire 249 68.95% 26.39 -5.356 57.03% -1.207 -0.8226
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 535 33.77% 34.71 1.799 72.71% 0.246 -0.2496
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 49 32.65% 34.16 1.774 77.55% 0.38 -0.1673
Lightning's Swift Strike 124 48.39% 31.07 -0.463 65.32% -0.014 0.1687
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 234 41.85% 35.82 -1.132 76.92% -0.34 -0.8774
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 94 37.23% 33.65 0.48 68.09% -0.069 -0.3599
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 89 28.09% 33.28 2.11 65.17% 0.658 0.5098
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 346 43.64% 31.08 0.905 65.32% 0.453 0.2014
Many Minds Move as One 254 29.13% 32.88 0.96 69.69% 0.452 0.2954
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 679 39.91% 32.24 -0.575 68.34% -0.335 -0.324
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 304 41.45% 29.69 0.451 59.54% 0.074 -0.072
River Surges in Sunlight 188 41.71% 36.77 3.395 77.66% 0.627 0.6647
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 108 45.37% 32.92 0.081 64.81% -0.029 0.231
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 250 35.48% 37.02 -2.381 77.2% -0.461 -0.5116
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 270 34.21% 30.91 0.38 62.59% -0.23 -0.404
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 35 51.43% 23.71 0.99 45.71% -0.071 0.5412
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 62 51.61% 36.61 3.109 79.03% 0.593 0.697
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 52 53.85% 30.12 0.297 65.38% 0.09 -0.4916
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 71 50.7% 32.14 1.425 60.56% 0.083 0.1289
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 42 50.0% 27.31 -0.584 59.52% 0.331 0.4116
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 31 58.06% 25.71 -1.828 54.84% 0.021 0.229
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 172 38.69% 32.93 0.756 71.51% 0.216 0.2955
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 132 34.35% 31.34 -0.437 71.21% -0.003 -0.3254
Shifting Memory of Ages 255 44.31% 26.67 -3.174 55.29% -0.387 -0.1213
Shroud of Silent Mist 179 60.89% 27.82 -1.291 57.54% -0.269 0.0982
Starlight Seeks its Form 369 31.44% 31.35 -0.487 65.85% -0.107 -0.335
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 348 28.12% 31.91 0.493 72.13% 0.186 -0.1708
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 233 57.94% 28.98 -0.711 55.79% 0.071 0.2036
Thunderspeaker 197 39.29% 32.51 0.475 70.05% 0.03 0.0589
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 71 35.21% 28.48 -1.988 61.97% -0.363 -0.1235
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 197 66.5% 26.95 -2.27 59.9% -0.555 -0.3641
Vital Strength of the Earth 87 25.58% 21.75 0.179 39.08% -0.238 0.3193
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 175 37.06% 28.08 -3.547 56.57% -1.03 -0.6202
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 48 33.33% 29.0 2.176 56.25% 0.137 0.8654
Volcano Looming High 362 49.17% 30.28 -1.103 66.85% -0.083 -0.0634
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 113 32.74% 36.5 4.11 82.3% 1.128 0.5343

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 16 6.25% 30.56 -16.265 68.75% -0.651 -0.7911
Blitz 0 84 27.38% 30.15 -4.984 54.76% -0.662 -0.5509
Dahan Insurrection 4 63 36.51% 38.63 5.864 44.44% -0.006 -0.2417
Despicable Theft 2 36 52.78% 25.86 -4.351 19.44% -0.546 0.097
Elemental Invocation 1 52 46.15% 20.1 -8.635 36.54% -1.377 -0.5754
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 225 15.56% 33.47 1.032 57.78% 0.138 -0.6361
Powers Long Forgotten 1 39 28.21% 10.79 -7.988 17.95% -1.515 -0.7418
Rituals of Terror 3 16 62.5% 30.38 -4.075 50.0% -0.311 -0.2945
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 16 68.75% 20.63 -2.811 18.75% -0.363 0.6941
Second Wave 0 264 32.95% 36.22 3.682 68.94% 0.4 0.481
The Great River 3 7 28.57% 22.71 0.0 28.57%
Varied Terrains 2 60 61.67% 25.95 -0.937 36.67% -0.175 0.5166
Ward the Shores 2 35 42.86% 27.51 -4.275 37.14% -0.476 0.3873

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3797 41.6% 31.03 0.343 65.16% 0.661 0.8613
1 Thematic 258 33.72% 23.31 -2.431 36.05% -0.188 0.5318
2 Archipelago 18 61.11% 29.39 -0.761 44.44% -0.258 -0.0034
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1056 40.76% 31.29 0.474 67.52% 0.488 0.4955
2 Coastline 148 37.84% 35.75 2.69 81.76% 0.782 0.5773
2 Fragment 30 36.67% 29.9 -0.848 63.33% 0.185 -0.0924
2 Heart 19 57.89% 22.0 -0.109 36.84% 0.098 -0.1221
2 Opposite Shores 264 44.32% 30.0 -1.522 64.39% -0.207 -0.1503
2 Thematic 110 29.09% 25.45 -3.952 42.73% 0.026 0.478
2 Top to Top 41 41.46% 33.59 -6.006 75.61% -0.879 -0.9763
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 40.17 13.109 50.0% 0.281 -0.51
3 Coastline 5 20.0% 30.6 2.341 60.0% 0.279 -0.2879
3 Other 4 25.0% 26.0 4.828 50.0% 1.088 1.0591
3 Round (Default) 492 36.17% 32.62 0.509 70.12% -0.199 -0.4246
3 Thematic 16 25.0% 28.25 -14.967 56.25% -0.396 -0.1992
4 Archipelago 6 50.0% 25.33 -9.057 50.0% -0.862 -2.048
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 35.0 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 3 0.0% 42.67 8.803 100.0% 0.317 -0.3822
4 Other 5 20.0% 25.2 2.231 60.0% -0.161 -1.5185
4 Thematic 34 50.0% 32.71 1.407 52.94% -0.189 -0.3877
4 Trapezoid (Default) 167 32.34% 33.08 -0.734 73.05% -1.012 -1.2559
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 3 100.0% 27.67 0.0 66.67%
5 Other 42 50.0% 32.17 1.467 80.95% 0.531 -0.526
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 56.0 2.729 100.0% 0.181 -0.5555
6 Other 6 50.0% 25.33 -9.699 33.33% -0.5 -1.2372
6 Star 3 100.0% 26.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Thematic 34 42.42% 34.38 2.089 58.82% -0.09 0.6641
6 Two Centers (Default) 10 30.0% 32.1 2.055 70.0% 0.006 -0.5741
7 Other 2 0.0% 52.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 173 29.12 2.286 57.8% 0.075 0.2347
Aid From Lesser Spirits 137 32.43 3.372 73.72% 0.748 0.6622
All Things Weaken 191 28.32 0.651 56.54% 0.076 0.4179
Attenuated Essence 61 26.72 -1.312 54.1% -0.097 -0.0234
Back Against the Wall 128 30.68 3.399 56.25% 0.472 0.5473
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 53 26.42 1.544 52.83% 0.345 0.5355
Burn Brightest Before the End 31 33.87 0.788 61.29% -0.32 -0.1961
Disintegrating Ecosystem 159 29.58 -1.248 66.67% 0.024 0.3971
Downward Spiral 175 28.09 1.545 60.0% 0.493 0.6298
Erosion of Will 139 27.85 -0.31 52.52% -0.24 0.0542
Intensifying Exploitation 65 22.85 -3.786 46.15% -0.78 -0.5415
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 73 37.01 2.41 84.93% 0.749 0.2172
Memory Fades to Dust 170 29.35 -4.425 61.76% -0.841 -0.5606
Power Corrodes the Spirit 179 28.6 -0.58 59.78% -0.001 0.1517
Promising Farmlands 183 28.43 0.963 62.84% 0.308 0.6539
Shattered Fragments of Power 38 30.24 0.616 63.16% 0.076 0.2707
Slow Dissolution of Will 57 29.96 -0.639 56.14% -0.321 0.1307
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 56 31.21 -1.367 69.64% -0.207 -0.948
The Border of Life and Death 17 32.18 5.849 64.71% 0.232 -0.2012
Thriving Communities 203 27.06 -4.235 53.2% -1.274 -0.9755
Thriving Crops 28 29.04 -2.691 64.29% -0.344 -0.4461
Unnatural Proliferation 180 29.52 2.23 60.56% 0.602 0.7473
Untended Land Crumbles 170 26.85 1.928 53.53% 0.544 0.843

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1405 40.13% 32.43 1.368 69.04% 0.256 1.2499
B 1305 38.86% 31.62 0.696 67.74% -0.089 0.829
C 1512 39.28% 31.9 -0.044 68.98% -0.155 0.5875
D 1212 37.85% 30.22 -0.682 63.53% -0.37 0.5816
E 1192 41.98% 31.66 1.362 66.78% 0.311 1.0914
F 1102 44.6% 31.45 -0.503 68.6% -0.367 0.5252
G 965 43.26% 31.03 -1.15 67.25% -0.375 0.4807
H 911 39.12% 32.43 0.943 69.92% 0.114 0.9618
East 297 35.81% 25.76 0.726 40.74% -0.152 0.6171
Northeast 144 32.87% 27.33 -2.634 41.67% -1.226 -0.4387
Northwest 133 31.82% 30.75 0.154 54.89% 0.065 1.0483
Southeast 127 38.1% 26.89 -1.445 45.67% -0.702 0.1725
Southwest 117 37.93% 26.96 -2.218 46.15% -0.765 0.4427
West 291 35.17% 27.53 0.09 47.42% 0.159 1.0937

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 17 0.0% 40.65 9.294 88.24% 0.411 1.0402
Not Using Events or Tokens 71 20.59% 25.61 -1.738 50.7% -0.309 0.1977
Skip Initial Invader Actions 140 16.92% 42.85 5.029 75.0% 0.637 0.0025
Start of Game Growth 164 16.23% 43.2 5.852 79.27% 1.366 0.9768
Unlimited Undo 774 35.24% 29.88 -2.019 60.85% -0.417 -0.3729
Using Tokens but Not Events 569 32.43% 31.49 0.868 66.26% 0.162 0.1346

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1467 17.67 1.23%
II 1392 30.7 54.09%
III 2180 34.75 90.14%
IV 1556 38.22 99.1%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.37 Win Model: 0.604
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4103 41.18% 30.5 63.2%
2 1660 40.87% 31.18 66.45%
3 515 34.72% 32.32 69.51%
4 217 35.48% 32.89 70.05%
5 45 57.78% 34.22 84.44%
6 55 40.74% 33.76 61.82%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 18
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1930
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 731
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1529
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 883
Lose: Invader deck ran out 26
Lose: Adversary condition 753
Win: Sacrifice victory 29
Lose: Scenario condition 49
Win: Scenario condition 41
Lose: Blight pool ran out 552
Lose: Spirit destroyed 54

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 521 26.11% 41.29 3.288 71.21% 0.704 0.5811
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 260 60.0% 37.8 1.1 63.85% 0.131 0.3719
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 95 34.74% 45.33 4.583 81.05% 0.908 -0.0932
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 343 41.81% 38.61 -2.87 68.22% -0.421 -0.6477
Downpour Drenches the World 751 29.03% 36.86 -3.465 63.12% -0.436 -0.1111
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 734 29.97% 41.72 1.463 76.29% 0.584 0.0847
Eyes Watch From the Trees 533 30.26% 45.33 2.578 78.99% 0.5 0.0389
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 374 42.78% 43.43 1.007 77.27% 0.385 -0.0439
Finder of Paths Unseen 429 51.05% 34.1 -7.835 59.91% -1.2 -0.3775
Fractured Days Split the Sky 241 37.71% 38.6 -5.087 55.6% -1.004 -0.4073
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 410 52.44% 36.33 0.798 63.9% 0.384 0.3829
Heart of the Wildfire 306 66.56% 30.86 -6.158 51.63% -0.856 -0.4718
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 937 32.69% 44.19 2.613 75.88% 0.494 -0.001
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 101 39.6% 38.84 1.077 70.3% 0.311 -0.2359
Lightning's Swift Strike 166 60.49% 38.65 2.033 65.66% 0.121 0.3041
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 434 41.71% 45.29 0.942 77.19% 0.321 -0.2162
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 140 48.2% 40.9 -4.949 72.14% -0.692 -0.9829
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 186 28.49% 44.62 1.747 77.96% 0.543 0.3953
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 557 49.46% 37.8 -2.104 63.38% -0.555 -0.8065
Many Minds Move as One 295 32.88% 38.87 -1.388 68.81% -0.121 -0.278
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1140 42.27% 40.42 0.174 70.7% 0.216 0.2267
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 396 39.75% 41.52 0.818 74.24% 0.17 0.0245
River Surges in Sunlight 223 38.64% 47.59 5.214 82.51% 0.95 0.9881
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 137 37.23% 33.19 -3.759 54.74% -0.393 -0.1332
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 449 40.4% 47.77 2.995 77.73% 0.374 0.3235
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 551 32.67% 40.14 2.479 68.78% 0.547 0.3732
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 29 79.31% 28.41 0.62 37.93% -0.261 0.3511
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 70 64.29% 35.96 -7.344 60.0% -0.237 -0.1328
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 70 67.14% 37.89 0.708 67.14% 0.135 -0.4465
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 110 60.0% 37.85 -0.959 64.55% 0.015 0.0613
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 58 67.24% 32.33 2.712 50.0% 0.621 0.7013
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 20 80.0% 34.3 -1.827 55.0% -0.146 0.0618
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 333 40.18% 41.85 -0.357 71.47% 0.155 0.2342
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 172 31.4% 38.13 0.406 68.02% 0.277 -0.0459
Shifting Memory of Ages 385 44.79% 34.87 -4.069 59.22% -0.777 -0.5121
Shroud of Silent Mist 279 57.76% 33.42 -4.005 56.27% -0.547 -0.1791
Starlight Seeks its Form 756 37.22% 38.0 -1.67 66.53% -0.112 -0.3398
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 528 29.22% 42.13 1.099 76.14% 0.529 0.1729
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 248 50.41% 37.16 0.398 62.9% 0.097 0.23
Thunderspeaker 273 45.9% 44.4 4.346 71.79% 0.84 0.8692
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 131 36.64% 34.29 -4.919 50.38% -0.889 -0.6497
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 362 72.65% 35.4 -0.115 64.09% 0.134 0.3243
Vital Strength of the Earth 78 35.53% 29.99 -3.885 46.15% -0.687 -0.1293
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 317 40.76% 35.94 -2.543 59.94% -0.414 -0.0039
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 40 40.0% 35.23 -7.139 62.5% -1.027 -0.2988
Volcano Looming High 597 55.61% 38.9 1.048 71.86% 0.345 0.3646
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 203 39.41% 42.13 2.918 77.34% 0.753 0.1592

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 12 41.67% 33.83 6.743 66.67% 0.524 0.3847
Blitz 0 94 27.66% 42.22 5.77 58.51% 0.476 0.5866
Dahan Insurrection 4 71 43.66% 53.59 2.275 43.66% -0.501 -0.736
Despicable Theft 2 13 38.46% 31.85 -8.429 38.46% -0.65 -0.0066
Elemental Invocation 1 33 42.42% 34.58 2.02 57.58% 0.155 0.9569
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 296 17.57% 42.86 3.977 61.15% 0.397 -0.3766
Powers Long Forgotten 1 20 45.0% 35.85 -3.127 55.0% -0.287 0.4856
Rituals of Terror 3 25 20.0% 27.72 -4.672 32.0% -0.734 -0.7177
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 9 66.67% 28.89 -8.157 33.33% -0.717 0.34
Second Wave 0 229 37.0% 44.64 3.545 69.43% 0.334 0.4143
The Great River 3 28 46.43% 32.96 -1.622 35.71% -0.86 0.2685
Varied Terrains 2 32 59.38% 33.09 -10.255 40.63% -1.352 -0.6596
Ward the Shores 2 21 52.38% 34.57 -10.067 47.62% -0.907 -0.0441

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5799 45.24% 39.02 0.317 68.13% 0.483 0.6842
1 Thematic 173 42.2% 34.08 -3.547 44.51% -0.515 0.2047
2 Archipelago 16 31.25% 36.94 -5.582 50.0% -0.448 -0.1932
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1534 40.87% 38.5 -0.907 70.21% -0.089 -0.0814
2 Coastline 209 39.71% 42.47 0.076 76.08% -0.003 -0.2082
2 Fragment 33 42.42% 30.97 -2.488 48.48% -0.928 -1.2053
2 Heart 17 47.06% 49.47 15.01 94.12% 0.341 0.121
2 Opposite Shores 320 40.0% 35.89 -2.514 63.44% -0.368 -0.3109
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 83 50.6% 33.48 -3.968 45.78% -0.84 -0.3886
2 Top to Top 75 48.0% 45.32 7.665 88.0% 1.556 1.4583
3 Archipelago 8 87.5% 29.0 0.0 25.0%
3 Coastline 4 75.0% 54.0 7.833 100.0% 0.781 0.2141
3 Other 25 16.0% 30.28 -2.813 44.0% -0.272 -0.3009
3 Round (Default) 825 38.1% 41.26 1.747 71.39% -0.23 -0.4561
3 Sunrise 2 0.0% 24.5 4.22 50.0% 0.096 -0.8889
3 Thematic 23 21.74% 50.7 7.191 73.91% 0.461 0.6581
4 Archipelago 11 90.91% 49.45 5.152 90.91% 0.411 -0.7752
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 37.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 26 61.54% 37.5 0.24 76.92% 0.107 -1.2501
4 Thematic 41 43.9% 46.12 4.509 63.41% 0.517 0.3184
4 Trapezoid (Default) 328 40.0% 41.98 -1.236 72.87% -1.284 -1.5272
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -16.481 0.0% -0.438 -0.2447
5 Other 24 29.17% 48.04 6.204 91.67% 0.074 -0.9824
5 Thematic 17 64.71% 62.41 45.045 35.29% 0.823 0.3441
6 Other 9 50.0% 49.44 0.0 77.78%
6 Star 9 33.33% 23.22 5.194 33.33% 0.054 -0.0028
6 Thematic 61 21.31% 41.87 -3.328 54.1% -1.406 -0.6517
6 Two Centers (Default) 49 24.49% 40.31 5.081 75.51% 0.191 -0.3889

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 264 39.39 0.547 69.32% 0.02 0.1796
Aid From Lesser Spirits 201 40.33 0.038 66.17% -0.351 -0.4373
All Things Weaken 260 36.75 0.007 62.31% 0.031 0.3731
Attenuated Essence 82 32.37 0.138 54.88% 0.016 0.0906
Back Against the Wall 228 38.21 1.134 64.04% 0.224 0.2992
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 67 35.64 3.143 59.7% 0.535 0.7264
Burn Brightest Before the End 69 35.7 -0.178 59.42% -0.183 -0.059
Disintegrating Ecosystem 267 34.75 -0.13 62.17% 0.078 0.451
Downward Spiral 260 36.94 -1.22 65.0% -0.135 0.002
Erosion of Will 281 36.28 -0.259 59.43% -0.338 -0.0433
Intensifying Exploitation 92 33.71 -1.656 57.61% -0.374 -0.1352
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 143 42.64 0.672 81.12% 0.354 -0.1779
Memory Fades to Dust 289 34.17 -1.46 56.75% -0.359 -0.0778
Power Corrodes the Spirit 265 35.4 0.914 63.02% 0.265 0.4181
Promising Farmlands 277 34.86 -3.101 59.21% -0.649 -0.303
Shattered Fragments of Power 61 35.46 -0.305 57.38% -0.077 0.1181
Slow Dissolution of Will 84 36.63 -0.268 60.71% -0.115 0.3357
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 83 43.27 5.977 80.72% 0.69 -0.0501
The Border of Life and Death 20 37.75 1.516 75.0% 0.387 -0.0463
Thriving Communities 306 35.4 -0.27 60.78% 0.052 0.3508
Thriving Crops 36 38.33 2.929 72.22% 0.78 0.6777
Unnatural Proliferation 287 38.08 -1.642 65.51% -0.44 -0.2944
Untended Land Crumbles 275 34.26 -3.913 59.27% -0.483 -0.1837

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2057 44.38% 38.49 -0.973 67.62% -0.394 0.6002
B 2086 40.65% 39.86 0.378 70.95% -0.186 0.7321
C 2321 39.69% 39.13 -0.451 68.81% -0.309 0.4333
D 1776 42.41% 38.13 -0.728 66.1% -0.471 0.4805
E 1845 42.11% 41.09 0.528 72.95% -0.16 0.6211
F 1623 43.11% 39.7 1.248 69.62% -0.059 0.8332
G 1564 42.75% 39.72 0.938 70.27% 0.043 0.8982
H 1493 40.22% 40.6 0.734 72.61% -0.147 0.7015
East 285 39.3% 38.69 -0.714 46.67% -0.519 0.2504
Northeast 185 36.22% 41.46 -1.034 47.03% -1.284 -0.4964
Northwest 158 38.61% 42.83 -0.287 52.53% -0.237 0.7465
Southeast 146 39.73% 42.88 1.214 53.42% -0.028 0.8463
Southwest 140 35.71% 39.09 -1.855 55.71% -0.646 0.5613
West 285 40.35% 41.58 1.063 54.74% -0.352 0.5818

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 32 0.0% 46.66 -7.202 75.0% -0.524 0.1055
Not Using Events or Tokens 42 35.71% 33.0 -3.527 50.0% -0.196 0.3102
Skip Initial Invader Actions 202 13.9% 48.27 4.753 68.81% 0.078 -0.557
Start of Game Growth 278 11.92% 47.4 3.792 73.02% 0.355 -0.0344
Unlimited Undo 962 37.29% 41.94 0.925 73.6% 0.148 0.1923
Using Tokens but Not Events 669 30.46% 39.75 0.097 68.16% 0.072 0.0445

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1744 17.67 2.01%
II 2367 30.7 57.33%
III 3860 34.75 90.62%
IV 1773 38.22 99.72%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.451 Win Model: 0.769
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6034 45.12% 38.82 67.37%
2 2263 41.49% 38.7 69.47%
3 872 37.18% 41.1 70.76%
4 409 42.86% 42.45 72.86%
5 40 45.0% 54.02 67.5%
6 126 24.8% 40.25 62.7%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 35
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3444
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1326
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1754
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1123
Lose: Invader deck ran out 48
Lose: Adversary condition 906
Win: Sacrifice victory 58
Lose: Scenario condition 73
Win: Scenario condition 41
Lose: Blight pool ran out 883
Lose: Spirit destroyed 53

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 399 33.83% 41.65 0.524 65.16% 0.14 0.0175
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 222 64.86% 32.73 -5.611 46.85% -0.918 -0.6766
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 104 63.46% 39.25 2.594 55.77% 0.348 -0.6536
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 269 60.59% 35.99 -2.353 57.25% -0.221 -0.4479
Downpour Drenches the World 560 43.39% 36.37 -5.646 56.79% -0.623 -0.2978
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 677 41.36% 39.8 1.027 70.16% 0.463 -0.036
Eyes Watch From the Trees 409 44.01% 42.14 0.512 69.19% 0.057 -0.4041
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 258 51.94% 40.68 2.782 67.44% 0.475 0.0456
Finder of Paths Unseen 312 56.41% 35.59 -1.086 57.69% 0.106 0.9286
Fractured Days Split the Sky 196 40.82% 34.2 2.203 47.45% 0.136 0.7331
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 307 57.33% 36.69 -4.197 57.65% -0.497 -0.498
Heart of the Wildfire 218 76.15% 31.13 -4.046 48.62% -0.445 -0.0607
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 764 37.57% 45.84 1.92 72.64% 0.43 -0.0651
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 97 40.21% 39.12 2.92 67.01% 0.6 0.0526
Lightning's Swift Strike 92 59.78% 37.63 0.027 56.52% -0.103 0.0795
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 432 59.26% 45.0 0.638 72.22% 0.313 -0.2235
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 101 46.53% 42.77 -1.344 71.29% -0.127 -0.4175
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 134 40.3% 39.56 5.733 61.94% 1.089 0.9413
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 395 58.23% 36.62 0.542 57.47% 0.255 0.0037
Many Minds Move as One 262 36.26% 34.5 -3.822 56.11% -0.357 -0.5138
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 899 56.01% 38.95 1.179 56.62% 0.176 0.1869
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 277 46.57% 39.65 0.985 63.18% 0.311 0.165
River Surges in Sunlight 167 47.9% 42.22 2.078 65.87% 0.49 0.5278
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 60 65.0% 37.02 -3.59 55.0% -0.778 -0.5179
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 395 52.91% 43.76 2.754 65.06% 0.348 0.2974
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 433 38.11% 42.2 -0.095 69.52% 0.074 -0.1002
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 18 77.78% 31.0 3.551 33.33% -0.017 0.5958
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 42 69.05% 30.36 -5.256 45.24% -0.59 -0.486
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 52 65.38% 38.96 2.662 65.38% 0.464 -0.1179
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 85 64.71% 37.71 -1.399 56.47% -0.265 -0.219
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 46 63.04% 37.0 7.83 56.52% 0.753 0.8339
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 22 68.18% 17.77 0.0 13.64%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 320 51.56% 41.63 -2.478 69.06% -0.311 -0.2319
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 160 43.75% 29.06 -6.436 48.13% -0.805 -1.1274
Shifting Memory of Ages 225 52.0% 37.68 1.396 62.22% 0.214 0.4791
Shroud of Silent Mist 184 64.67% 27.65 -4.31 38.59% -0.514 -0.146
Starlight Seeks its Form 739 44.52% 35.83 -1.657 55.35% -0.235 -0.4626
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 493 37.2% 38.28 -0.576 62.27% 0.17 -0.1863
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 238 62.61% 31.39 -3.018 37.39% -0.474 -0.3413
Thunderspeaker 316 51.27% 39.64 -0.77 63.92% 0.192 0.2207
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 77 53.25% 36.09 -3.147 61.04% -0.509 -0.2694
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 395 73.42% 32.34 -1.429 48.86% -0.014 0.1763
Vital Strength of the Earth 131 64.89% 22.92 -2.546 11.45% -0.053 0.5043
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 241 50.21% 36.73 1.509 51.04% 0.33 0.74
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 38 57.89% 28.79 -2.494 31.58% -0.688 0.0404
Volcano Looming High 509 60.51% 38.34 0.746 64.24% 0.327 0.3465
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 192 51.04% 39.81 3.419 67.71% 0.663 0.0696

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 50.0% 25.0 0.0 50.0%
Blitz 0 102 16.67% 48.9 9.582 45.1% 0.574 0.6844
Dahan Insurrection 4 66 45.45% 55.23 9.914 48.48% 0.106 -0.1295
Despicable Theft 2 12 33.33% 25.25 -1.955 25.0% -0.142 0.5012
Elemental Invocation 1 20 50.0% 33.85 0.124 50.0% 0.141 0.9425
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 411 21.41% 49.05 3.619 74.7% 0.346 -0.4283
Powers Long Forgotten 1 16 62.5% 26.56 -14.24 18.75% -0.579 0.1933
Rituals of Terror 3 13 46.15% 32.69 -6.844 38.46% -0.585 -0.5685
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 7 85.71% 29.14 -16.75 42.86% -0.412 0.6454
Second Wave 0 173 42.77% 43.27 3.457 63.01% 0.26 0.3408
The Great River 3 9 77.78% 42.44 0.0 44.44%
Varied Terrains 2 26 57.69% 35.12 -5.704 23.08% -1.117 -0.4247
Ward the Shores 2 24 45.83% 32.08 0.158 29.17% -0.382 0.4812

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5524 53.21% 37.93 0.605 58.22% 0.153 0.3538
1 Thematic 130 42.31% 35.57 -2.057 43.08% -0.401 0.3188
2 Archipelago 10 20.0% 49.1 12.187 60.0% 0.74 0.9947
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1275 46.27% 41.38 1.581 69.96% 0.396 0.4038
2 Coastline 174 53.45% 38.79 0.49 64.94% 0.245 0.0402
2 Fragment 34 67.65% 36.91 -3.427 58.82% -0.058 -0.335
2 Heart 26 53.85% 42.62 1.794 69.23% 0.526 0.3052
2 Opposite Shores 499 51.7% 32.16 -3.342 50.5% -0.397 -0.3401
2 Thematic 119 65.55% 26.76 1.323 16.81% 0.045 0.4964
2 Top to Top 100 38.0% 33.32 -3.21 58.0% 0.052 -0.0455
3 Archipelago 9 88.89% 36.33 -0.535 44.44% -0.586 -1.3777
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 35.0 9.586 33.33% 0.692 0.1249
3 Other 10 40.0% 25.3 1.052 40.0% 0.533 0.5039
3 Round (Default) 574 48.61% 39.99 1.023 63.41% 0.147 -0.079
3 Sunrise 8 25.0% 33.13 2.028 37.5% 0.0 -0.9845
3 Thematic 16 68.75% 50.63 -3.007 68.75% -0.337 -0.1401
4 Archipelago 4 100.0% 30.75 0.0 25.0%
4 Other 7 71.43% 35.0 0.0 57.14%
4 Thematic 13 38.46% 30.38 -4.938 30.77% -0.404 -0.6021
4 Trapezoid (Default) 154 46.75% 40.53 -1.197 66.88% 0.087 -0.1569
5 Other 16 62.5% 35.13 -10.059 50.0% -1.752 -2.8091
5 Thematic 8 75.0% 32.88 0.0 12.5%
6 Archipelago 2 100.0% 39.0 -9.258 50.0% -0.557 -1.2938
6 Other 9 44.44% 41.33 10.753 77.78% 0.418 -0.3192
6 Star 5 20.0% 29.6 -13.308 40.0% -0.322 -0.3787
6 Thematic 6 33.33% 22.17 0.0 16.67%
6 Two Centers (Default) 12 25.0% 50.67 7.594 83.33% 0.341 -0.2384

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 302 37.57 0.406 57.28% 0.023 0.1832
Aid From Lesser Spirits 221 39.06 2.153 57.92% 0.122 0.036
All Things Weaken 295 36.11 -1.401 52.2% -0.27 0.0717
Attenuated Essence 99 33.06 -0.093 50.51% -0.075 -0.0005
Back Against the Wall 243 37.87 0.911 55.97% -0.006 0.0687
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 101 32.56 -0.706 50.5% -0.174 0.0164
Burn Brightest Before the End 64 38.94 1.117 59.38% -0.339 -0.2149
Disintegrating Ecosystem 291 34.21 -1.637 55.33% -0.139 0.2337
Downward Spiral 310 36.34 0.334 56.13% 0.124 0.2612
Erosion of Will 297 33.92 0.213 47.81% -0.155 0.1393
Intensifying Exploitation 101 32.06 -0.984 50.5% -0.157 0.0817
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 128 41.87 1.708 69.53% 0.317 -0.2153
Memory Fades to Dust 312 35.51 -0.306 54.49% -0.185 0.0962
Power Corrodes the Spirit 281 33.98 -0.371 49.82% -0.098 0.0547
Promising Farmlands 263 32.98 -0.487 48.29% -0.037 0.3095
Shattered Fragments of Power 79 38.13 0.613 58.23% -0.097 0.0977
Slow Dissolution of Will 102 31.6 -0.041 44.12% -0.203 0.2479
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 79 44.3 7.097 77.22% 1.21 0.4698
The Border of Life and Death 28 44.18 1.286 78.57% 0.134 -0.2986
Thriving Communities 298 34.35 -0.684 50.67% -0.086 0.2128
Thriving Crops 42 35.93 -1.488 57.14% 0.043 -0.0592
Unnatural Proliferation 301 36.78 0.364 53.16% -0.113 0.0322
Untended Land Crumbles 274 36.08 1.432 54.38% 0.173 0.4725

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1791 50.2% 36.38 -1.351 57.84% -0.686 0.3078
B 1818 49.5% 38.18 0.284 61.55% -0.344 0.5737
C 1953 49.54% 40.13 0.392 64.62% -0.399 0.3431
D 1379 48.95% 37.26 0.011 58.01% -0.47 0.4815
E 1658 51.33% 39.09 0.154 62.0% -0.413 0.368
F 1385 52.42% 39.51 -0.268 63.1% -0.519 0.3736
G 1213 52.97% 39.29 1.957 62.24% -0.013 0.8419
H 1269 50.59% 38.47 -1.356 60.13% -0.772 0.0757
East 141 42.55% 32.26 0.123 34.75% -0.495 0.2747
Northeast 76 34.21% 32.37 -4.142 30.26% -0.652 0.1355
Northwest 71 50.7% 37.04 -5.086 42.25% -0.662 0.3218
Southeast 51 52.94% 30.78 -1.793 35.29% -0.587 0.2872
Southwest 122 69.67% 26.92 -1.98 19.67% -0.507 0.7009
West 209 60.77% 32.5 1.245 31.1% -0.034 0.8999

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2 0.0% 51.5 0.0 100.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 26 26.92% 30.88 -1.388 50.0% -0.096 0.4106
Skip Initial Invader Actions 155 14.19% 57.34 8.107 62.58% 0.662 0.0269
Start of Game Growth 287 24.39% 48.48 0.366 62.72% 0.013 -0.3767
Unlimited Undo 1198 46.15% 40.76 0.184 64.19% -0.017 0.0275
Using Tokens but Not Events 466 43.97% 39.96 -1.616 61.59% -0.268 -0.2953

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2103 17.67 4.47%
II 2438 30.7 50.08%
III 2934 34.75 88.68%
IV 1277 38.22 99.3%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.119 Win Model: 0.382
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 5711 52.92% 37.9 57.91%
2 2195 49.07% 37.95 61.59%
3 611 49.1% 39.93 63.01%
4 180 47.22% 39.08 62.22%
5 22 77.27% 35.64 40.91%
6 33 33.33% 38.7 60.61%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 93
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2566
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1186
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1259
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1177
Lose: Invader deck ran out 136
Lose: Adversary condition 993
Win: Sacrifice victory 42
Lose: Scenario condition 62
Win: Scenario condition 39
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1124
Lose: Spirit destroyed 75

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 318 43.08% 46.98 1.163 69.18% 0.06 -0.063
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 173 67.63% 34.71 -5.273 41.62% -0.552 -0.3112
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 86 60.47% 43.47 1.867 63.95% 0.363 -0.6381
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 248 62.1% 33.33 -2.858 44.76% 0.061 -0.1656
Downpour Drenches the World 510 42.35% 44.5 -2.05 61.96% -0.379 -0.0543
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 619 41.68% 46.76 3.071 69.95% 0.735 0.2355
Eyes Watch From the Trees 329 44.38% 46.81 3.602 70.21% 0.696 0.2355
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 254 61.02% 36.71 -2.206 54.72% -0.003 -0.4326
Finder of Paths Unseen 412 58.74% 37.95 -3.335 51.7% -0.141 0.6815
Fractured Days Split the Sky 141 41.84% 43.54 1.1 55.32% -0.225 0.3717
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 272 57.72% 43.46 -3.116 58.09% -0.331 -0.3321
Heart of the Wildfire 170 73.53% 37.02 -7.15 52.94% -1.061 -0.6762
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 809 46.23% 47.27 -0.031 69.47% 0.16 -0.3353
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 70 47.14% 47.01 2.744 65.71% 0.307 -0.2403
Lightning's Swift Strike 70 67.14% 41.34 -0.336 52.86% -0.279 -0.0962
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 465 60.22% 50.42 6.398 70.75% 1.006 0.4686
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 77 64.94% 49.77 -5.107 71.43% -0.553 -0.8437
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 106 39.62% 43.76 -2.567 56.6% -0.203 -0.3506
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 340 64.71% 35.72 1.031 44.41% 0.164 -0.087
Many Minds Move as One 193 44.56% 47.54 4.032 68.91% 1.061 0.9044
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 978 57.07% 41.74 2.912 56.44% 0.425 0.4359
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 299 50.84% 42.45 -1.065 61.87% 0.018 -0.128
River Surges in Sunlight 107 56.07% 44.81 -5.316 60.75% -1.488 -1.4507
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 64 68.75% 32.13 -5.513 26.56% -0.909 -0.649
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 318 53.46% 54.08 2.928 66.04% 0.591 0.5408
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 548 33.94% 47.24 2.973 69.34% 0.479 0.3046
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 9 88.89% 33.67 -3.201 44.44% -0.125 0.4877
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 26 76.92% 40.27 4.801 61.54% 0.792 0.8958
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 58 60.34% 46.4 2.871 70.69% 0.517 -0.0647
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 40 60.0% 45.35 -3.484 62.5% -0.486 -0.44
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 39 71.79% 40.56 -0.523 53.85% 0.085 0.1653
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 14 64.29% 28.5 -5.071 21.43% -0.108 0.0997
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 459 48.58% 44.51 -0.228 68.63% 0.198 0.2771
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 74 51.35% 49.58 2.015 68.92% 0.047 -0.2759
Shifting Memory of Ages 207 66.18% 39.98 0.78 56.04% 0.387 0.652
Shroud of Silent Mist 108 74.07% 38.24 -0.964 49.07% -0.28 0.088
Starlight Seeks its Form 452 50.0% 45.18 -1.69 62.39% 0.094 -0.1342
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 395 57.72% 35.98 -3.162 53.42% -0.072 -0.4284
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 118 54.24% 36.03 -4.838 43.22% -0.466 -0.333
Thunderspeaker 204 62.25% 37.71 -2.02 52.45% -0.15 -0.1211
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 44 59.09% 42.7 4.498 59.09% -0.194 0.0461
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 333 76.28% 33.11 -4.109 42.64% -0.254 -0.0635
Vital Strength of the Earth 37 51.35% 32.7 -4.43 35.14% -0.244 0.3133
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 173 52.6% 42.14 -1.68 54.91% -0.271 0.1388
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 21 57.14% 32.24 -6.315 42.86% -0.321 0.4067
Volcano Looming High 380 61.05% 43.96 2.042 63.95% 0.68 0.6993
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 139 58.99% 38.81 -0.213 56.83% 0.081 -0.5124

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 50.0% 44.38 0.0 75.0%
Blitz 0 69 14.49% 62.61 -2.247 69.57% -0.803 -0.6919
Dahan Insurrection 4 113 60.18% 63.02 14.781 47.79% 0.531 0.2963
Despicable Theft 2 22 72.73% 27.36 -15.989 18.18% -0.369 0.2738
Elemental Invocation 1 24 62.5% 33.71 -10.337 29.17% -0.706 0.0956
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1091 29.33% 49.71 4.05 66.09% 0.355 -0.4185
Powers Long Forgotten 1 10 60.0% 23.3 0.0 30.0%
Rituals of Terror 3 4 0.0% 25.5 -17.506 25.0% -0.437 -0.4205
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Second Wave 0 79 46.84% 45.72 2.582 60.76% -0.17 -0.0897
The Great River 3 16 56.25% 39.56 0.0 37.5%
Varied Terrains 2 22 59.09% 43.0 -16.919 50.0% -0.303 0.3894
Ward the Shores 2 68 67.65% 29.71 -9.166 13.24% -1.919 -1.0565

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5275 54.16% 40.43 -0.839 56.7% -0.126 0.0748
1 Thematic 168 52.98% 38.76 -7.402 31.55% -1.581 -0.8617
2 Archipelago 19 26.32% 50.53 0.0 42.11%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 887 57.61% 43.56 -0.012 64.94% -0.148 -0.1399
2 Coastline 224 63.84% 42.22 1.198 60.71% 0.233 0.0277
2 Fragment 9 66.67% 54.56 4.794 88.89% 0.303 0.0256
2 Heart 25 72.0% 41.72 0.0 56.0%
2 Opposite Shores 306 51.96% 42.54 1.993 58.17% 0.02 0.0775
2 Thematic 77 74.03% 37.92 -0.387 27.27% -0.217 0.2345
2 Top to Top 63 50.79% 52.59 6.005 85.71% 0.839 0.7414
3 Archipelago 5 60.0% 73.6 11.074 80.0% 0.119 -0.672
3 Coastline 5 20.0% 64.8 8.144 80.0% 0.228 -0.3391
3 Other 12 16.67% 23.58 9.79 41.67% 0.505 0.4763
3 Round (Default) 433 47.34% 49.24 2.556 70.21% 0.177 -0.0491
3 Thematic 20 40.0% 43.75 0.282 40.0% 0.078 0.2744
4 Archipelago 7 42.86% 67.0 8.255 85.71% 0.044 -1.1417
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 71.67 3.378 100.0% 0.063 -0.5231
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 6 16.67% 49.5 0.0 66.67%
4 Thematic 9 22.22% 47.89 -11.218 55.56% -0.101 -0.2989
4 Trapezoid (Default) 148 60.14% 43.08 0.727 60.14% 0.333 0.0893
5 Coastline 1 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 11 36.36% 33.09 -10.445 54.55% -0.599 -1.6559
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 59.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 10 10.0% 61.9 0.0 80.0%
6 Other 2 50.0% 53.0 -5.782 50.0% -0.197 -0.9337
6 Star 3 100.0% 31.0 3.388 33.33% 0.072 0.0153
6 Thematic 29 31.03% 47.79 -9.501 58.62% -0.128 0.6259
6 Two Centers (Default) 37 64.86% 46.95 -2.566 75.68% -0.263 -0.8426
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 105.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 297 39.31 -2.911 52.53% -0.456 -0.2957
Aid From Lesser Spirits 211 44.8 4.257 63.51% 0.357 0.2709
All Things Weaken 262 37.32 -2.991 47.71% -0.599 -0.2567
Attenuated Essence 104 36.56 -0.414 50.96% -0.223 -0.1487
Back Against the Wall 205 42.84 -0.333 55.61% -0.387 -0.3121
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 80 34.85 -1.714 51.25% -0.106 0.085
Burn Brightest Before the End 88 39.24 0.812 52.27% -0.267 -0.143
Disintegrating Ecosystem 239 33.18 -5.546 43.51% -0.824 -0.4515
Downward Spiral 270 36.11 -2.74 47.41% -0.459 -0.3225
Erosion of Will 281 34.58 -3.11 42.35% -0.714 -0.4196
Intensifying Exploitation 129 32.28 0.592 41.09% 0.082 0.3202
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 102 48.6 1.274 77.45% 0.393 -0.1393
Memory Fades to Dust 293 36.94 -2.36 48.81% -0.369 -0.0882
Power Corrodes the Spirit 288 39.45 -1.895 53.82% -0.388 -0.2352
Promising Farmlands 251 36.45 -2.097 47.01% -0.237 0.1092
Shattered Fragments of Power 75 39.24 0.271 53.33% -0.187 0.0077
Slow Dissolution of Will 117 32.73 -2.741 41.03% -0.589 -0.1382
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 69 46.72 3.163 73.91% 0.546 -0.1941
The Border of Life and Death 38 41.68 3.802 65.79% 0.758 0.325
Thriving Communities 258 34.93 -3.741 44.96% -0.725 -0.4266
Thriving Crops 50 36.32 -2.741 58.0% -0.441 -0.5431
Unnatural Proliferation 292 38.61 -1.525 48.63% -0.614 -0.4687
Untended Land Crumbles 247 37.05 -0.628 49.8% -0.23 0.0697

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1398 59.34% 40.7 -0.697 57.51% 0.078 1.0722
B 1470 54.97% 43.1 0.776 60.34% 0.222 1.1398
C 2061 47.5% 44.44 0.553 63.51% 0.196 0.9389
D 1167 53.56% 39.92 1.36 53.73% 0.335 1.2866
E 1337 54.45% 43.45 0.308 63.2% 0.266 1.0469
F 1199 56.96% 43.35 0.072 62.3% 0.187 1.0792
G 917 57.1% 43.1 -0.128 61.83% 0.191 1.0462
H 1197 54.14% 44.56 1.981 65.08% 0.422 1.2707
East 215 51.63% 41.8 -1.305 36.74% -0.247 0.5225
Northeast 110 46.36% 37.45 -3.48 33.64% -0.761 0.0262
Northwest 98 56.12% 40.39 -3.152 39.8% 0.002 0.9854
Southeast 90 48.89% 42.99 -9.128 42.22% -0.743 0.1315
Southwest 69 42.03% 37.52 -4.016 39.13% -1.013 0.1943
West 176 55.11% 38.99 -1.474 36.36% -0.192 0.7423

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2 0.0% 37.0 0.0 50.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 13 30.77% 24.62 -4.461 38.46% -0.117 0.3896
Skip Initial Invader Actions 246 15.04% 72.66 11.99 85.37% 1.788 1.1535
Start of Game Growth 378 30.42% 59.27 1.0 71.43% -0.272 -0.6615
Unlimited Undo 973 49.23% 39.57 -2.316 55.6% -0.09 -0.0456
Using Tokens but Not Events 383 44.62% 41.49 3.881 56.92% 0.646 0.6186

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2056 17.67 7.68%
II 2941 30.7 60.59%
III 2062 34.75 90.16%
IV 756 38.22 99.74%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.556 Win Model: -0.09
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 5511 54.38% 40.48 56.11%
2 1564 56.91% 43.4 61.83%
3 470 46.17% 48.41 68.3%
4 176 56.25% 45.27 62.5%
5 11 45.45% 33.09 54.55%
6 83 46.99% 49.46 68.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 157
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1828
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1727
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 741
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1110
Lose: Invader deck ran out 87
Lose: Adversary condition 618
Win: Sacrifice victory 37
Lose: Scenario condition 127
Win: Scenario condition 63
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1266
Lose: Spirit destroyed 54

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1735 41.04% 49.16 3.267 57.58% 0.834 0.7117
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 554 72.92% 37.87 -1.599 36.82% 0.046 0.2867
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 464 60.13% 49.65 6.57 62.07% 1.248 0.2464
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 609 65.52% 36.62 -3.834 38.42% 0.043 -0.1838
Downpour Drenches the World 2117 51.77% 43.82 -4.46 45.96% -0.251 0.0741
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2318 57.27% 40.8 0.685 51.29% 0.625 0.1252
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1060 55.57% 44.82 -0.139 51.04% 0.285 -0.1758
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 681 72.25% 39.41 -3.418 43.76% 0.013 -0.4167
Finder of Paths Unseen 1260 58.02% 41.92 -3.845 47.46% -0.2 0.6226
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1090 37.34% 46.49 -4.434 45.6% -0.537 0.0605
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 939 71.57% 39.75 -2.788 40.15% -0.375 -0.3758
Heart of the Wildfire 776 80.28% 27.52 -8.121 22.42% -1.054 -0.6694
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5175 48.83% 52.28 7.329 66.43% 1.544 1.0492
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 269 61.71% 37.35 -0.163 40.15% 0.404 -0.1428
Lightning's Swift Strike 348 66.38% 36.4 -9.058 38.79% -1.163 -0.98
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1905 70.9% 47.75 1.317 55.96% 0.359 -0.1776
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 784 63.94% 47.94 3.603 58.16% 1.086 0.7945
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 703 51.49% 47.4 -1.76 51.64% 0.191 0.043
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1368 69.28% 35.16 -5.278 32.68% -0.535 -0.7865
Many Minds Move as One 701 48.07% 51.13 0.697 61.34% 0.457 0.3
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2441 57.21% 42.07 -2.553 44.78% 0.017 0.028
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 962 58.52% 38.25 -3.168 41.58% -0.041 -0.1869
River Surges in Sunlight 505 62.43% 43.72 -2.908 46.73% -0.035 0.0023
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 185 67.39% 32.51 -8.866 25.41% -1.197 -0.9373
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1367 69.16% 47.58 0.833 47.4% 0.514 0.4637
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1964 44.5% 51.95 3.88 56.67% 0.952 0.7781
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 85 72.94% 19.89 -5.754 12.94% -0.537 0.0754
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 112 83.04% 33.95 -4.703 25.89% -0.832 -0.7281
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 237 78.48% 31.99 -2.787 33.33% -0.058 -0.6391
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 211 80.57% 33.99 -2.91 29.86% 0.165 0.2112
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 116 80.17% 31.46 -6.074 25.0% -0.869 -0.788
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 367 64.03% 43.08 1.752 40.33% 0.227 0.4353
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 861 57.96% 46.62 -1.938 53.77% 0.118 0.1976
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 419 51.07% 33.73 -0.087 39.62% 0.341 0.0185
Shifting Memory of Ages 996 60.4% 41.69 -1.506 40.06% -0.063 0.2018
Shroud of Silent Mist 517 75.05% 31.65 -7.811 28.82% -0.974 -0.6065
Starlight Seeks its Form 4123 51.21% 47.87 1.753 56.44% 0.79 0.5619
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2394 62.16% 42.51 3.441 48.91% 1.083 0.7266
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 530 70.08% 34.12 -7.187 32.64% -0.806 -0.6729
Thunderspeaker 633 61.08% 38.45 -5.621 35.07% -0.784 -0.7551
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 200 67.5% 34.08 0.824 40.0% 0.335 0.5745
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1614 77.39% 39.49 -2.986 43.49% 0.093 0.2836
Vital Strength of the Earth 150 58.67% 25.81 -2.908 17.33% 0.072 0.6294
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 736 64.95% 39.44 -5.793 38.45% -0.587 -0.1774
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 89 60.67% 26.63 -8.957 19.1% -0.723 0.0052
Volcano Looming High 2254 69.2% 40.68 -3.131 46.72% -0.189 -0.1695
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 521 62.96% 39.67 0.713 42.99% 0.439 -0.155

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 19 57.89% 48.79 -1.834 57.89% -0.407 -0.547
Blitz 0 205 23.9% 57.6 2.608 60.0% 0.053 0.1639
Dahan Insurrection 4 408 63.88% 46.32 7.832 13.48% 0.576 0.3409
Despicable Theft 2 10 70.0% 38.3 -5.519 30.0% -0.724 -0.0811
Elemental Invocation 1 108 70.37% 32.82 -7.913 5.56% -0.875 -0.0728
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1879 41.41% 45.26 2.907 39.01% 0.192 -0.5818
Powers Long Forgotten 1 7 71.43% 51.0 0.0 57.14%
Rituals of Terror 3 121 57.02% 78.25 15.164 47.93% 0.762 0.7784
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 15 46.67% 42.47 -4.046 26.67% -0.045 1.0121
Second Wave 0 193 67.88% 47.39 5.192 53.37% 0.603 0.6833
The Great River 3 15 53.33% 46.33 4.151 33.33% -0.029 1.0998
Varied Terrains 2 75 56.0% 28.69 -8.743 24.0% -1.791 -1.0986
Ward the Shores 2 54 75.93% 31.22 -10.185 16.67% -0.119 0.7441

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 27192 61.99% 42.11 0.277 47.93% 0.118 0.3185
1 Thematic 596 46.64% 40.69 -4.252 28.86% -0.718 0.0021
2 Archipelago 74 59.46% 39.88 4.514 13.51% -0.757 -0.5025
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3014 64.52% 39.84 -1.356 44.82% -0.235 -0.2268
2 Coastline 620 62.52% 45.22 -2.221 53.55% -0.233 -0.4378
2 Fragment 63 71.43% 53.24 15.876 68.25% 1.085 0.8073
2 Heart 163 82.21% 46.32 3.442 36.2% -0.615 -0.8354
2 Opposite Shores 653 58.65% 43.75 0.013 44.72% -0.233 -0.1761
2 Thematic 127 68.5% 50.8 0.06 30.71% -0.625 -0.1732
2 Top to Top 201 60.7% 43.1 -0.15 51.74% 0.091 -0.0064
3 Archipelago 31 64.52% 60.81 4.674 38.71% -0.248 -1.0395
3 Coastline 6 66.67% 47.33 -3.297 66.67% -0.582 -1.1495
3 Other 26 42.31% 55.0 5.235 65.38% 0.315 0.2862
3 Round (Default) 1706 57.5% 45.38 1.139 54.4% -0.163 -0.3886
3 Thematic 54 31.48% 73.91 5.081 42.59% -0.69 -0.4929
4 Archipelago 12 66.67% 82.83 28.207 75.0% 0.848 -0.3379
4 Leaf 15 60.0% 38.27 -10.457 13.33% -0.139 -0.8374
4 Other 5 20.0% 63.6 6.799 80.0% 0.638 -0.7192
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 92 46.74% 47.17 1.159 21.74% 0.132 -0.0664
4 Trapezoid (Default) 689 53.49% 46.28 -4.331 51.67% -1.291 -1.5344
5 Archipelago 8 50.0% 51.0 6.747 37.5% -0.279 0.038
5 Coastline 18 0.0% 54.94 -9.699 77.78% -1.263 -1.07
5 Other 45 61.36% 55.4 11.468 42.22% 0.652 -0.405
5 Thematic 6 66.67% 80.83 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 20 25.0% 60.65 19.72 65.0% 0.791 0.0542
6 Coastline 19 0.0% 63.21 12.991 89.47% 0.275 0.0348
6 Other 98 51.02% 53.76 12.581 62.24% 0.902 0.1654
6 Star 20 35.0% 62.8 7.322 85.0% 0.011 -0.0454
6 Thematic 38 57.89% 46.71 0.852 34.21% -0.084 0.6698
6 Two Centers (Default) 298 22.48% 55.27 -2.054 60.4% -1.64 -2.2197
7 Archipelago 6 16.67% 80.17 0.0 83.33%
7 Other 4 0.0% 0.0 -11.206 0.0% -0.118 -0.5297

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1441 40.7 0.152 40.87% -0.363 -0.2032
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1116 46.14 3.862 49.1% 0.258 0.1717
All Things Weaken 1434 42.2 0.211 44.42% -0.27 0.0721
Attenuated Essence 518 34.84 -0.88 35.91% -0.253 -0.1787
Back Against the Wall 1125 44.48 1.853 45.87% -0.066 0.0087
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 567 35.78 -0.448 37.04% -0.34 -0.1486
Burn Brightest Before the End 380 40.49 2.593 41.32% 0.16 0.2836
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1353 39.57 -0.693 42.28% -0.192 0.1804
Downward Spiral 1502 40.11 1.43 43.01% 0.187 0.3235
Erosion of Will 1399 40.12 0.843 39.53% -0.183 0.1121
Intensifying Exploitation 554 34.61 -0.034 36.1% -0.164 0.0744
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 394 49.2 2.424 59.39% 0.265 -0.2669
Memory Fades to Dust 1443 38.54 -1.019 39.57% -0.277 0.004
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1406 38.91 -0.934 38.9% -0.338 -0.1845
Promising Farmlands 1443 39.36 -0.584 40.4% -0.373 -0.0263
Shattered Fragments of Power 374 41.0 1.898 42.25% -0.062 0.1326
Slow Dissolution of Will 556 32.52 -1.247 31.29% -0.484 -0.0325
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 289 54.58 3.613 75.09% 0.758 0.0171
The Border of Life and Death 122 42.74 4.41 55.74% 0.659 0.2255
Thriving Communities 1378 38.26 -0.789 37.95% -0.227 0.0712
Thriving Crops 209 47.08 6.287 60.77% 0.797 0.6946
Unnatural Proliferation 1507 43.12 3.624 43.33% 0.284 0.429
Untended Land Crumbles 1445 39.41 -0.9 40.48% -0.333 -0.0332

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6061 59.77% 42.41 -1.754 47.38% -0.656 0.3377
B 6197 61.35% 41.81 -0.76 45.8% -0.474 0.4437
C 8148 59.07% 45.69 3.503 53.83% -0.025 0.7175
D 5352 56.8% 41.27 -0.928 42.96% -0.584 0.3676
E 7488 59.31% 43.37 0.09 49.88% -0.324 0.4566
F 5223 58.47% 43.74 -0.363 50.34% -0.44 0.4525
G 4686 60.33% 43.53 -0.111 48.66% -0.475 0.3805
H 4654 58.88% 44.3 0.049 51.27% -0.376 0.4723
East 635 48.82% 46.77 3.003 27.56% -0.111 0.6578
Northeast 341 48.39% 47.84 -3.153 25.22% -1.136 -0.3486
Northwest 268 56.72% 47.1 -2.608 30.97% -1.136 -0.1526
Southeast 168 46.43% 46.48 -0.053 36.31% -0.353 0.5212
Southwest 141 48.23% 41.51 -3.858 36.88% -0.959 0.2484
West 534 52.25% 48.11 2.041 33.15% -0.319 0.6158

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 26 0.0% 48.58 7.876 57.69% 0.301 0.9307
Not Using Events or Tokens 82 69.14% 34.67 -4.793 12.2% -0.035 0.4717
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1068 16.1% 66.83 8.28 73.03% 0.733 0.0976
Start of Game Growth 1726 21.41% 63.76 6.122 70.74% 1.361 0.9717
Unlimited Undo 4630 46.71% 49.33 -1.011 59.29% 0.021 0.0654
Using Tokens but Not Events 1057 59.21% 36.94 -4.677 33.87% -0.58 -0.6066

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 12239 17.67 4.13%
II 8555 30.7 34.24%
III 8498 34.75 83.65%
IV 6691 38.22 99.79%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.35 Win Model: 0.472
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 28057 61.67% 42.19 47.61%
2 4779 63.83% 41.86 45.22%
3 1806 56.81% 46.17 53.82%
4 780 53.79% 46.59 49.1%
5 74 35.62% 56.16 52.7%
6 487 29.77% 54.99 63.04%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 497
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7008
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2847
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6579
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6058
Lose: Invader deck ran out 447
Lose: Adversary condition 3446
Win: Sacrifice victory 226
Lose: Scenario condition 657
Win: Scenario condition 64
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7787
Lose: Spirit destroyed 367

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-01-31 03:48:31 (Pacific Time)