The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 849 17.99% 24.42 -1.23 73.73% -0.26 -0.6774
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 192 17.19% 21.95 1.617 63.54% 0.514 -0.1419
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 30 20.0% 20.47 0.37 63.33% -0.239 -0.3972
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 114 19.3% 27.21 3.761 80.7% 0.866 0.0053
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 494 29.74% 21.65 -4.082 64.37% -0.762 -0.6239
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 236 14.41% 26.81 3.981 73.31% 0.48 -0.5493
Dances Up Earthquakes 222 26.36% 16.0 -5.998 50.0% -1.176 -1.2123
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 828 21.78% 23.21 0.152 69.57% -0.064 -0.4186
Downpour Drenches the World 1145 19.81% 19.12 -1.43 61.92% -0.279 -0.1547
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 783 16.09% 23.04 0.224 67.94% 0.383 -0.188
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1048 13.44% 25.19 0.636 72.14% 0.212 -0.4337
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 883 18.66% 23.89 -2.12 70.89% -0.243 -0.7373
Finder of Paths Unseen 565 32.02% 14.54 -4.562 47.96% -0.804 -0.2157
Fractured Days Split the Sky 417 19.66% 18.0 -5.753 46.52% -1.012 -0.5649
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 699 30.8% 19.88 0.288 59.37% 0.157 -0.0281
Heart of the Wildfire 767 50.0% 17.93 0.05 56.32% 0.413 0.5561
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1011 23.44% 24.49 1.06 73.19% 0.274 -0.4006
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 264 19.7% 22.78 3.125 65.53% 0.466 -0.0614
Lightning's Swift Strike 453 36.44% 21.11 0.554 66.45% 0.326 0.359
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 352 30.75% 24.3 0.172 71.31% -0.025 -0.6772
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 229 17.9% 25.89 3.617 70.74% 0.505 0.0091
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 237 22.78% 22.7 4.96 62.03% 1.072 0.8326
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 940 23.88% 23.97 2.635 68.94% 0.735 0.3091
Many Minds Move as One 658 16.97% 22.8 0.504 62.46% 0.259 -0.2499
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1304 34.26% 21.71 1.496 65.26% 0.687 0.4179
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 251 40.24% 20.49 2.153 66.14% 0.865 0.751
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 807 25.43% 20.92 -2.352 62.33% -0.597 -0.8905
River Surges in Sunlight 493 32.93% 22.03 -7.696 63.49% -1.331 -1.5019
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 138 27.54% 19.09 -1.023 59.42% -0.144 -0.2556
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 247 34.82% 22.3 -1.597 62.35% -0.357 -0.4225
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 485 27.35% 25.68 5.161 69.07% 0.794 0.6637
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 604 20.43% 20.88 3.475 62.91% 0.513 0.2491
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 78 14.1% 20.05 -5.064 58.97% -0.518 -0.9481
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 163 47.24% 19.67 -2.676 60.74% -0.296 0.1327
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 149 27.03% 21.81 -1.275 65.1% -0.267 -0.2629
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 150 32.67% 23.88 -0.933 66.67% -0.202 -0.955
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 155 30.52% 21.59 1.973 65.16% 0.079 -0.2399
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 129 29.46% 21.86 -8.684 64.34% -1.383 -1.5612
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 90 27.78% 19.94 1.604 55.56% 0.187 0.1442
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 582 23.18% 23.06 4.33 67.35% 0.734 0.3675
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 25 28.0% 26.64 2.251 72.0% 0.284 -0.2574
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 256 17.86% 18.63 -7.381 52.73% -0.369 -0.6133
Shifting Memory of Ages 467 31.69% 17.94 -2.039 54.18% -0.188 0.106
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 143 18.88% 18.17 -8.015 55.24% -0.987 -1.1498
Shroud of Silent Mist 511 38.36% 18.91 -1.808 56.56% -0.486 -0.3037
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 27 33.33% 26.48 3.6 66.67% 0.622 0.2125
Starlight Seeks its Form 1123 16.41% 23.75 -3.281 68.57% -0.472 -0.7145
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 740 19.02% 21.73 1.751 65.27% 0.479 -0.4728
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 765 27.93% 18.39 -0.54 55.82% 0.268 0.3101
Thunderspeaker 736 21.02% 23.03 -0.227 65.9% 0.051 -0.1438
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 211 21.33% 16.94 0.841 47.39% 0.272 0.1041
Towering Roots of the Jungle 311 27.65% 18.85 -0.224 57.56% 0.34 0.2286
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 476 45.38% 16.56 1.159 50.21% 0.313 0.1619
Vital Strength of the Earth 341 24.05% 17.33 -1.034 53.67% 0.255 0.6137
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 332 29.38% 19.77 -3.184 61.14% -0.427 -0.1839
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 185 20.0% 16.42 -9.097 44.32% -0.683 -0.0018
Volcano Looming High 794 28.21% 18.99 -2.315 58.06% -0.101 -0.4255
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 436 20.18% 25.15 2.747 71.1% 0.659 0.1409

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 60 16.67% 24.05 0.0 76.67%
Blitz 0 247 19.43% 17.04 0.811 48.99% 0.64 1.0715
Dahan Insurrection 4 252 13.89% 36.06 -1.654 58.73% -0.893 -0.9193
Despicable Theft 2 177 18.08% 17.24 -1.535 39.55% -0.34 0.3195
Elemental Invocation 1 198 17.17% 17.47 -2.126 43.43% -0.339 0.109
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 322 11.18% 27.51 5.348 66.15% 0.428 -0.1717
Powers Long Forgotten 1 185 23.24% 11.26 4.116 25.95% 0.231 0.8396
Rituals of Terror 3 160 26.88% 23.34 1.763 47.5% -0.266 -0.1413
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 102 37.25% 17.1 0.0 34.31%
Second Wave 0 381 43.09% 27.97 -1.147 63.52% -0.644 -0.5382
The Great River 3 117 28.21% 17.43 -5.043 32.48% -0.393 0.7821
Varied Terrains 2 234 35.9% 18.33 -6.305 40.6% -1.178 -0.4415
Ward the Shores 2 245 25.71% 16.02 -1.009 36.73% -0.187 0.4954

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 9805 28.38% 22.3 1.714 67.35% 0.845 1.0697
1 Thematic 1085 24.88% 18.79 -1.377 45.07% -0.116 0.4341
2 Archipelago 18 50.0% 36.06 0.0 66.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2438 27.17% 19.55 -1.16 59.93% 0.09 0.2015
2 Coastline 396 27.02% 22.9 0.391 68.43% 0.123 0.034
2 Fragment 54 31.48% 22.57 4.333 77.78% 0.464 0.1251
2 Heart 41 41.46% 22.41 0.0 75.61%
2 Opposite Shores 328 31.5% 23.62 -2.688 76.22% 0.335 0.3717
2 Thematic 353 25.78% 21.23 2.981 49.58% 0.101 0.6296
2 Top to Top 70 25.71% 19.71 -1.214 60.0% -0.137 -0.3438
3 Archipelago 16 37.5% 25.25 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 23 21.74% 19.61 -5.043 43.48% -0.393 -0.9138
3 Other 43 30.23% 21.07 -5.339 60.47% -0.137 -0.8794
3 Round (Default) 1206 23.37% 24.58 0.315 74.13% -0.141 -0.2375
3 Sunrise 7 0.0% 30.29 0.0 85.71%
3 Thematic 73 23.29% 18.12 -4.44 39.73% -0.202 0.0395
4 Archipelago 11 18.18% 26.73 0.0 63.64%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 6 83.33% 20.83 -0.07 83.33% 0.308 -0.2458
4 Other 18 55.56% 25.33 0.0 77.78%
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 75 14.67% 26.63 3.526 64.0% 0.405 0.8781
4 Trapezoid (Default) 855 14.27% 15.75 -3.942 46.78% -1.548 -1.7367
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 19.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 58 41.38% 24.6 0.0 79.31%
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 26.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 8 0.0% 34.63 0.0 75.0%
6 Other 10 20.0% 21.5 0.0 60.0%
6 Star 8 12.5% 21.13 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 55 23.64% 30.15 -5.081 56.36% -0.388 0.1922
6 Two Centers (Default) 98 15.31% 23.43 5.933 66.33% 0.408 0.3844
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 3 0.0% 0.0 2.577 0.0% -0.034 -0.2893

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 224 20.53 1.845 56.7% -0.215 0.0959
Aid From Lesser Spirits 238 23.25 5.496 64.71% 0.509 0.5224
All Things Weaken 253 20.82 -6.577 58.89% -1.335 -0.8611
Attenuated Essence 155 19.79 -0.419 60.65% 0.099 0.2453
Back Against the Wall 230 22.75 4.121 65.65% 0.661 0.7904
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 149 19.53 -0.739 55.7% -0.082 0.2385
Burn Brightest Before the End 106 20.99 4.057 57.55% 0.535 0.7123
Disintegrating Ecosystem 257 16.93 -4.198 53.31% -0.046 0.3347
Downward Spiral 364 19.07 -2.473 64.01% -0.229 -0.0355
Erosion of Will 263 18.17 -3.443 46.77% -0.638 -0.3004
Intensifying Exploitation 131 15.44 -10.18 44.27% -1.01 -0.6576
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 116 23.21 -2.937 78.45% -0.573 -0.9359
Memory Fades to Dust 380 18.61 0.216 55.26% -0.205 0.1244
Power Corrodes the Spirit 254 19.91 -3.288 58.27% -0.471 -0.2039
Promising Farmlands 250 18.18 -3.802 57.6% -1.104 -0.6565
Shattered Fragments of Power 118 19.32 0.735 50.85% -0.045 -0.0451
Slow Dissolution of Will 145 19.83 -5.093 55.17% -0.47 -0.0586
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 82 26.66 2.043 85.37% 0.227 -0.332
The Border of Life and Death 38 19.87 -4.417 55.26% -0.417 -0.6625
Thriving Communities 272 18.85 2.988 52.94% 0.274 0.5515
Thriving Crops 62 19.76 -0.535 61.29% -0.022 -0.1174
Unnatural Proliferation 243 21.11 -2.606 56.38% -0.063 0.1413
Untended Land Crumbles 268 20.15 -4.498 57.84% -1.104 -0.8047

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3370 26.34% 20.95 -0.666 63.77% -0.276 0.7158
B 3413 25.66% 21.43 -0.054 64.52% -0.232 0.6335
C 3558 26.49% 22.15 0.082 67.85% 0.143 0.8945
D 3312 25.24% 20.74 -1.245 62.83% -0.467 0.4777
E 3020 23.94% 21.81 -0.848 64.9% -0.547 0.208
F 2892 24.76% 21.13 -0.496 63.42% -0.178 0.6966
G 2677 24.71% 20.71 -1.224 62.31% -0.523 0.3395
H 2810 25.88% 21.58 0.259 64.38% -0.088 0.7192
East 1016 25.1% 21.86 4.882 50.59% 0.1 0.8459
Northeast 491 29.74% 22.99 5.713 50.71% 0.561 1.454
Northwest 407 23.59% 22.27 -2.664 51.35% -0.299 0.4445
Southeast 364 17.58% 20.95 -0.417 49.45% -0.101 0.9078
Southwest 375 22.13% 17.03 -4.857 41.6% -1.054 0.1024
West 975 22.56% 19.44 -1.214 46.15% -0.44 0.5423

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 65 0.0% 26.4 -12.354 60.0% -1.056 -0.336
Not Using Events or Tokens 494 27.65% 19.81 2.474 64.17% 0.165 0.6399
Skip Initial Invader Actions 291 11.63% 33.53 3.472 74.91% 0.18 -0.6247
Start of Game Growth 431 14.04% 32.15 4.583 75.64% -0.327 -0.8941
Unlimited Undo 1188 20.5% 23.09 1.574 65.07% 0.595 0.6218
Using Tokens but Not Events 1380 21.76% 22.95 2.057 70.29% 0.745 0.7177

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4657 12.25 6.03%
II 4049 29.91 68.56%
III 5809 34.94 91.1%
IV 2668 38.9 99.4%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.223 Win Model: 0.393
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11338 27.71% 21.56 63.61%
2 3369 29.03% 21.61 65.54%
3 1286 23.39% 24.81 74.42%
4 946 14.59% 16.58 48.84%
5 62 43.55% 24.95 77.42%
6 182 16.48% 25.23 62.64%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 279
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5158
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2625
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2633
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4471
Lose: Invader deck ran out 70
Lose: Adversary condition 438
Win: Sacrifice victory 69
Lose: Scenario condition 80
Win: Scenario condition 237
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1041
Lose: Spirit destroyed 82

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 711 25.78% 28.71 2.689 68.07% 0.515 0.0973
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 177 20.9% 26.83 4.444 60.45% 0.547 -0.1095
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 26 30.77% 31.5 0.234 76.92% 0.47 0.3123
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 155 24.52% 34.25 5.202 80.0% 1.296 0.4357
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 378 41.38% 25.02 0.625 57.67% 0.015 0.1528
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 211 27.96% 34.19 0.271 74.41% -0.169 -1.1982
Dances Up Earthquakes 179 30.34% 25.89 1.172 60.34% 0.102 0.0654
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 593 28.89% 28.8 0.093 65.09% 0.114 -0.2404
Downpour Drenches the World 953 23.66% 25.08 -1.479 56.77% -0.21 -0.086
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 708 19.97% 30.2 2.688 70.62% 0.532 -0.0383
Eyes Watch From the Trees 805 21.08% 30.81 5.218 68.82% 0.83 0.1842
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 594 23.74% 31.23 -0.556 70.54% -0.239 -0.7333
Finder of Paths Unseen 506 36.78% 19.27 -8.166 45.45% -1.342 -0.7534
Fractured Days Split the Sky 368 26.36% 22.61 2.34 44.02% -0.358 0.0886
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 609 38.92% 26.32 -1.852 57.96% -0.517 -0.7027
Heart of the Wildfire 521 57.12% 21.85 -0.807 50.1% 0.128 0.2712
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 946 28.6% 28.56 1.154 67.55% 0.343 -0.331
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 228 25.55% 30.06 -1.003 69.3% 0.082 -0.4459
Lightning's Swift Strike 344 40.99% 23.84 2.2 55.23% 0.219 0.2513
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 318 32.59% 31.28 3.298 70.13% 0.535 -0.1169
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 223 34.68% 31.48 -1.494 65.47% -0.1 -0.5958
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 211 35.55% 27.57 -1.258 61.14% -0.582 -0.8211
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 677 36.09% 27.68 1.637 60.86% 0.316 -0.1102
Many Minds Move as One 575 22.93% 28.36 -4.87 63.83% -1.032 -1.5405
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1215 37.66% 27.49 -2.191 63.95% -0.288 -0.558
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 319 47.63% 27.06 2.053 67.4% 0.776 0.6621
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 638 29.25% 26.56 -0.591 60.97% -0.154 -0.4475
River Surges in Sunlight 476 34.32% 30.66 3.044 71.43% 0.294 0.123
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 138 30.43% 26.74 6.541 60.87% 0.939 0.8274
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 266 35.61% 29.32 3.084 65.41% 0.402 0.3369
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 446 31.83% 31.82 0.14 68.39% 0.033 -0.097
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 522 23.17% 26.71 2.198 59.39% 0.253 -0.0108
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 54 29.63% 31.33 5.825 72.22% 0.353 -0.0774
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 154 48.03% 20.85 -2.298 48.7% 0.047 0.4749
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 142 41.91% 25.18 -2.024 55.63% -0.205 -0.2015
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 150 34.67% 33.45 4.983 77.33% 0.124 -0.6289
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 144 39.58% 25.72 3.31 58.33% 0.242 -0.0767
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 107 39.25% 24.0 -9.869 52.34% -0.847 -1.0256
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 75 42.67% 23.77 -1.654 52.0% 0.017 -0.0254
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 464 31.75% 27.91 0.2 65.73% 0.194 -0.1718
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 22 36.36% 21.14 -9.134 45.45% -1.164 -1.7046
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 309 29.14% 27.34 -3.207 63.11% -0.198 -0.4427
Shifting Memory of Ages 451 37.95% 22.89 -0.962 50.11% -0.04 0.2547
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 186 34.41% 23.33 -2.724 49.46% -0.05 -0.2131
Shroud of Silent Mist 442 47.17% 22.05 -2.217 48.64% -0.49 -0.308
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 31 32.26% 30.58 0.127 74.19% 0.084 -0.3265
Starlight Seeks its Form 686 28.18% 23.99 -0.368 53.94% -0.6 -0.8423
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 682 26.28% 26.27 1.583 61.88% 0.513 -0.4393
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 517 36.01% 22.2 -2.772 49.9% -0.534 -0.4915
Thunderspeaker 503 31.25% 26.34 -1.442 60.83% -0.331 -0.5263
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 184 40.22% 22.76 4.908 48.91% -0.013 -0.1811
Towering Roots of the Jungle 298 28.86% 21.51 -1.493 48.66% -0.106 -0.2167
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 438 57.11% 22.35 -1.712 50.46% -0.352 -0.5028
Vital Strength of the Earth 268 28.36% 21.15 -6.449 47.01% -1.275 -0.9161
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 284 28.98% 22.36 -0.018 49.3% 0.247 0.4908
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 131 24.43% 20.46 -0.203 44.27% 0.075 0.756
Volcano Looming High 562 36.72% 24.16 0.074 58.36% -0.019 -0.3427
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 425 23.06% 29.86 6.37 69.41% 0.989 0.4718

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 53 26.42% 23.96 3.958 58.49% 0.154 0.5236
Blitz 0 275 20.73% 16.55 -7.021 38.18% -0.991 -0.5596
Dahan Insurrection 4 188 35.11% 37.64 11.304 39.89% 0.041 0.0154
Despicable Theft 2 129 36.43% 22.04 -7.692 35.66% -0.759 -0.0998
Elemental Invocation 1 188 37.23% 20.93 -9.498 40.43% -0.918 -0.4698
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 426 12.44% 28.18 -0.371 53.76% -0.226 -0.8256
Powers Long Forgotten 1 143 34.27% 17.93 -2.368 25.87% -0.418 0.19
Rituals of Terror 3 46 34.78% 25.52 18.084 39.13% 0.523 0.6472
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 49 40.82% 21.33 18.352 32.65% 0.625 1.363
Second Wave 0 942 36.34% 31.69 2.77 67.52% 0.16 0.2666
The Great River 3 37 27.03% 21.22 0.0 35.14%
Varied Terrains 2 152 42.11% 21.45 2.019 39.47% 0.056 0.7923
Ward the Shores 2 153 38.56% 13.59 -9.656 18.95% -0.556 0.1261

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8552 32.07% 25.82 -1.432 59.94% -0.046 0.1788
1 Thematic 774 31.95% 23.38 0.592 43.02% -0.062 0.4881
2 Archipelago 9 66.67% 46.22 0.0 77.78%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1986 33.06% 25.89 -0.346 60.73% -0.216 -0.1048
2 Coastline 331 32.52% 25.6 3.059 61.03% 0.545 0.4554
2 Fragment 84 48.81% 26.11 13.786 54.76% -0.038 -0.3762
2 Heart 41 48.78% 29.02 0.0 70.73%
2 Opposite Shores 407 34.98% 27.28 -0.157 63.88% -0.164 -0.128
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 309 29.45% 20.78 -3.46 38.19% -0.564 -0.0352
2 Top to Top 61 42.62% 27.87 3.358 62.3% 0.224 0.0171
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 45.0 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 38.25 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 22 31.82% 22.23 -11.697 50.0% -0.496 -1.2381
3 Round (Default) 1274 34.14% 28.19 1.989 64.36% 0.199 0.1033
3 Thematic 78 37.18% 25.53 -1.308 48.72% -0.299 -0.0575
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 27.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 6 33.33% 36.67 0.0 83.33%
4 Other 13 69.23% 31.23 0.0 84.62%
4 Thematic 45 28.89% 32.64 5.849 57.78% 0.202 0.6752
4 Trapezoid (Default) 404 26.55% 27.76 2.931 64.85% 0.182 -0.0067
5 Archipelago 2 50.0% 54.5 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 2 50.0% 20.5 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 51 35.29% 33.06 0.0 78.43%
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 25.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 5 20.0% 27.0 0.0 40.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 15 26.67% 23.67 0.0 40.0%
6 Star 3 0.0% 18.67 -0.112 33.33% 0.009 0.8053
6 Thematic 46 25.58% 32.24 4.709 65.22% 0.035 0.6159
6 Two Centers (Default) 73 17.81% 28.47 0.0 58.9%
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 55.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 4 25.0% 43.25 0.0 75.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 268 25.74 -4.869 57.84% -0.804 -0.4932
Aid From Lesser Spirits 189 27.37 -6.579 59.79% -0.761 -0.7477
All Things Weaken 260 23.97 2.119 54.23% 0.034 0.5082
Attenuated Essence 163 26.04 0.961 61.35% 0.083 0.2301
Back Against the Wall 222 27.13 -1.497 58.56% -0.639 -0.5101
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 152 24.23 -1.455 53.29% 0.103 0.423
Burn Brightest Before the End 108 25.23 -8.257 49.07% -1.018 -0.8415
Disintegrating Ecosystem 271 26.01 -3.332 60.15% -0.64 -0.2595
Downward Spiral 356 23.58 -0.554 54.49% -0.482 -0.2889
Erosion of Will 257 24.66 1.537 54.09% 0.65 0.9878
Intensifying Exploitation 188 24.87 1.563 59.04% 0.46 0.8128
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 147 28.84 3.748 69.39% 0.105 -0.2587
Memory Fades to Dust 341 23.75 -4.472 52.49% -1.226 -0.8962
Power Corrodes the Spirit 260 25.13 1.223 56.54% -0.022 0.2445
Promising Farmlands 282 25.12 2.121 54.96% 0.581 1.0282
Shattered Fragments of Power 96 26.92 0.0 56.25%
Slow Dissolution of Will 140 21.84 1.457 40.71% 0.164 0.5754
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 103 29.34 4.149 72.82% 0.678 0.1189
The Border of Life and Death 41 28.1 0.803 68.29% 0.084 -0.1613
Thriving Communities 245 24.12 -0.188 54.69% 0.239 0.5171
Thriving Crops 81 27.16 19.467 65.43% 0.653 0.5578
Unnatural Proliferation 289 26.04 -9.225 55.02% -1.064 -0.8594
Untended Land Crumbles 261 23.62 4.709 53.26% 0.99 1.2893

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2837 32.04% 26.59 0.957 62.0% 0.233 1.2246
B 2895 33.22% 27.09 2.061 62.14% 0.365 1.2303
C 3055 31.45% 26.91 -0.503 62.06% -0.077 0.6753
D 2805 32.27% 26.02 2.356 59.57% 0.315 1.2595
E 2480 31.18% 27.19 0.263 63.27% 0.146 0.9004
F 2382 31.77% 26.83 -1.56 62.64% -0.324 0.5507
G 2193 34.17% 26.42 0.131 60.6% -0.059 0.8039
H 2280 33.69% 26.72 0.139 61.23% -0.051 0.7565
East 805 30.67% 24.98 -4.901 45.47% -0.899 -0.1537
Northeast 382 32.19% 25.82 3.194 46.34% 0.215 1.1084
Northwest 336 27.33% 24.86 0.743 47.32% 0.164 0.9074
Southeast 277 29.56% 25.43 -4.06 50.18% -0.484 0.5244
Southwest 279 32.73% 21.24 -2.62 42.29% -0.609 0.5479
West 764 31.05% 22.8 3.493 43.32% 0.544 1.527

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 72 0.0% 29.69 -2.619 76.39% 0.036 0.7562
Not Using Events or Tokens 267 34.78% 18.58 4.413 40.82% 0.633 1.1076
Skip Initial Invader Actions 296 12.27% 38.97 7.677 80.74% 0.396 -0.4091
Start of Game Growth 437 14.84% 36.73 2.061 76.43% 0.228 -0.339
Unlimited Undo 1242 22.54% 25.64 -2.476 58.45% -0.548 -0.5204
Using Tokens but Not Events 1399 22.15% 29.55 2.323 69.48% 0.61 0.5823

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3862 12.25 2.43%
II 2951 29.91 43.34%
III 4665 34.94 89.97%
IV 3151 38.9 99.02%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.822 Win Model: 0.413
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 9517 32.14% 25.42 57.9%
2 3103 33.6% 26.32 60.84%
3 1357 34.56% 28.25 64.04%
4 452 27.49% 28.6 65.71%
5 55 34.55% 29.85 72.73%
6 145 20.42% 29.9 59.31%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 93
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4121
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1234
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3100
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3168
Lose: Invader deck ran out 40
Lose: Adversary condition 1550
Win: Sacrifice victory 38
Lose: Scenario condition 117
Win: Scenario condition 104
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1020
Lose: Spirit destroyed 44

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 772 26.86% 31.33 -3.585 67.75% -0.394 -0.812
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 209 25.84% 35.05 6.816 77.03% 1.067 0.4105
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 44 18.18% 31.64 -3.848 70.45% -0.44 -0.5974
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 220 33.64% 33.73 2.938 75.91% 0.552 -0.308
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 345 50.43% 26.14 3.567 53.91% 0.452 0.5899
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 262 37.4% 33.84 3.323 69.85% 0.651 -0.3785
Dances Up Earthquakes 272 36.4% 27.73 -3.189 58.09% -0.445 -0.4817
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 686 37.94% 29.16 -3.867 61.22% -0.632 -0.986
Downpour Drenches the World 1051 31.09% 27.12 -0.344 55.0% 0.118 0.242
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1104 31.19% 32.11 0.929 71.01% 0.29 -0.2806
Eyes Watch From the Trees 979 33.85% 32.16 -0.268 65.68% -0.277 -0.9232
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 671 40.3% 31.65 0.384 68.7% 0.008 -0.4856
Finder of Paths Unseen 584 42.88% 25.15 0.698 56.85% 0.115 0.7035
Fractured Days Split the Sky 345 33.91% 25.98 -5.41 49.57% -0.707 -0.2603
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 701 46.0% 24.77 -3.064 48.64% -0.466 -0.6512
Heart of the Wildfire 644 67.45% 22.39 -2.917 48.29% -0.249 -0.1057
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1273 30.57% 32.28 -1.378 69.05% -0.42 -1.0942
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 338 30.18% 30.71 8.489 67.46% 1.004 0.4759
Lightning's Swift Strike 349 48.41% 29.36 -6.061 62.46% -0.464 -0.4315
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 485 44.35% 34.24 2.959 73.4% 0.492 -0.1601
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 241 36.97% 31.69 -2.094 64.32% -0.55 -1.0452
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 222 30.63% 31.86 1.634 59.01% -0.128 -0.3673
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 911 43.69% 29.58 -0.728 61.47% -0.375 -0.801
Many Minds Move as One 591 33.28% 30.22 -0.737 62.94% -0.174 -0.6831
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1534 40.07% 30.49 -2.239 64.08% -0.577 -0.8462
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 524 49.43% 27.44 0.281 61.45% -0.207 -0.3207
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 775 36.92% 30.23 0.34 61.42% 0.007 -0.2871
River Surges in Sunlight 492 39.51% 33.77 3.01 70.53% 0.616 0.4448
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 184 37.16% 24.04 6.679 46.74% 0.941 0.8298
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 249 40.73% 29.66 6.361 56.63% 0.241 0.1757
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 561 38.84% 33.39 -1.186 65.06% -0.282 -0.4119
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 680 36.09% 30.66 -3.786 60.59% -0.644 -0.9079
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 98 22.45% 27.76 2.203 59.18% 0.117 -0.3137
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 77 51.95% 20.36 2.867 40.26% 0.078 0.5063
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 144 53.9% 28.67 1.252 59.03% -0.048 -0.0444
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 208 52.4% 28.88 4.005 59.62% 0.581 -0.172
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 139 56.12% 26.98 -2.961 50.36% -0.004 -0.323
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 85 45.88% 25.85 3.531 57.65% 0.241 0.0624
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 74 52.7% 23.91 -7.759 47.3% -0.49 -0.5326
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 419 36.14% 30.04 -2.874 64.68% -0.569 -0.9353
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 36 37.14% 34.36 7.886 75.0% 1.253 0.7124
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 321 40.32% 29.74 -5.371 63.86% -0.569 -0.8131
Shifting Memory of Ages 517 41.2% 24.31 -5.841 50.29% -0.204 0.0905
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 194 34.02% 27.75 6.036 57.73% 0.756 0.5925
Shroud of Silent Mist 470 57.02% 23.97 -7.785 48.51% -0.795 -0.6132
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 31 48.39% 34.03 4.939 74.19% 0.684 0.2738
Starlight Seeks its Form 879 31.39% 28.92 1.081 60.18% 0.198 -0.0437
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 846 28.27% 30.26 0.517 68.09% 0.046 -0.9058
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 576 51.75% 25.83 -2.347 50.17% -0.337 -0.2948
Thunderspeaker 533 34.72% 29.13 -3.91 62.85% -0.646 -0.8413
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 212 41.51% 27.35 -1.692 59.43% -0.011 -0.1795
Towering Roots of the Jungle 441 36.51% 24.92 1.94 51.02% 0.22 0.109
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 480 66.81% 24.58 1.611 51.25% 0.15 -0.0011
Vital Strength of the Earth 232 35.5% 21.51 -0.164 43.1% -0.131 0.2276
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 366 38.5% 24.88 -1.615 49.18% -0.118 0.1254
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 135 33.58% 23.99 -0.796 45.19% 0.138 0.8192
Volcano Looming High 826 47.94% 28.01 4.051 62.95% 0.924 0.6
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 533 30.96% 32.02 -2.7 70.92% -0.47 -0.9877

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 33 15.15% 26.67 0.0 54.55%
Blitz 0 213 28.64% 20.96 -5.204 37.56% -0.617 -0.1855
Dahan Insurrection 4 146 30.14% 35.77 4.962 41.1% 0.081 0.0553
Despicable Theft 2 77 41.56% 18.7 7.96 16.88% 0.302 0.9618
Elemental Invocation 1 144 32.64% 21.89 -2.172 41.67% 0.073 0.521
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 563 17.23% 33.06 1.998 56.84% 0.014 -0.585
Powers Long Forgotten 1 125 34.4% 15.27 0.0 24.0%
Rituals of Terror 3 59 44.07% 19.73 -1.556 27.12% -0.119 0.0051
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 54 44.44% 16.04 -6.374 20.37% -0.548 0.1907
Second Wave 0 860 35.8% 36.14 4.228 68.84% 0.299 0.4057
The Great River 3 39 30.77% 21.72 -9.694 33.33% -0.57 0.605
Varied Terrains 2 130 50.77% 25.43 1.123 36.92% -0.005 0.7321
Ward the Shores 2 101 40.59% 23.28 1.857 32.67% -0.24 0.4422

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 9916 39.49% 28.54 0.242 60.11% 0.18 0.4046
1 Thematic 712 33.24% 21.34 -3.471 32.87% -0.506 0.0447
2 Archipelago 37 70.27% 29.86 3.234 48.65% 0.061 -0.2929
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2625 40.05% 28.81 1.432 62.29% 0.365 0.4757
2 Coastline 402 45.27% 29.42 -2.296 63.68% -0.303 -0.3918
2 Fragment 75 52.0% 26.48 -6.072 56.0% -0.049 -0.3874
2 Heart 57 45.61% 26.11 0.0 50.88%
2 Opposite Shores 686 37.48% 28.66 0.378 61.66% 0.298 0.334
2 Thematic 318 26.42% 23.87 -2.53 40.25% -0.353 0.1756
2 Top to Top 124 43.55% 31.33 4.846 70.16% 0.234 0.0278
3 Archipelago 11 36.36% 37.45 -0.706 54.55% -0.282 -0.1809
3 Coastline 23 56.52% 32.57 -5.938 65.22% -0.331 -0.8525
3 Other 32 43.75% 28.63 1.698 56.25% 0.495 -0.2475
3 Round (Default) 1430 37.93% 30.89 0.509 66.36% 0.004 -0.0921
3 Sunrise 9 66.67% 35.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Thematic 62 37.1% 26.82 3.933 45.16% 0.298 0.5404
4 Archipelago 17 23.53% 29.76 0.0 58.82%
4 Coastline 4 50.0% 39.75 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 5 20.0% 39.0 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 20 40.0% 30.65 0.0 60.0%
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 80 33.75% 28.7 -10.352 42.5% -0.25 0.2233
4 Trapezoid (Default) 395 40.76% 30.78 -1.932 67.09% -0.398 -0.5864
5 Archipelago 10 50.0% 22.0 0.0 50.0%
5 Coastline 3 100.0% 27.67 0.0 66.67%
5 Other 71 47.89% 35.38 2.357 84.51% 0.202 -0.1245
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 13 38.46% 20.38 -15.282 30.77% -0.523 -0.2533
6 Star 11 54.55% 41.09 0.0 90.91%
6 Thematic 66 31.25% 31.39 -6.345 51.52% -0.173 0.4081
6 Two Centers (Default) 60 33.33% 31.87 3.073 66.67% 0.461 0.4381
7 Other 2 0.0% 52.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 371 27.49 -2.603 53.91% -0.028 0.2828
Aid From Lesser Spirits 294 32.25 -0.283 68.71% -0.246 -0.2328
All Things Weaken 417 28.15 2.34 58.27% -0.496 -0.0224
Attenuated Essence 221 25.11 -1.694 49.77% -0.256 -0.1095
Back Against the Wall 296 29.6 3.763 56.76% 0.579 0.7088
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 222 24.92 0.362 50.45% -0.127 0.1926
Burn Brightest Before the End 165 28.73 -3.107 55.76% -0.769 -0.5925
Disintegrating Ecosystem 373 27.58 -4.386 61.66% -0.322 0.058
Downward Spiral 451 26.79 4.185 56.32% 1.166 1.3596
Erosion of Will 341 28.09 -0.668 54.55% -0.191 0.1468
Intensifying Exploitation 237 23.69 -4.6 51.48% -0.886 -0.5336
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 178 32.49 -13.352 74.16% -0.387 -0.7507
Memory Fades to Dust 433 27.61 2.735 57.27% 1.085 1.414
Power Corrodes the Spirit 383 27.11 -1.539 56.92% -0.064 0.2024
Promising Farmlands 432 26.97 -3.479 58.56% -0.61 -0.1628
Shattered Fragments of Power 164 28.6 0.309 56.1% -0.136 -0.1365
Slow Dissolution of Will 222 26.89 1.971 53.15% 0.444 0.8551
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 127 30.82 1.092 69.29% 0.152 -0.4066
The Border of Life and Death 82 30.52 4.864 68.29% 0.617 0.3721
Thriving Communities 420 27.45 -0.706 56.67% -0.459 -0.1818
Thriving Crops 129 28.92 5.635 65.12% 0.59 0.4948
Unnatural Proliferation 396 29.05 1.187 58.84% 0.173 0.3782
Untended Land Crumbles 397 25.66 -4.338 53.4% -0.555 -0.2558

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3604 40.03% 28.95 -0.235 62.04% 0.029 1.0209
B 3493 40.6% 29.18 0.461 62.58% 0.155 1.0203
C 3755 38.63% 29.86 0.467 64.37% -0.088 0.664
D 3290 38.0% 28.05 0.468 58.33% 0.067 1.0122
E 3000 39.38% 30.2 1.604 63.9% 0.401 1.1554
F 2869 42.36% 29.52 -2.674 63.37% -0.684 0.1905
G 2599 41.42% 29.12 1.28 62.41% 0.166 1.0279
H 2552 39.86% 30.43 0.642 65.13% 0.053 0.8602
East 831 29.63% 23.49 -5.354 36.22% -0.339 0.4061
Northeast 417 27.12% 24.24 -3.273 34.77% -0.871 0.0227
Northwest 346 29.65% 27.03 -6.842 44.8% -0.728 0.0155
Southeast 314 30.13% 23.8 0.554 40.76% 0.224 1.2327
Southwest 306 33.55% 22.44 0.302 39.22% 0.179 1.336
West 784 34.14% 24.8 -4.093 41.71% -0.817 0.1653

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 81 0.0% 35.93 -7.262 75.31% -0.267 0.4525
Not Using Events or Tokens 229 36.2% 21.23 2.958 40.61% 0.574 1.0486
Skip Initial Invader Actions 252 13.18% 43.56 15.21 75.4% 0.74 -0.0645
Start of Game Growth 337 17.7% 41.08 8.028 74.18% 0.146 -0.4204
Unlimited Undo 1573 35.23% 28.44 3.483 57.98% 0.688 0.7157
Using Tokens but Not Events 1714 30.16% 29.7 0.758 60.85% -0.029 -0.0561

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4754 12.25 1.37%
II 3387 29.91 49.45%
III 5462 34.94 90.21%
IV 3691 38.9 99.35%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.17 Win Model: 0.118
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 10812 38.97% 27.9 57.88%
2 4204 40.43% 28.93 61.49%
3 1540 37.95% 30.77 65.71%
4 511 38.36% 30.61 63.8%
5 76 50.0% 34.07 81.58%
6 151 33.56% 32.03 60.26%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 65
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4845
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1632
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3641
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3471
Lose: Invader deck ran out 70
Lose: Adversary condition 1829
Win: Sacrifice victory 59
Lose: Scenario condition 104
Win: Scenario condition 92
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1383
Lose: Spirit destroyed 103

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1119 25.25% 39.67 -1.49 68.99% -0.153 -0.5706
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 679 30.04% 42.92 3.639 65.98% 0.318 -0.3384
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 57 45.61% 40.74 2.322 75.44% 0.237 0.0794
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 539 38.22% 43.65 4.417 78.29% 0.833 -0.0269
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 447 59.91% 35.49 -4.832 60.18% -1.027 -0.8888
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 447 35.79% 42.65 2.737 72.26% 0.381 -0.6482
Dances Up Earthquakes 441 40.14% 36.66 -1.306 64.17% -0.102 -0.1381
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 944 35.88% 36.06 2.435 64.19% 0.479 0.1246
Downpour Drenches the World 1556 28.62% 34.76 -4.363 58.93% -1.004 -0.8807
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1621 30.91% 41.99 1.366 76.68% 0.593 0.0219
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1179 30.14% 42.59 0.23 72.86% 0.204 -0.4425
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 841 37.9% 42.16 -0.225 73.13% 0.278 -0.2162
Finder of Paths Unseen 935 45.87% 28.65 -7.008 49.41% -1.221 -0.6328
Fractured Days Split the Sky 596 37.9% 36.76 -5.326 50.34% -0.875 -0.4286
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 967 46.02% 36.47 -2.339 64.22% -0.578 -0.7628
Heart of the Wildfire 817 66.3% 27.97 -7.475 47.12% -1.205 -1.0617
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2251 31.16% 43.64 1.653 75.03% 0.478 -0.1959
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 475 34.88% 39.53 -6.916 69.89% -0.69 -1.2179
Lightning's Swift Strike 398 60.2% 35.43 -1.134 58.79% -0.35 -0.3177
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 912 43.0% 42.98 3.866 75.66% 0.683 0.0309
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 306 46.89% 39.95 0.494 70.92% 0.134 -0.3611
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 614 21.82% 45.51 8.123 74.92% 1.103 0.8637
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1271 46.54% 36.83 -4.006 62.55% -0.304 -0.7295
Many Minds Move as One 740 31.26% 38.81 2.367 68.51% 0.34 -0.169
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2968 37.36% 38.43 -1.883 64.49% -0.468 -0.7374
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 1287 59.14% 36.08 -1.731 62.0% -0.219 -0.3328
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 914 37.54% 39.73 4.14 70.24% 0.581 0.2872
River Surges in Sunlight 616 40.46% 42.62 3.38 70.62% 0.655 0.4843
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 220 42.01% 44.29 13.533 70.0% 0.95 0.8391
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 374 33.6% 31.13 -0.944 52.67% -0.133 -0.1985
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 986 41.29% 44.03 2.48 69.78% 0.5 0.3702
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1444 30.63% 42.32 2.436 69.11% 0.521 0.2567
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 256 39.45% 44.24 0.233 72.66% -0.113 -0.5431
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 74 62.16% 26.43 0.0 36.49%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 126 65.87% 32.09 -11.474 52.38% -1.247 -1.2427
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 384 52.86% 39.42 0.429 65.36% 0.002 -0.7506
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 165 56.97% 36.41 7.291 61.21% 0.347 0.0278
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 111 60.36% 28.84 6.428 41.44% 0.279 0.1003
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 53 64.15% 29.13 -0.301 45.28% 0.011 -0.032
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 635 38.29% 37.97 -0.411 64.72% -0.073 -0.4395
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 57 42.11% 47.11 7.805 84.21% 1.017 0.4765
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 500 29.26% 41.18 0.018 71.4% -0.159 -0.4038
Shifting Memory of Ages 762 41.39% 32.28 -5.285 54.59% -0.259 0.0353
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 582 32.47% 35.95 2.196 60.48% 0.242 0.0788
Shroud of Silent Mist 633 58.95% 31.7 4.551 53.08% 0.496 0.6785
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 75 52.0% 41.69 -1.982 76.0% -0.336 -0.7462
Starlight Seeks its Form 2103 33.02% 38.67 0.826 67.43% -0.009 -0.2515
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1208 32.25% 40.13 3.193 71.11% 0.717 -0.2353
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 695 45.23% 34.35 -3.374 56.26% -0.253 -0.2104
Thunderspeaker 663 42.24% 39.67 -0.168 65.76% 0.121 -0.0741
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 328 41.46% 38.35 0.824 52.13% 0.142 -0.0261
Towering Roots of the Jungle 679 36.78% 33.9 -2.91 59.65% -0.534 -0.6446
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 822 66.55% 34.9 0.77 60.95% 0.271 0.1203
Vital Strength of the Earth 251 28.92% 25.98 -13.342 41.04% -1.315 -0.9562
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 619 39.29% 33.53 -4.204 55.09% -0.29 -0.0465
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 150 40.54% 28.82 -1.352 52.0% -0.025 0.6567
Volcano Looming High 1417 51.66% 37.69 4.489 67.61% 0.481 0.1568
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 902 40.35% 41.06 0.785 72.73% 0.14 -0.3778

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 42 52.38% 37.14 -6.202 66.67% -0.296 0.0738
Blitz 0 257 21.79% 46.5 0.266 56.03% 0.114 0.5456
Dahan Insurrection 4 223 45.29% 46.88 -2.572 34.98% -0.111 -0.137
Despicable Theft 2 45 37.78% 28.0 0.0 33.33%
Elemental Invocation 1 127 41.73% 31.44 6.435 48.82% 0.39 0.8377
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 753 16.78% 41.13 1.293 58.17% 0.06 -0.5396
Powers Long Forgotten 1 78 38.46% 26.46 8.729 34.62% 0.813 1.4211
Rituals of Terror 3 48 27.08% 30.21 -16.118 33.33% -0.336 -0.2115
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 46 58.7% 25.54 -2.393 26.09% -0.667 0.0712
Second Wave 0 710 35.03% 43.6 3.737 67.75% 0.17 0.2767
The Great River 3 56 44.64% 29.3 -21.947 32.14% -0.691 0.4836
Varied Terrains 2 118 53.39% 29.4 -3.334 38.14% -0.498 0.2385
Ward the Shores 2 83 43.37% 26.29 12.246 31.33% 0.218 0.9007

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 15537 42.62% 36.5 -0.122 63.85% 0.597 0.822
1 Thematic 500 39.8% 29.57 -2.132 37.8% -0.579 -0.0286
2 Archipelago 27 40.74% 35.96 0.0 48.15%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3873 40.38% 37.09 -0.705 67.47% 0.397 0.5084
2 Coastline 503 41.75% 40.65 1.708 71.97% 0.533 0.4442
2 Fragment 103 49.51% 40.8 -6.215 61.17% -0.37 -0.7089
2 Heart 207 63.29% 54.61 3.541 68.12% -0.636 -0.963
2 Opposite Shores 865 41.7% 36.45 -4.062 62.54% -0.402 -0.3654
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 207 40.58% 32.95 2.938 46.86% -0.031 0.4974
2 Top to Top 199 49.25% 40.9 2.705 75.88% 0.086 -0.1208
3 Archipelago 12 75.0% 36.17 0.0 41.67%
3 Coastline 10 50.0% 49.9 0.0 80.0%
3 Other 51 33.33% 33.76 -5.005 54.9% -0.397 -1.1391
3 Round (Default) 2525 35.89% 42.1 0.74 70.02% 0.019 -0.0775
3 Sunrise 6 66.67% 37.5 0.0 66.67%
3 Thematic 65 29.23% 40.08 3.443 63.08% 0.124 0.3658
4 Archipelago 12 83.33% 50.08 0.0 91.67%
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 8 12.5% 41.0 0.0 75.0%
4 Other 247 16.6% 20.31 14.308 39.68% 0.592 0.0446
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Snake 1 100.0% 38.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 94 39.36% 45.55 4.285 61.7% 0.067 0.5401
4 Trapezoid (Default) 834 38.92% 42.13 2.148 74.34% 0.901 0.7124
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 4 75.0% 32.25 0.0 75.0%
5 Other 68 30.88% 40.29 0.0 75.0%
5 Thematic 30 56.67% 64.4 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 6 66.67% 41.33 0.0 83.33%
6 Coastline 3 33.33% 9.67 -6.611 0.0% -0.474 -0.1454
6 Other 30 27.59% 34.73 0.0 56.67%
6 Star 26 30.77% 28.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 173 23.84% 49.92 2.515 58.96% 0.012 0.5928
6 Two Centers (Default) 101 30.0% 36.25 -12.048 61.39% -0.811 -0.8338
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 75.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 1 100.0% 67.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 620 38.11 -0.234 65.65% -0.081 0.2297
Aid From Lesser Spirits 467 39.85 1.669 65.52% 0.315 0.3285
All Things Weaken 632 35.66 1.507 59.81% 0.253 0.7269
Attenuated Essence 405 35.62 -5.464 59.75% -0.942 -0.7952
Back Against the Wall 490 38.24 0.087 61.84% -0.06 0.0698
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 361 36.47 4.913 63.16% 1.01 1.3303
Burn Brightest Before the End 274 35.76 -1.826 58.39% -0.131 0.0461
Disintegrating Ecosystem 605 33.82 -4.119 59.01% -0.503 -0.1223
Downward Spiral 673 34.88 -1.779 61.96% -0.095 0.0989
Erosion of Will 590 34.68 -0.344 56.78% 0.052 0.3897
Intensifying Exploitation 363 36.57 -1.91 60.88% -0.443 -0.0909
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 310 40.81 0.938 76.45% 0.355 -0.0082
Memory Fades to Dust 713 33.75 1.261 56.38% 0.454 0.7828
Power Corrodes the Spirit 665 33.65 -3.23 58.5% -0.502 -0.2356
Promising Farmlands 618 34.94 -0.326 61.17% 0.236 0.6831
Shattered Fragments of Power 276 37.65 1.583 63.04% 0.372 0.3717
Slow Dissolution of Will 350 35.07 0.995 56.0% -0.0 0.411
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 199 43.29 -4.871 79.9% -0.616 -1.175
The Border of Life and Death 132 37.2 7.559 68.94% 0.794 0.5486
Thriving Communities 647 33.98 -3.202 58.89% -0.268 0.0097
Thriving Crops 184 40.53 0.849 76.09% -0.397 -0.4928
Unnatural Proliferation 635 37.18 -1.154 61.89% -0.223 -0.0186
Untended Land Crumbles 624 34.88 3.457 59.94% 0.342 0.6413

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5600 40.41% 37.53 -0.681 65.8% -0.478 0.5136
B 5952 39.4% 38.25 0.504 66.73% -0.276 0.589
C 6284 38.17% 38.38 0.146 66.85% -0.276 0.4762
D 4913 40.28% 35.62 -2.634 60.94% -0.902 0.0425
E 5079 40.42% 38.8 1.189 67.51% -0.343 0.4116
F 4524 41.2% 38.82 -0.349 66.89% -0.561 0.3133
G 4087 40.03% 37.66 0.121 65.99% -0.338 0.524
H 4223 39.87% 39.3 2.252 68.1% 0.118 0.9251
East 786 34.52% 38.21 2.887 47.58% 0.171 0.9168
Northeast 494 32.86% 41.67 0.55 48.38% -0.204 0.6888
Northwest 420 36.28% 44.9 4.079 55.24% 0.38 1.1233
Southeast 388 34.37% 42.87 -2.748 53.87% -0.337 0.6713
Southwest 360 32.31% 40.42 0.827 53.89% -0.049 1.1075
West 729 38.32% 40.2 1.982 52.54% 0.11 1.0924

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 94 0.0% 41.63 6.542 67.02% 0.272 0.9922
Not Using Events or Tokens 213 45.67% 28.31 0.497 48.36% 0.279 0.7533
Skip Initial Invader Actions 494 12.69% 52.4 5.477 69.84% 0.56 -0.2451
Start of Game Growth 896 10.97% 42.35 8.579 61.94% 0.66 0.093
Unlimited Undo 2577 30.5% 37.4 -0.514 64.26% 0.075 0.1027
Using Tokens but Not Events 2122 27.59% 39.07 0.844 66.26% 0.01 -0.0177

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5711 12.25 1.63%
II 6220 29.91 54.69%
III 10080 34.94 91.28%
IV 4373 38.9 99.66%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.455 Win Model: 0.595
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 16236 42.56% 36.22 62.92%
2 5867 42.06% 38.25 67.07%
3 2655 35.79% 41.94 69.64%
4 1191 34.46% 37.8 66.33%
5 98 40.82% 46.18 65.31%
6 337 27.25% 42.61 59.35%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 93
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9063
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3324
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4324
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4495
Lose: Invader deck ran out 126
Lose: Adversary condition 2373
Win: Sacrifice victory 146
Lose: Scenario condition 160
Win: Scenario condition 104
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2038
Lose: Spirit destroyed 138

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 860 32.24% 38.8 2.206 60.93% 0.381 -0.0364
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 304 30.26% 41.0 7.823 67.76% 1.499 0.8424
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 73 35.62% 33.92 -0.619 57.53% -0.198 -0.3557
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 398 51.51% 39.02 1.309 66.58% 0.449 -0.4115
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 349 63.61% 30.63 2.675 43.84% 0.222 0.3596
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 574 47.04% 36.69 11.745 56.97% 1.676 0.6467
Dances Up Earthquakes 381 44.36% 36.07 -3.824 60.1% -0.846 -0.8827
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 627 56.78% 33.84 0.278 53.59% 0.157 -0.197
Downpour Drenches the World 1176 36.56% 30.01 -3.332 45.83% -0.888 -0.7643
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1465 42.12% 38.9 0.584 66.62% 0.037 -0.5335
Eyes Watch From the Trees 902 41.84% 41.44 1.649 67.07% -0.041 -0.6866
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 647 50.39% 37.84 -3.595 61.98% -0.459 -0.9525
Finder of Paths Unseen 636 51.57% 30.7 -4.558 48.43% -0.845 -0.2571
Fractured Days Split the Sky 433 37.88% 30.34 -4.633 42.49% -0.543 -0.0967
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 644 53.88% 33.41 -6.752 52.17% -0.903 -1.0885
Heart of the Wildfire 608 70.89% 25.1 -8.107 36.18% -1.091 -0.9481
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1777 40.09% 40.88 5.996 64.04% 1.229 0.5542
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 426 41.55% 36.2 -4.564 57.51% -0.437 -0.9649
Lightning's Swift Strike 277 55.23% 29.97 -5.38 42.6% -0.5 -0.4677
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1018 53.31% 44.11 6.574 73.18% 0.804 0.1516
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 226 49.12% 39.95 6.052 68.58% 0.642 0.1461
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 336 37.8% 35.71 11.202 53.87% 1.038 0.799
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 801 55.81% 32.72 -3.321 51.19% -0.192 -0.6184
Many Minds Move as One 673 34.32% 33.78 1.918 55.57% 0.499 -0.0102
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1949 53.54% 35.76 0.993 53.16% 0.219 -0.0501
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 940 67.06% 31.22 -3.141 50.43% -0.569 -0.6832
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 658 48.78% 35.78 0.87 56.84% 0.262 -0.0317
River Surges in Sunlight 493 45.84% 37.42 2.172 55.78% 0.096 -0.0747
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 127 49.61% 34.77 0.994 51.97% 0.316 0.2045
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 164 55.49% 33.73 -6.889 48.78% -0.394 -0.4592
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 778 49.74% 40.51 -0.332 59.64% 0.322 0.1916
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 925 37.19% 39.1 0.21 61.73% -0.022 -0.2861
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 160 31.87% 37.61 1.62 60.0% 0.404 -0.0264
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 46 69.57% 23.65 0.0 21.74%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 89 70.79% 24.45 -5.448 33.71% -0.132 -0.1278
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 310 58.06% 32.1 2.412 50.0% 0.401 -0.3514
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 132 62.88% 33.01 -3.758 48.48% -0.261 -0.5803
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 90 64.44% 30.51 0.0 42.22%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 47 65.96% 24.72 10.424 29.79% 0.333 0.2897
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 530 47.55% 39.11 -2.439 64.91% -0.141 -0.5072
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 66 43.94% 32.53 -0.443 56.06% -0.001 -0.5415
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 444 39.41% 30.8 4.319 50.68% 0.538 0.2934
Shifting Memory of Ages 399 53.63% 35.22 -1.03 57.14% 0.018 0.3123
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 334 43.11% 30.82 -2.342 51.2% -0.593 -0.7567
Shroud of Silent Mist 411 59.37% 27.41 -0.518 38.2% -0.05 0.1324
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 59 38.98% 36.2 -1.765 62.71% -0.471 -0.8806
Starlight Seeks its Form 1560 45.45% 34.18 1.31 53.72% 0.448 0.2057
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1181 35.76% 37.59 -0.967 61.56% -0.358 -1.31
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 509 58.58% 30.64 -1.651 41.26% 0.016 0.0581
Thunderspeaker 726 50.77% 35.25 -3.885 55.79% -0.293 -0.4884
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 186 49.46% 34.92 -5.994 58.6% -0.419 -0.5871
Towering Roots of the Jungle 501 45.31% 31.25 -5.102 47.11% -0.354 -0.4648
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 841 69.92% 30.71 -2.401 47.8% -0.524 -0.6744
Vital Strength of the Earth 218 57.8% 24.04 -3.972 18.35% -0.802 -0.4436
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 463 49.56% 32.84 -2.657 43.84% -0.28 -0.0363
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 141 53.19% 22.04 -13.4 23.4% -0.311 0.3706
Volcano Looming High 1139 58.47% 33.9 0.799 55.66% 0.265 -0.059
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 853 51.93% 37.66 2.013 62.84% 0.648 0.1304

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 22 18.18% 30.91 -17.226 54.55% -0.446 -0.0765
Blitz 0 228 18.86% 45.27 -3.64 44.74% 0.005 0.4372
Dahan Insurrection 4 139 41.01% 50.71 21.414 45.32% 0.581 0.5554
Despicable Theft 2 47 34.04% 18.4 0.07 17.02% -0.141 0.5185
Elemental Invocation 1 75 45.33% 24.75 -7.33 36.0% -0.254 0.1934
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 764 21.34% 46.53 6.368 67.8% 0.576 -0.0237
Powers Long Forgotten 1 51 56.86% 23.31 -13.075 23.53% -1.065 -0.4573
Rituals of Terror 3 49 44.9% 26.06 0.0 28.57%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 43 62.79% 27.63 -0.752 32.56% -0.101 0.6372
Second Wave 0 510 42.65% 43.78 6.931 62.94% 0.603 0.7093
The Great River 3 36 58.33% 28.25 -9.014 30.56% -0.271 0.9032
Varied Terrains 2 83 50.6% 26.43 -7.384 20.48% -0.727 0.0096
Ward the Shores 2 70 32.86% 20.77 -4.338 21.43% -0.48 0.2028

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 13761 52.1% 35.25 0.099 54.73% -0.191 0.0334
1 Thematic 374 45.99% 29.55 -1.682 34.49% -0.438 0.1126
2 Archipelago 18 27.78% 44.78 0.0 55.56%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3072 45.15% 38.01 -2.711 63.67% -0.658 -0.5466
2 Coastline 400 49.5% 36.8 -12.647 61.75% -1.036 -1.1247
2 Fragment 73 63.01% 34.89 10.703 54.79% 1.27 0.9318
2 Heart 67 46.27% 36.6 0.825 53.73% -0.094 -0.4214
2 Opposite Shores 1087 51.98% 31.58 3.132 49.77% 0.175 0.2118
2 Thematic 249 54.62% 29.9 -2.691 27.31% -0.237 0.2918
2 Top to Top 208 35.1% 34.51 11.608 59.13% 1.247 1.0402
3 Archipelago 12 91.67% 36.08 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 11 63.64% 46.73 0.0 63.64%
3 Other 24 62.5% 28.92 0.0 45.83%
3 Round (Default) 1523 43.58% 38.47 3.065 61.98% 0.38 0.2835
3 Sunrise 11 45.45% 33.0 0.0 45.45%
3 Thematic 63 63.49% 44.3 13.76 66.67% 0.346 0.5876
4 Archipelago 6 100.0% 30.67 0.0 16.67%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 7 71.43% 31.57 0.0 28.57%
4 Other 28 64.29% 31.39 2.006 53.57% 0.093 -0.4541
4 Thematic 24 29.17% 31.25 -8.592 29.17% -0.154 0.3195
4 Trapezoid (Default) 620 43.39% 28.35 -4.214 42.42% -0.925 -1.1137
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 44.0 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 51 52.94% 30.41 0.0 50.98%
5 Thematic 16 68.75% 23.56 0.0 6.25%
6 Archipelago 4 50.0% 49.75 0.0 75.0%
6 Coastline 3 66.67% 26.67 0.0 33.33%
6 Other 18 38.89% 39.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Star 17 29.41% 33.35 0.0 47.06%
6 Thematic 21 52.38% 29.29 -8.328 33.33% -0.105 0.4758
6 Two Centers (Default) 50 30.0% 32.2 -4.287 48.0% -0.239 -0.262

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 652 35.68 3.566 54.6% 0.713 1.0237
Aid From Lesser Spirits 451 38.55 4.403 57.65% 0.32 0.3331
All Things Weaken 646 34.13 -2.167 49.07% -0.885 -0.4115
Attenuated Essence 428 33.17 -3.008 51.17% -0.664 -0.5171
Back Against the Wall 484 37.31 4.624 55.79% 0.306 0.4354
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 413 32.96 1.252 50.36% 0.373 0.6929
Burn Brightest Before the End 272 35.75 -1.684 52.94% -0.537 -0.3601
Disintegrating Ecosystem 628 31.76 -0.634 50.48% -0.141 0.2395
Downward Spiral 703 34.88 -1.277 54.05% -0.66 -0.467
Erosion of Will 612 33.19 -0.017 47.88% -0.437 -0.0987
Intensifying Exploitation 395 31.9 0.186 49.37% 0.065 0.4178
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 265 41.23 5.109 69.81% 0.516 0.1526
Memory Fades to Dust 699 33.59 -0.671 51.79% -0.199 0.13
Power Corrodes the Spirit 604 32.14 1.765 48.34% 0.22 0.4865
Promising Farmlands 599 32.38 -4.205 49.25% -0.97 -0.5229
Shattered Fragments of Power 297 36.46 4.124 52.53% 0.004 0.0037
Slow Dissolution of Will 374 31.54 1.859 46.26% 0.547 0.9584
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 187 40.1 1.277 70.05% 0.083 -0.4761
The Border of Life and Death 109 34.35 1.058 59.63% 0.294 0.0492
Thriving Communities 643 32.5 -3.32 47.74% -0.881 -0.6036
Thriving Crops 168 34.68 11.069 57.74% 0.506 0.4102
Unnatural Proliferation 676 36.35 4.874 52.81% 0.667 0.8717
Untended Land Crumbles 603 33.28 -5.558 50.08% -0.957 -0.6572

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4668 48.9% 33.79 -0.055 53.81% 0.056 1.0475
B 4597 47.64% 35.79 -0.213 57.32% 0.095 0.9606
C 4780 48.19% 36.65 -1.673 58.85% -0.14 0.6119
D 3790 47.29% 33.49 0.523 52.01% 0.258 1.2028
E 4127 48.29% 36.22 2.661 57.43% 0.478 1.2324
F 3561 49.61% 36.07 0.867 57.6% 0.05 0.9246
G 3089 50.49% 35.77 -0.098 56.43% -0.007 0.8551
H 3189 47.96% 35.59 -1.352 56.13% 0.056 0.8633
East 438 46.35% 31.76 1.488 35.62% 0.57 1.3152
Northeast 228 40.35% 29.69 -4.977 28.95% -0.933 -0.0398
Northwest 201 48.76% 34.46 -1.787 41.29% -0.329 0.4144
Southeast 160 56.88% 34.28 -3.711 43.13% -0.194 0.8149
Southwest 243 61.73% 27.7 -6.157 30.04% -0.586 0.5707
West 492 53.46% 30.68 4.174 34.55% 0.353 1.3361

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 33 0.0% 54.21 8.2 84.85% 0.066 0.786
Not Using Events or Tokens 133 46.56% 29.2 -3.794 45.11% -0.439 0.0353
Skip Initial Invader Actions 321 11.41% 54.64 0.163 62.31% -0.039 -0.8435
Start of Game Growth 602 23.32% 45.28 0.006 60.3% 0.122 -0.4443
Unlimited Undo 2454 43.84% 37.41 -3.123 57.91% -0.54 -0.5129
Using Tokens but Not Events 1272 42.63% 37.96 3.025 57.94% 0.597 0.5696

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6039 12.25 2.93%
II 5837 29.91 47.2%
III 6950 34.94 88.5%
IV 3014 38.9 99.67%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.024 Win Model: 0.0
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 14248 51.96% 35.12 54.23%
2 5094 47.11% 36.01 58.44%
3 1637 45.21% 38.6 61.88%
4 684 43.86% 28.52 42.11%
5 65 61.54% 30.38 43.08%
6 112 36.61% 33.13 48.21%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 176
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6065
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2687
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2982
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4281
Lose: Invader deck ran out 258
Lose: Adversary condition 2285
Win: Sacrifice victory 99
Lose: Scenario condition 114
Win: Scenario condition 78
Lose: Unique spirit condition 1
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2643
Lose: Spirit destroyed 171

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 937 35.4% 44.2 3.318 66.28% 0.483 0.0652
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 308 34.9% 46.79 6.68 68.51% 1.358 0.7018
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 62 43.55% 42.27 0.521 67.74% 0.34 0.1819
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 309 45.63% 47.76 3.734 74.43% 0.6 -0.2607
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 245 68.16% 32.38 1.94 40.0% 0.136 0.2734
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 451 51.88% 41.69 -3.504 60.53% -0.722 -1.7513
Dances Up Earthquakes 294 52.38% 37.71 -1.459 52.72% -0.32 -0.3563
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 557 60.5% 33.66 5.88 46.14% 0.363 0.0087
Downpour Drenches the World 1013 41.8% 39.29 -4.293 54.2% -0.633 -0.5089
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1362 46.84% 45.03 3.126 67.69% 0.817 0.2464
Eyes Watch From the Trees 762 44.23% 42.54 0.168 63.39% -0.246 -0.8924
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 672 58.63% 39.71 0.525 58.93% 0.209 -0.2853
Finder of Paths Unseen 1186 57.59% 35.88 -1.834 52.36% -0.029 0.5592
Fractured Days Split the Sky 378 36.24% 36.33 -2.443 47.35% -0.566 -0.1197
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 583 53.86% 40.51 -2.853 55.92% -0.263 -0.4478
Heart of the Wildfire 406 68.89% 29.14 -6.636 38.42% -0.918 -0.7751
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1793 43.42% 42.55 0.327 62.3% -0.0 -0.6744
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 535 37.2% 51.85 1.143 68.97% -0.391 -0.9187
Lightning's Swift Strike 175 67.24% 35.71 -3.694 46.86% -0.351 -0.3186
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1010 53.11% 50.51 -1.966 70.0% -0.174 -0.8265
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 218 56.88% 44.11 2.703 62.84% 0.138 -0.358
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 244 39.34% 43.2 0.0 55.33%
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 777 66.58% 33.88 -1.874 40.41% -0.43 -0.8559
Many Minds Move as One 565 41.95% 46.71 3.088 70.62% 0.441 -0.0683
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3188 55.57% 43.36 -0.031 60.79% -0.077 -0.3468
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 727 61.76% 32.57 -2.009 43.6% -0.237 -0.3508
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 595 48.74% 37.53 -7.942 54.45% -0.721 -1.0147
River Surges in Sunlight 249 60.24% 43.61 32.048 58.23% 0.467 0.2964
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 256 53.91% 43.23 1.045 63.67% 0.156 0.0444
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 159 62.89% 30.31 -9.946 30.19% -0.765 -0.8306
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 687 55.75% 49.12 4.526 61.72% 0.604 0.4734
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1246 34.67% 46.31 2.178 70.3% 0.413 0.1484
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 282 24.11% 43.74 3.191 65.6% 0.694 0.2634
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 26 53.85% 23.65 0.0 30.77%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 53 67.92% 39.45 5.488 60.38% 0.144 0.1482
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 228 68.14% 37.93 -4.14 55.26% -0.424 -1.1766
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 77 51.95% 48.31 6.159 62.34% 0.102 -0.2165
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 73 61.64% 36.51 8.237 50.68% 0.377 0.1983
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 32 78.13% 30.66 0.0 31.25%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1996 40.08% 40.26 3.198 61.67% 0.487 0.1213
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 57 47.37% 36.95 -2.108 56.14% -0.32 -0.8608
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 371 47.98% 43.96 -0.847 59.57% -0.226 -0.4706
Shifting Memory of Ages 379 63.32% 37.95 0.963 53.83% 0.09 0.3845
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 294 48.3% 43.14 1.179 61.22% -0.356 -0.5194
Shroud of Silent Mist 312 63.78% 30.14 -8.991 37.5% -0.541 -0.3584
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 51 58.82% 47.06 0.976 74.51% 0.101 -0.3088
Starlight Seeks its Form 1658 41.13% 43.66 -0.107 63.51% -0.327 -0.5693
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 922 60.37% 36.45 -6.191 52.82% -0.947 -1.8988
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 307 59.61% 34.89 -3.508 45.28% -0.203 -0.16
Thunderspeaker 590 56.88% 39.84 1.569 58.31% 0.214 0.0194
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 120 51.67% 41.49 0.0 61.67%
Towering Roots of the Jungle 552 46.92% 34.84 0.558 50.0% 0.364 0.2535
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 641 74.73% 30.85 5.82 41.19% 0.698 0.5469
Vital Strength of the Earth 88 52.27% 35.73 5.337 47.73% 0.244 0.6025
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 404 50.77% 38.67 -4.125 51.49% -0.407 -0.1635
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 73 50.68% 31.3 0.0 41.1%
Volcano Looming High 985 55.53% 39.59 1.476 58.27% 0.492 0.1676
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 707 53.32% 43.66 -1.789 63.51% -0.131 -0.6488

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 29 44.83% 60.07 0.0 75.86%
Blitz 0 140 24.29% 55.74 -1.037 63.57% -0.158 0.2732
Dahan Insurrection 4 305 53.77% 47.9 -4.022 38.36% -0.843 -0.8688
Despicable Theft 2 45 64.44% 22.44 7.862 20.0% 0.123 0.7825
Elemental Invocation 1 76 63.16% 21.68 -21.105 18.42% -0.548 -0.1
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2425 29.24% 48.88 6.416 62.1% 1.262 0.6627
Powers Long Forgotten 1 41 48.78% 27.29 -9.286 31.71% -0.492 0.1167
Rituals of Terror 3 27 33.33% 40.59 14.151 40.74% 0.405 0.5296
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 6 16.67% 24.67 0.0 33.33%
Second Wave 0 311 49.49% 45.12 3.156 57.56% 0.224 0.3299
The Great River 3 44 34.09% 25.82 -14.579 22.73% -0.948 0.2264
Varied Terrains 2 76 65.79% 28.72 -17.503 21.05% -0.35 0.3868
Ward the Shores 2 109 63.3% 25.57 -13.939 13.76% -0.939 -0.2562

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 15228 52.51% 38.85 -1.75 55.23% -0.63 -0.4056
1 Thematic 540 50.93% 33.98 -4.273 29.63% -0.86 -0.3099
2 Archipelago 82 32.93% 26.7 0.0 25.61%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2641 49.38% 41.01 1.51 63.01% 0.114 0.225
2 Coastline 575 52.87% 41.61 -4.908 62.78% -0.213 -0.3019
2 Fragment 57 54.39% 51.21 13.336 73.68% 0.703 0.3645
2 Heart 47 68.09% 43.26 0.0 61.7%
2 Opposite Shores 910 52.92% 40.9 2.439 56.48% 0.255 0.2917
2 Thematic 168 61.9% 36.46 2.386 33.93% 0.094 0.6231
2 Top to Top 188 47.87% 46.02 7.736 71.28% 0.484 0.2775
3 Archipelago 11 63.64% 71.09 0.0 72.73%
3 Coastline 20 40.0% 49.05 -3.686 60.0% -0.975 -1.4957
3 Other 26 38.46% 29.62 8.497 42.31% 0.783 0.0408
3 Round (Default) 1547 44.42% 48.26 2.656 70.07% 0.223 0.1272
3 Sunrise 6 83.33% 33.33 5.243 33.33% 0.232 -0.5077
3 Thematic 64 42.19% 46.05 -7.68 45.31% -0.439 -0.1969
4 Archipelago 9 33.33% 76.78 0.0 88.89%
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 71.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 7 100.0% 36.57 0.0 42.86%
4 Other 15 53.33% 49.13 0.0 73.33%
4 Thematic 64 40.63% 39.17 2.061 31.25% 0.135 0.6079
4 Trapezoid (Default) 374 58.02% 41.39 -7.728 58.56% -0.714 -0.9026
5 Coastline 1 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 35 51.43% 37.14 0.0 57.14%
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 29.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 32 9.38% 53.75 0.0 71.88%
6 Other 14 35.71% 23.64 0.0 28.57%
6 Star 15 40.0% 32.6 0.0 40.0%
6 Thematic 54 27.78% 40.96 -7.458 50.0% -0.079 0.502
6 Two Centers (Default) 83 62.65% 37.12 4.81 60.24% 0.471 0.4482
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 105.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 720 37.96 -0.922 51.81% -0.106 0.2047
Aid From Lesser Spirits 476 42.97 4.655 59.24% 0.374 0.387
All Things Weaken 663 36.1 -3.78 46.46% -0.939 -0.4647
Attenuated Essence 432 36.15 -1.354 50.46% -0.259 -0.1125
Back Against the Wall 522 40.7 -2.518 54.98% -0.519 -0.3896
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 378 34.08 0.572 46.03% 0.33 0.6498
Burn Brightest Before the End 311 38.79 -3.476 48.87% -0.387 -0.2104
Disintegrating Ecosystem 636 33.35 -4.333 44.81% -0.592 -0.2112
Downward Spiral 740 34.53 -3.758 47.16% -0.535 -0.3417
Erosion of Will 713 35.58 0.552 45.72% -0.148 0.1895
Intensifying Exploitation 484 33.0 -1.363 44.21% -0.217 0.1357
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 253 45.31 5.68 71.54% 0.911 0.5477
Memory Fades to Dust 735 36.09 -1.459 48.16% -0.106 0.2236
Power Corrodes the Spirit 714 35.07 -1.583 46.08% -0.125 0.1422
Promising Farmlands 670 34.99 2.99 46.87% 0.632 1.0795
Shattered Fragments of Power 302 38.76 -7.046 52.32% -0.929 -0.9291
Slow Dissolution of Will 463 36.39 0.034 47.95% -0.159 0.252
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 168 44.68 7.382 69.64% 0.385 -0.1734
The Border of Life and Death 121 40.5 -2.151 66.94% -0.025 -0.2702
Thriving Communities 677 33.93 -2.049 43.72% -0.396 -0.1185
Thriving Crops 174 40.86 4.308 64.37% 0.352 0.2571
Unnatural Proliferation 697 38.03 2.92 49.07% 0.476 0.681
Untended Land Crumbles 690 34.98 -4.597 46.67% -0.563 -0.2639

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3999 53.07% 39.71 2.132 57.66% 0.281 1.2724
B 4272 53.06% 40.14 1.491 57.23% 0.641 1.5066
C 5098 48.19% 41.33 -1.706 59.77% -0.098 0.6543
D 3421 50.07% 38.65 1.502 53.79% 0.601 1.546
E 4445 47.49% 43.0 2.017 63.1% 0.442 1.1968
F 3391 51.21% 41.22 0.811 59.92% 0.362 1.2367
G 2713 52.78% 40.31 -0.71 58.35% -0.024 0.8385
H 4355 51.8% 43.15 1.546 63.4% 0.614 1.4214
East 602 47.51% 38.6 -2.382 35.38% -0.106 0.64
Northeast 342 43.57% 37.41 -0.575 34.8% -0.067 0.8264
Northwest 269 49.44% 35.78 -2.507 35.32% -0.506 0.2369
Southeast 228 43.86% 42.39 -2.654 43.42% -0.155 0.8536
Southwest 213 41.78% 33.46 -5.307 33.8% -0.455 0.7015
West 525 50.67% 33.61 -5.336 32.0% -0.632 0.3504

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 84 0.0% 56.83 9.06 85.71% 0.134 0.8535
Not Using Events or Tokens 88 50.0% 25.97 6.492 36.36% 0.639 1.1134
Skip Initial Invader Actions 687 13.88% 70.2 5.151 85.15% 0.14 -0.6648
Start of Game Growth 938 24.3% 61.24 6.556 76.33% 0.629 0.0622
Unlimited Undo 2417 49.12% 38.02 -1.012 53.0% -0.193 -0.1655
Using Events but Not Tokens 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Using Tokens but Not Events 912 45.65% 39.22 -2.845 53.84% -0.836 -0.863

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6612 12.25 8.18%
II 7988 29.91 58.94%
III 6034 34.94 91.27%
IV 2241 38.9 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.204 Win Model: -0.194
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 16012 52.5% 38.72 54.46%
2 4508 50.64% 41.32 60.8%
3 1660 44.29% 47.81 68.49%
4 457 56.02% 41.83 56.46%
5 37 51.35% 35.14 54.05%
6 201 40.8% 40.22 56.22%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 539
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5418
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4577
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2205
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4578
Lose: Invader deck ran out 234
Lose: Adversary condition 1478
Win: Sacrifice victory 118
Lose: Scenario condition 306
Win: Scenario condition 132
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3159
Lose: Spirit destroyed 131

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3527 39.38% 42.64 1.406 49.84% 0.518 0.0998
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 1458 38.16% 45.99 5.781 52.19% 1.499 0.8431
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 197 43.65% 30.68 -8.369 37.06% -1.04 -1.1975
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 1135 56.21% 39.87 3.551 50.93% 0.759 -0.1017
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 851 70.15% 35.63 -4.553 33.73% -0.736 -0.5981
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 3123 57.06% 44.0 5.644 54.11% 0.9 -0.1294
Dances Up Earthquakes 1398 61.09% 39.65 5.148 45.49% 0.665 0.6287
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1480 67.23% 32.41 -3.367 31.96% -0.254 -0.6084
Downpour Drenches the World 3927 47.38% 38.34 -4.074 40.74% -0.357 -0.2333
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 4955 55.99% 38.88 1.734 49.26% 0.691 0.1199
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2339 53.95% 39.67 -1.292 46.13% -0.019 -0.6648
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1476 68.32% 36.13 1.179 40.24% 0.484 -0.0101
Finder of Paths Unseen 2538 53.74% 36.05 -6.522 39.48% -0.697 -0.1088
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2639 35.05% 38.82 -5.798 38.39% -0.664 -0.217
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1760 66.65% 36.13 -6.35 36.65% -0.616 -0.8012
Heart of the Wildfire 1697 75.29% 23.07 -4.231 18.68% -0.477 -0.3342
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 11662 46.34% 50.88 4.828 65.1% 1.021 0.3464
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 1068 57.5% 35.71 6.415 38.3% 0.459 -0.0684
Lightning's Swift Strike 836 63.05% 30.21 -0.467 29.07% -0.216 -0.1829
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 3657 66.7% 44.52 -0.434 51.71% 0.178 -0.4741
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1415 65.96% 44.89 3.08 53.92% 0.837 0.3418
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1488 49.33% 43.18 3.481 47.18% 0.948 0.7088
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3042 67.61% 32.22 -1.688 30.64% -0.396 -0.8216
Many Minds Move as One 1792 46.99% 46.79 10.319 55.41% 1.617 1.1083
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6056 49.0% 36.32 -3.392 39.6% -0.236 -0.5056
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 2653 62.35% 30.45 -1.339 32.98% -0.251 -0.3647
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2152 59.4% 36.4 -4.28 38.99% 0.021 -0.2731
River Surges in Sunlight 1439 52.33% 36.42 -4.318 38.29% -0.498 -0.6693
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 545 61.83% 34.76 -6.745 31.38% -0.674 -0.7851
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 594 54.56% 25.88 3.653 24.07% 0.07 0.0051
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 2904 60.37% 38.64 -1.048 37.74% -0.078 -0.2083
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4958 34.73% 51.15 1.393 54.48% 0.133 -0.1314
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 655 36.64% 43.44 0.532 54.35% 0.422 -0.008
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 156 67.95% 20.35 -1.641 12.18% -0.272 0.1569
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 155 83.23% 29.97 -17.247 22.58% -0.39 -0.3858
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 917 75.9% 31.18 0.953 32.28% 0.486 -0.2672
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 332 74.4% 30.74 0.796 28.31% 0.195 -0.1237
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 202 76.24% 27.61 0.0 22.28%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 516 64.53% 43.45 0.0 40.89%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1702 57.58% 40.18 -2.451 45.53% -0.029 -0.3951
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 164 66.46% 31.49 -5.281 38.41% -0.261 -0.802
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1174 53.41% 30.61 -1.907 34.67% 0.007 -0.2373
Shifting Memory of Ages 1869 54.98% 39.16 -4.317 38.1% 0.172 0.466
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 1203 43.34% 38.31 -0.253 44.8% 0.183 0.02
Shroud of Silent Mist 1129 72.19% 29.98 -6.125 28.26% -0.69 -0.5076
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 246 71.14% 38.08 -0.994 45.93% 0.243 -0.1667
Starlight Seeks its Form 7212 49.92% 43.95 -2.294 52.52% -0.024 -0.2663
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 8157 55.14% 44.54 1.752 56.72% 0.457 -0.4947
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1460 66.64% 26.7 -8.148 24.25% -1.194 -1.151
Thunderspeaker 1751 55.49% 30.43 -3.845 29.98% -0.264 -0.4587
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 452 64.38% 31.61 2.634 36.28% 0.183 0.0145
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1783 51.6% 29.99 -3.304 33.31% -0.471 -0.5816
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3446 74.25% 37.5 -3.699 41.82% -0.54 -0.6911
Vital Strength of the Earth 389 60.05% 23.8 -9.564 18.25% -1.35 -0.9919
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1613 56.02% 33.36 -3.574 33.85% -0.224 0.019
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 215 57.75% 26.39 -6.072 21.4% -0.153 0.5286
Volcano Looming High 5127 60.87% 36.86 0.138 40.06% 0.169 -0.1552
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 2000 62.8% 38.53 -1.836 43.55% -0.344 -0.8619

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 49 59.18% 48.16 0.0 55.1%
Blitz 0 1319 12.81% 59.75 4.677 54.81% 0.514 0.9454
Dahan Insurrection 4 773 57.64% 39.66 -5.476 14.1% -0.276 -0.3018
Despicable Theft 2 29 55.17% 41.62 21.752 44.83% 0.496 1.1558
Elemental Invocation 1 219 66.82% 31.02 0.0 6.85%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3871 33.39% 43.45 2.46 40.66% 0.293 -0.3063
Powers Long Forgotten 1 47 40.43% 20.43 21.042 21.28% 0.348 0.9562
Rituals of Terror 3 255 42.75% 77.09 27.976 47.45% 0.467 0.592
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 61 32.79% 18.38 42.045 8.2% 0.448 1.1859
Second Wave 0 488 58.32% 46.25 6.885 50.82% 0.664 0.7705
The Great River 3 49 30.61% 28.51 -7.78 22.45% -0.512 0.6631
Varied Terrains 2 118 58.47% 30.03 0.541 18.64% -0.749 -0.0119
Ward the Shores 2 198 48.99% 18.73 1.4 12.12% 0.121 0.8034

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 66785 57.99% 39.95 1.148 46.34% -0.132 0.0927
1 Thematic 1219 46.34% 36.69 -2.765 27.32% -1.688 -1.1382
2 Archipelago 134 41.79% 27.81 42.045 12.69% 0.448 0.094
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8596 58.25% 37.84 -0.443 44.39% -0.141 -0.0297
2 Coastline 1786 54.07% 39.6 -1.996 46.25% -0.403 -0.4921
2 Fragment 154 59.09% 44.89 2.542 54.55% -0.187 -0.5261
2 Heart 240 75.0% 44.26 0.0 40.83%
2 Opposite Shores 2156 60.39% 36.15 -3.718 36.13% -0.874 -0.8379
2 Thematic 294 50.34% 44.17 4.397 28.23% -0.166 0.3625
2 Top to Top 595 59.66% 37.73 6.979 42.18% 0.035 -0.1719
3 Archipelago 73 58.9% 55.15 0.0 30.14%
3 Coastline 44 52.27% 31.8 -20.633 40.91% -0.76 -1.2815
3 Other 53 52.83% 43.6 13.72 49.06% 1.834 1.0925
3 Round (Default) 3869 53.13% 40.66 -3.542 48.38% -1.052 -1.1482
3 Sunrise 4 75.0% 58.75 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 175 21.71% 54.85 11.391 32.57% 0.022 0.2643
4 Archipelago 22 54.55% 61.14 0.0 59.09%
4 Coastline 14 42.86% 66.07 0.0 85.71%
4 Leaf 27 55.56% 32.74 0.0 18.52%
4 Other 15 40.0% 44.2 16.252 53.33% 0.613 0.0652
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 172 34.88% 44.8 -7.543 26.16% -0.249 0.2249
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1985 48.16% 34.54 -3.436 37.18% -0.662 -0.8512
5 Archipelago 13 61.54% 48.0 0.0 23.08%
5 Coastline 26 7.69% 52.96 19.274 73.08% 0.463 -0.1472
5 Other 84 55.42% 44.9 0.0 39.29%
5 Thematic 15 57.14% 47.27 0.0 26.67%
6 Archipelago 54 27.78% 52.09 0.0 55.56%
6 Coastline 57 0.0% 57.26 0.0 80.7%
6 Other 249 42.97% 39.6 0.0 42.97%
6 Star 47 38.3% 42.57 0.0 51.06%
6 Thematic 198 39.09% 33.21 -0.153 27.78% 0.298 0.8783
6 Two Centers (Default) 599 25.04% 53.64 -1.27 57.76% -0.116 -0.1392
7 Archipelago 11 9.09% 62.55 -9.38 54.55% -0.16 0.2459
7 Other 7 28.57% 21.57 13.626 14.29% 0.148 -0.1071

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2956 38.9 -2.931 39.61% -0.889 -0.5779
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2279 44.54 -0.295 47.56% -0.321 -0.3082
All Things Weaken 3128 40.33 2.088 43.19% 0.106 0.5799
Attenuated Essence 1904 37.18 1.488 41.44% 0.304 0.4502
Back Against the Wall 2230 42.87 2.479 45.07% 0.082 0.211
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1922 35.6 1.525 38.09% 0.135 0.4552
Burn Brightest Before the End 1296 39.17 2.64 38.81% 0.073 0.2495
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2904 36.86 -0.643 40.19% -0.131 0.2492
Downward Spiral 3308 37.64 -0.896 41.23% 0.096 0.289
Erosion of Will 2970 38.06 -1.081 38.42% -0.361 -0.0229
Intensifying Exploitation 1950 33.24 1.065 35.23% 0.051 0.4034
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 907 45.23 9.141 56.45% 1.272 0.9084
Memory Fades to Dust 3192 36.72 0.459 38.47% -0.01 0.3191
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3051 37.62 -0.859 39.53% -0.268 -0.0012
Promising Farmlands 2952 36.95 -0.828 38.69% -0.294 0.1532
Shattered Fragments of Power 1336 40.7 2.391 42.81% 0.181 0.1811
Slow Dissolution of Will 1952 34.39 -2.433 34.78% -0.746 -0.3346
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 599 50.39 7.207 68.95% 0.78 0.2218
The Border of Life and Death 397 40.78 0.159 55.16% 0.196 -0.0488
Thriving Communities 2996 36.61 -1.297 38.05% -0.226 0.0512
Thriving Crops 753 43.46 4.988 56.31% 0.625 0.5296
Unnatural Proliferation 3129 41.71 3.424 42.86% 0.282 0.4869
Untended Land Crumbles 2993 37.49 -0.947 39.36% -0.303 -0.0039

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 15578 57.1% 38.11 -0.809 43.01% -0.094 0.8973
B 16303 56.77% 37.61 -1.607 41.97% -0.361 0.5038
C 21398 54.18% 42.7 1.414 51.3% 0.187 0.939
D 13676 54.0% 36.9 -2.814 39.19% -0.472 0.4728
E 17460 56.71% 40.13 0.374 46.48% -0.059 0.6961
F 12925 55.18% 40.48 0.576 47.25% -0.011 0.8632
G 11749 54.08% 39.13 -1.634 43.61% -0.255 0.607
H 11627 54.54% 40.42 1.517 47.0% 0.089 0.8957
East 1434 41.2% 41.52 3.437 26.99% 0.546 1.2917
Northeast 850 39.15% 42.6 -0.811 26.94% -0.934 -0.0409
Northwest 683 42.84% 37.7 1.282 28.11% -0.244 0.4991
Southeast 490 39.55% 35.7 -1.056 27.35% -0.107 0.9013
Southwest 488 39.63% 30.81 -3.246 25.82% -0.108 1.0492
West 1319 43.72% 40.67 -3.634 29.8% -0.314 0.6685

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 90 0.0% 41.21 11.842 46.67% 0.3 1.02
Not Using Events or Tokens 323 55.9% 25.28 -0.699 18.89% 0.59 1.0648
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3635 14.37% 64.14 7.249 66.8% 0.795 -0.01
Start of Game Growth 5468 20.53% 59.36 5.26 64.45% 1.234 0.6669
Unlimited Undo 11208 41.06% 48.93 1.755 57.94% 0.115 0.142
Using Tokens but Not Events 3100 52.51% 32.78 -3.072 31.52% -0.503 -0.53

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 33453 12.25 3.29%
II 20366 29.91 33.55%
III 20721 34.94 84.89%
IV 15347 38.9 99.81%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.671 Win Model: -0.096
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 68577 57.79% 39.95 46.05%
2 13703 57.76% 38.15 42.49%
3 4104 52.52% 40.98 47.86%
4 2181 47.8% 35.43 36.86%
5 165 44.51% 42.79 37.58%
6 1157 29.15% 47.82 52.9%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1087
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 17394
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6647
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15111
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 21866
Lose: Invader deck ran out 888
Lose: Adversary condition 7482
Win: Sacrifice victory 469
Lose: Scenario condition 1109
Win: Scenario condition 133
Lose: Blight pool ran out 16522
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1179

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)