The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 719 18.46% 24.66 1.225 74.69% 0.559 0.4642
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 127 18.9% 22.06 2.416 63.78% 0.727 0.2514
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 393 30.28% 22.2 -1.09 65.9% -0.212 -0.0998
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 170 14.71% 26.16 6.144 71.76% 1.455 0.642
Dances Up Earthquakes 123 24.39% 15.28 -2.454 47.97% -0.598 -0.6068
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 637 21.8% 22.98 -0.049 69.7% 0.101 -0.0389
Downpour Drenches the World 955 19.79% 20.16 -1.775 65.65% -0.493 -0.2657
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 596 15.94% 24.03 1.144 71.14% 0.396 -0.1731
Eyes Watch From the Trees 777 12.97% 26.11 1.488 74.77% 0.38 -0.0074
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 688 18.83% 25.15 1.69 74.85% 0.521 0.1273
Finder of Paths Unseen 462 31.07% 14.73 -5.364 49.35% -1.143 -0.4147
Fractured Days Split the Sky 318 19.81% 18.93 -1.526 50.0% -0.701 -0.06
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 557 31.65% 20.55 -1.632 60.86% -0.295 -0.4282
Heart of the Wildfire 556 48.47% 18.01 -1.242 56.65% -0.084 0.2451
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 831 23.7% 24.83 0.949 73.65% 0.356 -0.0671
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 186 19.89% 22.55 1.636 67.74% 0.566 0.2598
Lightning's Swift Strike 331 34.45% 22.0 -1.592 67.98% -0.217 0.0212
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 295 30.58% 25.42 1.088 74.24% 0.373 -0.0343
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 163 18.4% 22.63 -0.45 65.64% 0.192 -0.1273
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 176 21.59% 22.77 1.053 62.5% 0.141 0.0605
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 776 23.9% 23.99 -0.351 69.72% -0.194 -0.3866
Many Minds Move as One 521 16.25% 23.26 1.462 63.15% 0.558 0.3417
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1062 34.7% 22.14 -0.442 65.82% 0.087 0.2269
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 123 40.65% 20.54 2.527 66.67% 0.712 0.7929
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 615 26.5% 20.97 -0.762 63.25% 0.084 0.0057
River Surges in Sunlight 377 31.38% 22.74 2.731 65.25% -0.071 0.0549
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 96 23.96% 20.11 2.335 64.58% 0.507 0.6855
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 211 34.6% 21.97 1.033 61.14% 0.216 0.4956
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 414 28.68% 25.13 1.365 68.12% -0.076 -0.1985
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 521 20.42% 20.95 -1.864 63.34% -0.506 -0.6325
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 45 20.0% 20.89 -0.906 64.44% -0.25 -0.3625
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 132 46.97% 19.54 -0.221 59.09% -0.31 0.2054
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 121 27.5% 22.62 -4.426 65.29% -1.443 -1.4612
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 124 35.48% 24.43 5.936 67.74% 0.782 0.2792
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 122 30.33% 21.43 8.04 64.75% 1.615 1.4237
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 107 30.84% 22.03 3.086 64.49% 0.519 0.4598
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 67 29.85% 21.13 -1.086 58.21% -0.035 0.0466
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 489 22.84% 23.33 -1.493 68.1% -0.252 -0.1731
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 193 17.99% 19.28 2.138 54.4% 0.631 0.4441
Shifting Memory of Ages 381 30.45% 17.35 -2.157 52.23% -0.564 -0.2969
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 96 18.75% 19.4 4.855 61.46% 0.695 0.5764
Shroud of Silent Mist 412 37.62% 19.72 0.336 59.22% -0.218 0.1327
Starlight Seeks its Form 926 15.69% 25.07 0.349 72.14% 0.283 0.1653
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 591 19.59% 22.7 1.264 68.02% 0.599 0.0855
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 594 28.4% 18.71 -2.761 56.4% -0.744 -0.6262
Thunderspeaker 609 20.47% 24.06 0.975 68.31% 0.157 0.1893
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 159 20.75% 15.66 -4.521 43.4% -1.071 -1.0573
Towering Roots of the Jungle 215 23.72% 19.37 0.029 60.0% 0.046 0.1757
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 379 46.97% 16.64 -2.95 50.66% -0.81 -0.6838
Vital Strength of the Earth 258 25.58% 17.68 1.24 51.55% -0.154 0.4457
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 257 30.95% 21.46 -3.361 64.98% -0.98 -0.4862
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 143 22.38% 16.69 -3.148 43.36% -0.649 0.0486
Volcano Looming High 625 29.12% 18.87 -2.538 57.44% -0.532 -0.484
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 319 21.32% 25.34 2.266 71.79% 0.247 -0.0428

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 52 17.31% 24.63 2.21 78.85% 0.298 0.4889
Blitz 0 180 18.89% 17.0 -1.555 47.22% -0.232 -0.0143
Dahan Insurrection 4 212 13.21% 37.57 7.194 61.32% 0.177 -0.0761
Despicable Theft 2 138 18.84% 16.07 -1.538 36.23% -0.513 0.0732
Elemental Invocation 1 156 17.95% 18.36 -4.672 45.51% -0.864 -0.1245
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 270 12.59% 28.07 2.599 67.41% -0.127 -0.6881
Powers Long Forgotten 1 154 22.08% 10.52 -1.993 24.68% -0.798 -0.0382
Rituals of Terror 3 129 23.26% 23.33 -1.613 47.29% -0.699 -0.5793
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 84 38.1% 16.81 -3.076 33.33% -0.546 0.3617
Second Wave 0 297 43.86% 29.35 3.786 63.3% 0.161 0.2994
The Great River 3 96 29.17% 19.27 0.006 37.5% -0.639 0.4608
Varied Terrains 2 191 37.17% 18.87 3.472 40.84% 0.063 0.839
Ward the Shores 2 186 25.81% 17.28 -1.749 39.25% -0.914 0.1607

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7596 27.95% 22.44 0.271 67.98% 0.639 0.972
1 Thematic 824 25.85% 19.56 0.042 46.48% 0.203 0.8884
2 Archipelago 15 40.0% 33.13 0.0 60.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1910 27.54% 19.76 -0.47 60.79% 0.059 0.1783
2 Coastline 306 26.14% 24.24 3.164 73.86% 0.694 0.6215
2 Fragment 38 39.47% 22.29 -1.291 73.68% -0.097 -0.2821
2 Heart 36 36.11% 22.25 -6.679 75.0% -0.697 -0.854
2 Opposite Shores 256 31.76% 23.88 3.122 77.34% 0.844 0.9947
2 Thematic 290 25.86% 20.78 -0.041 47.93% -0.021 0.4869
2 Top to Top 62 25.81% 19.52 6.677 59.68% 0.692 0.6331
3 Archipelago 10 20.0% 25.1 5.262 60.0% 0.251 -0.701
3 Coastline 20 15.0% 22.55 -1.558 50.0% -0.77 -1.1798
3 Other 37 27.03% 22.62 7.159 64.86% 0.777 0.0058
3 Round (Default) 976 23.14% 25.18 1.605 75.41% 0.017 -0.074
3 Sunrise 4 0.0% 20.25 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 62 20.97% 16.95 -7.015 37.1% -1.212 -1.1915
4 Archipelago 8 25.0% 28.0 -6.108 62.5% -0.198 -0.7284
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 18.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 17 58.82% 25.24 4.017 76.47% 0.787 0.0756
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 69 15.94% 27.49 2.057 65.22% -0.096 0.0264
4 Trapezoid (Default) 603 14.26% 16.56 -3.786 49.75% -1.839 -1.8418
5 Other 49 40.82% 25.37 6.752 81.63% 0.364 -0.1498
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 26.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 8 0.0% 34.63 0.0 75.0%
6 Other 7 28.57% 27.29 2.031 71.43% 0.068 -0.0358
6 Star 8 12.5% 21.13 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 48 27.08% 30.4 4.686 56.25% -0.018 0.2676
6 Two Centers (Default) 78 15.38% 22.47 -1.773 64.1% -0.971 -0.4385
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 171 20.18 1.071 57.89% 0.565 0.8157
Aid From Lesser Spirits 195 23.22 2.058 65.64% 0.251 0.1934
All Things Weaken 200 21.08 0.656 60.0% -0.319 0.0158
Attenuated Essence 110 20.49 1.586 63.64% 1.014 1.048
Back Against the Wall 182 22.82 2.199 64.29% 0.88 0.9153
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 98 19.52 0.247 54.08% -0.385 -0.1684
Burn Brightest Before the End 65 21.51 3.844 58.46% 0.528 0.5383
Disintegrating Ecosystem 210 16.49 -0.18 51.43% 0.222 0.5666
Downward Spiral 281 19.7 -0.505 66.19% 0.242 0.3596
Erosion of Will 202 18.31 -0.401 47.52% -0.375 -0.1002
Intensifying Exploitation 100 15.47 -4.447 41.0% -1.284 -1.0732
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 92 24.49 2.751 82.61% 0.548 -0.0243
Memory Fades to Dust 305 18.43 -0.534 54.1% -0.234 0.0179
Power Corrodes the Spirit 194 19.32 -1.729 58.25% -0.499 -0.295
Promising Farmlands 190 18.37 0.474 57.89% 0.272 0.5259
Shattered Fragments of Power 86 19.67 -2.008 50.0% -1.078 -1.0041
Slow Dissolution of Will 103 19.91 -1.39 57.28% -0.423 -0.0417
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 73 26.53 3.354 86.3% 1.057 0.3827
The Border of Life and Death 28 18.96 -5.072 50.0% -0.95 -1.5508
Thriving Communities 211 19.34 -1.751 54.5% -0.596 -0.3148
Thriving Crops 46 18.15 0.622 58.7% 0.724 0.5842
Unnatural Proliferation 195 21.58 2.43 57.95% 0.859 1.0629
Untended Land Crumbles 218 21.05 2.23 60.09% 0.742 0.9318

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2610 26.2% 21.47 -0.707 65.59% -0.578 0.4202
B 2674 24.98% 21.79 0.024 65.97% -0.334 0.5883
C 2752 26.39% 22.6 -0.073 69.48% -0.421 0.3074
D 2528 25.38% 21.34 -0.393 64.64% -0.494 0.4652
E 2392 24.33% 22.34 0.015 66.6% -0.509 0.3103
F 2232 24.39% 21.61 -0.428 64.83% -0.647 0.2344
G 2053 25.38% 21.29 -0.721 64.39% -0.67 0.155
H 2161 25.8% 21.73 -0.284 64.83% -0.499 0.3398
East 812 24.75% 22.31 2.363 50.99% 0.02 0.8946
Northeast 388 29.64% 23.32 0.543 51.29% -0.559 0.1929
Northwest 331 26.28% 23.14 -0.309 52.87% -0.685 0.2073
Southeast 302 18.21% 21.34 -3.075 49.67% -1.186 -0.3475
Southwest 310 23.55% 17.7 -2.285 42.58% -0.912 0.3926
West 782 24.04% 20.04 -0.329 46.8% -0.649 0.3011

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 49 0.0% 31.96 -2.114 69.39% -0.042 0.6871
Not Using Events or Tokens 386 26.67% 20.96 -0.885 67.62% -0.158 0.1876
Skip Initial Invader Actions 256 11.95% 35.47 4.744 78.52% 0.26 -0.343
Start of Game Growth 373 14.53% 32.95 3.147 77.48% 0.377 -0.1274
Unlimited Undo 980 20.61% 23.55 1.51 66.53% 0.266 0.159
Using Tokens but Not Events 1056 20.92% 23.11 -1.626 70.27% -0.626 -0.656

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3525 13.42 6.41%
II 3187 30.13 69.85%
III 4557 34.83 91.29%
IV 2084 38.67 99.38%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.111 Win Model: 0.909
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8736 27.53% 21.84 64.48%
2 2681 28.74% 21.62 65.95%
3 1051 22.82% 25.24 75.26%
4 684 14.91% 17.64 51.9%
5 53 43.4% 25.36 79.25%
6 148 18.24% 25.85 63.51%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 225
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4056
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2097
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2054
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3310
Lose: Invader deck ran out 56
Lose: Adversary condition 363
Win: Sacrifice victory 49
Lose: Scenario condition 66
Win: Scenario condition 202
Lose: Blight pool ran out 812
Lose: Spirit destroyed 63

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 600 25.38% 29.2 1.433 68.67% 0.508 0.4127
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 98 21.43% 24.16 -2.719 54.08% -0.213 -0.6887
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 322 44.24% 25.07 -2.418 57.76% -0.248 -0.1357
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 136 29.41% 34.67 7.513 77.21% 1.311 0.4978
Dances Up Earthquakes 89 26.14% 29.06 0.829 69.66% 0.224 0.2147
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 485 28.87% 29.75 1.32 66.6% 0.173 0.0326
Downpour Drenches the World 794 25.35% 25.4 -1.259 57.3% -0.292 -0.0641
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 589 19.2% 29.51 4.203 68.93% 1.157 0.5877
Eyes Watch From the Trees 626 19.68% 31.17 4.065 70.29% 0.734 0.3465
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 473 23.47% 30.84 3.88 69.77% 0.706 0.3119
Finder of Paths Unseen 408 36.3% 20.49 -6.594 48.77% -1.169 -0.4409
Fractured Days Split the Sky 295 27.12% 23.31 -3.363 45.76% -0.725 -0.0844
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 504 41.27% 26.96 -2.122 59.72% -0.681 -0.8141
Heart of the Wildfire 417 58.65% 22.16 -4.363 51.08% -1.013 -0.6836
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 808 29.16% 28.89 2.952 68.81% 0.543 0.1195
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 172 20.47% 30.7 3.265 71.51% 0.607 0.3008
Lightning's Swift Strike 262 40.08% 25.21 -0.977 59.16% -0.116 0.1214
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 263 31.92% 30.78 3.114 69.58% 0.396 -0.0112
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 159 34.18% 30.69 -1.269 66.67% -0.162 -0.4807
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 169 31.95% 27.82 0.831 63.31% 0.288 0.2071
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 534 37.15% 27.6 -0.259 61.05% 0.214 0.021
Many Minds Move as One 458 25.11% 29.13 0.18 65.5% -0.004 -0.2201
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1041 37.56% 27.69 1.099 64.07% 0.466 0.6056
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 159 49.37% 25.86 1.827 62.89% 0.361 0.4418
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 528 29.55% 26.72 0.95 62.12% 0.358 0.2796
River Surges in Sunlight 383 32.45% 30.46 1.315 70.76% 0.152 0.2774
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 74 36.49% 23.22 -0.198 58.11% 0.135 0.3129
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 219 36.24% 29.18 2.779 64.84% 0.333 0.6126
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 374 31.81% 31.96 3.438 68.98% 0.276 0.1533
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 437 24.48% 26.38 2.233 58.35% 0.51 0.3833
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 22 22.73% 33.64 1.918 81.82% 0.367 0.2543
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 123 46.28% 20.59 0.111 46.34% -0.049 0.4669
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 119 42.48% 26.77 -0.3 58.82% -0.477 -0.495
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 120 35.83% 33.65 4.55 80.0% 0.966 0.4629
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 121 42.98% 26.13 9.545 58.68% 1.045 0.8529
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 82 42.68% 27.0 3.661 62.2% 0.249 0.1895
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 62 41.94% 22.79 -2.211 50.0% -0.498 -0.4162
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 366 33.15% 28.73 -0.285 67.49% 0.0 0.0797
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 252 30.2% 28.08 1.431 63.89% 0.201 0.014
Shifting Memory of Ages 383 38.42% 23.33 -6.862 51.17% -1.2 -0.933
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 121 31.4% 22.76 -3.14 47.11% -0.864 -0.982
Shroud of Silent Mist 364 45.88% 22.41 -3.678 49.73% -0.923 -0.5722
Starlight Seeks its Form 516 29.32% 24.37 -3.468 56.78% -0.393 -0.5103
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 586 26.84% 26.45 -1.016 62.46% 0.094 -0.4196
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 393 35.4% 22.99 -2.746 51.91% -0.778 -0.6602
Thunderspeaker 402 29.72% 27.16 -2.611 61.69% -0.526 -0.4942
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 146 39.73% 20.35 -5.344 45.89% -0.436 -0.4229
Towering Roots of the Jungle 219 27.4% 21.55 -1.201 49.77% -0.144 -0.0145
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 330 58.05% 22.49 -2.308 50.91% -0.408 -0.2815
Vital Strength of the Earth 210 29.52% 21.75 0.812 49.52% 0.012 0.6115
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 242 29.46% 23.23 -0.965 51.65% -0.313 0.181
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 105 24.76% 21.45 1.677 47.62% 0.327 1.0245
Volcano Looming High 476 37.82% 24.37 -2.011 59.24% -0.338 -0.2902
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 311 22.19% 30.28 -1.475 71.06% -0.549 -0.8393

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 41 24.39% 23.63 -13.875 58.54% -0.943 -0.7519
Blitz 0 201 21.89% 16.55 -5.956 37.81% -0.873 -0.6556
Dahan Insurrection 4 150 34.0% 39.35 5.871 44.67% -0.602 -0.8549
Despicable Theft 2 103 36.89% 22.26 1.184 35.92% -0.083 0.5033
Elemental Invocation 1 139 35.97% 23.44 -3.268 47.48% -0.678 0.0609
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 338 12.72% 29.51 1.22 56.51% -0.07 -0.6315
Powers Long Forgotten 1 116 35.34% 18.09 -1.093 25.86% -0.365 0.3944
Rituals of Terror 3 38 31.58% 25.63 -4.597 39.47% -0.761 -0.6406
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 37 35.14% 18.43 -0.599 29.73% -0.369 0.5389
Second Wave 0 640 37.25% 30.89 1.683 64.53% 0.186 0.3246
The Great River 3 32 31.25% 24.53 8.233 40.63% 0.166 1.2661
Varied Terrains 2 126 42.86% 21.41 -0.537 38.89% -0.168 0.6078
Ward the Shores 2 122 40.98% 13.86 -2.574 18.03% -0.604 0.4705

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6697 32.74% 26.07 -1.11 60.47% -0.505 -0.172
1 Thematic 613 32.35% 24.05 1.021 44.86% -0.624 0.0618
2 Archipelago 5 80.0% 48.0 0.0 80.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1593 33.0% 25.83 1.41 60.64% -0.027 0.0926
2 Coastline 259 31.52% 24.66 -0.33 59.46% -0.134 -0.2059
2 Fragment 57 38.6% 23.16 4.494 52.63% 0.556 0.3711
2 Heart 34 47.06% 28.62 3.921 67.65% 0.916 0.7588
2 Opposite Shores 331 36.06% 27.44 1.218 64.65% 0.125 0.2757
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 252 28.57% 21.6 -4.408 40.08% -0.964 -0.4556
2 Top to Top 53 47.17% 26.62 3.939 58.49% 0.611 0.5524
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 45.0 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 8 62.5% 38.25 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 15 46.67% 26.8 8.006 60.0% 0.543 -0.2287
3 Round (Default) 1002 34.18% 28.57 -0.108 66.17% -0.399 -0.4897
3 Thematic 57 42.11% 29.25 0.775 56.14% -0.367 -0.3465
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 27.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 6 33.33% 36.67 0.0 83.33%
4 Other 10 80.0% 30.4 0.0 90.0%
4 Thematic 32 31.25% 34.38 5.787 56.25% 0.246 0.3684
4 Trapezoid (Default) 297 25.59% 27.71 1.743 65.66% 0.667 0.6642
5 Archipelago 2 50.0% 54.5 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 44 36.36% 32.5 -0.271 79.55% -0.15 -0.6638
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 4 25.0% 33.75 -20.811 50.0% -0.849 -1.8866
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 15 26.67% 23.67 1.703 40.0% 0.056 -0.048
6 Star 2 0.0% 7.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Thematic 39 25.0% 31.26 -1.61 64.1% 0.2 0.4853
6 Two Centers (Default) 64 17.19% 29.25 -3.29 60.94% -0.484 0.0485
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 55.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 2 0.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 222 25.64 -0.653 57.21% 0.196 0.4472
Aid From Lesser Spirits 149 26.8 1.114 57.05% 0.456 0.3977
All Things Weaken 202 24.35 -1.921 55.45% -0.189 0.1453
Attenuated Essence 121 24.79 0.801 56.2% 0.298 0.3318
Back Against the Wall 183 26.74 2.467 57.92% 0.213 0.2479
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 110 25.1 -0.048 54.55% -0.027 0.19
Burn Brightest Before the End 85 26.91 3.077 54.12% 0.416 0.4269
Disintegrating Ecosystem 215 26.14 0.034 60.47% -0.033 0.3115
Downward Spiral 296 24.15 -0.754 57.43% -0.151 -0.0335
Erosion of Will 204 24.55 -0.034 53.43% -0.12 0.154
Intensifying Exploitation 142 24.18 0.253 58.45% 0.264 0.4752
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 126 29.52 -3.076 72.22% -0.264 -0.8369
Memory Fades to Dust 256 24.41 -1.378 54.3% -0.245 0.0071
Power Corrodes the Spirit 209 25.45 1.831 58.37% 0.676 0.8806
Promising Farmlands 231 23.98 0.078 51.52% 0.113 0.367
Shattered Fragments of Power 71 25.75 0.54 53.52% -0.214 -0.1396
Slow Dissolution of Will 107 22.98 0.458 42.06% -0.255 0.1268
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 82 29.83 1.702 75.61% 0.614 -0.0602
The Border of Life and Death 27 30.96 5.874 77.78% 0.995 0.394
Thriving Communities 206 24.05 -2.294 54.85% -0.63 -0.3489
Thriving Crops 61 26.85 -1.339 63.93% -0.32 -0.4603
Unnatural Proliferation 239 25.51 1.499 53.97% 0.364 0.568
Untended Land Crumbles 214 23.89 -0.066 53.27% 0.14 0.3304

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2208 31.87% 26.79 0.508 62.77% -0.064 0.9337
B 2280 33.54% 27.12 -0.216 62.89% -0.242 0.6807
C 2392 30.73% 27.36 -0.515 63.46% -0.439 0.2903
D 2212 32.36% 26.1 -0.739 59.81% -0.474 0.4855
E 1968 31.9% 27.45 1.319 63.87% 0.04 0.8592
F 1920 32.72% 26.74 0.023 62.6% -0.235 0.6466
G 1733 34.42% 26.49 0.074 60.65% -0.162 0.6636
H 1777 34.16% 26.89 0.372 62.24% -0.15 0.6892
East 653 30.46% 25.88 0.73 47.63% -0.702 0.1733
Northeast 303 31.0% 26.07 -0.75 47.85% -0.216 0.5361
Northwest 250 28.34% 25.51 -3.284 48.4% -1.067 -0.1753
Southeast 222 29.22% 26.76 1.109 53.15% 0.232 1.0705
Southwest 211 32.85% 22.77 1.668 45.97% 0.235 1.5395
West 588 32.02% 23.53 2.546 44.73% 0.045 0.995

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 57 0.0% 29.3 1.282 75.44% 0.575 1.3043
Not Using Events or Tokens 218 36.1% 18.95 -2.774 41.28% -0.483 -0.1371
Skip Initial Invader Actions 246 10.57% 39.16 3.256 83.33% 1.176 0.5732
Start of Game Growth 372 14.12% 36.59 2.104 78.23% -0.449 -0.9534
Unlimited Undo 1010 22.18% 26.09 1.533 60.1% 0.271 0.1644
Using Tokens but Not Events 1109 21.22% 29.67 0.925 70.78% 0.136 0.1058

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2971 13.42 2.83%
II 2365 30.13 43.81%
III 3675 34.83 90.12%
IV 2502 38.67 99.04%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.292 Win Model: 0.193
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7457 32.72% 25.69 58.52%
2 2481 33.48% 26.18 60.7%
3 1069 35.15% 28.87 66.23%
4 334 26.65% 28.67 66.47%
5 47 36.17% 30.02 74.47%
6 125 19.67% 30.18 60.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 83
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3248
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 998
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2461
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2358
Lose: Invader deck ran out 32
Lose: Adversary condition 1250
Win: Sacrifice victory 31
Lose: Scenario condition 89
Win: Scenario condition 89
Lose: Blight pool ran out 839
Lose: Spirit destroyed 35

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 654 26.81% 31.94 3.414 69.88% 0.971 0.8766
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 111 27.03% 31.67 3.417 72.07% 0.988 0.5117
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 291 50.17% 27.14 0.36 56.36% 0.14 0.252
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 177 37.29% 33.83 7.208 68.93% 1.186 0.3727
Dances Up Earthquakes 138 30.43% 31.84 2.283 67.39% 0.257 0.2483
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 544 38.59% 29.8 0.552 63.42% 0.169 0.0288
Downpour Drenches the World 891 31.07% 27.49 -2.327 55.56% -0.4 -0.1727
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 872 29.93% 32.52 2.324 71.56% 0.295 -0.2744
Eyes Watch From the Trees 805 34.87% 32.37 2.749 65.84% 0.37 -0.0179
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 548 40.4% 31.7 1.863 68.8% 0.504 0.1096
Finder of Paths Unseen 503 42.03% 25.73 -1.014 58.45% -0.128 0.6
Fractured Days Split the Sky 295 32.54% 26.68 -1.04 50.85% -0.235 0.4059
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 549 45.26% 26.07 -2.569 50.82% -0.829 -0.9625
Heart of the Wildfire 484 67.91% 24.24 -1.558 52.89% -0.198 0.1315
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1062 30.13% 32.98 -0.847 70.43% -0.189 -0.6128
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 249 29.32% 30.78 -2.058 69.88% -0.322 -0.628
Lightning's Swift Strike 282 44.29% 29.89 -2.808 63.83% -0.438 -0.2001
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 401 45.69% 33.81 2.118 72.07% 0.563 0.1554
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 188 40.32% 32.07 3.258 63.83% 0.568 0.2486
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 170 31.76% 31.31 4.109 58.82% 0.478 0.3971
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 723 43.71% 29.47 -0.695 61.96% -0.266 -0.4587
Many Minds Move as One 479 33.12% 30.13 1.505 62.84% 0.219 0.0023
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1316 39.57% 30.87 0.219 65.2% 0.081 0.2203
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 276 52.55% 29.8 1.434 67.39% 0.421 0.5019
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 611 37.15% 30.33 -0.181 61.54% -0.11 -0.188
River Surges in Sunlight 369 38.32% 34.96 1.273 73.98% 0.055 0.1805
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 110 36.7% 28.21 3.976 57.27% 0.039 0.2168
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 211 39.52% 29.91 -3.445 57.82% -0.672 -0.3928
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 472 37.88% 34.15 -1.138 68.01% -0.259 -0.382
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 574 35.96% 30.42 1.847 59.76% 0.405 0.2777
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 57 21.05% 30.18 0.597 64.91% 0.092 -0.0202
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 65 52.31% 22.08 -8.349 43.08% -0.582 -0.0665
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 98 51.04% 34.13 2.579 72.45% 0.388 0.3691
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 162 51.85% 30.28 1.359 62.35% 0.533 0.0302
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 113 54.87% 28.26 -2.737 51.33% -0.396 -0.588
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 70 47.14% 27.44 -3.569 61.43% -0.427 -0.4862
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 59 55.93% 24.32 0.49 47.46% -0.105 -0.0232
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 355 36.47% 30.58 1.292 66.2% 0.304 0.3837
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 267 39.08% 29.8 -3.231 65.54% -0.561 -0.7476
Shifting Memory of Ages 455 40.66% 24.85 -3.102 51.21% -0.789 -0.5216
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 123 32.52% 25.4 2.541 52.85% 0.559 0.4403
Shroud of Silent Mist 382 57.07% 24.47 -5.25 50.26% -1.103 -0.752
Starlight Seeks its Form 706 31.72% 29.58 1.458 61.9% 0.275 0.1572
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 704 29.14% 30.24 0.838 68.04% 0.253 -0.2605
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 460 51.1% 27.56 -3.28 54.13% -0.581 -0.4635
Thunderspeaker 411 34.07% 29.36 0.042 63.5% 0.264 0.2956
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 158 37.34% 27.18 -4.136 57.59% -0.674 -0.66
Towering Roots of the Jungle 305 35.41% 26.0 -0.252 54.1% 0.031 0.1602
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 386 67.28% 24.82 -0.42 51.3% -0.011 0.1158
Vital Strength of the Earth 172 35.09% 21.69 -2.279 44.19% -0.428 0.1715
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 305 40.33% 25.64 -3.637 50.82% -0.512 -0.0187
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 106 32.38% 24.59 -1.075 44.34% -0.309 0.3885
Volcano Looming High 677 47.71% 28.64 -1.577 63.81% -0.196 -0.1481
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 408 30.88% 33.42 2.251 73.53% 0.561 0.2713

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 26 15.38% 26.12 0.0 57.69%
Blitz 0 168 25.0% 22.65 -4.717 39.88% -0.8 -0.583
Dahan Insurrection 4 126 34.13% 35.22 0.185 39.68% -0.797 -1.0498
Despicable Theft 2 60 46.67% 20.2 -2.524 16.67% -0.603 -0.0167
Elemental Invocation 1 123 33.33% 21.14 -0.478 39.84% -0.045 0.6945
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 412 18.69% 32.96 4.091 57.04% 0.701 0.139
Powers Long Forgotten 1 106 33.02% 14.79 -2.783 24.53% -0.326 0.4334
Rituals of Terror 3 43 46.51% 21.35 -6.199 27.91% -1.421 -1.3009
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 38 50.0% 18.13 -6.182 23.68% -0.489 0.4185
Second Wave 0 613 34.62% 36.41 5.299 69.17% 0.552 0.6909
The Great River 3 25 28.0% 28.84 12.417 44.0% 0.086 1.1864
Varied Terrains 2 106 56.6% 25.96 5.04 36.79% 0.169 0.9445
Ward the Shores 2 87 41.38% 22.07 -7.139 29.89% -0.636 0.4387

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7680 39.59% 29.15 0.244 61.18% 0.013 0.346
1 Thematic 574 33.62% 21.88 -1.683 33.97% -0.39 0.2954
2 Archipelago 34 67.65% 29.03 2.524 47.06% 0.126 0.7335
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2086 39.66% 29.37 0.114 63.66% -0.015 0.1045
2 Coastline 313 41.53% 32.04 -0.298 70.61% 0.227 0.1545
2 Fragment 51 50.98% 28.41 7.327 58.82% 0.584 0.3996
2 Heart 44 45.45% 23.07 -2.4 43.18% -0.45 -0.6075
2 Opposite Shores 536 37.08% 29.2 -3.463 62.31% -0.79 -0.6392
2 Thematic 250 28.0% 24.54 -1.198 41.6% 0.219 0.727
2 Top to Top 100 46.0% 31.54 1.713 72.0% 0.447 0.3889
3 Archipelago 7 28.57% 41.0 0.0 57.14%
3 Coastline 14 50.0% 34.93 3.84 71.43% 0.356 -0.0544
3 Other 23 43.48% 29.61 -1.797 65.22% -0.196 -0.9677
3 Round (Default) 1091 36.89% 31.06 1.516 67.74% 0.249 0.1579
3 Sunrise 6 100.0% 28.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 53 43.4% 25.72 2.434 43.4% 0.198 0.2184
4 Archipelago 14 28.57% 36.14 0.0 71.43%
4 Coastline 4 50.0% 39.75 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 38.25 0.0 75.0%
4 Other 10 40.0% 22.4 0.0 40.0%
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 64 39.06% 29.94 2.33 46.88% -0.035 0.088
4 Trapezoid (Default) 341 38.12% 31.07 -0.173 66.57% -0.062 -0.065
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 3 100.0% 27.67 0.0 66.67%
5 Other 64 50.0% 34.42 8.132 82.81% 0.572 0.0578
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 0.0 -14.177 0.0% -0.321 -0.3779
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 12 41.67% 22.08 -4.578 33.33% -0.463 -0.5664
6 Star 8 62.5% 33.63 2.801 87.5% 0.058 0.0448
6 Thematic 55 35.85% 31.93 -1.108 52.73% -0.278 0.0077
6 Two Centers (Default) 47 27.66% 31.32 -4.597 63.83% -0.678 -0.1456
7 Other 2 0.0% 52.0 8.651 100.0% 0.201 -0.3578

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 299 27.85 1.742 54.52% 0.387 0.6385
Aid From Lesser Spirits 235 31.88 1.142 67.66% -0.149 -0.2073
All Things Weaken 319 28.32 -2.11 58.62% -0.458 -0.1235
Attenuated Essence 160 26.31 2.485 53.13% 0.18 0.2138
Back Against the Wall 236 30.12 0.199 56.78% -0.149 -0.1143
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 154 25.6 -3.347 51.95% -0.643 -0.4256
Burn Brightest Before the End 116 28.39 -3.164 53.45% -0.776 -0.7655
Disintegrating Ecosystem 308 28.37 2.052 63.96% 0.847 1.1917
Downward Spiral 353 27.14 1.948 56.66% 0.642 0.7597
Erosion of Will 275 28.9 2.348 55.64% 0.134 0.4085
Intensifying Exploitation 172 23.87 -3.353 52.33% -0.231 -0.0201
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 141 34.38 2.491 79.43% 0.685 0.1128
Memory Fades to Dust 337 28.32 0.15 58.75% -0.121 0.1314
Power Corrodes the Spirit 298 27.92 -2.608 57.72% -0.473 -0.269
Promising Farmlands 361 27.47 1.074 60.11% 0.282 0.5363
Shattered Fragments of Power 111 29.94 -1.549 59.46% -0.182 -0.1079
Slow Dissolution of Will 172 26.92 0.687 52.33% 0.156 0.5375
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 106 31.62 1.979 70.75% 0.355 -0.3193
The Border of Life and Death 55 32.53 -1.787 70.91% -0.03 -0.6305
Thriving Communities 334 27.72 2.255 56.29% 0.821 1.1031
Thriving Crops 92 29.88 1.147 68.48% 0.294 0.1536
Unnatural Proliferation 315 29.36 0.008 59.05% 0.111 0.3146
Untended Land Crumbles 311 26.39 -0.867 54.02% -0.236 -0.0457

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2868 39.65% 29.9 -0.083 63.95% -0.137 0.8612
B 2720 39.21% 29.67 -0.127 63.97% -0.156 0.7657
C 2974 38.16% 30.37 -0.29 65.37% -0.204 0.5245
D 2544 37.44% 28.55 -0.383 59.63% -0.152 0.8071
E 2390 39.61% 30.64 0.698 64.73% -0.186 0.6329
F 2246 42.29% 30.05 0.245 65.05% -0.095 0.7867
G 2007 41.62% 29.44 -0.391 63.13% -0.269 0.5563
H 1961 39.31% 30.71 1.309 65.73% 0.213 1.0524
East 672 32.54% 23.72 0.648 36.76% -0.087 0.7876
Northeast 338 30.36% 24.73 0.552 35.8% -0.336 0.4159
Northwest 282 32.86% 27.91 -2.248 47.16% -1.025 -0.1324
Southeast 264 33.21% 24.02 0.232 41.29% -0.145 0.6941
Southwest 244 34.71% 22.8 -4.608 40.16% -0.749 0.5557
West 626 35.58% 25.44 -0.34 43.45% -0.429 0.5204

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 59 0.0% 37.88 -0.647 79.66% -0.501 0.2281
Not Using Events or Tokens 193 34.05% 21.37 -4.145 40.41% -0.988 -0.6419
Skip Initial Invader Actions 224 14.07% 43.44 3.725 75.45% 0.002 -0.6008
Start of Game Growth 293 17.91% 41.26 4.764 75.09% 0.935 0.4308
Unlimited Undo 1293 35.41% 28.56 0.51 57.93% -0.017 -0.1237
Using Tokens but Not Events 1213 28.92% 30.5 2.105 63.31% 0.491 0.461

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3586 13.42 1.37%
II 2702 30.13 51.04%
III 4288 34.83 90.74%
IV 2935 38.67 99.28%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.119 Win Model: 0.245
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8400 39.1% 28.47 58.86%
2 3314 39.75% 29.65 63.22%
3 1173 37.48% 31.07 67.18%
4 432 37.96% 30.99 64.12%
5 68 52.94% 34.16 82.35%
6 124 33.61% 31.44 58.87%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 49
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3827
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1339
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2894
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2508
Lose: Invader deck ran out 48
Lose: Adversary condition 1488
Win: Sacrifice victory 49
Lose: Scenario condition 76
Win: Scenario condition 75
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1071
Lose: Spirit destroyed 87

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 944 25.7% 39.92 2.769 69.49% 0.766 0.6707
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 456 26.97% 41.14 3.913 63.82% 0.288 -0.1878
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 391 60.15% 36.07 -4.666 61.13% -0.632 -0.5191
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 357 34.17% 42.49 3.493 71.43% 0.436 -0.3765
Dances Up Earthquakes 285 37.89% 38.19 -0.091 65.96% -0.089 -0.0983
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 740 34.91% 36.27 0.301 64.32% 0.158 0.0185
Downpour Drenches the World 1314 28.84% 34.92 -0.395 59.51% -0.161 0.0662
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1331 29.98% 41.78 3.217 76.26% 0.722 0.1526
Eyes Watch From the Trees 965 30.5% 42.46 0.203 72.75% -0.019 -0.4067
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 715 37.87% 43.08 2.795 74.83% 0.304 -0.0895
Finder of Paths Unseen 787 45.73% 29.42 -4.908 50.7% -0.847 -0.1192
Fractured Days Split the Sky 502 37.63% 37.81 0.655 51.79% -0.144 0.4964
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 777 47.23% 36.75 1.303 64.86% 0.402 0.2688
Heart of the Wildfire 674 67.01% 27.51 -7.634 45.4% -1.263 -0.9334
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1752 31.3% 43.65 2.582 73.86% 0.512 0.0886
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 354 34.38% 40.5 -0.951 71.47% -0.202 -0.5084
Lightning's Swift Strike 312 61.44% 35.39 -3.541 57.69% -0.64 -0.4022
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 770 42.48% 43.3 0.607 75.71% 0.326 -0.0817
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 259 45.74% 39.56 5.234 69.5% 0.882 0.5628
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 470 24.26% 42.44 1.021 72.13% 0.364 0.2834
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1069 46.91% 37.17 -2.667 62.86% -0.599 -0.7914
Many Minds Move as One 570 32.81% 38.63 -0.09 68.07% 0.267 0.0503
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2472 37.83% 37.72 -0.868 63.75% -0.313 -0.1737
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 718 59.69% 36.51 1.011 61.98% 0.18 0.2609
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 738 37.23% 39.7 0.496 70.46% 0.201 0.1224
River Surges in Sunlight 494 40.94% 43.83 1.992 72.67% 0.553 0.6784
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 173 38.73% 44.59 1.282 71.1% 0.318 0.4966
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 317 32.06% 30.0 1.038 50.47% 0.368 0.6467
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 820 42.18% 45.05 3.065 71.34% 0.346 0.2229
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1143 31.43% 41.06 1.77 67.54% 0.328 0.2012
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 130 41.54% 46.04 2.294 78.46% 0.426 0.3138
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 64 68.75% 28.83 0.0 39.06%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 99 65.66% 33.9 8.367 56.57% 0.729 0.7107
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 295 52.54% 39.25 2.315 64.75% 0.381 -0.1224
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 153 58.17% 36.98 -2.385 62.75% -0.204 -0.3958
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 90 62.22% 29.83 -6.454 44.44% -0.979 -1.038
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 46 63.04% 28.83 -1.312 47.83% 0.125 0.207
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 556 36.53% 38.35 -1.659 65.29% -0.355 -0.276
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 399 28.82% 40.84 3.012 69.92% 0.683 0.4964
Shifting Memory of Ages 661 42.27% 33.18 -3.8 55.82% -0.576 -0.3088
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 415 31.57% 34.29 -1.478 59.52% -0.337 -0.4555
Shroud of Silent Mist 545 58.01% 31.8 -3.879 53.21% -0.656 -0.3051
Starlight Seeks its Form 1629 33.72% 38.56 1.15 66.91% 0.064 -0.054
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1003 32.56% 40.57 1.105 70.99% 0.202 -0.3116
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 549 45.02% 34.6 -2.936 57.19% -0.681 -0.5638
Thunderspeaker 537 42.29% 40.01 -0.769 65.92% -0.404 -0.3715
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 280 41.79% 38.45 3.005 52.14% 0.275 0.2883
Towering Roots of the Jungle 510 37.01% 33.79 -0.111 59.41% 0.183 0.3128
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 659 67.37% 34.54 -2.705 59.48% -0.513 -0.3864
Vital Strength of the Earth 204 25.74% 25.75 -2.525 39.22% -0.822 -0.2222
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 523 40.58% 34.91 -5.851 57.17% -0.989 -0.495
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 121 42.02% 29.9 -2.451 53.72% -0.099 0.5988
Volcano Looming High 1152 52.43% 37.54 -0.687 67.53% 0.023 0.0702
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 709 38.5% 41.77 2.936 73.34% 0.72 0.4301

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 23 52.17% 33.65 -0.997 60.87% 0.303 0.4936
Blitz 0 235 22.55% 48.31 4.303 57.02% 0.159 0.3764
Dahan Insurrection 4 183 46.99% 47.21 -0.789 35.52% -1.11 -1.3632
Despicable Theft 2 33 36.36% 30.3 -1.563 36.36% 0.045 0.6308
Elemental Invocation 1 81 41.98% 31.63 -10.59 49.38% -0.953 -0.214
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 605 18.87% 40.65 1.905 56.2% 0.099 -0.4622
Powers Long Forgotten 1 60 41.67% 25.37 -7.833 33.33% -0.792 -0.0327
Rituals of Terror 3 40 20.0% 28.6 6.686 30.0% -0.093 0.0272
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 28 57.14% 28.68 4.699 28.57% -0.096 0.8114
Second Wave 0 516 33.73% 44.12 3.172 68.8% 0.111 0.2495
The Great River 3 48 47.92% 31.54 -2.506 33.33% -0.954 0.1459
Varied Terrains 2 84 52.38% 30.26 -4.552 39.29% -0.481 0.2944
Ward the Shores 2 61 47.54% 28.23 -5.283 31.15% -0.893 0.1814

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12078 42.66% 36.79 -0.973 64.03% -0.264 0.0689
1 Thematic 382 39.01% 30.86 -6.619 39.79% -1.496 -0.8104
2 Archipelago 22 36.36% 35.23 -7.132 45.45% -0.925 -0.3172
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3092 40.59% 37.27 0.797 67.4% 0.11 0.2298
2 Coastline 407 43.98% 40.76 0.64 71.99% -0.159 -0.231
2 Fragment 87 44.83% 40.83 0.006 59.77% -0.266 -0.4512
2 Heart 177 62.15% 55.85 3.53 69.49% -0.129 -0.2865
2 Opposite Shores 688 41.81% 37.37 2.343 63.95% 0.295 0.4458
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 164 43.29% 31.7 -0.86 44.51% -0.073 0.4352
2 Top to Top 163 47.85% 41.79 5.84 78.53% 0.795 0.7366
3 Archipelago 11 81.82% 34.36 -0.826 36.36% -0.4 -1.3519
3 Coastline 9 44.44% 48.33 0.0 77.78%
3 Other 44 31.82% 34.57 4.47 59.09% 0.943 0.1718
3 Round (Default) 1906 36.51% 41.22 0.462 69.73% -0.132 -0.2234
3 Sunrise 6 66.67% 37.5 0.0 66.67%
3 Thematic 56 25.0% 39.7 -0.037 60.71% -0.026 -0.0058
4 Archipelago 12 83.33% 50.08 0.0 91.67%
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 5 20.0% 35.4 0.0 60.0%
4 Other 203 15.76% 18.96 1.241 38.42% 0.434 -0.277
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Snake 1 100.0% 38.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 76 43.42% 43.21 0.19 53.95% -0.081 0.042
4 Trapezoid (Default) 659 37.2% 41.23 0.552 72.23% 0.157 0.1543
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 4 75.0% 32.25 -0.665 75.0% 0.366 0.22
5 Other 56 23.21% 41.02 -8.639 76.79% -0.563 -1.0765
5 Thematic 27 59.26% 62.63 25.365 44.44% 0.118 0.0608
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 28.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 27 30.77% 35.11 -1.226 55.56% -0.278 -0.3813
6 Star 24 29.17% 26.88 -3.44 45.83% 0.336 0.3226
6 Thematic 136 25.19% 50.24 4.646 57.35% 0.157 0.4432
6 Two Centers (Default) 88 29.89% 36.33 -6.961 61.36% -0.465 0.068
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 75.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 1 100.0% 67.0 10.571 100.0% 0.073 -0.4851

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 497 38.34 0.15 66.2% -0.071 0.1799
Aid From Lesser Spirits 377 40.2 1.532 65.78% 0.054 -0.0038
All Things Weaken 515 35.53 -0.018 59.42% -0.099 0.2357
Attenuated Essence 285 35.81 2.599 58.95% 0.394 0.4279
Back Against the Wall 393 38.12 0.022 62.34% -0.334 -0.2994
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 246 37.13 -0.382 64.23% -0.029 0.1884
Burn Brightest Before the End 199 34.82 -2.203 55.28% -0.598 -0.5872
Disintegrating Ecosystem 481 33.87 -2.117 59.25% -0.353 -0.0082
Downward Spiral 528 35.12 -0.297 61.74% 0.173 0.2901
Erosion of Will 484 35.07 -1.672 57.23% -0.079 0.1958
Intensifying Exploitation 263 37.25 3.572 61.6% 0.834 1.0452
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 248 41.55 6.408 77.82% 1.634 1.0617
Memory Fades to Dust 568 33.52 -1.027 54.58% -0.141 0.1117
Power Corrodes the Spirit 511 34.12 -1.006 60.47% 0.123 0.3275
Promising Farmlands 509 34.89 0.84 60.51% 0.407 0.6615
Shattered Fragments of Power 198 38.9 3.215 65.66% 0.371 0.4452
Slow Dissolution of Will 255 34.98 -2.896 56.47% -0.369 0.0126
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 165 42.24 1.705 79.39% 0.634 -0.0398
The Border of Life and Death 98 34.72 4.376 63.27% 0.991 0.3902
Thriving Communities 530 34.09 -1.579 59.25% 0.034 0.3152
Thriving Crops 133 40.77 1.782 77.44% 0.409 0.2685
Unnatural Proliferation 510 37.35 1.454 61.76% 0.229 0.4326
Untended Land Crumbles 502 34.16 0.225 57.97% 0.124 0.3143

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4468 40.64% 37.52 0.591 65.53% 0.117 1.1153
B 4637 39.23% 38.25 0.534 66.7% 0.093 1.0148
C 4945 38.33% 38.42 1.53 66.79% 0.129 0.8578
D 3861 40.27% 35.78 -0.946 61.05% -0.258 0.7013
E 4058 39.94% 38.86 -0.415 67.67% -0.214 0.6054
F 3508 40.82% 38.52 0.252 66.65% 0.08 0.9615
G 3251 40.05% 37.56 0.279 65.86% 0.016 0.8414
H 3240 39.75% 38.56 -0.503 66.98% -0.097 0.7416
East 617 35.55% 38.21 4.749 45.87% 0.717 1.5924
Northeast 401 34.5% 41.24 -0.171 45.89% -0.075 0.6773
Northwest 332 38.07% 44.5 2.319 52.41% 0.213 1.1051
Southeast 314 36.1% 43.43 0.627 52.87% -0.05 0.7893
Southwest 290 33.22% 40.44 -2.426 52.41% -0.663 0.6416
West 578 38.99% 40.39 0.116 51.38% -0.653 0.2963

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 74 0.0% 42.81 -2.9 68.92% -0.606 0.1233
Not Using Events or Tokens 129 46.77% 26.4 -6.827 40.31% -1.035 -0.6888
Skip Initial Invader Actions 434 12.81% 53.89 7.038 70.51% 0.692 0.0896
Start of Game Growth 774 10.61% 42.62 4.677 61.37% 0.489 -0.0151
Unlimited Undo 2053 31.3% 38.1 -1.18 64.39% -0.016 -0.1233
Using Tokens but Not Events 1550 27.89% 38.82 -0.94 66.58% -0.157 -0.1863

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4458 13.42 1.75%
II 4916 30.13 54.88%
III 7862 34.83 91.21%
IV 3423 38.67 99.62%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.395 Win Model: 0.008
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12611 42.56% 36.54 63.14%
2 4713 42.43% 38.62 67.37%
3 2016 36.15% 41.04 69.3%
4 958 33.72% 36.56 63.47%
5 85 36.47% 46.58 64.71%
6 276 27.11% 42.32 57.97%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 78
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7058
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2635
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3383
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3375
Lose: Invader deck ran out 98
Lose: Adversary condition 1943
Win: Sacrifice victory 119
Lose: Scenario condition 140
Win: Scenario condition 84
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1634
Lose: Spirit destroyed 112

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 718 31.65% 39.71 2.396 61.28% 0.536 0.4413
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 225 29.33% 40.32 3.531 67.11% 1.084 0.6083
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 302 64.24% 31.78 1.293 46.03% 0.073 0.1855
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 471 46.92% 34.75 -1.233 53.08% -0.117 -0.9299
Dances Up Earthquakes 220 45.45% 36.63 2.084 61.36% 0.617 0.6077
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 522 56.7% 33.64 -0.86 53.07% -0.107 -0.2467
Downpour Drenches the World 1019 37.29% 30.74 -4.78 47.11% -0.72 -0.4922
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1187 40.94% 39.1 3.142 67.73% 0.899 0.3298
Eyes Watch From the Trees 728 44.15% 41.35 2.363 67.72% 0.41 0.0222
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 505 50.3% 38.71 -1.783 63.17% -0.206 -0.6
Finder of Paths Unseen 531 52.54% 31.94 -4.486 50.47% -0.647 0.0817
Fractured Days Split the Sky 363 37.19% 31.68 4.21 44.9% 0.532 1.1726
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 558 54.12% 33.89 -2.551 53.05% -0.37 -0.5039
Heart of the Wildfire 490 71.84% 26.14 -5.077 37.76% -0.667 -0.3379
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1493 38.98% 41.58 4.465 65.1% 0.979 0.5559
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 346 41.33% 35.92 1.802 57.23% 0.502 0.1955
Lightning's Swift Strike 221 53.85% 31.5 -6.014 44.8% -0.389 -0.1508
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 795 54.06% 43.73 5.768 71.95% 1.318 0.9108
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 175 49.14% 39.42 -3.517 67.43% -0.207 -0.5261
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 269 39.78% 35.48 2.925 53.53% 0.589 0.508
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 647 55.64% 34.42 1.52 54.56% 0.385 0.1924
Many Minds Move as One 572 34.62% 32.59 1.347 52.8% 0.436 0.2202
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1655 54.41% 36.3 -2.726 53.35% -0.459 -0.3192
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 480 67.23% 32.73 -0.467 53.54% 0.196 0.2769
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 560 49.64% 35.7 0.502 56.25% 0.173 0.0943
River Surges in Sunlight 375 46.67% 38.28 2.064 57.87% 0.424 0.5499
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 99 51.52% 33.86 -1.983 50.51% -0.489 -0.3107
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 128 51.56% 34.3 -0.358 48.44% -0.185 0.0942
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 654 53.0% 40.75 0.407 59.79% -0.052 -0.1744
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 786 38.17% 40.11 2.936 63.74% 0.26 0.1327
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 86 36.05% 39.52 3.094 62.79% 0.297 0.1842
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 41 70.73% 24.61 -13.394 24.39% -1.276 -0.7604
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 71 70.42% 25.45 -12.398 35.21% -0.382 -0.4008
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 244 58.61% 32.44 -7.328 50.0% -1.066 -1.5694
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 113 62.83% 34.81 0.807 52.21% -0.216 -0.4079
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 73 68.49% 33.05 4.455 47.95% 0.592 0.5332
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 43 65.12% 24.77 0.363 30.23% 0.334 0.4157
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 471 48.62% 39.71 -0.139 65.61% 0.097 0.176
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 374 37.43% 29.22 1.774 48.13% 0.501 0.3141
Shifting Memory of Ages 350 54.0% 35.87 -8.516 58.29% -0.939 -0.6715
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 252 43.65% 29.08 0.691 49.21% 0.387 0.2686
Shroud of Silent Mist 326 58.9% 28.04 -6.044 39.88% -0.741 -0.3896
Starlight Seeks its Form 1328 45.18% 34.07 -0.64 52.71% -0.039 -0.1571
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 923 36.53% 36.75 2.373 60.24% 0.476 -0.0369
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 436 59.08% 30.65 -0.138 39.68% -0.225 -0.1077
Thunderspeaker 616 52.7% 35.1 -0.829 55.52% 0.103 0.1348
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 151 48.34% 35.11 -0.727 58.94% 0.312 0.3256
Towering Roots of the Jungle 377 44.56% 30.64 -3.046 45.89% -0.543 -0.4132
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 694 69.74% 31.04 -1.239 47.98% -0.334 -0.2075
Vital Strength of the Earth 181 58.56% 23.06 -8.731 14.92% -1.358 -0.7582
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 399 49.49% 33.61 0.087 44.86% 0.022 0.5152
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 118 53.39% 21.69 -7.714 20.34% -0.719 -0.0216
Volcano Looming High 943 58.32% 34.53 -0.995 56.84% -0.075 -0.0269
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 658 51.67% 37.71 1.133 62.77% 0.092 -0.1984

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 15 13.33% 32.27 12.554 60.0% 0.297 0.4876
Blitz 0 202 17.33% 47.52 -3.697 44.55% -0.687 -0.4692
Dahan Insurrection 4 113 44.25% 52.28 -10.068 45.13% -0.867 -1.1199
Despicable Theft 2 32 31.25% 15.09 -5.597 12.5% -0.532 0.0545
Elemental Invocation 1 56 50.0% 27.45 -8.774 41.07% -1.45 -0.7105
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 626 22.84% 46.8 3.031 69.01% 0.143 -0.4184
Powers Long Forgotten 1 32 62.5% 20.5 -3.931 15.63% -0.456 0.304
Rituals of Terror 3 32 46.88% 24.81 0.277 28.13% 0.059 0.1788
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 24 70.83% 35.58 5.414 45.83% -0.191 0.7164
Second Wave 0 398 42.6% 43.46 5.213 62.81% 0.391 0.5292
The Great River 3 27 62.96% 33.63 -9.368 37.04% -0.534 0.5664
Varied Terrains 2 67 52.24% 28.66 -17.624 20.9% -0.458 0.3179
Ward the Shores 2 47 38.3% 29.04 -1.679 29.79% -0.201 0.8738

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10702 51.99% 35.54 0.015 54.84% -0.118 0.2142
1 Thematic 294 48.64% 30.6 -2.31 35.03% -0.473 0.2124
2 Archipelago 17 29.41% 45.59 0.0 58.82%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2535 45.25% 38.48 0.958 64.46% 0.074 0.1934
2 Coastline 319 50.16% 37.7 1.287 62.7% 0.256 0.1838
2 Fragment 48 64.58% 36.35 8.853 58.33% 0.661 0.4761
2 Heart 56 42.86% 37.05 -14.614 51.79% -0.306 -0.4631
2 Opposite Shores 959 52.66% 31.55 -5.42 49.84% -0.917 -0.7661
2 Thematic 210 56.19% 29.01 -2.564 22.86% -0.493 0.0154
2 Top to Top 182 35.16% 34.11 -0.708 58.79% 0.036 -0.022
3 Archipelago 10 90.0% 37.6 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 9 66.67% 54.78 7.373 77.78% 0.553 0.143
3 Other 17 58.82% 34.82 16.501 58.82% 0.773 0.0013
3 Round (Default) 1169 43.77% 38.88 1.849 62.28% 0.265 0.1736
3 Sunrise 10 40.0% 36.3 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 46 65.22% 44.52 5.277 65.22% 0.721 0.7419
4 Archipelago 6 100.0% 30.67 -2.827 16.67% -0.676 -1.2057
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 6 83.33% 28.33 0.0 16.67%
4 Other 13 61.54% 23.62 8.286 38.46% 0.795 0.0843
4 Thematic 17 35.29% 30.0 0.0 29.41%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 506 44.27% 28.43 -5.292 42.09% -0.843 -0.8461
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 44.0 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 45 55.56% 33.11 2.539 55.56% 0.414 -0.0996
5 Thematic 13 69.23% 24.46 0.0 7.69%
6 Archipelago 4 50.0% 49.75 0.0 75.0%
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 16 31.25% 39.44 -10.923 68.75% -0.226 -0.3299
6 Star 15 26.67% 32.0 1.49 46.67% 0.345 0.3311
6 Thematic 14 57.14% 25.79 -0.042 28.57% -0.35 -0.064
6 Two Centers (Default) 38 28.95% 29.63 -11.098 42.11% -0.852 -0.3193

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 534 35.59 2.032 54.49% 0.427 0.6779
Aid From Lesser Spirits 376 38.29 -1.811 57.45% -0.393 -0.451
All Things Weaken 526 34.5 -1.114 49.05% -0.39 -0.0553
Attenuated Essence 315 33.04 1.234 50.48% 0.087 0.1206
Back Against the Wall 388 37.69 0.85 56.96% 0.06 0.0954
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 308 33.11 -0.394 50.32% 0.085 0.3019
Burn Brightest Before the End 204 36.05 4.114 53.92% 0.698 0.7087
Disintegrating Ecosystem 507 32.03 -2.556 50.89% -0.439 -0.0941
Downward Spiral 539 35.53 1.77 56.03% 0.557 0.6739
Erosion of Will 496 33.35 1.0 47.98% 0.315 0.5898
Intensifying Exploitation 294 32.91 -1.592 51.36% -0.298 -0.087
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 217 40.34 1.395 67.28% 0.228 -0.3446
Memory Fades to Dust 550 33.53 3.209 51.09% 0.653 0.9049
Power Corrodes the Spirit 497 32.63 -0.483 48.69% -0.079 0.1256
Promising Farmlands 479 32.43 -1.004 49.06% -0.034 0.2204
Shattered Fragments of Power 212 36.38 -0.578 53.3% -0.229 -0.1553
Slow Dissolution of Will 272 31.1 -2.266 44.12% -0.74 -0.3587
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 146 39.64 2.229 69.18% 0.424 -0.2496
The Border of Life and Death 89 34.27 -2.101 59.55% -0.059 -0.6592
Thriving Communities 525 32.85 1.069 47.43% -0.047 0.235
Thriving Crops 129 34.4 -2.367 55.81% -0.372 -0.5118
Unnatural Proliferation 555 36.74 3.196 53.33% 0.412 0.6159
Untended Land Crumbles 486 33.2 -2.565 48.56% -0.572 -0.3813

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3795 49.6% 33.81 -0.052 53.54% -0.064 0.9335
B 3674 48.61% 35.97 -1.464 57.43% -0.47 0.4523
C 3828 47.66% 37.31 1.616 59.67% 0.194 0.9225
D 3012 47.03% 33.79 -2.323 52.06% -0.508 0.4508
E 3263 48.36% 36.35 -1.222 57.71% -0.315 0.5042
F 2831 49.35% 36.36 -0.007 57.65% -0.337 0.5446
G 2461 50.63% 36.35 2.276 57.09% 0.373 1.198
H 2512 47.33% 35.77 0.66 56.21% 0.163 1.0023
East 333 47.15% 32.07 1.751 34.53% 0.085 0.96
Northeast 170 39.41% 30.19 -7.447 28.82% -0.933 -0.1808
Northwest 144 51.39% 34.94 4.035 41.67% 0.432 1.324
Southeast 120 60.0% 34.42 4.987 40.83% 0.371 1.21
Southwest 201 65.67% 27.03 -0.146 26.37% -0.437 0.8681
West 390 56.41% 30.18 -4.127 31.79% -0.913 0.0371

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 21 0.0% 57.57 3.184 90.48% 0.407 1.1362
Not Using Events or Tokens 78 40.79% 30.76 -2.868 50.0% -0.04 0.3058
Skip Initial Invader Actions 293 11.91% 55.91 10.559 62.46% 1.284 0.6815
Start of Game Growth 537 21.5% 45.95 4.578 59.96% 0.347 -0.1571
Unlimited Undo 2062 44.56% 38.29 -0.653 58.63% -0.051 -0.1583
Using Tokens but Not Events 930 42.7% 39.11 2.324 59.35% 0.392 0.3621

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4757 13.42 3.17%
II 4635 30.13 47.31%
III 5513 34.83 88.45%
IV 2385 38.67 99.58%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.035 Win Model: 0.099
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11085 51.91% 35.41 54.32%
2 4261 47.43% 36.24 58.65%
3 1251 45.32% 39.16 62.51%
4 550 44.73% 28.34 41.09%
5 56 64.29% 33.13 48.21%
6 87 34.48% 31.78 45.98%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 150
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4809
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2136
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2359
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3229
Lose: Invader deck ran out 224
Lose: Adversary condition 1897
Win: Sacrifice victory 76
Lose: Scenario condition 93
Win: Scenario condition 65
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2111
Lose: Spirit destroyed 141

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 685 36.9% 44.18 0.483 65.99% -0.216 -0.3106
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 193 31.75% 48.09 4.47 73.06% 1.171 0.6952
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 217 69.59% 33.41 -6.903 41.47% -0.19 -0.0771
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 347 53.03% 42.05 1.42 60.81% 0.27 -0.5433
Dances Up Earthquakes 152 50.66% 38.69 -0.322 55.26% -0.075 -0.0839
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 440 59.77% 33.58 3.0 45.91% 0.85 0.7102
Downpour Drenches the World 851 40.94% 39.78 -0.268 54.88% 0.183 0.4107
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1096 46.17% 45.17 1.257 68.34% 0.324 -0.2454
Eyes Watch From the Trees 639 43.66% 43.08 0.03 64.48% 0.018 -0.3698
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 552 59.06% 39.68 -0.246 59.06% 0.111 -0.2829
Finder of Paths Unseen 1095 56.89% 36.44 -3.272 53.15% -0.327 0.4017
Fractured Days Split the Sky 312 35.9% 36.78 0.532 48.08% 0.33 0.9704
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 489 52.97% 40.93 2.828 56.65% 0.329 0.1953
Heart of the Wildfire 326 68.31% 29.39 -2.576 40.18% -0.425 -0.0958
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1506 43.82% 43.04 -3.865 63.41% -0.556 -0.9793
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 396 36.87% 53.16 2.052 72.47% 0.34 0.0332
Lightning's Swift Strike 123 63.41% 38.19 -1.021 52.03% -0.065 0.1729
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 863 52.74% 51.42 2.004 70.8% 0.358 -0.0498
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 151 57.62% 45.89 7.715 66.23% 0.657 0.3375
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 191 38.74% 45.46 2.7 59.16% 0.504 0.4229
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 635 69.29% 34.55 -2.383 40.16% -0.602 -0.7952
Many Minds Move as One 449 42.32% 46.08 1.689 69.04% 0.248 0.0315
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2398 55.3% 42.22 -0.313 58.55% -0.076 0.0636
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 411 61.07% 32.73 -1.989 43.8% 0.072 0.1524
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 502 48.2% 37.88 2.448 54.98% 0.144 0.0652
River Surges in Sunlight 188 60.11% 43.79 -0.74 60.11% -0.041 0.0844
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 143 62.24% 38.66 -3.448 54.55% -0.548 -0.3701
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 134 63.43% 32.02 -1.276 30.6% -0.148 0.1312
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 580 54.66% 50.59 7.358 63.45% 1.057 0.9339
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1017 35.69% 45.84 4.624 69.03% 1.152 1.0256
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 178 18.54% 45.22 2.86 70.79% 0.651 0.5385
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 23 56.52% 24.17 -5.163 30.43% -0.443 0.0727
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 50 70.0% 40.22 -5.851 62.0% -0.6 -0.6184
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 189 67.38% 39.02 -0.903 57.14% 0.009 -0.4945
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 76 52.63% 48.16 -9.977 61.84% -0.948 -1.1394
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 68 61.76% 36.69 -4.642 50.0% -0.328 -0.387
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 31 77.42% 30.87 -5.299 32.26% -0.827 -0.7458
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1489 39.29% 39.2 3.92 61.32% 0.747 0.8263
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 278 45.68% 44.94 1.19 59.71% 0.097 -0.09
Shifting Memory of Ages 332 64.16% 39.12 -0.46 55.72% 0.223 0.4905
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 211 53.55% 41.84 -0.748 59.72% -0.037 -0.1551
Shroud of Silent Mist 245 65.31% 32.31 -3.691 39.59% -0.461 -0.1095
Starlight Seeks its Form 1143 42.26% 42.91 2.118 61.68% 0.233 0.115
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 745 59.87% 36.04 0.512 54.09% 0.157 -0.3564
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 249 58.23% 34.95 -6.333 45.38% -0.813 -0.6958
Thunderspeaker 410 56.83% 38.07 -0.959 53.9% -0.056 -0.0242
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 108 51.85% 41.79 -6.996 62.96% -0.53 -0.5168
Towering Roots of the Jungle 393 48.85% 33.94 -1.668 47.33% -0.135 -0.0054
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 553 74.5% 30.46 -0.372 39.96% 0.208 0.3341
Vital Strength of the Earth 68 50.0% 34.38 -9.205 44.12% -0.569 0.0314
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 325 50.16% 39.32 -2.868 53.54% -0.38 0.1137
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 68 48.53% 32.25 -6.17 42.65% -0.405 0.2931
Volcano Looming High 752 58.11% 40.1 -4.912 58.24% -0.69 -0.6425
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 564 51.42% 44.76 1.287 64.36% 0.249 -0.0412

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 26 42.31% 65.58 0.0 84.62%
Blitz 0 119 22.69% 58.79 1.726 66.39% 0.256 0.4729
Dahan Insurrection 4 245 53.47% 51.01 4.441 40.0% 0.165 -0.0875
Despicable Theft 2 38 68.42% 23.21 9.899 18.42% 0.553 1.1394
Elemental Invocation 1 68 60.29% 23.1 -10.749 20.59% -1.212 -0.473
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2018 29.19% 49.11 4.5 63.13% 0.337 -0.225
Powers Long Forgotten 1 26 53.85% 27.19 17.245 34.62% 0.589 1.3489
Rituals of Terror 3 13 30.77% 19.46 -15.483 7.69% -0.269 -0.1493
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 6 16.67% 24.67 11.115 33.33% 0.162 1.0695
Second Wave 0 226 49.32% 45.02 6.46 58.85% 0.866 1.0043
The Great River 3 33 33.33% 30.36 -8.996 30.3% -0.541 0.5592
Varied Terrains 2 35 54.29% 31.43 -12.1 34.29% -0.852 -0.0759
Ward the Shores 2 97 60.82% 26.53 9.005 14.43% 0.071 1.1452

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11838 52.37% 38.5 0.32 54.92% 0.452 0.7842
1 Thematic 411 54.77% 34.91 -4.348 29.93% -0.717 -0.0312
2 Archipelago 75 32.0% 25.76 -3.733 24.0% -0.212 0.3958
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2152 49.26% 40.61 1.297 61.9% 0.797 0.9164
2 Coastline 424 54.25% 41.12 -4.077 61.08% -0.282 -0.3541
2 Fragment 31 61.29% 49.13 -6.314 70.97% -0.256 -0.4404
2 Heart 36 69.44% 42.58 12.17 61.11% 0.739 0.5819
2 Opposite Shores 683 50.37% 42.98 -1.46 59.0% 0.313 0.4641
2 Thematic 131 64.89% 36.5 -10.419 31.3% -0.488 0.0204
2 Top to Top 165 46.06% 47.7 -0.499 75.15% 0.215 0.157
3 Archipelago 5 60.0% 73.6 0.0 80.0%
3 Coastline 13 38.46% 55.69 0.0 76.92%
3 Other 18 22.22% 26.5 -13.021 44.44% -0.579 -1.3507
3 Round (Default) 1096 45.91% 48.61 3.876 69.07% 1.064 0.9733
3 Thematic 42 40.48% 49.4 -16.719 47.62% -0.246 -0.2259
4 Archipelago 9 33.33% 76.78 0.0 88.89%
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 71.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 7 100.0% 36.57 0.0 42.86%
4 Other 15 53.33% 49.13 8.716 73.33% 0.491 -0.2201
4 Thematic 32 25.0% 41.22 2.457 34.38% 0.274 0.3972
4 Trapezoid (Default) 302 59.6% 42.67 -8.262 59.93% -0.995 -0.9982
5 Coastline 1 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 30 60.0% 34.03 -3.763 50.0% -0.233 -0.7472
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 29.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 27 7.41% 53.37 -0.63 70.37% -0.156 -1.194
6 Other 14 35.71% 23.64 0.0 28.57%
6 Star 11 54.55% 36.36 -22.423 54.55% -1.033 -1.047
6 Thematic 42 28.57% 38.95 -1.386 47.62% -0.327 -0.0408
6 Two Centers (Default) 66 66.67% 40.65 -5.069 65.15% -0.109 0.424
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 105.0 17.319 100.0% 0.399 0.4634

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 559 38.02 1.887 51.52% -0.015 0.2365
Aid From Lesser Spirits 387 42.95 0.881 59.17% -0.346 -0.4041
All Things Weaken 519 36.19 1.196 46.63% 0.165 0.4992
Attenuated Essence 308 36.61 -2.42 51.62% -0.436 -0.4025
Back Against the Wall 409 41.17 2.739 55.26% 0.489 0.524
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 300 34.98 -0.5 48.0% -0.194 0.0226
Burn Brightest Before the End 236 39.32 0.274 49.15% -0.45 -0.4389
Disintegrating Ecosystem 511 32.97 -1.029 44.62% -0.242 0.1023
Downward Spiral 586 33.92 -5.017 45.73% -0.821 -0.7035
Erosion of Will 574 35.02 -4.074 45.12% -0.724 -0.4501
Intensifying Exploitation 357 33.13 -1.558 45.1% -0.136 0.0749
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 198 44.06 -3.239 70.2% -0.557 -1.1297
Memory Fades to Dust 557 35.45 -1.838 47.22% -0.08 0.1728
Power Corrodes the Spirit 582 35.14 -5.676 46.74% -0.876 -0.6721
Promising Farmlands 524 34.49 -5.465 45.8% -0.683 -0.4285
Shattered Fragments of Power 218 38.6 -1.097 52.75% -0.24 -0.1659
Slow Dissolution of Will 338 35.43 -0.645 46.45% -0.446 -0.0643
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 127 44.75 2.243 71.65% 0.509 -0.1649
The Border of Life and Death 86 42.41 7.925 70.93% 0.744 0.143
Thriving Communities 517 33.65 -5.739 43.33% -1.244 -0.9624
Thriving Crops 126 38.48 3.234 60.32% 0.265 0.1248
Unnatural Proliferation 570 38.19 -1.768 49.47% -0.463 -0.2589
Untended Land Crumbles 543 35.08 -2.087 46.59% -0.446 -0.2562

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3085 53.36% 39.29 1.066 56.79% 0.038 1.0355
B 3425 53.67% 40.52 -2.588 57.46% -0.699 0.2236
C 4189 47.16% 41.73 -0.434 60.16% -0.318 0.4112
D 2652 50.91% 38.42 -0.98 53.13% -0.404 0.5551
E 3329 48.6% 42.78 1.501 62.69% -0.014 0.8054
F 2689 51.34% 41.59 0.475 60.39% -0.162 0.7201
G 2043 53.55% 40.12 0.534 57.86% -0.16 0.6653
H 3135 51.29% 42.46 1.598 62.42% 0.255 1.0944
East 428 49.77% 38.81 1.448 34.35% -0.104 0.7709
Northeast 238 46.64% 36.32 -3.824 31.93% -1.148 -0.396
Northwest 197 53.33% 36.52 -6.196 35.53% -1.084 -0.1923
Southeast 163 43.56% 42.52 -4.982 43.56% -0.465 0.3741
Southwest 163 40.49% 32.68 -5.361 33.13% -0.823 0.4813
West 394 52.55% 34.29 2.765 32.23% 0.331 1.2808

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 12 0.0% 55.08 4.736 75.0% 0.173 0.9023
Not Using Events or Tokens 60 50.0% 22.22 -7.434 31.67% -0.669 -0.3236
Skip Initial Invader Actions 508 14.26% 73.27 7.011 86.02% 0.664 0.0609
Start of Game Growth 738 24.86% 61.49 5.729 74.8% 0.677 0.1734
Unlimited Undo 2004 49.15% 37.65 -1.88 52.3% -0.04 -0.1474
Using Tokens but Not Events 677 44.81% 37.45 -2.159 50.81% -0.859 -0.8884

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5143 13.42 8.17%
II 6332 30.13 59.46%
III 4557 34.83 90.89%
IV 1691 38.67 99.59%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.277 Win Model: 0.198
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12443 52.5% 38.37 54.1%
2 3556 50.11% 41.53 60.77%
3 1176 45.17% 48.32 67.77%
4 355 57.18% 43.47 59.72%
5 32 59.38% 31.91 46.88%
6 161 43.48% 41.34 58.39%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 419
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4076
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3655
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1663
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3499
Lose: Invader deck ran out 185
Lose: Adversary condition 1173
Win: Sacrifice victory 86
Lose: Scenario condition 230
Win: Scenario condition 112
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2515
Lose: Spirit destroyed 110

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3084 39.68% 43.54 1.331 50.55% 0.445 0.3503
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 793 35.06% 46.95 3.287 54.1% 0.645 0.1694
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 722 71.47% 36.85 -2.148 35.73% -0.09 0.0224
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 2343 55.06% 43.78 3.146 54.2% 1.076 0.2631
Dances Up Earthquakes 704 61.36% 43.67 1.78 50.85% 0.53 0.5215
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1075 66.7% 34.77 -4.398 35.44% -1.13 -1.2702
Downpour Drenches the World 3288 48.54% 39.58 0.726 41.64% 0.361 0.5887
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 4177 56.4% 38.65 4.22 48.72% 1.039 0.4693
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1921 53.31% 40.61 3.84 47.01% 0.909 0.5215
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1171 68.86% 37.35 -0.352 41.59% 0.167 -0.2271
Finder of Paths Unseen 2132 53.28% 37.25 -1.346 40.71% -0.025 0.7032
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2228 34.92% 40.44 -7.879 39.59% -0.71 -0.0693
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1511 67.17% 36.77 -1.226 37.06% -0.065 -0.1985
Heart of the Wildfire 1380 77.08% 23.65 -7.315 18.91% -0.873 -0.5432
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9872 46.75% 50.87 9.433 64.83% 1.914 1.4909
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 884 56.46% 35.15 -0.239 37.9% 0.3 -0.0062
Lightning's Swift Strike 658 63.8% 31.01 -2.0 30.7% -0.284 -0.0457
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 3084 66.56% 45.27 2.713 52.27% 0.509 0.1017
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1252 65.84% 45.75 0.982 55.27% 0.701 0.3816
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1203 49.88% 44.6 3.926 48.88% 1.058 0.9771
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2543 67.4% 32.27 -6.298 30.59% -0.682 -0.8747
Many Minds Move as One 1459 46.95% 46.09 1.649 53.87% 0.469 0.2532
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5061 50.1% 36.56 -0.913 39.97% 0.074 0.2137
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 1189 65.26% 27.64 -5.694 27.5% -0.717 -0.6366
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1718 59.91% 36.59 -0.498 39.46% 0.317 0.2385
River Surges in Sunlight 1164 52.11% 37.05 -0.328 40.03% -0.089 0.0363
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 455 62.64% 35.57 -3.978 32.09% -0.38 -0.2016
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 518 53.49% 24.9 -0.625 22.78% 0.36 0.6389
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 2440 60.83% 39.86 1.671 39.06% 0.35 0.2269
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3934 37.67% 50.83 5.987 54.75% 0.847 0.7205
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 268 42.16% 43.11 1.943 53.36% 0.59 0.4775
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 140 69.29% 18.5 -5.119 10.0% -0.254 0.2617
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 134 81.34% 31.93 -13.433 24.63% -0.599 -0.617
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 740 75.54% 31.52 -7.103 32.43% -1.148 -1.6512
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 293 77.13% 30.98 -5.804 27.3% -0.5 -0.6917
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 180 76.67% 26.24 -14.7 20.0% -1.026 -1.085
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 501 64.07% 43.88 -5.524 41.52% -0.907 -0.8254
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1456 58.52% 41.12 0.529 45.95% 0.24 0.319
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 962 53.22% 31.35 -5.495 36.38% -0.397 -0.5833
Shifting Memory of Ages 1743 55.22% 39.33 -1.879 37.98% 0.167 0.4346
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 751 47.33% 38.19 2.657 44.47% 0.468 0.3492
Shroud of Silent Mist 968 74.9% 31.56 -4.004 30.06% -0.172 0.1786
Starlight Seeks its Form 6398 50.16% 44.57 -1.079 53.02% 0.2 0.0821
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 7306 53.74% 45.23 -2.056 58.84% 0.233 -0.2806
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 993 70.61% 29.36 -5.92 26.49% -1.041 -0.9236
Thunderspeaker 1443 53.54% 31.01 -0.907 30.49% 0.029 0.0608
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 379 64.64% 31.88 -5.07 36.41% -0.403 -0.3893
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1405 49.89% 29.62 -5.438 33.31% -0.367 -0.2377
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2992 74.69% 37.68 -1.698 41.81% -0.207 -0.0809
Vital Strength of the Earth 314 59.42% 24.3 -2.582 19.11% -0.219 0.3805
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1359 57.44% 34.03 -4.694 34.44% -0.651 -0.1572
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 170 61.54% 25.73 -6.156 20.0% -0.908 -0.2105
Volcano Looming High 4464 59.86% 37.03 -0.542 39.81% 0.231 0.2785
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1659 61.84% 39.38 0.136 44.18% 0.123 -0.1673

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 39 58.97% 53.38 18.038 64.1% 0.951 1.1416
Blitz 0 840 15.71% 57.93 3.835 53.21% -0.231 -0.0135
Dahan Insurrection 4 692 58.18% 40.41 -2.827 13.87% -0.398 -0.6507
Despicable Theft 2 26 57.69% 40.65 0.0 42.31%
Elemental Invocation 1 147 68.03% 30.07 0.376 6.8% -0.165 0.5743
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2917 36.96% 43.92 -0.523 39.73% -0.538 -1.0999
Powers Long Forgotten 1 31 35.48% 14.74 -18.613 16.13% -0.941 -0.1814
Rituals of Terror 3 213 44.6% 76.18 16.388 46.48% 1.274 1.3945
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 27 48.15% 31.11 0.0 14.81%
Second Wave 0 406 60.59% 46.83 4.122 52.22% 0.489 0.6272
The Great River 3 43 27.91% 30.47 -3.359 25.58% -0.802 0.2981
Varied Terrains 2 103 57.28% 28.14 0.0 19.42%
Ward the Shores 2 152 44.74% 18.18 -1.376 12.5% 0.147 1.2216

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 54064 58.3% 40.63 -0.231 47.23% -0.316 0.0165
1 Thematic 974 44.74% 37.78 -2.446 29.36% -1.103 -0.4171
2 Archipelago 99 48.48% 32.86 2.741 13.13% 0.325 0.9328
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6866 58.22% 37.29 0.549 43.5% -0.189 -0.069
2 Coastline 1434 54.96% 39.75 3.682 46.16% -0.025 -0.0973
2 Fragment 125 60.0% 46.86 1.432 57.6% -0.254 -0.4384
2 Heart 232 75.43% 44.73 10.247 40.95% 1.363 1.2059
2 Opposite Shores 1471 60.37% 39.2 -1.248 39.5% -0.332 -0.1805
2 Thematic 240 53.33% 44.63 -4.797 27.92% -1.132 -0.6237
2 Top to Top 436 61.7% 40.16 -0.187 45.87% -0.267 -0.3252
3 Archipelago 70 58.57% 57.11 0.0 31.43%
3 Coastline 23 56.52% 39.35 14.962 52.17% 1.018 0.6085
3 Other 40 50.0% 46.65 10.117 55.0% 0.867 0.0961
3 Round (Default) 3261 55.23% 41.2 -0.033 49.03% -0.308 -0.3987
3 Sunrise 2 50.0% 45.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 113 28.32% 69.01 6.384 42.48% 0.299 0.3193
4 Archipelago 22 54.55% 61.14 0.0 59.09%
4 Coastline 11 45.45% 64.73 0.0 81.82%
4 Leaf 25 60.0% 33.92 2.88 20.0% 0.421 0.2592
4 Other 12 41.67% 47.42 15.902 58.33% 1.107 0.3956
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 136 38.24% 44.37 -6.928 22.79% -0.239 -0.1166
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1654 48.49% 33.85 -7.109 35.97% -1.24 -1.2424
5 Archipelago 13 61.54% 48.0 -13.388 23.08% -0.058 -0.0881
5 Coastline 22 0.0% 51.59 -11.224 72.73% -0.897 -1.043
5 Other 68 52.24% 47.5 0.212 39.71% -0.009 -0.5224
5 Thematic 15 57.14% 47.27 0.0 26.67%
6 Archipelago 47 29.79% 54.94 0.0 59.57%
6 Coastline 52 0.0% 57.27 6.155 80.77% -0.312 -1.2717
6 Other 201 39.3% 38.07 0.294 39.3% -0.033 -0.137
6 Star 35 42.86% 49.17 -1.987 62.86% 0.331 0.3174
6 Thematic 140 45.32% 32.02 0.618 24.29% -0.202 0.0835
6 Two Centers (Default) 534 20.97% 56.16 2.834 59.93% -0.922 -0.3896
7 Archipelago 10 10.0% 68.8 -9.563 60.0% -0.163 -0.0982
7 Other 6 16.67% 10.17 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2462 39.54 -0.343 40.78% -0.286 -0.0353
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1880 45.28 1.227 48.51% -0.253 -0.311
All Things Weaken 2599 40.66 -0.693 43.48% -0.459 -0.1248
Attenuated Essence 1460 37.59 -1.963 41.78% -0.377 -0.343
Back Against the Wall 1883 43.3 1.648 45.3% -0.123 -0.0882
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1488 35.41 -1.001 37.23% -0.309 -0.0924
Burn Brightest Before the End 992 40.41 1.82 40.93% -0.244 -0.2335
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2380 37.5 -1.657 40.88% -0.281 0.0635
Downward Spiral 2642 38.9 -1.007 42.88% -0.165 -0.0473
Erosion of Will 2449 38.69 -1.07 39.16% -0.378 -0.1033
Intensifying Exploitation 1501 33.25 -1.402 35.18% -0.131 0.0804
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 760 45.32 2.426 56.45% 0.485 -0.088
Memory Fades to Dust 2579 37.07 -0.96 39.01% -0.271 -0.0185
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2507 38.08 -2.152 39.85% -0.429 -0.2247
Promising Farmlands 2439 37.93 -1.081 39.81% -0.291 -0.0372
Shattered Fragments of Power 1016 39.97 0.982 41.34% -0.153 -0.0785
Slow Dissolution of Will 1496 34.29 -0.529 35.03% -0.22 0.1615
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 502 51.19 -0.291 70.52% 0.137 -0.5367
The Border of Life and Death 312 42.43 2.583 57.37% 0.639 0.0381
Thriving Communities 2463 36.95 -0.414 37.92% -0.197 0.0851
Thriving Crops 591 44.15 -0.249 57.36% -0.108 -0.2486
Unnatural Proliferation 2591 42.42 1.378 44.0% -0.107 0.0965
Untended Land Crumbles 2500 38.04 -0.041 40.0% -0.156 0.0345

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12578 56.83% 38.71 -1.953 43.54% -0.817 0.1806
B 12919 57.39% 38.31 -2.085 42.76% -0.645 0.2775
C 17091 54.54% 43.55 4.269 52.27% -0.174 0.5552
D 11132 53.82% 37.51 -2.196 39.78% -0.956 0.0033
E 14348 56.53% 40.39 -0.79 46.81% -0.56 0.2591
F 10593 55.59% 41.06 0.012 47.87% -0.554 0.3283
G 9658 53.66% 39.92 -0.449 44.28% -0.547 0.2788
H 9522 55.0% 41.06 0.273 47.77% -0.515 0.3236
East 1102 43.18% 42.96 -1.188 27.5% -0.624 0.2514
Northeast 662 41.21% 43.28 -1.741 26.28% -1.064 -0.312
Northwest 541 47.48% 38.27 0.823 27.54% -0.11 0.7817
Southeast 348 42.77% 36.87 -0.963 28.16% -0.81 0.0292
Southwest 329 43.6% 33.14 -3.309 27.96% -0.802 0.5022
West 1029 46.14% 42.52 -3.587 31.2% -1.232 -0.2825

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 50 0.0% 38.44 -22.494 42.0% -0.941 -0.2126
Not Using Events or Tokens 201 54.5% 26.97 -4.3 16.92% -0.422 -0.0763
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2649 15.85% 65.13 7.806 68.71% 0.478 -0.1246
Start of Game Growth 3898 20.69% 61.37 8.093 66.37% 1.41 0.9064
Unlimited Undo 9302 42.16% 48.55 5.373 57.98% 0.69 0.5826
Using Tokens but Not Events 2339 51.14% 32.44 -2.876 30.01% -0.448 -0.478

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 26465 13.42 3.25%
II 16324 30.13 33.7%
III 17041 34.83 84.97%
IV 12721 38.67 99.8%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.308 Win Model: 0.508
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 55501 58.08% 40.65 46.96%
2 10687 58.17% 38.51 42.72%
3 3433 54.68% 41.75 48.82%
4 1822 48.32% 34.83 35.57%
5 129 45.31% 44.1 37.98%
6 979 26.07% 49.75 54.44%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 846
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14318
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5345
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 12523
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 16596
Lose: Invader deck ran out 748
Lose: Adversary condition 6182
Win: Sacrifice victory 391
Lose: Scenario condition 901
Win: Scenario condition 115
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13527
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1059

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)