The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 148 20.95% 28.86 -0.313 92.57% 0.333 0.1535
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 112 34.82% 29.94 -0.163 89.29% -0.199 -0.1846
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 124 20.16% 29.67 0.331 92.74% 0.669 0.4238
Downpour Drenches the World 334 20.06% 25.81 -1.79 90.72% -0.384 0.0036
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 12 8.33% 24.75 -2.179 83.33% -0.458 -0.2222
Eyes Watch From the Trees 170 13.02% 31.84 0.646 91.76% -0.251 -0.724
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 140 20.86% 30.78 0.115 94.29% 0.184 -0.2631
Finder of Paths Unseen 151 45.7% 22.47 -5.317 77.48% -1.466 -1.1029
Fractured Days Split the Sky 63 19.05% 33.06 0.354 92.06% -0.582 -0.4785
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 125 32.0% 29.25 -0.052 88.8% 0.865 0.8002
Heart of the Wildfire 106 56.6% 26.86 -1.424 84.91% -0.537 -0.2778
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 223 21.08% 31.31 0.948 93.72% 0.262 -0.3211
Lightning's Swift Strike 61 27.87% 29.95 -0.323 93.44% 0.346 0.6137
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 100 27.0% 29.39 1.525 97.0% 0.522 -0.2921
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 35 20.0% 32.2 -0.39 94.29% -0.481 -1.023
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 29 34.48% 35.52 2.381 93.1% 0.339 -0.139
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 191 27.23% 30.92 0.311 88.48% -0.35 -0.4709
Many Minds Move as One 83 21.69% 32.66 1.824 85.54% -0.156 -0.7792
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 245 43.27% 29.39 0.256 88.16% 0.011 -0.1167
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 152 34.21% 28.61 -0.565 83.55% -0.013 -0.0967
River Surges in Sunlight 72 29.58% 28.53 -0.244 83.33% -0.083 -0.2747
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 63 36.51% 30.6 -0.01 85.71% -0.021 0.2667
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 129 33.33% 33.34 1.481 91.47% 0.214 -0.1488
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 104 26.47% 29.54 -0.125 93.27% 0.63 0.4565
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 23 56.52% 27.04 -0.56 78.26% 0.141 0.5337
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 40 32.5% 28.93 0.546 87.5% 0.219 0.3158
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 32 34.38% 29.84 1.467 87.5% 0.194 0.269
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 28 39.29% 30.89 2.574 92.86% 0.438 0.4021
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 11 45.45% 31.45 0.679 72.73% 0.255 0.2584
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 141 25.18% 31.12 0.175 89.36% -0.503 -0.7028
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 2 0.0% 36.5 2.761 100.0% 0.145 0.4395
Shifting Memory of Ages 82 37.8% 27.5 -0.41 92.68% 0.66 0.8895
Shroud of Silent Mist 90 44.44% 25.98 -1.187 81.11% -0.525 -0.3416
Starlight Seeks its Form 370 11.35% 34.18 2.133 95.68% 1.572 1.4162
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 122 17.21% 29.61 -0.531 88.52% 0.41 0.1464
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 101 32.0% 27.6 -1.414 83.17% -0.508 -0.4447
Thunderspeaker 201 19.1% 29.97 -0.308 92.54% 0.444 0.3678
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 1 0.0% 27.0 -1.185 100.0% 0.037 0.2418
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 74 52.7% 26.89 -2.565 81.08% -0.48 -0.7422
Vital Strength of the Earth 40 30.0% 23.98 -2.196 75.0% -0.897 -0.1435
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 100 32.0% 25.85 0.105 82.0% 0.251 0.8296
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 17 35.29% 24.76 -3.311 76.47% -0.635 0.5147
Volcano Looming High 142 28.87% 27.42 -0.788 88.03% 0.008 0.0039

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 15 20.0% 27.13 3.345 93.33% 0.091 -0.3557
Blitz 0 20 25.0% 38.35 3.344 75.0% -0.587 -0.1305
Dahan Insurrection 4 47 12.77% 51.98 11.565 93.62% 0.054 0.0735
Despicable Theft 2 9 44.44% 34.22 4.775 66.67% -0.451 0.0616
Elemental Invocation 1 32 18.75% 31.78 -0.625 84.38% -1.047 -0.3479
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 77 9.09% 34.13 4.207 87.01% 0.872 0.9136
Powers Long Forgotten 1 13 53.85% 27.0 -2.936 53.85% -0.538 0.0239
Rituals of Terror 3 11 45.45% 44.91 6.847 81.82% 0.029 -0.2591
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 12 66.67% 38.67 3.458 83.33% -0.049 0.3814
Second Wave 0 79 40.51% 35.58 3.626 75.95% -0.427 0.0346
The Great River 3 19 52.63% 31.47 -0.163 63.16% -1.203 0.5639
Varied Terrains 2 43 65.12% 29.91 -1.682 62.79% -1.016 -0.1882
Ward the Shores 2 28 42.86% 34.36 2.512 82.14% -0.015 0.7285

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1899 28.5% 29.16 0.045 88.78% 0.397 0.9475
1 Thematic 94 44.68% 34.6 1.738 81.91% 0.077 1.0747
2 Archipelago 2 50.0% 45.0 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 386 29.79% 27.23 -1.117 87.31% -0.179 0.2308
2 Coastline 46 28.26% 27.83 -0.811 86.96% 0.003 0.139
2 Fragment 12 25.0% 29.33 0.209 100.0% 0.431 0.4265
2 Heart 8 25.0% 31.13 1.139 100.0% 0.327 0.8022
2 Opposite Shores 70 35.71% 28.76 1.206 90.0% -0.285 0.0685
2 Thematic 43 32.56% 37.93 0.469 83.72% 0.029 0.9582
2 Top to Top 11 0.0% 31.73 0.535 100.0% 0.306 0.4329
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 9.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 4 25.0% 33.75 -2.689 75.0% -0.404 -0.8204
3 Other 7 42.86% 29.0 -0.909 85.71% -0.556 -1.2754
3 Round (Default) 254 27.78% 29.62 0.453 90.94% -0.276 -0.0827
3 Thematic 7 28.57% 27.86 -6.495 57.14% -0.277 -0.2619
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 51.0 9.035 100.0% 0.031 -0.3887
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 3 66.67% 30.67 0.206 100.0% 0.26 -0.3559
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 0.206 100.0% 0.039 -0.0063
4 Thematic 21 0.0% 38.95 0.0 100.0%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 68 17.65% 27.84 0.286 91.18% -0.003 0.1851
5 Other 10 50.0% 31.1 -0.738 100.0% 0.084 -0.5472
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 35.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 1 0.0% 33.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 2 50.0% 28.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 14 28.57% 39.43 2.531 85.71% 0.009 0.0547
6 Two Centers (Default) 18 16.67% 28.67 -0.4 88.89% 0.008 0.4711

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 58 23.71 -4.06 70.69% -1.427 0.3038
Aid From Lesser Spirits 67 24.84 -2.137 67.16% -1.48 0.0959
All Things Weaken 62 24.03 -4.041 69.35% -1.465 0.4133
Back Against the Wall 61 24.11 -2.744 65.57% -1.344 0.2932
Disintegrating Ecosystem 47 20.15 -0.813 68.09% 0.633 2.4758
Downward Spiral 76 24.41 -4.842 78.95% -1.872 -0.1734
Erosion of Will 51 22.51 -4.492 64.71% -1.628 0.2721
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 29 28.38 -2.234 89.66% -0.535 -0.0349
Memory Fades to Dust 82 22.71 -3.71 70.73% -0.933 0.9428
Power Corrodes the Spirit 65 22.89 -4.873 69.23% -1.604 0.1009
Promising Farmlands 48 21.15 -5.764 68.75% -0.888 0.9875
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 20 25.75 1.617 90.0% 0.252 0.4623
Thriving Communities 74 23.09 -2.866 67.57% -0.663 1.2074
Unnatural Proliferation 64 27.3 -1.94 71.88% -0.306 1.4479
Untended Land Crumbles 55 22.4 -5.044 67.27% -1.356 0.4583

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 604 30.79% 28.91 -0.311 89.07% -0.206 0.5711
B 617 25.9% 28.61 -0.351 88.65% -0.255 0.4478
C 592 30.51% 29.58 0.529 91.39% 0.019 0.5465
D 530 25.62% 29.29 -0.312 90.57% 0.171 0.906
E 512 27.01% 29.37 0.657 90.23% 0.585 1.169
F 525 30.53% 27.98 -0.187 86.67% -0.065 0.6423
G 433 25.4% 28.65 -0.304 90.3% -0.17 0.4716
H 450 27.11% 28.52 -0.346 87.78% -0.407 0.2378
East 126 30.95% 38.21 4.258 85.71% 0.684 1.2755
Northeast 66 25.76% 38.85 3.53 87.88% 0.433 1.1094
Northwest 54 25.93% 36.81 0.22 87.04% -0.271 0.167
Southeast 50 28.0% 37.1 0.68 84.0% -0.206 0.4576
Southwest 43 37.21% 31.91 -5.523 79.07% -1.092 0.0792
West 116 33.62% 34.32 2.407 82.76% -0.191 0.6268

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 6 0.0% 26.83 -5.558 83.33% -0.779 1.2963
Not Using Events or Tokens 112 20.54% 27.88 0.194 93.75% 0.55 0.7212
Skip Initial Invader Actions 90 17.05% 37.44 2.265 85.56% -0.532 -1.5909
Start of Game Growth 129 19.69% 35.36 1.49 86.82% 0.058 -0.3643
Unlimited Undo 221 25.91% 31.52 0.981 91.4% 0.752 0.3367
Using Tokens but Not Events 245 25.52% 28.96 -0.34 86.94% 0.133 0.2489

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 181 22.63 32.04%
II 897 31.12 83.39%
III 1297 34.7 94.99%
IV 613 37.97 99.67%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.158 Win Model: 0.619
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2020 29.51% 29.48 88.07%
2 561 29.77% 28.33 88.77%
3 265 27.0% 29.43 90.57%
4 95 13.68% 30.6 93.68%
5 10 50.0% 31.1 100.0%
6 37 21.62% 33.19 89.19%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 58
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1200
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 704
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 608
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7
Lose: Invader deck ran out 19
Lose: Adversary condition 91
Win: Sacrifice victory 13
Lose: Scenario condition 15
Win: Scenario condition 66
Lose: Blight pool ran out 187
Lose: Spirit destroyed 20

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 131 25.95% 34.63 0.129 79.39% -0.278 -0.4568
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 74 47.95% 31.72 -1.935 77.03% -0.403 -0.3889
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 85 42.35% 34.13 -0.641 80.0% -0.19 -0.4355
Downpour Drenches the World 308 27.6% 29.96 -2.394 71.75% -1.127 -0.739
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 11 9.09% 32.55 0.049 81.82% 0.034 0.2696
Eyes Watch From the Trees 148 27.7% 35.28 0.589 82.43% -0.16 -0.6335
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 114 29.82% 34.21 0.792 78.95% 0.24 -0.2071
Finder of Paths Unseen 137 41.61% 29.35 -0.139 73.72% 0.697 1.0605
Fractured Days Split the Sky 45 31.11% 37.2 3.741 73.33% -0.11 -0.0059
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 189 42.86% 34.54 0.252 75.66% 0.091 0.0266
Heart of the Wildfire 79 64.56% 31.06 -1.236 73.42% 0.039 0.2982
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 195 27.84% 35.62 0.664 83.08% 0.251 -0.3326
Lightning's Swift Strike 43 48.84% 35.33 -0.947 83.72% 0.093 0.3613
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 86 34.88% 36.02 0.005 86.05% 0.215 -0.5991
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 31 46.67% 34.39 5.338 77.42% 0.623 0.0809
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 37 24.32% 37.49 1.778 86.49% 0.23 -0.2472
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 135 37.78% 34.64 -0.915 77.04% -0.437 -0.5581
Many Minds Move as One 81 35.8% 35.53 0.288 75.31% -0.105 -0.7281
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 276 39.05% 33.43 -0.118 76.09% 0.011 -0.1163
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 108 34.26% 33.1 0.732 78.7% 0.574 0.4906
River Surges in Sunlight 68 37.31% 34.29 0.768 76.47% 0.133 -0.059
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 43 34.88% 37.16 3.171 79.07% 0.506 0.7932
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 131 31.78% 37.66 0.875 83.97% 0.037 -0.3254
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 80 38.75% 32.52 0.078 72.5% 0.005 -0.1686
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 13 84.62% 29.92 -0.069 84.62% 0.289 0.6824
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 38 44.74% 32.55 1.952 73.68% 0.367 0.4641
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 39 41.03% 31.54 -3.147 69.23% -0.361 -0.2862
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 18 38.89% 29.17 -1.33 61.11% -0.29 -0.3263
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 15 26.67% 30.73 -1.563 66.67% -0.08 -0.0767
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 126 36.0% 35.64 1.616 84.13% 0.732 0.532
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1 100.0% 35.0 2.822 100.0% 0.271 0.5657
Shifting Memory of Ages 88 38.64% 31.03 -2.062 70.45% -0.981 -0.7515
Shroud of Silent Mist 53 45.28% 32.4 1.921 75.47% 0.323 0.5069
Starlight Seeks its Form 109 37.61% 33.95 1.416 78.9% 0.858 0.7013
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 121 25.83% 33.64 0.073 77.69% -0.135 -0.3985
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 60 44.07% 32.1 0.286 73.33% 0.212 0.2747
Thunderspeaker 93 38.04% 33.28 -0.711 76.34% -0.334 -0.4108
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 64 54.69% 29.17 -2.375 70.31% -0.241 -0.5033
Vital Strength of the Earth 34 20.59% 28.32 -3.392 67.65% -0.654 0.0995
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 86 36.47% 27.78 -1.685 63.95% -0.542 0.0359
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 14 35.71% 26.79 -3.815 57.14% -0.455 0.6948
Volcano Looming High 95 32.63% 32.48 -0.711 82.11% 0.164 0.1606

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 33.33% 31.56 -9.518 77.78% -0.257 -0.7041
Blitz 0 21 52.38% 31.05 -0.765 66.67% -0.024 0.4326
Dahan Insurrection 4 34 35.29% 51.18 6.159 70.59% -0.494 -0.4739
Despicable Theft 2 21 52.38% 36.62 -1.237 47.62% -1.072 -0.5591
Elemental Invocation 1 18 38.89% 36.33 1.953 77.78% 0.097 0.7963
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 61 9.84% 35.59 1.556 72.13% -0.149 -0.1078
Powers Long Forgotten 1 8 37.5% 39.75 7.233 75.0% 0.569 1.1306
Rituals of Terror 3 2 0.0% 57.5 0.0 100.0%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 2 50.0% 56.5 0.0 100.0%
Second Wave 0 193 36.46% 36.05 1.24 75.65% -0.322 0.1397
The Great River 3 2 50.0% 33.5 0.0 50.0%
Varied Terrains 2 17 58.82% 36.71 3.616 70.59% 0.114 0.9423
Ward the Shores 2 22 68.18% 28.91 -3.794 36.36% -1.779 -1.0346

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1524 37.52% 33.21 0.189 78.08% 0.41 0.9602
1 Thematic 102 41.18% 35.75 0.797 66.67% 0.061 1.0587
2 Archipelago 1 100.0% 65.0 14.047 100.0% 0.112 0.7291
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 329 38.91% 31.98 0.391 74.16% 0.096 0.5057
2 Coastline 51 26.0% 32.12 -0.382 82.35% 0.334 0.4701
2 Fragment 7 14.29% 32.14 -2.148 85.71% -0.036 -0.0407
2 Heart 8 62.5% 26.75 1.637 62.5% 0.263 0.7375
2 Opposite Shores 79 31.65% 31.19 -4.739 74.68% -1.05 -0.6961
2 Thematic 36 50.0% 36.72 3.82 66.67% 0.937 1.8666
2 Top to Top 12 41.67% 28.0 -5.963 50.0% -1.084 -0.957
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 45.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 4 75.0% 33.25 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 4 50.0% 25.0 0.208 50.0% 0.328 -0.391
3 Round (Default) 206 35.78% 33.67 0.353 77.67% 0.121 0.3144
3 Thematic 6 83.33% 25.33 -8.546 33.33% -0.618 -0.6026
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 42.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 6 16.67% 39.5 4.36 50.0% -0.294 -0.011
4 Trapezoid (Default) 41 24.39% 33.76 -0.7 87.8% 0.194 0.3817
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 34.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 13 38.46% 34.46 -0.221 76.92% -0.025 -0.6561
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 17.0 -4.677 0.0% -0.245 -0.3156
6 Other 2 0.0% 37.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 12 0.0% 47.83 1.725 100.0% 0.111 0.1572
6 Two Centers (Default) 5 40.0% 26.4 -3.296 60.0% 0.015 0.4778

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 65 31.02 -2.863 72.31% -0.755 0.9758
Aid From Lesser Spirits 46 28.59 -4.495 56.52% -1.164 0.4118
All Things Weaken 60 29.62 -2.225 68.33% -0.802 1.076
Attenuated Essence 1 16.0 -8.663 0.0% -0.646 0.2084
Back Against the Wall 66 24.98 -3.84 51.52% -1.06 0.577
Disintegrating Ecosystem 53 27.49 -4.702 62.26% -1.596 0.2472
Downward Spiral 75 26.64 -1.758 64.0% -0.118 1.5799
Erosion of Will 60 25.0 -6.539 55.0% -1.638 0.2624
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 36 32.19 -0.211 83.33% 0.484 0.9839
Memory Fades to Dust 72 27.6 -4.135 63.89% -1.019 0.8571
Power Corrodes the Spirit 62 29.84 -0.219 72.58% 0.393 2.0976
Promising Farmlands 74 26.2 -3.352 59.46% -0.872 1.0034
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 23 31.09 -3.354 86.96% -0.442 -0.2317
Thriving Communities 66 28.03 -1.111 66.67% -0.063 1.8077
Unnatural Proliferation 76 27.68 -5.662 55.26% -1.517 0.2371
Untended Land Crumbles 78 25.08 -3.407 55.13% -1.179 0.6354

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 445 38.06% 33.05 -0.27 76.18% -0.136 0.6416
B 497 37.37% 32.42 -0.386 75.05% -0.29 0.4128
C 512 34.18% 33.91 0.38 81.45% 0.122 0.6493
D 455 33.33% 31.85 -1.108 74.51% -0.576 0.1593
E 421 35.15% 33.94 -0.221 81.24% -0.23 0.3542
F 395 38.07% 32.45 -0.22 75.95% -0.16 0.5474
G 359 42.13% 31.93 -1.1 74.93% -0.288 0.3543
H 361 37.22% 33.37 0.627 78.67% 0.175 0.8201
East 108 37.04% 37.65 0.107 66.67% -0.879 -0.2871
Northeast 58 41.38% 36.93 1.37 65.52% 0.084 0.7613
Northwest 43 30.23% 39.26 1.683 79.07% 0.157 0.5944
Southeast 39 23.08% 41.31 2.999 79.49% -0.033 0.631
Southwest 37 27.03% 37.49 1.394 75.68% 0.636 1.8074
West 95 38.95% 36.07 0.879 68.42% -0.391 0.427

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 8 0.0% 40.63 3.706 100.0% 0.288 2.3632
Not Using Events or Tokens 20 20.0% 30.2 2.848 70.0% 0.553 0.7249
Skip Initial Invader Actions 91 3.37% 43.1 3.082 92.31% 0.62 -0.4388
Start of Game Growth 127 11.2% 41.21 2.593 85.83% 0.346 -0.0764
Unlimited Undo 216 34.27% 37.47 2.021 85.19% 0.624 0.2082
Using Tokens but Not Events 229 27.15% 35.35 0.199 80.79% 0.133 0.249

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 250 22.63 9.6%
II 572 31.12 56.82%
III 992 34.7 90.42%
IV 641 37.97 99.53%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.098 Win Model: 0.113
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 1642 38.18% 33.39 77.16%
2 516 36.5% 32.11 74.42%
3 214 37.26% 33.19 76.64%
4 49 24.49% 34.82 83.67%
5 14 42.86% 34.43 78.57%
6 20 15.0% 39.9 85.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 24
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 874
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 312
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 633
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5
Lose: Invader deck ran out 10
Lose: Adversary condition 316
Win: Sacrifice victory 9
Lose: Scenario condition 17
Win: Scenario condition 32
Lose: Blight pool ran out 218
Lose: Spirit destroyed 5

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 170 38.1% 36.56 0.242 78.24% 0.166 -0.0131
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 81 51.85% 36.58 0.199 74.07% -0.198 -0.1834
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 120 41.67% 37.08 0.783 82.5% 0.182 -0.0634
Downpour Drenches the World 347 31.69% 33.26 -1.635 68.88% -0.691 -0.3036
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 18 16.67% 40.0 2.134 88.89% 0.472 0.707
Eyes Watch From the Trees 201 39.3% 35.76 -1.629 67.16% -0.936 -1.4096
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 103 36.89% 39.88 2.342 87.38% 0.867 0.4202
Finder of Paths Unseen 175 54.29% 34.01 -1.546 77.71% -0.409 -0.0454
Fractured Days Split the Sky 56 44.64% 39.23 1.518 76.79% -0.114 -0.0106
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 113 53.57% 31.31 -3.349 57.52% -0.901 -0.9656
Heart of the Wildfire 114 71.93% 31.9 -1.297 71.05% -0.17 0.0887
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 245 30.74% 39.78 0.494 82.86% -0.352 -0.935
Lightning's Swift Strike 50 52.0% 35.86 -1.649 72.0% -0.549 -0.2808
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 126 46.22% 39.61 2.574 88.89% 0.889 0.0749
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 42 45.24% 40.21 0.012 85.71% 0.33 -0.2124
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 35 28.57% 40.91 2.412 91.43% 0.396 -0.0819
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 167 44.91% 35.34 0.465 76.05% 0.238 0.1168
Many Minds Move as One 99 22.22% 38.12 0.594 79.8% -0.009 -0.6318
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 303 39.2% 37.16 0.661 80.53% 0.123 -0.004
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 115 39.13% 34.33 -0.579 68.7% -0.119 -0.2019
River Surges in Sunlight 75 36.0% 40.03 1.945 85.33% 0.401 0.2088
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 53 37.74% 39.47 -0.203 79.25% -0.392 -0.1042
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 147 40.69% 42.12 3.136 87.07% 0.965 0.6023
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 97 34.02% 34.45 1.622 71.13% 0.596 0.4229
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 11 63.64% 28.82 -4.033 54.55% -0.467 -0.0741
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 32 50.0% 38.66 1.452 84.38% 0.256 0.3524
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 39 64.1% 31.9 0.747 61.54% 0.156 0.2305
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 12 41.67% 36.67 1.652 83.33% 0.78 0.7442
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 10 90.0% 31.5 -0.184 70.0% 0.54 0.5431
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 103 40.4% 35.53 1.544 76.7% 0.434 0.2338
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 7 0.0% 41.86 1.93 100.0% 0.503 0.7973
Shifting Memory of Ages 92 54.35% 33.12 -0.627 64.13% -0.1 0.129
Shroud of Silent Mist 75 66.67% 31.56 -4.109 64.0% -0.87 -0.6857
Starlight Seeks its Form 169 36.69% 37.08 1.081 79.29% 0.155 -0.0008
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 141 29.5% 35.75 0.817 87.23% 0.66 0.3971
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 115 62.61% 30.94 -2.22 52.17% -0.939 -0.876
Thunderspeaker 90 48.31% 35.96 -0.024 74.44% 0.129 0.0529
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 1 0.0% 41.0 2.486 100.0% 0.149 0.3541
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 80 78.75% 30.69 -1.312 71.25% 0.098 -0.1636
Vital Strength of the Earth 27 30.77% 28.0 -4.289 44.44% -1.236 -0.4826
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 96 45.65% 33.14 -1.5 68.75% -1.004 -0.4258
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 19 36.84% 31.89 0.124 68.42% 0.165 1.3147
Volcano Looming High 154 49.35% 33.18 -1.426 74.68% -0.252 -0.256

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 11.11% 43.33 2.965 100.0% 0.427 -0.0194
Blitz 0 32 21.88% 42.81 6.845 71.88% 0.411 0.8679
Dahan Insurrection 4 26 38.46% 43.65 4.962 46.15% -0.884 -0.8638
Despicable Theft 2 26 65.38% 26.92 7.116 11.54% 0.238 0.7501
Elemental Invocation 1 13 76.92% 28.38 -1.968 46.15% -0.277 0.4219
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 88 10.23% 39.6 1.038 75.0% -0.44 -0.3984
Powers Long Forgotten 1 4 25.0% 32.25 0.278 50.0% 0.094 0.6553
Rituals of Terror 3 5 80.0% 53.4 10.302 100.0% 0.176 -0.1116
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 3 100.0% 31.67 -5.628 33.33% -0.38 0.0507
Second Wave 0 150 34.69% 37.86 -0.203 72.0% -0.487 -0.0248
The Great River 3 3 33.33% 35.0 0.0 33.33%
Varied Terrains 2 26 80.77% 32.92 -7.692 46.15% -1.03 -0.2016
Ward the Shores 2 14 42.86% 37.79 5.939 57.14% 0.21 0.954

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1724 42.73% 35.25 0.008 74.77% -0.121 0.429
1 Thematic 72 43.06% 35.44 -2.23 59.72% -0.611 0.3872
2 Archipelago 2 100.0% 32.5 9.321 50.0% 0.207 0.8247
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 443 46.61% 35.83 -0.006 75.62% 0.229 0.6389
2 Coastline 66 33.33% 38.0 1.476 86.36% 0.454 0.5893
2 Fragment 14 28.57% 35.57 2.792 71.43% 0.711 0.7063
2 Heart 9 77.78% 17.78 -9.495 11.11% -0.678 -0.2032
2 Opposite Shores 103 46.6% 35.72 -1.105 79.61% -0.331 0.0221
2 Thematic 40 42.5% 38.1 3.352 65.0% 0.222 1.1511
2 Top to Top 22 36.36% 35.82 0.137 81.82% -0.013 0.1136
3 Archipelago 2 0.0% 48.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 4 25.0% 38.25 4.128 75.0% 0.09 -0.3263
3 Other 2 0.0% 32.5 -0.178 50.0% 0.086 -0.6328
3 Round (Default) 183 37.71% 37.61 0.621 80.87% 0.452 0.6453
3 Thematic 8 25.0% 40.25 -0.677 87.5% -0.013 0.0016
4 Archipelago 3 100.0% 44.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 35.0 8.713 66.67% 0.32 0.2474
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 40.0 2.443 100.0% 0.165 0.0681
4 Thematic 13 46.15% 29.15 -3.934 30.77% -0.587 -0.3043
4 Trapezoid (Default) 68 33.82% 36.19 -0.317 82.35% -0.184 0.004
5 Coastline 3 100.0% 27.67 0.0 66.67%
5 Other 11 63.64% 32.55 -8.715 72.73% -0.356 -0.9866
6 Other 5 60.0% 30.4 -4.861 40.0% -0.485 -0.7269
6 Star 1 100.0% 37.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 9 55.56% 38.89 1.65 66.67% 0.153 0.1986
6 Two Centers (Default) 5 60.0% 38.0 0.0 80.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 52.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 94 29.79 -2.564 60.64% -0.764 0.9669
Aid From Lesser Spirits 65 33.09 -2.677 75.38% -0.465 1.1103
All Things Weaken 112 29.08 -4.35 58.93% -1.376 0.5023
Back Against the Wall 63 31.97 -2.685 58.73% -0.808 0.829
Disintegrating Ecosystem 78 32.46 -1.339 74.36% 0.025 1.8676
Downward Spiral 95 28.81 -2.371 61.05% -0.252 1.4461
Erosion of Will 73 29.47 -4.158 56.16% -1.326 0.5741
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 39 40.85 -2.829 94.87% -0.234 0.2662
Memory Fades to Dust 79 30.0 -3.555 60.76% -0.902 0.9737
Power Corrodes the Spirit 94 30.71 -2.549 65.96% -0.585 1.1198
Promising Farmlands 94 30.71 -3.999 68.09% -0.675 1.2007
Slow Dissolution of Will 1 62.0 13.38 100.0% 0.204 1.6747
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 28 31.86 -3.607 71.43% -0.507 -0.2973
Thriving Communities 100 29.34 -3.317 57.0% -1.233 0.6371
Thriving Crops 1 40.0 0.918 100.0% 0.102 1.0573
Unnatural Proliferation 104 30.19 -3.347 62.5% -0.815 0.9393
Untended Land Crumbles 90 26.58 -4.85 51.11% -1.398 0.4159

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 599 44.35% 35.87 -0.717 74.29% -0.093 0.6841
B 543 42.27% 36.37 0.455 79.19% 0.321 1.0241
C 643 42.92% 36.38 0.843 80.56% 0.629 1.1569
D 481 40.08% 34.74 -0.035 72.56% -0.043 0.6922
E 538 46.0% 35.08 -0.819 72.12% -0.411 0.1732
F 480 44.26% 35.29 0.085 77.29% 0.175 0.8821
G 387 42.49% 35.4 -0.532 75.19% -0.29 0.3516
H 386 41.3% 37.03 0.529 81.09% 0.449 1.0943
East 92 44.57% 35.02 0.794 54.35% -0.46 0.1318
Northeast 45 40.0% 31.76 -4.483 42.22% -1.941 -1.2636
Northwest 42 38.1% 39.71 1.803 71.43% 0.701 1.139
Southeast 40 45.0% 37.38 0.455 65.0% -0.306 0.3579
Southwest 44 47.73% 32.89 -1.052 59.09% 0.108 1.2793
West 98 42.86% 37.43 0.638 67.35% 0.258 1.0756

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 13 0.0% 42.38 3.094 92.31% 0.184 2.2591
Not Using Events or Tokens 19 36.84% 31.0 2.044 57.89% 0.201 0.3723
Skip Initial Invader Actions 70 18.03% 46.13 4.172 78.57% -0.458 -1.5174
Start of Game Growth 84 16.0% 46.11 4.742 80.95% 0.953 0.5309
Unlimited Undo 300 40.88% 38.18 0.153 82.67% -0.199 -0.6139
Using Tokens but Not Events 254 39.83% 34.92 -1.571 74.02% -0.469 -0.3536

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 335 22.63 2.69%
II 626 31.12 58.31%
III 1099 34.7 90.26%
IV 764 37.97 98.69%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.125 Win Model: -0.058
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 1815 43.07% 35.35 74.38%
2 688 44.54% 35.71 75.58%
3 200 36.46% 37.88 81.0%
4 91 39.56% 34.71 73.63%
5 10 70.0% 32.7 70.0%
6 20 55.0% 37.85 70.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 9
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 971
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 352
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 743
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6
Lose: Invader deck ran out 13
Lose: Adversary condition 361
Win: Sacrifice victory 25
Lose: Scenario condition 25
Win: Scenario condition 20
Lose: Blight pool ran out 278
Lose: Spirit destroyed 21

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 214 25.47% 47.2 0.008 82.71% -0.038 -0.2175
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 143 64.34% 41.13 -1.229 67.13% -0.237 -0.2231
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 167 46.99% 44.33 0.758 79.64% 0.313 0.0679
Downpour Drenches the World 459 36.82% 42.27 -0.911 72.77% -0.34 0.0473
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 36 36.11% 43.92 -0.151 83.33% 0.15 0.3855
Eyes Watch From the Trees 273 29.67% 48.63 2.107 86.81% 0.757 0.2842
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 207 39.13% 48.12 1.632 84.54% 0.382 -0.0646
Finder of Paths Unseen 248 55.69% 39.99 -3.097 69.35% -0.661 -0.2973
Fractured Days Split the Sky 103 43.0% 50.3 1.745 72.82% -0.122 -0.0187
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 166 54.82% 42.33 -2.376 74.1% -0.69 -0.7543
Heart of the Wildfire 160 70.0% 38.27 -2.772 65.63% -0.505 -0.2457
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 478 36.08% 45.77 1.581 79.29% 0.494 -0.0893
Lightning's Swift Strike 64 54.84% 45.14 -3.447 78.13% -1.056 -0.7881
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 286 41.24% 47.47 1.955 81.12% 0.485 -0.3293
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 68 52.94% 48.91 1.515 86.76% 0.085 -0.4572
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 64 46.88% 50.95 3.022 85.94% 0.548 0.0701
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 290 54.14% 42.03 -0.687 71.03% -0.095 -0.216
Many Minds Move as One 132 35.61% 46.36 1.068 82.58% 0.257 -0.3661
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 510 49.09% 45.8 0.179 80.2% 0.071 -0.056
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 199 42.71% 44.44 0.616 80.4% 0.365 0.2818
River Surges in Sunlight 113 35.71% 50.01 4.073 87.61% 1.184 0.992
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 51 47.06% 43.98 0.111 70.59% 0.274 0.5611
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 261 39.62% 52.82 4.734 88.51% 1.147 0.7841
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 217 36.41% 43.9 -0.12 76.96% 0.09 -0.083
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 18 88.89% 31.0 -3.985 44.44% -0.219 0.1736
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 42 71.43% 40.48 0.801 64.29% 0.159 0.2555
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 75 62.67% 40.64 -0.085 69.33% -0.141 -0.0663
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 26 65.38% 34.08 -8.672 50.0% -1.002 -1.0378
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 10 90.0% 34.2 4.627 50.0% 0.258 0.2618
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 209 42.31% 47.33 1.495 80.38% 0.139 -0.0606
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 4 75.0% 51.5 3.537 100.0% 0.311 0.6061
Shifting Memory of Ages 149 52.7% 42.49 -0.641 67.79% -0.223 0.0059
Shroud of Silent Mist 139 68.84% 39.96 -2.004 69.78% -0.188 -0.0039
Starlight Seeks its Form 355 40.85% 44.21 0.201 76.9% -0.144 -0.3003
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 263 28.63% 44.05 -1.606 77.95% -0.24 -0.5033
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 123 59.84% 40.69 -0.887 69.92% -0.292 -0.2288
Thunderspeaker 150 48.97% 47.79 -1.826 77.33% -0.524 -0.6009
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 3 66.67% 50.33 3.464 100.0% 0.464 0.6688
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 188 71.81% 39.42 -1.737 73.4% -0.17 -0.4321
Vital Strength of the Earth 22 28.57% 41.73 -1.15 72.73% -0.212 0.5409
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 176 44.51% 40.34 -1.184 67.61% -0.174 0.4043
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 19 42.11% 41.53 -2.017 78.95% -0.285 0.865
Volcano Looming High 313 58.47% 42.28 -0.71 78.59% 0.011 0.0068

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 50.0% 35.5 -0.356 66.67% 0.101 -0.3455
Blitz 0 26 61.54% 40.38 -2.502 61.54% -0.569 -0.1127
Dahan Insurrection 4 27 44.44% 64.59 5.127 55.56% -0.817 -0.7968
Despicable Theft 2 6 66.67% 32.67 -7.089 33.33% -0.751 -0.2388
Elemental Invocation 1 17 52.94% 45.88 4.901 76.47% 0.199 0.8982
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 143 20.28% 46.13 -0.107 67.13% -0.869 -0.8276
Powers Long Forgotten 1 9 55.56% 48.78 -0.344 77.78% -0.335 0.2269
Rituals of Terror 3 5 40.0% 62.4 12.649 80.0% 0.199 -0.0891
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 3 100.0% 33.33 0.0 33.33%
Second Wave 0 115 37.17% 44.9 2.37 67.83% 0.063 0.5245
The Great River 3 12 41.67% 34.0 -6.451 25.0% -1.618 0.1489
Varied Terrains 2 13 76.92% 45.46 -6.377 53.85% -0.279 0.5494
Ward the Shores 2 10 60.0% 42.1 -0.082 50.0% -0.292 0.4525

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 2860 48.86% 43.07 -0.246 75.94% -0.191 0.3592
1 Thematic 80 61.25% 43.48 -0.998 60.0% -0.42 0.5781
2 Archipelago 3 66.67% 72.67 20.654 100.0% 0.506 1.1237
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 709 45.56% 44.11 0.225 80.54% -0.131 0.2789
2 Coastline 95 37.89% 46.66 0.533 83.16% -0.028 0.1072
2 Fragment 15 60.0% 38.0 3.056 60.0% 0.702 0.6969
2 Heart 9 44.44% 49.0 2.611 100.0% 0.415 0.8902
2 Opposite Shores 132 43.94% 43.2 -1.449 76.52% -0.465 -0.1114
2 Thematic 31 58.06% 43.65 1.234 64.52% 0.33 1.2596
2 Top to Top 37 43.24% 44.35 1.334 83.78% 0.333 0.4597
3 Archipelago 3 100.0% 30.33 0.0 33.33%
3 Coastline 1 0.0% 51.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 6 66.67% 50.33 1.586 66.67% 0.252 -0.4673
3 Round (Default) 333 46.39% 45.88 -0.974 77.78% -1.115 -0.9215
3 Thematic 8 25.0% 54.63 -11.59 75.0% -0.571 -0.5555
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 37.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 2 100.0% 44.5 1.434 100.0% 0.318 -0.2977
4 Thematic 26 57.69% 45.81 1.565 61.54% 0.621 0.9042
4 Trapezoid (Default) 157 42.31% 45.85 1.078 77.07% -0.77 -0.5821
5 Other 9 22.22% 53.56 3.891 100.0% 0.196 -0.4344
5 Thematic 5 60.0% 62.2 0.0 40.0%
6 Other 5 20.0% 37.8 0.0 60.0%
6 Star 1 100.0% 57.0 7.099 100.0% 0.124 0.6697
6 Thematic 24 16.67% 53.13 -0.168 70.83% -0.552 -0.5062
6 Two Centers (Default) 26 26.92% 45.54 0.501 80.77% 0.086 0.5493

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 164 40.02 -3.946 70.12% -0.96 0.7702
Aid From Lesser Spirits 110 42.72 0.45 70.91% 0.166 1.7411
All Things Weaken 161 38.5 -2.801 66.46% -0.788 1.0898
Attenuated Essence 2 43.0 -3.52 100.0% 0.106 0.9607
Back Against the Wall 133 40.0 -1.498 66.92% -0.478 1.1589
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 2 23.5 -11.89 50.0% -0.698 0.7502
Disintegrating Ecosystem 161 35.73 -5.704 63.35% -1.304 0.5391
Downward Spiral 153 39.05 -2.16 68.63% -0.619 1.0787
Erosion of Will 167 37.25 -3.062 61.68% -0.92 0.9799
Intensifying Exploitation 3 26.67 -8.981 33.33% -0.998 -0.1089
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 83 45.29 0.377 85.54% -0.007 0.4937
Memory Fades to Dust 160 37.52 -3.546 63.75% -0.729 1.1468
Power Corrodes the Spirit 153 39.14 -3.4 71.9% -0.704 1.001
Promising Farmlands 175 37.71 -2.072 65.71% -0.483 1.3931
Shattered Fragments of Power 3 49.33 2.46 100.0% 0.336 1.4912
Slow Dissolution of Will 1 20.0 -12.245 0.0% -0.748 0.7225
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 49 45.73 1.37 87.76% 0.518 0.7279
Thriving Communities 176 36.52 -2.788 60.8% -0.691 1.1792
Thriving Crops 2 46.5 -0.004 100.0% 0.158 1.1132
Unnatural Proliferation 172 40.1 -2.029 69.77% -0.488 1.2665
Untended Land Crumbles 145 37.24 -3.902 64.14% -0.937 0.877

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 948 49.26% 43.38 -0.265 75.32% -0.123 0.6543
B 950 47.6% 44.13 0.556 78.11% 0.371 1.0742
C 1007 45.84% 44.9 0.428 79.15% 0.127 0.655
D 793 45.76% 42.52 -0.796 73.64% -0.355 0.3799
E 888 45.32% 45.11 1.011 80.29% 0.37 0.9544
F 739 46.13% 43.91 0.238 76.05% 0.01 0.7174
G 766 46.33% 43.81 -0.609 76.76% -0.161 0.4812
H 664 41.09% 45.81 0.213 82.53% 0.079 0.724
East 120 50.83% 45.3 -2.383 55.83% -1.606 -1.0148
Northeast 74 45.95% 48.22 -1.69 56.76% -1.082 -0.4047
Northwest 59 42.37% 50.44 1.615 67.8% 0.292 0.7299
Southeast 65 41.54% 50.52 2.289 67.69% 0.586 1.2498
Southwest 69 40.58% 46.77 -0.122 69.57% -0.54 0.6317
West 124 49.19% 48.9 1.52 68.55% 0.052 0.8695

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 24 0.0% 45.92 -3.064 79.17% -1.25 0.8253
Not Using Events or Tokens 23 30.43% 40.22 -5.089 56.52% -1.044 -0.8722
Skip Initial Invader Actions 60 12.5% 53.77 5.35 88.33% 0.967 -0.0917
Start of Game Growth 105 10.0% 52.43 1.035 83.81% -0.237 -0.659
Unlimited Undo 414 46.78% 45.76 0.893 81.16% 0.325 -0.0902
Using Tokens but Not Events 254 32.61% 44.68 1.612 75.59% 0.39 0.5055

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 445 22.63 4.04%
II 1214 31.12 60.05%
III 1982 34.7 92.08%
IV 951 37.97 99.68%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.224 Win Model: 0.386
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2968 49.34% 43.12 75.61%
2 1028 45.23% 44.19 79.47%
3 339 45.54% 46.17 78.47%
4 188 45.45% 45.81 75.0%
5 14 28.57% 57.43 78.57%
6 55 23.64% 47.89 74.55%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 18
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1792
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 717
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 939
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 10
Lose: Invader deck ran out 31
Lose: Adversary condition 503
Win: Sacrifice victory 34
Lose: Scenario condition 43
Win: Scenario condition 20
Lose: Blight pool ran out 456
Lose: Spirit destroyed 29

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 173 35.84% 45.73 0.426 69.94% 0.204 0.0247
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 111 68.47% 39.75 -3.988 56.76% -0.817 -0.8023
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 129 64.34% 42.46 -0.755 68.99% -0.018 -0.2637
Downpour Drenches the World 314 46.18% 42.04 -0.816 64.65% -0.474 -0.0865
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 28 53.57% 45.07 -0.157 85.71% 0.557 0.7928
Eyes Watch From the Trees 201 44.78% 47.74 1.5 79.1% 0.393 -0.0799
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 118 48.31% 45.08 -0.139 77.12% 0.235 -0.2116
Finder of Paths Unseen 161 61.49% 42.15 -1.035 68.94% -0.167 0.1967
Fractured Days Split the Sky 85 56.47% 43.45 4.349 55.29% 0.045 0.1483
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 132 63.64% 43.17 -0.019 68.18% 0.017 -0.0477
Heart of the Wildfire 99 78.79% 37.6 -1.296 59.6% 0.113 0.3721
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 349 39.83% 50.95 2.09 86.82% 0.532 -0.0513
Lightning's Swift Strike 41 60.98% 41.27 -1.115 58.54% -0.28 -0.012
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 247 65.59% 49.06 3.851 79.35% 1.008 0.1943
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 47 48.94% 48.62 3.059 82.98% 0.624 0.0815
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 35 51.43% 47.74 -3.424 82.86% -0.345 -0.8224
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 203 61.58% 41.56 -1.272 66.01% -0.298 -0.4188
Many Minds Move as One 98 41.84% 49.23 2.006 83.67% 0.385 -0.2384
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 331 54.55% 44.5 1.596 69.49% 0.433 0.3059
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 156 50.64% 42.34 -0.665 64.1% 0.059 -0.0247
River Surges in Sunlight 80 48.75% 47.05 1.956 72.5% 0.11 -0.0824
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 29 58.62% 49.14 -0.343 82.76% -0.164 0.1234
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 189 57.67% 49.45 4.157 75.13% 1.237 0.874
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 175 44.0% 47.21 0.478 77.14% 0.234 0.0607
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4 50.0% 38.0 0.0 50.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 21 85.71% 37.19 -7.059 52.38% -0.767 -0.6707
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 57 64.91% 41.98 -0.724 63.16% -0.266 -0.191
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 23 60.87% 36.78 -0.658 47.83% 0.072 0.0357
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 11 90.91% 27.18 -4.223 27.27% -0.513 -0.5097
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 209 49.76% 45.86 1.828 76.08% 0.624 0.4242
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 2 0.0% 51.0 3.647 100.0% 0.304 0.5983
Shifting Memory of Ages 92 63.04% 42.2 -0.259 65.22% -0.118 0.1106
Shroud of Silent Mist 84 72.62% 31.8 -5.445 39.29% -0.849 -0.6654
Starlight Seeks its Form 290 48.62% 43.07 -0.828 66.9% -0.022 -0.1787
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 196 34.36% 41.95 -2.295 68.37% -0.345 -0.6088
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 122 66.39% 35.0 -1.33 42.62% 0.158 0.2206
Thunderspeaker 155 61.29% 46.97 1.011 75.48% 0.606 0.5294
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 2 50.0% 50.5 3.876 100.0% 0.498 0.7031
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 165 84.85% 36.04 -0.967 53.33% 0.337 0.0748
Vital Strength of the Earth 60 70.0% 24.33 -5.112 8.33% -1.941 -1.1874
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 155 56.77% 37.9 -4.264 50.32% -0.789 -0.2109
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 17 70.59% 31.65 -6.661 29.41% -0.277 0.8727
Volcano Looming High 249 63.86% 41.42 -3.013 67.47% -0.413 -0.4164

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 100.0% 51.0 0.0 100.0%
Blitz 0 9 33.33% 45.78 4.218 55.56% -0.011 0.4456
Dahan Insurrection 4 24 58.33% 57.38 3.11 45.83% -0.599 -0.5789
Despicable Theft 2 4 75.0% 34.75 -9.57 25.0% -0.641 -0.1282
Elemental Invocation 1 6 83.33% 33.0 -1.541 33.33% -0.081 0.6182
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 253 20.95% 51.27 3.759 79.84% 0.383 0.4239
Powers Long Forgotten 1 6 100.0% 43.83 0.369 33.33% -0.481 0.0812
Rituals of Terror 3 3 100.0% 35.33 0.0 33.33%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 3 100.0% 48.0 5.968 66.67% 0.099 0.5289
Second Wave 0 64 39.06% 48.33 2.092 73.44% -0.019 0.4432
The Great River 3 3 66.67% 39.67 0.0 33.33%
Varied Terrains 2 7 85.71% 45.0 0.619 42.86% 0.036 0.8644
Ward the Shores 2 7 28.57% 37.14 -6.853 28.57% -0.627 0.1167

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 2674 57.22% 42.56 0.083 66.01% 0.1 0.6501
1 Thematic 66 57.58% 45.39 1.429 57.58% -0.365 0.6333
2 Archipelago 5 20.0% 39.2 0.0 20.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 594 50.17% 44.51 0.859 74.75% 0.245 0.6547
2 Coastline 91 60.44% 44.08 -1.298 74.73% -0.18 -0.0439
2 Fragment 11 81.82% 43.91 0.784 72.73% 0.292 0.2872
2 Heart 7 57.14% 51.14 7.889 85.71% 0.449 0.9239
2 Opposite Shores 127 58.27% 45.12 -0.495 72.44% -0.608 -0.2548
2 Thematic 53 69.81% 29.53 -3.446 18.87% -0.573 0.3562
2 Top to Top 30 63.33% 48.33 1.677 83.33% 0.733 0.8592
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 1 0.0% 53.0 2.475 100.0% 0.413 -0.3057
3 Round (Default) 187 51.87% 44.02 -1.909 68.45% -0.855 -0.6613
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 18.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 8 50.0% 56.25 -1.428 62.5% -0.351 -0.3362
4 Other 1 100.0% 52.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 3 66.67% 70.33 9.152 100.0% 0.603 0.8853
4 Trapezoid (Default) 39 48.72% 51.59 0.992 79.49% -0.592 -0.4041
5 Other 5 40.0% 51.4 6.528 100.0% 0.244 -0.3868
5 Thematic 6 100.0% 43.83 -3.868 16.67% -0.312 -1.2868
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 3 33.33% 57.67 -4.635 100.0% 0.008 -0.2343
6 Star 2 50.0% 36.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 4 25.0% 33.25 0.0 25.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 3 0.0% 44.67 0.0 66.67%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 168 40.13 -2.808 62.5% -0.891 0.8399
Aid From Lesser Spirits 132 38.9 -1.755 56.06% -0.626 0.9497
All Things Weaken 171 38.02 -1.906 54.39% -0.302 1.5762
Attenuated Essence 2 52.0 3.822 100.0% 0.269 1.124
Back Against the Wall 126 41.39 -1.113 61.9% -0.473 1.1633
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1 50.0 2.458 100.0% 0.123 1.571
Burn Brightest Before the End 1 48.0 0.792 100.0% 0.09 1.0982
Disintegrating Ecosystem 153 37.42 -2.219 60.13% -0.414 1.4288
Downward Spiral 175 37.83 -2.88 58.86% -0.678 1.0201
Erosion of Will 174 35.67 -2.533 50.57% -0.689 1.2115
Intensifying Exploitation 1 55.0 4.931 100.0% 0.111 0.9997
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 73 46.1 0.91 79.45% 0.23 0.7302
Memory Fades to Dust 176 39.14 -2.157 63.07% -0.246 1.6304
Power Corrodes the Spirit 158 38.96 -2.132 58.23% -0.607 1.0976
Promising Farmlands 146 35.8 -4.09 52.05% -0.798 1.0776
Shattered Fragments of Power 1 46.0 0.829 100.0% 0.202 1.3577
Slow Dissolution of Will 1 52.0 3.42 100.0% 0.122 1.5925
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 43 45.16 -0.537 76.74% -0.208 0.0017
Thriving Communities 178 35.63 -4.01 50.56% -1.012 0.8588
Unnatural Proliferation 169 39.15 -0.911 56.8% -0.352 1.4019
Untended Land Crumbles 153 36.73 -4.271 54.25% -1.012 0.8018

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 676 59.62% 43.22 0.531 69.23% 0.611 1.3885
B 717 55.93% 43.68 -0.12 70.57% 0.34 1.0435
C 876 50.97% 45.45 0.441 73.52% 0.339 0.8671
D 565 54.69% 41.31 -0.803 63.54% -0.141 0.5938
E 699 55.36% 45.02 0.664 71.67% 0.45 1.034
F 606 54.79% 43.57 -0.188 69.31% 0.119 0.8256
G 496 53.74% 43.44 0.436 68.15% 0.239 0.8812
H 580 54.31% 43.58 0.588 69.31% 0.434 1.0791
East 59 57.63% 45.59 2.027 49.15% 0.102 0.6941
Northeast 35 54.29% 47.89 2.465 48.57% -0.034 0.6429
Northwest 37 64.86% 48.78 2.844 56.76% 0.651 1.089
Southeast 23 52.17% 41.39 -7.552 39.13% -0.982 -0.3185
Southwest 57 68.42% 29.37 -3.632 21.05% -0.819 0.3523
West 106 66.98% 39.08 -2.866 38.68% -0.634 0.1832

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2 0.0% 51.5 0.0 100.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 6 50.0% 45.83 -2.489 83.33% -0.05 0.1219
Skip Initial Invader Actions 31 12.9% 59.26 4.661 87.1% 0.21 -0.8495
Start of Game Growth 70 17.14% 55.66 4.443 87.14% 0.59 0.1676
Unlimited Undo 487 56.7% 44.76 0.056 73.72% 0.13 -0.2852
Using Tokens but Not Events 205 45.81% 45.42 1.476 71.22% 0.479 0.5951

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 623 22.63 7.87%
II 1194 31.12 54.77%
III 1460 34.7 88.63%
IV 648 37.97 99.69%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.056 Win Model: -0.081
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2765 57.22% 42.69 65.93%
2 902 54.43% 43.72 70.84%
3 192 50.52% 44.34 69.27%
4 42 50.0% 52.4 80.95%
5 12 75.0% 48.5 58.33%
6 12 25.0% 42.33 58.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 49
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1280
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 637
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 641
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 13
Lose: Invader deck ran out 71
Lose: Adversary condition 526
Win: Sacrifice victory 23
Lose: Scenario condition 38
Win: Scenario condition 13
Lose: Blight pool ran out 596
Lose: Spirit destroyed 38

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 129 45.74% 53.03 2.369 76.74% 0.761 0.5822
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 82 76.83% 42.78 -0.029 51.22% 0.332 0.3468
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 105 65.71% 40.76 -3.478 54.29% -0.244 -0.4896
Downpour Drenches the World 318 46.23% 49.37 2.457 67.92% 0.209 0.5968
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 26 42.31% 44.31 -3.209 65.38% -0.388 -0.1523
Eyes Watch From the Trees 162 44.44% 53.27 1.373 78.4% 0.281 -0.1919
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 76 61.84% 46.68 0.419 71.05% 0.425 -0.0221
Finder of Paths Unseen 236 69.49% 43.83 0.011 55.93% -0.193 0.1704
Fractured Days Split the Sky 49 46.94% 53.55 -0.883 67.35% -0.038 0.0652
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 157 62.42% 46.06 -2.019 60.51% -0.704 -0.7689
Heart of the Wildfire 81 80.25% 45.91 -2.284 70.37% -0.192 0.0672
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 423 49.17% 53.96 2.825 78.96% 0.538 -0.0453
Lightning's Swift Strike 43 69.77% 43.77 -1.11 53.49% -0.21 0.0581
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 231 64.5% 50.86 1.942 71.86% 0.483 -0.3315
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 42 61.9% 52.67 0.367 76.19% 0.335 -0.2075
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 43 41.86% 51.21 1.507 65.12% 0.558 0.0806
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 184 69.02% 42.04 -2.442 52.72% -0.451 -0.572
Many Minds Move as One 103 39.81% 52.6 2.952 74.76% 0.744 0.1213
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 403 56.86% 47.77 -0.416 66.25% -0.072 -0.1991
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 132 59.85% 48.75 3.632 70.45% 1.195 1.1112
River Surges in Sunlight 57 59.65% 51.79 0.146 73.68% -0.066 -0.2578
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 32 81.25% 35.25 -2.795 18.75% -0.688 -0.4008
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 185 61.08% 60.27 5.195 72.97% 0.727 0.3639
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 180 50.56% 50.23 2.082 72.22% 0.455 0.2816
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1 100.0% 19.0 -14.989 0.0% -0.567 -0.1745
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 10 80.0% 37.7 -2.995 50.0% 0.069 0.1655
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 25 68.0% 46.16 7.046 68.0% 1.017 1.0918
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 22 77.27% 39.14 -6.331 50.0% -0.826 -0.8619
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 8 75.0% 30.13 -8.261 12.5% -0.908 -0.9044
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 159 54.09% 48.62 0.47 69.81% 0.11 -0.0896
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 6 66.67% 51.83 1.094 83.33% 0.285 0.5794
Shifting Memory of Ages 85 71.76% 40.66 -0.675 51.76% -0.096 0.1331
Shroud of Silent Mist 35 74.29% 46.51 -2.832 62.86% -0.645 -0.4614
Starlight Seeks its Form 249 53.41% 49.37 0.344 63.86% -0.18 -0.3366
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 142 57.75% 45.32 -2.058 66.9% -0.214 -0.4769
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 48 64.58% 40.08 -8.604 43.75% -1.565 -1.5026
Thunderspeaker 90 64.44% 48.21 0.748 66.67% 0.317 0.241
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 1 0.0% 55.0 2.746 100.0% 0.142 0.3473
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 130 84.62% 38.4 -4.771 49.23% -0.907 -1.1692
Vital Strength of the Earth 14 64.29% 41.21 7.269 35.71% 0.394 1.1476
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 117 56.41% 44.25 -0.323 58.97% -0.165 0.4131
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 6 83.33% 45.67 4.535 66.67% 0.255 1.4047
Volcano Looming High 182 67.03% 46.6 -1.407 67.03% -0.077 -0.0811

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 50.0% 60.25 2.435 100.0% 0.105 -0.3416
Blitz 0 27 18.52% 65.81 3.601 74.07% -0.619 -0.1625
Dahan Insurrection 4 75 64.0% 63.95 8.096 48.0% -0.395 -0.3747
Despicable Theft 2 11 81.82% 35.09 -9.719 18.18% -0.926 -0.4132
Elemental Invocation 1 11 72.73% 55.55 1.804 54.55% -0.013 0.6865
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 356 41.01% 54.71 2.261 71.07% 0.193 0.2337
Powers Long Forgotten 1 4 100.0% 58.25 0.0 75.0%
Rituals of Terror 3 1 0.0% 102.0 0.0 100.0%
Second Wave 0 40 45.0% 45.7 -1.032 57.5% -0.393 0.0685
The Great River 3 10 50.0% 51.0 4.035 50.0% 0.018 1.7849
Varied Terrains 2 6 50.0% 39.83 -8.019 33.33% -0.723 0.1051
Ward the Shores 2 8 75.0% 63.13 5.369 75.0% 0.38 1.1242

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 2169 60.82% 45.39 0.012 62.47% 0.374 0.9242
1 Thematic 89 61.8% 52.96 -0.958 48.31% -0.361 0.6371
2 Archipelago 17 29.41% 51.41 -0.364 41.18% -0.075 0.5421
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 410 64.63% 46.77 0.118 68.54% 0.392 0.8023
2 Coastline 95 68.42% 43.96 -1.685 58.95% -0.002 0.1337
2 Fragment 6 83.33% 52.5 0.796 83.33% 0.286 0.2814
2 Heart 9 88.89% 28.67 -11.682 22.22% -0.365 0.1095
2 Opposite Shores 86 50.0% 54.26 -0.44 74.42% -0.283 0.0705
2 Thematic 49 81.63% 44.47 -2.042 30.61% -0.433 0.4962
2 Top to Top 34 52.94% 54.56 3.316 88.24% 1.097 1.2235
3 Archipelago 4 75.0% 75.5 12.491 75.0% 0.212 0.3912
3 Coastline 3 0.0% 66.0 -3.754 66.67% -0.373 -0.7899
3 Other 2 100.0% 56.5 1.444 100.0% 0.156 -0.5636
3 Round (Default) 192 47.92% 54.28 1.04 78.65% -0.011 0.1827
3 Thematic 7 57.14% 65.0 9.009 71.43% 0.351 0.3663
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 40.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 78.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 60.0 5.165 100.0% 0.342 0.2451
4 Other 4 0.0% 61.25 1.534 75.0% 0.093 -0.5231
4 Thematic 7 28.57% 61.57 -0.095 71.43% -0.2 0.0824
4 Trapezoid (Default) 56 75.0% 47.38 -4.831 69.64% -1.145 -0.9571
5 Other 5 80.0% 49.2 3.722 80.0% -0.002 -0.6324
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 66.0 10.631 100.0% 0.532 0.4621
6 Other 1 0.0% 87.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 2 100.0% 21.0 -12.594 0.0% -0.567 -0.0217
6 Thematic 25 28.0% 54.56 0.0 68.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 4 25.0% 63.5 0.0 75.0%
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 105.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 168 42.48 -2.581 54.76% -0.601 1.1293
Aid From Lesser Spirits 130 45.55 -2.903 63.08% -0.615 0.9603
All Things Weaken 148 41.53 -3.396 53.38% -0.905 0.9728
Back Against the Wall 125 43.86 -0.972 56.8% -0.472 1.1645
Burn Brightest Before the End 1 57.0 6.181 100.0% 0.239 1.2473
Disintegrating Ecosystem 125 36.62 -4.631 47.2% -0.8 1.0434
Downward Spiral 162 39.31 -3.112 51.85% -0.605 1.0929
Erosion of Will 156 36.56 -5.752 42.31% -1.226 0.6741
Intensifying Exploitation 1 60.0 3.722 100.0% 0.1 0.9891
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 55 54.67 0.846 87.27% 0.365 0.8651
Memory Fades to Dust 149 39.22 -4.352 46.98% -0.94 0.9358
Power Corrodes the Spirit 165 41.38 -4.159 55.15% -1.097 0.6078
Promising Farmlands 146 38.57 -2.871 48.63% -0.535 1.3407
Shattered Fragments of Power 1 41.0 -16.012 0.0% -0.73 0.4255
Slow Dissolution of Will 1 53.0 3.467 100.0% 0.214 1.6848
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 34 53.26 0.241 79.41% 0.049 0.2592
Thriving Communities 136 39.08 -4.636 50.74% -1.156 0.7141
Thriving Crops 1 58.0 5.92 100.0% 0.199 1.1538
Unnatural Proliferation 154 41.45 -1.949 51.3% -0.419 1.3348
Untended Land Crumbles 132 41.05 -5.945 53.79% -1.264 0.5507

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 585 66.27% 46.77 0.112 64.44% 0.045 0.8225
B 627 60.29% 48.35 0.615 69.06% 0.161 0.864
C 757 58.65% 48.35 -0.473 67.37% -0.292 0.2353
D 474 58.23% 45.1 -1.358 59.07% -0.283 0.4514
E 593 58.35% 48.01 0.137 67.79% -0.129 0.4554
F 524 60.11% 48.66 0.166 69.66% 0.028 0.7351
G 401 58.25% 48.06 -0.767 66.58% -0.376 0.2658
H 469 56.29% 48.91 1.537 70.15% 0.212 0.8571
East 120 56.67% 55.04 1.23 51.67% -0.457 0.1352
Northeast 55 49.09% 51.84 -0.584 50.91% -0.559 0.1179
Northwest 70 58.57% 48.61 2.459 48.57% 0.48 0.9176
Southeast 63 52.38% 52.49 2.217 53.97% 0.49 1.1535
Southwest 48 41.67% 46.71 -4.87 54.17% -0.821 0.3509
West 111 58.56% 49.05 2.452 48.65% -0.109 0.7089

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2 0.0% 37.0 0.0 50.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 2 50.0% 61.5 0.0 100.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 108 20.37% 72.19 9.247 87.96% 1.623 0.5636
Start of Game Growth 119 22.69% 70.59 8.435 85.71% 0.862 0.4399
Unlimited Undo 401 54.14% 48.46 -1.411 66.58% -0.222 -0.6374
Using Tokens but Not Events 150 39.19% 48.52 -1.034 67.33% -0.444 -0.328

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 648 22.63 9.57%
II 1318 31.12 62.14%
III 979 34.7 90.09%
IV 352 37.97 99.43%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.306 Win Model: 0.235
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2291 61.03% 45.76 62.16%
2 689 62.7% 47.69 65.17%
3 203 48.77% 54.55 78.33%
4 74 64.86% 50.62 71.62%
5 5 80.0% 49.2 80.0%
6 35 28.57% 56.69 68.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 62
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 861
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 783
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 342
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 15
Lose: Invader deck ran out 50
Lose: Adversary condition 342
Win: Sacrifice victory 23
Lose: Scenario condition 53
Win: Scenario condition 42
Lose: Blight pool ran out 689
Lose: Spirit destroyed 35

The Kingdom of Scotland — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 675 48.0% 60.72 3.995 70.52% 0.861 0.6821
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 279 78.14% 46.05 -0.946 45.16% 0.241 0.255
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 276 72.1% 45.01 -1.295 47.1% 0.103 -0.1423
Downpour Drenches the World 1249 57.17% 52.46 0.174 56.61% -0.148 0.2393
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 98 63.27% 43.41 -2.219 56.12% 0.151 0.3859
Eyes Watch From the Trees 525 60.0% 52.62 1.371 60.76% 0.385 -0.0886
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 338 77.51% 46.56 -2.052 51.18% 0.037 -0.4101
Finder of Paths Unseen 668 62.57% 52.95 -0.343 60.18% 0.172 0.5353
Fractured Days Split the Sky 422 51.9% 65.09 3.755 65.17% 0.29 0.3941
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 469 72.71% 47.71 -1.353 51.81% -0.105 -0.1691
Heart of the Wildfire 333 89.49% 36.93 -6.177 30.93% -0.739 -0.4796
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2041 52.03% 58.49 5.119 73.15% 1.161 0.5781
Lightning's Swift Strike 166 77.58% 48.8 0.655 53.01% 0.371 0.6391
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1123 74.78% 51.82 -0.108 58.95% 0.539 -0.275
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 320 71.47% 55.27 4.831 67.19% 1.197 0.6551
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 329 61.7% 60.75 3.518 58.97% 0.604 0.1267
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 601 76.21% 45.9 -3.589 44.43% -0.62 -0.7412
Many Minds Move as One 298 56.04% 61.31 5.099 76.51% 1.05 0.4271
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1218 61.23% 52.68 -0.574 56.4% 0.31 0.1824
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 409 60.88% 50.24 0.337 55.26% 0.412 0.3283
River Surges in Sunlight 214 67.29% 56.78 3.193 60.75% 0.576 0.3837
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 89 75.0% 44.65 -0.52 34.83% -0.263 0.0251
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 764 73.75% 56.45 2.536 55.5% 0.44 0.0775
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 915 55.52% 59.8 2.933 63.93% 0.363 0.1899
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 17 94.12% 38.76 -2.933 29.41% 0.054 0.447
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 72 88.89% 37.97 -5.115 30.56% -0.652 -0.555
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 103 83.5% 43.75 -7.914 42.72% -1.047 -0.9719
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 53 86.79% 37.85 -4.388 30.19% -0.628 -0.6641
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 170 62.94% 44.87 -2.755 41.18% -0.037 -0.0339
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 547 58.87% 54.04 0.662 61.79% 0.154 -0.0458
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 12 75.0% 31.08 -7.476 41.67% -0.348 -0.053
Shifting Memory of Ages 409 70.17% 51.9 -1.924 49.63% -0.326 -0.0965
Shroud of Silent Mist 201 82.59% 41.86 -5.716 40.3% -0.83 -0.6464
Starlight Seeks its Form 2217 58.14% 54.63 2.509 64.05% 0.495 0.3392
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 877 70.7% 48.0 -1.62 52.34% 0.171 -0.0928
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 261 74.71% 44.05 -4.325 44.06% -0.669 -0.6061
Thunderspeaker 304 73.93% 50.16 0.223 46.71% -0.061 -0.1375
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 14 64.29% 29.14 -8.528 35.71% -0.72 -0.515
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 820 85.37% 47.1 -2.479 53.29% -0.01 -0.2724
Vital Strength of the Earth 33 66.67% 41.39 -2.638 24.24% 0.131 0.884
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 415 73.49% 47.13 -4.807 46.02% -0.931 -0.3529
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 26 73.08% 27.62 -14.17 15.38% -1.605 -0.4546
Volcano Looming High 1095 74.41% 46.36 -1.825 52.88% 0.047 0.0436

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 50.0% 67.5 7.383 87.5% 0.281 -0.1655
Blitz 0 98 33.67% 62.22 0.624 65.31% -0.139 0.318
Dahan Insurrection 4 153 72.37% 58.0 1.989 17.65% -0.864 -0.844
Despicable Theft 2 3 66.67% 49.67 1.75 33.33% -0.137 0.3753
Elemental Invocation 1 61 80.33% 37.2 -4.082 1.64% -1.347 -0.6478
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 983 42.12% 47.99 -0.192 38.76% -0.367 -0.3257
Powers Long Forgotten 1 4 100.0% 51.25 12.585 50.0% 0.598 1.1596
Rituals of Terror 3 64 70.31% 84.73 6.887 51.56% -0.328 -0.6159
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 7 85.71% 64.86 -2.598 42.86% -0.317 0.1136
Second Wave 0 111 66.67% 52.01 -1.207 59.46% -0.444 0.0183
The Great River 3 6 33.33% 59.0 13.507 50.0% 0.128 1.8941
Varied Terrains 2 12 83.33% 53.42 -6.632 41.67% -0.384 0.4443
Ward the Shores 2 15 86.67% 50.47 2.739 40.0% 0.114 0.8576

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11877 66.64% 49.57 -0.567 55.44% -0.22 0.3305
1 Thematic 243 53.09% 44.78 -1.444 28.81% -0.805 0.1928
2 Archipelago 8 62.5% 87.38 -15.335 75.0% -0.73 -0.1124
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1259 70.27% 50.46 -0.399 56.63% -0.1 0.3097
2 Coastline 330 66.87% 52.72 1.783 62.12% 0.128 0.2637
2 Fragment 42 76.19% 54.64 -1.619 69.05% -0.453 -0.4584
2 Heart 116 87.07% 45.84 -4.176 37.93% -0.811 -0.3359
2 Opposite Shores 280 58.93% 49.55 -0.491 47.14% -0.441 -0.0877
2 Thematic 66 78.79% 63.0 1.681 37.88% -0.561 0.3681
2 Top to Top 96 69.79% 55.27 0.488 64.58% -0.074 0.0527
3 Archipelago 6 83.33% 67.83 10.766 50.0% 0.79 0.969
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 65.0 7.59 100.0% 0.036 -0.3809
3 Other 14 42.86% 59.93 7.9 78.57% 0.844 0.1246
3 Round (Default) 719 65.09% 53.97 0.809 62.87% -0.331 -0.1369
3 Thematic 16 50.0% 101.88 42.289 56.25% 1.582 1.597
4 Archipelago 3 100.0% 99.0 26.994 66.67% 0.606 0.1862
4 Leaf 3 66.67% 51.33 -14.341 33.33% -0.437 -0.5332
4 Other 3 33.33% 69.67 2.39 100.0% -0.246 -0.8623
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 52 51.92% 60.52 -7.605 21.15% -1.515 -1.2322
4 Trapezoid (Default) 310 59.35% 62.66 1.38 71.61% -0.211 -0.0236
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 51.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 11 0.0% 70.36 2.741 100.0% 0.203 0.3104
5 Other 30 60.0% 62.07 0.389 46.67% -0.05 -0.6808
5 Thematic 6 66.67% 80.83 46.628 66.67% 0.449 -0.5252
6 Archipelago 2 50.0% 78.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 54 59.26% 50.54 2.05 53.7% -0.047 -0.2893
6 Star 6 50.0% 64.5 0.0 83.33%
6 Thematic 24 66.67% 54.83 -1.552 29.17% -0.428 -0.3825
6 Two Centers (Default) 94 48.94% 79.56 4.889 91.49% -0.315 0.148
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 96.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 823 44.02 -2.478 44.84% -0.939 0.7919
Aid From Lesser Spirits 621 49.17 -1.397 51.85% -0.781 0.7941
All Things Weaken 758 46.69 -3.005 50.0% -0.94 0.938
Attenuated Essence 8 45.25 -1.393 62.5% -0.038 0.8167
Back Against the Wall 640 47.96 -2.033 49.22% -0.859 0.7779
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 11 42.27 -1.521 54.55% -0.189 1.2595
Burn Brightest Before the End 2 30.0 -11.273 0.0% -0.956 0.0527
Disintegrating Ecosystem 744 42.9 -4.26 45.7% -1.133 0.7101
Downward Spiral 825 43.65 -4.001 45.58% -0.961 0.7369
Erosion of Will 816 42.93 -4.335 40.81% -1.237 0.6635
Intensifying Exploitation 4 52.75 3.5 75.0% 0.339 1.2278
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 215 55.86 0.943 65.58% -0.206 0.2942
Memory Fades to Dust 805 42.92 -4.224 42.98% -1.13 0.7464
Power Corrodes the Spirit 785 42.52 -5.244 41.78% -1.368 0.3362
Promising Farmlands 769 44.36 -2.626 47.07% -0.778 1.0975
Shattered Fragments of Power 3 41.0 -5.801 33.33% -0.676 0.4794
Slow Dissolution of Will 10 42.6 -3.119 50.0% -0.585 0.8859
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 153 60.44 4.61 81.7% 0.74 0.95
Thriving Communities 755 41.49 -5.31 39.87% -1.387 0.4833
Thriving Crops 1 61.0 6.88 100.0% 0.261 1.2161
Unnatural Proliferation 890 45.36 -3.423 44.27% -1.176 0.5776
Untended Land Crumbles 771 43.08 -4.248 43.84% -1.083 0.7317

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2671 66.98% 51.18 -0.563 56.46% -0.655 0.1229
B 2735 67.33% 50.69 0.682 55.9% -0.329 0.3738
C 3287 66.97% 52.3 0.781 59.11% -0.387 0.1407
D 2371 63.14% 50.17 -0.593 51.46% -0.828 -0.0933
E 3291 65.17% 53.03 0.554 61.53% -0.277 0.3073
F 2271 64.68% 52.45 -0.537 60.11% -0.491 0.2163
G 1988 65.49% 52.68 1.297 58.95% -0.338 0.3041
H 1968 65.33% 52.68 0.954 59.86% -0.425 0.2206
East 304 57.24% 55.23 1.985 28.29% -0.68 -0.0881
Northeast 170 60.0% 56.24 -1.879 23.53% -1.771 -1.0942
Northwest 138 62.32% 58.75 0.886 35.51% 0.12 0.5577
Southeast 86 55.81% 55.13 1.922 39.53% -0.024 0.6394
Southwest 60 60.0% 48.6 -4.026 36.67% -0.828 0.3437
West 239 63.18% 58.92 2.608 37.24% -0.383 0.435

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 19 0.0% 47.84 -5.406 57.89% -0.856 1.22
Not Using Events or Tokens 45 79.55% 44.71 -2.807 13.33% -1.168 -0.9964
Skip Initial Invader Actions 510 17.95% 79.66 6.15 88.43% -0.379 -1.4379
Start of Game Growth 756 22.74% 79.99 13.042 88.62% 2.546 2.1239
Unlimited Undo 2012 49.32% 64.0 4.532 76.64% 0.681 0.266
Using Tokens but Not Events 449 69.84% 46.84 -2.88 39.87% -0.646 -0.5299

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3972 22.63 7.78%
II 4179 31.12 38.17%
III 4179 34.7 83.9%
IV 3386 37.97 99.76%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.89 Win Model: 0.578
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12264 66.42% 49.66 55.03%
2 2114 69.08% 50.96 55.35%
3 770 64.42% 55.06 61.82%
4 351 58.97% 62.09 66.67%
5 43 46.51% 61.14 55.81%
6 174 52.87% 68.25 77.59%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 300
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3449
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1549
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3317
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 97
Lose: Invader deck ran out 246
Lose: Adversary condition 1863
Win: Sacrifice victory 140
Lose: Scenario condition 391
Win: Scenario condition 33
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4133
Lose: Spirit destroyed 198

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-11-07 12:49:13 (Pacific Time)