The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3474 31.51% 31.24 -1.685 81.46% -0.322 -0.4696
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2125 55.48% 26.8 -3.633 71.01% -0.813 -0.6827
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2102 34.62% 30.29 1.596 84.87% 0.516 0.3713
Downpour Drenches the World 149 28.86% 25.03 -0.338 65.77% -0.23 -0.0507
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 115 22.61% 28.17 2.934 76.52% 0.83 0.0648
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2559 25.22% 33.23 2.046 89.68% 0.597 0.0087
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2059 28.4% 32.15 3.591 90.38% 0.99 0.4931
Finder of Paths Unseen 70 50.0% 16.03 -6.543 31.43% -1.718 -1.0535
Fractured Days Split the Sky 419 38.76% 28.95 -5.312 68.5% -0.806 -0.2203
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 529 47.45% 29.05 0.104 74.67% 0.183 0.0883
Heart of the Wildfire 2838 60.46% 26.78 -1.548 73.75% -0.131 0.1108
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5780 30.04% 35.14 1.169 87.42% 0.352 -0.0898
Lightning's Swift Strike 3264 41.84% 30.69 -1.645 79.2% -0.351 -0.1684
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 61 40.98% 29.44 2.343 73.77% 0.353 -0.1341
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 329 35.06% 30.95 0.188 83.89% 0.155 -0.0132
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 240 36.4% 30.93 -3.472 80.42% -0.613 -0.7268
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1158 37.86% 30.89 -0.882 85.06% -0.086 -0.2184
Many Minds Move as One 742 27.53% 30.78 -2.106 83.69% -0.414 -0.6348
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3716 41.94% 30.21 -0.228 79.84% 0.144 0.1017
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1945 37.58% 29.09 -1.816 81.23% -0.264 -0.4416
River Surges in Sunlight 5010 32.01% 36.71 1.529 80.94% -0.071 -0.0006
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 425 49.53% 29.54 0.774 70.59% 0.325 0.6353
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 78 34.62% 28.88 0.414 69.23% 0.029 -0.0847
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3124 30.5% 35.06 2.841 83.74% 0.721 0.4839
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2172 55.69% 28.34 0.633 71.32% 0.398 0.928
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 30 36.67% 30.43 1.553 60.0% -0.118 -0.193
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 27 48.15% 29.04 6.268 85.19% 0.91 0.8038
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 245 46.12% 29.85 0.165 80.41% -0.265 -0.2831
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 177 54.55% 28.14 -5.238 77.4% -0.278 -0.1009
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3738 32.67% 34.05 0.535 84.97% -0.027 -0.2175
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 31 25.81% 23.77 1.711 64.52% 0.474 0.0931
Shifting Memory of Ages 357 52.11% 25.05 0.523 68.63% 0.46 0.8135
Shroud of Silent Mist 489 56.35% 25.89 0.656 71.98% 0.602 0.8525
Starlight Seeks its Form 576 27.43% 30.41 -0.328 80.73% 0.026 -0.2348
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1305 37.65% 27.35 0.963 82.38% 0.607 0.13
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1670 37.79% 28.49 0.023 77.37% -0.016 0.0469
Thunderspeaker 3998 27.63% 38.98 2.587 87.72% 0.41 0.3762
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 22 36.36% 23.5 1.813 59.09% 0.452 0.4125
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 933 70.87% 22.88 -2.598 67.2% -0.418 -0.3249
Vital Strength of the Earth 2720 35.39% 27.12 -2.022 64.52% -0.34 0.1847
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 54 27.78% 23.63 -2.26 57.41% -0.513 -0.2522
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 219 45.16% 22.6 -3.535 48.86% -0.861 -0.085
Volcano Looming High 693 46.52% 26.47 -2.431 75.76% -0.473 -0.5157

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 11.11% 17.22 -4.81 44.44% -0.557 -0.8128
Blitz 0 474 44.19% 25.56 -3.276 68.14% -0.338 -0.1411
Dahan Insurrection 4 658 26.22% 49.14 11.943 77.96% 0.712 0.2693
Despicable Theft 2 87 44.83% 31.16 -2.645 60.92% -0.614 0.1978
Elemental Invocation 1 135 55.97% 24.37 -2.63 53.33% -0.587 0.1163
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1385 11.79% 34.44 1.823 83.54% 0.324 -0.3205
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1547 16.63% 51.28 2.56 90.5% -0.142 0.4933
Rituals of Terror 3 370 49.19% 34.55 -5.518 59.19% -1.247 -1.1459
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 295 72.88% 32.24 -9.797 53.22% -2.08 -1.0708
Second Wave 0 588 55.1% 27.31 2.529 60.37% -0.223 -0.1569
The Great River 3 101 55.45% 25.71 -4.732 38.61% -1.123 0.094
Varied Terrains 2 17 58.82% 25.18 -8.436 47.06% -0.786 -0.1627
Ward the Shores 2 501 44.91% 27.5 -4.057 40.52% -1.446 -0.3617

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 25602 43.76% 27.85 0.932 76.3% 0.372 0.4257
1 Thematic 3155 43.41% 32.18 -1.545 65.67% -0.469 0.009
2 Archipelago 13 46.15% 31.77 16.175 46.15% 0.293 0.3967
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6056 39.21% 28.96 -1.207 81.98% -0.144 -0.0625
2 Coastline 457 40.0% 28.19 -2.614 79.87% -0.873 -1.0269
2 Fragment 117 49.57% 26.09 1.126 72.65% 0.127 -0.1218
2 Heart 66 46.88% 27.73 4.869 84.85% 1.086 0.7986
2 Opposite Shores 748 42.17% 28.68 -0.68 85.03% 0.126 0.1488
2 Thematic 720 44.78% 33.92 -2.622 72.08% -0.396 0.0075
2 Top to Top 114 31.53% 28.04 -2.263 82.46% -0.047 -0.2134
3 Archipelago 8 50.0% 42.25 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 15 53.33% 28.67 9.574 46.67% -0.01 -0.5233
3 Other 62 38.71% 30.1 7.067 91.94% 0.783 1.3233
3 Round (Default) 1898 35.01% 29.67 0.596 85.09% 0.274 0.1587
3 Sunrise 15 13.33% 31.53 0.0 93.33%
3 Thematic 140 45.0% 36.19 8.12 74.29% 0.37 0.4504
4 Coastline 4 75.0% 19.75 -6.714 50.0% -0.159 0.0723
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 29.25 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 41 34.15% 29.32 4.632 90.24% 0.528 -0.5555
4 Thematic 1477 4.27% 57.47 4.97 98.38% 0.564 0.3016
4 Trapezoid (Default) 918 34.79% 29.25 -0.018 82.9% -0.666 -0.7487
5 Other 10 60.0% 25.3 -2.973 70.0% -0.332 -0.6171
5 Thematic 5 50.0% 43.2 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 53.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 2 50.0% 24.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 4 25.0% 33.0 2.573 100.0% 0.042 0.0293
6 Thematic 18 16.67% 31.11 -9.494 55.56% -0.983 -0.5623
6 Two Centers (Default) 37 16.22% 25.51 -2.739 75.68% -0.793 -0.6889
7 Other 1 0.0% 52.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1594 22.65 -1.127 60.04% -0.239 0.0031
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1344 22.7 1.404 56.7% 0.52 0.4422
All Things Weaken 598 21.87 -0.606 56.52% -0.049 0.3438
Attenuated Essence 14 23.21 1.35 71.43% 0.518 0.6245
Back Against the Wall 1317 22.61 0.13 56.95% 0.071 0.1288
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 13 13.0 -4.436 23.08% -0.74 -0.5387
Burn Brightest Before the End 4 29.5 4.376 100.0% 0.854 1.0648
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1444 19.21 -3.413 53.25% -0.717 -0.2938
Downward Spiral 2175 21.98 -1.101 62.9% -0.272 -0.0369
Erosion of Will 1523 22.27 -1.473 57.85% -0.319 -0.0102
Intensifying Exploitation 19 13.32 -3.62 36.84% -0.634 -0.3463
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 283 28.44 2.394 85.16% 0.397 -0.097
Memory Fades to Dust 2092 21.76 -0.308 58.99% -0.068 0.2688
Power Corrodes the Spirit 600 21.66 -1.149 59.0% -0.131 0.0893
Promising Farmlands 1460 19.79 -3.584 52.19% -0.991 -0.5378
Shattered Fragments of Power 10 14.1 -2.919 20.0% -0.764 -0.7127
Slow Dissolution of Will 10 26.9 4.145 70.0% 0.692 1.0909
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 174 29.02 5.321 91.38% 0.938 0.2273
The Border of Life and Death 3 20.0 -0.365 66.67% 0.139 -0.1968
Thriving Communities 581 19.87 -2.613 53.36% -0.547 -0.1842
Thriving Crops 7 21.86 0.916 57.14% 0.064 -0.1342
Tipping Point 625 20.24 0.0 53.6%
Unnatural Proliferation 603 22.37 2.497 56.72% 0.307 0.5216
Untended Land Crumbles 542 21.74 1.028 60.15% 0.259 0.5405

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8439 42.11% 28.25 -0.072 78.29% -0.325 0.415
B 8922 41.02% 28.4 -0.496 79.42% -0.523 0.2028
C 8941 40.18% 28.62 0.316 79.9% -0.183 0.3995
D 8446 39.68% 28.65 -0.566 79.79% -0.394 0.3175
E 2839 41.02% 28.69 0.244 80.2% -0.285 0.2803
F 4674 41.03% 28.4 0.058 80.17% -0.198 0.4725
G 4433 41.51% 28.07 0.406 78.93% -0.253 0.3988
H 4369 39.59% 28.56 -0.233 80.52% -0.236 0.3343
East 3868 27.87% 43.11 0.21 80.77% -0.606 -0.0675
Northeast 2764 22.14% 46.62 1.007 85.53% -0.373 0.2614
Northwest 2362 19.31% 48.36 0.953 88.06% -0.125 0.6842
Southeast 369 38.59% 32.85 -1.461 68.02% -1.001 -0.2953
Southwest 368 45.78% 27.81 -3.588 62.5% -0.856 0.1341
West 3529 27.87% 42.45 -0.159 79.29% -0.83 0.0741

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 135 0.0% 30.63 -6.972 84.44% -0.39 0.3863
Not Using Events or Tokens 735 49.93% 27.8 -8.98 74.29% -1.314 -0.9349
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1881 3.38% 53.91 7.268 97.18% 0.926 0.3085
Start of Game Growth 2237 7.34% 50.44 5.413 95.04% 0.486 0.1371
Unlimited Undo 2264 32.37% 30.82 -0.887 83.04% -0.439 -0.4458
Using Tokens but Not Events 4123 33.99% 29.95 0.795 82.1% -0.007 -0.0173

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5285 20.4 34.53%
II 13833 31.01 71.11%
III 15467 34.76 88.81%
IV 7132 38.07 98.99%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.219 Win Model: 0.409
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 28885 43.81% 28.31 75.03%
2 8244 39.95% 29.32 81.48%
3 2083 35.21% 30.07 84.78%
4 2433 16.3% 46.4 92.48%
5 7 57.14% 26.86 71.43%
6 63 17.46% 28.41 73.02%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1818
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13312
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9210
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6992
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 457
Lose: Invader deck ran out 244
Lose: Adversary condition 2427
Win: Sacrifice victory 176
Lose: Scenario condition 343
Win: Scenario condition 950
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5500
Lose: Spirit destroyed 288

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2092 46.67% 31.35 -0.018 73.09% 0.129 -0.0187
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1276 64.67% 28.92 -0.713 62.3% -0.28 -0.1495
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1434 50.63% 27.39 -5.147 64.37% -1.133 -1.2778
Downpour Drenches the World 135 38.52% 27.0 -1.133 60.74% -0.166 0.0135
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 196 30.26% 23.76 1.581 57.14% 0.493 -0.2723
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1713 37.46% 35.85 4.315 83.07% 1.056 0.4672
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1402 47.36% 33.64 0.711 80.39% 0.37 -0.1266
Finder of Paths Unseen 50 50.0% 17.1 -6.565 32.0% -0.792 -0.1279
Fractured Days Split the Sky 238 54.62% 29.49 -5.911 58.4% -1.31 -0.7237
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 328 61.35% 30.25 4.723 68.29% 1.223 1.1283
Heart of the Wildfire 1745 79.31% 24.05 1.223 53.47% 0.381 0.6223
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3201 54.43% 30.64 3.265 74.82% 0.883 0.4414
Lightning's Swift Strike 1867 62.89% 28.97 0.06 65.02% 0.048 0.2309
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 42 50.0% 27.43 -2.395 69.05% -0.063 -0.5495
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 201 47.5% 35.11 7.154 82.09% 1.365 1.1973
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 167 49.4% 32.99 -1.648 69.46% -0.79 -0.9035
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 983 54.69% 32.16 1.996 76.3% 0.152 0.0193
Many Minds Move as One 595 38.66% 33.86 0.049 81.01% 0.177 -0.0444
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2158 60.88% 30.61 3.619 70.25% 0.733 0.6903
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1389 55.04% 29.23 0.235 68.11% 0.076 -0.1019
River Surges in Sunlight 2429 57.33% 30.85 1.613 63.03% -0.141 -0.0709
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 235 60.85% 27.77 -1.001 54.04% -0.545 -0.235
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 75 63.51% 29.95 -0.768 53.33% -0.409 -0.5222
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1562 54.64% 29.33 -0.103 66.84% 0.102 -0.1354
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1154 76.54% 24.93 -3.656 48.87% -0.987 -0.4575
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 25 64.0% 22.64 -2.031 44.0% -0.37 -0.4448
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 24 41.67% 25.13 -0.225 54.17% -0.229 -0.3344
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 153 61.44% 26.6 -1.501 58.17% -0.033 -0.0515
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 111 71.82% 30.32 -2.447 64.86% -0.254 -0.0769
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2143 52.77% 31.21 1.634 72.14% 0.59 0.4
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 44 45.45% 25.73 2.962 61.36% 0.668 0.2871
Shifting Memory of Ages 281 60.85% 27.76 -0.76 64.41% 0.156 0.5088
Shroud of Silent Mist 310 80.91% 24.51 -0.071 54.19% 0.131 0.3814
Starlight Seeks its Form 446 39.17% 31.85 0.884 74.22% 0.468 0.2071
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 829 48.61% 29.14 0.862 75.03% 0.32 -0.1574
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1134 56.34% 28.08 -2.674 61.9% -0.634 -0.5711
Thunderspeaker 1948 55.16% 31.86 -1.179 70.43% -0.144 -0.1777
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 30 76.67% 20.93 0.184 46.67% 0.008 -0.0314
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 636 80.54% 22.8 -1.239 50.16% -0.057 0.0361
Vital Strength of the Earth 1652 55.59% 25.1 -2.838 47.64% -0.295 0.2293
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 53 53.85% 24.68 -0.502 49.06% -0.37 -0.1092
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 164 48.78% 22.12 -2.222 33.54% -0.648 0.1283
Volcano Looming High 521 65.96% 26.42 -0.622 62.38% 0.238 0.1946

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 37.5% 20.63 -3.516 50.0% -0.364 -0.6192
Blitz 0 494 52.64% 26.84 -0.84 60.73% -0.362 -0.1652
Dahan Insurrection 4 368 40.49% 49.77 13.545 69.29% 1.098 0.6561
Despicable Theft 2 67 49.25% 32.3 -0.001 53.73% -0.156 0.6562
Elemental Invocation 1 88 64.77% 25.36 -6.685 47.73% -1.968 -1.2649
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 956 24.0% 34.71 3.813 74.27% 0.575 -0.0699
Powers Long Forgotten 1 401 63.09% 29.87 -1.898 53.37% -0.419 0.2163
Rituals of Terror 3 234 67.09% 35.65 -1.145 47.01% 0.022 0.1231
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 190 81.58% 32.78 -0.876 43.68% 0.175 1.1848
Second Wave 0 1354 57.48% 30.75 2.837 62.63% 0.085 0.1515
The Great River 3 64 78.13% 23.52 -3.81 21.88% -0.844 0.3738
Varied Terrains 2 32 50.0% 18.63 -3.828 21.88% -0.945 -0.3223
Ward the Shores 2 351 49.29% 27.69 -3.642 31.91% -1.717 -0.6323

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 15454 57.16% 27.79 -0.624 63.89% -0.159 -0.1053
1 Thematic 2526 55.05% 32.85 1.419 58.23% -0.31 0.1676
2 Archipelago 9 66.67% 30.56 0.0 66.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3751 57.69% 29.2 0.427 69.5% -0.069 0.0134
2 Coastline 350 56.81% 30.44 1.27 73.71% 0.49 0.3359
2 Fragment 118 58.97% 28.08 3.74 66.95% 0.789 0.5402
2 Heart 58 70.18% 25.79 0.0 58.62%
2 Opposite Shores 628 56.57% 29.57 -0.228 71.82% -0.036 -0.0126
2 Thematic 793 53.22% 31.91 -0.729 58.51% -0.429 -0.025
2 Top to Top 96 70.83% 29.2 6.872 73.96% 0.599 0.4331
3 Archipelago 11 63.64% 33.73 0.0 36.36%
3 Coastline 9 66.67% 25.33 0.0 44.44%
3 Other 58 48.28% 33.19 -1.362 84.48% -0.25 0.2905
3 Round (Default) 1264 54.94% 31.41 2.175 76.27% 0.568 0.4526
3 Sunrise 13 61.54% 28.23 0.0 76.92%
3 Thematic 129 61.24% 32.67 -1.65 59.69% -0.224 -0.1438
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 37.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 32.4 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 26 57.69% 33.12 7.791 80.77% 0.682 -0.4022
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 197 50.51% 37.64 3.193 73.1% 0.732 0.4695
4 Trapezoid (Default) 499 51.01% 31.35 -6.452 72.55% -1.008 -1.0907
5 Other 26 80.0% 31.08 1.236 53.85% -0.368 -0.6525
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 2 100.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 3 100.0% 12.67 0.0 0.0%
6 Thematic 18 35.29% 39.61 -5.992 72.22% -0.542 -0.1212
6 Two Centers (Default) 16 31.25% 27.0 -6.844 56.25% -0.357 -0.253
7 Other 1 0.0% 51.0 -2.435 100.0% -0.155 -0.7676

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1367 24.64 0.561 52.67% 0.137 0.3799
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1091 25.11 -1.173 50.69% -0.956 -1.0333
All Things Weaken 546 24.07 1.756 52.01% 0.522 0.9141
Attenuated Essence 14 28.14 3.376 71.43% 0.631 0.7376
Back Against the Wall 1075 24.98 0.019 51.91% -0.285 -0.2272
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 19 17.89 0.02 31.58% -0.262 -0.06
Burn Brightest Before the End 5 21.6 -0.9 40.0% -0.58 -0.3694
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1185 20.99 -0.937 46.75% -0.054 0.37
Downward Spiral 1796 23.44 -0.201 54.79% -0.084 0.1516
Erosion of Will 1316 23.65 0.415 48.63% -0.194 0.1156
Intensifying Exploitation 10 25.9 1.25 50.0% -0.166 0.1217
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 210 31.27 2.546 79.52% 0.399 -0.095
Memory Fades to Dust 1869 23.09 -0.542 50.56% -0.448 -0.1119
Power Corrodes the Spirit 556 22.97 0.278 50.72% 0.003 0.2231
Promising Farmlands 1293 21.55 -2.625 44.78% -0.821 -0.3681
Shattered Fragments of Power 15 25.07 1.39 66.67% 0.213 0.2638
Slow Dissolution of Will 12 15.92 -2.321 25.0% -0.663 -0.264
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 112 32.47 9.363 81.25% 0.616 -0.0948
The Border of Life and Death 6 16.83 0.905 33.33% 0.27 -0.0659
Thriving Communities 546 22.08 -2.0 44.51% -0.536 -0.173
Thriving Crops 5 13.4 -2.898 20.0% -0.593 -0.7908
Tipping Point 530 23.35 0.0 49.43%
Unnatural Proliferation 631 24.95 0.878 50.71% -0.041 0.1744
Untended Land Crumbles 517 22.65 0.381 49.9% -0.25 0.0314

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5251 58.06% 28.37 0.242 66.04% -0.174 0.5656
B 5561 56.76% 29.09 -1.36 68.71% -0.611 0.1143
C 5501 55.8% 29.5 1.158 69.68% 0.006 0.588
D 5217 57.2% 29.09 0.596 67.82% -0.082 0.6292
E 2031 56.4% 28.92 -0.37 66.81% -0.355 0.2105
F 2968 57.96% 28.66 0.236 67.55% -0.246 0.4241
G 2709 57.04% 28.51 -0.538 66.04% -0.349 0.3024
H 2774 54.41% 29.39 0.294 69.36% -0.159 0.4111
East 2289 53.13% 33.92 -0.817 61.16% -0.52 0.0189
Northeast 1302 53.04% 34.01 1.045 62.44% -0.082 0.5527
Northwest 1078 52.61% 33.43 -0.566 62.62% -0.415 0.394
Southeast 337 49.25% 32.17 -1.251 59.94% -0.367 0.3387
Southwest 323 53.58% 28.22 -1.531 56.97% -0.497 0.4931
West 2109 55.04% 32.09 -1.656 58.08% -0.281 0.6225

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 104 0.0% 27.1 2.001 58.65% 0.397 1.1729
Not Using Events or Tokens 378 64.03% 27.25 -5.632 60.58% -1.077 -0.6976
Skip Initial Invader Actions 443 18.75% 44.59 5.716 90.97% 0.478 -0.1399
Start of Game Growth 607 21.34% 43.18 6.544 90.12% 0.936 0.5879
Unlimited Undo 1912 50.0% 30.32 -0.582 70.24% -0.422 -0.4288
Using Tokens but Not Events 2501 52.74% 29.35 0.465 69.01% 0.108 0.0978

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3760 20.4 7.34%
II 7641 31.01 47.1%
III 9430 34.76 84.04%
IV 5239 38.07 99.24%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.222 Win Model: 0.118
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 18084 56.9% 28.48 62.99%
2 5757 57.25% 29.73 68.8%
3 1438 54.9% 31.45 74.97%
4 734 51.65% 33.03 72.75%
5 19 77.78% 30.58 57.89%
6 38 40.54% 33.53 63.16%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 275
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7702
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3316
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5145
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 601
Lose: Invader deck ran out 107
Lose: Adversary condition 2228
Win: Sacrifice victory 103
Lose: Scenario condition 290
Win: Scenario condition 458
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5542
Lose: Spirit destroyed 303

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3916 34.98% 36.31 -0.987 55.92% -0.029 -0.1768
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2173 50.76% 30.44 -3.898 39.48% -1.021 -0.8902
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2389 38.33% 33.68 -0.234 52.62% 0.055 -0.0894
Downpour Drenches the World 291 33.45% 28.7 -4.125 35.05% -0.803 -0.6241
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 328 28.05% 35.87 4.654 62.5% 1.206 0.4413
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3065 28.99% 38.96 2.403 62.15% 0.467 -0.1218
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1933 38.72% 33.76 -1.877 49.09% -0.364 -0.8612
Finder of Paths Unseen 79 37.97% 24.28 -6.656 26.58% -0.985 -0.3213
Fractured Days Split the Sky 673 38.84% 36.3 -3.261 48.29% -0.257 0.3294
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 910 53.3% 37.38 -1.459 57.36% -0.185 -0.2796
Heart of the Wildfire 3874 67.43% 33.36 -2.505 55.89% -0.219 0.0222
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6043 43.06% 36.4 0.765 61.36% 0.584 0.1417
Lightning's Swift Strike 2841 48.14% 36.48 -0.402 60.19% -0.001 0.1817
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 120 44.83% 41.37 3.113 75.0% 0.861 0.3743
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 567 41.24% 42.98 3.086 74.96% 0.922 0.7542
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 373 40.75% 40.9 -1.746 63.54% -0.238 -0.3516
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2108 41.02% 38.73 1.934 66.79% 0.521 0.3891
Many Minds Move as One 1058 35.29% 37.28 0.453 60.59% 0.084 -0.1369
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4233 47.63% 34.6 -0.046 51.88% 0.345 0.3027
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2269 37.95% 35.82 2.116 57.43% 0.856 0.6783
River Surges in Sunlight 4840 41.03% 37.33 2.47 52.13% -0.263 -0.1931
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 480 45.28% 32.08 -7.317 38.75% -1.568 -1.2579
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 224 45.0% 38.75 1.946 50.0% 0.091 -0.0221
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3391 41.68% 30.04 -1.051 39.58% -0.24 -0.4771
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1654 62.02% 28.58 -2.016 35.37% -0.207 0.3231
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 34 61.76% 35.06 1.783 52.94% 0.495 0.4196
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 41 43.9% 38.24 1.2 68.29% 0.543 0.4368
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 409 50.86% 34.17 -0.816 50.61% -0.155 -0.1739
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 170 62.35% 31.3 -9.324 42.94% -0.949 -0.7725
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3797 41.12% 38.82 2.368 66.03% 0.782 0.5916
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 80 32.5% 35.5 4.4 56.25% 0.837 0.4562
Shifting Memory of Ages 603 52.57% 29.89 -1.327 38.97% -0.179 0.174
Shroud of Silent Mist 651 63.23% 28.04 -3.207 39.17% -0.465 -0.2153
Starlight Seeks its Form 755 38.41% 29.8 -3.363 38.68% -0.648 -0.9098
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1893 35.19% 32.05 0.781 51.4% 0.388 -0.0893
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1914 40.65% 38.17 1.144 63.43% 0.113 0.1758
Thunderspeaker 3489 43.91% 38.19 1.369 59.64% 0.213 0.1788
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 54 42.59% 27.24 -2.0 46.3% -0.226 -0.2653
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1403 68.62% 27.8 -0.866 41.34% 0.041 0.1341
Vital Strength of the Earth 2594 37.89% 26.57 -2.594 27.91% -0.244 0.281
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 100 35.35% 32.92 -1.467 49.0% 0.144 0.4042
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 235 37.18% 26.95 -4.385 31.91% -0.762 0.0136
Volcano Looming High 1070 49.91% 34.63 0.819 58.88% 0.483 0.4398

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 39 35.9% 29.23 -1.58 28.21% -0.86 -1.1158
Blitz 0 579 33.74% 22.58 -2.926 20.21% -1.004 -0.8065
Dahan Insurrection 4 862 24.01% 56.56 8.589 64.04% 0.953 0.5105
Despicable Theft 2 108 61.11% 35.1 1.798 38.89% -0.2 0.612
Elemental Invocation 1 122 51.64% 30.57 -4.17 37.7% -0.44 0.2625
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1368 19.37% 40.93 0.969 66.89% 0.416 -0.229
Powers Long Forgotten 1 353 52.69% 34.85 0.897 43.06% -0.289 0.3464
Rituals of Terror 3 188 49.47% 43.68 15.129 48.4% 0.545 0.6458
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 85 67.86% 36.66 -10.801 34.12% -0.697 0.3124
Second Wave 0 765 43.36% 33.22 4.083 40.78% 0.236 0.302
The Great River 3 49 18.37% 25.37 -1.819 8.16% -0.134 1.0832
Varied Terrains 2 20 55.0% 33.95 -0.76 35.0% -0.636 -0.0128
Ward the Shores 2 418 44.74% 36.61 1.901 36.12% -0.211 0.8731

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 29054 45.49% 32.97 -0.618 50.55% 0.385 0.4386
1 Thematic 1397 38.58% 34.01 0.911 36.58% 0.187 0.6645
2 Archipelago 19 78.95% 33.16 0.0 42.11%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7183 47.2% 34.43 1.216 55.34% 0.572 0.6541
2 Coastline 733 45.95% 34.35 -0.241 54.02% 0.23 0.0763
2 Fragment 183 61.2% 30.16 -8.412 44.26% -1.028 -1.2775
2 Heart 61 57.38% 30.89 -7.018 47.54% -0.411 -0.698
2 Opposite Shores 1444 50.28% 32.67 1.71 50.07% 0.513 0.5356
2 Thematic 691 37.68% 31.57 -3.87 29.67% -1.0 -0.5965
2 Top to Top 196 55.61% 35.18 -2.803 59.69% -0.337 -0.503
3 Archipelago 6 66.67% 48.33 -9.064 66.67% -0.095 -1.644
3 Coastline 11 18.18% 36.0 -9.993 54.55% -0.399 -0.9122
3 Other 83 38.55% 35.64 0.275 61.45% -0.281 0.2596
3 Round (Default) 2799 42.99% 36.22 -0.115 58.45% -0.025 -0.1402
3 Sunrise 9 33.33% 42.67 0.0 77.78%
3 Thematic 129 40.31% 37.75 20.687 41.09% 0.824 0.9039
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 71.5 14.125 100.0% 0.589 -0.0857
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 17.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 15 66.67% 39.67 0.0 66.67%
4 Other 50 42.0% 42.92 11.646 78.0% 1.081 -0.0029
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 596 16.28% 52.52 4.844 71.81% 0.929 0.6668
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1240 42.44% 38.38 1.577 62.66% 0.525 0.4427
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 31.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 33 60.61% 35.61 -1.425 48.48% -0.311 -0.5959
5 Thematic 9 22.22% 54.33 0.0 55.56%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 5 0.0% 48.8 -3.663 80.0% 0.006 -0.2267
6 Star 3 33.33% 51.33 2.228 66.67% 0.093 0.0802
6 Thematic 115 18.58% 30.54 -4.655 33.04% -0.944 -0.5235
6 Two Centers (Default) 29 44.83% 39.38 -1.881 65.52% -0.566 -0.4615

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1871 30.93 0.423 49.39% 0.274 0.5166
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1588 32.4 2.353 50.63% 0.696 0.6189
All Things Weaken 852 30.4 0.418 46.83% 0.22 0.6122
Attenuated Essence 28 32.96 2.092 53.57% 0.455 0.5617
Back Against the Wall 1556 31.76 0.045 48.84% 0.143 0.2011
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 25 27.72 -0.962 28.0% -0.377 -0.1757
Burn Brightest Before the End 13 28.85 1.329 38.46% 0.175 0.3856
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1806 27.39 -0.795 43.19% -0.081 0.3431
Downward Spiral 2186 29.95 -1.097 48.31% -0.119 0.1165
Erosion of Will 1791 29.27 -0.728 43.94% -0.364 -0.0546
Intensifying Exploitation 41 28.9 1.702 46.34% 0.602 0.8894
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 448 33.26 4.651 54.46% 1.123 0.629
Memory Fades to Dust 2288 29.39 -0.96 45.24% -0.116 0.22
Power Corrodes the Spirit 813 29.62 0.497 46.0% 0.287 0.5073
Promising Farmlands 1870 26.36 -2.155 35.29% -0.574 -0.1206
Shattered Fragments of Power 23 28.09 -1.784 43.48% -0.429 -0.378
Slow Dissolution of Will 27 31.19 1.087 44.44% 0.121 0.5199
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 230 33.84 -2.573 58.26% 0.038 -0.673
The Border of Life and Death 13 27.92 -1.107 46.15% -0.041 -0.3767
Thriving Communities 837 29.12 -2.052 46.36% -0.438 -0.0749
Thriving Crops 21 27.19 -1.041 33.33% -0.526 -0.7237
Tipping Point 791 27.05 0.0 39.19%
Unnatural Proliferation 787 30.51 1.412 44.98% 0.161 0.3762
Untended Land Crumbles 814 28.0 -1.329 42.63% 0.143 0.425

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10021 47.26% 33.53 0.568 51.89% 0.082 0.8226
B 10830 45.8% 34.38 -0.431 54.62% -0.06 0.6662
C 11484 44.19% 34.34 0.937 54.16% 0.251 0.8336
D 10091 46.95% 33.39 -0.159 51.49% 0.102 0.8137
E 4333 44.13% 35.89 0.824 58.04% 0.236 0.8018
F 5679 45.66% 34.63 0.845 54.69% 0.192 0.8626
G 5292 45.44% 34.52 0.235 54.59% 0.134 0.7859
H 5448 45.14% 34.83 -0.575 55.34% -0.014 0.5567
East 2099 31.3% 39.36 -0.924 45.69% -0.279 0.2599
Northeast 1399 30.16% 41.23 -0.657 49.61% -0.176 0.4591
Northwest 1233 28.68% 41.55 -2.483 50.69% -0.656 0.1534
Southeast 326 24.69% 35.37 -0.878 40.8% 0.279 0.9848
Southwest 328 27.91% 33.07 -3.238 38.41% -0.464 0.5262
West 2025 30.25% 38.39 -0.836 44.0% 0.005 0.9084

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 85 0.0% 37.4 10.285 61.18% 0.281 1.0574
Not Using Events or Tokens 283 38.32% 27.14 -6.118 27.56% -0.291 0.0879
Skip Initial Invader Actions 485 14.79% 51.28 6.392 79.59% 0.53 -0.088
Start of Game Growth 1004 20.37% 48.23 5.481 74.0% 1.148 0.7994
Unlimited Undo 3026 40.65% 36.66 1.775 58.33% 0.324 0.3173
Using Tokens but Not Events 2911 39.05% 33.93 -1.495 51.98% 0.032 0.022

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11261 20.4 3.74%
II 17845 31.01 44.32%
III 12263 34.76 88.0%
IV 4754 38.07 99.31%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.072 Win Model: 0.02
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 30577 45.24% 33.03 49.86%
2 10473 47.32% 33.91 52.77%
3 2998 42.27% 36.36 58.14%
4 1903 34.55% 43.04 66.0%
5 37 24.32% 18.51 21.62%
6 135 25.56% 36.99 47.41%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 420
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10495
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7236
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4690
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 549
Lose: Invader deck ran out 37
Lose: Adversary condition 16313
Win: Sacrifice victory 107
Lose: Scenario condition 374
Win: Scenario condition 895
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4690
Lose: Spirit destroyed 317

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3251 44.51% 39.84 -1.054 50.45% 0.071 -0.0766
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1732 62.21% 32.9 -3.269 32.51% -0.8 -0.6694
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1997 49.57% 39.18 0.94 50.88% 0.059 -0.0858
Downpour Drenches the World 270 42.01% 33.53 -1.651 32.59% -0.326 -0.1464
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 342 37.13% 41.38 7.613 61.4% 1.568 0.803
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2548 44.28% 43.19 2.652 57.93% 0.531 -0.0573
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1645 49.3% 38.13 3.262 44.92% 0.651 0.1539
Finder of Paths Unseen 115 49.57% 30.77 -4.573 31.3% -0.745 -0.0809
Fractured Days Split the Sky 629 51.35% 41.17 -0.523 44.52% -0.062 0.5238
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 827 61.19% 43.36 1.1 59.98% 0.405 0.3101
Heart of the Wildfire 2918 79.94% 33.85 -3.689 42.8% -0.487 -0.2454
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8875 53.35% 41.4 1.533 55.5% 0.327 -0.1148
Lightning's Swift Strike 2507 59.41% 38.87 -1.648 50.38% -0.054 0.1287
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 184 60.89% 45.47 5.235 66.85% 1.092 0.6057
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 582 51.29% 48.13 6.434 69.42% 1.099 0.9314
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 390 54.1% 43.12 0.075 56.92% 0.42 0.3068
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1908 59.81% 40.2 0.366 54.66% 0.097 -0.0357
Many Minds Move as One 864 40.79% 41.87 -2.981 56.02% -0.411 -0.6322
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3984 56.48% 39.05 -1.805 49.57% -0.15 -0.1919
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2111 53.06% 39.07 0.868 50.36% 0.05 -0.128
River Surges in Sunlight 4263 52.35% 39.99 0.973 46.05% 0.432 0.5018
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 419 55.02% 34.81 -1.55 33.89% -0.497 -0.1868
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 210 54.07% 46.48 4.63 58.1% 0.327 0.2138
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3097 50.68% 35.6 -1.808 39.75% -0.486 -0.7236
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1304 72.25% 31.82 2.468 30.44% 0.009 0.5386
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 51 72.55% 17.67 -7.744 15.69% -1.32 -1.3953
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 70 65.71% 34.96 1.386 44.29% 0.568 0.4625
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 331 68.28% 35.66 0.436 39.88% 0.025 0.0068
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 141 70.71% 31.01 -3.868 28.37% -0.64 -0.4629
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4026 51.35% 43.13 1.427 60.23% 0.548 0.3582
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 66 50.0% 34.95 2.711 48.48% 0.567 0.1861
Shifting Memory of Ages 548 68.98% 33.74 -3.734 36.86% -0.8 -0.4468
Shroud of Silent Mist 591 68.7% 28.89 -5.917 26.9% -0.949 -0.6991
Starlight Seeks its Form 749 49.8% 36.96 -0.313 44.46% 0.052 -0.2093
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1903 49.92% 36.97 3.295 48.92% 0.589 0.112
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1525 55.03% 41.44 0.586 56.13% 0.311 0.3735
Thunderspeaker 3191 57.02% 41.06 0.67 51.58% 0.177 0.1431
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 48 54.17% 39.08 1.827 54.17% 0.165 0.126
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1456 78.95% 31.84 -1.943 37.36% -0.514 -0.4206
Vital Strength of the Earth 2059 50.29% 31.44 -5.945 28.17% -0.887 -0.3621
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 109 40.0% 33.69 -0.377 36.7% -0.197 0.0637
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 194 45.88% 29.82 -2.912 23.2% -0.95 -0.1737
Volcano Looming High 1163 65.18% 37.4 -0.959 51.93% 0.217 0.1744

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 83.33% 51.0 7.981 83.33% 0.238 -0.0175
Blitz 0 383 34.03% 29.55 1.678 23.5% -0.674 -0.4767
Dahan Insurrection 4 478 42.47% 53.06 10.72 43.93% 0.857 0.4143
Despicable Theft 2 30 46.67% 43.17 -13.516 50.0% -0.493 0.3191
Elemental Invocation 1 61 62.3% 34.46 -6.355 31.15% -1.0 -0.2974
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1398 22.15% 50.41 10.009 72.46% 1.678 1.0331
Powers Long Forgotten 1 197 61.93% 37.69 -5.598 38.07% -0.263 0.3727
Rituals of Terror 3 147 61.38% 40.14 -3.2 29.93% -0.027 0.0737
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 89 77.53% 36.85 1.321 23.6% -0.037 0.9724
Second Wave 0 495 50.51% 34.41 0.693 30.71% -0.341 -0.2746
The Great River 3 27 40.74% 33.67 -3.76 18.52% -0.446 0.7717
Varied Terrains 2 26 38.46% 28.19 -2.094 15.38% -0.482 0.1406
Ward the Shores 2 212 58.49% 33.52 -4.67 19.81% -0.704 0.3803

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 29791 56.01% 37.29 -1.047 45.97% 0.577 0.6312
1 Thematic 1171 43.59% 34.01 -3.95 23.83% -0.485 -0.0072
2 Archipelago 7 71.43% 44.29 9.66 71.43% 0.178 0.282
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6366 60.01% 38.46 1.535 49.84% 0.519 0.6006
2 Coastline 630 58.6% 39.72 -0.661 53.65% -0.04 -0.1941
2 Fragment 159 64.78% 39.08 -3.843 52.83% -0.263 -0.5125
2 Heart 57 77.19% 46.58 0.0 68.42%
2 Opposite Shores 1338 54.67% 38.44 -2.687 49.93% -0.178 -0.1548
2 Thematic 369 39.3% 31.24 -2.195 16.8% -1.039 -0.6354
2 Top to Top 154 65.36% 38.71 1.876 52.6% 0.69 0.5239
3 Coastline 24 29.17% 38.21 -2.902 41.67% -0.693 -1.2067
3 Other 106 46.23% 47.27 1.535 72.64% -0.299 0.2416
3 Round (Default) 2813 56.18% 42.29 2.104 58.02% 0.227 0.1118
3 Sunrise 11 45.45% 49.73 0.0 72.73%
3 Thematic 114 29.82% 33.47 0.0 20.18%
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 36.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Coastline 3 100.0% 49.0 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 11 54.55% 37.73 5.496 45.45% 0.096 -0.2476
4 Other 54 59.26% 41.39 5.135 55.56% 0.243 -0.8412
4 Thematic 320 36.48% 39.17 4.84 30.94% 0.399 0.1363
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1144 51.07% 43.98 1.538 60.66% 0.045 -0.0372
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 43.33 0.0 33.33%
5 Other 35 69.7% 50.54 4.389 65.71% 0.146 -0.1384
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 79.33 31.134 100.0% 0.743 0.6497
6 Other 25 36.0% 52.32 9.654 68.0% 0.526 0.2931
6 Star 10 20.0% 45.6 -7.295 50.0% -0.773 -0.7857
6 Thematic 38 29.73% 34.24 -6.421 13.16% -0.832 -0.4113
6 Two Centers (Default) 38 42.11% 42.71 1.631 52.63% 0.354 0.4583
7 Other 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2279 36.08 1.227 45.59% 0.445 0.6871
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1940 38.22 5.281 49.02% 0.954 0.8764
All Things Weaken 1090 36.79 1.389 47.8% 0.421 0.8132
Attenuated Essence 26 38.42 3.781 53.85% 0.923 1.0302
Back Against the Wall 1903 37.26 5.974 46.82% 1.088 1.1455
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 55 33.0 2.679 45.45% 0.724 0.9253
Burn Brightest Before the End 20 40.1 6.63 50.0% 0.829 1.0392
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2102 32.46 -0.233 39.58% 0.536 0.9602
Downward Spiral 2652 34.75 -0.468 44.19% 0.072 0.3076
Erosion of Will 2258 34.65 3.76 41.28% 0.985 1.2944
Intensifying Exploitation 35 33.57 1.272 42.86% 0.102 0.3898
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 462 40.87 3.119 56.06% 0.381 -0.1126
Memory Fades to Dust 2563 34.96 1.808 43.39% 0.525 0.8613
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1000 35.91 1.085 46.4% 0.288 0.5079
Promising Farmlands 2178 31.69 1.103 34.3% 0.144 0.5976
Shattered Fragments of Power 34 37.35 3.415 52.94% 0.706 0.7572
Slow Dissolution of Will 36 29.97 0.097 27.78% -0.264 0.1354
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 278 42.77 8.306 60.79% 1.197 0.4866
The Border of Life and Death 13 38.62 4.134 53.85% 0.274 -0.0611
Thriving Communities 1061 36.61 5.337 49.01% 1.295 1.6576
Thriving Crops 16 15.56 -6.026 6.25% -1.106 -1.3036
Tipping Point 917 33.01 0.0 37.73%
Unnatural Proliferation 1043 36.81 2.925 44.77% 0.438 0.6533
Untended Land Crumbles 1001 34.11 2.177 41.76% 0.719 1.0006

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9878 58.33% 38.28 0.056 48.62% 0.314 1.0537
B 10394 56.6% 38.88 0.099 49.97% 0.337 1.0626
C 10736 55.07% 39.29 -0.097 50.88% 0.34 0.9223
D 9612 56.39% 38.77 -0.031 49.65% 0.235 0.9464
E 4433 56.54% 40.72 1.391 54.3% 0.353 0.9182
F 5812 55.92% 39.21 0.83 50.57% 0.348 1.0184
G 5457 57.32% 37.92 1.343 47.61% 0.375 1.0265
H 5337 55.17% 40.1 1.468 52.71% 0.531 1.1016
East 1399 39.64% 35.55 -1.99 24.23% -0.855 -0.3161
Northeast 852 38.68% 37.27 0.076 27.0% -0.433 0.2021
Northwest 691 39.1% 35.25 -3.108 24.46% -0.405 0.4037
Southeast 203 43.07% 32.99 -3.64 22.17% -0.253 0.4523
Southwest 196 40.0% 29.93 -3.087 19.39% -0.285 0.7048
West 1248 38.23% 33.5 -1.038 21.15% -0.01 0.8937

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 74 0.0% 45.32 12.458 64.86% 0.253 1.0288
Not Using Events or Tokens 281 48.73% 30.09 0.0 24.2%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 686 13.19% 56.26 8.516 76.09% 1.32 0.7019
Start of Game Growth 987 17.37% 53.28 4.828 72.54% 0.425 0.0766
Unlimited Undo 3641 49.71% 40.0 -1.029 51.66% -0.003 -0.0099
Using Tokens but Not Events 2352 48.95% 37.94 -0.803 47.19% -0.08 -0.0902

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 15112 20.4 2.72%
II 14014 31.01 44.75%
III 10838 34.76 88.57%
IV 4843 38.07 99.19%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.663 Win Model: 0.085
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 31049 55.59% 37.18 45.14%
2 9036 58.46% 38.32 49.05%
3 3055 54.47% 42.14 57.18%
4 1539 48.62% 42.91 54.06%
5 17 56.25% 54.12 70.59%
6 111 33.64% 41.8 41.44%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 411
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9392
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6033
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4769
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 620
Lose: Invader deck ran out 126
Lose: Adversary condition 15834
Win: Sacrifice victory 103
Lose: Scenario condition 351
Win: Scenario condition 377
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6364
Lose: Spirit destroyed 427

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2602 40.46% 44.82 3.146 53.42% 0.716 0.5682
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1227 58.79% 35.7 -6.308 31.87% -1.131 -1.0008
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2147 42.42% 47.11 -0.298 61.67% -0.154 -0.2984
Downpour Drenches the World 221 45.7% 34.72 -2.16 32.58% -0.248 -0.0691
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 288 34.03% 39.34 4.413 50.35% 0.787 0.0218
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1673 43.68% 45.11 3.393 53.8% 0.684 0.0949
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1724 39.78% 48.12 -0.528 61.54% 0.004 -0.4932
Finder of Paths Unseen 69 55.07% 34.32 -3.945 36.23% -0.301 0.3634
Fractured Days Split the Sky 489 47.65% 44.13 -5.693 47.85% -0.317 0.2693
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 523 58.7% 44.08 0.036 52.39% 0.024 -0.0704
Heart of the Wildfire 2458 75.99% 38.36 -3.277 43.61% -0.34 -0.0992
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5222 47.83% 45.34 1.297 56.86% 0.379 -0.0634
Lightning's Swift Strike 1588 58.33% 43.19 -1.395 51.01% -0.167 0.0164
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 124 58.33% 46.52 1.872 58.06% 0.201 -0.2859
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 378 50.53% 51.53 3.225 67.72% 0.562 0.3941
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 219 42.92% 47.69 -2.387 63.01% 0.516 0.4025
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1352 55.22% 45.32 0.981 57.54% 0.202 0.0693
Many Minds Move as One 574 44.43% 44.37 -5.564 55.57% -0.353 -0.574
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3714 50.97% 44.56 -0.734 54.04% -0.029 -0.0716
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1403 50.82% 43.85 3.97 54.03% 1.165 0.987
River Surges in Sunlight 3150 49.65% 45.16 -2.412 50.76% -0.09 -0.0196
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 311 49.52% 42.22 -11.081 45.98% -1.103 -0.7926
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 147 58.9% 42.22 -2.216 44.9% -0.155 -0.2685
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2048 46.4% 39.58 -1.277 41.06% -0.211 -0.4486
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 799 65.58% 37.17 -0.008 35.79% -0.301 0.2281
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 25 80.0% 37.52 2.228 36.0% 0.022 -0.0534
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 64 70.31% 29.86 -4.54 21.88% -0.496 -0.6023
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 220 69.86% 35.54 0.749 32.73% 0.113 0.0944
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 113 73.45% 33.46 0.861 28.32% -0.463 -0.2863
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2922 46.28% 48.79 2.312 64.17% 0.702 0.512
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 55 45.45% 38.24 3.68 52.73% 0.881 0.5
Shifting Memory of Ages 400 61.0% 36.18 -4.893 34.75% -0.886 -0.5325
Shroud of Silent Mist 751 69.2% 39.88 -1.551 45.81% -0.399 -0.1484
Starlight Seeks its Form 621 45.57% 38.69 -0.324 38.81% -0.168 -0.4295
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1263 45.92% 40.06 -0.899 47.11% -0.455 -0.9321
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1235 53.78% 45.66 -1.525 57.81% -0.483 -0.4204
Thunderspeaker 2177 56.49% 44.79 -1.027 52.32% -0.079 -0.1132
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 58 58.62% 33.09 1.914 37.93% 0.342 0.3027
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 857 75.09% 34.93 -0.877 37.34% 0.15 0.2432
Vital Strength of the Earth 1210 48.3% 36.4 -3.315 31.65% -0.352 0.1723
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 80 39.24% 41.0 5.469 41.25% 0.445 0.7056
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 101 50.5% 33.47 13.757 25.74% 0.472 1.2477
Volcano Looming High 820 62.56% 41.02 -0.195 50.85% 0.196 0.1535

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 0.0 -13.094 0.0% -0.39 -0.6459
Blitz 0 166 30.72% 30.16 -6.349 21.69% -0.909 -0.7113
Dahan Insurrection 4 375 41.87% 56.5 9.528 43.47% 0.468 0.0259
Despicable Theft 2 16 43.75% 37.13 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 58 51.72% 32.71 19.916 17.24% 0.561 1.2643
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1123 18.38% 52.79 4.345 68.39% 0.698 0.0531
Powers Long Forgotten 1 118 61.86% 38.61 5.238 30.51% 0.445 1.0805
Rituals of Terror 3 91 48.35% 43.55 0.0 29.67%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 185 70.81% 36.09 0.0 16.76%
Second Wave 0 279 56.47% 39.58 -0.817 36.56% -0.34 -0.274
The Great River 3 15 26.67% 28.4 -11.638 6.67% -0.333 0.8841
Varied Terrains 2 8 75.0% 40.25 -17.721 37.5% -0.46 0.163
Ward the Shores 2 176 59.66% 34.59 -6.087 15.34% -0.467 0.6172

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 19171 52.7% 41.74 0.164 48.44% 0.378 0.4318
1 Thematic 948 39.03% 35.75 -1.918 20.78% -0.948 -0.4704
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4551 57.42% 42.61 0.183 51.44% 0.269 0.3508
2 Coastline 417 54.94% 42.85 -0.561 52.04% 0.274 0.1196
2 Fragment 88 64.77% 37.34 -12.23 40.91% -0.715 -0.9641
2 Heart 54 62.96% 35.56 -1.854 37.04% -0.156 -0.4436
2 Opposite Shores 875 53.37% 41.64 -1.983 48.0% -0.215 -0.1924
2 Thematic 299 38.46% 33.79 -9.732 16.39% -1.189 -0.7853
2 Top to Top 281 51.25% 46.37 -0.461 60.85% -0.081 -0.2475
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 67.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 16 37.5% 40.81 -4.111 43.75% -0.052 -0.5655
3 Other 65 47.69% 50.94 5.063 72.31% 0.735 1.2759
3 Round (Default) 2362 49.19% 46.23 1.558 59.23% 0.7 0.5845
3 Sunrise 6 83.33% 41.17 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 60 41.67% 34.93 19.806 16.67% 0.465 0.5451
4 Archipelago 21 76.19% 41.71 -9.648 42.86% -0.111 -0.7852
4 Coastline 9 11.11% 66.78 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 18 38.89% 54.39 5.705 83.33% 0.156 -0.187
4 Other 47 53.19% 53.11 21.734 76.6% 1.033 -0.0512
4 Snake 5 100.0% 28.0 0.0 20.0%
4 Thematic 252 39.29% 44.04 13.472 37.3% 1.278 1.0159
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1204 46.26% 49.86 1.395 64.45% 0.643 0.5605
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 40.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 23 69.57% 44.0 -3.547 60.87% -0.75 -1.035
5 Thematic 6 33.33% 49.17 -10.016 16.67% -0.066 -0.1599
6 Archipelago 2 50.0% 27.5 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 4 0.0% 56.0 -16.33 75.0% -0.35 -0.5826
6 Star 10 20.0% 55.4 0.0 70.0%
6 Thematic 10 0.0% 25.6 -8.16 0.0% -0.72 -0.2993
6 Two Centers (Default) 29 44.83% 39.66 -7.231 51.72% -0.21 -0.1062
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -13.094 0.0% -0.39 -1.0029

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1468 40.6 1.113 48.84% 0.374 0.6166
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1150 43.09 2.93 52.35% 0.653 0.5755
All Things Weaken 631 41.84 0.549 51.03% -0.032 0.3604
Attenuated Essence 26 29.08 -2.038 30.77% -0.169 -0.0617
Back Against the Wall 1174 42.15 0.347 49.32% -0.208 -0.1506
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 29 39.97 4.133 58.62% 0.821 1.0231
Burn Brightest Before the End 19 45.84 6.039 57.89% 0.668 0.8782
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1446 36.28 0.343 41.56% 0.071 0.495
Downward Spiral 1625 38.88 0.928 46.34% 0.225 0.4604
Erosion of Will 1431 38.54 4.734 42.98% 0.85 1.1596
Intensifying Exploitation 48 33.5 -0.865 43.75% 0.256 0.5432
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 312 42.88 2.266 52.24% 0.415 -0.0792
Memory Fades to Dust 1693 38.63 -0.475 44.54% -0.006 0.3304
Power Corrodes the Spirit 615 39.46 0.626 46.34% 0.176 0.3968
Promising Farmlands 1559 34.33 -4.012 34.0% -0.461 -0.0077
Shattered Fragments of Power 22 43.59 6.65 50.0% 0.803 0.8543
Slow Dissolution of Will 31 37.81 4.193 41.94% 0.497 0.8959
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 176 44.19 6.767 55.68% 1.15 0.439
The Border of Life and Death 4 32.75 3.966 25.0% 0.206 -0.1292
Thriving Communities 633 39.87 3.693 49.13% 0.885 1.2478
Thriving Crops 21 33.48 0.468 28.57% -0.145 -0.3432
Tipping Point 646 36.91 0.0 40.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 654 41.55 3.54 49.54% 0.3 0.5153
Untended Land Crumbles 670 38.05 -1.414 43.73% 0.191 0.4729

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6852 53.49% 42.29 -0.334 49.58% 0.022 0.7621
B 7193 53.37% 43.54 0.843 52.65% 0.212 0.9382
C 9445 47.51% 46.4 -0.145 58.98% 0.131 0.713
D 6836 53.27% 42.68 -0.712 50.72% -0.072 0.6392
E 3422 57.96% 43.59 1.855 53.24% 0.391 0.9559
F 3904 54.27% 43.02 -0.812 51.92% -0.137 0.5337
G 3532 54.26% 42.23 -0.184 50.08% -0.091 0.5602
H 3578 51.52% 43.6 -0.226 52.46% -0.136 0.4342
East 958 38.0% 39.34 2.048 25.99% 0.611 1.1502
Northeast 630 39.52% 40.77 -2.553 28.89% -0.237 0.3979
Northwest 590 45.25% 36.8 -1.932 23.05% -0.207 0.6022
Southeast 109 35.78% 41.3 -3.81 35.78% -0.321 0.3847
Southwest 90 25.56% 33.68 -8.16 24.44% -0.72 0.2701
West 1011 37.49% 35.21 -1.223 19.29% -0.595 0.3091

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 53 0.0% 47.13 0.0 56.6%
Not Using Events or Tokens 139 53.62% 32.73 -20.667 23.02% -0.492 -0.1124
Skip Initial Invader Actions 367 22.19% 60.18 6.836 76.29% 0.141 -0.4767
Start of Game Growth 570 25.69% 56.18 7.02 72.81% 0.864 0.5153
Unlimited Undo 2677 53.98% 43.56 -0.892 52.71% -0.13 -0.1363
Using Tokens but Not Events 1402 46.07% 42.85 2.273 50.21% 0.055 0.045

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10058 20.4 2.74%
II 9383 31.01 45.96%
III 9243 34.76 91.42%
IV 2157 38.07 99.72%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.003 Win Model: -0.121
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 20154 52.09% 41.46 47.13%
2 6550 55.64% 42.17 49.73%
3 2506 49.08% 46.05 58.42%
4 1561 45.41% 48.93 60.28%
5 14 78.57% 35.71 21.43%
6 56 29.09% 39.98 44.64%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 274
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8305
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4130
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2134
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 363
Lose: Invader deck ran out 20
Lose: Adversary condition 11033
Win: Sacrifice victory 61
Lose: Scenario condition 269
Win: Scenario condition 285
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3673
Lose: Spirit destroyed 294

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1579 48.03% 54.69 -2.288 65.55% -0.222 -0.3701
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 652 62.4% 41.37 -10.872 37.58% -1.069 -0.9388
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 861 49.65% 50.64 -4.458 59.47% -0.312 -0.4572
Downpour Drenches the World 124 60.48% 42.32 -2.646 38.71% -0.306 -0.1264
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 211 35.07% 48.89 0.717 61.14% 0.36 -0.4049
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1495 41.88% 53.5 -0.732 63.95% 0.228 -0.361
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 489 47.93% 45.47 0.476 45.81% 0.3 -0.1964
Finder of Paths Unseen 26 30.77% 39.96 -9.806 50.0% -0.569 0.0955
Fractured Days Split the Sky 286 53.15% 49.38 -1.376 48.6% 0.058 0.6436
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 292 66.1% 53.18 1.149 61.99% 0.223 0.1283
Heart of the Wildfire 1089 88.6% 41.41 -10.377 42.33% -1.047 -0.8062
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3321 55.03% 55.4 0.318 68.8% 0.443 0.0013
Lightning's Swift Strike 1037 48.98% 54.93 1.341 62.87% 0.73 0.9129
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 71 64.79% 50.61 -0.423 59.15% 0.019 -0.468
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 343 41.11% 60.94 8.053 81.34% 1.133 0.9655
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 169 47.34% 57.22 2.523 71.6% 0.727 0.6135
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 966 54.88% 52.13 1.391 63.87% 0.459 0.327
Many Minds Move as One 331 44.41% 54.07 1.098 64.95% 0.225 0.0039
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1754 55.69% 51.91 4.214 60.43% 0.985 0.9423
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 952 51.1% 51.4 1.271 61.97% 0.563 0.3852
River Surges in Sunlight 1748 54.86% 53.17 -5.478 60.07% -0.579 -0.5093
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 226 59.73% 51.62 -1.794 57.52% -0.763 -0.4522
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 139 53.24% 58.21 3.048 68.35% 0.534 0.4205
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1305 49.35% 47.67 -2.007 49.5% -0.057 -0.2939
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 402 66.67% 40.63 -7.711 34.33% -0.44 0.09
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 18 70.59% 38.06 10.701 27.78% 0.489 0.4141
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 57 47.37% 55.32 -6.447 73.68% -0.63 -0.7359
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 150 56.67% 50.01 -7.988 58.0% -0.654 -0.6729
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 52 71.15% 37.83 -1.467 30.77% -0.091 0.0854
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1708 44.91% 55.72 10.52 68.79% 2.059 1.8693
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 31 41.94% 49.42 2.292 64.52% 0.417 0.0357
Shifting Memory of Ages 183 57.38% 50.01 -3.688 53.01% -0.549 -0.1953
Shroud of Silent Mist 177 69.89% 40.27 -7.839 38.98% -0.417 -0.1671
Starlight Seeks its Form 331 56.5% 45.71 -2.418 48.34% -0.063 -0.3247
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1633 42.56% 52.67 2.19 65.65% 0.477 -0.0
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 715 48.46% 56.59 -1.571 71.47% 0.157 0.2199
Thunderspeaker 1192 60.99% 50.3 -0.137 54.61% 0.187 0.1529
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 34 58.82% 41.91 -3.681 47.06% -0.163 -0.2022
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 621 71.5% 44.28 -5.293 50.89% -0.636 -0.5426
Vital Strength of the Earth 703 51.35% 41.54 -10.048 34.42% -1.0 -0.4755
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 122 43.44% 54.7 -3.077 68.03% -0.711 -0.4505
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 214 46.26% 50.07 -25.859 57.94% -0.573 0.203
Volcano Looming High 457 59.08% 48.96 1.417 61.05% 0.505 0.4624

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 28.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 137 29.93% 36.73 -9.968 28.47% -1.049 -0.8522
Dahan Insurrection 4 226 54.87% 60.38 5.842 42.04% 0.126 -0.3165
Despicable Theft 2 10 70.0% 51.1 -5.631 50.0% -0.384 0.4282
Elemental Invocation 1 32 65.63% 41.63 -8.218 28.13% -0.573 0.1295
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1927 31.91% 63.12 6.468 83.76% 1.075 0.4301
Powers Long Forgotten 1 101 52.48% 43.01 0.554 31.68% -0.119 0.5167
Rituals of Terror 3 88 51.14% 48.57 0.0 25.0%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 104 77.88% 37.74 -3.324 12.5% -0.159 0.8506
Second Wave 0 168 60.48% 39.81 -5.151 31.55% -0.139 -0.0726
The Great River 3 27 51.85% 36.11 -3.601 11.11% -0.299 0.9185
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 30.0 -5.56 0.0% -0.286 0.3367
Ward the Shores 2 209 51.67% 41.57 -5.986 22.97% -0.503 0.5809

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 9360 55.77% 46.76 -0.477 51.39% 0.763 0.817
1 Thematic 638 45.14% 39.6 -9.04 21.94% -0.673 -0.195
2 Archipelago 4 25.0% 46.75 0.0 25.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2134 63.62% 48.43 -0.163 55.01% 0.3 0.382
2 Coastline 218 59.63% 49.13 -0.569 54.59% 0.068 -0.0864
2 Fragment 59 79.66% 40.07 0.0 38.98%
2 Heart 24 54.17% 42.25 0.0 41.67%
2 Opposite Shores 425 63.76% 47.65 -0.741 50.35% -0.333 -0.3097
2 Thematic 172 37.79% 37.85 -18.767 14.53% -0.129 0.2749
2 Top to Top 73 58.9% 52.59 11.095 61.64% 0.969 0.8028
3 Archipelago 2 50.0% 52.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 5 80.0% 34.4 0.0 20.0%
3 Other 50 84.0% 49.6 0.0 52.0%
3 Round (Default) 1941 49.9% 56.47 3.038 72.95% 0.198 0.0827
3 Sunrise 3 100.0% 36.0 0.0 33.33%
3 Thematic 51 27.45% 36.04 -5.437 13.73% -0.427 -0.347
4 Archipelago 3 66.67% 61.0 2.639 66.67% -0.212 -0.8868
4 Coastline 8 12.5% 73.75 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 49.8 0.0 60.0%
4 Other 31 54.84% 63.03 0.0 87.1%
4 Thematic 278 19.05% 63.95 8.356 66.55% 0.183 -0.0795
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1076 51.73% 58.17 -1.642 74.72% -0.524 -0.6062
5 Other 25 60.87% 62.4 -2.924 76.0% -0.085 -0.3703
5 Thematic 8 62.5% 55.88 -11.373 37.5% -0.211 -0.305
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 61.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 3 0.0% 66.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Star 12 66.67% 33.92 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 11 9.09% 49.91 0.0 54.55%
6 Two Centers (Default) 11 45.45% 49.73 4.258 54.55% 0.014 0.1184

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 857 48.74 1.594 56.36% 0.16 0.4022
Aid From Lesser Spirits 694 50.06 5.549 57.2% 0.579 0.502
All Things Weaken 350 50.0 4.08 59.14% 0.372 0.7645
Attenuated Essence 14 50.71 8.391 71.43% 1.324 1.4312
Back Against the Wall 658 46.39 3.026 49.7% 0.125 0.1827
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 11 50.27 2.955 72.73% 0.587 0.7887
Burn Brightest Before the End 7 39.14 0.435 42.86% 0.218 0.4279
Disintegrating Ecosystem 843 43.03 -2.334 46.74% -0.192 0.2321
Downward Spiral 906 47.07 1.127 54.53% -0.015 0.2204
Erosion of Will 827 45.68 -2.635 50.79% -0.335 -0.026
Intensifying Exploitation 18 36.11 -2.09 38.89% -0.119 0.1684
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 179 52.86 4.248 67.04% 0.744 0.2504
Memory Fades to Dust 884 45.39 0.279 50.57% -0.146 0.1901
Power Corrodes the Spirit 362 46.59 1.865 54.14% 0.372 0.5929
Promising Farmlands 828 39.92 -2.047 37.08% -0.162 0.2908
Shattered Fragments of Power 13 53.46 6.781 69.23% 0.848 0.899
Slow Dissolution of Will 12 52.25 1.575 58.33% 0.118 0.5172
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 103 54.33 0.206 69.9% 0.221 -0.4896
The Border of Life and Death 5 67.6 11.593 100.0% 1.054 0.7189
Thriving Communities 379 46.19 4.447 54.62% 0.736 1.0988
Thriving Crops 13 35.54 -3.508 30.77% -0.676 -0.8742
Tipping Point 373 45.77 0.0 51.47%
Unnatural Proliferation 409 47.25 -1.164 52.81% -0.505 -0.2901
Untended Land Crumbles 381 44.27 -0.124 48.03% -0.261 0.0204

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3854 58.09% 50.17 -1.209 58.38% -0.184 0.5563
B 4205 58.31% 50.16 0.268 58.57% -0.02 0.706
C 4762 55.17% 52.77 2.145 63.73% 0.397 0.9789
D 3748 57.31% 50.54 0.503 59.34% 0.007 0.7183
E 2143 52.01% 53.01 3.09 64.72% 0.276 0.8412
F 2558 52.99% 50.85 -0.32 60.01% -0.082 0.5884
G 2359 54.04% 52.07 -0.958 62.53% -0.365 0.2871
H 2438 53.02% 52.09 -1.005 62.67% -0.222 0.3486
East 833 35.14% 47.13 -4.506 34.93% -0.991 -0.4517
Northeast 510 34.65% 53.06 -8.077 45.88% -0.268 0.3664
Northwest 450 30.11% 54.36 1.381 47.11% -0.404 0.4049
Southeast 98 26.53% 45.27 -12.214 34.69% -0.279 0.4272
Southwest 59 18.64% 49.75 -15.654 45.76% -0.413 0.5768
West 727 29.36% 48.32 0.438 36.04% -0.182 0.7217

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 25 0.0% 57.2 10.521 56.0% 0.232 1.0087
Not Using Events or Tokens 62 62.9% 32.05 0.0 16.13%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 369 9.19% 73.83 12.036 87.8% 1.067 0.4498
Start of Game Growth 553 18.03% 67.81 8.079 81.37% 0.408 0.0592
Unlimited Undo 1710 51.0% 52.5 -0.711 62.28% 0.153 0.1462
Using Tokens but Not Events 793 35.55% 54.64 -6.192 61.79% 0.081 0.0705

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4797 20.4 5.0%
II 6900 31.01 61.13%
III 4044 34.76 92.38%
IV 894 38.07 99.66%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.734 Win Model: 0.427
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 10059 55.16% 46.31 49.32%
2 3075 61.87% 47.73 52.49%
3 2040 50.47% 55.74 70.93%
4 1408 45.06% 59.57 73.65%
5 13 72.73% 54.0 46.15%
6 40 35.9% 47.2 50.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 240
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3659
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4079
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 886
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 214
Lose: Invader deck ran out 9
Lose: Adversary condition 4983
Win: Sacrifice victory 37
Lose: Scenario condition 192
Win: Scenario condition 184
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2037
Lose: Spirit destroyed 115

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6446 47.23% 51.49 -0.268 48.96% 0.474 0.3264
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3388 60.53% 41.07 -2.856 29.96% -0.325 -0.1948
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3988 50.11% 48.06 -1.142 46.04% -0.159 -0.3036
Downpour Drenches the World 914 51.37% 43.09 -3.391 32.39% -0.371 -0.1915
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1267 36.07% 48.4 4.717 53.35% 0.956 0.1908
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6373 39.84% 54.48 2.391 55.53% 0.596 0.0068
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2560 51.65% 47.35 -0.148 43.32% 0.217 -0.2799
Finder of Paths Unseen 340 50.29% 39.79 -10.366 31.47% -1.345 -0.6809
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2384 49.94% 55.68 -5.122 49.75% -0.455 0.1305
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2556 63.22% 53.73 1.274 54.38% 0.484 0.3892
Heart of the Wildfire 5943 82.28% 43.57 -3.014 38.53% -0.199 0.0426
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 24093 53.46% 56.45 1.428 62.27% 0.43 -0.0118
Lightning's Swift Strike 5047 58.54% 50.56 -3.598 48.4% 0.005 0.1884
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1134 66.49% 53.55 2.888 58.47% 0.92 0.4336
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 3837 53.26% 62.14 3.873 71.18% 0.91 0.7418
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1317 51.86% 62.15 2.288 68.87% 0.944 0.8309
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5880 55.68% 54.25 -1.533 58.76% 0.139 0.0068
Many Minds Move as One 1933 47.03% 54.33 0.142 56.65% 0.08 -0.1417
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 12023 51.86% 53.5 0.111 53.44% 0.425 0.3821
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4599 54.54% 50.47 -1.372 50.82% -0.057 -0.2343
River Surges in Sunlight 10908 53.54% 53.65 -3.176 51.54% -0.702 -0.6317
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 780 53.47% 49.66 -3.297 44.36% 0.115 0.4257
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1020 54.86% 53.61 -0.455 48.33% 0.121 0.0075
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 8244 47.3% 46.85 -1.41 39.86% 0.11 -0.1269
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1959 63.65% 41.08 -9.248 30.42% -1.301 -0.7718
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 95 52.63% 56.94 6.178 51.58% 0.309 0.2334
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 114 60.53% 48.37 -4.525 46.49% -0.567 -0.6726
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 855 61.75% 45.81 -3.341 38.01% -0.489 -0.5071
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 293 68.94% 45.14 -10.023 41.64% -0.327 -0.1502
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8059 47.7% 56.59 -1.929 62.63% 0.361 0.1705
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 288 51.74% 46.85 2.183 52.08% 0.563 0.1823
Shifting Memory of Ages 1407 65.17% 47.26 -1.556 34.54% -0.029 0.3248
Shroud of Silent Mist 1055 68.7% 42.57 -2.141 36.4% -0.081 0.1691
Starlight Seeks its Form 2991 55.3% 50.44 0.646 46.87% 0.38 0.1192
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6634 46.66% 47.65 -1.43 44.35% -0.054 -0.5315
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4781 53.82% 56.91 3.495 63.0% 0.749 0.812
Thunderspeaker 5855 52.88% 51.0 1.509 44.97% 0.324 0.2895
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 171 57.89% 41.98 1.992 41.52% 0.49 0.451
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3901 75.87% 43.35 -1.829 40.3% -0.081 0.0125
Vital Strength of the Earth 3305 53.6% 38.52 -14.27 23.57% -2.075 -1.5505
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 276 61.59% 41.62 -6.424 31.88% -0.793 -0.5326
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 617 48.95% 35.01 -2.954 16.69% -0.515 0.2607
Volcano Looming High 3978 61.58% 52.66 0.162 58.95% 0.298 0.2548

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 25.0% 33.0 -0.167 25.0% 0.018 -0.2372
Blitz 0 1021 37.14% 41.74 8.071 28.7% 0.35 0.5469
Dahan Insurrection 4 2486 41.42% 62.85 6.686 38.78% 0.608 0.1661
Despicable Theft 2 27 70.37% 55.52 5.298 44.44% 0.107 0.9192
Elemental Invocation 1 245 69.39% 41.51 0.241 18.37% -0.987 -0.2843
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8670 28.75% 62.59 8.593 68.69% 1.704 1.0591
Powers Long Forgotten 1 208 51.44% 43.26 -12.108 28.37% -0.67 -0.0344
Rituals of Terror 3 250 50.4% 69.9 14.388 38.4% 1.517 1.6179
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 70 81.43% 40.57 0.0 14.29%
Second Wave 0 550 60.73% 46.59 -1.865 35.45% -0.593 -0.5273
The Great River 3 101 45.54% 30.55 -6.656 7.92% -0.97 0.2477
Varied Terrains 2 14 57.14% 46.29 4.901 28.57% -0.184 0.4388
Ward the Shores 2 285 51.41% 40.47 -4.302 17.19% -1.411 -0.3263

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 84471 55.06% 49.88 0.261 49.36% 0.41 0.4638
1 Thematic 3393 40.74% 44.31 -0.208 21.93% -0.782 -0.3047
2 Archipelago 53 75.47% 64.43 -13.688 35.85% 0.052 0.1564
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10564 63.75% 51.15 -0.603 52.51% 0.14 0.2224
2 Coastline 2120 54.55% 55.38 2.844 59.06% 0.719 0.5648
2 Fragment 796 67.46% 58.12 8.148 67.96% 1.029 0.7801
2 Heart 328 71.04% 51.61 2.029 43.6% 0.202 -0.0855
2 Opposite Shores 2404 60.45% 48.56 0.857 40.22% 0.099 0.1219
2 Thematic 907 40.29% 46.71 0.136 19.51% -0.087 0.3166
2 Top to Top 566 58.3% 54.49 4.128 56.18% 0.416 0.2503
3 Archipelago 12 83.33% 65.5 18.755 41.67% 0.395 -1.1536
3 Coastline 40 60.0% 47.85 3.858 40.0% -0.273 -0.7869
3 Other 151 58.94% 55.23 -3.509 60.26% -0.032 0.5092
3 Round (Default) 5717 55.51% 53.05 -1.952 55.55% -0.647 -0.762
3 Sunrise 82 43.9% 67.44 10.637 84.15% -0.268 0.0115
3 Thematic 144 34.03% 56.97 21.193 26.39% 1.118 1.1978
4 Archipelago 8 50.0% 75.63 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 54 14.81% 76.35 0.0 94.44%
4 Leaf 10 60.0% 53.1 0.0 60.0%
4 Other 78 47.44% 65.45 18.899 83.33% 0.741 -0.3425
4 Snake 1 0.0% 29.0 1.477 0.0% -0.13 -0.4763
4 Thematic 1300 30.16% 57.01 -1.219 47.46% -0.299 -0.5616
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3425 48.09% 57.95 -1.61 61.96% -0.389 -0.472
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 77.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 21 0.0% 70.67 20.66 90.48% 0.282 -0.3693
5 Other 95 45.05% 66.65 0.867 69.47% -0.785 -1.0698
5 Thematic 12 75.0% 83.25 0.0 75.0%
6 Archipelago 7 14.29% 70.43 0.0 71.43%
6 Coastline 14 7.14% 70.29 14.789 92.86% 0.632 -0.169
6 Other 62 38.71% 56.24 7.7 56.45% 0.059 -0.1736
6 Star 35 42.86% 43.23 -0.651 31.43% -0.323 -0.3357
6 Thematic 74 37.84% 59.92 -2.106 48.65% -0.721 -0.3003
6 Two Centers (Default) 212 25.0% 59.46 -2.107 61.32% -1.541 -1.4369
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 52.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 5345 49.18 3.623 49.26% 0.635 0.8771
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4808 50.36 2.852 50.0% 0.327 0.25
All Things Weaken 3190 49.86 3.28 49.94% 0.522 0.9149
Attenuated Essence 119 39.98 0.023 36.13% -0.037 0.0701
Back Against the Wall 4507 48.43 3.035 46.46% 0.544 0.6013
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 152 40.95 1.032 41.45% 0.291 0.4923
Burn Brightest Before the End 102 49.61 4.73 52.94% 0.644 0.8541
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5297 44.43 0.105 42.55% 0.113 0.5368
Downward Spiral 6346 48.43 3.658 48.57% 0.759 0.9946
Erosion of Will 5341 46.5 1.111 43.62% 0.075 0.3842
Intensifying Exploitation 123 42.77 1.789 45.53% 0.428 0.7154
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1528 54.76 3.484 59.55% 0.493 -0.0009
Memory Fades to Dust 6302 47.7 3.96 46.59% 0.615 0.9519
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3168 48.92 2.622 49.4% 0.45 0.67
Promising Farmlands 5298 42.76 0.097 36.07% 0.015 0.4681
Shattered Fragments of Power 107 49.15 4.594 52.34% 0.613 0.6636
Slow Dissolution of Will 117 43.6 2.938 41.88% 0.512 0.9112
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 901 54.28 0.42 60.6% 0.334 -0.3764
The Border of Life and Death 34 38.76 -3.032 35.29% -0.413 -0.7479
Thriving Communities 3192 49.4 1.22 51.03% 0.127 0.4898
Thriving Crops 99 35.58 -1.173 25.25% -0.449 -0.6471
Tipping Point 1873 44.89 0.0 42.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 3250 50.5 6.339 49.26% 1.012 1.2268
Untended Land Crumbles 3122 47.58 0.193 46.32% 0.082 0.3634

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 22198 56.77% 49.72 -1.154 47.97% -0.472 0.2682
B 24161 56.17% 51.46 -0.109 52.15% -0.383 0.3425
C 30368 55.9% 53.48 1.124 55.88% -0.222 0.3598
D 21275 55.38% 50.31 -1.077 49.37% -0.436 0.2753
E 14556 54.03% 53.68 1.365 56.66% -0.119 0.4465
F 15583 55.15% 51.81 -0.169 52.69% -0.413 0.2577
G 12100 55.26% 50.28 -1.922 49.76% -0.599 0.0522
H 12870 54.39% 51.58 -0.605 51.88% -0.457 0.113
East 4361 39.84% 50.35 1.983 29.86% -0.63 -0.0914
Northeast 2828 40.1% 52.69 7.524 35.29% 0.606 1.2405
Northwest 2047 33.05% 51.76 -2.847 36.2% -0.684 0.1249
Southeast 582 48.8% 48.39 -1.243 27.84% -0.659 0.0468
Southwest 397 32.75% 49.61 -3.451 39.8% -1.027 -0.0374
West 3265 31.02% 49.03 -0.781 30.6% -0.731 0.1729

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 148 0.0% 56.71 13.658 56.08% 1.347 2.1227
Not Using Events or Tokens 1104 31.82% 46.59 0.0 20.02%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3135 15.13% 73.28 10.503 81.66% 1.236 0.6186
Start of Game Growth 6177 22.65% 69.75 6.44 77.98% 0.784 0.4358
Unlimited Undo 11382 47.84% 59.17 2.131 66.2% 0.544 0.5371
Using Tokens but Not Events 7520 42.92% 55.24 0.365 57.69% -0.255 -0.2649

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 38721 20.4 4.08%
II 47836 31.01 58.65%
III 26342 34.76 91.49%
IV 4273 38.07 99.67%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.036 Win Model: 0.475
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 88358 54.6% 49.75 48.21%
2 17385 60.87% 51.32 51.12%
3 6110 54.97% 53.24 55.11%
4 4840 42.73% 58.04 59.19%
5 84 31.25% 60.48 59.52%
6 395 29.62% 58.43 58.23%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1577
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 23609
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 27094
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4192
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1806
Lose: Invader deck ran out 86
Lose: Adversary condition 40567
Win: Sacrifice victory 351
Lose: Scenario condition 1148
Win: Scenario condition 1174
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14574
Lose: Spirit destroyed 994

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-12-12 04:02:30 (Pacific Time)