The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4447 30.64% 29.08 -1.741 75.96% -0.361 -0.7789
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 196 23.98% 23.86 -0.789 58.16% 0.246 -0.4105
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 23 30.43% 25.74 -11.057 73.91% -0.786 -0.944
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 117 29.91% 29.15 4.679 75.21% 1.062 0.2018
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2583 53.92% 25.48 -1.66 67.02% -0.399 -0.2614
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 181 28.18% 28.98 7.608 69.06% 0.782 -0.2479
Dances Up Earthquakes 180 32.4% 19.28 -5.007 48.89% -0.311 -0.3472
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2912 32.1% 28.27 1.985 77.99% 0.352 -0.0027
Downpour Drenches the World 747 27.05% 18.78 -3.64 45.52% -0.938 -0.8146
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 712 20.91% 23.93 2.481 62.22% 0.603 0.0322
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3523 23.94% 30.94 1.177 82.51% 0.232 -0.4145
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2831 27.94% 29.88 1.61 83.08% 0.419 -0.0752
Finder of Paths Unseen 307 34.1% 13.13 -4.258 30.29% -0.627 -0.0388
Fractured Days Split the Sky 797 33.33% 23.33 -0.887 54.45% 0.045 0.4921
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1117 40.64% 23.38 -3.034 59.8% -0.342 -0.5271
Heart of the Wildfire 3612 59.44% 25.02 -2.352 68.58% -0.404 -0.2615
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7449 28.58% 33.99 1.299 83.0% 0.357 -0.3168
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 245 26.64% 21.55 4.552 54.29% 0.801 0.273
Lightning's Swift Strike 3911 41.52% 29.25 0.711 75.94% 0.391 0.4232
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 237 39.74% 24.13 1.466 59.07% 0.393 -0.259
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 495 36.11% 28.55 0.239 76.97% 0.048 -0.4477
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 440 35.99% 26.02 2.736 67.05% 0.648 0.4088
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2039 35.91% 27.56 1.568 74.99% 0.449 0.0233
Many Minds Move as One 1325 26.65% 26.46 0.738 69.96% 0.258 -0.2513
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4633 41.08% 28.1 -0.603 74.08% -0.074 -0.3438
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 229 49.11% 19.85 0.611 51.97% 0.074 -0.0398
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2718 37.16% 26.7 -0.508 73.33% -0.19 -0.4841
River Surges in Sunlight 5991 30.9% 36.59 4.062 79.09% 0.744 0.5733
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 78 26.92% 18.86 -2.046 43.59% -0.404 -0.5155
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 700 46.05% 25.78 -2.683 59.86% -0.918 -0.9838
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 335 34.94% 24.76 -4.979 58.51% -1.02 -1.1499
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4124 28.23% 34.65 2.374 79.7% 0.369 0.1048
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 61 32.79% 22.31 7.069 60.66% 1.294 0.864
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2505 54.06% 26.83 -3.281 67.74% -0.901 -0.4725
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 120 34.48% 22.16 0.085 50.83% 0.094 0.0975
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 144 35.42% 29.13 1.495 72.92% 0.191 -0.5618
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 113 51.33% 23.63 6.644 61.95% 0.277 -0.0418
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 359 42.74% 27.09 -5.307 71.59% -0.212 -0.3909
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 269 51.13% 24.64 2.834 67.29% 0.383 0.3405
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4594 32.97% 31.51 0.195 78.91% 0.051 -0.3153
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 25 24.0% 24.0 1.367 60.0% 0.329 -0.2121
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 279 26.81% 22.36 2.721 59.14% 0.034 -0.2107
Shifting Memory of Ages 748 46.38% 20.26 -1.383 53.21% -0.449 -0.1544
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 150 25.33% 20.17 -0.622 51.33% 0.183 0.0198
Shroud of Silent Mist 943 50.0% 21.34 3.04 57.9% 0.445 0.6272
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 26 46.15% 18.73 -3.858 53.85% -0.633 -1.0432
Starlight Seeks its Form 1364 27.26% 24.21 -3.416 62.39% -0.684 -0.9262
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2012 35.38% 24.92 1.902 72.51% 0.63 -0.3219
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2356 36.63% 25.71 0.794 68.85% 0.364 0.4069
Thunderspeaker 5142 26.57% 37.99 0.562 84.31% -0.104 -0.2987
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 223 33.18% 21.22 -0.124 50.22% 0.012 -0.1568
Towering Roots of the Jungle 317 28.08% 18.4 -0.751 48.58% 0.198 0.0871
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1389 62.91% 20.18 -5.068 57.6% -0.598 -0.7483
Vital Strength of the Earth 3281 33.91% 25.23 -3.718 60.56% -0.538 -0.1793
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 240 30.47% 18.63 -0.188 45.83% -0.225 0.018
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 374 40.05% 19.5 -5.408 43.05% -0.73 -0.049
Volcano Looming High 1389 42.45% 22.23 -2.001 61.7% -0.371 -0.6952
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 377 23.87% 23.95 -0.253 62.6% -0.06 -0.5774

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 39 23.08% 23.82 0.0 56.41%
Blitz 0 807 37.72% 20.72 -1.012 54.89% -0.006 0.4252
Dahan Insurrection 4 811 26.08% 47.95 15.82 75.83% 0.527 0.5009
Despicable Theft 2 202 34.16% 23.9 2.153 46.53% -0.484 0.1758
Elemental Invocation 1 361 42.78% 17.88 -2.513 39.06% -0.439 0.0086
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1721 12.52% 32.59 1.737 77.75% 0.123 -0.4767
Powers Long Forgotten 1 2198 15.66% 48.61 4.849 85.71% 0.609 1.217
Rituals of Terror 3 526 42.97% 30.64 0.487 53.42% -0.058 0.0667
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 418 62.44% 26.94 -5.018 44.74% -1.073 -0.335
Second Wave 0 808 51.63% 26.58 5.263 56.68% 0.062 0.1683
The Great River 3 203 46.8% 20.59 -4.147 30.05% -1.34 -0.1657
Varied Terrains 2 140 45.0% 17.34 -9.885 32.86% -0.799 -0.0625
Ward the Shores 2 660 41.43% 24.46 -2.38 35.91% -0.651 0.0311

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 35195 41.6% 25.91 1.398 70.24% 0.965 1.1891
1 Thematic 4321 39.8% 28.58 -2.396 58.09% 0.047 0.5969
2 Archipelago 28 46.43% 29.75 0.0 53.57%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8328 38.62% 26.31 -0.702 73.43% 0.199 0.3104
2 Coastline 725 39.7% 25.82 0.106 72.14% 0.152 0.0623
2 Fragment 195 47.18% 26.08 5.102 73.85% 0.98 0.6418
2 Heart 99 46.39% 25.7 5.69 76.77% 0.185 -0.1418
2 Opposite Shores 1074 41.2% 27.09 -4.677 79.14% -0.684 -0.6472
2 Thematic 1074 39.68% 29.02 -4.639 60.8% -0.478 0.0508
2 Top to Top 145 35.92% 27.26 -8.647 80.0% -0.311 -0.5177
3 Archipelago 13 30.77% 41.54 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 32 43.75% 29.28 0.0 56.25%
3 Other 84 34.52% 26.56 0.0 79.76%
3 Round (Default) 2857 34.22% 27.27 -0.383 76.93% 0.159 0.0627
3 Sunrise 17 11.76% 29.65 0.0 88.24%
3 Thematic 195 41.54% 32.09 -10.869 64.1% -0.65 -0.4076
4 Archipelago 8 25.0% 27.38 0.0 62.5%
4 Coastline 5 60.0% 22.6 0.0 60.0%
4 Leaf 8 50.0% 31.88 0.0 87.5%
4 Other 49 34.69% 28.57 0.0 85.71%
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 1913 4.6% 56.73 3.993 96.65% 0.16 0.6332
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1693 28.44% 23.88 -1.571 66.21% -0.577 -0.7662
5 Archipelago 8 37.5% 34.25 0.0 87.5%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 38 31.58% 21.39 7.914 60.53% 0.72 0.3936
5 Thematic 14 30.77% 28.07 0.0 57.14%
6 Archipelago 2 50.0% 31.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 3 33.33% 27.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 6 33.33% 28.83 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 11 9.09% 26.45 7.842 81.82% 0.087 0.8826
6 Thematic 36 19.44% 29.47 6.997 55.56% 0.107 0.6872
6 Two Centers (Default) 116 20.0% 21.4 -0.589 54.31% -0.259 -0.2823
7 Other 3 0.0% 17.33 -8.935 33.33% -0.445 -0.7009

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1959 22.05 -3.226 57.94% -0.757 -0.4463
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1639 22.71 2.336 56.31% 0.383 0.3957
All Things Weaken 886 20.82 1.725 52.48% -0.015 0.4593
Attenuated Essence 172 21.42 8.442 58.14% 1.168 1.3142
Back Against the Wall 1645 22.63 1.101 56.47% -0.073 0.0568
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 161 20.2 2.809 49.69% 0.869 1.1889
Burn Brightest Before the End 114 22.82 1.298 57.02% 0.331 0.5075
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1781 18.81 3.11 51.66% 0.667 1.0474
Downward Spiral 2682 21.36 2.204 60.66% 1.277 1.4702
Erosion of Will 1879 21.62 -2.31 56.15% -0.312 0.0261
Intensifying Exploitation 160 17.79 -1.172 43.75% -0.598 -0.2454
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 423 26.98 -7.47 79.91% -0.886 -1.2489
Memory Fades to Dust 2568 21.02 -1.409 56.74% -0.149 0.1806
Power Corrodes the Spirit 898 21.23 -1.955 57.46% -0.349 -0.0825
Promising Farmlands 1829 19.41 0.468 50.74% 0.135 0.5825
Shattered Fragments of Power 126 20.57 -2.121 47.62% -0.434 -0.4342
Slow Dissolution of Will 168 19.6 -2.035 47.62% 0.043 0.4538
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 271 27.85 3.672 83.39% 0.812 0.2529
The Border of Life and Death 50 21.92 -9.91 58.0% -0.269 -0.5142
Thriving Communities 839 19.48 0.197 51.13% 0.113 0.3911
Thriving Crops 84 20.0 9.495 47.62% 0.483 0.3877
Tipping Point 625 20.24 0.0 53.6%
Unnatural Proliferation 885 21.85 4.215 53.9% 0.426 0.6304
Untended Land Crumbles 786 20.7 -0.01 56.11% -0.257 0.0428

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11675 39.86% 26.02 -1.846 71.42% -0.503 0.4881
B 12238 39.1% 26.24 0.577 72.47% 0.129 0.9941
C 12249 38.19% 26.56 0.567 73.33% 0.067 0.819
D 11489 38.39% 26.41 -0.767 72.77% -0.217 0.7278
E 5202 36.9% 25.16 0.436 68.57% 0.035 0.7901
F 7332 38.28% 25.49 0.031 70.23% -0.239 0.6358
G 6789 38.72% 25.27 -0.235 69.92% -0.045 0.8176
H 6720 37.03% 25.65 -0.172 71.03% 0.016 0.8234
East 5272 26.69% 39.84 0.255 74.05% -0.764 -0.0185
Northeast 3698 21.8% 44.1 0.535 80.07% -0.061 0.8327
Northwest 3146 17.9% 45.95 4.274 82.93% 0.328 1.0708
Southeast 636 34.38% 27.0 -2.182 55.5% -0.894 0.1145
Southwest 671 39.1% 22.49 4.937 50.37% 0.484 1.6406
West 4843 25.78% 39.06 -0.432 72.43% -0.671 0.3113

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 205 0.0% 29.37 -6.9 77.07% -0.859 -0.1396
Not Using Events or Tokens 800 48.97% 26.49 -1.346 70.63% -0.075 0.4
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2457 3.7% 52.72 7.473 94.51% 0.718 -0.0869
Start of Game Growth 2939 7.38% 48.89 3.045 91.49% 0.184 -0.3828
Unlimited Undo 3225 30.52% 27.8 -0.813 73.95% -0.341 -0.3139
Using Tokens but Not Events 5720 33.9% 27.89 2.633 75.84% 0.526 0.4991

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11046 12.25 20.69%
II 18044 29.91 67.99%
III 20037 34.94 88.21%
IV 9200 38.9 99.05%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.249 Win Model: 0.476
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 39892 41.39% 26.12 68.56%
2 11432 39.3% 26.91 73.98%
3 3123 34.44% 27.64 76.66%
4 3655 15.94% 41.14 82.46%
5 49 30.61% 22.63 57.14%
6 174 19.65% 24.02 56.9%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2277
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 17187
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11549
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9028
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5540
Lose: Invader deck ran out 301
Lose: Adversary condition 3464
Win: Sacrifice victory 216
Lose: Scenario condition 407
Win: Scenario condition 1084
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6919
Lose: Spirit destroyed 355

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2741 44.63% 29.14 0.857 67.49% 0.556 0.1383
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 125 36.0% 23.58 2.822 49.6% 0.499 -0.1568
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 29 34.48% 24.34 -0.216 62.07% 0.01 -0.1472
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 119 29.41% 28.03 1.643 64.71% 0.377 -0.4835
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1776 60.56% 26.43 -2.946 56.59% -0.485 -0.3471
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 115 34.78% 38.1 -6.488 79.13% -0.419 -1.4484
Dances Up Earthquakes 123 46.34% 21.2 -0.229 43.9% -0.161 -0.1971
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2080 48.16% 26.69 2.694 62.74% 0.693 0.3384
Downpour Drenches the World 518 36.88% 20.53 -2.011 45.56% -0.191 -0.0675
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 658 30.19% 24.93 2.202 59.88% 0.571 -0.0001
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2494 36.55% 33.1 3.76 76.3% 0.421 -0.2247
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2013 44.0% 31.66 1.375 75.16% 0.416 -0.0782
Finder of Paths Unseen 223 43.5% 11.51 -7.622 17.49% -0.987 -0.3983
Fractured Days Split the Sky 490 44.69% 22.1 -2.609 43.67% -0.469 -0.0224
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 838 55.86% 23.71 -2.02 51.79% -0.428 -0.613
Heart of the Wildfire 2276 76.39% 22.36 1.725 49.3% 0.286 0.4284
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4299 51.51% 28.73 2.169 69.88% 0.65 -0.024
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 245 41.63% 24.04 1.593 48.98% 0.48 -0.0481
Lightning's Swift Strike 2316 62.11% 27.25 -3.602 60.88% -0.817 -0.7841
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 198 51.52% 23.56 -0.523 54.04% -0.45 -1.1026
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 312 43.09% 30.84 -5.014 71.79% -0.699 -1.1941
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 300 40.4% 30.06 -3.016 62.0% -0.213 -0.4527
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1713 51.78% 28.72 2.883 67.37% 0.707 0.2813
Many Minds Move as One 1059 36.49% 29.29 0.064 69.03% -0.015 -0.5244
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3138 55.99% 28.8 2.31 64.69% 0.73 0.4607
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 188 69.15% 19.78 1.441 48.94% 0.463 0.3493
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2023 51.91% 27.17 0.702 62.73% 0.393 0.0995
River Surges in Sunlight 3067 55.49% 29.53 1.63 59.6% 0.117 -0.054
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 89 53.93% 19.81 -2.757 38.2% 0.142 0.0306
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 428 57.01% 24.34 -2.0 47.66% -0.208 -0.2732
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 295 46.94% 21.57 -3.351 41.02% -0.22 -0.35
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2033 51.38% 28.14 0.667 64.04% 0.205 -0.0589
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 55 36.36% 21.84 3.71 52.73% 0.782 0.3517
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1418 73.48% 22.96 -5.01 45.06% -0.958 -0.5293
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 75 60.56% 20.52 0.0 42.67%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 172 60.82% 25.86 1.527 57.56% 0.146 -0.607
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 85 47.06% 21.11 -5.323 45.88% -0.793 -1.1119
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 252 55.56% 23.61 5.852 50.4% 0.52 0.3417
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 170 68.05% 26.5 0.0 55.88%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2767 51.13% 28.32 0.727 65.34% 0.537 0.1706
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 18 50.0% 28.61 3.217 72.22% 0.542 0.0016
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 276 41.38% 24.49 -0.341 56.88% -0.013 -0.2577
Shifting Memory of Ages 612 55.72% 21.97 -5.905 48.37% -0.602 -0.3079
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 105 42.86% 19.94 -6.596 40.95% -0.707 -0.8707
Shroud of Silent Mist 627 69.39% 20.52 7.883 45.14% 0.667 0.8491
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 18 22.22% 18.11 -5.849 38.89% -0.703 -1.1131
Starlight Seeks its Form 900 40.77% 25.69 -3.687 58.56% -0.655 -0.8973
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1321 43.38% 26.32 1.152 66.77% 0.807 -0.1455
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1609 52.41% 25.08 -4.651 55.0% -0.866 -0.8232
Thunderspeaker 2571 52.42% 29.16 4.322 64.14% 0.823 0.6277
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 171 49.12% 19.22 7.337 38.6% 0.423 0.2546
Towering Roots of the Jungle 252 51.2% 18.38 -0.59 41.67% -0.006 -0.117
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1036 71.35% 20.46 -2.467 45.08% -0.203 -0.3533
Vital Strength of the Earth 2073 52.27% 23.82 -2.474 44.96% -0.53 -0.1718
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 171 46.75% 18.99 3.233 35.67% 0.021 0.2641
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 277 45.49% 19.32 -3.847 30.69% -0.68 0.001
Volcano Looming High 951 59.33% 22.93 -1.107 54.05% -0.43 -0.754
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 271 41.33% 24.38 2.805 53.51% 0.298 -0.2201

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 49 26.53% 17.18 -10.342 30.61% -0.615 -0.2448
Blitz 0 779 45.69% 21.45 -6.047 48.14% -1.205 -0.7738
Dahan Insurrection 4 522 40.8% 44.74 0.74 61.11% -0.591 -0.6171
Despicable Theft 2 178 39.89% 24.28 -0.863 42.13% -0.365 0.2943
Elemental Invocation 1 222 50.45% 17.5 -3.703 29.28% -0.28 0.1676
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1395 21.97% 32.67 4.9 69.53% 0.438 -0.1612
Powers Long Forgotten 1 602 56.15% 25.2 4.469 45.51% 0.408 1.0166
Rituals of Terror 3 296 61.82% 32.03 -1.171 42.57% -0.757 -0.6328
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 250 72.4% 27.99 -2.03 37.6% -0.113 0.6254
Second Wave 0 1889 56.15% 29.15 2.793 58.76% 0.319 0.4252
The Great River 3 137 58.39% 18.74 -11.629 18.25% -0.5 0.6746
Varied Terrains 2 125 46.4% 16.87 4.288 22.4% -0.193 0.5434
Ward the Shores 2 500 45.4% 23.79 -3.581 27.6% -0.855 -0.1722

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 23115 52.09% 25.45 0.494 58.52% 0.429 0.6531
1 Thematic 3360 51.18% 29.76 -0.373 52.47% -0.425 0.1254
2 Archipelago 24 54.17% 33.58 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5666 54.09% 26.31 -1.411 61.67% -0.213 -0.1023
2 Coastline 566 51.69% 26.83 5.771 64.66% 0.868 0.7784
2 Fragment 202 62.69% 26.29 1.538 60.4% 0.4 0.0618
2 Heart 85 64.29% 25.06 5.051 56.47% 0.305 -0.0222
2 Opposite Shores 980 55.85% 27.09 3.797 64.59% 0.958 0.9945
2 Thematic 1485 47.61% 26.69 -3.522 49.02% -0.429 0.0997
2 Top to Top 144 62.5% 28.3 0.0 70.83%
3 Archipelago 16 68.75% 33.31 3.247 37.5% -0.125 -0.0247
3 Coastline 21 61.9% 27.57 0.0 52.38%
3 Other 71 53.52% 31.7 8.324 78.87% -0.137 -0.8788
3 Round (Default) 2035 52.3% 28.0 -2.693 66.44% -1.013 -1.1089
3 Sunrise 17 64.71% 26.88 0.0 76.47%
3 Thematic 209 54.07% 26.57 -4.48 48.33% -0.398 -0.1558
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 37.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 38.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 32.4 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 34 64.71% 29.59 0.0 67.65%
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 239 49.58% 36.64 10.35 69.46% 0.719 1.1919
4 Trapezoid (Default) 715 51.06% 29.33 -1.314 67.69% -0.949 -1.1383
5 Archipelago 4 50.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 52 63.27% 26.37 9.713 50.0% 0.428 0.101
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 14.75 0.0 25.0%
6 Archipelago 4 75.0% 22.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 7 42.86% 25.14 0.0 57.14%
6 Star 6 50.0% 24.5 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 52 29.41% 33.87 -10.341 57.69% -0.324 0.2561
6 Two Centers (Default) 53 35.85% 26.68 9.737 56.6% 0.096 0.0724
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 3 0.0% 17.0 0.0 33.33%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1757 23.82 -3.45 50.6% -0.899 -0.5886
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1402 25.03 2.9 51.0% 0.425 0.4386
All Things Weaken 829 22.39 -0.896 47.65% -0.046 0.428
Attenuated Essence 184 21.1 10.991 42.93% 0.931 1.0777
Back Against the Wall 1375 24.54 4.105 50.91% 0.597 0.7264
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 166 21.08 2.221 42.77% 0.128 0.4476
Burn Brightest Before the End 132 23.73 -0.746 48.48% 0.05 0.2274
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1546 20.24 -0.621 44.63% -0.525 -0.1445
Downward Spiral 2331 22.62 -2.672 52.51% -0.755 -0.5617
Erosion of Will 1698 23.0 1.151 47.35% -0.033 0.3049
Intensifying Exploitation 166 21.99 4.786 48.8% 0.841 1.1933
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 320 30.09 6.07 76.88% 0.433 0.0702
Memory Fades to Dust 2339 22.46 -1.442 49.55% -0.349 -0.0196
Power Corrodes the Spirit 804 21.72 -0.369 47.64% -0.177 0.0895
Promising Farmlands 1692 20.97 -6.419 43.32% -0.939 -0.4916
Shattered Fragments of Power 158 24.25 -1.219 48.73% -0.528 -0.528
Slow Dissolution of Will 173 19.85 -2.565 39.88% -0.859 -0.4479
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 190 30.04 7.265 73.16% 0.514 -0.0444
The Border of Life and Death 47 26.62 5.216 63.83% 0.244 -0.0011
Thriving Communities 823 21.02 -3.369 42.28% -0.695 -0.4173
Thriving Crops 85 17.4 -2.326 27.06% -0.755 -0.8499
Tipping Point 530 23.35 0.0 49.43%
Unnatural Proliferation 893 23.63 -2.376 47.7% -0.724 -0.5197
Untended Land Crumbles 792 21.86 -0.644 48.11% 0.238 0.537

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7649 54.26% 25.95 -0.737 59.86% -0.102 0.89
B 7982 53.71% 26.76 1.466 62.64% 0.352 1.2169
C 8001 52.34% 27.07 -0.902 63.49% -0.217 0.5347
D 7552 53.7% 26.6 -1.202 61.69% -0.33 0.615
E 3765 50.39% 25.46 -0.387 58.25% -0.136 0.6189
F 4847 53.31% 25.91 1.711 60.33% 0.453 1.327
G 4439 52.39% 25.95 -0.561 59.56% -0.167 0.6953
H 4548 50.86% 26.62 1.502 62.05% 0.096 0.9027
East 3495 48.95% 29.82 2.089 53.48% 0.284 1.0293
Northeast 1769 50.11% 30.87 -3.085 56.25% -1.024 -0.1304
Northwest 1444 48.33% 30.72 0.536 57.48% -0.104 0.6396
Southeast 595 41.46% 27.03 0.161 48.24% -0.059 0.9496
Southwest 576 44.6% 23.23 -1.781 44.44% -0.337 0.8202
West 3259 50.17% 28.09 1.634 50.87% -0.31 0.6728

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 153 0.0% 30.64 9.796 66.67% 0.623 1.3433
Not Using Events or Tokens 417 61.82% 25.52 -13.538 56.35% -0.411 0.0632
Skip Initial Invader Actions 630 17.86% 41.82 4.692 83.33% 0.517 -0.2877
Start of Game Growth 877 19.63% 39.95 1.15 82.1% 0.081 -0.4853
Unlimited Undo 2867 44.25% 27.01 -0.733 62.16% -0.364 -0.3367
Using Tokens but Not Events 3750 49.2% 27.28 2.814 63.52% 0.925 0.8973

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8304 12.25 4.41%
II 10680 29.91 44.84%
III 12975 34.94 83.14%
IV 7245 38.9 99.19%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.261 Win Model: 0.374
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 26757 51.88% 25.88 57.4%
2 8985 53.95% 26.84 61.07%
3 2293 52.43% 28.19 65.81%
4 999 51.11% 30.97 68.07%
5 48 62.22% 26.52 54.17%
6 122 33.88% 29.25 55.74%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 365
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10502
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4456
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7116
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4798
Lose: Invader deck ran out 140
Lose: Adversary condition 3157
Win: Sacrifice victory 142
Lose: Scenario condition 369
Win: Scenario condition 548
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7231
Lose: Spirit destroyed 380

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5009 34.09% 34.21 -0.062 52.21% 0.027 -0.3905
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 308 31.49% 29.02 0.423 41.56% -0.308 -0.9643
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 50 42.0% 32.74 -2.17 48.0% -0.462 -0.6201
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 246 29.27% 35.39 0.155 62.6% 0.199 -0.6617
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2612 49.77% 29.51 -1.438 38.44% -0.476 -0.3382
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 281 31.32% 36.31 7.91 58.72% 0.657 -0.3726
Dances Up Earthquakes 286 42.66% 23.8 0.085 31.82% 0.084 0.0479
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3184 37.37% 31.88 -1.53 49.4% -0.27 -0.6241
Downpour Drenches the World 963 30.87% 23.88 -4.495 28.45% -1.324 -1.2006
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1298 29.2% 35.06 1.217 61.4% 0.394 -0.1771
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4205 29.55% 37.37 4.045 59.74% 0.701 0.0552
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2612 37.84% 31.84 -2.911 46.06% -0.88 -1.3743
Finder of Paths Unseen 366 37.43% 19.48 1.799 22.13% 0.467 1.0556
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1010 37.56% 31.57 3.297 41.98% 0.445 0.892
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1782 48.6% 33.35 6.106 51.4% 1.028 0.8424
Heart of the Wildfire 4681 65.87% 31.93 -0.537 53.15% 0.006 0.1488
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7780 42.09% 34.95 3.721 58.87% 0.829 0.1551
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 442 36.9% 36.18 2.848 60.86% 0.501 -0.0265
Lightning's Swift Strike 3499 47.89% 34.97 0.434 57.07% -0.051 -0.0182
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 355 45.14% 38.3 -7.108 68.17% -0.582 -1.2341
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 893 41.91% 40.03 3.225 68.65% 0.188 -0.3079
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 724 33.84% 39.19 2.96 61.88% 0.355 0.1152
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3429 40.46% 35.78 1.99 61.15% 0.486 0.0605
Many Minds Move as One 1613 34.29% 33.78 -5.241 53.63% -0.7 -1.2091
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5876 44.28% 33.28 -1.425 49.9% -0.113 -0.3828
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 687 53.46% 27.16 -3.796 44.98% -0.659 -0.7731
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3148 38.35% 33.65 3.42 53.56% 0.57 0.276
River Surges in Sunlight 6290 40.41% 36.47 2.735 49.78% -0.015 -0.1854
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 161 35.85% 24.57 -8.625 32.92% -0.69 -0.8012
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 810 45.23% 28.76 2.49 36.05% 0.471 0.4057
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 754 37.79% 35.32 -0.004 49.47% -0.228 -0.3581
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4286 39.03% 29.6 1.306 38.96% 0.137 -0.1278
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 91 37.36% 30.49 5.912 49.45% 0.477 0.0464
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1886 59.99% 27.23 -8.347 33.46% -1.362 -0.9336
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 136 45.93% 24.51 3.156 35.29% 0.069 0.0729
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 336 47.59% 32.28 0.505 54.76% 0.124 -0.6288
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 153 50.33% 27.58 -2.354 39.22% -0.555 -0.8742
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 638 47.02% 31.71 4.57 44.36% 0.343 0.1645
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 256 58.98% 28.29 -5.195 37.89% -0.523 -0.5655
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4669 39.54% 36.54 -0.903 61.88% 0.101 -0.2649
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 43 58.14% 32.02 3.991 55.81% 0.815 0.2744
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 408 35.5% 31.77 5.13 52.7% 0.766 0.5216
Shifting Memory of Ages 1084 48.34% 26.34 -1.645 34.23% -0.258 0.0366
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 218 35.32% 26.07 -9.864 42.66% -0.208 -0.3715
Shroud of Silent Mist 1066 58.12% 24.68 -6.771 33.11% -0.416 -0.234
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 57 38.6% 31.25 -1.406 56.14% -0.011 -0.4205
Starlight Seeks its Form 1583 37.8% 27.12 1.4 35.94% 0.499 0.257
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2712 33.64% 31.34 3.1 50.74% 0.609 -0.3433
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2679 38.97% 36.24 1.441 59.95% -0.031 0.0113
Thunderspeaker 4343 42.68% 36.34 -0.157 56.78% -0.113 -0.3079
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 244 48.77% 30.57 5.324 49.18% 0.9 0.732
Towering Roots of the Jungle 386 44.3% 25.03 -1.978 37.31% -0.352 -0.4631
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1926 64.6% 25.87 0.577 37.95% 0.351 0.1997
Vital Strength of the Earth 3079 37.74% 25.43 -5.018 26.53% -1.42 -1.0617
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 315 37.9% 28.64 -1.453 39.68% -0.453 -0.2102
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 375 34.49% 24.02 -2.474 26.93% 0.205 0.8866
Volcano Looming High 1816 47.91% 31.51 0.889 53.52% 0.262 -0.0624
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 881 38.48% 30.21 -1.291 45.4% -0.496 -1.0138

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 59 33.9% 29.0 0.0 35.59%
Blitz 0 952 34.17% 19.43 -5.148 16.07% -0.688 -0.2567
Dahan Insurrection 4 1425 22.67% 52.28 10.044 59.65% 0.519 0.4935
Despicable Theft 2 183 49.18% 28.35 -16.163 30.05% -0.756 -0.0965
Elemental Invocation 1 246 40.65% 25.47 0.189 32.93% 0.038 0.4859
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1931 18.69% 39.68 3.123 64.11% 0.409 -0.1907
Powers Long Forgotten 1 487 48.25% 30.81 -6.088 37.37% -0.705 -0.0969
Rituals of Terror 3 264 46.59% 38.73 4.087 42.8% -0.453 -0.3285
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 127 61.9% 29.64 0.0 27.56%
Second Wave 0 1176 42.16% 31.91 2.584 38.18% -0.029 0.0775
The Great River 3 93 18.48% 18.66 -12.584 5.38% -0.456 0.7189
Varied Terrains 2 98 38.78% 20.1 -4.076 20.41% -0.33 0.407
Ward the Shores 2 509 43.42% 33.52 15.014 32.81% 0.482 1.1643

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 40866 43.72% 31.28 -0.629 47.86% -0.223 0.0014
1 Thematic 1641 38.34% 33.46 -3.154 35.83% -0.461 0.0888
2 Archipelago 38 71.05% 33.32 0.0 34.21%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10275 44.91% 32.29 -0.103 52.14% -0.153 -0.0414
2 Coastline 1117 45.46% 31.13 4.227 48.43% 0.991 0.9016
2 Fragment 261 57.09% 28.79 4.153 42.91% 0.34 0.0011
2 Heart 103 62.14% 28.33 4.711 40.78% 0.29 -0.0375
2 Opposite Shores 2213 47.66% 32.08 0.641 49.16% -0.226 -0.1898
2 Thematic 1024 37.15% 27.98 -4.598 25.68% -0.311 0.2175
2 Top to Top 296 54.39% 34.34 3.029 57.09% 0.529 0.3224
3 Archipelago 20 60.0% 39.95 -0.188 50.0% -0.182 -0.0816
3 Coastline 18 23.53% 27.33 -12.584 44.44% -0.456 -0.9769
3 Other 119 38.66% 30.47 -1.104 48.74% -0.103 -0.8448
3 Round (Default) 4617 41.22% 34.42 2.507 54.28% 0.06 -0.0359
3 Sunrise 14 28.57% 39.5 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 163 36.81% 37.82 0.0 39.88%
4 Archipelago 6 33.33% 45.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 3 100.0% 11.33 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 26 57.69% 38.23 0.0 65.38%
4 Other 100 28.0% 27.19 9.028 48.0% 0.331 -0.2161
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 24.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 775 15.1% 47.75 6.054 64.52% 0.533 1.0064
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1788 40.21% 35.4 -3.243 57.16% -0.935 -1.1238
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 31.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 93 54.84% 36.22 0.0 50.54%
5 Thematic 15 13.33% 45.47 0.0 46.67%
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 32.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 16 18.75% 46.19 0.0 81.25%
6 Star 7 28.57% 38.71 0.0 57.14%
6 Thematic 218 19.07% 31.13 -1.469 38.53% -0.227 0.3537
6 Two Centers (Default) 93 38.71% 33.45 9.895 55.91% 0.387 0.3639
7 Other 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2346 30.38 0.95 48.29% 0.268 0.5786
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2025 32.36 1.99 50.67% 0.168 0.1808
All Things Weaken 1248 29.34 -0.078 44.23% -0.099 0.3744
Attenuated Essence 247 27.85 -7.585 43.32% -0.662 -0.5157
Back Against the Wall 1886 31.42 -0.559 48.25% -0.129 0.0006
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 260 29.06 -1.254 43.46% 0.157 0.4774
Burn Brightest Before the End 239 29.57 -4.168 37.66% -0.857 -0.6799
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2326 26.59 3.285 41.62% 0.814 1.194
Downward Spiral 2703 29.42 0.59 47.54% 0.291 0.4847
Erosion of Will 2249 29.26 1.965 44.55% 0.477 0.8152
Intensifying Exploitation 303 28.24 -3.996 45.54% -0.651 -0.2984
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 653 32.37 3.061 52.99% 0.381 0.0181
Memory Fades to Dust 2857 28.85 0.257 44.07% 0.164 0.4929
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1184 28.94 3.741 44.85% 0.843 1.1098
Promising Farmlands 2358 26.17 -1.965 35.28% -0.363 0.0849
Shattered Fragments of Power 248 30.1 1.972 44.35% 0.303 0.3025
Slow Dissolution of Will 292 27.51 3.985 37.67% 0.489 0.9004
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 348 32.83 -1.06 56.03% -0.093 -0.6515
The Border of Life and Death 98 33.49 -2.323 56.12% -0.03 -0.2756
Thriving Communities 1239 28.56 -4.0 45.36% 0.21 0.4875
Thriving Crops 196 23.62 -1.551 28.06% -0.192 -0.2876
Tipping Point 791 27.05 0.0 39.19%
Unnatural Proliferation 1157 30.01 -0.979 43.91% -0.079 0.1256
Untended Land Crumbles 1212 27.86 1.202 42.49% 0.159 0.4586

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14420 44.71% 31.89 1.576 49.09% 0.311 1.3027
B 15261 44.02% 32.74 0.251 51.88% 0.075 0.9405
C 16107 42.38% 32.8 0.559 51.55% 0.162 0.9134
D 13869 45.39% 31.82 -1.987 49.14% -0.35 0.595
E 7742 42.2% 32.81 1.673 52.47% 0.141 0.8956
F 9071 43.24% 32.32 -0.13 50.5% 0.032 0.906
G 8145 43.75% 32.04 -0.458 49.92% -0.158 0.704
H 8294 42.92% 32.56 2.564 51.31% 0.484 1.2911
East 2870 30.62% 36.18 -1.121 41.32% -0.314 0.4319
Northeast 1911 28.8% 37.92 -2.136 45.74% -0.469 0.4244
Northwest 1654 26.3% 38.62 -0.803 48.07% 0.268 1.0116
Southeast 530 24.29% 33.73 1.081 40.0% 0.12 1.1283
Southwest 517 26.07% 31.12 -1.286 37.72% -0.224 0.9324
West 2714 29.23% 35.56 3.179 40.64% 0.306 1.2887

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 137 0.0% 39.23 -5.472 63.5% -0.946 -0.2263
Not Using Events or Tokens 293 37.68% 26.45 0.0 26.62%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 694 14.1% 49.92 1.153 77.23% -0.039 -0.8439
Start of Game Growth 1580 22.59% 43.65 3.569 68.54% 0.243 -0.324
Unlimited Undo 4620 36.71% 33.65 2.412 53.9% 0.337 0.3643
Using Tokens but Not Events 4347 37.05% 32.3 1.046 49.18% 0.273 0.2459

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 18561 12.25 3.0%
II 24210 29.91 43.11%
III 16688 34.94 88.31%
IV 6523 38.9 99.29%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.526 Win Model: 0.108
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 42795 43.51% 31.32 47.26%
2 15182 45.5% 31.97 49.8%
3 4889 40.71% 34.51 53.96%
4 2695 32.77% 38.75 59.04%
5 112 34.82% 26.97 35.71%
6 309 27.12% 35.32 50.49%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 554
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14358
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9507
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6441
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5080
Lose: Invader deck ran out 48
Lose: Adversary condition 21696
Win: Sacrifice victory 140
Lose: Scenario condition 472
Win: Scenario condition 1209
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6070
Lose: Spirit destroyed 407

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4149 44.17% 37.63 -0.102 47.29% 0.115 -0.3025
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 472 49.58% 47.46 1.419 56.57% -0.099 -0.7556
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 50 38.0% 31.2 -3.277 38.0% -0.091 -0.2483
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 356 45.51% 36.82 1.173 49.44% 0.203 -0.6576
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2094 60.67% 31.46 0.531 31.47% 0.073 0.2103
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 305 48.85% 35.44 -2.552 46.23% 0.056 -0.9733
Dances Up Earthquakes 271 51.29% 27.31 -3.033 32.1% -0.803 -0.8395
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2596 48.78% 36.77 2.022 46.88% 0.491 0.1366
Downpour Drenches the World 937 40.06% 27.2 -5.764 26.79% -1.475 -1.3509
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1340 38.83% 38.24 3.55 53.51% 0.463 -0.1078
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3446 43.16% 41.1 1.467 54.79% 0.09 -0.5563
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2157 49.16% 36.09 -2.752 42.7% -0.688 -1.1815
Finder of Paths Unseen 381 48.68% 25.03 -2.691 25.46% -0.531 0.0575
Fractured Days Split the Sky 975 47.18% 36.27 -0.117 39.9% -0.402 0.0443
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1532 59.2% 38.82 -1.019 52.55% 0.041 -0.1441
Heart of the Wildfire 3685 77.87% 31.67 -3.038 39.89% -0.42 -0.2773
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10479 52.37% 40.46 3.805 54.3% 0.935 0.2603
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 435 42.07% 35.34 2.869 50.57% 0.786 0.2581
Lightning's Swift Strike 3010 58.82% 37.24 -0.627 48.04% 0.001 0.0341
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 515 64.37% 39.15 2.879 56.31% 0.413 -0.2397
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 856 52.28% 44.47 7.013 63.67% 0.893 0.3974
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 663 46.15% 40.98 2.786 55.2% 0.69 0.4506
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3104 58.07% 36.69 -0.066 49.32% -0.121 -0.5472
Many Minds Move as One 1303 42.31% 38.23 -3.898 51.11% -0.25 -0.7592
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5259 54.34% 37.07 -0.232 47.02% 0.081 -0.1882
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 631 67.41% 33.94 0.367 42.47% 0.313 0.1988
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2992 50.97% 36.73 1.362 47.03% -0.124 -0.4177
River Surges in Sunlight 5081 50.96% 38.59 -2.265 44.56% -0.244 -0.4152
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 208 53.85% 33.45 6.259 37.02% 0.562 0.451
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 649 50.93% 31.05 -0.857 30.66% -0.234 -0.299
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 715 49.58% 36.95 -5.319 46.01% -1.053 -1.1837
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3886 48.75% 34.53 2.303 38.78% 0.309 0.0449
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 165 55.15% 40.19 8.263 50.3% 0.937 0.5068
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1479 70.87% 30.73 -9.265 29.34% -0.759 -0.3303
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 105 64.76% 24.84 0.0 27.62%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 312 65.57% 35.62 11.994 48.72% 0.284 -0.4691
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 148 61.49% 29.71 -6.429 33.11% -1.215 -1.5336
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 445 62.47% 33.66 14.546 37.53% 0.756 0.5775
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 195 66.84% 29.07 10.667 28.21% 1.079 1.0358
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4697 50.67% 40.99 0.736 56.8% -0.231 -0.5969
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 53 62.26% 40.77 5.943 58.49% 0.637 0.0964
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 465 43.84% 30.18 6.36 41.08% 0.652 0.4074
Shifting Memory of Ages 942 61.25% 30.43 -3.205 33.12% -0.757 -0.4626
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 279 51.97% 40.91 8.699 54.12% 1.374 1.211
Shroud of Silent Mist 935 64.17% 25.86 -1.101 24.71% -0.715 -0.5329
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 60 73.33% 33.73 3.969 46.67% 0.544 0.1336
Starlight Seeks its Form 1789 47.71% 33.4 5.644 39.74% 0.561 0.3191
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2594 48.52% 35.96 -2.034 47.53% -0.071 -1.0233
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2076 54.31% 39.65 3.558 53.23% 0.239 0.2811
Thunderspeaker 4024 55.68% 38.94 -0.805 48.83% -0.234 -0.4296
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 217 56.22% 30.51 -1.841 40.55% 0.141 -0.0275
Towering Roots of the Jungle 409 47.92% 28.48 3.496 34.47% 0.188 0.0767
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1912 77.62% 31.51 -4.2 37.55% -0.324 -0.475
Vital Strength of the Earth 2503 49.96% 29.87 -5.112 27.17% -0.512 -0.1535
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 421 43.41% 30.86 -1.11 30.17% -1.183 -0.9398
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 314 49.04% 25.8 -12.907 21.02% -0.993 -0.312
Volcano Looming High 1888 62.55% 34.19 2.12 46.56% 0.334 0.0095
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 738 49.18% 33.05 -2.986 39.7% -0.692 -1.2094

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 23 56.52% 31.91 0.0 47.83%
Blitz 0 550 29.33% 32.28 3.319 27.09% 0.132 0.5635
Dahan Insurrection 4 668 40.72% 49.74 11.489 42.07% 0.951 0.9248
Despicable Theft 2 56 41.07% 34.16 -12.61 39.29% -0.132 0.5274
Elemental Invocation 1 170 48.24% 32.42 6.186 40.0% 0.193 0.6408
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1887 21.5% 48.28 13.594 68.26% 1.774 1.1748
Powers Long Forgotten 1 259 60.62% 34.52 -4.323 35.52% -0.427 0.1809
Rituals of Terror 3 204 58.42% 36.92 0.0 29.41%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 133 61.65% 30.11 -15.724 20.3% -0.32 0.4179
Second Wave 0 707 48.9% 35.12 2.528 34.79% 0.134 0.2404
The Great River 3 86 33.72% 21.34 0.0 8.14%
Varied Terrains 2 64 48.44% 22.81 -1.265 9.38% -0.352 0.3845
Ward the Shores 2 283 57.6% 30.34 -0.942 17.31% -1.214 -0.5316

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 40902 54.03% 34.94 -1.843 43.07% 0.048 0.273
1 Thematic 1353 41.41% 32.85 16.357 22.69% 0.456 1.0064
2 Archipelago 19 52.63% 29.63 0.0 42.11%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9247 57.09% 36.06 0.486 46.5% 0.222 0.3334
2 Coastline 949 55.76% 37.53 1.575 50.79% 0.2 0.1108
2 Fragment 245 62.86% 37.54 -3.644 48.98% -0.595 -0.9336
2 Heart 211 73.46% 54.51 5.299 65.88% -0.325 -0.6526
2 Opposite Shores 2001 53.85% 34.81 1.047 44.33% 0.061 0.0975
2 Thematic 547 36.93% 27.48 -9.708 13.53% -0.219 0.3095
2 Top to Top 262 59.0% 36.17 0.0 48.85%
3 Archipelago 2 50.0% 81.5 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 34 32.35% 34.24 16.891 38.24% 0.758 0.2373
3 Other 127 52.0% 43.27 -1.872 63.78% -0.369 -1.1109
3 Round (Default) 4302 54.66% 40.44 2.219 54.67% 0.11 0.0137
3 Sunrise 18 61.11% 44.22 0.0 66.67%
3 Thematic 241 29.88% 26.27 -8.637 12.03% -0.089 0.1532
4 Archipelago 4 25.0% 49.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 8 87.5% 33.63 0.0 37.5%
4 Leaf 20 75.0% 35.85 12.538 40.0% 0.154 -0.4003
4 Other 73 60.27% 35.45 0.0 43.84%
4 Thematic 363 37.12% 38.07 -7.773 30.3% -0.045 0.4283
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1591 52.64% 41.92 0.916 57.39% -0.413 -0.602
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 43.33 0.0 33.33%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 81 58.23% 37.7 7.103 51.85% 0.163 -0.163
5 Thematic 5 40.0% 56.6 0.0 60.0%
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 30.0 0.0 33.33%
6 Coastline 2 50.0% 10.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 60 31.67% 42.98 0.0 58.33%
6 Star 20 40.0% 41.65 0.0 55.0%
6 Thematic 89 23.26% 29.3 -4.054 22.47% -0.416 0.1645
6 Two Centers (Default) 134 43.28% 40.54 2.191 56.72% 0.139 0.1163
7 Other 1 0.0% 30.0 10.242 0.0% 0.135 -0.12

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2822 35.46 3.779 44.76% 0.351 0.6615
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2412 37.8 4.392 48.63% 0.637 0.6497
All Things Weaken 1512 36.13 4.503 47.22% 0.777 1.2512
Attenuated Essence 360 33.53 0.638 41.94% 0.295 0.4416
Back Against the Wall 2349 36.94 3.679 46.32% 0.446 0.575
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 393 35.94 3.759 50.13% 0.685 1.0055
Burn Brightest Before the End 251 37.45 0.273 46.22% 0.081 0.258
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2637 31.69 -1.288 38.45% -0.096 0.2843
Downward Spiral 3242 34.32 -0.677 44.14% 0.134 0.3269
Erosion of Will 2817 34.17 1.001 40.75% 0.247 0.5848
Intensifying Exploitation 314 30.85 -2.271 38.54% -0.303 0.0499
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 639 39.58 -0.955 53.68% -0.002 -0.3653
Memory Fades to Dust 3188 34.22 -2.72 42.38% -0.353 -0.0236
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1437 34.8 -0.136 45.02% 0.123 0.3899
Promising Farmlands 2704 31.54 0.109 34.5% -0.22 0.2279
Shattered Fragments of Power 302 33.57 -4.585 40.73% -0.552 -0.5524
Slow Dissolution of Will 348 32.23 1.01 38.22% 0.207 0.6185
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 404 40.57 4.849 57.92% 0.308 -0.2509
The Border of Life and Death 111 33.94 1.136 42.34% -0.236 -0.4813
Thriving Communities 1517 35.72 2.245 48.38% 0.67 0.9475
Thriving Crops 215 24.74 -3.701 20.0% -1.338 -1.433
Tipping Point 918 32.99 0.0 37.69%
Unnatural Proliferation 1509 35.97 -0.835 43.47% -0.433 -0.2283
Untended Land Crumbles 1472 33.34 5.455 41.03% 0.618 0.9177

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 13837 56.01% 35.98 0.131 45.51% 0.115 1.1063
B 14471 54.72% 36.69 -0.304 46.98% 0.17 1.0355
C 14839 53.66% 37.26 2.22 48.12% 0.558 1.3096
D 13214 55.0% 36.43 -0.352 46.74% 0.136 1.0807
E 7455 54.57% 38.02 2.098 50.27% 0.382 1.1372
F 8971 54.08% 37.15 -0.158 47.48% -0.221 0.6537
G 7932 55.26% 35.51 1.924 44.67% 0.916 1.7785
H 8128 53.84% 37.7 2.101 48.91% 0.181 0.9886
East 1867 37.49% 32.37 -5.467 21.37% -0.68 0.0653
Northeast 1150 36.36% 33.76 -5.467 23.65% -0.68 0.213
Northwest 959 36.17% 31.68 -4.483 21.48% -0.461 0.2821
Southeast 358 37.18% 29.02 -2.47 20.95% -0.049 0.9601
Southwest 347 35.57% 26.53 -4.58 17.87% -0.505 0.6519
West 1680 35.93% 30.61 -4.916 18.81% -0.55 0.4327

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 129 0.0% 46.09 11.648 64.34% 0.172 0.8917
Not Using Events or Tokens 283 48.74% 30.17 0.0 24.38%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 995 13.57% 54.74 5.078 71.96% 0.547 -0.2579
Start of Game Growth 1490 19.39% 50.59 5.476 67.99% 1.201 0.6346
Unlimited Undo 5388 47.47% 37.01 1.843 47.51% 0.347 0.3742
Using Tokens but Not Events 3585 47.54% 34.94 -0.412 43.82% -0.14 -0.1677

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 23329 12.25 2.2%
II 18661 29.91 43.19%
III 14506 34.94 88.52%
IV 6446 38.9 99.35%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.68 Win Model: 0.017
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 42416 53.66% 34.87 42.39%
2 13388 56.0% 36.0 45.67%
3 4721 53.33% 39.84 52.76%
4 2049 50.15% 40.81 51.78%
5 62 49.18% 36.29 50.0%
6 306 34.65% 37.63 46.41%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 514
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12578
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7773
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6359
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5245
Lose: Invader deck ran out 136
Lose: Adversary condition 20642
Win: Sacrifice victory 139
Lose: Scenario condition 429
Win: Scenario condition 455
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8120
Lose: Spirit destroyed 552

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3317 40.82% 42.33 0.017 49.59% 0.098 -0.3202
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 241 41.28% 33.92 1.936 29.88% -0.141 -0.7974
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 35 48.57% 46.83 5.279 65.71% 0.435 0.2778
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 168 51.79% 37.74 -0.927 44.64% -0.001 -0.8615
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1383 58.09% 34.73 -12.082 31.24% -0.766 -0.6281
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 282 43.62% 34.36 -3.338 40.78% -0.238 -1.2675
Dances Up Earthquakes 189 45.5% 28.74 -1.47 26.98% -0.312 -0.3484
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2488 42.44% 45.01 1.434 58.08% 0.102 -0.2523
Downpour Drenches the World 695 35.83% 27.3 -0.233 24.32% -0.133 -0.009
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1085 34.84% 36.43 6.487 47.1% 0.69 0.1192
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2218 42.45% 42.9 -0.778 50.32% -0.272 -0.9176
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2025 40.73% 45.83 -2.848 57.58% -0.367 -0.8611
Finder of Paths Unseen 245 51.84% 30.55 -0.964 30.2% -0.266 0.3219
Fractured Days Split the Sky 784 41.33% 36.82 -2.474 39.67% -0.881 -0.4345
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1009 54.61% 39.13 2.121 46.58% 0.025 -0.1602
Heart of the Wildfire 2955 74.78% 36.44 2.208 41.66% 0.806 0.9493
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6391 47.69% 43.84 5.025 55.06% 0.985 0.3111
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 294 37.76% 36.66 0.442 48.3% 0.449 -0.0786
Lightning's Swift Strike 1873 57.6% 41.8 -1.3 49.28% -0.473 -0.4398
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 348 53.64% 47.8 5.992 62.64% 0.928 0.2757
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 592 48.14% 48.88 4.15 64.02% 0.29 -0.2059
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 390 40.87% 42.06 1.889 54.87% 0.243 0.0039
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2215 55.6% 41.24 -2.748 50.88% -0.267 -0.6928
Many Minds Move as One 858 41.14% 40.32 1.641 50.23% 0.369 -0.1403
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4601 50.53% 42.65 -1.365 51.58% -0.108 -0.3773
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 392 58.16% 29.11 -4.832 32.14% -0.52 -0.6341
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1860 50.13% 41.92 4.673 51.56% 0.465 0.1708
River Surges in Sunlight 3671 48.36% 43.74 0.869 48.92% 0.206 0.0353
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 92 57.61% 31.89 -9.363 35.87% -0.556 -0.6671
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 450 46.67% 39.08 -2.268 41.78% -0.024 -0.0892
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 588 56.56% 38.32 3.703 40.14% 0.332 0.2022
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2605 45.58% 37.87 6.359 38.96% 0.441 0.1764
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 80 46.25% 34.8 5.235 41.25% 0.314 -0.1163
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 911 65.53% 35.4 -7.478 33.26% -1.024 -0.5958
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 59 49.15% 31.76 20.903 35.59% 0.522 0.5256
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 243 52.7% 30.92 -0.466 34.98% -0.118 -0.8707
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 95 58.95% 31.35 -4.224 27.37% -0.404 -0.7233
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 287 65.03% 33.69 -1.254 31.01% -0.279 -0.4576
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 132 69.7% 34.64 -1.285 32.58% -0.222 -0.2644
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3346 46.0% 47.12 -1.604 61.78% 0.068 -0.2983
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 18 55.56% 37.83 9.813 55.56% 0.712 0.1713
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 970 14.74% 27.21 3.537 37.22% 0.288 0.0438
Shifting Memory of Ages 609 56.49% 33.42 1.16 32.35% -0.178 0.116
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 164 49.39% 33.74 -3.346 39.63% -0.43 -0.5928
Shroud of Silent Mist 945 65.78% 36.93 -1.895 41.59% -0.188 -0.0056
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 37 54.05% 32.97 -1.099 45.95% -0.017 -0.4272
Starlight Seeks its Form 1254 44.58% 36.26 -4.502 38.76% -0.746 -0.9878
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1778 45.1% 36.65 -1.925 42.52% -0.474 -1.4258
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1550 52.33% 43.93 2.124 54.97% 0.671 0.7135
Thunderspeaker 2660 54.98% 43.16 3.476 50.38% 0.119 -0.0757
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 182 50.0% 27.86 -1.019 31.32% -0.214 -0.3826
Towering Roots of the Jungle 292 45.55% 33.71 -0.256 39.38% -0.125 -0.2359
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1132 73.89% 33.87 0.777 36.04% 0.441 0.2898
Vital Strength of the Earth 1507 46.68% 35.09 -9.683 31.32% -0.85 -0.491
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 235 39.09% 36.66 -1.84 38.3% -0.206 0.0374
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 157 46.5% 29.13 -27.302 21.66% -0.722 -0.0402
Volcano Looming High 1358 60.57% 37.24 5.517 45.07% 1.019 0.6948
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 625 43.68% 35.53 3.671 38.88% 0.207 -0.3108

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 14 50.0% 25.07 0.0 28.57%
Blitz 0 288 26.39% 26.39 2.178 18.06% -0.136 0.2961
Dahan Insurrection 4 518 43.05% 53.6 14.902 41.31% 0.551 0.5255
Despicable Theft 2 41 34.15% 27.46 -2.336 21.95% -0.053 0.6061
Elemental Invocation 1 104 42.31% 26.72 -5.83 17.31% -0.145 0.3028
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1480 18.0% 52.06 11.433 67.03% 1.279 0.6795
Powers Long Forgotten 1 173 51.45% 32.97 0.0 25.43%
Rituals of Terror 3 116 48.28% 39.62 0.013 25.0% -0.151 -0.0268
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 195 69.23% 34.85 -16.902 15.9% -0.27 0.4682
Second Wave 0 402 49.21% 40.58 -5.494 40.05% -0.11 -0.0041
The Great River 3 35 28.57% 18.63 0.0 2.86%
Varied Terrains 2 40 50.0% 23.98 8.169 20.0% 0.167 0.9035
Ward the Shores 2 234 54.27% 29.63 0.476 13.25% 0.106 0.7881

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 26829 50.26% 38.89 -0.914 45.1% -0.33 -0.1056
1 Thematic 1052 37.94% 35.75 0.013 21.48% -0.151 0.3988
2 Archipelago 10 40.0% 13.1 0.0 10.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6424 55.19% 40.44 1.085 48.09% -0.049 0.0622
2 Coastline 574 53.85% 41.71 3.168 51.39% 0.272 0.183
2 Fragment 131 61.83% 33.95 0.0 33.59%
2 Heart 78 66.67% 34.96 0.0 33.33%
2 Opposite Shores 1304 51.84% 39.44 -4.885 45.63% -0.343 -0.307
2 Thematic 384 34.64% 32.28 13.402 15.89% 0.24 0.7686
2 Top to Top 342 54.97% 43.62 1.054 55.56% 0.005 -0.202
3 Archipelago 20 55.0% 53.6 1.545 50.0% 0.05 0.1502
3 Coastline 19 36.84% 40.32 0.0 42.11%
3 Other 75 48.0% 49.8 0.0 70.67%
3 Round (Default) 3508 46.3% 42.16 1.195 53.56% 0.137 0.0405
3 Sunrise 8 87.5% 33.38 0.0 37.5%
3 Thematic 72 40.28% 31.4 -15.727 15.28% -0.174 0.0683
4 Archipelago 22 77.27% 42.36 0.0 45.45%
4 Coastline 12 8.33% 57.33 0.0 83.33%
4 Leaf 22 31.82% 49.27 0.0 68.18%
4 Other 56 57.14% 50.68 1.268 71.43% -0.054 -0.6013
4 Snake 5 100.0% 28.0 0.0 20.0%
4 Thematic 292 39.38% 41.98 0.0 34.59%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1573 48.14% 46.45 1.056 59.25% 0.056 -0.1329
5 Archipelago 2 50.0% 55.0 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 79 48.1% 33.57 10.147 41.77% 1.017 0.6907
5 Thematic 7 28.57% 42.14 0.0 14.29%
6 Archipelago 4 50.0% 48.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 89 36.36% 22.58 0.0 20.22%
6 Star 24 20.83% 48.04 0.0 62.5%
6 Thematic 39 17.95% 24.49 -3.12 10.26% -0.282 0.2987
6 Two Centers (Default) 50 38.0% 40.66 -0.536 52.0% -0.055 -0.0783
7 Other 3 0.0% 0.0 -19.268 0.0% -0.469 -0.7241

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1806 40.11 -2.767 48.34% -0.36 -0.0493
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1399 42.4 1.2 51.11% 0.07 0.0832
All Things Weaken 928 39.75 3.996 47.63% 0.446 0.9203
Attenuated Essence 205 37.14 2.336 46.83% 0.403 0.5491
Back Against the Wall 1455 41.91 -5.294 49.42% -0.877 -0.7475
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 221 34.93 -4.597 40.72% -0.306 0.0138
Burn Brightest Before the End 164 38.17 6.117 42.68% 0.319 0.4961
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1819 35.69 -1.749 41.01% -0.18 0.2009
Downward Spiral 1984 38.22 2.471 45.41% 0.277 0.4705
Erosion of Will 1741 37.88 6.943 42.04% 0.645 0.9825
Intensifying Exploitation 246 33.91 2.853 41.46% 0.299 0.6515
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 478 40.46 -3.495 48.33% -0.287 -0.6508
Memory Fades to Dust 2068 37.85 -1.039 43.62% 0.138 0.4669
Power Corrodes the Spirit 872 38.54 2.009 45.18% 0.24 0.5064
Promising Farmlands 1920 33.89 1.061 33.7% 0.072 0.5192
Shattered Fragments of Power 165 38.32 1.879 39.39% -0.068 -0.0687
Slow Dissolution of Will 208 34.94 -3.759 40.38% -0.316 0.0954
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 250 44.24 10.098 57.2% 1.484 0.9253
The Border of Life and Death 56 34.09 -4.025 37.5% -0.653 -0.8979
Thriving Communities 929 39.32 4.736 49.19% 0.583 0.8601
Thriving Crops 154 31.31 -0.356 25.97% -0.516 -0.6116
Tipping Point 646 36.91 0.0 40.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 954 40.46 3.327 47.38% 0.046 0.2505
Untended Land Crumbles 927 37.09 -0.168 42.72% 0.367 0.6664

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9542 51.53% 39.54 1.169 46.15% 0.258 1.2494
B 9991 50.76% 40.49 1.117 48.67% 0.306 1.1712
C 12173 47.56% 43.59 1.103 54.55% 0.241 0.9927
D 9316 51.62% 39.82 -1.906 46.93% -0.208 0.7369
E 5639 52.65% 40.17 0.19 49.07% 0.109 0.8638
F 6026 51.52% 39.67 1.528 47.51% 0.459 1.3334
G 5355 51.66% 38.9 -0.83 45.49% 0.166 1.0286
H 5685 47.57% 39.8 0.047 47.41% 0.148 0.9553
East 1168 36.82% 37.51 -2.484 24.74% -0.216 0.5298
Northeast 732 37.62% 38.87 -2.484 27.73% -0.216 0.6776
Northwest 680 42.92% 35.97 -5.681 22.65% -0.456 0.2876
Southeast 214 34.27% 34.72 -3.12 26.64% -0.282 0.7268
Southwest 190 23.16% 28.21 -3.12 18.42% -0.282 0.8748
West 1193 35.26% 34.04 -2.5 18.94% -0.433 0.5493

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 85 0.0% 51.51 15.048 61.18% 0.201 0.9213
Not Using Events or Tokens 139 53.62% 32.73 0.0 23.02%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 534 19.15% 58.01 5.704 72.47% 0.332 -0.4732
Start of Game Growth 852 25.6% 53.66 2.225 68.66% 0.221 -0.346
Unlimited Undo 3659 50.54% 40.52 -2.421 49.03% -0.568 -0.5408
Using Tokens but Not Events 2075 45.55% 40.56 3.59 47.37% 0.836 0.8088

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 15746 12.25 2.13%
II 12553 29.91 45.51%
III 11975 34.94 91.18%
IV 2851 38.9 99.68%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.21 Win Model: -0.295
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 27980 49.77% 38.73 44.16%
2 9194 54.1% 40.18 46.77%
3 3687 46.25% 42.12 53.08%
4 1994 46.99% 45.83 55.77%
5 60 45.0% 29.62 31.67%
6 210 31.1% 30.21 30.95%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 333
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10741
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5480
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2823
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3534
Lose: Invader deck ran out 25
Lose: Adversary condition 14385
Win: Sacrifice victory 92
Lose: Scenario condition 316
Win: Scenario condition 340
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4704
Lose: Spirit destroyed 352

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2047 45.16% 51.29 2.779 60.82% 0.596 0.178
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 245 35.71% 53.62 3.125 58.78% 1.111 0.4553
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 23 34.78% 51.17 1.016 69.57% 0.554 0.3962
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 144 40.97% 46.65 5.557 56.25% 0.976 0.116
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 754 60.67% 39.48 -7.418 35.15% -0.858 -0.7199
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 213 42.25% 42.07 4.451 51.17% 0.721 -0.3088
Dances Up Earthquakes 134 37.31% 26.72 -19.671 23.13% -0.983 -1.0191
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1147 48.69% 48.34 -5.958 57.28% -0.363 -0.7178
Downpour Drenches the World 372 48.39% 33.49 -1.988 29.84% -0.396 -0.2726
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 721 36.48% 50.86 1.09 65.33% 0.483 -0.088
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1859 41.69% 51.45 -1.379 60.95% -0.182 -0.8285
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 659 45.71% 43.05 -14.185 43.4% -1.197 -1.6905
Finder of Paths Unseen 135 35.07% 31.27 0.829 37.04% 0.087 0.675
Fractured Days Split the Sky 470 47.02% 42.01 0.0 37.23%
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 580 59.83% 48.9 -1.181 58.62% 0.192 0.0065
Heart of the Wildfire 1398 84.68% 39.56 -6.641 41.34% -1.226 -1.0827
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4204 54.13% 52.81 -1.127 65.18% -0.363 -1.0378
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 382 48.17% 54.58 2.494 72.77% 0.477 -0.0503
Lightning's Swift Strike 1360 43.88% 52.31 -0.499 58.53% 0.211 0.244
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 364 42.37% 63.98 8.115 76.65% 0.405 -0.2472
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 495 45.05% 57.23 2.568 71.92% 0.252 -0.2431
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 339 45.72% 50.38 -6.289 61.06% -0.762 -1.0014
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1491 54.77% 49.09 -1.819 59.96% -0.485 -0.9113
Many Minds Move as One 519 44.32% 48.22 -2.093 56.45% 0.134 -0.3749
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2278 55.06% 49.72 -7.809 57.29% -0.505 -0.775
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 294 55.1% 33.77 -9.639 32.99% -0.346 -0.4604
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1260 49.8% 49.79 3.362 60.87% 0.619 0.325
River Surges in Sunlight 2036 52.67% 52.19 -1.262 59.14% -0.384 -0.5548
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 70 52.86% 45.51 -13.575 48.57% -0.182 -0.2932
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 341 60.12% 48.93 -2.081 56.01% -0.263 -0.3284
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 548 52.55% 50.68 2.894 55.11% 0.04 -0.0905
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1761 44.51% 46.26 1.167 46.96% 0.11 -0.1539
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 154 36.36% 48.94 -7.387 62.34% -1.252 -1.6825
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 445 65.17% 39.55 0.0 33.71%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 30 44.83% 31.73 -14.021 26.67% -0.292 -0.2883
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 211 61.9% 47.76 -5.823 58.77% -0.754 -1.507
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 90 47.78% 46.22 -3.055 58.89% -0.071 -0.3898
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 195 56.41% 47.79 0.0 55.38%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 85 65.88% 32.34 0.0 22.35%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2221 42.86% 55.18 9.048 69.52% 1.626 1.2599
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 43 46.51% 46.16 6.165 60.47% 0.361 -0.1796
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 246 36.99% 53.88 2.448 67.07% 0.542 0.2978
Shifting Memory of Ages 355 47.04% 37.84 0.0 38.87%
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 117 45.3% 41.18 13.149 50.43% 0.601 0.4382
Shroud of Silent Mist 271 61.94% 37.01 -12.251 35.06% -0.446 -0.2635
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 19 63.16% 49.11 -2.808 68.42% -0.113 -0.5231
Starlight Seeks its Form 811 51.42% 42.83 4.23 46.98% 0.644 0.402
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2432 43.46% 52.29 5.459 65.25% 1.182 0.2299
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1054 44.67% 54.09 0.428 65.28% 0.184 0.2264
Thunderspeaker 1403 60.09% 49.3 -5.398 54.38% -0.475 -0.6703
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 148 60.14% 46.66 2.427 41.22% 0.225 0.0569
Towering Roots of the Jungle 211 57.35% 42.39 -7.564 48.34% -0.569 -0.68
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 991 69.73% 44.17 -2.109 51.36% -0.258 -0.4092
Vital Strength of the Earth 807 49.57% 40.87 1.271 34.94% -0.078 0.2801
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 432 37.91% 53.25 4.77 66.9% 0.617 0.8606
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 246 47.15% 47.98 -6.214 54.88% -0.226 0.4556
Volcano Looming High 776 57.22% 45.21 -1.464 55.93% 0.181 -0.1429
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 360 51.11% 41.91 0.742 43.06% -0.126 -0.6435

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 33.33% 30.67 0.0 22.22%
Blitz 0 213 28.17% 32.05 -15.702 23.94% -0.656 -0.2242
Dahan Insurrection 4 437 49.2% 47.7 30.033 29.06% 0.684 0.6584
Despicable Theft 2 20 45.0% 34.45 0.0 35.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 93 59.14% 31.65 -4.196 19.35% -0.488 -0.0401
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3217 32.14% 62.07 5.868 80.11% 1.236 0.6365
Powers Long Forgotten 1 149 52.35% 38.55 -19.246 29.53% -0.321 0.2873
Rituals of Terror 3 105 48.57% 46.29 0.0 25.71%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 112 75.89% 37.44 15.386 14.29% 0.317 1.0549
Second Wave 0 247 59.15% 40.18 11.32 33.2% 0.738 0.8446
The Great River 3 42 38.1% 24.17 0.0 7.14%
Varied Terrains 2 10 60.0% 22.6 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 225 49.78% 39.82 -16.659 22.22% -0.232 0.4508

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 13973 53.32% 44.6 -0.213 49.52% 0.15 0.3746
1 Thematic 720 43.33% 39.02 -5.748 21.39% -0.427 0.123
2 Archipelago 11 63.64% 47.64 0.0 36.36%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3170 59.7% 45.68 -6.144 52.78% -0.674 -0.5625
2 Coastline 376 59.84% 43.89 -0.012 48.4% 0.195 0.1058
2 Fragment 83 74.7% 39.76 13.482 42.17% 0.768 0.4298
2 Heart 39 51.28% 39.15 0.0 35.9%
2 Opposite Shores 699 53.36% 42.95 2.764 47.5% 0.052 0.0884
2 Thematic 201 41.29% 37.62 -0.309 15.92% 0.028 0.5563
2 Top to Top 102 56.86% 46.1 0.0 51.96%
3 Archipelago 18 83.33% 62.22 0.0 11.11%
3 Coastline 7 57.14% 24.57 0.0 14.29%
3 Other 58 79.31% 47.83 16.862 51.72% 0.514 -0.228
3 Round (Default) 3147 47.56% 54.58 2.405 70.8% -0.065 -0.1608
3 Sunrise 4 75.0% 32.5 0.0 25.0%
3 Thematic 69 24.64% 32.2 -9.344 13.04% -0.393 -0.1514
4 Archipelago 3 66.67% 61.0 0.0 66.67%
4 Coastline 9 11.11% 74.44 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 6 66.67% 41.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 41 46.34% 58.63 0.159 80.49% -0.024 -0.5713
4 Thematic 329 21.6% 59.74 -20.418 62.01% -0.218 0.2556
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1413 51.21% 55.07 5.473 70.06% 0.107 -0.0817
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 61.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 67 66.15% 51.03 0.0 61.19%
5 Thematic 50 38.0% 58.56 0.0 38.0%
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 61.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 11 55.56% 62.0 0.0 72.73%
6 Star 22 45.45% 38.23 0.0 40.91%
6 Thematic 156 14.74% 51.36 -0.049 37.82% -0.032 0.5487
6 Two Centers (Default) 41 41.46% 34.98 0.0 34.15%
7 Other 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1082 48.08 2.812 56.1% 0.346 0.657
Aid From Lesser Spirits 889 50.34 5.38 58.16% 0.477 0.4898
All Things Weaken 525 48.01 -8.04 56.38% -0.675 -0.2016
Attenuated Essence 178 44.48 3.914 52.25% 0.071 0.2177
Back Against the Wall 842 46.6 0.022 50.83% 0.21 0.3396
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 163 43.17 -2.242 47.85% -0.143 0.1767
Burn Brightest Before the End 119 44.63 0.726 51.26% -0.127 0.0503
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1066 42.58 -0.456 46.53% -0.147 0.2338
Downward Spiral 1168 46.43 1.765 54.71% 0.312 0.5052
Erosion of Will 1061 45.77 1.923 51.08% 0.158 0.496
Intensifying Exploitation 145 45.61 0.845 54.48% 0.869 1.2219
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 275 51.17 9.223 63.64% 0.946 0.5826
Memory Fades to Dust 1148 45.71 0.117 52.18% 0.595 0.9247
Power Corrodes the Spirit 532 45.87 4.267 53.38% 0.519 0.7854
Promising Farmlands 1046 39.44 2.621 37.28% 0.374 0.8215
Shattered Fragments of Power 122 47.86 -4.988 54.92% -0.702 -0.7024
Slow Dissolution of Will 163 43.02 -6.351 47.24% -0.229 0.1823
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 162 53.35 10.782 67.9% 0.454 -0.1043
The Border of Life and Death 48 51.31 -17.976 62.5% -0.246 -0.4915
Thriving Communities 574 45.9 1.605 55.23% 0.034 0.312
Thriving Crops 122 37.15 1.135 35.25% -0.115 -0.2099
Tipping Point 373 45.77 0.0 51.47%
Unnatural Proliferation 610 46.49 3.011 51.8% 0.133 0.3374
Untended Land Crumbles 579 43.63 4.82 48.36% 0.051 0.3504

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5656 54.71% 47.44 -0.403 55.43% -0.053 0.9383
B 6092 54.66% 47.97 0.336 56.55% 0.182 1.0474
C 6781 53.39% 49.9 3.534 60.02% 0.789 1.5407
D 5520 54.62% 48.31 3.003 56.92% 0.61 1.5547
E 3697 49.73% 49.38 1.376 60.21% 0.194 0.9489
F 3964 51.18% 48.39 0.132 57.44% 0.05 0.9242
G 3738 52.35% 49.22 -0.08 59.23% 0.215 1.0771
H 3924 50.77% 49.25 0.774 59.81% 0.528 1.3348
East 1161 32.53% 46.25 -3.065 33.59% -0.696 0.0498
Northeast 774 30.43% 50.6 -1.13 41.21% -0.324 0.5694
Northwest 688 27.09% 52.31 -1.541 43.02% -0.315 0.4282
Southeast 322 23.91% 48.8 -0.719 35.71% -0.45 0.5584
Southwest 248 20.97% 49.23 -0.172 39.11% -0.156 1.0011
West 1036 28.32% 47.81 -2.337 35.42% -0.674 0.3091

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 38 0.0% 59.76 4.989 63.16% 0.053 0.7725
Not Using Events or Tokens 64 60.94% 31.05 0.0 15.63%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 607 9.93% 66.74 -3.092 74.14% -0.716 -1.5205
Start of Game Growth 862 17.15% 63.2 1.46 72.62% 0.572 0.0053
Unlimited Undo 2562 47.34% 49.23 -0.155 57.61% 0.369 0.3968
Using Tokens but Not Events 1242 33.64% 48.95 -0.665 53.7% -0.085 -0.1125

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7929 12.25 4.73%
II 9965 29.91 61.9%
III 5705 34.94 92.69%
IV 1238 38.9 99.76%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.493 Win Model: -0.024
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 14858 52.68% 44.11 47.74%
2 4572 58.83% 45.41 50.83%
3 3272 47.73% 53.91 69.16%
4 1834 45.06% 56.29 68.76%
5 164 30.86% 55.16 47.56%
6 137 39.26% 41.16 34.31%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 374
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5194
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5999
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1228
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1970
Lose: Invader deck ran out 12
Lose: Adversary condition 6657
Win: Sacrifice victory 53
Lose: Scenario condition 290
Win: Scenario condition 218
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2698
Lose: Spirit destroyed 144

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8792 44.4% 46.01 -1.797 43.27% -0.173 -0.5906
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 1048 46.8% 37.25 2.83 30.53% 0.469 -0.1867
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 139 39.57% 40.47 -1.563 41.73% -0.027 -0.1845
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 777 44.79% 43.71 2.131 47.49% 0.371 -0.4889
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4277 56.56% 37.16 -7.321 26.56% -1.163 -1.0252
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 1480 45.74% 43.06 1.317 44.26% 0.308 -0.721
Dances Up Earthquakes 1009 50.94% 28.53 -2.103 21.11% -0.442 -0.4787
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5369 49.2% 44.48 -2.13 41.94% -0.14 -0.4942
Downpour Drenches the World 2815 46.4% 33.43 -4.509 23.84% -0.573 -0.4496
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 3778 37.15% 44.99 5.467 49.39% 0.809 0.2383
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9917 37.27% 49.95 1.602 49.49% 0.621 -0.0248
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3489 50.24% 44.21 0.545 40.56% 0.091 -0.4025
Finder of Paths Unseen 1014 47.53% 34.14 -8.385 27.81% -0.796 -0.2076
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3914 46.05% 46.6 -6.383 40.7% -0.747 -0.3
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 4634 59.19% 45.79 5.03 44.91% 0.782 0.5969
Heart of the Wildfire 7667 78.69% 40.12 -2.762 35.35% -0.322 -0.1788
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 31806 51.79% 53.44 3.043 59.15% 0.521 -0.1531
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 885 54.35% 46.29 1.95 50.06% 0.534 0.0068
Lightning's Swift Strike 6298 56.15% 46.44 0.428 44.6% 0.365 0.3979
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 2822 61.15% 49.41 6.809 54.08% 1.012 0.3599
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 5589 51.2% 57.91 7.225 66.13% 1.167 0.671
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2290 49.04% 53.62 -1.816 57.64% 0.468 0.2284
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 8999 54.31% 49.13 -1.426 51.89% 0.106 -0.32
Many Minds Move as One 3103 42.86% 51.12 4.83 50.24% 0.246 -0.2625
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 15693 49.37% 49.63 1.631 49.49% 0.277 0.0073
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 2505 66.49% 35.67 -1.585 31.18% -0.665 -0.779
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 6072 52.71% 47.0 -0.943 47.1% 0.236 -0.058
River Surges in Sunlight 13010 51.42% 50.53 -2.307 48.39% -0.147 -0.3175
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 440 57.5% 37.6 -2.134 33.64% -0.027 -0.1383
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1186 47.47% 45.15 0.732 40.89% -0.74 -0.8049
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 3290 49.98% 43.19 6.251 39.09% 0.576 0.4458
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 11263 43.12% 42.44 -6.385 36.6% -0.537 -0.8016
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 448 40.85% 37.86 4.555 35.71% 0.608 0.1777
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2211 60.96% 39.04 -6.855 29.08% -0.552 -0.1238
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 168 52.38% 46.82 -1.355 41.07% -0.165 -0.1609
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 1215 61.61% 42.79 3.91 44.03% 0.494 -0.259
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 203 56.65% 42.55 0.866 39.41% -0.018 -0.3368
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 1113 61.37% 42.85 -8.097 34.77% -1.053 -1.2313
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 423 65.72% 39.19 0.0 32.15%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 9957 45.91% 52.61 -1.382 58.24% 0.228 -0.138
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 164 60.37% 45.72 6.263 53.05% 1.092 0.551
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1726 51.62% 43.39 1.424 45.48% 0.186 -0.058
Shifting Memory of Ages 2503 51.78% 36.83 -4.98 27.17% -0.08 0.2147
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 839 49.82% 39.0 -2.432 34.92% -0.146 -0.3089
Shroud of Silent Mist 1587 64.06% 37.42 -11.188 31.25% -1.081 -0.8984
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 121 60.33% 38.76 -3.449 43.8% -0.114 -0.5236
Starlight Seeks its Form 5892 49.8% 42.44 -5.463 38.65% -0.778 -1.0203
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 9392 44.27% 45.44 1.598 41.58% 0.102 -0.85
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6352 52.77% 53.34 0.273 59.29% 0.24 0.2826
Thunderspeaker 7781 51.8% 46.17 -6.102 39.81% -0.512 -0.7075
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 581 53.87% 39.73 5.37 38.9% 0.544 0.3755
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1062 48.12% 35.94 1.023 34.65% 0.183 0.0718
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 5344 74.6% 40.5 -1.257 37.03% -0.075 -0.2254
Vital Strength of the Earth 4243 48.99% 34.44 2.079 21.85% 0.173 0.5313
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 869 56.68% 38.15 -1.737 32.45% -0.557 -0.3132
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 823 46.9% 32.86 -4.196 15.07% -1.294 -0.613
Volcano Looming High 6058 58.56% 47.86 2.424 52.53% 0.736 0.4123
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 2543 47.97% 39.32 -0.038 33.58% -0.039 -0.5566

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 42 45.24% 55.17 0.0 52.38%
Blitz 0 1276 33.78% 41.7 -5.776 30.09% -1.082 -0.6498
Dahan Insurrection 4 4841 34.11% 54.56 12.654 37.7% 0.827 0.8007
Despicable Theft 2 70 61.43% 41.13 -11.437 24.29% -0.721 -0.0612
Elemental Invocation 1 406 57.82% 36.66 11.574 15.02% 0.107 0.5553
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 12151 27.28% 59.72 4.707 65.11% 0.717 0.1178
Powers Long Forgotten 1 274 49.27% 36.63 0.0 23.36%
Rituals of Terror 3 516 36.7% 75.21 8.832 42.64% 1.307 1.4314
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 92 70.65% 35.14 0.0 11.96%
Second Wave 0 722 58.03% 43.84 -12.975 33.38% -1.32 -1.2135
The Great River 3 164 32.93% 23.62 0.0 6.71%
Varied Terrains 2 76 50.0% 34.55 -0.756 15.79% -0.933 -0.1962
Ward the Shores 2 448 46.98% 32.68 22.585 12.28% 0.574 1.256

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 125652 53.47% 46.48 1.505 45.95% 0.349 0.5739
1 Thematic 4263 36.99% 42.37 -3.787 22.17% -0.601 -0.0505
2 Archipelago 118 75.42% 53.58 -16.082 22.03% -0.077 -0.4311
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 15510 60.41% 46.43 -0.327 47.08% 0.269 0.3802
2 Coastline 3294 51.76% 50.4 4.458 53.16% 0.439 0.35
2 Fragment 884 66.06% 57.08 16.612 66.18% 0.864 0.5257
2 Heart 446 71.3% 51.61 4.268 43.95% 0.573 0.246
2 Opposite Shores 4456 55.84% 41.11 -4.522 33.17% -0.367 -0.3306
2 Thematic 1212 38.4% 44.82 -4.225 19.64% -0.691 -0.1625
2 Top to Top 890 57.98% 48.13 -4.778 47.42% -1.127 -1.3338
3 Archipelago 48 72.92% 48.46 0.0 16.67%
3 Coastline 55 56.36% 45.87 0.0 41.82%
3 Other 171 57.89% 52.26 18.32 56.14% 1.62 0.8781
3 Round (Default) 9174 51.59% 46.12 -5.126 47.78% -0.53 -0.626
3 Sunrise 84 44.05% 66.73 0.0 83.33%
3 Thematic 339 22.49% 75.16 20.585 41.89% 0.456 0.6983
4 Archipelago 21 52.38% 53.62 0.0 28.57%
4 Coastline 63 20.63% 73.43 0.0 90.48%
4 Leaf 33 57.58% 43.09 0.0 36.36%
4 Other 99 47.47% 62.33 0.0 75.76%
4 Snake 1 0.0% 29.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 1545 30.62% 52.92 -4.336 42.72% -0.231 0.2424
4 Trapezoid (Default) 5550 41.49% 47.01 -0.551 49.1% -0.249 -0.4379
5 Archipelago 4 75.0% 47.5 0.0 25.0%
5 Coastline 39 5.13% 57.08 0.0 71.79%
5 Other 169 50.3% 57.08 11.552 60.95% 0.206 -0.121
5 Thematic 24 66.67% 68.88 0.0 58.33%
6 Archipelago 11 9.09% 67.18 0.0 72.73%
6 Coastline 28 3.57% 63.21 0.0 82.14%
6 Other 139 40.29% 47.83 0.117 48.2% -0.188 0.0812
6 Star 86 38.37% 38.19 -16.369 33.72% -1.176 -0.3804
6 Thematic 291 31.96% 44.15 3.331 35.05% -0.417 0.1633
6 Two Centers (Default) 608 22.37% 37.79 5.692 39.97% 0.095 0.0719
7 Archipelago 14 42.86% 49.0 4.655 14.29% -0.154 0.2525
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 6951 47.97 3.148 47.96% 0.457 0.7674
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6093 49.64 6.78 49.35% 0.777 0.7903
All Things Weaken 4634 47.15 3.384 46.78% 0.469 0.9432
Attenuated Essence 1237 43.72 3.675 43.49% 0.331 0.4778
Back Against the Wall 5784 47.79 6.412 45.7% 0.855 0.9844
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1260 42.0 2.352 41.11% 0.332 0.6524
Burn Brightest Before the End 954 46.18 9.337 44.65% 1.025 1.2014
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6924 43.14 1.977 41.54% 0.389 0.7695
Downward Spiral 8190 46.76 2.646 46.68% 0.334 0.5276
Erosion of Will 6909 45.33 1.462 42.31% 0.092 0.4297
Intensifying Exploitation 1255 41.5 1.382 41.51% 0.262 0.6149
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2181 52.22 6.309 56.03% 0.817 0.4534
Memory Fades to Dust 8118 46.18 2.797 44.89% 0.477 0.8061
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4623 46.8 -0.675 47.11% -0.047 0.2197
Promising Farmlands 6918 41.62 3.244 35.28% 0.483 0.9309
Shattered Fragments of Power 972 46.09 2.64 44.55% 0.344 0.3431
Slow Dissolution of Will 1225 39.88 -4.354 35.92% -0.575 -0.1637
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1305 51.49 8.92 57.24% 0.876 0.3169
The Border of Life and Death 322 44.2 -3.78 45.03% -0.173 -0.418
Thriving Communities 4663 47.18 3.64 48.38% 0.682 0.9601
Thriving Crops 784 32.18 -2.946 20.66% -0.377 -0.4723
Tipping Point 1873 44.89 0.0 42.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 4735 48.4 5.622 46.46% 0.697 0.9015
Untended Land Crumbles 4610 45.79 2.202 44.45% 0.516 0.8155

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 33852 53.61% 44.46 -3.023 42.3% -0.887 0.1042
B 36257 52.93% 46.29 -0.903 46.3% -0.614 0.2511
C 44391 53.56% 49.21 1.929 51.04% -0.158 0.5939
D 31974 52.29% 45.56 -0.662 44.45% -0.674 0.2712
E 24284 51.84% 47.87 0.431 49.62% -0.538 0.2169
F 23803 52.26% 46.41 -0.797 46.88% -0.466 0.4081
G 19452 51.65% 44.84 0.133 44.03% -0.429 0.4337
H 20733 50.52% 45.1 -0.879 44.92% -0.665 0.1419
East 5896 36.44% 48.66 2.806 29.34% -0.29 0.4551
Northeast 3736 37.29% 52.1 4.827 34.77% -0.28 0.6129
Northwest 2668 31.99% 47.4 -5.926 32.53% -1.884 -1.1409
Southeast 1133 36.72% 42.46 -2.897 27.36% -0.903 0.106
Southwest 764 30.14% 42.07 -5.361 32.98% -0.789 0.3678
West 4412 29.74% 47.31 3.908 29.22% 0.105 1.0876

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 223 0.0% 54.74 -11.246 55.61% -0.754 -0.0343
Not Using Events or Tokens 1104 31.82% 46.59 0.0 20.02%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4699 15.31% 68.81 12.74 75.63% 1.325 0.5204
Start of Game Growth 10316 29.3% 63.32 7.323 69.58% 1.196 0.6289
Unlimited Undo 16355 44.9% 52.65 -0.879 58.5% 0.102 0.1293
Using Tokens but Not Events 10616 41.47% 50.92 4.409 52.35% 0.457 0.4302

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 65428 12.25 3.36%
II 67233 29.91 56.5%
III 36556 34.94 91.02%
IV 6152 38.9 99.66%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.124 Win Model: 0.588
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 131119 52.84% 46.27 44.96%
2 25964 58.38% 47.36 45.97%
3 9701 51.31% 46.49 47.54%
4 7248 39.04% 48.66 48.72%
5 176 41.28% 53.56 55.68%
6 1161 27.22% 41.46 40.74%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2196
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 32521
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 36333
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5936
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 17767
Lose: Invader deck ran out 135
Lose: Adversary condition 55070
Win: Sacrifice victory 572
Lose: Scenario condition 1493
Win: Scenario condition 2038
Lose: Unique spirit condition 3
Lose: Blight pool ran out 19994
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1311

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)