The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2911 31.59% 31.68 0.105 82.76% -0.154 -0.0395
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1809 55.18% 26.85 -0.778 71.03% -0.386 -0.1799
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1586 34.74% 30.17 0.355 86.13% 0.293 0.1872
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1942 24.92% 33.44 1.729 91.09% 0.594 0.2015
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1610 28.28% 32.2 1.253 91.37% 0.775 0.4841
Fractured Days Split the Sky 284 40.28% 29.91 0.496 73.94% -0.597 -0.243
Heart of the Wildfire 2433 59.75% 27.21 -0.99 74.76% 0.011 0.339
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4575 31.29% 34.54 0.628 87.91% 0.373 0.043
Lightning's Swift Strike 3226 40.82% 31.19 0.356 81.06% 0.078 0.3139
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 626 37.7% 30.64 0.787 89.14% 0.62 0.3325
Many Minds Move as One 466 29.83% 31.65 0.904 88.2% 0.222 -0.3086
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3158 40.95% 30.56 -0.019 81.32% 0.087 -0.1276
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1500 36.9% 29.32 -0.122 83.67% 0.096 0.12
River Surges in Sunlight 4454 33.24% 35.6 1.151 80.53% -0.323 -0.1925
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2423 32.01% 33.16 -0.144 83.45% -0.161 -0.0459
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2228 54.83% 28.52 -0.603 72.44% -0.231 0.1856
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3209 31.94% 34.7 0.871 86.07% 0.196 0.0985
Shifting Memory of Ages 57 59.65% 23.04 -2.406 63.16% -0.812 -0.7215
Shroud of Silent Mist 228 61.84% 26.14 -0.823 77.19% 0.137 0.1666
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 862 36.19% 27.28 -0.872 86.66% 0.362 0.3134
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1303 37.77% 28.82 -0.438 79.28% -0.252 -0.0777
Thunderspeaker 3251 29.24% 37.99 1.496 87.42% 0.294 0.3268
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 678 73.51% 22.69 -2.257 69.32% -0.106 -0.124
Vital Strength of the Earth 2457 35.61% 27.51 -2.037 65.4% -1.312 -0.4582
Volcano Looming High 327 45.09% 27.67 -0.38 85.93% 0.519 0.5008

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 473 44.37% 25.52 -1.866 68.92% -0.605 -0.0358
Dahan Insurrection 4 738 26.22% 49.64 9.635 80.22% -0.488 -0.0897
Despicable Theft 2 30 53.33% 33.1 2.399 66.67% -0.64 -0.3709
Elemental Invocation 1 60 61.02% 25.2 -1.672 56.67% -1.08 -0.6157
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1700 11.43% 34.45 1.905 85.82% -0.507 -0.1401
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1482 17.36% 51.15 3.404 91.09% -0.043 0.4015
Rituals of Terror 3 389 51.16% 36.08 3.47 61.18% -0.858 -0.2133
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 302 77.81% 32.45 2.468 51.66% -0.615 0.0301
Second Wave 0 541 59.33% 25.4 -1.287 61.0% -0.925 -0.4965
The Great River 3 50 74.0% 26.18 -0.375 38.0% -1.886 -0.423
Ward the Shores 2 551 47.01% 27.8 -0.664 39.93% -2.212 -1.1781

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 19632 44.03% 27.83 -0.546 77.48% 0.168 0.3408
1 Thematic 2572 44.07% 32.55 0.659 66.37% -0.374 -0.0122
2 Archipelago 3 66.67% 20.0 -2.247 33.33% -0.51 -0.2827
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4725 38.82% 29.3 -0.046 83.7% 0.221 0.2722
2 Coastline 347 40.58% 28.53 -0.322 82.71% 0.104 0.1112
2 Fragment 86 48.84% 26.55 -1.34 75.58% -0.38 -0.1234
2 Heart 56 49.09% 27.45 -0.685 83.93% 0.298 0.4399
2 Opposite Shores 601 41.33% 29.24 0.045 86.69% 0.535 0.6256
2 Thematic 563 41.99% 35.21 0.493 76.38% -0.289 -0.3309
2 Top to Top 84 34.57% 28.77 -0.252 86.9% 0.264 0.2334
3 Coastline 10 70.0% 28.0 0.503 50.0% -0.31 -0.5079
3 Other 57 42.11% 29.51 -0.014 91.23% 0.612 0.7859
3 Round (Default) 1402 34.1% 29.71 -0.167 86.88% 0.022 -0.0519
3 Sunrise 11 9.09% 31.73 0.851 90.91% -0.033 -0.3095
3 Thematic 112 41.07% 35.85 -0.754 75.89% -0.911 -1.3124
4 Coastline 3 100.0% 26.33 -2.539 66.67% -0.209 -0.1592
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 29.25 0.216 100.0% 0.323 0.2948
4 Other 33 36.36% 29.36 0.165 90.91% 0.187 0.0728
4 Thematic 1140 5.09% 57.17 3.229 98.33% 0.211 -0.8737
4 Trapezoid (Default) 756 35.23% 29.39 -0.626 84.66% -0.52 -0.6066
5 Other 2 50.0% 25.5 -0.546 100.0% 0.101 -0.5027
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 42.0 2.907 100.0% 0.519 -2.2438

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1286 22.46 -4.089 60.42% -2.216 -0.1432
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1094 22.62 -3.997 57.13% -2.358 -0.4403
All Things Weaken 361 21.09 -4.484 57.06% -2.432 -0.2621
Back Against the Wall 1043 22.74 -3.927 58.01% -2.34 -0.2486
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1139 18.78 -5.905 52.59% -2.55 -0.3252
Downward Spiral 1806 21.88 -4.406 63.01% -2.129 -0.1058
Erosion of Will 1200 21.89 -4.357 57.08% -2.351 -0.1416
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 171 27.56 -1.261 86.55% -0.698 -0.0111
Memory Fades to Dust 1724 21.5 -4.611 58.7% -2.3 -0.081
Power Corrodes the Spirit 399 21.31 -4.408 59.65% -2.266 -0.2424
Promising Farmlands 1167 19.89 -5.399 53.64% -2.538 -0.324
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 114 28.46 -0.845 93.86% 0.122 0.5319
Thriving Communities 356 19.19 -5.412 53.37% -2.531 -0.4367
Tipping Point 625 20.24 -5.277 53.6% -2.411 -0.1846
Unnatural Proliferation 389 21.93 -4.092 59.38% -2.334 -0.2475
Untended Land Crumbles 319 20.71 -4.739 61.13% -2.247 -0.1416

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6712 42.05% 28.39 -0.381 79.81% 0.103 -0.6575
B 7178 41.45% 28.52 -0.282 80.38% 0.085 -0.772
C 7207 39.81% 28.77 -0.158 81.03% 0.121 -0.9682
D 6821 39.33% 28.86 -0.123 81.09% 0.106 -0.7446
E 1654 42.25% 28.52 -0.12 83.56% 0.25 -0.7152
F 3321 41.18% 28.27 -0.333 81.84% 0.094 -0.8205
G 3174 42.58% 28.07 -0.433 80.97% 0.023 -0.8828
H 3087 39.67% 28.77 -0.12 83.19% 0.216 -0.6988
East 2020 21.75% 47.92 2.71 87.23% 0.396 -0.2535
Northeast 2169 22.81% 46.32 2.276 85.57% 0.239 -0.36
Northwest 1859 19.75% 48.07 2.243 88.43% 0.454 -0.2159
Southeast 249 36.55% 33.91 0.7 73.9% 0.039 -0.667
Southwest 227 48.46% 28.0 -2.577 63.44% -0.406 -0.6795
West 2006 22.39% 46.54 1.691 83.6% -0.235 -0.6334

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 107 0.0% 31.28 -1.279 85.98% -1.451 0.6054
Not Using Events or Tokens 702 50.0% 28.01 -0.252 74.79% 0.047 0.2633
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1419 2.61% 54.06 3.932 98.03% 0.841 0.1542
Start of Game Growth 1647 6.07% 50.92 3.126 96.11% 0.078 -0.3921
Unlimited Undo 1607 33.74% 31.1 0.502 84.88% 0.212 -0.2084
Using Tokens but Not Events 3300 33.69% 30.22 0.308 84.48% 0.247 0.1949

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3717 22.35 39.41%
II 10998 30.84 72.1%
III 12006 34.35 88.76%
IV 5482 37.52 98.81%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.375 Win Model: 0.324
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 22230 44.06% 28.37 76.19%
2 6467 39.51% 29.7 83.25%
3 1577 35.01% 30.14 85.92%
4 1927 17.4% 45.84 92.94%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1070
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7953
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5319
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4196
Lose: Invader deck ran out 191
Lose: Adversary condition 1694
Win: Sacrifice victory 133
Lose: Scenario condition 286
Win: Scenario condition 812
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4332
Lose: Spirit destroyed 231

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1614 46.39% 31.62 0.636 74.04% 0.038 0.1523
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1030 65.98% 29.03 -0.147 63.11% -0.223 -0.0166
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 925 55.8% 30.81 0.382 73.08% 0.225 0.1193
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1228 36.67% 36.14 2.811 83.39% 0.574 0.1816
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1033 47.91% 33.99 1.936 81.12% 0.661 0.3701
Fractured Days Split the Sky 114 59.65% 31.79 1.049 63.16% -0.324 0.0292
Heart of the Wildfire 1393 78.79% 24.33 -2.258 54.49% -0.339 -0.0106
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2448 55.64% 30.45 0.441 74.92% 0.31 -0.0199
Lightning's Swift Strike 1703 60.71% 29.81 -0.003 67.41% -0.021 0.2148
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 451 53.9% 31.99 1.25 80.27% 0.542 0.255
Many Minds Move as One 353 35.41% 35.41 2.517 84.99% 0.57 0.0396
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1556 65.16% 29.86 0.141 70.24% 0.199 -0.0157
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 945 56.04% 29.97 0.038 70.48% 0.044 0.0675
River Surges in Sunlight 2020 59.88% 30.43 0.323 62.28% -0.357 -0.2265
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1239 54.2% 29.66 -0.166 68.28% -0.157 -0.0416
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1147 75.96% 25.62 -1.754 51.18% -0.562 -0.1448
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1717 52.78% 31.35 0.699 71.99% 0.096 -0.0015
Shifting Memory of Ages 42 57.14% 30.64 0.328 76.19% 0.236 0.3272
Shroud of Silent Mist 111 75.68% 25.49 -1.399 60.36% -0.183 -0.1535
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 527 48.96% 29.24 -0.487 77.42% 0.264 0.2156
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 800 55.58% 28.95 -0.587 64.63% -0.27 -0.0957
Thunderspeaker 1563 56.37% 32.07 0.933 71.02% 0.134 0.166
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 385 83.55% 23.28 -2.522 54.29% -0.321 -0.3395
Vital Strength of the Earth 1423 55.21% 25.32 -2.478 48.28% -1.168 -0.3147
Volcano Looming High 218 68.2% 26.19 -1.227 64.68% -0.084 -0.103

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 428 55.4% 26.92 -1.723 60.51% -0.458 0.1111
Dahan Insurrection 4 353 38.81% 50.55 9.784 72.8% -0.318 0.0805
Despicable Theft 2 30 50.0% 35.13 2.707 60.0% -0.672 -0.4028
Elemental Invocation 1 34 64.71% 27.97 -0.462 55.88% -0.511 -0.0464
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 864 26.25% 33.83 1.403 70.95% -0.512 -0.1454
Powers Long Forgotten 1 405 66.67% 30.77 0.524 53.33% -0.585 -0.14
Rituals of Terror 3 223 66.37% 35.62 2.817 48.43% -0.851 -0.2056
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 188 83.96% 33.23 1.974 43.09% -0.642 0.003
Second Wave 0 1404 57.96% 30.23 0.395 60.83% -0.54 -0.1115
The Great River 3 29 75.86% 28.1 0.035 34.48% -1.337 0.1269
Ward the Shores 2 332 55.42% 27.46 -1.421 29.82% -2.275 -1.2407

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10726 58.22% 28.3 -0.716 65.52% -0.33 -0.157
1 Thematic 2064 55.76% 33.17 1.281 58.77% -0.447 -0.0851
2 Archipelago 3 66.67% 39.33 5.713 100.0% 0.659 0.8859
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2564 60.08% 29.29 -0.107 70.79% -0.089 -0.0379
2 Coastline 237 60.52% 30.59 0.462 74.68% 0.087 0.0942
2 Fragment 82 61.73% 26.57 -1.251 58.54% -0.579 -0.323
2 Heart 42 70.73% 26.86 -1.032 64.29% -0.318 -0.1764
2 Opposite Shores 450 56.15% 30.21 0.04 75.11% -0.038 0.0531
2 Thematic 548 57.3% 33.41 0.68 59.67% -0.247 -0.2887
2 Top to Top 71 71.83% 29.11 0.228 76.06% 0.341 0.3105
3 Coastline 7 57.14% 23.0 -2.423 42.86% -0.576 -0.7739
3 Other 49 44.9% 33.57 1.501 87.76% 0.608 0.7824
3 Round (Default) 853 55.24% 30.96 0.525 76.67% 0.168 0.0942
3 Sunrise 11 54.55% 27.73 -1.121 72.73% -0.225 -0.5017
3 Thematic 95 61.05% 33.37 0.311 61.05% 0.019 -0.3827
4 Leaf 3 66.67% 32.33 1.547 100.0% 0.596 0.5678
4 Other 17 47.06% 35.94 1.518 88.24% 0.328 0.2141
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 -0.91 100.0% 0.212 0.2654
4 Thematic 158 49.68% 37.32 0.86 74.05% 0.435 -0.649
4 Trapezoid (Default) 366 53.19% 31.5 0.113 73.5% -0.238 -0.3241
5 Other 4 50.0% 32.75 0.646 75.0% -0.344 -0.9477

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1006 24.63 -3.56 52.19% -1.848 0.2253
Aid From Lesser Spirits 836 25.02 -3.316 50.6% -1.982 -0.0637
All Things Weaken 307 22.79 -4.157 50.81% -1.875 0.2956
Back Against the Wall 815 24.9 -3.357 51.9% -1.888 0.2035
Disintegrating Ecosystem 870 21.08 -5.261 47.36% -2.058 0.1669
Downward Spiral 1426 23.72 -3.924 56.38% -1.678 0.3451
Erosion of Will 993 23.6 -4.038 48.64% -1.981 0.2285
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 102 31.0 -0.221 81.37% -0.536 0.1508
Memory Fades to Dust 1425 23.57 -4.023 52.49% -1.877 0.3418
Power Corrodes the Spirit 295 22.75 -4.183 52.2% -1.892 0.1315
Promising Farmlands 970 21.42 -5.078 44.33% -2.193 0.0208
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 61 32.38 0.414 85.25% 0.005 0.4146
Thriving Communities 310 22.09 -4.7 45.16% -2.16 -0.0657
Tipping Point 530 23.35 -4.189 49.43% -1.869 0.357
Unnatural Proliferation 338 24.46 -3.566 49.41% -2.008 0.0787
Untended Land Crumbles 306 23.27 -3.976 53.92% -1.773 0.3326

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3897 59.69% 28.39 -0.496 66.79% 0.169 -0.5913
B 4065 58.52% 29.41 0.037 70.41% 0.366 -0.4907
C 3962 56.86% 29.67 0.174 70.57% 0.356 -0.733
D 3753 58.69% 29.2 -0.049 69.04% 0.299 -0.5509
E 1087 56.96% 29.08 -0.252 70.01% 0.221 -0.7446
F 1842 58.32% 29.14 -0.269 69.49% 0.204 -0.7099
G 1662 57.36% 29.02 -0.363 68.35% 0.133 -0.772
H 1744 54.85% 30.09 0.1 71.85% 0.291 -0.6233
East 906 54.81% 35.41 1.816 62.8% 0.217 -0.4327
Northeast 958 55.33% 34.71 1.442 63.26% 0.23 -0.3685
Northwest 817 55.09% 34.33 1.25 64.14% 0.298 -0.3714
Southeast 194 48.97% 32.56 0.307 61.34% -0.089 -0.7952
Southwest 204 55.67% 28.77 -1.85 60.29% -0.098 -0.3712
West 942 58.3% 32.99 0.37 56.58% -0.148 -0.5462

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 65 0.0% 26.25 -3.922 56.92% -2.12 -0.0641
Not Using Events or Tokens 353 65.6% 28.05 -0.468 63.17% 0.008 0.2243
Skip Initial Invader Actions 332 17.95% 44.86 4.671 91.27% 0.983 0.2958
Start of Game Growth 446 21.36% 42.92 4.181 89.46% 0.779 0.3087
Unlimited Undo 1261 52.71% 30.44 0.04 70.66% -0.085 -0.5053
Using Tokens but Not Events 1838 53.79% 29.61 -0.042 70.67% 0.083 0.0303

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2345 22.35 9.3%
II 5529 30.84 47.57%
III 6836 34.35 84.14%
IV 3642 37.52 98.98%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.17 Win Model: -0.116
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12814 57.81% 29.09 64.46%
2 3990 59.72% 29.98 69.85%
3 1001 55.07% 31.13 75.02%
4 547 52.13% 33.34 74.41%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 171
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4322
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1755
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2782
Lose: Invader deck ran out 79
Lose: Adversary condition 1550
Win: Sacrifice victory 73
Lose: Scenario condition 234
Win: Scenario condition 356
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4047
Lose: Spirit destroyed 237

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2976 35.64% 35.95 0.579 56.35% 0.119 0.2329
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1813 50.91% 30.38 -1.804 39.82% -0.494 -0.2884
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1800 38.32% 33.96 -0.294 53.28% -0.045 -0.15
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2296 28.23% 39.28 2.409 63.41% 0.421 0.0286
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1474 38.36% 34.02 -0.276 49.73% -0.193 -0.4836
Fractured Days Split the Sky 346 37.39% 34.84 0.285 46.53% -0.355 -0.0013
Heart of the Wildfire 3191 68.14% 33.05 -0.05 56.44% 0.368 0.6963
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4709 43.61% 36.38 1.153 61.73% 0.427 0.0972
Lightning's Swift Strike 2981 47.19% 37.66 1.949 63.03% 0.593 0.8287
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 887 42.44% 37.15 1.498 63.7% 0.417 0.1295
Many Minds Move as One 651 35.18% 37.4 1.574 61.9% 0.275 -0.2557
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3198 48.77% 33.58 -0.669 50.81% -0.075 -0.2892
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1691 37.71% 35.59 0.597 57.24% 0.188 0.212
River Surges in Sunlight 4036 41.66% 36.54 0.887 51.73% -0.076 0.054
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2775 42.21% 30.02 -2.304 39.96% -0.628 -0.513
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1853 60.65% 29.59 -2.138 38.42% -0.532 -0.1152
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3130 40.97% 38.87 2.357 66.17% 0.629 0.5321
Shifting Memory of Ages 136 55.88% 28.35 -2.356 37.5% -0.59 -0.4992
Shroud of Silent Mist 298 64.43% 29.1 -2.189 42.62% -0.404 -0.3743
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1160 38.57% 30.32 -1.985 48.28% -0.299 -0.3473
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1447 38.9% 38.38 1.918 64.13% 0.501 0.6754
Thunderspeaker 2819 43.67% 38.07 1.737 59.77% 0.37 0.4025
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 954 69.29% 28.2 -2.489 42.77% -0.323 -0.3411
Vital Strength of the Earth 2315 38.42% 26.55 -3.957 27.69% -1.158 -0.3041
Volcano Looming High 510 48.63% 35.27 0.521 62.35% 0.352 0.3335

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 567 33.98% 21.53 -6.279 18.87% -1.684 -1.1145
Dahan Insurrection 4 710 25.07% 56.0 9.935 63.38% 0.268 0.6658
Despicable Theft 2 30 70.0% 38.93 2.927 53.33% -0.137 0.1324
Elemental Invocation 1 61 44.26% 33.38 -0.843 44.26% -0.652 -0.1881
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1439 19.36% 41.05 3.263 69.01% 0.67 1.0368
Powers Long Forgotten 1 420 54.89% 34.31 0.139 41.43% -0.43 0.015
Rituals of Terror 3 203 51.72% 42.42 4.671 46.31% -0.063 0.5818
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 120 75.63% 36.35 1.885 34.17% -0.476 0.169
Second Wave 0 715 47.06% 32.91 -0.716 41.26% -0.604 -0.1755
The Great River 3 21 14.29% 23.1 -5.78 0.0% -2.489 -1.0251
Ward the Shores 2 461 41.0% 38.33 0.336 38.61% -1.136 -0.102

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 20936 45.91% 32.99 -0.149 50.96% -0.169 0.0035
1 Thematic 1170 38.8% 34.03 -0.517 35.73% -0.631 -0.2688
2 Archipelago 6 66.67% 30.5 0.08 33.33% -0.239 -0.0122
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5259 47.58% 33.9 -0.004 54.21% -0.12 -0.0689
2 Coastline 513 44.81% 33.73 -0.323 52.63% -0.283 -0.276
2 Fragment 108 61.11% 30.08 -1.76 44.44% -0.499 -0.2428
2 Heart 42 54.76% 32.43 -0.644 52.38% -0.214 -0.072
2 Opposite Shores 1091 48.99% 32.53 -0.521 50.5% -0.2 -0.1097
2 Thematic 535 38.2% 32.53 -2.007 31.4% -0.712 -0.7539
2 Top to Top 145 50.34% 36.16 1.002 62.76% 0.216 0.1856
3 Coastline 7 28.57% 43.86 3.961 71.43% 0.199 0.0003
3 Other 55 40.0% 37.38 1.618 67.27% 0.328 0.5029
3 Round (Default) 1892 43.99% 35.68 0.447 59.73% 0.009 -0.0646
3 Sunrise 8 25.0% 41.88 2.824 75.0% 0.304 0.0278
3 Thematic 102 42.16% 38.45 -0.024 43.14% 0.151 -0.2504
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 17.0 -10.027 0.0% -1.065 -1.0149
4 Leaf 10 60.0% 37.3 0.662 70.0% 0.093 0.065
4 Other 40 47.5% 43.27 3.584 80.0% 0.87 0.7561
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 49.0 6.115 100.0% 0.327 -0.5277
4 Thematic 460 17.17% 51.14 3.921 71.96% 1.166 0.0816
4 Trapezoid (Default) 932 42.08% 38.05 0.782 62.45% -0.006 -0.0925
5 Other 7 71.43% 41.57 3.888 85.71% 0.431 -0.1727
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 77.0 12.909 100.0% 0.066 -2.6966

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1441 30.7 -1.983 49.27% -0.337 1.7363
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1219 31.98 -1.353 50.21% -0.274 1.6438
All Things Weaken 493 29.9 -2.288 47.46% -0.398 1.7726
Back Against the Wall 1187 31.39 -1.661 49.03% -0.332 1.7594
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1378 27.07 -3.871 43.03% -0.617 1.6074
Downward Spiral 1718 29.89 -2.291 48.25% -0.276 1.7465
Erosion of Will 1366 29.2 -2.65 44.29% -0.491 1.7179
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 251 32.39 -1.186 53.39% -0.203 0.4835
Memory Fades to Dust 1787 28.87 -2.757 44.49% -0.423 1.796
Power Corrodes the Spirit 434 28.07 -3.018 43.78% -0.5 1.5243
Promising Farmlands 1447 26.1 -4.328 35.52% -0.91 1.3036
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 124 33.91 -0.26 61.29% 0.209 0.6184
Thriving Communities 495 29.27 -2.548 49.29% -0.289 1.8053
Tipping Point 791 27.05 -3.715 39.19% -0.7 1.5262
Unnatural Proliferation 470 29.8 -2.34 44.89% -0.502 1.5847
Untended Land Crumbles 478 27.77 -3.307 43.93% -0.537 1.5685

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7516 47.52% 33.19 -0.354 51.84% 0.507 -0.2532
B 8115 46.38% 34.19 0.218 54.64% 0.624 -0.2327
C 8517 44.65% 33.98 0.13 53.75% 0.594 -0.4948
D 7643 47.46% 33.25 -0.282 51.62% 0.512 -0.3383
E 2354 44.9% 35.01 0.666 57.26% 0.729 -0.2363
F 3661 45.48% 34.82 0.373 56.49% 0.632 -0.2824
G 3671 45.38% 34.62 0.27 55.71% 0.622 -0.2838
H 3726 43.79% 35.04 0.42 56.63% 0.63 -0.2839
East 1067 28.33% 42.47 1.838 52.01% 0.612 -0.037
Northeast 1007 32.11% 41.74 1.422 51.34% 0.344 -0.2543
Northwest 880 30.8% 42.52 1.568 53.64% 0.592 -0.0776
Southeast 129 27.91% 37.05 -0.949 45.74% 0.093 -0.6135
Southwest 121 30.58% 34.44 -2.611 42.15% -0.353 -0.6256
West 1109 27.68% 40.46 0.431 47.7% -0.044 -0.4421

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 60 0.0% 35.25 -1.717 55.0% -0.561 1.4953
Not Using Events or Tokens 267 39.15% 27.82 -3.322 29.21% -1.041 -0.8255
Skip Initial Invader Actions 342 14.51% 50.65 5.798 80.12% 1.116 0.4286
Start of Game Growth 755 21.34% 47.63 4.283 74.3% 0.648 0.1782
Unlimited Undo 1938 43.01% 36.05 0.771 57.89% 0.15 -0.2702
Using Tokens but Not Events 2203 40.38% 33.68 -0.479 51.02% -0.208 -0.2607

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8016 22.35 4.19%
II 12971 30.84 44.05%
III 8896 34.35 87.83%
IV 3439 37.52 99.16%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.359 Win Model: -0.51
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 22133 45.56% 33.06 50.18%
2 7696 47.18% 33.58 52.03%
3 2051 43.55% 35.91 59.09%
4 1442 34.57% 42.34 65.95%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 241
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5987
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3990
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2761
Lose: Invader deck ran out 24
Lose: Adversary condition 11995
Win: Sacrifice victory 79
Lose: Scenario condition 299
Win: Scenario condition 628
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3483
Lose: Spirit destroyed 248

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2547 44.96% 40.0 0.365 51.0% 0.041 0.1553
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1458 61.97% 33.12 -2.562 32.78% -0.601 -0.3954
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1502 49.06% 39.48 0.387 51.8% 0.167 0.0612
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1917 43.89% 43.73 2.547 59.42% 0.5 0.1076
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1338 48.35% 38.26 -0.346 45.14% -0.156 -0.447
Fractured Days Split the Sky 402 49.0% 40.37 0.887 43.53% -0.238 0.1154
Heart of the Wildfire 2418 80.31% 33.87 -2.005 42.6% -0.061 0.267
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7434 53.78% 41.42 1.79 55.64% 0.406 0.0756
Lightning's Swift Strike 2722 58.35% 40.16 0.876 53.16% 0.286 0.5224
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1004 61.16% 41.09 1.33 57.97% 0.397 0.1098
Many Minds Move as One 580 39.55% 43.95 2.201 60.69% 0.352 -0.1791
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3123 57.16% 39.17 0.151 50.21% 0.152 -0.0621
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1541 52.18% 39.22 0.391 50.75% 0.151 0.1747
River Surges in Sunlight 3816 53.61% 39.61 0.437 45.49% -0.122 0.0086
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2509 49.64% 36.2 -1.724 40.93% -0.466 -0.3509
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1461 70.99% 32.33 -3.044 31.49% -0.686 -0.2688
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3453 51.15% 43.24 2.766 60.41% 0.659 0.5612
Shifting Memory of Ages 138 71.74% 34.1 -1.948 38.41% -0.383 -0.2923
Shroud of Silent Mist 286 72.73% 31.81 -3.12 33.92% -0.594 -0.5646
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1368 48.98% 37.05 -0.903 49.93% 0.023 -0.0257
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1186 53.13% 41.92 1.62 57.17% 0.407 0.5815
Thunderspeaker 2591 58.24% 40.77 0.947 50.83% 0.193 0.225
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1046 77.7% 32.13 -2.865 38.05% -0.365 -0.3828
Vital Strength of the Earth 1930 50.31% 31.74 -3.573 28.7% -0.921 -0.0671
Volcano Looming High 616 66.72% 38.16 0.076 54.38% 0.301 0.2827

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 343 38.42% 26.18 -6.574 18.37% -1.707 -1.1375
Dahan Insurrection 4 635 45.58% 50.98 6.274 41.57% -0.191 0.2069
Despicable Theft 2 10 50.0% 46.3 3.583 50.0% -0.132 0.1373
Elemental Invocation 1 31 77.42% 37.03 -0.789 41.94% -0.464 0.0006
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1522 20.45% 50.29 5.848 73.52% 1.238 1.6047
Powers Long Forgotten 1 222 63.51% 38.67 0.299 39.19% -0.253 0.1915
Rituals of Terror 3 135 63.16% 41.23 1.824 30.37% -0.62 0.0245
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 100 78.0% 37.32 0.155 25.0% -0.782 -0.1368
Second Wave 0 498 56.74% 34.65 -1.863 31.33% -0.782 -0.3535
The Great River 3 7 28.57% 25.71 -6.924 0.0% -1.559 -0.0951
Ward the Shores 2 191 59.16% 34.85 -1.757 22.51% -1.212 -0.1784

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 22230 56.29% 37.64 -0.35 46.55% -0.328 -0.1559
1 Thematic 965 43.15% 34.89 -1.381 24.66% -0.685 -0.3234
2 Archipelago 3 66.67% 57.67 8.817 100.0% 0.671 0.8978
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4868 60.64% 38.38 0.029 49.51% -0.248 -0.1969
2 Coastline 476 57.05% 40.44 0.806 55.25% -0.102 -0.0951
2 Fragment 117 68.38% 40.45 0.686 55.56% -0.121 0.1347
2 Heart 36 77.78% 46.0 3.751 66.67% 0.522 0.6635
2 Opposite Shores 967 53.0% 39.98 0.239 53.26% -0.306 -0.2153
2 Thematic 287 38.33% 32.49 -2.348 18.82% -0.58 -0.6218
2 Top to Top 108 61.68% 38.9 0.276 51.85% -0.192 -0.2227
3 Coastline 12 8.33% 48.33 3.671 66.67% 0.064 -0.1339
3 Other 78 46.15% 49.88 4.818 79.49% 0.72 0.894
3 Round (Default) 1978 56.07% 42.03 1.153 57.99% -0.084 -0.1577
3 Sunrise 8 50.0% 49.38 5.138 75.0% 0.521 0.2445
3 Thematic 94 26.6% 32.86 -2.403 18.09% -0.217 -0.6185
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 41.0 2.721 50.0% 0.073 0.5816
4 Coastline 3 100.0% 49.0 3.971 66.67% 0.011 0.0611
4 Leaf 8 37.5% 34.88 -2.824 37.5% -0.798 -0.8261
4 Other 48 58.33% 42.35 0.998 58.33% -0.278 -0.3922
4 Thematic 281 36.2% 39.18 0.417 31.32% 0.89 -0.1942
4 Trapezoid (Default) 903 49.89% 44.27 1.173 61.9% -0.23 -0.3167
5 Other 9 75.0% 51.22 3.7 88.89% 0.244 -0.36
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 57.0 14.897 100.0% 0.939 -1.8236

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1770 36.07 -1.452 45.59% -0.199 1.8737
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1525 38.16 -0.429 49.05% -0.059 1.859
All Things Weaken 684 36.76 -1.015 48.68% -0.078 2.0925
Back Against the Wall 1534 36.98 -1.141 46.35% -0.198 1.8936
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1659 32.24 -3.354 38.88% -0.456 1.7683
Downward Spiral 2119 34.76 -2.007 44.12% -0.191 1.8322
Erosion of Will 1771 34.39 -2.251 40.94% -0.358 1.8508
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 298 41.34 1.049 57.72% 0.226 0.9119
Memory Fades to Dust 2038 34.7 -2.013 42.79% -0.238 1.9803
Power Corrodes the Spirit 584 35.52 -1.641 46.23% -0.187 1.8368
Promising Farmlands 1728 31.53 -3.753 34.26% -0.696 1.5176
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 165 41.72 1.187 59.39% 0.283 0.6928
Thriving Communities 637 35.54 -1.64 47.57% -0.133 1.962
Tipping Point 917 33.01 -2.932 37.73% -0.463 1.7636
Unnatural Proliferation 662 37.36 -0.757 46.98% -0.157 1.9298
Untended Land Crumbles 603 33.5 -2.696 40.8% -0.425 1.6808

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7571 58.55% 38.27 -0.137 48.57% 0.64 -0.1203
B 7967 56.76% 39.0 0.205 50.19% 0.673 -0.1837
C 8221 55.38% 39.5 0.576 51.28% 0.753 -0.3354
D 7431 56.47% 39.04 0.298 50.28% 0.713 -0.137
E 2632 57.44% 41.24 1.32 56.42% 0.88 -0.0853
F 4112 55.19% 39.48 0.355 51.41% 0.672 -0.2418
G 3856 57.87% 38.07 -0.405 48.13% 0.518 -0.3875
H 3786 55.12% 40.56 0.867 54.12% 0.785 -0.1288
East 747 36.64% 36.05 -0.706 24.63% 0.092 -0.5578
Northeast 718 39.58% 37.85 0.167 28.69% 0.335 -0.2639
Northwest 557 40.72% 35.95 -1.306 26.03% -0.004 -0.6735
Southeast 94 43.62% 31.27 -2.236 21.28% -0.107 -0.8126
Southwest 97 42.27% 27.24 -5.112 17.53% -0.608 -0.8811
West 676 32.79% 35.19 -1.689 22.49% -0.441 -0.8396

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 54 0.0% 42.83 -0.992 61.11% -0.202 1.8538
Not Using Events or Tokens 279 48.72% 30.04 -3.84 24.01% -0.973 -0.757
Skip Initial Invader Actions 522 12.87% 57.41 6.841 80.27% 1.214 0.5274
Start of Game Growth 649 15.59% 54.49 5.428 76.73% 0.797 0.3269
Unlimited Undo 2461 51.13% 40.63 0.759 51.85% 0.137 -0.2833
Using Tokens but Not Events 1728 49.7% 37.98 -0.728 46.99% -0.248 -0.3002

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11262 22.35 3.09%
II 10461 30.84 45.65%
III 8161 34.35 88.46%
IV 3601 37.52 99.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.407 Win Model: -0.559
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 23229 55.77% 37.54 45.69%
2 6849 58.57% 38.55 49.29%
3 2169 54.13% 41.96 57.17%
4 1238 47.13% 43.0 54.68%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 264
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5692
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3544
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2902
Lose: Invader deck ran out 109
Lose: Adversary condition 12019
Win: Sacrifice victory 69
Lose: Scenario condition 276
Win: Scenario condition 307
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4824
Lose: Spirit destroyed 350

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2088 40.43% 45.04 0.368 53.83% -0.039 0.0754
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1064 58.87% 36.17 -3.653 32.33% -0.883 -0.6774
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1840 41.13% 48.4 2.522 64.73% 0.503 0.3972
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1283 43.94% 45.08 0.809 53.86% 0.068 -0.3249
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1497 38.6% 49.66 3.082 64.93% 0.515 0.2246
Fractured Days Split the Sky 329 48.02% 44.05 0.602 46.2% -0.177 0.1767
Heart of the Wildfire 2066 74.96% 39.33 -1.761 45.26% -0.115 0.2134
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4260 47.71% 45.67 1.036 57.68% 0.223 -0.1071
Lightning's Swift Strike 1719 56.22% 44.98 1.0 54.8% 0.254 0.4904
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 763 55.7% 47.63 2.279 63.56% 0.496 0.2091
Many Minds Move as One 345 42.03% 48.07 2.122 61.74% 0.294 -0.2372
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3069 49.82% 45.17 0.655 55.56% 0.175 -0.0396
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1078 51.4% 44.29 0.587 54.82% 0.179 0.203
River Surges in Sunlight 2916 49.66% 45.22 0.623 50.58% -0.137 -0.0063
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1748 46.87% 39.73 -2.379 41.3% -0.613 -0.4984
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 939 67.38% 36.65 -3.245 34.5% -0.733 -0.3161
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2515 45.68% 49.1 3.121 64.53% 0.627 0.5292
Shifting Memory of Ages 99 68.69% 39.58 -1.696 44.44% -0.336 -0.2447
Shroud of Silent Mist 535 68.97% 43.7 0.929 55.51% 0.296 0.3253
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 833 46.88% 40.7 -1.61 49.94% -0.17 -0.2184
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 962 53.19% 46.58 1.578 60.08% 0.324 0.4979
Thunderspeaker 1777 56.3% 44.36 0.369 51.1% 0.019 0.0513
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 666 74.7% 34.64 -4.251 36.34% -0.722 -0.7398
Vital Strength of the Earth 1158 48.44% 36.43 -3.675 31.52% -0.96 -0.1059
Volcano Looming High 406 59.61% 42.58 0.067 55.17% 0.221 0.2019

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 179 36.87% 28.36 -7.414 17.88% -1.73 -1.1612
Dahan Insurrection 4 457 36.4% 58.4 8.148 48.8% 0.249 0.6474
Despicable Theft 2 6 66.67% 32.17 -4.588 16.67% -0.743 -0.4732
Elemental Invocation 1 45 48.89% 32.2 -6.488 17.78% -1.856 -1.392
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1189 19.58% 54.08 5.31 71.83% 1.033 1.3996
Powers Long Forgotten 1 120 62.5% 38.0 -1.821 30.0% -0.683 -0.238
Rituals of Terror 3 118 46.61% 39.77 -0.354 21.19% -0.897 -0.2522
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 150 68.67% 37.16 -1.343 18.0% -1.052 -0.4064
Second Wave 0 287 58.54% 38.52 -2.165 33.8% -0.749 -0.3202
The Great River 3 5 60.0% 27.4 -7.583 0.0% -1.295 0.1684
Ward the Shores 2 206 57.28% 34.88 -2.937 15.53% -1.405 -0.3716

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 14408 51.94% 42.53 -0.185 50.19% -0.189 -0.0169
1 Thematic 786 41.22% 36.01 -2.766 20.74% -0.749 -0.3868
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3405 58.16% 42.93 -0.011 52.07% -0.163 -0.1111
2 Coastline 314 54.63% 42.5 -0.609 50.64% -0.381 -0.374
2 Fragment 68 66.18% 37.97 -2.322 41.18% -0.624 -0.3683
2 Heart 24 66.67% 40.46 -1.446 50.0% -0.332 -0.1899
2 Opposite Shores 669 53.36% 42.08 -0.787 49.78% -0.364 -0.2738
2 Thematic 271 38.75% 33.61 -3.964 16.24% -0.503 -0.544
2 Top to Top 240 51.67% 48.23 2.216 65.83% 0.262 0.231
3 Coastline 12 33.33% 45.0 -0.519 50.0% -0.588 -0.7866
3 Other 56 42.86% 52.98 4.217 76.79% 0.465 0.6395
3 Round (Default) 1781 48.68% 47.31 1.256 61.26% -0.006 -0.0797
3 Sunrise 6 83.33% 41.17 -1.015 50.0% -0.036 -0.3128
3 Thematic 44 38.64% 32.68 -2.309 11.36% 0.131 -0.2705
4 Archipelago 15 86.67% 37.27 -2.596 33.33% -0.871 -0.3625
4 Coastline 8 12.5% 66.75 9.395 100.0% 1.015 1.0657
4 Leaf 17 35.29% 54.24 4.609 82.35% 0.876 0.8476
4 Other 43 55.81% 54.07 4.031 79.07% 0.612 0.4977
4 Snake 4 100.0% 30.0 -7.466 25.0% -1.058 -1.0042
4 Thematic 222 38.29% 44.58 1.429 38.29% 2.027 0.9424
4 Trapezoid (Default) 958 44.92% 51.11 1.892 67.01% -0.11 -0.1967
5 Other 13 53.85% 58.69 6.501 92.31% 0.603 -0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1141 40.32 -1.676 48.38% -0.185 1.8877
Aid From Lesser Spirits 900 43.25 -0.31 53.33% 0.03 1.9485
All Things Weaken 392 42.38 -0.639 53.06% 0.012 2.1826
Back Against the Wall 908 42.39 -0.846 50.11% -0.119 1.9726
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1159 36.5 -3.659 42.11% -0.451 1.7741
Downward Spiral 1299 38.85 -2.288 46.5% -0.172 1.8506
Erosion of Will 1126 38.5 -2.726 42.98% -0.441 1.7676
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 187 44.33 0.126 57.75% 0.1 0.7867
Memory Fades to Dust 1378 38.4 -2.593 44.27% -0.316 1.9026
Power Corrodes the Spirit 373 40.51 -1.467 49.33% -0.133 1.891
Promising Farmlands 1258 34.39 -4.755 34.1% -0.83 1.3837
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 101 44.07 -0.215 56.44% -0.013 0.3968
Thriving Communities 393 39.45 -2.081 49.87% -0.137 1.9573
Tipping Point 646 36.91 -3.472 40.25% -0.518 1.7083
Unnatural Proliferation 414 41.72 -0.897 50.72% -0.072 2.0149
Untended Land Crumbles 397 37.4 -3.092 42.57% -0.439 1.6671

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5315 53.49% 43.03 -0.432 51.04% 0.781 0.0208
B 5591 53.39% 44.13 0.198 53.71% 0.878 0.0212
C 7716 46.29% 47.51 2.586 61.4% 1.308 0.2189
D 5331 53.06% 43.26 -0.264 51.75% 0.817 -0.033
E 2163 59.65% 44.36 0.722 55.48% 1.011 0.0458
F 2658 54.27% 44.04 0.128 54.14% 0.853 -0.0608
G 2464 53.75% 43.21 -0.013 52.35% 0.883 -0.0229
H 2495 51.52% 44.39 0.176 54.19% 0.834 -0.0806
East 542 35.79% 38.49 -1.82 23.62% -0.407 -1.0561
Northeast 541 40.85% 40.91 0.28 29.39% 0.67 0.0716
Northwest 529 46.69% 36.74 -1.966 23.06% 0.024 -0.6457
Southeast 53 35.85% 43.62 0.228 45.28% 0.627 -0.0787
Southwest 53 24.53% 38.34 -3.123 37.74% -0.145 -0.4176
West 555 32.97% 37.38 -2.314 21.98% -0.407 -0.8061

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 42 0.0% 43.55 -1.648 50.0% -0.46 1.5967
Not Using Events or Tokens 135 53.73% 32.63 -4.838 23.7% -1.155 -0.939
Skip Initial Invader Actions 292 23.53% 60.6 7.029 77.4% 1.384 0.6972
Start of Game Growth 375 25.7% 56.85 4.836 73.87% 0.685 0.2151
Unlimited Undo 1963 55.37% 43.53 0.227 52.52% 0.106 -0.3144
Using Tokens but Not Events 1056 48.47% 42.4 -0.903 49.72% -0.214 -0.2667

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7373 22.35 2.96%
II 7111 30.84 47.25%
III 7216 34.35 91.67%
IV 1664 37.52 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.554 Win Model: -0.691
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 15205 51.38% 42.21 48.71%
2 4997 56.07% 42.47 50.27%
3 1892 48.47% 47.07 60.36%
4 1270 44.19% 49.98 62.28%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 147
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5093
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2448
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1293
Lose: Invader deck ran out 17
Lose: Adversary condition 8267
Win: Sacrifice victory 38
Lose: Scenario condition 200
Win: Scenario condition 255
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2795
Lose: Spirit destroyed 234

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1274 49.8% 54.97 1.685 66.25% 0.376 0.4898
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 566 63.06% 42.27 -3.533 38.52% -0.711 -0.5052
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 666 49.1% 51.83 0.282 61.41% 0.083 -0.0219
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1236 41.57% 54.38 2.327 66.18% 0.473 0.0798
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 398 46.8% 45.79 -1.657 45.48% -0.253 -0.5437
Fractured Days Split the Sky 155 54.84% 50.99 0.96 52.9% -0.008 0.3456
Heart of the Wildfire 927 88.67% 41.87 -3.477 42.93% -0.456 -0.1278
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2757 54.25% 56.26 3.253 70.55% 0.605 0.2753
Lightning's Swift Strike 1185 48.09% 55.83 1.908 65.99% 0.454 0.6901
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 516 54.84% 53.25 1.043 66.67% 0.226 -0.0615
Many Minds Move as One 218 43.12% 53.54 1.472 64.22% 0.239 -0.2913
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1396 56.13% 51.82 0.755 60.6% 0.328 0.1138
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 725 51.72% 52.01 0.714 63.45% 0.262 0.2862
River Surges in Sunlight 1616 56.12% 52.92 0.831 59.47% 0.009 0.139
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1014 49.01% 48.33 -2.321 51.38% -0.528 -0.4132
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 513 64.52% 43.17 -3.408 40.55% -0.753 -0.3366
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1227 45.97% 54.25 1.613 65.2% 0.36 0.2628
Shifting Memory of Ages 52 57.69% 46.85 -1.47 50.0% -0.09 0.0013
Shroud of Silent Mist 88 70.45% 42.99 -3.192 44.32% -0.555 -0.5261
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1117 44.85% 52.19 -0.605 65.0% -0.225 -0.273
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 589 48.98% 56.51 2.444 70.63% 0.592 0.7658
Thunderspeaker 900 59.33% 50.53 0.696 54.89% 0.228 0.2608
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 432 69.68% 45.09 -2.353 52.55% -0.182 -0.2002
Vital Strength of the Earth 775 50.97% 43.22 -4.164 38.97% -1.0 -0.1463
Volcano Looming High 249 61.04% 50.28 0.348 64.26% 0.333 0.3145

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 141 32.62% 35.74 -7.121 26.24% -1.517 -0.9477
Dahan Insurrection 4 219 49.32% 61.58 6.742 47.95% 0.047 0.445
Despicable Theft 2 4 25.0% 61.75 5.165 75.0% 0.274 0.5439
Elemental Invocation 1 8 62.5% 53.75 3.002 62.5% 0.419 0.8832
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1511 31.77% 62.94 5.554 83.45% 1.453 1.819
Powers Long Forgotten 1 120 50.0% 41.53 -2.581 28.33% -0.678 -0.2331
Rituals of Terror 3 89 47.19% 41.24 -2.212 16.85% -1.098 -0.453
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 99 75.76% 38.33 -3.423 13.13% -1.403 -0.7576
Second Wave 0 162 62.11% 38.86 -4.765 28.4% -1.137 -0.7081
The Great River 3 10 60.0% 36.1 -6.58 10.0% -1.527 -0.0631
Ward the Shores 2 223 57.85% 39.2 -4.665 20.18% -1.642 -0.6083

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6607 56.07% 48.07 0.074 53.79% 0.344 0.5165
1 Thematic 575 44.17% 40.15 -3.154 22.78% -0.31 0.0518
2 Archipelago 1 100.0% 72.0 10.904 100.0% 0.254 0.481
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1590 65.14% 48.14 -0.405 54.65% 0.014 0.0656
2 Coastline 161 59.01% 48.93 -0.268 55.28% -0.013 -0.0056
2 Fragment 48 77.08% 40.27 -3.349 39.58% -0.287 -0.0311
2 Heart 21 57.14% 40.48 -3.196 38.1% -0.319 -0.1769
2 Opposite Shores 330 62.73% 45.96 -2.006 49.7% -0.377 -0.286
2 Thematic 126 38.1% 36.98 -4.746 15.08% -0.412 -0.4535
2 Top to Top 45 55.56% 55.38 2.693 71.11% 0.517 0.4859
3 Archipelago 2 50.0% 52.5 2.751 50.0% 0.016 1.0982
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 40.33 -4.45 33.33% -0.443 -0.6408
3 Other 36 83.33% 47.89 -0.892 55.56% -0.186 -0.0114
3 Round (Default) 1324 52.15% 55.68 1.463 71.15% -0.082 -0.1559
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 23.5 -10.129 0.0% -0.53 -0.8069
3 Thematic 46 26.09% 37.41 -4.521 15.22% -0.054 -0.4555
4 Coastline 7 14.29% 73.43 7.579 100.0% 0.509 0.5597
4 Leaf 4 75.0% 45.25 -2.294 50.0% -0.347 -0.3748
4 Other 27 62.96% 62.0 3.993 85.19% 0.437 0.3228
4 Thematic 242 18.99% 62.79 2.438 64.46% 1.238 0.1536
4 Trapezoid (Default) 846 50.59% 58.84 1.542 76.12% -0.349 -0.4359
5 Other 10 70.0% 56.1 -0.052 70.0% -0.701 -1.3046
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 86.0 13.124 100.0% 1.069 -1.6935

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 670 49.21 -0.126 57.91% 0.2 2.2732
Aid From Lesser Spirits 552 50.26 0.158 57.97% 0.122 2.0403
All Things Weaken 197 48.15 -0.598 56.85% 0.087 2.2575
Back Against the Wall 493 45.88 -1.814 49.09% -0.18 1.9115
Disintegrating Ecosystem 640 43.61 -2.924 48.13% -0.254 1.9707
Downward Spiral 695 47.14 -0.916 54.82% 0.162 2.185
Erosion of Will 633 45.83 -1.761 51.34% -0.117 2.0917
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 113 52.08 0.637 66.37% 0.364 1.05
Memory Fades to Dust 689 45.53 -1.87 51.67% -0.068 2.1503
Power Corrodes the Spirit 225 46.08 -1.863 53.33% -0.128 1.8955
Promising Farmlands 651 39.89 -4.527 37.48% -0.653 1.5606
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 57 57.6 2.657 77.19% 0.681 1.0913
Thriving Communities 227 48.51 -0.334 60.79% 0.317 2.4115
Tipping Point 373 45.77 -1.73 51.47% -0.044 2.1827
Unnatural Proliferation 230 47.23 -1.296 53.04% -0.118 1.9685
Untended Land Crumbles 206 45.83 -1.55 53.4% 0.052 2.158

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2838 58.89% 50.27 -0.17 58.67% 0.387 -0.3736
B 3166 59.68% 50.43 -0.103 59.16% 0.425 -0.4325
C 3722 55.38% 53.15 2.066 64.64% 0.809 -0.2793
D 2800 57.64% 50.85 0.033 60.0% 0.429 -0.4211
E 1205 52.37% 53.5 0.966 66.39% 0.56 -0.4053
F 1723 53.05% 51.21 -0.064 61.06% 0.356 -0.5576
G 1576 54.51% 52.92 1.099 64.47% 0.651 -0.2547
H 1696 54.28% 52.77 0.733 63.92% 0.491 -0.4228
East 519 30.35% 48.82 -1.424 37.96% -0.392 -1.0417
Northeast 457 34.96% 52.86 0.255 45.08% 0.148 -0.4505
Northwest 398 29.26% 53.83 -0.129 46.48% -0.224 -0.8941
Southeast 42 30.95% 44.14 -2.729 33.33% -0.164 -0.8699
Southwest 29 24.14% 42.48 -3.264 34.48% -0.194 -0.4665
West 463 21.83% 50.77 -1.098 41.04% -0.537 -0.9356

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 19 0.0% 45.74 -5.115 42.11% -0.879 1.1777
Not Using Events or Tokens 62 62.9% 32.05 -6.538 16.13% -1.157 -0.9411
Skip Initial Invader Actions 291 6.62% 73.18 7.147 89.0% 1.809 1.1221
Start of Game Growth 423 12.56% 68.87 5.291 84.63% 0.606 0.1356
Unlimited Undo 1144 48.95% 53.52 1.041 62.76% 0.222 -0.1976
Using Tokens but Not Events 534 32.04% 58.8 1.499 69.29% 0.042 -0.0104

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3445 22.35 5.78%
II 5033 30.84 62.31%
III 2894 34.35 92.64%
IV 684 37.52 99.85%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.553 Win Model: -0.193
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7189 55.13% 47.44 51.31%
2 2330 62.95% 47.25 51.8%
3 1406 52.1% 54.84 68.85%
4 1131 44.03% 59.81 73.83%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 153
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2123
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2096
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 589
Lose: Invader deck ran out 6
Lose: Adversary condition 3632
Win: Sacrifice victory 28
Lose: Scenario condition 138
Win: Scenario condition 150
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1498
Lose: Spirit destroyed 83

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4737 47.0% 51.22 -0.297 49.23% 0.02 0.1343
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2688 60.11% 40.87 -5.136 29.5% -0.957 -0.7507
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2984 49.88% 49.58 -0.786 48.69% -0.019 -0.1246
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4504 38.55% 55.7 2.123 57.75% 0.386 -0.0066
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1953 51.83% 47.88 -1.583 43.98% -0.249 -0.5397
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1299 49.58% 57.12 2.782 54.81% 0.162 0.5156
Heart of the Wildfire 4864 81.76% 43.72 -3.449 38.67% -0.426 -0.098
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 16914 54.39% 56.46 3.034 62.36% 0.559 0.2291
Lightning's Swift Strike 7565 55.14% 56.02 2.675 59.51% 0.547 0.7826
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3317 54.13% 57.31 3.064 65.99% 0.665 0.3779
Many Minds Move as One 1261 47.5% 54.92 1.779 59.95% 0.374 -0.1572
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9187 51.53% 53.77 1.003 55.24% 0.29 0.0749
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3436 54.21% 51.78 0.378 52.88% 0.182 0.2059
River Surges in Sunlight 9281 53.34% 53.65 1.048 52.0% 0.054 0.1842
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5818 46.78% 46.13 -3.265 40.12% -0.66 -0.5451
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2427 63.86% 43.81 -3.962 34.94% -0.804 -0.3867
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6103 47.6% 56.56 2.631 62.0% 0.526 0.4288
Shifting Memory of Ages 310 60.32% 43.35 -3.768 36.77% -0.619 -0.5279
Shroud of Silent Mist 522 69.94% 45.23 -3.084 41.76% -0.445 -0.4161
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4385 46.13% 48.94 -1.016 50.17% 0.055 0.0064
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3625 54.01% 57.32 3.292 63.59% 0.687 0.8613
Thunderspeaker 4667 51.85% 50.99 -0.193 45.06% -0.026 0.0066
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2725 76.69% 43.44 -3.683 41.36% -0.417 -0.4351
Vital Strength of the Earth 3221 54.22% 37.84 -6.97 22.04% -1.553 -0.6997
Volcano Looming High 2019 61.11% 54.01 1.341 61.76% 0.458 0.4394

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 811 39.38% 37.78 -7.499 26.02% -1.455 -0.8862
Dahan Insurrection 4 2280 37.45% 61.01 6.221 38.46% 0.082 0.48
Despicable Theft 2 11 81.82% 56.18 2.967 45.45% 0.114 0.3832
Elemental Invocation 1 87 64.37% 41.53 -5.386 26.44% -1.269 -0.8042
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7518 28.46% 61.87 5.681 69.46% 1.141 1.5071
Powers Long Forgotten 1 201 54.73% 44.92 -2.655 29.85% -0.782 -0.3368
Rituals of Terror 3 215 51.16% 46.64 -1.424 22.79% -0.902 -0.2573
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 81 74.07% 37.78 -5.31 11.11% -1.658 -1.0124
Second Wave 0 523 60.99% 47.33 -2.649 36.14% -1.007 -0.5783
The Great River 3 20 40.0% 37.9 -7.718 10.0% -1.955 -0.4912
Ward the Shores 2 328 52.29% 39.88 -4.91 15.85% -1.634 -0.6005

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 55441 55.13% 50.29 -0.358 50.44% -0.272 -0.0992
1 Thematic 2658 38.06% 44.53 -3.162 22.54% -0.644 -0.2823
2 Archipelago 8 75.0% 50.0 -1.333 37.5% -1.194 -0.9675
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7553 63.83% 52.46 0.816 55.25% -0.227 -0.1757
2 Coastline 1460 51.16% 55.7 1.692 60.55% -0.166 -0.1582
2 Fragment 463 68.25% 56.33 2.279 64.79% -0.062 0.194
2 Heart 116 68.1% 51.59 0.32 52.59% -0.473 -0.3315
2 Opposite Shores 1423 57.49% 46.81 -2.369 42.87% -0.902 -0.8112
2 Thematic 681 35.59% 43.54 -3.26 19.38% 0.076 0.0347
2 Top to Top 367 53.41% 55.86 2.069 60.22% -0.116 -0.1465
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 81.0 11.934 100.0% 0.134 1.216
3 Coastline 35 60.0% 49.09 -1.788 42.86% -1.026 -1.2248
3 Other 125 56.8% 54.94 1.173 60.0% -0.911 -0.7367
3 Round (Default) 3881 55.0% 53.83 0.705 57.18% -0.492 -0.566
3 Sunrise 73 42.47% 66.6 5.34 83.56% 0.16 -0.1168
3 Thematic 100 34.0% 40.82 -4.921 15.0% 0.194 -0.2081
4 Coastline 40 17.5% 76.38 8.806 95.0% 0.77 0.8205
4 Leaf 9 55.56% 50.67 -0.596 55.56% -0.49 -0.5182
4 Other 64 43.75% 65.13 5.122 82.81% 0.305 0.1909
4 Thematic 1136 29.4% 56.83 1.762 48.77% 2.43 1.3453
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2492 48.5% 58.07 1.659 62.76% -0.559 -0.6455
5 Coastline 3 0.0% 79.67 9.781 100.0% 0.075 -0.1244
5 Other 22 54.55% 72.86 8.049 95.45% 0.504 -0.0991
5 Thematic 8 75.0% 84.63 15.644 100.0% 2.878 0.1157

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3845 49.07 -0.827 50.01% 0.066 2.1392
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3424 50.12 -0.442 50.58% 0.044 1.9618
All Things Weaken 1672 49.92 -0.815 52.39% 0.0 2.1704
Back Against the Wall 3190 48.31 -1.326 47.02% -0.092 1.9995
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3779 44.06 -3.313 42.87% -0.233 1.9922
Downward Spiral 4638 48.35 -1.532 49.37% -0.017 2.0055
Erosion of Will 3826 46.23 -2.323 43.91% -0.218 1.9911
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 856 54.82 1.352 60.51% 0.268 0.9546
Memory Fades to Dust 4512 47.27 -2.054 46.65% -0.138 2.0806
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1700 49.42 -0.885 52.88% 0.067 2.0907
Promising Farmlands 3715 42.4 -4.194 36.45% -0.531 1.6829
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 498 56.28 1.976 65.26% 0.463 0.8731
Thriving Communities 1698 50.2 -0.478 55.36% 0.201 2.2961
Tipping Point 1873 44.89 -2.88 42.18% -0.237 1.9891
Unnatural Proliferation 1736 50.63 -0.362 52.36% 0.03 2.1166
Untended Land Crumbles 1671 48.44 -1.434 50.27% -0.058 2.0475

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 15486 56.97% 49.81 -0.777 48.85% 1.306 0.5452
B 16805 56.18% 51.81 0.171 53.34% 1.431 0.5744
C 20532 56.27% 53.92 1.861 57.53% 1.748 0.6589
D 15054 56.01% 50.51 -0.453 50.23% 1.344 0.4941
E 7534 53.69% 55.44 2.079 60.99% 1.725 0.7602
F 9916 54.85% 52.48 0.422 54.57% 1.43 0.5156
G 7712 55.51% 51.24 0.018 51.92% 1.425 0.5197
H 8328 53.9% 52.64 0.475 54.7% 1.456 0.5414
East 2201 32.18% 51.12 -0.475 33.94% 0.462 -0.1877
Northeast 2339 38.13% 51.54 0.304 36.08% 0.92 0.3208
Northwest 1704 30.95% 51.02 -0.959 36.56% 0.228 -0.4414
Southeast 201 34.33% 51.0 -1.068 39.8% 0.482 -0.2238
Southwest 214 31.78% 47.25 -3.44 38.79% 0.263 -0.0096
West 1989 28.33% 49.53 -1.599 33.33% 0.018 -0.3809

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 119 0.0% 54.51 -3.531 52.1% -1.153 0.9029
Not Using Events or Tokens 1101 31.91% 46.43 -2.209 19.89% -0.731 -0.5151
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2087 15.99% 70.75 6.278 82.03% 0.756 0.0689
Start of Game Growth 3477 19.58% 69.61 6.652 81.36% 1.077 0.6068
Unlimited Undo 7714 48.59% 58.15 3.154 65.82% 0.589 0.1688
Using Tokens but Not Events 4982 41.67% 57.16 2.011 63.17% 0.184 0.1318

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 24923 22.35 4.09%
II 32364 30.84 59.3%
III 17991 34.35 91.73%
IV 2881 37.52 99.58%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.567 Win Model: -1.211
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 58182 54.36% 50.05 49.21%
2 12046 59.88% 51.89 52.82%
3 4186 54.24% 53.73 56.55%
4 3745 42.28% 58.04 59.23%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 725
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13966
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 15121
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2539
Lose: Invader deck ran out 38
Lose: Adversary condition 27656
Win: Sacrifice victory 189
Lose: Scenario condition 757
Win: Scenario condition 929
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9467
Lose: Spirit destroyed 659

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2025-04-01 02:56:45 (Pacific Time)