The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3340 31.6% 31.63 0.659 82.37% 0.688 0.6125
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2068 55.65% 26.97 0.117 71.42% 0.274 0.3526
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1998 34.47% 30.53 -0.309 85.84% -0.218 -0.443
Downpour Drenches the World 81 33.33% 28.11 -0.869 74.07% -0.752 -0.4873
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2437 25.37% 33.51 1.843 90.73% 0.876 0.3732
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1962 28.53% 32.32 1.635 91.13% 1.143 0.556
Finder of Paths Unseen 26 46.15% 26.62 -1.144 57.69% -0.309 0.0471
Fractured Days Split the Sky 387 40.16% 30.09 -1.716 71.58% -0.379 -0.2971
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 429 49.42% 29.94 0.944 76.46% 0.682 0.5866
Heart of the Wildfire 2738 60.26% 27.01 -3.988 74.32% -1.064 -0.6589
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5556 30.05% 35.25 1.029 87.87% 0.271 -0.333
Lightning's Swift Strike 3169 41.96% 30.98 -0.996 79.96% -0.189 0.1758
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 35 42.86% 32.34 0.327 85.71% -0.153 -0.9023
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 298 34.68% 31.81 4.495 86.24% 0.824 0.2601
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 222 37.1% 31.43 0.571 82.43% 0.215 -0.279
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1048 38.59% 31.5 2.22 87.31% 1.197 1.045
Many Minds Move as One 667 27.59% 32.06 1.155 87.86% 0.139 -0.447
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3597 41.89% 30.45 -1.847 80.51% -0.538 -0.7079
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1859 37.83% 29.45 -0.009 82.36% 0.129 0.0725
River Surges in Sunlight 4858 31.93% 36.73 0.554 81.23% -0.733 -0.8072
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 399 49.49% 29.91 1.148 70.93% 0.226 0.6519
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 50 48.0% 30.58 1.329 72.0% -0.047 -0.3886
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2978 30.85% 34.99 0.825 84.12% -0.277 -0.4707
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2134 55.8% 28.43 -1.075 71.37% -0.59 -0.115
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 17 29.41% 31.53 -1.443 58.82% -0.557 -0.3775
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 18 55.56% 27.89 -0.785 83.33% -0.073 -0.0177
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 228 46.49% 30.22 0.219 82.02% -0.017 -0.0399
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 171 55.29% 28.45 0.202 78.36% 0.373 0.4892
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3620 32.55% 34.36 -0.423 85.75% 0.108 -0.0836
Shifting Memory of Ages 283 57.3% 26.2 -1.108 71.73% -0.067 0.1478
Shroud of Silent Mist 428 57.14% 26.57 -1.186 73.6% -0.16 -0.0263
Starlight Seeks its Form 464 26.94% 32.08 2.221 85.34% 1.428 1.3133
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1213 37.46% 27.64 -0.902 83.59% -0.166 -0.4047
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1577 38.18% 28.84 -1.584 78.76% -0.506 -0.3757
Thunderspeaker 3862 28.11% 38.97 1.896 87.96% 0.51 0.4924
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 874 72.58% 23.35 0.94 68.88% -0.08 -0.2955
Vital Strength of the Earth 2631 35.56% 27.43 -1.46 65.22% -0.519 0.3797
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 28 39.29% 26.07 -1.972 67.86% -0.308 0.115
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 201 46.73% 23.36 -3.83 51.74% -0.892 0.2227
Volcano Looming High 591 47.79% 27.85 -1.946 81.05% -0.155 -0.1757

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 100.0% 35.0 0.0 100.0%
Blitz 0 444 44.92% 25.93 -1.261 69.59% 0.402 0.8446
Dahan Insurrection 4 631 26.39% 49.24 8.887 78.29% -0.195 -0.0978
Despicable Theft 2 68 47.06% 34.21 8.493 67.65% 0.554 1.0523
Elemental Invocation 1 113 58.93% 26.17 -2.682 58.41% -0.95 -0.4045
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1331 11.89% 34.74 2.15 84.52% 0.039 0.2705
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1471 16.54% 51.46 2.639 90.89% 0.007 0.4142
Rituals of Terror 3 345 50.72% 35.82 1.266 61.16% -0.261 -0.4972
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 278 76.62% 33.75 5.041 55.76% 0.029 0.2554
Second Wave 0 528 57.01% 26.98 1.094 60.8% -0.917 -0.2245
The Great River 3 78 66.67% 30.13 6.404 46.15% 0.408 1.989
Varied Terrains 2 9 77.78% 34.33 -0.22 66.67% -0.619 0.1678
Ward the Shores 2 475 45.68% 28.11 -1.936 41.47% -1.2 -0.3192

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 24347 43.91% 28.03 -0.752 76.95% -0.298 0.3653
1 Thematic 3020 44.22% 32.62 0.541 66.72% -0.051 1.0058
2 Archipelago 12 50.0% 29.75 0.0 41.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5717 39.63% 29.38 -0.574 83.35% -0.393 0.1256
2 Coastline 422 39.29% 29.19 0.306 83.65% 0.725 0.9258
2 Fragment 108 50.0% 26.4 -2.168 74.07% -0.473 -0.1752
2 Heart 61 50.85% 27.51 1.923 83.61% 0.008 0.4685
2 Opposite Shores 709 42.51% 29.01 -0.791 86.04% -0.107 0.4314
2 Thematic 666 44.51% 35.08 2.865 75.08% 0.388 1.1701
2 Top to Top 98 32.63% 29.55 0.758 86.73% 0.228 0.3555
3 Archipelago 8 50.0% 42.25 -1.307 100.0% 0.02 -0.198
3 Coastline 13 53.85% 27.31 -2.465 46.15% 0.007 -0.5004
3 Other 60 40.0% 30.07 -1.417 91.67% 0.005 -0.6587
3 Round (Default) 1786 34.96% 30.01 0.124 86.28% -0.009 0.2952
3 Sunrise 15 13.33% 31.53 0.0 93.33%
3 Thematic 135 45.19% 36.11 0.824 74.07% 0.01 0.2181
4 Coastline 3 100.0% 26.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 29.25 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 39 35.9% 29.03 -0.78 89.74% -0.495 -1.2093
4 Thematic 1420 4.23% 57.54 2.926 98.59% 0.72 0.8239
4 Trapezoid (Default) 877 35.27% 29.49 -0.94 83.81% 0.307 0.3847
5 Other 8 62.5% 26.63 -2.234 75.0% 0.145 -0.3715
5 Thematic 5 50.0% 43.2 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 53.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 2 50.0% 24.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 3 0.0% 33.33 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 13 23.08% 41.08 -5.9 76.92% -0.754 -0.5126
6 Two Centers (Default) 26 23.08% 31.27 -1.014 92.31% 0.107 0.2982
7 Other 1 0.0% 52.0 -3.009 100.0% 0.002 -0.4823

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1531 22.73 -4.834 60.16% -1.63 0.3411
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1303 22.7 -5.777 56.72% -1.96 -0.1818
All Things Weaken 553 21.88 -4.088 56.6% -1.244 0.8046
Back Against the Wall 1271 22.7 -4.002 57.2% -1.599 0.3406
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1388 19.36 -5.619 53.75% -1.696 0.4322
Downward Spiral 2103 22.0 -4.691 63.05% -1.183 0.7784
Erosion of Will 1459 22.27 -3.595 57.78% -1.183 0.8984
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 253 28.49 -0.794 86.96% 0.022 0.524
Memory Fades to Dust 2024 21.78 -4.932 59.09% -1.458 0.6831
Power Corrodes the Spirit 552 21.76 -5.099 59.42% -1.841 0.1393
Promising Farmlands 1405 19.89 -5.247 52.53% -1.619 0.4023
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 165 28.94 -1.819 91.52% -0.16 0.3369
Thriving Communities 551 20.05 -5.34 54.26% -1.652 0.4072
Tipping Point 625 20.24 0.0 53.6%
Unnatural Proliferation 573 22.31 -4.107 56.89% -1.243 0.7142
Untended Land Crumbles 500 21.46 -4.4 60.4% -1.12 0.9127

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8037 42.21% 28.51 -0.69 79.26% -0.3 0.4362
B 8514 41.41% 28.68 -0.751 80.41% 0.019 0.7163
C 8565 40.33% 28.84 -0.159 80.58% 0.05 0.52
D 8067 39.78% 28.97 -0.571 80.8% 0.027 0.7364
E 2565 41.62% 29.28 0.341 82.22% 0.305 0.8497
F 4359 41.46% 28.71 -0.211 81.17% -0.098 0.5639
G 4142 42.08% 28.37 -0.043 80.15% 0.112 0.7426
H 4059 39.95% 28.96 -0.934 81.69% 0.201 0.8656
East 3689 28.03% 43.56 2.603 81.84% -0.035 0.6266
Northeast 2639 22.35% 47.0 2.882 86.4% 0.792 1.4518
Northwest 2257 19.33% 48.73 2.387 88.79% -0.045 0.5656
Southeast 343 38.89% 33.74 2.399 70.85% -0.101 0.4305
Southwest 326 48.31% 29.5 0.438 67.48% -0.191 0.7778
West 3368 28.16% 42.95 1.56 80.37% -1.306 -0.5006

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 130 0.0% 30.84 -1.718 84.62% -0.113 2.1161
Not Using Events or Tokens 726 50.0% 27.95 -0.376 74.66% 0.111 0.3378
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1792 3.56% 53.99 3.01 97.54% 0.91 -0.0706
Start of Game Growth 2130 7.62% 50.59 2.506 95.54% 0.888 0.4308
Unlimited Undo 2124 33.24% 31.35 -0.196 85.08% 0.369 -0.1825
Using Tokens but Not Events 3961 33.97% 30.16 0.813 82.93% -0.161 -0.0061

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4681 22.65 37.53%
II 13284 31.08 71.42%
III 14785 34.66 88.9%
IV 6835 37.91 98.99%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.447 Win Model: 0.331
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 27458 44.03% 28.55 75.78%
2 7775 40.3% 29.76 82.89%
3 1964 35.16% 30.37 85.85%
4 2334 16.39% 46.57 92.97%
5 6 66.67% 27.0 66.67%
6 46 21.74% 34.8 89.13%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1750
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12729
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8878
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6701
Lose: Invader deck ran out 232
Lose: Adversary condition 2296
Win: Sacrifice victory 171
Lose: Scenario condition 329
Win: Scenario condition 925
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5298
Lose: Spirit destroyed 276

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1955 46.51% 31.94 0.339 74.58% -0.216 -0.2909
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1220 65.68% 29.19 -0.099 63.03% -0.107 -0.028
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1185 55.2% 30.91 0.153 73.08% 0.296 0.0718
Downpour Drenches the World 75 40.0% 31.07 0.361 68.0% -0.118 0.1471
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1603 37.45% 36.16 3.45 83.66% 1.347 0.8438
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1318 47.8% 34.23 1.388 81.94% 0.839 0.2523
Finder of Paths Unseen 26 73.08% 22.88 -2.424 42.31% -0.195 0.1612
Fractured Days Split the Sky 213 55.87% 32.13 -0.113 63.85% -0.076 0.006
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 260 65.89% 30.23 -2.084 68.08% -0.407 -0.5019
Heart of the Wildfire 1679 79.72% 24.1 -3.879 53.6% -0.734 -0.3284
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3027 54.52% 30.78 0.529 75.26% 0.411 -0.1921
Lightning's Swift Strike 1794 63.06% 29.27 -1.303 65.55% -0.1 0.2646
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 23 60.87% 31.96 -0.974 78.26% 0.144 -0.605
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 181 48.33% 35.34 3.03 82.32% 0.739 0.1749
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 144 53.15% 34.11 1.797 75.0% -0.418 -0.9128
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 872 54.14% 32.79 2.518 78.67% 0.587 0.4351
Many Minds Move as One 531 39.36% 35.1 1.797 83.8% 0.531 -0.0547
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1998 62.36% 30.66 0.956 70.97% 0.274 0.1042
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1253 56.63% 30.06 -1.465 70.15% -0.106 -0.1623
River Surges in Sunlight 2294 58.31% 31.07 1.189 63.56% -0.016 -0.0899
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 194 61.86% 28.87 -0.032 57.22% 0.04 0.4662
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 52 64.71% 33.4 0.47 59.62% -0.402 -0.7434
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1465 54.71% 29.69 -0.355 67.92% 0.034 -0.16
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1115 76.89% 25.3 -1.82 49.6% -0.093 0.3816
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 10 80.0% 22.9 -4.3 40.0% -0.271 -0.0919
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 8 50.0% 31.25 -3.593 62.5% -0.32 -0.265
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 137 64.96% 27.74 0.519 59.85% 0.073 0.0503
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 97 73.96% 30.4 5.15 64.95% 0.403 0.5189
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2043 53.15% 31.51 0.567 72.69% 0.178 -0.0136
Shifting Memory of Ages 220 64.55% 29.36 -0.783 67.27% 0.351 0.5657
Shroud of Silent Mist 257 80.47% 25.3 -0.584 56.03% 0.151 0.285
Starlight Seeks its Form 347 39.7% 33.82 2.052 79.54% 0.746 0.6315
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 747 49.8% 29.47 -1.111 76.31% 0.079 -0.1601
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1055 56.49% 29.09 -0.455 64.74% -0.478 -0.3482
Thunderspeaker 1869 55.57% 32.24 0.646 71.38% 0.065 0.0474
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 580 83.71% 23.13 -2.818 50.34% -0.812 -1.0278
Vital Strength of the Earth 1586 55.97% 25.4 -2.331 48.05% -1.071 -0.1723
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 26 60.0% 30.08 -2.044 61.54% -0.635 -0.2123
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 118 53.39% 23.44 -3.38 39.83% -0.247 0.8674
Volcano Looming High 440 68.11% 27.41 -1.714 65.0% -0.303 -0.3234

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 66.67% 30.0 -2.361 66.67% 0.177 0.6727
Blitz 0 444 54.98% 27.71 -1.952 63.29% -0.476 -0.0325
Dahan Insurrection 4 344 42.15% 49.63 9.398 68.9% 0.067 0.1647
Despicable Theft 2 57 57.89% 33.18 -0.938 52.63% -0.959 -0.4601
Elemental Invocation 1 68 70.59% 29.84 3.805 58.82% 0.716 1.2615
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 855 24.5% 35.17 3.38 75.09% 0.555 0.7865
Powers Long Forgotten 1 361 65.65% 31.27 4.277 55.68% 0.711 1.119
Rituals of Terror 3 224 66.96% 36.18 2.187 47.32% -0.161 -0.3966
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 174 81.61% 34.27 0.0 45.98%
Second Wave 0 1276 57.97% 30.95 -0.136 63.01% -0.582 0.1105
The Great River 3 56 80.36% 25.32 -1.406 25.0% -0.814 0.7671
Varied Terrains 2 12 58.33% 29.17 0.113 33.33% -0.581 0.2056
Ward the Shores 2 320 50.63% 28.7 -0.291 33.75% -0.869 0.0117

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 14188 58.09% 28.45 -0.967 65.5% -0.191 0.4717
1 Thematic 2407 55.57% 33.18 2.938 58.87% 0.328 1.3847
2 Archipelago 9 66.67% 30.56 -6.545 66.67% -1.071 -0.6003
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3393 59.03% 29.78 0.425 71.35% 0.395 0.9127
2 Coastline 327 56.52% 30.97 3.274 74.62% 1.042 1.2423
2 Fragment 113 58.93% 27.93 -1.835 65.49% 0.124 0.4221
2 Heart 54 71.7% 26.8 -6.721 62.96% -0.897 -0.4366
2 Opposite Shores 590 57.58% 29.96 -1.038 72.54% -0.2 0.3387
2 Thematic 684 57.75% 33.69 -0.927 60.53% -0.359 0.4232
2 Top to Top 84 71.43% 29.21 -0.444 76.19% 0.17 0.2978
3 Archipelago 10 70.0% 33.7 0.0 40.0%
3 Coastline 9 66.67% 25.33 0.0 44.44%
3 Other 57 47.37% 33.54 -0.435 85.96% 0.385 -0.2795
3 Round (Default) 1136 56.5% 31.58 0.768 76.94% 0.195 0.4995
3 Sunrise 12 58.33% 27.83 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 120 63.33% 33.82 -4.74 61.67% -0.642 -0.4336
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 37.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 32.4 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 23 52.17% 33.65 0.0 82.61%
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 189 51.6% 37.78 4.59 73.02% 0.306 0.4098
4 Trapezoid (Default) 476 51.38% 32.14 0.746 74.79% 0.881 0.9584
5 Other 15 71.43% 33.6 0.893 53.33% 0.051 -0.465
6 Archipelago 2 100.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 1 100.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Thematic 13 33.33% 43.38 9.685 76.92% 0.108 0.3488
6 Two Centers (Default) 10 30.0% 41.4 -11.471 90.0% -0.767 -0.5759

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1279 24.88 -4.765 53.01% -1.503 0.468
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1030 25.32 -2.307 51.46% -1.06 0.7177
All Things Weaken 495 24.07 -3.842 51.72% -1.432 0.617
Back Against the Wall 1016 24.96 -0.895 51.77% -0.391 1.5476
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1101 21.15 -5.301 46.96% -1.261 0.8669
Downward Spiral 1712 23.65 -4.142 55.43% -1.125 0.8366
Erosion of Will 1253 23.79 -4.185 49.0% -1.342 0.7393
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 185 31.66 -1.273 81.08% -0.099 0.4026
Memory Fades to Dust 1780 23.2 -6.554 50.84% -1.922 0.2191
Power Corrodes the Spirit 504 23.16 -1.504 50.99% -0.612 1.3689
Promising Farmlands 1217 21.87 -4.863 45.6% -1.683 0.3383
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 105 32.48 -1.738 80.95% -0.509 -0.0125
Thriving Communities 500 22.41 -4.616 45.0% -1.654 0.4048
Tipping Point 530 23.35 0.0 49.43%
Unnatural Proliferation 574 25.2 -2.607 51.57% -1.265 0.6923
Untended Land Crumbles 483 22.85 -6.708 50.52% -1.922 0.1114

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4862 59.14% 28.75 0.25 67.01% 0.03 0.7665
B 5130 57.53% 29.75 -0.281 70.7% -0.039 0.6582
C 5094 56.45% 29.96 -0.194 71.01% -0.034 0.4356
D 4822 58.31% 29.49 0.236 69.02% 0.147 0.8564
E 1788 57.65% 29.72 0.721 68.9% 0.02 0.5646
F 2658 59.01% 29.45 -0.191 69.53% 0.059 0.7206
G 2414 58.03% 29.52 -0.475 68.52% -0.13 0.5012
H 2481 55.35% 30.15 -0.493 71.42% -0.207 0.4577
East 2096 55.02% 34.84 1.685 62.5% 0.073 0.7345
Northeast 1167 55.5% 35.03 2.362 63.92% -0.125 0.5346
Northwest 971 55.64% 34.65 2.614 64.06% -0.287 0.3232
Southeast 301 50.17% 33.7 0.976 62.79% 0.079 0.6097
Southwest 293 56.01% 29.09 -2.909 58.7% -0.569 0.3994
West 1955 57.29% 32.92 2.859 59.03% 0.387 1.1926

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 99 0.0% 26.85 2.713 57.58% 0.081 2.3099
Not Using Events or Tokens 365 65.25% 27.75 -9.23 62.19% -0.907 -0.6803
Skip Initial Invader Actions 401 17.77% 44.87 3.122 91.27% 0.524 -0.4558
Start of Game Growth 562 21.34% 43.3 2.685 90.21% 0.907 0.4507
Unlimited Undo 1754 52.2% 30.92 0.192 72.35% 0.351 -0.2007
Using Tokens but Not Events 2347 53.56% 29.53 -0.917 69.49% -0.253 -0.0976

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3026 22.65 8.56%
II 7116 31.08 47.23%
III 8893 34.66 84.14%
IV 4897 37.91 99.18%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.471 Win Model: 0.162
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 16670 57.81% 29.14 64.49%
2 5227 58.79% 30.35 70.4%
3 1305 56.23% 31.59 75.48%
4 697 52.1% 33.67 74.46%
5 8 71.43% 43.75 75.0%
6 25 37.5% 41.2 80.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 258
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7264
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3100
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4804
Lose: Invader deck ran out 103
Lose: Adversary condition 2074
Win: Sacrifice victory 98
Lose: Scenario condition 277
Win: Scenario condition 436
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5229
Lose: Spirit destroyed 289

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3667 35.68% 36.69 1.867 56.72% 0.535 0.4595
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2093 51.32% 30.53 -1.238 39.66% -0.382 -0.3037
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2255 39.01% 33.93 -1.37 52.99% -0.152 -0.3766
Downpour Drenches the World 175 32.76% 32.19 -2.872 39.43% -0.581 -0.3161
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2881 28.69% 39.28 1.497 62.83% 0.395 -0.1085
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1851 38.49% 34.01 -1.808 49.32% -0.063 -0.6497
Finder of Paths Unseen 47 38.3% 30.4 -1.987 29.79% -0.821 -0.4656
Fractured Days Split the Sky 610 40.72% 37.29 3.037 49.18% 0.205 0.2869
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 760 54.87% 39.2 0.331 59.74% 0.035 -0.0595
Heart of the Wildfire 3718 67.98% 33.4 -0.729 56.24% -0.172 0.2335
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5740 43.24% 36.63 1.467 61.74% 0.745 0.1411
Lightning's Swift Strike 2738 48.57% 36.84 -0.967 61.03% -0.119 0.2463
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 83 45.57% 42.49 2.501 75.9% 0.823 0.0739
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 534 40.79% 43.72 3.783 76.4% 1.071 0.5073
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 339 42.18% 42.44 3.894 66.67% 0.445 -0.0491
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1880 41.2% 39.28 3.833 67.71% 1.27 1.1179
Many Minds Move as One 969 35.33% 37.71 -0.033 61.61% 0.046 -0.54
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4009 48.81% 34.44 -0.574 51.41% -0.052 -0.2212
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2132 38.61% 35.9 2.248 57.65% 0.745 0.6893
River Surges in Sunlight 4537 41.44% 37.32 0.519 52.55% -0.328 -0.4023
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 445 46.61% 33.0 -2.938 39.78% -0.636 -0.21
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 140 49.64% 39.44 1.384 47.14% -0.195 -0.5358
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3237 42.21% 30.26 -2.622 39.91% -0.525 -0.7184
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1625 62.15% 28.57 -3.583 35.32% -0.85 -0.3758
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 19 73.68% 33.0 -0.368 47.37% -0.105 0.0745
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 30 50.0% 41.5 0.752 73.33% 0.181 0.2368
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 384 51.56% 34.52 -1.738 51.3% -0.483 -0.5057
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 164 62.8% 31.8 -0.869 43.9% 0.062 0.1782
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3674 41.43% 39.0 2.18 66.25% 0.895 0.7033
Shifting Memory of Ages 488 53.89% 30.31 -2.87 39.55% -0.461 -0.2465
Shroud of Silent Mist 536 63.93% 29.32 -3.939 40.86% -0.587 -0.4529
Starlight Seeks its Form 581 41.31% 32.03 -1.816 41.31% -0.408 -0.523
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1714 35.83% 32.17 0.291 51.46% 0.074 -0.1645
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1817 40.73% 38.37 -0.318 64.06% 0.132 0.2627
Thunderspeaker 3366 43.73% 38.37 2.571 59.92% 0.787 0.7698
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1287 68.58% 27.88 -4.499 41.1% -0.833 -1.0484
Vital Strength of the Earth 2484 38.32% 26.72 -4.329 27.7% -0.966 -0.0678
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 64 38.1% 35.28 -0.58 48.44% -0.107 0.3159
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 200 41.71% 28.43 -1.958 35.0% -0.071 1.0436
Volcano Looming High 973 50.46% 34.95 1.363 59.1% 0.605 0.584

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 19 42.11% 26.26 -4.874 15.79% -0.129 0.3668
Blitz 0 551 34.36% 22.01 -4.01 19.78% -0.893 -0.4503
Dahan Insurrection 4 719 25.73% 57.84 9.437 65.09% 0.794 0.8913
Despicable Theft 2 90 66.67% 36.74 4.274 41.11% 0.241 0.7397
Elemental Invocation 1 108 52.78% 32.11 1.482 39.81% 0.206 0.7516
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1294 19.47% 41.68 2.063 68.32% 0.648 0.879
Powers Long Forgotten 1 339 53.39% 35.04 9.456 43.36% 0.759 1.1671
Rituals of Terror 3 177 50.85% 43.8 17.567 48.59% 0.503 0.2667
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 81 68.75% 37.56 22.282 34.57% 0.716 0.9417
Second Wave 0 704 44.94% 32.64 -1.428 39.49% -0.743 -0.0505
The Great River 3 44 18.18% 26.23 0.0 6.82%
Varied Terrains 2 13 69.23% 37.23 4.477 38.46% 0.288 1.0742
Ward the Shores 2 409 44.99% 36.86 -3.641 36.67% -1.083 -0.2018

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 27004 45.86% 33.22 -0.344 51.01% 0.331 0.9943
1 Thematic 1345 38.96% 34.09 -6.771 36.43% -1.111 -0.0545
2 Archipelago 19 78.95% 33.16 0.0 42.11%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6742 47.67% 34.6 0.451 55.47% 0.436 0.9545
2 Coastline 691 46.72% 34.85 1.29 54.99% 0.412 0.6125
2 Fragment 170 64.71% 30.0 0.755 44.12% 0.52 0.8177
2 Heart 54 53.7% 32.26 -11.219 51.85% -0.428 0.0331
2 Opposite Shores 1395 50.11% 32.75 -1.275 50.18% -0.004 0.5344
2 Thematic 658 37.9% 31.93 -4.053 29.94% -0.849 -0.0666
2 Top to Top 181 54.14% 35.87 -3.608 61.33% -0.19 -0.0623
3 Archipelago 4 100.0% 53.0 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 9 22.22% 42.22 0.0 66.67%
3 Other 70 41.43% 37.23 -4.997 67.14% -0.443 -1.1069
3 Round (Default) 2544 43.87% 36.38 1.434 58.61% 0.494 0.7983
3 Sunrise 9 33.33% 42.67 0.0 77.78%
3 Thematic 125 41.6% 36.56 -5.96 39.2% -0.231 -0.0232
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 92.0 24.088 100.0% 0.465 0.4273
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 17.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 11 63.64% 35.36 0.0 63.64%
4 Other 47 42.55% 42.96 6.215 78.72% 0.314 -0.4003
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 547 16.27% 52.56 7.483 72.76% 1.12 1.2236
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1195 42.7% 38.55 0.605 62.85% 0.16 0.2379
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 31.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 29 62.07% 36.21 -8.658 48.28% -1.623 -2.1392
5 Thematic 8 25.0% 54.25 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 4 0.0% 48.25 0.0 75.0%
6 Star 2 0.0% 56.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 67 27.69% 44.16 -0.039 46.27% -0.387 -0.1461
6 Two Centers (Default) 23 47.83% 42.52 6.304 73.91% 0.245 0.4359

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1794 30.87 -1.269 49.11% -0.053 1.9179
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1527 32.31 -0.423 50.36% 0.057 1.8345
All Things Weaken 791 30.33 -2.017 46.52% -0.207 1.8416
Back Against the Wall 1473 31.8 -1.171 48.88% -0.053 1.8859
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1730 27.36 -3.394 43.12% -0.288 1.84
Downward Spiral 2099 30.15 -4.034 48.88% -0.61 1.3508
Erosion of Will 1709 29.36 -1.681 44.18% -0.212 1.8696
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 422 33.19 -0.674 53.79% 0.125 0.6263
Memory Fades to Dust 2174 29.43 -1.558 45.31% -0.036 2.1051
Power Corrodes the Spirit 742 29.55 -2.973 45.55% -0.478 1.5026
Promising Farmlands 1804 26.33 -3.46 35.25% -0.429 1.5926
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 210 34.63 -0.995 60.0% -0.004 0.4924
Thriving Communities 762 29.48 -3.332 47.38% -0.489 1.5702
Tipping Point 791 27.05 0.0 39.19%
Unnatural Proliferation 732 30.26 -0.266 44.26% 0.069 2.0264
Untended Land Crumbles 738 28.34 -3.314 43.36% -0.661 1.3723

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9376 47.8% 33.61 1.127 52.11% 0.269 1.0057
B 10188 46.33% 34.6 0.117 54.97% 0.019 0.7162
C 10757 44.7% 34.49 -0.569 54.34% -0.197 0.2728
D 9537 47.33% 33.58 0.088 51.72% 0.03 0.7391
E 3910 44.59% 36.3 1.237 58.62% 0.188 0.7319
F 5175 46.13% 34.92 -0.766 55.29% -0.341 0.3202
G 4895 45.82% 34.93 -0.744 55.3% -0.22 0.4106
H 5049 45.5% 35.26 0.559 56.07% 0.097 0.7613
East 1942 32.39% 39.91 2.287 46.24% 0.155 0.8166
Northeast 1270 31.57% 42.17 3.0 50.79% 0.503 1.1628
Northwest 1118 30.2% 42.59 0.776 52.06% -0.747 -0.1367
Southeast 260 27.91% 39.29 -1.058 45.0% -0.726 -0.1953
Southwest 253 31.08% 37.38 0.019 42.69% -0.023 0.9459
West 1872 31.34% 38.98 0.732 44.55% -0.507 0.299

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 82 0.0% 36.82 -2.16 59.76% -0.185 2.0438
Not Using Events or Tokens 282 38.46% 27.18 -7.14 27.66% -0.288 -0.061
Skip Initial Invader Actions 432 15.38% 51.13 8.969 80.32% 1.24 0.2603
Start of Game Growth 926 20.56% 48.39 6.339 74.51% 1.502 1.0452
Unlimited Undo 2699 43.19% 36.62 0.251 58.35% -0.291 -0.8425
Using Tokens but Not Events 2700 40.08% 34.35 0.936 52.37% 0.325 0.4802

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10250 22.65 3.97%
II 16730 31.08 44.18%
III 11503 34.66 87.99%
IV 4495 37.91 99.29%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.434 Win Model: 0.154
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 28464 45.6% 33.27 50.26%
2 9878 47.69% 34.11 52.99%
3 2722 43.32% 36.54 58.41%
4 1804 34.89% 42.97 66.19%
5 16 43.75% 30.94 37.5%
6 94 30.43% 44.62 55.32%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 406
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9836
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6798
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4434
Lose: Invader deck ran out 34
Lose: Adversary condition 15437
Win: Sacrifice victory 99
Lose: Scenario condition 364
Win: Scenario condition 810
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4454
Lose: Spirit destroyed 306

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3061 45.11% 40.23 -0.792 50.96% -0.239 -0.314
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1669 62.4% 33.1 -1.625 32.71% 0.022 0.101
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1878 49.84% 39.44 -0.834 51.12% -0.148 -0.373
Downpour Drenches the World 173 43.6% 36.34 -0.114 32.95% -0.299 -0.0343
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2432 44.38% 43.47 1.139 58.39% 0.33 -0.1728
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1566 49.68% 38.17 -2.585 44.57% -0.587 -1.1734
Finder of Paths Unseen 61 52.46% 37.02 -3.566 39.34% -0.968 -0.6124
Fractured Days Split the Sky 580 52.07% 41.71 2.418 44.48% 0.124 0.2063
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 704 61.36% 44.97 1.778 62.07% 0.31 0.2151
Heart of the Wildfire 2778 80.33% 34.11 -1.837 43.09% -0.044 0.361
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8574 53.79% 41.55 2.29 55.73% 0.776 0.1726
Lightning's Swift Strike 2433 59.46% 39.1 1.575 50.6% 0.382 0.7471
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 109 60.0% 46.61 2.329 65.14% 0.551 -0.1981
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 520 52.02% 48.32 5.725 69.81% 1.182 0.6182
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 337 55.79% 44.78 2.323 59.05% 0.356 -0.1389
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1705 60.5% 41.03 0.288 56.07% 0.062 -0.09
Many Minds Move as One 801 41.13% 42.99 -1.499 57.93% -0.231 -0.8167
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3751 56.49% 39.57 -0.458 50.28% 0.03 -0.1396
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1955 53.0% 39.45 1.735 51.05% 0.676 0.6203
River Surges in Sunlight 4138 52.52% 40.16 1.159 46.13% 0.312 0.2378
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 386 56.88% 35.52 -3.302 34.46% -0.381 0.0455
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 111 55.45% 49.95 6.474 63.06% 0.941 0.5996
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2923 50.96% 36.05 -1.291 40.27% -0.117 -0.3103
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1283 72.42% 31.77 -1.386 30.32% -0.118 0.3566
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 13 69.23% 37.15 1.857 38.46% -0.013 0.1661
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 42 71.43% 34.67 -3.931 38.1% -0.741 -0.6857
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 294 69.05% 36.47 -0.509 41.5% 0.036 0.0138
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 134 71.43% 31.86 -3.493 29.85% -0.237 -0.1213
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3935 51.3% 43.28 1.462 60.41% 0.342 0.1505
Shifting Memory of Ages 458 70.74% 35.45 -0.638 40.17% -0.003 0.2116
Shroud of Silent Mist 521 71.02% 30.38 -3.134 28.41% -0.504 -0.3702
Starlight Seeks its Form 539 53.06% 39.42 0.228 46.94% 0.069 -0.0455
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1799 50.19% 37.01 -3.092 48.86% -0.488 -0.7264
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1468 55.05% 41.67 0.663 56.4% 0.123 0.2528
Thunderspeaker 3063 57.38% 41.2 0.749 51.55% 0.223 0.2062
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1353 78.76% 32.09 -2.682 37.55% -0.203 -0.4182
Vital Strength of the Earth 1999 50.5% 31.64 -4.085 28.16% -0.923 -0.0242
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 46 39.53% 35.07 -0.586 34.78% -0.119 0.3037
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 175 45.71% 30.59 -4.503 24.0% -0.385 0.7291
Volcano Looming High 1023 65.59% 38.25 -0.103 52.88% 0.321 0.3003

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 100.0% 53.5 0.0 100.0%
Blitz 0 336 37.31% 28.09 -2.834 22.02% -0.28 0.1635
Dahan Insurrection 4 456 42.98% 52.86 11.326 42.98% 0.549 0.6466
Despicable Theft 2 25 56.0% 48.6 -10.097 56.0% -0.465 0.0334
Elemental Invocation 1 55 63.64% 35.91 -6.265 34.55% -0.259 0.2871
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1272 22.3% 50.49 6.362 72.72% 1.128 1.3596
Powers Long Forgotten 1 192 62.5% 37.77 1.531 38.02% -0.1 0.3076
Rituals of Terror 3 140 61.59% 40.91 0.0 30.0%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 88 77.27% 36.93 12.47 23.86% 0.323 0.5489
Second Wave 0 445 52.25% 33.71 -3.845 28.76% -1.282 -0.5899
The Great River 3 22 40.91% 33.55 0.0 13.64%
Varied Terrains 2 8 25.0% 32.75 -3.909 12.5% -0.468 0.3187
Ward the Shores 2 203 60.1% 34.14 -4.843 20.2% -1.47 -0.5895

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 27860 56.51% 37.78 0.294 46.62% 0.494 1.157
1 Thematic 1139 43.76% 34.15 -5.132 23.88% -0.529 0.5283
2 Archipelago 5 80.0% 50.0 0.0 80.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5985 60.64% 38.66 -1.548 49.94% -0.142 0.3762
2 Coastline 605 59.2% 40.17 1.422 54.55% 0.338 0.5383
2 Fragment 151 64.24% 39.71 0.101 53.64% 0.162 0.4606
2 Heart 53 77.36% 46.6 10.355 67.92% 0.591 1.0516
2 Opposite Shores 1236 54.66% 39.48 -2.277 51.46% -0.616 -0.0774
2 Thematic 339 39.53% 31.9 -4.845 17.7% -0.818 -0.0353
2 Top to Top 144 65.73% 38.9 -4.565 52.08% -0.209 -0.0807
3 Coastline 19 31.58% 43.05 12.701 47.37% 0.213 -0.2945
3 Other 90 44.44% 48.61 -3.163 76.67% -0.122 -0.7864
3 Round (Default) 2571 56.57% 42.57 1.816 58.23% 0.184 0.4881
3 Sunrise 11 45.45% 49.73 0.0 72.73%
3 Thematic 111 30.63% 33.89 -0.639 20.72% 0.022 0.23
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 36.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Coastline 3 100.0% 49.0 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 10 50.0% 36.0 0.0 40.0%
4 Other 50 58.0% 41.46 0.0 56.0%
4 Thematic 313 35.69% 38.96 -0.031 30.35% -0.092 0.0118
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1071 51.42% 44.27 -0.171 60.97% -0.659 -0.5816
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 43.33 0.0 33.33%
5 Other 25 73.91% 50.68 3.129 64.0% -0.195 -0.7113
5 Thematic 2 100.0% 67.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 21 28.57% 51.0 0.0 61.9%
6 Star 8 25.0% 47.13 -0.151 50.0% -0.35 0.4206
6 Thematic 30 34.48% 39.43 0.422 16.67% -0.268 -0.0268
6 Two Centers (Default) 31 38.71% 46.16 7.815 54.84% 0.371 0.5619
7 Other 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2178 36.26 -2.098 45.78% -0.155 1.816
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1866 38.25 -2.619 48.98% -0.514 1.2633
All Things Weaken 1002 37.23 0.333 48.7% 0.091 2.1395
Back Against the Wall 1833 37.17 -0.259 46.59% -0.174 1.7653
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2019 32.51 -3.898 39.33% -0.6 1.5282
Downward Spiral 2532 34.99 -1.383 44.63% 0.067 2.0282
Erosion of Will 2158 34.78 0.237 41.33% 0.134 2.2157
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 438 41.01 0.557 56.62% 0.029 0.5308
Memory Fades to Dust 2460 35.1 -3.766 43.54% -0.747 1.3942
Power Corrodes the Spirit 914 36.14 0.87 46.72% 0.29 2.2708
Promising Farmlands 2081 31.78 -3.673 34.45% -0.675 1.3465
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 258 42.26 3.117 59.3% 0.234 0.7302
Thriving Communities 983 36.36 -0.488 48.12% 0.114 2.1728
Tipping Point 917 33.01 0.0 37.73%
Unnatural Proliferation 974 36.96 -2.576 45.07% -0.507 1.4495
Untended Land Crumbles 919 34.05 -2.88 41.35% -0.409 1.6244

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9252 58.68% 38.66 0.839 48.97% -0.05 0.6858
B 9733 56.88% 39.27 0.185 50.46% -0.19 0.507
C 10103 55.51% 39.7 1.107 51.3% 0.007 0.4768
D 9086 56.83% 39.12 0.646 50.04% 0.071 0.7809
E 3986 57.03% 41.34 0.273 55.27% -0.21 0.334
F 5341 56.28% 39.57 0.383 50.87% -0.105 0.5564
G 4999 58.01% 38.3 -1.288 48.01% -0.447 0.1841
H 4928 56.17% 40.51 -0.283 53.13% -0.181 0.4837
East 1340 39.45% 35.89 -0.18 24.7% -0.433 0.2287
Northeast 823 38.95% 37.58 -1.193 27.46% -0.45 0.2097
Northwest 651 39.97% 35.73 -2.506 24.73% -1.055 -0.4443
Southeast 179 43.26% 33.49 -1.64 22.35% -0.636 -0.1047
Southwest 178 41.24% 30.34 -3.274 19.1% -1.02 -0.0521
West 1184 38.61% 33.8 -0.809 21.28% -0.478 0.3278

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 71 0.0% 44.27 -1.983 63.38% -0.366 1.8629
Not Using Events or Tokens 281 48.73% 30.09 0.0 24.2%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 617 13.14% 56.54 3.427 77.63% 0.424 -0.5557
Start of Game Growth 885 17.18% 54.03 3.104 74.46% 0.459 0.002
Unlimited Undo 3180 51.02% 41.2 1.761 53.33% 0.378 -0.1738
Using Tokens but Not Events 2209 49.49% 38.13 -1.266 47.13% -0.349 -0.1935

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 13892 22.65 2.82%
II 13158 31.08 44.86%
III 10246 34.66 88.46%
IV 4601 37.91 99.15%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.354 Win Model: 0.421
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 29082 56.07% 37.65 45.73%
2 8476 58.97% 38.7 49.48%
3 2789 54.79% 42.47 57.48%
4 1451 48.5% 42.94 53.82%
5 9 62.5% 63.44 77.78%
6 90 32.58% 44.6 42.22%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 392
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8866
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5674
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4529
Lose: Invader deck ran out 124
Lose: Adversary condition 15053
Win: Sacrifice victory 98
Lose: Scenario condition 336
Win: Scenario condition 362
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6045
Lose: Spirit destroyed 418

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2472 40.69% 45.02 -0.277 53.68% -0.102 -0.1774
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1193 58.79% 36.18 -0.394 32.44% 0.033 0.1118
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2080 42.3% 47.39 -2.569 62.16% -0.566 -0.7909
Downpour Drenches the World 130 43.85% 36.01 0.208 29.23% -0.203 0.0619
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1603 43.96% 45.26 1.703 53.65% 0.272 -0.2309
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1658 39.86% 48.71 -0.48 62.67% -0.066 -0.6521
Finder of Paths Unseen 41 58.54% 37.85 2.628 36.59% 0.532 0.8879
Fractured Days Split the Sky 427 48.95% 46.78 11.075 50.12% 1.609 1.6906
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 425 59.06% 45.38 3.393 53.41% 0.342 0.2474
Heart of the Wildfire 2366 76.15% 38.69 -2.514 44.0% -0.335 0.07
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4994 48.03% 45.62 -0.137 57.27% -0.045 -0.649
Lightning's Swift Strike 1542 58.84% 43.45 1.241 51.43% 0.46 0.8244
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 65 63.93% 49.05 2.311 63.08% 0.289 -0.4605
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 337 51.34% 52.68 5.137 69.44% 0.693 0.129
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 190 44.74% 50.36 9.91 66.84% 1.251 0.7562
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1227 55.46% 46.32 1.713 59.41% 0.336 0.1846
Many Minds Move as One 510 46.27% 47.34 5.91 59.61% 1.055 0.4694
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3546 50.62% 45.11 -2.066 54.85% -0.451 -0.6203
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1330 50.83% 44.22 3.218 53.98% 0.605 0.5487
River Surges in Sunlight 3053 49.75% 45.53 4.035 51.03% 0.586 0.5115
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 294 50.0% 42.96 1.831 46.6% 0.79 1.2161
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 73 58.33% 49.58 1.37 49.32% 0.021 -0.3197
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1967 46.94% 39.84 -0.35 41.43% -0.114 -0.3076
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 785 65.1% 37.18 -8.231 35.8% -0.869 -0.3947
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 15 80.0% 39.27 9.421 40.0% 0.214 0.3933
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 44 75.0% 31.39 -7.874 20.45% -1.53 -1.475
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 198 71.57% 35.6 -3.769 31.82% -0.619 -0.6417
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 107 74.77% 33.01 1.188 27.1% -0.192 -0.0762
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2830 46.2% 49.01 -0.057 64.35% -0.154 -0.3457
Shifting Memory of Ages 335 65.67% 38.26 0.106 37.61% -0.013 0.2023
Shroud of Silent Mist 718 68.9% 40.37 -7.735 46.66% -2.041 -1.9066
Starlight Seeks its Form 482 49.38% 40.34 -2.069 39.83% -0.503 -0.6181
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1135 46.78% 41.0 2.4 49.52% 0.588 0.3492
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1193 53.83% 46.07 3.111 58.51% 0.628 0.758
Thunderspeaker 2099 56.73% 45.09 1.031 52.64% 0.171 0.1541
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 814 75.74% 34.89 -1.607 36.86% -0.239 -0.4548
Vital Strength of the Earth 1190 48.69% 36.56 -8.167 31.68% -1.887 -0.9886
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 37 41.67% 36.46 2.548 29.73% 0.089 0.5117
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 98 50.0% 33.35 -9.333 25.51% -0.409 0.705
Volcano Looming High 712 63.2% 41.83 -1.389 52.25% -0.288 -0.3092

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 152 32.24% 30.57 -10.83 22.37% -0.582 -0.1394
Dahan Insurrection 4 366 41.8% 56.32 7.15 42.9% -0.105 -0.0082
Despicable Theft 2 16 43.75% 37.13 -5.727 25.0% -0.565 -0.0662
Elemental Invocation 1 55 50.91% 31.78 0.0 16.36%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1043 18.16% 53.42 3.737 69.8% 1.201 1.4329
Powers Long Forgotten 1 110 60.91% 37.89 0.0 29.09%
Rituals of Terror 3 89 48.31% 43.3 0.0 29.21%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 185 70.81% 36.09 -3.947 16.76% -1.258 -1.0319
Second Wave 0 256 56.86% 39.59 5.15 35.94% 0.513 1.2054
The Great River 3 13 30.77% 32.77 0.0 7.69%
Varied Terrains 2 7 85.71% 46.0 0.0 42.86%
Ward the Shores 2 173 60.12% 34.64 -3.306 15.03% -0.718 0.1633

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 18048 52.93% 42.13 0.21 48.86% 0.417 1.0803
1 Thematic 906 40.62% 36.13 -3.074 21.41% -0.446 0.6104
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4252 58.0% 43.06 0.191 52.05% 0.172 0.69
2 Coastline 389 54.78% 43.24 5.889 51.93% 0.9 1.1003
2 Fragment 84 64.29% 38.81 -4.649 42.86% -0.428 -0.13
2 Heart 43 69.77% 36.63 0.0 39.53%
2 Opposite Shores 814 53.56% 42.25 0.089 48.89% 0.043 0.5813
2 Thematic 288 38.89% 34.13 -1.72 16.67% -0.192 0.5907
2 Top to Top 271 52.4% 46.89 -3.555 61.99% -0.302 -0.1743
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 67.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 15 40.0% 43.53 0.0 46.67%
3 Other 60 45.0% 51.6 0.0 73.33%
3 Round (Default) 2173 49.75% 46.98 -1.44 60.15% -0.274 0.0309
3 Sunrise 6 83.33% 41.17 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 59 40.68% 34.42 0.0 15.25%
4 Archipelago 20 80.0% 43.8 0.0 45.0%
4 Coastline 9 11.11% 66.78 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 17 35.29% 54.24 0.0 82.35%
4 Other 47 53.19% 53.11 0.0 76.6%
4 Snake 5 100.0% 28.0 0.0 20.0%
4 Thematic 239 38.91% 44.0 -3.049 37.24% -0.148 -0.0439
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1130 46.55% 50.71 0.635 65.84% 0.002 0.0794
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 40.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 16 62.5% 56.38 8.391 87.5% 0.426 -0.0899
5 Thematic 5 40.0% 59.0 0.0 20.0%
6 Archipelago 2 50.0% 27.5 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 3 0.0% 74.67 4.99 100.0% 0.059 0.1038
6 Star 8 25.0% 51.13 -12.446 62.5% -0.955 -0.1842
6 Thematic 6 0.0% 31.83 0.0 0.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 18 38.89% 52.78 9.26 66.67% 0.701 0.8923

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1417 40.66 0.663 48.91% 0.375 2.3456
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1102 43.08 -2.138 52.0% -0.389 1.3889
All Things Weaken 581 42.05 0.177 51.64% 0.331 2.3795
Back Against the Wall 1128 42.52 -4.007 50.09% -0.568 1.3706
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1395 36.39 -0.805 41.72% 0.233 2.3612
Downward Spiral 1562 38.97 -1.298 46.29% 0.178 2.1389
Erosion of Will 1374 38.49 -2.716 42.72% -0.268 1.8136
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 292 43.25 -4.46 52.74% -0.59 -0.0882
Memory Fades to Dust 1637 38.72 -2.109 44.59% -0.222 1.9188
Power Corrodes the Spirit 577 39.68 1.275 46.45% 0.303 2.2838
Promising Farmlands 1506 34.64 -2.677 34.4% -0.282 1.7399
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 157 44.09 12.309 54.78% 0.418 0.9145
Thriving Communities 584 39.82 -1.444 48.63% 0.01 2.069
Tipping Point 646 36.91 0.0 40.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 604 41.47 4.022 49.67% 0.965 2.9218
Untended Land Crumbles 626 38.19 -1.267 43.61% 0.206 2.2395

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6415 54.04% 42.81 -1.449 50.13% -0.094 0.6421
B 6760 53.92% 44.0 0.28 53.21% 0.124 0.8213
C 9001 47.56% 46.94 0.854 59.76% 0.339 0.8092
D 6442 53.52% 43.22 0.334 51.38% 0.312 1.0214
E 3075 58.58% 44.31 -0.475 54.02% 0.035 0.5792
F 3562 54.85% 43.84 0.254 53.0% 0.27 0.9312
G 3255 54.79% 42.79 -0.108 50.81% 0.126 0.7565
H 3285 52.1% 44.26 0.396 53.36% 0.224 0.8884
East 913 38.66% 39.68 -2.787 26.18% -0.497 0.1645
Northeast 594 40.74% 41.41 4.174 29.46% 0.106 0.766
Northwest 567 46.03% 36.98 -3.049 23.1% -0.148 0.4628
Southeast 96 35.42% 42.73 0.0 37.5%
Southwest 80 23.75% 34.64 -11.105 26.25% -0.368 0.6
West 962 38.36% 35.48 -3.782 19.65% -0.513 0.2925

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 53 0.0% 47.13 -1.935 56.6% -0.372 1.8569
Not Using Events or Tokens 138 54.01% 32.96 0.0 23.19%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 340 23.71% 60.73 9.546 77.65% 0.707 -0.2733
Start of Game Growth 523 27.51% 56.55 2.036 73.42% 0.105 -0.3518
Unlimited Undo 2496 55.26% 43.97 3.093 53.25% 0.657 0.105
Using Tokens but Not Events 1309 46.54% 42.92 1.488 50.27% 0.081 0.2363

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9232 22.65 2.81%
II 8886 31.08 46.02%
III 8756 34.66 91.37%
IV 2065 37.91 99.71%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.086 Win Model: -0.065
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 18984 52.38% 41.85 47.55%
2 6130 56.12% 42.65 50.34%
3 2310 49.52% 46.75 59.22%
4 1471 45.6% 49.63 61.39%
5 7 71.43% 55.71 42.86%
6 37 27.78% 49.43 54.05%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 257
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7861
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3909
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2042
Lose: Invader deck ran out 20
Lose: Adversary condition 10480
Win: Sacrifice victory 60
Lose: Scenario condition 253
Win: Scenario condition 278
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3497
Lose: Spirit destroyed 282

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1508 48.17% 55.23 0.29 66.31% -0.026 -0.1013
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 626 63.56% 41.93 1.881 38.02% 0.07 0.1486
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 821 49.7% 51.23 1.224 60.29% 0.213 -0.0117
Downpour Drenches the World 93 64.52% 45.6 -3.09 40.86% -0.831 -0.5665
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1441 42.18% 53.84 -2.961 64.54% -0.455 -0.9585
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 454 46.76% 46.12 -4.789 46.04% -0.683 -1.27
Finder of Paths Unseen 12 50.0% 54.25 3.902 66.67% 0.733 1.0885
Fractured Days Split the Sky 250 54.8% 51.94 0.842 51.6% -0.407 -0.3249
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 245 67.35% 54.99 2.644 64.9% 0.265 0.1699
Heart of the Wildfire 1060 88.68% 41.62 -0.792 42.45% -0.221 0.1841
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3172 55.06% 55.79 0.542 69.29% 0.168 -0.4354
Lightning's Swift Strike 1016 48.91% 55.0 -0.877 62.8% -0.083 0.2818
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 45 66.67% 54.67 0.476 64.44% 0.449 -0.2998
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 313 40.89% 61.25 6.947 81.79% 1.464 0.9003
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 142 49.3% 58.62 5.477 73.24% 0.798 0.3032
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 803 57.04% 53.02 4.423 64.63% 0.708 0.5561
Many Minds Move as One 312 45.19% 54.76 0.896 66.03% -0.146 -0.7322
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1678 55.58% 52.25 0.054 61.03% -0.009 -0.1782
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 897 51.39% 51.42 -0.73 61.76% -0.183 -0.2391
River Surges in Sunlight 1707 54.89% 53.36 -1.684 60.34% -0.13 -0.2045
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 194 60.31% 52.81 1.317 59.28% -0.01 0.4165
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 88 57.95% 61.05 4.981 70.45% 0.75 0.4086
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1275 49.41% 47.79 -0.617 49.49% 0.011 -0.1822
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 400 66.75% 40.72 -8.687 34.5% -0.779 -0.3042
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 14 71.43% 32.14 -9.481 14.29% -0.344 -0.1648
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 44 47.73% 62.55 2.15 86.36% 0.234 0.2892
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 143 55.94% 51.12 -3.973 60.14% -0.603 -0.6261
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 49 71.43% 38.53 -10.886 32.65% -0.357 -0.2412
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1546 45.6% 55.32 2.705 67.4% 0.45 0.2583
Shifting Memory of Ages 162 56.17% 51.17 -3.471 54.32% -0.318 -0.1032
Shroud of Silent Mist 163 68.52% 41.11 -3.642 39.26% -0.514 -0.3803
Starlight Seeks its Form 274 56.93% 46.09 -1.934 47.45% -0.231 -0.3458
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1496 42.78% 52.72 1.027 65.64% 0.226 -0.0133
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 680 48.67% 57.03 6.262 71.91% 1.195 1.3252
Thunderspeaker 1129 61.03% 50.57 0.34 55.0% 0.175 0.1573
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 589 71.65% 44.74 -4.412 51.61% -0.687 -0.9027
Vital Strength of the Earth 692 51.3% 41.74 4.124 34.54% 0.516 1.4145
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 82 39.02% 58.99 -1.723 75.61% -0.651 -0.2285
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 210 46.67% 50.45 -3.511 58.57% -0.293 0.8211
Volcano Looming High 378 59.79% 49.8 -0.3 61.9% -0.32 -0.3404

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 28.0 -10.951 0.0% -0.328 0.1674
Blitz 0 126 30.16% 37.15 -3.385 29.37% -0.509 -0.066
Dahan Insurrection 4 191 58.12% 63.74 4.775 45.55% -0.31 -0.2123
Despicable Theft 2 8 62.5% 55.75 14.778 62.5% 0.652 1.1503
Elemental Invocation 1 19 68.42% 46.11 -2.457 42.11% -0.18 0.3658
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1797 31.83% 63.33 3.755 84.08% 0.744 0.976
Powers Long Forgotten 1 94 51.06% 43.37 0.0 31.91%
Rituals of Terror 3 86 51.16% 48.36 12.646 24.42% 0.221 -0.015
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 103 77.67% 37.83 0.0 12.62%
Second Wave 0 158 60.51% 40.33 -2.604 31.65% -0.399 0.2938
The Great River 3 25 56.0% 34.68 0.0 8.0%
Ward the Shores 2 206 51.46% 41.68 4.28 22.82% -0.048 0.8324

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8572 56.71% 47.16 -1.112 51.49% 0.175 0.8375
1 Thematic 625 45.44% 39.57 -7.99 21.76% -0.939 0.118
2 Archipelago 4 25.0% 46.75 0.0 25.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1992 64.34% 48.72 1.97 55.22% 0.616 1.1341
2 Coastline 202 61.88% 49.86 -0.463 55.45% 0.029 0.23
2 Fragment 58 79.31% 39.57 -0.969 37.93% 0.234 0.5327
2 Heart 24 54.17% 42.25 0.0 41.67%
2 Opposite Shores 406 64.29% 47.09 -2.064 50.0% -0.115 0.4236
2 Thematic 152 39.47% 39.21 -4.852 15.13% -0.698 0.084
2 Top to Top 66 54.55% 53.41 3.459 63.64% 0.278 0.4055
3 Archipelago 2 50.0% 52.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 5 80.0% 34.4 0.0 20.0%
3 Other 50 84.0% 49.6 16.924 52.0% 0.066 -0.598
3 Round (Default) 1777 50.51% 56.61 1.408 72.99% 0.352 0.6562
3 Sunrise 3 100.0% 36.0 0.0 33.33%
3 Thematic 46 26.09% 37.41 0.0 15.22%
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 81.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 8 12.5% 73.75 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 49.8 5.251 60.0% 0.202 0.0997
4 Other 29 58.62% 62.59 0.0 86.21%
4 Thematic 274 18.22% 64.15 18.858 66.79% 0.577 0.6811
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1010 51.39% 58.89 0.619 75.84% 0.154 0.2314
5 Other 23 61.9% 64.91 -5.697 78.26% -0.339 -0.8559
5 Thematic 7 71.43% 63.86 -4.221 42.86% -0.364 -0.6512
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 61.67 2.732 66.67% -0.007 -0.1537
6 Other 2 0.0% 51.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 7 57.14% 47.43 -15.583 57.14% -0.474 0.296
6 Thematic 8 12.5% 59.38 4.468 62.5% 0.238 0.4792
6 Two Centers (Default) 10 40.0% 47.8 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 811 48.85 0.582 56.47% 0.494 2.4651
Aid From Lesser Spirits 656 49.93 0.217 57.32% 0.326 2.1041
All Things Weaken 319 50.12 -2.176 59.25% -0.168 1.8813
Back Against the Wall 634 46.25 1.938 49.53% 0.42 2.3591
Disintegrating Ecosystem 805 43.37 -2.333 47.2% -0.232 1.896
Downward Spiral 874 47.17 3.663 54.58% 0.87 2.8309
Erosion of Will 790 45.83 0.024 50.76% 0.332 2.4135
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 161 52.76 1.169 65.84% 0.085 0.5871
Memory Fades to Dust 843 45.32 -3.492 50.42% -0.473 1.6678
Power Corrodes the Spirit 333 46.48 -3.44 53.45% -0.146 1.8351
Promising Farmlands 792 40.05 -4.458 37.12% -0.461 1.5602
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 93 56.01 0.031 72.04% 0.174 0.6708
Thriving Communities 343 46.22 -1.446 54.52% 0.023 2.0826
Tipping Point 373 45.77 0.0 51.47%
Unnatural Proliferation 368 47.76 3.35 53.53% 0.769 2.7256
Untended Land Crumbles 344 44.67 -2.188 48.84% -0.087 1.9459

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3600 58.54% 50.56 0.962 58.64% 0.066 0.8023
B 3914 59.42% 50.52 -0.919 58.89% -0.312 0.3848
C 4512 55.52% 52.97 2.162 63.9% 0.36 0.8298
D 3470 57.78% 50.85 1.154 59.48% -0.003 0.7068
E 1874 52.75% 53.49 1.48 65.31% 0.377 0.921
F 2353 53.46% 51.22 1.407 60.22% 0.207 0.8691
G 2146 54.27% 52.81 0.401 63.65% 0.132 0.7633
H 2219 53.59% 52.68 -1.404 63.32% -0.481 0.1832
East 797 35.35% 47.87 -1.726 35.76% -0.246 0.4151
Northeast 497 34.96% 53.69 2.164 46.28% 0.166 0.8263
Northwest 437 29.86% 54.78 -2.812 47.37% -0.507 0.1034
Southeast 74 28.38% 51.43 3.777 41.89% 0.452 0.9829
Southwest 52 21.15% 53.25 -2.087 50.0% 0.171 1.1394
West 703 29.23% 48.75 -2.127 36.27% -0.451 0.3545

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 21 0.0% 50.19 0.0 47.62%
Not Using Events or Tokens 62 62.9% 32.05 0.0 16.13%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 340 8.08% 74.13 14.202 89.41% 1.033 0.0531
Start of Game Growth 514 17.5% 68.25 8.572 82.88% 0.701 0.2439
Unlimited Undo 1468 51.23% 53.98 2.36 63.76% 0.613 0.0617
Using Tokens but Not Events 745 35.22% 55.67 -1.016 63.49% -0.05 0.1048

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4381 22.65 5.3%
II 6370 31.08 60.61%
III 3767 34.66 92.28%
IV 853 37.91 99.77%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.509 Win Model: 0.139
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 9235 56.06% 46.71 49.37%
2 2885 62.52% 47.88 52.58%
3 1877 51.07% 55.78 70.75%
4 1333 44.49% 60.24 74.57%
5 11 77.78% 57.73 45.45%
6 30 30.0% 52.43 56.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 232
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3403
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3730
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 847
Lose: Invader deck ran out 7
Lose: Adversary condition 4721
Win: Sacrifice victory 33
Lose: Scenario condition 185
Win: Scenario condition 175
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1929
Lose: Spirit destroyed 109

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5952 47.35% 52.36 0.761 50.13% 0.231 0.1557
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3240 60.64% 41.27 -6.018 30.0% -1.212 -1.1331
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3775 50.5% 48.76 -1.922 46.91% 0.013 -0.2114
Downpour Drenches the World 569 54.93% 47.26 -1.125 34.45% -0.317 -0.0523
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5937 39.74% 55.23 2.961 56.36% 0.688 0.1853
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2418 51.71% 47.71 -4.152 43.42% -0.354 -0.9406
Finder of Paths Unseen 206 51.94% 48.21 -0.573 39.32% -0.145 0.2111
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2106 51.28% 58.47 2.797 52.71% 0.449 0.5314
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2178 63.96% 55.36 1.427 56.2% 0.351 0.256
Heart of the Wildfire 5690 82.84% 43.66 -1.939 38.49% -0.105 0.3009
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 22593 53.8% 57.0 2.753 62.95% 0.673 0.0694
Lightning's Swift Strike 4909 58.77% 50.84 -1.375 48.65% 0.061 0.4256
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 583 67.41% 57.99 1.954 62.26% 0.833 0.0841
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 3583 53.69% 63.07 3.691 72.48% 0.838 0.2743
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1119 52.37% 64.47 4.413 72.3% 1.108 0.6137
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5211 56.5% 56.11 0.28 61.27% 0.348 0.1967
Many Minds Move as One 1737 47.96% 55.39 0.291 58.38% -0.032 -0.6182
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 11362 52.43% 53.96 3.539 53.97% 0.599 0.4296
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4291 54.94% 51.36 -1.302 51.92% 0.133 0.0771
River Surges in Sunlight 10545 53.83% 54.06 0.548 52.07% 0.089 0.015
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 714 54.92% 50.81 3.078 45.24% 0.504 0.9301
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 615 57.65% 60.85 2.865 55.28% 0.357 0.0155
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7752 48.11% 47.31 -1.603 40.23% -0.287 -0.4807
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1904 64.7% 41.55 -4.314 30.57% -0.622 -0.1473
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 70 54.29% 56.13 -1.744 48.57% -0.324 -0.1449
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 81 59.26% 52.93 -1.748 53.09% 0.005 0.0601
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 783 62.2% 46.11 -4.388 38.06% -0.598 -0.6203
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 272 72.43% 47.38 9.179 43.38% 0.249 0.3652
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7637 47.81% 57.52 2.659 63.7% 0.719 0.5275
Shifting Memory of Ages 1219 67.19% 49.03 -2.389 35.44% -0.428 -0.2127
Shroud of Silent Mist 957 70.2% 43.21 -3.892 36.68% -0.27 -0.1359
Starlight Seeks its Form 2376 57.53% 52.58 -1.254 48.74% -0.042 -0.1564
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6198 46.39% 48.27 -4.237 45.6% -0.576 -0.8145
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4540 54.39% 57.26 1.13 63.3% 0.433 0.5636
Thunderspeaker 5653 52.87% 51.13 -0.651 44.9% -0.019 -0.0365
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3639 76.17% 43.46 -5.184 40.34% -0.528 -0.7432
Vital Strength of the Earth 3213 54.05% 38.85 -3.547 23.62% -0.54 0.3586
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 157 66.88% 48.09 -0.755 37.58% 0.04 0.4627
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 597 48.91% 35.0 -11.182 16.42% -2.222 -1.1079
Volcano Looming High 3595 61.86% 53.79 -0.34 60.75% 0.442 0.4216

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 0.0% 29.5 -10.314 0.0% -0.399 0.0967
Blitz 0 940 39.29% 39.72 -2.733 25.96% -0.328 0.1148
Dahan Insurrection 4 2273 42.4% 63.6 10.397 38.5% 0.466 0.5629
Despicable Theft 2 22 72.73% 58.55 0.0 50.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 177 66.67% 41.89 -5.743 22.6% -1.097 -0.5508
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7935 28.62% 63.03 5.341 69.38% 1.186 1.4176
Powers Long Forgotten 1 189 52.91% 44.33 -5.335 28.57% -0.402 0.0053
Rituals of Terror 3 220 54.09% 68.6 24.291 37.27% 1.542 1.306
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 68 80.88% 40.51 0.0 14.71%
Second Wave 0 523 60.8% 46.95 -5.076 35.95% -0.895 -0.2021
The Great River 3 62 45.16% 35.02 0.0 4.84%
Varied Terrains 2 8 62.5% 51.13 -9.024 37.5% -0.878 -0.0914
Ward the Shores 2 265 51.89% 40.96 -5.603 17.36% -0.641 0.2401

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 77455 55.51% 50.49 -0.677 49.95% -0.131 0.5319
1 Thematic 3164 41.34% 44.07 -4.527 20.89% -1.344 -0.2873
2 Archipelago 47 82.98% 69.36 10.778 36.17% 0.39 0.8613
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9810 64.66% 52.06 -0.017 53.49% -0.227 0.2913
2 Coastline 1987 54.43% 56.22 1.974 59.94% 0.188 0.3887
2 Fragment 736 67.26% 58.59 1.479 68.75% 0.107 0.4055
2 Heart 217 66.82% 54.24 1.047 47.47% 0.138 0.5983
2 Opposite Shores 2173 61.45% 48.99 -3.13 41.0% -0.901 -0.3623
2 Thematic 865 40.86% 46.38 -1.764 19.08% -0.247 0.5349
2 Top to Top 519 58.19% 54.96 2.278 56.84% 0.059 0.1869
3 Archipelago 9 77.78% 57.44 -11.233 22.22% -0.875 -1.0937
3 Coastline 38 60.53% 47.74 1.519 39.47% 0.022 -0.4856
3 Other 149 59.06% 55.79 9.286 61.07% 1.395 0.7305
3 Round (Default) 5171 56.0% 54.3 1.179 57.11% -0.309 -0.0048
3 Sunrise 79 45.57% 66.99 0.0 84.81%
3 Thematic 134 35.07% 54.36 23.769 23.88% 1.838 2.0455
4 Archipelago 8 50.0% 75.63 10.244 50.0% 0.14 0.1024
4 Coastline 54 14.81% 76.35 0.0 94.44%
4 Leaf 10 60.0% 53.1 10.017 60.0% 0.201 0.0989
4 Other 76 47.37% 65.32 15.377 82.89% 0.631 -0.0826
4 Thematic 1268 29.97% 57.47 -0.901 47.95% -0.291 -0.1868
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3175 48.35% 59.25 2.082 63.65% -0.413 -0.3349
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 77.0 9.083 100.0% 0.075 -0.022
5 Coastline 15 0.0% 77.93 5.496 100.0% 0.06 -0.5279
5 Other 86 46.99% 67.69 4.717 72.09% 0.537 0.021
5 Thematic 12 75.0% 83.25 0.0 75.0%
6 Archipelago 7 14.29% 70.43 10.714 71.43% 0.144 -0.0027
6 Coastline 7 0.0% 75.43 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 51 43.14% 57.51 -0.964 56.86% -0.309 -0.2646
6 Star 32 46.88% 43.59 -3.159 31.25% -0.809 -0.0384
6 Thematic 55 41.82% 62.98 -1.761 49.09% -1.068 -0.8275
6 Two Centers (Default) 126 35.71% 71.79 2.373 71.43% -0.498 -0.3063
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 52.0 8.202 0.0% 0.12 0.2691

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 5050 49.25 -0.63 49.31% 0.06 2.0305
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4570 50.55 -0.494 50.35% 0.048 1.8259
All Things Weaken 2906 50.27 -1.852 50.48% -0.1 1.9488
Back Against the Wall 4262 48.48 -1.81 46.39% -0.229 1.7101
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5015 44.64 -2.56 42.83% -0.112 2.0156
Downward Spiral 6029 48.51 -2.745 48.48% -0.101 1.8604
Erosion of Will 5049 46.64 -1.418 43.79% -0.06 2.0213
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1400 55.37 1.774 60.64% 0.414 0.9162
Memory Fades to Dust 5977 47.7 -3.212 46.55% -0.225 1.9162
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2878 49.32 -1.959 50.0% -0.007 1.9738
Promising Farmlands 5006 42.9 -3.802 36.16% -0.453 1.5684
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 819 55.21 -2.541 61.78% -0.121 0.3758
Thriving Communities 2906 50.0 -1.892 52.1% -0.025 2.0342
Tipping Point 1873 44.89 0.0 42.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 2954 50.78 -1.555 49.76% -0.151 1.8062
Untended Land Crumbles 2858 48.15 -1.597 47.03% 0.044 2.0768

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 20451 57.59% 50.5 -0.586 48.75% -0.548 0.1881
B 22288 56.71% 52.16 0.309 52.88% -0.367 0.3303
C 28128 56.33% 54.12 1.439 56.62% -0.136 0.3333
D 19707 56.17% 50.97 -0.199 49.99% -0.517 0.1924
E 12723 55.01% 55.15 2.26 58.44% -0.046 0.4982
F 14210 55.54% 52.72 0.068 53.91% -0.308 0.354
G 10936 55.91% 51.43 -0.394 51.06% -0.421 0.2099
H 11608 54.96% 52.65 -0.334 53.13% -0.518 0.1465
East 4123 40.29% 50.31 -1.948 29.42% -1.439 -0.777
Northeast 2722 40.27% 52.53 2.604 34.83% -0.21 0.4502
Northwest 1958 32.82% 52.03 1.854 36.21% -0.027 0.5835
Southeast 520 52.31% 48.65 -3.291 26.73% -0.928 -0.3967
Southwest 347 34.01% 50.27 -3.998 39.77% -0.759 0.2091
West 3085 31.12% 49.15 1.27 30.5% -0.537 0.2688

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 136 0.0% 55.29 -1.993 53.68% 0.175 2.4037
Not Using Events or Tokens 1104 31.82% 46.59 0.0 20.02%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2801 15.52% 73.81 7.531 82.54% 0.604 -0.3759
Start of Game Growth 5415 21.94% 71.01 9.708 79.93% 1.559 1.1024
Unlimited Undo 10359 48.44% 60.37 5.021 67.75% 0.584 0.0322
Using Tokens but Not Events 6970 43.45% 55.93 -2.557 58.61% -0.638 -0.483

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 34663 22.65 4.18%
II 44314 31.08 58.73%
III 24559 34.66 91.5%
IV 4008 37.91 99.65%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.909 Win Model: 0.546
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 81073 55.06% 50.32 48.72%
2 16022 61.41% 52.07 52.07%
3 5546 55.4% 54.47 56.6%
4 4564 42.64% 59.02 60.34%
5 69 36.36% 62.42 60.87%
6 270 37.41% 64.52 62.22%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1444
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 22009
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 25150
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3938
Lose: Invader deck ran out 73
Lose: Adversary condition 37888
Win: Sacrifice victory 317
Lose: Scenario condition 1058
Win: Scenario condition 1082
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13651
Lose: Spirit destroyed 934

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-10-19 02:56:39 (Pacific Time)