The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3641 31.28% 30.85 0.99 80.53% 0.388 0.2653
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2239 54.59% 26.49 -1.204 70.34% -0.084 0.1569
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 10 20.0% 20.0 -0.528 50.0% -0.215 -1.2164
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2237 34.54% 29.88 1.458 83.68% 0.484 0.2569
Downpour Drenches the World 227 27.75% 22.78 -1.492 59.47% -0.232 0.0933
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 205 24.39% 25.97 2.186 69.76% 0.37 -0.1298
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2724 25.19% 32.72 1.963 88.03% 0.334 -0.1268
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2194 28.53% 31.71 2.651 89.02% 0.748 0.3188
Finder of Paths Unseen 107 42.99% 14.46 -6.536 30.84% -1.404 -0.5813
Fractured Days Split the Sky 472 36.6% 27.73 -0.594 65.68% 0.016 0.6129
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 615 46.18% 27.61 -1.322 70.89% -0.28 -0.281
Heart of the Wildfire 2995 60.19% 26.5 0.199 72.82% 0.225 0.6096
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6110 29.96% 34.7 1.466 86.24% 0.403 -0.092
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 16 37.5% 20.56 0.184 56.25% 0.132 -0.4146
Lightning's Swift Strike 3374 41.48% 30.48 0.982 78.78% 0.315 0.4977
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 88 35.23% 28.45 2.829 69.32% 0.465 -0.0723
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 360 35.65% 29.87 -2.578 81.11% -0.139 -0.43
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 272 36.16% 29.66 -0.846 77.57% 0.08 -0.0683
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1316 37.64% 29.99 1.656 82.22% 0.499 0.2474
Many Minds Move as One 849 27.12% 29.74 -0.343 79.98% -0.024 -0.181
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3911 41.75% 29.74 -0.1 78.65% 0.08 0.0909
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2070 37.58% 28.52 -1.671 79.57% -0.147 -0.2927
River Surges in Sunlight 5181 31.86% 36.57 1.86 80.51% 0.267 0.3047
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 473 48.3% 28.51 -0.955 67.86% -0.244 0.0161
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 150 34.67% 27.01 0.969 64.67% 0.1 0.0491
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3283 30.21% 34.93 1.921 83.19% 0.345 0.1704
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2228 55.28% 28.08 -1.66 70.74% -0.325 0.2871
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 48 31.25% 26.88 -3.47 58.33% -0.46 -0.3562
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 20 20.0% 23.9 0.105 60.0% -0.165 -0.747
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 41 48.78% 26.02 -1.314 70.73% -0.126 -0.0795
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 264 46.21% 29.25 -0.784 78.79% -0.243 -0.1618
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 190 52.91% 27.1 -2.25 74.21% -0.319 -0.1108
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3908 32.79% 33.39 -0.369 83.55% 0.076 0.1549
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 65 26.15% 19.6 -0.643 52.31% 0.186 -0.1368
Shifting Memory of Ages 456 49.34% 23.04 -1.826 63.16% -0.048 0.217
Shroud of Silent Mist 560 53.85% 24.71 -1.136 68.39% 0.113 0.4802
Starlight Seeks its Form 693 29.0% 28.07 -1.533 74.03% -0.394 -0.6221
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1416 37.46% 26.68 -1.76 79.94% -0.211 -0.5672
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1796 37.59% 27.8 -0.395 75.39% -0.017 0.1156
Thunderspeaker 4158 27.52% 38.78 3.246 87.16% 0.861 0.8904
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 55 32.73% 20.85 -0.36 47.27% -0.328 -0.0883
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1024 69.25% 22.08 -3.097 64.45% -0.624 -0.433
Vital Strength of the Earth 2824 35.11% 26.82 -0.653 64.06% -0.103 0.4543
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 79 30.38% 20.9 -2.122 51.9% -0.092 0.3177
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 236 44.44% 22.39 -0.451 48.31% -0.125 0.6028
Volcano Looming High 798 45.41% 25.19 -2.44 71.68% -0.417 -0.3983
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 49 28.57% 27.69 3.17 73.47% 0.768 0.1741

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 16 12.5% 18.44 -10.402 43.75% -0.787 -0.9266
Blitz 0 553 42.57% 23.59 -2.687 62.57% -0.532 -0.4213
Dahan Insurrection 4 692 26.23% 48.84 9.881 77.46% 0.472 0.2367
Despicable Theft 2 113 40.71% 27.35 -1.342 53.1% -0.538 0.1049
Elemental Invocation 1 168 51.5% 21.7 -4.063 47.02% -0.956 -0.1542
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1452 11.72% 33.92 1.541 82.09% -0.081 -0.8547
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1641 16.66% 50.63 3.296 89.46% -0.005 0.7679
Rituals of Terror 3 393 48.09% 33.55 -0.429 57.51% -0.517 -0.5006
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 314 70.06% 30.48 -7.247 50.32% -1.56 -0.5029
Second Wave 0 623 54.09% 27.05 1.252 59.55% -0.374 -0.2931
The Great River 3 115 53.04% 23.76 -8.389 35.65% -1.269 -0.1401
Varied Terrains 2 43 44.19% 14.63 -6.264 25.58% -1.518 -0.8261
Ward the Shores 2 533 44.09% 26.54 -4.914 39.4% -1.309 -0.4455

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 27307 43.42% 27.41 -0.012 74.98% 0.216 0.4166
1 Thematic 3357 42.55% 31.35 -1.409 64.1% -0.221 0.4987
2 Archipelago 17 52.94% 31.53 5.675 47.06% 0.232 0.4873
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6433 38.92% 28.43 0.064 80.3% 0.065 0.0728
2 Coastline 516 39.3% 27.1 -0.345 77.13% 0.086 -0.1189
2 Fragment 126 49.21% 26.33 6.232 73.81% 0.972 0.695
2 Heart 69 44.78% 26.52 -10.157 81.16% -0.961 -1.1813
2 Opposite Shores 809 42.87% 28.41 3.65 83.81% 0.903 0.9599
2 Thematic 779 44.09% 32.74 -3.523 69.58% -0.639 -0.1872
2 Top to Top 124 33.06% 28.17 6.333 83.06% 1.344 1.2462
3 Archipelago 8 50.0% 42.25 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 15 53.33% 28.67 0.0 46.67%
3 Other 67 37.31% 29.61 2.868 89.55% -0.026 -0.0545
3 Round (Default) 2045 34.64% 29.04 -0.303 83.13% -0.146 -0.3721
3 Sunrise 15 13.33% 31.53 0.0 93.33%
3 Thematic 150 45.33% 34.73 -2.275 70.0% -0.809 -0.6121
4 Archipelago 4 0.0% 38.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 4 75.0% 19.75 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 5 20.0% 23.4 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 44 31.82% 29.7 4.183 90.91% 0.299 -1.0584
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 30.0 3.424 100.0% 0.225 0.0452
4 Thematic 1537 4.43% 57.18 4.778 97.79% 0.184 -0.014
4 Trapezoid (Default) 996 34.17% 28.61 -0.805 81.02% -0.408 -0.651
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 17 35.29% 25.59 2.957 76.47% 0.646 -0.411
5 Thematic 8 42.86% 31.25 -7.491 75.0% -0.164 -0.6425
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 53.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 2 50.0% 24.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 5 20.0% 26.4 -9.814 80.0% -0.62 -0.6769
6 Thematic 20 20.0% 31.6 3.411 55.0% -0.01 0.7444
6 Two Centers (Default) 50 16.0% 23.54 -4.339 68.0% -1.158 -1.7379
7 Other 1 0.0% 52.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1665 22.6 1.66 59.88% 0.452 0.6117
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1396 22.73 0.633 56.88% 0.095 0.0087
All Things Weaken 654 21.52 -0.89 55.2% -0.319 0.0228
Attenuated Essence 36 22.86 0.381 61.11% -0.097 -0.0226
Back Against the Wall 1383 22.57 0.995 56.83% 0.188 0.2626
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 38 16.61 -2.014 36.84% -0.531 -0.3397
Burn Brightest Before the End 16 23.94 -0.761 62.5% -0.576 -0.4526
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1500 19.14 -1.212 53.07% -0.124 0.249
Downward Spiral 2280 21.86 -0.834 62.32% -0.24 -0.1033
Erosion of Will 1576 22.23 0.932 57.87% 0.26 0.5549
Intensifying Exploitation 38 16.18 -0.873 47.37% 0.175 0.4133
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 310 28.01 2.448 84.19% 0.671 0.1393
Memory Fades to Dust 2193 21.58 -1.827 58.46% -0.308 -0.0274
Power Corrodes the Spirit 655 21.74 2.068 59.24% 0.571 0.7237
Promising Farmlands 1552 19.66 -1.832 51.61% -0.576 -0.2297
Shattered Fragments of Power 25 18.32 0.414 40.0% -0.036 0.1586
Slow Dissolution of Will 35 24.63 2.363 60.0% 0.371 0.8221
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 187 29.13 3.57 90.91% 0.651 -0.0893
The Border of Life and Death 8 21.13 -10.514 62.5% -0.484 -0.9171
Thriving Communities 619 19.85 -0.863 53.15% -0.144 0.1543
Thriving Crops 15 20.67 -1.526 53.33% -0.186 -0.2881
Tipping Point 625 20.24 0.0 53.6%
Unnatural Proliferation 656 22.24 0.913 56.25% 0.096 0.2414
Untended Land Crumbles 581 21.49 -2.139 59.21% -0.409 -0.1094

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8968 41.48% 27.83 -0.235 77.12% -0.365 0.6296
B 9470 40.91% 27.95 -0.511 78.1% -0.395 0.5228
C 9475 39.81% 28.21 -0.138 78.62% -0.471 0.272
D 8927 39.5% 28.24 0.298 78.51% -0.234 0.7171
E 3196 40.16% 27.87 0.621 77.47% -0.21 0.571
F 5135 40.21% 27.77 0.508 78.19% -0.205 0.6876
G 4842 40.87% 27.32 -0.475 76.66% -0.427 0.4287
H 4729 39.28% 27.95 -0.11 78.68% -0.33 0.5183
East 4094 27.9% 42.28 3.117 79.26% 0.128 0.8976
Northeast 2911 22.39% 45.86 0.742 84.06% -0.561 0.2262
Northwest 2475 19.12% 47.71 1.004 86.71% -0.659 0.3241
Southeast 405 36.88% 31.27 -3.256 64.69% -0.798 0.077
Southwest 421 44.29% 25.82 -5.041 57.96% -1.493 -0.2855
West 3742 27.7% 41.53 1.798 77.5% -0.367 0.5677

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 137 0.0% 30.18 -11.267 83.21% -0.958 -0.3282
Not Using Events or Tokens 747 49.66% 27.58 -1.477 73.76% -0.313 0.1932
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1973 3.53% 53.41 3.853 96.35% 0.285 -0.3497
Start of Game Growth 2346 7.47% 49.96 2.023 94.16% -0.125 -0.5149
Unlimited Undo 2457 31.78% 29.85 -2.333 80.3% -0.336 -0.2912
Using Tokens but Not Events 4385 34.03% 29.4 -0.157 80.73% 0.117 0.0901

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6248 17.67 30.3%
II 14571 30.7 70.72%
III 16244 34.75 88.65%
IV 7484 38.22 99.02%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.326 Win Model: 0.486
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 30828 43.4% 27.81 73.64%
2 8799 39.77% 28.79 79.93%
3 2243 34.88% 29.39 82.66%
4 2582 16.36% 45.65 91.21%
5 14 28.57% 26.43 78.57%
6 79 17.72% 26.52 67.09%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1886
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13963
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9659
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7338
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1314
Lose: Invader deck ran out 252
Lose: Adversary condition 2568
Win: Sacrifice victory 183
Lose: Scenario condition 356
Win: Scenario condition 979
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5752
Lose: Spirit destroyed 297

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2203 46.01% 30.93 0.998 71.95% 0.33 0.2078
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1350 63.94% 28.3 -0.877 60.81% -0.178 0.0631
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 6 33.33% 25.0 1.642 50.0% 0.102 -0.899
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1548 49.22% 27.17 2.06 63.95% 0.676 0.449
Downpour Drenches the World 206 35.44% 23.15 -1.825 52.43% -0.25 0.0749
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 290 29.07% 22.72 0.676 54.48% 0.34 -0.1595
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1855 37.34% 35.14 3.128 81.35% 0.814 0.3533
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1525 46.55% 33.17 3.729 79.34% 1.108 0.6786
Finder of Paths Unseen 85 47.06% 13.33 -5.98 22.35% -1.388 -0.5655
Fractured Days Split the Sky 278 52.52% 27.21 -2.791 53.6% -0.578 0.0195
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 409 60.69% 28.35 1.482 63.08% 0.394 0.3929
Heart of the Wildfire 1856 78.93% 23.48 -3.154 51.99% -0.65 -0.2659
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3411 53.74% 30.27 1.538 73.59% 0.442 -0.0529
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 19 47.37% 26.32 2.433 57.89% 0.429 -0.1177
Lightning's Swift Strike 1948 62.58% 28.59 -0.686 64.07% -0.253 -0.0704
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 68 47.06% 24.76 1.381 60.29% 0.341 -0.1963
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 228 44.93% 34.22 2.189 79.82% 0.484 0.1928
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 190 48.15% 31.83 2.692 67.89% 0.76 0.6119
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1092 53.9% 31.27 1.31 73.81% 0.3 0.0486
Many Minds Move as One 687 39.07% 32.57 0.624 77.58% 0.195 0.0384
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2333 60.16% 30.23 1.348 68.84% 0.285 0.2954
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1535 53.91% 28.47 0.501 65.93% 0.31 0.1638
River Surges in Sunlight 2567 56.54% 30.57 0.775 62.29% 0.056 0.0935
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 274 59.85% 25.98 -1.542 50.73% -0.213 0.0473
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 135 56.72% 25.32 -1.082 48.15% -0.329 -0.3791
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1647 54.19% 29.09 1.514 66.42% 0.538 0.3638
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1217 75.45% 24.44 -1.792 47.99% -0.388 0.2245
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 33 69.7% 23.24 8.633 48.48% 0.675 0.7792
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 23 60.87% 27.17 2.672 60.87% 0.422 -0.1598
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 40 37.5% 24.13 -3.08 52.5% -0.451 -0.4049
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 180 58.33% 24.89 -2.719 53.33% -0.58 -0.4989
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 115 71.05% 29.66 -0.76 62.61% -0.382 -0.1738
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2279 52.18% 30.32 -2.924 69.9% -0.728 -0.6484
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 88 38.64% 26.72 1.957 63.64% 0.415 0.0928
Shifting Memory of Ages 340 60.0% 26.26 -1.283 60.29% -0.205 0.0598
Shroud of Silent Mist 363 79.83% 23.19 -2.521 51.24% -0.509 -0.1415
Starlight Seeks its Form 512 40.4% 30.14 -1.989 69.92% -0.313 -0.5406
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 915 46.99% 28.43 -0.123 72.35% 0.222 -0.1343
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1204 55.56% 27.59 -1.259 60.8% -0.302 -0.1694
Thunderspeaker 2050 54.56% 31.41 1.405 69.51% 0.415 0.4437
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 56 55.36% 17.63 -1.198 37.5% -0.253 -0.0138
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 708 78.25% 22.24 -1.14 48.73% -0.416 -0.2252
Vital Strength of the Earth 1716 54.8% 24.69 -2.928 46.79% -0.767 -0.2101
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 70 49.28% 23.24 0.366 44.29% -0.303 0.107
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 189 50.26% 21.82 -2.139 34.92% -0.393 0.3347
Volcano Looming High 582 64.31% 25.76 -1.439 61.0% 0.001 0.0206
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 49 32.65% 23.98 1.378 48.98% 0.048 -0.5458

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 19 36.84% 23.37 -10.092 36.84% -0.479 -0.6183
Blitz 0 534 51.5% 25.86 -2.869 58.43% -0.657 -0.546
Dahan Insurrection 4 388 40.72% 49.09 1.855 68.3% -0.241 -0.4766
Despicable Theft 2 83 46.99% 29.22 0.88 49.4% 0.035 0.678
Elemental Invocation 1 106 57.55% 21.67 -8.5 40.57% -1.386 -0.5841
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1047 24.11% 34.17 3.645 72.97% 0.522 -0.2521
Powers Long Forgotten 1 451 59.65% 27.8 -3.249 49.67% -0.894 -0.1213
Rituals of Terror 3 240 66.67% 35.34 0.774 46.67% -0.547 -0.5306
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 198 79.8% 31.75 -4.931 42.42% -0.646 0.4107
Second Wave 0 1447 57.45% 30.3 1.416 61.44% -0.196 -0.1154
The Great River 3 77 71.43% 20.7 -5.549 18.18% -1.323 -0.1946
Varied Terrains 2 49 46.94% 16.49 -4.241 20.41% -1.23 -0.5374
Ward the Shores 2 374 47.86% 26.75 -4.946 30.75% -1.364 -0.5005

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 16691 56.11% 27.23 0.288 62.61% 0.221 0.4213
1 Thematic 2710 53.56% 31.68 -2.531 56.13% -0.765 -0.0451
2 Archipelago 19 52.63% 34.0 0.0 47.37%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4072 56.92% 28.64 0.991 67.95% 0.222 0.2299
2 Coastline 382 55.17% 29.81 0.29 72.25% 0.161 -0.0438
2 Fragment 138 61.31% 27.4 -1.399 63.77% 0.243 -0.0343
2 Heart 62 68.85% 25.63 1.833 58.06% 0.171 -0.0494
2 Opposite Shores 711 55.04% 28.43 -0.69 68.07% -0.082 -0.0249
2 Thematic 876 51.71% 30.54 -0.067 55.82% -0.63 -0.1785
2 Top to Top 105 68.57% 29.14 2.245 74.29% 0.643 0.5448
3 Archipelago 13 61.54% 33.85 0.0 38.46%
3 Coastline 12 75.0% 23.25 0.149 33.33% -0.28 -0.8472
3 Other 58 48.28% 33.19 6.581 84.48% 0.304 0.2753
3 Round (Default) 1410 54.28% 30.52 -0.641 73.76% -0.265 -0.4912
3 Sunrise 13 61.54% 28.23 0.0 76.92%
3 Thematic 136 61.03% 31.55 13.497 57.35% 0.642 0.8391
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 37.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 32.4 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 26 57.69% 33.12 8.812 80.77% 0.586 -0.7718
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 204 50.74% 37.32 0.318 72.55% -0.226 -0.4239
4 Trapezoid (Default) 536 51.6% 31.03 1.423 71.46% 0.212 -0.0319
5 Other 28 74.07% 28.86 -8.313 50.0% -0.183 -1.2395
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 29.33 -12.28 66.67% -0.535 -1.2716
6 Star 5 60.0% 15.4 1.269 20.0% 0.028 -0.0292
6 Thematic 28 29.63% 36.96 4.136 64.29% -0.208 0.5457
6 Two Centers (Default) 21 33.33% 29.52 6.896 61.9% 0.659 0.0795
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -9.729 0.0% -0.336 0.4402
7 Other 2 0.0% 25.5 -16.71 50.0% -0.463 -0.8745

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1433 24.59 2.197 52.76% 0.329 0.4889
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1145 25.01 1.014 50.74% 0.297 0.2103
All Things Weaken 589 23.84 -0.782 51.1% -0.35 -0.0075
Attenuated Essence 49 22.27 -0.304 48.98% -0.142 -0.0682
Back Against the Wall 1126 24.92 1.123 51.78% -0.014 0.0612
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 42 17.88 -0.424 33.33% -0.081 0.1099
Burn Brightest Before the End 24 23.67 2.408 45.83% 0.013 0.1369
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1254 20.76 -2.324 46.01% -0.763 -0.3898
Downward Spiral 1893 23.32 0.24 54.41% 0.136 0.2728
Erosion of Will 1373 23.57 0.955 48.58% 0.214 0.5091
Intensifying Exploitation 28 21.71 1.033 42.86% 0.097 0.3358
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 228 31.25 3.966 80.26% 0.989 0.4566
Memory Fades to Dust 1943 22.97 -0.026 50.28% -0.114 0.1671
Power Corrodes the Spirit 593 22.84 1.682 50.59% 0.373 0.5259
Promising Farmlands 1392 21.38 -0.278 44.11% -0.419 -0.0722
Shattered Fragments of Power 43 24.49 -0.622 51.16% -0.47 -0.2755
Slow Dissolution of Will 34 18.56 -3.063 29.41% -0.633 -0.1814
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 126 31.69 4.57 79.37% 1.02 0.2797
The Border of Life and Death 12 18.67 -1.648 33.33% -0.555 -0.9881
Thriving Communities 592 21.84 -2.543 44.43% -0.406 -0.1077
Thriving Crops 20 12.45 -3.722 20.0% -0.874 -0.9768
Tipping Point 530 23.35 0.0 49.43%
Unnatural Proliferation 663 24.76 -0.528 50.23% -0.165 -0.0198
Untended Land Crumbles 560 22.58 0.211 49.29% -0.251 0.0479

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5665 57.21% 27.89 0.11 64.77% -0.2 0.7939
B 5975 56.04% 28.54 -0.258 67.18% -0.239 0.6789
C 5939 54.87% 28.94 0.434 68.14% -0.082 0.6608
D 5610 56.73% 28.52 0.132 66.27% -0.242 0.7099
E 2311 54.88% 28.01 -0.089 64.52% -0.133 0.6476
F 3281 56.29% 27.96 0.44 65.83% -0.142 0.7506
G 3014 55.83% 27.93 0.528 64.53% -0.015 0.84
H 3090 53.89% 28.62 0.63 67.31% -0.029 0.8193
East 2476 51.66% 32.63 -0.675 58.68% -0.474 0.2956
Northeast 1403 51.93% 32.92 -0.529 60.44% -0.306 0.4816
Northwest 1160 51.73% 32.53 1.872 61.03% 0.527 1.5101
Southeast 382 45.26% 29.92 -2.787 55.5% -0.315 0.5598
Southwest 372 50.0% 26.59 -3.009 52.69% -0.704 0.5035
West 2289 53.9% 31.0 1.251 56.01% -0.013 0.9214

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 106 0.0% 26.95 1.365 58.49% 0.219 0.8483
Not Using Events or Tokens 384 63.54% 27.09 -1.535 60.42% -0.103 0.4036
Skip Initial Invader Actions 483 18.42% 43.55 3.763 88.61% 0.043 -0.5918
Start of Game Growth 658 20.89% 42.49 4.193 88.6% 1.009 0.6197
Unlimited Undo 2147 47.37% 28.99 -2.479 66.88% -0.56 -0.5152
Using Tokens but Not Events 2711 51.41% 28.79 -0.045 67.36% 0.117 0.0903

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4573 17.67 6.34%
II 8157 30.7 46.78%
III 10000 34.75 83.79%
IV 5554 38.22 99.28%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.401 Win Model: 0.273
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 19535 55.78% 27.82 61.55%
2 6301 56.36% 29.07 66.93%
3 1592 54.36% 30.56 72.49%
4 777 52.01% 32.69 71.94%
5 21 70.0% 27.67 52.38%
6 58 33.33% 31.43 58.62%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 289
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8150
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3525
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5459
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1296
Lose: Invader deck ran out 109
Lose: Adversary condition 2415
Win: Sacrifice victory 105
Lose: Scenario condition 302
Win: Scenario condition 471
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5842
Lose: Spirit destroyed 321

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4152 35.14% 35.72 -0.626 54.99% 0.254 0.1315
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2272 50.57% 30.19 -0.423 39.26% 0.04 0.2809
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 66 39.39% 39.44 4.869 63.64% 0.878 -0.123
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2532 38.1% 33.14 -1.126 51.58% -0.091 -0.3175
Downpour Drenches the World 454 32.45% 26.36 -1.686 31.94% -0.384 -0.0589
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 579 27.29% 34.74 3.479 60.62% 1.11 0.6104
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3267 29.12% 38.58 2.79 61.37% 0.565 0.1039
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2039 38.57% 33.27 -2.547 48.21% -0.435 -0.8647
Finder of Paths Unseen 150 38.67% 20.01 -7.548 20.67% -1.551 -0.7285
Fractured Days Split the Sky 729 38.32% 34.97 -2.118 46.5% -0.216 0.3814
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1071 52.1% 35.9 -1.446 55.18% -0.194 -0.1954
Heart of the Wildfire 4047 66.82% 32.99 -1.991 55.15% 0.007 0.3911
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6379 42.67% 36.12 2.341 60.92% 0.688 0.193
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 74 41.89% 40.41 5.968 74.32% 1.765 1.2185
Lightning's Swift Strike 2952 48.33% 36.08 -1.188 59.49% -0.05 0.1324
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 170 37.95% 39.86 4.124 72.35% 1.026 0.4893
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 630 40.61% 42.33 5.19 73.65% 1.175 0.8843
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 434 38.94% 38.11 -1.773 59.22% -0.038 -0.1858
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2339 41.16% 37.54 -0.492 64.39% 0.226 -0.0251
Many Minds Move as One 1174 34.95% 36.7 2.815 59.37% 0.564 0.407
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4499 46.96% 34.3 0.501 51.46% 0.505 0.5155
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2425 38.27% 35.31 1.547 56.49% 0.446 0.3002
River Surges in Sunlight 5155 40.79% 37.01 1.62 51.19% -0.325 -0.2873
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 527 46.18% 31.49 -1.404 38.33% -0.243 0.0171
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 343 38.64% 37.04 4.015 49.85% 0.603 0.552
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3542 41.25% 29.85 -0.144 39.36% -0.059 -0.2333
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1688 61.6% 28.34 -6.047 35.01% -1.39 -0.7774
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 57 52.63% 27.56 -8.191 40.35% -0.931 -0.8274
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 82 48.78% 30.21 -0.045 48.78% 0.088 -0.4937
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 68 47.06% 34.21 -1.508 54.41% -0.348 -0.3015
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 457 49.89% 33.35 -1.598 48.8% -0.288 -0.2077
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 175 62.29% 30.9 -3.581 42.29% -0.095 0.1127
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3952 40.41% 38.3 -2.683 65.16% -0.017 0.0624
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 133 34.59% 33.34 -0.655 54.14% 0.169 -0.1532
Shifting Memory of Ages 720 50.0% 28.32 -4.042 36.94% -0.809 -0.5442
Shroud of Silent Mist 739 61.79% 26.8 -5.202 36.54% -1.122 -0.7544
Starlight Seeks its Form 935 37.9% 28.91 -0.86 37.86% -0.212 -0.44
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2030 34.49% 31.6 -1.336 50.59% 0.067 -0.2892
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2031 40.13% 37.9 2.755 63.07% 0.821 0.9537
Thunderspeaker 3655 43.59% 37.78 -0.672 59.07% 0.084 0.113
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 107 44.86% 28.7 0.841 43.93% 0.034 0.2737
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1512 67.84% 27.2 -3.555 40.08% -0.517 -0.3261
Vital Strength of the Earth 2680 37.83% 26.4 -3.118 27.8% -0.732 -0.1745
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 143 39.44% 29.96 -0.419 42.66% -0.379 0.0308
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 254 37.55% 26.28 -8.064 31.1% -0.843 -0.115
Volcano Looming High 1176 49.23% 34.11 0.784 57.99% 0.461 0.4802
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 195 41.54% 29.78 0.339 44.1% 0.043 -0.5508

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 42 35.71% 28.81 -1.887 28.57% -0.173 -0.3132
Blitz 0 611 32.3% 21.82 -7.945 19.31% -1.387 -1.2761
Dahan Insurrection 4 1000 23.3% 54.71 9.623 62.0% 1.087 0.852
Despicable Theft 2 123 57.72% 33.07 -4.733 35.77% -0.318 0.3249
Elemental Invocation 1 134 50.0% 29.43 -2.589 36.57% -0.06 0.7421
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1452 18.93% 40.85 5.208 67.01% 1.142 0.3677
Powers Long Forgotten 1 382 51.83% 33.59 -3.841 41.62% -0.947 -0.1745
Rituals of Terror 3 204 49.02% 42.74 0.178 47.55% -0.047 -0.0307
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 88 66.67% 35.74 -16.132 32.95% -0.422 0.6347
Second Wave 0 820 42.52% 32.96 -1.343 40.24% -0.89 -0.8099
The Great River 3 54 16.67% 23.96 -5.142 7.41% -0.514 0.615
Varied Terrains 2 36 50.0% 27.11 1.87 27.78% -0.381 0.3111
Ward the Shores 2 440 43.18% 35.92 2.712 35.68% -0.177 0.6857

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 31061 44.93% 32.64 -0.077 49.97% 0.319 0.5195
1 Thematic 1446 38.11% 33.84 0.226 36.24% -0.123 0.5962
2 Archipelago 20 80.0% 33.05 -0.245 40.0% -0.276 -0.0209
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7690 46.65% 33.97 0.388 54.62% 0.201 0.2083
2 Coastline 781 45.95% 33.88 0.206 53.27% -0.112 -0.3169
2 Fragment 192 60.42% 29.89 -0.176 44.27% 0.175 -0.1026
2 Heart 68 55.88% 31.06 8.384 47.06% 1.025 0.8043
2 Opposite Shores 1578 49.27% 32.46 0.11 50.06% 0.229 0.2857
2 Thematic 722 37.86% 31.08 -3.352 29.36% 0.096 0.5473
2 Top to Top 208 55.77% 34.88 0.566 58.65% -0.047 -0.1452
3 Archipelago 6 66.67% 48.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 12 16.67% 33.0 0.0 50.0%
3 Other 89 35.96% 34.07 -0.361 58.43% -0.216 -0.2451
3 Round (Default) 3170 42.78% 35.23 -0.519 56.47% -0.528 -0.754
3 Sunrise 9 33.33% 42.67 0.0 77.78%
3 Thematic 134 38.81% 38.72 0.0 41.04%
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 71.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 17.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 19 73.68% 39.26 11.898 68.42% 1.274 0.5756
4 Other 55 41.82% 41.95 3.42 76.36% 0.281 -1.0766
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 628 16.24% 51.31 0.258 69.9% 0.822 0.6241
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1360 41.78% 37.24 0.089 60.59% -0.809 -1.0528
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 31.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 54 59.26% 33.24 -0.293 46.3% -0.996 -2.0532
5 Thematic 13 15.38% 43.77 -0.442 38.46% -0.223 -0.7014
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 5 0.0% 48.8 0.0 80.0%
6 Star 4 25.0% 51.75 11.769 75.0% 0.222 0.1648
6 Thematic 139 21.9% 29.67 -1.818 31.65% -0.932 -0.1774
6 Two Centers (Default) 39 35.9% 37.67 4.762 64.1% 0.536 -0.0438
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -12.549 0.0% -0.484 -0.8963

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1948 30.71 -1.208 48.77% -0.433 -0.2735
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1670 32.31 1.529 50.24% 0.244 0.1578
All Things Weaken 921 30.04 -1.662 46.04% -0.252 0.09
Attenuated Essence 72 28.67 0.276 43.06% 0.093 0.1675
Back Against the Wall 1614 31.57 0.03 48.51% 0.097 0.1725
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 55 28.65 1.634 36.36% 0.241 0.4314
Burn Brightest Before the End 55 28.71 0.596 32.73% -0.248 -0.1241
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1886 27.34 0.391 43.16% 0.279 0.6519
Downward Spiral 2272 29.7 -0.995 47.71% -0.076 0.0607
Erosion of Will 1884 29.39 2.066 44.37% 0.526 0.8209
Intensifying Exploitation 84 27.88 0.536 42.86% 0.343 0.5814
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 487 33.08 3.56 54.21% 0.803 0.2712
Memory Fades to Dust 2375 29.3 -1.801 45.09% -0.424 -0.1429
Power Corrodes the Spirit 876 29.66 1.937 46.23% 0.707 0.8602
Promising Farmlands 1945 26.39 -0.574 35.42% -0.202 0.1444
Shattered Fragments of Power 53 27.85 -0.501 37.74% -0.345 -0.1503
Slow Dissolution of Will 69 31.49 1.839 43.48% -0.141 0.3098
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 253 33.81 3.635 58.5% 0.633 -0.1078
The Border of Life and Death 28 36.11 7.729 60.71% 1.052 0.6193
Thriving Communities 893 29.12 0.502 46.14% 0.098 0.397
Thriving Crops 51 25.84 -2.573 33.33% -0.708 -0.8105
Tipping Point 791 27.05 0.0 39.19%
Unnatural Proliferation 852 30.37 1.309 44.37% -0.002 0.1432
Untended Land Crumbles 865 27.87 -0.215 42.43% 0.203 0.5026

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10828 46.52% 33.17 0.886 51.4% 0.084 1.0778
B 11660 45.11% 34.0 0.72 54.07% 0.053 0.9708
C 12304 43.82% 33.96 0.718 53.44% -0.04 0.7022
D 10748 46.7% 33.03 -0.268 50.95% -0.108 0.8439
E 4935 43.65% 34.81 -0.08 56.11% -0.037 0.7434
F 6270 44.8% 33.87 -0.666 53.17% -0.284 0.6085
G 5804 44.85% 33.76 -0.888 53.14% -0.341 0.5147
H 5914 44.61% 34.18 -0.074 54.08% -0.165 0.6831
East 2216 31.18% 38.8 -0.154 44.72% -0.593 0.1761
Northeast 1490 30.13% 40.47 -3.26 48.26% -1.934 -1.1463
Northwest 1305 28.55% 40.72 -1.458 49.58% -0.068 0.9153
Southeast 367 25.75% 34.24 0.009 38.96% -0.027 0.8472
Southwest 369 28.34% 32.05 0.97 37.13% 0.243 1.4506
West 2133 30.03% 37.8 -1.403 43.23% -0.967 -0.0331

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 86 0.0% 37.43 8.133 61.63% 0.514 1.1432
Not Using Events or Tokens 286 38.27% 26.92 -9.839 27.27% -0.461 0.0453
Skip Initial Invader Actions 527 14.14% 51.03 8.302 78.75% 0.872 0.2365
Start of Game Growth 1068 20.27% 47.85 5.345 73.41% 1.121 0.7315
Unlimited Undo 3357 39.29% 35.86 0.668 57.28% 0.231 0.2755
Using Tokens but Not Events 3090 38.67% 33.39 -2.569 51.2% -0.315 -0.3416

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 12513 17.67 3.6%
II 18977 30.7 44.14%
III 12998 34.75 87.86%
IV 5053 38.22 99.33%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.134 Win Model: 0.35
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 32662 44.67% 32.68 49.28%
2 11209 46.87% 33.52 52.24%
3 3374 41.97% 35.42 56.28%
4 2063 34.44% 41.78 63.98%
5 62 33.87% 22.34 27.42%
6 171 26.04% 35.0 45.03%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 450
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11104
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7645
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4988
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1335
Lose: Invader deck ran out 39
Lose: Adversary condition 17275
Win: Sacrifice victory 110
Lose: Scenario condition 377
Win: Scenario condition 969
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4913
Lose: Spirit destroyed 336

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3462 44.47% 39.22 0.105 49.8% 0.133 0.0109
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1836 61.52% 32.38 -2.201 32.19% -0.546 -0.3053
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 67 52.24% 39.84 4.487 50.75% 0.503 -0.4981
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2113 49.03% 38.53 -1.717 49.83% -0.128 -0.3547
Downpour Drenches the World 360 37.88% 30.58 -2.86 30.83% -0.311 0.0143
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 521 36.47% 40.62 5.603 60.08% 1.182 0.6829
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2770 44.18% 42.46 1.608 57.0% 0.31 -0.1507
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1748 48.68% 37.56 -1.297 44.28% -0.313 -0.7419
Finder of Paths Unseen 176 47.98% 26.51 -5.68 26.7% -0.938 -0.1154
Fractured Days Split the Sky 677 51.26% 40.29 0.059 43.57% -0.089 0.5083
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 956 60.77% 42.07 1.458 57.74% 0.176 0.175
Heart of the Wildfire 3086 79.31% 33.08 -3.572 41.8% -0.289 0.0952
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9317 53.1% 41.14 3.475 55.18% 0.641 0.1464
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 76 47.37% 33.92 1.985 52.63% 0.671 0.1242
Lightning's Swift Strike 2626 59.21% 38.31 -0.437 49.54% 0.091 0.2735
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 236 60.17% 43.68 2.828 63.98% 0.667 0.1301
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 639 51.57% 47.3 3.112 68.39% 0.767 0.4759
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 431 53.13% 42.02 2.156 55.45% 0.47 0.3218
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2109 59.75% 39.61 1.509 53.77% 0.259 0.0077
Many Minds Move as One 957 40.38% 40.52 -2.027 53.92% -0.326 -0.4828
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4254 55.52% 38.39 0.099 48.8% 0.214 0.2246
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2390 51.89% 37.74 -1.529 48.62% -0.007 -0.1532
River Surges in Sunlight 4433 51.85% 39.48 0.986 45.5% 0.181 0.2187
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 477 53.15% 33.12 -5.37 32.49% -0.861 -0.6011
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 292 52.92% 42.88 -0.107 54.45% -0.094 -0.1443
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3318 50.05% 34.97 -0.841 39.09% -0.365 -0.5395
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1335 72.3% 31.53 -3.977 30.11% -0.816 -0.204
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 73 63.01% 19.7 -0.148 16.44% -0.132 -0.0283
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 72 76.39% 34.85 2.321 48.61% 0.38 -0.2016
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 90 64.44% 31.43 -3.901 38.89% -0.076 -0.0302
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 350 66.57% 35.24 -2.356 39.71% -0.234 -0.1531
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 148 70.07% 30.53 -3.317 28.38% -0.189 0.019
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4172 51.08% 42.63 -0.479 59.37% 0.005 0.0839
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 149 35.57% 30.26 1.957 44.3% 0.557 0.235
Shifting Memory of Ages 661 66.72% 31.97 -3.33 34.19% -0.748 -0.4829
Shroud of Silent Mist 653 66.31% 27.62 -5.84 25.57% -1.18 -0.8127
Starlight Seeks its Form 937 48.45% 34.98 -0.114 42.26% 0.118 -0.1095
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2060 49.37% 36.61 -0.088 48.4% -0.159 -0.5156
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1612 55.6% 40.79 -1.62 55.09% -0.14 -0.0073
Thunderspeaker 3365 56.69% 40.64 1.713 51.14% 0.346 0.3754
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 83 50.6% 34.87 2.936 48.19% 0.945 1.1844
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1529 78.52% 31.61 -1.369 37.21% -0.028 0.1625
Vital Strength of the Earth 2145 50.28% 31.05 -3.047 27.74% -0.729 -0.1717
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 143 43.88% 32.59 -1.624 38.46% 0.169 0.5792
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 210 45.24% 28.8 -5.547 21.9% -0.118 0.6097
Volcano Looming High 1297 64.84% 36.57 0.761 50.5% 0.136 0.1556
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 141 55.32% 36.37 2.909 44.68% 0.251 -0.3427

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 83.33% 51.0 0.0 83.33%
Blitz 0 424 31.68% 31.17 4.444 25.71% -0.374 -0.2627
Dahan Insurrection 4 495 42.02% 52.45 3.387 43.23% -0.154 -0.389
Despicable Theft 2 38 47.37% 37.79 -4.628 39.47% -1.149 -0.5057
Elemental Invocation 1 69 60.87% 32.7 -3.024 30.43% 0.004 0.8056
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1479 21.88% 50.38 5.583 72.62% 1.078 0.3039
Powers Long Forgotten 1 210 61.43% 36.49 -3.65 37.14% -0.308 0.4649
Rituals of Terror 3 151 61.07% 39.79 21.316 29.8% 0.462 0.4778
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 97 74.23% 34.59 -3.709 21.65% -0.582 0.4745
Second Wave 0 532 49.81% 34.42 1.912 31.39% -0.401 -0.3201
The Great River 3 32 37.5% 29.19 -12.848 15.63% -0.84 0.2885
Varied Terrains 2 31 38.71% 26.71 -2.614 12.9% -0.488 0.2037
Ward the Shores 2 220 59.09% 33.01 -8.181 19.55% -1.025 -0.1623

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 32010 55.4% 36.7 -0.318 45.3% 0.263 0.464
1 Thematic 1205 43.02% 33.63 -2.515 23.49% -0.286 0.4338
2 Archipelago 10 70.0% 44.0 3.885 70.0% 0.17 0.4243
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6875 59.28% 37.92 0.011 49.28% -0.059 -0.0517
2 Coastline 688 57.73% 39.13 4.249 52.47% 0.501 0.2964
2 Fragment 171 65.5% 38.11 2.132 51.46% 0.54 0.2623
2 Heart 62 74.19% 44.26 -4.986 64.52% -0.14 -0.3605
2 Opposite Shores 1498 54.78% 36.82 -2.632 47.53% -0.461 -0.4042
2 Thematic 414 38.41% 30.11 -0.822 15.46% -0.545 -0.0928
2 Top to Top 171 64.12% 37.81 1.376 50.88% 0.044 -0.0537
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 24 29.17% 38.21 0.0 41.67%
3 Other 110 48.18% 46.8 8.591 71.82% 0.586 0.5572
3 Round (Default) 3073 55.12% 41.59 1.382 56.98% -0.116 -0.3424
3 Sunrise 14 57.14% 51.29 8.452 78.57% 0.375 -0.6102
3 Thematic 147 29.93% 30.6 -2.726 15.65% -0.829 -0.6321
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 36.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Coastline 4 75.0% 36.75 -9.842 50.0% -0.38 -0.9667
4 Leaf 11 54.55% 37.73 0.0 45.45%
4 Other 56 60.71% 40.3 2.429 53.57% 0.008 -1.3492
4 Thematic 330 36.59% 38.48 -2.481 30.0% -0.485 -0.683
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1239 50.7% 42.76 -0.538 59.08% -0.847 -1.09
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 43.33 0.0 33.33%
5 Other 35 69.7% 50.54 9.54 65.71% 0.267 -0.7895
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 79.33 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 29.0 -4.891 0.0% -0.495 -1.2316
6 Other 33 45.45% 53.97 11.637 75.76% 0.884 0.1472
6 Star 14 35.71% 42.21 0.605 50.0% -0.402 -0.4587
6 Thematic 42 29.27% 32.38 -3.034 14.29% 0.296 1.0507
6 Two Centers (Default) 48 47.92% 40.54 0.072 54.17% -0.063 -0.643
7 Other 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2391 35.95 2.375 45.5% 0.44 0.5994
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2046 38.08 3.816 48.83% 0.539 0.4531
All Things Weaken 1160 36.46 0.385 47.24% 0.032 0.3738
Attenuated Essence 81 34.74 3.944 50.62% 0.906 0.9802
Back Against the Wall 1982 37.0 2.151 46.37% 0.406 0.4808
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 112 34.16 4.483 49.11% 0.852 1.0429
Burn Brightest Before the End 53 35.62 1.696 39.62% -0.021 0.1025
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2217 32.26 1.444 39.42% 0.375 0.7474
Downward Spiral 2765 34.62 1.545 44.27% 0.467 0.6033
Erosion of Will 2359 34.56 1.719 41.37% 0.39 0.6847
Intensifying Exploitation 85 33.49 2.239 42.35% 0.432 0.6701
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 492 40.24 -1.592 55.08% -0.196 -0.7284
Memory Fades to Dust 2677 34.79 1.632 43.22% 0.389 0.67
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1082 35.52 0.609 46.21% 0.281 0.4345
Promising Farmlands 2288 31.52 -1.46 34.0% -0.688 -0.3415
Shattered Fragments of Power 75 31.19 -2.225 36.0% -0.863 -0.668
Slow Dissolution of Will 91 30.7 2.131 35.16% 0.424 0.8748
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 297 42.49 7.371 60.94% 1.214 0.4731
The Border of Life and Death 34 27.68 -4.189 35.29% -0.377 -0.8098
Thriving Communities 1133 36.0 -0.566 47.84% -0.144 0.1549
Thriving Crops 60 20.28 -3.69 13.33% -0.928 -1.0302
Tipping Point 917 33.01 0.0 37.73%
Unnatural Proliferation 1129 36.77 4.876 45.26% 0.893 1.0387
Untended Land Crumbles 1096 34.11 3.949 41.88% 0.726 1.0257

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10619 57.7% 37.69 0.471 48.03% 0.044 1.0378
B 11263 55.8% 38.17 -0.447 49.13% -0.121 0.7971
C 11462 54.63% 38.74 0.466 50.22% -0.025 0.7174
D 10335 56.04% 38.12 0.171 48.89% -0.029 0.9228
E 4949 56.14% 39.92 2.357 53.42% 0.434 1.215
F 6361 55.02% 38.5 0.787 49.69% 0.095 0.9875
G 5917 56.8% 37.15 -0.87 46.48% -0.306 0.5498
H 5835 54.47% 39.24 0.347 51.52% 0.046 0.8939
East 1500 39.1% 34.51 -4.505 22.93% -1.421 -0.6519
Northeast 916 38.27% 36.22 0.006 25.44% -0.789 -0.0011
Northwest 750 38.29% 34.18 -1.334 23.07% -0.526 0.4581
Southeast 232 41.99% 31.36 -2.021 20.69% 0.186 1.061
Southwest 221 40.0% 28.92 -1.997 17.65% -0.635 0.5723
West 1349 37.59% 32.58 -2.458 19.94% -0.837 0.0973

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 80 0.0% 44.86 5.248 63.75% 0.319 0.9485
Not Using Events or Tokens 281 48.73% 30.09 0.0 24.2%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 765 13.56% 56.05 10.146 75.16% 1.804 1.1689
Start of Game Growth 1088 17.89% 52.7 5.267 71.32% 0.393 0.0034
Unlimited Undo 4018 47.98% 39.1 -0.149 50.32% -0.051 -0.0063
Using Tokens but Not Events 2595 48.47% 37.18 0.222 46.59% 0.309 0.2822

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 16706 17.67 2.57%
II 14912 30.7 44.33%
III 11521 34.75 88.54%
IV 5171 38.22 99.25%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.49 Win Model: 0.356
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 33319 54.99% 36.6 44.51%
2 9834 57.8% 37.56 48.05%
3 3355 53.49% 41.33 55.8%
4 1647 48.46% 41.82 52.82%
5 18 52.94% 51.11 66.67%
6 137 39.71% 41.31 45.99%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 429
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9987
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6367
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5095
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1554
Lose: Invader deck ran out 128
Lose: Adversary condition 16737
Win: Sacrifice victory 112
Lose: Scenario condition 355
Win: Scenario condition 382
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6721
Lose: Spirit destroyed 443

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2736 40.46% 44.31 2.314 52.78% 0.229 0.1064
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1273 58.55% 35.49 -2.207 31.97% -0.343 -0.1024
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 77 41.56% 27.35 0.491 36.36% 0.311 -0.6903
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2200 42.27% 46.9 -0.99 61.36% -0.128 -0.3547
Downpour Drenches the World 359 35.65% 26.5 -6.524 24.79% -1.381 -1.0559
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 522 29.69% 32.45 -2.06 42.72% 0.275 -0.2242
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1754 43.77% 44.74 1.2 53.36% 0.092 -0.3693
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1775 39.76% 47.65 -0.609 60.68% -0.357 -0.7868
Finder of Paths Unseen 109 51.38% 33.03 2.103 33.94% 0.191 1.0133
Fractured Days Split the Sky 589 43.8% 39.52 -3.479 42.44% -0.333 0.2637
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 619 57.03% 41.39 -2.515 48.63% -0.561 -0.5616
Heart of the Wildfire 2559 75.8% 37.93 -3.415 43.22% -0.698 -0.3141
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5469 47.24% 44.7 -0.985 56.17% 0.162 -0.3334
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 58 31.03% 27.09 -0.848 37.93% 0.346 -0.2009
Lightning's Swift Strike 1646 58.03% 43.04 3.911 51.09% 0.533 0.716
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 158 55.84% 47.92 8.577 61.39% 0.886 0.3487
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 416 50.0% 51.47 7.83 68.03% 1.013 0.7224
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 247 41.3% 45.83 -1.292 60.32% -0.205 -0.3533
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1503 55.19% 44.6 1.925 56.62% 0.315 0.0635
Many Minds Move as One 642 41.28% 42.11 -4.478 52.34% -0.787 -0.9436
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3902 50.85% 43.86 -1.421 53.23% -0.127 -0.116
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1504 51.2% 43.62 0.988 53.99% -0.02 -0.1656
River Surges in Sunlight 3237 49.77% 44.87 1.405 50.48% 0.011 0.0492
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 341 49.85% 41.55 2.037 45.16% 0.051 0.3105
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 230 52.84% 40.36 2.299 45.22% 0.323 0.2726
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2143 46.3% 39.2 -2.728 40.69% -0.752 -0.9264
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 822 65.33% 36.71 -3.616 35.28% -0.446 0.1665
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 33 69.7% 38.94 18.699 39.39% 1.176 1.2798
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 60 18.33% 24.02 -0.796 30.0% 0.146 -0.4353
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 73 63.01% 30.63 5.888 23.29% 0.125 0.1715
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 230 68.56% 35.72 2.213 33.48% 0.01 0.0903
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 114 72.81% 33.17 -12.438 28.07% -0.109 0.0992
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3038 46.16% 48.39 1.769 63.66% 0.189 0.2683
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 155 34.84% 32.53 0.64 44.52% 0.32 -0.0023
Shifting Memory of Ages 459 59.48% 35.54 -1.095 34.64% -0.236 0.0289
Shroud of Silent Mist 794 68.22% 39.29 -1.366 45.21% -0.16 0.2073
Starlight Seeks its Form 754 45.23% 37.79 2.401 39.26% 0.635 0.407
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1387 45.78% 38.79 -0.833 45.35% 0.125 -0.2317
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1291 53.77% 45.44 2.212 57.47% 0.148 0.2812
Thunderspeaker 2267 56.27% 44.46 2.93 52.1% 0.457 0.486
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 100 50.0% 28.37 -1.002 36.0% 0.384 0.6235
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 904 74.94% 34.7 -1.029 37.17% -0.175 0.0154
Vital Strength of the Earth 1249 48.15% 36.16 -0.515 31.71% -0.136 0.4208
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 109 40.74% 39.38 -2.4 40.37% -0.513 -0.1028
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 112 50.89% 31.92 -8.929 24.11% -0.984 -0.2555
Volcano Looming High 922 62.69% 40.09 0.457 49.35% 0.018 0.0375
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 147 40.82% 28.9 -0.287 31.97% -0.231 -0.8244

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 40.0% 10.8 -1.692 0.0% -0.27 -0.4101
Blitz 0 183 28.42% 28.72 -12.363 21.31% -0.864 -0.7531
Dahan Insurrection 4 385 41.82% 56.12 -1.148 43.12% -0.351 -0.586
Despicable Theft 2 18 44.44% 34.5 -8.281 22.22% -0.388 0.255
Elemental Invocation 1 63 50.79% 32.11 -9.56 19.05% -0.441 0.3612
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1213 18.41% 52.55 8.671 68.01% 1.569 0.7946
Powers Long Forgotten 1 127 60.63% 37.28 -0.683 29.13% -0.361 0.4113
Rituals of Terror 3 94 50.0% 43.57 8.826 29.79% 0.028 0.0439
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 186 70.43% 35.89 -11.372 16.67% -0.11 0.9468
Second Wave 0 300 53.51% 39.92 4.163 37.33% 0.188 0.2685
The Great River 3 18 27.78% 27.0 -5.412 5.56% -0.826 0.3029
Varied Terrains 2 11 54.55% 29.27 -13.249 27.27% -0.431 0.2608
Ward the Shores 2 183 59.02% 33.69 -10.871 15.3% -0.59 0.2734

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 20378 52.26% 41.23 0.847 47.92% 0.132 0.3329
1 Thematic 979 38.82% 35.73 -0.846 21.25% -0.466 0.2531
2 Archipelago 2 50.0% 12.0 -9.803 0.0% -0.459 -0.2047
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4885 56.48% 42.22 3.264 51.03% 0.331 0.3388
2 Coastline 443 56.24% 42.42 1.666 51.24% -0.159 -0.3641
2 Fragment 96 63.54% 38.02 6.417 41.67% 0.639 0.3617
2 Heart 56 62.5% 35.66 0.0 37.5%
2 Opposite Shores 933 53.59% 41.06 0.457 47.16% -0.109 -0.0518
2 Thematic 311 38.26% 34.01 2.653 17.04% 0.035 0.4868
2 Top to Top 293 52.56% 45.56 -2.736 59.39% -0.473 -0.5709
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 67.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 16 37.5% 40.81 0.0 43.75%
3 Other 67 46.27% 51.27 14.617 73.13% 0.585 0.5565
3 Round (Default) 2725 46.71% 42.82 -4.993 54.72% -0.634 -0.8598
3 Sunrise 6 83.33% 41.17 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 60 41.67% 34.93 0.0 16.67%
4 Archipelago 21 76.19% 41.71 0.0 42.86%
4 Coastline 9 11.11% 66.78 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 18 38.89% 54.39 0.0 83.33%
4 Other 47 53.19% 53.11 13.931 76.6% 0.81 -0.5477
4 Snake 5 100.0% 28.0 0.0 20.0%
4 Thematic 252 39.29% 44.04 0.0 37.3%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1275 47.3% 49.41 5.43 64.08% 0.494 0.2502
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 40.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 37 56.76% 40.49 -1.995 54.05% -0.529 -1.5855
5 Thematic 7 28.57% 42.14 -11.935 14.29% -0.059 -0.5373
6 Archipelago 4 50.0% 48.5 14.051 50.0% 0.175 -0.5613
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -15.234 0.0% -0.202 -0.4424
6 Other 7 0.0% 41.43 0.0 57.14%
6 Star 10 20.0% 55.4 0.0 70.0%
6 Thematic 13 0.0% 25.46 1.498 0.0% -0.074 0.6806
6 Two Centers (Default) 31 45.16% 38.97 0.0 51.61%
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 -6.922 0.0% -0.062 -0.4735

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1528 40.59 4.57 49.02% 0.617 0.7764
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1197 42.74 2.021 51.71% 0.092 0.006
All Things Weaken 668 41.35 3.176 50.45% 0.493 0.8355
Attenuated Essence 57 36.98 11.365 47.37% 1.693 1.7675
Back Against the Wall 1235 41.95 4.951 49.07% 0.598 0.6727
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 56 41.54 2.834 57.14% 0.17 0.361
Burn Brightest Before the End 42 42.76 4.515 52.38% 0.186 0.3094
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1529 36.17 3.683 41.66% 0.71 1.0831
Downward Spiral 1696 38.81 4.417 46.29% 0.83 0.9671
Erosion of Will 1491 38.63 5.35 43.39% 0.85 1.1451
Intensifying Exploitation 74 33.2 0.611 41.89% 0.108 0.3463
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 345 41.8 1.852 50.43% 0.407 -0.1247
Memory Fades to Dust 1745 38.51 2.954 44.53% 0.531 0.8121
Power Corrodes the Spirit 660 38.74 0.088 45.45% -0.058 0.095
Promising Farmlands 1616 34.27 1.935 34.1% 0.22 0.5664
Shattered Fragments of Power 39 42.38 4.94 48.72% 0.411 0.6058
Slow Dissolution of Will 57 34.44 0.045 38.6% -0.173 0.2787
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 189 44.5 4.203 56.08% -0.022 -0.763
The Border of Life and Death 12 36.08 3.287 41.67% 0.26 -0.173
Thriving Communities 687 40.22 4.093 50.22% 0.727 1.0252
Thriving Crops 35 33.83 5.198 31.43% 0.464 0.3614
Tipping Point 646 36.91 0.0 40.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 708 40.77 -1.081 47.88% -0.532 -0.3871
Untended Land Crumbles 711 37.73 0.52 43.32% 0.251 0.55

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7349 53.02% 41.5 -1.157 48.77% 0.072 1.0659
B 7703 52.59% 42.69 -0.638 51.66% 0.171 1.089
C 9956 47.4% 45.67 0.55 58.02% 0.364 1.1066
D 7330 52.75% 41.76 -1.443 49.6% 0.004 0.9552
E 3824 56.13% 42.35 0.456 51.83% 0.302 1.083
F 4320 52.97% 41.74 -1.284 50.49% 0.149 1.0415
G 3892 53.07% 41.1 -0.688 48.84% 0.067 0.9226
H 3987 50.15% 42.42 0.471 51.19% 0.374 1.2222
East 990 37.78% 39.15 -0.678 26.06% -0.535 0.2346
Northeast 644 38.98% 40.52 -3.484 28.73% -0.362 0.4253
Northwest 607 44.81% 36.87 6.87 23.39% 0.553 1.5362
Southeast 118 34.75% 39.86 -5.956 33.9% -0.447 0.4279
Southwest 101 24.75% 32.95 -2.452 23.76% -0.465 0.7429
West 1039 37.25% 35.28 -0.042 19.73% 0.124 1.0579

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 53 0.0% 47.13 0.0 56.6%
Not Using Events or Tokens 139 53.62% 32.73 0.0 23.02%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 390 21.11% 59.55 6.153 75.38% 0.441 -0.1938
Start of Game Growth 599 25.26% 55.81 8.251 72.29% 1.112 0.723
Unlimited Undo 2947 52.32% 42.05 -4.849 51.03% -0.697 -0.6528
Using Tokens but Not Events 1514 45.08% 42.34 0.983 50.0% 0.227 0.2002

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11057 17.67 2.6%
II 9918 30.7 45.97%
III 9732 34.75 91.34%
IV 2289 38.22 99.74%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.718 Win Model: -0.212
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 21397 51.67% 40.98 46.69%
2 6999 55.18% 41.78 49.28%
3 2871 46.7% 42.84 54.27%
4 1633 46.23% 48.64 60.2%
5 28 57.14% 31.54 28.57%
6 68 26.87% 37.9 42.65%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 285
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8737
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4374
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2266
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 984
Lose: Invader deck ran out 21
Lose: Adversary condition 11552
Win: Sacrifice victory 67
Lose: Scenario condition 278
Win: Scenario condition 289
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3839
Lose: Spirit destroyed 304

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1644 47.46% 54.43 2.383 65.27% 0.339 0.2165
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 668 62.26% 40.96 -5.29 37.13% -0.779 -0.5386
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 58 46.55% 48.21 1.694 60.34% 0.444 -0.5575
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 911 49.12% 50.05 -2.503 59.17% 0.169 -0.0574
Downpour Drenches the World 177 55.37% 36.3 -11.054 31.07% -1.243 -0.9181
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 308 36.36% 48.97 2.895 62.66% 0.896 0.3968
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1552 41.82% 53.13 2.118 63.27% 0.383 -0.0779
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 514 47.53% 44.89 -3.321 45.53% -0.21 -0.6398
Finder of Paths Unseen 41 29.27% 27.8 -13.466 34.15% -0.952 -0.1293
Fractured Days Split the Sky 319 52.35% 47.13 -9.197 44.83% -0.695 -0.0977
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 349 64.47% 51.94 3.302 61.03% 0.766 0.7646
Heart of the Wildfire 1158 88.33% 41.24 -3.667 42.49% -0.715 -0.3306
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3466 55.24% 54.87 2.002 68.15% 0.537 0.0415
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 60 51.67% 54.03 4.448 75.0% 1.08 0.5332
Lightning's Swift Strike 1061 48.95% 54.75 3.368 62.77% 0.69 0.8727
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 142 54.23% 60.25 11.83 70.42% 1.371 0.8345
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 363 42.7% 59.88 -2.065 79.34% -0.014 -0.3047
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 186 47.31% 55.23 4.732 68.28% 0.599 0.4509
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1047 55.65% 51.4 -1.226 63.23% 0.194 -0.0571
Many Minds Move as One 363 43.53% 52.43 -1.627 62.53% -0.3 -0.4567
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1887 55.5% 51.47 2.67 59.94% 0.684 0.6942
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1031 50.49% 51.0 0.538 61.69% 0.261 0.1146
River Surges in Sunlight 1805 54.55% 53.15 3.432 60.17% 0.61 0.6479
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 247 60.32% 51.69 0.741 58.3% 0.234 0.4938
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 225 51.56% 56.77 3.112 65.33% 0.325 0.2748
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1367 49.08% 47.14 -0.298 48.94% -0.083 -0.257
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 411 66.91% 40.57 -3.312 34.55% -0.245 0.3674
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 20 63.16% 34.25 0.0 25.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 33 72.73% 53.76 2.842 66.67% 0.49 -0.0916
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 62 48.39% 53.6 -7.583 72.58% -0.069 -0.0231
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 159 55.35% 49.69 0.212 57.86% -0.129 -0.048
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 70 72.86% 32.29 -9.432 22.86% -1.128 -0.9203
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1836 44.17% 55.83 6.954 69.5% 1.38 1.4593
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 62 40.32% 49.39 -2.235 64.52% -0.412 -0.7342
Shifting Memory of Ages 241 48.96% 41.98 -7.905 44.4% -0.589 -0.324
Shroud of Silent Mist 197 68.21% 39.19 -10.062 37.56% -1.383 -1.0157
Starlight Seeks its Form 391 57.03% 44.51 -3.832 47.31% -0.308 -0.5356
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1768 42.7% 52.46 2.097 65.84% 0.449 0.0931
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 768 47.64% 55.58 -3.948 70.05% -0.679 -0.546
Thunderspeaker 1237 60.71% 50.21 1.695 54.81% 0.175 0.2036
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 52 59.62% 46.02 7.587 44.23% 0.88 1.1196
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 706 72.1% 43.91 0.303 50.57% 0.045 0.2358
Vital Strength of the Earth 712 51.4% 41.43 -9.814 34.27% -1.456 -0.8989
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 155 42.58% 53.23 -2.894 66.45% -0.599 -0.1895
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 223 45.74% 49.29 -8.165 56.95% -0.695 0.0327
Volcano Looming High 495 58.38% 48.7 2.322 61.01% 0.729 0.7477
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 65 52.31% 40.06 -3.094 44.62% -0.659 -1.2525

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 28.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 166 28.92% 34.19 -10.086 25.3% -1.748 -1.6369
Dahan Insurrection 4 297 47.81% 50.55 -7.987 34.01% -0.915 -1.1499
Despicable Theft 2 11 72.73% 53.36 15.99 54.55% 0.378 1.0208
Elemental Invocation 1 40 57.5% 34.88 -11.959 22.5% -0.871 -0.0687
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2133 32.54% 63.38 9.687 83.78% 1.618 0.8444
Powers Long Forgotten 1 108 53.7% 41.95 -19.988 31.48% -0.258 0.5146
Rituals of Terror 3 96 46.88% 46.78 -4.86 25.0% -0.427 -0.4106
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 109 76.15% 37.48 -10.421 13.76% -0.417 0.6401
Second Wave 0 176 59.43% 39.72 -3.582 31.82% -0.47 -0.3891
The Great River 3 28 50.0% 34.82 0.0 10.71%
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 214 50.93% 40.78 -15.316 22.43% -0.875 -0.0122

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10292 55.03% 46.43 -0.36 51.33% 0.784 0.9851
1 Thematic 644 45.03% 39.63 1.451 22.05% -0.019 0.7006
2 Archipelago 5 40.0% 51.4 0.0 40.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2335 62.21% 47.75 3.779 54.43% 1.141 1.1488
2 Coastline 237 61.6% 48.14 -5.573 53.16% -0.463 -0.668
2 Fragment 60 80.0% 39.78 5.548 38.33% 0.364 0.0868
2 Heart 24 54.17% 42.25 0.0 41.67%
2 Opposite Shores 498 59.04% 44.42 -4.825 47.19% -0.158 -0.1013
2 Thematic 179 38.55% 37.18 -12.592 13.97% -1.43 -0.9786
2 Top to Top 79 58.23% 51.82 -4.192 60.76% -0.451 -0.5484
3 Archipelago 2 50.0% 52.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 5 80.0% 34.4 0.0 20.0%
3 Other 52 80.77% 47.69 0.0 50.0%
3 Round (Default) 2113 49.91% 56.1 1.924 72.79% 0.73 0.5038
3 Sunrise 3 100.0% 36.0 0.0 33.33%
3 Thematic 53 26.42% 34.68 0.0 13.21%
4 Archipelago 3 66.67% 61.0 0.0 66.67%
4 Coastline 8 12.5% 73.75 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 49.8 0.0 60.0%
4 Other 34 52.94% 61.65 -1.262 85.29% 0.259 -1.0988
4 Thematic 286 19.22% 62.36 0.0 64.69%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1122 52.11% 57.74 -1.252 74.15% -0.315 -0.5581
5 Other 27 56.0% 57.78 -15.073 70.37% -0.73 -1.7869
5 Thematic 18 72.22% 60.72 37.301 33.33% 0.48 0.0016
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 61.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 4 0.0% 73.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Star 12 66.67% 33.92 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 12 16.67% 51.75 2.799 58.33% 0.024 0.7778
6 Two Centers (Default) 14 42.86% 46.43 -2.236 50.0% -0.238 -0.8173

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 890 48.56 3.959 56.29% 0.968 1.1277
Aid From Lesser Spirits 735 50.33 6.783 57.96% 1.049 0.9632
All Things Weaken 388 49.68 3.1 59.02% 0.519 0.8606
Attenuated Essence 42 55.76 7.655 73.81% 1.071 1.1448
Back Against the Wall 704 46.32 2.181 49.86% 0.194 0.269
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 40 40.08 -4.763 45.0% -0.74 -0.5489
Burn Brightest Before the End 24 38.5 1.435 37.5% 0.054 0.1781
Disintegrating Ecosystem 890 43.13 1.761 47.08% 0.187 0.5597
Downward Spiral 949 46.87 0.679 54.48% 0.571 0.7073
Erosion of Will 875 45.88 2.32 51.2% 0.241 0.5359
Intensifying Exploitation 37 39.89 0.303 43.24% 0.064 0.3022
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 200 52.96 4.408 67.0% 0.437 -0.0955
Memory Fades to Dust 943 45.25 1.654 50.58% 0.268 0.5485
Power Corrodes the Spirit 391 46.3 1.703 53.71% 0.24 0.3927
Promising Farmlands 866 40.19 1.319 37.99% 0.248 0.5943
Shattered Fragments of Power 32 58.25 6.874 75.0% 0.886 1.0808
Slow Dissolution of Will 35 43.23 -3.95 51.43% -0.372 0.0793
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 112 53.94 -0.619 69.64% -0.004 -0.7446
The Border of Life and Death 16 65.0 8.915 87.5% 0.949 0.5156
Thriving Communities 408 46.36 1.789 55.39% 0.133 0.4314
Thriving Crops 31 37.23 -3.647 35.48% -0.442 -0.5443
Tipping Point 373 45.77 0.0 51.47%
Unnatural Proliferation 440 46.71 -1.955 51.82% -0.368 -0.2227
Untended Land Crumbles 420 44.31 5.602 48.57% 0.984 1.2832

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4214 57.2% 49.23 -2.238 57.4% -0.382 0.6123
B 4534 57.58% 49.78 0.947 58.45% -0.128 0.7905
C 5094 54.72% 52.39 1.635 63.45% 0.074 0.817
D 4031 57.08% 50.18 1.106 59.02% -0.172 0.7794
E 2399 51.36% 51.89 -1.039 63.36% -0.278 0.5027
F 2775 52.78% 50.12 -0.434 59.21% -0.451 0.4415
G 2581 53.59% 51.51 0.943 62.03% -0.035 0.8208
H 2719 52.14% 51.08 0.028 61.64% -0.09 0.758
East 864 35.74% 46.66 4.126 34.26% 0.131 0.9002
Northeast 533 35.61% 52.44 0.343 44.84% -0.27 0.5176
Northwest 467 31.39% 53.98 -1.035 46.25% -0.2 0.7832
Southeast 118 31.36% 44.64 4.096 32.2% 0.15 1.0247
Southwest 67 22.39% 47.66 -1.951 43.28% -0.099 1.1089
West 755 30.27% 47.88 2.007 35.36% -0.05 0.8847

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 26 0.0% 58.62 0.0 57.69%
Not Using Events or Tokens 62 62.9% 32.05 0.0 16.13%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 392 9.45% 72.84 5.189 85.97% 0.529 -0.1059
Start of Game Growth 581 18.05% 67.2 1.52 80.21% 0.259 -0.1308
Unlimited Undo 1864 51.38% 51.66 -0.05 61.27% -0.091 -0.0464
Using Tokens but Not Events 856 34.46% 52.27 -4.129 59.11% -0.224 -0.2514

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5341 17.67 5.04%
II 7467 30.7 61.55%
III 4368 34.75 92.26%
IV 956 38.22 99.69%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.737 Win Model: 0.386
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11042 54.33% 45.87 49.25%
2 3341 61.05% 47.23 52.14%
3 2222 50.29% 55.23 70.61%
4 1458 45.5% 59.12 73.18%
5 24 72.73% 56.17 37.5%
6 45 37.21% 47.93 51.11%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 269
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3950
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4451
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 948
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 536
Lose: Invader deck ran out 9
Lose: Adversary condition 5255
Win: Sacrifice victory 40
Lose: Scenario condition 204
Win: Scenario condition 190
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2159
Lose: Spirit destroyed 121

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6954 46.58% 50.04 -2.128 47.4% -0.084 -0.2065
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3624 60.04% 39.93 -5.676 29.0% -0.831 -0.5896
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 215 50.23% 50.36 6.04 56.28% 0.939 -0.062
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4233 50.02% 47.22 -2.09 45.0% -0.479 -0.7059
Downpour Drenches the World 1269 49.53% 39.18 -2.083 28.61% -0.223 0.1022
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1807 34.98% 47.95 4.259 53.46% 0.868 0.3682
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7279 40.95% 52.96 1.935 52.93% 0.427 -0.0337
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2701 51.54% 46.47 -4.869 42.39% -0.713 -1.1424
Finder of Paths Unseen 466 50.43% 36.14 -4.5 28.76% -0.542 0.2809
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2672 50.36% 53.1 -2.758 46.56% -0.646 -0.0489
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2989 61.53% 51.32 -1.014 51.05% 0.053 0.0517
Heart of the Wildfire 6259 81.59% 42.73 -5.192 37.71% -0.553 -0.1687
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 25419 53.12% 55.76 1.685 61.49% 0.496 0.0011
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 238 59.24% 46.66 4.008 47.48% 0.73 0.183
Lightning's Swift Strike 5270 58.61% 49.97 -0.192 47.86% 0.17 0.3528
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1439 65.53% 51.4 1.718 56.15% 0.55 0.0126
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 4150 53.07% 61.27 5.715 69.95% 1.159 0.8676
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1496 49.53% 58.76 -0.983 64.91% 0.376 0.228
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 6512 55.21% 52.68 1.362 56.73% 0.484 0.2324
Many Minds Move as One 2121 46.3% 53.77 0.621 55.4% 0.119 -0.0383
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 12649 51.58% 52.77 1.268 52.65% 0.466 0.4765
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4908 53.43% 49.38 -2.609 49.78% 0.221 0.0755
River Surges in Sunlight 11242 53.2% 53.19 0.124 51.05% 0.156 0.194
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 851 52.18% 47.8 -3.811 42.54% -0.784 -0.5246
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1445 54.02% 49.08 1.178 43.6% 0.524 0.4735
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 8859 46.51% 46.05 -0.527 39.33% 0.162 -0.0127
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2023 62.67% 40.48 -4.474 30.1% -0.294 0.3187
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 127 49.61% 50.6 -4.33 44.09% -0.524 -0.4205
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 312 65.38% 42.13 1.339 43.91% 0.255 -0.3262
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 142 57.75% 45.33 3.661 43.66% 0.74 0.7863
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 901 61.6% 45.72 0.855 38.07% -0.183 -0.1024
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 334 67.37% 42.31 -7.969 38.02% -1.248 -1.0402
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8503 46.92% 55.31 -3.362 61.15% 0.181 0.2604
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 641 55.38% 44.19 1.122 46.96% 0.015 -0.3073
Shifting Memory of Ages 1710 61.17% 43.62 -5.28 31.58% -0.217 0.048
Shroud of Silent Mist 1147 68.07% 41.65 -4.876 35.66% -0.597 -0.2298
Starlight Seeks its Form 3596 52.56% 48.14 0.731 45.08% 0.568 0.3399
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 7035 46.21% 47.04 0.01 43.47% -0.007 -0.3635
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5056 53.55% 56.23 3.854 62.32% 0.699 0.8317
Thunderspeaker 6388 53.61% 49.28 -3.092 42.27% -0.498 -0.4689
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 282 57.45% 40.27 -0.388 38.65% 0.177 0.4167
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4185 74.93% 42.69 -3.49 39.45% -0.609 -0.4181
Vital Strength of the Earth 3461 52.83% 37.72 -9.158 23.23% -0.988 -0.4304
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 369 59.89% 41.99 1.842 34.42% 0.22 0.6299
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 654 48.62% 34.73 -4.719 16.82% -0.758 -0.0294
Volcano Looming High 4317 60.87% 51.37 0.451 57.24% 0.369 0.3886
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 663 50.38% 40.0 0.763 33.48% -0.0 -0.5938

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 16.67% 22.0 -11.954 16.67% -0.054 -0.1934
Blitz 0 1088 35.95% 42.21 3.982 29.5% 0.179 0.2895
Dahan Insurrection 4 2895 41.54% 59.69 3.01 36.41% 0.436 0.2009
Despicable Theft 2 29 68.97% 56.31 18.916 44.83% 0.527 1.1704
Elemental Invocation 1 272 66.91% 40.87 2.439 18.75% -0.14 0.6616
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 9296 28.35% 62.05 8.825 68.14% 1.435 0.661
Powers Long Forgotten 1 221 52.49% 42.43 -3.617 27.6% -0.662 0.1103
Rituals of Terror 3 291 47.08% 70.58 11.99 39.18% 0.587 0.6028
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 83 75.9% 36.9 -10.205 12.05% -1.432 -0.3751
Second Wave 0 589 61.29% 45.54 -2.029 34.13% -0.742 -0.661
The Great River 3 107 45.79% 30.61 -2.454 7.48% -0.175 0.9531
Varied Terrains 2 23 47.83% 48.91 -0.514 30.43% -0.261 0.4308
Ward the Shores 2 349 51.44% 36.89 -8.989 14.33% -1.448 -0.585

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 91995 54.51% 49.02 0.636 48.54% 0.041 0.2423
1 Thematic 3561 39.88% 43.98 -1.8 22.33% -0.911 -0.1917
2 Archipelago 95 82.11% 58.56 4.057 23.16% -1.337 -1.0826
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11335 63.0% 50.17 -0.949 51.35% -0.203 -0.1954
2 Coastline 2253 54.71% 54.63 0.96 58.14% -0.065 -0.2705
2 Fragment 810 67.41% 57.9 3.486 67.65% 0.19 -0.0869
2 Heart 367 71.93% 51.7 4.717 42.51% -0.46 -0.68
2 Opposite Shores 2876 61.83% 46.07 -1.846 35.78% -0.558 -0.501
2 Thematic 941 40.53% 46.31 -0.198 19.55% -0.318 0.1335
2 Top to Top 602 58.14% 53.48 1.001 54.98% 0.233 0.1353
3 Archipelago 24 83.33% 56.38 4.22 20.83% -0.645 -1.4362
3 Coastline 42 61.9% 47.88 14.501 40.48% 1.014 0.4472
3 Other 154 59.09% 54.5 18.28 59.09% 1.125 1.0962
3 Round (Default) 6281 55.35% 51.56 0.71 53.64% -0.213 -0.4385
3 Sunrise 82 43.9% 67.44 0.0 84.15%
3 Thematic 162 31.48% 65.22 37.567 32.72% 1.943 2.1392
4 Archipelago 11 54.55% 65.18 2.929 36.36% -0.166 -1.3521
4 Coastline 54 14.81% 76.35 0.0 94.44%
4 Leaf 19 63.16% 46.74 0.0 31.58%
4 Other 86 51.16% 65.41 18.611 81.4% 1.338 -0.0193
4 Snake 1 0.0% 29.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 1319 30.02% 56.5 -8.773 47.01% -1.639 -1.8371
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3782 46.42% 55.09 -3.577 58.62% -0.416 -0.6598
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 63.33 5.383 33.33% -0.389 -0.0725
5 Coastline 26 3.85% 65.85 -3.698 84.62% -0.109 0.0846
5 Other 108 46.15% 62.06 0.498 63.89% -0.149 -1.206
5 Thematic 15 80.0% 81.6 17.998 80.0% 0.744 0.2661
6 Archipelago 7 14.29% 70.43 0.0 71.43%
6 Coastline 20 5.0% 56.95 -0.517 75.0% -0.384 -0.6241
6 Other 77 41.56% 57.48 11.863 57.14% 0.424 -0.3132
6 Star 38 39.47% 44.5 0.0 34.21%
6 Thematic 143 36.36% 43.64 -2.517 32.17% -0.684 0.0701
6 Two Centers (Default) 317 23.66% 51.38 -3.98 54.89% -0.624 -1.2034
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 52.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -6.655 0.0% -0.003 -0.4151

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 5636 48.82 4.419 48.7% 0.684 0.8434
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5037 50.29 6.329 50.01% 0.985 0.8985
All Things Weaken 3474 49.22 3.311 49.25% 0.651 0.993
Attenuated Essence 300 43.09 4.599 40.67% 0.722 0.7966
Back Against the Wall 4768 48.2 4.628 46.02% 0.548 0.6232
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 349 41.91 2.659 40.69% 0.488 0.6793
Burn Brightest Before the End 232 46.0 3.263 43.53% 0.305 0.4288
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5607 44.16 1.909 42.36% 0.458 0.831
Downward Spiral 6688 48.1 2.94 48.18% 0.579 0.7159
Erosion of Will 5625 46.25 3.133 43.24% 0.46 0.7546
Intensifying Exploitation 333 44.45 4.846 43.84% 0.712 0.951
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1629 54.27 4.615 58.87% 0.469 -0.0627
Memory Fades to Dust 6626 47.26 1.28 46.03% 0.34 0.6203
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3407 48.61 4.848 49.1% 0.801 0.9539
Promising Farmlands 5598 42.45 1.065 35.64% 0.063 0.4089
Shattered Fragments of Power 264 46.03 2.949 45.08% 0.392 0.5868
Slow Dissolution of Will 321 40.2 1.564 34.89% 0.198 0.6495
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 973 54.18 11.125 60.74% 1.531 0.7904
The Border of Life and Death 85 47.65 4.625 50.59% 0.706 0.2733
Thriving Communities 3499 48.68 2.206 49.93% 0.379 0.6772
Thriving Crops 209 35.07 -1.731 23.92% -0.637 -0.7392
Tipping Point 1873 44.89 0.0 42.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 3500 50.15 4.269 48.77% 0.442 0.5877
Untended Land Crumbles 3395 47.13 2.519 45.42% 0.237 0.5362

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 24360 56.27% 48.41 -1.428 46.25% -0.594 0.4001
B 26519 55.89% 50.19 -0.219 50.45% -0.47 0.4482
C 32629 55.45% 52.53 1.4 54.79% -0.173 0.5699
D 23016 54.87% 49.24 -1.35 48.16% -0.615 0.3371
E 16465 53.06% 52.29 2.538 55.02% -0.063 0.7172
F 16986 54.25% 50.39 -2.424 51.15% -0.633 0.2594
G 13431 54.55% 49.05 0.045 48.34% -0.493 0.362
H 14337 53.3% 49.88 -2.388 50.0% -0.66 0.1882
East 4614 39.33% 49.76 0.549 29.71% -0.197 0.5724
Northeast 3009 39.55% 52.08 1.327 34.9% -0.308 0.4789
Northwest 2166 32.95% 50.54 -2.271 35.36% -0.594 0.3894
Southeast 677 46.82% 45.85 -2.083 26.74% -0.462 0.4128
Southwest 484 32.64% 45.63 -2.755 35.74% -0.897 0.3106
West 3445 30.85% 48.55 1.834 30.45% -0.199 0.7354

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 157 0.0% 56.11 -15.579 56.05% -0.087 0.5426
Not Using Events or Tokens 1104 31.82% 46.59 0.0 20.02%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3417 14.73% 72.16 8.137 80.16% 0.955 0.32
Start of Game Growth 6904 24.05% 68.04 6.142 75.7% 0.906 0.5166
Unlimited Undo 12279 47.09% 57.43 -0.98 64.11% 0.245 0.289
Using Tokens but Not Events 7961 42.65% 54.43 -0.356 56.94% 0.071 0.0441

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 43376 17.67 3.88%
II 51361 30.7 57.92%
III 28218 34.75 91.26%
IV 4670 38.22 99.68%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.126 Win Model: 0.345
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 96173 54.01% 48.88 47.44%
2 18834 61.0% 50.44 49.5%
3 6688 54.9% 51.84 53.29%
4 5234 41.95% 55.78 56.69%
5 104 35.0% 57.83 56.73%
6 592 28.55% 50.22 50.17%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1678
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 25241
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 28697
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4570
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4573
Lose: Invader deck ran out 103
Lose: Adversary condition 43131
Win: Sacrifice victory 385
Lose: Scenario condition 1208
Win: Scenario condition 1264
Lose: Blight pool ran out 15692
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1083

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-01-31 03:48:31 (Pacific Time)