The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3719 31.14% 30.59 -0.997 79.83% -0.171 -0.2069
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2276 54.45% 26.4 -0.986 70.08% -0.314 -0.1551
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 27 25.93% 31.07 6.241 70.37% 0.833 -0.1796
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2297 34.15% 29.66 0.845 82.93% 0.307 0.0947
Downpour Drenches the World 284 28.52% 21.31 -1.695 54.93% -0.378 -0.131
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 241 24.07% 25.64 2.524 68.05% 0.566 0.0035
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2804 24.98% 32.51 1.979 87.34% 0.342 -0.1376
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2272 28.6% 31.45 1.456 88.12% 0.391 -0.0153
Finder of Paths Unseen 126 42.06% 14.14 -3.782 31.75% -0.825 -0.063
Fractured Days Split the Sky 508 36.76% 26.73 -2.926 63.58% -0.451 0.2108
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 667 45.13% 26.75 -1.455 68.52% -0.397 -0.3998
Heart of the Wildfire 3058 59.99% 26.36 0.599 72.43% 0.23 0.5996
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6213 29.9% 34.51 0.3 85.77% 0.136 -0.2909
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 40 35.0% 19.2 -1.406 57.5% 0.021 -0.4719
Lightning's Swift Strike 3444 41.52% 30.3 0.755 78.34% 0.213 0.4263
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 95 36.84% 28.84 3.577 71.58% 0.814 0.1987
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 368 35.69% 29.77 2.657 81.25% 0.777 0.4912
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 285 35.56% 28.99 -2.555 75.44% -0.807 -0.9094
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1398 37.08% 29.57 1.077 81.12% 0.385 0.1385
Many Minds Move as One 898 26.31% 29.17 0.061 77.84% 0.003 -0.1587
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3970 41.6% 29.57 0.707 78.26% 0.315 0.349
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2147 37.31% 28.17 -1.013 78.44% -0.098 -0.2649
River Surges in Sunlight 5235 31.85% 36.53 3.629 80.4% 0.498 0.5255
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 493 47.35% 27.98 -1.997 66.33% -0.92 -0.5808
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 173 35.26% 26.7 1.592 62.43% 0.088 0.0564
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3344 30.2% 34.75 0.308 82.6% -0.259 -0.3696
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2260 55.03% 27.86 -3.796 70.09% -1.087 -0.5118
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 60 33.33% 24.17 -2.84 51.67% -0.697 -0.674
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 41 31.71% 30.12 5.576 73.17% 0.761 0.3092
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 52 51.92% 25.79 1.902 73.08% 1.043 1.2787
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 275 44.36% 29.19 1.588 78.91% 0.266 0.1785
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 195 53.61% 26.71 -1.296 73.33% 0.111 0.3067
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3976 32.91% 33.12 -0.943 83.0% -0.07 -0.0916
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 83 25.3% 19.47 -0.767 51.81% -0.119 -0.4514
Shifting Memory of Ages 489 48.25% 22.44 -1.908 61.35% -0.268 0.0127
Shroud of Silent Mist 590 53.65% 24.38 -0.304 67.63% 0.168 0.4405
Starlight Seeks its Form 773 28.85% 27.49 1.01 72.19% 0.357 0.1369
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1472 37.46% 26.69 2.292 79.69% 0.712 0.2652
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1848 37.78% 27.53 -0.214 74.4% -0.087 0.0345
Thunderspeaker 4236 27.54% 38.55 0.997 86.76% 0.256 0.2747
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 66 33.33% 19.56 -1.975 43.94% -0.502 -0.298
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1059 68.0% 21.69 -3.87 63.27% -0.734 -0.5592
Vital Strength of the Earth 2888 34.93% 26.57 -1.413 63.47% -0.227 0.3447
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 94 28.72% 20.82 -0.417 52.13% 0.064 0.4454
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 254 44.05% 21.46 -5.135 46.85% -0.994 -0.2364
Volcano Looming High 857 44.26% 24.41 -3.274 69.31% -0.573 -0.5998
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 79 24.05% 28.22 3.152 74.68% 0.816 0.2827

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 17 17.65% 18.29 0.299 41.18% -0.144 -0.3307
Blitz 0 577 43.4% 23.25 -2.134 61.7% -0.4 -0.2687
Dahan Insurrection 4 700 26.22% 48.8 11.402 77.43% 0.723 0.4676
Despicable Theft 2 117 41.03% 26.78 -3.7 52.14% -0.931 -0.3895
Elemental Invocation 1 186 49.73% 20.9 -3.839 45.7% -0.826 0.0303
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1481 11.97% 33.81 2.896 81.77% 0.358 -0.4136
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1666 16.41% 50.5 4.179 89.32% 0.506 1.4405
Rituals of Terror 3 407 46.93% 33.29 1.941 57.49% -0.181 -0.0847
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 321 68.85% 30.0 -6.96 49.53% -1.479 -0.2827
Second Wave 0 631 53.57% 26.97 -0.024 59.27% -0.808 -0.722
The Great River 3 120 50.83% 23.34 -4.366 35.0% -1.181 0.1804
Varied Terrains 2 51 43.14% 15.14 -3.063 27.45% -0.901 -0.1128
Ward the Shores 2 546 43.85% 26.17 -5.862 38.64% -1.958 -0.9257

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 28010 43.21% 27.26 0.663 74.51% 0.278 0.4694
1 Thematic 3485 41.88% 30.81 -2.388 62.73% -0.619 0.0265
2 Archipelago 20 55.0% 32.5 6.246 55.0% 0.328 0.7598
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6577 38.95% 28.21 -0.164 79.63% 0.011 0.0071
2 Coastline 558 39.75% 26.71 -0.05 75.63% -0.067 -0.0107
2 Fragment 126 49.21% 26.33 5.926 73.81% 0.569 0.303
2 Heart 72 47.14% 26.6 -1.222 81.94% 0.082 0.0427
2 Opposite Shores 840 42.12% 28.37 4.021 83.57% 1.134 1.1478
2 Thematic 806 44.35% 32.32 -1.26 68.73% -0.069 0.1281
2 Top to Top 130 35.43% 27.99 2.11 82.31% 0.507 0.4093
3 Archipelago 8 50.0% 42.25 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 15 53.33% 28.67 0.0 46.67%
3 Other 68 36.76% 29.18 3.017 88.24% 0.745 0.3527
3 Round (Default) 2127 34.72% 28.8 0.793 82.37% 0.04 -0.2955
3 Sunrise 15 13.33% 31.53 0.0 93.33%
3 Thematic 152 46.05% 34.66 3.109 69.74% -0.416 -0.6998
4 Archipelago 4 0.0% 38.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 4 75.0% 19.75 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 5 20.0% 23.4 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 44 31.82% 29.7 0.0 90.91%
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 1552 4.51% 57.16 6.871 97.81% 0.764 0.6846
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1065 32.8% 27.43 -3.488 77.75% -1.083 -1.2393
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 23 30.43% 23.09 -0.713 65.22% -0.791 -1.8654
5 Thematic 8 42.86% 31.25 0.0 75.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 53.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 2 50.0% 24.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 5 20.0% 26.4 0.0 80.0%
6 Thematic 22 18.18% 31.09 -2.588 54.55% -0.703 -0.0541
6 Two Centers (Default) 59 13.56% 23.51 1.857 66.1% -0.158 -0.4926
7 Other 1 0.0% 52.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1703 22.54 0.446 59.78% 0.237 0.3661
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1423 22.65 -1.183 56.57% -0.572 -0.6904
All Things Weaken 674 21.48 -1.108 55.19% -0.405 -0.0972
Attenuated Essence 45 23.2 -0.716 62.22% -0.524 -0.4918
Back Against the Wall 1410 22.57 2.218 56.88% 0.758 0.7878
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 48 17.52 -1.486 41.67% -0.245 -0.0587
Burn Brightest Before the End 25 24.08 1.24 68.0% 0.276 0.3462
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1518 19.16 -0.03 53.1% -0.064 0.3115
Downward Spiral 2318 21.75 -1.395 61.82% -0.507 -0.3407
Erosion of Will 1604 22.16 -0.65 57.67% -0.104 0.1107
Intensifying Exploitation 49 15.84 -1.158 42.86% -0.54 -0.2986
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 320 28.27 4.777 84.38% 1.189 0.6081
Memory Fades to Dust 2225 21.5 -2.925 58.2% -0.795 -0.5025
Power Corrodes the Spirit 673 21.75 2.672 58.99% 0.578 0.7389
Promising Farmlands 1578 19.74 1.609 51.96% 0.678 0.9739
Shattered Fragments of Power 35 18.94 -0.888 42.86% -0.33 -0.2419
Slow Dissolution of Will 40 24.88 1.516 62.5% 0.267 0.6597
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 196 28.9 0.879 89.8% 0.343 -0.3684
The Border of Life and Death 11 19.09 -4.411 54.55% -0.745 -1.225
Thriving Communities 646 19.86 0.176 52.79% -0.136 0.1636
Thriving Crops 22 18.59 -3.097 40.91% -1.032 -1.1343
Tipping Point 625 20.24 0.0 53.6%
Unnatural Proliferation 684 22.22 1.052 56.14% 0.078 0.2471
Untended Land Crumbles 599 21.37 -2.789 58.93% -0.577 -0.3191

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9202 41.3% 27.59 -0.899 76.43% -0.445 0.6974
B 9727 40.69% 27.73 -0.313 77.42% -0.291 0.7642
C 9732 39.58% 28.0 0.12 77.92% -0.341 0.5474
D 9165 39.24% 28.01 0.203 77.85% -0.09 0.9643
E 3387 39.71% 27.45 0.434 76.32% -0.067 0.837
F 5322 39.94% 27.48 0.111 77.25% -0.213 0.7908
G 5051 40.51% 27.05 -0.133 75.87% -0.162 0.8066
H 4931 38.95% 27.57 -0.636 77.47% -0.432 0.5604
East 4202 27.94% 41.77 0.321 78.2% -0.785 0.2029
Northeast 2986 22.54% 45.36 0.581 82.99% -0.653 0.2965
Northwest 2520 19.17% 47.47 2.039 86.35% -0.04 1.001
Southeast 423 36.49% 30.53 -2.94 63.12% -0.866 0.0521
Southwest 442 44.22% 25.41 -2.13 57.24% -0.37 1.0869
West 3840 27.64% 41.1 1.498 76.69% -0.45 0.6571

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 144 0.0% 29.96 1.909 82.64% 0.472 1.1354
Not Using Events or Tokens 750 49.59% 27.55 -2.116 73.73% -0.077 0.417
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2007 3.68% 53.22 5.843 96.11% 0.851 0.2288
Start of Game Growth 2387 7.65% 49.72 2.729 93.72% -0.068 -0.4805
Unlimited Undo 2526 31.55% 29.61 -1.142 79.61% -0.237 -0.3322
Using Tokens but Not Events 4512 33.99% 29.18 -0.47 80.14% 0.061 0.1364

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6711 16.77 28.62%
II 14877 30.59 70.48%
III 16586 34.74 88.6%
IV 7647 38.3 99.02%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.06 Win Model: 0.491
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 31683 43.13% 27.62 73.01%
2 9035 39.82% 28.6 79.36%
3 2328 35.07% 29.19 82.0%
4 2663 16.2% 44.8 89.71%
5 20 25.0% 23.3 65.0%
6 90 15.56% 26.19 65.56%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1914
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14257
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9833
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7499
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1717
Lose: Invader deck ran out 258
Lose: Adversary condition 2655
Win: Sacrifice victory 185
Lose: Scenario condition 357
Win: Scenario condition 986
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5857
Lose: Spirit destroyed 303

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2263 45.98% 30.69 0.156 71.45% 0.129 0.0936
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1393 63.69% 28.09 0.061 60.3% -0.098 0.0609
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 14 21.43% 34.0 9.773 71.43% 1.451 0.4385
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1600 49.25% 27.07 2.262 63.81% 0.954 0.7421
Downpour Drenches the World 254 38.58% 21.44 -2.345 46.46% -0.572 -0.3251
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 318 29.34% 22.85 2.265 55.66% 0.781 0.2186
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1905 37.15% 35.0 4.033 80.94% 0.923 0.4432
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1570 46.05% 33.03 4.225 79.11% 1.297 0.8902
Finder of Paths Unseen 97 44.33% 12.54 -5.4 20.62% -1.119 -0.3564
Fractured Days Split the Sky 304 51.32% 26.03 -2.329 51.64% -0.394 0.2685
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 450 59.82% 27.44 -0.742 60.89% -0.002 -0.005
Heart of the Wildfire 1908 78.56% 23.34 -0.945 51.62% -0.24 0.1302
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3504 53.14% 30.05 0.994 73.12% 0.42 -0.0065
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 36 38.89% 26.75 3.028 58.33% 0.75 0.2569
Lightning's Swift Strike 1977 62.58% 28.48 0.483 63.88% 0.284 0.4973
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 83 50.6% 24.65 2.645 55.42% 0.269 -0.3471
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 243 42.56% 32.99 -0.997 76.95% -0.117 -0.4031
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 198 47.21% 32.08 7.784 67.68% 0.964 0.862
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1161 52.85% 30.83 1.639 72.7% 0.422 0.1755
Many Minds Move as One 713 38.62% 32.28 1.145 76.86% 0.347 0.1855
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2402 59.56% 30.01 1.029 68.15% 0.225 0.259
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1578 53.52% 28.31 0.69 65.65% 0.455 0.2883
River Surges in Sunlight 2598 56.32% 30.44 0.411 62.01% -0.061 -0.0336
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 293 58.7% 25.16 -2.285 48.81% -0.718 -0.3793
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 154 54.25% 24.55 -1.849 47.4% -0.539 -0.5703
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1698 53.62% 28.96 1.631 66.25% 0.508 0.3981
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1233 75.37% 24.33 -0.638 47.77% -0.179 0.3963
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 36 63.89% 22.69 2.586 47.22% 0.249 0.2721
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 36 58.33% 23.28 0.875 52.78% 0.374 -0.0779
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 48 41.67% 22.56 -4.391 50.0% -0.423 -0.1866
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 188 59.04% 24.35 -5.661 51.6% -1.33 -1.4178
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 119 71.19% 28.98 -2.236 60.5% -0.541 -0.3456
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2322 52.03% 30.13 -2.646 69.47% -0.714 -0.7353
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 96 37.5% 27.64 3.138 65.63% 0.476 0.1439
Shifting Memory of Ages 374 58.82% 25.21 -2.836 57.75% -0.402 -0.1206
Shroud of Silent Mist 410 76.77% 22.36 -2.454 48.78% -0.494 -0.2209
Starlight Seeks its Form 549 39.48% 29.13 -3.375 67.58% -0.634 -0.8537
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 963 46.11% 27.88 -0.66 71.03% 0.178 -0.2691
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1237 55.45% 27.36 -0.596 60.39% 0.106 0.2279
Thunderspeaker 2106 54.34% 31.09 -0.518 68.76% -0.019 -0.0007
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 63 52.38% 17.14 -2.358 33.33% -1.083 -0.879
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 730 77.53% 22.07 -1.502 48.49% 0.027 0.2017
Vital Strength of the Earth 1754 54.58% 24.41 -3.986 46.12% -1.253 -0.6813
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 79 48.72% 23.05 0.783 46.84% 0.31 0.692
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 193 50.26% 21.46 -4.514 34.2% -0.653 0.1048
Volcano Looming High 609 63.43% 25.4 -2.023 60.26% -0.15 -0.1763
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 80 36.25% 25.18 1.4 55.0% 0.095 -0.4391

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 23 34.78% 19.96 -7.5 30.43% -0.934 -1.1207
Blitz 0 552 50.73% 25.38 -5.811 57.43% -1.114 -0.9832
Dahan Insurrection 4 402 41.54% 48.35 1.692 66.92% -0.874 -1.1295
Despicable Theft 2 94 45.74% 27.13 -4.26 45.74% -0.917 -0.3755
Elemental Invocation 1 123 52.85% 19.25 -8.256 35.77% -1.639 -0.7826
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1077 23.9% 33.93 3.117 72.42% 0.494 -0.2772
Powers Long Forgotten 1 470 59.57% 27.3 -1.299 48.51% -0.558 0.3767
Rituals of Terror 3 247 64.78% 34.56 -2.776 45.75% -0.73 -0.6344
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 206 78.64% 30.67 -6.75 40.78% -1.183 0.0141
Second Wave 0 1493 57.02% 30.11 1.344 61.02% -0.049 0.037
The Great River 3 83 67.47% 19.93 -4.526 16.87% -0.969 0.3921
Varied Terrains 2 53 47.17% 16.57 -1.76 20.75% -0.259 0.5292
Ward the Shores 2 385 47.01% 26.21 -6.126 30.13% -1.896 -0.864

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 17321 55.53% 26.98 0.477 62.01% 0.368 0.5587
1 Thematic 2759 53.36% 31.42 -0.463 55.64% -0.057 0.5883
2 Archipelago 19 52.63% 34.0 0.0 47.37%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4192 56.48% 28.33 -0.599 67.18% -0.016 -0.0195
2 Coastline 410 55.06% 28.78 -2.424 69.51% -0.47 -0.4137
2 Fragment 143 60.56% 27.39 -0.89 63.64% -0.324 -0.5908
2 Heart 63 67.74% 25.78 7.754 58.73% 0.394 0.3551
2 Opposite Shores 735 55.42% 28.28 0.412 68.16% 0.367 0.3816
2 Thematic 947 51.64% 29.59 -1.145 53.64% -0.751 -0.5539
2 Top to Top 112 67.86% 29.72 7.136 75.89% 1.501 1.4027
3 Archipelago 13 61.54% 33.85 0.0 38.46%
3 Coastline 12 75.0% 23.25 0.0 33.33%
3 Other 58 48.28% 33.19 6.094 84.48% 0.32 -0.0724
3 Round (Default) 1470 53.69% 30.27 0.488 73.27% -0.037 -0.3729
3 Sunrise 13 61.54% 28.23 0.0 76.92%
3 Thematic 143 60.14% 30.7 -1.309 54.55% -0.714 -0.9978
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 37.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 32.4 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 27 59.26% 33.04 5.34 81.48% 0.35 -0.9795
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 205 50.49% 37.34 9.578 72.68% 0.298 0.2185
4 Trapezoid (Default) 551 50.92% 30.84 -0.514 71.14% -0.277 -0.4336
5 Other 30 68.97% 27.97 -0.122 50.0% -0.03 -1.1048
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 29.33 -10.231 66.67% -0.332 -1.6314
6 Star 5 60.0% 15.4 1.815 20.0% 0.026 0.1255
6 Thematic 28 29.63% 36.96 12.955 64.29% 0.306 0.9546
6 Two Centers (Default) 23 30.43% 28.65 3.798 60.87% -0.031 -0.3659
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 2 0.0% 25.5 -15.222 50.0% -0.406 -0.0101

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1454 24.53 0.702 52.61% -0.107 0.0227
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1176 24.91 0.226 50.6% -0.156 -0.2747
All Things Weaken 611 23.47 -2.113 49.59% -1.315 -1.0072
Attenuated Essence 57 20.84 -3.46 45.61% -0.504 -0.4718
Back Against the Wall 1149 24.81 0.263 51.61% -0.021 0.0088
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 52 17.25 -1.487 30.77% -0.521 -0.3345
Burn Brightest Before the End 33 24.39 1.917 48.48% 0.079 0.1497
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1278 20.75 -0.414 46.01% -0.129 0.2472
Downward Spiral 1927 23.28 -0.058 54.28% -0.1 0.0661
Erosion of Will 1398 23.52 1.975 48.5% 0.377 0.5915
Intensifying Exploitation 42 21.98 -0.081 50.0% 0.381 0.6228
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 237 30.69 -0.617 78.48% -0.174 -0.7553
Memory Fades to Dust 1978 22.96 0.568 50.2% -0.245 0.0476
Power Corrodes the Spirit 613 22.81 0.192 50.08% -0.292 -0.1307
Promising Farmlands 1421 21.32 -0.69 44.12% -0.287 0.0086
Shattered Fragments of Power 54 24.48 2.96 51.85% 0.369 0.4568
Slow Dissolution of Will 43 17.49 -3.944 27.91% -0.783 -0.39
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 132 31.21 1.536 78.03% 0.392 -0.3193
The Border of Life and Death 17 22.35 3.468 47.06% 0.642 0.1624
Thriving Communities 619 21.88 -0.155 44.75% -0.089 0.2111
Thriving Crops 25 13.32 -2.627 20.0% -0.641 -0.7428
Tipping Point 530 23.35 0.0 49.43%
Unnatural Proliferation 689 24.56 -0.855 50.07% -0.144 0.0254
Untended Land Crumbles 586 22.42 -0.982 48.98% -0.418 -0.1603

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5851 56.79% 27.63 -0.755 64.19% -0.211 0.9314
B 6169 55.59% 28.37 1.053 66.83% 0.219 1.2736
C 6153 54.44% 28.59 -0.712 67.32% -0.28 0.6081
D 5783 56.38% 28.31 0.128 65.8% -0.109 0.945
E 2430 53.84% 27.57 -0.637 63.58% -0.132 0.7726
F 3408 55.69% 27.66 -0.173 65.08% -0.118 0.8866
G 3147 55.24% 27.66 0.489 64.0% 0.125 1.0929
H 3211 53.14% 28.45 1.309 66.8% 0.02 1.0125
East 2565 51.7% 32.13 0.438 57.54% 0.183 1.1709
Northeast 1431 52.03% 32.67 1.155 59.82% -0.056 0.8936
Northwest 1186 51.18% 32.3 1.014 60.54% 0.216 1.2577
Southeast 401 45.11% 28.99 -4.144 53.62% -0.964 -0.0464
Southwest 393 49.36% 25.6 -2.838 50.38% -0.342 1.1149
West 2383 53.54% 30.45 -0.012 54.8% -0.34 0.7671

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 106 0.0% 26.95 0.0 58.49%
Not Using Events or Tokens 389 63.23% 26.82 -5.661 59.9% -0.471 0.0232
Skip Initial Invader Actions 494 17.99% 43.1 0.584 87.65% -0.487 -1.1099
Start of Game Growth 676 20.77% 42.0 3.347 87.72% 0.926 0.5141
Unlimited Undo 2195 46.81% 28.81 -0.939 66.42% -0.307 -0.4018
Using Tokens but Not Events 2812 51.09% 28.52 0.025 66.57% -0.012 0.0632

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4944 16.77 6.05%
II 8379 30.59 46.44%
III 10278 34.74 83.69%
IV 5707 38.3 99.26%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.191 Win Model: 0.26
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 20229 55.24% 27.55 60.95%
2 6545 56.07% 28.7 65.99%
3 1657 53.85% 30.31 71.88%
4 795 51.46% 32.5 71.7%
5 23 63.64% 26.61 52.17%
6 59 32.76% 31.56 59.32%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 298
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8368
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3598
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5609
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1632
Lose: Invader deck ran out 111
Lose: Adversary condition 2493
Win: Sacrifice victory 108
Lose: Scenario condition 312
Win: Scenario condition 476
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5979
Lose: Spirit destroyed 324

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4263 34.83% 35.56 -0.142 54.63% 0.179 0.1435
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2305 50.46% 30.18 0.407 39.18% -0.107 0.0515
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 109 33.03% 38.73 5.935 63.3% 1.007 -0.0056
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2582 37.98% 33.04 -1.177 51.43% 0.014 -0.1984
Downpour Drenches the World 513 30.27% 25.58 -2.96 30.8% -0.843 -0.5957
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 663 28.21% 34.72 5.182 61.39% 1.569 1.0066
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3348 29.08% 38.4 2.412 61.17% 0.673 0.1941
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2080 38.58% 33.18 -1.884 48.17% -0.048 -0.4545
Finder of Paths Unseen 166 40.96% 19.64 -6.465 19.88% -1.275 -0.5124
Fractured Days Split the Sky 769 37.24% 34.05 -4.102 45.25% -0.372 0.2907
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1139 51.71% 35.19 -3.896 54.26% -0.453 -0.4558
Heart of the Wildfire 4138 66.34% 32.88 -1.448 54.81% 0.087 0.4568
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6518 42.58% 35.96 0.991 60.59% 0.379 -0.0477
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 123 42.28% 41.59 6.562 71.54% 1.262 0.769
Lightning's Swift Strike 3017 48.22% 35.86 -1.326 59.13% 0.244 0.4576
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 188 38.04% 38.87 3.557 69.68% 0.818 0.2025
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 662 40.91% 42.4 6.742 73.56% 1.484 1.198
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 453 39.07% 37.48 -1.885 58.28% 0.126 0.0241
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2439 41.31% 37.21 -0.191 63.71% 0.289 0.0422
Many Minds Move as One 1215 35.09% 36.03 -2.518 58.02% -0.413 -0.5747
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4666 46.46% 34.24 0.425 51.26% 0.208 0.2426
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2473 38.26% 35.25 2.01 56.49% 0.611 0.4437
River Surges in Sunlight 5325 40.49% 37.02 2.91 51.06% 0.119 0.1467
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 549 46.34% 31.43 0.796 38.43% 0.023 0.3619
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 403 39.6% 36.67 2.789 49.88% 0.375 0.3433
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3635 40.74% 29.62 -2.873 38.98% -0.415 -0.5253
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1702 61.39% 28.2 -7.125 34.78% -1.443 -0.8679
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 69 55.07% 27.94 0.988 42.03% 0.148 0.1706
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 123 43.09% 30.82 0.884 51.22% 0.345 -0.1066
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 80 51.25% 31.8 -5.506 50.0% -0.612 -0.3762
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 477 50.31% 33.28 -0.36 48.85% -0.235 -0.3219
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 181 61.88% 30.29 -6.741 40.88% -0.836 -0.6402
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4012 40.56% 38.14 -2.349 64.91% -0.004 -0.0254
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 157 34.39% 32.28 -0.631 51.59% 0.013 -0.3193
Shifting Memory of Ages 779 49.81% 27.85 -2.26 36.46% -0.267 0.0142
Shroud of Silent Mist 765 61.52% 26.72 -3.38 36.21% -0.781 -0.5081
Starlight Seeks its Form 1011 37.92% 28.38 -1.836 37.39% -0.283 -0.5033
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2112 34.87% 31.46 -0.082 50.38% 0.272 -0.1745
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2081 39.69% 37.76 1.908 62.95% 0.678 0.7996
Thunderspeaker 3712 43.51% 37.64 -0.632 58.7% -0.308 -0.2899
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 121 47.93% 28.94 2.149 44.63% 0.314 0.5184
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1566 67.54% 26.92 -4.004 39.53% -0.682 -0.5076
Vital Strength of the Earth 2733 37.65% 26.27 -4.592 27.63% -1.21 -0.6375
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 168 37.72% 30.29 1.326 42.26% -0.135 0.2463
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 271 36.3% 25.86 -4.885 31.0% -0.423 0.3348
Volcano Looming High 1224 48.53% 33.59 -2.065 57.11% 0.121 0.0943
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 304 41.78% 30.6 1.846 45.39% 0.313 -0.2212

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 44 36.36% 28.36 -6.209 29.55% -0.105 -0.291
Blitz 0 642 32.29% 21.38 -7.072 18.85% -1.462 -1.3305
Dahan Insurrection 4 1094 22.76% 54.36 10.86 61.61% 0.984 0.7289
Despicable Theft 2 129 55.04% 31.71 -10.977 34.11% -1.174 -0.6327
Elemental Invocation 1 148 50.68% 27.96 -3.933 33.78% -0.539 0.3176
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1499 18.6% 40.73 5.01 66.58% 1.022 0.251
Powers Long Forgotten 1 392 51.02% 33.39 -3.146 41.07% -1.168 -0.2337
Rituals of Terror 3 210 48.1% 42.06 1.173 46.67% -0.32 -0.2237
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 92 65.93% 34.84 -6.483 32.61% -0.355 0.8418
Second Wave 0 843 42.55% 32.75 -1.711 39.74% -0.888 -0.8021
The Great River 3 61 14.75% 22.75 -6.531 6.56% -1.091 0.2706
Varied Terrains 2 39 51.28% 25.85 0.369 25.64% -0.266 0.5229
Ward the Shores 2 449 43.21% 35.34 -7.544 34.97% -1.243 -0.2106

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 31949 44.78% 32.53 0.449 49.77% 1.104 1.2947
1 Thematic 1451 38.18% 33.89 8.451 36.32% 0.938 1.5832
2 Archipelago 22 72.73% 32.14 -1.217 36.36% -0.438 -0.0062
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7974 46.49% 33.69 -0.464 54.15% 0.713 0.7089
2 Coastline 799 45.53% 33.63 -3.878 52.69% -0.459 -0.4029
2 Fragment 201 60.2% 29.57 -3.797 44.28% 0.142 -0.124
2 Heart 77 59.74% 29.13 -5.317 41.56% -0.702 -0.7406
2 Opposite Shores 1656 48.91% 32.51 1.558 50.0% 1.105 1.1188
2 Thematic 734 38.2% 30.97 -2.068 29.02% -0.39 -0.1931
2 Top to Top 216 56.02% 34.84 -1.597 57.41% -0.478 -0.5765
3 Archipelago 6 66.67% 48.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 12 16.67% 33.0 0.0 50.0%
3 Other 93 38.71% 33.2 0.71 55.91% 0.129 -0.2633
3 Round (Default) 3317 42.48% 35.01 0.412 56.14% 0.245 -0.091
3 Sunrise 9 33.33% 42.67 0.0 77.78%
3 Thematic 137 37.96% 38.35 0.607 40.15% -0.103 -0.3871
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 71.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 17.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 21 71.43% 39.19 6.327 66.67% 0.273 0.1249
4 Other 56 42.86% 42.16 -2.071 76.79% 0.086 -1.2438
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 663 15.84% 50.51 -0.868 68.33% -0.307 -0.3863
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1399 41.25% 36.79 -1.713 59.97% -0.499 -0.6558
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 31.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 57 57.89% 33.12 -2.965 45.61% -1.145 -2.2194
5 Thematic 13 15.38% 43.77 0.0 38.46%
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 32.0 11.84 66.67% 0.409 -0.89
6 Other 5 0.0% 48.8 0.0 80.0%
6 Star 5 40.0% 45.4 -6.262 60.0% -0.88 -0.7808
6 Thematic 152 20.0% 29.57 -0.407 32.24% -0.298 0.3508
6 Two Centers (Default) 40 35.0% 36.73 8.625 62.5% 1.08 0.7455
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 -6.37 0.0% -0.035 0.3616

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1976 30.65 -1.207 48.63% -0.316 -0.1868
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1711 32.36 3.472 50.44% 0.686 0.567
All Things Weaken 950 30.27 2.989 46.42% 0.42 0.728
Attenuated Essence 83 28.29 -1.403 42.17% -0.225 -0.1934
Back Against the Wall 1639 31.51 -1.421 48.26% -0.32 -0.2898
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 71 27.28 -1.608 32.39% -0.779 -0.5927
Burn Brightest Before the End 70 29.11 1.68 32.86% -0.033 0.0378
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1931 27.3 -0.574 43.14% 0.186 0.5616
Downward Spiral 2319 29.72 0.967 47.74% 0.474 0.6396
Erosion of Will 1916 29.44 1.795 44.47% 0.37 0.5848
Intensifying Exploitation 107 28.64 1.251 43.93% 0.334 0.5753
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 499 33.15 4.431 54.31% 0.786 0.2046
Memory Fades to Dust 2423 29.17 -1.914 44.74% -0.373 -0.0804
Power Corrodes the Spirit 904 29.52 -1.443 45.91% -0.251 -0.0901
Promising Farmlands 1983 26.4 -1.001 35.55% -0.248 0.0485
Shattered Fragments of Power 69 28.22 2.129 39.13% 0.357 0.4446
Slow Dissolution of Will 92 30.4 0.224 43.48% -0.091 0.3021
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 262 33.77 2.487 58.4% 0.538 -0.1736
The Border of Life and Death 38 33.58 3.806 57.89% 0.649 0.1697
Thriving Communities 921 29.01 0.028 45.93% 0.189 0.4891
Thriving Crops 64 25.63 -1.672 32.81% -0.548 -0.6497
Tipping Point 791 27.05 0.0 39.19%
Unnatural Proliferation 880 30.49 1.355 44.55% 0.014 0.183
Untended Land Crumbles 910 27.94 -0.06 42.53% -0.012 0.246

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11204 46.34% 33.05 0.468 51.17% -0.154 0.9887
B 12081 44.89% 33.77 -0.275 53.64% -0.187 0.8685
C 12646 43.7% 33.76 0.059 53.08% -0.161 0.727
D 11021 46.63% 32.92 0.085 50.81% -0.121 0.933
E 5203 43.31% 34.53 0.564 55.51% -0.078 0.8266
F 6527 44.4% 33.59 -0.422 52.72% -0.194 0.8102
G 6032 44.82% 33.59 -0.241 52.85% -0.292 0.6762
H 6120 44.39% 33.89 -0.902 53.56% -0.217 0.7753
East 2282 30.8% 38.6 -0.968 44.35% -1.135 -0.1466
Northeast 1540 29.41% 40.27 -0.542 47.92% -0.803 0.1461
Northwest 1354 27.81% 40.49 -0.033 49.19% -0.153 0.8886
Southeast 385 25.07% 33.9 -2.271 38.7% -0.554 0.364
Southwest 387 27.53% 31.8 -1.363 36.95% -0.505 0.9514
West 2198 29.64% 37.65 0.164 42.95% -0.016 1.0912

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 89 0.0% 36.73 -0.605 60.67% 0.283 0.9463
Not Using Events or Tokens 287 38.13% 26.83 -13.127 27.18% -0.483 0.011
Skip Initial Invader Actions 540 14.57% 50.77 5.827 78.33% 0.711 0.0889
Start of Game Growth 1097 20.28% 47.6 4.439 72.93% 0.415 0.003
Unlimited Undo 3479 39.0% 35.64 0.712 57.11% 0.451 0.3555
Using Tokens but Not Events 3196 38.8% 33.15 -2.848 50.81% -0.573 -0.4976

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 13091 16.77 3.51%
II 19497 30.59 44.11%
III 13323 34.74 87.88%
IV 5196 38.3 99.33%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.138 Win Model: 0.526
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 33577 44.52% 32.57 49.09%
2 11610 46.8% 33.33 51.89%
3 3526 41.75% 35.17 55.87%
4 2140 33.85% 41.32 63.13%
5 70 31.43% 21.11 25.71%
6 184 25.82% 35.17 45.65%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 458
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11385
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7820
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5129
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1701
Lose: Invader deck ran out 39
Lose: Adversary condition 17678
Win: Sacrifice victory 114
Lose: Scenario condition 392
Win: Scenario condition 1023
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5029
Lose: Spirit destroyed 339

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3549 44.42% 38.95 -0.123 49.31% 0.073 0.0372
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1857 61.52% 32.31 -2.631 32.15% -0.647 -0.4885
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 108 49.07% 38.64 3.492 49.07% 0.411 -0.6018
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2166 49.07% 38.19 -2.545 49.31% -0.221 -0.4335
Downpour Drenches the World 426 39.76% 30.01 -1.479 30.05% -0.321 -0.0738
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 608 37.17% 40.43 5.438 59.54% 1.066 0.5036
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2861 43.96% 42.21 1.949 56.55% 0.295 -0.1848
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1780 48.65% 37.38 -1.544 44.16% -0.091 -0.4971
Finder of Paths Unseen 194 49.21% 26.13 -5.793 26.8% -0.498 0.2641
Fractured Days Split the Sky 701 51.07% 39.97 -2.085 43.37% -0.409 0.2537
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1013 60.41% 41.22 -1.713 56.37% -0.16 -0.1622
Heart of the Wildfire 3152 79.11% 32.89 -2.76 41.5% -0.319 0.0509
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9455 52.99% 41.07 3.087 55.07% 0.603 0.1766
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 140 48.57% 33.59 0.529 50.0% 0.403 -0.0893
Lightning's Swift Strike 2656 59.26% 38.32 3.879 49.55% 0.781 0.9943
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 267 60.38% 42.6 0.792 61.8% 0.174 -0.4421
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 661 50.61% 46.84 2.315 67.62% 0.544 0.2585
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 448 52.01% 41.69 1.593 55.36% 0.652 0.5503
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2206 59.54% 39.35 0.552 53.35% 0.182 -0.0644
Many Minds Move as One 985 40.45% 40.23 -1.285 53.71% -0.075 -0.2366
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4364 55.51% 38.29 1.215 48.6% 0.303 0.3368
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2439 51.95% 37.57 0.513 48.34% 0.164 -0.003
River Surges in Sunlight 4500 51.7% 39.33 -0.115 45.33% -0.113 -0.0852
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 496 52.32% 32.76 -1.799 32.06% -0.241 0.0982
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 335 52.69% 41.97 2.423 53.73% 0.536 0.5042
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3405 50.15% 34.8 -1.36 38.8% -0.444 -0.5539
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1344 72.26% 31.5 -2.184 30.13% -0.228 0.3475
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 80 65.0% 20.99 1.329 18.75% -0.011 0.0125
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 120 72.88% 33.8 2.075 45.0% 0.261 -0.191
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 93 62.37% 30.96 -6.165 37.63% -0.447 -0.2106
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 356 66.01% 35.29 2.371 40.17% 0.21 0.1232
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 150 69.8% 30.41 -3.548 28.0% -0.424 -0.2284
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4207 51.13% 42.48 -0.853 59.16% 0.166 0.145
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 178 39.89% 30.36 0.239 44.38% 0.362 0.0294
Shifting Memory of Ages 700 65.14% 32.07 -0.132 34.86% 0.19 0.4712
Shroud of Silent Mist 666 65.92% 27.6 -3.706 25.83% -0.509 -0.2356
Starlight Seeks its Form 1044 48.75% 34.13 -1.389 40.71% -0.275 -0.4945
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2128 49.2% 36.48 -0.754 48.12% -0.202 -0.6487
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1655 55.54% 40.47 -2.147 54.56% -0.262 -0.1407
Thunderspeaker 3418 56.45% 40.51 0.552 50.97% 0.286 0.3044
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 90 51.11% 34.22 -2.071 47.78% 0.115 0.3196
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1551 78.55% 31.69 1.183 37.46% 0.235 0.4094
Vital Strength of the Earth 2166 50.25% 30.98 -4.007 27.7% -1.105 -0.5332
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 183 43.58% 30.97 -2.308 33.88% -0.464 -0.0827
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 214 45.33% 28.44 -6.849 21.5% -0.539 0.2188
Volcano Looming High 1365 65.05% 36.25 0.479 49.96% 0.283 0.2564
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 218 51.85% 34.87 1.155 42.66% 0.039 -0.4944

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 77.78% 43.78 2.478 66.67% 0.373 0.1865
Blitz 0 449 30.13% 32.04 5.739 26.95% -0.029 0.1026
Dahan Insurrection 4 507 41.81% 52.47 10.991 43.2% 0.136 -0.119
Despicable Theft 2 39 48.72% 38.59 20.688 41.03% 0.578 1.1195
Elemental Invocation 1 77 58.44% 32.1 -0.978 29.87% -0.311 0.5452
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1500 21.98% 50.19 4.341 72.2% 0.689 -0.0819
Powers Long Forgotten 1 214 60.75% 36.1 -5.294 36.92% -0.224 0.7109
Rituals of Terror 3 157 60.65% 39.85 5.144 30.57% 0.099 0.1949
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 101 72.28% 33.22 -13.209 20.79% -0.544 0.6525
Second Wave 0 543 49.72% 34.65 4.821 31.86% 0.138 0.2233
The Great River 3 51 47.06% 29.22 1.188 13.73% -0.776 0.5855
Varied Terrains 2 34 38.24% 25.09 -7.276 11.76% -0.612 0.1763
Ward the Shores 2 223 58.74% 32.57 -10.23 19.28% -0.891 0.1412

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 32817 55.27% 36.52 -0.153 45.05% 0.521 0.7121
1 Thematic 1215 42.83% 33.6 -1.245 23.46% -0.283 0.3619
2 Archipelago 11 63.64% 40.0 -13.974 63.64% -0.201 0.231
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7094 59.01% 37.64 -0.277 48.84% 0.334 0.3306
2 Coastline 706 58.24% 39.01 2.405 52.41% 0.658 0.7136
2 Fragment 175 64.57% 37.78 1.225 50.86% 0.49 0.2236
2 Heart 67 71.64% 42.27 -7.388 59.7% -0.9 -0.9393
2 Opposite Shores 1536 54.66% 36.61 -1.355 47.2% 0.095 0.1092
2 Thematic 433 37.88% 29.88 -0.969 15.01% -0.828 -0.6309
2 Top to Top 182 62.43% 37.85 1.178 50.55% 0.042 -0.0558
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 25 32.0% 36.68 -15.13 40.0% -0.144 -1.1676
3 Other 110 48.18% 46.8 0.0 71.82%
3 Round (Default) 3175 54.67% 41.33 1.224 56.63% 0.452 0.1163
3 Sunrise 14 57.14% 51.29 0.0 78.57%
3 Thematic 147 29.93% 30.6 0.0 15.65%
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 36.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Coastline 4 75.0% 36.75 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 13 61.54% 35.0 -4.355 38.46% -0.461 -0.6092
4 Other 60 58.33% 38.35 -9.502 50.0% -1.002 -2.3314
4 Thematic 332 36.97% 38.59 -0.593 30.42% 0.262 0.1824
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1298 51.56% 42.51 1.167 58.4% -0.121 -0.2782
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 43.33 0.0 33.33%
5 Other 43 60.98% 45.65 -4.526 60.47% -0.318 -1.3927
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 79.33 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 29.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 34 44.12% 54.71 13.158 76.47% 0.248 0.0444
6 Star 14 35.71% 42.21 -14.895 50.0% -0.451 -0.3514
6 Thematic 46 27.91% 33.3 -0.102 17.39% -0.181 0.4681
6 Two Centers (Default) 57 49.12% 40.46 6.575 56.14% 0.989 0.6547
7 Other 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2429 35.92 2.224 45.45% 0.397 0.5263
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2077 38.1 4.002 48.92% 0.575 0.4569
All Things Weaken 1190 36.39 1.447 46.97% 0.088 0.3952
Attenuated Essence 110 33.76 1.179 46.36% 0.025 0.0571
Back Against the Wall 2010 36.95 2.476 46.32% 0.384 0.4137
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 139 32.84 0.319 46.04% 0.161 0.3475
Burn Brightest Before the End 70 37.4 6.134 45.71% 1.023 1.0932
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2248 32.12 -1.273 39.15% -0.157 0.2193
Downward Spiral 2804 34.62 2.369 44.37% 0.626 0.7918
Erosion of Will 2405 34.57 3.461 41.46% 0.638 0.8525
Intensifying Exploitation 104 32.67 2.428 40.38% 0.434 0.6759
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 504 40.29 2.979 55.16% 0.574 -0.007
Memory Fades to Dust 2713 34.67 -0.018 42.94% -0.081 0.2117
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1111 35.33 2.165 45.81% 0.351 0.5124
Promising Farmlands 2325 31.53 0.256 34.11% 0.03 0.3264
Shattered Fragments of Power 99 32.36 1.924 38.38% 0.305 0.3929
Slow Dissolution of Will 111 29.97 0.551 35.14% 0.423 0.8156
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 305 42.37 2.674 60.66% 0.448 -0.264
The Border of Life and Death 41 31.8 6.566 43.9% 0.996 0.5169
Thriving Communities 1180 35.84 0.729 47.46% 0.095 0.3953
Thriving Crops 74 21.73 -1.22 17.57% -0.106 -0.2079
Tipping Point 917 33.01 0.0 37.73%
Unnatural Proliferation 1174 36.79 2.334 45.4% 0.425 0.5944
Untended Land Crumbles 1141 33.86 0.926 41.54% 0.222 0.4797

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10936 57.43% 37.47 0.126 47.75% -0.084 1.0588
B 11509 55.72% 37.95 -1.431 48.77% -0.475 0.5806
C 11816 54.57% 38.53 0.707 49.92% -0.077 0.8112
D 10606 55.97% 37.96 0.331 48.68% -0.18 0.8743
E 5187 55.72% 39.57 0.824 52.79% -0.133 0.7714
F 6594 54.82% 38.32 1.597 49.47% 0.113 1.1171
G 6119 56.72% 36.83 -0.53 46.02% -0.315 0.6531
H 6040 54.28% 38.95 0.14 51.06% -0.187 0.8057
East 1528 38.9% 34.46 -1.747 22.91% -1.009 -0.0208
Northeast 933 37.97% 36.14 -1.01 25.4% -0.642 0.3073
Northwest 764 38.21% 34.22 1.068 23.3% 0.019 1.06
Southeast 240 41.35% 31.77 3.067 21.67% 0.321 1.2395
Southwest 226 39.91% 29.28 1.128 18.58% -0.047 1.4094
West 1371 37.55% 32.57 -2.822 20.06% -0.617 0.4897

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 82 0.0% 44.79 -3.409 63.41% -0.271 0.3928
Not Using Events or Tokens 281 48.73% 30.09 0.0 24.2%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 802 13.2% 56.03 9.787 74.69% 1.253 0.6307
Start of Game Growth 1131 17.49% 52.57 4.709 70.91% 0.167 -0.2453
Unlimited Undo 4138 47.5% 38.84 -0.512 49.98% -0.005 -0.1001
Using Tokens but Not Events 2689 47.99% 36.9 -0.243 46.34% 0.136 0.2111

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 17311 16.77 2.52%
II 15276 30.59 44.17%
III 11762 34.74 88.6%
IV 5287 38.3 99.26%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.381 Win Model: 0.333
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 34141 54.86% 36.43 44.28%
2 10147 57.56% 37.29 47.6%
3 3457 53.15% 41.1 55.51%
4 1714 49.26% 41.59 52.39%
5 26 44.0% 42.85 57.69%
6 151 39.86% 41.52 47.68%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 436
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10203
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6503
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5211
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1860
Lose: Invader deck ran out 128
Lose: Adversary condition 17127
Win: Sacrifice victory 113
Lose: Scenario condition 364
Win: Scenario condition 387
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6851
Lose: Spirit destroyed 453

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2797 40.54% 44.19 1.831 52.66% 0.429 0.3927
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1285 58.63% 35.45 -1.156 31.98% -0.164 -0.0056
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 100 44.0% 31.05 -3.02 40.0% -0.113 -1.1255
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2233 42.31% 46.6 -1.361 60.95% 0.201 -0.0112
Downpour Drenches the World 402 35.32% 25.94 -5.353 23.88% -1.218 -0.9713
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 585 30.09% 33.52 5.195 43.93% 0.984 0.4209
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1785 43.35% 44.63 2.704 53.22% 0.509 0.0301
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1799 40.23% 47.41 -2.03 60.2% -0.541 -0.9474
Finder of Paths Unseen 114 49.12% 31.58 -6.154 32.46% -0.15 0.6122
Fractured Days Split the Sky 607 43.99% 39.59 5.092 42.5% 0.415 1.0768
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 661 57.03% 41.4 1.783 48.71% 0.272 0.2696
Heart of the Wildfire 2600 75.68% 37.76 -3.539 43.08% -0.375 -0.0047
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5568 47.12% 44.62 1.78 56.12% 0.622 0.1957
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 98 38.78% 32.8 1.673 42.86% 0.421 -0.0716
Lightning's Swift Strike 1668 57.87% 42.84 2.025 50.72% 0.302 0.5151
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 182 54.49% 47.68 4.238 60.99% 0.568 -0.0475
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 428 49.77% 51.13 2.857 67.52% 0.455 0.1695
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 273 41.76% 44.89 2.126 58.97% 0.794 0.6917
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1614 56.42% 43.79 -0.159 54.46% 0.046 -0.1999
Many Minds Move as One 655 41.07% 41.77 -6.221 51.91% -0.674 -0.8358
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3973 50.92% 43.72 -1.853 53.01% -0.026 0.0082
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1543 50.42% 43.17 -2.021 53.34% -0.144 -0.3116
River Surges in Sunlight 3274 49.88% 44.7 -0.285 50.21% -0.168 -0.141
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 356 49.72% 41.51 3.243 45.22% 0.177 0.516
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 317 60.13% 37.99 -0.157 37.54% -0.084 -0.1152
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2206 46.62% 38.9 -3.412 40.25% -0.743 -0.8536
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 829 65.38% 36.51 -8.536 34.98% -0.971 -0.3956
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 35 68.57% 38.6 2.514 40.0% 0.263 0.2857
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 85 29.41% 26.38 2.119 31.76% 0.357 -0.0947
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 76 60.53% 30.16 -10.536 22.37% -0.56 -0.3236
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 242 68.05% 35.23 -2.504 33.06% -0.277 -0.3647
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 118 71.19% 33.06 3.533 28.81% 0.479 0.6749
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3078 46.11% 48.05 -4.182 63.13% -0.527 -0.5484
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 160 35.63% 32.66 3.586 44.38% 0.714 0.3815
Shifting Memory of Ages 480 59.58% 35.48 -1.227 34.79% -0.008 0.273
Shroud of Silent Mist 815 67.57% 38.72 -4.525 44.29% -0.677 -0.4041
Starlight Seeks its Form 804 43.66% 38.04 2.821 40.05% 0.486 0.2665
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1422 45.99% 38.58 -1.332 45.22% 0.42 -0.0271
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1312 53.83% 45.25 0.908 56.94% -0.081 0.0405
Thunderspeaker 2312 56.26% 44.22 0.607 51.86% 0.185 0.2035
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 103 50.49% 28.37 6.149 35.92% 0.85 1.0539
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 922 74.46% 34.61 -1.235 37.09% -0.076 0.0987
Vital Strength of the Earth 1258 48.21% 36.07 -5.81 31.64% -0.875 -0.3029
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 124 39.84% 38.42 -3.534 38.71% -0.948 -0.5665
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 116 49.14% 31.0 -11.636 23.28% -0.997 -0.2392
Volcano Looming High 980 61.94% 40.07 2.378 49.49% 0.451 0.4243
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 212 41.51% 30.77 1.265 33.49% 0.108 -0.4261

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 57.14% 19.43 -2.236 14.29% -0.531 -0.7177
Blitz 0 187 27.81% 28.36 -9.898 20.86% -0.838 -0.7068
Dahan Insurrection 4 386 41.71% 56.2 19.557 43.26% 0.559 0.3038
Despicable Theft 2 23 39.13% 28.22 -11.717 17.39% -1.033 -0.492
Elemental Invocation 1 66 51.52% 30.65 -13.935 18.18% -0.554 0.3027
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1236 18.64% 52.53 7.561 67.88% 0.919 0.1478
Powers Long Forgotten 1 132 59.09% 36.08 -9.863 28.03% -0.981 -0.0461
Rituals of Terror 3 95 49.47% 43.12 -13.626 29.47% -0.915 -0.8189
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 187 70.05% 35.7 -14.306 16.58% -0.113 1.0834
Second Wave 0 310 52.43% 40.06 4.439 37.74% 0.249 0.3351
The Great River 3 19 26.32% 25.58 -19.035 5.26% -0.37 0.991
Varied Terrains 2 15 53.33% 30.33 -4.305 26.67% -0.296 0.4927
Ward the Shores 2 191 58.12% 32.59 -12.422 14.66% -1.054 -0.0219

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 20947 52.14% 40.97 -0.072 47.63% 0.428 0.6187
1 Thematic 982 38.8% 35.76 8.598 21.28% 0.253 0.8977
2 Archipelago 3 33.33% 8.0 -9.407 0.0% -0.481 -0.0487
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5058 56.67% 41.98 1.778 50.47% 0.47 0.4666
2 Coastline 454 55.31% 42.66 1.116 51.54% -0.008 0.0479
2 Fragment 96 63.54% 38.02 25.191 41.67% 1.131 0.8649
2 Heart 58 63.79% 35.19 1.48 36.21% -0.041 -0.0795
2 Opposite Shores 980 54.18% 40.36 -2.057 45.92% -0.318 -0.3037
2 Thematic 316 37.66% 33.85 -1.304 16.77% -0.696 -0.4989
2 Top to Top 303 53.14% 44.86 -3.527 57.43% -0.919 -1.0166
3 Archipelago 7 71.43% 54.71 4.812 71.43% 0.303 -0.1439
3 Coastline 16 37.5% 40.81 0.0 43.75%
3 Other 67 46.27% 51.27 11.155 73.13% 0.465 0.0724
3 Round (Default) 2805 46.62% 42.73 -1.507 54.33% -0.068 -0.4034
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 35.29 -7.456 42.86% -0.03 0.2131
3 Thematic 60 41.67% 34.93 0.0 16.67%
4 Archipelago 21 76.19% 41.71 0.0 42.86%
4 Coastline 9 11.11% 66.78 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 18 38.89% 54.39 0.0 83.33%
4 Other 47 53.19% 53.11 16.253 76.6% 0.439 -0.8901
4 Snake 5 100.0% 28.0 0.0 20.0%
4 Thematic 252 39.29% 44.04 0.0 37.3%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1304 46.7% 49.11 3.142 63.65% 0.776 0.6192
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 40.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 42 57.14% 38.93 -6.773 52.38% -0.812 -1.8871
5 Thematic 7 28.57% 42.14 0.0 14.29%
6 Archipelago 4 50.0% 48.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 13 16.67% 31.62 -6.739 46.15% -0.286 -0.4898
6 Star 10 20.0% 55.4 0.0 70.0%
6 Thematic 14 7.14% 28.14 5.249 7.14% 0.175 0.8242
6 Two Centers (Default) 33 48.48% 39.03 -1.882 51.52% -0.176 -0.5102
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 -12.26 0.0% -0.161 0.235

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1568 40.4 0.093 48.6% -0.093 0.0367
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1219 42.59 1.546 51.35% -0.072 -0.1902
All Things Weaken 696 41.15 1.846 50.14% 0.311 0.6184
Attenuated Essence 68 35.96 1.583 44.12% 0.26 0.2925
Back Against the Wall 1247 41.96 6.258 49.16% 0.911 0.9411
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 74 37.73 -2.104 48.65% -0.575 -0.3885
Burn Brightest Before the End 56 41.52 1.923 50.0% 0.145 0.2152
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1565 36.13 1.069 41.53% 0.217 0.5931
Downward Spiral 1725 38.75 3.385 46.26% 0.686 0.8516
Erosion of Will 1523 38.35 0.128 42.74% -0.107 0.1076
Intensifying Exploitation 93 34.17 1.945 41.94% 0.332 0.5739
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 354 41.58 -1.872 50.0% -0.319 -0.9003
Memory Fades to Dust 1788 38.26 -1.069 44.07% -0.127 0.1662
Power Corrodes the Spirit 680 38.83 4.763 45.59% 0.668 0.8293
Promising Farmlands 1655 34.14 -0.931 33.72% -0.451 -0.155
Shattered Fragments of Power 52 38.92 0.236 40.38% -0.483 -0.3955
Slow Dissolution of Will 72 30.64 -5.278 31.94% -1.007 -0.6137
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 191 44.66 8.07 56.54% 0.663 -0.049
The Border of Life and Death 12 36.08 7.272 41.67% 0.547 0.0677
Thriving Communities 709 40.22 4.173 50.21% 0.703 1.0032
Thriving Crops 40 33.2 -1.699 30.0% -0.569 -0.6705
Tipping Point 646 36.91 0.0 40.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 737 40.51 -0.259 47.49% -0.172 -0.0033
Untended Land Crumbles 730 37.47 -0.949 42.74% 0.004 0.2623

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7574 53.07% 41.26 -0.446 48.34% -0.211 0.9311
B 7961 52.68% 42.28 -1.69 50.94% -0.446 0.6094
C 10161 47.35% 45.47 1.409 57.71% 0.159 1.0467
D 7521 52.68% 41.55 0.011 49.34% -0.059 0.9954
E 4004 55.6% 41.99 -0.403 51.15% -0.326 0.578
F 4473 52.88% 41.5 0.519 50.06% -0.179 0.825
G 4035 53.07% 40.81 -0.491 48.35% -0.274 0.6943
H 4130 49.99% 42.13 0.179 50.77% -0.121 0.8716
East 998 37.68% 39.07 4.44 25.95% 0.045 1.0334
Northeast 648 38.89% 40.51 -1.796 28.7% -0.295 0.6547
Northwest 609 44.83% 36.97 12.976 23.65% 0.921 1.9627
Southeast 123 34.96% 39.45 -2.977 33.33% -0.424 0.4942
Southwest 105 24.76% 32.91 -1.904 23.81% -0.419 1.0379
West 1044 37.16% 35.3 0.568 19.83% 0.084 1.1912

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 53 0.0% 47.13 0.0 56.6%
Not Using Events or Tokens 139 53.62% 32.73 0.0 23.02%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 400 20.57% 59.84 12.149 75.5% 1.352 0.7298
Start of Game Growth 625 25.17% 55.69 7.658 72.0% 0.779 0.3662
Unlimited Undo 3009 51.94% 42.0 -3.239 51.05% -0.385 -0.48
Using Tokens but Not Events 1558 44.95% 42.1 0.805 49.87% 0.226 0.3016

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11478 16.77 2.55%
II 10203 30.59 45.77%
III 9929 34.74 91.33%
IV 2336 38.3 99.74%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.063 Win Model: 0.109
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 21973 51.57% 40.73 46.44%
2 7245 55.35% 41.5 48.65%
3 2956 46.71% 42.75 53.89%
4 1662 45.78% 48.42 59.93%
5 33 57.58% 30.91 30.3%
6 77 30.26% 36.9 42.86%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 291
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8914
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4485
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2313
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1206
Lose: Invader deck ran out 21
Lose: Adversary condition 11796
Win: Sacrifice victory 68
Lose: Scenario condition 279
Win: Scenario condition 290
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3975
Lose: Spirit destroyed 308

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1696 47.13% 54.25 2.938 65.21% 0.961 0.9256
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 685 62.61% 40.66 -5.337 36.5% -0.795 -0.6363
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 95 49.47% 51.44 5.662 64.21% 0.953 -0.0592
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 944 49.1% 49.92 2.005 59.22% 0.708 0.4958
Downpour Drenches the World 186 53.23% 36.75 -3.994 31.72% -0.597 -0.3504
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 354 35.31% 49.21 2.33 62.99% 0.621 0.0582
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1582 41.85% 52.83 -0.055 62.96% 0.414 -0.0649
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 533 47.72% 44.33 -6.751 44.65% -1.148 -1.554
Finder of Paths Unseen 47 29.79% 28.3 -10.811 34.04% -0.827 -0.0644
Fractured Days Split the Sky 332 52.11% 46.42 -8.065 43.98% -0.818 -0.1562
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 371 64.96% 51.97 3.723 60.65% 0.614 0.6115
Heart of the Wildfire 1190 88.23% 41.25 -4.33 42.61% -0.816 -0.446
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3551 55.46% 54.72 2.405 68.01% 0.605 0.1783
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 125 47.2% 54.92 4.416 72.8% 1.036 0.5433
Lightning's Swift Strike 1081 48.41% 54.42 -1.691 62.35% -0.113 0.1007
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 154 52.6% 61.1 12.73 70.78% 1.111 0.4952
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 385 43.9% 59.99 6.047 76.62% 0.339 0.0532
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 204 44.61% 54.37 3.624 66.67% 0.743 0.6406
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1094 55.09% 51.14 -0.815 63.07% 0.241 -0.005
Many Minds Move as One 368 43.48% 52.29 -1.915 62.23% -0.026 -0.1875
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1929 55.43% 51.12 -1.402 59.51% 0.003 0.0375
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1060 50.05% 50.84 1.007 61.6% 0.479 0.3122
River Surges in Sunlight 1822 54.36% 53.0 -0.598 59.93% 0.042 0.0699
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 260 60.0% 51.4 -0.706 58.46% -0.079 0.2603
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 271 53.51% 55.55 -0.45 62.73% -0.13 -0.1617
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1404 48.07% 46.68 -5.766 48.43% -0.709 -0.8188
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 412 66.75% 40.47 -20.845 34.47% -0.394 0.1814
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 21 60.0% 33.81 -1.931 23.81% -0.11 -0.0869
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 57 78.95% 51.25 1.785 66.67% 0.708 0.2564
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 63 47.62% 52.75 -21.37 71.43% -0.63 -0.3939
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 171 55.56% 49.23 -2.923 56.73% -0.777 -0.8647
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 73 69.86% 32.26 -7.942 23.29% -0.989 -0.7933
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1862 44.31% 55.89 8.252 69.71% 1.629 1.6073
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 78 41.03% 50.83 2.168 66.67% 0.451 0.1185
Shifting Memory of Ages 270 47.04% 38.89 -7.222 40.74% -1.11 -0.8289
Shroud of Silent Mist 202 68.5% 39.06 -9.534 37.13% -1.296 -1.023
Starlight Seeks its Form 433 55.43% 45.39 1.387 49.42% 0.438 0.2177
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1819 42.88% 52.56 1.817 66.08% 0.283 -0.1639
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 787 47.38% 55.38 -0.457 69.76% -0.011 0.1104
Thunderspeaker 1253 60.74% 50.32 4.927 55.15% 0.724 0.7423
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 62 58.06% 45.98 -0.303 45.16% -0.298 -0.0935
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 728 72.39% 44.19 -0.584 50.82% -0.343 -0.1685
Vital Strength of the Earth 712 51.4% 41.43 -11.403 34.27% -0.324 0.248
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 178 41.57% 54.04 2.536 67.42% -0.201 0.1803
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 227 45.37% 49.0 -5.247 56.39% -0.479 0.2788
Volcano Looming High 513 58.09% 48.76 2.232 61.21% 0.422 0.396
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 106 60.38% 44.36 -0.878 42.45% -0.203 -0.7369

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 28.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 170 30.0% 33.68 -10.627 24.71% -1.504 -1.3724
Dahan Insurrection 4 348 48.28% 48.14 -3.525 30.75% -0.685 -0.9396
Despicable Theft 2 15 53.33% 39.13 -12.444 40.0% -0.229 0.3124
Elemental Invocation 1 43 58.14% 34.6 -9.344 23.26% -0.573 0.2839
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2243 32.46% 63.15 6.362 83.33% 1.347 0.5757
Powers Long Forgotten 1 112 52.68% 42.08 -1.382 31.25% -0.58 0.3548
Rituals of Terror 3 96 46.88% 46.78 -12.556 25.0% -0.445 -0.3489
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 110 76.36% 37.39 -4.635 13.64% -0.239 0.9577
Second Wave 0 179 58.99% 39.32 -13.973 31.28% -0.964 -0.8779
The Great River 3 28 50.0% 34.82 0.0 10.71%
Varied Terrains 2 2 100.0% 29.0 -1.369 0.0% -0.087 0.7015
Ward the Shores 2 214 50.93% 40.78 -22.987 22.43% -0.783 0.2493

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10684 54.96% 46.34 0.303 51.33% 0.812 1.0033
1 Thematic 649 44.68% 39.36 -8.058 21.88% -0.162 0.483
2 Archipelago 6 33.33% 55.83 10.727 50.0% 0.127 0.5586
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2401 62.04% 47.77 2.434 54.64% 0.899 0.8957
2 Coastline 250 62.0% 47.37 -4.098 52.0% -0.318 -0.2627
2 Fragment 63 80.95% 39.81 -1.297 38.1% -0.021 -0.2877
2 Heart 24 54.17% 42.25 0.0 41.67%
2 Opposite Shores 520 57.31% 42.54 -8.294 45.19% -0.8 -0.7862
2 Thematic 181 38.67% 37.39 -2.177 14.36% -0.34 -0.1426
2 Top to Top 80 58.75% 51.49 -11.9 60.0% -0.733 -0.8309
3 Archipelago 16 87.5% 64.19 9.711 12.5% -0.107 -0.5542
3 Coastline 5 80.0% 34.4 0.0 20.0%
3 Other 52 80.77% 47.69 0.0 50.0%
3 Round (Default) 2214 49.57% 56.06 2.589 72.72% 0.481 0.1456
3 Sunrise 3 100.0% 36.0 0.0 33.33%
3 Thematic 53 26.42% 34.68 0.0 13.21%
4 Archipelago 3 66.67% 61.0 0.0 66.67%
4 Coastline 8 12.5% 73.75 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 49.8 0.0 60.0%
4 Other 34 52.94% 61.65 14.633 85.29% 0.517 -0.8126
4 Thematic 288 19.79% 62.21 0.043 64.58% 0.261 0.1818
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1151 51.66% 57.32 -1.496 73.76% -0.22 -0.3767
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 61.0 7.096 0.0% -0.205 0.4693
5 Other 31 62.07% 58.58 1.0 74.19% 0.121 -0.9532
5 Thematic 30 46.67% 52.3 1.188 30.0% -0.084 -0.0908
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 61.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 4 0.0% 73.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Star 12 66.67% 33.92 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 13 15.38% 47.77 -1.962 53.85% -0.054 0.5946
6 Two Centers (Default) 15 40.0% 48.0 -19.032 53.33% -0.355 -0.6894

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 911 48.58 3.34 56.31% 0.712 0.8411
Aid From Lesser Spirits 751 50.49 5.955 58.32% 0.806 0.6872
All Things Weaken 402 49.59 1.135 58.71% -0.389 -0.0814
Attenuated Essence 60 52.88 1.008 66.67% 0.008 0.0399
Back Against the Wall 718 46.05 -2.936 49.3% -0.77 -0.7402
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 48 41.5 -1.571 43.75% -0.362 -0.1758
Burn Brightest Before the End 32 36.91 -2.65 31.25% -0.548 -0.4772
Disintegrating Ecosystem 906 43.33 3.666 47.57% 0.703 1.0792
Downward Spiral 973 46.8 0.741 54.68% 0.566 0.7314
Erosion of Will 893 46.12 5.92 51.62% 1.007 1.2218
Intensifying Exploitation 44 42.68 0.903 45.45% 0.029 0.2708
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 209 52.25 -1.975 65.55% -0.336 -0.9171
Memory Fades to Dust 961 45.24 0.36 50.57% -0.019 0.2735
Power Corrodes the Spirit 408 46.53 0.822 53.92% 0.155 0.3157
Promising Farmlands 891 40.1 -1.147 37.82% -0.196 0.0999
Shattered Fragments of Power 46 55.76 4.929 69.57% 0.883 0.9709
Slow Dissolution of Will 52 42.83 -1.353 48.08% -0.201 0.1916
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 113 54.04 4.387 69.91% 0.35 -0.3621
The Border of Life and Death 20 59.55 0.473 80.0% 0.29 -0.1899
Thriving Communities 430 46.34 1.56 55.35% 0.424 0.7242
Thriving Crops 43 43.53 2.36 46.51% 0.251 0.1497
Tipping Point 373 45.77 0.0 51.47%
Unnatural Proliferation 461 47.0 4.031 52.28% 0.661 0.8303
Untended Land Crumbles 436 44.17 -1.001 48.39% 0.025 0.2834

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4390 56.96% 48.93 -2.076 56.95% -0.23 0.9127
B 4675 57.38% 49.72 1.465 58.5% 0.209 1.2636
C 5249 54.72% 52.3 1.871 63.29% 0.128 1.0156
D 4186 57.02% 50.15 1.47 58.82% 0.095 1.1493
E 2530 51.03% 51.63 0.232 62.85% -0.098 0.8059
F 2887 52.6% 50.07 0.345 59.13% -0.165 0.8393
G 2697 53.47% 51.38 -0.374 61.92% -0.307 0.6609
H 2841 51.87% 50.78 0.365 61.39% 0.356 1.3487
East 880 35.54% 46.45 -1.395 34.09% -0.62 0.3681
Northeast 547 35.06% 51.97 0.225 44.24% -0.149 0.8003
Northwest 482 30.82% 53.29 -2.983 45.44% -0.278 0.7633
Southeast 133 30.08% 43.79 -0.231 31.58% -0.2 0.7177
Southwest 74 22.97% 46.04 1.756 41.89% 0.562 2.0185
West 777 29.92% 47.41 0.952 35.01% 0.145 1.2517

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 26 0.0% 58.62 0.0 57.69%
Not Using Events or Tokens 62 62.9% 32.05 0.0 16.13%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 405 9.64% 71.9 2.381 84.44% 0.205 -0.4178
Start of Game Growth 609 18.72% 66.32 1.884 79.15% 0.264 -0.1482
Unlimited Undo 1917 51.42% 51.43 -1.332 60.98% -0.322 -0.4171
Using Tokens but Not Events 906 33.75% 51.04 -3.297 57.84% -0.004 0.0717

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5579 16.77 5.02%
II 7752 30.59 61.83%
III 4474 34.74 92.24%
IV 999 38.3 99.7%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.785 Win Model: 0.305
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11462 54.19% 45.71 49.21%
2 3441 61.16% 47.23 52.02%
3 2322 49.98% 55.25 70.67%
4 1501 45.2% 58.64 72.49%
5 32 70.0% 53.72 40.63%
6 46 36.36% 48.41 52.17%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 279
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4047
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4642
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 990
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 663
Lose: Invader deck ran out 9
Lose: Adversary condition 5370
Win: Sacrifice victory 42
Lose: Scenario condition 209
Win: Scenario condition 196
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2233
Lose: Spirit destroyed 124

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7138 46.2% 49.52 -2.428 46.97% 0.113 0.0773
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3674 59.77% 39.73 -5.732 28.91% -0.864 -0.7055
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 386 48.96% 47.84 3.696 52.33% 0.696 -0.3164
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4326 50.06% 47.09 0.242 44.82% -0.209 -0.4219
Downpour Drenches the World 1492 48.09% 37.94 -2.807 27.01% -0.65 -0.4028
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2026 35.44% 48.21 4.685 53.85% 0.897 0.3344
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7540 40.41% 52.97 5.583 52.93% 0.599 0.1199
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2755 51.19% 46.29 -2.267 42.29% -0.15 -0.556
Finder of Paths Unseen 500 50.6% 35.78 -3.391 28.8% -0.423 0.339
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2783 50.18% 52.56 -0.08 45.89% -0.149 0.5136
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 3166 61.12% 50.27 -2.15 49.91% -0.07 -0.0722
Heart of the Wildfire 6396 81.19% 42.48 -3.448 37.48% -0.365 0.0046
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 25945 53.06% 55.52 1.48 61.23% 0.524 0.098
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 393 55.47% 46.09 3.658 47.84% 0.598 0.1049
Lightning's Swift Strike 5369 58.33% 49.56 -4.589 47.48% -0.403 -0.1894
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1527 65.16% 51.67 8.121 56.84% 1.442 0.8262
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 4266 52.87% 60.92 5.482 69.55% 1.236 0.95
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1555 49.39% 58.4 3.345 64.31% 0.803 0.7005
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 6805 54.9% 52.2 0.962 56.12% 0.466 0.2198
Many Minds Move as One 2257 45.33% 52.95 0.112 54.19% 0.131 -0.03
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 12893 51.34% 52.52 1.31 52.4% 0.51 0.5443
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5027 53.3% 49.11 0.654 49.43% 0.22 0.0529
River Surges in Sunlight 11367 52.99% 52.98 -0.614 50.85% 0.081 0.108
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 867 51.68% 47.63 -0.391 42.33% -0.318 0.0208
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1591 53.21% 48.47 1.755 43.18% 0.287 0.2558
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 9107 45.97% 45.6 -3.171 38.99% -0.307 -0.4169
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2031 62.57% 40.4 -5.147 29.99% -1.121 -0.5452
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 131 49.62% 50.02 -4.215 43.51% -0.278 -0.2545
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 445 63.6% 42.13 0.777 42.92% 0.251 -0.2006
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 144 57.64% 45.19 -6.161 43.75% 0.025 0.2611
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 914 61.49% 45.51 -4.374 37.86% -0.566 -0.6533
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 351 66.67% 41.9 -7.062 37.04% -1.434 -1.2381
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8639 46.68% 55.02 0.409 60.81% 0.415 0.3933
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 769 55.01% 45.17 4.426 48.37% 0.572 0.2399
Shifting Memory of Ages 2021 54.23% 38.76 -6.337 28.25% -0.079 0.2026
Shroud of Silent Mist 1204 67.42% 41.2 -2.304 35.13% -0.29 -0.0176
Starlight Seeks its Form 3770 51.78% 47.66 0.231 44.69% 0.3 0.0801
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 7320 45.73% 46.43 -3.374 42.64% -0.297 -0.7443
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5169 53.28% 55.87 1.084 61.85% 0.274 0.3952
Thunderspeaker 6477 53.5% 49.08 -0.86 42.13% 0.057 0.0757
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 324 54.94% 38.11 -4.929 36.11% -0.391 -0.1868
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4289 74.79% 42.38 -5.271 39.15% -0.517 -0.3424
Vital Strength of the Earth 3514 52.35% 37.37 -10.831 23.08% -1.374 -0.8016
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 407 59.21% 41.76 -1.426 34.89% 0.025 0.4062
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 657 48.55% 34.61 -4.337 16.74% -0.139 0.618
Volcano Looming High 4464 60.73% 51.03 0.939 56.92% 0.57 0.5441
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 985 48.93% 40.39 0.911 33.3% -0.049 -0.5825

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 13 53.85% 42.08 7.559 30.77% -0.046 -0.2318
Blitz 0 1113 35.59% 42.78 7.567 30.37% 0.6 0.731
Dahan Insurrection 4 3322 38.16% 55.97 3.026 35.04% 0.842 0.5867
Despicable Theft 2 37 64.86% 48.11 -3.55 35.14% -0.071 0.4699
Elemental Invocation 1 288 65.28% 39.5 -9.013 18.06% -0.801 0.0553
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 9623 28.2% 61.85 9.086 67.9% 1.576 0.8043
Powers Long Forgotten 1 228 52.63% 41.73 -9.668 26.75% -0.841 0.0937
Rituals of Terror 3 316 45.89% 70.71 8.365 39.24% 0.8 0.8956
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 83 75.9% 36.9 -12.616 12.05% -0.505 0.6921
Second Wave 0 597 60.97% 45.06 -10.116 33.67% -1.229 -1.1434
The Great River 3 111 45.05% 30.12 -11.98 7.21% -0.894 0.4679
Varied Terrains 2 23 47.83% 48.91 0.0 30.43%
Ward the Shores 2 357 51.12% 36.34 -13.932 14.01% -1.852 -0.8203

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 95460 54.24% 48.71 1.189 48.21% 0.34 0.531
1 Thematic 3628 39.64% 43.97 0.898 22.49% -0.546 0.0989
2 Archipelago 102 78.43% 55.61 0.468 21.57% -1.547 -1.1154
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11630 62.67% 49.89 0.407 51.08% 0.197 0.1931
2 Coastline 2318 54.77% 54.46 2.822 57.81% 0.215 0.2708
2 Fragment 812 67.49% 57.88 11.526 67.61% 0.664 0.3979
2 Heart 369 72.09% 51.8 8.309 42.82% 0.952 0.9136
2 Opposite Shores 3167 57.69% 42.67 -6.861 33.12% -0.65 -0.6359
2 Thematic 961 40.1% 46.52 4.269 19.77% -0.076 0.1206
2 Top to Top 615 58.37% 52.91 -3.012 53.98% -0.509 -0.6071
3 Archipelago 38 71.05% 48.08 -0.586 13.16% -1.171 -1.6181
3 Coastline 42 61.9% 47.88 18.421 40.48% 0.706 -0.3182
3 Other 154 59.09% 54.5 0.0 59.09%
3 Round (Default) 6458 54.96% 51.38 2.203 53.45% 0.064 -0.272
3 Sunrise 82 43.9% 67.44 0.0 84.15%
3 Thematic 176 29.55% 65.98 17.307 34.09% 1.335 1.0511
4 Archipelago 12 50.0% 59.75 -22.947 33.33% -0.645 -0.8022
4 Coastline 54 14.81% 76.35 0.0 94.44%
4 Leaf 19 63.16% 46.74 0.0 31.58%
4 Other 86 51.16% 65.41 15.58 81.4% 1.194 -0.135
4 Snake 1 0.0% 29.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 1336 30.17% 56.22 -5.979 46.48% -1.456 -1.5359
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3925 45.87% 54.15 -2.444 57.55% -0.547 -0.704
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 63.33 2.682 33.33% -0.45 0.2242
5 Coastline 26 3.85% 65.85 0.0 84.62%
5 Other 108 46.15% 62.06 8.803 63.89% 0.645 -0.4294
5 Thematic 15 80.0% 81.6 0.0 80.0%
6 Archipelago 8 12.5% 72.25 21.537 75.0% 0.185 -1.114
6 Coastline 21 4.76% 57.95 19.026 76.19% 0.28 -0.4676
6 Other 79 40.51% 56.96 9.021 56.96% 0.119 -0.0845
6 Star 38 39.47% 44.5 0.0 34.21%
6 Thematic 148 35.81% 44.26 -2.057 33.11% -0.297 0.352
6 Two Centers (Default) 364 22.53% 48.02 -4.458 51.37% -0.946 -1.2806
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 52.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 5760 48.72 3.262 48.59% 0.398 0.528
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5138 50.2 4.728 49.84% 0.484 0.3659
All Things Weaken 3572 48.98 3.93 48.94% 0.615 0.923
Attenuated Essence 374 43.92 4.101 42.25% 0.567 0.5986
Back Against the Wall 4864 48.18 4.713 45.99% 0.546 0.5761
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 420 42.58 1.991 41.67% 0.315 0.5007
Burn Brightest Before the End 299 46.39 4.412 44.15% 0.618 0.6888
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5742 44.05 0.513 42.23% 0.116 0.4914
Downward Spiral 6832 47.91 1.028 47.97% 0.231 0.3964
Erosion of Will 5738 46.19 2.753 43.24% 0.416 0.631
Intensifying Exploitation 393 44.34 3.109 43.51% 0.455 0.6965
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1682 53.84 2.339 58.26% 0.283 -0.2988
Memory Fades to Dust 6769 47.0 -1.358 45.68% -0.16 0.1324
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3518 48.34 2.447 48.72% 0.346 0.5071
Promising Farmlands 5726 42.33 -0.142 35.59% -0.074 0.2222
Shattered Fragments of Power 320 45.34 3.06 44.06% 0.474 0.5621
Slow Dissolution of Will 389 39.95 0.578 35.22% 0.158 0.551
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1007 53.96 5.473 60.38% 0.79 0.0783
The Border of Life and Death 101 46.41 0.555 48.51% 0.128 -0.3515
Thriving Communities 3593 48.55 2.117 49.76% 0.238 0.5383
Thriving Crops 272 34.22 -2.406 23.53% -0.454 -0.5562
Tipping Point 1873 44.89 0.0 42.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 3593 49.94 2.628 48.43% 0.179 0.348
Untended Land Crumbles 3501 47.15 4.739 45.56% 0.618 0.8759

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 25403 55.35% 47.6 -2.498 45.46% -0.706 0.4362
B 27415 55.42% 49.79 0.026 50.03% -0.53 0.525
C 33567 55.24% 52.15 0.867 54.32% -0.382 0.5062
D 23704 54.45% 48.91 -0.638 47.83% -0.623 0.4311
E 17229 52.73% 51.99 2.909 54.6% -0.266 0.6383
F 17543 53.95% 50.02 -0.474 50.82% -0.539 0.4653
G 14018 54.17% 48.51 -0.406 47.81% -0.549 0.4195
H 15118 52.27% 48.7 -3.251 48.74% -0.818 0.1747
East 4719 39.04% 49.81 0.59 29.79% -0.949 0.0388
Northeast 3074 39.16% 52.25 7.391 35.04% 0.617 1.5668
Northwest 2202 32.91% 50.3 -5.108 35.01% -1.848 -0.8063
Southeast 696 46.12% 45.88 -1.241 27.16% -0.295 0.6233
Southwest 493 32.25% 45.42 -5.772 35.7% -1.429 0.028
West 3510 30.65% 48.48 0.89 30.31% -0.397 0.7103

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 166 0.0% 55.93 -1.423 56.02% -0.355 0.3087
Not Using Events or Tokens 1104 31.82% 46.59 0.0 20.02%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3561 15.1% 71.51 7.799 79.3% 1.031 0.4088
Start of Game Growth 7192 24.54% 67.49 5.437 74.99% 0.728 0.3152
Unlimited Undo 12707 46.92% 56.9 0.572 63.47% 0.446 0.351
Using Tokens but Not Events 8203 42.43% 54.4 5.189 56.8% 0.147 0.2228

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 45540 16.77 3.82%
II 52905 30.59 57.74%
III 29006 34.74 91.23%
IV 4830 38.3 99.67%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.101 Win Model: 0.651
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 99947 53.65% 48.48 47.05%
2 19319 60.71% 50.16 49.17%
3 6869 54.53% 51.66 53.12%
4 5394 41.67% 55.01 55.8%
5 104 35.0% 57.83 56.73%
6 648 27.31% 48.56 48.77%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1736
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 25921
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 29414
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4716
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5905
Lose: Invader deck ran out 104
Lose: Adversary condition 44280
Win: Sacrifice victory 400
Lose: Scenario condition 1245
Win: Scenario condition 1374
Lose: Blight pool ran out 16074
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1112

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-02-21 04:03:14 (Pacific Time)