The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2577 31.77% 31.68 0.066 82.11% -0.225 -0.0786
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1604 54.94% 26.8 -0.785 70.45% -0.432 -0.196
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1312 35.66% 30.05 0.316 85.67% 0.241 0.155
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1585 25.86% 33.38 1.773 90.91% 0.593 0.224
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1327 28.11% 32.2 1.299 91.33% 0.753 0.5203
Fractured Days Split the Sky 184 39.89% 30.53 0.957 76.63% -0.411 -0.0777
Heart of the Wildfire 2184 58.73% 27.48 -0.913 75.09% -0.003 0.3442
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3797 32.8% 33.19 0.525 86.86% 0.303 0.0051
Lightning's Swift Strike 2805 40.54% 31.29 0.356 80.68% 0.009 0.2771
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 318 36.16% 30.52 0.851 89.62% 0.636 0.2753
Many Minds Move as One 327 30.58% 31.68 1.201 89.3% 0.402 -0.1114
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2799 40.44% 30.63 -0.038 80.89% 0.023 -0.1741
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1268 37.58% 29.04 -0.198 82.65% 0.026 0.0738
River Surges in Sunlight 3777 34.64% 34.41 1.172 79.77% -0.327 -0.16
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2018 34.15% 31.23 -0.241 81.96% -0.201 -0.052
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1966 54.71% 28.7 -0.589 72.18% -0.284 0.1656
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2805 32.26% 34.39 0.896 85.81% 0.18 0.1152
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 681 36.42% 26.92 -1.023 85.32% 0.196 0.1771
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1083 38.06% 28.77 -0.395 79.22% -0.259 -0.0433
Thunderspeaker 2704 30.98% 36.2 1.425 86.32% 0.246 0.3062
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 548 72.88% 22.66 -2.217 68.98% -0.139 -0.1025
Vital Strength of the Earth 2198 34.78% 27.87 -1.938 65.65% -1.329 -0.4647
Volcano Looming High 121 43.33% 27.77 -0.173 85.95% 0.443 0.3423

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 403 44.14% 25.54 -1.803 68.98% -0.559 0.0139
Dahan Insurrection 4 651 26.35% 49.56 9.667 79.88% -0.474 -0.0733
Elemental Invocation 1 14 69.23% 22.93 -2.615 50.0% -1.259 -0.7942
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1518 11.15% 34.58 1.97 86.03% -0.478 -0.1027
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1150 20.3% 49.6 3.469 89.91% 0.018 0.4653
Rituals of Terror 3 339 52.21% 35.75 3.412 60.18% -0.834 -0.212
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 269 79.55% 32.42 2.529 52.04% -0.546 0.0783
Second Wave 0 480 58.54% 25.54 -1.188 60.83% -0.901 -0.4826
The Great River 3 29 62.07% 25.07 -1.219 34.48% -2.124 -0.6395
Ward the Shores 2 487 48.25% 27.56 -0.708 39.01% -2.176 -1.1455

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 16675 44.25% 27.69 -0.591 76.85% 0.135 0.4898
1 Thematic 2213 44.26% 32.69 0.761 66.34% -0.449 0.0478
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4130 38.59% 29.41 0.034 83.54% 0.243 0.4329
2 Coastline 274 40.66% 28.41 -0.309 82.85% 0.143 0.2777
2 Fragment 75 48.0% 26.75 -1.285 76.0% -0.346 0.0801
2 Heart 50 48.98% 27.7 -0.577 84.0% 0.327 0.6174
2 Opposite Shores 478 40.25% 29.45 0.118 86.82% 0.587 0.8139
2 Thematic 478 40.25% 35.41 0.585 76.36% -0.475 -0.4305
2 Top to Top 74 33.8% 28.51 -0.362 85.14% 0.132 0.2486
3 Coastline 8 75.0% 29.25 1.286 62.5% 0.193 0.1548
3 Other 44 38.64% 29.43 -0.238 88.64% 0.299 0.7009
3 Round (Default) 1194 34.85% 29.41 -0.229 85.93% 0.021 0.0524
3 Sunrise 11 9.09% 31.73 0.926 90.91% 0.005 -0.2479
3 Thematic 93 36.56% 37.53 -0.131 79.57% -0.817 -1.1556
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 29.25 0.233 100.0% 0.344 0.4239
4 Other 27 37.04% 29.11 0.131 88.89% 0.03 0.1106
4 Thematic 832 5.9% 56.46 3.291 97.96% -0.111 -1.1894
4 Trapezoid (Default) 628 33.65% 29.57 -0.525 84.24% -0.486 -0.5183
5 Other 1 100.0% 18.0 -2.048 100.0% 0.096 -0.1208
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 35.5 -0.431 100.0% 0.152 -2.6152

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1120 22.46 -4.06 60.18% -2.187 -0.1193
Aid From Lesser Spirits 946 22.46 -4.037 56.66% -2.347 -0.4304
All Things Weaken 242 20.97 -4.506 55.79% -2.443 -0.2826
Back Against the Wall 899 22.75 -3.923 57.62% -2.332 -0.24
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1005 18.67 -5.935 51.94% -2.544 -0.323
Downward Spiral 1562 21.95 -4.358 62.87% -2.106 -0.0917
Erosion of Will 1054 21.75 -4.418 56.36% -2.337 -0.1255
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 118 27.58 -1.243 86.44% -0.663 0.0491
Memory Fades to Dust 1525 21.48 -4.588 58.36% -2.286 -0.0705
Power Corrodes the Spirit 287 20.93 -4.556 57.84% -2.324 -0.3039
Promising Farmlands 1012 19.76 -5.464 52.37% -2.548 -0.3336
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 81 29.1 -0.488 95.06% 0.365 0.7825
Thriving Communities 256 18.79 -5.484 52.73% -2.525 -0.4178
Tipping Point 625 20.24 -5.248 53.6% -2.385 -0.1685
Unnatural Proliferation 269 20.79 -4.601 54.65% -2.467 -0.3863
Untended Land Crumbles 237 19.79 -5.12 57.38% -2.334 -0.239

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5876 41.78% 28.46 -0.309 79.59% 0.018 -1.0554
B 6258 41.75% 28.37 -0.317 79.71% -0.032 -1.1961
C 6312 39.64% 28.78 -0.113 80.75% 0.026 -1.3711
D 6001 39.04% 28.84 -0.095 80.67% -0.0 -1.1585
E 1183 42.42% 28.45 -0.087 83.69% 0.197 -1.0597
F 2615 40.97% 28.21 -0.323 81.34% -0.014 -1.2397
G 2546 42.47% 27.92 -0.477 80.13% -0.129 -1.3413
H 2504 40.28% 28.57 -0.162 82.47% 0.089 -1.1326
East 1583 23.15% 46.85 2.768 86.36% 0.407 -0.5293
Northeast 1724 24.52% 45.13 2.28 84.63% 0.243 -0.6264
Northwest 1486 22.09% 46.54 2.197 87.08% 0.425 -0.5205
Southeast 182 36.81% 33.71 0.638 71.98% -0.04 -1.0232
Southwest 166 46.39% 27.51 -2.884 60.24% -0.563 -1.1882
West 1599 24.34% 45.05 1.615 81.93% -0.264 -0.9291

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 101 0.0% 31.75 -1.105 86.14% -1.459 0.5796
Not Using Events or Tokens 675 50.69% 27.78 -0.286 74.81% 0.065 0.285
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1075 2.51% 53.1 4.031 97.86% 0.78 0.0745
Start of Game Growth 1276 6.52% 49.6 3.104 95.69% 0.141 -0.3185
Unlimited Undo 1246 33.76% 31.18 0.522 84.91% 0.227 -0.1752
Using Tokens but Not Events 2846 34.3% 30.14 0.353 84.57% 0.306 0.2597

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3127 22.34 37.7%
II 9477 30.71 71.78%
III 10128 34.23 88.35%
IV 4559 37.48 98.73%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.366 Win Model: 0.441
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 18902 44.25% 28.28 75.64%
2 5560 39.09% 29.81 83.08%
3 1342 35.25% 29.98 85.39%
4 1485 18.14% 44.64 92.12%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 784
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6299
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4258
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3288
Lose: Invader deck ran out 173
Lose: Adversary condition 1461
Win: Sacrifice victory 106
Lose: Scenario condition 252
Win: Scenario condition 710
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3777
Lose: Spirit destroyed 197

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1437 45.98% 31.74 0.625 73.9% -0.014 0.1329
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 939 65.67% 29.04 -0.15 63.05% -0.263 -0.0261
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 741 55.62% 30.99 0.387 73.01% 0.202 0.1152
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1004 36.89% 36.38 2.859 83.07% 0.537 0.1682
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 861 47.38% 34.27 2.025 81.3% 0.637 0.4036
Fractured Days Split the Sky 68 55.88% 32.78 1.502 70.59% -0.014 0.3195
Heart of the Wildfire 1248 78.66% 24.54 -2.197 54.65% -0.353 -0.0059
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2113 55.71% 30.43 0.415 74.78% 0.281 -0.0172
Lightning's Swift Strike 1487 59.84% 30.03 0.06 67.85% -0.031 0.2377
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 247 53.88% 32.06 1.293 80.57% 0.572 0.2116
Many Minds Move as One 228 34.65% 35.88 2.719 86.4% 0.707 0.1938
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1358 65.01% 30.03 0.208 70.91% 0.206 0.0086
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 786 55.92% 30.2 0.086 70.74% 0.049 0.096
River Surges in Sunlight 1784 59.79% 30.41 0.293 61.94% -0.392 -0.2246
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1115 54.4% 29.73 -0.148 68.16% -0.177 -0.0275
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 985 76.48% 25.69 -1.72 51.57% -0.549 -0.1001
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1511 52.53% 31.63 0.796 72.53% 0.108 0.0439
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 393 51.4% 29.28 -0.488 77.86% 0.307 0.2882
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 667 53.08% 29.05 -0.665 64.47% -0.372 -0.1563
Thunderspeaker 1376 56.33% 32.11 0.897 70.57% 0.079 0.139
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 311 82.9% 23.29 -2.582 53.7% -0.364 -0.3274
Vital Strength of the Earth 1262 55.2% 25.41 -2.47 48.49% -1.168 -0.3037
Volcano Looming High 75 72.97% 24.68 -1.781 61.33% -0.276 -0.3772

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 369 55.59% 26.88 -1.831 60.16% -0.475 0.0972
Dahan Insurrection 4 326 37.42% 51.33 10.096 74.54% -0.218 0.1831
Elemental Invocation 1 4 100.0% 30.0 1.404 75.0% 0.449 0.9141
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 743 28.09% 33.5 1.208 69.72% -0.534 -0.1587
Powers Long Forgotten 1 361 66.48% 30.45 0.341 51.8% -0.658 -0.2105
Rituals of Terror 3 197 64.47% 36.29 3.038 50.25% -0.786 -0.1644
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 164 82.21% 33.05 1.78 42.07% -0.697 -0.0729
Second Wave 0 1260 58.27% 30.38 0.458 61.11% -0.509 -0.0902
The Great River 3 9 55.56% 33.0 1.41 44.44% -0.998 0.4871
Ward the Shores 2 289 58.13% 27.07 -1.527 28.72% -2.215 -1.1849

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8902 58.2% 28.18 -0.821 64.87% -0.48 -0.1252
1 Thematic 1786 55.16% 33.59 1.435 59.29% -0.56 -0.0629
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2139 60.61% 29.32 -0.126 70.5% -0.108 0.0811
2 Coastline 192 60.11% 30.61 0.407 75.52% 0.096 0.2311
2 Fragment 65 59.38% 29.2 -0.033 67.69% -0.15 0.2757
2 Heart 36 68.57% 27.86 -0.487 66.67% -0.198 0.0923
2 Opposite Shores 393 56.15% 30.08 -0.043 74.3% -0.094 0.1329
2 Thematic 471 56.26% 33.95 0.801 59.66% -0.299 -0.255
2 Top to Top 59 72.88% 29.02 0.229 76.27% 0.311 0.4273
3 Coastline 5 60.0% 23.2 -2.756 40.0% -0.608 -0.6458
3 Other 45 40.0% 33.58 1.337 86.67% 0.438 0.8404
3 Round (Default) 776 54.92% 31.27 0.607 77.45% 0.32 0.3512
3 Sunrise 11 54.55% 27.73 -1.192 72.73% -0.158 -0.4112
3 Thematic 85 61.18% 32.82 -0.088 60.0% -0.055 -0.394
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 31.0 1.778 100.0% 0.627 0.7065
4 Other 17 47.06% 35.94 1.451 88.24% 0.455 0.5356
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 -0.751 100.0% 0.299 0.4246
4 Thematic 136 49.63% 37.05 0.67 73.53% 0.536 -0.5419
4 Trapezoid (Default) 305 53.33% 31.71 0.151 73.11% -0.021 -0.0536
5 Other 4 50.0% 32.75 0.619 75.0% -0.329 -0.5457

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 861 24.67 -3.609 51.22% -1.865 0.2032
Aid From Lesser Spirits 706 25.19 -3.306 50.57% -1.958 -0.0411
All Things Weaken 197 23.04 -4.075 50.76% -1.838 0.3223
Back Against the Wall 685 24.91 -3.413 51.68% -1.867 0.2247
Disintegrating Ecosystem 740 21.08 -5.267 47.43% -2.027 0.1944
Downward Spiral 1252 23.8 -3.854 56.87% -1.611 0.4029
Erosion of Will 852 23.51 -4.13 47.65% -1.985 0.2263
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 72 30.61 -0.46 81.94% -0.438 0.2734
Memory Fades to Dust 1253 23.65 -3.975 52.59% -1.823 0.393
Power Corrodes the Spirit 199 22.98 -4.108 51.76% -1.854 0.1656
Promising Farmlands 827 21.38 -5.119 43.77% -2.173 0.0415
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 42 31.36 -0.168 80.95% -0.212 0.205
Thriving Communities 218 21.05 -5.232 41.74% -2.278 -0.171
Tipping Point 530 23.35 -4.229 49.43% -1.854 0.3623
Unnatural Proliferation 238 24.54 -3.638 48.74% -1.988 0.092
Untended Land Crumbles 212 23.78 -3.763 54.72% -1.713 0.3827

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3380 59.8% 28.5 -0.448 67.04% 0.283 -0.7898
B 3537 58.55% 29.51 0.069 70.6% 0.478 -0.6861
C 3466 57.04% 29.59 0.099 69.82% 0.404 -0.9925
D 3321 58.65% 29.16 -0.101 68.62% 0.362 -0.7957
E 724 56.65% 29.27 -0.2 70.03% 0.279 -0.9781
F 1406 56.91% 29.25 -0.318 69.35% 0.232 -0.9943
G 1329 57.84% 29.13 -0.349 68.4% 0.235 -0.9774
H 1374 54.56% 30.24 0.127 72.05% 0.403 -0.8186
East 812 54.01% 35.69 1.917 63.18% 0.365 -0.5707
Northeast 821 54.33% 34.9 1.43 63.58% 0.316 -0.5536
Northwest 727 54.48% 34.34 1.191 63.96% 0.398 -0.5472
Southeast 148 47.97% 34.05 0.723 64.86% 0.085 -0.8985
Southwest 147 56.16% 29.85 -1.547 63.27% 0.09 -0.5348
West 840 58.23% 32.83 0.177 55.48% -0.106 -0.7717

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 61 0.0% 26.49 -3.865 57.38% -2.091 -0.0518
Not Using Events or Tokens 332 65.53% 27.85 -0.596 63.25% -0.025 0.1957
Skip Initial Invader Actions 290 19.26% 45.07 4.717 90.69% 0.916 0.2096
Start of Game Growth 392 22.04% 43.05 4.151 89.54% 0.82 0.3613
Unlimited Undo 956 52.51% 30.68 0.042 70.92% -0.07 -0.4729
Using Tokens but Not Events 1579 54.97% 29.3 -0.215 69.35% 0.024 -0.0217

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2012 22.34 9.19%
II 4699 30.71 47.95%
III 5690 34.23 84.08%
IV 3030 37.48 98.91%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.178 Win Model: -0.287
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 10703 57.67% 29.1 63.99%
2 3354 59.83% 30.1 69.71%
3 911 54.69% 31.36 75.63%
4 463 52.3% 33.46 74.08%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 139
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3378
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1393
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2180
Lose: Invader deck ran out 67
Lose: Adversary condition 1336
Win: Sacrifice victory 57
Lose: Scenario condition 206
Win: Scenario condition 326
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3392
Lose: Spirit destroyed 211

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2622 35.91% 35.72 0.517 55.95% 0.094 0.2408
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1612 51.93% 30.12 -1.924 39.08% -0.548 -0.3112
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1496 38.53% 34.13 -0.253 53.61% -0.063 -0.1496
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1953 27.55% 39.46 2.432 63.39% 0.387 0.0178
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1255 39.23% 33.93 -0.374 49.24% -0.243 -0.4756
Fractured Days Split the Sky 216 37.67% 34.38 -0.003 45.83% -0.43 -0.0964
Heart of the Wildfire 2784 68.06% 32.94 -0.086 56.25% 0.342 0.6899
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4094 43.19% 36.5 1.186 61.97% 0.407 0.1094
Lightning's Swift Strike 2573 46.7% 37.94 2.067 63.97% 0.607 0.8756
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 473 42.8% 38.28 1.992 66.17% 0.493 0.1318
Many Minds Move as One 480 34.38% 37.47 1.595 61.88% 0.245 -0.2683
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2803 49.52% 33.34 -0.735 50.45% -0.097 -0.2945
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1439 37.79% 35.6 0.546 56.91% 0.141 0.1883
River Surges in Sunlight 3554 41.31% 36.37 0.817 51.24% -0.118 0.0492
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2487 42.27% 29.98 -2.353 39.65% -0.673 -0.5233
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1632 61.2% 29.42 -2.233 37.75% -0.585 -0.1356
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2794 39.95% 39.26 2.533 67.04% 0.643 0.578
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 913 39.14% 29.49 -2.357 46.0% -0.422 -0.441
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1209 39.11% 38.41 1.923 64.35% 0.487 0.7018
Thunderspeaker 2520 43.58% 38.15 1.805 59.88% 0.364 0.4243
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 760 68.29% 28.03 -2.584 42.5% -0.364 -0.3273
Vital Strength of the Earth 2035 38.5% 26.51 -4.002 27.42% -1.194 -0.3293
Volcano Looming High 211 51.18% 34.53 0.037 59.24% 0.172 0.0708

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 482 33.75% 21.49 -6.238 18.67% -1.647 -1.0747
Dahan Insurrection 4 633 25.43% 55.11 9.617 61.77% 0.217 0.618
Elemental Invocation 1 20 30.0% 29.9 -2.915 30.0% -1.212 -0.7467
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1306 19.4% 40.97 3.237 68.68% 0.664 1.0394
Powers Long Forgotten 1 386 54.55% 34.67 0.258 42.23% -0.406 0.0411
Rituals of Terror 3 186 51.08% 42.22 4.568 45.7% -0.074 0.5483
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 108 74.77% 36.56 1.881 34.26% -0.473 0.1515
Second Wave 0 642 46.65% 33.24 -0.663 41.9% -0.605 -0.1863
The Great River 3 6 33.33% 22.17 -6.417 0.0% -1.584 -0.099
Ward the Shores 2 406 39.16% 38.98 0.402 39.66% -1.146 -0.1157

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 17594 45.56% 33.08 -0.129 51.15% -0.101 0.2536
1 Thematic 1101 38.78% 34.34 -0.383 36.06% -0.464 0.0333
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4466 47.49% 33.89 -0.032 53.87% -0.175 0.0148
2 Coastline 406 45.79% 33.62 -0.435 52.22% -0.357 -0.2222
2 Fragment 95 57.89% 29.39 -2.03 43.16% -0.59 -0.1638
2 Heart 34 55.88% 30.68 -1.484 47.06% -0.426 -0.1358
2 Opposite Shores 965 48.49% 32.44 -0.547 49.95% -0.245 -0.0183
2 Thematic 468 38.76% 33.41 -1.602 33.33% -0.496 -0.4518
2 Top to Top 118 48.31% 36.16 0.987 62.71% 0.172 0.2881
3 Coastline 5 20.0% 46.8 5.275 80.0% 0.382 0.3438
3 Other 45 37.78% 39.22 2.428 71.11% 0.435 0.8371
3 Round (Default) 1582 43.75% 35.53 0.356 58.98% -0.158 -0.1272
3 Sunrise 8 25.0% 41.88 2.817 75.0% 0.214 -0.0387
3 Thematic 92 42.39% 37.46 -0.315 41.3% 0.171 -0.1679
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 20.0 -8.866 0.0% -0.682 -0.56
4 Leaf 10 60.0% 37.3 0.621 70.0% -0.094 -0.014
4 Other 35 48.57% 43.14 3.908 82.86% 0.892 0.9727
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 49.0 6.048 100.0% 0.279 -0.5136
4 Thematic 381 17.32% 50.77 3.898 71.92% 1.294 0.2157
4 Trapezoid (Default) 804 42.7% 38.12 0.823 62.44% -0.231 -0.2636
5 Other 6 66.67% 41.33 3.663 83.33% 0.196 -0.0211

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1233 30.64 -2.045 48.91% -0.353 1.7155
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1059 31.66 -1.548 49.2% -0.321 1.5959
All Things Weaken 363 29.26 -2.576 45.73% -0.451 1.7086
Back Against the Wall 1020 31.58 -1.587 49.31% -0.309 1.7829
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1178 27.34 -3.79 43.63% -0.607 1.6146
Downward Spiral 1485 29.97 -2.27 48.48% -0.264 1.7504
Erosion of Will 1174 29.21 -2.678 44.12% -0.506 1.705
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 180 32.29 -1.232 53.89% -0.156 0.5559
Memory Fades to Dust 1586 28.51 -2.964 43.06% -0.483 1.7325
Power Corrodes the Spirit 308 27.9 -3.12 43.83% -0.495 1.5251
Promising Farmlands 1238 26.06 -4.393 35.3% -0.933 1.2819
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 83 34.25 0.055 62.65% 0.317 0.7337
Thriving Communities 343 29.4 -2.451 49.85% -0.254 1.8528
Tipping Point 791 27.05 -3.757 39.19% -0.714 1.502
Unnatural Proliferation 321 29.86 -2.36 44.86% -0.51 1.5706
Untended Land Crumbles 331 28.92 -2.778 47.73% -0.389 1.7064

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6543 47.48% 33.3 -0.314 51.96% 0.49 -0.5837
B 7097 46.53% 34.19 0.201 54.53% 0.593 -0.5709
C 7392 44.34% 34.11 0.183 53.96% 0.579 -0.8173
D 6703 47.4% 33.26 -0.288 51.53% 0.485 -0.6735
E 1621 44.6% 34.87 0.542 56.88% 0.672 -0.5846
F 2902 44.44% 34.88 0.336 56.34% 0.59 -0.6362
G 2899 44.84% 34.57 0.187 55.47% 0.575 -0.6376
H 3008 43.17% 35.3 0.509 56.98% 0.624 -0.598
East 936 29.2% 42.24 1.911 51.82% 0.532 -0.4035
Northeast 898 32.55% 41.4 1.332 50.89% 0.21 -0.6594
Northwest 789 31.43% 42.06 1.513 53.11% 0.506 -0.4393
Southeast 96 28.13% 34.88 -1.711 41.67% -0.383 -1.3659
Southwest 85 30.59% 32.68 -2.644 40.0% -0.134 -0.759
West 984 28.76% 39.86 0.267 46.75% -0.199 -0.8646

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 54 0.0% 34.74 -2.007 53.7% -0.577 1.4618
Not Using Events or Tokens 263 38.58% 27.76 -3.353 28.9% -1.06 -0.8398
Skip Initial Invader Actions 310 14.38% 51.1 5.928 80.32% 1.175 0.469
Start of Game Growth 669 20.31% 48.15 4.316 74.14% 0.58 0.1205
Unlimited Undo 1662 42.59% 35.95 0.706 57.46% 0.148 -0.2543
Using Tokens but Not Events 1931 40.56% 33.52 -0.571 50.54% -0.234 -0.2799

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6858 22.34 4.26%
II 10986 30.71 44.65%
III 7524 34.23 87.67%
IV 2849 37.48 99.05%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.349 Win Model: -0.354
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 18702 45.16% 33.16 50.27%
2 6562 47.09% 33.6 51.75%
3 1723 43.36% 35.8 58.44%
4 1230 35.25% 42.12 65.85%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 198
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4794
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3238
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2177
Lose: Invader deck ran out 22
Lose: Adversary condition 10121
Win: Sacrifice victory 69
Lose: Scenario condition 276
Win: Scenario condition 552
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2956
Lose: Spirit destroyed 227

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2232 45.64% 39.99 0.339 50.81% -0.018 0.1281
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1278 62.01% 32.96 -2.656 32.39% -0.67 -0.4338
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1305 47.88% 39.83 0.523 52.72% 0.154 0.0675
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1686 42.87% 43.82 2.561 59.43% 0.448 0.0791
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1170 47.43% 38.17 -0.47 44.7% -0.247 -0.4796
Fractured Days Split the Sky 265 47.17% 43.4 2.298 50.94% -0.01 0.3237
Heart of the Wildfire 2155 80.28% 33.7 -2.117 41.9% -0.145 0.2028
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6072 52.81% 41.55 1.77 55.85% 0.352 0.0537
Lightning's Swift Strike 2347 59.09% 39.91 0.725 52.54% 0.206 0.4748
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 597 59.3% 41.27 1.344 58.12% 0.333 -0.0282
Many Minds Move as One 418 39.09% 44.62 2.344 62.2% 0.312 -0.2012
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2754 57.77% 38.89 -0.028 49.42% 0.062 -0.1354
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1334 51.43% 39.33 0.403 51.05% 0.105 0.1524
River Surges in Sunlight 3431 53.08% 39.6 0.422 45.29% -0.179 -0.0115
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2248 49.08% 36.2 -1.788 40.7% -0.536 -0.3871
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1310 71.38% 32.53 -2.989 31.83% -0.725 -0.2756
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3142 50.64% 43.46 2.882 60.95% 0.626 0.5616
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1116 49.01% 37.02 -0.922 49.64% -0.04 -0.059
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1019 52.21% 42.14 1.676 57.31% 0.364 0.5789
Thunderspeaker 2309 58.12% 40.82 0.949 50.71% 0.137 0.1965
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 884 78.14% 32.26 -2.823 38.24% -0.406 -0.37
Vital Strength of the Earth 1689 49.02% 32.43 -3.321 30.31% -0.915 -0.0503
Volcano Looming High 287 67.6% 38.86 0.582 56.45% 0.4 0.2994

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 308 37.25% 26.72 -6.451 19.48% -1.667 -1.0946
Dahan Insurrection 4 607 45.38% 50.8 6.167 41.19% -0.199 0.2018
Elemental Invocation 1 12 83.33% 29.83 -5.094 25.0% -1.233 -0.7673
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1354 19.1% 50.41 5.843 73.63% 1.225 1.6003
Powers Long Forgotten 1 203 63.55% 38.74 0.303 39.41% -0.229 0.2179
Rituals of Terror 3 126 63.71% 40.84 1.597 29.37% -0.665 -0.0434
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 85 75.29% 38.81 0.793 28.24% -0.616 0.0083
Second Wave 0 450 56.12% 34.78 -1.833 31.56% -0.766 -0.3475
The Great River 3 3 33.33% 25.33 -6.142 0.0% -0.893 0.5915
Ward the Shores 2 169 59.17% 34.59 -1.872 21.89% -1.215 -0.1843

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 18614 55.43% 37.76 -0.337 46.72% -0.193 0.1622
1 Thematic 879 43.74% 35.17 -1.379 24.69% -0.624 -0.1271
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4193 60.29% 38.5 0.084 49.82% -0.139 0.0503
2 Coastline 400 53.63% 41.03 1.047 56.25% 0.047 0.182
2 Fragment 102 68.63% 41.13 1.007 56.86% 0.045 0.4711
2 Heart 27 74.07% 47.11 3.895 66.67% 0.592 0.8822
2 Opposite Shores 794 53.59% 39.5 -0.022 51.89% -0.268 -0.0416
2 Thematic 264 39.39% 32.88 -2.25 19.7% -0.559 -0.5146
2 Top to Top 87 59.77% 38.56 0.283 50.57% -0.057 0.0592
3 Coastline 10 10.0% 49.2 3.835 70.0% 0.099 0.0608
3 Other 38 68.42% 46.92 3.93 73.68% 0.671 1.0732
3 Round (Default) 1700 55.65% 41.9 1.088 57.65% -0.04 -0.0087
3 Sunrise 8 50.0% 49.38 5.206 75.0% 0.564 0.3112
3 Thematic 86 26.74% 33.8 -2.298 19.77% -0.335 -0.6745
4 Coastline 3 100.0% 49.0 3.98 66.67% 0.012 0.1339
4 Leaf 8 37.5% 34.88 -2.841 37.5% -0.811 -0.7312
4 Other 41 60.98% 40.44 -0.084 51.22% -0.525 -0.444
4 Thematic 231 35.65% 40.79 0.952 33.77% 0.772 -0.3055
4 Trapezoid (Default) 792 49.29% 44.48 1.285 61.74% -0.22 -0.2521
5 Other 6 60.0% 55.33 5.04 100.0% 0.583 0.3657
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 57.0 13.964 100.0% 0.888 -1.8797

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1512 36.25 -1.407 45.9% -0.193 1.8747
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1308 38.13 -0.51 48.7% -0.084 1.8322
All Things Weaken 462 37.06 -0.903 49.57% -0.044 2.1163
Back Against the Wall 1324 36.82 -1.256 46.0% -0.214 1.8783
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1422 32.48 -3.263 39.66% -0.42 1.801
Downward Spiral 1852 34.93 -1.952 44.49% -0.165 1.849
Erosion of Will 1521 34.33 -2.311 40.63% -0.366 1.8453
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 199 41.07 0.921 57.79% 0.242 0.9535
Memory Fades to Dust 1763 34.8 -1.997 43.11% -0.218 1.9977
Power Corrodes the Spirit 407 35.39 -1.774 45.21% -0.228 1.792
Promising Farmlands 1483 31.37 -3.883 33.78% -0.719 1.4954
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 98 41.68 1.104 60.2% 0.317 0.7336
Thriving Communities 435 35.5 -1.738 47.59% -0.15 1.9573
Tipping Point 917 33.01 -2.969 37.73% -0.465 1.7508
Unnatural Proliferation 470 37.06 -0.906 46.17% -0.18 1.9006
Untended Land Crumbles 425 33.41 -2.748 40.0% -0.437 1.6577

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6563 58.35% 38.25 -0.186 48.41% 0.572 -0.5014
B 6969 56.56% 39.05 0.216 50.21% 0.617 -0.5474
C 7155 55.19% 39.53 0.593 51.19% 0.702 -0.6952
D 6462 55.81% 39.11 0.302 50.32% 0.656 -0.5023
E 1884 55.4% 41.45 1.32 56.63% 0.809 -0.4477
F 3309 54.38% 39.6 0.334 51.41% 0.596 -0.63
G 3107 56.75% 38.34 -0.336 48.73% 0.47 -0.7421
H 3093 54.02% 40.83 0.913 54.61% 0.727 -0.4944
East 675 37.09% 36.53 -0.604 25.33% 0.121 -0.8144
Northeast 648 39.78% 38.46 0.248 29.78% 0.323 -0.546
Northwest 510 40.47% 36.67 -1.169 27.45% 0.022 -0.9235
Southeast 56 50.0% 31.46 -1.865 21.43% -0.022 -1.0054
Southwest 57 49.12% 26.37 -5.322 17.54% -0.554 -1.179
West 606 32.73% 35.86 -1.542 23.43% -0.401 -1.0663

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 50 0.0% 42.18 -1.247 60.0% -0.2 1.8391
Not Using Events or Tokens 266 48.46% 30.25 -3.821 24.44% -0.975 -0.755
Skip Initial Invader Actions 497 11.85% 57.61 6.891 80.68% 1.194 0.4885
Start of Game Growth 598 14.69% 54.96 5.634 77.59% 0.872 0.4132
Unlimited Undo 2068 52.34% 39.9 0.436 49.42% 0.076 -0.3265
Using Tokens but Not Events 1531 49.97% 37.85 -0.873 46.64% -0.29 -0.3365

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9559 22.34 3.31%
II 8874 30.71 46.09%
III 6831 34.23 88.63%
IV 3023 37.48 98.88%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.424 Win Model: -0.393
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 19514 54.91% 37.65 45.76%
2 5855 58.15% 38.6 49.31%
3 1848 54.33% 41.71 56.33%
4 1070 46.72% 43.52 55.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 232
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4545
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2874
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2327
Lose: Invader deck ran out 78
Lose: Adversary condition 10131
Win: Sacrifice victory 55
Lose: Scenario condition 250
Win: Scenario condition 287
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4090
Lose: Spirit destroyed 289

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1843 39.35% 45.28 0.338 54.15% -0.084 0.0628
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 960 59.31% 36.32 -3.627 32.5% -0.9 -0.6636
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1687 39.82% 49.15 2.768 66.57% 0.536 0.4496
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1111 44.08% 45.62 0.97 54.91% 0.07 -0.2993
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1363 36.3% 50.43 3.289 66.69% 0.526 0.2929
Fractured Days Split the Sky 187 48.13% 47.73 2.266 55.08% 0.144 0.4779
Heart of the Wildfire 1818 74.08% 39.54 -1.812 45.21% -0.172 0.1757
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3774 47.12% 45.83 1.021 57.84% 0.198 -0.0995
Lightning's Swift Strike 1475 57.17% 44.45 0.702 53.63% 0.188 0.4569
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 452 54.2% 49.73 3.269 68.58% 0.703 0.3418
Many Minds Move as One 257 43.97% 49.83 2.979 66.15% 0.474 -0.0397
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2813 49.66% 45.11 0.525 55.31% 0.124 -0.0728
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 930 50.81% 44.4 0.553 54.95% 0.151 0.1988
River Surges in Sunlight 2578 49.3% 45.26 0.546 50.31% -0.184 -0.0169
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1541 46.68% 39.93 -2.421 41.66% -0.658 -0.5082
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 815 65.77% 37.06 -3.174 35.21% -0.744 -0.2944
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2302 45.13% 49.06 3.007 64.25% 0.576 0.5111
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 667 46.1% 41.52 -1.436 52.17% -0.163 -0.1816
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 837 52.88% 46.63 1.503 60.1% 0.282 0.4973
Thunderspeaker 1585 55.67% 44.25 0.281 50.54% -0.016 0.0442
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 538 75.19% 34.67 -4.354 36.62% -0.749 -0.7126
Vital Strength of the Earth 1056 47.72% 36.42 -3.777 31.44% -1.001 -0.1367
Volcano Looming High 172 57.56% 44.43 0.797 59.3% 0.314 0.213

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 161 36.65% 28.43 -7.475 18.01% -1.725 -1.1523
Dahan Insurrection 4 442 36.28% 58.38 8.107 48.64% 0.263 0.664
Elemental Invocation 1 7 28.57% 47.71 -0.379 57.14% -0.395 0.0704
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1079 19.31% 54.25 5.297 72.1% 1.048 1.423
Powers Long Forgotten 1 107 60.75% 37.25 -2.115 28.04% -0.731 -0.2836
Rituals of Terror 3 115 46.09% 39.68 -0.426 20.87% -0.897 -0.2749
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 140 68.57% 36.64 -1.581 16.43% -1.102 -0.4781
Second Wave 0 253 58.89% 38.57 -2.174 33.99% -0.732 -0.3133
The Great River 3 1 0.0% 28.0 -11.82 0.0% -0.72 0.765
Ward the Shores 2 198 57.58% 35.02 -2.834 15.66% -1.36 -0.3297

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12111 50.73% 42.88 -0.193 50.88% 0.016 0.3702
1 Thematic 710 40.14% 35.98 -2.822 19.86% -0.613 -0.1159
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2937 58.08% 43.14 0.052 52.54% -0.04 0.1498
2 Coastline 257 55.86% 42.43 -0.781 50.19% -0.328 -0.1931
2 Fragment 62 67.74% 37.65 -2.555 40.32% -0.562 -0.1365
2 Heart 20 65.0% 38.05 -2.779 45.0% -0.403 -0.1127
2 Opposite Shores 587 51.28% 42.61 -0.584 50.94% -0.207 0.0192
2 Thematic 260 37.69% 33.66 -4.073 16.15% -0.58 -0.5361
2 Top to Top 224 51.34% 48.83 2.529 67.41% 0.46 0.577
3 Coastline 12 33.33% 45.0 -0.581 50.0% -0.61 -0.6479
3 Other 47 42.55% 52.0 3.682 74.47% 0.418 0.82
3 Round (Default) 1512 47.09% 47.86 1.402 62.43% 0.015 0.0457
3 Sunrise 6 83.33% 41.17 -1.113 50.0% -0.051 -0.3038
3 Thematic 44 38.64% 32.68 -2.392 11.36% -0.084 -0.4225
4 Coastline 7 0.0% 68.43 9.315 100.0% 0.652 0.7739
4 Leaf 16 37.5% 53.38 4.274 81.25% 0.747 0.8267
4 Other 31 54.84% 52.26 3.059 74.19% 0.382 0.4627
4 Snake 4 100.0% 30.0 -7.387 25.0% -1.106 -0.9801
4 Thematic 207 39.61% 45.54 1.644 40.1% 1.665 0.5867
4 Trapezoid (Default) 826 43.84% 51.06 1.686 66.1% -0.308 -0.3408
5 Other 11 63.64% 55.73 5.664 90.91% 0.547 0.3299

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 984 40.59 -1.702 48.88% -0.194 1.874
Aid From Lesser Spirits 778 43.14 -0.534 53.21% -0.015 1.902
All Things Weaken 260 41.64 -1.136 50.77% -0.099 2.0612
Back Against the Wall 801 42.69 -0.841 50.81% -0.123 1.969
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1003 36.72 -3.706 42.57% -0.46 1.7614
Downward Spiral 1147 38.66 -2.508 45.86% -0.217 1.7968
Erosion of Will 964 38.6 -2.836 42.95% -0.476 1.7354
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 128 43.95 -0.175 57.03% 0.037 0.7489
Memory Fades to Dust 1193 38.26 -2.787 43.92% -0.344 1.8719
Power Corrodes the Spirit 237 41.57 -1.036 51.05% -0.037 1.9826
Promising Farmlands 1090 34.46 -4.876 34.22% -0.856 1.3582
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 73 43.77 -0.594 56.16% -0.095 0.3224
Thriving Communities 240 37.61 -3.033 45.0% -0.332 1.7749
Tipping Point 646 36.91 -3.609 40.25% -0.551 1.6646
Unnatural Proliferation 262 40.9 -1.466 48.09% -0.213 1.8668
Untended Land Crumbles 258 38.14 -2.856 44.96% -0.347 1.748

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4736 52.68% 43.18 -0.446 51.27% 0.621 -0.4526
B 4933 52.92% 44.18 0.089 53.68% 0.691 -0.473
C 6936 45.25% 48.1 2.825 62.73% 1.177 -0.2198
D 4726 52.78% 43.43 -0.271 52.05% 0.657 -0.5009
E 1207 58.29% 44.65 0.501 55.84% 0.778 -0.4789
F 2146 52.83% 44.23 0.043 54.38% 0.662 -0.564
G 1965 53.15% 43.64 0.131 53.38% 0.762 -0.4505
H 1996 50.48% 44.64 0.209 54.46% 0.676 -0.5459
East 514 35.99% 38.85 -1.806 24.12% -0.512 -1.4478
Northeast 524 40.65% 40.99 0.186 29.39% 0.538 -0.3312
Northwest 511 46.77% 36.94 -1.929 23.48% -0.027 -0.9717
Southeast 37 40.54% 47.76 1.346 56.76% 0.662 -0.3206
Southwest 41 24.39% 40.76 -2.707 43.9% -0.186 -0.8111
West 525 32.95% 37.81 -2.245 22.67% -0.496 -1.1616

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 39 0.0% 42.87 -1.903 48.72% -0.399 1.64
Not Using Events or Tokens 133 54.55% 32.78 -4.806 24.06% -1.156 -0.9353
Skip Initial Invader Actions 264 22.61% 62.05 7.489 79.92% 1.534 0.8283
Start of Game Growth 330 25.56% 57.29 4.822 74.24% 0.617 0.1577
Unlimited Undo 1635 55.06% 43.89 0.26 53.09% 0.116 -0.2861
Using Tokens but Not Events 926 48.31% 41.93 -1.266 48.49% -0.296 -0.3417

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6302 22.34 3.13%
II 6076 30.71 48.77%
III 6174 34.23 92.06%
IV 1339 37.48 99.55%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.568 Win Model: -0.383
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12829 50.13% 42.51 49.19%
2 4352 55.66% 42.67 50.6%
3 1612 46.83% 47.47 61.1%
4 1098 43.17% 50.12 61.84%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 126
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4168
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2058
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 969
Lose: Invader deck ran out 11
Lose: Adversary condition 6938
Win: Sacrifice victory 33
Lose: Scenario condition 184
Win: Scenario condition 246
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2367
Lose: Spirit destroyed 214

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1053 52.67% 54.85 1.638 66.0% 0.36 0.5067
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 489 62.35% 42.61 -3.328 38.65% -0.704 -0.4679
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 564 47.87% 51.02 -0.18 59.04% -0.071 -0.1574
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1025 41.74% 54.91 2.514 67.32% 0.494 0.1254
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 348 45.45% 45.46 -1.772 44.54% -0.299 -0.5321
Fractured Days Split the Sky 77 42.86% 51.14 0.863 53.25% -0.072 0.2619
Heart of the Wildfire 804 88.81% 42.06 -3.351 43.03% -0.444 -0.0966
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2412 53.05% 56.71 3.386 71.19% 0.57 0.2718
Lightning's Swift Strike 1009 49.25% 55.54 1.852 65.31% 0.42 0.6882
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 282 54.26% 54.22 1.282 68.79% 0.225 -0.1362
Many Minds Move as One 156 40.38% 54.33 1.77 65.38% 0.241 -0.2728
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1151 57.93% 51.7 0.741 60.03% 0.324 0.1264
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 618 52.27% 51.72 0.666 62.46% 0.223 0.2701
River Surges in Sunlight 1398 55.21% 52.84 0.844 59.01% -0.027 0.14
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 904 49.22% 47.78 -2.453 50.33% -0.582 -0.4323
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 451 63.41% 42.85 -3.568 39.69% -0.812 -0.3631
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1071 46.13% 53.67 1.314 63.68% 0.264 0.1992
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 809 44.13% 51.56 -0.846 63.29% -0.253 -0.2722
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 511 48.43% 56.54 2.485 70.25% 0.56 0.7753
Thunderspeaker 787 57.42% 50.26 0.712 53.75% 0.198 0.2581
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 333 69.97% 45.44 -2.014 53.75% -0.066 -0.03
Vital Strength of the Earth 627 51.2% 42.19 -4.457 36.04% -1.059 -0.1946
Volcano Looming High 96 61.46% 49.32 0.117 63.54% 0.296 0.1949

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 131 33.59% 35.72 -6.949 25.95% -1.44 -0.8671
Dahan Insurrection 4 209 48.33% 61.51 6.775 47.85% 0.08 0.481
Elemental Invocation 1 4 50.0% 48.25 0.946 50.0% 0.174 0.6395
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1181 29.72% 63.17 5.473 83.15% 1.33 1.7054
Powers Long Forgotten 1 114 49.12% 41.25 -2.562 27.19% -0.687 -0.2401
Rituals of Terror 3 84 44.05% 41.9 -1.874 17.86% -1.029 -0.4074
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 99 75.76% 38.33 -3.382 13.13% -1.398 -0.7741
Second Wave 0 137 61.03% 39.26 -4.555 29.2% -1.106 -0.6872
The Great River 3 1 0.0% 36.0 -7.605 0.0% -0.525 0.9594
Ward the Shores 2 200 57.5% 39.78 -4.401 21.5% -1.575 -0.5439

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5486 55.4% 48.52 0.295 54.59% 0.359 0.7135
1 Thematic 548 43.98% 39.89 -3.219 21.9% -0.342 0.1551
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1246 67.71% 48.04 -0.356 54.41% 0.059 0.2479
2 Coastline 126 59.52% 49.38 -0.135 57.14% 0.033 0.1684
2 Fragment 46 76.09% 40.04 -3.341 39.13% -0.248 0.1778
2 Heart 19 57.89% 39.84 -3.427 36.84% -0.351 -0.0605
2 Opposite Shores 275 62.18% 45.09 -2.584 47.27% -0.512 -0.2859
2 Thematic 124 37.9% 36.77 -4.724 14.52% -0.434 -0.3893
2 Top to Top 34 52.94% 55.35 2.749 70.59% 0.538 0.654
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 40.33 -4.459 33.33% -0.43 -0.4674
3 Other 31 83.87% 47.52 -0.959 54.84% -0.161 0.2411
3 Round (Default) 999 53.01% 54.92 1.212 69.17% -0.044 -0.0124
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 23.5 -9.909 0.0% -0.496 -0.7495
3 Thematic 46 26.09% 37.41 -4.237 15.22% 0.09 -0.2487
4 Coastline 5 20.0% 73.0 7.192 100.0% 0.395 0.5171
4 Leaf 3 66.67% 37.33 -5.26 33.33% -0.475 -0.3956
4 Other 21 66.67% 60.81 3.384 80.95% 0.21 0.291
4 Thematic 207 18.32% 63.15 2.762 64.73% 1.363 0.2849
4 Trapezoid (Default) 751 49.4% 59.18 1.747 76.7% -0.223 -0.2556
5 Other 6 50.0% 60.33 3.694 83.33% 0.117 -0.1
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 94.0 18.84 100.0% 0.545 -2.2223

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 568 49.38 -0.099 57.92% 0.181 2.249
Aid From Lesser Spirits 466 50.82 0.37 59.23% 0.149 2.0652
All Things Weaken 133 47.85 -0.856 56.39% 0.023 2.1826
Back Against the Wall 400 45.92 -1.772 48.75% -0.187 1.9046
Disintegrating Ecosystem 539 43.04 -3.229 46.57% -0.322 1.8992
Downward Spiral 604 47.12 -0.936 54.8% 0.156 2.1707
Erosion of Will 534 45.84 -1.818 51.12% -0.148 2.0629
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 70 52.13 0.554 65.71% 0.292 1.0038
Memory Fades to Dust 591 45.6 -1.909 51.78% -0.088 2.1281
Power Corrodes the Spirit 152 48.1 -0.946 58.55% 0.067 2.0871
Promising Farmlands 558 39.86 -4.624 37.28% -0.694 1.5202
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 40 57.55 2.765 77.5% 0.733 1.1504
Thriving Communities 152 47.43 -0.902 57.24% 0.132 2.2393
Tipping Point 373 45.77 -1.804 51.47% -0.072 2.144
Unnatural Proliferation 147 46.14 -1.862 49.66% -0.252 1.8281
Untended Land Crumbles 147 45.65 -1.58 53.06% 0.046 2.1417

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2358 59.22% 50.52 0.015 59.2% 0.474 -0.5987
B 2694 59.67% 50.15 -0.272 58.28% 0.425 -0.7397
C 3231 54.82% 53.48 2.278 65.12% 0.873 -0.5235
D 2350 58.12% 50.39 -0.259 58.72% 0.39 -0.7682
E 783 52.62% 54.29 1.202 68.2% 0.634 -0.6229
F 1329 51.99% 51.27 -0.176 60.65% 0.34 -0.8859
G 1212 54.63% 53.28 1.271 65.18% 0.725 -0.4877
H 1306 54.03% 53.02 0.827 64.47% 0.561 -0.6608
East 478 30.44% 47.74 -1.593 35.77% -0.384 -1.3196
Northeast 418 35.84% 52.31 0.393 43.78% 0.258 -0.6117
Northwest 366 29.92% 52.8 -0.305 44.26% -0.245 -1.1903
Southeast 21 28.57% 47.43 -0.437 42.86% 0.515 -0.4676
Southwest 23 26.09% 40.61 -4.788 30.43% -0.57 -1.1955
West 431 22.07% 49.52 -1.32 38.28% -0.544 -1.2087

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 19 0.0% 45.74 -5.216 42.11% -0.966 1.073
Not Using Events or Tokens 62 62.9% 32.05 -6.578 16.13% -1.172 -0.952
Skip Initial Invader Actions 263 6.95% 73.01 7.273 88.59% 1.805 1.0988
Start of Game Growth 387 12.96% 68.61 5.264 84.24% 0.611 0.1522
Unlimited Undo 977 48.82% 53.28 0.815 62.03% 0.157 -0.2454
Using Tokens but Not Events 461 31.0% 58.9 1.56 69.41% 0.064 0.0174

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2931 22.34 6.04%
II 4181 30.71 63.19%
III 2323 34.23 92.77%
IV 544 37.48 99.82%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.53 Win Model: -0.217
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6040 54.38% 47.75 51.64%
2 1871 64.22% 46.8 50.67%
3 1079 52.78% 53.92 66.36%
4 989 43.27% 60.04 74.22%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 131
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1604
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1607
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 449
Lose: Invader deck ran out 5
Lose: Adversary condition 3020
Win: Sacrifice victory 23
Lose: Scenario condition 116
Win: Scenario condition 143
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1249
Lose: Spirit destroyed 72

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4121 46.68% 51.03 -0.204 48.65% -0.048 0.0986
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2330 60.94% 40.93 -4.892 29.83% -0.982 -0.7454
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2545 50.43% 49.16 -0.72 47.9% -0.066 -0.1519
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3937 37.96% 55.78 2.453 57.99% 0.387 0.0175
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1631 51.14% 47.05 -1.772 42.06% -0.361 -0.5939
Fractured Days Split the Sky 882 49.32% 56.29 2.663 53.17% 0.078 0.4113
Heart of the Wildfire 4393 81.24% 43.77 -3.275 38.58% -0.479 -0.1317
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 13555 54.97% 56.08 3.177 61.5% 0.524 0.2265
Lightning's Swift Strike 5790 56.58% 54.16 1.877 55.94% 0.357 0.626
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1947 53.93% 58.23 4.0 67.95% 0.788 0.427
Many Minds Move as One 868 47.7% 54.57 1.797 59.33% 0.313 -0.2007
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7967 51.16% 53.71 1.173 55.13% 0.243 0.0463
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2926 53.99% 51.68 0.556 52.6% 0.145 0.1926
River Surges in Sunlight 7892 53.31% 53.38 1.182 51.61% 0.009 0.1764
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4976 46.48% 46.06 -3.059 39.85% -0.708 -0.5583
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2021 64.07% 43.35 -3.927 33.94% -0.874 -0.4244
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5118 47.09% 56.42 2.763 61.49% 0.471 0.4064
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2670 45.36% 48.85 -1.142 50.82% -0.02 -0.0386
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2748 53.32% 56.8 3.075 62.37% 0.567 0.7824
Thunderspeaker 4017 51.33% 50.76 -0.054 44.16% -0.069 -0.0088
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1962 75.59% 42.48 -3.94 39.4% -0.531 -0.4947
Vital Strength of the Earth 2813 54.3% 37.83 -6.74 22.04% -1.58 -0.7158
Volcano Looming High 797 61.76% 54.95 2.22 64.49% 0.607 0.5059

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 670 39.91% 38.38 -6.946 27.01% -1.343 -0.7699
Dahan Insurrection 4 2086 38.44% 60.07 6.133 36.82% 0.103 0.5036
Elemental Invocation 1 11 45.45% 47.27 -2.906 36.36% -0.715 -0.2495
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6191 28.1% 61.51 5.954 68.58% 1.198 1.5735
Powers Long Forgotten 1 180 52.78% 44.31 -2.812 28.33% -0.857 -0.4101
Rituals of Terror 3 211 50.71% 46.11 -1.501 21.8% -0.939 -0.3167
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 80 75.0% 37.81 -5.186 11.25% -1.642 -1.0172
Second Wave 0 453 59.6% 47.32 -2.508 35.76% -1.01 -0.5913
The Great River 3 10 60.0% 38.2 -7.92 10.0% -1.717 -0.2318
Ward the Shores 2 288 49.83% 40.07 -4.591 16.32% -1.539 -0.5087

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 43115 55.43% 49.68 -0.524 49.12% -0.47 -0.1154
1 Thematic 2412 37.75% 44.74 -2.895 22.06% -0.839 -0.3413
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6183 62.85% 52.93 1.256 56.04% -0.183 0.0061
2 Coastline 1121 50.13% 56.73 2.263 62.71% -0.097 0.0377
2 Fragment 313 64.86% 54.18 1.408 59.74% -0.269 0.1569
2 Heart 64 67.19% 45.06 -2.822 37.5% -1.068 -0.7773
2 Opposite Shores 1200 55.93% 46.97 -2.163 43.17% -0.908 -0.6812
2 Thematic 650 34.51% 43.07 -3.203 18.46% -0.075 -0.031
2 Top to Top 300 52.0% 57.71 2.958 63.67% -0.015 0.1016
3 Coastline 32 62.5% 48.38 -2.055 40.63% -1.005 -1.0423
3 Other 108 56.48% 53.9 0.586 57.41% -0.939 -0.5373
3 Round (Default) 3200 54.86% 53.91 0.857 57.34% -0.363 -0.3323
3 Sunrise 73 42.47% 66.6 5.364 83.56% 0.258 0.0049
3 Thematic 89 30.34% 40.82 -4.668 14.61% 0.152 -0.1871
4 Coastline 15 26.67% 75.67 9.144 93.33% 0.714 0.8367
4 Leaf 8 50.0% 48.0 -1.388 50.0% -0.435 -0.3554
4 Other 44 43.18% 64.18 4.524 79.55% 0.322 0.4029
4 Thematic 1028 30.16% 55.56 1.644 46.5% 2.446 1.3678
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1962 50.23% 57.16 1.461 61.72% -0.314 -0.3468
5 Other 17 52.94% 72.71 8.045 94.12% 0.551 0.3344
5 Thematic 5 80.0% 82.8 18.419 100.0% 2.544 -0.2232

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3152 48.72 -0.787 49.3% 0.073 2.1409
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2783 49.63 -0.514 49.41% 0.019 1.936
All Things Weaken 1079 49.31 -0.952 51.07% -0.035 2.125
Back Against the Wall 2626 47.62 -1.503 45.43% -0.138 1.9544
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3091 43.5 -3.369 41.64% -0.244 1.9775
Downward Spiral 3911 48.11 -1.431 48.68% 0.005 2.0191
Erosion of Will 3149 45.99 -2.242 43.38% -0.21 2.0016
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 544 53.76 0.963 58.27% 0.191 0.9025
Memory Fades to Dust 3787 46.87 -2.053 45.63% -0.14 2.0755
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1071 48.73 -1.046 51.45% 0.036 2.0558
Promising Farmlands 3108 42.11 -4.147 35.68% -0.538 1.677
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 307 55.25 1.665 63.52% 0.408 0.825
Thriving Communities 1084 49.51 -0.615 53.78% 0.167 2.2737
Tipping Point 1873 44.89 -2.689 42.18% -0.214 2.0022
Unnatural Proliferation 1094 50.77 -0.104 52.65% 0.071 2.1513
Untended Land Crumbles 1072 48.13 -1.415 49.81% -0.045 2.0498

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12775 56.69% 49.42 -0.777 48.02% 1.251 0.1775
B 13698 56.24% 51.39 0.205 52.53% 1.395 0.2311
C 16765 56.69% 53.51 1.904 56.7% 1.703 0.3065
D 12299 56.21% 50.24 -0.392 49.58% 1.298 0.1394
E 4902 53.13% 55.58 2.248 61.2% 1.681 0.4239
F 7414 54.71% 52.48 0.589 54.67% 1.401 0.1752
G 5892 55.96% 51.12 0.195 51.88% 1.413 0.2003
H 6328 53.8% 52.46 0.564 54.46% 1.412 0.1907
East 2022 32.35% 50.11 -0.616 32.05% 0.408 -0.5275
Northeast 2201 38.25% 50.9 0.32 34.76% 0.925 0.0552
Northwest 1592 30.93% 50.38 -0.887 35.3% 0.284 -0.6609
Southeast 152 38.82% 49.54 -0.781 36.84% 0.592 -0.3914
Southwest 153 32.68% 45.86 -3.194 36.6% 0.405 -0.2203
West 1840 28.28% 48.43 -1.734 31.3% 0.01 -0.6555

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 105 0.0% 52.98 -3.657 48.57% -1.094 0.9453
Not Using Events or Tokens 1089 32.07% 46.3 -2.125 19.47% -0.755 -0.5345
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1732 16.59% 70.36 6.499 81.52% 0.858 0.1517
Start of Game Growth 2807 20.92% 69.39 6.796 80.83% 1.05 0.5905
Unlimited Undo 6427 49.46% 57.33 2.961 64.24% 0.551 0.1486
Using Tokens but Not Events 4226 41.5% 56.32 1.865 61.45% 0.143 0.0969

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 20367 22.34 3.89%
II 25467 30.71 58.67%
III 13943 34.23 91.65%
IV 2162 37.48 99.54%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.606 Win Model: -1.227
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 45574 54.5% 49.44 47.74%
2 9827 58.5% 52.08 52.91%
3 3474 53.96% 53.75 56.53%
4 3064 43.3% 56.82 57.05%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 501
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10315
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10967
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1825
Lose: Invader deck ran out 27
Lose: Adversary condition 22364
Win: Sacrifice victory 130
Lose: Scenario condition 642
Win: Scenario condition 815
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7718
Lose: Spirit destroyed 522

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2024-11-22 01:58:16 (Pacific Time)