The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4212 30.73% 29.54 -0.385 77.18% 0.041 -0.0649
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 129 24.03% 22.94 1.417 56.59% 0.247 -0.2332
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2463 54.28% 25.74 -2.82 67.72% -0.589 -0.4633
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 131 26.72% 28.74 3.622 67.94% 0.311 -0.5363
Dances Up Earthquakes 87 26.74% 18.82 -3.249 48.28% -0.79 -0.7528
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2663 32.73% 28.86 0.831 80.02% 0.363 0.2259
Downpour Drenches the World 585 28.69% 18.98 -1.01 45.98% -0.177 0.0291
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 533 22.01% 24.14 0.976 63.23% 0.445 -0.1659
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3248 24.22% 31.43 0.649 84.05% 0.046 -0.3295
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2583 28.16% 30.47 -0.442 85.13% 0.075 -0.3157
Finder of Paths Unseen 236 34.04% 12.42 -5.77 29.24% -1.209 -0.4891
Fractured Days Split the Sky 696 33.72% 24.0 0.215 56.47% -0.106 0.5052
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 984 41.77% 23.75 -1.59 60.57% -0.344 -0.4437
Heart of the Wildfire 3425 59.94% 25.38 -2.756 69.66% -0.583 -0.246
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7077 28.87% 34.25 2.25 83.83% 0.463 0.0325
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 178 28.09% 20.42 -0.274 51.12% -0.077 -0.3917
Lightning's Swift Strike 3755 41.18% 29.62 -0.516 76.83% -0.132 0.0975
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 184 40.88% 25.51 2.836 63.04% 0.436 -0.0088
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 458 36.11% 28.88 5.578 77.95% 1.252 0.9411
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 373 36.02% 27.14 3.488 69.71% 0.524 0.3815
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1813 36.03% 27.99 0.464 76.39% 0.366 0.1378
Many Minds Move as One 1162 26.51% 27.18 1.864 71.94% 0.599 0.356
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4402 41.35% 28.5 -1.927 75.17% -0.224 -0.115
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 89 45.98% 19.25 -1.077 56.18% -0.245 -0.1262
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2526 37.31% 27.04 -1.067 74.43% -0.258 -0.304
River Surges in Sunlight 5780 31.07% 36.67 1.736 79.45% -0.127 0.0036
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 52 23.08% 18.13 0.297 44.23% 0.118 0.2934
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 625 46.3% 26.73 1.222 62.56% 0.159 0.4564
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 278 35.64% 25.04 2.096 60.07% 0.584 0.5
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3910 28.62% 34.84 1.143 80.46% 0.123 0.0121
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 25 36.0% 20.76 0.854 56.0% 0.233 0.1147
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2432 54.43% 27.17 -1.033 68.59% -0.3 0.1949
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 99 34.38% 21.33 -0.912 47.47% 0.222 0.1706
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 114 32.46% 29.43 2.481 72.81% 0.426 -0.0847
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 86 48.84% 24.9 -0.125 66.28% -0.529 -0.6562
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 322 42.55% 27.86 0.987 73.91% -0.116 -0.1043
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 243 52.28% 25.25 -0.242 69.14% -0.168 -0.0324
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4343 33.17% 32.18 -0.221 80.57% -0.259 -0.2106
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 217 24.3% 21.68 1.066 58.06% 0.306 0.0911
Shifting Memory of Ages 665 46.91% 20.73 0.443 55.04% 0.05 0.3445
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 86 19.77% 21.69 3.465 56.98% 0.446 0.3276
Shroud of Silent Mist 829 52.17% 22.0 -0.859 60.31% -0.113 0.2147
Starlight Seeks its Form 1146 28.15% 24.87 -0.497 64.83% -0.218 -0.3169
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1858 36.16% 25.24 -0.453 73.95% 0.098 -0.4328
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2161 36.95% 26.08 0.642 70.06% 0.284 0.3609
Thunderspeaker 4862 26.6% 38.32 2.636 85.05% 0.462 0.4984
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 167 34.13% 20.34 2.93 49.1% 0.95 1.008
Towering Roots of the Jungle 206 31.55% 17.68 -1.191 46.6% -0.312 -0.1624
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1255 64.85% 20.65 -1.059 59.12% -0.052 0.0939
Vital Strength of the Earth 3146 34.07% 25.66 -4.238 61.47% -1.198 -0.6301
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 181 30.9% 19.06 -1.137 47.51% -0.047 0.4745
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 338 39.88% 19.6 -4.735 42.9% -0.665 0.0766
Volcano Looming High 1209 42.49% 22.53 -0.32 62.78% 0.157 0.1716
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 264 26.14% 24.2 -2.047 63.64% -0.383 -0.6751

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 33 21.21% 22.52 12.107 51.52% 0.856 0.8291
Blitz 0 718 40.31% 21.56 -1.775 56.82% -0.095 0.155
Dahan Insurrection 4 748 26.27% 48.13 8.335 75.94% 0.025 -0.2234
Despicable Theft 2 179 35.75% 24.21 2.166 47.49% -0.301 0.1605
Elemental Invocation 1 300 43.48% 18.7 -4.043 40.67% -0.978 -0.275
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1616 12.1% 33.11 -2.399 79.08% -0.824 -1.3765
Powers Long Forgotten 1 2065 15.32% 49.16 1.679 86.59% -0.58 0.0437
Rituals of Terror 3 484 44.42% 31.37 1.475 54.34% -0.249 -0.0561
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 388 63.4% 27.82 3.465 46.39% -0.144 0.7786
Second Wave 0 747 51.7% 26.9 2.242 57.83% -0.307 -0.1895
The Great River 3 178 46.63% 20.56 -3.398 30.9% -1.446 -0.3782
Varied Terrains 2 107 42.99% 15.22 2.84 27.1% -0.064 0.6772
Ward the Shores 2 626 41.76% 24.68 -4.222 35.94% -1.173 -0.0893

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 32600 42.09% 26.28 -0.268 71.46% 0.06 0.5865
1 Thematic 4006 40.48% 29.47 -1.258 60.01% -0.635 0.2193
2 Archipelago 27 44.44% 30.85 -10.711 55.56% -0.28 0.7745
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7727 38.71% 26.84 1.127 75.2% 0.343 0.6207
2 Coastline 671 40.06% 26.19 0.974 73.62% 0.443 0.5454
2 Fragment 169 49.11% 25.92 3.204 72.78% 1.251 1.2639
2 Heart 89 48.28% 25.76 -0.389 77.53% -0.083 0.0289
2 Opposite Shores 970 41.18% 27.42 0.134 80.62% 0.258 0.594
2 Thematic 979 40.68% 29.53 0.225 62.0% -0.13 0.5594
2 Top to Top 138 34.81% 27.46 -8.484 80.43% -0.528 -0.2856
3 Archipelago 12 33.33% 42.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 26 38.46% 26.0 4.711 50.0% -0.018 -0.3582
3 Other 80 36.25% 27.89 1.859 83.75% 0.56 -0.0419
3 Round (Default) 2564 34.5% 27.72 0.714 78.59% 0.141 0.1473
3 Sunrise 16 12.5% 29.56 0.0 87.5%
3 Thematic 180 42.78% 33.14 1.658 66.11% -0.309 -0.2247
4 Archipelago 7 28.57% 24.86 0.0 57.14%
4 Coastline 5 60.0% 22.6 0.0 60.0%
4 Leaf 5 20.0% 23.4 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 48 33.33% 28.67 -5.602 85.42% -0.761 -1.3801
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 1825 4.33% 57.06 4.537 97.15% 0.506 0.7738
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1457 30.08% 24.59 -3.109 68.5% -1.255 -1.0907
5 Archipelago 4 75.0% 31.5 0.0 75.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 35 34.29% 20.14 1.059 57.14% 0.245 -0.141
5 Thematic 11 40.0% 31.18 0.0 63.64%
6 Coastline 3 33.33% 27.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 3 33.33% 24.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Star 10 10.0% 25.2 1.781 80.0% 0.076 0.0584
6 Thematic 30 16.67% 29.6 -1.435 56.67% -0.294 -0.1907
6 Two Centers (Default) 103 21.36% 22.15 -5.142 56.31% -0.303 0.2623
7 Other 2 0.0% 26.0 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1876 22.23 0.166 58.58% 0.241 0.4904
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1554 22.65 2.943 56.37% 0.669 0.5502
All Things Weaken 807 20.81 -2.986 52.91% -0.56 -0.2224
Attenuated Essence 126 21.79 -0.346 61.9% -0.017 0.0094
Back Against the Wall 1574 22.54 1.456 56.48% 0.073 0.0746
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 113 19.36 0.069 48.67% 0.138 0.3549
Burn Brightest Before the End 79 23.38 0.315 58.23% -0.048 -0.0668
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1688 18.92 -1.978 52.19% -0.395 -0.0024
Downward Spiral 2546 21.38 -2.11 60.57% -0.23 -0.1222
Erosion of Will 1777 21.88 -0.585 56.84% -0.141 0.2113
Intensifying Exploitation 113 16.74 -1.051 44.25% -0.171 0.0746
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 388 27.38 0.896 80.93% 0.232 -0.2917
Memory Fades to Dust 2458 21.13 0.282 57.0% 0.207 0.4544
Power Corrodes the Spirit 815 21.11 0.319 56.93% 0.269 0.4913
Promising Farmlands 1743 19.48 -0.166 51.12% 0.001 0.2834
Shattered Fragments of Power 81 20.83 0.884 48.15% -0.125 -0.0481
Slow Dissolution of Will 129 21.21 0.335 51.94% -0.394 0.0035
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 242 28.42 6.97 86.36% 1.417 0.7212
The Border of Life and Death 35 23.31 7.499 62.86% 1.106 0.5054
Thriving Communities 767 19.57 -1.163 51.89% -0.169 0.1877
Thriving Crops 60 19.35 0.42 48.33% 0.315 0.1192
Tipping Point 625 20.24 0.0 53.6%
Unnatural Proliferation 808 21.86 1.566 54.33% 0.397 0.5592
Untended Land Crumbles 717 20.66 -2.031 56.21% -0.735 -0.5037

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10773 40.36% 26.47 0.413 72.82% -0.215 0.7902
B 11313 39.82% 26.6 -1.014 73.81% -0.508 0.4111
C 11378 38.61% 26.88 0.42 74.31% -0.177 0.5575
D 10646 38.61% 26.84 -0.351 74.24% -0.302 0.6761
E 4551 37.72% 25.74 0.092 70.51% -0.245 0.5749
F 6602 38.79% 25.95 -1.647 72.01% -0.697 0.1771
G 6126 39.44% 25.76 -0.682 71.65% -0.519 0.2906
H 6063 37.75% 26.19 -1.158 72.9% -0.62 0.1944
East 4919 26.61% 40.67 3.158 75.58% 0.27 1.1723
Northeast 3465 21.54% 44.85 3.42 81.36% 0.136 0.9441
Northwest 2965 18.22% 46.72 3.667 84.35% 0.494 1.3938
Southeast 557 34.77% 28.05 -1.03 57.81% -0.668 0.183
Southwest 589 39.8% 22.93 -2.528 51.61% -0.418 0.9574
West 4521 26.18% 39.96 0.902 74.12% -1.373 -0.4185

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 186 0.0% 30.59 -1.642 80.11% -0.387 0.3211
Not Using Events or Tokens 780 49.08% 26.79 -2.416 71.67% -0.343 0.0247
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2351 3.6% 53.03 4.401 95.02% 0.444 -0.1404
Start of Game Growth 2803 7.4% 49.28 3.09 92.12% -0.141 -0.6546
Unlimited Undo 2972 30.8% 28.32 1.716 75.74% 0.409 0.2997
Using Tokens but Not Events 5210 33.97% 28.21 0.048 77.18% 0.089 0.0633

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9520 13.33 22.96%
II 16957 30.1 68.63%
III 18707 34.83 88.34%
IV 8645 38.67 99.02%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.178 Win Model: 0.562
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 36943 41.91% 26.55 69.86%
2 10559 39.43% 27.37 75.56%
3 2810 34.79% 28.13 78.33%
4 3325 15.89% 42.46 84.51%
5 40 37.5% 22.07 55.0%
6 150 19.33% 24.02 58.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2179
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 16065
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10959
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8477
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4171
Lose: Invader deck ran out 292
Lose: Adversary condition 3165
Win: Sacrifice victory 205
Lose: Scenario condition 395
Win: Scenario condition 1025
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6565
Lose: Spirit destroyed 331

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2605 45.12% 29.51 -0.016 68.25% -0.029 -0.1349
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 69 34.78% 22.86 3.66 49.28% 0.413 -0.0667
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1682 60.94% 26.93 -1.241 57.73% -0.314 -0.1882
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 70 35.71% 34.81 7.834 71.43% 1.288 0.4405
Dances Up Earthquakes 54 48.15% 19.2 -1.817 40.74% -0.342 -0.3048
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1943 48.06% 26.74 1.323 62.89% 0.249 0.112
Downpour Drenches the World 433 36.68% 20.36 -0.757 45.5% 0.243 0.4499
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 549 31.49% 24.56 4.042 59.02% 1.154 0.5433
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2282 36.71% 33.6 1.03 77.74% 0.294 -0.0815
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1863 44.76% 32.05 3.084 76.49% 0.904 0.5132
Finder of Paths Unseen 175 42.86% 12.12 -1.707 18.29% -0.915 -0.1957
Fractured Days Split the Sky 435 45.98% 22.76 -3.222 44.6% -0.708 -0.0973
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 729 56.26% 24.53 0.18 53.77% 0.271 0.1717
Heart of the Wildfire 2144 77.51% 22.54 -0.667 49.67% 0.09 0.4272
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4064 51.98% 29.09 0.78 70.72% 0.562 0.1318
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 195 42.05% 24.01 1.912 47.69% 0.428 0.1133
Lightning's Swift Strike 2205 62.12% 27.55 -1.118 61.68% -0.163 0.0664
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 167 51.5% 23.24 2.576 53.29% 0.553 0.1084
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 284 43.46% 31.52 -4.489 73.24% -0.994 -1.304
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 271 41.85% 30.55 -0.331 63.1% -0.199 -0.3411
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1514 51.95% 29.21 0.224 68.56% -0.009 -0.2365
Many Minds Move as One 939 36.93% 30.43 1.248 71.99% 0.497 0.2545
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2958 56.7% 28.85 0.242 65.01% 0.338 0.4468
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 99 64.65% 18.46 -1.017 43.43% -0.031 0.0879
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1894 52.3% 27.27 -0.789 62.94% -0.2 -0.2457
River Surges in Sunlight 2916 55.46% 29.81 2.81 60.29% 0.297 0.4269
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 61 50.82% 20.72 4.501 40.98% 0.214 0.3898
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 383 58.75% 24.4 1.878 47.52% 0.526 0.8239
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 239 49.16% 21.99 0.497 42.26% -0.152 -0.2353
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1922 52.03% 28.21 0.39 64.31% 0.059 -0.0518
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 30 33.33% 20.6 -2.051 46.67% -0.401 -0.5188
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1363 73.8% 23.44 -2.067 46.07% -0.218 0.2767
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 62 56.9% 20.31 -1.032 43.55% -0.261 -0.3119
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 125 58.06% 24.59 1.759 55.2% 0.551 0.0402
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 69 43.48% 21.83 0.819 47.83% 0.062 -0.0658
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 226 56.19% 23.57 -7.082 50.88% -0.559 -0.5477
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 163 67.9% 26.93 0.464 56.44% 0.268 0.4032
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2616 51.48% 28.75 -2.768 66.21% -0.426 -0.3775
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 215 42.57% 25.62 2.304 60.47% 0.586 0.3712
Shifting Memory of Ages 543 56.91% 22.62 0.55 49.54% 0.474 0.7686
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 49 46.94% 16.24 -2.176 34.69% -0.653 -0.7709
Shroud of Silent Mist 561 70.18% 20.75 -3.477 45.45% -0.792 -0.4644
Starlight Seeks its Form 793 40.85% 26.47 -0.58 60.91% -0.151 -0.2502
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1208 43.96% 26.89 2.601 68.29% 1.182 0.6514
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1473 53.07% 25.78 0.584 56.62% -0.026 0.0512
Thunderspeaker 2431 52.95% 29.45 -1.449 65.08% -0.234 -0.1973
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 142 48.59% 18.03 -2.322 36.62% -0.79 -0.7319
Towering Roots of the Jungle 169 46.71% 17.37 0.192 39.64% 0.3 0.4497
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 937 72.41% 20.72 -1.679 45.46% -0.508 -0.362
Vital Strength of the Earth 1978 52.54% 24.13 1.687 45.5% -0.489 0.0795
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 124 47.15% 20.2 -3.691 39.52% -0.54 -0.0189
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 239 46.86% 19.72 -4.238 31.38% -1.169 -0.4272
Volcano Looming High 835 60.98% 23.51 -0.79 55.81% 0.049 0.064
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 200 42.0% 24.09 0.019 53.5% -0.055 -0.3467

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 39 30.77% 18.38 -1.802 30.77% -0.356 -0.3833
Blitz 0 706 47.59% 22.52 -5.522 50.85% -1.233 -0.9823
Dahan Insurrection 4 479 40.71% 45.86 4.334 62.84% -0.433 -0.6813
Despicable Theft 2 157 39.49% 24.07 -3.728 40.76% -0.531 -0.069
Elemental Invocation 1 195 50.26% 17.61 -4.426 30.26% -1.099 -0.3958
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1283 22.71% 32.99 0.447 70.38% -0.115 -0.6672
Powers Long Forgotten 1 557 57.27% 25.9 2.689 46.5% 0.055 0.6784
Rituals of Terror 3 276 62.32% 32.64 -3.11 43.12% -0.896 -0.7034
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 236 74.15% 29.05 -3.424 38.98% -0.931 -0.0084
Second Wave 0 1765 56.35% 29.42 1.838 59.32% 0.112 0.2296
The Great River 3 115 59.13% 19.59 -1.597 19.13% -0.741 0.3265
Varied Terrains 2 102 44.12% 16.98 -3.765 23.53% -1.267 -0.5264
Ward the Shores 2 466 45.71% 24.57 -5.142 28.54% -1.813 -0.7294

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 21042 53.13% 25.85 -0.473 59.4% 0.33 0.8565
1 Thematic 3178 51.56% 30.17 0.14 53.21% -0.235 0.6194
2 Archipelago 24 54.17% 33.58 0.117 50.0% 0.05 1.1045
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5169 54.54% 26.97 1.096 63.42% 0.476 0.7536
2 Coastline 520 52.43% 26.94 -2.595 64.62% -0.37 -0.2675
2 Fragment 170 63.91% 26.75 0.339 61.76% -0.028 -0.0153
2 Heart 78 63.64% 25.22 -4.018 57.69% 0.016 0.1277
2 Opposite Shores 908 56.1% 27.26 1.687 65.2% 0.516 0.8521
2 Thematic 1369 48.5% 27.19 -3.047 49.82% -1.19 -0.5003
2 Top to Top 134 61.94% 28.8 -0.998 72.39% -0.019 0.2236
3 Archipelago 13 61.54% 33.85 0.0 38.46%
3 Coastline 19 57.89% 26.11 0.0 47.37%
3 Other 67 52.24% 32.04 5.116 80.6% 0.54 -0.0617
3 Round (Default) 1838 52.73% 28.39 -0.501 67.85% -0.294 -0.2877
3 Sunrise 17 64.71% 26.88 2.949 76.47% 0.782 0.7208
3 Thematic 190 53.68% 27.12 -3.54 48.95% -0.48 -0.3952
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 37.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 38.0 6.369 100.0% 0.209 -0.5493
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 32.4 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 32 65.63% 29.84 1.692 68.75% -0.422 -1.041
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 220 50.68% 36.32 9.558 70.45% 0.239 0.5068
4 Trapezoid (Default) 669 51.05% 29.59 2.083 68.46% -0.085 0.0788
5 Other 45 63.64% 24.56 0.0 48.89%
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 14.75 9.369 25.0% 0.201 -0.5962
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 29.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 4 25.0% 28.75 7.106 75.0% 0.607 0.577
6 Star 6 50.0% 24.5 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 42 34.15% 35.5 4.524 59.52% 0.165 0.2684
6 Two Centers (Default) 48 33.33% 25.85 -5.999 54.17% -1.465 -0.9005
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 3 0.0% 17.0 -6.723 33.33% -0.149 -0.5836

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1655 24.1 0.804 51.36% -0.134 0.1158
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1321 24.95 3.308 50.57% 0.492 0.3737
All Things Weaken 758 22.65 0.154 47.76% -0.018 0.3191
Attenuated Essence 138 21.4 -0.278 44.93% -0.271 -0.2446
Back Against the Wall 1292 24.55 1.221 51.24% 0.153 0.1541
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 129 20.01 -1.32 39.53% -0.407 -0.1902
Burn Brightest Before the End 99 23.13 1.56 47.47% 0.455 0.4369
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1449 20.43 -1.144 45.27% -0.115 0.2781
Downward Spiral 2193 22.84 -0.068 52.85% -0.06 0.0479
Erosion of Will 1612 23.07 0.357 47.46% -0.315 0.0374
Intensifying Exploitation 119 20.94 -1.002 45.38% -0.258 -0.0121
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 293 30.2 2.78 77.47% 0.834 0.31
Memory Fades to Dust 2218 22.44 0.588 49.19% 0.076 0.3238
Power Corrodes the Spirit 741 22.28 0.775 49.12% 0.149 0.3706
Promising Farmlands 1606 21.14 1.019 43.71% -0.138 0.1453
Shattered Fragments of Power 118 24.87 1.397 50.0% -0.008 0.0688
Slow Dissolution of Will 122 18.98 0.434 37.7% 0.082 0.4789
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 176 30.38 7.996 75.0% 0.873 0.1782
The Border of Life and Death 36 25.78 13.417 61.11% 0.436 -0.165
Thriving Communities 754 21.14 -1.074 42.57% -0.824 -0.4679
Thriving Crops 67 16.54 -1.929 26.87% -0.403 -0.5995
Tipping Point 530 23.35 0.0 49.43%
Unnatural Proliferation 810 23.87 -0.477 48.4% -0.498 -0.3356
Untended Land Crumbles 728 21.94 -1.982 47.94% -0.532 -0.3006

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7061 55.07% 26.33 -0.936 60.86% -0.506 0.4989
B 7353 54.37% 27.18 -0.292 63.76% -0.431 0.4886
C 7339 52.59% 27.57 0.383 64.76% -0.248 0.4867
D 6968 54.34% 27.05 0.325 62.79% -0.219 0.7591
E 3290 50.79% 25.98 0.04 59.67% -0.449 0.3708
F 4388 53.56% 26.25 0.733 61.26% -0.139 0.7343
G 3994 53.47% 26.3 -0.246 60.44% -0.49 0.3197
H 4063 51.85% 26.94 1.181 62.98% -0.206 0.6093
East 3247 49.46% 30.2 -2.759 54.23% -0.913 -0.0108
Northeast 1651 50.73% 31.45 2.972 57.48% 0.642 1.45
Northwest 1357 49.22% 31.06 0.463 58.14% 0.013 0.9134
Southeast 531 41.78% 27.02 0.23 48.4% -0.703 0.1474
Southwest 511 46.95% 23.85 -2.493 46.18% -0.115 1.2603
West 3027 51.04% 28.53 1.969 51.6% -0.022 0.933

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 130 0.0% 28.15 5.67 62.31% 0.636 1.3435
Not Using Events or Tokens 403 62.5% 26.09 -6.596 57.82% -0.714 -0.3461
Skip Initial Invader Actions 569 18.48% 41.9 6.561 85.06% 0.437 -0.1476
Start of Game Growth 798 20.05% 40.23 0.934 83.96% -0.105 -0.6186
Unlimited Undo 2672 44.69% 27.3 1.364 63.1% 0.4 0.2902
Using Tokens but Not Events 3434 49.89% 27.46 0.057 64.01% -0.014 -0.0393

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7185 13.33 4.77%
II 9895 30.1 45.1%
III 12037 34.83 83.23%
IV 6725 38.67 99.18%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.396 Win Model: 0.528
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 24459 52.83% 26.32 58.28%
2 8231 54.38% 27.35 62.33%
3 2078 52.65% 28.49 66.89%
4 933 51.78% 31.08 68.81%
5 38 62.16% 23.63 50.0%
6 103 33.33% 29.76 56.31%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 342
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9745
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4143
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6608
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3736
Lose: Invader deck ran out 129
Lose: Adversary condition 2950
Win: Sacrifice victory 131
Lose: Scenario condition 352
Win: Scenario condition 525
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6817
Lose: Spirit destroyed 364

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4715 34.35% 34.71 -1.567 53.15% -0.422 -0.5278
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 209 30.62% 28.2 -1.149 42.11% -0.263 -0.7428
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2517 49.82% 29.76 -0.765 38.7% -0.118 0.0074
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 212 29.25% 37.13 3.807 60.38% 0.642 -0.2054
Dances Up Earthquakes 171 39.18% 23.7 -2.923 31.58% -0.751 -0.7141
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2963 37.59% 32.25 -0.608 49.92% -0.109 -0.2462
Downpour Drenches the World 799 30.83% 23.87 -1.773 28.41% -0.798 -0.591
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1083 28.99% 35.16 3.283 61.59% 0.734 0.1234
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3948 29.6% 37.58 0.055 59.93% -0.135 -0.5103
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2427 37.92% 32.15 -2.523 46.52% -0.668 -1.0584
Finder of Paths Unseen 307 36.48% 19.51 -6.833 20.85% -1.959 -1.2399
Fractured Days Split the Sky 937 38.14% 32.04 -1.414 42.37% -0.364 0.2473
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1576 49.68% 33.32 0.948 50.7% 0.234 0.1346
Heart of the Wildfire 4513 66.09% 32.15 -1.637 53.51% 0.113 0.4502
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7377 42.52% 35.21 0.913 59.22% 0.471 0.0407
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 354 39.2% 35.95 -1.574 60.45% 0.062 -0.2528
Lightning's Swift Strike 3331 47.73% 35.19 -2.453 57.7% -0.592 -0.3627
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 309 46.05% 38.72 5.702 68.61% 1.036 0.5912
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 808 42.98% 40.89 7.311 70.3% 1.514 1.2035
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 606 35.81% 37.35 3.655 59.41% 0.716 0.5738
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3061 40.62% 36.06 3.044 61.68% 0.699 0.4708
Many Minds Move as One 1456 35.4% 34.73 1.901 55.56% 0.288 0.0455
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5453 45.0% 33.53 0.314 50.3% 0.181 0.2902
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 407 53.73% 28.35 1.437 48.4% 0.001 0.1194
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2899 38.31% 34.1 -1.023 54.33% -0.098 -0.1438
River Surges in Sunlight 6026 40.32% 36.61 1.257 50.05% 0.191 0.3214
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 113 38.74% 24.95 -3.759 33.63% -0.502 -0.3259
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 734 44.87% 29.41 -7.181 36.65% -1.739 -1.4408
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 635 37.76% 35.38 0.713 49.13% 0.062 -0.0221
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4048 39.8% 29.23 1.209 38.32% -0.115 -0.2263
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 46 41.3% 30.57 -0.343 45.65% 0.029 -0.0886
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1804 60.28% 27.56 -5.304 33.92% -0.868 -0.3733
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 108 50.47% 26.31 -2.537 38.89% -0.175 -0.2262
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 259 45.1% 33.22 1.471 56.37% 0.203 -0.3078
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 130 50.0% 28.93 2.459 42.31% -0.03 -0.1575
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 557 49.19% 32.24 -3.694 46.32% -0.333 -0.3208
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 234 60.68% 29.07 2.867 39.74% 0.459 0.5945
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4437 39.87% 37.09 -1.527 62.99% -0.18 -0.1317
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 297 33.33% 31.79 7.287 52.19% 1.274 1.0592
Shifting Memory of Ages 987 48.53% 26.81 -1.687 34.65% -0.248 0.0463
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 172 33.72% 25.08 4.482 41.28% 1.162 1.0438
Shroud of Silent Mist 948 58.5% 25.35 -4.958 34.18% -1.11 -0.7819
Starlight Seeks its Form 1389 37.82% 27.54 -2.31 36.29% -0.52 -0.619
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2519 34.34% 31.23 0.298 50.42% -0.01 -0.5407
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2454 39.37% 36.84 1.656 61.37% 0.42 0.4973
Thunderspeaker 4123 43.44% 36.83 2.766 57.68% 0.691 0.7271
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 194 47.94% 30.52 2.883 50.0% 0.817 0.8751
Towering Roots of the Jungle 293 43.34% 25.89 -0.912 39.25% -0.261 -0.1116
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1805 65.67% 26.21 -2.679 38.5% -0.182 -0.0363
Vital Strength of the Earth 2911 37.23% 25.83 -2.126 27.31% -0.729 -0.1612
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 248 37.65% 29.58 0.214 41.13% -0.276 0.2448
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 332 34.74% 24.92 1.23 28.92% 0.265 1.006
Volcano Looming High 1617 47.37% 32.02 2.071 54.73% 0.866 0.8805
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 683 40.85% 29.89 4.547 43.92% 0.53 0.238

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 54 35.19% 27.87 10.886 31.48% 0.998 0.9712
Blitz 0 811 32.35% 20.05 -4.59 17.39% -1.498 -1.2474
Dahan Insurrection 4 1274 23.08% 52.91 7.23 60.05% 0.24 -0.0089
Despicable Theft 2 152 50.66% 29.74 -2.855 32.89% -0.194 0.2678
Elemental Invocation 1 191 46.07% 26.2 -8.493 32.98% -0.723 -0.02
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1794 18.5% 40.01 7.782 65.11% 1.222 0.6695
Powers Long Forgotten 1 459 49.46% 31.19 -5.075 37.69% -1.039 -0.415
Rituals of Terror 3 236 47.46% 39.84 1.091 44.07% 0.02 0.2125
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 116 66.09% 31.29 -3.05 29.31% -0.181 0.7412
Second Wave 0 1090 42.71% 31.98 4.037 37.98% 0.556 0.6728
The Great River 3 77 16.88% 19.82 -8.531 5.19% -0.062 1.0059
Varied Terrains 2 75 44.0% 23.69 -6.543 25.33% -1.207 -0.4659
Ward the Shores 2 479 43.01% 34.24 -10.181 33.82% -1.404 -0.32

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 37832 44.06% 31.63 -0.575 48.39% 0.018 0.5441
1 Thematic 1569 38.31% 33.52 3.484 35.76% 0.22 1.0747
2 Archipelago 35 68.57% 32.0 -4.422 28.57% -0.587 0.4677
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9388 45.38% 32.66 0.195 52.65% 0.135 0.4129
2 Coastline 995 45.01% 31.87 -2.084 49.65% -0.195 -0.0921
2 Fragment 238 57.56% 28.79 3.638 42.44% 0.967 0.9795
2 Heart 91 62.64% 28.01 3.563 39.56% 0.319 0.4302
2 Opposite Shores 2043 48.21% 32.36 -0.87 49.73% -0.19 0.1462
2 Thematic 926 38.49% 29.03 -3.05 26.13% -0.854 -0.1647
2 Top to Top 253 53.75% 34.64 -1.212 58.1% 0.184 0.4265
3 Archipelago 16 62.5% 40.31 6.352 56.25% 0.073 -0.6475
3 Coastline 16 25.0% 30.75 -13.116 50.0% -0.395 -0.7351
3 Other 111 39.64% 30.67 3.586 48.65% 0.249 -0.3536
3 Round (Default) 4131 41.59% 34.62 2.445 55.07% 0.217 0.2228
3 Sunrise 10 30.0% 43.2 0.0 80.0%
3 Thematic 162 37.04% 37.59 1.757 39.51% -0.257 -0.1726
4 Archipelago 5 40.0% 54.0 0.0 60.0%
4 Coastline 3 100.0% 11.33 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 23 65.22% 40.26 0.0 69.57%
4 Other 94 28.72% 27.68 -7.127 48.94% -1.103 -1.7216
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 24.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 726 15.56% 48.67 5.213 65.84% 1.024 1.2912
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1647 40.87% 35.94 -1.003 58.17% -0.125 0.0394
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 31.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 84 57.14% 34.29 7.573 46.43% 1.113 0.7269
5 Thematic 14 14.29% 44.86 0.0 42.86%
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 32.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 9 22.22% 41.78 -0.329 77.78% 0.212 0.1812
6 Star 7 28.57% 38.71 0.0 57.14%
6 Thematic 191 18.62% 30.84 -5.088 37.17% -0.438 -0.3349
6 Two Centers (Default) 72 40.28% 33.15 -5.049 55.56% -0.799 -0.2337
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 7.409 0.0% 0.184 -0.25

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2225 30.5 1.283 48.45% 0.196 0.4456
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1903 32.38 5.122 50.6% 1.014 0.8955
All Things Weaken 1148 29.51 -1.025 44.6% -0.536 -0.1985
Attenuated Essence 198 28.32 3.067 43.94% 1.01 1.037
Back Against the Wall 1803 31.4 0.483 48.03% 0.01 0.0112
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 190 28.71 -2.206 38.95% -0.409 -0.1913
Burn Brightest Before the End 188 29.83 3.272 36.7% 0.282 0.2636
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2179 26.87 -1.463 42.31% -0.103 0.2897
Downward Spiral 2568 29.42 -0.04 47.39% -0.078 0.0307
Erosion of Will 2127 29.18 -0.159 44.05% -0.129 0.2233
Intensifying Exploitation 241 28.63 0.471 46.06% 0.281 0.5269
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 600 32.46 1.855 52.83% 0.46 -0.0646
Memory Fades to Dust 2701 28.97 -0.696 44.28% -0.237 0.0108
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1084 29.21 3.381 45.3% 0.888 1.1095
Promising Farmlands 2222 26.38 1.389 35.73% 0.059 0.3415
Shattered Fragments of Power 188 30.73 3.759 44.68% 0.521 0.5977
Slow Dissolution of Will 224 28.12 0.416 39.29% -0.023 0.3745
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 315 33.47 3.311 57.14% 0.44 -0.2556
The Border of Life and Death 78 35.15 9.664 58.97% 1.174 0.5735
Thriving Communities 1149 28.68 -1.562 45.78% -0.653 -0.2964
Thriving Crops 150 24.94 -0.98 32.0% -0.568 -0.7647
Tipping Point 791 27.05 0.0 39.19%
Unnatural Proliferation 1054 30.22 1.011 43.93% -0.149 0.0128
Untended Land Crumbles 1103 27.96 2.285 42.88% 0.317 0.5486

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 13301 45.3% 32.22 -1.095 49.64% -0.201 0.8035
B 14111 44.27% 33.07 -0.041 52.43% 0.03 0.9491
C 14826 42.81% 33.13 1.704 52.15% 0.354 1.0885
D 12868 45.73% 32.1 -0.54 49.55% -0.112 0.8663
E 6810 42.61% 33.18 0.909 53.22% 0.14 0.9597
F 8160 43.78% 32.64 0.543 51.16% 0.124 0.9974
G 7403 44.26% 32.29 -0.627 50.44% -0.128 0.6818
H 7532 43.28% 32.85 -0.158 51.83% -0.068 0.7468
East 2659 31.17% 36.96 1.076 42.01% -0.052 0.8503
Northeast 1752 29.19% 39.04 0.288 46.75% -0.354 0.4545
Northwest 1523 26.73% 39.51 1.219 48.59% 0.3 1.2005
Southeast 472 25.37% 33.86 3.527 39.83% 0.477 1.3275
Southwest 468 26.45% 30.84 -4.249 36.32% -0.872 0.5039
West 2533 29.7% 36.08 0.008 40.78% -0.292 0.6632

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 122 0.0% 38.81 0.968 62.3% -0.217 0.4913
Not Using Events or Tokens 290 37.72% 26.62 -16.326 26.9% -0.515 -0.1472
Skip Initial Invader Actions 639 14.38% 50.29 10.575 77.62% 0.499 -0.0855
Start of Game Growth 1458 23.16% 44.25 4.072 69.2% 1.186 0.6723
Unlimited Undo 4237 37.52% 34.26 -0.722 54.97% -0.146 -0.2554
Using Tokens but Not Events 3985 37.68% 32.24 -0.129 49.16% -0.064 -0.0898

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 16714 13.33 3.16%
II 22531 30.1 43.46%
III 15466 34.83 88.3%
IV 6031 38.67 99.34%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.329 Win Model: 0.105
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 39648 43.84% 31.66 47.77%
2 13849 45.9% 32.37 50.33%
3 4395 41.05% 34.68 54.61%
4 2493 33.39% 39.48 60.21%
5 104 34.62% 24.36 30.77%
6 253 27.6% 35.3 49.41%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 526
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13305
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8930
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5957
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3907
Lose: Invader deck ran out 42
Lose: Adversary condition 20289
Win: Sacrifice victory 130
Lose: Scenario condition 444
Win: Scenario condition 1119
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5712
Lose: Spirit destroyed 381

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3928 44.23% 38.01 -0.712 47.89% 0.09 -0.0155
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 235 47.66% 50.32 6.433 65.11% 0.823 0.3435
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1986 60.7% 31.81 0.462 31.67% -0.375 -0.2492
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 242 47.52% 37.0 4.577 48.35% 0.64 -0.2066
Dances Up Earthquakes 140 45.71% 30.64 -1.533 41.43% -0.044 -0.0073
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2434 48.45% 37.32 0.637 47.78% -0.081 -0.2175
Downpour Drenches the World 686 39.27% 29.05 -2.203 30.61% -0.407 -0.2007
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1105 38.32% 38.81 5.514 55.38% 1.089 0.4783
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3231 43.29% 41.38 0.038 55.22% -0.019 -0.3947
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2048 49.17% 36.35 -2.749 42.87% -0.344 -0.7346
Finder of Paths Unseen 339 48.51% 24.88 0.905 25.07% -0.077 0.6424
Fractured Days Split the Sky 858 47.44% 36.74 -0.06 40.09% 0.143 0.7538
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1365 59.27% 39.74 1.625 53.92% 0.292 0.1928
Heart of the Wildfire 3486 78.21% 32.17 -3.595 40.65% -0.664 -0.3268
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10146 52.41% 40.64 -1.435 54.46% 0.183 -0.248
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 353 44.76% 36.85 0.634 53.54% 0.112 -0.2023
Lightning's Swift Strike 2894 59.15% 37.44 -2.969 48.27% -0.529 -0.2993
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 437 64.19% 38.58 3.356 54.46% 0.497 0.0526
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 771 51.43% 45.57 2.73 65.63% 0.553 0.2427
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 577 48.7% 40.39 1.138 54.59% 0.551 0.4082
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2743 58.2% 37.12 0.555 49.8% -0.002 -0.2298
Many Minds Move as One 1196 41.46% 38.89 2.134 52.17% 0.47 0.2276
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4944 54.61% 37.47 2.314 47.61% 0.632 0.7409
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 339 66.86% 35.89 0.82 45.43% 0.034 0.1526
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2819 50.75% 37.04 3.801 47.57% 0.77 0.7242
River Surges in Sunlight 4889 51.15% 38.9 1.724 44.94% -0.056 0.0747
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 152 53.95% 33.12 3.191 36.18% 0.126 0.3014
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 593 50.68% 31.57 -4.789 31.2% -1.067 -0.7694
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 599 49.5% 37.57 2.417 46.58% 0.157 0.0736
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3653 49.75% 34.48 -0.982 38.84% -0.251 -0.362
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 69 66.67% 40.17 0.683 53.62% 0.106 -0.012
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1440 71.19% 30.83 -6.459 29.44% -0.921 -0.4262
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 98 65.31% 23.98 8.031 25.51% 0.305 0.2534
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 266 65.64% 36.59 4.568 50.75% 0.676 0.166
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 129 61.24% 30.71 -2.175 35.66% -0.355 -0.4829
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 402 63.93% 34.4 -5.425 39.05% -0.692 -0.68
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 182 67.96% 28.97 -13.424 26.92% -0.235 -0.099
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4524 50.67% 41.39 -1.41 57.56% -0.216 -0.1675
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 344 41.4% 30.15 -1.042 42.44% -0.025 -0.24
Shifting Memory of Ages 861 61.9% 30.94 -6.507 33.68% -0.745 -0.4507
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 170 54.12% 38.8 -2.382 51.18% -0.289 -0.4075
Shroud of Silent Mist 859 64.61% 26.24 -3.12 24.91% -0.63 -0.3018
Starlight Seeks its Form 1554 47.26% 33.25 1.302 39.58% 0.224 0.125
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2401 49.27% 36.44 4.154 48.19% 0.803 0.2727
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1919 55.13% 39.61 -0.197 53.15% -0.042 0.035
Thunderspeaker 3792 56.06% 39.61 -0.455 49.74% -0.026 0.0097
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 160 53.13% 32.17 2.21 44.38% 0.13 0.188
Towering Roots of the Jungle 314 48.09% 27.68 -1.069 34.08% 0.017 0.1666
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1790 78.0% 31.87 -0.598 37.99% -0.111 0.0353
Vital Strength of the Earth 2407 50.13% 30.2 -2.776 27.3% -0.658 -0.0898
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 320 43.04% 31.3 0.477 34.69% -0.098 0.4227
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 289 48.79% 26.84 2.766 22.15% 0.513 1.2546
Volcano Looming High 1702 63.4% 34.75 -2.518 47.41% -0.376 -0.3615
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 555 49.19% 33.84 -0.057 40.72% -0.098 -0.39

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 18 66.67% 39.61 -5.55 61.11% -0.416 -0.4436
Blitz 0 518 29.01% 32.96 -2.654 27.8% -0.12 0.1302
Dahan Insurrection 4 618 40.78% 50.53 5.868 42.39% 0.222 -0.0263
Despicable Theft 2 47 44.68% 35.96 14.755 40.43% 0.853 1.3145
Elemental Invocation 1 131 50.38% 31.62 2.462 36.64% 0.234 0.9367
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1749 21.57% 48.74 5.442 69.35% 0.782 0.2296
Powers Long Forgotten 1 234 59.83% 35.79 1.926 37.18% 0.289 0.9127
Rituals of Terror 3 196 58.25% 37.71 6.039 30.1% 0.028 0.2208
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 126 64.29% 31.21 -3.967 20.63% -0.345 0.5776
Second Wave 0 650 48.97% 35.21 1.192 34.15% -0.005 0.112
The Great River 3 74 39.19% 23.32 -7.212 9.46% -0.913 0.1546
Varied Terrains 2 53 47.17% 23.62 -7.661 9.43% -1.406 -0.6648
Ward the Shores 2 250 56.8% 31.35 -1.678 18.8% -0.705 0.3783

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 37874 54.42% 35.49 -0.971 43.78% 0.625 1.152
1 Thematic 1309 41.89% 33.27 -5.617 23.07% -0.959 -0.1048
2 Archipelago 15 60.0% 35.87 0.0 53.33%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8424 57.45% 36.57 0.639 47.41% 0.552 0.8294
2 Coastline 853 56.87% 37.94 -3.463 51.47% -0.019 0.0837
2 Fragment 216 62.5% 38.52 -7.366 51.39% -0.691 -0.6784
2 Heart 195 73.33% 54.36 8.171 66.15% 1.458 1.5692
2 Opposite Shores 1830 54.24% 35.46 1.703 45.63% 0.846 1.182
2 Thematic 484 37.6% 29.14 -3.553 14.26% -0.293 0.3971
2 Top to Top 239 57.98% 37.07 -0.286 49.79% 0.346 0.5882
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 27 33.33% 36.07 -12.51 40.74% -0.14 -0.4804
3 Other 119 51.26% 44.95 8.798 67.23% 0.534 -0.0681
3 Round (Default) 3841 54.59% 40.38 2.046 54.8% 0.323 0.3287
3 Sunrise 18 61.11% 44.22 -6.962 66.67% -0.155 -0.2169
3 Thematic 234 30.77% 26.65 -5.918 12.39% -0.592 -0.5076
4 Archipelago 4 25.0% 49.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 8 87.5% 33.63 0.0 37.5%
4 Leaf 15 66.67% 37.0 0.0 46.67%
4 Other 69 59.42% 35.01 -18.491 43.48% -1.387 -2.0056
4 Thematic 342 36.76% 38.23 -1.047 30.12% -0.16 0.108
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1477 51.75% 41.92 0.137 57.82% -0.098 0.0657
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 43.33 0.0 33.33%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 74 58.33% 38.99 -4.331 54.05% -0.373 -0.7594
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 65.25 0.0 75.0%
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 30.0 0.0 33.33%
6 Other 57 33.33% 44.49 -4.682 61.4% -0.757 -0.788
6 Star 18 33.33% 41.83 4.639 55.56% 0.223 0.2061
6 Thematic 70 26.87% 32.33 6.614 24.29% 0.285 0.3875
6 Two Centers (Default) 91 42.86% 40.23 5.653 57.14% 0.408 0.9729
7 Other 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2681 35.57 1.529 44.87% 0.466 0.715
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2284 37.96 4.371 48.91% 0.524 0.406
All Things Weaken 1401 36.26 3.964 47.25% 0.692 1.0292
Attenuated Essence 257 34.4 5.99 45.14% 0.958 0.9848
Back Against the Wall 2214 37.01 5.988 46.39% 1.015 1.0164
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 293 34.96 4.664 48.81% 0.825 1.0418
Burn Brightest Before the End 189 37.74 7.584 46.03% 1.15 1.1318
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2488 31.74 -1.801 38.55% -0.131 0.2625
Downward Spiral 3064 34.47 2.873 44.06% 0.557 0.6652
Erosion of Will 2638 34.51 2.625 41.39% 0.577 0.9292
Intensifying Exploitation 243 31.03 1.922 38.68% 0.507 0.753
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 594 39.71 5.317 54.04% 0.668 0.1436
Memory Fades to Dust 3001 34.33 1.042 42.42% 0.08 0.3274
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1319 35.26 3.916 45.94% 0.611 0.8331
Promising Farmlands 2549 31.59 1.252 34.44% 0.157 0.4396
Shattered Fragments of Power 221 35.01 4.855 42.53% 0.734 0.8109
Slow Dissolution of Will 265 31.91 4.712 37.74% 0.876 1.2732
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 366 41.43 1.301 59.56% 0.519 -0.176
The Border of Life and Death 80 34.4 9.9 43.75% 1.052 0.4512
Thriving Communities 1390 35.84 3.327 48.35% 0.722 1.0782
Thriving Crops 160 23.45 0.946 18.13% -0.12 -0.316
Tipping Point 918 32.99 0.0 37.69%
Unnatural Proliferation 1389 36.2 -0.015 43.92% -0.322 -0.1599
Untended Land Crumbles 1359 33.48 2.054 41.43% 0.537 0.7683

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12804 56.36% 36.45 0.716 46.26% -0.246 0.7588
B 13299 54.97% 37.06 -0.351 47.57% -0.309 0.6106
C 13686 53.88% 37.67 0.302 48.77% -0.07 0.6647
D 12172 55.29% 36.95 0.279 47.47% -0.088 0.8901
E 6616 54.78% 38.45 1.894 50.95% 0.009 0.8289
F 8087 54.28% 37.47 0.276 48.31% -0.162 0.712
G 7280 55.43% 35.84 -0.874 45.03% -0.221 0.5885
H 7277 53.64% 38.01 0.138 49.69% -0.187 0.6283
East 1728 38.2% 33.41 0.257 22.05% -0.399 0.5034
Northeast 1064 37.43% 34.91 -1.868 24.53% 0.007 0.8149
Northwest 889 37.23% 32.62 -0.837 21.93% -0.693 0.2066
Southeast 303 38.33% 30.44 2.202 21.45% -0.142 0.7089
Southwest 302 36.91% 27.35 3.639 17.88% 0.048 1.4233
West 1574 36.51% 31.31 -1.686 19.06% -1.072 -0.1166

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 112 0.0% 46.64 11.751 65.18% 0.552 1.2603
Not Using Events or Tokens 283 48.74% 30.17 0.0 24.38%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 937 13.76% 55.12 5.059 72.47% 0.44 -0.1446
Start of Game Growth 1382 19.33% 51.08 4.86 68.45% 0.86 0.3458
Unlimited Undo 5004 47.81% 37.42 -0.309 48.06% 0.026 -0.0835
Using Tokens but Not Events 3281 48.54% 35.11 -0.078 44.16% 0.116 0.0906

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 21104 13.33 2.33%
II 17383 30.1 43.81%
III 13474 34.83 88.69%
IV 5977 38.67 99.35%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.642 Win Model: 0.505
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 39320 54.03% 35.42 43.08%
2 12183 56.43% 36.56 46.62%
3 4222 53.04% 39.82 52.96%
4 1919 49.63% 40.91 52.01%
5 57 50.0% 36.12 50.88%
6 237 34.62% 39.05 48.1%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 492
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11703
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7340
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5897
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3993
Lose: Invader deck ran out 132
Lose: Adversary condition 19281
Win: Sacrifice victory 129
Lose: Scenario condition 404
Win: Scenario condition 434
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7615
Lose: Spirit destroyed 518

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3122 41.3% 43.22 0.706 50.93% 0.053 -0.0521
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 118 44.74% 35.03 3.165 38.14% 0.585 0.105
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1341 58.26% 35.07 -6.774 31.69% -1.09 -0.9644
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 248 42.34% 33.81 8.687 39.52% 1.068 0.221
Dances Up Earthquakes 76 42.11% 30.17 1.607 28.95% 0.359 0.3958
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2398 42.49% 45.39 -2.686 58.76% -0.261 -0.3975
Downpour Drenches the World 617 35.66% 26.9 -4.34 23.82% -0.699 -0.4923
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 939 33.55% 35.79 -1.476 46.33% -0.101 -0.7119
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2072 42.7% 43.29 2.171 50.92% 0.499 0.1233
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1939 40.94% 46.46 -6.151 58.74% -0.738 -1.1285
Finder of Paths Unseen 193 51.3% 31.09 -9.992 31.09% -0.881 -0.1611
Fractured Days Split the Sky 732 41.8% 37.28 1.186 40.44% -0.088 0.5232
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 902 55.32% 39.56 4.168 47.23% 0.632 0.532
Heart of the Wildfire 2828 75.13% 36.8 -2.534 42.04% -0.305 0.0316
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6077 47.46% 44.04 1.95 55.32% 0.401 -0.0291
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 239 39.75% 37.32 10.465 50.21% 1.508 1.1937
Lightning's Swift Strike 1793 57.85% 42.08 -1.218 49.75% -0.047 0.1832
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 295 53.76% 48.29 3.253 63.05% 0.494 0.0496
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 523 48.94% 49.54 4.107 65.39% 0.611 0.3003
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 349 42.41% 43.08 -3.286 55.87% -0.282 -0.4245
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1972 56.32% 42.33 1.259 52.38% 0.061 -0.1673
Many Minds Move as One 775 41.29% 41.06 7.257 51.35% 1.215 0.9724
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4412 50.52% 42.94 2.332 51.97% 0.595 0.704
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 188 60.11% 30.19 -0.532 35.64% 0.146 0.2649
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1751 49.66% 42.17 3.345 51.91% 0.408 0.3624
River Surges in Sunlight 3542 48.77% 43.93 1.716 49.15% 0.129 0.2598
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 65 50.77% 34.29 1.571 38.46% 0.314 0.4893
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 407 47.17% 39.76 -4.927 43.24% -0.74 -0.4418
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 486 56.08% 39.3 1.985 41.15% 0.223 0.1397
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2397 45.94% 38.47 -0.908 40.13% -0.135 -0.2462
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 47 42.55% 30.26 -0.356 31.91% -0.077 -0.1954
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 884 65.5% 35.66 -11.171 33.6% -0.668 -0.1737
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 54 53.7% 32.87 -0.631 37.04% 0.07 0.0189
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 185 50.82% 30.11 6.935 35.14% 0.946 0.4359
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 87 58.62% 31.37 8.886 26.44% 0.583 0.4557
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 267 65.41% 34.04 -5.645 31.84% -0.618 -0.6062
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 126 70.63% 33.94 -3.632 30.95% -0.435 -0.2997
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3264 45.75% 47.47 2.552 62.25% 0.452 0.5002
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 844 15.28% 27.06 -2.655 36.97% 0.05 -0.1647
Shifting Memory of Ages 585 56.58% 33.85 -5.236 32.99% -0.63 -0.3361
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 97 44.33% 35.43 -2.039 43.3% -0.348 -0.4665
Shroud of Silent Mist 891 66.18% 37.72 -4.123 42.99% -0.712 -0.3842
Starlight Seeks its Form 1095 44.2% 36.55 0.45 39.0% 0.083 -0.0158
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1617 45.91% 37.22 -3.787 43.54% -0.741 -1.2718
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1446 52.85% 44.52 2.359 55.81% 0.466 0.5435
Thunderspeaker 2539 55.58% 43.53 2.889 50.89% 0.701 0.7371
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 156 49.36% 27.21 -2.879 30.77% -0.277 -0.2189
Towering Roots of the Jungle 217 42.4% 33.33 -0.838 40.09% -0.136 0.0139
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1083 74.1% 33.89 -8.947 35.64% -1.388 -1.2421
Vital Strength of the Earth 1413 47.38% 35.45 -0.621 31.42% -0.512 0.0564
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 184 37.43% 37.83 -2.487 39.67% -0.567 -0.0462
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 136 48.53% 29.68 -7.8 22.06% -0.786 -0.0444
Volcano Looming High 1233 61.12% 37.76 -0.295 45.9% 0.208 0.2233
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 479 43.01% 34.52 0.973 37.37% 0.107 -0.1854

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 13 53.85% 27.0 15.01 30.77% 0.464 0.4371
Blitz 0 251 26.29% 26.22 0.589 17.53% -0.244 0.0064
Dahan Insurrection 4 486 44.65% 55.79 14.18 42.8% 0.982 0.7335
Despicable Theft 2 32 31.25% 27.19 -13.725 21.88% -0.372 0.09
Elemental Invocation 1 92 45.65% 27.78 -11.154 17.39% -0.737 -0.0337
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1373 18.16% 52.05 9.865 66.93% 1.708 1.1556
Powers Long Forgotten 1 148 56.08% 34.51 -14.82 27.7% -0.567 0.0563
Rituals of Terror 3 109 49.54% 40.64 0.0 25.69%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 193 69.43% 35.21 -14.257 16.06% -0.25 0.672
Second Wave 0 366 50.57% 41.45 2.807 40.98% 0.153 0.2699
The Great River 3 29 31.03% 20.38 -9.469 3.45% -0.437 0.6314
Varied Terrains 2 25 52.0% 26.08 -9.605 24.0% -0.195 0.5465
Ward the Shores 2 210 56.67% 30.94 -15.016 13.33% -0.291 0.7924

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 24814 50.54% 39.44 -1.12 45.8% -0.258 0.2684
1 Thematic 1036 38.14% 35.78 6.648 21.53% -0.36 0.4939
2 Archipelago 10 40.0% 13.1 0.0 10.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5883 55.49% 40.94 2.11 49.18% 0.358 0.6363
2 Coastline 538 55.04% 41.7 -2.063 51.12% -0.106 -0.0035
2 Fragment 117 60.68% 35.05 -4.287 37.61% -0.171 -0.1578
2 Heart 77 66.23% 34.66 -4.766 32.47% -0.326 -0.2145
2 Opposite Shores 1185 53.67% 40.05 -0.949 46.08% -0.074 0.262
2 Thematic 357 37.25% 34.09 -3.336 16.81% -0.459 0.2306
2 Top to Top 323 53.87% 44.27 -4.797 56.66% -0.044 0.198
3 Archipelago 14 78.57% 58.71 0.0 57.14%
3 Coastline 17 41.18% 41.47 0.0 47.06%
3 Other 72 45.83% 49.85 18.79 70.83% 0.609 0.0065
3 Round (Default) 3263 46.36% 42.33 0.935 53.91% 0.482 0.4877
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 35.29 0.0 42.86%
3 Thematic 67 41.79% 33.03 0.0 16.42%
4 Archipelago 22 77.27% 42.36 0.0 45.45%
4 Coastline 11 9.09% 62.55 0.0 90.91%
4 Leaf 21 33.33% 49.9 -3.813 71.43% -0.561 -0.4238
4 Other 50 54.0% 52.72 -2.321 76.0% -0.12 -0.7387
4 Snake 5 100.0% 28.0 0.0 20.0%
4 Thematic 261 38.31% 43.41 -2.938 36.78% 0.255 0.5227
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1460 47.75% 47.7 -2.93 61.23% -0.311 -0.147
5 Archipelago 2 50.0% 55.0 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 62 50.0% 32.92 -8.499 40.32% -0.486 -0.8721
5 Thematic 7 28.57% 42.14 0.0 14.29%
6 Archipelago 4 50.0% 48.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 80 31.65% 20.39 10.847 15.0% 0.864 0.834
6 Star 14 28.57% 55.86 7.429 78.57% 0.342 0.3249
6 Thematic 25 20.0% 24.68 -3.203 8.0% -0.262 -0.1591
6 Two Centers (Default) 43 37.21% 41.12 -13.189 51.16% -0.485 0.0802
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1713 40.05 -3.258 48.16% -0.492 -0.2428
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1325 42.65 12.057 51.55% 1.557 1.4382
All Things Weaken 837 40.18 2.984 48.27% 0.487 0.8246
Attenuated Essence 157 36.96 1.872 47.13% 0.359 0.3862
Back Against the Wall 1383 42.08 3.527 49.75% 0.469 0.4698
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 176 35.89 0.012 42.61% -0.238 -0.0204
Burn Brightest Before the End 118 37.11 -4.424 40.68% -0.189 -0.208
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1721 35.8 -0.955 41.14% -0.331 0.0625
Downward Spiral 1885 38.48 3.829 45.73% 0.462 0.5707
Erosion of Will 1647 38.0 1.086 42.14% -0.127 0.2251
Intensifying Exploitation 185 33.35 -0.518 41.08% -0.149 0.096
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 436 40.91 1.273 48.85% -0.053 -0.5776
Memory Fades to Dust 1982 37.96 2.52 43.84% 0.558 0.8059
Power Corrodes the Spirit 808 38.66 1.721 45.3% 0.238 0.4601
Promising Farmlands 1832 34.06 1.832 33.9% 0.252 0.5345
Shattered Fragments of Power 120 37.3 -0.73 38.33% -0.908 -0.8312
Slow Dissolution of Will 158 33.3 4.756 37.34% 0.667 1.0639
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 218 44.92 8.617 58.26% 0.772 0.0771
The Border of Life and Death 39 39.31 3.595 51.28% 0.291 -0.3099
Thriving Communities 847 39.44 1.731 48.76% 0.202 0.5581
Thriving Crops 105 32.48 -1.472 29.52% -0.322 -0.5181
Tipping Point 646 36.91 0.0 40.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 877 40.33 -0.88 47.09% -0.527 -0.3647
Untended Land Crumbles 857 37.54 4.179 43.06% 0.803 1.0342

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8823 52.01% 39.99 -0.657 46.71% -0.149 0.8556
B 9280 51.11% 40.98 0.29 49.28% 0.047 0.9661
C 11447 47.35% 44.24 -0.043 55.7% 0.04 0.775
D 8621 52.04% 40.36 -1.678 47.79% -0.281 0.6966
E 5065 52.99% 40.55 2.464 49.6% 0.557 1.3769
F 5428 52.02% 40.23 -0.515 48.51% -0.103 0.7705
G 4904 51.91% 39.46 0.654 46.31% 0.122 0.9311
H 5183 47.7% 40.3 0.271 48.16% -0.01 0.8047
East 1087 37.73% 38.62 1.017 25.57% 0.232 1.1349
Northeast 686 38.83% 40.01 -1.791 28.72% -0.084 0.7238
Northwest 645 43.57% 36.52 -1.028 23.26% -0.358 0.5425
Southeast 166 36.36% 37.89 -3.085 30.12% -0.475 0.3753
Southwest 140 22.86% 30.71 -4.396 21.43% -0.982 0.3934
West 1121 35.68% 34.75 -0.513 19.54% -0.163 0.7919

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 75 0.0% 49.64 7.352 58.67% 0.18 0.888
Not Using Events or Tokens 139 53.62% 32.73 0.0 23.02%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 478 19.87% 59.77 7.986 75.1% 0.988 0.4037
Start of Game Growth 774 25.93% 54.64 6.294 70.41% 0.809 0.2948
Unlimited Undo 3445 51.31% 41.13 -1.867 49.93% -0.212 -0.3217
Using Tokens but Not Events 1905 45.99% 40.99 -0.728 47.82% -0.393 -0.4186

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14212 13.33 2.26%
II 11769 30.1 45.83%
III 11209 34.83 91.2%
IV 2669 38.67 99.7%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.092 Win Model: -0.292
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 25922 50.04% 39.26 44.79%
2 8456 54.6% 40.67 47.63%
3 3423 46.38% 42.33 53.52%
4 1837 46.54% 47.18 58.03%
5 52 46.15% 27.17 25.0%
6 169 30.95% 29.54 28.99%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 319
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10050
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5174
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2642
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2776
Lose: Invader deck ran out 23
Lose: Adversary condition 13384
Win: Sacrifice victory 83
Lose: Scenario condition 301
Win: Scenario condition 331
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4443
Lose: Spirit destroyed 333

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1935 45.38% 52.05 -5.387 61.86% -0.933 -1.0388
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 112 52.73% 54.29 8.252 68.75% 1.088 0.6083
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 722 61.42% 39.99 -2.366 35.73% -1.029 -0.9036
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 192 43.23% 41.18 -11.305 49.48% -1.346 -2.1935
Dances Up Earthquakes 81 46.91% 29.69 -2.579 25.93% -0.3 -0.2628
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1080 48.19% 48.92 1.886 58.15% -0.071 -0.2073
Downpour Drenches the World 300 48.33% 34.46 -0.973 31.0% -0.04 0.1669
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 611 34.53% 50.7 3.608 65.47% 0.471 -0.1401
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1755 42.17% 52.01 6.473 61.94% 0.74 0.3647
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 620 46.0% 43.43 -0.442 43.71% -0.337 -0.7275
Finder of Paths Unseen 108 35.51% 31.4 -7.882 37.96% -0.948 -0.2283
Fractured Days Split the Sky 434 48.85% 42.39 1.339 38.25% 0.255 0.8658
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 518 60.81% 49.9 5.001 59.46% 0.75 0.6504
Heart of the Wildfire 1355 85.01% 39.78 -4.505 41.4% -0.73 -0.3936
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4009 54.32% 53.17 -2.352 65.85% -0.103 -0.5331
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 337 46.88% 56.46 2.215 75.67% 0.063 -0.2515
Lightning's Swift Strike 1209 47.07% 53.08 -4.279 60.38% -0.71 -0.4804
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 306 41.72% 64.72 7.063 77.12% 0.746 0.3015
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 455 44.62% 57.56 9.948 72.53% 0.89 0.5797
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 296 44.59% 50.63 2.227 62.16% 0.226 0.0835
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1349 54.46% 49.43 -1.614 60.34% -0.148 -0.3757
Many Minds Move as One 455 44.4% 49.5 -1.119 57.58% -0.213 -0.456
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2170 54.94% 50.31 2.523 58.34% 0.757 0.8661
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 184 50.54% 35.57 -3.523 33.7% -0.518 -0.3991
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1206 49.63% 49.98 -0.335 60.95% 0.184 0.1379
River Surges in Sunlight 1952 53.76% 52.42 -1.093 59.63% 0.147 0.2777
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 52 48.08% 45.0 6.092 46.15% 0.395 0.5702
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 315 60.63% 50.12 -0.572 57.46% -0.502 -0.2039
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 454 52.86% 52.14 5.264 57.49% 0.635 0.5516
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1602 46.94% 46.17 -1.94 47.44% -0.358 -0.4688
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 108 33.33% 54.51 2.635 72.22% 0.259 0.1412
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 429 65.73% 40.05 5.012 34.5% 0.385 0.8793
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 25 50.0% 34.36 -20.489 28.0% -0.472 -0.5237
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 167 66.27% 50.98 6.932 64.67% 0.654 0.1439
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 86 50.0% 46.35 -0.728 59.3% 0.081 -0.047
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 186 56.99% 48.72 0.652 56.45% 0.224 0.236
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 84 66.67% 31.33 -10.562 21.43% -0.756 -0.6205
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2006 43.97% 55.55 10.353 69.74% 1.659 1.7073
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 176 38.64% 54.59 1.788 69.89% 0.103 -0.1122
Shifting Memory of Ages 334 46.11% 37.93 -9.605 38.92% -0.62 -0.3258
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 79 49.37% 42.85 -0.646 51.9% -0.058 -0.1767
Shroud of Silent Mist 249 63.82% 38.04 1.127 36.55% 0.202 0.5294
Starlight Seeks its Form 702 53.42% 42.94 -2.052 47.01% -0.139 -0.2383
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2203 43.35% 52.69 3.661 65.82% -0.165 -0.6957
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 917 47.21% 54.86 12.694 68.38% 1.303 1.3804
Thunderspeaker 1356 60.4% 49.54 2.699 54.72% 0.232 0.2686
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 124 61.29% 47.73 2.173 42.74% -0.077 -0.0183
Towering Roots of the Jungle 159 59.75% 42.92 0.947 49.06% 0.165 0.3149
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 923 70.75% 44.73 -5.714 52.11% -1.038 -0.8918
Vital Strength of the Earth 777 50.71% 40.99 8.39 34.62% 0.129 0.6975
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 316 37.5% 52.83 3.567 66.14% 0.286 0.8071
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 238 46.64% 48.43 0.0 55.88%
Volcano Looming High 694 57.35% 46.31 -5.288 57.49% -0.712 -0.6968
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 285 51.58% 42.21 -3.678 41.05% -0.495 -0.7866

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 33.33% 30.67 -0.644 22.22% 0.137 0.1096
Blitz 0 193 28.5% 33.29 1.889 24.87% 0.153 0.4032
Dahan Insurrection 4 413 49.39% 47.8 8.975 29.3% 0.361 0.1125
Despicable Theft 2 18 50.0% 36.67 0.0 38.89%
Elemental Invocation 1 64 50.0% 31.31 -6.857 21.88% -0.328 0.3746
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2917 33.18% 62.44 9.271 81.11% 1.547 0.9947
Powers Long Forgotten 1 132 53.03% 40.72 -2.899 31.82% -0.344 0.2799
Rituals of Terror 3 98 46.94% 46.23 -10.075 24.49% -0.804 -0.6115
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 110 76.36% 37.39 0.0 13.64%
Second Wave 0 220 57.48% 39.41 -1.257 31.82% -0.266 -0.1487
The Great River 3 40 35.0% 24.38 0.0 7.5%
Varied Terrains 2 8 75.0% 24.5 -9.422 0.0% -0.352 0.3895
Ward the Shores 2 221 50.68% 40.15 -16.894 22.17% -0.964 0.1202

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12640 53.9% 45.06 -0.625 49.85% 0.359 0.8858
1 Thematic 694 43.52% 38.88 -3.538 21.18% -0.582 0.2721
2 Archipelago 6 33.33% 55.83 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2913 59.96% 46.39 -1.942 53.66% 0.074 0.3521
2 Coastline 335 60.6% 45.56 -0.113 51.04% 0.313 0.4154
2 Fragment 73 76.71% 38.6 1.918 38.36% 0.281 0.2936
2 Heart 27 48.15% 40.96 -10.819 40.74% -0.098 0.0133
2 Opposite Shores 653 54.06% 43.35 0.002 47.93% 0.185 0.5213
2 Thematic 194 40.21% 36.98 0.0 14.43%
2 Top to Top 98 57.14% 47.49 -4.674 54.08% -0.628 -0.3858
3 Archipelago 18 83.33% 62.22 0.0 11.11%
3 Coastline 5 80.0% 34.4 0.0 20.0%
3 Other 55 78.18% 48.07 8.068 50.91% 0.381 -0.2212
3 Round (Default) 2887 47.83% 54.93 1.425 71.32% 0.251 0.2566
3 Sunrise 4 75.0% 32.5 0.0 25.0%
3 Thematic 60 25.0% 33.63 -20.311 13.33% -0.217 -0.1324
4 Archipelago 3 66.67% 61.0 0.0 66.67%
4 Coastline 9 11.11% 74.44 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 49.8 0.0 60.0%
4 Other 39 46.15% 59.74 3.275 82.05% 0.066 -0.5528
4 Thematic 324 21.32% 59.98 1.182 62.04% 0.29 0.5572
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1320 52.17% 55.64 1.782 70.98% 0.048 0.2125
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 61.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 51 63.27% 52.24 2.168 64.71% -0.214 -0.5998
5 Thematic 49 36.73% 57.29 4.188 36.73% -0.078 -0.8758
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 61.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 9 42.86% 61.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Star 20 50.0% 37.45 16.877 40.0% 0.353 0.3356
6 Thematic 63 33.33% 49.87 -0.806 33.33% -0.212 -0.1088
6 Two Centers (Default) 29 48.28% 38.72 -5.097 37.93% -0.308 0.2566
7 Other 1 0.0% 36.0 5.251 0.0% -0.203 -0.637

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1026 48.05 0.97 55.75% 0.195 0.4446
Aid From Lesser Spirits 837 50.39 1.817 58.06% 0.172 0.0539
All Things Weaken 477 48.71 4.536 57.86% 0.56 0.8975
Attenuated Essence 133 45.23 1.398 53.38% 0.251 0.2781
Back Against the Wall 799 46.6 9.166 50.81% 1.295 1.296
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 117 43.71 5.061 48.72% 0.595 0.8124
Burn Brightest Before the End 88 43.05 4.621 47.73% 0.68 0.6615
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1011 42.78 -1.496 46.69% -0.303 0.0906
Downward Spiral 1095 46.8 3.301 55.34% 0.504 0.6127
Erosion of Will 1001 45.92 2.296 51.35% 0.128 0.4799
Intensifying Exploitation 105 44.36 1.415 49.52% 0.166 0.4118
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 253 51.6 4.643 64.82% 0.571 0.0464
Memory Fades to Dust 1081 45.85 6.639 52.17% 1.033 1.2803
Power Corrodes the Spirit 486 46.15 -0.314 53.5% 0.226 0.4483
Promising Farmlands 993 39.7 0.276 37.56% -0.169 0.114
Shattered Fragments of Power 97 48.43 -5.127 56.7% -0.694 -0.617
Slow Dissolution of Will 114 44.97 -1.265 49.12% -0.323 0.0744
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 144 52.81 -3.696 67.36% -0.07 -0.7653
The Border of Life and Death 36 54.64 5.243 66.67% -0.047 -0.6483
Thriving Communities 523 45.97 2.893 55.07% 0.725 1.0811
Thriving Crops 96 38.69 -3.56 38.54% -0.56 -0.7558
Tipping Point 373 45.77 0.0 51.47%
Unnatural Proliferation 547 46.49 1.585 51.92% 0.003 0.1649
Untended Land Crumbles 523 43.87 5.63 48.57% 1.029 1.26

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5191 55.51% 47.84 -0.191 55.83% -0.231 0.7734
B 5602 55.53% 48.38 0.706 57.0% 0.288 1.2073
C 6229 53.81% 50.69 1.939 61.21% 0.349 1.0836
D 5092 55.25% 48.82 -0.798 57.56% -0.072 0.9064
E 3264 50.03% 50.36 1.169 61.46% 0.207 1.0265
F 3595 51.34% 49.06 -0.122 58.28% -0.021 0.8526
G 3384 52.44% 49.75 0.843 59.78% -0.065 0.7444
H 3588 50.85% 49.95 0.721 60.76% 0.205 1.0194
East 1033 34.82% 45.91 0.689 33.11% -0.362 0.5402
Northeast 665 34.09% 50.59 -0.265 41.35% -0.435 0.373
Northwest 582 30.85% 52.62 -0.225 43.47% -0.5 0.4
Southeast 220 31.82% 46.99 1.543 32.73% -0.073 0.7778
Southwest 144 31.25% 47.38 0.382 37.5% 0.006 1.3814
West 913 30.73% 47.52 0.31 34.72% -0.373 0.582

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 32 0.0% 57.69 -1.135 59.38% -0.001 0.7072
Not Using Events or Tokens 63 61.9% 31.54 0.0 15.87%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 493 10.5% 69.71 3.624 79.72% 0.208 -0.3763
Start of Game Growth 724 18.52% 64.7 3.808 75.69% 0.596 0.0821
Unlimited Undo 2301 48.95% 49.87 -3.282 59.28% -0.033 -0.1423
Using Tokens but Not Events 1084 34.51% 48.98 -1.408 54.8% -0.17 -0.1953

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7063 13.33 4.71%
II 9169 30.1 62.19%
III 5245 34.83 92.53%
IV 1118 38.67 99.73%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.635 Win Model: 0.214
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13489 53.2% 44.51 47.93%
2 4198 59.09% 46.14 51.72%
3 3000 48.03% 54.29 69.7%
4 1733 45.5% 56.88 69.47%
5 70 54.41% 55.7 48.57%
6 105 44.66% 42.9 36.19%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 332
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4763
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5541
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1109
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1475
Lose: Invader deck ran out 11
Lose: Adversary condition 6172
Win: Sacrifice victory 47
Lose: Scenario condition 269
Win: Scenario condition 211
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2529
Lose: Spirit destroyed 136

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8186 45.0% 46.86 -2.426 44.14% -0.338 -0.4437
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 555 45.95% 34.27 0.957 29.37% 0.019 -0.4608
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4015 57.53% 38.06 -4.63 27.37% -1.372 -1.2459
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 1123 45.01% 43.14 3.784 44.97% 0.737 -0.1102
Dances Up Earthquakes 642 49.53% 26.94 -2.311 19.16% -0.338 -0.301
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4887 49.94% 45.9 -1.948 43.73% -0.194 -0.3306
Downpour Drenches the World 2359 46.35% 34.41 -1.1 24.29% -0.233 -0.0261
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 3196 36.65% 44.69 4.138 48.9% 1.054 0.4432
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9172 37.83% 50.47 2.572 50.11% 0.237 -0.1388
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3174 50.73% 45.09 5.388 41.24% 0.739 0.3485
Finder of Paths Unseen 873 48.22% 34.28 -5.01 27.26% -0.306 0.4132
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3575 46.7% 47.38 -5.706 41.06% -0.394 0.2167
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 4166 59.84% 46.79 0.731 45.99% 0.269 0.1697
Heart of the Wildfire 7154 79.21% 40.95 -3.733 36.2% -0.26 0.0766
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 29669 52.19% 53.99 2.926 59.63% 0.644 0.2134
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 712 57.02% 45.94 3.252 48.17% 0.852 0.5371
Lightning's Swift Strike 5979 56.64% 47.23 -1.744 45.31% 0.001 0.231
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 2273 60.71% 50.07 4.901 54.29% 0.989 0.545
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 5068 51.92% 58.7 5.228 67.03% 1.146 0.8353
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2049 49.29% 54.92 4.047 59.3% 1.084 0.9413
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 8261 54.52% 49.93 1.602 53.09% 0.389 0.161
Many Minds Move as One 2808 43.62% 51.55 2.494 50.93% 0.586 0.3429
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 14735 50.08% 50.41 -0.874 50.37% -0.059 0.05
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 983 62.73% 32.26 -2.596 28.69% -0.339 -0.2204
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5679 53.1% 47.87 -1.649 48.2% 0.024 -0.0223
River Surges in Sunlight 12379 51.96% 51.32 -0.137 49.28% 0.306 0.4367
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 345 56.81% 36.69 -9.306 32.17% -1.48 -1.304
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1065 49.67% 44.81 0.333 39.62% -0.149 0.1485
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 2705 50.81% 44.03 1.031 39.37% 0.289 0.2051
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 10542 43.89% 43.13 -3.925 37.14% -0.276 -0.3873
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 240 40.42% 39.08 4.775 42.08% 1.006 0.8875
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2110 61.7% 39.68 -7.069 29.48% -0.51 -0.0152
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 154 49.35% 47.14 -5.011 40.91% -0.6 -0.651
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 971 62.99% 42.36 -1.089 43.05% -0.066 -0.5763
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 182 57.14% 43.3 -8.681 40.66% -0.712 -0.8397
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 1065 60.66% 43.07 -4.288 34.93% -0.382 -0.3698
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 417 65.71% 39.36 -6.446 32.37% -1.069 -0.9332
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 9455 46.38% 53.48 -3.075 59.14% -0.004 0.0441
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1521 52.53% 44.25 0.905 46.35% 0.351 0.1359
Shifting Memory of Ages 2381 52.16% 37.15 -2.307 27.17% -0.419 -0.1246
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 506 51.98% 38.16 2.0 34.39% 0.104 -0.0146
Shroud of Silent Mist 1434 66.01% 39.22 -6.068 32.91% -0.766 -0.4382
Starlight Seeks its Form 5131 50.93% 44.09 -1.323 40.23% 0.112 0.0131
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 8519 44.27% 45.81 2.357 42.11% 0.551 0.0203
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5902 52.98% 54.29 3.476 60.34% 1.068 1.1449
Thunderspeaker 7270 52.23% 46.99 -0.744 40.37% -0.005 0.0311
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 486 55.14% 38.41 0.76 36.42% 0.47 0.5288
Towering Roots of the Jungle 831 47.77% 34.92 -1.678 33.57% 0.061 0.2102
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 5009 74.74% 41.04 -1.075 37.53% -0.031 0.1147
Vital Strength of the Earth 4004 49.89% 35.25 -5.305 22.35% -0.627 -0.0587
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 645 58.76% 38.78 -5.012 33.18% -0.91 -0.3886
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 732 47.68% 33.44 -1.947 15.71% -0.714 0.0275
Volcano Looming High 5506 58.73% 48.75 0.133 53.58% 0.331 0.3453
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 2073 47.18% 39.52 -3.092 33.33% -0.175 -0.4672

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 40 47.5% 55.4 -0.291 52.5% 0.115 0.0877
Blitz 0 1226 34.18% 42.28 -4.728 30.59% -0.633 -0.3828
Dahan Insurrection 4 4412 34.35% 53.81 7.823 36.22% 0.947 0.6981
Despicable Theft 2 57 66.67% 40.81 -14.625 24.56% -0.204 0.2581
Elemental Invocation 1 319 60.82% 38.74 -4.4 17.87% -1.375 -0.6718
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 11113 27.51% 60.9 7.33 66.8% 1.476 0.9235
Powers Long Forgotten 1 259 51.35% 37.85 -16.854 23.94% -0.597 0.027
Rituals of Terror 3 446 38.88% 74.78 10.549 42.38% 0.872 1.0652
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 90 71.11% 34.96 20.992 12.22% 0.442 1.3643
Second Wave 0 679 59.06% 44.58 3.605 34.02% 0.269 0.3858
The Great River 3 157 33.12% 23.37 0.0 6.37%
Varied Terrains 2 31 38.71% 40.97 5.408 25.81% 0.509 1.2497
Ward the Shores 2 423 46.68% 32.88 -0.047 12.53% -0.692 0.3917

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 114440 53.57% 47.07 0.219 46.49% 0.032 0.5583
1 Thematic 4022 37.79% 43.13 -2.307 22.53% -0.837 0.0169
2 Archipelago 115 75.65% 54.1 -13.878 21.74% -0.149 0.9057
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 14073 61.03% 47.32 0.03 48.01% -0.156 0.1217
2 Coastline 2988 52.48% 50.92 4.354 53.78% 0.412 0.5147
2 Fragment 869 66.28% 57.01 -0.914 66.05% -0.64 -0.6274
2 Heart 422 72.04% 51.56 -2.486 42.65% -0.521 -0.4098
2 Opposite Shores 3958 56.7% 41.67 -1.493 32.95% -0.54 -0.2038
2 Thematic 1063 38.51% 45.81 -3.033 19.85% -0.485 0.2046
2 Top to Top 779 58.15% 49.68 -1.91 50.32% -0.097 0.1454
3 Archipelago 46 73.91% 48.7 0.0 17.39%
3 Coastline 50 58.0% 46.84 30.51 42.0% 1.668 1.3277
3 Other 163 58.9% 53.69 12.903 58.28% 1.697 1.0954
3 Round (Default) 8229 52.47% 47.31 -2.593 49.01% -0.592 -0.5857
3 Sunrise 84 44.05% 66.73 -15.589 83.33% -0.19 -0.252
3 Thematic 278 22.38% 73.29 10.033 39.93% 0.091 0.1756
4 Archipelago 21 52.38% 53.62 0.0 28.57%
4 Coastline 61 18.03% 74.67 19.528 91.8% 0.335 -0.4232
4 Leaf 29 55.17% 46.31 17.034 41.38% 0.303 0.4397
4 Other 91 48.35% 64.22 7.186 80.22% 0.22 -0.3993
4 Snake 1 0.0% 29.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 1396 30.88% 55.68 -0.326 45.63% -0.277 -0.0097
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4969 42.06% 48.16 -2.131 50.63% -0.967 -0.8033
5 Archipelago 4 75.0% 47.5 0.0 25.0%
5 Coastline 37 5.41% 56.95 -18.233 72.97% -1.227 -1.1307
5 Other 142 49.28% 58.33 11.197 61.27% 0.276 -0.1099
5 Thematic 21 71.43% 78.71 -13.822 66.67% -0.057 -0.8546
6 Archipelago 10 10.0% 73.9 0.0 80.0%
6 Coastline 28 3.57% 63.21 0.0 82.14%
6 Other 114 38.6% 50.14 18.847 50.0% 0.971 0.9408
6 Star 50 38.0% 39.74 5.617 34.0% 0.364 0.3464
6 Thematic 243 31.69% 43.84 3.9 34.57% -0.202 -0.0991
6 Two Centers (Default) 480 21.67% 42.44 -7.383 45.0% -1.928 -1.3631
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 52.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 6514 48.19 1.524 48.13% 0.424 0.6735
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5724 49.73 6.025 49.35% 0.913 0.7943
All Things Weaken 4214 47.64 1.368 47.32% 0.254 0.5914
Attenuated Essence 886 43.77 4.782 43.12% 0.745 0.7715
Back Against the Wall 5416 47.76 7.186 45.48% 0.912 0.9129
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 916 41.54 3.684 39.85% 0.636 0.8528
Burn Brightest Before the End 709 46.3 5.892 44.71% 0.718 0.6998
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6494 43.25 0.396 41.47% 0.249 0.6418
Downward Spiral 7712 46.98 0.79 46.93% 0.275 0.383
Erosion of Will 6499 45.61 4.542 42.65% 0.674 1.0264
Intensifying Exploitation 928 41.84 0.367 41.16% 0.176 0.4217
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1980 52.47 5.658 56.11% 0.588 0.064
Memory Fades to Dust 7643 46.31 1.572 45.0% 0.349 0.5965
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4190 47.14 4.774 47.3% 0.841 1.0628
Promising Farmlands 6441 41.65 1.313 35.01% 0.146 0.4292
Shattered Fragments of Power 695 45.57 7.645 43.74% 1.023 1.0996
Slow Dissolution of Will 902 40.05 3.381 36.14% 0.555 0.9523
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1189 52.13 2.732 58.12% 0.577 -0.1178
The Border of Life and Death 226 44.79 7.667 45.13% 0.921 0.3204
Thriving Communities 4254 47.64 2.407 48.82% 0.5 0.857
Thriving Crops 583 32.41 -2.881 21.1% -0.481 -0.6773
Tipping Point 1873 44.89 0.0 42.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 4316 48.72 4.152 46.71% 0.489 0.6511
Untended Land Crumbles 4196 46.19 1.778 44.64% 0.264 0.4953

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 30769 54.28% 45.24 -0.889 43.01% -0.637 0.3673
B 33115 53.57% 47.18 -0.444 47.21% -0.559 0.3605
C 40319 54.0% 50.01 2.185 51.89% -0.216 0.5183
D 28869 52.53% 46.38 -1.226 45.27% -0.688 0.2896
E 21616 52.13% 48.95 -0.269 50.91% -0.489 0.3307
F 21514 52.46% 47.32 -0.918 47.81% -0.652 0.2215
G 17333 52.1% 45.78 -0.708 45.02% -0.569 0.2408
H 18673 50.88% 45.89 -0.6 45.72% -0.543 0.2716
East 5355 37.15% 49.57 4.107 29.97% -0.156 0.7467
Northeast 3416 38.06% 52.74 5.128 35.3% 0.071 0.8795
Northwest 2416 32.47% 49.3 -2.787 34.23% -0.872 0.0283
Southeast 986 37.53% 43.55 3.366 27.79% -0.085 0.7651
Southwest 646 30.65% 43.96 -3.445 34.83% -1.137 0.2387
West 3938 29.88% 48.48 -1.582 30.22% -1.963 -1.0081

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 197 0.0% 54.87 0.0 55.33%
Not Using Events or Tokens 1104 31.82% 46.59 0.0 20.02%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4233 15.32% 70.36 8.245 77.65% 0.739 0.1546
Start of Game Growth 8840 26.08% 65.4 10.906 72.27% 1.691 1.177
Unlimited Undo 15149 45.07% 53.39 -1.796 59.4% -0.006 -0.115
Using Tokens but Not Events 9784 41.4% 51.77 2.719 53.74% 0.286 0.2604

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 58240 13.33 3.5%
II 61881 30.1 56.8%
III 33554 34.83 91.04%
IV 5644 38.67 99.65%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.11 Win Model: 0.69
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 119597 52.95% 46.85 45.44%
2 23446 59.16% 48.16 46.82%
3 8695 52.21% 47.71 48.84%
4 6519 39.43% 50.18 50.59%
5 149 38.62% 54.72 55.7%
6 913 26.18% 44.33 44.25%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2033
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 29882
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 33666
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5460
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 13672
Lose: Invader deck ran out 116
Lose: Adversary condition 51049
Win: Sacrifice victory 509
Lose: Scenario condition 1362
Win: Scenario condition 1809
Lose: Blight pool ran out 18530
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1231

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)