The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2934 31.61% 31.69 0.102 82.79% -0.152 -0.0479
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1830 55.09% 26.86 -0.786 71.04% -0.389 -0.1908
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1613 34.53% 30.16 0.347 86.11% 0.28 0.1665
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1974 25.18% 33.45 1.736 91.03% 0.598 0.1939
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1633 28.31% 32.19 1.247 91.43% 0.782 0.4766
Fractured Days Split the Sky 288 40.07% 29.9 0.481 73.96% -0.606 -0.2577
Heart of the Wildfire 2445 59.62% 27.23 -0.987 74.85% 0.011 0.3292
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4641 30.95% 34.67 0.637 88.02% 0.372 0.029
Lightning's Swift Strike 3254 40.9% 31.17 0.346 81.04% 0.077 0.3033
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 652 37.58% 30.73 0.782 88.96% 0.584 0.2974
Many Minds Move as One 477 29.35% 31.73 0.907 88.26% 0.219 -0.3144
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3182 41.05% 30.57 -0.011 81.36% 0.096 -0.1287
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1523 36.82% 29.35 -0.119 83.78% 0.101 0.115
River Surges in Sunlight 4500 33.14% 35.72 1.148 80.62% -0.325 -0.2044
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2460 31.81% 33.43 -0.124 83.66% -0.155 -0.0526
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2238 54.77% 28.54 -0.6 72.56% -0.227 0.1781
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3227 31.95% 34.7 0.863 86.09% 0.195 0.083
Shifting Memory of Ages 74 56.76% 23.62 -2.228 66.22% -0.723 -0.598
Shroud of Silent Mist 234 62.39% 26.13 -0.815 77.35% 0.155 0.211
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 876 36.19% 27.33 -0.852 86.64% 0.365 0.305
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1321 37.63% 28.79 -0.461 79.26% -0.263 -0.102
Thunderspeaker 3304 29.07% 38.15 1.51 87.56% 0.3 0.3239
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 687 73.57% 22.69 -2.268 69.29% -0.108 -0.1362
Vital Strength of the Earth 2471 35.57% 27.51 -2.04 65.44% -1.311 -0.4666
Volcano Looming High 341 46.18% 27.7 -0.36 86.22% 0.572 0.5831

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 476 44.73% 25.46 -1.899 68.7% -0.611 -0.045
Dahan Insurrection 4 746 26.21% 49.68 9.657 80.43% -0.472 -0.0716
Despicable Theft 2 32 53.13% 32.63 2.153 65.63% -0.735 -0.4611
Elemental Invocation 1 61 60.0% 25.31 -1.628 57.38% -1.049 -0.5466
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1712 11.35% 34.42 1.873 85.69% -0.526 -0.1607
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1511 17.03% 51.33 3.41 91.26% -0.046 0.4006
Rituals of Terror 3 392 50.77% 36.14 3.492 61.48% -0.854 -0.209
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 305 78.03% 32.42 2.427 51.48% -0.623 0.0239
Second Wave 0 542 59.23% 25.42 -1.288 61.07% -0.927 -0.4974
The Great River 3 54 72.22% 27.24 0.141 40.74% -1.805 -0.3324
Ward the Shores 2 556 47.3% 27.8 -0.672 40.11% -2.197 -1.1654

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 19840 44.01% 27.84 -0.547 77.54% 0.268 0.3543
1 Thematic 2597 43.95% 32.57 0.666 66.46% -0.257 0.0201
2 Archipelago 3 66.67% 20.0 -2.292 33.33% -0.512 -0.505
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4773 38.84% 29.3 -0.045 83.74% 0.254 0.28
2 Coastline 349 40.35% 28.57 -0.326 82.81% 0.13 0.1052
2 Fragment 88 48.86% 26.45 -1.384 75.0% -0.384 -0.1611
2 Heart 56 49.09% 27.45 -0.692 83.93% 0.34 0.44
2 Opposite Shores 614 41.92% 29.1 -0.016 86.32% 0.526 0.5911
2 Thematic 573 42.31% 35.07 0.455 75.92% -0.245 -0.3122
2 Top to Top 84 34.57% 28.77 -0.262 86.9% 0.297 0.2279
3 Coastline 10 70.0% 28.0 0.324 50.0% -0.364 -0.5146
3 Other 58 41.38% 29.52 -0.045 91.38% 0.601 0.7733
3 Round (Default) 1423 33.94% 29.78 -0.151 87.07% -0.006 -0.0444
3 Sunrise 11 9.09% 31.73 0.842 90.91% -0.052 -0.312
3 Thematic 113 41.59% 35.71 -0.796 75.22% -0.914 -1.2806
4 Coastline 3 100.0% 26.33 -2.66 66.67% -0.264 -0.1446
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 29.25 0.21 100.0% 0.3 0.372
4 Other 33 36.36% 29.36 0.153 90.91% 0.146 0.0762
4 Thematic 1170 5.05% 57.22 3.215 98.38% 0.165 -0.8314
4 Trapezoid (Default) 761 35.13% 29.41 -0.625 84.76% -0.628 -0.6198
5 Other 2 50.0% 25.5 -0.566 100.0% 0.096 -0.3649
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 42.0 2.91 100.0% 0.532 -1.8599

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1298 22.53 -4.07 60.71% -2.206 -0.1366
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1105 22.67 -3.975 57.29% -2.351 -0.4383
All Things Weaken 373 21.04 -4.515 57.1% -2.44 -0.2804
Back Against the Wall 1056 22.72 -3.948 57.95% -2.35 -0.2629
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1153 18.8 -5.908 52.65% -2.554 -0.3314
Downward Spiral 1813 21.86 -4.422 62.93% -2.133 -0.1118
Erosion of Will 1212 21.9 -4.357 57.18% -2.349 -0.1413
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 174 27.66 -1.221 86.78% -0.686 -0.0073
Memory Fades to Dust 1738 21.54 -4.595 58.86% -2.294 -0.0789
Power Corrodes the Spirit 407 21.42 -4.354 59.95% -2.26 -0.239
Promising Farmlands 1176 19.9 -5.395 53.74% -2.538 -0.3297
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 114 28.46 -0.855 93.86% 0.119 0.53
Thriving Communities 368 19.42 -5.321 53.8% -2.513 -0.4248
Tipping Point 625 20.24 -5.281 53.6% -2.412 -0.1869
Unnatural Proliferation 396 21.87 -4.133 59.09% -2.351 -0.2702
Untended Land Crumbles 324 20.7 -4.754 61.11% -2.254 -0.1517

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6770 42.06% 28.38 -0.393 79.82% 0.045 -0.6428
B 7246 41.39% 28.53 -0.286 80.4% 0.026 -0.758
C 7273 39.84% 28.78 -0.162 81.05% 0.064 -0.9491
D 6869 39.26% 28.89 -0.12 81.18% 0.053 -0.7248
E 1698 42.39% 28.56 -0.109 83.75% 0.211 -0.6834
F 3384 41.07% 28.32 -0.318 81.97% 0.044 -0.7965
G 3217 42.57% 28.1 -0.43 81.07% -0.03 -0.8618
H 3124 39.68% 28.81 -0.113 83.26% 0.165 -0.6741
East 2057 21.51% 48.03 2.701 87.36% 0.33 -0.2462
Northeast 2209 22.76% 46.41 2.266 85.56% 0.16 -0.3648
Northwest 1896 19.68% 48.17 2.236 88.45% 0.375 -0.2199
Southeast 256 36.33% 33.89 0.66 73.83% -0.054 -0.6832
Southwest 230 48.26% 27.95 -2.6 63.48% -0.453 -0.6513
West 2047 22.24% 46.65 1.705 83.73% -0.305 -0.6317

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 108 0.0% 31.39 -1.245 86.11% -1.448 0.6052
Not Using Events or Tokens 703 50.07% 27.97 -0.273 74.68% 0.037 0.2522
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1454 2.69% 54.14 3.939 98.07% 0.926 0.2398
Start of Game Growth 1684 6.06% 51.02 3.125 96.14% 0.05 -0.419
Unlimited Undo 1635 33.8% 31.1 0.5 84.95% 0.208 -0.2149
Using Tokens but Not Events 3342 33.6% 30.24 0.31 84.44% 0.238 0.1873

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3762 22.37 39.71%
II 11109 30.88 72.12%
III 12151 34.39 88.79%
IV 5547 37.55 98.83%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.377 Win Model: 0.448
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 22475 44.05% 28.39 76.24%
2 6534 39.55% 29.69 83.27%
3 1596 34.78% 30.19 86.09%
4 1962 17.19% 46.01 93.07%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1099
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8081
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5393
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4261
Lose: Invader deck ran out 194
Lose: Adversary condition 1703
Win: Sacrifice victory 134
Lose: Scenario condition 291
Win: Scenario condition 823
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4372
Lose: Spirit destroyed 232

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1631 46.4% 31.58 0.621 74.06% 0.045 0.149
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1047 66.16% 29.04 -0.126 63.23% -0.206 -0.0083
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 943 55.79% 30.81 0.39 73.06% 0.237 0.123
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1260 37.09% 36.04 2.777 83.17% 0.572 0.1678
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1054 47.72% 34.01 1.958 81.31% 0.681 0.3752
Fractured Days Split the Sky 117 58.97% 31.98 1.105 63.25% -0.323 0.0257
Heart of the Wildfire 1406 78.84% 24.35 -2.237 54.69% -0.322 -0.0031
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2489 55.57% 30.5 0.466 75.09% 0.33 -0.013
Lightning's Swift Strike 1734 60.78% 29.74 -0.036 67.19% -0.022 0.2034
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 469 53.53% 32.08 1.302 80.38% 0.56 0.2729
Many Minds Move as One 362 35.08% 35.34 2.487 84.53% 0.545 0.0116
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1578 64.88% 29.87 0.138 70.22% 0.2 -0.0242
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 967 55.9% 29.97 0.04 70.42% 0.047 0.0613
River Surges in Sunlight 2061 59.8% 30.4 0.318 62.2% -0.356 -0.2354
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1261 54.21% 29.58 -0.199 67.96% -0.17 -0.0675
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1161 76.17% 25.59 -1.76 51.08% -0.554 -0.1487
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1743 52.63% 31.41 0.729 72.23% 0.112 0.0004
Shifting Memory of Ages 59 61.02% 30.46 0.509 76.27% 0.337 0.4618
Shroud of Silent Mist 126 75.4% 25.13 -1.591 59.52% -0.245 -0.1889
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 537 48.79% 29.24 -0.494 77.28% 0.262 0.2022
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 814 55.86% 28.89 -0.611 64.25% -0.278 -0.118
Thunderspeaker 1584 56.32% 32.07 0.925 70.96% 0.137 0.1607
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 393 83.63% 23.17 -2.563 53.94% -0.324 -0.3516
Vital Strength of the Earth 1442 55.59% 25.26 -2.491 48.2% -1.159 -0.3145
Volcano Looming High 228 69.6% 26.2 -1.233 64.91% -0.041 -0.0305

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 437 55.17% 27.1 -1.611 61.1% -0.428 0.1376
Dahan Insurrection 4 360 39.17% 50.4 9.731 72.5% -0.328 0.0725
Despicable Theft 2 32 50.0% 34.88 2.596 59.38% -0.708 -0.434
Elemental Invocation 1 36 66.67% 27.25 -0.747 52.78% -0.624 -0.1217
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 878 26.18% 33.82 1.405 70.96% -0.515 -0.1506
Powers Long Forgotten 1 409 66.99% 30.76 0.541 53.55% -0.565 -0.1191
Rituals of Terror 3 224 66.52% 35.68 2.863 48.66% -0.83 -0.1849
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 190 84.13% 33.05 1.901 42.63% -0.657 -0.0103
Second Wave 0 1417 57.85% 30.29 0.429 60.97% -0.532 -0.102
The Great River 3 30 76.67% 27.63 -0.158 33.33% -1.372 0.1009
Ward the Shores 2 340 55.59% 27.44 -1.458 29.71% -2.292 -1.2604

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10952 58.3% 28.28 -0.72 65.45% -0.201 -0.1149
1 Thematic 2079 55.98% 33.15 1.286 58.73% -0.305 -0.0282
2 Archipelago 3 66.67% 39.33 5.675 100.0% 0.661 0.6675
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2613 59.95% 29.32 -0.101 70.84% -0.061 -0.035
2 Coastline 241 59.49% 30.66 0.471 74.69% 0.1 0.0753
2 Fragment 84 61.45% 26.68 -1.203 59.52% -0.522 -0.2998
2 Heart 42 70.73% 26.86 -1.032 64.29% -0.277 -0.1772
2 Opposite Shores 461 56.11% 30.24 0.06 75.05% -0.008 0.0577
2 Thematic 560 57.68% 33.28 0.655 59.11% -0.231 -0.298
2 Top to Top 71 71.83% 29.11 0.231 76.06% 0.374 0.3052
3 Archipelago 2 0.0% 42.0 4.949 100.0% 0.114 0.9179
3 Coastline 7 57.14% 23.0 -2.371 42.86% -0.609 -0.7596
3 Other 50 44.0% 33.62 1.522 88.0% 0.62 0.7928
3 Round (Default) 867 55.27% 30.95 0.522 76.82% 0.107 0.0687
3 Sunrise 11 54.55% 27.73 -1.122 72.73% -0.274 -0.534
3 Thematic 96 60.42% 33.46 0.379 61.46% -0.017 -0.3831
4 Leaf 3 66.67% 32.33 1.529 100.0% 0.535 0.6071
4 Other 19 52.63% 36.68 2.162 89.47% 0.346 0.2765
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 -0.841 100.0% 0.202 0.3285
4 Thematic 160 50.31% 37.11 0.778 73.13% 0.257 -0.7397
4 Trapezoid (Default) 373 52.99% 31.53 0.11 73.73% -0.413 -0.4045
5 Other 4 50.0% 32.75 0.623 75.0% -0.375 -0.8354

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1024 24.65 -3.535 52.34% -1.842 0.2276
Aid From Lesser Spirits 851 25.03 -3.308 50.65% -1.979 -0.0667
All Things Weaken 319 22.89 -4.094 51.41% -1.844 0.3155
Back Against the Wall 825 24.82 -3.386 51.76% -1.893 0.1943
Disintegrating Ecosystem 890 21.07 -5.266 47.3% -2.061 0.1612
Downward Spiral 1442 23.69 -3.923 56.17% -1.682 0.3396
Erosion of Will 1007 23.63 -4.026 48.66% -1.979 0.229
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 105 31.17 -0.17 80.95% -0.545 0.1335
Memory Fades to Dust 1453 23.54 -4.023 52.37% -1.88 0.3349
Power Corrodes the Spirit 308 22.72 -4.183 52.27% -1.889 0.1322
Promising Farmlands 992 21.51 -5.026 44.66% -2.181 0.0271
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 63 32.37 0.35 84.13% -0.09 0.321
Thriving Communities 325 21.9 -4.781 44.31% -2.183 -0.0949
Tipping Point 530 23.35 -4.186 49.43% -1.871 0.3532
Unnatural Proliferation 345 24.43 -3.564 49.28% -2.008 0.0726
Untended Land Crumbles 321 23.4 -3.897 53.89% -1.771 0.3311

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3960 59.85% 28.38 -0.489 66.79% 0.09 -0.5983
B 4129 58.41% 29.45 0.054 70.53% 0.282 -0.5021
C 4035 56.75% 29.7 0.194 70.68% 0.277 -0.7353
D 3820 58.71% 29.19 -0.054 69.01% 0.211 -0.5662
E 1132 56.73% 29.08 -0.243 69.96% 0.132 -0.762
F 1904 58.46% 29.11 -0.288 69.33% 0.112 -0.7293
G 1703 57.39% 29.05 -0.341 68.41% 0.055 -0.7769
H 1774 54.49% 30.1 0.1 71.87% 0.202 -0.6367
East 915 54.92% 35.35 1.799 62.51% 0.126 -0.4502
Northeast 972 55.88% 34.6 1.416 62.86% 0.135 -0.3893
Northwest 828 55.57% 34.19 1.205 63.53% 0.186 -0.409
Southeast 197 48.73% 32.53 0.302 61.42% -0.177 -0.806
Southwest 208 56.04% 28.7 -1.859 60.1% -0.179 -0.3777
West 951 58.38% 32.99 0.397 56.57% -0.226 -0.5531

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 65 0.0% 26.25 -3.915 56.92% -2.124 -0.0709
Not Using Events or Tokens 353 65.6% 28.05 -0.459 63.17% 0.014 0.2289
Skip Initial Invader Actions 334 17.83% 44.88 4.68 91.32% 0.974 0.2875
Start of Game Growth 449 21.21% 42.95 4.2 89.53% 0.788 0.319
Unlimited Undo 1308 52.96% 30.45 0.067 70.95% -0.065 -0.4876
Using Tokens but Not Events 1871 54.19% 29.5 -0.091 70.18% 0.066 0.0149

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2382 22.37 9.28%
II 5629 30.88 47.49%
III 6966 34.39 83.99%
IV 3723 37.55 98.98%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.17 Win Model: 0.064
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13063 57.94% 29.07 64.39%
2 4065 59.5% 30.0 69.89%
3 1015 55.09% 31.13 75.27%
4 557 52.27% 33.29 74.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 174
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4417
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1794
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2860
Lose: Invader deck ran out 81
Lose: Adversary condition 1592
Win: Sacrifice victory 77
Lose: Scenario condition 238
Win: Scenario condition 362
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4120
Lose: Spirit destroyed 239

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3011 35.49% 36.02 0.592 56.43% 0.127 0.2313
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1834 50.98% 30.39 -1.809 39.86% -0.49 -0.2917
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1831 38.38% 34.01 -0.286 53.47% -0.034 -0.1472
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2344 28.25% 39.3 2.411 63.57% 0.433 0.0286
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1494 38.25% 34.03 -0.272 49.8% -0.184 -0.4889
Fractured Days Split the Sky 352 37.32% 34.93 0.327 46.88% -0.334 0.0142
Heart of the Wildfire 3231 68.03% 33.09 -0.046 56.52% 0.375 0.6937
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4765 43.66% 36.4 1.156 61.8% 0.437 0.0943
Lightning's Swift Strike 3011 47.22% 37.66 1.942 63.07% 0.6 0.8263
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 940 43.07% 36.88 1.378 62.66% 0.38 0.0935
Many Minds Move as One 691 35.17% 37.38 1.554 61.79% 0.284 -0.2491
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3233 48.83% 33.69 -0.632 51.04% -0.06 -0.284
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1729 37.75% 35.57 0.592 57.26% 0.195 0.2087
River Surges in Sunlight 4100 41.69% 36.63 0.915 51.9% -0.065 0.0555
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2812 42.11% 30.07 -2.309 40.08% -0.623 -0.5206
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1877 60.73% 29.58 -2.147 38.47% -0.526 -0.1208
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3152 40.87% 38.88 2.348 66.18% 0.636 0.5237
Shifting Memory of Ages 169 58.58% 28.47 -2.302 38.46% -0.535 -0.4106
Shroud of Silent Mist 319 63.32% 29.17 -2.184 42.32% -0.409 -0.3523
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1172 38.6% 30.3 -1.995 48.21% -0.292 -0.3522
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1471 38.74% 38.37 1.902 64.04% 0.504 0.6643
Thunderspeaker 2862 43.54% 38.08 1.733 59.82% 0.378 0.4015
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 965 69.33% 28.14 -2.511 42.59% -0.319 -0.3469
Vital Strength of the Earth 2337 38.36% 26.56 -3.966 27.64% -1.157 -0.3124
Volcano Looming High 539 48.79% 35.26 0.505 62.34% 0.355 0.3653

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 570 33.8% 21.49 -6.31 18.77% -1.696 -1.1302
Dahan Insurrection 4 721 25.1% 56.01 9.92 63.38% 0.262 0.6621
Despicable Theft 2 35 68.57% 39.37 3.124 54.29% -0.081 0.1933
Elemental Invocation 1 64 45.31% 33.2 -0.93 43.75% -0.671 -0.1685
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1449 19.65% 41.11 3.281 69.15% 0.679 1.0435
Powers Long Forgotten 1 426 54.59% 34.27 0.086 41.08% -0.452 -0.0054
Rituals of Terror 3 203 51.72% 42.42 4.66 46.31% -0.067 0.5784
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 121 75.83% 36.26 1.851 33.88% -0.483 0.1637
Second Wave 0 725 47.1% 32.95 -0.699 41.38% -0.597 -0.1668
The Great River 3 21 14.29% 23.1 -5.752 0.0% -2.471 -0.9982
Ward the Shores 2 466 40.77% 38.34 0.317 38.63% -1.139 -0.1076

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 21288 45.89% 33.0 -0.154 51.01% -0.063 0.0235
1 Thematic 1178 38.88% 34.07 -0.512 35.91% -0.556 -0.2796
2 Archipelago 6 66.67% 30.5 0.046 33.33% -0.216 -0.2088
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5341 47.73% 33.93 0.005 54.28% -0.068 -0.0421
2 Coastline 523 44.72% 33.72 -0.337 52.39% -0.246 -0.2711
2 Fragment 111 60.36% 29.99 -1.794 44.14% -0.456 -0.2333
2 Heart 42 54.76% 32.43 -0.661 52.38% -0.167 -0.0666
2 Opposite Shores 1104 48.91% 32.61 -0.498 50.72% -0.147 -0.082
2 Thematic 538 37.99% 32.46 -2.06 31.23% -0.753 -0.8198
2 Top to Top 147 50.34% 36.27 1.038 63.27% 0.284 0.2149
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 50.0 7.8 100.0% 0.287 1.0917
3 Coastline 7 28.57% 43.86 3.951 71.43% 0.232 0.0819
3 Other 55 40.0% 37.38 1.604 67.27% 0.386 0.5586
3 Round (Default) 1914 43.79% 35.69 0.437 59.67% -0.003 -0.0416
3 Sunrise 8 25.0% 41.88 2.801 75.0% 0.294 0.0341
3 Thematic 103 42.72% 38.26 -0.098 42.72% 0.025 -0.3408
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 17.0 -10.023 0.0% -1.085 -0.9652
4 Leaf 10 60.0% 37.3 0.631 70.0% 0.044 0.1156
4 Other 40 47.5% 43.27 3.567 80.0% 0.841 0.7715
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 49.0 6.087 100.0% 0.313 -0.4892
4 Thematic 467 17.34% 51.2 3.897 71.95% 0.944 -0.0523
4 Trapezoid (Default) 955 41.9% 38.08 0.779 62.62% -0.068 -0.0603
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 31.0 -2.135 0.0% -0.44 0.72
5 Other 9 66.67% 40.22 2.739 77.78% 0.171 -0.2897
5 Thematic 4 25.0% 63.75 10.836 75.0% 0.459 -1.9327

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1456 30.73 -1.972 49.38% -0.334 1.7353
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1242 31.97 -1.373 50.0% -0.285 1.6277
All Things Weaken 508 29.88 -2.304 47.44% -0.403 1.7567
Back Against the Wall 1208 31.53 -1.596 49.42% -0.316 1.7711
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1398 27.08 -3.876 43.06% -0.618 1.6045
Downward Spiral 1733 29.89 -2.302 48.24% -0.282 1.7394
Erosion of Will 1382 29.15 -2.689 44.14% -0.502 1.7056
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 269 32.41 -1.165 53.53% -0.186 0.4927
Memory Fades to Dust 1807 28.95 -2.737 44.71% -0.419 1.7955
Power Corrodes the Spirit 451 28.07 -3.031 43.68% -0.51 1.511
Promising Farmlands 1468 26.05 -4.355 35.35% -0.918 1.2897
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 131 34.36 -0.053 61.83% 0.216 0.6274
Thriving Communities 510 29.13 -2.653 48.63% -0.333 1.7556
Tipping Point 791 27.05 -3.725 39.19% -0.704 1.5205
Unnatural Proliferation 484 29.6 -2.441 44.21% -0.531 1.5498
Untended Land Crumbles 483 27.74 -3.324 43.89% -0.539 1.5629

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7601 47.56% 33.2 -0.361 51.84% 0.368 -0.3203
B 8243 46.4% 34.2 0.212 54.65% 0.485 -0.2984
C 8639 44.57% 34.0 0.13 53.8% 0.457 -0.5555
D 7745 47.48% 33.3 -0.267 51.78% 0.379 -0.3988
E 2429 44.83% 35.07 0.691 57.39% 0.6 -0.2946
F 3747 45.43% 34.79 0.358 56.34% 0.489 -0.3517
G 3740 45.35% 34.61 0.256 55.67% 0.481 -0.351
H 3808 43.87% 35.06 0.422 56.7% 0.495 -0.3441
East 1077 28.35% 42.6 1.856 52.18% 0.516 -0.0598
Northeast 1019 32.02% 41.87 1.454 51.52% 0.252 -0.2729
Northwest 889 30.6% 42.65 1.594 53.77% 0.498 -0.0974
Southeast 135 28.15% 36.97 -0.986 45.19% 0.005 -0.6244
Southwest 129 31.78% 34.62 -2.586 41.86% -0.466 -0.6646
West 1123 27.87% 40.56 0.443 47.82% -0.142 -0.469

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 61 0.0% 35.51 -1.595 55.74% -0.544 1.5087
Not Using Events or Tokens 267 39.15% 27.82 -3.339 29.21% -1.047 -0.8324
Skip Initial Invader Actions 342 14.51% 50.65 5.816 80.12% 1.138 0.4517
Start of Game Growth 760 21.2% 47.51 4.209 73.95% 0.616 0.1475
Unlimited Undo 1984 43.19% 36.04 0.768 57.96% 0.155 -0.2682
Using Tokens but Not Events 2223 40.53% 33.7 -0.474 51.1% -0.205 -0.2563

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8124 22.37 4.2%
II 13187 30.88 44.05%
III 9038 34.39 87.85%
IV 3506 37.55 99.17%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.361 Win Model: -0.324
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 22498 45.56% 33.07 50.23%
2 7804 47.22% 33.61 52.11%
3 2077 43.48% 35.9 58.98%
4 1476 34.52% 42.4 66.06%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 246
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6113
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4077
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2827
Lose: Invader deck ran out 25
Lose: Adversary condition 12180
Win: Sacrifice victory 80
Lose: Scenario condition 299
Win: Scenario condition 637
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3531
Lose: Spirit destroyed 253

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2587 44.92% 39.99 0.385 50.95% 0.067 0.1712
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1473 62.08% 33.04 -2.595 32.59% -0.589 -0.3909
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1524 49.14% 39.48 0.388 51.77% 0.185 0.0712
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1942 43.99% 43.56 2.481 59.01% 0.509 0.1047
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1354 48.45% 38.29 -0.308 45.2% -0.121 -0.4268
Fractured Days Split the Sky 421 48.93% 40.16 0.803 42.99% -0.23 0.1181
Heart of the Wildfire 2432 80.3% 33.92 -1.967 42.72% -0.03 0.2888
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7567 53.94% 41.39 1.803 55.52% 0.428 0.0856
Lightning's Swift Strike 2758 58.43% 40.12 0.875 53.08% 0.31 0.5357
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1054 62.05% 40.74 1.181 56.93% 0.378 0.0912
Many Minds Move as One 588 39.52% 43.89 2.188 60.54% 0.37 -0.1633
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3147 57.07% 39.23 0.206 50.37% 0.19 -0.0348
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1570 52.17% 39.14 0.372 50.57% 0.17 0.1839
River Surges in Sunlight 3855 53.61% 39.55 0.425 45.34% -0.103 0.0175
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2537 49.84% 36.29 -1.649 41.19% -0.419 -0.3167
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1473 70.82% 32.44 -2.973 31.77% -0.645 -0.2406
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3485 51.14% 43.2 2.756 60.32% 0.678 0.5663
Shifting Memory of Ages 185 74.05% 33.55 -2.24 36.22% -0.462 -0.337
Shroud of Silent Mist 329 74.16% 30.94 -3.493 31.61% -0.66 -0.6041
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1399 49.46% 37.0 -0.886 49.96% 0.057 -0.0024
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1202 53.34% 41.84 1.595 56.99% 0.423 0.5839
Thunderspeaker 2625 58.36% 40.8 0.989 50.93% 0.227 0.2505
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1072 77.87% 31.97 -2.922 37.59% -0.358 -0.3857
Vital Strength of the Earth 1946 50.31% 31.71 -3.584 28.57% -0.905 -0.0605
Volcano Looming High 642 66.82% 38.08 0.047 54.21% 0.317 0.3281

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 348 38.44% 26.39 -6.473 18.97% -1.666 -1.1006
Dahan Insurrection 4 637 45.6% 50.99 6.284 41.6% -0.189 0.2109
Despicable Theft 2 11 54.55% 47.55 4.35 54.55% 0.04 0.3143
Elemental Invocation 1 33 72.73% 36.42 -1.061 39.39% -0.516 -0.0138
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1534 20.68% 50.18 5.805 73.27% 1.223 1.5882
Powers Long Forgotten 1 224 62.95% 38.54 0.245 38.84% -0.271 0.1754
Rituals of Terror 3 137 62.96% 41.32 1.877 30.66% -0.608 0.0375
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 100 78.0% 37.32 0.166 25.0% -0.774 -0.1274
Second Wave 0 504 56.46% 34.5 -1.93 30.95% -0.801 -0.3716
The Great River 3 8 25.0% 26.25 -6.642 0.0% -1.638 -0.1647
Ward the Shores 2 192 58.85% 34.83 -1.765 22.4% -1.219 -0.1868

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 22607 56.44% 37.6 -0.344 46.47% -0.122 -0.0352
1 Thematic 972 42.95% 34.85 -1.39 24.59% -0.511 -0.2336
2 Archipelago 3 66.67% 57.67 8.881 100.0% 0.715 0.7222
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4964 60.67% 38.37 0.041 49.44% -0.147 -0.1214
2 Coastline 483 57.05% 40.29 0.764 54.87% 0.002 -0.0231
2 Fragment 117 68.38% 40.45 0.697 55.56% -0.019 0.2039
2 Heart 38 78.95% 46.05 3.754 65.79% 0.613 0.7129
2 Opposite Shores 997 53.31% 39.81 0.172 52.86% -0.217 -0.1513
2 Thematic 287 38.33% 32.49 -2.338 18.82% -0.536 -0.6024
2 Top to Top 113 62.5% 39.29 0.431 53.1% -0.037 -0.106
3 Coastline 13 15.38% 50.54 4.947 69.23% 0.171 0.0206
3 Other 79 46.84% 49.46 4.669 78.48% 0.741 0.9133
3 Round (Default) 1996 56.22% 41.96 1.146 57.87% -0.083 -0.1218
3 Sunrise 8 50.0% 49.38 5.136 75.0% 0.515 0.255
3 Thematic 98 27.55% 33.26 -2.247 19.39% -0.267 -0.6329
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 41.0 2.932 50.0% 0.079 0.627
4 Coastline 3 100.0% 49.0 4.016 66.67% -0.02 0.0997
4 Leaf 8 37.5% 34.88 -2.833 37.5% -0.869 -0.7968
4 Other 49 59.18% 41.94 0.831 57.14% -0.296 -0.3657
4 Thematic 285 36.04% 39.09 0.366 31.23% 0.652 -0.345
4 Trapezoid (Default) 911 50.0% 44.2 1.152 61.69% -0.34 -0.3316
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 51.5 5.189 50.0% -0.439 0.7204
5 Other 10 77.78% 48.4 2.353 80.0% -0.057 -0.5177
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 57.0 14.797 100.0% 0.935 -1.4571

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1808 36.02 -1.457 45.46% -0.203 1.8666
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1554 38.2 -0.399 49.23% -0.053 1.8603
All Things Weaken 705 36.77 -0.985 48.51% -0.074 2.0852
Back Against the Wall 1559 36.97 -1.123 46.31% -0.196 1.8915
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1687 32.27 -3.331 38.94% -0.456 1.7666
Downward Spiral 2154 34.69 -2.028 43.92% -0.198 1.8237
Erosion of Will 1804 34.42 -2.223 40.96% -0.356 1.8518
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 309 41.09 0.975 57.28% 0.221 0.8995
Memory Fades to Dust 2060 34.71 -1.992 42.77% -0.236 1.9786
Power Corrodes the Spirit 606 35.44 -1.667 45.71% -0.205 1.8166
Promising Farmlands 1750 31.51 -3.747 34.23% -0.696 1.5124
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 169 41.67 1.186 59.17% 0.28 0.6918
Thriving Communities 665 35.57 -1.594 47.52% -0.125 1.9631
Tipping Point 917 33.01 -2.927 37.73% -0.466 1.7591
Unnatural Proliferation 687 37.13 -0.851 46.29% -0.182 1.8985
Untended Land Crumbles 623 33.42 -2.718 40.45% -0.437 1.6649

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7678 58.72% 38.22 -0.151 48.42% 0.371 -0.3167
B 8087 56.87% 38.97 0.208 50.11% 0.409 -0.3749
C 8370 55.57% 39.44 0.566 51.1% 0.484 -0.5283
D 7540 56.6% 38.98 0.28 50.12% 0.441 -0.3362
E 2708 57.74% 41.15 1.319 56.09% 0.616 -0.2784
F 4180 55.35% 39.43 0.35 51.29% 0.409 -0.4322
G 3925 57.92% 38.08 -0.377 48.1% 0.258 -0.5738
H 3856 55.37% 40.5 0.854 53.97% 0.519 -0.3205
East 757 36.56% 36.04 -0.728 24.7% -0.16 -0.7361
Northeast 728 39.45% 37.81 0.155 28.71% 0.1 -0.4246
Northwest 560 40.5% 35.88 -1.341 25.89% -0.25 -0.8449
Southeast 99 44.44% 32.02 -1.854 23.23% -0.191 -0.8203
Southwest 98 41.84% 27.12 -5.258 17.35% -0.912 -1.1105
West 682 32.79% 35.2 -1.679 22.58% -0.664 -0.9913

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 54 0.0% 42.83 -0.94 61.11% -0.186 1.8671
Not Using Events or Tokens 279 48.72% 30.04 -3.831 24.01% -0.972 -0.7574
Skip Initial Invader Actions 523 12.85% 57.4 6.862 80.31% 1.23 0.5439
Start of Game Growth 652 15.84% 54.45 5.431 76.69% 0.785 0.3159
Unlimited Undo 2504 51.41% 40.51 0.731 51.6% 0.132 -0.2906
Using Tokens but Not Events 1757 49.68% 37.8 -0.795 46.56% -0.261 -0.3119

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11440 22.37 3.04%
II 10641 30.88 45.41%
III 8308 34.39 88.34%
IV 3660 37.55 99.02%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.406 Win Model: -0.214
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 23627 55.93% 37.51 45.59%
2 6978 58.62% 38.54 49.28%
3 2192 54.29% 41.92 57.07%
4 1252 47.24% 42.9 54.39%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 264
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5810
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3601
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2960
Lose: Invader deck ran out 117
Lose: Adversary condition 12235
Win: Sacrifice victory 71
Lose: Scenario condition 278
Win: Scenario condition 308
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4923
Lose: Spirit destroyed 353

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2109 40.36% 44.98 0.367 53.72% -0.017 0.0874
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1081 58.96% 36.1 -3.671 32.19% -0.873 -0.6755
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1861 41.26% 48.39 2.552 64.7% 0.532 0.4179
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1297 44.16% 45.13 0.835 53.97% 0.09 -0.3143
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1509 38.62% 49.57 3.076 64.74% 0.537 0.2316
Fractured Days Split the Sky 330 47.88% 43.99 0.602 46.06% -0.158 0.1899
Heart of the Wildfire 2094 75.2% 39.23 -1.789 45.08% -0.101 0.2174
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4296 47.68% 45.65 1.056 57.66% 0.248 -0.095
Lightning's Swift Strike 1737 56.21% 45.0 1.033 54.86% 0.28 0.5054
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 787 55.02% 47.44 2.222 63.15% 0.506 0.2194
Many Minds Move as One 355 42.82% 48.09 2.147 61.97% 0.322 -0.2114
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3094 50.0% 45.12 0.653 55.43% 0.192 -0.0322
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1095 51.51% 44.27 0.612 54.79% 0.203 0.2169
River Surges in Sunlight 2939 49.81% 45.26 0.665 50.7% -0.108 0.0131
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1759 46.98% 39.73 -2.348 41.33% -0.585 -0.4818
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 946 67.62% 36.6 -3.232 34.46% -0.706 -0.3013
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2537 45.76% 49.11 3.15 64.6% 0.653 0.5411
Shifting Memory of Ages 150 66.0% 36.52 -3.391 36.0% -0.796 -0.6717
Shroud of Silent Mist 562 68.86% 43.12 0.687 53.91% 0.262 0.3179
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 855 46.96% 40.57 -1.638 49.59% -0.159 -0.2192
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 973 53.2% 46.55 1.592 60.02% 0.345 0.506
Thunderspeaker 1791 56.25% 44.37 0.395 51.14% 0.042 0.0661
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 682 74.85% 34.7 -4.205 36.51% -0.694 -0.7224
Vital Strength of the Earth 1166 48.54% 36.41 -3.657 31.48% -0.935 -0.0909
Volcano Looming High 436 61.01% 42.29 -0.046 54.36% 0.213 0.2236

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 182 36.26% 28.26 -7.474 17.58% -1.758 -1.1921
Dahan Insurrection 4 459 36.68% 58.43 8.18 48.8% 0.25 0.6506
Despicable Theft 2 6 66.67% 32.17 -4.528 16.67% -0.732 -0.458
Elemental Invocation 1 46 47.83% 32.07 -6.425 17.39% -1.847 -1.3442
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1197 19.53% 54.05 5.31 71.76% 1.029 1.394
Powers Long Forgotten 1 121 62.81% 37.91 -1.865 29.75% -0.7 -0.2538
Rituals of Terror 3 118 46.61% 39.77 -0.35 21.19% -0.899 -0.2543
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 150 68.67% 37.16 -1.33 18.0% -1.054 -0.4072
Second Wave 0 290 58.28% 38.37 -2.247 33.45% -0.778 -0.3483
The Great River 3 5 60.0% 27.4 -7.58 0.0% -1.297 0.1757
Ward the Shores 2 206 57.28% 34.88 -2.931 15.53% -1.406 -0.3747

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 14583 52.03% 42.48 -0.177 50.1% -0.232 -0.1457
1 Thematic 799 41.05% 36.06 -2.749 21.03% -0.794 -0.5169
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3473 58.17% 42.86 -0.021 51.89% -0.182 -0.1565
2 Coastline 318 54.89% 42.62 -0.528 50.94% -0.38 -0.4046
2 Fragment 68 66.18% 37.97 -2.291 41.18% -0.629 -0.4067
2 Heart 24 66.67% 40.46 -1.437 50.0% -0.348 -0.2482
2 Opposite Shores 677 53.32% 42.01 -0.793 49.63% -0.378 -0.3129
2 Thematic 271 38.75% 33.61 -3.958 16.24% -0.53 -0.5967
2 Top to Top 240 51.67% 48.23 2.236 65.83% 0.248 0.1789
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 66.0 7.634 100.0% 0.166 0.9699
3 Coastline 12 33.33% 45.0 -0.502 50.0% -0.578 -0.7288
3 Other 56 42.86% 52.98 4.243 76.79% 0.476 0.6486
3 Round (Default) 1810 48.95% 47.16 1.215 60.94% -0.004 -0.0432
3 Sunrise 6 83.33% 41.17 -1.005 50.0% -0.032 -0.2917
3 Thematic 44 38.64% 32.68 -2.296 11.36% 0.127 -0.2393
4 Archipelago 16 81.25% 39.06 -1.147 37.5% -0.433 0.1152
4 Coastline 8 12.5% 66.75 9.524 100.0% 1.102 1.2213
4 Leaf 17 35.29% 54.24 4.623 82.35% 0.901 0.9734
4 Other 43 55.81% 54.07 4.106 79.07% 0.687 0.6172
4 Snake 4 100.0% 30.0 -7.469 25.0% -1.04 -0.9143
4 Thematic 222 38.29% 44.58 1.426 38.29% 2.031 1.0344
4 Trapezoid (Default) 968 45.18% 51.04 1.882 66.94% -0.074 -0.0663
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 40.0 -6.589 0.0% -0.727 0.4329
5 Other 13 53.85% 58.69 6.536 92.31% 0.643 0.1819

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1160 40.3 -1.657 48.36% -0.179 1.8908
Aid From Lesser Spirits 917 43.22 -0.29 53.22% 0.035 1.9473
All Things Weaken 403 42.48 -0.56 53.35% 0.03 2.1894
Back Against the Wall 920 42.49 -0.769 50.33% -0.105 1.9825
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1176 36.5 -3.615 42.18% -0.435 1.7872
Downward Spiral 1315 38.74 -2.311 46.24% -0.175 1.8463
Erosion of Will 1141 38.51 -2.69 43.03% -0.433 1.7746
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 195 44.06 0.052 56.92% 0.088 0.7669
Memory Fades to Dust 1387 38.41 -2.561 44.27% -0.308 1.9073
Power Corrodes the Spirit 382 40.36 -1.497 48.95% -0.136 1.8856
Promising Farmlands 1271 34.34 -4.751 33.99% -0.83 1.378
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 107 43.98 -0.242 56.07% -0.009 0.4029
Thriving Communities 400 39.41 -2.038 49.75% -0.122 1.9661
Tipping Point 646 36.91 -3.454 40.25% -0.514 1.7105
Unnatural Proliferation 431 41.47 -0.992 50.12% -0.092 1.9887
Untended Land Crumbles 405 37.61 -2.94 43.21% -0.393 1.7089

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5362 53.57% 43.03 -0.407 51.04% 0.755 0.0668
B 5647 53.44% 44.12 0.218 53.71% 0.853 0.0694
C 7802 46.43% 47.4 2.541 61.14% 1.267 0.2545
D 5411 53.24% 43.17 -0.279 51.58% 0.786 0.0085
E 2220 59.78% 44.26 0.725 55.23% 0.989 0.0946
F 2705 54.36% 44.04 0.164 54.12% 0.833 -0.0075
G 2514 53.95% 43.09 -0.05 52.15% 0.845 0.0133
H 2548 51.67% 44.26 0.15 53.92% 0.801 -0.0377
East 542 35.79% 38.49 -1.822 23.62% -0.436 -1.0125
Northeast 541 40.85% 40.91 0.273 29.39% 0.643 0.118
Northwest 529 46.69% 36.74 -1.972 23.06% -0.008 -0.603
Southeast 60 35.0% 43.53 0.314 45.0% 0.629 0.0001
Southwest 55 23.64% 37.64 -3.463 36.36% -0.24 -0.4386
West 557 33.03% 37.41 -2.288 22.08% -0.408 -0.7356

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 42 0.0% 43.55 -1.656 50.0% -0.462 1.5909
Not Using Events or Tokens 135 53.73% 32.63 -4.835 23.7% -1.16 -0.945
Skip Initial Invader Actions 293 23.45% 60.64 7.047 77.47% 1.386 0.6996
Start of Game Growth 376 25.63% 56.89 4.862 73.94% 0.69 0.2213
Unlimited Undo 1994 55.62% 43.61 0.304 52.76% 0.125 -0.298
Using Tokens but Not Events 1067 48.44% 42.38 -0.885 49.67% -0.214 -0.2646

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7484 22.37 2.91%
II 7210 30.88 47.16%
III 7292 34.39 91.68%
IV 1688 37.55 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.548 Win Model: -0.71
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 15393 51.46% 42.17 48.63%
2 5077 56.11% 42.43 50.17%
3 1922 48.75% 46.94 60.09%
4 1282 44.4% 49.94 62.25%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 147
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5163
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2487
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1317
Lose: Invader deck ran out 17
Lose: Adversary condition 8401
Win: Sacrifice victory 38
Lose: Scenario condition 200
Win: Scenario condition 256
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2832
Lose: Spirit destroyed 239

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1307 49.46% 54.96 1.651 66.18% 0.353 0.4569
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 570 62.96% 42.3 -3.515 38.6% -0.715 -0.5172
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 679 49.34% 51.77 0.252 61.27% 0.068 -0.0455
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1250 41.35% 54.44 2.336 66.32% 0.467 0.063
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 406 46.62% 45.87 -1.632 45.57% -0.263 -0.5686
Fractured Days Split the Sky 173 52.6% 50.16 0.559 50.87% -0.089 0.2597
Heart of the Wildfire 933 88.75% 41.94 -3.465 43.09% -0.466 -0.147
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2806 54.55% 56.06 3.151 70.06% 0.582 0.2394
Lightning's Swift Strike 1220 47.94% 56.05 2.017 66.48% 0.468 0.6939
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 537 55.12% 53.34 1.044 66.85% 0.22 -0.0672
Many Minds Move as One 228 43.86% 53.87 1.617 64.91% 0.259 -0.2742
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1427 55.68% 51.95 0.812 60.83% 0.326 0.1018
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 737 51.83% 51.86 0.633 63.09% 0.239 0.2533
River Surges in Sunlight 1639 56.07% 53.04 0.878 59.73% 0.014 0.1344
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1027 48.98% 48.49 -2.273 51.7% -0.528 -0.4252
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 523 64.44% 43.32 -3.363 40.92% -0.755 -0.3502
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1244 45.9% 54.37 1.667 65.51% 0.365 0.2528
Shifting Memory of Ages 62 56.45% 49.97 -0.227 56.45% 0.131 0.2554
Shroud of Silent Mist 89 70.79% 42.74 -3.293 43.82% -0.575 -0.5182
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1152 44.62% 52.25 -0.633 65.1% -0.246 -0.3056
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 592 49.07% 56.55 2.433 70.78% 0.583 0.7435
Thunderspeaker 907 59.42% 50.57 0.705 55.02% 0.224 0.248
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 447 69.8% 44.96 -2.423 52.13% -0.21 -0.2383
Vital Strength of the Earth 800 50.88% 43.37 -4.104 39.25% -1.004 -0.1595
Volcano Looming High 264 60.98% 50.68 0.542 65.15% 0.368 0.3791

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 141 32.62% 35.74 -7.126 26.24% -1.526 -0.9599
Dahan Insurrection 4 220 49.09% 61.83 6.857 48.18% 0.054 0.4539
Despicable Theft 2 4 25.0% 61.75 5.127 75.0% 0.269 0.5428
Elemental Invocation 1 9 66.67% 50.89 1.513 55.56% 0.181 0.6837
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1544 31.8% 63.0 5.55 83.61% 1.46 1.8254
Powers Long Forgotten 1 120 50.0% 41.53 -2.535 28.33% -0.666 -0.2193
Rituals of Terror 3 90 46.67% 41.72 -2.015 17.78% -1.079 -0.4343
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 99 75.76% 38.33 -3.352 13.13% -1.382 -0.7354
Second Wave 0 164 61.96% 38.99 -4.723 28.66% -1.13 -0.7001
The Great River 3 10 60.0% 36.1 -6.658 10.0% -1.546 -0.0731
Ward the Shores 2 230 57.83% 39.38 -4.564 20.43% -1.632 -0.6

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6724 56.08% 48.03 0.082 53.69% 0.398 0.4845
1 Thematic 592 45.44% 39.76 -3.353 22.13% -0.282 -0.0048
2 Archipelago 1 100.0% 72.0 10.751 100.0% 0.244 0.2508
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1629 64.74% 48.23 -0.395 54.82% 0.013 0.039
2 Coastline 164 58.54% 49.25 -0.148 56.1% 0.008 -0.0163
2 Fragment 50 78.0% 40.34 -3.342 40.0% -0.286 -0.0638
2 Heart 21 57.14% 40.48 -3.201 38.1% -0.318 -0.2181
2 Opposite Shores 339 62.24% 45.76 -2.088 49.26% -0.388 -0.3228
2 Thematic 126 38.1% 36.98 -4.687 15.08% -0.358 -0.4252
2 Top to Top 50 56.0% 55.02 2.355 68.0% 0.347 0.2781
3 Archipelago 2 50.0% 52.5 2.403 50.0% -0.036 0.7682
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 40.33 -4.484 33.33% -0.464 -0.615
3 Other 36 83.33% 47.89 -0.928 55.56% -0.237 -0.0639
3 Round (Default) 1357 51.99% 55.91 1.521 71.63% -0.124 -0.1628
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 23.5 -10.155 0.0% -0.544 -0.8045
3 Thematic 46 26.09% 37.41 -4.46 15.22% -0.0 -0.3664
4 Coastline 7 14.29% 73.43 7.488 100.0% 0.468 0.5878
4 Leaf 4 75.0% 45.25 -2.383 50.0% -0.402 -0.3301
4 Other 27 62.96% 62.0 3.925 85.19% 0.354 0.2846
4 Thematic 250 19.18% 62.49 2.36 64.0% 1.253 0.256
4 Trapezoid (Default) 854 50.47% 58.94 1.541 76.35% -0.442 -0.4339
5 Other 14 71.43% 61.36 2.897 78.57% -0.28 -0.7412
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 86.0 13.147 100.0% 1.065 -1.3268

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 682 49.27 -0.086 58.06% 0.208 2.2777
Aid From Lesser Spirits 560 50.27 0.159 58.04% 0.126 2.0383
All Things Weaken 205 48.26 -0.591 57.07% 0.088 2.2475
Back Against the Wall 505 45.93 -1.782 49.11% -0.173 1.9136
Disintegrating Ecosystem 648 43.69 -2.878 48.3% -0.242 1.9802
Downward Spiral 702 47.19 -0.884 54.99% 0.169 2.1906
Erosion of Will 644 45.8 -1.769 51.24% -0.117 2.0905
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 120 52.19 0.678 65.83% 0.334 1.0123
Memory Fades to Dust 696 45.44 -1.909 51.44% -0.076 2.139
Power Corrodes the Spirit 235 46.62 -1.665 54.47% -0.097 1.9239
Promising Farmlands 663 39.76 -4.578 37.1% -0.664 1.5444
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 57 57.6 2.632 77.19% 0.677 1.0885
Thriving Communities 237 48.57 -0.315 60.76% 0.323 2.4111
Tipping Point 373 45.77 -1.725 51.47% -0.042 2.1823
Unnatural Proliferation 236 47.0 -1.416 52.54% -0.139 1.9418
Untended Land Crumbles 221 45.76 -1.669 52.94% 0.006 2.1078

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2882 58.82% 50.3 -0.173 58.71% 0.436 -0.2523
B 3225 59.48% 50.48 -0.094 59.22% 0.473 -0.3111
C 3778 55.46% 53.22 2.092 64.8% 0.865 -0.1476
D 2838 57.57% 50.9 0.056 60.08% 0.482 -0.2952
E 1250 52.4% 53.62 1.005 66.56% 0.617 -0.2777
F 1786 52.69% 51.36 -0.011 61.25% 0.409 -0.4316
G 1611 54.44% 53.02 1.141 64.68% 0.708 -0.1237
H 1740 54.06% 52.9 0.764 64.2% 0.546 -0.2927
East 527 30.27% 48.89 -1.341 38.14% -0.316 -0.8925
Northeast 464 34.86% 52.93 0.304 45.26% 0.198 -0.3265
Northwest 405 29.25% 53.89 -0.081 46.67% -0.173 -0.7677
Southeast 43 30.23% 43.7 -2.925 32.56% -0.173 -0.8017
Southwest 30 23.33% 41.9 -3.345 33.33% -0.139 -0.3373
West 488 24.22% 49.97 -1.479 39.75% -0.666 -0.9933

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 19 0.0% 45.74 -5.15 42.11% -0.902 1.1506
Not Using Events or Tokens 62 62.9% 32.05 -6.531 16.13% -1.161 -0.9457
Skip Initial Invader Actions 296 6.85% 73.3 7.227 89.19% 1.86 1.1735
Start of Game Growth 428 12.65% 69.0 5.344 84.81% 0.599 0.1301
Unlimited Undo 1163 49.18% 53.63 1.11 63.03% 0.237 -0.1856
Using Tokens but Not Events 551 31.95% 58.68 1.493 69.15% 0.06 0.0089

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3508 22.37 5.67%
II 5130 30.88 62.18%
III 2966 34.39 92.68%
IV 697 37.55 99.86%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.567 Win Model: -0.183
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7324 55.22% 47.38 51.15%
2 2387 62.66% 47.29 51.91%
3 1439 51.95% 55.07 69.35%
4 1151 43.96% 59.89 73.94%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 153
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2189
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2148
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 602
Lose: Invader deck ran out 6
Lose: Adversary condition 3712
Win: Sacrifice victory 29
Lose: Scenario condition 140
Win: Scenario condition 153
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1526
Lose: Spirit destroyed 83

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4807 47.02% 51.22 -0.334 49.24% 0.017 0.1209
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2721 60.23% 40.98 -5.089 29.77% -0.937 -0.7387
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3063 49.93% 49.42 -0.86 48.42% -0.025 -0.1386
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4593 38.78% 55.64 2.084 57.63% 0.386 -0.0185
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2001 51.84% 48.03 -1.538 44.33% -0.234 -0.5396
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1328 49.62% 57.19 2.789 54.89% 0.168 0.5163
Heart of the Wildfire 4905 81.85% 43.71 -3.468 38.67% -0.424 -0.1049
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 17456 54.17% 56.58 3.084 62.61% 0.573 0.2301
Lightning's Swift Strike 7742 55.13% 56.19 2.735 59.84% 0.559 0.7849
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3408 54.27% 57.31 3.035 65.99% 0.668 0.3816
Many Minds Move as One 1291 47.48% 55.08 1.797 60.34% 0.387 -0.1459
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9296 51.55% 53.78 0.975 55.27% 0.29 0.0652
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3537 54.45% 51.63 0.309 52.64% 0.18 0.194
River Surges in Sunlight 9435 53.45% 53.66 1.037 51.99% 0.057 0.1781
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5964 46.88% 46.11 -3.313 40.09% -0.663 -0.5603
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2442 63.8% 43.84 -3.961 35.01% -0.797 -0.392
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6212 47.63% 56.7 2.675 62.33% 0.542 0.4299
Shifting Memory of Ages 373 60.32% 43.88 -3.738 37.53% -0.644 -0.5195
Shroud of Silent Mist 591 70.75% 43.86 -3.629 38.75% -0.529 -0.4727
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4461 46.15% 48.86 -1.074 50.03% 0.052 -0.0073
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3707 54.21% 57.47 3.348 63.96% 0.705 0.866
Thunderspeaker 4731 51.82% 50.93 -0.257 44.98% -0.035 -0.0111
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2831 76.71% 43.41 -3.701 41.29% -0.413 -0.4414
Vital Strength of the Earth 3263 54.38% 37.87 -6.971 22.16% -1.543 -0.6993
Volcano Looming High 2118 61.51% 53.97 1.317 61.8% 0.462 0.4731

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 843 39.9% 37.49 -7.636 25.5% -1.479 -0.9133
Dahan Insurrection 4 2288 37.36% 61.11 6.256 38.64% 0.09 0.4906
Despicable Theft 2 13 84.62% 56.85 2.454 46.15% -0.055 0.2193
Elemental Invocation 1 89 64.04% 41.78 -5.193 26.97% -1.215 -0.7129
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7649 28.36% 61.97 5.674 69.67% 1.14 1.5045
Powers Long Forgotten 1 210 53.81% 44.65 -2.735 29.05% -0.79 -0.3441
Rituals of Terror 3 217 51.15% 46.82 -1.377 23.04% -0.901 -0.2563
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 81 74.07% 37.78 -5.325 11.11% -1.65 -1.0031
Second Wave 0 532 60.9% 47.11 -2.775 35.71% -1.032 -0.6019
The Great River 3 21 42.86% 37.43 -7.852 9.52% -1.977 -0.5036
Ward the Shores 2 328 52.29% 39.88 -4.91 15.85% -1.63 -0.5979

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 56737 55.1% 50.36 -0.35 50.61% -0.305 -0.2191
1 Thematic 2676 38.07% 44.54 -3.173 22.57% -0.678 -0.4007
2 Archipelago 11 72.73% 54.0 0.848 45.45% -0.989 -0.9824
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7760 63.94% 52.37 0.775 55.06% -0.249 -0.223
2 Coastline 1495 51.04% 55.84 1.729 60.87% -0.178 -0.2025
2 Fragment 480 68.33% 56.44 2.319 65.0% -0.069 0.1539
2 Heart 119 68.91% 51.64 0.365 52.94% -0.469 -0.3687
2 Opposite Shores 1463 57.77% 46.79 -2.385 42.86% -0.918 -0.8523
2 Thematic 682 35.54% 43.6 -3.258 19.5% 0.052 -0.0151
2 Top to Top 373 52.82% 55.91 2.094 60.32% -0.126 -0.1954
3 Archipelago 2 50.0% 84.0 14.205 100.0% 0.368 1.1724
3 Coastline 35 60.0% 49.09 -1.795 42.86% -1.027 -1.1773
3 Other 126 57.14% 55.1 1.268 60.32% -0.889 -0.7159
3 Round (Default) 3969 55.27% 53.79 0.685 57.14% -0.494 -0.5331
3 Sunrise 73 42.47% 66.6 5.337 83.56% 0.157 -0.1031
3 Thematic 101 33.66% 41.2 -4.78 15.84% 0.23 -0.1364
4 Coastline 46 17.39% 75.57 8.357 93.48% 0.61 0.7294
4 Leaf 9 55.56% 50.67 -0.575 55.56% -0.478 -0.4062
4 Other 66 45.45% 65.26 5.257 83.33% 0.354 0.2842
4 Thematic 1147 29.29% 56.85 1.746 48.82% 2.415 1.4185
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2530 48.33% 58.05 1.615 62.73% -0.555 -0.5473
5 Coastline 3 0.0% 79.67 9.745 100.0% 0.077 -0.1122
5 Other 30 56.67% 75.07 9.072 93.33% 0.236 -0.2247
5 Thematic 8 75.0% 84.63 15.719 100.0% 2.919 0.527

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3912 49.13 -0.824 50.15% 0.068 2.1372
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3493 50.19 -0.438 50.73% 0.045 1.9581
All Things Weaken 1752 50.0 -0.799 52.63% 0.006 2.1658
Back Against the Wall 3233 48.34 -1.332 47.11% -0.091 1.9956
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3840 44.1 -3.314 42.97% -0.232 1.9903
Downward Spiral 4723 48.38 -1.532 49.46% -0.015 2.0066
Erosion of Will 3891 46.23 -2.35 43.95% -0.222 1.9861
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 893 54.98 1.422 61.03% 0.292 0.9709
Memory Fades to Dust 4607 47.3 -2.055 46.78% -0.135 2.0801
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1771 49.51 -0.857 53.08% 0.074 2.0955
Promising Farmlands 3792 42.45 -4.193 36.55% -0.53 1.6782
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 524 56.19 1.951 65.08% 0.466 0.8771
Thriving Communities 1771 50.24 -0.476 55.45% 0.205 2.2927
Tipping Point 1873 44.89 -2.906 42.18% -0.241 1.9833
Unnatural Proliferation 1807 50.62 -0.384 52.3% 0.027 2.1077
Untended Land Crumbles 1743 48.5 -1.43 50.37% -0.059 2.0435

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 15767 56.93% 49.85 -0.777 48.93% 1.27 0.5826
B 17094 56.2% 51.85 0.167 53.42% 1.395 0.6113
C 21089 56.2% 53.99 1.875 57.68% 1.713 0.7003
D 15331 56.01% 50.58 -0.436 50.39% 1.312 0.535
E 7849 54.03% 55.36 2.018 60.86% 1.68 0.7861
F 10188 54.79% 52.51 0.414 54.63% 1.393 0.5524
G 7910 55.68% 51.24 0.003 51.95% 1.387 0.5551
H 8553 54.13% 52.54 0.408 54.48% 1.41 0.5706
East 2227 32.11% 51.09 -0.506 33.95% 0.422 -0.154
Northeast 2349 38.05% 51.56 0.283 36.14% 0.875 0.3509
Northwest 1709 30.86% 51.12 -0.938 36.75% 0.202 -0.3928
Southeast 209 33.97% 50.89 -1.132 39.71% 0.446 -0.1827
Southwest 221 31.67% 47.12 -3.55 38.46% 0.179 -0.0193
West 1998 28.25% 49.69 -1.544 33.63% 0.015 -0.3125

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 119 0.0% 54.51 -3.536 52.1% -1.149 0.9041
Not Using Events or Tokens 1101 31.91% 46.43 -2.225 19.89% -0.733 -0.518
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2127 15.83% 70.85 6.287 82.13% 0.749 0.0625
Start of Game Growth 3590 19.29% 69.64 6.644 81.39% 1.081 0.612
Unlimited Undo 7855 48.53% 58.25 3.173 66.01% 0.593 0.1703
Using Tokens but Not Events 5071 41.55% 57.23 2.008 63.32% 0.183 0.1322

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 25430 22.37 4.13%
II 33136 30.88 59.43%
III 18410 34.39 91.78%
IV 2965 37.55 99.6%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.562 Win Model: -1.197
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 59500 54.34% 50.12 49.39%
2 12355 60.0% 51.87 52.82%
3 4278 54.52% 53.71 56.57%
4 3808 42.16% 58.09 59.32%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 755
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14358
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 15618
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2621
Lose: Invader deck ran out 38
Lose: Adversary condition 28216
Win: Sacrifice victory 191
Lose: Scenario condition 764
Win: Scenario condition 936
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9658
Lose: Spirit destroyed 673

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2025-04-15 02:07:53 (Pacific Time)