The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3304 31.74% 31.6 0.607 82.26% 0.298 0.25
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2050 55.57% 26.96 -0.566 71.32% 0.095 0.1586
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1970 34.29% 30.52 0.665 85.99% 0.224 -0.0143
Downpour Drenches the World 63 31.75% 27.98 -1.282 73.02% -0.814 -0.4224
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2383 25.36% 33.53 2.143 90.77% 0.737 0.3222
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1931 28.58% 32.27 1.258 91.04% 0.882 0.2869
Finder of Paths Unseen 22 54.55% 25.0 -2.213 54.55% -0.574 -0.1691
Fractured Days Split the Sky 378 40.05% 30.2 2.657 71.69% 0.228 0.2703
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 388 49.74% 29.58 -0.14 75.77% 0.122 0.1056
Heart of the Wildfire 2701 60.12% 27.1 -1.178 74.68% -0.543 -0.2142
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5405 30.46% 34.94 1.238 87.77% 0.5 -0.1347
Lightning's Swift Strike 3152 41.93% 30.99 -0.246 79.98% -0.131 0.1418
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 30 43.33% 32.6 1.554 90.0% 0.727 -0.1052
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 295 34.69% 31.66 2.376 86.1% 0.802 0.2297
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 217 36.57% 31.43 -0.299 82.49% 0.114 -0.3107
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1013 38.24% 31.45 1.837 87.27% 0.622 0.4147
Many Minds Move as One 652 27.61% 31.96 0.265 87.73% -0.198 -0.7103
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3563 41.89% 30.44 -0.669 80.55% -0.274 -0.5573
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1828 37.87% 29.42 -0.147 82.44% 0.098 0.1306
River Surges in Sunlight 4757 32.36% 36.41 1.109 81.02% -0.376 -0.3702
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 390 49.35% 29.83 -0.538 70.51% -0.508 -0.0641
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 38 47.37% 30.61 1.745 73.68% 0.567 0.3239
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2881 31.37% 34.43 1.371 83.89% 0.319 0.1757
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2121 55.67% 28.45 1.404 71.52% 0.752 1.2539
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 10 20.0% 33.8 -4.234 60.0% -1.201 -1.0625
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 14 64.29% 29.14 0.687 92.86% 0.74 0.663
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 221 46.15% 30.09 -1.072 81.9% -0.094 -0.0962
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 166 55.76% 28.45 -2.031 78.31% 0.056 0.1256
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3581 32.51% 34.39 -0.247 85.76% 0.06 -0.2014
Shifting Memory of Ages 264 55.89% 26.19 -1.322 71.97% -0.072 -0.0502
Shroud of Silent Mist 412 57.42% 26.54 -1.07 73.79% -0.226 0.0192
Starlight Seeks its Form 403 28.04% 31.31 0.476 83.62% 0.629 0.4173
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1183 37.02% 27.67 -0.429 83.94% -0.176 -0.3453
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1556 38.06% 28.87 -1.946 78.86% -0.4 -0.2896
Thunderspeaker 3762 28.62% 38.57 2.005 87.72% 0.437 0.342
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 859 72.57% 23.17 -1.674 68.8% -0.03 -0.1274
Vital Strength of the Earth 2613 35.57% 27.41 -3.456 65.1% -1.327 -0.4448
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 20 40.0% 26.55 -2.175 70.0% -0.474 -0.073
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 196 47.42% 23.34 -3.437 51.53% -0.403 0.639
Volcano Looming High 562 46.61% 27.98 -2.57 81.67% -0.94 -0.9558

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 100.0% 35.0 0.0 100.0%
Blitz 0 435 44.01% 25.94 -2.413 69.66% 0.053 0.309
Dahan Insurrection 4 622 26.61% 49.21 7.477 78.3% -0.849 -0.5469
Despicable Theft 2 66 48.48% 33.42 3.691 66.67% -0.101 0.4437
Elemental Invocation 1 111 59.09% 26.16 -3.13 58.56% -0.908 -0.2967
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1319 11.92% 34.69 3.899 84.46% 0.625 0.8188
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1387 17.11% 51.07 3.385 90.63% 0.311 0.5566
Rituals of Terror 3 343 50.73% 35.86 3.078 61.22% -0.079 -0.9151
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 276 76.81% 33.63 7.543 55.43% 0.638 1.1632
Second Wave 0 511 57.53% 26.8 1.268 60.67% -0.587 -0.0141
The Great River 3 76 65.79% 29.75 -2.824 44.74% -0.985 0.6537
Varied Terrains 2 6 83.33% 34.67 0.775 66.67% -0.31 0.4358
Ward the Shores 2 472 45.55% 28.17 0.452 41.74% -1.271 -0.2164

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 23876 43.92% 28.0 -0.654 76.97% -0.319 0.1268
1 Thematic 2980 44.18% 32.6 0.875 66.64% -0.342 0.2895
2 Archipelago 12 50.0% 29.75 0.0 41.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5639 39.66% 29.37 -0.628 83.4% -0.203 0.1411
2 Coastline 416 39.37% 29.16 0.222 83.41% 0.133 0.2159
2 Fragment 106 50.0% 26.4 0.0 74.53%
2 Heart 61 50.85% 27.51 4.678 83.61% 0.02 0.6315
2 Opposite Shores 701 42.57% 29.07 -0.078 86.31% 0.309 0.6874
2 Thematic 661 44.39% 35.01 1.118 74.89% 0.064 0.5812
2 Top to Top 96 33.33% 29.47 11.407 86.46% 0.383 0.5225
3 Archipelago 8 50.0% 42.25 -1.22 100.0% 0.024 -0.953
3 Coastline 12 58.33% 27.0 0.0 41.67%
3 Other 60 40.0% 30.07 1.635 91.67% 0.069 -1.0025
3 Round (Default) 1750 34.65% 30.0 -0.185 86.4% -0.276 -0.0842
3 Sunrise 15 13.33% 31.53 -1.011 93.33% 0.057 0.3774
3 Thematic 131 45.04% 36.14 2.66 74.05% -0.004 -0.25
4 Coastline 3 100.0% 26.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 29.25 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 39 35.9% 29.03 0.0 89.74%
4 Thematic 1342 4.47% 57.36 3.211 98.51% 0.83 0.8359
4 Trapezoid (Default) 874 35.28% 29.49 0.287 83.75% -0.421 -0.5616
5 Other 6 50.0% 27.0 3.636 66.67% 0.032 -0.1434
5 Thematic 5 50.0% 43.2 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 53.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 2 50.0% 24.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 2 0.0% 34.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 12 25.0% 40.67 -5.242 75.0% -0.603 -0.1045
6 Two Centers (Default) 25 24.0% 31.32 -1.56 92.0% 0.141 0.367
7 Other 1 0.0% 52.0 2.636 100.0% 0.106 -0.6655

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1510 22.75 -3.696 60.4% -1.278 0.6316
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1287 22.73 -4.889 56.88% -1.895 -0.2106
All Things Weaken 531 21.85 -3.354 56.87% -1.187 0.8123
Back Against the Wall 1251 22.68 -3.928 57.23% -1.626 0.322
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1367 19.33 -5.098 53.62% -1.589 0.4767
Downward Spiral 2072 21.97 -5.65 62.93% -1.705 0.2576
Erosion of Will 1438 22.21 -3.673 57.58% -1.412 0.6957
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 243 28.38 -1.918 86.83% -0.078 0.5386
Memory Fades to Dust 1998 21.76 -5.136 59.11% -1.694 0.3629
Power Corrodes the Spirit 538 21.71 -4.892 59.48% -1.411 0.5675
Promising Farmlands 1384 19.88 -5.948 52.53% -1.845 0.2571
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 160 28.97 -1.696 91.88% -0.089 0.241
Thriving Communities 531 20.08 -3.305 54.8% -0.73 1.3195
Tipping Point 625 20.24 0.0 53.6%
Unnatural Proliferation 551 22.24 -4.241 56.81% -1.609 0.3349
Untended Land Crumbles 483 21.48 -2.494 60.66% -0.837 1.1899

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7923 42.27% 28.49 -0.615 79.35% -0.021 0.7384
B 8390 41.35% 28.67 -0.478 80.41% 0.016 0.6922
C 8458 40.37% 28.82 -0.007 80.62% 0.067 0.5917
D 7934 39.6% 28.98 -0.071 80.93% 0.322 1.0489
E 2484 41.68% 29.22 0.58 82.17% 0.26 0.8201
F 4284 41.4% 28.68 -0.065 81.21% 0.141 0.8307
G 4068 42.12% 28.31 -0.754 80.06% -0.108 0.5875
H 3952 39.88% 28.96 -0.58 81.76% 0.005 0.6658
East 3577 28.49% 43.25 2.939 81.44% 0.43 1.1096
Northeast 2543 22.88% 46.64 2.879 85.96% 0.102 0.6716
Northwest 2169 19.88% 48.36 2.079 88.47% 0.142 0.9839
Southeast 337 38.99% 33.66 0.873 70.62% -0.279 0.2473
Southwest 321 48.44% 29.28 1.863 66.98% 0.528 1.4691
West 3266 28.65% 42.58 0.381 79.98% -1.45 -0.4498

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 124 0.0% 30.81 -2.325 83.87% -0.398 1.7214
Not Using Events or Tokens 725 50.07% 27.95 1.417 74.62% 0.865 1.106
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1706 3.62% 53.74 1.876 97.42% -0.661 -1.0302
Start of Game Growth 2034 7.68% 50.33 2.213 95.38% 0.02 -0.6031
Unlimited Undo 2082 33.12% 31.34 0.353 85.06% 0.583 -0.0479
Using Tokens but Not Events 3893 33.87% 30.15 0.61 83.07% -0.218 -0.1746

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4551 22.62 37.27%
II 13067 31.05 71.36%
III 14515 34.62 88.9%
IV 6709 37.86 98.97%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.26 Win Model: 0.247
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 26943 44.03% 28.52 75.78%
2 7670 40.32% 29.74 82.93%
3 1927 34.95% 30.38 85.94%
4 2253 16.93% 46.1 92.72%
5 4 50.0% 27.75 50.0%
6 43 23.26% 34.74 88.37%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1689
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12491
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8723
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6576
Lose: Invader deck ran out 229
Lose: Adversary condition 2240
Win: Sacrifice victory 168
Lose: Scenario condition 328
Win: Scenario condition 918
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5211
Lose: Spirit destroyed 269

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1924 46.48% 31.95 1.157 74.58% -0.089 -0.137
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1203 65.69% 29.2 -0.303 63.09% -0.251 -0.1873
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1175 55.16% 30.9 -0.199 73.11% 0.121 -0.1174
Downpour Drenches the World 55 41.82% 30.87 -1.435 65.45% -0.66 -0.2683
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1561 37.56% 36.13 2.471 83.47% 1.004 0.5893
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1291 47.87% 34.25 1.127 81.87% 0.707 0.1126
Finder of Paths Unseen 21 76.19% 21.76 -3.529 38.1% -0.535 -0.131
Fractured Days Split the Sky 211 55.92% 32.16 3.557 63.98% 0.592 0.6347
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 233 64.5% 30.57 -1.033 69.53% -0.074 -0.0906
Heart of the Wildfire 1653 79.83% 24.12 -5.04 53.72% -1.062 -0.7335
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2990 54.59% 30.79 1.17 75.32% 0.783 0.1488
Lightning's Swift Strike 1776 62.91% 29.31 -2.0 65.65% -0.38 -0.1067
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 21 57.14% 31.76 0.002 76.19% 0.207 -0.6259
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 175 48.28% 35.33 3.548 82.29% 0.948 0.3755
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 138 52.55% 34.26 2.195 76.09% 0.081 -0.344
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 840 54.3% 32.67 1.765 78.57% 0.838 0.6306
Many Minds Move as One 518 39.58% 35.08 1.148 83.78% 0.512 -0.0004
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1952 62.7% 30.59 -0.747 70.85% -0.494 -0.7771
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1233 56.82% 30.07 -0.451 70.15% 0.155 0.188
River Surges in Sunlight 2254 58.32% 31.04 2.808 63.44% 0.657 0.6627
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 190 62.11% 28.73 -1.092 56.84% -0.148 0.2963
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 34 57.58% 35.62 2.843 61.76% -0.243 -0.4864
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1440 54.62% 29.71 -0.705 67.99% -0.046 -0.1899
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1109 76.76% 25.33 -2.989 49.68% -0.699 -0.1975
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 9 77.78% 24.56 -1.289 44.44% -0.047 0.092
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 8 50.0% 31.25 -4.119 62.5% -0.502 -0.5799
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 134 65.67% 27.68 -1.43 59.7% -0.315 -0.3173
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 96 73.68% 30.18 -6.646 64.58% -0.534 -0.4648
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2012 53.3% 31.48 1.379 72.61% 0.576 0.3141
Shifting Memory of Ages 201 63.18% 29.59 -0.563 67.16% -0.121 -0.099
Shroud of Silent Mist 250 80.32% 25.19 -5.67 55.6% -1.17 -0.9257
Starlight Seeks its Form 300 40.28% 33.66 2.867 79.67% 1.05 0.8385
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 730 49.86% 29.42 -0.123 76.3% 0.177 0.0074
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1035 56.42% 29.08 -0.174 65.02% 0.402 0.5128
Thunderspeaker 1843 55.83% 32.18 2.17 71.35% 0.864 0.7687
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 559 84.0% 23.13 -3.858 51.34% -0.457 -0.5543
Vital Strength of the Earth 1562 56.06% 25.39 -2.756 48.14% -0.803 0.0795
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 20 55.0% 31.55 -0.348 65.0% 0.162 0.5632
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 116 53.45% 23.29 -4.648 38.79% -0.965 0.0776
Volcano Looming High 427 68.78% 27.32 -0.698 64.87% -0.097 -0.1123

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 50.0% 28.5 0.0 50.0%
Blitz 0 432 55.12% 27.68 -2.32 63.19% -0.535 -0.2786
Dahan Insurrection 4 335 42.09% 49.67 10.681 68.96% -0.392 -0.0904
Despicable Theft 2 55 58.18% 33.07 -1.059 52.73% -1.003 -0.4586
Elemental Invocation 1 64 68.75% 29.34 -3.671 56.25% -0.502 0.1098
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 828 25.18% 35.02 4.188 74.64% 1.228 1.4221
Powers Long Forgotten 1 355 65.63% 31.09 0.033 54.93% -0.478 -0.2325
Rituals of Terror 3 218 66.97% 36.26 3.661 47.25% -0.295 -1.1312
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 174 81.61% 34.27 13.295 45.98% 0.426 0.9514
Second Wave 0 1248 57.91% 31.01 0.093 63.22% -0.529 0.0437
The Great River 3 50 80.0% 25.0 -5.51 24.0% -1.042 0.5973
Varied Terrains 2 9 55.56% 33.78 0.689 44.44% -0.74 0.0049
Ward the Shores 2 311 50.48% 28.67 -1.191 33.44% -1.122 -0.0676

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 13850 58.11% 28.44 -0.88 65.65% -0.173 0.2727
1 Thematic 2378 55.95% 33.11 1.455 58.66% -0.064 0.568
2 Archipelago 6 66.67% 38.83 0.0 100.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3321 59.32% 29.7 0.207 71.15% 0.196 0.5409
2 Coastline 319 56.05% 30.87 -0.466 73.98% -0.684 -0.6008
2 Fragment 112 59.46% 27.9 -1.299 65.18% 0.025 0.1129
2 Heart 52 70.59% 27.17 -5.136 65.38% -0.546 0.0653
2 Opposite Shores 586 57.8% 30.0 -0.494 72.7% 0.41 0.7882
2 Thematic 674 57.72% 33.73 3.008 60.68% 0.38 0.8969
2 Top to Top 81 70.37% 29.3 0.193 76.54% 0.07 0.2088
3 Archipelago 10 70.0% 33.7 0.0 40.0%
3 Coastline 9 66.67% 25.33 0.0 44.44%
3 Other 56 48.21% 33.68 5.231 85.71% 0.544 -0.5269
3 Round (Default) 1107 56.66% 31.48 0.698 76.78% -0.141 0.0509
3 Sunrise 12 58.33% 27.83 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 117 63.25% 33.99 -2.348 62.39% -0.348 -0.5933
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 37.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 32.4 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 23 52.17% 33.65 -11.276 82.61% -0.667 -1.2075
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 185 50.54% 37.84 8.546 72.97% 0.34 0.346
4 Trapezoid (Default) 469 51.51% 32.07 1.247 74.41% 0.84 0.6985
5 Other 15 71.43% 33.6 4.27 53.33% 0.039 -0.1364
6 Archipelago 2 100.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 1 100.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Thematic 13 33.33% 43.38 -0.862 76.92% -0.193 0.3056
6 Two Centers (Default) 9 22.22% 44.78 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1250 24.97 -2.551 53.36% -1.028 0.8814
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1013 25.27 -2.552 51.43% -1.285 0.3997
All Things Weaken 475 24.05 -3.091 52.42% -0.998 1.0013
Back Against the Wall 996 24.88 -5.15 51.41% -1.897 0.0513
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1086 21.13 -6.227 46.87% -1.521 0.5442
Downward Spiral 1687 23.64 -3.595 55.48% -1.164 0.7984
Erosion of Will 1238 23.82 -2.275 49.11% -0.906 1.2011
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 179 31.63 -1.65 81.01% -0.346 0.2699
Memory Fades to Dust 1754 23.28 -5.618 51.14% -1.669 0.3881
Power Corrodes the Spirit 485 23.0 -2.645 50.93% -1.111 0.868
Promising Farmlands 1188 21.84 -5.356 45.37% -2.092 0.0102
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 103 32.6 -0.174 81.55% -0.184 0.1455
Thriving Communities 483 22.43 -4.617 45.55% -1.391 0.6583
Tipping Point 530 23.35 0.0 49.43%
Unnatural Proliferation 554 25.14 -1.815 51.44% -0.876 1.068
Untended Land Crumbles 466 22.97 -3.627 51.5% -0.9 1.1265

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4759 59.31% 28.73 -0.289 67.03% -0.146 0.6135
B 5021 57.71% 29.72 0.075 70.66% 0.11 0.7867
C 4986 56.51% 29.95 -0.431 71.08% -0.163 0.3624
D 4721 58.55% 29.44 -0.073 69.01% 0.215 0.942
E 1724 57.52% 29.66 1.478 69.03% 0.69 1.25
F 2599 59.11% 29.4 -0.141 69.33% 0.253 0.9428
G 2364 57.82% 29.51 -0.797 68.49% -0.41 0.2856
H 2426 55.25% 30.21 0.649 71.68% 0.315 0.9754
East 2062 55.2% 34.81 3.432 62.42% 0.382 1.0613
Northeast 1147 55.77% 34.99 2.633 63.82% 0.545 1.1148
Northwest 960 55.65% 34.65 3.431 64.17% 0.449 1.2909
Southeast 290 50.0% 33.68 0.72 62.76% -0.101 0.4259
Southwest 286 55.99% 29.12 -1.874 58.74% -0.636 0.3047
West 1934 57.39% 32.91 0.913 59.0% -0.785 0.2147

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 98 0.0% 26.65 -5.549 57.14% -0.59 1.5286
Not Using Events or Tokens 363 65.34% 27.84 -11.426 62.53% -0.447 -0.2065
Skip Initial Invader Actions 392 18.16% 44.94 2.845 91.07% 0.299 -0.0695
Start of Game Growth 549 21.44% 43.39 3.971 90.16% 0.997 0.3742
Unlimited Undo 1705 52.24% 30.93 0.707 72.43% 0.261 -0.3696
Using Tokens but Not Events 2278 53.67% 29.54 -0.006 69.71% -0.057 -0.013

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2947 22.62 8.59%
II 6962 31.05 47.2%
III 8719 34.62 84.16%
IV 4788 37.86 99.16%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.379 Win Model: 0.142
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 16299 57.88% 29.14 64.59%
2 5125 58.94% 30.31 70.28%
3 1274 56.46% 31.55 75.43%
4 686 51.91% 33.63 74.2%
5 8 71.43% 43.75 75.0%
6 24 34.78% 42.46 83.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 252
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7124
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3029
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4699
Lose: Invader deck ran out 101
Lose: Adversary condition 2015
Win: Sacrifice victory 95
Lose: Scenario condition 273
Win: Scenario condition 426
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5118
Lose: Spirit destroyed 284

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3600 35.71% 36.53 0.493 56.44% 0.074 0.0262
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2058 51.51% 30.43 -1.377 39.55% -0.405 -0.3413
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2219 38.97% 33.91 -0.48 52.86% 0.009 -0.2289
Downpour Drenches the World 149 31.54% 32.4 -1.36 40.27% -0.211 0.1808
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2819 28.46% 39.23 1.224 62.75% 0.397 -0.0182
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1833 38.54% 34.04 -1.527 49.37% -0.239 -0.8338
Finder of Paths Unseen 32 40.63% 28.31 -1.798 25.0% -0.457 -0.0521
Fractured Days Split the Sky 572 41.51% 36.65 1.584 48.08% -0.105 -0.063
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 707 55.3% 39.34 1.356 60.11% 0.272 0.2547
Heart of the Wildfire 3658 68.0% 33.29 -0.833 56.21% -0.109 0.2198
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5665 43.25% 36.61 2.559 61.69% 0.872 0.2376
Lightning's Swift Strike 2706 48.55% 36.87 0.415 61.2% 0.47 0.7436
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 67 39.68% 43.42 4.778 77.61% 1.31 0.477
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 519 41.01% 43.69 3.35 76.3% 0.976 0.4037
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 331 42.6% 42.34 -1.249 66.77% -0.183 -0.6076
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1817 41.37% 39.12 3.058 67.31% 1.057 0.8498
Many Minds Move as One 948 35.37% 37.71 0.034 61.6% -0.005 -0.5171
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3925 48.72% 34.33 1.583 51.29% 0.675 0.3925
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2093 38.28% 35.81 1.007 57.48% 0.579 0.6115
River Surges in Sunlight 4479 41.5% 37.23 -1.938 52.42% -0.776 -0.7703
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 434 46.17% 32.99 -2.207 39.63% -0.643 -0.1988
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 107 52.38% 35.64 -0.916 38.32% -0.704 -0.9471
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3209 42.01% 30.27 -1.76 39.89% -0.374 -0.5178
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1614 62.14% 28.55 -4.59 35.32% -0.718 -0.2159
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 17 76.47% 32.88 -2.68 47.06% -0.693 -0.5546
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 16 56.25% 42.44 2.679 75.0% 0.54 0.4621
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 381 51.97% 34.38 -1.113 51.18% -0.268 -0.2699
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 162 62.35% 31.79 -4.239 43.83% -0.273 -0.2036
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3618 41.44% 38.96 2.918 66.09% 1.032 0.7707
Shifting Memory of Ages 468 54.49% 30.2 -0.519 39.32% -0.09 -0.0681
Shroud of Silent Mist 525 63.55% 29.33 -2.996 40.95% -0.296 -0.0509
Starlight Seeks its Form 549 40.62% 31.83 -0.192 40.62% 0.035 -0.1765
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1661 35.95% 31.9 0.43 51.11% 0.438 0.2685
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1791 40.48% 38.41 -0.182 64.21% -0.019 0.0914
Thunderspeaker 3320 43.74% 38.25 2.132 59.67% 0.632 0.5365
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1267 68.72% 27.86 -4.719 41.28% -0.852 -0.9493
Vital Strength of the Earth 2471 38.48% 26.71 -2.684 27.68% -0.469 0.4134
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 55 40.74% 33.09 -3.542 43.64% -0.757 -0.3564
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 194 43.01% 28.28 -4.928 35.05% -1.068 -0.0256
Volcano Looming High 936 50.32% 34.86 1.6 58.97% 0.644 0.6287

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 18 38.89% 26.39 -4.168 16.67% -0.613 -0.1726
Blitz 0 545 34.19% 21.88 -5.303 19.63% -0.552 -0.2957
Dahan Insurrection 4 700 26.0% 57.4 8.209 64.29% 0.487 0.7889
Despicable Theft 2 87 67.82% 36.38 13.516 40.23% 1.056 1.6008
Elemental Invocation 1 105 53.33% 31.9 5.711 39.05% 0.646 1.2577
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1270 19.52% 41.67 2.579 68.19% 0.263 0.4568
Powers Long Forgotten 1 337 53.41% 34.93 4.4 43.03% 0.176 0.4216
Rituals of Terror 3 175 50.86% 43.39 0.0 48.0%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 81 68.75% 37.56 22.23 34.57% 0.632 1.1579
Second Wave 0 683 45.37% 32.46 -1.611 39.09% -0.897 -0.3248
The Great River 3 44 18.18% 26.23 -1.265 6.82% -1.303 0.3356
Varied Terrains 2 13 69.23% 37.23 0.869 38.46% 0.124 0.8694
Ward the Shores 2 404 44.8% 36.97 0.176 36.88% -0.625 0.4294

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 26550 45.89% 33.17 -0.707 50.94% 0.042 0.4878
1 Thematic 1339 38.91% 34.12 -5.076 36.52% -0.823 -0.1906
2 Archipelago 19 78.95% 33.16 7.356 42.11% 0.148 0.1613
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6608 47.69% 34.55 0.872 55.36% 0.17 0.5142
2 Coastline 677 46.06% 34.86 4.301 54.95% 1.21 1.293
2 Fragment 166 64.46% 29.8 -3.192 43.37% -0.531 -0.4434
2 Heart 53 52.83% 32.64 0.0 52.83%
2 Opposite Shores 1360 49.78% 32.77 -0.687 50.22% -0.297 0.0808
2 Thematic 643 38.32% 32.05 1.289 30.17% -0.013 0.504
2 Top to Top 179 53.63% 35.92 -1.211 61.45% 0.092 0.2311
3 Archipelago 4 100.0% 53.0 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 9 22.22% 42.22 5.366 66.67% 0.193 -0.4561
3 Other 67 40.3% 37.84 5.499 68.66% 1.012 -0.0589
3 Round (Default) 2497 43.84% 36.25 -0.31 58.43% -0.512 -0.32
3 Sunrise 9 33.33% 42.67 0.0 77.78%
3 Thematic 123 41.46% 36.59 -1.987 39.02% -0.298 -0.5431
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 92.0 26.639 100.0% 0.49 0.0884
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 17.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 11 63.64% 35.36 0.0 63.64%
4 Other 46 43.48% 42.85 0.0 78.26%
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 536 16.6% 52.1 4.675 72.2% 0.321 0.3265
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1170 42.59% 38.42 0.362 62.56% -0.246 -0.3866
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 31.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 23 65.22% 38.09 -7.863 52.17% -0.557 -0.7327
5 Thematic 8 25.0% 54.25 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 4 0.0% 48.25 0.0 75.0%
6 Star 2 0.0% 56.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 61 28.81% 42.46 -0.644 42.62% -0.412 0.0864
6 Two Centers (Default) 20 50.0% 39.25 -4.152 70.0% -0.463 -0.2366

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1770 30.82 -3.161 49.04% -0.502 1.4079
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1502 32.28 0.31 50.4% 0.128 1.8125
All Things Weaken 767 30.28 0.566 46.54% 0.325 2.3246
Back Against the Wall 1447 31.73 -0.977 48.72% -0.108 1.8404
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1697 27.3 -1.689 43.02% -0.044 2.0215
Downward Spiral 2067 30.19 -1.364 48.96% 0.053 2.0158
Erosion of Will 1678 29.32 -1.709 44.16% -0.069 2.0381
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 408 32.94 -1.08 53.19% -0.022 0.5938
Memory Fades to Dust 2145 29.38 -4.132 45.17% -0.903 1.1549
Power Corrodes the Spirit 721 29.49 -4.0 45.35% -0.808 1.1707
Promising Farmlands 1780 26.29 -3.647 35.11% -0.778 1.3244
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 205 34.65 0.824 60.0% 0.365 0.6945
Thriving Communities 742 29.4 -3.946 47.3% -0.585 1.4643
Tipping Point 791 27.05 0.0 39.19%
Unnatural Proliferation 710 30.07 -2.266 43.8% -0.384 1.5597
Untended Land Crumbles 719 28.29 -4.374 43.39% -0.915 1.1113

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9199 47.82% 33.47 -0.636 51.83% -0.288 0.4718
B 10041 46.36% 34.56 -0.311 54.89% -0.239 0.4377
C 10580 44.65% 34.44 0.562 54.24% 0.018 0.5432
D 9384 47.33% 33.53 0.652 51.64% 0.014 0.7405
E 3773 44.72% 36.17 0.95 58.34% 0.099 0.6585
F 5053 46.03% 34.9 -0.519 55.33% -0.251 0.4384
G 4782 45.65% 34.9 0.02 55.29% 0.053 0.7484
H 4940 45.26% 35.25 1.0 56.09% 0.187 0.8482
East 1908 32.65% 39.73 1.56 45.96% 0.098 0.7772
Northeast 1248 31.89% 41.82 0.672 50.24% -0.245 0.3249
Northwest 1097 30.59% 42.26 -0.89 51.6% -0.98 -0.138
Southeast 247 28.16% 38.95 -1.473 44.13% -1.058 -0.5317
Southwest 241 31.38% 36.88 -1.536 41.49% -0.687 0.2542
West 1835 31.59% 38.85 0.772 44.41% -0.061 0.9392

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 81 0.0% 36.58 -2.117 59.26% -0.483 1.6358
Not Using Events or Tokens 281 38.6% 27.22 -11.758 27.76% -1.355 -1.1143
Skip Initial Invader Actions 417 15.94% 50.6 7.802 79.62% 0.884 0.5149
Start of Game Growth 901 20.67% 48.15 4.675 74.03% 0.479 -0.1433
Unlimited Undo 2614 42.94% 36.52 0.826 58.57% -0.043 -0.6739
Using Tokens but Not Events 2639 40.4% 34.2 -0.387 51.99% 0.142 0.1859

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10094 22.62 3.96%
II 16401 31.05 43.99%
III 11303 34.62 88.02%
IV 4411 37.86 99.27%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.322 Win Model: 0.297
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 28000 45.61% 33.23 50.2%
2 9677 47.65% 34.09 52.92%
3 2670 43.24% 36.44 58.28%
4 1767 34.95% 42.75 65.82%
5 10 40.0% 32.1 40.0%
6 85 31.33% 42.73 51.76%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 399
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9668
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6637
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4350
Lose: Invader deck ran out 32
Lose: Adversary condition 15195
Win: Sacrifice victory 98
Lose: Scenario condition 362
Win: Scenario condition 791
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4374
Lose: Spirit destroyed 303

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3024 45.38% 40.19 -0.081 50.93% -0.225 -0.2725
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1650 62.27% 33.04 -0.79 32.48% -0.093 -0.0295
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1844 50.0% 39.52 2.06 51.41% 0.5 0.2621
Downpour Drenches the World 131 44.62% 34.88 -2.073 30.53% -0.671 -0.279
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2386 44.39% 43.47 2.512 58.38% 0.537 0.1224
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1550 49.68% 38.23 0.948 44.77% 0.122 -0.4726
Finder of Paths Unseen 48 52.08% 37.52 -1.023 41.67% -0.29 0.1141
Fractured Days Split the Sky 564 51.6% 41.46 1.738 44.15% -0.132 -0.0902
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 669 61.29% 44.88 1.4 61.88% 0.184 0.1675
Heart of the Wildfire 2750 80.28% 34.09 -2.669 43.05% -0.277 0.0517
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8496 53.8% 41.52 1.758 55.65% 0.551 -0.0829
Lightning's Swift Strike 2424 59.48% 39.09 0.995 50.58% 0.141 0.4143
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 90 62.07% 46.46 3.521 65.56% 0.852 0.019
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 509 51.77% 48.35 5.181 69.94% 0.998 0.4261
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 321 55.76% 44.83 2.854 59.5% 0.539 0.1145
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1653 60.53% 40.94 0.427 56.02% 0.027 -0.1801
Many Minds Move as One 776 40.9% 43.12 2.092 58.25% 0.352 -0.1605
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3705 56.47% 39.58 0.208 50.31% 0.059 -0.2239
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1911 52.97% 39.29 1.105 50.76% 0.461 0.4932
River Surges in Sunlight 4111 52.55% 40.14 0.993 46.07% 0.097 0.1025
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 379 56.61% 35.58 -3.721 34.56% -0.827 -0.3823
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 84 54.22% 49.42 5.286 63.1% 0.696 0.4526
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2897 51.04% 36.05 -1.959 40.25% -0.35 -0.4941
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1278 72.39% 31.73 -1.254 30.2% -0.12 0.3817
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 12 75.0% 35.33 1.195 33.33% 0.043 0.1814
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 27 70.37% 37.48 0.257 44.44% -0.082 -0.1592
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 288 68.75% 36.44 -1.2 41.32% -0.113 -0.1151
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 131 70.77% 31.89 0.0 29.77%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3881 51.19% 43.27 2.865 60.37% 0.668 0.406
Shifting Memory of Ages 444 70.95% 35.25 -1.38 39.64% -0.354 -0.3321
Shroud of Silent Mist 510 71.18% 30.38 -5.264 28.43% -1.185 -0.9402
Starlight Seeks its Form 505 53.66% 38.86 -1.857 45.94% -0.449 -0.6605
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1763 50.54% 37.04 -1.686 49.23% 0.037 -0.132
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1446 54.92% 41.61 0.299 56.29% 0.224 0.3341
Thunderspeaker 3033 57.36% 41.2 1.973 51.57% 0.484 0.3887
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1330 78.77% 32.01 -3.813 37.44% -0.492 -0.5888
Vital Strength of the Earth 1977 50.51% 31.59 -3.984 28.12% -0.585 0.2977
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 39 38.89% 35.44 -1.501 35.9% -0.457 -0.0562
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 174 45.98% 30.43 -7.524 23.56% -0.863 0.1787
Volcano Looming High 1000 65.8% 38.2 0.534 52.9% 0.277 0.2617

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 100.0% 53.5 10.35 100.0% 0.532 0.9719
Blitz 0 333 37.65% 28.04 -4.006 21.92% -0.595 -0.3393
Dahan Insurrection 4 452 43.36% 52.71 6.073 42.7% -0.199 0.1026
Despicable Theft 2 24 54.17% 49.67 1.441 58.33% -0.15 0.3943
Elemental Invocation 1 55 63.64% 35.91 -2.497 34.55% -0.392 0.2196
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1246 22.04% 50.35 1.561 72.55% 0.274 0.4679
Powers Long Forgotten 1 190 62.63% 37.53 -1.913 37.37% -0.359 -0.1134
Rituals of Terror 3 140 61.59% 40.91 0.0 30.0%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 87 77.01% 36.59 17.684 22.99% 0.552 1.077
Second Wave 0 432 52.78% 33.66 -1.948 28.7% -0.735 -0.1627
The Great River 3 22 40.91% 33.55 0.213 13.64% -0.571 1.0679
Varied Terrains 2 5 40.0% 35.2 -7.401 20.0% -0.55 0.1953
Ward the Shores 2 195 58.97% 34.06 -5.871 20.0% -1.673 -0.6185

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 27423 56.54% 37.73 -0.82 46.49% -0.194 0.2515
1 Thematic 1135 43.83% 34.16 -2.845 23.88% -0.412 0.2199
2 Archipelago 5 80.0% 50.0 0.0 80.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5895 60.65% 38.68 0.107 49.97% -0.082 0.2622
2 Coastline 598 58.89% 40.07 0.129 54.35% 0.1 0.1832
2 Fragment 150 64.0% 39.84 10.193 54.0% 1.078 1.1657
2 Heart 52 76.92% 46.4 7.688 67.31% 1.164 1.7756
2 Opposite Shores 1215 54.28% 39.5 -2.282 51.77% -0.708 -0.3302
2 Thematic 328 40.24% 32.09 -5.934 17.99% -1.038 -0.5206
2 Top to Top 142 65.96% 39.09 -0.504 52.82% 0.044 0.1832
3 Coastline 19 31.58% 43.05 -3.294 47.37% -0.377 -1.0259
3 Other 89 44.94% 48.93 -8.43 77.53% -0.371 -1.4427
3 Round (Default) 2518 56.58% 42.55 3.099 58.3% 0.301 0.4935
3 Sunrise 11 45.45% 49.73 6.685 72.73% 0.301 0.6206
3 Thematic 110 30.91% 34.0 -3.547 20.91% -0.648 -0.8932
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 36.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Coastline 3 100.0% 49.0 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 10 50.0% 36.0 0.0 40.0%
4 Other 50 58.0% 41.46 0.0 56.0%
4 Thematic 307 36.39% 39.19 9.311 30.94% 0.49 0.4962
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1057 51.35% 44.07 -2.274 60.64% -0.743 -0.8838
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 43.33 0.0 33.33%
5 Other 22 80.0% 49.41 3.166 63.64% 0.277 0.102
5 Thematic 2 100.0% 67.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 21 28.57% 51.0 -5.786 61.9% -0.73 -0.0334
6 Star 7 28.57% 49.71 3.773 57.14% 0.249 0.7812
6 Thematic 29 32.14% 40.07 2.451 17.24% 0.047 0.5453
6 Two Centers (Default) 29 37.93% 44.62 1.311 51.72% -0.082 0.1436
7 Other 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2154 36.22 -2.302 45.64% -0.321 1.5884
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1853 38.36 -1.076 49.27% -0.214 1.4707
All Things Weaken 973 37.02 -3.241 48.3% -0.643 1.3572
Back Against the Wall 1816 37.16 0.038 46.64% 0.213 2.1614
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1989 32.51 -2.913 39.37% -0.375 1.6907
Downward Spiral 2503 34.95 -0.04 44.51% 0.381 2.3439
Erosion of Will 2136 34.73 -0.6 41.2% 0.005 2.1119
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 427 40.96 2.871 56.44% 0.461 1.0768
Memory Fades to Dust 2427 35.05 -2.191 43.51% -0.251 1.806
Power Corrodes the Spirit 888 35.88 -0.875 46.17% 0.0 1.9789
Promising Farmlands 2047 31.77 -2.251 34.44% -0.441 1.6611
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 251 42.2 2.03 59.36% 0.526 0.8558
Thriving Communities 953 36.24 1.574 47.85% 0.479 2.5282
Tipping Point 917 33.01 0.0 37.73%
Unnatural Proliferation 942 37.0 -2.263 45.22% -0.419 1.5246
Untended Land Crumbles 894 33.96 -1.54 41.16% -0.23 1.7963

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9107 58.73% 38.58 0.888 48.84% -0.026 0.7334
B 9594 56.95% 39.19 -0.185 50.31% -0.241 0.4352
C 9945 55.54% 39.65 1.39 51.23% 0.055 0.5804
D 8984 56.86% 39.09 1.773 49.98% 0.174 0.9006
E 3878 57.07% 41.31 0.848 55.31% -0.026 0.5342
F 5236 56.21% 39.51 -1.016 50.88% -0.428 0.262
G 4915 57.98% 38.3 -0.846 48.08% -0.351 0.3449
H 4839 55.92% 40.51 -0.516 53.15% -0.233 0.4273
East 1320 39.82% 36.0 0.762 24.92% -0.417 0.2621
Northeast 810 39.33% 37.69 1.756 27.65% -0.144 0.4263
Northwest 639 40.41% 35.87 2.818 25.04% 0.283 1.1252
Southeast 172 44.44% 33.92 -0.33 23.26% -0.628 -0.1016
Southwest 169 42.26% 30.79 -3.856 20.12% -1.083 -0.1416
West 1164 39.02% 33.93 0.227 21.56% -0.202 0.7984

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 70 0.0% 44.53 0.848 64.29% 0.041 2.1599
Not Using Events or Tokens 281 48.73% 30.09 0.0 24.2%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 601 13.31% 56.69 -0.145 77.87% -0.491 -0.8599
Start of Game Growth 863 17.37% 54.17 4.267 74.74% 0.921 0.2988
Unlimited Undo 3080 50.89% 41.19 2.314 53.31% 0.426 -0.205
Using Tokens but Not Events 2152 49.38% 38.12 -1.675 47.12% -0.506 -0.4624

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 13700 22.62 2.82%
II 12943 31.05 44.82%
III 10077 34.62 88.42%
IV 4521 37.86 99.14%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.57 Win Model: 0.283
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 28638 56.08% 37.6 45.59%
2 8341 58.95% 38.72 49.61%
3 2738 54.84% 42.42 57.45%
4 1431 48.62% 42.89 53.81%
5 6 80.0% 57.17 66.67%
6 87 32.56% 44.89 42.53%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 386
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8714
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5575
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4449
Lose: Invader deck ran out 124
Lose: Adversary condition 14828
Win: Sacrifice victory 97
Lose: Scenario condition 332
Win: Scenario condition 358
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5962
Lose: Spirit destroyed 416

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2429 40.59% 45.1 0.8 53.89% 0.023 -0.0243
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1186 58.71% 36.15 -2.734 32.38% -0.166 -0.1021
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2058 42.12% 47.49 -3.155 62.39% -0.483 -0.7211
Downpour Drenches the World 106 44.34% 34.14 -3.764 25.47% -0.709 -0.3177
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1574 44.08% 45.22 1.915 53.56% 0.319 -0.0958
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1650 39.81% 48.74 1.659 62.73% 0.377 -0.2181
Finder of Paths Unseen 29 48.28% 33.1 -7.994 24.14% -0.98 -0.5758
Fractured Days Split the Sky 419 49.16% 46.34 4.843 49.16% 0.496 0.5386
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 411 59.85% 45.23 2.81 53.28% 0.45 0.433
Heart of the Wildfire 2356 76.22% 38.64 -3.21 43.89% -0.045 0.284
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4943 48.0% 45.68 1.504 57.39% 0.371 -0.2637
Lightning's Swift Strike 1528 58.95% 43.44 2.718 51.37% 0.658 0.9313
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 59 67.27% 49.64 5.915 64.41% 1.491 0.6584
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 328 51.53% 52.75 9.501 69.51% 1.599 1.027
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 187 44.92% 50.15 3.753 66.31% 0.56 0.1351
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1183 55.5% 46.32 -2.043 59.43% -0.183 -0.3899
Many Minds Move as One 494 45.75% 47.23 9.675 59.31% 1.651 1.1392
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3488 50.37% 45.29 2.051 55.33% 0.42 0.137
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1318 50.76% 44.13 -3.385 53.79% -0.546 -0.5134
River Surges in Sunlight 3036 49.7% 45.49 3.331 50.92% 0.635 0.6413
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 292 49.66% 42.84 -2.094 46.23% -0.519 -0.0746
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 63 53.23% 48.41 1.906 44.44% 0.019 -0.2238
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1945 46.91% 39.82 -1.747 41.39% -0.331 -0.4749
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 785 65.1% 37.18 -7.695 35.8% -0.819 -0.3175
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 14 78.57% 37.57 5.862 35.71% 0.581 0.7201
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 38 73.68% 31.79 -8.885 21.05% -1.589 -1.6666
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 196 71.28% 35.74 -5.425 32.14% -1.016 -1.018
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 104 75.96% 32.39 -5.751 25.96% -0.719 -0.6504
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2790 46.25% 49.11 2.008 64.59% 0.406 0.144
Shifting Memory of Ages 326 65.95% 38.13 -0.246 37.42% -0.135 -0.1135
Shroud of Silent Mist 694 69.26% 40.84 -6.84 47.84% -1.397 -1.152
Starlight Seeks its Form 449 49.44% 40.2 0.017 39.2% 0.075 -0.1366
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1106 46.56% 40.97 1.009 49.73% 0.372 0.2026
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1180 53.75% 46.1 3.269 58.56% 0.479 0.5893
Thunderspeaker 2082 56.62% 45.12 4.358 52.64% 1.103 1.0081
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 796 75.69% 34.82 -0.445 36.81% 0.378 0.2807
Vital Strength of the Earth 1186 48.69% 36.56 -7.89 31.7% -1.509 -0.6266
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 31 40.0% 33.61 -6.404 22.58% -1.419 -1.0177
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 98 50.0% 33.35 -9.725 25.51% -0.417 0.6254
Volcano Looming High 676 62.13% 41.91 -0.198 52.51% 0.247 0.2317

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 151 32.45% 30.64 -9.067 22.52% -0.84 -0.5844
Dahan Insurrection 4 363 41.87% 56.2 3.357 42.7% -0.929 -0.6276
Despicable Theft 2 16 43.75% 37.13 -8.341 25.0% -1.093 -0.548
Elemental Invocation 1 55 50.91% 31.78 -3.309 16.36% -0.333 0.2785
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1014 17.79% 53.64 5.361 70.32% 0.843 1.0374
Powers Long Forgotten 1 110 60.91% 37.89 0.0 29.09%
Rituals of Terror 3 89 48.31% 43.3 0.0 29.21%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 155 68.39% 37.21 0.0 18.06%
Second Wave 0 253 56.75% 39.61 -1.259 35.97% -0.613 -0.0406
The Great River 3 13 30.77% 32.77 3.189 7.69% -0.378 1.2612
Varied Terrains 2 7 85.71% 46.0 0.0 42.86%
Ward the Shores 2 168 59.52% 34.63 -5.302 14.88% -1.023 0.0312

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 17724 52.88% 42.13 -0.165 48.91% -0.173 0.2729
1 Thematic 903 40.64% 36.11 -2.637 21.37% -0.684 -0.0516
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4173 57.9% 43.1 1.072 52.17% 0.147 0.4913
2 Coastline 381 55.41% 42.87 0.85 51.18% -0.091 -0.0084
2 Fragment 82 64.63% 39.24 8.622 43.9% 0.367 0.4555
2 Heart 43 69.77% 36.63 -2.228 39.53% -0.035 0.5763
2 Opposite Shores 802 53.37% 42.18 1.554 48.75% 0.017 0.3957
2 Thematic 288 38.89% 34.13 -3.224 16.67% -0.317 0.2001
2 Top to Top 266 52.26% 47.23 3.156 62.78% 0.163 0.3026
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 67.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 15 40.0% 43.53 22.471 46.67% 0.389 -0.26
3 Other 60 45.0% 51.6 11.103 73.33% 0.385 -0.6862
3 Round (Default) 2145 49.65% 47.0 -0.118 60.23% 0.206 0.3982
3 Sunrise 6 83.33% 41.17 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 59 40.68% 34.42 16.523 15.25% 0.84 0.594
4 Archipelago 20 80.0% 43.8 0.0 45.0%
4 Coastline 9 11.11% 66.78 5.416 100.0% 0.134 0.3319
4 Leaf 17 35.29% 54.24 0.0 82.35%
4 Other 47 53.19% 53.11 -7.779 76.6% -0.143 -0.6842
4 Snake 5 100.0% 28.0 0.0 20.0%
4 Thematic 238 38.66% 44.06 -4.235 37.39% -0.168 -0.1625
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1122 46.61% 50.76 -1.708 65.95% -0.469 -0.61
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 40.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 16 62.5% 56.38 -0.241 87.5% 0.07 -0.105
5 Thematic 5 40.0% 59.0 -3.138 20.0% -0.401 -0.4358
6 Archipelago 2 50.0% 27.5 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 2 0.0% 78.5 3.431 100.0% 0.171 0.8675
6 Star 7 28.57% 54.86 -12.957 71.43% -0.401 0.1315
6 Thematic 6 0.0% 31.83 0.0 0.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 16 31.25% 51.88 0.0 62.5%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1381 40.55 -2.262 48.59% -0.381 1.5283
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1088 43.14 3.917 52.21% 0.741 2.4258
All Things Weaken 563 41.95 -1.915 51.51% -0.131 1.8684
Back Against the Wall 1110 42.64 -0.936 50.36% 0.006 1.9542
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1374 36.35 -1.963 41.7% 0.042 2.1071
Downward Spiral 1549 38.98 -1.488 46.35% 0.001 1.9635
Erosion of Will 1348 38.5 -2.939 42.73% -0.47 1.6376
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 286 43.67 2.435 53.85% 0.47 1.0863
Memory Fades to Dust 1618 38.68 -1.35 44.5% -0.088 1.9691
Power Corrodes the Spirit 566 39.64 -0.122 46.47% 0.194 2.173
Promising Farmlands 1482 34.59 -1.136 34.35% 0.008 2.1097
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 156 43.94 -1.607 54.49% -0.397 -0.0676
Thriving Communities 565 39.78 -2.493 48.67% -0.323 1.7269
Tipping Point 646 36.91 0.0 40.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 586 41.25 0.573 49.15% 0.113 2.0568
Untended Land Crumbles 604 38.29 -1.782 43.87% -0.114 1.9123

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6305 53.95% 42.9 0.472 50.42% 0.255 1.0143
B 6659 53.83% 44.02 1.672 53.25% 0.417 1.0932
C 8881 47.43% 46.97 0.264 59.88% 0.11 0.635
D 6347 53.57% 43.21 0.41 51.33% 0.192 0.9191
E 3003 58.52% 44.34 -0.59 54.11% -0.215 0.3449
F 3499 54.95% 43.8 -0.481 52.96% 0.117 0.8072
G 3198 54.86% 42.76 -2.954 50.75% -0.501 0.1943
H 3225 51.99% 44.29 2.091 53.43% 0.587 1.2475
East 910 38.57% 39.66 -0.769 26.15% -0.058 0.6218
Northeast 592 40.71% 41.37 3.038 29.39% 0.105 0.6751
Northwest 566 45.94% 37.0 -1.311 23.14% -0.005 0.8369
Southeast 96 35.42% 42.73 -0.575 37.5% -0.264 0.2621
Southwest 80 23.75% 34.64 -5.322 26.25% -0.247 0.6946
West 960 38.33% 35.5 -3.593 19.69% -1.011 -0.0105

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 52 0.0% 47.67 2.077 57.69% 0.225 2.344
Not Using Events or Tokens 138 54.01% 32.96 0.0 23.19%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 338 23.85% 60.67 3.245 77.51% 0.307 -0.0619
Start of Game Growth 515 27.9% 56.55 2.397 73.4% 0.14 -0.4827
Unlimited Undo 2463 55.49% 43.9 3.014 53.11% 0.738 0.1071
Using Tokens but Not Events 1284 46.96% 42.83 0.614 50.08% -0.096 -0.052

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9086 22.62 2.8%
II 8725 31.05 46.1%
III 8629 34.62 91.41%
IV 2025 37.86 99.7%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.182 Win Model: -0.271
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 18656 52.33% 41.85 47.58%
2 6025 56.06% 42.65 50.37%
3 2282 49.43% 46.77 59.29%
4 1462 45.61% 49.68 61.49%
5 7 71.43% 55.71 42.86%
6 33 25.0% 49.0 51.52%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 252
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7750
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3844
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2002
Lose: Invader deck ran out 20
Lose: Adversary condition 10307
Win: Sacrifice victory 60
Lose: Scenario condition 249
Win: Scenario condition 275
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3429
Lose: Spirit destroyed 277

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1487 48.45% 55.21 3.142 66.38% 0.302 0.2542
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 623 63.39% 41.81 -3.52 37.72% -0.367 -0.3026
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 809 50.19% 51.25 -0.692 60.32% 0.241 0.0029
Downpour Drenches the World 65 66.15% 43.75 -4.393 36.92% -1.078 -0.6864
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1433 42.14% 53.92 -2.186 64.69% -0.377 -0.7915
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 449 46.38% 46.22 -2.09 46.33% -0.252 -0.847
Finder of Paths Unseen 5 20.0% 39.8 -11.51 40.0% -0.903 -0.4981
Fractured Days Split the Sky 244 55.74% 51.81 2.949 51.64% 0.101 0.1432
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 226 66.81% 55.34 2.635 65.93% 0.349 0.3318
Heart of the Wildfire 1043 89.07% 41.38 -2.396 41.99% -0.322 0.0067
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3132 55.06% 55.84 3.811 69.41% 0.721 0.0864
Lightning's Swift Strike 1003 48.64% 55.03 1.995 62.81% 0.629 0.9018
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 35 62.86% 58.91 3.506 71.43% 0.612 -0.2203
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 299 40.8% 60.82 4.171 80.94% 0.605 0.0331
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 135 48.89% 58.48 5.333 73.33% 0.56 0.135
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 769 57.61% 52.54 1.059 64.11% 0.087 -0.1196
Many Minds Move as One 303 45.54% 54.62 4.693 66.01% 0.801 0.2887
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1650 55.74% 52.2 -1.751 60.97% -0.418 -0.7005
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 872 51.83% 51.55 0.792 62.16% 0.49 0.5224
River Surges in Sunlight 1691 55.23% 53.41 3.845 60.44% 0.613 0.6191
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 184 61.96% 52.24 -0.14 58.7% 0.068 0.5125
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 77 58.44% 61.19 5.203 70.13% 0.844 0.6012
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1257 49.56% 47.81 0.755 49.64% 0.107 -0.0362
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 399 66.67% 40.67 -5.85 34.34% -0.39 0.1116
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 13 76.92% 32.46 -11.101 15.38% -1.421 -1.2819
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 38 50.0% 62.58 0.821 86.84% 0.091 0.0136
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 140 56.43% 51.34 -2.798 60.71% -0.536 -0.5378
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 49 71.43% 38.53 -10.408 32.65% -0.665 -0.5961
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1508 45.56% 55.1 2.763 67.18% 0.652 0.3907
Shifting Memory of Ages 157 56.05% 51.39 -3.28 54.78% -0.238 -0.2161
Shroud of Silent Mist 159 68.35% 40.28 -4.951 37.74% -0.665 -0.4207
Starlight Seeks its Form 250 56.0% 46.37 0.496 48.0% -0.021 -0.2325
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1455 42.89% 52.58 -0.853 65.36% -0.304 -0.4738
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 671 48.88% 56.89 0.346 71.54% 0.121 0.2316
Thunderspeaker 1112 60.98% 50.53 0.427 54.86% 0.188 0.0924
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 567 71.43% 44.79 -3.242 51.68% -0.129 -0.2259
Vital Strength of the Earth 688 51.45% 41.59 -7.0 34.16% -0.312 0.5704
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 67 35.82% 60.43 0.334 79.1% -0.145 0.2556
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 209 46.41% 50.38 -1.221 58.37% -0.149 0.8932
Volcano Looming High 361 60.11% 49.86 1.229 62.6% 0.25 0.2345

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 123 30.89% 36.84 -10.362 29.27% -0.203 0.0531
Dahan Insurrection 4 189 58.2% 63.93 9.181 46.03% 0.255 0.5568
Despicable Theft 2 8 62.5% 55.75 11.644 62.5% 0.524 1.0686
Elemental Invocation 1 18 72.22% 46.94 11.463 44.44% 0.588 1.1996
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1737 31.66% 63.29 3.918 84.28% 0.58 0.7743
Powers Long Forgotten 1 94 51.06% 43.37 0.0 31.91%
Rituals of Terror 3 86 51.16% 48.36 13.494 24.42% 0.294 -0.5423
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 103 77.67% 37.83 0.0 12.62%
Second Wave 0 155 60.39% 40.26 -21.308 31.61% -1.285 -0.7127
The Great River 3 25 56.0% 34.68 -7.414 8.0% -1.48 0.159
Ward the Shores 2 204 51.47% 41.52 0.0 22.55%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8428 56.79% 47.16 -1.522 51.53% -0.467 -0.0219
1 Thematic 621 45.09% 39.54 -4.185 21.74% -0.627 0.0054
2 Archipelago 4 25.0% 46.75 0.0 25.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1957 64.47% 48.65 1.511 55.14% 0.265 0.6097
2 Coastline 194 61.86% 50.02 0.765 56.7% 0.502 0.5844
2 Fragment 57 78.95% 39.16 -9.996 36.84% -0.267 -0.1793
2 Heart 24 54.17% 42.25 0.0 41.67%
2 Opposite Shores 403 64.02% 47.14 1.345 50.12% 0.465 0.8431
2 Thematic 152 39.47% 39.21 -5.015 15.13% -0.795 -0.2779
2 Top to Top 64 54.69% 53.58 1.407 64.06% 0.177 0.3162
3 Archipelago 2 50.0% 52.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 5 80.0% 34.4 0.0 20.0%
3 Other 48 87.5% 46.21 7.749 50.0% 0.511 -0.5602
3 Round (Default) 1711 50.53% 56.69 3.335 73.23% 0.938 1.13
3 Sunrise 3 100.0% 36.0 0.0 33.33%
3 Thematic 46 26.09% 37.41 0.0 15.22%
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 81.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 8 12.5% 73.75 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 49.8 0.197 60.0% 0.095 0.5859
4 Other 29 58.62% 62.59 0.0 86.21%
4 Thematic 273 17.91% 64.12 8.299 66.67% 0.227 0.2324
4 Trapezoid (Default) 989 51.47% 58.83 1.15 75.73% 0.1 -0.0409
5 Other 23 61.9% 64.91 -8.74 78.26% -0.415 -0.5899
5 Thematic 6 66.67% 66.17 -5.588 50.0% -0.221 -0.2552
6 Other 2 0.0% 51.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 7 57.14% 47.43 -16.666 57.14% -0.471 0.0618
6 Thematic 6 16.67% 53.67 0.0 50.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 10 40.0% 47.8 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 794 48.86 -1.677 56.42% -0.117 1.7923
Aid From Lesser Spirits 650 49.84 -1.989 57.08% -0.127 1.5579
All Things Weaken 309 50.39 1.687 59.87% 0.214 2.2136
Back Against the Wall 626 46.15 -2.394 49.36% -0.355 1.5928
Disintegrating Ecosystem 795 43.31 -4.275 47.17% -0.459 1.6065
Downward Spiral 857 46.97 1.989 54.14% 0.488 2.4506
Erosion of Will 778 45.74 -2.422 50.51% -0.243 1.8647
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 156 52.49 -1.557 65.38% -0.157 0.4592
Memory Fades to Dust 831 45.33 0.19 50.54% 0.316 2.3737
Power Corrodes the Spirit 324 46.63 -2.88 54.01% -0.219 1.7595
Promising Farmlands 782 40.04 -2.949 37.08% -0.505 1.5968
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 85 56.32 4.382 72.94% 0.51 0.8398
Thriving Communities 335 46.16 -3.313 54.63% -0.264 1.785
Tipping Point 373 45.77 0.0 51.47%
Unnatural Proliferation 356 47.58 3.509 53.09% 0.649 2.5934
Untended Land Crumbles 334 44.67 -2.276 48.8% -0.208 1.819

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3537 58.71% 50.47 0.492 58.52% 0.069 0.8288
B 3842 59.67% 50.53 1.205 59.06% 0.349 1.0258
C 4437 55.67% 52.9 1.467 63.85% 0.324 0.8487
D 3408 57.89% 50.74 0.729 59.33% 0.128 0.855
E 1796 52.87% 53.41 1.333 65.2% 0.511 1.0713
F 2283 53.66% 51.08 1.507 60.05% 0.483 1.1728
G 2083 53.99% 52.82 0.398 63.71% -0.022 0.6738
H 2153 53.75% 52.8 0.355 63.63% 0.203 0.8635
East 792 35.2% 47.73 -3.808 35.48% -0.789 -0.1097
Northeast 493 34.84% 53.56 -0.41 46.04% 0.148 0.7183
Northwest 431 29.34% 54.84 -5.588 47.56% -0.221 0.6212
Southeast 70 27.14% 50.46 -0.026 40.0% 0.006 0.5325
Southwest 49 20.41% 51.94 -13.079 46.94% -0.422 0.5193
West 696 28.8% 48.7 -3.995 36.21% -1.136 -0.1361

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 21 0.0% 50.19 12.496 47.62% 0.188 2.3069
Not Using Events or Tokens 62 62.9% 32.05 0.0 16.13%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 334 7.62% 73.64 6.903 89.22% 0.227 -0.1418
Start of Game Growth 506 17.37% 67.85 2.255 82.61% -0.375 -0.9979
Unlimited Undo 1429 50.74% 54.03 0.754 63.82% 0.221 -0.4095
Using Tokens but Not Events 720 35.48% 55.98 0.774 64.03% 0.153 0.1969

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4299 22.62 5.3%
II 6249 31.05 60.51%
III 3690 34.62 92.33%
IV 840 37.86 99.76%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.711 Win Model: -0.259
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 9085 56.1% 46.7 49.38%
2 2836 62.61% 47.77 52.54%
3 1811 51.1% 55.82 70.9%
4 1311 44.39% 60.21 74.45%
5 10 75.0% 58.5 50.0%
6 25 36.0% 49.4 52.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 228
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3334
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3651
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 834
Lose: Invader deck ran out 7
Lose: Adversary condition 4628
Win: Sacrifice victory 33
Lose: Scenario condition 178
Win: Scenario condition 174
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1905
Lose: Spirit destroyed 106

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5841 47.47% 52.25 1.097 49.97% 0.427 0.3794
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3208 60.62% 41.18 -6.203 29.93% -1.079 -1.0152
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3702 50.47% 48.78 -3.47 46.97% -0.381 -0.6191
Downpour Drenches the World 471 54.99% 45.55 -3.187 32.06% -0.788 -0.3961
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5737 39.73% 55.15 2.238 56.2% 0.513 0.0983
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2380 51.78% 47.81 -0.184 43.66% 0.233 -0.3621
Finder of Paths Unseen 159 51.57% 45.0 -6.438 35.22% -0.897 -0.4929
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2048 51.27% 58.5 3.62 52.69% 0.488 0.5298
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2055 64.48% 55.25 0.305 56.16% 0.255 0.2378
Heart of the Wildfire 5628 82.94% 43.59 -2.11 38.4% 0.101 0.4299
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 22090 53.77% 57.0 3.672 62.97% 0.862 0.2273
Lightning's Swift Strike 4883 58.76% 50.84 1.558 48.66% 0.674 0.9469
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 424 66.75% 58.8 3.566 64.15% 0.924 0.0916
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 3506 53.92% 63.11 3.527 72.59% 0.863 0.2908
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1050 51.33% 64.42 4.81 73.05% 1.223 0.7985
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5078 56.35% 56.18 0.258 61.48% 0.306 0.0989
Many Minds Move as One 1698 48.12% 55.21 1.88 58.6% 0.396 -0.1167
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 11143 52.59% 53.77 3.163 53.77% 0.52 0.2368
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4201 54.9% 51.44 -1.562 52.06% -0.005 0.0281
River Surges in Sunlight 10446 53.86% 54.04 -2.045 52.06% -0.448 -0.4417
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 692 54.64% 50.54 -2.094 44.65% -0.198 0.2463
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 473 55.08% 61.09 3.33 54.97% 0.301 0.0582
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7648 48.1% 47.24 -2.672 40.25% -0.432 -0.5757
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1899 64.72% 41.54 -3.5 30.54% -0.595 -0.093
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 62 51.61% 57.48 1.662 50.0% -0.044 0.0942
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 63 53.97% 53.62 -1.937 53.97% -0.172 -0.2494
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 752 62.23% 46.36 -2.816 38.43% -0.304 -0.3055
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 271 72.69% 47.28 -3.011 43.17% -0.095 -0.0257
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7538 47.79% 57.51 3.598 63.72% 0.918 0.6559
Shifting Memory of Ages 1148 66.72% 49.03 -1.453 35.71% -0.003 0.0188
Shroud of Silent Mist 924 70.0% 43.28 -6.683 36.8% -0.845 -0.5998
Starlight Seeks its Form 2190 57.4% 52.74 0.955 49.04% 0.295 0.0832
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6045 46.29% 48.37 -2.681 46.14% -0.392 -0.5615
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4448 54.49% 57.26 1.162 63.29% 0.412 0.5228
Thunderspeaker 5582 52.84% 51.1 -0.902 44.84% -0.08 -0.1758
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3586 76.46% 43.46 -4.697 40.38% -0.405 -0.5018
Vital Strength of the Earth 3199 54.19% 38.77 -2.369 23.51% -0.4 0.4828
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 131 64.89% 47.52 -3.584 35.88% -0.608 -0.2072
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 576 49.83% 35.14 -8.359 16.84% -1.507 -0.465
Volcano Looming High 3475 61.69% 54.0 1.056 61.27% 0.645 0.6293

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 29.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 898 40.47% 39.06 -2.373 25.5% -0.202 0.0536
Dahan Insurrection 4 2234 42.42% 63.44 4.656 38.36% -0.312 -0.0106
Despicable Theft 2 22 72.73% 58.55 9.825 50.0% 0.125 0.67
Elemental Invocation 1 139 63.31% 42.33 -4.677 25.9% -0.64 -0.0285
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7662 28.67% 63.13 5.954 69.67% 1.121 1.3154
Powers Long Forgotten 1 188 52.66% 44.43 0.471 28.72% 0.084 0.3292
Rituals of Terror 3 211 54.03% 67.3 22.355 36.97% 1.248 0.4118
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 68 80.88% 40.51 0.0 14.71%
Second Wave 0 514 61.28% 47.09 -3.644 36.19% -0.497 0.0752
The Great River 3 62 45.16% 35.02 -11.111 4.84% -2.112 -0.4733
Varied Terrains 2 7 71.43% 54.14 1.63 42.86% -0.13 0.6157
Ward the Shores 2 261 51.92% 40.9 0.0 17.24%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 75565 55.56% 50.45 -0.647 49.97% 0.192 0.6372
1 Thematic 3094 41.43% 44.04 -7.224 20.75% -1.293 -0.6606
2 Archipelago 45 86.67% 67.96 4.474 33.33% 0.243 0.2555
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9596 64.73% 52.03 -0.705 53.54% -0.027 0.3178
2 Coastline 1931 54.3% 56.21 2.074 60.02% 0.429 0.5123
2 Fragment 721 66.99% 58.73 3.172 69.07% 0.544 0.6318
2 Heart 193 63.73% 54.37 5.153 47.15% 0.781 1.3928
2 Opposite Shores 2114 61.32% 48.87 -2.379 40.92% -0.865 -0.4864
2 Thematic 847 40.43% 46.37 1.637 19.01% -0.053 0.4639
2 Top to Top 505 57.82% 54.85 -0.458 56.63% -0.171 -0.0319
3 Archipelago 7 71.43% 58.14 0.0 28.57%
3 Coastline 38 60.53% 47.74 3.865 39.47% -0.027 -0.6754
3 Other 149 59.06% 55.79 8.845 61.07% 1.296 0.2246
3 Round (Default) 5062 56.1% 54.23 0.565 57.07% -0.229 -0.0366
3 Sunrise 79 45.57% 66.99 10.608 84.81% 0.356 0.6761
3 Thematic 130 35.38% 51.9 8.608 22.31% 1.238 0.9926
4 Archipelago 5 60.0% 68.8 13.568 40.0% 0.007 -0.3945
4 Coastline 54 14.81% 76.35 0.0 94.44%
4 Leaf 9 55.56% 50.67 0.0 55.56%
4 Other 76 47.37% 65.32 15.479 82.89% 0.345 -0.1962
4 Thematic 1257 29.99% 57.49 -3.508 48.05% -1.057 -1.0513
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3126 48.21% 59.12 2.823 63.56% 0.029 -0.112
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 77.0 13.837 100.0% 0.062 -0.255
5 Coastline 14 0.0% 77.71 4.566 100.0% 0.088 -0.1699
5 Other 79 44.16% 67.71 5.007 72.15% 0.614 0.4385
5 Thematic 12 75.0% 83.25 0.293 75.0% -0.036 -0.0707
6 Archipelago 4 25.0% 61.75 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 7 0.0% 75.43 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 45 37.78% 56.64 -4.808 53.33% -1.133 -0.4362
6 Star 30 43.33% 44.1 -2.929 33.33% -1.023 -0.4903
6 Thematic 51 43.14% 63.02 -0.001 49.02% -0.467 0.0315
6 Two Centers (Default) 117 35.9% 71.63 0.145 71.79% -0.357 -0.1313
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 52.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 4955 49.24 -0.152 49.32% 0.127 2.0362
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4471 50.53 0.109 50.35% 0.203 1.888
All Things Weaken 2789 50.27 -0.053 50.59% 0.296 2.2954
Back Against the Wall 4166 48.43 -2.643 46.33% -0.288 1.6599
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4907 44.56 -2.26 42.73% 0.009 2.0743
Downward Spiral 5926 48.58 -1.817 48.65% -0.044 1.9186
Erosion of Will 4957 46.59 -2.271 43.76% -0.255 1.8527
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1343 55.34 0.993 60.69% 0.301 0.9172
Memory Fades to Dust 5862 47.75 -1.297 46.67% 0.053 2.1101
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2779 49.27 -2.139 50.02% -0.103 1.8761
Promising Farmlands 4912 42.88 -4.009 36.18% -0.496 1.606
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 787 55.61 1.917 62.77% 0.598 0.928
Thriving Communities 2824 50.18 -1.858 52.48% -0.111 1.9389
Tipping Point 1873 44.89 0.0 42.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 2842 50.8 -0.862 50.04% 0.012 1.9557
Untended Land Crumbles 2755 48.04 -1.97 46.86% -0.074 1.9522

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 20002 57.61% 50.44 0.399 48.78% -0.367 0.3924
B 21840 56.71% 52.12 0.053 52.87% -0.481 0.1959
C 27538 56.3% 54.08 0.579 56.65% -0.357 0.1677
D 19255 56.21% 50.87 0.236 49.98% -0.478 0.249
E 12235 55.12% 55.1 2.086 58.46% -0.104 0.456
F 13839 55.45% 52.73 0.381 53.97% -0.418 0.2717
G 10669 55.91% 51.38 -1.161 51.08% -0.658 0.0378
H 11345 55.04% 52.62 -0.098 53.17% -0.542 0.1185
East 4051 40.19% 50.27 -0.291 29.45% -1.068 -0.3888
Northeast 2688 40.18% 52.42 3.025 34.82% 0.345 0.9145
Northwest 1929 32.9% 52.0 -0.346 36.13% -0.922 -0.0801
Southeast 496 53.43% 48.75 -2.329 26.61% -1.217 -0.6902
Southwest 331 33.23% 50.43 -2.376 39.88% -0.822 0.1196
West 3022 31.07% 49.01 -1.561 30.34% -1.214 -0.2137

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 131 0.0% 55.29 -4.056 53.44% -0.679 1.4401
Not Using Events or Tokens 1104 31.82% 46.59 0.0 20.02%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2719 15.73% 73.63 7.531 82.57% 0.573 0.2045
Start of Game Growth 5207 22.02% 70.65 8.97 79.82% 1.637 1.0143
Unlimited Undo 10152 48.53% 60.19 4.968 67.65% 0.788 0.1572
Using Tokens but Not Events 6708 43.05% 56.32 0.486 59.5% -0.354 -0.3099

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 33789 22.62 4.13%
II 43264 31.05 58.7%
III 24008 34.62 91.5%
IV 3908 37.86 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.857 Win Model: 0.677
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 79095 55.11% 50.29 48.72%
2 15631 61.36% 52.02 52.09%
3 5432 55.5% 54.38 56.57%
4 4504 42.5% 58.95 60.28%
5 61 32.2% 61.54 59.02%
6 246 36.59% 64.25 61.79%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1393
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 21513
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 24540
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3843
Lose: Invader deck ran out 69
Lose: Adversary condition 37007
Win: Sacrifice victory 303
Lose: Scenario condition 1017
Win: Scenario condition 1063
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13305
Lose: Spirit destroyed 916

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-09-29 02:31:34 (Pacific Time)