The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4187 30.75% 29.6 -0.249 77.33% 0.15 0.0551
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 125 22.4% 22.98 1.677 56.8% 0.225 -0.2512
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2459 54.37% 25.76 -2.204 67.79% -0.39 -0.2772
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 128 26.56% 28.7 3.437 67.97% 0.364 -0.4488
Dances Up Earthquakes 85 26.19% 19.14 -3.013 49.41% -0.705 -0.7143
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2654 32.8% 28.9 1.048 80.11% 0.387 0.2468
Downpour Drenches the World 572 28.82% 19.11 -1.177 46.15% -0.299 -0.0719
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 524 22.39% 24.26 1.188 63.55% 0.508 -0.0614
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3232 24.25% 31.49 1.344 84.22% 0.261 -0.1266
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2570 28.15% 30.54 1.056 85.33% 0.383 -0.0109
Finder of Paths Unseen 232 34.63% 12.38 -6.199 29.31% -1.148 -0.4202
Fractured Days Split the Sky 692 33.77% 24.09 0.194 56.65% -0.171 0.4696
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 971 41.81% 23.86 -2.251 60.76% -0.558 -0.6914
Heart of the Wildfire 3419 59.96% 25.41 -2.453 69.76% -0.482 -0.153
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7059 28.87% 34.26 2.181 83.86% 0.476 0.0525
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 172 29.07% 19.98 -1.794 50.0% -0.342 -0.6486
Lightning's Swift Strike 3750 41.24% 29.62 -0.755 76.83% -0.12 0.1175
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 179 41.48% 25.34 -0.718 62.01% -0.341 -0.7487
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 456 36.04% 28.87 4.35 77.85% 0.841 0.5217
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 371 36.22% 27.29 5.259 70.08% 0.794 0.7132
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1802 36.08% 28.03 0.792 76.53% 0.468 0.2749
Many Minds Move as One 1140 26.14% 27.28 1.593 72.02% 0.397 0.181
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4388 41.39% 28.56 -1.244 75.32% -0.13 0.0096
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 79 48.05% 18.94 -2.138 55.7% -0.469 -0.3879
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2513 37.34% 27.07 -0.657 74.49% -0.223 -0.3011
River Surges in Sunlight 5761 31.02% 36.71 1.992 79.53% 0.062 0.1871
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 52 23.08% 18.13 0.305 44.23% 0.182 0.3599
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 622 46.53% 26.76 2.957 62.7% 0.745 1.0243
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 278 35.64% 25.04 1.747 60.07% 0.532 0.4088
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3898 28.63% 34.86 1.265 80.48% 0.074 -0.0531
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 24 37.5% 21.63 0.88 58.33% 0.359 0.2463
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2430 54.43% 27.17 -0.866 68.6% -0.059 0.4566
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 99 34.38% 21.33 -0.714 47.47% 0.21 0.1915
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 113 32.74% 29.69 2.825 73.45% 0.439 -0.0642
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 86 48.84% 24.9 1.552 66.28% -0.157 -0.3483
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 321 42.68% 27.81 0.533 73.83% -0.219 -0.2784
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 243 52.28% 25.25 1.17 69.14% 0.203 0.2842
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4325 33.15% 32.26 0.154 80.76% -0.122 -0.0422
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 210 25.12% 21.35 -0.886 57.14% -0.227 -0.4135
Shifting Memory of Ages 661 46.89% 20.75 0.108 55.07% -0.073 0.194
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 83 19.28% 21.36 1.491 56.63% 0.255 0.1363
Shroud of Silent Mist 825 52.18% 22.07 -0.614 60.48% -0.011 0.3396
Starlight Seeks its Form 1140 28.21% 24.94 -0.055 65.0% -0.156 -0.2734
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1845 36.09% 25.31 -0.46 74.09% -0.074 -0.5873
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2152 37.02% 26.09 -1.162 70.03% -0.179 -0.0617
Thunderspeaker 4846 26.62% 38.33 1.795 85.06% 0.266 0.2981
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 164 34.76% 20.45 3.706 49.39% 1.241 1.2546
Towering Roots of the Jungle 199 32.16% 18.13 -0.5 47.74% 0.024 0.1537
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1248 64.81% 20.66 -2.025 59.13% -0.236 -0.1101
Vital Strength of the Earth 3138 34.12% 25.68 -4.126 61.57% -0.935 -0.3355
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 179 30.11% 18.96 -2.193 46.93% -0.499 -0.0055
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 338 39.88% 19.6 -4.959 42.9% -0.802 -0.1041
Volcano Looming High 1194 42.52% 22.55 -0.573 62.73% -0.012 0.0355
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 256 26.17% 24.7 -0.672 64.84% -0.322 -0.6119

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 33 21.21% 22.52 12.601 51.52% 0.832 1.0226
Blitz 0 712 40.37% 21.65 -1.414 57.02% -0.148 0.0693
Dahan Insurrection 4 748 26.27% 48.13 4.153 75.94% -0.495 -0.7481
Despicable Theft 2 176 36.36% 24.3 2.023 47.73% -0.253 0.3335
Elemental Invocation 1 297 43.58% 18.65 -5.36 40.4% -1.495 -0.7553
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1612 12.06% 33.19 -1.833 79.28% -0.814 -1.3754
Powers Long Forgotten 1 2059 15.36% 49.24 2.467 86.74% -0.296 0.464
Rituals of Terror 3 483 44.51% 31.33 3.055 54.24% -0.37 -0.2503
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 387 63.31% 27.9 3.64 46.51% -0.191 0.7168
Second Wave 0 745 51.56% 26.91 2.73 57.85% -0.118 0.0204
The Great River 3 177 46.89% 20.67 -2.625 31.07% -1.297 -0.1973
Varied Terrains 2 107 42.99% 15.22 0.256 27.1% -0.293 0.4825
Ward the Shores 2 623 41.8% 24.73 -5.546 35.96% -1.554 -0.4797

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 32467 42.11% 26.31 -0.108 71.54% -0.003 0.3295
1 Thematic 3992 40.58% 29.48 -1.379 60.05% -0.613 0.0726
2 Archipelago 27 44.44% 30.85 -9.737 55.56% -0.329 0.279
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7689 38.67% 26.85 0.27 75.22% 0.123 0.2426
2 Coastline 668 39.94% 26.24 1.063 73.8% 0.536 0.4634
2 Fragment 168 49.4% 25.91 3.477 72.62% 1.214 1.0295
2 Heart 89 48.28% 25.76 -0.875 77.53% -0.151 -0.3078
2 Opposite Shores 963 41.48% 27.49 -0.245 80.79% 0.046 0.1967
2 Thematic 972 40.97% 29.65 2.65 62.24% 0.384 0.8922
2 Top to Top 137 35.07% 27.66 -9.007 81.02% -0.346 -0.4045
3 Archipelago 12 33.33% 42.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 26 38.46% 26.0 5.186 50.0% 0.25 -0.1596
3 Other 79 35.44% 27.76 1.653 83.54% 0.571 -0.1998
3 Round (Default) 2548 34.6% 27.77 0.729 78.73% 0.211 0.1202
3 Sunrise 16 12.5% 29.56 0.0 87.5%
3 Thematic 180 42.78% 33.14 -0.189 66.11% -0.433 -0.4121
4 Archipelago 7 28.57% 24.86 0.0 57.14%
4 Coastline 5 60.0% 22.6 0.0 60.0%
4 Leaf 5 20.0% 23.4 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 48 33.33% 28.67 -5.527 85.42% -0.751 -1.4621
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 1823 4.34% 57.06 4.563 97.15% 0.692 0.8147
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1438 30.34% 24.76 -2.509 68.98% -0.749 -0.7519
5 Archipelago 4 75.0% 31.5 0.0 75.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 34 32.35% 20.74 0.33 58.82% 0.293 -0.2212
5 Thematic 11 40.0% 31.18 -1.529 63.64% -0.549 -0.6058
6 Coastline 3 33.33% 27.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 3 33.33% 24.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Star 10 10.0% 25.2 2.836 80.0% 0.175 0.1614
6 Thematic 29 17.24% 29.1 -0.382 55.17% -0.008 0.2776
6 Two Centers (Default) 103 21.36% 22.15 -4.801 56.31% -0.787 -0.2539
7 Other 2 0.0% 26.0 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1871 22.21 -0.091 58.52% -0.014 0.2372
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1549 22.66 2.533 56.36% 0.561 0.5033
All Things Weaken 806 20.8 -2.253 52.85% -0.481 -0.146
Attenuated Essence 123 21.98 -0.322 62.6% 0.177 0.2101
Back Against the Wall 1571 22.54 0.015 56.46% -0.213 -0.1786
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 112 19.49 0.652 49.11% 0.135 0.3522
Burn Brightest Before the End 78 23.6 0.743 58.97% 0.113 0.1233
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1682 18.93 -0.913 52.26% -0.231 0.1129
Downward Spiral 2540 21.39 -1.323 60.59% -0.069 0.0481
Erosion of Will 1768 21.91 0.121 56.9% 0.082 0.3559
Intensifying Exploitation 113 16.74 -3.109 44.25% -0.67 -0.459
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 387 27.37 -0.322 80.88% 0.163 -0.4099
Memory Fades to Dust 2451 21.13 0.276 57.0% 0.264 0.5159
Power Corrodes the Spirit 812 21.08 1.352 56.77% 0.533 0.7373
Promising Farmlands 1741 19.49 -0.61 51.12% -0.185 0.0691
Shattered Fragments of Power 80 21.0 1.943 48.75% 0.035 0.1092
Slow Dissolution of Will 125 21.1 -0.302 52.0% -0.217 0.1641
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 239 28.49 5.676 86.61% 1.078 0.4044
The Border of Life and Death 35 23.31 7.338 62.86% 1.082 0.4814
Thriving Communities 760 19.57 -1.488 51.84% -0.165 0.1171
Thriving Crops 59 19.17 0.845 47.46% 0.306 0.1654
Tipping Point 625 20.24 0.0 53.6%
Unnatural Proliferation 804 21.83 2.001 54.1% 0.461 0.6647
Untended Land Crumbles 711 20.64 -3.497 56.12% -1.172 -0.9814

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10724 40.39% 26.48 0.11 72.86% -0.272 0.7263
B 11253 39.86% 26.65 -1.029 73.93% -0.556 0.3658
C 11322 38.63% 26.91 0.186 74.39% -0.221 0.5077
D 10605 38.66% 26.88 -0.223 74.34% -0.163 0.7957
E 4515 37.8% 25.78 -0.077 70.65% -0.226 0.5934
F 6559 38.83% 26.04 -1.043 72.27% -0.494 0.3881
G 6096 39.47% 25.81 -0.619 71.78% -0.418 0.4077
H 6012 37.78% 26.26 -1.156 73.05% -0.576 0.2624
East 4903 26.67% 40.7 2.769 75.63% 0.097 0.9721
Northeast 3456 21.57% 44.87 3.27 81.37% 0.035 0.7874
Northwest 2957 18.27% 46.76 3.833 84.41% 0.418 1.3098
Southeast 552 35.09% 28.05 -0.433 57.79% -0.58 0.2594
Southwest 584 39.97% 23.03 -1.705 51.88% -0.218 1.0866
West 4507 26.24% 40.03 1.649 74.24% -0.921 0.0283

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 186 0.0% 30.59 -2.345 80.11% -0.323 0.4063
Not Using Events or Tokens 779 49.14% 26.83 -0.53 71.76% -0.333 0.0127
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2348 3.6% 53.03 3.996 95.02% 0.207 -0.3961
Start of Game Growth 2797 7.37% 49.32 2.862 92.17% -0.051 -0.555
Unlimited Undo 2959 30.87% 28.36 1.618 75.84% 0.457 0.3495
Using Tokens but Not Events 5184 33.92% 28.2 -0.433 77.14% -0.165 -0.1945

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9436 13.42 23.11%
II 16896 30.13 68.67%
III 18650 34.83 88.36%
IV 8602 38.67 99.01%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.154 Win Model: 0.381
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 36790 41.94% 26.58 69.95%
2 10506 39.44% 27.4 75.61%
3 2794 34.85% 28.16 78.42%
4 3304 15.93% 42.63 84.81%
5 39 35.9% 22.64 56.41%
6 149 19.46% 23.89 58.39%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2174
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 16019
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10924
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8434
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4087
Lose: Invader deck ran out 292
Lose: Adversary condition 3152
Win: Sacrifice victory 204
Lose: Scenario condition 394
Win: Scenario condition 1025
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6549
Lose: Spirit destroyed 330

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2596 45.24% 29.53 -0.317 68.3% -0.101 -0.1958
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 65 35.38% 22.42 3.365 47.69% 0.259 -0.2173
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1678 61.03% 26.96 -0.398 57.81% -0.155 -0.0426
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 66 33.33% 35.35 8.511 72.73% 1.452 0.6389
Dances Up Earthquakes 51 50.98% 18.31 -1.434 39.22% -0.306 -0.3145
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1932 48.07% 26.77 1.626 62.94% 0.381 0.2408
Downpour Drenches the World 429 37.03% 20.26 -1.332 44.99% 0.075 0.3021
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 538 30.83% 24.53 3.889 58.92% 1.062 0.4921
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2268 36.58% 33.68 1.53 77.95% 0.395 0.0079
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1846 44.69% 32.18 4.426 76.81% 1.236 0.8422
Finder of Paths Unseen 174 43.1% 11.91 -3.115 17.82% -1.162 -0.434
Fractured Days Split the Sky 428 46.03% 22.94 -3.166 45.09% -0.545 0.0953
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 723 56.45% 24.4 -2.408 53.39% -0.348 -0.4819
Heart of the Wildfire 2133 77.39% 22.56 -1.195 49.74% -0.261 0.0681
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4053 52.09% 29.08 0.752 70.71% 0.641 0.2179
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 189 40.74% 24.04 2.254 48.15% 0.507 0.2009
Lightning's Swift Strike 2200 62.12% 27.59 -1.392 61.77% -0.272 -0.034
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 162 51.85% 23.2 0.814 53.09% -0.099 -0.5066
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 278 42.96% 31.79 -2.097 74.1% -0.188 -0.5075
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 270 42.01% 30.54 1.113 62.96% 0.157 0.0758
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1497 51.87% 29.25 -0.582 68.67% -0.135 -0.3274
Many Minds Move as One 929 37.01% 30.57 2.177 72.34% 0.69 0.4733
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2941 56.83% 28.86 0.019 64.94% 0.152 0.2915
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 93 63.44% 18.29 -0.089 43.01% 0.17 0.2511
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1886 52.25% 27.3 -0.523 63.04% -0.167 -0.2457
River Surges in Sunlight 2906 55.55% 29.87 3.213 60.43% 0.308 0.4333
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 60 51.67% 20.27 1.126 40.0% -0.034 0.144
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 378 58.47% 24.36 1.457 47.35% 0.498 0.777
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 235 49.15% 22.14 -0.668 42.98% -0.197 -0.3198
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1918 52.04% 28.22 -0.577 64.29% -0.23 -0.3571
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 30 33.33% 20.6 -0.623 46.67% -0.059 -0.1715
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1359 73.95% 23.48 -1.569 46.14% -0.266 0.2499
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 62 56.9% 20.31 -1.03 43.55% -0.335 -0.3533
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 123 58.2% 24.73 0.953 55.28% 0.574 0.0709
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 67 43.28% 21.91 -0.024 47.76% -0.108 -0.2993
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 224 56.25% 23.65 -8.648 50.89% -1.091 -1.1497
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 162 68.32% 27.09 1.348 56.79% 0.546 0.6275
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2608 51.52% 28.79 -2.477 66.3% -0.414 -0.3347
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 205 43.23% 25.69 1.404 60.49% 0.221 0.0341
Shifting Memory of Ages 539 56.59% 22.64 -0.945 49.54% 0.131 0.3979
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 44 45.45% 16.36 -1.841 36.36% -0.506 -0.6247
Shroud of Silent Mist 554 70.34% 20.87 -2.092 45.85% -0.347 0.0043
Starlight Seeks its Form 784 40.8% 26.47 0.031 60.84% 0.064 -0.0542
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1204 44.1% 26.9 1.841 68.27% 0.928 0.415
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1467 53.15% 25.79 0.351 56.65% 0.001 0.1182
Thunderspeaker 2428 52.98% 29.46 -1.676 65.07% -0.217 -0.1848
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 134 45.52% 18.07 -0.153 38.06% 0.046 0.0591
Towering Roots of the Jungle 163 47.2% 17.54 0.178 39.88% 0.245 0.3743
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 929 72.39% 20.66 -2.853 45.1% -0.789 -0.6624
Vital Strength of the Earth 1970 52.6% 24.17 2.131 45.58% -0.374 0.2255
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 124 47.15% 20.2 -3.658 39.52% -0.521 -0.0276
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 237 47.26% 19.89 -2.893 31.65% -1.079 -0.3808
Volcano Looming High 828 61.02% 23.55 -0.134 55.92% 0.183 0.2311
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 199 42.21% 24.22 -0.597 53.77% -0.229 -0.5193

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 37 27.03% 18.89 2.686 32.43% 0.05 0.2411
Blitz 0 700 47.85% 22.61 -4.662 51.0% -1.274 -1.0568
Dahan Insurrection 4 478 40.59% 45.92 5.033 62.97% -0.247 -0.5001
Despicable Theft 2 157 39.49% 24.07 -3.955 40.76% -0.559 0.0272
Elemental Invocation 1 192 50.0% 17.82 -4.553 30.73% -1.267 -0.5273
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1278 22.8% 33.04 1.297 70.5% 0.017 -0.5449
Powers Long Forgotten 1 554 57.58% 25.86 1.129 46.39% 0.03 0.7898
Rituals of Terror 3 274 62.41% 32.8 -3.296 43.43% -0.809 -0.6893
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 236 74.15% 29.05 -2.478 38.98% -0.813 0.0943
Second Wave 0 1756 56.35% 29.5 3.352 59.51% 0.554 0.692
The Great River 3 114 58.77% 19.59 -1.824 19.3% -0.611 0.4892
Varied Terrains 2 102 44.12% 16.98 -3.941 23.53% -1.484 -0.7084
Ward the Shores 2 466 45.71% 24.57 -4.767 28.54% -1.747 -0.6724

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 20914 53.2% 25.9 -0.351 59.52% 0.476 0.8085
1 Thematic 3168 51.66% 30.19 -0.551 53.22% -0.167 0.5186
2 Archipelago 23 56.52% 35.04 11.728 52.17% 0.508 1.1153
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5148 54.47% 26.99 1.61 63.44% 0.612 0.7319
2 Coastline 519 52.53% 26.92 -1.821 64.55% -0.176 -0.2484
2 Fragment 167 63.25% 26.92 -4.864 62.28% -0.63 -0.8153
2 Heart 78 63.64% 25.22 -3.757 57.69% 0.253 0.0959
2 Opposite Shores 904 56.24% 27.26 1.11 65.15% 0.474 0.6248
2 Thematic 1365 48.42% 27.21 -1.91 49.89% -0.649 -0.1407
2 Top to Top 131 61.83% 28.94 -0.758 72.52% -0.392 -0.4501
3 Archipelago 13 61.54% 33.85 0.0 38.46%
3 Coastline 19 57.89% 26.11 8.134 47.37% 0.74 0.3299
3 Other 67 52.24% 32.04 4.83 80.6% 0.457 -0.314
3 Round (Default) 1821 52.73% 28.42 -1.638 68.04% -0.341 -0.4324
3 Sunrise 15 60.0% 27.13 0.0 73.33%
3 Thematic 189 53.97% 27.01 -8.423 48.68% -1.147 -1.1268
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 37.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 38.0 4.791 100.0% 0.122 0.0363
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 32.4 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 29 62.07% 31.79 0.0 75.86%
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 220 50.68% 36.32 11.081 70.45% 0.624 0.7468
4 Trapezoid (Default) 662 51.45% 29.62 2.953 68.43% 0.293 0.2901
5 Other 45 63.64% 24.56 0.0 48.89%
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 5.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 29.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 4 25.0% 28.75 6.624 75.0% 0.505 0.4015
6 Star 6 50.0% 24.5 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 41 35.0% 35.2 7.313 58.54% 0.084 0.37
6 Two Centers (Default) 47 34.04% 26.4 -5.58 55.32% -1.582 -1.0491
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 3 0.0% 17.0 -6.298 33.33% -0.09 -0.6486

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1647 24.13 1.113 51.43% -0.074 0.1771
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1320 24.94 2.808 50.53% 0.316 0.2585
All Things Weaken 754 22.64 -0.317 47.75% -0.137 0.1976
Attenuated Essence 134 21.31 -0.971 44.78% -0.381 -0.3472
Back Against the Wall 1290 24.58 1.14 51.32% 0.182 0.2173
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 127 20.22 -1.275 40.16% -0.419 -0.2015
Burn Brightest Before the End 96 23.25 2.014 46.88% 0.356 0.3671
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1445 20.45 -1.198 45.33% -0.23 0.1146
Downward Spiral 2183 22.85 -0.836 52.86% -0.299 -0.1822
Erosion of Will 1608 23.06 -0.123 47.45% -0.303 -0.0285
Intensifying Exploitation 116 21.34 -0.06 46.55% -0.034 0.1771
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 290 30.18 1.858 77.24% 0.435 -0.1376
Memory Fades to Dust 2206 22.47 0.485 49.23% -0.045 0.207
Power Corrodes the Spirit 740 22.29 1.117 49.19% 0.374 0.5786
Promising Farmlands 1598 21.13 1.018 43.68% -0.181 0.0735
Shattered Fragments of Power 113 25.21 3.161 51.33% 0.409 0.4826
Slow Dissolution of Will 122 18.98 0.31 37.7% 0.157 0.538
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 175 30.28 3.707 74.86% 0.388 -0.2854
The Border of Life and Death 36 25.78 13.362 61.11% 0.508 -0.0927
Thriving Communities 745 21.25 0.943 42.95% -0.222 0.0595
Thriving Crops 67 16.54 -1.872 26.87% -0.689 -0.8292
Tipping Point 530 23.35 0.0 49.43%
Unnatural Proliferation 806 23.88 -1.123 48.51% -0.497 -0.2934
Untended Land Crumbles 720 21.9 -3.104 47.64% -0.766 -0.5754

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7020 55.12% 26.37 -1.399 60.94% -0.474 0.524
B 7308 54.44% 27.23 0.681 63.89% 0.016 0.9382
C 7294 52.57% 27.6 0.514 64.83% -0.087 0.6422
D 6928 54.46% 27.05 0.159 62.79% -0.07 0.8894
E 3265 50.75% 26.04 0.641 59.88% -0.05 0.7694
F 4354 53.49% 26.3 0.169 61.35% -0.201 0.6808
G 3955 53.39% 26.39 0.147 60.68% -0.274 0.5515
H 4037 52.01% 26.99 1.413 63.12% 0.047 0.886
East 3236 49.5% 30.19 -3.617 54.2% -1.264 -0.3887
Northeast 1642 50.76% 31.43 1.289 57.43% 0.3 1.0518
Northwest 1353 49.3% 31.05 0.741 58.09% 0.256 1.1478
Southeast 530 41.86% 26.98 0.793 48.3% -0.445 0.3944
Southwest 506 47.02% 23.74 -4.125 45.85% -0.705 0.5999
West 3017 51.11% 28.53 0.595 51.57% -0.049 0.9009

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 130 0.0% 28.15 5.344 62.31% 0.582 1.3106
Not Using Events or Tokens 402 62.66% 26.15 -6.268 57.96% -0.485 -0.1396
Skip Initial Invader Actions 568 18.51% 41.89 5.882 85.04% 0.264 -0.3389
Start of Game Growth 797 20.08% 40.22 2.242 83.94% 0.216 -0.2882
Unlimited Undo 2655 44.8% 27.33 1.73 63.2% 0.689 0.5819
Using Tokens but Not Events 3421 49.91% 27.49 -0.676 64.07% -0.234 -0.2633

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7113 13.42 4.81%
II 9849 30.13 45.15%
III 11978 34.83 83.25%
IV 6693 38.67 99.18%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.404 Win Model: 0.384
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 24320 52.9% 26.36 58.38%
2 8194 54.33% 27.38 62.36%
3 2058 52.63% 28.52 67.01%
4 922 51.86% 31.16 68.98%
5 38 62.16% 23.63 50.0%
6 101 34.0% 29.87 56.44%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 341
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9700
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4127
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6577
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3671
Lose: Invader deck ran out 129
Lose: Adversary condition 2937
Win: Sacrifice victory 129
Lose: Scenario condition 352
Win: Scenario condition 525
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6783
Lose: Spirit destroyed 362

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4689 34.35% 34.77 -1.512 53.23% -0.365 -0.46
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 199 29.65% 28.61 -1.213 43.22% 0.026 -0.4495
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2511 49.82% 29.79 -1.337 38.79% -0.269 -0.1569
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 196 30.1% 37.87 6.255 61.73% 0.778 -0.035
Dances Up Earthquakes 162 41.36% 23.37 -3.093 30.86% -0.958 -0.9666
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2951 37.58% 32.29 -0.915 49.98% -0.067 -0.2071
Downpour Drenches the World 797 30.9% 23.82 -2.973 28.23% -1.142 -0.9144
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1074 29.14% 35.19 3.718 61.64% 0.82 0.25
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3928 29.6% 37.66 0.764 60.08% 0.064 -0.3238
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2415 37.99% 32.23 -1.493 46.67% -0.542 -0.9356
Finder of Paths Unseen 304 36.51% 19.53 -7.241 21.05% -2.0 -1.272
Fractured Days Split the Sky 934 38.05% 32.06 -0.899 42.4% -0.258 0.383
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1565 49.71% 33.28 -0.231 50.61% 0.07 -0.0637
Heart of the Wildfire 4500 66.1% 32.17 -1.672 53.53% 0.067 0.3964
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7338 42.63% 35.26 1.045 59.32% 0.447 0.0231
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 348 39.02% 36.0 -2.466 60.63% 0.01 -0.2959
Lightning's Swift Strike 3322 47.8% 35.24 -2.043 57.8% -0.499 -0.2612
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 305 45.67% 38.82 6.288 68.85% 1.05 0.6427
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 800 42.79% 40.93 6.429 70.25% 1.256 0.937
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 596 36.07% 37.48 4.99 59.73% 1.089 1.0078
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3042 40.58% 36.07 3.221 61.67% 0.731 0.5379
Many Minds Move as One 1443 35.51% 34.91 2.924 55.99% 0.51 0.2935
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5419 45.14% 33.56 -0.301 50.3% -0.051 0.0885
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 389 53.65% 28.76 1.558 49.36% 0.165 0.2458
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2882 38.29% 34.2 -0.943 54.55% -0.063 -0.1412
River Surges in Sunlight 6006 40.29% 36.67 2.183 50.13% 0.168 0.2931
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 108 40.57% 26.1 0.265 35.19% -0.309 -0.1309
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 729 45.18% 29.58 -5.25 36.9% -1.208 -0.9287
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 627 37.93% 35.3 -0.361 48.8% -0.236 -0.3583
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4039 39.81% 29.23 0.244 38.33% -0.284 -0.4104
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 43 37.21% 30.91 -1.282 46.51% -0.173 -0.2855
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1802 60.29% 27.59 -3.488 33.96% -0.516 -0.0007
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 104 52.43% 27.33 -0.608 40.38% -0.029 -0.0476
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 248 45.9% 33.19 1.601 56.45% 0.289 -0.2141
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 127 50.39% 28.83 -0.879 42.52% -0.219 -0.4112
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 555 49.19% 32.36 -2.395 46.49% -0.234 -0.2933
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 232 60.78% 29.01 0.203 39.66% -0.022 0.0594
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4401 39.97% 37.2 -0.907 63.21% 0.005 0.0846
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 292 33.56% 32.16 8.022 52.74% 1.281 1.0944
Shifting Memory of Ages 981 48.62% 26.86 -1.683 34.76% -0.215 0.0527
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 167 32.34% 24.94 2.208 41.32% 1.1 0.9819
Shroud of Silent Mist 934 58.31% 25.51 -6.497 34.58% -1.172 -0.8204
Starlight Seeks its Form 1380 37.85% 27.6 -2.268 36.45% -0.481 -0.599
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2501 34.39% 31.29 0.55 50.58% 0.168 -0.3452
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2447 39.4% 36.81 1.013 61.3% 0.261 0.3785
Thunderspeaker 4115 43.43% 36.84 2.946 57.67% 0.685 0.7169
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 194 47.94% 30.52 -1.576 50.0% 0.027 0.0404
Towering Roots of the Jungle 289 42.91% 25.81 -1.802 39.1% -0.377 -0.2477
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1801 65.7% 26.23 -1.626 38.53% 0.003 0.1288
Vital Strength of the Earth 2906 37.23% 25.85 -1.738 27.36% -0.53 0.0702
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 244 38.27% 29.73 1.111 41.8% 0.153 0.6467
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 325 35.19% 25.13 2.15 29.54% 0.268 0.966
Volcano Looming High 1600 47.44% 32.08 1.153 54.81% 0.424 0.4719
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 677 40.92% 29.88 3.675 43.87% 0.474 0.1839

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 54 35.19% 27.87 11.713 31.48% 0.983 1.1741
Blitz 0 779 32.13% 20.23 -4.843 17.84% -0.773 -0.5554
Dahan Insurrection 4 1269 23.17% 53.01 6.41 60.2% 0.131 -0.1217
Despicable Theft 2 149 51.01% 29.56 -11.461 32.21% -0.731 -0.1443
Elemental Invocation 1 185 47.03% 26.78 -4.864 33.51% -0.238 0.5017
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1784 18.49% 40.0 8.273 65.08% 1.246 0.6842
Powers Long Forgotten 1 458 49.56% 31.26 -5.207 37.77% -1.039 -0.2795
Rituals of Terror 3 235 47.23% 39.91 0.715 44.26% 0.133 0.2531
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 116 66.09% 31.29 -3.282 29.31% -0.331 0.5769
Second Wave 0 1086 42.78% 31.92 0.814 37.85% -0.191 -0.0529
The Great River 3 77 16.88% 19.82 -8.565 5.19% -0.07 1.0301
Varied Terrains 2 74 44.59% 24.01 -4.522 25.68% -0.969 -0.1936
Ward the Shores 2 478 43.1% 34.31 -4.382 33.89% -1.143 -0.0688

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 37623 44.09% 31.67 -0.521 48.47% 0.051 0.3833
1 Thematic 1554 38.17% 33.57 2.579 35.78% -0.021 0.6644
2 Archipelago 35 68.57% 32.0 -4.442 28.57% -1.06 -0.4523
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9324 45.45% 32.69 -0.178 52.73% 0.09 0.2092
2 Coastline 983 45.25% 31.96 -2.215 49.85% -0.322 -0.3941
2 Fragment 237 57.38% 28.71 3.039 42.19% 1.006 0.8212
2 Heart 91 62.64% 28.01 3.725 39.56% 0.347 0.1895
2 Opposite Shores 2025 48.44% 32.53 0.388 49.98% 0.009 0.1606
2 Thematic 920 38.63% 29.18 -3.366 26.3% -0.962 -0.4539
2 Top to Top 249 54.22% 34.83 2.086 58.23% 0.608 0.5493
3 Archipelago 16 62.5% 40.31 6.789 56.25% 0.231 -0.7211
3 Coastline 16 25.0% 30.75 -13.85 50.0% -0.461 -0.8709
3 Other 108 37.96% 31.1 9.358 50.0% 1.116 0.3447
3 Round (Default) 4109 41.69% 34.64 2.511 55.1% 0.278 0.1873
3 Sunrise 10 30.0% 43.2 0.0 80.0%
3 Thematic 162 37.04% 37.59 0.278 39.51% -0.437 -0.4166
4 Archipelago 5 40.0% 54.0 0.0 60.0%
4 Coastline 3 100.0% 11.33 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 23 65.22% 40.26 0.0 69.57%
4 Other 92 28.26% 27.89 -8.889 50.0% -1.426 -2.1372
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 24.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 724 15.61% 48.81 8.456 66.02% 1.323 1.4459
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1641 40.9% 35.98 -0.996 58.26% -0.095 -0.0977
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 31.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 84 57.14% 34.29 4.302 46.43% 0.542 0.0286
5 Thematic 14 14.29% 44.86 0.0 42.86%
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 32.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 8 12.5% 42.38 -1.878 75.0% -0.13 -0.2337
6 Star 7 28.57% 38.71 0.0 57.14%
6 Thematic 190 18.72% 30.89 -4.086 37.37% -0.46 -0.1745
6 Two Centers (Default) 72 40.28% 33.15 -0.643 55.56% -0.48 0.0531
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 8.685 0.0% 0.225 -0.3333

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2215 30.51 1.121 48.44% 0.148 0.3994
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1896 32.38 3.432 50.58% 0.58 0.5225
All Things Weaken 1140 29.49 -2.234 44.56% -0.74 -0.4058
Attenuated Essence 195 28.43 2.955 44.1% 0.985 1.0182
Back Against the Wall 1793 31.43 0.453 48.13% -0.05 -0.0152
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 188 28.69 -2.446 38.83% -0.505 -0.2884
Burn Brightest Before the End 186 29.79 1.975 36.56% 0.036 0.0465
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2167 26.91 -1.739 42.36% -0.187 0.1574
Downward Spiral 2564 29.44 0.441 47.46% 0.095 0.2126
Erosion of Will 2119 29.16 -2.64 44.03% -0.668 -0.3932
Intensifying Exploitation 234 28.67 2.253 46.15% 0.664 0.8746
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 594 32.49 1.761 52.86% 0.404 -0.1688
Memory Fades to Dust 2693 28.99 0.031 44.34% -0.113 0.1395
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1080 29.24 3.66 45.37% 0.933 1.1377
Promising Farmlands 2216 26.39 2.554 35.79% 0.265 0.5195
Shattered Fragments of Power 185 30.52 4.134 43.78% 0.65 0.7236
Slow Dissolution of Will 223 28.03 -1.109 39.01% -0.525 -0.1434
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 313 33.58 5.487 57.51% 0.823 0.1496
The Border of Life and Death 77 35.61 11.812 59.74% 1.419 0.8181
Thriving Communities 1138 28.76 -0.807 46.05% -0.312 -0.0307
Thriving Crops 145 24.87 -1.244 31.72% -0.571 -0.7109
Tipping Point 791 27.05 0.0 39.19%
Unnatural Proliferation 1049 30.19 0.295 43.85% -0.256 -0.0522
Untended Land Crumbles 1096 28.07 3.429 43.16% 0.564 0.7537

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 13218 45.4% 32.28 -1.243 49.74% -0.334 0.664
B 14040 44.34% 33.12 0.314 52.53% 0.059 0.9808
C 14751 42.84% 33.17 1.683 52.21% 0.241 0.9704
D 12803 45.78% 32.16 -0.175 49.66% -0.108 0.8509
E 6739 42.67% 33.22 0.513 53.29% -0.038 0.7811
F 8098 43.76% 32.66 0.519 51.19% 0.075 0.9566
G 7353 44.33% 32.35 -0.694 50.55% -0.219 0.6067
H 7489 43.31% 32.9 -0.398 51.92% -0.233 0.6063
East 2641 31.08% 37.1 1.576 42.22% -0.16 0.7145
Northeast 1738 28.97% 39.2 -0.07 47.01% -0.392 0.3605
Northwest 1516 26.79% 39.58 1.558 48.61% 0.057 0.9486
Southeast 471 25.43% 33.88 2.642 39.92% 0.493 1.3314
Southwest 465 26.62% 30.97 -3.219 36.56% -0.63 0.675
West 2519 29.82% 36.19 1.926 40.89% -0.094 0.8555

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 122 0.0% 38.81 0.828 62.3% -0.231 0.498
Not Using Events or Tokens 290 37.72% 26.62 -15.94 26.9% -0.511 -0.1655
Skip Initial Invader Actions 639 14.38% 50.29 11.119 77.62% 0.75 0.1472
Start of Game Growth 1450 23.01% 44.38 3.779 69.45% 1.006 0.5019
Unlimited Undo 4209 37.61% 34.36 -0.1 55.1% 0.069 -0.038
Using Tokens but Not Events 3955 37.79% 32.32 -0.068 49.28% -0.133 -0.1624

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 16563 13.42 3.17%
II 22412 30.13 43.52%
III 15400 34.83 88.29%
IV 6001 38.67 99.35%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.355 Win Model: 0.169
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 39422 43.87% 31.7 47.84%
2 13746 46.02% 32.44 50.44%
3 4369 41.11% 34.73 54.68%
4 2484 33.39% 39.56 60.35%
5 104 34.62% 24.36 30.77%
6 251 27.42% 35.35 49.4%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 523
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13246
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8893
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5928
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3813
Lose: Invader deck ran out 42
Lose: Adversary condition 20175
Win: Sacrifice victory 130
Lose: Scenario condition 441
Win: Scenario condition 1118
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5686
Lose: Spirit destroyed 381

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3908 44.22% 38.03 -1.105 47.9% -0.148 -0.2425
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 221 48.42% 50.45 6.361 64.71% 0.655 0.1789
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1981 60.65% 31.8 -2.471 31.65% -0.853 -0.7407
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 242 47.52% 37.0 3.084 48.35% 0.479 -0.3343
Dances Up Earthquakes 133 46.62% 30.35 -2.551 40.6% -0.297 -0.3056
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2427 48.43% 37.34 0.454 47.84% -0.137 -0.2768
Downpour Drenches the World 674 39.23% 29.17 -1.789 31.01% -0.192 0.0357
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1093 38.19% 38.77 5.895 55.35% 1.182 0.6126
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3219 43.32% 41.42 0.358 55.3% 0.1 -0.2873
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2038 49.12% 36.41 -1.753 43.03% -0.061 -0.4545
Finder of Paths Unseen 337 48.8% 25.02 0.182 25.22% 0.175 0.9036
Fractured Days Split the Sky 856 47.43% 36.73 -0.378 40.07% 0.162 0.8028
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1353 59.28% 39.77 2.244 54.03% 0.414 0.2803
Heart of the Wildfire 3471 78.26% 32.19 -4.231 40.65% -0.811 -0.4813
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10125 52.46% 40.66 -0.801 54.49% 0.189 -0.2344
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 347 44.67% 36.97 3.341 53.89% 0.585 0.2786
Lightning's Swift Strike 2872 59.19% 37.57 -0.39 48.5% -0.084 0.1543
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 433 64.08% 38.5 2.466 54.27% 0.277 -0.1304
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 766 51.63% 45.54 -0.122 65.67% 0.308 -0.0115
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 568 48.59% 40.19 -1.161 54.05% 0.196 0.115
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2725 58.22% 37.11 -0.027 49.76% -0.102 -0.2951
Many Minds Move as One 1193 41.39% 38.88 2.868 52.14% 0.538 0.3222
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4935 54.65% 37.48 2.333 47.6% 0.556 0.6955
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 308 65.8% 34.83 0.178 43.18% 0.015 0.0959
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2805 50.68% 36.97 3.01 47.42% 0.492 0.4134
River Surges in Sunlight 4879 51.15% 38.92 2.732 44.95% 0.11 0.2351
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 143 52.45% 32.6 3.2 36.36% 0.236 0.4141
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 591 50.68% 31.62 -2.788 31.3% -0.82 -0.5404
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 591 49.32% 37.45 2.905 46.7% 0.35 0.2271
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3646 49.77% 34.5 -0.727 38.84% -0.33 -0.4568
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 64 65.63% 39.3 -0.909 51.56% -0.308 -0.4202
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1439 71.24% 30.85 -6.876 29.46% -0.973 -0.4572
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 98 65.31% 23.98 8.406 25.51% 0.299 0.2806
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 259 65.08% 36.35 4.464 50.58% 0.691 0.188
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 129 61.24% 30.71 -3.347 35.66% -0.398 -0.5895
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 402 63.93% 34.4 -5.829 39.05% -0.803 -0.8622
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 182 67.96% 28.97 -8.132 26.92% -0.659 -0.5779
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4515 50.66% 41.43 0.312 57.65% 0.154 0.2338
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 340 41.59% 30.25 0.137 42.65% 0.26 0.0732
Shifting Memory of Ages 857 62.08% 31.04 -5.383 33.84% -0.508 -0.2411
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 166 54.22% 38.96 -1.613 51.2% -0.123 -0.2409
Shroud of Silent Mist 855 64.68% 26.25 -3.113 24.91% -0.601 -0.2498
Starlight Seeks its Form 1535 47.46% 33.34 1.316 39.74% 0.213 0.0953
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2397 49.22% 36.43 3.917 48.14% 0.696 0.1833
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1913 55.14% 39.64 0.012 53.21% 0.083 0.2005
Thunderspeaker 3779 56.12% 39.69 1.085 49.88% 0.214 0.2458
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 159 53.46% 32.38 3.363 44.65% 0.341 0.3549
Towering Roots of the Jungle 308 48.7% 27.79 -0.594 34.09% 0.076 0.2051
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1782 78.07% 31.91 0.02 37.99% -0.117 0.009
Vital Strength of the Earth 2400 50.19% 30.17 -2.976 27.21% -0.737 -0.1366
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 318 42.99% 31.36 -0.331 34.91% -0.212 0.2812
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 289 48.79% 26.84 3.102 22.15% 0.549 1.2471
Volcano Looming High 1688 63.57% 34.73 -4.215 47.39% -0.691 -0.6435
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 546 49.26% 33.66 -0.316 40.48% -0.177 -0.4668

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 18 66.67% 39.61 -5.147 61.11% -0.438 -0.2471
Blitz 0 517 29.07% 33.02 -2.955 27.85% -0.155 0.0623
Dahan Insurrection 4 618 40.78% 50.53 6.006 42.39% 0.199 -0.054
Despicable Theft 2 47 44.68% 35.96 15.417 40.43% 0.875 1.4614
Elemental Invocation 1 127 50.39% 31.24 -0.348 36.22% -0.119 0.6201
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1744 21.58% 48.77 4.727 69.38% 0.709 0.1469
Powers Long Forgotten 1 233 59.66% 35.7 -0.416 36.91% -0.039 0.7205
Rituals of Terror 3 195 58.55% 37.9 8.533 30.26% 0.131 0.2516
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 126 64.29% 31.21 -1.698 20.63% -0.498 0.4089
Second Wave 0 642 48.8% 35.19 1.584 33.96% -0.048 0.0902
The Great River 3 74 39.19% 23.32 -6.632 9.46% -0.885 0.2151
Varied Terrains 2 51 47.06% 24.2 -6.609 9.8% -1.261 -0.4856
Ward the Shores 2 249 56.63% 31.38 -2.501 18.88% -0.643 0.4316

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 37721 54.43% 35.51 -1.286 43.8% 0.39 0.7227
1 Thematic 1309 41.89% 33.27 -5.026 23.07% -0.966 -0.2806
2 Archipelago 15 60.0% 35.87 0.0 53.33%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8390 57.53% 36.58 0.808 47.43% 0.405 0.5248
2 Coastline 850 56.96% 38.01 -2.59 51.53% -0.152 -0.2243
2 Fragment 216 62.5% 38.52 -1.391 51.39% -0.018 -0.2026
2 Heart 193 73.06% 54.35 9.204 65.8% 1.189 1.032
2 Opposite Shores 1818 54.32% 35.51 3.452 45.65% 0.921 1.072
2 Thematic 484 37.6% 29.14 -2.131 14.26% -0.083 0.4246
2 Top to Top 239 57.98% 37.07 -1.731 49.79% 0.027 -0.0317
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 27 33.33% 36.07 -12.696 40.74% -0.179 -0.5888
3 Other 119 51.26% 44.95 8.649 67.23% 0.469 -0.3021
3 Round (Default) 3807 54.53% 40.37 1.221 54.85% 0.063 -0.0278
3 Sunrise 17 58.82% 44.0 -18.884 64.71% -0.549 -0.645
3 Thematic 234 30.77% 26.65 -5.011 12.39% -0.454 -0.4329
4 Archipelago 4 25.0% 49.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 8 87.5% 33.63 0.0 37.5%
4 Leaf 15 66.67% 37.0 0.0 46.67%
4 Other 66 60.61% 36.61 -15.556 45.45% -0.394 -1.1046
4 Thematic 342 36.76% 38.23 0.533 30.12% -0.186 -0.0629
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1464 51.73% 42.04 1.32 58.06% 0.203 0.2003
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 43.33 0.0 33.33%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 74 58.33% 38.99 -1.881 54.05% -0.309 -0.8227
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 65.25 0.0 75.0%
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 30.0 0.0 33.33%
6 Other 57 33.33% 44.49 -4.816 61.4% -0.907 -1.0108
6 Star 18 33.33% 41.83 4.604 55.56% 0.229 0.2152
6 Thematic 70 26.87% 32.33 4.575 24.29% 0.131 0.4168
6 Two Centers (Default) 89 43.82% 39.92 4.144 56.18% 0.146 0.6791
7 Other 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2672 35.58 1.53 44.87% 0.397 0.6478
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2279 37.97 4.228 48.92% 0.526 0.4686
All Things Weaken 1396 36.23 4.853 47.28% 0.879 1.2141
Attenuated Essence 251 34.3 7.169 45.42% 1.257 1.2907
Back Against the Wall 2202 36.94 4.389 46.28% 0.802 0.8368
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 287 34.54 2.315 48.08% 0.393 0.6102
Burn Brightest Before the End 184 37.59 7.717 45.65% 1.077 1.0879
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2484 31.76 -1.023 38.61% 0.122 0.4665
Downward Spiral 3054 34.49 3.69 44.11% 0.629 0.7464
Erosion of Will 2633 34.5 2.107 41.36% 0.474 0.7482
Intensifying Exploitation 238 31.06 0.994 38.66% 0.26 0.4713
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 591 39.66 4.735 53.98% 0.489 -0.0842
Memory Fades to Dust 2986 34.31 -0.194 42.4% -0.193 0.0594
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1318 35.26 3.982 45.98% 0.684 0.8886
Promising Farmlands 2541 31.6 1.79 34.47% 0.314 0.5678
Shattered Fragments of Power 220 35.09 6.196 42.73% 0.985 1.0593
Slow Dissolution of Will 263 31.73 4.793 37.26% 0.823 1.2039
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 363 41.56 1.826 59.78% 0.454 -0.2198
The Border of Life and Death 80 34.4 9.843 43.75% 1.0 0.3991
Thriving Communities 1383 35.82 2.24 48.3% 0.704 0.9853
Thriving Crops 157 23.64 1.746 18.47% -0.062 -0.2027
Tipping Point 918 32.99 0.0 37.69%
Unnatural Proliferation 1383 36.19 0.647 43.89% -0.151 0.0531
Untended Land Crumbles 1349 33.54 2.068 41.59% 0.575 0.7647

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12734 56.35% 36.46 0.88 46.28% -0.179 0.8193
B 13236 54.95% 37.06 -0.633 47.55% -0.307 0.6147
C 13631 53.93% 37.71 0.55 48.82% -0.022 0.7074
D 12120 55.31% 36.98 0.629 47.51% 0.005 0.9645
E 6561 54.73% 38.44 1.31 51.01% 0.003 0.8221
F 8028 54.38% 37.5 0.405 48.33% -0.207 0.6746
G 7237 55.51% 35.86 -0.859 45.05% -0.171 0.6541
H 7238 53.68% 38.04 0.431 49.72% -0.073 0.7663
East 1728 38.2% 33.41 -0.174 22.05% -0.564 0.3105
Northeast 1064 37.43% 34.91 -1.905 24.53% -0.092 0.6605
Northwest 889 37.23% 32.62 -0.748 21.93% -0.661 0.2308
Southeast 303 38.33% 30.44 2.895 21.45% -0.073 0.7659
Southwest 302 36.91% 27.35 3.949 17.88% 0.125 1.43
West 1574 36.51% 31.31 -1.702 19.06% -1.186 -0.2358

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 112 0.0% 46.64 11.689 65.18% 0.629 1.3575
Not Using Events or Tokens 283 48.74% 30.17 0.0 24.38%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 936 13.66% 55.11 4.712 72.44% 0.071 -0.5313
Start of Game Growth 1361 18.48% 51.26 6.014 68.63% 1.22 0.7156
Unlimited Undo 4979 47.77% 37.44 -1.157 48.06% -0.064 -0.1715
Using Tokens but Not Events 3254 48.6% 35.15 -1.04 44.16% -0.086 -0.1154

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 20992 13.42 2.34%
II 17326 30.13 43.8%
III 13408 34.83 88.7%
IV 5955 38.67 99.35%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.754 Win Model: 0.456
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 39166 54.03% 35.43 43.09%
2 12133 56.5% 36.58 46.62%
3 4187 52.96% 39.79 52.97%
4 1903 49.63% 41.06 52.23%
5 57 50.0% 36.12 50.88%
6 235 34.91% 38.92 47.66%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 491
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11647
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7313
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5875
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3937
Lose: Invader deck ran out 132
Lose: Adversary condition 19219
Win: Sacrifice victory 128
Lose: Scenario condition 404
Win: Scenario condition 434
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7584
Lose: Spirit destroyed 517

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3118 41.35% 43.22 1.034 50.93% 0.124 0.0289
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 111 45.79% 35.11 4.877 38.74% 0.69 0.2145
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1336 58.18% 35.12 -7.963 31.81% -0.603 -0.4905
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 244 42.21% 33.16 6.443 38.93% 0.837 0.0242
Dances Up Earthquakes 74 41.89% 29.85 -1.125 28.38% -0.033 -0.0419
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2389 42.4% 45.49 -1.3 58.94% 0.027 -0.1125
Downpour Drenches the World 610 35.9% 26.75 -4.481 23.61% -0.657 -0.4294
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 933 33.44% 35.73 -2.984 46.2% -0.43 -0.9992
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2064 42.72% 43.27 2.341 50.87% 0.305 -0.0825
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1936 40.95% 46.52 -2.728 58.83% -0.173 -0.5673
Finder of Paths Unseen 192 51.56% 31.26 -8.37 31.25% -0.884 -0.156
Fractured Days Split the Sky 731 41.86% 37.33 3.365 40.49% 0.105 0.7461
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 897 55.52% 39.45 0.89 47.05% 0.262 0.1285
Heart of the Wildfire 2822 75.22% 36.83 -1.513 42.1% -0.087 0.2419
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6061 47.45% 44.07 1.577 55.35% 0.351 -0.0728
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 235 40.0% 36.92 6.71 49.36% 0.882 0.5755
Lightning's Swift Strike 1792 57.88% 42.06 -0.363 49.72% 0.031 0.2688
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 293 53.43% 48.33 3.506 63.14% 0.692 0.2839
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 521 48.94% 49.48 2.267 65.26% 0.432 0.1131
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 342 41.81% 43.61 -0.904 56.73% -0.068 -0.1489
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1960 56.46% 42.39 -0.124 52.5% -0.1 -0.293
Many Minds Move as One 766 41.12% 41.06 5.247 51.31% 0.704 0.4878
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4392 50.59% 42.97 3.716 52.0% 0.718 0.8579
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 174 60.92% 29.52 -0.501 35.06% 0.247 0.3276
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1747 49.6% 42.17 1.67 51.92% 0.165 0.087
River Surges in Sunlight 3522 48.93% 43.97 2.555 49.15% 0.187 0.3121
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 62 50.0% 33.47 -2.581 37.1% -0.335 -0.1563
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 399 47.87% 40.27 -1.807 43.86% -0.186 0.0931
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 478 55.97% 39.04 1.024 40.79% 0.107 -0.0162
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2394 45.96% 38.48 -1.427 40.14% -0.331 -0.4582
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 45 44.44% 30.13 -0.172 31.11% -0.191 -0.3035
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 883 65.46% 35.68 -14.02 33.64% -0.455 0.0605
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 53 54.72% 32.26 -18.228 35.85% -0.388 -0.4066
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 182 50.0% 29.85 6.99 34.62% 1.016 0.5126
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 86 58.14% 31.0 6.753 25.58% 0.344 0.1519
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 266 65.66% 34.08 -6.219 31.95% -0.49 -0.5487
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 126 70.63% 33.94 5.448 30.95% 0.017 0.0983
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3261 45.76% 47.49 3.224 62.28% 0.497 0.5765
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 818 15.28% 27.12 -2.295 37.16% 0.142 -0.045
Shifting Memory of Ages 585 56.58% 33.85 -4.769 32.99% -0.558 -0.2908
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 93 45.16% 36.05 -1.457 44.09% -0.349 -0.4671
Shroud of Silent Mist 886 66.33% 37.79 -2.994 43.12% -0.238 0.1128
Starlight Seeks its Form 1090 44.22% 36.43 -0.545 38.81% -0.036 -0.1539
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1613 45.96% 37.26 -3.445 43.58% -0.696 -1.2091
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1439 52.9% 44.63 4.904 55.94% 0.585 0.7027
Thunderspeaker 2526 55.67% 43.6 3.893 50.95% 0.72 0.7521
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 155 49.68% 27.38 -1.083 30.97% -0.14 -0.1269
Towering Roots of the Jungle 215 42.33% 33.64 1.793 40.47% 0.254 0.3834
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1075 74.18% 34.05 -7.0 35.91% -0.938 -0.8116
Vital Strength of the Earth 1403 47.5% 35.41 -0.379 31.29% -0.476 0.1238
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 183 37.06% 37.72 -2.825 39.34% -0.601 -0.1076
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 136 48.53% 29.68 -9.089 22.06% -1.347 -0.6489
Volcano Looming High 1226 61.22% 37.81 -0.678 45.92% 0.08 0.1274
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 476 43.07% 34.39 0.026 37.18% 0.028 -0.2623

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 13 53.85% 27.0 11.501 30.77% 0.246 0.437
Blitz 0 251 26.29% 26.22 -1.053 17.53% -0.274 -0.0571
Dahan Insurrection 4 482 44.19% 55.82 18.11 42.74% 1.3 1.0474
Despicable Theft 2 31 32.26% 28.06 -15.082 22.58% -0.255 0.331
Elemental Invocation 1 92 45.65% 27.78 -6.616 17.39% -0.47 0.269
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1368 18.23% 52.04 9.203 66.89% 1.408 0.8463
Powers Long Forgotten 1 148 56.08% 34.51 -14.182 27.7% -0.451 0.3088
Rituals of Terror 3 109 49.54% 40.64 0.0 25.69%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 193 69.43% 35.21 -15.147 16.06% -0.274 0.6336
Second Wave 0 363 50.72% 41.38 0.311 40.77% -0.076 0.0626
The Great River 3 29 31.03% 20.38 -9.699 3.45% -0.454 0.6461
Varied Terrains 2 24 54.17% 27.17 -13.314 25.0% -0.222 0.5534
Ward the Shores 2 210 56.67% 30.94 -9.31 13.33% -0.538 0.5368

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 24708 50.57% 39.47 -1.014 45.83% -0.19 0.1425
1 Thematic 1035 38.18% 35.74 2.974 21.45% -0.595 0.0912
2 Archipelago 10 40.0% 13.1 0.0 10.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5864 55.55% 40.96 1.761 49.18% 0.319 0.4384
2 Coastline 532 54.91% 41.8 2.363 51.13% 0.617 0.5446
2 Fragment 117 60.68% 35.05 -4.656 37.61% -0.583 -0.7677
2 Heart 76 65.79% 34.82 0.0 32.89%
2 Opposite Shores 1178 53.74% 40.14 -0.104 46.18% -0.086 0.0648
2 Thematic 355 37.46% 34.15 0.0 16.9%
2 Top to Top 321 53.89% 44.48 -1.979 57.01% 0.023 -0.0356
3 Archipelago 14 78.57% 58.71 0.0 57.14%
3 Coastline 17 41.18% 41.47 0.0 47.06%
3 Other 72 45.83% 49.85 19.292 70.83% 0.646 -0.1253
3 Round (Default) 3246 46.45% 42.34 0.496 53.91% 0.37 0.2793
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 35.29 0.0 42.86%
3 Thematic 67 41.79% 33.03 0.0 16.42%
4 Archipelago 22 77.27% 42.36 0.0 45.45%
4 Coastline 11 9.09% 62.55 0.0 90.91%
4 Leaf 21 33.33% 49.9 -3.355 71.43% -0.492 -0.6537
4 Other 50 54.0% 52.72 -3.366 76.0% -0.141 -0.8525
4 Snake 5 100.0% 28.0 0.0 20.0%
4 Thematic 260 38.46% 43.58 -0.547 36.92% 0.205 0.3276
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1456 47.61% 47.63 -7.905 61.13% -0.731 -0.7335
5 Archipelago 2 50.0% 55.0 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 58 50.0% 34.53 13.225 43.1% 0.301 -0.2133
5 Thematic 7 28.57% 42.14 0.0 14.29%
6 Archipelago 4 50.0% 48.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 77 32.89% 19.08 19.489 12.99% 0.368 0.2645
6 Star 14 28.57% 55.86 7.092 78.57% 0.301 0.287
6 Thematic 23 21.74% 25.61 -3.391 8.7% -0.32 -0.0347
6 Two Centers (Default) 42 38.1% 41.43 -13.744 52.38% -0.473 0.0603
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1713 40.05 -3.917 48.16% -0.646 -0.3954
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1324 42.63 9.441 51.51% 1.134 1.0761
All Things Weaken 832 40.23 3.368 48.32% 0.561 0.8955
Attenuated Essence 157 36.96 1.381 47.13% 0.293 0.3264
Back Against the Wall 1379 42.03 4.839 49.6% 0.577 0.6119
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 173 35.88 2.039 42.77% 0.296 0.5131
Burn Brightest Before the End 118 37.11 -5.566 40.68% -0.391 -0.3806
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1718 35.81 -3.183 41.15% -0.649 -0.305
Downward Spiral 1884 38.47 4.986 45.7% 0.656 0.7737
Erosion of Will 1643 38.04 2.162 42.18% 0.029 0.3036
Intensifying Exploitation 184 33.44 0.098 41.3% -0.049 0.1622
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 432 40.7 0.115 48.61% -0.044 -0.6162
Memory Fades to Dust 1971 37.94 -0.316 43.78% 0.085 0.3373
Power Corrodes the Spirit 803 38.73 3.444 45.45% 0.662 0.8661
Promising Farmlands 1827 34.03 1.813 33.83% 0.189 0.4435
Shattered Fragments of Power 116 37.54 0.284 38.79% -0.646 -0.5715
Slow Dissolution of Will 154 33.49 5.75 37.66% 0.769 1.1506
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 215 44.88 7.962 58.14% 0.484 -0.1897
The Border of Life and Death 37 40.73 7.709 54.05% 0.724 0.1237
Thriving Communities 843 39.39 1.453 48.64% 0.119 0.4001
Thriving Crops 104 32.58 -0.297 29.81% -0.203 -0.3436
Tipping Point 646 36.91 0.0 40.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 871 40.34 -1.692 47.19% -0.466 -0.2622
Untended Land Crumbles 854 37.5 2.42 42.97% 0.646 0.8363

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8787 52.05% 40.02 -0.289 46.74% 0.028 1.0254
B 9240 51.17% 41.01 0.302 49.34% 0.109 1.0315
C 11407 47.39% 44.29 1.072 55.77% 0.198 0.9268
D 8589 52.13% 40.41 -1.182 47.85% -0.176 0.7827
E 5027 53.03% 40.54 1.234 49.55% 0.402 1.2215
F 5386 52.0% 40.27 -0.227 48.55% 0.076 0.9583
G 4867 51.92% 39.45 -0.455 46.25% -0.008 0.8171
H 5161 47.77% 40.28 0.178 48.11% 0.031 0.8701
East 1083 37.87% 38.67 2.947 25.58% 0.217 1.092
Northeast 682 39.06% 40.1 -3.391 28.74% -0.32 0.4316
Northwest 642 43.77% 36.65 1.457 23.36% -0.222 0.6704
Southeast 164 36.81% 38.18 -3.855 30.49% -0.545 0.2939
Southwest 136 23.53% 31.06 -5.311 22.06% -0.726 0.579
West 1116 35.84% 34.84 -1.487 19.62% -0.103 0.847

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 75 0.0% 49.64 8.904 58.67% 0.447 1.1757
Not Using Events or Tokens 139 53.62% 32.73 0.0 23.02%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 475 19.33% 59.79 9.732 75.16% 1.339 0.7363
Start of Game Growth 768 25.59% 54.68 3.157 70.44% 0.196 -0.3076
Unlimited Undo 3437 51.37% 41.18 -0.74 49.99% -0.194 -0.3006
Using Tokens but Not Events 1886 45.92% 41.08 -1.346 47.93% -0.628 -0.6577

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14134 13.42 2.27%
II 11731 30.13 45.84%
III 11163 34.83 91.22%
IV 2654 38.67 99.7%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.148 Win Model: -0.244
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 25814 50.07% 39.29 44.81%
2 8419 54.65% 40.71 47.68%
3 3406 46.47% 42.33 53.52%
4 1832 46.45% 47.15 57.97%
5 48 45.83% 28.65 27.08%
6 163 32.1% 29.29 28.83%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 319
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10013
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5157
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2628
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2725
Lose: Invader deck ran out 23
Lose: Adversary condition 13341
Win: Sacrifice victory 81
Lose: Scenario condition 301
Win: Scenario condition 329
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4433
Lose: Spirit destroyed 332

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1932 45.45% 52.07 -4.253 61.9% -0.897 -0.9914
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 102 57.0% 53.44 10.271 70.59% 1.435 0.9587
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 722 61.42% 39.99 -3.289 35.73% -1.09 -0.9775
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 191 43.46% 41.28 -11.985 49.74% -1.525 -2.3377
Dances Up Earthquakes 80 47.5% 29.75 -3.039 26.25% -0.455 -0.464
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1073 48.04% 49.03 3.113 58.34% 0.166 0.0261
Downpour Drenches the World 299 48.16% 34.33 -1.932 30.77% -0.385 -0.1573
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 608 34.7% 50.72 4.218 65.46% 0.486 -0.0835
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1752 42.13% 52.03 7.437 61.99% 1.067 0.6797
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 620 46.0% 43.43 -1.123 43.71% -0.277 -0.6707
Finder of Paths Unseen 107 35.85% 31.69 -7.315 38.32% -1.181 -0.4523
Fractured Days Split the Sky 434 48.85% 42.39 1.085 38.25% 0.146 0.7871
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 517 60.74% 49.88 5.091 59.38% 0.793 0.6596
Heart of the Wildfire 1352 84.97% 39.81 -4.762 41.42% -0.874 -0.5451
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3998 54.39% 53.18 -3.717 65.86% -0.33 -0.7537
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 337 46.88% 56.46 1.841 75.67% 0.153 -0.1529
Lightning's Swift Strike 1198 47.43% 53.03 -3.76 60.52% -0.198 0.0396
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 299 42.03% 64.56 6.999 76.59% 0.522 0.1147
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 455 44.62% 57.56 9.624 72.53% 0.939 0.6198
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 290 44.48% 51.24 3.919 63.1% 0.34 0.2596
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1342 54.52% 49.5 -1.172 60.43% -0.16 -0.3527
Many Minds Move as One 455 44.4% 49.5 -0.867 57.58% -0.26 -0.4767
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2162 55.01% 50.38 3.675 58.42% 0.875 1.0143
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 180 50.56% 35.36 -2.477 33.33% -0.39 -0.309
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1203 49.75% 50.1 3.603 61.1% 0.706 0.6274
River Surges in Sunlight 1947 53.8% 52.47 0.272 59.68% 0.207 0.333
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 52 48.08% 45.0 4.443 46.15% 0.12 0.2985
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 310 60.97% 50.39 -0.271 57.74% -0.38 -0.1005
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 451 52.99% 52.01 4.221 57.21% 0.602 0.4791
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1592 47.23% 46.14 -2.157 47.49% -0.485 -0.6124
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 97 37.11% 52.82 1.883 70.1% 0.176 0.0639
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 429 65.73% 40.05 5.89 34.5% 0.482 0.9977
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 25 50.0% 34.36 -24.924 28.0% -0.634 -0.652
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 163 66.05% 50.8 5.824 64.42% 0.382 -0.1212
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 86 50.0% 46.35 -1.021 59.3% -0.241 -0.4328
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 186 56.99% 48.72 4.206 56.45% 0.469 0.4095
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 84 66.67% 31.33 -6.131 21.43% -0.649 -0.568
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2004 44.01% 55.53 9.676 69.71% 1.564 1.6434
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 172 38.95% 54.78 4.248 70.35% 0.246 0.0595
Shifting Memory of Ages 334 46.11% 37.93 -9.701 38.92% -0.729 -0.462
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 73 46.58% 43.41 0.22 53.42% 0.196 0.0774
Shroud of Silent Mist 247 63.93% 38.13 1.975 36.84% 0.419 0.7704
Starlight Seeks its Form 689 53.56% 42.94 -1.142 46.88% -0.023 -0.1404
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2185 43.34% 52.67 2.848 65.81% -0.237 -0.75
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 912 47.25% 54.61 7.253 68.2% 0.757 0.8749
Thunderspeaker 1354 60.34% 49.54 2.498 54.73% 0.276 0.3084
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 123 60.98% 47.54 3.327 42.28% 0.018 0.0317
Towering Roots of the Jungle 154 59.74% 42.81 -0.409 48.7% -0.163 -0.0339
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 919 70.62% 44.85 -3.944 52.34% -0.776 -0.6498
Vital Strength of the Earth 777 50.71% 40.99 6.043 34.62% -0.012 0.588
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 304 37.67% 52.66 4.627 66.12% 0.363 0.8566
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 238 46.64% 48.43 0.0 55.88%
Volcano Looming High 690 57.1% 46.32 -4.279 57.54% -0.573 -0.5256
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 285 51.58% 42.21 -3.788 41.05% -0.681 -0.971

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 33.33% 30.67 -2.591 22.22% -0.164 0.027
Blitz 0 193 28.5% 33.29 0.216 24.87% 0.055 0.2726
Dahan Insurrection 4 413 49.39% 47.8 8.73 29.3% 0.34 0.0869
Despicable Theft 2 18 50.0% 36.67 0.0 38.89%
Elemental Invocation 1 64 50.0% 31.31 -0.054 21.88% -0.188 0.5514
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2890 33.32% 62.43 9.524 81.18% 1.515 0.9539
Powers Long Forgotten 1 127 52.76% 41.33 0.675 32.28% -0.311 0.4489
Rituals of Terror 3 98 46.94% 46.23 -14.458 24.49% -0.895 -0.7752
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 110 76.36% 37.39 0.0 13.64%
Second Wave 0 217 57.82% 39.54 -0.72 31.8% -0.433 -0.2943
The Great River 3 40 35.0% 24.38 0.0 7.5%
Varied Terrains 2 8 75.0% 24.5 -9.523 0.0% -0.329 0.4471
Ward the Shores 2 221 50.68% 40.15 -17.97 22.17% -1.007 0.0677

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12590 53.91% 45.11 -0.514 49.9% 0.441 0.7733
1 Thematic 694 43.52% 38.88 -3.564 21.18% -0.898 -0.2124
2 Archipelago 6 33.33% 55.83 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2904 59.94% 46.38 -2.442 53.62% 0.006 0.1253
2 Coastline 333 60.66% 45.61 0.503 51.05% 0.319 0.2465
2 Fragment 73 76.71% 38.6 0.094 38.36% 0.237 0.0518
2 Heart 27 48.15% 40.96 -10.142 40.74% -0.065 -0.2219
2 Opposite Shores 649 54.39% 43.39 3.412 47.92% 0.626 0.7776
2 Thematic 194 40.21% 36.98 -1.432 14.43% -0.072 0.436
2 Top to Top 98 57.14% 47.49 -4.541 54.08% -0.58 -0.6381
3 Archipelago 18 83.33% 62.22 0.0 11.11%
3 Coastline 5 80.0% 34.4 0.0 20.0%
3 Other 55 78.18% 48.07 8.07 50.91% 0.322 -0.4489
3 Round (Default) 2870 47.91% 54.89 1.123 71.25% 0.171 0.08
3 Sunrise 4 75.0% 32.5 0.0 25.0%
3 Thematic 60 25.0% 33.63 -9.11 13.33% -0.494 -0.4737
4 Archipelago 3 66.67% 61.0 0.0 66.67%
4 Coastline 9 11.11% 74.44 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 49.8 0.0 60.0%
4 Other 39 46.15% 59.74 3.396 82.05% -0.04 -0.751
4 Thematic 323 21.38% 60.16 4.162 62.23% 0.512 0.6347
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1314 52.1% 55.68 1.313 71.08% -0.078 -0.0804
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 61.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 49 63.83% 53.1 4.34 67.35% 0.068 -0.4454
5 Thematic 42 42.86% 55.24 10.974 33.33% 0.175 0.1175
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 61.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 9 42.86% 61.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Star 20 50.0% 37.45 18.328 40.0% 0.406 0.3919
6 Thematic 61 34.43% 49.57 -1.009 32.79% -0.355 -0.0696
6 Two Centers (Default) 29 48.28% 38.72 -0.999 37.93% -0.305 0.2278
7 Other 1 0.0% 36.0 4.36 0.0% -0.318 -0.877

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1020 48.09 0.914 55.78% 0.124 0.3745
Aid From Lesser Spirits 836 50.36 1.255 58.01% 0.081 0.0234
All Things Weaken 475 48.72 1.772 57.89% 0.355 0.6901
Attenuated Essence 131 45.72 4.873 54.2% 0.68 0.7131
Back Against the Wall 799 46.6 8.032 50.81% 1.136 1.1711
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 114 43.51 2.433 48.25% 0.346 0.5629
Burn Brightest Before the End 86 43.79 11.65 48.84% 1.264 1.2749
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1009 42.82 -0.345 46.78% 0.001 0.3455
Downward Spiral 1092 46.8 1.975 55.31% 0.515 0.6326
Erosion of Will 999 45.92 2.002 51.35% 0.22 0.4947
Intensifying Exploitation 104 44.14 1.047 49.04% 0.107 0.3182
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 252 51.69 9.249 65.08% 1.226 0.6531
Memory Fades to Dust 1077 45.93 8.378 52.27% 1.297 1.5491
Power Corrodes the Spirit 484 46.25 -0.808 53.72% 0.303 0.5077
Promising Farmlands 990 39.61 -2.995 37.37% -0.636 -0.3816
Shattered Fragments of Power 95 48.89 -3.335 57.89% -0.217 -0.1425
Slow Dissolution of Will 113 45.16 -0.492 49.56% -0.236 0.1454
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 142 52.65 -10.922 66.9% -0.812 -1.4861
The Border of Life and Death 36 54.64 5.572 66.67% 0.074 -0.5267
Thriving Communities 521 45.97 4.351 55.09% 1.025 1.3061
Thriving Crops 96 38.69 -3.839 38.54% -0.643 -0.7832
Tipping Point 373 45.77 0.0 51.47%
Unnatural Proliferation 545 46.47 1.991 51.93% 0.077 0.2808
Untended Land Crumbles 522 43.82 4.272 48.47% 0.899 1.0893

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5174 55.52% 47.86 0.386 55.86% -0.09 0.9081
B 5585 55.57% 48.35 0.643 56.92% 0.356 1.2778
C 6213 53.79% 50.72 2.113 61.24% 0.413 1.1418
D 5073 55.29% 48.84 -1.301 57.58% -0.096 0.8634
E 3239 49.98% 50.38 0.523 61.5% 0.12 0.9391
F 3575 51.32% 49.1 0.402 58.35% 0.163 1.0447
G 3359 52.57% 49.77 0.275 59.81% -0.1 0.7254
H 3563 50.9% 50.01 1.478 60.85% 0.385 1.2234
East 1023 35.17% 45.76 1.073 32.94% -0.216 0.6592
Northeast 655 34.62% 50.44 -0.547 41.22% -0.737 0.015
Northwest 572 31.39% 52.48 0.554 43.36% -0.206 0.6858
Southeast 211 33.18% 46.13 0.004 31.75% -0.174 0.6652
Southwest 142 31.69% 47.22 -0.233 37.32% -0.079 1.2261
West 903 31.07% 47.37 0.306 34.55% -0.326 0.624

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 32 0.0% 57.69 -3.405 59.38% 0.014 0.7432
Not Using Events or Tokens 63 61.9% 31.54 0.0 15.87%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 482 10.75% 69.9 6.996 80.29% 0.234 -0.3692
Start of Game Growth 711 18.87% 64.73 2.823 75.95% 0.383 -0.1208
Unlimited Undo 2279 49.38% 49.84 -2.614 59.28% 0.178 0.0712
Using Tokens but Not Events 1059 34.47% 49.16 -2.693 55.24% -0.401 -0.4305

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7024 13.42 4.68%
II 9128 30.13 62.17%
III 5227 34.83 92.54%
IV 1116 38.67 99.73%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.65 Win Model: 0.303
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13439 53.2% 44.55 47.97%
2 4183 59.13% 46.15 51.69%
3 2983 48.1% 54.25 69.63%
4 1719 45.64% 56.89 69.63%
5 66 56.25% 56.35 50.0%
6 105 44.66% 42.9 36.19%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 328
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4747
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5514
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1107
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1451
Lose: Invader deck ran out 11
Lose: Adversary condition 6155
Win: Sacrifice victory 47
Lose: Scenario condition 268
Win: Scenario condition 211
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2521
Lose: Spirit destroyed 135

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8147 45.02% 46.96 -2.809 44.25% -0.417 -0.5121
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 535 46.17% 34.32 1.569 30.09% 0.222 -0.254
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4008 57.5% 38.07 -8.496 27.4% -1.512 -1.3994
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 1109 44.86% 43.01 3.523 44.82% 0.662 -0.1513
Dances Up Earthquakes 617 49.59% 26.67 -3.12 18.8% -0.512 -0.5206
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4856 50.01% 46.04 0.118 43.88% 0.097 -0.0428
Downpour Drenches the World 2352 46.45% 34.44 -0.658 24.28% -0.24 -0.0126
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 3171 36.47% 44.65 3.694 48.79% 1.07 0.5003
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9103 37.94% 50.59 2.37 50.21% 0.277 -0.1102
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3157 50.59% 45.04 3.986 41.15% 0.573 0.1792
Finder of Paths Unseen 861 48.43% 34.43 -1.993 27.29% -0.322 0.4064
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3550 46.94% 47.58 -3.923 41.27% -0.084 0.5566
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 4146 59.91% 46.85 1.222 46.09% 0.406 0.2724
Heart of the Wildfire 7124 79.29% 40.99 -3.554 36.23% -0.209 0.12
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 29599 52.19% 54.02 2.606 59.67% 0.668 0.2445
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 700 57.0% 45.89 1.796 48.0% 0.628 0.3214
Lightning's Swift Strike 5957 56.6% 47.31 -0.662 45.39% 0.202 0.4403
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 2242 60.93% 49.99 4.028 54.1% 0.835 0.4273
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 5048 51.93% 58.75 4.511 67.1% 0.983 0.6638
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2029 48.99% 54.97 3.775 59.44% 1.074 0.9936
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 8224 54.52% 49.98 1.183 53.15% 0.32 0.1274
Many Minds Move as One 2780 43.77% 51.7 2.68 51.04% 0.433 0.2164
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 14698 50.08% 50.46 -0.305 50.42% 0.005 0.1448
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 936 62.46% 32.03 -3.02 28.63% -0.302 -0.2207
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5654 53.14% 47.91 -1.838 48.28% 0.048 -0.03
River Surges in Sunlight 12359 51.99% 51.34 0.208 49.31% 0.247 0.3728
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 342 56.73% 36.62 -11.633 32.16% -1.649 -1.4707
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1053 49.57% 44.86 -0.889 39.7% -0.08 0.1991
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 2668 50.73% 44.07 0.937 39.39% 0.275 0.1524
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 10486 44.0% 43.26 -2.818 37.22% -0.1 -0.2273
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 231 40.26% 38.65 3.166 41.99% 0.856 0.7435
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2108 61.66% 39.69 -2.322 29.51% -0.014 0.5019
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 154 49.35% 47.14 -4.255 40.91% -0.538 -0.5567
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 957 63.18% 42.29 -1.301 42.84% -0.241 -0.7444
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 178 57.3% 43.84 -11.489 41.57% -0.442 -0.6342
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 1064 60.71% 43.03 -5.938 34.87% -0.867 -0.9261
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 408 65.93% 39.62 -9.084 32.84% -0.92 -0.8384
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 9436 46.38% 53.56 -0.367 59.23% 0.241 0.3208
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1513 52.81% 44.33 1.231 46.4% 0.254 0.067
Shifting Memory of Ages 2375 52.17% 37.14 -3.038 27.16% -0.643 -0.3762
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 495 52.32% 37.85 1.867 33.94% -0.043 -0.1619
Shroud of Silent Mist 1424 65.85% 39.29 -5.33 33.01% -0.572 -0.2206
Starlight Seeks its Form 5102 50.96% 44.21 -0.418 40.36% 0.147 0.0289
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 8477 44.21% 45.85 2.771 42.2% 0.555 0.0419
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5812 52.77% 54.49 3.924 60.46% 1.181 1.2983
Thunderspeaker 7249 52.25% 47.06 0.779 40.42% 0.216 0.2478
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 482 54.98% 38.27 -0.546 36.1% 0.219 0.2328
Towering Roots of the Jungle 822 48.05% 34.84 -1.549 33.58% 0.188 0.317
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4979 74.69% 41.07 -1.344 37.58% -0.115 0.0112
Vital Strength of the Earth 3989 49.97% 35.3 -4.731 22.36% -0.589 0.0109
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 635 59.06% 38.78 -6.981 33.07% -1.274 -0.7804
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 731 47.74% 33.48 -1.283 15.73% -0.829 -0.1316
Volcano Looming High 5466 58.78% 48.91 1.281 53.81% 0.52 0.5678
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 2022 47.43% 39.86 -2.491 33.58% -0.218 -0.5085

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 39 46.15% 54.92 -15.683 51.28% -0.128 0.063
Blitz 0 1222 34.29% 42.36 -1.687 30.61% -0.419 -0.2014
Dahan Insurrection 4 4389 34.5% 53.87 8.052 36.2% 0.931 0.6778
Despicable Theft 2 57 66.67% 40.81 -14.251 24.56% -0.23 0.3559
Elemental Invocation 1 319 60.82% 38.74 -4.361 17.87% -1.389 -0.6493
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 11083 27.53% 60.93 7.846 66.83% 1.435 0.8731
Powers Long Forgotten 1 259 51.35% 37.85 -15.854 23.94% -0.797 -0.0369
Rituals of Terror 3 434 39.03% 76.04 16.883 43.32% 1.314 1.4344
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 90 71.11% 34.96 20.819 12.22% 0.419 1.3266
Second Wave 0 678 59.0% 44.6 2.928 34.07% 0.141 0.2797
The Great River 3 157 33.12% 23.37 -17.25 6.37% -0.147 0.9527
Varied Terrains 2 31 38.71% 40.97 4.83 25.81% 0.459 1.2346
Ward the Shores 2 423 46.68% 32.88 -0.853 12.53% -0.723 0.3517

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 113782 53.59% 47.12 0.13 46.54% -0.078 0.2543
1 Thematic 4004 37.96% 43.2 -1.889 22.55% -0.872 -0.1858
2 Archipelago 115 75.65% 54.1 -16.164 21.74% -0.185 0.4224
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13999 61.01% 47.36 -0.396 48.05% -0.399 -0.2797
2 Coastline 2970 52.46% 50.94 4.12 53.77% 0.23 0.1576
2 Fragment 868 66.24% 57.05 3.329 66.13% -0.379 -0.5638
2 Heart 422 72.04% 51.56 3.035 42.65% -0.056 -0.2135
2 Opposite Shores 3928 56.65% 41.8 -0.553 33.1% -0.646 -0.4952
2 Thematic 1062 38.55% 45.81 -3.134 19.87% -0.513 -0.0054
2 Top to Top 774 58.14% 49.72 -2.012 50.39% -0.171 -0.2292
3 Archipelago 46 73.91% 48.7 0.0 17.39%
3 Coastline 50 58.0% 46.84 28.764 42.0% 1.848 1.4383
3 Other 163 58.9% 53.69 11.952 58.28% 1.255 0.4838
3 Round (Default) 8174 52.56% 47.45 -2.865 49.16% -0.845 -0.9363
3 Sunrise 84 44.05% 66.73 -16.277 83.33% -0.243 -0.3395
3 Thematic 276 22.55% 73.22 8.525 39.86% -0.048 -0.0274
4 Archipelago 21 52.38% 53.62 0.0 28.57%
4 Coastline 61 18.03% 74.67 18.92 91.8% 0.239 0.1528
4 Leaf 29 55.17% 46.31 16.015 41.38% 0.2 0.0384
4 Other 91 48.35% 64.22 7.174 80.22% 0.245 -0.466
4 Snake 1 0.0% 29.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 1395 30.9% 55.65 -1.247 45.59% -0.545 -0.422
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4952 42.03% 48.19 -1.953 50.69% -1.259 -1.2621
5 Archipelago 4 75.0% 47.5 0.0 25.0%
5 Coastline 37 5.41% 56.95 -11.989 72.97% -1.27 -1.4163
5 Other 141 48.91% 58.74 18.34 61.7% 0.544 0.0302
5 Thematic 20 75.0% 82.65 0.0 70.0%
6 Archipelago 10 10.0% 73.9 0.0 80.0%
6 Coastline 28 3.57% 63.21 0.0 82.14%
6 Other 111 39.64% 50.71 28.386 51.35% 1.653 1.5494
6 Star 49 38.78% 40.55 8.915 34.69% 0.09 0.076
6 Thematic 241 31.54% 43.72 4.903 34.44% 0.014 0.2998
6 Two Centers (Default) 474 21.73% 42.98 0.219 45.57% -1.774 -1.2408
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 52.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 6488 48.23 1.621 48.18% 0.442 0.6931
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5704 49.73 5.429 49.35% 0.761 0.7027
All Things Weaken 4191 47.71 1.677 47.41% 0.325 0.6595
Attenuated Essence 870 43.91 5.124 43.45% 0.864 0.8977
Back Against the Wall 5392 47.74 5.671 45.44% 0.68 0.7146
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 894 41.45 2.92 39.37% 0.458 0.6747
Burn Brightest Before the End 690 46.28 5.878 44.64% 0.741 0.7516
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6473 43.29 1.009 41.53% 0.367 0.7119
Downward Spiral 7686 47.01 0.986 46.96% 0.366 0.4837
Erosion of Will 6483 45.61 4.472 42.62% 0.639 0.9138
Intensifying Exploitation 908 41.97 -0.017 41.41% 0.23 0.4411
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1970 52.48 5.065 56.19% 0.509 -0.0636
Memory Fades to Dust 7609 46.37 2.581 45.08% 0.54 0.7924
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4161 47.16 3.715 47.32% 0.755 0.9598
Promising Farmlands 6419 41.66 0.805 34.99% 0.052 0.3066
Shattered Fragments of Power 682 45.39 8.415 43.4% 1.082 1.1557
Slow Dissolution of Will 890 39.97 3.108 36.07% 0.502 0.8838
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1182 52.18 4.077 58.12% 0.736 0.0626
The Border of Life and Death 222 44.69 8.476 45.05% 1.076 0.4756
Thriving Communities 4232 47.7 3.767 48.91% 0.791 1.0723
Thriving Crops 578 32.48 -1.781 21.11% -0.411 -0.5514
Tipping Point 1873 44.89 0.0 42.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 4284 48.74 3.958 46.71% 0.493 0.6967
Untended Land Crumbles 4173 46.19 1.661 44.6% 0.209 0.399

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 30601 54.26% 45.31 -0.466 43.09% -0.496 0.5015
B 32931 53.6% 47.26 -0.555 47.3% -0.472 0.4506
C 40071 54.02% 50.07 2.339 51.96% -0.074 0.6548
D 28720 52.55% 46.46 -0.86 45.34% -0.547 0.4121
E 21465 52.17% 49.06 0.349 51.04% -0.31 0.5087
F 21396 52.45% 47.4 -1.277 47.89% -0.587 0.2945
G 17235 52.15% 45.84 -1.343 45.07% -0.526 0.2995
H 18584 50.89% 45.96 -0.319 45.8% -0.357 0.4819
East 5339 37.25% 49.59 4.812 29.97% 0.057 0.9315
Northeast 3408 38.12% 52.72 4.496 35.27% -0.037 0.7149
Northwest 2409 32.53% 49.33 -2.25 34.25% -0.846 0.0465
Southeast 981 37.61% 43.62 4.766 27.83% 0.09 0.9292
Southwest 640 30.78% 44.03 -6.033 34.84% -1.4 -0.095
West 3923 29.97% 48.52 -1.62 30.23% -2.003 -1.0529

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 197 0.0% 54.87 0.0 55.33%
Not Using Events or Tokens 1104 31.82% 46.59 0.0 20.02%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4211 15.38% 70.49 10.315 77.8% 1.218 0.615
Start of Game Growth 8809 26.08% 65.47 10.459 72.36% 1.486 0.982
Unlimited Undo 15070 45.15% 53.52 -2.184 59.54% -0.072 -0.1795
Using Tokens but Not Events 9679 41.35% 51.88 3.155 53.79% 0.19 0.1603

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 57824 13.42 3.51%
II 61567 30.13 56.83%
III 33419 34.83 91.04%
IV 5615 38.67 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.256 Win Model: 0.668
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 118918 52.97% 46.9 45.49%
2 23318 59.15% 48.22 46.88%
3 8640 52.3% 47.84 48.98%
4 6500 39.41% 50.21 50.63%
5 148 38.19% 55.09 56.08%
6 901 26.3% 44.69 44.73%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2027
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 29761
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 33511
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5433
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 13399
Lose: Invader deck ran out 116
Lose: Adversary condition 50826
Win: Sacrifice victory 508
Lose: Scenario condition 1362
Win: Scenario condition 1800
Lose: Blight pool ran out 18455
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1227

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)