The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4058 30.71% 29.88 0.707 77.92% 0.137 0.0297
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 83 18.07% 22.42 -0.218 56.63% 0.309 -0.1797
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2410 54.27% 25.97 -1.048 68.51% -0.363 -0.2195
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 99 25.25% 28.23 3.316 66.67% 0.465 -0.2834
Dances Up Earthquakes 28 17.86% 24.5 2.018 64.29% 0.465 0.288
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2532 33.4% 29.25 3.702 81.2% 1.249 1.042
Downpour Drenches the World 448 30.8% 19.46 -2.883 48.88% -0.425 -0.1046
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 439 23.01% 24.45 -0.883 63.78% 0.03 -0.41
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3100 24.3% 31.8 0.515 85.19% 0.259 -0.084
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2473 28.35% 30.86 1.811 86.25% 0.799 0.4445
Finder of Paths Unseen 200 37.0% 12.98 -5.749 30.5% -0.807 -0.0227
Fractured Days Split the Sky 634 34.49% 24.55 -3.111 57.89% -0.445 0.003
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 888 42.34% 24.74 -3.279 62.84% -0.578 -0.6012
Heart of the Wildfire 3338 60.05% 25.59 -1.145 70.31% 0.209 0.5363
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6834 29.18% 34.21 2.125 84.14% 0.385 -0.1097
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 135 31.85% 21.82 -0.3 54.07% 0.213 -0.3495
Lightning's Swift Strike 3676 41.09% 29.85 1.929 77.42% 0.658 0.8567
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 154 39.74% 26.42 2.081 64.29% 0.596 0.1483
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 436 36.32% 28.96 1.925 78.21% 0.346 0.0268
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 347 36.13% 27.12 -2.394 70.03% -0.128 -0.0034
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1671 36.48% 28.58 0.877 77.98% 0.449 0.293
Many Minds Move as One 1059 25.5% 27.63 -1.797 72.9% -0.11 -0.3167
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4290 41.44% 28.8 -0.205 75.9% 0.06 0.1893
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 16 53.33% 15.56 -2.292 50.0% -0.017 0.0877
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2396 37.49% 27.45 1.314 75.83% 0.333 0.2839
River Surges in Sunlight 5598 31.33% 36.61 2.339 79.72% 0.108 0.1408
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 37 27.03% 19.65 -3.731 48.65% -0.655 -0.4464
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 585 46.91% 26.82 1.793 62.56% -0.161 -0.0095
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 242 36.4% 24.97 -0.153 58.68% 0.064 0.0736
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3752 29.18% 34.74 1.692 80.7% 0.069 -0.0303
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 9 33.33% 18.11 -2.057 44.44% -0.489 -0.9795
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2387 54.53% 27.31 -0.413 68.83% 0.141 0.6528
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 88 34.09% 21.98 -0.062 46.59% -0.098 -0.1415
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 92 32.61% 30.98 6.231 76.09% 1.316 0.8673
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 77 49.35% 25.18 -1.576 68.83% -0.354 -0.2957
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 306 42.48% 28.03 3.564 74.84% 0.464 0.2734
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 231 52.61% 25.3 -1.967 69.7% -0.103 -0.0197
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4208 33.21% 32.5 0.894 81.54% 0.343 0.2449
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 182 23.46% 21.63 2.778 58.24% 1.115 0.9209
Shifting Memory of Ages 618 46.92% 20.84 -4.309 55.5% -1.129 -0.7394
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 63 22.22% 21.03 1.158 55.56% 0.459 0.407
Shroud of Silent Mist 766 52.81% 22.34 -3.977 61.23% -0.658 -0.2438
Starlight Seeks its Form 1036 28.38% 25.33 1.256 66.22% 0.554 0.5135
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1755 36.46% 25.61 -0.988 75.27% 0.276 -0.2268
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2066 37.4% 26.39 -3.599 70.81% -0.622 -0.5391
Thunderspeaker 4664 26.96% 38.33 1.987 85.42% 0.111 0.1055
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 137 36.5% 19.52 -1.476 44.53% -0.02 0.3689
Towering Roots of the Jungle 156 30.77% 18.16 -3.092 48.08% -0.595 -0.384
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1189 65.85% 20.94 -2.395 60.13% -0.236 -0.1585
Vital Strength of the Earth 3052 34.4% 26.0 -3.246 62.29% -0.901 -0.4518
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 153 28.67% 19.25 -5.08 47.71% -0.992 -0.4976
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 314 41.35% 20.26 -4.073 44.27% -1.555 -0.8621
Volcano Looming High 1089 42.95% 23.02 -2.566 64.28% -0.473 -0.409
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 220 28.64% 25.66 0.763 68.64% 0.307 0.0576

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 32 21.88% 22.06 10.493 50.0% 0.992 0.4343
Blitz 0 673 41.52% 22.03 -5.413 58.1% -1.013 -0.5902
Dahan Insurrection 4 738 26.22% 48.31 9.994 76.29% 0.265 -0.2175
Despicable Theft 2 163 35.58% 24.07 -3.203 47.24% -1.024 -0.4811
Elemental Invocation 1 274 44.32% 19.28 -0.067 42.34% -0.144 0.5935
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1581 12.03% 33.4 3.231 79.95% 0.565 -0.0912
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1941 15.68% 49.4 2.548 87.12% -0.522 0.04
Rituals of Terror 3 460 45.22% 31.62 -2.088 54.78% -0.639 -0.7811
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 369 64.5% 28.08 -6.686 46.61% -1.451 -0.7016
Second Wave 0 709 52.71% 26.96 -0.724 58.11% -0.509 -0.4141
The Great River 3 159 46.54% 21.21 -1.319 32.08% -0.717 0.5282
Varied Terrains 2 97 44.33% 14.97 1.673 26.8% 0.001 0.8688
Ward the Shores 2 603 42.03% 25.07 -1.001 36.48% -0.87 -0.0155

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 31128 42.36% 26.58 0.202 72.38% 0.305 0.6783
1 Thematic 3841 41.03% 29.86 -2.681 60.69% -0.807 -0.0925
2 Archipelago 26 46.15% 32.04 13.534 57.69% 0.442 0.9662
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7398 38.71% 27.1 -0.955 75.91% -0.2 -0.0393
2 Coastline 637 39.37% 26.4 0.848 74.1% 0.297 0.1041
2 Fragment 154 48.7% 25.96 0.722 71.43% 0.232 0.1841
2 Heart 82 48.75% 26.16 -1.791 79.27% -0.037 -0.2496
2 Opposite Shores 932 41.98% 27.66 -2.906 81.33% -0.583 -0.4505
2 Thematic 922 41.37% 30.12 -2.579 63.45% -0.819 -0.099
2 Top to Top 136 35.34% 27.87 0.0 81.62%
3 Archipelago 12 33.33% 42.0 9.9 100.0% 0.703 0.1591
3 Coastline 24 37.5% 25.75 0.0 50.0%
3 Other 74 37.84% 28.23 0.0 85.14%
3 Round (Default) 2419 34.82% 28.14 1.133 79.95% 0.589 0.5662
3 Sunrise 16 12.5% 29.56 0.0 87.5%
3 Thematic 172 41.86% 33.6 0.0 67.44%
4 Archipelago 6 33.33% 29.0 0.0 66.67%
4 Coastline 4 75.0% 19.75 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 5 20.0% 23.4 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 47 34.04% 28.11 0.0 85.11%
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 1741 4.54% 57.0 3.571 97.19% 0.064 0.1268
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1315 31.43% 25.56 -2.438 71.56% -0.755 -0.7497
5 Archipelago 4 75.0% 31.5 0.0 75.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 33 33.33% 21.36 0.452 60.61% 0.097 -0.2266
5 Thematic 10 44.44% 31.6 0.0 70.0%
6 Coastline 3 33.33% 27.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 2 50.0% 24.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 8 12.5% 24.13 2.749 75.0% 0.067 0.6992
6 Thematic 25 16.0% 28.92 7.564 52.0% 0.273 0.4766
6 Two Centers (Default) 96 20.83% 23.28 -4.037 59.38% -0.917 -0.4424
7 Other 2 0.0% 26.0 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1820 22.24 -1.858 58.57% -0.768 -0.6974
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1508 22.63 -0.338 56.1% -0.346 -0.4554
All Things Weaken 771 21.05 0.094 53.57% -0.093 0.0842
Attenuated Essence 98 22.41 -0.343 64.29% -0.06 -0.0078
Back Against the Wall 1529 22.56 2.809 56.7% 0.452 0.4368
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 94 18.94 0.601 46.81% -0.151 0.0331
Burn Brightest Before the End 62 23.69 2.211 59.68% 0.301 0.3874
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1633 18.97 -1.115 52.48% 0.128 0.4196
Downward Spiral 2459 21.52 -2.294 60.88% -0.813 -0.707
Erosion of Will 1717 21.97 0.5 57.02% 0.008 0.1739
Intensifying Exploitation 98 17.54 1.762 47.96% 0.743 0.9314
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 370 27.69 1.436 81.89% 0.434 0.0064
Memory Fades to Dust 2390 21.15 -3.392 57.03% -1.091 -0.8559
Power Corrodes the Spirit 780 20.99 -0.372 56.28% -0.103 -0.0072
Promising Farmlands 1688 19.49 -0.049 51.24% 0.04 0.4041
Shattered Fragments of Power 67 20.64 1.646 47.76% 0.61 0.6754
Slow Dissolution of Will 103 21.28 -2.338 53.4% -0.836 -0.3732
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 225 28.24 0.546 86.22% 0.223 -0.3778
The Border of Life and Death 29 22.28 -1.298 58.62% 0.203 -0.2722
Thriving Communities 720 19.62 0.486 51.81% 0.259 0.4844
Thriving Crops 51 18.75 -1.343 45.1% -0.082 -0.3071
Tipping Point 625 20.24 0.0 53.6%
Unnatural Proliferation 772 21.83 -1.629 54.02% -0.502 -0.3796
Untended Land Crumbles 675 20.93 0.802 57.48% 0.03 0.2622

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10268 40.57% 26.77 -0.688 73.74% -0.422 0.4963
B 10817 40.12% 26.95 -1.536 74.87% -0.536 0.3049
C 10854 39.01% 27.16 -1.101 75.19% -0.38 0.3036
D 10163 38.7% 27.19 -1.173 75.16% -0.536 0.3059
E 4201 38.74% 26.17 0.249 71.79% -0.091 0.5606
F 6182 39.13% 26.52 0.143 73.79% -0.118 0.6417
G 5838 39.7% 26.1 -0.448 72.75% -0.225 0.5325
H 5692 38.31% 26.67 -0.373 74.4% -0.352 0.3662
East 4692 26.99% 40.93 3.361 76.19% 0.5 1.3132
Northeast 3318 21.82% 44.89 2.678 81.59% -0.161 0.5067
Northwest 2822 18.43% 46.81 3.021 84.62% 0.353 1.1578
Southeast 508 34.71% 28.65 -1.786 59.06% -0.219 0.4861
Southwest 534 41.09% 23.74 -2.452 53.18% -0.531 0.8587
West 4303 26.62% 40.27 2.499 74.76% -0.495 0.2983

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 171 0.0% 31.29 4.273 81.87% 0.717 1.4354
Not Using Events or Tokens 772 49.2% 26.99 -6.115 72.28% -0.703 -0.218
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2253 3.71% 53.03 4.301 95.3% 1.1 0.3688
Start of Game Growth 2676 7.54% 49.44 3.768 92.68% 0.469 0.0225
Unlimited Undo 2850 31.05% 28.62 0.582 76.6% 0.059 0.026
Using Tokens but Not Events 4946 33.81% 28.56 1.788 78.12% 0.451 0.2886

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8605 14.25 24.35%
II 16321 30.3 69.09%
III 18067 34.84 88.35%
IV 8305 38.61 98.99%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.359 Win Model: 0.377
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 35272 42.22% 26.87 70.78%
2 10103 39.48% 27.62 76.24%
3 2653 35.03% 28.53 79.65%
4 3096 16.26% 43.27 86.24%
5 37 37.84% 23.14 59.46%
6 135 19.26% 24.51 60.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2088
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 15508
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10603
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8142
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3392
Lose: Invader deck ran out 282
Lose: Adversary condition 3014
Win: Sacrifice victory 197
Lose: Scenario condition 386
Win: Scenario condition 1016
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6351
Lose: Spirit destroyed 319

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2502 45.18% 29.86 -0.165 69.18% 0.218 0.1116
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 45 35.56% 19.09 0.981 42.22% 0.287 -0.2011
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1621 61.14% 27.2 -0.422 58.36% -0.194 -0.051
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 46 26.09% 35.33 1.859 69.57% -0.392 -1.1408
Dances Up Earthquakes 13 53.85% 15.92 -1.07 38.46% 0.014 -0.1628
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1835 48.22% 26.91 3.239 63.6% 0.758 0.5504
Downpour Drenches the World 367 35.89% 21.05 1.19 46.59% 0.375 0.6951
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 472 30.92% 24.11 2.825 58.05% 0.678 0.2376
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2152 36.84% 34.27 2.046 79.32% 0.406 0.0625
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1771 44.88% 32.38 0.682 77.24% 0.377 0.0229
Finder of Paths Unseen 148 43.92% 12.05 -3.642 18.92% -0.695 0.09
Fractured Days Split the Sky 406 47.04% 23.4 -1.693 45.81% -0.302 0.1459
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 663 56.43% 25.07 -0.296 54.75% -0.078 -0.1021
Heart of the Wildfire 2049 77.73% 22.82 -3.664 50.37% -0.632 -0.3054
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3933 52.39% 29.31 2.765 71.22% 0.872 0.377
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 159 39.62% 23.55 0.666 45.91% 0.011 -0.5515
Lightning's Swift Strike 2139 62.21% 27.89 1.94 62.6% 0.62 0.8186
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 151 50.99% 23.06 -1.666 53.64% -0.007 -0.4547
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 268 43.07% 32.39 8.802 75.37% 0.917 0.5976
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 250 42.57% 31.08 3.39 64.0% 0.292 0.4167
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1405 51.5% 29.78 2.493 69.89% 0.335 0.1793
Many Minds Move as One 865 37.73% 31.04 1.47 73.41% 0.273 0.0667
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2834 57.1% 29.13 1.682 65.6% 0.565 0.6944
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 24 70.83% 16.5 -2.835 41.67% -0.347 -0.2418
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1810 52.46% 27.57 -2.548 63.76% -0.651 -0.7002
River Surges in Sunlight 2810 55.81% 29.92 2.472 60.89% 0.242 0.2749
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 46 47.83% 20.91 1.394 43.48% 0.131 0.3396
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 359 57.94% 24.61 4.959 47.35% 0.696 0.8468
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 209 51.92% 22.5 -0.062 43.54% -0.134 -0.1245
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1877 52.16% 28.43 -0.481 64.78% -0.143 -0.2415
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 5 20.0% 23.8 -0.012 60.0% 0.023 -0.4685
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1333 74.57% 23.62 -3.363 46.44% -0.812 -0.3001
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 51 58.0% 20.47 0.023 43.14% 0.069 0.0258
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 94 59.14% 24.54 1.286 54.26% 0.208 -0.24
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 60 38.33% 22.43 7.659 50.0% 0.495 0.5532
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 217 57.14% 24.36 4.962 52.53% 0.685 0.4948
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 148 68.71% 27.55 -1.999 56.76% -0.103 -0.0192
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2501 51.73% 29.4 0.515 67.77% 0.453 0.3551
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 171 42.59% 25.47 2.774 59.65% 0.632 0.438
Shifting Memory of Ages 500 56.8% 23.17 -5.03 50.6% -1.324 -0.9343
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 26 38.46% 16.54 -1.311 38.46% -0.126 -0.1771
Shroud of Silent Mist 514 71.54% 21.46 -2.4 47.47% -0.217 0.1971
Starlight Seeks its Form 703 41.39% 27.07 -2.225 62.3% -0.557 -0.5975
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1127 44.45% 27.13 2.228 68.68% 0.413 -0.0891
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1401 53.23% 26.0 -1.401 57.24% -0.471 -0.3877
Thunderspeaker 2322 53.63% 30.06 -0.615 66.41% -0.406 -0.4119
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 113 43.36% 17.04 -1.503 35.4% -0.152 0.2369
Towering Roots of the Jungle 114 45.54% 16.97 -5.891 38.6% -1.085 -0.8742
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 874 73.41% 20.97 -4.076 46.11% -0.644 -0.5663
Vital Strength of the Earth 1888 53.08% 24.1 -1.788 45.87% -0.281 0.1681
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 116 46.96% 20.72 -3.53 41.38% -0.8 -0.3057
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 226 48.23% 20.04 -6.41 32.3% -0.732 -0.0394
Volcano Looming High 763 61.63% 23.86 -0.101 56.49% 0.057 0.1217
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 170 44.12% 24.79 1.231 55.88% 0.454 0.2047

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 30 30.0% 18.5 12.379 30.0% 0.39 -0.1684
Blitz 0 658 49.09% 23.33 -6.885 52.89% -1.713 -1.2898
Dahan Insurrection 4 450 40.89% 46.72 -1.969 64.22% -0.652 -1.1343
Despicable Theft 2 144 40.97% 25.16 0.95 42.36% -0.686 -0.1434
Elemental Invocation 1 160 52.5% 18.69 -6.56 33.13% -1.588 -0.8498
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1247 23.05% 33.23 4.804 70.89% 0.681 0.0241
Powers Long Forgotten 1 531 57.82% 25.96 -2.182 46.52% -0.299 0.2633
Rituals of Terror 3 266 63.16% 33.39 -6.529 44.36% -0.709 -0.8512
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 225 75.56% 29.8 4.484 40.0% 0.55 1.2988
Second Wave 0 1684 56.19% 29.61 1.224 59.68% -0.073 0.0212
The Great River 3 103 61.17% 19.68 -1.527 18.45% -0.573 0.6727
Varied Terrains 2 81 44.44% 17.68 -3.289 25.93% -0.422 0.4466
Ward the Shores 2 444 45.95% 25.14 -2.589 29.5% -0.932 -0.0781

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 19777 53.79% 26.29 -0.012 60.42% -0.007 0.3659
1 Thematic 3047 52.34% 30.61 1.121 54.09% -0.007 0.7072
2 Archipelago 22 54.55% 34.77 -8.44 50.0% -0.215 0.3092
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4878 54.65% 27.14 -1.538 64.0% -0.358 -0.1966
2 Coastline 476 52.65% 27.89 2.221 67.44% 0.723 0.5295
2 Fragment 163 62.35% 27.28 5.202 63.8% 0.767 0.719
2 Heart 74 65.75% 26.22 4.63 59.46% 0.72 0.5079
2 Opposite Shores 850 55.69% 27.42 2.706 65.53% 0.585 0.7176
2 Thematic 1271 49.33% 27.84 -0.336 51.22% -0.281 0.4391
2 Top to Top 127 62.2% 29.09 -1.012 73.23% -0.231 -0.3159
3 Archipelago 13 61.54% 33.85 0.0 38.46%
3 Coastline 15 73.33% 24.73 0.0 40.0%
3 Other 64 53.13% 32.08 0.515 81.25% -0.152 -1.0283
3 Round (Default) 1733 52.59% 28.92 1.002 69.42% -0.046 -0.0697
3 Sunrise 15 60.0% 27.13 0.0 73.33%
3 Thematic 178 55.06% 28.28 -2.296 51.12% -0.323 -0.315
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 37.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 32.4 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 29 62.07% 31.79 0.0 75.86%
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 215 50.47% 36.34 -0.418 70.7% -0.15 -0.0868
4 Trapezoid (Default) 632 51.04% 29.7 0.783 68.83% -0.246 -0.2404
5 Other 45 63.64% 24.56 -6.941 48.89% -0.655 -0.979
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 5.0 -2.767 0.0% -0.141 -0.284
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 29.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 2 0.0% 21.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 6 50.0% 24.5 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 40 35.9% 34.92 0.0 57.5%
6 Two Centers (Default) 41 34.15% 28.29 5.106 60.98% 0.002 0.4767
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 2 0.0% 25.5 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1584 24.19 -2.977 51.58% -0.727 -0.6559
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1278 24.92 1.372 50.47% 0.052 -0.0576
All Things Weaken 705 22.82 1.161 47.94% 0.207 0.3844
Attenuated Essence 110 22.21 -0.685 48.18% -0.269 -0.2172
Back Against the Wall 1248 24.67 3.134 51.44% 0.423 0.407
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 96 20.68 2.06 40.63% 0.398 0.5814
Burn Brightest Before the End 80 23.07 -3.318 45.0% -1.233 -1.1466
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1384 20.58 -0.936 45.66% -0.072 0.2198
Downward Spiral 2097 23.06 0.951 53.46% 0.111 0.2165
Erosion of Will 1551 23.17 1.373 47.71% 0.162 0.3276
Intensifying Exploitation 94 21.36 1.156 45.74% -0.209 -0.0204
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 274 30.48 3.15 78.1% 0.492 0.0643
Memory Fades to Dust 2137 22.56 -0.917 49.46% -0.421 -0.186
Power Corrodes the Spirit 698 22.4 -0.289 49.0% 0.028 0.1235
Promising Farmlands 1546 21.12 -0.996 43.66% -0.397 -0.033
Shattered Fragments of Power 89 24.69 2.069 49.44% 0.176 0.2419
Slow Dissolution of Will 100 17.82 3.028 34.0% 0.828 1.2911
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 165 30.21 2.543 74.55% 0.299 -0.3023
The Border of Life and Death 35 25.03 -0.34 60.0% 0.234 -0.2415
Thriving Communities 719 21.21 -0.357 43.25% -0.443 -0.2179
Thriving Crops 57 16.81 0.58 28.07% 0.139 -0.0861
Tipping Point 530 23.35 0.0 49.43%
Unnatural Proliferation 771 24.19 -1.151 49.29% -0.692 -0.5698
Untended Land Crumbles 677 22.29 -1.728 48.89% -0.585 -0.3527

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6654 55.65% 26.79 -0.955 62.02% -0.468 0.4503
B 7000 54.68% 27.51 -0.389 64.6% -0.228 0.6132
C 6993 53.05% 27.85 0.586 65.47% 0.069 0.7519
D 6577 54.84% 27.42 0.083 63.69% -0.075 0.7672
E 3007 51.28% 26.46 0.382 60.86% -0.025 0.6262
F 4071 53.71% 26.73 1.183 62.56% 0.241 1.0004
G 3697 53.27% 26.68 0.211 61.62% -0.15 0.6075
H 3801 51.85% 27.25 -0.214 63.83% -0.226 0.492
East 3075 50.28% 30.74 0.974 55.35% 0.259 1.0724
Northeast 1580 51.36% 31.79 -0.113 58.16% -0.58 0.088
Northwest 1303 50.04% 31.36 -0.725 58.63% -0.469 0.3355
Southeast 495 43.2% 27.79 -0.741 50.51% -0.842 -0.1366
Southwest 469 48.39% 24.86 -2.888 48.19% -0.218 1.1723
West 2861 51.81% 29.04 -1.03 52.53% -0.993 -0.199

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 123 0.0% 27.73 1.174 60.98% 0.064 0.7825
Not Using Events or Tokens 398 62.79% 26.33 -6.887 58.54% -0.55 -0.0651
Skip Initial Invader Actions 552 18.48% 42.09 0.995 85.51% 0.14 -0.5911
Start of Game Growth 765 20.36% 40.75 1.66 85.1% 0.468 0.022
Unlimited Undo 2551 45.52% 27.56 -1.653 63.58% -0.357 -0.3906
Using Tokens but Not Events 3239 50.14% 27.92 2.095 65.14% 0.41 0.2474

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6454 14.25 5.16%
II 9391 30.3 45.75%
III 11504 34.84 83.38%
IV 6400 38.61 99.22%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.331 Win Model: 0.275
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 23044 53.51% 26.77 59.28%
2 7730 54.53% 27.66 63.22%
3 1958 52.73% 28.98 68.23%
4 888 51.59% 31.25 69.26%
5 38 62.16% 23.63 50.0%
6 91 34.44% 30.96 58.24%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 332
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9327
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3985
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6291
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3036
Lose: Invader deck ran out 124
Lose: Adversary condition 2803
Win: Sacrifice victory 125
Lose: Scenario condition 344
Win: Scenario condition 511
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6521
Lose: Spirit destroyed 350

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4590 34.61% 34.97 1.612 53.55% 0.439 0.3324
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 128 35.94% 34.44 -0.202 51.56% 0.021 -0.4674
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2465 50.18% 29.89 -4.756 38.78% -0.868 -0.7247
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 170 31.76% 37.41 4.284 61.18% 0.732 -0.0162
Dances Up Earthquakes 51 45.1% 23.86 -1.482 33.33% -0.254 -0.4306
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2866 37.56% 32.5 1.939 50.35% 0.454 0.2473
Downpour Drenches the World 715 30.53% 24.09 -2.961 28.95% -0.867 -0.5471
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 963 29.18% 35.26 5.166 62.1% 1.263 0.8224
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3762 29.69% 38.05 3.55 60.79% 0.719 0.3759
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2310 38.37% 32.64 -0.954 47.4% -0.04 -0.3945
Finder of Paths Unseen 251 41.04% 21.65 -1.988 23.51% -0.247 0.5371
Fractured Days Split the Sky 897 37.83% 32.27 -2.248 42.47% -0.423 0.0255
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1445 50.66% 33.79 1.405 51.42% 0.435 0.411
Heart of the Wildfire 4394 66.06% 32.38 0.582 53.91% 0.039 0.3659
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7092 42.6% 35.48 0.557 59.66% 0.252 -0.2433
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 299 39.06% 38.01 2.985 63.88% 0.364 -0.1987
Lightning's Swift Strike 3245 47.61% 35.51 3.489 58.4% 0.808 1.0064
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 272 45.52% 38.91 3.668 69.49% 0.991 0.5433
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 765 42.52% 41.13 4.746 70.59% 0.645 0.3256
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 530 37.36% 37.5 7.203 59.25% 1.886 2.0105
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2862 40.67% 36.33 -0.595 62.05% 0.022 -0.1341
Many Minds Move as One 1382 35.39% 35.07 -0.701 56.3% -0.067 -0.2735
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5241 45.74% 33.88 -2.067 50.79% -0.366 -0.2367
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 82 50.0% 25.5 -1.271 39.02% -0.116 -0.0113
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2783 38.38% 34.53 0.528 55.05% 0.055 0.0059
River Surges in Sunlight 5892 40.31% 36.81 3.895 50.39% -0.064 -0.0309
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 92 41.3% 26.15 -4.354 35.87% -0.676 -0.4682
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 675 47.02% 30.7 0.103 38.67% -0.048 0.1026
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 554 38.08% 36.08 -0.447 49.82% -0.232 -0.2223
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3921 40.14% 29.26 -2.086 38.36% -0.696 -0.7953
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 13 38.46% 40.23 5.015 61.54% 0.403 -0.0879
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1787 60.29% 27.64 -5.265 34.02% -1.056 -0.5437
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 91 53.85% 27.53 -8.057 40.66% -1.11 -1.1535
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 216 47.64% 33.57 0.743 56.94% 0.46 0.0117
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 109 47.71% 29.35 -12.846 44.04% -0.996 -0.9375
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 531 49.15% 32.8 0.278 47.27% 0.024 -0.166
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 214 61.21% 29.21 -3.957 39.72% -0.3 -0.2164
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4288 39.95% 37.52 2.604 63.74% 0.606 0.5078
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 252 33.6% 30.89 2.127 50.4% 0.488 0.2941
Shifting Memory of Ages 939 49.09% 27.13 -2.951 35.04% -0.574 -0.1845
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 104 42.31% 27.55 -1.555 45.19% 0.083 0.0315
Shroud of Silent Mist 880 59.27% 26.14 -5.659 35.57% -0.737 -0.3232
Starlight Seeks its Form 1276 38.12% 27.91 -0.903 36.99% -0.308 -0.3476
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2377 34.47% 31.41 1.566 50.69% 0.382 -0.1209
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2337 39.63% 37.14 0.519 61.87% 0.29 0.3732
Thunderspeaker 3991 43.6% 37.03 0.777 57.86% 0.36 0.3542
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 170 48.82% 31.32 -1.352 51.18% 0.075 0.4636
Towering Roots of the Jungle 243 43.21% 25.98 -1.963 39.51% -0.418 -0.2077
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1739 66.38% 26.37 -5.796 38.59% -0.928 -0.8504
Vital Strength of the Earth 2866 37.22% 25.9 -3.402 27.36% -0.975 -0.5258
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 222 38.46% 29.68 1.496 41.89% 0.383 0.8776
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 312 35.37% 25.11 -7.317 29.17% -0.738 -0.0449
Volcano Looming High 1489 47.48% 32.34 -0.784 55.27% 0.256 0.3205
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 603 40.63% 29.83 1.561 43.95% 0.372 0.1227

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 50 36.0% 26.74 -1.393 28.0% -0.233 -0.7911
Blitz 0 754 32.14% 20.48 -3.162 18.04% -0.555 -0.1316
Dahan Insurrection 4 1224 23.04% 53.63 10.551 61.03% 1.173 0.6911
Despicable Theft 2 141 52.48% 30.7 3.764 34.04% 0.459 1.0013
Elemental Invocation 1 174 47.7% 27.37 -0.642 33.91% -0.103 0.6343
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1704 18.3% 40.04 5.343 65.26% 1.211 0.5542
Powers Long Forgotten 1 434 50.0% 32.34 -5.065 39.4% -0.764 -0.2016
Rituals of Terror 3 230 46.96% 40.33 -12.204 44.78% -0.526 -0.6677
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 111 65.45% 31.93 -12.768 29.73% -0.71 0.0388
Second Wave 0 1025 42.93% 32.13 -0.27 38.05% -0.779 -0.6842
The Great River 3 73 17.81% 20.58 -12.527 5.48% -0.692 0.553
Varied Terrains 2 61 47.54% 25.89 0.759 29.51% -0.057 0.8111
Ward the Shores 2 468 42.74% 34.62 -1.018 34.4% 0.164 1.018

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 36014 44.24% 31.94 -0.344 48.82% 0.48 0.8536
1 Thematic 1516 38.07% 33.69 0.37 35.95% -0.262 0.4521
2 Archipelago 26 73.08% 34.23 0.0 38.46%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8922 45.56% 32.97 -0.008 53.19% 0.292 0.4537
2 Coastline 927 45.18% 32.55 -0.756 50.7% -0.097 -0.2899
2 Fragment 230 58.26% 28.53 -4.923 41.3% -0.938 -0.9858
2 Heart 87 62.07% 27.56 0.0 37.93%
2 Opposite Shores 1902 48.52% 32.78 -0.886 50.47% 0.059 0.1916
2 Thematic 881 39.09% 29.47 0.013 26.79% 0.237 0.9569
2 Top to Top 240 55.42% 34.85 -3.338 57.92% -0.267 -0.3514
3 Archipelago 11 72.73% 40.09 0.0 54.55%
3 Coastline 15 26.67% 32.8 10.489 53.33% 0.345 -0.285
3 Other 107 38.32% 30.96 10.607 49.53% 0.73 -0.1463
3 Round (Default) 3882 42.27% 34.85 1.439 55.59% 0.078 0.055
3 Sunrise 10 30.0% 43.2 0.0 80.0%
3 Thematic 150 38.67% 37.87 -1.861 40.0% -0.485 -0.4768
4 Archipelago 5 40.0% 54.0 0.0 60.0%
4 Coastline 3 100.0% 11.33 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 23 65.22% 40.26 0.0 69.57%
4 Other 61 39.34% 40.02 -5.826 72.13% -0.786 -1.3538
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 24.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 706 15.72% 49.11 -8.671 66.15% -0.668 -0.6052
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1586 40.8% 36.25 0.686 58.64% -0.116 -0.1105
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 31.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 76 61.84% 33.95 9.139 44.74% 0.694 0.3701
5 Thematic 14 14.29% 44.86 0.0 42.86%
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 32.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 6 16.67% 49.33 0.0 83.33%
6 Star 5 40.0% 45.4 0.0 60.0%
6 Thematic 183 18.89% 30.96 18.11 37.16% 0.35 0.5536
6 Two Centers (Default) 61 37.7% 32.8 0.551 54.1% -0.289 0.1852
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2143 30.61 0.45 48.58% 0.152 0.2233
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1846 32.37 3.026 50.49% 0.724 0.6139
All Things Weaken 1090 29.82 1.959 45.41% 0.486 0.6631
Attenuated Essence 166 27.99 1.114 40.96% 0.195 0.2467
Back Against the Wall 1738 31.59 1.756 48.39% 0.17 0.154
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 157 29.76 2.472 39.49% 0.221 0.405
Burn Brightest Before the End 157 29.8 1.25 36.31% 0.193 0.2797
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2092 27.07 -3.016 42.59% -0.358 -0.0668
Downward Spiral 2505 29.52 -1.251 47.58% -0.138 -0.0317
Erosion of Will 2075 29.32 0.538 44.39% 0.086 0.2523
Intensifying Exploitation 199 28.58 2.81 44.72% 0.551 0.7394
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 559 32.66 -1.19 53.13% -0.255 -0.6827
Memory Fades to Dust 2634 29.08 -0.107 44.5% 0.008 0.2423
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1033 29.13 -0.985 44.92% -0.056 0.0401
Promising Farmlands 2146 26.33 -1.676 35.6% -0.449 -0.0853
Shattered Fragments of Power 142 28.41 -0.715 38.03% -0.225 -0.1593
Slow Dissolution of Will 183 28.91 1.013 40.44% 0.344 0.8072
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 300 33.41 2.674 57.0% 0.395 -0.2058
The Border of Life and Death 63 32.56 -4.13 55.56% -0.159 -0.6344
Thriving Communities 1072 28.87 0.917 46.18% 0.383 0.6086
Thriving Crops 119 25.2 1.566 32.77% 0.26 0.0356
Tipping Point 791 27.05 0.0 39.19%
Unnatural Proliferation 980 30.48 2.102 44.49% 0.213 0.3352
Untended Land Crumbles 1050 27.91 -0.548 42.67% 0.383 0.6155

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12591 45.83% 32.6 -0.669 50.23% -0.03 0.888
B 13511 44.58% 33.36 -0.118 52.92% 0.052 0.8931
C 14142 43.28% 33.38 1.067 52.5% 0.199 0.8819
D 12256 45.92% 32.45 0.482 50.1% 0.064 0.9069
E 6287 42.74% 33.62 1.081 53.9% 0.28 0.9314
F 7646 43.99% 32.95 -0.034 51.58% 0.066 0.8256
G 6975 44.32% 32.71 -0.929 51.1% -0.246 0.5117
H 7077 43.53% 33.32 1.571 52.68% 0.395 1.1131
East 2547 31.29% 37.37 -0.827 42.52% -0.253 0.5602
Northeast 1680 29.01% 39.47 -1.58 47.2% -0.936 -0.2681
Northwest 1469 26.96% 39.83 2.407 48.81% 0.783 1.588
Southeast 454 25.72% 34.01 1.94 39.87% 0.554 1.2599
Southwest 445 26.92% 31.33 -8.368 37.08% -1.104 0.2863
West 2437 30.05% 36.47 -1.933 41.28% -0.862 -0.0687

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 108 0.0% 39.18 1.936 63.89% -0.039 0.6793
Not Using Events or Tokens 289 37.86% 26.71 0.0 26.99%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 623 14.49% 50.16 7.495 77.53% 0.972 0.2417
Start of Game Growth 1230 19.56% 46.66 4.138 71.63% 0.628 0.1822
Unlimited Undo 4025 38.03% 34.82 1.013 55.83% 0.194 0.1608
Using Tokens but Not Events 3723 38.22% 32.63 0.53 49.85% 0.281 0.1186

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 15527 14.25 3.31%
II 21605 30.3 43.72%
III 14809 34.84 88.19%
IV 5758 38.61 99.37%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.405 Win Model: 0.204
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 37748 44.01% 31.97 48.19%
2 13121 46.14% 32.7 50.88%
3 4122 41.7% 34.94 55.22%
4 2382 33.73% 40.29 61.29%
5 97 36.08% 23.02 27.84%
6 229 26.99% 35.8 48.91%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 512
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12717
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8603
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5689
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3151
Lose: Invader deck ran out 42
Lose: Adversary condition 19483
Win: Sacrifice victory 120
Lose: Scenario condition 422
Win: Scenario condition 1100
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5492
Lose: Spirit destroyed 368

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3816 44.32% 38.29 -0.255 48.3% -0.195 -0.3015
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 158 43.04% 49.94 5.904 64.56% 0.756 0.2673
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1951 60.81% 31.92 -1.785 31.78% -0.476 -0.3327
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 212 47.17% 37.25 4.28 49.06% 0.759 0.0101
Dances Up Earthquakes 48 54.17% 29.9 -0.763 39.58% -0.092 -0.2691
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2364 48.43% 37.53 -0.75 48.1% -0.467 -0.6738
Downpour Drenches the World 606 38.51% 29.33 -0.794 30.2% -0.08 0.2402
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 983 37.88% 38.47 7.395 54.22% 1.205 0.765
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3106 43.32% 41.62 2.331 55.57% 0.379 0.0355
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1972 48.98% 36.63 0.71 43.15% -0.239 -0.5936
Finder of Paths Unseen 301 47.32% 24.15 -3.418 22.92% -0.724 0.0609
Fractured Days Split the Sky 825 48.12% 37.18 0.791 40.48% -0.09 0.3577
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1244 59.65% 40.21 0.433 54.74% 0.399 0.3752
Heart of the Wildfire 3386 78.48% 32.38 -3.027 40.93% -0.218 0.1093
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9964 52.6% 40.84 0.852 54.69% 0.131 -0.3638
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 310 45.16% 37.25 3.657 54.84% 0.658 0.0948
Lightning's Swift Strike 2823 59.33% 37.75 0.267 48.74% 0.345 0.5438
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 368 62.33% 39.26 2.892 55.71% 0.8 0.3523
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 734 51.16% 46.18 4.704 66.62% 0.47 0.1506
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 535 49.72% 40.76 -1.574 54.21% -0.133 -0.0079
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2586 58.29% 37.49 1.264 50.31% 0.355 0.199
Many Minds Move as One 1133 40.81% 39.11 -2.358 52.43% -0.215 -0.4218
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4838 54.82% 37.54 -0.015 47.6% 0.083 0.212
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 97 69.07% 38.76 2.271 47.42% 0.214 0.3193
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2707 51.15% 36.94 4.108 47.25% 0.804 0.754
River Surges in Sunlight 4770 51.27% 38.98 -0.655 45.07% -0.292 -0.2594
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 101 46.53% 30.09 3.319 37.62% 0.344 0.5519
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 566 52.04% 31.82 -2.046 31.45% -0.454 -0.3025
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 514 51.37% 37.92 0.685 47.47% 0.072 0.0808
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3591 49.69% 34.56 -1.622 38.85% -0.098 -0.1973
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 18 72.22% 33.0 -3.729 38.89% -0.853 -1.344
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1417 71.71% 31.07 -8.036 29.71% -1.533 -1.0207
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 94 65.96% 23.34 10.526 24.47% 0.472 0.4287
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 224 64.98% 35.74 3.509 49.11% 0.462 0.0133
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 116 61.21% 31.18 6.673 36.21% 0.064 0.1226
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 382 64.66% 35.15 0.877 40.31% -0.117 -0.3077
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 179 67.98% 29.22 -1.812 27.37% -0.679 -0.5951
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4409 50.76% 41.83 -2.942 58.27% -0.25 -0.3475
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 292 40.75% 30.14 2.354 42.47% 0.57 0.3752
Shifting Memory of Ages 811 63.38% 31.58 1.53 34.28% 0.268 0.6581
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 124 57.26% 41.86 3.383 54.84% 0.2 0.1482
Shroud of Silent Mist 783 64.11% 26.45 -5.786 24.9% -0.911 -0.4972
Starlight Seeks its Form 1387 48.34% 33.54 -0.01 39.94% -0.254 -0.2938
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2329 49.29% 36.37 2.593 47.96% 0.379 -0.1237
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1827 55.24% 39.99 2.599 53.75% 0.554 0.6366
Thunderspeaker 3673 56.15% 39.9 2.231 50.1% 0.43 0.4245
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 138 55.07% 32.35 0.372 44.2% 0.205 0.5939
Towering Roots of the Jungle 253 47.04% 27.81 -3.821 33.2% -0.683 -0.4723
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1700 77.95% 31.75 0.054 37.71% -0.014 0.0629
Vital Strength of the Earth 2337 50.47% 30.3 -3.556 27.39% -0.633 -0.1836
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 280 42.75% 31.6 -3.026 34.64% -0.673 -0.179
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 270 48.52% 26.25 -11.485 20.37% -0.151 0.5416
Volcano Looming High 1593 63.4% 35.41 -1.536 48.52% -0.194 -0.1292
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 479 50.1% 33.71 0.515 40.92% -0.388 -0.6372

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 13 84.62% 47.08 12.059 76.92% 0.885 0.3266
Blitz 0 504 28.63% 33.19 -8.893 27.78% -1.257 -0.8343
Dahan Insurrection 4 592 41.22% 50.84 5.323 42.57% 0.177 -0.3053
Despicable Theft 2 45 42.22% 34.84 -14.514 37.78% -0.462 0.0811
Elemental Invocation 1 107 52.34% 31.0 -1.059 33.64% 0.259 0.9966
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1674 21.64% 49.34 12.076 70.49% 2.065 1.4087
Powers Long Forgotten 1 228 60.09% 35.81 -5.524 36.84% -0.691 -0.1285
Rituals of Terror 3 187 57.84% 37.36 -8.657 29.41% -0.407 -0.5495
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 123 64.23% 31.52 -8.715 21.14% -0.486 0.2628
Second Wave 0 616 48.93% 35.21 2.395 33.77% -0.091 0.0031
The Great River 3 68 39.71% 24.57 -8.153 10.29% -1.061 0.1839
Varied Terrains 2 43 46.51% 25.65 16.075 11.63% 0.376 1.2437
Ward the Shores 2 238 56.3% 31.61 -1.518 18.91% -0.143 0.7112

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 36315 54.58% 35.81 -0.782 44.2% 0.479 0.8523
1 Thematic 1293 42.02% 33.45 1.441 23.36% -0.227 0.4876
2 Archipelago 13 69.23% 41.38 -3.104 61.54% -0.142 0.3817
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7951 58.02% 36.89 -0.025 47.82% 0.434 0.5954
2 Coastline 819 57.28% 38.43 -0.028 52.14% 0.247 0.0541
2 Fragment 209 61.72% 38.91 0.567 52.15% 0.521 0.4732
2 Heart 166 71.08% 54.48 9.098 66.87% 1.258 1.0462
2 Opposite Shores 1748 54.55% 35.55 -3.191 45.48% -0.079 0.0534
2 Thematic 471 37.79% 29.18 -5.189 14.01% -1.258 -0.5373
2 Top to Top 223 58.56% 37.47 -6.65 50.22% -0.784 -0.8686
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 25 32.0% 36.68 0.0 40.0%
3 Other 119 51.26% 44.95 -2.125 67.23% 0.109 -0.7669
3 Round (Default) 3626 54.23% 40.49 1.083 55.13% 0.208 0.1852
3 Sunrise 16 56.25% 46.75 0.0 68.75%
3 Thematic 226 30.97% 26.22 0.179 11.95% 0.09 0.0976
4 Archipelago 4 25.0% 49.0 26.198 50.0% 0.331 0.1797
4 Coastline 8 87.5% 33.63 0.0 37.5%
4 Leaf 15 66.67% 37.0 0.0 46.67%
4 Other 65 61.54% 37.17 0.0 46.15%
4 Thematic 340 36.98% 38.26 0.0 30.29%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1420 51.64% 42.17 2.643 58.1% 0.629 0.6336
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 43.33 0.0 33.33%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 65 57.14% 39.83 -8.719 53.85% -0.594 -0.9177
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 65.25 0.0 75.0%
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 30.0 -6.294 33.33% -0.547 -1.585
6 Other 49 32.65% 46.16 15.274 63.27% 0.163 0.1184
6 Star 16 31.25% 40.63 10.89 50.0% 0.151 0.7837
6 Thematic 64 27.87% 30.45 0.088 20.31% 0.082 0.2858
6 Two Centers (Default) 81 45.68% 40.22 3.177 55.56% -0.342 0.1325
7 Other 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2597 35.68 1.107 45.05% 0.255 0.3263
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2223 37.98 1.119 48.94% 0.19 0.0803
All Things Weaken 1336 36.15 4.641 47.08% 0.897 1.0745
Attenuated Essence 211 32.4 -0.326 41.71% -0.032 0.0197
Back Against the Wall 2145 36.91 3.311 46.15% 0.471 0.4557
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 242 34.66 -0.525 49.17% 0.082 0.2654
Burn Brightest Before the End 146 36.26 2.925 43.15% 0.289 0.3758
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2413 31.93 0.249 38.83% 0.03 0.3216
Downward Spiral 2991 34.49 1.063 44.17% 0.342 0.4485
Erosion of Will 2578 34.5 -0.68 41.27% -0.013 0.1534
Intensifying Exploitation 202 31.16 0.101 39.11% 0.309 0.4974
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 569 39.67 6.096 54.13% 1.073 0.6449
Memory Fades to Dust 2892 34.47 0.585 42.77% 0.163 0.3983
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1244 35.27 4.322 45.98% 0.994 1.0899
Promising Farmlands 2479 31.6 1.813 34.37% 0.137 0.5015
Shattered Fragments of Power 189 34.17 7.588 40.74% 1.216 1.282
Slow Dissolution of Will 213 30.41 -1.148 34.27% -0.238 0.2249
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 344 42.04 6.901 60.17% 0.785 0.1837
The Border of Life and Death 68 32.03 15.896 41.18% 0.886 0.4102
Thriving Communities 1321 36.02 6.85 48.45% 1.493 1.7182
Thriving Crops 131 21.63 -0.441 16.03% -0.163 -0.3876
Tipping Point 918 32.99 0.0 37.69%
Unnatural Proliferation 1320 36.39 5.186 44.39% 0.472 0.5938
Untended Land Crumbles 1296 33.62 -0.455 41.51% -0.061 0.1716

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12182 56.56% 36.66 -0.828 46.64% -0.008 0.91
B 12748 55.09% 37.31 -0.233 47.89% -0.072 0.769
C 13101 54.01% 37.94 1.048 49.06% 0.28 0.963
D 11673 55.49% 37.23 -0.914 47.74% -0.129 0.7137
E 6183 54.81% 38.73 1.429 51.37% 0.243 0.8951
F 7601 54.36% 37.74 2.686 48.74% 0.44 1.2001
G 6929 55.85% 36.14 -0.262 45.29% 0.209 0.9668
H 6898 53.68% 38.37 0.368 50.07% 0.033 0.7518
East 1690 38.47% 33.45 -2.061 22.01% -0.583 0.2303
Northeast 1042 37.64% 34.89 5.044 24.28% 0.711 1.3782
Northwest 869 37.63% 32.55 -3.716 21.75% -0.671 0.1336
Southeast 292 38.75% 29.9 -4.768 20.55% -0.215 0.4905
Southwest 293 37.37% 26.71 -4.263 16.72% -0.527 0.8628
West 1540 36.73% 31.27 -2.15 18.96% -0.695 0.0989

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 106 0.0% 45.47 0.257 63.21% 0.06 0.7786
Not Using Events or Tokens 283 48.74% 30.17 5.479 24.38% 0.192 0.6773
Skip Initial Invader Actions 915 13.1% 55.15 1.852 72.46% 0.036 -0.6946
Start of Game Growth 1301 17.68% 51.45 2.223 68.64% 0.64 0.1938
Unlimited Undo 4798 47.98% 37.68 -0.376 48.15% 0.023 -0.01
Using Tokens but Not Events 3136 48.81% 35.42 0.133 44.52% -0.069 -0.231

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 19924 14.25 2.4%
II 16758 30.3 43.92%
III 12944 34.84 88.64%
IV 5756 38.61 99.32%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.675 Win Model: 0.271
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 37737 54.18% 35.73 43.47%
2 11533 56.83% 36.81 46.88%
3 3997 52.64% 39.88 53.19%
4 1856 49.59% 41.17 52.21%
5 48 46.81% 36.73 50.0%
6 211 35.58% 38.68 45.97%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 478
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11235
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7091
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5678
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3323
Lose: Invader deck ran out 130
Lose: Adversary condition 18644
Win: Sacrifice victory 124
Lose: Scenario condition 397
Win: Scenario condition 422
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7366
Lose: Spirit destroyed 494

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3067 41.35% 43.37 -0.273 51.12% 0.047 -0.0595
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 82 47.56% 33.2 -3.067 35.37% -0.394 -0.8825
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1321 58.47% 35.26 -1.264 31.95% -0.392 -0.249
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 210 42.86% 31.61 0.725 36.67% 0.381 -0.3672
Dances Up Earthquakes 38 42.11% 30.11 -0.511 26.32% -0.378 -0.5544
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2359 42.38% 45.67 -0.861 59.18% -0.237 -0.4437
Downpour Drenches the World 559 37.03% 27.08 -0.562 23.61% -0.364 -0.0441
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 877 33.3% 35.92 4.465 46.86% 0.514 0.0731
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2008 42.81% 43.38 -1.793 51.0% -0.486 -0.8289
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1908 40.92% 46.77 3.703 59.17% 0.572 0.2179
Finder of Paths Unseen 172 52.91% 32.7 0.116 33.72% -0.242 0.5424
Fractured Days Split the Sky 717 41.84% 37.52 -9.361 40.73% -1.304 -0.8562
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 821 55.66% 39.86 -3.618 47.14% 0.085 0.0614
Heart of the Wildfire 2762 75.26% 37.03 -2.769 42.32% 0.03 0.357
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5943 47.4% 44.24 2.6 55.59% 0.45 -0.0447
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 215 38.14% 36.33 0.824 47.91% 0.414 -0.1489
Lightning's Swift Strike 1764 58.18% 42.17 -0.872 49.77% -0.1 0.0983
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 256 53.28% 49.54 8.1 64.45% 1.127 0.6791
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 490 48.57% 49.88 7.062 65.71% 0.654 0.3344
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 323 42.11% 44.27 3.809 57.89% 0.49 0.6152
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1871 56.42% 42.85 -0.863 53.18% -0.448 -0.6044
Many Minds Move as One 740 40.81% 41.1 2.215 51.22% 0.259 0.0518
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4288 50.91% 43.07 2.056 52.15% 0.536 0.665
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 73 64.38% 29.99 -0.725 35.62% 0.002 0.1068
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1699 49.7% 42.44 4.537 52.27% 0.64 0.5905
River Surges in Sunlight 3433 49.5% 44.14 1.296 49.32% 0.168 0.2007
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 46 36.96% 34.46 -2.445 39.13% -0.354 -0.1463
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 377 48.81% 41.21 -0.389 45.09% 0.203 0.3542
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 424 56.97% 39.38 0.164 41.04% 0.248 0.2574
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2362 46.37% 38.55 -4.909 40.18% -0.242 -0.3413
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 5 80.0% 28.6 -4.038 40.0% -0.227 -0.7175
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 873 65.52% 35.89 -4.636 33.91% -0.643 -0.1313
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 44 63.64% 36.93 -1.408 40.91% 0.104 0.0608
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 161 49.69% 28.09 -2.405 31.68% -0.347 -0.795
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 83 56.63% 30.35 -2.769 24.1% -0.059 -0.0006
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 259 65.89% 34.36 -13.38 32.05% -0.326 -0.5164
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 124 70.97% 33.75 14.871 30.65% 0.533 0.617
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3221 45.96% 47.66 7.687 62.56% 1.045 0.9468
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 636 16.67% 27.34 -2.159 37.89% 0.144 -0.05
Shifting Memory of Ages 565 57.17% 34.29 -7.857 33.45% -1.269 -0.8789
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 62 41.94% 38.63 0.014 48.39% 0.184 0.1329
Shroud of Silent Mist 860 66.59% 38.13 0.843 43.49% 0.01 0.4242
Starlight Seeks its Form 1041 44.28% 36.6 1.005 38.81% 0.291 0.2512
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1548 46.15% 37.72 -1.064 44.51% 0.254 -0.2482
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1396 53.09% 44.67 3.122 55.95% 0.204 0.2868
Thunderspeaker 2478 56.06% 43.73 3.134 51.05% 0.301 0.2954
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 145 48.97% 27.19 -5.05 31.03% -0.641 -0.2519
Towering Roots of the Jungle 177 42.37% 34.29 3.605 42.37% 0.663 0.8735
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1042 74.13% 34.42 -3.951 36.47% -0.674 -0.5964
Vital Strength of the Earth 1337 48.35% 35.43 -1.137 31.04% -0.615 -0.1655
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 163 37.01% 38.87 4.418 41.1% 0.345 0.8397
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 127 47.24% 30.42 -7.889 22.83% -0.44 0.2526
Volcano Looming High 1147 61.78% 38.35 -2.593 46.73% -0.222 -0.1579
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 436 43.35% 34.48 0.075 37.16% -0.347 -0.5959

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 12 58.33% 24.0 0.0 25.0%
Blitz 0 240 27.08% 26.03 -6.249 17.08% -0.959 -0.5364
Dahan Insurrection 4 448 43.53% 56.03 11.847 42.63% 0.631 0.1493
Despicable Theft 2 30 33.33% 29.0 0.0 23.33%
Elemental Invocation 1 84 46.43% 28.19 -6.739 16.67% -0.596 0.1417
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1337 18.35% 52.14 2.948 67.02% 0.451 -0.2058
Powers Long Forgotten 1 144 57.64% 35.31 1.937 28.47% 0.085 0.6478
Rituals of Terror 3 109 49.54% 40.64 -15.254 25.69% -0.3 -0.4425
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 192 69.79% 35.39 -10.634 16.15% -0.127 0.6216
Second Wave 0 350 50.88% 41.42 8.905 40.57% 0.711 0.805
The Great River 3 26 30.77% 21.85 0.0 3.85%
Varied Terrains 2 22 54.55% 26.45 0.0 22.73%
Ward the Shores 2 207 56.52% 31.13 -17.603 13.53% -0.37 0.4847

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 23706 50.99% 39.88 -0.806 46.35% -0.318 0.0557
1 Thematic 1022 38.57% 35.65 -1.233 21.33% -0.4 0.3143
2 Archipelago 9 33.33% 14.56 -16.951 11.11% -0.303 0.2211
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5652 55.86% 41.12 -0.906 49.29% -0.232 -0.0708
2 Coastline 518 54.84% 42.1 10.935 51.35% 1.291 1.0979
2 Fragment 105 62.86% 36.65 18.848 40.0% 0.601 0.5527
2 Heart 75 66.67% 35.28 -1.486 33.33% -0.75 -0.9626
2 Opposite Shores 1106 54.07% 40.57 6.775 46.56% 0.763 0.8951
2 Thematic 349 37.54% 33.85 -10.408 16.62% -0.171 0.5496
2 Top to Top 316 53.48% 44.86 7.022 57.59% 0.44 0.3555
3 Archipelago 14 78.57% 58.71 0.0 57.14%
3 Coastline 17 41.18% 41.47 10.935 47.06% 0.232 -0.3987
3 Other 72 45.83% 49.85 0.0 70.83%
3 Round (Default) 3107 46.86% 42.6 3.048 54.3% 0.339 0.3157
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 35.29 0.0 42.86%
3 Thematic 67 41.79% 33.03 -8.857 16.42% -0.177 -0.1692
4 Archipelago 22 77.27% 42.36 0.0 45.45%
4 Coastline 11 9.09% 62.55 0.0 90.91%
4 Leaf 18 38.89% 54.39 0.0 83.33%
4 Other 48 52.08% 53.33 0.0 77.08%
4 Snake 5 100.0% 28.0 0.0 20.0%
4 Thematic 257 38.91% 43.83 0.0 36.96%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1432 47.57% 48.01 -5.361 61.73% -0.835 -0.8295
5 Archipelago 2 50.0% 55.0 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 55 49.09% 33.69 -7.248 41.82% -0.26 -0.5843
5 Thematic 7 28.57% 42.14 0.0 14.29%
6 Archipelago 4 50.0% 48.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 75 31.08% 17.16 -3.801 10.67% -0.481 -0.5255
6 Star 13 23.08% 55.69 0.0 76.92%
6 Thematic 17 17.65% 28.59 8.816 11.76% 0.245 0.4485
6 Two Centers (Default) 40 40.0% 42.92 0.0 55.0%
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1679 40.26 2.093 48.48% 0.218 0.2895
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1294 42.57 8.88 51.39% 1.077 0.9673
All Things Weaken 794 40.4 1.837 48.49% 0.086 0.2633
Attenuated Essence 135 37.36 4.681 47.41% 0.569 0.6208
Back Against the Wall 1354 42.05 7.773 49.63% 0.985 0.9691
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 143 36.56 3.969 44.76% 0.618 0.8018
Burn Brightest Before the End 104 38.53 1.024 43.27% -0.032 0.055
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1686 35.94 2.731 41.4% 0.698 0.9894
Downward Spiral 1846 38.48 -0.68 45.67% 0.189 0.2949
Erosion of Will 1608 38.08 0.126 42.23% -0.142 0.0237
Intensifying Exploitation 167 33.92 -0.537 42.51% -0.093 0.0952
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 410 41.27 4.726 49.51% 0.809 0.3807
Memory Fades to Dust 1935 38.1 4.375 43.98% 0.799 1.0337
Power Corrodes the Spirit 766 38.9 2.931 45.43% 0.194 0.2896
Promising Farmlands 1786 34.1 2.16 33.82% 0.386 0.7501
Shattered Fragments of Power 98 39.07 -1.353 42.86% -0.465 -0.3992
Slow Dissolution of Will 127 32.3 1.954 34.65% 0.116 0.5792
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 209 44.77 0.771 57.89% 0.354 -0.2471
The Border of Life and Death 28 38.14 -9.779 50.0% -0.487 -0.9622
Thriving Communities 807 39.58 -1.101 48.95% -0.042 0.1837
Thriving Crops 88 31.84 -0.913 28.41% -0.06 -0.2844
Tipping Point 646 36.91 0.0 40.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 837 40.62 2.986 47.67% 0.065 0.1866
Untended Land Crumbles 817 37.5 -0.107 42.72% 0.303 0.5356

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8453 52.43% 40.4 -1.319 47.18% -0.625 0.293
B 8927 51.5% 41.32 -1.442 49.77% -0.462 0.3791
C 11070 47.49% 44.58 0.772 56.21% -0.266 0.4168
D 8299 52.41% 40.7 0.375 48.22% -0.215 0.6279
E 4776 53.68% 40.87 1.153 49.81% 0.007 0.6583
F 5167 52.14% 40.61 -0.086 48.98% -0.237 0.5224
G 4669 52.46% 39.75 -0.274 46.63% -0.379 0.3785
H 4890 48.02% 40.7 -0.195 48.73% -0.335 0.3838
East 1065 38.04% 38.72 -4.555 25.63% -0.453 0.361
Northeast 671 39.1% 40.24 6.711 28.91% 0.408 1.0759
Northwest 628 44.27% 36.68 8.816 23.41% 0.245 1.0494
Southeast 155 37.01% 39.06 -2.846 31.61% -0.146 0.5592
Southwest 125 24.0% 31.55 8.816 22.4% 0.245 1.6344
West 1092 36.36% 34.83 -3.491 19.51% -0.103 0.6906

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 69 0.0% 48.41 -5.626 56.52% -1.182 -0.4634
Not Using Events or Tokens 139 53.62% 32.73 0.0 23.02%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 461 19.72% 59.8 5.3 74.84% 0.225 -0.5059
Start of Game Growth 732 24.53% 55.12 2.395 71.04% 0.327 -0.1196
Unlimited Undo 3358 51.58% 41.4 1.217 50.3% -0.106 -0.1394
Using Tokens but Not Events 1821 45.75% 41.42 3.396 48.54% 0.507 0.3443

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 13397 14.25 2.37%
II 11342 30.3 45.8%
III 10844 34.84 91.21%
IV 2575 38.61 99.77%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.019 Win Model: 0.15
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 24793 50.47% 39.68 45.28%
2 8101 54.92% 40.93 47.86%
3 3267 46.86% 42.59 53.87%
4 1798 46.44% 47.54 58.57%
5 47 46.81% 27.83 25.53%
6 152 31.13% 29.0 28.95%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 315
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9727
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4987
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2552
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2296
Lose: Invader deck ran out 23
Lose: Adversary condition 12932
Win: Sacrifice victory 77
Lose: Scenario condition 293
Win: Scenario condition 314
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4319
Lose: Spirit destroyed 323

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1887 46.04% 52.38 -1.847 62.48% -0.342 -0.4492
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 68 56.72% 50.9 2.781 66.18% 0.39 -0.0989
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 702 61.8% 40.25 -18.981 36.18% -0.332 -0.1886
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 156 48.72% 47.1 -0.015 57.05% -0.038 -0.7861
Dances Up Earthquakes 34 38.24% 25.44 -6.331 20.59% -0.75 -0.9271
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1039 48.17% 49.04 6.932 58.23% 0.956 0.7491
Downpour Drenches the World 244 50.41% 34.77 -6.633 29.92% -0.826 -0.5063
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 534 34.64% 50.98 6.185 66.1% 0.996 0.5559
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1700 42.24% 52.08 1.77 62.06% 0.281 -0.0626
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 590 46.83% 43.82 -2.924 44.07% -0.385 -0.7395
Finder of Paths Unseen 87 34.48% 31.9 1.067 39.08% 0.138 0.9228
Fractured Days Split the Sky 408 49.02% 42.27 -2.763 37.99% -0.519 -0.0711
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 463 61.99% 50.87 0.323 60.48% 0.294 0.2708
Heart of the Wildfire 1318 85.35% 39.93 0.995 41.5% -0.308 0.0194
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3884 54.88% 53.8 -1.646 66.74% 0.021 -0.4738
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 313 46.01% 57.78 6.745 77.64% 1.135 0.5722
Lightning's Swift Strike 1173 47.67% 53.46 -0.014 61.13% 0.016 0.2142
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 231 45.85% 65.35 16.211 76.19% 2.025 1.5766
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 439 44.87% 58.0 -7.341 73.12% -0.81 -1.1298
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 261 43.68% 51.66 2.859 63.22% 0.75 0.8743
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1263 54.84% 50.25 7.648 61.68% 1.325 1.1688
Many Minds Move as One 410 44.63% 50.91 -3.67 60.0% -0.446 -0.6524
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2104 55.29% 50.46 1.226 58.51% 0.544 0.6729
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 61 54.1% 40.08 -0.581 37.7% -0.344 -0.2388
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1157 50.09% 50.31 -1.635 61.19% -0.105 -0.1541
River Surges in Sunlight 1917 53.96% 52.58 -1.131 59.73% -0.323 -0.2899
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 40 45.0% 42.98 -12.289 42.5% -1.427 -1.219
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 298 62.08% 50.68 -1.29 58.39% -0.24 -0.0887
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 408 52.21% 51.94 -0.584 57.35% -0.133 -0.1237
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1555 47.26% 46.34 1.131 47.78% -0.233 -0.3318
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 11 54.55% 56.18 2.394 72.73% 0.272 -0.2188
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 425 65.65% 39.91 -16.208 34.12% -0.751 -0.2394
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 23 54.55% 37.35 0.0 30.43%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 142 65.96% 50.45 -0.897 64.08% -0.046 -0.4946
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 76 47.37% 47.12 -16.549 61.84% -0.854 -0.7954
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 180 56.67% 49.11 0.0 56.67%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 79 68.35% 31.65 0.0 21.52%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1977 44.01% 55.56 -2.344 69.6% 0.173 0.0754
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 151 39.07% 54.58 1.455 70.86% 0.553 0.359
Shifting Memory of Ages 323 46.75% 38.72 4.115 39.94% -0.143 0.2462
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 40 55.0% 44.8 -2.654 57.5% 0.012 -0.0399
Shroud of Silent Mist 235 64.81% 38.86 2.174 37.02% 0.139 0.5537
Starlight Seeks its Form 598 54.85% 44.21 -0.753 48.33% -0.621 -0.6615
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2099 43.54% 52.61 0.722 65.89% -0.029 -0.5315
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 880 47.83% 54.97 8.634 68.75% 1.065 1.1483
Thunderspeaker 1329 60.42% 49.74 0.799 54.93% 0.336 0.33
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 111 58.56% 45.66 -0.227 41.44% -0.016 0.3726
Towering Roots of the Jungle 119 62.18% 44.6 -2.64 51.26% -0.606 -0.3956
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 890 70.79% 45.18 -0.02 52.81% -0.262 -0.1846
Vital Strength of the Earth 759 50.86% 40.97 3.229 34.39% 0.1 0.5487
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 281 38.71% 52.55 -4.652 66.19% -0.632 -0.1372
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 235 46.81% 48.94 -18.119 56.6% -0.281 0.412
Volcano Looming High 625 57.28% 47.79 -3.562 59.52% -0.469 -0.4042
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 229 54.15% 44.97 4.137 44.98% 0.638 0.3889

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 60.0% 27.6 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 186 29.03% 33.42 -9.912 24.73% -0.61 -0.1866
Dahan Insurrection 4 395 48.61% 47.15 -4.309 28.61% -0.474 -0.9558
Despicable Theft 2 18 50.0% 36.67 0.0 38.89%
Elemental Invocation 1 57 52.63% 30.91 -5.482 21.05% -0.724 0.0139
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2732 33.49% 62.59 6.246 81.73% 0.934 0.2778
Powers Long Forgotten 1 124 52.42% 41.52 -15.691 32.26% -0.445 0.1176
Rituals of Terror 3 96 46.88% 46.78 0.0 25.0%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 110 76.36% 37.39 0.0 13.64%
Second Wave 0 204 58.21% 39.44 2.431 31.37% -0.298 -0.2035
The Great River 3 40 35.0% 24.38 0.0 7.5%
Varied Terrains 2 7 71.43% 24.71 -9.83 0.0% -0.671 0.1975
Ward the Shores 2 218 50.92% 40.52 17.031 22.48% 0.424 1.2783

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12099 53.86% 45.48 -1.155 50.38% 0.057 0.4298
1 Thematic 680 44.12% 39.14 -1.418 21.62% -0.467 0.2473
2 Archipelago 6 33.33% 55.83 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2794 60.54% 46.84 -0.586 54.12% 0.301 0.4621
2 Coastline 322 60.87% 45.88 -2.705 51.24% -0.133 -0.326
2 Fragment 69 79.71% 38.46 -23.865 37.68% -0.581 -0.6287
2 Heart 26 50.0% 42.54 0.0 42.31%
2 Opposite Shores 587 56.9% 42.91 4.428 46.34% 1.036 1.1684
2 Thematic 192 40.1% 36.76 -5.968 14.06% -0.836 -0.1162
2 Top to Top 88 57.95% 50.36 -17.415 59.09% -0.436 -0.521
3 Archipelago 18 83.33% 62.22 0.0 11.11%
3 Coastline 5 80.0% 34.4 0.0 20.0%
3 Other 55 78.18% 48.07 14.533 50.91% 0.753 -0.1229
3 Round (Default) 2670 49.01% 55.7 2.439 72.28% 0.441 0.4173
3 Sunrise 4 75.0% 32.5 0.0 25.0%
3 Thematic 56 26.79% 34.09 -22.655 14.29% -0.605 -0.5972
4 Archipelago 3 66.67% 61.0 0.0 66.67%
4 Coastline 9 11.11% 74.44 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 49.8 0.0 60.0%
4 Other 36 50.0% 61.92 8.343 86.11% 0.209 -0.3586
4 Thematic 310 20.33% 60.55 5.831 62.58% 1.055 1.1182
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1258 52.12% 56.23 -2.468 72.02% -0.532 -0.5264
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 61.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 40 60.53% 53.95 0.535 67.5% 0.013 -0.3104
5 Thematic 39 38.46% 52.41 0.0 30.77%
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 61.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 8 33.33% 60.38 2.928 62.5% 0.32 0.2754
6 Star 19 47.37% 35.79 -4.255 36.84% -0.31 0.3227
6 Thematic 38 36.84% 54.16 -0.295 39.47% -0.165 0.0391
6 Two Centers (Default) 26 46.15% 38.46 5.379 34.62% -0.149 0.3254

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 997 48.28 8.847 56.17% 1.406 1.4769
Aid From Lesser Spirits 808 50.47 0.926 58.42% 0.046 -0.0642
All Things Weaken 452 49.13 5.3 58.41% 1.135 1.3123
Attenuated Essence 113 45.5 -3.899 53.98% -0.434 -0.382
Back Against the Wall 775 46.27 4.382 50.06% 0.426 0.4109
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 101 43.53 -1.11 48.51% -0.184 -0.0003
Burn Brightest Before the End 75 41.97 3.891 44.0% 0.854 0.9408
Disintegrating Ecosystem 978 43.03 -6.739 47.03% -0.65 -0.3584
Downward Spiral 1059 47.02 7.338 55.62% 1.392 1.4977
Erosion of Will 969 46.07 6.079 51.6% 0.696 0.8616
Intensifying Exploitation 88 43.69 4.922 48.86% 0.44 0.628
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 240 51.56 7.05 65.0% 0.775 0.3467
Memory Fades to Dust 1044 45.8 9.488 51.92% 1.357 1.5914
Power Corrodes the Spirit 464 46.53 3.89 53.88% 0.429 0.5248
Promising Farmlands 963 39.94 2.342 37.9% 0.369 0.7334
Shattered Fragments of Power 77 52.43 6.595 63.64% 0.468 0.5339
Slow Dissolution of Will 93 45.87 1.974 50.54% 0.44 0.9035
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 135 53.94 4.668 68.89% 0.145 -0.4559
The Border of Life and Death 32 54.84 -2.566 68.75% -0.71 -1.1853
Thriving Communities 493 46.01 0.642 54.77% 0.577 0.8022
Thriving Crops 82 39.21 -10.14 40.24% -1.224 -1.4483
Tipping Point 373 45.77 0.0 51.47%
Unnatural Proliferation 527 46.63 4.831 52.18% 0.316 0.4378
Untended Land Crumbles 499 44.0 3.408 48.5% 0.311 0.5431

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4955 56.13% 48.19 1.35 56.21% 0.154 1.0726
B 5303 56.08% 48.82 -0.498 57.4% 0.162 1.0029
C 5905 54.16% 51.12 -0.605 61.68% -0.121 0.5619
D 4828 55.83% 49.36 0.548 58.2% 0.275 1.1178
E 3043 50.25% 50.91 2.321 62.04% 0.691 1.3429
F 3364 51.83% 49.66 2.271 59.01% 0.566 1.3256
G 3204 52.83% 50.24 -0.893 60.55% -0.168 0.5892
H 3368 51.47% 50.5 2.205 61.37% 0.4 1.1181
East 966 35.38% 45.95 -1.026 33.33% -0.275 0.5386
Northeast 609 35.1% 51.14 -3.909 42.69% -0.708 -0.0408
Northwest 537 31.02% 52.92 1.337 44.32% 0.019 0.8241
Southeast 176 31.82% 45.9 -1.081 31.82% -0.36 0.346
Southwest 112 31.25% 48.04 2.176 39.29% 0.528 1.9178
West 856 30.67% 47.4 0.891 34.7% 0.073 0.8667

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 29 0.0% 58.0 5.732 58.62% 0.179 0.898
Not Using Events or Tokens 63 61.9% 31.54 -10.851 15.87% -0.182 0.303
Skip Initial Invader Actions 466 10.84% 70.61 3.108 81.55% 0.38 -0.3507
Start of Game Growth 681 19.03% 65.59 1.441 77.24% 0.047 -0.399
Unlimited Undo 2186 50.18% 50.58 4.84 60.11% 0.796 0.7628
Using Tokens but Not Events 1020 34.21% 49.67 1.209 55.88% -0.113 -0.2754

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6622 14.25 4.91%
II 8757 30.3 62.44%
III 5012 34.84 92.46%
IV 1081 38.61 99.72%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.436 Win Model: -0.112
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12931 53.18% 44.91 48.4%
2 3984 60.06% 46.53 51.93%
3 2780 49.26% 55.0 70.58%
4 1646 45.53% 57.48 70.53%
5 48 56.52% 56.52 47.92%
6 83 43.21% 42.54 37.35%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 324
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4550
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5309
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1072
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1197
Lose: Invader deck ran out 10
Lose: Adversary condition 5955
Win: Sacrifice victory 47
Lose: Scenario condition 248
Win: Scenario condition 203
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2426
Lose: Spirit destroyed 131

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7865 45.21% 47.48 -2.059 44.88% 0.0 -0.1066
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 387 40.31% 32.47 1.599 31.27% 0.558 0.0692
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3916 58.14% 38.54 -4.864 27.91% -0.632 -0.4891
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 872 45.69% 42.35 2.677 44.27% 0.686 -0.0621
Dances Up Earthquakes 234 49.15% 24.82 -5.055 16.24% -0.717 -0.8938
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4732 49.71% 46.22 2.566 44.1% 0.408 0.2005
Downpour Drenches the World 2163 46.58% 34.6 -4.05 24.27% -0.771 -0.4507
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2910 36.51% 44.88 2.627 48.9% 0.705 0.2641
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8689 38.26% 51.04 3.392 50.81% 0.505 0.1614
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3017 50.22% 45.07 0.827 40.97% 0.303 -0.0516
Finder of Paths Unseen 789 48.67% 34.4 -4.359 27.25% -0.688 0.0969
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3403 47.44% 48.4 1.223 42.08% 0.375 0.8228
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 3867 59.61% 47.52 -1.5 46.96% 0.273 0.2497
Heart of the Wildfire 6930 79.44% 41.29 -4.203 36.45% -0.442 -0.1155
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 28841 52.28% 54.3 5.198 59.98% 0.851 0.3556
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 635 56.38% 46.18 -2.371 47.87% 0.227 -0.3353
Lightning's Swift Strike 5830 56.65% 47.56 -1.586 45.63% 0.229 0.4273
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 2070 61.74% 50.51 6.89 54.64% 0.964 0.5165
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 4817 52.14% 59.45 6.456 67.99% 1.448 1.1288
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1867 48.74% 55.99 1.915 60.95% 0.438 0.5628
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 7864 54.52% 50.48 -0.981 53.83% 0.039 -0.1171
Many Minds Move as One 2621 44.41% 51.95 2.898 51.74% 0.419 0.2127
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 14200 50.29% 50.93 -0.035 50.94% 0.277 0.4063
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 383 62.83% 31.23 -2.268 28.72% -0.182 -0.0774
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5445 52.94% 48.49 -0.24 49.0% 0.198 0.1488
River Surges in Sunlight 12161 52.02% 51.57 -1.434 49.51% 0.002 0.035
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 302 58.94% 38.6 -2.831 34.44% -0.413 -0.2044
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1003 50.15% 45.11 -4.605 39.78% -1.24 -1.0885
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 2244 51.36% 44.83 -1.088 40.11% 0.3 0.309
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 10208 44.28% 43.64 -3.821 37.43% -0.402 -0.5005
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 52 40.38% 43.58 5.293 51.92% 1.116 0.6253
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2091 62.07% 39.77 -11.529 29.46% -1.097 -0.5854
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 150 48.67% 47.91 -8.794 42.0% -0.678 -0.7217
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 830 63.69% 43.06 3.168 44.22% 0.498 0.0495
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 172 58.14% 44.95 8.748 42.44% 0.352 0.4105
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 1029 60.64% 43.39 -8.931 35.28% -1.024 -1.2145
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 397 65.74% 40.26 -4.666 33.75% -0.907 -0.8234
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 9241 46.35% 53.91 4.014 59.66% 0.88 0.7826
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1390 53.38% 44.46 0.532 46.91% -0.272 -0.466
Shifting Memory of Ages 2298 52.13% 37.44 0.352 27.46% 0.39 0.7798
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 376 49.47% 38.03 1.808 35.11% 0.532 0.4804
Shroud of Silent Mist 1361 66.47% 39.78 -7.336 33.43% -1.284 -0.8695
Starlight Seeks its Form 4708 50.96% 44.93 -1.506 41.29% -0.104 -0.1445
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 8152 44.46% 45.85 2.584 42.16% 0.662 0.1599
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5608 52.9% 54.88 0.943 60.75% 0.29 0.3734
Thunderspeaker 7085 52.29% 47.25 -5.937 40.58% -0.563 -0.5684
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 446 55.16% 37.99 -1.698 35.2% 0.019 0.4077
Towering Roots of the Jungle 706 47.88% 35.0 -2.684 33.99% -0.155 0.0555
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4737 74.77% 41.46 0.116 37.98% 0.043 0.1203
Vital Strength of the Earth 3874 50.32% 35.61 -8.478 22.43% -1.004 -0.5546
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 553 58.95% 39.66 -5.459 34.0% -0.45 0.0444
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 716 47.63% 33.55 -6.657 15.92% -1.01 -0.3167
Volcano Looming High 5227 58.79% 49.24 0.317 54.16% 0.663 0.7273
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1764 47.05% 40.65 0.444 34.52% -0.113 -0.3619

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 38 47.37% 56.37 -13.574 52.63% -0.546 -1.1041
Blitz 0 1211 34.44% 42.39 -9.633 30.55% -0.71 -0.2866
Dahan Insurrection 4 4131 35.01% 53.94 5.732 35.68% 0.928 0.4459
Despicable Theft 2 55 69.09% 42.29 -3.438 25.45% -0.358 0.1848
Elemental Invocation 1 300 62.67% 38.63 -14.913 18.0% -0.24 0.4978
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 10755 27.49% 61.17 9.177 67.14% 1.734 1.0776
Powers Long Forgotten 1 249 52.61% 39.26 -11.458 24.9% -0.823 -0.2607
Rituals of Terror 3 396 41.52% 74.91 15.161 42.68% 1.058 0.9163
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 86 73.26% 35.62 0.0 11.63%
Second Wave 0 656 59.45% 44.82 -5.754 34.15% -1.065 -0.97
The Great River 3 156 33.33% 23.52 0.0 6.41%
Varied Terrains 2 29 41.38% 40.93 -8.891 24.14% -0.427 0.4414
Ward the Shores 2 413 46.84% 33.04 -4.313 12.83% -0.583 0.2713

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 108963 53.6% 47.56 0.987 47.04% 0.112 0.4849
1 Thematic 3884 38.1% 43.32 -2.254 22.48% -0.667 0.047
2 Archipelago 114 76.32% 54.58 19.65 21.93% 0.166 0.6894
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13309 61.1% 47.98 -1.313 48.91% -0.276 -0.115
2 Coastline 2788 53.55% 51.12 2.663 53.69% 0.273 0.0796
2 Fragment 857 66.39% 57.34 -15.879 66.74% -0.3 -0.3484
2 Heart 409 72.37% 51.76 13.771 42.54% 0.715 0.5032
2 Opposite Shores 3707 56.44% 42.13 0.368 33.1% -0.162 -0.0301
2 Thematic 1012 39.47% 46.16 0.326 19.76% -0.214 0.5064
2 Top to Top 717 59.0% 51.14 3.213 52.02% 0.173 0.0882
3 Archipelago 44 75.0% 48.77 0.0 15.91%
3 Coastline 49 59.18% 47.8 16.984 42.86% 0.485 -0.1454
3 Other 159 59.12% 54.1 2.83 58.49% 0.04 -0.8359
3 Round (Default) 7645 53.36% 48.45 -3.063 50.12% -0.994 -1.0174
3 Sunrise 83 44.58% 67.53 18.476 84.34% 0.489 0.0422
3 Thematic 236 23.4% 71.63 7.456 38.56% 0.166 0.1737
4 Archipelago 21 52.38% 53.62 0.0 28.57%
4 Coastline 60 18.33% 74.62 18.876 91.67% 0.528 0.6576
4 Leaf 28 57.14% 45.39 -13.247 39.29% -0.591 -0.1557
4 Other 90 48.89% 64.12 0.0 80.0%
4 Snake 1 0.0% 29.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 1368 30.63% 55.99 -7.55 46.2% -0.747 -0.6843
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4744 42.14% 48.75 -1.75 51.5% -0.521 -0.5157
5 Archipelago 4 75.0% 47.5 0.0 25.0%
5 Coastline 30 3.33% 64.97 19.481 83.33% 0.359 -0.6614
5 Other 135 48.85% 58.64 8.065 61.48% 0.597 0.273
5 Thematic 19 78.95% 83.74 0.0 73.68%
6 Archipelago 10 10.0% 73.9 0.0 80.0%
6 Coastline 28 3.57% 63.21 21.504 82.14% 0.325 -0.7332
6 Other 105 40.0% 48.85 -5.068 48.57% -0.911 -0.9556
6 Star 45 37.78% 40.84 4.86 33.33% 0.005 0.6372
6 Thematic 226 31.42% 42.58 -0.82 32.74% -0.139 0.0651
6 Two Centers (Default) 447 20.13% 43.43 -2.457 46.53% -1.167 -0.693
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 52.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 13.843 0.0% 0.436 -0.24

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 6276 48.51 4.291 48.53% 0.66 0.7309
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5527 49.9 4.552 49.56% 0.62 0.51
All Things Weaken 4013 48.09 3.636 47.87% 0.668 0.8448
Attenuated Essence 730 43.84 6.294 42.74% 1.028 1.08
Back Against the Wall 5234 47.81 5.804 45.55% 0.703 0.6878
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 758 41.65 2.748 39.71% 0.451 0.6345
Burn Brightest Before the End 557 46.24 7.751 44.7% 1.113 1.2004
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6246 43.53 0.58 41.79% 0.399 0.6901
Downward Spiral 7433 47.32 -0.068 47.34% 0.178 0.2835
Erosion of Will 6244 45.78 2.064 42.86% 0.463 0.6288
Intensifying Exploitation 777 43.12 4.758 43.37% 1.07 1.2581
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1905 52.73 1.901 56.64% 0.302 -0.1255
Memory Fades to Dust 7378 46.57 3.053 45.28% 0.647 0.8816
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4001 47.42 2.871 47.64% 0.536 0.6317
Promising Farmlands 6212 41.84 -0.764 35.22% -0.113 0.2514
Shattered Fragments of Power 579 44.5 2.576 42.31% 0.398 0.4637
Slow Dissolution of Will 749 39.45 3.379 35.25% 0.469 0.9319
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1135 52.63 5.137 58.77% 0.92 0.3191
The Border of Life and Death 186 44.83 4.157 44.62% 0.372 -0.1038
Thriving Communities 4036 47.97 2.532 49.21% 0.689 0.9143
Thriving Crops 487 32.97 -2.132 21.56% -0.351 -0.5759
Tipping Point 1873 44.89 0.0 42.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 4099 49.04 5.152 47.18% 0.723 0.8449
Untended Land Crumbles 3996 46.48 4.389 44.94% 0.704 0.9361

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 29228 54.36% 45.76 -1.886 43.53% -0.6 0.3183
B 31562 53.78% 47.75 -1.317 47.87% -0.565 0.2767
C 38244 54.14% 50.54 1.615 52.51% -0.157 0.5264
D 27305 52.89% 47.0 0.412 45.94% -0.299 0.5432
E 20344 52.11% 49.69 -0.741 51.81% -0.444 0.2078
F 20401 52.49% 48.03 0.689 48.62% -0.26 0.4999
G 16361 52.36% 46.43 -1.279 45.75% -0.529 0.2285
H 17669 51.0% 46.52 -0.553 46.46% -0.354 0.3649
East 5143 37.5% 49.43 3.125 29.83% -0.086 0.7273
Northeast 3284 38.31% 52.5 3.858 35.2% 0.231 0.8989
Northwest 2328 32.58% 49.66 -6.152 34.58% -1.276 -0.4709
Southeast 945 37.67% 43.15 -2.101 27.09% -1.005 -0.2993
Southwest 602 30.73% 44.3 -6.102 34.88% -1.151 0.2392
West 3756 30.13% 48.62 1.976 30.4% -1.133 -0.3398

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 196 0.0% 55.15 -3.868 55.61% -0.644 0.0749
Not Using Events or Tokens 1104 31.82% 46.59 0.0 20.02%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4079 15.11% 70.61 9.343 78.03% 1.045 0.3147
Start of Game Growth 8539 25.95% 65.58 8.528 72.53% 1.117 0.6705
Unlimited Undo 14534 45.45% 54.23 0.547 60.41% 0.31 0.2767
Using Tokens but Not Events 9420 41.57% 52.07 -2.524 53.96% -0.385 -0.5477

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 54523 14.25 3.64%
II 59249 30.3 57.15%
III 32198 34.84 91.1%
IV 5405 38.61 99.63%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.032 Win Model: 0.505
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 113952 52.97% 47.32 45.95%
2 22082 59.5% 48.74 47.52%
3 8087 53.07% 48.82 49.94%
4 6269 39.41% 50.73 51.33%
5 135 38.93% 55.73 56.3%
6 850 25.29% 44.59 44.59%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1982
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 28703
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 32479
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5243
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 11495
Lose: Invader deck ran out 114
Lose: Adversary condition 48971
Win: Sacrifice victory 473
Lose: Scenario condition 1328
Win: Scenario condition 1686
Lose: Blight pool ran out 17709
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1192

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)