The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3859 30.99% 30.32 0.569 79.04% 0.311 0.167
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 20 5.0% 22.55 1.41 60.0% 0.443 -0.2702
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2325 54.25% 26.31 1.313 69.68% 0.209 0.473
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 52 28.85% 27.6 3.756 65.38% 0.527 -0.2818
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2373 33.86% 29.47 0.784 82.13% 0.31 0.1453
Downpour Drenches the World 340 30.0% 21.08 -1.21 54.12% -0.398 -0.125
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 305 23.93% 24.51 -0.143 64.59% 0.109 -0.3179
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2904 24.85% 32.23 1.873 86.43% 0.578 0.2184
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2333 28.6% 31.28 2.02 87.61% 0.898 0.4535
Finder of Paths Unseen 153 39.22% 13.07 -4.539 30.07% -0.785 -0.0962
Fractured Days Split the Sky 544 36.72% 25.66 -4.701 60.85% -1.024 -0.4348
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 745 44.43% 26.13 1.318 66.85% 0.37 0.3054
Heart of the Wildfire 3174 60.03% 26.09 -1.577 71.61% -0.187 0.1409
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6406 29.85% 34.18 1.6 84.98% 0.571 0.2759
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 67 34.33% 20.94 1.108 58.21% 0.313 -0.0574
Lightning's Swift Strike 3520 41.45% 30.14 1.348 77.98% 0.258 0.5981
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 116 38.6% 28.41 2.262 69.83% 0.327 -0.1465
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 396 36.2% 29.69 6.024 80.3% 1.586 1.2255
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 313 35.9% 28.04 0.001 72.52% -0.052 -0.0451
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1501 37.09% 29.17 1.03 79.88% 0.419 0.1239
Many Minds Move as One 952 25.82% 28.44 -2.575 75.53% -0.619 -0.7644
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4092 41.48% 29.18 -1.778 77.1% -0.392 -0.4498
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2232 37.11% 27.93 1.44 77.78% 0.637 0.4732
River Surges in Sunlight 5329 31.9% 36.29 -1.015 79.83% -0.53 -0.4311
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 12 25.0% 14.92 -2.994 41.67% -0.505 -0.6401
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 528 48.38% 27.3 -0.193 64.2% -0.193 0.283
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 194 34.9% 26.59 1.196 62.89% 0.198 0.1629
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3437 30.29% 34.41 -0.038 81.64% -0.106 -0.3609
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2316 54.86% 27.68 -3.121 69.69% -0.886 -0.365
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 70 35.71% 22.33 -0.394 48.57% 0.087 0.2279
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 55 29.09% 31.8 6.628 78.18% 1.19 0.6111
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 62 53.23% 27.1 4.24 74.19% 0.565 0.9156
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 285 43.51% 28.67 -0.583 77.19% -0.191 -0.2069
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 209 53.85% 26.14 -4.46 71.77% -0.672 -0.4232
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4047 33.1% 32.89 0.411 82.46% 0.184 0.0749
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 117 22.61% 21.25 2.641 56.41% 0.778 0.6166
Shifting Memory of Ages 540 48.51% 21.7 -2.568 58.52% -0.758 -0.4141
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 9 0.0% 19.78 0.199 44.44% -0.232 -0.5416
Shroud of Silent Mist 670 53.51% 23.35 -1.745 64.48% -0.213 0.118
Starlight Seeks its Form 843 28.35% 26.56 -1.745 69.51% -0.253 -0.4277
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1569 37.42% 26.43 1.864 78.08% 0.549 -0.1607
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1917 37.89% 27.16 -1.943 73.14% -0.41 -0.1981
Thunderspeaker 4348 27.72% 38.16 -0.369 85.88% -0.18 -0.201
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 99 34.34% 19.41 -1.961 43.43% -0.705 -0.5069
Towering Roots of the Jungle 30 36.67% 15.77 -2.434 43.33% -0.557 -0.5846
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1120 66.88% 21.2 -4.017 61.43% -0.87 -0.8041
Vital Strength of the Earth 2947 34.84% 26.39 -0.942 63.12% -0.293 0.2409
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 114 28.57% 20.09 -2.791 49.12% -0.586 -0.0187
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 273 42.44% 21.1 -1.516 46.52% -0.186 0.5724
Volcano Looming High 920 43.45% 23.96 -0.92 67.61% -0.031 0.1057
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 137 27.74% 26.46 2.461 70.07% 0.531 0.2201

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 21 14.29% 21.05 2.486 47.62% -0.037 -0.0219
Blitz 0 620 42.65% 22.89 -2.582 60.65% -0.448 -0.1603
Dahan Insurrection 4 717 26.15% 48.68 11.728 77.13% 0.884 0.7072
Despicable Theft 2 127 40.16% 25.72 6.551 50.39% 0.502 1.3633
Elemental Invocation 1 227 44.69% 19.98 -1.183 43.61% -0.363 0.5702
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1520 12.06% 33.73 5.349 81.18% 0.377 -0.2696
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1722 16.86% 49.67 -0.398 88.1% -0.534 0.4114
Rituals of Terror 3 425 45.65% 32.8 0.065 56.71% -0.168 -0.0921
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 343 67.35% 29.08 -2.918 48.1% -1.104 0.0113
Second Wave 0 649 53.34% 27.13 3.187 58.86% -0.811 -0.781
The Great River 3 140 50.0% 22.63 -2.01 34.29% -0.972 0.4532
Varied Terrains 2 70 45.71% 14.0 -3.978 24.29% -1.424 -0.6489
Ward the Shores 2 569 43.13% 25.64 -4.918 37.43% -1.716 -0.6711

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 29104 42.93% 27.04 0.809 73.85% 0.154 0.4144
1 Thematic 3631 41.71% 30.48 1.172 61.91% -0.278 0.1883
2 Archipelago 21 52.38% 32.9 8.61 57.14% 0.265 0.7384
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6850 38.87% 27.71 -2.339 78.03% -0.382 -0.1971
2 Coastline 590 38.95% 26.52 1.482 74.75% 0.464 0.447
2 Fragment 135 48.89% 25.38 -1.61 71.11% -0.118 -0.4347
2 Heart 74 47.22% 26.47 5.423 81.08% 0.371 0.2772
2 Opposite Shores 870 42.05% 28.29 2.933 83.56% 1.249 1.21
2 Thematic 847 43.5% 31.35 -6.056 66.47% -1.379 -1.0925
2 Top to Top 132 36.43% 27.82 -3.831 81.82% -0.256 -0.2994
3 Archipelago 10 40.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 18 50.0% 25.61 1.148 44.44% 0.369 -0.3806
3 Other 72 38.89% 29.01 2.762 87.5% 0.053 -0.41
3 Round (Default) 2225 34.78% 28.59 1.632 81.3% 0.501 0.2812
3 Sunrise 16 12.5% 29.56 -9.408 87.5% -0.459 -0.3832
3 Thematic 162 43.83% 34.81 4.086 69.75% 0.37 0.0779
4 Archipelago 6 33.33% 29.0 -1.641 66.67% -0.319 -0.1264
4 Coastline 4 75.0% 19.75 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 5 20.0% 23.4 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 46 34.78% 28.72 -5.396 86.96% -0.483 -0.7399
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 1572 4.77% 57.02 8.14 97.58% 1.164 1.4166
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1144 32.37% 26.57 -1.683 75.17% -0.401 -0.1865
5 Archipelago 4 75.0% 31.5 -10.18 75.0% -0.275 -0.0015
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 29 31.03% 22.17 -6.196 62.07% -0.758 -1.3233
5 Thematic 10 44.44% 31.6 0.0 70.0%
6 Coastline 2 50.0% 40.5 5.124 100.0% 0.425 -0.3722
6 Other 2 50.0% 24.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 5 20.0% 26.4 0.0 80.0%
6 Thematic 24 16.67% 28.5 -12.063 50.0% -0.649 -0.5477
6 Two Centers (Default) 71 18.31% 22.62 0.427 60.56% 0.124 -0.133
7 Other 1 0.0% 52.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1751 22.39 -1.3 59.22% -0.294 -0.1187
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1449 22.67 2.231 56.52% 0.208 0.1544
All Things Weaken 711 21.26 -1.717 54.57% -0.276 0.0174
Attenuated Essence 60 22.28 -0.429 61.67% 0.26 0.3438
Back Against the Wall 1463 22.53 0.045 56.66% -0.248 -0.2009
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 58 19.24 4.783 46.55% 0.957 1.1602
Burn Brightest Before the End 39 26.0 3.386 66.67% 0.709 0.8972
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1561 19.16 0.121 53.04% 0.251 0.66
Downward Spiral 2369 21.67 0.706 61.46% 0.232 0.3595
Erosion of Will 1649 22.12 -0.452 57.49% -0.258 0.0248
Intensifying Exploitation 63 17.14 0.944 44.44% 0.133 0.3807
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 330 28.08 -2.315 83.64% 0.114 -0.4018
Memory Fades to Dust 2282 21.42 -0.533 57.93% -0.008 0.2287
Power Corrodes the Spirit 712 21.43 0.173 57.44% -0.185 0.0328
Promising Farmlands 1625 19.58 -3.405 51.51% -0.703 -0.4083
Shattered Fragments of Power 39 19.41 0.958 43.59% 0.006 0.2078
Slow Dissolution of Will 58 23.07 -1.245 60.34% 0.166 0.5501
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 211 28.61 1.104 87.68% 0.209 -0.3719
The Border of Life and Death 19 19.95 0.118 52.63% -0.128 -0.6454
Thriving Communities 670 19.96 0.784 53.13% 0.356 0.6949
Thriving Crops 34 18.91 2.114 44.12% 0.471 0.4287
Tipping Point 625 20.24 0.0 53.6%
Unnatural Proliferation 721 22.17 -0.912 55.48% -0.571 -0.4311
Untended Land Crumbles 635 21.11 -1.553 58.58% 0.031 0.4799

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9586 41.14% 27.22 -0.979 75.27% -0.315 0.5468
B 10102 40.5% 27.42 -0.58 76.48% -0.237 0.5795
C 10158 39.45% 27.67 -0.053 76.82% -0.169 0.5103
D 9479 39.09% 27.71 -0.936 76.93% -0.339 0.4651
E 3672 39.48% 26.93 0.418 74.32% -0.094 0.5743
F 5615 39.91% 27.08 -0.992 75.81% -0.37 0.4282
G 5301 40.1% 26.73 0.164 74.72% -0.198 0.6275
H 5181 38.71% 27.28 0.691 76.49% 0.039 0.8115
East 4342 28.08% 41.24 1.681 77.18% -0.008 0.8374
Northeast 3075 22.83% 44.89 2.192 82.05% 0.14 0.9104
Northwest 2592 19.45% 46.85 -0.902 85.19% -0.725 0.0825
Southeast 451 36.0% 29.99 1.239 62.08% 0.303 1.1726
Southwest 475 43.25% 24.73 -3.574 55.58% -0.61 0.672
West 3972 27.73% 40.5 0.374 75.55% -0.263 0.7327

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 155 0.0% 31.27 8.208 82.58% 0.598 1.3934
Not Using Events or Tokens 755 49.52% 27.36 -9.565 73.25% -0.94 -0.552
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2045 3.78% 53.0 5.289 95.79% 0.58 -0.0345
Start of Game Growth 2437 7.73% 49.45 3.372 93.31% 0.233 -0.3488
Unlimited Undo 2663 31.18% 29.24 0.322 78.41% 0.041 0.0846
Using Tokens but Not Events 4655 34.03% 29.02 0.745 79.57% 0.185 0.1267

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7332 15.74 26.62%
II 15373 30.48 70.01%
III 17122 34.79 88.45%
IV 7873 38.41 99.03%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.127 Win Model: 0.133
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 32958 42.84% 27.38 72.29%
2 9399 39.7% 28.17 78.03%
3 2442 35.09% 28.99 81.0%
4 2762 16.64% 43.94 88.16%
5 33 36.36% 24.06 60.61%
6 104 18.27% 24.81 61.54%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1945
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14698
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10103
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7720
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2295
Lose: Invader deck ran out 267
Lose: Adversary condition 2783
Win: Sacrifice victory 192
Lose: Scenario condition 365
Win: Scenario condition 999
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6027
Lose: Spirit destroyed 306

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2355 45.58% 30.42 1.23 70.74% 0.307 0.1634
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 9 33.33% 30.56 2.618 77.78% 0.835 0.1217
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1442 62.77% 27.97 1.272 60.06% 0.197 0.4611
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 29 20.69% 36.55 10.775 75.86% 1.222 0.4134
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1686 48.63% 27.07 1.701 63.94% 0.721 0.5562
Downpour Drenches the World 303 35.64% 21.17 -0.993 46.2% -0.007 0.2667
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 370 30.08% 23.49 1.852 57.57% 0.732 0.3059
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1992 36.83% 34.92 5.599 80.82% 1.339 0.9797
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1669 45.35% 32.8 2.842 78.25% 0.675 0.2308
Finder of Paths Unseen 115 44.35% 12.11 -5.196 19.13% -0.869 -0.1811
Fractured Days Split the Sky 340 50.0% 24.88 -4.972 49.12% -1.147 -0.5578
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 517 58.83% 26.19 -3.173 57.64% -0.737 -0.8011
Heart of the Wildfire 1953 78.08% 23.22 -2.612 51.36% -0.465 -0.1374
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3643 52.87% 29.85 0.835 72.69% 0.491 0.1961
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 63 39.68% 27.89 2.574 58.73% 0.567 0.1962
Lightning's Swift Strike 2026 62.44% 28.3 -1.447 63.62% 0.059 0.3988
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 114 52.63% 23.59 -2.863 54.39% -0.176 -0.6501
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 257 42.97% 32.42 0.398 75.49% -0.06 -0.4205
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 224 44.84% 31.31 -1.706 65.18% -0.353 -0.3463
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1247 52.33% 30.42 0.907 71.77% 0.417 0.1223
Many Minds Move as One 776 38.52% 31.57 0.298 74.87% 0.121 -0.0242
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2544 58.39% 29.75 0.982 67.18% 0.187 0.129
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1661 52.77% 28.23 1.585 65.56% 0.413 0.2487
River Surges in Sunlight 2692 56.22% 30.22 1.187 61.52% -0.051 0.0471
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 9 33.33% 30.11 2.34 66.67% 0.506 0.371
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 320 58.13% 24.88 0.967 47.81% -0.237 0.2386
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 178 50.85% 23.08 -3.66 44.38% -0.655 -0.6901
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1772 52.96% 28.86 1.555 65.86% 0.438 0.1827
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1269 75.51% 24.13 -1.86 47.36% -0.292 0.2291
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 40 62.5% 22.38 2.089 47.5% 0.15 0.2911
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 55 60.0% 24.15 0.668 52.73% 0.14 -0.4386
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 53 39.62% 21.6 -0.314 47.17% -0.244 0.1067
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 202 57.43% 24.27 1.134 51.98% 0.369 0.3526
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 133 69.7% 28.38 1.124 58.65% -0.039 0.2094
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2380 52.03% 29.92 -0.209 68.95% 0.142 0.0323
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 119 39.13% 27.11 2.389 63.03% 0.388 0.2266
Shifting Memory of Ages 424 57.55% 24.41 -1.976 54.72% -0.337 0.0077
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 6 50.0% 25.0 0.651 66.67% 0.432 0.1233
Shroud of Silent Mist 445 73.65% 21.91 -3.072 48.09% -0.334 -0.0028
Starlight Seeks its Form 601 40.41% 28.2 -1.195 65.56% 0.055 -0.1199
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1023 44.97% 27.77 2.042 70.67% 0.76 0.0505
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1300 54.45% 26.76 -3.702 58.92% -0.929 -0.7171
Thunderspeaker 2172 53.93% 30.78 -1.989 68.19% -0.323 -0.3433
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 77 49.35% 15.78 -5.358 31.17% -0.959 -0.761
Towering Roots of the Jungle 25 56.52% 19.48 -2.319 44.0% -0.416 -0.4439
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 776 75.49% 21.61 -5.979 47.16% -1.172 -1.1061
Vital Strength of the Earth 1807 53.97% 24.33 -1.054 46.1% -0.322 0.212
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 99 45.92% 21.92 -1.664 46.46% 0.159 0.7264
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 208 50.0% 20.86 -6.242 33.17% -1.074 -0.3149
Volcano Looming High 663 61.88% 24.8 -3.304 58.82% -0.567 -0.4297
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 109 41.28% 25.0 0.38 55.96% -0.021 -0.3317

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 27 33.33% 17.41 -8.796 25.93% -0.886 -0.8711
Blitz 0 599 50.42% 24.45 -4.214 55.26% -0.836 -0.5478
Dahan Insurrection 4 412 41.26% 48.09 9.009 66.5% 0.259 0.0823
Despicable Theft 2 110 40.91% 25.32 -6.387 43.64% -1.116 -0.2548
Elemental Invocation 1 136 53.68% 19.19 -1.392 34.56% -0.541 0.3923
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1142 23.33% 33.68 2.822 71.98% 0.3 -0.3467
Powers Long Forgotten 1 495 58.99% 26.77 -4.531 47.88% -0.905 0.041
Rituals of Terror 3 252 65.08% 34.25 -0.862 45.24% -0.245 -0.1691
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 214 77.57% 30.58 -1.301 41.12% -0.528 0.5875
Second Wave 0 1546 56.81% 30.08 2.96 60.8% 0.027 0.0573
The Great River 3 91 63.74% 19.85 -0.405 17.58% -0.807 0.6184
Varied Terrains 2 61 47.54% 17.03 8.42 22.95% 0.539 1.3132
Ward the Shores 2 404 46.78% 25.72 -0.119 29.46% -0.789 0.2559

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 18218 54.72% 26.75 -0.292 61.49% -0.196 0.0644
1 Thematic 2856 52.88% 31.09 0.062 54.94% -0.571 -0.1051
2 Archipelago 21 57.14% 36.43 17.928 52.38% 0.811 1.2843
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4415 55.64% 28.05 -0.443 66.39% -0.073 0.1121
2 Coastline 440 53.56% 28.77 5.355 69.55% 1.127 1.11
2 Fragment 151 59.33% 27.21 1.731 63.58% 0.398 0.0814
2 Heart 65 68.75% 26.03 -9.504 58.46% -0.275 -0.3693
2 Opposite Shores 796 56.33% 27.6 -1.419 65.95% -0.552 -0.5915
2 Thematic 1032 51.45% 29.21 1.668 53.2% 0.234 0.5205
2 Top to Top 115 66.09% 29.31 -1.096 74.78% -0.154 -0.1972
3 Archipelago 13 61.54% 33.85 0.0 38.46%
3 Coastline 13 69.23% 21.46 -9.186 30.77% -0.103 -0.8526
3 Other 60 50.0% 32.82 1.524 83.33% 0.136 -0.3271
3 Round (Default) 1560 52.58% 29.87 -0.798 72.24% 0.011 -0.2091
3 Sunrise 14 57.14% 29.07 0.0 78.57%
3 Thematic 153 59.48% 29.9 0.114 53.59% 0.077 -0.2152
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 37.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 32.4 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 29 62.07% 31.79 -4.937 75.86% -0.729 -0.9856
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 208 49.76% 36.99 -12.607 72.12% -0.491 -0.2388
4 Trapezoid (Default) 573 51.41% 30.71 0.564 71.03% -0.33 -0.1156
5 Other 33 62.5% 26.18 -4.454 45.45% -0.491 -1.057
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 29.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Star 5 60.0% 15.4 0.0 20.0%
6 Thematic 37 38.89% 35.35 0.42 59.46% 0.036 0.1371
6 Two Centers (Default) 32 28.13% 27.22 -1.049 59.38% 0.237 -0.0197
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 2 0.0% 25.5 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1500 24.45 -0.416 52.27% -0.408 -0.2323
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1205 24.99 3.561 50.71% 0.378 0.3237
All Things Weaken 650 23.1 -3.556 48.62% -0.941 -0.6481
Attenuated Essence 70 21.83 1.134 48.57% 0.544 0.6274
Back Against the Wall 1173 24.81 0.901 51.75% 0.349 0.3969
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 66 17.83 -2.63 33.33% -0.443 -0.2396
Burn Brightest Before the End 54 22.52 -1.713 44.44% -0.503 -0.3154
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1321 20.68 -2.815 45.8% -0.81 -0.4006
Downward Spiral 1982 23.22 -1.126 54.04% -0.306 -0.1781
Erosion of Will 1448 23.5 0.353 48.55% -0.018 0.2648
Intensifying Exploitation 56 22.95 1.206 53.57% 0.361 0.6087
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 245 30.63 4.353 78.37% 0.66 0.1443
Memory Fades to Dust 2041 22.79 -1.997 49.93% -0.262 -0.0247
Power Corrodes the Spirit 639 22.8 -0.012 50.39% 0.23 0.448
Promising Farmlands 1465 21.37 -0.488 44.37% -0.089 0.2058
Shattered Fragments of Power 64 24.05 -1.336 48.44% -0.378 -0.1769
Slow Dissolution of Will 63 16.54 -3.252 26.98% -0.892 -0.5076
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 142 30.56 0.326 75.35% -0.157 -0.738
The Border of Life and Death 22 24.36 7.841 54.55% 0.899 0.3815
Thriving Communities 652 21.8 -2.252 44.63% -0.732 -0.3929
Thriving Crops 35 16.26 0.394 25.71% -0.153 -0.1956
Tipping Point 530 23.35 0.0 49.43%
Unnatural Proliferation 710 24.42 0.342 49.72% -0.097 0.043
Untended Land Crumbles 627 22.43 -1.336 49.28% -0.114 0.3351

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6138 56.25% 27.43 0.542 63.69% 0.022 0.8842
B 6451 55.23% 28.07 -0.849 66.07% -0.431 0.3859
C 6460 53.82% 28.34 0.062 66.69% -0.14 0.5392
D 6044 55.5% 28.01 -0.596 65.12% -0.169 0.6356
E 2650 52.36% 27.22 0.496 62.72% -0.194 0.4747
F 3659 54.52% 27.44 0.328 64.44% -0.189 0.6089
G 3331 54.23% 27.39 -0.156 63.4% -0.197 0.6284
H 3433 52.41% 27.95 -1.668 65.6% -0.555 0.2178
East 2711 51.61% 31.67 1.232 56.73% -0.211 0.6351
Northeast 1480 52.13% 32.34 0.244 59.12% -0.489 0.2813
Northwest 1224 50.9% 32.11 0.78 60.21% 0.101 0.9086
Southeast 442 44.77% 28.4 -0.818 52.04% -0.651 0.2183
Southwest 426 49.53% 25.3 0.213 49.3% 0.063 1.3443
West 2524 52.96% 30.08 0.35 54.2% -0.435 0.5612

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 112 0.0% 27.27 1.905 58.93% 0.035 0.8308
Not Using Events or Tokens 393 63.35% 26.63 -8.151 59.29% -0.419 -0.0316
Skip Initial Invader Actions 518 17.86% 42.94 6.322 87.07% 0.735 0.1201
Start of Game Growth 717 21.11% 41.68 4.555 86.89% 0.576 -0.006
Unlimited Undo 2304 46.08% 28.38 -1.776 65.41% -0.224 -0.1807
Using Tokens but Not Events 2967 50.66% 28.18 -1.036 65.59% -0.293 -0.3511

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5459 15.74 5.64%
II 8724 30.48 46.39%
III 10748 34.79 83.68%
IV 5944 38.41 99.26%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.003 Win Model: 0.037
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 21246 54.46% 27.28 60.4%
2 6945 55.5% 28.42 65.2%
3 1760 52.86% 29.91 70.91%
4 821 51.66% 32.2 71.25%
5 26 60.0% 25.27 46.15%
6 77 34.21% 30.22 57.14%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 307
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8755
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3749
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5844
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2093
Lose: Invader deck ran out 115
Lose: Adversary condition 2609
Win: Sacrifice victory 110
Lose: Scenario condition 321
Win: Scenario condition 484
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6155
Lose: Spirit destroyed 333

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4388 34.81% 35.34 -1.115 54.26% -0.048 -0.1917
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 43 25.58% 33.33 0.358 53.49% -0.021 -0.7343
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2342 50.6% 30.11 -3.508 39.11% -0.753 -0.4886
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 136 33.09% 38.13 5.736 62.5% 0.992 0.1834
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2675 37.93% 32.84 -0.161 51.07% 0.038 -0.1265
Downpour Drenches the World 592 30.12% 24.9 -6.196 30.24% -1.1 -0.8263
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 789 28.77% 35.16 2.847 62.23% 1.002 0.575
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3448 29.37% 38.32 2.412 60.99% 0.248 -0.1117
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2183 38.31% 33.05 0.265 48.05% -0.13 -0.5741
Finder of Paths Unseen 207 40.58% 21.27 0.245 22.71% -0.333 0.3558
Fractured Days Split the Sky 805 37.31% 33.38 -2.609 44.1% -0.698 -0.1094
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1244 51.45% 34.64 0.456 53.14% -0.028 -0.0921
Heart of the Wildfire 4235 66.2% 32.64 -3.451 54.38% -0.326 0.0013
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6730 42.6% 35.83 1.023 60.33% 0.377 0.0818
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 179 39.89% 39.77 4.22 67.6% 0.644 0.2738
Lightning's Swift Strike 3088 48.24% 35.68 -1.658 58.78% -0.229 0.1114
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 219 39.53% 39.14 3.366 69.86% 0.675 0.2014
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 702 41.14% 41.46 -0.97 71.37% 0.036 -0.3242
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 496 37.1% 37.59 3.514 58.87% 1.318 1.3245
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2621 41.13% 36.78 -0.132 62.84% -0.001 -0.2962
Many Minds Move as One 1277 35.5% 35.59 -2.561 57.09% -0.377 -0.5223
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4924 46.07% 34.33 1.549 51.5% 0.385 0.3264
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2592 38.35% 34.99 -0.412 55.9% -0.25 -0.4137
River Surges in Sunlight 5563 40.34% 37.12 3.945 51.21% 0.183 0.2813
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 30 33.33% 29.53 0.049 53.33% 0.251 0.1156
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 591 46.6% 31.33 0.459 38.92% -0.044 0.4325
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 457 40.76% 36.43 1.932 49.67% 0.051 0.0159
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3741 40.34% 29.59 -1.302 38.97% -0.466 -0.7207
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1744 61.0% 27.94 -4.65 34.46% -0.799 -0.278
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 76 52.63% 29.09 13.194 44.74% 1.245 1.3861
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 157 44.23% 33.5 9.107 55.41% 1.177 0.5989
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 88 47.73% 31.72 2.071 50.0% -0.061 0.2892
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 496 49.8% 33.06 -2.649 47.78% -1.125 -1.1408
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 196 61.73% 29.56 -5.226 39.29% -0.811 -0.5624
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4110 40.54% 37.86 -0.666 64.48% 0.136 0.0264
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 191 35.08% 31.64 -2.169 51.31% -0.166 -0.3276
Shifting Memory of Ages 837 49.1% 27.95 0.072 37.04% 0.089 0.4332
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 46 39.13% 26.41 -1.967 43.48% -0.147 -0.4558
Shroud of Silent Mist 811 60.74% 26.63 -1.63 36.13% -0.124 0.2075
Starlight Seeks its Form 1109 37.45% 28.39 -0.705 37.87% -0.181 -0.3557
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2205 34.39% 31.51 1.741 50.88% 0.61 -0.0994
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2181 39.83% 37.57 2.329 62.45% 0.441 0.6528
Thunderspeaker 3831 43.51% 37.4 0.006 58.42% 0.078 0.057
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 134 48.51% 30.46 4.911 47.01% 0.534 0.7318
Towering Roots of the Jungle 83 39.76% 26.86 -1.849 42.17% -0.242 -0.2702
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1624 67.51% 26.94 -1.385 39.66% -0.107 -0.0406
Vital Strength of the Earth 2784 37.5% 26.11 -4.669 27.51% -0.455 0.0791
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 188 37.43% 29.06 -1.998 39.89% -0.352 0.2149
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 286 34.74% 25.83 -3.211 31.12% -0.828 -0.0698
Volcano Looming High 1332 47.9% 33.23 -0.596 56.68% 0.143 0.2802
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 425 40.94% 30.35 -0.875 43.53% -0.422 -0.7329

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 47 36.17% 26.89 -8.922 27.66% -0.655 -0.6399
Blitz 0 675 32.49% 21.14 -5.248 18.67% -1.013 -0.7252
Dahan Insurrection 4 1150 22.87% 54.28 11.387 61.74% 0.813 0.6365
Despicable Theft 2 132 53.79% 30.98 -14.553 33.33% -0.396 0.4648
Elemental Invocation 1 156 49.36% 27.09 -6.742 32.69% -0.607 0.3258
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1582 18.26% 40.22 1.138 65.61% 0.252 -0.3944
Powers Long Forgotten 1 404 50.5% 33.19 -5.372 40.84% -0.842 0.1042
Rituals of Terror 3 216 48.15% 42.02 18.22 46.76% 0.717 0.7931
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 100 66.67% 34.62 -1.056 33.0% -0.078 1.0374
Second Wave 0 900 42.49% 32.72 0.719 39.67% 0.073 0.1031
The Great River 3 67 16.42% 21.7 -3.496 5.97% -0.649 0.7763
Varied Terrains 2 46 52.17% 26.0 3.463 28.26% 0.418 1.1928
Ward the Shores 2 455 43.3% 35.03 -10.171 34.51% -1.098 -0.0538

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 33273 44.57% 32.33 -0.797 49.42% 0.148 0.4077
1 Thematic 1466 38.13% 33.86 4.047 36.29% 0.244 0.7095
2 Archipelago 23 69.57% 31.65 -3.346 34.78% -0.155 0.3182
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8305 46.23% 33.49 0.184 53.99% 0.442 0.627
2 Coastline 850 45.27% 33.05 -3.715 51.65% -0.599 -0.616
2 Fragment 209 59.33% 29.58 -0.403 44.5% 0.093 -0.2236
2 Heart 82 59.76% 28.63 -3.503 40.24% -0.495 -0.589
2 Opposite Shores 1785 48.68% 32.98 3.304 50.76% 0.897 0.8574
2 Thematic 775 38.63% 30.59 -2.9 28.13% -1.232 -0.9449
2 Top to Top 230 56.09% 35.1 3.894 58.26% 0.784 0.7407
3 Archipelago 9 66.67% 37.22 0.0 44.44%
3 Coastline 14 21.43% 31.5 3.001 50.0% 0.797 0.0468
3 Other 105 38.1% 31.41 0.269 50.48% 0.641 0.1781
3 Round (Default) 3534 42.04% 35.0 1.259 56.14% 0.26 0.0399
3 Sunrise 10 30.0% 43.2 8.434 80.0% 0.371 0.4461
3 Thematic 138 37.68% 38.46 14.668 40.58% 0.453 0.1608
4 Archipelago 5 40.0% 54.0 6.503 60.0% 0.182 0.3754
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 17.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 21 71.43% 39.19 0.0 66.67%
4 Other 59 40.68% 40.75 -7.622 74.58% -0.363 -0.6195
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 24.5 -13.273 50.0% -0.236 0.0106
4 Thematic 677 15.66% 50.27 2.128 67.95% -0.151 0.1014
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1484 41.59% 36.71 1.783 59.77% 0.164 0.3782
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 31.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 64 59.38% 32.28 -3.239 42.19% -0.631 -1.1968
5 Thematic 13 15.38% 43.77 0.0 38.46%
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 32.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 6 16.67% 49.33 12.36 83.33% 0.636 1.0624
6 Star 5 40.0% 45.4 0.0 60.0%
6 Thematic 176 19.65% 30.02 -0.732 35.23% 0.219 0.3203
6 Two Centers (Default) 46 34.78% 34.04 -11.28 54.35% -1.257 -1.5141
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2035 30.69 2.695 48.65% 0.433 0.6085
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1755 32.39 1.665 50.43% 0.179 0.1248
All Things Weaken 995 29.91 -3.601 45.43% -0.917 -0.6234
Attenuated Essence 118 28.34 -0.465 40.68% -0.136 -0.0528
Back Against the Wall 1670 31.64 4.611 48.56% 1.045 1.0926
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 103 29.83 2.202 36.89% -0.165 0.038
Burn Brightest Before the End 104 29.25 0.586 36.54% -0.062 0.1254
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1991 27.28 -0.496 43.09% -0.005 0.4035
Downward Spiral 2381 29.62 -1.97 47.63% -0.121 0.0071
Erosion of Will 1974 29.29 -1.705 44.28% -0.225 0.0583
Intensifying Exploitation 139 28.38 -0.291 43.17% -0.153 0.0943
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 517 33.13 2.036 54.55% 0.539 0.0233
Memory Fades to Dust 2500 29.12 -0.156 44.6% 0.066 0.3028
Power Corrodes the Spirit 940 29.5 1.335 45.74% 0.349 0.5671
Promising Farmlands 2048 26.34 0.237 35.5% 0.086 0.381
Shattered Fragments of Power 96 28.45 -0.476 39.58% -0.208 -0.0071
Slow Dissolution of Will 111 31.42 3.534 45.95% 0.683 1.0674
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 272 33.43 -4.017 57.35% -0.536 -1.1166
The Border of Life and Death 46 32.59 4.394 56.52% 0.671 0.1533
Thriving Communities 962 28.95 -1.207 46.05% 0.14 0.4793
Thriving Crops 79 25.13 -4.681 32.91% -0.778 -0.8208
Tipping Point 791 27.05 0.0 39.19%
Unnatural Proliferation 923 30.63 0.378 44.96% 0.117 0.2577
Untended Land Crumbles 974 28.07 0.617 42.81% 0.119 0.5679

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11737 46.03% 32.97 0.56 50.97% 0.019 0.8805
B 12640 44.84% 33.64 0.859 53.43% 0.202 1.0189
C 13189 43.58% 33.65 0.382 52.95% 0.037 0.7157
D 11489 46.4% 32.76 -0.202 50.62% -0.046 0.7587
E 5594 43.04% 34.29 1.133 55.06% 0.156 0.8243
F 6892 44.09% 33.45 -0.181 52.54% -0.089 0.7094
G 6372 44.5% 33.28 -0.276 52.21% -0.147 0.6783
H 6481 44.16% 33.68 -0.126 53.17% -0.115 0.6581
East 2370 30.98% 38.29 0.015 43.97% -0.196 0.6498
Northeast 1593 29.33% 40.06 1.038 47.9% 0.838 1.6083
Northwest 1405 27.46% 40.18 -0.976 48.97% -0.362 0.445
Southeast 420 25.42% 33.65 -0.885 39.05% -0.347 0.5222
Southwest 416 27.12% 31.66 -2.791 37.5% -0.605 0.6765
West 2279 29.57% 37.34 -0.966 42.56% -0.327 0.6689

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 94 0.0% 38.16 9.273 62.77% 0.488 1.2833
Not Using Events or Tokens 289 37.86% 26.71 -8.455 26.99% -0.456 -0.068
Skip Initial Invader Actions 568 15.07% 50.78 6.467 78.52% 0.992 0.3779
Start of Game Growth 1144 20.42% 47.33 2.281 72.73% 0.457 -0.1241
Unlimited Undo 3655 38.68% 35.5 0.875 56.96% 0.131 0.1753
Using Tokens but Not Events 3459 38.41% 32.95 -1.719 50.25% -0.722 -0.7798

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 13910 15.74 3.46%
II 20244 30.48 44.06%
III 13867 34.79 87.99%
IV 5392 38.41 99.33%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.36 Win Model: 0.03
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 34931 44.33% 32.36 48.76%
2 12183 46.59% 33.21 51.76%
3 3761 41.36% 35.09 55.73%
4 2246 34.12% 41.03 62.69%
5 85 31.76% 19.82 22.35%
6 207 26.47% 35.66 47.34%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 480
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11871
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8109
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5324
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2196
Lose: Invader deck ran out 40
Lose: Adversary condition 18270
Win: Sacrifice victory 116
Lose: Scenario condition 402
Win: Scenario condition 1059
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5197
Lose: Spirit destroyed 349

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3644 44.33% 38.82 0.864 49.12% 0.132 -0.0113
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 35 34.29% 32.57 -0.437 45.71% 0.143 -0.5699
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1886 61.32% 32.08 -5.934 31.76% -0.886 -0.6219
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 148 50.68% 37.59 0.655 47.97% -0.027 -0.8361
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2236 49.01% 37.96 1.562 48.88% 0.296 0.1312
Downpour Drenches the World 494 39.55% 29.09 -3.578 28.95% -0.758 -0.4844
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 752 38.56% 40.02 3.836 57.58% 0.642 0.2156
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2958 43.6% 42.02 1.036 56.25% 0.031 -0.3286
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1869 49.01% 36.88 -1.671 43.39% -0.142 -0.5864
Finder of Paths Unseen 227 47.32% 24.72 -6.191 23.79% -1.171 -0.4821
Fractured Days Split the Sky 727 50.34% 39.36 -3.746 42.64% -0.317 0.2721
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1096 60.68% 41.07 5.284 56.2% 0.959 0.8949
Heart of the Wildfire 3221 79.0% 32.82 -0.445 41.48% 0.195 0.5227
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9641 52.81% 41.04 3.184 55.04% 0.682 0.3872
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 202 46.04% 37.95 10.097 57.43% 1.911 1.5407
Lightning's Swift Strike 2704 59.24% 38.26 1.037 49.52% 0.337 0.6775
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 309 61.26% 40.99 0.315 58.25% -0.072 -0.5463
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 686 50.8% 46.56 4.454 67.35% 0.98 0.6197
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 477 49.9% 41.15 0.163 54.72% 0.447 0.4538
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2345 59.21% 38.75 -2.295 52.45% -0.21 -0.5049
Many Minds Move as One 1037 40.93% 40.22 2.851 53.81% 0.466 0.3208
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4524 55.25% 38.05 -0.71 48.28% 0.09 0.0313
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2547 51.83% 37.12 -0.768 47.62% 0.014 -0.1499
River Surges in Sunlight 4594 51.65% 39.25 2.25 45.3% 0.388 0.487
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 33 45.45% 24.06 -4.218 24.24% -0.694 -0.8292
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 506 52.28% 32.42 -3.491 31.82% -0.357 0.1191
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 406 51.36% 39.35 -2.515 49.01% -0.485 -0.5197
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3465 49.83% 34.79 0.036 38.93% 0.09 -0.1647
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1368 72.01% 31.45 -0.5 30.26% 0.088 0.6099
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 81 65.43% 20.73 0.0 18.52%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 163 68.32% 34.93 1.989 47.24% 0.388 -0.1906
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 101 63.37% 30.59 -3.244 36.63% -0.767 -0.4168
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 366 66.12% 35.08 -1.014 39.89% -0.025 -0.0405
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 162 68.32% 29.93 -0.339 28.4% 0.22 0.4687
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4280 51.13% 42.32 -2.675 59.02% 0.124 0.0141
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 215 38.14% 30.2 -1.872 43.72% -0.157 -0.3189
Shifting Memory of Ages 738 65.18% 31.76 -0.417 34.28% -0.243 0.101
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 36 58.33% 31.17 -0.365 41.67% 0.255 -0.0544
Shroud of Silent Mist 709 64.6% 27.22 -3.968 25.39% -0.754 -0.423
Starlight Seeks its Form 1177 48.34% 33.67 -0.132 40.27% -0.053 -0.228
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2200 49.36% 36.48 2.714 48.23% 0.516 -0.1938
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1722 55.18% 40.14 0.324 53.77% -0.093 0.1183
Thunderspeaker 3532 56.35% 40.38 1.63 50.82% 0.221 0.2001
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 102 53.92% 32.55 -6.547 44.12% -1.016 -0.8177
Towering Roots of the Jungle 65 49.23% 29.92 -1.144 35.38% -0.268 -0.296
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1594 78.25% 31.73 -1.104 37.52% -0.251 -0.1846
Vital Strength of the Earth 2211 50.41% 30.81 -4.208 27.5% -0.986 -0.4516
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 210 42.72% 31.14 -0.377 34.29% -0.085 0.4822
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 228 46.93% 29.08 1.632 22.81% -0.181 0.5779
Volcano Looming High 1444 64.4% 36.05 0.776 49.72% 0.37 0.5071
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 319 51.1% 35.49 0.792 43.89% 0.108 -0.2035

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 11 81.82% 45.64 6.545 72.73% 0.228 0.2431
Blitz 0 479 28.87% 33.65 3.809 28.39% -1.077 -0.789
Dahan Insurrection 4 542 41.7% 52.01 5.958 43.54% 0.257 0.0801
Despicable Theft 2 41 46.34% 36.71 -16.955 39.02% -0.418 0.4431
Elemental Invocation 1 78 57.69% 32.53 15.513 30.77% 0.28 1.2128
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1542 21.65% 49.96 5.525 71.73% 0.789 0.1423
Powers Long Forgotten 1 220 59.55% 35.95 4.998 36.82% 0.04 0.986
Rituals of Terror 3 169 61.08% 38.69 -5.312 30.18% -0.503 -0.4264
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 107 71.03% 33.12 4.84 21.5% -0.122 0.9934
Second Wave 0 577 49.21% 34.79 -1.065 32.58% -0.456 -0.4252
The Great River 3 58 46.55% 27.0 -7.632 12.07% -0.72 0.705
Varied Terrains 2 37 40.54% 24.89 -5.642 10.81% -0.665 0.1097
Ward the Shores 2 228 57.89% 32.26 2.028 19.3% 0.325 1.369

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 34105 54.95% 36.29 -0.645 44.77% 0.407 0.6674
1 Thematic 1231 42.6% 33.53 -2.393 23.31% -0.786 -0.3197
2 Archipelago 11 63.64% 40.0 0.0 63.64%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7368 58.7% 37.43 0.206 48.57% 0.236 0.4216
2 Coastline 747 58.79% 38.83 1.88 52.34% 0.307 0.2907
2 Fragment 182 63.19% 37.52 2.059 50.55% 0.529 0.2122
2 Heart 68 72.06% 41.96 -6.977 58.82% -0.441 -0.5349
2 Opposite Shores 1600 54.16% 36.54 1.112 47.06% 0.628 0.5887
2 Thematic 448 37.72% 29.62 -1.89 14.51% -0.538 -0.2512
2 Top to Top 195 60.31% 38.66 12.105 51.79% 1.44 1.396
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 25 32.0% 36.68 0.0 40.0%
3 Other 113 49.56% 46.09 -1.349 69.91% -0.487 -0.9503
3 Round (Default) 3329 54.67% 41.07 0.923 56.2% 0.277 0.0574
3 Sunrise 16 56.25% 46.75 -10.407 68.75% -0.551 -0.4754
3 Thematic 152 29.61% 30.37 -1.005 15.13% -0.079 -0.371
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 36.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Coastline 7 85.71% 28.0 -1.367 28.57% -0.131 -0.491
4 Leaf 13 61.54% 35.0 0.0 38.46%
4 Other 64 60.94% 37.28 0.697 46.88% 0.088 -0.1682
4 Thematic 335 36.64% 38.39 -5.535 30.15% -0.059 0.1939
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1361 51.82% 42.26 -1.183 58.05% -0.748 -0.5332
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 43.33 0.0 33.33%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -8.542 0.0% -0.114 -0.2185
5 Other 49 61.7% 44.57 2.158 61.22% 0.518 -0.0474
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 79.33 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 29.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 41 39.02% 50.71 -2.305 70.73% -0.458 -0.0323
6 Star 14 35.71% 42.21 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 54 25.49% 32.31 0.084 18.52% -0.035 0.0669
6 Two Centers (Default) 66 48.48% 41.08 5.006 56.06% 0.247 -0.0096
7 Other 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2480 35.87 1.76 45.4% 0.186 0.3619
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2135 37.88 0.539 48.62% 0.282 0.2283
All Things Weaken 1245 36.28 4.509 46.99% 0.933 1.226
Attenuated Essence 145 32.5 -1.273 42.76% -0.196 -0.112
Back Against the Wall 2049 36.79 -2.323 45.97% -0.526 -0.4785
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 175 33.5 0.645 46.86% 0.056 0.2598
Burn Brightest Before the End 109 35.62 1.331 42.2% 0.101 0.2884
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2308 32.03 -0.943 39.04% -0.227 0.1821
Downward Spiral 2861 34.63 0.675 44.43% 0.3 0.4272
Erosion of Will 2464 34.44 -0.511 41.19% -0.315 -0.0322
Intensifying Exploitation 135 31.76 -1.235 38.52% -0.216 0.0321
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 522 40.08 4.611 54.79% 0.832 0.3167
Memory Fades to Dust 2774 34.6 2.386 42.86% 0.386 0.6229
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1154 35.3 1.303 45.75% 0.067 0.2848
Promising Farmlands 2380 31.61 3.436 34.41% 0.583 0.8774
Shattered Fragments of Power 131 33.02 1.845 38.93% 0.146 0.3476
Slow Dissolution of Will 144 30.72 3.558 36.11% 0.493 0.877
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 321 42.14 0.368 60.12% -0.108 -0.6887
The Border of Life and Death 53 29.34 -0.649 37.74% -0.117 -0.6344
Thriving Communities 1224 35.89 2.789 47.79% 0.658 0.9967
Thriving Crops 88 21.68 -4.995 14.77% -1.324 -1.3668
Tipping Point 917 33.01 0.0 37.73%
Unnatural Proliferation 1226 36.7 2.135 45.35% 0.477 0.6178
Untended Land Crumbles 1194 34.02 4.833 42.04% 1.005 1.4536

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11337 57.17% 37.2 -1.636 47.38% -0.154 0.7075
B 11922 55.5% 37.72 -0.57 48.5% 0.057 0.8739
C 12236 54.35% 38.35 1.254 49.67% 0.263 0.9424
D 10968 55.88% 37.78 -0.214 48.45% 0.073 0.878
E 5543 55.22% 39.17 0.443 52.14% 0.178 0.8461
F 6961 54.56% 38.13 1.79 49.27% 0.32 1.1187
G 6454 56.61% 36.67 0.534 45.85% -0.002 0.8241
H 6361 53.96% 38.67 0.789 50.57% 0.097 0.8702
East 1566 38.59% 34.19 0.011 22.48% -0.387 0.459
Northeast 963 37.72% 35.76 -1.153 24.82% -0.826 -0.0555
Northwest 789 37.63% 33.9 -3.302 22.94% -0.653 0.1539
Southeast 254 39.84% 31.35 -1.154 21.26% -0.2 0.6694
Southwest 237 38.46% 29.02 -2.925 18.57% -0.084 1.1975
West 1404 37.03% 32.38 -1.156 19.87% -0.388 0.6083

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 87 0.0% 46.17 8.194 65.52% 0.524 1.3195
Not Using Events or Tokens 281 48.73% 30.09 0.0 24.2%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 861 13.19% 55.95 4.837 73.87% -0.181 -0.7954
Start of Game Growth 1207 17.63% 52.54 5.978 70.34% 1.538 0.9568
Unlimited Undo 4335 47.31% 38.8 0.777 49.87% 0.032 0.0756
Using Tokens but Not Events 2809 47.91% 36.84 0.05 46.46% -0.098 -0.1559

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 18186 15.74 2.48%
II 15795 30.48 44.11%
III 12197 34.79 88.61%
IV 5446 38.41 99.28%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.338 Win Model: 0.096
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 35448 54.55% 36.2 44.02%
2 10560 57.26% 37.13 47.4%
3 3621 53.21% 40.81 55.01%
4 1788 49.63% 41.28 52.01%
5 33 46.88% 40.45 57.58%
6 174 38.01% 40.84 47.13%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 451
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10577
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6711
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5370
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2313
Lose: Invader deck ran out 129
Lose: Adversary condition 17668
Win: Sacrifice victory 119
Lose: Scenario condition 370
Win: Scenario condition 405
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7046
Lose: Spirit destroyed 465

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2882 40.96% 44.06 2.614 52.53% 0.317 0.1731
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 20 45.0% 48.7 6.634 65.0% 1.024 0.3112
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1301 58.67% 35.24 -6.106 31.74% -0.604 -0.3406
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 131 43.51% 34.52 4.602 45.8% 0.669 -0.1396
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2273 42.1% 46.31 1.959 60.36% 0.025 -0.1399
Downpour Drenches the World 437 34.78% 26.43 -2.265 24.49% -0.573 -0.3001
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 708 31.5% 34.62 4.48 45.48% 0.991 0.5646
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1854 43.41% 44.3 1.527 52.7% 0.194 -0.1662
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1844 40.72% 47.08 1.806 59.71% 0.411 -0.0331
Finder of Paths Unseen 138 51.45% 31.76 -0.274 32.61% 0.191 0.8795
Fractured Days Split the Sky 645 44.03% 39.78 4.594 43.1% 0.583 1.1721
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 712 56.6% 40.91 0.894 47.89% 0.064 -0.0003
Heart of the Wildfire 2666 75.39% 37.36 -4.924 42.61% -0.497 -0.1689
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5701 47.13% 44.39 2.905 55.81% 0.66 0.365
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 147 40.14% 33.61 1.015 42.86% 0.196 -0.1744
Lightning's Swift Strike 1712 58.02% 42.39 -4.257 50.06% -0.763 -0.4229
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 209 54.73% 48.68 7.538 63.16% 1.254 0.78
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 444 50.0% 50.27 -2.034 66.22% -0.324 -0.6843
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 297 40.07% 44.51 3.167 58.59% 0.687 0.6939
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1708 56.82% 43.31 1.606 53.75% 0.23 -0.0653
Many Minds Move as One 694 41.07% 41.48 1.912 51.59% 0.065 -0.08
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4101 50.99% 43.34 -0.383 52.5% 0.049 -0.0095
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1592 50.44% 42.94 3.758 53.08% 0.619 0.4548
River Surges in Sunlight 3320 49.7% 44.5 -1.988 49.94% -0.526 -0.4277
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 16 43.75% 21.88 -5.951 25.0% -0.622 -0.7574
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 366 49.45% 41.15 -6.283 44.54% -1.043 -0.5666
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 361 57.78% 38.83 5.194 39.34% 0.379 0.3445
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2274 46.41% 38.71 -1.303 40.19% -0.115 -0.3702
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 852 65.38% 36.19 -3.446 34.51% -0.698 -0.1769
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 37 67.57% 38.0 -6.275 40.54% -0.039 0.1022
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 112 40.18% 26.63 -3.295 29.46% -0.592 -1.1707
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 77 59.74% 29.77 -12.989 22.08% -0.128 0.2219
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 251 67.2% 35.0 -3.217 32.67% -0.624 -0.64
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 122 70.49% 33.14 -3.145 29.51% 0.13 0.3793
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3137 46.01% 47.81 0.683 62.77% 0.19 0.0805
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 310 23.87% 27.95 -3.959 38.06% 0.097 -0.0647
Shifting Memory of Ages 513 58.67% 35.03 -3.627 34.31% -0.632 -0.2876
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 13 30.77% 49.62 6.103 61.54% 0.717 0.408
Shroud of Silent Mist 827 66.95% 38.43 -1.696 43.89% 0.174 0.5056
Starlight Seeks its Form 891 44.22% 37.39 -0.899 39.96% 0.113 -0.0613
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1478 46.07% 38.06 -2.608 44.65% -0.063 -0.7725
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1346 53.36% 45.0 2.149 56.46% 0.115 0.327
Thunderspeaker 2374 56.01% 43.86 0.399 51.47% 0.481 0.4606
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 119 50.42% 27.48 -4.126 32.77% -0.68 -0.4825
Towering Roots of the Jungle 70 42.86% 25.79 -3.439 25.71% -0.555 -0.5828
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 946 74.26% 34.58 -1.93 37.1% -0.253 -0.1868
Vital Strength of the Earth 1291 48.6% 35.79 -3.022 31.45% -0.408 0.1262
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 142 37.23% 37.99 -4.146 39.44% -0.318 0.2491
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 119 47.9% 30.4 -4.588 22.69% -0.257 0.5019
Volcano Looming High 1044 61.78% 39.13 -1.944 47.8% -0.304 -0.1668
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 311 41.16% 31.89 -0.941 34.41% -0.34 -0.651

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 44.44% 29.33 9.715 33.33% 0.368 0.3831
Blitz 0 192 28.13% 27.94 -3.606 20.31% -0.453 -0.1651
Dahan Insurrection 4 392 41.07% 56.39 12.688 43.37% -0.052 -0.229
Despicable Theft 2 27 33.33% 26.67 -10.903 18.52% -0.213 0.648
Elemental Invocation 1 71 49.3% 28.89 -7.973 16.9% -0.485 0.4476
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1269 18.47% 52.43 9.438 67.53% 1.174 0.5273
Powers Long Forgotten 1 135 59.26% 35.76 -14.056 28.15% -0.547 0.3991
Rituals of Terror 3 96 48.96% 42.98 -0.516 29.17% -0.248 -0.1716
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 191 70.16% 35.58 -1.393 16.23% -0.867 0.2483
Second Wave 0 325 51.56% 40.48 1.726 38.77% 0.247 0.2772
The Great River 3 19 26.32% 25.58 0.0 5.26%
Varied Terrains 2 18 50.0% 29.06 4.526 27.78% 0.525 1.3
Ward the Shores 2 201 56.22% 31.6 -4.902 13.93% -1.031 0.0137

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 22005 51.77% 40.47 -0.879 47.02% -0.261 -0.001
1 Thematic 998 38.68% 35.87 2.029 21.64% -0.404 0.0622
2 Archipelago 7 42.86% 18.71 -2.436 14.29% -0.217 0.2567
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5238 56.25% 41.75 1.084 50.15% 0.319 0.5042
2 Coastline 476 54.85% 42.13 -4.215 50.63% -0.571 -0.5876
2 Fragment 100 65.0% 36.92 -10.865 40.0% -0.524 -0.84
2 Heart 60 61.67% 35.03 0.243 36.67% 0.286 0.1914
2 Opposite Shores 1038 54.43% 40.42 2.05 46.24% 0.428 0.3882
2 Thematic 327 37.0% 33.4 -1.742 16.51% -0.376 -0.0896
2 Top to Top 306 52.94% 44.57 -4.836 56.86% -0.38 -0.4235
3 Archipelago 7 71.43% 54.71 0.0 71.43%
3 Coastline 17 41.18% 41.47 0.0 47.06%
3 Other 68 45.59% 51.51 10.655 73.53% 0.578 0.1155
3 Round (Default) 2902 46.47% 42.56 2.701 54.14% 0.971 0.7515
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 35.29 0.0 42.86%
3 Thematic 61 40.98% 34.36 0.0 16.39%
4 Archipelago 22 77.27% 42.36 12.98 45.45% 0.768 0.9612
4 Coastline 9 11.11% 66.78 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 18 38.89% 54.39 0.0 83.33%
4 Other 47 53.19% 53.11 0.0 76.6%
4 Snake 5 100.0% 28.0 0.0 20.0%
4 Thematic 256 38.67% 44.0 -7.694 37.11% -0.59 -0.3375
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1358 47.36% 48.83 5.188 63.25% 1.494 1.7086
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 40.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 49 53.06% 34.35 -7.092 44.9% -0.243 -0.8087
5 Thematic 7 28.57% 42.14 17.906 14.29% 0.429 0.0083
6 Archipelago 4 50.0% 48.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 30 31.03% 16.03 -14.447 20.0% -1.275 -0.8491
6 Star 11 27.27% 55.09 0.0 72.73%
6 Thematic 14 7.14% 28.14 0.0 7.14%
6 Two Centers (Default) 35 45.71% 38.69 -13.05 48.57% -0.651 -0.9078
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1619 40.27 4.101 48.55% 0.764 0.9391
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1247 42.46 1.166 51.16% 0.163 0.1087
All Things Weaken 729 40.82 0.494 49.52% -0.053 0.2405
Attenuated Essence 94 37.72 6.776 47.87% 0.999 1.0831
Back Against the Wall 1287 41.87 3.095 49.18% 0.535 0.5822
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 97 36.85 -0.513 46.39% -0.21 -0.0061
Burn Brightest Before the End 76 38.93 -3.398 43.42% -0.978 -0.7904
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1619 35.96 0.576 41.32% 0.152 0.5606
Downward Spiral 1762 38.65 1.555 46.08% 0.21 0.3373
Erosion of Will 1558 38.22 0.813 42.55% -0.038 0.2453
Intensifying Exploitation 128 33.75 1.462 41.41% 0.603 0.8511
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 374 41.33 3.611 49.47% 0.505 -0.0108
Memory Fades to Dust 1848 38.19 3.438 43.89% 0.406 0.6431
Power Corrodes the Spirit 708 38.61 0.425 45.48% 0.005 0.2225
Promising Farmlands 1705 34.07 2.043 33.72% 0.227 0.5222
Shattered Fragments of Power 69 39.93 5.899 44.93% 0.509 0.7108
Slow Dissolution of Will 94 32.0 2.857 35.11% 0.49 0.8743
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 199 44.66 8.67 56.78% 0.776 0.1952
The Border of Life and Death 18 37.39 0.41 50.0% 0.4 -0.1173
Thriving Communities 735 40.16 5.943 50.07% 0.803 1.1418
Thriving Crops 58 31.81 0.002 27.59% -0.048 -0.0905
Tipping Point 646 36.91 0.0 40.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 765 40.52 2.776 47.84% 0.413 0.5532
Untended Land Crumbles 757 37.53 4.919 43.06% 0.884 1.333

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7905 52.86% 40.91 0.779 47.88% -0.039 0.8224
B 8281 52.41% 41.89 -0.942 50.48% -0.14 0.6766
C 10518 47.56% 44.99 -0.731 56.98% -0.17 0.5089
D 7794 52.45% 41.17 -0.784 48.91% -0.07 0.7342
E 4252 54.98% 41.63 1.144 50.73% 0.115 0.7841
F 4731 52.47% 41.11 1.755 49.57% 0.173 0.9712
G 4246 52.57% 40.36 -0.889 47.74% -0.287 0.5385
H 4404 49.26% 41.41 -1.564 49.7% -0.492 0.2804
East 1020 37.45% 38.96 -1.202 26.08% -0.317 0.5285
Northeast 655 38.93% 40.48 2.092 28.85% 0.369 1.1398
Northwest 618 44.34% 36.78 -7.615 23.46% -0.7 0.1075
Southeast 136 33.09% 39.25 4.97 33.82% 0.592 1.4614
Southwest 114 23.68% 32.84 -3.817 23.68% -0.622 0.6595
West 1065 36.62% 35.15 0.095 19.72% -0.694 0.3015

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 57 0.0% 49.21 3.942 59.65% 0.155 0.9505
Not Using Events or Tokens 139 53.62% 32.73 0.0 23.02%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 420 20.0% 60.63 12.647 76.43% 1.246 0.631
Start of Game Growth 660 24.56% 56.01 7.696 72.42% 0.835 0.2533
Unlimited Undo 3122 51.47% 41.81 1.056 50.86% 0.33 0.3737
Using Tokens but Not Events 1639 45.17% 41.9 1.041 49.6% -0.087 -0.1447

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 12194 15.74 2.5%
II 10602 30.48 45.59%
III 10284 34.79 91.31%
IV 2412 38.41 99.75%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.147 Win Model: -0.332
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 23052 51.21% 40.26 45.9%
2 7529 55.08% 41.28 48.36%
3 3053 46.5% 42.59 53.75%
4 1721 46.25% 48.21 59.67%
5 40 52.5% 26.7 25.0%
6 97 32.29% 31.23 35.05%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 303
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9233
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4644
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2389
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1604
Lose: Invader deck ran out 21
Lose: Adversary condition 12230
Win: Sacrifice victory 72
Lose: Scenario condition 282
Win: Scenario condition 293
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4109
Lose: Spirit destroyed 312

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1798 46.51% 53.08 -6.372 63.85% -0.626 -0.7698
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 8 75.0% 57.38 6.301 87.5% 0.948 0.2354
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 694 62.23% 40.34 -10.639 36.17% -1.229 -0.9651
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 127 48.03% 48.87 -1.466 59.06% -0.303 -1.1119
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 984 48.93% 49.59 -1.33 58.94% -0.093 -0.2574
Downpour Drenches the World 203 53.69% 35.72 -8.055 30.05% -1.322 -1.0487
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 414 33.82% 50.45 9.408 65.46% 1.834 1.4077
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1618 41.97% 52.69 2.974 62.86% 0.531 0.1717
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 559 46.92% 44.14 -0.464 44.54% -0.025 -0.469
Finder of Paths Unseen 61 31.15% 28.28 0.392 32.79% 0.273 0.9613
Fractured Days Split the Sky 366 50.82% 44.25 -6.177 40.44% -0.689 -0.0996
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 415 64.34% 50.95 -0.307 59.76% 0.024 -0.0404
Heart of the Wildfire 1251 86.48% 40.21 -12.396 41.65% -1.6 -1.2723
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3669 55.37% 54.28 0.679 67.4% 0.028 -0.2672
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 249 45.38% 57.96 4.321 77.51% 0.67 0.2998
Lightning's Swift Strike 1125 48.02% 53.63 -0.905 61.33% 0.038 0.3778
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 184 48.91% 63.22 10.811 72.83% 0.163 -0.311
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 399 43.86% 59.57 4.378 75.94% 0.431 0.0705
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 231 41.56% 53.32 0.568 66.23% -0.2 -0.1932
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1157 55.29% 50.68 -0.106 62.32% -0.027 -0.3218
Many Minds Move as One 384 43.75% 51.61 -6.72 61.2% -1.104 -1.2498
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2011 55.51% 50.79 0.912 58.93% 0.074 0.0162
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1101 50.0% 50.53 6.849 61.4% 1.439 1.2751
River Surges in Sunlight 1847 54.11% 52.88 4.662 59.88% 0.57 0.669
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 15 66.67% 41.73 -0.931 46.67% -0.17 -0.3049
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 283 61.48% 51.06 2.281 58.66% 0.189 0.665
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 318 53.14% 54.19 0.031 60.06% -0.369 -0.4038
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1470 47.55% 46.18 -1.07 47.89% -0.121 -0.3763
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 416 66.59% 40.35 -11.358 34.38% -0.913 -0.3918
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 21 60.0% 33.81 0.0 23.81%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 83 74.7% 51.93 -0.209 67.47% -0.038 -0.6169
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 66 46.97% 50.85 -9.797 68.18% -0.417 -0.0663
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 174 55.75% 48.91 -4.568 56.32% -0.339 -0.3554
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 73 69.86% 32.26 0.0 23.29%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1905 44.41% 55.75 5.027 69.61% 0.872 0.7624
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 111 34.23% 54.3 7.692 70.27% 0.726 0.5638
Shifting Memory of Ages 298 46.98% 38.85 0.67 40.27% -0.135 0.2097
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 12 58.33% 43.83 1.824 58.33% 0.669 0.3596
Shroud of Silent Mist 221 65.75% 38.56 -4.019 36.65% -0.225 0.1066
Starlight Seeks its Form 485 55.05% 45.16 -3.913 49.48% -0.755 -0.9291
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1900 42.89% 52.87 1.572 66.42% -0.224 -0.9334
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 824 47.56% 54.9 1.418 69.05% 0.022 0.2336
Thunderspeaker 1294 60.74% 49.98 -5.352 55.1% -0.44 -0.4607
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 72 63.89% 47.24 6.425 43.06% 0.535 0.7329
Towering Roots of the Jungle 38 71.05% 54.82 4.233 71.05% 0.424 0.3958
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 754 72.02% 44.27 3.831 50.93% 0.547 0.613
Vital Strength of the Earth 743 51.01% 40.86 -5.276 33.92% -0.566 -0.0317
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 238 39.08% 53.65 -0.409 67.23% -0.545 0.0217
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 228 45.61% 49.07 0.0 56.58%
Volcano Looming High 534 57.49% 48.58 7.456 61.05% 0.904 1.0406
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 145 58.62% 46.02 4.765 44.83% 0.66 0.3486

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 75.0% 28.0 2.773 0.0% -0.078 -0.0632
Blitz 0 178 29.78% 33.89 -4.413 25.28% -0.437 -0.1492
Dahan Insurrection 4 376 48.4% 47.6 -3.976 29.52% -0.782 -0.959
Despicable Theft 2 17 47.06% 34.53 -21.3 35.29% -0.567 0.2943
Elemental Invocation 1 47 53.19% 32.26 -23.198 21.28% -0.777 0.1557
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2421 32.76% 63.13 9.26 83.19% 2.165 1.5187
Powers Long Forgotten 1 115 53.04% 42.45 13.815 32.17% 0.752 1.6981
Rituals of Terror 3 96 46.88% 46.78 0.0 25.0%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 110 76.36% 37.39 0.0 13.64%
Second Wave 0 187 59.14% 39.1 -5.896 30.48% -1.273 -1.2427
The Great River 3 37 37.84% 26.35 -12.787 8.11% -0.614 0.8112
Varied Terrains 2 2 100.0% 29.0 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 215 50.7% 40.59 -15.023 22.33% -0.132 0.9128

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11170 54.57% 45.99 -0.683 51.03% -0.247 0.0134
1 Thematic 654 44.5% 39.31 12.446 21.87% 0.309 0.7752
2 Archipelago 6 33.33% 55.83 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2556 61.06% 47.08 -1.282 54.03% -0.103 0.0823
2 Coastline 267 61.8% 46.88 0.398 51.31% -0.022 -0.0382
2 Fragment 65 80.0% 38.58 5.138 36.92% 0.679 0.3632
2 Heart 26 50.0% 42.54 0.0 42.31%
2 Opposite Shores 536 57.84% 42.76 6.666 45.52% 0.614 0.5746
2 Thematic 182 38.46% 37.42 0.0 14.29%
2 Top to Top 83 57.83% 51.24 3.621 60.24% 0.475 0.4316
3 Archipelago 16 87.5% 64.19 0.0 12.5%
3 Coastline 5 80.0% 34.4 0.0 20.0%
3 Other 53 81.13% 47.23 -15.725 49.06% -0.308 -0.7707
3 Round (Default) 2401 49.04% 55.99 1.646 72.68% -0.449 -0.6684
3 Sunrise 4 75.0% 32.5 -7.914 25.0% -0.367 -0.2917
3 Thematic 53 26.42% 34.68 0.0 13.21%
4 Archipelago 3 66.67% 61.0 0.0 66.67%
4 Coastline 8 12.5% 73.75 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 49.8 0.0 60.0%
4 Other 36 50.0% 61.92 0.0 86.11%
4 Thematic 293 20.14% 61.38 -17.13 63.48% -0.979 -0.7265
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1210 51.45% 56.85 3.058 72.98% 0.38 0.5945
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 61.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 36 61.76% 53.03 -4.191 66.67% 0.058 -0.5076
5 Thematic 36 41.67% 50.28 3.457 27.78% 0.059 -0.3618
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 61.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 5 33.33% 70.8 6.184 80.0% 0.235 0.6613
6 Star 12 66.67% 33.92 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 21 47.62% 51.62 10.633 38.1% 0.312 0.4136
6 Two Centers (Default) 18 38.89% 40.0 -19.673 44.44% -0.652 -0.9088

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 950 48.38 4.568 56.11% 0.552 0.7275
Aid From Lesser Spirits 769 50.48 -0.028 58.39% -0.325 -0.3796
All Things Weaken 421 49.43 4.181 58.67% 0.587 0.8799
Attenuated Essence 77 49.91 -3.362 62.34% -0.212 -0.1281
Back Against the Wall 737 46.01 2.737 49.53% 0.232 0.2792
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 69 43.32 1.273 46.38% -0.24 -0.0369
Burn Brightest Before the End 36 36.06 -0.204 27.78% -0.507 -0.3192
Disintegrating Ecosystem 925 43.25 -1.992 47.46% -0.295 0.1135
Downward Spiral 1003 46.72 1.746 54.84% 0.571 0.6991
Erosion of Will 923 46.02 2.007 51.46% 0.263 0.5455
Intensifying Exploitation 61 45.18 3.627 49.18% 0.109 0.3569
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 219 52.16 2.3 65.75% 0.251 -0.2642
Memory Fades to Dust 1004 45.4 5.949 51.1% 0.956 1.1932
Power Corrodes the Spirit 432 46.51 2.077 53.94% 0.135 0.3531
Promising Farmlands 921 40.02 0.395 37.89% -0.014 0.2806
Shattered Fragments of Power 54 55.89 2.702 70.37% -0.091 0.1108
Slow Dissolution of Will 67 44.06 2.92 49.25% 0.141 0.5249
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 120 54.28 3.474 70.0% -0.177 -0.7579
The Border of Life and Death 20 59.55 0.0 80.0%
Thriving Communities 443 46.39 2.904 55.08% -0.177 0.1623
Thriving Crops 56 43.09 -0.921 46.43% -0.004 -0.046
Tipping Point 373 45.77 0.0 51.47%
Unnatural Proliferation 484 46.96 3.558 52.69% 0.574 0.7147
Untended Land Crumbles 461 43.95 -0.697 48.16% -0.23 0.2189

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4609 56.64% 48.6 -1.113 56.69% -0.197 0.6652
B 4931 56.55% 49.32 -0.552 58.06% -0.303 0.5133
C 5496 54.32% 51.71 -1.339 62.54% -0.576 0.1029
D 4437 56.27% 49.8 0.941 58.69% 0.221 1.0254
E 2726 50.88% 51.38 -1.18 62.62% -0.503 0.1656
F 3060 52.34% 49.89 2.226 59.05% 0.185 0.9833
G 2887 53.11% 51.04 0.121 61.66% -0.191 0.635
H 3045 51.18% 50.65 3.357 61.44% 0.348 1.1205
East 902 35.9% 46.26 -1.513 33.48% -0.608 0.2375
Northeast 565 35.71% 51.62 -0.664 43.19% -0.362 0.4092
Northwest 501 31.85% 52.87 0.227 44.31% -0.052 0.7552
Southeast 147 34.01% 44.64 7.334 29.93% 0.137 1.006
Southwest 84 30.95% 46.48 1.132 38.1% 0.053 1.3345
West 800 30.57% 47.22 -1.513 34.38% -0.608 0.3876

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 26 0.0% 58.62 0.0 57.69%
Not Using Events or Tokens 62 62.9% 32.05 0.0 16.13%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 420 10.02% 72.33 11.414 84.52% 0.692 0.0771
Start of Game Growth 628 18.63% 66.61 12.55 79.14% 1.152 0.5705
Unlimited Undo 2018 51.17% 50.62 -3.525 59.91% -0.472 -0.4284
Using Tokens but Not Events 953 33.44% 49.74 -7.534 56.24% -1.038 -1.0962

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5946 15.74 4.94%
II 8121 30.48 62.04%
III 4673 34.79 92.4%
IV 1029 38.41 99.71%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.522 Win Model: 0.097
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11960 53.82% 45.39 48.97%
2 3630 60.54% 46.79 51.74%
3 2511 49.44% 55.22 70.73%
4 1574 45.13% 58.02 71.47%
5 37 68.57% 48.97 37.84%
6 57 45.45% 47.18 45.61%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 293
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4237
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4882
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1020
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 886
Lose: Invader deck ran out 9
Lose: Adversary condition 5553
Win: Sacrifice victory 44
Lose: Scenario condition 222
Win: Scenario condition 200
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2293
Lose: Spirit destroyed 130

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7408 45.79% 48.8 -1.913 46.21% -0.02 -0.1633
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 93 40.86% 45.05 4.146 49.46% 0.924 0.2108
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3746 59.28% 39.35 -6.799 28.59% -1.035 -0.771
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 521 47.6% 46.75 3.739 50.1% 0.521 -0.2879
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4463 49.75% 46.68 -0.425 44.54% 0.306 0.1413
Downpour Drenches the World 1728 48.06% 36.81 -2.723 25.98% -0.487 -0.2138
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2392 36.37% 47.08 1.515 51.8% 0.406 -0.0205
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7983 39.24% 52.26 3.105 52.15% 0.517 0.157
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2858 50.95% 45.66 -3.887 41.53% -0.775 -1.2194
Finder of Paths Unseen 574 49.65% 34.58 -3.599 27.53% -0.376 0.3128
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3062 47.96% 49.81 -5.175 43.34% -0.303 0.2857
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 3484 60.68% 48.88 -0.933 48.36% 0.19 0.126
Heart of the Wildfire 6560 80.57% 42.17 -4.172 37.18% -0.76 -0.4326
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 26947 52.7% 55.02 1.732 60.7% 0.657 0.362
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 494 55.06% 46.71 1.729 48.99% 0.403 0.0321
Lightning's Swift Strike 5619 57.06% 48.14 -7.971 46.06% -1.149 -0.8088
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1749 62.95% 50.65 1.261 55.23% 0.413 -0.0609
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 4454 52.55% 60.39 6.653 68.99% 1.304 0.9432
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1630 49.39% 57.98 5.472 63.8% 0.773 0.7799
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 7268 54.94% 51.47 1.119 55.09% 0.394 0.0994
Many Minds Move as One 2371 44.96% 52.49 0.034 53.27% 0.185 0.0394
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 13330 50.98% 51.89 0.079 51.82% 0.319 0.2604
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5192 52.97% 48.92 2.374 49.36% 0.546 0.3822
River Surges in Sunlight 11576 52.69% 52.47 -3.87 50.33% -0.314 -0.2156
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 123 59.35% 40.98 1.032 39.02% 0.193 0.0581
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 910 50.44% 47.02 -2.755 41.65% -0.874 -0.3974
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1815 52.48% 47.11 1.546 42.15% 0.336 0.3009
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 9531 45.46% 44.94 -0.09 38.44% 0.221 -0.0336
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2045 62.54% 40.28 -7.237 29.93% -0.478 0.0431
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 137 48.18% 48.44 -21.362 41.61% -0.37 -0.2289
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 585 63.93% 42.94 2.937 43.93% 0.354 -0.2239
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 154 56.49% 44.32 -0.765 42.21% -0.21 0.1408
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 938 61.09% 45.11 -4.374 37.42% -0.695 -0.7108
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 364 65.93% 41.59 -3.842 35.99% -0.136 0.1132
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8887 46.36% 54.46 -0.018 60.28% 0.474 0.364
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1024 53.71% 43.73 -2.447 46.78% -0.288 -0.4498
Shifting Memory of Ages 2162 52.5% 37.82 -4.252 27.61% -0.134 0.2101
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 88 50.0% 42.11 3.339 44.32% 0.762 0.4531
Shroud of Silent Mist 1273 66.98% 40.57 -2.361 34.41% -0.367 -0.0354
Starlight Seeks its Form 4109 51.33% 46.56 -2.138 43.37% -0.262 -0.4369
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 7515 45.53% 46.42 1.785 42.54% 0.265 -0.4446
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5323 53.13% 55.57 4.782 61.58% 0.834 1.0457
Thunderspeaker 6713 53.13% 48.35 -3.819 41.52% -0.405 -0.426
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 381 56.43% 37.6 -1.344 35.17% 0.159 0.3571
Towering Roots of the Jungle 317 52.37% 36.16 -1.232 34.07% -0.035 -0.0633
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4427 74.49% 42.07 -2.855 38.65% -0.321 -0.2552
Vital Strength of the Earth 3603 51.78% 37.02 -4.965 23.04% -0.505 0.0297
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 462 58.66% 40.66 0.885 33.55% -0.128 0.439
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 683 47.58% 34.18 -7.571 16.4% -1.338 -0.5796
Volcano Looming High 4721 60.62% 50.48 2.399 56.05% 0.563 0.7001
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1320 48.03% 39.68 0.393 32.95% 0.035 -0.2761

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 25 60.0% 57.28 11.498 52.0% 0.554 0.5691
Blitz 0 1161 34.98% 42.87 1.486 30.75% 0.051 0.339
Dahan Insurrection 4 3705 36.1% 54.77 5.33 35.44% 1.161 0.984
Despicable Theft 2 44 68.18% 47.23 2.266 31.82% -0.635 0.226
Elemental Invocation 1 291 64.6% 39.2 1.659 17.87% -0.23 0.7032
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 10007 27.85% 61.7 9.287 67.74% 1.364 0.7172
Powers Long Forgotten 1 237 53.16% 40.84 -2.365 26.16% -0.333 0.613
Rituals of Terror 3 342 44.57% 72.21 24.408 40.64% 1.742 1.8188
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 84 75.0% 36.46 -29.634 11.9% -0.143 0.9724
Second Wave 0 624 60.1% 45.37 4.475 34.62% -0.133 -0.103
The Great River 3 154 33.12% 23.03 -11.721 5.84% -0.791 0.6346
Varied Terrains 2 26 42.31% 43.27 -16.9 26.92% -0.298 0.4762
Ward the Shores 2 389 46.91% 33.44 -9.854 12.85% -1.215 -0.1702

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 100528 53.99% 48.27 1.541 47.74% -0.023 0.2371
1 Thematic 3677 39.44% 43.89 -2.673 22.52% -0.91 -0.4438
2 Archipelago 103 77.67% 55.45 4.035 21.36% -0.106 0.3677
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12243 61.9% 49.08 -1.65 50.09% -0.259 -0.074
2 Coastline 2487 54.08% 52.74 -3.955 55.81% -0.186 -0.203
2 Fragment 830 67.23% 57.65 10.602 67.23% 0.955 0.639
2 Heart 386 71.76% 51.7 1.684 43.26% 0.045 -0.049
2 Opposite Shores 3337 56.64% 42.61 2.258 33.35% 0.241 0.2016
2 Thematic 985 39.94% 46.07 -9.479 19.7% -1.534 -1.2476
2 Top to Top 655 57.71% 51.45 -5.665 52.37% -0.399 -0.4428
3 Archipelago 41 73.17% 48.93 14.383 17.07% 0.749 -0.3913
3 Coastline 46 58.7% 47.09 5.707 41.3% 0.403 -0.3464
3 Other 155 59.35% 54.63 18.046 59.35% 0.938 0.4754
3 Round (Default) 6807 54.83% 50.81 2.024 52.84% 0.215 -0.0045
3 Sunrise 82 43.9% 67.44 0.0 84.15%
3 Thematic 199 26.77% 68.62 15.508 36.18% 0.853 0.5607
4 Archipelago 13 46.15% 55.15 -21.396 30.77% -0.39 -0.1969
4 Coastline 55 14.55% 76.36 20.977 94.55% 0.548 0.1888
4 Leaf 20 60.0% 44.4 -12.657 30.0% -0.076 -0.1844
4 Other 86 51.16% 65.41 -3.65 81.4% 0.35 0.0936
4 Snake 1 0.0% 29.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 1346 30.39% 56.13 -11.151 46.43% -0.919 -0.6665
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4222 43.92% 51.68 -5.069 54.9% -0.45 -0.236
5 Archipelago 4 75.0% 47.5 -16.829 25.0% -0.218 0.0551
5 Coastline 26 3.85% 65.85 0.0 84.62%
5 Other 113 46.79% 60.81 -0.366 61.95% -0.824 -1.39
5 Thematic 19 78.95% 83.74 25.365 73.68% 0.967 0.5469
6 Archipelago 9 11.11% 73.56 0.0 77.78%
6 Coastline 21 4.76% 57.95 0.0 76.19%
6 Other 84 40.48% 54.48 -8.767 54.76% -0.208 0.2179
6 Star 40 37.5% 44.08 -26.892 35.0% -0.277 -0.1648
6 Thematic 177 32.77% 41.58 -2.544 30.51% -0.556 -0.4542
6 Two Centers (Default) 400 20.5% 45.28 -7.686 48.25% -0.695 -0.9518
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 52.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 5963 48.58 3.38 48.53% 0.475 0.6504
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5271 50.05 4.921 49.61% 0.574 0.5198
All Things Weaken 3742 48.65 1.907 48.53% 0.28 0.5735
Attenuated Essence 507 43.69 1.02 42.01% 0.144 0.2277
Back Against the Wall 5008 47.98 2.94 45.75% 0.376 0.4233
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 536 42.48 2.1 41.23% 0.271 0.4745
Burn Brightest Before the End 399 45.97 5.263 44.36% 0.731 0.9189
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5935 43.81 0.113 41.99% 0.195 0.6035
Downward Spiral 7042 47.73 2.237 47.76% 0.364 0.4921
Erosion of Will 5928 46.11 3.771 43.17% 0.562 0.8452
Intensifying Exploitation 537 43.34 0.698 42.46% 0.133 0.381
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1753 53.51 5.674 57.73% 0.543 0.0272
Memory Fades to Dust 6976 46.92 4.347 45.66% 0.67 0.9069
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3689 47.91 2.073 48.14% 0.322 0.54
Promising Farmlands 5909 42.12 -1.608 35.44% -0.128 0.167
Shattered Fragments of Power 408 44.69 3.016 42.4% 0.258 0.4597
Slow Dissolution of Will 523 39.61 2.047 35.56% 0.35 0.734
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1057 53.17 -2.302 59.32% -0.33 -0.9113
The Border of Life and Death 131 45.95 2.466 47.33% 0.365 -0.152
Thriving Communities 3742 48.34 3.559 49.55% 0.651 0.9898
Thriving Crops 344 33.65 -3.249 22.97% -0.592 -0.6345
Tipping Point 1873 44.89 0.0 42.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 3773 49.47 2.25 47.76% 0.247 0.3869
Untended Land Crumbles 3671 46.81 1.285 45.19% 0.271 0.7194

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 26795 54.96% 46.87 -1.941 44.7% -0.721 0.1408
B 28890 54.73% 49.0 -0.7 49.17% -0.571 0.246
C 35300 54.81% 51.47 0.812 53.53% -0.348 0.3309
D 24931 53.7% 48.15 -1.657 47.1% -0.58 0.2248
E 18327 52.37% 51.09 -1.071 53.51% -0.563 0.106
F 18545 53.31% 49.31 -0.055 50.02% -0.52 0.278
G 14833 53.46% 47.82 -0.238 47.21% -0.326 0.4994
H 16050 51.71% 47.89 -1.628 47.91% -0.611 0.1619
East 4841 38.77% 49.71 3.552 29.79% -0.955 -0.1089
Northeast 3158 38.89% 52.27 6.068 35.05% 0.492 1.2628
Northwest 2250 32.74% 49.97 -3.033 34.71% -0.833 -0.0252
Southeast 748 44.39% 44.62 -3.948 26.47% -0.581 0.2882
Southwest 538 31.23% 44.45 -1.747 34.57% -0.689 0.5923
West 3599 30.37% 48.47 3.619 30.29% -1.027 -0.0307

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 179 0.0% 56.07 8.569 56.42% 0.701 1.4971
Not Using Events or Tokens 1104 31.82% 46.59 0.0 20.02%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3754 14.91% 71.08 11.544 78.56% 0.919 0.3046
Start of Game Growth 7665 24.67% 66.66 5.219 73.83% 0.803 0.2217
Unlimited Undo 13380 46.06% 55.86 -0.661 62.3% 0.375 0.4189
Using Tokens but Not Events 8630 41.99% 53.45 -2.455 55.7% -0.337 -0.3947

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 48777 15.74 3.74%
II 55268 30.48 57.53%
III 30157 34.79 91.19%
IV 5026 38.41 99.66%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.453 Win Model: 0.289
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 105198 53.38% 48.02 46.61%
2 20264 60.16% 49.63 48.54%
3 7228 54.39% 51.1 52.55%
4 5708 40.48% 53.12 53.89%
5 110 35.85% 56.75 54.55%
6 720 25.56% 45.95 45.83%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1821
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 26919
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 30548
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4897
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7876
Lose: Invader deck ran out 106
Lose: Adversary condition 46030
Win: Sacrifice victory 422
Lose: Scenario condition 1275
Win: Scenario condition 1523
Lose: Blight pool ran out 16667
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1144

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)