The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2848 31.69% 31.61 0.08 82.55% -0.198 -0.0654
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1766 55.11% 26.84 -0.786 70.89% -0.427 -0.198
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1516 35.03% 30.14 0.359 86.15% 0.277 0.1907
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1851 24.91% 33.4 1.72 90.98% 0.556 0.1832
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1537 28.04% 32.22 1.276 91.54% 0.771 0.5102
Fractured Days Split the Sky 267 40.23% 30.07 0.64 75.28% -0.548 -0.1802
Heart of the Wildfire 2372 59.69% 27.23 -0.981 74.87% -0.017 0.3336
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4379 31.8% 34.1 0.602 87.67% 0.338 0.0343
Lightning's Swift Strike 3143 40.63% 31.22 0.363 81.04% 0.042 0.3012
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 560 37.32% 30.57 0.791 89.29% 0.592 0.3188
Many Minds Move as One 436 30.96% 31.49 0.893 87.84% 0.184 -0.3307
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3092 40.91% 30.55 -0.023 81.27% 0.052 -0.1433
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1442 36.86% 29.29 -0.123 83.56% 0.061 0.1071
River Surges in Sunlight 4290 33.79% 35.17 1.141 80.23% -0.354 -0.2018
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2312 32.99% 32.41 -0.191 83.0% -0.189 -0.0448
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2174 54.86% 28.59 -0.584 72.49% -0.259 0.182
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3121 32.1% 34.6 0.859 85.87% 0.155 0.0829
Shroud of Silent Mist 183 62.3% 26.22 -0.696 78.14% 0.174 0.1543
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 823 35.6% 27.28 -0.873 86.51% 0.297 0.2768
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1254 37.89% 28.77 -0.453 79.19% -0.29 -0.0873
Thunderspeaker 3097 29.89% 37.44 1.479 87.05% 0.254 0.3051
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 653 73.26% 22.6 -2.284 68.91% -0.153 -0.1454
Vital Strength of the Earth 2414 35.49% 27.57 -2.015 65.49% -1.344 -0.4742
Volcano Looming High 293 42.81% 27.6 -0.412 86.01% 0.47 0.4466

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 456 44.93% 25.33 -1.922 68.42% -0.609 -0.0354
Dahan Insurrection 4 714 25.98% 49.61 9.624 80.11% -0.494 -0.0945
Despicable Theft 2 22 59.09% 30.27 1.347 59.09% -0.805 -0.5222
Elemental Invocation 1 46 64.44% 24.41 -2.092 52.17% -1.229 -0.7895
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1651 11.34% 34.54 1.966 86.25% -0.463 -0.0975
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1376 18.12% 50.75 3.455 90.92% -0.005 0.4359
Rituals of Terror 3 377 51.46% 36.03 3.506 61.01% -0.842 -0.1978
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 296 78.04% 32.44 2.477 51.69% -0.603 0.0387
Second Wave 0 526 59.13% 25.46 -1.232 61.03% -0.904 -0.4756
The Great River 3 43 69.77% 25.67 -0.748 37.21% -2.036 -0.5759
Ward the Shores 2 542 47.05% 27.84 -0.641 40.04% -2.204 -1.1673

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 18993 44.02% 27.82 -0.542 77.43% 0.173 0.5056
1 Thematic 2482 44.18% 32.57 0.688 66.36% -0.323 0.1752
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4584 38.74% 29.31 -0.032 83.64% 0.202 0.4023
2 Coastline 328 41.1% 28.28 -0.402 82.62% 0.082 0.2362
2 Fragment 85 48.24% 26.81 -1.199 76.47% -0.339 0.0572
2 Heart 54 49.06% 27.41 -0.695 83.33% 0.259 0.5817
2 Opposite Shores 568 41.27% 29.21 0.035 86.27% 0.491 0.7201
2 Thematic 538 41.15% 35.31 0.554 76.77% -0.205 -0.1437
2 Top to Top 80 33.77% 28.66 -0.359 86.25% 0.138 0.2703
3 Coastline 9 66.67% 28.22 0.524 55.56% -0.235 -0.2732
3 Other 52 40.38% 29.54 -0.091 90.38% 0.468 0.888
3 Round (Default) 1367 34.46% 29.58 -0.188 86.61% -0.027 0.0285
3 Sunrise 11 9.09% 31.73 0.874 90.91% -0.046 -0.2402
3 Thematic 110 40.91% 35.75 -0.792 75.45% -0.865 -1.1949
4 Coastline 3 100.0% 26.33 -2.436 66.67% -0.202 -0.0762
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 29.25 0.245 100.0% 0.311 0.3573
4 Other 31 35.48% 29.42 0.222 90.32% 0.098 0.2101
4 Thematic 1043 5.37% 56.95 3.267 98.27% 0.316 -0.7084
4 Trapezoid (Default) 735 34.88% 29.38 -0.594 84.63% -0.575 -0.5405
5 Other 2 50.0% 25.5 -0.522 100.0% 0.104 -0.151
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 35.5 -0.526 100.0% 0.201 -2.7427

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1257 22.46 -4.083 60.38% -2.211 -0.1373
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1053 22.61 -3.976 57.36% -2.352 -0.4333
All Things Weaken 334 21.03 -4.472 57.19% -2.429 -0.2705
Back Against the Wall 1001 22.69 -3.95 57.74% -2.346 -0.2521
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1107 18.82 -5.889 52.76% -2.544 -0.3197
Downward Spiral 1755 21.87 -4.412 62.85% -2.138 -0.117
Erosion of Will 1162 21.83 -4.389 56.8% -2.362 -0.153
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 154 27.66 -1.204 86.36% -0.685 0.0076
Memory Fades to Dust 1681 21.58 -4.576 58.77% -2.296 -0.0781
Power Corrodes the Spirit 374 20.97 -4.58 58.82% -2.318 -0.297
Promising Farmlands 1132 19.85 -5.41 53.27% -2.542 -0.3278
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 109 28.49 -0.83 93.58% 0.092 0.5028
Thriving Communities 335 19.16 -5.387 53.43% -2.547 -0.4534
Tipping Point 625 20.24 -5.271 53.6% -2.41 -0.184
Unnatural Proliferation 366 21.64 -4.234 58.74% -2.365 -0.2757
Untended Land Crumbles 303 20.44 -4.867 60.07% -2.299 -0.1932

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6540 41.96% 28.41 -0.358 79.79% 0.044 -1.0687
B 6954 41.63% 28.46 -0.3 80.16% 0.017 -1.1913
C 7008 39.78% 28.76 -0.152 80.94% 0.052 -1.3875
D 6670 39.18% 28.86 -0.113 81.05% 0.044 -1.1578
E 1550 42.12% 28.53 -0.089 84.06% 0.238 -1.0744
F 3166 41.02% 28.25 -0.333 81.81% 0.03 -1.2357
G 3034 42.5% 28.06 -0.433 80.95% -0.05 -1.3072
H 2961 39.67% 28.72 -0.129 83.08% 0.148 -1.1175
East 1890 22.35% 47.51 2.709 86.88% 0.3 -0.681
Northeast 2037 23.45% 45.88 2.263 85.13% 0.132 -0.7994
Northwest 1748 20.49% 47.54 2.217 87.87% 0.324 -0.6753
Southeast 231 36.8% 33.68 0.623 73.59% -0.057 -1.0825
Southwest 209 46.89% 28.0 -2.693 63.16% -0.593 -1.2131
West 1882 23.07% 46.07 1.681 83.16% -0.326 -1.051

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 106 0.0% 31.26 -1.318 85.85% -1.484 0.5706
Not Using Events or Tokens 699 50.22% 28.06 -0.226 74.96% 0.063 0.2806
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1312 2.68% 53.73 3.96 97.94% 0.812 0.1185
Start of Game Growth 1534 6.33% 50.5 3.118 95.96% 0.085 -0.3784
Unlimited Undo 1528 33.17% 31.26 0.575 85.47% 0.259 -0.1614
Using Tokens but Not Events 3194 33.86% 30.2 0.318 84.53% 0.262 0.2099

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3546 22.34 38.95%
II 10636 30.81 71.99%
III 11611 34.31 88.65%
IV 5288 37.5 98.77%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.364 Win Model: 0.443
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 21491 44.05% 28.37 76.16%
2 6242 39.41% 29.7 83.18%
3 1536 35.23% 30.03 85.68%
4 1810 17.98% 45.28 92.65%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 986
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7602
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5062
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4003
Lose: Invader deck ran out 190
Lose: Adversary condition 1637
Win: Sacrifice victory 126
Lose: Scenario condition 274
Win: Scenario condition 789
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4203
Lose: Spirit destroyed 223

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1569 46.45% 31.65 0.642 73.93% 0.039 0.1722
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1005 65.83% 29.04 -0.153 63.08% -0.228 0.0006
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 863 56.33% 30.75 0.345 72.77% 0.22 0.1344
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1176 37.02% 36.2 2.835 83.42% 0.584 0.2112
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 994 48.08% 33.98 1.939 80.89% 0.652 0.3913
Fractured Days Split the Sky 93 60.22% 32.26 1.27 64.52% -0.253 0.1154
Heart of the Wildfire 1354 78.77% 24.39 -2.238 54.58% -0.332 0.018
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2374 55.82% 30.42 0.424 74.81% 0.305 0.0011
Lightning's Swift Strike 1650 60.66% 29.81 -0.019 67.27% -0.029 0.2304
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 401 54.14% 32.11 1.31 80.55% 0.589 0.3159
Many Minds Move as One 321 35.2% 35.9 2.753 86.92% 0.736 0.221
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1506 65.53% 29.77 0.09 70.05% 0.196 0.0002
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 905 56.64% 29.98 0.045 70.5% 0.064 0.1097
River Surges in Sunlight 1948 60.35% 30.43 0.333 62.32% -0.34 -0.1876
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1209 54.39% 29.66 -0.15 68.24% -0.153 -0.0087
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1104 75.93% 25.78 -1.676 51.63% -0.532 -0.0916
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1661 52.85% 31.45 0.735 72.19% 0.107 0.0354
Shroud of Silent Mist 91 80.22% 24.6 -1.739 56.04% -0.269 -0.2884
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 498 49.2% 29.35 -0.451 78.11% 0.293 0.2729
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 771 54.95% 29.04 -0.569 64.72% -0.27 -0.0668
Thunderspeaker 1505 56.55% 31.96 0.859 70.43% 0.106 0.1573
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 365 82.97% 23.3 -2.569 53.97% -0.351 -0.343
Vital Strength of the Earth 1389 55.12% 25.31 -2.49 48.24% -1.162 -0.2916
Volcano Looming High 185 67.39% 25.75 -1.434 62.16% -0.191 -0.2144

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 416 56.52% 26.62 -1.857 59.62% -0.486 0.0873
Dahan Insurrection 4 349 38.4% 50.79 9.884 73.35% -0.29 0.1094
Despicable Theft 2 20 55.0% 33.25 2.001 55.0% -0.739 -0.4569
Elemental Invocation 1 24 62.5% 29.08 0.196 62.5% -0.285 0.1545
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 832 26.55% 33.78 1.361 70.67% -0.522 -0.1561
Powers Long Forgotten 1 396 66.92% 30.62 0.478 53.03% -0.597 -0.1558
Rituals of Terror 3 218 66.06% 35.59 2.773 48.17% -0.882 -0.2384
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 186 83.78% 33.41 2.031 43.55% -0.632 0.0095
Second Wave 0 1382 58.01% 30.31 0.432 61.07% -0.527 -0.0985
The Great River 3 25 72.0% 26.28 -0.978 28.0% -1.701 -0.241
Ward the Shores 2 323 56.35% 27.52 -1.393 30.03% -2.231 -1.1936

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10232 58.14% 28.31 -0.727 65.46% -0.348 -0.0153
1 Thematic 1997 56.15% 33.27 1.318 59.04% -0.423 0.0754
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2462 60.54% 29.27 -0.122 70.67% -0.072 0.1287
2 Coastline 224 60.91% 30.33 0.345 73.66% 0.05 0.2046
2 Fragment 77 61.84% 27.12 -0.941 59.74% -0.458 -0.062
2 Heart 42 70.73% 26.86 -1.043 64.29% -0.318 0.0045
2 Opposite Shores 432 55.71% 30.22 0.045 74.77% -0.047 0.1821
2 Thematic 530 57.17% 33.62 0.755 60.0% -0.17 -0.109
2 Top to Top 69 72.46% 28.91 0.115 75.36% 0.313 0.4447
3 Coastline 6 66.67% 21.67 -2.672 33.33% -0.521 -0.5587
3 Other 49 44.9% 33.57 1.493 87.76% 0.614 1.0335
3 Round (Default) 837 55.22% 30.95 0.513 76.46% 0.209 0.2649
3 Sunrise 11 54.55% 27.73 -1.11 72.73% -0.185 -0.3789
3 Thematic 94 60.64% 33.61 0.374 61.7% 0.128 -0.2009
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 31.0 1.797 100.0% 0.581 0.627
4 Other 17 47.06% 35.94 1.545 88.24% 0.383 0.4954
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 -0.949 100.0% 0.218 0.3728
4 Thematic 152 50.99% 36.86 0.705 73.03% 0.554 -0.4701
4 Trapezoid (Default) 344 53.69% 31.41 0.104 73.26% -0.148 -0.1135
5 Other 4 50.0% 32.75 0.664 75.0% -0.34 -0.5945

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 976 24.62 -3.578 51.95% -1.853 0.2205
Aid From Lesser Spirits 803 25.1 -3.295 50.56% -1.973 -0.0541
All Things Weaken 277 23.0 -4.043 51.26% -1.836 0.3232
Back Against the Wall 788 24.89 -3.389 51.78% -1.887 0.207
Disintegrating Ecosystem 838 21.11 -5.257 47.49% -2.046 0.1786
Downward Spiral 1381 23.71 -3.933 56.19% -1.667 0.3536
Erosion of Will 954 23.59 -4.057 48.22% -1.98 0.2282
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 94 31.3 -0.099 82.98% -0.424 0.269
Memory Fades to Dust 1379 23.66 -3.979 52.72% -1.853 0.3656
Power Corrodes the Spirit 269 22.82 -4.17 52.42% -1.871 0.1497
Promising Farmlands 937 21.42 -5.092 44.29% -2.187 0.0271
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 58 32.71 0.521 86.21% 0.079 0.4904
Thriving Communities 288 21.98 -4.748 45.14% -2.156 -0.0628
Tipping Point 530 23.35 -4.206 49.43% -1.869 0.3562
Unnatural Proliferation 312 24.83 -3.408 50.64% -1.941 0.1485
Untended Land Crumbles 275 23.48 -3.858 54.18% -1.739 0.3665

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3740 59.63% 28.39 -0.498 66.71% 0.229 -0.8835
B 3938 58.61% 29.42 0.047 70.44% 0.441 -0.7668
C 3822 56.89% 29.68 0.172 70.49% 0.416 -1.0231
D 3623 58.76% 29.21 -0.047 68.98% 0.367 -0.8349
E 999 57.27% 29.05 -0.264 69.67% 0.273 -1.0388
F 1741 58.19% 29.08 -0.322 69.16% 0.234 -1.0313
G 1572 58.06% 28.96 -0.394 68.0% 0.191 -1.0659
H 1652 55.12% 30.05 0.071 71.79% 0.36 -0.9054
East 880 54.95% 35.46 1.839 62.84% 0.273 -0.7078
Northeast 925 55.47% 34.67 1.399 63.14% 0.251 -0.6803
Northwest 797 55.6% 34.41 1.301 64.49% 0.377 -0.623
Southeast 181 49.72% 32.81 0.357 61.88% -0.045 -1.0706
Southwest 190 57.67% 28.96 -1.791 61.05% -0.025 -0.6451
West 920 58.5% 32.94 0.328 56.41% -0.128 -0.8527

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 63 0.0% 26.49 -3.815 57.14% -2.085 -0.0302
Not Using Events or Tokens 350 65.59% 28.05 -0.488 63.14% -0.004 0.2139
Skip Initial Invader Actions 312 18.84% 44.8 4.617 90.71% 0.89 0.1964
Start of Game Growth 427 21.62% 42.92 4.21 89.46% 0.845 0.3818
Unlimited Undo 1194 53.21% 30.42 0.006 70.35% -0.095 -0.516
Using Tokens but Not Events 1753 54.06% 29.54 -0.095 70.11% 0.059 0.0062

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2250 22.34 9.11%
II 5306 30.81 47.7%
III 6535 34.31 84.06%
IV 3492 37.5 98.94%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.16 Win Model: -0.218
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12249 57.79% 29.13 64.45%
2 3832 60.02% 29.97 69.65%
3 984 55.1% 31.16 74.9%
4 518 52.93% 33.18 73.94%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 158
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4067
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1658
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2634
Lose: Invader deck ran out 75
Lose: Adversary condition 1489
Win: Sacrifice victory 68
Lose: Scenario condition 228
Win: Scenario condition 353
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3877
Lose: Spirit destroyed 230

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2864 35.88% 35.93 0.576 56.35% 0.1 0.2326
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1759 51.0% 30.27 -1.86 39.45% -0.531 -0.302
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1706 38.67% 34.08 -0.255 53.58% -0.055 -0.141
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2211 28.23% 39.35 2.42 63.5% 0.402 0.029
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1407 38.76% 34.03 -0.301 49.82% -0.22 -0.48
Fractured Days Split the Sky 315 37.26% 34.9 0.239 46.67% -0.399 -0.0306
Heart of the Wildfire 3111 68.29% 33.02 -0.077 56.38% 0.338 0.6886
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4552 43.53% 36.36 1.124 61.69% 0.398 0.0938
Lightning's Swift Strike 2863 47.18% 37.62 1.929 63.05% 0.571 0.8305
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 783 42.58% 37.51 1.662 65.01% 0.454 0.1812
Many Minds Move as One 606 34.65% 37.27 1.511 61.55% 0.236 -0.2792
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3112 48.71% 33.53 -0.711 50.71% -0.107 -0.3025
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1619 37.85% 35.74 0.635 57.63% 0.175 0.2207
River Surges in Sunlight 3909 41.84% 36.52 0.878 51.6% -0.098 0.054
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2706 42.06% 29.95 -2.349 39.76% -0.663 -0.5189
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1773 60.68% 29.59 -2.163 38.35% -0.56 -0.1196
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3066 40.71% 38.91 2.361 66.24% 0.606 0.5347
Shroud of Silent Mist 224 66.07% 28.39 -2.557 40.18% -0.522 -0.5416
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1099 39.07% 30.33 -1.998 48.32% -0.325 -0.3447
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1396 38.98% 38.48 1.941 64.47% 0.493 0.6956
Thunderspeaker 2750 43.83% 38.1 1.748 59.78% 0.351 0.4021
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 895 68.94% 28.18 -2.508 42.79% -0.345 -0.3369
Vital Strength of the Earth 2208 38.57% 26.59 -3.95 27.72% -1.18 -0.3101
Volcano Looming High 458 48.47% 35.36 0.541 62.45% 0.339 0.3159

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 555 33.82% 21.45 -6.335 18.56% -1.707 -1.1335
Dahan Insurrection 4 694 25.36% 55.84 9.862 62.97% 0.25 0.6495
Despicable Theft 2 23 60.87% 39.22 2.685 52.17% -0.305 -0.0226
Elemental Invocation 1 48 45.83% 34.19 -0.608 45.83% -0.639 -0.1994
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1410 19.43% 41.08 3.286 69.15% 0.677 1.0424
Powers Long Forgotten 1 415 55.07% 34.28 0.107 41.45% -0.428 0.0131
Rituals of Terror 3 200 51.5% 42.52 4.727 46.5% -0.045 0.5992
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 117 75.0% 36.05 1.68 33.33% -0.521 0.1209
Second Wave 0 701 46.57% 33.12 -0.659 41.8% -0.593 -0.1652
The Great River 3 17 17.65% 23.18 -5.947 0.0% -2.375 -0.9156
Ward the Shores 2 448 41.07% 38.15 0.169 38.17% -1.174 -0.137

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 20045 45.79% 33.03 -0.148 51.07% -0.245 0.0882
1 Thematic 1146 38.39% 34.14 -0.498 35.86% -0.689 -0.191
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5021 47.61% 33.92 -0.014 54.21% -0.174 0.0266
2 Coastline 478 45.17% 33.9 -0.296 53.14% -0.327 -0.1721
2 Fragment 104 59.62% 29.69 -1.875 44.23% -0.546 -0.1497
2 Heart 40 55.0% 31.52 -1.084 50.0% -0.344 -0.0222
2 Opposite Shores 1064 49.2% 32.52 -0.507 50.47% -0.243 -0.0143
2 Thematic 516 38.06% 32.75 -1.952 31.98% -0.716 -0.6548
2 Top to Top 137 49.64% 36.08 0.93 62.77% 0.141 0.2729
3 Coastline 6 33.33% 47.67 6.095 83.33% 0.561 0.5227
3 Other 52 38.46% 38.08 1.869 69.23% 0.344 0.7634
3 Round (Default) 1826 43.99% 35.77 0.472 59.91% -0.011 0.0444
3 Sunrise 8 25.0% 41.88 2.819 75.0% 0.289 0.0951
3 Thematic 98 41.84% 37.89 -0.276 41.84% 0.126 -0.2037
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 17.0 -10.052 0.0% -1.076 -0.9503
4 Leaf 10 60.0% 37.3 0.662 70.0% 0.09 0.1363
4 Other 39 48.72% 42.62 3.411 79.49% 0.856 0.9682
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 49.0 6.048 100.0% 0.322 -0.4602
4 Thematic 451 17.52% 51.23 3.974 72.28% 1.252 0.2284
4 Trapezoid (Default) 879 43.04% 37.87 0.714 62.12% -0.01 0.0248
5 Other 7 71.43% 41.57 3.916 85.71% 0.424 0.1692

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1389 30.6 -2.051 48.96% -0.353 1.7202
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1167 31.87 -1.43 49.79% -0.294 1.6254
All Things Weaken 454 29.6 -2.461 46.7% -0.439 1.7195
Back Against the Wall 1152 31.45 -1.642 49.22% -0.324 1.7696
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1321 27.28 -3.788 43.6% -0.597 1.6273
Downward Spiral 1645 30.03 -2.23 48.81% -0.251 1.7703
Erosion of Will 1313 29.19 -2.666 44.33% -0.491 1.7181
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 232 32.25 -1.302 53.45% -0.218 0.4744
Memory Fades to Dust 1741 28.84 -2.788 44.28% -0.433 1.7858
Power Corrodes the Spirit 412 27.85 -3.161 43.2% -0.542 1.4792
Promising Farmlands 1388 26.12 -4.342 35.59% -0.916 1.2987
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 115 33.62 -0.44 60.0% 0.129 0.5404
Thriving Communities 447 29.26 -2.592 49.44% -0.304 1.7892
Tipping Point 791 27.05 -3.725 39.19% -0.701 1.525
Unnatural Proliferation 434 29.54 -2.484 44.01% -0.539 1.5502
Untended Land Crumbles 428 28.09 -3.179 45.09% -0.5 1.6056

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7255 47.71% 33.25 -0.331 52.01% 0.542 -0.5699
B 7824 46.57% 34.2 0.215 54.64% 0.651 -0.5566
C 8213 44.65% 34.0 0.127 53.83% 0.624 -0.8153
D 7390 47.69% 33.22 -0.301 51.58% 0.541 -0.6607
E 2147 44.25% 35.12 0.685 57.66% 0.762 -0.5501
F 3451 44.91% 34.87 0.364 56.68% 0.66 -0.6057
G 3444 45.5% 34.57 0.206 55.57% 0.635 -0.6223
H 3514 43.75% 35.16 0.464 56.89% 0.668 -0.5978
East 1042 28.34% 42.52 1.849 52.21% 0.62 -0.3607
Northeast 981 31.73% 41.98 1.486 51.89% 0.373 -0.5579
Northwest 865 30.75% 42.65 1.588 53.99% 0.607 -0.3924
Southeast 120 29.17% 35.98 -1.142 44.17% 0.081 -0.9451
Southwest 112 31.25% 33.66 -2.699 41.07% -0.308 -0.928
West 1086 27.72% 40.49 0.43 47.88% -0.026 -0.751

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 57 0.0% 34.95 -1.868 54.39% -0.565 1.4892
Not Using Events or Tokens 266 38.91% 27.86 -3.322 29.32% -1.046 -0.8279
Skip Initial Invader Actions 335 13.88% 50.67 5.78 80.0% 1.111 0.4175
Start of Game Growth 731 20.65% 47.77 4.3 74.28% 0.632 0.1686
Unlimited Undo 1844 42.41% 36.2 0.817 58.24% 0.161 -0.2592
Using Tokens but Not Events 2135 40.58% 33.66 -0.498 50.96% -0.216 -0.2687

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7677 22.34 4.27%
II 12446 30.81 44.33%
III 8530 34.31 87.73%
IV 3277 37.5 99.12%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.364 Win Model: -0.541
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 21205 45.4% 33.1 50.26%
2 7368 47.22% 33.62 52.09%
3 1977 43.56% 36.0 59.33%
4 1380 35.18% 42.29 65.8%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 233
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5667
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3806
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2601
Lose: Invader deck ran out 23
Lose: Adversary condition 11460
Win: Sacrifice victory 74
Lose: Scenario condition 291
Win: Scenario condition 608
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3339
Lose: Spirit destroyed 241

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2464 44.89% 40.03 0.368 51.01% 0.013 0.146
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1411 62.26% 33.05 -2.628 32.6% -0.641 -0.4123
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1458 48.48% 39.49 0.347 51.71% 0.127 0.0412
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1862 43.89% 43.78 2.545 59.61% 0.477 0.1039
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1278 48.04% 38.34 -0.364 45.31% -0.19 -0.4505
Fractured Days Split the Sky 339 48.38% 42.55 1.859 49.26% -0.059 0.3085
Heart of the Wildfire 2360 80.21% 33.77 -2.088 42.33% -0.106 0.2445
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7033 53.52% 41.52 1.788 55.92% 0.38 0.0763
Lightning's Swift Strike 2644 58.37% 40.03 0.783 52.8% 0.239 0.4986
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 908 60.68% 40.88 1.159 57.49% 0.337 0.0636
Many Minds Move as One 543 38.93% 43.87 2.083 60.59% 0.299 -0.2157
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3046 57.29% 39.08 0.08 49.97% 0.112 -0.0837
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1495 52.05% 39.18 0.325 50.64% 0.108 0.1541
River Surges in Sunlight 3709 53.48% 39.67 0.45 45.59% -0.145 0.007
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2440 49.4% 36.23 -1.755 40.94% -0.503 -0.3592
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1433 70.91% 32.37 -3.062 31.54% -0.72 -0.2789
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3383 51.05% 43.31 2.773 60.57% 0.632 0.5601
Shroud of Silent Mist 245 75.1% 32.5 -2.805 35.92% -0.533 -0.5532
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1315 49.28% 37.05 -0.929 49.89% -0.01 -0.0303
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1140 52.9% 41.81 1.537 56.84% 0.362 0.5651
Thunderspeaker 2533 58.19% 40.81 0.936 50.85% 0.162 0.2131
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 999 78.26% 32.36 -2.783 38.74% -0.37 -0.3617
Vital Strength of the Earth 1822 49.39% 32.22 -3.391 29.86% -0.901 -0.0309
Volcano Looming High 568 67.08% 38.63 0.313 55.63% 0.333 0.3096

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 336 38.02% 26.35 -6.567 18.75% -1.697 -1.1237
Dahan Insurrection 4 630 45.79% 50.92 6.231 41.43% -0.199 0.2013
Despicable Theft 2 7 71.43% 49.43 5.215 57.14% 0.076 0.3588
Elemental Invocation 1 28 78.57% 35.82 -1.33 39.29% -0.56 -0.1206
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1489 20.36% 50.33 5.855 73.67% 1.246 1.612
Powers Long Forgotten 1 217 63.59% 38.86 0.341 39.63% -0.245 0.1964
Rituals of Terror 3 132 63.08% 40.9 1.643 29.55% -0.657 -0.013
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 98 77.55% 37.61 0.206 25.51% -0.774 -0.1323
Second Wave 0 485 56.2% 34.68 -1.858 31.34% -0.772 -0.3442
The Great River 3 6 33.33% 25.67 -6.786 0.0% -1.434 0.0257
Ward the Shores 2 187 59.89% 34.6 -1.868 21.93% -1.233 -0.1958

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 21169 56.11% 37.77 -0.315 46.92% -0.281 0.0517
1 Thematic 952 43.43% 34.84 -1.429 24.47% -0.652 -0.1538
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4673 60.39% 38.43 0.03 49.67% -0.215 -0.0145
2 Coastline 453 56.42% 40.55 0.808 55.41% -0.077 0.0775
2 Fragment 115 68.7% 40.57 0.71 55.65% -0.096 0.3003
2 Heart 35 77.14% 46.77 4.103 68.57% 0.618 0.94
2 Opposite Shores 921 53.04% 39.77 0.111 52.66% -0.305 -0.0763
2 Thematic 285 37.89% 32.56 -2.348 18.95% -0.54 -0.4793
2 Top to Top 102 59.41% 39.07 0.284 51.96% -0.17 -0.0383
3 Coastline 11 9.09% 47.27 3.229 63.64% -0.029 -0.0669
3 Other 66 51.52% 49.52 4.672 78.79% 0.699 1.1185
3 Round (Default) 1931 56.04% 41.95 1.105 57.9% -0.068 -0.0118
3 Sunrise 8 50.0% 49.38 5.179 75.0% 0.542 0.3485
3 Thematic 89 26.97% 33.46 -2.217 19.1% -0.148 -0.4776
4 Coastline 3 100.0% 49.0 3.994 66.67% 0.017 0.142
4 Leaf 8 37.5% 34.88 -2.819 37.5% -0.789 -0.7425
4 Other 46 60.87% 41.83 0.729 56.52% -0.344 -0.2313
4 Thematic 280 36.33% 39.24 0.441 31.43% 0.921 -0.1026
4 Trapezoid (Default) 872 49.71% 44.38 1.237 62.04% -0.208 -0.1729
5 Other 8 71.43% 53.75 4.838 100.0% 0.666 0.411
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 57.0 14.456 100.0% 0.927 -2.0164

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1687 36.32 -1.365 46.3% -0.177 1.8969
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1467 38.21 -0.448 49.15% -0.063 1.8556
All Things Weaken 610 37.1 -0.895 49.84% -0.041 2.1176
Back Against the Wall 1476 37.08 -1.116 46.68% -0.185 1.909
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1594 32.3 -3.367 39.15% -0.452 1.772
Downward Spiral 2047 34.82 -2.022 44.26% -0.193 1.8283
Erosion of Will 1706 34.37 -2.292 40.91% -0.36 1.8483
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 265 41.67 1.176 58.87% 0.272 0.9644
Memory Fades to Dust 1966 34.74 -2.034 42.98% -0.236 1.9819
Power Corrodes the Spirit 539 35.58 -1.668 46.38% -0.194 1.8271
Promising Farmlands 1669 31.63 -3.735 34.63% -0.68 1.5342
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 142 41.37 0.963 58.45% 0.237 0.6477
Thriving Communities 574 35.65 -1.642 48.26% -0.119 1.9747
Tipping Point 917 33.01 -2.962 37.73% -0.465 1.761
Unnatural Proliferation 607 37.46 -0.763 47.12% -0.166 1.9238
Untended Land Crumbles 558 33.65 -2.672 41.04% -0.424 1.6822

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7283 58.47% 38.33 -0.148 48.73% 0.714 -0.3977
B 7700 56.77% 39.01 0.174 50.25% 0.743 -0.4649
C 7932 55.32% 39.59 0.601 51.5% 0.839 -0.6006
D 7180 56.37% 39.12 0.308 50.52% 0.793 -0.4091
E 2441 56.36% 41.24 1.232 56.37% 0.925 -0.387
F 3874 55.3% 39.58 0.36 51.68% 0.747 -0.5185
G 3632 57.47% 38.31 -0.316 48.84% 0.618 -0.6393
H 3593 54.91% 40.62 0.846 54.36% 0.859 -0.4068
East 744 36.79% 36.1 -0.702 24.73% 0.166 -0.8151
Northeast 711 39.69% 37.93 0.185 28.83% 0.416 -0.515
Northwest 550 40.51% 36.05 -1.321 26.18% 0.053 -0.9466
Southeast 92 43.48% 31.04 -2.382 20.65% -0.113 -1.1382
Southwest 92 43.48% 27.1 -5.124 17.39% -0.51 -1.1303
West 667 32.93% 35.36 -1.63 22.79% -0.346 -1.0708

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 54 0.0% 42.83 -1.02 61.11% -0.208 1.8468
Not Using Events or Tokens 279 48.72% 30.04 -3.876 24.01% -0.976 -0.7586
Skip Initial Invader Actions 515 12.65% 57.44 6.87 80.39% 1.249 0.5554
Start of Game Growth 634 15.32% 54.48 5.379 76.66% 0.765 0.3022
Unlimited Undo 2358 51.37% 40.56 0.702 51.57% 0.128 -0.2929
Using Tokens but Not Events 1666 49.63% 38.11 -0.703 47.42% -0.239 -0.2911

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10733 22.34 3.15%
II 10015 30.81 45.89%
III 7815 34.31 88.56%
IV 3468 37.5 98.96%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.401 Win Model: -0.597
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 22150 55.58% 37.66 46.0%
2 6568 58.29% 38.56 49.3%
3 2110 54.46% 41.88 56.97%
4 1203 46.91% 43.08 54.7%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 254
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5399
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3367
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2769
Lose: Invader deck ran out 98
Lose: Adversary condition 11437
Win: Sacrifice victory 67
Lose: Scenario condition 271
Win: Scenario condition 302
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4600
Lose: Spirit destroyed 338

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2008 40.15% 45.29 0.446 54.38% -0.037 0.0954
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1041 58.73% 36.14 -3.7 32.18% -0.907 -0.6783
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1779 40.52% 48.72 2.605 65.49% 0.51 0.4239
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1239 43.64% 45.15 0.784 53.91% 0.048 -0.3253
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1458 37.98% 49.86 3.104 65.29% 0.504 0.2436
Fractured Days Split the Sky 266 47.74% 46.11 1.53 51.88% 0.04 0.4078
Heart of the Wildfire 2007 74.98% 39.47 -1.774 45.49% -0.137 0.213
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4140 47.47% 45.77 1.034 57.87% 0.212 -0.0922
Lightning's Swift Strike 1658 56.54% 44.9 0.941 54.52% 0.233 0.4922
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 661 55.82% 47.79 2.294 63.84% 0.491 0.2178
Many Minds Move as One 325 41.85% 48.05 2.065 61.54% 0.267 -0.2483
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3012 49.77% 45.15 0.607 55.48% 0.156 -0.0394
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1041 51.11% 44.32 0.556 54.95% 0.165 0.2106
River Surges in Sunlight 2804 49.39% 45.29 0.598 50.61% -0.158 -0.0058
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1700 46.73% 39.7 -2.48 41.18% -0.658 -0.5137
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 907 66.67% 36.74 -3.263 34.62% -0.751 -0.3098
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2447 45.69% 49.17 3.113 64.61% 0.613 0.5415
Shroud of Silent Mist 489 68.71% 44.66 1.269 57.87% 0.347 0.3274
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 763 46.46% 41.18 -1.542 51.25% -0.182 -0.2021
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 922 53.22% 46.4 1.449 59.65% 0.287 0.4899
Thunderspeaker 1721 56.1% 44.32 0.326 50.9% 0.004 0.055
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 639 74.57% 34.63 -4.33 36.31% -0.745 -0.7376
Vital Strength of the Earth 1127 48.27% 36.36 -3.747 31.23% -0.987 -0.1171
Volcano Looming High 351 57.83% 43.03 0.167 55.84% 0.197 0.1739

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 176 37.5% 28.45 -7.378 18.18% -1.693 -1.1201
Dahan Insurrection 4 454 35.98% 58.47 8.118 48.9% 0.242 0.6416
Despicable Theft 2 6 66.67% 32.17 -4.714 16.67% -0.765 -0.4824
Elemental Invocation 1 28 46.43% 35.11 -5.349 25.0% -1.439 -0.9996
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1162 19.6% 54.19 5.325 72.03% 1.046 1.4116
Powers Long Forgotten 1 118 61.86% 37.92 -1.905 29.66% -0.709 -0.2682
Rituals of Terror 3 117 46.15% 39.45 -0.54 20.51% -0.936 -0.2922
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 148 68.92% 36.91 -1.502 17.57% -1.077 -0.4355
Second Wave 0 279 58.42% 38.27 -2.319 33.33% -0.768 -0.3401
The Great River 3 4 50.0% 27.75 -7.191 0.0% -1.085 0.3743
Ward the Shores 2 206 57.28% 34.88 -2.979 15.53% -1.414 -0.3772

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 13829 51.78% 42.73 -0.159 50.67% -0.035 0.2978
1 Thematic 761 40.34% 36.02 -2.79 20.37% -0.617 -0.1192
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3276 58.19% 43.01 -0.022 52.23% -0.118 0.0826
2 Coastline 301 54.0% 42.57 -0.654 50.83% -0.341 -0.1868
2 Fragment 64 65.63% 37.75 -2.514 40.63% -0.61 -0.2146
2 Heart 23 65.22% 39.57 -1.969 47.83% -0.386 -0.0638
2 Opposite Shores 645 52.87% 42.18 -0.779 49.92% -0.315 -0.0856
2 Thematic 265 38.11% 33.81 -3.917 16.6% -0.48 -0.4186
2 Top to Top 234 51.71% 48.37 2.298 66.24% 0.338 0.4697
3 Coastline 12 33.33% 45.0 -0.553 50.0% -0.633 -0.6716
3 Other 52 42.31% 53.15 4.303 76.92% 0.486 0.9057
3 Round (Default) 1709 48.04% 47.33 1.238 61.15% -0.064 -0.0086
3 Sunrise 6 83.33% 41.17 -1.016 50.0% -0.062 -0.2562
3 Thematic 44 38.64% 32.68 -2.304 11.36% 0.06 -0.2691
4 Coastline 7 0.0% 68.43 9.363 100.0% 0.647 0.772
4 Leaf 17 35.29% 54.24 4.589 82.35% 0.76 0.8063
4 Other 37 56.76% 53.89 3.824 78.38% 0.484 0.596
4 Snake 4 100.0% 30.0 -7.437 25.0% -1.134 -0.9792
4 Thematic 221 38.46% 44.67 1.38 38.46% 1.798 0.7737
4 Trapezoid (Default) 917 44.85% 51.22 1.873 67.07% -0.279 -0.2439
5 Other 12 58.33% 56.58 5.622 91.67% 0.513 0.2584

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1109 40.37 -1.726 48.51% -0.197 1.8766
Aid From Lesser Spirits 863 43.25 -0.387 53.42% 0.014 1.9332
All Things Weaken 355 42.97 -0.474 54.65% 0.033 2.192
Back Against the Wall 879 42.47 -0.87 50.4% -0.123 1.9708
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1118 36.52 -3.733 42.13% -0.47 1.7541
Downward Spiral 1263 38.74 -2.421 46.24% -0.201 1.8201
Erosion of Will 1085 38.53 -2.79 43.04% -0.459 1.7499
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 174 44.24 0.035 57.47% 0.078 0.7707
Memory Fades to Dust 1320 38.4 -2.656 44.24% -0.326 1.8926
Power Corrodes the Spirit 335 41.34 -1.143 51.34% -0.068 1.9532
Promising Farmlands 1223 34.46 -4.789 34.26% -0.839 1.3752
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 95 43.84 -0.396 55.79% -0.053 0.3578
Thriving Communities 352 39.73 -2.012 50.57% -0.127 1.9658
Tipping Point 646 36.91 -3.537 40.25% -0.534 1.6911
Unnatural Proliferation 371 41.92 -0.9 51.21% -0.077 2.0119
Untended Land Crumbles 351 37.1 -3.332 41.88% -0.488 1.6179

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5133 53.15% 43.19 -0.396 51.41% 0.708 -0.4038
B 5398 53.3% 44.08 0.106 53.5% 0.777 -0.4309
C 7485 45.91% 47.69 2.609 61.8% 1.223 -0.2165
D 5165 52.98% 43.34 -0.267 51.95% 0.738 -0.4638
E 1959 59.68% 44.61 0.73 56.2% 0.916 -0.396
F 2492 53.91% 44.15 0.095 54.33% 0.76 -0.5056
G 2319 53.44% 43.39 0.026 52.78% 0.812 -0.4451
H 2344 51.34% 44.5 0.191 54.31% 0.753 -0.5125
East 534 35.58% 38.7 -1.774 23.97% -0.456 -1.4369
Northeast 538 40.89% 40.91 0.233 29.37% 0.587 -0.3442
Northwest 528 46.59% 36.76 -1.993 23.11% -0.044 -1.0432
Southeast 52 36.54% 44.02 0.143 46.15% 0.506 -0.5194
Southwest 52 25.0% 38.63 -3.244 38.46% -0.249 -0.8688
West 548 32.66% 37.54 -2.303 22.26% -0.482 -1.2074

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 42 0.0% 43.55 -1.653 50.0% -0.418 1.6364
Not Using Events or Tokens 135 53.73% 32.63 -4.877 23.7% -1.167 -0.9495
Skip Initial Invader Actions 276 23.08% 61.55 7.389 78.99% 1.517 0.8232
Start of Game Growth 360 25.36% 57.03 4.746 73.89% 0.597 0.1343
Unlimited Undo 1838 55.22% 43.89 0.347 53.16% 0.131 -0.2896
Using Tokens but Not Events 1020 48.62% 42.41 -0.993 49.71% -0.244 -0.2962

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7026 22.34 3.06%
II 6860 30.81 47.49%
III 6955 34.31 91.78%
IV 1595 37.5 99.62%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.551 Win Model: -0.49
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 14599 51.18% 42.39 49.12%
2 4814 55.94% 42.55 50.42%
3 1814 47.79% 47.05 60.14%
4 1209 43.68% 50.18 62.53%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 144
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4861
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2347
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1224
Lose: Invader deck ran out 13
Lose: Adversary condition 7878
Win: Sacrifice victory 38
Lose: Scenario condition 195
Win: Scenario condition 254
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2677
Lose: Spirit destroyed 228

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1184 51.14% 54.84 1.592 65.96% 0.361 0.4942
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 548 63.12% 42.47 -3.403 38.87% -0.689 -0.461
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 626 48.88% 51.36 0.09 60.06% 0.029 -0.057
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1177 41.87% 54.49 2.403 66.36% 0.474 0.1013
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 389 46.34% 46.06 -1.518 46.02% -0.241 -0.5012
Fractured Days Split the Sky 131 54.96% 51.69 1.307 55.73% 0.101 0.4693
Heart of the Wildfire 905 88.62% 41.78 -3.455 42.65% -0.45 -0.0998
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2686 54.12% 56.3 3.292 70.63% 0.597 0.2932
Lightning's Swift Strike 1128 48.3% 55.98 2.0 66.31% 0.467 0.7262
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 457 56.46% 52.64 0.786 65.21% 0.148 -0.1248
Many Minds Move as One 208 41.35% 52.88 1.236 62.5% 0.171 -0.344
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1307 57.59% 51.67 0.662 60.29% 0.31 0.115
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 682 51.76% 52.06 0.788 63.49% 0.279 0.3247
River Surges in Sunlight 1555 56.01% 53.12 0.995 59.81% 0.035 0.1873
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 983 49.03% 48.26 -2.345 51.17% -0.547 -0.4026
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 499 64.33% 43.07 -3.421 40.28% -0.758 -0.3175
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1176 46.26% 54.03 1.532 64.63% 0.335 0.263
Shroud of Silent Mist 74 72.97% 43.82 -2.855 45.95% -0.542 -0.5617
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1010 45.05% 51.64 -0.763 63.76% -0.239 -0.2591
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 566 49.03% 56.28 2.377 69.96% 0.559 0.762
Thunderspeaker 874 59.03% 50.44 0.71 54.58% 0.221 0.2724
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 412 70.15% 44.99 -2.338 52.43% -0.179 -0.1715
Vital Strength of the Earth 708 51.27% 42.5 -4.394 37.01% -1.042 -0.1717
Volcano Looming High 215 60.93% 50.3 0.42 64.65% 0.331 0.3073

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 139 33.09% 35.95 -7.026 26.62% -1.496 -0.9232
Dahan Insurrection 4 215 48.37% 62.04 7.027 48.84% 0.108 0.5082
Despicable Theft 2 2 0.0% 55.0 2.839 50.0% -0.074 0.2088
Elemental Invocation 1 8 62.5% 53.75 3.005 62.5% 0.4 0.8392
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1400 31.07% 62.98 5.512 83.14% 1.38 1.7457
Powers Long Forgotten 1 119 49.58% 41.29 -2.636 27.73% -0.693 -0.2517
Rituals of Terror 3 88 46.59% 41.3 -2.141 17.05% -1.073 -0.4291
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 99 75.76% 38.33 -3.378 13.13% -1.401 -0.7593
Second Wave 0 160 61.64% 39.11 -4.627 28.75% -1.125 -0.6968
The Great River 3 7 57.14% 31.57 -8.502 0.0% -1.56 -0.1003
Ward the Shores 2 213 58.22% 39.59 -4.488 21.13% -1.59 -0.5525

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6361 56.16% 48.17 0.17 54.03% 0.363 0.6959
1 Thematic 568 44.01% 40.19 -3.098 22.71% -0.262 0.2364
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1472 66.89% 47.66 -0.576 53.6% -0.03 0.17
2 Coastline 152 58.55% 49.1 -0.196 55.92% -0.036 0.119
2 Fragment 48 77.08% 40.27 -3.335 39.58% -0.313 0.0826
2 Heart 21 57.14% 40.48 -3.158 38.1% -0.338 -0.0157
2 Opposite Shores 319 62.38% 45.95 -2.011 49.53% -0.418 -0.1888
2 Thematic 126 38.1% 36.98 -4.726 15.08% -0.371 -0.31
2 Top to Top 44 56.82% 55.09 2.58 70.45% 0.457 0.5893
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 40.33 -4.453 33.33% -0.466 -0.5041
3 Other 34 82.35% 49.12 -0.215 58.82% -0.133 0.2867
3 Round (Default) 1201 52.67% 55.38 1.387 70.36% -0.135 -0.0796
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 23.5 -10.059 0.0% -0.54 -0.7339
3 Thematic 46 26.09% 37.41 -4.501 15.22% -0.003 -0.3327
4 Coastline 7 14.29% 73.43 7.52 100.0% 0.466 0.5918
4 Leaf 3 66.67% 37.33 -5.383 33.33% -0.542 -0.4953
4 Other 26 61.54% 61.85 3.857 84.62% 0.297 0.4093
4 Thematic 232 18.5% 63.51 2.547 65.95% 1.309 0.2848
4 Trapezoid (Default) 814 50.74% 58.99 1.663 76.41% -0.406 -0.3717
5 Other 8 62.5% 61.0 3.556 87.5% 0.07 -0.1847
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 86.0 12.874 100.0% 1.021 -1.9221

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 643 49.17 -0.116 57.85% 0.197 2.2706
Aid From Lesser Spirits 533 50.39 0.26 58.35% 0.135 2.0539
All Things Weaken 178 48.3 -0.474 57.3% 0.107 2.2658
Back Against the Wall 470 45.41 -2.003 48.09% -0.219 1.8754
Disintegrating Ecosystem 611 43.48 -2.967 47.79% -0.268 1.9566
Downward Spiral 672 47.32 -0.787 55.21% 0.18 2.2011
Erosion of Will 609 45.83 -1.757 51.23% -0.132 2.0766
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 103 52.33 0.852 66.99% 0.419 1.1113
Memory Fades to Dust 672 45.39 -1.932 51.34% -0.089 2.1291
Power Corrodes the Spirit 203 46.0 -1.818 53.2% -0.114 1.9072
Promising Farmlands 630 39.7 -4.595 36.98% -0.677 1.537
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 52 56.75 2.266 75.0% 0.571 0.9822
Thriving Communities 213 48.08 -0.525 59.62% 0.261 2.3539
Tipping Point 373 45.77 -1.721 51.47% -0.049 2.1765
Unnatural Proliferation 217 47.58 -1.104 53.92% -0.081 2.0081
Untended Land Crumbles 187 45.55 -1.619 52.94% 0.045 2.1506

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2700 59.05% 50.18 -0.156 58.44% 0.505 -0.6077
B 3042 59.94% 50.23 -0.164 58.71% 0.528 -0.6797
C 3595 55.42% 53.08 2.079 64.42% 0.919 -0.52
D 2659 58.1% 50.66 -0.013 59.57% 0.536 -0.6655
E 1060 53.77% 53.37 0.963 66.32% 0.684 -0.6285
F 1595 53.17% 51.18 -0.074 60.88% 0.465 -0.8006
G 1450 55.18% 53.0 1.159 64.62% 0.774 -0.4827
H 1569 54.92% 52.91 0.864 64.31% 0.64 -0.6255
East 508 30.22% 48.94 -1.392 38.19% -0.299 -1.2802
Northeast 445 34.77% 53.15 0.301 45.62% 0.226 -0.7053
Northwest 389 29.17% 54.09 -0.106 47.04% -0.139 -1.1381
Southeast 35 31.43% 45.14 -2.435 37.14% -0.037 -1.0628
Southwest 28 25.0% 41.25 -3.828 32.14% -0.198 -0.8183
West 459 21.81% 50.64 -1.19 40.74% -0.481 -1.2056

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 19 0.0% 45.74 -5.251 42.11% -0.938 1.1161
Not Using Events or Tokens 62 62.9% 32.05 -6.556 16.13% -1.172 -0.9542
Skip Initial Invader Actions 288 6.69% 73.16 7.023 88.89% 1.717 1.0237
Start of Game Growth 418 12.22% 69.04 5.345 84.93% 0.672 0.2091
Unlimited Undo 1115 48.96% 53.78 1.173 63.32% 0.25 -0.1711
Using Tokens but Not Events 518 31.26% 59.17 1.611 69.88% 0.054 0.0017

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3306 22.34 5.93%
II 4822 30.81 62.4%
III 2721 34.31 92.54%
IV 641 37.5 99.84%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.547 Win Model: -0.268
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6936 55.18% 47.52 51.47%
2 2185 63.92% 46.85 50.94%
3 1282 52.54% 54.51 67.94%
4 1087 43.97% 60.1 74.43%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 150
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1961
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1969
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 546
Lose: Invader deck ran out 6
Lose: Adversary condition 3454
Win: Sacrifice victory 27
Lose: Scenario condition 131
Win: Scenario condition 150
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1455
Lose: Spirit destroyed 81

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4601 47.17% 51.21 -0.277 49.16% -0.01 0.1229
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2612 59.95% 40.88 -5.117 29.48% -0.986 -0.7578
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2876 49.88% 49.56 -0.741 48.64% -0.04 -0.126
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4374 38.39% 55.68 2.167 57.64% 0.362 -0.0111
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1870 51.67% 47.72 -1.612 43.53% -0.29 -0.5506
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1220 48.93% 57.23 2.871 55.0% 0.146 0.5135
Heart of the Wildfire 4755 81.53% 43.77 -3.398 38.7% -0.451 -0.1011
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 15821 54.67% 56.28 3.017 61.97% 0.527 0.2235
Lightning's Swift Strike 7187 55.47% 55.68 2.541 58.83% 0.496 0.7553
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3005 54.18% 57.37 3.201 66.12% 0.662 0.3888
Many Minds Move as One 1189 47.43% 54.75 1.753 59.63% 0.337 -0.1779
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8895 51.44% 53.83 1.063 55.31% 0.267 0.0717
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3301 54.13% 51.86 0.45 52.98% 0.163 0.2089
River Surges in Sunlight 8945 53.37% 53.67 1.112 52.04% 0.035 0.1878
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5582 46.75% 46.14 -3.206 40.15% -0.682 -0.5373
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2329 63.97% 43.88 -3.888 34.99% -0.822 -0.3813
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5861 47.36% 56.53 2.674 61.9% 0.503 0.431
Shroud of Silent Mist 439 69.95% 45.6 -2.956 42.37% -0.481 -0.5003
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3709 45.54% 48.26 -1.438 49.1% -0.044 -0.0643
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3431 54.09% 57.16 3.225 63.16% 0.641 0.8435
Thunderspeaker 4500 52.02% 50.97 -0.153 44.93% -0.049 0.0027
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2537 76.7% 43.41 -3.632 41.39% -0.434 -0.4265
Vital Strength of the Earth 3079 54.35% 37.88 -6.899 22.15% -1.567 -0.6968
Volcano Looming High 1779 61.04% 53.8 1.293 61.33% 0.423 0.3993

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 782 39.18% 37.75 -7.402 25.83% -1.435 -0.8616
Dahan Insurrection 4 2243 37.44% 60.91 6.24 38.3% 0.092 0.4916
Despicable Theft 2 5 80.0% 77.0 13.299 80.0% 1.139 1.4217
Elemental Invocation 1 81 64.2% 41.46 -5.547 25.93% -1.327 -0.8877
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7147 28.69% 61.91 5.824 69.61% 1.165 1.5311
Powers Long Forgotten 1 200 55.0% 44.73 -2.717 29.5% -0.799 -0.3576
Rituals of Terror 3 213 50.7% 46.27 -1.506 22.07% -0.913 -0.2689
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 81 74.07% 37.78 -5.262 11.11% -1.646 -1.0044
Second Wave 0 512 61.13% 47.54 -2.489 36.52% -0.981 -0.5523
The Great River 3 18 33.33% 35.83 -8.799 5.56% -2.131 -0.6715
Ward the Shores 2 304 51.16% 40.3 -4.702 16.78% -1.562 -0.5249

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 51870 55.24% 50.11 -0.41 50.07% -0.461 -0.128
1 Thematic 2598 37.55% 44.71 -3.032 22.67% -0.787 -0.2889
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7186 63.61% 52.58 0.914 55.41% -0.32 -0.1203
2 Coastline 1397 51.68% 55.76 1.73 60.7% -0.271 -0.1164
2 Fragment 433 68.13% 56.19 2.259 64.43% -0.172 0.2236
2 Heart 100 67.0% 51.06 0.028 51.0% -0.656 -0.3337
2 Opposite Shores 1367 58.02% 46.8 -2.352 42.94% -1.006 -0.7771
2 Thematic 669 34.88% 43.34 -3.308 18.98% -0.012 0.0487
2 Top to Top 354 53.67% 56.42 2.357 61.3% -0.183 -0.051
3 Coastline 35 60.0% 49.09 -1.705 42.86% -1.051 -1.0888
3 Other 116 56.03% 54.34 0.789 58.62% -1.023 -0.6027
3 Round (Default) 3691 55.15% 53.91 0.742 57.38% -0.523 -0.4673
3 Sunrise 73 42.47% 66.6 5.291 83.56% 0.113 -0.0808
3 Thematic 94 32.98% 41.55 -4.638 15.96% 0.268 -0.0618
4 Coastline 38 18.42% 76.39 8.839 94.74% 0.759 0.884
4 Leaf 8 50.0% 48.0 -1.268 50.0% -0.517 -0.471
4 Other 58 44.83% 65.12 5.104 82.76% 0.362 0.4741
4 Thematic 1114 29.62% 56.48 1.695 48.11% 2.518 1.4941
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2381 48.69% 58.0 1.616 62.54% -0.536 -0.5011
5 Coastline 3 0.0% 79.67 9.819 100.0% 0.075 -0.0536
5 Other 22 54.55% 72.86 8.012 95.45% 0.497 0.2423
5 Thematic 8 75.0% 84.63 15.738 100.0% 2.933 -0.01

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3656 49.0 -0.815 49.86% 0.065 2.1387
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3241 49.99 -0.463 50.35% 0.039 1.9585
All Things Weaken 1506 49.85 -0.827 52.19% -0.008 2.1506
Back Against the Wall 3048 48.12 -1.381 46.59% -0.105 1.9887
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3601 43.88 -3.35 42.52% -0.241 1.9839
Downward Spiral 4444 48.29 -1.511 49.19% -0.014 2.0075
Erosion of Will 3632 46.34 -2.232 44.16% -0.205 2.004
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 766 54.7 1.303 60.31% 0.26 0.9526
Memory Fades to Dust 4311 47.14 -2.085 46.32% -0.148 2.07
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1530 49.44 -0.854 53.01% 0.068 2.0889
Promising Farmlands 3556 42.31 -4.204 36.25% -0.538 1.6761
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 429 56.02 1.872 64.8% 0.447 0.8582
Thriving Communities 1549 49.81 -0.63 54.49% 0.167 2.2604
Tipping Point 1873 44.89 -2.833 42.18% -0.233 1.993
Unnatural Proliferation 1535 50.96 -0.176 53.22% 0.062 2.1512
Untended Land Crumbles 1489 48.25 -1.496 49.83% -0.074 2.0316

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14726 56.9% 49.91 -0.695 49.05% 1.358 0.246
B 16032 56.2% 51.72 0.169 53.14% 1.471 0.2634
C 19392 56.55% 53.76 1.832 57.19% 1.785 0.3452
D 14330 56.07% 50.44 -0.45 50.03% 1.382 0.1805
E 6855 53.68% 55.5 2.144 61.11% 1.776 0.4633
F 9221 54.83% 52.45 0.453 54.52% 1.474 0.208
G 7230 55.66% 51.33 0.105 52.09% 1.479 0.2215
H 7796 53.92% 52.57 0.461 54.5% 1.488 0.2217
East 2158 32.07% 50.91 -0.521 33.5% 0.464 -0.5167
Northeast 2294 38.0% 51.52 0.355 35.96% 0.954 0.0233
Northwest 1683 30.92% 50.84 -0.977 36.19% 0.248 -0.751
Southeast 194 35.57% 50.34 -1.156 38.66% 0.526 -0.5001
Southwest 200 31.0% 47.42 -3.37 39.0% 0.279 -0.3408
West 1957 28.28% 49.3 -1.635 32.91% 0.047 -0.6779

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 118 0.0% 54.3 -3.515 51.69% -1.138 0.9159
Not Using Events or Tokens 1095 31.99% 46.28 -2.271 19.54% -0.76 -0.5423
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1978 16.43% 70.39 6.295 81.45% 0.777 0.0836
Start of Game Growth 3257 20.4% 69.22 6.581 80.63% 1.055 0.5916
Unlimited Undo 7382 49.09% 57.92 3.115 65.38% 0.581 0.1608
Using Tokens but Not Events 4874 41.62% 57.05 2.018 62.93% 0.182 0.1296

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 23582 22.34 4.02%
II 30439 30.81 58.97%
III 16885 34.31 91.69%
IV 2709 37.5 99.56%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.58 Win Model: -1.295
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 54535 54.4% 49.87 48.82%
2 11487 59.76% 51.93 52.84%
3 3984 54.38% 53.82 56.75%
4 3609 42.4% 57.88 58.8%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 655
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12955
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 13905
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2368
Lose: Invader deck ran out 33
Lose: Adversary condition 26172
Win: Sacrifice victory 169
Lose: Scenario condition 729
Win: Scenario condition 910
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8974
Lose: Spirit destroyed 632

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2025-02-27 02:06:44 (Pacific Time)