The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2727 31.85% 31.66 0.08 82.29% -0.195 -0.0593
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1701 54.98% 26.81 -0.765 70.72% -0.416 -0.1849
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1448 35.65% 30.03 0.323 85.77% 0.271 0.1844
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1758 25.2% 33.48 1.774 91.13% 0.611 0.2406
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1447 28.13% 32.23 1.29 91.5% 0.766 0.5106
Fractured Days Split the Sky 236 40.0% 30.08 0.713 75.85% -0.487 -0.1256
Heart of the Wildfire 2315 59.65% 27.2 -0.99 74.56% -0.013 0.3358
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4199 31.97% 34.09 0.598 87.43% 0.333 0.0317
Lightning's Swift Strike 3028 40.68% 31.26 0.38 80.91% 0.044 0.3053
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 468 36.32% 30.48 0.789 88.25% 0.487 0.1976
Many Minds Move as One 403 30.77% 31.69 1.006 88.34% 0.28 -0.2471
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2979 40.96% 30.51 -0.055 80.87% 0.034 -0.162
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1372 37.21% 29.15 -0.168 83.16% 0.056 0.1005
River Surges in Sunlight 4143 33.92% 35.14 1.142 79.97% -0.355 -0.2026
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2228 33.06% 32.38 -0.162 82.94% -0.172 -0.0276
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2085 54.66% 28.67 -0.563 72.52% -0.255 0.187
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3034 32.04% 34.7 0.893 85.89% 0.175 0.1026
Shroud of Silent Mist 121 63.64% 25.64 -0.833 76.86% 0.071 0.0476
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 764 35.99% 27.16 -0.903 85.86% 0.262 0.241
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1193 37.9% 28.72 -0.454 78.79% -0.298 -0.0887
Thunderspeaker 2997 29.82% 37.42 1.493 86.99% 0.265 0.3193
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 617 72.83% 22.66 -2.235 68.88% -0.14 -0.1269
Vital Strength of the Earth 2334 35.34% 27.62 -2.011 65.34% -1.341 -0.473
Volcano Looming High 224 42.6% 27.65 -0.305 85.27% 0.446 0.417

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 437 44.37% 25.23 -1.939 68.19% -0.616 -0.0348
Dahan Insurrection 4 682 25.74% 49.74 9.682 80.35% -0.462 -0.0583
Despicable Theft 2 12 58.33% 35.75 4.031 75.0% 0.064 0.4139
Elemental Invocation 1 35 64.71% 23.03 -2.763 45.71% -1.493 -1.1202
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1598 11.34% 34.59 2.0 86.3% -0.436 -0.0713
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1339 18.1% 50.8 3.464 90.89% 0.006 0.4471
Rituals of Terror 3 360 52.5% 35.91 3.479 60.28% -0.84 -0.2061
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 282 78.37% 32.71 2.63 52.48% -0.549 0.0918
Second Wave 0 514 58.95% 25.46 -1.217 60.89% -0.905 -0.4812
The Great River 3 40 70.0% 24.02 -1.505 32.5% -2.165 -0.7435
Ward the Shores 2 524 47.71% 27.65 -0.675 39.31% -2.191 -1.15

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 18119 44.26% 27.72 -0.571 77.05% 0.15 0.4775
1 Thematic 2379 44.15% 32.57 0.697 66.12% -0.418 0.0556
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4407 38.73% 29.32 -0.012 83.55% 0.236 0.4327
2 Coastline 311 42.07% 28.19 -0.398 81.99% 0.096 0.2473
2 Fragment 83 46.99% 27.0 -1.131 77.11% -0.293 0.1113
2 Heart 53 48.08% 27.89 -0.475 84.91% 0.404 0.7157
2 Opposite Shores 521 40.38% 29.27 0.031 86.18% 0.5 0.7233
2 Thematic 518 40.81% 35.46 0.585 76.83% -0.334 -0.3051
2 Top to Top 77 35.14% 28.58 -0.352 85.71% 0.166 0.3062
3 Coastline 9 66.67% 28.22 0.734 55.56% -0.116 -0.1634
3 Other 47 40.43% 29.62 -0.114 89.36% 0.373 0.8118
3 Round (Default) 1306 34.69% 29.55 -0.181 86.52% 0.05 0.1081
3 Sunrise 11 9.09% 31.73 0.887 90.91% -0.006 -0.2028
3 Thematic 106 39.62% 36.18 -0.629 76.42% -0.944 -1.3048
4 Coastline 3 100.0% 26.33 -2.293 66.67% -0.127 0.0435
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 29.25 0.242 100.0% 0.342 0.405
4 Other 28 35.71% 29.18 0.116 89.29% 0.037 0.1685
4 Thematic 1019 5.4% 56.93 3.243 98.23% 0.115 -0.945
4 Trapezoid (Default) 690 34.98% 29.37 -0.596 83.91% -0.501 -0.4627
5 Other 2 50.0% 25.5 -0.532 100.0% 0.119 -0.08
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 35.5 -0.478 100.0% 0.174 -2.7821

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1200 22.4 -4.084 60.08% -2.208 -0.1375
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1018 22.56 -3.98 57.07% -2.348 -0.4258
All Things Weaken 308 21.06 -4.437 56.82% -2.42 -0.2668
Back Against the Wall 967 22.67 -3.951 57.5% -2.348 -0.2514
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1068 18.65 -5.953 51.87% -2.566 -0.3398
Downward Spiral 1698 21.86 -4.396 62.72% -2.126 -0.107
Erosion of Will 1120 21.73 -4.422 56.34% -2.364 -0.1534
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 137 27.44 -1.283 85.4% -0.729 -0.0358
Memory Fades to Dust 1626 21.51 -4.582 58.55% -2.294 -0.0787
Power Corrodes the Spirit 344 20.91 -4.596 57.85% -2.339 -0.3224
Promising Farmlands 1087 19.77 -5.442 52.71% -2.548 -0.3349
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 98 28.41 -0.868 92.86% 0.053 0.4835
Thriving Communities 311 18.98 -5.44 53.05% -2.533 -0.4377
Tipping Point 625 20.24 -5.253 53.6% -2.398 -0.1765
Unnatural Proliferation 328 21.44 -4.298 57.62% -2.379 -0.2924
Untended Land Crumbles 275 20.02 -5.025 58.55% -2.311 -0.2151

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6292 42.0% 28.41 -0.332 79.7% 0.029 -1.073
B 6672 41.83% 28.38 -0.319 79.81% -0.021 -1.2171
C 6727 39.91% 28.73 -0.144 80.7% 0.025 -1.404
D 6413 39.29% 28.82 -0.11 80.77% 0.012 -1.1786
E 1413 42.45% 28.35 -0.129 83.37% 0.178 -1.1211
F 2956 41.19% 28.17 -0.351 81.39% -0.007 -1.2614
G 2843 42.57% 27.98 -0.448 80.55% -0.087 -1.3294
H 2798 39.98% 28.67 -0.121 82.7% 0.117 -1.1404
East 1837 22.13% 47.61 2.731 87.04% 0.359 -0.6011
Northeast 1981 23.31% 45.97 2.279 85.21% 0.188 -0.7136
Northwest 1697 20.34% 47.66 2.236 88.04% 0.389 -0.5857
Southeast 212 37.74% 33.58 0.546 73.11% -0.008 -1.012
Southwest 193 46.11% 28.03 -2.743 62.69% -0.587 -1.1865
West 1837 22.88% 46.06 1.664 83.07% -0.3 -0.9999

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 106 0.0% 31.26 -1.298 85.85% -1.482 0.5665
Not Using Events or Tokens 691 50.22% 28.02 -0.217 74.82% 0.066 0.2864
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1272 2.52% 53.81 3.949 97.96% 0.761 0.0557
Start of Game Growth 1493 6.16% 50.51 3.11 95.98% 0.119 -0.3326
Unlimited Undo 1426 33.09% 31.26 0.593 85.27% 0.254 -0.1625
Using Tokens but Not Events 3061 34.23% 30.15 0.334 84.45% 0.285 0.2343

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3435 22.33 38.89%
II 10217 30.75 71.72%
III 11027 34.25 88.46%
IV 5016 37.47 98.82%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.377 Win Model: 0.427
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 20512 44.25% 28.29 75.8%
2 5972 39.34% 29.73 83.05%
3 1471 35.36% 30.03 85.66%
4 1738 17.74% 45.53 92.46%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 941
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7081
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4756
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3740
Lose: Invader deck ran out 183
Lose: Adversary condition 1583
Win: Sacrifice victory 118
Lose: Scenario condition 262
Win: Scenario condition 754
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4073
Lose: Spirit destroyed 218

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1511 46.38% 31.63 0.6 73.73% 0.014 0.1497
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 982 65.85% 29.01 -0.161 63.14% -0.229 0.0024
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 825 56.38% 30.68 0.303 72.12% 0.189 0.1027
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1112 37.26% 36.18 2.813 83.09% 0.557 0.1865
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 946 47.67% 34.1 1.99 81.29% 0.667 0.4119
Fractured Days Split the Sky 79 58.23% 32.92 1.559 68.35% -0.119 0.2425
Heart of the Wildfire 1305 78.58% 24.51 -2.191 54.79% -0.324 0.0256
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2275 55.87% 30.45 0.441 74.81% 0.308 0.0064
Lightning's Swift Strike 1586 60.58% 29.8 -0.035 67.15% -0.035 0.2269
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 340 53.55% 32.19 1.377 80.88% 0.616 0.3264
Many Minds Move as One 295 35.59% 35.99 2.815 87.12% 0.764 0.237
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1447 65.44% 29.85 0.12 70.21% 0.2 0.0039
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 862 56.79% 29.99 0.028 70.3% 0.053 0.0975
River Surges in Sunlight 1880 60.19% 30.44 0.331 62.29% -0.346 -0.1931
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1172 54.48% 29.65 -0.169 68.09% -0.157 -0.0124
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1054 76.12% 25.84 -1.648 51.9% -0.519 -0.0764
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1614 52.34% 31.65 0.818 72.74% 0.13 0.0582
Shroud of Silent Mist 54 77.78% 23.81 -2.059 51.85% -0.403 -0.4265
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 464 50.65% 29.4 -0.427 78.45% 0.345 0.324
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 728 54.82% 28.93 -0.643 64.42% -0.311 -0.1017
Thunderspeaker 1452 56.27% 32.0 0.872 70.45% 0.096 0.15
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 343 83.04% 23.27 -2.584 53.64% -0.361 -0.347
Vital Strength of the Earth 1341 55.23% 25.36 -2.482 48.47% -1.15 -0.2814
Volcano Looming High 163 67.28% 25.71 -1.429 61.35% -0.202 -0.2312

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 395 56.49% 26.51 -1.921 58.99% -0.505 0.0765
Dahan Insurrection 4 338 37.57% 51.07 10.012 73.96% -0.259 0.144
Despicable Theft 2 11 72.73% 25.27 -1.153 27.27% -1.267 -0.917
Elemental Invocation 1 16 62.5% 28.69 -0.054 62.5% -0.251 0.1209
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 790 27.17% 33.66 1.315 70.38% -0.528 -0.1635
Powers Long Forgotten 1 383 66.58% 30.74 0.532 53.26% -0.58 -0.1388
Rituals of Terror 3 205 64.88% 36.16 3.014 49.76% -0.81 -0.1759
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 178 83.62% 33.31 1.947 43.26% -0.652 -0.0111
Second Wave 0 1351 58.01% 30.42 0.481 61.36% -0.505 -0.0814
The Great River 3 18 72.22% 27.78 -0.237 33.33% -1.266 0.1555
Ward the Shores 2 311 57.23% 27.51 -1.379 30.23% -2.19 -1.1486

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 9747 58.28% 28.25 -0.758 65.26% -0.361 -0.0342
1 Thematic 1915 56.31% 33.29 1.33 58.9% -0.469 0.0044
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2349 60.47% 29.32 -0.114 70.75% -0.058 0.1384
2 Coastline 208 60.29% 30.71 0.474 75.48% 0.128 0.2788
2 Fragment 73 62.5% 27.68 -0.633 61.64% -0.334 0.0699
2 Heart 39 68.42% 27.03 -0.993 64.1% -0.328 -0.0163
2 Opposite Shores 415 55.58% 30.19 0.044 74.46% -0.035 0.1887
2 Thematic 497 56.54% 33.78 0.765 59.56% -0.266 -0.237
2 Top to Top 64 73.44% 28.84 0.167 75.0% 0.32 0.4603
3 Coastline 6 66.67% 21.67 -2.862 33.33% -0.606 -0.6529
3 Other 49 44.9% 33.57 1.48 87.76% 0.642 1.0806
3 Round (Default) 817 55.23% 31.05 0.538 76.74% 0.261 0.319
3 Sunrise 11 54.55% 27.73 -1.145 72.73% -0.168 -0.3649
3 Thematic 92 59.78% 33.72 0.403 61.96% 0.046 -0.3155
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 31.0 1.79 100.0% 0.603 0.6661
4 Other 17 47.06% 35.94 1.514 88.24% 0.414 0.5454
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 -0.811 100.0% 0.261 0.4161
4 Thematic 145 50.69% 37.1 0.717 73.1% 0.424 -0.6361
4 Trapezoid (Default) 328 52.94% 31.51 0.095 73.17% -0.118 -0.0797
5 Other 4 50.0% 32.75 0.62 75.0% -0.334 -0.5328

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 942 24.6 -3.611 51.59% -1.874 0.1971
Aid From Lesser Spirits 770 24.98 -3.369 49.87% -1.996 -0.0743
All Things Weaken 253 23.12 -3.966 51.78% -1.814 0.3395
Back Against the Wall 753 24.82 -3.425 51.53% -1.898 0.1982
Disintegrating Ecosystem 810 21.12 -5.254 47.41% -2.056 0.1699
Downward Spiral 1322 23.73 -3.917 56.43% -1.659 0.3594
Erosion of Will 915 23.67 -4.019 48.52% -1.969 0.2415
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 87 31.15 -0.206 82.76% -0.446 0.2475
Memory Fades to Dust 1333 23.61 -3.996 52.59% -1.856 0.3592
Power Corrodes the Spirit 245 22.91 -4.129 52.24% -1.88 0.1366
Promising Farmlands 896 21.38 -5.118 44.2% -2.194 0.0192
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 49 32.04 0.217 83.67% -0.087 0.3428
Thriving Communities 266 21.72 -4.857 43.98% -2.187 -0.0908
Tipping Point 530 23.35 -4.217 49.43% -1.876 0.3454
Unnatural Proliferation 278 24.88 -3.438 50.36% -1.954 0.1321
Untended Land Crumbles 250 23.52 -3.854 54.0% -1.747 0.3488

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3602 59.55% 28.46 -0.468 66.91% 0.222 -0.8797
B 3793 58.63% 29.47 0.069 70.58% 0.432 -0.7647
C 3695 57.07% 29.66 0.154 70.26% 0.387 -1.042
D 3519 58.68% 29.21 -0.058 68.94% 0.34 -0.8507
E 893 57.35% 28.95 -0.316 69.2% 0.214 -1.0854
F 1616 57.87% 29.15 -0.301 69.43% 0.226 -1.0284
G 1478 57.83% 28.99 -0.387 68.06% 0.174 -1.0683
H 1557 55.08% 30.04 0.055 71.68% 0.334 -0.9229
East 851 54.94% 35.54 1.863 62.87% 0.312 -0.6481
Northeast 882 55.23% 34.67 1.377 62.93% 0.268 -0.6328
Northwest 758 54.89% 34.45 1.279 64.25% 0.377 -0.5978
Southeast 168 50.0% 33.2 0.46 62.5% -0.018 -1.0227
Southwest 166 56.97% 29.7 -1.516 62.65% 0.06 -0.5398
West 895 58.45% 32.94 0.297 56.09% -0.113 -0.8125

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 62 0.0% 26.19 -3.999 56.45% -2.143 -0.0947
Not Using Events or Tokens 345 65.37% 28.01 -0.505 63.19% -0.009 0.2113
Skip Initial Invader Actions 300 18.93% 44.89 4.637 90.67% 0.907 0.2023
Start of Game Growth 414 21.57% 42.95 4.207 89.37% 0.822 0.3701
Unlimited Undo 1124 52.91% 30.52 0.058 70.82% -0.062 -0.4791
Using Tokens but Not Events 1687 54.13% 29.43 -0.133 69.89% 0.043 -0.0081

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2165 22.33 9.05%
II 5087 30.75 47.77%
III 6217 34.25 84.2%
IV 3311 37.47 98.91%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.173 Win Model: -0.214
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11682 57.93% 29.08 64.26%
2 3641 59.84% 30.05 69.76%
3 962 55.01% 31.25 75.16%
4 495 52.35% 33.32 73.94%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 149
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3816
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1562
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2457
Lose: Invader deck ran out 70
Lose: Adversary condition 1425
Win: Sacrifice victory 62
Lose: Scenario condition 216
Win: Scenario condition 344
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3710
Lose: Spirit destroyed 223

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2779 35.86% 35.84 0.542 56.17% 0.09 0.2256
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1707 51.2% 30.16 -1.916 39.13% -0.548 -0.3168
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1627 38.68% 34.15 -0.23 53.72% -0.05 -0.1362
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2126 28.04% 39.29 2.366 63.17% 0.376 0.0059
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1351 38.74% 33.97 -0.349 49.52% -0.241 -0.4967
Fractured Days Split the Sky 282 38.43% 34.98 0.328 46.81% -0.377 -0.0154
Heart of the Wildfire 3024 68.45% 32.9 -0.124 56.12% 0.329 0.6787
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4376 43.38% 36.44 1.155 61.91% 0.4 0.0983
Lightning's Swift Strike 2765 46.93% 37.72 1.974 63.29% 0.579 0.8405
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 659 43.16% 37.82 1.794 65.86% 0.479 0.1892
Many Minds Move as One 556 35.25% 37.28 1.539 61.69% 0.246 -0.2804
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3010 48.9% 33.48 -0.721 50.63% -0.104 -0.3003
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1550 38.05% 35.67 0.597 57.35% 0.164 0.2079
River Surges in Sunlight 3765 41.36% 36.61 0.923 51.85% -0.092 0.0606
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2616 42.14% 30.01 -2.328 39.83% -0.663 -0.5192
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1728 60.81% 29.52 -2.185 38.08% -0.569 -0.1271
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2968 40.61% 39.06 2.431 66.61% 0.618 0.5462
Shroud of Silent Mist 159 65.41% 29.21 -2.155 42.14% -0.425 -0.4482
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1039 38.73% 30.11 -2.099 47.64% -0.355 -0.3754
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1327 39.7% 38.34 1.869 64.13% 0.475 0.6842
Thunderspeaker 2654 43.53% 38.06 1.73 59.72% 0.346 0.4
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 843 68.45% 28.19 -2.484 42.94% -0.34 -0.3267
Vital Strength of the Earth 2149 39.02% 26.56 -3.962 27.73% -1.178 -0.3096
Volcano Looming High 371 48.25% 35.39 0.505 62.53% 0.334 0.3054

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 545 33.89% 21.37 -6.378 18.35% -1.719 -1.1375
Dahan Insurrection 4 672 25.3% 55.57 9.781 62.5% 0.237 0.6402
Despicable Theft 2 9 55.56% 44.22 5.047 66.67% 0.073 0.423
Elemental Invocation 1 35 42.86% 32.6 -1.306 40.0% -0.803 -0.4305
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1364 19.53% 41.09 3.284 69.13% 0.673 1.0371
Powers Long Forgotten 1 405 54.95% 34.41 0.165 41.73% -0.417 0.0243
Rituals of Terror 3 198 51.52% 42.48 4.692 46.46% -0.052 0.5825
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 113 74.11% 36.31 1.756 33.63% -0.51 0.1306
Second Wave 0 686 46.42% 33.19 -0.638 41.98% -0.588 -0.1642
The Great River 3 9 33.33% 23.0 -6.04 0.0% -1.876 -0.4547
Ward the Shores 2 437 40.5% 38.15 0.145 37.99% -1.19 -0.1491

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 19206 45.77% 33.04 -0.157 51.1% -0.231 0.096
1 Thematic 1131 38.37% 34.31 -0.43 36.16% -0.6 -0.1262
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4816 47.63% 33.95 -0.002 54.26% -0.207 -0.0098
2 Coastline 444 45.48% 33.86 -0.324 52.93% -0.369 -0.2181
2 Fragment 102 58.82% 29.95 -1.759 45.1% -0.551 -0.1463
2 Heart 37 54.05% 31.05 -1.306 48.65% -0.412 -0.0998
2 Opposite Shores 1026 48.83% 32.46 -0.546 50.1% -0.295 -0.0712
2 Thematic 479 38.08% 33.36 -1.71 33.19% -0.575 -0.5468
2 Top to Top 127 48.82% 36.25 0.97 62.99% 0.1 0.2403
3 Coastline 6 33.33% 47.67 6.11 83.33% 0.528 0.4809
3 Other 50 38.0% 38.5 2.018 70.0% 0.315 0.7531
3 Round (Default) 1764 44.17% 35.58 0.386 59.18% -0.125 -0.0668
3 Sunrise 8 25.0% 41.88 2.809 75.0% 0.236 0.0383
3 Thematic 97 42.27% 38.05 -0.137 42.27% 0.267 -0.0942
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 20.0 -8.686 0.0% -0.649 -0.4783
4 Leaf 10 60.0% 37.3 0.662 70.0% -0.004 0.0598
4 Other 37 51.35% 42.68 3.701 81.08% 0.888 1.0188
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 49.0 5.976 100.0% 0.29 -0.4901
4 Thematic 431 17.87% 50.61 3.769 71.23% 1.335 0.2756
4 Trapezoid (Default) 838 42.63% 38.09 0.791 62.53% -0.128 -0.0904
5 Other 6 66.67% 41.33 3.599 83.33% 0.205 0.0065

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1335 30.61 -2.052 48.91% -0.357 1.7136
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1124 31.78 -1.495 49.47% -0.312 1.6095
All Things Weaken 414 29.64 -2.424 46.86% -0.425 1.7281
Back Against the Wall 1110 31.36 -1.703 48.83% -0.347 1.7491
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1278 27.33 -3.772 43.82% -0.593 1.6323
Downward Spiral 1601 30.08 -2.214 48.91% -0.254 1.7651
Erosion of Will 1260 29.19 -2.675 44.21% -0.5 1.71
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 217 32.3 -1.235 53.46% -0.205 0.4885
Memory Fades to Dust 1704 28.81 -2.817 44.13% -0.445 1.7704
Power Corrodes the Spirit 367 27.93 -3.129 43.6% -0.531 1.486
Promising Farmlands 1333 26.13 -4.336 35.71% -0.911 1.3022
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 104 33.79 -0.349 60.58% 0.151 0.5813
Thriving Communities 409 28.97 -2.716 48.66% -0.33 1.7658
Tipping Point 791 27.05 -3.739 39.19% -0.706 1.5148
Unnatural Proliferation 391 29.21 -2.684 43.22% -0.598 1.4887
Untended Land Crumbles 391 28.22 -3.117 45.52% -0.483 1.6135

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7014 47.45% 33.29 -0.317 52.08% 0.562 -0.5391
B 7543 46.6% 34.15 0.177 54.45% 0.658 -0.5379
C 7930 44.72% 34.03 0.147 53.88% 0.646 -0.7825
D 7153 47.62% 33.23 -0.303 51.6% 0.556 -0.635
E 1953 44.34% 35.04 0.638 57.4% 0.768 -0.5313
F 3244 44.66% 34.91 0.377 56.6% 0.675 -0.5789
G 3258 45.36% 34.53 0.19 55.52% 0.655 -0.5873
H 3337 43.92% 35.28 0.527 57.18% 0.704 -0.5537
East 1001 28.7% 42.51 1.889 52.35% 0.585 -0.3752
Northeast 949 31.54% 41.87 1.461 51.74% 0.32 -0.5816
Northwest 837 30.59% 42.45 1.533 53.64% 0.547 -0.4282
Southeast 106 30.19% 35.7 -1.353 43.4% -0.025 -1.0292
Southwest 101 33.66% 32.94 -3.099 39.6% -0.402 -1.0012
West 1050 28.29% 40.3 0.377 47.62% -0.081 -0.7808

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 54 0.0% 34.74 -2.003 53.7% -0.589 1.4593
Not Using Events or Tokens 265 38.67% 27.9 -3.31 29.43% -1.042 -0.821
Skip Initial Invader Actions 329 14.15% 50.64 5.759 79.94% 1.11 0.4054
Start of Game Growth 710 20.55% 47.81 4.292 74.08% 0.624 0.1721
Unlimited Undo 1779 42.2% 36.23 0.829 58.29% 0.168 -0.2492
Using Tokens but Not Events 2051 40.98% 33.6 -0.527 50.85% -0.219 -0.27

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7369 22.33 4.26%
II 11926 30.75 44.37%
III 8194 34.25 87.72%
IV 3128 37.47 99.1%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.357 Win Model: -0.505
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 20348 45.37% 33.11 50.29%
2 7040 47.2% 33.67 52.19%
3 1913 43.76% 35.84 58.65%
4 1316 34.99% 42.26 65.81%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 220
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5377
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3600
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2453
Lose: Invader deck ran out 23
Lose: Adversary condition 10972
Win: Sacrifice victory 71
Lose: Scenario condition 283
Win: Scenario condition 586
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3206
Lose: Spirit destroyed 239

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2387 45.13% 40.01 0.378 50.94% 0.019 0.1545
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1373 61.94% 33.02 -2.626 32.48% -0.641 -0.4093
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1408 48.5% 39.39 0.322 51.49% 0.127 0.0401
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1787 42.99% 43.86 2.592 59.71% 0.484 0.114
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1236 47.49% 38.1 -0.478 44.58% -0.222 -0.4774
Fractured Days Split the Sky 304 49.01% 41.89 1.6 47.37% -0.122 0.2391
Heart of the Wildfire 2277 80.33% 33.76 -2.074 42.2% -0.101 0.2481
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6623 53.16% 41.48 1.769 55.75% 0.377 0.0758
Lightning's Swift Strike 2535 58.67% 39.97 0.778 52.62% 0.242 0.5032
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 810 60.25% 40.96 1.208 57.53% 0.337 0.0476
Many Minds Move as One 488 39.01% 44.82 2.541 63.11% 0.403 -0.1237
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2936 57.66% 38.83 -0.018 49.32% 0.094 -0.1022
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1424 51.83% 39.27 0.388 50.84% 0.123 0.1674
River Surges in Sunlight 3620 53.25% 39.62 0.454 45.39% -0.143 0.0091
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2379 49.24% 36.19 -1.768 40.73% -0.506 -0.3621
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1399 71.13% 32.45 -3.011 31.81% -0.704 -0.2617
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3299 50.84% 43.38 2.84 60.69% 0.644 0.5717
Shroud of Silent Mist 166 76.51% 32.94 -2.561 37.35% -0.476 -0.4989
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1238 49.51% 36.92 -0.948 49.52% -0.013 -0.034
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1095 52.97% 41.87 1.59 56.89% 0.378 0.5873
Thunderspeaker 2448 58.37% 40.76 0.942 50.69% 0.166 0.2198
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 953 78.26% 32.26 -2.803 38.3% -0.376 -0.3623
Vital Strength of the Earth 1777 49.07% 32.28 -3.354 29.88% -0.896 -0.0277
Volcano Looming High 474 67.72% 38.61 0.317 56.12% 0.35 0.3212

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 325 38.08% 26.5 -6.508 19.08% -1.68 -1.0991
Dahan Insurrection 4 625 45.83% 50.85 6.205 41.28% -0.206 0.1979
Despicable Theft 2 5 60.0% 49.4 5.162 60.0% 0.127 0.4767
Elemental Invocation 1 18 83.33% 35.17 -2.055 38.89% -0.688 -0.3156
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1451 20.03% 50.25 5.812 73.33% 1.222 1.5867
Powers Long Forgotten 1 209 64.11% 38.67 0.279 39.23% -0.243 0.1982
Rituals of Terror 3 128 63.49% 41.02 1.712 29.69% -0.646 -0.012
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 97 77.32% 37.79 0.313 25.77% -0.746 -0.1057
Second Wave 0 474 55.6% 34.82 -1.794 31.65% -0.763 -0.339
The Great River 3 4 50.0% 24.75 -6.622 0.0% -1.083 0.3385
Ward the Shores 2 184 59.78% 34.27 -1.994 21.2% -1.257 -0.2156

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 20245 55.98% 37.73 -0.32 46.78% -0.17 0.1569
1 Thematic 925 43.72% 34.94 -1.404 24.43% -0.594 -0.1205
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4495 60.4% 38.48 0.081 49.81% -0.138 0.0585
2 Coastline 429 54.67% 40.74 0.927 55.71% 0.024 0.1748
2 Fragment 111 69.37% 40.67 0.751 55.86% -0.019 0.3855
2 Heart 30 73.33% 46.47 3.825 66.67% 0.624 0.9362
2 Opposite Shores 864 52.84% 39.59 0.026 52.2% -0.26 -0.0369
2 Thematic 279 38.35% 32.74 -2.311 19.35% -0.576 -0.5471
2 Top to Top 99 58.59% 38.95 0.272 51.52% -0.105 0.0355
3 Coastline 10 10.0% 49.2 3.863 70.0% 0.094 0.0472
3 Other 52 57.69% 47.94 4.088 75.0% 0.605 1.0435
3 Round (Default) 1852 55.51% 41.89 1.09 57.67% -0.054 0.0039
3 Sunrise 8 50.0% 49.38 5.2 75.0% 0.555 0.3573
3 Thematic 88 27.27% 33.58 -2.256 19.32% -0.298 -0.6594
4 Coastline 3 100.0% 49.0 4.044 66.67% 0.013 0.1839
4 Leaf 8 37.5% 34.88 -2.792 37.5% -0.808 -0.7441
4 Other 42 59.52% 40.86 0.219 52.38% -0.468 -0.3367
4 Thematic 265 36.5% 39.66 0.588 32.08% 0.707 -0.3527
4 Trapezoid (Default) 838 49.82% 44.2 1.208 61.22% -0.255 -0.2171
5 Other 8 71.43% 53.75 4.898 100.0% 0.692 0.4932
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 57.0 14.713 100.0% 0.922 -2.0346

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1627 36.25 -1.385 46.04% -0.187 1.8835
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1413 38.14 -0.478 48.83% -0.077 1.8447
All Things Weaken 556 36.89 -0.961 49.28% -0.059 2.0946
Back Against the Wall 1411 36.88 -1.208 46.07% -0.209 1.8872
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1540 32.4 -3.311 39.35% -0.444 1.7815
Downward Spiral 1966 34.78 -2.022 44.15% -0.191 1.8274
Erosion of Will 1655 34.35 -2.295 40.79% -0.365 1.8456
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 243 41.56 1.129 58.44% 0.257 0.9507
Memory Fades to Dust 1891 34.72 -2.03 42.94% -0.235 1.9806
Power Corrodes the Spirit 485 35.46 -1.731 45.77% -0.224 1.7933
Promising Farmlands 1600 31.42 -3.841 34.19% -0.705 1.5089
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 127 40.6 0.561 56.69% 0.156 0.5868
Thriving Communities 518 35.63 -1.618 48.26% -0.11 1.9859
Tipping Point 917 33.01 -2.957 37.73% -0.468 1.7533
Unnatural Proliferation 558 36.93 -0.961 45.7% -0.206 1.8801
Untended Land Crumbles 513 33.62 -2.684 40.94% -0.429 1.6673

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7007 58.54% 38.22 -0.181 48.42% 0.616 -0.4853
B 7429 56.64% 38.97 0.173 50.05% 0.647 -0.5493
C 7638 55.2% 39.54 0.6 51.26% 0.744 -0.6848
D 6942 56.17% 39.12 0.329 50.48% 0.706 -0.4848
E 2218 56.34% 41.34 1.297 56.54% 0.848 -0.4511
F 3647 54.77% 39.52 0.338 51.38% 0.647 -0.607
G 3438 57.31% 38.22 -0.353 48.63% 0.517 -0.7251
H 3407 54.71% 40.62 0.859 54.24% 0.766 -0.4915
East 721 37.27% 36.25 -0.658 24.97% 0.146 -0.8136
Northeast 698 39.71% 38.12 0.237 29.23% 0.377 -0.524
Northwest 532 40.57% 36.38 -1.189 26.88% 0.054 -0.9208
Southeast 78 46.15% 31.18 -2.424 20.51% -0.213 -1.2168
Southwest 86 45.35% 26.51 -5.395 16.28% -0.585 -1.1845
West 648 33.13% 35.52 -1.6 22.99% -0.389 -1.0889

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 51 0.0% 41.82 -1.46 58.82% -0.254 1.7941
Not Using Events or Tokens 278 48.53% 30.08 -3.846 24.1% -0.975 -0.754
Skip Initial Invader Actions 511 12.75% 57.37 6.847 80.23% 1.221 0.5159
Start of Game Growth 624 15.58% 54.46 5.409 76.6% 0.786 0.3346
Unlimited Undo 2251 52.02% 40.32 0.636 50.82% 0.117 -0.3003
Using Tokens but Not Events 1608 49.78% 37.94 -0.776 46.83% -0.262 -0.3133

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10310 22.33 3.2%
II 9622 30.75 45.95%
III 7433 34.25 88.5%
IV 3290 37.47 98.91%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.404 Win Model: -0.456
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 21193 55.46% 37.62 45.83%
2 6296 58.15% 38.59 49.35%
3 2013 54.1% 41.74 56.48%
4 1153 47.13% 43.04 54.29%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 246
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5059
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3198
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2591
Lose: Invader deck ran out 88
Lose: Adversary condition 10960
Win: Sacrifice victory 63
Lose: Scenario condition 266
Win: Scenario condition 297
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4436
Lose: Spirit destroyed 322

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1946 40.25% 45.27 0.427 54.27% -0.042 0.0942
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1014 58.51% 36.1 -3.716 32.05% -0.906 -0.6747
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1742 40.29% 48.85 2.664 65.79% 0.526 0.439
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1192 43.94% 45.39 0.883 54.45% 0.067 -0.3033
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1404 37.02% 50.25 3.246 66.17% 0.528 0.2725
Fractured Days Split the Sky 243 48.15% 45.81 1.424 51.03% 0.023 0.3842
Heart of the Wildfire 1952 75.09% 39.3 -1.85 44.98% -0.15 0.1992
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3996 47.2% 45.77 1.043 57.83% 0.216 -0.0854
Lightning's Swift Strike 1579 56.8% 44.71 0.841 54.15% 0.218 0.4798
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 601 56.24% 47.82 2.32 63.89% 0.489 0.1989
Many Minds Move as One 288 44.79% 48.68 2.379 63.19% 0.338 -0.1886
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2920 49.79% 45.12 0.583 55.38% 0.155 -0.0407
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 997 51.31% 44.24 0.525 54.66% 0.159 0.2033
River Surges in Sunlight 2700 49.33% 45.28 0.604 50.52% -0.154 -0.0011
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1647 47.08% 39.68 -2.477 41.11% -0.651 -0.5066
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 859 66.9% 37.04 -3.097 35.27% -0.703 -0.2606
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2383 45.19% 49.19 3.128 64.58% 0.616 0.5439
Shroud of Silent Mist 378 70.11% 43.42 0.69 54.76% 0.221 0.1983
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 719 46.52% 41.24 -1.508 51.46% -0.163 -0.1835
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 877 53.33% 46.49 1.48 59.86% 0.296 0.505
Thunderspeaker 1666 55.97% 44.21 0.281 50.54% -0.002 0.0522
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 590 74.83% 34.72 -4.259 36.78% -0.712 -0.698
Vital Strength of the Earth 1098 48.27% 36.32 -3.763 31.15% -0.989 -0.1208
Volcano Looming High 296 56.76% 43.33 0.241 56.42% 0.19 0.1613

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 170 36.47% 28.04 -7.558 17.06% -1.764 -1.1833
Dahan Insurrection 4 448 36.02% 58.47 8.145 48.88% 0.256 0.6591
Despicable Theft 2 5 80.0% 33.0 -3.925 20.0% -0.543 -0.1933
Elemental Invocation 1 21 42.86% 36.95 -4.599 28.57% -1.263 -0.8911
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1124 19.52% 54.24 5.34 72.15% 1.054 1.4187
Powers Long Forgotten 1 115 61.74% 37.44 -2.096 28.7% -0.745 -0.3036
Rituals of Terror 3 117 46.15% 39.45 -0.548 20.51% -0.938 -0.3035
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 143 69.23% 36.71 -1.561 16.78% -1.104 -0.463
Second Wave 0 274 59.12% 38.03 -2.408 32.85% -0.787 -0.3633
The Great River 3 3 33.33% 27.33 -7.403 0.0% -0.884 0.5375
Ward the Shores 2 205 57.07% 34.96 -2.936 15.61% -1.408 -0.3666

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 13248 51.63% 42.77 -0.15 50.74% 0.039 0.3665
1 Thematic 721 39.94% 35.86 -2.878 19.69% -0.672 -0.1981
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3164 58.39% 42.97 -0.023 52.15% -0.047 0.1499
2 Coastline 286 55.09% 42.26 -0.793 50.0% -0.305 -0.1539
2 Fragment 63 66.67% 37.41 -2.654 39.68% -0.578 -0.1734
2 Heart 20 65.0% 38.05 -2.734 45.0% -0.383 -0.0708
2 Opposite Shores 622 52.09% 42.41 -0.666 50.48% -0.218 0.0053
2 Thematic 263 38.02% 33.54 -4.075 15.97% -0.667 -0.6385
2 Top to Top 232 51.72% 48.43 2.326 66.38% 0.411 0.551
3 Coastline 12 33.33% 45.0 -0.521 50.0% -0.579 -0.6261
3 Other 50 44.0% 52.66 4.071 76.0% 0.512 0.9504
3 Round (Default) 1615 47.68% 47.64 1.353 61.8% 0.023 0.0809
3 Sunrise 6 83.33% 41.17 -1.05 50.0% -0.032 -0.2288
3 Thematic 44 38.64% 32.68 -2.343 11.36% -0.14 -0.5009
4 Coastline 7 0.0% 68.43 9.388 100.0% 0.67 0.8412
4 Leaf 16 37.5% 53.38 4.331 81.25% 0.78 0.843
4 Other 33 54.55% 52.85 3.376 75.76% 0.456 0.5876
4 Snake 4 100.0% 30.0 -7.312 25.0% -1.077 -0.9212
4 Thematic 217 38.71% 45.03 1.463 39.17% 1.474 0.4144
4 Trapezoid (Default) 877 44.61% 50.98 1.781 66.25% -0.248 -0.2095
5 Other 12 58.33% 56.58 5.633 91.67% 0.586 0.3871

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1064 40.39 -1.726 48.5% -0.201 1.8699
Aid From Lesser Spirits 833 43.1 -0.487 53.18% -0.007 1.9152
All Things Weaken 325 42.02 -0.879 52.0% -0.054 2.099
Back Against the Wall 854 42.43 -0.922 50.23% -0.143 1.9533
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1082 36.46 -3.778 42.05% -0.48 1.7458
Downward Spiral 1218 38.64 -2.469 45.89% -0.214 1.8048
Erosion of Will 1048 38.55 -2.787 43.03% -0.462 1.7488
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 155 44.1 0.011 56.77% 0.066 0.7593
Memory Fades to Dust 1279 38.38 -2.677 44.18% -0.331 1.8844
Power Corrodes the Spirit 307 41.65 -1.005 51.79% -0.054 1.9627
Promising Farmlands 1177 34.55 -4.754 34.58% -0.827 1.3866
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 84 43.86 -0.444 55.95% -0.077 0.3534
Thriving Communities 312 39.4 -2.18 49.68% -0.165 1.9307
Tipping Point 646 36.91 -3.55 40.25% -0.54 1.6818
Unnatural Proliferation 333 41.48 -1.116 49.85% -0.138 1.948
Untended Land Crumbles 323 37.66 -3.045 43.34% -0.431 1.665

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4951 52.9% 43.16 -0.416 51.26% 0.643 -0.4583
B 5235 53.25% 44.05 0.073 53.43% 0.709 -0.4867
C 7296 45.86% 47.76 2.642 61.95% 1.164 -0.2648
D 4994 53.14% 43.3 -0.286 51.8% 0.674 -0.5173
E 1704 60.28% 44.52 0.726 55.93% 0.871 -0.4279
F 2349 53.53% 44.14 0.072 54.28% 0.691 -0.5633
G 2174 53.47% 43.49 0.096 52.99% 0.768 -0.4741
H 2219 51.4% 44.48 0.201 54.26% 0.697 -0.5597
East 526 35.55% 38.72 -1.797 23.95% -0.444 -1.4041
Northeast 530 40.75% 40.96 0.238 29.43% 0.634 -0.2667
Northwest 518 46.72% 36.86 -1.93 23.36% 0.023 -0.9521
Southeast 44 36.36% 45.39 0.64 50.0% 0.725 -0.2798
Southwest 50 24.0% 38.66 -3.536 38.0% -0.427 -1.0271
West 536 32.65% 37.73 -2.22 22.57% -0.425 -1.1247

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 40 0.0% 42.4 -2.134 47.5% -0.475 1.5739
Not Using Events or Tokens 135 53.73% 32.63 -4.849 23.7% -1.16 -0.939
Skip Initial Invader Actions 274 22.88% 61.49 7.332 78.83% 1.485 0.7798
Start of Game Growth 351 25.45% 57.05 4.81 73.79% 0.627 0.1757
Unlimited Undo 1751 55.16% 43.96 0.368 53.34% 0.136 -0.2813
Using Tokens but Not Events 967 48.49% 42.28 -1.058 49.33% -0.253 -0.3041

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6764 22.33 3.06%
II 6574 30.75 47.81%
III 6670 34.25 91.84%
IV 1504 37.47 99.6%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.552 Win Model: -0.428
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13977 51.02% 42.42 49.17%
2 4656 56.03% 42.51 50.3%
3 1718 47.44% 47.3 60.65%
4 1161 43.5% 50.0 61.84%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 136
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4605
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2233
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1134
Lose: Invader deck ran out 12
Lose: Adversary condition 7533
Win: Sacrifice victory 38
Lose: Scenario condition 189
Win: Scenario condition 251
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2577
Lose: Spirit destroyed 227

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1115 52.25% 54.81 1.623 65.83% 0.384 0.5201
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 520 62.09% 42.39 -3.393 38.46% -0.681 -0.4501
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 595 48.91% 51.38 0.122 60.0% 0.033 -0.0533
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1116 41.65% 54.6 2.478 66.58% 0.498 0.1276
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 379 46.24% 45.78 -1.63 45.38% -0.257 -0.5121
Fractured Days Split the Sky 100 49.0% 52.32 1.494 56.0% 0.063 0.4246
Heart of the Wildfire 889 88.86% 41.7 -3.436 42.52% -0.429 -0.0798
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2585 53.75% 56.36 3.297 70.64% 0.587 0.2857
Lightning's Swift Strike 1083 48.47% 55.9 2.005 66.11% 0.476 0.7375
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 398 57.29% 52.67 0.891 65.58% 0.189 -0.101
Many Minds Move as One 196 41.33% 53.02 1.3 62.76% 0.18 -0.3474
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1242 57.87% 51.64 0.717 60.06% 0.34 0.1441
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 651 51.77% 52.01 0.797 63.13% 0.269 0.3128
River Surges in Sunlight 1514 55.94% 52.79 0.872 59.05% 0.005 0.158
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 956 48.95% 47.93 -2.433 50.52% -0.56 -0.4162
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 489 63.8% 43.03 -3.404 40.08% -0.748 -0.3056
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1133 46.34% 53.77 1.447 63.99% 0.32 0.2477
Shroud of Silent Mist 60 70.0% 43.68 -3.051 45.0% -0.602 -0.6254
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 911 44.9% 51.35 -0.847 63.01% -0.247 -0.2678
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 537 48.69% 56.45 2.474 70.2% 0.585 0.794
Thunderspeaker 849 58.65% 50.26 0.687 54.06% 0.214 0.2681
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 376 70.21% 44.65 -2.405 51.86% -0.156 -0.1422
Vital Strength of the Earth 653 51.91% 42.01 -4.491 35.68% -1.04 -0.1721
Volcano Looming High 169 60.95% 50.26 0.366 65.09% 0.33 0.3016

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 137 32.85% 35.83 -7.018 26.28% -1.497 -0.9164
Dahan Insurrection 4 214 48.13% 61.93 7.028 48.6% 0.113 0.5165
Elemental Invocation 1 7 71.43% 51.29 1.914 57.14% 0.265 0.6371
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1306 30.47% 62.92 5.497 82.85% 1.348 1.7125
Powers Long Forgotten 1 118 49.15% 41.08 -2.673 27.12% -0.71 -0.2686
Rituals of Terror 3 88 46.59% 41.3 -2.108 17.05% -1.072 -0.4377
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 99 75.76% 38.33 -3.341 13.13% -1.386 -0.7454
Second Wave 0 152 60.93% 39.18 -4.555 28.95% -1.105 -0.6809
The Great River 3 2 50.0% 32.5 -8.243 0.0% -0.797 0.6243
Ward the Shores 2 213 58.22% 39.59 -4.466 21.13% -1.594 -0.5524

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6082 56.16% 48.26 0.249 54.19% 0.405 0.7326
1 Thematic 554 44.04% 39.99 -3.15 22.02% -0.314 0.1592
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1367 67.79% 47.6 -0.545 53.47% 0.024 0.2211
2 Coastline 137 56.93% 49.99 0.073 58.39% 0.06 0.2113
2 Fragment 48 77.08% 40.27 -3.333 39.58% -0.272 0.1327
2 Heart 20 55.0% 41.35 -2.715 40.0% -0.233 0.0793
2 Opposite Shores 307 62.21% 45.62 -2.141 48.53% -0.408 -0.1847
2 Thematic 124 37.9% 36.77 -4.781 14.52% -0.493 -0.4645
2 Top to Top 39 53.85% 53.77 1.901 66.67% 0.353 0.4927
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 40.33 -4.398 33.33% -0.442 -0.4889
3 Other 32 81.25% 48.25 -0.515 56.25% -0.126 0.3124
3 Round (Default) 1108 53.12% 54.83 1.207 69.13% -0.102 -0.0445
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 23.5 -9.97 0.0% -0.516 -0.713
3 Thematic 46 26.09% 37.41 -4.354 15.22% -0.077 -0.4378
4 Coastline 7 14.29% 73.43 7.576 100.0% 0.486 0.6565
4 Leaf 3 66.67% 37.33 -5.257 33.33% -0.513 -0.4493
4 Other 25 60.0% 62.0 4.039 84.0% 0.348 0.4793
4 Thematic 221 18.06% 63.29 2.517 65.16% 1.075 0.0152
4 Trapezoid (Default) 794 50.38% 58.99 1.746 76.32% -0.321 -0.2826
5 Other 8 62.5% 61.0 3.712 87.5% 0.14 -0.0585
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 86.0 12.877 100.0% 0.914 -2.0423

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 618 49.21 -0.09 57.77% 0.185 2.2557
Aid From Lesser Spirits 506 50.26 0.179 58.1% 0.105 2.027
All Things Weaken 165 48.38 -0.485 57.58% 0.093 2.2461
Back Against the Wall 445 45.38 -1.992 47.87% -0.231 1.8652
Disintegrating Ecosystem 587 43.06 -3.164 46.68% -0.321 1.9045
Downward Spiral 642 47.08 -0.894 54.67% 0.153 2.1716
Erosion of Will 587 45.7 -1.828 50.94% -0.156 2.0539
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 92 52.53 0.878 67.39% 0.405 1.0984
Memory Fades to Dust 647 45.44 -1.946 51.47% -0.102 2.1133
Power Corrodes the Spirit 186 46.78 -1.376 54.84% -0.031 1.9858
Promising Farmlands 611 39.88 -4.509 37.48% -0.666 1.5476
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 46 56.33 2.116 73.91% 0.527 0.9569
Thriving Communities 187 47.16 -0.888 57.22% 0.162 2.2576
Tipping Point 373 45.77 -1.738 51.47% -0.066 2.1558
Unnatural Proliferation 191 46.02 -1.815 50.26% -0.228 1.8585
Untended Land Crumbles 174 45.22 -1.697 52.3% 0.026 2.1223

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2568 59.09% 50.34 -0.019 58.76% 0.497 -0.6041
B 2923 60.02% 50.11 -0.203 58.4% 0.485 -0.7113
C 3455 55.44% 53.21 2.198 64.66% 0.906 -0.5227
D 2550 58.27% 50.33 -0.179 58.78% 0.46 -0.7312
E 942 53.18% 53.46 1.036 66.35% 0.661 -0.6377
F 1486 53.23% 51.09 -0.119 60.5% 0.407 -0.8474
G 1351 55.45% 52.88 1.144 64.32% 0.733 -0.5094
H 1465 54.79% 52.56 0.727 63.55% 0.584 -0.6735
East 496 30.14% 48.56 -1.401 37.3% -0.254 -1.214
Northeast 434 34.97% 52.87 0.347 44.93% 0.295 -0.6057
Northwest 379 28.88% 53.61 -0.193 45.91% -0.138 -1.1132
Southeast 29 31.03% 45.59 -2.422 37.93% 0.031 -0.9729
Southwest 23 26.09% 40.61 -4.176 30.43% -0.224 -0.8241
West 447 21.72% 50.16 -1.291 39.6% -0.502 -1.2016

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 19 0.0% 45.74 -5.308 42.11% -0.98 1.0686
Not Using Events or Tokens 62 62.9% 32.05 -6.525 16.13% -1.169 -0.9482
Skip Initial Invader Actions 278 6.57% 73.15 7.122 88.85% 1.77 1.0647
Start of Game Growth 405 12.37% 68.9 5.31 84.69% 0.642 0.1906
Unlimited Undo 1072 48.88% 53.55 1.075 62.87% 0.228 -0.1889
Using Tokens but Not Events 483 30.39% 59.54 1.778 70.39% 0.1 0.0492

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3180 22.33 6.04%
II 4582 30.75 62.42%
III 2558 34.25 92.61%
IV 610 37.47 99.84%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.527 Win Model: -0.247
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6643 55.16% 47.58 51.51%
2 2043 64.2% 46.71 50.56%
3 1189 52.95% 53.94 66.61%
4 1055 43.69% 60.04 74.22%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 146
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1814
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1820
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 515
Lose: Invader deck ran out 5
Lose: Adversary condition 3289
Win: Sacrifice victory 26
Lose: Scenario condition 128
Win: Scenario condition 149
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1399
Lose: Spirit destroyed 79

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4384 46.88% 51.19 -0.228 49.02% -0.009 0.1272
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2500 60.23% 40.84 -5.047 29.36% -0.977 -0.7459
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2733 50.0% 49.52 -0.708 48.48% -0.043 -0.1299
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4196 37.68% 55.61 2.198 57.39% 0.359 -0.0107
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1784 51.53% 47.57 -1.63 43.11% -0.304 -0.5594
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1108 49.1% 57.0 2.886 54.51% 0.15 0.5115
Heart of the Wildfire 4602 81.31% 43.67 -3.38 38.46% -0.455 -0.1054
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 14934 54.83% 56.07 3.004 61.52% 0.521 0.219
Lightning's Swift Strike 6752 55.74% 55.36 2.438 58.18% 0.476 0.7376
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2594 53.86% 57.79 3.568 67.0% 0.729 0.4388
Many Minds Move as One 1067 47.42% 55.19 2.01 60.54% 0.38 -0.147
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8541 51.22% 53.72 1.042 55.01% 0.249 0.0532
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3151 54.29% 51.78 0.48 52.81% 0.164 0.2079
River Surges in Sunlight 8591 53.31% 53.66 1.189 52.0% 0.044 0.1964
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5380 46.8% 46.02 -3.176 39.83% -0.684 -0.5397
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2205 63.71% 43.83 -3.853 34.78% -0.824 -0.3822
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5553 47.14% 56.46 2.696 61.68% 0.495 0.4229
Shroud of Silent Mist 306 70.72% 45.25 -2.981 41.5% -0.493 -0.5159
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3010 45.73% 48.53 -1.409 50.1% -0.04 -0.0607
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3043 54.05% 56.88 3.072 62.57% 0.609 0.8177
Thunderspeaker 4299 51.73% 50.95 -0.096 44.75% -0.043 0.0106
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2329 76.8% 43.27 -3.616 41.13% -0.434 -0.4208
Vital Strength of the Earth 2936 54.38% 37.91 -6.804 22.21% -1.555 -0.6872
Volcano Looming High 1425 61.49% 53.72 1.359 61.19% 0.439 0.4103

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 747 38.6% 38.01 -7.203 26.24% -1.393 -0.8124
Dahan Insurrection 4 2207 37.42% 60.71 6.213 37.92% 0.093 0.4965
Despicable Theft 2 3 66.67% 69.0 8.831 66.67% 0.398 0.7478
Elemental Invocation 1 49 63.27% 43.96 -4.68 30.61% -1.151 -0.7785
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6748 28.57% 61.95 5.97 69.62% 1.193 1.5577
Powers Long Forgotten 1 192 53.65% 44.65 -2.769 29.17% -0.829 -0.3877
Rituals of Terror 3 212 50.94% 46.07 -1.573 21.7% -0.936 -0.3019
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 81 74.07% 37.78 -5.198 11.11% -1.636 -0.9948
Second Wave 0 492 59.96% 47.33 -2.533 35.98% -0.993 -0.5692
The Great River 3 11 54.55% 37.64 -7.84 9.09% -1.713 -0.2918
Ward the Shores 2 295 50.34% 40.27 -4.629 16.61% -1.553 -0.5116

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 48161 55.53% 49.92 -0.46 49.67% -0.428 -0.1008
1 Thematic 2516 37.5% 44.91 -2.882 22.81% -0.675 -0.2015
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6803 63.18% 52.62 0.995 55.42% -0.308 -0.1108
2 Coastline 1280 51.33% 56.06 1.873 61.41% -0.249 -0.0983
2 Fragment 382 66.49% 55.7 2.041 63.09% -0.222 0.1827
2 Heart 84 66.67% 48.93 -1.019 46.43% -0.789 -0.4769
2 Opposite Shores 1308 57.35% 46.8 -2.332 42.89% -1.011 -0.7872
2 Thematic 661 34.39% 43.24 -3.275 18.76% 0.085 0.114
2 Top to Top 336 52.38% 56.51 2.406 61.31% -0.174 -0.0334
3 Coastline 33 60.61% 49.27 -1.718 42.42% -1.103 -1.15
3 Other 111 55.86% 54.32 0.744 58.56% -1.057 -0.6185
3 Round (Default) 3463 54.97% 54.07 0.858 57.7% -0.535 -0.4774
3 Sunrise 73 42.47% 66.6 5.317 83.56% 0.089 -0.1078
3 Thematic 91 30.77% 40.64 -4.874 14.29% 0.287 -0.0742
4 Coastline 33 15.15% 77.76 9.531 96.97% 0.931 1.1023
4 Leaf 8 50.0% 48.0 -1.295 50.0% -0.577 -0.5134
4 Other 54 44.44% 64.7 4.807 81.48% 0.219 0.3501
4 Thematic 1086 29.65% 56.15 1.674 47.51% 2.642 1.5824
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2250 49.06% 57.72 1.545 61.91% -0.621 -0.5833
5 Coastline 3 0.0% 79.67 9.853 100.0% 0.07 -0.0595
5 Other 20 55.0% 72.9 7.834 95.0% 0.396 0.1975
5 Thematic 8 75.0% 84.63 15.807 100.0% 3.031 0.0747

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3458 48.67 -0.897 49.16% 0.053 2.124
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3055 49.84 -0.478 49.98% 0.034 1.956
All Things Weaken 1336 50.05 -0.692 52.69% 0.016 2.1696
Back Against the Wall 2880 47.91 -1.424 46.11% -0.114 1.9819
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3394 43.67 -3.377 42.04% -0.243 1.9826
Downward Spiral 4239 48.22 -1.457 49.0% -0.002 2.0168
Erosion of Will 3434 46.16 -2.25 43.8% -0.208 2.0025
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 676 54.77 1.402 60.5% 0.281 0.9742
Memory Fades to Dust 4096 47.03 -2.082 46.07% -0.147 2.0682
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1329 49.26 -0.9 52.52% 0.053 2.0699
Promising Farmlands 3386 42.18 -4.205 35.91% -0.542 1.6716
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 384 56.07 1.837 64.84% 0.427 0.8568
Thriving Communities 1354 49.56 -0.685 54.06% 0.157 2.2527
Tipping Point 1873 44.89 -2.763 42.18% -0.221 2.0006
Unnatural Proliferation 1353 50.99 -0.105 53.22% 0.072 2.1579
Untended Land Crumbles 1321 48.06 -1.546 49.43% -0.085 2.0114

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 13981 56.87% 49.69 -0.747 48.57% 1.346 0.2449
B 15091 56.1% 51.64 0.203 52.97% 1.478 0.2818
C 18326 56.65% 53.64 1.859 56.94% 1.789 0.3603
D 13424 56.19% 50.38 -0.418 49.84% 1.387 0.1958
E 6098 53.69% 55.55 2.202 61.1% 1.775 0.4762
F 8511 54.98% 52.44 0.494 54.49% 1.477 0.2228
G 6673 55.85% 51.25 0.117 51.91% 1.481 0.2384
H 7170 53.87% 52.68 0.543 54.64% 1.496 0.2388
East 2109 31.82% 50.61 -0.579 32.95% 0.393 -0.5665
Northeast 2262 37.92% 51.38 0.348 35.68% 0.896 -0.0047
Northwest 1645 30.78% 50.83 -0.893 36.11% 0.237 -0.7376
Southeast 180 35.56% 49.31 -1.237 36.67% 0.476 -0.5286
Southwest 184 32.07% 46.52 -3.426 37.5% 0.261 -0.3388
West 1923 28.15% 48.96 -1.693 32.29% -0.018 -0.7179

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 114 0.0% 54.47 -3.241 51.75% -1.066 0.9822
Not Using Events or Tokens 1090 32.04% 46.29 -2.24 19.45% -0.765 -0.5446
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1878 16.69% 70.33 6.385 81.31% 0.821 0.116
Start of Game Growth 3048 20.86% 69.08 6.585 80.15% 1.027 0.5751
Unlimited Undo 6959 49.52% 57.66 3.069 64.88% 0.577 0.1597
Using Tokens but Not Events 4631 41.54% 56.82 2.009 62.49% 0.183 0.1319

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 22219 22.33 4.0%
II 28318 30.75 58.62%
III 15715 34.25 91.65%
IV 2512 37.47 99.52%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.595 Win Model: -1.247
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 50736 54.64% 49.69 48.38%
2 10839 59.18% 51.91 52.68%
3 3747 54.08% 53.94 56.98%
4 3442 42.53% 57.57 58.08%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 596
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11893
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 12580
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2172
Lose: Invader deck ran out 31
Lose: Adversary condition 24555
Win: Sacrifice victory 151
Lose: Scenario condition 683
Win: Scenario condition 886
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8521
Lose: Spirit destroyed 583

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2025-01-22 01:48:30 (Pacific Time)