The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3372 31.63% 31.61 -0.001 82.35% 0.314 0.1343
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2090 55.59% 27.0 0.634 71.53% 0.596 0.6101
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2030 34.46% 30.52 0.002 85.67% -0.046 -0.2914
Downpour Drenches the World 101 31.68% 28.03 -0.222 74.26% -0.0 0.3873
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 8 12.5% 31.63 0.415 87.5% 0.087 0.3226
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2470 25.4% 33.52 1.364 90.61% 0.302 -0.1713
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1995 28.51% 32.36 1.514 91.18% 0.782 0.3354
Finder of Paths Unseen 35 54.29% 23.89 -6.234 48.57% -1.251 -0.8873
Fractured Days Split the Sky 400 40.1% 29.93 -2.472 70.75% -1.322 -1.2181
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 463 48.38% 30.05 0.773 77.11% 0.631 0.5663
Heart of the Wildfire 2768 60.33% 27.02 -2.077 74.39% -0.138 0.1211
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5644 29.99% 35.29 0.312 87.86% 0.048 -0.5349
Lightning's Swift Strike 3204 41.9% 30.93 -1.686 79.78% -0.565 -0.2967
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 42 45.24% 31.71 -0.504 83.33% -0.244 -1.0577
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 304 34.65% 31.69 -0.031 85.86% -0.012 -0.5543
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 228 36.12% 31.64 1.419 82.46% 0.0 -0.4774
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1082 38.76% 31.63 2.171 87.34% 0.738 0.617
Many Minds Move as One 681 27.94% 32.05 1.316 87.81% 0.612 -0.0113
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3628 41.89% 30.45 -0.05 80.51% 0.017 -0.1102
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1889 37.85% 29.46 -0.23 82.27% -0.022 -0.1048
River Surges in Sunlight 4915 31.93% 36.81 1.053 81.26% -0.273 -0.4649
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 403 49.5% 29.97 1.79 70.97% 0.273 0.5605
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 55 45.45% 31.56 3.047 74.55% 0.461 0.0979
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3028 30.61% 35.15 1.428 84.21% 0.363 0.1894
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2139 55.76% 28.44 -2.23 71.44% -0.259 0.1343
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 19 31.58% 32.74 -0.55 63.16% -0.273 -0.1765
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 21 52.38% 29.0 3.011 85.71% 0.446 0.5206
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 234 46.15% 30.15 -0.89 82.05% 0.054 0.018
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 171 55.29% 28.45 0.933 78.36% 0.512 0.5153
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3654 32.66% 34.34 1.047 85.74% 0.52 0.3197
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1 0.0% 0.0 -9.298 0.0% -0.527 -0.2318
Shifting Memory of Ages 295 57.0% 26.11 -1.69 71.19% -0.281 -0.0518
Shroud of Silent Mist 444 57.56% 26.43 -1.094 72.97% 0.067 0.2507
Starlight Seeks its Form 502 27.29% 31.98 1.377 85.06% 0.584 0.4275
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1239 37.56% 27.58 -2.632 83.45% -0.033 -0.2964
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1599 38.22% 28.83 -1.257 78.49% -0.49 -0.4274
Thunderspeaker 3918 27.78% 39.07 2.782 88.06% 0.938 0.8618
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 883 72.63% 23.4 -0.216 68.97% -0.23 -0.4925
Vital Strength of the Earth 2664 35.6% 27.36 -2.954 65.05% -0.906 -0.153
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 36 33.33% 26.67 -1.661 69.44% -0.454 0.1237
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 205 46.8% 23.33 -4.232 51.22% -1.052 0.0978
Volcano Looming High 615 47.71% 27.83 -1.093 80.65% 0.068 0.0647

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 50.0% 35.5 1.681 100.0% 0.129 -0.3177
Blitz 0 454 45.47% 25.99 -1.342 69.38% -0.489 -0.0324
Dahan Insurrection 4 636 26.34% 49.22 5.493 78.14% -0.709 -0.6886
Despicable Theft 2 73 47.95% 33.81 4.009 65.75% -0.432 0.08
Elemental Invocation 1 120 57.98% 25.65 -6.341 56.67% -1.559 -0.8594
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1346 11.98% 34.73 0.714 84.25% -0.769 -0.7277
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1499 16.3% 51.58 3.102 90.99% 0.099 0.6606
Rituals of Terror 3 351 50.71% 35.89 3.703 61.25% -0.674 -0.9614
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 281 76.16% 33.8 5.719 55.87% -0.078 0.352
Second Wave 0 555 56.4% 27.21 0.098 60.72% -0.808 -0.3461
The Great River 3 78 66.67% 30.13 6.279 46.15% 0.351 2.1171
Varied Terrains 2 12 83.33% 35.67 5.538 66.67% -0.258 0.57
Ward the Shores 2 483 45.55% 28.16 -0.854 41.82% -1.439 -0.6952

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 24735 43.85% 28.06 -0.21 76.99% 0.172 0.722
1 Thematic 3056 44.09% 32.6 0.047 66.59% -0.676 0.3214
2 Archipelago 12 50.0% 29.75 0.0 41.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5815 39.61% 29.41 0.038 83.34% 0.468 0.8776
2 Coastline 427 39.76% 29.15 -0.561 83.14% -0.362 -0.2265
2 Fragment 109 49.54% 26.42 -0.934 74.31% 0.143 0.1377
2 Heart 61 50.85% 27.51 0.0 83.61%
2 Opposite Shores 718 42.26% 28.96 -2.25 85.93% -0.228 0.1254
2 Thematic 684 45.1% 34.96 0.303 74.56% -0.089 0.8409
2 Top to Top 102 32.32% 29.67 0.642 87.25% 0.284 0.4103
3 Archipelago 8 50.0% 42.25 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 13 53.85% 27.31 -1.812 46.15% 0.081 -0.3354
3 Other 60 40.0% 30.07 7.921 91.67% 0.155 -0.5644
3 Round (Default) 1812 35.12% 29.96 -0.825 86.04% 0.171 0.3642
3 Sunrise 15 13.33% 31.53 0.0 93.33%
3 Thematic 136 44.85% 36.2 -0.047 74.26% -0.026 -0.0107
4 Coastline 3 100.0% 26.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 29.25 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 39 35.9% 29.03 -2.693 89.74% -0.569 -1.1854
4 Thematic 1446 4.22% 57.57 2.88 98.55% 0.117 0.3996
4 Trapezoid (Default) 890 34.98% 29.49 -0.759 83.82% 0.211 0.3989
5 Other 8 62.5% 26.63 0.161 75.0% 0.188 -0.4425
5 Thematic 5 50.0% 43.2 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 53.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 2 50.0% 24.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 3 0.0% 33.33 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 13 23.08% 41.08 0.783 76.92% 0.034 0.0797
6 Two Centers (Default) 27 22.22% 30.11 -9.298 88.89% -0.527 -0.0634
7 Other 1 0.0% 52.0 -2.01 100.0% 0.034 -0.3268

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1553 22.73 -4.177 60.21% -1.322 0.4086
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1321 22.68 -5.061 56.55% -1.827 -0.2517
All Things Weaken 567 21.99 -3.253 56.79% -1.231 0.6472
Back Against the Wall 1280 22.67 -3.813 56.95% -1.487 0.1498
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1400 19.37 -4.548 53.79% -1.006 0.8367
Downward Spiral 2123 22.06 -2.114 63.21% -0.486 1.2121
Erosion of Will 1487 22.33 -2.756 57.97% -0.706 1.1942
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 265 28.73 1.387 86.42% -0.212 0.2888
Memory Fades to Dust 2046 21.77 -5.037 59.04% -1.583 0.2933
Power Corrodes the Spirit 577 21.83 -3.931 59.45% -1.187 0.5182
Promising Farmlands 1423 19.94 -3.887 52.64% -1.214 0.6614
Shattered Fragments of Power 1 12.0 -11.935 0.0% -0.706 0.4499
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 170 29.07 -0.513 91.76% 0.331 0.5406
Thriving Communities 557 20.12 -5.308 54.4% -1.278 0.5925
Tipping Point 625 20.24 0.0 53.6%
Unnatural Proliferation 583 22.25 -5.206 56.6% -1.469 0.285
Untended Land Crumbles 517 21.64 -2.643 59.96% -1.377 0.4372

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8153 42.25% 28.51 -0.618 79.2% -0.374 0.4035
B 8619 41.38% 28.68 -0.566 80.39% -0.148 0.5553
C 8663 40.28% 28.86 0.644 80.63% 0.475 1.0025
D 8173 39.79% 28.96 -0.947 80.74% -0.476 0.259
E 2629 41.64% 29.24 -1.146 81.97% -0.53 0.0537
F 4457 41.39% 28.75 -0.125 81.18% -0.073 0.6345
G 4232 41.78% 28.4 0.071 80.08% 0.033 0.6754
H 4144 39.9% 28.99 -0.114 81.73% 0.071 0.7159
East 3751 28.02% 43.55 2.002 81.68% -0.026 0.5653
Northeast 2684 22.2% 47.03 2.575 86.33% 0.128 0.8049
Northwest 2298 19.37% 48.74 2.068 88.73% 0.209 0.6469
Southeast 349 38.79% 33.79 3.3 70.77% 0.166 0.8299
Southwest 333 47.89% 29.45 -0.789 66.97% -0.341 0.8306
West 3418 28.1% 42.98 1.437 80.34% -0.396 0.4214

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 134 0.0% 30.79 -0.542 85.07% 0.524 2.5998
Not Using Events or Tokens 729 50.07% 27.94 -0.335 74.76% 0.788 0.9592
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1827 3.49% 54.04 3.596 97.54% 0.828 -0.2308
Start of Game Growth 2169 7.48% 50.66 3.038 95.57% 0.527 0.1052
Unlimited Undo 2147 33.37% 31.35 0.072 85.05% 0.576 0.161
Using Tokens but Not Events 4001 34.15% 30.15 -0.77 82.9% -0.215 -0.0993

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4763 22.63 37.52%
II 13453 31.12 71.4%
III 15046 34.7 88.88%
IV 6951 37.97 98.98%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.347 Win Model: 0.035
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 27890 43.97% 28.57 75.8%
2 7905 40.29% 29.78 82.83%
3 1990 35.3% 30.32 85.63%
4 2373 16.24% 46.61 92.96%
5 6 66.67% 27.0 66.67%
6 47 21.28% 34.06 87.23%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1780
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12955
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8990
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6814
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6
Lose: Invader deck ran out 238
Lose: Adversary condition 2341
Win: Sacrifice victory 173
Lose: Scenario condition 336
Win: Scenario condition 933
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5368
Lose: Spirit destroyed 279

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1983 46.76% 31.97 1.392 74.63% 0.606 0.4265
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1236 65.56% 29.24 0.987 63.27% 0.29 0.3041
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1208 54.89% 30.96 1.417 73.1% 0.455 0.2096
Downpour Drenches the World 93 41.94% 31.24 0.17 69.89% 0.223 0.6101
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 6 33.33% 24.33 -3.969 66.67% -0.377 -0.1419
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1639 37.48% 36.21 3.206 83.77% 1.24 0.7668
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1343 47.73% 34.26 1.967 81.83% 0.617 0.1698
Finder of Paths Unseen 31 67.74% 23.16 -4.04 38.71% -1.147 -0.7838
Fractured Days Split the Sky 216 56.02% 31.91 -4.337 63.43% -0.708 -0.6048
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 278 65.22% 30.25 -0.651 67.63% -0.185 -0.2498
Heart of the Wildfire 1704 79.73% 24.1 -4.335 53.58% -0.859 -0.5998
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3080 54.52% 30.81 0.168 75.26% 0.38 -0.2028
Lightning's Swift Strike 1810 63.11% 29.23 -0.332 65.52% 0.209 0.477
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 29 55.17% 32.59 1.772 79.31% 0.38 -0.4345
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 187 47.85% 35.32 1.304 82.35% 0.535 -0.0076
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 149 53.38% 34.05 -1.534 74.5% -0.157 -0.6347
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 901 54.45% 32.74 1.357 78.47% 0.492 0.3708
Many Minds Move as One 543 39.96% 35.05 2.109 83.61% 0.529 -0.094
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2049 61.87% 30.73 0.931 70.96% 0.353 0.2254
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1279 57.12% 30.02 -0.563 69.98% 0.214 0.1306
River Surges in Sunlight 2335 57.97% 31.11 0.743 63.68% -0.152 -0.3438
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 208 62.02% 29.04 -0.535 57.69% -0.301 -0.013
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 54 64.15% 33.17 -0.814 59.26% -0.38 -0.7429
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1488 54.61% 29.73 -0.268 68.01% 0.086 -0.0873
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1125 76.83% 25.25 -4.277 49.6% -0.721 -0.3279
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 17 70.59% 23.76 -3.707 47.06% -0.482 -0.3856
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 10 50.0% 32.6 2.468 70.0% 0.188 0.2631
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 139 65.47% 27.69 -2.461 59.71% 0.095 0.0588
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 106 72.38% 30.99 2.939 66.04% 0.564 0.5673
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2077 53.0% 31.46 -0.776 72.65% -0.067 -0.2674
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 2 50.0% 37.0 4.097 100.0% 0.288 0.5831
Shifting Memory of Ages 245 63.67% 29.58 0.748 68.16% 0.88 1.1092
Shroud of Silent Mist 265 80.68% 25.34 -1.227 56.23% -0.03 0.1543
Starlight Seeks its Form 379 40.05% 33.93 2.774 79.42% 1.109 0.9528
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 769 49.54% 29.53 0.559 76.46% 0.526 0.2624
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1076 56.97% 28.92 -2.172 63.94% -1.133 -1.0702
Thunderspeaker 1889 55.3% 32.23 0.157 71.41% 0.526 0.4498
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 2 50.0% 17.0 -4.592 50.0% -0.058 0.1467
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 589 83.62% 23.21 -2.147 50.42% -0.79 -1.0522
Vital Strength of the Earth 1602 55.97% 25.35 -3.252 47.88% -1.242 -0.4883
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 30 55.17% 30.2 -1.552 63.33% -0.486 0.0919
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 145 51.03% 23.23 -3.297 35.17% -1.447 -0.2969
Volcano Looming High 456 67.69% 27.57 0.14 64.69% -0.065 -0.0684

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 66.67% 30.0 -0.898 66.67% 0.178 -0.2687
Blitz 0 450 54.91% 27.69 -1.203 63.33% -0.015 0.4421
Dahan Insurrection 4 351 41.88% 49.81 12.163 69.23% 0.518 0.5378
Despicable Theft 2 60 55.0% 33.73 4.153 55.0% 0.227 0.739
Elemental Invocation 1 71 69.01% 30.17 2.562 59.15% 0.067 0.7661
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 888 24.38% 35.18 2.054 75.11% 0.069 0.1099
Powers Long Forgotten 1 369 66.12% 31.01 -2.236 55.01% -0.282 0.2798
Rituals of Terror 3 226 67.26% 36.18 2.375 47.35% 0.011 -0.277
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 183 82.51% 33.51 -3.366 44.26% -1.034 -0.6034
Second Wave 0 1317 57.88% 30.91 0.391 62.95% -0.5 -0.038
The Great River 3 58 81.03% 25.05 -3.092 24.14% -1.149 0.6177
Varied Terrains 2 14 64.29% 28.79 -3.517 35.71% -0.615 0.2132
Ward the Shores 2 326 50.0% 28.71 -0.377 33.74% -0.963 -0.2186

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 14530 58.06% 28.44 -0.806 65.46% 0.132 0.6824
1 Thematic 2442 55.39% 33.19 1.843 58.89% -0.018 0.9795
2 Archipelago 9 66.67% 30.56 -5.349 66.67% -0.821 -0.2038
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3475 58.82% 29.8 0.541 71.28% 0.444 0.854
2 Coastline 330 56.31% 30.96 1.133 74.55% 0.655 0.7909
2 Fragment 114 58.41% 28.01 0.304 65.79% 0.196 0.1913
2 Heart 55 70.37% 26.8 -5.375 61.82% -0.467 0.0082
2 Opposite Shores 597 57.74% 29.94 -0.73 72.53% 0.069 0.4226
2 Thematic 694 57.93% 33.81 1.354 60.95% 0.149 1.0785
2 Top to Top 91 72.53% 28.92 -0.625 74.73% 0.136 0.2628
3 Archipelago 11 63.64% 33.73 1.949 36.36% -0.432 -0.2529
3 Coastline 9 66.67% 25.33 0.0 44.44%
3 Other 57 47.37% 33.54 3.329 85.96% 0.141 -0.5777
3 Round (Default) 1165 55.95% 31.62 0.577 76.74% -0.024 0.17
3 Sunrise 13 61.54% 28.23 3.037 76.92% 0.323 0.472
3 Thematic 121 63.64% 33.68 -9.395 61.16% -1.273 -1.2583
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 37.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 32.4 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 26 57.69% 33.12 -2.814 80.77% 0.066 -0.5504
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 191 51.05% 38.03 3.362 73.3% 0.575 0.8577
4 Trapezoid (Default) 480 51.37% 32.1 -0.507 74.58% 0.093 0.2807
5 Other 17 75.0% 33.0 0.21 58.82% 0.455 -0.1757
6 Archipelago 2 100.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 1 100.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Thematic 15 35.71% 44.07 1.147 80.0% 0.072 0.1183
6 Two Centers (Default) 10 30.0% 41.4 -9.274 90.0% -0.628 -0.1646
7 Other 1 0.0% 51.0 1.719 100.0% 0.006 -0.3544

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1309 24.81 -4.471 52.86% -1.374 0.3564
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1050 25.38 -1.884 51.52% -1.166 0.4092
All Things Weaken 510 23.9 -5.51 50.98% -1.84 0.0377
Back Against the Wall 1041 25.13 0.431 52.35% 0.121 1.7581
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1127 21.17 -4.121 46.94% -1.035 0.8077
Downward Spiral 1745 23.59 -3.923 55.24% -1.067 0.6308
Erosion of Will 1267 23.81 -4.401 49.01% -1.382 0.5185
Intensifying Exploitation 1 36.0 1.993 100.0% 0.147 1.0362
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 193 31.76 0.281 81.35% 0.243 0.7434
Memory Fades to Dust 1806 23.25 -2.995 51.05% -0.679 1.1974
Power Corrodes the Spirit 528 23.11 -4.073 51.14% -1.082 0.6222
Promising Farmlands 1237 21.86 -4.588 45.43% -1.306 0.5695
Shattered Fragments of Power 1 31.0 0.851 100.0% 0.241 1.3968
Slow Dissolution of Will 1 0.0 -13.247 0.0% -0.577 0.8942
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 109 32.67 3.739 81.65% 0.553 0.7631
Thriving Communities 514 22.51 -3.043 45.33% -1.274 0.5964
Tipping Point 530 23.35 0.0 49.43%
Unnatural Proliferation 592 25.11 -4.087 51.01% -1.506 0.2482
Untended Land Crumbles 492 22.79 -6.891 50.41% -1.959 -0.1447

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4960 59.02% 28.78 -0.221 67.08% -0.042 0.7352
B 5265 57.37% 29.7 -0.448 70.31% -0.215 0.488
C 5194 56.41% 29.94 -0.661 70.83% -0.321 0.2065
D 4927 58.18% 29.49 -0.035 68.91% -0.089 0.6457
E 1848 57.34% 29.77 0.526 68.99% -0.044 0.5404
F 2723 59.03% 29.49 0.333 69.7% 0.38 1.0873
G 2471 58.15% 29.54 -0.352 68.51% -0.149 0.4932
H 2545 55.14% 30.2 0.628 71.47% 0.252 0.897
East 2135 54.91% 34.86 1.366 62.53% -0.142 0.4496
Northeast 1192 55.42% 35.12 1.869 64.01% -0.231 0.4463
Northwest 982 55.32% 34.8 3.472 64.46% 0.358 0.7957
Southeast 310 50.32% 33.52 -3.722 62.26% -0.978 -0.3144
Southwest 297 55.93% 29.27 0.053 59.26% 0.295 1.4666
West 1973 57.12% 33.01 2.171 59.25% -0.108 0.7094

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 100 0.0% 26.69 -3.07 57.0% -0.584 1.4912
Not Using Events or Tokens 369 64.8% 27.67 -5.312 61.79% -1.239 -1.0673
Skip Initial Invader Actions 419 18.23% 44.85 3.775 91.65% 0.992 -0.0671
Start of Game Growth 582 21.47% 43.34 4.644 90.55% 1.321 0.8989
Unlimited Undo 1786 52.13% 31.01 0.44 72.45% 0.196 -0.2192
Using Tokens but Not Events 2403 53.2% 29.62 -0.063 69.7% -0.06 0.0553

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3125 22.63 8.51%
II 7265 31.12 47.3%
III 9069 34.7 84.23%
IV 5007 37.97 99.2%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.176 Win Model: -0.004
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 17049 57.76% 29.14 64.46%
2 5338 58.69% 30.36 70.36%
3 1335 55.79% 31.65 75.36%
4 706 52.14% 33.69 74.36%
5 10 77.78% 40.7 80.0%
6 28 37.04% 42.07 82.14%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 265
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7417
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3169
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4913
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 12
Lose: Invader deck ran out 103
Lose: Adversary condition 2129
Win: Sacrifice victory 100
Lose: Scenario condition 284
Win: Scenario condition 444
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5335
Lose: Spirit destroyed 295

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3721 35.52% 36.92 2.372 57.0% 0.543 0.3639
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2122 51.27% 30.56 -3.057 39.73% -0.77 -0.7553
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2278 39.02% 33.96 -1.903 53.03% -0.456 -0.7018
Downpour Drenches the World 203 34.65% 32.14 -4.528 39.9% -1.211 -0.8237
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 17 47.06% 30.59 -2.929 41.18% -0.43 -0.1942
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2946 28.7% 39.19 0.364 62.66% 0.212 -0.2617
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1874 38.65% 34.04 -1.272 49.52% -0.062 -0.5086
Finder of Paths Unseen 51 41.18% 30.31 -4.568 31.37% -0.962 -0.5985
Fractured Days Split the Sky 625 40.22% 37.72 5.937 50.08% 0.894 0.9978
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 792 55.43% 39.16 0.606 59.97% 0.283 0.2184
Heart of the Wildfire 3758 67.73% 33.61 1.683 56.41% 0.515 0.7742
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5833 43.34% 36.69 0.726 61.8% 0.402 -0.1806
Lightning's Swift Strike 2756 48.48% 36.87 -0.418 61.1% -0.154 0.1138
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 91 45.98% 42.66 1.949 76.92% 0.749 -0.0647
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 543 41.04% 43.52 -1.377 76.06% -0.044 -0.5862
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 344 41.86% 42.51 -2.985 66.57% -0.274 -0.7515
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1926 40.89% 39.42 5.049 68.17% 1.823 1.7018
Many Minds Move as One 991 35.35% 37.8 2.581 61.86% 0.699 0.0756
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4093 48.31% 34.79 1.664 52.09% 0.533 0.4054
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2178 38.44% 35.99 0.864 57.58% 0.129 0.0459
River Surges in Sunlight 4592 41.33% 37.47 1.661 52.77% 0.086 -0.1054
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 452 46.55% 33.08 -1.005 40.04% -0.292 -0.0046
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 172 47.02% 39.83 1.791 49.42% 0.063 -0.2997
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3272 42.12% 30.27 -3.093 39.88% -0.873 -1.0463
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1639 62.04% 28.58 -3.371 35.33% -0.796 -0.4032
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 23 73.91% 33.52 0.152 47.83% -0.087 0.0099
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 33 48.48% 41.15 -0.759 72.73% 0.02 0.0949
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 388 52.06% 34.58 0.649 51.55% 0.37 0.3336
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 166 63.25% 31.77 0.516 43.98% 0.215 0.2189
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3715 41.35% 39.01 1.851 66.3% 0.801 0.6011
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 2 50.0% 35.0 -0.763 50.0% -0.108 0.1868
Shifting Memory of Ages 514 54.09% 30.4 -1.924 39.49% -0.438 -0.2089
Shroud of Silent Mist 550 64.48% 29.28 -3.01 40.73% -0.313 -0.1293
Starlight Seeks its Form 616 41.56% 32.01 -0.645 41.4% 0.019 -0.1375
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1751 35.99% 32.24 -1.092 51.63% -0.405 -0.6684
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1839 40.62% 38.48 1.353 64.22% 0.412 0.4749
Thunderspeaker 3406 43.84% 38.35 1.351 59.95% 0.525 0.4488
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 5 40.0% 37.2 1.245 60.0% 0.156 0.3616
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1315 68.65% 27.86 -3.731 41.06% -0.57 -0.8319
Vital Strength of the Earth 2511 38.39% 26.75 -4.141 27.84% -1.027 -0.2733
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 70 36.23% 35.79 1.629 51.43% 0.584 1.1619
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 210 41.15% 28.1 -6.606 33.81% -1.311 -0.1607
Volcano Looming High 989 50.86% 35.02 1.798 59.35% 0.859 0.8554

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 22 50.0% 26.68 -4.867 18.18% -0.806 -1.2531
Blitz 0 561 34.11% 22.63 3.322 20.32% -1.047 -0.5901
Dahan Insurrection 4 741 24.97% 58.35 10.373 65.59% 0.607 0.6273
Despicable Theft 2 93 66.67% 36.85 1.746 40.86% -0.378 0.1347
Elemental Invocation 1 112 53.57% 31.91 -3.69 39.29% -0.81 -0.1112
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1313 19.42% 41.75 4.549 68.47% 1.103 1.1441
Powers Long Forgotten 1 342 53.51% 35.01 1.328 43.27% -0.117 0.4448
Rituals of Terror 3 186 49.46% 43.67 3.793 48.39% 0.008 -0.2796
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 82 69.14% 37.76 10.786 35.37% 0.465 0.8957
Second Wave 0 736 44.13% 32.99 -1.097 40.22% -0.712 -0.2498
The Great River 3 44 18.18% 26.23 0.0 6.82%
Varied Terrains 2 13 69.23% 37.23 0.0 38.46%
Ward the Shores 2 414 44.93% 36.67 -5.332 36.23% -1.478 -0.7342

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 27538 45.84% 33.26 -0.331 51.03% 0.472 1.0223
1 Thematic 1353 39.02% 34.11 -2.038 36.51% -0.237 0.7613
2 Archipelago 19 78.95% 33.16 0.0 42.11%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6833 47.7% 34.66 0.75 55.61% 0.478 0.8882
2 Coastline 703 46.64% 34.66 -5.01 54.62% -0.524 -0.3885
2 Fragment 174 63.22% 30.21 2.087 44.83% 0.657 0.6522
2 Heart 59 55.93% 31.56 -6.332 49.15% -0.811 -0.3358
2 Opposite Shores 1403 50.18% 32.75 -2.872 50.18% -0.439 -0.0854
2 Thematic 667 37.99% 31.97 -3.288 30.13% -0.373 0.5564
2 Top to Top 186 54.84% 35.72 -2.792 61.29% -0.056 0.0708
3 Archipelago 4 100.0% 53.0 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 9 22.22% 42.22 0.0 66.67%
3 Other 71 40.85% 36.7 -2.018 66.2% -0.157 -0.8758
3 Round (Default) 2592 43.63% 36.51 1.442 58.99% 0.442 0.636
3 Sunrise 9 33.33% 42.67 0.0 77.78%
3 Thematic 127 40.94% 37.22 4.188 40.16% 0.422 0.4368
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 92.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 17.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 15 66.67% 39.67 -0.94 66.67% -0.294 -0.39
4 Other 48 41.67% 43.29 4.837 79.17% 0.266 -0.3505
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 570 16.14% 53.35 5.195 73.33% 0.39 0.6726
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1204 42.71% 38.58 1.198 63.04% 0.212 0.3994
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 31.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 29 62.07% 36.21 -2.925 48.28% -0.095 -0.7257
5 Thematic 9 22.22% 54.33 2.043 55.56% 0.094 -0.8808
6 Other 4 0.0% 48.25 0.0 75.0%
6 Star 2 0.0% 56.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 69 28.36% 43.96 -2.737 46.38% -0.475 -0.4287
6 Two Centers (Default) 23 47.83% 42.52 0.0 73.91%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1820 30.98 1.361 49.45% 0.684 2.4144
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1546 32.37 -0.314 50.45% -0.13 1.4454
All Things Weaken 813 30.51 -0.942 46.99% 0.018 1.8961
Attenuated Essence 1 55.0 12.289 100.0% 0.55 1.4041
Back Against the Wall 1498 31.76 -2.95 48.73% -0.487 1.1502
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1753 27.38 -4.034 43.18% -0.586 1.2567
Downward Spiral 2124 30.1 -5.057 48.68% -0.893 0.8056
Erosion of Will 1738 29.38 -3.113 44.25% -0.51 1.3901
Intensifying Exploitation 2 14.5 -10.175 0.0% -0.636 0.253
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 428 33.18 2.02 53.74% 0.386 0.886
Memory Fades to Dust 2211 29.52 -1.019 45.5% -0.005 1.8712
Power Corrodes the Spirit 764 29.73 -0.947 46.2% 0.379 2.0839
Promising Farmlands 1829 26.4 -2.344 35.43% -0.149 1.727
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 218 34.56 -0.706 59.63% -0.047 0.1628
Thriving Communities 787 29.33 -5.27 47.01% -0.805 1.066
Tipping Point 791 27.05 0.0 39.19%
Unnatural Proliferation 750 30.35 -0.729 44.53% -0.03 1.7244
Untended Land Crumbles 760 28.28 -5.103 42.89% -0.993 0.8209

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9544 47.8% 33.66 0.404 52.19% 0.156 0.933
B 10344 46.14% 34.67 0.464 55.17% 0.175 0.8779
C 10921 44.6% 34.54 0.038 54.46% -0.009 0.5188
D 9652 47.27% 33.62 -0.428 51.78% -0.087 0.6474
E 3995 44.59% 36.35 0.862 58.77% 0.167 0.7505
F 5287 46.3% 34.98 1.106 55.4% 0.331 1.0379
G 4991 45.98% 34.9 -0.825 55.24% -0.15 0.4924
H 5137 45.51% 35.23 -1.65 55.95% -0.381 0.2646
East 1981 32.2% 40.32 3.578 46.79% 0.237 0.8284
Northeast 1302 31.41% 42.65 2.825 51.38% -0.03 0.6473
Northwest 1150 30.05% 43.15 3.145 52.78% 0.212 0.65
Southeast 267 27.55% 39.55 -2.158 45.32% -0.938 -0.2744
Southwest 263 31.03% 37.67 0.399 43.35% 0.222 1.3935
West 1913 31.19% 39.4 1.978 45.16% -0.241 0.5767

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 84 0.0% 37.19 1.721 60.71% 0.298 2.3731
Not Using Events or Tokens 282 38.46% 27.18 -7.635 27.66% -0.3 -0.128
Skip Initial Invader Actions 451 15.0% 51.47 7.431 80.27% 0.755 -0.3043
Start of Game Growth 948 20.31% 48.51 4.375 74.37% 0.752 0.3296
Unlimited Undo 2777 42.74% 36.87 2.718 58.7% 0.219 -0.1966
Using Tokens but Not Events 2765 39.89% 34.41 -0.623 52.55% 0.003 0.119

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10423 22.63 3.92%
II 17021 31.12 44.33%
III 11710 34.7 88.0%
IV 4591 37.97 99.3%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.511 Win Model: 0.312
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 29009 45.59% 33.31 50.3%
2 10009 47.72% 34.13 53.06%
3 2773 43.05% 36.68 58.78%
4 1841 34.74% 43.36 66.59%
5 16 43.75% 30.94 37.5%
6 97 30.53% 44.57 55.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 408
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10019
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6934
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4529
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 9
Lose: Invader deck ran out 35
Lose: Adversary condition 15688
Win: Sacrifice victory 100
Lose: Scenario condition 367
Win: Scenario condition 828
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4519
Lose: Spirit destroyed 309

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3117 44.92% 40.23 -0.431 51.01% -0.021 -0.1999
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1692 62.5% 33.08 -0.747 32.68% 0.007 0.0209
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1906 49.89% 39.43 -1.326 51.21% -0.115 -0.3607
Downpour Drenches the World 192 42.41% 36.11 -2.444 32.29% -0.75 -0.362
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 13 23.08% 40.08 0.391 61.54% 0.515 0.7506
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2472 44.43% 43.35 0.002 58.13% 0.094 -0.3797
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1592 49.56% 38.16 -2.128 44.6% -0.393 -0.84
Finder of Paths Unseen 76 55.26% 35.7 -2.53 36.84% -0.552 -0.1889
Fractured Days Split the Sky 598 52.01% 41.59 2.497 44.48% 0.284 0.3875
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 719 61.2% 45.13 3.301 62.45% 0.67 0.6058
Heart of the Wildfire 2815 80.09% 34.16 -0.515 43.16% 0.11 0.3692
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8660 53.77% 41.54 0.52 55.73% 0.298 -0.2851
Lightning's Swift Strike 2449 59.52% 39.08 0.29 50.55% 0.148 0.4155
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 128 57.72% 47.44 3.842 66.41% 0.746 -0.0683
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 531 52.08% 48.54 6.001 70.24% 1.017 0.4742
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 343 55.98% 44.76 -1.69 59.18% -0.211 -0.6891
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1752 60.42% 41.0 1.794 55.94% 0.411 0.29
Many Minds Move as One 819 41.32% 42.95 1.323 57.75% 0.247 -0.3756
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3801 56.54% 39.63 0.697 50.41% 0.177 0.0494
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1993 52.99% 39.44 1.377 50.98% 0.374 0.2909
River Surges in Sunlight 4174 52.62% 40.15 0.127 46.12% -0.133 -0.325
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 392 56.78% 35.62 -1.892 34.69% -0.394 -0.1063
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 143 52.82% 48.27 2.977 60.14% 0.256 -0.1072
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2941 50.92% 36.04 -2.209 40.29% -0.231 -0.404
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1287 72.35% 31.74 -4.084 30.23% -0.571 -0.1785
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 14 71.43% 35.79 -9.828 35.71% -0.304 -0.2075
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 44 70.45% 35.02 -4.295 38.64% -0.782 -0.7075
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 300 69.0% 36.35 -3.623 41.33% -0.347 -0.3829
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 136 71.11% 31.68 -2.828 29.41% -0.114 -0.1108
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3967 51.32% 43.29 1.103 60.42% 0.255 0.0547
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 6 50.0% 39.67 2.967 50.0% 0.226 0.5206
Shifting Memory of Ages 490 70.82% 34.9 -4.801 38.78% -0.915 -0.6858
Shroud of Silent Mist 532 70.68% 30.12 -6.758 27.82% -0.966 -0.7818
Starlight Seeks its Form 594 53.2% 39.07 -0.597 46.63% 0.034 -0.1223
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1820 50.22% 37.0 -1.541 48.85% -0.139 -0.4024
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1482 55.07% 41.7 2.617 56.41% 0.363 0.4262
Thunderspeaker 3101 57.26% 41.26 4.002 51.76% 1.0 0.9234
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 4 0.0% 36.0 -1.344 50.0% 0.123 0.3285
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1367 78.83% 32.12 -1.436 37.67% 0.084 -0.1784
Vital Strength of the Earth 2015 50.5% 31.66 -1.932 28.24% -0.564 0.1895
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 61 38.6% 37.48 0.977 39.34% -0.029 0.5487
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 177 46.33% 30.5 -2.665 23.73% -0.287 0.8627
Volcano Looming High 1054 65.56% 38.36 0.984 53.13% 0.534 0.53

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 100.0% 55.0 5.549 100.0% 0.273 -0.1743
Blitz 0 341 37.65% 28.15 -5.483 22.29% -0.379 0.0777
Dahan Insurrection 4 456 42.98% 52.86 13.802 42.98% 0.38 0.3995
Despicable Theft 2 26 53.85% 49.81 13.712 57.69% 0.132 0.6441
Elemental Invocation 1 56 64.29% 35.64 -4.493 33.93% -0.14 0.5588
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1314 22.04% 50.51 7.049 72.75% 1.431 1.472
Powers Long Forgotten 1 194 62.89% 37.8 0.239 38.14% -0.067 0.4948
Rituals of Terror 3 142 62.14% 41.02 0.956 30.28% -0.216 -0.5036
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 88 77.27% 36.93 12.54 23.86% 0.314 0.7439
Second Wave 0 468 51.07% 34.43 0.063 30.34% -0.564 -0.1018
The Great River 3 23 39.13% 35.39 18.546 17.39% 0.341 2.1078
Varied Terrains 2 11 36.36% 29.64 -4.339 9.09% -0.612 0.2161
Ward the Shores 2 205 60.0% 34.09 -1.877 20.49% 0.024 0.7684

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 28273 56.49% 37.78 0.666 46.61% 0.438 0.9883
1 Thematic 1146 43.84% 34.15 -4.21 23.91% -0.619 0.3792
2 Archipelago 5 80.0% 50.0 0.0 80.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6093 60.54% 38.64 -1.571 49.89% -0.143 0.2672
2 Coastline 610 58.72% 40.04 -5.581 54.26% -0.511 -0.3756
2 Fragment 152 64.47% 39.57 -7.985 53.29% -0.242 -0.2472
2 Heart 55 76.36% 46.25 2.555 67.27% 0.395 0.8704
2 Opposite Shores 1253 54.55% 39.41 -1.484 51.32% -0.335 0.0186
2 Thematic 344 39.24% 31.82 -4.69 17.73% -0.644 0.2857
2 Top to Top 145 65.97% 39.03 1.111 52.41% 0.112 0.2381
3 Coastline 19 31.58% 43.05 0.0 47.37%
3 Other 93 43.01% 47.69 -4.883 74.19% -0.573 -1.2922
3 Round (Default) 2627 56.41% 42.59 1.333 58.24% 0.262 0.456
3 Sunrise 11 45.45% 49.73 0.0 72.73%
3 Thematic 113 30.09% 33.77 -3.48 20.35% -0.354 -0.3395
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 36.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Coastline 3 100.0% 49.0 12.144 66.67% 0.23 0.1575
4 Leaf 10 50.0% 36.0 0.0 40.0%
4 Other 50 58.0% 41.46 0.0 56.0%
4 Thematic 316 35.99% 39.04 2.076 30.7% 0.119 0.4013
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1085 51.4% 44.38 2.834 61.2% 0.346 0.5339
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 43.33 0.0 33.33%
5 Other 29 77.78% 51.97 9.434 65.52% 0.46 -0.1704
5 Thematic 2 100.0% 67.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 21 28.57% 51.0 0.0 61.9%
6 Star 8 25.0% 47.13 -8.279 50.0% -0.478 0.0681
6 Thematic 30 34.48% 39.43 0.0 16.67%
6 Two Centers (Default) 33 42.42% 45.67 4.173 54.55% 0.042 0.505
7 Other 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2204 36.23 -0.829 45.74% 0.133 1.8636
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1880 38.25 -3.006 48.99% -0.535 1.041
All Things Weaken 1029 37.22 -0.185 48.69% 0.048 1.9262
Back Against the Wall 1852 37.14 -3.023 46.49% -0.624 1.0123
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2046 32.57 -1.62 39.54% 0.12 1.9631
Downward Spiral 2562 35.01 -1.162 44.65% -0.034 1.6646
Erosion of Will 2189 34.64 -4.544 41.02% -0.818 1.0817
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 447 40.93 -0.507 56.38% -0.096 0.4041
Memory Fades to Dust 2490 35.1 -2.322 43.49% -0.452 1.4238
Power Corrodes the Spirit 941 36.16 0.707 46.76% 0.355 2.0598
Promising Farmlands 2115 31.75 -4.087 34.37% -0.728 1.1473
Slow Dissolution of Will 1 18.0 -11.905 0.0% -0.432 1.0389
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 265 42.65 6.91 60.38% 1.163 1.3736
Thriving Communities 1002 36.42 0.274 48.3% 0.308 2.1788
Thriving Crops 1 21.0 -10.404 0.0% -0.432 0.5228
Tipping Point 917 33.01 0.0 37.73%
Unnatural Proliferation 995 36.95 -2.458 44.92% -0.518 1.236
Untended Land Crumbles 939 34.2 -0.412 41.64% 0.034 1.8488

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9387 58.61% 38.69 0.743 49.04% 0.161 0.9386
B 9885 56.77% 39.29 1.21 50.46% 0.049 0.7526
C 10244 55.41% 39.71 0.603 51.33% 0.121 0.649
D 9210 56.81% 39.1 -0.445 49.99% -0.097 0.6378
E 4075 57.14% 41.33 0.305 55.19% 0.027 0.6112
F 5456 56.21% 39.59 0.973 50.92% 0.148 0.8548
G 5100 57.94% 38.24 -2.043 47.88% -0.42 0.2222
H 5018 56.18% 40.48 0.073 53.09% 0.06 0.7051
East 1352 39.47% 35.87 -1.8 24.78% -0.22 0.3719
Northeast 830 38.86% 37.53 -2.055 27.47% -0.292 0.3852
Northwest 662 39.91% 35.7 -1.33 24.77% -0.687 -0.2491
Southeast 183 43.96% 33.62 -0.92 22.95% -0.17 0.4936
Southwest 180 41.34% 30.43 -3.593 19.44% -0.566 0.6059
West 1198 38.58% 33.8 -1.034 21.37% -0.562 0.256

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 72 0.0% 44.57 -3.665 63.89% -0.443 1.6324
Not Using Events or Tokens 281 48.73% 30.09 0.0 24.2%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 637 13.72% 56.53 4.184 77.71% 0.461 -0.5977
Start of Game Growth 909 17.41% 54.04 2.833 74.59% 0.257 -0.1653
Unlimited Undo 3257 51.04% 41.21 1.043 53.36% 0.199 -0.2167
Using Tokens but Not Events 2269 49.43% 38.23 0.146 47.42% 0.151 0.2667

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14111 22.63 2.85%
II 13378 31.12 44.88%
III 10398 34.7 88.53%
IV 4654 37.97 99.16%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.24 Win Model: 0.152
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 29504 56.04% 37.65 45.73%
2 8614 58.85% 38.65 49.4%
3 2850 54.58% 42.44 57.4%
4 1470 48.62% 43.09 54.15%
5 11 70.0% 59.82 72.73%
6 92 34.07% 44.46 42.39%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 402
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9005
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5775
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4580
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 18
Lose: Invader deck ran out 124
Lose: Adversary condition 15281
Win: Sacrifice victory 101
Lose: Scenario condition 343
Win: Scenario condition 363
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6131
Lose: Spirit destroyed 418

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2499 40.69% 45.04 0.434 53.66% 0.142 -0.0375
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1197 58.76% 36.14 -6.143 32.33% -0.759 -0.7444
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2096 42.36% 47.44 0.492 62.31% 0.091 -0.1544
Downpour Drenches the World 145 43.45% 36.18 -0.688 29.66% -0.237 0.1508
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 12 33.33% 33.25 -5.508 41.67% -0.47 -0.2351
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1618 43.93% 45.3 0.994 53.77% 0.283 -0.1903
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1665 39.93% 48.68 0.42 62.58% -0.064 -0.5112
Finder of Paths Unseen 49 61.22% 38.63 0.978 38.78% 0.24 0.6034
Fractured Days Split the Sky 438 49.09% 46.66 0.378 50.0% -0.057 0.0471
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 442 59.28% 45.68 2.989 54.07% 0.322 0.257
Heart of the Wildfire 2383 76.11% 38.71 0.547 44.02% 0.411 0.6699
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5056 47.98% 45.64 1.91 57.28% 0.396 -0.1867
Lightning's Swift Strike 1549 58.77% 43.45 1.486 51.39% 0.131 0.3992
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 72 63.24% 50.33 3.962 65.28% 0.56 -0.2544
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 342 51.76% 52.6 4.64 69.3% 0.885 0.3429
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 191 44.5% 50.42 7.957 67.02% 0.514 0.0365
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1242 55.44% 46.3 -0.056 59.42% -0.001 -0.1217
Many Minds Move as One 520 46.73% 47.16 1.946 59.04% 0.195 -0.4276
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3585 50.8% 45.07 -2.91 54.76% -0.554 -0.6813
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1341 51.08% 44.25 3.81 54.14% 0.905 0.8222
River Surges in Sunlight 3076 49.77% 45.53 0.946 51.07% 0.146 -0.0455
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 301 50.17% 43.22 3.053 47.18% 0.469 0.7571
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 87 58.14% 51.46 7.364 54.02% 1.126 0.7632
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1980 46.99% 39.89 -1.059 41.57% -0.322 -0.4951
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 786 65.14% 37.16 -11.699 35.75% -0.49 -0.0975
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 17 82.35% 37.65 -7.571 35.29% -0.469 -0.3727
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 49 73.47% 32.18 -5.477 22.45% -0.98 -0.9054
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 200 71.36% 35.48 -11.273 31.5% -0.737 -0.7728
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 107 74.77% 33.01 0.0 27.1%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2857 46.18% 49.02 3.741 64.4% 0.749 0.5488
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 6 50.0% 37.83 -2.229 50.0% 0.074 0.3688
Shifting Memory of Ages 344 65.7% 38.17 -2.257 37.5% -0.132 0.0966
Shroud of Silent Mist 726 69.1% 40.2 -8.631 46.28% -1.397 -1.2127
Starlight Seeks its Form 512 47.66% 40.54 -1.521 40.82% -0.227 -0.3828
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1154 46.88% 41.0 -0.982 49.48% 0.009 -0.2542
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1200 53.85% 46.09 2.105 58.58% 0.632 0.6947
Thunderspeaker 2122 56.68% 45.12 -0.667 52.69% -0.247 -0.3233
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 4 75.0% 42.25 -0.015 50.0% -0.032 0.173
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 823 75.64% 35.09 -0.473 37.3% -0.085 -0.3469
Vital Strength of the Earth 1192 48.61% 36.54 -1.556 31.63% -0.381 0.3726
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 48 44.68% 38.92 1.261 37.5% 0.244 0.8217
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 100 50.0% 33.18 -11.822 25.0% -0.953 0.1972
Volcano Looming High 726 63.36% 41.93 -1.448 52.62% -0.067 -0.0708

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 154 31.82% 30.69 -10.019 22.08% -0.955 -0.4983
Dahan Insurrection 4 369 41.73% 56.57 12.719 43.36% 0.318 0.3379
Despicable Theft 2 16 43.75% 37.13 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 57 52.63% 32.05 -2.275 15.79% -0.49 0.2093
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1057 18.48% 53.45 7.239 69.63% 1.268 1.3096
Powers Long Forgotten 1 111 61.26% 37.91 -8.763 28.83% -0.533 0.0285
Rituals of Terror 3 90 48.89% 43.72 15.167 30.0% 0.169 -0.1192
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 185 70.81% 36.09 -4.377 16.76% -1.195 -0.7644
Second Wave 0 262 56.32% 39.71 1.944 36.26% 0.13 0.5919
The Great River 3 13 30.77% 32.77 0.0 7.69%
Varied Terrains 2 7 85.71% 46.0 0.0 42.86%
Ward the Shores 2 174 59.77% 34.83 12.672 15.52% 0.675 1.4185

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 18283 52.94% 42.14 -0.383 48.91% 0.205 0.7546
1 Thematic 908 40.64% 36.11 -8.003 21.37% -0.63 0.368
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4306 57.95% 43.1 0.023 52.16% -0.023 0.3871
2 Coastline 397 54.94% 43.34 4.483 52.39% 1.061 1.197
2 Fragment 84 64.29% 38.81 7.507 42.86% 0.374 0.3693
2 Heart 45 68.89% 36.64 -1.613 40.0% 0.049 0.524
2 Opposite Shores 825 53.7% 42.31 0.789 49.09% 0.113 0.4667
2 Thematic 293 39.25% 34.14 -4.838 16.72% -0.454 0.475
2 Top to Top 271 52.4% 46.89 -1.763 61.99% -0.097 0.03
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 67.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 15 40.0% 43.53 0.0 46.67%
3 Other 60 45.0% 51.6 7.827 73.33% 0.41 -0.3096
3 Round (Default) 2199 49.84% 47.01 0.905 60.16% -0.168 0.0256
3 Sunrise 6 83.33% 41.17 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 59 40.68% 34.42 0.0 15.25%
4 Archipelago 20 80.0% 43.8 0.0 45.0%
4 Coastline 9 11.11% 66.78 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 17 35.29% 54.24 0.0 82.35%
4 Other 47 53.19% 53.11 6.663 76.6% 0.312 -0.3037
4 Snake 5 100.0% 28.0 0.0 20.0%
4 Thematic 244 39.34% 43.97 -1.027 36.89% -0.281 0.002
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1139 46.35% 50.72 0.261 65.85% -0.221 -0.033
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 40.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 16 62.5% 56.38 3.015 87.5% 0.04 -0.5904
5 Thematic 5 40.0% 59.0 0.0 20.0%
6 Archipelago 2 50.0% 27.5 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 3 0.0% 74.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 8 25.0% 51.13 0.0 62.5%
6 Thematic 6 0.0% 31.83 0.0 0.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 20 40.0% 51.4 -2.622 65.0% -0.166 0.2968

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1429 40.77 2.031 49.13% 0.599 2.3299
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1116 43.16 0.09 52.24% 0.151 1.7262
All Things Weaken 592 42.09 2.558 51.69% 0.681 2.5588
Back Against the Wall 1139 42.4 -4.572 49.87% -0.573 1.0639
Burn Brightest Before the End 1 62.0 8.243 100.0% 0.238 1.2464
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1412 36.38 -3.18 41.71% -0.203 1.6404
Downward Spiral 1582 39.02 -0.007 46.46% 0.305 2.0036
Erosion of Will 1388 38.48 -1.42 42.72% 0.048 1.9484
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 298 43.19 -4.13 52.68% -0.369 0.1315
Memory Fades to Dust 1651 38.79 -0.138 44.76% 0.316 2.1922
Power Corrodes the Spirit 589 39.77 -0.134 46.69% 0.163 1.8672
Promising Farmlands 1521 34.53 -7.255 34.19% -1.143 0.7331
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 164 44.17 0.531 54.88% 0.158 0.3681
Thriving Communities 592 39.96 0.23 48.82% 0.138 2.0091
Tipping Point 646 36.91 0.0 40.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 620 41.62 2.465 49.84% 0.597 2.351
Untended Land Crumbles 641 38.32 -1.788 43.84% -0.2 1.6142

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6475 54.08% 42.82 -0.992 50.19% 0.131 0.9088
B 6841 53.89% 44.05 0.492 53.31% 0.268 0.9711
C 9068 47.57% 46.92 1.842 59.7% 0.678 1.206
D 6511 53.55% 43.23 0.548 51.42% 0.564 1.2987
E 3125 58.73% 44.31 -0.566 54.05% 0.187 0.7709
F 3626 54.65% 43.85 0.408 53.03% 0.396 1.1031
G 3317 54.67% 42.87 0.292 50.98% 0.305 0.9471
H 3345 52.06% 44.34 0.302 53.57% 0.385 1.0304
East 923 38.89% 39.67 -2.36 26.11% -0.579 0.0123
Northeast 602 41.03% 41.41 -1.509 29.4% -0.195 0.4823
Northwest 576 46.35% 37.01 -2.516 23.09% -0.526 -0.0881
Southeast 98 35.71% 42.42 -8.381 36.73% -0.541 0.1229
Southwest 82 24.39% 34.46 -8.381 25.61% -0.541 0.6308
West 973 38.64% 35.5 -1.027 19.63% -0.281 0.537

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 53 0.0% 47.13 0.0 56.6%
Not Using Events or Tokens 138 54.01% 32.96 0.0 23.19%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 346 23.28% 60.73 4.131 77.46% -0.149 -1.2084
Start of Game Growth 536 27.01% 56.62 4.812 73.51% 0.587 0.165
Unlimited Undo 2533 55.0% 44.14 3.987 53.61% 0.906 0.4911
Using Tokens but Not Events 1325 46.66% 42.96 -0.043 50.34% -0.139 -0.0238

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9349 22.63 2.82%
II 8989 31.12 46.12%
III 8878 34.7 91.41%
IV 2083 37.97 99.71%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.314 Win Model: -0.135
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 19222 52.39% 41.86 47.6%
2 6210 56.13% 42.69 50.47%
3 2336 49.61% 46.79 59.25%
4 1485 45.51% 49.62 61.28%
5 7 71.43% 55.71 42.86%
6 39 28.95% 48.9 53.85%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 262
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7974
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3964
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2060
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 8
Lose: Invader deck ran out 20
Lose: Adversary condition 10598
Win: Sacrifice victory 60
Lose: Scenario condition 257
Win: Scenario condition 282
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3531
Lose: Spirit destroyed 283

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1531 48.03% 55.23 -2.797 66.23% -0.695 -0.8739
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 631 63.22% 42.01 -1.317 38.19% -0.259 -0.2441
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 830 49.64% 51.27 2.057 60.36% 0.377 0.1311
Downpour Drenches the World 99 62.63% 45.03 -1.025 40.4% -0.296 0.0919
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 10 20.0% 61.0 2.75 70.0% 0.275 0.5103
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1457 42.12% 53.85 -2.026 64.38% -0.475 -0.9485
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 458 47.23% 46.02 -8.197 45.85% -1.05 -1.4964
Finder of Paths Unseen 14 50.0% 50.29 0.031 57.14% -0.068 0.2955
Fractured Days Split the Sky 268 53.73% 50.21 -3.521 48.88% -0.227 -0.1237
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 259 67.95% 54.5 -3.01 64.09% -0.544 -0.608
Heart of the Wildfire 1065 88.64% 41.65 -3.609 42.54% -0.531 -0.272
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3208 55.04% 55.78 1.489 69.26% 0.607 0.024
Lightning's Swift Strike 1020 48.91% 55.12 5.378 62.94% 0.913 1.1808
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 52 67.31% 55.94 -0.11 67.31% 0.251 -0.5632
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 326 41.41% 60.99 4.233 81.29% 0.916 0.3732
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 147 48.98% 59.06 4.203 74.15% 0.852 0.3739
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 833 55.96% 53.41 5.473 65.31% 0.823 0.7017
Many Minds Move as One 319 45.14% 54.55 -1.348 65.52% -0.428 -1.0512
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1701 55.54% 52.21 -0.882 60.85% -0.34 -0.4678
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 914 51.26% 51.67 3.359 62.25% 0.766 0.6832
River Surges in Sunlight 1721 54.97% 53.5 3.803 60.55% 0.57 0.3777
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 199 59.3% 53.17 2.779 59.8% 0.132 0.4194
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 99 57.58% 60.75 4.19 68.69% 0.192 -0.1709
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1282 49.45% 47.81 -3.033 49.53% -0.552 -0.7258
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 400 66.75% 40.72 1.084 34.5% 0.139 0.5323
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 15 73.33% 34.53 6.419 20.0% 0.325 0.4217
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 45 48.89% 62.69 7.591 86.67% 0.551 0.6258
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 145 55.86% 50.78 -8.747 59.31% -1.134 -1.1701
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 50 72.0% 38.3 -9.341 32.0% -0.347 -0.3431
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1570 45.61% 55.34 3.957 67.52% 0.861 0.6611
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 2 50.0% 42.5 -2.418 50.0% 0.099 0.3939
Shifting Memory of Ages 168 57.14% 51.33 -3.058 54.76% -0.45 -0.2206
Shroud of Silent Mist 166 69.09% 41.27 0.227 39.76% 0.002 0.186
Starlight Seeks its Form 292 56.85% 46.73 -2.85 48.63% -0.579 -0.7353
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1549 42.93% 52.61 -1.47 65.2% -0.344 -0.6075
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 692 48.77% 57.16 5.848 72.11% 1.157 1.2202
Thunderspeaker 1149 61.1% 50.53 -0.15 54.83% -0.236 -0.3124
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 1 0.0% 73.0 8.779 100.0% 0.174 0.3789
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 595 71.43% 44.76 -3.321 51.6% -0.514 -0.7761
Vital Strength of the Earth 693 51.23% 41.78 2.444 34.63% 0.472 1.2253
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 95 40.0% 58.14 -0.457 73.68% -0.311 0.2673
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 212 46.7% 50.23 -13.627 58.02% -0.941 0.2088
Volcano Looming High 400 60.5% 50.08 0.939 62.75% 0.244 0.2407

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 28.0 -11.8 0.0% -0.4 -0.8466
Blitz 0 130 30.77% 37.34 -3.517 29.23% -0.38 0.0768
Dahan Insurrection 4 210 55.24% 60.96 -1.101 42.38% -0.415 -0.3953
Despicable Theft 2 8 62.5% 55.75 0.0 62.5%
Elemental Invocation 1 29 72.41% 43.9 -2.261 31.03% -0.522 0.1772
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1842 31.98% 63.25 3.017 83.93% 0.544 0.5847
Powers Long Forgotten 1 96 52.08% 43.13 -13.181 31.25% -0.607 -0.045
Rituals of Terror 3 88 51.14% 48.57 -3.02 25.0% -0.371 -0.6588
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 103 77.67% 37.83 0.0 12.62%
Second Wave 0 161 60.62% 40.35 -5.804 31.68% -0.757 -0.2952
The Great River 3 25 56.0% 34.68 0.0 8.0%
Ward the Shores 2 206 51.46% 41.68 -7.888 22.82% -0.477 0.2671

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8726 56.68% 47.18 -0.662 51.54% 0.258 0.808
1 Thematic 628 45.22% 39.59 -6.666 21.82% -0.998 0.0002
2 Archipelago 4 25.0% 46.75 0.0 25.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2020 64.34% 48.8 0.612 55.35% 0.227 0.637
2 Coastline 204 61.76% 50.03 -0.347 55.88% -0.23 -0.0942
2 Fragment 59 79.66% 40.07 9.334 38.98% 0.545 0.54
2 Heart 24 54.17% 42.25 0.0 41.67%
2 Opposite Shores 411 64.23% 47.36 5.426 50.36% 0.409 0.7624
2 Thematic 170 38.24% 37.89 -3.947 14.12% -0.281 0.6487
2 Top to Top 68 55.88% 52.75 -12.192 61.76% -0.475 -0.3479
3 Archipelago 2 50.0% 52.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 5 80.0% 34.4 0.0 20.0%
3 Other 50 84.0% 49.6 20.773 52.0% 0.04 -0.6793
3 Round (Default) 1822 50.47% 56.62 0.601 72.94% -0.055 0.139
3 Sunrise 3 100.0% 36.0 0.0 33.33%
3 Thematic 46 26.09% 37.41 0.0 15.22%
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 81.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 8 12.5% 73.75 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 49.8 0.0 60.0%
4 Other 30 56.67% 62.87 3.871 86.67% 0.049 -0.5672
4 Thematic 274 18.22% 64.15 0.0 66.79%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1026 51.27% 58.9 -0.109 75.73% -0.443 -0.2552
5 Other 24 63.64% 65.0 9.431 79.17% 0.774 0.1432
5 Thematic 7 71.43% 63.86 -1.357 42.86% -0.113 -1.0871
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 61.67 13.976 66.67% 0.27 0.1998
6 Other 3 0.0% 66.67 -2.317 66.67% 0.006 -0.2356
6 Star 8 50.0% 44.88 -20.949 50.0% -0.849 -0.3033
6 Thematic 9 11.11% 61.0 4.36 66.67% 0.178 0.224
6 Two Centers (Default) 10 40.0% 47.8 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 820 48.92 -0.342 56.59% -0.039 1.6916
Aid From Lesser Spirits 670 49.83 2.293 56.72% 0.205 1.7809
All Things Weaken 331 50.04 -2.241 59.21% -0.257 1.6209
Back Against the Wall 639 46.31 4.057 49.45% 0.239 1.8761
Burn Brightest Before the End 1 68.0 7.517 100.0% 0.271 1.2792
Disintegrating Ecosystem 812 43.29 -6.018 47.04% -0.813 1.0301
Downward Spiral 884 47.23 2.522 54.75% 0.861 2.5592
Erosion of Will 800 45.94 1.615 51.0% 0.438 2.3381
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 168 53.07 4.725 66.67% 0.721 1.2211
Memory Fades to Dust 856 45.45 -1.061 50.58% -0.067 1.8088
Power Corrodes the Spirit 346 46.85 -1.623 54.34% -0.147 1.5579
Promising Farmlands 801 40.03 -5.541 36.95% -1.246 0.6297
Shattered Fragments of Power 1 41.0 -12.396 0.0% -0.368 0.7877
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 96 55.44 0.891 70.83% 0.292 0.5018
Thriving Communities 357 46.24 -2.386 54.34% -0.351 1.5191
Tipping Point 373 45.77 0.0 51.47%
Unnatural Proliferation 374 47.73 -0.19 53.48% 0.07 1.824
Untended Land Crumbles 354 44.53 -7.791 48.59% -1.096 0.718

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3653 58.59% 50.59 0.089 58.66% -0.121 0.6565
B 3977 59.32% 50.56 -0.013 58.94% -0.093 0.61
C 4570 55.46% 52.99 0.519 63.87% -0.217 0.3104
D 3523 57.75% 50.95 3.042 59.69% 0.759 1.494
E 1944 52.53% 53.56 0.695 65.33% -0.164 0.4203
F 2400 53.48% 51.31 1.392 60.33% 0.213 0.9199
G 2209 54.17% 52.78 0.033 63.47% -0.15 0.4922
H 2262 53.53% 52.79 -0.616 63.4% -0.203 0.4425
East 818 35.06% 47.45 -3.741 35.21% -0.598 -0.0064
Northeast 500 34.75% 53.72 5.262 46.4% 0.442 1.1185
Northwest 439 29.72% 54.87 0.932 47.61% -0.153 0.2844
Southeast 93 27.96% 46.95 -3.174 35.48% -0.53 0.1337
Southwest 55 20.0% 52.51 -3.422 49.09% -0.28 0.8919
West 707 29.06% 48.75 2.936 36.35% 0.066 0.8832

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 24 0.0% 56.5 7.252 54.17% 0.122 2.1974
Not Using Events or Tokens 62 62.9% 32.05 0.0 16.13%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 349 8.82% 74.5 13.758 89.4% 1.459 0.4004
Start of Game Growth 527 17.74% 68.48 7.964 82.73% 0.47 0.0479
Unlimited Undo 1502 51.44% 54.17 3.627 64.11% 0.754 0.3383
Using Tokens but Not Events 773 35.91% 55.37 -2.111 62.48% -0.503 -0.3874

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4466 22.63 5.26%
II 6485 31.12 60.79%
III 3837 34.7 92.26%
IV 863 37.97 99.77%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.596 Win Model: 0.377
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 9410 55.99% 46.7 49.36%
2 2924 62.5% 47.98 52.74%
3 1922 51.02% 55.82 70.76%
4 1350 44.44% 60.25 74.52%
5 12 80.0% 58.5 50.0%
6 33 28.13% 53.67 57.58%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 235
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3465
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3809
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 857
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 12
Lose: Invader deck ran out 8
Lose: Adversary condition 4796
Win: Sacrifice victory 35
Lose: Scenario condition 187
Win: Scenario condition 177
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1960
Lose: Spirit destroyed 110

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6133 47.52% 52.33 -1.402 49.76% -0.211 -0.3905
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3290 60.48% 41.33 -3.974 30.12% -0.692 -0.6779
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3814 50.49% 48.81 -0.921 47.01% 0.037 -0.2086
Downpour Drenches the World 637 54.56% 48.01 0.179 35.79% -0.158 0.2301
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 61 31.15% 44.79 -2.8 52.46% 0.259 0.4942
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6045 39.89% 55.13 2.189 56.18% 0.52 0.0465
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2465 51.77% 47.67 -3.215 43.45% -0.345 -0.7914
Finder of Paths Unseen 236 52.54% 48.78 -1.044 39.83% -0.277 0.087
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2180 51.51% 58.23 1.096 52.25% 0.079 0.1822
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2301 64.28% 55.24 0.786 55.89% 0.158 0.0938
Heart of the Wildfire 5766 82.65% 43.84 0.386 38.69% -0.141 0.1178
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 23069 53.8% 57.02 2.716 62.95% 0.502 -0.0815
Lightning's Swift Strike 4955 58.64% 50.88 -0.167 48.72% 0.049 0.3169
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 727 67.68% 57.47 1.55 61.9% 0.633 -0.1809
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 3634 53.54% 63.03 5.194 72.4% 0.919 0.3765
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1179 53.18% 64.46 5.766 71.67% 1.549 1.0714
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5342 56.39% 55.96 -0.74 60.95% 0.016 -0.1054
Many Minds Move as One 1791 47.85% 55.26 0.803 58.12% 0.14 -0.4833
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 11586 52.32% 54.08 2.143 54.02% 0.324 0.1971
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4391 54.85% 51.31 -1.017 51.83% 0.1 0.0164
River Surges in Sunlight 10625 53.73% 54.13 2.31 52.2% 0.157 -0.0344
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 729 54.2% 50.86 0.105 45.27% 0.012 0.2992
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 730 58.85% 59.56 0.553 53.29% -0.284 -0.6464
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7867 48.05% 47.33 -1.103 40.19% -0.251 -0.4245
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1916 64.66% 41.62 -1.649 30.74% -0.266 0.1265
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 77 54.55% 57.38 2.507 50.65% 0.093 0.19
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 86 60.47% 53.12 6.781 53.49% 1.018 1.0925
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 808 61.39% 46.53 2.506 38.74% 0.364 0.3276
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 272 72.43% 47.38 0.0 43.38%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7757 47.85% 57.52 1.743 63.71% 0.405 0.2054
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 10 60.0% 37.0 -5.34 40.0% -0.166 0.1283
Shifting Memory of Ages 1260 67.06% 48.96 -2.354 35.56% -0.438 -0.2092
Shroud of Silent Mist 988 69.92% 43.22 -4.76 36.64% -0.667 -0.4833
Starlight Seeks its Form 2542 57.79% 52.41 -0.516 48.31% -0.065 -0.2213
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6358 46.68% 48.11 -4.673 45.09% -0.645 -0.9086
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4606 54.33% 57.33 2.783 63.46% 0.574 0.6373
Thunderspeaker 5721 52.85% 51.2 1.46 45.04% 0.226 0.1491
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 17 64.71% 49.35 -0.854 52.94% 0.082 0.287
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3739 76.08% 43.54 -2.907 40.44% -0.269 -0.5307
Vital Strength of the Earth 3241 54.04% 38.91 -3.503 23.76% -0.504 0.2496
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 189 66.14% 47.7 -3.283 38.1% -0.416 0.1621
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 604 48.84% 34.97 -10.232 16.39% -2.153 -1.0025
Volcano Looming High 3702 61.88% 53.65 -0.783 60.37% 0.192 0.1883

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 0.0% 29.5 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 956 38.84% 40.23 -0.103 26.57% -0.291 0.1656
Dahan Insurrection 4 2338 42.72% 63.8 10.707 38.79% 0.959 0.9793
Despicable Theft 2 22 72.73% 58.55 0.0 50.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 212 66.98% 42.17 -2.993 20.28% -0.952 -0.2533
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8203 28.95% 62.95 4.343 69.05% 1.113 1.1543
Powers Long Forgotten 1 200 53.5% 44.67 -1.936 29.5% -0.272 0.2895
Rituals of Terror 3 224 53.13% 69.69 22.304 38.39% 1.769 1.4815
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 70 81.43% 40.57 -4.587 14.29% -0.205 0.2249
Second Wave 0 528 60.8% 47.01 -3.708 35.98% -0.933 -0.4712
The Great River 3 62 45.16% 35.02 0.0 4.84%
Varied Terrains 2 8 62.5% 51.13 0.0 37.5%
Ward the Shores 2 269 52.61% 40.97 -3.153 17.47% -0.5 0.2443

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 79304 55.51% 50.49 -0.623 49.92% -0.099 0.4508
1 Thematic 3253 41.13% 44.3 -1.36 21.43% -0.95 0.0482
2 Archipelago 48 81.25% 69.54 21.866 37.5% 1.287 1.9041
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9938 64.52% 52.13 1.326 53.63% 0.147 0.5566
2 Coastline 2018 54.59% 56.13 0.629 59.76% -0.053 0.0827
2 Fragment 756 67.59% 58.57 4.218 68.65% 0.556 0.5515
2 Heart 273 71.79% 52.55 -3.766 43.22% -0.63 -0.1552
2 Opposite Shores 2254 61.28% 49.08 -0.749 40.64% -0.307 0.0465
2 Thematic 877 40.87% 46.66 2.084 19.27% -0.222 0.707
2 Top to Top 536 58.58% 55.14 3.058 56.9% 0.122 0.2491
3 Archipelago 10 80.0% 62.1 1.905 30.0% -0.344 -0.1652
3 Coastline 38 60.53% 47.74 2.481 39.47% -0.024 -0.4407
3 Other 149 59.06% 55.79 11.655 61.07% 0.61 -0.1091
3 Round (Default) 5301 55.94% 54.41 0.966 57.16% -0.142 0.052
3 Sunrise 79 45.57% 66.99 0.0 84.81%
3 Thematic 135 35.56% 54.71 35.598 24.44% 1.152 1.1673
4 Archipelago 8 50.0% 75.63 17.41 50.0% 0.452 0.0322
4 Coastline 54 14.81% 76.35 27.783 94.44% 0.621 0.5485
4 Leaf 10 60.0% 53.1 0.0 60.0%
4 Other 77 46.75% 65.35 9.213 83.12% 0.946 0.3295
4 Thematic 1276 29.94% 57.33 -5.21 47.81% -0.065 0.2179
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3247 48.45% 59.21 0.215 63.5% -0.436 -0.2485
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 77.0 10.694 100.0% 0.185 -0.1986
5 Coastline 19 0.0% 69.58 -10.556 89.47% -1.323 -1.2153
5 Other 88 47.06% 68.28 -0.284 72.73% -0.088 -0.7188
5 Thematic 12 75.0% 83.25 0.0 75.0%
6 Archipelago 7 14.29% 70.43 14.292 71.43% 0.363 0.2931
6 Coastline 8 0.0% 75.75 4.478 100.0% 0.026 -0.9233
6 Other 54 44.44% 56.85 -3.43 55.56% -0.272 -0.5141
6 Star 32 46.88% 43.59 -10.058 31.25% -0.561 -0.0155
6 Thematic 60 40.0% 63.58 -0.128 50.0% -0.883 -0.8368
6 Two Centers (Default) 133 35.34% 71.53 2.209 71.43% -0.329 0.1339
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 52.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 5154 49.33 0.191 49.44% 0.106 1.8368
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4670 50.56 -1.053 50.3% -0.056 1.5198
All Things Weaken 3000 50.24 -1.979 50.27% -0.145 1.733
Attenuated Essence 3 59.67 5.064 66.67% 0.168 1.0222
Back Against the Wall 4361 48.54 -1.506 46.41% -0.211 1.4252
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 3 33.67 -7.392 33.33% -0.287 1.1608
Burn Brightest Before the End 3 72.0 11.052 100.0% 0.938 1.9466
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5102 44.64 -3.713 42.75% -0.495 1.3484
Downward Spiral 6146 48.52 -2.231 48.5% -0.045 1.653
Erosion of Will 5147 46.7 -1.644 43.85% -0.118 1.7824
Intensifying Exploitation 2 52.5 2.911 50.0% 0.003 0.8918
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1442 55.32 0.335 60.33% 0.084 0.5848
Memory Fades to Dust 6095 47.78 -1.423 46.64% 0.009 1.8848
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2980 49.31 -0.848 49.87% 0.112 1.8163
Promising Farmlands 5100 42.88 -4.956 36.08% -0.703 1.1727
Shattered Fragments of Power 1 69.0 9.896 100.0% 0.412 1.5674
Slow Dissolution of Will 2 26.5 -10.318 0.0% -0.607 0.8636
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 843 55.3 -0.214 61.92% 0.179 0.3887
Thriving Communities 3011 49.93 -2.146 51.84% -0.107 1.7636
Thriving Crops 2 48.5 0.015 50.0% -0.064 0.8906
Tipping Point 1873 44.89 0.0 42.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 3069 50.64 -1.177 49.33% -0.108 1.6459
Untended Land Crumbles 2941 48.08 -2.316 46.89% -0.101 1.7138

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 20907 57.48% 50.5 -1.442 48.71% -0.695 0.0822
B 22760 56.69% 52.19 0.327 52.87% -0.301 0.4027
C 28748 56.34% 54.12 1.538 56.6% -0.107 0.4204
D 20099 56.07% 51.08 1.114 50.11% -0.315 0.42
E 13148 55.06% 55.04 0.804 58.17% -0.254 0.33
F 14565 55.61% 52.7 -0.691 53.7% -0.439 0.2681
G 11201 55.95% 51.43 -0.258 50.93% -0.399 0.2433
H 11903 55.12% 52.64 -0.153 53.04% -0.377 0.2683
East 4209 40.18% 50.39 -0.975 29.63% -0.906 -0.3142
Northeast 2759 40.38% 52.6 1.458 34.98% -0.27 0.4065
Northwest 1989 32.86% 52.1 1.202 36.35% -0.23 0.2081
Southeast 537 51.02% 48.93 -2.308 27.37% -0.834 -0.171
Southwest 357 33.33% 50.34 -3.128 40.06% -0.436 0.7357
West 3132 31.07% 49.23 0.282 30.65% -0.816 0.0012

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 137 0.0% 55.5 2.504 54.01% 0.332 2.4073
Not Using Events or Tokens 1104 31.82% 46.59 0.0 20.02%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2893 15.41% 73.96 8.637 82.75% 1.336 0.2768
Start of Game Growth 5657 22.39% 71.02 8.875 79.78% 1.062 0.6401
Unlimited Undo 10598 48.46% 60.35 4.878 67.61% 0.858 0.4423
Using Tokens but Not Events 7156 43.56% 55.78 -2.763 58.16% -0.705 -0.5895

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 35561 22.63 4.2%
II 45319 31.12 58.78%
III 25100 34.7 91.53%
IV 4087 37.97 99.66%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.579 Win Model: 0.459
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 83023 55.05% 50.33 48.7%
2 16362 61.46% 52.11 51.99%
3 5676 55.37% 54.57 56.66%
4 4645 42.76% 58.96 60.24%
5 75 34.72% 61.97 61.33%
6 286 37.06% 64.53 62.24%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1490
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 22501
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 25731
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4014
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 42
Lose: Invader deck ran out 77
Lose: Adversary condition 38760
Win: Sacrifice victory 329
Lose: Scenario condition 1104
Win: Scenario condition 1115
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13951
Lose: Spirit destroyed 953

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-11-07 12:49:13 (Pacific Time)