The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3791 31.01% 30.51 0.834 79.53% 0.26 0.1569
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2301 54.3% 26.36 0.281 69.88% -0.023 0.1375
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 46 28.26% 27.22 3.367 63.04% 0.437 -0.3984
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2334 33.98% 29.59 1.159 82.56% 0.234 0.1027
Downpour Drenches the World 311 29.58% 21.27 -2.412 54.98% -0.542 -0.2239
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 270 24.07% 24.95 0.274 65.93% 0.229 -0.256
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2862 24.97% 32.34 1.645 86.76% 0.341 -0.1123
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2309 28.63% 31.35 2.481 87.83% 0.867 0.4152
Finder of Paths Unseen 142 40.14% 13.29 -5.205 30.28% -0.972 -0.305
Fractured Days Split the Sky 530 36.74% 25.98 -5.187 61.51% -1.111 -0.4329
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 702 45.01% 26.34 0.317 67.38% 0.121 0.1821
Heart of the Wildfire 3124 60.16% 26.26 0.401 72.12% 0.464 0.7238
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6311 29.88% 34.33 0.072 85.28% 0.1 -0.2934
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 56 30.36% 20.84 -0.242 58.93% 0.141 -0.2546
Lightning's Swift Strike 3483 41.52% 30.21 0.942 78.15% 0.345 0.5985
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 104 35.92% 29.1 4.722 71.15% 0.66 0.1058
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 388 36.18% 29.78 3.474 80.41% 0.72 0.4841
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 303 36.09% 28.22 -0.952 72.94% -0.116 -0.3669
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1464 37.25% 29.3 1.53 80.19% 0.565 0.2412
Many Minds Move as One 928 26.03% 28.74 -1.31 76.4% -0.385 -0.5851
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4037 41.49% 29.37 -1.755 77.61% -0.345 -0.373
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2202 37.07% 27.99 0.608 77.93% 0.372 0.2297
River Surges in Sunlight 5292 31.9% 36.39 1.883 80.06% 0.25 0.3666
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 516 47.76% 27.34 -1.898 64.53% -0.47 -0.1324
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 183 35.16% 26.87 2.838 63.39% 0.685 0.5374
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3396 30.3% 34.56 -1.257 81.98% -0.507 -0.6747
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2303 54.87% 27.77 -0.296 69.95% -0.028 0.5162
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 67 37.31% 22.39 -6.676 47.76% -1.188 -1.1022
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 48 29.17% 32.0 7.797 77.08% 0.913 0.5436
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 58 51.72% 25.91 4.835 72.41% 1.154 1.3194
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 282 43.62% 28.9 -0.579 78.01% -0.188 -0.1566
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 204 54.68% 26.58 -0.85 73.04% 0.217 0.3881
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4013 33.01% 32.97 -0.767 82.63% 0.041 -0.0539
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 103 24.51% 20.74 0.185 54.37% -0.013 -0.2535
Shifting Memory of Ages 519 48.55% 21.97 -3.627 59.73% -0.729 -0.3504
Shroud of Silent Mist 634 53.24% 23.75 -1.778 65.62% -0.23 0.1409
Starlight Seeks its Form 818 28.48% 26.85 -0.661 70.29% -0.196 -0.4026
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1527 37.7% 26.53 1.434 78.65% 0.373 -0.3435
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1893 37.76% 27.29 -1.091 73.53% -0.323 -0.1416
Thunderspeaker 4293 27.67% 38.35 0.584 86.3% 0.249 0.263
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 84 32.14% 19.89 -0.75 45.24% -0.21 -0.1044
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1087 67.62% 21.58 -3.015 62.65% -0.666 -0.5252
Vital Strength of the Earth 2919 34.87% 26.46 -2.328 63.24% -0.498 0.0437
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 104 28.16% 20.79 0.121 51.92% 0.213 0.5509
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 264 43.89% 21.38 -3.227 46.59% -0.751 -0.0344
Volcano Looming High 878 43.82% 24.34 -1.035 68.91% -0.088 -0.1212
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 106 25.47% 26.98 1.63 71.7% 0.349 -0.088

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 20 15.0% 19.75 -0.76 45.0% -0.305 -0.2533
Blitz 0 601 42.83% 23.05 -2.741 61.06% -0.587 -0.3867
Dahan Insurrection 4 710 26.27% 48.68 8.188 77.18% -0.008 -0.2197
Despicable Theft 2 125 40.0% 25.82 -4.778 50.4% -1.011 -0.1664
Elemental Invocation 1 212 46.92% 19.83 -3.9 42.92% -1.003 0.0678
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1500 12.08% 33.78 4.973 81.4% 0.569 -0.1559
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1692 16.57% 50.14 -0.262 88.83% -0.486 0.4197
Rituals of Terror 3 417 46.04% 32.88 -3.521 56.59% -0.892 -0.8622
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 331 68.28% 29.75 -1.556 49.24% -0.53 0.6591
Second Wave 0 643 53.44% 27.11 1.18 59.1% -1.124 -1.0434
The Great River 3 130 49.23% 22.92 -2.503 34.62% -1.061 0.3266
Varied Terrains 2 61 44.26% 13.69 -6.186 22.95% -1.655 -0.7538
Ward the Shores 2 561 43.39% 25.81 -4.72 37.61% -2.173 -1.1177

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 28603 43.02% 27.14 0.975 74.13% 0.581 0.6112
1 Thematic 3574 41.81% 30.55 -0.942 62.0% -0.48 -0.0476
2 Archipelago 21 52.38% 32.9 8.181 57.14% 0.797 1.2895
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6742 38.97% 27.89 -1.934 78.57% -0.264 -0.3124
2 Coastline 580 39.27% 26.64 2.376 75.17% 0.633 0.5327
2 Fragment 129 48.06% 25.72 -9.478 72.09% -0.931 -1.3443
2 Heart 73 47.89% 26.44 3.761 80.82% 0.645 0.5559
2 Opposite Shores 859 42.24% 28.34 3.837 83.59% 1.403 1.2233
2 Thematic 822 43.97% 31.97 -2.081 67.76% -0.696 -0.5098
2 Top to Top 130 35.43% 27.99 7.208 82.31% 0.236 0.037
3 Archipelago 10 40.0% 43.0 11.099 100.0% 0.568 -0.5529
3 Coastline 16 50.0% 26.88 -9.848 43.75% -0.614 -1.2752
3 Other 71 38.03% 28.8 -0.952 87.32% -0.194 -0.5276
3 Round (Default) 2174 34.84% 28.7 0.878 81.83% -0.072 -0.3379
3 Sunrise 15 13.33% 31.53 0.0 93.33%
3 Thematic 157 44.59% 34.97 10.989 70.06% 0.888 0.4411
4 Archipelago 6 33.33% 29.0 -2.113 66.67% -0.671 -1.2287
4 Coastline 4 75.0% 19.75 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 5 20.0% 23.4 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 44 31.82% 29.7 0.0 90.91%
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 1564 4.54% 57.05 6.316 97.57% -0.112 0.0913
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1105 32.97% 26.95 -3.941 76.38% -1.454 -1.1136
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 42.0 10.841 100.0% 0.434 0.4332
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 27 29.63% 23.11 1.56 66.67% -0.099 -0.8198
5 Thematic 10 44.44% 31.6 0.359 70.0% -0.464 -0.3041
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 53.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 2 50.0% 24.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 5 20.0% 26.4 0.0 80.0%
6 Thematic 22 18.18% 31.09 4.106 54.55% 0.009 0.0339
6 Two Centers (Default) 62 14.52% 23.94 6.163 64.52% -0.168 -0.0697
7 Other 1 0.0% 52.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1729 22.47 -0.814 59.46% -0.477 -0.3383
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1436 22.66 0.805 56.55% -0.146 -0.2049
All Things Weaken 698 21.34 -1.787 54.87% -0.375 -0.0207
Attenuated Essence 51 22.76 1.194 60.78% 0.182 0.2928
Back Against the Wall 1438 22.57 1.673 56.75% 0.136 0.2124
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 56 18.7 2.808 44.64% 0.471 0.6813
Burn Brightest Before the End 33 23.36 1.054 60.61% 0.077 0.1975
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1540 19.17 0.297 52.99% -0.092 0.2769
Downward Spiral 2348 21.65 -3.315 61.46% -0.866 -0.6695
Erosion of Will 1625 22.15 -0.121 57.6% 0.048 0.315
Intensifying Exploitation 54 16.11 -1.36 42.59% -0.359 -0.0883
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 326 28.19 4.42 83.74% 0.537 0.0264
Memory Fades to Dust 2258 21.44 -1.12 57.97% -0.411 -0.0997
Power Corrodes the Spirit 699 21.47 -2.438 57.65% -1.103 -0.8084
Promising Farmlands 1605 19.64 -2.738 51.71% -0.351 -0.0148
Shattered Fragments of Power 38 19.18 -0.686 42.11% -0.157 -0.0485
Slow Dissolution of Will 48 24.67 2.413 62.5% 0.562 0.9619
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 208 28.54 0.498 87.98% 0.272 -0.3407
The Border of Life and Death 16 20.69 2.892 56.25% 0.088 -0.2042
Thriving Communities 656 19.83 -0.395 52.74% -0.271 0.0618
Thriving Crops 26 18.19 -4.764 42.31% -0.631 -0.7179
Tipping Point 625 20.24 0.0 53.6%
Unnatural Proliferation 707 22.3 1.969 56.15% 0.17 0.3181
Untended Land Crumbles 617 21.22 -2.682 58.67% -0.501 -0.1941

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9416 41.21% 27.39 -1.233 75.75% -0.682 0.2232
B 9921 40.65% 27.58 -0.247 76.95% -0.291 0.5373
C 9971 39.47% 27.79 -0.791 77.2% -0.662 0.0179
D 9333 39.18% 27.85 -0.668 77.33% -0.495 0.3585
E 3537 39.85% 27.18 0.405 75.35% -0.128 0.5731
F 5487 39.94% 27.27 -0.33 76.44% -0.511 0.2702
G 5181 40.39% 26.9 0.944 75.31% 0.029 0.801
H 5066 38.84% 27.41 -0.183 76.9% -0.405 0.3635
East 4282 28.03% 41.45 0.921 77.46% -0.502 0.3602
Northeast 3038 22.68% 45.07 1.414 82.29% -0.377 0.3703
Northwest 2562 19.25% 47.14 2.032 85.68% 0.18 1.0136
Southeast 434 36.26% 30.36 -1.196 62.67% -0.617 0.1582
Southwest 458 43.98% 25.18 -0.578 56.55% -0.121 1.1983
West 3911 27.6% 40.79 0.517 76.04% -0.492 0.5138

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 150 0.0% 30.69 3.707 82.67% -0.013 0.818
Not Using Events or Tokens 753 49.52% 27.44 -9.924 73.44% -1.024 -0.5834
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2028 3.65% 53.08 5.078 95.91% 0.521 -0.0414
Start of Game Growth 2415 7.66% 49.56 2.476 93.5% 0.352 -0.1863
Unlimited Undo 2604 31.27% 29.31 -1.358 78.69% -0.355 -0.3136
Using Tokens but Not Events 4578 33.98% 29.12 1.439 79.9% 0.498 0.4747

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7051 16.23 27.47%
II 15170 30.54 70.18%
III 16864 34.77 88.5%
IV 7769 38.37 99.02%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.069 Win Model: 0.722
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 32384 42.94% 27.48 72.57%
2 9249 39.81% 28.35 78.54%
3 2383 35.11% 29.1 81.54%
4 2714 16.53% 44.35 88.87%
5 30 36.67% 25.83 66.67%
6 92 15.22% 26.41 65.22%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1930
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14481
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9991
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7618
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2033
Lose: Invader deck ran out 263
Lose: Adversary condition 2727
Win: Sacrifice victory 188
Lose: Scenario condition 364
Win: Scenario condition 992
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5962
Lose: Spirit destroyed 305

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2311 45.76% 30.54 1.266 71.09% 0.393 0.2902
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1411 63.44% 28.02 0.801 60.24% 0.458 0.6179
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 22 18.18% 31.73 5.973 68.18% 0.768 -0.0675
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1644 48.75% 27.11 2.219 63.99% 0.803 0.6718
Downpour Drenches the World 275 37.09% 21.16 -2.166 45.82% -0.65 -0.3314
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 344 29.74% 23.18 2.679 56.98% 0.999 0.5138
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1946 37.14% 34.95 4.58 80.88% 1.052 0.599
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1616 45.66% 32.9 3.101 78.65% 0.892 0.4395
Finder of Paths Unseen 107 45.79% 12.73 -4.056 20.56% -0.847 -0.1806
Fractured Days Split the Sky 326 50.61% 25.52 -2.707 50.61% -0.579 0.0991
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 474 59.75% 26.85 -1.217 59.49% -0.277 -0.2155
Heart of the Wildfire 1933 78.58% 23.3 -1.261 51.58% -0.096 0.1636
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3550 53.01% 29.97 0.853 72.96% 0.45 0.0563
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 49 36.73% 27.69 5.237 59.18% 0.907 0.5121
Lightning's Swift Strike 2004 62.63% 28.45 0.904 63.92% 0.345 0.5989
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 99 54.55% 23.57 -2.564 53.54% -0.165 -0.719
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 250 42.97% 32.7 -1.97 76.4% -0.371 -0.6071
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 208 47.34% 32.19 8.586 67.79% 1.15 0.8985
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1204 52.87% 30.64 2.218 72.34% 0.73 0.406
Many Minds Move as One 746 38.17% 31.98 1.266 75.87% 0.292 0.0926
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2468 59.22% 29.91 1.512 67.75% 0.084 0.0563
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1609 53.23% 28.28 2.006 65.63% 0.441 0.2992
River Surges in Sunlight 2643 56.01% 30.35 0.625 61.86% -0.082 0.0348
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 307 57.98% 25.09 -0.646 48.53% -0.281 0.0564
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 173 50.58% 23.38 -1.923 44.51% -0.712 -0.8601
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1724 53.45% 28.94 1.745 66.18% 0.449 0.2818
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1256 75.5% 24.25 -1.134 47.61% -0.478 0.0659
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 39 61.54% 22.67 -2.521 48.72% 0.183 0.2691
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 51 62.75% 24.41 -0.506 52.94% -0.092 -0.4617
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 51 39.22% 21.24 -4.316 47.06% -0.379 -0.2136
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 194 58.76% 24.27 -2.187 51.55% -0.202 -0.1713
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 124 70.73% 28.5 -2.609 59.68% -0.401 -0.2299
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2351 51.99% 30.05 0.825 69.29% 0.28 0.185
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 106 39.05% 26.66 -1.007 62.26% -0.279 -0.5202
Shifting Memory of Ages 403 58.31% 24.5 -2.54 55.09% -0.692 -0.3136
Shroud of Silent Mist 428 75.41% 22.02 -3.14 48.13% -0.566 -0.1954
Starlight Seeks its Form 582 40.53% 28.5 -2.217 66.15% -0.282 -0.4889
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1003 45.46% 27.79 0.249 70.79% 0.39 -0.3268
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1276 54.85% 27.01 -2.301 59.56% -0.447 -0.265
Thunderspeaker 2134 54.24% 31.0 -1.481 68.65% -0.174 -0.1601
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 71 52.11% 16.38 -4.42 32.39% -1.011 -0.9057
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 757 76.34% 21.85 -3.416 47.82% -0.505 -0.3643
Vital Strength of the Earth 1783 54.36% 24.35 -2.397 46.16% -0.554 -0.0123
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 89 47.73% 22.27 -1.81 46.07% 0.155 0.4928
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 203 50.25% 21.05 -4.907 33.5% -1.068 -0.3519
Volcano Looming High 637 63.15% 25.29 -0.014 60.13% 0.272 0.2392
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 100 42.0% 24.47 0.084 56.0% -0.042 -0.4799

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 24 33.33% 19.13 -7.719 29.17% -0.639 -0.587
Blitz 0 572 50.18% 24.9 -6.478 56.29% -1.38 -1.1791
Dahan Insurrection 4 405 41.48% 48.27 7.195 66.67% -0.4 -0.6109
Despicable Theft 2 100 43.0% 26.83 -3.203 46.0% -0.767 0.0778
Elemental Invocation 1 132 52.27% 18.83 -6.702 34.09% -1.624 -0.5528
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1111 23.71% 33.86 4.79 72.46% 1.092 0.3669
Powers Long Forgotten 1 486 59.47% 27.04 -0.412 48.15% -0.231 0.6745
Rituals of Terror 3 249 65.06% 34.29 -4.372 45.38% -0.384 -0.3541
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 211 78.2% 30.69 -2.422 41.23% -0.764 0.4243
Second Wave 0 1521 56.95% 30.08 1.751 60.95% -0.198 -0.1166
The Great River 3 84 66.67% 19.69 -6.09 16.67% -1.153 0.2343
Varied Terrains 2 57 47.37% 15.4 -5.354 19.3% -0.734 0.1669
Ward the Shores 2 396 46.72% 25.66 -6.217 29.29% -1.615 -0.5599

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 17761 55.13% 26.86 0.007 61.77% 0.361 0.3915
1 Thematic 2807 53.2% 31.19 -1.149 55.15% -0.127 0.3047
2 Archipelago 19 52.63% 34.0 0.0 47.37%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4316 56.01% 28.23 0.303 66.89% 0.153 0.1037
2 Coastline 423 54.55% 28.57 -0.763 68.79% -0.06 -0.1606
2 Fragment 145 59.72% 27.54 2.245 64.14% 0.169 -0.2439
2 Heart 65 68.75% 26.03 3.769 58.46% -0.082 -0.1716
2 Opposite Shores 769 56.09% 27.91 -0.742 66.97% 0.062 -0.1177
2 Thematic 976 51.84% 29.27 -0.453 52.97% -0.245 -0.0582
2 Top to Top 113 67.26% 29.46 0.318 75.22% 0.179 -0.0205
3 Archipelago 13 61.54% 33.85 0.0 38.46%
3 Coastline 12 75.0% 23.25 0.0 33.33%
3 Other 59 49.15% 32.83 -7.48 83.05% -0.525 -0.8587
3 Round (Default) 1502 53.18% 30.2 0.83 73.1% -0.014 -0.28
3 Sunrise 14 57.14% 29.07 6.648 78.57% 0.187 0.698
3 Thematic 150 59.33% 29.97 -0.59 53.33% -0.054 -0.5006
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 37.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 32.4 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 27 59.26% 33.04 -0.782 81.48% 0.049 -0.6885
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 207 50.0% 37.16 -2.622 72.46% -0.064 0.1395
4 Trapezoid (Default) 563 51.97% 30.84 3.468 71.58% 0.898 1.2382
5 Other 32 64.52% 26.22 -5.182 46.88% -0.344 -1.0655
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 29.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -12.914 0.0% -0.659 -0.2193
6 Star 5 60.0% 15.4 0.0 20.0%
6 Thematic 34 39.39% 33.91 -0.049 55.88% -0.114 -0.0884
6 Two Centers (Default) 27 29.63% 29.41 4.685 62.96% 0.24 0.3375
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 2 0.0% 25.5 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1476 24.56 1.585 52.64% 0.159 0.2981
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1183 24.92 1.737 50.63% 0.088 0.0285
All Things Weaken 630 23.31 -2.694 49.37% -0.836 -0.4817
Attenuated Essence 63 21.41 -0.243 46.03% -0.077 0.0343
Back Against the Wall 1162 24.82 1.889 51.72% 0.544 0.6205
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 60 18.03 1.481 33.33% 0.163 0.3742
Burn Brightest Before the End 43 22.72 -1.389 44.19% -0.441 -0.3201
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1304 20.7 -0.954 46.01% -0.008 0.3611
Downward Spiral 1959 23.24 -0.553 54.11% -0.182 0.0147
Erosion of Will 1424 23.53 0.965 48.53% 0.057 0.3243
Intensifying Exploitation 49 23.06 3.494 55.1% 1.072 1.3425
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 240 30.56 -1.728 78.33% -0.099 -0.6102
Memory Fades to Dust 2006 22.86 -2.089 49.95% -0.548 -0.236
Power Corrodes the Spirit 626 22.82 1.774 50.16% 0.09 0.3848
Promising Farmlands 1449 21.35 -0.472 44.24% -0.069 0.2672
Shattered Fragments of Power 60 24.25 2.672 48.33% 0.012 0.121
Slow Dissolution of Will 53 16.13 -5.277 24.53% -1.35 -0.9498
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 136 30.83 -2.31 76.47% -0.441 -1.0538
The Border of Life and Death 19 21.95 -1.812 47.37% -0.064 -0.3567
Thriving Communities 633 21.83 -0.303 44.87% 0.211 0.5442
Thriving Crops 29 14.76 1.906 24.14% 0.216 0.1293
Tipping Point 530 23.35 0.0 49.43%
Unnatural Proliferation 701 24.48 -2.54 49.93% -0.552 -0.4039
Untended Land Crumbles 611 22.64 0.949 49.92% 0.469 0.776

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5985 56.61% 27.53 -0.314 63.93% -0.149 0.7562
B 6309 55.42% 28.23 0.198 66.49% -0.033 0.7954
C 6308 54.14% 28.49 0.18 67.11% 0.069 0.7496
D 5916 55.9% 28.17 0.221 65.53% 0.093 0.9463
E 2537 53.18% 27.43 0.565 63.34% 0.032 0.7328
F 3529 55.15% 27.62 1.2 64.98% 0.119 0.8999
G 3231 54.95% 27.59 0.74 63.91% 0.185 0.9563
H 3322 52.91% 28.2 -0.031 66.26% -0.044 0.7247
East 2624 51.87% 31.83 0.336 56.9% 0.093 0.9544
Northeast 1450 52.25% 32.46 -1.444 59.31% -0.761 -0.0138
Northwest 1206 51.25% 32.15 2.282 60.2% 0.602 1.4349
Southeast 425 45.86% 28.5 -1.726 52.24% -0.709 0.0665
Southwest 414 50.0% 25.07 -3.377 48.79% -0.851 0.4678
West 2446 53.34% 30.13 -1.322 54.13% -0.692 0.3143

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 107 0.0% 27.12 7.467 58.88% 0.277 1.1076
Not Using Events or Tokens 393 63.35% 26.63 -5.394 59.29% -0.834 -0.3928
Skip Initial Invader Actions 503 18.11% 43.0 2.799 87.28% 0.331 -0.2314
Start of Game Growth 691 21.23% 41.83 4.109 87.12% 0.582 0.0433
Unlimited Undo 2251 46.36% 28.5 -2.853 65.66% -0.671 -0.6296
Using Tokens but Not Events 2874 50.83% 28.41 0.073 66.21% -0.111 -0.1343

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5192 16.23 5.82%
II 8549 30.54 46.48%
III 10511 34.77 83.66%
IV 5820 38.37 99.24%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.46 Win Model: 0.259
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 20729 54.86% 27.4 60.67%
2 6744 55.84% 28.54 65.55%
3 1695 53.38% 30.22 71.68%
4 810 51.99% 32.4 71.85%
5 25 62.5% 25.28 48.0%
6 69 35.29% 30.36 56.52%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 301
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8558
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3680
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5720
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1849
Lose: Invader deck ran out 113
Lose: Adversary condition 2546
Win: Sacrifice victory 110
Lose: Scenario condition 316
Win: Scenario condition 477
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6073
Lose: Spirit destroyed 329

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4345 34.78% 35.37 -1.959 54.29% -0.299 -0.4018
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2321 50.32% 30.15 0.693 39.16% 0.055 0.2155
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 122 31.97% 37.98 5.089 62.3% 1.014 0.1779
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2633 38.12% 32.9 -0.702 51.2% -0.002 -0.1339
Downpour Drenches the World 569 30.11% 25.08 -4.403 30.4% -0.862 -0.5437
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 720 29.03% 35.23 4.704 62.36% 1.252 0.7671
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3382 29.21% 38.36 2.149 61.09% 0.448 -0.0055
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2128 38.65% 33.11 -0.448 48.07% -0.055 -0.5067
Finder of Paths Unseen 188 40.96% 19.98 -4.862 20.21% -1.075 -0.4081
Fractured Days Split the Sky 793 37.25% 33.57 -5.663 44.39% -1.072 -0.3936
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1177 51.74% 34.79 -3.19 53.44% -0.486 -0.4241
Heart of the Wildfire 4197 66.2% 32.73 -2.918 54.54% -0.313 -0.0532
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6618 42.55% 35.89 1.226 60.46% 0.391 -0.0024
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 149 42.57% 39.59 0.621 67.79% 0.297 -0.0983
Lightning's Swift Strike 3053 48.27% 35.81 1.156 59.06% 0.423 0.6769
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 202 39.39% 38.33 2.14 68.32% 0.477 -0.0768
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 684 41.2% 41.87 2.938 72.22% 0.624 0.3879
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 471 38.0% 37.41 0.86 58.39% 0.682 0.4309
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2539 41.2% 36.97 0.831 63.25% 0.295 -0.0286
Many Minds Move as One 1246 35.26% 35.86 -1.442 57.62% -0.288 -0.4879
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4787 46.23% 34.28 1.634 51.39% 0.298 0.2703
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2528 38.42% 35.12 0.437 56.17% 0.063 -0.0785
River Surges in Sunlight 5433 40.31% 37.15 4.212 51.3% 0.432 0.5488
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 569 46.11% 31.34 1.966 38.66% 0.446 0.7829
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 424 40.33% 36.29 1.768 49.06% 0.081 -0.0674
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3682 40.52% 29.58 -0.749 38.86% -0.34 -0.5077
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1718 60.99% 28.1 -5.857 34.69% -0.764 -0.2195
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 73 53.42% 28.11 3.18 42.47% 0.43 0.5154
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 138 43.07% 31.2 0.711 52.17% 0.124 -0.2455
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 85 49.41% 31.91 -1.458 50.59% -0.124 0.0418
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 486 50.0% 33.22 -0.539 48.35% -0.574 -0.5431
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 188 60.64% 29.96 -4.122 39.89% -0.795 -0.6246
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4062 40.6% 38.0 -0.538 64.72% 0.152 0.0569
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 180 33.89% 32.01 0.878 51.67% 0.38 0.1393
Shifting Memory of Ages 815 49.2% 27.79 -2.092 36.56% -0.404 -0.0257
Shroud of Silent Mist 786 61.02% 26.89 0.934 36.51% 0.025 0.3955
Starlight Seeks its Form 1047 37.19% 28.5 -0.556 37.82% -0.093 -0.2995
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2165 34.43% 31.45 1.416 50.67% 0.582 -0.1351
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2134 39.57% 37.61 0.319 62.61% 0.115 0.2965
Thunderspeaker 3780 43.6% 37.54 0.188 58.57% -0.061 -0.0473
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 124 49.19% 29.22 3.478 45.16% 0.651 0.7562
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1603 67.71% 26.96 -3.286 39.68% -0.528 -0.3875
Vital Strength of the Earth 2749 37.57% 26.25 -2.942 27.65% -0.506 0.0358
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 181 36.11% 29.31 -2.837 40.33% -0.615 -0.2772
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 281 35.36% 25.28 -4.676 30.25% -0.644 0.0723
Volcano Looming High 1278 47.97% 33.5 -0.581 57.12% 0.447 0.4146
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 351 42.17% 31.01 1.714 45.58% 0.125 -0.3125

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 45 37.78% 28.09 -2.122 28.89% -0.105 -0.0536
Blitz 0 652 32.26% 21.23 -7.2 18.56% -1.747 -1.5466
Dahan Insurrection 4 1133 22.95% 54.38 10.288 61.78% 1.118 0.9063
Despicable Theft 2 131 54.2% 31.22 -12.76 33.59% -0.891 -0.0466
Elemental Invocation 1 151 50.33% 27.72 -6.545 33.77% -1.02 0.0509
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1531 18.41% 40.62 4.927 66.3% 0.919 0.1946
Powers Long Forgotten 1 398 50.5% 33.28 -1.758 40.95% -0.606 0.2998
Rituals of Terror 3 214 48.6% 41.8 -1.495 46.26% -0.441 -0.4111
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 100 66.67% 34.62 -3.162 33.0% -0.799 0.3894
Second Wave 0 869 42.48% 32.87 2.337 40.05% 0.123 0.2038
The Great River 3 65 15.38% 22.03 -10.768 6.15% -1.124 0.2634
Varied Terrains 2 41 48.78% 24.59 -10.993 24.39% -0.788 0.1128
Ward the Shores 2 451 43.24% 35.25 -7.231 34.81% -1.084 -0.0285

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 32586 44.69% 32.44 0.006 49.61% 0.601 0.6319
1 Thematic 1460 38.08% 33.81 -0.91 36.16% -0.345 0.0869
2 Archipelago 22 72.73% 32.14 0.0 36.36%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8149 46.21% 33.57 -0.91 54.03% 0.496 0.4472
2 Coastline 820 45.34% 33.49 -0.045 52.56% 0.444 0.3431
2 Fragment 203 59.61% 29.76 5.071 44.83% 1.077 0.6639
2 Heart 79 59.49% 28.63 -7.113 40.51% -0.756 -0.8458
2 Opposite Shores 1731 48.69% 32.81 3.842 50.49% 1.282 1.1019
2 Thematic 748 38.29% 30.89 -0.361 28.74% -0.901 -0.7144
2 Top to Top 218 55.96% 34.83 0.168 57.34% -0.223 -0.4229
3 Archipelago 9 66.67% 37.22 -6.703 44.44% -0.374 -1.4948
3 Coastline 12 16.67% 33.0 0.0 50.0%
3 Other 97 38.14% 32.42 -5.089 53.61% -0.774 -1.1079
3 Round (Default) 3424 42.25% 35.0 0.503 56.19% 0.527 0.2611
3 Sunrise 9 33.33% 42.67 0.0 77.78%
3 Thematic 137 37.96% 38.35 0.0 40.15%
4 Archipelago 4 50.0% 43.75 -4.116 50.0% -0.36 -0.9176
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 17.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 21 71.43% 39.19 14.877 66.67% 0.682 1.5279
4 Other 57 42.11% 42.18 2.348 77.19% 1.112 0.3749
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 24.5 -12.301 50.0% -0.178 0.3875
4 Thematic 671 15.8% 50.29 -2.081 67.96% -0.6 -0.3967
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1425 41.27% 36.6 -0.867 59.58% 0.105 0.4456
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 31.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 61 60.66% 32.2 -5.606 42.62% -0.852 -1.5728
5 Thematic 13 15.38% 43.77 0.0 38.46%
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 32.0 11.627 66.67% 0.475 -0.2405
6 Other 5 0.0% 48.8 0.0 80.0%
6 Star 5 40.0% 45.4 -6.918 60.0% -0.777 -0.4786
6 Thematic 159 20.51% 30.4 4.498 34.59% 0.519 0.5443
6 Two Centers (Default) 42 35.71% 36.36 -5.611 59.52% -0.883 -0.7852
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2012 30.7 1.537 48.71% 0.258 0.3965
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1728 32.37 2.899 50.35% 0.321 0.2615
All Things Weaken 970 30.06 -2.177 45.88% -0.339 0.0155
Attenuated Essence 103 27.78 -1.477 39.81% -0.451 -0.3398
Back Against the Wall 1654 31.55 2.849 48.37% 0.463 0.5397
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 79 26.96 -3.013 31.65% -0.97 -0.7594
Burn Brightest Before the End 85 29.49 0.624 35.29% -0.186 -0.0651
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1958 27.26 -0.461 43.05% 0.169 0.5375
Downward Spiral 2345 29.66 -0.041 47.68% 0.302 0.4984
Erosion of Will 1940 29.39 -0.697 44.48% 0.021 0.2886
Intensifying Exploitation 123 28.85 1.165 43.9% 0.065 0.3353
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 511 33.15 3.413 54.4% 0.553 0.0418
Memory Fades to Dust 2455 29.15 -1.665 44.68% -0.242 0.0696
Power Corrodes the Spirit 923 29.46 0.257 45.72% 0.11 0.4051
Promising Farmlands 2017 26.31 -1.811 35.45% -0.18 0.1564
Shattered Fragments of Power 81 28.77 1.12 40.74% -0.026 0.0825
Slow Dissolution of Will 98 30.99 2.511 43.88% 0.411 0.8107
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 266 33.61 0.312 57.89% 0.246 -0.3673
The Border of Life and Death 43 32.42 -0.504 55.81% 0.15 -0.1419
Thriving Communities 935 28.93 -0.895 45.67% -0.223 0.1095
Thriving Crops 70 24.81 -4.343 31.43% -1.12 -1.207
Tipping Point 791 27.05 0.0 39.19%
Unnatural Proliferation 909 30.76 5.409 45.21% 0.814 0.9614
Untended Land Crumbles 943 27.98 0.426 42.74% 0.074 0.3808

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11445 46.1% 33.01 0.193 51.02% -0.434 0.4711
B 12364 44.85% 33.69 -0.048 53.49% -0.332 0.496
C 12904 43.62% 33.7 0.439 53.01% -0.159 0.5216
D 11230 46.56% 32.83 -0.305 50.72% -0.293 0.5601
E 5392 43.01% 34.34 0.06 55.19% -0.26 0.4409
F 6708 44.22% 33.52 0.123 52.65% -0.16 0.621
G 6197 44.62% 33.37 -1.065 52.44% -0.38 0.3915
H 6283 44.21% 33.81 0.34 53.45% -0.235 0.5336
East 2315 30.94% 38.5 -0.157 44.19% -0.229 0.6331
Northeast 1559 29.45% 40.23 -0.359 47.92% -0.462 0.2844
Northwest 1374 27.72% 40.38 -1.294 49.05% -0.96 -0.127
Southeast 399 25.76% 34.1 0.899 39.35% -0.091 0.6843
Southwest 397 27.66% 31.98 -2.538 37.53% -0.722 0.5975
West 2231 29.62% 37.55 0.682 42.81% 0.412 1.4183

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 91 0.0% 37.3 8.246 61.54% 0.439 1.2694
Not Using Events or Tokens 289 37.86% 26.71 -7.865 26.99% -0.392 0.0485
Skip Initial Invader Actions 551 14.89% 50.87 10.028 78.4% 1.262 0.6994
Start of Game Growth 1121 20.24% 47.46 3.175 72.7% 0.095 -0.4434
Unlimited Undo 3577 38.76% 35.49 -0.28 56.92% 0.172 0.2127
Using Tokens but Not Events 3287 38.63% 33.23 0.491 50.96% -0.051 -0.0748

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 13484 16.23 3.49%
II 19882 30.54 44.15%
III 13562 34.77 87.94%
IV 5286 38.37 99.32%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.211 Win Model: 0.408
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 34233 44.43% 32.47 48.93%
2 11896 46.57% 33.29 51.87%
3 3640 41.55% 35.12 55.82%
4 2178 33.86% 41.06 62.67%
5 75 34.67% 21.11 24.0%
6 192 26.46% 35.63 46.88%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 470
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11597
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7974
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5218
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1946
Lose: Invader deck ran out 39
Lose: Adversary condition 17952
Win: Sacrifice victory 116
Lose: Scenario condition 397
Win: Scenario condition 1049
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5113
Lose: Spirit destroyed 343

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3594 44.36% 38.89 -1.697 49.22% -0.256 -0.3588
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1878 61.42% 32.14 -6.462 31.84% -1.636 -1.4753
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 131 48.09% 37.7 -0.566 48.09% -0.012 -0.848
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2209 49.11% 38.06 0.032 49.07% 0.155 0.0231
Downpour Drenches the World 466 39.57% 29.2 -4.692 28.54% -1.074 -0.7555
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 712 38.34% 40.04 2.831 57.87% 0.577 0.0918
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2906 43.72% 42.1 0.253 56.37% 0.109 -0.3445
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1831 48.72% 37.08 -0.883 43.64% -0.163 -0.6155
Finder of Paths Unseen 214 46.92% 25.38 -6.287 25.23% -0.985 -0.318
Fractured Days Split the Sky 715 50.77% 39.54 -6.791 42.8% -0.913 -0.2351
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1068 60.3% 41.04 1.16 56.09% 0.438 0.4991
Heart of the Wildfire 3189 79.07% 32.85 -3.478 41.49% -0.22 0.0398
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9541 52.94% 41.07 3.238 55.1% 0.829 0.4356
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 173 47.4% 36.03 5.593 54.34% 1.305 0.9101
Lightning's Swift Strike 2680 59.21% 38.29 2.106 49.51% 0.506 0.7596
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 297 60.69% 40.93 -1.369 58.25% -0.021 -0.5744
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 670 50.67% 46.75 0.938 67.46% 0.205 -0.0313
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 466 50.64% 41.77 3.807 55.58% 0.94 0.689
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2262 59.48% 39.21 1.352 53.18% 0.452 0.1278
Many Minds Move as One 1019 40.86% 40.32 3.548 53.97% 0.698 0.4982
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4467 55.28% 38.15 1.197 48.42% 0.506 0.4781
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2501 52.06% 37.3 -1.511 47.98% -0.096 -0.2378
River Surges in Sunlight 4547 51.65% 39.26 -0.215 45.26% -0.097 0.0201
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 500 52.3% 32.5 -9.44 31.8% -0.891 -0.5537
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 362 52.35% 40.56 0.029 51.1% 0.065 -0.0832
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3438 49.96% 34.85 1.621 38.98% 0.49 0.3229
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1353 72.15% 31.46 -3.383 30.08% -0.53 0.0141
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 81 65.43% 20.73 -3.951 18.52% -0.145 -0.0597
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 137 70.37% 33.8 0.401 45.26% 0.095 -0.2742
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 97 61.86% 31.07 -4.027 38.14% -0.191 -0.0254
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 361 65.93% 35.03 -6.839 39.61% -0.665 -0.6342
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 161 68.13% 29.78 -4.854 27.95% -0.228 -0.0574
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4248 51.04% 42.43 1.03 59.13% 0.589 0.4934
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 200 37.5% 30.86 1.168 45.0% 0.586 0.3454
Shifting Memory of Ages 723 65.01% 31.77 -1.922 34.3% -0.36 0.0179
Shroud of Silent Mist 694 65.27% 27.38 -3.504 25.65% -0.455 -0.0844
Starlight Seeks its Form 1129 48.01% 33.77 -1.301 40.39% -0.144 -0.3506
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2172 49.38% 36.42 1.395 48.11% 0.538 -0.179
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1700 55.31% 40.22 -0.215 53.88% -0.222 -0.0401
Thunderspeaker 3471 56.38% 40.39 -0.193 50.79% -0.119 -0.1053
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 99 53.54% 33.14 -4.343 45.45% -0.688 -0.5829
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1572 78.52% 31.89 4.901 37.91% 0.966 1.1068
Vital Strength of the Earth 2179 50.28% 30.97 -3.233 27.72% -0.565 -0.0228
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 199 43.08% 31.31 0.167 34.17% -0.175 0.1633
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 221 46.61% 28.92 3.027 22.62% 0.178 0.894
Volcano Looming High 1398 64.81% 36.17 1.0 49.93% 0.563 0.5297
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 278 51.81% 35.81 2.678 44.24% 0.403 -0.0343

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 10 80.0% 44.9 10.333 70.0% 0.471 0.5229
Blitz 0 465 29.31% 33.4 7.169 28.6% 0.101 0.3013
Dahan Insurrection 4 523 41.68% 52.36 8.967 43.4% 0.331 0.1192
Despicable Theft 2 40 47.5% 37.63 -13.24 40.0% -0.173 0.6718
Elemental Invocation 1 77 58.44% 32.1 -6.336 29.87% -0.928 0.1429
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1520 21.82% 50.08 4.103 71.91% 0.201 -0.524
Powers Long Forgotten 1 217 60.37% 35.91 -4.761 36.87% -0.237 0.6686
Rituals of Terror 3 168 60.84% 38.52 -4.674 29.76% -0.435 -0.4046
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 105 70.48% 33.25 -0.725 21.9% 0.277 1.4659
Second Wave 0 561 49.1% 34.7 1.315 32.26% 0.067 0.1477
The Great River 3 54 46.3% 28.09 -1.995 12.96% -1.237 0.1502
Varied Terrains 2 35 37.14% 25.09 -0.822 11.43% -0.412 0.4892
Ward the Shores 2 228 57.89% 32.26 -9.054 19.3% -0.771 0.2847

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 33411 55.1% 36.43 -0.385 44.94% 0.777 0.8074
1 Thematic 1221 42.7% 33.6 -1.642 23.51% -0.093 0.339
2 Archipelago 11 63.64% 40.0 -13.921 63.64% -0.175 0.3182
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7252 58.8% 37.51 0.074 48.66% 0.517 0.4681
2 Coastline 730 58.38% 38.74 0.547 52.05% 0.48 0.3791
2 Fragment 178 64.61% 38.13 9.868 51.69% 1.317 0.9039
2 Heart 67 71.64% 42.27 -5.695 59.7% -0.499 -0.5885
2 Opposite Shores 1574 54.61% 36.63 1.121 47.08% 0.402 0.2224
2 Thematic 443 37.92% 29.69 -2.637 14.67% -0.829 -0.6425
2 Top to Top 191 60.53% 38.45 6.085 51.31% 0.699 0.4994
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 25 32.0% 36.68 -12.363 40.0% -0.03 -0.692
3 Other 113 49.56% 46.09 -2.839 69.91% -0.522 -0.8561
3 Round (Default) 3267 54.71% 41.12 -0.348 56.23% -0.108 -0.3744
3 Sunrise 15 60.0% 49.87 -7.582 73.33% -0.49 0.0213
3 Thematic 152 29.61% 30.37 -2.714 15.13% -0.532 -0.978
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 36.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Coastline 5 80.0% 34.8 -5.623 40.0% -0.307 -0.9249
4 Leaf 13 61.54% 35.0 -5.658 38.46% -0.493 0.3529
4 Other 62 59.68% 37.63 -2.571 48.39% -0.113 -0.8501
4 Thematic 334 36.75% 38.51 3.765 30.24% 0.183 0.3859
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1335 51.56% 42.45 1.4 58.5% -0.082 0.2581
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 43.33 0.0 33.33%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -9.668 0.0% -0.049 -0.5769
5 Other 43 60.98% 45.65 -5.431 60.47% -0.48 -1.201
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 79.33 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 29.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 37 40.54% 53.78 5.322 75.68% -0.19 0.2506
6 Star 14 35.71% 42.21 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 49 26.09% 32.57 3.4 18.37% 0.266 0.2913
6 Two Centers (Default) 60 48.33% 39.85 5.119 55.0% 0.787 0.8851
7 Other 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2449 35.88 1.497 45.37% 0.252 0.3906
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2110 37.94 -0.47 48.63% -0.113 -0.1724
All Things Weaken 1219 36.17 0.226 46.6% -0.065 0.2901
Attenuated Essence 130 32.19 -1.598 42.31% -0.178 -0.067
Back Against the Wall 2032 36.9 -0.29 46.21% -0.197 -0.1205
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 163 33.51 1.298 47.24% 0.369 0.5799
Burn Brightest Before the End 88 36.26 1.696 44.32% 0.238 0.3585
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2276 32.06 -2.386 39.06% -0.413 -0.0438
Downward Spiral 2837 34.66 4.375 44.45% 0.79 0.9867
Erosion of Will 2436 34.49 0.23 41.26% -0.151 0.1166
Intensifying Exploitation 118 32.37 -0.683 39.83% -0.119 0.1512
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 511 40.19 2.516 54.99% 0.23 -0.2809
Memory Fades to Dust 2739 34.63 -1.871 42.94% -0.334 -0.0228
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1127 35.31 0.203 45.79% -0.064 0.231
Promising Farmlands 2345 31.54 0.35 34.2% 0.081 0.4169
Shattered Fragments of Power 116 33.53 4.218 41.38% 0.536 0.6452
Slow Dissolution of Will 127 29.72 -1.374 33.86% -0.39 0.0097
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 313 42.39 6.796 60.7% 0.887 0.2743
The Border of Life and Death 45 29.91 -1.334 40.0% -0.004 -0.2967
Thriving Communities 1201 35.94 2.131 47.79% 0.438 0.7711
Thriving Crops 79 21.59 -4.069 16.46% -0.763 -0.8497
Tipping Point 917 33.01 0.0 37.73%
Unnatural Proliferation 1202 36.76 3.118 45.34% 0.522 0.6694
Untended Land Crumbles 1173 33.97 1.716 41.86% 0.383 0.6897

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11135 57.32% 37.33 -0.959 47.56% -0.284 0.6211
B 11724 55.6% 37.85 -0.982 48.67% -0.215 0.6131
C 12026 54.36% 38.45 1.339 49.82% 0.172 0.8519
D 10784 55.87% 37.89 0.969 48.59% 0.065 0.918
E 5386 55.48% 39.36 0.616 52.4% -0.116 0.5851
F 6793 54.73% 38.23 1.471 49.37% 0.139 0.92
G 6285 56.7% 36.75 -0.109 45.95% -0.124 0.6472
H 6220 54.07% 38.76 -0.686 50.69% -0.331 0.4377
East 1550 38.73% 34.29 0.073 22.65% -0.699 0.1628
Northeast 949 37.86% 35.92 -0.243 25.08% -0.528 0.2186
Northwest 777 37.82% 34.05 -0.129 23.17% -0.037 0.796
Southeast 249 40.24% 31.38 0.655 21.29% 0.059 0.8345
Southwest 232 38.86% 29.0 0.454 18.53% 0.303 1.6222
West 1389 37.21% 32.47 -1.271 20.01% -0.117 0.8886

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 83 0.0% 45.1 5.861 63.86% 0.112 0.9433
Not Using Events or Tokens 281 48.73% 30.09 0.0 24.2%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 823 12.99% 56.41 11.737 74.85% 1.181 0.6189
Start of Game Growth 1162 17.38% 52.77 7.968 70.83% 0.673 0.1339
Unlimited Undo 4241 47.42% 38.84 -0.364 49.92% -0.1 -0.0591
Using Tokens but Not Events 2750 48.04% 36.87 0.692 46.44% 0.272 0.2483

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 17741 16.23 2.5%
II 15533 30.54 44.13%
III 11985 34.77 88.61%
IV 5372 38.37 99.27%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.419 Win Model: 0.34
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 34743 54.69% 36.33 44.19%
2 10387 57.39% 37.2 47.45%
3 3558 53.23% 40.86 55.03%
4 1756 49.34% 41.51 52.45%
5 28 40.74% 39.79 53.57%
6 159 38.46% 41.19 47.8%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 444
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10396
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6603
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5296
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2081
Lose: Invader deck ran out 128
Lose: Adversary condition 17402
Win: Sacrifice victory 116
Lose: Scenario condition 367
Win: Scenario condition 396
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6943
Lose: Spirit destroyed 459

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2849 41.01% 44.04 0.094 52.47% -0.059 -0.1622
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1296 58.59% 35.28 -3.288 31.79% -0.253 -0.0932
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 113 46.9% 32.73 5.699 43.36% 0.856 0.0199
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2263 42.11% 46.37 -2.045 60.49% -0.305 -0.4366
Downpour Drenches the World 426 34.98% 26.23 -3.311 24.41% -0.631 -0.3133
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 651 31.64% 34.27 5.264 44.7% 0.853 0.3679
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1820 43.34% 44.44 2.31 52.91% 0.291 -0.1621
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1817 40.55% 47.25 0.795 59.93% 0.034 -0.4184
Finder of Paths Unseen 128 52.34% 32.08 -2.861 32.81% -0.29 0.3767
Fractured Days Split the Sky 622 44.37% 39.66 4.046 42.6% 0.196 0.8741
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 684 57.16% 41.18 2.902 48.54% 0.442 0.5039
Heart of the Wildfire 2648 75.41% 37.39 -5.606 42.6% -0.579 -0.3195
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5656 47.17% 44.46 2.56 55.91% 0.594 0.2
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 127 43.31% 32.6 0.472 40.94% 0.06 -0.3357
Lightning's Swift Strike 1704 58.05% 42.43 -4.182 50.12% -0.481 -0.2272
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 190 55.68% 48.26 7.655 62.11% 0.739 0.1854
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 437 49.89% 50.62 -0.468 66.82% 0.326 0.0903
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 286 40.21% 44.64 2.213 58.74% 0.609 0.3583
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1676 57.01% 43.47 0.342 53.94% 0.109 -0.2149
Many Minds Move as One 680 41.18% 41.17 -3.798 51.03% -0.219 -0.4185
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4041 50.91% 43.5 -1.349 52.68% -0.151 -0.1792
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1569 50.35% 43.0 -0.323 53.15% 0.256 0.1138
River Surges in Sunlight 3293 49.74% 44.6 -0.819 50.08% -0.15 -0.0334
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 360 49.72% 41.53 4.41 45.28% 0.103 0.4401
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 341 58.53% 38.37 2.078 38.12% 0.096 -0.0523
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2252 46.6% 38.74 -0.389 40.19% 0.048 -0.1197
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 845 65.68% 36.38 -2.551 34.79% -0.623 -0.0794
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 36 69.44% 39.06 9.055 41.67% 0.365 0.451
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 98 34.69% 25.82 -1.894 29.59% -0.202 -0.572
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 76 60.53% 30.16 0.0 22.37%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 250 67.47% 35.14 0.015 32.8% -0.388 -0.357
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 120 70.83% 33.21 6.423 29.17% 0.435 0.6056
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3110 46.12% 47.9 -2.741 62.89% -0.151 -0.2465
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 205 31.22% 30.98 -2.997 41.95% 0.099 -0.1415
Shifting Memory of Ages 496 59.07% 35.35 -2.477 34.68% -0.38 -0.0022
Shroud of Silent Mist 825 67.11% 38.52 -6.065 44.0% -0.697 -0.3262
Starlight Seeks its Form 851 44.3% 37.83 0.404 40.07% 0.08 -0.1261
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1438 46.1% 38.48 1.656 45.2% 0.693 -0.0239
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1327 53.44% 45.18 0.88 56.82% -0.052 0.1297
Thunderspeaker 2343 56.07% 44.05 0.193 51.69% 0.209 0.2229
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 114 49.12% 27.76 -2.441 33.33% -0.546 -0.44
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 933 74.44% 34.7 1.048 37.3% 0.176 0.3169
Vital Strength of the Earth 1272 48.46% 35.93 -4.642 31.53% -0.365 0.177
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 136 38.06% 37.5 -6.006 38.24% -0.795 -0.4569
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 118 48.31% 30.47 -12.318 22.88% -0.429 0.2876
Volcano Looming High 1009 62.04% 39.7 0.573 48.66% 0.113 0.0806
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 278 41.73% 32.42 1.6 35.97% 0.184 -0.2538

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 57.14% 19.43 1.262 14.29% 0.012 0.0636
Blitz 0 190 27.37% 28.03 -11.817 20.53% -0.478 -0.2768
Dahan Insurrection 4 388 41.49% 56.57 27.028 43.56% 0.472 0.2603
Despicable Theft 2 25 36.0% 28.8 -6.664 20.0% -0.197 0.6477
Elemental Invocation 1 70 48.57% 28.9 -14.989 17.14% -1.03 0.041
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1258 18.47% 52.43 7.438 67.57% 0.831 0.1064
Powers Long Forgotten 1 134 58.96% 36.03 -6.507 28.36% -0.415 0.4913
Rituals of Terror 3 95 49.47% 43.12 0.0 29.47%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 188 70.21% 35.66 2.122 16.49% -0.127 1.0619
Second Wave 0 317 51.43% 40.21 1.867 38.17% 0.279 0.3597
The Great River 3 19 26.32% 25.58 0.0 5.26%
Varied Terrains 2 16 50.0% 28.44 -4.958 25.0% -0.265 0.6357
Ward the Shores 2 198 57.07% 31.95 -9.436 14.14% -1.309 -0.254

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 21519 52.02% 40.68 -0.838 47.25% 0.022 0.0528
1 Thematic 992 38.51% 35.81 0.935 21.47% -0.207 0.2254
2 Archipelago 6 50.0% 21.83 4.409 16.67% 0.277 0.7698
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5150 56.51% 41.88 1.277 50.31% 0.317 0.2677
2 Coastline 465 55.51% 42.65 4.917 51.4% 0.577 0.4769
2 Fragment 98 64.29% 37.67 5.458 40.82% 0.013 -0.3998
2 Heart 58 63.79% 35.19 -1.709 36.21% -0.21 -0.3
2 Opposite Shores 1005 54.83% 40.45 0.495 46.17% 0.104 -0.0754
2 Thematic 324 37.35% 33.56 -1.857 16.67% -0.31 -0.123
2 Top to Top 305 52.79% 44.64 -7.306 57.05% -0.449 -0.6487
3 Archipelago 7 71.43% 54.71 4.13 71.43% 0.221 -0.8997
3 Coastline 17 41.18% 41.47 9.481 47.06% 0.974 0.3122
3 Other 68 45.59% 51.51 3.525 73.53% 0.125 -0.2092
3 Round (Default) 2860 46.51% 42.58 0.534 54.16% 0.325 0.0589
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 35.29 -13.402 42.86% -0.189 0.322
3 Thematic 61 40.98% 34.36 -11.746 16.39% -0.161 -0.6078
4 Archipelago 22 77.27% 42.36 14.496 45.45% 0.663 0.1054
4 Coastline 9 11.11% 66.78 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 18 38.89% 54.39 0.0 83.33%
4 Other 47 53.19% 53.11 2.51 76.6% -0.139 -0.877
4 Snake 5 100.0% 28.0 0.0 20.0%
4 Thematic 253 39.13% 43.96 -12.182 37.15% -0.637 -0.434
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1329 47.26% 48.85 -1.224 63.21% -0.156 0.1846
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 40.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 45 55.56% 36.96 -0.843 48.89% 0.15 -0.5716
5 Thematic 7 28.57% 42.14 0.0 14.29%
6 Archipelago 4 50.0% 48.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 19 27.78% 22.89 -17.181 31.58% -1.745 -1.3054
6 Star 11 27.27% 55.09 6.292 72.73% 0.215 0.513
6 Thematic 14 7.14% 28.14 13.325 7.14% 0.41 0.4353
6 Two Centers (Default) 33 48.48% 39.03 -4.036 51.52% -0.214 -0.1162
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1602 40.28 1.7 48.5% 0.483 0.6218
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1233 42.51 0.329 51.26% -0.038 -0.0976
All Things Weaken 716 41.16 5.029 50.28% 0.871 1.2255
Attenuated Essence 88 37.57 4.513 47.73% 0.851 0.9618
Back Against the Wall 1266 41.91 4.949 49.13% 0.744 0.8205
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 90 37.46 -0.947 47.78% 0.021 0.2316
Burn Brightest Before the End 69 40.94 3.973 47.83% 0.412 0.5326
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1594 36.05 1.025 41.41% 0.281 0.6501
Downward Spiral 1747 38.66 0.217 46.08% 0.055 0.2513
Erosion of Will 1542 38.3 -0.309 42.67% -0.157 0.1104
Intensifying Exploitation 115 33.22 -0.682 39.13% -0.173 0.0973
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 365 41.37 1.545 49.32% -0.088 -0.5988
Memory Fades to Dust 1826 38.19 0.545 43.87% -0.08 0.2316
Power Corrodes the Spirit 695 38.62 0.994 45.47% 0.429 0.7235
Promising Farmlands 1683 34.06 -1.986 33.63% -0.442 -0.1055
Shattered Fragments of Power 60 39.12 1.327 43.33% 0.488 0.5967
Slow Dissolution of Will 79 31.59 -2.698 34.18% -0.384 0.0158
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 194 44.46 1.819 56.19% 0.194 -0.4191
The Border of Life and Death 14 39.07 8.712 50.0% 0.61 0.3177
Thriving Communities 729 40.21 3.151 50.21% 0.506 0.8391
Thriving Crops 48 31.83 -1.117 27.08% -0.345 -0.4315
Tipping Point 646 36.91 0.0 40.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 753 40.5 1.052 47.68% 0.422 0.5701
Untended Land Crumbles 745 37.44 0.611 42.82% 0.335 0.642

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7762 53.01% 41.05 -0.57 48.05% -0.349 0.5558
B 8136 52.63% 42.11 -0.373 50.71% -0.387 0.4416
C 10359 47.52% 45.2 0.584 57.28% -0.186 0.4944
D 7663 52.56% 41.31 -1.54 49.05% -0.378 0.4752
E 4119 55.58% 41.87 1.168 51.01% -0.153 0.5481
F 4603 52.86% 41.28 0.365 49.73% -0.335 0.446
G 4131 52.97% 40.57 -0.652 47.98% -0.375 0.397
H 4254 49.86% 41.77 -0.392 50.19% -0.44 0.328
East 1008 37.5% 38.96 2.788 25.99% 0.155 1.0166
Northeast 649 38.83% 40.45 0.79 28.66% 0.249 0.9955
Northwest 617 44.41% 36.84 -1.498 23.5% -0.53 0.3034
Southeast 132 34.09% 38.82 -0.782 33.33% -0.062 0.7135
Southwest 111 24.32% 32.45 -0.257 23.42% -0.312 1.0072
West 1059 36.83% 35.16 -2.013 19.74% -0.899 0.107

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 54 0.0% 47.63 0.675 57.41% 0.061 0.8919
Not Using Events or Tokens 139 53.62% 32.73 0.0 23.02%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 408 20.45% 60.43 18.532 75.98% 1.358 0.7959
Start of Game Growth 642 25.0% 55.99 11.38 72.27% 1.546 1.0073
Unlimited Undo 3052 51.94% 41.94 1.249 50.95% 0.173 0.2139
Using Tokens but Not Events 1598 45.31% 42.04 0.804 49.87% 0.13 0.107

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11843 16.23 2.52%
II 10428 30.54 45.54%
III 10119 34.77 91.27%
IV 2376 38.37 99.75%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.008 Win Model: 0.216
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 22556 51.45% 40.47 46.1%
2 7390 55.35% 41.42 48.51%
3 3011 46.54% 42.61 53.77%
4 1689 46.24% 48.22 59.62%
5 36 55.56% 29.11 27.78%
6 84 32.53% 34.73 40.48%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 297
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9080
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4562
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2353
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1405
Lose: Invader deck ran out 21
Lose: Adversary condition 12033
Win: Sacrifice victory 70
Lose: Scenario condition 281
Win: Scenario condition 292
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4060
Lose: Spirit destroyed 312

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1762 46.78% 53.66 -2.31 64.59% 0.024 -0.079
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 690 62.15% 40.47 -9.549 36.38% -0.814 -0.6538
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 118 48.31% 50.27 4.497 61.02% 0.609 -0.2267
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 972 49.02% 49.63 1.012 58.95% 0.453 0.3215
Downpour Drenches the World 191 53.4% 36.18 -4.017 30.89% -0.765 -0.4463
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 392 33.93% 50.5 6.333 65.31% 1.332 0.847
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1599 41.72% 52.77 3.812 62.91% 0.739 0.2855
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 543 47.01% 44.38 -3.212 44.75% -0.589 -1.0413
Finder of Paths Unseen 54 31.48% 27.78 -6.594 31.48% -0.798 -0.1317
Fractured Days Split the Sky 346 52.6% 46.32 -2.77 42.49% -1.125 -0.4473
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 397 65.24% 51.53 0.887 60.45% 0.239 0.3003
Heart of the Wildfire 1221 87.46% 40.92 -6.116 42.34% -0.817 -0.5568
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3620 55.54% 54.45 1.342 67.62% 0.343 -0.051
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 206 44.66% 57.96 4.14 77.18% 0.713 0.3175
Lightning's Swift Strike 1110 48.31% 53.82 -6.956 61.44% -0.839 -0.5855
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 171 50.29% 62.23 9.769 71.93% 0.672 0.1183
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 394 43.65% 59.7 4.368 76.14% -0.03 -0.2654
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 214 42.99% 52.75 -3.807 64.95% 0.431 0.18
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1139 54.93% 50.61 -1.854 62.07% -0.367 -0.6911
Many Minds Move as One 376 43.09% 51.95 -2.325 61.97% -0.027 -0.2269
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1985 55.79% 50.86 -1.131 58.99% -0.189 -0.2174
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1078 49.86% 50.57 -1.453 61.32% 0.184 0.0425
River Surges in Sunlight 1831 54.32% 52.88 -3.092 59.8% 0.107 0.2243
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 275 62.18% 51.2 2.127 58.55% 0.229 0.5662
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 300 55.33% 55.07 0.514 61.33% 0.014 -0.1341
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1442 47.43% 46.43 -0.188 48.13% 0.403 0.2354
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 414 66.67% 40.42 -9.398 34.54% -0.201 0.3426
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 21 60.0% 33.81 0.0 23.81%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 71 77.46% 52.31 2.135 69.01% 0.616 0.2464
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 63 47.62% 52.75 -19.116 71.43% -0.257 -0.0917
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 171 55.56% 49.23 -0.698 56.73% -0.318 -0.2871
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 73 69.86% 32.26 0.0 23.29%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1887 44.36% 55.83 5.778 69.69% 0.991 0.8961
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 102 33.33% 54.06 4.84 70.59% 0.623 0.3823
Shifting Memory of Ages 291 47.77% 38.89 -5.739 39.86% -1.045 -0.667
Shroud of Silent Mist 215 66.2% 38.69 -4.472 36.28% -0.923 -0.5524
Starlight Seeks its Form 466 54.72% 45.66 3.233 50.21% 0.821 0.6141
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1880 42.77% 52.92 3.711 66.54% 0.736 0.0193
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 799 47.55% 55.23 0.749 69.59% 0.337 0.5192
Thunderspeaker 1277 60.93% 50.24 3.125 55.29% 0.65 0.664
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 71 63.38% 46.96 3.608 42.25% 0.509 0.6144
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 749 72.23% 44.18 -2.582 50.73% -0.869 -0.7291
Vital Strength of the Earth 723 50.9% 41.14 -7.789 33.89% -1.116 -0.5736
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 230 39.57% 54.47 1.388 68.26% -0.632 -0.2936
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 228 45.61% 49.07 -4.556 56.58% -0.261 0.4557
Volcano Looming High 527 57.69% 48.57 -0.357 60.91% -0.041 -0.0741
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 133 59.4% 45.8 2.284 43.61% 0.577 0.1391

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 75.0% 28.0 -0.432 0.0% -0.274 -0.222
Blitz 0 175 30.29% 33.69 -6.592 25.14% -0.544 -0.3437
Dahan Insurrection 4 367 49.05% 48.56 0.341 30.25% -0.693 -0.9047
Despicable Theft 2 16 50.0% 36.69 -21.747 37.5% -0.404 0.4404
Elemental Invocation 1 46 54.35% 32.96 -15.876 21.74% -0.784 0.2874
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2356 32.56% 63.16 5.918 83.36% 1.514 0.7897
Powers Long Forgotten 1 115 53.04% 42.45 7.302 32.17% 0.26 1.166
Rituals of Terror 3 96 46.88% 46.78 0.0 25.0%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 110 76.36% 37.39 -2.743 13.64% -0.233 0.9555
Second Wave 0 184 59.02% 39.26 -3.104 30.98% -1.112 -1.0312
The Great River 3 28 50.0% 34.82 0.0 10.71%
Varied Terrains 2 2 100.0% 29.0 -5.588 0.0% -0.112 0.7896
Ward the Shores 2 214 50.93% 40.78 0.0 22.43%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10955 54.76% 46.14 -0.29 51.15% 0.968 0.9991
1 Thematic 653 44.41% 39.27 -7.242 21.75% -0.335 0.0971
2 Archipelago 6 33.33% 55.83 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2477 61.47% 47.37 -1.736 54.18% 0.49 0.4415
2 Coastline 256 61.72% 46.91 -5.201 51.17% -0.286 -0.3861
2 Fragment 64 81.25% 39.19 -6.674 37.5% -0.325 -0.738
2 Heart 26 50.0% 42.54 1.732 42.31% 0.002 -0.0879
2 Opposite Shores 533 57.79% 42.7 -4.273 45.4% 0.522 0.3426
2 Thematic 182 38.46% 37.42 -13.175 14.29% -0.556 -0.3689
2 Top to Top 80 58.75% 51.49 -3.264 60.0% -0.085 -0.2842
3 Archipelago 16 87.5% 64.19 6.549 12.5% -0.444 -1.5646
3 Coastline 5 80.0% 34.4 0.0 20.0%
3 Other 53 81.13% 47.23 -17.812 49.06% -0.545 -0.8784
3 Round (Default) 2332 49.21% 56.2 2.943 72.98% 0.35 0.0841
3 Sunrise 3 100.0% 36.0 0.0 33.33%
3 Thematic 53 26.42% 34.68 0.0 13.21%
4 Archipelago 3 66.67% 61.0 0.0 66.67%
4 Coastline 8 12.5% 73.75 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 49.8 0.0 60.0%
4 Other 36 50.0% 61.92 9.31 86.11% 1.03 0.2928
4 Thematic 288 19.79% 62.21 -21.67 64.58% -0.04 0.1634
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1186 51.48% 57.04 2.107 73.27% 0.204 0.5445
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 61.0 3.885 0.0% -0.254 -0.2552
5 Other 34 62.5% 55.32 -1.947 70.59% -0.004 -0.7255
5 Thematic 36 41.67% 50.28 -1.276 27.78% -0.253 -0.0931
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 61.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 4 0.0% 73.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Star 12 66.67% 33.92 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 21 47.62% 51.62 2.221 38.1% 0.044 0.0692
6 Two Centers (Default) 16 37.5% 45.0 -20.638 50.0% -0.504 -0.4064

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 929 48.35 0.331 56.08% 0.2 0.3384
Aid From Lesser Spirits 760 50.53 6.738 58.42% 0.787 0.7274
All Things Weaken 412 49.63 2.561 58.98% 0.322 0.6769
Attenuated Essence 67 51.79 -2.626 64.18% -0.49 -0.3791
Back Against the Wall 730 46.08 1.877 49.59% 0.495 0.5713
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 58 44.12 3.437 46.55% 0.253 0.4634
Burn Brightest Before the End 35 36.34 -2.168 28.57% -0.738 -0.6177
Disintegrating Ecosystem 915 43.39 4.195 47.65% 0.595 0.9633
Downward Spiral 993 46.69 2.235 54.68% 0.873 1.0696
Erosion of Will 915 46.04 1.406 51.48% 0.384 0.6507
Intensifying Exploitation 53 44.92 6.652 49.06% 1.009 1.2792
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 216 52.27 4.451 65.74% 0.58 0.0689
Memory Fades to Dust 991 45.33 2.947 50.96% 0.68 0.9915
Power Corrodes the Spirit 419 46.52 3.03 53.94% 0.566 0.8608
Promising Farmlands 908 39.97 -3.189 37.67% -0.531 -0.195
Shattered Fragments of Power 50 56.74 8.951 72.0% 1.318 1.4266
Slow Dissolution of Will 60 44.17 0.38 50.0% 0.141 0.5415
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 118 54.15 2.434 70.34% 0.136 -0.4768
The Border of Life and Death 20 59.55 -2.333 80.0% 0.193 -0.0995
Thriving Communities 437 46.31 1.095 55.15% 0.202 0.5346
Thriving Crops 51 43.75 4.112 47.06% 0.714 0.6272
Tipping Point 373 45.77 0.0 51.47%
Unnatural Proliferation 473 46.83 1.934 52.22% 0.424 0.5723
Untended Land Crumbles 450 44.05 0.222 48.22% 0.226 0.5335

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4517 56.88% 48.86 -1.3 56.94% -0.22 0.6848
B 4813 56.94% 49.58 0.41 58.32% -0.215 0.6129
C 5391 54.47% 51.88 -1.423 62.75% -0.347 0.3332
D 4324 56.51% 50.05 1.664 58.9% 0.279 1.1325
E 2656 50.91% 51.6 2.104 62.84% 0.153 0.8541
F 2982 52.37% 49.98 1.44 59.05% 0.133 0.9141
G 2818 53.17% 51.25 1.607 61.89% 0.08 0.8518
H 2948 51.31% 50.76 1.703 61.53% 0.447 1.2156
East 897 35.87% 46.45 -1.229 33.67% -0.596 0.266
Northeast 561 35.79% 51.93 -0.898 43.49% -0.249 0.4974
Northwest 496 31.77% 53.2 -0.898 44.56% -0.249 0.5839
Southeast 146 33.56% 44.71 -0.608 30.14% -0.553 0.2223
Southwest 83 30.12% 46.63 -3.555 38.55% -0.302 1.0171
West 794 30.42% 47.41 -0.728 34.51% -0.659 0.3466

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 26 0.0% 58.62 0.0 57.69%
Not Using Events or Tokens 62 62.9% 32.05 0.0 16.13%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 418 10.07% 72.27 10.064 84.45% 1.307 0.7446
Start of Game Growth 624 18.75% 66.54 7.815 79.01% 1.133 0.5944
Unlimited Undo 1979 51.12% 51.06 -1.417 60.43% -0.211 -0.1703
Using Tokens but Not Events 928 33.7% 50.8 -2.919 57.54% -0.114 -0.1374

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5784 16.23 4.94%
II 7960 30.54 61.95%
III 4588 34.77 92.35%
IV 1020 38.37 99.71%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.796 Win Model: 0.326
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11739 54.01% 45.53 49.06%
2 3538 60.76% 46.93 51.7%
3 2441 49.63% 55.4 71.0%
4 1545 45.08% 58.33 71.91%
5 35 69.7% 50.97 40.0%
6 54 44.23% 48.69 46.3%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 285
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4156
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4775
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1011
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 777
Lose: Invader deck ran out 9
Lose: Adversary condition 5487
Win: Sacrifice victory 44
Lose: Scenario condition 217
Win: Scenario condition 200
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2262
Lose: Spirit destroyed 129

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7278 46.13% 49.16 -2.538 46.54% -0.049 -0.1521
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3700 59.67% 39.6 -6.128 28.81% -0.598 -0.438
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 471 48.2% 47.03 2.141 50.74% 0.514 -0.3214
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4411 49.93% 46.83 -1.061 44.59% -0.041 -0.1724
Downpour Drenches the World 1654 48.4% 37.08 -4.432 26.12% -0.739 -0.4207
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2229 36.29% 47.71 3.393 52.85% 0.834 0.3493
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7846 39.52% 52.66 6.366 52.52% 0.848 0.3949
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2809 51.06% 45.99 -2.626 41.94% -0.072 -0.5243
Finder of Paths Unseen 538 49.81% 35.0 -7.304 27.88% -0.865 -0.1989
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2868 49.81% 51.81 -5.193 45.12% -0.376 0.3021
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 3365 60.98% 49.47 -1.533 48.95% 0.087 0.1488
Heart of the Wildfire 6488 80.74% 42.3 -6.288 37.32% -0.66 -0.4003
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 26503 52.86% 55.29 2.827 61.01% 0.867 0.4737
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 458 54.8% 47.43 2.728 49.78% 0.646 0.2508
Lightning's Swift Strike 5542 57.51% 48.55 -8.358 46.43% -1.117 -0.8637
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1629 63.72% 51.26 2.366 55.92% 0.354 -0.1995
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 4369 52.66% 60.54 3.916 69.1% 1.016 0.7798
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1599 49.09% 58.26 7.617 64.17% 1.566 1.3151
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 7073 54.92% 51.87 1.506 55.63% 0.603 0.2791
Many Minds Move as One 2311 45.19% 52.73 0.062 53.83% 0.281 0.0808
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 13137 51.16% 52.16 -1.373 52.05% 0.218 0.1901
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5129 53.06% 48.98 0.672 49.37% 0.346 0.2046
River Surges in Sunlight 11468 52.77% 52.74 -2.748 50.64% -0.047 0.0697
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 886 51.47% 47.38 -3.821 42.1% -0.491 -0.1533
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1722 52.88% 47.72 0.645 42.45% 0.325 0.1767
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 9326 45.69% 45.16 -4.557 38.59% -0.451 -0.6184
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2034 62.58% 40.38 -6.193 29.99% -1.097 -0.5533
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 136 47.79% 48.79 -8.594 41.91% -0.553 -0.4673
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 515 64.85% 43.34 2.849 44.66% 0.582 0.2119
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 146 56.85% 44.77 -8.433 43.15% -0.322 -0.156
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 924 61.15% 45.34 -5.229 37.77% -0.273 -0.2423
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 362 66.3% 41.74 -7.871 36.19% -2.075 -1.9044
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8797 46.46% 54.67 -0.097 60.5% 0.706 0.6107
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 908 54.19% 44.9 0.865 48.24% 0.194 -0.0466
Shifting Memory of Ages 2087 53.57% 38.32 -2.983 27.89% -0.207 0.1708
Shroud of Silent Mist 1257 67.04% 40.65 -3.46 34.45% -0.438 -0.0671
Starlight Seeks its Form 3974 51.28% 47.0 -1.34 43.99% 0.143 -0.0639
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 7407 45.66% 46.46 -2.733 42.68% 0.132 -0.5844
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5264 53.25% 55.63 1.941 61.61% 0.742 0.9238
Thunderspeaker 6577 53.28% 48.85 -1.482 42.01% 0.305 0.319
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 364 55.77% 37.43 -7.978 34.62% -0.794 -0.6881
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4377 74.63% 42.18 -2.801 38.79% -0.187 -0.0461
Vital Strength of the Earth 3541 52.12% 37.27 -7.605 23.13% -0.069 0.4735
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 438 58.9% 40.92 -2.909 34.02% -0.245 0.093
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 666 48.2% 34.59 -0.386 16.82% -0.036 0.6806
Volcano Looming High 4605 60.63% 50.65 0.195 56.35% 0.567 0.5337
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1164 48.54% 40.0 0.489 33.08% 0.07 -0.3676

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 20 60.0% 51.55 9.611 40.0% 0.2 0.2517
Blitz 0 1131 35.2% 42.82 3.294 30.5% 0.181 0.382
Dahan Insurrection 4 3530 37.07% 56.32 11.991 36.26% 1.176 0.9644
Despicable Theft 2 43 67.44% 47.42 -5.159 32.56% -1.032 -0.188
Elemental Invocation 1 291 64.6% 39.2 -13.411 17.87% -1.212 -0.1408
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 9850 28.08% 61.86 11.134 67.9% 1.87 1.1456
Powers Long Forgotten 1 232 53.02% 41.13 -10.881 26.29% -0.747 0.1591
Rituals of Terror 3 329 45.59% 71.02 18.039 39.82% 1.318 1.3479
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 83 75.9% 36.9 0.0 12.05%
Second Wave 0 613 60.85% 45.23 1.901 34.26% 0.061 0.1417
The Great River 3 115 44.35% 29.8 -10.674 6.96% -0.9 0.4875
Varied Terrains 2 23 47.83% 48.91 0.0 30.43%
Ward the Shores 2 364 50.14% 35.64 -9.252 13.74% -1.702 -0.6464

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 98208 54.09% 48.52 0.391 48.02% -0.369 -0.3386
1 Thematic 3645 39.54% 43.97 1.481 22.5% -1.382 -0.9501
2 Archipelago 102 78.43% 55.61 0.0 21.57%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11920 62.44% 49.51 -0.597 50.6% -0.294 -0.3429
2 Coastline 2365 54.99% 54.34 5.521 57.59% 0.316 0.2154
2 Fragment 819 67.16% 57.67 5.209 67.28% 0.516 0.1027
2 Heart 378 71.96% 51.66 3.358 42.86% -0.105 -0.194
2 Opposite Shores 3249 57.19% 42.87 1.128 33.39% -0.143 -0.3229
2 Thematic 970 39.83% 46.38 -1.114 19.79% -0.866 -0.6789
2 Top to Top 631 58.32% 52.52 -0.516 53.57% -0.284 -0.4831
3 Archipelago 38 71.05% 48.08 0.0 13.16%
3 Coastline 46 58.7% 47.09 10.312 41.3% 0.56 -0.102
3 Other 155 59.35% 54.63 6.31 59.35% 0.711 0.3767
3 Round (Default) 6637 54.87% 51.07 1.215 53.04% 0.014 -0.2519
3 Sunrise 82 43.9% 67.44 0.0 84.15%
3 Thematic 183 28.42% 66.65 16.777 34.97% 0.76 0.3131
4 Archipelago 12 50.0% 59.75 0.0 33.33%
4 Coastline 55 14.55% 76.36 18.219 94.55% 0.252 -0.3663
4 Leaf 19 63.16% 46.74 0.0 31.58%
4 Other 86 51.16% 65.41 16.384 81.4% 0.532 -0.2055
4 Snake 1 0.0% 29.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 1344 30.36% 56.13 -5.077 46.43% -1.425 -1.2214
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4090 44.78% 52.67 -5.558 55.99% -0.708 -0.3681
5 Archipelago 4 75.0% 47.5 -15.481 25.0% -0.185 -0.1853
5 Coastline 26 3.85% 65.85 0.0 84.62%
5 Other 110 45.28% 61.58 1.485 63.64% 0.103 -0.6182
5 Thematic 16 81.25% 86.13 48.16 81.25% 0.584 0.7438
6 Archipelago 9 11.11% 73.56 23.2 77.78% 0.231 -0.4845
6 Coastline 21 4.76% 57.95 19.932 76.19% 0.227 -0.2617
6 Other 82 39.02% 54.88 -12.264 54.88% -0.652 -0.2122
6 Star 39 38.46% 45.21 16.247 35.9% 0.338 0.6357
6 Thematic 166 33.73% 42.46 -3.708 31.93% 0.075 0.1001
6 Two Centers (Default) 378 21.69% 46.52 -12.576 49.74% -1.633 -1.5346
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 52.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 5855 48.71 5.138 48.64% 0.785 0.9233
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5210 50.13 4.786 49.73% 0.545 0.4857
All Things Weaken 3662 48.85 1.579 48.77% 0.328 0.683
Attenuated Essence 453 43.75 3.002 41.5% 0.385 0.4958
Back Against the Wall 4935 48.07 2.921 45.84% 0.384 0.4601
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 486 43.11 3.502 42.39% 0.639 0.8497
Burn Brightest Before the End 354 45.8 3.287 43.79% 0.507 0.6278
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5845 43.96 -0.552 42.17% 0.168 0.5366
Downward Spiral 6959 47.81 0.308 47.88% 0.18 0.3763
Erosion of Will 5838 46.14 2.361 43.13% 0.357 0.624
Intensifying Exploitation 473 44.33 2.088 43.97% 0.455 0.7249
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1715 53.71 2.6 58.08% 0.227 -0.2839
Memory Fades to Dust 6874 46.94 0.183 45.65% 0.092 0.4033
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3610 48.12 0.523 48.42% 0.129 0.4234
Promising Farmlands 5815 42.27 -0.715 35.53% -0.136 0.2005
Shattered Fragments of Power 366 44.64 1.889 42.08% 0.14 0.2489
Slow Dissolution of Will 452 39.98 0.137 35.84% 0.192 0.5926
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1031 53.64 1.702 60.04% 0.553 -0.0603
The Border of Life and Death 111 45.77 1.746 46.85% -0.013 -0.3054
Thriving Communities 3670 48.49 2.414 49.73% 0.367 0.6994
Thriving Crops 306 34.49 -3.21 23.86% -0.719 -0.8061
Tipping Point 1873 44.89 0.0 42.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 3690 49.68 1.658 48.02% 0.188 0.3355
Untended Land Crumbles 3603 46.92 1.452 45.3% 0.32 0.6273

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 26133 55.14% 47.26 -1.607 45.08% -0.615 0.2902
B 28183 55.08% 49.39 -1.686 49.6% -0.647 0.181
C 34479 54.99% 51.81 0.282 53.91% -0.332 0.3477
D 24330 54.07% 48.59 -0.834 47.53% -0.537 0.3161
E 17774 52.6% 51.64 0.665 54.19% -0.313 0.3878
F 18061 53.66% 49.65 -0.475 50.4% -0.456 0.3252
G 14438 53.77% 48.16 -0.923 47.47% -0.462 0.3096
H 15588 52.0% 48.36 -0.707 48.35% -0.562 0.2067
East 4768 38.89% 49.77 2.225 29.84% -0.333 0.5291
Northeast 3112 39.01% 52.2 4.674 35.06% 0.083 0.8301
Northwest 2228 32.88% 50.11 -3.978 34.92% -1.336 -0.5031
Southeast 723 45.09% 45.29 -2.889 26.97% -0.21 0.5656
Southwest 520 31.54% 44.89 -3.038 35.19% -0.596 0.7237
West 3557 30.53% 48.37 -1.153 30.28% -0.776 0.2301

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 170 0.0% 55.66 -4.697 55.88% -0.404 0.4265
Not Using Events or Tokens 1104 31.82% 46.59 0.0 20.02%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3633 14.99% 71.45 11.334 79.08% 1.042 0.4798
Start of Game Growth 7419 24.69% 67.16 7.068 74.48% 1.043 0.5045
Unlimited Undo 13086 46.53% 56.25 -0.408 62.75% 0.609 0.6503
Using Tokens but Not Events 8376 42.25% 54.19 0.785 56.57% -0.375 -0.3983

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 47152 16.23 3.8%
II 54213 30.54 57.67%
III 29618 34.77 91.2%
IV 4933 38.37 99.66%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.75 Win Model: 0.143
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 102731 53.51% 48.3 46.89%
2 19770 60.48% 49.92 48.86%
3 7055 54.42% 51.35 52.74%
4 5569 41.02% 53.9 54.7%
5 106 34.31% 57.41 56.6%
6 685 26.28% 47.05 47.15%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1788
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 26440
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 30048
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4813
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6841
Lose: Invader deck ran out 104
Lose: Adversary condition 45202
Win: Sacrifice victory 406
Lose: Scenario condition 1263
Win: Scenario condition 1490
Lose: Blight pool ran out 16393
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1128

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-03-13 05:04:05 (Pacific Time)