The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4119 30.74% 29.76 1.118 77.62% 0.256 0.1617
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 95 20.0% 22.26 0.447 54.74% -0.265 -0.7731
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2443 54.44% 25.85 -0.436 67.99% -0.357 -0.1602
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 115 27.83% 28.23 5.042 66.96% 0.948 0.075
Dances Up Earthquakes 59 23.73% 20.68 0.569 52.54% 0.067 -0.072
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2596 33.31% 29.08 1.548 80.62% 0.458 0.2353
Downpour Drenches the World 521 28.98% 19.2 -1.243 46.26% -0.524 -0.2187
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 473 22.93% 24.52 0.958 63.85% 0.31 -0.2447
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3165 24.37% 31.69 3.628 84.87% 0.812 0.3848
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2529 28.33% 30.72 2.289 85.84% 0.747 0.3337
Finder of Paths Unseen 220 35.62% 12.64 -6.035 30.0% -1.069 -0.4142
Fractured Days Split the Sky 659 34.4% 23.98 -4.852 56.3% -1.323 -0.7774
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 932 41.63% 24.11 -3.832 61.37% -0.71 -0.7939
Heart of the Wildfire 3386 60.01% 25.49 -1.028 69.96% -0.277 0.0382
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6942 29.05% 34.21 1.982 83.97% 0.273 -0.1709
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 153 30.72% 21.1 -1.615 52.29% -0.309 -0.6023
Lightning's Swift Strike 3717 41.09% 29.76 1.256 77.19% 0.23 0.492
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 170 41.92% 25.46 -0.121 62.35% -0.055 -0.3829
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 448 36.02% 28.88 4.487 77.68% 1.026 0.6503
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 359 36.31% 27.22 2.525 70.19% 0.264 0.3641
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1736 36.46% 28.36 1.788 77.36% 0.63 0.4305
Many Minds Move as One 1100 25.73% 27.32 -0.292 72.09% 0.067 -0.1478
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4331 41.38% 28.69 -0.699 75.59% -0.178 -0.0306
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 48 45.65% 20.5 0.136 60.42% 0.362 0.4069
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2463 37.45% 27.29 1.507 75.23% 0.39 0.2874
River Surges in Sunlight 5676 31.36% 36.63 2.549 79.58% -0.039 -0.042
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 46 21.74% 17.57 -6.684 43.48% -1.348 -1.0595
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 606 46.93% 26.86 2.784 62.87% 0.59 0.7927
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 254 35.86% 25.03 3.931 59.45% 0.843 0.629
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3825 28.99% 34.77 1.356 80.58% 0.105 -0.0529
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 20 35.0% 20.15 -0.018 50.0% -0.039 -0.4222
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2414 54.42% 27.21 -1.766 68.68% -0.006 0.5701
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 93 34.41% 21.42 -3.76 46.24% -0.096 -0.1561
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 105 32.38% 29.91 1.771 73.33% 0.337 -0.0913
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 81 48.15% 25.38 3.277 69.14% 0.246 0.2521
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 316 42.72% 27.91 3.141 74.37% 0.341 0.2815
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 234 52.79% 25.34 2.189 69.66% 0.524 0.7304
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4266 33.22% 32.32 -0.982 80.99% -0.347 -0.3146
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 197 23.71% 21.55 -0.263 57.87% 0.046 -0.0998
Shifting Memory of Ages 644 46.88% 20.64 -2.345 54.97% -0.51 -0.1848
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 72 20.83% 19.94 -3.352 54.17% -0.276 -0.2278
Shroud of Silent Mist 797 52.51% 22.21 -1.009 60.85% -0.084 0.2836
Starlight Seeks its Form 1090 28.95% 25.17 0.911 65.69% 0.251 0.1851
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1803 36.32% 25.47 -0.201 74.76% 0.196 -0.2875
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2108 37.41% 26.18 -2.57 70.26% -0.455 -0.2958
Thunderspeaker 4744 26.84% 38.34 2.594 85.31% 0.39 0.4204
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 152 34.21% 19.93 2.57 46.71% 0.852 1.0423
Towering Roots of the Jungle 182 33.52% 17.73 -1.119 46.15% -0.212 -0.0661
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1229 65.33% 20.79 -1.239 59.48% -0.134 -0.1135
Vital Strength of the Earth 3094 34.28% 25.87 -2.618 62.06% -0.326 0.255
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 170 29.94% 18.99 -2.501 46.47% -0.566 -0.0825
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 323 40.81% 20.07 -3.802 43.65% -1.06 -0.4407
Volcano Looming High 1137 42.72% 22.71 -2.392 63.24% -0.377 -0.3417
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 234 27.78% 25.4 0.691 67.52% -0.12 -0.4378

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 33 21.21% 22.52 9.543 51.52% 0.541 0.5852
Blitz 0 692 41.1% 21.77 -4.684 57.23% -0.92 -0.7054
Dahan Insurrection 4 746 26.34% 48.17 7.192 76.01% -0.092 -0.3799
Despicable Theft 2 171 35.67% 24.11 0.589 47.37% -0.591 0.119
Elemental Invocation 1 289 43.75% 18.93 -2.555 41.18% -0.678 0.0232
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1599 12.1% 33.29 1.552 79.55% -0.304 -0.9041
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1995 15.6% 49.28 3.467 86.87% 0.09 0.9268
Rituals of Terror 3 477 44.86% 31.42 2.157 54.3% -0.479 -0.4189
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 378 63.49% 27.87 -1.605 46.3% -0.899 0.0882
Second Wave 0 726 52.23% 26.9 1.231 57.99% -0.24 0.0094
The Great River 3 169 47.34% 21.04 -1.723 31.95% -1.026 0.0403
Varied Terrains 2 105 42.86% 15.16 -3.022 26.67% -1.049 -0.2199
Ward the Shores 2 617 42.05% 24.93 0.103 36.3% -0.755 0.4288

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 31871 42.27% 26.41 -0.226 71.87% 0.255 0.5284
1 Thematic 3922 40.74% 29.69 -0.201 60.38% -0.139 0.4357
2 Archipelago 26 46.15% 32.04 0.0 57.69%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7587 38.62% 26.88 -0.912 75.31% -0.065 0.0029
2 Coastline 652 39.54% 26.26 0.64 73.77% 0.517 0.2978
2 Fragment 161 47.83% 25.93 0.807 72.05% 0.555 0.2884
2 Heart 84 48.78% 26.04 -4.28 78.57% -0.49 -0.96
2 Opposite Shores 949 41.68% 27.6 1.19 81.03% 0.207 0.1852
2 Thematic 956 41.13% 29.65 -1.818 62.24% -0.628 -0.2548
2 Top to Top 136 35.34% 27.87 0.0 81.62%
3 Archipelago 12 33.33% 42.0 9.681 100.0% 0.567 -0.3555
3 Coastline 25 40.0% 26.36 6.494 52.0% 0.345 -0.6189
3 Other 76 36.84% 27.88 2.669 84.21% 0.093 -0.6706
3 Round (Default) 2483 34.61% 27.94 0.065 79.22% -0.084 -0.2376
3 Sunrise 16 12.5% 29.56 0.0 87.5%
3 Thematic 178 42.13% 33.19 -3.441 66.29% -0.713 -0.8605
4 Archipelago 7 28.57% 24.86 -9.693 57.14% -0.586 -1.1136
4 Coastline 5 60.0% 22.6 0.0 60.0%
4 Leaf 5 20.0% 23.4 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 48 33.33% 28.67 15.075 85.42% 0.406 -0.2783
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 1775 4.45% 57.06 4.706 97.24% 0.806 0.6286
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1341 31.72% 25.45 -0.121 71.14% -0.341 -0.6702
5 Archipelago 4 75.0% 31.5 0.0 75.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 34 32.35% 20.74 -2.831 58.82% 0.109 -0.6411
5 Thematic 11 40.0% 31.18 -0.618 63.64% -0.557 -0.9439
6 Coastline 3 33.33% 27.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 3 33.33% 24.33 1.068 66.67% -0.404 -0.8214
6 Star 9 11.11% 24.56 7.845 77.78% 0.626 0.9611
6 Thematic 28 17.86% 30.14 3.172 57.14% 0.396 0.3479
6 Two Centers (Default) 101 21.78% 22.58 -4.547 57.43% -1.084 -0.8694
7 Other 2 0.0% 26.0 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1846 22.25 0.762 58.5% -0.082 -0.0105
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1528 22.62 1.259 56.22% 0.34 0.2693
All Things Weaken 796 20.87 -0.724 53.02% -0.272 -0.0129
Attenuated Essence 110 22.25 1.803 63.64% 0.554 0.5176
Back Against the Wall 1556 22.52 0.099 56.43% -0.218 -0.1639
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 104 19.28 2.313 48.08% 0.504 0.6492
Burn Brightest Before the End 71 23.61 1.351 57.75% -0.095 -0.0786
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1655 18.95 -0.482 52.33% -0.154 0.0337
Downward Spiral 2502 21.45 -1.472 60.71% -0.435 -0.3609
Erosion of Will 1745 21.94 0.205 56.91% -0.128 0.0268
Intensifying Exploitation 109 16.83 -4.1 44.95% -0.886 -0.7504
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 379 27.53 1.881 81.53% 0.712 0.098
Memory Fades to Dust 2431 21.13 -0.944 56.89% -0.386 -0.183
Power Corrodes the Spirit 801 21.12 1.504 56.8% 0.556 0.7309
Promising Farmlands 1721 19.48 -0.466 51.07% -0.311 -0.1124
Shattered Fragments of Power 75 20.73 1.852 48.0% 0.128 0.1307
Slow Dissolution of Will 115 21.43 -0.252 53.04% -0.311 -0.0128
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 233 28.27 2.553 86.27% 0.54 -0.1565
The Border of Life and Death 32 22.16 1.766 59.38% 0.322 -0.1757
Thriving Communities 740 19.66 1.3 52.03% 0.449 0.6057
Thriving Crops 54 19.09 2.432 46.3% 0.085 -0.2271
Tipping Point 625 20.24 0.0 53.6%
Unnatural Proliferation 794 21.79 1.364 54.03% 0.279 0.3873
Untended Land Crumbles 696 20.76 -1.54 56.75% -0.52 -0.3377

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10482 40.58% 26.59 -0.742 73.19% -0.449 0.5266
B 11038 40.02% 26.81 -0.588 74.38% -0.435 0.4547
C 11104 38.87% 27.01 -0.007 74.71% -0.199 0.4935
D 10398 38.74% 27.02 -0.214 74.71% -0.171 0.7247
E 4366 38.34% 25.94 0.318 71.12% -0.083 0.6459
F 6366 39.04% 26.28 -0.323 73.04% -0.295 0.5361
G 5964 39.7% 25.97 0.247 72.3% -0.216 0.5634
H 5864 38.14% 26.45 -0.408 73.65% -0.403 0.3797
East 4804 26.85% 40.75 3.07 75.79% 0.1 0.9089
Northeast 3387 21.74% 44.81 2.139 81.37% -0.352 0.4457
Northwest 2890 18.52% 46.73 3.738 84.43% 0.28 1.0133
Southeast 537 34.58% 28.31 1.251 58.29% 0.151 1.0443
Southwest 563 39.68% 23.22 -3.85 52.04% -0.921 0.3367
West 4410 26.45% 40.07 2.597 74.35% -0.194 0.8035

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 179 0.0% 30.97 0.512 81.01% 0.072 0.7404
Not Using Events or Tokens 778 49.07% 26.82 -7.895 71.72% -1.588 -1.1676
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2291 3.64% 53.03 3.911 95.15% 0.274 -0.4952
Start of Game Growth 2729 7.44% 49.36 3.54 92.41% 0.361 -0.0772
Unlimited Undo 2905 30.93% 28.44 -0.669 76.11% -0.033 -0.0982
Using Tokens but Not Events 5072 33.84% 28.35 -0.031 77.56% 0.059 0.0158

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9067 13.76 23.56%
II 16631 30.19 68.82%
III 18374 34.82 88.34%
IV 8464 38.63 99.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.549 Win Model: 0.492
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 36117 42.1% 26.7 70.27%
2 10349 39.37% 27.42 75.7%
3 2725 34.87% 28.33 78.9%
4 3159 16.32% 43.25 86.07%
5 39 35.9% 22.64 56.41%
6 145 20.0% 24.33 59.31%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2129
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 15770
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10769
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8296
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3770
Lose: Invader deck ran out 287
Lose: Adversary condition 3094
Win: Sacrifice victory 204
Lose: Scenario condition 391
Win: Scenario condition 1024
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6475
Lose: Spirit destroyed 327

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2558 45.09% 29.67 -0.268 68.65% -0.088 -0.1822
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 59 35.59% 22.98 5.759 49.15% 0.708 0.2
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1658 61.04% 27.05 -0.168 58.02% -0.138 0.0596
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 55 30.91% 34.51 4.494 70.91% 0.539 -0.3337
Dances Up Earthquakes 33 48.48% 20.97 1.253 45.45% 0.132 -0.007
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1890 47.93% 26.82 1.687 63.23% 0.334 0.112
Downpour Drenches the World 405 36.75% 20.53 -1.631 45.19% -0.288 0.0176
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 499 30.22% 24.25 3.527 58.52% 1.053 0.4985
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2197 36.63% 34.05 1.23 78.79% 0.284 -0.143
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1814 44.87% 32.25 2.803 76.96% 0.889 0.4759
Finder of Paths Unseen 163 43.56% 12.13 -4.599 18.4% -1.45 -0.7943
Fractured Days Split the Sky 416 46.15% 23.15 -4.805 45.43% -0.738 -0.1923
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 698 56.9% 24.68 -1.092 54.01% -0.027 -0.1111
Heart of the Wildfire 2103 77.5% 22.63 -2.551 49.88% -0.62 -0.3044
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3998 52.21% 29.23 2.181 71.04% 0.62 0.1768
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 174 40.8% 23.99 3.066 47.7% 0.665 0.3723
Lightning's Swift Strike 2175 62.38% 27.68 -0.77 61.98% -0.112 0.1497
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 156 51.28% 23.17 2.373 53.85% 0.377 0.0492
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 273 42.65% 32.22 4.322 75.09% 0.738 0.3619
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 260 42.08% 30.87 2.59 63.85% 0.573 0.6724
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1462 51.75% 29.47 1.024 69.43% 0.5 0.3007
Many Minds Move as One 899 37.42% 30.73 2.524 72.75% 0.64 0.4257
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2902 56.94% 29.0 0.847 65.3% 0.406 0.5542
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 68 61.76% 17.69 -1.078 42.65% 0.012 0.0565
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1850 52.24% 27.47 -0.336 63.57% -0.065 -0.1678
River Surges in Sunlight 2863 55.68% 29.92 3.166 60.74% 0.172 0.1699
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 56 50.0% 20.0 -2.077 41.07% -0.401 -0.1127
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 369 58.27% 24.44 -0.579 47.15% 0.08 0.2836
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 217 50.46% 21.93 -6.179 42.4% -1.061 -1.275
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1894 52.06% 28.3 -2.023 64.52% -0.316 -0.4741
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 21 28.57% 23.52 -0.255 57.14% -0.17 -0.5526
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1344 74.18% 23.53 -3.762 46.13% -1.173 -0.597
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 59 58.18% 20.41 -0.091 44.07% -0.2 -0.2596
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 112 56.76% 24.65 2.704 55.36% 0.646 0.2181
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 63 39.68% 22.32 1.049 49.21% 0.037 0.0432
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 220 57.27% 24.08 -2.156 51.82% 0.115 0.0557
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 156 68.39% 26.77 -3.684 55.77% -0.195 0.0113
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2544 51.76% 29.2 -1.699 67.26% -0.408 -0.3753
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 188 43.58% 25.4 3.332 59.57% 0.696 0.5502
Shifting Memory of Ages 531 56.87% 22.63 -3.337 49.53% -0.728 -0.4027
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 32 37.5% 15.34 -5.292 34.38% -0.96 -0.9119
Shroud of Silent Mist 533 71.62% 21.1 -4.438 46.34% -1.176 -0.8077
Starlight Seeks its Form 752 40.68% 26.86 0.64 61.97% 0.269 0.2032
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1174 43.87% 26.97 1.415 68.31% 0.595 0.1115
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1434 52.91% 25.85 -0.949 56.9% -0.144 0.0158
Thunderspeaker 2372 53.43% 29.75 -1.846 65.73% -0.43 -0.4001
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 124 43.55% 18.42 5.943 38.71% 1.187 1.3777
Towering Roots of the Jungle 140 44.2% 16.51 -3.496 37.14% -0.8 -0.6537
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 901 72.87% 20.78 -2.64 45.73% -0.266 -0.2458
Vital Strength of the Earth 1941 52.87% 24.14 0.794 45.9% -0.156 0.4252
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 121 46.67% 20.44 0.632 40.5% -0.145 0.3383
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 231 47.62% 20.04 -1.122 32.47% -0.22 0.399
Volcano Looming High 785 61.05% 23.78 1.069 56.43% 0.486 0.5214
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 185 42.16% 24.88 0.297 55.68% -0.009 -0.3268

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 36 27.78% 18.14 -0.241 30.56% -0.034 0.0101
Blitz 0 682 48.09% 23.05 -3.327 52.2% -0.665 -0.4505
Dahan Insurrection 4 458 40.39% 46.55 6.024 63.97% -0.1 -0.3877
Despicable Theft 2 153 40.52% 24.33 -2.193 41.18% -0.568 0.1425
Elemental Invocation 1 182 48.9% 17.68 -4.867 30.77% -1.228 -0.5269
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1261 22.95% 33.16 3.153 70.74% 0.339 -0.2609
Powers Long Forgotten 1 542 57.56% 26.05 5.375 46.86% 0.818 1.6555
Rituals of Terror 3 270 62.59% 32.97 -7.106 43.7% -1.341 -1.281
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 229 75.11% 29.49 -5.004 39.74% -0.536 0.4505
Second Wave 0 1731 56.4% 29.49 1.433 59.45% -0.103 0.1465
The Great River 3 106 61.32% 19.96 6.804 18.87% 0.152 1.2183
Varied Terrains 2 88 43.18% 17.76 0.94 26.14% -0.16 0.6692
Ward the Shores 2 454 46.04% 25.02 -0.456 29.3% -0.77 0.4132

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 20357 53.49% 26.09 -0.523 59.95% 0.217 0.4904
1 Thematic 3113 52.0% 30.4 0.606 53.68% 0.053 0.6276
2 Archipelago 22 54.55% 34.77 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5052 54.49% 27.1 1.566 63.88% 0.533 0.6009
2 Coastline 498 52.54% 27.52 -0.827 66.06% -0.165 -0.3836
2 Fragment 165 62.8% 27.07 2.475 63.03% 0.815 0.5485
2 Heart 74 65.75% 26.22 -8.376 59.46% -0.25 -0.72
2 Opposite Shores 874 55.65% 27.32 0.681 65.45% 0.34 0.3182
2 Thematic 1345 48.62% 27.41 -0.463 50.33% -0.114 0.2593
2 Top to Top 130 62.31% 28.88 -3.659 72.31% -0.987 -1.2441
3 Archipelago 13 61.54% 33.85 0.0 38.46%
3 Coastline 19 57.89% 26.11 2.524 47.37% 0.318 -0.6458
3 Other 66 53.03% 32.24 3.718 81.82% 0.276 -0.4876
3 Round (Default) 1774 52.6% 28.58 -1.979 68.55% -0.462 -0.615
3 Sunrise 15 60.0% 27.13 0.0 73.33%
3 Thematic 187 54.55% 27.3 -2.613 49.2% -0.152 -0.2998
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 37.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 38.0 4.239 100.0% 0.159 0.1023
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 32.4 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 29 62.07% 31.79 0.0 75.86%
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 216 50.23% 36.18 -5.545 70.37% -0.033 -0.2108
4 Trapezoid (Default) 644 51.17% 29.72 3.674 68.94% 0.872 0.5429
5 Other 45 63.64% 24.56 -10.33 48.89% -0.573 -1.3231
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 5.0 -7.496 0.0% -0.368 -0.7544
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 29.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 2 0.0% 21.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 6 50.0% 24.5 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 40 35.9% 34.92 0.0 57.5%
6 Two Centers (Default) 42 33.33% 27.62 -0.745 59.52% -0.497 -0.2821
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 2 0.0% 25.5 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1621 24.18 0.646 51.63% 0.021 0.0931
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1298 24.95 3.635 50.46% 0.253 0.1822
All Things Weaken 725 22.82 1.097 48.0% 0.107 0.3658
Attenuated Essence 118 21.43 -2.468 44.92% -1.233 -1.2693
Back Against the Wall 1274 24.61 0.824 51.41% 0.148 0.2016
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 104 20.31 -4.343 40.38% -0.866 -0.7202
Burn Brightest Before the End 89 23.02 -0.953 44.94% -0.348 -0.3314
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1420 20.52 -0.083 45.49% 0.051 0.2396
Downward Spiral 2148 22.89 -1.539 52.93% -0.422 -0.3473
Erosion of Will 1587 23.11 0.028 47.57% -0.246 -0.0916
Intensifying Exploitation 103 21.22 -0.469 46.6% -0.076 0.0601
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 284 30.33 1.834 77.46% 0.332 -0.2821
Memory Fades to Dust 2183 22.5 -0.208 49.29% -0.065 0.1379
Power Corrodes the Spirit 719 22.34 0.336 49.1% 0.276 0.4505
Promising Farmlands 1572 21.12 0.377 43.77% -0.005 0.1928
Shattered Fragments of Power 104 25.08 1.768 50.96% 0.181 0.184
Slow Dissolution of Will 110 18.73 1.559 37.27% 0.381 0.6789
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 172 30.23 3.656 75.0% 0.831 0.1344
The Border of Life and Death 35 25.03 0.317 60.0% 0.281 -0.2169
Thriving Communities 729 21.27 -0.342 43.35% -0.291 -0.135
Thriving Crops 61 16.64 -2.256 27.87% -0.603 -0.9151
Tipping Point 530 23.35 0.0 49.43%
Unnatural Proliferation 790 23.93 -2.451 48.61% -0.727 -0.6179
Untended Land Crumbles 699 22.11 -2.247 48.21% -0.809 -0.6267

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6838 55.29% 26.58 -1.355 61.47% -0.508 0.4677
B 7151 54.47% 27.44 0.795 64.47% 0.119 1.0082
C 7151 52.83% 27.72 0.411 65.17% 0.009 0.7015
D 6773 54.53% 27.22 0.106 63.16% -0.185 0.7105
E 3153 51.0% 26.19 -0.057 60.29% -0.046 0.6831
F 4208 53.64% 26.48 -0.882 61.91% -0.344 0.4875
G 3833 53.38% 26.56 1.002 61.28% 0.034 0.8137
H 3921 51.98% 27.15 1.966 63.68% 0.386 1.1685
East 3183 49.76% 30.37 0.4 54.63% 0.09 0.899
Northeast 1612 51.03% 31.55 -0.309 57.63% -0.545 0.253
Northwest 1330 49.7% 31.15 -0.597 58.27% -0.043 0.6903
Southeast 518 42.05% 27.12 -0.908 49.03% -0.833 0.0603
Southwest 496 47.37% 24.11 -3.071 46.57% -0.386 0.872
West 2971 51.37% 28.69 -0.901 51.9% -0.887 0.1105

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 126 0.0% 27.6 2.057 61.11% 0.442 1.1096
Not Using Events or Tokens 402 62.66% 26.15 -3.509 57.96% -0.683 -0.2618
Skip Initial Invader Actions 561 18.46% 41.82 0.722 85.03% 0.117 -0.6523
Start of Game Growth 778 20.35% 40.5 0.743 84.58% 0.207 -0.2306
Unlimited Undo 2606 45.02% 27.37 -0.875 63.24% 0.035 -0.0303
Using Tokens but Not Events 3347 50.03% 27.6 -1.106 64.33% -0.34 -0.3827

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6793 13.76 4.95%
II 9643 30.19 45.47%
III 11758 34.82 83.27%
IV 6571 38.63 99.24%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.37 Win Model: 0.271
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 23700 53.19% 26.56 58.82%
2 8022 54.3% 27.53 62.84%
3 2011 52.61% 28.64 67.38%
4 902 51.67% 31.22 69.29%
5 38 62.16% 23.63 50.0%
6 92 34.07% 30.62 57.61%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 335
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9524
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4069
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6461
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3367
Lose: Invader deck ran out 126
Lose: Adversary condition 2876
Win: Sacrifice victory 127
Lose: Scenario condition 346
Win: Scenario condition 517
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6659
Lose: Spirit destroyed 358

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4638 34.42% 34.88 0.561 53.41% 0.32 0.226
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 173 29.48% 28.55 -2.337 43.93% 0.332 -0.1761
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2489 50.06% 29.83 -1.688 38.77% -0.37 -0.1731
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 183 31.69% 37.59 8.442 61.75% 1.256 0.3825
Dances Up Earthquakes 121 37.19% 23.79 -1.472 33.06% -0.433 -0.5715
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2908 37.48% 32.35 -0.612 50.07% 0.028 -0.1946
Downpour Drenches the World 749 30.61% 24.01 -2.593 28.97% -0.816 -0.51
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1030 28.83% 35.17 4.942 61.84% 1.189 0.6349
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3855 29.7% 37.85 2.882 60.49% 0.593 0.1657
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2367 38.38% 32.41 -1.047 47.06% -0.214 -0.6269
Finder of Paths Unseen 285 36.84% 19.59 -5.375 21.4% -0.945 -0.2893
Fractured Days Split the Sky 916 38.03% 32.28 1.171 42.79% 0.242 0.787
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1509 50.3% 33.6 2.023 51.09% 0.642 0.5575
Heart of the Wildfire 4452 66.03% 32.28 -1.103 53.73% -0.146 0.1696
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7232 42.62% 35.39 2.938 59.54% 0.731 0.2874
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 320 39.94% 37.36 0.388 63.13% 0.061 -0.2326
Lightning's Swift Strike 3282 47.65% 35.36 -1.198 58.1% -0.179 0.083
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 294 46.55% 39.16 6.004 69.39% 0.826 0.4987
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 781 42.67% 40.91 2.569 70.04% 0.48 0.1045
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 566 36.4% 37.52 4.374 59.89% 1.318 1.4178
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2972 40.65% 36.11 1.353 61.74% 0.396 0.1965
Many Minds Move as One 1417 35.67% 34.96 1.689 56.1% 0.161 -0.0532
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5342 45.34% 33.63 -1.262 50.47% -0.079 0.0686
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 196 54.36% 24.17 -1.175 38.27% -0.126 -0.0814
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2832 38.32% 34.36 -0.921 54.77% -0.098 -0.2005
River Surges in Sunlight 5947 40.32% 36.7 0.621 50.18% -0.269 -0.2717
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 102 42.16% 26.0 -1.0 35.29% -0.57 -0.282
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 690 46.87% 30.57 -1.719 38.55% -0.384 -0.1808
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 584 37.89% 35.57 -0.362 48.97% -0.328 -0.5413
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3985 40.05% 29.2 -1.991 38.24% -0.807 -0.9646
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 28 42.86% 34.68 1.451 53.57% -0.241 -0.6239
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1793 60.31% 27.66 -0.941 34.08% -0.242 0.334
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 96 53.13% 27.84 1.993 41.67% 0.399 0.3391
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 235 46.75% 33.83 3.949 57.87% 0.91 0.4813
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 123 49.59% 28.61 -2.164 42.28% -0.225 -0.2186
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 544 49.45% 32.64 0.47 47.06% 0.145 0.0857
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 222 61.26% 29.0 -1.121 39.19% -0.47 -0.2631
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4346 39.88% 37.41 1.648 63.62% 0.551 0.5831
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 275 33.46% 30.69 0.691 50.18% 0.257 0.1113
Shifting Memory of Ages 952 48.95% 27.01 -3.744 34.77% -0.958 -0.6335
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 148 33.11% 23.01 -1.181 37.84% 0.138 0.1866
Shroud of Silent Mist 908 58.88% 25.83 -5.073 35.24% -0.644 -0.2762
Starlight Seeks its Form 1334 38.18% 27.72 -1.881 36.43% -0.8 -0.866
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2443 34.43% 31.34 1.325 50.63% 0.402 -0.0813
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2389 39.54% 37.02 2.232 61.78% 0.698 0.8579
Thunderspeaker 4054 43.39% 36.94 2.488 57.79% 0.659 0.6891
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 189 48.15% 30.37 -3.089 49.21% -0.378 -0.1879
Towering Roots of the Jungle 267 43.45% 26.02 -1.827 40.07% -0.383 -0.2375
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1771 65.86% 26.27 -3.309 38.51% -0.341 -0.3208
Vital Strength of the Earth 2883 37.25% 25.88 -2.746 27.37% -0.693 -0.1119
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 232 39.39% 29.96 1.333 41.81% -0.279 0.2045
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 316 35.56% 24.89 -9.487 28.8% -1.007 -0.3876
Volcano Looming High 1547 47.51% 32.15 0.303 54.75% 0.138 0.1734
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 655 41.07% 29.47 -0.851 43.21% -0.276 -0.5933

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 53 33.96% 27.4 7.683 30.19% 0.786 0.8298
Blitz 0 769 32.29% 20.26 -7.047 17.82% -1.167 -0.9528
Dahan Insurrection 4 1247 23.26% 53.25 3.002 60.47% -0.49 -0.7777
Despicable Theft 2 146 52.05% 30.16 -6.321 32.88% -1.079 -0.3683
Elemental Invocation 1 180 47.78% 27.26 -1.108 33.89% -0.099 0.6025
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1741 18.31% 39.93 4.924 65.02% 1.036 0.4364
Powers Long Forgotten 1 442 49.77% 31.92 -7.652 38.91% -1.0 -0.1629
Rituals of Terror 3 232 46.98% 39.99 -11.238 44.4% -0.494 -0.4334
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 112 65.77% 31.87 -2.601 29.46% -0.377 0.6098
Second Wave 0 1062 43.02% 31.84 -1.438 37.38% -0.891 -0.6408
The Great River 3 76 17.11% 20.08 -6.892 5.26% -0.443 0.6231
Varied Terrains 2 66 46.97% 25.32 -2.25 28.79% -0.226 0.6032
Ward the Shores 2 474 43.04% 34.5 -0.995 34.18% -0.686 0.4973

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 36753 44.17% 31.79 -0.326 48.62% 0.06 0.3332
1 Thematic 1537 38.01% 33.53 -2.564 35.72% -1.039 -0.4638
2 Archipelago 34 67.65% 32.24 -1.377 29.41% -1.464 -0.7863
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9157 45.51% 32.79 -0.241 52.88% -0.186 -0.1172
2 Coastline 958 45.28% 32.3 -0.367 50.31% -0.181 -0.4002
2 Fragment 233 58.37% 28.81 9.552 42.06% 0.96 0.693
2 Heart 89 61.8% 27.88 7.528 39.33% 0.756 0.2859
2 Opposite Shores 1964 48.26% 32.78 2.358 50.56% 0.258 0.2358
2 Thematic 908 38.7% 29.18 -2.011 26.32% -0.791 -0.4174
2 Top to Top 244 54.92% 35.09 11.891 58.61% 1.287 1.0296
3 Archipelago 11 72.73% 40.09 0.0 54.55%
3 Coastline 15 26.67% 32.8 0.0 53.33%
3 Other 108 37.96% 31.1 8.737 50.0% 0.764 -0.0003
3 Round (Default) 3991 42.16% 34.67 0.336 55.3% -0.239 -0.3921
3 Sunrise 10 30.0% 43.2 0.0 80.0%
3 Thematic 153 39.22% 37.84 2.744 39.87% -0.076 -0.2238
4 Archipelago 5 40.0% 54.0 0.0 60.0%
4 Coastline 3 100.0% 11.33 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 23 65.22% 40.26 0.0 69.57%
4 Other 91 27.47% 28.09 -6.022 50.55% -1.645 -2.3294
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 24.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 720 15.56% 48.83 1.782 65.97% 0.543 0.3658
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1615 40.93% 36.15 1.681 58.58% 0.126 -0.2037
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 31.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 83 57.83% 34.16 2.458 45.78% -0.284 -1.0342
5 Thematic 14 14.29% 44.86 0.0 42.86%
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 32.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 6 16.67% 49.33 0.0 83.33%
6 Star 7 28.57% 38.71 -3.873 57.14% -0.377 -0.0417
6 Thematic 186 18.58% 30.88 3.723 37.1% -0.066 -0.1142
6 Two Centers (Default) 68 39.71% 33.91 6.234 57.35% 0.861 1.0754
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2179 30.56 1.221 48.55% 0.391 0.463
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1875 32.34 2.925 50.4% 0.45 0.3789
All Things Weaken 1111 29.63 -0.562 45.0% 0.025 0.2839
Attenuated Essence 182 28.01 0.399 42.31% 0.221 0.1848
Back Against the Wall 1770 31.54 1.688 48.36% 0.298 0.3519
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 175 29.13 0.173 38.86% -0.028 0.1179
Burn Brightest Before the End 175 29.51 0.428 35.43% -0.137 -0.1209
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2125 26.95 -3.999 42.35% -0.762 -0.5734
Downward Spiral 2528 29.44 -2.935 47.43% -0.353 -0.2784
Erosion of Will 2097 29.22 0.102 44.16% 0.013 0.1675
Intensifying Exploitation 222 28.61 1.836 45.5% 0.52 0.6555
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 576 32.64 2.742 53.13% 0.562 -0.0522
Memory Fades to Dust 2664 29.04 0.551 44.41% -0.073 0.1305
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1059 29.2 2.867 45.14% 0.676 0.8505
Promising Farmlands 2178 26.35 -0.732 35.67% -0.293 -0.0948
Shattered Fragments of Power 165 29.56 3.855 41.21% 0.842 0.845
Slow Dissolution of Will 202 28.49 0.332 40.1% 0.155 0.4534
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 307 33.25 3.991 56.68% 0.786 0.089
The Border of Life and Death 69 32.8 0.146 56.52% 0.178 -0.3202
Thriving Communities 1105 28.93 3.134 46.61% 1.041 1.197
Thriving Crops 135 24.97 -0.474 31.85% -0.466 -0.778
Tipping Point 791 27.05 0.0 39.19%
Unnatural Proliferation 1004 30.37 -0.271 44.32% -0.183 -0.0743
Untended Land Crumbles 1075 27.88 0.642 42.7% 0.304 0.4863

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12914 45.59% 32.44 -0.174 50.04% 0.021 0.9961
B 13806 44.47% 33.22 0.363 52.73% -0.028 0.8609
C 14449 43.06% 33.24 1.044 52.32% 0.187 0.8795
D 12545 45.76% 32.27 0.277 49.82% 0.004 0.8995
E 6538 42.67% 33.35 0.796 53.5% 0.152 0.8814
F 7855 43.89% 32.79 0.201 51.41% -0.048 0.7831
G 7182 44.43% 32.48 -0.542 50.77% -0.12 0.6591
H 7279 43.47% 33.05 -0.96 52.18% -0.269 0.514
East 2601 31.1% 37.11 -0.014 42.18% -0.025 0.7843
Northeast 1715 28.89% 39.27 0.989 47.06% -0.144 0.6536
Northwest 1495 26.83% 39.68 2.771 48.76% 0.973 1.7068
Southeast 461 25.33% 33.74 -2.268 39.48% -0.452 0.4417
Southwest 456 26.93% 31.02 -2.699 36.62% -0.271 0.9871
West 2490 29.89% 36.24 -1.011 40.96% -1.152 -0.1541

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 112 0.0% 39.16 6.204 63.39% 0.574 1.2417
Not Using Events or Tokens 289 37.86% 26.71 0.0 26.99%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 629 14.38% 50.26 15.453 77.58% 1.861 1.0919
Start of Game Growth 1286 19.27% 45.35 0.148 69.6% 0.177 -0.2608
Unlimited Undo 4135 37.7% 34.39 -1.635 55.14% -0.205 -0.2708
Using Tokens but Not Events 3862 38.04% 32.29 -1.956 49.22% -0.437 -0.4797

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 16057 13.76 3.24%
II 21991 30.19 43.55%
III 15099 34.82 88.24%
IV 5890 38.63 99.35%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.345 Win Model: 0.17
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 38525 43.94% 31.83 47.98%
2 13478 46.03% 32.55 50.63%
3 4235 41.64% 34.78 54.95%
4 2455 33.33% 39.69 60.53%
5 103 34.95% 24.16 30.1%
6 241 27.31% 35.79 49.79%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 519
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12977
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8727
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5818
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3495
Lose: Invader deck ran out 42
Lose: Adversary condition 19828
Win: Sacrifice victory 125
Lose: Scenario condition 432
Win: Scenario condition 1108
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5595
Lose: Spirit destroyed 371

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3862 44.42% 38.21 0.01 48.16% 0.019 -0.0751
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 183 44.81% 50.29 5.816 65.03% 0.653 0.1455
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1970 60.68% 31.8 -4.432 31.62% -0.937 -0.7397
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 224 46.88% 36.63 1.555 47.77% 0.321 -0.5524
Dances Up Earthquakes 96 51.04% 31.77 0.546 41.67% 0.054 -0.0844
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2396 48.6% 37.39 -1.895 47.87% -0.434 -0.6564
Downpour Drenches the World 640 39.44% 29.25 -0.94 30.78% 0.072 0.3781
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1018 38.05% 38.53 6.981 54.32% 1.222 0.668
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3160 43.31% 41.58 4.45 55.47% 0.821 0.3935
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2014 49.11% 36.53 2.138 43.1% 0.317 -0.0965
Finder of Paths Unseen 330 48.32% 24.49 -1.918 24.24% -0.239 0.4168
Fractured Days Split the Sky 839 47.68% 37.05 -0.571 40.52% 0.216 0.7614
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1312 59.45% 39.91 1.711 54.12% 0.282 0.1982
Heart of the Wildfire 3427 78.39% 32.31 -2.272 40.85% -0.22 0.0954
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10042 52.5% 40.74 0.513 54.55% 0.139 -0.3041
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 332 45.78% 36.96 2.033 54.22% 0.505 0.2119
Lightning's Swift Strike 2851 59.1% 37.62 -1.401 48.54% -0.046 0.2156
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 409 63.18% 38.47 0.751 54.03% 0.207 -0.1209
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 755 51.59% 45.72 2.784 65.83% 0.474 0.0982
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 551 49.18% 40.6 -0.321 54.26% 0.23 0.3301
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2652 58.05% 37.22 -0.435 49.89% 0.071 -0.1284
Many Minds Move as One 1171 41.23% 38.83 0.551 51.92% 0.021 -0.1938
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4896 54.7% 37.52 1.666 47.61% 0.446 0.5933
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 200 64.32% 35.52 1.625 45.0% 0.218 0.2621
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2759 50.76% 36.88 2.424 47.08% 0.33 0.2278
River Surges in Sunlight 4820 51.26% 38.98 3.682 45.1% 0.324 0.3216
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 106 46.23% 30.47 4.834 37.74% 0.424 0.7127
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 579 51.21% 31.84 -0.389 31.61% -0.66 -0.4569
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 537 50.37% 37.7 2.698 47.3% 0.561 0.3469
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3626 49.57% 34.51 -1.224 38.83% -0.182 -0.3402
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 54 64.81% 42.0 2.963 55.56% 0.354 -0.0286
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1427 71.49% 30.93 -5.152 29.57% -0.459 0.1173
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 95 65.26% 23.09 -12.201 24.21% -0.215 -0.2744
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 233 65.04% 35.73 1.517 48.93% 0.102 -0.3264
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 125 61.6% 30.94 -1.723 36.0% -0.329 -0.3236
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 392 64.29% 34.86 -3.337 40.05% -0.384 -0.4429
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 181 68.33% 29.13 -1.198 27.07% -0.692 -0.4858
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4486 50.69% 41.48 -2.626 57.71% -0.121 -0.0888
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 313 41.03% 29.88 -1.461 42.17% 0.03 -0.1157
Shifting Memory of Ages 841 62.66% 31.29 -2.804 34.01% -0.474 -0.1491
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 145 55.86% 39.97 -2.459 51.72% -0.563 -0.5147
Shroud of Silent Mist 819 64.35% 26.22 -4.146 24.66% -0.771 -0.4026
Starlight Seeks its Form 1465 47.75% 33.23 -1.188 39.39% -0.399 -0.4651
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2366 49.07% 36.33 2.921 47.89% 0.426 -0.0568
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1872 55.23% 39.78 1.777 53.47% 0.404 0.5636
Thunderspeaker 3717 56.11% 39.76 -0.777 49.88% -0.22 -0.1897
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 154 53.9% 31.84 -2.54 44.16% 0.066 0.2569
Towering Roots of the Jungle 280 47.5% 27.4 -3.182 32.86% -0.431 -0.285
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1741 77.95% 31.88 1.363 37.85% 0.066 0.0864
Vital Strength of the Earth 2371 50.3% 30.31 0.514 27.46% 0.021 0.6022
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 299 42.71% 31.09 -3.499 34.11% -0.627 -0.144
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 282 48.58% 26.55 0.105 21.28% -0.104 0.5153
Volcano Looming High 1642 63.28% 35.03 -2.43 47.87% -0.355 -0.3192
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 520 49.81% 33.83 1.398 40.96% -0.203 -0.5202

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 13 84.62% 47.08 0.0 76.92%
Blitz 0 510 28.68% 33.17 -0.842 27.84% -0.206 0.0087
Dahan Insurrection 4 601 41.1% 50.75 4.505 42.6% 0.224 -0.0644
Despicable Theft 2 46 43.48% 35.41 1.546 39.13% 0.281 0.9913
Elemental Invocation 1 123 51.22% 31.12 1.01 35.77% 0.026 0.727
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1714 21.66% 48.78 1.869 69.43% 0.211 -0.3892
Powers Long Forgotten 1 230 60.43% 35.86 6.75 36.96% 0.201 1.0379
Rituals of Terror 3 188 58.06% 37.29 -4.737 29.26% -0.411 -0.3502
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 126 64.29% 31.21 -6.398 20.63% -0.54 0.4466
Second Wave 0 631 48.87% 35.12 -1.143 33.76% -0.53 -0.2799
The Great River 3 71 38.03% 23.54 -12.912 9.86% -0.638 0.428
Varied Terrains 2 45 44.44% 25.62 -3.897 11.11% -0.613 0.2164
Ward the Shores 2 244 56.56% 31.42 -6.018 18.85% -0.546 0.6374

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 37070 54.47% 35.6 -1.285 43.91% 0.175 0.4489
1 Thematic 1302 41.89% 33.36 -0.252 23.2% -0.494 0.0811
2 Archipelago 15 60.0% 35.87 -13.228 53.33% -0.457 0.2201
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8188 57.75% 36.72 0.421 47.58% 0.136 0.2043
2 Coastline 838 56.94% 38.13 -3.674 51.67% -0.546 -0.7644
2 Fragment 213 61.97% 38.86 6.914 52.11% 0.87 0.6037
2 Heart 183 72.68% 54.64 8.929 66.12% 0.514 0.0442
2 Opposite Shores 1774 54.43% 35.46 -1.429 45.38% -0.079 -0.1013
2 Thematic 477 37.95% 29.22 -1.775 14.26% -0.381 -0.0074
2 Top to Top 232 59.31% 37.25 -1.109 50.0% -0.043 -0.3003
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 26 34.62% 37.46 14.306 42.31% 0.397 -0.5664
3 Other 119 51.26% 44.95 3.657 67.23% 0.479 -0.2851
3 Round (Default) 3712 54.25% 40.41 1.167 54.93% -0.099 -0.2526
3 Sunrise 16 56.25% 46.75 0.0 68.75%
3 Thematic 229 31.44% 26.8 14.298 12.66% 0.356 0.2083
4 Archipelago 4 25.0% 49.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 8 87.5% 33.63 0.0 37.5%
4 Leaf 15 66.67% 37.0 0.0 46.67%
4 Other 65 61.54% 37.17 0.0 46.15%
4 Thematic 341 36.87% 38.27 2.396 30.21% -0.1 -0.2775
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1444 51.47% 42.08 1.438 58.03% -0.105 -0.4343
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 43.33 0.0 33.33%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 70 58.82% 39.64 -0.55 54.29% -0.286 -1.0353
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 65.25 0.0 75.0%
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 30.0 0.0 33.33%
6 Other 52 32.69% 45.08 -1.457 61.54% -0.535 -0.952
6 Star 17 29.41% 41.47 11.755 52.94% 0.423 0.7585
6 Thematic 65 27.42% 30.37 -7.064 20.0% -0.19 -0.2382
6 Two Centers (Default) 86 45.35% 39.74 -1.383 55.81% -0.06 0.1544
7 Other 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2641 35.57 0.5 44.87% 0.203 0.2747
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2259 37.94 3.447 48.87% 0.55 0.4786
All Things Weaken 1367 36.19 3.537 47.18% 0.615 0.8738
Attenuated Essence 228 33.32 6.456 43.42% 1.082 1.0464
Back Against the Wall 2173 36.92 4.017 46.16% 0.545 0.5989
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 266 34.47 2.208 48.12% 0.285 0.4307
Burn Brightest Before the End 164 36.45 3.031 43.29% 0.222 0.2378
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2456 31.81 0.114 38.64% -0.026 0.1618
Downward Spiral 3027 34.48 3.034 44.1% 0.413 0.4875
Erosion of Will 2607 34.5 1.507 41.27% 0.169 0.3232
Intensifying Exploitation 220 30.94 0.053 38.18% -0.051 0.085
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 581 39.66 3.452 54.04% 0.43 -0.1839
Memory Fades to Dust 2943 34.36 1.045 42.51% 0.028 0.2313
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1276 35.09 1.267 45.61% 0.288 0.4627
Promising Farmlands 2511 31.53 -0.404 34.29% -0.33 -0.132
Shattered Fragments of Power 203 34.67 5.315 41.38% 0.865 0.8676
Slow Dissolution of Will 232 30.88 3.426 35.34% 0.308 0.6066
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 357 41.62 1.255 59.66% 0.363 -0.3336
The Border of Life and Death 69 31.57 5.243 40.58% 0.348 -0.1498
Thriving Communities 1352 35.79 1.386 48.15% 0.588 0.7446
Thriving Crops 142 22.43 1.808 16.9% -0.233 -0.545
Tipping Point 918 32.99 0.0 37.69%
Unnatural Proliferation 1356 36.33 2.716 44.25% 0.208 0.3169
Untended Land Crumbles 1320 33.58 1.502 41.59% 0.375 0.5567

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12441 56.42% 36.51 -0.664 46.41% -0.226 0.7493
B 13024 54.87% 37.15 -0.159 47.66% -0.027 0.8623
C 13380 53.87% 37.77 0.426 48.82% 0.072 0.7643
D 11885 55.35% 37.08 -0.401 47.58% 0.015 0.9098
E 6382 54.89% 38.55 1.809 51.13% 0.26 0.9895
F 7846 54.39% 37.55 1.198 48.38% 0.079 0.9107
G 7109 55.69% 35.99 0.37 45.14% 0.064 0.8432
H 7067 53.6% 38.21 0.891 49.89% 0.181 0.9633
East 1703 38.47% 33.5 -1.247 22.08% -0.633 0.1765
Northeast 1051 37.61% 34.93 6.798 24.36% 0.909 1.707
Northwest 877 37.63% 32.59 -1.776 21.78% -1.003 -0.2698
Southeast 295 38.7% 30.02 3.063 20.68% -0.055 0.8389
Southwest 296 37.33% 26.86 -0.586 16.89% -0.188 1.0705
West 1557 36.78% 31.33 0.153 19.01% -0.757 0.2406

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 108 0.0% 45.86 -0.546 63.89% -0.226 0.4418
Not Using Events or Tokens 283 48.74% 30.17 0.0 24.38%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 921 13.04% 55.18 5.314 72.53% 0.349 -0.4206
Start of Game Growth 1328 18.12% 51.25 5.826 68.52% 1.13 0.6925
Unlimited Undo 4878 47.87% 37.54 -0.715 48.07% 0.158 0.092
Using Tokens but Not Events 3197 48.66% 35.26 -0.843 44.35% -0.141 -0.1836

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 20501 13.76 2.37%
II 17056 30.19 43.73%
III 13172 34.82 88.65%
IV 5867 38.63 99.34%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.785 Win Model: 0.333
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 38506 54.07% 35.53 43.2%
2 11849 56.67% 36.68 46.71%
3 4086 52.72% 39.85 53.08%
4 1881 49.46% 41.12 52.21%
5 53 50.0% 36.77 50.94%
6 221 35.32% 38.38 46.15%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 485
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11433
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7190
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5789
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3657
Lose: Invader deck ran out 130
Lose: Adversary condition 18956
Win: Sacrifice victory 125
Lose: Scenario condition 402
Win: Scenario condition 427
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7495
Lose: Spirit destroyed 507

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3091 41.42% 43.35 2.316 51.15% 0.344 0.2496
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 98 46.94% 32.67 -0.82 33.67% -0.304 -0.8122
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1330 58.22% 35.17 -4.762 31.88% -0.429 -0.2322
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 225 42.67% 31.45 -1.977 36.44% -0.36 -1.2331
Dances Up Earthquakes 60 40.0% 28.07 -1.131 23.33% -0.436 -0.5744
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2372 42.41% 45.61 2.321 59.11% 0.345 0.1231
Downpour Drenches the World 587 36.29% 27.0 -3.141 23.85% -0.287 0.0192
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 919 33.19% 35.8 2.405 46.46% 0.406 -0.1483
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2047 42.68% 43.32 3.149 50.9% 0.396 -0.0312
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1918 41.02% 46.77 5.711 59.23% 0.941 0.5274
Finder of Paths Unseen 185 52.97% 31.84 -6.329 31.89% -1.275 -0.6193
Fractured Days Split the Sky 724 41.71% 37.33 -7.308 40.47% -1.193 -0.6479
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 870 55.86% 39.55 1.1 47.01% 0.428 0.3442
Heart of the Wildfire 2794 75.22% 36.91 -1.572 42.16% -0.03 0.2853
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5983 47.45% 44.2 3.972 55.56% 0.787 0.344
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 228 39.91% 36.64 7.033 48.68% 1.16 0.8665
Lightning's Swift Strike 1779 57.97% 42.15 1.804 49.86% 0.422 0.684
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 281 54.28% 48.23 1.557 62.99% 0.412 0.0847
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 503 49.1% 49.79 8.327 65.81% 1.136 0.7608
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 333 41.44% 43.87 4.021 57.36% 0.724 0.8241
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1919 56.47% 42.6 -0.827 52.84% -0.426 -0.6252
Many Minds Move as One 754 41.11% 41.03 1.897 51.19% 0.425 0.2105
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4351 50.7% 42.98 2.274 52.01% 0.425 0.5729
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 137 61.31% 29.99 -0.774 36.5% 0.069 0.1134
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1735 49.48% 42.14 -1.771 51.87% -0.221 -0.3235
River Surges in Sunlight 3478 49.09% 44.03 0.676 49.22% -0.04 -0.0424
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 55 45.45% 33.87 1.319 36.36% -0.1 0.1885
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 388 48.2% 41.01 -0.569 44.85% -0.22 -0.0167
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 450 56.57% 38.8 0.211 40.44% 0.023 -0.1906
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2387 46.1% 38.49 -1.39 40.13% -0.194 -0.352
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 25 48.0% 31.08 1.985 32.0% 0.005 -0.3782
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 882 65.53% 35.72 -5.374 33.67% -0.859 -0.2825
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 52 53.85% 32.88 -10.801 36.54% -0.822 -0.8817
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 175 50.87% 29.29 5.551 33.71% 0.747 0.3182
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 83 56.63% 30.35 17.791 24.1% 0.482 0.4878
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 265 65.53% 34.12 -5.755 32.08% -0.259 -0.3181
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 125 70.4% 33.98 16.107 31.2% 0.462 0.669
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3246 45.85% 47.57 4.253 62.42% 0.532 0.5644
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 709 16.08% 27.43 -1.739 37.8% 0.192 0.047
Shifting Memory of Ages 580 56.9% 33.99 -7.057 33.1% -1.284 -0.9589
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 77 42.86% 36.22 -2.665 45.45% -0.403 -0.3547
Shroud of Silent Mist 878 66.48% 37.93 -1.967 43.39% -0.127 0.2413
Starlight Seeks its Form 1060 44.15% 36.6 -1.076 38.96% 0.124 0.0582
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1566 46.06% 37.67 -1.348 44.38% -0.168 -0.6512
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1418 53.26% 44.69 4.127 56.06% 0.537 0.697
Thunderspeaker 2504 55.96% 43.67 1.304 51.0% 0.087 0.1178
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 150 49.33% 27.17 0.967 30.67% -0.056 0.1342
Towering Roots of the Jungle 198 42.42% 34.16 1.239 41.92% 0.23 0.3754
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1063 74.46% 34.3 -3.48 36.22% -0.645 -0.6248
Vital Strength of the Earth 1372 47.7% 35.48 0.531 31.27% -0.372 0.2086
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 169 37.5% 37.93 -6.914 39.64% -0.893 -0.4096
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 130 48.46% 30.48 -0.375 23.08% -0.201 0.4179
Volcano Looming High 1189 61.53% 38.05 -0.735 46.17% -0.022 0.014
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 453 43.49% 34.6 0.211 37.53% -0.06 -0.3769

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 12 58.33% 24.0 0.0 25.0%
Blitz 0 247 26.72% 25.73 -8.512 16.6% -1.321 -1.1063
Dahan Insurrection 4 476 44.12% 55.8 9.66 42.65% 0.309 0.021
Despicable Theft 2 30 33.33% 29.0 0.0 23.33%
Elemental Invocation 1 88 46.59% 28.76 3.401 18.18% 0.159 0.8598
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1349 18.41% 52.12 7.657 67.01% 1.054 0.4539
Powers Long Forgotten 1 146 56.85% 34.99 -0.169 28.08% -0.016 0.8209
Rituals of Terror 3 109 49.54% 40.64 -18.282 25.69% -0.446 -0.3852
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 192 69.79% 35.39 -11.666 16.15% -0.128 0.8588
Second Wave 0 357 50.72% 41.2 -0.211 40.34% -0.178 0.0719
The Great River 3 26 30.77% 21.85 0.0 3.85%
Varied Terrains 2 24 54.17% 27.17 0.952 25.0% 0.087 0.9158
Ward the Shores 2 209 56.46% 31.09 -1.166 13.4% -0.488 0.6951

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 24202 50.83% 39.7 -0.564 46.12% 0.082 0.3556
1 Thematic 1028 38.34% 35.65 0.176 21.3% -0.482 0.0933
2 Archipelago 10 40.0% 13.1 -16.966 10.0% -0.33 0.3476
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5770 55.59% 41.0 1.024 49.22% 0.437 0.5051
2 Coastline 528 54.94% 41.84 1.533 51.14% 0.648 0.4294
2 Fragment 115 61.74% 35.66 -2.587 38.26% -0.402 -0.6691
2 Heart 76 65.79% 34.82 -8.507 32.89% -0.266 -0.7367
2 Opposite Shores 1152 53.99% 40.22 -0.337 46.35% 0.238 0.2156
2 Thematic 355 37.46% 34.15 4.421 16.9% -0.199 0.1746
2 Top to Top 321 53.89% 44.48 -0.306 57.01% 0.158 -0.0997
3 Archipelago 14 78.57% 58.71 0.0 57.14%
3 Coastline 17 41.18% 41.47 10.416 47.06% 0.301 -0.663
3 Other 72 45.83% 49.85 19.088 70.83% 0.63 -0.1339
3 Round (Default) 3181 46.81% 42.47 1.233 54.13% 0.401 0.248
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 35.29 0.0 42.86%
3 Thematic 67 41.79% 33.03 0.0 16.42%
4 Archipelago 22 77.27% 42.36 0.0 45.45%
4 Coastline 11 9.09% 62.55 0.0 90.91%
4 Leaf 21 33.33% 49.9 1.764 71.43% -0.161 -0.2522
4 Other 49 53.06% 53.31 6.03 77.55% 0.247 -0.4374
4 Snake 5 100.0% 28.0 0.0 20.0%
4 Thematic 259 38.61% 43.49 -12.486 36.68% -0.231 -0.4085
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1445 47.62% 47.85 -3.734 61.45% -0.578 -0.907
5 Archipelago 2 50.0% 55.0 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 58 50.0% 34.53 3.905 43.1% -0.063 -0.8127
5 Thematic 7 28.57% 42.14 0.0 14.29%
6 Archipelago 4 50.0% 48.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 75 31.08% 17.16 -9.925 10.67% -0.038 -0.4554
6 Star 13 23.08% 55.69 0.0 76.92%
6 Thematic 18 16.67% 28.5 5.409 11.11% 0.156 0.1076
6 Two Centers (Default) 41 39.02% 42.44 -9.356 53.66% -0.568 -0.3538
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1693 40.21 1.199 48.43% 0.194 0.2663
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1313 42.53 3.811 51.26% 0.18 0.1093
All Things Weaken 813 40.36 3.072 48.46% 0.35 0.609
Attenuated Essence 145 37.61 2.279 48.28% 0.478 0.4419
Back Against the Wall 1367 42.04 4.307 49.6% 0.327 0.3803
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 160 36.57 2.718 44.38% 0.28 0.4254
Burn Brightest Before the End 115 37.18 -2.892 40.87% -0.548 -0.5315
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1703 35.9 0.989 41.34% 0.395 0.5836
Downward Spiral 1868 38.44 0.838 45.61% 0.032 0.1063
Erosion of Will 1627 38.1 4.205 42.35% 0.56 0.7149
Intensifying Exploitation 174 33.96 2.149 42.53% 0.557 0.6925
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 422 41.08 0.487 49.29% 0.242 -0.3716
Memory Fades to Dust 1956 37.99 0.146 43.81% -0.055 0.1478
Power Corrodes the Spirit 785 38.83 1.386 45.61% 0.259 0.4335
Promising Farmlands 1809 34.01 -0.374 33.78% 0.077 0.275
Shattered Fragments of Power 109 38.38 -0.185 41.28% -0.37 -0.3672
Slow Dissolution of Will 137 32.55 2.862 35.77% 0.416 0.7145
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 214 44.99 11.356 58.41% 1.207 0.51
The Border of Life and Death 33 40.42 8.501 54.55% 0.845 0.347
Thriving Communities 831 39.52 2.87 48.86% 0.482 0.6386
Thriving Crops 99 33.56 6.07 31.31% 0.465 0.1528
Tipping Point 646 36.91 0.0 40.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 858 40.57 2.623 47.67% 0.267 0.3752
Untended Land Crumbles 835 37.44 3.439 42.75% 0.521 0.7034

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8621 52.28% 40.16 -2.558 46.92% -0.376 0.5994
B 9103 51.39% 41.14 -0.853 49.52% -0.257 0.6323
C 11270 47.51% 44.41 1.789 55.96% 0.084 0.7767
D 8462 52.35% 40.54 0.575 48.05% -0.071 0.8238
E 4904 53.28% 40.7 1.292 49.67% 0.174 0.9034
F 5282 52.09% 40.45 0.092 48.77% -0.113 0.7186
G 4766 52.15% 39.59 -0.606 46.41% -0.302 0.4771
H 5031 47.84% 40.54 0.723 48.58% -0.021 0.7621
East 1074 37.91% 38.71 -4.047 25.61% -0.763 0.046
Northeast 677 39.05% 40.29 2.871 28.95% 0.206 1.0044
Northwest 636 43.87% 36.77 4.813 23.43% -0.08 0.6536
Southeast 157 36.54% 38.74 -3.226 31.21% -0.251 0.6422
Southwest 128 23.44% 31.58 8.581 22.66% 0.62 1.8781
West 1106 35.99% 34.86 -4.811 19.53% -0.599 0.3989

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 71 0.0% 48.99 -1.919 57.75% -0.681 -0.0133
Not Using Events or Tokens 139 53.62% 32.73 0.0 23.02%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 467 19.55% 59.91 7.115 75.16% 1.045 0.2758
Start of Game Growth 757 25.7% 54.76 2.936 70.54% 0.112 -0.3262
Unlimited Undo 3405 51.6% 41.27 0.098 50.1% -0.111 -0.1766
Using Tokens but Not Events 1845 45.63% 41.28 -1.027 48.4% -0.141 -0.1834

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 13764 13.76 2.32%
II 11543 30.19 45.77%
III 11027 34.82 91.19%
IV 2621 38.63 99.73%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.242 Win Model: 0.158
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 25299 50.32% 39.5 45.07%
2 8294 54.72% 40.76 47.72%
3 3341 46.81% 42.46 53.73%
4 1819 46.45% 47.32 58.22%
5 48 45.83% 28.65 27.08%
6 154 30.72% 28.95 28.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 317
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9886
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5066
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2596
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2514
Lose: Invader deck ran out 23
Lose: Adversary condition 13138
Win: Sacrifice victory 80
Lose: Scenario condition 295
Win: Scenario condition 326
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4385
Lose: Spirit destroyed 329

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1917 45.65% 52.23 0.87 62.08% -0.227 -0.3207
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 91 59.55% 52.32 4.784 69.23% 0.947 0.4388
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 714 61.46% 40.08 -2.87 35.85% -0.664 -0.4671
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 162 48.15% 47.08 5.473 56.79% 0.446 -0.4273
Dances Up Earthquakes 42 50.0% 31.02 -3.066 26.19% -0.54 -0.679
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1053 48.38% 49.04 4.917 58.31% 0.819 0.5967
Downpour Drenches the World 275 48.73% 34.57 -6.162 30.55% -0.933 -0.6276
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 559 34.7% 50.95 6.096 66.19% 1.094 0.5392
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1734 42.16% 51.98 4.673 61.88% 0.626 0.199
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 605 46.32% 43.49 -4.294 43.64% -0.611 -1.0238
Finder of Paths Unseen 95 34.74% 31.79 -2.147 38.95% -0.379 0.2759
Fractured Days Split the Sky 419 48.69% 42.23 -6.098 37.95% -0.647 -0.1014
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 499 61.12% 49.9 0.309 59.12% 0.098 0.0135
Heart of the Wildfire 1330 85.33% 39.99 1.063 41.58% -0.364 -0.0485
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3921 54.77% 53.69 -0.423 66.56% 0.315 -0.1281
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 331 46.83% 56.62 -0.161 75.83% 0.289 -0.004
Lightning's Swift Strike 1187 47.44% 53.35 0.026 60.91% 0.043 0.3047
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 246 45.45% 65.0 8.168 75.2% 0.618 0.2907
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 448 44.64% 57.49 -3.784 72.32% -0.045 -0.4211
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 274 43.8% 51.39 0.964 63.14% 0.397 0.4971
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1296 54.83% 50.11 3.303 61.5% 0.485 0.2858
Many Minds Move as One 436 45.18% 50.1 -0.607 58.26% -0.297 -0.5112
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2138 55.11% 50.42 3.755 58.47% 0.654 0.8015
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 120 60.0% 42.49 0.208 42.5% -0.185 -0.1401
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1182 49.87% 50.24 4.395 61.17% 0.536 0.433
River Surges in Sunlight 1936 53.85% 52.54 1.074 59.71% 0.131 0.129
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 45 48.89% 44.67 1.731 46.67% 0.107 0.3953
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 302 61.92% 50.69 -2.173 58.61% 0.162 0.3646
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 427 52.93% 52.4 5.921 57.85% 0.737 0.5233
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1583 47.19% 46.11 -1.091 47.44% -0.339 -0.497
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 32 43.75% 50.59 3.882 68.75% 0.86 0.4768
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 429 65.73% 40.05 2.478 34.5% 0.458 1.0338
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 25 50.0% 34.36 -19.099 28.0% -0.629 -0.6886
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 150 65.77% 50.57 4.768 64.0% 0.437 0.0083
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 84 50.0% 46.33 -3.047 59.52% -0.349 -0.3434
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 184 57.07% 48.9 0.225 56.52% 0.011 -0.0478
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 83 66.27% 31.71 -4.405 21.69% -0.373 -0.1666
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1988 44.01% 55.56 6.479 69.67% 1.007 1.0398
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 161 38.51% 54.33 0.205 69.57% -0.036 -0.181
Shifting Memory of Ages 332 46.39% 38.05 -8.805 39.16% -0.906 -0.5815
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 50 56.0% 45.3 -2.645 58.0% -0.333 -0.2847
Shroud of Silent Mist 240 63.45% 38.05 -10.909 36.25% -0.761 -0.3926
Starlight Seeks its Form 659 53.57% 43.7 -0.025 47.65% -0.1 -0.1657
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2123 43.66% 52.49 -2.426 65.57% -0.525 -1.0087
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 900 47.1% 54.6 1.414 68.0% 0.097 0.2563
Thunderspeaker 1338 60.24% 49.63 -5.595 54.78% -0.113 -0.0824
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 114 59.65% 47.54 5.579 42.98% 0.419 0.6093
Towering Roots of the Jungle 140 60.71% 43.24 -1.039 50.0% -0.019 0.1273
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 908 70.81% 45.02 -2.39 52.53% -0.416 -0.3961
Vital Strength of the Earth 774 50.65% 40.94 0.151 34.5% -0.303 0.278
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 290 37.76% 52.37 -7.096 65.86% -0.468 0.0159
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 238 46.64% 48.43 -16.792 55.88% -1.066 -0.4464
Volcano Looming High 669 57.1% 46.79 -2.684 58.15% -0.325 -0.2897
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 258 51.55% 43.83 1.055 43.02% 0.426 0.1085

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 50.0% 23.0 -13.332 0.0% -0.12 -0.0761
Blitz 0 191 28.27% 33.53 -2.435 25.13% -0.233 -0.019
Dahan Insurrection 4 403 48.64% 47.73 7.238 29.28% 0.705 0.4173
Despicable Theft 2 18 50.0% 36.67 0.0 38.89%
Elemental Invocation 1 62 50.0% 31.66 -6.014 22.58% -0.594 0.1067
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2789 33.6% 62.43 5.954 81.21% 0.65 0.0496
Powers Long Forgotten 1 127 52.76% 41.33 -1.182 32.28% -0.351 0.4868
Rituals of Terror 3 97 46.39% 46.3 -16.688 24.74% -0.226 -0.1654
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 110 76.36% 37.39 0.0 13.64%
Second Wave 0 209 57.84% 39.92 3.788 32.06% -0.292 -0.0422
The Great River 3 40 35.0% 24.38 0.0 7.5%
Varied Terrains 2 7 71.43% 24.71 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 218 50.92% 40.52 0.0 22.48%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12336 53.82% 45.35 -0.488 50.21% 0.46 0.7339
1 Thematic 692 43.64% 38.9 -5.122 21.24% -1.012 -0.4367
2 Archipelago 6 33.33% 55.83 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2847 60.3% 46.54 -3.539 53.71% -0.282 -0.2136
2 Coastline 327 60.55% 45.98 5.373 51.38% 0.424 0.205
2 Fragment 73 76.71% 38.6 2.573 38.36% 0.36 0.0929
2 Heart 26 50.0% 42.54 0.0 42.31%
2 Opposite Shores 637 54.79% 43.57 4.609 48.04% 0.944 0.9222
2 Thematic 194 40.21% 36.98 9.995 14.43% 0.17 0.5433
2 Top to Top 91 58.24% 49.07 -16.89 57.14% -0.615 -0.872
3 Archipelago 18 83.33% 62.22 0.0 11.11%
3 Coastline 5 80.0% 34.4 0.0 20.0%
3 Other 55 78.18% 48.07 5.919 50.91% 0.613 -0.151
3 Round (Default) 2722 48.88% 55.46 0.647 71.9% -0.174 -0.3271
3 Sunrise 4 75.0% 32.5 0.0 25.0%
3 Thematic 59 25.42% 34.2 -2.249 13.56% -0.5 -0.6471
4 Archipelago 3 66.67% 61.0 0.0 66.67%
4 Coastline 9 11.11% 74.44 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 49.8 0.0 60.0%
4 Other 36 50.0% 61.92 6.034 86.11% 0.131 -0.5538
4 Thematic 317 20.51% 60.09 1.088 62.15% 0.177 -0.0
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1298 52.52% 55.8 -1.23 71.26% -0.911 -1.2407
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 61.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 46 61.36% 53.09 2.122 67.39% -0.252 -1.002
5 Thematic 41 41.46% 55.63 30.372 34.15% 0.855 0.469
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 61.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 9 42.86% 61.0 21.2 66.67% 0.422 0.0049
6 Star 20 50.0% 37.45 14.208 40.0% 0.162 0.4976
6 Thematic 52 30.77% 50.88 -3.19 36.54% -0.754 -0.8023
6 Two Centers (Default) 28 46.43% 37.93 -2.846 35.71% -0.239 -0.0243

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1011 48.17 1.589 55.89% 0.153 0.2247
Aid From Lesser Spirits 827 50.42 5.045 58.16% 0.366 0.2953
All Things Weaken 464 48.79 1.991 57.97% 0.554 0.8136
Attenuated Essence 125 45.7 4.094 54.4% 0.585 0.5493
Back Against the Wall 786 46.48 7.718 50.38% 0.764 0.8178
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 108 42.94 -2.019 47.22% -0.299 -0.1535
Burn Brightest Before the End 83 43.66 5.715 48.19% 0.716 0.7326
Disintegrating Ecosystem 992 42.97 -2.37 47.08% -0.155 0.0333
Downward Spiral 1077 47.06 7.018 55.8% 1.324 1.3982
Erosion of Will 977 46.06 4.604 51.59% 0.457 0.6117
Intensifying Exploitation 92 45.34 16.919 51.09% 1.316 1.4517
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 246 51.77 7.494 65.04% 0.923 0.309
Memory Fades to Dust 1057 45.87 6.122 52.13% 0.909 1.1124
Power Corrodes the Spirit 473 46.37 2.176 53.7% 0.347 0.5218
Promising Farmlands 979 39.75 -3.04 37.59% -0.597 -0.3991
Shattered Fragments of Power 87 49.24 -5.134 57.47% -0.706 -0.7034
Slow Dissolution of Will 101 45.65 2.587 49.5% 0.109 0.4069
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 137 53.85 4.405 68.61% 0.148 -0.5492
The Border of Life and Death 33 55.97 21.147 69.7% 0.325 -0.1725
Thriving Communities 503 46.1 4.305 55.07% 1.02 1.1763
Thriving Crops 89 38.34 -7.306 38.2% -1.02 -1.3319
Tipping Point 373 45.77 0.0 51.47%
Unnatural Proliferation 538 46.66 4.653 52.23% 0.301 0.4099
Untended Land Crumbles 510 43.96 4.406 48.63% 0.591 0.7724

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5067 55.87% 48.01 -0.962 56.01% -0.103 0.872
B 5448 55.98% 48.59 0.746 57.1% 0.241 1.1308
C 6062 54.11% 50.9 0.387 61.42% 0.173 0.8654
D 4942 55.73% 49.16 -0.215 57.91% 0.048 0.9431
E 3125 50.14% 50.67 1.346 61.73% 0.24 0.9694
F 3464 51.79% 49.44 1.617 58.69% 0.346 1.1771
G 3255 52.87% 50.06 -1.311 60.25% -0.162 0.6172
H 3446 51.54% 50.38 2.302 61.2% 0.346 1.1286
East 1005 34.8% 45.75 0.941 33.03% 0.131 0.9406
Northeast 641 33.96% 50.54 -2.68 41.65% -1.09 -0.2922
Northwest 557 30.62% 52.69 -2.567 43.99% -0.598 0.1355
Southeast 198 31.82% 46.26 0.981 32.32% 0.009 0.9026
Southwest 130 30.0% 47.47 0.028 38.46% -0.135 1.1225
West 885 30.57% 47.4 0.817 34.69% -0.023 0.9744

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 31 0.0% 59.55 9.826 61.29% 0.349 1.017
Not Using Events or Tokens 63 61.9% 31.54 0.0 15.87%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 480 10.56% 70.14 5.455 80.63% 0.684 -0.085
Start of Game Growth 705 18.86% 64.95 2.31 76.17% 0.237 -0.2012
Unlimited Undo 2226 50.18% 50.58 4.794 60.15% 0.933 0.8669
Using Tokens but Not Events 1032 33.97% 49.68 3.946 55.81% 0.429 0.3859

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6809 13.76 4.82%
II 8933 30.19 62.21%
III 5125 34.82 92.53%
IV 1099 38.63 99.73%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.303 Win Model: 0.265
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13181 53.13% 44.77 48.24%
2 4100 59.45% 46.37 51.85%
3 2835 49.08% 54.77 70.16%
4 1694 45.9% 57.02 69.83%
5 62 53.33% 56.77 50.0%
6 94 43.48% 42.87 38.3%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 327
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4654
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5397
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1090
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1309
Lose: Invader deck ran out 10
Lose: Adversary condition 6059
Win: Sacrifice victory 47
Lose: Scenario condition 259
Win: Scenario condition 208
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2472
Lose: Spirit destroyed 134

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7999 45.11% 47.2 -3.986 44.58% -0.361 -0.4551
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 451 41.91% 34.07 3.291 32.37% 0.345 -0.1631
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3973 57.61% 38.18 -10.531 27.61% -1.476 -1.2785
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 1000 45.15% 43.07 4.274 45.2% 0.7 -0.1729
Dances Up Earthquakes 517 48.94% 25.63 -5.608 17.02% -0.879 -1.0175
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4800 49.82% 46.19 2.816 44.17% 0.547 0.3244
Downpour Drenches the World 2235 46.64% 34.69 -0.831 24.52% -0.208 0.0978
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 3022 36.38% 44.8 3.969 48.84% 0.971 0.4165
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8874 38.03% 50.82 3.316 50.52% 0.445 0.0178
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3075 50.44% 45.01 2.656 40.98% 0.312 -0.1016
Finder of Paths Unseen 837 48.51% 34.84 0.459 27.48% -0.236 0.4191
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3449 47.42% 48.36 0.585 42.04% 0.138 0.6838
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 4014 59.94% 47.03 -2.266 46.21% -0.113 -0.1969
Heart of the Wildfire 7028 79.29% 41.12 -4.215 36.34% -0.305 0.0102
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 29216 52.25% 54.18 3.814 59.85% 0.732 0.2881
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 665 56.54% 45.98 1.78 47.67% 0.41 0.1165
Lightning's Swift Strike 5883 56.63% 47.5 1.522 45.61% 0.575 0.8367
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 2168 60.98% 50.22 3.962 54.34% 0.877 0.5499
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 4935 52.15% 59.06 4.605 67.48% 0.969 0.5935
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1936 49.23% 55.75 3.191 60.49% 0.616 0.7156
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 8046 54.43% 50.22 0.221 53.5% 0.236 0.0374
Many Minds Move as One 2712 44.21% 51.75 2.095 51.22% 0.209 -0.0054
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 14477 50.09% 50.67 -1.043 50.69% -0.085 0.0629
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 741 62.97% 32.2 -2.728 28.88% -0.284 -0.2393
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5524 53.09% 48.29 -0.817 48.79% 0.003 -0.099
River Surges in Sunlight 12249 52.02% 51.49 -0.137 49.46% 0.114 0.1113
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 321 57.63% 37.7 -5.258 33.33% -0.741 -0.4526
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1023 50.44% 44.91 -2.063 39.39% -1.005 -0.8019
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 2465 51.26% 44.41 0.157 39.88% 0.276 0.0623
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 10342 44.11% 43.51 -2.442 37.41% 0.043 -0.1146
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 176 39.2% 36.6 0.737 39.2% 0.506 0.1231
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2101 61.87% 39.77 0.499 29.56% 0.164 0.7405
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 151 48.34% 47.59 -17.891 41.72% -0.465 -0.5251
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 901 63.56% 43.16 4.104 44.17% 0.434 0.0052
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 174 58.05% 44.44 -17.876 41.95% -0.501 -0.4952
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 1043 60.79% 43.4 -1.788 35.38% -0.254 -0.3127
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 401 66.08% 40.06 -7.496 33.42% -0.915 -0.7085
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 9362 46.39% 53.75 3.61 59.45% 0.606 0.6382
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1472 53.19% 44.4 0.555 46.67% -0.212 -0.3573
Shifting Memory of Ages 2339 52.16% 37.35 -2.143 27.36% -0.368 -0.0429
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 441 50.11% 38.04 1.542 34.47% 0.249 0.2976
Shroud of Silent Mist 1397 66.26% 39.62 -2.301 33.29% -0.409 -0.0412
Starlight Seeks its Form 4947 51.06% 44.6 -0.621 40.85% -0.135 -0.2013
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 8335 44.31% 45.9 3.271 42.28% 0.469 -0.0141
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5700 52.82% 54.73 4.359 60.63% 0.824 0.9833
Thunderspeaker 7154 52.28% 47.18 -0.681 40.54% 0.019 0.049
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 464 54.96% 38.03 -4.604 35.34% -0.308 -0.1175
Towering Roots of the Jungle 758 47.63% 35.18 -0.727 34.17% -0.063 0.0829
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4869 74.59% 41.26 -2.325 37.77% -0.514 -0.4943
Vital Strength of the Earth 3936 50.14% 35.43 -6.223 22.36% -1.073 -0.4916
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 593 58.68% 39.91 -0.73 34.74% -0.3 0.1838
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 722 47.23% 33.55 -4.712 15.93% -0.864 -0.2443
Volcano Looming High 5364 58.85% 49.09 3.253 54.05% 0.781 0.8164
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1870 47.54% 40.67 -0.439 34.65% -0.029 -0.3463

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 38 47.37% 56.37 -14.433 52.63% -0.529 -0.4844
Blitz 0 1214 34.35% 42.37 -4.624 30.56% -0.074 0.14
Dahan Insurrection 4 4252 34.79% 53.82 6.35 35.87% 0.763 0.4745
Despicable Theft 2 55 69.09% 42.29 -16.806 25.45% -0.142 0.5682
Elemental Invocation 1 313 61.34% 38.72 -4.982 17.89% -0.987 -0.286
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 10929 27.53% 61.11 10.035 67.11% 1.515 0.9152
Powers Long Forgotten 1 258 51.55% 38.0 -15.805 24.03% -0.836 0.001
Rituals of Terror 3 414 40.44% 75.82 23.472 43.24% 1.92 1.98
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 89 70.79% 34.42 -11.991 11.24% -0.241 0.7456
Second Wave 0 665 59.25% 44.6 -4.706 33.98% -0.861 -0.611
The Great River 3 157 33.12% 23.37 -16.614 6.37% -0.116 0.9496
Varied Terrains 2 29 41.38% 40.93 -6.599 24.14% -0.345 0.4846
Ward the Shores 2 415 46.62% 32.88 -6.422 12.77% -0.575 0.6087

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 111347 53.62% 47.35 0.433 46.81% 0.063 0.3368
1 Thematic 3925 38.16% 43.33 -0.141 22.6% -0.416 0.1588
2 Archipelago 114 76.32% 54.58 0.0 21.93%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13665 61.13% 47.6 -1.632 48.36% -0.618 -0.5499
2 Coastline 2886 52.81% 51.09 5.509 53.88% 0.5 0.2807
2 Fragment 861 66.55% 57.24 4.122 66.55% 0.067 -0.2001
2 Heart 416 71.88% 51.87 12.289 43.03% 1.03 0.5594
2 Opposite Shores 3851 56.51% 41.94 -0.412 33.19% -0.425 -0.4475
2 Thematic 1032 39.28% 46.09 -2.663 19.77% -0.901 -0.5279
2 Top to Top 743 58.82% 50.64 -1.554 51.55% -0.398 -0.6557
3 Archipelago 46 73.91% 48.7 1.748 17.39% -0.047 -0.9703
3 Coastline 50 58.0% 46.84 24.289 42.0% 1.726 0.7621
3 Other 162 58.64% 53.57 6.604 58.02% 0.685 -0.0792
3 Round (Default) 7958 52.9% 47.93 -2.058 49.64% -0.858 -1.011
3 Sunrise 83 44.58% 67.53 0.0 84.34%
3 Thematic 252 22.71% 73.19 9.209 39.68% 0.337 0.1896
4 Archipelago 21 52.38% 53.62 0.0 28.57%
4 Coastline 60 18.33% 74.62 20.017 91.67% 0.377 0.3201
4 Leaf 28 57.14% 45.39 -17.349 39.29% -0.414 -0.5053
4 Other 91 48.35% 64.22 20.38 80.22% 0.948 0.2632
4 Snake 1 0.0% 29.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 1369 30.68% 56.01 7.834 46.24% 0.028 -0.1495
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4861 41.97% 48.48 -1.69 51.08% -0.805 -1.1348
5 Archipelago 4 75.0% 47.5 0.0 25.0%
5 Coastline 34 5.88% 61.97 -5.653 79.41% -0.459 -0.9892
5 Other 140 48.53% 58.67 13.016 61.43% 0.211 -0.5388
5 Thematic 20 75.0% 82.65 3.996 70.0% -0.209 -0.5956
6 Archipelago 10 10.0% 73.9 0.0 80.0%
6 Coastline 28 3.57% 63.21 0.0 82.14%
6 Other 110 40.0% 50.48 26.081 50.91% 1.262 0.8455
6 Star 46 39.13% 39.96 -18.672 32.61% -0.917 -0.5813
6 Thematic 232 31.03% 44.07 -0.826 34.48% -0.107 -0.155
6 Two Centers (Default) 465 20.65% 43.23 0.295 46.24% -1.306 -1.0918
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 52.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 6384 48.41 4.501 48.43% 0.807 0.8785
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5604 49.79 3.457 49.43% 0.557 0.4863
All Things Weaken 4105 47.87 1.885 47.65% 0.568 0.8271
Attenuated Essence 812 43.69 4.09 42.98% 0.755 0.7189
Back Against the Wall 5311 47.74 4.599 45.45% 0.63 0.6837
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 836 41.26 1.208 39.0% 0.212 0.357
Burn Brightest Before the End 627 46.2 4.896 44.82% 0.731 0.7475
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6367 43.46 1.749 41.76% 0.573 0.7611
Downward Spiral 7551 47.17 2.102 47.15% 0.488 0.5618
Erosion of Will 6355 45.67 2.137 42.75% 0.469 0.6235
Intensifying Exploitation 848 42.53 2.53 42.45% 0.663 0.7989
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1942 52.57 1.775 56.33% 0.237 -0.3767
Memory Fades to Dust 7493 46.49 3.735 45.22% 0.821 1.0246
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4081 47.19 0.019 47.32% 0.296 0.4711
Promising Farmlands 6307 41.77 -0.422 35.14% -0.022 0.1764
Shattered Fragments of Power 635 44.94 4.666 42.68% 0.551 0.5533
Slow Dissolution of Will 827 40.01 4.033 36.15% 0.648 0.9468
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1159 52.42 1.985 58.5% 0.532 -0.165
The Border of Life and Death 210 43.8 1.315 43.81% 0.326 -0.1721
Thriving Communities 4137 47.87 3.173 49.12% 0.734 0.8905
Thriving Crops 537 32.8 -1.527 21.6% -0.281 -0.5933
Tipping Point 1873 44.89 0.0 42.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 4190 48.9 4.59 46.99% 0.747 0.8554
Untended Land Crumbles 4108 46.34 3.531 44.81% 0.648 0.8295

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 29976 54.34% 45.53 -1.096 43.3% -0.322 0.6532
B 32251 53.67% 47.53 -0.726 47.63% -0.309 0.5803
C 39196 54.04% 50.32 1.911 52.26% 0.026 0.7182
D 28091 52.66% 46.73 0.118 45.65% -0.196 0.6997
E 20937 52.16% 49.36 0.254 51.42% -0.085 0.6442
F 20934 52.43% 47.66 -1.653 48.22% -0.301 0.5308
G 16819 52.3% 46.15 -0.652 45.43% -0.276 0.503
H 18172 50.97% 46.24 -0.404 46.14% -0.233 0.5495
East 5205 37.44% 49.66 3.894 30.05% -0.125 0.6846
Northeast 3319 38.21% 52.81 4.856 35.46% -0.009 0.7888
Northwest 2349 32.55% 49.8 -0.163 34.78% -0.145 0.5887
Southeast 956 37.55% 43.65 -2.362 27.72% -0.471 0.4227
Southwest 621 30.76% 44.52 -5.345 35.27% -0.962 0.2963
West 3816 30.08% 48.8 1.851 30.56% -1.069 -0.0716

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 197 0.0% 54.87 -19.104 55.33% -1.209 -0.5412
Not Using Events or Tokens 1104 31.82% 46.59 0.0 20.02%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4157 15.29% 70.54 8.917 77.8% 0.89 0.1206
Start of Game Growth 8728 26.12% 65.45 9.192 72.33% 1.274 0.8357
Unlimited Undo 14802 45.31% 53.85 -1.413 59.95% 0.063 -0.0029
Using Tokens but Not Events 9544 41.45% 51.98 -0.73 53.9% -0.374 -0.4173

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 56141 13.76 3.57%
II 60439 30.19 56.98%
III 32856 34.82 91.08%
IV 5514 38.63 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.013 Win Model: 0.468
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 116390 53.0% 47.12 45.74%
2 22737 59.37% 48.45 47.17%
3 8411 52.62% 48.3 49.46%
4 6389 39.32% 50.51 51.03%
5 144 38.57% 56.15 56.94%
6 879 25.6% 44.9 45.05%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2002
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 29276
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 33020
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5342
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 12426
Lose: Invader deck ran out 115
Lose: Adversary condition 49913
Win: Sacrifice victory 490
Lose: Scenario condition 1345
Win: Scenario condition 1736
Lose: Blight pool ran out 18082
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1203

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-07-13 03:02:19 (Pacific Time)