The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3245 31.79% 31.56 0.132 82.16% 0.044 -0.0713
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2010 55.63% 26.91 -2.417 71.14% -0.597 -0.5012
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1932 34.12% 30.49 -0.086 86.13% 0.161 -0.0003
Downpour Drenches the World 40 30.0% 28.25 -0.703 77.5% -0.237 0.0162
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2321 25.26% 33.46 1.758 90.74% 0.78 0.3428
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1895 28.22% 32.3 1.962 91.13% 1.282 0.794
Finder of Paths Unseen 14 57.14% 22.79 -3.077 42.86% -0.678 -0.3149
Fractured Days Split the Sky 370 40.65% 30.04 -3.078 71.35% -1.414 -1.358
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 351 49.29% 29.37 0.256 75.5% 0.437 0.4051
Heart of the Wildfire 2673 60.22% 27.09 -1.18 74.75% 0.129 0.3036
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5299 30.54% 34.81 0.599 87.75% 0.301 -0.1556
Lightning's Swift Strike 3120 41.97% 30.98 -1.231 80.03% -0.388 -0.1133
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 12 41.67% 31.25 -0.336 83.33% 0.39 -0.3868
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 287 34.97% 31.52 1.284 85.71% 0.19 -0.453
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 206 37.56% 31.46 -2.044 82.04% -0.467 -0.7338
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 961 37.81% 31.28 1.783 87.51% 0.81 0.543
Many Minds Move as One 635 27.56% 31.96 1.247 87.87% 0.323 -0.2799
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3512 41.7% 30.46 0.989 80.69% 0.657 0.4718
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1782 37.73% 29.38 -1.005 82.44% 0.071 0.0922
River Surges in Sunlight 4678 32.48% 36.27 -0.194 80.93% -0.64 -0.6743
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 367 48.63% 29.84 -1.991 70.84% -0.427 0.0046
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 23 56.52% 28.48 0.012 60.87% -0.46 -0.7604
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2812 31.63% 34.13 0.088 83.71% -0.361 -0.4138
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2107 55.8% 28.41 -2.407 71.33% -0.899 -0.4891
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 6 16.67% 38.83 4.063 66.67% -0.069 -0.0626
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 8 62.5% 28.25 0.254 87.5% 0.359 0.0119
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 214 46.26% 30.12 1.134 82.24% 0.514 0.5336
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 161 54.66% 28.47 -1.647 78.26% 0.14 0.3227
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3528 32.26% 34.45 1.105 85.86% 0.672 0.3854
Shifting Memory of Ages 227 57.96% 25.93 -2.996 70.48% -0.589 -0.5137
Shroud of Silent Mist 381 58.42% 26.24 -2.503 73.49% -0.763 -0.5264
Starlight Seeks its Form 336 28.27% 31.26 2.709 83.04% 1.386 1.2466
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1137 37.03% 27.57 -0.395 84.26% 0.481 0.299
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1517 37.98% 28.94 -0.091 79.1% 0.225 0.41
Thunderspeaker 3676 28.77% 38.41 1.396 87.62% 0.732 0.7963
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 841 72.57% 23.08 -1.739 68.61% -0.398 -0.489
Vital Strength of the Earth 2571 35.3% 27.46 -1.436 65.42% -0.481 0.3279
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 10 10.0% 28.3 -1.239 70.0% -0.446 -0.0593
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 190 47.34% 23.33 -2.172 51.05% -0.615 0.5596
Volcano Looming High 534 46.99% 28.1 0.908 82.58% 0.178 0.174

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 100.0% 35.0 0.046 100.0% 0.278 0.0764
Blitz 0 424 43.74% 25.96 0.173 69.58% -0.227 0.03
Dahan Insurrection 4 605 26.2% 49.26 6.91 78.84% -0.009 0.4044
Despicable Theft 2 60 50.0% 32.7 0.321 65.0% -0.278 0.1681
Elemental Invocation 1 106 58.1% 26.47 -0.321 59.43% -0.547 -0.0607
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1304 11.75% 34.62 -0.506 84.36% -1.112 -0.8066
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1338 17.22% 50.96 3.435 90.51% 0.225 0.4073
Rituals of Terror 3 340 50.88% 35.85 5.506 61.18% -0.144 -0.0226
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 270 76.67% 33.44 7.733 54.81% 0.429 0.8444
Second Wave 0 484 58.06% 26.42 1.166 60.74% -0.431 0.1349
The Great River 3 74 66.22% 29.74 1.05 44.59% -0.039 1.3583
Varied Terrains 2 2 50.0% 44.0 8.267 100.0% 0.64 1.1655
Ward the Shores 2 460 46.09% 28.01 -0.493 41.3% -1.356 -0.1942

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 23301 43.93% 27.96 -0.396 77.03% 0.553 1.5693
1 Thematic 2923 44.08% 32.57 0.694 66.68% -0.13 1.0422
2 Archipelago 12 50.0% 29.75 0.0 41.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5524 39.5% 29.39 0.16 83.47% 0.503 1.2544
2 Coastline 409 39.56% 29.15 -1.161 83.37% -0.473 0.1295
2 Fragment 106 50.0% 26.4 -2.249 74.53% -0.024 0.4232
2 Heart 60 51.72% 27.17 0.0 83.33%
2 Opposite Shores 691 42.32% 29.05 -2.16 86.25% -0.251 0.7416
2 Thematic 648 44.2% 34.92 -0.415 74.69% -0.535 0.1635
2 Top to Top 95 32.61% 29.51 4.732 86.32% -0.159 0.3508
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 45.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 12 58.33% 27.0 0.0 41.67%
3 Other 59 40.68% 30.02 1.773 91.53% 0.011 -0.0242
3 Round (Default) 1701 34.47% 29.97 0.016 86.36% 0.369 0.9637
3 Sunrise 15 13.33% 31.53 1.661 93.33% 0.687 0.7242
3 Thematic 125 44.8% 35.75 7.482 73.6% 0.31 0.2723
4 Coastline 3 100.0% 26.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 29.25 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 39 35.9% 29.03 -1.098 89.74% 0.173 -0.0809
4 Thematic 1300 4.54% 57.33 4.881 98.54% 0.352 0.8808
4 Trapezoid (Default) 862 35.19% 29.43 -0.88 83.64% -0.293 -0.3201
5 Other 5 60.0% 24.8 -0.682 60.0% -0.794 -0.6256
5 Thematic 5 50.0% 43.2 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 53.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 2 50.0% 24.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 1 0.0% 32.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 10 20.0% 41.4 -1.966 80.0% 0.027 -0.2514
6 Two Centers (Default) 20 30.0% 31.7 0.916 90.0% 0.26 0.1657
7 Other 1 0.0% 52.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1489 22.7 -4.488 60.31% -1.853 0.0495
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1260 22.74 -5.203 57.06% -1.896 -0.1665
All Things Weaken 514 21.65 -4.952 56.61% -1.986 -0.0007
Back Against the Wall 1221 22.63 -3.742 57.25% -1.412 0.405
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1329 19.27 -4.634 53.65% -1.241 0.809
Downward Spiral 2033 22.0 -4.099 63.11% -1.052 0.9408
Erosion of Will 1404 22.16 -3.209 57.69% -1.374 0.7088
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 234 28.38 0.258 87.18% 0.49 0.9312
Memory Fades to Dust 1960 21.76 -2.82 59.13% -0.64 1.4443
Power Corrodes the Spirit 517 21.69 -1.947 59.57% -0.332 1.606
Promising Farmlands 1359 19.88 -5.73 52.69% -1.391 0.6544
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 150 29.07 0.445 92.67% 0.063 0.4882
Thriving Communities 508 19.81 -4.715 54.13% -1.214 0.77
Tipping Point 625 20.24 0.0 53.6%
Unnatural Proliferation 528 22.16 -3.769 57.01% -1.118 0.8469
Untended Land Crumbles 461 21.21 -3.674 60.09% -1.172 0.8208

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7782 42.3% 28.48 -0.138 79.38% -0.029 0.768
B 8232 41.3% 28.66 -0.102 80.42% 0.083 0.8268
C 8286 40.49% 28.76 -0.903 80.53% -0.069 0.4991
D 7764 39.56% 28.95 0.039 80.92% 0.296 1.0917
E 2393 41.76% 29.11 0.343 81.99% -0.035 0.6116
F 4149 41.12% 28.65 0.298 81.44% 0.258 0.9818
G 3968 42.1% 28.29 0.106 80.19% -0.07 0.6613
H 3829 39.64% 28.96 -0.596 81.85% -0.375 0.3371
East 3490 28.51% 43.13 3.074 81.35% 0.402 1.1704
Northeast 2470 22.79% 46.53 1.529 85.95% -0.108 0.752
Northwest 2109 20.07% 48.26 2.504 88.38% 0.218 1.2947
Southeast 320 38.87% 33.35 -0.498 70.31% -0.459 0.2469
Southwest 306 47.87% 28.82 -0.439 66.01% 0.272 1.3976
West 3179 28.71% 42.5 2.995 79.9% 0.424 1.3781

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 120 0.0% 30.94 -1.52 84.17% 0.093 2.2227
Not Using Events or Tokens 722 50.29% 27.93 -1.923 74.52% 0.034 0.2094
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1654 3.54% 53.75 2.322 97.52% -0.28 -0.422
Start of Game Growth 1965 7.64% 50.33 2.121 95.47% 0.212 -0.5482
Unlimited Undo 2015 33.01% 31.32 0.55 85.06% 0.59 -0.0143
Using Tokens but Not Events 3805 33.85% 30.1 -0.977 83.26% -0.034 -0.1909

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4434 22.56 37.37%
II 12797 30.98 71.44%
III 14170 34.53 88.9%
IV 6540 37.77 98.96%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.152 Win Model: 0.333
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 26305 44.03% 28.48 75.83%
2 7528 40.18% 29.75 82.96%
3 1869 34.69% 30.31 85.87%
4 2199 17.08% 45.94 92.63%
5 3 66.67% 24.33 33.33%
6 35 25.71% 35.26 88.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1650
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12198
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8545
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6409
Lose: Invader deck ran out 225
Lose: Adversary condition 2165
Win: Sacrifice victory 165
Lose: Scenario condition 327
Win: Scenario condition 901
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5092
Lose: Spirit destroyed 264

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1885 46.67% 31.83 0.187 74.59% 0.287 0.1725
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1185 65.85% 29.14 -0.19 63.04% -0.286 -0.1898
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1138 54.84% 30.93 0.481 73.2% 0.154 -0.0077
Downpour Drenches the World 31 38.71% 31.77 -0.394 74.19% -0.082 0.1703
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1516 37.16% 36.13 2.661 83.38% 0.687 0.2495
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1253 47.4% 34.3 2.358 81.88% 0.841 0.3533
Finder of Paths Unseen 16 81.25% 19.69 -5.079 31.25% -1.294 -0.9302
Fractured Days Split the Sky 204 56.86% 31.9 3.666 62.75% 0.425 0.4813
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 216 64.49% 30.47 -0.276 69.91% -0.105 -0.137
Heart of the Wildfire 1616 79.74% 24.2 -2.94 54.02% -0.576 -0.4012
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2917 54.76% 30.71 0.5 75.08% 0.538 0.082
Lightning's Swift Strike 1756 62.83% 29.35 -0.416 65.77% -0.011 0.2633
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 12 58.33% 31.17 -0.406 75.0% 0.312 -0.4649
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 163 48.47% 35.08 3.455 81.6% 0.901 0.2585
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 132 51.52% 34.11 2.101 76.52% 0.224 -0.0428
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 804 54.86% 32.55 0.097 78.36% 0.268 0.0012
Many Minds Move as One 494 39.68% 35.13 1.492 83.6% 0.568 -0.0345
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1897 63.1% 30.5 0.045 70.85% -0.0 -0.1851
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1203 56.57% 30.11 0.268 70.24% 0.365 0.3855
River Surges in Sunlight 2206 58.78% 30.86 0.811 62.92% -0.494 -0.5283
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 190 62.11% 28.73 -0.637 56.84% 0.021 0.4523
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 19 63.16% 32.89 -0.087 63.16% -0.456 -0.756
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1420 54.55% 29.68 1.777 67.96% 0.501 0.4485
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1094 76.81% 25.35 0.759 49.73% 0.061 0.4713
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 6 83.33% 22.0 -3.755 33.33% -0.521 -0.5145
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 5 20.0% 38.2 2.619 80.0% 0.168 -0.1785
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 132 65.15% 27.49 -4.225 59.09% -0.947 -0.9281
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 93 72.83% 30.6 -1.582 65.59% -0.139 0.0437
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1976 53.2% 31.42 0.042 72.47% 0.179 -0.1073
Shifting Memory of Ages 184 63.59% 29.24 -1.172 66.3% -0.329 -0.2543
Shroud of Silent Mist 233 79.31% 25.53 -2.025 57.08% -0.259 -0.0227
Starlight Seeks its Form 250 43.28% 32.79 2.087 78.0% 1.393 1.2534
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 701 49.22% 29.39 -1.24 76.6% 0.154 -0.0278
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1015 56.45% 29.0 -0.993 64.63% -0.184 0.0003
Thunderspeaker 1807 55.84% 32.07 0.57 71.0% 0.225 0.289
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 539 83.96% 23.11 -3.771 51.39% -0.879 -0.9699
Vital Strength of the Earth 1542 55.95% 25.39 -1.803 48.18% -0.545 0.2636
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 13 38.46% 32.15 -0.899 69.23% -0.223 0.164
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 113 53.1% 23.24 -6.597 38.94% -1.234 -0.0595
Volcano Looming High 407 69.7% 27.03 0.4 64.37% 0.47 0.4654

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 50.0% 28.5 -3.151 50.0% -0.17 -0.3722
Blitz 0 417 55.42% 27.74 0.248 63.55% 0.264 0.5211
Dahan Insurrection 4 327 43.12% 49.36 10.457 68.81% 0.183 0.5964
Despicable Theft 2 51 56.86% 33.08 -0.552 52.94% 0.073 0.519
Elemental Invocation 1 62 67.74% 29.55 0.144 56.45% -0.243 0.2427
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 794 25.25% 34.79 3.674 73.8% 0.881 1.1861
Powers Long Forgotten 1 348 65.8% 31.1 2.16 54.89% 0.024 0.2057
Rituals of Terror 3 213 66.67% 36.15 8.691 46.95% 0.161 0.2827
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 171 81.29% 33.94 3.931 45.61% -0.244 0.1711
Second Wave 0 1224 57.99% 30.98 1.761 63.07% -0.224 0.342
The Great River 3 47 80.85% 25.32 -1.185 25.53% -0.696 0.7013
Varied Terrains 2 2 50.0% 32.5 2.273 50.0% -0.072 0.4536
Ward the Shores 2 302 50.33% 28.56 -1.915 33.11% -1.023 0.1384

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 13452 58.23% 28.4 -0.456 65.56% 0.059 1.075
1 Thematic 2350 55.94% 33.06 1.06 58.47% 0.088 1.261
2 Archipelago 6 66.67% 38.83 0.0 100.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3204 59.41% 29.61 0.39 70.85% 0.095 0.8464
2 Coastline 309 56.07% 31.07 0.602 75.08% -0.016 0.5859
2 Fragment 111 59.09% 28.08 0.126 65.77% 0.206 0.6539
2 Heart 50 71.43% 27.32 2.558 66.0% 0.498 1.036
2 Opposite Shores 578 57.74% 29.97 -2.56 72.49% -0.572 0.4199
2 Thematic 658 57.75% 33.59 2.123 60.49% 0.054 0.7527
2 Top to Top 81 70.37% 29.3 -1.308 76.54% 0.203 0.7134
3 Archipelago 10 70.0% 33.7 0.0 40.0%
3 Coastline 9 66.67% 25.33 0.0 44.44%
3 Other 56 48.21% 33.68 -5.23 85.71% -0.427 -0.4629
3 Round (Default) 1073 56.5% 31.41 0.739 76.98% 0.299 0.8939
3 Sunrise 12 58.33% 27.83 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 114 62.28% 34.03 3.449 62.28% 0.475 0.4374
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 37.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 32.4 -0.512 100.0% 0.139 0.7018
4 Other 22 50.0% 34.91 0.0 86.36%
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 183 51.1% 37.55 1.419 72.68% -0.09 0.4394
4 Trapezoid (Default) 458 51.43% 31.85 0.605 73.8% 0.096 0.0687
5 Other 14 76.92% 30.57 -1.277 50.0% -0.375 -0.2068
6 Archipelago 2 100.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 1 100.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Thematic 10 33.33% 41.3 -0.724 80.0% -0.293 -0.5721
6 Two Centers (Default) 9 22.22% 44.78 2.238 100.0% 0.033 -0.0606

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1222 24.85 -2.42 52.95% -1.139 0.7645
Aid From Lesser Spirits 985 25.22 -3.623 51.27% -1.787 -0.0576
All Things Weaken 446 23.91 -3.943 51.79% -1.396 0.5895
Back Against the Wall 971 24.96 -2.713 51.7% -1.581 0.2352
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1065 21.17 -4.188 46.95% -1.567 0.4835
Downward Spiral 1653 23.62 -3.427 55.41% -1.293 0.6998
Erosion of Will 1210 23.74 -3.716 48.84% -1.626 0.4575
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 169 31.79 1.341 81.66% 0.306 0.7475
Memory Fades to Dust 1720 23.35 -6.203 51.28% -2.017 0.0669
Power Corrodes the Spirit 470 22.71 -5.252 50.43% -1.921 0.0169
Promising Farmlands 1154 21.84 -5.325 45.75% -1.825 0.221
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 98 32.68 1.425 81.63% 0.321 0.7459
Thriving Communities 462 22.36 -4.931 45.24% -1.498 0.486
Tipping Point 530 23.35 0.0 49.43%
Unnatural Proliferation 527 24.99 -2.684 51.04% -1.107 0.8571
Untended Land Crumbles 455 22.92 -5.431 51.21% -1.87 0.123

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4631 59.34% 28.65 -0.166 66.96% -0.187 0.6107
B 4901 57.96% 29.68 0.403 70.6% 0.223 0.9665
C 4854 56.6% 29.91 0.406 71.1% 0.351 0.9194
D 4600 58.64% 29.39 -0.713 68.85% -0.161 0.6347
E 1643 57.5% 29.42 -0.225 68.41% -0.3 0.3467
F 2510 59.03% 29.35 0.297 69.12% -0.032 0.6923
G 2283 57.68% 29.5 -0.66 68.59% -0.347 0.385
H 2350 55.29% 30.16 -0.211 71.57% 0.017 0.7291
East 2025 55.27% 34.71 2.287 62.17% -0.005 0.7641
Northeast 1128 56.0% 34.82 1.56 63.48% -0.157 0.7033
Northwest 944 55.64% 34.44 0.103 63.88% -0.353 0.724
Southeast 276 50.0% 33.55 0.005 62.68% -0.326 0.3803
Southwest 274 56.25% 29.0 -1.121 59.12% -0.516 0.6089
West 1903 57.38% 32.8 3.579 58.85% 0.859 1.8129

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 96 0.0% 26.67 0.0 57.29%
Not Using Events or Tokens 362 65.24% 27.9 0.269 62.71% 0.396 0.5709
Skip Initial Invader Actions 380 18.49% 44.91 2.3 91.05% 0.129 -0.0135
Start of Game Growth 527 21.78% 43.35 4.802 89.94% 1.301 0.5405
Unlimited Undo 1663 52.39% 30.87 1.333 72.34% 0.618 0.0143
Using Tokens but Not Events 2232 53.84% 29.44 -2.641 69.49% -0.872 -1.0284

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2868 22.56 8.68%
II 6792 30.98 47.01%
III 8485 34.53 84.08%
IV 4636 37.77 99.14%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.073 Win Model: 0.178
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 15867 57.96% 29.1 64.47%
2 4975 59.03% 30.25 70.09%
3 1239 56.28% 31.51 75.63%
4 672 51.95% 33.45 73.81%
5 7 83.33% 39.14 71.43%
6 21 35.0% 41.33 85.71%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 248
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6923
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2944
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4547
Lose: Invader deck ran out 99
Lose: Adversary condition 1960
Win: Sacrifice victory 94
Lose: Scenario condition 271
Win: Scenario condition 416
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4998
Lose: Spirit destroyed 281

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3516 35.81% 36.51 2.902 56.48% 0.667 0.5525
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2021 51.46% 30.38 -1.65 39.44% -0.46 -0.3644
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2166 38.82% 33.89 -0.655 52.86% 0.076 -0.0852
Downpour Drenches the World 96 34.38% 31.02 -2.114 37.5% -0.734 -0.4811
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2742 28.43% 39.25 2.964 62.98% 0.758 0.3205
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1773 38.32% 34.07 -0.632 49.63% -0.236 -0.7242
Finder of Paths Unseen 26 46.15% 26.5 -3.631 23.08% -0.759 -0.3957
Fractured Days Split the Sky 521 40.96% 36.01 -0.335 48.18% -0.316 -0.26
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 630 56.03% 39.34 -0.123 61.43% 0.074 0.0417
Heart of the Wildfire 3603 68.1% 33.25 -0.128 56.29% 0.243 0.4178
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5556 43.39% 36.5 0.455 61.47% 0.241 -0.2149
Lightning's Swift Strike 2673 48.42% 36.9 0.818 61.2% 0.191 0.4651
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 33 44.83% 44.64 4.526 84.85% 1.408 0.6311
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 493 41.18% 43.83 7.633 76.47% 1.996 1.3531
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 322 41.93% 42.65 -1.1 67.39% 0.013 -0.2532
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1705 41.62% 38.94 2.827 66.8% 0.922 0.6554
Many Minds Move as One 918 35.44% 37.69 -0.826 61.55% -0.037 -0.6402
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3829 48.95% 34.16 1.679 51.01% 0.526 0.3413
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2045 38.49% 35.75 1.057 57.31% 0.466 0.4864
River Surges in Sunlight 4322 41.51% 37.46 0.264 53.26% -0.203 -0.2371
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 420 46.76% 32.92 2.994 39.52% 0.609 1.0406
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 62 46.77% 36.87 1.211 43.55% -0.225 -0.5253
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3152 41.92% 30.24 -2.34 39.82% -0.889 -0.942
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1603 62.0% 28.6 -1.693 35.43% -0.175 0.235
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 7 100.0% 36.29 1.032 71.43% 0.431 0.4376
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 10 80.0% 40.5 3.599 70.0% 0.734 0.3871
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 355 51.83% 34.46 -8.406 51.55% -0.94 -0.9207
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 159 61.64% 31.92 -5.634 44.03% -0.936 -0.7535
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3542 41.31% 38.91 1.605 65.89% 0.48 0.1932
Shifting Memory of Ages 431 56.38% 29.92 0.364 38.52% -0.113 -0.0379
Shroud of Silent Mist 493 63.41% 29.44 -3.658 41.18% -0.659 -0.4223
Starlight Seeks its Form 495 40.0% 31.39 -1.337 38.99% -0.35 -0.4889
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1591 36.5% 31.67 0.193 50.41% 0.167 -0.0148
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1751 40.09% 38.41 0.948 64.31% 0.234 0.419
Thunderspeaker 3235 43.99% 38.16 -0.562 59.66% -0.167 -0.1025
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1218 68.86% 27.98 -4.424 41.71% -0.634 -0.7244
Vital Strength of the Earth 2445 38.44% 26.7 -3.132 27.61% -0.741 0.0675
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 29 42.86% 33.28 -1.287 48.28% -0.284 0.1028
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 184 42.08% 28.49 -4.856 35.87% -0.915 0.2594
Volcano Looming High 876 50.34% 34.69 -1.755 59.13% -0.058 -0.0626

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 37.5% 27.25 -2.929 25.0% -0.218 -0.4203
Blitz 0 539 34.39% 21.85 -1.619 19.48% -0.141 0.1162
Dahan Insurrection 4 676 25.74% 57.56 8.164 65.24% -0.013 0.3997
Despicable Theft 2 85 68.24% 35.85 -2.17 38.82% -0.97 -0.5239
Elemental Invocation 1 101 53.47% 31.25 -6.286 36.63% -1.571 -1.0855
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1244 19.61% 41.65 3.44 68.33% 0.506 0.8111
Powers Long Forgotten 1 332 53.61% 34.8 8.899 42.77% 0.583 0.7646
Rituals of Terror 3 175 50.86% 43.39 24.062 48.0% 0.389 0.5098
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 80 68.35% 37.09 -5.322 33.75% -0.238 0.1772
Second Wave 0 659 46.27% 32.38 0.507 39.0% -0.378 0.1874
The Great River 3 33 9.09% 23.48 -4.118 0.0% -0.478 0.9195
Varied Terrains 2 7 57.14% 38.0 3.516 42.86% 0.09 0.6156
Ward the Shores 2 396 44.19% 36.99 -6.163 36.87% -0.84 0.3219

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 25736 45.87% 33.16 -0.35 51.02% 0.14 1.1557
1 Thematic 1329 38.9% 34.21 0.413 36.72% -0.04 1.1323
2 Archipelago 18 77.78% 32.06 0.0 38.89%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6439 47.64% 34.46 1.099 55.15% 0.413 1.1643
2 Coastline 654 46.47% 34.47 2.137 53.82% 0.65 1.2528
2 Fragment 160 64.38% 29.88 -4.352 43.75% -0.678 -0.2309
2 Heart 53 52.83% 32.64 0.0 52.83%
2 Opposite Shores 1320 49.24% 32.72 -3.56 50.15% -1.148 -0.1557
2 Thematic 630 38.0% 31.84 -3.063 29.84% -0.634 0.0646
2 Top to Top 173 53.18% 36.08 7.849 61.85% 0.426 0.9368
3 Archipelago 4 100.0% 53.0 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 8 25.0% 41.38 24.891 62.5% 0.773 -0.0096
3 Other 63 39.68% 37.27 1.985 66.67% 0.581 0.5453
3 Round (Default) 2416 44.3% 36.22 -0.477 58.53% -0.323 0.2715
3 Sunrise 9 33.33% 42.67 11.156 77.78% 0.579 0.6156
3 Thematic 116 42.24% 37.07 0.0 40.52%
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 17.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 11 63.64% 35.36 0.0 63.64%
4 Other 46 43.48% 42.85 0.0 78.26%
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 528 16.86% 52.16 6.977 72.35% 0.648 1.1768
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1139 42.6% 38.5 1.664 62.6% 0.327 0.2998
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 31.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 22 68.18% 38.73 -2.367 54.55% -0.215 -0.0466
5 Thematic 8 25.0% 54.25 -8.092 50.0% -0.772 -1.0487
6 Other 4 0.0% 48.25 0.0 75.0%
6 Star 2 0.0% 56.5 -8.192 50.0% -0.464 0.3191
6 Thematic 36 29.41% 40.67 -2.048 47.22% -0.231 -0.5094
6 Two Centers (Default) 17 47.06% 40.18 -4.139 70.59% -0.694 -0.7883

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1730 30.84 -2.424 49.19% -0.408 1.4953
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1450 32.12 0.191 50.14% 0.233 1.9634
All Things Weaken 723 29.97 -2.371 46.06% -0.352 1.6331
Back Against the Wall 1419 31.71 -1.736 48.7% -0.342 1.4749
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1653 27.19 -3.054 42.89% -0.28 1.77
Downward Spiral 2026 30.13 -3.079 48.86% -0.373 1.6197
Erosion of Will 1643 29.27 -2.928 44.07% -0.415 1.6684
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 385 32.89 2.566 53.25% 0.564 1.0051
Memory Fades to Dust 2097 29.41 -1.312 45.35% -0.03 2.0546
Power Corrodes the Spirit 680 29.58 -1.035 46.03% -0.016 1.9222
Promising Farmlands 1734 26.24 -4.475 35.29% -0.994 1.0523
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 194 34.38 -1.305 59.28% 0.122 0.5469
Thriving Communities 699 29.52 -4.665 47.93% -0.825 1.1591
Tipping Point 791 27.05 0.0 39.19%
Unnatural Proliferation 668 30.03 -2.719 44.16% -0.686 1.2789
Untended Land Crumbles 688 28.25 -3.609 43.6% -0.531 1.4621

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8941 47.78% 33.48 -0.128 51.95% -0.324 0.473
B 9781 46.42% 34.55 0.117 54.96% -0.234 0.5091
C 10297 44.73% 34.37 0.233 54.11% -0.258 0.3106
D 9165 47.38% 33.47 -0.425 51.59% -0.463 0.3325
E 3594 44.78% 36.06 1.223 58.07% 0.03 0.6768
F 4858 46.09% 34.9 -0.807 55.45% -0.523 0.2012
G 4619 45.57% 34.89 -0.174 55.25% -0.265 0.4662
H 4768 45.16% 35.19 0.326 56.0% -0.265 0.4472
East 1854 32.69% 39.66 0.707 46.17% -0.789 -0.0202
Northeast 1202 32.03% 41.78 -0.34 50.67% -0.744 0.1155
Northwest 1056 30.74% 42.23 -1.038 52.08% -1.235 -0.1586
Southeast 211 27.27% 38.7 0.387 46.45% -0.193 0.5136
Southwest 210 31.25% 36.16 -3.246 42.86% -0.963 0.1625
West 1785 31.63% 38.78 2.57 44.59% 0.506 1.4603

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 74 0.0% 36.74 3.319 59.46% 0.545 2.6746
Not Using Events or Tokens 278 38.66% 27.36 0.0 28.06%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 405 16.4% 50.4 1.23 79.51% 0.02 -0.1224
Start of Game Growth 884 20.73% 48.08 3.669 73.98% 0.544 -0.216
Unlimited Undo 2496 42.97% 36.45 2.082 58.49% 0.434 -0.17
Using Tokens but Not Events 2574 40.49% 34.16 0.385 51.86% 0.167 0.0107

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9806 22.56 4.01%
II 15920 30.98 44.12%
III 10943 34.53 87.96%
IV 4280 37.77 99.28%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.33 Win Model: 0.406
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 27137 45.57% 33.22 50.29%
2 9441 47.61% 33.97 52.6%
3 2578 43.73% 36.41 58.38%
4 1727 34.94% 42.82 65.89%
5 9 44.44% 33.0 44.44%
6 57 30.91% 42.18 57.89%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 392
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9350
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6455
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4220
Lose: Invader deck ran out 30
Lose: Adversary condition 14732
Win: Sacrifice victory 96
Lose: Scenario condition 350
Win: Scenario condition 779
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4247
Lose: Spirit destroyed 298

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2953 45.48% 40.17 0.575 51.07% 0.258 0.1428
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1615 62.2% 32.96 -4.117 32.38% -0.774 -0.6782
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1791 49.86% 39.4 -0.555 51.2% 0.156 -0.0057
Downpour Drenches the World 82 48.15% 33.72 -2.759 31.71% -0.676 -0.4231
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2328 43.99% 43.47 1.082 58.42% 0.465 0.0273
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1523 49.84% 38.13 -1.572 44.71% -0.204 -0.6916
Finder of Paths Unseen 30 46.67% 36.93 -1.327 40.0% -0.321 0.0423
Fractured Days Split the Sky 537 51.77% 41.11 1.95 44.13% -0.048 0.0076
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 608 62.17% 44.98 1.72 63.32% 0.475 0.4436
Heart of the Wildfire 2687 80.34% 34.13 -0.757 43.17% 0.306 0.4809
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8367 53.72% 41.5 1.829 55.59% 0.622 0.1657
Lightning's Swift Strike 2380 59.42% 39.05 -0.142 50.55% 0.024 0.2979
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 42 73.81% 45.86 3.56 61.9% 0.722 -0.0551
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 482 51.66% 48.26 9.239 69.71% 2.078 1.4347
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 302 54.64% 44.68 4.643 59.27% 1.148 0.8817
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1580 60.92% 40.85 0.23 56.2% 0.263 -0.004
Many Minds Move as One 751 40.8% 43.2 2.125 58.46% 0.316 -0.2865
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3635 56.69% 39.48 0.618 50.21% 0.39 0.2047
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1857 52.78% 39.24 0.283 50.62% 0.287 0.3073
River Surges in Sunlight 4043 52.57% 40.08 0.505 46.03% -0.123 -0.1574
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 367 56.28% 35.69 -3.359 34.88% -0.871 -0.4402
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 49 46.94% 46.82 3.594 59.18% 0.546 0.2451
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2832 50.73% 36.07 -1.144 40.25% -0.39 -0.4428
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1271 72.24% 31.71 -1.995 30.13% -0.171 0.2385
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 8 75.0% 26.0 -5.99 12.5% -0.925 -0.9181
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 10 70.0% 31.7 -2.876 30.0% -0.44 -0.7869
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 276 68.12% 36.49 1.454 41.3% 0.242 0.2617
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 131 70.77% 31.89 -7.417 29.77% -1.059 -0.8765
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3808 51.09% 43.24 3.106 60.32% 0.708 0.4215
Shifting Memory of Ages 419 71.12% 35.18 0.138 39.62% 0.056 0.1309
Shroud of Silent Mist 469 73.13% 30.45 -3.484 28.78% -0.737 -0.5004
Starlight Seeks its Form 457 53.61% 39.22 0.421 47.05% 0.076 -0.0636
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1710 50.23% 37.07 -1.592 49.24% -0.068 -0.2505
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1407 54.67% 41.64 2.285 56.36% 0.678 0.8631
Thunderspeaker 2941 57.41% 41.07 3.203 51.48% 0.859 0.923
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1284 78.78% 32.05 -4.692 37.62% -0.821 -0.9115
Vital Strength of the Earth 1961 50.26% 31.61 -3.113 28.15% -0.683 0.126
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 15 33.33% 24.8 -5.972 6.67% -1.167 -0.7798
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 170 45.29% 30.64 -7.352 24.12% -1.478 -0.3038
Volcano Looming High 956 65.69% 38.05 -0.588 52.72% 0.27 0.2659

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 100.0% 53.5 9.784 100.0% 0.91 0.708
Blitz 0 327 37.73% 27.97 -3.222 22.02% -0.493 -0.2357
Dahan Insurrection 4 434 43.09% 52.37 4.424 42.63% -0.394 0.0191
Despicable Theft 2 19 57.89% 51.74 9.824 63.16% 0.208 0.6543
Elemental Invocation 1 52 65.38% 35.75 -2.968 34.62% -0.21 0.2753
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1203 21.75% 50.68 6.134 73.48% 1.229 1.5345
Powers Long Forgotten 1 187 62.57% 37.57 -7.997 37.43% -0.464 -0.2818
Rituals of Terror 3 140 61.59% 40.91 -3.196 30.0% -1.596 -1.4745
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 86 76.74% 36.13 0.0 22.09%
Second Wave 0 409 53.3% 33.39 -3.294 28.12% -0.687 -0.1213
The Great River 3 18 38.89% 32.39 0.0 11.11%
Varied Terrains 2 4 50.0% 38.25 -1.036 25.0% -0.707 -0.1812
Ward the Shores 2 182 59.89% 34.61 0.695 21.43% -0.067 1.0943

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 26755 56.56% 37.74 -0.323 46.55% 0.218 1.2347
1 Thematic 1109 43.5% 34.24 -1.014 23.72% -0.13 1.043
2 Archipelago 5 80.0% 50.0 -11.049 80.0% -0.502 0.4817
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5756 60.64% 38.7 0.942 50.03% 0.32 1.0715
2 Coastline 585 58.73% 40.11 0.526 54.36% 0.183 0.7855
2 Fragment 147 65.31% 39.5 -3.975 53.06% -0.506 -0.058
2 Heart 46 78.26% 45.22 16.791 63.04% 0.276 0.8143
2 Opposite Shores 1185 54.39% 39.57 -3.153 52.07% -0.511 0.4813
2 Thematic 321 39.56% 32.17 0.503 18.07% 0.05 0.7489
2 Top to Top 137 64.71% 39.12 -5.771 52.55% -0.867 -0.3568
3 Coastline 17 23.53% 44.88 0.0 52.94%
3 Other 88 44.32% 49.25 12.138 78.41% 0.833 0.7973
3 Round (Default) 2410 56.49% 42.23 2.546 57.88% 0.61 1.205
3 Sunrise 10 40.0% 49.6 0.0 70.0%
3 Thematic 105 30.48% 33.77 -1.05 20.95% -0.155 -0.1925
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 36.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Coastline 3 100.0% 49.0 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 10 50.0% 36.0 1.827 40.0% 0.023 0.5857
4 Other 50 58.0% 41.46 7.02 56.0% 0.143 -0.1113
4 Thematic 305 36.3% 39.0 0.625 30.49% 0.322 0.8512
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1029 50.59% 44.21 1.533 60.84% 0.262 0.2344
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 43.33 0.0 33.33%
5 Other 20 83.33% 48.7 0.0 65.0%
5 Thematic 2 100.0% 67.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 18 27.78% 54.28 3.816 72.22% 0.241 1.0508
6 Star 5 40.0% 46.2 0.0 40.0%
6 Thematic 19 33.33% 29.05 -3.338 5.26% -0.466 -0.7444
6 Two Centers (Default) 27 33.33% 44.85 -2.479 51.85% -0.781 -0.8746
7 Other 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2094 36.31 0.533 45.89% 0.489 2.3924
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1803 38.38 0.788 49.42% 0.399 2.1287
All Things Weaken 937 37.17 -0.426 48.88% 0.08 2.0653
Back Against the Wall 1772 37.12 -1.135 46.61% -0.057 1.7598
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1942 32.48 -2.726 39.29% -0.182 1.8682
Downward Spiral 2448 34.87 -0.219 44.24% 0.255 2.2484
Erosion of Will 2096 34.66 -0.806 41.03% 0.015 2.0981
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 413 40.71 4.592 55.93% 1.012 1.4532
Memory Fades to Dust 2374 35.06 -1.371 43.56% 0.044 2.1286
Power Corrodes the Spirit 848 35.8 0.374 45.99% 0.426 2.364
Promising Farmlands 2002 31.69 -3.173 34.37% -0.563 1.4831
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 238 41.86 -2.386 58.4% -0.235 0.1897
Thriving Communities 916 36.01 -0.75 47.49% 0.176 2.1596
Tipping Point 917 33.01 0.0 37.73%
Unnatural Proliferation 902 37.11 -2.806 45.68% -0.314 1.6509
Untended Land Crumbles 860 33.81 -3.214 40.93% -0.308 1.6851

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8900 58.82% 38.5 0.174 48.73% -0.001 0.7963
B 9342 56.99% 39.19 1.197 50.36% 0.224 0.9671
C 9676 55.58% 39.59 1.369 51.18% 0.278 0.8468
D 8759 56.76% 38.96 -0.474 49.71% -0.146 0.6493
E 3737 56.92% 41.28 0.67 55.34% 0.145 0.7918
F 5047 55.84% 39.59 -0.173 51.12% -0.072 0.6523
G 4777 57.75% 38.37 -0.048 48.29% -0.036 0.6954
H 4700 55.83% 40.58 -0.435 53.38% -0.17 0.5422
East 1286 39.55% 35.78 -2.681 24.65% -0.929 -0.16
Northeast 794 39.49% 37.32 -2.403 27.33% -0.776 0.0843
Northwest 622 40.39% 35.37 -1.832 24.44% -0.432 0.6451
Southeast 152 45.03% 31.94 0.603 21.71% 0.188 0.8943
Southwest 145 43.06% 29.49 3.017 19.31% 0.698 1.8231
West 1125 38.68% 33.76 -2.527 21.24% -0.749 0.2047

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 65 0.0% 43.98 -1.588 63.08% -0.008 2.1217
Not Using Events or Tokens 281 48.73% 30.09 0.0 24.2%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 575 12.93% 56.86 -0.296 78.96% -0.417 -0.5588
Start of Game Growth 830 16.9% 54.18 5.464 75.18% 0.921 0.1601
Unlimited Undo 2975 50.87% 41.0 2.351 52.94% 0.48 -0.1244
Using Tokens but Not Events 2088 49.53% 38.1 -2.096 47.08% -0.415 -0.5715

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 13346 22.56 2.88%
II 12605 30.98 44.78%
III 9824 34.53 88.42%
IV 4400 37.77 99.11%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.282 Win Model: -0.014
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 27935 56.08% 37.61 45.64%
2 8141 58.91% 38.74 49.64%
3 2624 54.7% 42.15 57.13%
4 1400 47.97% 42.9 53.71%
5 5 100.0% 62.6 80.0%
6 70 31.88% 42.87 42.86%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 384
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8498
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5423
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4328
Lose: Invader deck ran out 123
Lose: Adversary condition 14436
Win: Sacrifice victory 93
Lose: Scenario condition 317
Win: Scenario condition 350
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5815
Lose: Spirit destroyed 408

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2391 40.68% 45.05 3.256 53.79% 0.804 0.6892
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1179 58.72% 36.13 -3.179 32.32% -0.566 -0.4703
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2032 42.22% 47.66 -0.836 62.84% 0.108 -0.0536
Downpour Drenches the World 75 44.0% 33.93 -3.048 25.33% -0.628 -0.375
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1545 44.13% 45.15 0.71 53.53% 0.234 -0.2036
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1638 39.73% 48.76 1.026 62.76% 0.188 -0.2996
Finder of Paths Unseen 21 42.86% 35.57 -3.91 28.57% -0.822 -0.4587
Fractured Days Split the Sky 399 48.62% 45.8 2.385 48.62% -0.139 -0.0832
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 385 59.74% 44.62 -2.26 52.21% -0.297 -0.3291
Heart of the Wildfire 2322 76.18% 38.77 -0.741 44.19% 0.169 0.3433
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4847 48.01% 45.65 -0.456 57.36% -0.066 -0.5219
Lightning's Swift Strike 1503 59.29% 43.35 2.996 51.16% 0.579 0.853
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 29 65.52% 44.07 0.256 48.28% 0.098 -0.6785
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 313 50.64% 52.38 9.144 68.69% 1.331 0.6881
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 184 45.11% 50.14 2.999 66.3% 0.427 0.1602
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1125 55.34% 46.85 4.214 60.8% 1.006 0.7391
Many Minds Move as One 481 46.36% 46.79 1.961 58.42% 0.165 -0.4381
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3455 50.28% 45.2 0.888 55.17% 0.307 0.122
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1295 50.89% 44.27 1.557 54.21% 0.302 0.3223
River Surges in Sunlight 3015 49.65% 45.45 -0.313 50.78% -0.116 -0.15
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 277 49.46% 43.26 -6.484 47.29% -1.615 -1.1835
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 31 45.16% 45.65 1.805 38.71% 0.074 -0.2264
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1929 46.93% 39.85 -1.439 41.47% -0.533 -0.5858
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 777 64.86% 37.3 -0.338 36.04% 0.023 0.4333
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 12 91.67% 32.92 -4.623 25.0% -0.719 -0.7127
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 20 75.0% 39.1 -0.461 35.0% -0.039 -0.3861
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 177 71.02% 35.78 -3.835 31.64% -0.846 -0.8271
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 97 75.26% 32.76 -4.569 26.8% -0.547 -0.3641
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2739 46.22% 49.16 6.648 64.77% 1.496 1.2092
Shifting Memory of Ages 312 66.67% 38.28 2.69 37.82% 0.301 0.3762
Shroud of Silent Mist 676 69.63% 41.27 -4.81 48.96% -0.974 -0.7375
Starlight Seeks its Form 393 47.58% 39.91 -1.824 38.17% -0.544 -0.6829
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1073 46.46% 40.73 1.614 49.21% 0.493 0.311
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1164 53.8% 46.05 -1.384 58.51% -0.184 0.0009
Thunderspeaker 2025 56.52% 44.83 3.451 52.1% 0.766 0.8305
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 788 75.57% 34.78 1.482 36.68% 0.598 0.5075
Vital Strength of the Earth 1170 48.46% 36.71 -1.499 32.05% -0.285 0.5239
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 8 50.0% 40.88 -2.009 37.5% -0.431 -0.0443
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 97 50.52% 33.44 -5.206 25.77% -0.274 0.9004
Volcano Looming High 631 62.44% 41.94 -1.176 52.77% -0.092 -0.0969

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 148 32.43% 30.84 -10.289 22.97% -0.953 -0.6957
Dahan Insurrection 4 353 41.64% 55.82 3.048 42.78% -0.74 -0.3273
Despicable Theft 2 12 41.67% 41.0 5.794 33.33% 0.155 0.6012
Elemental Invocation 1 54 50.0% 31.74 -7.925 16.67% -0.308 0.1779
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1001 17.72% 53.6 6.668 70.23% 0.925 1.2301
Powers Long Forgotten 1 110 60.91% 37.89 -8.619 29.09% -0.752 -0.5703
Rituals of Terror 3 89 48.31% 43.3 -3.604 29.21% -0.36 -0.2385
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 155 68.39% 37.21 0.0 18.06%
Second Wave 0 240 57.08% 39.28 3.502 35.42% 0.184 0.7501
The Great River 3 11 36.36% 28.91 0.0 0.0%
Varied Terrains 2 7 85.71% 46.0 2.723 42.86% 0.209 0.7349
Ward the Shores 2 165 60.0% 34.72 -3.554 15.15% -0.59 0.5721

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 17262 52.73% 42.15 -0.445 49.03% -0.475 0.5415
1 Thematic 869 40.85% 36.13 -2.596 21.52% -0.983 0.1894
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4103 57.97% 43.06 0.002 52.11% -0.079 0.6721
2 Coastline 374 55.5% 42.79 2.356 51.07% 0.267 0.8692
2 Fragment 81 65.43% 38.93 8.554 43.21% 0.414 0.8619
2 Heart 41 70.73% 36.41 3.264 39.02% 0.217 0.7555
2 Opposite Shores 788 53.17% 42.08 -2.353 48.73% -0.752 0.24
2 Thematic 281 39.15% 34.02 0.0 16.37%
2 Top to Top 263 52.09% 47.19 -3.804 62.74% -0.882 -0.3718
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 67.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 15 40.0% 43.53 24.441 46.67% 0.518 -0.2651
3 Other 60 45.0% 51.6 16.208 73.33% 0.866 0.8299
3 Round (Default) 2073 49.64% 47.08 2.57 60.4% 0.572 1.1669
3 Sunrise 6 83.33% 41.17 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 57 38.6% 32.54 12.364 12.28% 0.485 0.4475
4 Archipelago 20 80.0% 43.8 0.0 45.0%
4 Coastline 8 12.5% 66.75 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 17 35.29% 54.24 0.0 82.35%
4 Other 47 53.19% 53.11 -11.465 76.6% -0.736 -0.9898
4 Snake 5 100.0% 28.0 0.0 20.0%
4 Thematic 236 38.98% 44.21 6.822 37.71% 0.463 0.9917
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1111 46.53% 50.81 0.108 66.07% 0.138 0.1105
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 40.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 14 57.14% 56.21 -10.529 85.71% -0.327 -0.1592
5 Thematic 4 25.0% 45.25 -7.342 0.0% -0.486 -0.7624
6 Archipelago 2 50.0% 27.5 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 2 0.0% 78.5 7.206 100.0% 0.061 0.8699
6 Star 6 33.33% 60.33 0.0 83.33%
6 Thematic 6 0.0% 31.83 -8.927 0.0% -0.317 -0.5956
6 Two Centers (Default) 16 31.25% 51.88 -1.8 62.5% 0.002 -0.0917

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1349 40.62 -0.389 48.85% 0.184 2.0873
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1062 42.94 1.47 51.88% 0.331 2.0604
All Things Weaken 542 42.09 0.808 52.03% 0.448 2.433
Back Against the Wall 1086 42.76 0.762 50.64% 0.335 2.1511
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1350 36.35 -2.711 41.7% -0.283 1.7673
Downward Spiral 1513 39.01 1.071 46.53% 0.513 2.5061
Erosion of Will 1315 38.62 -1.448 43.12% -0.117 1.9663
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 275 43.61 -2.36 53.82% -0.52 -0.0792
Memory Fades to Dust 1584 38.6 0.45 44.38% 0.453 2.5374
Power Corrodes the Spirit 535 39.54 -0.232 46.17% 0.229 2.1676
Promising Farmlands 1448 34.5 -2.042 34.19% -0.292 1.7537
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 149 43.85 -0.346 55.03% 0.137 0.5616
Thriving Communities 547 39.7 -0.08 48.81% 0.306 2.2894
Tipping Point 646 36.91 0.0 40.25%
Unnatural Proliferation 563 40.94 -1.093 48.67% 0.011 1.9752
Untended Land Crumbles 578 38.25 -3.549 43.94% -0.381 1.612

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6177 53.95% 42.88 -0.561 50.43% -0.109 0.6887
B 6509 53.77% 43.95 -0.415 53.11% -0.065 0.6789
C 8718 47.3% 47.06 1.253 60.12% 0.277 0.845
D 6244 53.47% 43.16 -0.613 51.2% -0.254 0.5422
E 2901 58.68% 44.39 1.477 54.4% 0.279 0.9258
F 3375 54.94% 43.9 0.426 53.19% 0.088 0.8121
G 3115 54.69% 42.9 0.067 51.14% -0.103 0.6285
H 3140 52.09% 44.24 0.115 53.38% -0.005 0.707
East 889 38.58% 39.4 -1.636 25.87% -0.072 0.6968
Northeast 580 40.69% 40.99 -2.894 29.14% -0.34 0.5198
Northwest 560 45.89% 36.81 -1.188 22.86% -0.439 0.6375
Southeast 94 35.11% 41.79 5.763 36.17% 0.708 1.4139
Southwest 78 24.36% 34.53 -8.664 25.64% -0.723 0.4018
West 923 38.35% 35.44 -5.085 19.61% -1.141 -0.187

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 44 0.0% 45.5 6.024 52.27% 0.093 2.2228
Not Using Events or Tokens 138 54.01% 32.96 0.0 23.19%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 322 23.66% 60.8 4.826 77.64% 0.169 0.0267
Start of Game Growth 489 27.87% 56.68 6.983 73.62% 1.271 0.5103
Unlimited Undo 2405 55.39% 43.68 1.949 52.6% 0.523 -0.0807
Using Tokens but Not Events 1260 46.92% 42.67 0.655 49.76% 0.167 0.0105

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8837 22.56 2.84%
II 8509 30.98 46.05%
III 8441 34.53 91.4%
IV 1986 37.77 99.7%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.236 Win Model: -0.249
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 18160 52.21% 41.87 47.71%
2 5921 56.1% 42.6 50.31%
3 2208 49.37% 46.8 59.38%
4 1448 45.64% 49.73 61.6%
5 4 50.0% 40.25 0.0%
6 32 25.81% 49.84 53.13%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 249
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7580
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3742
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1963
Lose: Invader deck ran out 20
Lose: Adversary condition 10021
Win: Sacrifice victory 59
Lose: Scenario condition 248
Win: Scenario condition 271
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3352
Lose: Spirit destroyed 268

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1471 48.4% 55.14 0.007 66.21% -0.076 -0.191
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 618 63.58% 41.74 -4.147 37.54% -0.451 -0.3551
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 793 50.06% 51.36 2.775 60.53% 0.56 0.3987
Downpour Drenches the World 33 63.64% 44.7 -1.886 42.42% -0.453 -0.2004
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1411 42.02% 54.0 -2.51 64.85% -0.552 -0.9894
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 444 46.68% 46.23 -0.971 46.4% -0.161 -0.6492
Finder of Paths Unseen 2 50.0% 59.5 3.34 100.0% 0.455 0.8188
Fractured Days Split the Sky 232 55.17% 51.62 3.11 52.59% 0.02 0.0756
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 190 67.89% 55.05 0.588 65.79% 0.242 0.2104
Heart of the Wildfire 1031 89.23% 41.4 -7.512 42.1% -1.089 -0.9141
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3079 55.07% 55.71 0.199 69.21% 0.047 -0.4097
Lightning's Swift Strike 977 48.66% 55.14 2.98 63.05% 0.553 0.8276
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 12 75.0% 67.42 7.493 100.0% 1.497 0.72
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 288 41.32% 60.61 6.642 80.56% 1.224 0.5809
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 128 49.22% 57.83 1.327 72.66% 0.059 -0.2073
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 741 57.09% 52.44 -1.262 64.1% -0.138 -0.4045
Many Minds Move as One 294 45.58% 54.5 4.041 65.65% 0.305 -0.2975
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1615 55.74% 52.22 1.86 61.24% 0.451 0.2657
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 845 52.07% 51.62 -5.527 62.49% -0.924 -0.9037
River Surges in Sunlight 1683 55.1% 53.37 0.709 60.37% 0.059 0.0246
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 173 63.01% 52.14 2.781 58.38% 0.359 0.7906
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 44 52.27% 57.7 2.943 70.45% 0.336 0.0358
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1238 49.11% 47.74 0.823 49.43% -0.003 -0.0557
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 395 66.33% 40.71 0.0 34.43%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 11 72.73% 33.55 -7.235 18.18% -1.062 -1.0547
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 30 50.0% 63.73 3.137 90.0% 0.582 0.2349
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 136 55.88% 51.49 1.646 61.03% -0.006 0.0128
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 47 74.47% 39.04 -6.348 34.04% -0.282 -0.0995
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1477 45.57% 55.04 4.885 67.03% 1.171 0.8842
Shifting Memory of Ages 151 55.63% 51.53 -2.028 54.97% -0.325 -0.2498
Shroud of Silent Mist 139 69.57% 40.47 -10.02 38.13% -0.443 -0.2071
Starlight Seeks its Form 220 56.36% 45.2 0.759 46.36% 0.151 0.0114
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1408 42.76% 52.53 0.217 65.27% -0.435 -0.6169
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 658 48.55% 56.9 0.04 71.58% -0.02 0.1644
Thunderspeaker 1066 60.7% 50.5 0.702 54.88% 0.075 0.1398
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 542 71.59% 45.02 -4.342 52.21% -0.723 -0.8139
Vital Strength of the Earth 687 51.38% 41.61 -5.008 34.21% -0.375 0.434
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 41 31.71% 62.63 2.683 85.37% 0.507 0.8934
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 207 46.38% 50.41 -8.319 58.45% -0.68 0.4945
Volcano Looming High 357 60.22% 49.82 -2.252 62.46% -0.074 -0.0782

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 122 30.33% 36.97 -7.641 29.51% -0.748 -0.4906
Dahan Insurrection 4 181 56.91% 63.53 12.122 46.41% 0.483 0.8962
Despicable Theft 2 7 57.14% 54.0 2.814 57.14% -0.032 0.4138
Elemental Invocation 1 16 68.75% 43.25 0.0 37.5%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1688 31.75% 63.21 4.753 84.24% 1.111 1.4164
Powers Long Forgotten 1 94 51.06% 43.37 -9.196 31.91% -0.504 -0.3226
Rituals of Terror 3 84 51.19% 47.5 31.702 22.62% 0.537 0.6581
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 103 77.67% 37.83 0.0 12.62%
Second Wave 0 153 60.53% 40.43 0.83 32.03% -0.04 0.5254
The Great River 3 13 61.54% 35.08 0.0 7.69%
Ward the Shores 2 204 51.47% 41.52 -13.941 22.55% -0.631 0.5303

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8188 56.85% 47.18 -0.16 51.67% 0.784 1.8005
1 Thematic 610 44.92% 39.61 -9.876 21.8% -1.022 0.1507
2 Archipelago 4 25.0% 46.75 0.0 25.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1914 64.4% 48.48 -1.745 54.75% -0.151 0.6009
2 Coastline 185 60.54% 49.92 0.0 56.22%
2 Fragment 56 78.57% 39.39 -2.493 37.5% 0.161 0.6087
2 Heart 24 54.17% 42.25 0.0 41.67%
2 Opposite Shores 391 62.92% 46.96 -2.997 49.62% -0.042 0.9507
2 Thematic 137 41.61% 40.03 2.747 16.06% -0.068 0.6304
2 Top to Top 59 54.24% 53.49 -0.945 64.41% -0.017 0.493
3 Archipelago 2 50.0% 52.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 5 80.0% 34.4 0.0 20.0%
3 Other 48 87.5% 46.21 13.61 50.0% 0.208 0.1723
3 Round (Default) 1649 50.55% 56.46 1.912 72.83% 0.284 0.8791
3 Sunrise 3 100.0% 36.0 0.0 33.33%
3 Thematic 46 26.09% 37.41 0.0 15.22%
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 81.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 8 12.5% 73.75 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 4 75.0% 45.25 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 29 58.62% 62.59 4.24 86.21% 0.058 -0.1964
4 Thematic 271 17.67% 63.97 0.0 66.79%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 971 51.5% 58.82 1.44 75.9% -0.023 -0.05
5 Other 21 65.0% 65.29 3.45 80.95% 0.225 0.393
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 86.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 2 0.0% 51.5 -6.348 50.0% -0.282 0.5269
6 Star 6 50.0% 51.17 0.0 66.67%
6 Thematic 6 16.67% 53.67 9.922 50.0% 0.113 -0.1661
6 Two Centers (Default) 10 40.0% 47.8 -1.973 50.0% -0.245 -0.3394

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 774 48.95 -1.165 56.72% -0.087 1.8155
Aid From Lesser Spirits 631 50.0 3.709 57.53% 0.558 2.2882
All Things Weaken 295 49.82 0.304 58.98% 0.092 2.0777
Back Against the Wall 603 46.05 0.281 49.25% 0.083 1.8993
Disintegrating Ecosystem 778 43.32 -3.523 47.3% -0.339 1.7118
Downward Spiral 830 46.71 -0.6 53.86% 0.217 2.2101
Erosion of Will 757 45.73 -3.269 50.59% -0.61 1.4729
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 151 52.74 2.198 66.23% 0.404 0.8452
Memory Fades to Dust 814 45.22 -3.531 50.25% -0.534 1.5499
Power Corrodes the Spirit 314 46.57 1.76 53.82% 0.58 2.5181
Promising Farmlands 761 40.05 -1.966 37.19% -0.349 1.697
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 81 56.27 -1.318 72.84% -0.136 0.2885
Thriving Communities 320 46.19 -1.785 54.69% -0.108 1.8756
Tipping Point 373 45.77 0.0 51.47%
Unnatural Proliferation 341 46.88 -4.649 51.61% -0.698 1.2663
Untended Land Crumbles 322 44.52 -2.823 48.45% -0.13 1.8629

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3432 58.62% 50.38 0.087 58.48% -0.011 0.7868
B 3740 59.73% 50.42 1.587 58.9% 0.232 0.9759
C 4335 55.62% 52.82 -0.506 63.76% -0.193 0.3758
D 3321 57.77% 50.62 -0.386 59.17% -0.199 0.5963
E 1720 52.38% 53.39 1.714 65.23% 0.226 0.8727
F 2228 53.41% 50.99 0.144 59.87% -0.091 0.6336
G 2018 54.24% 52.79 1.121 63.83% 0.075 0.8071
H 2085 54.01% 52.8 1.052 63.65% 0.219 0.9317
East 770 35.03% 47.95 3.498 36.1% 0.21 0.9791
Northeast 485 34.17% 53.54 -4.025 46.39% -0.546 0.3136
Northwest 428 28.84% 54.9 -1.136 47.9% -0.162 0.9143
Southeast 65 23.08% 49.58 -1.973 41.54% -0.186 0.5206
Southwest 48 20.83% 52.58 -1.506 47.92% -0.009 1.1164
West 668 28.36% 49.17 2.306 37.28% 0.21 1.1642

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 20 0.0% 48.1 0.0 45.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 62 62.9% 32.05 0.0 16.13%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 327 6.83% 73.69 -10.02 89.6% -0.443 -0.5857
Start of Game Growth 498 17.01% 67.88 2.527 82.93% 0.007 -0.7533
Unlimited Undo 1381 50.0% 54.21 5.144 64.16% 1.108 0.5036
Using Tokens but Not Events 705 35.04% 56.08 0.471 64.11% 0.126 -0.0307

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4181 22.56 5.38%
II 6065 30.98 60.53%
III 3587 34.53 92.28%
IV 820 37.77 99.76%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.675 Win Model: 0.38
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8834 56.13% 46.72 49.49%
2 2750 62.53% 47.66 52.36%
3 1749 51.09% 55.62 70.5%
4 1291 44.31% 60.18 74.52%
5 5 75.0% 64.8 80.0%
6 24 33.33% 50.42 54.17%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 225
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3239
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3542
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 814
Lose: Invader deck ran out 7
Lose: Adversary condition 4484
Win: Sacrifice victory 33
Lose: Scenario condition 174
Win: Scenario condition 171
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1861
Lose: Spirit destroyed 103

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5701 47.41% 52.13 0.901 49.82% 0.244 0.1293
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3124 60.56% 41.22 -4.964 29.99% -0.823 -0.7274
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3626 50.37% 48.86 -0.968 47.16% -0.103 -0.2648
Downpour Drenches the World 339 52.51% 44.31 -3.514 30.38% -0.759 -0.5066
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5565 39.86% 55.05 1.19 56.1% 0.292 -0.1461
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2345 51.57% 47.73 -0.68 43.54% -0.091 -0.5789
Finder of Paths Unseen 83 50.6% 50.59 -2.183 43.37% -0.453 -0.0898
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1931 50.91% 58.46 6.149 52.98% 0.609 0.6649
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1895 64.54% 55.48 1.521 56.68% 0.456 0.4245
Heart of the Wildfire 5556 82.85% 43.51 -4.964 38.26% -0.46 -0.2855
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 21433 53.95% 56.9 2.795 62.88% 0.644 0.1881
Lightning's Swift Strike 4833 58.8% 50.78 -0.251 48.54% 0.112 0.3866
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 192 67.19% 57.26 4.166 61.46% 0.989 0.212
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 3398 53.71% 63.28 3.325 72.93% 0.665 0.0217
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 957 49.84% 64.25 5.728 73.67% 1.019 0.7524
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4816 56.01% 56.3 0.803 62.19% 0.43 0.1631
Many Minds Move as One 1627 48.49% 55.14 1.953 58.7% 0.408 -0.1944
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 10881 52.71% 53.52 1.207 53.53% 0.322 0.1375
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4088 54.99% 51.46 -0.25 52.25% 0.157 0.1776
River Surges in Sunlight 10317 53.87% 54.07 0.254 52.15% 0.043 0.0086
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 666 54.52% 50.35 -2.083 44.44% -0.323 0.1086
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 262 61.45% 58.87 3.938 52.29% 0.565 0.2647
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7410 48.07% 47.18 -0.836 40.47% -0.215 -0.2676
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1891 64.83% 41.49 -2.76 30.46% -0.432 -0.0217
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 31 58.06% 54.65 0.509 48.39% -0.129 -0.1226
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 33 48.48% 55.36 1.811 54.55% 0.291 -0.0556
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 734 61.85% 46.33 -7.564 38.28% -1.176 -1.1572
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 265 72.83% 47.42 -0.5 43.4% 0.16 0.3434
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7361 47.79% 57.4 4.689 63.54% 1.122 0.8349
Shifting Memory of Ages 1083 66.67% 48.94 0.771 35.64% 0.029 0.1036
Shroud of Silent Mist 882 70.27% 43.39 -5.791 37.19% -0.827 -0.5907
Starlight Seeks its Form 1966 56.41% 52.43 1.158 48.88% 0.369 0.2301
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5802 46.45% 48.3 -1.693 46.48% -0.037 -0.2186
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4307 54.65% 57.28 1.589 63.39% 0.51 0.6945
Thunderspeaker 5473 52.73% 51.04 -0.571 44.8% 0.08 0.1444
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3508 76.42% 43.47 -3.115 40.42% -0.3 -0.3905
Vital Strength of the Earth 3167 54.3% 38.65 -3.647 23.33% -0.792 0.0163
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 81 62.96% 45.95 -3.135 30.86% -0.606 -0.2196
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 553 50.09% 35.03 -6.922 16.64% -1.533 -0.3591
Volcano Looming High 3297 61.87% 53.98 -0.856 61.27% 0.33 0.3259

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 29.0 -7.618 0.0% -0.217 -0.4189
Blitz 0 862 40.21% 38.54 -5.219 25.41% -0.365 -0.1077
Dahan Insurrection 4 2152 42.78% 63.22 5.068 38.24% -0.191 0.2223
Despicable Theft 2 22 72.73% 58.55 3.944 50.0% 0.092 0.5377
Elemental Invocation 1 131 62.6% 42.04 -9.255 25.19% -1.581 -1.095
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7299 28.54% 63.0 6.353 69.82% 1.296 1.6018
Powers Long Forgotten 1 184 52.72% 44.21 5.561 28.26% 0.395 0.5768
Rituals of Terror 3 203 54.68% 65.95 20.246 35.96% 1.415 1.5358
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 68 80.88% 40.51 0.0 14.71%
Second Wave 0 496 62.3% 47.18 -7.352 36.29% -1.06 -0.4945
The Great River 3 50 42.0% 35.98 -4.831 6.0% -0.838 0.5601
Varied Terrains 2 4 100.0% 68.75 11.143 75.0% 0.761 1.287
Ward the Shores 2 261 51.92% 40.9 -4.575 17.24% -0.575 0.5865

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 72900 55.64% 50.4 -0.752 49.97% -0.182 0.8344
1 Thematic 3067 41.41% 44.08 -0.444 20.83% -0.301 0.8719
2 Archipelago 42 85.71% 68.4 7.505 33.33% -0.12 0.8639
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9369 64.8% 52.03 -1.635 53.6% -0.386 0.3658
2 Coastline 1877 53.76% 56.19 3.364 60.04% 0.328 0.9306
2 Fragment 694 66.71% 58.85 6.367 69.31% 0.752 1.2
2 Heart 178 61.8% 53.62 9.917 44.94% 1.115 1.653
2 Opposite Shores 2023 61.41% 48.62 -4.766 40.88% -1.398 -0.406
2 Thematic 823 40.39% 46.02 -3.584 18.96% -1.228 -0.5298
2 Top to Top 492 57.32% 54.86 2.332 56.71% 0.336 0.8467
3 Archipelago 7 71.43% 58.14 -2.767 28.57% -0.222 -0.049
3 Coastline 37 59.46% 48.16 17.38 40.54% 0.87 0.087
3 Other 145 57.93% 55.95 4.772 61.38% 0.325 0.2889
3 Round (Default) 4891 56.03% 54.07 0.472 56.92% -0.409 0.1859
3 Sunrise 78 44.87% 66.9 0.0 84.62%
3 Thematic 119 35.29% 49.34 20.155 19.33% 0.794 0.7566
4 Archipelago 3 100.0% 40.67 -10.393 0.0% -0.536 -1.2468
4 Coastline 54 14.81% 76.35 36.042 94.44% 0.673 0.7898
4 Leaf 9 55.56% 50.67 0.0 55.56%
4 Other 75 46.67% 65.28 -4.456 82.67% -0.392 -0.646
4 Thematic 1245 29.72% 57.45 -3.221 48.43% -1.104 -0.5751
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3005 48.17% 58.85 3.534 63.49% -0.105 -0.1324
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 77.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 10 0.0% 78.0 9.295 100.0% 0.071 -0.4933
5 Other 70 44.12% 67.01 0.797 72.86% -0.427 -0.2586
5 Thematic 11 72.73% 85.91 -1.566 81.82% -0.139 -0.4152
6 Archipelago 4 25.0% 61.75 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 7 0.0% 75.43 6.275 100.0% 0.182 -0.4074
6 Other 37 35.14% 58.97 -0.116 56.76% -0.592 0.2176
6 Star 23 43.48% 41.17 -0.17 26.09% -0.058 0.7259
6 Thematic 35 40.0% 62.06 1.754 51.43% -0.037 -0.3155
6 Two Centers (Default) 107 34.58% 72.36 4.988 71.96% -0.364 -0.4582
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 52.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 4815 49.15 -1.198 49.26% 0.039 1.9418
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4328 50.42 -0.573 50.25% 0.087 1.817
All Things Weaken 2682 50.24 -0.194 50.71% 0.297 2.282
Back Against the Wall 4037 48.42 -0.503 46.4% 0.054 1.8706
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4757 44.43 -1.915 42.57% 0.06 2.1105
Downward Spiral 5777 48.57 -1.538 48.73% -0.003 1.9898
Erosion of Will 4813 46.53 0.098 43.74% 0.202 2.2846
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1280 55.3 2.919 60.86% 0.576 1.0167
Memory Fades to Dust 5720 47.67 0.109 46.57% 0.314 2.3977
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2640 49.3 -1.147 50.3% 0.021 1.9595
Promising Farmlands 4758 42.78 -4.479 36.11% -0.671 1.3749
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 745 55.53 -1.209 62.68% 0.017 0.4415
Thriving Communities 2683 50.16 -0.67 52.74% 0.24 2.2236
Tipping Point 1873 44.89 0.0 42.18%
Unnatural Proliferation 2700 50.69 -0.264 50.11% 0.147 2.1117
Untended Land Crumbles 2621 47.95 -2.3 46.89% -0.223 1.7706

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 19384 57.65% 50.28 -0.092 48.67% -0.778 0.0195
B 21211 56.74% 52.05 0.118 52.85% -0.73 0.0132
C 26639 56.37% 54.08 1.24 56.78% -0.451 0.1169
D 18683 56.26% 50.74 -0.519 49.87% -0.681 0.1145
E 11582 55.04% 54.96 0.349 58.38% -0.657 -0.0095
F 13306 55.58% 52.68 1.538 54.04% -0.491 0.2327
G 10225 55.81% 51.32 -0.536 51.16% -0.757 -0.0251
H 10947 55.18% 52.55 0.572 53.23% -0.592 0.1205
East 3970 40.01% 50.09 1.377 29.55% -0.804 -0.0349
Northeast 2643 39.92% 52.17 1.304 34.88% -0.641 0.2188
Northwest 1891 32.39% 51.71 -2.426 36.22% -1.42 -0.343
Southeast 472 54.03% 48.18 1.055 26.06% -0.481 0.2252
Southwest 305 32.79% 49.65 -4.779 39.67% -1.482 -0.3569
West 2953 30.75% 48.77 0.647 30.41% -0.878 0.0762

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 122 0.0% 55.38 12.626 53.28% 0.142 2.2717
Not Using Events or Tokens 1104 31.82% 46.59 0.0 20.02%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2616 15.87% 73.4 6.642 82.57% 0.094 -0.0481
Start of Game Growth 4985 21.84% 70.36 9.014 80.02% 1.573 0.8121
Unlimited Undo 9860 48.42% 60.03 6.529 67.56% 1.148 0.5445
Using Tokens but Not Events 6532 43.2% 56.26 -0.311 59.61% -0.443 -0.5991

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 32586 22.56 4.03%
II 41842 30.98 58.64%
III 23230 34.53 91.48%
IV 3784 37.77 99.63%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.939 Win Model: 0.786
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 76371 55.17% 50.22 48.7%
2 15200 61.28% 51.97 52.14%
3 5240 55.41% 54.2 56.49%
4 4377 42.3% 58.71 60.11%
5 44 30.95% 59.86 61.36%
6 210 34.76% 65.06 62.38%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1310
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 20824
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 23696
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3724
Lose: Invader deck ran out 63
Lose: Adversary condition 35795
Win: Sacrifice victory 286
Lose: Scenario condition 969
Win: Scenario condition 1029
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12863
Lose: Spirit destroyed 883

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-09-02 02:08:59 (Pacific Time)