The Kingdom of England — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5116 21.73% 26.38 0.268 86.49% -0.077 0.0693
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2795 44.65% 23.95 -0.214 79.14% -0.087 0.1491
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1911 25.28% 26.22 0.235 89.43% 0.332 0.2459
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2174 15.63% 28.77 1.334 92.69% 0.413 0.0442
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1988 20.42% 28.08 1.017 91.25% 0.413 0.1803
Fractured Days Split the Sky 253 32.81% 26.33 0.514 77.08% -0.765 -0.4314
Heart of the Wildfire 2972 59.32% 21.16 -1.445 73.12% -0.177 0.1702
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4923 22.59% 27.03 0.403 90.39% 0.272 -0.0259
Lightning's Swift Strike 5144 41.48% 24.37 -0.136 80.35% 0.047 0.3155
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 386 30.73% 26.29 0.532 90.67% 0.426 0.0653
Many Minds Move as One 478 24.06% 27.5 0.817 91.0% 0.312 -0.201
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4457 40.67% 24.71 -0.135 82.19% 0.171 -0.0263
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1752 28.83% 24.93 -0.338 85.16% -0.104 -0.0569
River Surges in Sunlight 5516 36.66% 25.94 0.428 75.83% -0.469 -0.3017
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2577 32.41% 24.38 -0.512 82.77% -0.135 0.0139
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3241 52.52% 23.05 -0.671 73.9% -0.189 0.2606
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3599 23.5% 27.64 0.717 88.75% 0.066 0.0012
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 956 24.24% 24.45 -0.685 90.79% 0.258 0.239
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1355 28.89% 24.89 -0.506 81.33% -0.445 -0.2297
Thunderspeaker 4898 23.95% 28.07 1.132 87.75% 0.19 0.2496
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 653 62.21% 21.18 -1.507 77.64% 0.048 0.0838
Vital Strength of the Earth 4000 28.86% 22.51 -1.442 73.98% -0.818 0.0468
Volcano Looming High 154 37.01% 23.64 -0.657 86.36% 0.054 -0.047

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 778 41.4% 22.5 -1.357 74.55% -0.423 0.1491
Dahan Insurrection 4 760 21.57% 46.23 10.013 80.53% -0.582 -0.1815
Elemental Invocation 1 12 25.0% 26.58 0.344 83.33% -0.402 0.063
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1937 8.91% 30.43 1.936 86.06% -0.603 -0.2281
Powers Long Forgotten 1 383 48.04% 28.21 1.324 73.11% -0.517 -0.0695
Rituals of Terror 3 527 48.09% 34.3 4.628 65.65% -0.745 -0.1232
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 311 69.13% 32.04 3.771 62.7% -0.534 0.0905
Second Wave 0 562 48.58% 22.67 -0.837 63.7% -1.102 -0.6827
The Great River 3 34 38.24% 31.76 3.535 61.76% -1.529 -0.0446
Ward the Shores 2 492 47.86% 28.18 1.289 60.37% -1.271 -0.2402

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 26737 38.7% 23.98 -0.592 80.38% -0.228 0.1269
1 Thematic 2864 42.63% 31.26 2.159 75.0% -0.109 0.3878
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6466 32.32% 24.5 -0.314 83.65% -0.124 0.0659
2 Coastline 550 35.83% 24.44 -0.237 84.36% 0.024 0.1593
2 Fragment 147 36.3% 22.9 -1.09 77.55% -0.551 -0.1249
2 Heart 76 38.16% 23.92 -0.83 84.21% -0.089 0.2012
2 Opposite Shores 835 27.77% 25.54 -0.053 88.62% 0.179 0.406
2 Thematic 648 37.36% 33.49 1.957 76.85% 0.163 0.2073
2 Top to Top 119 34.75% 24.55 -0.221 84.03% -0.107 0.009
3 Coastline 6 0.0% 28.0 0.987 100.0% 0.253 0.2154
3 Other 68 30.3% 22.41 -1.184 79.41% -0.651 -0.2493
3 Round (Default) 3014 16.76% 27.38 0.455 91.74% 0.165 0.1959
3 Sunrise 10 20.0% 24.9 -0.469 90.0% -0.134 -0.3873
3 Thematic 119 34.45% 32.8 0.561 73.11% 0.108 -0.2312
4 Coastline 12 0.0% 30.33 1.315 100.0% 0.643 0.7655
4 Leaf 3 0.0% 30.0 1.364 100.0% 0.108 0.1877
4 Other 31 29.03% 24.68 -0.239 90.32% -0.003 0.0777
4 Thematic 194 21.13% 31.26 -1.003 75.77% -0.08 -1.1582
4 Trapezoid (Default) 859 22.95% 25.51 -0.028 85.22% -0.259 -0.2917
5 Other 5 80.0% 23.6 0.257 100.0% 0.528 0.3109
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 36.0 2.327 100.0% 0.192 -2.5754

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 983 19.31 -3.685 63.68% -2.239 -0.1712
Aid From Lesser Spirits 841 20.06 -3.269 65.16% -2.173 -0.2564
All Things Weaken 267 18.39 -4.169 59.55% -2.449 -0.2887
Back Against the Wall 850 18.88 -3.937 58.94% -2.449 -0.357
Disintegrating Ecosystem 965 16.01 -5.364 56.58% -2.563 -0.3419
Downward Spiral 3618 17.11 -4.492 60.36% -2.067 -0.0527
Erosion of Will 1041 18.29 -4.212 58.89% -2.476 -0.2642
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 107 23.5 -1.416 91.59% -0.508 0.2041
Memory Fades to Dust 3699 16.77 -4.679 56.2% -2.239 -0.0234
Power Corrodes the Spirit 273 18.64 -3.881 67.4% -2.115 -0.0949
Promising Farmlands 992 17.27 -4.696 60.28% -2.407 -0.1923
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 89 24.89 -0.845 95.51% 0.126 0.5435
Thriving Communities 236 16.71 -4.934 57.63% -2.529 -0.4222
Tipping Point 618 17.72 -4.575 59.71% -2.338 -0.1217
Unnatural Proliferation 248 17.38 -4.517 54.03% -2.691 -0.6106
Untended Land Crumbles 254 18.51 -3.95 66.54% -2.09 0.0056

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11056 33.73% 24.47 -0.352 82.08% 0.299 -0.7743
B 11272 32.21% 24.87 -0.104 83.48% 0.38 -0.784
C 11124 32.11% 24.88 -0.114 82.91% 0.332 -1.065
D 10818 32.5% 24.82 -0.094 83.61% 0.431 -0.7275
E 1639 31.19% 25.15 -0.024 86.46% 0.415 -0.8419
F 3472 30.67% 24.88 -0.167 85.8% 0.374 -0.8514
G 3371 30.69% 24.68 -0.277 85.49% 0.332 -0.881
H 3434 30.9% 25.06 -0.079 86.46% 0.447 -0.7747
East 1189 36.72% 33.27 2.228 76.11% 0.151 -0.7845
Northeast 1380 36.87% 32.38 1.824 75.72% 0.013 -0.8563
Northwest 1148 36.31% 32.25 1.698 76.83% 0.234 -0.7116
Southeast 175 35.43% 31.11 0.947 78.29% 0.062 -0.9212
Southwest 151 35.76% 25.86 -1.889 72.85% -0.28 -0.9049
West 1131 40.57% 31.5 1.238 72.33% -0.082 -0.7469

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 543 0.0% 22.95 -1.964 73.11% -1.666 0.3731
Not Using Events or Tokens 10675 45.02% 22.72 -0.959 73.85% -0.484 -0.2639
Skip Initial Invader Actions 642 10.65% 33.41 2.508 92.83% 0.422 -0.2838
Start of Game Growth 1020 12.61% 32.19 2.275 93.82% 0.723 0.2634
Unlimited Undo 2232 27.8% 26.82 0.45 86.34% 0.138 -0.2642
Using Tokens but Not Events 4810 21.23% 27.04 0.411 88.61% -0.052 -0.0976

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3983 22.34 39.64%
II 15068 30.71 76.39%
III 15722 34.23 88.23%
IV 7991 37.48 99.05%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.042 Win Model: -0.265
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 29629 39.08% 24.68 79.87%
2 8830 32.64% 25.22 83.54%
3 3211 17.68% 27.48 90.84%
4 1094 22.63% 26.57 83.82%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1069
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9910
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7588
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5643
Lose: Invader deck ran out 456
Lose: Adversary condition 2035
Win: Sacrifice victory 184
Lose: Scenario condition 332
Win: Scenario condition 908
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4746
Lose: Spirit destroyed 319

The Kingdom of England — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2685 25.27% 35.05 0.604 84.13% -0.02 0.1268
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1493 53.86% 32.64 0.11 76.49% 0.112 0.3488
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1011 33.43% 34.72 0.605 85.86% 0.386 0.2995
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1384 21.79% 37.69 1.708 87.64% 0.266 -0.1032
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1267 28.87% 36.71 1.521 88.63% 0.57 0.3374
Fractured Days Split the Sky 123 46.34% 33.85 0.691 72.36% -0.443 -0.1093
Heart of the Wildfire 1794 65.49% 29.04 -1.373 70.18% -0.052 0.295
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3056 36.29% 33.98 0.288 84.29% 0.255 -0.0427
Lightning's Swift Strike 2871 42.44% 33.28 0.317 78.61% 0.089 0.3571
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 294 45.39% 32.28 -0.093 80.27% 0.065 -0.2958
Many Minds Move as One 299 28.09% 35.12 0.741 83.95% -0.006 -0.5189
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2326 52.9% 31.85 -0.346 76.05% 0.151 -0.0465
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 995 40.12% 31.98 -0.709 77.19% -0.212 -0.1646
River Surges in Sunlight 2949 47.43% 32.05 -0.432 66.77% -0.626 -0.459
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1637 35.74% 33.52 0.057 82.71% 0.12 0.2689
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1678 62.46% 29.49 -1.376 63.47% -0.418 0.031
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1925 33.28% 35.18 0.83 82.91% 0.065 0.0004
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 630 25.56% 32.81 -0.514 86.35% 0.105 0.0866
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 734 46.97% 30.03 -1.719 65.4% -0.775 -0.5596
Thunderspeaker 2779 31.3% 36.78 1.628 84.56% 0.332 0.3923
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 419 66.03% 28.33 -1.71 73.03% -0.051 -0.0152
Vital Strength of the Earth 2134 39.37% 30.07 -1.652 69.31% -0.61 0.2544
Volcano Looming High 110 44.76% 32.2 -0.101 83.64% 0.247 0.1462

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 540 47.32% 30.37 -1.379 71.3% -0.319 0.2532
Dahan Insurrection 4 499 25.75% 54.68 10.406 80.16% -0.293 0.1078
Elemental Invocation 1 6 33.33% 34.67 0.744 83.33% -0.081 0.3841
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1049 12.55% 37.67 1.528 78.65% -0.762 -0.3867
Powers Long Forgotten 1 344 61.22% 32.79 0.167 62.5% -0.594 -0.1473
Rituals of Terror 3 253 52.96% 42.06 4.433 64.43% -0.601 0.0209
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 160 71.88% 40.06 3.629 62.5% -0.478 0.1462
Second Wave 0 2012 48.95% 32.31 -0.046 67.4% -0.743 -0.3239
The Great River 3 23 69.57% 32.61 1.275 52.17% -0.81 0.6746
Ward the Shores 2 302 52.17% 36.1 1.413 60.6% -0.911 0.1192

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 14315 44.54% 31.68 -0.641 76.32% -0.371 -0.0163
1 Thematic 2261 48.04% 37.56 1.674 71.87% -0.53 -0.0326
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3266 41.37% 31.85 -0.404 78.63% -0.071 0.1179
2 Coastline 340 39.4% 32.07 -0.224 80.88% 0.07 0.2049
2 Fragment 105 50.0% 30.5 -0.862 76.19% -0.059 0.3672
2 Heart 57 35.09% 31.75 -0.852 78.95% -0.269 0.0212
2 Opposite Shores 747 39.27% 33.33 0.092 82.2% 0.194 0.4205
2 Thematic 600 44.87% 39.63 1.598 73.0% -0.317 -0.2729
2 Top to Top 105 49.52% 30.41 -0.956 74.29% -0.223 -0.1067
3 Coastline 5 20.0% 37.4 2.115 100.0% 0.605 0.5675
3 Other 54 35.85% 32.91 -0.036 81.48% -0.103 0.2987
3 Round (Default) 1468 27.11% 34.52 0.306 85.01% 0.277 0.3086
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 29.33 -2.376 66.67% -0.456 -0.7094
3 Thematic 149 40.94% 38.86 0.626 75.17% 0.097 -0.2416
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 34.33 -0.252 66.67% -0.107 0.0157
4 Leaf 7 0.0% 35.29 -0.017 85.71% -0.183 -0.1036
4 Other 15 46.67% 33.07 -0.362 80.0% 0.174 0.2548
4 Thematic 141 42.14% 41.45 0.514 75.89% 0.215 -0.8634
4 Trapezoid (Default) 474 31.32% 34.52 0.302 83.12% 0.483 0.4509
5 Other 6 16.67% 38.33 2.999 100.0% 0.515 0.2981

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 794 25.61 -4.593 57.05% -2.163 -0.0948
Aid From Lesser Spirits 650 27.53 -3.647 59.23% -2.041 -0.1246
All Things Weaken 197 25.69 -4.449 58.88% -2.03 0.1304
Back Against the Wall 616 25.53 -4.587 54.55% -2.291 -0.1992
Disintegrating Ecosystem 741 22.96 -6.019 53.85% -2.313 -0.0918
Downward Spiral 2166 24.85 -4.836 59.93% -1.884 0.1304
Erosion of Will 720 25.22 -4.796 56.25% -2.203 0.0085
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 79 32.54 -0.858 89.87% -0.275 0.4369
Memory Fades to Dust 2119 23.92 -5.333 53.19% -2.163 0.0527
Power Corrodes the Spirit 212 25.41 -4.555 62.26% -1.951 0.0689
Promising Farmlands 755 24.1 -5.278 55.76% -2.208 0.0065
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 62 33.9 -0.346 93.55% 0.141 0.5579
Thriving Communities 180 25.27 -4.556 61.67% -1.905 0.2016
Tipping Point 493 24.87 -5.107 55.98% -2.218 -0.0017
Unnatural Proliferation 224 25.23 -4.802 53.57% -2.256 -0.1758
Untended Land Crumbles 209 25.86 -4.305 63.16% -1.885 0.2104

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5725 41.95% 31.96 -0.403 77.55% 0.276 -0.7972
B 5970 39.41% 32.27 -0.308 78.01% 0.214 -0.9501
C 6054 38.98% 32.63 -0.097 79.17% 0.31 -1.0865
D 5776 41.41% 32.36 -0.108 78.93% 0.397 -0.7608
E 1048 39.04% 32.58 -0.206 80.73% 0.275 -0.9823
F 1868 36.84% 33.18 0.046 82.17% 0.374 -0.8524
G 1854 41.15% 32.31 -0.293 79.94% 0.3 -0.9127
H 1982 37.44% 32.85 -0.138 80.73% 0.277 -0.9443
East 1047 43.89% 40.47 2.316 74.88% 0.458 -0.4776
Northeast 1100 44.98% 39.03 1.598 73.09% 0.301 -0.5689
Northwest 941 43.62% 39.35 1.67 74.39% 0.428 -0.5172
Southeast 163 45.4% 35.94 0.282 71.78% 0.211 -0.772
Southwest 149 57.05% 30.75 -2.278 66.44% 0.077 -0.548
West 968 50.47% 38.38 1.08 70.14% 0.178 -0.4868

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 272 0.0% 31.29 -2.248 70.96% -1.635 0.4038
Not Using Events or Tokens 4821 47.93% 31.06 -0.741 71.23% -0.336 -0.1162
Skip Initial Invader Actions 367 11.15% 46.45 4.208 95.1% 1.072 0.3656
Start of Game Growth 555 14.67% 43.18 2.84 92.07% 0.286 -0.1729
Unlimited Undo 1507 35.48% 34.73 0.585 84.47% 0.318 -0.0843
Using Tokens but Not Events 2365 31.16% 34.35 0.337 83.64% 0.052 0.0058

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2103 22.34 29.62%
II 9186 30.71 68.16%
III 8100 34.23 86.48%
IV 4733 37.48 99.26%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.093 Win Model: -0.45
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 16594 45.03% 32.48 75.74%
2 5225 41.57% 32.92 78.49%
3 1663 28.52% 34.87 84.0%
4 640 33.6% 36.04 81.41%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 406
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5004
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4106
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3384
Lose: Invader deck ran out 194
Lose: Adversary condition 1521
Win: Sacrifice victory 118
Lose: Scenario condition 232
Win: Scenario condition 581
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3410
Lose: Spirit destroyed 178

The Kingdom of England — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3242 33.73% 35.67 1.207 75.91% 0.204 0.3502
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1997 66.78% 31.38 -0.35 62.44% -0.115 0.1216
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1454 40.83% 35.29 0.93 77.37% 0.275 0.1884
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1847 33.93% 37.53 1.87 79.64% 0.317 -0.0523
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1702 42.51% 36.62 1.491 79.49% 0.441 0.2077
Fractured Days Split the Sky 197 49.75% 36.0 1.371 69.04% -0.185 0.1484
Heart of the Wildfire 2426 83.79% 23.7 -4.024 45.84% -0.634 -0.2863
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6840 34.17% 35.77 1.162 80.19% 0.293 -0.0044
Lightning's Swift Strike 3748 58.68% 31.38 -0.578 63.47% -0.12 0.1485
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 456 57.3% 32.54 -0.199 70.39% -0.006 -0.3667
Many Minds Move as One 476 34.53% 36.9 1.454 79.41% 0.161 -0.3522
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3420 61.38% 33.17 0.564 70.76% 0.436 0.2387
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1360 49.71% 32.92 -0.16 70.66% 0.021 0.0687
River Surges in Sunlight 3560 58.1% 31.74 -0.48 56.18% -0.524 -0.3569
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2416 45.44% 33.67 0.21 71.65% 0.054 0.2038
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1652 79.55% 25.55 -3.058 43.22% -0.699 -0.25
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2199 44.32% 35.06 0.844 73.35% 0.091 0.0261
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1024 36.08% 34.0 0.109 81.45% 0.376 0.3568
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 824 63.71% 27.7 -2.672 51.58% -0.783 -0.5674
Thunderspeaker 2984 49.02% 34.82 0.998 69.24% 0.123 0.1833
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 697 80.46% 29.16 -1.339 66.57% 0.17 0.2067
Vital Strength of the Earth 3092 42.74% 31.3 -0.891 64.97% -0.37 0.4944
Volcano Looming High 281 68.46% 30.44 -0.9 71.53% 0.176 0.0753

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 618 51.17% 29.81 -1.58 58.74% -0.428 0.1448
Dahan Insurrection 4 436 41.2% 50.69 8.477 63.76% -0.345 0.0554
Elemental Invocation 1 14 85.71% 29.93 -1.072 57.14% -0.25 0.2157
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1932 14.63% 38.5 1.971 74.12% -0.448 -0.073
Powers Long Forgotten 1 229 74.56% 30.54 -0.915 48.91% -0.682 -0.2354
Rituals of Terror 3 169 60.71% 39.92 3.717 50.3% -0.639 -0.0169
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 125 80.8% 37.78 2.719 50.4% -0.441 0.1831
Second Wave 0 1203 60.55% 31.17 -0.847 53.62% -0.807 -0.3881
The Great River 3 18 38.89% 37.5 1.565 44.44% -1.444 0.041
Ward the Shores 2 290 51.04% 36.66 1.193 51.72% -1.079 -0.0489

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 22802 49.79% 32.59 -0.124 70.38% -0.001 0.3536
1 Thematic 1837 59.2% 35.13 0.878 56.23% -0.164 0.3337
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4457 54.92% 31.78 -0.314 67.47% -0.098 0.0917
2 Coastline 479 45.36% 34.18 0.558 76.2% 0.202 0.3367
2 Fragment 110 52.29% 31.21 -0.747 64.55% -0.317 0.1084
2 Heart 67 53.73% 29.3 -1.79 61.19% -0.591 -0.3004
2 Opposite Shores 978 48.62% 33.02 -0.141 69.63% -0.145 0.0813
2 Thematic 628 59.52% 35.18 0.277 54.62% -0.092 -0.0479
2 Top to Top 133 61.65% 30.91 -0.856 66.17% -0.213 -0.0968
3 Coastline 4 50.0% 28.5 -2.129 25.0% -0.655 -0.6928
3 Other 58 41.38% 36.22 1.154 82.76% 0.134 0.5354
3 Round (Default) 1608 47.14% 32.94 -0.063 69.9% -0.153 -0.1219
3 Sunrise 7 42.86% 39.0 3.17 100.0% 0.927 0.6735
3 Thematic 121 59.5% 38.19 1.404 54.55% 0.354 0.0147
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 52.0 5.454 100.0% 0.236 0.3585
4 Leaf 3 66.67% 21.0 -4.576 33.33% -0.805 -0.7249
4 Other 32 62.5% 34.13 0.73 78.13% 0.348 0.4287
4 Thematic 203 46.23% 38.62 0.58 59.61% 0.385 -0.6926
4 Trapezoid (Default) 805 39.11% 34.78 0.411 71.8% -0.216 -0.2488
5 Other 13 38.46% 41.54 3.484 100.0% 0.887 0.6698

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1437 26.84 -3.826 52.75% -1.614 0.4545
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1188 29.44 -2.563 58.16% -1.388 0.5291
All Things Weaken 388 26.74 -3.91 54.12% -1.696 0.4638
Back Against the Wall 1112 27.97 -3.325 53.78% -1.606 0.4862
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1306 24.61 -4.999 50.84% -1.691 0.5303
Downward Spiral 3242 25.53 -4.288 51.45% -1.489 0.5257
Erosion of Will 1274 26.07 -4.225 50.31% -1.745 0.4661
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 163 35.51 0.086 85.28% -0.146 0.566
Memory Fades to Dust 3387 25.49 -4.297 49.48% -1.555 0.6608
Power Corrodes the Spirit 372 27.14 -3.749 56.45% -1.6 0.4202
Promising Farmlands 1319 25.9 -4.333 52.54% -1.638 0.5769
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 93 35.16 -0.061 82.8% -0.394 0.0229
Thriving Communities 365 24.1 -5.35 47.67% -1.99 0.1173
Tipping Point 849 24.84 -4.901 47.7% -1.813 0.4031
Unnatural Proliferation 429 27.69 -3.53 54.55% -1.677 0.4031
Untended Land Crumbles 353 25.67 -4.448 52.97% -1.706 0.389

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7710 52.6% 31.86 -0.416 67.02% 0.316 -0.7569
B 8227 52.03% 32.11 -0.232 67.95% 0.361 -0.8036
C 9090 47.64% 33.21 0.243 70.77% 0.451 -0.9459
D 7564 51.51% 32.21 -0.184 68.77% 0.41 -0.7477
E 1684 45.31% 34.13 0.337 76.01% 0.448 -0.8085
F 3254 47.19% 33.26 -0.043 72.53% 0.362 -0.8638
G 2975 50.15% 32.96 -0.118 72.2% 0.401 -0.8119
H 3293 43.09% 34.14 0.327 74.8% 0.434 -0.7875
East 1032 56.45% 37.73 1.599 58.82% 0.359 -0.577
Northeast 1046 55.19% 36.96 1.148 57.17% 0.053 -0.8169
Northwest 878 58.16% 35.53 0.504 55.69% 0.139 -0.8062
Southeast 150 46.9% 37.37 1.317 65.33% 0.402 -0.5808
Southwest 130 57.48% 26.83 -4.146 43.85% -0.623 -1.2484
West 949 59.83% 35.19 0.122 51.95% -0.143 -0.8083

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 297 0.0% 29.36 -2.968 53.2% -1.602 0.4373
Not Using Events or Tokens 5016 61.35% 29.02 -1.633 55.7% -0.483 -0.2631
Skip Initial Invader Actions 406 15.07% 46.63 3.931 87.93% 0.148 -0.5578
Start of Game Growth 590 16.42% 45.24 3.955 88.81% 1.039 0.5802
Unlimited Undo 2145 49.75% 34.55 0.691 73.99% 0.285 -0.1176
Using Tokens but Not Events 3339 42.9% 34.46 0.637 76.73% 0.294 0.2479

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4700 22.34 8.32%
II 10919 30.71 55.43%
III 11500 34.23 87.25%
IV 7228 37.48 99.43%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.027 Win Model: -0.297
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 24679 50.48% 32.78 69.36%
2 6835 53.9% 32.39 67.04%
3 1787 47.96% 33.36 69.11%
4 1046 40.9% 35.6 69.79%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 255
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7286
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4014
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5386
Lose: Invader deck ran out 242
Lose: Adversary condition 3661
Win: Sacrifice victory 127
Lose: Scenario condition 466
Win: Scenario condition 427
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5995
Lose: Spirit destroyed 319

The Kingdom of England — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3601 45.24% 37.74 1.238 60.12% 0.208 0.3549
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1889 76.54% 32.79 -0.742 46.74% -0.189 0.0474
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1452 59.35% 35.71 0.107 57.37% 0.102 0.0155
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1855 43.69% 39.97 2.066 65.98% 0.316 -0.0532
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2088 52.79% 39.67 2.017 66.09% 0.453 0.2205
Fractured Days Split the Sky 259 54.44% 39.49 1.775 55.98% -0.16 0.1732
Heart of the Wildfire 2383 86.86% 23.82 -5.418 26.9% -1.013 -0.6653
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5116 52.18% 38.04 1.354 62.88% 0.265 -0.0324
Lightning's Swift Strike 4162 67.74% 33.18 -0.876 48.8% -0.147 0.1217
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 636 71.29% 34.39 -0.518 55.82% -0.01 -0.3703
Many Minds Move as One 432 44.55% 41.74 2.807 71.76% 0.483 -0.0306
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4161 66.52% 36.61 1.155 59.07% 0.471 0.2737
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1472 59.06% 33.78 -0.911 51.02% -0.235 -0.1878
River Surges in Sunlight 3776 63.44% 34.81 -0.295 45.63% -0.381 -0.2135
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3004 53.46% 37.19 0.84 59.82% 0.19 0.3396
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1322 81.55% 26.84 -3.789 28.59% -0.914 -0.4645
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2182 57.32% 35.94 0.289 54.63% -0.039 -0.103
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1512 41.82% 38.04 0.867 73.02% 0.511 0.4921
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 742 71.27% 30.41 -2.568 39.76% -0.583 -0.3677
Thunderspeaker 3430 63.46% 36.76 0.924 56.12% 0.186 0.2456
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 840 85.44% 33.8 -0.352 57.62% 0.246 0.2822
Vital Strength of the Earth 2533 59.57% 31.32 -1.849 42.12% -0.504 0.3602
Volcano Looming High 318 76.19% 32.88 -1.031 55.35% 0.026 -0.0749

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 427 55.56% 35.35 -0.491 53.4% -0.143 0.4296
Dahan Insurrection 4 449 52.97% 48.17 6.265 43.43% -0.479 -0.0782
Elemental Invocation 1 9 55.56% 39.0 0.927 55.56% -0.193 0.2726
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1845 20.66% 40.63 1.885 59.62% -0.216 0.1594
Powers Long Forgotten 1 176 84.09% 31.99 -1.305 33.52% -0.666 -0.2191
Rituals of Terror 3 120 70.59% 41.65 3.217 41.67% -0.435 0.1869
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 53 94.34% 37.51 1.557 33.96% -0.515 0.1092
Second Wave 0 549 62.96% 35.15 -0.395 46.27% -0.551 -0.1325
The Great River 3 10 70.0% 25.5 -2.949 10.0% -1.143 0.3418
Ward the Shores 2 147 69.18% 37.98 1.012 39.46% -0.722 0.3081

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 21534 64.42% 34.51 -0.161 55.07% -0.312 0.0432
1 Thematic 1302 61.1% 39.6 1.543 49.0% -0.212 0.2849
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4971 63.6% 34.3 -0.201 52.97% -0.226 -0.0362
2 Coastline 546 63.6% 35.66 0.246 57.69% -0.153 -0.0176
2 Fragment 123 66.67% 32.59 -1.074 48.78% -0.375 0.0508
2 Heart 58 70.18% 34.26 -0.535 53.45% -0.33 -0.0398
2 Opposite Shores 1035 61.94% 34.03 -0.616 51.4% -0.388 -0.1619
2 Thematic 434 65.27% 36.46 0.139 38.48% 0.035 0.0796
2 Top to Top 182 56.11% 35.81 0.491 55.49% -0.124 -0.008
3 Coastline 8 25.0% 35.63 0.149 50.0% -0.327 -0.3646
3 Other 71 49.3% 40.21 1.421 69.01% -0.19 0.2116
3 Round (Default) 1839 54.38% 35.47 0.127 55.03% -0.068 -0.0368
3 Sunrise 11 63.64% 46.09 5.801 81.82% 0.926 0.6725
3 Thematic 82 59.76% 39.57 1.088 45.12% 0.689 0.3495
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 61.0 4.253 100.0% 0.048 0.1704
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 19.0 -10.045 0.0% -0.903 -0.8233
4 Other 42 47.62% 34.45 -1.205 50.0% -0.526 -0.4454
4 Snake 4 75.0% 32.5 -0.164 50.0% 0.171 0.2973
4 Thematic 273 51.28% 37.25 -0.603 39.19% 0.91 -0.1685
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1089 47.55% 38.12 0.36 58.13% -0.013 -0.0455
5 Other 8 50.0% 48.0 3.762 100.0% 0.861 0.6442
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 55.0 9.077 100.0% 0.521 -2.2459

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1667 30.12 -3.238 42.29% -1.09 0.9777
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1331 32.79 -1.925 47.78% -0.867 1.0501
All Things Weaken 525 31.63 -2.618 48.76% -0.967 1.1935
Back Against the Wall 1327 30.6 -2.983 41.6% -1.111 0.9815
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1567 27.71 -4.482 40.14% -1.184 1.0371
Downward Spiral 3927 29.64 -3.318 44.72% -0.858 1.1563
Erosion of Will 1647 29.89 -3.355 41.89% -1.114 1.0969
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 175 38.94 0.748 70.29% -0.143 0.5693
Memory Fades to Dust 3912 29.51 -3.387 42.74% -0.952 1.2635
Power Corrodes the Spirit 508 30.84 -2.965 49.41% -0.933 1.0871
Promising Farmlands 1687 29.43 -3.597 43.39% -1.065 1.1499
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 123 40.12 1.342 74.8% 0.06 0.4768
Thriving Communities 473 29.18 -3.838 44.4% -1.151 0.956
Tipping Point 1030 28.7 -3.934 41.17% -1.124 1.0918
Unnatural Proliferation 562 31.98 -2.274 49.29% -0.897 1.183
Untended Land Crumbles 489 30.59 -3.08 47.85% -0.964 1.1308

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8163 61.78% 34.65 -0.152 53.11% 0.541 -0.5324
B 8641 62.22% 34.34 -0.292 52.67% 0.522 -0.6421
C 9356 62.28% 35.11 0.207 55.12% 0.642 -0.7546
D 7890 61.94% 34.62 -0.187 53.93% 0.564 -0.5938
E 1914 58.15% 36.87 0.556 61.7% 0.657 -0.5996
F 3384 60.48% 35.43 0.029 57.77% 0.615 -0.6113
G 2997 60.09% 34.74 -0.4 55.02% 0.452 -0.7606
H 3453 55.02% 36.58 0.442 59.63% 0.598 -0.6235
East 824 60.0% 38.95 1.102 43.08% 0.297 -0.6387
Northeast 832 56.57% 39.22 0.925 43.39% 0.13 -0.7396
Northwest 741 57.82% 37.96 0.285 42.24% 0.158 -0.7869
Southeast 131 56.15% 37.88 0.056 49.62% 0.087 -0.8965
Southwest 147 58.16% 32.93 -2.743 42.86% -0.175 -0.8001
West 783 60.93% 36.87 -0.088 39.59% 0.012 -0.6531

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 251 0.0% 35.81 -1.552 49.0% -0.905 1.1338
Not Using Events or Tokens 4940 67.41% 32.36 -1.132 46.58% -0.339 -0.119
Skip Initial Invader Actions 653 13.53% 53.93 5.954 85.76% 0.923 0.2171
Start of Game Growth 885 18.58% 51.18 4.878 81.92% 0.583 0.1235
Unlimited Undo 2827 60.03% 38.16 1.385 63.32% 0.363 -0.0393
Using Tokens but Not Events 2804 57.3% 35.91 0.17 58.67% 0.021 -0.0248

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5604 22.34 3.44%
II 10149 30.71 23.28%
III 9945 34.23 78.44%
IV 7918 37.48 99.31%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.015 Win Model: -0.716
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 22871 64.21% 34.81 54.76%
2 7350 63.43% 34.5 52.24%
3 1986 54.23% 35.78 54.93%
4 1409 48.34% 37.84 54.22%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 143
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5812
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1622
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6051
Lose: Invader deck ran out 198
Lose: Adversary condition 6431
Win: Sacrifice victory 145
Lose: Scenario condition 642
Win: Scenario condition 252
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7731
Lose: Spirit destroyed 394

The Kingdom of England — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3364 40.58% 44.0 0.796 64.86% 0.108 0.2546
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1825 73.17% 37.99 -1.275 50.9% -0.152 0.0846
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1446 60.22% 38.82 -1.613 54.15% -0.206 -0.2921
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1855 44.08% 45.1 1.401 69.16% 0.304 -0.0646
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3003 36.67% 49.19 3.249 77.72% 0.683 0.4503
Fractured Days Split the Sky 332 45.48% 46.35 1.669 62.35% -0.219 0.115
Heart of the Wildfire 2195 75.07% 32.51 -4.444 38.54% -0.72 -0.3723
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8275 34.96% 47.92 2.416 74.78% 0.451 0.1535
Lightning's Swift Strike 3675 58.05% 39.34 -1.287 53.12% -0.271 -0.002
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 893 55.38% 43.57 0.306 67.08% 0.2 -0.1611
Many Minds Move as One 478 37.45% 47.16 2.006 74.27% 0.357 -0.156
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3490 62.38% 41.72 0.58 61.29% 0.422 0.2248
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1545 53.41% 39.32 -1.638 54.24% -0.331 -0.2834
River Surges in Sunlight 3129 58.26% 39.76 -1.162 48.45% -0.495 -0.3276
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4380 40.37% 45.72 1.464 70.75% 0.349 0.4981
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 932 73.33% 32.53 -4.333 34.55% -0.92 -0.4709
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3556 32.61% 48.45 1.655 71.99% 0.147 0.0824
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1727 39.05% 42.37 0.024 74.93% 0.436 0.4169
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 655 63.23% 36.3 -3.002 44.58% -0.71 -0.4947
Thunderspeaker 3970 45.31% 44.46 -0.041 62.12% -0.112 -0.0524
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1176 81.45% 40.94 0.175 66.16% 0.533 0.5695
Vital Strength of the Earth 1823 53.4% 36.6 -2.862 45.09% -0.755 0.1096
Volcano Looming High 446 74.16% 37.08 -1.768 54.71% -0.047 -0.1477

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 330 55.11% 36.43 -2.431 48.48% -0.488 0.085
Dahan Insurrection 4 320 50.63% 52.78 6.027 43.44% -0.472 -0.0716
Elemental Invocation 1 20 75.0% 40.55 0.279 55.0% -0.055 0.4099
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 4290 10.43% 53.15 3.803 79.42% 0.113 0.4884
Powers Long Forgotten 1 120 74.17% 36.17 -1.874 34.17% -0.679 -0.2321
Rituals of Terror 3 104 66.35% 45.19 2.726 36.54% -0.48 0.1421
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 89 92.13% 35.47 -1.416 22.47% -0.924 -0.2994
Second Wave 0 298 61.95% 36.71 -2.444 41.28% -0.934 -0.5151
The Great River 3 17 76.47% 29.59 -2.385 11.76% -1.221 0.2638
Ward the Shores 2 125 69.35% 39.53 -0.3 36.8% -0.805 0.226

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 21962 56.15% 40.95 -0.155 60.98% -0.368 -0.0131
1 Thematic 833 63.89% 39.87 -0.535 38.9% -0.675 -0.178
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4767 58.78% 40.39 -0.58 57.48% -0.227 -0.0373
2 Coastline 785 48.72% 45.58 1.687 71.59% 0.22 0.3549
2 Fragment 96 60.64% 36.22 -2.537 47.92% -0.778 -0.3527
2 Heart 113 53.98% 44.83 1.16 66.37% -0.144 0.1468
2 Opposite Shores 815 57.43% 39.59 -1.057 54.85% -0.346 -0.1195
2 Thematic 269 64.68% 42.12 0.227 43.49% 0.158 0.2028
2 Top to Top 153 59.73% 39.18 -0.919 56.86% -0.308 -0.1917
3 Coastline 17 81.25% 28.59 -3.295 17.65% -0.719 -0.7571
3 Other 78 55.84% 43.94 0.699 70.51% 0.075 0.4768
3 Round (Default) 1725 53.49% 41.21 -0.233 60.64% 0.112 0.1428
3 Sunrise 13 53.85% 38.54 -1.975 53.85% -0.414 -0.6667
3 Thematic 60 60.0% 42.18 0.053 45.0% 0.774 0.4348
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 30.0 -11.343 0.0% -0.706 -0.5841
4 Leaf 9 66.67% 42.11 -0.617 66.67% 0.191 0.2709
4 Other 55 63.64% 42.98 0.122 65.45% 0.127 0.2083
4 Thematic 245 49.39% 48.92 1.39 56.33% 1.529 0.4513
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2634 18.48% 51.01 1.545 76.77% 0.447 0.4141
5 Other 26 7.69% 57.12 5.661 100.0% 1.347 1.1304

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1602 33.89 -4.63 43.51% -1.391 0.6774
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1254 37.26 -2.962 50.96% -1.103 0.8135
All Things Weaken 509 35.2 -3.905 49.31% -1.256 0.9044
Back Against the Wall 1235 35.51 -3.896 46.07% -1.299 0.7934
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1572 31.85 -5.637 42.81% -1.438 0.7837
Downward Spiral 2930 32.77 -5.081 42.9% -1.332 0.6826
Erosion of Will 1549 33.51 -4.885 42.29% -1.485 0.7267
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 167 42.1 -0.921 67.66% -0.552 0.1601
Memory Fades to Dust 2962 32.51 -5.236 40.92% -1.415 0.8012
Power Corrodes the Spirit 509 34.41 -4.351 48.92% -1.314 0.7055
Promising Farmlands 1528 33.28 -4.925 45.09% -1.346 0.8683
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 147 45.46 0.818 78.23% -0.049 0.368
Thriving Communities 511 35.37 -3.91 52.64% -1.164 0.943
Tipping Point 932 31.37 -5.765 38.73% -1.533 0.6836
Unnatural Proliferation 526 35.91 -3.621 49.62% -1.289 0.7914
Untended Land Crumbles 553 34.68 -4.196 49.37% -1.283 0.8118

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9217 47.99% 42.51 -0.262 61.48% 0.658 -0.4154
B 10469 46.34% 43.77 0.62 64.57% 0.828 -0.3359
C 10832 47.66% 43.63 0.598 64.93% 0.842 -0.5545
D 8061 52.56% 41.67 -0.169 60.85% 0.738 -0.4202
E 2196 48.54% 43.85 0.597 67.58% 0.824 -0.4324
F 3875 48.52% 42.93 0.076 64.31% 0.71 -0.5158
G 3565 49.65% 42.67 -0.042 63.79% 0.699 -0.5136
H 3685 48.84% 43.74 0.446 66.38% 0.8 -0.4214
East 626 57.33% 45.2 0.89 47.6% 0.394 -0.5414
Northeast 620 57.26% 43.75 0.552 44.84% 0.272 -0.5977
Northwest 554 63.18% 42.65 0.042 43.32% 0.456 -0.4891
Southeast 79 55.7% 46.18 0.887 59.49% 0.376 -0.607
Southwest 77 57.14% 42.39 -1.437 57.14% 0.362 -0.2632
West 522 57.28% 44.26 0.083 47.51% 0.18 -0.4849

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 183 0.0% 37.83 -3.312 46.99% -1.109 0.9297
Not Using Events or Tokens 3479 57.86% 38.45 -0.995 50.7% -0.219 0.0015
Skip Initial Invader Actions 660 13.66% 59.89 6.976 90.45% 2.233 1.5274
Start of Game Growth 1028 13.52% 55.27 2.954 82.49% -0.478 -0.9371
Unlimited Undo 3038 52.28% 43.28 0.603 65.37% 0.176 -0.2267
Using Tokens but Not Events 2731 41.73% 45.15 1.199 67.34% 0.133 0.0871

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5435 22.34 27.32%
II 9899 30.71 31.66%
III 10335 34.23 73.4%
IV 8988 37.48 99.59%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.282 Win Model: -0.945
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 22918 56.32% 40.98 60.34%
2 6912 58.09% 40.74 57.73%
3 1880 53.98% 41.24 60.05%
4 2947 21.72% 50.71 74.92%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1103
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5975
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2497
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7085
Lose: Invader deck ran out 51
Lose: Adversary condition 5626
Win: Sacrifice victory 156
Lose: Scenario condition 751
Win: Scenario condition 183
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6726
Lose: Spirit destroyed 347

The Kingdom of England — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1337 48.94% 45.61 1.211 48.54% 0.164 0.3101
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 547 83.82% 38.34 -1.036 36.38% 0.017 0.2536
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 368 74.46% 32.76 -3.961 22.01% -0.771 -0.8575
Eyes Watch From the Trees 581 62.07% 42.4 0.971 44.23% 0.352 -0.017
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 761 64.64% 45.76 1.803 52.04% 0.532 0.2987
Fractured Days Split the Sky 91 60.44% 48.27 2.388 49.45% 0.168 0.502
Heart of the Wildfire 803 86.28% 26.8 -7.075 14.07% -1.318 -0.9708
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2572 58.43% 45.09 1.581 52.57% 0.459 0.1612
Lightning's Swift Strike 1683 69.75% 40.53 -1.168 38.38% -0.121 0.1478
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 241 82.92% 34.88 -3.391 29.46% -0.476 -0.8364
Many Minds Move as One 141 43.97% 52.09 4.858 66.67% 0.871 0.3575
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1806 66.67% 46.25 3.049 54.93% 1.006 0.809
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 502 59.88% 40.87 -1.042 37.85% -0.134 -0.0863
River Surges in Sunlight 1049 58.39% 41.27 -1.392 36.8% -0.638 -0.471
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1150 61.91% 44.48 1.092 50.17% 0.383 0.5322
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 332 80.72% 32.35 -4.665 19.28% -1.048 -0.5983
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1018 53.54% 48.85 2.421 55.89% 0.477 0.4126
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1412 39.45% 48.06 2.645 69.26% 0.798 0.7789
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 262 81.3% 29.76 -5.431 15.27% -1.158 -0.9432
Thunderspeaker 1070 76.88% 37.78 -1.258 31.96% -0.077 -0.017
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 705 84.4% 45.69 2.006 59.86% 0.757 0.793
Vital Strength of the Earth 573 64.45% 36.58 -2.722 27.75% -0.628 0.2362
Volcano Looming High 86 90.7% 32.37 -3.98 27.91% -0.333 -0.4336

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 132 67.72% 35.98 -2.741 31.82% -0.504 0.0684
Dahan Insurrection 4 143 76.26% 44.29 1.725 19.58% -0.986 -0.5857
Elemental Invocation 1 1 100.0% 60.0 13.061 100.0% 0.732 1.1974
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 906 20.98% 51.92 3.193 57.95% 0.161 0.5368
Powers Long Forgotten 1 45 82.22% 38.89 -0.889 26.67% -0.379 0.068
Rituals of Terror 3 41 80.49% 55.29 7.662 43.9% 0.48 1.1016
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 21 76.19% 39.62 1.151 19.05% -0.401 0.2232
Second Wave 0 121 65.83% 38.4 -2.046 29.75% -0.811 -0.3926
Ward the Shores 2 56 63.64% 46.27 1.497 35.71% -0.406 0.6246

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8858 67.6% 41.16 -0.023 46.43% -0.179 0.1759
1 Thematic 754 73.71% 41.34 -0.054 32.36% -0.359 0.1385
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1582 72.03% 39.52 -0.72 39.0% -0.327 -0.1379
2 Coastline 176 62.79% 44.68 1.462 51.14% 0.12 0.2548
2 Fragment 42 69.05% 39.83 -0.956 38.1% -0.551 -0.1251
2 Heart 23 78.26% 37.39 -1.031 39.13% -0.303 -0.0127
2 Opposite Shores 353 68.0% 39.51 -0.754 39.38% -0.278 -0.0514
2 Thematic 122 68.85% 41.28 -1.974 28.69% -0.784 -0.7393
2 Top to Top 69 60.87% 47.01 2.486 55.07% 0.236 0.3522
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 36.33 -2.512 33.33% -0.344 -0.3815
3 Other 33 66.67% 51.09 4.302 69.7% 0.596 0.9976
3 Round (Default) 602 69.77% 38.86 -1.216 37.04% -0.369 -0.3379
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 42.0 2.458 50.0% 0.333 0.0802
3 Thematic 33 75.76% 41.85 -1.392 33.33% 0.113 -0.2264
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 43.5 -0.41 50.0% -0.027 0.0531
4 Other 14 78.57% 45.71 0.675 57.14% -0.091 -0.0099
4 Thematic 177 23.16% 65.48 4.52 74.58% 1.046 -0.0323
4 Trapezoid (Default) 497 36.34% 48.7 2.151 54.73% 0.24 0.2078
5 Other 3 66.67% 52.67 5.784 66.67% 0.398 0.1807
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 66.0 4.915 100.0% 0.545 -2.222

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 758 36.97 -3.225 34.83% -1.039 1.0295
Aid From Lesser Spirits 554 39.3 -1.962 38.63% -0.825 1.0919
All Things Weaken 240 37.42 -2.844 39.17% -0.863 1.2972
Back Against the Wall 511 38.0 -2.811 35.62% -1.03 1.062
Disintegrating Ecosystem 741 35.35 -4.129 35.49% -1.046 1.1755
Downward Spiral 1446 34.62 -3.758 32.09% -0.903 1.1115
Erosion of Will 813 34.65 -4.382 29.89% -1.322 0.8895
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 88 47.2 1.222 61.36% -0.181 0.5309
Memory Fades to Dust 1416 33.92 -4.248 29.38% -1.079 1.1366
Power Corrodes the Spirit 263 37.33 -3.123 39.16% -0.988 1.0315
Promising Farmlands 732 35.67 -3.805 34.56% -1.054 1.1604
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 49 43.78 -0.33 53.06% -0.471 -0.0542
Thriving Communities 246 40.52 -1.612 47.56% -0.615 1.492
Tipping Point 470 35.04 -4.08 31.91% -1.132 1.0838
Unnatural Proliferation 285 40.17 -1.712 43.51% -0.79 1.2906
Untended Land Crumbles 270 37.14 -3.473 40.37% -1.011 1.0837

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2729 68.83% 39.37 -0.904 39.43% 0.507 -0.5658
B 3582 62.44% 41.45 0.149 43.63% 0.567 -0.5971
C 4463 61.54% 44.45 1.808 53.53% 0.879 -0.5177
D 2606 69.67% 40.92 -0.139 43.28% 0.591 -0.5674
E 757 64.6% 40.52 -0.669 42.54% 0.355 -0.9015
F 1132 65.81% 40.92 -0.732 42.93% 0.44 -0.7857
G 1006 67.83% 40.11 -0.776 41.35% 0.432 -0.7804
H 1107 65.52% 40.32 -0.894 40.29% 0.303 -0.919
East 468 55.46% 52.41 2.771 51.5% 0.876 -0.0598
Northeast 462 54.76% 48.45 0.476 41.99% 0.042 -0.8269
Northwest 344 48.84% 53.78 2.313 54.36% 0.763 -0.1817
Southeast 62 53.23% 45.84 -0.794 43.55% 0.163 -0.8198
Southwest 52 46.15% 44.54 -2.496 42.31% -0.176 -0.8011
West 380 50.26% 52.88 1.452 51.84% 0.319 -0.346

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 54 0.0% 47.11 0.52 50.0% -0.436 1.6032
Not Using Events or Tokens 1280 75.88% 36.24 -2.003 31.33% -0.39 -0.1702
Skip Initial Invader Actions 212 23.35% 60.8 7.052 72.17% 1.421 0.715
Start of Game Growth 503 21.19% 59.31 4.557 70.18% 0.19 -0.2696
Unlimited Undo 1113 65.44% 43.93 0.83 49.24% 0.173 -0.2293
Using Tokens but Not Events 925 62.51% 39.63 -1.51 38.49% -0.37 -0.4157

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2824 22.34 3.79%
II 3862 30.71 12.87%
III 2507 34.23 49.06%
IV 4154 37.48 99.74%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.308 Win Model: -0.718
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 9642 68.11% 41.21 45.43%
2 2356 70.04% 40.17 39.77%
3 660 70.76% 39.27 37.58%
4 689 33.58% 52.94 59.8%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 69
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 972
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 378
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3459
Lose: Invader deck ran out 20
Lose: Adversary condition 3252
Win: Sacrifice victory 73
Lose: Scenario condition 271
Win: Scenario condition 47
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3646
Lose: Spirit destroyed 181

The Kingdom of England — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5586 44.84% 48.51 -0.178 45.94% -0.089 0.0572
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3707 79.28% 38.65 -3.312 29.86% -0.46 -0.2235
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1440 65.01% 36.74 -4.697 23.82% -1.016 -1.102
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2686 61.12% 46.14 0.488 44.23% 0.274 -0.095
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4181 59.22% 48.26 1.135 49.22% 0.375 0.1417
Fractured Days Split the Sky 840 51.31% 55.8 4.489 54.17% 0.353 0.687
Heart of the Wildfire 2885 79.89% 32.25 -6.506 18.02% -1.05 -0.7026
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 15019 45.81% 51.79 2.922 58.35% 0.606 0.3077
Lightning's Swift Strike 10570 62.19% 45.23 -0.419 42.76% 0.127 0.3955
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1276 71.41% 43.59 -1.291 42.32% 0.006 -0.3549
Many Minds Move as One 877 46.29% 56.26 5.124 68.19% 1.079 0.566
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 13181 60.77% 51.83 3.242 54.45% 0.979 0.7816
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1506 59.97% 40.59 -3.126 31.27% -0.591 -0.544
River Surges in Sunlight 5068 55.96% 46.73 -0.91 39.58% -0.444 -0.2768
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7871 44.17% 53.67 2.831 59.18% 0.538 0.6876
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2602 64.79% 38.2 -3.655 25.67% -0.578 -0.1289
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3461 54.16% 49.02 0.915 48.11% 0.115 0.05
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5399 40.65% 45.32 -0.429 54.64% 0.39 0.3709
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1338 67.49% 38.78 -3.744 26.91% -0.686 -0.4706
Thunderspeaker 5128 67.6% 43.05 -1.329 29.64% -0.187 -0.1272
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2001 80.82% 43.75 -1.059 45.78% 0.298 0.3341
Vital Strength of the Earth 2839 50.92% 42.53 -3.279 31.0% -0.88 -0.0155
Volcano Looming High 669 79.37% 34.8 -4.625 26.01% -0.554 -0.6553

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 763 52.53% 47.56 -1.424 49.28% -0.439 0.1332
Dahan Insurrection 4 1956 68.83% 48.43 1.654 14.93% -0.94 -0.539
Elemental Invocation 1 25 80.0% 44.0 -0.922 36.0% -0.397 0.068
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 11507 23.81% 53.56 3.128 52.23% 0.016 0.3912
Powers Long Forgotten 1 162 83.33% 33.94 -4.603 14.2% -1.312 -0.865
Rituals of Terror 3 135 60.45% 62.57 8.757 42.96% 0.7 1.3219
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 94 92.55% 37.01 -2.771 12.77% -1.101 -0.4772
Second Wave 0 255 54.15% 49.38 -0.086 46.27% -0.561 -0.1426
The Great River 3 7 42.86% 55.71 4.28 42.86% -0.297 1.1875
Ward the Shores 2 224 73.97% 46.45 -0.015 33.48% -0.729 0.3014

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 52826 60.58% 45.05 -0.513 45.26% -0.583 -0.2283
1 Thematic 3969 60.57% 46.9 0.182 24.77% -1.164 -0.6663
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5813 67.57% 43.14 -0.709 39.96% -0.302 -0.1127
2 Coastline 1195 60.69% 44.4 -0.694 41.92% -0.443 -0.3081
2 Fragment 114 67.54% 42.55 -1.299 36.84% -0.726 -0.3004
2 Heart 111 63.96% 49.63 1.29 56.76% -0.377 -0.0869
2 Opposite Shores 1898 50.29% 48.15 -0.195 47.47% -0.411 -0.1845
2 Thematic 865 34.8% 59.79 3.885 47.75% -0.242 -0.1973
2 Top to Top 377 57.82% 49.05 1.597 53.32% -0.008 0.1087
3 Coastline 15 42.86% 54.27 1.414 66.67% 0.093 0.0555
3 Other 192 61.98% 52.59 1.069 63.02% -0.365 0.0371
3 Round (Default) 3018 54.11% 46.65 0.065 46.09% 0.157 0.1883
3 Sunrise 10 30.0% 51.6 0.566 60.0% -0.151 -0.4043
3 Thematic 72 59.15% 53.78 0.406 31.94% -0.17 -0.5086
4 Coastline 23 4.35% 36.0 -6.394 17.39% -0.411 -0.2889
4 Leaf 8 37.5% 47.5 -0.694 37.5% 0.066 0.146
4 Other 126 52.38% 52.58 2.938 62.7% 0.476 0.5565
4 Thematic 1069 28.25% 66.03 2.581 66.6% 0.942 -0.136
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1973 39.62% 53.31 2.193 57.88% 0.96 0.9277
5 Other 39 43.59% 61.87 4.485 79.49% 0.892 0.6746
5 Thematic 28 21.43% 79.61 10.57 96.43% 1.788 -0.9795

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3719 38.95 -4.027 33.21% -1.023 1.0454
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3082 41.71 -2.605 37.77% -0.772 1.1447
All Things Weaken 1186 37.7 -4.273 32.55% -1.014 1.1459
Back Against the Wall 2944 40.76 -3.104 35.56% -0.868 1.2237
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3550 36.67 -5.171 31.97% -1.08 1.1414
Downward Spiral 6923 37.8 -4.334 29.93% -0.842 1.1718
Erosion of Will 3526 37.75 -4.551 30.69% -1.127 1.0841
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 434 47.1 -0.159 51.38% -0.28 0.4316
Memory Fades to Dust 6873 37.21 -4.652 27.6% -0.978 1.2382
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1205 38.37 -4.113 34.77% -0.973 1.0466
Promising Farmlands 3543 38.14 -4.462 33.28% -1.031 1.1838
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 229 49.37 0.837 58.52% -0.036 0.381
Thriving Communities 1279 38.64 -3.951 36.28% -0.877 1.2302
Tipping Point 2148 36.92 -5.092 30.4% -1.163 1.0536
Unnatural Proliferation 1302 40.13 -3.163 36.25% -0.875 1.2049
Untended Land Crumbles 1210 38.58 -4.052 35.79% -0.941 1.1546

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 15974 56.63% 46.01 -0.132 45.44% 0.939 -0.1337
B 16640 59.22% 44.88 -0.508 43.5% 0.865 -0.2995
C 19082 59.58% 46.52 0.617 47.71% 1.118 -0.2786
D 13890 62.74% 45.61 -0.094 45.81% 0.972 -0.1862
E 5142 57.77% 45.56 0.101 46.36% 0.975 -0.2815
F 6743 56.88% 47.14 0.285 48.92% 1.005 -0.2212
G 6613 56.02% 45.6 -0.163 45.03% 0.909 -0.3035
H 6342 54.1% 46.97 0.274 47.9% 0.924 -0.2979
East 2509 41.17% 60.19 3.113 51.26% 1.21 0.2739
Northeast 3005 44.29% 56.17 2.062 40.2% 0.92 0.0503
Northwest 1883 33.16% 61.45 2.767 55.66% 1.078 0.133
Southeast 186 48.92% 55.53 1.173 51.08% 1.156 0.1732
Southwest 127 42.52% 53.96 -1.936 54.33% 0.501 -0.1243
West 2457 45.44% 55.39 0.977 45.22% 0.886 0.2209

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 873 0.0% 49.69 -1.796 48.68% -0.942 1.0968
Not Using Events or Tokens 7938 61.89% 43.19 -1.357 28.51% -0.501 -0.2803
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4443 15.43% 70.11 6.723 86.25% 0.923 0.2167
Start of Game Growth 5054 17.66% 68.61 6.32 84.29% 0.656 0.1966
Unlimited Undo 10857 38.21% 61.26 6.377 76.33% 1.138 0.7357
Using Tokens but Not Events 4676 60.88% 44.66 -1.395 41.98% -0.373 -0.4192

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 21617 22.34 9.02%
II 21453 30.71 25.06%
III 11984 34.23 57.81%
IV 18687 37.48 99.69%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.437 Win Model: -1.397
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 57039 60.54% 45.25 43.99%
2 10205 60.69% 45.57 42.04%
3 3307 54.24% 47.44 47.44%
4 3190 35.59% 57.5 60.53%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1488
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5132
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4040
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 13955
Lose: Invader deck ran out 90
Lose: Adversary condition 18525
Win: Sacrifice victory 469
Lose: Scenario condition 3601
Win: Scenario condition 365
Lose: Blight pool ran out 17756
Lose: Spirit destroyed 886

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2024-11-22 01:58:16 (Pacific Time)