The Kingdom of England — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 10193 22.79% 23.63 1.231 76.23% 0.564 0.146
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 291 17.24% 23.36 2.645 65.64% 0.76 0.1042
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 39 28.95% 19.31 -5.181 56.41% -1.011 -1.169
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 267 18.73% 27.08 4.351 78.65% 1.205 0.3444
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5671 42.32% 21.52 -0.688 69.97% -0.233 -0.0957
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 540 32.59% 21.61 4.464 51.11% 0.239 -0.7902
Dances Up Earthquakes 298 23.83% 18.38 1.095 55.03% 0.188 0.152
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4359 25.94% 24.77 1.84 80.98% 0.694 0.3392
Downpour Drenches the World 1066 21.34% 18.58 -3.748 55.82% -0.74 -0.6159
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1162 19.02% 22.46 1.266 63.77% 0.454 -0.1164
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5877 15.47% 27.5 2.607 85.54% 0.706 0.0601
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4860 19.43% 26.78 -0.791 84.77% -0.024 -0.5179
Finder of Paths Unseen 465 29.53% 12.79 -8.815 35.27% -1.326 -0.7372
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1144 28.42% 22.21 -4.125 58.13% -0.986 -0.5393
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1446 33.54% 22.1 -0.219 64.04% -0.022 -0.2072
Heart of the Wildfire 5503 57.7% 19.58 -3.195 65.56% -0.621 -0.4779
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8465 26.03% 25.12 0.634 81.52% 0.284 -0.3904
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 355 17.46% 23.08 1.186 63.94% 0.261 -0.2671
Lightning's Swift Strike 9624 43.44% 21.12 -1.049 69.54% -0.083 -0.0508
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 438 32.33% 25.31 6.221 68.26% 0.771 0.1191
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 753 25.53% 27.01 0.001 79.81% -0.119 -0.6147
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 645 33.39% 24.39 1.525 71.32% 0.341 0.1019
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2860 29.24% 24.5 2.327 74.65% 0.786 0.3603
Many Minds Move as One 1893 22.22% 23.59 2.861 72.9% 0.721 0.2116
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9176 39.8% 22.11 -0.439 71.9% 0.144 -0.126
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 355 41.64% 17.52 1.172 54.65% 0.266 0.1518
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4037 29.23% 23.36 1.418 76.57% 0.627 0.3328
River Surges in Sunlight 10348 37.54% 23.13 -1.052 67.29% -0.427 -0.598
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 164 25.15% 18.86 -0.664 55.49% 0.185 0.0741
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1038 36.4% 21.1 -0.555 53.95% -0.158 -0.2236
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 446 31.9% 23.15 -1.368 57.17% -0.359 -0.4894
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4986 31.43% 23.03 1.543 75.37% 0.284 0.0195
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 99 28.28% 19.91 -2.757 58.59% -0.353 -0.7835
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 5651 53.56% 19.55 -1.982 62.1% -0.325 0.1038
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 169 29.03% 23.33 -4.122 68.05% -0.45 -0.4465
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 273 20.51% 27.68 3.272 78.39% 0.513 -0.24
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 145 31.03% 22.21 -4.148 62.07% -0.537 -0.8556
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 654 29.6% 24.1 0.254 77.22% 0.118 -0.0604
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 424 40.38% 22.67 1.846 69.58% 0.338 0.2948
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5562 25.19% 25.94 1.361 81.43% 0.156 -0.2102
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 71 22.54% 36.3 0.131 80.28% -0.075 -0.6156
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 395 22.77% 20.49 -1.103 58.23% -0.077 -0.3214
Shifting Memory of Ages 1226 36.47% 20.08 -2.493 59.87% -0.304 -0.0095
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 218 20.64% 19.92 -1.543 57.34% -0.034 -0.1977
Shroud of Silent Mist 1493 38.94% 20.02 0.619 64.84% 0.06 0.2417
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 45 37.78% 21.0 -0.609 71.11% 0.18 -0.2302
Starlight Seeks its Form 2050 26.3% 21.59 -1.2 59.22% -0.156 -0.3987
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2902 25.74% 22.61 -0.067 74.91% 0.131 -0.8208
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3088 29.39% 22.81 -2.34 71.7% -0.497 -0.4547
Thunderspeaker 9822 25.49% 25.12 0.579 77.18% 0.526 0.3312
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 318 24.92% 17.91 1.209 46.86% -0.035 -0.2033
Towering Roots of the Jungle 429 27.1% 17.75 -2.109 54.31% -0.371 -0.4817
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1842 53.16% 19.26 -4.83 64.77% -0.529 -0.6802
Vital Strength of the Earth 7790 28.6% 19.69 -2.014 63.86% -0.266 0.0929
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 397 29.08% 19.83 -1.827 54.41% -0.274 -0.0303
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 551 26.73% 17.77 -3.439 52.81% -0.458 0.2232
Volcano Looming High 1894 35.7% 21.02 -0.226 68.74% -0.018 -0.3418
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 531 16.98% 22.69 -2.329 64.97% -0.242 -0.7592

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 48 18.75% 22.67 0.0 66.67%
Blitz 0 1650 35.46% 17.71 -3.313 57.82% -0.682 -0.2505
Dahan Insurrection 4 1295 21.92% 41.58 6.702 71.43% 0.114 0.0884
Despicable Theft 2 325 28.0% 20.88 1.227 46.77% -0.23 0.4296
Elemental Invocation 1 355 36.9% 19.11 -8.038 50.42% -0.832 -0.384
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3133 10.72% 31.33 10.352 81.23% 1.066 0.4664
Powers Long Forgotten 1 674 40.5% 23.46 -4.812 59.35% -1.181 -0.5727
Rituals of Terror 3 821 42.45% 28.09 1.681 53.71% -0.123 0.0019
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 432 56.48% 25.75 -8.945 49.31% -0.701 0.037
Second Wave 0 1081 45.92% 24.98 3.006 60.31% -0.2 -0.0936
The Great River 3 271 34.69% 21.1 8.285 38.38% 0.413 1.5878
Varied Terrains 2 205 28.78% 15.49 -4.395 31.22% -0.823 -0.0859
Ward the Shores 2 809 37.5% 24.21 1.185 51.67% -0.075 0.6074

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 64945 36.45% 22.36 0.819 72.23% 0.652 0.8765
1 Thematic 5870 38.21% 27.51 -0.635 65.04% 0.028 0.5784
2 Archipelago 42 45.24% 31.67 0.0 78.57%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 14542 31.6% 21.83 -0.745 71.98% 0.329 0.4398
2 Coastline 1535 32.15% 22.24 -1.161 73.16% 0.364 0.2745
2 Fragment 403 35.26% 20.8 0.0 68.73%
2 Heart 202 36.04% 20.65 -1.86 69.31% -0.249 -0.5764
2 Opposite Shores 1986 29.53% 23.95 1.749 81.27% 0.751 0.7879
2 Thematic 1489 35.81% 27.17 0.265 61.25% -0.315 0.2134
2 Top to Top 351 29.86% 23.25 -5.325 77.49% -0.385 -0.592
3 Archipelago 26 42.31% 27.31 0.0 61.54%
3 Coastline 33 24.24% 24.39 6.624 69.7% 0.281 -0.2398
3 Other 170 30.12% 19.71 0.0 66.47%
3 Round (Default) 6006 22.08% 25.3 2.278 81.57% 0.477 0.3808
3 Sunrise 26 23.08% 22.77 0.0 73.08%
3 Thematic 334 32.73% 25.5 -5.501 55.99% -0.365 -0.1233
4 Archipelago 28 32.14% 26.71 0.0 67.86%
4 Coastline 25 21.74% 23.96 0.0 68.0%
4 Leaf 14 0.0% 23.64 0.0 78.57%
4 Other 82 29.27% 17.24 2.043 57.32% 0.307 -0.2407
4 Thematic 355 22.95% 29.15 0.035 68.45% -0.446 0.0276
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2847 25.01% 19.7 -3.455 60.27% -0.919 -1.1073
5 Archipelago 9 66.67% 28.67 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 87 27.59% 23.56 12.028 74.71% 0.55 0.223
5 Thematic 20 55.0% 23.0 0.0 35.0%
6 Archipelago 7 14.29% 20.29 0.0 42.86%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 20.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 24 30.0% 26.04 -8.363 62.5% -0.593 -0.3234
6 Star 22 22.73% 25.82 0.0 86.36%
6 Thematic 78 12.82% 27.51 12.158 55.13% 0.138 0.7185
6 Two Centers (Default) 178 15.17% 21.15 0.968 50.0% -0.625 -0.6478
7 Other 11 0.0% 15.27 0.0 27.27%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1940 19.57 -0.112 61.91% 0.331 0.6419
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1609 20.03 -3.753 61.47% -0.377 -0.3637
All Things Weaken 1015 19.56 2.378 56.85% 0.068 0.5419
Attenuated Essence 190 19.18 1.588 56.84% -0.683 -0.5362
Back Against the Wall 1613 19.37 3.083 57.47% 0.068 0.197
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 204 16.63 -1.847 43.63% -0.037 0.2828
Burn Brightest Before the End 161 19.89 0.712 47.2% 0.148 0.3246
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1918 15.83 2.478 52.92% 0.599 0.9793
Downward Spiral 7777 16.12 -1.355 56.1% -0.016 0.1777
Erosion of Will 1969 18.41 -3.591 56.78% -0.964 -0.6261
Intensifying Exploitation 214 17.15 -1.081 48.6% 0.015 0.3675
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 460 23.02 -7.218 77.83% -0.942 -1.3049
Memory Fades to Dust 7729 15.75 -1.881 51.51% -0.397 -0.0674
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1040 18.59 -0.899 57.5% 0.093 0.3593
Promising Farmlands 1919 17.6 0.292 58.36% -0.132 0.3155
Shattered Fragments of Power 178 18.96 -4.241 52.25% -0.966 -0.9669
Slow Dissolution of Will 215 16.62 -5.808 44.19% -0.751 -0.3394
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 353 24.1 4.619 85.27% 0.814 0.2552
The Border of Life and Death 78 20.09 0.0 61.54%
Thriving Communities 1019 17.35 -3.604 52.8% -0.831 -0.5537
Thriving Crops 97 17.61 -2.173 51.55% -0.43 -0.5253
Tipping Point 618 17.72 0.0 59.71%
Unnatural Proliferation 1031 18.78 1.786 50.82% -0.482 -0.2768
Untended Land Crumbles 1051 18.58 -3.174 57.85% -0.831 -0.5315

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 24184 33.87% 21.87 -1.31 71.1% -0.61 0.382
B 24555 32.55% 22.37 -0.594 73.04% -0.33 0.5352
C 24251 31.89% 22.34 -0.273 72.29% -0.2 0.552
D 23377 32.91% 22.16 -0.174 72.4% -0.354 0.5908
E 8667 28.0% 23.33 0.926 72.08% -0.157 0.598
F 11036 29.79% 22.87 -0.051 72.98% -0.403 0.4709
G 9950 31.06% 22.87 0.189 72.98% -0.191 0.6718
H 10143 29.95% 23.17 0.176 73.86% -0.216 0.5911
East 5085 35.5% 28.14 -2.509 63.85% -0.946 -0.2007
Northeast 2995 35.17% 28.26 2.332 63.84% 0.216 1.1096
Northwest 2212 32.62% 28.43 2.01 66.09% 0.13 0.8728
Southeast 793 28.19% 25.0 -5.793 58.76% -1.424 -0.4154
Southwest 760 30.79% 19.96 -0.989 50.13% -0.608 0.5483
West 4304 35.96% 26.8 1.608 62.17% -0.021 0.9618

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1541 0.0% 19.21 -1.22 59.44% -0.341 0.3792
Not Using Events or Tokens 26923 40.25% 20.16 -1.684 65.01% -0.358 0.1162
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1416 11.75% 31.89 2.663 83.69% 0.387 -0.4177
Start of Game Growth 2384 14.44% 30.03 -0.004 83.31% -0.174 -0.7406
Unlimited Undo 6256 25.83% 25.24 2.319 78.58% 0.628 0.6557
Using Tokens but Not Events 9246 23.23% 25.46 2.566 80.99% 0.847 0.8197

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 17782 12.25 15.71%
II 32314 29.91 71.49%
III 34195 34.94 87.42%
IV 17555 38.9 99.12%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.074 Win Model: 0.391
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 71538 36.48% 22.71 71.27%
2 20122 32.16% 22.74 73.24%
3 6448 22.59% 25.14 80.43%
4 3332 24.6% 20.72 61.31%
5 87 33.33% 22.84 70.11%
6 319 14.92% 23.13 53.92%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2788
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 29134
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 22048
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17221
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 11411
Lose: Invader deck ran out 910
Lose: Adversary condition 4983
Win: Sacrifice victory 367
Lose: Scenario condition 623
Win: Scenario condition 1630
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10055
Lose: Spirit destroyed 676

The Kingdom of England — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6663 22.65% 32.28 0.994 77.55% 0.297 -0.1208
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 185 23.24% 25.84 0.06 58.38% 0.256 -0.4
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 30 43.33% 20.0 -3.547 50.0% -0.36 -0.5178
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 312 15.71% 39.54 8.92 86.54% 2.136 1.2756
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3048 52.56% 28.61 -2.285 67.39% -0.218 -0.0803
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 147 34.69% 33.27 8.028 76.19% 1.295 0.2655
Dances Up Earthquakes 234 34.19% 24.21 2.353 56.41% 0.681 0.6447
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2597 33.36% 31.72 2.536 77.63% 0.828 0.4736
Downpour Drenches the World 683 24.52% 26.88 1.478 63.98% 0.386 0.5098
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 804 24.53% 29.55 -1.595 70.27% -0.221 -0.7913
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3512 21.8% 35.15 4.299 82.12% 0.904 0.2574
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3268 28.55% 34.5 2.812 82.19% 0.822 0.3284
Finder of Paths Unseen 327 38.7% 16.42 -4.666 35.47% -0.632 -0.0437
Fractured Days Split the Sky 740 36.13% 28.58 1.456 59.73% 0.07 0.5166
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1210 37.36% 33.98 -1.112 71.32% -0.068 -0.2529
Heart of the Wildfire 3670 64.04% 25.77 -5.197 61.2% -0.768 -0.6253
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5616 36.36% 31.93 -1.852 77.94% -0.351 -1.0256
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 259 35.29% 25.71 -3.956 57.53% -0.279 -0.807
Lightning's Swift Strike 5541 43.18% 29.41 1.141 69.41% 0.485 0.5174
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 318 41.46% 29.51 -1.164 70.44% -0.028 -0.6802
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 551 27.82% 35.61 2.047 82.58% 0.411 -0.0849
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 446 36.32% 28.82 0.314 65.25% -0.331 -0.5706
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1895 39.44% 30.89 4.864 72.98% 1.273 0.8471
Many Minds Move as One 1350 25.43% 30.51 3.096 72.3% 0.3 -0.2086
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5422 48.43% 28.49 0.784 67.28% 0.291 0.0217
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 276 59.55% 21.22 -3.359 54.35% -0.289 -0.4025
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2608 38.53% 28.99 1.079 69.56% 0.468 0.1739
River Surges in Sunlight 6233 43.17% 28.33 0.025 59.35% 0.156 -0.0145
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 112 41.96% 27.27 -2.187 58.93% -0.091 -0.2026
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 644 46.17% 26.77 -8.121 52.64% -1.574 -1.6395
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 321 43.73% 28.81 1.016 56.39% 0.504 0.3733
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3052 33.02% 31.11 3.867 76.25% 0.562 0.2981
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 74 39.19% 25.68 -0.303 55.41% -0.527 -0.9578
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2979 59.48% 25.38 -7.38 54.75% -1.043 -0.6147
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 118 45.3% 26.3 -12.422 51.69% -0.807 -0.8034
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 140 41.73% 26.54 -11.624 61.43% -1.034 -1.7867
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 79 41.56% 25.67 0.0 58.23%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 352 39.6% 29.2 -2.958 71.02% -0.166 -0.3447
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 235 61.11% 25.51 -6.922 55.32% -0.449 -0.4922
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3371 34.55% 32.05 1.731 75.29% 0.479 0.1133
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 23 40.91% 29.74 4.394 65.22% 0.262 -0.2786
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 324 22.67% 28.49 0.63 65.43% 0.25 0.0054
Shifting Memory of Ages 807 43.11% 25.19 -9.368 60.84% -1.561 -1.2662
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 146 32.88% 28.56 -0.048 70.55% -0.034 -0.1972
Shroud of Silent Mist 989 51.12% 24.92 -5.275 60.16% -1.066 -0.8841
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 33 36.36% 28.73 2.742 72.73% 0.586 0.1764
Starlight Seeks its Form 1181 28.75% 27.45 -3.48 64.61% -0.455 -0.6971
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2030 28.92% 30.34 2.462 75.62% 0.662 -0.2902
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1787 46.63% 25.33 -3.285 53.44% -0.474 -0.4312
Thunderspeaker 5678 31.37% 32.9 -1.769 75.18% -0.142 -0.3366
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 205 34.63% 22.17 -3.612 46.83% -0.64 -0.8084
Towering Roots of the Jungle 323 28.79% 21.36 -1.711 51.08% -0.082 -0.1932
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1243 64.46% 26.07 -1.361 65.57% -0.141 -0.292
Vital Strength of the Earth 4195 37.11% 26.46 -0.193 61.05% 0.267 0.6258
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 213 35.71% 23.24 -9.714 51.64% -1.418 -1.1743
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 334 35.14% 22.94 -2.331 52.1% -0.49 0.1911
Volcano Looming High 1395 44.03% 25.83 0.017 63.94% 0.278 -0.0458
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 383 23.76% 27.47 6.275 61.88% 1.122 0.6039

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 46 30.43% 18.43 0.0 39.13%
Blitz 0 1258 37.71% 24.35 -4.95 57.15% -0.672 -0.2407
Dahan Insurrection 4 1015 23.12% 50.81 13.151 71.43% 0.377 0.3512
Despicable Theft 2 215 39.07% 26.45 8.994 44.65% 0.873 1.533
Elemental Invocation 1 261 40.61% 23.7 0.247 52.49% 0.078 0.5253
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2196 11.09% 35.0 3.874 72.13% 0.313 -0.2866
Powers Long Forgotten 1 483 52.28% 28.68 -4.698 54.45% -1.324 -0.7153
Rituals of Terror 3 429 42.29% 30.59 -0.835 47.55% -0.506 -0.382
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 229 62.01% 35.19 7.325 56.77% 0.425 1.1629
Second Wave 0 3242 44.27% 31.69 2.173 66.75% 0.026 0.1323
The Great River 3 121 41.32% 23.21 -5.618 33.06% -0.913 0.2621
Varied Terrains 2 118 42.37% 19.92 8.583 33.9% 0.302 1.0382
Ward the Shores 2 561 48.84% 29.29 -0.678 46.17% -1.055 -0.3726

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 39998 39.44% 28.74 -0.385 68.64% 0.269 0.4939
1 Thematic 4302 44.25% 34.08 -0.066 63.48% 0.032 0.5825
2 Archipelago 24 41.67% 35.75 10.043 58.33% 0.474 0.1204
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8934 39.79% 28.55 0.771 69.39% 0.22 0.3307
2 Coastline 966 39.12% 28.37 -3.329 69.98% -0.409 -0.4981
2 Fragment 308 52.48% 27.7 -0.24 69.48% 0.185 -0.1532
2 Heart 159 37.18% 26.89 -11.255 64.78% -0.702 -1.0297
2 Opposite Shores 1657 36.39% 30.16 3.244 74.05% 0.345 0.3811
2 Thematic 1238 41.51% 33.72 1.591 62.44% 0.237 0.7654
2 Top to Top 287 44.41% 29.02 5.606 71.78% 0.567 0.3607
3 Archipelago 12 58.33% 36.0 0.0 58.33%
3 Coastline 19 31.58% 27.58 0.0 57.89%
3 Other 117 35.34% 29.71 -4.808 73.5% -0.522 -1.2637
3 Round (Default) 3566 33.39% 30.75 0.408 72.99% -0.147 -0.2433
3 Sunrise 16 26.67% 33.06 0.0 81.25%
3 Thematic 315 38.54% 32.97 -3.686 61.27% -0.395 -0.1534
4 Archipelago 16 25.0% 50.31 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 7 57.14% 30.0 0.0 57.14%
4 Leaf 14 14.29% 34.07 0.0 92.86%
4 Other 37 32.43% 33.03 0.0 81.08%
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 0.0 -8.723 0.0% -0.364 -0.1314
4 Thematic 266 37.36% 38.73 -14.906 69.92% -0.412 0.0619
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1176 32.61% 30.23 1.465 72.02% 0.068 -0.1211
5 Archipelago 5 40.0% 43.8 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 76 43.42% 25.93 4.584 61.84% 0.466 0.1392
5 Thematic 12 25.0% 33.33 -13.571 58.33% -0.492 -0.9831
6 Archipelago 3 33.33% 53.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 9 44.44% 18.56 0.0 33.33%
6 Star 8 12.5% 34.75 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 65 20.0% 38.11 20.482 61.54% 0.488 1.0683
6 Two Centers (Default) 85 22.35% 24.06 0.0 49.41%
7 Other 5 20.0% 25.0 0.0 40.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1617 24.76 -2.696 53.68% -0.629 -0.3188
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1342 27.02 4.013 58.94% 0.163 0.1761
All Things Weaken 855 24.63 -4.172 53.33% -0.847 -0.3733
Attenuated Essence 193 25.3 1.107 60.1% 0.437 0.5837
Back Against the Wall 1293 25.75 -0.791 55.61% -0.686 -0.5568
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 175 22.53 1.878 52.0% 0.578 0.8976
Burn Brightest Before the End 143 26.04 9.696 53.85% 0.353 0.5296
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1488 22.19 -1.274 50.81% -0.376 0.0047
Downward Spiral 4763 22.85 -4.724 54.73% -0.869 -0.6754
Erosion of Will 1526 24.43 -2.375 53.74% -0.833 -0.4947
Intensifying Exploitation 175 22.87 -0.877 54.29% 0.362 0.7149
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 342 30.89 4.722 81.58% 1.103 0.7399
Memory Fades to Dust 4782 22.25 -1.034 50.02% 0.042 0.3711
Power Corrodes the Spirit 887 24.84 0.318 57.5% 0.151 0.4178
Promising Farmlands 1545 22.87 -0.964 52.04% -0.135 0.3124
Shattered Fragments of Power 143 24.57 6.012 53.85% 0.628 0.6276
Slow Dissolution of Will 186 22.61 -3.127 45.7% -0.671 -0.2602
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 237 31.19 -3.626 84.39% -0.551 -1.1092
The Border of Life and Death 46 23.57 -10.082 60.87% -0.341 -0.586
Thriving Communities 764 23.26 -2.328 51.96% -0.357 -0.0792
Thriving Crops 81 23.58 6.894 60.49% 0.699 0.6038
Tipping Point 494 24.82 0.0 55.87%
Unnatural Proliferation 861 25.11 0.999 51.1% 0.018 0.2227
Untended Land Crumbles 814 24.06 -3.208 55.04% -0.482 -0.1832

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14295 39.45% 28.74 1.069 68.77% 0.242 1.2334
B 14594 37.69% 29.22 0.028 70.23% 0.071 0.9366
C 14949 37.34% 29.35 -0.028 70.19% -0.13 0.6219
D 13863 38.69% 29.02 -0.755 69.93% -0.152 0.7924
E 5393 37.05% 29.19 1.541 69.68% 0.455 1.2102
F 6618 37.78% 29.07 0.087 70.01% -0.011 0.8634
G 6104 39.77% 28.78 0.602 68.68% 0.205 1.0678
H 6352 37.14% 29.35 -0.263 70.01% -0.217 0.5904
East 3900 41.31% 35.25 0.435 64.67% -0.0 0.7454
Northeast 2148 41.2% 35.76 -0.34 65.88% -0.32 0.5728
Northwest 1773 39.07% 36.36 3.722 66.78% -0.075 0.6682
Southeast 671 36.96% 30.21 -2.33 56.18% -0.367 0.6421
Southwest 635 41.89% 25.52 -4.16 51.65% -0.695 0.4616
West 3451 43.57% 33.68 -0.329 62.1% -0.405 0.5775

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 797 0.0% 27.16 0.203 59.97% -0.167 0.5525
Not Using Events or Tokens 13951 40.79% 27.09 -3.01 63.51% -0.867 -0.3925
Skip Initial Invader Actions 918 12.4% 40.8 3.562 84.31% 0.741 -0.0639
Start of Game Growth 1384 15.19% 38.8 -0.682 82.44% -0.149 -0.7153
Unlimited Undo 4383 32.17% 30.28 -1.941 72.8% -0.379 -0.3513
Using Tokens but Not Events 5822 28.8% 32.33 -0.26 75.66% -0.285 -0.3123

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10623 12.25 13.37%
II 22593 29.91 65.01%
III 19188 34.94 85.55%
IV 11353 38.9 99.28%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.613 Win Model: 0.292
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 44662 39.91% 29.18 67.89%
2 13401 40.04% 29.4 69.85%
3 3950 33.12% 31.16 73.16%
4 1494 33.06% 31.78 72.29%
5 79 40.51% 26.22 59.49%
6 171 21.05% 30.1 54.97%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1415
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 15996
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 13803
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 11146
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7026
Lose: Invader deck ran out 490
Lose: Adversary condition 3735
Win: Sacrifice victory 260
Lose: Scenario condition 532
Win: Scenario condition 1174
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7770
Lose: Spirit destroyed 410

The Kingdom of England — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8067 28.08% 33.15 4.506 71.17% 1.125 0.7075
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 292 31.85% 30.66 1.376 65.75% 0.072 -0.5846
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 35 28.57% 28.89 4.751 65.71% 0.438 0.2799
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 294 34.35% 27.98 0.399 58.84% -0.156 -1.0167
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4332 64.41% 27.53 -5.102 54.5% -1.045 -0.9074
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 308 35.06% 33.54 8.44 65.58% 1.591 0.5616
Dances Up Earthquakes 315 36.42% 28.54 0.655 64.76% -0.003 -0.0391
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3673 42.2% 31.69 -0.94 69.1% -0.455 -0.8097
Downpour Drenches the World 952 29.82% 27.52 -1.678 56.83% -0.301 -0.1774
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1367 35.82% 30.89 6.063 67.37% 1.514 0.9431
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4581 32.8% 34.55 3.823 73.11% 1.036 0.3903
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4435 39.58% 34.37 2.332 73.44% 0.684 0.1904
Finder of Paths Unseen 384 49.22% 18.67 -2.402 33.07% -0.569 0.0194
Fractured Days Split the Sky 943 42.3% 29.21 -5.729 53.98% -1.047 -0.6005
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1261 52.07% 28.97 6.464 61.14% 1.39 1.2051
Heart of the Wildfire 4988 78.94% 20.78 -4.11 39.43% -1.185 -1.0419
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 12972 35.64% 33.3 3.292 73.39% 0.825 0.1509
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 386 39.01% 26.98 0.922 54.15% 0.21 -0.3177
Lightning's Swift Strike 6835 58.35% 27.39 -2.249 54.47% -0.611 -0.5781
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 500 49.3% 30.38 6.17 66.0% 0.531 -0.1213
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 779 48.2% 34.17 1.029 70.6% 0.177 -0.3187
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 621 50.16% 31.06 6.164 59.9% 0.403 0.1636
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2980 54.69% 29.08 2.444 61.61% 0.576 0.15
Many Minds Move as One 1783 33.33% 32.6 -0.963 69.6% -0.153 -0.6619
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8964 60.43% 28.08 1.418 57.45% 0.349 0.0797
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 530 57.64% 24.98 -1.253 53.21% -0.053 -0.1666
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3355 47.71% 29.66 2.376 61.76% 0.515 0.2208
River Surges in Sunlight 7254 55.01% 28.62 -0.203 50.28% -0.287 -0.4578
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 148 45.95% 26.52 -5.302 54.05% -1.021 -1.1317
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 815 54.67% 28.39 4.705 50.55% 0.485 0.4192
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 550 48.75% 28.56 2.114 49.27% 0.077 -0.053
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4755 42.79% 31.81 -1.57 67.19% -0.278 -0.5421
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 126 35.71% 28.84 4.778 60.32% 0.799 0.3689
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2937 71.63% 21.37 -5.997 34.63% -1.544 -1.1152
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 101 52.04% 21.65 -2.432 37.62% -0.227 -0.2228
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 242 58.58% 27.03 3.192 55.37% 0.541 -0.2121
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 116 56.9% 24.41 6.746 42.24% 0.339 0.0198
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 348 60.81% 27.62 -3.736 57.18% -0.324 -0.5032
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 270 71.48% 23.1 -6.673 40.37% -0.317 -0.3602
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3934 44.29% 32.01 -1.008 67.13% -0.074 -0.44
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 39 56.41% 29.38 0.349 66.67% 0.266 -0.2752
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 344 32.75% 26.03 8.232 52.33% 1.052 0.8072
Shifting Memory of Ages 1204 54.73% 28.63 -4.076 61.71% -0.854 -0.5595
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 209 39.71% 28.91 -2.001 61.72% -0.117 -0.2805
Shroud of Silent Mist 1334 65.54% 24.6 -4.309 52.02% -0.947 -0.7649
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 63 44.44% 29.13 2.434 65.08% 0.651 0.241
Starlight Seeks its Form 1581 42.56% 28.29 0.153 58.63% 0.119 -0.123
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3147 37.3% 31.23 0.498 72.55% 0.441 -0.5109
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2131 60.48% 24.08 -2.384 43.27% -1.149 -1.1068
Thunderspeaker 6524 46.79% 30.4 0.364 60.65% 0.044 -0.1509
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 237 42.37% 22.3 -1.259 45.15% -0.167 -0.3354
Towering Roots of the Jungle 487 41.07% 21.95 -1.103 48.05% -0.23 -0.3407
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2020 75.15% 27.1 -1.647 60.64% 0.133 -0.0178
Vital Strength of the Earth 5612 40.03% 27.6 -3.23 55.33% -0.822 -0.4632
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 349 45.77% 22.15 0.897 41.83% 0.197 0.4407
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 446 45.07% 23.73 -7.422 43.05% -1.386 -0.7051
Volcano Looming High 2397 60.85% 26.6 1.242 58.36% 0.244 -0.0802
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 578 40.97% 27.33 -6.793 56.75% -1.172 -1.6892

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 44 20.45% 23.0 0.0 47.73%
Blitz 0 1209 46.76% 25.77 -6.146 50.7% -0.963 -0.531
Dahan Insurrection 4 842 38.69% 42.18 -3.453 49.64% -0.777 -0.8033
Despicable Theft 2 109 43.12% 21.09 -10.628 32.11% -0.343 0.3162
Elemental Invocation 1 298 49.66% 22.58 -3.864 38.93% -0.617 -0.1694
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3021 14.91% 37.47 5.789 70.34% 0.935 0.3358
Powers Long Forgotten 1 448 60.18% 24.15 -2.32 39.51% -0.012 0.5963
Rituals of Terror 3 345 54.94% 30.04 0.998 36.81% -0.097 0.0272
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 226 63.27% 27.67 3.296 34.96% -0.044 0.6942
Second Wave 0 2151 56.36% 30.11 1.93 52.67% 0.109 0.2153
The Great River 3 130 43.85% 26.48 -2.336 33.85% -0.431 0.7436
Varied Terrains 2 96 53.68% 14.82 -10.451 12.5% -1.314 -0.5771
Ward the Shores 2 457 50.98% 29.98 0.084 41.14% -0.261 0.4214

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 59004 48.35% 29.02 0.653 61.88% 0.397 0.6214
1 Thematic 3686 54.63% 31.01 -1.49 49.0% -0.49 0.06
2 Archipelago 55 54.55% 29.62 0.0 30.91%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12247 52.2% 27.99 -2.078 59.06% -0.314 -0.2026
2 Coastline 1306 43.66% 30.65 -0.725 66.77% -0.131 -0.2203
2 Fragment 308 54.07% 28.22 -3.267 59.09% -0.239 -0.5778
2 Heart 185 52.43% 27.19 0.0 58.38%
2 Opposite Shores 2432 46.63% 30.29 0.073 63.45% -0.183 -0.1469
2 Thematic 1493 48.76% 31.36 -0.066 49.83% -0.416 0.1127
2 Top to Top 398 55.92% 29.11 2.767 61.81% 0.536 0.3291
3 Archipelago 17 52.94% 42.88 0.0 58.82%
3 Coastline 17 11.76% 19.94 0.0 35.29%
3 Other 149 51.01% 31.79 0.587 68.46% 0.096 -0.646
3 Round (Default) 4447 45.6% 30.45 2.287 62.72% 0.454 0.358
3 Sunrise 27 59.26% 29.67 0.0 59.26%
3 Thematic 286 56.99% 33.89 14.177 50.35% 0.918 1.1596
4 Archipelago 10 30.0% 44.5 0.0 70.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 42.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 15 60.0% 24.53 5.206 46.67% 0.74 0.1861
4 Other 86 58.82% 31.7 -1.078 68.6% -0.259 -0.8061
4 Thematic 468 46.67% 34.54 1.12 52.99% 0.383 0.8565
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1888 41.08% 31.3 -0.621 64.46% -0.34 -0.5293
5 Coastline 3 0.0% 20.0 0.0 33.33%
5 Other 111 39.64% 30.56 7.456 64.86% 0.547 0.2205
5 Thematic 7 14.29% 48.71 -1.052 57.14% -0.444 -0.9351
6 Archipelago 4 25.0% 35.0 0.0 75.0%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 25.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 23 39.13% 25.57 -9.096 47.83% -0.297 -0.0279
6 Star 30 33.33% 19.47 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 109 20.37% 34.15 -2.156 52.29% -0.359 0.2213
6 Two Centers (Default) 124 31.45% 26.52 -5.844 53.23% -0.776 -0.7995
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 4 50.0% 27.0 0.0 25.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2878 26.36 -0.363 52.08% -0.256 0.0548
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2304 28.92 -2.14 57.03% -1.007 -0.9939
All Things Weaken 1573 25.55 -2.098 50.29% -0.554 -0.0803
Attenuated Essence 379 24.46 -3.006 48.55% -0.941 -0.7939
Back Against the Wall 2233 27.27 -1.246 51.63% -0.397 -0.2681
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 402 21.7 -3.249 42.29% -1.258 -0.9379
Burn Brightest Before the End 296 27.49 -1.385 51.01% -0.608 -0.4315
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2765 23.81 -0.832 48.97% -0.155 0.2256
Downward Spiral 7430 23.67 -2.596 46.93% -0.467 -0.2737
Erosion of Will 2731 25.68 0.401 49.03% -0.11 0.2281
Intensifying Exploitation 418 19.62 -1.472 38.76% -0.039 0.3133
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 654 32.08 -0.862 73.39% -0.477 -0.8404
Memory Fades to Dust 7608 23.45 -1.643 44.93% -0.402 -0.0732
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1570 25.31 0.425 51.59% -0.059 0.2075
Promising Farmlands 2703 25.0 -0.528 50.76% -0.08 0.3679
Shattered Fragments of Power 308 28.04 -2.437 53.9% -0.667 -0.6672
Slow Dissolution of Will 384 20.49 0.55 39.32% -0.272 0.1387
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 421 33.92 2.944 77.91% 0.732 0.1737
The Border of Life and Death 125 24.35 -0.559 51.2% -0.049 -0.2943
Thriving Communities 1561 23.1 -4.033 44.14% -0.833 -0.5556
Thriving Crops 188 25.11 5.604 54.79% 0.678 0.5827
Tipping Point 850 24.86 0.0 47.76%
Unnatural Proliferation 1709 26.18 -0.733 49.03% -0.463 -0.2583
Untended Land Crumbles 1556 24.61 -0.092 50.77% 0.264 0.5636

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 19257 49.95% 28.45 0.011 59.37% -0.106 0.8855
B 20046 48.39% 28.89 -0.53 60.52% -0.309 0.5566
C 21405 46.85% 29.84 0.214 62.96% -0.07 0.6822
D 18595 49.07% 28.66 1.289 60.43% 0.119 1.0638
E 8353 45.54% 30.24 0.432 64.54% -0.083 0.6721
F 10385 48.27% 29.11 -0.247 62.15% -0.304 0.5701
G 9070 49.5% 29.24 -0.349 62.08% -0.297 0.5657
H 9691 46.08% 30.0 -1.312 63.57% -0.535 0.2727
East 4022 50.26% 32.9 1.868 51.12% -0.369 0.3767
Northeast 2442 47.63% 32.94 -0.403 49.88% -0.586 0.3077
Northwest 1889 50.24% 32.57 -1.008 50.93% 0.03 0.7734
Southeast 699 43.69% 31.01 -0.395 51.93% -0.399 0.6099
Southwest 672 42.88% 25.71 -0.253 43.15% -0.01 1.1469
West 3482 52.14% 30.79 -0.211 47.62% -0.082 0.9005

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 753 0.0% 27.75 7.375 51.53% 0.496 1.2158
Not Using Events or Tokens 15968 50.43% 25.58 -1.474 50.26% -0.194 0.2801
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1046 18.74% 41.2 2.71 75.53% 0.681 -0.1236
Start of Game Growth 1661 19.92% 39.14 -1.517 75.26% -0.318 -0.8848
Unlimited Undo 6530 44.83% 30.19 -4.068 63.66% -1.064 -1.0369
Using Tokens but Not Events 8167 40.17% 31.22 0.61 67.75% 0.331 0.3034

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 18882 12.25 4.04%
II 26526 29.91 51.93%
III 26333 34.94 85.15%
IV 17306 38.9 99.44%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.105 Win Model: 0.331
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 63106 48.67% 29.11 61.04%
2 18218 50.92% 28.93 59.73%
3 4887 46.4% 30.64 62.02%
4 2448 42.46% 32.07 62.83%
5 93 33.33% 26.17 52.69%
6 295 28.23% 28.83 50.51%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 759
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 21996
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 13325
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17041
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 10244
Lose: Invader deck ran out 609
Lose: Adversary condition 8998
Win: Sacrifice victory 308
Lose: Scenario condition 876
Win: Scenario condition 739
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13434
Lose: Spirit destroyed 718

The Kingdom of England — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7574 41.47% 34.25 1.367 53.96% 0.501 0.0835
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 500 33.53% 37.67 1.999 51.6% 0.173 -0.4828
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 52 36.54% 30.6 2.427 48.08% 0.003 -0.1542
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 364 45.6% 29.19 2.918 48.63% 0.699 -0.1608
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3957 69.96% 29.49 4.65 42.03% 0.668 0.8059
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 415 46.99% 34.73 8.583 56.87% 1.378 0.3482
Dances Up Earthquakes 470 47.66% 28.91 0.424 48.94% 0.205 0.1693
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3401 57.39% 33.0 0.617 53.43% 0.076 -0.2787
Downpour Drenches the World 1200 41.99% 26.51 -5.007 39.67% -0.863 -0.7389
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1827 47.92% 32.18 0.606 54.13% 0.044 -0.5263
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4504 42.04% 36.45 3.833 59.33% 0.763 0.1168
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5095 48.85% 37.57 3.507 63.04% 0.791 0.2975
Finder of Paths Unseen 468 46.79% 17.86 -5.846 20.09% -1.052 -0.4637
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1245 45.92% 31.68 -2.495 42.17% 0.129 0.576
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1366 61.79% 30.7 0.368 46.63% 0.398 0.213
Heart of the Wildfire 4701 80.1% 21.2 -1.897 23.95% -0.521 -0.3785
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9926 51.67% 35.82 1.353 58.06% 0.122 -0.5522
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 493 46.65% 28.79 -4.675 46.25% -0.905 -1.4326
Lightning's Swift Strike 7205 64.14% 28.91 -1.387 41.04% 0.12 0.153
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 901 59.75% 34.62 1.743 57.05% 0.436 -0.2167
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 663 54.98% 35.5 6.316 57.16% 0.272 -0.2233
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 905 51.22% 32.01 2.596 47.62% 0.627 0.3875
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3790 66.45% 29.54 -1.447 45.46% 0.103 -0.323
Many Minds Move as One 1600 41.6% 34.92 -2.414 57.88% -0.208 -0.7172
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9094 62.2% 31.97 -1.774 51.02% -0.056 -0.3258
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 738 66.62% 26.7 -0.564 45.26% 0.199 0.0846
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3427 55.33% 30.28 -1.641 45.08% -0.429 -0.7225
River Surges in Sunlight 6979 60.16% 31.04 0.518 40.77% 0.155 -0.0154
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 186 54.84% 23.51 -7.566 31.72% -0.84 -0.9509
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 791 61.06% 29.05 -2.939 41.34% 0.018 -0.0473
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 725 56.07% 25.53 -7.495 32.69% -1.469 -1.5993
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6078 48.15% 35.48 0.737 56.05% -0.03 -0.2947
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 154 39.61% 33.28 6.774 55.84% 0.897 0.467
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2029 74.52% 21.63 -7.07 20.55% -1.652 -1.2236
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 96 58.33% 21.63 -10.152 27.08% -0.806 -0.8016
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 237 65.53% 26.49 -3.034 42.62% -0.134 -0.8868
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 100 62.0% 25.26 13.859 32.0% 0.855 0.5363
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 326 69.33% 28.62 -14.853 40.18% -0.751 -0.93
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 202 73.5% 24.0 -11.815 26.24% -0.33 -0.3729
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3796 54.56% 32.31 -0.581 48.87% 0.03 -0.3363
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 46 63.04% 20.09 -7.796 32.61% -0.785 -1.3254
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 408 43.87% 31.23 0.733 48.53% -0.159 -0.4038
Shifting Memory of Ages 1452 59.32% 30.23 -0.182 48.35% -0.174 0.12
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 341 50.44% 33.45 1.874 58.06% 0.297 0.1339
Shroud of Silent Mist 1391 68.28% 27.14 1.374 41.41% 0.069 0.2513
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 58 51.72% 26.67 4.534 43.1% 0.133 -0.2765
Starlight Seeks its Form 2291 45.96% 30.78 2.235 48.45% 0.609 0.3663
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4663 44.76% 36.16 5.471 61.93% 1.428 0.4754
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1657 61.25% 28.36 -9.982 35.55% -1.23 -1.1878
Thunderspeaker 7046 57.65% 31.86 0.572 48.07% 0.106 -0.0892
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 225 55.11% 27.57 2.935 40.89% 0.38 0.2116
Towering Roots of the Jungle 607 47.78% 23.8 1.195 39.7% 0.173 0.0618
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2324 82.09% 31.01 -1.881 52.37% 0.017 -0.1339
Vital Strength of the Earth 4348 52.35% 27.51 -6.474 36.61% -1.306 -0.9472
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 568 49.46% 25.08 -1.114 31.34% -0.735 -0.4913
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 439 58.31% 27.66 3.241 40.09% 0.706 1.3869
Volcano Looming High 2958 67.61% 28.1 0.865 45.44% 0.567 0.2433
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 735 49.8% 27.87 1.557 42.18% 0.332 -0.186

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 21 42.86% 24.62 0.0 33.33%
Blitz 0 776 44.75% 31.4 1.398 46.13% 0.035 0.4665
Dahan Insurrection 4 779 41.5% 42.11 0.723 38.77% -0.37 -0.3958
Despicable Theft 2 70 47.14% 23.4 1.762 22.86% -0.043 0.6163
Elemental Invocation 1 216 57.41% 25.47 3.147 30.56% 0.454 0.9017
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3053 19.15% 40.26 10.331 57.16% 1.5 0.9001
Powers Long Forgotten 1 295 59.66% 25.24 5.154 27.12% 0.165 0.7728
Rituals of Terror 3 235 63.36% 31.48 0.821 27.66% -0.457 -0.3324
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 91 70.33% 30.66 -2.559 29.67% -0.465 0.2735
Second Wave 0 1124 55.2% 34.06 4.883 45.82% 0.24 0.3465
The Great River 3 86 41.86% 26.83 0.0 24.42%
Varied Terrains 2 56 57.14% 17.41 0.0 12.5%
Ward the Shores 2 250 60.8% 29.73 5.704 29.6% 0.705 1.3875

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 57619 59.83% 30.64 0.044 48.46% 0.219 0.4439
1 Thematic 2621 56.64% 34.7 -4.262 41.89% -0.837 -0.2869
2 Archipelago 25 44.0% 39.36 0.0 52.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12246 58.08% 31.05 0.175 48.27% -0.051 0.0602
2 Coastline 1626 55.02% 32.17 1.077 51.97% 0.395 0.3062
2 Fragment 286 63.29% 30.9 12.176 46.5% 1.153 0.8142
2 Heart 186 70.81% 33.35 -5.539 54.3% -0.308 -0.6356
2 Opposite Shores 2623 56.87% 30.71 -0.938 46.59% 0.178 0.2145
2 Thematic 928 59.65% 33.06 -5.557 36.42% -0.513 0.0159
2 Top to Top 527 57.82% 32.71 3.9 52.37% 0.353 0.1467
3 Archipelago 9 66.67% 35.0 0.0 33.33%
3 Coastline 17 41.18% 34.88 0.0 52.94%
3 Other 188 40.11% 31.54 7.11 51.06% 0.499 -0.2428
3 Round (Default) 5242 51.74% 31.73 -1.046 48.59% -0.788 -0.8836
3 Sunrise 34 58.82% 36.09 0.0 52.94%
3 Thematic 248 62.1% 32.07 21.034 31.05% 0.633 0.8746
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 39.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Coastline 5 0.0% 12.2 0.0 20.0%
4 Leaf 13 61.54% 26.38 0.0 30.77%
4 Other 111 50.91% 33.16 -0.842 54.95% 0.11 -0.4369
4 Snake 4 75.0% 32.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 414 46.38% 34.16 0.328 36.71% -0.556 -0.083
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2505 46.66% 33.88 3.439 51.62% -0.168 -0.3571
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 117 40.87% 33.71 -3.823 52.14% -0.391 -0.7174
5 Thematic 28 14.29% 49.21 0.0 42.86%
6 Archipelago 10 20.0% 29.8 0.0 40.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 36 33.33% 33.28 -1.242 38.89% 0.088 0.3571
6 Star 31 45.16% 33.97 0.0 41.94%
6 Thematic 160 16.88% 45.08 -1.084 35.63% 0.108 0.6882
6 Two Centers (Default) 149 41.61% 29.86 -4.806 45.64% -0.151 -0.1747
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 3 33.33% 7.67 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3412 29.41 -1.16 41.35% -0.288 0.0226
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2732 32.51 4.385 47.25% 0.721 0.7343
All Things Weaken 1991 30.26 -2.143 44.65% -0.243 0.231
Attenuated Essence 534 28.72 -0.225 45.88% -0.023 0.1239
Back Against the Wall 2791 31.3 5.217 44.14% 0.543 0.6727
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 524 28.34 3.855 44.85% 0.697 1.0165
Burn Brightest Before the End 386 31.21 3.029 46.89% 0.212 0.3894
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3332 27.16 -0.703 40.43% 0.067 0.4478
Downward Spiral 8016 27.89 0.431 41.87% 0.236 0.4298
Erosion of Will 3333 29.16 2.394 40.5% 0.424 0.762
Intensifying Exploitation 479 24.53 1.969 37.79% 0.2 0.5525
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 705 35.79 1.751 61.84% 0.02 -0.3429
Memory Fades to Dust 8048 27.67 0.03 39.54% 0.1 0.4297
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2066 29.11 -1.736 44.14% -0.433 -0.1667
Promising Farmlands 3443 28.85 2.517 43.04% 0.561 1.0082
Shattered Fragments of Power 378 30.74 1.722 45.24% -0.064 -0.064
Slow Dissolution of Will 518 25.7 1.713 36.29% 0.002 0.4133
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 455 36.6 3.72 66.59% 0.611 0.0525
The Border of Life and Death 112 31.99 9.417 56.25% 1.142 0.8969
Thriving Communities 2069 28.88 -2.742 44.22% -0.815 -0.5379
Thriving Crops 227 28.28 4.86 44.93% 0.598 0.5023
Tipping Point 1031 28.72 0.0 41.22%
Unnatural Proliferation 2217 31.7 2.549 47.32% 0.137 0.3416
Untended Land Crumbles 2064 28.71 1.651 43.12% 0.354 0.6535

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 19814 57.35% 30.63 -0.818 46.94% -0.098 0.8932
B 20802 56.94% 30.81 1.694 47.29% 0.271 1.1358
C 22004 56.59% 31.38 -0.922 49.06% -0.045 0.7068
D 19185 57.79% 30.65 -0.828 47.96% -0.056 0.889
E 9409 53.42% 32.36 1.184 51.97% 0.119 0.8737
F 10986 57.33% 31.46 -0.761 49.96% -0.166 0.7083
G 9464 57.54% 31.64 0.056 49.23% -0.087 0.7757
H 10197 54.85% 32.39 1.996 51.29% 0.288 1.0952
East 2897 52.55% 36.01 -1.082 39.8% -0.382 0.3637
Northeast 1817 48.78% 37.25 -0.085 39.35% -0.284 0.6089
Northwest 1520 49.0% 35.3 -1.554 38.03% -0.657 0.0866
Southeast 648 44.79% 35.81 0.542 37.5% 0.158 1.1669
Southwest 572 45.57% 31.61 -2.963 34.44% 0.038 1.1942
West 2677 53.89% 33.16 -1.403 36.09% -0.417 0.5653

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 698 0.0% 34.15 5.122 48.28% 0.474 1.1935
Not Using Events or Tokens 12526 58.85% 26.7 -0.976 38.32% -0.038 0.4362
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1380 15.86% 49.68 6.046 74.28% 0.939 0.1337
Start of Game Growth 2128 21.76% 46.16 2.04 71.1% 0.457 -0.1102
Unlimited Undo 7685 51.07% 33.91 -1.851 54.95% -0.412 -0.3848
Using Tokens but Not Events 7670 49.6% 32.26 0.163 52.11% 0.324 0.2968

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 21243 12.25 1.77%
II 24730 29.91 21.19%
III 23696 34.94 77.91%
IV 18434 38.9 99.49%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.161 Win Model: 0.046
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 60592 59.65% 30.84 48.23%
2 18328 58.06% 31.3 47.8%
3 5642 51.76% 31.71 48.28%
4 3054 46.02% 34.1 49.71%
5 175 23.56% 42.1 45.14%
6 312 37.5% 30.07 37.18%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 376
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 18083
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5019
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 18145
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 11128
Lose: Invader deck ran out 563
Lose: Adversary condition 15080
Win: Sacrifice victory 353
Lose: Scenario condition 1130
Win: Scenario condition 443
Lose: Unique spirit condition 1
Lose: Blight pool ran out 16917
Lose: Spirit destroyed 865

The Kingdom of England — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7016 37.36% 39.93 2.918 58.71% 0.209 -0.2083
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 426 34.62% 35.71 -4.428 55.4% -0.559 -1.2155
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 52 40.38% 30.81 0.37 40.38% 0.02 -0.1377
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 358 51.12% 32.27 0.742 47.49% 0.147 -0.7137
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3622 66.66% 34.92 -4.541 47.49% -0.807 -0.6697
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 585 39.32% 35.89 3.757 51.97% 0.218 -0.8117
Dances Up Earthquakes 713 39.69% 29.29 -1.39 43.62% -0.315 -0.3511
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3000 59.82% 36.18 1.161 51.23% 0.327 -0.0278
Downpour Drenches the World 1330 34.39% 28.65 0.631 39.47% -0.042 0.0814
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1991 45.35% 36.34 3.657 57.46% 0.689 0.1188
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5801 30.99% 40.8 -0.364 62.33% 0.063 -0.5827
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 8123 31.26% 48.53 2.947 77.93% 0.621 0.1274
Finder of Paths Unseen 400 44.61% 29.26 -6.534 38.25% -0.872 -0.2837
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1247 40.32% 39.29 -4.388 53.17% -0.373 0.0738
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1624 46.27% 38.85 -1.19 55.73% -0.306 -0.4912
Heart of the Wildfire 3955 72.95% 28.6 -5.107 33.12% -0.781 -0.6382
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 23329 27.4% 44.61 3.827 70.8% 0.702 0.0277
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 1006 23.06% 46.77 1.522 69.88% 0.122 -0.4052
Lightning's Swift Strike 5939 59.08% 34.45 -2.831 44.7% -0.426 -0.3933
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1287 54.36% 39.24 5.196 58.51% 0.686 0.0342
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 782 47.88% 41.06 3.352 63.55% 0.247 -0.2481
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 791 48.09% 38.08 -5.934 51.2% -0.282 -0.5219
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3686 57.45% 34.86 -3.057 49.81% -0.651 -1.077
Many Minds Move as One 1708 35.91% 40.47 5.802 62.7% 0.974 0.4655
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7353 57.84% 38.42 0.359 56.39% 0.076 -0.1936
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 926 66.31% 28.47 -3.107 41.9% -0.382 -0.4961
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4000 48.4% 33.95 -2.07 47.88% 0.062 -0.2319
River Surges in Sunlight 5803 52.52% 37.09 0.966 46.99% 0.255 0.0844
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 163 53.99% 29.67 8.665 34.36% 0.29 0.1793
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 665 58.61% 34.18 -2.896 39.4% -0.551 -0.6165
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 802 41.85% 40.17 4.04 52.24% 0.176 0.0453
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7742 38.01% 43.36 2.93 66.62% 0.915 0.6506
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 222 37.39% 35.68 3.794 53.15% 0.506 0.0751
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1454 63.73% 27.3 -0.312 29.23% 0.179 0.6076
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 88 60.23% 29.35 -3.39 36.36% -0.126 -0.1222
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 300 65.99% 29.9 -1.89 39.0% -0.329 -1.0816
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 100 49.0% 29.64 3.003 36.0% 0.459 0.1398
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 287 74.91% 29.13 11.372 29.62% 0.451 0.2723
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 150 59.33% 37.59 -6.706 50.67% -0.666 -0.709
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6825 29.94% 47.53 -0.289 71.79% 0.061 -0.3048
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 45 66.67% 25.96 -0.648 33.33% -0.209 -0.75
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 669 27.06% 27.97 -2.539 42.3% 0.174 -0.07
Shifting Memory of Ages 1408 58.85% 37.1 1.715 52.2% -0.113 0.1812
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 418 41.39% 37.61 -1.506 58.37% -0.063 -0.2262
Shroud of Silent Mist 1294 64.86% 32.98 3.321 46.52% 0.63 0.812
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 74 58.11% 37.68 6.677 62.16% 0.701 0.2912
Starlight Seeks its Form 2844 44.07% 34.78 1.486 50.95% 0.223 -0.0189
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4754 39.23% 38.48 1.203 65.42% 0.579 -0.3728
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1302 59.72% 32.62 -0.551 40.09% -0.465 -0.4225
Thunderspeaker 8395 39.78% 41.75 -3.922 60.13% -0.669 -0.8642
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 229 52.84% 19.88 2.057 21.4% -0.117 -0.2855
Towering Roots of the Jungle 727 51.44% 28.42 -1.119 40.17% -0.11 -0.2213
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3142 78.85% 38.83 -2.481 61.65% -0.322 -0.473
Vital Strength of the Earth 3020 50.03% 31.77 -3.969 38.61% -0.619 -0.2603
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 628 43.56% 30.96 -4.311 39.17% -0.635 -0.3921
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 442 54.07% 35.14 -0.279 49.55% 0.141 0.8226
Volcano Looming High 3306 67.15% 33.34 -1.441 48.43% 0.012 -0.3121
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 711 47.12% 32.64 -3.072 44.44% -0.205 -0.7227

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 35 31.43% 49.37 8.297 65.71% 0.506 0.8759
Blitz 0 758 41.49% 35.58 -1.793 44.72% -0.676 -0.2448
Dahan Insurrection 4 535 42.03% 51.39 12.625 44.67% 0.849 0.8228
Despicable Theft 2 50 44.0% 24.48 0.0 28.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 169 61.54% 29.54 0.577 35.5% -0.112 0.3354
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 9133 8.18% 51.08 5.471 76.69% 0.585 -0.0149
Powers Long Forgotten 1 183 65.57% 27.23 -4.048 24.59% -0.33 0.2781
Rituals of Terror 3 191 56.54% 33.32 -1.196 25.65% -0.49 -0.3656
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 125 81.6% 29.42 -17.478 18.4% -0.389 0.3497
Second Wave 0 614 52.97% 37.02 1.36 45.28% -0.159 -0.0523
The Great River 3 99 42.42% 19.47 -10.463 10.1% -0.773 0.4012
Varied Terrains 2 70 35.71% 22.14 -12.569 18.57% -1.153 -0.4159
Ward the Shores 2 187 65.59% 37.25 12.94 36.9% 0.284 0.9664

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 67679 47.57% 37.02 -1.101 56.2% -0.036 0.189
1 Thematic 1904 57.81% 34.44 -0.012 34.35% 0.141 0.6913
2 Archipelago 30 40.0% 40.8 0.0 43.33%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12535 51.62% 38.37 1.168 55.93% 0.139 0.2505
2 Coastline 1741 50.12% 40.01 -1.471 60.2% 0.029 -0.0598
2 Fragment 250 62.1% 33.22 -4.817 44.0% -0.564 -0.903
2 Heart 245 59.59% 38.2 6.982 53.06% 0.384 0.0571
2 Opposite Shores 2490 53.14% 37.32 4.033 51.08% 0.489 0.525
2 Thematic 588 59.18% 35.64 -9.917 36.56% -1.013 -0.4841
2 Top to Top 470 57.94% 37.09 4.868 54.89% 0.53 0.323
3 Archipelago 16 43.75% 36.63 0.0 37.5%
3 Coastline 28 55.56% 31.14 0.0 32.14%
3 Other 175 56.9% 39.69 2.919 60.0% 0.254 -0.4885
3 Round (Default) 4944 47.87% 36.79 2.044 53.14% -0.027 -0.1227
3 Sunrise 21 61.9% 40.0 0.0 57.14%
3 Thematic 163 46.01% 38.64 0.0 44.17%
4 Archipelago 15 66.67% 46.33 0.0 60.0%
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 43.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 24 62.5% 35.42 17.872 54.17% 0.545 -0.0097
4 Other 91 61.54% 41.67 -6.494 64.84% -0.586 -1.1334
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 59.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 377 48.01% 46.54 -2.45 54.38% -0.148 0.3257
4 Trapezoid (Default) 5556 18.46% 49.33 -2.344 74.6% -0.78 -0.9691
5 Archipelago 4 50.0% 33.75 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 138 35.77% 44.17 11.946 64.49% 0.418 0.0916
5 Thematic 12 8.33% 44.42 0.0 41.67%
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 40.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 41 25.0% 35.27 0.0 48.78%
6 Star 24 50.0% 36.08 0.0 41.67%
6 Thematic 72 36.11% 37.42 1.684 38.89% 0.134 0.7147
6 Two Centers (Default) 208 29.81% 34.78 0.498 54.81% 0.071 0.0482
7 Archipelago 5 20.0% 29.6 0.0 20.0%
7 Other 3 0.0% 32.0 0.0 33.33%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3298 33.99 2.557 45.63% 0.505 0.8161
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2599 36.45 2.059 49.67% -0.007 0.006
All Things Weaken 2114 34.3 1.022 48.06% 0.244 0.7174
Attenuated Essence 528 28.64 -3.528 41.29% -0.459 -0.3121
Back Against the Wall 2552 35.31 -3.272 46.51% -1.004 -0.8746
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 535 29.66 -4.58 41.68% -0.707 -0.3866
Burn Brightest Before the End 361 31.54 1.795 41.83% -0.028 0.1491
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3240 31.5 -2.213 43.27% -0.521 -0.1404
Downward Spiral 6253 31.34 0.08 42.28% 0.026 0.2189
Erosion of Will 3314 33.35 0.128 43.81% -0.309 0.0289
Intensifying Exploitation 494 30.04 -1.546 44.13% -0.416 -0.0632
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 777 39.14 3.465 62.29% 0.451 0.0879
Memory Fades to Dust 6358 31.24 -0.478 40.72% -0.042 0.2876
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2068 33.0 1.537 47.05% 0.306 0.573
Promising Farmlands 3212 32.58 -0.284 44.3% -0.098 0.3493
Shattered Fragments of Power 386 32.98 2.991 45.08% 0.342 0.3414
Slow Dissolution of Will 501 27.67 0.382 36.33% 0.26 0.671
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 542 42.22 3.461 70.48% 0.635 0.0763
The Border of Life and Death 156 31.62 0.668 51.28% 0.032 -0.213
Thriving Communities 2050 32.54 2.969 45.46% 0.299 0.5763
Thriving Crops 215 33.15 6.023 52.09% 0.692 0.5968
Tipping Point 932 31.37 0.0 38.73%
Unnatural Proliferation 2160 35.32 1.968 48.7% 0.085 0.2895
Untended Land Crumbles 2106 33.28 0.617 47.44% -0.133 0.1665

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 22924 43.77% 39.02 -0.303 57.27% 0.191 1.1828
B 25925 41.93% 40.44 0.919 60.2% 0.316 1.1809
C 26323 43.56% 40.33 0.36 60.44% 0.266 1.0182
D 19474 48.3% 37.21 -1.406 54.88% 0.03 0.9745
E 11837 43.92% 38.81 0.648 58.66% 0.304 1.0592
F 13997 43.39% 38.58 0.379 58.33% 0.279 1.1532
G 11572 45.36% 38.67 -0.512 57.74% 0.1 0.9627
H 11963 43.2% 39.53 1.905 59.58% 0.404 1.211
East 2094 52.88% 38.13 0.044 39.4% 0.411 1.1564
Northeast 1265 51.19% 39.49 -6.355 40.47% -0.839 0.0542
Northwest 1042 54.29% 39.02 1.245 41.17% 0.371 1.1147
Southeast 380 44.59% 37.15 4.885 43.16% 0.421 1.4301
Southwest 423 52.49% 31.24 -4.478 36.17% -0.743 0.4133
West 1872 56.87% 36.03 -5.302 37.87% -1.292 -0.3094

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 466 0.0% 37.54 -0.649 51.07% 0.016 0.7359
Not Using Events or Tokens 10072 47.93% 34.72 -3.554 48.89% -0.442 0.0326
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1535 16.94% 58.8 8.094 80.98% 1.052 0.2469
Start of Game Growth 2508 20.36% 52.79 4.236 73.96% 0.229 -0.338
Unlimited Undo 9378 45.36% 36.29 -1.644 55.15% -0.012 0.0157
Using Tokens but Not Events 9811 29.96% 36.98 -3.284 56.37% -0.529 -0.5562

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 22167 12.25 15.49%
II 26384 29.91 31.95%
III 27762 34.94 75.4%
IV 23604 38.9 99.72%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.182 Win Model: -0.079
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 69931 47.84% 36.99 55.7%
2 18173 52.49% 38.15 54.61%
3 5277 48.15% 36.77 52.76%
4 6083 21.0% 49.05 73.14%
5 99 40.82% 35.1 46.46%
6 354 31.53% 35.62 50.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3432
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 20602
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8212
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 23295
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 12506
Lose: Invader deck ran out 126
Lose: Adversary condition 14067
Win: Sacrifice victory 436
Lose: Scenario condition 1406
Win: Scenario condition 354
Lose: Unique spirit condition 1
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14732
Lose: Spirit destroyed 748

The Kingdom of England — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2960 42.41% 41.56 -0.342 44.09% -0.091 -0.5093
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 239 36.82% 29.91 -4.208 26.36% -1.133 -1.7891
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 8 50.0% 28.88 -9.962 25.0% -0.604 -0.7621
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 190 55.79% 37.45 3.72 50.0% 0.819 -0.0412
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1098 73.09% 32.25 -6.425 30.15% -0.474 -0.336
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 134 60.45% 41.24 1.043 54.48% 0.481 -0.5483
Dances Up Earthquakes 161 52.17% 28.84 -2.717 30.43% 0.047 0.0104
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 875 70.46% 25.96 -1.703 15.77% -0.622 -0.9765
Downpour Drenches the World 427 42.72% 25.81 -5.52 24.36% -0.47 -0.3458
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 913 64.95% 31.48 4.774 33.73% 0.699 0.1284
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1384 58.85% 40.81 5.895 44.94% 0.704 0.0584
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2049 56.89% 41.96 -3.327 47.1% -0.333 -0.8268
Finder of Paths Unseen 161 47.83% 22.4 -5.196 18.63% -0.251 0.3369
Fractured Days Split the Sky 477 56.6% 41.62 1.538 37.95% 0.06 0.5063
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 428 75.47% 27.04 -3.826 22.2% -0.206 -0.391
Heart of the Wildfire 1359 77.79% 21.85 -7.877 10.82% -1.211 -1.0679
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5381 51.88% 43.54 3.433 52.17% 0.651 -0.0238
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 126 53.17% 23.88 3.741 22.22% 0.87 0.3425
Lightning's Swift Strike 3108 59.11% 39.35 -2.811 38.67% -0.502 -0.4693
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 587 62.86% 40.93 6.314 42.93% 0.915 0.2627
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 260 63.08% 42.63 22.124 52.69% 0.883 0.3878
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 314 63.06% 33.82 16.879 35.67% 1.365 1.1259
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1614 70.74% 33.8 -1.756 31.85% -0.066 -0.4919
Many Minds Move as One 525 47.05% 43.29 1.312 52.95% 0.428 -0.0814
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3635 61.62% 41.47 -2.781 48.01% 0.275 0.0054
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 302 71.52% 27.32 -4.156 30.46% -0.254 -0.3684
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 967 61.48% 33.51 13.262 27.4% 0.91 0.6165
River Surges in Sunlight 2153 46.85% 41.51 -1.929 41.01% 0.124 -0.0466
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 47 44.68% 21.15 -16.035 17.02% -0.318 -0.4295
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 163 62.35% 28.81 0.0 19.02%
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 155 52.26% 31.66 -5.907 27.1% -0.618 -0.7481
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2411 55.62% 39.83 1.804 44.01% 0.502 0.2376
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 91 36.26% 28.25 4.943 36.26% 0.28 -0.15
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 652 70.88% 23.61 -10.739 11.96% -0.64 -0.2118
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 19 73.68% 30.26 0.0 31.58%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 88 61.9% 34.35 -13.872 32.95% -0.192 -0.9453
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 8 62.5% 27.13 0.0 25.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 65 73.85% 31.94 -6.285 29.23% -0.566 -0.7452
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 51 72.55% 29.22 0.0 23.53%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1544 55.81% 44.36 -11.207 48.77% -0.973 -1.3393
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 37 72.97% 20.24 -10.878 18.92% -1.314 -1.8552
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 149 40.27% 44.66 1.006 44.97% 0.018 -0.226
Shifting Memory of Ages 486 64.81% 35.6 17.327 35.6% 0.625 0.9197
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 171 40.35% 37.46 -7.0 46.2% -1.099 -1.2624
Shroud of Silent Mist 425 76.74% 29.03 7.045 25.41% 0.549 0.7307
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 20 85.0% 39.8 5.14 50.0% 0.644 0.2338
Starlight Seeks its Form 1165 57.77% 35.91 1.522 40.94% 0.753 0.5103
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6146 24.59% 49.99 9.972 74.75% 1.645 0.6932
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 589 71.38% 26.6 -6.332 15.96% -0.787 -0.7447
Thunderspeaker 2306 66.17% 32.07 -5.153 27.45% -0.379 -0.5745
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 126 57.94% 22.33 7.756 16.67% 0.295 0.1267
Towering Roots of the Jungle 380 55.53% 26.89 1.06 30.0% -0.119 -0.2299
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1242 84.7% 38.49 7.518 46.38% 0.898 0.7469
Vital Strength of the Earth 1300 43.41% 38.8 -3.052 36.62% -0.561 -0.2021
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 151 54.0% 22.98 -15.466 15.23% -0.487 -0.2434
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 128 67.19% 28.25 -10.439 21.88% -0.112 0.5694
Volcano Looming High 928 80.71% 26.55 -3.582 20.58% -0.53 -0.8545
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 309 50.16% 32.28 -3.069 34.63% -0.851 -1.369

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 0.0% 30.78 -7.976 44.44% -0.106 0.2638
Blitz 0 339 48.81% 35.53 1.336 37.46% 0.19 0.6216
Dahan Insurrection 4 282 62.63% 36.46 -6.146 13.48% -0.873 -0.8991
Despicable Theft 2 24 70.83% 26.29 0.0 16.67%
Elemental Invocation 1 89 53.93% 22.53 1.325 13.48% -0.456 -0.0077
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1717 18.37% 49.96 5.401 55.56% 0.303 -0.2966
Powers Long Forgotten 1 105 67.62% 26.35 1.247 17.14% 0.177 0.7853
Rituals of Terror 3 120 57.5% 59.74 -10.338 38.33% -0.217 -0.0921
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 25 60.0% 33.88 -4.95 20.0% -0.014 0.7245
Second Wave 0 273 63.97% 33.81 2.104 27.11% -0.033 0.0729
The Great River 3 20 25.0% 10.35 0.0 5.0%
Varied Terrains 2 11 45.45% 16.64 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 74 58.9% 39.97 0.0 28.38%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 26937 56.38% 37.86 1.378 45.0% -0.07 0.1547
1 Thematic 1348 67.46% 37.46 0.844 29.53% -0.305 0.2452
2 Archipelago 11 90.91% 50.73 0.0 18.18%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4085 65.88% 34.32 -3.955 33.61% -1.206 -1.0946
2 Coastline 473 62.02% 35.84 0.0 39.11%
2 Fragment 116 73.28% 36.19 17.926 36.21% 0.711 0.3727
2 Heart 96 83.33% 35.57 0.0 35.42%
2 Opposite Shores 912 66.85% 34.65 -4.238 32.89% -0.509 -0.4723
2 Thematic 283 58.3% 38.7 -1.079 24.03% -0.368 0.1609
2 Top to Top 183 52.46% 31.9 2.253 32.24% -0.345 -0.5515
3 Archipelago 12 83.33% 107.83 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 6 50.0% 22.5 17.736 16.67% 0.553 0.0316
3 Other 63 74.6% 46.06 7.5 60.32% 0.611 -0.1308
3 Round (Default) 1588 60.97% 34.14 -1.033 34.26% 0.087 -0.0092
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 42.0 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 82 54.88% 33.05 0.0 21.95%
4 Archipelago 6 83.33% 49.83 0.0 33.33%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 11 90.91% 38.55 -3.413 36.36% -0.508 -1.0621
4 Other 36 77.78% 45.06 -4.252 58.33% -0.172 -0.7198
4 Thematic 303 19.47% 52.45 -4.867 56.11% -0.144 0.3292
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1224 26.94% 48.7 5.392 57.19% 0.503 0.3141
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 47 56.76% 49.57 4.25 57.45% -0.165 -0.4919
5 Thematic 25 48.0% 62.8 0.0 48.0%
6 Archipelago 4 25.0% 77.25 17.295 100.0% 0.24 -0.6849
6 Other 13 33.33% 47.08 0.0 53.85%
6 Star 4 0.0% 40.25 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 95 9.47% 66.63 -0.632 64.21% -0.096 0.4847
6 Two Centers (Default) 24 62.5% 32.88 -11.345 33.33% -0.155 -0.1784
7 Archipelago 2 50.0% 146.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1510 35.28 -2.215 33.31% -0.307 0.0034
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1183 39.04 -1.914 38.97% -0.715 -0.7022
All Things Weaken 937 32.95 1.572 30.84% 0.385 0.8593
Attenuated Essence 259 32.14 1.257 37.45% 0.163 0.31
Back Against the Wall 1070 37.09 2.218 35.51% 0.364 0.4937
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 250 30.53 -6.985 32.0% -0.736 -0.4165
Burn Brightest Before the End 183 32.0 7.728 30.05% 0.708 0.8848
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1463 33.54 -0.806 33.83% 0.132 0.5124
Downward Spiral 2994 32.3 2.715 29.56% 0.269 0.4623
Erosion of Will 1669 34.0 3.22 31.1% 0.338 0.6759
Intensifying Exploitation 235 26.48 -3.383 25.53% -0.319 0.0333
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 281 39.63 -7.475 48.04% -0.616 -0.9794
Memory Fades to Dust 2962 31.78 -1.344 27.14% -0.31 0.0193
Power Corrodes the Spirit 944 33.84 3.701 33.37% 0.496 0.7624
Promising Farmlands 1442 33.88 -1.178 32.66% -0.307 0.1402
Shattered Fragments of Power 190 35.65 5.868 36.84% 0.473 0.4725
Slow Dissolution of Will 248 30.16 2.49 28.63% 0.193 0.6045
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 230 46.29 -6.683 60.0% -0.278 -0.8362
The Border of Life and Death 59 39.56 -1.253 52.54% 0.359 0.1135
Thriving Communities 927 34.36 -1.41 34.95% -0.062 0.2152
Thriving Crops 110 35.55 -4.579 45.45% -0.208 -0.3032
Tipping Point 470 35.04 0.0 31.91%
Unnatural Proliferation 1038 36.53 2.536 36.13% 0.181 0.3854
Untended Land Crumbles 992 33.26 -0.839 33.06% -0.368 -0.0682

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6888 60.17% 35.41 -0.173 36.54% 0.276 1.2675
B 8322 57.49% 37.53 -2.071 39.97% -0.334 0.5309
C 12930 44.84% 43.79 3.957 56.76% 0.656 1.408
D 6659 60.68% 36.12 -1.198 38.38% -0.087 0.8573
E 3919 62.02% 34.87 0.547 37.25% -0.081 0.6741
F 3854 62.01% 34.85 -2.334 36.04% -0.123 0.7512
G 3371 63.67% 34.31 -0.254 34.89% 0.064 0.9268
H 3465 61.51% 35.62 -3.971 36.8% -0.41 0.3975
East 1469 50.95% 43.2 -3.592 35.47% -0.3 0.4458
Northeast 880 44.66% 45.46 -0.504 37.61% -0.144 0.7492
Northwest 710 40.03% 47.82 -1.026 45.07% -0.556 0.1876
Southeast 300 32.67% 45.89 -3.96 40.67% -0.288 0.7204
Southwest 295 36.05% 43.15 -3.751 39.66% -0.419 0.7378
West 1210 48.42% 43.78 -3.519 38.84% -0.486 0.4968

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 143 0.0% 50.7 0.0 55.24%
Not Using Events or Tokens 3914 59.04% 30.76 -1.046 27.7% -0.041 0.4335
Skip Initial Invader Actions 982 14.91% 61.21 7.307 75.56% 0.458 -0.3472
Start of Game Growth 1533 17.88% 59.13 10.151 71.04% 1.933 1.3663
Unlimited Undo 2994 55.08% 41.57 -3.269 48.1% -0.361 -0.3341
Using Tokens but Not Events 2185 57.79% 36.12 -6.997 35.65% -1.486 -1.513

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10335 12.25 5.1%
II 9815 29.91 11.31%
III 6696 34.94 51.45%
IV 11179 38.9 99.8%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.307 Win Model: -0.325
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 28449 56.95% 37.9 44.28%
2 6083 65.45% 34.69 33.68%
3 1727 61.51% 34.46 33.93%
4 1577 26.58% 49.39 56.94%
5 51 55.81% 45.98 47.06%
6 138 18.98% 60.72 61.59%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 527
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3364
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1068
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 11034
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5106
Lose: Invader deck ran out 58
Lose: Adversary condition 7490
Win: Sacrifice victory 170
Lose: Scenario condition 517
Win: Scenario condition 76
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8213
Lose: Spirit destroyed 402

The Kingdom of England — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 13546 36.24% 42.75 0.696 41.02% 0.002 -0.4158
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 1351 29.53% 35.08 1.504 34.12% 0.48 -0.1764
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 70 64.29% 24.57 -4.079 18.57% -0.643 -0.8006
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 1212 46.19% 31.91 3.83 34.98% 0.829 -0.0316
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 8215 65.05% 32.45 -6.234 27.17% -0.552 -0.4144
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 1580 59.75% 33.76 2.481 36.58% 0.532 -0.4973
Dances Up Earthquakes 1294 48.53% 29.49 0.208 27.2% 0.221 0.1844
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3494 61.7% 29.36 -7.952 17.46% -1.345 -1.6997
Downpour Drenches the World 2846 31.84% 28.21 -3.553 24.84% -0.031 0.093
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 3251 57.84% 25.11 -2.211 20.46% -1.143 -1.7135
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8569 47.51% 36.86 4.582 35.93% 1.221 0.5752
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 13089 48.33% 45.37 0.146 47.59% 0.318 -0.176
Finder of Paths Unseen 1389 43.55% 24.99 -9.427 17.85% -1.352 -0.7634
Fractured Days Split the Sky 4644 37.75% 42.04 -6.178 38.78% -0.764 -0.3174
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2209 65.41% 25.06 1.003 15.93% 0.061 -0.1243
Heart of the Wildfire 6375 68.23% 23.87 -7.939 13.18% -1.488 -1.3454
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 32807 44.49% 44.22 0.989 48.39% 0.37 -0.3039
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 666 52.48% 19.46 -5.019 11.26% -0.29 -0.8178
Lightning's Swift Strike 17575 57.91% 37.8 -2.332 34.34% 0.117 0.1495
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 6036 54.08% 40.12 5.144 40.79% 0.886 0.234
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 3027 58.92% 44.27 -4.744 45.95% -1.214 -1.7098
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2378 48.61% 43.34 3.29 44.11% 0.642 0.4025
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 7545 65.02% 32.6 -3.82 27.93% -0.343 -0.7693
Many Minds Move as One 3495 45.65% 47.96 4.942 53.59% 0.935 0.4262
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 30300 52.78% 45.07 1.834 46.94% 0.793 0.5239
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 3350 55.07% 28.69 1.674 27.34% 0.162 0.048
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4486 45.02% 36.58 -0.326 31.79% -0.511 -0.8047
River Surges in Sunlight 11135 46.38% 45.02 3.68 39.49% 0.628 0.4567
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 509 49.71% 24.28 18.836 16.9% 1.181 1.0702
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1676 53.7% 35.2 -0.252 27.21% 0.37 0.3044
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1454 49.35% 34.63 -3.897 25.24% -0.149 -0.2795
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 19266 38.54% 47.28 2.028 50.7% 0.616 0.3516
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 456 41.45% 33.77 2.926 38.6% 0.781 0.3503
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4259 61.01% 35.38 -8.748 26.27% -0.706 -0.2778
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 84 65.48% 27.25 0.0 21.43%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 1068 63.11% 34.71 9.148 36.7% 1.757 1.0041
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 229 63.32% 26.46 -13.476 18.78% -0.261 -0.58
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 425 70.35% 33.48 -10.541 21.41% -0.546 -0.7245
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 390 71.98% 32.93 -15.938 22.56% -0.29 -0.3332
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8703 41.98% 44.45 -0.487 46.86% 0.379 0.0132
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 74 78.38% 25.15 -3.099 17.57% -0.318 -0.8593
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 777 49.16% 26.4 -5.672 24.45% -0.024 -0.268
Shifting Memory of Ages 3024 50.05% 38.54 -3.744 36.08% 0.17 0.464
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 1347 41.16% 34.6 -1.091 37.56% 0.073 -0.09
Shroud of Silent Mist 1963 73.59% 32.15 -6.678 27.46% -0.643 -0.461
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 163 57.67% 28.9 2.376 29.45% 0.578 0.1683
Starlight Seeks its Form 7476 43.61% 33.59 -1.138 33.08% 0.026 -0.2162
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 13891 42.85% 40.55 2.54 45.03% 0.85 -0.1022
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3216 57.55% 30.49 -3.131 22.05% -0.333 -0.2906
Thunderspeaker 11380 56.63% 33.64 -3.149 23.53% 0.147 -0.0482
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 438 53.55% 23.1 4.595 18.95% 0.395 0.2262
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1656 49.4% 25.66 -2.421 23.85% -0.06 -0.1707
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 5561 79.8% 38.57 0.708 39.06% 0.363 0.2118
Vital Strength of the Earth 5407 40.83% 37.05 -3.464 28.59% -0.604 -0.2452
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1162 37.05% 26.38 -6.664 21.43% -0.543 -0.2994
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 596 61.74% 29.29 -12.457 15.44% -0.457 0.2239
Volcano Looming High 5223 71.3% 27.91 -5.83 18.78% -0.941 -1.2654
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1589 53.84% 32.85 -1.605 32.03% -0.062 -0.5796

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 20 25.0% 35.4 0.0 30.0%
Blitz 0 3327 24.42% 51.87 5.506 50.47% 0.452 0.8835
Dahan Insurrection 4 3365 57.59% 42.36 11.477 15.13% 0.774 0.7483
Despicable Theft 2 65 54.69% 35.08 0.0 24.62%
Elemental Invocation 1 249 66.94% 32.13 2.373 15.66% -0.561 -0.1134
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 23236 21.26% 52.59 6.681 53.01% 0.877 0.2775
Powers Long Forgotten 1 217 74.88% 27.64 -3.989 10.6% -0.855 -0.2464
Rituals of Terror 3 1094 56.38% 93.91 23.524 54.84% 1.33 1.4547
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 141 70.92% 27.91 -10.734 7.09% -0.13 0.6078
Second Wave 0 660 54.05% 39.61 3.703 37.58% 0.355 0.4611
The Great River 3 74 25.68% 23.22 -14.472 13.51% -0.686 0.4885
Varied Terrains 2 125 56.0% 16.9 -8.667 3.2% -0.449 0.2877
Ward the Shores 2 330 67.39% 37.97 0.0 24.85%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 152938 57.38% 37.14 -0.293 36.16% -0.255 -0.0307
1 Thematic 8168 54.22% 43.82 3.723 26.04% 0.324 0.8745
2 Archipelago 93 66.67% 49.23 0.0 23.66%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 16242 60.8% 36.31 -0.539 33.85% -0.41 -0.299
2 Coastline 3414 56.69% 34.9 0.57 32.07% -0.287 -0.3758
2 Fragment 318 58.49% 35.08 2.131 32.08% -0.207 -0.5461
2 Heart 349 65.04% 43.93 11.561 50.14% 0.835 0.5076
2 Opposite Shores 5532 50.55% 37.11 -4.153 33.88% -0.649 -0.6127
2 Thematic 3263 32.88% 63.85 5.089 49.56% 0.063 0.5913
2 Top to Top 1125 54.54% 39.32 8.667 41.87% 0.817 0.6106
3 Archipelago 77 53.25% 92.18 -8.002 64.94% -0.099 0.0019
3 Coastline 62 36.07% 34.95 -16.754 37.1% -0.987 -1.5085
3 Other 339 55.75% 47.8 6.753 54.28% 0.943 0.201
3 Round (Default) 9616 47.61% 37.46 -0.548 37.69% -0.351 -0.4473
3 Sunrise 23 52.17% 43.39 0.0 47.83%
3 Thematic 356 32.96% 67.87 21.322 42.13% 0.252 0.494
4 Archipelago 24 41.67% 42.42 0.0 37.5%
4 Coastline 47 12.77% 34.47 0.0 27.66%
4 Leaf 26 34.62% 45.5 0.0 42.31%
4 Other 220 47.95% 52.99 12.491 63.18% 0.511 -0.0367
4 Thematic 1953 23.91% 60.56 -11.682 60.16% -1.145 -0.6718
4 Trapezoid (Default) 5974 29.85% 38.3 -9.108 41.75% -2.195 -2.3833
5 Archipelago 7 57.14% 65.0 0.0 57.14%
5 Coastline 26 15.38% 55.46 0.0 76.92%
5 Other 145 34.78% 50.86 0.0 56.55%
5 Thematic 90 20.22% 72.54 22.783 74.44% 0.658 0.167
6 Archipelago 498 0.8% 73.16 12.169 82.73% 1.183 0.2581
6 Coastline 23 4.35% 40.17 0.0 52.17%
6 Other 193 19.69% 51.39 0.0 57.51%
6 Star 56 21.43% 39.2 0.0 42.86%
6 Thematic 667 12.31% 42.39 3.69 41.68% -0.458 0.1225
6 Two Centers (Default) 851 10.59% 35.43 -12.992 33.96% -0.194 -0.2171
7 Archipelago 4 75.0% 63.0 -11.497 25.0% -0.017 0.3893
7 Other 3 0.0% 0.0 -8.515 0.0% -0.064 -0.3198

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 8198 36.95 1.057 31.54% 0.005 0.3159
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6789 40.77 3.878 37.09% 0.303 0.3162
All Things Weaken 5312 34.33 0.528 27.47% -0.176 0.2982
Attenuated Essence 1569 30.8 0.933 27.02% 0.063 0.2097
Back Against the Wall 6274 39.89 3.001 35.22% 0.09 0.219
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1564 29.95 -0.723 26.15% -0.031 0.2885
Burn Brightest Before the End 1077 34.1 5.636 28.41% 0.605 0.7818
Disintegrating Ecosystem 7934 34.45 -1.077 29.9% -0.251 0.1295
Downward Spiral 14641 35.57 2.1 29.05% 0.389 0.582
Erosion of Will 8087 35.6 3.834 28.79% 0.678 1.016
Intensifying Exploitation 1559 29.18 1.197 25.08% 0.089 0.4412
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1780 40.72 -2.469 40.84% -0.679 -1.0426
Memory Fades to Dust 14591 34.99 0.986 26.44% 0.163 0.4921
Power Corrodes the Spirit 5276 34.98 2.614 29.66% 0.55 0.8165
Promising Farmlands 7998 35.83 1.325 30.85% 0.18 0.6271
Shattered Fragments of Power 1098 34.18 6.24 28.32% 0.772 0.7719
Slow Dissolution of Will 1577 30.53 0.111 24.35% -0.299 0.1117
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1111 44.51 1.785 47.97% 0.321 -0.2381
The Border of Life and Death 332 35.33 0.335 37.05% 0.013 -0.2318
Thriving Communities 5468 35.2 1.867 30.54% 0.287 0.5646
Thriving Crops 633 33.49 1.809 33.81% 0.043 -0.0526
Tipping Point 2149 36.9 0.0 30.39%
Unnatural Proliferation 5665 37.83 2.73 31.99% 0.255 0.4601
Untended Land Crumbles 5361 34.81 -0.458 29.21% -0.264 0.0354

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 41173 52.09% 37.6 -1.432 36.27% -0.634 0.3575
B 45104 52.28% 37.5 -0.188 36.41% -0.418 0.4472
C 49466 54.51% 39.07 -0.171 39.13% -0.189 0.5633
D 38188 54.03% 36.96 -1.501 36.34% -0.618 0.3265
E 29053 51.1% 36.32 1.441 35.68% -0.047 0.7076
F 24227 52.44% 36.48 -0.015 35.44% -0.347 0.527
G 21828 50.71% 37.36 0.56 36.37% -0.38 0.4823
H 23455 47.54% 38.79 0.899 39.16% -0.276 0.5314
East 11126 39.83% 53.62 1.968 39.91% -0.67 0.0758
Northeast 7764 34.14% 52.95 3.761 41.9% 0.357 1.2505
Northwest 4455 28.04% 55.45 -1.782 49.0% -0.619 0.1245
Southeast 1651 33.05% 46.5 -3.813 37.98% -1.097 -0.0883
Southwest 1301 23.23% 45.36 0.498 42.58% -0.762 0.3942
West 7555 37.21% 55.23 3.291 43.45% -0.045 0.938

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1386 0.0% 43.82 -9.212 43.51% -0.736 -0.0166
Not Using Events or Tokens 18838 53.65% 35.63 0.315 24.94% -0.359 0.1157
Skip Initial Invader Actions 10704 13.97% 63.24 4.569 71.83% -0.284 -1.0886
Start of Game Growth 13009 18.09% 60.92 7.988 69.29% 1.513 0.946
Unlimited Undo 27124 36.25% 50.15 -0.609 59.19% -0.15 -0.1224
Using Tokens but Not Events 15441 44.06% 38.24 -0.43 36.4% -0.444 -0.4708

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 82913 12.25 5.74%
II 56486 29.91 22.75%
III 30271 34.94 55.84%
IV 43324 38.9 99.72%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.302 Win Model: 0.268
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 162814 57.29% 37.86 35.97%
2 29316 54.66% 38.26 34.85%
3 10219 47.69% 38.22 38.36%
4 8222 28.59% 43.85 46.5%
5 133 26.77% 44.91 43.61%
6 2290 9.62% 47.54 49.87%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4734
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 16314
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 12108
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 42316
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 37793
Lose: Invader deck ran out 277
Lose: Adversary condition 45629
Win: Sacrifice victory 1537
Lose: Scenario condition 6545
Win: Scenario condition 710
Lose: Unique spirit condition 2
Lose: Blight pool ran out 42740
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2289

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)