The Kingdom of England — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7091 22.51% 26.33 -0.973 86.04% 0.004 -0.0709
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3867 44.58% 24.09 -0.782 78.92% 0.13 0.209
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2922 26.3% 26.57 0.119 88.47% 0.166 -0.0589
Downpour Drenches the World 133 26.32% 26.59 -0.993 78.95% -0.496 -0.2313
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4081 14.27% 29.49 1.852 92.99% 0.7 0.1965
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3128 19.99% 28.44 1.394 91.85% 1.511 0.9246
Finder of Paths Unseen 53 37.74% 24.83 -1.519 67.92% -0.968 -0.6118
Fractured Days Split the Sky 548 35.22% 27.64 1.011 75.36% -0.535 -0.4531
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 564 38.3% 29.03 0.032 83.69% 0.082 -0.0125
Heart of the Wildfire 3961 59.98% 21.31 -0.972 72.53% 0.64 1.0459
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6492 24.41% 27.15 0.137 89.73% 0.049 -0.5546
Lightning's Swift Strike 6573 43.24% 24.0 -0.375 78.85% 0.283 0.6475
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 76 30.26% 30.13 1.587 84.21% 0.484 -0.2652
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 491 21.63% 29.98 1.741 90.63% 0.012 -0.5516
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 284 38.16% 28.28 -0.843 85.21% 0.083 -0.411
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1405 30.01% 28.47 0.512 89.96% -0.011 -0.1629
Many Minds Move as One 937 23.27% 27.97 -0.807 89.43% -0.333 -0.9186
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6263 41.64% 24.86 -0.477 81.77% 0.296 0.1261
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2681 28.52% 25.57 -0.339 85.68% -0.352 -0.4078
River Surges in Sunlight 7344 37.51% 25.9 -0.364 75.6% -0.258 -0.332
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 508 36.88% 27.79 0.846 72.83% -0.359 0.0679
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 50 32.0% 33.1 0.378 86.0% -0.239 -0.5799
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3547 32.42% 24.89 -0.335 83.0% -0.246 -0.4396
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3945 54.7% 22.65 -2.685 72.19% -0.665 -0.1906
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 26 26.92% 30.81 2.402 92.31% 0.762 0.9415
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 28 35.71% 29.5 1.175 75.0% 0.519 0.5742
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 418 25.66% 26.65 0.78 88.52% 0.749 0.7266
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 229 43.42% 25.48 -2.466 80.79% -0.138 -0.0226
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4526 24.65% 27.71 1.277 87.98% 0.593 0.4016
Shifting Memory of Ages 454 41.94% 26.67 -0.344 81.94% 0.159 0.3735
Shroud of Silent Mist 713 45.77% 24.53 -0.13 83.31% -0.043 0.0916
Starlight Seeks its Form 610 22.79% 30.88 2.493 85.74% 0.066 -0.0489
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1704 24.81% 25.56 -0.04 89.03% 0.088 -0.1506
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2059 29.37% 25.39 -0.224 81.59% 0.016 0.1458
Thunderspeaker 6979 24.25% 28.19 0.584 87.23% 0.032 0.0146
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1101 59.76% 21.96 -1.577 77.93% -0.104 -0.3197
Vital Strength of the Earth 5304 29.28% 22.57 -2.685 73.87% -1.111 -0.2123
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 58 25.86% 28.12 -0.385 82.76% -0.206 0.2167
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 288 32.06% 21.34 -3.669 67.36% -1.671 -0.557
Volcano Looming High 902 42.0% 24.37 0.268 81.37% 0.275 0.2545

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 40.0% 28.4 1.054 80.0% -0.083 0.4129
Blitz 0 904 41.66% 22.9 -1.045 75.77% -0.911 -0.4679
Dahan Insurrection 4 871 21.35% 45.9 9.158 79.68% -0.174 -0.0764
Despicable Theft 2 97 39.18% 36.23 6.812 82.47% 0.653 1.1516
Elemental Invocation 1 132 44.7% 26.54 -0.018 71.97% -1.547 -1.0011
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1961 9.85% 31.1 0.47 86.13% -1.209 -0.9777
Powers Long Forgotten 1 403 49.38% 29.2 4.915 74.94% 0.152 0.5601
Rituals of Terror 3 515 47.25% 34.22 5.86 65.83% -0.16 -0.3961
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 277 69.31% 31.27 1.892 59.93% -0.595 -0.3691
Second Wave 0 669 45.88% 25.55 3.21 65.92% -0.062 0.6305
The Great River 3 120 49.17% 29.77 -1.859 53.33% -1.571 0.0109
Varied Terrains 2 22 59.09% 27.36 0.845 50.0% -1.069 -0.2826
Ward the Shores 2 521 44.23% 28.39 0.228 59.69% -0.384 0.4971

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 42465 37.7% 24.59 -0.221 80.9% 0.219 0.8815
1 Thematic 4036 42.47% 31.06 1.592 74.75% -0.373 0.6835
2 Archipelago 23 56.52% 32.3 -2.396 78.26% -0.288 0.183
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9289 33.04% 24.8 0.143 83.56% 0.271 0.7892
2 Coastline 914 33.52% 25.1 -0.195 84.03% 0.195 0.3952
2 Fragment 211 35.71% 23.84 -2.491 80.57% 0.123 0.4214
2 Heart 119 37.61% 23.8 -3.872 83.19% -0.098 0.363
2 Opposite Shores 1233 29.88% 25.81 -0.729 89.21% 0.424 0.9631
2 Thematic 900 39.35% 33.34 1.297 75.67% -0.204 0.5782
2 Top to Top 196 31.96% 25.41 1.206 85.2% 0.634 0.7621
3 Archipelago 9 33.33% 25.33 -2.585 66.67% -0.408 -0.6263
3 Coastline 9 11.11% 28.11 -3.485 100.0% 0.084 -0.4231
3 Other 108 30.48% 23.46 7.599 80.56% 0.847 0.1826
3 Round (Default) 4033 18.93% 27.38 -0.303 90.48% 0.138 0.4421
3 Sunrise 14 14.29% 24.79 0.0 85.71%
3 Thematic 182 36.26% 33.29 3.149 71.98% -0.23 -0.0225
4 Archipelago 7 42.86% 34.86 0.0 71.43%
4 Coastline 13 0.0% 29.77 0.0 92.31%
4 Leaf 5 0.0% 27.8 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 45 26.67% 25.24 3.746 86.67% 0.186 -0.5283
4 Thematic 268 23.88% 32.13 2.584 76.49% 0.016 0.12
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1313 22.34% 26.05 1.066 85.3% 0.374 0.4514
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 29.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 27 48.15% 27.19 0.346 77.78% 0.075 -0.4417
5 Thematic 5 60.0% 48.6 0.0 80.0%
6 Other 2 50.0% 23.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 7 28.57% 31.29 -2.313 100.0% 0.055 0.8256
6 Thematic 22 18.18% 40.5 -2.419 72.73% 0.357 0.5976
6 Two Centers (Default) 40 15.0% 32.65 -3.01 75.0% -1.29 -1.0982
7 Other 1 0.0% 52.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1456 19.57 -1.565 63.6% -0.786 1.1847
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1238 20.52 -7.92 64.94% -2.988 -1.2099
All Things Weaken 634 19.67 -4.014 58.68% -1.764 0.2843
Back Against the Wall 1240 19.3 -2.555 58.63% -1.082 0.8571
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1418 16.4 -6.522 56.42% -2.493 -0.3647
Downward Spiral 5257 17.27 -4.361 60.64% -1.839 0.122
Erosion of Will 1512 18.63 -3.427 59.13% -1.378 0.7034
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 250 25.22 -0.473 90.4% -0.239 0.2632
Memory Fades to Dust 5214 16.92 -5.41 55.77% -2.296 -0.1547
Power Corrodes the Spirit 600 19.22 -4.455 63.0% -2.044 -0.0636
Promising Farmlands 1467 17.9 -4.622 60.94% -1.508 0.5132
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 213 24.85 -2.299 92.02% -0.192 0.3042
Thriving Communities 609 17.89 -3.243 56.65% -1.951 0.1078
Tipping Point 618 17.72 0.0 59.71%
Unnatural Proliferation 637 18.51 -4.787 53.22% -2.24 -0.2835
Untended Land Crumbles 625 19.72 -4.14 65.76% -2.188 -0.155

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 15647 34.39% 24.65 -0.14 81.73% -0.132 0.6048
B 16088 32.81% 25.08 -0.134 83.24% 0.225 0.9224
C 15854 32.88% 25.04 -0.338 82.48% -0.315 0.1547
D 15339 33.1% 25.04 -0.178 83.26% -0.035 0.6747
E 4194 28.67% 26.8 0.238 86.46% -0.035 0.5099
F 6319 30.92% 25.77 -0.377 85.36% -0.312 0.3498
G 5835 31.75% 25.54 -0.223 84.94% -0.034 0.5972
H 5975 30.88% 25.88 0.187 85.91% 0.061 0.7259
East 3271 38.82% 32.93 1.81 75.82% 0.055 0.7166
Northeast 1957 37.92% 32.82 1.497 75.47% -0.264 0.3955
Northwest 1526 37.15% 32.6 2.366 76.41% 0.427 1.0371
Southeast 358 32.68% 32.68 -0.836 78.49% -0.231 0.3004
Southwest 322 38.2% 26.93 -1.584 69.57% -0.317 0.6518
West 2823 40.63% 31.44 3.094 73.5% 0.479 1.2851

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 882 0.0% 22.54 -3.559 72.0% -1.63 0.5985
Not Using Events or Tokens 16654 41.59% 23.51 -0.727 75.89% -0.153 0.0738
Skip Initial Invader Actions 943 11.27% 34.39 1.922 92.68% -0.621 -1.6013
Start of Game Growth 1595 14.4% 32.56 2.814 92.16% 0.776 0.3196
Unlimited Undo 3887 27.71% 27.6 1.323 87.52% 0.524 -0.0273
Using Tokens but Not Events 6631 21.96% 27.29 0.262 87.86% -0.158 -0.0027

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5833 22.65 37.37%
II 22662 31.08 76.03%
III 24470 34.66 88.52%
IV 12559 37.91 99.14%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.136 Win Model: -0.035
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 46654 38.17% 25.17 80.35%
2 12814 33.22% 25.47 83.61%
3 4318 19.55% 27.5 89.6%
4 1654 22.73% 27.1 83.74%
5 13 61.54% 26.69 76.92%
6 71 16.9% 35.08 78.87%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2176
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 21063
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 16406
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 12310
Lose: Invader deck ran out 686
Lose: Adversary condition 3221
Win: Sacrifice victory 275
Lose: Scenario condition 476
Win: Scenario condition 1292
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7147
Lose: Spirit destroyed 472

The Kingdom of England — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4379 22.27% 35.35 2.028 85.61% 0.884 0.8092
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2066 53.55% 32.2 -1.964 75.12% -0.492 -0.4134
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1645 34.01% 34.28 0.085 85.05% 0.295 0.0708
Downpour Drenches the World 109 28.7% 34.36 -0.648 81.65% -0.243 0.0218
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2322 21.69% 37.49 1.006 87.3% 0.232 -0.2714
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2134 28.56% 36.88 1.167 88.85% 0.341 -0.2454
Finder of Paths Unseen 61 54.1% 28.03 -4.877 67.21% -1.256 -0.8999
Fractured Days Split the Sky 376 40.16% 35.13 0.113 73.67% -0.699 -0.6171
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 392 48.21% 35.55 2.486 81.38% 0.733 0.6382
Heart of the Wildfire 2577 65.81% 28.51 -2.567 67.37% -0.485 -0.0793
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4191 36.6% 33.92 0.395 83.75% 0.49 -0.1138
Lightning's Swift Strike 3743 43.47% 32.75 -0.397 77.02% 0.165 0.5298
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 67 49.23% 36.7 -0.134 89.55% 0.255 -0.494
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 371 24.59% 38.25 0.819 89.22% 0.426 -0.1379
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 201 39.8% 33.85 -0.803 75.62% -0.206 -0.7001
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1009 41.81% 34.78 -0.676 82.56% -0.165 -0.3169
Many Minds Move as One 666 26.43% 35.86 -1.227 85.89% -0.144 -0.7298
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3486 51.31% 31.98 -0.346 75.53% -0.041 -0.2109
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1649 40.34% 32.03 -0.73 77.56% 0.174 0.1175
River Surges in Sunlight 4114 45.68% 31.98 -1.728 66.65% -1.03 -1.1042
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 369 48.91% 30.98 -1.087 57.99% -0.478 -0.0513
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 47 46.81% 46.0 2.527 78.72% 0.179 -0.1619
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2188 35.33% 33.51 0.594 82.59% 0.585 0.3915
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2087 62.3% 29.07 -0.189 61.76% -0.187 0.2879
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 18 61.11% 37.61 -2.165 66.67% -0.636 -0.4564
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 13 46.15% 40.08 0.0 84.62%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 217 42.13% 33.04 2.824 80.65% 1.234 1.2112
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 126 64.29% 29.36 5.075 65.87% 0.398 0.5139
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2573 34.94% 34.92 0.693 82.04% 0.67 0.4785
Shifting Memory of Ages 309 48.21% 31.54 0.295 79.29% 0.623 0.838
Shroud of Silent Mist 451 56.22% 30.53 -2.134 75.17% -0.416 -0.2823
Starlight Seeks its Form 435 26.44% 35.93 1.166 84.37% 0.515 0.3998
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1227 29.24% 33.77 -0.763 84.68% 0.155 -0.0834
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1139 49.56% 29.63 -2.059 63.21% -1.033 -0.9028
Thunderspeaker 3939 31.87% 36.36 1.327 83.4% 0.185 0.1675
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 754 69.77% 28.88 -1.28 73.74% 0.1 -0.116
Vital Strength of the Earth 2905 39.11% 29.75 -2.095 68.23% -0.686 0.2125
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 34 40.63% 34.97 0.981 79.41% -0.093 0.3295
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 160 38.13% 27.93 -1.115 61.25% -0.23 0.8848
Volcano Looming High 617 49.59% 30.48 -1.908 74.72% -0.337 -0.3574

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 36.0 0.505 100.0% 0.158 0.654
Blitz 0 710 42.9% 30.43 -2.784 71.97% -0.822 -0.3789
Dahan Insurrection 4 559 27.47% 53.53 10.34 75.31% -0.408 -0.3113
Despicable Theft 2 66 51.52% 36.59 -3.002 62.12% -1.082 -0.5833
Elemental Invocation 1 73 61.64% 32.33 1.113 71.23% -0.138 0.4077
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1317 11.47% 38.53 3.907 80.03% 0.421 0.6523
Powers Long Forgotten 1 298 61.62% 33.11 -0.652 63.09% -1.097 -0.6891
Rituals of Terror 3 230 52.17% 42.06 7.657 65.22% 0.61 0.3741
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 150 72.67% 41.18 0.0 66.0%
Second Wave 0 2323 45.0% 33.34 1.762 70.43% -0.059 0.6334
The Great River 3 61 62.3% 33.85 10.588 49.18% 0.169 1.75
Varied Terrains 2 21 61.9% 34.05 -0.456 61.9% -0.843 -0.0564
Ward the Shores 2 393 56.23% 33.98 3.115 52.93% -0.316 0.5645

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 24387 42.22% 32.01 -0.533 76.75% -0.371 0.2921
1 Thematic 3003 48.56% 37.39 3.295 71.2% -0.1 0.9565
2 Archipelago 10 60.0% 41.2 0.0 70.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5199 40.72% 32.13 -0.093 78.96% 0.336 0.8539
2 Coastline 552 41.5% 31.9 -1.458 79.71% -0.217 -0.0165
2 Fragment 175 54.6% 30.26 -1.309 75.43% -0.475 -0.1772
2 Heart 92 35.16% 32.89 3.211 82.61% 0.092 0.5523
2 Opposite Shores 1048 38.15% 33.23 -0.833 82.44% 0.333 0.8713
2 Thematic 834 45.89% 39.4 1.044 73.62% -0.255 0.5269
2 Top to Top 176 44.0% 31.37 -0.173 77.27% 0.101 0.2291
3 Archipelago 5 20.0% 47.6 5.538 80.0% -0.303 -0.521
3 Coastline 9 22.22% 37.89 0.0 88.89%
3 Other 81 33.75% 34.53 1.546 87.65% 0.68 0.0163
3 Round (Default) 2190 31.88% 33.92 -0.657 81.1% -0.092 0.2128
3 Sunrise 7 33.33% 32.43 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 216 40.0% 39.63 7.813 75.0% 0.248 0.4564
4 Archipelago 8 37.5% 52.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 5 40.0% 28.4 0.0 40.0%
4 Leaf 9 11.11% 34.67 -0.454 88.89% 0.049 -0.0526
4 Other 27 40.74% 33.63 8.415 81.48% 0.091 -0.6231
4 Thematic 201 40.5% 42.01 -2.193 75.12% -0.618 -0.5144
4 Trapezoid (Default) 739 33.15% 33.83 3.049 80.51% 0.794 0.8719
5 Archipelago 5 40.0% 43.8 2.708 80.0% 0.28 0.1825
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 12 25.0% 36.5 -4.883 83.33% -0.652 -1.168
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 41.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 2 0.0% 29.0 -11.974 50.0% -0.843 -0.7985
6 Star 1 0.0% 37.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 24 20.83% 43.04 -1.076 75.0% 0.293 0.5336
6 Two Centers (Default) 8 50.0% 32.5 6.605 62.5% 0.185 0.3761
7 Other 1 0.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1212 25.53 -6.471 56.02% -2.039 -0.0686
Aid From Lesser Spirits 979 27.27 -4.841 59.24% -1.516 0.2622
All Things Weaken 492 26.28 -3.853 58.94% -1.139 0.9099
Back Against the Wall 953 25.77 -6.595 55.3% -2.324 -0.3844
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1085 22.76 -7.023 52.72% -1.889 0.2393
Downward Spiral 3158 24.48 -4.752 58.36% -1.279 0.682
Erosion of Will 1114 24.93 -5.297 54.13% -1.588 0.4932
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 187 33.01 -1.113 88.77% -0.009 0.4929
Memory Fades to Dust 3152 23.86 -5.393 53.46% -1.507 0.6338
Power Corrodes the Spirit 532 26.11 -3.181 61.28% -0.998 0.9823
Promising Farmlands 1139 23.83 -5.55 54.43% -1.609 0.4129
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 148 33.62 1.808 90.54% -0.167 0.3291
Thriving Communities 414 25.11 -4.407 57.25% -1.168 0.8908
Tipping Point 493 24.87 0.0 55.98%
Unnatural Proliferation 519 26.06 -1.942 54.91% -1.665 0.2923
Untended Land Crumbles 491 25.51 -4.677 59.47% -1.455 0.5784

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8873 41.37% 31.92 -0.384 76.68% -0.354 0.3821
B 9098 38.81% 32.46 0.518 78.3% 0.259 0.9559
C 9233 38.88% 32.59 0.06 78.53% -0.162 0.3081
D 8749 40.49% 32.36 -0.516 78.34% -0.263 0.4461
E 2580 39.11% 33.26 0.582 80.58% 0.056 0.6001
F 3576 38.56% 32.96 -0.031 80.37% 0.0 0.6621
G 3469 42.27% 32.36 -0.76 77.92% -0.522 0.1088
H 3682 37.81% 33.14 0.072 79.68% -0.261 0.4032
East 2672 45.15% 39.61 2.347 73.69% 0.088 0.7498
Northeast 1506 44.37% 39.65 1.554 74.1% 0.047 0.7066
Northwest 1247 43.73% 39.42 1.781 74.18% -0.27 0.3408
Southeast 341 44.87% 37.06 -1.862 70.67% -0.802 -0.2711
Southwest 310 51.29% 32.45 -1.807 66.77% -0.014 0.9544
West 2351 48.41% 37.97 1.734 71.2% 0.369 1.1749

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 501 0.0% 28.01 -6.556 60.68% -2.332 -0.103
Not Using Events or Tokens 8191 42.32% 31.42 0.261 72.79% 0.206 0.433
Skip Initial Invader Actions 527 11.65% 45.35 2.594 94.12% -0.034 -1.0143
Start of Game Growth 835 15.09% 43.07 2.602 92.34% 0.6 0.1431
Unlimited Undo 2587 34.79% 34.61 0.171 83.92% 0.177 -0.3749
Using Tokens but Not Events 3602 29.74% 34.72 1.817 83.93% 0.82 0.9749

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3377 22.65 29.79%
II 14834 31.08 68.24%
III 13039 34.66 86.15%
IV 7784 37.91 99.24%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.071 Win Model: -0.217
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 27460 42.95% 32.61 76.15%
2 8116 41.54% 32.91 78.45%
3 2436 31.34% 34.7 82.18%
4 979 34.48% 35.49 79.37%
5 8 12.5% 41.75 75.0%
6 35 22.86% 39.71 71.43%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1001
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10905
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9540
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7639
Lose: Invader deck ran out 356
Lose: Adversary condition 2492
Win: Sacrifice victory 183
Lose: Scenario condition 370
Win: Scenario condition 819
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5450
Lose: Spirit destroyed 279

The Kingdom of England — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4645 33.82% 35.83 1.466 75.93% 0.404 0.3291
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2828 67.31% 31.08 -0.786 61.35% -0.068 0.011
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2340 43.66% 34.88 0.553 76.58% 0.441 0.2164
Downpour Drenches the World 171 27.81% 36.06 0.95 76.02% -0.038 0.2266
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3065 33.69% 37.48 2.274 79.64% 0.766 0.2633
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2766 42.38% 37.01 2.518 79.93% 0.942 0.3551
Finder of Paths Unseen 54 62.96% 24.48 -3.326 37.04% -0.908 -0.552
Fractured Days Split the Sky 533 46.99% 36.95 3.011 68.67% 0.252 0.3341
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 515 60.23% 34.9 -0.866 73.59% 0.04 -0.0553
Heart of the Wildfire 3434 83.58% 23.31 -5.203 44.47% -1.172 -0.7665
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9141 35.27% 35.56 1.45 78.95% 0.542 -0.061
Lightning's Swift Strike 4657 61.23% 30.6 -2.506 61.11% -0.466 -0.1013
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 80 52.5% 36.71 2.292 80.0% 1.033 0.2836
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 496 48.48% 38.37 2.497 78.43% 0.983 0.4196
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 309 55.99% 34.53 1.464 66.34% -0.366 -0.8607
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1612 57.44% 32.93 -0.156 69.91% 0.096 -0.0558
Many Minds Move as One 1022 35.85% 37.11 1.733 79.06% 0.506 -0.0803
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5029 60.73% 33.44 1.455 70.53% 0.709 0.5396
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2159 48.74% 33.12 -0.007 70.68% 0.043 -0.0136
River Surges in Sunlight 4839 58.91% 31.64 -0.801 55.59% -0.421 -0.4956
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 470 58.42% 33.26 -1.664 58.51% -0.364 0.0622
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 86 51.22% 37.63 1.185 70.93% 0.217 -0.124
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3395 44.81% 33.9 0.576 72.43% 0.061 -0.1331
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1930 80.05% 25.1 -3.055 41.09% -0.576 -0.1016
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 6 66.67% 27.33 -1.883 50.0% -0.047 0.1325
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 21 47.62% 34.19 -9.241 66.67% -1.487 -1.4312
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 219 66.97% 31.29 3.61 64.38% 0.299 0.2761
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 132 78.79% 26.09 -4.593 44.7% -0.787 -0.6714
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2970 46.08% 34.98 0.581 73.16% 0.224 0.0325
Shifting Memory of Ages 527 59.77% 33.34 -1.207 72.87% -0.416 -0.2011
Shroud of Silent Mist 664 72.08% 30.22 -1.414 64.61% -0.179 -0.0452
Starlight Seeks its Form 559 49.18% 33.88 0.611 70.84% 0.364 0.249
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1859 37.51% 34.15 0.685 81.12% 0.551 0.3124
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1284 65.94% 27.33 -2.791 50.31% -0.933 -0.8032
Thunderspeaker 4220 49.93% 34.49 1.057 68.63% 0.354 0.3366
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1278 81.05% 29.48 -0.611 67.37% 0.475 0.2595
Vital Strength of the Earth 4138 41.92% 31.08 -2.044 63.73% -0.83 0.0681
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 42 60.98% 30.05 0.384 61.9% 0.603 1.0256
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 238 52.94% 28.2 -3.068 56.3% -0.869 0.2455
Volcano Looming High 1202 66.67% 29.76 -1.701 65.97% -0.131 -0.1518

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 0.0% 50.5 0.0 100.0%
Blitz 0 735 52.85% 30.14 -1.133 60.41% -0.341 0.102
Dahan Insurrection 4 480 40.59% 49.03 7.635 59.38% -0.516 -0.4186
Despicable Theft 2 34 79.41% 34.26 7.232 50.0% 0.47 0.9685
Elemental Invocation 1 97 71.13% 30.38 0.86 52.58% -0.025 0.5203
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2034 14.69% 39.2 4.034 74.53% 0.547 0.7784
Powers Long Forgotten 1 272 74.91% 30.61 0.42 50.0% 0.088 0.4953
Rituals of Terror 3 178 63.48% 39.37 7.882 48.88% 0.343 0.1068
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 128 80.47% 37.53 -0.628 48.44% -0.651 -0.4249
Second Wave 0 1423 58.53% 31.65 -3.27 55.45% -1.217 -0.5241
The Great River 3 63 50.79% 36.95 9.654 46.03% 0.346 1.9272
Varied Terrains 2 5 80.0% 24.2 -9.052 20.0% -1.072 -0.2857
Ward the Shores 2 329 54.71% 35.1 -2.507 48.94% -0.688 0.1929

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 35393 50.92% 32.44 -0.166 69.73% -0.013 0.6497
1 Thematic 2609 59.99% 34.52 0.663 54.5% -0.676 0.3807
2 Archipelago 14 42.86% 43.5 1.471 50.0% -1.048 -0.5769
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7090 55.4% 31.85 -0.768 67.45% -0.106 0.4122
2 Coastline 762 45.18% 34.58 3.061 76.25% 1.327 1.5275
2 Fragment 185 52.72% 31.26 -8.48 64.32% -0.535 -0.2372
2 Heart 109 56.88% 30.74 -0.936 64.22% -0.054 0.407
2 Opposite Shores 1501 50.0% 33.29 0.395 71.09% 0.309 0.8478
2 Thematic 961 56.01% 35.27 -0.622 55.88% -0.328 0.4539
2 Top to Top 230 59.57% 32.18 -0.013 69.57% 0.386 0.5143
3 Archipelago 5 80.0% 39.6 0.0 60.0%
3 Coastline 6 33.33% 35.33 9.654 50.0% 0.346 -0.1614
3 Other 103 47.57% 35.1 -2.932 76.7% -0.478 -1.1425
3 Round (Default) 2549 48.84% 33.51 1.108 69.91% 0.493 0.7976
3 Sunrise 10 40.0% 39.1 0.0 90.0%
3 Thematic 195 60.51% 38.01 4.804 53.85% 0.797 1.0047
4 Archipelago 5 60.0% 56.6 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 42.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 5 60.0% 26.2 0.0 60.0%
4 Other 53 62.26% 34.89 -4.13 73.58% -0.363 -1.0774
4 Thematic 313 48.26% 37.31 2.446 56.55% 0.153 0.2573
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1221 41.76% 34.4 -0.539 70.76% -0.255 -0.1768
5 Other 32 40.63% 42.09 6.307 93.75% 0.074 -0.4425
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 3 33.33% 35.0 -7.028 66.67% -0.298 -0.2531
6 Star 3 0.0% 35.0 3.984 66.67% 0.251 1.0209
6 Thematic 13 25.0% 50.62 -5.594 69.23% -0.394 -0.1532
6 Two Centers (Default) 22 31.82% 39.91 0.619 77.27% 0.052 0.2437
7 Other 2 100.0% 24.5 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2138 27.15 -3.566 53.79% -1.195 0.7759
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1753 29.47 -3.447 58.59% -1.411 0.367
All Things Weaken 924 26.89 -3.533 53.14% -1.292 0.7567
Back Against the Wall 1662 27.87 -5.618 52.83% -1.918 0.0208
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1990 24.9 -5.461 51.66% -1.685 0.4429
Downward Spiral 4826 25.37 -4.0 50.68% -1.245 0.7163
Erosion of Will 1967 26.33 -2.361 50.38% -0.921 1.1608
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 373 35.54 0.602 83.91% 0.434 0.9355
Memory Fades to Dust 5002 25.13 -4.221 48.28% -1.478 0.6632
Power Corrodes the Spirit 915 27.43 -5.881 57.05% -1.774 0.2067
Promising Farmlands 1972 26.15 -3.006 53.55% -0.912 1.1093
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 255 35.44 0.713 81.57% -0.258 0.2386
Thriving Communities 877 25.23 -2.783 50.06% -1.038 1.0216
Tipping Point 850 24.86 0.0 47.76%
Unnatural Proliferation 992 27.64 -2.653 53.23% -0.941 1.0164
Untended Land Crumbles 884 26.43 -3.858 54.52% -1.229 0.8044

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11477 53.38% 31.99 0.14 67.12% 0.117 0.8535
B 12251 51.8% 32.22 -0.347 67.88% -0.225 0.4724
C 13408 49.06% 33.14 0.588 70.35% 0.169 0.6385
D 11193 52.21% 32.32 0.474 68.69% 0.302 1.0117
E 4018 48.61% 34.21 0.104 74.34% -0.198 0.3467
F 5788 50.14% 32.9 -0.983 70.92% -0.262 0.4
G 5135 51.6% 32.76 -0.39 70.91% -0.124 0.507
H 5597 46.86% 33.69 -0.254 72.38% -0.118 0.5466
East 2627 56.06% 36.67 1.421 56.49% -0.086 0.5756
Northeast 1585 53.95% 36.7 0.241 55.08% -0.674 -0.0141
Northwest 1268 57.81% 35.36 2.627 54.57% 0.7 1.3103
Southeast 318 50.0% 36.03 0.092 61.01% 0.183 0.7144
Southwest 291 53.85% 29.48 -2.692 49.83% -0.449 0.5191
West 2327 58.97% 34.28 0.913 52.3% -0.367 0.4388

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 445 0.0% 29.44 -4.671 53.48% -1.522 0.7067
Not Using Events or Tokens 7973 59.04% 29.08 -1.256 55.29% -0.402 -0.1752
Skip Initial Invader Actions 577 18.76% 45.68 4.505 86.31% 0.267 -0.7133
Start of Game Growth 913 20.07% 44.48 2.946 88.06% -0.072 -0.5284
Unlimited Undo 3747 49.21% 34.74 1.776 74.83% 0.372 -0.1792
Using Tokens but Not Events 5210 41.99% 34.55 0.71 76.39% 0.294 0.4493

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7289 22.65 7.38%
II 16627 31.08 53.85%
III 17778 34.66 86.8%
IV 11718 37.91 99.39%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.077 Win Model: -0.156
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 38108 51.54% 32.59 68.7%
2 10824 54.05% 32.57 67.54%
3 2836 49.73% 33.78 68.79%
4 1592 43.22% 35.08 68.59%
5 9 33.33% 42.44 77.78%
6 43 30.95% 41.74 69.77%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 536
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 15108
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8611
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 11531
Lose: Invader deck ran out 406
Lose: Adversary condition 5875
Win: Sacrifice victory 204
Lose: Scenario condition 681
Win: Scenario condition 579
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9378
Lose: Spirit destroyed 503

The Kingdom of England — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5196 44.24% 38.03 0.894 60.66% 0.218 0.1427
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2729 76.47% 32.99 0.305 46.76% 0.166 0.2447
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2247 60.21% 35.77 0.186 57.77% 0.302 0.0773
Downpour Drenches the World 202 49.0% 34.82 -1.165 51.98% -0.178 0.0866
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2901 44.08% 40.2 2.056 66.01% 0.435 -0.0676
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3381 50.85% 40.35 2.151 67.02% 0.654 0.0679
Finder of Paths Unseen 60 70.0% 27.82 -1.698 28.33% -0.193 0.1624
Fractured Days Split the Sky 689 52.33% 39.62 4.176 52.25% 0.584 0.666
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 584 68.91% 36.74 0.865 53.08% 0.368 0.273
Heart of the Wildfire 3236 87.03% 23.95 -4.657 26.92% -0.691 -0.2855
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7245 53.21% 38.04 0.556 62.71% 0.296 -0.3074
Lightning's Swift Strike 4904 68.52% 32.62 -1.58 47.19% -0.138 0.2263
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 166 63.95% 43.37 4.48 72.89% 1.196 0.4466
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 409 56.72% 39.8 -0.187 66.26% 0.077 -0.4863
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 411 58.05% 38.5 -2.95 57.18% -0.51 -1.0047
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2170 71.28% 33.81 -1.68 52.44% -0.303 -0.4545
Many Minds Move as One 873 44.38% 40.55 1.074 67.12% 0.219 -0.3668
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5937 66.57% 36.88 0.932 59.22% 0.484 0.3145
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2208 58.37% 33.83 -2.412 50.91% -0.504 -0.5603
River Surges in Sunlight 4785 63.45% 34.97 -0.863 45.94% -0.269 -0.3433
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 459 70.15% 34.11 -4.202 48.37% -0.774 -0.348
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 98 54.64% 40.06 -0.606 53.06% -0.29 -0.6315
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4201 52.32% 37.7 2.335 61.13% 0.814 0.6208
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1414 82.43% 25.64 -5.949 25.04% -1.078 -0.6033
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 17 76.47% 25.76 -7.003 29.41% -0.671 -0.491
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 23 73.91% 29.13 -4.969 34.78% -0.841 -0.7851
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 206 76.7% 32.97 2.902 49.51% 0.518 0.4957
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 111 87.16% 29.05 0.093 34.23% 0.048 0.164
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2919 57.21% 35.9 -1.684 54.74% -0.247 -0.4384
Shifting Memory of Ages 662 67.02% 35.95 -0.492 58.16% 0.157 0.372
Shroud of Silent Mist 712 76.77% 33.06 -1.376 50.98% -0.005 0.1288
Starlight Seeks its Form 880 51.29% 37.69 -0.087 58.41% 0.164 0.0495
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3103 46.52% 38.87 0.634 65.58% 0.527 0.2881
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1045 73.17% 30.11 -2.79 39.04% -0.526 -0.3955
Thunderspeaker 4664 62.92% 36.7 1.12 55.6% 0.235 0.2178
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1498 86.81% 33.37 0.509 56.28% 0.72 0.5049
Vital Strength of the Earth 3045 58.46% 31.32 -2.935 41.84% -0.63 0.2686
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 71 62.32% 34.07 -1.221 50.7% -0.022 0.4005
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 223 66.82% 30.68 -7.823 44.39% -0.678 0.4364
Volcano Looming High 1395 73.55% 33.05 -0.835 54.98% 0.168 0.1472

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 498 51.77% 34.3 -6.881 50.2% -1.052 -0.6088
Dahan Insurrection 4 479 47.35% 51.15 6.973 48.02% -0.075 0.0224
Despicable Theft 2 19 68.42% 39.79 0.0 36.84%
Elemental Invocation 1 97 69.07% 33.87 -6.012 42.27% -1.137 -0.5912
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2020 21.14% 42.06 1.976 61.39% 0.115 0.3469
Powers Long Forgotten 1 151 76.82% 32.95 -7.139 35.76% -0.565 -0.1579
Rituals of Terror 3 137 73.53% 37.73 -3.838 32.12% -1.518 -1.754
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 47 93.62% 37.38 0.0 31.91%
Second Wave 0 688 60.29% 35.58 -2.881 47.67% -1.201 -0.5086
The Great River 3 45 62.22% 34.11 6.669 26.67% 0.052 1.6338
Varied Terrains 2 3 100.0% 21.33 -5.596 0.0% -0.297 0.4891
Ward the Shores 2 155 67.1% 37.54 -5.785 39.35% -0.26 0.6205

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 34205 64.53% 34.8 0.292 55.05% 0.078 0.7406
1 Thematic 1918 62.11% 39.01 0.952 47.55% -0.183 0.8737
2 Archipelago 16 50.0% 50.5 13.485 68.75% 0.42 0.8912
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7431 63.22% 34.64 -0.808 54.03% -0.262 0.2562
2 Coastline 952 59.89% 36.74 0.335 60.19% 0.221 0.422
2 Fragment 179 65.36% 33.2 -3.64 50.84% -0.358 -0.0603
2 Heart 103 74.51% 33.46 -3.196 51.46% -0.113 0.3478
2 Opposite Shores 1554 62.15% 34.52 -2.377 51.99% -0.537 0.0013
2 Thematic 612 65.84% 36.15 -2.337 38.56% -0.372 0.4099
2 Top to Top 290 59.03% 37.31 -2.943 60.69% -0.486 -0.3576
3 Archipelago 3 66.67% 31.67 0.0 33.33%
3 Coastline 11 45.45% 41.0 6.669 63.64% 0.052 -0.4548
3 Other 113 47.32% 41.07 9.356 71.68% 0.934 0.2697
3 Round (Default) 3029 56.05% 35.63 -0.156 54.94% -0.18 0.1245
3 Sunrise 16 68.75% 46.5 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 154 67.53% 35.21 -4.247 30.52% -0.173 0.0353
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 3 33.33% 30.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Other 70 57.97% 35.63 -7.929 57.14% -0.609 -1.3232
4 Snake 4 75.0% 32.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 311 51.45% 37.88 20.373 40.84% 0.284 0.3876
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1661 47.73% 38.14 2.159 58.28% 0.17 0.2477
5 Other 38 38.89% 45.87 6.015 68.42% 0.792 0.2761
5 Thematic 3 100.0% 45.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 5 20.0% 44.2 0.245 60.0% -0.504 -0.6502
6 Other 14 28.57% 43.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 9 44.44% 54.56 7.231 66.67% 0.73 1.5008
6 Thematic 32 37.5% 42.22 -0.538 18.75% -0.176 0.0648
6 Two Centers (Default) 37 37.84% 38.7 0.237 51.35% -0.453 -0.2613
7 Other 1 100.0% 23.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2489 30.41 -5.266 42.47% -1.382 0.5887
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2019 33.05 -1.78 47.7% -0.64 1.1382
All Things Weaken 1227 32.14 -2.3 48.08% -0.727 1.3217
Back Against the Wall 2047 31.55 -1.066 43.67% -0.439 1.4999
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2410 28.06 -5.366 40.83% -1.309 0.8189
Downward Spiral 5515 29.68 -3.943 44.51% -0.85 1.1116
Erosion of Will 2462 29.86 -4.603 41.19% -1.122 0.9595
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 400 39.7 1.647 69.75% 0.405 0.9069
Memory Fades to Dust 5541 29.51 -3.674 42.18% -0.914 1.2274
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1194 30.76 -2.618 46.15% -0.651 1.33
Promising Farmlands 2506 29.73 -1.533 43.85% -0.292 1.7298
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 275 40.59 -1.088 74.91% -0.346 0.1504
Thriving Communities 1237 30.42 -2.217 46.0% -0.575 1.4845
Tipping Point 1031 28.72 0.0 41.22%
Unnatural Proliferation 1348 32.87 -1.782 49.63% -0.691 1.2664
Untended Land Crumbles 1219 30.49 -1.807 45.28% -0.434 1.5989

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12124 61.94% 34.87 -0.204 53.37% 0.061 0.7977
B 12822 61.73% 34.73 -0.272 53.31% 0.002 0.6989
C 13745 61.48% 35.42 -0.435 55.51% 0.061 0.5306
D 11782 62.18% 34.99 0.151 54.63% 0.158 0.8672
E 4640 57.5% 37.02 0.828 60.09% 0.406 0.9509
F 6085 61.81% 35.59 -0.185 56.78% -0.018 0.644
G 5326 61.37% 35.48 0.5 55.76% 0.173 0.8034
H 5939 56.99% 36.55 0.476 58.51% 0.273 0.9373
East 1905 59.98% 39.4 1.518 43.67% 0.082 0.7439
Northeast 1193 57.19% 39.81 -0.316 42.41% -0.391 0.2688
Northwest 977 59.9% 37.5 0.206 40.94% -0.045 0.5657
Southeast 311 60.46% 36.14 1.474 37.3% 0.239 0.7699
Southwest 282 59.64% 33.45 -3.628 38.3% -0.918 0.0506
West 1763 61.95% 36.4 -0.049 39.99% -0.334 0.4715

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 461 0.0% 36.34 -2.271 51.41% -0.843 1.3859
Not Using Events or Tokens 6937 66.17% 32.61 -0.559 46.79% -0.076 0.1507
Skip Initial Invader Actions 845 15.14% 53.23 4.962 85.33% 1.035 0.0553
Start of Game Growth 1323 21.41% 49.95 5.738 79.52% 1.11 0.6529
Unlimited Undo 4690 57.54% 38.57 0.757 63.8% 0.074 -0.4777
Using Tokens but Not Events 4376 54.84% 36.59 0.321 59.99% 0.127 0.2825

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8461 22.65 3.05%
II 15817 31.08 22.08%
III 15889 34.66 78.27%
IV 12621 37.91 99.42%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.013 Win Model: -0.196
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 36248 64.38% 35.05 54.7%
2 11159 63.0% 34.9 53.26%
3 3221 56.14% 35.88 55.26%
4 2048 48.29% 38.12 55.62%
5 14 46.15% 31.14 35.71%
6 98 36.73% 42.11 41.84%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 258
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12153
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3318
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 12403
Lose: Invader deck ran out 416
Lose: Adversary condition 10110
Win: Sacrifice victory 245
Lose: Scenario condition 904
Win: Scenario condition 358
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12014
Lose: Spirit destroyed 609

The Kingdom of England — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4863 40.55% 44.05 -1.563 64.96% -0.373 -0.4479
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2627 70.8% 39.25 -3.651 53.71% -0.724 -0.645
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2188 62.55% 38.86 -3.352 54.8% -0.601 -0.8254
Downpour Drenches the World 245 44.08% 40.84 -1.961 56.33% -0.51 -0.245
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2864 43.68% 45.38 -1.152 69.69% -0.171 -0.6744
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6221 29.52% 51.44 2.537 83.48% 0.724 0.1379
Finder of Paths Unseen 85 49.41% 38.6 -2.76 50.59% -0.631 -0.2753
Fractured Days Split the Sky 758 45.57% 47.53 0.966 64.91% -0.147 -0.0654
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 779 48.84% 45.33 2.111 63.41% 0.209 0.1144
Heart of the Wildfire 2846 75.96% 32.1 -6.919 37.53% -1.23 -0.8241
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 14554 31.19% 49.13 3.194 77.46% 0.784 0.1807
Lightning's Swift Strike 4432 59.81% 38.43 -3.295 50.5% -0.778 -0.4129
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 224 62.9% 44.13 0.228 64.73% 0.616 -0.1329
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 456 51.87% 46.82 2.185 73.25% 0.565 0.0016
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 414 48.07% 46.64 2.563 68.12% 0.79 0.296
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2034 60.86% 41.16 -1.522 60.42% -0.184 -0.3355
Many Minds Move as One 969 38.95% 47.73 3.468 75.34% 0.845 0.2594
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5093 60.23% 42.55 0.578 62.5% 0.285 0.115
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2366 54.94% 39.04 -0.396 53.93% 0.219 0.1626
River Surges in Sunlight 4136 55.84% 41.1 -0.055 51.28% -0.021 -0.0951
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 436 59.31% 38.32 -1.361 45.41% 0.032 0.4579
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 192 27.23% 55.69 4.653 82.29% 0.929 0.5876
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5900 39.75% 46.24 2.205 71.41% 0.9 0.7061
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 990 74.39% 31.4 -2.034 31.92% -0.238 0.237
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 12 91.67% 35.67 -0.911 50.0% 0.241 0.4203
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 18 66.67% 35.89 -5.611 44.44% -0.703 -0.6475
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 198 82.83% 30.96 -5.098 32.32% -0.661 -0.6838
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 112 55.36% 42.92 0.477 58.04% 0.359 0.4751
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5152 31.16% 49.25 1.722 74.09% 0.453 0.2613
Shifting Memory of Ages 800 62.38% 40.94 -2.323 57.63% -0.531 -0.3165
Shroud of Silent Mist 621 70.99% 40.27 -0.556 59.58% 0.164 0.298
Starlight Seeks its Form 938 53.3% 43.34 -0.086 64.71% 0.108 -0.0064
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3062 39.63% 42.19 0.19 73.06% 0.71 0.4712
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 927 63.19% 36.39 -4.864 44.98% -0.64 -0.5097
Thunderspeaker 5826 42.96% 45.76 0.442 65.81% 0.003 -0.0143
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2098 81.58% 41.46 0.907 66.87% 0.802 0.5863
Vital Strength of the Earth 2139 53.16% 36.23 -0.431 43.9% -0.073 0.8251
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 93 56.99% 39.99 -3.444 47.31% -0.682 -0.2587
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 305 54.1% 39.83 -3.237 57.38% -0.335 0.7795
Volcano Looming High 1797 72.02% 36.72 -3.961 53.2% -0.299 -0.3199

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 66.67% 56.0 5.267 100.0% 0.348 0.8442
Blitz 0 377 54.18% 38.94 0.191 53.58% -1.156 -0.7129
Dahan Insurrection 4 351 45.27% 57.18 12.019 51.57% 0.4 0.4967
Despicable Theft 2 9 100.0% 45.0 11.875 55.56% 0.517 1.0155
Elemental Invocation 1 72 73.61% 41.94 5.501 55.56% 0.693 1.2387
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5537 9.33% 55.1 3.874 83.19% 0.468 0.6992
Powers Long Forgotten 1 114 77.19% 35.5 2.973 32.46% 0.039 0.4464
Rituals of Terror 3 115 69.57% 44.19 -5.675 35.65% -0.679 -0.9153
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 92 89.13% 34.88 0.0 21.74%
Second Wave 0 380 54.47% 37.64 -1.32 45.0% -0.419 0.2733
The Great River 3 45 77.78% 34.09 -7.644 20.0% -0.526 1.0552
Varied Terrains 2 1 0.0% 32.0 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 138 67.88% 41.94 0.387 41.3% -0.837 0.0443

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 38593 53.15% 42.16 -0.723 63.9% -0.152 0.5114
1 Thematic 1284 64.23% 39.32 0.171 39.02% -0.111 0.9455
2 Archipelago 13 38.46% 49.85 9.073 53.85% 0.322 0.7926
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8022 54.59% 42.35 0.378 61.74% -0.09 0.4282
2 Coastline 1216 51.16% 44.81 0.936 68.91% 0.207 0.4074
2 Fragment 149 62.59% 36.66 6.531 48.99% 0.542 0.8405
2 Heart 142 58.45% 42.23 -4.67 60.56% -0.125 0.3358
2 Opposite Shores 1345 57.79% 40.09 0.699 53.83% -0.292 0.2469
2 Thematic 389 64.78% 40.81 -2.016 41.65% -0.581 0.2013
2 Top to Top 253 59.44% 40.1 0.862 58.89% -0.055 0.0728
3 Archipelago 4 100.0% 72.25 11.73 75.0% 0.086 -0.132
3 Coastline 19 72.22% 31.74 0.0 26.32%
3 Other 143 56.34% 43.97 0.29 69.93% 0.13 -0.5339
3 Round (Default) 2714 52.48% 41.88 0.345 61.61% -0.061 0.243
3 Sunrise 16 56.25% 35.13 0.0 43.75%
3 Thematic 76 61.84% 42.49 -4.476 44.74% -0.566 -0.3578
4 Archipelago 10 60.0% 46.3 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 11 72.73% 37.73 0.0 54.55%
4 Other 71 64.79% 43.77 4.471 67.61% 0.274 -0.4395
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 310 49.68% 51.05 0.0 60.97%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3950 18.4% 51.61 -0.068 78.33% -0.812 -0.7342
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 38.5 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 73 26.39% 54.9 4.896 84.93% 0.378 -0.1383
5 Thematic 4 0.0% 69.25 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 9 37.5% 42.22 0.0 33.33%
6 Star 11 54.55% 37.18 0.0 45.45%
6 Thematic 15 46.67% 51.0 6.386 53.33% 0.436 0.677
6 Two Centers (Default) 33 27.27% 51.12 -1.119 78.79% -0.449 -0.2577
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 74.0 0.0 50.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 96.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2418 34.73 -5.368 45.91% -1.504 0.4673
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1929 37.4 -3.122 51.27% -0.981 0.7964
All Things Weaken 1255 35.98 -3.138 50.2% -0.877 1.1717
Back Against the Wall 1934 36.11 -4.258 47.57% -1.185 0.7537
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2398 32.53 -4.94 44.45% -1.11 1.0176
Downward Spiral 4347 33.46 -5.006 44.97% -1.096 0.8656
Erosion of Will 2366 34.59 -2.581 45.35% -0.585 1.4964
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 411 42.84 -0.668 68.13% -0.077 0.4243
Memory Fades to Dust 4383 33.5 -4.841 43.85% -1.145 0.9963
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1233 35.13 -3.651 50.12% -0.941 1.0399
Promising Farmlands 2334 33.62 -4.903 45.72% -1.167 0.8549
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 348 45.07 1.524 75.29% 0.27 0.7669
Thriving Communities 1257 34.74 -4.804 48.93% -1.186 0.8736
Tipping Point 932 31.37 0.0 38.73%
Unnatural Proliferation 1329 36.15 -2.681 49.74% -0.66 1.2969
Untended Land Crumbles 1277 35.07 -5.75 49.49% -1.424 0.6092

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14224 46.6% 43.48 1.01 63.81% 0.203 0.9391
B 16190 44.49% 44.58 0.144 66.19% -0.343 0.3543
C 16955 46.12% 44.74 0.989 67.37% -0.069 0.4009
D 12139 51.98% 42.24 -0.146 62.44% -0.239 0.4703
E 5891 48.32% 44.14 -0.726 67.12% -0.428 0.1166
F 7668 46.68% 44.04 0.427 66.68% -0.017 0.6443
G 6706 48.2% 43.63 0.093 65.7% -0.186 0.4446
H 6796 46.52% 44.53 -1.35 67.86% -0.543 0.1217
East 1372 59.02% 43.81 -1.158 45.12% -0.745 -0.0839
Northeast 873 57.22% 44.29 3.65 45.13% 0.42 1.0803
Northwest 722 61.5% 43.69 0.904 45.29% -0.094 0.5167
Southeast 160 54.72% 46.25 4.033 57.5% 0.554 1.0851
Southwest 186 61.08% 39.65 -0.628 50.0% -0.358 0.6101
West 1217 63.82% 41.65 1.327 43.47% -0.13 0.6752

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 261 0.0% 42.14 2.257 59.0% 0.701 2.9297
Not Using Events or Tokens 6310 48.78% 42.1 0.554 60.67% 0.307 0.5339
Skip Initial Invader Actions 907 15.5% 60.04 9.426 89.08% 1.369 0.3885
Start of Game Growth 1540 17.92% 55.55 5.322 82.53% 1.202 0.7454
Unlimited Undo 4963 54.65% 43.66 0.456 66.69% 0.227 -0.3246
Using Tokens but Not Events 4237 39.53% 46.02 -0.812 69.06% -0.155 0.0006

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8803 22.65 27.97%
II 16286 31.08 34.22%
III 18026 34.66 75.84%
IV 15783 37.91 99.67%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.264 Win Model: 0.208
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 40052 53.45% 42.11 63.2%
2 11454 55.44% 42.09 60.42%
3 2922 52.96% 41.8 60.95%
4 4376 21.37% 51.49 76.85%
5 24 39.13% 48.21 66.67%
6 70 36.76% 48.64 62.86%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2461
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13415
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5413
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15552
Lose: Invader deck ran out 81
Lose: Adversary condition 9352
Win: Sacrifice victory 312
Lose: Scenario condition 1064
Win: Scenario condition 284
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10387
Lose: Spirit destroyed 577

The Kingdom of England — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1939 47.26% 46.64 2.014 49.97% 0.408 0.3324
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 710 82.13% 38.8 2.66 36.62% 0.578 0.657
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 527 78.1% 32.41 -8.035 21.06% -1.088 -1.313
Downpour Drenches the World 65 40.63% 42.25 -1.341 38.46% -0.492 -0.2268
Eyes Watch From the Trees 884 61.05% 44.34 2.831 48.64% 0.6 0.0971
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1297 60.51% 46.76 1.601 53.05% 0.562 -0.0247
Finder of Paths Unseen 11 72.73% 59.55 5.576 72.73% 0.417 0.7732
Fractured Days Split the Sky 270 67.29% 50.57 1.787 44.81% -0.504 -0.4216
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 173 90.17% 35.68 5.746 30.06% 0.729 0.6336
Heart of the Wildfire 967 87.46% 26.53 -9.143 13.44% -1.251 -0.8459
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3914 54.84% 46.87 1.901 56.16% 0.441 -0.1625
Lightning's Swift Strike 2171 64.8% 42.27 -1.723 40.53% -0.377 -0.012
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 83 59.04% 57.02 3.837 68.67% 0.714 -0.0346
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 141 68.09% 48.29 1.724 59.57% 0.236 -0.328
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 129 71.32% 43.13 7.062 46.51% 0.745 0.2509
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 770 77.53% 39.05 -1.894 36.49% -0.477 -0.6283
Many Minds Move as One 259 47.1% 51.54 -0.244 65.64% -0.072 -0.6581
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2470 66.38% 46.75 2.017 55.14% 0.685 0.5148
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 696 63.2% 38.38 -6.586 32.9% -1.233 -1.2889
River Surges in Sunlight 1454 54.07% 45.26 1.232 43.6% -0.47 -0.5444
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 89 75.0% 36.52 -0.369 21.35% -0.103 0.3229
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 13 84.62% 45.54 3.985 30.77% 0.582 0.2405
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1590 62.9% 44.54 1.542 49.5% 0.55 0.3559
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 388 83.42% 31.4 6.064 17.78% 0.802 1.2768
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 1 100.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 44 77.27% 36.64 13.774 31.82% 0.551 0.5282
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 38 84.21% 36.63 -10.481 31.58% -0.377 -0.261
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1332 55.46% 48.14 -2.39 53.6% -0.397 -0.5883
Shifting Memory of Ages 229 74.24% 45.51 -2.943 47.16% -0.585 -0.3699
Shroud of Silent Mist 188 85.79% 38.71 -3.87 38.83% -0.537 -0.4028
Starlight Seeks its Form 302 66.23% 42.98 -0.11 45.03% -0.123 -0.2381
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3241 29.65% 51.48 4.215 76.15% 1.675 1.4363
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 323 80.13% 32.09 4.299 19.5% 0.742 0.8722
Thunderspeaker 1450 74.58% 39.15 -1.12 34.07% 0.196 0.1784
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 907 86.66% 43.3 -7.421 54.24% -1.132 -1.3478
Vital Strength of the Earth 833 56.04% 40.97 -1.768 35.41% -0.414 0.4842
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 13 53.85% 55.69 2.716 53.85% -0.421 0.0024
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 71 74.65% 34.77 -5.165 30.99% -0.446 0.6681
Volcano Looming High 442 90.05% 31.43 -3.788 25.11% -0.508 -0.5286

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 201 57.58% 40.73 3.128 44.78% 0.041 0.4843
Dahan Insurrection 4 198 75.63% 45.42 19.676 17.17% -0.05 0.0468
Despicable Theft 2 5 100.0% 45.8 0.0 40.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 16 75.0% 32.31 0.0 18.75%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1070 19.87% 53.47 -0.255 60.19% -1.09 -0.8588
Powers Long Forgotten 1 58 86.21% 37.38 0.0 24.14%
Rituals of Terror 3 49 85.71% 76.78 33.253 53.06% 0.263 0.0265
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 20 75.0% 42.35 0.0 25.0%
Second Wave 0 166 68.48% 37.54 -6.546 28.92% -1.307 -0.6147
The Great River 3 2 50.0% 54.5 0.0 50.0%
Ward the Shores 2 56 61.82% 46.89 0.0 33.93%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 15307 62.76% 42.54 0.033 49.47% 0.026 0.689
1 Thematic 1033 73.16% 41.41 1.15 32.53% 0.166 1.2224
2 Archipelago 10 100.0% 55.8 0.0 20.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2314 71.93% 39.97 1.087 40.41% 0.268 0.786
2 Coastline 247 67.36% 44.74 2.326 51.82% 0.409 0.6095
2 Fragment 65 75.38% 40.77 6.53 41.54% 0.187 0.4855
2 Heart 29 79.31% 37.07 0.0 37.93%
2 Opposite Shores 529 69.66% 40.73 -4.662 40.26% -0.953 -0.4145
2 Thematic 169 68.64% 45.86 15.652 30.77% 0.858 1.6407
2 Top to Top 89 59.55% 45.65 2.6 51.69% 0.353 0.4813
3 Archipelago 4 100.0% 119.5 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 4 75.0% 33.75 0.0 25.0%
3 Other 50 76.0% 51.78 9.484 72.0% 0.883 0.2189
3 Round (Default) 866 69.63% 39.31 -5.195 38.22% -1.143 -0.8387
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 42.0 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 41 73.17% 44.59 -11.58 34.15% -0.815 -0.6069
4 Archipelago 5 100.0% 43.0 0.0 20.0%
4 Leaf 6 83.33% 38.17 0.0 33.33%
4 Other 22 81.82% 45.82 -10.003 59.09% -0.754 -1.4678
4 Thematic 222 20.72% 65.15 -7.506 72.07% -0.238 -0.1338
4 Trapezoid (Default) 752 30.86% 52.93 4.079 61.44% 0.432 0.51
5 Other 12 50.0% 73.08 5.727 75.0% 0.075 -0.4414
5 Thematic 19 52.63% 66.89 0.0 52.63%
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 70.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 6 0.0% 52.5 0.807 50.0% -0.095 -0.0498
6 Star 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 27 11.11% 75.67 3.288 77.78% 0.033 0.274
6 Two Centers (Default) 4 100.0% 44.5 0.0 50.0%
7 Archipelago 2 50.0% 146.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1104 37.12 -3.694 35.05% -0.71 1.2613
Aid From Lesser Spirits 867 39.58 -0.813 39.33% -0.159 1.6185
All Things Weaken 529 37.62 -3.054 37.43% -0.451 1.5975
Back Against the Wall 799 37.87 -4.095 35.67% -0.658 1.2811
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1061 35.2 -1.929 35.25% -0.167 1.961
Downward Spiral 2094 34.99 -3.866 32.62% -0.503 1.4586
Erosion of Will 1202 35.54 -2.152 32.36% -0.417 1.6644
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 166 46.48 1.559 59.04% 0.402 0.9037
Memory Fades to Dust 2036 34.08 -4.708 29.17% -0.805 1.3361
Power Corrodes the Spirit 536 37.38 1.479 37.31% 0.199 2.1795
Promising Farmlands 1072 36.04 -3.405 35.07% -0.399 1.6226
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 130 48.13 -1.64 64.62% -0.346 0.1509
Thriving Communities 534 37.11 -3.371 38.76% -0.264 1.7955
Tipping Point 470 35.04 0.0 31.91%
Unnatural Proliferation 616 40.03 -3.684 41.07% -0.752 1.2054
Untended Land Crumbles 564 36.57 -5.26 37.59% -0.836 1.1977

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4037 67.08% 40.84 -0.424 41.89% -0.101 0.635
B 5309 60.55% 42.91 -0.699 46.19% -0.051 0.6463
C 7505 52.83% 46.82 0.657 59.08% -0.386 0.0838
D 3894 67.56% 42.15 -2.577 44.92% -0.714 -0.0042
E 1691 67.58% 41.23 0.959 43.88% 0.185 0.7297
F 1983 67.02% 41.11 0.576 43.02% 0.091 0.7529
G 1730 69.46% 40.53 -0.955 41.91% -0.287 0.3442
H 1871 66.18% 41.06 -0.47 41.96% -0.443 0.2215
East 1031 59.22% 48.89 6.012 41.13% 0.036 0.698
Northeast 626 52.72% 50.26 -1.03 42.33% -0.815 -0.155
Northwest 457 46.61% 55.04 1.835 54.27% 0.054 0.6644
Southeast 134 41.79% 54.63 1.371 50.75% -0.508 0.0229
Southwest 127 41.73% 52.6 3.288 51.97% 0.033 1.0015
West 765 55.56% 51.18 3.92 47.58% -0.114 0.6913

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 84 0.0% 55.86 2.414 60.71% 0.18 2.409
Not Using Events or Tokens 2079 69.37% 38.47 -1.92 34.39% -0.188 0.0389
Skip Initial Invader Actions 484 19.82% 65.4 10.418 80.37% 2.23 1.2498
Start of Game Growth 880 20.1% 62.81 6.71 75.68% 0.581 0.1245
Unlimited Undo 1715 62.61% 46.46 -0.289 53.18% 0.021 -0.5301
Using Tokens but Not Events 1337 61.24% 41.73 -1.314 41.21% -0.814 -0.6589

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4380 22.65 5.82%
II 6087 31.08 13.44%
III 4265 34.66 52.31%
IV 7107 37.91 99.79%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.449 Win Model: 0.205
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 16404 63.5% 42.53 48.41%
2 3433 70.8% 40.82 41.19%
3 944 70.66% 39.74 38.45%
4 1010 29.54% 55.78 63.56%
5 6 50.0% 85.33 83.33%
6 42 21.95% 73.0 73.81%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 255
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2170
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 781
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7010
Lose: Invader deck ran out 38
Lose: Adversary condition 5098
Win: Sacrifice victory 110
Lose: Scenario condition 382
Win: Scenario condition 70
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5640
Lose: Spirit destroyed 285

The Kingdom of England — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8551 42.89% 50.05 -0.138 47.88% -0.25 -0.3256
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5239 80.53% 39.41 -3.01 31.27% -0.186 -0.1075
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2139 68.27% 35.87 -7.008 22.21% -1.681 -1.9059
Downpour Drenches the World 451 42.35% 48.47 0.09 42.13% -0.05 0.2148
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4317 59.93% 47.74 2.586 45.36% 0.741 0.2375
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7682 54.36% 51.52 5.379 54.69% 1.161 0.5749
Finder of Paths Unseen 167 49.7% 52.87 -0.744 48.5% 0.026 0.3818
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2291 49.76% 57.41 4.887 53.69% 0.336 0.4174
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 898 80.62% 35.36 -5.387 21.6% -1.244 -1.3391
Heart of the Wildfire 3762 80.36% 32.36 -4.02 18.47% -0.161 0.2446
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 21697 47.53% 51.29 2.631 57.01% 0.719 0.1156
Lightning's Swift Strike 12196 62.68% 45.06 -1.676 41.55% -0.01 0.3552
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 883 69.99% 49.92 2.54 50.4% 0.876 0.1265
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 2137 57.65% 48.91 2.262 51.71% 0.535 -0.0285
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1173 53.45% 53.34 2.878 56.27% 0.717 0.2226
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3797 72.28% 41.83 -3.004 37.11% -0.249 -0.4005
Many Minds Move as One 1763 49.86% 56.8 3.109 66.93% 0.702 0.1162
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 19466 59.52% 52.38 1.398 54.48% 0.611 0.4416
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2299 55.6% 43.45 -0.502 37.06% 0.213 0.1566
River Surges in Sunlight 7225 54.33% 50.22 4.525 42.84% 0.697 0.6227
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 754 53.32% 46.07 -8.286 33.16% -1.902 -1.4759
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 216 67.91% 52.19 2.329 32.41% 0.037 -0.3045
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 11842 44.44% 54.53 3.491 59.58% 0.836 0.6421
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3351 66.92% 39.81 2.142 29.07% 0.718 1.1924
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 15 93.33% 50.4 4.05 46.67% 0.568 0.7475
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 41 80.49% 40.61 -2.425 31.71% 0.054 0.1098
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 304 75.0% 36.68 -2.974 23.36% -0.365 -0.3879
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 275 75.27% 39.1 -6.763 28.36% -0.675 -0.5595
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5360 50.9% 51.91 2.791 53.64% 0.441 0.2493
Shifting Memory of Ages 1251 61.52% 51.01 -1.874 46.76% -0.238 -0.023
Shroud of Silent Mist 977 82.71% 41.51 -3.458 38.18% -0.2 -0.0663
Starlight Seeks its Form 2139 53.72% 50.92 1.349 50.58% 0.295 0.1797
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 9419 43.39% 44.46 -1.0 50.57% 0.416 0.1776
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1868 67.75% 39.55 -2.755 29.07% -0.507 -0.3764
Thunderspeaker 6951 67.71% 43.16 -2.679 29.56% -0.409 -0.4259
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3661 81.6% 44.64 -1.932 47.31% 0.311 0.0955
Vital Strength of the Earth 3793 46.89% 43.98 -1.489 33.27% -0.382 0.5164
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 176 47.43% 43.43 -4.694 30.11% -1.05 -0.6271
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 339 66.67% 33.97 -3.526 17.99% -0.415 0.6992
Volcano Looming High 2848 80.12% 34.41 -5.618 23.81% -0.735 -0.7558

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 1143 49.78% 47.0 1.43 44.79% 0.626 1.0693
Dahan Insurrection 4 2269 69.03% 48.74 0.081 14.46% -1.417 -1.3201
Despicable Theft 2 41 68.29% 46.41 -4.254 34.15% -0.25 0.2488
Elemental Invocation 1 99 66.67% 42.43 -6.218 30.3% -0.315 0.2303
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 14973 23.44% 56.03 5.164 55.79% 0.58 0.8114
Powers Long Forgotten 1 165 87.88% 32.21 0.0 11.52%
Rituals of Terror 3 496 68.89% 103.12 25.36 58.87% 2.211 1.9753
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 101 92.08% 34.74 -10.313 7.92% -0.428 -0.2015
Second Wave 0 277 63.77% 45.01 2.869 39.71% 0.0 0.6925
The Great River 3 25 52.0% 49.12 -3.169 28.0% -0.152 1.429
Varied Terrains 2 4 100.0% 44.25 0.0 25.0%
Ward the Shores 2 237 71.55% 45.68 0.0 31.22%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 87131 61.98% 44.77 -1.902 44.19% -1.176 -0.5127
1 Thematic 5743 62.17% 46.22 0.16 23.89% -1.694 -0.6367
2 Archipelago 35 68.57% 79.31 20.904 40.0% 0.034 0.5049
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9317 68.25% 43.66 -1.456 40.75% -1.182 -0.6638
2 Coastline 1857 63.92% 43.89 3.376 39.74% -0.35 -0.1497
2 Fragment 186 69.35% 42.66 6.397 37.63% 0.174 0.4727
2 Heart 176 67.05% 51.61 7.081 58.52% 0.501 0.962
2 Opposite Shores 2837 53.76% 47.63 0.563 44.34% -0.62 -0.0813
2 Thematic 1805 39.28% 70.8 9.858 53.52% -0.329 0.4534
2 Top to Top 593 59.19% 49.38 1.175 52.61% -0.206 -0.0779
3 Archipelago 21 52.38% 62.52 37.802 52.38% 0.494 0.2758
3 Coastline 26 52.0% 52.88 0.082 57.69% -0.324 -0.8309
3 Other 277 62.45% 52.17 8.139 60.65% 0.486 -0.1783
3 Round (Default) 4940 52.18% 48.8 -3.575 50.43% -1.8 -1.495
3 Sunrise 13 38.46% 53.23 0.0 61.54%
3 Thematic 131 48.46% 69.95 15.693 41.98% -0.739 -0.5309
4 Archipelago 11 72.73% 68.91 29.518 54.55% 0.144 0.1064
4 Coastline 31 9.68% 45.13 6.434 35.48% 0.088 0.0511
4 Leaf 18 33.33% 50.94 0.0 44.44%
4 Other 178 51.41% 55.87 8.08 67.42% 0.44 -0.2739
4 Thematic 1567 23.87% 69.08 6.49 70.45% 0.128 0.2318
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3033 37.51% 55.07 3.173 60.57% 0.15 0.2272
5 Archipelago 5 80.0% 58.6 0.0 40.0%
5 Coastline 10 20.0% 71.4 9.259 100.0% 0.173 -0.4145
5 Other 87 41.98% 64.7 0.034 77.01% -0.186 -0.7025
5 Thematic 60 20.0% 81.55 -3.375 90.0% -0.474 -0.7616
6 Archipelago 2 50.0% 66.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 34.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 62 25.81% 54.71 0.171 54.84% 0.033 0.0781
6 Star 17 47.06% 58.71 4.05 64.71% 0.393 1.163
6 Thematic 114 14.91% 72.24 4.05 72.81% 0.862 1.1025
6 Two Centers (Default) 133 21.05% 68.62 9.381 63.91% 0.098 0.2892
7 Archipelago 3 100.0% 84.0 0.0 33.33%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 5813 39.4 -2.234 33.7% -0.526 1.4451
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4892 42.38 -1.133 38.61% -0.419 1.3583
All Things Weaken 3002 38.3 -3.945 31.61% -0.855 1.194
Back Against the Wall 4582 41.43 -0.529 36.47% -0.265 1.6744
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5555 37.01 -4.717 32.12% -0.951 1.1769
Downward Spiral 10315 38.34 -3.632 30.78% -0.569 1.3924
Erosion of Will 5638 38.11 -3.729 31.02% -0.848 1.2341
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1032 48.45 0.673 49.9% -0.175 0.3263
Memory Fades to Dust 10267 37.59 -4.384 27.91% -0.888 1.2534
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3000 38.92 -2.897 33.33% -0.676 1.3049
Promising Farmlands 5561 38.54 -3.488 33.36% -0.814 1.2076
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 637 51.26 0.376 56.67% -0.413 0.0833
Thriving Communities 3155 39.26 -4.573 34.42% -1.035 1.024
Tipping Point 2148 36.92 0.0 30.4%
Unnatural Proliferation 3327 40.61 -1.856 34.66% -0.44 1.5169
Untended Land Crumbles 3101 38.55 -4.846 33.02% -0.995 1.0381

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 23608 57.81% 45.94 -1.218 44.77% -0.736 0.0007
B 25830 59.25% 45.6 0.488 44.53% -0.402 0.295
C 29315 59.87% 46.81 -0.191 47.47% -0.468 0.0022
D 21038 62.66% 45.92 -0.092 45.8% -0.368 0.3417
E 12835 58.84% 46.39 0.433 46.05% -0.441 0.1034
F 12263 58.56% 46.68 -0.514 46.66% -0.602 0.0599
G 11439 57.84% 45.77 -0.058 44.8% -0.488 0.1429
H 11415 55.65% 47.83 0.244 48.59% -0.541 0.1233
East 6891 47.43% 58.83 3.899 41.78% -0.764 -0.1025
Northeast 4698 42.04% 59.64 5.867 44.76% 0.29 0.9495
Northwest 2909 31.8% 65.1 5.332 58.27% 0.279 0.889
Southeast 714 48.74% 56.98 1.494 43.28% -0.427 0.104
Southwest 486 34.16% 61.8 1.535 58.64% -0.246 0.7223
West 4927 42.43% 60.82 6.316 48.57% -0.389 0.417

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 997 0.0% 50.74 -4.142 50.35% -0.334 1.8951
Not Using Events or Tokens 11468 61.63% 43.35 -1.702 28.71% -0.758 -0.5316
Skip Initial Invader Actions 6404 15.97% 70.52 5.475 84.13% 0.751 -0.2294
Start of Game Growth 7643 19.1% 68.43 2.362 80.85% -0.129 -0.5858
Unlimited Undo 16407 41.15% 61.17 3.166 74.5% 0.83 0.2785
Using Tokens but Not Events 7849 57.15% 47.96 -3.775 44.87% -1.066 -0.9111

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 35280 22.65 9.2%
II 35360 31.08 25.1%
III 19709 34.66 56.91%
IV 30124 37.91 99.68%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.694 Win Model: 0.299
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 93677 62.04% 45.18 43.17%
2 16245 61.6% 46.22 42.28%
3 5359 52.44% 49.52 51.05%
4 4825 32.84% 59.57 63.79%
5 33 30.0% 65.3 69.7%
6 334 21.56% 66.94 65.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3229
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10810
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8332
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 29493
Lose: Invader deck ran out 177
Lose: Adversary condition 31074
Win: Sacrifice victory 975
Lose: Scenario condition 5090
Win: Scenario condition 524
Lose: Blight pool ran out 29177
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1592

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-10-19 02:56:39 (Pacific Time)