The Kingdom of England — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6928 22.34% 26.38 0.185 86.22% 0.251 0.1163
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3773 44.52% 24.11 -0.838 79.01% -0.237 -0.1916
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2805 26.14% 26.51 0.69 88.7% -0.122 -0.2415
Downpour Drenches the World 76 28.95% 27.71 -0.284 82.89% -0.342 0.0072
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3894 14.26% 29.41 1.937 93.04% 0.601 0.1803
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2975 20.14% 28.38 0.561 91.7% 0.346 -0.2161
Finder of Paths Unseen 35 37.14% 23.86 -1.389 74.29% -0.562 -0.1605
Fractured Days Split the Sky 534 35.58% 27.54 -2.172 75.28% -0.802 -0.7474
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 515 38.25% 29.16 0.357 84.08% 0.192 0.1838
Heart of the Wildfire 3886 60.04% 21.25 -3.458 72.39% -1.02 -0.7931
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6367 24.27% 27.13 0.698 89.87% 0.565 0.0426
Lightning's Swift Strike 6427 43.2% 24.0 -0.291 78.85% 0.168 0.4111
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 45 26.67% 29.67 0.292 82.22% -0.207 -1.0605
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 477 20.55% 29.97 2.155 91.19% 1.034 0.4242
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 268 37.83% 28.47 -0.332 85.45% 0.005 -0.372
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1315 29.78% 28.35 0.331 90.57% 0.312 0.0942
Many Minds Move as One 888 23.31% 28.08 0.508 90.43% 0.2 -0.3394
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6126 41.36% 24.84 -0.56 81.88% 0.015 -0.302
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2588 28.57% 25.49 0.568 85.94% -0.279 -0.2949
River Surges in Sunlight 7170 37.36% 25.93 -0.174 75.68% -0.334 -0.2815
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 487 37.04% 27.64 2.153 72.9% -0.204 0.1537
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 23 34.78% 36.7 4.671 95.65% 1.362 1.1315
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3476 32.44% 24.84 0.135 83.08% 0.389 0.3545
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3872 54.66% 22.71 -1.143 72.42% 0.096 0.5627
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 16 31.25% 28.25 1.044 87.5% 0.78 0.8779
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 20 25.0% 29.7 -2.12 70.0% -0.773 -0.9483
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 399 25.63% 26.52 0.927 88.22% 0.116 0.0568
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 220 43.38% 25.69 -0.135 81.36% -0.099 0.0611
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4457 24.44% 27.68 -0.723 88.02% -0.175 -0.4773
Shifting Memory of Ages 411 41.71% 26.64 -0.374 82.73% 0.364 0.4028
Shroud of Silent Mist 634 48.02% 24.26 -0.814 83.44% -0.107 0.2174
Starlight Seeks its Form 506 24.9% 30.27 0.317 85.77% -0.464 -0.668
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1639 25.06% 25.42 0.265 89.14% 0.537 0.3509
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1989 29.33% 25.31 0.467 81.65% -0.075 0.0094
Thunderspeaker 6785 24.12% 28.18 0.723 87.38% -0.161 -0.1918
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1056 60.13% 21.84 -2.169 78.03% -0.558 -0.602
Vital Strength of the Earth 5182 29.39% 22.59 -2.168 74.04% -0.432 0.3625
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 33 27.27% 28.42 -1.233 84.85% -0.576 -0.1242
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 269 32.09% 21.36 -2.332 68.77% -0.233 0.7977
Volcano Looming High 834 41.71% 24.1 -1.259 81.77% 0.242 0.2679

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 50.0% 29.0 2.254 100.0% 0.221 0.3296
Blitz 0 883 41.93% 22.83 0.285 76.1% 1.426 1.6927
Dahan Insurrection 4 846 21.48% 45.92 7.557 79.67% -0.661 -0.3283
Despicable Theft 2 92 39.13% 35.98 6.626 81.52% 0.815 1.0662
Elemental Invocation 1 120 45.83% 26.33 -1.286 75.83% -0.697 -0.0484
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1905 9.98% 31.16 1.67 86.61% -0.797 -0.631
Powers Long Forgotten 1 397 50.13% 29.05 3.037 74.81% -0.297 0.0285
Rituals of Terror 3 505 47.6% 34.07 7.567 65.54% 0.484 0.374
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 272 69.85% 31.26 -0.216 59.93% -0.668 -0.0107
Second Wave 0 633 46.12% 25.0 2.354 65.4% -0.016 0.4549
The Great River 3 114 48.25% 29.93 3.663 54.39% -0.701 0.7995
Varied Terrains 2 11 72.73% 28.09 2.123 54.55% 0.058 0.5932
Ward the Shores 2 510 44.2% 28.42 1.271 59.61% -0.81 0.3772

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 40970 37.86% 24.52 -0.195 80.9% -0.343 0.1041
1 Thematic 3961 42.67% 31.04 0.597 74.83% -0.792 -0.1887
2 Archipelago 22 54.55% 33.18 7.089 81.82% 0.423 1.0885
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9024 32.93% 24.73 -0.459 83.68% -0.288 0.103
2 Coastline 873 33.33% 25.02 -0.107 84.31% 0.043 0.1314
2 Fragment 208 35.27% 23.92 -2.403 80.77% -0.37 -0.3043
2 Heart 115 36.84% 24.01 -5.372 83.48% -0.784 -0.5118
2 Opposite Shores 1192 29.97% 25.85 0.952 89.26% 0.756 1.2486
2 Thematic 870 38.75% 33.44 0.922 75.98% -1.152 -0.6835
2 Top to Top 187 31.89% 25.21 1.91 84.49% 0.198 0.4799
3 Archipelago 4 25.0% 30.75 4.221 75.0% 0.05 -0.3326
3 Coastline 9 11.11% 28.11 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 107 30.77% 23.47 1.281 80.37% 0.468 -0.6211
3 Round (Default) 3908 18.53% 27.37 0.103 90.81% 0.209 0.4778
3 Sunrise 13 15.38% 25.69 0.0 92.31%
3 Thematic 178 35.96% 33.22 6.381 71.91% 0.376 0.1529
4 Archipelago 7 42.86% 34.86 1.138 71.43% 0.108 -0.7439
4 Coastline 13 0.0% 29.77 0.0 92.31%
4 Leaf 5 0.0% 27.8 0.09 80.0% 0.013 0.2532
4 Other 43 27.91% 25.19 0.0 86.05%
4 Thematic 261 24.14% 31.89 -0.066 76.25% 0.164 0.2601
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1293 22.28% 26.01 0.224 85.46% -0.011 -0.1476
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 29.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 27 48.15% 27.19 1.359 77.78% 0.274 0.543
5 Thematic 5 60.0% 48.6 0.0 80.0%
6 Other 2 50.0% 23.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 6 33.33% 32.17 0.807 100.0% 0.492 1.3864
6 Thematic 20 15.0% 39.75 1.884 70.0% 0.193 0.5563
6 Two Centers (Default) 31 19.35% 35.52 -4.002 80.65% -1.141 -0.7624
7 Other 1 0.0% 52.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1428 19.44 -3.749 63.31% -1.723 0.1086
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1217 20.65 -1.868 65.57% -1.368 0.2859
All Things Weaken 602 19.62 -4.322 58.8% -2.177 -0.2001
Back Against the Wall 1210 19.18 -4.137 58.18% -2.001 -0.142
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1381 16.39 -4.261 56.77% -1.61 0.3649
Downward Spiral 5110 17.24 -4.727 60.67% -1.693 0.209
Erosion of Will 1468 18.57 -1.262 58.92% -0.608 1.4362
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 234 25.11 0.899 91.03% 0.164 0.7366
Memory Fades to Dust 5064 16.93 -4.091 55.9% -1.575 0.4049
Power Corrodes the Spirit 559 19.04 -4.256 63.86% -1.402 0.4897
Promising Farmlands 1433 17.87 -1.762 60.85% -0.926 1.1123
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 201 24.9 -0.131 92.54% 0.119 0.5599
Thriving Communities 575 17.67 -3.917 57.04% -1.58 0.3843
Tipping Point 618 17.72 0.0 59.71%
Unnatural Proliferation 597 18.44 -3.804 53.6% -1.531 0.3745
Untended Land Crumbles 578 19.54 -4.782 66.96% -1.623 0.4119

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 15216 34.33% 24.61 -0.509 81.85% -0.04 0.7278
B 15660 32.71% 25.05 0.139 83.31% 0.507 1.1991
C 15432 32.89% 25.01 -0.68 82.6% -0.254 0.31
D 14929 33.03% 25.01 0.015 83.37% 0.318 1.086
E 3908 28.72% 26.69 0.775 86.82% 0.464 1.0629
F 6006 30.87% 25.69 0.191 85.66% 0.058 0.7676
G 5593 31.88% 25.46 0.292 85.09% -0.027 0.6993
H 5728 31.07% 25.78 -0.485 86.0% -0.157 0.5336
East 3189 38.75% 32.94 2.414 76.01% 0.246 0.8683
Northeast 1903 37.84% 32.81 2.647 75.72% 0.464 1.1448
Northwest 1497 37.27% 32.52 1.118 76.29% -0.263 0.804
Southeast 343 32.65% 32.73 2.832 78.72% 0.826 1.5543
Southwest 303 37.95% 26.75 -2.601 69.31% -1.043 -0.0723
West 2760 40.76% 31.39 0.039 73.44% -0.379 0.6242

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 844 0.0% 22.66 -1.203 72.63% -0.707 1.3046
Not Using Events or Tokens 16087 41.84% 23.48 -0.553 75.81% -0.211 0.0038
Skip Initial Invader Actions 916 11.15% 34.44 3.733 93.23% 0.486 0.3921
Start of Game Growth 1529 14.64% 32.54 1.344 92.35% -0.363 -1.0708
Unlimited Undo 3729 27.67% 27.47 1.371 87.58% 0.68 -0.0193
Using Tokens but Not Events 6412 21.66% 27.27 0.287 88.18% -0.591 -0.6366

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5653 22.6 37.68%
II 21933 31.02 76.17%
III 23629 34.59 88.51%
IV 12158 37.83 99.13%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.116 Win Model: -0.187
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 45059 38.33% 25.11 80.36%
2 12429 33.06% 25.43 83.72%
3 4188 19.27% 27.51 89.92%
4 1625 22.75% 27.02 83.82%
5 13 61.54% 26.69 76.92%
6 59 18.64% 36.68 81.36%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2126
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 20326
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 15902
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 11913
Lose: Invader deck ran out 655
Lose: Adversary condition 3080
Win: Sacrifice victory 270
Lose: Scenario condition 457
Win: Scenario condition 1265
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6924
Lose: Spirit destroyed 455

The Kingdom of England — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4131 23.04% 35.22 1.581 85.19% 0.485 0.3505
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2011 53.64% 32.29 0.261 75.34% 0.287 0.3325
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1583 33.91% 34.28 -0.277 85.09% 0.517 0.3971
Downpour Drenches the World 76 23.68% 35.46 0.631 84.21% 0.262 0.6104
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2241 21.61% 37.52 1.279 87.42% 0.393 -0.0279
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2069 28.54% 36.9 1.873 88.93% 0.328 -0.2343
Finder of Paths Unseen 46 63.04% 28.96 -2.756 73.91% -0.142 0.2597
Fractured Days Split the Sky 354 40.11% 35.27 2.537 74.58% -0.431 -0.377
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 337 49.85% 34.88 -0.122 80.42% 0.299 0.29
Heart of the Wildfire 2538 65.83% 28.55 -2.713 67.53% -0.724 -0.4972
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4081 36.63% 33.91 0.254 83.73% 0.097 -0.4254
Lightning's Swift Strike 3659 43.52% 32.77 -0.724 76.99% -0.051 0.1924
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 42 45.0% 38.29 1.238 95.24% 0.775 -0.0785
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 357 24.16% 38.36 3.817 89.36% 1.175 0.5652
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 188 38.3% 34.18 -1.459 76.6% -0.303 -0.6804
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 939 42.26% 34.97 1.399 82.96% 0.906 0.6883
Many Minds Move as One 633 26.22% 36.09 1.477 86.26% 0.697 0.1579
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3372 51.27% 32.0 0.281 75.71% 0.077 -0.24
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1592 40.27% 32.03 0.002 77.58% 0.274 0.2585
River Surges in Sunlight 4030 45.72% 32.03 -0.765 66.77% -0.915 -0.8626
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 353 49.71% 31.01 -0.745 57.79% -0.816 -0.4586
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 36 47.22% 48.39 4.261 77.78% 0.53 0.2997
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2142 35.57% 33.47 0.208 82.54% -0.181 -0.2154
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2062 62.43% 29.01 -1.908 61.59% -0.518 -0.0505
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 10 40.0% 46.5 5.526 90.0% 0.634 0.7318
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 12 50.0% 39.25 0.267 83.33% -0.236 -0.4115
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 207 40.78% 32.72 1.345 79.71% 0.439 0.379
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 124 64.52% 29.12 3.232 65.32% 0.123 0.2835
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2509 34.91% 34.92 1.265 81.91% 0.05 -0.252
Shifting Memory of Ages 273 47.79% 31.5 -1.63 79.49% -0.144 -0.1051
Shroud of Silent Mist 415 55.07% 30.8 -3.856 76.39% -1.281 -0.9569
Starlight Seeks its Form 355 27.61% 35.36 1.698 83.66% 0.548 0.3434
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1175 29.66% 33.79 -0.597 84.6% 0.056 -0.1297
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1100 49.22% 29.71 -1.641 63.82% -0.372 -0.2877
Thunderspeaker 3828 32.05% 36.39 1.313 83.44% 0.133 0.1021
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 727 69.61% 28.85 -3.478 73.87% -0.528 -0.5722
Vital Strength of the Earth 2806 39.24% 29.8 -3.216 68.32% -0.968 -0.1729
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 17 47.06% 33.18 -0.732 76.47% -0.341 0.1108
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 151 37.75% 27.73 -2.164 60.93% -0.753 0.2776
Volcano Looming High 575 48.86% 30.64 -1.226 75.48% -0.155 -0.1291

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 683 42.39% 30.54 -1.609 72.47% -0.485 -0.2181
Dahan Insurrection 4 544 27.49% 53.58 11.054 75.55% -0.003 0.3297
Despicable Theft 2 61 52.46% 36.36 3.691 63.93% 0.273 0.5236
Elemental Invocation 1 66 62.12% 31.88 -0.651 71.21% -0.446 0.2026
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1267 11.77% 38.42 2.852 79.72% -0.207 -0.0408
Powers Long Forgotten 1 292 61.86% 33.18 5.555 63.7% 0.532 0.8575
Rituals of Terror 3 227 52.42% 42.0 -6.777 64.76% -0.329 -0.4383
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 150 72.67% 41.18 10.941 66.0% 0.457 1.114
Second Wave 0 2268 44.81% 33.3 -1.787 70.41% -1.252 -0.7811
The Great River 3 59 64.41% 33.14 0.0 47.46%
Varied Terrains 2 9 44.44% 37.44 1.076 66.67% -0.64 -0.1041
Ward the Shores 2 385 56.36% 33.91 -1.433 52.73% -1.534 -0.3468

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 23312 42.59% 31.97 -0.385 76.69% 0.157 0.604
1 Thematic 2956 48.49% 37.35 2.16 71.14% 0.305 0.9076
2 Archipelago 10 60.0% 41.2 -1.409 70.0% -0.432 0.2343
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4989 40.81% 32.13 -0.181 78.95% 0.207 0.5979
2 Coastline 537 40.79% 31.97 -0.969 79.89% -0.269 -0.1813
2 Fragment 170 55.62% 30.15 -4.176 75.29% -0.498 -0.4316
2 Heart 88 35.23% 32.66 -0.262 82.95% -0.284 -0.0123
2 Opposite Shores 1025 38.38% 33.2 -0.429 82.24% 0.503 0.9955
2 Thematic 821 45.64% 39.41 0.903 73.81% -0.022 0.4461
2 Top to Top 167 44.58% 31.51 0.797 77.84% 0.869 1.1511
3 Archipelago 2 0.0% 53.5 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 9 22.22% 37.89 0.0 88.89%
3 Other 81 33.75% 34.53 5.429 87.65% 0.632 -0.4571
3 Round (Default) 2128 31.58% 33.96 0.22 81.3% -0.101 0.1679
3 Sunrise 7 33.33% 32.43 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 214 39.91% 39.51 4.128 74.77% 0.556 0.3327
4 Archipelago 8 37.5% 52.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 5 40.0% 28.4 0.0 40.0%
4 Leaf 8 12.5% 34.5 0.0 87.5%
4 Other 27 40.74% 33.63 0.0 81.48%
4 Thematic 196 40.51% 42.33 -12.001 76.02% -0.917 -0.8208
4 Trapezoid (Default) 722 33.1% 33.68 -0.988 80.33% -0.055 -0.1924
5 Archipelago 4 50.0% 45.0 0.0 75.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 63.0 9.351 100.0% 0.027 -0.4856
5 Other 11 27.27% 37.09 -2.148 90.91% -0.369 -0.0997
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 41.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 1 0.0% 36.0 1.835 100.0% 0.064 0.9524
6 Star 1 0.0% 37.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 19 26.32% 43.63 1.869 68.42% -0.076 0.287
6 Two Centers (Default) 7 57.14% 29.86 -3.039 57.14% -0.257 0.1212
7 Other 1 0.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1176 25.61 -2.895 56.38% -1.147 0.6847
Aid From Lesser Spirits 943 27.35 -3.67 59.49% -1.231 0.4232
All Things Weaken 472 26.25 -3.269 58.47% -0.956 1.0207
Back Against the Wall 923 25.89 -3.402 55.8% -1.235 0.6237
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1052 22.85 -5.195 53.04% -1.25 0.7247
Downward Spiral 3075 24.47 -6.247 58.21% -2.163 -0.2612
Erosion of Will 1076 25.0 -4.417 54.28% -1.536 0.5081
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 179 33.07 -0.965 88.83% 0.493 1.0656
Memory Fades to Dust 3055 23.88 -5.27 53.39% -1.75 0.2292
Power Corrodes the Spirit 503 25.97 -5.005 61.03% -1.53 0.3619
Promising Farmlands 1096 23.84 -5.758 54.38% -1.748 0.2907
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 143 33.43 0.0 90.91%
Thriving Communities 396 25.07 -4.727 57.07% -1.524 0.4402
Tipping Point 493 24.87 0.0 55.98%
Unnatural Proliferation 495 25.74 -3.244 54.95% -1.26 0.646
Untended Land Crumbles 464 25.55 -4.541 59.7% -1.075 0.9596

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8582 41.56% 31.9 -0.511 76.71% -0.301 0.4671
B 8771 39.05% 32.39 0.342 78.08% -0.006 0.6865
C 8903 39.04% 32.57 0.031 78.54% -0.061 0.5035
D 8446 40.76% 32.35 0.065 78.37% 0.129 0.8972
E 2437 39.29% 33.18 -0.138 80.55% -0.085 0.5145
F 3389 38.44% 32.97 -0.499 80.55% -0.221 0.4881
G 3312 42.15% 32.42 -1.179 78.35% -0.433 0.293
H 3520 37.91% 33.12 -0.151 79.77% -0.17 0.52
East 2621 45.11% 39.61 4.946 73.75% 0.178 0.8002
Northeast 1474 44.11% 39.68 3.737 74.15% 0.477 1.158
Northwest 1226 43.91% 39.42 1.112 74.23% -0.102 0.9649
Southeast 327 46.18% 36.96 -1.174 70.64% -1.353 -0.625
Southwest 301 52.16% 32.44 -0.697 66.45% -0.325 0.6452
West 2313 48.39% 37.96 -0.533 71.16% -1.068 -0.0643

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 461 0.0% 28.59 0.781 62.47% 0.169 2.1802
Not Using Events or Tokens 7781 43.25% 31.31 0.119 72.34% 0.185 0.3996
Skip Initial Invader Actions 508 11.85% 45.48 -0.255 94.29% 0.299 0.2058
Start of Game Growth 797 15.13% 43.19 2.966 92.35% 0.943 0.2355
Unlimited Undo 2487 34.69% 34.63 0.413 84.04% -0.147 -0.847
Using Tokens but Not Events 3491 29.61% 34.65 -0.4 83.79% -0.311 -0.3568

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3240 22.6 29.6%
II 14202 31.02 68.02%
III 12594 34.59 86.23%
IV 7496 37.83 99.23%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.155 Win Model: 0.225
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 26328 43.29% 32.58 76.07%
2 7836 41.58% 32.93 78.45%
3 2378 31.14% 34.76 82.34%
4 956 34.47% 35.43 79.39%
5 6 16.67% 44.17 83.33%
6 28 28.57% 39.75 67.86%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 954
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10537
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9091
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7353
Lose: Invader deck ran out 331
Lose: Adversary condition 2385
Win: Sacrifice victory 178
Lose: Scenario condition 366
Win: Scenario condition 804
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5263
Lose: Spirit destroyed 270

The Kingdom of England — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4535 33.87% 35.82 0.939 75.96% 0.381 0.247
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2733 67.19% 31.11 -0.37 61.62% -0.128 -0.0826
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2261 43.31% 34.93 1.239 76.69% 0.898 0.7779
Downpour Drenches the World 110 28.18% 35.92 1.002 77.27% 0.251 0.5992
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2942 33.59% 37.49 -0.252 79.57% -0.088 -0.5089
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2661 42.51% 36.97 0.942 79.82% 0.35 -0.2119
Finder of Paths Unseen 28 64.29% 23.54 -4.331 35.71% -0.986 -0.5847
Fractured Days Split the Sky 510 46.95% 36.91 0.17 68.43% -0.254 -0.1999
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 455 58.72% 35.39 -0.549 74.95% 0.021 0.012
Heart of the Wildfire 3373 83.85% 23.31 -3.674 44.56% -0.492 -0.2651
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8980 35.25% 35.56 1.451 78.98% 0.589 0.0668
Lightning's Swift Strike 4535 60.98% 30.73 -0.599 61.5% 0.05 0.2936
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 55 49.09% 36.93 1.496 76.36% 0.266 -0.5883
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 476 47.79% 38.44 1.124 78.15% 0.289 -0.3201
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 292 56.51% 34.27 0.476 67.12% -0.25 -0.6271
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1514 57.72% 32.9 0.566 69.82% 0.574 0.3558
Many Minds Move as One 970 35.4% 37.12 2.703 79.07% 0.625 0.0856
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4882 60.72% 33.34 1.036 70.46% 0.543 0.226
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2089 48.6% 33.16 0.616 71.09% 0.252 0.2357
River Surges in Sunlight 4721 58.72% 31.67 -0.437 55.64% -0.401 -0.3482
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 448 57.27% 33.43 -1.205 59.15% -0.552 -0.1949
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 53 53.85% 38.21 1.528 71.7% 0.121 -0.1089
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3298 44.91% 33.87 1.086 72.56% 0.57 0.5362
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1885 80.29% 25.13 -5.455 41.27% -1.261 -0.7935
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 4 50.0% 28.0 -8.948 50.0% -0.757 -0.659
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 15 40.0% 37.47 1.422 80.0% 0.329 0.1541
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 218 66.82% 31.25 -3.967 64.22% -0.654 -0.7137
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 124 79.03% 26.25 -0.889 45.97% -0.196 -0.0356
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2885 45.78% 35.03 1.411 73.24% 0.648 0.3458
Shifting Memory of Ages 482 59.75% 33.55 0.665 74.07% 0.418 0.4567
Shroud of Silent Mist 628 72.55% 30.34 -0.275 65.13% 0.351 0.6756
Starlight Seeks its Form 494 48.66% 33.99 0.033 71.46% 0.109 -0.0955
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1796 37.47% 34.15 -0.855 81.18% 0.089 -0.0971
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1246 66.18% 27.26 -1.408 50.4% -0.125 -0.0406
Thunderspeaker 4119 50.0% 34.48 1.396 68.58% 0.497 0.4665
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1238 80.76% 29.51 -2.156 67.53% -0.087 -0.1309
Vital Strength of the Earth 4051 42.0% 31.16 -2.672 64.03% -0.588 0.2071
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 19 57.89% 28.11 -3.594 52.63% -0.38 0.072
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 228 52.63% 28.38 -4.848 57.46% -1.076 -0.0453
Volcano Looming High 1122 66.7% 29.86 -2.432 66.49% -0.255 -0.2289

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 0.0% 50.5 5.959 100.0% 0.283 0.3919
Blitz 0 704 52.76% 30.08 -1.278 60.51% -0.161 0.1058
Dahan Insurrection 4 468 40.77% 48.89 5.775 59.4% -0.608 -0.2751
Despicable Theft 2 30 80.0% 33.03 0.53 46.67% -0.267 -0.016
Elemental Invocation 1 87 72.41% 29.78 -3.312 50.57% -0.829 -0.1802
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1978 14.39% 39.16 3.738 74.57% 0.416 0.5822
Powers Long Forgotten 1 262 74.33% 30.62 -2.125 50.0% -0.605 -0.2793
Rituals of Terror 3 167 63.47% 38.8 11.948 47.9% 0.792 0.6823
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 124 80.65% 37.45 5.143 48.39% -0.099 0.5584
Second Wave 0 1379 58.39% 31.76 0.644 55.69% -0.258 0.2126
The Great River 3 62 51.61% 36.61 2.073 45.16% -0.525 0.9754
Varied Terrains 2 3 66.67% 32.0 3.92 33.33% -0.05 0.4854
Ward the Shores 2 326 54.6% 35.14 4.945 49.08% 0.393 1.5801

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 34304 50.78% 32.46 -0.648 69.8% -0.584 -0.1364
1 Thematic 2556 59.87% 34.51 1.536 54.58% -0.425 0.1781
2 Archipelago 6 50.0% 32.5 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6808 55.23% 31.92 0.002 67.73% -0.237 0.1547
2 Coastline 737 45.49% 34.39 1.508 75.71% 0.514 0.6017
2 Fragment 184 52.46% 31.36 0.242 64.67% 0.476 0.5414
2 Heart 104 54.81% 30.83 -1.841 64.42% -0.159 0.1132
2 Opposite Shores 1451 49.65% 33.31 0.011 71.12% -0.357 0.1354
2 Thematic 943 55.8% 35.34 2.192 55.99% -0.11 0.3582
2 Top to Top 221 58.37% 32.32 1.332 69.68% 0.335 0.6171
3 Archipelago 5 80.0% 39.6 0.0 60.0%
3 Coastline 5 40.0% 30.8 0.945 40.0% 0.101 -0.5378
3 Other 98 45.92% 35.72 4.518 79.59% 0.381 -0.7083
3 Round (Default) 2479 49.16% 33.47 0.484 69.91% 0.043 0.311
3 Sunrise 10 40.0% 39.1 0.0 90.0%
3 Thematic 185 62.7% 37.23 1.394 51.89% -0.241 -0.4649
4 Archipelago 5 60.0% 56.6 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 42.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 5 60.0% 26.2 0.0 60.0%
4 Other 52 63.46% 34.83 0.0 73.08%
4 Thematic 301 48.91% 37.24 -1.355 56.48% -0.129 -0.033
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1186 41.98% 34.38 1.376 70.83% 0.825 0.6877
5 Other 31 41.94% 42.94 2.706 96.77% 0.037 0.3064
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 60.0 10.786 100.0% 0.511 0.4039
6 Other 2 0.0% 46.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 2 0.0% 34.5 -2.96 50.0% -0.291 0.6041
6 Thematic 9 0.0% 53.78 -2.81 77.78% -0.325 0.0384
6 Two Centers (Default) 18 33.33% 40.0 -4.248 77.78% -0.735 -0.3566

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2073 27.17 -2.814 53.84% -1.11 0.7216
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1707 29.53 -1.604 58.82% -0.848 0.8067
All Things Weaken 873 26.92 -3.549 53.26% -1.2 0.7767
Back Against the Wall 1615 28.0 -2.05 53.25% -0.845 1.0142
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1935 24.97 -4.036 51.89% -1.072 0.9027
Downward Spiral 4693 25.39 -3.321 50.8% -0.993 0.9091
Erosion of Will 1889 26.25 -3.216 50.13% -1.249 0.795
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 359 35.52 0.313 83.57% -0.291 0.281
Memory Fades to Dust 4844 25.14 -3.657 48.35% -1.006 0.9737
Power Corrodes the Spirit 879 27.62 -3.417 57.91% -0.872 1.0194
Promising Farmlands 1909 26.1 -4.334 53.38% -1.211 0.8274
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 234 35.43 -0.129 82.05% 0.191 0.6322
Thriving Communities 816 25.01 -4.165 49.39% -1.462 0.5025
Tipping Point 850 24.86 0.0 47.76%
Unnatural Proliferation 949 27.55 -2.624 52.79% -1.129 0.7766
Untended Land Crumbles 834 26.36 -3.462 54.56% -1.073 0.9612

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11157 53.36% 31.98 0.14 67.11% -0.027 0.7415
B 11881 51.73% 32.24 0.284 68.03% 0.024 0.7162
C 13048 48.99% 33.15 0.039 70.41% -0.019 0.5451
D 10853 52.28% 32.31 -0.271 68.66% -0.046 0.7218
E 3792 48.37% 34.29 0.709 74.68% 0.07 0.6691
F 5554 49.94% 33.0 -0.539 71.3% -0.105 0.6047
G 4937 51.39% 32.82 -0.667 71.2% -0.192 0.5341
H 5368 46.51% 33.78 0.143 72.82% -0.084 0.6058
East 2567 56.24% 36.61 0.974 56.49% -0.427 0.1952
Northeast 1547 54.19% 36.62 1.667 55.14% -0.366 0.3149
Northwest 1235 57.82% 35.22 0.257 54.33% -0.15 0.9172
Southeast 303 50.51% 35.92 1.375 60.73% -0.071 0.6566
Southwest 271 53.38% 29.15 -0.322 49.45% -0.196 0.7749
West 2257 59.07% 34.17 0.33 52.1% -0.068 0.935

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 429 0.0% 29.56 0.252 53.85% 0.021 2.0324
Not Using Events or Tokens 7687 59.1% 29.09 -0.803 55.38% -0.306 -0.0919
Skip Initial Invader Actions 555 19.24% 45.53 2.076 86.31% 0.092 -0.0012
Start of Game Growth 876 20.42% 44.47 1.852 88.36% 0.408 -0.2991
Unlimited Undo 3624 49.47% 34.65 0.463 74.78% 0.086 -0.6132
Using Tokens but Not Events 5070 41.91% 34.55 0.947 76.37% 0.286 0.2406

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7047 22.6 7.51%
II 16125 31.02 54.05%
III 17238 34.59 86.84%
IV 11310 37.83 99.37%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.147 Win Model: -0.308
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 36953 51.41% 32.61 68.76%
2 10432 53.87% 32.6 67.69%
3 2752 50.11% 33.71 68.79%
4 1544 43.54% 35.04 68.65%
5 8 37.5% 45.75 87.5%
6 31 20.0% 44.03 77.42%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 527
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14649
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8379
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 11127
Lose: Invader deck ran out 395
Lose: Adversary condition 5655
Win: Sacrifice victory 200
Lose: Scenario condition 671
Win: Scenario condition 571
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9068
Lose: Spirit destroyed 478

The Kingdom of England — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5043 44.46% 38.02 0.117 60.68% 0.052 -0.082
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2622 76.65% 32.92 -0.709 46.72% -0.128 -0.0825
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2178 60.42% 35.75 0.976 57.67% 0.458 0.3381
Downpour Drenches the World 130 49.22% 34.68 -1.036 53.08% -0.295 0.0533
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2786 43.95% 40.11 1.54 66.08% 0.243 -0.1782
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3237 51.07% 40.32 4.213 66.94% 0.72 0.1578
Finder of Paths Unseen 32 68.75% 23.72 -6.846 15.63% -2.031 -1.63
Fractured Days Split the Sky 647 53.32% 39.06 3.474 52.24% 0.377 0.4309
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 535 69.62% 36.31 0.279 53.46% 0.47 0.4616
Heart of the Wildfire 3168 87.15% 23.91 -5.964 26.8% -1.244 -1.017
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7040 53.1% 38.05 0.59 62.8% 0.299 -0.2233
Lightning's Swift Strike 4820 68.54% 32.62 -3.476 47.18% -0.66 -0.4168
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 100 62.07% 40.57 1.772 71.0% 0.541 -0.3131
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 387 56.07% 39.94 2.872 66.67% 0.545 -0.064
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 387 56.74% 39.11 -2.304 58.91% -0.454 -0.8316
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2063 71.55% 33.84 -1.642 52.84% -0.261 -0.4791
Many Minds Move as One 843 44.54% 40.58 3.166 67.38% 0.689 0.1504
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5776 66.67% 36.81 2.089 59.31% 1.061 0.744
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2136 58.7% 33.88 -0.729 51.12% -0.193 -0.2085
River Surges in Sunlight 4710 63.54% 34.96 1.369 45.99% 0.231 0.2831
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 443 70.65% 34.21 1.071 48.53% 0.156 0.5134
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 54 49.06% 42.2 2.933 62.96% 0.336 0.1055
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4116 52.41% 37.63 0.23 60.93% 0.201 0.167
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1397 82.43% 25.67 -1.116 25.13% -0.033 0.4344
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 12 66.67% 27.67 -4.389 33.33% -0.742 -0.6447
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 16 68.75% 31.06 -1.345 43.75% 0.015 -0.1606
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 202 76.24% 32.82 1.276 49.01% 0.566 0.5068
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 108 88.68% 28.78 -9.574 33.33% -0.871 -0.7104
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2850 57.14% 35.99 -2.036 54.95% -0.447 -0.7493
Shifting Memory of Ages 625 67.04% 36.0 -0.46 58.24% -0.16 -0.1214
Shroud of Silent Mist 658 76.69% 33.09 -1.06 51.06% 0.135 0.4594
Starlight Seeks its Form 786 50.66% 37.76 1.538 58.27% 0.513 0.3088
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2996 46.72% 38.93 0.108 65.55% 0.503 0.317
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1015 72.87% 30.11 -3.979 39.01% -0.847 -0.7622
Thunderspeaker 4531 63.33% 36.6 -0.165 55.55% 0.173 0.1425
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1440 86.7% 33.27 0.243 55.83% 0.494 0.4497
Vital Strength of the Earth 2992 58.49% 31.35 -0.619 41.91% 0.042 0.837
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 39 63.16% 32.79 -0.662 46.15% -0.087 0.3647
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 220 66.82% 30.82 -3.002 45.0% -0.231 0.8003
Volcano Looming High 1318 73.98% 32.89 -2.64 54.63% -0.36 -0.3341

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 485 51.72% 34.57 -3.975 50.93% -0.717 -0.4498
Dahan Insurrection 4 453 48.31% 50.83 0.349 48.34% -0.055 0.2776
Despicable Theft 2 19 68.42% 39.79 1.9 36.84% -0.146 0.1052
Elemental Invocation 1 91 69.23% 34.43 -1.729 43.96% -0.398 0.2501
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1968 20.99% 42.04 3.392 61.28% -0.024 0.1417
Powers Long Forgotten 1 148 76.35% 33.17 -5.102 36.49% -1.14 -0.8144
Rituals of Terror 3 122 71.07% 39.16 29.075 35.25% 0.192 0.0828
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 47 93.62% 37.38 -0.452 31.91% -0.059 0.5976
Second Wave 0 671 60.75% 35.5 -2.738 47.54% -1.015 -0.5436
The Great River 3 44 61.36% 33.34 -1.087 25.0% -0.962 0.5389
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 154 66.88% 37.66 -5.811 39.61% -0.761 0.4263

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 33007 64.63% 34.75 -0.432 54.92% -0.331 0.1163
1 Thematic 1866 62.11% 39.02 1.607 47.64% -0.938 -0.3351
2 Archipelago 14 50.0% 48.64 0.0 64.29%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7203 63.41% 34.63 -0.092 54.03% -0.265 0.1265
2 Coastline 924 59.98% 36.69 0.256 60.06% -0.091 -0.0024
2 Fragment 174 66.09% 33.19 4.479 50.57% 0.769 0.8348
2 Heart 97 72.92% 34.0 14.112 52.58% 0.954 1.2262
2 Opposite Shores 1511 61.8% 34.6 -2.454 52.28% -0.815 -0.3226
2 Thematic 595 66.04% 36.29 -0.016 38.82% -0.289 0.1794
2 Top to Top 285 59.36% 37.45 0.727 61.05% 0.093 0.3751
3 Archipelago 3 66.67% 31.67 0.0 33.33%
3 Coastline 10 40.0% 38.3 4.596 60.0% 0.109 -0.5306
3 Other 111 47.27% 41.01 6.088 71.17% 0.224 -0.8648
3 Round (Default) 2911 55.95% 35.61 -0.011 54.93% -0.371 -0.1026
3 Sunrise 16 68.75% 46.5 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 153 67.32% 35.24 19.668 30.72% 0.523 0.2995
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 61.0 2.203 100.0% 0.251 0.2594
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 19.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 68 57.35% 36.19 0.0 58.82%
4 Snake 4 75.0% 32.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 310 51.61% 37.74 11.22 40.65% 0.327 0.4235
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1623 47.64% 38.08 0.545 58.23% -0.145 -0.2818
5 Other 36 41.18% 45.53 -6.771 66.67% -0.965 -0.6959
5 Thematic 3 100.0% 45.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 53.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 13 30.77% 44.08 4.84 53.85% 0.562 1.4502
6 Star 7 42.86% 56.43 0.0 57.14%
6 Thematic 16 37.5% 35.19 -1.843 18.75% -0.389 -0.0264
6 Two Centers (Default) 32 37.5% 38.25 -6.018 50.0% -0.371 0.0072
7 Other 1 100.0% 23.0 4.683 0.0% 0.283 -0.6533

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2417 30.5 -4.895 42.78% -1.19 0.641
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1956 33.0 0.032 47.55% -0.332 1.3226
All Things Weaken 1151 32.04 -0.78 47.96% -0.081 1.8954
Back Against the Wall 1986 31.46 -1.196 43.5% -0.277 1.5821
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2339 28.1 -3.062 41.0% -0.76 1.2147
Downward Spiral 5382 29.71 -2.64 44.63% -0.529 1.3726
Erosion of Will 2399 29.89 -3.551 41.23% -0.842 1.2013
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 376 39.5 -1.187 69.15% -0.455 0.1172
Memory Fades to Dust 5383 29.49 -3.394 42.15% -0.975 1.0045
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1138 30.75 -2.698 46.05% -0.651 1.2406
Promising Farmlands 2434 29.59 -3.988 43.51% -0.766 1.2724
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 265 40.72 1.918 75.47% 0.202 0.6423
Thriving Communities 1178 30.32 -3.103 45.76% -0.68 1.2841
Tipping Point 1031 28.72 6.902 41.22% 0.449 0.9377
Unnatural Proliferation 1272 32.76 -1.45 49.53% -0.506 1.4004
Untended Land Crumbles 1155 30.26 -3.762 44.68% -0.926 1.1084

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11731 61.95% 34.84 -0.495 53.31% -0.137 0.6311
B 12451 61.84% 34.7 -0.515 53.3% -0.068 0.6247
C 13295 61.51% 35.42 0.208 55.56% -0.014 0.5509
D 11423 62.36% 34.94 -0.485 54.54% -0.05 0.7185
E 4412 57.54% 36.95 0.431 59.81% 0.12 0.7191
F 5879 61.89% 35.56 0.011 56.8% 0.087 0.7968
G 5111 61.47% 35.4 0.376 55.63% 0.148 0.8737
H 5724 57.07% 36.52 0.358 58.44% 0.086 0.776
East 1856 60.35% 39.31 0.636 43.86% -0.118 0.5047
Northeast 1161 57.48% 39.71 7.17 42.81% 0.752 1.4332
Northwest 943 60.26% 37.33 -2.993 41.36% -0.4 0.6674
Southeast 288 61.97% 35.26 -4.763 37.85% -0.54 0.1882
Southwest 260 60.87% 32.77 -2.856 40.0% -0.133 0.8373
West 1697 62.03% 36.3 -1.236 40.31% -0.535 0.4689

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 435 0.0% 36.27 -1.496 50.8% -0.72 1.2914
Not Using Events or Tokens 6741 66.35% 32.59 1.209 46.74% 0.245 0.4589
Skip Initial Invader Actions 820 14.76% 53.21 4.077 85.61% 0.838 0.7448
Start of Game Growth 1288 21.4% 49.86 2.389 79.43% 0.19 -0.5174
Unlimited Undo 4525 57.68% 38.52 0.507 63.82% 0.076 -0.6236
Using Tokens but Not Events 4184 55.2% 36.52 -0.699 59.82% -0.079 -0.1248

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8205 22.6 3.1%
II 15302 31.02 22.1%
III 15314 34.59 78.24%
IV 12186 37.83 99.4%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.024 Win Model: -0.224
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 34984 64.48% 35.0 54.58%
2 10836 63.11% 34.92 53.3%
3 3098 56.05% 35.84 55.23%
4 2007 48.23% 38.08 55.56%
5 12 54.55% 27.67 25.0%
6 70 38.57% 40.44 44.29%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 254
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11711
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3208
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 11975
Lose: Invader deck ran out 400
Lose: Adversary condition 9755
Win: Sacrifice victory 235
Lose: Scenario condition 892
Win: Scenario condition 347
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11643
Lose: Spirit destroyed 587

The Kingdom of England — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4732 40.67% 44.07 0.581 64.98% 0.345 0.2108
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2541 70.75% 39.37 0.003 54.03% 0.115 0.1611
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2121 62.36% 38.88 -1.646 54.93% -0.003 -0.1227
Downpour Drenches the World 162 44.44% 40.89 -1.624 57.41% -0.306 0.0427
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2765 43.58% 45.5 -0.216 70.05% 0.079 -0.3423
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6029 29.25% 51.5 3.891 83.6% 1.106 0.5436
Finder of Paths Unseen 61 49.18% 38.13 -4.057 49.18% -0.962 -0.5611
Fractured Days Split the Sky 711 44.93% 47.73 1.741 65.68% -0.12 -0.0657
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 696 50.94% 44.37 1.806 61.93% 0.447 0.438
Heart of the Wildfire 2804 76.03% 32.09 -6.92 37.48% -1.064 -0.8371
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 13977 31.39% 49.06 2.812 77.33% 0.837 0.3145
Lightning's Swift Strike 4382 59.88% 38.42 -1.589 50.48% -0.223 0.0206
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 129 67.72% 43.53 0.361 62.79% 0.399 -0.4548
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 438 52.05% 46.73 3.902 73.06% 1.085 0.4757
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 392 46.43% 46.43 3.127 67.86% 0.827 0.4496
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1890 60.84% 41.13 -1.764 60.37% -0.066 -0.2842
Many Minds Move as One 922 38.76% 47.52 1.814 74.95% 0.435 -0.1038
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4938 60.44% 42.49 -0.324 62.37% 0.274 -0.0428
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2259 54.93% 38.9 -3.563 53.47% -0.563 -0.5787
River Surges in Sunlight 4076 55.92% 41.05 0.25 51.1% -0.057 -0.0044
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 398 57.18% 38.11 -3.645 43.97% -0.691 -0.3331
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 116 30.17% 53.77 3.281 78.45% 0.692 0.462
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5794 39.67% 46.19 2.583 71.3% 0.969 0.9353
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 976 74.43% 31.32 -4.648 31.66% -0.56 -0.0931
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 7 85.71% 29.57 -6.219 28.57% -0.511 -0.4132
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 10 90.0% 32.8 -4.251 40.0% -0.264 -0.4397
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 189 84.13% 30.9 -4.001 32.28% -0.324 -0.3835
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 109 54.13% 42.98 -4.307 57.8% -0.191 -0.0308
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4987 31.39% 49.12 0.576 73.83% 0.245 -0.057
Shifting Memory of Ages 737 63.23% 40.92 -0.072 58.34% 0.473 0.5118
Shroud of Silent Mist 587 71.01% 40.22 -3.032 59.45% -0.441 -0.1169
Starlight Seeks its Form 813 54.37% 43.13 -0.26 64.33% 0.212 0.0076
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2933 39.36% 42.11 -2.726 72.89% -0.012 -0.1976
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 907 63.04% 36.45 -8.154 45.09% -1.583 -1.4989
Thunderspeaker 5633 43.47% 45.59 0.988 65.38% 0.358 0.3273
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2022 81.53% 41.34 0.535 66.77% 0.757 0.7136
Vital Strength of the Earth 2107 53.35% 36.11 -5.372 43.57% -1.291 -0.4967
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 49 46.94% 41.55 -2.186 53.06% -0.31 0.1421
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 298 54.36% 39.96 0.266 57.72% 0.102 1.1335
Volcano Looming High 1714 71.71% 36.77 -2.677 53.33% -0.045 -0.0186

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 56.0 4.769 100.0% 0.162 0.2707
Blitz 0 363 54.34% 38.51 -10.727 53.72% -0.872 -0.605
Dahan Insurrection 4 347 45.51% 57.14 7.307 51.59% 0.048 0.3809
Despicable Theft 2 7 100.0% 39.57 0.0 42.86%
Elemental Invocation 1 66 75.76% 40.09 2.493 51.52% -0.152 0.4966
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5373 9.52% 54.98 3.405 82.97% 0.081 0.2469
Powers Long Forgotten 1 112 77.68% 34.9 7.806 31.25% 0.202 0.528
Rituals of Terror 3 111 68.47% 44.88 5.795 36.94% -0.041 -0.1504
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 92 89.13% 34.88 0.0 21.74%
Second Wave 0 369 55.28% 37.5 -3.796 44.72% -0.958 -0.4869
The Great River 3 43 76.74% 34.6 0.321 20.93% -0.467 1.0337
Ward the Shores 2 129 67.97% 41.36 10.739 41.09% 0.296 1.4833

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 37124 53.12% 42.13 0.134 63.83% 0.604 1.0508
1 Thematic 1264 64.22% 39.25 -1.778 38.77% -0.157 0.4461
2 Archipelago 11 45.45% 47.45 0.0 45.45%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7719 54.93% 42.2 -0.161 61.43% 0.2 0.591
2 Coastline 1188 51.31% 44.76 0.019 68.77% 0.384 0.4726
2 Fragment 145 62.94% 36.46 3.52 48.28% 0.19 0.256
2 Heart 139 58.27% 42.51 -4.602 61.15% -0.293 -0.0214
2 Opposite Shores 1291 58.35% 39.8 -3.054 53.29% -0.677 -0.1842
2 Thematic 383 64.75% 40.82 0.024 41.51% 0.109 0.5771
2 Top to Top 243 59.83% 39.74 -5.074 58.02% -0.802 -0.5203
3 Archipelago 3 100.0% 67.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 19 72.22% 31.74 1.822 26.32% 0.029 -0.6102
3 Other 143 56.34% 43.97 4.503 69.93% 0.754 -0.3351
3 Round (Default) 2592 52.23% 41.71 -1.415 61.3% -0.328 -0.0596
3 Sunrise 16 56.25% 35.13 -6.661 43.75% -0.262 -0.4816
3 Thematic 74 62.16% 42.09 -10.616 44.59% -0.76 -0.9835
4 Archipelago 10 60.0% 46.3 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 11 72.73% 37.73 0.0 54.55%
4 Other 71 64.79% 43.77 7.565 67.61% 0.341 -0.1044
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 310 49.68% 51.05 8.161 60.97% 0.234 0.3298
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3812 18.6% 51.57 2.65 78.38% 0.481 0.3443
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 38.5 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 69 25.0% 55.06 -1.996 85.51% -1.052 -0.7829
5 Thematic 4 0.0% 69.25 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 9 37.5% 42.22 1.235 33.33% 0.015 0.9036
6 Star 11 54.55% 37.18 0.0 45.45%
6 Thematic 10 40.0% 48.7 6.77 50.0% 0.034 0.3969
6 Two Centers (Default) 20 25.0% 54.0 8.181 85.0% 0.658 1.0358
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 74.0 0.0 50.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 96.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2343 34.75 -5.06 46.09% -1.163 0.6683
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1853 37.32 -3.239 51.16% -0.673 0.9809
All Things Weaken 1185 35.75 -4.457 49.7% -1.028 0.9483
Back Against the Wall 1863 36.03 -4.994 47.29% -1.137 0.7217
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2322 32.45 -5.418 44.27% -0.852 1.1221
Downward Spiral 4221 33.41 -4.353 44.78% -0.833 1.0686
Erosion of Will 2284 34.46 -3.244 44.96% -0.731 1.313
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 385 42.63 -2.644 67.27% -0.686 -0.1132
Memory Fades to Dust 4262 33.43 -5.109 43.69% -0.974 1.0052
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1167 34.98 -4.647 49.87% -0.98 0.9122
Promising Farmlands 2252 33.61 -5.537 45.74% -1.166 0.8726
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 334 44.92 -0.735 74.85% -0.131 0.3101
Thriving Communities 1194 34.72 -5.182 48.91% -1.06 0.9046
Tipping Point 932 31.37 0.0 38.73%
Unnatural Proliferation 1265 35.98 -4.701 49.25% -1.18 0.7261
Untended Land Crumbles 1213 35.17 -4.222 49.96% -0.848 1.1869

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 13768 46.74% 43.32 0.328 63.41% 0.065 0.8328
B 15630 44.58% 44.52 -0.284 66.07% -0.189 0.5038
C 16359 46.19% 44.65 0.848 67.15% 0.234 0.7983
D 11755 52.22% 42.16 -0.27 62.27% 0.079 0.8468
E 5510 48.23% 44.2 0.107 67.48% 0.042 0.6409
F 7370 46.62% 44.0 0.485 66.66% 0.182 0.8917
G 6409 48.23% 43.55 1.03 65.63% 0.284 1.01
H 6483 46.61% 44.61 0.132 68.15% 0.015 0.7054
East 1350 58.94% 43.73 2.187 44.89% -0.203 0.4198
Northeast 862 57.26% 44.18 -0.255 44.9% -0.818 -0.137
Northwest 709 61.21% 43.62 -0.803 45.13% -0.391 0.6757
Southeast 151 54.0% 45.79 2.029 56.95% 0.342 1.0696
Southwest 176 61.71% 39.36 -2.253 50.0% 0.172 1.1429
West 1194 63.87% 41.6 -1.182 43.38% -0.182 0.8214

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 220 0.0% 40.58 -1.715 52.27% -0.539 1.4722
Not Using Events or Tokens 6158 48.93% 42.03 2.379 60.39% 0.744 0.9587
Skip Initial Invader Actions 880 15.25% 59.76 3.401 89.2% -0.07 -0.164
Start of Game Growth 1490 17.56% 55.39 3.285 82.42% 0.628 -0.0799
Unlimited Undo 4758 54.72% 43.55 0.699 66.29% 0.447 -0.2527
Using Tokens but Not Events 4052 39.23% 46.13 -0.285 69.0% -0.027 -0.0726

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8494 22.6 27.83%
II 15752 31.02 34.24%
III 17307 34.59 75.71%
IV 15157 37.83 99.66%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.453 Win Model: 0.172
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 38554 53.42% 42.08 63.1%
2 11045 55.81% 41.92 60.07%
3 2801 52.69% 41.66 60.69%
4 4238 21.64% 51.45 76.85%
5 20 36.84% 47.4 65.0%
6 52 36.0% 48.46 61.54%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2363
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12856
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5237
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14932
Lose: Invader deck ran out 78
Lose: Adversary condition 8995
Win: Sacrifice victory 299
Lose: Scenario condition 1051
Win: Scenario condition 278
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10066
Lose: Spirit destroyed 555

The Kingdom of England — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1900 47.29% 46.54 1.186 49.79% 0.466 0.3321
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 696 82.23% 38.62 -2.451 36.21% -0.008 0.0378
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 512 77.45% 32.63 -6.167 21.48% -0.726 -0.8464
Downpour Drenches the World 31 38.71% 39.52 -6.103 35.48% -1.015 -0.6659
Eyes Watch From the Trees 860 61.24% 44.26 -1.657 48.37% -0.178 -0.5989
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1236 60.83% 46.48 2.421 52.75% 0.911 0.3489
Finder of Paths Unseen 6 83.33% 54.83 9.75 66.67% 1.113 1.5139
Fractured Days Split the Sky 253 67.86% 50.11 3.476 45.06% 0.197 0.2508
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 169 90.53% 35.25 -4.411 28.99% -0.347 -0.3551
Heart of the Wildfire 953 87.59% 26.55 -10.406 13.54% -0.977 -0.7505
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3783 55.02% 46.71 1.965 56.04% 0.61 0.0876
Lightning's Swift Strike 2129 65.05% 42.14 2.457 40.3% 0.808 1.052
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 41 63.41% 55.9 3.175 70.73% 0.915 0.0615
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 136 67.65% 48.31 -4.13 59.56% -0.06 -0.6691
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 123 70.73% 42.23 -5.023 44.72% -0.729 -1.1061
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 711 79.37% 38.55 -0.965 36.15% 0.1 -0.1181
Many Minds Move as One 254 47.24% 51.59 3.047 65.75% 0.782 0.2431
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2420 66.14% 46.69 1.311 55.0% 0.733 0.4158
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 673 63.73% 38.6 -9.676 33.43% -1.948 -1.9639
River Surges in Sunlight 1433 54.41% 45.0 3.946 43.34% 0.707 0.7593
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 84 78.31% 36.39 -7.423 21.43% -0.268 0.0895
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 8 75.0% 43.88 -4.171 12.5% -0.87 -1.1001
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1541 63.01% 44.44 0.586 49.45% 0.515 0.4812
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 383 83.51% 31.27 -11.709 17.49% -0.548 -0.0808
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 1 100.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 43 76.74% 36.02 -9.146 30.23% -0.275 -0.3346
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 37 83.78% 36.97 6.887 32.43% 0.466 0.6264
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1293 55.38% 48.08 -4.502 53.83% -0.829 -1.131
Shifting Memory of Ages 211 73.93% 45.83 2.979 48.34% 1.017 1.0563
Shroud of Silent Mist 158 85.16% 38.82 -3.825 39.24% -0.033 0.2912
Starlight Seeks its Form 276 67.39% 43.0 -1.448 45.65% 0.195 -0.0094
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3101 29.89% 51.25 4.758 75.78% 1.984 1.7977
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 316 80.45% 31.48 -1.651 18.35% -0.336 -0.2513
Thunderspeaker 1424 74.77% 39.14 -4.218 33.99% -0.84 -0.8706
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 880 86.25% 43.79 -9.054 55.45% -1.094 -1.138
Vital Strength of the Earth 818 56.44% 40.72 -0.092 34.96% -0.227 0.5675
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 5 80.0% 45.0 -5.089 60.0% -0.262 0.1902
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 67 74.63% 34.91 0.0 31.34%
Volcano Looming High 420 90.71% 31.36 -4.709 25.0% -0.314 -0.2878

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 199 57.65% 40.57 4.458 44.72% 0.324 0.5908
Dahan Insurrection 4 195 76.8% 44.69 3.367 16.92% -0.432 -0.0992
Despicable Theft 2 5 100.0% 45.8 0.0 40.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 16 75.0% 32.31 0.0 18.75%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1009 19.88% 53.34 4.713 60.56% 0.498 0.6644
Powers Long Forgotten 1 58 86.21% 37.38 -4.995 24.14% -0.318 0.0081
Rituals of Terror 3 48 85.42% 75.13 19.197 52.08% 0.384 0.2746
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 20 75.0% 42.35 0.0 25.0%
Second Wave 0 154 68.63% 37.72 -1.34 29.22% -0.138 0.3325
The Great River 3 2 50.0% 54.5 0.0 50.0%
Ward the Shores 2 56 61.82% 46.89 0.0 33.93%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 14754 63.03% 42.43 -0.4 49.28% 0.099 0.5461
1 Thematic 1025 73.14% 41.31 0.801 32.39% 0.328 0.9308
2 Archipelago 10 100.0% 55.8 -8.621 20.0% -0.144 0.5224
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2246 72.24% 39.71 1.011 39.76% 0.458 0.8492
2 Coastline 238 67.38% 44.74 0.838 51.68% -0.056 0.0321
2 Fragment 65 75.38% 40.77 0.0 41.54%
2 Heart 29 79.31% 37.07 0.0 37.93%
2 Opposite Shores 499 68.83% 41.05 1.41 41.08% -0.375 0.1181
2 Thematic 165 69.09% 44.48 11.547 29.7% 0.436 0.9043
2 Top to Top 87 59.77% 45.62 -2.278 51.72% -0.292 -0.0097
3 Archipelago 4 100.0% 119.5 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 4 75.0% 33.75 0.0 25.0%
3 Other 50 76.0% 51.78 8.228 72.0% 0.669 -0.4202
3 Round (Default) 830 69.28% 39.56 -2.731 38.92% -0.412 -0.1432
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 42.0 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 39 76.92% 45.28 0.0 35.9%
4 Archipelago 5 100.0% 43.0 0.0 20.0%
4 Leaf 6 83.33% 38.17 0.0 33.33%
4 Other 21 80.95% 46.76 0.0 61.9%
4 Thematic 221 20.81% 65.17 0.0 72.4%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 739 31.29% 52.65 -0.722 61.03% -0.478 -0.6146
5 Other 11 50.0% 71.27 3.907 72.73% -0.074 0.1952
5 Thematic 19 52.63% 66.89 0.0 52.63%
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 70.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 4 0.0% 49.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 17 11.76% 72.35 -1.272 76.47% -0.455 -0.0925
6 Two Centers (Default) 4 100.0% 44.5 0.0 50.0%
7 Archipelago 2 50.0% 146.0 11.182 100.0% 0.312 -0.5287

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1071 37.07 -1.591 34.92% -0.317 1.5146
Aid From Lesser Spirits 842 39.49 -4.065 39.19% -0.574 1.0803
All Things Weaken 507 37.55 -2.327 37.28% -0.407 1.5692
Back Against the Wall 773 38.01 -5.402 35.96% -0.564 1.2944
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1031 34.97 -7.127 34.63% -0.99 0.9842
Downward Spiral 2037 34.95 -4.177 32.5% -0.725 1.1774
Erosion of Will 1171 35.33 -2.941 31.85% -0.202 1.8417
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 159 46.48 1.223 58.49% 0.219 0.7912
Memory Fades to Dust 1979 34.07 -6.497 29.16% -1.047 0.9325
Power Corrodes the Spirit 513 36.71 -2.923 36.26% -0.713 1.179
Promising Farmlands 1045 36.0 -4.612 34.93% -0.605 1.4335
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 121 48.31 1.628 65.29% 0.665 1.1058
Thriving Communities 513 37.19 -9.278 38.99% -1.799 0.1656
Tipping Point 470 35.04 0.0 31.91%
Unnatural Proliferation 586 40.13 -4.358 41.3% -0.821 1.0851
Untended Land Crumbles 543 36.63 -5.874 37.75% -1.028 1.0063

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3938 67.18% 40.77 -0.629 41.75% -0.083 0.6849
B 5152 60.42% 42.88 -1.561 46.14% -0.243 0.4492
C 7236 53.07% 46.75 2.284 59.0% 0.237 0.8017
D 3769 67.77% 42.17 0.032 45.05% 0.046 0.8146
E 1611 67.73% 41.08 -0.152 43.58% 0.289 0.8878
F 1902 67.18% 40.87 -0.906 42.59% -0.141 0.569
G 1656 69.28% 40.43 -2.671 41.73% -0.292 0.4339
H 1804 66.57% 40.77 -0.151 41.52% 0.142 0.8327
East 1011 60.0% 48.32 1.577 40.65% -0.182 0.44
Northeast 609 53.69% 49.76 -2.122 41.87% -0.503 0.1787
Northwest 444 47.52% 54.46 1.443 53.83% 0.102 1.1686
Southeast 123 44.72% 52.66 0.229 48.78% -0.296 0.4319
Southwest 117 44.44% 50.15 -4.476 49.57% -0.913 0.0579
West 745 55.97% 50.53 4.869 47.11% 0.26 1.2632

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 76 0.0% 54.08 10.869 57.89% 0.278 2.2898
Not Using Events or Tokens 2026 69.51% 38.43 0.419 34.21% 0.354 0.568
Skip Initial Invader Actions 450 20.48% 64.55 7.322 79.11% 1.119 1.0259
Start of Game Growth 831 20.58% 62.15 4.322 74.97% 0.406 -0.3013
Unlimited Undo 1643 62.55% 46.39 -0.846 53.2% 0.157 -0.5424
Using Tokens but Not Events 1291 61.34% 41.42 1.616 40.82% -0.128 -0.1736

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4238 22.6 5.59%
II 5889 31.02 13.28%
III 4130 34.59 52.23%
IV 6841 37.83 99.78%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.047 Win Model: -0.363
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 15840 63.76% 42.42 48.19%
2 3322 70.94% 40.69 40.88%
3 906 70.53% 40.02 39.18%
4 996 29.88% 55.5 63.25%
5 5 50.0% 83.8 80.0%
6 29 27.59% 70.0 72.41%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 237
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2098
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 745
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6748
Lose: Invader deck ran out 37
Lose: Adversary condition 4927
Win: Sacrifice victory 105
Lose: Scenario condition 365
Win: Scenario condition 69
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5491
Lose: Spirit destroyed 276

The Kingdom of England — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8316 43.06% 50.05 -0.565 47.93% -0.258 -0.3924
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5029 80.33% 39.5 -2.666 31.4% -0.395 -0.349
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2082 67.91% 35.95 -6.831 22.38% -1.048 -1.1679
Downpour Drenches the World 328 43.29% 48.21 -1.273 42.38% -0.316 0.0332
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4157 59.95% 47.7 0.245 45.37% 0.111 -0.3096
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7366 54.66% 51.28 3.844 54.32% 0.787 0.2249
Finder of Paths Unseen 118 50.85% 56.75 2.368 54.24% 0.069 0.4705
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2194 50.14% 57.35 6.597 53.87% 0.601 0.6554
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 783 81.1% 35.64 -4.986 22.61% -0.549 -0.5571
Heart of the Wildfire 3707 80.42% 32.31 -7.057 18.37% -0.716 -0.489
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 21116 47.37% 51.32 2.381 57.14% 0.76 0.2378
Lightning's Swift Strike 12012 62.54% 45.1 -0.244 41.66% 0.156 0.3998
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 561 67.91% 50.67 3.397 50.62% 1.004 0.15
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 2066 57.54% 48.86 -2.657 51.6% -0.227 -0.836
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1093 52.97% 53.27 0.095 56.63% 0.072 -0.3055
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3582 72.06% 42.04 -3.399 37.66% -0.334 -0.5518
Many Minds Move as One 1661 49.49% 56.86 3.173 67.73% 0.814 0.2745
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 18920 59.57% 52.42 3.0 54.67% 0.998 0.6811
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2251 55.54% 43.38 -4.304 36.83% -0.753 -0.7692
River Surges in Sunlight 7053 54.62% 49.94 3.359 42.54% 0.096 0.148
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 725 53.38% 45.93 1.324 33.1% 0.484 0.8418
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 141 70.21% 51.77 1.177 29.08% -0.278 -0.508
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 11533 44.28% 54.54 3.19 59.77% 0.87 0.8362
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3314 66.88% 39.68 5.815 28.79% 1.628 2.0953
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 8 100.0% 41.75 2.667 37.5% 0.637 0.7344
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 19 78.95% 42.42 -3.841 36.84% -0.373 -0.548
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 297 75.42% 36.63 0.188 23.23% 0.255 0.195
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 267 74.53% 39.42 -4.529 28.84% 0.142 0.3022
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5180 50.87% 51.95 5.172 53.75% 0.925 0.6232
Shifting Memory of Ages 1128 61.31% 52.08 -1.257 48.76% -0.537 -0.4979
Shroud of Silent Mist 911 82.33% 42.04 -3.736 39.3% -0.25 0.0741
Starlight Seeks its Form 1861 53.79% 51.35 0.943 51.42% 0.184 -0.0199
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 9123 43.43% 44.52 -2.611 50.87% 0.096 -0.09
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1827 67.96% 39.46 -2.772 28.9% -0.179 -0.0945
Thunderspeaker 6759 67.69% 43.21 -4.594 29.65% -0.907 -0.9382
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3527 81.18% 44.97 -0.301 47.94% 0.532 0.4887
Vital Strength of the Earth 3671 47.42% 43.91 -4.293 33.02% -1.118 -0.3235
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 109 48.62% 46.05 -3.215 34.86% -0.681 -0.2295
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 327 66.97% 33.87 -4.326 17.74% -0.441 0.5899
Volcano Looming High 2680 80.14% 34.59 -6.887 24.14% -1.144 -1.1178

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 1023 51.28% 46.6 1.868 44.77% 0.757 1.0239
Dahan Insurrection 4 2211 69.21% 48.54 0.881 14.16% -0.698 -0.3651
Despicable Theft 2 40 70.0% 46.75 0.0 35.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 96 67.71% 42.61 -5.036 31.25% -0.361 0.2878
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 14468 23.46% 55.96 3.343 55.81% 0.277 0.4428
Powers Long Forgotten 1 165 87.88% 32.21 -4.927 11.52% -0.359 -0.0336
Rituals of Terror 3 457 68.86% 101.59 16.927 57.77% 1.871 1.7611
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 100 92.0% 34.8 -7.923 8.0% -0.35 0.307
Second Wave 0 260 64.09% 44.69 4.36 39.23% 0.611 1.0822
The Great River 3 24 50.0% 49.92 1.143 29.17% -0.305 1.1961
Varied Terrains 2 4 100.0% 44.25 -4.172 25.0% -0.547 -0.0116
Ward the Shores 2 237 71.55% 45.68 2.297 31.22% 0.02 1.2075

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 83896 61.82% 44.89 -2.708 44.46% -0.951 -0.5037
1 Thematic 5595 62.53% 46.01 8.382 23.59% 0.386 0.9892
2 Archipelago 33 69.7% 77.7 -2.616 39.39% -0.734 -0.0679
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8999 68.35% 43.66 -1.769 40.89% -0.887 -0.4956
2 Coastline 1809 63.95% 43.66 -3.818 39.3% -1.358 -1.27
2 Fragment 175 71.43% 41.76 5.788 35.43% 0.129 0.1951
2 Heart 164 65.85% 50.77 2.431 57.32% 0.229 0.5006
2 Opposite Shores 2759 53.76% 47.52 -0.053 44.29% -0.826 -0.3333
2 Thematic 1746 38.89% 70.15 9.831 53.26% -0.122 0.3465
2 Top to Top 578 59.0% 49.39 3.37 52.6% -0.11 0.1718
3 Archipelago 20 50.0% 58.1 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 24 52.17% 54.46 5.507 62.5% -0.067 -0.7058
3 Other 277 62.45% 52.17 9.812 60.65% 1.109 0.0202
3 Round (Default) 4750 52.01% 48.95 0.337 50.86% -0.488 -0.2193
3 Sunrise 13 38.46% 53.23 0.0 61.54%
3 Thematic 123 49.18% 66.93 -3.841 39.84% -0.545 -0.7685
4 Archipelago 10 70.0% 61.2 43.243 50.0% 0.373 -0.4783
4 Coastline 31 9.68% 45.13 13.626 35.48% 0.233 0.2411
4 Leaf 18 33.33% 50.94 0.0 44.44%
4 Other 178 51.41% 55.87 2.509 67.42% 0.273 -0.1729
4 Thematic 1562 23.88% 69.01 4.22 70.42% 0.415 0.5114
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2926 37.37% 54.99 2.978 60.42% 0.236 0.099
5 Archipelago 5 80.0% 58.6 -2.812 40.0% -0.081 -0.4971
5 Coastline 8 25.0% 70.63 4.757 100.0% 0.298 -0.214
5 Other 78 43.06% 66.21 -0.581 82.05% 0.047 0.316
5 Thematic 58 18.97% 82.19 8.232 91.38% 0.097 -0.0098
6 Archipelago 2 50.0% 66.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 34.0 -11.342 0.0% -0.538 -0.9777
6 Other 43 23.26% 56.16 -4.002 55.81% -0.488 0.4003
6 Star 11 72.73% 56.09 -4.397 63.64% -0.171 0.7235
6 Thematic 91 13.19% 70.43 -2.734 70.33% -0.826 -0.4635
6 Two Centers (Default) 119 21.01% 67.87 4.499 63.87% 0.305 0.6827
7 Archipelago 3 100.0% 84.0 11.264 33.33% 0.061 -0.779

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 5627 39.35 -2.681 33.61% -0.57 1.2618
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4719 42.35 -0.288 38.57% -0.262 1.3924
All Things Weaken 2797 38.26 -4.668 31.64% -0.973 1.0039
Back Against the Wall 4453 41.37 -3.363 36.36% -0.809 1.0495
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5389 37.03 -4.095 32.18% -0.715 1.2592
Downward Spiral 9962 38.39 -4.344 30.88% -0.845 1.0572
Erosion of Will 5459 38.12 -4.27 31.01% -0.913 1.1308
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 983 48.34 1.42 50.05% -0.062 0.5107
Memory Fades to Dust 9933 37.63 -3.899 28.04% -0.741 1.2382
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2806 38.86 -3.995 33.46% -0.789 1.1031
Promising Farmlands 5392 38.52 -3.835 33.36% -0.791 1.2479
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 592 51.5 0.367 58.11% -0.217 0.2239
Thriving Communities 2966 39.42 -3.985 35.0% -0.744 1.2202
Tipping Point 2148 36.92 0.0 30.4%
Unnatural Proliferation 3135 40.59 -3.506 34.64% -0.797 1.1088
Untended Land Crumbles 2925 38.77 -5.08 33.54% -1.02 1.0148

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 22850 57.72% 46.03 -0.512 45.02% -0.795 -0.0265
B 25036 59.2% 45.59 0.223 44.55% -0.679 0.0139
C 28339 59.73% 46.9 -0.43 47.73% -0.8 -0.2355
D 20387 62.64% 45.94 -0.602 45.94% -0.764 0.0038
E 12079 58.75% 46.47 0.268 46.42% -0.675 -0.0754
F 11729 58.48% 46.79 -0.528 47.0% -0.853 -0.1432
G 11021 57.6% 45.8 -0.298 44.93% -0.713 0.0134
H 10882 55.87% 47.87 0.612 48.85% -0.653 0.0374
East 6701 47.53% 58.45 4.515 41.49% -1.473 -0.8509
Northeast 4578 42.16% 59.29 5.229 44.39% -0.104 0.5774
Northwest 2854 31.81% 64.83 -0.005 57.95% -1.4 -0.3335
Southeast 678 49.85% 56.22 1.204 42.04% -0.424 0.3039
Southwest 444 33.56% 60.98 0.233 57.88% -0.348 0.6225
West 4799 42.42% 60.33 6.069 48.3% -0.554 0.4492

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 989 0.0% 50.84 1.989 50.56% 0.107 2.1184
Not Using Events or Tokens 11019 61.92% 43.31 -0.627 28.58% -0.381 -0.1662
Skip Initial Invader Actions 6293 15.96% 70.63 4.684 84.47% -0.133 -0.2261
Start of Game Growth 7441 18.74% 68.69 5.529 81.58% 0.82 0.1125
Unlimited Undo 15999 40.56% 61.44 4.905 75.06% 1.098 0.3979
Using Tokens but Not Events 7408 56.84% 48.42 2.754 46.02% 0.323 0.2772

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 33905 22.6 9.26%
II 34028 31.02 25.19%
III 18970 34.59 56.92%
IV 29233 37.83 99.68%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.796 Win Model: 0.72
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 90213 61.9% 45.26 43.37%
2 15754 61.66% 46.16 42.31%
3 5161 52.28% 49.62 51.48%
4 4712 32.63% 59.63 63.82%
5 26 34.78% 68.77 73.08%
6 270 21.48% 66.4 64.81%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3123
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10409
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8050
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 28632
Lose: Invader deck ran out 167
Lose: Adversary condition 29803
Win: Sacrifice victory 923
Lose: Scenario condition 4957
Win: Scenario condition 509
Lose: Blight pool ran out 28039
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1524

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-09-16 02:17:41 (Pacific Time)