The Kingdom of England — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5534 21.79% 26.34 0.263 86.52% -0.089 0.0474
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3028 44.56% 23.99 -0.212 79.06% -0.113 0.1182
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2092 25.27% 26.35 0.288 89.58% 0.34 0.253
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2467 15.58% 28.77 1.336 92.7% 0.412 0.0422
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2223 20.21% 28.1 1.034 91.81% 0.467 0.2119
Fractured Days Split the Sky 314 32.48% 26.5 0.533 76.75% -0.824 -0.4627
Heart of the Wildfire 3181 59.68% 21.15 -1.451 73.15% -0.19 0.1592
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5249 23.22% 26.94 0.387 90.23% 0.251 -0.0502
Lightning's Swift Strike 5641 41.05% 24.44 -0.121 80.38% 0.018 0.2798
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 597 30.42% 26.51 0.68 91.79% 0.567 0.2777
Many Minds Move as One 554 23.65% 27.57 0.841 91.16% 0.299 -0.2278
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4839 40.88% 24.64 -0.176 82.1% 0.141 -0.0548
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1951 28.57% 24.96 -0.353 85.24% -0.117 -0.0729
River Surges in Sunlight 5949 37.02% 25.91 0.414 75.86% -0.473 -0.3207
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2767 32.35% 24.45 -0.479 83.12% -0.126 0.0178
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3513 52.49% 23.01 -0.699 73.7% -0.221 0.2212
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3792 23.76% 27.59 0.711 88.58% 0.041 -0.0316
Shroud of Silent Mist 186 45.7% 23.63 -0.397 86.02% 0.311 0.2876
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1109 24.23% 24.52 -0.653 90.89% 0.276 0.2551
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1485 28.76% 25.01 -0.466 81.68% -0.43 -0.2212
Thunderspeaker 5228 24.18% 28.06 1.137 87.8% 0.189 0.2432
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 765 60.1% 21.38 -1.452 78.56% 0.044 0.0571
Vital Strength of the Earth 4326 28.74% 22.54 -1.441 74.04% -0.839 0.0289
Volcano Looming High 338 38.76% 22.96 -1.043 84.02% -0.133 -0.1619

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 857 41.37% 22.48 -1.353 74.56% -0.44 0.1407
Dahan Insurrection 4 839 21.69% 46.15 10.013 80.69% -0.571 -0.1673
Despicable Theft 2 17 58.82% 30.12 2.862 64.71% -0.556 -0.2064
Elemental Invocation 1 48 35.42% 27.4 1.016 83.33% -0.181 0.1911
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2103 9.02% 30.47 1.969 86.21% -0.588 -0.2232
Powers Long Forgotten 1 413 48.43% 28.17 1.327 73.37% -0.49 -0.0486
Rituals of Terror 3 571 48.59% 33.89 4.447 64.62% -0.804 -0.17
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 321 69.47% 32.15 3.84 63.24% -0.51 0.1305
Second Wave 0 615 47.64% 22.72 -0.83 63.74% -1.125 -0.7013
The Great River 3 68 48.53% 30.07 2.952 55.88% -1.577 -0.1563
Ward the Shores 2 522 48.37% 28.04 1.249 59.77% -1.305 -0.2638

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 29694 38.55% 24.05 -0.571 80.63% -0.181 0.1459
1 Thematic 3168 42.39% 31.12 2.105 74.84% -0.182 0.2921
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7005 32.29% 24.5 -0.311 83.84% -0.04 0.157
2 Coastline 617 36.12% 24.23 -0.321 83.79% 0.06 0.2111
2 Fragment 158 38.85% 22.58 -1.176 77.22% -0.451 -0.0464
2 Heart 85 36.9% 23.89 -0.83 83.53% -0.13 0.1826
2 Opposite Shores 906 27.87% 25.54 -0.038 89.18% 0.307 0.53
2 Thematic 694 37.19% 33.32 1.886 76.95% 0.047 0.0752
2 Top to Top 137 33.82% 24.7 -0.178 84.67% -0.021 0.119
3 Coastline 6 0.0% 28.0 0.999 100.0% 0.272 0.2246
3 Other 77 28.0% 22.87 -1.024 81.82% -0.445 -0.007
3 Round (Default) 3185 17.06% 27.3 0.453 91.65% 0.266 0.3244
3 Sunrise 10 20.0% 24.9 -0.451 90.0% -0.086 -0.2828
3 Thematic 126 37.3% 32.49 0.501 73.81% 0.028 -0.3331
4 Coastline 13 0.0% 29.77 0.949 92.31% 0.13 0.3013
4 Leaf 3 0.0% 30.0 1.38 100.0% 0.119 0.1826
4 Other 34 26.47% 24.68 -0.297 88.24% -0.094 0.0367
4 Thematic 213 21.6% 31.79 -0.835 77.0% -0.245 -1.3048
4 Trapezoid (Default) 959 23.06% 25.46 -0.055 85.09% -0.14 -0.1019
5 Other 6 66.67% 23.67 0.181 100.0% 0.64 0.4415
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 36.0 2.352 100.0% 0.171 -2.7853

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1086 19.4 -3.624 64.46% -2.215 -0.144
Aid From Lesser Spirits 917 20.01 -3.299 64.67% -2.184 -0.2622
All Things Weaken 327 18.62 -4.013 60.86% -2.387 -0.2339
Back Against the Wall 934 18.95 -3.886 59.21% -2.441 -0.3448
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1046 16.01 -5.349 56.79% -2.558 -0.3318
Downward Spiral 3951 17.17 -4.482 60.69% -2.06 -0.0408
Erosion of Will 1142 18.26 -4.227 58.67% -2.482 -0.2719
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 126 23.44 -1.436 91.27% -0.549 0.1448
Memory Fades to Dust 4000 16.83 -4.666 56.4% -2.239 -0.0236
Power Corrodes the Spirit 330 18.54 -3.912 67.58% -2.118 -0.1006
Promising Farmlands 1087 17.3 -4.68 60.35% -2.407 -0.1933
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 117 24.21 -1.131 94.87% -0.018 0.412
Thriving Communities 297 16.94 -4.844 58.92% -2.489 -0.3932
Tipping Point 618 17.72 -4.567 59.71% -2.33 -0.1088
Unnatural Proliferation 314 17.84 -4.272 55.1% -2.653 -0.567
Untended Land Crumbles 319 18.64 -3.913 66.77% -2.112 -0.0161

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11920 33.87% 24.41 -0.382 82.01% 0.198 -0.9039
B 12151 32.41% 24.85 -0.109 83.52% 0.3 -0.896
C 12028 32.19% 24.87 -0.117 82.99% 0.25 -1.1789
D 11707 32.66% 24.81 -0.1 83.68% 0.351 -0.8397
E 2056 30.91% 25.2 -0.006 86.58% 0.319 -0.9801
F 4000 30.71% 24.91 -0.164 85.85% 0.276 -0.9783
G 3826 30.98% 24.7 -0.265 85.52% 0.243 -0.9996
H 3904 30.87% 25.18 -0.046 86.5% 0.351 -0.9065
East 1277 36.46% 33.31 2.246 76.51% 0.166 -0.7938
Northeast 1514 37.04% 32.42 1.88 75.89% 0.026 -0.8747
Northwest 1223 36.21% 32.37 1.76 77.11% 0.25 -0.7246
Southeast 205 35.12% 31.08 1.033 79.51% 0.146 -0.8578
Southwest 173 37.57% 25.5 -2.031 71.68% -0.36 -0.9594
West 1217 40.99% 31.43 1.232 72.14% -0.091 -0.7902

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 587 0.0% 22.91 -2.004 73.08% -1.704 0.3442
Not Using Events or Tokens 11729 44.44% 22.88 -0.904 74.18% -0.474 -0.2533
Skip Initial Invader Actions 682 10.22% 33.48 2.565 93.11% 0.537 -0.1682
Start of Game Growth 1118 13.24% 31.87 2.115 93.11% 0.529 0.0775
Unlimited Undo 2627 28.06% 27.02 0.576 86.98% 0.242 -0.1751
Using Tokens but Not Events 5183 21.33% 27.01 0.423 88.79% -0.027 -0.0783

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4278 22.33 39.46%
II 16485 30.75 76.31%
III 17417 34.25 88.27%
IV 8917 37.47 99.07%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.036 Win Model: -0.199
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 32897 38.91% 24.73 80.08%
2 9586 32.65% 25.19 83.73%
3 3397 18.05% 27.4 90.82%
4 1217 22.72% 26.59 83.81%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1178
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11372
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8610
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6553
Lose: Invader deck ran out 505
Lose: Adversary condition 2234
Win: Sacrifice victory 200
Lose: Scenario condition 372
Win: Scenario condition 988
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5159
Lose: Spirit destroyed 352

The Kingdom of England — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2893 25.89% 34.95 0.63 84.06% 0.007 0.1428
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1581 53.74% 32.44 0.053 75.77% 0.066 0.2971
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1131 33.24% 34.44 0.517 85.15% 0.319 0.2329
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1572 22.04% 37.59 1.721 87.53% 0.259 -0.1115
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1431 28.72% 36.63 1.523 88.47% 0.56 0.3042
Fractured Days Split the Sky 146 47.26% 34.03 0.831 73.97% -0.297 0.0646
Heart of the Wildfire 1916 66.07% 28.8 -1.461 69.52% -0.081 0.2681
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3263 36.45% 33.93 0.292 84.19% 0.238 -0.0642
Lightning's Swift Strike 3136 42.04% 33.24 0.327 78.44% 0.07 0.3316
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 424 45.63% 32.74 0.098 81.13% 0.154 -0.1359
Many Minds Move as One 368 28.26% 35.48 0.966 85.05% 0.104 -0.4228
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2518 52.8% 31.72 -0.359 75.89% 0.143 -0.0532
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1135 40.46% 31.83 -0.729 76.83% -0.21 -0.1661
River Surges in Sunlight 3232 46.97% 32.05 -0.376 67.14% -0.609 -0.4566
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1735 35.83% 33.45 0.06 82.59% 0.105 0.2495
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1809 62.15% 29.45 -1.355 63.52% -0.419 0.0229
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2040 33.46% 35.14 0.837 82.89% 0.066 -0.0057
Shroud of Silent Mist 124 56.91% 29.77 -0.887 78.23% 0.063 0.0401
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 727 26.18% 32.82 -0.466 86.52% 0.143 0.1226
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 815 48.82% 29.71 -1.808 64.17% -0.793 -0.5838
Thunderspeaker 2959 31.8% 36.6 1.592 84.08% 0.304 0.3581
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 480 67.36% 28.31 -1.643 73.13% 0.004 0.0174
Vital Strength of the Earth 2309 38.99% 29.9 -1.709 68.51% -0.665 0.2033
Volcano Looming High 204 46.23% 30.96 -0.854 78.43% -0.08 -0.109

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 605 45.9% 30.34 -1.379 71.4% -0.348 0.2328
Dahan Insurrection 4 539 26.82% 53.82 10.057 78.11% -0.409 -0.0055
Despicable Theft 2 8 62.5% 37.75 2.831 62.5% -0.451 -0.1006
Elemental Invocation 1 25 56.0% 31.56 -0.276 76.0% -0.19 0.1826
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1152 12.48% 37.55 1.516 78.47% -0.772 -0.4074
Powers Long Forgotten 1 362 61.77% 32.89 0.245 62.98% -0.544 -0.1033
Rituals of Terror 3 266 54.51% 41.73 4.333 63.53% -0.6 0.0348
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 166 72.29% 39.98 3.661 62.65% -0.443 0.1977
Second Wave 0 2226 48.56% 32.38 0.035 67.74% -0.711 -0.2871
The Great River 3 40 70.0% 33.02 1.338 50.0% -1.082 0.3392
Ward the Shores 2 326 52.63% 35.83 1.354 59.82% -0.939 0.1019

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 15857 44.33% 31.7 -0.601 76.37% -0.464 -0.1367
1 Thematic 2403 48.26% 37.45 1.662 71.7% -0.641 -0.1669
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3604 41.32% 31.74 -0.421 78.39% -0.112 0.0844
2 Coastline 385 38.95% 32.03 -0.242 80.52% 0.022 0.1725
2 Fragment 111 50.0% 30.64 -0.788 76.58% -0.055 0.349
2 Heart 64 34.38% 31.92 -0.694 79.69% -0.259 0.0531
2 Opposite Shores 789 39.2% 33.24 0.096 82.13% 0.154 0.3769
2 Thematic 643 45.14% 39.56 1.62 73.25% -0.329 -0.3001
2 Top to Top 120 46.67% 30.89 -0.707 75.83% -0.177 -0.0364
3 Coastline 5 20.0% 37.4 2.174 100.0% 0.635 0.5879
3 Other 63 35.48% 33.59 0.419 84.13% 0.188 0.6268
3 Round (Default) 1602 27.74% 34.36 0.303 84.52% 0.294 0.3516
3 Sunrise 4 50.0% 29.5 -1.672 75.0% -0.13 -0.3273
3 Thematic 161 40.99% 38.12 0.39 73.29% 0.003 -0.3581
4 Coastline 5 40.0% 28.4 -3.37 40.0% -0.997 -0.8265
4 Leaf 8 12.5% 34.5 0.351 87.5% 0.3 0.3639
4 Other 19 52.63% 31.16 -0.899 73.68% 0.082 0.2128
4 Thematic 150 41.61% 41.33 0.425 74.67% 0.214 -0.8457
4 Trapezoid (Default) 513 33.67% 34.11 0.233 82.26% 0.596 0.6343
5 Other 6 16.67% 38.33 3.005 100.0% 0.542 0.3434
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 45.0 2.415 100.0% 0.087 -2.87

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 868 25.48 -4.648 57.03% -2.184 -0.1134
Aid From Lesser Spirits 701 27.48 -3.612 59.34% -2.051 -0.1294
All Things Weaken 242 25.56 -4.47 58.68% -2.077 0.0764
Back Against the Wall 682 25.4 -4.598 54.55% -2.297 -0.2011
Disintegrating Ecosystem 793 22.96 -5.972 53.85% -2.309 -0.0829
Downward Spiral 2351 24.79 -4.833 59.59% -1.882 0.1363
Erosion of Will 787 25.14 -4.824 55.91% -2.227 -0.0167
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 99 32.06 -1.121 87.88% -0.457 0.2369
Memory Fades to Dust 2308 23.94 -5.291 53.34% -2.143 0.0719
Power Corrodes the Spirit 262 25.95 -4.256 63.36% -1.935 0.0822
Promising Farmlands 802 23.92 -5.326 55.36% -2.226 -0.0127
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 79 33.81 -0.305 92.41% 0.012 0.4422
Thriving Communities 219 25.29 -4.633 59.82% -1.972 0.1237
Tipping Point 493 24.87 -5.076 55.98% -2.217 0.0046
Unnatural Proliferation 280 24.76 -4.982 52.14% -2.351 -0.2645
Untended Land Crumbles 259 25.59 -4.481 61.39% -1.991 0.1047

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6218 41.91% 31.9 -0.39 77.4% 0.306 -0.7959
B 6497 39.45% 32.2 -0.293 77.87% 0.254 -0.9422
C 6529 39.11% 32.57 -0.084 79.2% 0.357 -1.0714
D 6295 41.87% 32.21 -0.148 78.51% 0.41 -0.781
E 1267 38.69% 32.75 -0.096 80.9% 0.313 -0.986
F 2159 37.58% 32.82 -0.079 80.96% 0.339 -0.9152
G 2132 41.67% 32.31 -0.24 79.69% 0.34 -0.9028
H 2266 37.63% 32.72 -0.162 80.58% 0.31 -0.9472
East 1109 43.69% 40.43 2.335 74.84% 0.503 -0.4572
Northeast 1170 44.77% 38.96 1.61 72.99% 0.34 -0.5614
Northwest 999 43.94% 39.26 1.692 74.07% 0.481 -0.4933
Southeast 189 46.56% 35.45 0.045 69.84% 0.167 -0.837
Southwest 169 54.44% 30.93 -2.189 66.27% 0.081 -0.5189
West 1015 50.6% 38.29 1.085 69.75% 0.218 -0.4811

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 286 0.0% 31.19 -2.265 70.98% -1.624 0.4244
Not Using Events or Tokens 5347 47.16% 31.02 -0.747 71.14% -0.36 -0.139
Skip Initial Invader Actions 382 11.01% 46.32 4.165 95.03% 0.974 0.2689
Start of Game Growth 584 14.68% 43.17 2.939 92.29% 0.392 -0.0601
Unlimited Undo 1703 35.65% 34.64 0.59 84.2% 0.3 -0.1166
Using Tokens but Not Events 2568 30.84% 34.39 0.4 83.61% 0.063 0.0122

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2288 22.33 29.11%
II 10015 30.75 67.9%
III 8987 34.25 86.39%
IV 5224 37.47 99.2%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.07 Win Model: -0.549
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 18283 44.85% 32.46 75.79%
2 5722 41.43% 32.82 78.38%
3 1815 29.19% 34.67 83.47%
4 694 35.48% 35.58 80.12%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 448
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5749
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4622
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3863
Lose: Invader deck ran out 216
Lose: Adversary condition 1679
Win: Sacrifice victory 128
Lose: Scenario condition 266
Win: Scenario condition 614
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3752
Lose: Spirit destroyed 189

The Kingdom of England — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3499 34.18% 35.59 1.227 75.91% 0.237 0.3725
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2147 66.59% 31.34 -0.344 62.13% -0.115 0.1166
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1597 41.37% 35.36 1.002 77.77% 0.325 0.2385
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2063 33.67% 37.57 1.933 79.98% 0.358 -0.0125
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1876 43.1% 36.58 1.531 79.48% 0.473 0.2174
Fractured Days Split the Sky 253 50.59% 36.3 1.496 69.57% -0.134 0.2271
Heart of the Wildfire 2583 84.09% 23.54 -4.075 45.41% -0.642 -0.2926
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7262 34.65% 35.64 1.108 79.74% 0.273 -0.0285
Lightning's Swift Strike 4047 58.88% 31.37 -0.547 63.55% -0.097 0.1641
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 686 55.95% 32.47 -0.164 70.55% 0.018 -0.272
Many Minds Move as One 583 34.54% 36.48 1.279 78.04% 0.07 -0.4566
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3684 61.12% 33.15 0.582 70.74% 0.447 0.2511
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1472 49.66% 32.98 -0.104 70.79% 0.039 0.0833
River Surges in Sunlight 3855 58.62% 31.56 -0.529 55.64% -0.525 -0.3724
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2569 45.61% 33.6 0.21 71.62% 0.07 0.2138
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1756 79.68% 25.5 -3.061 43.11% -0.695 -0.2531
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2335 44.31% 35.13 0.905 73.66% 0.116 0.044
Shroud of Silent Mist 206 71.71% 29.89 -1.332 64.08% -0.138 -0.161
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1157 35.82% 34.01 0.134 81.68% 0.406 0.3856
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 914 63.79% 27.3 -2.799 50.33% -0.83 -0.621
Thunderspeaker 3198 48.9% 34.79 1.01 69.29% 0.142 0.1955
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 818 81.4% 28.9 -1.414 65.77% 0.154 0.1675
Vital Strength of the Earth 3337 42.68% 31.2 -0.92 64.61% -0.377 0.4913
Volcano Looming High 495 66.87% 29.97 -1.169 69.09% 0.051 0.022

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 679 51.89% 29.69 -1.556 58.32% -0.423 0.158
Dahan Insurrection 4 480 41.6% 50.43 8.424 63.13% -0.385 0.0185
Despicable Theft 2 7 85.71% 40.57 4.504 71.43% 0.354 0.7036
Elemental Invocation 1 38 60.53% 33.95 -0.032 65.79% -0.225 0.1474
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2101 14.84% 38.58 2.053 74.49% -0.42 -0.0551
Powers Long Forgotten 1 254 74.7% 30.34 -0.915 48.43% -0.691 -0.2496
Rituals of Terror 3 190 60.32% 39.34 3.421 49.47% -0.723 -0.0887
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 129 81.4% 37.71 2.763 50.39% -0.425 0.2156
Second Wave 0 1310 60.49% 31.19 -0.816 53.59% -0.822 -0.3978
The Great River 3 30 46.67% 36.5 1.016 43.33% -1.627 -0.2064
Ward the Shores 2 312 52.26% 36.38 1.171 50.96% -1.082 -0.0403

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 25006 49.91% 32.6 -0.086 70.34% -0.032 0.2949
1 Thematic 2010 60.33% 34.74 0.781 55.32% -0.221 0.2523
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4883 54.95% 31.67 -0.347 67.25% -0.118 0.0789
2 Coastline 519 46.5% 34.14 0.592 75.92% 0.203 0.3541
2 Fragment 118 50.43% 31.45 -0.664 65.25% -0.301 0.1033
2 Heart 69 53.62% 29.45 -1.745 62.32% -0.588 -0.276
2 Opposite Shores 1090 47.93% 33.31 -0.014 70.55% -0.128 0.095
2 Thematic 665 59.3% 35.08 0.303 54.44% -0.142 -0.1135
2 Top to Top 151 61.59% 30.82 -0.908 65.56% -0.283 -0.1426
3 Coastline 4 50.0% 28.5 -1.945 25.0% -0.603 -0.6505
3 Other 69 40.58% 36.46 1.29 82.61% 0.175 0.6138
3 Round (Default) 1764 48.14% 32.7 -0.104 69.56% -0.136 -0.0782
3 Sunrise 8 37.5% 39.5 3.41 100.0% 0.971 0.7739
3 Thematic 131 61.07% 37.72 1.182 53.44% 0.277 -0.0844
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 52.0 5.658 100.0% 0.273 0.4436
4 Leaf 3 66.67% 21.0 -4.507 33.33% -0.776 -0.7121
4 Other 36 63.89% 33.69 0.561 77.78% 0.346 0.4775
4 Thematic 219 47.91% 37.89 0.418 58.45% 0.338 -0.7218
4 Trapezoid (Default) 863 40.33% 34.55 0.369 71.38% -0.166 -0.1281
5 Other 14 35.71% 41.21 3.291 100.0% 0.933 0.7338

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1570 26.81 -3.804 52.68% -1.61 0.4604
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1269 29.34 -2.564 57.92% -1.392 0.5294
All Things Weaken 474 26.7 -3.859 54.22% -1.683 0.4707
Back Against the Wall 1201 27.9 -3.337 53.54% -1.617 0.4797
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1417 24.55 -4.993 50.6% -1.695 0.5309
Downward Spiral 3523 25.48 -4.31 51.26% -1.491 0.5279
Erosion of Will 1381 26.08 -4.212 50.18% -1.75 0.4607
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 190 35.22 -0.023 85.26% -0.165 0.529
Memory Fades to Dust 3681 25.39 -4.339 49.17% -1.568 0.6472
Power Corrodes the Spirit 471 27.04 -3.741 56.48% -1.598 0.4193
Promising Farmlands 1445 25.78 -4.356 52.11% -1.647 0.5662
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 122 35.86 0.299 83.61% -0.299 0.1313
Thriving Communities 461 24.45 -5.133 48.37% -1.948 0.1474
Tipping Point 849 24.84 -4.866 47.7% -1.811 0.4107
Unnatural Proliferation 528 27.44 -3.614 53.6% -1.706 0.3807
Untended Land Crumbles 432 26.43 -4.048 55.79% -1.587 0.5091

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8315 52.77% 31.82 -0.402 66.98% 0.356 -0.7451
B 8908 52.04% 32.06 -0.241 67.83% 0.389 -0.8072
C 9838 47.88% 33.19 0.257 70.8% 0.497 -0.9317
D 8206 51.68% 32.17 -0.188 68.68% 0.446 -0.7446
E 2060 46.42% 33.98 0.341 75.44% 0.475 -0.8242
F 3662 47.67% 33.13 -0.064 72.17% 0.388 -0.866
G 3316 50.59% 32.84 -0.143 71.89% 0.43 -0.8124
H 3685 44.17% 33.94 0.274 74.25% 0.458 -0.7992
East 1096 56.99% 37.66 1.682 58.76% 0.442 -0.5179
Northeast 1143 56.78% 36.34 0.952 55.47% 0.057 -0.8438
Northwest 928 58.76% 35.28 0.488 55.17% 0.194 -0.7804
Southeast 172 49.7% 36.12 0.866 62.21% 0.356 -0.6479
Southwest 156 60.13% 26.05 -4.277 41.67% -0.61 -1.2093
West 1011 59.92% 35.1 0.184 52.03% -0.072 -0.7715

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 307 0.0% 29.36 -2.971 53.42% -1.613 0.436
Not Using Events or Tokens 5554 60.44% 29.16 -1.566 55.87% -0.495 -0.2745
Skip Initial Invader Actions 440 15.33% 46.3 3.795 87.73% 0.094 -0.6108
Start of Game Growth 651 16.64% 45.03 3.921 88.94% 1.053 0.6013
Unlimited Undo 2519 49.85% 34.74 0.805 74.83% 0.333 -0.0838
Using Tokens but Not Events 3666 42.7% 34.53 0.696 77.0% 0.303 0.2522

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5143 22.33 8.3%
II 11930 30.75 55.2%
III 12577 34.25 87.0%
IV 7974 37.47 99.42%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.005 Win Model: -0.375
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 27063 50.67% 32.76 69.26%
2 7477 53.8% 32.34 67.06%
3 1961 48.97% 33.11 68.74%
4 1123 42.22% 35.27 69.19%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 290
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8175
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4524
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6122
Lose: Invader deck ran out 274
Lose: Adversary condition 4004
Win: Sacrifice victory 141
Lose: Scenario condition 506
Win: Scenario condition 461
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6609
Lose: Spirit destroyed 349

The Kingdom of England — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3907 44.98% 37.71 1.2 60.12% 0.201 0.3366
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2048 76.36% 32.85 -0.751 46.58% -0.196 0.0349
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1618 58.94% 35.82 0.137 57.91% 0.103 0.0164
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2030 44.01% 39.96 2.051 66.06% 0.314 -0.0564
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2328 52.1% 39.6 1.942 65.89% 0.426 0.1706
Fractured Days Split the Sky 335 56.12% 38.58 1.362 53.43% -0.275 0.0862
Heart of the Wildfire 2530 86.79% 23.86 -5.408 27.11% -1.011 -0.662
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5524 52.59% 38.03 1.33 62.96% 0.26 -0.0416
Lightning's Swift Strike 4431 67.66% 33.15 -0.884 48.75% -0.147 0.1143
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 849 71.92% 34.25 -0.673 54.89% -0.063 -0.3525
Many Minds Move as One 515 44.16% 41.09 2.533 69.71% 0.391 -0.1354
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4457 66.5% 36.66 1.16 58.99% 0.471 0.2748
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1581 59.16% 33.86 -0.856 51.49% -0.216 -0.172
River Surges in Sunlight 4031 64.05% 34.6 -0.39 45.17% -0.398 -0.245
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3223 52.97% 37.37 0.904 60.38% 0.205 0.3494
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1391 81.88% 26.75 -3.818 28.4% -0.92 -0.4779
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2335 56.73% 36.0 0.246 54.99% -0.047 -0.1193
Shroud of Silent Mist 200 76.38% 35.02 0.146 58.5% 0.171 0.1475
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1704 41.79% 37.92 0.812 72.3% 0.476 0.4557
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 781 71.43% 30.57 -2.453 40.46% -0.549 -0.3399
Thunderspeaker 3648 63.74% 36.63 0.86 55.87% 0.176 0.2297
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 939 85.7% 33.94 -0.267 58.47% 0.277 0.2906
Vital Strength of the Earth 2613 59.66% 31.26 -1.868 41.94% -0.51 0.3581
Volcano Looming High 577 75.96% 32.98 -0.999 55.63% 0.031 0.0022

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 471 56.17% 34.92 -0.643 52.23% -0.183 0.3981
Dahan Insurrection 4 495 53.1% 48.6 6.588 44.65% -0.409 -0.0054
Despicable Theft 2 5 40.0% 41.6 1.69 40.0% -0.552 -0.2022
Elemental Invocation 1 29 62.07% 37.76 0.079 55.17% -0.352 0.0198
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2007 20.51% 40.55 1.803 59.69% -0.236 0.1287
Powers Long Forgotten 1 191 83.77% 32.48 -1.089 35.08% -0.624 -0.1824
Rituals of Terror 3 130 70.54% 41.82 3.315 42.31% -0.425 0.2096
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 55 94.55% 36.96 1.337 32.73% -0.54 0.1009
Second Wave 0 598 62.58% 34.94 -0.495 45.99% -0.575 -0.1509
The Great River 3 14 57.14% 30.43 -1.19 21.43% -1.07 0.3515
Ward the Shores 2 155 68.83% 38.31 1.17 40.65% -0.678 0.3637

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 23442 64.61% 34.54 -0.151 55.21% -0.392 -0.0649
1 Thematic 1399 62.04% 39.3 1.399 48.53% -0.345 0.1284
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5344 63.35% 34.33 -0.182 53.13% -0.255 -0.0579
2 Coastline 587 63.7% 35.62 0.23 57.58% -0.194 -0.043
2 Fragment 130 66.92% 33.25 -0.732 50.77% -0.326 0.0786
2 Heart 64 71.43% 33.95 -0.888 53.13% -0.445 -0.1325
2 Opposite Shores 1120 61.26% 34.74 -0.322 52.77% -0.367 -0.1434
2 Thematic 450 66.07% 36.46 0.17 38.67% -0.036 -0.0072
2 Top to Top 200 56.57% 36.23 0.65 57.0% -0.125 0.0155
3 Coastline 9 33.33% 36.89 0.669 55.56% -0.132 -0.1791
3 Other 86 47.67% 40.26 1.503 68.6% -0.213 0.2253
3 Round (Default) 2031 55.7% 35.19 0.001 54.21% -0.083 -0.0248
3 Sunrise 11 63.64% 46.09 5.793 81.82% 0.936 0.7383
3 Thematic 84 60.71% 39.4 1.07 45.24% 0.655 0.2936
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 61.0 4.404 100.0% 0.053 0.2238
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 19.0 -9.974 0.0% -0.872 -0.809
4 Other 46 47.83% 35.63 -0.656 54.35% -0.359 -0.228
4 Snake 4 75.0% 32.5 -0.223 50.0% 0.185 0.3407
4 Thematic 281 51.25% 37.26 -0.597 39.5% 0.88 -0.1801
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1257 47.07% 37.9 0.21 58.07% 0.027 0.0646
5 Other 9 44.44% 49.22 4.062 100.0% 0.894 0.6955
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 55.0 9.257 100.0% 0.527 -2.4297

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1779 30.31 -3.165 42.95% -1.077 0.9934
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1443 32.89 -1.901 48.09% -0.871 1.0508
All Things Weaken 646 31.71 -2.546 49.38% -0.937 1.2169
Back Against the Wall 1441 30.88 -2.858 42.61% -1.086 1.0109
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1692 27.82 -4.464 40.54% -1.19 1.0361
Downward Spiral 4207 29.53 -3.376 44.21% -0.877 1.1415
Erosion of Will 1756 30.03 -3.306 42.31% -1.111 1.0991
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 208 39.52 1.028 72.6% -0.031 0.6626
Memory Fades to Dust 4223 29.43 -3.433 42.46% -0.962 1.2534
Power Corrodes the Spirit 613 30.93 -2.933 49.27% -0.942 1.0753
Promising Farmlands 1824 29.54 -3.576 43.97% -1.064 1.1495
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 146 40.1 1.342 75.34% 0.104 0.5342
Thriving Communities 577 29.46 -3.648 45.75% -1.082 1.0139
Tipping Point 1030 28.7 -3.945 41.17% -1.136 1.0857
Unnatural Proliferation 658 32.15 -2.191 50.0% -0.865 1.2211
Untended Land Crumbles 590 30.3 -3.23 46.95% -1.008 1.0884

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8766 61.75% 34.68 -0.15 53.16% 0.6 -0.5018
B 9310 62.33% 34.37 -0.285 52.73% 0.583 -0.6131
C 10017 62.22% 35.13 0.204 55.16% 0.7 -0.7285
D 8543 62.14% 34.61 -0.208 53.95% 0.619 -0.5718
E 2371 57.49% 36.72 0.441 61.07% 0.67 -0.6288
F 3823 60.7% 35.38 -0.032 57.65% 0.66 -0.5939
G 3369 60.13% 34.92 -0.328 55.74% 0.542 -0.7006
H 3898 55.51% 36.58 0.423 59.72% 0.654 -0.603
East 863 60.87% 38.67 0.938 42.76% 0.336 -0.6243
Northeast 875 57.29% 39.28 1.015 43.89% 0.245 -0.6557
Northwest 764 58.41% 38.02 0.379 42.67% 0.275 -0.7
Southeast 145 57.34% 37.54 -0.016 48.97% 0.198 -0.8062
Southwest 159 58.82% 32.55 -2.923 41.51% -0.166 -0.7653
West 805 61.03% 36.86 -0.065 39.63% 0.099 -0.6007

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 273 0.0% 36.09 -1.443 49.45% -0.883 1.1652
Not Using Events or Tokens 5353 67.6% 32.2 -1.226 45.9% -0.37 -0.1493
Skip Initial Invader Actions 687 14.42% 53.61 5.887 85.59% 0.934 0.2288
Start of Game Growth 947 19.22% 50.73 4.749 81.41% 0.549 0.0974
Unlimited Undo 3062 59.86% 38.31 1.451 63.62% 0.378 -0.039
Using Tokens but Not Events 3015 57.34% 35.91 0.159 58.57% 0.012 -0.0388

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6062 22.33 3.4%
II 10994 30.75 23.18%
III 10813 34.25 78.5%
IV 8689 37.47 99.29%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.033 Win Model: -0.831
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 24887 64.45% 34.83 54.89%
2 7892 63.2% 34.63 52.62%
3 2192 55.48% 35.51 54.24%
4 1587 47.88% 37.71 54.63%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 156
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6470
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1799
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6803
Lose: Invader deck ran out 204
Lose: Adversary condition 6988
Win: Sacrifice victory 163
Lose: Scenario condition 697
Win: Scenario condition 283
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8363
Lose: Spirit destroyed 437

The Kingdom of England — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3677 40.89% 43.94 0.655 65.0% 0.068 0.2039
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1972 72.99% 38.18 -1.325 50.96% -0.186 0.045
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1548 60.65% 38.72 -1.731 53.94% -0.244 -0.3308
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2032 43.58% 45.41 1.44 69.88% 0.308 -0.0622
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3626 33.95% 50.12 3.627 80.14% 0.772 0.5163
Fractured Days Split the Sky 421 45.48% 47.25 2.086 65.08% -0.08 0.2812
Heart of the Wildfire 2298 75.23% 32.46 -4.547 38.6% -0.745 -0.3962
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9078 34.07% 48.25 2.477 75.53% 0.455 0.1528
Lightning's Swift Strike 3990 57.32% 39.57 -1.325 53.46% -0.308 -0.0461
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1106 55.66% 43.14 0.094 66.0% 0.125 -0.1649
Many Minds Move as One 571 38.53% 47.74 2.259 76.01% 0.459 -0.0675
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3796 61.8% 41.89 0.51 61.49% 0.383 0.1864
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1664 53.44% 39.35 -1.714 54.63% -0.353 -0.3089
River Surges in Sunlight 3364 57.38% 40.12 -1.102 49.52% -0.493 -0.34
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4570 40.66% 45.66 1.339 70.66% 0.316 0.4598
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1023 73.75% 32.41 -4.454 34.41% -0.955 -0.513
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3813 32.12% 48.63 1.603 72.49% 0.134 0.0622
Shroud of Silent Mist 167 69.46% 41.68 -0.289 64.07% 0.159 0.1359
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1937 38.74% 42.41 -0.04 75.17% 0.42 0.3997
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 687 62.11% 36.44 -3.071 44.83% -0.748 -0.539
Thunderspeaker 4354 45.61% 44.64 -0.078 62.88% -0.121 -0.067
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1324 81.85% 41.07 0.199 66.54% 0.535 0.5484
Vital Strength of the Earth 1927 53.56% 36.56 -2.986 44.94% -0.797 0.0708
Volcano Looming High 825 73.79% 37.35 -1.756 56.0% -0.059 -0.0879

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 367 55.0% 36.32 -2.54 47.96% -0.518 0.0627
Dahan Insurrection 4 368 51.64% 52.45 5.88 43.48% -0.509 -0.1057
Despicable Theft 2 1 100.0% 60.0 10.464 100.0% 0.367 0.7167
Elemental Invocation 1 32 75.0% 42.22 1.001 59.38% 0.184 0.5568
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 4662 10.35% 53.3 3.726 79.75% 0.1 0.4642
Powers Long Forgotten 1 127 74.8% 35.7 -2.12 33.07% -0.751 -0.3099
Rituals of Terror 3 120 69.17% 44.3 2.307 35.0% -0.5 0.1342
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 89 92.13% 35.47 -1.416 22.47% -0.921 -0.2807
Second Wave 0 324 61.3% 36.36 -2.708 40.74% -1.003 -0.5793
The Great River 3 26 84.62% 34.54 -0.451 23.08% -0.79 0.6311
Ward the Shores 2 135 67.16% 39.99 -0.237 37.78% -0.814 0.227

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 24618 55.69% 41.2 -0.164 61.71% -0.366 -0.0388
1 Thematic 925 63.91% 39.55 -0.725 38.16% -0.692 -0.2184
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5219 58.01% 40.9 -0.502 58.67% -0.223 -0.0263
2 Coastline 879 48.74% 45.32 1.484 70.76% 0.156 0.3064
2 Fragment 100 62.24% 36.29 -2.511 48.0% -0.765 -0.3607
2 Heart 116 54.31% 45.03 1.203 67.24% -0.13 0.1817
2 Opposite Shores 903 58.27% 39.72 -1.08 54.37% -0.376 -0.1528
2 Thematic 276 65.22% 42.05 0.236 43.48% 0.221 0.2496
2 Top to Top 162 58.86% 38.57 -1.312 54.94% -0.44 -0.2995
3 Coastline 17 81.25% 28.59 -3.747 17.65% -0.8 -0.8467
3 Other 93 55.43% 44.45 0.862 72.04% 0.047 0.4852
3 Round (Default) 1897 52.57% 41.69 -0.129 61.89% 0.103 0.1606
3 Sunrise 13 53.85% 38.54 -2.058 53.85% -0.438 -0.6349
3 Thematic 60 60.0% 42.18 0.114 45.0% 0.863 0.5019
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 30.0 -12.182 0.0% -0.768 -0.5974
4 Leaf 9 66.67% 42.11 -0.643 66.67% 0.171 0.2345
4 Other 59 62.71% 43.75 0.329 67.8% 0.15 0.2816
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 6.66 100.0% 0.172 -0.6084
4 Thematic 251 50.2% 48.77 1.478 56.18% 1.66 0.5997
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2868 18.38% 51.13 1.519 77.16% 0.4 0.4385
5 Other 29 10.34% 56.86 5.464 100.0% 1.358 1.1595

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1721 34.16 -4.565 44.28% -1.374 0.6962
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1342 37.16 -3.096 50.75% -1.127 0.7953
All Things Weaken 626 35.58 -3.809 50.48% -1.215 0.9386
Back Against the Wall 1336 35.56 -3.95 46.33% -1.31 0.7864
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1687 32.07 -5.6 43.39% -1.42 0.8056
Downward Spiral 3204 32.98 -5.142 43.54% -1.344 0.6743
Erosion of Will 1674 33.73 -4.845 43.07% -1.471 0.7396
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 202 41.86 -1.119 66.83% -0.622 0.0712
Memory Fades to Dust 3262 32.8 -5.256 41.75% -1.418 0.7975
Power Corrodes the Spirit 622 35.07 -4.075 50.96% -1.234 0.7829
Promising Farmlands 1655 33.17 -5.061 44.83% -1.372 0.8413
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 185 45.36 0.759 78.38% -0.037 0.3929
Thriving Communities 624 35.21 -4.112 51.92% -1.212 0.8836
Tipping Point 932 31.37 -5.828 38.73% -1.541 0.6808
Unnatural Proliferation 648 35.99 -3.625 50.15% -1.268 0.818
Untended Land Crumbles 679 34.76 -4.198 49.78% -1.261 0.8346

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10019 47.76% 42.74 -0.269 62.05% 0.699 -0.402
B 11469 45.75% 44.05 0.621 65.22% 0.863 -0.3327
C 11744 47.36% 43.94 0.63 65.74% 0.899 -0.5297
D 8744 52.53% 41.85 -0.167 61.48% 0.788 -0.4025
E 2768 50.04% 43.59 0.502 67.09% 0.844 -0.4554
F 4447 47.74% 43.23 0.116 65.17% 0.756 -0.4986
G 4052 49.13% 42.93 -0.024 64.44% 0.736 -0.5065
H 4157 47.88% 44.07 0.465 67.26% 0.84 -0.4168
East 647 57.63% 45.17 0.972 47.76% 0.462 -0.4977
Northeast 660 58.03% 43.12 0.347 43.18% 0.212 -0.6891
Northwest 577 63.78% 42.21 -0.107 42.46% 0.444 -0.5309
Southeast 83 55.42% 46.33 0.904 60.24% 0.375 -0.6293
Southwest 82 56.1% 42.77 -1.191 58.54% 0.427 -0.1726
West 547 58.68% 43.95 0.003 46.8% 0.182 -0.5172

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 188 0.0% 38.02 -3.443 47.34% -1.159 0.8899
Not Using Events or Tokens 4260 54.36% 40.01 -0.421 54.81% -0.113 0.1073
Skip Initial Invader Actions 690 13.97% 59.71 6.828 90.29% 2.158 1.4528
Start of Game Growth 1075 13.91% 55.17 2.924 82.33% -0.444 -0.8961
Unlimited Undo 3359 53.23% 43.4 0.625 66.12% 0.214 -0.2028
Using Tokens but Not Events 3039 40.59% 45.56 1.213 68.31% 0.134 0.0834

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5919 22.33 27.94%
II 11015 30.75 32.68%
III 11598 34.25 74.07%
IV 9965 37.47 99.53%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.294 Win Model: -0.957
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 25669 55.89% 41.2 61.01%
2 7576 57.63% 41.1 58.5%
3 2059 53.05% 41.69 61.29%
4 3193 21.53% 50.83 75.41%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1272
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6953
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2949
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8033
Lose: Invader deck ran out 54
Lose: Adversary condition 6159
Win: Sacrifice victory 190
Lose: Scenario condition 812
Win: Scenario condition 209
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7305
Lose: Spirit destroyed 404

The Kingdom of England — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1485 48.51% 45.47 1.083 48.22% 0.1 0.2362
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 580 83.02% 38.15 -1.188 35.86% -0.041 0.1899
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 400 75.5% 32.56 -4.056 21.75% -0.796 -0.8828
Eyes Watch From the Trees 634 62.18% 43.0 1.168 45.74% 0.387 0.0164
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 883 63.85% 45.07 1.429 50.17% 0.432 0.1764
Fractured Days Split the Sky 122 61.98% 48.8 2.924 50.82% 0.276 0.6374
Heart of the Wildfire 837 86.71% 26.68 -7.135 13.86% -1.339 -0.99
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2781 58.61% 45.09 1.612 52.79% 0.469 0.1669
Lightning's Swift Strike 1797 68.69% 40.98 -1.046 39.18% -0.122 0.1393
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 321 79.0% 36.6 -2.82 32.71% -0.38 -0.6693
Many Minds Move as One 173 45.09% 51.42 4.509 65.32% 0.794 0.2673
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1945 66.56% 46.29 3.022 55.06% 0.982 0.7856
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 517 59.88% 40.57 -1.203 37.14% -0.19 -0.146
River Surges in Sunlight 1128 58.74% 41.66 -1.284 37.68% -0.616 -0.4637
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1232 61.85% 44.22 0.927 49.59% 0.335 0.4788
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 379 82.32% 31.48 -4.886 17.94% -1.098 -0.6559
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1070 53.65% 48.85 2.418 55.89% 0.488 0.4154
Shroud of Silent Mist 43 81.4% 43.72 1.568 51.16% 0.681 0.6579
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1716 36.95% 49.01 3.073 71.45% 0.868 0.8477
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 272 81.25% 29.55 -5.596 14.71% -1.24 -1.0306
Thunderspeaker 1159 77.06% 37.84 -1.245 32.18% -0.083 -0.0287
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 733 84.86% 45.27 1.76 58.94% 0.712 0.7251
Vital Strength of the Earth 607 62.91% 37.85 -2.34 30.31% -0.563 0.3052
Volcano Looming High 209 91.87% 29.35 -5.308 20.57% -0.721 -0.7499

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 172 65.87% 37.33 -2.198 36.05% -0.371 0.2102
Dahan Insurrection 4 153 75.84% 43.83 1.491 18.95% -1.052 -0.6482
Despicable Theft 2 1 100.0% 29.0 -2.979 0.0% -0.173 0.1772
Elemental Invocation 1 6 50.0% 34.0 -5.303 16.67% -1.153 -0.7809
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 955 20.74% 51.89 3.094 57.91% 0.141 0.5058
Powers Long Forgotten 1 45 82.22% 38.89 -0.931 26.67% -0.388 0.0535
Rituals of Terror 3 41 80.49% 55.29 7.637 43.9% 0.477 1.1115
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 21 76.19% 39.62 1.189 19.05% -0.386 0.2546
Second Wave 0 128 66.93% 37.86 -2.291 28.91% -0.86 -0.4358
Ward the Shores 2 58 63.16% 47.07 1.861 37.93% -0.321 0.7202

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10025 66.91% 41.19 -0.088 46.55% -0.183 0.1443
1 Thematic 813 73.65% 41.67 0.024 33.58% -0.294 0.1801
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1723 71.47% 39.71 -0.651 39.52% -0.331 -0.1345
2 Coastline 180 63.07% 44.81 1.481 51.67% 0.117 0.268
2 Fragment 43 69.77% 40.28 -0.734 39.53% -0.502 -0.0979
2 Heart 24 75.0% 38.46 -0.576 41.67% -0.254 0.0585
2 Opposite Shores 374 68.46% 39.66 -0.725 39.84% -0.283 -0.0594
2 Thematic 127 69.29% 41.12 -2.005 28.35% -0.73 -0.7017
2 Top to Top 74 60.81% 45.97 1.93 52.7% 0.113 0.2535
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 36.33 -2.522 33.33% -0.344 -0.3906
3 Other 33 66.67% 51.09 4.298 69.7% 0.581 1.0191
3 Round (Default) 643 69.36% 39.03 -1.178 37.33% -0.408 -0.35
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 42.0 2.522 50.0% 0.329 0.1323
3 Thematic 35 74.29% 43.46 -0.782 37.14% 0.266 -0.0952
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 43.5 -0.727 50.0% -0.073 -0.0095
4 Other 15 80.0% 44.07 -0.245 53.33% -0.348 -0.2166
4 Thematic 190 21.58% 65.23 4.373 74.21% 1.088 0.0282
4 Trapezoid (Default) 539 36.62% 49.28 2.275 55.66% 0.177 0.2147
5 Other 3 66.67% 52.67 5.643 66.67% 0.342 0.1434
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 68.33 5.609 100.0% 0.749 -2.2078

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 828 36.71 -3.357 34.42% -1.054 1.0167
Aid From Lesser Spirits 614 39.1 -2.057 38.44% -0.823 1.0987
All Things Weaken 304 38.33 -2.384 40.79% -0.782 1.3718
Back Against the Wall 567 37.79 -2.906 35.27% -1.042 1.0545
Disintegrating Ecosystem 805 35.03 -4.268 34.91% -1.063 1.1628
Downward Spiral 1573 34.42 -3.89 31.53% -0.927 1.0915
Erosion of Will 885 34.81 -4.278 30.4% -1.279 0.9312
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 102 46.19 0.728 58.82% -0.285 0.4082
Memory Fades to Dust 1535 33.87 -4.274 29.25% -1.073 1.1422
Power Corrodes the Spirit 309 36.66 -3.408 36.89% -1.041 0.9762
Promising Farmlands 800 35.72 -3.756 34.63% -1.031 1.182
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 58 45.59 0.31 58.62% -0.332 0.0983
Thriving Communities 293 39.71 -2.016 45.73% -0.69 1.4059
Tipping Point 470 35.04 -4.086 31.91% -1.119 1.1026
Unnatural Proliferation 346 39.81 -1.805 42.49% -0.79 1.2967
Untended Land Crumbles 318 37.58 -3.175 41.82% -0.92 1.1762

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2967 68.42% 39.56 -0.881 39.8% 0.503 -0.5987
B 3865 62.44% 41.47 0.106 43.62% 0.553 -0.6432
C 4940 59.53% 44.94 1.945 54.8% 0.883 -0.5458
D 2851 69.57% 40.88 -0.164 43.14% 0.592 -0.5991
E 938 65.71% 40.55 -0.535 42.64% 0.416 -0.8827
F 1271 66.22% 40.8 -0.759 42.88% 0.436 -0.8185
G 1131 69.24% 39.94 -0.785 41.11% 0.439 -0.8036
H 1237 65.85% 40.18 -0.929 40.18% 0.302 -0.9549
East 494 54.16% 52.61 2.735 52.02% 0.811 -0.1488
Northeast 478 54.6% 48.83 0.657 42.89% 0.067 -0.8339
Northwest 367 49.86% 53.0 1.96 53.13% 0.629 -0.3461
Southeast 76 46.05% 47.34 -0.736 46.05% 0.029 -0.9752
Southwest 65 41.54% 47.31 -1.83 47.69% -0.081 -0.6803
West 410 50.0% 53.0 1.489 52.44% 0.311 -0.3889

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 57 0.0% 47.53 0.656 50.88% -0.386 1.6628
Not Using Events or Tokens 1444 74.77% 36.32 -2.023 31.23% -0.4 -0.1795
Skip Initial Invader Actions 242 21.59% 61.63 7.278 73.97% 1.501 0.7958
Start of Game Growth 551 20.11% 59.74 4.671 70.96% 0.178 -0.2742
Unlimited Undo 1251 65.04% 44.32 0.966 49.96% 0.205 -0.2123
Using Tokens but Not Events 988 62.5% 40.14 -1.274 39.68% -0.314 -0.3647

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3089 22.33 4.08%
II 4290 30.75 12.35%
III 2786 34.25 49.1%
IV 4686 37.47 99.74%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.336 Win Model: -0.667
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 10872 67.44% 41.26 45.68%
2 2531 69.82% 40.26 40.1%
3 703 70.27% 39.49 37.98%
4 745 33.29% 53.31 60.4%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 88
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1107
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 409
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3984
Lose: Invader deck ran out 22
Lose: Adversary condition 3598
Win: Sacrifice victory 81
Lose: Scenario condition 286
Win: Scenario condition 50
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4039
Lose: Spirit destroyed 208

The Kingdom of England — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6172 44.11% 48.86 -0.127 46.63% -0.094 0.0417
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3909 79.51% 38.93 -3.178 30.47% -0.447 -0.2158
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1550 65.37% 36.87 -4.728 24.13% -1.039 -1.1255
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3072 60.84% 46.25 0.525 44.69% 0.254 -0.1157
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4837 56.86% 49.8 1.652 52.12% 0.405 0.1495
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1141 50.83% 54.99 3.804 52.06% 0.235 0.5964
Heart of the Wildfire 3073 79.74% 32.28 -6.561 18.13% -1.092 -0.7429
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 16252 46.29% 51.73 2.827 58.24% 0.566 0.2642
Lightning's Swift Strike 11324 62.08% 45.37 -0.432 43.03% 0.093 0.3544
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1970 71.49% 42.79 -1.783 40.05% -0.131 -0.4205
Many Minds Move as One 1032 46.71% 56.59 5.2 68.99% 1.085 0.5577
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 14320 60.28% 52.05 3.242 54.88% 0.958 0.7623
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1612 59.23% 41.28 -2.865 32.75% -0.546 -0.5013
River Surges in Sunlight 5463 55.9% 46.89 -0.904 39.81% -0.459 -0.3068
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 8545 43.78% 53.83 2.744 59.34% 0.506 0.65
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2893 66.04% 38.43 -3.526 26.27% -0.558 -0.1159
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3760 53.68% 49.6 1.121 49.41% 0.137 0.0647
Shroud of Silent Mist 300 80.47% 46.45 0.753 50.0% 0.565 0.5416
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6108 41.24% 45.0 -0.585 53.9% 0.347 0.3262
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1403 66.55% 39.33 -3.593 28.08% -0.668 -0.4589
Thunderspeaker 5508 67.41% 43.07 -1.385 29.79% -0.224 -0.1697
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2412 78.73% 45.34 -0.673 49.09% 0.327 0.3409
Vital Strength of the Earth 3018 49.69% 43.33 -3.171 32.31% -0.897 -0.0286
Volcano Looming High 1270 78.31% 35.34 -4.712 26.46% -0.644 -0.6723

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 816 52.05% 47.79 -1.312 49.75% -0.425 0.1561
Dahan Insurrection 4 2091 68.45% 48.65 1.681 15.26% -0.926 -0.5222
Despicable Theft 2 13 61.54% 51.54 3.34 46.15% -0.048 0.3018
Elemental Invocation 1 51 68.63% 45.71 -0.542 39.22% -0.392 -0.02
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 12532 23.41% 54.39 3.38 53.8% 0.062 0.4264
Powers Long Forgotten 1 168 82.74% 34.51 -4.442 15.48% -1.22 -0.7791
Rituals of Terror 3 146 61.38% 62.03 8.521 42.47% 0.669 1.3035
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 96 92.71% 36.96 -2.867 12.5% -1.13 -0.4894
Second Wave 0 273 54.98% 49.05 -0.118 45.79% -0.544 -0.1203
The Great River 3 11 54.55% 52.0 2.608 36.36% -0.516 0.9054
Ward the Shores 2 231 74.34% 46.38 -0.05 33.33% -0.725 0.3161

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 58733 60.88% 45.12 -0.503 45.46% -0.541 -0.2141
1 Thematic 4242 60.41% 47.13 0.169 25.51% -0.995 -0.5211
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6482 67.55% 43.21 -0.707 40.19% -0.331 -0.1342
2 Coastline 1299 62.45% 44.11 -0.831 41.34% -0.492 -0.3414
2 Fragment 129 69.77% 42.04 -1.588 36.43% -0.786 -0.3813
2 Heart 122 63.93% 50.1 1.481 57.38% -0.418 -0.1056
2 Opposite Shores 2027 50.99% 47.82 -0.345 46.92% -0.471 -0.2481
2 Thematic 944 34.11% 60.28 3.987 48.52% -0.012 0.0162
2 Top to Top 412 58.5% 48.47 1.28 51.94% -0.104 0.0359
3 Coastline 16 46.67% 54.94 1.502 68.75% 0.049 0.0023
3 Other 210 62.38% 52.43 1.008 62.86% -0.488 -0.0492
3 Round (Default) 3374 53.25% 47.11 0.191 47.18% 0.078 0.1356
3 Sunrise 10 30.0% 51.6 0.52 60.0% -0.213 -0.4103
3 Thematic 81 57.5% 55.63 1.118 34.57% 0.22 -0.1406
4 Coastline 23 4.35% 36.0 -6.514 17.39% -0.563 -0.3918
4 Leaf 8 37.5% 47.5 -0.89 37.5% -0.06 0.0035
4 Other 134 52.63% 53.01 3.078 63.43% 0.347 0.4786
4 Thematic 1245 25.78% 67.42 2.589 69.16% 1.252 0.192
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2135 39.03% 53.37 2.117 57.94% 0.759 0.7967
5 Other 45 45.45% 61.07 4.357 77.78% 0.612 0.413
5 Thematic 39 15.38% 80.85 10.261 97.44% 2.183 -0.7736

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 4076 38.99 -4.023 33.27% -1.015 1.0553
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3366 42.01 -2.471 38.59% -0.732 1.1901
All Things Weaken 1483 37.86 -4.171 32.77% -0.985 1.1684
Back Against the Wall 3203 40.71 -3.157 35.47% -0.875 1.2212
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3933 36.78 -5.123 32.24% -1.064 1.1615
Downward Spiral 7486 37.85 -4.315 30.19% -0.824 1.1947
Erosion of Will 3869 37.88 -4.51 30.99% -1.114 1.0961
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 542 47.12 -0.155 51.29% -0.287 0.4062
Memory Fades to Dust 7445 37.32 -4.609 27.92% -0.953 1.2619
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1494 38.73 -3.946 35.81% -0.909 1.1079
Promising Farmlands 3882 38.35 -4.365 33.82% -1.0 1.2138
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 288 49.7 0.917 59.03% -0.036 0.3946
Thriving Communities 1586 38.78 -3.858 36.44% -0.853 1.2431
Tipping Point 2148 36.92 -5.134 30.4% -1.164 1.0569
Unnatural Proliferation 1629 40.27 -3.07 36.53% -0.843 1.2439
Untended Land Crumbles 1554 38.63 -4.025 35.78% -0.924 1.1718

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 17223 57.02% 45.98 -0.181 45.49% 0.945 -0.1561
B 18226 59.28% 45.11 -0.418 44.1% 0.9 -0.2957
C 20796 59.44% 46.69 0.627 48.11% 1.133 -0.2953
D 15136 62.92% 45.51 -0.168 45.64% 0.973 -0.2183
E 6456 59.32% 45.43 0.12 46.16% 1.018 -0.281
F 7712 56.96% 47.0 0.18 48.57% 0.989 -0.2649
G 7422 56.01% 45.75 -0.179 45.38% 0.91 -0.3321
H 7157 54.68% 47.09 0.307 48.19% 0.952 -0.3049
East 2800 39.89% 60.97 2.985 52.79% 1.071 0.1112
Northeast 3288 42.58% 57.12 2.121 42.21% 0.806 -0.0952
Northwest 2109 31.32% 62.74 2.985 58.04% 1.013 0.0384
Southeast 249 44.58% 58.01 1.028 55.42% 1.029 0.0251
Southwest 187 35.83% 58.98 -1.015 62.03% 0.558 -0.0419
West 2717 42.78% 56.98 1.157 48.07% 0.791 0.0917

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 916 0.0% 49.95 -1.723 49.13% -0.916 1.133
Not Using Events or Tokens 8546 62.06% 43.18 -1.412 28.57% -0.522 -0.3011
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4927 15.11% 70.23 6.651 86.6% 0.903 0.1985
Start of Game Growth 5642 17.3% 68.64 6.227 84.51% 0.656 0.2041
Unlimited Undo 12092 38.01% 61.52 6.452 76.83% 1.164 0.747
Using Tokens but Not Events 5112 60.0% 44.77 -1.481 42.33% -0.4 -0.4511

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 23648 22.33 9.35%
II 23892 30.75 25.33%
III 13287 34.25 57.29%
IV 20883 37.47 99.69%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.446 Win Model: -1.32
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 63250 60.83% 45.32 44.27%
2 11233 61.05% 45.52 42.02%
3 3680 53.4% 47.87 48.4%
4 3547 34.08% 58.34 61.77%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1749
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5794
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4690
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16114
Lose: Invader deck ran out 105
Lose: Adversary condition 20489
Win: Sacrifice victory 520
Lose: Scenario condition 3798
Win: Scenario condition 394
Lose: Blight pool ran out 19571
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1052

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2025-01-22 01:48:30 (Pacific Time)