The Kingdom of England — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5784 21.71% 26.3 0.229 86.5% -0.101 0.0323
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3181 44.33% 24.0 -0.221 79.28% -0.109 0.1199
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2211 24.95% 26.33 0.255 89.64% 0.326 0.2404
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2698 15.18% 28.89 1.392 92.88% 0.419 0.046
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2353 19.82% 28.15 1.032 92.05% 0.482 0.2218
Fractured Days Split the Sky 357 33.05% 26.54 0.469 75.63% -0.881 -0.513
Heart of the Wildfire 3315 59.62% 21.14 -1.472 73.03% -0.202 0.148
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5470 23.48% 26.86 0.348 90.05% 0.234 -0.0696
Lightning's Swift Strike 5917 40.88% 24.45 -0.132 80.4% 0.01 0.2691
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 734 29.23% 26.5 0.593 91.55% 0.514 0.2407
Many Minds Move as One 616 23.38% 27.54 0.778 91.07% 0.287 -0.2273
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5095 40.88% 24.64 -0.195 82.1% 0.133 -0.0624
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2076 28.49% 25.02 -0.338 85.5% -0.096 -0.0502
River Surges in Sunlight 6299 36.68% 25.91 0.404 75.96% -0.484 -0.332
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2910 32.53% 24.46 -0.488 83.23% -0.119 0.0255
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3721 51.56% 23.12 -0.676 74.25% -0.21 0.2308
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3972 23.51% 27.59 0.712 88.6% 0.028 -0.0441
Shroud of Silent Mist 287 42.16% 24.06 -0.326 87.46% 0.365 0.3448
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1202 24.69% 24.51 -0.665 90.68% 0.279 0.2588
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1607 28.14% 25.14 -0.424 81.89% -0.438 -0.2348
Thunderspeaker 5517 23.67% 28.15 1.182 88.09% 0.206 0.2574
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 823 60.24% 21.35 -1.467 78.61% 0.061 0.0686
Vital Strength of the Earth 4518 28.75% 22.53 -1.465 74.26% -0.834 0.0364
Volcano Looming High 430 38.55% 22.96 -1.069 83.95% -0.141 -0.1648

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 890 41.41% 22.47 -1.365 74.83% -0.429 0.144
Dahan Insurrection 4 871 21.58% 46.12 9.98 80.83% -0.571 -0.1707
Despicable Theft 2 32 53.13% 32.03 3.845 75.0% -0.205 0.077
Elemental Invocation 1 66 43.94% 26.36 0.594 80.3% -0.27 0.1698
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2189 8.89% 30.53 1.978 86.43% -0.584 -0.2177
Powers Long Forgotten 1 428 47.9% 28.26 1.343 73.6% -0.49 -0.0488
Rituals of Terror 3 600 48.66% 33.65 4.35 64.0% -0.841 -0.1972
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 331 69.18% 32.22 3.876 63.44% -0.5 0.1416
Second Wave 0 640 47.81% 22.65 -0.871 63.75% -1.122 -0.6933
The Great River 3 81 46.91% 30.59 3.18 58.02% -1.518 -0.0586
Ward the Shores 2 533 48.12% 28.05 1.242 59.66% -1.32 -0.2833

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 31867 38.03% 24.16 -0.547 80.89% -0.223 0.1093
1 Thematic 3299 42.07% 31.12 2.092 75.17% -0.183 0.3151
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7340 32.23% 24.51 -0.319 83.96% -0.061 0.1388
2 Coastline 651 34.81% 24.49 -0.245 84.49% 0.059 0.2138
2 Fragment 166 37.58% 22.65 -1.177 77.71% -0.494 -0.0985
2 Heart 92 35.16% 23.6 -0.969 82.61% -0.276 0.046
2 Opposite Shores 966 28.59% 25.5 -0.039 89.34% 0.298 0.5271
2 Thematic 715 37.22% 33.36 1.902 76.78% 0.081 0.1421
2 Top to Top 146 32.41% 24.69 -0.233 84.93% -0.075 0.0569
3 Coastline 7 0.0% 28.14 0.897 100.0% 0.292 0.2541
3 Other 82 30.0% 22.87 -1.006 81.71% -0.443 -0.0235
3 Round (Default) 3292 17.21% 27.25 0.433 91.56% 0.239 0.295
3 Sunrise 10 20.0% 24.9 -0.464 90.0% -0.088 -0.2824
3 Thematic 132 39.39% 32.21 0.479 73.48% 0.136 -0.1929
4 Coastline 13 0.0% 29.77 0.92 92.31% 0.14 0.2652
4 Leaf 3 0.0% 30.0 1.392 100.0% 0.119 0.1653
4 Other 35 28.57% 24.74 -0.226 88.57% 0.01 0.122
4 Thematic 223 21.08% 31.68 -0.881 76.68% -0.157 -1.1813
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1037 22.47% 25.45 -0.071 85.15% -0.177 -0.1426
5 Other 8 50.0% 24.38 0.108 100.0% 0.637 0.3823
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 36.0 2.418 100.0% 0.196 -2.7472

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1138 19.28 -3.695 64.15% -2.249 -0.1761
Aid From Lesser Spirits 966 20.06 -3.285 65.22% -2.174 -0.2553
All Things Weaken 365 18.46 -4.087 60.55% -2.437 -0.2784
Back Against the Wall 978 18.93 -3.912 59.3% -2.456 -0.3617
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1094 15.97 -5.387 56.4% -2.591 -0.3668
Downward Spiral 4133 17.15 -4.528 60.68% -2.084 -0.0634
Erosion of Will 1197 18.26 -4.232 58.98% -2.485 -0.2766
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 138 23.42 -1.464 92.03% -0.485 0.2081
Memory Fades to Dust 4182 16.85 -4.693 56.46% -2.256 -0.0379
Power Corrodes the Spirit 373 18.32 -4.039 66.22% -2.2 -0.1793
Promising Farmlands 1158 17.32 -4.679 60.54% -2.412 -0.1973
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 130 24.28 -1.092 95.38% 0.049 0.4601
Thriving Communities 331 16.67 -4.979 57.7% -2.575 -0.482
Tipping Point 618 17.72 -4.586 59.71% -2.342 -0.1168
Unnatural Proliferation 349 17.65 -4.388 54.15% -2.717 -0.6273
Untended Land Crumbles 359 18.89 -3.824 67.69% -2.091 0.0147

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12500 33.66% 24.44 -0.384 82.14% 0.258 -0.8547
B 12829 32.24% 24.87 -0.123 83.49% 0.343 -0.8646
C 12635 32.17% 24.86 -0.138 83.05% 0.309 -1.1299
D 12308 32.5% 24.84 -0.101 83.82% 0.415 -0.7864
E 2375 30.33% 25.27 0.002 86.44% 0.34 -0.9727
F 4345 30.26% 25.03 -0.131 86.19% 0.351 -0.9148
G 4117 30.88% 24.78 -0.247 85.74% 0.319 -0.9383
H 4246 30.35% 25.29 -0.021 86.65% 0.408 -0.8574
East 1328 36.41% 33.27 2.219 76.36% 0.174 -0.8068
Northeast 1565 37.05% 32.48 1.913 76.1% 0.073 -0.8578
Northwest 1267 36.05% 32.37 1.752 77.27% 0.27 -0.7298
Southeast 214 35.05% 31.04 1.039 79.44% 0.186 -0.8392
Southwest 187 36.9% 25.16 -2.154 71.12% -0.406 -1.0258
West 1260 40.7% 31.39 1.207 72.14% -0.075 -0.7998

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 606 0.0% 22.97 -2.029 73.1% -1.732 0.3224
Not Using Events or Tokens 12515 43.67% 23.04 -0.85 74.67% -0.462 -0.2445
Skip Initial Invader Actions 715 10.07% 33.63 2.603 93.29% 0.556 -0.1378
Start of Game Growth 1160 12.97% 31.96 2.104 93.19% 0.511 0.048
Unlimited Undo 2803 27.89% 27.06 0.571 87.33% 0.267 -0.1534
Using Tokens but Not Events 5464 21.01% 27.04 0.44 88.8% -0.028 -0.0799

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4530 22.34 39.78%
II 17579 30.81 76.6%
III 18485 34.31 88.4%
IV 9491 37.5 99.09%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.024 Win Model: -0.27
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 35205 38.39% 24.81 80.36%
2 10060 32.55% 25.2 83.89%
3 3512 18.29% 27.34 90.69%
4 1308 22.2% 26.54 83.87%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1291
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12323
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9477
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7120
Lose: Invader deck ran out 534
Lose: Adversary condition 2354
Win: Sacrifice victory 207
Lose: Scenario condition 383
Win: Scenario condition 1021
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5437
Lose: Spirit destroyed 364

The Kingdom of England — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2998 25.85% 34.92 0.613 83.96% -0.005 0.1279
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1641 53.85% 32.38 0.029 75.69% 0.064 0.2928
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1198 33.31% 34.42 0.484 85.31% 0.322 0.2358
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1690 21.15% 37.69 1.742 87.81% 0.259 -0.1142
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1522 28.45% 36.75 1.553 88.7% 0.571 0.3108
Fractured Days Split the Sky 206 43.2% 34.45 0.923 72.82% -0.504 -0.1365
Heart of the Wildfire 1974 66.14% 28.72 -1.508 69.25% -0.098 0.252
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3379 36.47% 33.88 0.252 84.05% 0.224 -0.0802
Lightning's Swift Strike 3349 41.6% 33.38 0.38 78.56% 0.068 0.3272
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 496 43.23% 33.13 0.223 82.26% 0.202 -0.0708
Many Minds Move as One 404 28.47% 35.4 0.865 84.41% 0.058 -0.4567
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2611 52.37% 31.71 -0.375 75.99% 0.138 -0.0576
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1230 39.77% 31.88 -0.728 77.07% -0.206 -0.1605
River Surges in Sunlight 3392 46.53% 32.09 -0.374 67.31% -0.616 -0.4634
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1815 35.46% 33.42 0.026 82.64% 0.099 0.2432
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1873 61.89% 29.48 -1.36 63.48% -0.433 0.0078
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2099 33.81% 35.05 0.783 82.61% 0.051 -0.0202
Shroud of Silent Mist 194 52.85% 31.8 -0.152 82.47% 0.287 0.2675
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 793 25.76% 32.94 -0.429 86.76% 0.156 0.1356
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 857 48.53% 29.78 -1.801 64.41% -0.797 -0.5939
Thunderspeaker 3079 31.79% 36.57 1.566 84.09% 0.297 0.3483
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 517 67.77% 28.27 -1.649 73.31% 0.027 0.0345
Vital Strength of the Earth 2406 38.63% 29.9 -1.722 68.74% -0.664 0.2059
Volcano Looming High 264 44.79% 31.19 -0.772 79.17% -0.051 -0.0748

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 639 45.16% 30.44 -1.346 71.83% -0.329 0.2439
Dahan Insurrection 4 564 26.87% 53.78 10.033 78.01% -0.41 -0.01
Despicable Theft 2 21 47.62% 37.67 2.526 71.43% -0.45 -0.1674
Elemental Invocation 1 38 55.26% 30.58 -0.753 71.05% -0.437 0.0022
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1215 12.15% 37.59 1.546 78.77% -0.749 -0.3835
Powers Long Forgotten 1 368 61.58% 32.94 0.267 63.04% -0.538 -0.097
Rituals of Terror 3 273 54.21% 41.96 4.445 64.1% -0.562 0.0817
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 172 72.67% 39.97 3.71 62.79% -0.405 0.2366
Second Wave 0 2397 47.26% 32.72 0.182 68.88% -0.67 -0.2418
The Great River 3 45 68.89% 33.53 1.433 51.11% -1.107 0.353
Ward the Shores 2 339 52.08% 35.97 1.419 60.47% -0.912 0.1248

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 16861 43.9% 31.79 -0.575 76.6% -0.49 -0.1577
1 Thematic 2504 48.35% 37.36 1.615 71.53% -0.679 -0.1812
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3764 41.18% 31.77 -0.419 78.48% -0.132 0.0679
2 Coastline 410 38.52% 32.25 -0.153 80.98% 0.041 0.1953
2 Fragment 114 50.44% 30.45 -0.847 76.32% -0.063 0.3327
2 Heart 67 32.84% 32.22 -0.581 80.6% -0.251 0.0716
2 Opposite Shores 812 38.95% 33.27 0.097 82.39% 0.144 0.373
2 Thematic 661 44.82% 39.54 1.606 73.52% -0.35 -0.2893
2 Top to Top 123 45.53% 31.07 -0.685 76.42% -0.19 -0.0581
3 Coastline 7 28.57% 39.0 2.912 100.0% 0.905 0.8668
3 Other 68 34.33% 33.69 0.413 85.29% 0.231 0.6508
3 Round (Default) 1662 27.52% 34.32 0.28 84.48% 0.259 0.3147
3 Sunrise 4 50.0% 29.5 -1.619 75.0% -0.127 -0.3206
3 Thematic 167 40.12% 38.13 0.391 73.65% -0.023 -0.3527
4 Coastline 5 40.0% 28.4 -3.411 40.0% -0.987 -0.8622
4 Leaf 8 12.5% 34.5 0.374 87.5% 0.301 0.3476
4 Other 20 50.0% 31.35 -0.914 75.0% 0.086 0.1985
4 Thematic 162 41.61% 41.33 0.479 74.69% 0.183 -0.8411
4 Trapezoid (Default) 562 33.39% 33.92 0.144 81.32% 0.496 0.5303
5 Other 6 16.67% 38.33 2.967 100.0% 0.523 0.2685
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 45.0 2.422 100.0% 0.084 -2.8592

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 891 25.45 -4.678 57.01% -2.188 -0.1144
Aid From Lesser Spirits 729 27.5 -3.621 59.53% -2.047 -0.1282
All Things Weaken 278 25.29 -4.667 57.19% -2.141 0.0174
Back Against the Wall 711 25.47 -4.559 54.99% -2.279 -0.1851
Disintegrating Ecosystem 837 22.84 -6.022 53.76% -2.312 -0.087
Downward Spiral 2451 24.81 -4.838 59.65% -1.877 0.1442
Erosion of Will 821 25.06 -4.864 55.54% -2.235 -0.0261
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 113 32.05 -1.143 87.61% -0.519 0.1733
Memory Fades to Dust 2418 23.97 -5.287 53.56% -2.134 0.0848
Power Corrodes the Spirit 279 26.12 -4.202 63.44% -1.935 0.0859
Promising Farmlands 832 23.9 -5.356 55.05% -2.238 -0.0239
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 90 33.76 -0.358 93.33% 0.13 0.5415
Thriving Communities 242 25.18 -4.736 59.09% -2.03 0.0637
Tipping Point 493 24.87 -5.081 55.98% -2.212 0.0136
Unnatural Proliferation 299 25.13 -4.842 53.51% -2.32 -0.2307
Untended Land Crumbles 284 25.63 -4.475 61.62% -2.001 0.1049

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6505 41.64% 31.92 -0.402 77.37% 0.3 -0.8121
B 6794 39.26% 32.22 -0.289 78.02% 0.268 -0.9397
C 6808 38.98% 32.61 -0.081 79.25% 0.36 -1.0796
D 6609 41.32% 32.24 -0.16 78.5% 0.399 -0.8032
E 1423 38.31% 32.97 -0.019 81.52% 0.362 -0.9501
F 2336 37.66% 32.88 -0.07 81.12% 0.359 -0.9066
G 2291 40.89% 32.32 -0.272 79.48% 0.313 -0.9439
H 2449 37.43% 32.81 -0.134 80.85% 0.325 -0.9404
East 1149 43.47% 40.44 2.342 75.02% 0.516 -0.4651
Northeast 1208 44.77% 38.94 1.601 72.93% 0.332 -0.599
Northwest 1022 44.03% 39.3 1.73 74.36% 0.51 -0.4893
Southeast 209 45.93% 35.63 0.063 69.86% 0.171 -0.8546
Southwest 195 54.36% 30.82 -2.366 65.13% 0.011 -0.6089
West 1058 50.14% 38.3 1.083 69.85% 0.214 -0.5105

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 291 0.0% 31.07 -2.326 70.45% -1.637 0.4174
Not Using Events or Tokens 5621 46.9% 31.04 -0.752 71.27% -0.356 -0.1382
Skip Initial Invader Actions 406 10.54% 46.38 4.199 95.32% 1.059 0.3655
Start of Game Growth 615 14.02% 43.2 2.914 92.36% 0.342 -0.1207
Unlimited Undo 1815 34.76% 34.69 0.572 84.19% 0.281 -0.1394
Using Tokens but Not Events 2811 29.9% 34.67 0.536 83.85% 0.074 0.0217

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2404 22.34 29.41%
II 10552 30.81 68.02%
III 9485 34.31 86.46%
IV 5548 37.5 99.17%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.061 Win Model: -0.552
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 19389 44.48% 32.52 75.97%
2 5958 41.22% 32.84 78.57%
3 1886 28.88% 34.65 83.51%
4 756 35.22% 35.44 79.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 489
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6169
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4984
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4179
Lose: Invader deck ran out 229
Lose: Adversary condition 1767
Win: Sacrifice victory 136
Lose: Scenario condition 281
Win: Scenario condition 642
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3927
Lose: Spirit destroyed 198

The Kingdom of England — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3633 34.18% 35.52 1.192 75.75% 0.222 0.3552
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2235 66.92% 31.4 -0.317 62.51% -0.099 0.1298
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1689 41.43% 35.31 0.967 77.8% 0.318 0.2318
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2216 33.33% 37.61 1.932 80.1% 0.342 -0.0306
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2007 42.83% 36.56 1.518 79.62% 0.461 0.201
Fractured Days Split the Sky 307 48.21% 37.04 1.803 70.68% -0.144 0.2235
Heart of the Wildfire 2686 84.02% 23.44 -4.142 45.05% -0.667 -0.3169
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7572 34.94% 35.55 1.044 79.45% 0.244 -0.0597
Lightning's Swift Strike 4242 59.14% 31.32 -0.575 63.41% -0.107 0.1528
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 797 56.57% 32.39 -0.221 70.39% -0.002 -0.2752
Many Minds Move as One 635 34.7% 36.51 1.271 78.11% 0.083 -0.4315
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3840 61.03% 33.18 0.593 70.89% 0.45 0.2542
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1574 49.43% 32.97 -0.11 71.03% 0.038 0.0838
River Surges in Sunlight 4089 58.66% 31.55 -0.525 55.61% -0.53 -0.3774
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2682 45.32% 33.57 0.186 71.59% 0.057 0.201
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1814 79.61% 25.47 -3.081 43.22% -0.699 -0.2579
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2410 44.88% 35.11 0.9 73.73% 0.121 0.0497
Shroud of Silent Mist 288 67.94% 31.01 -0.863 67.36% -0.041 -0.0605
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1245 36.34% 33.87 0.085 81.45% 0.393 0.3731
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 949 63.96% 27.43 -2.726 51.0% -0.806 -0.6028
Thunderspeaker 3330 48.98% 34.78 1.009 69.37% 0.145 0.1962
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 871 80.9% 29.08 -1.342 66.36% 0.17 0.1783
Vital Strength of the Earth 3530 42.56% 31.38 -0.855 65.38% -0.359 0.5113
Volcano Looming High 603 66.11% 30.09 -1.152 69.15% 0.035 0.0122

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 703 51.68% 29.9 -1.463 59.17% -0.386 0.1877
Dahan Insurrection 4 495 42.16% 50.12 8.288 62.42% -0.411 -0.0111
Despicable Theft 2 11 90.91% 34.45 1.848 54.55% 0.063 0.3455
Elemental Invocation 1 45 62.22% 33.4 -0.209 64.44% -0.289 0.1501
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2193 14.6% 38.68 2.109 74.74% -0.403 -0.0374
Powers Long Forgotten 1 265 75.38% 30.31 -0.897 48.68% -0.668 -0.2268
Rituals of Terror 3 198 60.91% 39.01 3.247 48.48% -0.774 -0.1302
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 133 81.95% 37.62 2.744 50.38% -0.413 0.2283
Second Wave 0 1401 59.56% 31.38 -0.738 54.03% -0.819 -0.3905
The Great River 3 33 45.45% 38.06 1.833 48.48% -1.422 0.0374
Ward the Shores 2 319 52.68% 36.26 1.125 50.78% -1.073 -0.0358

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 26409 49.77% 32.67 -0.058 70.57% -0.001 0.3318
1 Thematic 2128 60.11% 34.65 0.736 55.36% -0.249 0.249
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5120 55.22% 31.66 -0.347 67.36% -0.084 0.1166
2 Coastline 545 46.11% 34.31 0.668 76.33% 0.258 0.4127
2 Fragment 123 52.46% 30.75 -0.958 62.6% -0.378 0.0177
2 Heart 74 56.76% 29.46 -1.657 62.16% -0.48 -0.1581
2 Opposite Shores 1156 48.4% 33.11 -0.087 70.16% -0.115 0.1145
2 Thematic 705 59.34% 34.96 0.27 54.18% -0.208 -0.1473
2 Top to Top 158 62.66% 30.66 -0.945 65.19% -0.25 -0.1185
3 Coastline 4 50.0% 28.5 -2.149 25.0% -0.632 -0.6697
3 Other 74 40.54% 36.41 1.266 82.43% 0.206 0.626
3 Round (Default) 1855 47.77% 32.8 -0.057 70.08% -0.092 -0.0359
3 Sunrise 8 37.5% 39.5 3.421 100.0% 0.99 0.7961
3 Thematic 142 61.97% 36.85 0.898 52.11% 0.128 -0.2012
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 52.0 5.456 100.0% 0.252 0.377
4 Leaf 3 66.67% 21.0 -4.427 33.33% -0.741 -0.6947
4 Other 40 65.0% 33.2 0.416 75.0% 0.259 0.3713
4 Thematic 222 48.17% 37.84 0.448 58.56% 0.223 -0.8012
4 Trapezoid (Default) 913 40.99% 34.26 0.235 70.43% -0.196 -0.1616
5 Other 18 44.44% 40.44 3.091 100.0% 1.132 0.8768

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1631 26.92 -3.771 53.03% -1.606 0.4678
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1328 29.42 -2.517 58.36% -1.378 0.5416
All Things Weaken 530 26.92 -3.756 54.91% -1.648 0.5112
Back Against the Wall 1253 27.89 -3.352 53.47% -1.63 0.4636
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1471 24.49 -5.028 50.37% -1.715 0.5093
Downward Spiral 3700 25.58 -4.284 51.59% -1.486 0.535
Erosion of Will 1457 26.08 -4.221 50.17% -1.76 0.4489
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 211 35.03 -0.124 84.36% -0.225 0.468
Memory Fades to Dust 3859 25.42 -4.354 49.29% -1.576 0.6419
Power Corrodes the Spirit 528 26.96 -3.792 56.25% -1.613 0.4081
Promising Farmlands 1523 25.71 -4.395 51.87% -1.666 0.5482
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 143 35.66 0.179 83.22% -0.341 0.0703
Thriving Communities 498 24.35 -5.214 48.39% -1.971 0.1221
Tipping Point 849 24.84 -4.87 47.7% -1.816 0.4092
Unnatural Proliferation 586 27.66 -3.52 54.27% -1.693 0.3968
Untended Land Crumbles 484 26.23 -4.174 54.55% -1.645 0.4613

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8725 52.93% 31.81 -0.416 66.99% 0.347 -0.7656
B 9379 51.86% 32.1 -0.233 67.99% 0.381 -0.8267
C 10287 47.84% 33.23 0.256 70.91% 0.488 -0.9513
D 8568 51.55% 32.19 -0.195 68.79% 0.437 -0.7649
E 2287 46.8% 33.99 0.328 75.43% 0.468 -0.8444
F 3941 48.21% 33.09 -0.076 72.11% 0.381 -0.8845
G 3537 50.71% 32.81 -0.157 72.01% 0.424 -0.8334
H 3919 44.36% 33.96 0.273 74.3% 0.449 -0.8167
East 1145 57.34% 37.52 1.68 58.52% 0.478 -0.5024
Northeast 1186 56.91% 36.21 0.907 55.14% 0.071 -0.8605
Northwest 955 58.77% 35.34 0.569 55.5% 0.256 -0.7432
Southeast 190 50.54% 35.55 0.667 61.05% 0.366 -0.6595
Southwest 181 58.43% 26.06 -4.246 41.99% -0.619 -1.2385
West 1058 60.57% 34.91 0.14 51.61% -0.047 -0.7721

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 315 0.0% 29.5 -2.951 53.97% -1.607 0.447
Not Using Events or Tokens 5858 60.0% 29.23 -1.566 56.09% -0.505 -0.287
Skip Initial Invader Actions 448 15.59% 46.31 3.822 87.95% 0.14 -0.5533
Start of Game Growth 669 16.86% 44.94 3.883 88.94% 1.019 0.5561
Unlimited Undo 2679 49.59% 34.7 0.757 74.92% 0.313 -0.1076
Using Tokens but Not Events 4007 41.95% 34.8 0.816 77.71% 0.338 0.2855

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5385 22.34 8.36%
II 12609 30.81 55.22%
III 13260 34.31 87.16%
IV 8445 37.5 99.43%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.012 Win Model: -0.371
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 28586 50.52% 32.82 69.47%
2 7864 54.11% 32.3 67.01%
3 2066 48.71% 33.15 69.12%
4 1183 42.97% 34.98 68.55%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 313
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8780
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4897
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6588
Lose: Invader deck ran out 287
Lose: Adversary condition 4241
Win: Sacrifice victory 150
Lose: Scenario condition 524
Win: Scenario condition 470
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6918
Lose: Spirit destroyed 362

The Kingdom of England — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4071 45.02% 37.81 1.232 60.53% 0.209 0.3423
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2142 76.18% 32.85 -0.764 46.69% -0.199 0.0293
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1717 59.37% 35.9 0.16 58.12% 0.105 0.019
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2155 43.84% 40.16 2.11 66.64% 0.327 -0.0462
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2437 52.23% 39.7 1.968 66.27% 0.433 0.173
Fractured Days Split the Sky 393 55.73% 38.0 1.09 51.91% -0.349 0.0191
Heart of the Wildfire 2611 86.9% 23.91 -5.398 27.35% -1.003 -0.6527
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5746 52.64% 37.97 1.271 62.83% 0.243 -0.0607
Lightning's Swift Strike 4620 67.74% 33.19 -0.878 48.92% -0.143 0.1163
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 974 71.41% 34.24 -0.658 54.93% -0.062 -0.3357
Many Minds Move as One 569 44.19% 40.97 2.441 69.42% 0.373 -0.142
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4638 66.64% 36.63 1.115 59.01% 0.459 0.2637
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1666 59.02% 34.0 -0.809 51.86% -0.21 -0.1639
River Surges in Sunlight 4185 64.03% 34.58 -0.417 45.26% -0.405 -0.2528
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3370 52.52% 37.56 0.985 61.04% 0.222 0.3665
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1446 81.88% 26.62 -3.894 28.08% -0.939 -0.4986
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2415 56.51% 36.07 0.257 55.2% -0.048 -0.1197
Shroud of Silent Mist 298 75.08% 34.82 0.041 57.72% 0.143 0.1228
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1844 41.6% 38.12 0.899 72.94% 0.503 0.4833
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 819 71.78% 30.53 -2.493 40.29% -0.561 -0.3578
Thunderspeaker 3788 63.65% 36.68 0.867 56.15% 0.181 0.2321
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 999 85.56% 33.8 -0.345 57.86% 0.255 0.2632
Vital Strength of the Earth 2694 60.06% 31.23 -1.898 41.91% -0.518 0.3521
Volcano Looming High 721 76.69% 33.12 -0.934 56.17% 0.067 0.0433

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 480 56.16% 34.88 -0.69 52.29% -0.189 0.3842
Dahan Insurrection 4 501 53.06% 48.69 6.63 44.91% -0.402 -0.0024
Despicable Theft 2 6 33.33% 44.83 3.725 50.0% -0.234 0.0487
Elemental Invocation 1 49 65.31% 34.61 -1.079 46.94% -0.657 -0.2177
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2074 20.51% 40.63 1.822 59.93% -0.237 0.1289
Powers Long Forgotten 1 198 83.33% 32.19 -1.221 34.34% -0.665 -0.2241
Rituals of Terror 3 132 70.23% 42.3 3.489 43.18% -0.404 0.2401
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 56 92.86% 36.75 1.183 32.14% -0.585 0.0563
Second Wave 0 643 61.62% 35.28 -0.34 46.81% -0.559 -0.1307
The Great River 3 25 64.0% 31.88 -0.824 24.0% -1.218 0.2413
Ward the Shores 2 161 68.75% 38.52 1.292 41.61% -0.64 0.3973

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 24624 64.52% 34.57 -0.162 55.3% -0.46 -0.1277
1 Thematic 1477 61.96% 39.2 1.351 48.82% -0.402 0.0962
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5600 63.26% 34.37 -0.191 53.25% -0.288 -0.0882
2 Coastline 639 63.36% 35.62 0.187 57.43% -0.242 -0.0873
2 Fragment 137 67.15% 33.09 -0.802 50.36% -0.371 0.025
2 Heart 65 71.88% 33.72 -1.011 52.31% -0.523 -0.2011
2 Opposite Shores 1175 60.34% 34.96 -0.266 53.62% -0.382 -0.1531
2 Thematic 471 65.88% 36.58 0.229 39.28% -0.007 0.0543
2 Top to Top 212 57.14% 36.8 0.885 58.96% -0.087 0.0446
3 Coastline 9 33.33% 36.89 0.608 55.56% -0.124 -0.162
3 Other 93 49.46% 40.39 1.581 69.89% -0.19 0.2299
3 Round (Default) 2156 55.93% 35.32 0.048 54.78% -0.058 -0.0021
3 Sunrise 12 66.67% 44.08 4.906 75.0% 0.796 0.6024
3 Thematic 87 62.07% 39.45 1.115 45.98% 0.753 0.4236
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 61.0 4.237 100.0% 0.052 0.1778
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 19.0 -10.031 0.0% -0.863 -0.8167
4 Other 56 53.57% 36.02 -0.429 57.14% -0.291 -0.1789
4 Snake 4 75.0% 32.5 -0.296 50.0% 0.197 0.352
4 Thematic 284 51.41% 37.17 -0.635 39.44% 0.999 -0.0252
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1309 47.58% 37.93 0.204 58.37% 0.08 0.1143
5 Other 10 40.0% 49.4 4.01 100.0% 0.887 0.6318
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 55.0 9.171 100.0% 0.539 -2.404

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1867 30.24 -3.212 42.85% -1.091 0.9828
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1503 32.9 -1.908 48.24% -0.876 1.0436
All Things Weaken 709 31.47 -2.676 48.52% -0.977 1.1813
Back Against the Wall 1513 31.0 -2.824 43.03% -1.084 1.0103
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1768 27.97 -4.398 41.12% -1.173 1.0515
Downward Spiral 4383 29.56 -3.374 44.38% -0.881 1.1396
Erosion of Will 1838 29.98 -3.356 42.17% -1.131 1.0778
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 224 39.42 0.96 72.32% -0.06 0.6329
Memory Fades to Dust 4379 29.45 -3.44 42.52% -0.969 1.2492
Power Corrodes the Spirit 676 30.82 -2.991 48.52% -0.971 1.05
Promising Farmlands 1885 29.5 -3.606 43.87% -1.077 1.1372
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 159 40.15 1.348 75.47% 0.099 0.5098
Thriving Communities 660 29.24 -3.754 45.15% -1.108 0.9849
Tipping Point 1030 28.7 -3.951 41.17% -1.139 1.0862
Unnatural Proliferation 736 32.33 -2.159 50.54% -0.869 1.2205
Untended Land Crumbles 650 30.09 -3.334 46.31% -1.038 1.068

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9149 61.84% 34.72 -0.153 53.35% 0.647 -0.4653
B 9736 62.28% 34.37 -0.312 52.79% 0.619 -0.5889
C 10445 62.09% 35.17 0.201 55.36% 0.748 -0.6917
D 8930 62.28% 34.66 -0.202 54.15% 0.671 -0.5309
E 2639 57.41% 36.95 0.559 61.77% 0.752 -0.5598
F 4095 60.72% 35.47 -0.011 57.97% 0.711 -0.5546
G 3579 60.18% 35.07 -0.275 56.19% 0.604 -0.653
H 4152 55.63% 36.55 0.395 59.66% 0.695 -0.5708
East 882 61.38% 38.7 0.968 43.08% 0.386 -0.5943
Northeast 897 57.9% 39.17 0.973 43.81% 0.264 -0.667
Northwest 784 58.71% 37.95 0.37 42.6% 0.306 -0.6937
Southeast 159 57.96% 37.78 0.113 50.31% 0.286 -0.7394
Southwest 170 57.93% 32.92 -2.702 42.94% -0.089 -0.7095
West 832 61.09% 36.74 -0.131 39.54% 0.093 -0.6319

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 282 0.0% 36.4 -1.411 50.35% -0.895 1.1595
Not Using Events or Tokens 5603 67.54% 32.22 -1.222 46.1% -0.366 -0.1486
Skip Initial Invader Actions 700 14.22% 53.6 5.836 85.71% 0.893 0.1994
Start of Game Growth 985 19.08% 50.71 4.763 81.73% 0.59 0.1274
Unlimited Undo 3222 59.49% 38.47 1.487 64.09% 0.384 -0.0368
Using Tokens but Not Events 3171 56.33% 36.17 0.238 59.26% 0.026 -0.0267

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6313 22.34 3.34%
II 11532 30.81 23.04%
III 11397 34.31 78.66%
IV 9182 37.5 99.3%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.027 Win Model: -0.916
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 26151 64.35% 34.85 54.98%
2 8298 63.02% 34.71 52.92%
3 2329 55.9% 35.63 54.83%
4 1646 48.3% 37.72 54.92%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 161
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6938
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1905
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7288
Lose: Invader deck ran out 220
Lose: Adversary condition 7314
Win: Sacrifice victory 173
Lose: Scenario condition 721
Win: Scenario condition 291
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8751
Lose: Spirit destroyed 467

The Kingdom of England — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3809 40.91% 44.02 0.649 65.32% 0.081 0.2143
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2053 72.59% 38.39 -1.266 51.58% -0.167 0.0611
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1655 61.01% 38.76 -1.711 54.26% -0.222 -0.3084
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2154 43.02% 45.62 1.457 70.47% 0.322 -0.0515
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4027 32.43% 50.59 3.786 81.35% 0.827 0.5668
Fractured Days Split the Sky 468 45.82% 46.96 1.894 64.53% -0.112 0.2558
Heart of the Wildfire 2367 75.49% 32.38 -4.609 38.45% -0.752 -0.4016
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9803 33.51% 48.45 2.542 75.96% 0.468 0.1645
Lightning's Swift Strike 4164 57.42% 39.52 -1.402 53.43% -0.321 -0.0613
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1223 56.3% 42.81 -0.052 65.25% 0.1 -0.1729
Many Minds Move as One 620 38.45% 47.68 2.199 75.97% 0.464 -0.0513
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3948 61.44% 41.9 0.452 61.52% 0.372 0.1766
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1760 53.88% 39.12 -1.848 54.15% -0.375 -0.3292
River Surges in Sunlight 3528 57.38% 40.05 -1.196 49.35% -0.512 -0.3595
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4712 40.92% 45.57 1.249 70.5% 0.305 0.4495
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1049 73.54% 32.56 -4.451 34.7% -0.954 -0.5136
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4004 31.86% 48.68 1.544 72.65% 0.13 0.0584
Shroud of Silent Mist 273 70.22% 41.09 -0.333 63.0% 0.202 0.1819
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2123 38.5% 42.41 -0.085 74.89% 0.408 0.3883
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 719 62.13% 36.6 -3.056 45.34% -0.738 -0.5357
Thunderspeaker 4597 45.28% 44.95 0.005 63.82% -0.093 -0.0421
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1434 81.49% 41.07 0.168 66.46% 0.536 0.5435
Vital Strength of the Earth 2011 54.01% 36.43 -3.082 44.75% -0.806 0.0644
Volcano Looming High 995 72.78% 37.21 -1.871 55.28% -0.089 -0.1127

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 378 55.26% 36.27 -2.613 47.88% -0.531 0.0418
Dahan Insurrection 4 372 51.89% 52.5 5.861 43.55% -0.51 -0.1105
Despicable Theft 2 2 100.0% 61.5 7.286 100.0% 0.409 0.6917
Elemental Invocation 1 41 70.73% 43.05 1.118 60.98% 0.186 0.6258
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 4892 10.17% 53.44 3.678 80.01% 0.092 0.4575
Powers Long Forgotten 1 128 75.0% 35.87 -2.063 33.59% -0.726 -0.2846
Rituals of Terror 3 122 68.03% 44.54 2.368 35.25% -0.5 0.1438
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 96 91.67% 35.14 -1.609 21.88% -0.969 -0.3275
Second Wave 0 352 62.68% 36.61 -2.589 42.05% -0.941 -0.5128
The Great River 3 31 80.65% 34.32 -0.831 22.58% -0.951 0.5085
Ward the Shores 2 138 67.15% 39.87 -0.281 37.68% -0.807 0.2305

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 26329 55.2% 41.36 -0.143 62.14% -0.315 0.0179
1 Thematic 992 63.31% 39.48 -0.854 38.61% -0.692 -0.1936
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5533 57.68% 41.17 -0.442 59.39% -0.184 0.0157
2 Coastline 933 48.6% 45.15 1.388 70.31% 0.162 0.3169
2 Fragment 104 61.76% 36.33 -2.493 48.08% -0.739 -0.3431
2 Heart 119 54.62% 44.45 0.971 65.55% -0.167 0.1555
2 Opposite Shores 972 59.6% 39.01 -1.393 52.67% -0.42 -0.1914
2 Thematic 292 64.73% 42.3 0.248 44.18% 0.181 0.2416
2 Top to Top 173 57.99% 39.13 -1.134 56.65% -0.369 -0.2368
3 Coastline 17 81.25% 28.59 -3.638 17.65% -0.755 -0.7931
3 Other 101 55.0% 44.07 0.607 71.29% -0.053 0.3668
3 Round (Default) 1996 51.81% 41.76 -0.15 62.07% 0.086 0.142
3 Sunrise 13 53.85% 38.54 -2.084 53.85% -0.442 -0.6354
3 Thematic 61 60.66% 42.33 0.166 45.9% 0.825 0.4953
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 30.0 -11.898 0.0% -0.74 -0.6148
4 Leaf 9 66.67% 42.11 -0.613 66.67% 0.162 0.2089
4 Other 59 62.71% 43.75 0.337 67.8% 0.144 0.2557
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 6.606 100.0% 0.165 -0.6169
4 Thematic 259 51.35% 49.17 1.672 57.14% 1.629 0.6045
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3030 18.29% 51.27 1.538 77.56% 0.386 0.4202
5 Other 32 15.63% 56.81 5.6 100.0% 1.459 1.2041

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1808 34.3 -4.523 44.8% -1.354 0.7198
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1413 37.15 -3.125 50.67% -1.128 0.791
All Things Weaken 701 35.33 -3.941 49.79% -1.239 0.92
Back Against the Wall 1402 35.9 -3.814 47.29% -1.272 0.8215
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1775 32.08 -5.628 43.49% -1.42 0.8042
Downward Spiral 3352 33.05 -5.183 43.85% -1.353 0.6676
Erosion of Will 1757 33.79 -4.846 43.2% -1.468 0.7409
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 223 41.63 -1.253 65.92% -0.645 0.0477
Memory Fades to Dust 3430 33.0 -5.226 42.39% -1.408 0.81
Power Corrodes the Spirit 689 35.03 -4.111 50.8% -1.229 0.792
Promising Farmlands 1734 33.17 -5.079 44.87% -1.37 0.8446
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 200 45.23 0.659 77.5% -0.076 0.3349
Thriving Communities 700 35.25 -4.131 51.86% -1.217 0.8759
Tipping Point 932 31.37 -5.863 38.73% -1.544 0.6814
Unnatural Proliferation 722 35.84 -3.717 49.58% -1.273 0.8167
Untended Land Crumbles 755 34.37 -4.431 48.74% -1.305 0.8005

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10558 47.51% 42.78 -0.321 62.16% 0.676 -0.4362
B 12048 45.5% 44.16 0.604 65.49% 0.854 -0.3543
C 12346 47.12% 44.07 0.645 66.12% 0.899 -0.5398
D 9136 52.48% 41.88 -0.194 61.68% 0.78 -0.4223
E 3132 49.7% 43.65 0.511 67.34% 0.848 -0.464
F 4969 46.8% 43.55 0.2 65.95% 0.75 -0.5161
G 4391 48.79% 43.13 0.033 65.0% 0.744 -0.5125
H 4448 47.59% 44.14 0.433 67.42% 0.819 -0.4465
East 684 58.32% 45.27 0.971 48.25% 0.455 -0.5258
Northeast 692 58.38% 43.45 0.483 44.22% 0.268 -0.6629
Northwest 597 63.99% 42.39 -0.048 43.05% 0.477 -0.5226
Southeast 86 56.98% 45.77 0.671 59.3% 0.377 -0.6489
Southwest 85 56.47% 42.59 -1.128 58.82% 0.477 -0.1429
West 563 58.97% 44.04 -0.022 47.07% 0.162 -0.5632

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 195 0.0% 38.56 -3.321 48.72% -1.157 0.8975
Not Using Events or Tokens 4646 52.79% 40.67 -0.197 56.78% -0.069 0.1489
Skip Initial Invader Actions 719 13.88% 59.82 6.753 90.54% 2.131 1.4374
Start of Game Growth 1120 13.85% 55.32 2.962 82.68% -0.429 -0.8917
Unlimited Undo 3584 53.37% 43.6 0.71 66.85% 0.252 -0.1684
Using Tokens but Not Events 3206 40.01% 45.83 1.223 68.87% 0.139 0.0872

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6295 22.34 28.15%
II 11652 30.81 33.02%
III 12390 34.31 74.4%
IV 10690 37.5 99.55%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.299 Win Model: -0.927
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 27450 55.4% 41.35 61.43%
2 8051 57.48% 41.19 58.8%
3 2160 52.33% 41.75 61.48%
4 3366 21.5% 51.0 75.91%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1390
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7578
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3192
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8746
Lose: Invader deck ran out 55
Lose: Adversary condition 6529
Win: Sacrifice victory 204
Lose: Scenario condition 846
Win: Scenario condition 212
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7684
Lose: Spirit destroyed 434

The Kingdom of England — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1548 48.15% 45.83 1.11 48.97% 0.099 0.2322
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 610 82.54% 38.28 -1.223 36.23% -0.054 0.1747
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 414 75.6% 32.68 -4.079 21.98% -0.803 -0.8886
Eyes Watch From the Trees 668 61.71% 43.18 1.177 46.11% 0.373 -0.0004
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 926 64.02% 45.1 1.393 50.32% 0.425 0.1649
Fractured Days Split the Sky 132 62.6% 48.95 3.027 51.52% 0.31 0.6778
Heart of the Wildfire 850 86.67% 26.62 -7.233 13.76% -1.375 -1.0245
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2998 57.83% 45.36 1.715 53.47% 0.463 0.1588
Lightning's Swift Strike 1922 67.7% 41.3 -0.991 39.8% -0.127 0.1318
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 373 78.44% 37.26 -2.529 34.32% -0.321 -0.5943
Many Minds Move as One 193 44.56% 51.52 4.579 65.8% 0.821 0.3061
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2020 66.42% 46.45 2.995 55.45% 0.969 0.7736
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 536 60.56% 40.46 -1.328 37.13% -0.207 -0.1615
River Surges in Sunlight 1216 57.85% 42.56 -0.994 39.47% -0.567 -0.4146
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1262 61.96% 44.16 0.818 49.52% 0.307 0.4509
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 397 81.86% 32.18 -4.589 19.65% -0.981 -0.5399
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1105 54.13% 48.63 2.198 55.48% 0.429 0.3576
Shroud of Silent Mist 70 81.43% 41.84 0.652 47.14% 0.482 0.4618
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1875 36.05% 49.13 3.07 71.63% 0.85 0.8297
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 276 81.16% 29.75 -5.49 15.22% -1.202 -0.999
Thunderspeaker 1205 75.94% 38.31 -1.138 33.2% -0.068 -0.0166
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 752 84.84% 45.08 1.649 58.51% 0.689 0.6971
Vital Strength of the Earth 711 62.01% 37.92 -2.559 30.1% -0.648 0.2224
Volcano Looming High 245 91.84% 30.47 -4.829 23.27% -0.601 -0.6242

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 175 66.47% 37.23 -2.281 36.0% -0.385 0.1877
Dahan Insurrection 4 155 76.16% 43.68 1.377 18.71% -1.085 -0.6854
Despicable Theft 2 1 100.0% 29.0 -3.343 0.0% -0.189 0.0938
Elemental Invocation 1 7 57.14% 33.29 -5.612 14.29% -1.235 -0.7953
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1027 21.93% 51.29 2.775 56.57% 0.079 0.445
Powers Long Forgotten 1 47 82.98% 38.32 -1.305 25.53% -0.51 -0.0691
Rituals of Terror 3 41 80.49% 55.29 7.614 43.9% 0.468 1.1119
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 21 76.19% 39.62 1.139 19.05% -0.405 0.2371
Second Wave 0 138 67.88% 38.14 -2.343 29.71% -0.889 -0.4609
Ward the Shores 2 59 62.07% 46.8 1.624 37.29% -0.39 0.6475

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10730 66.33% 41.35 -0.045 46.92% -0.215 0.1174
1 Thematic 870 73.19% 41.22 -0.171 32.87% -0.429 0.0695
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1799 71.56% 39.78 -0.716 39.8% -0.289 -0.089
2 Coastline 191 64.17% 45.31 1.634 53.4% 0.224 0.3785
2 Fragment 44 68.18% 41.02 -0.438 40.91% -0.442 -0.0463
2 Heart 25 76.0% 37.8 -0.861 40.0% -0.269 0.0532
2 Opposite Shores 394 69.05% 39.71 -0.758 40.1% -0.234 -0.0051
2 Thematic 138 71.01% 40.12 -2.466 26.81% -0.957 -0.8963
2 Top to Top 77 59.74% 45.66 1.615 51.95% 0.074 0.2059
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 36.33 -2.589 33.33% -0.315 -0.3534
3 Other 36 69.44% 51.86 4.636 72.22% 0.756 1.1761
3 Round (Default) 663 68.78% 39.13 -1.267 37.56% -0.294 -0.2381
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 42.0 2.564 50.0% 0.38 0.186
3 Thematic 36 75.0% 42.92 -1.223 36.11% -0.014 -0.3434
4 Leaf 4 100.0% 33.25 -4.524 25.0% -0.383 -0.3364
4 Other 16 81.25% 44.88 0.342 56.25% -0.053 0.0592
4 Thematic 195 21.03% 65.29 4.288 74.36% 0.882 -0.1418
4 Trapezoid (Default) 582 34.39% 50.69 2.689 58.08% 0.464 0.4983
5 Other 4 75.0% 54.5 5.979 75.0% 0.508 0.2536
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 68.33 5.407 100.0% 0.624 -2.3193

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 864 36.71 -3.417 34.49% -1.069 1.004
Aid From Lesser Spirits 655 39.18 -2.065 38.78% -0.821 1.0985
All Things Weaken 341 37.7 -2.763 39.0% -0.888 1.2707
Back Against the Wall 603 38.26 -2.752 36.32% -1.014 1.0801
Disintegrating Ecosystem 844 34.99 -4.362 34.83% -1.091 1.1331
Downward Spiral 1654 34.45 -3.951 31.68% -0.93 1.0912
Erosion of Will 930 35.02 -4.28 31.08% -1.282 0.9272
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 108 46.27 0.729 59.26% -0.284 0.4091
Memory Fades to Dust 1609 33.85 -4.352 29.27% -1.08 1.1382
Power Corrodes the Spirit 335 35.94 -3.816 35.22% -1.126 0.8951
Promising Farmlands 834 35.72 -3.831 34.65% -1.05 1.1642
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 70 46.89 1.022 61.43% -0.186 0.2246
Thriving Communities 325 39.13 -2.326 44.31% -0.749 1.3444
Tipping Point 470 35.04 -4.148 31.91% -1.137 1.0889
Unnatural Proliferation 372 39.82 -1.858 42.47% -0.808 1.2816
Untended Land Crumbles 355 37.38 -3.296 41.13% -0.944 1.1619

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3128 67.83% 39.77 -0.93 40.09% 0.477 -0.6351
B 4122 61.34% 42.1 0.324 45.0% 0.573 -0.6352
C 5249 58.67% 45.14 1.923 55.23% 0.868 -0.5718
D 2984 69.21% 41.31 -0.079 44.03% 0.606 -0.5959
E 1049 66.0% 40.63 -0.507 42.9% 0.421 -0.8914
F 1371 65.98% 40.83 -0.818 42.96% 0.409 -0.8567
G 1209 69.07% 39.96 -0.877 41.11% 0.413 -0.8435
H 1320 65.8% 40.3 -0.918 40.53% 0.304 -0.9618
East 502 53.89% 52.61 2.735 51.99% 0.889 -0.0919
Northeast 493 54.56% 48.67 0.592 42.6% 0.129 -0.8025
Northwest 382 50.26% 52.6 1.803 52.36% 0.676 -0.3235
Southeast 79 48.1% 46.42 -1.099 44.3% -0.027 -1.0532
Southwest 72 45.83% 46.74 -1.495 47.22% 0.199 -0.4209
West 419 49.64% 53.23 1.686 52.98% 0.472 -0.2529

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 57 0.0% 47.53 0.441 50.88% -0.421 1.6329
Not Using Events or Tokens 1575 73.15% 36.75 -2.047 31.81% -0.439 -0.2214
Skip Initial Invader Actions 276 19.92% 62.59 7.443 76.09% 1.516 0.8226
Start of Game Growth 597 19.2% 60.47 4.993 72.53% 0.28 -0.1827
Unlimited Undo 1319 63.78% 44.82 1.004 50.87% 0.196 -0.2245
Using Tokens but Not Events 1022 62.77% 40.08 -1.377 39.63% -0.345 -0.3978

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3287 22.34 4.53%
II 4539 30.81 12.49%
III 2990 34.31 49.87%
IV 4996 37.5 99.76%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.371 Win Model: -0.736
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11636 66.87% 41.38 45.97%
2 2656 70.15% 40.3 40.36%
3 724 69.75% 39.59 38.26%
4 796 31.89% 54.14 61.93%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 111
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1229
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 446
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4292
Lose: Invader deck ran out 25
Lose: Adversary condition 3800
Win: Sacrifice victory 84
Lose: Scenario condition 310
Win: Scenario condition 50
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4265
Lose: Spirit destroyed 221

The Kingdom of England — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6501 43.74% 49.06 -0.098 47.01% -0.099 0.034
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4068 79.73% 38.94 -3.195 30.46% -0.457 -0.2286
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1652 65.63% 36.68 -4.815 23.79% -1.062 -1.1483
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3223 60.5% 46.44 0.62 45.05% 0.262 -0.1115
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5080 57.1% 49.77 1.655 52.05% 0.398 0.1376
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1238 50.73% 55.33 3.877 52.5% 0.246 0.6142
Heart of the Wildfire 3211 79.79% 32.19 -6.586 18.03% -1.1 -0.7495
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 17059 46.41% 51.65 2.8 58.09% 0.557 0.2535
Lightning's Swift Strike 11968 61.9% 45.56 -0.356 43.45% 0.101 0.36
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2265 71.74% 42.48 -1.964 39.21% -0.18 -0.4536
Many Minds Move as One 1119 46.65% 56.8 5.274 69.44% 1.105 0.5897
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 14969 59.8% 52.22 3.255 55.15% 0.954 0.7581
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1728 57.88% 42.15 -2.531 34.43% -0.483 -0.4367
River Surges in Sunlight 5792 55.52% 47.18 -0.845 40.31% -0.453 -0.3008
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 8887 43.67% 53.95 2.75 59.56% 0.505 0.649
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3029 65.73% 38.83 -3.344 27.07% -0.511 -0.0703
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3942 53.66% 49.69 1.159 49.62% 0.142 0.0707
Shroud of Silent Mist 455 79.42% 46.19 0.627 49.01% 0.532 0.5123
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6670 41.19% 45.05 -0.533 53.9% 0.352 0.3319
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1450 66.88% 39.34 -3.629 28.21% -0.683 -0.4802
Thunderspeaker 5706 67.53% 43.14 -1.373 29.86% -0.224 -0.1724
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2639 78.44% 45.35 -0.673 49.03% 0.31 0.3178
Vital Strength of the Earth 3175 49.79% 43.3 -3.235 32.19% -0.92 -0.0498
Volcano Looming High 1601 78.27% 35.53 -4.628 26.8% -0.638 -0.6616

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 845 51.56% 48.08 -1.25 50.41% -0.416 0.1577
Dahan Insurrection 4 2208 68.4% 48.68 1.656 15.26% -0.936 -0.5358
Despicable Theft 2 22 68.18% 57.77 6.547 59.09% 0.458 0.7406
Elemental Invocation 1 64 65.63% 44.03 -1.048 35.94% -0.513 -0.0736
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 13188 23.45% 54.36 3.321 53.69% 0.048 0.414
Powers Long Forgotten 1 169 82.84% 34.47 -4.518 15.38% -1.249 -0.8081
Rituals of Terror 3 154 60.78% 62.02 8.582 42.86% 0.689 1.333
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 96 92.71% 36.96 -2.984 12.5% -1.16 -0.5182
Second Wave 0 281 55.91% 48.55 -0.306 44.84% -0.582 -0.1533
The Great River 3 13 61.54% 48.77 1.688 30.77% -0.609 0.8502
Ward the Shores 2 236 73.59% 46.72 0.036 33.9% -0.721 0.3158

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 62267 61.05% 45.06 -0.517 45.4% -0.55 -0.2174
1 Thematic 4407 60.24% 47.17 0.165 25.62% -0.962 -0.4642
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6893 67.42% 43.22 -0.722 40.24% -0.367 -0.167
2 Coastline 1350 62.83% 44.2 -0.825 41.56% -0.538 -0.3838
2 Fragment 139 69.78% 42.5 -1.413 37.41% -0.81 -0.4145
2 Heart 128 64.06% 50.34 1.603 57.81% -0.475 -0.1528
2 Opposite Shores 2104 51.72% 47.51 -0.473 46.25% -0.529 -0.2994
2 Thematic 1014 32.94% 60.39 3.974 48.32% 0.021 0.0823
2 Top to Top 433 57.74% 48.75 1.38 52.66% -0.134 -0.0018
3 Coastline 16 46.67% 54.94 1.489 68.75% 0.004 -0.0343
3 Other 215 62.79% 52.41 1.028 62.79% -0.548 -0.1284
3 Round (Default) 3566 53.07% 47.32 0.254 47.67% 0.036 0.0914
3 Sunrise 10 30.0% 51.6 0.479 60.0% -0.258 -0.4522
3 Thematic 82 58.02% 55.91 1.154 35.37% 0.286 -0.0434
4 Coastline 26 7.69% 40.58 -4.421 26.92% -0.351 -0.2257
4 Leaf 9 44.44% 49.89 0.138 44.44% 0.037 0.0836
4 Other 143 52.11% 53.5 3.078 64.34% 0.251 0.3635
4 Thematic 1335 24.72% 68.14 2.667 70.26% 1.354 0.33
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2259 38.59% 53.58 2.134 58.34% 0.682 0.7167
5 Other 49 43.75% 61.76 4.799 79.59% 0.625 0.3699
5 Thematic 43 13.95% 80.93 9.776 97.67% 2.254 -0.6888

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 4298 38.94 -4.034 33.22% -1.019 1.0547
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3548 42.05 -2.438 38.73% -0.724 1.195
All Things Weaken 1675 37.88 -4.149 32.84% -0.976 1.1832
Back Against the Wall 3383 40.72 -3.163 35.53% -0.879 1.2153
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4135 36.72 -5.144 32.21% -1.067 1.1574
Downward Spiral 7778 37.99 -4.275 30.48% -0.822 1.1992
Erosion of Will 4103 37.92 -4.482 31.17% -1.105 1.1034
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 602 47.05 -0.149 51.33% -0.283 0.4093
Memory Fades to Dust 7771 37.26 -4.651 27.73% -0.969 1.2493
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1688 38.64 -3.967 35.49% -0.915 1.1057
Promising Farmlands 4094 38.37 -4.345 33.93% -0.995 1.2191
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 322 50.11 1.102 59.63% -0.013 0.3979
Thriving Communities 1761 38.6 -3.923 35.95% -0.87 1.2231
Tipping Point 2148 36.92 -5.144 30.4% -1.169 1.0561
Unnatural Proliferation 1818 40.15 -3.113 36.19% -0.858 1.2316
Untended Land Crumbles 1742 38.67 -3.977 35.82% -0.915 1.1904

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 18004 57.12% 45.97 -0.187 45.5% 1.0 -0.1123
B 19105 59.16% 45.21 -0.368 44.37% 0.961 -0.2466
C 21797 59.46% 46.72 0.63 48.19% 1.185 -0.2546
D 15902 62.72% 45.59 -0.154 45.84% 1.027 -0.175
E 7185 59.48% 45.37 0.114 46.03% 1.07 -0.2419
F 8351 57.67% 46.68 0.084 47.97% 1.033 -0.2328
G 7993 56.12% 45.72 -0.186 45.43% 0.963 -0.2936
H 7657 55.13% 47.11 0.348 48.27% 1.016 -0.2495
East 2972 39.0% 61.35 2.96 53.23% 1.063 0.0825
Northeast 3449 41.9% 57.51 2.18 42.91% 0.837 -0.0937
Northwest 2238 30.41% 63.15 3.044 58.67% 1.041 0.0412
Southeast 281 42.35% 58.95 0.897 56.94% 1.01 -0.0162
Southwest 218 33.94% 60.52 -0.648 64.22% 0.648 0.0276
West 2859 41.32% 57.73 1.269 49.21% 0.816 0.0911

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 938 0.0% 49.97 -1.796 49.36% -0.947 1.1071
Not Using Events or Tokens 8878 61.9% 43.3 -1.398 28.62% -0.519 -0.3015
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5189 15.52% 70.05 6.608 86.38% 0.904 0.2107
Start of Game Growth 5999 17.75% 68.33 6.136 84.18% 0.638 0.1747
Unlimited Undo 12553 38.2% 61.5 6.427 76.86% 1.164 0.743
Using Tokens but Not Events 5356 58.57% 45.31 -1.276 43.6% -0.351 -0.4034

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 24928 22.34 9.31%
II 25267 30.81 25.22%
III 14151 34.31 57.27%
IV 22142 37.5 99.68%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.461 Win Model: -1.347
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 66981 60.98% 45.27 44.26%
2 11852 61.05% 45.5 41.93%
3 3878 53.23% 48.04 48.84%
4 3777 33.36% 58.81 62.56%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1858
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6265
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4989
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17356
Lose: Invader deck ran out 116
Lose: Adversary condition 21627
Win: Sacrifice victory 553
Lose: Scenario condition 3991
Win: Scenario condition 415
Lose: Blight pool ran out 20760
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1124

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2025-02-27 02:06:44 (Pacific Time)