The Kingdom of England — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7434 22.55% 25.95 -0.854 84.67% -0.111 -0.2587
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4087 44.3% 23.7 -0.807 77.59% -0.012 0.1185
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3086 26.35% 26.35 0.848 87.59% 0.434 0.2892
Downpour Drenches the World 252 23.02% 23.85 1.352 71.83% 0.259 0.4379
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 203 13.79% 25.59 2.304 75.86% 0.694 -0.0713
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4324 14.44% 29.35 3.313 92.35% 0.944 0.3553
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3496 19.21% 28.26 2.564 91.05% 0.669 0.1722
Finder of Paths Unseen 104 35.58% 18.45 -3.333 51.92% -0.627 0.0368
Fractured Days Split the Sky 608 33.83% 26.65 -1.203 72.7% -0.343 0.2427
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 691 35.89% 27.52 -0.579 79.74% 0.064 -0.0308
Heart of the Wildfire 4122 59.9% 21.1 -2.298 71.66% -0.409 -0.1674
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6742 24.81% 26.92 -0.358 88.8% 0.064 -0.3777
Lightning's Swift Strike 6884 43.49% 23.62 -1.667 77.57% -0.309 -0.1256
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 118 31.36% 28.91 2.38 79.66% 0.373 -0.1141
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 523 22.22% 29.27 -2.116 87.76% -0.644 -0.812
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 314 37.7% 28.14 2.79 84.08% 0.985 0.872
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1595 30.45% 27.8 -0.05 87.15% -0.057 -0.1888
Many Minds Move as One 1035 23.29% 27.42 2.133 86.96% 0.675 0.454
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6589 41.62% 24.56 -0.275 80.59% 0.217 0.1747
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2852 28.59% 25.19 0.006 84.08% 0.093 -0.0844
River Surges in Sunlight 7689 37.53% 25.52 -1.146 74.42% -0.526 -0.4555
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 553 37.32% 26.91 -2.795 70.52% -0.961 -0.6507
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 100 31.0% 30.29 3.696 79.0% 0.515 0.4019
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3737 32.32% 24.68 0.961 82.04% 0.414 0.1764
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4112 54.35% 22.37 -1.575 71.35% -0.287 0.243
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 43 32.56% 27.53 -1.117 79.07% -0.617 -0.6924
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 49 28.57% 25.76 1.57 69.39% 0.459 0.353
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 458 27.57% 26.03 1.034 85.81% 0.382 0.3632
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 249 42.34% 24.89 -2.523 78.31% -0.545 -0.3685
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4645 24.86% 27.52 -1.404 87.23% -0.447 -0.6375
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 53 35.85% 23.34 2.285 67.92% 0.411 0.0299
Shifting Memory of Ages 566 39.65% 24.97 -1.677 77.21% -0.142 0.2114
Shroud of Silent Mist 813 45.42% 23.85 -0.382 80.44% 0.118 0.3685
Starlight Seeks its Form 741 21.62% 29.92 2.201 83.27% 0.521 0.26
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1831 24.86% 25.17 -0.445 87.33% -0.024 -0.5015
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2172 29.93% 25.01 -1.193 80.34% -0.24 -0.1767
Thunderspeaker 7365 24.04% 27.91 0.874 86.26% 0.184 0.1501
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 46 28.26% 20.48 -2.033 47.83% -0.691 -0.7306
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1178 59.34% 21.62 -1.458 76.15% -0.31 -0.2169
Vital Strength of the Earth 5543 29.23% 22.25 -1.913 72.74% -0.483 0.0413
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 97 23.71% 25.67 1.243 74.23% 0.124 0.3846
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 322 31.46% 20.8 -5.223 63.66% -0.871 -0.0947
Volcano Looming High 1028 41.37% 23.78 -0.301 79.18% 0.136 0.0934

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 11 27.27% 20.91 -3.792 63.64% -0.461 -0.7164
Blitz 0 980 41.13% 22.0 -4.406 72.45% -1.369 -1.1721
Dahan Insurrection 4 932 21.45% 45.13 5.585 78.11% -0.359 -0.8016
Despicable Theft 2 115 40.87% 33.36 -0.642 76.52% -0.425 0.3871
Elemental Invocation 1 155 43.87% 25.14 -4.967 68.39% -0.843 -0.1402
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2049 9.97% 30.88 3.952 85.31% 0.69 0.0454
Powers Long Forgotten 1 431 48.96% 28.45 0.2 72.85% -0.229 0.4061
Rituals of Terror 3 563 46.95% 32.91 -1.9 63.41% -1.067 -0.9664
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 297 67.68% 30.46 -1.606 58.25% -0.916 0.0932
Second Wave 0 727 46.62% 25.57 4.145 64.79% 0.048 0.1142
The Great River 3 136 50.0% 28.36 -2.384 51.47% -0.854 0.3639
Varied Terrains 2 56 42.86% 21.63 -4.391 42.86% -1.551 -0.9275
Ward the Shores 2 557 42.27% 27.96 0.21 59.07% -0.291 0.7928

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 45205 37.43% 24.39 0.407 80.01% 0.198 0.2521
1 Thematic 4264 42.05% 30.68 1.596 73.62% -0.063 0.4145
2 Archipelago 26 50.0% 33.27 11.288 76.92% 0.458 0.5624
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9910 32.81% 24.39 -1.42 81.97% -0.269 -0.1874
2 Coastline 989 32.64% 24.56 -0.973 82.2% 0.013 -0.1415
2 Fragment 230 35.81% 23.02 -3.877 78.26% -0.55 -0.7992
2 Heart 128 38.1% 23.45 -0.855 82.03% 0.318 0.0309
2 Opposite Shores 1297 29.91% 25.49 0.408 87.97% 0.282 0.3051
2 Thematic 953 38.84% 32.46 -1.062 73.56% -0.312 0.0919
2 Top to Top 213 31.28% 25.08 0.26 82.63% -0.242 -0.4086
3 Archipelago 9 33.33% 25.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 14 35.71% 24.79 2.122 85.71% 0.611 0.0974
3 Other 110 31.78% 23.65 3.035 80.0% -0.392 0.1482
3 Round (Default) 4244 19.53% 27.07 0.507 89.09% 0.013 -0.1022
3 Sunrise 16 18.75% 24.0 -0.684 81.25% -0.285 -0.0047
3 Thematic 198 35.35% 31.67 -5.546 68.18% -1.017 -0.9367
4 Archipelago 8 37.5% 30.5 -5.619 62.5% -0.26 -0.9344
4 Coastline 16 21.43% 31.06 20.327 93.75% 0.54 0.7716
4 Leaf 5 0.0% 27.8 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 52 30.77% 24.19 1.566 80.77% 0.028 -1.0562
4 Thematic 275 23.64% 32.17 7.66 76.36% 0.976 0.714
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1419 22.61% 25.64 1.403 83.51% 0.585 0.5023
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 29.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 36 36.11% 24.14 -0.679 72.22% -0.05 -0.3344
5 Thematic 6 50.0% 40.5 -6.985 66.67% -0.118 -0.2115
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 5 60.0% 40.4 4.186 100.0% 0.118 -0.1145
6 Star 10 30.0% 27.0 -2.056 90.0% -0.075 -0.0882
6 Thematic 29 13.79% 32.31 -3.874 58.62% -0.087 0.3339
6 Two Centers (Default) 59 15.25% 26.22 -3.664 62.71% -0.895 -0.7909
7 Other 1 0.0% 52.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1524 19.44 -1.067 63.06% -0.186 0.0566
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1279 20.49 -0.035 64.74% -0.033 -0.1109
All Things Weaken 687 19.73 1.066 59.1% 0.498 0.891
Attenuated Essence 21 18.62 0.783 57.14% 0.188 0.2944
Back Against the Wall 1293 19.39 0.241 58.55% -0.171 -0.113
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 21 24.05 2.953 66.67% 0.602 0.8039
Burn Brightest Before the End 19 19.05 0.357 57.89% -0.119 0.0917
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1484 16.37 -1.13 56.2% -0.062 0.3621
Downward Spiral 5521 17.18 -2.395 60.12% -0.702 -0.4668
Erosion of Will 1582 18.63 -0.424 58.91% 0.015 0.3246
Intensifying Exploitation 20 14.75 -1.859 40.0% -0.341 -0.054
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 278 25.29 1.919 89.57% 0.704 0.2099
Memory Fades to Dust 5478 16.8 -2.385 55.49% -0.518 -0.1819
Power Corrodes the Spirit 665 18.99 -1.612 61.2% -0.326 -0.1054
Promising Farmlands 1529 17.87 -0.467 60.63% 0.017 0.4698
Shattered Fragments of Power 15 20.0 0.955 60.0% 0.059 0.1103
Slow Dissolution of Will 18 16.89 -3.546 38.89% -0.886 -0.487
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 229 25.28 5.912 92.58% 1.676 0.9651
The Border of Life and Death 10 14.1 -1.391 40.0% -0.255 -0.5903
Thriving Communities 651 18.21 -2.052 56.84% -0.594 -0.2307
Thriving Crops 6 22.17 2.656 66.67% 0.568 0.3698
Tipping Point 618 17.72 0.0 59.71%
Unnatural Proliferation 684 18.59 0.019 52.92% -0.416 -0.2012
Untended Land Crumbles 683 19.67 -1.811 65.15% -0.308 -0.0262

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 16565 34.31% 24.34 -0.31 80.46% -0.185 0.5555
B 16985 32.76% 24.78 -0.787 82.09% -0.257 0.4686
C 16796 32.93% 24.75 0.269 81.32% -0.035 0.5476
D 16214 33.12% 24.71 -0.604 81.98% -0.196 0.5157
E 4738 28.4% 26.42 1.101 84.59% 0.066 0.631
F 6851 30.54% 25.46 -0.199 83.74% -0.279 0.3912
G 6329 31.7% 25.23 0.489 83.6% 0.113 0.7649
H 6472 30.67% 25.47 -0.641 84.24% -0.317 0.2538
East 3460 38.14% 32.27 0.394 74.25% -0.275 0.2639
Northeast 2062 37.54% 32.25 1.199 74.15% -0.012 0.6227
Northwest 1603 36.61% 32.0 -1.369 74.86% -0.417 0.3924
Southeast 398 30.4% 30.86 -3.237 73.87% -0.912 -0.2065
Southwest 362 37.02% 25.55 -2.128 65.75% -0.277 0.7125
West 3000 40.26% 30.83 1.526 71.8% -0.222 0.6814

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 981 0.0% 21.96 -0.542 69.83% -0.25 0.5261
Not Using Events or Tokens 17850 41.02% 23.24 -0.18 74.9% 0.065 0.4437
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1021 11.29% 33.88 1.574 90.5% -0.543 -1.1606
Start of Game Growth 1710 14.32% 32.19 1.72 90.64% 0.247 -0.1013
Unlimited Undo 4171 27.09% 27.22 0.397 85.85% 0.194 0.1875
Using Tokens but Not Events 6983 21.85% 27.14 1.903 87.1% 0.398 0.3876

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6955 20.4 32.72%
II 23904 31.01 75.72%
III 25751 34.76 88.44%
IV 13165 38.07 99.13%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.176 Win Model: 0.08
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 49670 37.86% 24.94 79.41%
2 13661 32.96% 25.04 82.04%
3 4549 20.29% 27.16 88.13%
4 1769 22.92% 26.7 82.31%
5 22 36.36% 21.91 68.18%
6 104 17.31% 29.12 67.31%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2272
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 22148
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 17243
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 12905
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 965
Lose: Invader deck ran out 726
Lose: Adversary condition 3424
Win: Sacrifice victory 289
Lose: Scenario condition 490
Win: Scenario condition 1344
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7473
Lose: Spirit destroyed 496

The Kingdom of England — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4780 21.87% 34.99 3.409 84.83% 0.976 0.8278
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2191 53.21% 31.81 -0.385 74.3% -0.013 0.1178
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1766 33.68% 33.7 -0.086 83.3% 0.147 0.0018
Downpour Drenches the World 204 25.12% 31.57 1.217 76.96% 0.501 0.68
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 179 26.82% 32.23 2.483 78.21% 0.745 -0.02
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2457 21.48% 37.2 2.021 86.65% 0.331 -0.2581
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2252 28.29% 36.77 3.355 88.41% 0.848 0.3509
Finder of Paths Unseen 92 50.0% 24.63 -3.481 57.61% -0.419 0.2449
Fractured Days Split the Sky 415 38.31% 34.09 -4.095 71.08% -0.712 -0.1265
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 515 45.83% 34.38 0.213 78.83% 0.224 0.1288
Heart of the Wildfire 2699 65.36% 28.28 -1.112 66.84% 0.007 0.2481
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4394 36.55% 33.66 0.119 82.82% 0.068 -0.3742
Lightning's Swift Strike 3958 43.6% 32.28 -0.816 76.02% 0.034 0.2174
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 106 43.27% 35.46 1.547 83.02% 0.367 -0.1198
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 396 25.82% 37.75 1.123 87.88% 0.319 0.1516
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 224 37.5% 33.78 -2.428 74.55% -0.36 -0.4735
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1143 40.88% 34.42 0.709 80.84% 0.196 0.0636
Many Minds Move as One 744 26.34% 35.09 -1.124 83.74% -0.211 -0.4324
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3811 50.85% 31.45 -1.446 74.13% -0.105 -0.1472
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1784 39.98% 31.62 -2.025 76.23% -0.328 -0.5062
River Surges in Sunlight 4406 45.37% 31.6 -0.395 65.98% -0.229 -0.1588
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 402 49.62% 30.11 -5.196 56.22% -1.162 -0.8517
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 86 52.33% 37.57 1.024 66.28% 0.157 0.0436
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2321 34.58% 33.26 0.59 82.16% 0.439 0.202
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2192 62.17% 28.52 -4.366 60.68% -0.912 -0.3822
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 33 48.48% 35.33 -0.703 60.61% -0.399 -0.4743
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 24 37.5% 33.79 -1.006 70.83% -0.39 -0.4953
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 233 43.1% 32.35 -1.982 78.97% -0.349 -0.3673
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 140 62.86% 28.65 -3.373 64.29% -0.155 0.0222
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2690 34.92% 34.67 -1.338 81.3% -0.251 -0.4415
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 43 20.93% 33.91 2.516 74.42% 0.456 0.0752
Shifting Memory of Ages 382 45.79% 30.51 -0.657 75.92% 0.142 0.4949
Shroud of Silent Mist 556 54.59% 29.3 -0.848 71.22% -0.096 0.1544
Starlight Seeks its Form 556 27.03% 34.81 0.481 82.19% 0.277 0.016
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1353 29.32% 33.27 1.747 83.22% 0.769 0.2917
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1221 49.01% 29.02 -3.609 61.92% -0.69 -0.6271
Thunderspeaker 4183 31.77% 36.09 2.804 82.72% 0.673 0.6395
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 37 43.24% 25.84 -2.194 56.76% -0.267 -0.3065
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 812 68.73% 28.35 -2.914 72.04% -0.554 -0.4607
Vital Strength of the Earth 3036 38.97% 29.29 -3.978 67.23% -0.704 -0.1793
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 54 30.77% 33.13 1.193 75.93% 0.228 0.4887
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 176 39.2% 27.63 -0.448 62.5% 0.301 1.0771
Volcano Looming High 719 48.31% 29.66 0.045 73.02% 0.29 0.2466

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 0.0% 19.17 -1.362 33.33% -0.486 -0.742
Blitz 0 776 42.99% 29.64 -1.923 69.85% -0.159 0.038
Dahan Insurrection 4 591 27.84% 53.76 16.402 75.8% 1.162 0.7195
Despicable Theft 2 78 46.15% 35.91 2.813 62.82% 0.088 0.9
Elemental Invocation 1 95 60.0% 29.84 -2.256 65.26% -0.673 0.0301
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1449 11.75% 38.28 3.625 79.3% 0.443 -0.2015
Powers Long Forgotten 1 326 60.0% 32.29 -1.739 61.04% -0.3 0.3356
Rituals of Terror 3 239 51.46% 41.96 0.826 65.27% -0.23 -0.129
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 156 71.79% 40.92 1.391 66.03% 0.22 1.2291
Second Wave 0 2480 44.75% 33.0 -0.504 69.6% -0.357 -0.2908
The Great River 3 67 58.21% 31.84 -5.012 44.78% -1.263 -0.046
Varied Terrains 2 33 51.52% 27.27 -7.243 48.48% -1.549 -0.9259
Ward the Shores 2 403 55.83% 33.7 -7.589 52.61% -0.777 0.3076

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 26478 41.84% 31.62 0.136 75.77% 0.608 0.6624
1 Thematic 3154 48.2% 36.97 0.583 70.23% 0.199 0.6765
2 Archipelago 18 50.0% 36.22 0.519 55.56% -0.326 -0.2219
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5710 40.17% 31.65 -0.328 77.64% 0.306 0.3881
2 Coastline 588 41.58% 31.82 3.124 79.25% 0.917 0.7626
2 Fragment 190 51.85% 30.22 0.402 75.26% 0.28 0.0308
2 Heart 103 34.65% 30.8 -8.961 75.73% -1.455 -1.7417
2 Opposite Shores 1130 37.14% 32.78 0.571 81.24% 0.564 0.5868
2 Thematic 897 44.89% 38.62 -1.478 72.13% 0.061 0.4646
2 Top to Top 190 44.97% 30.82 -0.939 76.32% 0.22 0.0533
3 Archipelago 5 20.0% 47.6 0.0 80.0%
3 Coastline 9 22.22% 37.89 0.0 88.89%
3 Other 85 36.9% 33.52 0.818 83.53% 0.279 0.8193
3 Round (Default) 2357 31.77% 33.49 -0.166 80.06% 0.118 0.0023
3 Sunrise 8 28.57% 32.88 9.388 75.0% 0.667 0.947
3 Thematic 230 40.61% 38.56 -2.43 72.61% -0.215 -0.1351
4 Archipelago 9 33.33% 51.11 8.489 100.0% 0.308 -0.3669
4 Coastline 5 40.0% 28.4 0.0 40.0%
4 Leaf 9 11.11% 34.67 0.0 88.89%
4 Other 27 40.74% 33.63 9.782 81.48% 0.666 -0.4179
4 Thematic 206 39.51% 41.67 2.274 74.27% 0.217 -0.0456
4 Trapezoid (Default) 774 33.2% 33.51 -0.201 80.1% -0.127 -0.2101
5 Archipelago 5 40.0% 43.8 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 23 30.43% 35.26 5.253 78.26% 0.35 0.0653
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 31.25 -12.383 50.0% -0.203 -0.297
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 4 25.0% 28.0 -6.323 50.0% -0.732 -0.9651
6 Star 1 0.0% 37.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 32 18.75% 48.44 9.224 78.13% -0.162 0.2581
6 Two Centers (Default) 16 31.25% 28.81 -3.56 62.5% -0.471 -0.3666
7 Other 1 0.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1273 25.39 -1.669 55.54% -0.552 -0.3092
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1022 27.21 0.591 59.2% 0.313 0.236
All Things Weaken 541 26.06 -1.64 57.86% -0.433 -0.0403
Attenuated Essence 15 22.6 -1.033 53.33% -0.1 0.0068
Back Against the Wall 1003 25.88 0.925 55.73% 0.23 0.2872
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 14 14.21 -3.813 28.57% -0.493 -0.2915
Burn Brightest Before the End 17 25.47 0.44 58.82% -0.052 0.1581
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1152 22.63 -3.565 52.08% -0.691 -0.2676
Downward Spiral 3380 24.29 -1.783 58.11% -0.204 0.0313
Erosion of Will 1167 24.85 -0.356 53.64% -0.305 0.004
Intensifying Exploitation 15 29.33 2.339 66.67% 0.321 0.6083
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 213 32.43 0.297 86.38% -0.11 -0.6036
Memory Fades to Dust 3378 23.7 -2.08 53.32% -0.367 -0.031
Power Corrodes the Spirit 569 25.91 -1.243 60.81% -0.12 0.1001
Promising Farmlands 1199 23.71 -2.897 54.13% -0.422 0.031
Shattered Fragments of Power 10 22.3 -1.308 30.0% -0.739 -0.6884
Slow Dissolution of Will 17 29.53 0.157 76.47% 0.477 0.8762
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 158 32.88 -1.538 88.61% 0.23 -0.4804
The Border of Life and Death 4 34.5 3.782 75.0% 0.481 0.1455
Thriving Communities 461 24.62 -2.352 55.75% -0.515 -0.1518
Thriving Crops 7 21.0 -1.922 42.86% -0.4 -0.5975
Tipping Point 493 24.87 0.0 55.98%
Unnatural Proliferation 583 25.99 -0.313 54.2% -0.211 0.0043
Untended Land Crumbles 534 25.54 0.248 59.74% 0.393 0.6744

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9583 41.08% 31.58 0.488 75.78% 0.046 0.7862
B 9831 38.4% 32.05 -0.387 77.28% -0.18 0.5453
C 9959 38.65% 32.14 -0.087 77.36% -0.158 0.4243
D 9463 39.98% 31.9 -0.718 77.28% -0.161 0.5503
E 2922 38.75% 32.77 1.06 79.23% 0.128 0.6937
F 3955 38.48% 32.5 0.226 79.01% -0.06 0.6104
G 3791 41.8% 32.04 0.958 77.08% 0.251 0.9028
H 3998 37.39% 32.56 -0.836 78.26% -0.202 0.3689
East 2830 44.46% 39.12 1.625 72.51% -0.16 0.3792
Northeast 1575 43.69% 39.48 2.543 73.46% 0.275 0.9097
Northwest 1304 43.28% 39.01 -1.211 73.16% -0.533 0.2762
Southeast 386 42.49% 36.13 -1.538 68.13% -0.31 0.3961
Southwest 357 49.3% 32.18 -1.301 64.99% -0.405 0.5844
West 2490 47.8% 37.43 -0.621 70.04% -0.316 0.5878

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 560 0.0% 27.14 -2.045 59.29% -0.477 0.2992
Not Using Events or Tokens 9028 41.85% 30.88 0.148 71.9% 0.09 0.4687
Skip Initial Invader Actions 597 12.67% 44.76 3.387 92.63% -0.058 -0.6756
Start of Game Growth 926 14.84% 42.94 4.593 91.68% 0.784 0.4351
Unlimited Undo 2893 34.94% 33.94 -0.498 82.37% 0.12 0.1134
Using Tokens but Not Events 3893 29.88% 34.31 0.414 82.46% 0.207 0.1968

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4138 20.4 26.37%
II 15980 31.01 68.04%
III 13876 34.76 86.14%
IV 8292 38.07 99.28%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.104 Win Model: 0.188
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 29741 42.55% 32.19 75.14%
2 8830 40.88% 32.45 77.3%
3 2622 31.47% 34.17 80.82%
4 1020 34.36% 35.19 79.02%
5 20 20.0% 34.0 70.0%
6 53 22.64% 41.13 71.7%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1086
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11616
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10267
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8138
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 619
Lose: Invader deck ran out 372
Lose: Adversary condition 2685
Win: Sacrifice victory 192
Lose: Scenario condition 389
Win: Scenario condition 850
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5776
Lose: Spirit destroyed 296

The Kingdom of England — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4951 34.03% 35.42 2.256 74.87% 0.597 0.4486
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2989 66.82% 30.75 -0.548 60.59% -0.096 0.035
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2521 43.67% 34.5 2.174 75.68% 0.631 0.4859
Downpour Drenches the World 308 28.76% 33.28 1.408 69.48% 0.185 0.364
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 347 35.84% 31.99 3.348 70.61% 0.879 0.1142
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3226 33.37% 37.17 2.013 78.89% 0.39 -0.1992
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2954 42.19% 36.59 2.224 78.84% 0.526 0.0288
Finder of Paths Unseen 105 56.19% 23.72 -2.579 40.95% -0.543 0.1208
Fractured Days Split the Sky 585 45.89% 35.49 -1.407 66.15% 0.017 0.6026
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 600 58.36% 34.11 0.807 71.83% 0.334 0.2391
Heart of the Wildfire 3613 82.4% 23.03 -4.289 43.92% -0.938 -0.6972
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9609 35.35% 35.25 1.738 78.09% 0.504 0.0622
Lightning's Swift Strike 4901 60.84% 30.18 -1.019 60.15% -0.076 0.107
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 145 51.03% 32.43 1.092 70.34% 0.555 0.068
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 526 48.19% 38.0 2.232 78.33% 0.578 0.41
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 347 53.03% 34.48 2.133 66.28% 0.181 0.068
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1820 57.25% 31.84 -1.547 67.25% -0.152 -0.2845
Many Minds Move as One 1115 35.37% 36.09 1.541 76.95% 0.406 0.1842
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5350 60.16% 33.02 0.432 69.4% 0.359 0.3168
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2319 48.7% 32.59 -0.145 69.21% 0.11 -0.0683
River Surges in Sunlight 5081 58.73% 31.31 -0.944 55.07% -0.218 -0.1476
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 518 58.03% 31.73 -5.012 55.21% -1.028 -0.7173
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 171 50.0% 32.42 -1.025 54.39% -0.577 -0.6907
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3589 44.53% 33.69 1.512 71.86% 0.421 0.1831
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2031 79.13% 24.69 -5.508 40.28% -1.417 -0.8875
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 20 45.0% 27.85 -0.382 50.0% -0.111 -0.1862
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 30 50.0% 30.43 -2.437 53.33% -0.661 -0.767
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 237 66.1% 30.93 1.388 64.56% 0.448 0.4295
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 144 78.47% 26.41 2.894 45.14% 0.043 0.2199
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3107 45.69% 34.47 -2.031 72.13% -0.345 -0.5348
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 61 36.07% 25.7 0.189 57.38% 0.344 -0.0375
Shifting Memory of Ages 659 58.27% 32.17 0.032 69.95% 0.136 0.4897
Shroud of Silent Mist 746 70.45% 29.06 -2.681 61.93% -0.47 -0.2197
Starlight Seeks its Form 680 48.66% 32.24 -1.43 67.94% -0.233 -0.4943
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2018 37.58% 33.79 2.537 79.68% 0.78 0.3033
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1395 65.71% 26.62 -3.067 48.75% -0.789 -0.7256
Thunderspeaker 4518 50.08% 33.83 -0.224 67.07% 0.012 -0.0224
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 48 41.67% 29.88 1.664 60.42% 0.465 0.4261
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1372 80.38% 29.19 0.851 66.25% 0.372 0.4648
Vital Strength of the Earth 4252 41.9% 30.8 -1.647 63.01% -0.218 0.307
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 82 48.75% 27.1 -2.869 54.88% -0.626 -0.3653
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 280 51.79% 27.0 -3.427 50.36% -0.753 0.0229
Volcano Looming High 1368 65.15% 29.35 -0.007 64.77% 0.178 0.1355

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 15 13.33% 24.73 -2.316 53.33% 0.106 -0.1497
Blitz 0 804 51.4% 29.57 -2.893 58.33% -0.757 -0.5594
Dahan Insurrection 4 550 41.24% 47.68 5.816 56.55% -0.425 -0.867
Despicable Theft 2 42 66.67% 29.02 -11.157 42.86% -1.136 -0.3235
Elemental Invocation 1 123 63.41% 28.52 -0.583 50.41% -0.423 0.2803
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2160 14.81% 39.06 5.129 73.94% 0.806 0.1618
Powers Long Forgotten 1 290 71.28% 29.76 -4.42 48.97% -0.59 0.0458
Rituals of Terror 3 189 61.9% 38.78 3.14 48.15% 0.037 0.1378
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 140 80.0% 37.03 2.509 47.86% -0.094 0.9149
Second Wave 0 1548 57.52% 31.23 -0.099 54.52% -0.473 -0.4071
The Great River 3 71 50.7% 34.94 -1.539 45.07% -0.166 1.051
Varied Terrains 2 18 83.33% 19.78 -3.99 11.11% -0.916 -0.2931
Ward the Shores 2 349 54.73% 34.68 0.38 47.85% -0.688 0.3964

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 38057 50.61% 31.96 -0.292 68.54% -0.015 0.0393
1 Thematic 2733 59.39% 34.12 0.322 53.79% -0.222 0.2556
2 Archipelago 19 42.11% 38.16 -10.821 36.84% -0.125 -0.0213
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7682 54.74% 31.31 -0.271 66.14% -0.11 -0.0278
2 Coastline 825 44.27% 34.06 0.571 75.27% 0.223 0.0689
2 Fragment 205 54.9% 30.92 3.089 62.93% 0.442 0.1933
2 Heart 120 56.67% 30.85 1.263 65.83% 0.322 0.0349
2 Opposite Shores 1600 50.35% 32.8 -0.155 70.06% -0.049 -0.0257
2 Thematic 1022 55.4% 34.78 -1.233 54.89% -1.054 -0.6506
2 Top to Top 237 59.07% 31.86 -0.505 68.35% 0.042 -0.1245
3 Archipelago 5 80.0% 39.6 0.0 60.0%
3 Coastline 7 28.57% 30.29 0.702 42.86% 0.256 -0.2575
3 Other 107 46.73% 34.32 15.446 73.83% 0.433 0.9741
3 Round (Default) 2771 48.14% 33.08 0.792 68.86% 0.095 -0.0205
3 Sunrise 10 40.0% 39.1 0.0 90.0%
3 Thematic 215 58.6% 37.15 2.435 53.95% 0.375 0.4552
4 Archipelago 5 60.0% 56.6 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 42.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 5 60.0% 26.2 0.0 60.0%
4 Other 54 62.96% 35.02 5.324 74.07% 0.112 -0.9722
4 Thematic 346 47.8% 36.93 1.916 56.36% 0.247 -0.0154
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1276 42.03% 34.04 0.198 69.98% -0.154 -0.2365
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 43 44.19% 38.7 -3.966 81.4% -0.968 -1.2532
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 7 42.86% 33.0 2.415 57.14% -0.13 -0.3634
6 Star 6 33.33% 35.67 5.808 66.67% 0.276 0.2635
6 Thematic 25 33.33% 41.72 -0.938 64.0% -0.232 0.1886
6 Two Centers (Default) 31 29.03% 38.71 2.381 77.42% -0.025 0.0788
7 Other 2 100.0% 24.5 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2224 27.12 0.372 53.73% 0.153 0.3954
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1834 29.33 -0.142 58.12% -0.385 -0.4623
All Things Weaken 1011 27.05 1.162 53.61% 0.179 0.5713
Attenuated Essence 22 25.64 1.184 54.55% 0.242 0.3488
Back Against the Wall 1738 27.84 0.884 52.7% -0.136 -0.0784
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 36 18.78 -2.019 33.33% -0.538 -0.3362
Burn Brightest Before the End 23 30.39 3.18 65.22% 0.465 0.6752
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2091 24.79 -0.242 51.36% 0.051 0.475
Downward Spiral 5104 25.23 -0.574 50.25% 0.025 0.2602
Erosion of Will 2065 26.31 1.268 50.27% 0.066 0.3755
Intensifying Exploitation 44 23.57 -0.856 47.73% -0.133 0.1542
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 406 35.12 0.488 82.51% -0.193 -0.687
Memory Fades to Dust 5286 24.92 -0.833 47.79% -0.074 0.2627
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1004 27.17 -0.081 56.27% -0.327 -0.1066
Promising Farmlands 2077 26.09 1.169 53.39% 0.162 0.6148
Shattered Fragments of Power 36 30.08 2.665 52.78% 0.054 0.1054
Slow Dissolution of Will 40 20.07 -1.567 37.5% -0.442 -0.0429
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 272 35.08 -1.648 80.88% 0.033 -0.6779
The Border of Life and Death 14 32.64 1.798 64.29% 0.291 -0.0444
Thriving Communities 960 24.63 -3.948 48.13% -0.955 -0.5922
Thriving Crops 21 21.9 -1.657 47.62% -0.2 -0.3977
Tipping Point 850 24.86 0.0 47.76%
Unnatural Proliferation 1095 27.36 0.244 52.51% -0.21 0.005
Untended Land Crumbles 971 26.21 -1.072 53.55% -0.569 -0.2875

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12325 52.88% 31.54 -0.139 66.04% -0.177 0.5632
B 13111 51.37% 31.74 -0.828 66.71% -0.311 0.4144
C 14273 48.79% 32.75 0.67 69.33% -0.029 0.5529
D 11960 52.08% 31.82 -0.369 67.44% -0.079 0.6322
E 4529 47.79% 33.62 1.657 72.91% 0.228 0.7936
F 6318 49.78% 32.37 0.245 69.71% -0.085 0.5858
G 5600 51.27% 32.13 -0.852 69.18% -0.431 0.221
H 6069 46.82% 33.14 0.58 71.03% -0.042 0.5287
East 2816 55.44% 36.21 2.656 55.82% -0.044 0.4952
Northeast 1696 53.1% 36.32 1.38 54.66% -0.194 0.4404
Northwest 1351 56.96% 34.99 -0.774 54.26% -0.3 0.5091
Southeast 380 50.0% 34.64 -0.394 58.68% -0.331 0.3747
Southwest 343 52.07% 28.88 -1.74 49.56% -0.322 0.6679
West 2481 58.06% 33.77 -1.147 51.75% -0.418 0.4852

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 493 0.0% 28.46 -4.258 51.12% -1.186 -0.4101
Not Using Events or Tokens 8591 58.63% 28.56 -1.434 54.22% -0.493 -0.1137
Skip Initial Invader Actions 644 19.66% 44.87 3.91 84.01% 1.035 0.4174
Start of Game Growth 1015 20.85% 43.48 1.34 85.52% 0.03 -0.3189
Unlimited Undo 4168 47.81% 33.83 -1.124 72.24% -0.336 -0.3421
Using Tokens but Not Events 5546 41.69% 34.15 0.944 75.3% 0.226 0.2154

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8488 20.4 6.54%
II 17734 31.01 53.43%
III 18815 34.76 86.7%
IV 12409 38.07 99.37%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.284 Win Model: 0.198
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 40935 51.19% 32.11 67.55%
2 11659 53.6% 32.04 66.34%
3 3084 48.95% 33.32 67.74%
4 1678 43.44% 34.82 68.0%
5 19 36.84% 31.11 52.63%
6 71 34.29% 38.55 67.61%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 553
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 15970
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9116
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 12204
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 869
Lose: Invader deck ran out 431
Lose: Adversary condition 6324
Win: Sacrifice victory 220
Lose: Scenario condition 711
Win: Scenario condition 611
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9907
Lose: Spirit destroyed 530

The Kingdom of England — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5514 43.59% 37.67 1.582 60.07% 0.458 0.31
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2896 75.33% 32.43 -2.127 45.79% -0.449 -0.3181
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2415 59.28% 35.33 1.113 57.06% 0.323 0.1784
Downpour Drenches the World 318 44.3% 33.3 1.275 48.74% 0.201 0.3798
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 470 45.74% 33.64 2.696 57.87% 0.518 -0.2468
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3096 43.73% 39.82 4.027 65.44% 0.844 0.2553
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3636 50.17% 40.0 3.719 66.5% 0.684 0.1877
Finder of Paths Unseen 110 57.27% 24.23 -5.93 29.09% -0.767 -0.1028
Fractured Days Split the Sky 748 51.75% 38.84 0.691 50.94% -0.12 0.4659
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 699 66.43% 35.41 0.141 51.79% -0.054 -0.1485
Heart of the Wildfire 3397 85.87% 23.71 -5.17 26.82% -1.296 -1.0549
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7627 52.8% 37.63 0.194 61.9% 0.026 -0.4158
Lightning's Swift Strike 5139 67.81% 32.2 -2.549 46.6% -0.405 -0.2217
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 280 63.08% 41.1 1.892 65.71% 0.228 -0.2584
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 449 56.92% 39.22 4.169 65.26% 1.082 0.9144
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 468 55.67% 37.13 -2.45 54.91% -0.287 -0.4
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2383 70.44% 33.26 -1.053 51.36% -0.139 -0.2709
Many Minds Move as One 981 43.57% 39.45 -1.196 65.34% -0.1 -0.3214
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6305 65.7% 36.46 1.36 58.64% 0.499 0.4571
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2398 57.64% 33.33 -0.108 49.92% -0.159 -0.3364
River Surges in Sunlight 5031 62.82% 34.5 0.123 45.48% -0.015 0.0553
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 499 68.74% 33.82 0.62 48.1% 0.312 0.622
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 191 54.01% 36.48 2.067 49.74% 0.225 0.112
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4481 51.68% 37.53 3.65 60.88% 0.678 0.4405
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1489 81.15% 25.31 -3.356 24.78% -0.705 -0.1759
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 27 59.26% 30.26 0.765 40.74% -0.09 -0.1653
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 40 67.5% 30.98 3.045 37.5% 0.151 0.045
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 220 75.91% 32.48 -2.302 47.73% -0.806 -0.8249
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 125 83.74% 28.08 -2.507 32.8% -0.046 0.1304
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3035 56.66% 35.48 -2.682 54.2% -0.238 -0.4282
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 74 45.95% 27.96 -0.803 47.3% -0.072 -0.4536
Shifting Memory of Ages 780 65.46% 35.01 -0.136 56.54% -0.046 0.3068
Shroud of Silent Mist 787 75.8% 32.37 0.021 50.32% 0.214 0.4639
Starlight Seeks its Form 1148 47.68% 35.26 -1.485 55.84% -0.001 -0.2626
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3299 45.77% 38.54 3.901 65.2% 1.056 0.579
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1118 71.88% 29.55 -4.464 38.37% -1.144 -1.0809
Thunderspeaker 5004 61.56% 35.84 -2.703 54.34% -0.371 -0.4051
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 49 55.1% 28.86 2.3 40.82% 0.367 0.3281
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1601 86.41% 33.0 0.318 55.72% 0.234 0.3269
Vital Strength of the Earth 3180 57.77% 31.01 -1.917 41.51% -0.307 0.2173
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 150 61.11% 30.95 -1.306 44.67% -0.366 -0.1054
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 235 67.66% 30.48 2.392 43.4% 0.205 0.9807
Volcano Looming High 1594 72.69% 32.21 -2.622 53.32% -0.403 -0.4462

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 33.33% 22.0 -6.531 33.33% -0.249 -0.5051
Blitz 0 559 49.81% 34.57 4.508 49.73% 0.198 0.3953
Dahan Insurrection 4 524 46.71% 49.69 2.547 45.8% -0.572 -1.0144
Despicable Theft 2 29 62.07% 31.38 -7.201 27.59% -0.856 -0.0434
Elemental Invocation 1 104 71.15% 33.89 -2.71 42.31% -0.254 0.4488
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2175 21.15% 41.76 5.948 60.97% 0.984 0.3395
Powers Long Forgotten 1 168 75.6% 31.87 -2.702 34.52% -0.761 -0.1257
Rituals of Terror 3 140 74.1% 38.16 0.0 32.86%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 49 91.84% 38.45 16.269 34.69% 0.529 1.5381
Second Wave 0 749 58.26% 35.15 -1.929 46.86% -0.99 -0.924
The Great River 3 53 54.72% 31.19 -12.967 24.53% -0.727 0.4902
Varied Terrains 2 9 55.56% 11.67 -13.187 0.0% -1.003 -0.3801
Ward the Shores 2 161 66.46% 36.91 -5.588 38.51% -0.409 0.6757

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 37195 63.49% 34.24 -0.808 54.22% -0.567 -0.5131
1 Thematic 1999 61.52% 38.41 -3.174 46.67% -1.223 -0.7456
2 Archipelago 18 44.44% 44.89 0.0 61.11%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7997 62.15% 34.17 -0.04 53.46% -0.232 -0.1505
2 Coastline 1030 58.9% 36.51 3.973 59.81% 0.372 0.2183
2 Fragment 193 64.77% 33.27 7.038 50.78% 0.659 0.4101
2 Heart 117 74.14% 34.74 7.528 54.7% 0.854 0.5671
2 Opposite Shores 1679 60.91% 34.31 0.903 51.76% -0.376 -0.3535
2 Thematic 669 65.91% 35.62 0.485 37.37% -0.837 -0.4334
2 Top to Top 317 59.37% 36.76 3.5 59.94% 0.409 0.2432
3 Archipelago 3 66.67% 31.67 0.0 33.33%
3 Coastline 11 45.45% 41.0 8.002 63.64% 0.172 -0.3417
3 Other 124 44.72% 39.87 1.298 67.74% -0.265 0.2755
3 Round (Default) 3311 55.27% 35.19 -0.204 54.36% -0.263 -0.3788
3 Sunrise 19 57.89% 42.63 -4.399 63.16% -1.243 -0.9635
3 Thematic 163 66.87% 34.65 -0.14 30.06% -0.329 -0.2491
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 30.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 3 33.33% 30.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Other 73 58.33% 35.49 7.272 57.53% 1.277 0.193
4 Snake 4 75.0% 32.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 330 49.7% 37.68 4.857 40.91% 0.88 0.6177
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1747 47.02% 37.9 0.82 57.99% 0.42 0.3374
5 Other 45 34.88% 43.98 1.957 64.44% 0.044 -0.2412
5 Thematic 4 75.0% 34.0 -1.844 50.0% -0.001 -0.0949
6 Archipelago 5 20.0% 44.2 0.0 60.0%
6 Other 16 25.0% 39.38 -7.662 43.75% -0.64 -0.8724
6 Star 10 50.0% 49.1 -16.933 60.0% -0.531 -0.5436
6 Thematic 45 35.56% 37.91 -3.26 17.78% -0.371 0.0499
6 Two Centers (Default) 55 40.0% 35.56 -4.166 52.73% 0.009 0.113
7 Other 1 100.0% 23.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2612 30.26 -0.449 42.15% -0.265 -0.0227
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2115 33.12 4.616 48.18% 0.835 0.7572
All Things Weaken 1336 32.0 2.002 47.75% 0.301 0.6937
Attenuated Essence 46 33.39 1.965 56.52% 0.359 0.4662
Back Against the Wall 2143 31.55 1.946 44.0% 0.496 0.5533
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 55 26.55 0.213 38.18% 0.04 0.242
Burn Brightest Before the End 30 32.1 2.689 46.67% 0.32 0.5307
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2545 28.06 0.287 41.14% 0.162 0.5858
Downward Spiral 5796 29.54 0.434 44.34% 0.184 0.42
Erosion of Will 2586 29.83 1.668 41.11% 0.196 0.5052
Intensifying Exploitation 48 25.65 -0.55 33.33% -0.416 -0.1282
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 437 39.3 3.107 69.34% 0.708 0.2138
Memory Fades to Dust 5815 29.37 0.769 42.1% 0.199 0.5349
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1303 30.84 2.879 46.43% 0.636 0.856
Promising Farmlands 2625 29.6 0.488 43.77% 0.187 0.64
Shattered Fragments of Power 44 34.45 5.203 52.27% 0.693 0.7441
Slow Dissolution of Will 54 23.81 -1.339 37.04% -0.204 0.1957
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 303 39.8 1.153 72.94% 0.044 -0.6672
The Border of Life and Death 12 27.42 3.429 50.0% 0.489 0.1531
Thriving Communities 1360 30.54 1.49 46.84% 0.416 0.7787
Thriving Crops 22 28.68 0.127 40.91% -0.287 -0.4845
Tipping Point 1031 28.72 0.0 41.22%
Unnatural Proliferation 1467 32.75 2.484 49.35% 0.297 0.5122
Untended Land Crumbles 1321 30.5 0.353 45.57% 0.024 0.3062

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 13031 60.99% 34.43 0.379 52.88% -0.071 0.6688
B 13734 60.92% 34.27 -0.23 52.65% -0.157 0.569
C 14754 60.28% 34.98 0.319 54.86% -0.103 0.479
D 12641 61.35% 34.48 -0.346 53.97% -0.215 0.4961
E 5270 56.28% 36.4 0.982 59.09% -0.122 0.4436
F 6691 60.72% 35.07 -0.016 56.05% -0.254 0.4168
G 5845 60.32% 34.95 0.557 55.09% -0.133 0.5186
H 6546 56.52% 35.78 -0.383 57.12% -0.328 0.2422
East 2026 59.25% 38.85 3.04 42.79% 0.798 1.3364
Northeast 1270 56.07% 39.22 1.102 41.5% -0.033 0.6017
Northwest 1053 58.49% 36.74 -0.902 39.89% -0.772 0.037
Southeast 338 58.86% 35.53 -3.467 36.09% -1.08 -0.3746
Southwest 311 57.89% 32.12 -4.008 36.01% -0.547 0.4426
West 1901 61.17% 35.6 -1.346 38.82% -0.959 -0.0556

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 509 0.0% 35.16 -5.515 49.9% -0.774 0.0021
Not Using Events or Tokens 7471 64.86% 31.95 -1.036 45.88% -0.118 0.2608
Skip Initial Invader Actions 915 15.97% 52.85 7.354 84.04% 0.429 -0.1888
Start of Game Growth 1442 21.85% 49.52 6.337 78.64% 0.969 0.62
Unlimited Undo 5221 55.98% 37.84 1.942 62.4% 0.521 0.5144
Using Tokens but Not Events 4775 54.13% 36.0 0.571 59.1% 0.165 0.1543

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9891 20.4 2.79%
II 16898 31.01 22.26%
III 16977 34.76 78.46%
IV 13440 38.07 99.43%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.287 Win Model: -0.081
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 39358 63.36% 34.48 53.88%
2 12012 62.07% 34.51 52.78%
3 3525 55.22% 35.38 54.5%
4 2157 47.46% 37.87 55.35%
5 23 36.36% 31.83 34.78%
6 131 36.64% 37.92 40.46%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 276
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13023
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3578
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 13210
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1094
Lose: Invader deck ran out 434
Lose: Adversary condition 10778
Win: Sacrifice victory 265
Lose: Scenario condition 939
Win: Scenario condition 369
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12598
Lose: Spirit destroyed 642

The Kingdom of England — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5142 40.21% 43.5 -0.124 64.02% 0.357 0.2092
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2783 69.41% 38.47 -5.484 52.71% -0.598 -0.4675
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2298 62.21% 38.32 -2.541 53.83% -0.259 -0.4034
Downpour Drenches the World 422 41.81% 36.14 -2.777 50.47% -0.144 0.0357
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 596 45.97% 37.34 3.634 59.9% 0.955 0.19
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2998 44.13% 44.87 0.746 68.65% 0.299 -0.2894
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6526 29.89% 51.02 3.845 82.61% 0.653 0.1559
Finder of Paths Unseen 135 44.44% 35.2 -3.642 46.67% -0.593 0.0711
Fractured Days Split the Sky 830 44.63% 45.85 -2.419 62.17% -0.441 0.1453
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 903 45.9% 44.7 -1.227 62.79% -0.029 -0.124
Heart of the Wildfire 3013 75.63% 31.65 -4.243 36.84% -0.68 -0.4383
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 16021 30.22% 48.17 2.688 76.12% 0.765 0.3234
Lightning's Swift Strike 4568 59.87% 38.14 -2.12 50.0% -0.247 -0.0639
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 392 54.76% 40.8 -0.741 60.71% 0.224 -0.2632
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 489 51.54% 46.3 1.793 72.6% 0.678 0.5106
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 456 46.93% 45.03 -3.937 64.69% -0.304 -0.4172
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2288 60.22% 40.37 -0.52 59.27% 0.038 -0.0946
Many Minds Move as One 1040 38.5% 46.9 1.112 73.94% 0.431 0.21
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5403 59.39% 42.07 0.681 61.78% 0.589 0.5462
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2526 54.74% 38.6 -0.56 53.21% 0.0 -0.1778
River Surges in Sunlight 4305 55.52% 40.71 -0.968 50.94% 0.232 0.3021
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 473 58.26% 38.26 -2.6 45.67% -0.505 -0.1948
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 316 27.39% 53.65 2.492 76.9% 0.202 0.0889
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6174 39.38% 45.73 1.168 70.59% 0.551 0.314
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1016 74.16% 30.99 -7.657 31.5% -1.051 -0.5214
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 21 71.43% 31.1 -2.595 38.1% -0.444 -0.5195
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 29 58.62% 37.62 -2.153 44.83% -0.532 -0.6375
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 208 82.69% 30.71 -6.253 31.73% -1.053 -1.0718
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 116 56.9% 43.08 7.628 58.62% 0.465 0.6415
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5359 31.17% 49.0 2.293 73.76% 0.555 0.3645
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 63 36.51% 33.1 -1.565 46.03% -0.104 -0.4854
Shifting Memory of Ages 930 61.61% 39.8 -1.028 56.45% -0.098 0.2553
Shroud of Silent Mist 698 69.84% 39.03 -1.788 57.59% -0.006 0.2445
Starlight Seeks its Form 1204 48.5% 41.2 -1.144 60.96% 0.116 -0.1455
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3315 39.61% 41.76 2.028 71.83% 0.847 0.3698
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 965 62.88% 36.0 -8.004 44.56% -0.737 -0.6743
Thunderspeaker 6144 42.74% 45.13 -2.524 64.7% -0.362 -0.3963
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 38 63.16% 26.92 -1.558 34.21% -0.14 -0.1789
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2208 81.14% 41.52 2.867 66.98% 0.941 1.0338
Vital Strength of the Earth 2233 53.27% 35.58 -5.739 42.99% -0.772 -0.2473
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 169 49.11% 38.82 2.699 49.7% 0.649 0.9095
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 323 53.56% 38.77 -5.895 55.11% -0.684 0.0926
Volcano Looming High 2025 70.43% 35.98 -0.963 52.2% 0.264 0.221

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 50.0% 48.25 3.274 87.5% 0.41 0.1541
Blitz 0 433 51.29% 39.77 3.011 53.12% -0.073 0.1245
Dahan Insurrection 4 373 44.2% 56.84 4.998 51.21% 0.364 -0.0779
Despicable Theft 2 14 71.43% 30.57 -12.084 35.71% -0.524 0.2879
Elemental Invocation 1 77 72.73% 40.55 -7.287 53.25% -0.767 -0.0642
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5837 9.22% 54.99 7.907 82.83% 1.174 0.5295
Powers Long Forgotten 1 122 73.77% 33.84 -6.96 31.15% -0.536 0.0998
Rituals of Terror 3 119 69.75% 43.71 2.762 35.29% 0.121 0.2217
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 96 88.54% 33.75 -15.722 20.83% -0.78 0.2291
Second Wave 0 412 53.64% 37.51 0.935 44.9% -0.285 -0.2187
The Great River 3 50 70.0% 30.68 -14.569 18.0% -0.919 0.2986
Varied Terrains 2 7 42.86% 35.14 -0.302 42.86% -0.042 0.5813
Ward the Shores 2 138 67.88% 41.94 0.0 41.3%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 42122 52.16% 41.42 -0.128 62.88% -0.068 -0.0142
1 Thematic 1357 62.9% 38.38 -5.853 38.32% -0.909 -0.4314
2 Archipelago 18 27.78% 50.11 19.205 61.11% 0.525 0.6288
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8670 53.72% 41.76 0.414 61.04% 0.08 0.1615
2 Coastline 1307 51.23% 43.78 -0.625 66.95% -0.157 -0.3107
2 Fragment 152 63.33% 36.78 11.431 49.34% 0.673 0.4236
2 Heart 151 58.28% 41.75 -0.307 60.26% -0.077 -0.364
2 Opposite Shores 1490 56.45% 39.57 -2.166 53.36% -0.317 -0.2941
2 Thematic 422 64.45% 39.05 -5.39 39.1% -1.59 -1.1864
2 Top to Top 280 59.78% 40.17 5.91 59.64% 1.065 0.8988
3 Archipelago 4 100.0% 72.25 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 20 73.68% 32.75 3.462 30.0% 0.002 -0.5118
3 Other 157 57.69% 42.52 -0.826 66.24% 0.136 0.6767
3 Round (Default) 2978 51.62% 41.59 2.029 60.85% 0.101 -0.0141
3 Sunrise 18 55.56% 37.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 89 58.43% 44.16 7.733 46.07% 0.495 0.5752
4 Archipelago 10 60.0% 46.3 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 17 70.59% 38.12 -12.388 58.82% -0.778 -1.1211
4 Other 72 63.89% 43.17 -6.879 66.67% -0.609 -1.6926
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 327 50.76% 50.13 2.461 59.63% 0.062 -0.2
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4129 18.41% 51.23 0.447 77.62% -0.282 -0.3643
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 38.5 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 80 24.05% 53.89 8.457 83.75% 0.939 0.6542
5 Thematic 5 0.0% 72.2 29.429 60.0% 0.648 0.5539
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 12 27.27% 38.67 4.057 25.0% -0.324 -0.557
6 Star 12 50.0% 40.33 23.745 50.0% 0.766 0.7533
6 Thematic 25 36.0% 42.88 -5.823 48.0% -0.548 -0.1275
6 Two Centers (Default) 42 21.43% 47.26 -13.431 73.81% -1.159 -1.055
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 74.0 0.0 50.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 96.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2555 34.45 -1.059 45.6% -0.202 0.0401
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2026 37.08 -0.119 50.59% -0.179 -0.2569
All Things Weaken 1384 35.64 -0.727 49.71% -0.253 0.1395
Attenuated Essence 49 27.33 -1.966 38.78% -0.336 -0.2294
Back Against the Wall 2016 36.15 0.805 47.77% -0.142 -0.0841
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 52 32.81 2.176 51.92% 0.55 0.7519
Burn Brightest Before the End 36 31.08 1.026 41.67% 0.089 0.2994
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2521 32.39 -1.931 44.47% -0.271 0.1531
Downward Spiral 4567 33.3 -0.46 44.8% -0.024 0.2115
Erosion of Will 2482 34.45 0.145 45.21% -0.013 0.2959
Intensifying Exploitation 57 29.6 -1.154 47.37% 0.011 0.2989
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 455 42.73 6.32 68.35% 1.11 0.6163
Memory Fades to Dust 4595 33.23 -1.276 43.5% -0.221 0.1156
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1344 34.78 -0.716 49.63% -0.26 -0.0396
Promising Farmlands 2448 33.44 -0.932 45.38% -0.218 0.2348
Shattered Fragments of Power 50 37.26 3.003 56.0% 0.315 0.3657
Slow Dissolution of Will 55 28.82 -0.331 36.36% -0.145 0.2542
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 375 44.79 7.648 74.13% 0.999 0.2882
The Border of Life and Death 16 32.25 -0.354 50.0% -0.063 -0.3984
Thriving Communities 1368 34.5 -1.471 48.76% -0.186 0.1767
Thriving Crops 35 38.74 5.805 60.0% 0.992 0.7939
Tipping Point 932 31.37 0.0 38.73%
Unnatural Proliferation 1443 36.28 2.429 50.1% 0.187 0.4023
Untended Land Crumbles 1382 34.97 0.524 49.64% 0.047 0.329

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 15211 45.98% 42.92 -0.899 62.99% -0.363 0.377
B 17260 44.12% 44.04 0.238 65.38% -0.239 0.4871
C 18118 45.67% 44.13 0.262 66.44% -0.181 0.4015
D 13079 51.45% 41.58 -0.148 61.55% -0.151 0.5607
E 6740 46.77% 43.28 2.157 65.92% 0.166 0.7312
F 8425 46.33% 43.11 -0.319 65.26% -0.275 0.3951
G 7362 47.51% 42.83 -0.267 64.41% -0.308 0.3433
H 7443 45.79% 43.87 1.339 66.68% -0.05 0.521
East 1476 58.11% 42.67 -0.452 43.83% -0.403 0.1355
Northeast 932 56.07% 43.55 -0.816 44.42% -0.407 0.2281
Northwest 762 60.76% 43.13 1.003 45.01% 0.18 0.9892
Southeast 204 50.25% 42.89 -2.967 51.47% -0.577 0.1289
Southwest 231 57.83% 36.37 -4.702 45.02% -0.636 0.3538
West 1309 63.0% 40.56 -1.182 42.4% -0.562 0.3421

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 290 0.0% 42.2 -4.028 60.69% -0.312 0.4638
Not Using Events or Tokens 6641 48.43% 41.52 -0.942 59.73% -0.224 0.155
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1016 15.46% 60.12 9.629 87.7% 1.483 0.8654
Start of Game Growth 1724 18.86% 54.99 3.532 80.45% -0.288 -0.6365
Unlimited Undo 5427 53.55% 42.74 -1.251 65.38% -0.186 -0.193
Using Tokens but Not Events 4601 40.04% 44.85 -3.038 67.12% -0.592 -0.6024

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10259 20.4 24.85%
II 17458 31.01 33.98%
III 19358 34.76 75.97%
IV 16921 38.07 99.69%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.403 Win Model: 0.029
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 43675 52.44% 41.36 62.21%
2 12402 54.67% 41.45 59.59%
3 3215 52.17% 41.56 60.22%
4 4578 21.48% 51.06 76.08%
5 31 30.0% 47.1 67.74%
6 95 29.03% 45.37 58.95%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2548
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14445
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5761
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16680
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1230
Lose: Invader deck ran out 86
Lose: Adversary condition 9981
Win: Sacrifice victory 327
Lose: Scenario condition 1102
Win: Scenario condition 294
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10939
Lose: Spirit destroyed 603

The Kingdom of England — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2056 46.8% 46.2 -0.919 49.27% -0.272 -0.42
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 759 80.96% 38.08 -4.772 35.84% -0.261 -0.1303
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 570 77.07% 31.54 -5.321 20.53% -1.177 -1.3213
Downpour Drenches the World 129 40.63% 35.27 1.395 34.88% 0.983 1.1619
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 359 74.09% 29.89 -0.299 28.41% 0.03 -0.7348
Eyes Watch From the Trees 930 60.95% 44.06 0.91 48.17% 0.631 0.0419
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1377 60.35% 46.15 1.501 52.0% 0.534 0.0373
Finder of Paths Unseen 51 60.78% 34.55 -2.283 31.37% -0.217 0.4468
Fractured Days Split the Sky 307 65.9% 48.1 -4.328 41.69% -0.75 -0.1637
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 205 87.8% 33.12 -4.376 26.83% -0.488 -0.5831
Heart of the Wildfire 999 86.95% 26.17 -7.239 13.31% -0.989 -0.748
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4181 55.06% 46.03 -0.631 54.89% 0.285 -0.1567
Lightning's Swift Strike 2319 64.36% 41.83 -1.015 39.84% 0.037 0.2197
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 216 75.0% 43.88 3.09 40.74% 0.844 0.3574
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 156 66.67% 47.4 4.128 58.33% 0.864 0.6966
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 153 66.67% 42.25 -0.579 47.06% 0.428 0.3143
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 843 76.32% 38.44 -2.284 35.82% -0.163 -0.2948
Many Minds Move as One 300 48.67% 49.72 2.224 61.67% 0.398 0.1768
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2618 65.31% 46.25 1.672 54.43% 0.839 0.797
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 734 62.74% 37.38 -5.657 31.61% -0.864 -1.0417
River Surges in Sunlight 1520 53.43% 45.55 2.251 44.08% 0.394 0.4642
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 98 72.16% 35.45 -6.845 20.41% -1.283 -0.9722
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 35 65.71% 47.06 2.894 34.29% 0.235 0.1212
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1701 62.02% 44.1 3.478 49.21% 1.121 0.8839
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 402 83.46% 31.36 -3.551 17.41% -0.491 0.0382
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 7 71.43% 26.71 3.388 14.29% 0.056 -0.0187
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 1 100.0% 25.0 2.73 0.0% -0.042 -0.1474
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 45 77.78% 36.29 -5.071 31.11% -0.093 -0.1118
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 39 82.05% 35.69 -12.618 30.77% -0.123 0.0537
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1369 55.78% 47.44 -7.076 52.52% -0.66 -0.8501
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 28 53.57% 28.14 -4.026 17.86% -0.568 -0.9495
Shifting Memory of Ages 292 73.63% 42.89 0.463 43.49% 0.084 0.4377
Shroud of Silent Mist 236 85.65% 35.47 -5.051 32.63% -0.841 -0.5906
Starlight Seeks its Form 395 65.82% 39.75 -0.856 41.52% 0.395 0.1337
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3741 28.18% 51.17 8.477 75.76% 1.902 1.4248
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 364 77.75% 32.15 -2.164 19.78% -0.219 -0.1564
Thunderspeaker 1555 72.65% 38.51 -2.416 33.95% 0.314 0.2804
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 27 66.67% 32.93 -0.424 33.33% -0.114 -0.1531
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 943 86.32% 42.43 -4.557 52.81% -0.207 -0.1143
Vital Strength of the Earth 881 54.97% 40.24 -3.826 34.73% -0.571 -0.046
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 27 62.96% 43.52 2.113 40.74% 0.24 0.5008
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 85 74.12% 34.01 -0.503 30.59% 0.171 0.9472
Volcano Looming High 520 89.23% 30.87 -1.819 24.04% -0.034 -0.0766

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 0.0 -9.254 0.0% -0.042 -0.2975
Blitz 0 241 53.78% 38.49 -3.518 40.66% -0.401 -0.2035
Dahan Insurrection 4 205 73.53% 44.37 -11.411 16.59% -0.229 -0.6714
Despicable Theft 2 14 100.0% 39.93 9.905 28.57% 0.52 1.3326
Elemental Invocation 1 31 74.19% 31.16 -4.421 16.13% -0.567 0.1361
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1139 19.54% 53.55 8.679 60.4% 0.991 0.3465
Powers Long Forgotten 1 60 85.0% 36.63 -7.192 23.33% -0.526 0.1096
Rituals of Terror 3 64 79.69% 82.56 22.933 54.69% 0.821 0.9222
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 20 75.0% 42.35 0.0 25.0%
Second Wave 0 184 66.67% 37.72 2.951 31.52% 0.606 0.6719
The Great River 3 4 25.0% 27.25 -12.691 25.0% -0.302 0.9151
Varied Terrains 2 3 100.0% 24.0 -0.47 0.0% -0.265 0.3579
Ward the Shores 2 57 62.5% 47.33 0.0 35.09%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 16850 61.28% 41.77 -0.154 48.77% 0.449 0.503
1 Thematic 1077 72.96% 40.68 -3.752 31.57% -0.835 -0.3576
2 Archipelago 10 100.0% 55.8 0.0 20.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2489 71.73% 39.31 -2.502 39.65% -0.533 -0.451
2 Coastline 290 69.12% 42.57 -0.016 47.59% -0.422 -0.5756
2 Fragment 92 77.17% 38.82 1.556 38.04% 0.208 -0.0413
2 Heart 80 86.25% 35.11 2.641 32.5% 0.134 -0.1529
2 Opposite Shores 581 69.27% 40.07 1.178 39.24% -0.149 -0.1258
2 Thematic 180 68.33% 46.92 -8.296 31.11% -0.383 0.0206
2 Top to Top 92 60.87% 45.5 0.0 51.09%
3 Archipelago 9 88.89% 110.78 21.371 66.67% 0.022 -1.5271
3 Coastline 4 75.0% 33.75 0.0 25.0%
3 Other 53 77.36% 50.49 6.018 67.92% 0.403 0.9441
3 Round (Default) 990 68.48% 37.77 -2.762 36.26% -0.967 -1.0827
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 42.0 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 45 68.89% 44.93 6.944 33.33% -0.016 0.0642
4 Archipelago 5 100.0% 43.0 0.0 20.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -7.612 0.0% -0.198 0.0329
4 Leaf 7 85.71% 36.57 1.545 28.57% -0.146 -0.489
4 Other 23 82.61% 46.74 14.89 60.87% 0.785 -0.2988
4 Thematic 227 21.59% 65.02 -8.297 70.93% -0.529 -0.7913
4 Trapezoid (Default) 827 32.04% 52.28 4.492 60.34% 0.093 0.0107
5 Other 21 41.67% 63.24 4.785 66.67% 0.058 -0.2265
5 Thematic 21 47.62% 68.95 11.958 57.14% 0.215 0.1212
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 70.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 7 0.0% 45.0 -6.912 42.86% -0.054 -0.2871
6 Star 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 37 16.22% 71.27 9.918 67.57% 0.215 0.6351
6 Two Centers (Default) 4 100.0% 44.5 0.0 50.0%
7 Archipelago 2 50.0% 146.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1159 36.94 3.951 34.77% 0.453 0.6956
Aid From Lesser Spirits 933 39.56 5.916 39.34% 0.976 0.898
All Things Weaken 609 36.65 -0.167 35.14% -0.24 0.1525
Attenuated Essence 32 25.25 -1.62 25.0% -0.013 0.0936
Back Against the Wall 839 37.87 5.337 35.52% 0.598 0.6554
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 31 34.23 3.228 35.48% 0.577 0.779
Burn Brightest Before the End 21 26.05 -1.183 14.29% -0.622 -0.412
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1113 35.23 2.52 35.49% 0.648 1.0712
Downward Spiral 2194 34.75 0.451 32.36% 0.194 0.4293
Erosion of Will 1271 35.36 1.755 32.1% 0.209 0.5184
Intensifying Exploitation 34 22.21 -3.113 14.71% -0.838 -0.5504
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 182 44.66 -1.852 54.95% -0.175 -0.6687
Memory Fades to Dust 2137 33.85 1.51 28.87% 0.19 0.5269
Power Corrodes the Spirit 603 37.13 3.333 36.98% 0.401 0.6211
Promising Farmlands 1140 35.43 -1.408 33.95% -0.515 -0.062
Shattered Fragments of Power 30 34.8 3.967 36.67% 0.658 0.7091
Slow Dissolution of Will 28 37.0 3.566 39.29% 0.512 0.9108
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 150 51.19 13.739 66.67% 1.204 0.4932
The Border of Life and Death 5 45.0 3.567 60.0% -0.029 -0.3641
Thriving Communities 600 36.26 0.355 37.0% -0.093 0.2702
Thriving Crops 14 40.64 6.223 64.29% 1.251 1.0528
Tipping Point 470 35.04 0.0 31.91%
Unnatural Proliferation 692 39.52 3.402 40.03% 0.414 0.6288
Untended Land Crumbles 635 35.78 2.294 35.59% 0.201 0.4829

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4366 66.63% 39.99 -2.968 40.79% -0.688 0.0519
B 5737 60.83% 41.93 -0.758 44.8% 0.014 0.7398
C 8313 51.06% 46.39 4.645 58.86% 0.53 1.112
D 4255 67.18% 41.27 0.333 43.69% 0.103 0.8143
E 1997 66.92% 39.95 0.155 42.11% 0.064 0.6298
F 2277 66.61% 39.79 -1.344 41.11% -0.285 0.385
G 1976 68.44% 39.58 0.19 40.44% -0.035 0.6166
H 2097 65.29% 40.02 -1.556 40.92% -0.298 0.2729
East 1081 58.98% 48.84 -0.652 40.43% -0.549 -0.0097
Northeast 655 52.82% 50.57 6.149 41.98% 0.115 0.7499
Northwest 490 47.35% 54.6 1.923 52.45% -0.084 0.7256
Southeast 152 40.13% 54.25 0.986 48.68% -0.371 0.3347
Southwest 148 41.89% 50.95 -1.668 48.65% -0.553 0.4366
West 818 55.26% 50.74 0.961 46.21% 0.039 0.9425

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 93 0.0% 59.04 25.856 64.52% 0.784 1.5602
Not Using Events or Tokens 2182 67.94% 37.68 -5.32 33.78% -0.673 -0.2939
Skip Initial Invader Actions 536 19.07% 65.08 10.32 79.66% 1.705 1.0878
Start of Game Growth 963 20.31% 61.82 6.218 73.62% 0.072 -0.2764
Unlimited Undo 1914 61.75% 45.2 0.007 51.52% 0.24 0.2337
Using Tokens but Not Events 1462 59.82% 41.31 -2.709 40.63% -0.665 -0.6758

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5135 20.4 5.51%
II 6615 31.01 13.05%
III 4579 34.76 52.37%
IV 7706 38.07 99.79%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.709 Win Model: 0.36
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 18008 62.05% 41.78 47.75%
2 3789 71.11% 40.07 40.04%
3 1082 69.59% 38.33 36.32%
4 1088 30.34% 54.96 62.5%
5 19 50.0% 64.32 57.89%
6 49 18.75% 71.47 71.43%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 283
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2334
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 825
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7602
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 503
Lose: Invader deck ran out 40
Lose: Adversary condition 5452
Win: Sacrifice victory 119
Lose: Scenario condition 397
Win: Scenario condition 71
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6096
Lose: Spirit destroyed 313

The Kingdom of England — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 9337 41.53% 48.58 -1.259 46.36% 0.394 0.2457
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5605 79.05% 38.56 -2.423 30.72% 0.015 0.1456
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2326 67.16% 35.25 -2.94 21.8% -0.672 -0.8171
Downpour Drenches the World 819 37.87% 40.53 -0.451 35.29% 0.211 0.3901
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1239 56.38% 26.68 0.152 24.29% 0.394 -0.371
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4654 59.6% 46.97 2.663 44.52% 0.809 0.2206
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 8540 53.16% 50.41 2.72 53.22% 0.791 0.2947
Finder of Paths Unseen 318 47.17% 42.19 -2.775 37.11% -0.491 0.1727
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2600 47.35% 54.4 -0.486 50.42% 0.226 0.8124
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1100 79.07% 33.58 -3.045 20.45% -0.227 -0.3219
Heart of the Wildfire 3974 79.41% 31.73 -5.739 18.17% -0.825 -0.5836
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 23667 46.83% 49.96 2.553 55.35% 0.861 0.4192
Lightning's Swift Strike 12676 62.34% 44.59 -1.258 41.05% 0.067 0.2498
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 2013 64.73% 41.62 1.232 37.06% 0.407 -0.0799
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 2272 58.01% 48.12 4.96 50.84% 1.356 1.1883
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1333 52.74% 50.79 0.9 53.19% 0.509 0.3959
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4347 70.3% 39.55 -3.455 34.6% -0.31 -0.4422
Many Minds Move as One 1980 49.39% 55.21 2.906 64.04% 0.541 0.3199
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 20902 58.6% 51.19 0.989 53.0% 0.543 0.5008
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2620 53.7% 40.49 -6.588 34.16% -1.339 -1.5166
River Surges in Sunlight 7607 53.34% 50.33 6.477 43.16% 0.768 0.8377
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 882 49.77% 42.85 -7.237 30.95% -1.686 -1.3754
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 396 58.99% 42.05 -0.796 27.02% -0.272 -0.3854
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 12705 43.71% 53.36 2.134 58.16% 1.017 0.7798
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3434 66.47% 39.61 -1.723 29.06% -0.676 -0.1466
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 22 77.27% 38.82 -6.684 36.36% -0.02 -0.0948
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 87 77.01% 32.25 -3.132 20.69% -0.173 -0.2786
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 322 74.84% 36.32 -9.99 23.6% -0.513 -0.5312
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 288 73.96% 38.25 -6.268 27.78% -0.565 -0.388
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5835 49.63% 50.35 -0.883 52.13% 0.385 0.1946
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 211 50.71% 26.08 -1.444 23.22% 0.222 -0.159
Shifting Memory of Ages 1613 58.56% 46.33 -0.833 42.53% 0.415 0.768
Shroud of Silent Mist 1089 80.48% 39.52 -2.151 35.81% 0.046 0.2964
Starlight Seeks its Form 2949 51.29% 45.79 0.872 45.34% 0.73 0.4691
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 10070 43.57% 43.97 3.232 49.84% 1.107 0.6294
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1952 66.49% 38.94 -5.233 28.84% -0.732 -0.6692
Thunderspeaker 7538 65.6% 41.51 -4.593 28.47% -0.469 -0.5029
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 114 42.98% 21.04 -2.235 20.18% 0.267 0.2273
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3917 81.44% 43.61 -0.759 45.88% 0.343 0.4362
Vital Strength of the Earth 3968 45.9% 43.38 -3.343 33.17% -0.479 0.0459
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 311 41.88% 35.8 -6.471 26.69% -0.787 -0.5266
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 387 66.15% 32.55 -2.565 16.28% -1.288 -0.5121
Volcano Looming High 3202 78.84% 33.42 -1.732 22.8% -0.364 -0.407

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 22.22% 43.89 4.979 33.33% 0.779 0.5231
Blitz 0 1423 43.31% 46.92 6.516 45.68% 0.777 0.9738
Dahan Insurrection 4 2483 67.21% 47.93 2.216 14.66% -0.356 -0.7986
Despicable Theft 2 50 58.0% 38.72 -10.719 28.0% -0.283 0.5289
Elemental Invocation 1 126 69.92% 40.08 3.692 24.6% -0.143 0.5597
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 16160 23.07% 55.69 8.487 55.43% 1.341 0.6968
Powers Long Forgotten 1 167 87.43% 32.03 -6.354 11.38% -0.251 0.3841
Rituals of Terror 3 582 67.24% 102.52 23.267 58.93% 2.593 2.6943
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 107 87.85% 32.79 -11.487 7.48% -0.125 0.884
Second Wave 0 309 62.17% 42.9 -5.104 37.22% -0.716 -0.6497
The Great River 3 37 43.24% 38.05 -3.896 21.62% -0.415 0.8026
Varied Terrains 2 99 56.57% 17.06 -5.853 3.03% -2.357 -1.7337
Ward the Shores 2 247 71.9% 45.04 -2.123 30.36% -1.063 0.0217

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 96119 61.4% 43.36 -0.354 42.56% -0.646 -0.5923
1 Thematic 6382 59.47% 45.89 0.667 24.95% -1.129 -0.6517
2 Archipelago 37 67.57% 79.05 -14.537 40.54% -0.134 -0.0296
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10155 67.39% 42.35 -1.167 39.22% -1.197 -1.1149
2 Coastline 2226 60.46% 39.65 -3.833 35.53% -1.412 -1.5662
2 Fragment 204 67.16% 42.07 7.664 37.25% 0.042 -0.2072
2 Heart 191 67.54% 50.71 3.709 58.12% 0.332 0.0449
2 Opposite Shores 3168 53.72% 45.94 -1.255 41.92% -1.331 -1.3077
2 Thematic 1997 38.36% 70.76 10.177 53.58% 0.404 0.8075
2 Top to Top 645 58.91% 48.04 -0.272 51.16% -0.843 -1.0096
3 Archipelago 25 44.0% 62.96 24.633 56.0% 0.512 -1.0372
3 Coastline 26 52.0% 52.88 12.144 57.69% 0.009 -0.505
3 Other 283 62.54% 52.25 9.397 60.78% 1.059 1.6
3 Round (Default) 5453 51.33% 47.07 -2.764 48.23% -1.93 -2.0452
3 Sunrise 15 40.0% 50.8 -12.41 60.0% -0.28 -0.0005
3 Thematic 148 43.54% 72.44 16.587 44.59% 0.873 0.9532
4 Archipelago 12 66.67% 69.33 23.558 58.33% 0.717 0.0425
4 Coastline 31 9.68% 45.13 0.0 35.48%
4 Leaf 18 33.33% 50.94 0.0 44.44%
4 Other 182 52.49% 55.13 11.268 65.93% 0.507 -0.5769
4 Thematic 1599 23.83% 68.56 5.157 69.73% -0.334 -0.5966
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3217 37.25% 54.14 1.98 59.68% -0.446 -0.5289
5 Archipelago 7 57.14% 65.0 23.961 57.14% 0.337 -0.579
5 Coastline 16 12.5% 58.5 0.154 81.25% -0.456 -1.1075
5 Other 89 41.46% 64.46 17.608 76.4% 0.706 0.4213
5 Thematic 65 18.46% 78.32 -2.065 86.15% 0.09 -0.004
6 Archipelago 12 16.67% 73.58 7.329 83.33% -0.014 0.1374
6 Coastline 3 0.0% 11.33 -16.117 0.0% -0.633 -1.434
6 Other 95 17.89% 59.08 16.285 65.26% 1.762 1.529
6 Star 23 39.13% 54.61 3.713 60.87% -0.163 -0.176
6 Thematic 225 11.11% 55.28 -4.715 56.44% -0.886 -0.4655
6 Two Centers (Default) 262 13.74% 51.52 -4.253 49.24% -2.222 -2.1176
7 Archipelago 3 100.0% 84.0 27.553 33.33% 1.01 0.9911

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 6215 38.87 1.606 33.05% 0.11 0.3519
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5169 42.22 6.316 38.52% 0.851 0.7734
All Things Weaken 3397 37.44 1.48 30.2% -0.323 0.0691
Attenuated Essence 177 30.43 3.348 29.94% 0.481 0.5882
Back Against the Wall 4876 41.09 3.815 36.01% 0.188 0.246
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 151 27.19 0.771 21.85% 0.01 0.2116
Burn Brightest Before the End 127 37.28 5.537 31.5% 0.436 0.6463
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5914 36.58 0.35 31.59% -0.208 0.2153
Downward Spiral 10913 38.08 1.949 30.53% 0.093 0.3285
Erosion of Will 6047 37.75 2.049 30.59% 0.013 0.3225
Intensifying Exploitation 167 31.44 2.451 32.34% 0.463 0.7509
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1146 47.07 2.325 47.91% 0.15 -0.3442
Memory Fades to Dust 10860 37.32 2.188 27.62% 0.031 0.3671
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3373 38.14 2.221 32.32% 0.187 0.4078
Promising Farmlands 5936 38.05 0.493 32.72% -0.209 0.244
Shattered Fragments of Power 114 35.97 5.29 31.58% 0.462 0.5126
Slow Dissolution of Will 163 30.29 2.871 24.54% 0.175 0.5747
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 713 50.61 7.481 55.12% 0.676 -0.035
The Border of Life and Death 36 39.42 4.905 41.67% 0.505 0.1699
Thriving Communities 3544 38.09 -0.289 32.76% -0.398 -0.0349
Thriving Crops 53 28.83 1.785 28.3% 0.206 0.0082
Tipping Point 2148 36.92 0.0 30.4%
Unnatural Proliferation 3740 39.88 3.423 33.56% 0.221 0.4361
Untended Land Crumbles 3504 37.58 0.977 31.62% -0.188 0.094

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 25511 57.15% 44.79 -0.932 43.59% -0.796 -0.0563
B 28179 58.26% 44.41 0.024 43.27% -0.578 0.1482
C 31900 59.25% 45.55 0.02 45.98% -0.565 0.0172
D 23166 61.35% 44.23 -1.299 43.9% -0.761 -0.0499
E 15000 57.12% 43.85 -0.344 43.19% -0.502 0.0629
F 13956 58.15% 44.65 -0.591 43.75% -0.862 -0.1912
G 12663 57.16% 44.33 -0.042 43.32% -0.546 0.1057
H 12993 54.41% 45.96 0.896 46.33% -0.602 -0.0318
East 7692 45.41% 57.91 3.606 41.73% -0.803 -0.2637
Northeast 5241 40.07% 58.2 -0.574 44.3% -0.786 -0.1508
Northwest 3188 30.86% 63.34 0.539 56.56% -1.052 -0.2431
Southeast 904 42.15% 54.47 3.28 43.36% -0.109 0.5964
Southwest 637 28.89% 56.44 -1.993 54.47% -0.559 0.4304
West 5386 41.12% 60.09 4.104 47.94% -0.598 0.3059

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1087 0.0% 48.11 -5.424 47.47% -0.908 -0.132
Not Using Events or Tokens 12338 60.28% 42.98 0.841 28.89% -0.003 0.3757
Skip Initial Invader Actions 7058 15.6% 68.41 5.342 80.93% 0.932 0.3145
Start of Game Growth 8384 18.76% 66.51 4.476 77.97% 0.406 0.057
Unlimited Undo 17786 41.14% 59.14 0.846 71.61% 0.367 0.3607
Using Tokens but Not Events 8724 54.98% 46.56 -1.398 43.49% -0.464 -0.4745

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 41446 20.4 8.34%
II 38419 31.01 24.79%
III 21244 34.76 56.77%
IV 31920 38.07 99.68%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.062 Win Model: 0.537
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 103458 61.33% 43.86 41.72%
2 17964 60.48% 44.58 40.44%
3 5890 51.59% 47.87 49.0%
4 5045 32.8% 58.64 62.85%
5 47 23.26% 58.81 63.83%
6 625 14.4% 54.94 55.84%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3441
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11615
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8947
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 31215
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4026
Lose: Invader deck ran out 191
Lose: Adversary condition 33519
Win: Sacrifice victory 1083
Lose: Scenario condition 5324
Win: Scenario condition 560
Lose: Blight pool ran out 31377
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1731

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-12-12 04:02:30 (Pacific Time)