The Kingdom of England — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 9029 22.46% 24.53 1.202 79.55% 0.313 0.2057
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 134 12.69% 23.34 3.987 68.66% 1.179 0.6908
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4985 43.04% 22.21 -0.345 72.38% -0.126 0.0172
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 354 34.18% 20.41 -0.424 48.31% -0.218 -0.9668
Dances Up Earthquakes 43 11.63% 22.63 1.966 74.42% 0.687 0.5099
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3794 25.86% 25.42 1.516 83.53% 0.398 0.191
Downpour Drenches the World 690 23.43% 19.56 -1.452 59.86% -0.239 0.0815
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 762 18.49% 22.87 0.555 66.01% 0.339 -0.1016
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5196 14.82% 28.19 1.83 88.28% 0.57 0.2264
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4288 18.74% 27.57 1.024 87.94% 0.275 -0.0793
Finder of Paths Unseen 315 30.57% 13.3 -3.43 37.14% -1.21 -0.426
Fractured Days Split the Sky 929 30.27% 23.38 -2.852 61.79% -0.706 -0.2584
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1147 34.18% 23.22 -5.143 67.31% -1.299 -1.3225
Heart of the Wildfire 4889 58.71% 20.34 -1.32 68.5% -0.212 0.1153
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7856 25.83% 25.56 0.253 83.18% -0.043 -0.5381
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 187 19.79% 23.9 3.239 65.24% 0.23 -0.3325
Lightning's Swift Strike 8527 43.47% 21.87 0.23 71.89% 0.357 0.555
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 285 32.38% 26.72 4.478 72.28% 0.583 0.1349
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 645 22.83% 28.11 1.659 83.88% 0.45 0.1307
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 494 35.57% 25.8 0.958 75.91% 0.224 0.3488
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2308 29.55% 25.17 0.498 77.43% 0.181 0.0252
Many Minds Move as One 1530 22.63% 24.78 0.349 77.06% 0.184 -0.0229
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8116 40.16% 22.92 0.786 74.63% 0.269 0.3982
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 76 43.42% 18.07 -0.391 63.16% 0.006 0.1111
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3502 29.18% 24.07 -1.41 79.44% -0.248 -0.2976
River Surges in Sunlight 9210 37.49% 23.85 0.284 69.39% 0.043 0.0765
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 81 23.75% 19.22 -2.396 56.79% -0.537 -0.3283
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 852 36.08% 21.67 -1.663 55.75% -0.894 -0.7426
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 324 31.25% 24.13 -1.208 59.57% -0.957 -0.9481
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4537 31.68% 23.59 0.611 77.52% 0.215 0.1164
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 14 7.14% 23.14 1.853 78.57% 0.585 0.0943
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4994 53.63% 20.4 -2.428 64.72% -0.61 -0.0979
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 110 26.67% 23.35 2.711 66.36% 0.317 0.2737
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 138 18.12% 29.76 4.749 84.06% 0.682 0.2334
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 95 26.32% 23.61 2.018 63.16% -0.208 -0.1495
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 561 29.46% 24.86 1.947 81.11% 0.709 0.519
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 349 41.33% 22.91 1.56 71.35% 0.211 0.2945
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5202 24.95% 26.56 1.756 83.68% 0.204 0.1064
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 253 21.49% 21.66 0.127 60.87% 0.109 -0.085
Shifting Memory of Ages 994 36.35% 20.74 1.993 62.17% 0.447 0.8362
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 86 24.42% 19.38 2.14 58.14% 0.59 0.5384
Shroud of Silent Mist 1188 40.52% 21.15 -1.794 69.7% -0.476 -0.0618
Starlight Seeks its Form 1489 26.31% 22.83 0.056 62.53% 0.044 0.0042
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2500 25.83% 23.18 -0.241 77.76% 0.394 -0.1087
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2680 29.48% 23.66 0.16 74.74% 0.203 0.2863
Thunderspeaker 8855 24.98% 26.02 -0.188 80.07% -0.263 -0.2691
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 190 24.74% 18.77 -1.79 48.42% -0.282 0.1068
Towering Roots of the Jungle 216 26.98% 18.35 -1.333 57.41% -0.27 -0.0592
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1578 54.59% 19.6 -3.725 66.67% -0.856 -0.7789
Vital Strength of the Earth 6848 28.46% 20.6 -0.94 67.0% -0.196 0.2529
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 304 31.77% 20.51 -2.106 54.28% -0.711 -0.2165
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 440 28.7% 19.52 -1.409 58.18% -0.221 0.4713
Volcano Looming High 1515 37.64% 22.03 -1.501 72.48% 0.029 0.0931
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 322 16.82% 23.67 0.967 68.01% 0.316 0.0667

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 32 28.13% 23.81 4.642 71.88% -0.231 -0.7895
Blitz 0 1371 37.83% 18.87 -3.286 61.71% -0.552 -0.1291
Dahan Insurrection 4 1125 21.67% 42.77 6.448 73.51% 0.069 -0.4132
Despicable Theft 2 232 30.6% 23.54 -0.71 53.02% -0.79 -0.247
Elemental Invocation 1 252 38.1% 20.21 -2.917 54.76% -0.602 0.1359
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2698 10.37% 31.15 2.726 82.36% 0.079 -0.5775
Powers Long Forgotten 1 582 42.44% 24.72 -0.547 62.89% -0.283 0.2798
Rituals of Terror 3 723 44.21% 29.67 1.075 56.71% -0.717 -0.8592
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 384 60.42% 27.52 0.72 52.6% -0.329 0.4195
Second Wave 0 910 45.42% 25.5 3.016 61.98% -0.209 -0.1146
The Great River 3 213 36.15% 22.1 -6.473 40.85% -1.616 -0.3705
Varied Terrains 2 136 32.35% 15.77 -1.367 30.88% -0.917 -0.0486
Ward the Shores 2 699 39.26% 25.14 -3.591 53.51% -0.992 -0.1381

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 56570 36.83% 23.0 0.025 74.75% 0.256 0.6288
1 Thematic 5185 39.9% 28.62 -0.913 67.85% -0.629 0.0857
2 Archipelago 40 47.5% 32.6 7.291 80.0% 0.664 1.1876
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12541 31.5% 22.81 -0.073 75.7% -0.03 0.1316
2 Coastline 1307 32.18% 23.03 0.529 76.51% 0.36 0.1671
2 Fragment 325 35.63% 21.41 -0.612 72.0% -0.042 -0.0899
2 Heart 171 36.9% 21.87 -0.432 74.27% -0.002 -0.214
2 Opposite Shores 1666 30.05% 24.39 1.762 83.37% 0.559 0.6917
2 Thematic 1252 36.38% 28.52 -0.637 64.46% -0.514 0.2061
2 Top to Top 284 29.86% 23.82 5.615 78.87% 1.481 1.396
3 Archipelago 18 33.33% 31.22 11.807 77.78% 0.536 -0.0079
3 Coastline 25 28.0% 24.64 -7.376 72.0% -0.455 -1.0849
3 Other 146 27.97% 20.73 4.043 70.55% 0.929 0.0526
3 Round (Default) 5225 20.55% 25.96 2.128 84.1% 0.399 0.3759
3 Sunrise 18 22.22% 23.39 0.0 72.22%
3 Thematic 277 32.13% 27.19 -4.75 58.84% -1.017 -1.0094
4 Archipelago 22 40.91% 25.91 0.0 63.64%
4 Coastline 24 22.73% 23.67 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 9 0.0% 28.33 1.88 88.89% 0.275 0.7103
4 Other 70 28.57% 19.17 2.883 64.29% 0.132 -0.4356
4 Thematic 319 22.26% 30.66 2.35 72.73% -0.096 -0.0331
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2230 25.7% 21.06 -2.9 65.38% -1.272 -1.2664
5 Archipelago 9 66.67% 28.67 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 72 31.94% 23.61 -3.179 76.39% -1.026 -1.3497
5 Thematic 13 61.54% 26.15 6.005 30.77% -0.237 -0.3802
6 Archipelago 4 0.0% 23.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 20.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 16 30.77% 28.44 5.411 75.0% 0.891 0.8462
6 Star 19 26.32% 25.53 0.0 84.21%
6 Thematic 54 12.96% 25.57 8.425 48.15% 0.605 0.809
6 Two Centers (Default) 126 13.49% 22.45 -3.774 54.76% -1.163 -0.6882
7 Other 6 0.0% 18.67 -8.884 33.33% -0.398 -1.0734

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1784 19.46 0.655 62.33% 0.228 0.299
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1473 20.27 -0.297 62.53% -0.223 -0.3331
All Things Weaken 888 19.44 1.197 56.98% 0.32 0.4972
Attenuated Essence 110 18.57 -3.426 53.64% -0.905 -0.8533
Back Against the Wall 1475 19.24 -0.061 57.76% -0.111 -0.1266
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 127 17.39 -1.696 47.24% -0.323 -0.1392
Burn Brightest Before the End 81 19.78 -1.522 43.21% -1.133 -1.0457
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1734 15.94 -0.961 53.69% -0.733 -0.4415
Downward Spiral 6820 16.39 -1.355 57.08% -0.151 -0.0453
Erosion of Will 1825 18.43 1.037 57.53% -0.047 0.1189
Intensifying Exploitation 118 17.22 0.735 50.0% 0.53 0.7181
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 374 23.4 -2.209 80.75% -0.56 -0.9879
Memory Fades to Dust 6767 16.04 -1.785 52.62% -0.407 -0.1722
Power Corrodes the Spirit 891 18.56 -0.041 58.25% 0.03 0.1259
Promising Farmlands 1717 17.65 -2.447 59.23% -0.752 -0.3874
Shattered Fragments of Power 103 19.09 2.951 52.43% 1.084 1.15
Slow Dissolution of Will 128 16.85 -1.445 43.75% -0.594 -0.1306
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 301 24.44 0.548 87.71% 0.354 -0.2474
The Border of Life and Death 49 18.57 3.115 61.22% 0.924 0.4486
Thriving Communities 843 17.8 -0.085 54.69% -0.12 0.1055
Thriving Crops 53 14.81 2.35 45.28% 0.425 0.2008
Tipping Point 618 17.72 0.0 59.71%
Unnatural Proliferation 885 18.82 3.184 51.3% -0.026 0.0959
Untended Land Crumbles 891 19.19 0.945 61.05% -0.103 0.1289

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 20889 33.97% 22.64 -0.386 74.05% -0.453 0.4658
B 21386 32.65% 23.18 -0.399 75.92% -0.43 0.4109
C 21164 32.24% 23.16 -0.539 75.34% -0.371 0.3117
D 20354 33.03% 23.04 -0.092 75.7% -0.322 0.52
E 6950 27.73% 24.29 0.546 75.91% -0.265 0.387
F 9183 29.77% 23.65 0.279 76.31% -0.284 0.4757
G 8341 31.11% 23.59 0.251 76.21% -0.304 0.4532
H 8504 30.13% 23.96 0.216 77.52% -0.316 0.4029
East 4388 36.12% 29.39 -0.923 66.91% -0.867 -0.0534
Northeast 2597 35.7% 29.48 0.766 67.0% -0.317 0.3509
Northwest 1932 34.46% 29.67 1.311 69.15% -0.145 0.6601
Southeast 624 28.37% 26.18 -1.582 61.38% -0.541 0.165
Southwest 579 31.09% 20.45 -1.735 51.81% -0.874 0.5161
West 3717 37.66% 28.12 2.447 65.19% 0.094 0.8876

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1320 0.0% 20.43 -0.821 62.95% -0.339 0.3796
Not Using Events or Tokens 23253 40.33% 21.11 -1.859 68.04% -0.551 -0.0657
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1240 11.93% 32.98 3.645 86.53% 0.615 -0.1154
Start of Game Growth 2078 14.54% 31.23 0.181 86.81% -0.195 -0.6414
Unlimited Undo 5259 26.56% 25.76 1.257 80.57% 0.191 0.1581
Using Tokens but Not Events 8220 22.43% 26.12 1.536 83.38% 0.291 0.1288

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 13240 14.25 19.6%
II 28726 30.3 73.01%
III 30526 34.84 87.73%
IV 15629 38.61 99.1%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.013 Win Model: 0.56
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 62258 37.02% 23.42 73.91%
2 17316 32.05% 23.59 76.46%
3 5592 21.14% 25.84 83.01%
4 2659 25.17% 22.23 66.3%
5 72 38.89% 22.68 70.83%
6 224 14.03% 23.74 56.7%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2590
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 26084
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 20014
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15330
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7002
Lose: Invader deck ran out 842
Lose: Adversary condition 4326
Win: Sacrifice victory 329
Lose: Scenario condition 570
Win: Scenario condition 1488
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8951
Lose: Spirit destroyed 595

The Kingdom of England — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6043 22.16% 33.08 0.213 79.63% -0.221 -0.3276
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 91 19.78% 26.22 -1.356 59.34% 0.005 -0.4833
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2617 51.66% 30.0 -2.609 70.19% -0.442 -0.299
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 82 34.15% 33.12 2.891 75.61% -0.09 -0.8388
Dances Up Earthquakes 34 44.12% 27.71 2.011 64.71% 0.569 0.3926
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2289 33.53% 32.28 2.846 79.07% 0.648 0.4407
Downpour Drenches the World 494 23.67% 27.23 0.13 64.37% -0.0 0.3201
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 586 24.62% 29.75 1.407 70.65% 0.246 -0.1943
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3072 21.8% 35.63 2.846 82.94% 0.584 0.2408
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2893 28.69% 35.26 2.599 84.34% 0.437 0.0831
Finder of Paths Unseen 240 38.98% 17.22 -7.07 37.92% -1.551 -0.766
Fractured Days Split the Sky 605 37.91% 30.52 -5.712 63.64% -0.957 -0.5092
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 899 40.82% 32.74 8.624 71.3% 0.851 0.827
Heart of the Wildfire 3229 64.06% 26.68 -1.925 63.27% -0.27 0.0573
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5178 36.6% 32.59 1.49 79.35% 0.769 0.2734
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 176 38.51% 25.64 -0.183 55.68% 0.023 -0.5398
Lightning's Swift Strike 4912 43.22% 30.23 -1.011 71.4% -0.128 0.0705
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 247 42.04% 30.04 2.44 70.85% 0.551 0.1034
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 483 26.97% 36.54 9.398 84.68% 1.43 1.1107
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 353 36.26% 30.73 -1.067 68.84% -0.419 -0.2943
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1612 39.54% 31.89 -1.368 75.12% -0.068 -0.2236
Many Minds Move as One 1094 25.69% 32.25 1.166 76.6% 0.317 0.1099
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4771 49.21% 29.48 -0.717 69.48% 0.072 0.201
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 60 62.71% 22.5 -0.764 56.67% 0.313 0.4179
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2268 38.82% 29.81 -1.377 71.65% -0.199 -0.2484
River Surges in Sunlight 5484 43.34% 29.42 -1.37 61.58% -0.329 -0.2961
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 48 31.25% 28.83 3.517 62.5% 0.346 0.5547
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 533 47.74% 28.72 1.836 55.35% -0.399 -0.2475
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 233 43.56% 30.24 3.507 59.23% 0.641 0.6498
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2794 33.42% 31.63 0.618 77.7% 0.324 0.2252
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 25 44.0% 21.92 -2.065 40.0% -0.324 -0.8149
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2629 60.13% 26.74 -2.645 57.28% -0.374 0.1379
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 83 46.34% 28.24 0.65 51.81% 0.057 0.014
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 96 43.16% 29.56 1.735 68.75% 0.483 0.0345
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 59 36.21% 26.46 -3.469 61.02% -0.391 -0.3326
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 303 43.05% 29.94 -1.06 72.94% -0.285 -0.4758
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 197 60.71% 26.22 2.235 57.36% 0.505 0.5882
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3068 34.7% 33.33 0.773 78.23% 0.267 0.1692
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 229 24.42% 28.78 1.986 65.5% 0.304 0.1093
Shifting Memory of Ages 649 43.43% 26.7 -2.69 64.41% -0.493 -0.1036
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 72 34.72% 27.53 4.219 72.22% 0.937 0.885
Shroud of Silent Mist 808 49.81% 26.27 -1.881 63.61% -0.284 0.1301
Starlight Seeks its Form 924 28.09% 29.22 -0.495 68.83% -0.065 -0.1049
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1769 28.3% 30.98 1.558 77.28% 0.547 0.045
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1536 47.85% 26.4 -4.038 55.53% -0.866 -0.7829
Thunderspeaker 5116 31.37% 33.76 -0.492 77.01% -0.021 -0.0265
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 129 32.56% 21.05 -5.731 45.74% -0.971 -0.5825
Towering Roots of the Jungle 163 28.22% 21.78 -3.963 51.53% -0.705 -0.4947
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1052 65.52% 26.76 -4.293 66.92% -0.729 -0.6516
Vital Strength of the Earth 3710 37.48% 27.41 -2.526 63.21% -0.403 0.0456
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 149 35.62% 25.93 1.288 58.39% 0.394 0.8884
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 267 35.96% 24.44 -3.958 55.06% -0.216 0.477
Volcano Looming High 1120 43.86% 26.73 -1.635 66.16% -0.137 -0.073
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 248 25.81% 27.95 -1.656 62.9% -0.277 -0.5258

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 35 25.71% 18.14 2.774 37.14% 0.268 -0.2902
Blitz 0 1053 38.96% 26.15 -4.096 61.44% -0.718 -0.2953
Dahan Insurrection 4 814 26.39% 50.91 9.247 71.62% 0.217 -0.265
Despicable Theft 2 162 39.51% 27.01 3.225 45.68% 0.14 0.6831
Elemental Invocation 1 204 42.65% 24.55 -0.084 52.94% -0.078 0.6597
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1904 11.37% 36.15 2.116 74.42% -0.031 -0.6878
Powers Long Forgotten 1 431 54.19% 29.8 -0.889 56.61% -0.275 0.2873
Rituals of Terror 3 373 42.2% 32.23 2.63 50.4% 0.067 -0.0755
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 196 65.31% 36.61 5.664 59.18% -0.041 0.7081
Second Wave 0 2920 44.41% 32.04 3.293 67.5% 0.463 0.5572
The Great River 3 99 46.46% 25.35 -4.608 35.35% -0.656 0.5889
Varied Terrains 2 80 40.0% 19.18 -2.72 32.5% -0.539 0.3291
Ward the Shores 2 499 49.7% 30.85 -1.641 48.7% -0.673 0.1811

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 34179 39.96% 29.83 -0.086 71.28% -0.04 0.333
1 Thematic 3788 45.88% 34.66 -0.686 65.47% -0.594 0.1207
2 Archipelago 21 47.62% 36.38 0.0 57.14%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7552 39.33% 29.51 0.296 71.85% 0.191 0.3525
2 Coastline 825 39.09% 29.05 1.165 71.64% 0.339 0.1463
2 Fragment 264 53.28% 27.84 -3.572 69.7% -0.618 -0.6659
2 Heart 135 36.84% 27.85 -3.744 67.41% -0.77 -0.9825
2 Opposite Shores 1476 36.72% 30.48 -1.238 74.86% -0.335 -0.2031
2 Thematic 1118 43.38% 34.98 -3.097 64.67% -0.909 -0.189
2 Top to Top 238 43.88% 29.6 12.226 72.27% 1.065 0.9806
3 Archipelago 12 58.33% 36.0 0.56 58.33% -0.528 -1.0714
3 Coastline 18 33.33% 29.11 6.158 61.11% 0.176 -0.4542
3 Other 104 33.98% 30.43 4.976 75.96% 0.293 -0.5832
3 Round (Default) 3059 32.73% 31.54 1.019 74.83% 0.381 0.3573
3 Sunrise 13 33.33% 30.54 0.0 76.92%
3 Thematic 284 39.22% 34.77 1.671 65.14% 0.198 0.2054
4 Archipelago 13 30.77% 52.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 7 57.14% 30.0 0.0 57.14%
4 Leaf 13 7.69% 34.15 0.0 92.31%
4 Other 31 38.71% 33.61 8.351 77.42% 0.446 -0.1223
4 Thematic 241 39.58% 39.56 9.755 70.54% 0.161 0.224
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1021 32.26% 31.18 0.103 74.34% 0.41 0.4151
5 Archipelago 5 40.0% 43.8 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 59 33.9% 27.54 -1.907 64.41% 0.256 -0.0681
5 Thematic 10 30.0% 40.0 16.559 70.0% 0.259 0.1165
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 7 28.57% 16.0 0.0 28.57%
6 Star 6 0.0% 37.33 0.0 83.33%
6 Thematic 55 20.0% 39.71 0.0 63.64%
6 Two Centers (Default) 65 29.23% 26.2 -5.24 55.38% -1.012 -0.5374
7 Other 3 33.33% 25.0 0.0 33.33%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1486 24.88 -1.452 53.77% -0.545 -0.4739
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1228 27.16 1.979 59.36% 0.024 -0.0859
All Things Weaken 722 25.3 0.303 54.99% -0.367 -0.1896
Attenuated Essence 106 27.23 3.557 63.21% 1.168 1.2196
Back Against the Wall 1174 25.9 0.26 55.71% -0.092 -0.1075
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 87 22.62 1.311 50.57% 0.003 0.1864
Burn Brightest Before the End 83 26.1 1.985 55.42% 0.199 0.2859
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1333 22.52 0.134 51.46% 0.063 0.3547
Downward Spiral 4116 23.59 -0.718 56.37% -0.014 0.0919
Erosion of Will 1385 24.43 0.307 53.07% 0.248 0.4137
Intensifying Exploitation 111 22.55 -1.199 51.35% -0.629 -0.4411
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 280 31.09 -4.976 82.14% -0.422 -0.8497
Memory Fades to Dust 4144 22.83 -1.369 51.13% -0.433 -0.1979
Power Corrodes the Spirit 747 25.56 0.861 59.71% 0.079 0.1746
Promising Farmlands 1398 23.11 -2.244 52.58% -0.547 -0.1827
Shattered Fragments of Power 86 24.99 1.377 55.81% 0.346 0.4111
Slow Dissolution of Will 110 23.41 -0.792 47.27% -0.508 -0.0445
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 202 32.08 4.48 86.63% 1.029 0.4276
The Border of Life and Death 28 25.89 6.398 64.29% 0.462 -0.0134
Thriving Communities 637 24.0 1.24 53.53% 0.316 0.5419
Thriving Crops 46 24.26 -8.381 63.04% -0.69 -0.9146
Tipping Point 494 24.82 0.0 55.87%
Unnatural Proliferation 744 25.67 2.061 52.15% -0.324 -0.2026
Untended Land Crumbles 679 24.57 -1.85 56.41% -0.602 -0.3696

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12335 39.73% 29.65 -0.408 71.0% -0.094 0.8245
B 12562 37.63% 30.23 -0.746 72.7% -0.209 0.6325
C 12946 37.31% 30.22 1.454 72.29% -0.055 0.6284
D 12043 38.7% 29.97 -0.318 72.29% -0.09 0.7522
E 4396 37.12% 30.07 0.356 71.84% -0.046 0.6054
F 5510 38.12% 30.12 -0.395 72.58% -0.007 0.7532
G 5087 40.05% 29.81 -2.159 71.12% -0.606 0.1517
H 5322 36.83% 30.5 -0.055 72.89% -0.186 0.5324
East 3467 42.63% 36.42 0.575 67.21% -0.173 0.6401
Northeast 1925 42.19% 36.97 -0.404 68.36% -0.005 0.6623
Northwest 1562 41.42% 36.66 0.264 68.12% -0.004 0.8012
Southeast 554 38.45% 32.35 6.641 60.65% 1.03 1.7361
Southwest 538 43.87% 27.15 -4.106 55.02% -0.609 0.7806
West 3053 45.6% 34.34 0.023 63.74% -0.117 0.6765

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 718 0.0% 27.19 0.378 59.89% 0.195 0.9142
Not Using Events or Tokens 11947 40.16% 28.33 -2.581 66.35% -0.285 0.2003
Skip Initial Invader Actions 812 13.22% 42.13 3.798 87.19% 0.324 -0.4067
Start of Game Growth 1225 15.41% 40.31 0.542 85.88% -0.416 -0.8625
Unlimited Undo 3749 33.08% 31.55 1.099 75.97% 0.449 0.4157
Using Tokens but Not Events 4969 28.5% 33.0 4.599 78.39% 0.646 0.4835

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7956 14.25 16.55%
II 19789 30.3 66.22%
III 16876 34.84 85.78%
IV 10044 38.61 99.25%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.079 Win Model: 0.005
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 38251 40.57% 30.24 70.47%
2 11497 39.95% 30.28 71.91%
3 3420 32.57% 31.94 74.85%
4 1302 33.41% 32.84 74.35%
5 62 30.65% 27.82 61.29%
6 133 23.31% 31.98 58.65%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1312
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14094
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 12359
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9857
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4306
Lose: Invader deck ran out 437
Lose: Adversary condition 3283
Win: Sacrifice victory 228
Lose: Scenario condition 484
Win: Scenario condition 1016
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6916
Lose: Spirit destroyed 373

The Kingdom of England — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6460 30.99% 33.81 3.699 72.01% 0.778 0.6709
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 133 30.83% 28.79 1.407 66.17% 0.367 -0.1212
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3626 64.76% 28.89 -0.575 56.56% -0.307 -0.1633
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 192 33.85% 34.17 4.536 66.67% 0.648 -0.1003
Dances Up Earthquakes 64 44.44% 31.98 4.321 75.0% 1.087 0.9105
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3190 42.9% 32.75 0.876 71.91% 0.394 0.187
Downpour Drenches the World 689 29.4% 29.04 0.725 60.67% 0.363 0.6828
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1013 35.08% 31.26 3.303 68.02% 0.878 0.4377
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4043 33.06% 35.41 1.49 74.85% 0.233 -0.1102
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3847 40.06% 35.54 3.424 76.16% 0.544 0.1895
Finder of Paths Unseen 285 48.77% 19.03 -4.306 33.68% -1.015 -0.23
Fractured Days Split the Sky 813 43.53% 31.18 -1.002 57.81% -0.399 0.0489
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 995 53.83% 29.99 1.711 62.71% 0.527 0.5039
Heart of the Wildfire 4475 80.36% 21.31 -2.795 40.6% -0.484 -0.1573
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 11414 36.1% 34.0 1.497 74.79% 0.487 -0.0082
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 237 40.51% 26.9 0.155 57.81% 0.125 -0.4376
Lightning's Swift Strike 6063 59.45% 28.14 -1.875 55.86% -0.552 -0.3536
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 385 48.05% 30.31 0.136 65.19% 0.125 -0.3226
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 667 48.64% 35.31 -2.692 72.86% -0.205 -0.5244
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 483 51.04% 32.06 -1.718 62.11% -0.556 -0.4315
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2517 54.67% 29.98 -0.509 63.37% 0.072 -0.0839
Many Minds Move as One 1509 33.55% 33.58 0.93 71.5% 0.153 -0.0541
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7679 61.02% 29.08 -2.031 59.07% -0.28 -0.151
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 125 55.2% 21.53 -1.83 38.4% -0.382 -0.2773
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2929 48.01% 30.55 -0.817 63.84% -0.723 -0.7722
River Surges in Sunlight 6371 56.65% 29.42 -0.853 51.34% -0.295 -0.2614
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 72 45.83% 25.56 0.566 55.56% 0.368 0.5763
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 692 55.28% 29.62 0.602 52.89% 0.485 0.6358
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 419 48.64% 29.21 4.855 49.64% 0.541 0.5501
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4331 43.09% 32.48 -1.296 68.81% -0.408 -0.5072
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 16 25.0% 33.06 4.563 62.5% 0.753 0.2625
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2607 73.64% 22.62 -2.398 36.9% -0.314 0.1975
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 77 48.65% 22.23 0.338 37.66% 0.243 0.1994
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 165 61.11% 26.99 -3.18 53.94% -0.593 -1.0412
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 81 56.79% 23.58 -4.184 37.04% -0.476 -0.4173
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 303 62.58% 28.75 2.658 59.41% 0.298 0.1077
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 237 73.42% 23.48 -2.922 40.51% -0.319 -0.2352
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3605 44.65% 32.87 -1.094 68.88% 0.049 -0.0487
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 218 36.7% 25.07 -0.298 50.92% -0.111 -0.3055
Shifting Memory of Ages 1047 55.01% 29.69 1.61 64.66% 0.537 0.9267
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 91 38.46% 29.92 3.922 60.44% 0.783 0.7317
Shroud of Silent Mist 1080 66.98% 26.02 -0.785 55.19% -0.097 0.3168
Starlight Seeks its Form 1244 43.78% 28.93 1.061 59.81% 0.068 0.0279
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2714 37.62% 31.99 2.035 74.69% 0.712 0.2092
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1820 61.5% 24.92 -2.671 45.11% -0.711 -0.6282
Thunderspeaker 5722 48.17% 31.46 0.789 62.57% 0.225 0.2191
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 152 42.38% 22.61 -7.109 47.37% -1.155 -0.7664
Towering Roots of the Jungle 310 40.32% 20.96 -2.838 46.13% -0.473 -0.2629
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1745 76.7% 27.85 2.413 62.69% 0.785 0.8621
Vital Strength of the Earth 5071 40.4% 28.71 -2.465 57.92% -0.619 -0.1696
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 229 45.09% 22.98 -4.985 43.23% -1.209 -0.7141
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 370 47.57% 25.3 -3.355 45.68% -0.7 -0.0067
Volcano Looming High 1940 61.73% 27.39 -2.734 60.36% -0.359 -0.2946
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 409 40.2% 28.43 -0.8 58.19% -0.014 -0.2629

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 31 22.58% 22.61 0.0 48.39%
Blitz 0 1060 48.95% 27.35 -3.272 53.68% -0.652 -0.229
Dahan Insurrection 4 738 40.76% 43.75 6.611 51.49% -0.17 -0.6516
Despicable Theft 2 78 51.28% 22.23 -0.36 32.05% -0.042 0.5005
Elemental Invocation 1 247 48.18% 22.91 -2.393 39.27% -0.501 0.2368
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2736 14.4% 37.99 2.323 71.45% -0.17 -0.8266
Powers Long Forgotten 1 390 62.72% 25.12 -3.393 40.77% -0.83 -0.268
Rituals of Terror 3 290 57.09% 31.94 -0.347 38.97% -0.18 -0.3217
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 191 68.06% 29.95 -2.678 38.22% -0.209 0.54
Second Wave 0 1923 56.4% 30.54 1.607 53.35% -0.198 -0.1039
The Great River 3 102 43.14% 27.51 -13.316 36.27% -1.194 0.0513
Varied Terrains 2 64 54.69% 11.94 -4.229 9.38% -0.305 0.5632
Ward the Shores 2 404 52.72% 31.78 -6.392 43.56% -1.01 -0.1558

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 50232 49.71% 29.84 -0.185 63.51% -0.556 -0.1825
1 Thematic 3334 56.06% 32.02 -0.643 50.66% -0.872 -0.1582
2 Archipelago 43 51.16% 29.88 -2.789 32.56% -0.575 -0.0509
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10275 52.53% 29.1 -0.143 61.31% -0.177 -0.0162
2 Coastline 1100 43.54% 31.49 2.349 68.91% 0.122 -0.0716
2 Fragment 269 54.1% 28.59 -1.098 59.11% 0.098 0.0501
2 Heart 167 54.49% 28.31 -0.991 60.48% -0.019 -0.2316
2 Opposite Shores 2108 47.7% 31.42 2.036 65.84% 0.118 0.2501
2 Thematic 1300 51.47% 32.38 3.34 51.23% 0.269 0.9892
2 Top to Top 323 56.97% 29.68 -1.138 63.16% -0.147 -0.2314
3 Archipelago 7 71.43% 34.14 0.0 57.14%
3 Coastline 14 14.29% 24.21 3.908 42.86% 0.235 -0.3951
3 Other 136 48.53% 31.85 5.298 68.38% 1.349 0.4727
3 Round (Default) 3717 46.23% 31.0 0.174 63.68% 0.003 -0.0203
3 Sunrise 16 56.25% 31.81 0.0 68.75%
3 Thematic 255 56.86% 34.97 3.519 51.76% 0.529 0.5367
4 Archipelago 9 33.33% 49.44 0.0 77.78%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 42.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 13 53.85% 23.08 5.048 38.46% 0.702 1.1377
4 Other 71 55.71% 33.35 1.024 73.24% 0.341 -0.2273
4 Thematic 417 47.66% 35.48 -7.753 54.2% -0.708 -0.6449
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1627 41.84% 32.18 -1.568 66.01% -0.309 -0.3043
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 94 39.36% 30.33 -1.676 62.77% 0.033 -0.2906
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 78.33 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 2 50.0% 20.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 51.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 13 38.46% 27.92 0.0 46.15%
6 Star 17 41.18% 19.59 -12.864 35.29% -1.075 -0.4429
6 Thematic 63 22.58% 39.98 -9.72 63.49% -0.109 0.0949
6 Two Centers (Default) 75 29.33% 30.24 -3.894 62.67% -0.251 0.2237
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 3 66.67% 36.0 0.0 33.33%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2616 26.59 -0.231 52.56% -0.239 -0.1684
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2111 29.24 0.595 57.93% -0.142 -0.252
All Things Weaken 1337 26.14 -1.216 51.61% -0.296 -0.1193
Attenuated Essence 234 24.0 -0.665 46.15% -0.383 -0.3308
Back Against the Wall 2024 27.49 0.867 52.12% -0.178 -0.1933
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 265 21.38 -1.111 41.13% -0.304 -0.1201
Burn Brightest Before the End 187 27.49 2.46 51.34% 0.386 0.4728
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2510 24.02 -1.688 49.16% -0.35 -0.0591
Downward Spiral 6488 24.18 -0.358 47.84% -0.109 -0.0032
Erosion of Will 2492 25.95 -0.24 49.28% -0.526 -0.3598
Intensifying Exploitation 269 19.91 -3.281 38.29% -0.644 -0.4562
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 557 33.16 1.011 76.3% 0.19 -0.2382
Memory Fades to Dust 6644 23.85 -1.249 45.42% -0.425 -0.19
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1365 25.97 -1.544 52.97% -0.332 -0.2361
Promising Farmlands 2447 25.29 -0.496 51.45% -0.186 0.1784
Shattered Fragments of Power 183 27.91 2.802 51.37% 0.511 0.5762
Slow Dissolution of Will 247 20.31 -1.965 38.87% -0.684 -0.2208
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 363 34.79 4.754 79.89% 0.797 0.1957
The Border of Life and Death 87 25.84 -0.458 54.02% -0.22 -0.6954
Thriving Communities 1330 23.61 -1.319 45.26% -0.362 -0.1367
Thriving Crops 135 23.32 0.343 50.37% -0.028 -0.2529
Tipping Point 850 24.86 0.0 47.76%
Unnatural Proliferation 1454 26.47 1.855 49.93% -0.007 0.1144
Untended Land Crumbles 1326 24.78 -0.639 50.45% -0.333 -0.1008

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 16425 51.4% 29.24 -0.522 60.78% -0.225 0.6933
B 17012 49.57% 29.79 -0.229 62.26% -0.172 0.6688
C 18379 47.58% 30.74 0.546 64.79% -0.046 0.6368
D 15744 50.37% 29.53 -0.428 62.14% -0.235 0.6073
E 6884 46.04% 31.13 -0.056 66.56% -0.157 0.4948
F 8617 48.83% 30.13 0.06 64.4% -0.114 0.6459
G 7571 49.97% 30.12 -0.579 64.03% -0.212 0.5458
H 8132 46.6% 30.9 -0.316 65.4% -0.403 0.3156
East 3527 52.13% 34.04 1.413 52.88% -0.06 0.7534
Northeast 2120 49.9% 34.1 -0.598 51.7% -0.654 0.0131
Northwest 1672 52.88% 33.53 1.317 52.39% 0.176 0.9805
Southeast 551 45.84% 33.23 1.861 56.08% -0.202 0.5031
Southwest 527 45.4% 26.86 -4.878 45.92% -0.784 0.6056
West 3082 54.38% 31.87 -0.075 49.19% -0.561 0.2322

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 639 0.0% 27.85 0.781 50.86% 0.085 0.8038
Not Using Events or Tokens 12585 53.61% 26.16 0.096 50.22% 0.093 0.5783
Skip Initial Invader Actions 862 18.56% 42.89 4.69 79.47% 0.68 -0.0511
Start of Game Growth 1369 19.37% 41.14 -0.161 79.99% -0.188 -0.6346
Unlimited Undo 5614 45.91% 31.18 -0.768 66.17% -0.019 -0.052
Using Tokens but Not Events 7198 40.31% 32.11 -0.975 69.91% -0.305 -0.4676

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14633 14.25 4.59%
II 22742 30.3 51.82%
III 23204 34.84 85.36%
IV 15213 38.61 99.37%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.204 Win Model: -0.127
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 53874 50.07% 29.96 62.65%
2 15446 51.45% 29.96 61.78%
3 4103 46.97% 31.23 62.95%
4 2122 43.06% 32.97 64.33%
5 74 32.43% 24.77 47.3%
6 173 29.65% 32.98 58.96%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 669
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 19418
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11373
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14966
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6426
Lose: Invader deck ran out 539
Lose: Adversary condition 7936
Win: Sacrifice victory 265
Lose: Scenario condition 826
Win: Scenario condition 689
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12044
Lose: Spirit destroyed 641

The Kingdom of England — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6716 42.08% 35.27 -0.516 55.73% -0.141 -0.2475
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 150 39.86% 35.74 3.91 64.67% 0.717 0.2284
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3478 72.07% 30.56 0.544 43.44% 0.169 0.312
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 250 50.8% 33.76 4.331 55.6% 0.84 0.0915
Dances Up Earthquakes 82 57.32% 32.99 3.618 58.54% 0.664 0.4871
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3002 58.24% 33.7 -0.179 54.66% 0.008 -0.199
Downpour Drenches the World 827 41.59% 27.33 0.087 41.35% 0.212 0.5325
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1337 46.86% 32.37 2.955 54.08% 0.698 0.2577
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3880 43.25% 37.58 3.589 61.44% 0.468 0.125
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4443 49.26% 38.6 2.589 64.55% 0.482 0.1276
Finder of Paths Unseen 315 51.43% 19.45 -3.081 21.59% -1.321 -0.5367
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1007 48.65% 33.89 -4.121 44.39% -0.763 -0.3152
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1125 63.3% 31.55 2.825 47.38% 0.606 0.5824
Heart of the Wildfire 4122 82.64% 22.27 -2.791 24.99% -0.645 -0.3183
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9102 52.14% 36.57 2.503 59.35% 0.555 0.0602
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 308 48.05% 29.34 -0.481 46.1% -0.065 -0.6274
Lightning's Swift Strike 6353 66.01% 29.81 -3.911 42.85% -0.973 -0.775
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 623 60.64% 34.92 3.282 57.3% 0.786 0.338
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 563 56.05% 36.89 2.329 60.04% 0.204 -0.1158
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 736 51.43% 33.01 -0.514 49.05% -0.013 0.1117
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3227 67.12% 30.71 -2.859 47.35% -0.619 -0.7748
Many Minds Move as One 1333 43.34% 36.91 0.175 61.14% 0.095 -0.1115
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7970 62.78% 33.51 -2.128 53.64% -0.264 -0.1347
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 150 75.51% 28.85 1.077 49.33% 0.175 0.2798
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3011 56.02% 31.28 -1.885 46.73% -0.225 -0.2743
River Surges in Sunlight 6197 60.74% 31.96 -0.374 42.21% -0.154 -0.1207
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 121 54.55% 25.09 0.449 36.36% -0.014 0.1946
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 685 64.67% 30.58 0.654 43.21% 0.028 0.1792
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 496 54.9% 28.32 1.08 37.1% -0.016 -0.0066
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5415 49.56% 36.03 2.539 57.93% 0.44 0.3407
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 27 37.04% 37.41 5.853 66.67% 0.947 0.4564
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1835 76.5% 22.63 -7.611 21.69% -1.908 -1.3957
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 66 63.64% 26.74 11.701 34.85% 0.495 0.452
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 144 62.68% 27.19 -1.223 43.75% -0.095 -0.5429
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 76 67.11% 25.57 -12.221 28.95% -0.337 -0.2786
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 280 74.29% 30.75 -12.135 44.29% -0.715 -0.9051
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 175 76.88% 24.82 -1.093 28.57% -0.711 -0.6276
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3469 55.36% 33.54 -1.563 50.97% -0.351 -0.4493
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 257 47.86% 29.41 -1.303 46.3% 0.055 -0.139
Shifting Memory of Ages 1242 60.26% 31.21 -4.507 50.4% -0.556 -0.1659
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 164 57.32% 34.72 5.424 59.76% 1.127 1.075
Shroud of Silent Mist 1166 70.49% 28.81 -0.904 44.68% -0.213 0.2011
Starlight Seeks its Form 1824 46.83% 32.0 0.468 50.44% -0.036 -0.0757
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4105 45.07% 36.89 1.818 62.97% 0.555 0.0521
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1389 66.26% 27.98 0.048 36.0% -0.109 -0.0254
Thunderspeaker 6254 58.8% 33.06 0.309 49.9% 0.153 0.1469
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 153 55.56% 27.39 -3.242 39.22% -0.591 -0.2027
Towering Roots of the Jungle 387 44.19% 23.17 -0.981 38.5% 0.251 0.4617
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2007 83.71% 31.79 2.428 53.56% 0.454 0.5316
Vital Strength of the Earth 3847 54.1% 28.54 -0.658 38.0% -0.104 0.3446
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 357 52.46% 24.93 -5.652 36.97% -0.363 0.131
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 339 62.83% 28.87 -0.748 41.0% -0.175 0.5176
Volcano Looming High 2443 68.62% 28.87 -0.694 46.91% -0.006 0.0578
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 532 50.56% 28.1 -0.27 42.29% -0.035 -0.2843

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 16 37.5% 22.38 10.495 31.25% 0.268 -0.2899
Blitz 0 676 46.56% 32.36 -1.922 47.19% -0.436 -0.0131
Dahan Insurrection 4 645 44.58% 45.6 5.611 41.4% 0.01 -0.4718
Despicable Theft 2 52 51.92% 24.12 -8.342 25.0% -0.102 0.4403
Elemental Invocation 1 166 58.43% 26.78 0.909 31.93% -0.11 0.628
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2667 20.13% 40.48 6.813 58.38% 0.924 0.2675
Powers Long Forgotten 1 222 66.22% 27.93 -2.161 30.63% -0.427 0.1352
Rituals of Terror 3 194 66.84% 33.34 4.766 28.87% 0.185 0.0426
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 74 78.38% 34.14 16.012 33.78% 0.981 1.7297
Second Wave 0 985 56.64% 34.64 4.191 46.5% 0.229 0.3237
The Great River 3 70 47.14% 26.47 -10.641 21.43% -0.565 0.6801
Varied Terrains 2 37 59.46% 15.3 -4.744 8.11% -0.963 -0.0945
Ward the Shores 2 211 62.09% 31.25 -14.89 31.28% -0.895 -0.0408

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 48760 60.97% 32.02 -0.136 50.61% -0.336 0.0374
1 Thematic 2397 57.84% 35.92 1.108 43.64% -0.504 0.2101
2 Archipelago 24 45.83% 41.0 0.0 54.17%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10346 59.74% 31.96 -0.578 49.91% -0.291 -0.1296
2 Coastline 1407 55.79% 33.1 1.949 53.73% 0.454 0.2606
2 Fragment 251 62.95% 31.75 4.651 48.21% 0.265 0.2172
2 Heart 152 71.52% 34.59 -1.265 56.58% -0.188 -0.4006
2 Opposite Shores 2254 58.61% 31.56 0.508 47.29% -0.312 -0.1801
2 Thematic 827 62.12% 33.67 1.649 36.03% -0.121 0.599
2 Top to Top 452 58.35% 33.87 0.637 54.65% -0.153 -0.2379
3 Archipelago 9 66.67% 35.0 0.0 33.33%
3 Coastline 15 46.67% 36.27 -16.803 53.33% -0.596 -1.226
3 Other 153 44.74% 36.74 4.362 60.78% 0.459 -0.4167
3 Round (Default) 4454 52.67% 32.53 -1.881 50.0% -0.576 -0.5997
3 Sunrise 34 58.82% 36.09 8.515 52.94% 0.475 0.0287
3 Thematic 224 62.5% 32.52 9.128 30.8% 1.332 1.34
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 5 0.0% 12.2 -9.678 20.0% -0.393 -0.2632
4 Leaf 6 33.33% 25.17 0.0 16.67%
4 Other 80 55.7% 34.45 11.358 56.25% 0.403 -0.1654
4 Snake 4 75.0% 32.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 381 48.56% 35.24 -14.371 38.06% -0.577 -0.5142
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2223 46.5% 34.65 0.712 52.95% 0.081 0.086
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 88 43.02% 35.53 -2.197 53.41% -0.843 -1.1669
5 Thematic 20 15.0% 42.6 0.0 40.0%
6 Archipelago 5 20.0% 44.2 0.0 60.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 21 28.57% 42.81 38.848 52.38% 0.63 0.5852
6 Star 26 46.15% 36.65 6.331 42.31% 0.237 0.8691
6 Thematic 68 33.82% 40.46 6.618 27.94% 0.241 0.4444
6 Two Centers (Default) 101 43.56% 33.53 6.484 52.48% 0.211 0.6854
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 3 33.33% 7.67 6.957 0.0% 0.108 -0.568

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3080 29.86 2.506 41.92% 0.394 0.4649
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2469 32.68 1.548 47.31% 0.119 0.0089
All Things Weaken 1712 31.16 2.344 46.09% 0.636 0.8126
Attenuated Essence 290 30.21 -0.223 47.59% -0.169 -0.1175
Back Against the Wall 2521 31.43 3.691 44.07% 0.498 0.4822
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 311 27.94 2.02 42.77% 0.287 0.471
Burn Brightest Before the End 238 32.16 2.066 49.58% 0.162 0.2488
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2978 27.6 -1.961 40.93% -0.176 0.1151
Downward Spiral 7079 28.48 2.787 42.75% 0.812 0.918
Erosion of Will 2998 29.43 2.006 40.49% 0.135 0.3007
Intensifying Exploitation 297 24.7 -2.288 37.71% -0.237 -0.0486
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 585 36.5 2.892 63.25% 0.564 0.1363
Memory Fades to Dust 7111 28.28 1.326 40.47% 0.512 0.7466
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1749 30.17 3.116 45.74% 0.698 0.7942
Promising Farmlands 3124 29.01 0.572 43.09% 0.248 0.6119
Shattered Fragments of Power 226 32.07 4.699 46.46% 0.612 0.6773
Slow Dissolution of Will 308 25.35 1.717 36.04% 0.191 0.6543
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 397 37.3 2.525 67.76% 0.502 -0.0988
The Border of Life and Death 66 29.67 6.054 51.52% 0.71 0.2342
Thriving Communities 1757 29.46 1.291 45.08% 0.215 0.441
Thriving Crops 151 28.29 4.709 43.05% 0.956 0.7312
Tipping Point 1031 28.72 0.0 41.22%
Unnatural Proliferation 1892 32.25 2.69 48.26% 0.337 0.4591
Untended Land Crumbles 1736 29.41 1.699 44.07% 0.263 0.4955

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 16907 58.59% 31.85 -1.091 48.84% 0.087 1.0057
B 17878 58.24% 31.86 0.073 48.85% 0.29 1.1309
C 18927 57.73% 32.56 -0.418 50.9% 0.189 0.872
D 16395 59.04% 31.9 -1.458 49.91% 0.046 0.8879
E 7614 54.39% 33.73 2.117 54.44% 0.576 1.2273
F 9154 58.44% 32.67 0.447 52.17% 0.207 0.9666
G 7862 58.9% 32.78 0.718 51.09% 0.108 0.8654
H 8645 55.04% 33.44 0.611 53.26% 0.365 1.0839
East 2533 55.83% 36.53 -0.424 40.54% -0.371 0.4428
Northeast 1562 52.85% 37.2 5.254 39.44% 0.758 1.4254
Northwest 1299 54.15% 34.72 3.892 37.64% 0.408 1.2128
Southeast 491 52.47% 34.52 6.085 37.88% 0.862 1.5673
Southwest 425 54.2% 29.91 -3.009 34.82% -0.671 0.719
West 2337 57.19% 33.4 0.468 36.59% -0.052 0.7411

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 633 0.0% 33.82 0.119 46.92% -0.109 0.6098
Not Using Events or Tokens 10467 60.57% 28.09 -1.911 40.19% -0.238 0.2473
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1189 17.06% 50.11 8.777 77.38% 0.882 0.1508
Start of Game Growth 1851 22.67% 46.76 4.461 73.58% 0.723 0.277
Unlimited Undo 6608 53.22% 35.05 -0.987 57.19% -0.152 -0.1851
Using Tokens but Not Events 6342 51.53% 33.77 -0.351 55.22% -0.138 -0.3006

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 16367 14.25 2.01%
II 21402 30.3 21.71%
III 20749 34.84 78.23%
IV 16330 38.61 99.47%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.013 Win Model: -0.334
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 51420 60.8% 32.23 50.33%
2 15648 59.59% 32.16 49.12%
3 4780 52.64% 32.6 49.9%
4 2709 46.5% 34.9 50.83%
5 76 40.0% 33.32 42.11%
6 215 40.0% 34.23 41.86%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 328
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 15901
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4443
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16062
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6698
Lose: Invader deck ran out 509
Lose: Adversary condition 13266
Win: Sacrifice victory 316
Lose: Scenario condition 1048
Win: Scenario condition 400
Lose: Blight pool ran out 15096
Lose: Spirit destroyed 781

The Kingdom of England — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6214 38.66% 41.05 0.164 60.15% 0.282 0.1753
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 180 35.0% 37.26 2.094 58.89% 0.395 -0.0929
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3285 67.5% 36.07 -2.95 49.13% -0.415 -0.272
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 412 36.41% 34.27 1.774 49.27% 0.424 -0.3245
Dances Up Earthquakes 209 26.32% 16.03 -3.777 23.92% -0.183 -0.36
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2705 60.2% 36.8 1.553 51.79% 0.338 0.1305
Downpour Drenches the World 1012 32.15% 28.82 -7.228 40.22% -1.277 -0.9572
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1428 43.84% 36.5 2.089 57.98% 0.815 0.3748
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4842 33.55% 41.32 3.936 63.28% 0.82 0.4764
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7397 30.93% 49.4 4.663 79.56% 0.844 0.4895
Finder of Paths Unseen 302 42.52% 30.85 -3.272 40.4% -0.889 -0.1046
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1097 41.1% 41.3 -4.446 55.79% -0.74 -0.292
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1242 48.43% 41.02 0.981 57.73% 0.238 0.2146
Heart of the Wildfire 3534 74.18% 29.73 -5.746 34.47% -0.886 -0.5591
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 20071 28.49% 45.86 5.81 72.61% 1.067 0.5718
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 652 24.39% 47.28 5.932 71.32% 1.165 0.6019
Lightning's Swift Strike 5341 59.59% 35.76 -3.239 46.64% -0.557 -0.3589
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 848 54.2% 41.14 3.828 61.08% 0.478 0.0305
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 632 49.52% 42.55 -4.388 65.98% -0.546 -0.8659
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 643 46.5% 40.38 -4.499 55.21% -0.638 -0.5128
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2932 59.17% 37.4 -3.07 53.65% -0.623 -0.7792
Many Minds Move as One 1446 36.4% 42.32 -2.89 65.84% -0.014 -0.2209
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6583 58.02% 39.78 -1.986 58.33% -0.188 -0.0586
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 170 66.47% 31.33 -0.165 48.24% 0.138 0.2432
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3058 53.33% 36.82 -3.209 51.14% -0.154 -0.2033
River Surges in Sunlight 5241 53.71% 37.88 -3.689 47.41% -0.407 -0.374
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 83 51.81% 31.02 0.503 39.76% -0.232 -0.0237
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 597 58.82% 35.57 -0.859 41.71% -0.383 -0.2318
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 557 35.56% 45.03 -4.002 59.96% -0.702 -0.6924
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7089 38.66% 44.16 2.766 67.84% 0.641 0.5422
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 41 36.59% 41.63 5.018 58.54% 0.678 0.1866
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1266 67.85% 28.32 -4.732 29.38% -0.794 -0.2818
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 54 59.26% 32.2 3.822 42.59% 0.604 0.5611
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 189 67.02% 30.72 1.166 41.27% 0.056 -0.392
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 75 45.33% 32.64 19.935 40.0% 0.566 0.6247
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 255 76.86% 29.33 -14.621 30.59% -0.474 -0.6644
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 135 57.78% 39.36 -1.233 52.59% 0.02 0.1032
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6268 29.87% 48.28 3.385 72.89% 0.359 0.2611
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 256 46.88% 35.39 4.877 51.17% 0.999 0.805
Shifting Memory of Ages 1239 59.69% 37.64 -0.711 52.78% -0.036 0.3533
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 174 45.98% 38.1 3.503 57.47% 0.709 0.6573
Shroud of Silent Mist 1035 66.6% 35.04 -2.833 49.47% -0.376 0.0382
Starlight Seeks its Form 2296 43.66% 35.99 -4.918 53.22% -0.617 -0.6566
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4204 38.65% 39.42 4.786 67.22% 1.221 0.7182
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1148 61.03% 34.0 -4.28 42.07% -0.604 -0.5213
Thunderspeaker 7436 40.34% 43.41 0.105 62.48% 0.079 0.0739
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 178 51.69% 18.13 -4.495 20.22% -0.001 0.3874
Towering Roots of the Jungle 453 52.1% 27.58 -0.503 39.29% 0.012 0.2223
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2829 79.13% 39.63 -0.233 63.1% 0.414 0.4914
Vital Strength of the Earth 2698 51.35% 32.72 -5.675 39.33% -0.622 -0.1734
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 422 41.12% 33.42 -0.932 43.6% -0.662 -0.1675
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 378 53.97% 37.5 -2.228 52.91% -0.124 0.5684
Volcano Looming High 2723 67.83% 34.44 -0.923 50.13% 0.062 0.1259
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 514 47.86% 32.45 -1.734 43.39% -0.548 -0.797

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 30 30.0% 51.4 -6.792 66.67% -0.303 -0.861
Blitz 0 642 42.14% 37.35 -1.159 47.2% -0.3 0.1229
Dahan Insurrection 4 469 41.76% 53.38 1.177 46.7% -0.488 -0.9705
Despicable Theft 2 30 46.67% 24.7 2.777 30.0% 0.231 0.7733
Elemental Invocation 1 135 63.7% 30.41 -3.27 37.78% -0.738 -0.0
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7920 8.31% 51.79 5.413 77.97% 0.675 0.0183
Powers Long Forgotten 1 157 70.06% 30.16 -6.893 28.03% -0.053 0.5092
Rituals of Terror 3 173 58.96% 34.88 -1.121 26.59% -0.523 -0.6655
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 109 84.4% 31.59 21.623 20.18% 0.448 1.1967
Second Wave 0 531 51.92% 37.54 1.203 45.76% -0.439 -0.345
The Great River 3 82 48.78% 22.56 -14.429 12.2% -0.298 0.9478
Varied Terrains 2 45 31.11% 19.22 -11.658 15.56% -0.79 0.0786
Ward the Shores 2 167 66.27% 38.98 6.256 37.72% -0.05 0.8045

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 55667 49.18% 38.64 -0.559 58.62% -0.58 -0.207
1 Thematic 1683 59.77% 35.34 -3.046 34.7% -0.693 0.021
2 Archipelago 28 39.29% 43.71 -13.461 46.43% -1.516 -0.9923
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10860 52.35% 39.4 0.871 57.49% -0.14 0.0211
2 Coastline 1551 50.68% 41.42 1.37 62.54% -0.034 -0.2271
2 Fragment 204 62.38% 35.04 0.111 46.57% -0.447 -0.4952
2 Heart 219 59.82% 37.69 3.439 51.14% -0.287 -0.4994
2 Opposite Shores 1967 54.41% 38.08 0.083 51.8% 0.047 0.1791
2 Thematic 502 59.76% 38.4 10.055 40.24% 0.991 1.7117
2 Top to Top 392 58.76% 37.46 -1.441 54.59% -0.136 -0.2205
3 Archipelago 13 53.85% 34.77 0.0 30.77%
3 Coastline 23 63.64% 28.48 0.0 26.09%
3 Other 168 59.28% 40.75 7.976 61.9% 0.594 -0.2826
3 Round (Default) 4205 48.84% 37.69 -2.894 54.32% -0.358 -0.3813
3 Sunrise 18 55.56% 37.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 120 47.5% 39.67 -4.439 41.67% -0.494 -0.4859
4 Archipelago 14 71.43% 49.64 0.0 64.29%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 18 66.67% 36.0 0.0 55.56%
4 Other 77 66.23% 44.56 11.928 68.83% 0.523 -0.0454
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 355 49.01% 47.61 0.0 56.06%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 5005 18.15% 50.35 4.019 76.04% 0.262 0.2674
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 25.67 0.0 33.33%
5 Other 111 29.09% 48.62 2.777 73.87% 0.231 -0.0933
5 Thematic 10 10.0% 42.0 -6.893 40.0% -0.053 -0.196
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 36 22.86% 35.78 18.012 47.22% 0.744 0.6995
6 Star 19 47.37% 35.68 -7.489 36.84% -0.335 0.298
6 Thematic 39 28.21% 40.97 -9.733 46.15% -0.037 0.1665
6 Two Centers (Default) 151 25.83% 36.09 0.772 57.62% -0.143 0.3312
7 Archipelago 5 20.0% 29.6 0.0 20.0%
7 Other 2 0.0% 48.0 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2958 34.15 0.315 45.47% 0.08 0.1512
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2368 36.68 2.424 50.0% 0.15 0.0402
All Things Weaken 1781 35.07 1.732 49.19% 0.301 0.4779
Attenuated Essence 268 28.08 -0.888 39.55% 0.044 0.0958
Back Against the Wall 2325 35.59 1.783 47.01% 0.092 0.0765
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 298 31.27 -1.321 43.96% -0.388 -0.2043
Burn Brightest Before the End 205 32.27 -1.275 42.44% -0.281 -0.1938
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2912 31.96 0.418 43.99% 0.088 0.3794
Downward Spiral 5500 32.09 0.07 43.18% 0.209 0.3152
Erosion of Will 2920 33.84 2.708 44.38% 0.455 0.6207
Intensifying Exploitation 280 30.27 1.293 44.29% 0.338 0.5263
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 616 40.82 3.389 64.77% 0.718 0.2903
Memory Fades to Dust 5558 31.87 -0.633 41.54% 0.131 0.3658
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1731 33.71 0.046 48.12% 0.093 0.1892
Promising Farmlands 2872 32.99 0.845 44.92% 0.216 0.58
Shattered Fragments of Power 217 33.83 1.092 46.54% -0.086 -0.0209
Slow Dissolution of Will 263 27.25 -1.712 33.08% -0.209 0.2543
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 472 43.1 5.022 71.19% 0.653 0.0515
The Border of Life and Death 92 31.24 6.149 48.91% 0.733 0.2573
Thriving Communities 1743 33.26 -0.93 46.87% -0.007 0.2183
Thriving Crops 129 31.61 -1.42 47.29% -0.202 -0.427
Tipping Point 932 31.37 0.0 38.73%
Unnatural Proliferation 1836 35.79 0.54 49.56% 0.087 0.2089
Untended Land Crumbles 1785 34.21 2.623 48.91% 0.574 0.8063

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 19600 44.48% 40.44 -0.245 59.29% 0.0 0.9189
B 22087 42.6% 41.69 1.859 61.86% 0.347 1.1877
C 22776 44.03% 41.63 -0.074 62.39% 0.097 0.7805
D 16646 49.23% 38.62 -1.739 56.88% -0.15 0.6926
E 9602 44.89% 40.29 0.376 60.83% 0.217 0.8683
F 11554 44.07% 40.18 -0.091 60.7% -0.019 0.7406
G 9660 46.05% 40.38 1.208 60.42% 0.298 1.0555
H 9873 43.67% 41.18 1.576 62.32% 0.2 0.9183
East 1792 54.12% 39.81 -5.38 40.85% -1.533 -0.7193
Northeast 1097 52.1% 41.15 3.05 42.48% 0.518 1.1854
Northwest 895 56.6% 40.44 -0.711 42.68% -0.129 0.6756
Southeast 278 44.4% 39.19 1.938 46.04% 0.504 1.2094
Southwest 330 54.27% 32.72 -0.518 38.48% 0.023 1.4128
West 1608 58.94% 37.58 0.947 39.49% -0.064 0.7298

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 410 0.0% 37.49 0.57 51.22% 0.596 1.315
Not Using Events or Tokens 8543 48.41% 36.56 -4.424 51.56% -0.521 -0.0364
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1380 16.67% 59.71 8.269 82.68% 1.358 0.6272
Start of Game Growth 2199 19.18% 54.28 3.514 76.63% 0.269 -0.1769
Unlimited Undo 7122 50.62% 39.59 -1.99 59.86% -0.151 -0.1838
Using Tokens but Not Events 6949 34.04% 40.4 0.442 60.97% -0.269 -0.4318

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 16830 14.25 18.39%
II 22322 30.3 32.72%
III 23769 34.84 75.47%
IV 20590 38.61 99.72%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.331 Win Model: -0.269
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 57631 49.47% 38.59 58.01%
2 15584 53.22% 39.22 56.21%
3 4487 49.25% 37.67 53.84%
4 5489 20.87% 50.11 74.59%
5 68 34.33% 38.31 54.41%
6 252 27.2% 36.98 52.78%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3094
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 17640
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7110
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 20313
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7330
Lose: Invader deck ran out 111
Lose: Adversary condition 12298
Win: Sacrifice victory 386
Lose: Scenario condition 1254
Win: Scenario condition 328
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12963
Lose: Spirit destroyed 684

The Kingdom of England — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2573 43.94% 43.51 -0.91 46.44% -0.053 -0.1603
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 101 34.65% 35.57 2.374 45.54% 0.744 0.2559
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 951 76.65% 34.62 -2.08 32.49% -0.335 -0.1917
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 67 55.22% 43.97 21.68 58.21% 0.922 0.1732
Dances Up Earthquakes 37 40.54% 26.51 -0.159 29.73% 0.325 0.1486
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 763 74.67% 27.7 -7.809 16.78% -1.19 -1.3974
Downpour Drenches the World 292 39.18% 27.48 -3.416 26.71% -0.423 -0.1027
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 743 65.28% 31.61 -2.426 34.72% 0.088 -0.3529
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1227 59.36% 41.74 2.241 46.37% 0.202 -0.1415
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1808 57.04% 42.92 1.955 47.95% 0.353 -0.0012
Finder of Paths Unseen 133 48.12% 23.41 -2.445 20.3% -0.034 0.751
Fractured Days Split the Sky 422 59.76% 43.3 1.018 38.86% 0.362 0.81
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 334 76.05% 28.21 -6.025 23.95% -0.682 -0.7061
Heart of the Wildfire 1241 80.11% 22.96 -7.104 11.28% -2.424 -2.0974
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4975 52.64% 44.38 1.989 53.15% 0.641 0.1461
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 91 57.14% 24.79 3.264 20.88% 0.199 -0.3639
Lightning's Swift Strike 2777 60.21% 40.87 3.083 40.12% 0.408 0.6064
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 463 63.5% 41.98 2.775 42.12% 0.13 -0.3184
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 198 66.16% 44.71 5.929 54.04% 0.459 0.1392
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 245 63.67% 35.75 -2.866 37.96% -0.47 -0.345
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1265 73.56% 35.14 -0.388 32.89% 0.072 -0.0838
Many Minds Move as One 427 48.71% 46.54 5.794 58.31% 0.778 0.5708
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3199 63.12% 43.53 0.484 50.67% 0.34 0.4698
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 35 77.14% 31.91 1.594 40.0% 0.527 0.632
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 873 62.5% 35.07 -2.332 29.21% -0.153 -0.2026
River Surges in Sunlight 1930 48.86% 42.89 4.895 42.38% 0.733 0.7663
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 30 50.0% 27.77 -7.452 23.33% -0.413 -0.2044
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 129 68.75% 31.44 -5.329 19.38% -0.637 -0.4863
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 119 55.46% 34.38 -3.031 29.41% -0.079 -0.0703
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2116 58.16% 41.1 5.528 45.98% 1.056 0.9569
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 8 50.0% 23.13 -5.064 37.5% -0.003 -0.4944
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 594 75.13% 25.4 -5.204 13.13% -2.364 -1.852
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 16 68.75% 28.88 8.483 31.25% 0.333 0.2901
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 64 67.74% 32.83 12.054 29.69% 0.531 0.083
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 6 66.67% 24.83 0.0 16.67%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 50 78.0% 34.68 0.0 30.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 48 72.92% 30.04 -12.993 25.0% -0.186 -0.1027
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1449 55.95% 46.1 3.432 51.0% 0.164 0.0665
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 94 40.43% 46.39 6.147 43.62% 0.472 0.2772
Shifting Memory of Ages 420 67.62% 37.5 -1.805 37.86% -0.086 0.3039
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 62 51.61% 39.42 8.379 46.77% 0.59 0.5388
Shroud of Silent Mist 354 80.98% 30.64 -5.478 26.27% -1.228 -0.8135
Starlight Seeks its Form 879 59.95% 37.2 6.474 41.75% 1.302 1.2619
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5211 25.32% 50.3 7.435 75.05% 1.488 0.9857
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 498 75.05% 28.54 -5.463 16.87% -0.165 -0.0818
Thunderspeaker 1985 68.98% 34.59 -3.127 30.13% -0.703 -0.7087
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 77 57.14% 22.01 -2.327 18.18% -0.467 -0.0779
Towering Roots of the Jungle 210 52.86% 26.53 4.855 33.81% 1.138 1.3483
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1132 85.42% 39.96 1.771 48.67% 0.463 0.5403
Vital Strength of the Earth 1137 46.68% 40.01 1.411 37.47% -0.596 -0.1474
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 102 57.43% 27.04 -4.456 17.65% -0.891 -0.397
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 109 68.81% 30.61 -1.376 24.77% -0.206 0.4867
Volcano Looming High 746 84.85% 28.12 -2.793 21.98% -0.64 -0.5752
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 208 48.56% 31.35 -3.912 34.62% -0.42 -0.6686

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 0.0% 39.57 0.0 57.14%
Blitz 0 314 51.45% 37.16 1.072 39.17% 0.365 0.7875
Dahan Insurrection 4 253 67.86% 39.04 -3.564 14.62% -0.935 -1.4172
Despicable Theft 2 21 76.19% 27.9 0.0 19.05%
Elemental Invocation 1 68 60.29% 23.6 3.24 13.24% -0.134 0.6042
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1546 18.27% 51.22 4.149 57.57% 0.298 -0.3581
Powers Long Forgotten 1 89 74.16% 28.96 1.689 17.98% 0.3 0.8624
Rituals of Terror 3 99 65.66% 66.87 -19.137 43.43% -1.296 -1.4379
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 23 65.22% 36.83 0.0 21.74%
Second Wave 0 239 64.29% 35.4 -2.728 28.87% -0.737 -0.6428
The Great River 3 9 22.22% 12.11 0.0 11.11%
Varied Terrains 2 8 37.5% 14.5 -4.813 0.0% -0.046 0.822
Ward the Shores 2 66 60.0% 42.05 0.0 30.3%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 22954 57.59% 39.0 -0.276 46.04% 0.024 0.3975
1 Thematic 1251 68.59% 38.26 0.271 30.14% 0.181 0.8957
2 Archipelago 11 90.91% 50.73 0.0 18.18%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3317 68.58% 36.04 -3.328 36.15% -0.786 -0.6246
2 Coastline 388 65.8% 38.36 0.934 42.53% -0.421 -0.6146
2 Fragment 102 77.45% 37.2 0.0 36.27%
2 Heart 91 83.52% 37.07 0.0 37.36%
2 Opposite Shores 759 68.76% 37.28 -2.843 35.84% -0.699 -0.5665
2 Thematic 223 63.68% 43.65 -6.889 29.15% -0.432 0.2881
2 Top to Top 158 52.53% 34.21 -2.207 36.08% -0.578 -0.6624
3 Archipelago 12 83.33% 107.83 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 5 60.0% 27.0 14.375 20.0% 0.347 -0.283
3 Other 55 76.36% 48.65 14.536 65.45% 0.874 -0.0018
3 Round (Default) 1335 64.34% 35.7 3.671 35.36% 0.282 0.2592
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 42.0 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 62 59.68% 38.73 -6.999 29.03% -0.501 -0.4935
4 Archipelago 6 83.33% 49.83 0.0 33.33%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 9 88.89% 42.0 0.0 44.44%
4 Other 31 80.65% 45.65 5.683 58.06% 0.258 -0.3097
4 Thematic 255 21.96% 60.25 -7.015 65.1% -0.379 -0.3155
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1083 27.52% 50.24 7.011 58.91% 1.016 1.0212
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 34 40.0% 49.0 -1.859 52.94% -0.19 -0.5134
5 Thematic 24 50.0% 65.42 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 70.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 12 27.27% 49.08 0.0 58.33%
6 Star 4 0.0% 40.25 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 76 9.21% 67.83 12.054 64.47% 0.531 0.7352
6 Two Centers (Default) 18 83.33% 38.39 -2.794 38.89% -0.488 -0.0133
7 Archipelago 2 50.0% 146.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1356 36.08 -2.79 34.07% -0.369 -0.2976
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1080 39.36 3.646 39.44% 0.288 0.1781
All Things Weaken 781 34.77 2.589 33.16% 0.073 0.2498
Attenuated Essence 164 31.82 4.978 37.8% 0.658 0.7101
Back Against the Wall 970 37.35 6.141 35.57% 0.599 0.5833
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 168 33.63 1.859 36.31% 0.038 0.2219
Burn Brightest Before the End 114 31.69 1.999 30.7% -0.152 -0.0653
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1302 34.34 2.776 34.72% 0.149 0.4401
Downward Spiral 2717 32.72 0.905 29.44% 0.364 0.4698
Erosion of Will 1492 34.55 1.107 31.57% -0.061 0.1049
Intensifying Exploitation 154 26.18 5.217 26.62% 0.769 0.9568
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 233 41.74 -1.693 51.07% -0.284 -0.7116
Memory Fades to Dust 2679 32.19 -0.209 27.14% -0.399 -0.164
Power Corrodes the Spirit 793 35.0 -4.092 34.68% -0.934 -0.8384
Promising Farmlands 1313 34.43 0.544 32.98% 0.097 0.4611
Shattered Fragments of Power 118 36.2 3.708 38.14% 0.336 0.4015
Slow Dissolution of Will 148 29.15 -1.646 25.68% -0.723 -0.2596
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 197 48.53 3.869 62.94% 0.252 -0.3493
The Border of Life and Death 39 34.87 6.656 51.28% 0.366 -0.1096
Thriving Communities 789 34.85 0.579 35.23% -0.333 -0.1079
Thriving Crops 60 36.98 5.198 50.0% 0.556 0.3314
Tipping Point 470 35.04 0.0 31.91%
Unnatural Proliferation 889 37.25 -2.151 37.12% -0.709 -0.5872
Untended Land Crumbles 840 34.07 4.46 34.05% 0.677 0.9093

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5835 62.06% 36.91 -1.301 38.03% 0.025 0.9437
B 7300 58.45% 39.07 0.593 41.74% 0.312 1.1537
C 11091 46.57% 44.73 3.41 57.69% 0.501 1.1842
D 5681 62.67% 37.94 -0.758 40.45% -0.073 0.7693
E 3126 63.65% 36.33 1.36 38.64% 0.058 0.7098
F 3163 63.89% 36.63 -0.202 37.94% -0.083 0.6765
G 2764 64.8% 35.9 -0.696 36.65% -0.366 0.3919
H 2855 62.89% 37.19 0.449 38.46% -0.046 0.6727
East 1284 54.17% 46.16 -0.534 38.47% 0.026 0.8397
Northeast 765 47.97% 48.8 -0.957 40.78% -0.332 0.3358
Northwest 601 43.5% 51.9 0.495 49.58% 0.422 1.2272
Southeast 241 33.2% 49.73 -1.865 44.81% -0.688 0.0179
Southwest 239 36.55% 46.01 -2.264 42.68% -0.48 0.9099
West 1026 51.27% 47.16 2.567 42.69% 0.538 1.3316

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 120 0.0% 51.95 1.199 57.5% 0.028 0.7473
Not Using Events or Tokens 3383 61.93% 31.91 -3.778 28.2% -0.392 0.093
Skip Initial Invader Actions 868 15.62% 62.31 7.275 76.84% 0.813 0.0824
Start of Game Growth 1371 17.84% 59.88 4.439 71.85% 0.151 -0.2951
Unlimited Undo 2575 56.14% 42.99 2.469 49.55% 0.563 0.5299
Using Tokens but Not Events 1868 58.94% 38.24 -0.356 37.63% -0.022 -0.1839

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8213 14.25 5.7%
II 8490 30.3 12.11%
III 5823 34.84 51.52%
IV 9777 38.61 99.8%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.822 Win Model: -0.029
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 24337 58.2% 39.02 45.22%
2 4992 68.15% 36.76 36.52%
3 1447 65.1% 36.15 35.31%
4 1382 27.47% 52.15 60.06%
5 37 43.33% 45.43 40.54%
6 108 21.5% 63.38 63.89%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 468
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2926
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 988
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9649
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3212
Lose: Invader deck ran out 46
Lose: Adversary condition 6589
Win: Sacrifice victory 148
Lose: Scenario condition 469
Win: Scenario condition 74
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7371
Lose: Spirit destroyed 363

The Kingdom of England — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 11865 37.86% 44.67 0.763 42.84% 0.179 0.0723
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 535 31.4% 33.36 0.775 33.64% 0.643 0.1545
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7225 69.43% 34.34 -2.24 28.42% 0.136 0.2792
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 983 58.39% 34.89 3.059 38.56% 0.733 -0.0152
Dances Up Earthquakes 272 45.22% 29.88 0.838 31.25% 0.358 0.1813
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3067 63.48% 31.31 -1.201 18.91% -0.188 -0.3948
Downpour Drenches the World 1958 32.92% 30.76 -4.588 26.97% -0.758 -0.4384
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2627 57.15% 25.09 -2.772 20.86% -0.249 -0.6899
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6980 50.67% 38.64 2.178 36.79% 0.479 0.1353
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 11187 49.5% 46.87 4.689 49.21% 0.678 0.3241
Finder of Paths Unseen 948 47.25% 27.93 -2.472 20.89% -0.922 -0.1376
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3919 40.01% 44.07 -3.354 40.65% -0.053 0.3956
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1867 65.34% 25.76 -7.159 16.01% -1.617 -1.6404
Heart of the Wildfire 5319 71.26% 26.37 -8.233 14.81% -1.491 -1.1643
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 29246 44.59% 46.21 3.482 50.69% 0.751 0.2557
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 528 57.12% 20.69 -4.264 10.98% -0.91 -1.4731
Lightning's Swift Strike 15584 58.94% 39.48 -3.711 36.01% -0.176 0.0228
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 4373 56.46% 40.48 4.591 39.65% 0.642 0.1939
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 2607 58.19% 46.72 2.689 49.6% 0.369 0.0497
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1935 49.77% 46.13 3.484 47.55% 0.435 0.5603
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 6236 66.06% 34.53 -2.628 29.71% -0.479 -0.6349
Many Minds Move as One 2833 46.68% 49.9 3.77 56.44% 0.877 0.6708
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 26468 54.89% 47.14 3.04 49.04% 0.975 1.1039
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 521 63.27% 26.35 -0.39 25.91% 0.248 0.3529
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3600 49.59% 38.34 -2.062 32.67% -0.947 -0.9964
River Surges in Sunlight 9629 49.34% 47.06 4.471 41.03% 0.65 0.6831
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 333 53.45% 25.17 -5.266 17.42% -1.001 -0.793
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1332 52.78% 36.9 -0.661 27.25% 0.199 0.3502
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 923 52.17% 37.88 1.926 25.35% 0.231 0.2405
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 16277 40.73% 48.79 2.073 52.72% 0.481 0.3823
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 72 34.72% 29.44 1.755 31.94% 0.633 0.1418
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3951 63.88% 36.81 -0.299 27.21% 0.657 1.1691
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 62 64.52% 28.32 -4.786 22.58% 0.059 0.0157
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 539 75.88% 28.69 3.16 22.45% 0.32 -0.1284
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 179 63.13% 27.15 8.056 18.44% 0.765 0.8231
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 375 73.07% 34.58 -1.134 22.93% 0.059 -0.1312
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 359 72.63% 34.24 -11.477 23.68% -0.146 -0.0625
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7780 43.88% 46.02 0.828 48.24% 0.058 -0.0403
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 581 51.98% 27.88 -2.352 25.65% -0.361 -0.5549
Shifting Memory of Ages 2550 51.95% 39.79 -0.063 36.78% 0.313 0.7023
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 579 42.04% 35.11 5.125 36.96% 1.325 1.2733
Shroud of Silent Mist 1568 77.43% 35.12 -4.344 30.8% -0.368 0.0464
Starlight Seeks its Form 5401 46.49% 37.29 0.506 36.38% 0.38 0.3399
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 12498 42.81% 41.46 0.133 46.38% 0.572 0.0694
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2584 58.28% 33.49 -3.931 25.04% -0.745 -0.6616
Thunderspeaker 9821 58.86% 35.94 -4.119 25.08% -0.112 -0.1173
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 310 54.69% 21.53 -4.578 17.1% -0.984 -0.595
Towering Roots of the Jungle 830 49.04% 25.59 -0.849 23.13% 0.246 0.4566
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4854 80.44% 40.33 -2.324 41.35% -0.248 -0.1707
Vital Strength of the Earth 4781 42.14% 39.6 -5.571 30.91% -0.611 -0.1618
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 867 35.23% 27.47 -3.768 21.91% -0.922 -0.4276
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 513 63.16% 29.85 -1.867 14.81% -0.428 0.265
Volcano Looming High 4257 72.7% 29.9 -4.985 20.41% -0.69 -0.6257
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1128 52.88% 34.04 1.332 33.42% 0.227 -0.0225

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 14 21.43% 45.71 0.0 35.71%
Blitz 0 2479 30.84% 49.0 7.671 47.48% 0.762 1.1853
Dahan Insurrection 4 3044 60.13% 43.97 2.942 15.01% 0.167 -0.3147
Despicable Theft 2 56 56.36% 35.55 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 216 69.38% 33.9 -10.402 16.2% -0.094 0.6437
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 19877 21.78% 54.05 10.916 54.4% 1.907 1.2503
Powers Long Forgotten 1 194 81.77% 29.11 4.09 10.31% 0.651 1.2132
Rituals of Terror 3 890 59.66% 96.97 18.829 56.29% 1.744 1.602
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 128 77.34% 29.21 0.0 7.03%
Second Wave 0 481 56.72% 39.58 6.68 35.55% 0.83 0.9243
The Great River 3 63 30.16% 26.62 0.0 15.87%
Varied Terrains 2 111 54.95% 17.1 2.304 3.6% -0.352 0.5164
Ward the Shores 2 297 66.78% 40.05 -8.822 26.94% -0.981 -0.1269

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 128027 58.64% 39.11 -0.897 38.14% -0.731 -0.3575
1 Thematic 7425 55.86% 44.66 3.113 25.87% -0.782 -0.0673
2 Archipelago 85 69.41% 50.98 -5.186 22.35% -0.56 -0.0358
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13188 64.17% 39.01 -0.35 36.21% -0.553 -0.3918
2 Coastline 2887 58.14% 36.53 2.814 33.25% 0.119 -0.0746
2 Fragment 278 59.71% 36.39 17.773 33.09% 0.75 0.7017
2 Heart 270 66.3% 45.44 4.446 51.11% -0.089 -0.3012
2 Opposite Shores 4251 51.49% 40.88 -2.568 37.14% -0.959 -0.8268
2 Thematic 2625 35.58% 67.56 6.624 52.11% -0.488 0.2322
2 Top to Top 867 56.7% 43.24 0.434 45.67% -0.471 -0.5554
3 Archipelago 61 49.18% 89.38 3.612 62.3% -0.204 -0.747
3 Coastline 42 41.46% 40.83 4.973 40.48% -0.136 -0.7665
3 Other 301 59.47% 50.75 10.293 58.14% 0.426 -0.4501
3 Round (Default) 7880 50.2% 40.6 -2.796 40.85% -1.402 -1.4252
3 Sunrise 18 50.0% 46.33 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 241 36.67% 72.78 13.678 44.81% 0.167 0.175
4 Archipelago 22 40.91% 42.64 -19.83 36.36% -0.243 -0.3942
4 Coastline 34 14.71% 43.76 -6.768 35.29% -0.343 -0.2138
4 Leaf 22 31.82% 46.18 8.419 40.91% -0.129 0.3068
4 Other 190 50.79% 54.74 10.465 65.26% 0.361 -0.2068
4 Thematic 1715 23.56% 65.64 -2.487 66.18% -0.539 -0.476
4 Trapezoid (Default) 5092 29.22% 40.22 -2.21 44.07% -0.423 -0.4182
5 Archipelago 7 57.14% 65.0 19.566 57.14% 0.377 0.168
5 Coastline 24 8.33% 54.67 -18.183 75.0% -0.457 -1.4782
5 Other 128 34.71% 53.2 5.189 60.94% -0.063 -0.3868
5 Thematic 85 21.43% 71.94 21.259 72.94% 0.863 0.7197
6 Archipelago 275 1.09% 70.88 13.154 79.64% 1.778 0.7401
6 Coastline 15 6.67% 33.13 11.979 40.0% 0.226 -0.8322
6 Other 142 19.01% 56.39 -9.584 65.49% -0.758 -0.8027
6 Star 41 24.39% 44.51 -17.163 48.78% -0.717 -0.0848
6 Thematic 569 9.33% 42.02 -3.199 41.83% -0.808 -0.6042
6 Two Centers (Default) 573 10.84% 39.56 -1.599 38.05% -0.892 -0.4178
7 Archipelago 3 100.0% 84.0 19.888 33.33% 0.612 0.2886
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 44.665 0.0% 0.926 0.2507

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 7313 37.88 3.772 32.45% 0.356 0.4269
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6106 41.26 2.88 37.52% 0.1 -0.01
All Things Weaken 4434 35.53 3.527 28.26% 0.355 0.5317
Attenuated Essence 925 30.47 3.006 26.16% 0.495 0.5464
Back Against the Wall 5643 40.44 5.114 35.73% 0.577 0.5615
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 890 29.74 3.854 24.94% 0.454 0.6375
Burn Brightest Before the End 661 34.13 3.739 26.93% 0.395 0.4814
Disintegrating Ecosystem 7013 35.39 1.856 30.67% 0.266 0.5577
Downward Spiral 13098 36.34 1.524 29.3% 0.385 0.491
Erosion of Will 7224 36.3 3.327 29.25% 0.381 0.5466
Intensifying Exploitation 932 30.8 2.869 27.79% 0.633 0.8214
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1501 43.38 1.99 44.04% 0.191 -0.2374
Memory Fades to Dust 12997 35.87 3.867 26.8% 0.542 0.7767
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4408 36.06 1.631 30.42% 0.142 0.2383
Promising Farmlands 7074 36.77 2.839 31.64% 0.34 0.7039
Shattered Fragments of Power 660 34.61 2.871 28.64% 0.092 0.1571
Slow Dissolution of Will 917 30.26 0.992 23.34% -0.18 0.2836
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 936 46.96 0.047 50.75% 0.214 -0.3876
The Border of Life and Death 174 35.06 7.483 35.63% 1.212 0.7362
Thriving Communities 4591 36.37 3.44 31.34% 0.428 0.6535
Thriving Crops 366 33.41 2.712 33.06% 0.481 0.2563
Tipping Point 2149 36.9 -12.584 30.39% -0.219 -0.1069
Unnatural Proliferation 4810 38.41 5.163 32.08% 0.551 0.6732
Untended Land Crumbles 4487 35.71 1.474 29.93% 0.191 0.4232

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 34238 53.99% 39.77 -0.998 38.29% -0.625 0.2933
B 37852 54.14% 39.62 0.387 38.48% -0.384 0.4575
C 41801 55.99% 41.04 -0.204 41.09% -0.439 0.2444
D 31442 56.36% 39.31 -0.772 38.74% -0.649 0.1931
E 22587 52.99% 38.83 1.888 38.23% -0.151 0.5006
F 19698 54.08% 38.91 -0.871 37.88% -0.552 0.2074
G 17846 52.17% 39.28 0.144 38.26% -0.547 0.211
H 19180 49.04% 40.62 1.017 40.9% -0.463 0.2558
East 9631 41.63% 55.37 2.577 40.95% -0.326 0.4871
Northeast 6659 35.89% 54.96 2.971 43.17% 0.076 0.7439
Northwest 3869 28.42% 58.27 -0.432 51.87% -0.619 0.186
Southeast 1416 33.24% 48.16 -3.957 39.69% -1.058 -0.3529
Southwest 1108 22.22% 46.27 -5.575 44.04% -1.472 -0.0826
West 6523 38.21% 57.33 4.492 45.41% -0.548 0.2456

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1317 0.0% 43.5 -3.702 42.67% -0.331 0.388
Not Using Events or Tokens 16088 56.26% 37.85 -2.557 25.93% -0.81 -0.3248
Skip Initial Invader Actions 9029 15.09% 64.93 8.794 74.77% 0.472 -0.2585
Start of Game Growth 10869 18.63% 62.72 8.891 71.95% 1.247 0.8004
Unlimited Undo 23380 37.77% 52.37 1.653 62.35% 0.332 0.2989
Using Tokens but Not Events 12046 48.85% 41.54 -1.358 38.61% -0.898 -1.0602

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 64765 14.25 6.59%
II 48469 30.3 23.51%
III 26188 34.84 55.75%
IV 38148 38.61 99.71%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.286 Win Model: 0.274
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 136818 58.53% 39.78 37.75%
2 23577 57.5% 41.03 37.29%
3 8389 50.23% 41.41 41.59%
4 7065 28.08% 46.68 49.79%
5 109 23.3% 45.28 44.95%
6 1612 9.32% 47.83 50.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4245
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14081
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10718
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 37260
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 22909
Lose: Invader deck ran out 245
Lose: Adversary condition 40346
Win: Sacrifice victory 1337
Lose: Scenario condition 5811
Win: Scenario condition 657
Lose: Blight pool ran out 37929
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2032

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)