The Kingdom of England — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6012 21.67% 26.28 0.214 86.49% -0.122 -0.0174
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3324 44.12% 24.06 -0.211 79.45% -0.118 0.0802
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2343 24.88% 26.3 0.227 89.54% 0.286 0.1719
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2932 15.13% 28.88 1.396 92.91% 0.401 -0.0026
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2488 20.04% 28.14 1.023 92.04% 0.463 0.1575
Fractured Days Split the Sky 396 35.1% 26.24 0.393 75.25% -0.864 -0.5158
Heart of the Wildfire 3413 59.58% 21.15 -1.479 73.04% -0.218 0.1005
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5647 23.55% 26.85 0.339 89.99% 0.212 -0.1306
Lightning's Swift Strike 6194 40.98% 24.44 -0.156 80.32% -0.017 0.2089
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 836 27.94% 26.86 0.697 92.11% 0.546 0.2588
Many Minds Move as One 670 23.73% 27.54 0.771 91.19% 0.303 -0.2296
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5296 40.81% 24.66 -0.206 82.18% 0.114 -0.1106
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2181 28.41% 25.03 -0.344 85.65% -0.104 -0.0897
River Surges in Sunlight 6639 36.52% 25.99 0.439 76.19% -0.495 -0.3743
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3026 32.37% 24.45 -0.502 83.31% -0.137 -0.0339
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3929 51.0% 23.17 -0.671 74.47% -0.225 0.18
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4065 23.51% 27.59 0.711 88.56% 0.006 -0.1064
Shifting Memory of Ages 126 36.51% 25.35 -0.198 90.48% 0.491 0.615
Shroud of Silent Mist 348 43.23% 24.05 -0.386 87.36% 0.335 0.3909
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1282 24.24% 24.55 -0.674 90.56% 0.227 0.167
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1696 28.5% 25.11 -0.442 81.96% -0.447 -0.2868
Thunderspeaker 5808 23.54% 28.17 1.195 88.02% 0.177 0.2005
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 854 59.81% 21.39 -1.457 78.92% 0.057 0.029
Vital Strength of the Earth 4727 28.68% 22.53 -1.49 74.23% -0.861 -0.0169
Volcano Looming High 509 37.08% 22.85 -1.157 83.89% -0.193 -0.1819

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 941 41.55% 22.42 -1.407 74.6% -0.45 0.116
Dahan Insurrection 4 923 21.33% 45.98 9.932 80.72% -0.576 -0.1758
Despicable Theft 2 44 45.45% 33.64 4.415 79.55% -0.127 0.1467
Elemental Invocation 1 74 43.24% 26.62 0.725 81.08% -0.193 0.3096
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2288 8.95% 30.52 1.96 86.45% -0.584 -0.219
Powers Long Forgotten 1 449 48.33% 28.37 1.395 73.94% -0.467 -0.021
Rituals of Terror 3 616 49.84% 33.41 4.25 63.31% -0.849 -0.204
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 336 69.35% 32.13 3.853 63.39% -0.495 0.1519
Second Wave 0 664 47.89% 22.63 -0.908 63.4% -1.144 -0.7143
The Great River 3 91 46.15% 30.32 2.982 57.14% -1.648 -0.175
Ward the Shores 2 550 48.09% 28.04 1.23 59.64% -1.322 -0.2903

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 33687 37.78% 24.2 -0.541 81.01% -0.223 -0.1364
1 Thematic 3453 42.07% 31.04 2.049 75.3% -0.232 0.0447
2 Archipelago 6 16.67% 37.33 4.612 100.0% 0.221 0.2275
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7693 32.13% 24.55 -0.309 84.06% -0.058 -0.0327
2 Coastline 699 33.68% 24.74 -0.165 85.12% 0.093 0.0687
2 Fragment 174 36.99% 22.89 -1.064 78.74% -0.43 -0.2071
2 Heart 98 35.05% 23.85 -0.897 83.67% -0.211 -0.1106
2 Opposite Shores 1020 28.57% 25.5 -0.039 89.41% 0.297 0.3624
2 Thematic 750 37.75% 33.19 1.842 76.4% -0.051 -0.1177
2 Top to Top 156 32.9% 24.69 -0.21 85.26% -0.016 -0.0845
3 Coastline 7 0.0% 28.14 0.874 100.0% 0.292 0.141
3 Other 85 30.12% 22.85 -1.003 82.35% -0.392 -0.2194
3 Round (Default) 3386 17.24% 27.22 0.416 91.46% 0.226 0.1877
3 Sunrise 10 20.0% 24.9 -0.477 90.0% -0.073 -0.3329
3 Thematic 138 38.41% 32.54 0.644 74.64% 0.02 -0.3464
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 37.0 6.301 100.0% 0.123 0.6707
4 Coastline 13 0.0% 29.77 0.948 92.31% 0.148 0.2673
4 Leaf 3 0.0% 30.0 1.402 100.0% 0.118 0.1904
4 Other 37 27.03% 25.08 -0.088 89.19% 0.054 -0.0156
4 Thematic 237 21.52% 31.71 -0.871 76.79% -0.362 -1.3592
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1104 22.53% 25.45 -0.079 85.05% -0.162 -0.1541
5 Other 14 50.0% 27.93 1.454 92.86% 0.485 0.0237
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 36.0 2.351 100.0% 0.163 -2.2289

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1194 19.29 -3.696 64.15% -2.256 -0.1869
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1013 19.99 -3.321 65.05% -2.192 -0.2791
All Things Weaken 406 18.24 -4.167 60.59% -2.45 -0.2911
Back Against the Wall 1016 18.98 -3.891 59.65% -2.446 -0.359
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1157 16.01 -5.386 56.53% -2.592 -0.37
Downward Spiral 4330 17.16 -4.547 60.83% -2.092 -0.0701
Erosion of Will 1249 18.12 -4.304 58.45% -2.513 -0.3057
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 155 23.77 -1.312 92.9% -0.39 0.2885
Memory Fades to Dust 4348 16.86 -4.718 56.21% -2.277 -0.0618
Power Corrodes the Spirit 401 18.29 -4.061 66.33% -2.195 -0.1742
Promising Farmlands 1198 17.38 -4.665 60.85% -2.401 -0.1927
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 143 24.18 -1.149 95.1% 0.068 0.4796
Thriving Communities 371 16.84 -4.9 58.76% -2.547 -0.4586
Tipping Point 618 17.72 -4.585 59.71% -2.343 -0.1183
Unnatural Proliferation 386 17.92 -4.256 55.7% -2.664 -0.5827
Untended Land Crumbles 393 18.83 -3.882 67.18% -2.124 -0.0222

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 13057 33.66% 24.45 -0.389 82.16% 0.19 -0.498
B 13401 32.14% 24.91 -0.11 83.64% 0.284 -0.4996
C 13161 32.19% 24.87 -0.139 83.09% 0.243 -0.7696
D 12870 32.42% 24.84 -0.121 83.74% 0.332 -0.4454
E 2666 29.38% 25.52 0.084 86.83% 0.267 -0.627
F 4646 30.08% 25.1 -0.11 86.35% 0.291 -0.5495
G 4422 31.0% 24.77 -0.262 85.46% 0.219 -0.6126
H 4545 30.31% 25.32 -0.013 86.69% 0.344 -0.4948
East 1392 36.53% 33.26 2.221 76.44% 0.165 -0.4113
Northeast 1634 36.89% 32.44 1.897 76.01% 0.041 -0.4831
Northwest 1314 36.29% 32.31 1.735 77.25% 0.254 -0.3408
Southeast 232 34.91% 31.03 1.074 80.17% 0.196 -0.4329
Southwest 206 36.89% 25.31 -2.043 72.33% -0.392 -0.5903
West 1319 40.78% 31.45 1.245 72.55% -0.072 -0.3993

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 624 0.0% 22.95 -2.045 73.24% -1.731 0.3223
Not Using Events or Tokens 13300 42.98% 23.19 -0.79 75.02% -0.446 -0.2311
Skip Initial Invader Actions 748 10.21% 33.67 2.633 93.32% 0.563 -0.1233
Start of Game Growth 1224 13.15% 31.88 2.049 93.06% 0.458 -0.0112
Unlimited Undo 2998 28.1% 27.01 0.546 87.49% 0.285 -0.1385
Using Tokens but Not Events 5691 20.8% 27.07 0.458 88.97% -0.008 -0.0592

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4776 22.37 39.7%
II 18481 30.88 76.73%
III 19470 34.39 88.53%
IV 10045 37.55 99.07%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.019 Win Model: -0.184
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 37206 38.2% 24.84 80.49%
2 10558 32.33% 25.23 84.05%
3 3613 18.25% 27.32 90.67%
4 1395 22.45% 26.57 83.8%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1385
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13191
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10165
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7659
Lose: Invader deck ran out 561
Lose: Adversary condition 2477
Win: Sacrifice victory 219
Lose: Scenario condition 405
Win: Scenario condition 1072
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5683
Lose: Spirit destroyed 381

The Kingdom of England — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3202 25.62% 34.94 0.665 84.13% 0.025 0.1293
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1737 54.6% 32.23 0.0 75.36% 0.073 0.2704
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1278 33.41% 34.35 0.483 85.37% 0.351 0.2369
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1819 21.09% 37.73 1.783 87.96% 0.295 -0.1089
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1649 28.64% 36.63 1.537 88.54% 0.582 0.2766
Fractured Days Split the Sky 231 42.86% 34.24 0.769 71.0% -0.607 -0.2587
Heart of the Wildfire 2090 65.62% 28.81 -1.43 69.52% -0.069 0.2492
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3540 36.65% 33.82 0.253 83.98% 0.24 -0.1029
Lightning's Swift Strike 3583 40.96% 33.45 0.419 78.57% 0.078 0.3034
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 594 42.33% 33.23 0.269 82.49% 0.232 -0.055
Many Minds Move as One 452 28.54% 35.36 0.877 84.51% 0.071 -0.4621
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2787 52.05% 31.72 -0.359 75.82% 0.142 -0.0827
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1328 40.49% 31.8 -0.704 77.33% -0.164 -0.1501
River Surges in Sunlight 3652 46.27% 31.97 -0.419 66.84% -0.631 -0.5106
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1889 35.88% 33.37 0.032 82.64% 0.133 0.2357
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2034 60.52% 29.51 -1.352 63.72% -0.428 -0.0231
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2184 34.01% 34.92 0.75 82.28% 0.053 -0.0593
Shifting Memory of Ages 100 44.0% 31.57 -0.441 82.0% 0.044 0.1688
Shroud of Silent Mist 254 53.36% 31.12 -0.445 79.53% 0.143 0.1991
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 884 26.85% 32.74 -0.469 86.65% 0.203 0.143
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 924 48.36% 29.79 -1.782 64.39% -0.792 -0.631
Thunderspeaker 3256 31.94% 36.46 1.541 83.85% 0.295 0.3187
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 562 67.44% 28.25 -1.613 73.49% 0.056 0.0276
Vital Strength of the Earth 2549 38.48% 29.88 -1.723 68.5% -0.665 0.1786
Volcano Looming High 329 47.84% 30.62 -0.957 77.51% -0.094 -0.0833

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 693 44.96% 30.49 -1.276 71.86% -0.318 0.2476
Dahan Insurrection 4 609 26.4% 53.49 9.941 77.34% -0.437 -0.0367
Despicable Theft 2 28 57.14% 34.46 1.318 60.71% -0.692 -0.4182
Elemental Invocation 1 45 57.78% 31.18 -0.428 73.33% -0.322 0.1804
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1294 12.28% 37.69 1.646 79.29% -0.693 -0.3277
Powers Long Forgotten 1 382 61.68% 32.63 0.171 62.3% -0.55 -0.1041
Rituals of Terror 3 286 54.2% 41.71 4.396 63.99% -0.566 0.0794
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 175 72.57% 39.98 3.732 62.86% -0.398 0.2489
Second Wave 0 2538 46.76% 32.84 0.249 69.15% -0.657 -0.227
The Great River 3 50 70.0% 32.78 1.125 48.0% -1.209 0.2637
Ward the Shores 2 358 50.99% 36.13 1.519 61.45% -0.875 0.157

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 18295 43.64% 31.77 -0.563 76.55% -0.47 -0.384
1 Thematic 2605 48.78% 37.19 1.564 71.06% -0.679 -0.4016
2 Archipelago 3 66.67% 37.33 3.002 100.0% 0.453 0.46
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4041 41.09% 31.81 -0.367 78.62% -0.107 -0.0816
2 Coastline 435 39.53% 32.12 -0.167 80.46% 0.064 0.0389
2 Fragment 124 52.85% 30.38 -0.756 76.61% 0.026 0.2488
2 Heart 74 33.78% 32.22 -0.504 81.08% -0.198 -0.0985
2 Opposite Shores 853 38.74% 33.2 0.093 82.3% 0.149 0.2149
2 Thematic 716 44.73% 39.43 1.607 73.74% -0.349 -0.4156
2 Top to Top 136 44.12% 31.48 -0.487 77.94% -0.086 -0.1548
3 Coastline 7 28.57% 39.0 2.976 100.0% 0.923 0.7721
3 Other 70 33.33% 33.86 0.475 85.71% 0.281 0.4541
3 Round (Default) 1748 27.96% 34.21 0.247 84.15% 0.241 0.202
3 Sunrise 6 33.33% 33.17 -1.143 66.67% -0.54 -0.7996
3 Thematic 174 39.66% 38.01 0.348 73.56% -0.083 -0.449
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 59.0 11.408 100.0% 0.063 0.6108
4 Coastline 5 40.0% 28.4 -3.328 40.0% -0.973 -0.8529
4 Leaf 8 12.5% 34.5 0.379 87.5% 0.294 0.3656
4 Other 21 47.62% 32.52 -0.573 76.19% 0.152 0.0825
4 Thematic 172 42.11% 41.55 0.642 75.0% 0.145 -0.8519
4 Trapezoid (Default) 610 32.89% 33.74 0.035 80.49% 0.417 0.425
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 15.0 -8.518 0.0% -0.546 0.6137
5 Other 8 37.5% 38.25 3.353 100.0% 0.709 0.248
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 45.0 2.355 100.0% 0.08 -2.3121

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 965 25.17 -4.781 55.96% -2.219 -0.1494
Aid From Lesser Spirits 769 27.51 -3.591 59.82% -2.027 -0.1137
All Things Weaken 307 25.32 -4.592 57.65% -2.113 0.0461
Back Against the Wall 763 25.56 -4.506 55.44% -2.253 -0.1657
Disintegrating Ecosystem 871 22.85 -5.987 53.96% -2.292 -0.0696
Downward Spiral 2606 24.68 -4.891 59.13% -1.903 0.1191
Erosion of Will 883 24.76 -4.988 54.47% -2.271 -0.0633
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 123 32.07 -1.085 87.8% -0.503 0.1755
Memory Fades to Dust 2569 23.96 -5.27 53.6% -2.137 0.0781
Power Corrodes the Spirit 317 26.16 -4.149 63.72% -1.911 0.1098
Promising Farmlands 899 23.79 -5.363 54.95% -2.237 -0.029
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 104 33.74 -0.351 94.23% 0.251 0.6621
Thriving Communities 279 24.75 -4.89 57.71% -2.089 -0.0008
Tipping Point 493 24.87 -5.053 55.98% -2.196 0.0288
Unnatural Proliferation 348 24.8 -4.946 53.16% -2.341 -0.2598
Untended Land Crumbles 337 25.23 -4.617 60.83% -2.039 0.0629

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6920 41.57% 31.84 -0.422 77.14% 0.181 -0.5071
B 7236 39.32% 32.23 -0.256 78.03% 0.168 -0.6152
C 7264 39.14% 32.55 -0.082 79.03% 0.253 -0.7596
D 7010 41.26% 32.2 -0.162 78.26% 0.277 -0.5001
E 1681 38.48% 32.86 -0.037 81.08% 0.218 -0.6766
F 2573 37.74% 32.77 -0.092 80.8% 0.231 -0.6102
G 2515 40.86% 32.27 -0.271 79.52% 0.216 -0.6161
H 2695 36.97% 32.91 -0.07 81.04% 0.218 -0.6215
East 1209 43.38% 40.34 2.324 74.77% 0.398 -0.1783
Northeast 1273 45.07% 39.03 1.678 73.29% 0.272 -0.2525
Northwest 1063 44.4% 39.17 1.691 74.04% 0.386 -0.2086
Southeast 230 45.65% 35.86 0.252 71.3% 0.186 -0.4435
Southwest 221 53.39% 30.76 -2.355 65.16% -0.154 -0.3529
West 1109 50.18% 38.21 1.093 69.43% 0.095 -0.2318

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 316 0.0% 30.44 -2.631 68.04% -1.761 0.2915
Not Using Events or Tokens 6029 46.59% 31.07 -0.697 71.24% -0.324 -0.1093
Skip Initial Invader Actions 431 9.97% 46.23 4.184 95.36% 1.071 0.3843
Start of Game Growth 658 13.62% 43.09 2.946 92.4% 0.374 -0.0952
Unlimited Undo 1998 34.95% 34.52 0.518 83.83% 0.261 -0.1619
Using Tokens but Not Events 3065 29.2% 34.85 0.674 84.4% 0.141 0.0902

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2590 22.37 29.54%
II 11336 30.88 67.81%
III 10182 34.39 86.38%
IV 6007 37.55 99.15%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.059 Win Model: -0.438
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 20935 44.29% 32.45 75.89%
2 6380 41.23% 32.84 78.68%
3 1988 29.28% 34.57 83.15%
4 812 34.75% 35.3 79.06%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 547
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6741
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5466
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4628
Lose: Invader deck ran out 255
Lose: Adversary condition 1904
Win: Sacrifice victory 145
Lose: Scenario condition 297
Win: Scenario condition 688
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4238
Lose: Spirit destroyed 218

The Kingdom of England — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3826 34.06% 35.46 1.172 75.67% 0.193 0.2972
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2346 67.17% 31.26 -0.356 62.15% -0.123 0.0744
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1819 41.32% 35.31 0.966 77.79% 0.299 0.1857
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2385 33.14% 37.52 1.905 79.66% 0.296 -0.1081
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2158 42.47% 36.61 1.574 79.89% 0.456 0.1506
Fractured Days Split the Sky 337 48.81% 36.87 1.736 70.03% -0.182 0.1659
Heart of the Wildfire 2916 84.5% 22.97 -4.324 43.9% -0.722 -0.403
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7914 34.81% 35.57 1.068 79.53% 0.221 -0.122
Lightning's Swift Strike 4488 59.13% 31.31 -0.548 63.32% -0.121 0.1045
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 963 55.85% 32.61 -0.135 71.55% 0.019 -0.2676
Many Minds Move as One 723 34.07% 36.54 1.265 78.01% 0.027 -0.5056
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4063 60.67% 33.32 0.672 71.15% 0.45 0.2252
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1698 49.03% 32.9 -0.134 70.79% -0.004 0.0104
River Surges in Sunlight 4336 58.35% 31.64 -0.465 55.88% -0.539 -0.4184
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2829 45.05% 33.64 0.219 71.97% 0.049 0.1518
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1900 79.48% 25.61 -2.975 43.89% -0.682 -0.2769
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2529 45.3% 35.11 0.914 73.74% 0.104 -0.0081
Shifting Memory of Ages 193 59.07% 34.41 0.95 80.83% 0.577 0.702
Shroud of Silent Mist 393 70.33% 30.45 -1.041 65.9% -0.125 -0.069
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1378 36.24% 33.95 0.134 81.86% 0.392 0.332
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1016 65.02% 27.34 -2.753 50.49% -0.839 -0.6782
Thunderspeaker 3501 49.28% 34.63 0.967 69.09% 0.124 0.1482
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 957 80.84% 29.18 -1.283 66.77% 0.162 0.1345
Vital Strength of the Earth 3712 42.52% 31.35 -0.83 65.36% -0.367 0.477
Volcano Looming High 721 65.83% 29.92 -1.288 68.38% -0.047 -0.0367

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 739 51.73% 29.94 -1.432 59.4% -0.376 0.19
Dahan Insurrection 4 534 41.7% 49.59 8.06 61.05% -0.485 -0.0848
Despicable Theft 2 21 80.95% 34.14 1.198 52.38% -0.356 -0.082
Elemental Invocation 1 55 65.45% 32.76 -0.413 61.82% -0.36 0.1425
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2304 14.51% 38.69 2.136 74.74% -0.406 -0.0411
Powers Long Forgotten 1 276 75.27% 30.46 -0.804 49.28% -0.638 -0.1915
Rituals of Terror 3 206 61.95% 38.86 3.215 48.06% -0.784 -0.1391
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 138 82.61% 37.22 2.561 49.28% -0.443 0.2034
Second Wave 0 1498 58.63% 31.68 -0.582 55.01% -0.786 -0.3564
The Great River 3 39 48.72% 36.1 1.21 43.59% -1.519 -0.0462
Ward the Shores 2 333 52.27% 36.05 1.027 50.45% -1.115 -0.0832

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 28356 50.1% 32.55 -0.082 70.26% -0.039 0.0475
1 Thematic 2223 59.98% 34.57 0.71 55.2% -0.273 0.0035
2 Archipelago 2 0.0% 46.0 4.501 100.0% 0.258 0.265
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5476 55.25% 31.65 -0.342 67.46% -0.079 -0.0528
2 Coastline 585 45.69% 34.25 0.614 76.07% 0.229 0.2046
2 Fragment 130 51.94% 31.21 -0.738 63.85% -0.318 -0.0951
2 Heart 80 55.0% 29.95 -1.409 63.75% -0.404 -0.3046
2 Opposite Shores 1227 48.94% 33.17 -0.033 70.58% -0.075 -0.0095
2 Thematic 766 57.87% 34.99 0.274 54.44% -0.197 -0.2639
2 Top to Top 180 60.0% 31.66 -0.524 68.33% -0.147 -0.2159
3 Archipelago 2 100.0% 33.5 1.071 50.0% -0.419 0.3856
3 Coastline 4 50.0% 28.5 -2.049 25.0% -0.613 -0.7635
3 Other 82 41.46% 36.52 1.35 82.93% 0.262 0.4345
3 Round (Default) 1966 47.92% 32.85 -0.041 70.5% -0.034 -0.0728
3 Sunrise 9 44.44% 36.89 2.203 88.89% 0.606 0.3458
3 Thematic 147 63.27% 36.89 0.925 51.7% 0.239 -0.1276
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 47.0 5.453 100.0% 0.061 0.6084
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 42.33 1.428 66.67% -0.189 -0.0696
4 Leaf 3 66.67% 21.0 -4.361 33.33% -0.689 -0.6174
4 Other 44 63.64% 33.64 0.592 75.0% 0.292 0.2229
4 Thematic 235 47.81% 38.36 0.637 59.57% 0.436 -0.5607
4 Trapezoid (Default) 974 40.4% 34.4 0.261 70.94% -0.098 -0.0901
5 Other 21 38.1% 42.1 3.645 100.0% 1.214 0.7535

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1724 26.95 -3.742 53.25% -1.616 0.4536
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1409 29.53 -2.446 59.05% -1.365 0.5479
All Things Weaken 590 26.72 -3.82 54.07% -1.674 0.4853
Back Against the Wall 1326 27.91 -3.326 53.7% -1.633 0.4538
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1570 24.51 -5.007 50.64% -1.725 0.4968
Downward Spiral 3969 25.27 -4.361 50.67% -1.505 0.5168
Erosion of Will 1550 26.11 -4.199 50.32% -1.771 0.4369
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 247 35.06 -0.057 85.02% -0.174 0.5048
Memory Fades to Dust 4156 25.07 -4.462 48.2% -1.605 0.6099
Power Corrodes the Spirit 591 27.12 -3.697 57.19% -1.578 0.4433
Promising Farmlands 1617 25.83 -4.313 52.57% -1.652 0.5558
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 160 35.32 0.032 82.5% -0.42 -0.0083
Thriving Communities 566 24.54 -5.111 48.94% -1.953 0.135
Tipping Point 849 24.84 -4.85 47.7% -1.826 0.3989
Unnatural Proliferation 670 27.66 -3.498 54.63% -1.691 0.3899
Untended Land Crumbles 558 26.44 -4.062 55.56% -1.631 0.4714

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9259 52.94% 31.82 -0.372 67.13% 0.347 -0.3408
B 9972 51.94% 32.12 -0.201 68.16% 0.377 -0.4065
C 10907 48.1% 33.13 0.235 70.71% 0.467 -0.5456
D 9065 51.57% 32.2 -0.163 68.85% 0.428 -0.3497
E 2608 46.79% 33.97 0.343 75.5% 0.46 -0.4339
F 4337 48.63% 32.89 -0.119 71.66% 0.359 -0.4815
G 3870 51.09% 32.75 -0.136 71.86% 0.42 -0.4119
H 4243 44.75% 33.83 0.232 73.96% 0.421 -0.418
East 1211 56.92% 37.53 1.672 58.46% 0.442 -0.1338
Northeast 1259 56.45% 36.25 0.921 55.04% 0.032 -0.4927
Northwest 994 58.35% 35.37 0.561 55.43% 0.216 -0.3789
Southeast 211 50.24% 35.29 0.51 59.72% 0.26 -0.3691
Southwest 202 55.28% 27.23 -3.777 45.54% -0.526 -0.7245
West 1108 60.53% 35.09 0.231 52.08% -0.04 -0.3671

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 324 0.0% 29.61 -2.867 54.01% -1.575 0.4776
Not Using Events or Tokens 6337 60.48% 28.85 -1.7 54.87% -0.55 -0.3347
Skip Initial Invader Actions 465 15.95% 46.22 3.819 87.96% 0.173 -0.5129
Start of Game Growth 704 17.21% 44.76 3.813 88.78% 0.969 0.5005
Unlimited Undo 2887 49.62% 34.71 0.787 75.2% 0.324 -0.0994
Using Tokens but Not Events 4321 42.26% 34.64 0.77 77.13% 0.303 0.2519

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5787 22.37 8.28%
II 13408 30.88 54.79%
III 14170 34.39 87.13%
IV 9151 37.55 99.32%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.001 Win Model: -0.382
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 30639 50.8% 32.7 69.19%
2 8431 53.99% 32.34 67.26%
3 2184 48.91% 33.18 69.46%
4 1262 42.14% 35.17 69.1%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 342
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9550
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5272
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7266
Lose: Invader deck ran out 309
Lose: Adversary condition 4516
Win: Sacrifice victory 168
Lose: Scenario condition 567
Win: Scenario condition 493
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7477
Lose: Spirit destroyed 387

The Kingdom of England — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4303 44.74% 37.93 1.285 60.86% 0.232 0.3363
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2255 76.13% 32.63 -0.869 46.03% -0.215 -0.017
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1829 59.86% 35.92 0.182 58.17% 0.123 0.0098
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2295 43.88% 40.05 2.076 66.36% 0.331 -0.0735
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2589 52.18% 39.71 1.985 66.32% 0.448 0.1424
Fractured Days Split the Sky 442 55.88% 37.77 0.983 51.36% -0.351 -0.0022
Heart of the Wildfire 2726 87.05% 23.92 -5.377 27.48% -0.985 -0.6661
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6078 52.64% 37.97 1.261 62.73% 0.247 -0.0952
Lightning's Swift Strike 4855 67.62% 33.27 -0.827 49.12% -0.122 0.1041
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1219 71.62% 34.17 -0.637 54.72% -0.059 -0.3457
Many Minds Move as One 639 44.36% 40.86 2.4 69.01% 0.377 -0.1562
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4926 66.55% 36.57 1.09 58.93% 0.468 0.243
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1800 58.81% 33.9 -0.85 51.56% -0.21 -0.1958
River Surges in Sunlight 4403 64.24% 34.54 -0.431 45.17% -0.393 -0.2726
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3551 52.38% 37.66 1.026 61.36% 0.243 0.3462
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1503 81.81% 26.73 -3.837 28.41% -0.909 -0.5046
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2518 56.78% 36.18 0.322 55.6% -0.02 -0.132
Shifting Memory of Ages 300 67.67% 36.1 0.399 60.0% 0.114 0.2382
Shroud of Silent Mist 396 76.46% 33.18 -0.799 52.53% -0.051 0.0056
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2010 41.59% 37.96 0.85 72.54% 0.503 0.4437
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 855 72.5% 30.33 -2.567 39.88% -0.559 -0.398
Thunderspeaker 3960 63.57% 36.59 0.822 55.88% 0.183 0.2066
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1097 86.0% 33.54 -0.437 57.16% 0.25 0.2218
Vital Strength of the Earth 2817 59.56% 31.21 -1.918 41.82% -0.516 0.3284
Volcano Looming High 846 75.63% 33.19 -0.902 56.38% 0.082 0.0924

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 529 54.79% 35.4 -0.61 53.69% -0.177 0.3885
Dahan Insurrection 4 522 52.45% 48.68 6.607 44.83% -0.419 -0.019
Despicable Theft 2 10 60.0% 39.5 1.84 40.0% -0.422 -0.1483
Elemental Invocation 1 60 66.67% 35.07 -0.702 46.67% -0.608 -0.1058
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2166 20.46% 40.57 1.802 59.74% -0.242 0.1232
Powers Long Forgotten 1 208 83.17% 32.24 -1.181 34.62% -0.655 -0.2083
Rituals of Terror 3 138 71.53% 41.76 3.317 42.03% -0.431 0.2139
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 57 92.98% 36.47 1.083 31.58% -0.607 0.04
Second Wave 0 683 60.79% 35.31 -0.321 46.85% -0.562 -0.1319
The Great River 3 28 60.71% 31.61 -0.939 21.43% -1.334 0.1389
Ward the Shores 2 175 68.97% 37.96 1.078 40.57% -0.672 0.3596

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 26346 64.44% 34.58 -0.151 55.37% -0.349 -0.2621
1 Thematic 1565 62.2% 38.89 1.225 48.37% -0.372 -0.0956
2 Archipelago 5 60.0% 53.8 9.292 80.0% 0.215 0.2217
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5959 63.24% 34.4 -0.175 53.42% -0.249 -0.2233
2 Coastline 698 64.03% 35.55 0.172 57.31% -0.205 -0.2296
2 Fragment 148 66.89% 32.79 -0.902 49.32% -0.379 -0.156
2 Heart 75 71.62% 34.2 -0.75 54.67% -0.398 -0.2984
2 Opposite Shores 1253 60.8% 34.83 -0.305 53.31% -0.355 -0.2901
2 Thematic 501 65.73% 36.61 0.229 39.52% -0.094 -0.1609
2 Top to Top 232 57.83% 37.28 1.09 60.34% -0.011 -0.0799
3 Coastline 9 33.33% 36.89 0.634 55.56% -0.131 -0.2819
3 Other 101 47.52% 40.88 1.85 71.29% -0.116 0.0567
3 Round (Default) 2312 56.16% 35.29 0.034 54.67% -0.104 -0.1428
3 Sunrise 12 66.67% 44.08 4.931 75.0% 0.776 0.5159
3 Thematic 97 61.86% 38.35 0.722 43.3% 0.452 0.0856
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 61.0 4.195 100.0% 0.046 0.1659
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 19.0 -10.065 0.0% -0.903 -0.8309
4 Other 64 56.25% 36.06 -0.518 57.81% -0.421 -0.4906
4 Snake 4 75.0% 32.5 -0.305 50.0% 0.142 0.268
4 Thematic 288 51.74% 37.38 -0.574 39.93% 0.658 -0.3391
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1404 47.56% 37.79 0.161 57.98% -0.047 -0.0394
5 Other 15 42.86% 52.93 5.943 100.0% 1.071 0.61
5 Thematic 3 100.0% 45.33 4.852 66.67% 0.792 -1.5998

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1984 30.34 -3.152 43.15% -1.079 0.9901
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1590 32.97 -1.859 48.55% -0.862 1.0509
All Things Weaken 811 31.21 -2.783 47.47% -1.012 1.1469
Back Against the Wall 1587 31.04 -2.795 43.23% -1.081 1.0064
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1891 27.78 -4.481 40.72% -1.194 1.0285
Downward Spiral 4606 29.52 -3.396 44.36% -0.884 1.1377
Erosion of Will 1964 29.92 -3.37 42.16% -1.133 1.0751
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 248 39.43 0.973 72.58% -0.043 0.6358
Memory Fades to Dust 4566 29.45 -3.43 42.53% -0.967 1.2481
Power Corrodes the Spirit 767 30.62 -3.065 48.11% -0.977 1.0437
Promising Farmlands 2011 29.42 -3.645 43.61% -1.094 1.114
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 187 39.93 1.28 75.94% 0.114 0.526
Thriving Communities 771 29.3 -3.713 45.14% -1.105 0.9828
Tipping Point 1030 28.7 -3.942 41.17% -1.14 1.0845
Unnatural Proliferation 863 32.34 -2.18 50.17% -0.891 1.1896
Untended Land Crumbles 758 30.41 -3.156 47.23% -1.002 1.1006

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9722 61.94% 34.68 -0.18 53.3% 0.573 -0.1152
B 10348 62.17% 34.38 -0.31 52.87% 0.553 -0.231
C 11046 62.08% 35.19 0.205 55.4% 0.68 -0.3326
D 9451 62.08% 34.72 -0.167 54.35% 0.609 -0.1682
E 3004 57.72% 36.86 0.539 61.42% 0.68 -0.2146
F 4509 61.1% 35.42 -0.025 57.77% 0.639 -0.2021
G 3936 60.22% 35.12 -0.228 56.25% 0.546 -0.2857
H 4467 56.0% 36.46 0.364 59.48% 0.624 -0.2149
East 924 61.4% 38.65 0.976 43.07% 0.385 -0.1908
Northeast 931 57.95% 39.1 0.975 43.61% 0.254 -0.271
Northwest 812 59.25% 37.82 0.347 42.61% 0.305 -0.2897
Southeast 179 59.43% 37.68 0.112 49.72% 0.311 -0.318
Southwest 187 59.12% 33.0 -2.591 42.78% -0.089 -0.2879
West 872 61.3% 36.85 -0.052 39.79% 0.096 -0.2315

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 316 0.0% 37.01 -1.212 51.58% -0.876 1.1767
Not Using Events or Tokens 5875 66.95% 32.22 -1.232 46.08% -0.376 -0.1609
Skip Initial Invader Actions 731 14.24% 53.68 5.877 86.18% 0.938 0.2519
Start of Game Growth 1039 19.33% 50.67 4.75 81.91% 0.576 0.107
Unlimited Undo 3516 59.15% 38.4 1.407 63.88% 0.357 -0.0658
Using Tokens but Not Events 3370 56.0% 36.29 0.278 59.41% 0.027 -0.0237

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6703 22.37 3.3%
II 12330 30.88 22.89%
III 12228 34.39 78.7%
IV 9833 37.55 99.3%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.027 Win Model: -0.788
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 27985 64.28% 34.84 55.04%
2 8853 63.14% 34.72 53.02%
3 2503 56.07% 35.58 54.69%
4 1753 48.4% 37.7 54.93%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 171
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7581
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2063
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7923
Lose: Invader deck ran out 239
Lose: Adversary condition 7810
Win: Sacrifice victory 193
Lose: Scenario condition 760
Win: Scenario condition 304
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9367
Lose: Spirit destroyed 488

The Kingdom of England — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4069 40.9% 44.0 0.59 65.27% 0.081 0.1852
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2154 72.11% 38.71 -1.156 52.51% -0.129 0.0693
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1772 61.61% 38.73 -1.725 54.35% -0.201 -0.3145
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2319 42.86% 45.63 1.419 70.63% 0.33 -0.0743
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4539 31.32% 50.92 3.897 82.22% 0.882 0.5768
Fractured Days Split the Sky 526 44.95% 47.31 1.969 65.4% -0.07 0.2787
Heart of the Wildfire 2469 75.69% 32.34 -4.664 38.27% -0.748 -0.4297
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10855 32.66% 48.59 2.589 76.24% 0.48 0.1378
Lightning's Swift Strike 4462 57.86% 39.43 -1.451 53.2% -0.308 -0.0826
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1388 57.53% 42.23 -0.34 63.9% 0.051 -0.2362
Many Minds Move as One 699 38.54% 47.75 2.22 76.25% 0.494 -0.0391
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4199 61.26% 41.99 0.445 61.8% 0.389 0.165
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1899 53.67% 38.99 -1.917 53.82% -0.382 -0.3683
River Surges in Sunlight 3781 57.91% 39.87 -1.288 48.88% -0.522 -0.4012
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4954 41.04% 45.61 1.219 70.57% 0.316 0.419
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1090 73.71% 32.52 -4.493 34.68% -0.944 -0.5396
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4247 32.01% 48.87 1.624 73.28% 0.182 0.0702
Shifting Memory of Ages 314 61.78% 40.14 -1.123 58.6% -0.221 -0.0967
Shroud of Silent Mist 349 70.11% 40.57 -0.502 61.6% 0.158 0.2144
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2359 38.51% 42.29 -0.189 74.48% 0.399 0.3396
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 764 62.66% 36.56 -3.066 45.55% -0.708 -0.5474
Thunderspeaker 4825 45.13% 44.96 -0.074 63.94% -0.099 -0.0748
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1594 81.53% 41.18 0.198 66.75% 0.562 0.5338
Vital Strength of the Earth 2129 53.79% 36.56 -3.068 45.14% -0.782 0.0621
Volcano Looming High 1207 72.76% 36.87 -2.091 54.43% -0.128 -0.1176

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 411 54.95% 36.86 -2.447 49.39% -0.489 0.0766
Dahan Insurrection 4 405 51.86% 52.98 6.047 44.44% -0.474 -0.0736
Despicable Theft 2 6 100.0% 36.0 -1.261 33.33% -0.181 0.0933
Elemental Invocation 1 48 75.0% 41.73 0.589 58.33% 0.089 0.5911
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5181 9.98% 53.59 3.653 80.25% 0.081 0.4457
Powers Long Forgotten 1 134 76.12% 36.12 -1.917 34.33% -0.673 -0.2269
Rituals of Terror 3 122 68.03% 44.54 2.375 35.25% -0.487 0.1584
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 97 90.72% 35.09 -1.648 21.65% -0.983 -0.3364
Second Wave 0 370 62.33% 36.31 -2.746 41.62% -0.965 -0.5352
The Great River 3 33 78.79% 34.03 -1.076 21.21% -1.046 0.4276
Ward the Shores 2 142 65.96% 40.54 -0.092 39.44% -0.769 0.2629

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 28842 54.54% 41.54 -0.112 62.56% -0.114 -0.0279
1 Thematic 1073 63.65% 39.13 -1.113 38.49% -0.535 -0.2582
2 Archipelago 3 66.67% 29.67 -5.301 0.0% -1.291 -1.2839
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6055 56.97% 41.4 -0.392 59.95% -0.049 -0.0231
2 Coastline 1008 49.65% 44.91 1.282 69.74% 0.276 0.2516
2 Fragment 121 59.66% 35.52 -2.935 45.45% -0.777 -0.5539
2 Heart 123 54.47% 43.72 0.575 63.41% -0.165 -0.0653
2 Opposite Shores 1025 59.9% 38.85 -1.484 52.49% -0.307 -0.2418
2 Thematic 308 63.96% 42.14 0.026 43.83% 0.226 0.1594
2 Top to Top 209 60.0% 40.17 -0.568 59.81% -0.08 -0.149
3 Coastline 18 76.47% 30.44 -2.907 22.22% -0.606 -0.757
3 Other 124 56.1% 43.96 0.62 70.97% -0.015 0.158
3 Round (Default) 2157 51.84% 41.73 -0.179 61.98% 0.131 0.0923
3 Sunrise 14 50.0% 37.29 -2.832 50.0% -0.613 -0.8732
3 Thematic 63 61.9% 41.76 -0.185 44.44% 0.782 0.4163
4 Archipelago 3 66.67% 48.67 2.289 66.67% 0.051 0.5988
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 30.0 -11.612 0.0% -0.709 -0.5896
4 Leaf 10 70.0% 40.0 -1.582 60.0% -0.087 -0.0151
4 Other 65 61.54% 43.69 0.26 67.69% 0.074 0.0045
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 6.546 100.0% 0.162 -0.6396
4 Thematic 277 50.18% 50.23 2.084 59.57% 1.697 0.7004
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3220 18.71% 51.24 1.539 77.73% 0.39 0.3979
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 46.0 5.001 100.0% 0.335 1.4945
5 Other 37 16.22% 57.81 6.096 100.0% 1.536 1.0752
6 Other 1 0.0% 89.0 15.189 100.0% 0.007 -0.1702

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1938 34.39 -4.52 45.25% -1.344 0.7257
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1520 37.22 -3.145 50.92% -1.131 0.7822
All Things Weaken 815 35.26 -4.034 49.57% -1.256 0.9029
Back Against the Wall 1510 35.72 -3.934 46.69% -1.301 0.7859
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1903 32.09 -5.661 43.46% -1.426 0.7961
Downward Spiral 3584 32.94 -5.293 43.61% -1.376 0.6459
Erosion of Will 1879 33.94 -4.808 43.69% -1.451 0.7562
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 262 42.0 -1.1 66.79% -0.617 0.0615
Memory Fades to Dust 3658 33.09 -5.24 42.7% -1.409 0.8064
Power Corrodes the Spirit 802 34.74 -4.292 49.88% -1.258 0.7627
Promising Farmlands 1853 33.23 -5.097 45.01% -1.37 0.8385
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 237 45.35 0.664 78.06% -0.048 0.3639
Thriving Communities 809 34.57 -4.479 49.69% -1.289 0.7986
Tipping Point 932 31.37 -5.913 38.73% -1.554 0.6707
Unnatural Proliferation 833 36.26 -3.56 50.9% -1.215 0.8661
Untended Land Crumbles 854 34.61 -4.365 49.18% -1.283 0.8192

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11310 47.41% 42.86 -0.294 62.49% 0.736 0.0477
B 12838 45.37% 44.17 0.549 65.56% 0.89 0.1063
C 13258 47.04% 44.15 0.634 66.33% 0.944 -0.0685
D 9764 52.45% 41.9 -0.213 61.83% 0.824 0.0463
E 3671 49.4% 43.8 0.577 67.61% 0.912 0.0175
F 5637 46.53% 43.67 0.234 66.21% 0.796 -0.0444
G 4924 48.81% 43.16 0.027 65.11% 0.782 -0.0496
H 4977 47.27% 44.19 0.429 67.55% 0.859 0.0197
East 718 57.87% 45.68 1.078 49.3% 0.537 -0.0388
Northeast 724 57.68% 43.91 0.613 45.17% 0.34 -0.1847
Northwest 621 62.8% 42.98 0.092 44.28% 0.536 -0.0592
Southeast 98 55.1% 46.05 1.179 59.18% 0.573 -0.0566
Southwest 110 59.63% 39.34 -2.588 51.82% 0.241 0.0424
West 603 59.04% 44.31 -0.013 47.76% 0.208 -0.1192

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 201 0.0% 38.99 -3.219 49.75% -1.149 0.9037
Not Using Events or Tokens 5142 51.61% 41.0 -0.117 57.74% -0.055 0.1596
Skip Initial Invader Actions 766 14.23% 59.84 6.602 90.47% 2.043 1.3563
Start of Game Growth 1180 14.36% 55.52 3.059 83.05% -0.371 -0.8396
Unlimited Undo 3875 53.94% 43.57 0.697 66.92% 0.267 -0.1556
Using Tokens but Not Events 3418 39.33% 46.18 1.261 69.57% 0.155 0.1037

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6786 22.37 28.07%
II 12599 30.88 33.03%
III 13603 34.39 74.65%
IV 11772 37.55 99.58%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.3 Win Model: -0.918
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 30060 54.79% 41.51 61.82%
2 8781 57.11% 41.32 59.16%
3 2335 52.26% 41.7 61.37%
4 3584 21.84% 51.06 76.23%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1523
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8487
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3492
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9817
Lose: Invader deck ran out 62
Lose: Adversary condition 7112
Win: Sacrifice victory 234
Lose: Scenario condition 889
Win: Scenario condition 234
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8276
Lose: Spirit destroyed 477

The Kingdom of England — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1632 48.15% 45.92 1.102 48.84% 0.109 0.2133
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 627 82.37% 37.92 -1.4 35.41% -0.087 0.1112
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 449 76.39% 32.26 -4.253 21.16% -0.84 -0.9534
Eyes Watch From the Trees 705 62.0% 43.48 1.331 46.95% 0.412 0.0081
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1025 62.97% 45.49 1.489 51.02% 0.436 0.1303
Fractured Days Split the Sky 164 63.19% 48.66 2.687 48.78% 0.243 0.5915
Heart of the Wildfire 877 87.09% 26.59 -7.308 13.68% -1.392 -1.0729
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3291 56.51% 45.89 1.974 54.51% 0.497 0.1546
Lightning's Swift Strike 2063 67.42% 41.26 -1.024 39.65% -0.122 0.1035
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 456 78.85% 36.87 -2.859 33.11% -0.407 -0.6937
Many Minds Move as One 211 46.45% 51.36 4.536 65.4% 0.826 0.2934
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2108 66.67% 46.26 2.879 55.08% 0.966 0.7412
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 560 61.54% 40.17 -1.41 36.43% -0.213 -0.1988
River Surges in Sunlight 1295 58.07% 42.57 -1.009 39.38% -0.567 -0.446
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1355 61.84% 44.3 0.823 49.45% 0.298 0.4011
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 410 82.2% 32.06 -4.627 19.51% -0.971 -0.5665
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1151 54.4% 48.39 1.972 54.91% 0.384 0.2716
Shifting Memory of Ages 79 65.82% 46.38 1.548 53.16% 0.347 0.4711
Shroud of Silent Mist 91 83.33% 40.65 -0.143 43.96% 0.315 0.3712
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2087 34.64% 49.5 3.166 72.4% 0.869 0.8092
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 282 81.21% 30.03 -5.363 15.96% -1.138 -0.9774
Thunderspeaker 1267 75.93% 38.05 -1.287 32.52% -0.095 -0.0714
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 781 85.15% 44.66 1.429 57.49% 0.663 0.6352
Vital Strength of the Earth 748 61.34% 38.43 -2.444 30.88% -0.628 0.2158
Volcano Looming High 322 91.93% 30.76 -4.773 24.22% -0.568 -0.557

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 188 65.57% 37.57 -2.199 36.7% -0.375 0.191
Dahan Insurrection 4 158 75.32% 43.92 1.433 18.99% -1.056 -0.6558
Despicable Theft 2 1 100.0% 29.0 -3.157 0.0% -0.176 0.0981
Elemental Invocation 1 9 66.67% 30.44 -6.312 11.11% -1.324 -0.822
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1092 21.83% 51.39 2.752 56.68% 0.046 0.4109
Powers Long Forgotten 1 62 87.1% 34.79 -2.687 19.35% -0.769 -0.3231
Rituals of Terror 3 47 80.85% 54.21 6.482 40.43% 0.219 0.8644
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 22 77.27% 41.41 2.057 22.73% -0.199 0.4477
Second Wave 0 143 68.31% 38.15 -2.329 30.07% -0.868 -0.4382
The Great River 3 1 100.0% 74.0 16.211 100.0% 0.445 1.9177
Ward the Shores 2 60 62.71% 46.43 1.499 36.67% -0.388 0.6442

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11704 65.47% 41.58 0.017 47.4% -0.146 -0.0599
1 Thematic 923 72.67% 41.18 -0.308 32.61% -0.349 -0.0718
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1906 72.17% 39.6 -0.809 39.4% -0.268 -0.242
2 Coastline 206 65.35% 44.86 1.391 52.43% 0.219 0.1944
2 Fragment 47 68.09% 41.57 -0.27 42.55% -0.354 -0.1309
2 Heart 26 76.92% 37.23 -1.29 38.46% -0.34 -0.2396
2 Opposite Shores 413 68.63% 39.82 -0.745 40.44% -0.187 -0.1215
2 Thematic 141 70.21% 40.06 -2.447 26.95% -0.813 -0.8798
2 Top to Top 79 60.76% 45.22 1.402 50.63% 0.073 0.0041
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 25.0 -5.439 0.0% -0.163 0.6414
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 36.33 -2.632 33.33% -0.308 -0.458
3 Other 46 73.91% 52.67 4.861 73.91% 0.793 0.9657
3 Round (Default) 712 69.38% 38.8 -1.399 36.94% -0.316 -0.3544
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 42.0 2.625 50.0% 0.398 0.1378
3 Thematic 38 76.32% 42.58 -1.18 34.21% 0.069 -0.2968
4 Archipelago 5 100.0% 43.0 1.582 20.0% -0.504 0.0437
4 Leaf 4 100.0% 33.25 -4.205 25.0% -0.328 -0.2563
4 Other 20 80.0% 46.2 1.338 60.0% 0.179 0.11
4 Thematic 207 19.81% 65.13 4.208 73.91% 0.938 -0.0592
4 Trapezoid (Default) 610 33.5% 51.29 2.913 58.85% 0.469 0.4773
5 Other 4 75.0% 54.5 6.017 75.0% 0.524 0.0635
5 Thematic 15 46.67% 56.6 2.579 53.33% 0.427 -1.9649

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 915 36.77 -3.43 34.75% -1.067 1.0028
Aid From Lesser Spirits 699 39.09 -2.213 38.48% -0.864 1.049
All Things Weaken 381 37.11 -3.06 37.53% -0.939 1.2199
Back Against the Wall 646 38.29 -2.751 36.53% -1.005 1.0821
Disintegrating Ecosystem 893 34.89 -4.479 34.71% -1.113 1.109
Downward Spiral 1749 34.42 -4.038 31.5% -0.941 1.0803
Erosion of Will 990 34.88 -4.381 30.71% -1.295 0.9122
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 121 46.21 0.682 58.68% -0.304 0.3752
Memory Fades to Dust 1721 33.75 -4.453 28.88% -1.095 1.1197
Power Corrodes the Spirit 383 35.92 -3.819 35.51% -1.089 0.9322
Promising Farmlands 882 35.67 -3.934 34.58% -1.081 1.1274
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 83 46.96 0.761 61.45% -0.26 0.151
Thriving Communities 366 38.59 -2.58 43.17% -0.796 1.2917
Tipping Point 470 35.04 -4.211 31.91% -1.151 1.0738
Unnatural Proliferation 425 39.86 -1.931 42.35% -0.827 1.2534
Untended Land Crumbles 408 37.3 -3.374 40.2% -0.963 1.1391

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3346 68.24% 39.86 -0.912 40.23% 0.442 -0.2458
B 4437 60.54% 42.46 0.469 45.73% 0.547 -0.2363
C 5665 57.65% 45.34 1.927 55.71% 0.816 -0.1965
D 3162 69.09% 41.38 -0.103 44.12% 0.553 -0.2245
E 1171 66.98% 40.82 -0.381 43.3% 0.408 -0.486
F 1494 66.49% 40.43 -1.019 41.97% 0.307 -0.5338
G 1315 69.34% 39.9 -0.892 40.99% 0.365 -0.4671
H 1444 66.71% 40.1 -0.981 40.17% 0.258 -0.5809
East 529 52.27% 52.92 2.805 52.17% 0.841 0.2649
Northeast 538 53.9% 48.34 0.277 41.45% -0.1 -0.6249
Northwest 403 49.13% 52.91 1.913 52.61% 0.633 0.0378
Southeast 95 47.37% 47.17 -0.997 43.16% -0.223 -0.8517
Southwest 89 47.19% 46.97 -1.311 46.07% 0.123 -0.0753
West 460 49.35% 53.0 1.628 52.17% 0.39 0.0625

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 61 0.0% 46.85 0.059 49.18% -0.51 1.5429
Not Using Events or Tokens 1732 72.77% 36.83 -2.126 31.64% -0.472 -0.2574
Skip Initial Invader Actions 313 22.56% 61.89 7.026 74.12% 1.266 0.5801
Start of Game Growth 661 21.68% 60.28 5.135 72.16% 0.477 0.0076
Unlimited Undo 1395 63.26% 45.09 1.062 51.4% 0.218 -0.2054
Using Tokens but Not Events 1061 62.56% 40.32 -1.381 39.77% -0.361 -0.4122

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3543 22.37 4.69%
II 4889 30.88 12.62%
III 3308 34.39 51.06%
IV 5372 37.55 99.78%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.375 Win Model: -0.663
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12666 66.03% 41.58 46.41%
2 2816 70.62% 40.23 40.23%
3 782 70.46% 39.31 37.6%
4 848 31.26% 54.55 62.15%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 128
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1426
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 495
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4665
Lose: Invader deck ran out 28
Lose: Adversary condition 4092
Win: Sacrifice victory 88
Lose: Scenario condition 327
Win: Scenario condition 51
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4596
Lose: Spirit destroyed 237

The Kingdom of England — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6909 43.54% 49.34 -0.063 47.56% -0.086 0.0182
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4341 79.95% 38.97 -3.139 30.48% -0.437 -0.2393
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1750 66.26% 36.45 -4.954 23.31% -1.096 -1.2095
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3426 60.24% 46.53 0.635 45.3% 0.258 -0.1462
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5541 56.46% 50.16 1.829 52.9% 0.428 0.123
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1367 50.48% 55.46 3.742 52.67% 0.207 0.5549
Heart of the Wildfire 3303 79.99% 32.28 -6.59 18.29% -1.093 -0.7744
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 18098 46.82% 51.5 2.664 57.71% 0.535 0.1924
Lightning's Swift Strike 12767 61.93% 45.69 -0.338 43.75% 0.101 0.3265
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2604 71.85% 42.73 -1.825 39.82% -0.152 -0.4383
Many Minds Move as One 1257 47.18% 56.35 5.066 68.42% 1.047 0.514
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 15890 59.78% 52.23 3.197 55.08% 0.941 0.7168
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1870 57.13% 42.81 -2.327 35.99% -0.437 -0.4229
River Surges in Sunlight 6058 54.95% 47.55 -0.788 40.95% -0.446 -0.3248
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 9478 43.79% 54.16 2.819 60.05% 0.52 0.6224
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3186 65.92% 39.52 -3.025 28.5% -0.431 -0.0258
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4289 52.72% 50.46 1.521 51.25% 0.211 0.0994
Shifting Memory of Ages 436 60.09% 51.32 1.728 55.73% 0.321 0.4456
Shroud of Silent Mist 604 81.3% 44.07 -0.256 44.54% 0.363 0.4197
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 7378 41.52% 45.04 -0.526 53.88% 0.352 0.2923
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1598 67.91% 39.13 -3.758 28.22% -0.714 -0.5532
Thunderspeaker 5986 67.57% 43.03 -1.426 29.69% -0.24 -0.2161
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2915 78.91% 45.42 -0.585 49.37% 0.329 0.3008
Vital Strength of the Earth 3347 49.82% 43.29 -3.318 32.15% -0.94 -0.0954
Volcano Looming High 1931 79.09% 34.92 -4.96 25.53% -0.718 -0.7074

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 884 51.61% 48.09 -1.302 50.45% -0.422 0.1442
Dahan Insurrection 4 2371 68.8% 48.47 1.627 15.01% -0.945 -0.5452
Despicable Theft 2 32 75.0% 48.88 2.138 40.63% -0.121 0.1529
Elemental Invocation 1 66 65.15% 43.53 -1.167 34.85% -0.521 -0.0189
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 14122 23.44% 54.6 3.399 54.16% 0.056 0.4214
Powers Long Forgotten 1 174 83.33% 34.37 -4.678 14.94% -1.305 -0.8582
Rituals of Terror 3 165 62.2% 62.26 8.693 43.03% 0.628 1.2726
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 101 92.08% 36.76 -3.093 11.88% -1.184 -0.5377
Second Wave 0 293 56.7% 48.28 -0.396 44.37% -0.577 -0.1473
The Great River 3 14 57.14% 47.57 1.045 28.57% -0.692 0.7811
Ward the Shores 2 249 72.95% 46.98 0.073 34.14% -0.739 0.2929

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 66974 61.26% 45.05 -0.525 45.42% -0.238 -0.1517
1 Thematic 4750 60.49% 46.83 0.025 25.43% -0.543 -0.2665
2 Archipelago 6 100.0% 44.0 -1.826 16.67% -1.449 -1.4417
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7442 67.61% 43.46 -0.656 40.88% -0.202 -0.1767
2 Coastline 1430 62.72% 44.41 -0.804 42.03% -0.396 -0.4211
2 Fragment 151 70.2% 41.53 -1.876 35.1% -0.759 -0.5366
2 Heart 140 65.0% 49.81 1.415 56.43% -0.304 -0.2041
2 Opposite Shores 2251 52.61% 47.12 -0.639 45.31% -0.417 -0.3515
2 Thematic 1087 32.66% 60.62 4.048 48.57% 0.413 0.3462
2 Top to Top 466 57.51% 48.84 1.396 52.79% 0.02 -0.0492
3 Archipelago 13 38.46% 57.62 3.012 53.85% -0.923 -0.1183
3 Coastline 20 47.37% 58.35 3.394 70.0% 0.037 -0.1133
3 Other 245 62.86% 53.16 1.482 64.49% -0.435 -0.2628
3 Round (Default) 3815 53.04% 47.54 0.231 48.2% -0.006 -0.0443
3 Sunrise 11 36.36% 49.18 -0.462 54.55% -0.371 -0.6312
3 Thematic 87 56.98% 56.14 1.18 36.78% 0.606 0.2397
4 Archipelago 4 75.0% 56.0 5.304 50.0% 0.293 0.841
4 Coastline 29 6.9% 44.28 -2.795 34.48% -0.337 -0.2172
4 Leaf 13 38.46% 50.46 -0.262 46.15% -0.26 -0.1882
4 Other 165 51.83% 55.34 3.673 67.88% 0.216 0.1467
4 Thematic 1431 24.25% 68.36 2.696 70.58% 1.624 0.6274
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2419 37.96% 54.07 2.215 59.36% 0.497 0.5048
5 Archipelago 2 50.0% 53.0 -0.65 50.0% -0.584 0.5757
5 Other 61 41.38% 65.05 6.211 83.61% 0.651 0.1899
5 Thematic 48 14.58% 81.33 10.352 97.92% 2.821 0.4298
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 95.0 22.596 100.0% 0.055 0.4206

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 4605 38.94 -4.061 33.27% -1.027 1.042
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3822 41.98 -2.519 38.59% -0.748 1.1648
All Things Weaken 1929 37.92 -4.201 32.92% -0.997 1.162
Back Against the Wall 3626 40.85 -3.13 35.82% -0.877 1.2103
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4421 36.8 -5.136 32.37% -1.071 1.1514
Downward Spiral 8246 38.05 -4.258 30.71% -0.82 1.2014
Erosion of Will 4390 37.89 -4.527 31.14% -1.121 1.0865
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 679 46.9 -0.25 51.1% -0.304 0.3748
Memory Fades to Dust 8260 37.32 -4.631 27.89% -0.969 1.2455
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1928 38.61 -4.039 35.27% -0.943 1.0784
Promising Farmlands 4373 38.44 -4.331 34.1% -0.997 1.2113
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 370 49.66 0.874 58.65% -0.06 0.351
Thriving Communities 2044 38.62 -3.984 36.11% -0.885 1.2035
Tipping Point 2148 36.92 -5.177 30.4% -1.184 1.041
Unnatural Proliferation 2102 40.31 -3.119 36.3% -0.873 1.2077
Untended Land Crumbles 1985 38.62 -4.069 35.72% -0.935 1.1673

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 19148 57.27% 45.97 -0.237 45.53% 0.985 0.2971
B 20369 59.3% 45.42 -0.276 44.8% 0.975 0.1912
C 23180 59.49% 46.83 0.643 48.44% 1.179 0.1659
D 16935 62.83% 45.61 -0.169 45.89% 1.022 0.2441
E 8295 59.5% 45.76 0.303 46.81% 1.103 0.2086
F 9134 57.77% 46.81 0.113 48.28% 1.034 0.1936
G 8728 56.47% 45.7 -0.255 45.49% 0.945 0.1127
H 8371 55.4% 47.46 0.491 49.04% 1.042 0.2031
East 3153 38.31% 61.58 2.974 53.66% 0.95 0.3742
Northeast 3745 42.63% 57.12 2.014 42.3% 0.665 0.1405
Northwest 2364 30.19% 63.35 3.136 59.09% 0.971 0.376
Southeast 323 40.56% 59.4 0.847 57.89% 0.871 0.2414
Southwest 282 36.88% 56.96 -1.865 57.8% 0.227 0.0282
West 3021 40.66% 58.11 1.336 49.85% 0.689 0.3617

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 956 0.0% 50.29 -1.706 49.79% -0.931 1.1216
Not Using Events or Tokens 9393 62.2% 43.15 -1.488 28.29% -0.549 -0.3343
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5421 15.56% 69.89 6.527 85.96% 0.881 0.1942
Start of Game Growth 6317 17.9% 68.12 6.059 83.66% 0.622 0.1532
Unlimited Undo 13189 38.89% 61.31 6.322 76.54% 1.148 0.7251
Using Tokens but Not Events 5612 58.04% 45.67 -1.15 44.35% -0.332 -0.3831

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 26692 22.37 9.51%
II 27201 30.88 25.13%
III 15271 34.39 57.23%
IV 23897 37.55 99.67%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.486 Win Model: -1.175
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 72076 61.19% 45.23 44.26%
2 12760 61.29% 45.64 42.28%
3 4167 53.33% 48.27 49.39%
4 4058 32.7% 59.31 63.55%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2072
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6874
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5426
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 19078
Lose: Invader deck ran out 128
Lose: Adversary condition 23239
Win: Sacrifice victory 607
Lose: Scenario condition 4196
Win: Scenario condition 439
Lose: Blight pool ran out 22361
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1207

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2025-04-15 02:07:53 (Pacific Time)