The Kingdom of England — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7234 22.66% 26.21 -0.442 85.58% 0.035 -0.077
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3985 44.43% 23.9 -2.031 78.24% -0.368 -0.3134
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3006 26.36% 26.52 1.232 88.19% 0.535 0.3843
Downpour Drenches the World 192 23.96% 24.88 -0.962 75.0% -0.109 0.1366
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 111 13.51% 27.3 1.767 81.98% 0.549 0.1445
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4222 14.49% 29.43 2.386 92.7% 0.827 0.3073
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3360 19.33% 28.45 2.825 91.73% 1.235 0.7927
Finder of Paths Unseen 73 39.73% 21.14 -5.69 58.9% -1.16 -0.5362
Fractured Days Split the Sky 573 34.62% 27.16 -3.644 74.0% -1.054 -0.482
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 629 37.2% 28.53 0.887 82.35% 0.208 0.0623
Heart of the Wildfire 4040 59.97% 21.24 -2.132 72.13% -0.441 -0.2371
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6608 24.62% 27.1 0.441 89.47% 0.387 -0.1563
Lightning's Swift Strike 6723 43.39% 23.85 -2.039 78.34% -0.289 -0.0197
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 96 31.25% 30.05 3.427 84.38% 0.911 0.144
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 503 21.91% 29.85 1.204 89.86% -0.101 -0.4695
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 296 37.63% 28.36 2.946 84.46% 0.14 -0.1093
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1505 30.74% 28.41 2.282 89.5% 0.95 0.7643
Many Minds Move as One 983 23.4% 27.69 -0.571 88.1% -0.423 -0.7743
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6414 41.61% 24.77 -0.71 81.31% -0.155 -0.2275
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2761 28.33% 25.41 -1.138 85.01% -0.263 -0.3763
River Surges in Sunlight 7520 37.41% 25.72 -1.278 75.12% -0.355 -0.4168
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 528 37.0% 27.62 0.097 72.73% 0.058 0.2278
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 77 33.77% 31.13 1.305 83.12% 0.208 -0.0242
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3623 32.37% 24.82 -0.594 82.64% -0.095 -0.2657
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4025 54.39% 22.58 -1.174 71.98% -0.159 0.2502
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 35 31.43% 28.97 1.412 88.57% 0.761 0.7744
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 37 35.14% 26.46 -3.04 70.27% -0.462 -0.4423
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 444 27.77% 26.2 -1.652 86.71% -0.496 -0.5694
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 241 43.33% 25.13 -3.108 79.25% -0.543 -0.4183
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4592 24.71% 27.66 0.84 87.76% 0.29 0.1074
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 22 40.91% 22.86 -0.109 72.73% 0.255 0.1735
Shifting Memory of Ages 513 40.23% 25.93 -1.303 80.12% -0.29 -0.023
Shroud of Silent Mist 755 46.01% 24.28 -1.196 82.25% 0.062 0.3754
Starlight Seeks its Form 690 21.59% 30.39 2.069 84.64% 0.494 0.3137
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1764 24.77% 25.39 -1.161 88.44% 0.267 -0.2562
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2121 29.69% 25.21 -1.494 81.09% -0.032 0.0474
Thunderspeaker 7190 24.03% 28.1 1.522 86.88% 0.475 0.4126
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 20 25.0% 24.95 -0.325 70.0% -0.383 -0.2846
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1135 59.82% 21.81 -2.545 77.27% -0.231 -0.2433
Vital Strength of the Earth 5414 29.22% 22.46 -2.113 73.44% -0.49 0.1034
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 75 22.67% 26.15 -1.918 78.67% -0.221 0.0784
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 307 32.03% 21.58 0.338 65.8% -0.811 0.1579
Volcano Looming High 971 42.15% 24.06 -1.199 80.43% 0.192 0.1945

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 33.33% 28.33 3.239 83.33% 0.32 0.1363
Blitz 0 933 41.25% 22.57 -5.402 74.71% -1.12 -0.8296
Dahan Insurrection 4 892 20.95% 45.8 9.281 79.71% 0.476 0.2971
Despicable Theft 2 104 38.46% 34.91 -3.957 79.81% -0.931 -0.2755
Elemental Invocation 1 147 44.9% 25.88 -1.266 70.07% -0.718 0.1084
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2004 10.04% 30.94 0.251 85.53% -0.558 -1.0574
Powers Long Forgotten 1 416 49.28% 28.78 -1.689 73.8% -0.963 -0.5533
Rituals of Terror 3 535 47.17% 33.83 1.334 65.05% -0.754 -0.8703
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 290 68.28% 30.7 -1.316 58.62% -1.158 -0.3831
Second Wave 0 695 47.04% 25.27 -2.544 65.04% -1.182 -1.0661
The Great River 3 129 50.39% 29.22 -1.138 52.71% -1.184 0.2546
Varied Terrains 2 42 47.62% 24.02 -1.595 47.62% -1.423 -0.9301
Ward the Shores 2 532 43.69% 28.51 5.034 60.15% 0.422 1.3357

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 43919 37.5% 24.54 0.168 80.61% 0.144 0.382
1 Thematic 4144 42.35% 30.95 1.972 74.35% 0.135 0.7278
2 Archipelago 23 56.52% 32.3 0.0 78.26%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9579 32.95% 24.68 -0.626 83.09% 0.005 0.1916
2 Coastline 951 32.97% 24.98 0.735 83.49% 0.345 0.4858
2 Fragment 222 36.65% 23.36 -3.405 79.28% -0.306 -0.3791
2 Heart 123 37.19% 23.81 0.182 82.93% 0.02 -0.1585
2 Opposite Shores 1256 29.57% 25.71 -1.054 88.85% -0.085 0.0435
2 Thematic 926 39.33% 32.84 -3.213 74.41% -0.956 -0.3789
2 Top to Top 199 31.98% 25.33 -2.195 84.92% -0.185 0.0258
3 Archipelago 9 33.33% 25.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 11 18.18% 28.64 3.389 100.0% 0.444 0.0024
3 Other 109 31.13% 23.64 11.018 80.73% 0.375 -0.2534
3 Round (Default) 4140 19.27% 27.23 -0.417 89.9% -0.146 -0.1851
3 Sunrise 14 14.29% 24.79 0.0 85.71%
3 Thematic 188 37.23% 33.11 2.435 71.28% 0.326 0.0344
4 Archipelago 7 42.86% 34.86 0.0 71.43%
4 Coastline 15 15.38% 29.4 3.087 93.33% 0.436 0.4291
4 Leaf 5 0.0% 27.8 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 49 30.61% 24.96 0.689 83.67% 0.189 -0.4935
4 Thematic 269 24.16% 32.15 7.709 76.58% 0.385 0.2461
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1374 22.37% 25.84 0.082 84.21% -0.095 -0.308
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 29.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 31 41.94% 26.16 0.033 77.42% 0.06 -0.4685
5 Thematic 5 60.0% 48.6 0.0 80.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 43.0 8.744 100.0% 0.17 0.2807
6 Other 4 75.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 9 22.22% 30.0 0.309 100.0% 0.072 0.6618
6 Thematic 24 16.67% 37.71 -5.467 66.67% -0.433 -0.2
6 Two Centers (Default) 49 12.24% 29.06 -3.833 69.39% -1.112 -0.6383
7 Other 1 0.0% 52.0 15.482 100.0% 0.19 -0.5351

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1487 19.46 -3.433 63.21% -0.867 -0.2014
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1262 20.52 -1.454 64.9% -0.468 -0.0043
All Things Weaken 668 19.65 -2.448 58.68% -0.824 -0.0114
Attenuated Essence 5 19.8 -3.552 60.0% -0.649 -0.0041
Back Against the Wall 1271 19.38 -0.559 58.77% -0.149 0.3979
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 4 23.25 -0.955 75.0% -0.287 0.632
Burn Brightest Before the End 10 20.1 -1.805 70.0% -0.219 0.5737
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1451 16.38 -3.256 56.31% -0.564 0.2926
Downward Spiral 5384 17.28 -2.071 60.61% -0.35 0.3291
Erosion of Will 1555 18.67 -1.367 59.1% -0.531 0.2754
Intensifying Exploitation 7 13.86 -5.094 28.57% -1.265 -0.3211
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 267 25.36 2.026 90.26% 1.061 0.8071
Memory Fades to Dust 5337 16.91 -2.582 55.78% -0.481 0.346
Power Corrodes the Spirit 640 19.11 -2.873 61.88% -1.097 -0.4584
Promising Farmlands 1499 17.9 -2.666 60.77% -0.683 0.2124
Shattered Fragments of Power 6 13.83 -5.02 33.33% -0.78 -0.1317
Slow Dissolution of Will 7 31.0 3.512 85.71% 0.349 1.3315
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 218 25.01 5.597 92.2% 1.043 0.5508
The Border of Life and Death 4 25.0 -0.335 75.0% -0.117 0.0894
Thriving Communities 630 18.24 1.208 57.14% -0.107 0.7748
Thriving Crops 1 0.0 -11.256 0.0% -0.708 -0.1563
Tipping Point 618 17.72 0.0 59.71%
Unnatural Proliferation 665 18.58 -2.328 53.23% -0.988 -0.3217
Untended Land Crumbles 654 19.85 -0.68 65.9% -0.199 0.5332

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 16076 34.34% 24.53 -0.928 81.23% -0.199 0.7058
B 16550 32.79% 24.99 -0.11 82.83% 0.051 0.8497
C 16323 32.92% 24.92 -0.483 82.03% 0.066 0.7156
D 15785 33.04% 24.94 -0.248 82.83% 0.058 0.9079
E 4474 28.22% 26.73 0.966 86.01% 0.416 1.1128
F 6601 30.77% 25.7 0.427 84.81% 0.08 0.8498
G 6095 31.57% 25.44 -0.089 84.43% 0.091 0.8638
H 6242 30.74% 25.76 0.09 85.34% 0.095 0.8157
East 3354 38.87% 32.68 -2.119 75.16% -0.771 0.0103
Northeast 2004 38.33% 32.63 1.275 75.0% -0.105 0.8501
Northwest 1557 37.37% 32.46 1.628 75.92% -0.026 0.584
Southeast 373 31.9% 32.16 -2.321 76.68% -1.057 -0.3873
Southwest 338 37.28% 26.41 -3.355 67.75% -0.879 0.4041
West 2903 40.57% 31.22 1.653 72.86% 0.09 1.1935

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 933 0.0% 22.23 -1.92 70.85% -0.521 0.6803
Not Using Events or Tokens 17286 41.14% 23.43 -0.372 75.56% -0.172 0.0724
Skip Initial Invader Actions 979 11.41% 34.07 0.537 91.83% -0.796 -1.3731
Start of Game Growth 1652 14.4% 32.38 2.526 91.71% 1.117 0.6582
Unlimited Undo 4006 27.46% 27.46 -0.093 86.87% -0.176 -0.3543
Using Tokens but Not Events 6821 21.94% 27.24 1.219 87.63% 0.407 0.3679

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6293 21.84 35.55%
II 23334 31.08 76.01%
III 25175 34.71 88.49%
IV 12886 37.98 99.15%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.119 Win Model: -0.089
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 48231 37.96% 25.11 80.04%
2 13203 33.12% 25.34 83.12%
3 4431 19.96% 27.35 89.05%
4 1719 22.86% 26.88 82.9%
5 17 47.06% 24.94 76.47%
6 87 16.09% 32.68 74.71%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2233
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 21669
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 16893
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 12635
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 329
Lose: Invader deck ran out 708
Lose: Adversary condition 3339
Win: Sacrifice victory 280
Lose: Scenario condition 483
Win: Scenario condition 1318
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7320
Lose: Spirit destroyed 481

The Kingdom of England — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4546 22.2% 35.12 0.174 85.04% 0.018 -0.0933
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2126 53.4% 32.01 -1.602 74.79% -0.138 -0.0837
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1693 33.81% 34.1 -1.012 84.41% -0.207 -0.3585
Downpour Drenches the World 155 27.27% 32.52 -0.774 79.35% -0.069 0.1761
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 103 24.27% 33.14 1.6 78.64% 0.439 0.0339
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2376 21.44% 37.47 3.098 87.37% 1.087 0.5679
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2200 28.3% 36.88 2.592 88.77% 0.774 0.3314
Finder of Paths Unseen 77 54.55% 27.08 -2.095 63.64% -0.194 0.4295
Fractured Days Split the Sky 403 39.21% 34.57 -0.608 71.96% -0.638 -0.0658
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 465 45.81% 35.4 1.727 81.29% 0.587 0.4415
Heart of the Wildfire 2637 65.7% 28.41 -1.916 67.08% -0.273 -0.0693
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4292 36.6% 33.87 0.28 83.43% 0.136 -0.4074
Lightning's Swift Strike 3847 43.51% 32.52 -1.796 76.53% -0.191 0.0775
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 86 44.05% 36.24 1.126 84.88% -0.01 -0.7768
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 379 24.6% 38.2 2.3 88.92% 0.139 -0.2299
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 218 38.53% 34.27 2.155 75.69% 0.083 -0.1664
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1077 41.15% 34.83 1.505 82.17% 0.303 0.118
Many Minds Move as One 709 26.52% 35.66 0.223 85.33% 0.092 -0.2589
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3627 51.33% 31.87 -0.267 75.08% -0.042 -0.1147
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1711 39.87% 32.05 0.758 77.44% 0.2 0.0865
River Surges in Sunlight 4233 45.58% 31.94 0.662 66.64% -0.089 -0.1506
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 383 48.68% 30.86 -0.882 57.96% -0.106 0.0637
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 65 52.31% 40.88 -1.147 67.69% -0.682 -0.9148
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2250 34.91% 33.36 -0.768 82.36% 0.169 -0.0016
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2132 62.3% 28.97 -2.373 61.63% -0.464 -0.0541
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 24 54.17% 37.0 -1.936 62.5% -0.598 -0.5845
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 17 41.18% 37.59 -0.562 82.35% 0.22 0.2398
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 224 41.7% 32.81 -2.249 80.36% 0.086 0.0126
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 132 63.64% 29.19 -3.919 65.15% -0.492 -0.3674
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2643 35.01% 34.86 1.211 81.8% 0.25 0.0668
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 23 13.04% 35.26 0.961 82.61% 0.369 0.2873
Shifting Memory of Ages 348 47.11% 31.06 -1.961 77.3% -0.307 -0.0393
Shroud of Silent Mist 484 55.28% 30.28 -1.673 74.17% -0.468 -0.1549
Starlight Seeks its Form 508 26.43% 35.55 1.461 83.86% 0.662 0.4824
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1294 29.43% 33.49 -0.273 83.69% 0.067 -0.4568
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1176 49.36% 29.42 -2.586 62.76% -0.487 -0.4076
Thunderspeaker 4056 31.75% 36.25 1.51 83.11% 0.357 0.2945
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 23 39.13% 29.7 -1.013 65.22% -0.188 -0.0895
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 778 68.9% 28.71 -2.179 73.14% -0.224 -0.2358
Vital Strength of the Earth 2972 39.22% 29.59 -2.588 67.87% -0.534 0.0595
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 46 34.09% 33.46 1.046 76.09% 0.186 0.4862
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 172 39.53% 27.88 -0.621 62.79% 0.503 1.4719
Volcano Looming High 665 49.62% 30.04 -1.896 73.68% -0.141 -0.1383

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 0.0% 12.0 -16.613 33.33% -0.887 -1.0701
Blitz 0 739 42.98% 30.05 -3.969 70.64% -0.906 -0.6158
Dahan Insurrection 4 574 27.45% 53.61 12.128 75.44% 0.401 0.2223
Despicable Theft 2 73 47.95% 36.34 3.209 63.01% 0.035 0.6907
Elemental Invocation 1 81 58.02% 31.16 -3.114 69.14% -0.545 0.2812
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1389 11.6% 38.59 4.666 80.06% 0.683 0.1827
Powers Long Forgotten 1 311 61.29% 32.85 -1.055 62.06% -0.712 -0.3023
Rituals of Terror 3 236 51.69% 42.06 6.773 65.25% 0.094 -0.0218
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 152 73.03% 41.31 10.398 66.45% 0.52 1.295
Second Wave 0 2416 44.84% 33.29 1.383 70.32% 0.081 0.1972
The Great River 3 63 61.9% 33.16 -8.893 47.62% -0.897 0.5419
Varied Terrains 2 24 62.5% 33.42 -1.255 62.5% -0.344 0.1483
Ward the Shores 2 400 56.25% 33.95 2.993 53.0% -0.101 0.813

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 25395 41.95% 31.91 0.044 76.45% 0.072 0.3096
1 Thematic 3074 48.28% 37.28 0.556 70.92% -0.195 0.3971
2 Archipelago 10 60.0% 41.2 0.0 70.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5441 40.62% 31.99 -0.072 78.5% -0.015 0.1711
2 Coastline 566 41.61% 31.93 3.045 79.51% 0.537 0.6781
2 Fragment 181 52.78% 30.45 2.765 76.24% 0.637 0.5641
2 Heart 100 35.71% 31.36 -7.04 78.0% -1.154 -1.333
2 Opposite Shores 1076 37.83% 33.17 0.338 82.34% 0.115 0.2434
2 Thematic 870 45.6% 39.21 0.93 73.1% -0.154 0.4225
2 Top to Top 180 44.13% 31.31 1.347 77.22% 0.341 0.5524
3 Archipelago 5 20.0% 47.6 0.0 80.0%
3 Coastline 9 22.22% 37.89 0.0 88.89%
3 Other 81 33.75% 34.53 3.102 87.65% 0.685 0.0563
3 Round (Default) 2275 31.84% 33.65 -1.636 80.35% -0.475 -0.5133
3 Sunrise 7 33.33% 32.43 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 223 40.99% 39.24 -0.941 73.99% -0.267 -0.5592
4 Archipelago 8 37.5% 52.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 5 40.0% 28.4 0.0 40.0%
4 Leaf 9 11.11% 34.67 0.0 88.89%
4 Other 27 40.74% 33.63 9.05 81.48% 0.316 -0.3671
4 Thematic 203 40.1% 41.72 -9.273 74.38% -0.598 -0.7367
4 Trapezoid (Default) 759 33.33% 33.67 -0.128 80.5% 0.402 0.1888
5 Archipelago 5 40.0% 43.8 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 18 16.67% 35.89 -0.195 83.33% -0.142 -0.6709
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 41.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 62.0 14.08 100.0% 0.166 0.2765
6 Other 3 33.33% 31.67 -4.179 66.67% -0.618 -1.042
6 Star 1 0.0% 37.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 29 17.24% 47.72 7.813 79.31% 0.364 0.5972
6 Two Centers (Default) 13 38.46% 29.15 -2.286 61.54% -0.363 0.1101
7 Other 1 0.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1247 25.49 -3.201 55.89% -0.936 -0.2706
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1000 27.25 -2.342 59.2% -0.72 -0.2561
All Things Weaken 517 26.26 -2.697 58.41% -0.876 -0.0636
Attenuated Essence 3 15.67 -6.852 33.33% -0.764 -0.1189
Back Against the Wall 980 25.82 -1.647 55.41% -0.551 -0.0038
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 6 10.0 -11.295 16.67% -1.787 -0.868
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1121 22.71 -4.789 52.36% -1.111 -0.2542
Downward Spiral 3238 24.44 -3.42 58.28% -0.859 -0.1804
Erosion of Will 1147 24.93 -2.714 53.97% -0.804 0.0028
Intensifying Exploitation 4 25.0 -2.847 75.0% 0.026 0.9699
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 200 33.06 1.96 89.0% 0.882 0.6278
Memory Fades to Dust 3252 23.85 -2.901 53.57% -0.71 0.117
Power Corrodes the Spirit 553 25.99 -3.899 60.76% -0.972 -0.3333
Promising Farmlands 1170 23.79 -3.956 54.27% -0.803 0.0921
Shattered Fragments of Power 6 23.33 -3.537 33.33% -1.217 -0.5689
Slow Dissolution of Will 6 38.83 4.103 100.0% 0.859 1.8407
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 153 33.03 -7.382 88.89% -0.779 -1.2712
The Border of Life and Death 1 0.0 -16.057 0.0% -0.556 -0.3503
Thriving Communities 440 24.72 -6.077 55.91% -1.429 -0.5476
Thriving Crops 4 17.5 -5.688 25.0% -0.987 -0.4353
Tipping Point 493 24.87 0.0 55.98%
Unnatural Proliferation 553 26.25 0.052 54.97% -0.223 0.4434
Untended Land Crumbles 517 25.58 -2.154 59.57% -0.539 0.1929

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9188 41.31% 31.8 -0.524 76.31% -0.296 0.6087
B 9427 38.55% 32.38 0.567 78.13% 0.107 0.9056
C 9587 38.7% 32.41 -0.693 78.04% -0.318 0.3315
D 9084 40.2% 32.24 -0.017 78.03% -0.09 0.7605
E 2759 39.16% 33.05 0.203 79.96% 0.005 0.7026
F 3775 38.54% 32.77 -0.218 79.76% -0.138 0.6317
G 3621 42.09% 32.28 0.175 77.66% -0.098 0.6747
H 3844 37.46% 32.91 -1.011 79.19% -0.299 0.422
East 2752 44.89% 39.47 2.173 73.22% -0.141 0.64
Northeast 1542 43.98% 39.68 2.796 73.87% -0.474 0.481
Northwest 1273 43.47% 39.37 0.758 73.92% -0.119 0.4908
Southeast 363 44.35% 37.03 0.006 69.97% -0.284 0.386
Southwest 337 50.15% 32.57 -1.016 66.17% -0.431 0.8523
West 2420 48.02% 37.86 2.135 70.95% -0.063 1.0411

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 527 0.0% 27.54 -5.509 59.96% -1.245 -0.044
Not Using Events or Tokens 8500 42.14% 31.28 -0.297 72.6% 0.236 0.48
Skip Initial Invader Actions 568 11.72% 45.36 4.355 94.19% 0.872 0.2947
Start of Game Growth 889 14.97% 43.23 4.103 92.35% 0.579 0.1201
Unlimited Undo 2735 34.8% 34.57 1.241 83.69% 0.361 0.1829
Using Tokens but Not Events 3767 29.82% 34.62 1.376 83.3% 0.236 0.1968

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3674 21.84 28.69%
II 15400 31.08 68.21%
III 13460 34.71 86.14%
IV 8054 37.98 99.26%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.018 Win Model: 0.187
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 28558 42.68% 32.5 75.84%
2 8441 41.31% 32.78 78.11%
3 2528 31.44% 34.41 81.37%
4 1000 34.55% 35.3 79.3%
5 15 6.67% 39.07 80.0%
6 46 23.91% 41.63 73.91%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1049
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11262
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9910
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7903
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 205
Lose: Invader deck ran out 366
Lose: Adversary condition 2593
Win: Sacrifice victory 189
Lose: Scenario condition 377
Win: Scenario condition 835
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5611
Lose: Spirit destroyed 288

The Kingdom of England — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4801 33.98% 35.64 0.891 75.44% 0.346 0.2348
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2907 66.85% 31.01 0.333 61.16% 0.008 0.0618
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2408 43.67% 34.81 1.913 76.5% 0.605 0.454
Downpour Drenches the World 234 29.74% 35.12 2.073 73.93% 0.513 0.7585
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 185 33.15% 33.77 2.837 76.22% 0.838 0.4336
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3141 33.45% 37.48 4.322 79.69% 1.071 0.5514
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2845 42.5% 36.88 1.977 79.65% 0.553 0.1105
Finder of Paths Unseen 78 62.82% 25.32 -0.778 43.59% -0.071 0.5527
Fractured Days Split the Sky 561 46.79% 36.02 -4.368 66.84% -0.865 -0.2933
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 556 59.57% 34.64 1.993 72.84% 0.451 0.3052
Heart of the Wildfire 3515 82.97% 23.18 -5.444 44.21% -0.988 -0.7843
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9375 35.35% 35.46 1.65 78.6% 0.358 -0.1855
Lightning's Swift Strike 4764 61.03% 30.44 -2.286 60.66% -0.548 -0.2791
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 113 55.75% 34.4 -0.066 73.45% 0.231 -0.5357
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 511 48.43% 38.3 3.803 78.67% 1.021 0.6522
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 324 54.01% 34.7 3.006 66.98% 0.476 0.2267
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1719 57.64% 32.46 -1.627 68.53% -0.35 -0.5355
Many Minds Move as One 1081 35.38% 36.35 -2.883 77.52% -0.336 -0.687
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5147 60.33% 33.36 1.032 70.18% 0.267 0.1943
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2222 48.53% 32.98 0.007 70.39% -0.011 -0.1243
River Surges in Sunlight 4935 58.77% 31.61 0.836 55.56% 0.098 0.0356
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 484 58.59% 32.97 -4.169 57.44% -1.216 -1.0464
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 125 52.5% 35.18 0.039 60.0% -0.647 -0.8789
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3493 44.6% 33.85 1.709 72.29% 0.538 0.3674
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1973 79.58% 25.07 -1.848 41.1% -0.377 0.0325
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 12 50.0% 27.67 2.389 50.0% 0.161 0.1744
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 27 51.85% 31.33 -4.312 55.56% -1.077 -1.0566
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 224 66.82% 31.09 -2.608 64.29% 0.197 0.1238
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 136 78.68% 26.09 -1.586 44.85% -0.171 -0.0459
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3038 45.97% 34.75 -1.295 72.71% -0.125 -0.3078
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 30 26.67% 27.87 -0.883 60.0% -0.032 -0.1131
Shifting Memory of Ages 591 59.56% 32.82 -0.654 71.4% 0.005 0.2725
Shroud of Silent Mist 704 71.82% 29.56 -3.313 63.07% -0.498 -0.1847
Starlight Seeks its Form 628 48.87% 33.0 -0.968 69.43% 0.029 -0.151
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1940 37.55% 33.98 0.67 80.46% 0.388 -0.1358
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1335 65.89% 27.06 -3.408 49.81% -0.594 -0.5147
Thunderspeaker 4342 49.92% 34.31 0.205 68.22% 0.183 0.121
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 27 22.22% 31.7 1.7 74.07% 0.618 0.7158
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1317 80.93% 29.32 -0.899 66.67% -0.028 -0.0397
Vital Strength of the Earth 4191 41.84% 30.96 -2.679 63.42% -0.394 0.1988
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 61 47.46% 29.08 -0.836 62.3% 0.287 0.5865
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 271 52.03% 27.43 -3.062 50.92% -1.047 -0.0783
Volcano Looming High 1289 65.73% 29.69 -0.011 65.63% 0.271 0.2735

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 0.0% 33.67 -14.648 66.67% -0.266 -0.45
Blitz 0 768 51.99% 30.16 -0.871 59.77% -0.672 -0.3817
Dahan Insurrection 4 502 40.6% 48.78 7.354 58.57% -0.307 -0.4852
Despicable Theft 2 39 69.23% 31.26 -7.712 46.15% -0.734 -0.079
Elemental Invocation 1 115 66.96% 28.83 -4.234 50.43% -0.922 -0.0956
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2095 14.7% 39.19 5.64 74.37% 0.908 0.4081
Powers Long Forgotten 1 274 74.36% 30.78 10.333 50.36% 0.422 0.832
Rituals of Terror 3 180 63.33% 39.51 9.293 48.89% -0.135 -0.2507
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 132 79.55% 37.41 0.746 48.48% -0.478 0.2968
Second Wave 0 1493 58.37% 31.41 -1.022 54.79% -0.736 -0.6195
The Great River 3 69 50.72% 35.96 0.763 46.38% -0.221 1.2169
Varied Terrains 2 13 76.92% 20.38 -3.883 15.38% -0.825 -0.3323
Ward the Shores 2 338 55.03% 34.98 0.506 48.22% -0.717 0.1969

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 36662 50.74% 32.28 0.165 69.34% 0.183 0.4208
1 Thematic 2664 59.95% 34.35 -1.085 54.17% -0.708 -0.116
2 Archipelago 18 38.89% 40.28 -2.229 38.89% -1.168 -0.3436
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7359 55.02% 31.65 -0.841 66.99% -0.121 0.0653
2 Coastline 789 44.13% 34.5 2.654 76.05% 0.644 0.7855
2 Fragment 193 54.69% 31.15 2.229 63.73% 0.496 0.4232
2 Heart 115 54.78% 30.93 2.539 65.22% 0.551 0.3724
2 Opposite Shores 1549 49.93% 33.07 -0.665 70.69% 0.234 0.3623
2 Thematic 991 55.72% 35.16 0.833 55.7% -0.128 0.4484
2 Top to Top 235 59.57% 31.97 -3.213 68.51% -0.528 -0.3173
3 Archipelago 5 80.0% 39.6 0.0 60.0%
3 Coastline 7 28.57% 30.29 -8.371 42.86% -0.464 -0.9056
3 Other 107 46.73% 34.32 -6.338 73.83% -1.293 -1.9212
3 Round (Default) 2650 48.5% 33.38 0.258 69.47% 0.01 -0.0288
3 Sunrise 10 40.0% 39.1 0.0 90.0%
3 Thematic 202 59.9% 37.73 2.762 53.96% 0.575 0.283
4 Archipelago 5 60.0% 56.6 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 42.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 5 60.0% 26.2 0.0 60.0%
4 Other 54 62.96% 35.02 4.573 74.07% 0.151 -0.5319
4 Thematic 332 48.21% 37.27 2.909 56.93% 0.372 0.2328
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1244 41.82% 34.34 1.517 70.58% 0.242 0.0287
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -14.565 0.0% -0.491 -0.6381
5 Other 37 43.24% 42.27 7.077 91.89% 0.788 0.2589
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 6 33.33% 36.0 -1.165 66.67% -0.244 -0.6678
6 Star 4 25.0% 32.5 -3.263 50.0% -0.44 0.1498
6 Thematic 16 33.33% 49.19 -3.382 68.75% -0.456 -0.2225
6 Two Centers (Default) 27 33.33% 38.41 2.67 77.78% 0.687 1.1602
7 Other 2 100.0% 24.5 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2185 27.2 0.06 53.91% 0.043 0.7085
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1800 29.42 0.059 58.33% -0.414 0.0499
All Things Weaken 968 27.02 0.155 53.41% -0.116 0.697
Attenuated Essence 3 23.67 -3.747 33.33% -0.645 0.0001
Back Against the Wall 1700 27.87 -1.08 52.88% -0.515 0.0315
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 9 10.78 -8.416 11.11% -1.367 -0.4474
Burn Brightest Before the End 10 29.8 -0.257 70.0% -0.015 0.7771
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2045 24.76 -4.255 51.25% -0.895 -0.0383
Downward Spiral 4942 25.33 -2.191 50.51% -0.49 0.1892
Erosion of Will 2013 26.32 -1.127 50.27% -0.381 0.4254
Intensifying Exploitation 16 24.31 -3.782 50.0% -0.797 0.1465
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 393 35.35 1.315 83.46% 0.63 0.376
Memory Fades to Dust 5104 25.07 -2.618 48.08% -0.764 0.0628
Power Corrodes the Spirit 964 27.31 -1.334 56.74% -0.226 0.4122
Promising Farmlands 2030 26.09 -1.991 53.45% -0.499 0.3958
Shattered Fragments of Power 9 31.33 1.073 66.67% -0.01 0.6381
Slow Dissolution of Will 14 18.86 -5.412 42.86% -0.749 0.233
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 266 35.24 0.836 81.2% 0.385 -0.1072
The Border of Life and Death 5 35.6 2.12 60.0% 0.045 0.2508
Thriving Communities 917 25.03 -3.243 49.18% -0.992 -0.1107
Thriving Crops 7 21.0 -5.144 42.86% -0.627 -0.0745
Tipping Point 850 24.86 0.0 47.76%
Unnatural Proliferation 1041 27.54 -1.053 52.93% -0.435 0.232
Untended Land Crumbles 940 26.45 -1.574 54.57% -0.41 0.3221

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11852 53.13% 31.85 -0.151 66.77% -0.254 0.6505
B 12686 51.46% 32.06 -0.082 67.45% -0.144 0.6548
C 13793 48.9% 33.03 0.246 70.05% -0.076 0.5735
D 11557 52.07% 32.15 -0.636 68.18% -0.34 0.5102
E 4257 48.26% 33.97 0.992 73.64% -0.008 0.689
F 6069 49.95% 32.64 -0.536 70.32% -0.245 0.5249
G 5336 51.52% 32.62 0.653 70.6% 0.024 0.7971
H 5820 46.63% 33.5 -0.064 71.89% -0.324 0.3969
East 2713 55.98% 36.48 1.276 56.28% 0.005 0.7868
Northeast 1630 53.69% 36.63 1.07 55.15% -0.307 0.6475
Northwest 1306 57.42% 35.38 2.45 54.75% 0.244 0.8541
Southeast 351 51.61% 35.3 -0.188 59.54% -0.349 0.3206
Southwest 314 54.05% 29.43 -0.385 50.0% 0.169 1.4523
West 2401 58.73% 34.18 -0.121 52.27% -0.61 0.494

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 478 0.0% 28.97 -2.448 52.51% -0.616 0.5853
Not Using Events or Tokens 8204 58.76% 28.95 -1.541 55.03% -0.381 -0.1369
Skip Initial Invader Actions 614 19.42% 45.38 3.847 85.02% 0.599 0.0217
Start of Game Growth 963 20.45% 44.19 2.746 86.92% 0.268 -0.1908
Unlimited Undo 3936 48.48% 34.54 0.688 74.01% -0.073 -0.2512
Using Tokens but Not Events 5376 41.83% 34.45 1.03 76.1% 0.353 0.3135

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7773 21.84 6.97%
II 17179 31.08 53.79%
III 18304 34.71 86.81%
IV 12059 37.98 99.39%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.184 Win Model: 0.14
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 39447 51.37% 32.43 68.32%
2 11217 53.71% 32.38 67.09%
3 2948 49.34% 33.64 68.35%
4 1635 43.34% 35.05 68.5%
5 13 30.77% 37.77 69.23%
6 55 35.19% 40.35 69.09%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 540
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 15558
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8893
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 11863
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 299
Lose: Invader deck ran out 418
Lose: Adversary condition 6107
Win: Sacrifice victory 213
Lose: Scenario condition 692
Win: Scenario condition 590
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9625
Lose: Spirit destroyed 517

The Kingdom of England — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5329 43.97% 37.95 1.537 60.52% 0.405 0.2938
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2798 76.19% 32.79 -2.715 46.32% -0.585 -0.5307
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2320 59.69% 35.58 -0.207 57.5% 0.329 0.1778
Downpour Drenches the World 260 46.12% 34.33 -0.165 49.62% -0.256 -0.0102
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 251 45.82% 34.78 2.147 61.75% 0.717 0.3119
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2988 43.9% 39.95 0.406 65.6% 0.11 -0.4093
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3517 50.5% 40.18 2.208 66.82% 0.543 0.1002
Finder of Paths Unseen 89 60.67% 26.66 -4.064 30.34% -0.642 -0.018
Fractured Days Split the Sky 713 52.19% 39.33 1.489 51.47% -0.218 0.3535
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 628 69.02% 36.32 0.018 52.87% 0.306 0.1606
Heart of the Wildfire 3296 86.81% 23.9 -4.012 27.0% -0.569 -0.365
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7419 53.14% 37.9 0.393 62.47% 0.31 -0.234
Lightning's Swift Strike 4996 68.32% 32.49 -2.679 47.02% -0.292 -0.0235
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 225 64.88% 43.31 4.611 69.78% 0.772 0.0047
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 429 56.88% 39.55 0.621 65.5% 0.275 -0.0939
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 436 57.01% 38.35 1.362 56.88% 0.268 0.0182
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2274 71.01% 33.68 -0.121 52.11% 0.037 -0.1487
Many Minds Move as One 925 44.05% 40.4 3.58 67.03% 0.824 0.4725
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6081 66.28% 36.74 0.207 59.05% 0.415 0.3419
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2290 58.11% 33.73 -0.024 50.79% 0.12 0.0062
River Surges in Sunlight 4887 63.16% 34.79 -2.07 45.73% -0.342 -0.4041
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 471 69.43% 33.99 -3.062 48.2% -0.419 -0.2492
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 156 57.89% 37.54 0.575 50.0% -0.096 -0.3278
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4328 52.05% 37.68 3.178 61.16% 0.783 0.6119
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1455 81.54% 25.46 -5.541 24.88% -1.142 -0.7325
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 24 62.5% 29.38 3.166 41.67% 0.62 0.6342
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 31 70.97% 30.29 -0.071 35.48% -0.307 -0.287
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 212 76.89% 33.1 2.961 49.06% -0.075 -0.1488
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 120 85.59% 28.27 -6.348 32.5% -1.009 -0.8837
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2975 57.06% 35.77 -1.171 54.55% -0.097 -0.2796
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 29 41.38% 28.55 -2.022 48.28% -0.12 -0.2018
Shifting Memory of Ages 703 66.81% 35.78 0.566 57.61% 0.111 0.3785
Shroud of Silent Mist 740 76.57% 32.78 -1.703 50.54% -0.094 0.2189
Starlight Seeks its Form 1017 48.34% 36.36 -1.819 56.93% 0.045 -0.1351
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3192 46.34% 38.68 0.63 65.23% 0.517 -0.0065
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1085 72.41% 29.85 -3.481 38.8% -0.437 -0.358
Thunderspeaker 4793 62.33% 36.53 -0.189 55.39% 0.217 0.1548
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 19 52.63% 25.68 -2.897 36.84% -0.507 -0.4085
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1539 86.64% 33.27 -0.341 56.08% 0.112 0.0994
Vital Strength of the Earth 3107 58.33% 31.25 -1.036 41.78% -0.157 0.4358
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 116 62.73% 32.26 -2.008 48.28% -0.363 -0.0635
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 228 67.11% 30.62 -1.749 43.86% -0.334 0.6351
Volcano Looming High 1489 72.84% 33.03 0.31 54.94% 0.164 0.167

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 49.0 8.754 100.0% 0.394 0.2104
Blitz 0 521 51.6% 34.05 -1.469 49.71% -0.301 -0.0103
Dahan Insurrection 4 489 47.4% 51.02 9.729 47.44% -0.11 -0.2886
Despicable Theft 2 23 69.57% 37.04 -2.907 34.78% -0.248 0.4071
Elemental Invocation 1 103 70.87% 34.02 2.602 42.72% 0.267 1.0929
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2086 20.84% 42.0 5.386 61.27% 0.706 0.2059
Powers Long Forgotten 1 157 75.16% 32.69 -2.568 35.67% -0.479 -0.0692
Rituals of Terror 3 140 74.1% 38.16 14.351 32.86% 0.643 0.5269
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 47 93.62% 37.38 0.0 31.91%
Second Wave 0 718 58.54% 35.66 0.784 47.77% -0.467 -0.3504
The Great River 3 49 59.18% 33.73 2.406 26.53% -0.344 1.094
Varied Terrains 2 7 71.43% 15.0 -11.107 0.0% -1.078 -0.5858
Ward the Shores 2 158 67.09% 37.61 5.567 39.24% -0.068 0.8452

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 35597 64.08% 34.65 0.115 54.87% 0.09 0.3276
1 Thematic 1960 61.63% 38.8 -0.764 47.24% -0.411 0.1815
2 Archipelago 18 44.44% 44.89 -16.91 61.11% -0.818 0.0067
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7696 62.81% 34.45 -1.117 53.77% -0.137 0.0497
2 Coastline 991 59.35% 36.61 1.201 59.74% -0.08 0.0609
2 Fragment 185 65.95% 33.15 4.469 50.27% 0.451 0.378
2 Heart 107 74.53% 34.06 6.109 53.27% 0.757 0.5784
2 Opposite Shores 1605 61.23% 34.53 0.587 52.15% 0.019 0.1482
2 Thematic 641 65.67% 36.11 1.855 38.07% -0.338 0.239
2 Top to Top 302 59.33% 36.95 -1.337 59.93% -0.363 -0.1515
3 Archipelago 3 66.67% 31.67 0.0 33.33%
3 Coastline 11 45.45% 41.0 10.239 63.64% 0.134 -0.3074
3 Other 118 47.01% 40.35 -2.261 70.34% -0.183 -0.8112
3 Round (Default) 3154 55.78% 35.54 0.795 54.76% 0.095 0.0566
3 Sunrise 16 68.75% 46.5 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 156 67.31% 35.13 0.317 30.77% 0.553 0.2609
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 30.5 -13.774 50.0% -0.135 -0.1423
4 Leaf 3 33.33% 30.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Other 72 59.15% 35.28 -1.154 56.94% -0.106 -0.7885
4 Snake 4 75.0% 32.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 313 51.44% 37.72 -8.556 40.58% -0.271 -0.4099
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1699 47.54% 38.1 1.617 58.21% 0.198 -0.0151
5 Other 43 34.15% 44.09 1.251 65.12% 0.006 -0.5224
5 Thematic 3 100.0% 45.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 5 20.0% 44.2 0.0 60.0%
6 Other 15 26.67% 40.6 -3.43 46.67% -0.091 -0.5142
6 Star 9 44.44% 54.56 0.0 66.67%
6 Thematic 34 38.24% 41.5 -4.401 17.65% -0.211 0.0223
6 Two Centers (Default) 45 37.78% 37.8 -1.459 53.33% 0.01 0.4837
7 Other 1 100.0% 23.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2554 30.45 -0.085 42.6% -0.219 0.4466
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2064 33.08 1.923 47.87% 0.392 0.8562
All Things Weaken 1293 32.19 1.407 48.11% 0.139 0.9511
Attenuated Essence 14 35.71 1.093 64.29% 0.261 0.9068
Back Against the Wall 2099 31.61 1.018 43.88% 0.064 0.6106
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 8 30.5 -0.779 50.0% -0.088 0.8317
Burn Brightest Before the End 10 32.4 0.377 50.0% -0.003 0.7893
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2477 28.12 -0.475 41.14% -0.007 0.85
Downward Spiral 5621 29.71 0.673 44.62% 0.262 0.9403
Erosion of Will 2518 29.88 0.027 41.14% -0.284 0.5228
Intensifying Exploitation 15 26.33 -3.156 33.33% -0.529 0.415
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 420 39.47 1.994 69.52% 0.551 0.2973
Memory Fades to Dust 5663 29.49 -0.393 42.2% -0.069 0.7579
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1247 30.83 0.119 46.11% -0.189 0.4496
Promising Farmlands 2572 29.7 -1.131 43.9% -0.181 0.7141
Shattered Fragments of Power 18 30.06 -0.175 44.44% -0.223 0.4246
Slow Dissolution of Will 18 30.22 -0.398 50.0% -0.149 0.8332
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 294 40.27 2.332 74.15% 0.473 -0.0186
The Border of Life and Death 4 4.0 -13.246 0.0% -1.146 -0.9396
Thriving Communities 1307 30.58 0.934 46.52% 0.148 1.0302
Thriving Crops 12 33.08 1.111 50.0% -0.121 0.4306
Tipping Point 1031 28.72 0.0 41.22%
Unnatural Proliferation 1406 32.9 1.619 49.57% 0.025 0.6923
Untended Land Crumbles 1281 30.64 1.657 45.75% 0.378 1.1104

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12521 61.49% 34.74 -0.27 53.23% -0.193 0.7121
B 13238 61.52% 34.6 -0.113 53.12% -0.114 0.6842
C 14190 61.01% 35.32 0.77 55.38% 0.001 0.6509
D 12161 61.75% 34.83 -0.332 54.46% -0.048 0.8026
E 4944 56.79% 36.79 0.755 59.75% 0.044 0.7408
F 6386 61.4% 35.42 0.279 56.62% -0.011 0.7591
G 5580 60.82% 35.3 -0.122 55.54% -0.138 0.6354
H 6230 56.88% 36.19 -1.013 57.8% -0.303 0.4179
East 1954 59.59% 39.18 -1.259 43.19% -0.969 -0.1879
Northeast 1220 56.74% 39.62 -0.48 41.97% -0.783 0.172
Northwest 1000 59.61% 37.26 -1.298 40.7% 0.038 0.6478
Southeast 320 60.0% 36.2 4.06 37.19% 0.383 1.0531
Southwest 291 59.15% 33.17 -3.656 37.8% -0.412 0.8714
West 1814 61.86% 36.23 1.014 39.8% -0.033 1.0709

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 497 0.0% 35.4 -2.664 49.9% -0.557 0.6439
Not Using Events or Tokens 7108 65.84% 32.43 -1.757 46.47% -0.327 -0.0834
Skip Initial Invader Actions 874 15.77% 53.04 4.701 85.01% 0.313 -0.2644
Start of Game Growth 1366 21.52% 49.88 6.134 79.5% 1.029 0.5694
Unlimited Undo 4960 56.77% 38.22 0.245 63.17% 0.17 -0.0076
Using Tokens but Not Events 4569 54.8% 36.39 0.109 59.71% 0.016 -0.0234

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9060 21.84 2.96%
II 16314 31.08 22.29%
III 16431 34.71 78.45%
IV 13020 37.98 99.43%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.048 Win Model: -0.062
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 37697 63.93% 34.89 54.52%
2 11556 62.54% 34.74 53.04%
3 3353 55.85% 35.76 55.06%
4 2091 48.15% 38.03 55.52%
5 20 36.84% 32.45 35.0%
6 108 36.11% 40.7 42.59%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 268
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12602
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3460
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 12797
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 368
Lose: Invader deck ran out 427
Lose: Adversary condition 10452
Win: Sacrifice victory 252
Lose: Scenario condition 919
Win: Scenario condition 361
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12294
Lose: Spirit destroyed 625

The Kingdom of England — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4980 40.23% 43.92 0.491 64.68% 0.263 0.1509
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2679 70.16% 39.14 -2.261 53.6% -0.172 -0.1183
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2243 62.44% 38.65 -3.223 54.39% -0.4 -0.5512
Downpour Drenches the World 323 44.72% 39.17 -1.843 54.8% -0.005 0.2405
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 312 47.76% 38.03 0.316 61.22% 0.459 0.0541
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2916 44.0% 45.21 -0.317 69.38% 0.172 -0.347
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6338 29.75% 51.34 3.523 83.31% 1.059 0.6158
Finder of Paths Unseen 104 45.19% 37.6 -2.922 50.96% -0.266 0.3579
Fractured Days Split the Sky 792 45.01% 46.67 -4.723 63.51% -0.765 -0.1934
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 851 46.24% 45.69 2.773 64.16% 0.121 -0.0244
Heart of the Wildfire 2892 75.76% 32.0 -6.866 37.28% -1.441 -1.2376
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 15104 30.99% 48.98 3.666 77.28% 0.899 0.3553
Lightning's Swift Strike 4484 59.87% 38.39 -2.302 50.42% -0.256 0.0128
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 291 61.46% 44.9 4.356 67.35% 1.115 0.3484
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 469 51.61% 46.78 3.678 73.35% 0.939 0.5701
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 435 46.67% 45.76 -5.804 65.98% -0.737 -0.9863
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2139 60.44% 40.95 -1.786 60.17% -0.14 -0.3258
Many Minds Move as One 1003 38.82% 47.47 0.789 74.88% 0.461 0.1093
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5215 59.81% 42.42 -0.414 62.32% 0.217 0.1442
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2441 54.81% 38.92 -0.896 53.79% 0.133 0.0196
River Surges in Sunlight 4200 55.82% 41.04 -0.006 51.31% 0.202 0.1405
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 460 58.82% 38.38 -0.504 45.65% -0.147 0.0223
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 275 24.91% 55.51 5.386 81.09% 0.853 0.6206
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6015 39.52% 46.04 -0.448 71.07% 0.341 0.1696
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 999 74.12% 31.28 -6.557 31.83% -0.359 0.0503
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 15 86.67% 31.6 -11.325 40.0% -0.726 -0.7118
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 24 58.33% 39.71 -0.067 50.0% -0.493 -0.4728
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 202 82.67% 31.1 -3.794 32.67% -0.751 -0.8247
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 113 55.75% 42.99 6.35 58.41% 0.3 0.4246
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5283 31.07% 49.16 0.79 73.97% 0.119 -0.0643
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 17 47.06% 45.0 3.066 70.59% 0.73 0.648
Shifting Memory of Ages 869 61.57% 40.49 -1.704 57.42% -0.077 0.1904
Shroud of Silent Mist 653 70.37% 40.07 -1.43 59.26% -0.151 0.1619
Starlight Seeks its Form 1048 51.24% 42.93 -0.363 63.65% 0.035 -0.1444
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3176 39.54% 42.13 0.461 72.98% 0.561 0.0372
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 948 63.16% 36.34 -3.395 44.94% -0.397 -0.3178
Thunderspeaker 5981 42.8% 45.65 -0.696 65.61% -0.299 -0.3614
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 17 64.71% 31.18 -3.183 41.18% -0.311 -0.2128
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2146 81.53% 41.62 4.475 67.1% 1.241 1.2287
Vital Strength of the Earth 2169 53.25% 36.08 -3.783 43.66% -0.561 0.0322
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 125 52.8% 39.63 -1.208 47.2% -0.406 -0.1058
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 313 53.35% 39.5 -5.181 56.55% -0.772 0.1967
Volcano Looming High 1919 70.82% 36.44 -2.931 52.74% -0.205 -0.2027

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 50.0% 55.5 6.204 100.0% 0.161 -0.0223
Blitz 0 406 53.75% 39.57 1.098 53.45% -0.564 -0.2734
Dahan Insurrection 4 360 44.97% 57.6 13.026 51.94% 0.041 -0.1374
Despicable Theft 2 11 90.91% 38.91 -11.364 45.45% -0.646 0.0093
Elemental Invocation 1 74 72.97% 41.59 -5.796 55.41% -0.305 0.521
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5681 9.25% 55.14 6.332 83.19% 0.983 0.483
Powers Long Forgotten 1 116 75.86% 34.89 -18.263 31.9% -0.672 -0.2623
Rituals of Terror 3 116 69.83% 44.02 -9.038 35.34% -0.543 -0.6588
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 94 89.36% 34.47 -10.317 21.28% -0.646 0.1294
Second Wave 0 395 53.92% 37.65 -2.321 45.32% -0.63 -0.5135
The Great River 3 46 76.09% 33.35 -19.862 19.57% -0.456 0.9822
Varied Terrains 2 4 50.0% 47.0 10.015 50.0% 0.739 1.2314
Ward the Shores 2 138 67.88% 41.94 0.0 41.3%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 40001 52.91% 42.0 -0.129 63.74% 0.143 0.3803
1 Thematic 1308 63.89% 39.22 -2.432 38.99% -0.434 0.1585
2 Archipelago 17 29.41% 49.06 2.47 58.82% -0.033 0.7919
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8309 54.21% 42.22 -0.749 61.62% -0.174 0.0127
2 Coastline 1252 51.0% 44.37 -3.971 68.05% -0.931 -0.7893
2 Fragment 151 63.09% 36.68 4.421 49.01% 0.258 0.1852
2 Heart 143 58.04% 42.3 5.307 60.84% 0.45 0.2713
2 Opposite Shores 1408 57.33% 40.21 1.338 54.05% -0.107 0.0217
2 Thematic 402 65.17% 40.21 -5.675 40.8% -1.145 -0.5678
2 Top to Top 263 59.07% 40.11 0.312 58.94% -0.137 0.074
3 Archipelago 4 100.0% 72.25 14.121 75.0% 0.234 -0.2976
3 Coastline 19 72.22% 31.74 6.242 26.32% 0.64 0.1987
3 Other 146 57.24% 43.73 2.632 69.18% 0.649 0.0203
3 Round (Default) 2833 52.11% 41.82 0.586 61.38% -0.13 -0.1684
3 Sunrise 18 55.56% 37.5 9.453 50.0% 0.593 0.1156
3 Thematic 82 62.2% 43.26 3.972 45.12% -0.06 -0.3525
4 Archipelago 10 60.0% 46.3 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 15 80.0% 41.53 0.0 66.67%
4 Other 71 64.79% 43.77 0.0 67.61%
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 310 49.68% 51.05 0.0 60.97%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4059 18.23% 51.47 1.263 78.1% -0.191 -0.4044
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 38.5 0.0 50.0%
5 Other 78 24.68% 54.28 7.672 84.62% 0.564 0.0355
5 Thematic 5 0.0% 72.2 14.3 60.0% 0.122 -0.2184
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 11 30.0% 39.45 -2.384 27.27% -0.912 -1.3353
6 Star 11 54.55% 37.18 0.0 45.45%
6 Thematic 17 41.18% 53.35 4.885 58.82% 0.091 0.3244
6 Two Centers (Default) 40 22.5% 48.35 -3.218 75.0% -0.628 -0.1544
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 74.0 0.0 50.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 96.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2479 34.68 -1.976 45.78% -0.595 0.0701
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1982 37.28 -1.985 51.01% -0.497 -0.0325
All Things Weaken 1314 36.03 -0.84 50.46% -0.154 0.6584
Attenuated Essence 12 35.17 -0.855 66.67% 0.326 0.9711
Back Against the Wall 1981 36.21 0.891 47.8% 0.033 0.5802
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 12 23.17 -6.739 25.0% -1.032 -0.1127
Burn Brightest Before the End 11 29.64 -4.522 36.36% -0.799 -0.0069
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2457 32.51 -3.195 44.53% -0.514 0.3425
Downward Spiral 4439 33.46 -2.875 44.99% -0.703 -0.0243
Erosion of Will 2416 34.54 -2.663 45.24% -0.567 0.2396
Intensifying Exploitation 22 34.82 -1.844 59.09% -0.106 0.8378
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 430 42.77 2.236 68.14% 0.343 0.0888
Memory Fades to Dust 4482 33.43 -3.688 43.78% -0.732 0.0951
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1292 35.14 -1.491 50.31% -0.269 0.3692
Promising Farmlands 2391 33.59 -2.542 45.63% -0.506 0.3892
Shattered Fragments of Power 9 38.44 0.269 55.56% -0.178 0.4698
Slow Dissolution of Will 20 29.1 -4.321 35.0% -0.868 0.1137
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 361 44.62 -3.583 73.96% -0.58 -1.0722
The Border of Life and Death 3 50.0 4.913 100.0% 0.555 0.7606
Thriving Communities 1309 34.92 0.004 49.43% -0.109 0.773
Thriving Crops 9 36.11 -1.197 55.56% -0.088 0.4637
Tipping Point 932 31.37 0.0 38.73%
Unnatural Proliferation 1381 36.34 0.802 50.18% -0.005 0.6619
Untended Land Crumbles 1326 35.11 -0.857 49.7% -0.134 0.5979

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14664 46.25% 43.43 0.876 63.78% -0.196 0.7088
B 16700 44.32% 44.47 0.935 66.05% -0.187 0.6112
C 17487 45.9% 44.58 -0.131 67.15% -0.382 0.2679
D 12523 51.8% 42.1 -0.375 62.31% -0.236 0.6141
E 6259 47.89% 43.8 -0.099 66.53% -0.293 0.4041
F 7995 46.56% 43.78 -0.173 66.27% -0.313 0.4576
G 6994 47.78% 43.46 -0.002 65.46% -0.355 0.4183
H 7054 46.15% 44.38 0.598 67.54% -0.309 0.4118
East 1401 58.94% 43.69 1.188 44.97% 0.051 0.8323
Northeast 886 56.72% 44.3 -0.629 45.26% -0.34 0.6143
Northwest 729 61.32% 43.74 3.381 45.54% 0.553 1.1628
Southeast 171 54.12% 46.73 2.354 57.31% -0.384 0.2858
Southwest 202 60.2% 39.6 -1.934 49.5% -0.695 0.588
West 1244 63.72% 41.52 -2.486 43.33% -0.932 0.172

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 289 0.0% 42.26 2.718 60.9% 0.372 1.5736
Not Using Events or Tokens 6405 48.9% 41.99 -0.175 60.47% 0.094 0.3382
Skip Initial Invader Actions 963 15.46% 60.28 8.808 88.89% 1.098 0.5207
Start of Game Growth 1624 18.58% 55.61 4.999 82.27% 0.498 0.0388
Unlimited Undo 5189 54.2% 43.4 -0.466 66.49% 0.256 0.0782
Using Tokens but Not Events 4406 39.57% 45.81 0.484 68.97% 0.124 0.0844

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9270 21.84 27.13%
II 16800 31.08 34.26%
III 18642 34.71 75.96%
IV 16298 37.98 99.68%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.423 Win Model: 0.38
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 41490 53.21% 41.96 63.05%
2 11868 55.1% 41.95 60.24%
3 3051 52.69% 41.77 60.77%
4 4489 21.21% 51.37 76.7%
5 29 32.14% 47.69 68.97%
6 83 30.86% 48.06 62.65%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2514
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13902
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5587
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16064
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 295
Lose: Invader deck ran out 83
Lose: Adversary condition 9645
Win: Sacrifice victory 321
Lose: Scenario condition 1080
Win: Scenario condition 290
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10643
Lose: Spirit destroyed 586

The Kingdom of England — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1981 47.12% 46.76 3.657 50.13% 0.9 0.7886
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 731 81.77% 38.84 -1.543 36.66% -0.21 -0.1554
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 541 77.32% 32.48 -2.191 21.44% -0.191 -0.3425
Downpour Drenches the World 96 40.0% 36.43 -5.901 32.29% -0.722 -0.4766
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 106 80.19% 31.6 -3.465 34.91% -0.096 -0.501
Eyes Watch From the Trees 904 61.09% 44.55 4.717 48.67% 0.73 0.2104
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1324 60.23% 46.73 1.121 52.95% 0.007 -0.4357
Finder of Paths Unseen 29 58.62% 39.72 -4.965 37.93% -0.811 -0.1872
Fractured Days Split the Sky 280 66.67% 50.44 0.142 44.29% 0.108 0.6798
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 177 90.4% 35.14 -12.635 29.38% -0.754 -0.8996
Heart of the Wildfire 975 87.35% 26.45 -10.325 13.44% -0.88 -0.6766
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4025 55.08% 46.65 0.602 55.85% 0.535 -0.0093
Lightning's Swift Strike 2268 64.76% 42.1 -2.581 40.08% -0.793 -0.5236
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 138 72.46% 49.29 0.814 52.17% 0.854 0.0874
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 148 67.57% 48.24 6.13 59.46% 0.705 0.3356
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 138 71.74% 43.83 6.467 48.55% 1.106 0.8563
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 804 77.3% 39.04 -0.461 36.57% 0.281 0.0955
Many Minds Move as One 282 50.0% 50.88 3.582 63.83% 0.524 0.1731
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2526 65.69% 46.87 4.938 55.42% 1.265 1.1924
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 711 63.51% 38.19 -4.954 32.49% -1.082 -1.196
River Surges in Sunlight 1494 53.66% 45.62 5.509 44.18% 1.074 1.0116
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 92 73.63% 36.73 -0.917 21.74% -0.515 -0.3452
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 19 78.95% 48.74 0.43 31.58% -0.341 -0.5738
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1627 63.0% 44.55 3.107 49.6% 1.115 0.9435
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 393 83.63% 31.45 -10.773 17.56% -0.798 -0.3887
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 4 75.0% 18.75 -8.503 0.0% -0.39 -0.376
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 45 77.78% 36.29 -6.712 31.11% -0.1 -0.1736
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 38 84.21% 36.63 0.0 31.58%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1353 55.78% 47.84 -1.793 53.07% -0.205 -0.388
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 7 42.86% 39.86 -0.844 28.57% -0.326 -0.4078
Shifting Memory of Ages 249 73.49% 44.84 -2.331 46.59% 0.066 0.3331
Shroud of Silent Mist 208 86.21% 37.13 -6.25 35.58% -1.097 -0.7842
Starlight Seeks its Form 350 67.43% 41.93 -1.775 43.71% -0.092 -0.2722
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3485 29.1% 51.51 6.242 76.13% 1.465 0.9414
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 351 78.65% 32.57 -0.439 19.94% -0.075 0.0043
Thunderspeaker 1492 74.0% 39.38 0.003 34.58% 0.299 0.2367
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 7 71.43% 45.14 3.152 71.43% 0.931 1.0296
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 920 86.52% 43.03 -6.767 53.8% -0.23 -0.2424
Vital Strength of the Earth 863 55.43% 40.63 -5.827 35.11% -0.753 -0.16
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 17 64.71% 46.53 -8.977 41.18% -0.688 -0.3883
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 76 76.32% 35.47 1.374 32.89% 0.059 1.0282
Volcano Looming High 488 89.75% 31.32 -3.089 24.59% -0.42 -0.4174

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 222 56.62% 39.56 -6.878 41.89% -0.935 -0.6448
Dahan Insurrection 4 200 75.38% 45.48 4.847 17.0% -0.118 -0.2972
Despicable Theft 2 14 100.0% 39.93 1.474 28.57% -0.074 0.5814
Elemental Invocation 1 21 66.67% 34.29 -0.884 19.05% -0.659 0.1671
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1106 19.85% 53.58 5.979 60.49% 0.937 0.4375
Powers Long Forgotten 1 58 86.21% 37.38 0.0 24.14%
Rituals of Terror 3 56 82.14% 79.79 18.738 53.57% 0.551 0.4344
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 20 75.0% 42.35 0.0 25.0%
Second Wave 0 173 67.44% 37.99 6.078 30.64% 1.087 1.203
The Great River 3 2 50.0% 54.5 0.0 50.0%
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 22.0 -6.353 0.0% -0.107 0.3856
Ward the Shores 2 57 62.5% 47.33 12.622 35.09% 0.187 1.1008

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 15978 62.36% 42.41 1.264 49.38% 1.276 1.5142
1 Thematic 1043 73.03% 41.31 -4.124 32.41% 0.28 0.8723
2 Archipelago 10 100.0% 55.8 0.0 20.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2411 71.82% 39.71 -2.688 40.23% 0.21 0.3966
2 Coastline 270 68.68% 43.46 -3.244 49.63% -0.144 -0.0023
2 Fragment 78 76.92% 39.12 -2.876 38.46% -0.271 -0.3433
2 Heart 38 81.58% 34.92 -4.014 34.21% -0.318 -0.4972
2 Opposite Shores 555 69.82% 40.53 -1.954 40.18% 0.037 0.1659
2 Thematic 175 68.57% 47.22 14.681 31.43% 0.62 1.1969
2 Top to Top 92 60.87% 45.5 -0.477 51.09% 0.061 0.2724
3 Archipelago 4 100.0% 119.5 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 4 75.0% 33.75 0.0 25.0%
3 Other 50 76.0% 51.78 9.12 72.0% 0.519 -0.1089
3 Round (Default) 898 69.27% 39.34 -1.35 38.42% -0.587 -0.626
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 42.0 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 41 73.17% 44.59 0.0 34.15%
4 Archipelago 5 100.0% 43.0 0.0 20.0%
4 Leaf 6 83.33% 38.17 0.0 33.33%
4 Other 22 81.82% 45.82 11.183 59.09% 0.655 -0.0281
4 Thematic 225 21.78% 65.47 6.222 71.56% 0.037 -0.1019
4 Trapezoid (Default) 788 31.01% 53.08 4.735 61.42% -0.175 -0.3878
5 Other 16 50.0% 70.88 0.632 75.0% -0.166 -0.6946
5 Thematic 20 50.0% 68.6 19.748 55.0% 0.342 0.0012
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 70.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 6 0.0% 52.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 33 15.15% 72.18 -2.922 69.7% -0.857 -0.6236
6 Two Centers (Default) 4 100.0% 44.5 0.0 50.0%
7 Archipelago 2 50.0% 146.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1131 36.93 -4.733 34.66% -0.992 -0.3272
Aid From Lesser Spirits 905 39.57 0.759 39.34% 0.031 0.4955
All Things Weaken 570 37.21 -3.093 36.32% -0.979 -0.1664
Attenuated Essence 6 30.0 -2.079 33.33% -0.068 0.5775
Back Against the Wall 819 37.83 -0.744 35.41% -0.315 0.2316
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 9 42.56 2.338 55.56% 0.455 1.3744
Burn Brightest Before the End 7 27.43 -4.886 14.29% -0.869 -0.0762
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1092 35.25 0.221 35.44% 0.122 0.9784
Downward Spiral 2135 34.99 -3.15 32.65% -0.43 0.2485
Erosion of Will 1235 35.44 -2.635 32.15% -0.575 0.2319
Intensifying Exploitation 10 29.7 -4.296 30.0% -0.518 0.4261
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 173 45.62 -4.327 56.65% -0.775 -1.029
Memory Fades to Dust 2080 33.99 -3.701 29.04% -0.621 0.2066
Power Corrodes the Spirit 574 37.34 -0.598 37.46% -0.025 0.6132
Promising Farmlands 1105 35.81 -3.722 34.66% -0.924 -0.0285
Shattered Fragments of Power 8 44.13 3.517 62.5% 0.67 1.3183
Slow Dissolution of Will 10 40.2 1.708 50.0% 0.219 1.2015
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 142 49.23 8.206 66.2% 1.216 0.7239
The Border of Life and Death 2 41.0 4.011 50.0% 0.28 0.4859
Thriving Communities 568 36.79 -3.332 38.03% -0.565 0.3163
Thriving Crops 5 45.6 2.483 80.0% 0.653 1.2046
Tipping Point 470 35.04 0.0 31.91%
Unnatural Proliferation 655 39.76 -1.001 40.31% -0.518 0.1484
Untended Land Crumbles 599 36.08 -3.458 36.73% -0.511 0.2211

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4185 66.95% 40.67 -1.808 41.7% -0.258 0.6469
B 5502 60.87% 42.56 -2.638 45.62% -0.45 0.3486
C 7864 52.11% 46.81 3.4 59.22% 0.41 1.0594
D 4032 67.49% 42.02 0.503 44.69% 0.18 1.0306
E 1811 67.81% 40.96 -0.394 43.51% -0.109 0.5878
F 2114 66.83% 40.9 -1.25 42.81% -0.263 0.5069
G 1822 68.75% 40.41 -1.655 41.82% -0.481 0.2921
H 1957 66.13% 41.2 1.835 42.36% 0.305 1.0254
East 1052 59.09% 49.18 -0.113 40.97% -0.648 0.1336
Northeast 639 52.74% 50.68 2.548 42.25% -0.23 0.7251
Northwest 470 46.81% 55.46 4.385 53.83% -0.307 0.3026
Southeast 142 40.85% 55.15 1.475 50.0% -0.548 0.1219
Southwest 136 41.91% 52.79 0.434 51.47% 0.042 1.3257
West 782 55.63% 51.65 5.825 47.57% -0.073 1.0302

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 91 0.0% 58.37 16.304 63.74% 1.492 2.6931
Not Using Events or Tokens 2105 69.12% 38.47 0.34 34.39% 0.005 0.2489
Skip Initial Invader Actions 509 19.87% 65.49 8.385 80.16% 1.002 0.4249
Start of Game Growth 930 20.79% 62.14 1.833 74.09% -0.532 -0.9908
Unlimited Undo 1803 62.45% 46.27 0.933 53.02% 0.396 0.218
Using Tokens but Not Events 1394 60.52% 42.1 1.42 41.82% 0.123 0.0834

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4626 21.84 5.86%
II 6344 31.08 13.32%
III 4406 34.71 52.45%
IV 7407 37.98 99.8%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.589 Win Model: 0.452
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 17096 63.09% 42.41 48.34%
2 3603 70.95% 40.45 40.8%
3 979 70.38% 39.91 38.61%
4 1047 29.67% 55.73 63.42%
5 13 57.14% 76.0 69.23%
6 45 20.45% 73.04 73.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 271
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2248
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 808
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7308
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 113
Lose: Invader deck ran out 39
Lose: Adversary condition 5277
Win: Sacrifice victory 113
Lose: Scenario condition 387
Win: Scenario condition 71
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5846
Lose: Spirit destroyed 302

The Kingdom of England — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8885 42.41% 49.67 -0.006 47.33% -0.112 -0.224
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5341 80.39% 39.28 -1.634 31.19% -0.017 0.0377
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2201 67.48% 36.02 -0.708 22.44% -0.304 -0.4551
Downpour Drenches the World 617 40.52% 44.8 -1.101 38.41% -0.072 0.1731
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 684 57.46% 26.0 -5.042 24.27% -0.257 -0.6623
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4419 59.95% 47.78 6.301 45.39% 1.113 0.5936
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7982 54.02% 51.47 5.349 54.57% 0.933 0.4901
Finder of Paths Unseen 255 49.8% 46.84 -1.105 41.18% -0.312 0.3122
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2417 48.7% 56.14 -1.985 52.3% -0.131 0.441
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1032 79.84% 34.45 -2.99 20.83% -0.588 -0.7332
Heart of the Wildfire 3848 80.2% 32.22 -5.461 18.4% -0.752 -0.5486
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 22320 47.39% 50.99 2.149 56.6% 0.632 0.0882
Lightning's Swift Strike 12449 62.48% 44.92 -0.403 41.41% 0.076 0.3449
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1381 66.62% 47.36 4.58 44.75% 1.294 0.5266
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 2184 57.82% 48.6 -0.234 51.28% -0.079 -0.4482
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1247 53.09% 52.26 -0.133 54.77% 0.165 -0.0842
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4025 71.41% 41.08 -3.016 36.15% -0.487 -0.6727
Many Minds Move as One 1862 49.46% 56.63 7.67 66.33% 1.301 0.95
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 20121 59.02% 51.98 1.569 54.0% 0.699 0.6259
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2378 55.48% 43.0 -5.433 36.46% -1.272 -1.3859
River Surges in Sunlight 7409 53.92% 50.32 5.155 43.08% 0.594 0.5321
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 795 50.94% 45.89 -5.337 33.58% -0.681 -0.511
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 294 63.48% 48.17 -0.259 31.63% -0.029 -0.2618
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 12177 44.35% 54.27 4.294 59.23% 1.022 0.8514
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3372 66.73% 39.93 7.724 29.3% 0.889 1.2991
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 18 88.89% 43.39 -12.805 38.89% -0.441 -0.4271
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 72 83.33% 35.43 -3.856 23.61% -0.873 -0.8525
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 319 75.24% 36.66 1.277 23.82% 0.285 0.2112
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 280 75.36% 39.07 0.93 28.57% 0.426 0.5512
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5610 50.54% 51.27 -0.09 52.92% 0.136 -0.0464
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 52 71.15% 30.52 -2.135 28.85% -0.018 -0.0994
Shifting Memory of Ages 1368 60.64% 49.85 -0.635 45.69% -0.033 0.2341
Shroud of Silent Mist 1008 82.15% 40.92 -4.848 37.3% -0.881 -0.5677
Starlight Seeks its Form 2545 53.24% 48.5 0.448 48.17% 0.396 0.2164
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 9718 43.41% 44.37 2.666 50.44% 1.069 0.5452
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1900 67.13% 39.5 -2.36 29.21% -0.402 -0.3228
Thunderspeaker 7241 66.57% 42.38 -5.949 29.1% -0.526 -0.5885
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 50 34.0% 22.3 -5.846 24.0% -0.14 -0.0418
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3789 81.98% 44.25 -0.468 46.69% 0.285 0.2731
Vital Strength of the Earth 3871 46.44% 43.85 -2.518 33.38% -0.274 0.3186
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 229 45.58% 42.07 -2.907 30.57% -0.323 -0.0232
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 357 66.39% 33.45 -5.347 17.65% -0.958 0.0109
Volcano Looming High 3035 79.5% 33.95 -4.362 23.33% -0.882 -0.8793

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 100.0% 28.0 -3.531 0.0% -0.323 -0.5061
Blitz 0 1259 47.36% 47.19 4.748 45.67% 0.742 1.0325
Dahan Insurrection 4 2363 67.75% 48.52 1.497 14.73% -0.443 -0.6219
Despicable Theft 2 42 66.67% 45.31 -14.253 33.33% -0.064 0.5917
Elemental Invocation 1 103 66.99% 41.7 -8.657 29.13% -0.887 -0.0614
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 15502 23.24% 56.08 8.406 55.82% 1.31 0.8104
Powers Long Forgotten 1 166 87.35% 32.02 -19.811 11.45% -0.356 0.0532
Rituals of Terror 3 530 68.18% 103.6 26.307 59.25% 2.297 2.1813
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 103 90.29% 34.07 -40.601 7.77% -0.466 0.3093
Second Wave 0 291 63.67% 44.2 -4.498 38.49% -0.823 -0.7065
The Great River 3 30 43.33% 43.87 -5.359 26.67% -0.08 1.3588
Varied Terrains 2 12 83.33% 41.92 -0.195 25.0% -0.773 -0.2799
Ward the Shores 2 240 71.91% 45.7 7.783 31.25% 0.493 1.4064

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 91009 61.9% 44.3 -1.141 43.6% -0.901 -0.663
1 Thematic 5959 60.95% 46.52 4.128 24.69% -0.925 -0.3323
2 Archipelago 37 67.57% 79.05 8.646 40.54% -0.021 0.8038
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9646 67.93% 43.26 -2.189 40.27% -1.171 -0.9849
2 Coastline 2045 61.51% 41.47 -6.833 37.36% -1.536 -1.395
2 Fragment 193 68.91% 42.26 11.187 37.31% 0.894 0.8212
2 Heart 179 67.04% 51.64 11.401 58.66% 0.729 0.5498
2 Opposite Shores 2999 53.78% 47.01 -1.573 43.18% -1.309 -1.1801
2 Thematic 1878 38.66% 71.2 12.151 53.89% 0.084 0.6606
2 Top to Top 615 59.19% 48.97 -0.869 52.36% -0.434 -0.2228
3 Archipelago 23 47.83% 61.78 8.588 52.17% 0.236 -0.2959
3 Coastline 26 52.0% 52.88 1.499 57.69% -0.874 -1.3158
3 Other 278 62.59% 52.07 8.485 60.43% 0.54 -0.088
3 Round (Default) 5150 52.01% 48.47 0.407 50.08% -0.858 -0.8966
3 Sunrise 13 38.46% 53.23 14.472 61.54% 0.186 -0.2913
3 Thematic 140 45.32% 72.54 22.248 43.57% 0.244 -0.048
4 Archipelago 11 72.73% 68.91 0.0 54.55%
4 Coastline 31 9.68% 45.13 -0.997 35.48% -0.086 -0.0928
4 Leaf 18 33.33% 50.94 0.0 44.44%
4 Other 178 51.41% 55.87 8.85 67.42% 0.45 -0.2332
4 Thematic 1584 23.93% 68.74 -8.511 69.95% -0.612 -0.7514
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3119 37.5% 54.8 2.36 60.28% 0.022 -0.1908
5 Archipelago 6 66.67% 61.83 17.073 50.0% 0.689 -0.504
5 Coastline 14 14.29% 61.57 2.166 85.71% -0.036 -0.1831
5 Other 87 41.98% 64.7 22.381 77.01% 0.356 -0.1728
5 Thematic 62 19.35% 80.58 -2.626 88.71% -0.445 -0.7851
6 Archipelago 9 22.22% 70.22 8.42 77.78% 0.285 0.3957
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 17.0 -21.62 0.0% -0.577 -1.1731
6 Other 74 22.97% 55.34 6.258 58.11% 0.228 -0.196
6 Star 19 42.11% 56.58 0.146 63.16% -0.015 0.5747
6 Thematic 167 14.97% 65.53 -2.062 66.47% 0.017 0.2499
6 Two Centers (Default) 174 17.24% 62.25 -2.285 58.62% -0.756 -0.2823
7 Archipelago 3 100.0% 84.0 17.489 33.33% 0.831 -0.2258

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 6002 39.24 0.419 33.42% -0.064 0.6011
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5047 42.33 3.346 38.52% 0.305 0.7693
All Things Weaken 3194 38.0 -0.139 31.18% -0.198 0.6142
Attenuated Essence 43 22.74 -4.632 16.28% -0.678 -0.0324
Back Against the Wall 4727 41.36 2.809 36.39% 0.253 0.8001
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 55 29.16 -1.187 21.82% -0.2 0.7196
Burn Brightest Before the End 33 38.58 2.635 36.36% 0.245 1.0377
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5737 36.91 0.119 31.97% 0.003 0.8599
Downward Spiral 10567 38.33 1.529 30.83% 0.221 0.8996
Erosion of Will 5820 38.1 1.88 31.01% 0.061 0.8678
Intensifying Exploitation 55 34.51 0.625 36.36% 0.343 1.2872
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1082 48.0 2.565 49.26% 0.399 0.1455
Memory Fades to Dust 10533 37.57 0.874 27.92% -0.083 0.7439
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3176 38.69 0.495 33.03% -0.07 0.5686
Promising Farmlands 5756 38.44 0.544 33.25% -0.019 0.8761
Shattered Fragments of Power 37 37.14 2.59 37.84% 0.478 1.1256
Slow Dissolution of Will 50 29.36 -2.036 24.0% -0.429 0.5531
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 676 50.94 5.979 56.07% 0.752 0.2596
The Border of Life and Death 11 36.64 1.594 45.45% 0.318 0.5245
Thriving Communities 3354 38.84 -0.371 33.78% -0.183 0.699
Thriving Crops 17 26.47 -3.29 23.53% -0.014 0.5384
Tipping Point 2148 36.92 0.0 30.4%
Unnatural Proliferation 3527 40.35 1.577 34.19% -0.045 0.622
Untended Land Crumbles 3297 38.23 -0.428 32.58% -0.232 0.4999

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 24398 57.57% 45.63 -0.455 44.52% -0.707 0.1978
B 26745 59.02% 45.31 0.713 44.21% -0.571 0.2275
C 30376 59.74% 46.43 0.338 47.01% -0.617 0.033
D 21925 62.08% 45.28 -2.124 45.05% -0.882 -0.0313
E 13746 58.22% 45.45 -1.063 45.02% -0.656 0.0409
F 13122 58.69% 45.85 -1.143 45.17% -0.906 -0.1356
G 11982 57.82% 45.28 -0.446 44.28% -0.722 0.0513
H 12083 55.23% 47.14 -0.094 47.7% -0.882 -0.1612
East 7181 46.55% 58.97 2.211 42.18% -1.323 -0.5419
Northeast 4894 41.18% 59.72 4.066 45.14% -0.592 0.3629
Northwest 3045 31.13% 64.67 1.523 57.87% -1.065 -0.4548
Southeast 792 46.21% 56.67 1.519 44.07% -0.423 0.2471
Southwest 555 32.07% 60.24 -0.851 57.66% -0.48 0.8031
West 5136 41.5% 60.82 3.903 48.64% -0.715 0.3886

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1043 0.0% 49.25 -15.473 48.61% -2.871 -1.6698
Not Using Events or Tokens 11820 61.04% 43.43 1.432 29.03% -0.213 0.0311
Skip Initial Invader Actions 6681 15.89% 69.76 5.779 83.0% 0.725 0.1476
Start of Game Growth 7971 19.08% 67.72 5.879 79.76% 0.918 0.4586
Unlimited Undo 16912 41.36% 60.6 3.225 73.74% 0.844 0.6662
Using Tokens but Not Events 8141 56.39% 47.71 0.304 44.71% 0.261 0.2216

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 37637 21.84 8.92%
II 36741 31.08 25.05%
III 20441 34.71 56.82%
IV 31008 37.98 99.68%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.153 Win Model: 0.471
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 97841 61.89% 44.77 42.69%
2 16996 60.99% 45.61 41.54%
3 5574 52.28% 49.19 50.7%
4 4926 32.88% 59.23 63.42%
5 42 25.64% 59.48 64.29%
6 448 18.53% 62.58 62.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3341
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11181
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8640
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 30343
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1190
Lose: Invader deck ran out 185
Lose: Adversary condition 32297
Win: Sacrifice victory 1034
Lose: Scenario condition 5217
Win: Scenario condition 545
Lose: Blight pool ran out 30193
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1661

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-11-16 03:06:06 (Pacific Time)