The Kingdom of England — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8572 22.36% 24.86 -0.165 80.77% -0.072 -0.2682
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 48 10.42% 22.44 2.06 68.75% 0.628 -0.086
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4702 43.29% 22.59 -1.431 73.78% -0.313 -0.0449
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 227 32.16% 22.79 0.494 53.3% -0.144 -0.7112
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3606 26.03% 25.57 2.356 84.41% 0.532 0.4008
Downpour Drenches the World 566 24.07% 20.36 -2.007 62.19% -0.417 -0.1478
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 608 19.24% 23.09 0.213 65.63% 0.056 -0.3755
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4966 14.76% 28.53 2.95 89.45% 0.553 0.1301
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4073 18.8% 27.82 2.899 89.03% 0.919 0.4734
Finder of Paths Unseen 255 31.1% 13.78 -4.054 40.0% -1.021 -0.3642
Fractured Days Split the Sky 822 31.99% 24.44 -1.972 64.84% -0.723 0.0849
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1022 35.03% 24.26 0.161 70.06% -0.227 -0.3446
Heart of the Wildfire 4683 59.11% 20.59 -2.001 69.4% -0.292 -0.0053
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7557 25.53% 25.88 -0.783 84.53% -0.13 -0.5228
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 123 17.89% 24.08 -1.35 67.48% -0.319 -0.7237
Lightning's Swift Strike 8046 43.73% 22.25 0.019 73.05% 0.175 0.4422
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 239 34.47% 27.46 6.067 74.48% 0.502 0.1505
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 605 22.68% 28.58 3.279 84.79% 0.589 0.1477
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 442 34.55% 26.39 0.688 78.28% 0.401 0.3578
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2099 30.28% 25.77 -0.788 79.75% -0.246 -0.4971
Many Minds Move as One 1382 23.17% 25.33 0.995 79.16% 0.022 -0.2086
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7677 40.48% 23.27 -0.546 76.01% -0.227 -0.3312
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3322 29.27% 24.36 0.22 80.64% 0.138 -0.0179
River Surges in Sunlight 8818 37.54% 24.22 0.059 70.44% -0.427 -0.3382
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 35 14.29% 21.97 1.968 65.71% 0.307 0.1956
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 780 36.33% 22.26 -1.83 57.69% -0.845 -0.4549
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 258 31.1% 25.42 -2.206 63.18% -0.922 -0.7841
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4304 31.81% 23.84 -0.564 78.65% 0.063 -0.1306
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4749 53.62% 20.88 -2.03 66.5% -0.511 -0.0249
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 86 25.88% 23.2 1.47 67.44% 0.273 0.3286
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 86 18.6% 30.65 6.705 86.05% 1.395 0.9265
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 88 23.86% 23.5 2.303 63.64% 0.282 0.4978
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 535 28.84% 25.03 2.023 82.06% 0.707 0.7357
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 318 41.27% 23.48 2.946 73.9% 1.148 1.3206
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5027 25.0% 26.75 -0.484 84.54% -0.281 -0.4339
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 183 22.6% 22.25 -0.12 61.75% -0.016 -0.2145
Shifting Memory of Ages 897 37.28% 21.14 -2.23 63.77% -0.691 -0.2423
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 32 21.88% 18.53 0.133 53.13% 0.071 -0.2339
Shroud of Silent Mist 1087 41.77% 21.69 -0.313 71.85% -0.187 0.149
Starlight Seeks its Form 1244 25.87% 23.89 -1.268 64.71% -0.193 -0.2481
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2267 25.08% 23.99 -0.306 80.9% -0.051 -0.6743
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2536 29.72% 24.01 -0.775 75.91% -0.434 -0.2408
Thunderspeaker 8433 24.57% 26.52 0.245 81.77% 0.018 -0.0363
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 141 22.7% 19.7 -0.824 48.94% -0.226 -0.0923
Towering Roots of the Jungle 97 21.65% 18.8 0.211 60.82% 0.038 0.0475
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1460 56.15% 20.16 -1.808 68.84% -0.262 -0.1796
Vital Strength of the Earth 6472 28.65% 21.05 -1.288 68.57% -0.383 0.211
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 220 26.39% 23.33 2.265 63.64% 0.235 0.674
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 399 29.9% 19.86 0.031 59.9% 0.182 0.873
Volcano Looming High 1357 38.98% 22.46 0.946 73.77% 0.321 0.4245
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 231 15.15% 24.52 2.061 69.26% 0.556 0.3035

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 23 30.43% 24.7 8.561 73.91% 0.977 0.7569
Blitz 0 1276 38.06% 19.46 -3.291 63.4% -0.937 -0.6501
Dahan Insurrection 4 1070 21.93% 43.48 7.528 74.77% 0.228 0.113
Despicable Theft 2 195 30.77% 24.38 -2.491 55.38% -0.865 -0.1265
Elemental Invocation 1 226 39.82% 21.26 -5.995 57.52% -1.291 -0.535
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2557 10.32% 31.4 5.811 83.46% 0.544 -0.0377
Powers Long Forgotten 1 538 43.49% 25.33 -3.306 64.5% -0.997 -0.1429
Rituals of Terror 3 680 44.81% 30.67 3.784 58.97% -0.409 -0.579
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 354 62.15% 28.2 2.08 53.95% -0.281 0.6299
Second Wave 0 854 45.83% 25.52 1.469 62.41% -0.167 -0.0875
The Great River 3 195 37.95% 23.28 -4.702 43.59% -1.297 0.0662
Varied Terrains 2 110 30.91% 17.15 -2.545 35.45% -0.696 0.1836
Ward the Shores 2 672 40.24% 25.61 -1.097 54.32% -0.474 0.5073

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 53351 36.99% 23.32 0.142 75.94% 0.004 0.3483
1 Thematic 4939 40.55% 29.08 1.217 69.24% -0.227 0.3004
2 Archipelago 36 50.0% 33.22 5.028 80.56% 0.587 1.0863
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11718 31.75% 23.24 -0.722 77.43% -0.145 0.1396
2 Coastline 1233 32.08% 23.48 0.815 78.1% 0.141 0.1698
2 Fragment 290 36.01% 22.22 0.19 75.17% 0.154 -0.0835
2 Heart 160 37.97% 22.38 2.34 76.88% 0.166 0.0186
2 Opposite Shores 1568 30.39% 24.63 4.179 84.44% 0.771 0.8301
2 Thematic 1169 36.82% 29.38 -1.228 66.38% -0.266 0.1037
2 Top to Top 259 30.2% 23.85 -1.616 78.38% -0.105 0.018
3 Archipelago 17 29.41% 30.71 14.946 76.47% 0.532 -0.2655
3 Coastline 22 27.27% 23.73 -8.208 72.73% -0.607 -1.1557
3 Other 132 28.68% 21.36 -2.813 72.73% -0.439 -0.9769
3 Round (Default) 4928 20.14% 26.27 0.64 85.33% 0.18 0.0869
3 Sunrise 18 22.22% 23.39 1.219 72.22% -0.646 -0.495
3 Thematic 260 31.92% 27.88 -0.039 60.0% 0.014 -0.504
4 Archipelago 19 47.37% 27.47 0.0 68.42%
4 Coastline 21 21.05% 26.29 -5.063 76.19% -0.167 -0.927
4 Leaf 6 0.0% 29.5 0.0 83.33%
4 Other 70 28.57% 19.17 -5.45 64.29% -0.671 -0.6632
4 Thematic 296 23.99% 31.42 2.214 74.66% 0.674 0.8072
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1943 25.55% 22.22 -1.977 69.94% -1.108 -1.0008
5 Archipelago 9 66.67% 28.67 6.568 100.0% 0.309 0.4773
5 Other 64 28.13% 24.31 -3.718 78.13% -0.388 -0.9028
5 Thematic 11 54.55% 25.91 0.0 36.36%
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 14.33 -6.001 33.33% -0.293 -1.0226
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 20.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 11 36.36% 32.09 -5.427 72.73% -0.191 0.4441
6 Star 18 27.78% 25.0 9.37 83.33% 0.338 0.5827
6 Thematic 50 14.0% 25.58 -2.135 46.0% -0.665 -0.3417
6 Two Centers (Default) 103 11.65% 23.99 5.94 58.25% 0.385 0.2817
7 Other 4 0.0% 28.0 5.0 50.0% 0.264 -1.173

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1722 19.41 1.267 62.31% 0.343 0.4469
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1421 20.43 3.054 63.41% 0.276 0.1315
All Things Weaken 843 19.51 -1.983 57.41% -0.713 -0.3466
Attenuated Essence 80 18.81 0.554 56.25% -0.032 -0.0333
Back Against the Wall 1417 19.26 2.076 57.73% 0.116 0.1807
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 96 19.4 -1.793 51.04% -1.082 -0.8468
Burn Brightest Before the End 60 20.27 8.145 48.33% 0.492 0.652
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1668 16.04 -1.572 54.44% -0.538 -0.1621
Downward Spiral 6458 16.58 -0.804 57.85% 0.074 0.1456
Erosion of Will 1757 18.38 -0.957 57.66% -0.413 -0.1565
Intensifying Exploitation 79 17.82 -0.058 49.37% 0.431 0.7056
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 348 23.81 -0.251 83.05% 0.133 -0.3536
Memory Fades to Dust 6383 16.23 -1.803 53.31% -0.523 -0.3403
Power Corrodes the Spirit 829 18.5 -1.733 58.75% -0.186 0.0269
Promising Farmlands 1658 17.76 1.088 59.83% 0.711 1.0338
Shattered Fragments of Power 66 18.73 0.313 46.97% 0.182 0.3524
Slow Dissolution of Will 93 16.05 -0.618 40.86% -0.412 -0.0285
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 278 24.69 0.09 88.49% 0.085 -0.5912
The Border of Life and Death 34 19.03 9.203 58.82% 0.806 0.29
Thriving Communities 799 17.81 -1.041 55.07% -0.015 0.309
Thriving Crops 38 13.95 -3.68 42.11% -0.295 -0.294
Tipping Point 618 17.72 0.0 59.71%
Unnatural Proliferation 837 18.57 1.126 51.49% -0.049 0.1379
Untended Land Crumbles 829 19.22 -2.114 61.76% -0.285 0.0542

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 19561 34.17% 23.08 -1.121 75.7% -0.653 0.2102
B 20094 32.7% 23.59 -0.145 77.52% -0.383 0.4384
C 19865 32.33% 23.62 -0.278 76.94% -0.45 0.2478
D 19145 33.12% 23.45 -0.347 77.24% -0.49 0.3658
E 6283 27.8% 24.87 0.965 78.07% -0.178 0.5106
F 8450 29.84% 24.12 0.178 78.32% -0.496 0.3216
G 7740 31.37% 23.94 -0.969 77.83% -0.747 0.1336
H 7902 30.24% 24.36 0.223 79.17% -0.492 0.2889
East 4125 36.7% 30.09 -0.127 68.68% -0.521 0.2716
Northeast 2457 36.15% 30.09 0.936 68.58% -0.593 0.2876
Northwest 1843 35.35% 30.14 -0.779 70.27% -0.818 0.0529
Southeast 562 29.36% 26.98 -0.351 62.99% -0.563 0.2961
Southwest 524 32.44% 21.13 -2.605 53.82% -0.924 0.2853
West 3522 38.48% 28.64 -0.073 66.52% -0.504 0.5567

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1216 0.0% 20.91 1.312 64.47% -0.352 0.3631
Not Using Events or Tokens 21750 40.36% 21.65 -1.215 69.76% -0.23 0.2442
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1184 11.61% 33.14 3.926 87.08% 0.041 -0.5265
Start of Game Growth 1989 14.42% 31.44 3.269 87.53% 0.851 0.187
Unlimited Undo 4937 26.89% 26.14 0.94 81.95% 0.075 0.0978
Using Tokens but Not Events 7862 22.41% 26.3 1.664 84.08% 0.435 0.4829

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11458 15.45 21.86%
II 27308 30.45 73.81%
III 29132 34.8 87.85%
IV 14904 38.47 99.1%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.157 Win Model: 0.546
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 58721 37.24% 23.77 75.15%
2 16213 32.25% 24.0 78.02%
3 5275 20.79% 26.15 84.19%
4 2343 25.26% 23.37 70.42%
5 62 33.87% 23.13 74.19%
6 188 13.83% 24.85 57.98%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2500
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 24915
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 19226
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14615
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5291
Lose: Invader deck ran out 812
Lose: Adversary condition 4051
Win: Sacrifice victory 316
Lose: Scenario condition 546
Win: Scenario condition 1452
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8515
Lose: Spirit destroyed 563

The Kingdom of England — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5736 21.49% 33.61 1.243 81.5% 0.529 0.3324
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 26 11.54% 33.88 4.628 80.77% 1.161 0.4467
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2503 51.8% 30.37 -0.62 71.03% 0.043 0.3117
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 60 38.33% 34.63 7.767 83.33% 1.158 0.5903
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2138 33.81% 32.72 2.416 80.45% 0.714 0.5829
Downpour Drenches the World 428 24.41% 27.82 -2.778 66.82% -0.323 -0.0529
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 439 24.83% 30.25 3.549 72.67% 1.086 0.6543
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2908 21.94% 36.07 2.451 84.01% 0.703 0.2801
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2715 27.95% 35.64 3.656 85.64% 0.959 0.5138
Finder of Paths Unseen 202 42.93% 18.63 -3.085 42.08% -0.606 0.0516
Fractured Days Split the Sky 570 38.14% 31.04 -2.955 64.21% -0.519 0.2893
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 734 44.41% 30.86 0.487 70.84% 0.125 0.0075
Heart of the Wildfire 3092 64.33% 27.01 -2.864 63.84% -0.295 -0.0082
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4975 36.61% 32.92 3.001 80.2% 0.595 0.2017
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 99 46.46% 25.71 -2.611 58.59% -0.524 -0.9291
Lightning's Swift Strike 4667 43.39% 30.72 -1.101 72.53% -0.025 0.2424
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 213 45.5% 31.42 0.683 74.18% 0.118 -0.2335
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 454 26.27% 36.62 -1.32 85.02% -0.238 -0.6796
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 323 35.91% 31.33 2.236 70.28% 0.238 0.1954
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1471 39.99% 32.71 -0.59 77.09% -0.009 -0.2595
Many Minds Move as One 984 25.74% 32.98 -0.323 78.25% -0.146 -0.3761
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4517 49.66% 30.02 -0.649 70.69% 0.086 -0.0184
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2132 39.24% 30.45 1.277 73.45% 0.457 0.3013
River Surges in Sunlight 5202 43.73% 29.97 0.195 62.76% -0.012 0.0771
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 18 44.44% 24.22 -0.75 61.11% -0.082 -0.1936
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 514 47.95% 28.88 -0.499 55.84% -0.251 0.1391
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 192 45.03% 30.89 0.458 59.38% -0.398 -0.2607
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2666 33.75% 31.99 -0.322 78.69% 0.19 -0.0035
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2545 60.68% 27.11 -1.417 58.04% -0.122 0.364
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 62 45.16% 30.03 -1.693 53.23% -0.692 -0.6366
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 67 43.28% 29.99 0.567 67.16% 0.167 -0.3012
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 52 37.25% 28.52 -6.664 65.38% -0.629 -0.4133
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 289 42.36% 30.13 -4.704 73.7% -1.023 -0.9942
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 186 61.08% 26.76 -3.137 58.06% -0.399 -0.2269
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2976 34.66% 33.66 -1.356 78.93% -0.151 -0.304
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 173 23.78% 30.05 1.29 67.63% 0.407 0.2083
Shifting Memory of Ages 584 44.5% 27.79 -3.201 67.12% -0.833 -0.3837
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 27 33.33% 23.44 -0.15 62.96% 0.387 0.0821
Shroud of Silent Mist 735 51.23% 26.94 -2.62 65.31% -0.334 0.002
Starlight Seeks its Form 821 27.96% 30.05 -1.527 71.25% 0.002 -0.0527
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1662 28.38% 31.19 -0.906 77.56% -0.021 -0.6436
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1439 48.11% 27.09 -4.143 57.19% -1.08 -0.8864
Thunderspeaker 4824 31.24% 34.45 0.204 78.88% 0.056 0.0019
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 99 36.36% 21.77 1.622 47.47% 0.435 0.5695
Towering Roots of the Jungle 77 32.47% 26.57 0.89 64.94% 0.221 0.2303
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 967 66.49% 27.42 -1.341 68.67% -0.198 -0.1151
Vital Strength of the Earth 3515 37.85% 27.92 -3.066 64.44% -0.381 0.2132
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 121 36.13% 26.54 0.024 58.68% 0.36 0.7994
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 245 36.33% 25.25 -2.315 57.14% -0.308 0.3836
Volcano Looming High 1012 45.06% 27.3 -1.772 67.69% -0.205 -0.1017
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 180 28.33% 29.21 0.467 66.67% -0.112 -0.3642

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 25 16.0% 17.4 -6.294 36.0% -0.381 -0.6011
Blitz 0 972 40.33% 27.27 -1.154 64.3% -0.114 0.1727
Dahan Insurrection 4 680 29.25% 51.78 10.194 72.21% 0.109 -0.0064
Despicable Theft 2 136 41.91% 27.96 -1.848 46.32% -1.041 -0.3031
Elemental Invocation 1 174 46.55% 25.07 2.051 54.02% 0.581 1.3377
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1776 11.22% 36.72 3.29 75.9% 0.361 -0.2206
Powers Long Forgotten 1 401 55.5% 30.85 -1.776 58.6% -0.751 0.1025
Rituals of Terror 3 352 42.45% 32.45 9.642 50.85% 0.739 0.569
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 186 66.13% 37.27 -1.292 60.22% -0.349 0.562
Second Wave 0 2779 44.52% 32.14 0.633 67.69% -0.336 -0.2562
The Great River 3 94 46.81% 26.47 2.694 37.23% -0.168 1.1954
Varied Terrains 2 65 43.08% 20.48 -4.672 33.85% -1.02 -0.1404
Ward the Shores 2 476 51.05% 31.52 2.444 49.79% 0.11 1.0911

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 31990 40.44% 30.23 0.679 72.37% 0.254 0.5978
1 Thematic 3596 46.69% 35.19 0.934 66.55% 0.067 0.5942
2 Archipelago 20 45.0% 35.65 0.0 55.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7003 39.63% 30.12 -1.307 73.75% -0.278 0.006
2 Coastline 757 40.27% 29.41 5.659 73.05% 1.478 1.5074
2 Fragment 239 53.19% 28.71 3.912 71.97% 0.939 0.7016
2 Heart 128 34.92% 28.66 5.291 71.09% 0.466 0.318
2 Opposite Shores 1391 36.83% 30.97 -2.049 76.49% -0.383 -0.3241
2 Thematic 1068 43.88% 35.89 -0.98 66.57% -0.029 0.3411
2 Top to Top 226 45.33% 29.66 -2.232 73.01% -0.517 -0.3936
3 Archipelago 10 50.0% 38.4 -3.217 70.0% -0.42 -1.2176
3 Coastline 17 29.41% 29.53 0.0 64.71%
3 Other 102 32.67% 30.48 17.838 75.49% 0.371 -0.1671
3 Round (Default) 2854 32.5% 32.06 -0.558 76.21% -0.196 -0.2885
3 Sunrise 13 33.33% 30.54 -9.25 76.92% -0.361 -0.2101
3 Thematic 266 38.87% 35.77 1.474 66.54% -0.04 -0.5583
4 Archipelago 12 33.33% 53.08 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 7 57.14% 30.0 0.0 57.14%
4 Leaf 13 7.69% 34.15 0.0 92.31%
4 Other 31 38.71% 33.61 8.771 77.42% 0.419 0.4264
4 Thematic 235 38.46% 39.76 -6.606 71.06% -0.442 -0.3083
4 Trapezoid (Default) 945 32.37% 31.74 0.118 75.56% -0.255 -0.148
5 Archipelago 5 40.0% 43.8 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 46 30.43% 29.41 4.087 67.39% 0.64 0.1249
5 Thematic 9 33.33% 38.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 5 40.0% 22.4 -11.249 40.0% -0.58 0.0553
6 Star 2 0.0% 36.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 54 20.37% 40.44 -1.304 64.81% -0.194 0.1289
6 Two Centers (Default) 45 28.89% 30.49 -4.925 71.11% -0.744 -0.8474
7 Other 2 50.0% 37.5 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1422 25.19 -1.39 54.64% -0.587 -0.4829
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1185 27.14 1.728 59.24% 0.256 0.1113
All Things Weaken 670 25.29 -0.858 55.37% -0.423 -0.0568
Attenuated Essence 76 26.7 2.848 60.53% 0.497 0.4951
Back Against the Wall 1126 26.0 0.618 55.86% -0.18 -0.1151
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 62 21.71 3.549 50.0% 0.827 1.0619
Burn Brightest Before the End 63 26.76 0.704 58.73% 0.04 0.2008
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1266 22.64 -0.171 51.58% -0.083 0.2924
Downward Spiral 3918 23.76 -1.424 56.92% -0.168 -0.0959
Erosion of Will 1331 24.58 0.952 53.27% 0.202 0.458
Intensifying Exploitation 82 23.37 -0.427 56.1% 0.07 0.3444
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 266 31.7 2.675 83.46% 1.177 0.6906
Memory Fades to Dust 3959 23.06 -1.222 51.96% -0.127 0.0562
Power Corrodes the Spirit 690 25.63 -0.708 60.0% -0.051 0.1613
Promising Farmlands 1332 23.38 -2.856 53.23% -0.744 -0.4206
Shattered Fragments of Power 66 24.17 0.041 51.52% -0.011 0.159
Slow Dissolution of Will 86 23.77 -1.222 51.16% -0.459 -0.0751
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 187 32.05 0.529 86.63% 0.393 -0.2831
The Border of Life and Death 18 25.39 6.289 61.11% 0.849 0.3332
Thriving Communities 584 24.08 -1.05 53.42% -0.641 -0.3165
Thriving Crops 30 26.4 3.414 66.67% 0.49 0.4912
Tipping Point 494 24.82 0.0 55.87%
Unnatural Proliferation 701 25.61 1.469 52.64% -0.115 0.0712
Untended Land Crumbles 643 24.78 -3.979 57.23% -1.136 -0.7973

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11586 40.1% 30.1 -0.276 72.2% -0.262 0.6011
B 11812 37.81% 30.7 0.21 73.93% -0.2 0.6209
C 12036 37.77% 30.65 -1.027 73.81% -0.435 0.2634
D 11300 39.05% 30.49 -0.611 73.7% -0.404 0.4521
E 3928 37.82% 30.76 1.381 73.78% 0.028 0.716
F 5047 37.88% 30.7 -0.315 74.28% -0.357 0.4608
G 4719 40.34% 30.44 -0.943 72.9% -0.493 0.3879
H 4917 37.02% 31.11 -0.053 74.56% -0.315 0.4658
East 3294 43.11% 37.06 -0.365 68.49% -0.792 0.0008
Northeast 1834 42.37% 37.65 0.815 69.74% -0.167 0.7137
Northwest 1494 41.98% 37.29 -1.035 69.21% -0.82 0.0509
Southeast 512 39.06% 32.47 -0.936 60.94% -0.396 0.4625
Southwest 494 45.14% 27.96 -3.742 56.28% -0.746 0.4628
West 2908 46.18% 35.07 2.169 65.06% -0.12 0.9408

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 645 0.0% 27.08 0.519 59.22% 0.001 0.717
Not Using Events or Tokens 11284 40.45% 28.93 -1.755 67.76% -0.427 0.0468
Skip Initial Invader Actions 738 13.13% 42.7 2.581 88.48% 0.231 -0.3367
Start of Game Growth 1139 15.25% 40.81 1.249 87.09% 0.012 -0.6527
Unlimited Undo 3509 33.79% 31.95 -0.137 77.06% -0.086 -0.0632
Using Tokens but Not Events 4545 29.29% 33.04 1.674 79.38% 0.215 0.263

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6841 15.45 18.45%
II 18705 30.45 66.69%
III 16016 34.8 85.98%
IV 9561 38.47 99.28%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.161 Win Model: 0.282
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 35814 41.09% 30.68 71.58%
2 10739 40.27% 30.86 73.61%
3 3195 32.17% 32.44 76.18%
4 1221 33.36% 33.42 75.43%
5 49 26.53% 29.65 63.27%
6 105 23.81% 35.92 67.62%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1257
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13404
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11818
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9386
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3205
Lose: Invader deck ran out 416
Lose: Adversary condition 3116
Win: Sacrifice victory 215
Lose: Scenario condition 457
Win: Scenario condition 918
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6580
Lose: Spirit destroyed 351

The Kingdom of England — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5879 32.45% 34.09 5.017 72.24% 1.316 1.1192
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 52 30.77% 32.62 4.058 78.85% 1.294 0.5794
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3441 65.0% 29.33 -0.944 57.43% -0.011 0.2574
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 136 33.82% 34.9 3.82 69.12% 0.699 0.1311
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2984 43.12% 33.2 0.205 72.99% 0.15 0.0196
Downpour Drenches the World 598 29.7% 29.28 -0.595 60.2% -0.147 0.123
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 800 34.79% 31.21 2.162 67.63% 0.603 0.1714
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3812 32.9% 35.84 1.466 76.05% 0.406 -0.0167
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3636 39.93% 35.76 3.765 76.82% 1.162 0.7169
Finder of Paths Unseen 236 50.42% 20.01 -4.212 35.17% -1.035 -0.3779
Fractured Days Split the Sky 729 43.88% 32.47 -3.94 59.95% -0.883 -0.0754
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 882 54.04% 30.82 -0.835 64.51% -0.081 -0.1981
Heart of the Wildfire 4138 81.07% 22.04 -3.59 41.88% -0.596 -0.3085
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10887 35.93% 34.38 2.698 75.61% 0.335 -0.0576
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 168 39.88% 25.89 1.403 55.36% 0.316 -0.0884
Lightning's Swift Strike 5699 59.98% 28.64 -2.276 56.9% -0.411 -0.1435
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 334 49.1% 30.77 0.758 66.17% 0.236 -0.1157
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 631 48.25% 36.1 6.544 74.48% 1.383 0.942
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 437 50.46% 32.77 3.376 63.39% 0.681 0.6382
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2309 55.43% 30.45 -0.596 64.44% -0.113 -0.3632
Many Minds Move as One 1377 34.01% 33.92 -0.392 72.19% 0.212 -0.0184
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6721 59.41% 30.81 -1.281 63.53% -0.114 -0.2183
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2747 48.43% 31.16 -1.044 65.85% -0.012 -0.1682
River Surges in Sunlight 6040 57.31% 29.81 -0.286 51.94% -0.369 -0.2801
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 29 44.83% 28.45 1.589 65.52% 0.464 0.3526
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 624 55.7% 30.39 -1.175 53.21% -0.287 0.1029
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 337 48.92% 29.8 0.206 51.04% -0.105 0.0329
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4121 43.25% 32.85 4.326 69.76% 1.26 1.0662
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2384 76.06% 23.18 -2.502 37.42% -0.415 0.0703
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 61 50.0% 23.62 -7.702 37.7% -1.088 -1.0326
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 112 62.5% 27.01 -0.45 56.25% -0.065 -0.5336
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 67 59.7% 24.22 -5.651 37.31% -0.835 -0.6195
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 292 63.57% 28.95 -1.835 60.27% -0.013 0.0163
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 224 73.21% 23.77 -4.661 41.07% -1.389 -1.2171
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3456 45.16% 33.27 -2.43 69.44% -0.276 -0.4282
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 166 37.95% 24.24 -0.69 51.2% 0.051 -0.1474
Shifting Memory of Ages 952 55.15% 30.01 -0.735 65.02% -0.033 0.4159
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 37 35.14% 31.65 2.861 64.86% 0.558 0.2534
Shroud of Silent Mist 974 67.7% 26.37 -3.097 55.34% -0.554 -0.2183
Starlight Seeks its Form 1084 43.46% 29.22 -2.061 60.89% -0.403 -0.4586
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2484 37.8% 32.42 -0.333 75.89% 0.153 -0.4699
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1693 62.17% 25.33 -3.226 46.01% -0.845 -0.6514
Thunderspeaker 5372 48.71% 32.0 -0.341 63.44% 0.116 0.062
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 118 44.07% 24.32 -4.616 50.0% -0.962 -0.8278
Towering Roots of the Jungle 165 49.09% 23.33 -0.509 52.73% 0.158 0.1669
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1616 77.64% 28.12 -0.483 63.24% 0.356 0.4391
Vital Strength of the Earth 4789 41.14% 29.39 -1.613 59.43% -0.198 0.3963
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 186 44.57% 23.72 -2.919 45.7% -0.687 -0.2476
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 342 47.37% 25.76 -1.024 47.08% 0.024 0.7151
Volcano Looming High 1778 62.17% 27.81 -1.457 61.19% -0.034 0.0695
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 297 41.55% 29.66 1.635 60.27% 0.233 -0.0193

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 28 21.43% 23.29 7.088 50.0% 0.699 0.4791
Blitz 0 987 49.02% 28.13 -4.386 55.32% -0.64 -0.3536
Dahan Insurrection 4 699 40.6% 44.43 6.544 52.36% 0.022 -0.0931
Despicable Theft 2 69 53.62% 22.8 -4.627 31.88% -1.028 -0.2894
Elemental Invocation 1 207 50.72% 22.8 -5.097 38.65% -0.777 -0.0211
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2589 14.01% 38.36 2.796 72.61% 0.327 -0.2547
Powers Long Forgotten 1 350 63.9% 26.37 -4.83 43.14% -0.88 -0.0266
Rituals of Terror 3 256 60.16% 33.82 1.113 41.41% -0.415 -0.5855
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 182 69.23% 30.59 -9.113 39.01% -1.188 -0.2769
Second Wave 0 1790 56.77% 30.73 2.528 53.8% 0.312 0.3917
The Great River 3 92 45.65% 29.99 -7.128 39.13% -0.645 0.7183
Varied Terrains 2 51 62.75% 11.84 -6.713 7.84% -1.941 -1.0613
Ward the Shores 2 393 52.67% 32.26 -4.702 44.27% -1.208 -0.2264

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 45953 49.82% 30.54 -0.153 65.09% -0.503 -0.1591
1 Thematic 3127 56.9% 32.44 -0.31 51.14% -0.873 -0.3454
2 Archipelago 32 56.25% 33.59 11.461 37.5% 1.013 1.5117
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9449 53.2% 29.69 -0.824 62.58% -0.275 0.0094
2 Coastline 1012 43.8% 31.92 -1.124 70.06% -0.264 -0.2345
2 Fragment 255 55.12% 28.82 1.124 59.22% 0.336 0.0988
2 Heart 156 54.49% 29.22 -2.381 62.18% -0.227 -0.3748
2 Opposite Shores 1989 48.5% 31.73 1.276 66.72% 0.012 0.0709
2 Thematic 1218 53.05% 32.59 0.501 51.07% -0.688 -0.3178
2 Top to Top 297 57.58% 30.06 -0.583 63.97% -0.23 -0.1065
3 Archipelago 6 83.33% 39.83 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 11 18.18% 24.27 0.0 36.36%
3 Other 127 48.82% 31.72 4.292 66.93% 0.554 0.0164
3 Round (Default) 3447 46.35% 31.56 0.794 65.01% 0.301 0.2081
3 Sunrise 16 56.25% 31.81 -0.066 68.75% -0.042 0.1094
3 Thematic 248 56.85% 35.2 1.97 52.02% -0.014 -0.5326
4 Archipelago 8 37.5% 55.63 -12.825 87.5% -0.528 -0.0948
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 42.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 10 40.0% 20.8 0.0 30.0%
4 Other 68 56.72% 33.66 -2.728 73.53% -0.238 -0.2303
4 Thematic 395 48.62% 35.82 1.032 54.43% -0.151 -0.0182
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1507 41.08% 32.79 0.084 67.42% 0.14 0.2467
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 82 42.68% 31.29 -14.224 65.85% -0.355 -0.8697
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 78.33 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 2 50.0% 20.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 51.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 13 38.46% 27.92 0.0 46.15%
6 Star 12 41.67% 24.25 0.0 41.67%
6 Thematic 56 25.45% 39.73 4.379 64.29% 0.044 0.3672
6 Two Centers (Default) 54 25.93% 31.35 -9.727 62.96% -0.704 -0.807
7 Other 3 66.67% 36.0 0.0 33.33%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2472 26.83 2.151 53.16% 0.417 0.5211
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2038 29.3 5.145 57.95% 1.081 0.9363
All Things Weaken 1229 26.53 -0.895 52.56% -0.165 0.201
Attenuated Essence 150 26.65 3.388 54.0% 0.684 0.6822
Back Against the Wall 1931 27.62 2.413 52.41% 0.091 0.1564
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 169 21.47 -3.088 40.83% -0.164 0.0714
Burn Brightest Before the End 134 27.81 -0.242 52.24% -0.235 -0.0748
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2377 24.27 -1.927 49.68% -0.703 -0.3268
Downward Spiral 6026 24.5 -1.46 48.41% -0.271 -0.1987
Erosion of Will 2366 26.07 0.399 49.7% -0.059 0.1972
Intensifying Exploitation 183 21.57 -1.052 44.81% -0.079 0.1951
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 506 33.67 1.49 77.67% 0.282 -0.2047
Memory Fades to Dust 6181 24.21 -1.073 46.11% -0.21 -0.0268
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1244 26.33 -2.467 53.94% -0.61 -0.3976
Promising Farmlands 2322 25.65 -2.555 52.54% -0.374 -0.0509
Shattered Fragments of Power 137 27.58 -0.074 48.18% -0.234 -0.0632
Slow Dissolution of Will 160 21.35 -1.557 42.5% -0.027 0.3566
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 325 35.16 5.71 80.31% 0.704 0.0273
The Border of Life and Death 52 27.38 4.023 53.85% 0.539 0.0229
Thriving Communities 1212 24.04 -1.816 46.2% -0.73 -0.4062
Thriving Crops 86 22.73 2.463 48.84% 0.452 0.4534
Tipping Point 850 24.86 0.0 47.76%
Unnatural Proliferation 1328 26.72 -1.138 50.75% -0.472 -0.2851
Untended Land Crumbles 1193 25.33 -2.043 51.89% -0.331 0.0081

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 15055 51.88% 29.94 -0.852 62.28% -0.701 0.162
B 15694 49.99% 30.38 -0.826 63.57% -0.694 0.1271
C 17032 47.96% 31.29 -0.089 66.0% -0.538 0.1602
D 14432 50.77% 30.19 -0.563 63.62% -0.574 0.2824
E 6175 45.92% 31.89 0.534 68.36% -0.481 0.2072
F 7865 48.81% 30.73 -0.371 65.73% -0.58 0.2376
G 6972 49.81% 30.78 1.141 65.76% -0.249 0.6311
H 7471 46.37% 31.55 0.775 66.9% -0.451 0.3291
East 3303 53.25% 34.42 0.694 53.13% -0.467 0.3259
Northeast 1994 51.12% 34.52 2.542 52.01% -0.14 0.7404
Northwest 1574 54.21% 33.77 1.168 52.48% -0.242 0.6295
Southeast 498 46.93% 33.43 -0.54 56.43% -0.515 0.344
Southwest 482 46.96% 27.16 -1.361 46.47% -0.65 0.5591
West 2910 55.39% 32.15 0.765 49.35% -0.618 0.4428

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 581 0.0% 27.93 9.762 50.43% 1.685 2.4004
Not Using Events or Tokens 11182 55.49% 26.7 -0.171 50.73% -0.181 0.2925
Skip Initial Invader Actions 796 18.85% 43.8 4.254 81.03% 0.714 0.147
Start of Game Growth 1250 19.6% 42.29 0.521 82.32% -0.259 -0.9237
Unlimited Undo 5149 46.35% 31.91 0.573 67.92% 0.223 0.2465
Using Tokens but Not Events 6621 40.57% 32.87 0.448 71.74% -0.032 0.0161

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 12623 15.45 5.01%
II 20972 30.45 52.18%
III 21701 34.8 86.02%
IV 14339 38.47 99.35%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.112 Win Model: 0.206
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 49346 50.25% 30.64 64.15%
2 14296 52.16% 30.46 62.83%
3 3817 47.16% 31.73 64.0%
4 1976 42.66% 33.56 65.49%
5 60 36.67% 25.8 50.0%
6 140 29.5% 34.09 60.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 631
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 18284
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10542
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14098
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4403
Lose: Invader deck ran out 506
Lose: Adversary condition 7465
Win: Sacrifice victory 262
Lose: Scenario condition 792
Win: Scenario condition 673
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11366
Lose: Spirit destroyed 613

The Kingdom of England — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6406 42.12% 35.73 -0.734 56.63% -0.046 -0.2429
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 57 43.86% 38.89 6.321 71.93% 1.464 0.7492
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3273 72.89% 30.95 0.935 43.81% 0.345 0.6131
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 169 48.52% 33.95 1.387 56.21% -0.007 -0.5745
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2791 58.42% 34.18 3.426 55.43% 0.835 0.7039
Downpour Drenches the World 698 42.34% 27.75 -3.058 41.4% -0.288 -0.0185
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1113 46.45% 32.64 3.379 54.54% 0.753 0.3207
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3679 43.01% 37.94 1.892 62.19% 0.476 0.0532
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4237 49.62% 38.93 3.093 65.05% 0.8 0.3552
Finder of Paths Unseen 243 51.03% 19.98 -7.017 23.46% -1.651 -0.994
Fractured Days Split the Sky 924 50.11% 35.32 -1.714 46.43% -0.142 0.6664
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1009 63.25% 31.89 -1.851 47.47% -0.273 -0.3901
Heart of the Wildfire 3938 83.0% 22.54 -4.876 25.39% -1.106 -0.8184
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8624 52.25% 36.87 2.785 60.15% 0.278 -0.1145
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 222 47.75% 29.16 2.838 47.75% 0.394 -0.0106
Lightning's Swift Strike 5980 66.75% 30.51 -2.467 44.08% -0.325 -0.0578
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 519 60.84% 35.3 1.017 57.23% 0.432 0.0809
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 527 56.84% 37.18 -2.319 60.72% -0.515 -0.956
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 669 50.9% 33.91 0.005 50.52% 0.027 -0.0164
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2961 68.23% 31.56 -1.222 48.97% 0.085 -0.1653
Many Minds Move as One 1219 43.7% 37.75 0.506 62.35% 0.426 0.1954
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7483 63.37% 34.24 0.217 54.8% 0.354 0.25
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2859 56.37% 31.7 -0.276 47.36% 0.212 0.0561
River Surges in Sunlight 5843 61.17% 32.67 0.004 43.11% -0.002 0.0871
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 61 55.74% 23.85 -1.875 34.43% -0.504 -0.6162
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 631 65.93% 30.76 -2.442 43.26% -0.609 -0.2191
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 424 53.11% 29.06 -4.578 38.21% -0.993 -0.8553
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5161 49.89% 36.35 1.058 58.69% 0.295 0.1016
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1730 78.15% 23.48 -5.78 22.6% -1.086 -0.6001
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 59 62.71% 26.42 0.121 33.9% 0.514 0.5699
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 111 65.77% 28.53 5.948 45.95% 0.587 0.1185
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 61 62.3% 25.85 -8.378 29.51% -0.346 -0.1302
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 262 74.05% 31.08 -1.045 45.04% -0.554 -0.5246
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 164 75.31% 24.41 -3.693 27.44% -0.051 0.1216
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3342 55.73% 34.02 -2.225 51.8% -0.298 -0.4506
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 206 47.57% 29.96 4.988 46.12% 0.603 0.4044
Shifting Memory of Ages 1145 62.05% 32.25 1.401 52.14% 0.503 0.9517
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 64 57.81% 36.75 4.896 64.06% 1.05 0.7452
Shroud of Silent Mist 1044 71.65% 29.69 -1.685 46.07% -0.065 0.2714
Starlight Seeks its Form 1608 46.27% 32.67 0.296 51.87% 0.277 0.2218
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3893 45.4% 37.3 2.07 63.4% 0.592 -0.0315
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1317 67.45% 28.02 -3.6 36.29% -0.762 -0.5679
Thunderspeaker 5880 59.49% 33.66 -0.147 50.82% 0.143 0.0893
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 126 57.94% 27.66 -0.233 39.68% -0.147 -0.0133
Towering Roots of the Jungle 213 47.42% 23.16 -1.522 38.03% -0.073 -0.0637
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1883 84.29% 32.02 -0.898 53.8% 0.062 0.1449
Vital Strength of the Earth 3656 55.28% 29.0 -4.392 38.65% -0.746 -0.1513
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 302 53.22% 25.68 -3.76 38.41% -0.609 -0.1693
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 315 65.08% 29.29 1.935 41.59% 0.182 0.8731
Volcano Looming High 2205 69.3% 29.42 -1.922 48.07% -0.448 -0.3445
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 403 51.12% 28.07 -1.799 41.94% -0.279 -0.5317

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 14 35.71% 21.0 -6.554 28.57% -0.145 -0.3652
Blitz 0 629 47.86% 32.76 -4.993 47.38% -0.477 -0.1901
Dahan Insurrection 4 598 44.07% 46.41 -1.559 42.14% -0.516 -0.631
Despicable Theft 2 48 52.08% 24.83 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 156 60.9% 27.47 -6.123 32.69% -1.275 -0.5186
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2536 20.39% 40.59 3.307 58.79% 0.378 -0.2037
Powers Long Forgotten 1 202 67.82% 29.15 -9.829 32.18% -1.099 -0.2451
Rituals of Terror 3 180 69.27% 34.19 -3.774 28.89% -0.804 -0.9737
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 66 81.82% 33.33 -10.078 31.82% -0.143 0.7678
Second Wave 0 911 56.68% 34.88 1.929 46.98% -0.241 -0.1619
The Great River 3 65 50.77% 28.51 -3.173 23.08% 0.013 1.3768
Varied Terrains 2 28 53.57% 14.21 -11.757 7.14% -0.315 0.5647
Ward the Shores 2 204 62.75% 32.2 1.59 32.35% -0.454 0.5272

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 45077 61.69% 32.61 0.46 51.55% 0.025 0.3692
1 Thematic 2251 59.4% 36.36 -1.285 44.07% -0.601 -0.0733
2 Archipelago 23 43.48% 39.52 0.0 52.17%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9625 60.09% 32.54 -1.369 50.89% -0.2 0.0847
2 Coastline 1324 55.93% 33.65 -0.012 54.76% -0.125 -0.0958
2 Fragment 237 64.14% 32.11 4.508 48.95% 0.692 0.4549
2 Heart 142 73.05% 35.0 2.471 57.04% 0.242 0.0945
2 Opposite Shores 2110 59.87% 31.76 0.492 47.44% 0.159 0.2183
2 Thematic 770 63.61% 34.15 3.019 36.36% 0.026 0.3961
2 Top to Top 413 59.61% 34.84 4.149 56.42% 0.6 0.7231
3 Archipelago 4 75.0% 48.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 14 50.0% 38.86 0.0 57.14%
3 Other 148 43.54% 37.41 5.304 62.16% 1.009 0.4714
3 Round (Default) 4144 52.84% 33.16 -1.286 51.06% -0.08 -0.1725
3 Sunrise 29 55.17% 37.72 -3.292 55.17% -0.706 -0.5554
3 Thematic 195 64.62% 33.19 -0.811 30.77% -0.009 -0.5278
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 20.33 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 6 33.33% 25.17 1.472 16.67% -0.289 -0.5
4 Other 79 56.41% 34.24 -4.159 55.7% -0.506 -0.4985
4 Snake 4 75.0% 32.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 366 48.91% 35.97 -5.22 39.07% -0.325 -0.1917
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2107 46.16% 35.17 1.081 53.77% 0.697 0.8038
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 78 43.42% 37.4 -7.038 56.41% -1.197 -1.7116
5 Thematic 20 15.0% 42.6 20.716 40.0% 0.576 -0.4059
6 Archipelago 5 20.0% 44.2 0.0 60.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -13.624 0.0% -0.251 -1.2901
6 Other 19 26.32% 39.26 8.006 47.37% 0.651 1.2862
6 Star 21 52.38% 39.71 9.338 42.86% 0.241 0.4861
6 Thematic 56 35.71% 35.45 0.0 23.21%
6 Two Centers (Default) 77 40.26% 33.04 -2.435 48.05% -0.192 -0.2958
7 Other 3 33.33% 7.67 7.477 0.0% 0.208 -1.2284

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2950 30.06 1.868 42.37% 0.341 0.4443
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2383 32.81 5.165 47.5% 0.637 0.4926
All Things Weaken 1606 31.12 -2.14 46.2% -0.476 -0.1103
Attenuated Essence 217 30.81 1.864 49.77% 0.483 0.481
Back Against the Wall 2404 31.39 4.47 43.84% 0.396 0.4615
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 220 27.4 0.279 41.82% 0.214 0.4494
Burn Brightest Before the End 169 32.25 1.597 49.7% -0.06 0.1
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2849 27.84 1.737 41.14% 0.264 0.6394
Downward Spiral 6645 28.64 0.072 42.87% 0.066 0.1376
Erosion of Will 2873 29.58 0.254 40.9% -0.233 0.0232
Intensifying Exploitation 208 24.09 0.123 36.06% 0.177 0.4507
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 541 37.06 -0.207 64.51% -0.411 -0.8976
Memory Fades to Dust 6715 28.52 -0.466 40.74% -0.208 -0.0249
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1624 30.27 3.249 45.75% 0.258 0.4704
Promising Farmlands 2975 29.11 1.113 43.09% 0.083 0.406
Shattered Fragments of Power 168 32.31 5.344 46.43% 0.813 0.9834
Slow Dissolution of Will 230 25.6 1.314 36.52% 0.047 0.4313
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 365 38.21 5.903 69.59% 0.916 0.2402
The Border of Life and Death 46 28.48 4.352 47.83% 0.773 0.2564
Thriving Communities 1625 29.88 0.08 45.78% -0.283 0.0405
Thriving Crops 108 27.98 1.592 41.67% 0.405 0.4068
Tipping Point 1031 28.72 0.0 41.22%
Unnatural Proliferation 1763 32.29 5.064 48.55% 0.781 0.9678
Untended Land Crumbles 1607 29.46 -2.094 43.81% -0.856 -0.5166

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 15704 58.96% 32.49 -0.366 49.8% 0.1 0.9634
B 16648 58.98% 32.45 -0.547 49.75% -0.027 0.7946
C 17691 58.35% 33.16 0.872 51.92% 0.225 0.9232
D 15285 59.6% 32.56 -0.322 50.91% -0.018 0.8383
E 6935 54.42% 34.25 0.975 55.33% 0.151 0.8391
F 8413 58.66% 33.17 -0.76 52.93% -0.044 0.7737
G 7271 59.1% 33.18 -0.854 51.78% -0.414 0.4665
H 8022 55.31% 33.96 0.386 54.11% 0.147 0.9274
East 2337 57.02% 36.94 -0.709 40.86% -0.092 0.7007
Northeast 1460 53.61% 37.34 0.189 39.73% 0.015 0.8959
Northwest 1205 55.54% 35.0 -1.344 38.34% -0.149 0.7225
Southeast 423 54.55% 34.32 3.815 36.41% 0.4 1.2591
Southwest 384 55.59% 29.67 -1.688 34.9% 0.074 1.2835
West 2180 58.64% 33.78 1.576 37.11% 0.252 1.3123

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 589 0.0% 34.2 9.666 47.37% 1.013 1.7287
Not Using Events or Tokens 9514 61.66% 28.96 -1.975 41.33% -0.405 0.0694
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1114 16.8% 50.36 4.096 78.37% 0.333 -0.2339
Start of Game Growth 1707 22.48% 47.37 2.149 74.87% 0.556 -0.1081
Unlimited Undo 6169 53.75% 35.76 -1.623 58.49% -0.324 -0.3013
Using Tokens but Not Events 5836 51.64% 34.42 -0.431 56.39% 0.065 0.1127

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14327 15.45 2.2%
II 20056 30.45 21.82%
III 19585 34.8 78.17%
IV 15427 38.47 99.46%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.144 Win Model: -0.234
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 47557 61.54% 32.82 51.24%
2 14595 60.16% 32.68 49.96%
3 4429 52.81% 33.29 51.07%
4 2575 46.28% 35.39 51.61%
5 59 44.83% 28.31 38.98%
6 180 37.78% 34.96 39.44%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 315
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14992
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4183
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15171
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4946
Lose: Invader deck ran out 484
Lose: Adversary condition 12463
Win: Sacrifice victory 297
Lose: Scenario condition 1015
Win: Scenario condition 385
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14407
Lose: Spirit destroyed 737

The Kingdom of England — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5877 39.35% 41.8 -0.523 61.07% 0.252 0.0551
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 65 32.31% 37.15 2.66 61.54% 0.752 0.0375
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3116 67.81% 36.65 -1.386 50.06% 0.107 0.3759
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 322 34.16% 33.53 2.197 48.45% 0.482 -0.0857
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2596 60.65% 36.98 -4.804 51.96% -0.286 -0.417
Downpour Drenches the World 795 35.77% 30.85 -3.058 43.02% -0.19 0.0794
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1184 43.5% 36.69 3.715 57.85% 1.013 0.5808
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4035 38.11% 41.6 1.084 63.67% 0.32 -0.1033
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7097 31.04% 49.7 2.549 80.19% 0.596 0.1503
Finder of Paths Unseen 256 42.75% 31.46 -1.493 42.19% -0.157 0.5
Fractured Days Split the Sky 998 42.47% 42.78 -2.715 58.12% -0.326 0.4823
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1160 48.06% 41.59 -2.867 58.62% -0.354 -0.4712
Heart of the Wildfire 3377 74.44% 30.25 -7.091 34.97% -1.13 -0.8429
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 18426 28.94% 46.32 3.309 73.16% 0.8 0.4076
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 422 28.67% 44.74 5.2 65.64% 0.396 -0.0085
Lightning's Swift Strike 5108 59.68% 36.42 -2.573 47.53% -0.279 -0.0119
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 686 55.11% 41.14 4.453 61.08% 0.873 0.5213
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 578 50.35% 43.82 -2.546 68.17% -0.096 -0.5368
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 574 46.17% 42.65 0.665 59.76% -0.256 -0.2992
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2748 59.49% 38.38 -0.827 55.39% -0.088 -0.3387
Many Minds Move as One 1314 37.85% 43.79 0.12 68.42% -0.187 -0.4173
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6208 58.17% 40.51 -0.974 59.47% 0.121 0.0172
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2893 53.88% 37.42 -1.316 51.88% -0.018 -0.1744
River Surges in Sunlight 4897 54.51% 38.84 0.101 48.54% 0.292 0.3811
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 40 52.5% 29.18 -1.447 40.0% -0.218 -0.3294
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 547 58.79% 37.02 -3.963 44.24% -0.636 -0.2464
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 502 34.87% 47.3 -1.821 63.55% -0.491 -0.3538
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6774 39.19% 44.51 3.995 68.51% 0.837 0.6438
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1150 70.42% 29.21 -2.809 29.65% -0.737 -0.2515
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 41 63.41% 29.93 -0.505 36.59% 0.039 0.0948
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 142 69.72% 29.93 -0.417 39.44% 0.004 -0.4646
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 70 48.57% 30.24 -5.864 37.14% -0.327 -0.1114
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 252 76.98% 29.59 -2.894 30.95% -0.709 -0.6794
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 128 57.03% 40.63 0.0 54.69%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5966 30.36% 48.42 4.041 72.96% 0.697 0.5441
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 205 46.83% 34.56 0.742 48.29% 0.337 0.1381
Shifting Memory of Ages 1185 59.71% 37.95 0.573 53.42% -0.0 0.4485
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 61 47.54% 39.51 2.266 59.02% 0.428 0.1233
Shroud of Silent Mist 938 67.52% 35.51 -3.428 50.11% -0.601 -0.2649
Starlight Seeks its Form 1895 46.78% 39.13 2.819 57.78% 0.496 0.4404
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3984 38.48% 39.67 -2.329 67.75% 0.138 -0.4846
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1093 61.73% 34.53 -3.54 42.63% -0.613 -0.4192
Thunderspeaker 6999 41.18% 43.91 0.844 63.04% 0.096 0.0424
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 163 51.53% 18.42 -2.496 19.63% -0.394 -0.2597
Towering Roots of the Jungle 236 52.12% 27.64 -2.001 40.25% -0.189 -0.1797
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2594 79.51% 40.29 1.445 64.34% 0.411 0.4939
Vital Strength of the Earth 2538 52.2% 33.4 -2.576 39.95% -0.159 0.4352
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 332 41.05% 34.81 -5.349 46.08% -0.825 -0.3857
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 368 54.08% 37.71 -0.317 52.99% 0.05 0.7414
Volcano Looming High 2518 68.71% 34.73 0.05 50.4% 0.078 0.1819
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 390 51.54% 32.27 -2.2 44.1% -0.276 -0.528

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 26 26.92% 55.58 16.8 73.08% 1.242 1.022
Blitz 0 585 44.39% 37.86 3.344 47.69% -0.27 0.0169
Dahan Insurrection 4 438 42.2% 55.38 6.382 48.86% 0.187 0.0724
Despicable Theft 2 29 48.28% 23.34 -15.774 27.59% -0.429 0.3095
Elemental Invocation 1 113 64.6% 33.04 -5.306 41.59% -0.588 0.1687
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6969 8.92% 52.73 3.268 79.25% 0.699 0.1171
Powers Long Forgotten 1 151 71.52% 31.0 -1.467 28.48% 0.101 0.9545
Rituals of Terror 3 158 62.03% 36.7 -0.881 28.48% -0.281 -0.4508
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 105 85.71% 31.76 1.083 20.0% -0.228 0.6829
Second Wave 0 503 52.12% 37.36 3.711 45.13% 0.341 0.4208
The Great River 3 73 52.05% 24.59 -4.56 13.7% -0.688 0.6757
Varied Terrains 2 35 28.57% 16.06 -7.6 14.29% -1.263 -0.3836
Ward the Shores 2 161 65.63% 39.31 2.446 37.89% -0.206 0.7755

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 50693 50.37% 39.28 -0.252 59.5% -0.185 0.1593
1 Thematic 1609 60.59% 35.94 -2.497 35.24% -1.273 -0.7457
2 Archipelago 24 37.5% 47.42 -2.514 54.17% -0.401 0.0981
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10130 53.06% 39.78 -1.704 57.91% -0.335 -0.0508
2 Coastline 1473 51.02% 42.2 -1.313 63.68% -0.835 -0.8056
2 Fragment 186 61.96% 35.78 5.392 47.31% 0.535 0.2981
2 Heart 190 59.47% 38.43 0.875 54.74% 0.088 -0.0599
2 Opposite Shores 1812 55.04% 38.6 0.98 52.15% 0.163 0.2217
2 Thematic 483 60.66% 38.02 4.116 39.13% 0.068 0.4384
2 Top to Top 357 60.06% 38.55 1.463 56.3% 0.321 0.4445
3 Archipelago 10 50.0% 33.0 0.0 30.0%
3 Coastline 21 70.0% 31.19 17.872 28.57% 0.798 0.2486
3 Other 166 59.39% 41.01 9.756 62.65% 1.083 0.5449
3 Round (Default) 3763 50.2% 39.09 0.028 56.36% -0.116 -0.2084
3 Sunrise 18 55.56% 37.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 114 47.37% 40.44 -6.101 42.11% -0.55 -1.0683
4 Archipelago 14 71.43% 49.64 0.0 64.29%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 17 70.59% 38.12 0.0 58.82%
4 Other 77 66.23% 44.56 10.117 68.83% 0.533 0.5402
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 353 49.29% 47.88 -4.995 56.37% -0.484 -0.3505
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4665 18.2% 50.78 4.662 76.78% 0.694 0.8006
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 25.67 0.0 33.33%
5 Other 103 25.49% 48.58 -1.59 73.79% -0.182 -0.6968
5 Thematic 9 11.11% 46.67 12.886 44.44% 0.42 -0.5619
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 31 26.67% 35.48 9.918 45.16% 0.158 0.7926
6 Star 15 53.33% 39.33 14.538 46.67% 0.619 0.8637
6 Thematic 35 28.57% 42.57 0.0 48.57%
6 Two Centers (Default) 118 23.73% 39.81 -8.748 66.1% -0.809 -0.9125
7 Archipelago 4 0.0% 37.0 -25.216 25.0% -1.189 -0.597
7 Other 2 0.0% 48.0 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2826 34.09 0.606 45.05% -0.087 0.0172
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2276 36.65 3.362 49.78% 0.559 0.414
All Things Weaken 1636 35.06 1.503 48.78% 0.05 0.4164
Attenuated Essence 189 28.05 1.257 38.62% 0.168 0.1666
Back Against the Wall 2222 35.76 0.796 47.25% -0.12 -0.0544
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 216 31.77 -1.52 45.37% -0.177 0.0579
Burn Brightest Before the End 156 33.02 4.905 42.31% 0.614 0.7743
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2785 31.95 0.957 43.81% 0.138 0.5137
Downward Spiral 5197 32.38 1.708 43.58% 0.539 0.611
Erosion of Will 2773 33.93 1.006 44.43% 0.14 0.3968
Intensifying Exploitation 197 30.4 -0.516 45.18% 0.101 0.375
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 567 41.17 1.988 65.26% 0.31 -0.1765
Memory Fades to Dust 5237 32.34 -0.907 42.24% 0.081 0.2642
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1606 33.8 0.748 47.95% 0.278 0.4908
Promising Farmlands 2722 33.16 -0.336 45.0% -0.167 0.1561
Shattered Fragments of Power 161 33.7 1.855 47.2% 0.127 0.2977
Slow Dissolution of Will 190 27.12 -0.124 31.05% -0.227 0.1567
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 446 43.25 0.353 71.3% 0.131 -0.5455
The Border of Life and Death 70 30.84 2.353 48.57% 0.352 -0.1641
Thriving Communities 1615 33.46 -1.03 47.12% -0.078 0.2457
Thriving Crops 102 31.4 -0.339 46.08% -0.062 -0.0603
Tipping Point 932 31.37 0.0 38.73%
Unnatural Proliferation 1721 35.99 0.793 49.8% 0.037 0.2238
Untended Land Crumbles 1632 34.37 1.249 48.96% 0.312 0.6512

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 18025 45.27% 41.18 0.982 60.34% -0.052 0.8112
B 20252 43.27% 42.26 -0.193 62.53% -0.252 0.5696
C 21159 44.82% 42.32 1.042 63.41% -0.069 0.6287
D 15371 50.2% 39.56 -1.317 58.31% -0.314 0.5422
E 8648 45.83% 41.1 2.247 62.13% 0.188 0.8764
F 10381 44.91% 40.87 0.404 61.71% -0.201 0.6173
G 8876 46.67% 40.91 0.403 61.23% -0.069 0.8112
H 8996 44.44% 41.74 0.049 63.21% -0.181 0.5998
East 1714 54.75% 40.36 0.027 41.19% -0.276 0.5167
Northeast 1067 52.81% 41.42 -0.089 42.55% -0.093 0.788
Northwest 870 57.24% 40.71 -3.948 42.99% -0.352 0.5187
Southeast 264 44.11% 39.77 0.174 46.21% -0.358 0.5014
Southwest 314 56.09% 33.15 -4.938 38.85% -1.12 0.0894
West 1550 59.75% 37.8 -2.421 39.48% -0.421 0.6397

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 375 0.0% 38.19 -3.526 51.73% -1.116 -0.4007
Not Using Events or Tokens 7843 48.76% 38.06 -2.988 53.81% -0.585 -0.1107
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1277 17.16% 60.19 8.502 83.87% 0.875 0.3077
Start of Game Growth 2031 19.41% 54.9 7.246 77.99% 0.753 0.0882
Unlimited Undo 6526 51.67% 40.88 -0.981 62.0% -0.199 -0.1757
Using Tokens but Not Events 5886 36.5% 41.18 -0.65 61.89% -0.356 -0.3083

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14508 15.45 19.6%
II 20643 30.45 32.46%
III 22048 34.8 75.36%
IV 19336 38.47 99.73%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.645 Win Model: 0.073
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 52549 50.65% 39.22 58.84%
2 14543 53.89% 39.67 56.74%
3 4033 50.56% 39.03 55.81%
4 5146 21.11% 50.51 75.2%
5 59 29.31% 37.49 52.54%
6 205 26.6% 39.92 58.54%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2842
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 16327
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6513
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 19071
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5189
Lose: Invader deck ran out 98
Lose: Adversary condition 11611
Win: Sacrifice victory 368
Lose: Scenario condition 1191
Win: Scenario condition 321
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12352
Lose: Spirit destroyed 652

The Kingdom of England — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2408 45.18% 44.2 1.165 47.05% 0.077 -0.1194
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 19 31.58% 39.84 4.295 47.37% 0.737 0.0229
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 871 77.96% 35.89 -5.81 33.87% -0.514 -0.246
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 57 59.65% 47.63 6.535 64.91% 0.451 -0.1164
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 737 75.82% 28.28 -2.221 17.37% -0.881 -1.0116
Downpour Drenches the World 248 41.7% 29.16 -3.856 28.23% -0.113 0.157
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 658 66.41% 32.07 -3.153 35.11% -0.46 -0.8921
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1135 60.83% 41.9 3.922 46.17% 0.501 0.0779
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1703 57.29% 43.4 0.855 48.5% 0.368 -0.0774
Finder of Paths Unseen 118 47.46% 22.32 0.529 19.49% 0.403 1.06
Fractured Days Split the Sky 376 63.14% 44.26 8.152 38.3% 0.424 1.2319
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 299 79.6% 29.92 -4.372 25.75% -0.351 -0.4685
Heart of the Wildfire 1097 83.55% 24.76 -8.517 12.67% -1.136 -0.8487
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4792 53.25% 44.51 -0.007 53.09% 0.114 -0.2789
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 70 61.43% 23.09 -2.67 18.57% -0.177 -0.5817
Lightning's Swift Strike 2631 62.24% 40.85 -1.517 39.49% -0.137 0.1305
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 393 66.67% 43.07 9.449 43.26% 1.229 0.8777
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 189 66.14% 44.89 8.038 54.5% 0.208 -0.2327
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 217 65.9% 37.36 -2.057 40.09% -0.309 -0.3515
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1141 73.49% 35.55 -4.006 33.13% -0.352 -0.6024
Many Minds Move as One 388 48.45% 47.48 -2.448 59.79% 0.299 0.0687
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3026 63.79% 44.13 1.873 51.49% 0.724 0.6198
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 842 62.99% 35.47 -3.052 29.45% -0.562 -0.7182
River Surges in Sunlight 1713 50.51% 44.6 -1.357 43.9% -0.221 -0.132
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 6 66.67% 46.33 4.621 50.0% 0.708 0.5967
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 121 69.17% 31.9 -6.823 19.01% -0.474 -0.0839
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 98 55.1% 35.38 4.379 28.57% 0.255 0.3921
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1987 59.07% 41.69 -1.539 46.55% 0.126 -0.0677
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 446 79.46% 29.8 -2.257 17.26% 0.362 0.8472
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 15 66.67% 27.2 0.017 26.67% 0.282 0.3376
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 50 72.0% 26.56 -10.688 22.0% -1.11 -1.5787
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 4 75.0% 26.75 -0.457 25.0% -0.279 -0.0636
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 50 78.0% 34.68 -4.108 30.0% -0.023 0.0061
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 47 74.47% 30.68 0.0 25.53%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1425 55.91% 46.45 -2.131 51.37% 0.036 -0.1166
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 75 42.67% 41.63 10.355 37.33% 0.781 0.5821
Shifting Memory of Ages 390 68.46% 38.22 0.154 38.72% 0.202 0.651
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 33 51.52% 26.94 0.379 30.3% 0.46 0.1554
Shroud of Silent Mist 321 82.54% 31.5 -1.556 27.41% -0.007 0.3286
Starlight Seeks its Form 668 64.22% 37.15 2.344 40.27% 0.24 0.1847
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4642 26.39% 50.52 8.176 75.08% 1.547 0.9238
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 480 76.65% 28.69 -6.591 16.46% -0.654 -0.4602
Thunderspeaker 1872 70.22% 35.17 -3.484 30.56% -0.257 -0.3113
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 64 59.38% 24.36 -5.519 21.88% -0.41 -0.2759
Towering Roots of the Jungle 96 58.33% 27.38 -1.578 33.33% 0.115 0.1239
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1064 85.43% 40.28 -4.781 48.97% -0.585 -0.5018
Vital Strength of the Earth 1043 49.66% 39.81 1.619 36.24% 0.345 0.9399
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 68 57.35% 29.44 -6.803 22.06% -0.844 -0.4047
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 102 68.63% 30.95 -3.379 26.47% -0.506 0.185
Volcano Looming High 690 85.94% 28.81 -4.793 22.75% -0.7 -0.5962
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 162 53.09% 32.41 0.686 36.42% 0.304 0.0516

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 0.0% 17.5 0.0 25.0%
Blitz 0 296 50.17% 38.01 6.222 40.2% 0.528 0.8151
Dahan Insurrection 4 221 71.82% 42.35 0.0 15.84%
Despicable Theft 2 20 80.0% 29.3 -12.224 20.0% -0.352 0.3864
Elemental Invocation 1 60 68.33% 23.82 -3.952 11.67% -0.558 0.1985
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1434 18.86% 51.74 3.146 58.02% 0.118 -0.464
Powers Long Forgotten 1 84 76.19% 29.96 -5.844 17.86% -0.495 0.3586
Rituals of Terror 3 79 77.22% 81.49 8.052 54.43% 0.449 0.2789
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 23 65.22% 36.83 0.0 21.74%
Second Wave 0 213 66.04% 35.92 0.05 29.58% -0.057 0.022
The Great River 3 7 28.57% 15.57 0.0 14.29%
Varied Terrains 2 6 50.0% 19.33 -15.044 0.0% -0.501 0.3786
Ward the Shores 2 64 61.9% 43.36 -12.013 31.25% -0.312 0.6697

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 20804 58.92% 39.84 0.82 46.82% 0.122 0.4664
1 Thematic 1199 69.51% 39.02 0.399 30.61% 0.373 0.9
2 Archipelago 11 90.91% 50.73 -11.027 18.18% -0.172 0.3274
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3048 70.22% 36.67 -3.642 36.61% -0.869 -0.5849
2 Coastline 352 65.71% 38.78 -3.772 43.18% -0.371 -0.342
2 Fragment 99 77.78% 37.9 -1.923 37.37% -0.412 -0.6491
2 Heart 90 83.33% 37.48 0.0 37.78%
2 Opposite Shores 726 68.99% 37.54 -1.56 36.09% -0.452 -0.3931
2 Thematic 209 65.55% 45.83 4.335 30.62% -0.033 0.3373
2 Top to Top 150 54.0% 34.5 1.901 36.67% 0.201 0.3244
3 Archipelago 12 83.33% 107.83 45.042 66.67% 0.264 -0.5331
3 Coastline 5 60.0% 27.0 17.465 20.0% 0.513 -0.036
3 Other 55 76.36% 48.65 0.0 65.45%
3 Round (Default) 1251 65.95% 35.72 0.689 35.01% -0.146 -0.2389
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 42.0 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 57 63.16% 40.47 4.404 29.82% 0.152 -0.3668
4 Archipelago 5 100.0% 43.0 0.0 20.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 9 88.89% 42.0 0.0 44.44%
4 Other 27 77.78% 46.19 0.0 59.26%
4 Thematic 235 22.13% 63.8 -4.243 69.36% -0.138 -0.0044
4 Trapezoid (Default) 978 28.93% 50.68 1.356 58.9% -0.36 -0.2526
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -13.589 0.0% -0.229 -0.0607
5 Other 28 31.58% 51.5 4.414 53.57% -0.289 -0.8035
5 Thematic 23 47.83% 65.65 0.0 52.17%
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 70.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 12 27.27% 49.08 10.503 58.33% 0.151 0.7861
6 Star 4 0.0% 40.25 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 63 9.52% 68.22 0.774 63.49% -0.293 0.0304
6 Two Centers (Default) 9 88.89% 46.0 24.099 55.56% 0.777 0.674
7 Archipelago 2 50.0% 146.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1299 36.17 0.729 33.87% -0.26 -0.1563
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1049 39.33 3.22 39.28% 0.009 -0.1362
All Things Weaken 728 35.17 0.731 33.52% 0.066 0.4324
Attenuated Essence 126 32.27 0.509 38.89% 0.179 0.1771
Back Against the Wall 932 37.06 4.413 34.66% 0.198 0.2633
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 137 34.12 3.328 36.5% 0.212 0.4471
Burn Brightest Before the End 85 30.36 1.3 28.24% -0.241 -0.0808
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1254 34.51 -0.296 34.93% -0.114 0.2616
Downward Spiral 2498 33.67 1.466 30.86% -0.058 0.0141
Erosion of Will 1432 34.59 -0.75 31.28% -0.075 0.1818
Intensifying Exploitation 118 24.4 1.953 23.73% 0.356 0.6297
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 223 41.84 0.0 51.12%
Memory Fades to Dust 2449 33.22 1.679 28.46% -0.061 0.1222
Power Corrodes the Spirit 745 35.55 0.614 35.3% 0.023 0.2362
Promising Farmlands 1270 34.45 -3.15 32.76% -0.844 -0.5215
Shattered Fragments of Power 90 36.22 5.355 37.78% 0.453 0.623
Slow Dissolution of Will 107 31.12 -2.881 28.97% -0.597 -0.2136
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 185 49.85 5.476 64.32% 0.641 -0.0349
The Border of Life and Death 28 30.82 0.618 42.86% 0.206 -0.31
Thriving Communities 732 35.19 3.416 35.38% 0.356 0.6805
Thriving Crops 40 33.55 -2.243 45.0% -0.55 -0.5489
Tipping Point 470 35.04 0.0 31.91%
Unnatural Proliferation 839 37.8 -0.426 37.9% -0.449 -0.262
Untended Land Crumbles 786 34.16 -1.387 33.84% -0.172 0.1668

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5330 63.81% 37.73 -2.335 38.65% -0.306 0.5574
B 6758 59.16% 39.9 -2.553 42.66% -0.466 0.3549
C 10051 48.23% 45.26 4.162 58.06% 0.457 1.1547
D 5205 64.14% 38.73 0.555 41.13% 0.227 1.0828
E 2827 64.94% 36.84 -0.05 39.02% -0.083 0.6057
F 2897 65.08% 36.96 -0.393 37.87% -0.089 0.7291
G 2530 66.17% 36.61 -1.489 37.19% -0.172 0.7089
H 2603 63.89% 37.57 -0.289 38.49% -0.156 0.6249
East 1198 55.81% 47.59 1.934 39.57% -0.113 0.6799
Northeast 720 50.0% 49.92 -3.677 41.53% -0.89 -0.0092
Northwest 559 45.44% 53.21 3.981 50.63% 0.239 1.1098
Southeast 207 33.33% 51.7 2.063 46.86% -0.224 0.6349
Southwest 211 37.14% 46.88 -1.162 43.6% -0.197 1.012
West 959 52.92% 48.51 0.404 43.8% -0.359 0.7012

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 111 0.0% 53.4 -2.905 59.46% -0.022 0.6936
Not Using Events or Tokens 2744 64.01% 34.92 -3.528 31.63% -0.908 -0.4336
Skip Initial Invader Actions 739 16.47% 63.5 10.19 77.81% 1.553 0.9858
Start of Game Growth 1216 18.37% 60.72 7.209 72.45% 0.346 -0.3187
Unlimited Undo 2353 58.15% 43.35 1.863 49.64% 0.131 0.1541
Using Tokens but Not Events 1705 58.72% 39.16 -1.649 38.48% -0.362 -0.3143

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7130 15.45 5.57%
II 7911 30.45 12.38%
III 5398 34.8 51.52%
IV 9044 38.47 99.82%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.292 Win Model: 0.236
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 22118 59.55% 39.86 45.94%
2 4638 69.4% 37.36 36.98%
3 1359 66.74% 36.22 35.03%
4 1251 28.41% 53.19 60.91%
5 30 34.78% 48.57 40.0%
6 87 18.6% 65.64 66.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 397
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2709
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 941
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8927
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2281
Lose: Invader deck ran out 42
Lose: Adversary condition 6205
Win: Sacrifice victory 139
Lose: Scenario condition 449
Win: Scenario condition 72
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6973
Lose: Spirit destroyed 348

The Kingdom of England — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 11226 38.72% 45.37 2.076 43.49% 0.585 0.3882
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 207 36.23% 34.09 2.317 32.37% 0.593 -0.1214
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6756 71.4% 35.22 -2.186 28.86% -0.02 0.2483
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 718 60.86% 38.58 2.763 43.87% 0.64 0.0726
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2893 63.63% 31.85 -4.894 19.32% -0.847 -0.9777
Downpour Drenches the World 1532 34.69% 33.59 -1.168 29.44% 0.084 0.3536
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2238 57.16% 25.65 -2.37 21.45% -0.341 -0.7724
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6471 51.04% 39.33 -0.86 37.38% 0.428 0.0053
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 10332 51.14% 47.08 3.527 49.39% 0.838 0.3924
Finder of Paths Unseen 728 46.77% 29.12 -1.093 22.66% -0.2 0.457
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3402 42.91% 47.5 -0.137 43.65% 0.117 0.925
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1459 73.42% 30.09 -2.979 18.92% -0.449 -0.5661
Heart of the Wildfire 5003 71.86% 27.07 -7.352 15.41% -1.3 -1.0127
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 27930 44.72% 46.74 1.272 51.37% 0.359 -0.0335
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 467 59.01% 20.67 -4.778 10.71% -1.189 -1.5933
Lightning's Swift Strike 14870 59.27% 40.38 -4.09 36.81% -0.548 -0.2803
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 3596 58.93% 40.01 1.369 38.46% 0.323 -0.0286
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 2503 58.13% 46.99 13.48 49.78% 1.971 1.5294
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1733 51.76% 47.31 4.338 49.11% 0.632 0.5888
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5749 66.61% 35.47 -2.311 30.74% -0.319 -0.5694
Many Minds Move as One 2590 47.36% 51.01 8.38 58.07% 1.536 1.3053
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 24716 55.69% 48.1 1.719 50.01% 0.783 0.6789
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3158 51.13% 38.76 -0.314 32.93% -0.711 -0.8666
River Surges in Sunlight 8841 50.45% 48.44 3.377 42.02% 0.614 0.7027
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 145 51.72% 30.34 1.443 23.45% 0.148 0.0364
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1203 52.2% 38.59 -2.098 28.1% -0.506 -0.1163
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 791 53.54% 38.62 -2.374 24.91% -0.568 -0.4302
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 14920 41.7% 50.06 2.497 54.44% 0.476 0.2825
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3824 64.7% 37.41 -4.268 27.46% -0.162 0.3241
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 53 69.81% 29.25 0.0 20.75%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 448 74.33% 27.72 -1.971 20.98% -0.799 -1.2675
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 155 66.45% 27.02 0.595 18.06% -0.168 0.0474
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 357 74.51% 35.14 5.187 22.97% 0.19 0.2192
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 350 72.78% 34.59 -9.008 24.0% -0.659 -0.4864
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7298 44.58% 46.68 3.022 48.78% 0.471 0.3179
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 484 51.45% 27.96 -2.592 25.62% -0.324 -0.5233
Shifting Memory of Ages 2388 53.09% 40.47 0.247 37.4% 0.458 0.9075
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 264 38.4% 35.53 3.705 36.36% 0.937 0.6323
Shroud of Silent Mist 1464 77.88% 36.02 -0.721 31.97% -0.038 0.2975
Starlight Seeks its Form 4566 47.69% 39.17 -1.643 38.17% 0.131 0.076
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 11835 43.11% 42.0 4.408 47.04% 1.173 0.5495
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2460 58.87% 34.0 -7.324 25.28% -1.519 -1.3256
Thunderspeaker 9183 60.37% 37.14 -3.385 25.69% -0.468 -0.5214
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 223 50.0% 23.19 -1.806 21.52% -0.446 -0.3123
Towering Roots of the Jungle 460 51.09% 24.4 -0.957 21.09% 0.03 0.0394
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4606 80.82% 41.18 2.63 42.42% 0.685 0.7675
Vital Strength of the Earth 4586 42.87% 40.63 -1.233 31.71% 0.368 0.9623
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 701 34.86% 28.7 -6.757 22.68% -1.398 -0.9585
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 467 62.74% 30.38 -7.825 15.42% -0.718 -0.0268
Volcano Looming High 3944 74.48% 30.91 -1.764 21.07% -0.387 -0.284
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 868 50.98% 34.78 0.887 34.91% 0.252 -0.0004

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 13 23.08% 49.23 -12.167 38.46% -0.188 -0.4086
Blitz 0 2107 33.37% 48.1 8.259 47.98% 1.012 1.299
Dahan Insurrection 4 2907 61.17% 44.45 -3.094 14.69% -0.438 -0.5535
Despicable Theft 2 53 55.77% 36.53 0.0 26.42%
Elemental Invocation 1 204 70.05% 34.37 -14.479 16.67% -0.958 -0.2015
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 18675 22.28% 54.46 9.959 54.62% 1.539 0.9573
Powers Long Forgotten 1 182 84.53% 30.21 -16.421 10.44% -0.659 0.1948
Rituals of Terror 3 811 62.03% 98.44 13.535 57.09% 1.269 1.0991
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 124 78.23% 28.95 -32.207 6.45% -0.942 -0.0309
Second Wave 0 372 60.49% 39.74 1.745 33.87% -0.456 -0.3766
The Great River 3 62 30.65% 26.47 -8.576 16.13% 0.086 1.4499
Varied Terrains 2 107 54.21% 16.79 -14.834 3.74% -0.659 0.2203
Ward the Shores 2 279 67.65% 42.18 -12.143 28.67% -1.085 -0.1039

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 118082 59.57% 40.2 -0.919 39.24% -0.686 -0.3418
1 Thematic 7096 56.75% 44.74 1.999 25.27% -0.765 -0.2374
2 Archipelago 75 73.33% 55.47 3.985 24.0% -0.817 -0.318
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12093 65.03% 39.99 -1.789 37.02% -1.008 -0.7233
2 Coastline 2721 58.49% 37.01 2.937 33.44% -0.151 -0.1217
2 Fragment 268 60.45% 36.5 10.66 32.84% 0.441 0.2034
2 Heart 237 64.98% 46.8 6.274 54.01% 0.14 -0.0081
2 Opposite Shores 3817 52.24% 42.88 0.78 38.93% -0.274 -0.2146
2 Thematic 2403 36.25% 69.26 8.848 53.27% 0.269 0.6395
2 Top to Top 798 57.47% 44.25 0.461 46.87% -0.406 -0.2824
3 Archipelago 57 50.88% 91.49 32.766 63.16% 0.408 -0.3893
3 Coastline 38 45.95% 42.53 19.609 42.11% 0.646 0.0967
3 Other 299 59.87% 50.89 6.824 58.53% 0.606 0.068
3 Round (Default) 7071 50.18% 42.43 -1.752 43.03% -0.907 -1.0001
3 Sunrise 18 50.0% 46.33 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 199 39.39% 74.89 29.126 44.72% 0.856 0.3376
4 Archipelago 20 45.0% 43.05 -4.761 35.0% -0.44 -0.0073
4 Coastline 31 9.68% 45.13 0.0 35.48%
4 Leaf 19 31.58% 48.26 0.0 42.11%
4 Other 189 51.06% 54.88 7.508 65.61% 0.053 0.0608
4 Thematic 1671 23.82% 66.98 -2.23 67.62% -0.138 -0.0052
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4785 29.31% 41.2 -2.756 45.29% -0.823 -0.7164
5 Archipelago 7 57.14% 65.0 0.0 57.14%
5 Coastline 23 8.7% 57.04 4.757 78.26% 0.292 -0.2147
5 Other 120 33.63% 55.27 0.658 64.17% -0.503 -1.0174
5 Thematic 81 21.25% 72.33 0.798 74.07% -0.032 -1.0146
6 Archipelago 134 2.26% 68.43 10.79 77.61% 0.878 0.1485
6 Coastline 7 0.0% 4.86 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 130 18.46% 58.35 -8.455 67.69% -0.378 0.2566
6 Star 36 27.78% 48.17 0.0 52.78%
6 Thematic 464 11.02% 43.35 -3.895 43.32% -1.229 -0.906
6 Two Centers (Default) 492 10.57% 41.18 -1.016 39.63% -0.948 -1.0516
7 Archipelago 3 100.0% 84.0 19.629 33.33% 0.539 1.1303
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 6957 38.12 2.821 32.6% 0.346 0.4498
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5825 41.62 5.712 37.89% 0.655 0.5105
All Things Weaken 4127 35.97 2.646 28.69% 0.175 0.5409
Attenuated Essence 670 30.48 2.385 25.67% 0.263 0.2616
Back Against the Wall 5405 40.59 4.318 35.76% 0.581 0.6465
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 662 29.3 2.172 24.32% 0.312 0.5466
Burn Brightest Before the End 486 34.59 3.943 27.37% 0.22 0.3801
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6698 35.58 2.011 30.56% 0.324 0.6997
Downward Spiral 12362 37.0 3.258 29.82% 0.515 0.5875
Erosion of Will 6857 36.64 1.75 29.43% 0.081 0.3371
Intensifying Exploitation 688 30.72 2.404 27.33% 0.52 0.7943
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1413 44.24 -0.412 45.01% 0.097 -0.3899
Memory Fades to Dust 12257 36.41 4.261 27.15% 0.679 0.8616
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4116 36.66 1.874 31.05% 0.279 0.4916
Promising Farmlands 6722 37.19 4.289 32.06% 0.557 0.8795
Shattered Fragments of Power 493 35.42 5.088 29.82% 0.584 0.7546
Slow Dissolution of Will 694 30.53 1.81 23.92% 0.115 0.4994
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 878 48.22 7.21 52.16% 0.981 0.3044
The Border of Life and Death 124 36.35 -1.894 35.48% -0.217 -0.7332
Thriving Communities 4310 36.77 1.651 31.74% 0.255 0.5793
Thriving Crops 275 33.69 2.036 32.73% 0.285 0.2865
Tipping Point 2148 36.92 0.0 30.4%
Unnatural Proliferation 4507 38.67 4.375 32.28% 0.405 0.5917
Untended Land Crumbles 4224 36.19 3.645 30.33% 0.52 0.8589

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 31631 54.65% 40.85 -1.554 39.39% -1.175 -0.3117
B 35056 55.02% 40.55 -0.808 39.37% -1.063 -0.2419
C 38605 56.87% 42.18 -0.785 42.27% -0.905 -0.2074
D 28832 57.3% 40.44 -0.711 39.97% -0.989 -0.1324
E 20357 53.95% 39.8 2.048 39.1% -0.635 0.053
F 17955 54.9% 40.21 0.462 39.25% -0.787 0.0307
G 16328 53.06% 40.09 -1.815 39.14% -1.079 -0.1986
H 17145 50.25% 41.62 0.778 41.93% -0.759 0.0214
East 8951 42.75% 56.18 2.971 41.12% -1.042 -0.2492
Northeast 6144 37.17% 55.88 2.555 43.33% -0.627 0.2539
Northwest 3666 29.39% 59.58 -1.456 52.92% -1.107 -0.2359
Southeast 1252 35.6% 49.54 3.015 40.58% -0.31 0.5487
Southwest 967 24.02% 48.08 -2.34 45.81% -1.102 0.1071
West 6169 39.02% 58.25 0.211 46.18% -1.56 -0.4991

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1292 0.0% 44.07 3.047 43.27% 0.559 1.275
Not Using Events or Tokens 14535 57.49% 39.9 -2.8 27.18% -0.628 -0.1544
Skip Initial Invader Actions 8385 15.02% 65.58 5.583 76.41% -0.567 -1.1344
Start of Game Growth 10002 18.59% 63.59 7.533 73.7% 1.731 1.0665
Unlimited Undo 21692 38.33% 53.52 2.769 64.17% 0.622 0.6452
Using Tokens but Not Events 11165 50.06% 42.23 -0.528 39.3% -0.559 -0.5108

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 57474 15.45 6.95%
II 45315 30.45 23.74%
III 24673 34.8 55.87%
IV 36185 38.47 99.69%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.14 Win Model: 0.737
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 126433 59.45% 40.83 38.72%
2 21596 58.31% 42.12 38.19%
3 7553 50.3% 43.29 43.8%
4 6706 28.17% 47.91 51.21%
5 101 21.05% 47.13 47.52%
6 1258 10.74% 47.19 48.97%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3977
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13288
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10115
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 35344
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 16897
Lose: Invader deck ran out 232
Lose: Adversary condition 38290
Win: Sacrifice victory 1263
Lose: Scenario condition 5677
Win: Scenario condition 627
Lose: Blight pool ran out 35993
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1944

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)