The Kingdom of England — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8364 22.48% 25.04 0.408 81.44% 0.248 0.1453
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4594 43.65% 22.8 -0.316 74.49% 0.045 0.205
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 100 14.0% 32.84 7.503 86.0% 1.723 0.8877
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3501 26.29% 25.68 2.25 85.03% 0.593 0.4616
Downpour Drenches the World 509 25.2% 21.14 -1.236 64.44% -0.13 0.1881
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 462 14.94% 25.08 2.145 72.94% 0.873 0.3885
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4827 14.77% 28.68 3.331 90.12% 0.891 0.4383
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3952 19.03% 27.93 3.573 89.4% 1.048 0.5958
Finder of Paths Unseen 219 31.19% 14.74 -3.32 42.47% -0.816 -0.1496
Fractured Days Split the Sky 781 32.52% 25.02 -1.87 66.58% -0.734 -0.0559
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 953 34.63% 24.61 -1.319 71.35% -0.506 -0.4448
Heart of the Wildfire 4575 59.28% 20.73 0.967 69.9% 0.345 0.6053
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7286 25.19% 26.34 -0.144 86.49% 0.077 -0.3169
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 89 17.98% 27.06 2.537 75.28% 0.463 0.0674
Lightning's Swift Strike 7824 43.85% 22.41 -1.481 73.54% -0.307 -0.0535
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 224 34.08% 27.07 -0.045 75.0% 0.024 -0.5294
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 585 22.6% 28.62 2.642 85.3% 0.397 0.1614
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 416 35.02% 26.93 2.531 79.57% 0.461 0.2102
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1964 30.49% 26.5 0.151 82.33% -0.105 -0.4294
Many Minds Move as One 1306 23.22% 25.62 -0.316 80.63% -0.158 -0.3579
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7467 40.84% 23.48 0.275 76.8% 0.064 0.0361
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3236 29.22% 24.52 -0.171 81.21% -0.064 -0.2055
River Surges in Sunlight 8566 37.45% 24.47 -0.478 71.33% -0.281 -0.1644
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 697 36.21% 23.91 -2.579 62.55% -0.766 -0.4291
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 218 29.49% 26.88 0.682 67.43% -0.403 -0.551
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4199 31.98% 24.03 0.597 79.26% 0.121 -0.046
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4630 53.79% 21.09 -2.594 67.17% -0.665 -0.1211
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 70 31.88% 23.61 2.209 68.57% 0.425 0.511
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 65 16.92% 30.25 4.423 86.15% 0.761 0.3912
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 79 25.32% 23.56 1.029 63.29% 0.1 0.2658
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 519 27.8% 25.14 0.363 82.27% 0.234 0.2649
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 307 40.79% 23.54 -1.762 73.62% -0.477 -0.3059
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4944 24.93% 26.9 -0.291 85.15% -0.019 -0.1143
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 144 26.06% 22.57 2.342 61.81% 1.016 0.7756
Shifting Memory of Ages 826 37.21% 21.81 -2.474 65.98% -0.735 -0.357
Shroud of Silent Mist 1023 42.63% 21.95 -3.415 73.31% -1.063 -0.6923
Starlight Seeks its Form 1057 23.62% 26.15 -2.009 71.81% -0.654 -0.8603
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2085 23.82% 24.68 1.739 84.8% 0.726 0.0094
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2458 29.78% 24.18 0.015 76.81% -0.283 -0.1016
Thunderspeaker 8241 24.42% 26.72 0.081 82.49% 0.017 0.0314
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 116 23.28% 20.71 -1.085 51.72% -0.349 -0.2436
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1411 56.69% 20.43 -1.515 69.95% -0.244 -0.1036
Vital Strength of the Earth 6279 28.69% 21.28 -1.818 69.42% -0.499 0.0436
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 195 25.26% 23.36 0.409 65.64% 0.086 0.4237
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 380 30.61% 20.03 -1.032 60.0% -0.806 -0.0899
Volcano Looming High 1277 39.78% 22.76 -0.177 75.02% 0.141 0.1082
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 188 14.36% 25.43 1.642 70.74% 0.207 -0.2302

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 20 35.0% 23.5 1.043 70.0% 0.281 0.3327
Blitz 0 1200 38.57% 20.03 -0.847 65.5% -0.224 -0.0229
Dahan Insurrection 4 1043 22.11% 43.71 9.898 75.26% 0.454 0.2428
Despicable Theft 2 171 33.92% 26.24 -2.556 59.06% -1.436 -0.5911
Elemental Invocation 1 211 40.28% 22.19 -2.673 60.19% -0.738 0.3329
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2477 10.33% 31.42 4.44 83.85% 0.848 0.1236
Powers Long Forgotten 1 515 44.27% 26.05 -2.533 66.41% -1.031 -0.125
Rituals of Terror 3 653 45.13% 30.94 2.483 59.88% -0.435 -0.4046
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 338 63.02% 28.73 -6.534 55.03% -1.259 -0.0701
Second Wave 0 817 45.94% 25.45 3.35 63.04% -0.12 -0.0392
The Great River 3 179 41.34% 24.48 -3.774 45.25% -1.283 0.1045
Varied Terrains 2 96 33.33% 18.1 -5.142 36.46% -1.329 -0.4274
Ward the Shores 2 644 40.9% 26.04 -2.332 54.97% -1.061 -0.006

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 51671 37.14% 23.5 0.279 76.64% 0.738 0.7685
1 Thematic 4803 40.85% 29.31 0.538 69.91% 0.35 0.782
2 Archipelago 33 48.48% 33.18 6.233 78.79% 0.57 1.0633
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11343 32.0% 23.48 -0.92 78.31% 0.167 0.1185
2 Coastline 1169 32.54% 23.63 0.545 78.96% 0.731 0.6309
2 Fragment 278 35.04% 22.45 -1.215 75.9% -0.585 -0.9979
2 Heart 159 38.22% 22.36 0.573 76.73% 0.762 0.6723
2 Opposite Shores 1506 30.85% 24.61 3.042 84.86% 1.168 0.9885
2 Thematic 1115 37.26% 30.16 -1.533 68.07% -0.388 -0.2011
2 Top to Top 253 30.52% 24.2 2.027 79.45% 0.272 0.0725
3 Archipelago 15 33.33% 27.73 5.252 73.33% 0.631 -0.4902
3 Coastline 20 30.0% 26.1 10.111 80.0% 0.254 -0.4077
3 Other 126 30.08% 21.87 -3.857 74.6% -0.074 -0.4079
3 Round (Default) 4776 20.17% 26.44 1.964 86.16% 0.342 0.0758
3 Sunrise 16 18.75% 24.0 0.0 81.25%
3 Thematic 232 33.62% 29.4 -0.387 62.93% -0.351 -0.7972
4 Archipelago 19 47.37% 27.47 1.862 68.42% -0.13 -0.6869
4 Coastline 20 22.22% 27.6 0.0 80.0%
4 Leaf 6 0.0% 29.5 0.0 83.33%
4 Other 68 26.47% 19.71 -2.877 66.18% -0.074 -0.811
4 Thematic 291 23.37% 31.64 -2.166 74.91% -0.367 -0.1631
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1720 23.4% 23.75 -2.732 76.45% -1.384 -1.0433
5 Archipelago 7 85.71% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 60 28.33% 25.1 1.497 81.67% -0.198 -0.9191
5 Thematic 10 60.0% 28.5 0.063 40.0% -0.353 -0.1923
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 20.0 6.894 50.0% 0.016 -0.473
6 Other 10 40.0% 35.3 7.12 80.0% 0.116 0.5563
6 Star 17 29.41% 24.53 0.659 82.35% 0.006 0.3039
6 Thematic 43 13.95% 27.02 13.66 48.84% 0.135 0.1598
6 Two Centers (Default) 92 11.96% 24.15 0.982 58.7% -1.325 -1.2276
7 Other 4 0.0% 28.0 4.437 50.0% 0.042 -1.3739

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1673 19.42 -0.024 62.46% 0.292 0.4306
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1400 20.43 0.451 63.64% -0.155 -0.2145
All Things Weaken 810 19.75 -0.515 58.27% -0.449 -0.0946
Attenuated Essence 61 19.31 1.38 60.66% 0.547 0.6581
Back Against the Wall 1391 19.24 2.693 57.87% 0.748 0.8239
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 77 20.48 0.127 57.14% 0.077 0.2878
Burn Brightest Before the End 51 18.43 0.246 47.06% -0.137 -0.0161
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1638 16.1 -1.155 54.82% -0.259 0.1097
Downward Spiral 6280 16.64 -1.579 58.01% -0.285 -0.088
Erosion of Will 1711 18.5 0.1 58.33% -0.554 -0.2869
Intensifying Exploitation 58 18.31 -0.135 46.55% -0.217 0.0528
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 329 24.09 0.448 84.19% 0.171 -0.3404
Memory Fades to Dust 6203 16.34 -2.222 53.83% -0.436 -0.1242
Power Corrodes the Spirit 800 18.6 0.233 59.13% -0.127 0.1677
Promising Farmlands 1632 17.75 -2.21 59.87% -0.423 -0.0866
Shattered Fragments of Power 55 18.78 0.866 45.45% 0.543 0.652
Slow Dissolution of Will 74 16.47 0.657 43.24% 0.267 0.667
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 269 24.96 1.911 89.96% 0.467 -0.146
The Border of Life and Death 29 16.52 1.091 51.72% 0.269 -0.0236
Thriving Communities 767 17.86 -2.313 55.54% -0.791 -0.4582
Thriving Crops 28 16.18 -3.41 46.43% -0.685 -0.772
Tipping Point 618 17.72 0.0 59.71%
Unnatural Proliferation 805 18.59 0.205 51.8% -0.012 0.1361
Untended Land Crumbles 793 19.46 1.704 62.8% 0.285 0.5918

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 18855 34.12% 23.38 -0.322 76.85% -0.568 0.3368
B 19407 32.7% 23.86 -0.138 78.57% -0.506 0.3224
C 19172 32.58% 23.85 0.41 77.92% -0.461 0.2191
D 18524 33.07% 23.71 -0.624 78.27% -0.649 0.2046
E 5860 27.87% 25.28 0.3 79.88% -0.571 0.1302
F 8034 30.03% 24.45 -0.607 79.84% -0.584 0.1975
G 7393 31.32% 24.36 -0.53 79.56% -0.728 0.0441
H 7544 30.5% 24.68 0.523 80.73% -0.174 0.5942
East 3968 37.04% 30.53 0.347 69.78% -0.644 0.2183
Northeast 2364 36.48% 30.49 0.716 69.63% -0.737 0.0101
Northwest 1771 35.66% 30.69 1.089 71.65% -0.407 0.4265
Southeast 515 29.71% 28.02 1.411 66.02% -0.304 0.4714
Southwest 478 33.47% 22.05 -3.633 56.07% -1.375 -0.0562
West 3385 38.95% 29.14 -0.425 67.65% -1.096 -0.0895

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1179 0.0% 20.64 0.083 64.63% -0.034 0.7967
Not Using Events or Tokens 21040 40.5% 21.89 -1.525 70.5% -0.555 -0.1145
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1141 11.73% 32.99 1.477 87.38% -0.272 -0.8342
Start of Game Growth 1916 14.43% 31.46 3.159 88.05% 0.909 0.3698
Unlimited Undo 4775 27.0% 26.28 -0.404 82.72% -0.284 -0.2431
Using Tokens but Not Events 7660 22.33% 26.39 -0.547 84.56% -0.214 -0.2376

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10419 16.23 23.54%
II 26592 30.54 74.21%
III 28414 34.77 87.95%
IV 14525 38.37 99.1%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.035 Win Model: 1.023
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 56850 37.43% 23.97 75.88%
2 15663 32.47% 24.2 78.8%
3 5104 20.83% 26.36 85.13%
4 2111 23.4% 24.81 75.98%
5 56 35.71% 23.61 76.79%
6 166 14.46% 25.74 60.24%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2448
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 24324
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18821
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14242
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4239
Lose: Invader deck ran out 792
Lose: Adversary condition 3927
Win: Sacrifice victory 311
Lose: Scenario condition 537
Win: Scenario condition 1426
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8335
Lose: Spirit destroyed 548

The Kingdom of England — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5571 21.45% 33.85 1.9 82.09% 0.457 0.3544
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2434 52.03% 30.67 -0.5 71.77% 0.146 0.3066
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 46 39.13% 33.09 1.694 82.61% 0.215 -0.6208
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2051 33.84% 32.82 3.035 80.84% 0.794 0.6623
Downpour Drenches the World 381 25.59% 29.08 0.527 70.08% 0.284 0.6021
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 380 24.74% 30.1 0.968 71.58% 0.122 -0.3629
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2806 21.76% 36.36 3.722 84.6% 1.001 0.5483
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2615 27.95% 35.78 2.288 86.04% 0.587 0.1346
Finder of Paths Unseen 182 43.02% 18.63 -5.275 42.31% -1.19 -0.5237
Fractured Days Split the Sky 547 38.46% 31.61 -2.108 65.63% -0.56 0.1177
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 681 44.64% 31.41 1.063 72.1% 0.159 0.221
Heart of the Wildfire 2987 64.42% 27.38 -2.735 64.65% -0.513 -0.2534
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4829 36.35% 32.92 2.802 80.78% 0.7 0.306
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 72 43.06% 28.86 1.521 69.44% 0.281 -0.114
Lightning's Swift Strike 4495 43.61% 31.11 0.904 73.39% 0.298 0.552
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 184 46.15% 32.63 1.476 76.63% 0.084 -0.4694
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 442 26.3% 36.99 2.97 85.97% 0.812 0.5766
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 299 37.12% 31.69 1.528 71.57% 0.267 0.0155
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1405 40.3% 33.12 1.775 78.08% 0.567 0.2428
Many Minds Move as One 934 26.13% 33.46 -0.475 79.55% -0.176 -0.3762
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4369 49.89% 30.3 -1.135 71.46% -0.15 -0.1785
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2034 39.41% 30.66 -0.702 73.99% 0.08 -0.0619
River Surges in Sunlight 5061 44.09% 30.15 -0.232 63.09% -0.211 -0.0939
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 490 47.64% 29.18 0.357 56.33% 0.137 0.4741
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 168 44.05% 31.63 1.468 61.9% 0.235 0.0869
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2582 34.04% 32.29 0.414 79.43% -0.057 -0.2243
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2467 61.19% 27.35 -3.137 58.49% -0.628 -0.0839
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 55 49.09% 31.02 -3.316 56.36% -0.687 -0.6011
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 55 45.45% 30.45 3.019 67.27% 0.538 0.1688
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 47 40.43% 29.47 0.24 68.09% -0.014 0.1515
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 280 42.65% 30.6 -0.188 75.36% 0.07 0.1012
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 174 61.27% 27.34 1.627 59.2% 0.274 0.4442
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2920 34.53% 33.87 -0.672 79.45% 0.002 -0.0936
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 130 20.63% 31.33 0.803 69.23% -0.175 -0.4157
Shifting Memory of Ages 545 44.94% 28.49 -0.962 69.36% 0.017 0.3956
Shroud of Silent Mist 696 51.8% 27.47 -1.585 66.67% 0.019 0.3901
Starlight Seeks its Form 758 28.44% 30.91 -4.514 72.69% -0.909 -1.1155
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1599 28.69% 31.56 -1.329 78.61% -0.128 -0.8442
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1386 48.18% 27.59 -4.491 58.37% -1.063 -0.8811
Thunderspeaker 4678 31.35% 34.78 1.14 79.67% 0.15 0.1643
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 86 36.05% 20.86 -7.699 44.19% -1.412 -1.3065
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 928 67.03% 27.71 0.822 69.94% 0.839 0.979
Vital Strength of the Earth 3416 38.11% 28.21 -2.084 64.99% -0.239 0.3036
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 112 36.36% 26.72 -5.51 58.04% -0.838 -0.4997
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 225 34.67% 25.8 -6.273 58.67% -0.459 0.2571
Volcano Looming High 947 45.84% 27.73 -0.693 68.74% 0.107 0.0744
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 133 31.58% 30.19 2.667 69.92% 0.577 0.1395

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 21 19.05% 16.05 -9.745 33.33% -1.53 -1.4781
Blitz 0 923 40.55% 27.64 -3.598 65.11% -0.911 -0.7104
Dahan Insurrection 4 660 28.77% 51.99 7.115 72.73% 0.396 0.1845
Despicable Theft 2 121 40.5% 28.79 -3.035 48.76% -1.497 -0.6524
Elemental Invocation 1 153 49.67% 24.88 -1.698 52.29% -0.573 0.4975
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1703 11.34% 36.96 3.149 76.39% 0.03 -0.6951
Powers Long Forgotten 1 380 56.46% 31.4 1.538 59.74% 0.054 0.9604
Rituals of Terror 3 342 42.52% 32.27 -2.539 50.29% -0.953 -0.9233
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 177 67.8% 38.03 -1.942 61.02% -0.341 0.8479
Second Wave 0 2727 44.36% 32.25 -0.565 67.95% -0.468 -0.3874
The Great River 3 90 46.67% 26.56 -8.268 36.67% -1.713 -0.3259
Varied Terrains 2 56 42.86% 21.36 -4.9 35.71% -1.276 -0.3745
Ward the Shores 2 460 52.61% 31.6 -4.076 49.35% -1.222 -0.167

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 30714 40.6% 30.46 -0.163 72.98% 0.318 0.3486
1 Thematic 3492 47.11% 35.45 -0.707 67.04% -0.058 0.3742
2 Archipelago 20 45.0% 35.65 2.838 55.0% 0.085 0.5778
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6690 39.69% 30.54 0.766 74.93% 0.273 0.2238
2 Coastline 731 40.41% 29.27 -0.988 72.64% 0.03 -0.0703
2 Fragment 233 53.48% 28.65 1.448 71.67% 0.481 0.0682
2 Heart 121 36.97% 28.91 -6.769 71.9% -0.606 -0.6956
2 Opposite Shores 1329 37.3% 31.44 1.153 77.8% 0.247 0.067
2 Thematic 1029 44.57% 36.46 -0.545 67.44% 0.354 0.5404
2 Top to Top 215 46.73% 30.12 3.616 74.42% 0.915 0.715
3 Archipelago 7 42.86% 46.29 10.421 85.71% 0.575 -0.5461
3 Coastline 16 31.25% 31.38 0.353 68.75% -0.196 -0.8574
3 Other 101 33.0% 30.16 -1.752 75.25% -0.225 -0.5589
3 Round (Default) 2731 32.31% 32.44 -0.5 77.15% -0.64 -0.9063
3 Sunrise 12 36.36% 33.08 4.885 83.33% 0.374 0.8851
3 Thematic 254 39.13% 36.42 -2.363 68.11% -0.164 -0.6103
4 Archipelago 12 33.33% 53.08 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 7 57.14% 30.0 5.156 57.14% 0.518 -0.1003
4 Leaf 9 11.11% 34.67 0.0 88.89%
4 Other 31 38.71% 33.61 -1.75 77.42% -0.463 -1.2
4 Thematic 233 38.36% 40.03 -1.342 71.67% -0.161 0.0423
4 Trapezoid (Default) 918 32.67% 31.98 -3.105 76.25% -1.623 -1.2831
5 Archipelago 5 40.0% 43.8 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 42 30.95% 29.62 -0.851 66.67% -0.288 -1.0087
5 Thematic 9 33.33% 38.0 4.161 66.67% 0.145 0.3051
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 44.0 4.701 100.0% 0.049 -0.4402
6 Other 4 25.0% 28.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 2 0.0% 36.5 6.677 100.0% 0.145 0.4431
6 Thematic 47 23.4% 43.0 3.602 68.09% -0.444 -0.4189
6 Two Centers (Default) 37 29.73% 33.84 6.208 78.38% 0.655 0.7533
7 Other 2 50.0% 37.5 2.689 50.0% 0.022 -1.3939

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1386 25.25 0.027 54.91% -0.151 -0.0125
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1148 27.13 1.055 59.32% 0.26 0.2013
All Things Weaken 644 25.38 -0.995 56.06% -0.48 -0.1249
Attenuated Essence 60 26.07 -1.746 58.33% -0.46 -0.3495
Back Against the Wall 1106 25.98 1.604 55.97% 0.22 0.296
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 50 19.22 -0.973 42.0% -0.343 -0.1318
Burn Brightest Before the End 53 27.68 -3.138 60.38% -0.927 -0.806
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1243 22.61 -1.155 51.57% -0.639 -0.2708
Downward Spiral 3790 23.91 -1.696 57.28% -0.267 -0.0707
Erosion of Will 1294 24.58 -0.761 53.25% -0.296 -0.0289
Intensifying Exploitation 54 23.81 1.015 57.41% 0.09 0.3605
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 246 31.76 2.201 82.93% -0.168 -0.6795
Memory Fades to Dust 3837 23.2 -2.853 52.25% -0.602 -0.29
Power Corrodes the Spirit 659 25.58 -1.162 60.55% -0.3 -0.0056
Promising Farmlands 1301 23.45 -2.541 53.5% -0.375 -0.0389
Shattered Fragments of Power 51 24.29 -1.105 50.98% -0.408 -0.2996
Slow Dissolution of Will 66 24.3 -0.576 54.55% -0.025 0.3751
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 178 32.38 -1.319 87.08% -0.368 -0.9809
The Border of Life and Death 14 22.14 -1.612 50.0% 0.021 -0.2715
Thriving Communities 550 24.03 -1.977 54.18% -0.596 -0.2632
Thriving Crops 28 26.0 10.497 64.29% 1.184 1.0976
Tipping Point 494 24.82 0.0 55.87%
Unnatural Proliferation 672 25.52 1.113 52.53% -0.546 -0.3984
Untended Land Crumbles 618 25.03 1.184 58.25% 0.243 0.5495

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11144 40.37% 30.39 -0.285 72.93% -0.114 0.7913
B 11371 37.85% 30.96 1.009 74.59% 0.119 0.9476
C 11560 37.9% 31.02 -0.004 74.73% -0.102 0.5783
D 10874 39.23% 30.78 -0.787 74.5% -0.193 0.6605
E 3684 38.02% 31.04 -0.341 74.67% -0.238 0.4628
F 4780 37.94% 31.08 0.303 75.33% -0.097 0.6845
G 4500 40.48% 30.82 0.783 73.91% 0.006 0.778
H 4719 37.11% 31.36 1.203 75.23% 0.209 0.9775
East 3180 43.69% 37.54 1.071 69.34% -0.051 0.8109
Northeast 1779 42.9% 38.0 -0.267 70.32% -0.562 0.1845
Northwest 1456 42.53% 37.68 1.536 70.05% -0.053 0.7802
Southeast 480 40.0% 33.26 1.782 62.29% 0.16 0.9352
Southwest 463 46.0% 28.71 -3.942 57.67% -0.992 0.327
West 2818 46.63% 35.47 -2.779 65.83% -0.928 0.078

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 620 0.0% 27.15 1.105 59.35% -0.133 0.698
Not Using Events or Tokens 10792 40.63% 29.33 -0.254 68.62% -0.026 0.4147
Skip Initial Invader Actions 713 12.86% 43.03 5.416 89.06% 1.314 0.7521
Start of Game Growth 1092 15.26% 41.31 2.838 88.1% 0.149 -0.3895
Unlimited Undo 3362 33.89% 32.3 -2.217 78.05% -0.479 -0.4377
Using Tokens but Not Events 4375 29.46% 33.34 0.637 80.23% 0.362 0.3385

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6233 16.23 19.67%
II 18072 30.54 67.03%
III 15522 34.77 85.99%
IV 9256 38.37 99.28%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.297 Win Model: 0.411
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 34408 41.3% 30.93 72.21%
2 10298 40.48% 31.2 74.49%
3 3055 31.98% 32.88 77.28%
4 1188 33.7% 33.68 76.01%
5 43 25.58% 31.26 65.12%
6 91 25.27% 38.34 71.43%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1221
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12990
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11471
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9084
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2617
Lose: Invader deck ran out 408
Lose: Adversary condition 3015
Win: Sacrifice victory 212
Lose: Scenario condition 441
Win: Scenario condition 897
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6386
Lose: Spirit destroyed 341

The Kingdom of England — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5634 33.33% 34.13 1.761 72.17% 0.612 0.5096
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3347 65.36% 29.54 -1.284 57.78% -0.296 -0.136
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 105 30.48% 34.81 6.388 67.62% 1.279 0.4436
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2882 43.37% 33.49 1.156 73.66% 0.466 0.3341
Downpour Drenches the World 527 27.62% 30.14 -0.064 62.24% -0.211 0.1074
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 716 34.27% 31.51 2.481 68.3% 0.606 0.1216
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3663 33.1% 36.14 4.22 76.66% 0.952 0.4985
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3522 40.11% 35.91 2.717 77.06% 0.713 0.2607
Finder of Paths Unseen 221 49.77% 20.24 -3.322 36.2% -0.669 -0.0023
Fractured Days Split the Sky 696 44.24% 33.27 -2.373 61.78% -0.412 0.2658
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 815 55.17% 31.46 0.097 65.77% 0.122 0.1836
Heart of the Wildfire 3980 81.11% 22.26 -4.882 42.34% -0.955 -0.695
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10569 35.49% 34.49 1.156 76.32% 0.323 -0.0708
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 128 36.72% 25.84 -1.136 56.25% -0.114 -0.5091
Lightning's Swift Strike 5518 60.0% 28.93 -1.464 57.58% 0.09 0.3434
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 292 50.0% 31.15 1.088 67.47% 0.204 -0.3501
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 610 48.6% 36.08 3.258 74.26% 0.607 0.3709
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 415 50.24% 32.87 -5.46 63.61% -0.429 -0.6799
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2198 55.63% 30.83 0.088 65.47% 0.191 -0.1334
Many Minds Move as One 1311 33.28% 34.46 -0.797 73.3% 0.026 -0.1741
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6271 58.8% 31.55 0.071 65.6% 0.242 0.2144
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2649 48.25% 31.47 0.346 66.44% 0.338 0.1962
River Surges in Sunlight 5834 57.39% 30.06 -0.316 52.52% -0.319 -0.2019
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 609 55.92% 30.54 -0.028 53.53% 0.027 0.3641
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 302 48.81% 29.85 1.875 50.99% 0.255 0.1067
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4004 43.43% 32.84 1.804 69.61% 0.541 0.3736
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2324 76.66% 23.29 -4.347 37.56% -1.267 -0.7234
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 52 53.85% 25.92 -2.598 42.31% -0.61 -0.5247
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 83 62.65% 28.17 -1.359 60.24% -0.346 -0.7158
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 62 59.68% 24.9 -5.675 38.71% -0.83 -0.6648
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 281 64.29% 29.36 -1.899 60.85% -0.283 -0.2515
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 189 71.43% 25.5 -0.343 46.03% 0.277 0.4475
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3383 45.24% 33.55 -1.344 70.03% -0.127 -0.2226
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 140 37.86% 24.09 -0.194 50.0% 0.018 -0.2226
Shifting Memory of Ages 900 56.22% 30.33 0.708 66.0% 0.495 0.8737
Shroud of Silent Mist 931 67.93% 26.69 -2.087 56.07% -0.289 0.0815
Starlight Seeks its Form 1001 44.48% 29.86 0.23 62.44% -0.054 -0.2606
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2387 37.64% 32.7 0.81 76.67% 0.424 -0.293
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1614 63.14% 25.59 -2.175 46.59% -0.538 -0.3562
Thunderspeaker 5211 49.26% 32.25 -0.417 63.86% 0.173 0.187
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 100 44.0% 25.98 -2.015 55.0% -0.169 -0.0638
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1552 78.4% 28.36 0.37 63.85% 0.004 0.1447
Vital Strength of the Earth 4666 41.19% 29.64 -1.757 60.01% -0.4 0.1418
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 167 41.82% 24.23 -1.932 47.31% -0.538 -0.2004
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 326 48.47% 25.95 -0.445 46.93% -0.31 0.4063
Volcano Looming High 1688 62.82% 28.07 -0.053 61.79% 0.076 0.0437
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 248 41.94% 29.83 2.096 60.48% 0.383 -0.0546

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 26 19.23% 22.08 -2.597 46.15% -0.36 -0.3088
Blitz 0 948 49.68% 28.64 -2.119 56.22% -0.323 -0.1223
Dahan Insurrection 4 678 40.68% 44.54 8.056 52.36% 0.282 0.0711
Despicable Theft 2 59 57.63% 24.03 -2.683 33.9% -0.331 0.5134
Elemental Invocation 1 193 53.37% 23.41 -5.716 39.38% -1.204 -0.1329
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2505 13.87% 38.57 4.803 73.21% 0.588 -0.1369
Powers Long Forgotten 1 329 65.85% 27.12 -9.188 44.07% -1.897 -0.9907
Rituals of Terror 3 243 60.49% 34.36 -2.067 41.98% -0.619 -0.5891
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 173 72.83% 31.88 -10.251 40.46% -1.684 -0.4949
Second Wave 0 1739 56.69% 30.75 1.826 53.65% -0.246 -0.1652
The Great River 3 87 47.13% 31.17 -3.626 40.23% -0.745 0.6428
Varied Terrains 2 32 62.5% 13.66 -11.893 9.38% -0.968 -0.0664
Ward the Shores 2 380 53.42% 32.78 -3.079 44.74% -0.574 0.4808

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 43746 49.83% 30.87 0.026 66.01% 0.56 0.5903
1 Thematic 3012 57.45% 32.75 -0.941 51.53% -0.209 0.2227
2 Archipelago 29 55.17% 32.14 -0.676 31.03% -0.274 0.2188
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9082 53.43% 29.96 0.011 63.12% 0.426 0.3773
2 Coastline 976 44.09% 32.24 0.244 70.7% 0.595 0.4943
2 Fragment 245 53.69% 29.0 -4.264 59.18% -0.226 -0.6391
2 Heart 150 54.0% 29.73 -0.907 63.33% -0.295 -0.3841
2 Opposite Shores 1916 48.71% 31.92 2.623 67.28% 0.739 0.559
2 Thematic 1165 52.97% 32.76 -1.695 51.07% -0.62 -0.4335
2 Top to Top 278 57.55% 30.42 -3.238 64.75% -0.382 -0.5819
3 Archipelago 6 83.33% 39.83 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 11 18.18% 24.27 1.137 36.36% 0.518 -0.1437
3 Other 122 48.36% 31.96 -3.581 68.03% -0.291 -0.6245
3 Round (Default) 3308 46.8% 31.72 0.016 65.21% -0.023 -0.2888
3 Sunrise 11 36.36% 35.55 -13.888 81.82% -0.551 -0.0404
3 Thematic 234 57.26% 35.45 -4.519 52.14% -0.384 -0.8309
4 Archipelago 7 42.86% 63.57 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 42.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 10 40.0% 20.8 -8.464 30.0% -1.859 -1.0128
4 Other 65 58.46% 33.98 8.976 73.85% 0.897 0.1595
4 Thematic 379 48.55% 36.23 1.675 55.41% 0.287 0.4906
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1457 40.77% 33.08 0.502 68.22% 0.325 0.6656
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 -10.404 0.0% -0.283 -0.8114
5 Other 78 44.87% 32.9 -2.062 69.23% -0.387 -1.1082
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 78.33 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 2 50.0% 20.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 51.0 7.612 100.0% 0.171 -0.3182
6 Other 13 38.46% 27.92 0.0 46.15%
6 Star 12 41.67% 24.25 0.0 41.67%
6 Thematic 50 28.57% 39.24 5.114 64.0% 0.038 0.0629
6 Two Centers (Default) 49 28.57% 33.76 0.455 67.35% 0.342 0.4397
7 Other 3 66.67% 36.0 0.0 33.33%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2412 26.82 0.708 53.11% 0.27 0.4085
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1992 29.16 0.964 57.63% -0.153 -0.2121
All Things Weaken 1156 26.72 1.02 53.11% 0.087 0.4413
Attenuated Essence 110 25.66 1.21 51.82% 0.3 0.4115
Back Against the Wall 1888 27.58 0.36 52.38% -0.089 -0.0129
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 125 23.0 1.642 42.4% 0.119 0.3296
Burn Brightest Before the End 104 29.1 0.948 55.77% 0.01 0.1309
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2288 24.42 -1.448 50.48% -0.303 0.0656
Downward Spiral 5784 24.66 -1.174 48.86% -0.134 0.0621
Erosion of Will 2281 26.08 2.358 49.8% 0.351 0.6182
Intensifying Exploitation 138 21.96 -2.365 45.65% -0.382 -0.1114
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 479 33.92 1.333 78.5% 0.247 -0.2639
Memory Fades to Dust 5953 24.34 -0.534 46.46% -0.105 0.207
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1177 26.63 -0.494 54.8% -0.2 0.0944
Promising Farmlands 2255 25.81 0.102 53.04% 0.203 0.539
Shattered Fragments of Power 102 28.94 2.119 50.98% -0.047 0.0618
Slow Dissolution of Will 119 22.54 -4.521 43.7% -1.188 -0.7876
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 309 35.04 6.041 80.58% 1.047 0.434
The Border of Life and Death 43 26.28 -2.919 51.16% -0.402 -0.6948
Thriving Communities 1143 24.29 -2.091 47.33% -0.46 -0.1272
Thriving Crops 68 22.49 -1.177 48.53% -0.258 -0.3448
Tipping Point 850 24.86 0.0 47.76%
Unnatural Proliferation 1253 26.99 -0.262 51.72% -0.247 -0.0988
Untended Land Crumbles 1117 25.7 -1.547 52.82% -0.222 0.0846

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14362 51.93% 30.29 -0.592 63.08% -0.351 0.5544
B 15061 50.18% 30.68 0.027 64.25% -0.271 0.5576
C 16387 48.17% 31.57 0.187 66.61% -0.208 0.4721
D 13821 50.91% 30.49 -0.391 64.32% -0.282 0.5713
E 5783 45.8% 32.28 1.664 69.5% 0.076 0.7773
F 7523 48.86% 31.06 -0.008 66.6% -0.23 0.5512
G 6640 49.78% 31.01 -0.008 66.39% -0.356 0.4153
H 7154 46.31% 31.84 0.226 67.71% -0.351 0.4178
East 3154 53.58% 34.67 -1.28 53.46% -0.566 0.2956
Northeast 1911 51.58% 34.68 -0.881 52.12% -0.481 0.2653
Northwest 1508 54.81% 34.03 0.715 52.79% 0.277 1.1099
Southeast 465 47.69% 33.93 2.047 57.42% 0.12 0.8959
Southwest 445 47.27% 27.25 -0.855 46.74% -0.151 1.1678
West 2789 55.8% 32.42 -1.092 49.62% -0.426 0.5798

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 569 0.0% 27.56 -4.121 49.56% -0.747 0.0838
Not Using Events or Tokens 10518 56.42% 26.9 -1.874 50.95% -0.55 -0.1086
Skip Initial Invader Actions 765 18.81% 44.22 5.641 81.96% 0.634 0.0719
Start of Game Growth 1196 20.07% 42.88 5.619 83.53% 1.222 0.6828
Unlimited Undo 4956 46.45% 32.1 -0.482 68.3% -0.052 -0.0111
Using Tokens but Not Events 6324 40.53% 33.2 1.42 72.66% 0.221 0.1976

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11629 16.23 5.25%
II 20059 30.54 52.46%
III 20926 34.77 86.37%
IV 13861 38.37 99.34%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.202 Win Model: 0.274
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 46983 50.29% 30.98 65.03%
2 13743 52.32% 30.7 63.31%
3 3657 47.46% 31.9 64.23%
4 1907 42.45% 33.88 66.33%
5 55 40.0% 28.15 54.55%
6 130 31.78% 34.38 60.77%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 609
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 17703
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10130
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 13625
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3521
Lose: Invader deck ran out 476
Lose: Adversary condition 7187
Win: Sacrifice victory 252
Lose: Scenario condition 776
Win: Scenario condition 658
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10940
Lose: Spirit destroyed 598

The Kingdom of England — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6246 42.39% 36.07 1.762 57.27% 0.503 0.4
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3205 73.35% 31.11 -0.961 43.96% -0.315 -0.1544
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 131 50.38% 34.31 3.192 58.02% 0.471 -0.3648
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2704 58.6% 34.22 1.376 55.33% 0.347 0.2156
Downpour Drenches the World 617 43.86% 28.68 0.444 42.79% 0.153 0.4709
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 973 47.07% 32.76 2.679 54.78% 0.436 -0.049
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3541 43.02% 38.31 3.558 62.75% 0.791 0.3376
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4106 49.82% 39.21 4.356 65.51% 0.913 0.4608
Finder of Paths Unseen 207 52.66% 21.58 -3.809 26.57% -0.503 0.1634
Fractured Days Split the Sky 889 51.08% 35.94 -2.077 47.13% -0.468 0.2104
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 930 63.78% 32.77 -0.692 48.71% -0.063 -0.0019
Heart of the Wildfire 3803 83.91% 22.79 -4.066 25.69% -0.965 -0.7054
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8332 52.06% 36.97 2.072 60.77% 0.479 0.085
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 167 51.5% 28.29 1.327 46.71% 0.382 -0.0131
Lightning's Swift Strike 5793 66.93% 30.88 -1.755 44.61% -0.234 0.0193
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 457 61.56% 36.28 1.679 57.99% 0.216 -0.3379
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 512 56.75% 37.69 -1.442 61.91% -0.192 -0.4274
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 623 52.09% 34.6 -0.217 51.85% 0.186 -0.0653
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2825 69.11% 31.89 0.398 49.2% 0.183 -0.1413
Many Minds Move as One 1173 43.43% 38.28 3.927 63.26% 0.71 0.5102
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7234 63.97% 34.59 -1.532 55.45% -0.071 -0.0992
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2783 56.51% 31.87 -3.349 47.47% -0.566 -0.7074
River Surges in Sunlight 5688 61.53% 32.93 -1.533 43.44% -0.337 -0.2202
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 596 66.28% 31.4 -4.57 44.46% -1.052 -0.7149
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 391 54.55% 30.24 0.224 40.15% 0.031 -0.1166
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5027 50.22% 36.56 2.634 59.04% 0.828 0.6606
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1694 78.75% 23.75 -3.341 22.9% -0.667 -0.1234
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 54 62.96% 26.54 -4.061 33.33% -1.002 -0.9163
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 91 65.93% 26.45 -3.993 43.96% -0.608 -0.9778
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 58 65.52% 26.76 -2.982 31.03% -0.77 -0.6042
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 253 74.7% 31.39 1.382 45.85% 0.315 0.3458
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 157 76.13% 24.66 -4.687 27.39% -0.998 -0.8276
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3276 55.81% 34.28 -1.644 52.2% -0.176 -0.2711
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 180 46.11% 28.88 -0.292 45.0% 0.148 -0.0929
Shifting Memory of Ages 1091 61.55% 32.3 2.641 51.97% 0.589 0.9672
Shroud of Silent Mist 1001 72.36% 29.82 -2.166 46.05% -0.264 0.1065
Starlight Seeks its Form 1527 46.56% 33.05 0.373 52.46% 0.09 -0.1162
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3795 45.51% 37.45 5.06 63.61% 1.227 0.5101
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1275 68.58% 28.28 0.274 36.71% 0.128 0.31
Thunderspeaker 5619 59.98% 34.15 -2.754 51.52% -0.332 -0.3184
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 106 56.6% 27.71 -1.521 39.62% 0.105 0.2104
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1825 84.67% 32.27 1.967 54.25% 0.359 0.4994
Vital Strength of the Earth 3552 55.83% 29.39 -2.841 39.19% -0.263 0.279
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 279 53.48% 26.21 -2.194 39.43% 0.007 0.3448
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 295 66.78% 29.17 1.629 41.02% 0.38 1.0966
Volcano Looming High 2111 69.93% 29.68 -2.521 48.74% -0.313 -0.3456
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 322 53.73% 29.36 1.127 43.79% 0.039 -0.3981

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 13 38.46% 22.62 -8.506 30.77% -0.239 -0.187
Blitz 0 614 48.4% 33.21 -6.38 47.88% -0.78 -0.5788
Dahan Insurrection 4 573 45.66% 47.75 3.787 43.28% -0.418 -0.6294
Despicable Theft 2 48 52.08% 24.83 -5.437 25.0% -0.692 0.1529
Elemental Invocation 1 134 64.93% 29.24 -7.602 34.33% -1.092 -0.0205
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2469 20.24% 40.8 4.185 59.25% 0.449 -0.2752
Powers Long Forgotten 1 194 69.59% 30.15 1.958 33.51% 0.461 1.367
Rituals of Terror 3 173 69.77% 34.75 -2.629 29.48% -0.624 -0.5934
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 65 83.08% 33.85 -6.308 32.31% -0.955 0.2332
Second Wave 0 869 55.92% 35.07 5.231 47.3% 0.521 0.6021
The Great River 3 61 52.46% 29.39 -12.399 22.95% -1.132 0.2555
Varied Terrains 2 26 57.69% 15.31 -2.649 7.69% -0.636 0.2651
Ward the Shores 2 197 62.44% 32.61 -6.11 32.99% -0.41 0.6449

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 43159 62.09% 32.91 0.131 52.07% 0.213 0.2434
1 Thematic 2200 59.6% 36.64 -3.913 44.36% -0.638 -0.2057
2 Archipelago 23 43.48% 39.52 -8.701 52.17% -0.342 0.151
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9294 60.56% 32.87 0.822 51.41% 0.256 0.2067
2 Coastline 1274 55.92% 33.99 -0.498 55.34% 0.172 0.0713
2 Fragment 223 64.57% 32.43 -12.311 49.33% -0.298 -0.7109
2 Heart 137 72.06% 35.09 1.177 56.93% 0.171 0.0813
2 Opposite Shores 2043 60.46% 31.93 -1.086 47.58% -0.266 -0.4457
2 Thematic 750 63.84% 34.23 -3.112 36.13% -0.594 -0.4071
2 Top to Top 379 60.21% 35.09 -0.178 56.46% 0.091 -0.1083
3 Archipelago 4 75.0% 48.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 14 50.0% 38.86 -0.495 57.14% -0.139 -0.8008
3 Other 144 44.06% 37.83 4.536 62.5% 1.136 0.8017
3 Round (Default) 3956 53.77% 33.63 -0.121 51.77% 0.192 -0.074
3 Sunrise 26 57.69% 40.62 0.0 61.54%
3 Thematic 178 65.73% 34.2 5.805 30.34% 0.304 -0.1427
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 20.33 -9.675 33.33% -0.304 -0.9225
4 Leaf 4 50.0% 26.75 0.0 25.0%
4 Other 77 56.58% 34.55 1.292 55.84% 0.03 -0.7073
4 Snake 4 75.0% 32.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 349 49.86% 37.06 -3.655 40.4% -0.169 0.0342
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2021 46.03% 35.59 0.474 54.43% 0.13 0.4705
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -12.123 0.0% -0.398 -0.9257
5 Other 69 44.78% 39.0 -0.996 59.42% 0.195 -0.5263
5 Thematic 17 17.65% 36.35 2.48 35.29% -0.057 0.1032
6 Archipelago 5 20.0% 44.2 0.0 60.0%
6 Other 19 26.32% 39.26 0.0 47.37%
6 Star 17 41.18% 40.76 -7.206 47.06% -0.562 -0.2644
6 Thematic 54 33.33% 34.72 -4.188 20.37% 0.088 0.1129
6 Two Centers (Default) 73 39.73% 32.42 -0.9 46.58% 0.243 0.3404
7 Other 3 33.33% 7.67 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2864 30.07 2.686 42.14% 0.338 0.4763
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2328 32.71 2.353 47.29% 0.111 0.0519
All Things Weaken 1549 31.39 -0.851 46.74% -0.483 -0.1287
Attenuated Essence 176 31.37 2.579 50.0% 0.36 0.471
Back Against the Wall 2354 31.31 4.24 43.71% 0.602 0.6784
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 172 28.14 0.669 41.86% -0.124 0.0871
Burn Brightest Before the End 146 32.62 2.183 50.68% 0.055 0.1758
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2768 27.83 1.142 41.04% 0.249 0.618
Downward Spiral 6461 28.8 0.203 43.12% 0.211 0.4075
Erosion of Will 2818 29.66 1.823 41.06% 0.117 0.384
Intensifying Exploitation 176 24.02 -0.583 35.23% 0.142 0.4122
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 517 37.61 1.682 66.34% 0.212 -0.2991
Memory Fades to Dust 6511 28.71 1.204 41.13% 0.39 0.7011
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1542 30.18 2.132 45.72% 0.366 0.6611
Promising Farmlands 2891 29.15 -0.222 43.17% -0.104 0.2318
Shattered Fragments of Power 137 31.26 1.475 42.34% -0.12 -0.0114
Slow Dissolution of Will 181 24.89 0.732 34.25% 0.257 0.6566
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 345 38.14 -2.879 69.57% -0.033 -0.6466
The Border of Life and Death 38 27.37 0.501 44.74% 0.168 -0.1246
Thriving Communities 1556 30.0 0.486 46.21% 0.089 0.4221
Thriving Crops 96 27.95 1.065 40.63% -0.127 -0.2137
Tipping Point 1031 28.72 0.0 41.22%
Unnatural Proliferation 1696 32.19 0.516 48.47% -0.108 0.0394
Untended Land Crumbles 1545 29.71 -1.117 44.66% -0.082 0.2254

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 15114 59.46% 32.81 -0.569 50.26% -0.14 0.7653
B 16035 59.47% 32.79 -0.54 50.27% -0.129 0.6993
C 17027 58.75% 33.44 0.507 52.36% 0.087 0.7676
D 14705 59.96% 32.87 -0.346 51.44% 0.022 0.875
E 6552 54.9% 34.6 0.952 55.97% 0.123 0.8241
F 7979 58.96% 33.62 0.325 53.65% -0.009 0.7725
G 6917 59.44% 33.56 -0.186 52.67% -0.257 0.5144
H 7664 55.76% 34.33 1.177 54.63% 0.139 0.9078
East 2260 57.28% 37.27 1.296 41.11% 0.382 1.2436
Northeast 1409 53.92% 37.74 -0.439 40.03% -0.134 0.6131
Northwest 1158 56.07% 35.39 -1.301 38.51% -0.127 0.7066
Southeast 404 55.14% 34.08 -0.243 35.64% -0.042 0.7336
Southwest 367 55.99% 29.9 -6.167 34.6% -0.586 0.7335
West 2102 59.26% 34.13 -2.675 37.35% -0.844 0.162

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 576 0.0% 34.02 1.053 47.05% -0.163 0.668
Not Using Events or Tokens 9063 62.25% 29.42 -2.977 42.02% -0.656 -0.2148
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1064 16.89% 50.89 3.008 79.32% -0.333 -0.8949
Start of Game Growth 1637 22.52% 47.92 4.33 75.75% 0.932 0.3936
Unlimited Undo 5967 54.12% 36.19 -0.739 59.31% -0.171 -0.1303
Using Tokens but Not Events 5582 52.11% 34.83 0.282 57.08% -0.111 -0.1346

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 13280 16.23 2.3%
II 19377 30.54 21.8%
III 18929 34.77 78.26%
IV 14968 38.37 99.45%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.053 Win Model: -0.146
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 45568 61.93% 33.11 51.74%
2 14085 60.59% 32.97 50.34%
3 4216 53.74% 33.81 51.85%
4 2466 46.36% 35.86 52.35%
5 50 46.94% 28.88 40.0%
6 169 35.5% 34.7 38.46%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 306
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14499
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4036
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14717
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4060
Lose: Invader deck ran out 472
Lose: Adversary condition 12067
Win: Sacrifice victory 292
Lose: Scenario condition 1004
Win: Scenario condition 380
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14006
Lose: Spirit destroyed 715

The Kingdom of England — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5729 39.5% 42.14 0.14 61.67% 0.55 0.4474
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3045 68.16% 36.99 -2.677 50.51% -0.271 -0.1105
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 232 33.19% 31.62 3.559 48.28% 0.672 -0.1641
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2534 61.07% 37.34 -1.773 52.33% -0.123 -0.2545
Downpour Drenches the World 708 37.62% 31.5 -0.437 43.5% -0.017 0.3012
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1041 43.71% 36.71 2.791 57.54% 0.711 0.2262
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3529 42.2% 42.83 1.118 65.4% 0.425 -0.0283
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6917 30.88% 50.09 4.193 80.92% 0.954 0.5013
Finder of Paths Unseen 221 45.45% 31.36 -1.313 41.18% -0.069 0.5971
Fractured Days Split the Sky 932 44.52% 43.98 -2.616 59.66% -0.422 0.256
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1118 47.9% 42.06 1.538 59.39% 0.358 0.4197
Heart of the Wildfire 3293 74.94% 30.61 -4.978 35.41% -0.924 -0.664
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 17964 29.19% 46.58 0.893 73.57% 0.447 0.0538
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 282 36.88% 41.24 4.565 59.93% 0.623 0.2281
Lightning's Swift Strike 4935 59.77% 36.91 -1.468 48.21% -0.065 0.1884
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 621 54.31% 41.11 3.545 61.03% 0.636 0.0828
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 555 50.27% 44.45 -2.316 69.19% -0.361 -0.5969
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 547 46.98% 42.8 -3.765 60.33% -0.547 -0.7978
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2649 59.9% 38.68 -2.911 55.95% -0.618 -0.9425
Many Minds Move as One 1266 37.87% 44.08 1.8 69.27% 0.649 0.4493
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6007 58.49% 40.91 0.752 60.11% 0.609 0.5809
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2801 54.04% 37.74 -0.871 52.3% 0.087 -0.055
River Surges in Sunlight 4742 54.8% 39.15 -3.387 48.78% -0.489 -0.3716
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 520 58.19% 37.77 -0.138 45.19% -0.13 0.2076
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 460 32.6% 48.56 1.137 66.3% 0.083 -0.0647
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6649 39.25% 44.61 1.597 68.64% 0.534 0.3667
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1104 71.42% 29.54 -6.662 29.98% -1.036 -0.4924
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 39 66.67% 29.9 -9.007 35.9% -0.363 -0.2771
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 102 69.61% 29.96 -1.017 40.2% -0.094 -0.4639
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 64 51.56% 31.28 -4.846 37.5% -0.732 -0.5668
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 243 77.78% 29.55 -9.91 30.86% -0.979 -0.9483
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 128 57.03% 40.63 -15.548 54.69% -0.408 -0.2376
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5798 30.81% 48.42 2.472 72.85% 0.211 0.1154
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 168 46.43% 34.7 5.473 47.62% 1.005 0.7646
Shifting Memory of Ages 1113 59.98% 38.4 2.836 54.09% 0.494 0.8719
Shroud of Silent Mist 890 68.59% 35.91 -2.976 50.79% -0.662 -0.2908
Starlight Seeks its Form 1706 47.16% 39.37 1.929 58.26% 0.426 0.22
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3838 38.67% 40.12 1.942 68.63% 0.786 0.0691
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1059 62.01% 34.86 -5.6 43.15% -0.959 -0.7776
Thunderspeaker 6776 41.72% 44.08 1.017 63.21% 0.323 0.3372
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 120 42.5% 17.14 -4.263 20.0% -0.065 0.0407
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2506 80.03% 40.51 -0.432 64.76% 0.015 0.1554
Vital Strength of the Earth 2493 52.48% 33.61 -3.287 40.19% -0.56 -0.0181
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 294 41.58% 36.01 -2.627 47.62% -0.412 -0.074
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 352 54.55% 37.93 -2.329 53.13% -0.546 0.1701
Volcano Looming High 2414 69.39% 34.92 0.579 50.75% 0.288 0.2551
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 321 51.4% 33.1 0.848 44.55% 0.118 -0.3197

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 20 25.0% 47.55 11.826 65.0% 0.592 0.6438
Blitz 0 532 47.15% 37.47 -0.723 48.12% -0.649 -0.4487
Dahan Insurrection 4 404 42.54% 56.2 7.004 50.25% 0.036 -0.1753
Despicable Theft 2 28 50.0% 24.18 -9.132 28.57% -0.881 -0.0365
Elemental Invocation 1 101 67.33% 34.68 -8.123 43.56% -1.131 -0.0598
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6373 9.19% 54.03 3.792 81.22% 0.622 -0.1031
Powers Long Forgotten 1 146 71.92% 31.23 -4.442 28.08% -0.201 0.7049
Rituals of Terror 3 151 64.24% 37.7 -3.352 29.14% -0.242 -0.2117
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 104 85.58% 31.79 -13.674 20.19% -0.908 0.2802
Second Wave 0 484 52.18% 37.21 3.627 44.83% -0.06 0.0211
The Great River 3 60 60.0% 28.58 3.088 16.67% -0.386 1.0011
Varied Terrains 2 26 26.92% 17.62 -11.887 19.23% -0.687 0.2144
Ward the Shores 2 154 65.36% 39.53 3.749 38.31% 0.215 1.2702

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 48301 51.01% 39.74 -0.285 60.21% 0.475 0.5054
1 Thematic 1528 60.2% 36.55 -4.348 36.58% -0.414 0.0186
2 Archipelago 22 31.82% 49.55 2.446 59.09% -0.136 0.3573
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9754 53.49% 40.31 -0.318 58.67% 0.203 0.1546
2 Coastline 1430 50.95% 42.73 -2.004 64.76% -0.016 -0.1165
2 Fragment 172 62.94% 35.05 6.131 45.93% 0.45 0.0372
2 Heart 185 60.54% 38.31 -3.989 54.05% -0.174 -0.2632
2 Opposite Shores 1693 55.55% 39.01 1.878 52.39% 0.074 -0.1057
2 Thematic 469 61.41% 38.11 4.073 39.02% 0.781 0.9676
2 Top to Top 332 59.76% 38.8 0.125 56.63% 0.749 0.55
3 Archipelago 10 50.0% 33.0 0.0 30.0%
3 Coastline 21 70.0% 31.19 0.0 28.57%
3 Other 166 59.39% 41.01 -1.689 62.65% -0.225 -0.5584
3 Round (Default) 3589 50.45% 39.4 0.985 56.9% 0.246 -0.0205
3 Sunrise 18 55.56% 37.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 100 53.0% 42.04 2.117 44.0% 0.237 -0.2099
4 Archipelago 14 71.43% 49.64 0.0 64.29%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 17 70.59% 38.12 0.0 58.82%
4 Other 77 66.23% 44.56 -0.413 68.83% -0.201 -0.9388
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 349 49.57% 48.18 -6.775 56.73% -0.79 -0.5866
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4495 18.31% 50.79 3.941 76.8% 0.411 0.7509
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 25.67 0.0 33.33%
5 Other 99 26.53% 49.41 -12.136 74.75% -0.643 -1.3636
5 Thematic 7 0.0% 51.57 -12.988 42.86% -0.246 -0.0856
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 30 27.59% 34.63 15.031 43.33% 0.322 0.7624
6 Star 14 57.14% 37.93 -5.244 42.86% -0.502 -0.2037
6 Thematic 35 28.57% 42.57 -6.15 48.57% -0.025 0.0001
6 Two Centers (Default) 111 25.23% 40.34 -1.813 66.67% -0.227 -0.1291
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 74.0 0.0 50.0%
7 Other 2 0.0% 48.0 5.902 50.0% 0.194 -1.222

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2760 34.2 1.099 45.29% 0.012 0.1505
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2222 36.7 1.802 49.86% 0.063 0.0041
All Things Weaken 1574 35.11 0.508 48.79% -0.107 0.2481
Attenuated Essence 157 27.71 1.02 38.22% 0.106 0.2174
Back Against the Wall 2163 35.86 0.36 47.34% -0.152 -0.0756
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 178 33.24 1.342 48.31% -0.132 0.0784
Burn Brightest Before the End 129 31.34 0.495 37.98% -0.268 -0.1476
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2730 31.98 -1.281 43.85% -0.123 0.2457
Downward Spiral 5038 32.49 -1.047 43.65% 0.05 0.2465
Erosion of Will 2703 33.98 -0.212 44.43% -0.012 0.2547
Intensifying Exploitation 163 31.39 4.021 47.24% 0.48 0.7497
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 538 41.69 3.581 66.36% 0.662 0.1512
Memory Fades to Dust 5081 32.57 -0.569 42.49% -0.057 0.2545
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1536 33.91 -2.983 47.98% -0.758 -0.4636
Promising Farmlands 2644 33.22 2.748 45.12% 0.474 0.8101
Shattered Fragments of Power 126 34.25 0.014 49.21% 0.209 0.3178
Slow Dissolution of Will 162 26.99 -0.543 30.86% -0.398 0.0017
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 428 43.65 1.518 72.2% 0.359 -0.2536
The Border of Life and Death 53 29.72 -6.297 47.17% -0.666 -0.9585
Thriving Communities 1549 33.71 -0.576 47.45% -0.072 0.2607
Thriving Crops 84 31.14 2.156 45.24% 0.227 0.14
Tipping Point 932 31.37 0.0 38.73%
Unnatural Proliferation 1648 36.15 3.801 50.06% 0.593 0.7413
Untended Land Crumbles 1571 34.51 2.072 49.14% 0.352 0.6592

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 17300 45.64% 41.48 0.15 60.76% -0.141 0.7639
B 19411 43.71% 42.7 1.28 63.18% -0.047 0.7818
C 20331 45.18% 42.64 0.285 63.91% -0.108 0.5717
D 14731 50.65% 40.07 0.262 59.12% -0.103 0.7509
E 8181 46.19% 41.39 1.177 62.58% -0.122 0.579
F 9815 45.61% 41.31 -0.346 62.42% -0.252 0.5287
G 8519 46.84% 41.26 -0.109 61.77% -0.336 0.436
H 8574 45.01% 42.22 0.746 63.88% -0.082 0.6864
East 1649 55.51% 40.67 -2.989 41.84% -0.664 0.1976
Northeast 1031 53.79% 41.72 -4.819 42.77% -1.289 -0.5424
Northwest 852 57.63% 41.06 -2.111 43.19% -0.189 0.6446
Southeast 247 45.12% 39.87 -1.135 47.37% 0.103 0.8791
Southwest 277 52.36% 35.4 -0.045 43.32% -0.118 1.2014
West 1474 59.71% 38.72 -2.589 40.77% -0.526 0.4806

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 325 0.0% 40.93 -1.833 57.85% -0.714 0.117
Not Using Events or Tokens 7491 48.67% 38.86 -4.973 55.12% -1.075 -0.6337
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1203 17.61% 60.24 12.365 85.04% 1.159 0.5968
Start of Game Growth 1945 19.88% 54.84 10.58 78.66% 1.155 0.6164
Unlimited Undo 6190 52.11% 41.43 1.542 63.23% 0.25 0.2909
Using Tokens but Not Events 5310 39.33% 42.26 -2.029 63.3% -0.395 -0.4182

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 13302 16.23 20.43%
II 19737 30.54 32.52%
III 21300 34.77 75.4%
IV 18741 38.37 99.72%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.613 Win Model: 0.151
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 50063 51.26% 39.68 59.57%
2 13949 54.27% 40.14 57.42%
3 3849 50.97% 39.38 56.38%
4 4972 21.31% 50.54 75.2%
5 53 30.77% 38.51 52.83%
6 194 28.13% 40.43 58.76%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2716
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 15777
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6238
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 18487
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4068
Lose: Invader deck ran out 95
Lose: Adversary condition 11235
Win: Sacrifice victory 358
Lose: Scenario condition 1159
Win: Scenario condition 308
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11996
Lose: Spirit destroyed 643

The Kingdom of England — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2307 45.71% 44.59 -1.721 47.55% -0.352 -0.4548
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 833 79.85% 36.75 -0.587 34.69% -0.08 0.08
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 54 59.26% 47.76 9.112 64.81% 1.527 0.6909
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 710 75.92% 28.44 -4.69 17.46% -1.556 -1.6876
Downpour Drenches the World 236 41.7% 29.54 -2.463 28.39% -0.207 0.1107
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 610 67.21% 32.47 0.112 35.57% 0.5 0.0157
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1095 60.13% 42.08 2.806 46.39% 0.68 0.2271
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1629 57.63% 43.98 -0.035 49.17% -0.225 -0.6777
Finder of Paths Unseen 111 45.05% 21.74 -7.086 18.02% -0.493 0.1739
Fractured Days Split the Sky 359 63.35% 44.1 0.528 38.44% 0.379 1.0572
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 266 81.95% 30.7 -6.895 25.56% -0.35 -0.2882
Heart of the Wildfire 1065 85.12% 25.21 -7.207 12.86% -0.546 -0.2864
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4660 54.03% 44.79 2.772 53.41% 0.807 0.4134
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 58 65.52% 22.88 -1.461 17.24% -0.258 -0.653
Lightning's Swift Strike 2544 63.01% 41.13 1.642 39.58% 0.776 1.0296
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 373 67.56% 42.57 5.212 42.36% 0.903 0.3492
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 183 66.67% 45.58 7.578 55.74% 1.068 0.8324
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 190 66.84% 39.14 2.263 42.11% 0.443 0.1916
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1083 74.2% 36.03 -2.583 33.52% -0.334 -0.6579
Many Minds Move as One 374 49.2% 48.27 1.795 60.7% 0.755 0.5552
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2949 64.15% 44.44 1.747 51.92% 0.89 0.8618
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 808 62.67% 35.92 -5.39 30.07% -1.017 -1.1593
River Surges in Sunlight 1639 51.18% 45.06 2.214 44.17% 0.538 0.6546
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 117 69.83% 32.57 -2.739 19.66% 0.116 0.4536
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 89 53.93% 33.94 -7.01 26.97% -0.936 -1.084
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1912 60.14% 42.23 2.129 47.12% 1.107 0.9399
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 431 80.61% 30.06 -11.325 16.71% -0.869 -0.325
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 12 66.67% 27.58 16.352 25.0% 0.602 0.6881
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 43 72.09% 29.37 -1.318 25.58% -0.252 -0.6216
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 3 66.67% 27.67 0.0 33.33%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 49 79.59% 35.39 -1.403 30.61% -0.028 0.0034
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 47 74.47% 30.68 -5.781 25.53% -0.254 -0.083
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1414 56.06% 46.61 -2.841 51.49% -0.379 -0.4739
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 66 42.42% 39.58 2.366 33.33% -0.235 -0.4755
Shifting Memory of Ages 372 68.82% 38.67 -4.143 38.98% -0.464 -0.0857
Shroud of Silent Mist 302 83.78% 31.88 -5.905 27.48% -1.112 -0.7407
Starlight Seeks its Form 637 64.52% 37.42 1.711 40.66% 0.423 0.2163
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4426 26.59% 50.69 9.453 75.28% 1.891 1.1742
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 464 76.7% 29.14 -2.469 16.59% -0.503 -0.3212
Thunderspeaker 1794 70.99% 35.79 -3.654 31.05% -0.486 -0.4719
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 56 58.93% 24.46 -5.671 21.43% -0.393 -0.2872
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1040 85.77% 40.69 -4.986 49.71% -0.893 -0.7527
Vital Strength of the Earth 993 51.47% 39.74 -1.45 35.65% -0.592 -0.0494
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 60 56.67% 30.75 0.057 25.0% 0.175 0.5132
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 99 68.69% 31.28 -4.199 27.27% -0.476 0.2399
Volcano Looming High 661 86.84% 29.13 -4.087 23.0% -0.681 -0.7138
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 146 51.37% 32.16 -0.405 35.62% 0.357 -0.0808

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 0.0% 0.0 0.924 0.0% -0.002 0.0496
Blitz 0 275 51.84% 37.06 0.667 38.91% 0.055 0.2554
Dahan Insurrection 4 217 71.76% 42.51 -9.352 16.13% -0.064 -0.2757
Despicable Theft 2 17 94.12% 34.47 0.0 23.53%
Elemental Invocation 1 56 71.43% 23.57 -10.921 10.71% -1.181 -0.1099
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1376 19.23% 52.08 4.299 58.28% 0.531 -0.1937
Powers Long Forgotten 1 76 80.26% 31.55 -7.422 18.42% -0.243 0.6631
Rituals of Terror 3 74 79.73% 82.95 28.94 55.41% 1.43 1.4598
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 23 65.22% 36.83 -9.6 21.74% -0.182 1.0064
Second Wave 0 207 66.5% 36.02 -4.42 29.47% -0.784 -0.7026
The Great River 3 7 28.57% 15.57 -10.054 14.29% -0.139 1.2482
Varied Terrains 2 4 75.0% 29.0 -6.095 0.0% -0.442 0.4597
Ward the Shores 2 62 63.93% 44.76 -5.376 32.26% -0.381 0.6747

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 19952 59.46% 40.18 1.329 47.16% 0.68 0.7109
1 Thematic 1176 69.76% 39.22 -3.643 30.61% 0.101 0.5334
2 Archipelago 10 100.0% 55.8 0.0 20.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2909 70.72% 37.37 -1.889 37.33% -0.244 -0.2925
2 Coastline 341 66.07% 39.5 -6.572 44.28% -0.195 -0.2956
2 Fragment 97 77.32% 38.16 5.138 38.14% 0.416 0.0035
2 Heart 90 83.33% 37.48 6.647 37.78% 0.33 0.2405
2 Opposite Shores 676 69.22% 38.54 -2.371 37.28% -0.816 -0.996
2 Thematic 201 66.17% 45.91 0.028 30.85% 0.126 0.3126
2 Top to Top 143 54.55% 34.73 -9.165 37.06% -0.651 -0.8504
3 Archipelago 11 81.82% 104.45 44.21 63.64% 0.666 -0.4548
3 Coastline 5 60.0% 27.0 0.0 20.0%
3 Other 55 76.36% 48.65 13.766 65.45% 0.509 0.1747
3 Round (Default) 1195 67.11% 36.11 0.882 35.15% 0.683 0.4166
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 42.0 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 55 65.45% 40.15 -6.55 29.09% -1.076 -1.5227
4 Archipelago 5 100.0% 43.0 0.0 20.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 9 88.89% 42.0 0.0 44.44%
4 Other 27 77.78% 46.19 7.852 59.26% 0.309 -0.428
4 Thematic 232 22.41% 64.16 0.0 69.83%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 925 29.83% 51.21 2.918 59.35% -0.079 0.2611
5 Other 26 29.41% 52.12 -8.632 53.85% -1.108 -1.8296
5 Thematic 23 47.83% 65.65 -0.533 52.17% -0.148 0.012
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 70.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 10 33.33% 46.7 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 4 0.0% 40.25 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 58 10.34% 68.43 9.667 63.79% 0.47 0.4954
6 Two Centers (Default) 6 83.33% 40.17 0.0 50.0%
7 Archipelago 2 50.0% 146.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1272 36.32 2.121 34.12% 0.135 0.2737
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1019 39.4 4.495 39.35% 0.525 0.4663
All Things Weaken 708 35.38 0.155 33.76% -0.036 0.3189
Attenuated Essence 99 32.63 1.235 38.38% 0.417 0.5277
Back Against the Wall 919 37.11 -1.626 34.82% -0.614 -0.5378
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 118 34.19 1.666 36.44% 0.048 0.259
Burn Brightest Before the End 76 29.74 4.103 27.63% 0.766 0.8862
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1225 34.67 -1.802 35.1% -0.244 0.1245
Downward Spiral 2425 33.82 -0.006 31.09% -0.171 0.0257
Erosion of Will 1395 34.86 2.045 31.54% 0.126 0.3934
Intensifying Exploitation 100 22.92 -5.041 21.0% -0.857 -0.5865
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 222 41.91 -1.854 51.35% 0.22 -0.2911
Memory Fades to Dust 2378 33.32 1.3 28.64% 0.273 0.5846
Power Corrodes the Spirit 715 35.75 -0.334 35.38% -0.184 0.1109
Promising Farmlands 1238 34.72 2.601 33.2% 0.168 0.5041
Shattered Fragments of Power 80 35.44 1.881 37.5% 0.11 0.2185
Slow Dissolution of Will 87 31.91 -0.915 28.74% -0.427 -0.0265
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 179 50.27 8.987 64.8% 1.063 0.4503
The Border of Life and Death 23 31.17 -4.477 43.48% -0.303 -0.5955
Thriving Communities 702 35.23 0.312 35.33% -0.335 -0.002
Thriving Crops 32 35.03 1.915 50.0% 0.689 0.6019
Tipping Point 470 35.04 0.0 31.91%
Unnatural Proliferation 806 38.27 1.687 38.71% 0.319 0.4666
Untended Land Crumbles 761 34.47 -1.155 34.17% -0.431 -0.1242

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5094 64.61% 38.2 -2.283 39.1% -0.487 0.4177
B 6526 59.68% 40.4 -1.06 43.21% -0.083 0.7459
C 9637 48.96% 45.52 4.408 58.27% 0.514 1.1939
D 4974 64.97% 39.11 -1.758 41.44% -0.287 0.5665
E 2642 65.79% 37.3 -0.027 39.44% 0.043 0.7442
F 2734 65.72% 37.5 -1.974 38.48% -0.509 0.2718
G 2386 66.84% 37.21 0.113 37.72% -0.039 0.7328
H 2511 63.96% 37.85 0.976 38.75% 0.16 0.928
East 1172 56.53% 47.75 2.032 39.68% 0.26 1.1215
Northeast 710 50.56% 49.97 -0.53 41.55% -0.272 0.4744
Northwest 544 45.77% 53.34 0.736 50.74% -0.266 0.5676
Southeast 193 34.2% 52.1 -0.692 47.15% -0.093 0.6827
Southwest 200 38.19% 46.81 -2.596 43.5% -0.539 0.7798
West 929 53.23% 48.67 3.343 43.92% 0.115 1.1209

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 107 0.0% 54.47 1.029 60.75% 1.221 2.0519
Not Using Events or Tokens 2602 65.18% 35.38 -3.721 31.9% -0.599 -0.1584
Skip Initial Invader Actions 673 17.7% 63.84 11.748 78.16% 1.22 0.6577
Start of Game Growth 1143 19.12% 60.9 12.417 72.53% 1.777 1.2385
Unlimited Undo 2261 59.3% 43.43 2.21 49.71% 0.42 0.4609
Using Tokens but Not Events 1660 59.27% 39.43 -2.932 38.8% -0.691 -0.7146

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6663 16.23 5.4%
II 7640 30.54 12.46%
III 5206 34.77 51.81%
IV 8751 38.37 99.82%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.348 Win Model: -0.033
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 21233 60.09% 40.19 46.25%
2 4428 69.8% 38.03 37.74%
3 1298 68.03% 36.5 35.05%
4 1197 29.1% 53.76 61.4%
5 26 36.84% 50.42 42.31%
6 78 16.88% 65.97 65.38%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 360
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2626
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 914
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8636
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1875
Lose: Invader deck ran out 42
Lose: Adversary condition 6047
Win: Sacrifice victory 136
Lose: Scenario condition 442
Win: Scenario condition 72
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6766
Lose: Spirit destroyed 344

The Kingdom of England — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 10876 39.19% 45.69 0.245 43.71% 0.285 0.1827
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6541 72.68% 35.57 -3.587 28.93% -0.262 -0.1017
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 580 62.59% 39.99 8.442 45.69% 1.405 0.5696
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2770 64.59% 32.64 -5.875 19.82% -1.192 -1.3237
Downpour Drenches the World 1388 35.26% 34.01 -0.216 29.83% -0.022 0.2957
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2099 57.11% 25.93 0.273 21.77% 0.198 -0.2865
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6085 52.56% 40.62 -1.868 38.55% 0.415 -0.0385
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 9994 51.54% 47.45 0.135 49.78% 0.163 -0.2893
Finder of Paths Unseen 659 48.18% 29.45 -3.233 23.22% -0.366 0.3009
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3188 44.03% 48.69 0.028 44.86% 0.294 0.9722
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1361 74.96% 30.87 -3.25 19.32% -0.139 -0.0776
Heart of the Wildfire 4907 72.13% 27.37 -3.904 15.61% -0.641 -0.3809
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 27107 45.27% 47.22 -0.634 51.97% 0.076 -0.3181
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 415 59.28% 20.9 -2.349 10.84% -1.135 -1.5305
Lightning's Swift Strike 14372 59.79% 41.24 -4.711 37.69% -0.573 -0.3192
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 3164 61.06% 41.02 5.832 39.06% 0.744 0.1906
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 2461 58.22% 46.96 0.171 49.57% 0.369 0.1332
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1641 51.61% 47.98 5.597 50.09% 0.803 0.5522
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5530 66.99% 35.87 -0.869 31.05% -0.048 -0.3725
Many Minds Move as One 2511 47.54% 51.17 3.535 58.26% 0.906 0.7061
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 23762 56.35% 48.77 2.27 50.64% 0.965 0.9367
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3024 51.35% 39.1 0.445 33.27% -0.376 -0.5181
River Surges in Sunlight 8518 50.9% 48.9 2.568 42.33% 0.393 0.5102
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1108 50.9% 39.56 -0.538 28.79% -0.004 0.3334
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 710 54.44% 39.41 5.055 25.35% -0.043 -0.1911
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 14292 42.12% 50.78 1.515 55.35% 0.595 0.4276
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3747 65.41% 37.83 -6.2 27.73% -0.95 -0.4056
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 53 69.81% 29.25 -6.596 20.75% -0.253 -0.1669
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 309 71.52% 30.15 -0.879 25.89% -0.369 -0.7391
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 152 66.45% 26.93 -1.751 17.76% -0.44 -0.2741
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 352 74.72% 34.97 -6.254 22.44% -0.647 -0.6157
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 342 72.73% 35.08 -2.309 24.56% 0.117 0.2878
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7028 45.41% 47.08 2.898 49.05% 0.378 0.2823
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 432 51.85% 28.69 2.17 26.16% 0.327 0.0863
Shifting Memory of Ages 2257 53.84% 41.1 -2.297 37.93% 0.42 0.7979
Shroud of Silent Mist 1397 78.97% 36.61 -2.225 32.57% -0.179 0.1915
Starlight Seeks its Form 4284 48.42% 40.22 -0.261 39.19% 0.114 -0.0925
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 11545 43.25% 42.09 4.088 47.23% 0.999 0.2826
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2201 63.44% 37.05 -2.412 27.85% -0.414 -0.2323
Thunderspeaker 8732 61.25% 38.12 -3.941 26.41% -0.263 -0.2493
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 193 47.92% 23.34 -4.18 22.8% -0.32 -0.2148
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4500 80.93% 41.4 -0.227 42.64% 0.036 0.1762
Vital Strength of the Earth 4406 43.8% 41.36 -2.002 31.96% -0.184 0.3585
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 611 36.9% 29.73 -3.464 22.91% -0.771 -0.4328
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 447 63.98% 31.33 -3.016 15.88% -0.092 0.6242
Volcano Looming High 3774 74.87% 31.23 -3.712 21.3% -0.571 -0.6038
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 732 51.16% 35.65 4.935 36.34% 0.756 0.3185

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 12 25.0% 53.33 30.169 41.67% 0.862 0.9134
Blitz 0 1899 35.64% 47.48 8.436 47.45% 1.355 1.5556
Dahan Insurrection 4 2783 62.55% 45.37 0.61 14.66% 0.449 0.2374
Despicable Theft 2 53 55.77% 36.53 0.0 26.42%
Elemental Invocation 1 196 71.96% 35.62 -7.885 17.35% -0.504 0.5673
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 18139 22.58% 54.63 9.785 54.68% 1.441 0.7165
Powers Long Forgotten 1 178 85.88% 30.74 -17.126 10.67% -0.23 0.6762
Rituals of Terror 3 746 64.1% 100.64 26.852 58.04% 2.205 2.2355
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 120 80.83% 29.92 -21.589 6.67% -0.643 0.5452
Second Wave 0 368 60.88% 39.77 -2.094 33.97% -0.98 -0.8992
The Great River 3 42 38.1% 33.52 0.0 19.05%
Varied Terrains 2 103 55.34% 17.44 31.611 3.88% 0.732 1.6328
Ward the Shores 2 268 70.11% 43.78 -4.498 29.85% 0.032 1.0871

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 113238 59.99% 40.82 -0.106 39.89% -0.26 -0.2295
1 Thematic 6911 57.5% 44.89 -3.004 25.02% -0.415 0.0167
2 Archipelago 55 72.73% 62.58 1.296 29.09% -0.96 -0.467
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11544 65.55% 40.79 1.487 37.92% -0.406 -0.4549
2 Coastline 2643 58.25% 37.18 0.165 33.48% -0.197 -0.2978
2 Fragment 261 60.92% 37.02 8.069 33.33% 0.817 0.4045
2 Heart 229 64.63% 47.15 6.3 54.59% 0.655 0.5659
2 Opposite Shores 3588 52.57% 43.89 0.334 39.86% -0.736 -0.9158
2 Thematic 2305 37.09% 69.84 12.788 53.41% 0.866 1.0522
2 Top to Top 774 57.57% 44.66 -3.368 47.55% -1.081 -1.2809
3 Archipelago 45 48.89% 84.62 26.287 62.22% 0.695 -0.4255
3 Coastline 37 47.22% 42.89 -3.292 43.24% -1.121 -1.7831
3 Other 294 60.88% 51.42 14.375 59.18% 1.435 1.1009
3 Round (Default) 6705 51.05% 43.3 -1.637 43.79% -0.993 -1.2593
3 Sunrise 18 50.0% 46.33 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 188 41.18% 73.12 2.373 43.09% -0.641 -1.0873
4 Archipelago 17 47.06% 48.94 -11.969 41.18% -0.219 -0.7761
4 Coastline 31 9.68% 45.13 0.0 35.48%
4 Leaf 19 31.58% 48.26 0.0 42.11%
4 Other 185 52.17% 54.96 8.229 65.95% 0.894 0.1565
4 Thematic 1657 24.02% 67.31 -4.417 68.01% -0.414 -0.211
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4445 30.33% 42.81 -3.994 47.02% -1.518 -1.1782
5 Archipelago 7 57.14% 65.0 0.0 57.14%
5 Coastline 21 9.52% 58.95 15.459 80.95% 0.134 -0.3937
5 Other 110 35.92% 58.45 5.902 69.09% 0.0 -0.7207
5 Thematic 77 20.78% 73.62 -6.625 76.62% -0.239 -0.0791
6 Archipelago 99 2.04% 68.53 12.631 77.78% 0.953 0.2376
6 Coastline 7 0.0% 4.86 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 128 18.75% 59.05 18.746 68.75% 0.653 1.0935
6 Star 36 27.78% 48.17 0.0 52.78%
6 Thematic 387 11.37% 44.05 -1.963 44.7% -0.214 -0.1889
6 Two Centers (Default) 456 10.53% 41.03 -7.875 39.47% -1.875 -1.7771
7 Archipelago 3 100.0% 84.0 0.0 33.33%
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 27.428 0.0% 0.662 -0.754

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 6783 38.35 5.001 32.79% 0.645 0.7833
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5680 41.78 6.801 38.08% 0.864 0.8053
All Things Weaken 3971 36.19 0.735 28.83% -0.154 0.2004
Attenuated Essence 575 30.74 0.805 26.09% -0.102 0.0089
Back Against the Wall 5294 40.73 5.788 35.85% 0.906 0.9819
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 538 29.89 1.929 24.91% 0.121 0.3319
Burn Brightest Before the End 407 35.23 2.41 28.75% -0.204 -0.0837
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6546 35.8 1.96 30.78% 0.22 0.5891
Downward Spiral 12041 37.27 1.601 30.06% 0.299 0.4959
Erosion of Will 6675 36.87 2.223 29.66% 0.012 0.2793
Intensifying Exploitation 572 30.89 2.443 26.92% 0.181 0.4517
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1361 44.82 4.09 45.7% 0.584 0.0729
Memory Fades to Dust 11930 36.58 1.857 27.23% 0.167 0.4786
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3959 37.01 1.895 31.4% 0.243 0.5381
Promising Farmlands 6547 37.31 2.379 32.12% 0.229 0.5654
Shattered Fragments of Power 401 35.73 5.044 30.42% 0.694 0.8031
Slow Dissolution of Will 579 31.28 2.38 25.04% -0.036 0.3638
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 844 48.65 5.226 52.96% 0.949 0.3362
The Border of Life and Death 103 39.48 8.311 39.81% 0.783 0.4902
Thriving Communities 4156 37.15 2.75 32.07% 0.349 0.6814
Thriving Crops 221 34.6 4.415 33.94% 0.592 0.5051
Tipping Point 2148 36.92 0.0 30.4%
Unnatural Proliferation 4340 38.91 3.893 32.53% 0.475 0.6224
Untended Land Crumbles 4046 36.45 1.549 30.5% 0.086 0.3926

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 30209 55.17% 41.63 -1.42 40.23% -0.693 0.2118
B 33511 55.59% 41.28 -1.39 40.12% -0.69 0.1384
C 37001 57.52% 42.93 0.374 43.09% -0.392 0.2886
D 27555 58.05% 41.16 -0.932 40.69% -0.71 0.1437
E 19175 54.51% 40.34 1.331 39.65% -0.354 0.3472
F 17059 55.42% 40.85 -0.135 39.89% -0.483 0.2983
G 15496 54.02% 40.91 -0.927 39.93% -0.621 0.1502
H 16238 50.93% 42.31 -0.536 42.62% -0.778 -0.0092
East 8603 43.64% 56.59 3.467 41.18% -0.752 0.1098
Northeast 5885 38.2% 56.47 4.731 43.52% -0.132 0.6151
Northwest 3549 30.01% 60.24 -3.573 53.48% -1.511 -0.6775
Southeast 1146 37.35% 49.81 5.28 40.31% -0.041 0.7349
Southwest 876 25.34% 48.96 -3.861 46.8% -1.733 -0.4139
West 5988 39.74% 58.54 5.181 46.38% -0.578 0.428

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1263 0.0% 44.21 -0.558 43.31% 0.318 1.1484
Not Using Events or Tokens 13935 58.12% 40.71 -3.879 27.62% -0.756 -0.315
Skip Initial Invader Actions 7977 15.3% 66.22 8.873 77.62% 0.907 0.345
Start of Game Growth 9493 18.7% 64.23 7.614 74.7% 0.994 0.455
Unlimited Undo 20703 38.96% 54.37 -0.792 65.35% 0.188 0.2294
Using Tokens but Not Events 10641 51.19% 42.57 -1.231 39.62% -0.624 -0.6474

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 53782 16.23 7.19%
II 43721 30.54 23.9%
III 23923 34.77 56.03%
IV 35243 38.37 99.69%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.185 Win Model: 0.503
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 121346 59.89% 41.42 39.31%
2 20606 58.72% 42.76 38.85%
3 7180 51.17% 44.15 44.57%
4 6343 28.88% 49.47 52.85%
5 77 19.44% 47.87 53.25%
6 1117 11.29% 47.28 49.06%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3848
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12918
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9821
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 34432
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 13861
Lose: Invader deck ran out 225
Lose: Adversary condition 37266
Win: Sacrifice victory 1226
Lose: Scenario condition 5612
Win: Scenario condition 608
Lose: Blight pool ran out 34951
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1901

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-03-13 05:04:05 (Pacific Time)