The Kingdom of England — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8004 22.46% 25.36 -0.07 82.55% -0.009 -0.1321
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4388 43.6% 23.12 -0.313 75.66% -0.059 0.1821
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 49 14.29% 34.73 6.534 85.71% 1.042 0.0404
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3329 26.53% 25.9 1.078 86.06% 0.486 0.2589
Downpour Drenches the World 388 24.29% 22.79 0.683 68.3% 0.097 0.422
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 364 15.93% 25.5 2.188 73.9% 0.33 -0.1695
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4579 14.65% 28.96 2.695 91.09% 0.672 0.2113
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3717 19.34% 28.05 2.473 90.15% 0.673 0.2435
Finder of Paths Unseen 168 31.55% 16.2 -2.544 46.43% -0.888 -0.0653
Fractured Days Split the Sky 698 32.95% 26.22 1.162 69.63% -0.444 0.1532
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 848 35.02% 25.6 -1.331 74.29% -0.403 -0.4036
Heart of the Wildfire 4402 59.52% 20.8 -0.662 70.35% -0.131 0.2535
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7052 24.88% 26.68 0.68 87.78% 0.061 -0.434
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 44 25.0% 30.07 4.383 77.27% 0.554 0.0073
Lightning's Swift Strike 7482 43.65% 22.82 -1.46 74.97% -0.363 -0.1799
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 174 31.03% 29.34 5.713 77.59% 1.068 0.5314
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 555 22.02% 29.0 1.563 86.67% 0.106 -0.1845
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 372 35.95% 27.63 1.848 82.26% 0.585 0.4372
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1820 30.86% 27.08 1.158 84.56% 0.365 0.1138
Many Minds Move as One 1174 23.68% 26.62 1.008 84.16% 0.169 0.0124
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7153 41.1% 23.77 -1.129 77.95% -0.341 -0.3301
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3088 29.09% 24.81 0.36 82.25% 0.044 -0.1021
River Surges in Sunlight 8198 37.36% 24.9 -0.248 72.68% -0.238 -0.1999
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 597 35.91% 26.03 -1.448 68.34% -0.56 -0.3004
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 164 26.83% 28.85 3.219 75.61% 0.575 0.5248
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4011 32.35% 24.3 0.733 80.43% 0.183 0.0091
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4438 53.77% 21.49 -2.906 68.54% -0.826 -0.2133
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 61 36.07% 23.75 -2.764 68.85% -0.551 -0.4475
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 36 11.11% 32.61 5.314 86.11% 0.84 0.2587
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 63 23.81% 25.29 1.718 68.25% 0.436 0.4818
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 490 27.2% 25.49 -1.839 83.67% -0.43 -0.3493
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 284 41.7% 24.22 -0.04 75.7% -0.23 -0.0222
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4820 24.89% 27.16 -0.669 85.89% -0.313 -0.2334
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 101 25.74% 22.08 -0.322 58.42% -0.569 -0.8913
Shifting Memory of Ages 692 36.47% 23.24 -1.95 71.1% -0.657 -0.3918
Shroud of Silent Mist 928 43.55% 22.72 -1.937 76.29% -0.289 0.0784
Starlight Seeks its Form 905 23.06% 27.98 -0.491 77.02% -0.423 -0.6503
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1959 24.36% 24.94 0.718 85.96% 0.309 -0.0475
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2334 29.76% 24.54 -0.577 78.49% -0.291 -0.1581
Thunderspeaker 7885 24.22% 27.16 -0.166 83.97% -0.085 -0.0562
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 86 25.58% 22.0 2.056 53.49% 0.124 0.3641
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1314 57.52% 20.86 -2.323 71.92% -0.536 -0.3453
Vital Strength of the Earth 5988 28.77% 21.68 -1.017 70.86% -0.234 0.3233
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 142 23.24% 26.51 2.382 75.35% 0.298 0.7074
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 358 29.69% 20.22 -2.325 61.73% -0.615 0.1133
Volcano Looming High 1162 40.33% 23.14 0.052 76.51% 0.045 0.0639
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 100 11.0% 28.04 4.118 79.0% 0.869 0.2756

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 15 26.67% 22.27 -1.382 66.67% -0.156 -0.2962
Blitz 0 1107 39.55% 20.63 -2.867 67.93% -0.583 -0.472
Dahan Insurrection 4 993 21.41% 44.33 6.169 76.54% -0.212 -0.4471
Despicable Theft 2 145 35.86% 28.35 -5.541 64.83% -1.462 -0.8189
Elemental Invocation 1 171 40.94% 23.89 -3.905 64.91% -0.717 0.0846
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2315 10.39% 31.64 8.829 84.54% 1.197 0.4228
Powers Long Forgotten 1 469 46.06% 27.15 -2.832 69.3% -1.014 -0.2414
Rituals of Terror 3 619 45.35% 31.54 2.979 61.23% -0.033 -0.017
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 326 64.72% 29.27 0.858 56.13% -0.614 0.4428
Second Wave 0 774 46.11% 25.58 3.718 64.21% -0.018 0.0623
The Great River 3 157 45.22% 26.45 -0.388 48.41% -0.942 0.1868
Varied Terrains 2 76 38.16% 20.68 0.322 40.79% -0.668 0.0236
Ward the Shores 2 610 41.71% 26.69 -0.19 56.23% -0.969 -0.1061

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 49009 37.26% 23.84 -0.388 77.9% -0.185 0.0157
1 Thematic 4527 41.22% 29.92 0.605 71.59% -0.214 0.5052
2 Archipelago 27 51.85% 33.37 11.437 77.78% 0.588 0.8427
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10757 32.03% 23.86 -0.211 79.8% -0.334 -0.3259
2 Coastline 1084 32.54% 24.22 1.336 80.72% 0.566 0.3609
2 Fragment 269 35.47% 22.68 -0.317 76.95% 0.179 -0.0988
2 Heart 145 36.36% 22.66 -1.001 78.62% -0.187 -0.4076
2 Opposite Shores 1438 30.98% 24.74 0.52 85.33% 0.163 0.22
2 Thematic 1042 37.96% 31.17 1.27 70.73% 0.208 0.6595
2 Top to Top 231 30.13% 24.64 1.244 81.82% 0.283 0.185
3 Archipelago 9 33.33% 25.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 19 31.58% 25.47 3.538 78.95% 0.224 -0.3429
3 Other 118 31.3% 22.93 2.169 77.97% 0.451 0.422
3 Round (Default) 4553 19.9% 26.72 1.022 87.33% -0.196 -0.422
3 Sunrise 16 18.75% 24.0 0.0 81.25%
3 Thematic 215 34.42% 30.35 -7.308 65.12% -1.509 -1.3125
4 Archipelago 13 38.46% 31.15 5.623 76.92% 0.697 -0.4891
4 Coastline 20 22.22% 27.6 0.584 80.0% -0.218 -0.8049
4 Leaf 6 0.0% 29.5 9.43 83.33% 0.263 -0.4357
4 Other 65 26.15% 20.32 -2.738 67.69% -0.321 -1.6779
4 Thematic 286 23.08% 31.81 2.301 75.17% 0.195 -0.0031
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1565 23.53% 24.91 -0.028 80.58% -0.544 -0.7872
5 Archipelago 7 85.71% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 53 32.08% 25.34 2.684 81.13% 0.762 -0.2944
5 Thematic 6 50.0% 40.5 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 7 42.86% 41.0 5.723 100.0% 0.128 -0.6094
6 Star 15 33.33% 23.73 3.31 80.0% 0.289 0.2327
6 Thematic 35 17.14% 28.83 -0.199 51.43% 0.152 0.9064
6 Two Centers (Default) 77 12.99% 24.23 -1.326 58.44% -0.992 -1.5714
7 Other 4 0.0% 28.0 0.758 50.0% -0.701 -1.1132

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1605 19.51 0.976 62.8% 0.233 0.3932
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1352 20.44 1.799 63.98% 0.104 0.0175
All Things Weaken 744 19.87 1.201 59.27% 0.534 0.8759
Attenuated Essence 41 19.0 -1.376 56.1% -0.243 -0.1685
Back Against the Wall 1353 19.22 -1.401 57.72% -0.55 -0.4746
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 54 22.65 1.093 61.11% 0.326 0.5173
Burn Brightest Before the End 33 19.7 -0.125 48.48% -0.559 -0.4355
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1580 16.11 -2.403 54.94% -0.492 -0.119
Downward Spiral 5981 16.83 -1.481 58.92% -0.088 0.0489
Erosion of Will 1652 18.52 -1.203 58.9% -0.056 0.2388
Intensifying Exploitation 37 18.16 -0.201 48.65% -0.15 0.0889
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 306 24.6 -1.081 86.93% 0.072 -0.46
Memory Fades to Dust 5899 16.54 -0.779 54.64% 0.029 0.3096
Power Corrodes the Spirit 738 18.73 -1.876 60.43% -0.387 -0.2343
Promising Farmlands 1593 17.79 -1.146 60.14% -0.109 0.2376
Shattered Fragments of Power 38 19.74 0.503 47.37% -0.354 -0.1592
Slow Dissolution of Will 51 15.43 -2.991 37.25% -0.929 -0.4779
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 250 25.04 1.009 91.2% 0.547 -0.1934
The Border of Life and Death 20 13.4 0.18 40.0% 0.11 -0.3227
Thriving Communities 723 18.09 -0.259 56.71% 0.272 0.5703
Thriving Crops 19 19.21 -0.763 52.63% -0.19 -0.2923
Tipping Point 618 17.72 0.0 59.71%
Unnatural Proliferation 745 18.54 -2.394 52.35% -0.336 -0.1912
Untended Land Crumbles 741 19.51 -0.01 63.56% -0.285 0.0149

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 17941 34.02% 23.74 -0.562 78.23% -0.293 0.7014
B 18464 32.71% 24.22 0.432 79.91% -0.052 0.8664
C 18194 32.73% 24.18 0.18 79.26% -0.129 0.6134
D 17581 33.1% 24.11 -0.145 79.81% -0.133 0.8189
E 5322 28.2% 25.84 0.483 81.98% -0.092 0.6881
F 7499 30.19% 24.92 -0.062 81.57% -0.192 0.7002
G 6913 31.63% 24.84 0.053 81.43% -0.397 0.4582
H 7085 30.53% 25.1 0.826 82.3% -0.255 0.5937
East 3712 37.31% 31.31 0.575 71.93% -0.511 0.2579
Northeast 2225 36.82% 31.21 1.366 71.69% -0.328 0.4592
Northwest 1690 36.07% 31.22 -0.518 72.96% -0.709 0.275
Southeast 445 29.21% 29.5 0.315 70.11% -0.439 0.4358
Southwest 412 35.44% 23.94 -0.72 61.17% -0.323 0.8847
West 3199 39.5% 29.9 -1.468 69.46% -0.972 -0.0381

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1092 0.0% 20.93 -2.538 65.93% -0.907 -0.278
Not Using Events or Tokens 19804 40.61% 22.33 -1.431 72.02% -0.351 0.1551
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1090 11.5% 33.55 3.144 88.99% -0.357 -0.9916
Start of Game Growth 1828 14.63% 31.8 2.779 89.17% 0.426 0.0369
Unlimited Undo 4536 26.95% 26.68 1.358 84.08% 0.553 0.5978
Using Tokens but Not Events 7358 22.19% 26.77 0.801 85.84% 0.187 0.1597

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8954 17.67 26.56%
II 25509 30.7 74.84%
III 27252 34.75 88.21%
IV 13958 38.22 99.13%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.159 Win Model: 0.449
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 53810 37.61% 24.35 77.27%
2 14878 32.44% 24.54 80.02%
3 4859 20.56% 26.66 86.38%
4 1945 23.33% 25.85 79.33%
5 45 37.78% 24.82 82.22%
6 136 16.18% 26.45 61.76%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2373
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 23385
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18204
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 13688
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2838
Lose: Invader deck ran out 763
Lose: Adversary condition 3694
Win: Sacrifice victory 305
Lose: Scenario condition 515
Win: Scenario condition 1390
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7992
Lose: Spirit destroyed 526

The Kingdom of England — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5243 21.7% 34.23 2.596 83.01% 0.607 0.4841
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2346 52.28% 31.05 -0.862 72.59% -0.294 -0.0533
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 29 31.03% 34.62 4.888 86.21% 1.157 0.1563
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1922 33.6% 33.02 0.927 81.63% 0.315 0.0882
Downpour Drenches the World 303 24.17% 29.5 0.659 70.96% 0.112 0.4375
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 275 24.73% 31.17 3.295 74.18% 0.707 0.2071
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2659 21.57% 36.64 2.84 85.37% 0.593 0.1318
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2453 27.98% 36.12 3.361 87.04% 0.829 0.3996
Finder of Paths Unseen 145 42.07% 20.26 -4.859 46.21% -1.117 -0.2946
Fractured Days Split the Sky 484 39.34% 32.61 1.245 66.74% -0.199 0.3979
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 605 45.12% 32.26 -1.17 74.05% -0.226 -0.2266
Heart of the Wildfire 2856 64.51% 27.69 -3.773 65.34% -0.815 -0.4309
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4636 36.53% 33.28 1.178 81.9% 0.272 -0.2231
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 29 37.93% 28.48 1.097 72.41% 0.262 -0.2851
Lightning's Swift Strike 4272 43.6% 31.5 -0.341 74.23% -0.12 0.0632
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 145 42.66% 33.92 2.22 80.0% 0.453 -0.0837
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 427 26.53% 37.11 2.998 86.18% 0.29 -0.001
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 258 36.82% 33.35 2.608 75.58% 0.716 0.5678
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1286 40.84% 33.66 1.528 79.24% 0.411 0.1596
Many Minds Move as One 858 26.46% 33.93 0.937 80.89% 0.101 -0.0558
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4125 49.93% 30.81 -0.403 72.68% -0.03 -0.0196
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1943 39.61% 31.01 0.895 74.78% 0.325 0.1795
River Surges in Sunlight 4819 44.3% 30.57 -1.758 63.98% -0.424 -0.3862
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 450 47.2% 29.78 0.181 56.89% -0.105 0.1546
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 128 48.44% 33.78 0.626 63.28% 0.078 0.0279
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2492 33.98% 32.55 -0.064 80.3% -0.04 -0.2143
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2348 61.44% 27.88 -2.234 59.5% -0.619 -0.0069
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 45 46.67% 32.78 -1.914 62.22% -0.246 -0.1423
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 27 33.33% 29.56 2.121 66.67% 0.226 -0.3554
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 32 46.88% 31.19 -1.982 68.75% -0.108 -0.0613
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 258 42.02% 31.13 -1.874 76.36% -0.164 -0.0833
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 163 63.8% 27.57 1.46 59.51% -0.015 0.1932
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2827 34.89% 34.25 1.413 80.26% 0.18 0.2596
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 92 20.65% 32.83 2.613 73.91% 0.363 0.0407
Shifting Memory of Ages 472 45.74% 29.09 -0.579 70.76% -0.149 0.1164
Shroud of Silent Mist 638 52.75% 28.03 -1.54 67.87% -0.362 0.0053
Starlight Seeks its Form 656 28.29% 32.88 -1.402 77.74% -0.215 -0.443
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1469 28.91% 32.52 -0.434 81.48% 0.246 -0.1098
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1320 48.67% 28.13 -3.375 59.55% -1.167 -1.0343
Thunderspeaker 4485 31.69% 35.19 -1.15 80.65% -0.289 -0.26
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 68 38.24% 24.4 -2.702 52.94% -0.655 -0.415
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 889 67.49% 27.83 -1.057 70.08% -0.343 -0.1522
Vital Strength of the Earth 3256 38.38% 28.63 -1.67 65.91% -0.321 0.2364
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 92 35.56% 29.35 0.808 64.13% -0.32 0.0895
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 207 36.23% 26.65 -0.524 60.87% -0.076 0.6522
Volcano Looming High 838 46.81% 28.46 -2.32 70.64% -0.295 -0.2762
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 63 34.92% 30.13 3.169 74.6% 0.736 0.1427

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 11 9.09% 22.82 4.4 45.45% 0.138 -0.0018
Blitz 0 862 41.46% 28.39 -0.692 67.17% 0.077 0.1883
Dahan Insurrection 4 630 28.71% 52.74 6.068 73.65% -0.367 -0.6024
Despicable Theft 2 103 37.86% 30.57 -7.068 54.37% -0.995 -0.352
Elemental Invocation 1 129 53.49% 25.6 -4.934 54.26% -1.328 -0.5263
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1605 11.54% 37.4 3.428 77.45% 0.335 -0.4393
Powers Long Forgotten 1 357 58.43% 32.04 2.716 60.78% 0.197 0.9695
Rituals of Terror 3 322 43.61% 32.85 -8.249 51.24% -2.103 -2.0868
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 166 69.28% 39.49 -1.628 63.25% -0.941 0.1164
Second Wave 0 2621 44.74% 32.58 0.07 68.68% -0.369 -0.289
The Great River 3 76 51.32% 28.93 -6.766 40.79% -0.917 0.2113
Varied Terrains 2 42 47.62% 23.19 -10.542 40.48% -1.176 -0.4841
Ward the Shores 2 437 53.32% 32.51 -2.177 51.03% -0.784 0.0789

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 28887 41.14% 30.88 -0.0 74.04% 0.372 0.5732
1 Thematic 3341 47.53% 36.01 -1.178 68.21% -0.072 0.6472
2 Archipelago 18 50.0% 36.22 6.274 55.56% -0.194 0.0612
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6261 39.77% 30.93 -0.049 75.93% 0.162 0.1702
2 Coastline 667 41.15% 30.57 -2.095 76.01% -0.343 -0.5484
2 Fragment 208 51.22% 29.2 -0.772 72.6% 0.112 -0.1651
2 Heart 114 36.61% 29.68 -1.967 73.68% 0.173 -0.0477
2 Opposite Shores 1245 37.31% 32.03 0.443 79.36% 0.291 0.3482
2 Thematic 983 45.04% 37.21 0.761 68.77% -0.135 0.3168
2 Top to Top 208 45.89% 30.12 0.889 74.04% 0.069 -0.0283
3 Archipelago 5 20.0% 47.6 0.0 80.0%
3 Coastline 12 25.0% 35.08 -2.643 83.33% -0.192 -0.7591
3 Other 94 34.41% 30.78 -6.835 76.6% -0.989 -1.0177
3 Round (Default) 2577 31.68% 32.89 1.115 78.5% 0.027 -0.1992
3 Sunrise 10 44.44% 32.3 0.0 80.0%
3 Thematic 244 39.09% 37.0 -12.68 69.26% -1.187 -0.9898
4 Archipelago 12 33.33% 53.08 13.095 100.0% 0.235 -0.9509
4 Coastline 5 40.0% 28.4 0.0 40.0%
4 Leaf 9 11.11% 34.67 0.0 88.89%
4 Other 28 39.29% 33.89 5.417 78.57% 0.276 -1.0819
4 Thematic 222 38.91% 40.83 1.832 72.52% 0.158 -0.0404
4 Trapezoid (Default) 864 32.27% 32.58 0.563 78.24% -0.169 -0.4121
5 Archipelago 5 40.0% 43.8 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 38 34.21% 30.89 0.712 68.42% 0.355 -0.7018
5 Thematic 6 33.33% 39.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 4 25.0% 28.0 6.233 50.0% 0.217 -0.5205
6 Star 1 0.0% 37.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 41 24.39% 46.05 3.476 73.17% 0.033 0.7872
6 Two Centers (Default) 22 31.82% 30.5 2.459 68.18% -0.134 -0.7131
7 Other 2 50.0% 37.5 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1343 25.27 0.321 55.03% -0.153 0.0071
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1094 27.08 0.831 58.96% 0.111 0.0248
All Things Weaken 601 25.56 -0.86 56.41% -0.207 0.1351
Attenuated Essence 41 26.54 3.94 58.54% 0.561 0.6348
Back Against the Wall 1060 25.84 0.13 55.47% -0.274 -0.1991
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 34 17.97 -1.973 38.24% -0.411 -0.2204
Burn Brightest Before the End 44 29.05 3.124 63.64% 0.545 0.6683
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1209 22.69 0.721 52.11% 0.019 0.3922
Downward Spiral 3617 24.09 -0.315 57.73% 0.023 0.16
Erosion of Will 1235 24.67 -1.294 53.44% -0.243 0.0521
Intensifying Exploitation 35 22.8 -1.981 54.29% -0.115 0.123
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 235 31.86 1.978 83.83% 0.259 -0.2729
Memory Fades to Dust 3652 23.39 -1.073 52.66% -0.35 -0.0693
Power Corrodes the Spirit 618 25.67 -0.679 60.52% -0.162 -0.0092
Promising Farmlands 1261 23.61 -0.482 53.85% -0.106 0.2401
Shattered Fragments of Power 33 25.97 3.278 54.55% 0.586 0.7813
Slow Dissolution of Will 41 25.68 -0.188 53.66% -0.251 0.2004
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 167 32.7 5.23 88.02% 0.732 -0.0088
The Border of Life and Death 8 24.13 -7.782 50.0% -0.393 -0.8256
Thriving Communities 505 24.48 -2.368 55.45% -0.768 -0.4697
Thriving Crops 21 24.52 0.713 61.9% 0.354 0.2512
Tipping Point 494 24.82 0.0 55.87%
Unnatural Proliferation 623 25.51 -1.809 53.29% -0.607 -0.4613
Untended Land Crumbles 570 25.19 -2.894 58.77% -0.496 -0.1963

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10480 40.51% 30.83 -0.012 74.02% 0.084 1.0782
B 10722 37.98% 31.31 0.04 75.48% 0.036 0.9544
C 10873 38.16% 31.45 0.666 75.76% 0.24 0.9825
D 10299 39.45% 31.23 0.226 75.68% 0.124 1.0754
E 3332 38.51% 31.84 0.926 76.95% 0.22 1.0008
F 4402 38.0% 31.58 -0.192 76.81% 0.025 0.9177
G 4188 40.99% 31.29 -0.001 75.31% 0.036 0.8918
H 4401 36.98% 31.79 -0.474 76.32% -0.183 0.6649
East 3034 44.08% 38.11 2.359 70.4% 0.423 1.1925
Northeast 1701 43.34% 38.6 2.004 71.49% 0.113 0.9
Northwest 1401 42.77% 38.17 1.185 71.02% 0.243 1.2263
Southeast 431 41.53% 34.3 -3.471 64.04% -0.889 -0.0149
Southwest 417 47.24% 30.0 -3.285 59.95% -0.333 0.8749
West 2689 47.19% 36.22 -3.411 67.2% -1.437 -0.5023

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 592 0.0% 27.04 1.758 59.29% 0.344 0.9735
Not Using Events or Tokens 10115 40.96% 29.76 -1.307 69.51% -0.179 0.3278
Skip Initial Invader Actions 670 13.1% 43.46 3.743 90.0% 0.472 -0.1631
Start of Game Growth 1033 15.27% 41.9 2.856 89.45% 0.348 -0.0417
Unlimited Undo 3206 34.32% 32.79 -0.891 79.35% -0.301 -0.2569
Using Tokens but Not Events 4156 29.41% 33.79 1.614 81.23% 0.339 0.3117

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5343 17.67 21.67%
II 17127 30.7 67.42%
III 14830 34.75 86.06%
IV 8857 38.22 99.25%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.269 Win Model: 0.266
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 32386 41.85% 31.4 73.33%
2 9669 40.58% 31.66 75.53%
3 2873 31.32% 33.43 78.87%
4 1123 33.51% 34.23 77.29%
5 38 28.95% 31.79 65.79%
6 68 26.47% 39.63 69.12%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1153
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12412
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10923
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8691
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1761
Lose: Invader deck ran out 390
Lose: Adversary condition 2876
Win: Sacrifice victory 202
Lose: Scenario condition 421
Win: Scenario condition 877
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6133
Lose: Spirit destroyed 318

The Kingdom of England — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5360 33.61% 34.6 0.985 73.17% 0.482 0.359
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3199 65.91% 30.06 -0.427 59.08% 0.074 0.3149
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 53 28.3% 32.89 4.282 62.26% 0.621 -0.3805
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2724 43.9% 33.9 1.446 74.52% 0.517 0.2902
Downpour Drenches the World 438 27.52% 31.03 0.581 64.38% 0.313 0.6385
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 545 34.93% 31.77 4.164 69.17% 1.019 0.5197
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3472 33.35% 36.53 1.943 77.56% 0.549 0.088
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3323 40.2% 36.27 3.825 77.73% 0.696 0.2666
Finder of Paths Unseen 180 53.89% 20.67 -4.59 36.11% -0.921 -0.0985
Fractured Days Split the Sky 642 45.24% 34.53 1.363 64.33% 0.201 0.7986
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 713 56.48% 32.56 0.456 68.02% 0.129 0.1284
Heart of the Wildfire 3835 81.68% 22.54 -4.729 42.92% -1.014 -0.6292
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10046 35.65% 34.89 0.458 77.25% 0.227 -0.2684
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 58 39.66% 27.03 0.815 56.9% 0.168 -0.3787
Lightning's Swift Strike 5250 60.36% 29.41 -1.815 58.48% -0.323 -0.1405
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 226 50.0% 32.05 3.898 69.47% 0.899 0.3622
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 583 48.11% 36.3 -1.187 74.44% -0.103 -0.394
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 393 50.0% 33.52 2.47 64.63% 0.603 0.4548
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2016 56.49% 31.37 1.687 66.32% 0.37 0.1186
Many Minds Move as One 1241 34.03% 35.06 0.616 74.62% 0.266 0.1089
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5811 59.23% 32.31 0.524 67.6% 0.323 0.3335
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2491 48.67% 31.91 -0.354 67.28% -0.081 -0.2272
River Surges in Sunlight 5525 57.76% 30.48 -1.748 53.41% -0.611 -0.5732
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 551 57.64% 31.08 -2.353 53.9% -0.647 -0.3874
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 243 49.16% 30.58 -0.554 51.44% -0.561 -0.612
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3801 44.12% 33.15 -0.038 70.38% -0.109 -0.283
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2196 77.53% 23.81 -3.902 38.62% -0.959 -0.3463
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 37 45.95% 29.03 0.099 51.35% -0.108 -0.0043
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 48 68.75% 30.04 1.895 68.75% 0.527 -0.0541
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 48 54.17% 28.48 1.44 45.83% -0.372 -0.3259
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 267 65.04% 29.81 -3.058 61.8% -0.645 -0.5647
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 166 72.89% 26.11 2.432 46.39% 0.512 0.7195
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3258 45.32% 34.0 0.817 70.99% -0.012 0.0673
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 103 33.98% 25.44 -2.274 54.37% -0.24 -0.5622
Shifting Memory of Ages 793 57.63% 30.84 -1.287 66.58% -0.224 0.0412
Shroud of Silent Mist 851 68.79% 27.31 -4.634 57.58% -0.928 -0.5607
Starlight Seeks its Form 845 46.03% 30.94 1.218 65.44% 0.391 0.1632
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2232 37.61% 33.17 1.65 77.96% 0.664 0.3077
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1525 64.44% 25.9 -2.585 47.21% -0.634 -0.5009
Thunderspeaker 4873 49.38% 33.06 0.531 65.4% 0.08 0.1088
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 79 50.63% 27.96 0.038 59.49% 0.471 0.711
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1463 79.34% 28.54 -2.118 64.59% -0.246 -0.0554
Vital Strength of the Earth 4477 41.5% 30.12 -2.162 61.34% -0.463 0.0944
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 132 46.92% 24.27 -3.077 47.73% -0.64 -0.2303
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 305 50.49% 26.54 -5.485 48.2% -0.708 0.0201
Volcano Looming High 1550 63.95% 28.48 -1.159 63.03% 0.174 0.1935
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 146 45.21% 29.72 2.324 60.27% 0.376 -0.2182

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 22 18.18% 23.59 -5.105 50.0% -0.392 -0.5319
Blitz 0 880 50.12% 29.0 0.429 56.93% 0.385 0.4957
Dahan Insurrection 4 638 41.35% 45.16 3.784 53.13% -0.714 -0.9488
Despicable Theft 2 53 62.26% 26.15 -4.399 37.74% -0.83 -0.1874
Elemental Invocation 1 165 57.58% 25.3 -2.562 43.03% -1.073 -0.2714
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2395 14.06% 38.9 5.384 73.99% 0.904 0.1299
Powers Long Forgotten 1 313 68.27% 28.33 -4.88 46.33% -1.145 -0.3726
Rituals of Terror 3 216 60.65% 36.2 2.592 44.91% 0.094 0.1101
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 159 77.36% 34.58 -4.411 44.03% -1.501 -0.4441
Second Wave 0 1649 56.98% 30.89 2.054 53.97% 0.04 0.1206
The Great River 3 81 48.15% 32.42 -12.123 41.98% -0.916 0.2126
Varied Terrains 2 26 69.23% 16.81 -11.054 11.54% -0.263 0.4294
Ward the Shores 2 367 54.5% 33.46 -5.844 45.78% -1.471 -0.6083

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 41058 50.14% 31.38 0.233 67.16% -0.248 -0.0469
1 Thematic 2894 58.07% 33.26 -2.986 52.32% -1.106 -0.3862
2 Archipelago 20 45.0% 36.25 -9.816 35.0% -0.271 -0.0165
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8476 54.11% 30.44 -0.674 64.19% -0.429 -0.421
2 Coastline 911 44.41% 32.98 0.434 72.34% -0.253 -0.4579
2 Fragment 224 53.36% 29.77 -3.826 60.71% -0.812 -1.0889
2 Heart 131 56.49% 30.39 3.001 64.89% 0.344 0.1236
2 Opposite Shores 1770 49.63% 32.12 1.604 68.19% 0.01 0.0667
2 Thematic 1092 54.32% 33.7 -1.114 52.66% -1.015 -0.5634
2 Top to Top 261 58.24% 30.97 -0.554 66.28% -0.105 -0.2025
3 Archipelago 6 83.33% 39.83 5.97 66.67% 0.191 -0.6006
3 Coastline 10 20.0% 26.7 7.312 40.0% 0.19 -0.3773
3 Other 117 48.72% 32.86 -0.386 70.09% 0.253 0.2241
3 Round (Default) 3089 47.17% 32.25 -0.404 66.75% -0.502 -0.7279
3 Sunrise 10 40.0% 39.1 0.0 90.0%
3 Thematic 223 58.3% 36.69 11.649 53.81% 1.031 1.2277
4 Archipelago 7 42.86% 63.57 25.826 100.0% 0.343 -0.843
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 42.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 6 66.67% 24.0 6.022 50.0% 0.558 -0.1411
4 Other 64 59.38% 34.52 10.224 75.0% 1.576 0.2188
4 Thematic 371 49.11% 36.57 2.999 55.8% 0.067 -0.131
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1363 40.94% 33.35 -0.986 68.6% -0.456 -0.6993
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 72 45.83% 34.61 2.237 73.61% -0.121 -1.1776
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 78.33 15.827 100.0% 0.404 -0.074
6 Other 12 41.67% 30.25 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 12 41.67% 24.25 -9.409 41.67% -0.744 -0.8003
6 Thematic 41 27.5% 37.9 -0.182 58.54% -0.557 0.1971
6 Two Centers (Default) 39 33.33% 37.08 1.112 74.36% -0.43 -1.0092
7 Other 2 100.0% 24.5 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2329 26.95 1.058 53.28% 0.207 0.367
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1930 29.25 2.46 57.88% 0.396 0.3102
All Things Weaken 1084 26.9 -0.136 53.32% -0.048 0.2938
Attenuated Essence 69 26.19 1.332 52.17% 0.29 0.3638
Back Against the Wall 1829 27.63 1.787 52.38% 0.389 0.464
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 86 20.33 -0.158 34.88% -0.355 -0.1636
Burn Brightest Before the End 71 31.0 4.926 60.56% 0.636 0.7599
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2212 24.55 -0.719 50.72% -0.16 0.2127
Downward Spiral 5468 24.95 0.489 49.51% 0.244 0.3806
Erosion of Will 2187 26.22 1.442 50.11% 0.136 0.4311
Intensifying Exploitation 95 23.55 -0.149 49.47% 0.096 0.3342
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 441 34.33 0.218 80.05% -0.165 -0.6969
Memory Fades to Dust 5628 24.56 -1.125 46.96% -0.082 0.1986
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1105 26.93 0.56 55.66% 0.101 0.2538
Promising Farmlands 2165 25.96 0.9 53.35% 0.465 0.8114
Shattered Fragments of Power 70 28.26 3.714 50.0% 0.528 0.7229
Slow Dissolution of Will 84 23.1 2.085 46.43% 0.44 0.8913
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 291 34.99 4.738 80.41% 1.091 0.3501
The Border of Life and Death 34 25.62 1.299 50.0% 0.117 -0.3158
Thriving Communities 1060 24.55 -0.419 47.74% -0.206 0.0925
Thriving Crops 41 22.2 -1.395 48.78% 0.032 -0.0709
Tipping Point 850 24.86 0.0 47.76%
Unnatural Proliferation 1181 27.21 2.224 52.24% 0.334 0.4798
Untended Land Crumbles 1044 25.92 -0.752 52.97% -0.13 0.1691

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 13452 52.31% 30.82 0.268 64.33% -0.033 0.9614
B 14094 50.69% 31.17 0.215 65.4% -0.083 0.8355
C 15427 48.5% 32.06 -0.232 67.75% -0.111 0.632
D 13025 51.45% 30.99 -0.621 65.49% -0.209 0.7421
E 5229 46.36% 32.91 1.325 71.01% 0.006 0.7869
F 7011 49.32% 31.54 -0.092 67.67% -0.237 0.6552
G 6172 50.45% 31.46 0.195 67.6% -0.098 0.7578
H 6663 46.68% 32.34 -0.258 69.02% -0.244 0.6038
East 3007 54.31% 35.36 1.294 54.44% 0.135 0.9046
Northeast 1823 52.21% 35.42 -1.209 53.15% -0.537 0.25
Northwest 1444 55.95% 34.39 0.07 53.12% 0.003 0.9862
Southeast 427 48.44% 34.23 1.87 57.61% 0.246 1.1206
Southwest 394 49.1% 27.98 -1.369 47.72% -0.323 0.8845
West 2650 56.9% 33.01 0.622 50.42% -0.617 0.3171

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 530 0.0% 28.27 3.862 50.75% 0.763 1.3929
Not Using Events or Tokens 9648 56.9% 27.7 -1.612 52.51% -0.47 0.0366
Skip Initial Invader Actions 724 19.05% 44.17 5.131 82.18% 0.8 0.165
Start of Game Growth 1133 20.4% 42.94 5.659 83.76% 0.915 0.5257
Unlimited Undo 4593 46.39% 32.68 -2.17 69.69% -0.413 -0.3686
Using Tokens but Not Events 5946 41.23% 33.57 0.777 73.73% 0.162 0.1348

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10194 17.67 5.84%
II 19029 30.7 52.94%
III 19915 34.75 86.51%
IV 13194 38.22 99.35%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.147 Win Model: 0.102
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 44145 50.65% 31.5 66.16%
2 12810 53.01% 31.19 64.43%
3 3422 47.88% 32.48 65.75%
4 1800 42.87% 34.27 66.89%
5 48 43.75% 29.56 58.33%
6 107 33.96% 35.13 60.75%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 593
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 16869
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9695
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 12968
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2293
Lose: Invader deck ran out 458
Lose: Adversary condition 6781
Win: Sacrifice victory 240
Lose: Scenario condition 747
Win: Scenario condition 640
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10480
Lose: Spirit destroyed 568

The Kingdom of England — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5942 42.69% 36.58 0.993 58.2% 0.363 0.2404
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3103 73.63% 31.44 -1.798 44.47% -0.208 0.0326
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 84 58.33% 36.68 5.501 63.1% 0.997 -0.0044
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2575 58.98% 34.6 -0.518 55.81% -0.021 -0.2482
Downpour Drenches the World 490 43.12% 29.9 -0.341 44.29% 0.151 0.4761
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 772 46.24% 32.93 3.381 56.09% 0.835 0.3351
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3354 43.21% 38.69 -0.958 63.3% -0.135 -0.5958
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3901 49.74% 39.5 3.194 65.85% 0.791 0.362
Finder of Paths Unseen 167 55.69% 21.96 -3.37 26.35% -0.49 0.3323
Fractured Days Split the Sky 840 51.68% 36.76 -2.046 48.21% -0.121 0.4756
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 834 65.02% 33.9 0.5 50.6% 0.415 0.4141
Heart of the Wildfire 3634 84.43% 23.09 -5.31 26.06% -1.195 -0.8105
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8065 52.33% 37.29 2.935 61.35% 0.573 0.0778
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 88 55.68% 28.0 0.873 46.59% 0.268 -0.2788
Lightning's Swift Strike 5527 67.37% 31.32 -2.287 45.3% -0.307 -0.1243
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 365 62.32% 38.3 1.283 61.37% 0.472 -0.065
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 475 56.54% 38.8 1.534 64.42% 0.375 0.084
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 542 54.53% 35.91 2.649 53.87% 0.704 0.5561
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2644 69.8% 32.47 -0.377 50.11% -0.036 -0.2875
Many Minds Move as One 1100 44.13% 38.78 3.934 64.18% 0.827 0.6697
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6780 64.63% 35.5 0.399 57.08% 0.32 0.3306
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2620 56.95% 32.49 -1.974 48.28% -0.526 -0.6723
River Surges in Sunlight 5367 61.84% 33.68 -0.385 44.55% 0.02 0.0581
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 558 67.2% 32.21 -1.888 45.88% -0.167 0.0928
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 308 56.58% 31.97 0.671 42.53% -0.083 -0.1339
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4806 51.08% 36.81 1.191 59.55% 0.258 0.0838
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1639 79.38% 24.07 -5.484 23.18% -1.685 -1.073
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 43 62.79% 27.65 0.057 34.88% 0.142 0.2457
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 57 66.67% 28.65 1.124 49.12% 0.24 -0.3413
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 52 65.38% 27.21 -8.562 32.69% -0.922 -0.8757
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 240 75.0% 31.27 -3.242 45.0% -0.755 -0.6743
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 145 76.92% 25.67 -6.862 28.97% -0.81 -0.6023
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3195 56.13% 34.58 -2.799 52.64% -0.641 -0.5613
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 133 45.86% 28.2 3.022 42.11% 0.223 -0.0991
Shifting Memory of Ages 960 62.24% 32.84 0.732 52.71% 0.269 0.5344
Shroud of Silent Mist 911 74.14% 30.78 -1.116 47.64% -0.07 0.2972
Starlight Seeks its Form 1358 46.92% 33.83 0.887 53.76% 0.275 0.0469
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3565 45.52% 37.78 2.29 64.15% 0.924 0.568
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1213 70.03% 28.36 -4.845 36.52% -1.14 -1.0069
Thunderspeaker 5340 60.88% 34.91 -1.329 52.75% -0.136 -0.1064
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 89 56.18% 27.28 1.101 37.08% 0.098 0.3379
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1711 85.64% 32.61 1.156 55.0% 0.468 0.6585
Vital Strength of the Earth 3376 56.92% 30.08 -3.669 40.05% -0.662 -0.1048
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 224 55.96% 27.21 -2.36 40.18% -0.353 0.0569
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 261 67.82% 29.82 0.142 42.15% -0.234 0.4938
Volcano Looming High 1847 70.62% 30.81 -0.685 50.68% 0.236 0.2553
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 144 59.03% 31.67 2.694 50.0% 0.523 -0.0705

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 55.56% 27.33 0.0 33.33%
Blitz 0 590 48.68% 34.12 0.764 49.15% 0.173 0.2835
Dahan Insurrection 4 548 46.11% 48.58 1.359 44.34% -0.473 -0.7086
Despicable Theft 2 35 57.14% 27.69 -1.409 25.71% 0.177 0.8205
Elemental Invocation 1 119 70.59% 32.06 -3.551 37.82% -1.28 -0.478
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2351 20.53% 41.19 3.422 60.1% 0.269 -0.5051
Powers Long Forgotten 1 180 71.67% 30.63 -5.088 33.33% -0.506 0.2669
Rituals of Terror 3 160 71.7% 35.92 -2.882 30.0% -1.582 -1.566
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 54 90.74% 38.46 3.829 37.04% 0.175 1.2317
Second Wave 0 807 57.29% 35.03 3.664 46.84% 0.114 0.1943
The Great River 3 57 56.14% 31.46 9.563 24.56% 0.058 1.1869
Varied Terrains 2 14 64.29% 13.14 -11.27 7.14% -0.582 0.1104
Ward the Shores 2 185 64.86% 34.12 -3.401 34.59% -0.816 0.0473

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 40497 62.72% 33.47 0.493 52.94% 0.19 0.391
1 Thematic 2111 60.58% 37.43 -2.462 45.29% -0.905 -0.1857
2 Archipelago 21 42.86% 42.19 0.0 57.14%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8753 61.26% 33.26 0.23 51.98% 0.029 0.037
2 Coastline 1148 57.46% 35.62 3.481 58.01% 0.45 0.2448
2 Fragment 217 64.52% 32.64 0.798 49.31% -0.032 -0.3097
2 Heart 125 71.77% 34.7 6.18 55.2% 0.666 0.4456
2 Opposite Shores 1901 60.24% 32.54 -4.032 48.71% -0.968 -0.9108
2 Thematic 717 64.56% 34.78 -0.236 36.68% -0.67 -0.218
2 Top to Top 353 59.54% 35.84 1.474 58.07% 0.143 0.0451
3 Archipelago 4 75.0% 48.5 33.401 50.0% 0.318 -0.4733
3 Coastline 13 46.15% 40.46 0.0 61.54%
3 Other 130 44.96% 38.91 3.408 64.62% -0.013 -0.0418
3 Round (Default) 3687 54.6% 34.17 -0.27 52.7% -0.364 -0.5899
3 Sunrise 19 57.89% 42.63 0.0 63.16%
3 Thematic 168 66.07% 34.23 1.958 29.76% 0.154 0.3508
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 30.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 3 33.33% 30.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Other 76 57.33% 34.71 9.858 56.58% 0.86 -0.4971
4 Snake 4 75.0% 32.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 345 49.86% 37.42 4.488 40.87% 0.573 0.3742
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1920 45.52% 36.1 -1.066 55.26% -0.594 -0.8372
5 Other 59 43.86% 43.8 6.834 69.49% 0.619 -0.4382
5 Thematic 4 75.0% 34.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 5 20.0% 44.2 0.0 60.0%
6 Other 19 26.32% 39.26 6.557 47.37% 0.048 -0.6894
6 Star 13 46.15% 47.23 -0.96 61.54% -0.356 -0.4126
6 Thematic 48 35.42% 36.6 -13.835 18.75% -0.104 0.65
6 Two Centers (Default) 64 37.5% 33.94 4.818 50.0% -0.098 -0.6772
7 Other 3 33.33% 7.67 -11.454 0.0% -0.229 -0.6409

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2765 30.04 1.745 41.92% 0.132 0.2917
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2240 32.87 2.732 47.59% 0.309 0.2226
All Things Weaken 1452 31.86 2.293 47.66% 0.269 0.6113
Attenuated Essence 127 31.47 3.483 49.61% 0.515 0.5887
Back Against the Wall 2277 31.28 2.231 43.52% 0.311 0.3861
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 133 27.57 1.674 40.6% 0.113 0.3044
Burn Brightest Before the End 89 34.51 6.285 56.18% 0.976 1.0999
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2670 27.9 -0.097 41.05% -0.027 0.3458
Downward Spiral 6159 29.15 1.03 43.74% 0.42 0.557
Erosion of Will 2710 29.69 1.935 40.92% 0.22 0.5147
Intensifying Exploitation 120 24.4 0.771 35.0% 0.151 0.3894
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 482 38.15 1.78 67.63% 0.668 0.1363
Memory Fades to Dust 6195 28.96 1.265 41.45% 0.363 0.6435
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1426 30.31 1.209 45.51% 0.055 0.2079
Promising Farmlands 2775 29.31 0.333 43.35% 0.036 0.3821
Shattered Fragments of Power 103 31.69 0.974 42.72% -0.509 -0.3145
Slow Dissolution of Will 126 23.62 0.084 30.95% -0.411 0.0402
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 333 38.57 2.795 70.27% 0.279 -0.4614
The Border of Life and Death 29 28.21 3.565 48.28% 0.63 0.1967
Thriving Communities 1467 30.27 1.925 46.49% 0.139 0.4378
Thriving Crops 70 28.39 0.395 42.86% -0.17 -0.2727
Tipping Point 1031 28.72 0.0 41.22%
Unnatural Proliferation 1597 32.57 3.608 49.15% 0.448 0.5938
Untended Land Crumbles 1442 30.13 1.356 44.94% 0.022 0.3212

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14245 60.04% 33.44 -0.48 51.36% -0.123 0.8715
B 15062 59.99% 33.34 0.224 51.17% -0.045 0.8731
C 16081 59.3% 33.97 -0.511 53.21% -0.083 0.66
D 13767 60.5% 33.5 -0.108 52.42% 0.055 1.0065
E 5979 55.51% 35.28 0.427 57.12% -0.067 0.7133
F 7427 59.64% 34.14 -0.054 54.44% -0.067 0.8258
G 6450 59.69% 34.11 1.328 53.74% 0.312 1.1678
H 7180 56.1% 34.8 -0.268 55.39% -0.123 0.7249
East 2144 58.59% 38.09 0.323 41.98% -0.454 0.315
Northeast 1331 55.37% 38.59 1.93 40.95% 0.294 1.0818
Northwest 1104 57.21% 35.97 -2.148 39.13% 0.03 1.0136
Southeast 372 57.77% 34.69 4.195 36.02% 0.889 1.7638
Southwest 345 56.97% 30.66 -4.317 35.07% -0.391 0.8165
West 2010 60.15% 34.69 -1.324 37.91% -0.486 0.4486

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 555 0.0% 34.14 0.303 47.39% -0.236 0.3938
Not Using Events or Tokens 8298 63.33% 30.53 -3.386 43.69% -0.617 -0.1111
Skip Initial Invader Actions 996 16.65% 51.65 7.756 81.33% 0.83 0.1945
Start of Game Growth 1539 22.28% 48.56 4.43 77.13% 0.532 0.1427
Unlimited Undo 5666 54.79% 36.67 -1.25 60.17% -0.272 -0.2278
Using Tokens but Not Events 5191 52.93% 35.47 2.922 58.27% 0.633 0.6061

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11814 17.67 2.48%
II 18292 30.7 21.93%
III 18066 34.75 78.35%
IV 14288 38.22 99.46%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.04 Win Model: 0.068
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 42799 62.57% 33.69 52.61%
2 13211 61.17% 33.5 51.14%
3 3916 54.56% 34.35 52.78%
4 2346 46.21% 36.34 53.2%
5 37 50.0% 36.14 54.05%
6 151 35.1% 36.25 40.4%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 293
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13848
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3825
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14050
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2743
Lose: Invader deck ran out 461
Lose: Adversary condition 11518
Win: Sacrifice victory 279
Lose: Scenario condition 973
Win: Scenario condition 374
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13408
Lose: Spirit destroyed 688

The Kingdom of England — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5484 39.71% 42.75 0.495 62.64% 0.256 0.1336
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2966 68.43% 37.38 -3.479 51.01% -0.458 -0.2174
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 138 32.61% 28.34 0.6 46.38% 0.451 -0.55
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2432 61.49% 37.8 -0.606 53.0% 0.027 -0.1995
Downpour Drenches the World 599 37.79% 31.53 -5.065 43.74% -0.686 -0.3606
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 882 43.76% 36.73 2.395 57.6% 0.503 0.0034
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3227 43.67% 43.94 1.544 67.12% 0.359 -0.1014
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6771 30.49% 50.36 1.115 81.41% 0.329 -0.1001
Finder of Paths Unseen 185 45.65% 32.19 -1.348 42.16% -0.257 0.5658
Fractured Days Split the Sky 885 45.36% 45.07 0.256 61.24% -0.048 0.5487
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1036 47.25% 42.74 0.506 59.94% 0.15 0.1489
Heart of the Wildfire 3204 75.02% 30.89 -4.264 35.67% -0.819 -0.4345
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 17028 29.75% 47.45 3.039 74.96% 0.596 0.1011
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 74 48.65% 35.61 2.309 55.41% 0.494 -0.0531
Lightning's Swift Strike 4792 59.56% 37.33 -3.041 48.87% -0.264 -0.0815
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 528 56.38% 40.75 6.309 60.98% 1.277 0.7404
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 528 51.05% 44.9 -0.279 70.27% 0.422 0.1308
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 516 46.51% 43.7 1.573 61.82% -0.217 -0.3651
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2482 59.74% 39.44 -0.294 57.53% 0.032 -0.2189
Many Minds Move as One 1156 37.75% 45.14 0.408 71.02% 0.296 0.1387
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5783 58.7% 41.23 0.393 60.59% 0.459 0.47
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2676 54.55% 38.19 1.929 52.8% 0.526 0.3805
River Surges in Sunlight 4539 55.09% 39.97 -0.392 49.99% -0.072 -0.0347
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 502 57.88% 37.9 1.72 45.42% 0.3 0.5604
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 399 30.48% 50.32 1.775 70.18% 0.024 -0.0262
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6470 39.2% 44.91 -1.077 69.17% 0.11 -0.0647
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1071 72.11% 30.07 -7.843 30.63% -1.186 -0.5738
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 34 67.65% 29.79 -0.22 35.29% -0.3 -0.1965
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 61 72.13% 28.93 -0.145 37.7% -0.153 -0.7347
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 53 52.83% 33.51 -0.128 41.51% 0.012 0.0586
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 231 78.79% 30.31 -0.292 31.6% -0.26 -0.1791
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 124 57.26% 41.56 -6.244 55.65% -0.852 -0.6442
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5618 30.86% 48.71 2.965 73.39% 0.399 0.4777
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 117 41.03% 31.47 -0.054 43.59% 0.052 -0.2703
Shifting Memory of Ages 1031 60.87% 38.71 -2.348 54.51% -0.565 -0.3
Shroud of Silent Mist 804 69.34% 37.01 -2.445 52.99% -0.572 -0.2047
Starlight Seeks its Form 1498 48.2% 39.95 4.11 59.21% 0.66 0.4321
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3675 38.51% 40.34 -1.725 69.06% 0.161 -0.1953
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1029 62.37% 35.22 -1.626 43.83% -0.059 0.0741
Thunderspeaker 6514 42.06% 44.51 0.493 63.82% 0.094 0.1227
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 103 40.78% 16.33 -7.416 18.45% -1.278 -1.0387
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2362 80.64% 41.08 2.295 66.13% 0.678 0.8682
Vital Strength of the Earth 2381 52.3% 34.31 -5.643 41.33% -0.849 -0.2917
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 231 45.02% 36.39 0.204 48.05% -0.022 0.3873
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 337 54.01% 38.55 6.079 54.6% 0.6 1.3285
Volcano Looming High 2256 70.04% 35.06 -1.553 50.71% -0.275 -0.256
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 183 49.73% 31.04 1.112 40.98% 0.129 -0.4651

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 14 28.57% 35.36 -12.159 57.14% -0.462 -0.6013
Blitz 0 480 49.16% 37.84 -5.95 49.79% -1.008 -0.8973
Dahan Insurrection 4 399 43.07% 56.28 5.009 50.38% -0.334 -0.5696
Despicable Theft 2 22 63.64% 29.14 -2.843 36.36% -0.163 0.4802
Elemental Invocation 1 88 70.45% 37.65 -11.121 47.73% -0.943 -0.1409
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6071 9.26% 54.68 7.717 82.26% 0.987 0.2131
Powers Long Forgotten 1 139 71.94% 32.05 -2.687 28.78% -0.763 0.0094
Rituals of Terror 3 142 66.9% 38.95 -8.449 29.58% -2.595 -2.579
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 99 87.88% 33.39 -1.406 21.21% 0.308 1.3649
Second Wave 0 447 52.35% 36.98 0.237 44.52% -0.377 -0.2961
The Great River 3 56 62.5% 27.39 -14.441 16.07% -0.993 0.1359
Varied Terrains 2 14 28.57% 31.07 -15.385 35.71% -0.374 0.3184
Ward the Shores 2 147 67.12% 40.43 -8.023 38.78% -1.202 -0.3386

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 45371 51.63% 40.48 0.14 61.4% 0.078 0.2787
1 Thematic 1446 61.41% 37.69 -2.289 37.83% -0.907 -0.1872
2 Archipelago 18 27.78% 50.11 0.0 61.11%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9359 53.44% 40.73 -0.812 59.39% -0.142 -0.1345
2 Coastline 1376 51.1% 43.28 2.647 65.99% 0.622 0.4167
2 Fragment 164 61.73% 35.2 -6.118 46.34% -0.587 -0.8647
2 Heart 168 58.93% 39.9 0.497 57.14% -0.049 -0.2693
2 Opposite Shores 1610 55.43% 39.26 1.279 53.11% 0.181 0.2381
2 Thematic 447 63.53% 38.72 5.197 39.37% 0.29 0.7413
2 Top to Top 305 59.8% 39.38 -1.081 57.38% -0.491 -0.5891
3 Archipelago 10 50.0% 33.0 -11.718 30.0% -1.084 -1.8754
3 Coastline 21 70.0% 31.19 0.0 28.57%
3 Other 158 57.96% 42.25 -14.144 65.82% -0.327 -0.3555
3 Round (Default) 3373 50.8% 39.59 -3.158 57.31% -0.783 -1.0092
3 Sunrise 18 55.56% 37.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 92 56.52% 42.72 -15.98 44.57% -0.656 -0.4594
4 Archipelago 10 60.0% 46.3 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 17 70.59% 38.12 0.0 58.82%
4 Other 74 64.86% 43.53 10.551 67.57% 0.709 -0.6484
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 342 50.29% 49.02 -0.896 57.89% -0.032 -0.2306
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4339 18.32% 50.96 5.607 77.16% 0.612 0.3689
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 25.67 0.0 33.33%
5 Other 96 26.32% 50.71 1.387 77.08% -0.184 -1.2408
5 Thematic 6 0.0% 60.17 -26.012 50.0% -0.344 -0.8224
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 22 19.05% 34.77 -0.981 36.36% -0.103 -0.8402
6 Star 13 53.85% 38.92 -9.702 46.15% -0.583 -0.64
6 Thematic 33 30.3% 45.15 16.076 51.52% 0.609 1.3632
6 Two Centers (Default) 85 28.24% 42.67 5.51 69.41% 0.885 0.3055
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 74.0 0.0 50.0%
7 Other 2 0.0% 48.0 -12.767 50.0% -0.033 -0.4447

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2668 34.3 2.517 45.39% 0.165 0.3243
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2140 36.89 4.57 50.14% 0.474 0.3876
All Things Weaken 1493 35.21 0.612 48.96% -0.024 0.3184
Attenuated Essence 107 27.06 -1.025 36.45% -0.249 -0.1749
Back Against the Wall 2093 35.92 2.206 47.3% -0.201 -0.1259
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 127 32.5 2.341 48.82% 0.428 0.6188
Burn Brightest Before the End 86 31.35 0.723 40.7% -0.297 -0.1728
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2635 32.13 -1.561 44.06% -0.243 0.1295
Downward Spiral 4824 32.89 0.644 44.28% 0.385 0.5214
Erosion of Will 2614 34.17 0.623 44.76% -0.2 0.095
Intensifying Exploitation 118 29.16 0.31 44.07% 0.054 0.2924
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 505 42.1 4.484 67.33% 0.761 0.2289
Memory Fades to Dust 4874 32.87 1.449 42.94% 0.356 0.6363
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1455 34.41 1.088 49.07% 0.154 0.3075
Promising Farmlands 2553 33.29 1.798 45.05% -0.024 0.3223
Shattered Fragments of Power 94 35.45 2.897 51.06% 0.216 0.4106
Slow Dissolution of Will 121 26.01 -2.297 28.93% -0.665 -0.2138
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 403 44.15 4.159 72.95% 0.549 -0.1914
The Border of Life and Death 37 30.81 4.521 48.65% 0.761 0.3276
Thriving Communities 1465 34.08 1.749 48.12% 0.191 0.4898
Thriving Crops 69 31.54 -1.444 46.38% -0.484 -0.5865
Tipping Point 932 31.37 0.0 38.73%
Unnatural Proliferation 1550 36.13 2.572 49.94% 0.226 0.3711
Untended Land Crumbles 1487 34.53 0.596 48.96% 0.057 0.3566

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 16455 45.78% 41.96 -0.014 61.52% -0.317 0.6768
B 18495 43.85% 43.2 1.055 64.0% -0.111 0.8067
C 19384 45.39% 43.22 0.241 64.87% -0.31 0.4325
D 13999 50.9% 40.59 -1.0 59.98% -0.344 0.6078
E 7609 46.51% 42.02 1.286 63.81% -0.103 0.6773
F 9184 45.99% 42.0 -0.611 63.49% -0.317 0.5752
G 8001 47.06% 41.83 0.315 62.79% -0.234 0.6217
H 8091 45.34% 42.77 -0.215 64.81% -0.374 0.4746
East 1575 56.99% 41.77 -1.882 43.05% -1.453 -0.6841
Northeast 995 55.03% 42.66 2.916 43.92% 0.588 1.3754
Northwest 812 59.11% 42.22 0.444 44.46% -0.323 0.6602
Southeast 228 47.14% 41.55 -1.587 49.56% -0.129 0.746
Southwest 259 54.86% 36.55 3.842 44.79% 0.381 1.589
West 1400 61.16% 39.86 2.362 42.0% 0.445 1.3792

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 303 0.0% 41.69 3.069 59.74% 0.415 1.0441
Not Using Events or Tokens 7065 48.84% 40.17 -4.163 57.35% -1.102 -0.5953
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1121 16.98% 59.64 11.205 85.73% 1.49 0.8552
Start of Game Growth 1854 19.48% 54.48 4.917 79.13% 0.407 0.0176
Unlimited Undo 5927 52.49% 41.6 -0.845 63.61% 0.029 0.073
Using Tokens but Not Events 4900 40.29% 43.52 -3.585 65.0% -0.672 -0.6992

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11908 17.67 22.11%
II 18739 30.7 33.03%
III 20404 34.75 75.6%
IV 17961 38.22 99.7%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.344 Win Model: 0.203
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 47032 51.9% 40.44 60.77%
2 13354 54.26% 40.56 58.17%
3 3614 51.32% 39.62 56.89%
4 4805 21.36% 50.74 75.57%
5 49 31.25% 41.16 57.14%
6 158 28.85% 42.36 59.49%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2632
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 15148
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6013
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17716
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2773
Lose: Invader deck ran out 91
Lose: Adversary condition 10679
Win: Sacrifice victory 344
Lose: Scenario condition 1137
Win: Scenario condition 304
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11550
Lose: Spirit destroyed 625

The Kingdom of England — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2183 46.55% 45.26 0.502 48.28% 0.397 0.2748
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 803 80.25% 37.2 -2.971 35.24% -0.269 -0.0282
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 32 56.25% 51.09 10.145 68.75% 1.695 0.694
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 600 76.21% 30.78 -5.494 20.17% -0.393 -0.6198
Downpour Drenches the World 202 39.3% 31.03 -4.367 30.69% -0.676 -0.3508
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 550 68.55% 32.56 1.041 35.45% 0.62 0.1209
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1030 60.43% 42.55 -4.87 46.7% -0.474 -0.9348
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1527 57.81% 45.01 -0.935 50.95% 0.304 -0.1254
Finder of Paths Unseen 79 54.43% 27.62 -9.302 22.78% -1.033 -0.2103
Fractured Days Split the Sky 335 63.66% 45.27 -6.234 39.1% -0.268 0.3295
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 252 83.33% 30.91 -5.256 25.0% -0.532 -0.5326
Heart of the Wildfire 1031 86.19% 25.63 -9.576 12.9% -1.305 -0.9208
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4438 54.52% 45.25 -0.397 53.94% 0.514 0.0194
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 15 66.67% 23.27 -4.439 26.67% -0.11 -0.6572
Lightning's Swift Strike 2440 63.78% 41.26 0.115 39.47% 0.187 0.3701
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 314 70.38% 42.65 2.339 42.04% 0.638 0.101
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 169 66.86% 45.63 -2.223 55.62% -0.673 -0.9638
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 170 68.24% 40.26 -7.998 43.53% -0.965 -1.1126
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 948 75.45% 37.28 -1.652 34.81% 0.085 -0.1665
Many Minds Move as One 336 47.92% 49.62 7.413 62.5% 1.38 1.223
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2785 64.98% 45.31 1.654 53.07% 0.791 0.8014
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 764 63.03% 36.89 -2.062 31.15% -0.108 -0.254
River Surges in Sunlight 1571 52.7% 45.08 -1.54 43.73% -0.324 -0.2863
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 111 70.91% 33.31 -3.463 19.82% -0.174 0.086
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 55 61.82% 42.85 8.577 34.55% 0.657 0.6065
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1825 60.37% 42.78 0.19 47.78% 0.765 0.5907
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 415 82.77% 30.61 -8.459 16.87% -0.451 0.1615
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 11 63.64% 22.45 -2.49 18.18% 0.285 0.3888
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 13 92.31% 24.08 -2.332 23.08% 0.065 -0.5162
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 2 100.0% 41.5 19.904 50.0% 0.854 0.9005
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 47 78.72% 35.98 15.541 31.91% 0.632 0.7132
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 43 79.07% 33.0 -7.618 27.91% -0.282 -0.0741
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1390 55.8% 47.05 -2.967 52.09% 0.08 0.1594
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 49 46.94% 34.2 -2.516 26.53% -0.267 -0.5891
Shifting Memory of Ages 335 71.04% 40.71 -2.632 41.19% -0.58 -0.3144
Shroud of Silent Mist 272 84.21% 33.37 -0.231 29.41% -0.452 -0.0846
Starlight Seeks its Form 507 63.12% 39.05 2.527 42.8% 1.035 0.807
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4119 27.22% 50.79 8.754 75.41% 1.989 1.6327
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 384 76.53% 31.71 -6.827 19.27% -0.814 -0.6811
Thunderspeaker 1688 71.54% 37.07 -5.81 32.41% -1.039 -1.01
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 39 56.41% 27.82 -9.295 28.21% -0.676 -0.4367
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 984 86.28% 41.77 -2.035 51.73% -0.129 0.0613
Vital Strength of the Earth 931 54.27% 39.59 3.049 34.69% 0.651 1.2085
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 46 58.7% 32.57 -9.162 28.26% -1.124 -0.714
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 92 70.65% 32.4 -11.143 28.26% -0.608 0.1204
Volcano Looming High 611 88.22% 30.12 -4.46 24.22% -0.58 -0.5606
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 53 58.49% 35.43 1.879 37.74% 0.276 -0.3175

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 249 52.44% 37.7 -10.603 39.76% -0.459 -0.3478
Dahan Insurrection 4 213 72.64% 43.31 -1.993 16.43% -0.109 -0.3445
Despicable Theft 2 16 100.0% 36.63 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 45 77.78% 27.93 -6.601 13.33% -1.139 -0.3368
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1272 19.3% 53.2 7.736 59.83% 0.688 -0.0859
Powers Long Forgotten 1 71 84.51% 33.45 -3.223 19.72% -0.942 -0.169
Rituals of Terror 3 69 79.71% 82.87 31.477 55.07% 0.574 0.5902
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 21 71.43% 40.33 -14.379 23.81% -0.237 0.8198
Second Wave 0 198 66.5% 36.7 -2.031 30.3% -0.428 -0.3479
The Great River 3 6 33.33% 18.17 -8.269 16.67% -0.119 1.0098
Varied Terrains 2 3 100.0% 24.0 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 58 63.16% 46.98 0.0 34.48%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 18567 60.15% 40.81 -0.041 47.81% -0.467 -0.2662
1 Thematic 1130 71.28% 39.97 -2.472 30.97% -0.855 -0.1357
2 Archipelago 10 100.0% 55.8 0.0 20.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2678 70.96% 38.58 0.036 39.1% -0.279 -0.2714
2 Coastline 311 67.97% 41.8 -6.407 46.95% -0.541 -0.7465
2 Fragment 95 76.84% 38.97 20.641 38.95% 0.945 0.6674
2 Heart 87 83.91% 36.92 20.952 36.78% 0.959 0.7388
2 Opposite Shores 616 68.58% 39.98 3.742 39.77% 0.123 0.1796
2 Thematic 189 67.72% 46.87 8.494 31.22% 0.409 0.8612
2 Top to Top 109 63.3% 44.02 5.058 48.62% 0.368 0.2704
3 Archipelago 9 88.89% 110.78 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 5 60.0% 27.0 -10.803 20.0% -0.133 -0.6996
3 Other 55 76.36% 48.65 -0.878 65.45% -0.502 -0.5309
3 Round (Default) 1112 67.81% 36.78 -1.236 35.79% -0.136 -0.3619
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 42.0 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 50 64.0% 41.96 -7.266 32.0% -0.225 -0.0286
4 Archipelago 5 100.0% 43.0 0.0 20.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 9 88.89% 42.0 10.666 44.44% 0.359 -0.34
4 Other 25 84.0% 44.92 -7.375 56.0% -0.91 -2.267
4 Thematic 232 22.41% 64.16 -1.334 69.83% 0.208 0.0099
4 Trapezoid (Default) 867 30.87% 51.14 -2.675 59.05% -0.046 -0.2897
5 Other 21 41.67% 63.24 0.0 66.67%
5 Thematic 21 47.62% 68.95 0.0 57.14%
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 70.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 9 25.0% 44.89 0.0 44.44%
6 Star 3 0.0% 45.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Thematic 49 12.24% 68.69 6.378 63.27% -0.142 0.6126
6 Two Centers (Default) 6 83.33% 40.17 -6.213 50.0% -0.008 -0.5879
7 Archipelago 2 50.0% 146.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1212 36.55 -2.349 34.49% -0.391 -0.2312
Aid From Lesser Spirits 982 39.56 7.689 39.61% 0.742 0.6557
All Things Weaken 649 36.23 2.284 34.98% 0.507 0.8487
Attenuated Essence 70 33.69 3.452 40.0% 0.45 0.5242
Back Against the Wall 878 37.57 3.116 35.31% 0.429 0.5038
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 82 33.87 2.713 35.37% 0.375 0.5662
Burn Brightest Before the End 55 27.05 -1.48 21.82% -0.126 -0.0022
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1163 34.93 0.857 35.25% 0.108 0.4808
Downward Spiral 2324 34.19 -0.689 31.67% -0.211 -0.0739
Erosion of Will 1333 34.98 0.402 31.51% -0.569 -0.2743
Intensifying Exploitation 71 24.73 -0.56 23.94% 0.211 0.45
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 209 42.72 -0.587 52.15% 0.211 -0.3209
Memory Fades to Dust 2270 33.62 2.891 28.9% 0.514 0.7949
Power Corrodes the Spirit 655 36.35 -1.771 36.18% -0.57 -0.4168
Promising Farmlands 1203 34.86 -1.635 33.33% -0.38 -0.0332
Shattered Fragments of Power 63 36.05 0.935 38.1% -0.247 -0.0522
Slow Dissolution of Will 56 33.75 -1.249 32.14% -0.791 -0.3394
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 163 50.75 5.625 66.26% 0.736 -0.0047
The Border of Life and Death 17 35.82 -6.102 52.94% -0.075 -0.5083
Thriving Communities 650 35.72 0.527 36.31% -0.077 0.2215
Thriving Crops 20 37.95 -2.024 60.0% 0.119 0.0164
Tipping Point 470 35.04 0.0 31.91%
Unnatural Proliferation 750 38.86 1.067 39.47% 0.157 0.3025
Untended Land Crumbles 703 35.29 0.042 35.42% 0.252 0.5512

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4754 65.75% 39.04 -1.152 40.09% -0.119 0.8756
B 6161 60.23% 41.1 0.433 43.99% 0.022 0.9406
C 9041 49.75% 45.87 4.291 58.56% 0.394 1.1364
D 4623 66.19% 40.1 -2.116 42.5% -0.397 0.5547
E 2306 66.71% 38.62 -0.279 41.02% -0.084 0.6963
F 2486 66.07% 38.72 -2.643 40.1% -0.68 0.2127
G 2181 67.13% 38.13 -3.226 38.97% -0.761 0.0942
H 2315 64.23% 38.62 -2.897 39.7% -0.444 0.4047
East 1131 57.61% 48.34 -0.819 40.05% 0.011 0.7803
Northeast 690 51.45% 50.15 3.994 41.59% 0.495 1.282
Northwest 520 46.35% 53.8 2.093 51.35% -0.115 0.8684
Southeast 172 35.47% 53.72 5.027 48.26% -0.067 0.8076
Southwest 172 39.77% 48.91 -2.762 45.93% -0.723 0.4845
West 876 54.06% 49.56 0.304 44.75% -0.329 0.6053

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 94 0.0% 58.41 -13.876 63.83% -0.18 0.4498
Not Using Events or Tokens 2408 66.98% 36.18 -2.689 32.43% -0.155 0.3513
Skip Initial Invader Actions 604 18.93% 63.59 8.718 77.81% 0.749 0.1137
Start of Game Growth 1050 19.56% 61.05 8.589 72.95% 1.18 0.7907
Unlimited Undo 2113 60.66% 43.82 -1.784 50.02% -0.315 -0.271
Using Tokens but Not Events 1541 59.4% 40.72 -1.377 40.36% -0.092 -0.1187

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5922 17.67 5.29%
II 7161 30.7 12.85%
III 4912 34.75 52.24%
IV 8293 38.22 99.81%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.17 Win Model: -0.402
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 19791 60.85% 40.84 46.87%
2 4062 70.42% 39.51 39.78%
3 1212 68.56% 37.18 35.73%
4 1137 29.9% 53.82 61.21%
5 19 50.0% 64.32 57.89%
6 67 18.18% 66.51 65.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 313
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2496
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 882
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8184
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1233
Lose: Invader deck ran out 41
Lose: Adversary condition 5752
Win: Sacrifice victory 129
Lose: Scenario condition 423
Win: Scenario condition 72
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6430
Lose: Spirit destroyed 333

The Kingdom of England — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 10209 40.28% 46.78 -0.097 44.62% 0.274 0.1515
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6176 74.88% 36.63 -3.786 29.55% -0.069 0.1723
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 317 62.15% 38.95 5.434 43.53% 1.058 0.0565
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2532 66.29% 34.1 -4.858 20.81% -1.028 -1.2546
Downpour Drenches the World 1198 35.18% 34.62 0.21 30.3% 0.133 0.4578
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1803 56.5% 25.57 -2.097 21.58% -0.344 -0.8433
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5189 58.27% 45.1 -0.092 42.53% 0.152 -0.3084
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 9351 52.12% 48.62 0.442 51.17% 0.358 -0.0716
Finder of Paths Unseen 587 48.04% 30.71 -5.008 24.7% -0.925 -0.1025
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2990 44.06% 50.04 -1.494 46.12% 0.42 1.0173
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1258 76.29% 31.64 -4.939 19.32% -0.907 -0.9075
Heart of the Wildfire 4751 72.17% 27.68 -10.167 15.81% -1.963 -1.5788
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 25668 46.08% 48.46 0.935 53.46% 0.532 0.037
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 156 46.79% 17.91 -4.917 11.54% -0.805 -1.352
Lightning's Swift Strike 13268 62.04% 43.67 -1.767 39.98% -0.389 -0.2058
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 2566 62.94% 40.44 3.506 37.57% 0.81 0.2733
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 2366 58.16% 47.71 4.752 50.51% 0.859 0.5676
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1496 51.14% 48.78 3.083 51.2% 0.856 0.7081
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4883 68.09% 37.47 -2.762 32.54% -0.417 -0.6683
Many Minds Move as One 2291 48.29% 52.35 2.646 59.93% 0.708 0.5509
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 22368 57.45% 49.84 1.732 51.61% 0.68 0.6903
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2782 52.68% 39.66 -3.464 33.57% -0.609 -0.7554
River Surges in Sunlight 8027 52.1% 49.59 3.536 42.78% 0.828 0.866
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 996 49.5% 40.93 -1.339 29.52% -0.556 -0.2958
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 579 56.4% 37.92 1.017 24.01% 0.052 0.001
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 13644 42.8% 51.8 1.535 56.44% 0.731 0.5567
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3691 65.82% 38.11 -4.654 27.88% -0.525 0.0878
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 50 70.0% 30.5 -3.163 22.0% -0.762 -0.6585
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 164 72.56% 31.75 1.512 28.05% 0.1 -0.4817
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 125 68.8% 28.84 -1.238 19.2% -0.173 -0.1267
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 341 75.07% 35.61 3.217 22.87% 0.326 0.4069
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 323 74.92% 36.42 -2.573 25.39% -0.818 -0.6099
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6574 46.12% 47.72 0.821 49.62% 0.335 0.4139
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 345 50.14% 26.23 2.459 23.77% 0.51 0.1875
Shifting Memory of Ages 1961 56.05% 43.17 1.467 39.67% 0.366 0.6314
Shroud of Silent Mist 1281 79.57% 37.96 2.055 33.8% 0.411 0.7781
Starlight Seeks its Form 3725 48.47% 42.04 1.366 41.53% 0.551 0.323
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 10885 43.39% 42.53 0.816 47.91% 0.639 0.2823
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2064 64.56% 38.09 -0.063 28.54% 0.104 0.2371
Thunderspeaker 8024 63.54% 40.14 -3.854 27.65% -0.417 -0.3876
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 163 46.63% 23.61 -2.417 23.31% -0.189 0.051
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4238 80.89% 42.38 0.312 44.12% 0.103 0.2939
Vital Strength of the Earth 4223 44.63% 42.21 -3.773 32.51% -0.248 0.3091
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 487 37.27% 30.99 -2.226 23.82% -0.238 0.1718
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 429 64.57% 31.9 0.519 16.32% -0.308 0.4203
Volcano Looming High 3500 76.62% 32.15 -2.783 22.0% -0.525 -0.5058
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 428 50.59% 35.39 3.916 36.45% 0.72 0.126

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 10 30.0% 42.0 -1.428 30.0% -0.168 -0.3081
Blitz 0 1713 37.92% 47.02 8.781 46.58% 1.096 1.2065
Dahan Insurrection 4 2671 63.99% 46.05 -2.318 14.45% -0.314 -0.5493
Despicable Theft 2 53 55.77% 36.53 -11.97 26.42% -0.322 0.3209
Elemental Invocation 1 182 72.0% 36.76 -0.205 18.13% -0.588 0.2135
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 17242 22.81% 54.95 9.88 54.83% 1.491 0.7166
Powers Long Forgotten 1 174 86.21% 31.3 -4.517 10.92% -0.096 0.6766
Rituals of Terror 3 663 64.85% 100.32 24.567 57.77% 2.571 2.5876
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 113 84.96% 31.77 -0.54 7.08% -0.38 0.6771
Second Wave 0 350 61.45% 40.79 0.103 35.43% -0.19 -0.1092
The Great River 3 40 40.0% 35.2 -4.045 20.0% -0.208 0.921
Varied Terrains 2 102 55.88% 16.56 -13.767 2.94% -0.254 0.4384
Ward the Shores 2 263 70.43% 44.29 4.789 30.04% 0.194 1.0572

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 105701 60.44% 41.77 -0.263 40.86% -0.912 -0.7114
1 Thematic 6732 58.31% 45.33 -0.023 25.1% -1.537 -0.817
2 Archipelago 37 67.57% 79.05 0.0 40.54%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10934 65.92% 41.36 0.224 38.47% -0.618 -0.6099
2 Coastline 2461 58.74% 38.02 -2.409 34.3% -0.822 -1.0266
2 Fragment 244 62.3% 37.75 2.861 33.61% -0.116 -0.3932
2 Heart 219 64.84% 47.92 -1.019 55.25% -0.467 -0.6878
2 Opposite Shores 3362 53.18% 44.75 -0.659 40.78% -1.058 -1.0013
2 Thematic 2163 37.36% 69.9 11.492 53.4% 0.425 0.8764
2 Top to Top 736 57.82% 45.79 0.889 49.05% -0.206 -0.3033
3 Archipelago 28 50.0% 72.75 51.403 60.71% 0.869 0.0773
3 Coastline 28 48.15% 51.79 22.884 57.14% 0.443 -0.1241
3 Other 293 61.09% 51.59 7.534 59.39% 0.656 0.6266
3 Round (Default) 6178 51.33% 44.73 -0.547 45.39% -0.791 -1.017
3 Sunrise 18 50.0% 46.33 18.4 50.0% 0.493 -0.4921
3 Thematic 169 43.45% 73.11 15.405 43.2% -0.266 -0.0689
4 Archipelago 14 57.14% 59.43 -8.03 50.0% -0.187 -1.3726
4 Coastline 31 9.68% 45.13 31.26 35.48% 0.648 0.0612
4 Leaf 19 31.58% 48.26 -14.329 42.11% -0.404 -1.1032
4 Other 183 52.2% 54.83 15.895 65.57% 1.129 -0.2279
4 Thematic 1631 23.85% 67.86 -3.868 68.79% -0.7 -0.8979
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3711 34.23% 49.26 -3.794 54.11% -0.948 -1.1918
5 Archipelago 7 57.14% 65.0 0.0 57.14%
5 Coastline 20 10.0% 58.15 0.0 80.0%
5 Other 101 39.36% 60.5 3.472 71.29% -0.115 -1.1714
5 Thematic 71 19.72% 76.75 34.579 81.69% 0.402 -0.0762
6 Archipelago 31 6.45% 62.19 11.227 67.74% 0.778 0.0413
6 Coastline 7 0.0% 4.86 -8.498 0.0% -0.707 -0.9475
6 Other 121 17.36% 58.42 9.569 66.94% 0.631 -0.1061
6 Star 35 28.57% 48.37 -0.715 54.29% -0.141 -0.1977
6 Thematic 339 10.91% 44.81 -5.48 45.72% -0.525 0.2293
6 Two Centers (Default) 389 11.57% 43.37 -4.704 41.13% -1.146 -1.7257
7 Archipelago 3 100.0% 84.0 0.0 33.33%
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -11.843 0.0% -0.153 -0.5646

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 6532 38.51 4.806 32.82% 0.685 0.8446
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5469 41.87 5.978 38.11% 0.67 0.5839
All Things Weaken 3689 36.76 2.385 29.44% 0.17 0.5121
Attenuated Essence 386 32.56 4.012 29.79% 0.314 0.3877
Back Against the Wall 5120 40.86 5.705 35.84% 0.634 0.7086
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 355 29.05 2.495 23.66% 0.338 0.5288
Burn Brightest Before the End 290 36.35 4.999 31.03% 0.607 0.7304
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6283 36.1 1.847 31.07% 0.215 0.5876
Downward Spiral 11489 37.7 3.808 30.37% 0.705 0.8417
Erosion of Will 6417 37.2 1.939 30.05% 0.104 0.399
Intensifying Exploitation 379 30.26 2.315 26.65% 0.213 0.4513
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1270 45.34 1.791 46.14% 0.289 -0.2435
Memory Fades to Dust 11458 36.93 2.496 27.47% 0.323 0.6037
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3687 37.56 3.892 31.84% 0.62 0.7731
Promising Farmlands 6260 37.6 2.57 32.32% 0.374 0.7202
Shattered Fragments of Power 273 35.8 5.176 30.04% 0.451 0.6455
Slow Dissolution of Will 390 31.12 3.589 24.62% 0.347 0.7983
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 788 49.34 5.178 53.55% 0.756 0.0152
The Border of Life and Death 68 37.85 4.325 39.71% 0.42 -0.0134
Thriving Communities 3887 37.47 3.838 32.26% 0.577 0.8753
Thriving Crops 144 33.97 5.789 34.03% 0.742 0.6399
Tipping Point 2148 36.92 0.0 30.4%
Unnatural Proliferation 4057 39.34 4.02 32.86% 0.283 0.4278
Untended Land Crumbles 3784 36.91 2.528 30.84% 0.313 0.6128

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 28047 56.15% 43.01 -0.332 41.64% -0.836 0.1586
B 30892 56.93% 42.81 -0.26 41.68% -0.757 0.161
C 34565 58.27% 44.04 -0.58 44.3% -0.912 -0.169
D 25459 59.53% 42.51 -0.802 42.08% -0.837 0.1144
E 17498 55.16% 41.23 -0.818 40.44% -0.66 0.1205
F 15644 56.36% 42.24 -2.295 41.25% -0.96 -0.0671
G 14175 55.51% 42.41 -0.971 41.39% -0.956 -0.1007
H 14765 52.53% 43.82 0.211 44.14% -0.766 0.0818
East 8286 44.17% 56.71 3.129 41.14% -1.368 -0.5984
Northeast 5668 38.8% 56.71 5.772 43.53% 0.277 1.0648
Northwest 3400 30.38% 61.43 -0.057 54.68% -1.257 -0.2731
Southeast 1070 38.04% 49.8 -5.876 40.19% -1.192 -0.3175
Southwest 786 26.21% 50.67 -6.871 48.85% -1.225 -0.0176
West 5726 40.28% 59.16 5.229 47.1% -0.656 0.2782

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1180 0.0% 45.38 -6.612 44.32% -1.301 -0.6716
Not Using Events or Tokens 13101 59.14% 42.05 -1.334 28.43% -0.599 -0.0925
Skip Initial Invader Actions 7555 15.4% 67.01 6.907 78.9% 0.736 0.1015
Start of Game Growth 9021 18.7% 65.0 6.868 75.83% 1.238 0.8484
Unlimited Undo 19290 40.08% 56.59 -1.157 68.22% 0.041 0.0859
Using Tokens but Not Events 9891 52.07% 43.48 -3.353 40.55% -0.41 -0.4375

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 48442 17.67 7.6%
II 41320 30.7 24.2%
III 22619 34.75 56.46%
IV 33760 38.22 99.69%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.396 Win Model: 0.401
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 113501 60.35% 42.34 40.19%
2 19437 59.19% 43.38 39.48%
3 6636 51.46% 45.59 46.2%
4 5575 31.2% 54.77 58.57%
5 63 20.34% 52.24 57.14%
6 929 12.5% 46.93 47.9%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3664
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12305
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9392
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 33005
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 9534
Lose: Invader deck ran out 204
Lose: Adversary condition 35624
Win: Sacrifice victory 1151
Lose: Scenario condition 5484
Win: Scenario condition 585
Lose: Blight pool ran out 33376
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1817

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-01-31 03:48:31 (Pacific Time)