The Kingdom of England — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8504 22.4% 24.92 0.126 80.97% 0.038 -0.1062
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 28 7.14% 24.32 2.451 71.43% 0.584 -0.1291
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4664 43.45% 22.67 -0.14 74.04% 0.008 0.2714
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 124 15.32% 30.41 3.677 79.84% 0.855 0.0463
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3558 26.17% 25.63 2.419 84.77% 0.741 0.5762
Downpour Drenches the World 547 24.36% 20.4 -3.123 62.16% -0.633 -0.3593
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 520 15.96% 23.96 -0.534 69.81% 0.001 -0.4253
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4908 14.71% 28.58 2.587 89.71% 0.592 0.2327
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4027 18.87% 27.86 3.447 89.17% 1.11 0.6653
Finder of Paths Unseen 242 31.95% 13.98 -3.957 40.5% -1.002 -0.3134
Fractured Days Split the Sky 805 32.29% 24.7 -3.027 65.47% -0.899 -0.3102
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 991 34.51% 24.47 0.387 70.84% -0.132 -0.1964
Heart of the Wildfire 4644 59.28% 20.64 0.417 69.55% 0.222 0.55
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7425 25.31% 26.08 -1.166 85.4% -0.357 -0.6514
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 107 16.82% 25.29 1.081 70.09% -0.161 -0.5318
Lightning's Swift Strike 7951 43.85% 22.32 -0.047 73.25% 0.091 0.4311
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 237 34.76% 27.7 6.054 75.11% 0.695 0.2215
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 596 22.69% 28.55 1.438 84.73% -0.136 -0.4966
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 431 34.97% 26.55 -0.35 78.65% -0.032 -0.0247
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2046 30.31% 25.96 -1.22 80.45% -0.255 -0.5504
Many Minds Move as One 1351 23.24% 25.42 0.092 79.79% -0.063 -0.2087
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7588 40.6% 23.36 -0.344 76.33% -0.042 -0.1
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3290 29.22% 24.39 -0.781 80.79% -0.222 -0.3861
River Surges in Sunlight 8735 37.46% 24.3 -0.042 70.73% -0.334 -0.2352
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 24 12.5% 25.67 3.421 70.83% 0.42 0.2851
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 764 36.7% 22.43 -2.189 58.25% -0.792 -0.3155
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 250 31.3% 25.79 -0.337 64.4% -0.417 -0.4523
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4255 31.99% 23.95 -0.168 78.99% 0.098 -0.1566
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4710 53.68% 20.93 -2.149 66.65% -0.542 -0.0202
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 83 26.83% 23.53 2.33 68.67% 0.586 0.7272
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 78 15.38% 30.0 4.323 84.62% 0.924 0.3453
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 84 25.0% 23.42 0.802 63.1% -0.012 0.3384
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 523 28.16% 25.13 2.54 82.22% 0.895 0.8793
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 315 41.35% 23.63 3.074 74.29% 1.029 1.2782
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4997 25.05% 26.83 1.336 84.81% 0.213 0.1036
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 173 22.62% 22.35 1.466 61.27% 0.406 0.2445
Shifting Memory of Ages 873 37.39% 21.27 -2.725 64.26% -0.852 -0.5075
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 19 15.79% 20.42 0.668 57.89% 0.143 -0.1663
Shroud of Silent Mist 1051 42.45% 21.84 -1.562 72.79% -0.397 -0.0652
Starlight Seeks its Form 1143 24.12% 24.67 -2.574 67.63% -0.575 -0.7496
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2162 24.02% 24.45 0.915 83.44% 0.312 -0.3972
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2512 29.85% 24.1 0.324 76.27% -0.199 0.0129
Thunderspeaker 8350 24.48% 26.63 1.013 82.16% 0.312 0.2917
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 133 23.31% 20.2 0.454 49.62% -0.154 0.044
Towering Roots of the Jungle 74 20.27% 18.41 -0.238 59.46% -0.037 -0.065
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1442 56.23% 20.22 -2.886 69.0% -0.625 -0.5587
Vital Strength of the Earth 6389 28.68% 21.14 -1.59 68.87% -0.483 0.0517
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 211 26.57% 23.33 0.484 63.51% -0.309 0.2581
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 391 30.0% 19.87 -1.613 59.85% -0.487 0.2722
Volcano Looming High 1324 39.35% 22.56 0.297 74.24% 0.353 0.4901
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 211 14.69% 24.4 -0.363 69.19% 0.084 -0.227

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 22 31.82% 24.5 8.863 72.73% 1.291 1.3064
Blitz 0 1254 38.18% 19.57 -3.091 63.8% -0.873 -0.5847
Dahan Insurrection 4 1061 22.12% 43.56 8.108 74.84% 0.128 -0.0492
Despicable Theft 2 185 31.35% 24.82 -3.813 56.22% -1.413 -0.5524
Elemental Invocation 1 222 40.09% 21.58 -3.285 58.56% -0.73 0.2028
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2540 10.31% 31.4 5.386 83.5% 0.544 -0.103
Powers Long Forgotten 1 528 43.94% 25.7 -1.171 65.53% -0.49 0.4559
Rituals of Terror 3 670 45.03% 30.77 3.434 59.25% -0.246 -0.1694
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 350 62.86% 28.26 -1.829 54.0% -0.963 0.1527
Second Wave 0 844 45.66% 25.59 3.112 62.56% -0.361 -0.3302
The Great River 3 187 39.57% 23.89 -4.288 44.39% -1.363 0.0626
Varied Terrains 2 106 31.13% 17.66 -3.835 36.79% -0.959 -0.1842
Ward the Shores 2 656 40.46% 25.95 0.094 55.03% -0.096 0.9481

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 52694 37.09% 23.39 0.288 76.2% 0.273 0.5327
1 Thematic 4893 40.61% 29.16 1.329 69.45% 0.061 0.5271
2 Archipelago 35 48.57% 33.49 6.116 80.0% 0.47 0.9432
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11562 31.89% 23.32 -1.021 77.76% -0.062 0.1234
2 Coastline 1210 32.28% 23.44 0.643 78.18% 0.448 0.4317
2 Fragment 284 35.36% 22.31 -1.139 75.7% -0.206 -0.522
2 Heart 159 38.22% 22.36 0.068 76.73% 0.311 0.2173
2 Opposite Shores 1551 30.53% 24.56 3.155 84.46% 0.842 0.8026
2 Thematic 1153 36.81% 29.53 -1.478 66.78% -0.217 0.0695
2 Top to Top 258 30.31% 23.94 -2.622 78.68% -0.323 -0.3665
3 Archipelago 16 31.25% 30.06 15.448 75.0% 0.78 -0.3595
3 Coastline 22 27.27% 23.73 -7.645 72.73% -0.465 -1.2153
3 Other 131 28.91% 21.52 -0.579 73.28% 0.21 -0.2526
3 Round (Default) 4857 20.16% 26.38 1.514 85.69% 0.142 -0.0778
3 Sunrise 16 18.75% 24.0 0.0 81.25%
3 Thematic 249 32.13% 28.1 -1.806 60.24% -0.179 -0.4713
4 Archipelago 19 47.37% 27.47 -7.301 68.42% -0.869 -0.6764
4 Coastline 20 22.22% 27.6 0.0 80.0%
4 Leaf 6 0.0% 29.5 0.0 83.33%
4 Other 68 26.47% 19.71 0.0 66.18%
4 Thematic 294 23.47% 31.38 -2.218 74.49% 0.061 0.3139
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1827 24.02% 22.93 -2.128 73.29% -0.901 -0.6866
5 Archipelago 9 66.67% 28.67 6.703 100.0% 0.312 0.5851
5 Other 61 29.51% 25.0 9.917 80.33% 0.461 -0.1043
5 Thematic 11 54.55% 25.91 -5.504 36.36% -0.1 -0.5204
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 14.33 -6.194 33.33% -0.572 -1.5048
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 20.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 11 36.36% 32.09 0.946 72.73% -0.089 0.3368
6 Star 17 29.41% 24.53 0.0 82.35%
6 Thematic 49 14.29% 26.1 -1.291 46.94% -0.491 -0.3901
6 Two Centers (Default) 100 11.0% 23.73 -1.153 58.0% -0.861 -1.118
7 Other 4 0.0% 28.0 5.962 50.0% 0.467 -0.5491

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1703 19.45 1.634 62.54% 0.504 0.6789
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1411 20.45 3.654 63.57% 0.253 0.1986
All Things Weaken 829 19.56 -1.237 57.54% -0.737 -0.444
Attenuated Essence 72 18.61 -1.326 56.94% -0.319 -0.2349
Back Against the Wall 1407 19.26 1.854 57.78% 0.231 0.2787
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 87 19.6 -1.829 52.87% -0.613 -0.4094
Burn Brightest Before the End 54 18.74 0.883 48.15% 0.332 0.52
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1659 16.03 -2.66 54.55% -0.749 -0.3396
Downward Spiral 6386 16.59 -1.108 57.86% -0.093 0.0345
Erosion of Will 1735 18.41 -1.59 57.93% -0.632 -0.3492
Intensifying Exploitation 70 17.87 0.412 47.14% 0.093 0.3409
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 344 23.74 -0.037 83.14% 0.258 -0.257
Memory Fades to Dust 6323 16.24 -2.388 53.38% -0.84 -0.6031
Power Corrodes the Spirit 819 18.54 0.395 58.97% 0.061 0.2785
Promising Farmlands 1644 17.76 -0.238 59.79% -0.026 0.269
Shattered Fragments of Power 61 18.75 -0.427 45.9% -0.3 -0.0989
Slow Dissolution of Will 80 16.07 -1.007 42.5% -0.024 0.3604
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 274 24.84 1.078 89.05% 0.042 -0.5394
The Border of Life and Death 34 19.03 4.497 58.82% 0.77 0.2525
Thriving Communities 788 17.91 0.594 55.46% 0.193 0.532
Thriving Crops 32 14.88 -2.534 43.75% -0.136 -0.1784
Tipping Point 618 17.72 0.0 59.71%
Unnatural Proliferation 825 18.48 -1.254 51.52% -0.433 -0.2922
Untended Land Crumbles 816 19.26 -2.072 62.01% -0.646 -0.1971

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 19279 34.16% 23.18 -1.266 76.12% -0.608 0.2537
B 19788 32.7% 23.69 -0.616 77.94% -0.495 0.3215
C 19601 32.38% 23.71 0.222 77.33% -0.377 0.3017
D 18889 33.09% 23.56 -0.166 77.68% -0.35 0.4548
E 6105 27.79% 25.09 1.229 79.07% -0.016 0.653
F 8261 29.94% 24.28 0.36 79.06% -0.301 0.4977
G 7578 31.26% 24.11 -1.516 78.58% -0.776 0.0494
H 7728 30.25% 24.52 0.026 79.98% -0.425 0.3479
East 4072 36.69% 30.21 0.616 68.98% -0.365 0.4813
Northeast 2425 36.09% 30.18 -0.844 68.91% -1.066 -0.2955
Northwest 1823 35.35% 30.25 0.112 70.54% -0.425 0.3824
Southeast 545 29.17% 27.27 0.522 63.67% -0.398 0.471
Southwest 510 32.55% 21.28 -3.578 53.92% -1.277 0.0045
West 3480 38.55% 28.73 -0.722 66.7% -0.582 0.4138

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1205 0.0% 20.98 2.24 64.73% -0.048 0.7475
Not Using Events or Tokens 21484 40.41% 21.74 -0.838 70.02% -0.115 0.2723
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1174 11.61% 33.21 4.947 87.22% 0.402 -0.2121
Start of Game Growth 1972 14.43% 31.47 2.442 87.63% 0.401 -0.1801
Unlimited Undo 4897 26.97% 26.18 0.529 82.07% -0.104 -0.0607
Using Tokens but Not Events 7772 22.42% 26.33 1.11 84.21% 0.233 0.1751

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11058 15.74 22.48%
II 27006 30.48 73.99%
III 28862 34.79 87.89%
IV 14731 38.41 99.1%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.179 Win Model: 0.568
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 58003 37.34% 23.84 75.4%
2 15995 32.35% 24.07 78.31%
3 5195 20.79% 26.26 84.56%
4 2221 23.92% 24.06 73.35%
5 60 35.0% 23.38 75.0%
6 183 13.66% 24.81 57.92%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2481
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 24696
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 19057
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14444
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4870
Lose: Invader deck ran out 803
Lose: Adversary condition 3987
Win: Sacrifice victory 313
Lose: Scenario condition 545
Win: Scenario condition 1442
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8461
Lose: Spirit destroyed 558

The Kingdom of England — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5696 21.51% 33.69 2.255 81.65% 0.584 0.4398
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 11 0.0% 29.73 2.584 72.73% 0.607 -0.1063
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2473 51.94% 30.5 -0.356 71.37% 0.111 0.375
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 56 39.29% 35.3 7.634 85.71% 1.157 0.3483
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2106 33.77% 32.75 2.974 80.53% 0.958 0.7933
Downpour Drenches the World 411 24.94% 27.95 -3.865 67.15% -0.514 -0.241
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 419 24.82% 30.2 1.362 72.32% 0.464 0.0374
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2880 21.74% 36.1 1.842 84.03% 0.643 0.2835
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2676 27.84% 35.71 2.513 85.84% 0.785 0.3409
Finder of Paths Unseen 197 42.78% 18.43 -2.831 41.62% -0.516 0.1725
Fractured Days Split the Sky 557 38.31% 31.39 1.195 65.17% 0.208 0.7971
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 713 44.18% 31.04 0.394 71.25% 0.055 -0.0087
Heart of the Wildfire 3064 64.46% 27.06 -3.363 63.94% -0.49 -0.1626
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4929 36.57% 32.97 4.488 80.28% 0.761 0.4659
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 82 46.34% 27.93 -0.497 65.85% -0.199 -0.5696
Lightning's Swift Strike 4610 43.55% 30.8 -1.812 72.69% -0.23 0.1104
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 204 44.55% 31.62 0.149 74.51% 0.159 -0.3148
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 449 26.12% 36.77 2.364 85.52% 0.68 0.3192
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 311 36.33% 31.14 -0.285 70.1% -0.185 -0.1784
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1448 40.14% 32.85 -0.248 77.49% 0.189 -0.1058
Many Minds Move as One 966 25.65% 33.07 0.892 78.47% 0.239 0.0937
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4441 49.62% 30.15 -0.213 71.0% 0.055 -0.0028
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2101 39.34% 30.51 0.161 73.54% 0.199 0.0351
River Surges in Sunlight 5139 43.95% 30.03 0.18 62.81% -0.063 0.0352
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 13 46.15% 22.08 -1.914 53.85% -0.272 -0.4078
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 505 47.81% 29.0 -1.492 56.04% -0.61 -0.1341
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 182 44.51% 31.54 3.927 60.44% 0.28 0.2449
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2629 33.81% 32.06 -2.175 78.85% -0.284 -0.539
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2521 60.94% 27.13 -3.573 57.99% -0.724 -0.2022
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 61 45.9% 30.52 0.902 54.1% -0.543 -0.4023
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 63 42.86% 29.71 -1.391 66.67% 0.104 -0.4743
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 50 38.0% 28.8 -2.452 66.0% -0.414 -0.0634
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 287 42.31% 30.26 -1.44 74.22% -0.274 -0.2901
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 181 60.56% 26.85 -4.865 58.01% -0.662 -0.4132
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2952 34.6% 33.72 -0.599 79.1% -0.003 -0.1126
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 158 21.19% 30.43 1.435 68.35% 0.31 0.1482
Shifting Memory of Ages 571 44.99% 27.82 -3.894 67.25% -0.711 -0.3663
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 14 28.57% 29.5 2.709 78.57% 0.941 0.6314
Shroud of Silent Mist 718 51.19% 27.11 -3.128 65.88% -0.424 -0.0931
Starlight Seeks its Form 796 28.34% 30.4 -2.07 71.98% -0.144 -0.3181
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1645 28.31% 31.21 -3.246 77.57% -0.515 -1.2247
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1424 48.02% 27.18 -5.731 57.3% -1.48 -1.2687
Thunderspeaker 4766 31.28% 34.58 0.506 79.19% 0.126 0.1054
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 94 35.11% 21.01 -2.11 45.74% -0.066 0.1323
Towering Roots of the Jungle 52 36.54% 24.6 0.138 61.54% 0.226 0.1975
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 948 66.46% 27.53 -1.842 69.41% -0.076 -0.0098
Vital Strength of the Earth 3473 37.89% 28.04 -2.063 64.67% -0.104 0.4303
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 118 37.07% 26.96 -2.329 59.32% -0.332 0.2347
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 235 35.32% 25.61 -3.054 58.3% -0.073 0.686
Volcano Looming High 988 45.56% 27.53 -0.518 68.42% 0.318 0.4546
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 160 28.75% 29.69 1.992 66.88% -0.042 -0.3533

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 24 16.67% 18.13 -4.584 37.5% -0.441 -0.426
Blitz 0 961 40.61% 27.37 -2.787 64.52% -0.496 -0.2083
Dahan Insurrection 4 672 29.45% 51.73 5.487 72.02% -0.335 -0.5113
Despicable Theft 2 130 40.77% 27.9 -4.594 46.92% -0.902 -0.0411
Elemental Invocation 1 165 47.27% 25.07 0.406 53.33% 0.213 1.1459
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1743 11.31% 36.86 4.002 76.13% 0.355 -0.2912
Powers Long Forgotten 1 388 55.56% 31.26 0.612 59.54% -0.16 0.7854
Rituals of Terror 3 348 42.36% 32.46 5.654 50.86% 0.2 0.2761
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 181 66.85% 37.72 2.303 60.77% 0.116 1.2316
Second Wave 0 2747 44.36% 32.17 -1.019 67.71% -0.54 -0.5101
The Great River 3 92 45.65% 25.98 -9.877 35.87% -1.524 -0.0986
Varied Terrains 2 65 43.08% 20.48 -4.678 33.85% -1.275 -0.5007
Ward the Shores 2 467 51.82% 31.52 -0.22 49.46% -0.231 0.8133

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 31537 40.46% 30.31 0.426 72.54% 0.152 0.4122
1 Thematic 3556 46.71% 35.31 0.171 66.79% -0.085 0.3809
2 Archipelago 20 45.0% 35.65 0.0 55.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6882 39.56% 30.21 -0.815 74.03% -0.104 0.0811
2 Coastline 740 40.46% 29.26 2.807 72.7% 0.785 0.7684
2 Fragment 237 53.22% 28.76 5.493 72.15% 1.21 0.8939
2 Heart 127 35.2% 28.6 -0.094 70.87% 0.011 -0.0833
2 Opposite Shores 1370 37.03% 31.15 -0.07 76.86% 0.02 -0.0188
2 Thematic 1054 44.27% 36.15 0.431 66.98% 0.289 0.5757
2 Top to Top 219 45.87% 30.19 4.771 74.43% 0.906 0.8622
3 Archipelago 7 42.86% 46.29 0.0 85.71%
3 Coastline 17 29.41% 29.53 -4.689 64.71% -0.522 -1.2715
3 Other 102 32.67% 30.48 6.388 75.49% 0.542 0.079
3 Round (Default) 2812 32.52% 32.19 -0.395 76.53% -0.178 -0.3977
3 Sunrise 13 33.33% 30.54 -9.011 76.92% -0.401 -0.326
3 Thematic 262 39.08% 35.94 -3.903 66.79% -0.727 -1.0199
4 Archipelago 12 33.33% 53.08 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 7 57.14% 30.0 0.0 57.14%
4 Leaf 13 7.69% 34.15 4.811 92.31% 0.559 0.4504
4 Other 31 38.71% 33.61 -0.766 77.42% -0.345 -0.6018
4 Thematic 233 38.36% 40.03 0.0 71.67%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 933 32.79% 31.82 -2.139 75.78% -0.831 -0.6166
5 Archipelago 5 40.0% 43.8 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 42 30.95% 29.62 0.0 66.67%
5 Thematic 9 33.33% 38.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 4 25.0% 28.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 2 0.0% 36.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 54 20.37% 40.44 -0.715 64.81% -0.166 -0.065
6 Two Centers (Default) 42 28.57% 30.74 -3.216 71.43% -0.447 -0.7044
7 Other 2 50.0% 37.5 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1406 25.27 0.055 54.77% -0.303 -0.1278
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1171 27.14 1.382 59.18% -0.048 -0.1018
All Things Weaken 658 25.46 2.642 55.93% 0.308 0.6013
Attenuated Essence 72 27.33 1.822 62.5% 0.361 0.4445
Back Against the Wall 1121 26.0 1.101 55.93% -0.174 -0.1266
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 56 20.7 3.024 46.43% 0.371 0.5742
Burn Brightest Before the End 59 26.71 -3.108 57.63% -0.838 -0.6508
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1259 22.64 0.439 51.63% 0.162 0.5713
Downward Spiral 3867 23.8 -1.578 57.02% -0.22 -0.0922
Erosion of Will 1312 24.58 1.256 53.2% 0.126 0.4084
Intensifying Exploitation 73 23.04 -2.249 56.16% -0.213 0.0351
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 252 31.49 -1.888 82.54% -0.127 -0.6427
Memory Fades to Dust 3915 23.1 -2.298 52.01% -0.507 -0.2698
Power Corrodes the Spirit 678 25.67 -0.847 60.03% -0.489 -0.2714
Promising Farmlands 1319 23.37 -3.331 53.3% -0.709 -0.4139
Shattered Fragments of Power 57 24.68 1.514 52.63% 0.432 0.6337
Slow Dissolution of Will 77 23.29 -3.969 50.65% -0.768 -0.3834
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 185 32.02 -0.998 86.49% 0.13 -0.4513
The Border of Life and Death 17 24.94 1.248 58.82% 0.355 -0.1625
Thriving Communities 571 24.08 -0.842 53.42% -0.591 -0.2519
Thriving Crops 30 26.4 6.936 66.67% 0.867 0.8243
Tipping Point 494 24.82 0.0 55.87%
Unnatural Proliferation 693 25.57 2.349 52.53% 0.106 0.2462
Untended Land Crumbles 637 24.89 -0.348 57.61% -0.019 0.4298

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11405 40.28% 30.19 -0.561 72.39% -0.263 0.5983
B 11655 37.78% 30.78 0.254 74.12% -0.145 0.6713
C 11846 37.78% 30.77 -0.849 74.08% -0.334 0.3448
D 11150 39.15% 30.57 -0.299 73.91% -0.22 0.585
E 3823 37.78% 30.88 1.473 74.13% 0.123 0.7918
F 4945 37.8% 30.86 0.251 74.7% -0.141 0.6572
G 4656 40.24% 30.5 -1.092 73.07% -0.517 0.3084
H 4845 37.12% 31.16 -0.179 74.67% -0.195 0.5781
East 3252 43.24% 37.26 -0.647 68.85% -0.59 0.2555
Northeast 1817 42.49% 37.79 2.066 69.95% 0.106 0.8766
Northwest 1482 42.05% 37.47 -1.481 69.57% -0.748 0.0591
Southeast 496 39.52% 32.9 -0.325 61.69% -0.087 0.7828
Southwest 486 45.47% 28.08 -6.133 56.38% -1.585 -0.3029
West 2878 46.28% 35.23 2.695 65.36% 0.216 1.2123

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 636 0.0% 27.02 0.904 58.96% -0.238 0.5574
Not Using Events or Tokens 11115 40.48% 29.07 -0.694 68.06% -0.053 0.3351
Skip Initial Invader Actions 730 13.05% 42.79 2.507 88.63% 0.625 0.0104
Start of Game Growth 1118 15.31% 41.01 0.782 87.48% -0.161 -0.7427
Unlimited Undo 3460 33.82% 32.07 -1.042 77.4% -0.169 -0.1254
Using Tokens but Not Events 4481 29.42% 33.04 -1.312 79.42% -0.29 -0.3484

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6642 15.74 18.8%
II 18474 30.48 66.79%
III 15817 34.79 85.98%
IV 9443 38.41 99.28%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.217 Win Model: 0.207
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 35309 41.13% 30.77 71.78%
2 10568 40.3% 30.94 73.81%
3 3146 32.17% 32.58 76.54%
4 1207 33.67% 33.53 75.72%
5 44 25.0% 30.55 63.64%
6 102 23.53% 36.19 67.65%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1244
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13239
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11691
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9270
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3003
Lose: Invader deck ran out 413
Lose: Adversary condition 3087
Win: Sacrifice victory 214
Lose: Scenario condition 450
Win: Scenario condition 905
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6512
Lose: Spirit destroyed 348

The Kingdom of England — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5746 33.0% 34.03 3.041 72.0% 0.753 0.6094
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 27 25.93% 32.26 3.841 77.78% 0.845 0.1321
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3408 65.07% 29.39 -0.701 57.48% -0.178 0.086
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 127 32.28% 34.46 6.085 67.72% 0.993 0.1847
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2946 43.24% 33.31 1.392 73.32% 0.514 0.3496
Downpour Drenches the World 577 29.91% 29.52 -0.714 60.83% -0.174 0.0998
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 762 35.35% 31.31 3.261 67.85% 0.822 0.3952
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3757 33.09% 35.89 1.831 76.18% 0.487 0.1277
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3580 39.85% 35.81 3.344 76.9% 0.854 0.41
Finder of Paths Unseen 229 49.78% 19.93 -5.625 35.81% -0.816 -0.1276
Fractured Days Split the Sky 718 43.99% 32.66 -3.274 60.45% -0.735 -0.1458
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 859 54.91% 31.1 1.3 64.96% 0.229 0.1651
Heart of the Wildfire 4070 81.1% 22.12 -3.674 42.01% -0.831 -0.5032
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10796 35.87% 34.43 2.401 75.75% 0.337 0.0423
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 151 37.75% 25.29 -1.044 54.3% -0.234 -0.605
Lightning's Swift Strike 5623 60.01% 28.72 -2.07 57.05% -0.379 -0.0389
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 315 49.52% 30.87 0.336 66.67% 0.047 -0.4264
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 616 48.62% 36.1 2.569 74.35% 0.24 -0.1211
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 429 50.93% 32.71 1.382 63.17% 0.135 0.1422
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2259 55.59% 30.59 -0.522 64.85% 0.032 -0.263
Many Minds Move as One 1351 33.78% 34.07 -0.219 72.46% 0.205 0.0595
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6514 59.29% 31.11 -1.135 64.34% -0.146 -0.204
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2702 48.42% 31.31 0.418 66.17% 0.361 0.1974
River Surges in Sunlight 5949 57.35% 29.92 0.184 52.21% -0.254 -0.1553
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 19 52.63% 28.11 2.545 68.42% 0.67 0.5349
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 618 55.59% 30.39 0.385 53.24% 0.018 0.494
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 332 48.75% 29.59 1.915 50.6% 0.019 -0.0164
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4066 43.42% 32.82 4.292 69.68% 1.118 0.8636
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2364 76.07% 23.15 -3.986 37.31% -0.942 -0.4205
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 55 52.73% 24.51 -5.09 40.0% -0.549 -0.4078
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 95 62.11% 27.46 0.053 58.95% 0.155 -0.4236
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 64 59.38% 24.39 -10.266 37.5% -0.938 -0.5875
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 285 64.44% 29.34 0.069 61.05% -0.049 -0.0651
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 193 72.02% 25.36 -0.815 45.6% -0.151 0.0979
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3431 45.19% 33.34 -3.088 69.6% -0.516 -0.626
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 152 38.16% 23.9 0.248 50.66% 0.259 0.0973
Shifting Memory of Ages 927 55.66% 30.23 1.457 65.7% 0.418 0.7622
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 23 39.13% 30.48 3.173 65.22% 0.654 0.3446
Shroud of Silent Mist 957 67.75% 26.4 -3.913 55.38% -0.817 -0.4853
Starlight Seeks its Form 1047 44.14% 29.54 -1.261 61.8% -0.335 -0.5095
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2455 37.95% 32.48 0.163 76.05% 0.23 -0.4795
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1651 62.57% 25.32 -3.805 45.97% -1.015 -0.8029
Thunderspeaker 5316 48.75% 32.03 -1.313 63.53% -0.017 -0.0376
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 111 44.14% 24.92 -2.068 52.25% -0.265 -0.0672
Towering Roots of the Jungle 121 50.41% 23.9 -0.098 54.55% 0.15 0.1223
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1585 77.9% 28.21 -2.378 63.66% -0.138 -0.0717
Vital Strength of the Earth 4727 41.15% 29.5 -2.16 59.7% -0.514 0.0204
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 172 41.76% 24.27 -3.568 47.67% -0.59 -0.0228
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 333 48.05% 25.84 -1.772 47.15% 0.068 0.8266
Volcano Looming High 1744 62.58% 27.87 -1.856 61.3% -0.35 -0.2135
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 277 42.39% 29.79 2.738 60.65% 0.459 0.148

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 26 19.23% 22.08 -0.83 46.15% -0.061 -0.0459
Blitz 0 971 49.32% 28.26 -4.037 55.51% -0.557 -0.2685
Dahan Insurrection 4 686 40.64% 44.6 13.161 52.48% 0.597 0.4204
Despicable Theft 2 64 54.69% 22.16 -11.052 31.25% -1.068 -0.2067
Elemental Invocation 1 202 51.98% 23.04 -4.383 39.11% -0.742 0.1908
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2540 13.76% 38.51 5.128 73.03% 0.651 0.004
Powers Long Forgotten 1 339 64.5% 26.81 -4.902 43.66% -0.925 0.0209
Rituals of Terror 3 251 60.16% 33.87 -2.197 41.43% -0.693 -0.6167
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 176 71.59% 31.34 -11.135 39.77% -1.186 -0.0709
Second Wave 0 1768 56.7% 30.71 1.521 53.68% -0.059 -0.0286
The Great River 3 89 46.07% 30.47 -3.814 39.33% -0.379 1.0468
Varied Terrains 2 37 64.86% 13.11 -4.355 8.11% -0.832 -0.0574
Ward the Shores 2 388 52.58% 32.45 -3.046 44.59% -0.638 0.4063

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 45039 49.86% 30.67 0.203 65.44% -0.096 0.1639
1 Thematic 3083 57.03% 32.51 -0.871 51.22% -0.694 -0.2277
2 Archipelago 30 56.67% 32.83 2.365 33.33% -0.063 0.4105
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9285 53.31% 29.76 -1.082 62.71% -0.156 0.0297
2 Coastline 993 43.93% 32.18 -0.178 70.69% 0.268 0.2511
2 Fragment 251 54.4% 28.92 -2.405 59.36% -0.138 -0.454
2 Heart 153 53.59% 29.44 -2.622 62.75% -0.015 -0.1093
2 Opposite Shores 1959 48.63% 31.74 0.585 66.82% 0.023 -0.0165
2 Thematic 1187 52.92% 32.65 0.144 50.97% -0.738 -0.4517
2 Top to Top 293 57.34% 30.18 1.804 64.16% 0.305 0.261
3 Archipelago 6 83.33% 39.83 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 11 18.18% 24.27 -9.113 36.36% -0.215 -0.965
3 Other 124 49.19% 31.7 -0.385 66.94% -0.313 -0.7761
3 Round (Default) 3399 46.67% 31.57 0.889 65.02% 0.192 -0.0274
3 Sunrise 15 53.33% 33.13 0.6 73.33% -0.148 -0.0722
3 Thematic 238 56.3% 35.46 4.025 52.1% 0.152 -0.1404
4 Archipelago 8 37.5% 55.63 -12.462 87.5% -0.516 -0.3235
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 42.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 10 40.0% 20.8 -6.277 30.0% -1.64 -1.7481
4 Other 67 57.58% 34.16 4.317 74.63% 0.865 0.6079
4 Thematic 384 48.43% 35.99 0.819 54.95% 0.031 0.2832
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1490 41.35% 32.82 0.349 67.52% 0.003 0.2177
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 82 42.68% 31.29 -8.88 65.85% -0.616 -1.1813
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 78.33 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 2 50.0% 20.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 51.0 10.486 100.0% 0.339 -0.4591
6 Other 13 38.46% 27.92 0.0 46.15%
6 Star 12 41.67% 24.25 0.0 41.67%
6 Thematic 54 26.42% 38.8 4.023 62.96% 0.136 0.2377
6 Two Centers (Default) 51 27.45% 33.2 1.214 66.67% 0.522 0.265
7 Other 3 66.67% 36.0 0.0 33.33%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2445 26.85 1.479 53.17% 0.186 0.3613
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2022 29.25 3.554 57.81% 0.633 0.5793
All Things Weaken 1199 26.71 1.146 53.13% 0.414 0.7073
Attenuated Essence 139 26.38 3.161 53.96% 0.786 0.8699
Back Against the Wall 1911 27.63 2.571 52.49% 0.257 0.3041
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 155 22.68 -0.45 43.23% 0.029 0.2323
Burn Brightest Before the End 124 27.97 0.241 53.23% -0.029 0.1588
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2345 24.31 -2.073 49.85% -0.857 -0.4483
Downward Spiral 5928 24.55 -1.041 48.55% -0.101 0.0264
Erosion of Will 2332 26.1 1.939 49.87% 0.31 0.5933
Intensifying Exploitation 164 22.33 -0.373 46.95% 0.219 0.4673
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 496 33.85 2.178 78.02% 0.415 -0.1001
Memory Fades to Dust 6087 24.23 -0.964 46.15% -0.26 -0.0229
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1209 26.56 0.09 54.51% 0.048 0.2664
Promising Farmlands 2300 25.75 -0.257 52.7% -0.153 0.1421
Shattered Fragments of Power 123 27.67 -1.07 48.78% -0.422 -0.2204
Slow Dissolution of Will 142 22.23 -1.652 44.37% -0.064 0.3202
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 319 35.3 8.673 80.88% 1.448 0.867
The Border of Life and Death 46 26.28 -1.416 52.17% 0.09 -0.4275
Thriving Communities 1185 24.24 -1.4 46.84% -0.477 -0.1379
Thriving Crops 75 21.4 -3.198 46.67% -0.164 -0.206
Tipping Point 850 24.86 0.0 47.76%
Unnatural Proliferation 1296 26.94 -0.018 51.23% -0.452 -0.3121
Untended Land Crumbles 1162 25.4 -3.162 52.07% -0.517 -0.068

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14760 51.87% 30.06 -0.734 62.55% -0.33 0.5319
B 15432 50.16% 30.47 -0.533 63.76% -0.405 0.4113
C 16755 48.11% 31.38 -0.103 66.19% -0.272 0.407
D 14190 50.87% 30.29 -0.695 63.86% -0.327 0.4772
E 6022 45.99% 32.06 1.525 68.86% 0.01 0.6784
F 7724 48.91% 30.84 -0.401 66.02% -0.383 0.4156
G 6834 49.9% 30.87 0.446 65.99% -0.194 0.6314
H 7360 46.47% 31.64 0.858 67.12% -0.235 0.538
East 3225 53.17% 34.48 1.341 53.18% -0.295 0.5508
Northeast 1942 51.16% 34.54 0.87 51.96% -0.194 0.5768
Northwest 1539 54.41% 33.82 0.37 52.5% 0.005 0.8121
Southeast 479 46.7% 33.55 -0.02 56.78% -0.185 0.6844
Southwest 460 46.81% 27.27 0.129 46.96% -0.001 1.2804
West 2849 55.46% 32.24 1.305 49.42% -0.104 0.8924

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 577 0.0% 27.78 1.954 50.09% 0.569 1.3651
Not Using Events or Tokens 10868 56.07% 26.71 -1.192 50.62% -0.282 0.1059
Skip Initial Invader Actions 782 18.72% 44.05 5.993 81.59% 1.246 0.631
Start of Game Growth 1229 19.82% 42.47 1.475 82.67% -0.027 -0.6088
Unlimited Undo 5075 46.38% 31.98 0.918 68.12% 0.261 0.3052
Using Tokens but Not Events 6508 40.55% 32.96 0.785 72.07% 0.107 0.0489

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 12240 15.74 5.07%
II 20572 30.48 52.22%
III 21357 34.79 86.22%
IV 14146 38.41 99.35%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.09 Win Model: 0.143
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 48371 50.29% 30.78 64.48%
2 14045 52.24% 30.53 62.98%
3 3756 47.39% 31.75 64.03%
4 1948 42.82% 33.61 65.71%
5 60 36.67% 25.8 50.0%
6 135 30.6% 34.39 60.74%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 618
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 18037
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10345
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 13908
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4060
Lose: Invader deck ran out 491
Lose: Adversary condition 7363
Win: Sacrifice victory 256
Lose: Scenario condition 782
Win: Scenario condition 666
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11183
Lose: Spirit destroyed 606

The Kingdom of England — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6334 42.18% 35.87 0.113 56.92% 0.206 0.0619
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 33 57.58% 40.52 6.748 75.76% 1.321 0.6081
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3244 72.93% 31.01 -0.177 43.87% -0.034 0.2302
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 159 49.06% 33.98 4.255 56.6% 0.577 -0.2313
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2749 58.63% 34.27 3.608 55.51% 0.784 0.6193
Downpour Drenches the World 674 42.96% 28.22 -0.62 42.14% -0.025 0.2484
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1063 47.32% 32.63 2.695 54.66% 0.54 0.1137
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3623 42.9% 38.08 2.174 62.38% 0.582 0.2217
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4176 49.72% 39.06 3.308 65.23% 0.623 0.1782
Finder of Paths Unseen 231 50.65% 20.55 -5.481 24.68% -1.182 -0.4932
Fractured Days Split the Sky 912 50.33% 35.48 -2.053 46.6% -0.3 0.2893
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 980 63.79% 32.25 -1.231 47.86% -0.193 -0.2577
Heart of the Wildfire 3877 83.44% 22.67 -5.125 25.56% -1.184 -0.8561
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8457 52.04% 36.86 1.475 60.54% 0.251 -0.0442
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 201 48.26% 28.15 1.086 46.27% 0.269 -0.1013
Lightning's Swift Strike 5902 66.82% 30.64 -2.39 44.34% -0.272 0.0682
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 486 61.37% 35.72 1.024 57.61% 0.235 -0.2384
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 520 56.65% 37.26 -3.831 60.96% -0.681 -1.0413
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 651 50.92% 34.12 0.708 50.84% 0.415 0.4214
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2910 68.29% 31.74 0.129 49.21% 0.335 0.0397
Many Minds Move as One 1197 43.76% 38.0 -0.52 62.74% -0.098 -0.2435
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7395 63.45% 34.33 -1.194 54.96% -0.084 -0.1421
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2821 56.42% 31.73 -1.941 47.29% -0.265 -0.4291
River Surges in Sunlight 5778 61.33% 32.81 0.991 43.35% 0.259 0.3577
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 47 53.19% 24.34 -2.153 36.17% -0.538 -0.6728
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 621 65.7% 30.93 -2.766 43.64% -0.571 -0.0949
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 416 53.17% 29.24 -3.728 38.46% -0.826 -0.8614
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5108 50.06% 36.39 1.187 58.79% 0.417 0.1625
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1716 78.14% 23.57 -5.804 22.73% -1.069 -0.5478
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 54 62.96% 26.54 0.0 33.33%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 105 64.76% 28.26 5.265 46.67% 0.588 0.0098
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 61 62.3% 25.85 -3.128 29.51% -0.55 -0.2
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 259 74.13% 31.07 -1.635 45.17% -0.367 -0.3834
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 162 75.0% 24.28 -5.747 27.16% -0.798 -0.5497
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3308 55.79% 34.18 -1.122 52.09% 0.004 -0.1054
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 201 47.26% 29.41 5.518 45.77% 0.886 0.7242
Shifting Memory of Ages 1120 62.01% 32.38 3.339 52.32% 0.685 1.0294
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 49 63.27% 39.98 6.637 73.47% 1.612 1.3032
Shroud of Silent Mist 1032 72.1% 29.84 0.338 46.32% 0.163 0.4945
Starlight Seeks its Form 1586 46.47% 32.81 0.917 52.02% 0.131 -0.0434
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3861 45.45% 37.37 4.16 63.51% 0.927 0.2173
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1296 68.16% 28.03 -6.175 36.34% -1.116 -0.9047
Thunderspeaker 5800 59.67% 33.81 -1.202 51.0% -0.056 -0.0766
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 119 57.14% 27.37 -3.301 39.5% -0.397 -0.1986
Towering Roots of the Jungle 135 45.93% 23.06 -1.675 38.52% -0.143 -0.1715
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1859 84.46% 32.19 1.091 54.06% 0.094 0.1605
Vital Strength of the Earth 3618 55.42% 29.17 -1.431 39.0% 0.217 0.7513
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 290 52.82% 25.52 -8.825 37.93% -1.604 -1.037
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 301 66.11% 28.97 1.263 40.86% 0.503 1.262
Volcano Looming High 2166 69.77% 29.53 -2.046 48.43% -0.364 -0.2267
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 376 51.6% 28.49 -0.218 42.55% -0.056 -0.3667

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 14 35.71% 21.0 -11.185 28.57% -0.373 -0.3573
Blitz 0 619 48.16% 33.06 -9.042 47.66% -1.315 -1.0266
Dahan Insurrection 4 592 44.52% 46.73 -2.485 42.4% -0.874 -1.0504
Despicable Theft 2 48 52.08% 24.83 -5.536 25.0% -0.056 0.8052
Elemental Invocation 1 140 62.14% 28.53 -4.075 33.57% -0.482 0.4507
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2499 20.42% 40.72 3.968 59.14% 0.408 -0.238
Powers Long Forgotten 1 198 68.18% 29.54 -8.205 32.83% -0.727 0.2186
Rituals of Terror 3 179 69.1% 34.39 2.233 29.05% -0.085 -0.0087
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 66 81.82% 33.33 -10.92 31.82% -1.113 0.0022
Second Wave 0 889 56.2% 34.9 2.45 46.91% -0.238 -0.2072
The Great River 3 62 51.61% 28.92 -10.928 22.58% -0.152 1.2728
Varied Terrains 2 28 53.57% 14.21 -12.456 7.14% -0.581 0.1932
Ward the Shores 2 204 62.75% 32.2 -0.84 32.35% -0.436 0.6083

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 44231 61.79% 32.73 0.193 51.8% -0.044 0.2163
1 Thematic 2234 59.26% 36.41 -2.463 44.09% -0.795 -0.3291
2 Archipelago 23 43.48% 39.52 0.0 52.17%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9501 60.33% 32.68 0.109 51.18% -0.001 0.1845
2 Coastline 1294 55.91% 33.83 0.752 55.18% 0.098 0.0814
2 Fragment 229 64.19% 32.21 3.233 48.91% 0.181 -0.1353
2 Heart 142 73.05% 35.0 6.18 57.04% 0.604 0.5099
2 Opposite Shores 2081 60.08% 31.88 1.171 47.53% -0.157 -0.1959
2 Thematic 764 63.46% 34.03 -1.92 35.99% -0.691 -0.4044
2 Top to Top 400 60.05% 34.91 2.685 56.5% 0.345 0.3018
3 Archipelago 4 75.0% 48.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 14 50.0% 38.86 0.0 57.14%
3 Other 147 43.84% 37.33 5.13 61.9% 0.824 0.3612
3 Round (Default) 4097 53.02% 33.24 -1.401 51.21% -0.377 -0.5964
3 Sunrise 26 57.69% 40.62 6.75 61.54% 0.517 0.5927
3 Thematic 185 64.32% 34.11 3.588 31.35% 0.629 0.3366
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 20.33 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 6 33.33% 25.17 2.49 16.67% -0.257 -0.3651
4 Other 78 57.14% 34.68 2.003 56.41% 0.149 -0.1075
4 Snake 4 75.0% 32.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 355 49.86% 36.63 -6.271 39.72% -0.957 -0.7046
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2080 46.23% 35.27 -1.512 53.89% -0.689 -0.4745
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 71 43.48% 38.25 -5.982 57.75% -0.716 -1.2815
5 Thematic 17 17.65% 36.35 10.502 35.29% -0.183 -0.6035
6 Archipelago 5 20.0% 44.2 0.0 60.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -12.26 0.0% -0.23 -1.0276
6 Other 19 26.32% 39.26 0.0 47.37%
6 Star 21 52.38% 39.71 4.611 42.86% -0.378 -0.265
6 Thematic 56 35.71% 35.45 12.008 23.21% 0.856 0.9575
6 Two Centers (Default) 77 40.26% 33.04 10.421 48.05% 0.863 0.6054
7 Other 3 33.33% 7.67 5.66 0.0% 0.127 -0.8887

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2910 30.1 3.278 42.37% 0.602 0.7776
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2353 32.72 1.847 47.39% -0.107 -0.1615
All Things Weaken 1582 31.21 -1.591 46.46% -0.401 -0.1074
Attenuated Essence 202 31.08 1.658 50.5% 0.353 0.4364
Back Against the Wall 2377 31.34 4.196 43.84% 0.518 0.5653
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 199 27.42 -0.355 41.21% -0.025 0.1786
Burn Brightest Before the End 160 32.83 2.588 51.25% 0.241 0.4289
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2804 27.77 0.044 40.94% -0.17 0.2388
Downward Spiral 6567 28.73 0.762 43.06% 0.297 0.4243
Erosion of Will 2847 29.65 0.899 41.1% -0.085 0.1977
Intensifying Exploitation 193 23.98 -1.227 35.23% -0.149 0.0984
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 532 37.14 -3.085 65.04% -0.815 -1.3307
Memory Fades to Dust 6622 28.63 1.475 40.98% 0.317 0.554
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1593 30.2 3.277 45.83% 0.447 0.6649
Promising Farmlands 2936 29.12 0.501 43.15% 0.009 0.3042
Shattered Fragments of Power 157 32.59 4.654 46.5% 0.468 0.6692
Slow Dissolution of Will 210 25.8 1.539 36.67% 0.074 0.4584
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 358 38.22 4.981 69.83% 0.887 0.3064
The Border of Life and Death 45 29.11 5.422 48.89% 0.878 0.361
Thriving Communities 1594 29.89 0.326 46.11% -0.036 0.3029
Thriving Crops 105 28.11 -0.292 41.9% -0.147 -0.1898
Tipping Point 1031 28.72 0.0 41.22%
Unnatural Proliferation 1735 32.3 3.607 48.59% 0.258 0.3984
Untended Land Crumbles 1575 29.55 -1.773 44.19% -0.556 -0.1075

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 15474 59.11% 32.62 0.133 50.01% 0.121 0.9831
B 16425 59.14% 32.58 -0.129 49.99% 0.027 0.8435
C 17443 58.5% 33.24 -0.104 52.05% 0.028 0.707
D 15033 59.72% 32.71 -0.085 51.21% 0.093 0.8977
E 6775 54.54% 34.35 0.819 55.56% 0.124 0.7927
F 8243 58.67% 33.31 -0.707 53.22% -0.014 0.7839
G 7126 59.21% 33.3 -0.577 52.19% -0.282 0.5437
H 7889 55.48% 34.07 0.311 54.28% 0.091 0.8633
East 2303 57.08% 37.09 1.212 41.03% 0.144 0.9899
Northeast 1435 53.78% 37.5 0.906 39.86% 0.235 1.0054
Northwest 1180 55.7% 35.08 -2.378 38.22% -0.451 0.3561
Southeast 415 54.88% 34.2 2.58 36.39% 0.32 1.1896
Southwest 375 55.86% 29.94 -1.923 34.93% -0.157 1.1249
West 2143 58.87% 33.87 0.446 37.1% 0.011 1.0074

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 586 0.0% 34.08 6.585 47.1% 0.795 1.5911
Not Using Events or Tokens 9335 61.82% 29.15 -2.445 41.65% -0.609 -0.2211
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1098 16.82% 50.55 5.575 78.87% 0.53 -0.0841
Start of Game Growth 1685 22.49% 47.52 3.391 75.19% 0.607 0.0259
Unlimited Undo 6081 53.89% 35.97 -1.492 58.9% -0.347 -0.3035
Using Tokens but Not Events 5746 51.75% 34.56 -0.236 56.6% -0.157 -0.2147

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 13887 15.74 2.24%
II 19764 30.48 21.84%
III 19316 34.79 78.24%
IV 15238 38.41 99.45%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.076 Win Model: -0.147
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 46682 61.62% 32.93 51.48%
2 14390 60.36% 32.8 50.17%
3 4367 52.98% 33.42 51.32%
4 2534 46.51% 35.52 51.82%
5 52 45.1% 28.25 38.46%
6 180 37.78% 34.96 39.44%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 311
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14795
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4125
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14984
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4600
Lose: Invader deck ran out 481
Lose: Adversary condition 12273
Win: Sacrifice victory 295
Lose: Scenario condition 1006
Win: Scenario condition 384
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14222
Lose: Spirit destroyed 729

The Kingdom of England — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5825 39.48% 41.91 -0.809 61.22% 0.053 -0.0905
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 37 37.84% 36.08 2.681 56.76% 0.641 -0.0719
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3088 67.85% 36.8 -0.73 50.23% 0.135 0.3984
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 279 34.05% 33.18 5.326 50.9% 1.052 0.2438
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2575 60.72% 37.04 -4.776 51.92% -0.501 -0.6658
Downpour Drenches the World 771 35.84% 30.99 -1.424 43.19% -0.144 0.1292
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1132 43.64% 36.69 3.327 57.77% 0.814 0.3869
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3831 39.49% 42.04 1.099 64.34% 0.303 -0.0564
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7032 30.98% 49.84 3.541 80.49% 0.825 0.3807
Finder of Paths Unseen 245 43.44% 30.93 -4.999 41.22% -0.707 -0.0191
Fractured Days Split the Sky 972 43.2% 43.28 -1.937 58.64% -0.348 0.2412
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1142 48.2% 41.93 0.738 59.11% -0.108 -0.1718
Heart of the Wildfire 3336 74.6% 30.4 -7.243 35.16% -1.248 -0.9202
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 18247 29.0% 46.37 1.639 73.26% 0.564 0.2693
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 368 31.52% 43.32 4.247 63.04% 0.219 -0.1521
Lightning's Swift Strike 5041 59.66% 36.59 -2.141 47.83% -0.107 0.2334
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 657 54.78% 41.19 3.915 61.04% 0.608 0.1345
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 571 50.44% 44.02 -2.028 68.48% -0.126 -0.4871
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 562 46.8% 42.79 2.87 59.96% -0.358 -0.3506
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2698 59.74% 38.35 -3.279 55.45% -0.56 -0.8554
Many Minds Move as One 1296 37.76% 43.93 1.887 68.75% 0.301 0.1554
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6127 58.33% 40.6 -1.948 59.62% -0.143 -0.2015
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2858 53.84% 37.5 -1.489 51.96% -0.05 -0.2135
River Surges in Sunlight 4836 54.75% 38.89 -0.943 48.53% -0.018 0.0809
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 27 51.85% 26.52 -2.052 40.74% -0.18 -0.3154
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 542 58.6% 37.21 -2.053 44.65% -0.444 0.0318
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 480 33.96% 47.55 1.621 65.0% -0.206 -0.2413
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6714 39.18% 44.58 5.026 68.62% 0.949 0.6943
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1129 71.01% 29.33 -3.229 29.67% -0.461 0.0603
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 41 63.41% 29.93 -3.274 36.59% -0.18 -0.0387
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 126 69.84% 29.32 -1.028 39.68% -0.188 -0.7661
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 70 48.57% 30.24 -6.544 37.14% -0.576 -0.2252
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 251 77.29% 29.48 -2.913 30.68% -0.53 -0.5463
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 128 57.03% 40.63 -14.385 54.69% -0.33 -0.0809
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5898 30.53% 48.42 3.982 72.91% 0.599 0.4895
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 192 46.88% 34.49 1.588 47.92% 0.472 0.3102
Shifting Memory of Ages 1166 59.48% 37.93 0.297 53.34% 0.187 0.531
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 33 60.61% 40.79 4.289 60.61% 0.691 0.3821
Shroud of Silent Mist 919 68.16% 35.46 -2.769 50.27% -0.461 -0.1295
Starlight Seeks its Form 1822 46.9% 39.18 2.83 57.79% 0.37 0.1952
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3931 38.42% 39.78 -0.986 67.95% 0.404 -0.3058
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1075 61.65% 34.64 -4.184 42.98% -0.511 -0.2995
Thunderspeaker 6920 41.35% 43.91 0.417 62.99% 0.091 0.0704
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 151 50.99% 17.97 -1.189 19.21% -0.025 0.1729
Towering Roots of the Jungle 152 58.55% 29.35 -0.478 42.76% -0.05 -0.0781
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2561 79.84% 40.32 0.396 64.39% 0.179 0.2448
Vital Strength of the Earth 2520 52.21% 33.44 -3.735 39.96% -0.63 -0.0957
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 319 41.21% 35.26 -2.335 46.71% -0.228 0.3396
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 363 54.27% 37.58 -0.926 52.62% -0.033 0.7261
Volcano Looming High 2472 69.06% 34.77 -0.67 50.49% 0.022 0.1594
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 370 53.24% 32.86 0.567 44.86% 0.162 -0.1493

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 22 31.82% 49.77 8.104 68.18% 0.659 0.6743
Blitz 0 561 45.41% 37.55 0.742 47.95% -0.247 0.0412
Dahan Insurrection 4 414 42.23% 55.19 -0.833 49.28% -0.598 -0.7748
Despicable Theft 2 29 48.28% 23.34 -9.403 27.59% -0.849 0.0123
Elemental Invocation 1 109 66.06% 33.65 -6.068 42.2% -0.506 0.4272
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6723 8.91% 53.23 3.44 80.11% 0.754 0.1075
Powers Long Forgotten 1 148 71.62% 31.24 3.063 28.38% 0.56 1.5056
Rituals of Terror 3 158 62.03% 36.7 -7.11 28.48% -0.77 -0.6934
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 105 85.71% 31.76 0.336 20.0% -0.315 0.8006
Second Wave 0 495 51.94% 37.27 2.723 44.85% 0.033 0.0633
The Great River 3 70 52.86% 24.84 -10.318 14.29% -0.975 0.4506
Varied Terrains 2 27 25.93% 17.93 -10.899 18.52% -0.913 -0.1388
Ward the Shores 2 156 65.81% 39.33 -4.164 37.82% -0.673 0.3714

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 49760 50.59% 39.42 -0.149 59.72% 0.192 0.452
1 Thematic 1559 60.54% 36.17 -3.865 35.98% -0.937 -0.4708
2 Archipelago 22 31.82% 49.55 0.0 59.09%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9996 53.15% 39.89 -2.834 58.03% -0.556 -0.3704
2 Coastline 1455 50.9% 42.38 -1.714 64.12% -0.646 -0.6626
2 Fragment 176 62.07% 35.27 5.195 46.59% 0.154 -0.1628
2 Heart 189 59.79% 38.38 4.312 54.5% 0.339 0.2453
2 Opposite Shores 1772 55.21% 38.57 1.655 51.98% 0.187 0.1479
2 Thematic 479 60.54% 38.15 6.754 39.46% 1.281 1.5677
2 Top to Top 349 60.29% 38.42 -2.018 55.87% -0.155 -0.1991
3 Archipelago 10 50.0% 33.0 0.0 30.0%
3 Coastline 21 70.0% 31.19 23.647 28.57% 0.394 -0.3562
3 Other 166 59.39% 41.01 4.218 62.65% 0.29 -0.1728
3 Round (Default) 3699 50.37% 39.15 0.184 56.53% -0.331 -0.5509
3 Sunrise 18 55.56% 37.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 114 47.37% 40.44 3.174 42.11% 0.74 0.4475
4 Archipelago 14 71.43% 49.64 0.0 64.29%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 17 70.59% 38.12 0.0 58.82%
4 Other 77 66.23% 44.56 4.187 68.83% 0.194 -0.0631
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 350 49.43% 48.04 -12.515 56.57% -0.894 -0.6415
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4591 18.43% 50.83 5.7 76.85% 0.07 0.2847
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 25.67 0.0 33.33%
5 Other 102 25.74% 49.06 -0.142 74.51% -0.282 -0.8481
5 Thematic 8 12.5% 45.13 -19.269 37.5% -0.485 -0.905
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 31 26.67% 35.48 11.505 45.16% 0.256 0.6824
6 Star 15 53.33% 39.33 8.782 46.67% 0.21 0.3231
6 Thematic 35 28.57% 42.57 0.0 48.57%
6 Two Centers (Default) 117 23.93% 40.15 1.689 66.67% -0.163 -0.4206
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 74.0 0.0 50.0%
7 Other 2 0.0% 48.0 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2793 34.18 2.475 45.29% 0.227 0.4025
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2250 36.7 4.571 49.91% 0.643 0.5884
All Things Weaken 1615 35.02 1.36 48.67% 0.237 0.5307
Attenuated Essence 176 27.56 1.133 38.07% 0.231 0.3147
Back Against the Wall 2203 35.78 1.636 47.25% 0.181 0.2285
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 201 32.18 -0.991 46.27% -0.119 0.084
Burn Brightest Before the End 146 33.31 5.244 43.15% 0.581 0.7687
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2764 31.97 1.556 43.81% 0.252 0.6612
Downward Spiral 5135 32.4 0.021 43.56% 0.192 0.3192
Erosion of Will 2746 33.96 1.669 44.5% 0.175 0.4576
Intensifying Exploitation 185 31.12 2.97 46.49% 0.476 0.7234
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 557 41.21 1.341 65.17% 0.049 -0.4668
Memory Fades to Dust 5169 32.47 0.654 42.37% 0.169 0.4057
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1586 33.84 0.166 47.98% -0.004 0.2138
Promising Farmlands 2691 33.21 2.124 45.08% 0.187 0.4814
Shattered Fragments of Power 144 33.58 -0.802 47.22% -0.235 -0.0341
Slow Dissolution of Will 180 26.79 -2.08 30.0% -0.598 -0.2136
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 440 43.44 1.644 71.82% 0.478 -0.1033
The Border of Life and Death 62 30.58 0.61 48.39% 0.106 -0.4115
Thriving Communities 1583 33.49 -1.113 47.13% -0.142 0.1975
Thriving Crops 96 32.1 4.569 47.92% 0.866 0.8234
Tipping Point 932 31.37 0.0 38.73%
Unnatural Proliferation 1688 35.96 1.345 49.7% 0.106 0.2467
Untended Land Crumbles 1607 34.47 1.484 49.1% 0.346 0.7945

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 17766 45.43% 41.24 1.089 60.42% 0.213 1.0743
B 19949 43.42% 42.37 0.218 62.69% 0.015 0.8322
C 20824 44.97% 42.42 1.171 63.56% 0.186 0.8645
D 15116 50.37% 39.77 0.019 58.66% 0.174 0.9784
E 8462 45.99% 41.2 1.142 62.27% 0.155 0.824
F 10135 45.31% 40.98 -0.01 61.89% -0.029 0.7697
G 8753 46.69% 41.01 0.263 61.38% 0.07 0.896
H 8832 44.68% 41.88 0.351 63.41% 0.1 0.8732
East 1678 54.85% 40.51 -0.214 41.78% -0.547 0.2989
Northeast 1055 52.94% 41.47 -0.911 42.65% -0.496 0.2748
Northwest 866 57.27% 40.75 -0.237 42.96% -0.234 0.573
Southeast 253 44.44% 40.2 8.073 47.43% 0.107 0.9761
Southwest 301 55.18% 33.74 -2.082 39.87% -0.714 0.5673
West 1521 59.58% 38.05 -2.669 39.91% -0.269 0.7267

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 358 0.0% 38.92 -2.491 53.63% -0.713 0.0824
Not Using Events or Tokens 7703 48.72% 38.33 -3.571 54.24% -0.685 -0.2971
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1234 17.61% 60.32 12.563 84.76% 1.572 0.9573
Start of Game Growth 1981 19.8% 54.9 9.725 78.5% 0.777 0.1958
Unlimited Undo 6351 51.85% 41.18 0.378 62.73% 0.014 0.0575
Using Tokens but Not Events 5669 37.65% 41.51 -0.813 62.34% -0.329 -0.3867

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14098 15.74 19.81%
II 20264 30.48 32.51%
III 21736 34.79 75.37%
IV 19087 38.41 99.72%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.805 Win Model: 0.191
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 51560 50.86% 39.36 59.09%
2 14326 53.95% 39.76 56.85%
3 3971 50.75% 39.07 55.93%
4 5069 21.35% 50.57 75.26%
5 57 30.36% 37.77 52.63%
6 202 27.0% 40.51 59.41%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2792
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 16095
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6407
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 18831
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4799
Lose: Invader deck ran out 96
Lose: Adversary condition 11462
Win: Sacrifice victory 363
Lose: Scenario condition 1169
Win: Scenario condition 309
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12214
Lose: Spirit destroyed 648

The Kingdom of England — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2385 45.39% 44.23 0.415 47.04% 0.009 -0.1347
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 13 30.77% 45.38 7.962 53.85% 1.115 0.4023
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 864 78.6% 36.18 -2.852 34.14% -0.389 -0.1254
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 57 59.65% 47.63 8.624 64.91% 1.075 0.2661
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 728 75.69% 28.21 -5.082 17.31% -1.687 -1.8515
Downpour Drenches the World 243 42.15% 29.32 -2.037 28.4% 0.032 0.3054
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 629 66.45% 32.24 -2.314 35.29% -0.157 -0.5836
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1114 60.63% 41.93 2.885 46.14% 0.635 0.2751
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1673 57.67% 43.52 -1.449 48.48% -0.428 -0.8723
Finder of Paths Unseen 116 46.55% 21.63 -8.631 18.1% -0.727 -0.0386
Fractured Days Split the Sky 371 62.91% 44.26 5.567 38.27% 0.592 1.1807
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 280 81.07% 30.32 -4.063 25.71% -0.015 -0.079
Heart of the Wildfire 1081 84.32% 24.99 -4.719 12.77% -0.283 0.0442
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4741 53.51% 44.64 1.315 53.26% 0.575 0.2802
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 60 65.0% 22.42 -3.365 16.67% -0.598 -0.969
Lightning's Swift Strike 2591 62.44% 41.05 1.914 39.68% 0.559 0.8988
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 385 66.75% 43.24 12.676 43.64% 1.856 1.3818
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 188 65.96% 44.99 0.306 54.79% 0.141 -0.2194
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 207 65.7% 37.3 -3.696 39.61% -0.4 -0.3931
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1126 73.94% 35.66 -2.294 33.21% -0.038 -0.3327
Many Minds Move as One 382 48.95% 47.74 1.946 59.95% 0.685 0.5394
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2983 63.95% 44.34 1.388 51.83% 0.549 0.4906
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 835 62.92% 35.59 -3.498 29.58% -1.118 -1.2818
River Surges in Sunlight 1687 50.73% 44.71 -1.567 43.98% -0.258 -0.1599
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 2 100.0% 61.5 16.672 100.0% 0.992 0.8563
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 121 69.17% 31.9 -7.042 19.01% -0.513 -0.0369
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 98 55.1% 35.38 -4.283 28.57% -0.657 -0.6919
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1945 59.68% 42.05 -0.458 46.94% 0.288 0.0329
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 440 79.63% 29.72 -6.099 16.82% -0.14 0.3817
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 13 61.54% 25.46 5.733 23.08% 0.418 0.5587
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 48 70.83% 27.67 -5.517 22.92% -0.552 -1.1303
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 4 75.0% 26.75 -2.846 25.0% -0.268 0.0826
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 49 79.59% 35.39 -4.848 30.61% -0.092 -0.108
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 47 74.47% 30.68 -8.523 25.53% -0.29 -0.041
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1424 55.95% 46.48 1.456 51.4% 0.524 0.4145
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 71 42.25% 40.7 1.381 35.21% -0.033 -0.1949
Shifting Memory of Ages 377 68.7% 38.5 -7.016 38.73% -1.08 -0.7356
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 26 50.0% 22.31 -1.627 23.08% 0.094 -0.2149
Shroud of Silent Mist 316 83.23% 31.71 -1.017 27.53% -0.144 0.1874
Starlight Seeks its Form 648 64.51% 37.12 -0.08 40.28% -0.03 -0.2042
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4536 26.46% 50.57 8.571 75.09% 1.862 1.152
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 473 76.72% 28.97 -2.843 16.7% -0.17 0.0419
Thunderspeaker 1850 70.4% 35.3 -3.06 30.65% 0.042 0.0212
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 62 58.06% 25.15 -0.609 22.58% 0.035 0.2334
Towering Roots of the Jungle 45 57.78% 31.0 0.438 42.22% 0.662 0.6343
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1057 85.53% 40.39 -5.146 49.2% -0.834 -0.7679
Vital Strength of the Earth 1024 50.2% 39.77 0.308 36.04% -0.467 0.0671
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 67 58.21% 29.88 -1.216 22.39% -0.469 0.0981
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 102 68.63% 30.95 -2.042 26.47% -0.713 0.046
Volcano Looming High 675 86.22% 28.9 -4.087 22.81% -0.431 -0.2937
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 157 53.5% 32.29 3.544 36.31% 0.703 0.3914

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 0.0% 17.5 22.3 25.0% 0.616 0.6312
Blitz 0 292 49.83% 38.17 8.32 40.41% 0.869 1.1575
Dahan Insurrection 4 221 71.82% 42.35 -0.599 15.84% -0.415 -0.5919
Despicable Theft 2 19 84.21% 30.84 -11.753 21.05% -0.3 0.5614
Elemental Invocation 1 59 69.49% 22.92 -6.858 10.17% -1.031 -0.0981
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1408 19.07% 51.89 3.92 58.17% 0.522 -0.1245
Powers Long Forgotten 1 80 80.0% 31.46 -0.544 18.75% -0.122 0.8233
Rituals of Terror 3 76 78.95% 82.67 16.622 55.26% 0.859 0.9357
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 23 65.22% 36.83 0.0 21.74%
Second Wave 0 210 66.51% 36.19 -0.222 30.0% 0.124 0.1539
The Great River 3 7 28.57% 15.57 0.0 14.29%
Varied Terrains 2 4 75.0% 29.0 1.063 0.0% -0.194 0.5802
Ward the Shores 2 63 62.9% 44.05 -13.669 31.75% -0.215 0.8291

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 20457 59.17% 39.95 1.309 46.88% 0.622 0.8818
1 Thematic 1187 69.7% 39.16 -0.954 30.67% 0.443 0.909
2 Archipelago 10 100.0% 55.8 0.0 20.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2997 70.38% 36.97 -1.962 37.0% -0.036 0.1494
2 Coastline 345 66.18% 39.17 -3.021 43.77% -0.209 -0.2256
2 Fragment 98 77.55% 38.06 -8.415 37.76% -0.46 -0.7759
2 Heart 90 83.33% 37.48 0.0 37.78%
2 Opposite Shores 705 69.35% 37.92 -1.976 36.31% -0.879 -0.9188
2 Thematic 204 66.18% 45.9 -0.29 30.88% -0.075 0.2118
2 Top to Top 148 53.38% 34.68 4.356 37.16% 0.489 0.4454
3 Archipelago 12 83.33% 107.83 44.647 66.67% 0.385 -0.7552
3 Coastline 5 60.0% 27.0 19.416 20.0% 0.716 -0.0339
3 Other 55 76.36% 48.65 0.0 65.45%
3 Round (Default) 1229 65.74% 35.48 -3.751 34.58% -0.499 -0.7186
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 42.0 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 57 63.16% 40.47 -4.126 29.82% -0.652 -0.9446
4 Archipelago 5 100.0% 43.0 0.0 20.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 9 88.89% 42.0 0.0 44.44%
4 Other 27 77.78% 46.19 -10.271 59.26% -0.218 -0.4751
4 Thematic 234 22.22% 64.08 3.001 69.66% 0.195 0.4474
4 Trapezoid (Default) 953 29.36% 51.09 2.52 59.39% -0.29 -0.0754
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -14.435 0.0% -0.16 0.1134
5 Other 27 33.33% 52.44 2.987 55.56% -0.19 -0.7551
5 Thematic 23 47.83% 65.65 -4.919 52.17% -0.51 -0.93
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 70.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 10 33.33% 46.7 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 4 0.0% 40.25 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 61 9.84% 69.0 13.611 63.93% 0.315 0.4168
6 Two Centers (Default) 9 88.89% 46.0 18.928 55.56% 0.391 0.1338
7 Archipelago 2 50.0% 146.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1288 36.26 2.544 34.08% 0.349 0.5249
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1039 39.29 4.897 39.08% 0.15 0.0957
All Things Weaken 722 35.2 1.573 33.52% 0.077 0.3702
Attenuated Essence 112 32.38 3.711 37.5% 0.62 0.7031
Back Against the Wall 925 37.03 -0.19 34.59% -0.32 -0.2727
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 126 34.01 -0.189 36.51% -0.128 0.0757
Burn Brightest Before the End 82 29.63 4.503 26.83% 0.426 0.6134
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1246 34.57 0.291 34.99% 0.048 0.457
Downward Spiral 2466 33.73 3.676 31.02% 0.817 0.9448
Erosion of Will 1418 34.67 0.772 31.24% -0.192 0.0907
Intensifying Exploitation 114 24.39 -0.655 23.68% 0.268 0.5158
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 223 41.84 0.593 51.12% 0.495 -0.0205
Memory Fades to Dust 2421 33.2 2.644 28.5% 0.495 0.7322
Power Corrodes the Spirit 733 35.61 0.323 35.33% 0.04 0.2582
Promising Farmlands 1256 34.55 -1.002 32.96% -0.353 -0.0584
Shattered Fragments of Power 88 36.74 3.62 38.64% 0.301 0.5021
Slow Dissolution of Will 98 31.79 2.206 29.59% 0.405 0.7897
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 183 49.75 -2.974 63.93% -0.402 -0.9831
The Border of Life and Death 25 30.88 0.374 44.0% 0.184 -0.333
Thriving Communities 720 35.32 2.961 35.42% 0.267 0.6062
Thriving Crops 36 35.25 6.88 50.0% 1.195 1.1527
Tipping Point 470 35.04 0.0 31.91%
Unnatural Proliferation 822 38.19 3.405 38.69% 0.56 0.7004
Untended Land Crumbles 781 34.3 0.706 33.93% -0.091 0.3576

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5228 64.06% 37.98 -2.587 38.94% -0.413 0.4488
B 6676 59.34% 40.08 -0.322 42.87% 0.006 0.823
C 9872 48.53% 45.31 3.119 58.03% 0.205 0.8838
D 5105 64.45% 38.88 -0.855 41.21% -0.276 0.5284
E 2739 65.65% 36.94 -0.295 39.03% -0.199 0.4692
F 2834 65.3% 37.03 -1.597 37.93% -0.432 0.3666
G 2480 66.15% 36.85 0.103 37.46% 0.06 0.8855
H 2571 64.06% 37.64 -0.032 38.51% -0.149 0.6236
East 1187 56.24% 47.71 2.299 39.68% 0.074 0.9202
Northeast 715 50.35% 50.1 -1.861 41.68% -0.674 0.0969
Northwest 554 45.85% 53.47 6.283 50.9% 0.393 1.2005
Southeast 205 33.66% 51.77 0.473 46.83% -0.175 0.6946
Southwest 206 37.07% 47.14 -3.575 43.69% -0.873 0.4086
West 944 52.92% 48.76 3.264 44.07% -0.286 0.7102

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 107 0.0% 54.47 0.0 60.75%
Not Using Events or Tokens 2683 64.36% 35.15 -2.612 31.87% -0.552 -0.1646
Skip Initial Invader Actions 714 16.92% 63.88 11.427 78.15% 1.495 0.8805
Start of Game Growth 1190 18.68% 60.86 8.48 72.52% 0.524 -0.0578
Unlimited Undo 2312 58.53% 43.5 3.985 49.83% 0.801 0.8448
Using Tokens but Not Events 1679 59.07% 39.23 -4.335 38.53% -1.075 -1.1327

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6947 15.74 5.5%
II 7806 30.48 12.38%
III 5323 34.79 51.7%
IV 8906 38.41 99.82%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.165 Win Model: 0.461
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 21754 59.81% 39.97 46.0%
2 4554 69.58% 37.67 37.35%
3 1337 66.57% 36.01 34.63%
4 1225 28.75% 53.61 61.39%
5 29 36.36% 49.34 41.38%
6 83 19.51% 66.27 66.27%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 382
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2681
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 928
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8790
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2120
Lose: Invader deck ran out 42
Lose: Adversary condition 6137
Win: Sacrifice victory 137
Lose: Scenario condition 443
Win: Scenario condition 72
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6903
Lose: Spirit destroyed 347

The Kingdom of England — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 11097 38.85% 45.5 1.037 43.59% 0.16 0.0167
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 120 36.67% 37.64 4.031 34.17% 0.486 -0.2268
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6683 71.83% 35.3 -1.339 28.85% -0.072 0.1919
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 661 61.12% 39.39 5.631 45.23% 1.122 0.3137
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2820 64.04% 32.27 -4.879 19.61% -1.059 -1.2241
Downpour Drenches the World 1470 34.86% 34.0 0.584 29.93% 0.29 0.5637
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2181 57.16% 25.73 -0.76 21.6% -0.007 -0.4338
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6363 51.29% 39.55 -2.342 37.58% 0.333 -0.0266
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 10182 51.18% 47.25 3.706 49.57% 0.691 0.2467
Finder of Paths Unseen 698 47.35% 29.37 0.345 22.78% -0.526 0.1627
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3284 43.63% 48.17 0.446 44.37% 0.267 0.8564
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1416 74.59% 30.62 -2.099 19.21% -0.529 -0.5933
Heart of the Wildfire 4946 72.17% 27.25 -5.788 15.53% -1.105 -0.7776
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 27526 44.96% 46.89 -1.069 51.58% 0.009 -0.2863
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 455 59.78% 20.98 -3.153 10.77% -1.303 -1.6732
Lightning's Swift Strike 14680 59.34% 40.67 -5.171 37.12% -1.181 -0.841
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 3402 59.82% 40.25 2.361 38.48% 0.351 -0.1227
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 2487 58.1% 46.91 8.727 49.62% 1.372 1.0116
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1705 51.67% 47.48 5.722 49.38% 0.621 0.6279
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5662 66.81% 35.61 -1.277 30.84% -0.12 -0.4149
Many Minds Move as One 2548 47.47% 51.02 6.7 58.2% 1.319 1.1734
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 24328 55.84% 48.36 1.825 50.25% 0.79 0.7321
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3077 51.15% 39.02 1.251 33.28% -0.294 -0.4574
River Surges in Sunlight 8721 50.67% 48.64 2.261 42.12% 0.439 0.5376
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 96 54.17% 32.7 2.581 28.13% 0.372 0.2364
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1178 52.29% 38.78 -2.011 28.01% -0.683 -0.2069
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 758 54.16% 39.17 2.012 25.46% -0.072 -0.1068
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 14606 41.84% 50.44 3.348 54.95% 0.65 0.3947
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3806 64.9% 37.54 -5.576 27.54% -0.857 -0.3355
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 53 69.81% 29.25 0.0 20.75%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 362 71.82% 29.17 -0.341 24.31% -0.079 -0.6578
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 154 66.23% 26.78 -8.683 17.53% -0.644 -0.2933
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 352 74.72% 34.97 -5.438 22.44% -0.187 -0.2031
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 349 72.7% 34.56 -5.527 24.07% -0.65 -0.4014
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7167 44.95% 46.86 3.42 48.89% 0.462 0.3528
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 457 51.64% 28.37 0.765 26.26% 0.505 0.3427
Shifting Memory of Ages 2340 52.98% 40.8 -0.283 37.74% 0.44 0.7842
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 163 39.88% 33.42 2.332 34.97% 0.574 0.2653
Shroud of Silent Mist 1435 78.34% 36.09 -4.152 32.13% -0.419 -0.0874
Starlight Seeks its Form 4469 47.96% 39.47 -2.126 38.51% -0.039 -0.2139
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 11698 43.26% 42.07 4.316 47.14% 0.964 0.2546
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2269 62.0% 36.21 -3.329 27.15% -0.983 -0.7712
Thunderspeaker 9032 60.66% 37.42 -3.853 25.87% -0.671 -0.6919
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 208 48.31% 23.34 -0.948 22.6% 0.034 0.2318
Towering Roots of the Jungle 343 50.15% 23.79 -1.492 22.16% -0.018 -0.0464
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4557 80.84% 41.32 2.942 42.62% 0.82 0.886
Vital Strength of the Earth 4523 43.3% 40.93 0.712 31.84% 0.526 1.0605
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 673 35.43% 28.78 -7.47 22.44% -1.342 -0.7748
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 452 63.94% 31.17 0.224 15.71% -0.252 0.507
Volcano Looming High 3871 74.8% 31.1 -0.309 21.23% -0.269 -0.1323
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 814 51.91% 35.17 3.484 35.26% 0.524 0.2125

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 13 23.08% 49.23 -12.342 38.46% -0.27 -0.2544
Blitz 0 1989 35.02% 47.71 9.693 47.81% 1.402 1.6904
Dahan Insurrection 4 2834 61.71% 44.92 -0.876 14.71% 0.417 0.2398
Despicable Theft 2 53 55.77% 36.53 0.0 26.42%
Elemental Invocation 1 199 71.35% 35.23 -12.809 17.09% -0.446 0.4868
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 18439 22.37% 54.53 8.65 54.65% 1.347 0.7008
Powers Long Forgotten 1 181 85.0% 30.38 -12.898 10.5% -0.839 0.1071
Rituals of Terror 3 777 63.6% 100.25 19.817 57.79% 1.577 1.6534
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 122 79.51% 29.43 -23.647 6.56% -0.881 0.2344
Second Wave 0 370 60.55% 39.88 3.574 34.05% -0.339 -0.3088
The Great River 3 42 38.1% 33.52 0.0 19.05%
Varied Terrains 2 105 55.24% 17.1 -0.756 3.81% 0.023 0.7973
Ward the Shores 2 272 69.06% 43.26 -9.487 29.41% -0.695 0.3491

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 115912 59.84% 40.48 -0.269 39.52% -0.279 -0.0188
1 Thematic 7006 56.86% 44.87 2.958 25.28% -0.356 0.1097
2 Archipelago 68 73.53% 57.56 3.578 26.47% -0.232 0.2412
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11847 65.1% 40.37 -0.767 37.53% -0.446 -0.2605
2 Coastline 2691 58.4% 37.05 2.238 33.37% -0.078 -0.095
2 Fragment 264 60.61% 36.6 11.721 32.95% 0.64 0.3237
2 Heart 233 64.81% 46.68 -0.729 53.65% -0.406 -0.5006
2 Opposite Shores 3709 52.5% 43.36 2.016 39.31% -0.277 -0.3165
2 Thematic 2373 36.62% 69.42 7.198 53.27% 0.502 0.7888
2 Top to Top 786 57.58% 44.44 -2.074 47.2% -0.734 -0.7779
3 Archipelago 55 50.91% 92.02 24.6 63.64% 0.124 -1.0156
3 Coastline 37 47.22% 42.89 6.917 43.24% 0.18 -0.5701
3 Other 296 60.47% 51.17 13.033 58.78% 1.578 1.1149
3 Round (Default) 6934 50.44% 42.75 -1.756 43.35% -0.686 -0.9061
3 Sunrise 18 50.0% 46.33 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 192 40.84% 73.46 9.472 43.75% 0.113 -0.1794
4 Archipelago 20 45.0% 43.05 -11.566 35.0% -0.828 -0.6346
4 Coastline 31 9.68% 45.13 0.0 35.48%
4 Leaf 19 31.58% 48.26 0.0 42.11%
4 Other 185 52.17% 54.96 15.39 65.95% 1.269 1.0126
4 Thematic 1659 23.99% 67.26 -6.44 67.93% -0.564 -0.3117
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4678 29.37% 41.51 -3.355 45.62% -0.917 -0.7031
5 Archipelago 7 57.14% 65.0 0.0 57.14%
5 Coastline 22 9.09% 56.27 -14.418 77.27% -0.291 -0.3954
5 Other 111 35.58% 57.93 8.916 68.47% 0.571 0.0054
5 Thematic 80 21.25% 72.64 -0.049 75.0% 0.172 -0.2485
6 Archipelago 121 2.5% 67.26 10.943 76.03% 0.436 -0.4964
6 Coastline 7 0.0% 4.86 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 128 18.75% 59.05 17.205 68.75% 0.246 0.6715
6 Star 36 27.78% 48.17 0.0 52.78%
6 Thematic 428 11.24% 43.45 -2.565 43.93% -0.864 -0.7626
6 Two Centers (Default) 485 10.72% 41.13 -3.627 39.59% -1.713 -1.9702
7 Archipelago 3 100.0% 84.0 0.0 33.33%
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 6879 38.21 2.773 32.65% 0.281 0.4563
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5753 41.73 7.332 38.01% 0.901 0.8465
All Things Weaken 4058 36.08 2.157 28.76% 0.071 0.3644
Attenuated Essence 620 30.54 0.889 25.81% -0.101 -0.0172
Back Against the Wall 5361 40.64 4.863 35.8% 0.686 0.7333
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 613 29.51 1.408 24.63% 0.198 0.4017
Burn Brightest Before the End 460 34.6 3.088 27.39% -0.03 0.1578
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6633 35.7 1.977 30.68% 0.233 0.6416
Downward Spiral 12229 37.1 2.009 29.9% 0.421 0.5488
Erosion of Will 6786 36.75 1.804 29.53% 0.016 0.2986
Intensifying Exploitation 640 30.96 3.597 27.34% 0.564 0.8117
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1394 44.36 -0.039 45.12% 0.092 -0.4233
Memory Fades to Dust 12106 36.48 2.368 27.18% 0.231 0.4685
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4050 36.86 2.731 31.31% 0.441 0.6591
Promising Farmlands 6654 37.26 3.722 32.16% 0.447 0.7416
Shattered Fragments of Power 445 35.22 3.398 29.44% 0.246 0.4469
Slow Dissolution of Will 653 30.79 0.572 24.35% -0.222 0.1618
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 860 48.58 3.575 52.67% 0.417 -0.1638
The Border of Life and Death 115 37.63 0.057 37.39% 0.3 -0.2169
Thriving Communities 4241 36.89 0.87 31.83% 0.076 0.4147
Thriving Crops 251 33.66 -0.706 32.27% -0.118 -0.16
Tipping Point 2148 36.92 0.0 30.4%
Unnatural Proliferation 4455 38.74 4.516 32.41% 0.523 0.6635
Untended Land Crumbles 4150 36.29 2.003 30.36% 0.199 0.6473

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 31085 54.81% 41.12 -1.404 39.66% -1.038 -0.1761
B 34447 55.17% 40.8 -1.619 39.62% -1.01 -0.1932
C 37881 57.17% 42.54 -0.282 42.66% -0.715 -0.036
D 28335 57.49% 40.68 -0.914 40.22% -0.851 -0.0464
E 19825 54.34% 40.04 2.194 39.35% -0.518 0.1502
F 17563 55.09% 40.5 -0.18 39.59% -0.714 0.0845
G 15968 53.49% 40.45 -1.042 39.5% -0.809 0.0172
H 16776 50.45% 41.89 0.023 42.21% -0.797 -0.0239
East 8800 43.0% 56.35 1.404 41.23% -1.341 -0.4948
Northeast 6039 37.48% 56.09 2.58 43.47% -0.331 0.4396
Northwest 3605 29.69% 59.98 0.697 53.29% -1.287 -0.4797
Southeast 1203 36.44% 49.66 2.444 40.57% 0.03 0.8996
Southwest 926 24.76% 48.5 -2.731 46.33% -1.448 -0.166
West 6080 39.41% 58.42 0.906 46.3% -1.218 -0.2223

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1274 0.0% 44.3 4.713 43.49% 0.665 1.461
Not Using Events or Tokens 14294 57.6% 40.22 -2.8 27.33% -0.672 -0.2841
Skip Initial Invader Actions 8151 15.16% 66.02 8.149 77.23% 0.04 -0.5743
Start of Game Growth 9697 18.56% 64.03 8.517 74.37% 1.496 0.9148
Unlimited Undo 21267 38.62% 53.78 0.133 64.59% 0.403 0.4466
Using Tokens but Not Events 10898 50.68% 42.55 2.62 39.63% -0.087 -0.1451

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 55806 15.74 7.05%
II 44629 30.48 23.75%
III 24367 34.79 55.96%
IV 35792 38.41 99.7%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.16 Win Model: 0.761
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 124151 59.71% 41.1 38.98%
2 21156 58.43% 42.43 38.53%
3 7412 50.57% 43.6 44.12%
4 6585 28.25% 48.28 51.6%
5 82 21.05% 48.99 53.66%
6 1208 11.18% 47.06 48.76%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3917
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13145
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9962
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 34970
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 15539
Lose: Invader deck ran out 229
Lose: Adversary condition 37845
Win: Sacrifice victory 1241
Lose: Scenario condition 5641
Win: Scenario condition 617
Lose: Blight pool ran out 35560
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1928

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)