The Kingdom of England — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5321 21.68% 26.36 0.259 86.54% -0.079 0.0668
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2910 44.71% 24.01 -0.197 79.24% -0.082 0.1549
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1995 25.21% 26.36 0.279 89.57% 0.35 0.2646
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2312 15.56% 28.82 1.341 92.65% 0.412 0.0467
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2106 20.41% 28.1 1.027 91.5% 0.442 0.1969
Fractured Days Split the Sky 290 32.41% 26.33 0.462 76.21% -0.844 -0.4984
Heart of the Wildfire 3057 59.59% 21.17 -1.45 73.14% -0.18 0.1708
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5064 22.77% 27.0 0.391 90.42% 0.277 -0.0229
Lightning's Swift Strike 5395 41.13% 24.45 -0.121 80.35% 0.032 0.3001
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 499 30.78% 26.5 0.649 91.18% 0.508 0.189
Many Minds Move as One 513 23.78% 27.57 0.837 90.84% 0.282 -0.2385
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4633 40.78% 24.66 -0.17 82.13% 0.16 -0.0342
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1840 28.7% 24.96 -0.342 85.11% -0.11 -0.0609
River Surges in Sunlight 5747 36.95% 25.93 0.421 75.83% -0.466 -0.3036
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2679 32.37% 24.45 -0.485 83.02% -0.121 0.0292
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3383 52.68% 23.07 -0.673 73.93% -0.19 0.2593
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3696 23.62% 27.6 0.705 88.56% 0.046 -0.0218
Shroud of Silent Mist 56 55.36% 22.91 -0.587 83.93% 0.155 0.1106
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1025 24.36% 24.54 -0.643 90.93% 0.302 0.2824
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1423 28.7% 24.95 -0.495 81.52% -0.435 -0.2185
Thunderspeaker 5072 24.02% 28.04 1.118 87.76% 0.189 0.2471
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 704 61.06% 21.34 -1.477 78.27% 0.062 0.0814
Vital Strength of the Earth 4152 28.86% 22.55 -1.443 73.96% -0.828 0.0424
Volcano Looming High 259 35.91% 23.03 -1.064 83.4% -0.224 -0.286

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 821 41.55% 22.44 -1.375 74.42% -0.44 0.1363
Dahan Insurrection 4 809 22.0% 46.1 9.98 80.47% -0.575 -0.1739
Despicable Theft 2 3 33.33% 38.0 5.766 100.0% 0.22 0.6483
Elemental Invocation 1 35 37.14% 26.71 0.754 80.0% -0.385 -0.0042
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2029 8.95% 30.49 1.967 86.25% -0.584 -0.2181
Powers Long Forgotten 1 397 48.36% 28.25 1.364 73.55% -0.483 -0.0416
Rituals of Terror 3 551 48.36% 34.08 4.529 64.97% -0.78 -0.1519
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 313 69.33% 32.09 3.791 62.94% -0.528 0.1212
Second Wave 0 586 48.12% 22.81 -0.786 64.16% -1.092 -0.6756
The Great River 3 60 48.33% 30.18 2.969 56.67% -1.56 -0.0888
Ward the Shores 2 510 47.94% 28.08 1.254 60.0% -1.3 -0.2633

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 28178 38.66% 24.04 -0.581 80.52% -0.289 0.0697
1 Thematic 3025 42.48% 31.17 2.122 75.04% -0.234 0.2698
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6751 32.22% 24.51 -0.318 83.72% -0.098 0.0979
2 Coastline 578 35.71% 24.45 -0.234 84.6% 0.073 0.2154
2 Fragment 152 38.41% 22.61 -1.183 76.97% -0.516 -0.0941
2 Heart 81 36.25% 24.1 -0.768 85.19% -0.046 0.2462
2 Opposite Shores 862 27.83% 25.56 -0.042 88.86% 0.226 0.4512
2 Thematic 674 37.26% 33.38 1.9 76.71% 0.068 0.1131
2 Top to Top 122 34.71% 24.42 -0.278 83.61% -0.12 0.0143
3 Coastline 6 0.0% 28.0 0.994 100.0% 0.276 0.2422
3 Other 73 29.58% 22.58 -1.142 80.82% -0.494 -0.0786
3 Round (Default) 3094 16.88% 27.37 0.467 91.73% 0.289 0.3275
3 Sunrise 10 20.0% 24.9 -0.463 90.0% -0.09 -0.3132
3 Thematic 122 35.25% 32.75 0.575 73.77% 0.119 -0.2376
4 Coastline 13 0.0% 29.77 0.91 92.31% 0.151 0.3093
4 Leaf 3 0.0% 30.0 1.364 100.0% 0.127 0.1547
4 Other 33 27.27% 24.58 -0.324 87.88% -0.091 0.0223
4 Thematic 205 21.46% 31.68 -0.891 76.59% -0.038 -1.1247
4 Trapezoid (Default) 899 22.81% 25.47 -0.062 84.98% -0.083 -0.1004
5 Other 5 80.0% 23.6 0.236 100.0% 0.602 0.3839
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 36.0 2.39 100.0% 0.196 -2.6317

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1036 19.44 -3.614 64.48% -2.206 -0.136
Aid From Lesser Spirits 880 20.13 -3.257 65.23% -2.157 -0.2383
All Things Weaken 293 18.6 -4.068 60.07% -2.411 -0.2561
Back Against the Wall 893 18.93 -3.914 59.01% -2.441 -0.3449
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1006 16.01 -5.356 56.76% -2.552 -0.3282
Downward Spiral 3782 17.16 -4.481 60.6% -2.06 -0.0433
Erosion of Will 1088 18.3 -4.215 58.92% -2.467 -0.2575
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 114 23.4 -1.446 91.23% -0.538 0.1664
Memory Fades to Dust 3852 16.83 -4.671 56.26% -2.241 -0.0256
Power Corrodes the Spirit 303 18.65 -3.876 67.66% -2.111 -0.0909
Promising Farmlands 1034 17.35 -4.654 60.54% -2.393 -0.1802
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 104 24.41 -1.038 94.23% -0.103 0.3324
Thriving Communities 261 16.94 -4.841 59.0% -2.476 -0.3784
Tipping Point 618 17.72 -4.575 59.71% -2.331 -0.1126
Unnatural Proliferation 280 17.59 -4.424 53.57% -2.706 -0.6285
Untended Land Crumbles 288 18.63 -3.933 66.67% -2.098 0.0007

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11470 33.65% 24.47 -0.363 82.11% 0.279 -0.8106
B 11700 32.35% 24.87 -0.107 83.5% 0.371 -0.8146
C 11580 32.17% 24.89 -0.117 82.97% 0.322 -1.0928
D 11250 32.6% 24.81 -0.107 83.58% 0.415 -0.7624
E 1840 31.11% 25.21 -0.006 86.63% 0.409 -0.8676
F 3724 30.81% 24.91 -0.166 85.85% 0.36 -0.8829
G 3583 30.85% 24.68 -0.285 85.29% 0.298 -0.9322
H 3656 30.81% 25.16 -0.046 86.52% 0.436 -0.8044
East 1232 36.33% 33.38 2.26 76.54% 0.207 -0.7436
Northeast 1445 36.94% 32.4 1.84 75.71% 0.043 -0.8465
Northwest 1191 36.51% 32.26 1.71 76.99% 0.282 -0.6831
Southeast 187 34.22% 31.45 1.135 79.14% 0.154 -0.8471
Southwest 164 37.2% 25.58 -2.081 71.34% -0.327 -0.9355
West 1178 40.56% 31.55 1.263 72.41% -0.047 -0.7328

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 564 0.0% 22.98 -1.963 73.4% -1.67 0.3739
Not Using Events or Tokens 11229 44.67% 22.84 -0.92 74.1% -0.472 -0.253
Skip Initial Invader Actions 662 10.48% 33.46 2.504 93.05% 0.42 -0.2841
Start of Game Growth 1059 12.78% 32.17 2.249 93.86% 0.71 0.2561
Unlimited Undo 2476 28.62% 26.92 0.525 86.51% 0.203 -0.209
Using Tokens but Not Events 4960 21.37% 27.01 0.41 88.65% -0.04 -0.0877

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4127 22.34 39.5%
II 15768 30.75 76.43%
III 16563 34.26 88.23%
IV 8429 37.47 99.05%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.039 Win Model: -0.343
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 31235 39.02% 24.73 80.01%
2 9207 32.58% 25.21 83.61%
3 3298 17.83% 27.46 90.87%
4 1147 22.54% 26.61 83.61%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1120
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10626
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8105
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6072
Lose: Invader deck ran out 484
Lose: Adversary condition 2140
Win: Sacrifice victory 192
Lose: Scenario condition 356
Win: Scenario condition 956
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4927
Lose: Spirit destroyed 335

The Kingdom of England — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2775 25.66% 35.0 0.61 84.04% -0.013 0.1335
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1536 54.02% 32.53 0.076 76.11% 0.088 0.3248
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1070 32.8% 34.7 0.618 85.98% 0.388 0.3029
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1470 21.8% 37.73 1.752 87.69% 0.281 -0.0842
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1343 28.89% 36.69 1.531 88.46% 0.564 0.3189
Fractured Days Split the Sky 129 47.29% 33.88 0.715 72.87% -0.375 -0.0295
Heart of the Wildfire 1848 65.79% 28.96 -1.397 70.02% -0.062 0.2885
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3163 36.36% 33.94 0.279 84.29% 0.247 -0.0526
Lightning's Swift Strike 2994 42.38% 33.26 0.312 78.56% 0.078 0.3466
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 361 46.39% 32.42 -0.055 80.61% 0.124 -0.1951
Many Minds Move as One 327 27.22% 35.43 0.907 84.4% 0.034 -0.4867
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2407 52.87% 31.85 -0.321 76.11% 0.155 -0.0399
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1056 40.65% 31.74 -0.802 76.42% -0.249 -0.2005
River Surges in Sunlight 3065 47.19% 32.12 -0.38 67.15% -0.611 -0.4488
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1683 36.03% 33.48 0.056 82.71% 0.119 0.2685
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1747 62.36% 29.42 -1.397 63.48% -0.427 0.0225
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1982 33.59% 35.14 0.826 82.85% 0.065 -0.0026
Shroud of Silent Mist 32 70.97% 28.41 -1.111 71.88% 0.027 -0.0167
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 678 26.45% 32.79 -0.485 85.99% 0.113 0.0942
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 781 48.12% 29.8 -1.79 64.53% -0.793 -0.5767
Thunderspeaker 2866 31.54% 36.66 1.588 84.26% 0.307 0.3647
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 444 67.49% 28.17 -1.746 72.3% -0.047 -0.0275
Vital Strength of the Earth 2216 39.08% 30.04 -1.674 69.04% -0.636 0.2346
Volcano Looming High 160 45.16% 31.97 -0.357 80.63% 0.089 0.027

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 574 46.49% 30.4 -1.366 71.78% -0.321 0.2563
Dahan Insurrection 4 522 26.73% 54.04 10.123 78.35% -0.404 -0.0032
Despicable Theft 2 2 100.0% 16.5 -5.849 0.0% -0.874 -0.4448
Elemental Invocation 1 18 50.0% 30.72 -0.919 66.67% -0.778 -0.397
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1093 12.59% 37.68 1.546 78.77% -0.753 -0.3876
Powers Long Forgotten 1 355 61.3% 32.86 0.19 62.54% -0.583 -0.1415
Rituals of Terror 3 262 54.2% 41.78 4.325 63.74% -0.617 0.0116
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 161 71.43% 40.09 3.647 62.73% -0.473 0.1766
Second Wave 0 2114 49.1% 32.27 -0.047 67.31% -0.738 -0.3216
The Great River 3 36 72.22% 32.56 1.178 50.0% -1.02 0.4512
Ward the Shores 2 309 52.61% 35.97 1.376 60.19% -0.92 0.1166

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 15046 44.48% 31.7 -0.627 76.36% -0.464 -0.1051
1 Thematic 2322 48.09% 37.56 1.697 72.01% -0.611 -0.1075
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3427 41.45% 31.79 -0.422 78.44% -0.109 0.0872
2 Coastline 352 39.77% 32.06 -0.238 80.68% 0.034 0.1767
2 Fragment 108 50.47% 30.57 -0.811 76.85% -0.036 0.3862
2 Heart 59 35.59% 31.85 -0.756 79.66% -0.232 0.0606
2 Opposite Shores 765 39.26% 33.28 0.089 82.09% 0.159 0.3842
2 Thematic 616 45.17% 39.61 1.604 73.05% -0.335 -0.2902
2 Top to Top 111 48.65% 30.4 -0.936 74.77% -0.214 -0.0801
3 Coastline 5 20.0% 37.4 2.163 100.0% 0.63 0.5967
3 Other 58 36.84% 32.98 0.075 82.76% 0.059 0.4741
3 Round (Default) 1534 27.18% 34.53 0.338 85.01% 0.323 0.3622
3 Sunrise 4 50.0% 29.5 -1.757 75.0% -0.166 -0.3895
3 Thematic 156 41.67% 38.32 0.459 73.72% 0.057 -0.2997
4 Coastline 5 40.0% 28.4 -3.356 40.0% -1.023 -0.8652
4 Leaf 8 12.5% 34.5 0.317 87.5% 0.297 0.3246
4 Other 15 46.67% 33.07 -0.328 80.0% 0.231 0.3438
4 Thematic 146 42.76% 41.04 0.299 73.97% 0.2 -0.8866
4 Trapezoid (Default) 487 32.56% 34.39 0.306 82.75% 0.605 0.5876
5 Other 6 16.67% 38.33 3.021 100.0% 0.545 0.3263

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 831 25.6 -4.595 57.16% -2.157 -0.0869
Aid From Lesser Spirits 670 27.64 -3.565 59.7% -2.02 -0.1021
All Things Weaken 220 25.85 -4.33 59.55% -2.009 0.1457
Back Against the Wall 647 25.59 -4.516 55.02% -2.261 -0.1646
Disintegrating Ecosystem 761 22.98 -5.983 53.88% -2.303 -0.0787
Downward Spiral 2242 24.88 -4.812 60.04% -1.874 0.1426
Erosion of Will 755 25.14 -4.832 55.89% -2.218 -0.0079
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 88 32.03 -1.149 87.5% -0.462 0.2422
Memory Fades to Dust 2210 23.97 -5.296 53.48% -2.145 0.07
Power Corrodes the Spirit 238 25.57 -4.427 62.61% -1.935 0.0852
Promising Farmlands 777 24.02 -5.304 55.47% -2.213 -0.0007
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 69 33.65 -0.422 91.3% -0.098 0.3378
Thriving Communities 206 25.1 -4.701 59.22% -1.982 0.1156
Tipping Point 493 24.87 -5.093 55.98% -2.212 0.0066
Unnatural Proliferation 249 25.03 -4.841 53.01% -2.287 -0.2097
Untended Land Crumbles 242 25.75 -4.414 61.57% -1.95 0.1485

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5962 41.93% 31.92 -0.408 77.47% 0.293 -0.7961
B 6205 39.49% 32.26 -0.295 78.03% 0.247 -0.9384
C 6279 39.06% 32.65 -0.073 79.31% 0.345 -1.0702
D 5998 41.68% 32.31 -0.127 78.71% 0.405 -0.7719
E 1156 38.86% 32.7 -0.141 80.62% 0.292 -0.9851
F 2017 37.34% 32.98 -0.024 81.51% 0.364 -0.8794
G 1977 41.6% 32.24 -0.292 79.51% 0.311 -0.9194
H 2109 37.64% 32.82 -0.128 80.8% 0.311 -0.9291
East 1074 44.09% 40.45 2.332 74.77% 0.491 -0.4592
Northeast 1129 45.16% 38.95 1.585 72.81% 0.31 -0.5799
Northwest 961 44.01% 39.31 1.684 74.19% 0.465 -0.5004
Southeast 176 46.59% 35.52 0.04 70.45% 0.174 -0.8274
Southwest 159 55.97% 30.7 -2.3 66.04% 0.072 -0.5361
West 989 50.51% 38.35 1.083 69.87% 0.194 -0.4915

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 278 0.0% 31.23 -2.265 70.86% -1.637 0.4067
Not Using Events or Tokens 5039 47.61% 31.09 -0.728 71.38% -0.336 -0.1173
Skip Initial Invader Actions 375 11.18% 46.36 4.175 94.93% 0.976 0.2718
Start of Game Growth 569 14.66% 43.18 2.904 92.27% 0.377 -0.0771
Unlimited Undo 1615 35.67% 34.7 0.582 84.15% 0.294 -0.1182
Using Tokens but Not Events 2439 31.18% 34.36 0.358 83.64% 0.057 0.0095

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2180 22.34 29.68%
II 9564 30.75 67.99%
III 8517 34.26 86.4%
IV 4970 37.47 99.18%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.081 Win Model: -0.534
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 17389 44.97% 32.49 75.81%
2 5443 41.65% 32.85 78.38%
3 1738 28.73% 34.82 83.89%
4 661 34.82% 35.8 80.48%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 429
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5354
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4337
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3613
Lose: Invader deck ran out 205
Lose: Adversary condition 1597
Win: Sacrifice victory 124
Lose: Scenario condition 249
Win: Scenario condition 593
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3557
Lose: Spirit destroyed 185

The Kingdom of England — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3362 33.87% 35.59 1.197 75.76% 0.214 0.36
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2085 66.31% 31.37 -0.356 62.11% -0.118 0.1187
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1528 41.28% 35.32 0.982 77.55% 0.31 0.2247
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1924 33.82% 37.57 1.911 79.89% 0.347 -0.0185
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1771 42.72% 36.68 1.542 79.73% 0.477 0.2327
Fractured Days Split the Sky 223 50.67% 35.58 1.183 67.26% -0.25 0.0956
Heart of the Wildfire 2500 83.83% 23.62 -4.047 45.64% -0.63 -0.2794
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7050 34.53% 35.68 1.119 79.86% 0.282 -0.0181
Lightning's Swift Strike 3897 59.02% 31.35 -0.568 63.46% -0.1 0.169
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 564 57.6% 32.12 -0.328 69.15% -0.03 -0.3489
Many Minds Move as One 536 34.39% 36.67 1.362 78.54% 0.108 -0.4126
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3535 61.19% 33.17 0.58 70.72% 0.449 0.2545
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1410 49.93% 32.89 -0.158 70.57% 0.032 0.0808
River Surges in Sunlight 3683 58.37% 31.75 -0.453 56.26% -0.504 -0.3417
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2493 45.51% 33.63 0.213 71.64% 0.071 0.2204
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1700 79.66% 25.52 -3.058 43.12% -0.69 -0.2407
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2256 44.35% 35.09 0.872 73.49% 0.11 0.0428
Shroud of Silent Mist 50 72.0% 30.4 -0.95 64.0% -0.048 -0.0921
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1088 36.07% 33.86 0.065 80.97% 0.361 0.3416
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 865 63.47% 27.58 -2.694 51.33% -0.788 -0.5717
Thunderspeaker 3093 49.1% 34.84 1.024 69.45% 0.152 0.2098
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 772 80.93% 28.99 -1.381 66.06% 0.173 0.1933
Vital Strength of the Earth 3209 42.67% 31.29 -0.889 64.97% -0.36 0.5106
Volcano Looming High 400 68.26% 29.82 -1.224 68.75% 0.056 -0.0062

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 651 52.13% 29.82 -1.533 58.83% -0.408 0.1693
Dahan Insurrection 4 459 41.1% 50.77 8.561 64.05% -0.348 0.053
Elemental Invocation 1 30 66.67% 33.0 -0.073 63.33% -0.195 0.1865
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2030 14.81% 38.59 2.039 74.48% -0.424 -0.0582
Powers Long Forgotten 1 248 74.09% 30.68 -0.795 49.6% -0.653 -0.2114
Rituals of Terror 3 182 61.33% 39.14 3.317 48.9% -0.73 -0.1016
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 126 80.95% 37.62 2.667 50.0% -0.458 0.1912
Second Wave 0 1247 60.58% 31.2 -0.826 53.65% -0.813 -0.3964
The Great River 3 25 44.0% 38.4 2.129 48.0% -1.347 0.1242
Ward the Shores 2 295 51.54% 36.46 1.157 51.19% -1.094 -0.0579

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 23861 49.9% 32.59 -0.101 70.32% -0.037 0.3213
1 Thematic 1900 59.61% 35.06 0.883 56.32% -0.206 0.2978
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4673 55.07% 31.67 -0.353 67.26% -0.12 0.0758
2 Coastline 498 45.84% 34.14 0.576 76.1% 0.196 0.3388
2 Fragment 112 52.25% 31.35 -0.641 65.18% -0.281 0.1418
2 Heart 67 53.73% 29.3 -1.776 61.19% -0.6 -0.3072
2 Opposite Shores 1026 48.39% 33.18 -0.082 69.69% -0.154 0.0703
2 Thematic 644 59.38% 35.03 0.223 54.19% -0.163 -0.118
2 Top to Top 137 61.31% 30.76 -0.952 65.69% -0.254 -0.1195
3 Coastline 4 50.0% 28.5 -2.247 25.0% -0.662 -0.6959
3 Other 64 40.63% 36.5 1.335 82.81% 0.184 0.5998
3 Round (Default) 1685 47.84% 32.76 -0.103 69.5% -0.141 -0.1023
3 Sunrise 8 37.5% 39.5 3.365 100.0% 0.963 0.7392
3 Thematic 126 60.32% 37.73 1.213 53.97% 0.297 -0.0597
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 52.0 5.39 100.0% 0.238 0.3961
4 Leaf 3 66.67% 21.0 -4.531 33.33% -0.774 -0.7458
4 Other 32 62.5% 34.13 0.761 78.13% 0.372 0.4847
4 Thematic 212 47.6% 38.4 0.537 59.91% 0.387 -0.6998
4 Trapezoid (Default) 823 39.23% 34.77 0.448 71.93% -0.155 -0.1721
5 Other 13 38.46% 41.54 3.561 100.0% 0.933 0.7142

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1495 26.86 -3.804 52.91% -1.609 0.4611
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1232 29.37 -2.57 58.04% -1.39 0.5279
All Things Weaken 434 26.78 -3.89 54.38% -1.687 0.4675
Back Against the Wall 1155 27.92 -3.336 53.59% -1.612 0.4846
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1356 24.57 -5.002 50.74% -1.699 0.5253
Downward Spiral 3372 25.5 -4.293 51.33% -1.49 0.5273
Erosion of Will 1320 26.05 -4.232 50.08% -1.757 0.453
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 176 35.22 -0.045 84.66% -0.205 0.4997
Memory Fades to Dust 3534 25.42 -4.325 49.26% -1.565 0.6498
Power Corrodes the Spirit 426 27.0 -3.78 56.1% -1.607 0.4135
Promising Farmlands 1371 25.89 -4.331 52.52% -1.642 0.5708
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 104 35.1 -0.09 81.73% -0.443 -0.0072
Thriving Communities 416 24.15 -5.28 47.36% -1.985 0.1125
Tipping Point 849 24.84 -4.889 47.7% -1.816 0.4019
Unnatural Proliferation 476 27.32 -3.671 53.36% -1.713 0.365
Untended Land Crumbles 392 26.25 -4.151 54.85% -1.623 0.4752

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7982 52.63% 31.85 -0.402 66.99% 0.355 -0.7344
B 8560 52.11% 32.03 -0.262 67.71% 0.384 -0.8016
C 9459 47.75% 33.22 0.264 70.84% 0.496 -0.9185
D 7859 51.67% 32.19 -0.184 68.67% 0.444 -0.7328
E 1870 46.16% 34.01 0.33 75.4% 0.473 -0.8037
F 3457 47.4% 33.19 -0.046 72.32% 0.393 -0.8503
G 3126 50.4% 32.84 -0.149 71.88% 0.428 -0.8029
H 3454 43.96% 34.01 0.301 74.44% 0.466 -0.7744
East 1057 56.63% 37.63 1.581 58.75% 0.401 -0.5495
Northeast 1075 55.52% 36.98 1.209 57.49% 0.129 -0.7606
Northwest 905 58.59% 35.39 0.453 55.58% 0.169 -0.7958
Southeast 165 49.38% 36.19 0.829 62.42% 0.331 -0.6708
Southwest 143 59.29% 26.62 -4.073 43.36% -0.535 -1.1431
West 977 60.06% 35.16 0.151 52.2% -0.075 -0.7605

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 305 0.0% 29.48 -2.905 53.77% -1.581 0.4629
Not Using Events or Tokens 5274 61.21% 29.05 -1.626 55.67% -0.498 -0.2792
Skip Initial Invader Actions 422 15.26% 46.49 3.871 87.91% 0.157 -0.547
Start of Game Growth 613 15.98% 45.19 3.946 88.91% 1.017 0.5624
Unlimited Undo 2327 49.89% 34.63 0.735 74.04% 0.296 -0.1162
Using Tokens but Not Events 3483 42.71% 34.49 0.663 76.89% 0.297 0.2497

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4904 22.34 8.44%
II 11416 30.75 55.3%
III 11993 34.26 87.05%
IV 7577 37.47 99.43%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.013 Win Model: -0.376
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 25803 50.6% 32.78 69.32%
2 7143 53.94% 32.33 66.9%
3 1871 48.65% 33.15 68.68%
4 1073 41.28% 35.56 69.9%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 277
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7680
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4266
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5731
Lose: Invader deck ran out 258
Lose: Adversary condition 3807
Win: Sacrifice victory 134
Lose: Scenario condition 485
Win: Scenario condition 444
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6309
Lose: Spirit destroyed 330

The Kingdom of England — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3762 44.99% 37.75 1.228 60.18% 0.202 0.3481
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1945 76.29% 32.8 -0.765 46.58% -0.202 0.0344
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1535 59.14% 35.72 0.087 57.46% 0.089 0.0038
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1917 43.79% 39.98 2.064 66.04% 0.31 -0.0547
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2199 52.15% 39.64 1.974 66.03% 0.437 0.1921
Fractured Days Split the Sky 294 54.76% 38.93 1.503 54.42% -0.24 0.1061
Heart of the Wildfire 2469 86.79% 23.82 -5.421 26.97% -1.019 -0.6687
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5330 52.36% 38.05 1.351 62.95% 0.26 -0.0397
Lightning's Swift Strike 4280 67.64% 33.13 -0.891 48.67% -0.154 0.1147
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 729 71.25% 34.33 -0.626 55.28% -0.054 -0.3737
Many Minds Move as One 471 45.11% 41.54 2.733 71.13% 0.46 -0.06
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4303 66.39% 36.63 1.151 59.01% 0.466 0.2711
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1516 59.12% 33.84 -0.867 51.32% -0.226 -0.1774
River Surges in Sunlight 3901 63.8% 34.67 -0.348 45.22% -0.395 -0.2333
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3106 53.0% 37.34 0.904 60.24% 0.201 0.3503
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1363 81.66% 26.74 -3.829 28.32% -0.93 -0.4806
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2261 56.69% 36.01 0.274 54.89% -0.048 -0.1156
Shroud of Silent Mist 48 75.0% 34.9 0.054 58.33% 0.129 0.0854
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1597 41.56% 38.09 0.886 73.14% 0.51 0.4904
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 765 71.48% 30.52 -2.479 40.26% -0.556 -0.3398
Thunderspeaker 3525 63.58% 36.66 0.886 55.94% 0.176 0.2333
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 891 85.94% 33.85 -0.317 58.02% 0.259 0.2788
Vital Strength of the Earth 2573 59.58% 31.27 -1.86 41.94% -0.513 0.3572
Volcano Looming High 462 74.73% 33.24 -0.875 56.93% 0.072 0.01

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 448 55.2% 35.15 -0.573 53.13% -0.162 0.4148
Dahan Insurrection 4 473 53.46% 48.36 6.441 43.97% -0.437 -0.0361
Elemental Invocation 1 21 61.9% 38.0 0.407 57.14% -0.238 0.1429
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1933 20.49% 40.45 1.773 59.34% -0.245 0.1208
Powers Long Forgotten 1 186 83.33% 32.25 -1.229 34.41% -0.663 -0.2217
Rituals of Terror 3 125 70.97% 41.92 3.352 42.4% -0.411 0.2176
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 53 94.34% 37.51 1.543 33.96% -0.525 0.1251
Second Wave 0 568 63.07% 34.93 -0.497 45.77% -0.579 -0.1627
The Great River 3 14 57.14% 30.43 -1.163 21.43% -1.062 0.4094
Ward the Shores 2 152 69.54% 38.39 1.229 40.79% -0.657 0.38

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 22491 64.54% 34.52 -0.156 55.12% -0.345 0.0133
1 Thematic 1334 61.29% 39.48 1.483 48.73% -0.294 0.2095
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5151 63.44% 34.37 -0.16 53.19% -0.216 -0.0197
2 Coastline 564 63.7% 35.61 0.225 57.62% -0.154 -0.0115
2 Fragment 127 67.72% 33.08 -0.806 50.39% -0.302 0.1209
2 Heart 60 71.19% 33.78 -0.799 51.67% -0.39 -0.0975
2 Opposite Shores 1072 61.67% 34.34 -0.493 51.96% -0.367 -0.1424
2 Thematic 436 65.2% 36.4 0.105 38.3% -0.039 0.0056
2 Top to Top 191 56.08% 35.79 0.467 55.5% -0.137 -0.0027
3 Coastline 8 25.0% 35.63 0.045 50.0% -0.308 -0.3419
3 Other 74 50.0% 39.8 1.303 67.57% -0.192 0.2235
3 Round (Default) 1915 54.57% 35.3 0.038 54.46% -0.059 -0.0201
3 Sunrise 11 63.64% 46.09 5.798 81.82% 0.949 0.7255
3 Thematic 83 60.24% 39.69 1.157 45.78% 0.67 0.3134
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 61.0 4.332 100.0% 0.053 0.2109
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 19.0 -9.997 0.0% -0.874 -0.8462
4 Other 42 47.62% 34.45 -1.166 50.0% -0.465 -0.3517
4 Snake 4 75.0% 32.5 -0.194 50.0% 0.195 0.3191
4 Thematic 275 51.27% 37.25 -0.59 39.27% 0.86 -0.2268
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1174 46.73% 38.05 0.281 58.18% 0.043 0.026
5 Other 8 50.0% 48.0 3.807 100.0% 0.886 0.6677
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 55.0 9.069 100.0% 0.5 -2.3276

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1717 30.25 -3.19 42.69% -1.084 0.9862
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1391 32.81 -1.926 47.81% -0.877 1.0411
All Things Weaken 588 31.64 -2.583 49.15% -0.952 1.2029
Back Against the Wall 1380 30.76 -2.912 42.1% -1.1 0.9959
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1630 27.75 -4.49 40.25% -1.196 1.0282
Downward Spiral 4054 29.54 -3.343 44.38% -0.861 1.1554
Erosion of Will 1693 29.97 -3.318 42.11% -1.113 1.097
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 189 39.1 0.84 70.9% -0.106 0.5985
Memory Fades to Dust 4062 29.5 -3.38 42.64% -0.947 1.2684
Power Corrodes the Spirit 557 30.85 -2.974 49.37% -0.943 1.0769
Promising Farmlands 1752 29.61 -3.527 44.06% -1.054 1.1583
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 136 40.59 1.567 76.47% 0.159 0.5946
Thriving Communities 524 29.21 -3.785 45.04% -1.116 0.9818
Tipping Point 1030 28.7 -3.939 41.17% -1.132 1.0867
Unnatural Proliferation 606 31.99 -2.278 49.5% -0.892 1.1857
Untended Land Crumbles 533 30.26 -3.238 46.9% -1.014 1.085

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8457 61.85% 34.59 -0.196 52.87% 0.546 -0.5433
B 8951 62.37% 34.29 -0.323 52.52% 0.535 -0.6503
C 9656 62.22% 35.15 0.231 55.22% 0.666 -0.7488
D 8190 61.91% 34.64 -0.177 54.04% 0.587 -0.5903
E 2153 57.27% 36.85 0.501 61.45% 0.645 -0.6319
F 3578 60.23% 35.5 0.032 57.91% 0.63 -0.6126
G 3176 59.86% 34.82 -0.373 55.32% 0.481 -0.7499
H 3677 55.07% 36.62 0.436 59.8% 0.614 -0.6262
East 832 60.15% 38.94 1.108 43.15% 0.356 -0.5949
Northeast 847 56.75% 39.18 0.917 43.33% 0.171 -0.7189
Northwest 749 57.87% 37.95 0.312 42.32% 0.222 -0.7425
Southeast 133 56.82% 37.8 0.066 49.62% 0.159 -0.8427
Southwest 148 57.75% 32.86 -2.795 42.57% -0.156 -0.7642
West 790 60.89% 36.83 -0.1 39.49% 0.051 -0.6348

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 259 0.0% 35.5 -1.63 48.26% -0.909 1.1351
Not Using Events or Tokens 5139 67.67% 32.18 -1.225 45.96% -0.369 -0.1504
Skip Initial Invader Actions 672 13.75% 53.79 5.931 85.71% 0.938 0.2339
Start of Game Growth 916 18.67% 50.97 4.822 81.66% 0.561 0.1067
Unlimited Undo 2958 59.93% 38.21 1.411 63.32% 0.367 -0.0454
Using Tokens but Not Events 2876 57.4% 35.75 0.099 58.28% -0.002 -0.0493

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5850 22.34 3.38%
II 10533 30.75 23.26%
III 10379 34.26 78.57%
IV 8262 37.47 99.29%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.026 Win Model: -0.768
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 23864 64.34% 34.81 54.81%
2 7598 63.31% 34.58 52.47%
3 2066 54.46% 35.61 54.4%
4 1496 47.65% 37.8 54.48%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 148
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6149
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1704
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6385
Lose: Invader deck ran out 202
Lose: Adversary condition 6691
Win: Sacrifice victory 156
Lose: Scenario condition 678
Win: Scenario condition 269
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8029
Lose: Spirit destroyed 418

The Kingdom of England — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3531 40.71% 43.95 0.705 64.91% 0.09 0.2361
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1867 73.07% 37.97 -1.343 50.83% -0.164 0.073
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1495 60.59% 38.84 -1.626 54.25% -0.2 -0.286
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1943 43.62% 45.28 1.44 69.53% 0.316 -0.0493
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3319 35.14% 49.65 3.465 79.03% 0.742 0.497
Fractured Days Split the Sky 385 45.31% 46.82 1.896 64.16% -0.123 0.2224
Heart of the Wildfire 2245 75.04% 32.51 -4.478 38.66% -0.719 -0.3681
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8637 34.6% 48.08 2.446 75.16% 0.467 0.1671
Lightning's Swift Strike 3837 57.45% 39.5 -1.3 53.38% -0.284 -0.0154
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1004 55.13% 43.31 0.178 66.24% 0.156 -0.1635
Many Minds Move as One 534 38.39% 47.47 2.183 75.28% 0.445 -0.075
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3632 61.71% 41.84 0.546 61.54% 0.407 0.2124
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1601 53.42% 39.2 -1.741 54.09% -0.351 -0.302
River Surges in Sunlight 3262 57.27% 40.1 -1.067 49.42% -0.474 -0.3115
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4473 40.38% 45.68 1.391 70.65% 0.336 0.4856
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 988 73.52% 32.33 -4.449 34.11% -0.946 -0.4962
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3695 32.6% 48.51 1.615 72.18% 0.151 0.0839
Shroud of Silent Mist 44 84.09% 36.41 -2.054 50.0% -0.201 -0.2454
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1845 38.83% 42.37 -0.013 75.01% 0.433 0.414
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 672 62.46% 36.35 -3.057 44.64% -0.728 -0.5117
Thunderspeaker 4161 45.37% 44.63 -0.028 62.73% -0.103 -0.0451
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1262 81.67% 41.03 0.214 66.48% 0.555 0.575
Vital Strength of the Earth 1875 53.47% 36.62 -2.911 45.17% -0.763 0.1074
Volcano Looming High 672 74.52% 37.45 -1.637 56.1% -0.003 -0.0651

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 351 54.07% 36.57 -2.416 49.0% -0.485 0.0913
Dahan Insurrection 4 335 51.35% 52.7 5.956 43.58% -0.478 -0.0777
Despicable Theft 2 1 100.0% 60.0 11.412 100.0% 0.442 0.8711
Elemental Invocation 1 29 75.86% 42.1 1.011 58.62% 0.14 0.521
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 4492 10.43% 53.16 3.741 79.45% 0.097 0.4623
Powers Long Forgotten 1 125 74.4% 35.94 -1.982 33.6% -0.712 -0.2708
Rituals of Terror 3 116 68.97% 44.1 2.242 34.48% -0.51 0.1179
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 89 92.13% 35.47 -1.411 22.47% -0.919 -0.2695
Second Wave 0 305 61.51% 36.74 -2.456 41.31% -0.949 -0.5327
The Great River 3 21 80.95% 32.57 -1.131 19.05% -0.874 0.5979
Ward the Shores 2 129 69.53% 39.38 -0.4 36.43% -0.827 0.2095

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 23322 55.97% 41.05 -0.164 61.28% -0.36 -0.001
1 Thematic 876 64.29% 39.62 -0.702 38.24% -0.711 -0.2075
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4981 58.42% 40.66 -0.514 58.18% -0.196 -0.0002
2 Coastline 826 48.36% 45.45 1.56 71.19% 0.192 0.3345
2 Fragment 98 61.46% 36.3 -2.502 47.96% -0.747 -0.3247
2 Heart 114 53.51% 44.91 1.183 66.67% -0.125 0.1678
2 Opposite Shores 844 57.95% 39.55 -1.096 55.09% -0.332 -0.1068
2 Thematic 272 64.71% 42.17 0.261 43.75% 0.168 0.2129
2 Top to Top 157 60.13% 38.64 -1.206 55.41% -0.372 -0.2378
3 Coastline 17 81.25% 28.59 -3.586 17.65% -0.756 -0.7893
3 Other 86 54.12% 43.85 0.589 69.77% 0.008 0.423
3 Round (Default) 1827 52.58% 41.51 -0.183 61.36% 0.129 0.1683
3 Sunrise 13 53.85% 38.54 -2.01 53.85% -0.405 -0.6282
3 Thematic 60 60.0% 42.18 0.085 45.0% 0.788 0.4312
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 30.0 -11.865 0.0% -0.746 -0.5876
4 Leaf 9 66.67% 42.11 -0.647 66.67% 0.201 0.2291
4 Other 58 62.07% 43.55 0.269 67.24% 0.176 0.289
4 Thematic 247 49.8% 48.89 1.442 56.28% 1.547 0.4607
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2752 18.21% 51.14 1.548 77.11% 0.464 0.447
5 Other 27 11.11% 56.85 5.575 100.0% 1.384 1.1651

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1667 33.95 -4.629 43.61% -1.397 0.673
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1300 37.07 -3.099 50.54% -1.131 0.7873
All Things Weaken 572 35.42 -3.833 50.0% -1.229 0.9255
Back Against the Wall 1273 35.46 -3.969 45.95% -1.32 0.7764
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1631 32.04 -5.579 43.35% -1.422 0.8018
Downward Spiral 3061 32.89 -5.107 43.35% -1.339 0.6773
Erosion of Will 1612 33.59 -4.871 42.56% -1.482 0.7272
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 186 41.85 -1.054 66.67% -0.599 0.1059
Memory Fades to Dust 3106 32.62 -5.264 41.37% -1.421 0.7942
Power Corrodes the Spirit 570 34.73 -4.208 50.0% -1.274 0.7464
Promising Farmlands 1586 33.16 -5.019 44.77% -1.369 0.8437
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 172 45.48 0.859 78.49% -0.031 0.4044
Thriving Communities 572 34.97 -4.146 51.22% -1.223 0.8742
Tipping Point 932 31.37 -5.796 38.73% -1.541 0.6773
Unnatural Proliferation 589 36.1 -3.555 50.59% -1.257 0.8207
Untended Land Crumbles 621 34.68 -4.223 49.44% -1.289 0.8099

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9630 47.75% 42.64 -0.259 61.85% 0.671 -0.4189
B 10949 45.85% 43.94 0.629 64.96% 0.835 -0.3503
C 11283 47.58% 43.77 0.613 65.33% 0.863 -0.5515
D 8414 52.52% 41.77 -0.155 61.22% 0.76 -0.4172
E 2527 49.82% 43.45 0.447 66.68% 0.797 -0.4803
F 4160 47.96% 43.1 0.106 64.83% 0.729 -0.5141
G 3779 49.06% 42.86 -0.013 64.3% 0.714 -0.5169
H 3921 48.24% 43.94 0.476 66.92% 0.814 -0.4259
East 636 57.53% 45.14 0.89 47.48% 0.407 -0.5435
Northeast 628 57.17% 43.73 0.57 44.75% 0.302 -0.5878
Northwest 569 63.44% 42.3 -0.11 42.53% 0.418 -0.5473
Southeast 83 55.42% 46.33 1.008 60.24% 0.434 -0.5677
Southwest 79 58.23% 42.19 -1.503 56.96% 0.358 -0.2498
West 538 58.55% 44.07 0.046 47.03% 0.219 -0.4665

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 185 0.0% 38.1 -3.321 47.57% -1.119 0.9247
Not Using Events or Tokens 3909 55.47% 39.4 -0.627 53.42% -0.15 0.0686
Skip Initial Invader Actions 672 13.87% 59.81 6.912 90.33% 2.191 1.4865
Start of Game Growth 1050 13.65% 55.19 2.924 82.29% -0.466 -0.92
Unlimited Undo 3218 52.94% 43.23 0.569 65.54% 0.186 -0.2259
Using Tokens but Not Events 2878 41.32% 45.18 1.14 67.48% 0.116 0.0688

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5672 22.34 27.66%
II 10484 30.75 32.2%
III 10973 34.26 73.75%
IV 9459 37.47 99.59%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.293 Win Model: -0.961
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 24323 56.16% 41.06 60.61%
2 7208 57.84% 40.91 58.23%
3 1988 53.11% 41.52 60.76%
4 3069 21.42% 50.83 75.3%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1187
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6471
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2730
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7543
Lose: Invader deck ran out 53
Lose: Adversary condition 5883
Win: Sacrifice victory 179
Lose: Scenario condition 788
Win: Scenario condition 191
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7028
Lose: Spirit destroyed 378

The Kingdom of England — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1427 48.52% 45.5 1.149 48.35% 0.131 0.2776
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 562 83.36% 38.02 -1.228 35.59% -0.043 0.1936
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 383 74.67% 32.59 -4.037 21.67% -0.801 -0.8869
Eyes Watch From the Trees 608 62.21% 42.58 1.013 44.57% 0.351 -0.0145
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 837 64.26% 45.34 1.604 50.9% 0.488 0.2437
Fractured Days Split the Sky 110 63.3% 48.09 2.458 49.09% 0.201 0.5469
Heart of the Wildfire 825 86.51% 26.67 -7.127 13.82% -1.336 -0.9852
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2690 58.44% 45.16 1.658 52.9% 0.478 0.1784
Lightning's Swift Strike 1747 69.12% 40.81 -1.079 38.87% -0.117 0.1518
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 278 80.43% 35.79 -3.227 30.94% -0.459 -0.7784
Many Minds Move as One 159 43.4% 52.11 4.864 66.67% 0.866 0.3456
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1891 66.29% 46.32 3.063 55.1% 0.997 0.8024
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 509 59.65% 40.76 -1.097 37.52% -0.156 -0.107
River Surges in Sunlight 1087 58.37% 41.62 -1.256 37.63% -0.606 -0.4436
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1190 62.01% 44.31 1.022 49.83% 0.366 0.5162
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 374 82.62% 31.37 -4.899 17.65% -1.102 -0.6519
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1053 53.66% 48.82 2.424 55.84% 0.488 0.4209
Shroud of Silent Mist 8 87.5% 42.5 1.895 50.0% 0.566 0.5222
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1550 38.58% 48.44 2.83 70.13% 0.827 0.8082
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 271 81.18% 29.59 -5.543 14.76% -1.211 -0.9949
Thunderspeaker 1110 77.04% 37.74 -1.28 31.89% -0.087 -0.0293
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 723 84.65% 45.38 1.859 59.2% 0.73 0.7502
Vital Strength of the Earth 591 63.44% 37.14 -2.563 28.76% -0.611 0.2595
Volcano Looming High 146 91.78% 29.94 -5.039 21.92% -0.633 -0.6951

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 171 65.66% 37.42 -2.168 36.26% -0.37 0.2066
Dahan Insurrection 4 150 76.03% 43.71 1.426 18.67% -1.07 -0.669
Elemental Invocation 1 5 40.0% 35.2 -4.39 20.0% -0.925 -0.5443
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 940 20.65% 51.92 3.153 57.98% 0.152 0.5181
Powers Long Forgotten 1 45 82.22% 38.89 -0.896 26.67% -0.376 0.0654
Rituals of Terror 3 41 80.49% 55.29 7.66 43.9% 0.48 1.1078
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 21 76.19% 39.62 1.195 19.05% -0.378 0.2713
Second Wave 0 123 66.39% 38.12 -2.166 29.27% -0.833 -0.4165
Ward the Shores 2 56 63.64% 46.27 1.496 35.71% -0.398 0.6383

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 9461 67.32% 41.12 -0.066 46.35% -0.159 0.1997
1 Thematic 787 73.92% 41.43 -0.06 32.78% -0.359 0.145
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1661 71.67% 39.76 -0.597 39.67% -0.28 -0.0839
2 Coastline 179 62.86% 44.73 1.44 51.4% 0.129 0.2716
2 Fragment 43 69.77% 40.28 -0.696 39.53% -0.461 -0.0391
2 Heart 23 78.26% 37.39 -1.014 39.13% -0.277 0.0158
2 Opposite Shores 370 68.39% 39.82 -0.627 40.27% -0.23 -0.0051
2 Thematic 125 68.8% 41.38 -1.864 28.8% -0.804 -0.7596
2 Top to Top 71 60.56% 46.37 2.13 53.52% 0.176 0.3107
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 36.33 -2.459 33.33% -0.324 -0.3579
3 Other 33 66.67% 51.09 4.334 69.7% 0.641 1.0569
3 Round (Default) 622 69.77% 38.65 -1.329 36.5% -0.391 -0.3523
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 42.0 2.514 50.0% 0.345 0.1216
3 Thematic 35 74.29% 43.46 -0.772 37.14% 0.139 -0.218
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 43.5 -0.618 50.0% -0.048 -0.0206
4 Other 15 80.0% 44.07 -0.178 53.33% -0.284 -0.1707
4 Thematic 186 22.04% 64.98 4.292 73.66% 0.873 -0.2138
4 Trapezoid (Default) 519 36.09% 48.92 2.179 54.91% 0.213 0.1962
5 Other 3 66.67% 52.67 5.718 66.67% 0.399 0.1802
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 68.33 6.012 100.0% 0.718 -2.1099

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 791 36.97 -3.216 34.89% -1.029 1.0413
Aid From Lesser Spirits 581 39.26 -1.999 38.73% -0.819 1.099
All Things Weaken 276 38.07 -2.503 40.22% -0.798 1.3566
Back Against the Wall 536 37.64 -2.953 34.7% -1.056 1.0401
Disintegrating Ecosystem 777 35.12 -4.203 35.01% -1.055 1.1692
Downward Spiral 1514 34.51 -3.797 31.84% -0.905 1.112
Erosion of Will 850 34.89 -4.212 30.59% -1.263 0.9464
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 95 47.08 1.228 61.05% -0.161 0.5436
Memory Fades to Dust 1492 33.81 -4.266 29.09% -1.075 1.14
Power Corrodes the Spirit 290 36.73 -3.329 37.24% -1.027 0.9934
Promising Farmlands 769 35.63 -3.793 34.46% -1.038 1.1743
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 54 45.22 0.294 57.41% -0.321 0.1149
Thriving Communities 274 39.99 -1.869 46.35% -0.652 1.4461
Tipping Point 470 35.04 -4.068 31.91% -1.12 1.0983
Unnatural Proliferation 315 40.03 -1.709 43.17% -0.77 1.3079
Untended Land Crumbles 296 37.35 -3.287 40.88% -0.959 1.1397

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2837 68.31% 39.52 -0.855 39.76% 0.485 -0.6048
B 3734 62.55% 41.43 0.13 43.6% 0.537 -0.6485
C 4709 60.76% 44.64 1.879 54.05% 0.86 -0.5552
D 2740 69.8% 40.76 -0.205 42.88% 0.555 -0.6225
E 869 65.05% 40.31 -0.706 41.89% 0.327 -0.9503
F 1209 65.73% 40.8 -0.787 42.68% 0.397 -0.846
G 1070 68.51% 40.01 -0.789 41.21% 0.405 -0.8259
H 1173 65.69% 40.35 -0.847 40.49% 0.299 -0.9409
East 489 54.51% 52.47 2.742 51.74% 0.852 -0.0985
Northeast 469 54.16% 48.77 0.654 42.64% 0.097 -0.7933
Northwest 364 50.0% 52.95 1.997 53.02% 0.676 -0.2892
Southeast 72 47.22% 47.14 -0.646 45.83% 0.15 -0.8514
Southwest 62 41.94% 46.11 -2.321 45.16% -0.192 -0.8003
West 398 50.0% 52.96 1.518 52.26% 0.368 -0.3177

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 57 0.0% 47.53 0.715 50.88% -0.382 1.6616
Not Using Events or Tokens 1386 75.32% 36.15 -2.035 31.02% -0.393 -0.1737
Skip Initial Invader Actions 226 22.27% 61.42 7.267 73.45% 1.475 0.7706
Start of Game Growth 529 20.39% 59.6 4.654 70.7% 0.2 -0.2539
Unlimited Undo 1179 65.28% 44.14 0.924 49.62% 0.196 -0.2165
Using Tokens but Not Events 968 62.87% 40.01 -1.327 39.46% -0.322 -0.3693

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2972 22.34 4.0%
II 4101 30.75 12.53%
III 2653 34.26 49.23%
IV 4417 37.47 99.73%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.315 Win Model: -0.67
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 10281 67.86% 41.18 45.4%
2 2459 69.87% 40.34 40.3%
3 682 70.67% 39.16 37.24%
4 721 33.0% 53.02 59.78%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 81
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1047
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 395
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3718
Lose: Invader deck ran out 22
Lose: Adversary condition 3448
Win: Sacrifice victory 77
Lose: Scenario condition 281
Win: Scenario condition 47
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3852
Lose: Spirit destroyed 196

The Kingdom of England — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5828 44.51% 48.57 -0.179 46.04% -0.096 0.0498
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3797 79.52% 38.79 -3.232 30.18% -0.45 -0.2129
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1506 65.08% 36.87 -4.699 24.1% -1.025 -1.1108
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2906 61.32% 45.99 0.434 44.08% 0.254 -0.1109
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4537 57.43% 49.29 1.468 51.2% 0.396 0.1512
Fractured Days Split the Sky 962 51.25% 55.4 4.351 53.22% 0.33 0.6757
Heart of the Wildfire 2948 79.83% 32.22 -6.542 18.01% -1.073 -0.7229
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 15596 46.13% 51.75 2.872 58.32% 0.588 0.2879
Lightning's Swift Strike 10875 62.08% 45.34 -0.404 42.99% 0.115 0.3837
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1688 71.28% 42.75 -1.685 40.11% -0.088 -0.4071
Many Minds Move as One 936 47.01% 56.39 5.17 68.7% 1.102 0.5814
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 13691 60.65% 51.9 3.249 54.66% 0.973 0.779
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1555 59.04% 41.09 -2.942 32.28% -0.558 -0.5092
River Surges in Sunlight 5252 56.03% 46.75 -0.93 39.64% -0.454 -0.2922
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 8164 44.19% 53.67 2.765 59.11% 0.518 0.668
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2763 66.15% 38.0 -3.684 25.41% -0.587 -0.1375
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3617 53.87% 49.24 1.007 48.63% 0.124 0.057
Shroud of Silent Mist 59 76.27% 44.22 -1.034 44.07% 0.162 0.1178
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5690 41.27% 45.09 -0.515 54.15% 0.374 0.3552
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1361 66.86% 39.11 -3.632 27.63% -0.668 -0.452
Thunderspeaker 5267 67.5% 43.12 -1.314 29.81% -0.195 -0.137
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2218 78.81% 45.01 -0.737 48.42% 0.336 0.3562
Vital Strength of the Earth 2904 50.51% 42.9 -3.21 31.61% -0.88 -0.0098
Volcano Looming High 947 78.44% 34.97 -4.658 26.08% -0.586 -0.6482

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 795 52.04% 48.04 -1.245 50.19% -0.408 0.1688
Dahan Insurrection 4 2009 68.6% 48.42 1.659 14.93% -0.94 -0.5389
Elemental Invocation 1 40 72.5% 44.67 -0.286 37.5% -0.242 0.1387
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 11997 23.62% 54.03 3.322 53.24% 0.055 0.4208
Powers Long Forgotten 1 164 82.93% 34.45 -4.416 15.24% -1.22 -0.7787
Rituals of Terror 3 135 60.45% 62.57 8.76 42.96% 0.7 1.3283
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 95 92.63% 36.96 -2.809 12.63% -1.116 -0.4661
Second Wave 0 259 54.09% 49.36 -0.087 46.33% -0.557 -0.1408
The Great River 3 11 54.55% 52.0 2.62 36.36% -0.513 0.9582
Ward the Shores 2 228 74.44% 46.36 -0.03 33.33% -0.721 0.3152

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 55668 60.68% 45.1 -0.504 45.36% -0.582 -0.2233
1 Thematic 4082 60.66% 46.83 0.145 24.91% -1.112 -0.6084
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6103 67.64% 43.17 -0.71 40.06% -0.315 -0.1189
2 Coastline 1240 61.23% 44.36 -0.696 41.94% -0.45 -0.3072
2 Fragment 121 68.6% 42.17 -1.53 36.36% -0.75 -0.3277
2 Heart 116 64.66% 49.41 1.213 56.03% -0.427 -0.1348
2 Opposite Shores 1954 50.54% 48.15 -0.213 47.54% -0.426 -0.2013
2 Thematic 891 34.68% 59.84 3.862 47.81% -0.162 -0.1176
2 Top to Top 390 58.21% 48.7 1.396 52.56% -0.071 0.0637
3 Coastline 16 46.67% 54.94 1.521 68.75% 0.094 0.0601
3 Other 198 62.12% 52.45 0.954 62.63% -0.434 -0.0183
3 Round (Default) 3165 53.94% 46.81 0.101 46.51% 0.143 0.1817
3 Sunrise 10 30.0% 51.6 0.527 60.0% -0.167 -0.3898
3 Thematic 76 60.0% 54.72 0.878 32.89% 0.02 -0.3365
4 Coastline 23 4.35% 36.0 -6.474 17.39% -0.461 -0.3025
4 Leaf 8 37.5% 47.5 -0.814 37.5% 0.028 0.0554
4 Other 129 52.71% 52.64 2.949 62.79% 0.423 0.5366
4 Thematic 1130 27.52% 66.49 2.61 67.61% 1.097 0.0103
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2062 39.17% 53.48 2.214 58.15% 0.917 0.8996
5 Other 43 46.51% 60.51 4.062 76.74% 0.695 0.4767
5 Thematic 32 18.75% 80.22 10.596 96.88% 1.963 -0.8645

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3901 38.96 -4.038 33.17% -1.022 1.0482
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3221 41.85 -2.534 38.16% -0.748 1.1704
All Things Weaken 1323 37.68 -4.241 32.5% -0.995 1.1599
Back Against the Wall 3049 40.73 -3.134 35.52% -0.868 1.2284
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3714 36.77 -5.131 32.15% -1.068 1.1554
Downward Spiral 7193 37.79 -4.314 30.04% -0.826 1.191
Erosion of Will 3669 37.81 -4.529 30.8% -1.118 1.0912
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 483 46.95 -0.282 50.93% -0.313 0.3914
Memory Fades to Dust 7166 37.27 -4.608 27.8% -0.957 1.2583
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1326 38.61 -4.009 35.52% -0.931 1.0888
Promising Farmlands 3702 38.24 -4.416 33.55% -1.011 1.2016
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 257 49.46 0.886 58.37% -0.033 0.4022
Thriving Communities 1440 38.65 -3.922 36.18% -0.866 1.232
Tipping Point 2148 36.92 -5.11 30.4% -1.159 1.0591
Unnatural Proliferation 1444 40.29 -3.084 36.7% -0.849 1.2287
Untended Land Crumbles 1373 38.4 -4.107 35.18% -0.941 1.158

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 16542 56.84% 46.03 -0.141 45.53% 0.951 -0.1384
B 17343 59.19% 45.03 -0.441 43.87% 0.895 -0.2907
C 19907 59.42% 46.64 0.627 47.94% 1.132 -0.283
D 14500 62.82% 45.56 -0.132 45.69% 0.976 -0.2007
E 5776 58.52% 45.52 0.123 46.33% 1.006 -0.2709
F 7196 57.05% 47.01 0.194 48.61% 0.995 -0.2482
G 6981 56.04% 45.69 -0.158 45.22% 0.919 -0.312
H 6722 54.3% 47.07 0.298 48.08% 0.943 -0.2969
East 2617 41.08% 60.3 3.025 51.62% 1.159 0.2085
Northeast 3105 43.6% 56.51 2.101 41.0% 0.882 -0.0075
Northwest 1967 32.6% 61.95 2.886 56.69% 1.072 0.1067
Southeast 208 48.56% 55.21 0.849 50.48% 1.067 0.0656
Southwest 144 43.06% 54.09 -1.874 54.17% 0.53 -0.0779
West 2550 44.64% 55.88 1.037 46.2% 0.851 0.1651

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 889 0.0% 49.63 -1.773 48.59% -0.919 1.125
Not Using Events or Tokens 8243 62.4% 42.99 -1.434 28.35% -0.516 -0.2969
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4677 15.38% 70.07 6.64 86.34% 0.879 0.1753
Start of Game Growth 5318 17.6% 68.61 6.27 84.41% 0.668 0.2133
Unlimited Undo 11479 37.75% 61.56 6.518 76.93% 1.172 0.76
Using Tokens but Not Events 4845 60.73% 44.58 -1.452 41.86% -0.386 -0.4335

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 22560 22.34 9.19%
II 22627 30.75 25.33%
III 12612 34.26 57.5%
IV 19658 37.47 99.68%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.445 Win Model: -1.388
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 60005 60.65% 45.28 44.12%
2 10642 60.91% 45.54 42.05%
3 3462 54.12% 47.59 47.8%
4 3348 35.03% 57.82 61.11%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1611
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5447
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4384
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14912
Lose: Invader deck ran out 98
Lose: Adversary condition 19469
Win: Sacrifice victory 491
Lose: Scenario condition 3674
Win: Scenario condition 374
Lose: Blight pool ran out 18610
Lose: Spirit destroyed 953

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2024-12-23 01:48:01 (Pacific Time)