The Kingdom of England — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8182 22.4% 25.19 0.308 82.02% 0.198 0.1398
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4482 43.82% 22.94 -0.266 74.97% -0.076 0.153
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 70 14.29% 32.86 6.186 84.29% 1.081 0.0654
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3414 26.46% 25.73 0.658 85.41% 0.336 0.1351
Downpour Drenches the World 444 25.28% 21.81 -0.558 66.22% -0.045 0.2072
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 410 15.12% 25.61 3.724 73.9% 0.883 0.3557
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4686 14.76% 28.8 2.473 90.63% 0.698 0.2184
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3826 19.26% 27.96 2.472 89.68% 0.626 0.216
Finder of Paths Unseen 184 30.05% 15.67 -3.125 45.11% -0.974 -0.1707
Fractured Days Split the Sky 737 32.7% 25.54 -1.029 67.98% -0.708 -0.0865
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 894 34.12% 25.14 -0.706 73.15% -0.177 -0.1805
Heart of the Wildfire 4461 59.49% 20.74 0.301 70.14% 0.294 0.67
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7140 24.96% 26.53 -0.749 87.28% -0.167 -0.5992
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 68 22.06% 27.74 4.007 76.47% 0.737 0.1962
Lightning's Swift Strike 7641 43.87% 22.62 -1.391 74.31% -0.281 -0.0623
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 207 33.82% 27.65 2.053 75.85% 0.575 -0.0433
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 565 22.34% 28.81 2.171 85.84% -0.043 -0.3313
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 384 35.86% 27.11 -0.199 80.99% -0.014 -0.1144
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1888 30.43% 26.73 0.111 83.26% 0.02 -0.2068
Many Minds Move as One 1229 23.43% 26.1 0.18 82.59% 0.154 -0.0248
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7301 40.99% 23.59 -1.147 77.3% -0.283 -0.2664
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3160 29.26% 24.63 -0.294 81.74% 0.063 -0.1437
River Surges in Sunlight 8382 37.54% 24.63 -0.909 71.8% -0.49 -0.4716
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 627 35.14% 25.38 -2.573 66.83% -0.806 -0.4948
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 186 29.03% 27.3 0.022 69.89% -0.179 -0.1831
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4084 32.23% 24.16 -0.043 79.92% -0.013 -0.1442
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4533 53.83% 21.31 -2.355 67.88% -0.589 0.007
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 63 35.48% 23.86 -0.676 69.84% 0.016 0.0888
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 51 17.65% 31.49 5.842 88.24% 1.348 0.7987
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 69 24.64% 24.16 -1.587 65.22% -0.177 0.1065
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 495 27.13% 25.47 1.229 83.64% 0.619 0.5018
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 290 41.81% 23.89 -0.098 74.48% -0.143 0.1095
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4888 24.99% 26.99 -1.043 85.41% -0.286 -0.2615
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 112 29.46% 22.02 0.395 57.14% -0.569 -0.8921
Shifting Memory of Ages 746 36.24% 22.82 -1.151 69.44% -0.329 -0.0887
Shroud of Silent Mist 965 43.33% 22.46 -0.282 75.54% 0.16 0.4682
Starlight Seeks its Form 960 23.2% 27.33 0.07 75.21% -0.206 -0.4464
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2013 24.0% 24.75 0.651 85.35% 0.43 0.0045
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2391 29.63% 24.34 -0.31 77.58% -0.22 -0.0852
Thunderspeaker 8064 24.33% 26.93 -0.036 83.17% -0.092 -0.07
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 98 23.47% 21.31 0.826 53.06% -0.068 0.0831
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1365 56.91% 20.65 -1.39 70.84% -0.413 -0.2461
Vital Strength of the Earth 6112 28.81% 21.48 -1.203 70.19% -0.204 0.3712
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 156 23.72% 25.08 1.094 71.15% -0.248 0.175
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 364 29.48% 20.2 -1.939 61.26% -0.855 -0.106
Volcano Looming High 1211 39.77% 22.99 0.198 75.97% 0.271 0.2646
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 130 11.54% 27.9 4.317 80.0% 1.021 0.4299

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 17 29.41% 23.65 4.737 70.59% 0.572 0.4002
Blitz 0 1152 38.8% 20.18 -3.223 66.41% -0.823 -0.6595
Dahan Insurrection 4 1013 21.83% 43.95 4.603 75.72% -0.499 -0.7217
Despicable Theft 2 153 35.29% 27.71 -3.286 63.4% -1.024 -0.4331
Elemental Invocation 1 189 40.74% 23.2 -1.933 62.96% -0.785 0.0354
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2389 10.5% 31.54 7.47 84.05% 0.875 0.1133
Powers Long Forgotten 1 481 45.53% 26.76 -4.661 68.19% -1.607 -0.7013
Rituals of Terror 3 630 45.03% 31.23 1.815 60.48% -0.432 -0.3344
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 333 63.96% 29.01 0.133 55.56% -0.535 0.5969
Second Wave 0 789 46.25% 25.31 2.646 63.37% -0.248 -0.152
The Great River 3 161 44.1% 25.79 -5.476 47.2% -1.732 -0.5029
Varied Terrains 2 89 34.83% 18.61 -3.509 37.08% -1.344 -0.5714
Ward the Shores 2 622 41.22% 26.48 -0.445 55.79% -0.795 0.2071

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 50232 37.27% 23.65 -0.206 77.23% 0.094 0.309
1 Thematic 4643 41.18% 29.64 0.91 70.73% 0.03 0.6857
2 Archipelago 29 51.72% 33.38 8.085 79.31% 0.598 1.0692
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11023 32.03% 23.68 -0.119 79.12% -0.158 -0.1297
2 Coastline 1119 32.78% 23.85 -0.444 79.62% 0.088 0.1505
2 Fragment 271 35.21% 22.59 -1.982 76.75% -0.324 -0.5324
2 Heart 155 37.91% 22.59 0.834 77.42% 0.22 0.1089
2 Opposite Shores 1477 30.62% 24.6 1.421 85.04% 0.726 0.8017
2 Thematic 1070 37.8% 30.73 -0.725 69.53% -0.1 0.0917
2 Top to Top 243 29.71% 24.25 1.223 80.66% 0.396 0.3461
3 Archipelago 12 41.67% 25.17 3.054 66.67% 0.249 -0.2543
3 Coastline 19 31.58% 25.47 2.186 78.95% -0.136 -0.9054
3 Other 122 30.25% 22.59 1.587 77.05% 0.723 0.3205
3 Round (Default) 4652 20.04% 26.54 1.004 86.67% -0.222 -0.5076
3 Sunrise 16 18.75% 24.0 0.0 81.25%
3 Thematic 221 33.94% 30.07 -3.399 64.71% -0.525 -0.7433
4 Archipelago 14 35.71% 28.93 0.358 71.43% -0.048 -0.2765
4 Coastline 20 22.22% 27.6 -5.259 80.0% -0.374 -1.0958
4 Leaf 6 0.0% 29.5 0.0 83.33%
4 Other 67 26.87% 20.0 -1.364 67.16% 0.151 -1.2546
4 Thematic 287 23.0% 31.84 4.95 75.26% 0.577 0.2682
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1619 23.19% 24.47 -1.479 79.18% -0.725 -0.8538
5 Archipelago 7 85.71% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 58 29.31% 25.45 2.925 82.76% 0.751 -0.4068
5 Thematic 7 42.86% 34.71 -6.916 57.14% -0.103 -0.0807
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -5.114 0.0% -0.327 -0.8445
6 Other 9 44.44% 35.78 0.473 77.78% -0.682 -0.9779
6 Star 17 29.41% 24.53 1.981 82.35% 0.175 0.1224
6 Thematic 42 14.29% 26.31 -3.585 47.62% -0.913 -0.3087
6 Two Centers (Default) 78 12.82% 24.41 2.35 58.97% -0.848 -1.2526
7 Other 4 0.0% 28.0 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1643 19.45 0.721 62.51% 0.193 0.333
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1373 20.46 1.837 63.95% 0.305 0.1651
All Things Weaken 777 19.82 0.324 59.07% 0.132 0.4255
Attenuated Essence 47 18.7 -0.946 57.45% 0.114 0.169
Back Against the Wall 1370 19.18 -1.087 57.59% -0.516 -0.4764
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 64 20.73 -0.656 56.25% -0.11 0.063
Burn Brightest Before the End 41 18.32 -0.001 46.34% -0.393 -0.2822
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1612 16.09 -2.203 54.9% -0.474 -0.1427
Downward Spiral 6126 16.71 -1.957 58.41% -0.331 -0.188
Erosion of Will 1675 18.49 -0.844 58.69% -0.101 0.1176
Intensifying Exploitation 48 18.19 1.714 47.92% 0.117 0.3622
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 313 24.41 -1.251 85.94% -0.314 -0.9046
Memory Fades to Dust 6048 16.44 -1.472 54.25% -0.256 0.0132
Power Corrodes the Spirit 766 18.55 -3.046 59.4% -0.932 -0.7573
Promising Farmlands 1611 17.81 -0.002 60.02% -0.116 0.1881
Shattered Fragments of Power 46 19.04 -0.066 45.65% -0.339 -0.2554
Slow Dissolution of Will 63 16.27 -2.159 41.27% -0.546 -0.1883
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 259 24.99 2.643 90.73% 1.128 0.363
The Border of Life and Death 24 15.96 2.567 50.0% 0.639 0.0957
Thriving Communities 743 17.97 -0.573 56.12% -0.183 0.119
Thriving Crops 23 17.0 -2.34 47.83% -0.351 -0.4409
Tipping Point 618 17.72 0.0 59.71%
Unnatural Proliferation 767 18.54 -1.061 51.89% -0.493 -0.3438
Untended Land Crumbles 772 19.4 0.564 62.95% -0.088 0.1727

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 18357 34.07% 23.56 -0.479 77.57% -0.706 0.4385
B 18895 32.72% 24.04 0.307 79.29% -0.502 0.5474
C 18617 32.71% 24.0 -0.207 78.58% -0.67 0.2368
D 17996 33.09% 23.9 -0.352 79.04% -0.675 0.3854
E 5549 28.08% 25.52 0.534 80.9% -0.479 0.4284
F 7748 30.15% 24.7 -0.084 80.83% -0.52 0.5065
G 7110 31.55% 24.64 0.463 80.73% -0.647 0.331
H 7294 30.54% 24.86 0.502 81.48% -0.578 0.4256
East 3820 37.3% 30.95 -0.276 70.89% -1.019 0.0137
Northeast 2288 36.68% 30.85 0.813 70.67% -0.792 0.1896
Northwest 1723 35.49% 30.94 -0.581 72.26% -1.033 0.0075
Southeast 476 29.62% 28.6 -0.019 67.44% -0.887 0.1507
Southwest 441 34.47% 22.88 -4.183 58.5% -1.458 -0.0397
West 3275 39.13% 29.54 0.033 68.61% -0.864 0.2669

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1135 0.0% 20.71 -0.814 65.02% -0.193 0.4434
Not Using Events or Tokens 20377 40.65% 22.1 -1.069 71.24% -0.234 0.2672
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1114 11.57% 33.16 1.791 87.97% -0.434 -1.1563
Start of Game Growth 1870 14.48% 31.57 3.013 88.5% 0.623 0.2701
Unlimited Undo 4638 27.14% 26.51 1.698 83.57% 0.535 0.4849
Using Tokens but Not Events 7496 22.34% 26.57 -0.245 85.22% -0.037 0.0319

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9660 16.98 24.97%
II 25970 30.61 74.54%
III 27774 34.74 88.09%
IV 14196 38.27 99.11%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.155 Win Model: 0.875
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 55193 37.6% 24.14 76.54%
2 15237 32.47% 24.37 79.45%
3 4968 20.7% 26.49 85.75%
4 2002 23.07% 25.46 78.22%
5 51 33.33% 24.51 82.35%
6 149 15.44% 25.68 59.73%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2407
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 23808
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18464
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 13920
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3489
Lose: Invader deck ran out 774
Lose: Adversary condition 3790
Win: Sacrifice victory 307
Lose: Scenario condition 530
Win: Scenario condition 1401
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8168
Lose: Spirit destroyed 542

The Kingdom of England — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5392 21.7% 34.03 1.789 82.51% 0.332 0.2737
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2383 52.14% 30.83 -1.81 72.01% -0.534 -0.3054
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 35 37.14% 35.29 5.907 88.57% 1.514 0.4984
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1972 33.74% 32.85 1.448 81.09% 0.301 0.0993
Downpour Drenches the World 324 24.84% 29.53 2.017 70.99% 0.326 0.5777
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 306 25.49% 31.01 3.682 74.18% 1.103 0.5753
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2699 21.55% 36.54 3.84 85.11% 0.959 0.479
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2506 27.84% 36.03 4.164 86.83% 1.07 0.6597
Finder of Paths Unseen 161 41.14% 19.14 -5.489 44.1% -1.211 -0.4077
Fractured Days Split the Sky 504 39.17% 32.39 1.036 66.87% 0.044 0.6656
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 633 45.02% 31.57 -2.722 72.67% -0.383 -0.386
Heart of the Wildfire 2916 64.32% 27.56 -2.086 65.12% -0.391 -0.0148
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4741 36.33% 32.94 -0.629 80.97% -0.128 -0.5606
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 53 45.28% 29.34 2.693 71.7% 0.618 0.0775
Lightning's Swift Strike 4383 43.55% 31.26 -0.358 73.67% -0.09 0.1292
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 166 43.29% 33.41 3.324 79.52% 0.771 0.1528
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 431 26.51% 37.13 3.152 86.08% 0.291 0.0025
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 282 37.23% 31.77 -0.938 71.99% -0.071 -0.1711
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1327 40.48% 33.45 2.757 78.67% 0.689 0.4622
Many Minds Move as One 885 25.88% 33.91 1.922 80.68% 0.276 0.0967
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4232 49.85% 30.55 -0.727 72.09% -0.12 -0.1032
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1982 39.58% 30.76 -1.331 74.12% -0.172 -0.3786
River Surges in Sunlight 4933 44.29% 30.32 -0.819 63.41% -0.408 -0.3893
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 465 47.19% 29.41 -1.192 56.34% -0.203 0.108
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 147 46.26% 31.97 -0.444 61.22% 0.044 0.04
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2535 34.24% 32.39 0.273 79.88% 0.103 -0.0281
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2402 61.35% 27.6 -2.328 58.91% -0.552 0.0431
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 50 48.0% 32.36 1.619 60.0% -0.126 -0.0531
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 43 44.19% 30.44 2.859 69.77% 0.408 -0.1419
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 42 40.48% 29.95 -0.909 69.05% 0.034 0.3177
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 264 42.59% 30.94 -2.797 76.14% -0.34 -0.4572
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 166 63.03% 27.35 0.687 59.04% -0.226 0.0269
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2862 34.88% 34.05 0.211 79.84% 0.129 0.1537
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 107 20.56% 32.21 2.587 71.96% 0.427 0.1043
Shifting Memory of Ages 510 45.47% 28.7 -0.789 70.0% 0.039 0.2798
Shroud of Silent Mist 659 52.13% 27.76 -0.52 67.22% -0.102 0.206
Starlight Seeks its Form 702 28.57% 32.09 -2.409 75.64% -0.58 -0.8204
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1516 28.68% 32.02 -1.955 80.15% -0.158 -0.5832
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1351 48.58% 27.84 -3.193 58.92% -0.773 -0.6384
Thunderspeaker 4572 31.53% 34.94 -0.244 80.05% -0.118 -0.0961
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 77 36.36% 21.75 -6.549 46.75% -1.325 -1.1745
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 903 67.22% 27.8 -0.969 69.99% -0.095 0.0722
Vital Strength of the Earth 3318 38.14% 28.43 -2.461 65.37% -0.585 -0.0102
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 100 35.71% 28.12 -0.516 62.0% -0.373 0.0497
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 220 35.0% 26.3 -1.6 59.55% -0.448 0.3017
Volcano Looming High 877 46.26% 28.17 -0.785 70.01% 0.026 0.0199
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 101 29.7% 30.52 3.574 72.28% 0.716 0.1254

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 12 8.33% 20.92 -9.961 41.67% -0.328 -0.5004
Blitz 0 885 41.17% 28.08 -2.344 65.99% -0.735 -0.5712
Dahan Insurrection 4 641 28.53% 52.41 5.693 73.17% -0.378 -0.6005
Despicable Theft 2 116 42.24% 29.83 -2.019 50.86% -1.069 -0.4785
Elemental Invocation 1 140 50.71% 24.88 -3.882 52.14% -0.955 -0.1354
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1647 11.55% 37.1 2.797 76.81% 0.156 -0.6056
Powers Long Forgotten 1 367 57.1% 31.49 -1.445 59.95% -0.064 0.8419
Rituals of Terror 3 334 42.64% 32.54 -1.633 50.9% -0.603 -0.5055
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 172 68.6% 38.52 -3.859 61.63% -1.257 -0.1248
Second Wave 0 2659 44.74% 32.46 0.249 68.37% -0.376 -0.2804
The Great River 3 81 49.38% 28.17 -5.416 39.51% -1.012 0.2175
Varied Terrains 2 46 45.65% 22.28 -8.292 39.13% -1.099 -0.3261
Ward the Shores 2 440 52.95% 32.45 -1.569 50.68% -0.913 0.0884

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 29674 40.9% 30.67 0.462 73.53% 0.613 0.8275
1 Thematic 3393 47.37% 35.82 0.168 67.79% 0.423 1.0788
2 Archipelago 19 47.37% 34.32 -10.079 52.63% -0.196 0.275
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6404 39.87% 30.74 -0.249 75.41% 0.047 0.0747
2 Coastline 704 40.11% 29.49 -3.669 73.15% -0.751 -0.6882
2 Fragment 221 52.75% 28.86 -0.477 71.95% 0.084 -0.1239
2 Heart 117 35.65% 29.3 0.074 72.65% 0.305 0.1935
2 Opposite Shores 1292 37.01% 31.57 -1.348 78.1% -0.179 -0.1033
2 Thematic 1001 44.72% 36.88 0.889 68.13% 0.316 0.508
2 Top to Top 211 46.19% 30.09 1.376 73.93% 0.234 0.1837
3 Archipelago 5 20.0% 47.6 0.0 80.0%
3 Coastline 12 25.0% 35.08 3.898 83.33% 0.244 -0.525
3 Other 97 33.33% 30.88 -4.8 77.32% -0.821 -1.223
3 Round (Default) 2646 31.88% 32.64 0.358 77.82% -0.491 -0.7767
3 Sunrise 10 44.44% 32.3 0.0 80.0%
3 Thematic 250 39.36% 36.58 -5.576 68.4% -0.596 -0.8142
4 Archipelago 12 33.33% 53.08 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 5 40.0% 28.4 0.0 40.0%
4 Leaf 9 11.11% 34.67 0.0 88.89%
4 Other 28 39.29% 33.89 0.0 78.57%
4 Thematic 226 38.67% 40.65 1.292 72.57% 0.108 -0.2005
4 Trapezoid (Default) 899 32.69% 32.21 0.311 77.2% -0.676 -0.8044
5 Archipelago 5 40.0% 43.8 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 40 32.5% 30.15 1.128 67.5% 0.397 -0.7607
5 Thematic 6 33.33% 39.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 4 25.0% 28.0 8.258 50.0% 0.271 -0.0248
6 Star 1 0.0% 37.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 44 22.73% 42.91 -0.109 68.18% -0.495 0.1097
6 Two Centers (Default) 29 34.48% 31.62 6.081 72.41% 0.217 -0.1878
7 Other 2 50.0% 37.5 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1367 25.27 1.534 55.01% 0.116 0.2552
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1122 27.13 1.983 59.09% 0.198 0.059
All Things Weaken 619 25.58 1.737 56.7% 0.588 0.8811
Attenuated Essence 48 26.98 3.918 60.42% 0.774 0.8295
Back Against the Wall 1076 25.94 2.703 55.76% 0.459 0.4987
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 40 18.5 -2.53 42.5% -0.177 -0.0041
Burn Brightest Before the End 46 29.07 5.182 65.22% 0.976 1.0868
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1222 22.6 -1.254 51.72% -0.314 0.0179
Downward Spiral 3686 24.0 -1.476 57.46% -0.342 -0.1992
Erosion of Will 1261 24.63 -0.394 53.45% 0.054 0.2725
Intensifying Exploitation 45 22.0 -2.235 53.33% -0.17 0.0762
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 244 31.81 3.834 83.2% 0.583 -0.0077
Memory Fades to Dust 3739 23.31 -1.614 52.47% -0.426 -0.1571
Power Corrodes the Spirit 626 25.7 -0.503 60.7% -0.065 0.1095
Promising Farmlands 1273 23.58 -0.911 53.81% -0.229 0.0752
Shattered Fragments of Power 40 25.1 2.979 52.5% 0.549 0.6322
Slow Dissolution of Will 50 24.98 -0.078 54.0% -0.089 0.2687
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 172 32.73 4.898 88.37% 1.037 0.2721
The Border of Life and Death 12 22.58 -2.995 50.0% -0.58 -1.1226
Thriving Communities 521 24.24 -1.662 54.7% -0.314 -0.0127
Thriving Crops 24 23.08 -1.874 58.33% 0.046 -0.0432
Tipping Point 494 24.82 0.0 55.87%
Unnatural Proliferation 641 25.48 0.509 53.04% -0.081 0.0679
Untended Land Crumbles 591 24.95 -1.996 58.04% -0.474 -0.2142

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10761 40.4% 30.61 0.037 73.5% -0.026 1.1188
B 11010 37.92% 31.13 0.461 75.01% -0.043 1.0063
C 11164 38.04% 31.23 0.493 75.23% 0.047 0.9539
D 10559 39.41% 30.99 0.114 75.04% -0.107 0.9534
E 3461 38.43% 31.38 -0.661 75.67% -0.428 0.4789
F 4569 37.85% 31.27 -0.374 75.97% -0.297 0.73
G 4307 40.83% 30.99 -0.583 74.48% -0.349 0.6288
H 4556 37.06% 31.46 -0.294 75.53% -0.28 0.7233
East 3088 43.82% 37.87 1.039 69.95% -0.344 0.6883
Northeast 1727 43.09% 38.35 1.811 70.99% -0.182 0.7999
Northwest 1419 42.73% 37.94 1.809 70.54% -0.383 0.657
Southeast 450 40.67% 33.65 -0.574 62.89% -0.713 0.3246
Southwest 430 46.74% 29.6 -4.008 59.53% -0.692 0.7261
West 2738 47.0% 35.9 -2.212 66.62% -0.954 0.1769

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 610 0.0% 27.1 2.748 59.34% 0.197 0.8332
Not Using Events or Tokens 10393 40.83% 29.57 -0.313 69.08% 0.066 0.5673
Skip Initial Invader Actions 692 12.71% 43.17 3.78 89.45% 0.85 0.1277
Start of Game Growth 1064 15.1% 41.49 1.501 88.63% -0.151 -0.5044
Unlimited Undo 3280 33.94% 32.58 -0.889 78.78% -0.212 -0.2621
Using Tokens but Not Events 4234 29.41% 33.58 0.675 80.73% 0.059 0.128

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5752 16.98 20.62%
II 17512 30.61 67.25%
III 15131 34.74 85.96%
IV 8998 38.27 99.27%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.193 Win Model: 0.707
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 33252 41.61% 31.17 72.8%
2 9912 40.51% 31.39 74.86%
3 2953 31.5% 33.14 78.12%
4 1158 33.8% 33.96 76.77%
5 40 27.5% 31.0 65.0%
6 78 26.92% 37.71 67.95%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1181
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12654
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11144
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8830
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2151
Lose: Invader deck ran out 403
Lose: Adversary condition 2942
Win: Sacrifice victory 210
Lose: Scenario condition 431
Win: Scenario condition 882
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6243
Lose: Spirit destroyed 322

The Kingdom of England — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5480 33.45% 34.33 0.342 72.52% 0.35 0.2916
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3261 65.73% 29.82 -2.002 58.54% -0.339 -0.1106
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 81 29.63% 34.58 4.66 65.43% 0.631 -0.3846
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2788 43.57% 33.75 1.28 74.25% 0.534 0.3321
Downpour Drenches the World 477 27.16% 30.87 1.646 64.36% 0.486 0.7384
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 613 34.97% 31.73 3.668 68.84% 0.899 0.3718
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3556 33.15% 36.29 0.734 77.02% 0.292 -0.188
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3381 40.1% 36.19 3.455 77.64% 0.884 0.4734
Finder of Paths Unseen 193 52.33% 20.6 -2.1 36.79% -0.084 0.7191
Fractured Days Split the Sky 663 45.02% 33.79 -4.021 62.75% -0.951 -0.3296
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 751 56.28% 31.9 -1.58 66.58% -0.203 -0.2066
Heart of the Wildfire 3897 81.39% 22.45 -4.211 42.75% -0.817 -0.4412
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10275 35.61% 34.73 1.87 76.84% 0.466 0.0339
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 91 37.36% 27.66 0.655 60.44% 0.27 -0.27
Lightning's Swift Strike 5365 60.21% 29.22 -1.408 58.06% -0.168 0.0511
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 251 49.8% 31.69 4.101 68.53% 0.853 0.2354
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 594 48.4% 36.18 2.159 74.41% 0.578 0.2901
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 406 50.12% 33.26 1.919 64.29% 0.546 0.4459
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2072 56.07% 31.25 2.371 66.22% 0.674 0.4469
Many Minds Move as One 1268 33.7% 34.81 0.276 74.05% 0.311 0.1316
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5986 58.79% 31.94 -0.656 66.74% 0.094 0.1114
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2558 48.13% 31.69 0.069 66.89% 0.166 -0.0405
River Surges in Sunlight 5635 57.58% 30.35 -0.025 53.22% -0.082 -0.0632
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 573 56.99% 30.87 -1.092 53.4% -0.527 -0.2156
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 273 48.88% 29.89 -2.346 50.55% -0.569 -0.5726
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3889 43.82% 32.99 0.777 69.94% 0.222 0.0907
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2241 77.08% 23.65 -2.98 38.38% -0.593 0.0023
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 44 47.73% 26.7 -3.292 45.45% -0.565 -0.4926
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 63 61.9% 28.94 1.225 63.49% 0.319 -0.2307
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 55 56.36% 26.36 -3.84 41.82% -0.871 -0.5877
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 273 64.34% 29.6 -2.428 61.54% -0.327 -0.4439
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 177 72.32% 25.28 -2.731 44.63% -0.53 -0.278
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3313 45.39% 33.8 -1.042 70.6% -0.126 -0.1019
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 115 34.78% 23.85 -5.22 51.3% -0.735 -1.0584
Shifting Memory of Ages 841 56.36% 30.72 0.826 66.71% 0.446 0.6865
Shroud of Silent Mist 891 68.17% 26.97 -3.984 56.68% -0.709 -0.4008
Starlight Seeks its Form 926 45.35% 30.15 0.259 63.61% 0.251 0.0106
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2284 37.63% 32.96 0.623 77.36% 0.376 -0.0496
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1565 63.68% 25.71 -2.993 46.9% -0.651 -0.5166
Thunderspeaker 5009 49.17% 32.73 -0.336 64.76% -0.038 -0.0162
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 87 47.13% 26.66 -0.142 56.32% 0.459 0.6102
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1499 78.83% 28.45 -0.605 64.38% 0.12 0.287
Vital Strength of the Earth 4544 41.32% 29.95 -1.811 60.85% -0.302 0.2732
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 145 45.45% 25.24 0.082 49.66% -0.177 0.2465
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 313 49.2% 26.03 -8.264 46.96% -1.287 -0.5373
Volcano Looming High 1608 63.76% 28.23 -1.537 62.38% -0.053 -0.0596
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 194 44.85% 29.7 2.332 60.31% 0.479 -0.1114

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 23 17.39% 22.57 -9.955 47.83% -0.24 -0.4121
Blitz 0 905 49.49% 29.16 2.264 57.13% 0.41 0.5739
Dahan Insurrection 4 653 41.01% 44.72 5.738 52.53% -0.018 -0.2403
Despicable Theft 2 57 57.89% 24.32 -6.725 35.09% -0.913 -0.3218
Elemental Invocation 1 180 55.0% 24.11 -5.236 41.11% -1.02 -0.2003
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2437 14.1% 38.68 2.241 73.49% 0.147 -0.6139
Powers Long Forgotten 1 318 67.82% 27.93 -6.225 45.6% -1.391 -0.4856
Rituals of Terror 3 238 61.34% 34.88 1.673 42.44% -0.629 -0.5321
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 164 75.61% 33.53 -7.22 42.68% -0.676 0.4554
Second Wave 0 1686 57.03% 30.79 2.171 53.8% -0.034 0.0615
The Great River 3 82 47.56% 32.43 -6.268 41.46% -0.759 0.4702
Varied Terrains 2 30 63.33% 14.57 -11.529 10.0% -0.868 -0.0953
Ward the Shores 2 373 53.89% 33.01 -8.158 45.04% -1.573 -0.5709

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 42152 49.98% 31.17 0.303 66.68% 0.092 0.3066
1 Thematic 2943 57.88% 33.02 -1.931 51.95% -0.722 -0.066
2 Archipelago 23 43.48% 35.3 2.583 34.78% -0.253 0.218
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8737 53.69% 30.22 -0.577 63.71% -0.014 0.0135
2 Coastline 947 44.17% 32.52 -0.153 71.28% -0.014 0.0482
2 Fragment 233 53.88% 29.6 -3.077 60.52% -0.227 -0.4351
2 Heart 139 55.4% 29.84 -0.335 64.03% -0.063 -0.1747
2 Opposite Shores 1831 49.17% 31.98 1.557 67.78% 0.283 0.3587
2 Thematic 1118 53.59% 33.32 -1.816 52.24% -0.48 -0.2885
2 Top to Top 268 58.58% 30.9 -1.21 66.04% -0.334 -0.3837
3 Archipelago 6 83.33% 39.83 -2.527 66.67% -0.052 -0.5557
3 Coastline 10 20.0% 26.7 0.0 40.0%
3 Other 120 48.33% 32.39 0.875 69.17% 0.747 0.3448
3 Round (Default) 3165 46.87% 32.01 0.11 66.07% 0.085 -0.2007
3 Sunrise 11 36.36% 35.55 -13.26 81.82% -0.533 -0.4222
3 Thematic 229 57.21% 35.72 -2.089 52.4% 0.042 -0.1762
4 Archipelago 7 42.86% 63.57 25.601 100.0% 0.478 0.2498
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 42.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 6 66.67% 24.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 65 58.46% 33.98 5.86 73.85% 1.228 -0.1773
4 Thematic 374 48.97% 36.42 1.49 55.61% -0.113 -0.4219
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1396 40.91% 33.37 0.098 68.7% 0.209 0.0808
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 76 44.74% 33.55 -1.248 71.05% -0.436 -1.5935
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 78.33 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 2 50.0% 20.0 -2.886 50.0% 0.074 -1.0895
6 Other 13 38.46% 27.92 -13.152 46.15% -0.352 -0.6477
6 Star 12 41.67% 24.25 -8.135 41.67% -0.356 -0.4079
6 Thematic 44 27.91% 38.86 3.561 61.36% 0.16 0.7647
6 Two Centers (Default) 43 30.23% 34.63 -2.452 67.44% -0.546 -0.9501
7 Other 3 66.67% 36.0 7.01 33.33% 0.093 0.0241

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2371 26.91 0.27 53.35% 0.083 0.2227
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1957 29.22 2.518 57.79% 0.326 0.1869
All Things Weaken 1118 26.72 -0.307 52.95% -0.113 0.1802
Attenuated Essence 82 24.61 -0.634 48.78% -0.094 -0.0391
Back Against the Wall 1852 27.65 1.776 52.48% 0.314 0.3531
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 101 21.94 0.76 40.59% 0.076 0.2487
Burn Brightest Before the End 87 29.7 2.895 57.47% 0.357 0.4676
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2243 24.47 -1.243 50.6% -0.053 0.2784
Downward Spiral 5585 24.87 0.337 49.35% 0.143 0.2866
Erosion of Will 2234 26.03 -0.386 49.64% -0.301 -0.0829
Intensifying Exploitation 110 22.77 -1.371 47.27% -0.239 0.0066
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 458 34.29 1.353 79.48% -0.009 -0.5992
Memory Fades to Dust 5721 24.51 -0.49 46.9% -0.008 0.2608
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1132 26.71 -0.665 55.04% -0.108 0.0669
Promising Farmlands 2208 25.89 0.093 53.13% 0.077 0.3805
Shattered Fragments of Power 86 29.23 3.906 52.33% 0.613 0.6961
Slow Dissolution of Will 101 23.87 2.181 47.52% 0.218 0.576
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 300 34.83 2.697 80.0% 0.557 -0.208
The Border of Life and Death 38 27.26 5.021 52.63% 0.551 0.0078
Thriving Communities 1088 24.54 -0.624 47.7% -0.307 -0.0057
Thriving Crops 50 22.22 -3.463 48.0% -0.436 -0.526
Tipping Point 850 24.86 0.0 47.76%
Unnatural Proliferation 1214 27.12 1.055 51.98% 0.021 0.1701
Untended Land Crumbles 1073 25.9 -0.212 53.12% 0.028 0.288

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 13801 52.06% 30.61 -0.134 63.83% -0.199 0.9453
B 14482 50.43% 30.98 -0.023 64.98% -0.161 0.8879
C 15836 48.27% 31.83 0.098 67.25% -0.06 0.847
D 13335 51.11% 30.8 -0.504 65.05% -0.232 0.8282
E 5468 46.16% 32.53 0.315 70.14% -0.136 0.7711
F 7216 49.12% 31.31 -0.01 67.14% -0.181 0.846
G 6380 50.06% 31.26 0.686 67.01% -0.118 0.8597
H 6868 46.58% 32.12 0.107 68.45% -0.301 0.7025
East 3064 53.92% 35.03 0.884 54.05% 0.211 1.2437
Northeast 1860 51.92% 35.03 -1.633 52.63% -0.572 0.4098
Northwest 1472 55.35% 34.2 -0.118 52.92% -0.142 0.8981
Southeast 438 47.9% 34.23 2.973 57.99% 0.571 1.6086
Southwest 409 48.51% 27.71 -2.583 47.43% -0.612 0.8063
West 2704 56.38% 32.74 -0.569 50.07% -0.504 0.6276

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 544 0.0% 28.02 1.984 50.55% 0.547 1.1833
Not Using Events or Tokens 9955 56.44% 27.38 -2.395 51.95% -0.502 -0.0003
Skip Initial Invader Actions 749 18.94% 44.27 6.525 82.11% 0.541 -0.1813
Start of Game Growth 1165 20.07% 42.97 6.144 83.69% 1.033 0.6795
Unlimited Undo 4732 46.39% 32.59 1.548 69.4% 0.303 0.2535
Using Tokens but Not Events 6071 41.11% 33.41 0.58 73.27% 0.059 0.1279

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10814 16.98 5.57%
II 19429 30.61 52.75%
III 20297 34.74 86.53%
IV 13488 38.27 99.35%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.079 Win Model: 0.001
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 45301 50.47% 31.28 65.69%
2 13213 52.61% 30.96 63.95%
3 3507 47.52% 32.18 65.01%
4 1837 42.77% 34.22 66.9%
5 52 42.31% 28.4 55.77%
6 118 32.48% 34.38 59.32%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 600
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 17203
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9866
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 13258
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2805
Lose: Invader deck ran out 468
Lose: Adversary condition 6924
Win: Sacrifice victory 244
Lose: Scenario condition 761
Win: Scenario condition 644
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10673
Lose: Spirit destroyed 582

The Kingdom of England — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6086 42.63% 36.26 0.179 57.64% 0.195 0.1363
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3148 73.57% 31.28 -2.252 44.28% -0.399 -0.1704
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 107 53.27% 34.6 4.999 58.88% 0.898 -0.1178
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2627 58.65% 34.37 0.057 55.46% 0.172 -0.0295
Downpour Drenches the World 536 43.5% 28.8 -2.12 42.72% -0.122 0.1298
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 854 47.19% 32.9 3.217 55.85% 0.714 0.186
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3423 43.19% 38.51 -0.1 63.01% 0.121 -0.3586
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3992 49.71% 39.35 4.139 65.66% 0.991 0.581
Finder of Paths Unseen 183 54.1% 21.85 -3.202 26.78% -0.458 0.3454
Fractured Days Split the Sky 853 51.59% 36.51 -3.285 47.95% -0.406 0.2154
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 883 64.46% 33.19 -0.144 49.26% 0.074 0.0708
Heart of the Wildfire 3694 84.19% 23.02 -2.692 25.99% -0.665 -0.2893
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8193 52.23% 37.05 0.797 60.89% 0.066 -0.3664
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 118 50.85% 29.17 2.149 50.0% 0.557 0.0163
Lightning's Swift Strike 5620 67.23% 31.15 -1.151 45.05% 0.008 0.2271
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 413 60.81% 36.99 0.666 59.56% 0.273 -0.3445
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 487 56.58% 38.52 1.043 63.66% -0.013 -0.3013
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 573 53.5% 35.15 -1.062 52.53% -0.025 -0.1255
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2723 69.24% 32.1 -0.64 49.47% -0.136 -0.3625
Many Minds Move as One 1126 44.0% 38.51 1.59 63.68% 0.304 0.1248
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6962 64.11% 35.08 -1.018 56.39% 0.156 0.1727
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2687 56.68% 32.3 -1.54 48.16% -0.106 -0.3125
River Surges in Sunlight 5485 61.76% 33.38 -0.736 44.08% -0.17 -0.1509
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 579 66.32% 31.83 -1.941 45.42% -0.375 -0.0639
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 340 55.09% 30.66 -2.294 40.59% -0.601 -0.6053
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4889 50.74% 36.71 1.761 59.36% 0.376 0.2445
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1662 78.94% 23.9 -5.221 23.04% -1.649 -1.0537
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 51 62.75% 27.14 -0.323 35.29% 0.102 0.1749
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 76 68.42% 28.25 1.14 48.68% 0.269 -0.2803
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 54 64.81% 27.15 -6.234 33.33% -0.52 -0.2366
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 245 75.51% 31.61 3.423 46.12% 0.543 0.4259
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 149 75.51% 25.13 -5.187 28.19% -0.687 -0.4345
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3227 56.04% 34.43 -2.436 52.4% -0.47 -0.4456
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 146 47.26% 29.01 3.015 44.52% 0.443 0.1197
Shifting Memory of Ages 1007 61.42% 32.42 0.766 52.04% 0.194 0.4349
Shroud of Silent Mist 947 73.43% 30.29 -1.111 46.78% -0.156 0.1521
Starlight Seeks its Form 1442 46.46% 33.36 0.989 52.98% 0.204 -0.0364
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3682 45.35% 37.51 2.577 63.69% 0.802 0.377
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1246 68.98% 28.3 -0.936 36.6% -0.363 -0.2282
Thunderspeaker 5460 60.49% 34.59 -1.82 52.25% -0.119 -0.097
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 98 58.16% 27.85 4.309 38.78% 0.436 0.5872
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1768 85.02% 32.33 -0.838 54.41% 0.0 0.167
Vital Strength of the Earth 3448 56.48% 29.73 -4.184 39.62% -0.609 -0.0335
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 243 56.12% 26.84 -0.033 40.33% 0.072 0.4956
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 279 67.38% 29.2 -1.935 40.5% -0.684 0.0657
Volcano Looming High 1933 70.37% 30.49 -0.103 49.97% 0.047 0.0403
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 224 55.8% 29.94 2.222 46.43% 0.383 -0.208

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 11 45.45% 26.73 0.604 36.36% 0.287 0.1151
Blitz 0 599 48.1% 33.86 -1.226 48.91% 0.293 0.4568
Dahan Insurrection 4 558 46.0% 48.36 2.575 44.09% 0.06 -0.1625
Despicable Theft 2 40 50.0% 27.63 1.658 27.5% 0.292 0.8826
Elemental Invocation 1 124 68.55% 30.77 -7.391 36.29% -1.471 -0.651
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2393 20.51% 40.98 4.276 59.76% 0.678 -0.0831
Powers Long Forgotten 1 184 71.74% 30.17 -4.33 32.61% -0.536 0.3701
Rituals of Terror 3 165 70.73% 35.4 -1.833 29.7% -1.37 -1.2731
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 55 89.09% 37.76 4.18 36.36% 0.305 1.4369
Second Wave 0 831 56.95% 34.95 2.99 46.81% -0.111 -0.0151
The Great River 3 57 56.14% 31.46 0.0 24.56%
Varied Terrains 2 24 58.33% 14.42 -3.833 8.33% -0.745 0.0273
Ward the Shores 2 191 63.87% 33.32 -3.728 33.51% -1.004 -0.0019

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 41538 62.41% 33.21 0.224 52.53% -0.392 -0.1773
1 Thematic 2149 60.1% 37.13 -1.974 44.95% -0.966 -0.3102
2 Archipelago 21 42.86% 42.19 0.0 57.14%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8963 60.96% 33.03 0.31 51.66% -0.185 -0.157
2 Coastline 1214 56.3% 34.51 -0.881 56.26% -0.133 -0.0702
2 Fragment 223 64.57% 32.43 2.51 49.33% 0.433 0.2253
2 Heart 131 72.31% 35.33 7.147 57.25% 0.929 0.8178
2 Opposite Shores 1965 60.32% 32.28 -3.12 48.3% -0.977 -0.9016
2 Thematic 731 64.14% 34.64 1.171 36.53% -0.433 -0.2417
2 Top to Top 369 60.49% 35.3 0.854 56.64% -0.398 -0.4475
3 Archipelago 4 75.0% 48.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 13 46.15% 40.46 0.0 61.54%
3 Other 141 45.0% 38.27 6.066 63.12% 0.918 0.5161
3 Round (Default) 3797 54.07% 33.93 0.607 52.3% -0.143 -0.4289
3 Sunrise 26 57.69% 40.62 4.637 61.54% 0.416 0.5271
3 Thematic 169 66.27% 34.34 3.925 30.18% 0.135 -0.084
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 30.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 4 50.0% 26.75 5.299 25.0% -0.014 -0.2106
4 Other 76 57.33% 34.71 11.129 56.58% 0.358 -1.0478
4 Snake 4 75.0% 32.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Thematic 346 50.0% 37.38 5.015 40.75% 0.591 0.282
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1968 45.63% 35.82 -1.116 54.93% -0.142 -0.2703
5 Other 66 45.31% 40.53 0.846 62.12% -0.054 -1.2113
5 Thematic 5 60.0% 27.2 -18.593 40.0% -0.21 -0.1873
6 Archipelago 5 20.0% 44.2 0.0 60.0%
6 Other 19 26.32% 39.26 6.872 47.37% 0.115 -0.1805
6 Star 15 40.0% 44.53 0.976 53.33% -0.422 -0.4741
6 Thematic 50 36.0% 36.4 -5.368 20.0% 0.046 0.6511
6 Two Centers (Default) 70 38.57% 32.89 2.245 47.14% 0.001 -0.4031
7 Other 3 33.33% 7.67 -12.484 0.0% -0.063 -0.1326

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2802 30.06 3.556 42.01% 0.455 0.5946
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2275 32.82 3.969 47.56% 0.542 0.4027
All Things Weaken 1495 31.72 0.769 47.49% -0.033 0.2602
Attenuated Essence 141 31.4 3.558 50.35% 0.604 0.659
Back Against the Wall 2304 31.22 0.855 43.4% -0.048 -0.0088
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 150 28.05 1.533 42.67% 0.251 0.4237
Burn Brightest Before the End 109 33.23 5.142 53.21% 0.866 0.9761
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2709 27.89 0.502 41.12% 0.166 0.4977
Downward Spiral 6272 28.96 0.765 43.4% 0.404 0.5469
Erosion of Will 2750 29.62 1.904 40.87% 0.217 0.4354
Intensifying Exploitation 139 24.18 0.419 33.81% -0.043 0.2029
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 499 37.94 3.726 67.13% 0.819 0.2284
Memory Fades to Dust 6315 28.85 1.676 41.31% 0.533 0.802
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1484 30.15 1.484 45.35% 0.257 0.4318
Promising Farmlands 2823 29.25 0.156 43.29% -0.049 0.2551
Shattered Fragments of Power 116 31.8 3.673 43.1% 0.214 0.2977
Slow Dissolution of Will 146 24.72 2.063 32.88% -0.021 0.3368
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 338 38.58 5.7 70.41% 0.753 -0.0118
The Border of Life and Death 31 27.84 1.71 48.39% 0.468 -0.0755
Thriving Communities 1502 30.19 2.415 46.4% 0.378 0.6796
Thriving Crops 77 27.66 0.99 40.26% -0.036 -0.1254
Tipping Point 1031 28.72 0.0 41.22%
Unnatural Proliferation 1645 32.4 2.435 48.94% 0.232 0.3813
Untended Land Crumbles 1479 30.01 1.524 44.96% 0.365 0.6251

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14640 59.66% 33.06 -1.637 50.71% -0.289 0.8554
B 15478 59.7% 33.11 0.311 50.81% 0.036 1.0852
C 16457 59.06% 33.71 -0.517 52.79% 0.003 0.9103
D 14166 60.13% 33.23 0.418 52.03% 0.239 1.299
E 6205 55.02% 34.92 0.928 56.49% 0.182 1.0888
F 7665 59.4% 33.88 0.567 54.06% 0.168 1.195
G 6644 59.54% 33.86 0.887 53.25% 0.125 1.1026
H 7383 56.01% 34.53 0.091 54.94% -0.024 0.9803
East 2183 58.08% 37.8 0.231 41.69% -0.247 0.7861
Northeast 1350 55.03% 38.36 -1.337 40.67% -0.442 0.5399
Northwest 1118 57.03% 35.86 -1.306 39.09% -0.019 1.0213
Southeast 380 57.33% 34.32 0.783 35.79% 0.167 1.2047
Southwest 355 57.06% 30.5 -0.014 35.21% 0.591 2.0087
West 2044 60.03% 34.56 0.271 37.87% 0.112 1.2437

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 558 0.0% 34.07 -1.006 47.31% -0.339 0.2969
Not Using Events or Tokens 8608 62.79% 29.99 -3.765 42.91% -0.76 -0.2584
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1018 16.7% 51.49 8.341 80.94% 0.821 0.0986
Start of Game Growth 1577 22.67% 48.32 4.979 76.85% 0.903 0.55
Unlimited Undo 5798 54.59% 36.45 -0.513 59.81% -0.206 -0.2559
Using Tokens but Not Events 5338 52.52% 35.09 0.225 57.62% 0.11 0.1787

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 12448 16.98 2.38%
II 18715 30.61 21.82%
III 18399 34.74 78.32%
IV 14558 38.27 99.46%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.053 Win Model: -0.333
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 43886 62.25% 33.42 52.2%
2 13588 60.89% 33.2 50.71%
3 4044 54.04% 34.12 52.42%
4 2397 46.32% 36.08 52.9%
5 44 51.16% 32.45 45.45%
6 161 35.4% 35.53 39.13%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 296
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14101
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3897
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14316
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3329
Lose: Invader deck ran out 464
Lose: Adversary condition 11755
Win: Sacrifice victory 283
Lose: Scenario condition 983
Win: Scenario condition 377
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13624
Lose: Spirit destroyed 695

The Kingdom of England — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5593 39.75% 42.44 -1.429 62.1% -0.141 -0.1989
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2990 68.31% 37.24 -4.891 50.84% -0.665 -0.4358
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 185 31.35% 29.21 0.299 45.95% 0.353 -0.6623
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2469 61.26% 37.64 -0.992 52.81% 0.109 -0.0926
Downpour Drenches the World 640 37.4% 31.49 -0.282 43.91% 0.218 0.4702
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 938 43.82% 36.7 1.706 57.46% 0.442 -0.0857
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3302 43.47% 43.63 -0.362 66.57% -0.001 -0.481
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6816 30.63% 50.25 1.398 81.22% 0.413 0.0031
Finder of Paths Unseen 200 45.73% 31.82 0.215 41.5% 0.05 0.8535
Fractured Days Split the Sky 899 44.93% 44.63 -2.412 60.62% -0.291 0.3303
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1076 48.0% 42.38 0.534 59.76% 0.415 0.4116
Heart of the Wildfire 3242 74.91% 30.75 -4.258 35.6% -0.549 -0.1728
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 17258 29.82% 47.24 3.197 74.59% 0.667 0.2351
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 159 49.06% 36.25 1.572 52.83% 0.198 -0.3426
Lightning's Swift Strike 4860 59.58% 37.09 -2.019 48.54% 0.104 0.323
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 567 54.96% 41.07 6.738 61.38% 1.104 0.4865
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 537 50.75% 44.65 -0.471 69.83% 0.576 0.2878
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 529 46.5% 43.55 4.849 61.81% 0.547 0.4469
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2543 60.08% 39.19 -0.346 57.02% 0.002 -0.2245
Many Minds Move as One 1183 38.24% 44.77 -2.875 70.25% -0.361 -0.5402
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5879 58.61% 41.13 1.88 60.44% 0.786 0.8029
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2736 54.09% 37.96 -0.544 52.6% 0.264 0.0577
River Surges in Sunlight 4587 54.93% 39.85 -0.28 49.84% -0.05 -0.031
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 510 58.15% 37.78 -1.16 45.29% -0.292 0.0189
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 431 31.47% 49.0 0.976 67.52% -0.136 -0.1397
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6546 39.27% 44.79 -0.695 68.93% 0.218 0.0863
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1082 71.75% 29.87 -9.356 30.41% -1.531 -0.9354
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 38 65.79% 30.18 2.581 36.84% 0.068 0.1403
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 74 74.32% 28.84 -0.867 37.84% -0.206 -0.7555
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 57 50.88% 32.56 -0.79 40.35% -0.016 0.2672
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 236 78.39% 30.06 -1.558 31.36% -0.562 -0.6787
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 127 56.69% 40.94 -5.724 55.12% -0.565 -0.3129
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5692 30.9% 48.5 1.956 73.0% 0.175 0.1995
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 135 43.7% 31.83 -1.685 42.22% -0.617 -0.94
Shifting Memory of Ages 1070 60.9% 38.44 0.193 54.02% -0.011 0.2294
Shroud of Silent Mist 821 69.12% 36.75 -3.037 52.74% -0.418 -0.1094
Starlight Seeks its Form 1624 47.32% 39.45 2.623 58.44% 0.491 0.251
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3742 38.59% 40.24 -1.349 68.89% 0.357 -0.0686
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1038 62.21% 35.15 -1.085 43.64% -0.261 -0.1265
Thunderspeaker 6600 41.91% 44.29 0.151 63.52% 0.338 0.3599
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 115 42.61% 16.78 -8.376 19.13% -1.116 -0.9648
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2416 80.57% 40.82 0.78 65.52% 0.317 0.4833
Vital Strength of the Earth 2412 52.12% 34.07 -4.875 40.96% -0.725 -0.1496
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 254 43.7% 35.99 -0.51 48.03% 0.099 0.5219
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 342 53.51% 38.29 0.097 54.09% 0.208 0.9578
Volcano Looming High 2317 69.79% 35.02 0.139 50.8% 0.189 0.1823
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 249 51.0% 31.86 0.703 42.97% 0.078 -0.5132

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 17 23.53% 41.41 1.33 58.82% -0.205 -0.3767
Blitz 0 508 48.21% 37.58 -2.309 48.82% -0.86 -0.6965
Dahan Insurrection 4 401 42.86% 56.0 6.891 50.12% -0.255 -0.4777
Despicable Theft 2 23 60.87% 27.87 -2.212 34.78% 0.082 0.673
Elemental Invocation 1 89 69.66% 37.22 -9.906 47.19% -0.697 0.1228
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6134 9.28% 54.59 7.575 82.05% 1.039 0.2774
Powers Long Forgotten 1 143 72.03% 31.48 -3.218 27.97% -0.781 0.1249
Rituals of Terror 3 147 65.31% 38.73 -4.834 29.93% -2.019 -1.9216
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 102 86.27% 32.41 -12.514 20.59% -0.591 0.5408
Second Wave 0 463 51.84% 36.94 1.595 44.49% -0.345 -0.2493
The Great River 3 56 62.5% 27.39 -14.304 16.07% -0.784 0.4453
Varied Terrains 2 21 28.57% 21.81 -12.342 23.81% -0.955 -0.1825
Ward the Shores 2 150 65.77% 39.62 -8.444 38.0% -1.025 -0.0235

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 46280 51.58% 40.24 0.3 61.0% 0.23 0.4448
1 Thematic 1471 60.91% 37.3 -4.031 37.39% -1.058 -0.4018
2 Archipelago 21 28.57% 50.29 11.009 61.9% 0.458 0.9291
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9532 53.36% 40.56 -0.47 59.11% -0.189 -0.1614
2 Coastline 1399 50.9% 43.1 2.43 65.62% 0.36 0.4227
2 Fragment 169 62.28% 35.09 1.804 46.15% 0.111 -0.0971
2 Heart 179 60.89% 39.2 -1.176 55.87% -0.228 -0.3396
2 Opposite Shores 1640 55.39% 39.05 -0.598 52.62% -0.288 -0.2126
2 Thematic 459 62.09% 38.3 0.367 39.22% -0.079 0.1127
2 Top to Top 316 59.94% 39.18 1.452 56.65% -0.098 -0.1483
3 Archipelago 10 50.0% 33.0 0.0 30.0%
3 Coastline 21 70.0% 31.19 0.0 28.57%
3 Other 164 58.9% 41.31 -6.621 63.41% -1.202 -1.6043
3 Round (Default) 3469 50.56% 39.38 -2.998 56.93% -0.696 -0.9818
3 Sunrise 18 55.56% 37.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 92 56.52% 42.72 -15.683 44.57% -0.575 -0.7936
4 Archipelago 14 71.43% 49.64 14.284 64.29% 0.801 0.5725
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 17 70.59% 38.12 0.0 58.82%
4 Other 77 66.23% 44.56 17.365 68.83% 1.342 -0.0638
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 344 50.0% 48.74 -0.325 57.56% -0.094 -0.4026
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4397 18.47% 50.8 3.751 76.87% -0.078 -0.2064
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 25.67 0.0 33.33%
5 Other 96 26.32% 50.71 4.672 77.08% 0.14 -1.0173
5 Thematic 6 0.0% 60.17 -20.806 50.0% -0.273 -0.2503
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 29 28.57% 33.66 -1.065 41.38% -0.161 -0.4571
6 Star 13 53.85% 38.92 -13.897 46.15% -0.864 -0.9158
6 Thematic 34 29.41% 43.82 9.203 50.0% 0.423 1.0273
6 Two Centers (Default) 92 26.09% 41.85 4.464 68.48% 0.129 -0.2755
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 74.0 0.0 50.0%
7 Other 2 0.0% 48.0 -11.744 50.0% -0.062 -0.1315

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2701 34.26 1.144 45.35% -0.073 0.0668
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2178 36.78 2.985 50.0% 0.312 0.1725
All Things Weaken 1522 35.16 0.881 48.82% 0.025 0.3182
Attenuated Essence 125 26.74 -0.429 36.0% -0.04 0.0153
Back Against the Wall 2124 35.91 2.468 47.36% 0.169 0.2084
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 147 32.89 2.781 48.98% 0.549 0.7213
Burn Brightest Before the End 103 31.06 1.084 38.83% -0.205 -0.0949
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2671 32.09 -0.485 43.99% -0.162 0.1699
Downward Spiral 4893 32.75 -0.309 44.04% 0.077 0.2206
Erosion of Will 2656 34.09 1.324 44.62% 0.057 0.2753
Intensifying Exploitation 142 30.5 3.582 45.77% 0.57 0.8156
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 518 41.85 2.497 66.8% 0.391 -0.1993
Memory Fades to Dust 4947 32.79 1.528 42.89% 0.42 0.689
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1487 34.27 -0.202 48.82% -0.086 0.089
Promising Farmlands 2591 33.18 -0.487 44.96% -0.097 0.2067
Shattered Fragments of Power 107 35.77 6.261 51.4% 1.08 1.1636
Slow Dissolution of Will 136 27.19 1.23 31.62% 0.132 0.4896
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 412 44.09 4.664 72.82% 0.66 -0.1057
The Border of Life and Death 43 31.84 3.871 51.16% 0.604 0.0605
Thriving Communities 1493 33.88 -1.062 47.69% -0.422 -0.12
Thriving Crops 73 31.16 1.045 45.21% 0.029 -0.0608
Tipping Point 932 31.37 0.0 38.73%
Unnatural Proliferation 1593 36.19 4.911 50.09% 0.564 0.7133
Untended Land Crumbles 1515 34.55 0.274 49.04% -0.044 0.2167

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 16756 45.76% 41.78 -0.119 61.23% -0.34 0.805
B 18803 43.83% 42.99 0.705 63.65% -0.144 0.9052
C 19757 45.43% 42.95 -0.335 64.42% -0.375 0.5323
D 14276 50.86% 40.37 -0.727 59.61% -0.386 0.6743
E 7823 46.47% 41.72 1.205 63.21% -0.16 0.7475
F 9403 46.11% 41.76 -0.63 63.11% -0.356 0.6707
G 8187 47.03% 41.68 1.662 62.55% 0.045 1.0227
H 8279 45.37% 42.54 0.194 64.38% -0.356 0.6477
East 1604 56.33% 41.38 1.484 42.71% 0.178 1.2108
Northeast 1006 54.53% 42.39 -0.513 43.64% -0.511 0.4707
Northwest 823 58.44% 41.73 -4.637 43.99% -0.597 0.4431
Southeast 239 46.22% 40.49 -1.987 48.12% -0.303 0.7352
Southwest 265 53.61% 35.72 -0.246 43.77% -0.168 1.2504
West 1422 60.49% 39.38 -1.922 41.49% -0.744 0.3869

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 306 0.0% 41.67 4.182 59.8% 0.088 0.7242
Not Using Events or Tokens 7196 48.76% 39.72 -4.556 56.66% -1.072 -0.5702
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1153 17.13% 59.67 10.703 85.26% 1.413 0.6908
Start of Game Growth 1885 19.42% 54.45 7.338 78.78% 0.554 0.2013
Unlimited Undo 6045 52.16% 41.57 0.686 63.51% 0.181 0.1314
Using Tokens but Not Events 4977 40.19% 43.26 -2.931 64.62% -0.451 -0.3821

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 12363 16.98 21.44%
II 19106 30.61 32.83%
III 20688 34.74 75.5%
IV 18242 38.27 99.71%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.263 Win Model: 0.274
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 47978 51.83% 40.19 60.36%
2 13610 54.18% 40.38 57.87%
3 3721 51.15% 39.42 56.49%
4 4868 21.52% 50.59 75.33%
5 49 31.25% 41.16 57.14%
6 173 28.65% 41.2 58.96%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2650
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 15340
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6096
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17993
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3198
Lose: Invader deck ran out 93
Lose: Adversary condition 10885
Win: Sacrifice victory 350
Lose: Scenario condition 1143
Win: Scenario condition 304
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11716
Lose: Spirit destroyed 631

The Kingdom of England — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2223 46.34% 45.02 -0.515 48.04% 0.251 0.1928
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 811 80.2% 37.08 -5.829 35.14% -0.349 -0.1202
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 45 62.22% 50.2 10.436 68.89% 1.902 0.8868
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 619 76.14% 30.42 -3.813 19.87% -0.31 -0.5117
Downpour Drenches the World 218 39.63% 30.03 -3.162 29.36% -0.129 0.1227
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 569 67.66% 32.58 2.384 35.33% 0.677 0.1495
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1049 60.29% 42.41 -3.668 46.62% -0.084 -0.5637
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1568 57.45% 44.65 -1.689 50.45% 0.249 -0.1618
Finder of Paths Unseen 103 47.57% 22.03 -6.383 17.48% -1.117 -0.3139
Fractured Days Split the Sky 339 63.5% 45.05 -3.268 38.94% 0.181 0.8026
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 258 83.33% 31.18 -1.883 25.97% 0.193 0.19
Heart of the Wildfire 1044 85.98% 25.46 -9.207 12.84% -0.844 -0.4679
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4530 54.3% 45.06 0.435 53.73% 0.623 0.1904
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 38 57.89% 22.53 -3.0 18.42% -0.209 -0.749
Lightning's Swift Strike 2484 63.66% 41.17 0.316 39.37% -0.199 0.0204
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 340 68.82% 42.48 4.614 42.06% 0.895 0.2776
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 177 67.23% 45.26 1.027 54.8% -0.085 -0.3738
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 180 67.78% 39.49 -0.708 42.22% -0.455 -0.5549
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 994 74.67% 36.97 -1.448 34.51% 0.036 -0.1905
Many Minds Move as One 341 47.8% 49.55 3.246 62.46% 0.775 0.5961
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2861 64.44% 44.84 0.139 52.57% 0.773 0.7896
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 781 63.19% 36.52 -3.53 30.73% -0.484 -0.6906
River Surges in Sunlight 1592 52.12% 45.09 -1.287 43.91% -0.119 -0.1001
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 113 70.54% 32.96 -6.803 19.47% -0.865 -0.5538
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 68 57.35% 36.19 -7.475 29.41% -0.645 -0.6486
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1869 60.61% 42.4 -0.646 47.24% 0.39 0.2583
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 423 82.14% 30.63 -1.403 17.02% -0.037 0.5589
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 11 63.64% 22.45 -3.775 18.18% 0.24 0.3123
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 32 71.88% 30.53 -0.284 25.0% 0.036 -0.5134
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 3 66.67% 27.67 -15.414 33.33% -0.222 0.0616
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 48 79.17% 35.73 -0.105 31.25% -0.081 -0.1982
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 43 79.07% 33.0 -4.689 27.91% -0.147 0.1059
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1396 55.85% 46.92 -4.657 51.93% -0.107 -0.0829
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 55 41.82% 38.15 3.477 30.91% 0.157 -0.1657
Shifting Memory of Ages 345 70.14% 40.22 1.16 40.87% 0.345 0.5861
Shroud of Silent Mist 280 83.94% 33.13 1.364 29.29% 0.101 0.4097
Starlight Seeks its Form 575 64.35% 38.23 1.759 41.91% 0.663 0.4234
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4239 27.11% 50.7 9.932 75.25% 2.038 1.6124
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 390 75.85% 31.44 -6.756 19.23% -0.502 -0.3677
Thunderspeaker 1728 71.27% 36.47 -6.477 31.77% -1.048 -1.0259
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 50 58.0% 25.6 -8.135 22.0% -1.296 -1.1448
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1015 86.5% 41.3 -0.861 50.74% -0.163 0.0033
Vital Strength of the Earth 948 53.5% 39.81 4.365 35.23% 0.793 1.3682
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 52 61.54% 31.58 -4.646 25.0% -1.046 -0.6226
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 95 69.47% 31.38 -12.921 27.37% -0.457 0.2924
Volcano Looming High 629 87.6% 29.68 -5.629 23.69% -0.836 -0.842
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 109 55.96% 31.6 1.442 34.86% 0.43 -0.1608

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 0.0% 0.0 -9.0 0.0% -0.114 -0.2864
Blitz 0 261 53.1% 36.77 -5.077 38.31% -0.885 -0.7219
Dahan Insurrection 4 214 72.3% 43.1 -0.925 16.36% 0.076 -0.1465
Despicable Theft 2 17 94.12% 34.47 -7.816 23.53% -0.029 0.5623
Elemental Invocation 1 47 74.47% 26.74 -11.035 12.77% -0.72 0.1003
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1321 19.27% 52.58 1.873 58.89% -0.217 -0.9783
Powers Long Forgotten 1 71 84.51% 33.45 -2.621 19.72% -0.927 -0.0218
Rituals of Terror 3 70 78.57% 81.69 13.153 54.29% -0.032 0.0655
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 21 71.43% 40.33 0.0 23.81%
Second Wave 0 201 66.5% 36.3 -8.969 29.85% -0.918 -0.8226
The Great River 3 6 33.33% 18.17 -9.927 16.67% -0.082 1.1472
Varied Terrains 2 3 100.0% 24.0 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 62 63.93% 44.76 -7.38 32.26% -0.437 0.5647

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 19125 59.89% 40.53 0.283 47.53% -0.173 0.0421
1 Thematic 1148 70.59% 39.8 -1.163 31.01% -0.445 0.2108
2 Archipelago 10 100.0% 55.8 0.0 20.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2757 70.85% 38.18 -0.891 38.59% -0.526 -0.4979
2 Coastline 323 67.3% 40.93 -3.98 45.82% -0.641 -0.5781
2 Fragment 95 76.84% 38.97 0.0 38.95%
2 Heart 89 83.15% 37.64 19.324 38.2% 1.37 1.2589
2 Opposite Shores 642 68.92% 39.37 -0.035 38.47% -0.862 -0.7872
2 Thematic 191 68.06% 46.7 11.346 31.41% 0.704 0.8956
2 Top to Top 138 55.07% 35.64 -4.85 38.41% -0.677 -0.7269
3 Archipelago 10 80.0% 99.7 -12.21 60.0% -0.176 -0.6791
3 Coastline 5 60.0% 27.0 0.0 20.0%
3 Other 55 76.36% 48.65 1.38 65.45% -0.256 -0.6584
3 Round (Default) 1137 67.9% 36.63 0.001 35.71% -0.168 -0.4538
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 42.0 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 50 64.0% 41.96 4.773 32.0% 0.282 0.0634
4 Archipelago 5 100.0% 43.0 0.0 20.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 9 88.89% 42.0 10.369 44.44% 0.275 0.0783
4 Other 25 84.0% 44.92 -2.418 56.0% 0.246 -1.16
4 Thematic 232 22.41% 64.16 -6.011 69.83% -0.283 -0.5912
4 Trapezoid (Default) 889 30.78% 51.07 0.358 59.06% -0.002 -0.1308
5 Other 22 38.46% 61.59 8.189 63.64% -0.01 -1.1676
5 Thematic 21 47.62% 68.95 0.0 57.14%
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 70.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 9 25.0% 44.89 0.0 44.44%
6 Star 3 0.0% 45.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Thematic 56 10.71% 67.64 6.064 62.5% -0.126 0.4791
6 Two Centers (Default) 6 83.33% 40.17 0.0 50.0%
7 Archipelago 2 50.0% 146.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1230 36.49 0.451 34.39% -0.318 -0.1781
Aid From Lesser Spirits 991 39.48 4.471 39.46% 0.16 0.0207
All Things Weaken 681 35.77 0.083 34.21% -0.265 0.0279
Attenuated Essence 82 32.8 1.221 39.02% 0.118 0.1731
Back Against the Wall 896 37.53 2.825 35.49% 0.406 0.4455
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 99 33.62 1.123 35.35% -0.06 0.1122
Burn Brightest Before the End 63 28.38 2.895 23.81% 0.372 0.4828
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1192 34.78 0.898 35.15% 0.016 0.3472
Downward Spiral 2361 34.06 0.065 31.47% -0.279 -0.1356
Erosion of Will 1355 34.93 1.518 31.59% 0.09 0.3084
Intensifying Exploitation 83 24.14 -1.839 22.89% -0.018 0.2275
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 214 42.59 3.089 52.34% 0.789 0.1988
Memory Fades to Dust 2316 33.46 1.454 28.71% 0.063 0.3316
Power Corrodes the Spirit 679 36.21 0.653 36.23% 0.106 0.2808
Promising Farmlands 1218 34.76 -0.228 33.25% -0.352 -0.0479
Shattered Fragments of Power 70 36.21 1.852 38.57% -0.056 0.0275
Slow Dissolution of Will 71 32.75 0.501 29.58% -0.489 -0.1309
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 168 50.16 0.443 65.48% 0.049 -0.7165
The Border of Life and Death 18 33.83 -14.094 50.0% -0.281 -0.8246
Thriving Communities 676 35.79 4.539 36.39% 0.475 0.777
Thriving Crops 25 35.84 -4.523 52.0% -0.481 -0.571
Tipping Point 470 35.04 0.0 31.91%
Unnatural Proliferation 768 38.71 1.302 39.32% 0.084 0.2329
Untended Land Crumbles 724 35.01 -0.833 35.08% -0.158 0.1018

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4887 65.32% 38.72 -0.988 39.68% -0.409 0.7358
B 6290 60.16% 40.82 -0.642 43.62% -0.221 0.8278
C 9269 49.49% 45.74 3.417 58.45% 0.15 1.0567
D 4781 65.71% 39.52 -3.429 41.85% -0.774 0.286
E 2446 66.08% 38.11 1.766 40.6% -0.01 0.8968
F 2592 65.98% 38.17 -1.562 39.47% -0.497 0.5298
G 2255 67.01% 37.79 -1.009 38.54% -0.607 0.3705
H 2375 64.16% 38.34 -1.827 39.49% -0.254 0.7494
East 1147 57.07% 48.31 0.826 40.19% -0.07 0.9627
Northeast 700 50.86% 50.29 10.023 41.86% 0.896 1.8772
Northwest 529 45.75% 53.96 5.851 51.61% 0.153 1.1935
Southeast 182 34.62% 53.42 4.316 48.35% 0.161 1.199
Southwest 186 38.38% 48.01 -3.511 45.16% -0.744 0.6736
West 896 53.52% 49.3 -0.612 44.64% -0.471 0.6606

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 98 0.0% 56.66 -7.421 62.24% -0.371 0.2653
Not Using Events or Tokens 2479 66.63% 35.93 -1.138 32.23% -0.012 0.4892
Skip Initial Invader Actions 624 18.62% 63.68 12.889 78.04% 1.739 1.0167
Start of Game Growth 1092 19.73% 60.62 6.932 72.16% 0.601 0.2478
Unlimited Undo 2160 59.99% 43.64 0.395 49.81% 0.04 -0.01
Using Tokens but Not Events 1583 58.97% 40.12 -1.525 39.8% -0.022 0.0469

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6218 16.98 5.36%
II 7350 30.61 12.69%
III 5022 34.74 52.07%
IV 8481 38.27 99.81%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.15 Win Model: -0.085
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 20372 60.56% 40.57 46.62%
2 4210 70.01% 38.84 38.93%
3 1236 68.69% 37.06 35.68%
4 1159 29.85% 53.71 61.17%
5 20 46.15% 62.45 55.0%
6 74 16.44% 65.92 64.86%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 333
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2544
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 895
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8370
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1489
Lose: Invader deck ran out 41
Lose: Adversary condition 5866
Win: Sacrifice victory 132
Lose: Scenario condition 433
Win: Scenario condition 72
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6559
Lose: Spirit destroyed 337

The Kingdom of England — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 10422 39.97% 46.42 0.632 44.38% 0.691 0.6331
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6311 74.14% 36.27 -4.394 29.33% -0.244 -0.0153
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 459 62.96% 38.71 5.296 43.57% 1.093 0.078
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2616 65.8% 33.76 -2.392 20.57% -0.691 -0.8922
Downpour Drenches the World 1275 35.25% 34.37 -1.101 30.12% -0.048 0.2043
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1897 56.28% 25.63 -2.775 21.3% -0.44 -0.9674
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5386 57.16% 44.34 -0.692 41.96% 0.4 -0.0797
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 9601 51.8% 48.07 -1.747 50.53% 0.139 -0.2713
Finder of Paths Unseen 617 47.33% 29.96 -5.612 23.82% -0.893 -0.09
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3053 44.01% 49.56 2.727 45.69% 0.563 1.185
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1290 76.24% 31.4 -3.879 19.38% -0.286 -0.2891
Heart of the Wildfire 4809 72.17% 27.53 -10.827 15.66% -2.231 -1.8551
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 26098 46.01% 48.24 1.432 53.17% 0.545 0.1122
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 296 53.38% 19.77 -4.286 11.49% -0.829 -1.3692
Lightning's Swift Strike 13513 61.84% 43.23 -3.287 39.53% -0.446 -0.2265
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 2814 62.54% 40.59 6.624 38.49% 1.229 0.6113
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 2439 58.18% 47.12 2.562 49.73% 0.705 0.4163
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1553 51.26% 48.33 4.13 50.61% 0.983 0.8829
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5109 67.56% 36.76 -3.132 31.92% -0.244 -0.471
Many Minds Move as One 2374 47.95% 51.9 5.259 59.39% 1.054 0.8751
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 22839 57.22% 49.51 2.154 51.31% 0.878 0.8951
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2858 52.43% 39.31 -2.732 33.24% -0.731 -0.9374
River Surges in Sunlight 8173 51.72% 49.44 4.255 42.68% 0.786 0.8051
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1034 49.71% 40.43 1.069 29.21% -0.043 0.2678
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 626 55.68% 37.27 -0.151 23.8% -0.077 -0.0805
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 13899 42.52% 51.37 0.742 55.99% 0.604 0.4722
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3704 65.81% 38.06 -4.639 27.89% -0.336 0.26
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 52 69.23% 29.33 -6.519 21.15% -0.578 -0.5056
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 224 70.54% 31.66 0.965 27.68% 0.074 -0.476
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 143 67.13% 26.9 -6.911 17.48% -0.935 -0.6521
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 347 74.64% 35.25 -1.91 22.77% 0.266 0.149
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 323 74.92% 36.42 -3.749 25.39% -0.639 -0.3868
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6733 45.67% 47.58 2.039 49.61% 0.626 0.6501
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 373 49.87% 27.72 4.162 25.2% 0.63 0.3069
Shifting Memory of Ages 2052 55.47% 42.69 1.15 39.28% 0.4 0.6402
Shroud of Silent Mist 1323 79.31% 37.26 -1.327 33.11% -0.108 0.2005
Starlight Seeks its Form 3928 48.99% 41.39 0.961 40.71% 0.395 0.1554
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 11201 43.36% 42.18 1.609 47.42% 0.736 0.3105
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2128 64.02% 37.52 -2.236 28.05% -0.523 -0.3884
Thunderspeaker 8184 63.31% 39.87 -3.478 27.55% -0.08 -0.0587
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 181 49.72% 23.1 -3.903 22.1% -0.357 -0.2065
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4320 80.95% 42.06 -0.523 43.66% -0.03 0.1371
Vital Strength of the Earth 4312 44.07% 41.74 -4.572 32.19% -0.446 0.1293
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 534 35.66% 30.57 -1.99 23.78% -0.456 -0.0329
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 441 64.63% 31.6 -1.673 15.87% -0.545 0.2042
Volcano Looming High 3604 75.96% 31.83 -4.343 21.75% -0.734 -0.7405
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 603 50.17% 34.94 3.239 35.49% 0.666 0.0755

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 10 30.0% 42.0 -0.495 30.0% -0.118 -0.2901
Blitz 0 1794 37.37% 47.4 8.775 47.16% 1.086 1.2494
Dahan Insurrection 4 2716 63.4% 45.73 -2.883 14.47% -0.469 -0.6912
Despicable Theft 2 53 55.77% 36.53 -14.606 26.42% -0.357 0.2337
Elemental Invocation 1 190 72.13% 36.34 -2.018 17.89% -0.862 -0.0422
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 17604 22.73% 54.8 9.438 54.72% 1.329 0.5674
Powers Long Forgotten 1 175 86.29% 31.26 -5.698 10.86% -0.429 0.4767
Rituals of Terror 3 696 64.31% 99.15 18.265 56.9% 1.685 1.7825
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 113 84.96% 31.77 0.0 7.08%
Second Wave 0 358 60.62% 40.12 -1.371 34.64% -0.375 -0.2794
The Great River 3 42 38.1% 33.52 -12.315 19.05% -0.567 0.6624
Varied Terrains 2 102 55.88% 16.56 0.0 2.94%
Ward the Shores 2 264 70.16% 44.13 5.538 29.92% 0.123 1.1247

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 108558 60.29% 41.44 -0.351 40.52% -0.871 -0.6567
1 Thematic 6821 57.96% 45.17 -0.306 25.1% -1.289 -0.6327
2 Archipelago 42 64.29% 73.45 4.005 38.1% -0.358 0.1131
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11198 65.74% 41.1 1.047 38.25% -0.53 -0.5018
2 Coastline 2526 58.61% 37.68 -2.006 34.13% -0.782 -0.7193
2 Fragment 255 62.35% 37.48 5.962 33.73% 0.59 0.3819
2 Heart 225 64.0% 47.27 -3.695 54.67% -0.316 -0.4271
2 Opposite Shores 3431 53.04% 44.41 -0.707 40.57% -0.853 -0.7776
2 Thematic 2225 37.17% 69.68 8.368 53.12% 0.005 0.1972
2 Top to Top 744 57.74% 45.64 2.551 48.79% -0.216 -0.2661
3 Archipelago 30 46.67% 67.9 18.831 56.67% 0.744 0.2403
3 Coastline 32 48.39% 47.22 6.54 50.0% -0.217 -0.9865
3 Other 294 60.88% 51.42 4.292 59.18% 0.369 -0.0331
3 Round (Default) 6372 51.27% 44.19 -0.619 44.73% -0.75 -1.036
3 Sunrise 18 50.0% 46.33 18.384 50.0% 0.607 0.7173
3 Thematic 175 43.68% 73.41 15.248 43.43% -0.061 -0.2796
4 Archipelago 16 50.0% 52.0 -11.117 43.75% -0.677 -0.9054
4 Coastline 31 9.68% 45.13 15.388 35.48% 0.042 -0.6803
4 Leaf 19 31.58% 48.26 0.0 42.11%
4 Other 183 52.2% 54.83 16.369 65.57% 1.903 0.4973
4 Thematic 1645 24.01% 67.64 0.109 68.45% -0.44 -0.7489
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3861 33.87% 48.06 -5.093 52.81% -1.326 -1.4541
5 Archipelago 7 57.14% 65.0 0.0 57.14%
5 Coastline 21 9.52% 58.95 20.669 80.95% 0.213 -0.3976
5 Other 103 38.54% 59.73 1.6 69.9% -0.363 -1.5209
5 Thematic 72 19.44% 77.07 33.822 81.94% 0.637 0.6598
6 Archipelago 49 4.08% 63.76 13.602 71.43% 0.577 -0.5866
6 Coastline 7 0.0% 4.86 -3.538 0.0% -0.137 -0.6542
6 Other 122 18.03% 58.48 20.575 67.21% 0.351 0.0557
6 Star 36 27.78% 48.17 -0.964 52.78% -0.461 -0.5131
6 Thematic 356 10.39% 44.42 -6.314 45.51% -0.963 -0.3584
6 Two Centers (Default) 419 10.74% 41.75 -3.932 39.86% -0.77 -1.1742
7 Archipelago 3 100.0% 84.0 0.0 33.33%
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 6633 38.43 4.839 32.78% 0.626 0.7653
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5562 41.86 6.225 38.12% 0.591 0.452
All Things Weaken 3792 36.52 1.359 29.19% 0.012 0.3051
Attenuated Essence 453 31.83 2.189 28.7% 0.001 0.0562
Back Against the Wall 5192 40.81 6.065 35.81% 0.648 0.6876
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 430 29.14 1.597 24.42% 0.292 0.4648
Burn Brightest Before the End 328 35.83 2.707 30.18% 0.13 0.2401
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6391 35.94 0.847 30.9% 0.064 0.3959
Downward Spiral 11677 37.65 3.708 30.38% 0.616 0.759
Erosion of Will 6528 37.03 1.432 29.84% 0.0 0.2185
Intensifying Exploitation 450 30.86 2.54 27.78% 0.322 0.5681
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1306 45.17 4.327 46.17% 0.694 0.1038
Memory Fades to Dust 11633 36.84 2.622 27.44% 0.427 0.6959
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3793 37.3 1.904 31.61% 0.291 0.4658
Promising Farmlands 6366 37.52 2.354 32.3% 0.355 0.6594
Shattered Fragments of Power 332 35.53 4.638 29.52% 0.374 0.457
Slow Dissolution of Will 461 31.68 3.79 26.46% 0.453 0.8107
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 817 49.09 5.891 53.49% 0.889 0.1241
The Border of Life and Death 81 37.11 4.189 38.27% 0.497 -0.0463
Thriving Communities 3986 37.35 4.265 32.19% 0.639 0.9401
Thriving Crops 175 33.79 5.11 32.57% 0.364 0.2742
Tipping Point 2148 36.92 0.0 30.4%
Unnatural Proliferation 4172 39.16 3.865 32.67% 0.287 0.4362
Untended Land Crumbles 3893 36.79 2.38 30.85% 0.266 0.5267

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 28723 55.97% 42.61 -0.765 41.22% -0.975 0.1693
B 31674 56.61% 42.41 -0.588 41.29% -0.883 0.1658
C 35413 58.12% 43.7 -0.236 43.93% -0.966 -0.0589
D 26188 59.27% 42.09 -0.899 41.65% -0.98 0.0807
E 18188 54.93% 40.83 -0.379 40.08% -0.716 0.1912
F 16135 56.12% 41.69 -2.051 40.69% -1.116 -0.0895
G 14644 55.16% 41.94 -0.75 40.92% -1.014 -0.0361
H 15289 52.06% 43.34 -0.517 43.71% -0.962 0.0417
East 8426 43.94% 56.64 3.191 41.13% -1.598 -0.5653
Northeast 5764 38.53% 56.6 5.335 43.53% 0.113 1.0941
Northwest 3453 30.2% 61.1 -1.179 54.36% -1.773 -0.7328
Southeast 1099 37.58% 49.77 -4.491 40.4% -1.147 -0.109
Southwest 833 25.45% 49.71 -3.93 47.78% -0.908 0.5095
West 5840 40.1% 58.9 5.528 46.78% -0.5 0.6315

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1217 0.0% 44.9 -5.957 43.8% -1.173 -0.5371
Not Using Events or Tokens 13327 58.82% 41.84 -1.095 28.36% -0.436 0.0654
Skip Initial Invader Actions 7736 15.46% 66.57 6.379 78.26% 0.667 -0.0548
Start of Game Growth 9214 18.73% 64.59 5.38 75.28% 0.807 0.4541
Unlimited Undo 19735 40.02% 56.05 -0.273 67.45% 0.228 0.1779
Using Tokens but Not Events 10152 51.77% 43.11 -1.353 40.15% -0.245 -0.1763

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 50324 16.98 7.48%
II 42211 30.61 24.04%
III 23122 34.74 56.32%
IV 34373 38.27 99.69%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.26 Win Model: 0.494
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 116496 60.19% 42.02 39.89%
2 19893 59.0% 43.09 39.27%
3 6837 51.41% 45.04 45.53%
4 5740 31.07% 53.77 57.47%
5 66 19.35% 51.64 56.06%
6 998 11.74% 46.43 47.7%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3747
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12554
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9535
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 33598
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 10961
Lose: Invader deck ran out 211
Lose: Adversary condition 36291
Win: Sacrifice victory 1175
Lose: Scenario condition 5538
Win: Scenario condition 592
Lose: Blight pool ran out 33978
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1850

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-02-15 04:01:07 (Pacific Time)