The Kingdom of England — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5951 21.72% 26.29 0.222 86.49% -0.129 -0.0146
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3287 44.12% 24.04 -0.217 79.34% -0.135 0.071
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2308 25.04% 26.3 0.234 89.51% 0.28 0.1751
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2870 15.18% 28.89 1.401 92.89% 0.394 0.0014
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2450 19.89% 28.17 1.036 92.12% 0.465 0.1742
Fractured Days Split the Sky 383 34.46% 26.31 0.393 75.46% -0.88 -0.5264
Heart of the Wildfire 3394 59.62% 21.15 -1.475 73.01% -0.227 0.1008
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5615 23.46% 26.85 0.339 89.99% 0.199 -0.1311
Lightning's Swift Strike 6126 41.0% 24.44 -0.151 80.31% -0.022 0.2144
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 803 28.21% 26.75 0.668 92.15% 0.55 0.2624
Many Minds Move as One 657 23.44% 27.61 0.8 91.32% 0.304 -0.2271
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5258 40.84% 24.65 -0.202 82.14% 0.105 -0.1092
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2160 28.46% 25.0 -0.35 85.65% -0.112 -0.0881
River Surges in Sunlight 6565 36.47% 25.96 0.426 76.1% -0.509 -0.3788
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3008 32.46% 24.43 -0.508 83.21% -0.152 -0.0374
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3896 50.9% 23.18 -0.663 74.46% -0.234 0.1831
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4046 23.48% 27.6 0.717 88.58% -0.0 -0.0973
Shifting Memory of Ages 98 33.67% 25.69 -0.018 92.86% 0.66 0.7514
Shroud of Silent Mist 333 42.77% 24.11 -0.348 87.99% 0.378 0.4077
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1262 24.46% 24.53 -0.675 90.49% 0.217 0.1691
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1679 28.43% 25.14 -0.432 82.07% -0.447 -0.2732
Thunderspeaker 5741 23.6% 28.17 1.191 87.98% 0.166 0.1985
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 848 59.88% 21.39 -1.446 78.89% 0.048 0.0303
Vital Strength of the Earth 4682 28.7% 22.54 -1.48 74.24% -0.867 -0.0129
Volcano Looming High 489 37.99% 22.77 -1.177 83.64% -0.195 -0.2139

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 926 41.42% 22.43 -1.398 74.62% -0.449 0.1204
Dahan Insurrection 4 910 21.31% 45.96 9.93 80.55% -0.587 -0.189
Despicable Theft 2 40 47.5% 32.35 3.915 77.5% -0.175 0.0943
Elemental Invocation 1 72 43.06% 26.43 0.615 80.56% -0.241 0.2236
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2280 8.94% 30.55 1.977 86.49% -0.581 -0.2141
Powers Long Forgotten 1 444 48.42% 28.29 1.365 73.65% -0.478 -0.0327
Rituals of Terror 3 608 49.17% 33.56 4.319 63.82% -0.834 -0.1893
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 334 69.46% 32.16 3.872 63.47% -0.487 0.1587
Second Wave 0 659 47.8% 22.64 -0.896 63.43% -1.14 -0.7114
The Great River 3 89 46.07% 30.38 3.037 57.3% -1.6 -0.1365
Ward the Shores 2 547 48.35% 28.0 1.233 59.6% -1.314 -0.2803

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 33310 37.84% 24.19 -0.539 80.98% -0.179 -0.0067
1 Thematic 3414 42.06% 31.04 2.06 75.28% -0.169 0.1928
2 Archipelago 3 0.0% 37.67 3.973 100.0% 0.069 0.2958
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7605 32.16% 24.54 -0.308 84.02% -0.037 0.0149
2 Coastline 685 33.78% 24.68 -0.189 84.96% 0.105 0.1122
2 Fragment 172 36.84% 22.79 -1.114 78.49% -0.434 -0.178
2 Heart 97 35.42% 23.85 -0.901 83.51% -0.198 -0.0556
2 Opposite Shores 1008 28.61% 25.5 -0.039 89.38% 0.312 0.4023
2 Thematic 739 37.5% 33.12 1.815 76.18% -0.008 -0.0492
2 Top to Top 153 33.55% 24.59 -0.242 84.97% 0.001 -0.0297
3 Coastline 7 0.0% 28.14 0.879 100.0% 0.292 0.0939
3 Other 84 30.49% 22.89 -0.98 82.14% -0.389 -0.2148
3 Round (Default) 3353 17.2% 27.23 0.418 91.53% 0.236 0.1621
3 Sunrise 10 20.0% 24.9 -0.473 90.0% -0.074 -0.3503
3 Thematic 135 38.52% 32.47 0.62 74.07% 0.062 -0.3399
4 Coastline 13 0.0% 29.77 0.942 92.31% 0.131 0.1815
4 Leaf 3 0.0% 30.0 1.398 100.0% 0.117 0.0886
4 Other 36 27.78% 24.86 -0.187 88.89% 0.025 -0.0887
4 Thematic 237 21.52% 31.71 -0.852 76.79% -0.3 -1.3841
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1093 22.37% 25.49 -0.071 85.09% -0.19 -0.2764
5 Other 14 50.0% 27.93 1.438 92.86% 0.476 -0.1275
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 36.0 2.416 100.0% 0.179 -2.5831

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1179 19.23 -3.718 63.95% -2.266 -0.1927
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1002 19.97 -3.328 64.87% -2.198 -0.2796
All Things Weaken 401 18.31 -4.135 60.85% -2.443 -0.2729
Back Against the Wall 1012 18.98 -3.891 59.58% -2.45 -0.3585
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1139 16.04 -5.359 56.8% -2.582 -0.3573
Downward Spiral 4286 17.15 -4.546 60.76% -2.095 -0.0725
Erosion of Will 1242 18.13 -4.292 58.53% -2.512 -0.3025
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 151 23.75 -1.314 92.72% -0.413 0.2733
Memory Fades to Dust 4310 16.84 -4.719 56.22% -2.278 -0.0592
Power Corrodes the Spirit 397 18.28 -4.061 66.25% -2.202 -0.1779
Promising Farmlands 1187 17.33 -4.679 60.74% -2.405 -0.1908
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 138 24.19 -1.133 95.65% 0.104 0.5138
Thriving Communities 362 16.74 -4.946 58.29% -2.572 -0.4774
Tipping Point 618 17.72 -4.584 59.71% -2.343 -0.1167
Unnatural Proliferation 376 17.77 -4.317 55.05% -2.691 -0.6041
Untended Land Crumbles 385 18.77 -3.898 67.27% -2.122 -0.0162

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12915 33.64% 24.45 -0.387 82.15% 0.179 -0.5814
B 13277 32.18% 24.9 -0.109 83.6% 0.27 -0.5866
C 13047 32.15% 24.87 -0.136 83.08% 0.233 -0.8562
D 12739 32.4% 24.83 -0.12 83.72% 0.319 -0.5311
E 2597 29.66% 25.45 0.063 86.79% 0.262 -0.703
F 4584 30.12% 25.08 -0.116 86.37% 0.279 -0.6346
G 4338 31.04% 24.78 -0.255 85.52% 0.216 -0.6899
H 4488 30.4% 25.31 -0.015 86.65% 0.331 -0.5834
East 1376 36.45% 33.2 2.208 76.31% 0.132 -0.5174
Northeast 1613 36.94% 32.39 1.876 75.82% 0.003 -0.596
Northwest 1309 36.27% 32.31 1.741 77.23% 0.231 -0.4389
Southeast 230 34.35% 31.1 1.113 80.43% 0.179 -0.5275
Southwest 199 36.18% 25.19 -2.126 71.86% -0.458 -0.7314
West 1306 40.65% 31.42 1.229 72.36% -0.109 -0.508

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 618 0.0% 22.92 -2.055 72.98% -1.747 0.3096
Not Using Events or Tokens 13112 43.13% 23.16 -0.802 74.93% -0.446 -0.2297
Skip Initial Invader Actions 742 10.29% 33.69 2.649 93.4% 0.589 -0.0978
Start of Game Growth 1212 13.28% 31.87 2.053 93.07% 0.463 -0.0073
Unlimited Undo 2951 28.27% 26.99 0.54 87.33% 0.272 -0.1475
Using Tokens but Not Events 5665 20.8% 27.07 0.459 88.95% -0.008 -0.0601

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4725 22.35 39.79%
II 18276 30.84 76.69%
III 19258 34.35 88.5%
IV 9913 37.52 99.06%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.021 Win Model: -0.141
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 36778 38.24% 24.83 80.46%
2 10435 32.38% 25.21 83.97%
3 3575 18.22% 27.32 90.71%
4 1384 22.32% 26.61 83.82%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1369
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13002
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10010
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7528
Lose: Invader deck ran out 555
Lose: Adversary condition 2442
Win: Sacrifice victory 217
Lose: Scenario condition 402
Win: Scenario condition 1058
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5635
Lose: Spirit destroyed 380

The Kingdom of England — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3137 25.8% 34.91 0.633 84.03% 0.004 0.1182
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1712 54.31% 32.3 0.02 75.53% 0.064 0.2705
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1263 33.49% 34.36 0.483 85.35% 0.342 0.2363
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1785 21.16% 37.72 1.781 87.96% 0.284 -0.1086
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1609 28.59% 36.7 1.568 88.75% 0.594 0.3029
Fractured Days Split the Sky 226 42.04% 34.46 0.878 72.12% -0.549 -0.1954
Heart of the Wildfire 2054 66.0% 28.74 -1.471 69.28% -0.091 0.2373
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3492 36.64% 33.85 0.263 84.08% 0.236 -0.0937
Lightning's Swift Strike 3530 41.07% 33.44 0.413 78.58% 0.068 0.304
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 570 42.53% 33.15 0.235 82.28% 0.21 -0.0777
Many Minds Move as One 438 28.54% 35.22 0.821 84.25% 0.048 -0.4826
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2745 52.23% 31.68 -0.377 75.85% 0.131 -0.084
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1305 40.32% 31.77 -0.731 77.09% -0.199 -0.1747
River Surges in Sunlight 3589 46.23% 32.03 -0.397 67.09% -0.631 -0.5001
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1874 35.68% 33.38 0.034 82.66% 0.117 0.2316
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1995 60.47% 29.52 -1.354 63.66% -0.445 -0.0283
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2157 33.88% 35.0 0.775 82.48% 0.049 -0.0484
Shifting Memory of Ages 76 46.05% 31.67 -0.282 85.53% 0.292 0.383
Shroud of Silent Mist 240 52.72% 31.21 -0.432 80.0% 0.142 0.1715
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 862 26.37% 32.79 -0.454 86.54% 0.17 0.1214
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 905 48.61% 29.82 -1.768 64.42% -0.793 -0.6184
Thunderspeaker 3214 31.86% 36.53 1.562 84.01% 0.294 0.3266
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 550 67.28% 28.25 -1.626 73.45% 0.042 0.024
Vital Strength of the Earth 2514 38.4% 29.87 -1.734 68.5% -0.683 0.1705
Volcano Looming High 311 47.06% 30.81 -0.892 78.14% -0.075 -0.0932

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 675 44.97% 30.44 -1.312 72.0% -0.321 0.2484
Dahan Insurrection 4 600 26.25% 53.49 9.941 77.17% -0.456 -0.0582
Despicable Theft 2 26 57.69% 34.81 1.476 61.54% -0.678 -0.4088
Elemental Invocation 1 44 56.82% 31.14 -0.45 72.73% -0.378 0.0861
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1267 12.22% 37.65 1.609 79.08% -0.718 -0.3516
Powers Long Forgotten 1 376 61.33% 32.79 0.229 62.77% -0.547 -0.1017
Rituals of Terror 3 283 54.42% 41.63 4.343 63.6% -0.589 0.0558
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 174 72.41% 40.12 3.792 63.22% -0.389 0.2565
Second Wave 0 2511 46.74% 32.86 0.263 69.26% -0.649 -0.2198
The Great River 3 49 69.39% 33.08 1.281 48.98% -1.161 0.3021
Ward the Shores 2 349 51.16% 36.19 1.532 61.32% -0.879 0.155

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 17953 43.71% 31.77 -0.573 76.52% -0.426 -0.2537
1 Thematic 2569 48.49% 37.33 1.617 71.51% -0.625 -0.2634
2 Archipelago 2 100.0% 33.5 2.04 100.0% 0.37 0.5967
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3948 41.12% 31.78 -0.391 78.6% -0.088 -0.037
2 Coastline 429 39.62% 32.12 -0.165 80.42% 0.087 0.0939
2 Fragment 120 52.1% 30.63 -0.714 77.5% 0.056 0.312
2 Heart 74 33.78% 32.22 -0.513 81.08% -0.19 -0.0477
2 Opposite Shores 841 38.81% 33.22 0.092 82.28% 0.173 0.2636
2 Thematic 698 44.73% 39.45 1.589 73.78% -0.339 -0.3803
2 Top to Top 132 44.7% 31.26 -0.578 77.27% -0.104 -0.1347
3 Coastline 7 28.57% 39.0 2.952 100.0% 0.918 0.7201
3 Other 69 33.82% 33.71 0.427 85.51% 0.291 0.4653
3 Round (Default) 1734 27.82% 34.26 0.267 84.37% 0.255 0.1813
3 Sunrise 6 33.33% 33.17 -1.186 66.67% -0.553 -0.8297
3 Thematic 172 39.53% 38.15 0.391 73.84% -0.088 -0.4902
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 59.0 11.269 100.0% 0.048 0.5561
4 Coastline 5 40.0% 28.4 -3.361 40.0% -0.983 -0.9327
4 Leaf 8 12.5% 34.5 0.39 87.5% 0.294 0.2661
4 Other 21 47.62% 32.52 -0.575 76.19% 0.146 0.0321
4 Thematic 168 41.32% 41.4 0.524 75.0% 0.082 -1.0028
4 Trapezoid (Default) 600 32.94% 33.81 0.063 80.5% 0.396 0.309
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 15.0 -8.575 0.0% -0.551 0.3256
5 Other 8 37.5% 38.25 3.346 100.0% 0.717 0.1138
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 45.0 2.339 100.0% 0.078 -2.6843

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 941 25.29 -4.731 56.54% -2.198 -0.1249
Aid From Lesser Spirits 758 27.5 -3.598 59.89% -2.022 -0.104
All Things Weaken 302 25.28 -4.626 57.28% -2.134 0.0367
Back Against the Wall 753 25.49 -4.534 55.38% -2.257 -0.1657
Disintegrating Ecosystem 858 22.92 -5.966 54.08% -2.287 -0.0625
Downward Spiral 2570 24.69 -4.891 59.26% -1.902 0.1206
Erosion of Will 863 24.86 -4.935 54.92% -2.255 -0.0459
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 122 32.05 -1.093 87.7% -0.511 0.1758
Memory Fades to Dust 2528 23.98 -5.265 53.64% -2.14 0.0788
Power Corrodes the Spirit 306 26.24 -4.13 63.73% -1.904 0.1201
Promising Farmlands 889 23.81 -5.362 55.01% -2.242 -0.0276
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 100 33.63 -0.378 94.0% 0.22 0.6302
Thriving Communities 270 24.81 -4.845 58.15% -2.068 0.0269
Tipping Point 493 24.87 -5.06 55.98% -2.2 0.0262
Unnatural Proliferation 330 24.67 -5.022 52.42% -2.36 -0.273
Untended Land Crumbles 323 25.29 -4.596 60.37% -2.051 0.055

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6822 41.53% 31.86 -0.416 77.19% 0.156 -0.6048
B 7121 39.36% 32.22 -0.266 78.01% 0.139 -0.718
C 7145 39.04% 32.56 -0.083 79.15% 0.231 -0.858
D 6914 41.29% 32.22 -0.158 78.33% 0.255 -0.5947
E 1615 38.55% 32.82 -0.067 80.8% 0.173 -0.7919
F 2518 37.73% 32.77 -0.1 80.74% 0.2 -0.7145
G 2461 40.92% 32.29 -0.27 79.52% 0.186 -0.7196
H 2628 37.12% 32.92 -0.069 81.05% 0.198 -0.7161
East 1187 43.17% 40.46 2.358 75.23% 0.397 -0.2525
Northeast 1253 44.76% 39.02 1.646 73.34% 0.236 -0.3625
Northwest 1048 44.08% 39.21 1.695 74.24% 0.372 -0.2981
Southeast 227 45.37% 35.92 0.257 71.37% 0.158 -0.5485
Southwest 211 54.03% 30.64 -2.437 64.93% -0.165 -0.438
West 1088 49.95% 38.32 1.114 69.85% 0.087 -0.3113

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 309 0.0% 30.41 -2.63 67.96% -1.772 0.2846
Not Using Events or Tokens 5921 46.71% 31.06 -0.704 71.29% -0.318 -0.1023
Skip Initial Invader Actions 423 10.14% 46.26 4.197 95.27% 1.08 0.3929
Start of Game Growth 648 13.64% 43.07 2.923 92.28% 0.344 -0.1259
Unlimited Undo 1942 34.67% 34.59 0.542 83.99% 0.266 -0.1539
Using Tokens but Not Events 3018 29.24% 34.84 0.663 84.29% 0.133 0.081

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2526 22.35 29.37%
II 11139 30.84 67.84%
III 10005 34.35 86.42%
IV 5898 37.52 99.14%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.062 Win Model: -0.378
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 20554 44.31% 32.47 75.92%
2 6244 41.26% 32.84 78.68%
3 1969 29.09% 34.61 83.39%
4 801 34.85% 35.35 79.03%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 524
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6599
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5341
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4522
Lose: Invader deck ran out 249
Lose: Adversary condition 1860
Win: Sacrifice victory 144
Lose: Scenario condition 296
Win: Scenario condition 674
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4158
Lose: Spirit destroyed 213

The Kingdom of England — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3774 34.13% 35.46 1.157 75.62% 0.185 0.299
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2320 67.14% 31.24 -0.393 61.98% -0.141 0.0648
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1777 41.09% 35.34 0.953 77.83% 0.285 0.1794
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2339 33.33% 37.55 1.902 79.78% 0.296 -0.0966
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2094 42.53% 36.7 1.595 80.09% 0.464 0.1737
Fractured Days Split the Sky 330 48.63% 36.93 1.745 70.3% -0.184 0.1696
Heart of the Wildfire 2816 84.34% 23.24 -4.222 44.71% -0.701 -0.3728
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7819 34.82% 35.59 1.061 79.61% 0.222 -0.1085
Lightning's Swift Strike 4412 59.03% 31.35 -0.554 63.46% -0.124 0.1119
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 924 55.6% 32.63 -0.147 71.54% 0.006 -0.2813
Many Minds Move as One 693 33.82% 36.67 1.3 78.5% 0.052 -0.4792
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4014 60.75% 33.26 0.627 70.98% 0.432 0.2173
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1651 49.27% 32.95 -0.127 70.87% -0.001 0.0233
River Surges in Sunlight 4268 58.44% 31.64 -0.48 55.9% -0.545 -0.4142
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2793 45.1% 33.61 0.195 71.89% 0.04 0.1547
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1870 79.58% 25.57 -3.014 43.64% -0.7 -0.2829
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2495 45.15% 35.12 0.904 73.79% 0.099 0.0013
Shifting Memory of Ages 156 59.62% 34.24 0.87 82.05% 0.64 0.7309
Shroud of Silent Mist 366 69.32% 30.86 -0.887 67.49% -0.07 -0.0405
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1334 36.39% 33.98 0.129 81.93% 0.395 0.3468
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 999 64.76% 27.35 -2.764 50.55% -0.841 -0.6671
Thunderspeaker 3451 49.15% 34.67 0.966 69.17% 0.117 0.1494
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 933 81.1% 29.2 -1.285 66.88% 0.162 0.1439
Vital Strength of the Earth 3660 42.38% 31.39 -0.847 65.46% -0.382 0.472
Volcano Looming High 678 65.58% 30.18 -1.173 69.03% -0.021 -0.0396

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 727 51.76% 29.86 -1.471 59.15% -0.386 0.1832
Dahan Insurrection 4 530 41.83% 49.61 8.056 61.13% -0.481 -0.0832
Despicable Theft 2 21 80.95% 34.14 1.172 52.38% -0.368 -0.0986
Elemental Invocation 1 53 64.15% 32.77 -0.493 60.38% -0.445 0.0192
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2274 14.48% 38.72 2.134 74.8% -0.406 -0.0391
Powers Long Forgotten 1 270 75.84% 30.23 -0.939 48.52% -0.671 -0.2257
Rituals of Terror 3 205 61.76% 38.94 3.227 48.29% -0.783 -0.1382
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 135 82.22% 37.64 2.747 50.37% -0.406 0.239
Second Wave 0 1477 58.79% 31.69 -0.589 55.11% -0.784 -0.3549
The Great River 3 39 48.72% 36.1 1.187 43.59% -1.525 -0.0615
Ward the Shores 2 330 52.74% 36.04 1.017 50.3% -1.11 -0.0765

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 27771 49.95% 32.63 -0.073 70.47% 0.011 0.1838
1 Thematic 2190 60.02% 34.62 0.724 55.25% -0.237 0.1244
2 Archipelago 2 0.0% 46.0 4.5 100.0% 0.263 0.49
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5367 55.18% 31.68 -0.344 67.58% -0.048 0.0037
2 Coastline 579 45.64% 34.27 0.62 76.17% 0.264 0.2711
2 Fragment 128 51.97% 31.0 -0.85 63.28% -0.321 -0.0648
2 Heart 79 55.7% 29.82 -1.468 63.29% -0.387 -0.245
2 Opposite Shores 1199 48.7% 33.26 -0.009 70.81% -0.043 0.0475
2 Thematic 749 58.12% 34.94 0.241 54.21% -0.208 -0.2496
2 Top to Top 171 60.23% 31.35 -0.672 67.84% -0.138 -0.1691
3 Archipelago 2 100.0% 33.5 1.066 50.0% -0.425 0.6571
3 Coastline 4 50.0% 28.5 -2.031 25.0% -0.603 -0.8016
3 Other 81 40.74% 36.48 1.311 82.72% 0.267 0.4413
3 Round (Default) 1937 47.91% 32.83 -0.06 70.37% -0.035 -0.1086
3 Sunrise 9 44.44% 36.89 2.201 88.89% 0.613 0.3363
3 Thematic 147 63.27% 36.89 0.933 51.7% 0.2 -0.2022
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 47.0 5.486 100.0% 0.061 0.5696
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 42.33 1.435 66.67% -0.188 -0.138
4 Leaf 3 66.67% 21.0 -4.399 33.33% -0.704 -0.7324
4 Other 42 64.29% 32.88 0.216 73.81% 0.247 0.1329
4 Thematic 233 47.79% 38.18 0.558 59.23% 0.341 -0.743
4 Trapezoid (Default) 956 40.71% 34.36 0.266 70.92% -0.107 -0.1933
5 Other 20 40.0% 41.2 3.187 100.0% 1.2 0.5962

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1700 26.93 -3.773 53.18% -1.618 0.4547
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1396 29.51 -2.474 58.88% -1.372 0.5464
All Things Weaken 573 26.68 -3.875 53.93% -1.688 0.4819
Back Against the Wall 1316 27.94 -3.331 53.8% -1.629 0.4622
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1534 24.55 -4.996 50.78% -1.715 0.5097
Downward Spiral 3864 25.45 -4.315 51.11% -1.498 0.5254
Erosion of Will 1522 26.15 -4.19 50.53% -1.759 0.45
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 240 35.1 -0.069 85.0% -0.177 0.5091
Memory Fades to Dust 4043 25.21 -4.429 48.58% -1.598 0.6203
Power Corrodes the Spirit 569 27.19 -3.676 57.47% -1.57 0.4539
Promising Farmlands 1589 25.82 -4.336 52.49% -1.655 0.5589
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 157 35.31 0.004 82.8% -0.402 0.0077
Thriving Communities 554 24.66 -5.068 49.28% -1.943 0.1517
Tipping Point 849 24.84 -4.863 47.7% -1.822 0.4037
Unnatural Proliferation 641 27.76 -3.473 54.91% -1.683 0.4035
Untended Land Crumbles 533 26.35 -4.128 55.16% -1.651 0.4547

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9089 52.88% 31.84 -0.396 67.19% 0.3 -0.46
B 9787 51.89% 32.14 -0.215 68.16% 0.333 -0.5243
C 10735 47.93% 33.2 0.243 70.91% 0.432 -0.6567
D 8912 51.49% 32.24 -0.166 68.97% 0.39 -0.4605
E 2527 46.82% 34.06 0.369 75.82% 0.434 -0.5314
F 4223 48.62% 32.91 -0.134 71.7% 0.314 -0.6
G 3777 51.04% 32.84 -0.125 72.15% 0.384 -0.5216
H 4139 44.47% 33.89 0.23 74.12% 0.378 -0.5365
East 1197 57.0% 37.49 1.649 58.31% 0.415 -0.2346
Northeast 1239 56.63% 36.2 0.885 54.88% 0.003 -0.5961
Northwest 979 58.43% 35.37 0.558 55.46% 0.198 -0.4716
Southeast 206 50.0% 35.3 0.498 59.71% 0.222 -0.484
Southwest 194 56.54% 27.12 -3.83 44.85% -0.553 -0.8256
West 1097 60.31% 35.1 0.236 52.05% -0.064 -0.463

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 321 0.0% 29.47 -2.971 53.58% -1.611 0.4448
Not Using Events or Tokens 6195 60.19% 29.02 -1.652 55.32% -0.532 -0.3165
Skip Initial Invader Actions 458 15.94% 46.31 3.849 87.99% 0.179 -0.5075
Start of Game Growth 689 17.12% 44.84 3.825 88.82% 0.971 0.501
Unlimited Undo 2836 49.65% 34.71 0.766 75.21% 0.318 -0.1022
Using Tokens but Not Events 4210 41.59% 34.88 0.86 77.84% 0.345 0.2922

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5647 22.35 8.41%
II 13157 30.84 55.03%
III 13924 34.35 87.19%
IV 8945 37.52 99.32%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.003 Win Model: -0.315
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 30017 50.66% 32.78 69.38%
2 8260 53.93% 32.36 67.34%
3 2155 48.92% 33.16 69.33%
4 1241 42.5% 35.12 68.98%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 338
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9351
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5166
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7065
Lose: Invader deck ran out 303
Lose: Adversary condition 4423
Win: Sacrifice victory 161
Lose: Scenario condition 557
Win: Scenario condition 489
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7273
Lose: Spirit destroyed 378

The Kingdom of England — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4233 44.62% 37.92 1.274 60.83% 0.223 0.3375
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2222 76.23% 32.67 -0.857 46.13% -0.22 -0.0143
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1799 59.82% 35.88 0.158 57.98% 0.11 0.0045
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2243 43.88% 40.11 2.1 66.47% 0.329 -0.0642
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2556 52.29% 39.64 1.947 66.12% 0.43 0.1396
Fractured Days Split the Sky 428 56.07% 37.84 1.02 51.64% -0.344 0.0096
Heart of the Wildfire 2694 87.04% 23.93 -5.384 27.47% -0.994 -0.6658
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5968 52.71% 38.0 1.273 62.82% 0.245 -0.0847
Lightning's Swift Strike 4785 67.71% 33.24 -0.849 49.07% -0.132 0.1045
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1139 71.4% 34.27 -0.61 54.87% -0.06 -0.3478
Many Minds Move as One 623 44.86% 40.97 2.489 69.66% 0.408 -0.1232
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4832 66.59% 36.59 1.1 58.98% 0.463 0.2488
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1772 58.67% 33.98 -0.82 51.81% -0.208 -0.1838
River Surges in Sunlight 4339 64.25% 34.51 -0.455 45.08% -0.409 -0.2782
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3506 52.28% 37.64 1.008 61.29% 0.23 0.3454
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1482 81.89% 26.7 -3.865 28.27% -0.928 -0.511
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2486 56.54% 36.14 0.291 55.39% -0.039 -0.1368
Shifting Memory of Ages 235 66.81% 36.71 0.646 61.7% 0.185 0.2757
Shroud of Silent Mist 361 75.83% 33.62 -0.591 53.46% -0.025 0.0047
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1953 41.62% 38.01 0.855 72.61% 0.496 0.4474
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 847 72.24% 30.36 -2.565 39.91% -0.571 -0.3965
Thunderspeaker 3912 63.51% 36.63 0.835 56.01% 0.177 0.21
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1061 85.71% 33.69 -0.373 57.49% 0.255 0.2373
Vital Strength of the Earth 2772 59.63% 31.21 -1.917 41.81% -0.523 0.3309
Volcano Looming High 807 76.35% 33.22 -0.876 56.63% 0.091 0.0724

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 513 54.34% 35.5 -0.558 53.8% -0.171 0.3982
Dahan Insurrection 4 515 52.78% 48.93 6.744 45.44% -0.381 0.0173
Despicable Theft 2 8 50.0% 45.0 4.101 50.0% -0.141 0.1281
Elemental Invocation 1 57 66.67% 34.95 -0.78 47.37% -0.586 -0.1216
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2138 20.53% 40.62 1.821 59.92% -0.232 0.1346
Powers Long Forgotten 1 204 82.84% 32.19 -1.213 34.31% -0.671 -0.2264
Rituals of Terror 3 137 71.32% 41.88 3.343 42.34% -0.428 0.2167
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 56 92.86% 36.75 1.196 32.14% -0.588 0.0572
Second Wave 0 672 60.75% 35.36 -0.288 46.88% -0.554 -0.1252
The Great River 3 26 65.38% 31.65 -0.878 23.08% -1.231 0.2325
Ward the Shores 2 170 69.23% 38.01 1.12 40.59% -0.662 0.3716

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 25845 64.5% 34.59 -0.148 55.39% -0.349 -0.1764
1 Thematic 1541 62.2% 38.98 1.25 48.54% -0.366 -0.0039
2 Archipelago 4 50.0% 53.5 8.857 75.0% -0.044 0.1829
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5869 63.19% 34.39 -0.184 53.35% -0.234 -0.1824
2 Coastline 681 63.86% 35.43 0.099 56.83% -0.213 -0.206
2 Fragment 144 66.67% 33.01 -0.826 50.0% -0.346 -0.0896
2 Heart 72 70.42% 33.78 -0.949 52.78% -0.452 -0.31
2 Opposite Shores 1231 60.46% 34.9 -0.291 53.45% -0.339 -0.2481
2 Thematic 492 65.5% 36.68 0.259 39.84% -0.058 -0.0997
2 Top to Top 227 56.89% 37.51 1.192 60.79% 0.025 -0.0056
3 Coastline 9 33.33% 36.89 0.632 55.56% -0.117 -0.3149
3 Other 98 47.96% 40.58 1.682 70.41% -0.134 0.04
3 Round (Default) 2262 55.94% 35.32 0.042 54.77% -0.064 -0.1373
3 Sunrise 12 66.67% 44.08 4.922 75.0% 0.798 0.5215
3 Thematic 95 63.16% 38.24 0.661 43.16% 0.508 0.1065
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 61.0 4.209 100.0% 0.049 0.0988
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 19.0 -10.031 0.0% -0.88 -0.9079
4 Other 60 56.67% 35.68 -0.651 56.67% -0.378 -0.4918
4 Snake 4 75.0% 32.5 -0.289 50.0% 0.171 0.2253
4 Thematic 287 51.57% 37.34 -0.598 39.72% 0.717 -0.367
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1368 47.54% 37.89 0.193 58.19% 0.015 -0.0718
5 Other 11 40.0% 52.36 5.044 100.0% 0.89 0.2862
5 Thematic 3 100.0% 45.33 4.84 66.67% 0.814 -1.9484

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1952 30.32 -3.168 43.08% -1.08 0.9931
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1570 32.94 -1.879 48.41% -0.866 1.0516
All Things Weaken 785 31.25 -2.77 47.52% -1.012 1.158
Back Against the Wall 1569 31.04 -2.798 43.08% -1.082 1.0095
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1849 27.82 -4.468 40.72% -1.192 1.0323
Downward Spiral 4534 29.59 -3.359 44.57% -0.872 1.1509
Erosion of Will 1924 29.95 -3.36 42.2% -1.129 1.0803
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 242 39.49 1.009 72.73% -0.033 0.653
Memory Fades to Dust 4511 29.46 -3.431 42.54% -0.964 1.2547
Power Corrodes the Spirit 744 30.55 -3.119 47.72% -1.003 1.0213
Promising Farmlands 1962 29.51 -3.594 43.88% -1.078 1.1358
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 178 39.88 1.233 75.28% 0.08 0.4896
Thriving Communities 741 29.3 -3.723 45.07% -1.112 0.9833
Tipping Point 1030 28.7 -3.943 41.17% -1.138 1.0886
Unnatural Proliferation 834 32.4 -2.157 50.48% -0.883 1.2036
Untended Land Crumbles 726 30.29 -3.213 46.97% -1.009 1.0969

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9567 61.87% 34.71 -0.165 53.37% 0.586 -0.1741
B 10154 62.11% 34.4 -0.302 52.9% 0.564 -0.2933
C 10859 62.01% 35.2 0.208 55.4% 0.69 -0.3985
D 9288 62.09% 34.72 -0.175 54.34% 0.618 -0.2325
E 2890 57.79% 36.93 0.562 61.66% 0.699 -0.2664
F 4392 61.02% 35.42 -0.035 57.74% 0.646 -0.2685
G 3831 60.31% 35.04 -0.282 56.04% 0.544 -0.3613
H 4373 56.06% 36.43 0.351 59.41% 0.634 -0.2807
East 911 61.29% 38.69 0.977 43.14% 0.39 -0.2593
Northeast 921 57.93% 39.14 0.985 43.76% 0.26 -0.3393
Northwest 807 59.12% 37.89 0.366 42.75% 0.312 -0.3575
Southeast 175 59.65% 37.5 0.003 49.14% 0.277 -0.4294
Southwest 185 59.22% 32.92 -2.631 42.7% -0.085 -0.3583
West 859 61.29% 36.85 -0.069 39.81% 0.102 -0.2966

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 311 0.0% 36.84 -1.298 51.13% -0.892 1.164
Not Using Events or Tokens 5808 67.04% 32.24 -1.23 46.16% -0.376 -0.1605
Skip Initial Invader Actions 725 14.2% 53.7 5.88 86.21% 0.938 0.2514
Start of Game Growth 1028 19.12% 50.7 4.754 82.0% 0.581 0.1111
Unlimited Undo 3435 58.97% 38.49 1.448 64.08% 0.368 -0.0524
Using Tokens but Not Events 3333 55.92% 36.29 0.271 59.38% 0.024 -0.0287

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6590 22.35 3.29%
II 12099 30.84 22.98%
III 11986 34.35 78.71%
IV 9643 37.52 99.33%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.028 Win Model: -0.809
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 27454 64.33% 34.86 55.06%
2 8703 63.01% 34.72 52.99%
3 2449 55.96% 35.59 54.72%
4 1712 48.37% 37.73 54.91%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 167
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7393
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2022
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7740
Lose: Invader deck ran out 234
Lose: Adversary condition 7669
Win: Sacrifice victory 190
Lose: Scenario condition 743
Win: Scenario condition 302
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9177
Lose: Spirit destroyed 486

The Kingdom of England — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3993 40.92% 44.02 0.618 65.36% 0.086 0.2001
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2126 72.16% 38.6 -1.19 52.21% -0.139 0.0668
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1743 61.37% 38.7 -1.75 54.22% -0.214 -0.3193
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2280 42.88% 45.56 1.394 70.39% 0.318 -0.075
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4375 31.58% 50.85 3.883 82.06% 0.877 0.5862
Fractured Days Split the Sky 511 45.49% 47.26 1.969 65.17% -0.071 0.2831
Heart of the Wildfire 2433 75.58% 32.31 -4.662 38.27% -0.752 -0.4239
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10597 32.81% 48.55 2.586 76.18% 0.481 0.1508
Lightning's Swift Strike 4364 57.9% 39.38 -1.463 53.09% -0.314 -0.078
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1318 57.25% 42.6 -0.166 64.8% 0.088 -0.1993
Many Minds Move as One 681 38.38% 47.9 2.287 76.65% 0.512 -0.0189
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4129 61.41% 41.9 0.42 61.61% 0.381 0.1665
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1844 53.75% 39.06 -1.886 54.01% -0.375 -0.3509
River Surges in Sunlight 3729 57.88% 39.84 -1.285 48.86% -0.521 -0.3906
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4885 40.97% 45.62 1.242 70.62% 0.321 0.4356
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1076 73.74% 32.47 -4.502 34.48% -0.953 -0.5356
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4184 31.92% 48.84 1.599 73.14% 0.166 0.0692
Shifting Memory of Ages 239 60.67% 40.54 -0.989 59.41% -0.223 -0.132
Shroud of Silent Mist 318 70.35% 40.7 -0.469 61.95% 0.171 0.2008
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2300 38.32% 42.46 -0.102 74.91% 0.419 0.3705
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 748 62.53% 36.61 -3.037 45.59% -0.703 -0.5284
Thunderspeaker 4770 45.13% 44.97 -0.043 63.98% -0.091 -0.0582
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1546 81.67% 41.04 0.148 66.36% 0.545 0.527
Vital Strength of the Earth 2101 53.69% 36.55 -3.055 45.17% -0.784 0.0697
Volcano Looming High 1144 72.66% 36.87 -2.076 54.37% -0.13 -0.1487

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 402 54.94% 36.45 -2.566 48.26% -0.521 0.0481
Dahan Insurrection 4 393 51.92% 52.69 5.959 44.02% -0.486 -0.0881
Despicable Theft 2 6 100.0% 36.0 -1.231 33.33% -0.179 0.0904
Elemental Invocation 1 44 72.73% 42.95 1.256 61.36% 0.256 0.72
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5074 10.07% 53.54 3.648 80.17% 0.082 0.4488
Powers Long Forgotten 1 130 75.38% 35.93 -2.017 33.85% -0.708 -0.263
Rituals of Terror 3 122 68.03% 44.54 2.377 35.25% -0.494 0.1508
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 97 90.72% 35.09 -1.657 21.65% -0.991 -0.3463
Second Wave 0 366 61.92% 36.42 -2.692 41.8% -0.963 -0.5341
The Great River 3 32 81.25% 34.16 -0.861 21.88% -0.96 0.504
Ward the Shores 2 140 66.91% 40.18 -0.186 38.57% -0.781 0.2526

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 28184 54.68% 41.47 -0.125 62.39% -0.099 0.0733
1 Thematic 1051 63.4% 39.13 -1.056 38.44% -0.541 -0.1796
2 Archipelago 3 66.67% 29.67 -5.33 0.0% -1.28 -1.0528
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5885 57.19% 41.32 -0.411 59.76% -0.027 0.024
2 Coastline 990 49.44% 44.91 1.284 69.7% 0.294 0.3011
2 Fragment 119 60.68% 35.48 -2.891 45.38% -0.731 -0.4745
2 Heart 123 54.47% 43.72 0.581 63.41% -0.14 0.002
2 Opposite Shores 1003 59.86% 38.92 -1.44 52.44% -0.278 -0.1874
2 Thematic 303 64.69% 42.35 0.19 44.55% 0.236 0.1941
2 Top to Top 198 58.25% 39.71 -0.834 58.08% -0.15 -0.181
3 Coastline 17 81.25% 28.59 -3.558 17.65% -0.668 -0.8663
3 Other 121 56.67% 43.77 0.512 70.25% -0.021 0.1533
3 Round (Default) 2100 51.91% 41.79 -0.147 62.19% 0.174 0.1001
3 Sunrise 14 50.0% 37.29 -2.839 50.0% -0.597 -0.8731
3 Thematic 63 61.9% 41.76 -0.112 44.44% 0.729 0.3269
4 Archipelago 3 66.67% 48.67 2.244 66.67% 0.063 0.5718
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 30.0 -11.787 0.0% -0.723 -0.6733
4 Leaf 10 70.0% 40.0 -1.602 60.0% -0.069 -0.0973
4 Other 65 61.54% 43.69 0.243 67.69% 0.103 -0.0111
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 60.0 6.523 100.0% 0.165 -0.6896
4 Thematic 269 51.3% 49.67 1.862 58.74% 1.547 0.4623
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3175 18.44% 51.33 1.566 77.89% 0.433 0.3467
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 46.0 5.001 100.0% 0.352 1.229
5 Other 36 16.67% 57.78 6.088 100.0% 1.548 0.945
6 Other 1 0.0% 89.0 15.108 100.0% 0.008 -0.1547

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1896 34.42 -4.487 45.25% -1.337 0.7358
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1491 37.18 -3.148 50.77% -1.131 0.7873
All Things Weaken 778 35.01 -4.145 48.71% -1.287 0.8831
Back Against the Wall 1466 35.76 -3.901 46.79% -1.294 0.7975
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1865 32.02 -5.676 43.32% -1.428 0.7968
Downward Spiral 3534 32.94 -5.264 43.6% -1.367 0.6562
Erosion of Will 1842 33.92 -4.8 43.59% -1.448 0.7613
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 251 41.87 -1.157 66.53% -0.621 0.0658
Memory Fades to Dust 3615 33.01 -5.247 42.49% -1.409 0.81
Power Corrodes the Spirit 761 34.93 -4.171 50.46% -1.23 0.7938
Promising Farmlands 1816 33.19 -5.099 44.93% -1.367 0.8473
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 226 45.53 0.765 78.76% -0.017 0.3932
Thriving Communities 784 34.68 -4.435 50.13% -1.276 0.8189
Tipping Point 932 31.37 -5.889 38.73% -1.546 0.6801
Unnatural Proliferation 804 36.21 -3.557 50.87% -1.211 0.8756
Untended Land Crumbles 828 34.61 -4.345 49.28% -1.276 0.8301

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11112 47.34% 42.85 -0.295 62.4% 0.713 -0.0479
B 12628 45.4% 44.15 0.557 65.48% 0.872 0.0146
C 12986 47.06% 44.11 0.637 66.26% 0.928 -0.1606
D 9592 52.45% 41.89 -0.197 61.79% 0.81 -0.0401
E 3516 49.27% 43.85 0.6 67.83% 0.9 -0.0656
F 5465 46.52% 43.65 0.228 66.17% 0.776 -0.1376
G 4783 48.72% 43.19 0.041 65.15% 0.765 -0.1403
H 4821 47.37% 44.2 0.43 67.56% 0.841 -0.0734
East 709 58.46% 45.43 1.016 48.94% 0.528 -0.1218
Northeast 712 58.23% 43.85 0.638 45.22% 0.37 -0.2289
Northwest 610 63.44% 42.85 0.095 44.26% 0.565 -0.1048
Southeast 92 57.61% 45.02 0.87 57.61% 0.554 -0.1518
Southwest 107 60.75% 38.48 -2.805 50.47% 0.223 -0.05
West 584 59.25% 44.21 0.011 47.77% 0.237 -0.162

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 198 0.0% 38.74 -3.296 48.99% -1.165 0.8909
Not Using Events or Tokens 5048 51.99% 40.85 -0.153 57.37% -0.06 0.156
Skip Initial Invader Actions 743 14.13% 59.7 6.615 90.31% 2.038 1.3514
Start of Game Growth 1154 14.25% 55.38 3.016 82.84% -0.373 -0.8436
Unlimited Undo 3770 53.59% 43.54 0.686 66.82% 0.259 -0.1609
Using Tokens but Not Events 3363 39.49% 46.06 1.256 69.37% 0.155 0.1025

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6665 22.35 28.01%
II 12327 30.84 32.94%
III 13281 34.35 74.64%
IV 11464 37.52 99.57%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.306 Win Model: -0.903
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 29377 54.92% 41.44 61.66%
2 8554 57.22% 41.27 59.0%
3 2275 52.41% 41.73 61.49%
4 3531 21.66% 51.1 76.32%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1485
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8252
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3397
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9514
Lose: Invader deck ran out 58
Lose: Adversary condition 6970
Win: Sacrifice victory 225
Lose: Scenario condition 872
Win: Scenario condition 225
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8113
Lose: Spirit destroyed 469

The Kingdom of England — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1605 47.96% 45.99 1.132 49.1% 0.098 0.2123
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 619 82.31% 38.07 -1.322 35.7% -0.077 0.1291
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 433 75.98% 32.6 -4.117 21.94% -0.806 -0.911
Eyes Watch From the Trees 694 62.23% 43.28 1.253 46.4% 0.394 0.0013
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 988 64.05% 45.12 1.359 50.2% 0.414 0.1231
Fractured Days Split the Sky 157 63.46% 48.48 2.705 49.04% 0.23 0.5836
Heart of the Wildfire 870 86.98% 26.6 -7.277 13.79% -1.388 -1.0594
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3190 57.05% 45.68 1.9 54.11% 0.486 0.1555
Lightning's Swift Strike 2018 67.58% 41.3 -1.0 39.74% -0.126 0.1104
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 433 79.35% 36.98 -2.752 33.26% -0.383 -0.6708
Many Minds Move as One 207 45.89% 51.53 4.637 65.7% 0.838 0.3069
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2067 66.55% 46.37 2.938 55.3% 0.967 0.752
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 551 61.09% 40.15 -1.446 36.48% -0.233 -0.2094
River Surges in Sunlight 1272 58.21% 42.58 -0.993 39.47% -0.571 -0.4402
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1305 62.14% 44.34 0.893 49.81% 0.324 0.4394
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 408 82.11% 32.11 -4.587 19.61% -0.973 -0.5558
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1133 54.11% 48.51 2.066 55.08% 0.398 0.3006
Shifting Memory of Ages 51 72.55% 45.8 1.141 50.98% 0.293 0.3838
Shroud of Silent Mist 83 82.93% 42.35 0.748 48.19% 0.505 0.5345
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2012 35.09% 49.37 3.174 72.17% 0.872 0.824
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 277 81.23% 29.74 -5.485 15.16% -1.205 -1.0309
Thunderspeaker 1250 76.17% 38.01 -1.265 32.48% -0.096 -0.0634
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 776 85.18% 44.76 1.528 57.73% 0.677 0.6588
Vital Strength of the Earth 742 61.16% 38.49 -2.414 31.0% -0.633 0.2205
Volcano Looming High 292 92.12% 29.97 -5.044 22.26% -0.65 -0.669

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 185 65.56% 37.3 -2.29 36.22% -0.394 0.1752
Dahan Insurrection 4 155 76.16% 43.68 1.407 18.71% -1.069 -0.6703
Despicable Theft 2 1 100.0% 29.0 -3.105 0.0% -0.17 0.0997
Elemental Invocation 1 9 66.67% 30.44 -6.284 11.11% -1.326 -0.8613
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1055 22.01% 51.35 2.73 56.59% 0.063 0.43
Powers Long Forgotten 1 62 87.1% 34.79 -2.665 19.35% -0.769 -0.324
Rituals of Terror 3 41 80.49% 55.29 7.668 43.9% 0.489 1.134
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 21 76.19% 39.62 1.139 19.05% -0.406 0.2392
Second Wave 0 140 68.35% 37.95 -2.401 29.29% -0.904 -0.4754
The Great River 3 1 100.0% 74.0 16.236 100.0% 0.443 1.9065
Ward the Shores 2 60 62.71% 46.43 1.487 36.67% -0.403 0.6312

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11406 65.94% 41.38 -0.04 46.96% -0.155 0.0171
1 Thematic 900 72.97% 41.14 -0.23 32.78% -0.358 0.0033
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1867 71.96% 39.66 -0.772 39.53% -0.259 -0.2077
2 Coastline 199 65.13% 45.22 1.56 53.27% 0.259 0.2664
2 Fragment 46 67.39% 42.02 -0.004 43.48% -0.308 -0.052
2 Heart 26 76.92% 37.23 -1.264 38.46% -0.331 -0.1891
2 Opposite Shores 407 68.32% 39.88 -0.694 40.54% -0.181 -0.0901
2 Thematic 141 70.21% 40.06 -2.486 26.95% -0.886 -0.9278
2 Top to Top 78 60.26% 45.45 1.514 51.28% 0.098 0.0669
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 25.0 -5.375 0.0% -0.158 0.9238
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 36.33 -2.622 33.33% -0.309 -0.5077
3 Other 44 75.0% 53.0 5.115 75.0% 0.907 1.0814
3 Round (Default) 681 69.46% 39.01 -1.354 37.3% -0.3 -0.3738
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 42.0 2.585 50.0% 0.388 0.1113
3 Thematic 38 76.32% 42.58 -1.244 34.21% -0.019 -0.4208
4 Archipelago 5 100.0% 43.0 1.63 20.0% -0.502 0.0067
4 Leaf 4 100.0% 33.25 -4.497 25.0% -0.379 -0.4075
4 Other 18 83.33% 44.28 0.355 55.56% 0.081 -0.033
4 Thematic 205 20.0% 65.23 4.225 74.15% 0.909 -0.175
4 Trapezoid (Default) 600 33.73% 51.29 2.867 59.0% 0.483 0.3961
5 Other 4 75.0% 54.5 5.944 75.0% 0.526 -0.0777
5 Thematic 9 44.44% 60.33 3.819 66.67% 0.513 -2.2494

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 897 36.86 -3.338 34.89% -1.051 1.0221
Aid From Lesser Spirits 684 39.01 -2.185 38.3% -0.856 1.062
All Things Weaken 373 37.32 -2.899 38.07% -0.907 1.263
Back Against the Wall 638 38.31 -2.702 36.52% -1.001 1.0904
Disintegrating Ecosystem 876 34.85 -4.459 34.59% -1.113 1.1118
Downward Spiral 1723 34.3 -4.03 31.22% -0.945 1.0784
Erosion of Will 974 34.88 -4.34 30.8% -1.289 0.9203
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 115 46.0 0.583 58.26% -0.336 0.3505
Memory Fades to Dust 1700 33.75 -4.407 28.94% -1.088 1.1309
Power Corrodes the Spirit 370 35.82 -3.819 35.14% -1.102 0.9218
Promising Farmlands 863 35.62 -3.89 34.41% -1.069 1.1449
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 77 46.77 0.842 61.04% -0.245 0.1651
Thriving Communities 350 38.93 -2.4 44.0% -0.759 1.3359
Tipping Point 470 35.04 -4.165 31.91% -1.142 1.0843
Unnatural Proliferation 406 40.0 -1.81 42.61% -0.809 1.2772
Untended Land Crumbles 390 37.17 -3.389 40.0% -0.972 1.1338

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3259 68.16% 39.86 -0.905 40.17% 0.417 -0.343
B 4346 60.92% 42.36 0.456 45.54% 0.531 -0.3264
C 5526 58.1% 45.2 1.908 55.36% 0.794 -0.2943
D 3109 69.25% 41.36 -0.08 44.1% 0.54 -0.3098
E 1114 67.0% 40.68 -0.448 42.91% 0.376 -0.5889
F 1443 66.57% 40.55 -0.938 42.27% 0.319 -0.5953
G 1275 69.24% 39.98 -0.852 41.25% 0.352 -0.553
H 1407 66.79% 40.01 -1.005 39.94% 0.236 -0.6783
East 520 52.6% 52.89 2.781 52.31% 0.825 0.1755
Northeast 517 54.35% 48.46 0.44 42.17% -0.005 -0.604
Northwest 395 49.37% 52.95 1.93 52.91% 0.635 -0.0347
Southeast 90 47.78% 46.77 -1.187 43.33% -0.248 -0.9545
Southwest 86 45.35% 47.57 -1.062 47.67% 0.196 -0.077
West 447 49.22% 53.09 1.634 52.57% 0.386 -0.0123

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 58 0.0% 48.0 0.557 51.72% -0.413 1.6436
Not Using Events or Tokens 1693 72.89% 36.72 -2.105 31.54% -0.461 -0.2451
Skip Initial Invader Actions 303 21.25% 62.26 7.282 75.58% 1.485 0.7978
Start of Game Growth 634 19.87% 60.48 5.018 72.56% 0.315 -0.155
Unlimited Undo 1378 63.41% 45.03 1.042 51.23% 0.204 -0.2162
Using Tokens but Not Events 1050 62.78% 40.23 -1.366 39.71% -0.352 -0.4038

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3474 22.35 4.69%
II 4785 30.84 12.41%
III 3192 34.35 50.72%
IV 5233 37.52 99.77%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.392 Win Model: -0.645
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12345 66.49% 41.4 46.01%
2 2759 70.43% 40.3 40.38%
3 750 70.53% 39.49 37.87%
4 830 31.33% 54.62 62.53%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 125
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1357
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 473
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4528
Lose: Invader deck ran out 28
Lose: Adversary condition 4004
Win: Sacrifice victory 85
Lose: Scenario condition 317
Win: Scenario condition 50
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4506
Lose: Spirit destroyed 232

The Kingdom of England — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6757 43.53% 49.27 -0.083 47.4% -0.105 0.009
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4260 79.85% 39.07 -3.1 30.75% -0.441 -0.2345
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1718 65.92% 36.6 -4.891 23.63% -1.091 -1.1963
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3371 60.36% 46.48 0.622 45.18% 0.246 -0.1466
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5368 56.85% 49.95 1.753 52.5% 0.407 0.1163
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1336 50.6% 55.53 3.821 52.77% 0.213 0.5667
Heart of the Wildfire 3278 79.96% 32.23 -6.607 18.15% -1.112 -0.7838
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 17775 46.69% 51.5 2.687 57.71% 0.528 0.1979
Lightning's Swift Strike 12505 61.89% 45.73 -0.304 43.85% 0.098 0.3339
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2494 71.85% 42.58 -1.909 39.45% -0.18 -0.4672
Many Minds Move as One 1221 47.01% 56.52 5.161 68.8% 1.059 0.5279
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 15610 59.82% 52.22 3.205 55.14% 0.931 0.7167
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1826 57.47% 42.56 -2.419 35.38% -0.469 -0.4446
River Surges in Sunlight 5989 55.01% 47.49 -0.798 40.84% -0.459 -0.3283
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 9329 43.83% 54.05 2.778 59.82% 0.497 0.6121
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3167 66.01% 39.47 -3.023 28.45% -0.44 -0.0231
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4191 52.96% 50.26 1.447 50.8% 0.187 0.0892
Shifting Memory of Ages 344 62.21% 51.69 2.227 57.85% 0.452 0.543
Shroud of Silent Mist 559 80.87% 44.83 0.073 45.97% 0.392 0.4218
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 7096 41.24% 45.0 -0.558 53.79% 0.335 0.2864
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1583 67.92% 39.03 -3.785 27.92% -0.732 -0.5578
Thunderspeaker 5917 67.59% 43.08 -1.409 29.76% -0.249 -0.2165
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2843 78.83% 45.23 -0.679 48.89% 0.295 0.2768
Vital Strength of the Earth 3283 49.86% 43.31 -3.275 32.2% -0.939 -0.0857
Volcano Looming High 1854 78.97% 35.12 -4.816 26.0% -0.691 -0.7099

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 866 51.81% 48.01 -1.275 50.35% -0.409 0.1604
Dahan Insurrection 4 2287 68.4% 48.72 1.705 15.35% -0.916 -0.5174
Despicable Theft 2 27 70.37% 52.52 4.03 48.15% 0.179 0.4484
Elemental Invocation 1 65 64.62% 43.8 -1.116 35.38% -0.516 -0.0512
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 13833 23.57% 54.45 3.354 53.88% 0.052 0.418
Powers Long Forgotten 1 172 83.14% 34.4 -4.612 15.12% -1.287 -0.8417
Rituals of Terror 3 161 61.88% 62.81 8.938 44.1% 0.707 1.3517
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 96 92.71% 36.96 -2.985 12.5% -1.14 -0.4945
Second Wave 0 288 56.29% 48.32 -0.411 44.44% -0.594 -0.1649
The Great River 3 14 57.14% 47.57 1.084 28.57% -0.676 0.787
Ward the Shores 2 246 73.03% 46.82 0.008 33.74% -0.756 0.2774

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 65558 61.28% 45.02 -0.537 45.34% -0.347 -0.1743
1 Thematic 4627 60.07% 47.02 0.088 25.76% -0.619 -0.2572
2 Archipelago 3 100.0% 54.0 4.782 33.33% -0.681 -0.4538
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7286 67.63% 43.42 -0.652 40.78% -0.277 -0.2252
2 Coastline 1411 62.78% 44.43 -0.781 42.1% -0.469 -0.4613
2 Fragment 148 70.95% 41.53 -1.858 35.14% -0.841 -0.5848
2 Heart 137 65.69% 50.04 1.536 56.93% -0.398 -0.2559
2 Opposite Shores 2202 52.23% 47.23 -0.581 45.59% -0.48 -0.3892
2 Thematic 1069 33.12% 60.52 4.016 48.46% 0.392 0.351
2 Top to Top 458 57.42% 48.69 1.343 52.4% -0.068 -0.0986
3 Archipelago 12 41.67% 56.5 2.628 50.0% -1.071 0.011
3 Coastline 19 44.44% 57.47 2.925 68.42% -0.097 -0.2953
3 Other 241 63.07% 52.92 1.374 64.32% -0.524 -0.35
3 Round (Default) 3724 53.05% 47.44 0.214 47.96% -0.048 -0.1215
3 Sunrise 11 36.36% 49.18 -0.422 54.55% -0.391 -0.6675
3 Thematic 87 56.98% 56.14 1.138 36.78% 0.63 0.2281
4 Archipelago 3 66.67% 66.0 9.161 66.67% 0.353 0.8618
4 Coastline 27 7.41% 41.81 -3.912 29.63% -0.448 -0.3973
4 Leaf 11 45.45% 45.55 -2.287 36.36% -0.51 -0.5377
4 Other 160 52.83% 54.72 3.473 66.88% 0.134 0.0203
4 Thematic 1405 24.13% 68.44 2.715 70.82% 1.761 0.6766
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2374 38.13% 53.91 2.176 59.06% 0.489 0.4026
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 75.0 10.484 100.0% 0.148 1.0246
5 Other 60 42.11% 64.87 6.194 83.33% 0.586 -0.0175
5 Thematic 47 14.89% 81.26 10.172 97.87% 2.786 0.0238

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 4532 38.91 -4.062 33.21% -1.026 1.0469
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3752 42.01 -2.487 38.65% -0.74 1.1779
All Things Weaken 1856 37.89 -4.188 32.81% -0.997 1.1731
Back Against the Wall 3561 40.85 -3.115 35.8% -0.872 1.2191
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4339 36.8 -5.123 32.4% -1.068 1.157
Downward Spiral 8070 38.09 -4.238 30.79% -0.816 1.2065
Erosion of Will 4317 37.89 -4.513 31.13% -1.118 1.091
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 654 46.85 -0.253 50.92% -0.306 0.3805
Memory Fades to Dust 8083 37.3 -4.641 27.89% -0.973 1.2457
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1867 38.52 -4.064 35.03% -0.95 1.0742
Promising Farmlands 4302 38.47 -4.306 34.19% -0.99 1.2238
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 355 49.64 0.868 58.59% -0.064 0.3462
Thriving Communities 1970 38.5 -4.012 35.84% -0.888 1.2067
Tipping Point 2148 36.92 -5.163 30.4% -1.179 1.0474
Unnatural Proliferation 2026 40.12 -3.179 35.93% -0.881 1.2055
Untended Land Crumbles 1914 38.6 -4.054 35.68% -0.935 1.1708

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 18816 57.27% 45.94 -0.229 45.46% 1.057 0.2963
B 19974 59.3% 45.36 -0.291 44.68% 1.042 0.1846
C 22778 59.51% 46.8 0.648 48.38% 1.25 0.1609
D 16640 62.84% 45.58 -0.171 45.84% 1.09 0.24
E 7949 59.58% 45.56 0.209 46.42% 1.154 0.1892
F 8906 57.87% 46.76 0.135 48.21% 1.112 0.1975
G 8502 56.57% 45.66 -0.247 45.37% 1.016 0.1111
H 8167 55.4% 47.37 0.461 48.83% 1.102 0.1874
East 3106 38.41% 61.59 2.973 53.7% 0.989 0.3398
Northeast 3654 42.23% 57.19 1.992 42.56% 0.695 0.0962
Northwest 2325 30.22% 63.36 3.136 59.14% 1.003 0.3332
Southeast 315 40.95% 59.54 0.827 58.41% 0.938 0.2315
Southwest 253 32.81% 60.05 -1.105 63.24% 0.428 0.1548
West 2970 40.59% 58.19 1.364 50.03% 0.74 0.3416

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 950 0.0% 50.26 -1.721 49.79% -0.942 1.1145
Not Using Events or Tokens 9161 61.86% 43.3 -1.424 28.58% -0.532 -0.3156
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5338 15.59% 69.95 6.561 86.08% 0.879 0.1923
Start of Game Growth 6203 17.85% 68.21 6.103 83.88% 0.639 0.1693
Unlimited Undo 12994 38.94% 61.27 6.322 76.45% 1.146 0.7259
Using Tokens but Not Events 5519 58.08% 45.56 -1.194 44.1% -0.336 -0.3886

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 26179 22.35 9.39%
II 26613 30.84 25.12%
III 14909 34.35 57.27%
IV 23380 37.52 99.68%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.479 Win Model: -1.268
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 70522 61.18% 45.22 44.21%
2 12510 61.27% 45.63 42.25%
3 4064 53.35% 48.15 49.14%
4 3985 32.84% 59.21 63.36%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1994
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6681
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5281
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 18572
Lose: Invader deck ran out 121
Lose: Adversary condition 22750
Win: Sacrifice victory 593
Lose: Scenario condition 4135
Win: Scenario condition 432
Lose: Blight pool ran out 21909
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1179

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2025-04-01 02:56:45 (Pacific Time)