The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 10847 25.18% 23.36 -0.188 79.76% -0.041 -0.1463
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 222 16.22% 24.15 2.861 70.72% 0.353 -0.1265
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7083 43.4% 23.47 0.506 79.61% 0.128 0.2538
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 338 15.09% 26.84 6.356 75.74% 1.479 0.6321
Dances Up Earthquakes 172 26.74% 21.59 1.283 69.19% 0.282 0.3192
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5157 25.38% 24.95 1.011 85.05% 0.331 0.1945
Downpour Drenches the World 975 21.52% 19.2 -1.958 61.95% -0.37 -0.1635
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1116 18.6% 23.8 0.468 73.48% 0.106 -0.5052
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6643 15.81% 28.65 2.94 89.91% 0.781 0.4056
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4989 19.78% 26.81 1.537 88.59% 0.432 0.0414
Finder of Paths Unseen 606 30.02% 14.54 -1.928 47.85% -0.24 0.4792
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1378 26.67% 22.64 -0.783 65.53% -0.598 0.0127
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1403 35.71% 22.45 -0.308 68.64% -0.114 -0.2132
Heart of the Wildfire 6279 56.53% 20.59 -0.278 70.84% -0.072 0.2645
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8286 27.39% 25.85 0.117 86.36% -0.033 -0.4637
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 360 13.89% 22.72 2.571 66.67% 0.839 0.524
Lightning's Swift Strike 12316 42.29% 21.58 -1.402 72.94% -0.372 -0.1427
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 386 32.9% 24.01 3.461 70.73% 0.572 0.1278
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1031 21.66% 22.96 -0.856 72.94% -0.296 -0.6069
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 898 23.63% 22.35 -0.338 68.82% -0.219 -0.3613
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3704 23.6% 25.66 1.051 81.61% 0.144 -0.0837
Many Minds Move as One 2179 20.09% 25.29 0.083 81.18% 0.01 -0.2322
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 10256 39.22% 23.38 -1.094 78.8% -0.218 -0.1084
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 256 42.97% 19.79 0.94 71.09% 0.535 0.6534
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4570 29.56% 23.89 0.058 82.78% 0.003 -0.0426
River Surges in Sunlight 13382 38.46% 23.76 -0.009 72.63% -0.189 -0.0582
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 147 22.45% 19.35 -1.852 56.46% -0.597 -0.4212
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1054 36.61% 24.44 -0.099 72.49% -0.198 0.0996
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 491 31.28% 24.66 2.431 69.04% 0.332 0.248
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5370 28.54% 24.28 0.066 82.98% 0.037 -0.0741
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 64 31.25% 21.81 2.796 68.75% 0.543 0.4246
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 7273 53.11% 21.1 -1.673 69.93% -0.444 0.0512
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 175 34.48% 20.17 1.587 59.43% -0.054 -0.1053
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 252 23.9% 25.5 2.524 76.19% 0.285 -0.2254
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 179 26.97% 19.7 2.911 63.69% 0.648 0.5205
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 670 32.69% 25.6 -0.912 84.18% -0.243 -0.2308
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 529 41.94% 23.3 -0.726 75.24% -0.593 -0.4577
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5932 27.79% 25.47 -0.482 83.68% -0.155 -0.1064
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 359 15.41% 21.69 -0.919 66.85% -0.37 -0.585
Shifting Memory of Ages 1312 33.28% 19.35 -1.757 62.04% -0.576 -0.2814
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 145 16.55% 21.08 6.15 57.24% 0.707 0.5882
Shroud of Silent Mist 1666 39.55% 21.18 -2.161 71.67% -0.67 -0.3423
Starlight Seeks its Form 2092 19.58% 21.79 -0.382 67.21% 0.029 -0.0707
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2932 26.2% 22.42 0.816 80.73% 0.088 -0.4421
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3818 30.72% 23.48 0.215 78.52% 0.221 0.2978
Thunderspeaker 9845 30.03% 24.07 -1.049 77.96% -0.289 -0.2529
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 275 28.0% 18.0 -0.799 52.0% -0.264 -0.2051
Towering Roots of the Jungle 352 28.21% 19.95 0.213 63.92% -0.1 0.0493
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1942 56.59% 19.98 -0.225 73.17% 0.201 0.3466
Vital Strength of the Earth 9199 31.62% 19.92 -2.243 68.44% -0.702 -0.1342
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 331 26.69% 18.85 -2.386 57.1% -0.622 -0.1014
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 544 28.97% 19.51 -3.419 65.07% -0.673 0.0684
Volcano Looming High 2180 35.71% 22.04 0.385 73.58% 0.293 0.3079
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 627 16.99% 24.68 3.397 75.76% 0.727 0.4346

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 48 29.17% 24.96 0.128 70.83% -0.247 -0.2743
Blitz 0 1461 35.6% 19.72 -1.897 64.07% -0.372 -0.1218
Dahan Insurrection 4 1654 19.67% 42.69 8.04 74.12% -0.11 -0.3586
Despicable Theft 2 274 30.29% 25.51 1.573 59.85% -0.22 0.2422
Elemental Invocation 1 371 35.04% 22.63 -0.492 61.73% -0.647 0.0561
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2551 8.58% 29.28 3.754 81.3% 0.472 -0.0804
Powers Long Forgotten 1 621 47.58% 24.05 -0.451 62.96% -0.615 0.0083
Rituals of Terror 3 741 40.46% 30.67 3.113 61.4% -0.042 0.1509
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 434 59.68% 27.73 -2.822 56.68% -1.023 -0.1009
Second Wave 0 1370 50.15% 25.54 4.369 70.29% 0.265 0.3823
The Great River 3 275 40.73% 23.86 -0.321 43.27% -1.237 -0.1689
Varied Terrains 2 241 41.91% 17.7 -0.428 37.34% -0.889 -0.1474
Ward the Shores 2 696 38.33% 25.83 -4.202 60.34% -1.636 -0.5524

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 78165 37.49% 22.52 -0.382 75.65% -0.026 0.5
1 Thematic 5899 38.75% 29.32 1.301 71.67% -0.346 0.5077
2 Archipelago 52 48.08% 32.46 -5.192 65.38% -0.079 0.9762
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 16443 32.17% 22.82 0.176 78.51% 0.26 0.5381
2 Coastline 1826 33.41% 23.37 1.708 79.52% 0.73 0.8326
2 Fragment 432 37.62% 22.04 2.962 76.39% 0.707 0.7197
2 Heart 247 39.51% 21.66 1.345 75.71% 0.538 0.6497
2 Opposite Shores 2541 30.57% 23.89 0.457 83.9% 0.434 0.7703
2 Thematic 1479 35.94% 29.07 1.025 69.98% -0.297 0.3923
2 Top to Top 460 32.17% 22.99 -1.616 82.61% 0.137 0.3795
3 Archipelago 26 46.15% 32.65 3.454 76.92% -0.236 -0.9563
3 Coastline 53 33.33% 22.34 -1.274 60.38% -0.306 -0.6463
3 Other 310 22.48% 15.83 -2.201 53.87% -0.237 -0.8395
3 Round (Default) 5177 25.08% 25.22 2.045 85.53% 0.812 0.8184
3 Sunrise 27 42.31% 26.37 0.0 85.19%
3 Thematic 280 35.84% 29.57 -2.248 68.57% -0.385 -0.3005
4 Archipelago 22 22.73% 31.23 0.0 72.73%
4 Coastline 14 7.14% 44.21 0.0 85.71%
4 Leaf 13 69.23% 15.15 -3.492 53.85% -0.312 -0.1749
4 Other 97 26.6% 19.51 -2.565 67.01% -0.76 -1.3791
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 26.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 0.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 447 22.15% 34.0 -0.461 87.25% -0.036 0.2313
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2804 19.09% 21.95 -2.182 74.36% -0.494 -0.3296
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 164 14.63% 22.33 -4.599 65.24% -1.223 -1.6093
5 Thematic 17 23.53% 26.88 0.0 58.82%
6 Archipelago 7 0.0% 31.14 0.0 85.71%
6 Coastline 3 0.0% 28.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 31 6.67% 18.42 11.864 58.06% 0.732 0.7014
6 Star 33 3.03% 26.24 -3.734 87.88% -0.409 -0.4261
6 Thematic 80 18.75% 24.61 -2.542 61.25% -0.459 -0.3562
6 Two Centers (Default) 185 15.68% 19.19 -3.2 61.08% -0.316 0.2491
7 Other 8 0.0% 0.0 -8.625 0.0% -0.214 -0.6482

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2357 18.57 -1.234 58.97% -0.939 -0.6891
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2015 20.1 0.375 62.73% -0.241 -0.3594
All Things Weaken 1183 18.92 -1.655 58.5% -0.514 -0.1768
Attenuated Essence 161 18.06 -0.03 58.39% -0.145 -0.1186
Back Against the Wall 1915 19.73 0.604 61.57% -0.255 -0.254
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 160 17.67 -1.332 56.25% -0.359 -0.1413
Burn Brightest Before the End 141 20.82 -0.001 55.32% -0.305 -0.3238
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2222 16.43 -3.836 58.01% -0.838 -0.4452
Downward Spiral 9615 16.15 -1.449 58.35% -0.327 -0.2193
Erosion of Will 2274 18.12 0.921 57.87% 0.085 0.4376
Intensifying Exploitation 190 16.15 -1.306 56.32% -0.36 -0.1143
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 517 24.57 1.693 88.59% 0.218 -0.3065
Memory Fades to Dust 9496 16.14 -1.511 55.82% -0.333 -0.0855
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1168 18.42 -1.444 62.76% -0.361 -0.139
Promising Farmlands 2299 17.34 -2.776 60.2% -0.741 -0.4579
Shattered Fragments of Power 159 19.97 -0.484 54.72% -0.354 -0.2772
Slow Dissolution of Will 193 17.94 1.095 53.37% 0.486 0.8829
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 316 24.93 -1.307 90.51% -0.49 -1.1853
The Border of Life and Death 56 19.21 1.248 64.29% 0.375 -0.2262
Thriving Communities 1090 17.44 -1.533 58.81% -0.259 0.0974
Thriving Crops 94 22.73 0.783 77.66% 0.538 0.3413
Tipping Point 789 17.93 0.0 63.12%
Unnatural Proliferation 1169 19.92 1.729 62.7% 0.623 0.7848
Untended Land Crumbles 1164 17.68 0.238 57.47% 0.095 0.3269

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 27342 35.67% 22.26 -0.264 75.8% -0.831 0.1734
B 27717 34.35% 22.53 -0.439 76.55% -0.806 0.1141
C 28404 32.87% 22.85 -0.103 77.37% -0.841 -0.1068
D 26338 34.21% 22.59 -0.086 76.68% -0.822 0.1559
E 9165 28.19% 23.08 -0.273 75.48% -0.916 -0.0966
F 12336 29.32% 23.47 -0.432 79.03% -0.997 -0.1233
G 11175 31.22% 23.63 -0.069 80.02% -0.921 -0.1121
H 11281 29.06% 23.84 0.328 79.83% -0.793 0.0222
East 5112 34.94% 30.52 0.35 73.04% -0.859 0.0441
Northeast 3061 34.17% 31.19 2.075 75.4% -0.366 0.4418
Northwest 2207 34.05% 30.2 -0.767 74.44% -1.15 -0.2502
Southeast 745 27.09% 25.38 -0.905 64.03% -1.036 -0.1852
Southwest 687 34.11% 20.81 -1.326 58.95% -0.634 0.7416
West 4274 37.69% 28.85 -0.345 70.31% -0.951 0.0038

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2253 0.0% 19.53 -1.618 64.0% -0.396 0.312
Not Using Events or Tokens 30958 43.78% 20.25 -1.546 68.72% -0.434 -0.066
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1642 11.14% 32.01 1.683 87.88% 0.238 -0.3472
Start of Game Growth 2603 13.77% 30.42 1.581 86.09% 0.195 -0.319
Unlimited Undo 7162 29.26% 24.53 0.777 81.19% 0.183 0.0733
Using Tokens but Not Events 10151 27.74% 23.71 0.18 80.03% -0.004 -0.0299

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 16122 13.33 17.04%
II 34085 30.1 73.61%
III 47028 34.83 88.92%
IV 20257 38.67 98.9%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.095 Win Model: 0.794
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 84768 37.57% 22.95 75.12%
2 23079 32.48% 23.53 79.41%
3 5769 25.6% 25.0 83.36%
4 3372 19.69% 23.64 75.95%
5 158 12.66% 20.91 62.66%
6 346 13.66% 21.14 63.01%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2740
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 40895
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 23748
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 19846
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 10925
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1372
Lose: Adversary condition 454
Win: Sacrifice victory 438
Lose: Scenario condition 670
Win: Scenario condition 2023
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13567
Lose: Spirit destroyed 814

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8154 26.76% 28.3 -0.866 81.21% -0.21 -0.3151
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 246 25.51% 27.64 1.892 71.14% 0.406 -0.0744
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5436 47.53% 27.26 -0.513 77.87% -0.082 0.0436
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 389 23.5% 33.24 4.817 85.35% 0.682 -0.1652
Dances Up Earthquakes 263 30.18% 21.81 -1.284 61.98% -0.063 -0.0259
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4272 28.39% 29.59 2.802 86.0% 0.824 0.6872
Downpour Drenches the World 1167 25.74% 23.52 -0.102 68.89% 0.029 0.2356
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1246 20.81% 27.2 2.896 76.97% 0.653 0.042
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5665 19.68% 32.44 2.988 88.9% 0.723 0.3471
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4108 24.85% 33.12 2.573 89.12% 0.648 0.2578
Finder of Paths Unseen 689 38.32% 20.2 -2.285 54.43% -0.646 0.074
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1548 30.9% 26.89 -3.435 68.86% -1.159 -0.5481
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1847 39.13% 29.02 1.488 77.96% 0.172 0.072
Heart of the Wildfire 4991 62.91% 23.47 -0.699 67.9% -0.167 0.1698
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7493 34.77% 29.33 -1.143 83.66% -0.3 -0.7307
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 333 28.48% 28.59 4.817 75.38% 0.928 0.613
Lightning's Swift Strike 8414 45.41% 25.75 -0.491 73.4% -0.123 0.1063
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 416 35.34% 28.71 3.827 75.96% 0.236 -0.2088
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 746 34.1% 31.51 2.255 85.92% 0.445 0.1349
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 736 29.7% 31.87 1.108 75.54% -0.193 -0.335
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3180 35.46% 29.65 0.414 81.04% -0.028 -0.2564
Many Minds Move as One 2139 21.95% 30.18 1.176 84.15% 0.061 -0.1817
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8428 36.7% 29.63 0.357 83.7% -0.022 0.0874
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 430 41.75% 22.2 -0.051 65.81% 0.012 0.1308
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3962 32.04% 28.11 1.355 83.29% 0.48 0.4342
River Surges in Sunlight 9702 42.42% 28.23 0.159 74.67% -0.177 -0.0465
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 181 38.76% 22.54 1.871 60.77% 0.174 0.3492
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1000 40.1% 27.38 -0.645 73.6% -0.31 -0.012
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 644 39.91% 27.7 0.907 71.27% -0.113 -0.1969
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4279 33.84% 29.1 0.064 81.79% -0.212 -0.3228
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 132 20.41% 26.49 0.135 67.42% 0.026 -0.0922
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 5213 60.32% 24.05 -1.005 67.52% -0.24 0.2548
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 175 47.02% 26.43 1.538 70.86% 0.295 0.2436
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 398 33.33% 27.28 3.554 72.11% 0.411 -0.0995
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 177 40.34% 25.58 -4.614 67.8% -0.751 -0.8784
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 625 38.78% 29.68 -1.512 82.08% -0.388 -0.3763
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 393 50.13% 27.32 -0.778 75.57% -0.0 0.1351
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5230 30.97% 29.5 0.481 81.97% -0.035 0.0138
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 432 26.0% 26.01 1.637 70.83% 0.319 0.1038
Shifting Memory of Ages 1842 38.78% 24.74 0.025 70.9% 0.333 0.6271
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 253 32.93% 24.49 0.525 61.26% -0.428 -0.5459
Shroud of Silent Mist 1659 45.88% 24.75 -1.063 74.14% -0.194 0.134
Starlight Seeks its Form 1981 27.86% 26.78 -0.177 76.33% -0.035 -0.134
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2668 31.08% 27.4 0.038 82.46% -0.311 -0.8414
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3633 33.15% 27.44 -2.143 78.5% -0.528 -0.4508
Thunderspeaker 7662 34.66% 28.57 0.451 78.71% 0.08 0.1162
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 297 30.41% 21.74 -1.383 57.58% -0.663 -0.6044
Towering Roots of the Jungle 621 32.23% 22.21 -0.812 64.57% -0.129 0.0205
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2026 61.34% 24.43 0.173 74.43% 0.312 0.4577
Vital Strength of the Earth 6574 34.95% 24.03 -3.139 70.54% -0.775 -0.2073
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 376 30.85% 22.06 -2.329 63.56% -0.383 0.1381
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 522 35.59% 22.9 0.436 65.9% -0.121 0.6209
Volcano Looming High 2260 44.03% 24.59 -0.616 72.83% 0.094 0.1085
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1035 25.5% 29.35 3.542 78.45% 0.884 0.5914

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 50 30.0% 24.86 -4.244 60.0% -0.586 -0.6129
Blitz 0 1307 35.63% 22.98 -5.413 63.05% -1.206 -0.9559
Dahan Insurrection 4 1273 27.16% 44.17 4.364 68.34% -0.801 -1.0496
Despicable Theft 2 250 34.4% 27.64 -2.168 58.8% -0.778 -0.316
Elemental Invocation 1 409 37.75% 23.69 -1.189 60.88% -0.261 0.4415
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2679 10.94% 35.67 6.623 78.01% 0.681 0.1283
Powers Long Forgotten 1 681 46.99% 25.68 -5.312 59.47% -1.123 -0.4995
Rituals of Terror 3 609 43.73% 32.2 2.945 59.11% -0.569 -0.3761
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 415 60.96% 30.33 0.017 56.14% -0.714 0.2078
Second Wave 0 5271 39.48% 30.57 2.629 77.31% 0.19 0.307
The Great River 3 252 38.49% 27.06 -1.668 48.81% -0.808 0.2595
Varied Terrains 2 208 50.48% 21.68 1.513 43.75% -0.118 0.6231
Ward the Shores 2 562 43.67% 29.67 -2.888 60.14% -0.82 0.2634

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 62390 40.17% 25.85 -0.444 74.73% -0.153 0.3737
1 Thematic 4889 42.22% 32.49 0.454 68.58% -0.35 0.5046
2 Archipelago 47 45.65% 30.68 -10.801 63.83% -1.137 -0.0816
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12930 35.99% 27.51 0.054 80.68% -0.155 0.1226
2 Coastline 1729 32.23% 28.17 -0.219 81.72% -0.085 0.0173
2 Fragment 442 41.15% 26.66 3.099 77.38% 0.768 0.7814
2 Heart 233 43.91% 27.05 2.11 74.68% 0.21 0.3215
2 Opposite Shores 3028 33.28% 28.4 -0.803 84.41% -0.246 0.0902
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -8.761 0.0% -0.386 0.7694
2 Thematic 1785 38.69% 30.93 -1.293 70.25% -0.914 -0.224
2 Top to Top 533 34.91% 27.59 3.246 79.36% 0.754 0.9962
3 Archipelago 30 50.0% 37.7 11.805 83.33% 0.397 -0.3234
3 Coastline 37 35.14% 30.3 -13.04 64.86% -0.537 -0.8776
3 Other 169 39.63% 28.4 3.918 84.02% 0.599 -0.0033
3 Round (Default) 5199 28.67% 30.18 0.662 83.88% -0.13 -0.1236
3 Sunrise 28 21.43% 33.89 3.3 100.0% 0.516 0.454
3 Thematic 283 42.35% 28.63 -2.062 64.66% -0.034 0.0502
4 Archipelago 13 53.85% 37.31 0.0 84.62%
4 Coastline 17 17.65% 32.0 1.16 64.71% -0.038 -0.7959
4 Leaf 16 37.5% 34.13 -8.494 87.5% -0.576 -0.4387
4 Other 93 35.56% 29.56 3.05 82.8% -0.109 -0.7283
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 3 0.0% 46.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 371 35.77% 37.91 4.095 76.01% -0.309 -0.0416
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2019 30.59% 29.4 0.056 84.84% 0.028 0.1918
5 Archipelago 5 40.0% 53.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 3 0.0% 40.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 116 41.07% 29.19 0.0 80.17%
5 Thematic 4 25.0% 20.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 12 16.67% 41.33 4.019 66.67% -0.337 -1.4464
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 30.0 4.101 100.0% 0.281 -0.5563
6 Other 36 27.78% 30.61 4.372 77.78% 0.416 0.3856
6 Star 15 26.67% 26.07 0.0 73.33%
6 Thematic 113 38.05% 38.23 4.459 71.68% 0.119 0.2221
6 Two Centers (Default) 183 19.67% 27.8 -5.335 75.41% -0.832 -0.2672
7 Other 5 50.0% 38.0 7.824 60.0% 0.092 -0.3425

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2144 23.1 0.03 62.64% -0.09 0.1598
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1739 24.56 0.346 65.44% -0.162 -0.2799
All Things Weaken 1238 23.13 -2.814 62.2% -0.925 -0.5883
Attenuated Essence 227 23.73 -0.103 62.56% -0.516 -0.489
Back Against the Wall 1839 24.01 0.407 63.57% -0.304 -0.3025
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 226 24.73 0.192 70.8% 0.01 0.2273
Burn Brightest Before the End 178 24.83 1.155 66.29% 0.274 0.2559
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2206 20.56 -2.449 59.34% -0.497 -0.104
Downward Spiral 7081 21.52 -0.708 64.88% -0.037 0.0711
Erosion of Will 2208 22.59 -1.863 60.14% -0.717 -0.365
Intensifying Exploitation 241 20.38 -4.727 57.68% -1.32 -1.0747
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 589 28.62 2.392 90.32% 0.442 -0.0826
Memory Fades to Dust 7139 20.91 -1.277 60.04% -0.367 -0.1199
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1211 22.87 -0.833 67.3% -0.183 0.0392
Promising Farmlands 2188 21.41 0.671 61.7% 0.102 0.3846
Shattered Fragments of Power 200 23.86 0.386 59.0% -0.526 -0.4493
Slow Dissolution of Will 248 21.31 -2.821 58.06% -0.546 -0.1485
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 411 28.02 -2.14 90.27% -0.197 -0.8923
The Border of Life and Death 95 23.83 -0.387 72.63% 0.131 -0.4702
Thriving Communities 1153 22.19 -0.811 64.27% -0.47 -0.1137
Thriving Crops 119 26.81 3.205 86.55% 1.069 0.8723
Tipping Point 669 20.79 0.0 57.55%
Unnatural Proliferation 1274 23.96 0.503 66.17% 0.057 0.2188
Untended Land Crumbles 1237 22.43 -0.89 64.03% -0.023 0.2088

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 21955 38.57% 26.52 -0.575 76.48% -0.442 0.5631
B 21965 36.97% 27.22 0.212 78.68% -0.233 0.687
C 22751 37.09% 27.32 0.172 78.93% -0.279 0.456
D 20983 37.11% 27.18 -0.019 78.62% -0.278 0.6998
E 8896 34.44% 27.47 0.257 77.84% -0.313 0.5068
F 11021 34.49% 27.74 0.346 79.61% -0.182 0.6921
G 9932 34.65% 27.6 0.004 79.39% -0.292 0.5168
H 10273 33.21% 28.07 0.704 80.13% -0.165 0.6502
East 4960 38.52% 33.56 2.771 70.18% -0.357 0.5457
Northeast 3113 37.67% 34.16 1.411 70.77% -0.194 0.6136
Northwest 2247 38.48% 32.34 0.252 72.1% -0.401 0.4992
Southeast 728 38.07% 30.16 -3.182 65.52% -1.279 -0.4286
Southwest 732 40.9% 27.74 -0.382 62.43% -0.2 1.1756
West 4086 42.99% 31.04 1.372 68.28% -0.37 0.5853

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3464 0.0% 20.4 -3.095 62.33% -0.933 -0.2251
Not Using Events or Tokens 19620 44.09% 24.78 -1.172 71.08% -0.222 0.146
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1211 13.12% 38.0 4.314 86.46% 0.768 0.183
Start of Game Growth 1996 15.35% 36.39 2.739 86.37% 0.116 -0.3984
Unlimited Undo 7137 32.69% 28.3 0.21 80.17% 0.073 -0.0368
Using Tokens but Not Events 11012 31.44% 26.45 0.057 77.76% 0.312 0.2865

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 12184 13.33 8.6%
II 22618 30.1 67.71%
III 40994 34.83 89.55%
IV 21060 38.67 98.95%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.341 Win Model: 0.44
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 67826 40.33% 26.3 74.08%
2 20434 35.7% 28.13 80.84%
3 5620 29.34% 30.22 83.7%
4 2507 31.39% 30.7 83.17%
5 108 44.76% 28.56 82.41%
6 361 26.39% 32.03 74.24%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1045
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 35870
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 14494
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 20624
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 9927
Lose: Invader deck ran out 777
Lose: Adversary condition 286
Win: Sacrifice victory 375
Lose: Scenario condition 661
Win: Scenario condition 1502
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10632
Lose: Spirit destroyed 663

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 9726 31.46% 36.96 0.095 82.22% 0.048 -0.0572
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 350 36.57% 35.35 1.587 69.43% 0.142 -0.3381
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5953 55.07% 35.08 -0.316 76.33% -0.122 0.0039
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 442 28.96% 42.23 6.487 85.52% 1.035 0.1882
Dances Up Earthquakes 352 44.54% 32.74 1.941 68.75% 0.314 0.3506
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5145 36.39% 37.49 2.381 84.76% 0.572 0.4348
Downpour Drenches the World 1494 29.58% 32.06 1.339 70.35% 0.357 0.5638
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2215 26.75% 35.17 2.445 71.92% 0.565 -0.0462
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7465 24.69% 41.56 3.541 89.55% 0.764 0.3885
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5173 30.48% 41.06 3.159 87.38% 0.627 0.2365
Finder of Paths Unseen 835 50.78% 32.26 -4.242 61.56% -0.87 -0.1505
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1693 35.8% 36.61 -1.606 71.53% -0.606 0.0051
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2378 39.23% 33.72 -0.668 70.52% 0.021 -0.0784
Heart of the Wildfire 6863 62.36% 32.29 -1.592 69.78% -0.369 -0.0318
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 11274 38.8% 39.19 1.413 83.44% 0.065 -0.3657
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 473 28.51% 36.13 0.043 76.32% -0.052 -0.3664
Lightning's Swift Strike 9166 47.85% 34.29 -1.312 74.61% -0.308 -0.0781
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 693 46.74% 39.98 1.097 75.9% -0.01 -0.4548
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1095 36.66% 38.74 0.675 80.91% -0.017 -0.3273
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1058 38.77% 40.69 3.483 78.54% 0.677 0.5347
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4866 37.22% 38.87 0.583 79.84% -0.05 -0.2781
Many Minds Move as One 2657 26.75% 38.71 1.584 85.66% 0.27 0.0277
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 10615 45.97% 36.77 1.062 78.73% -0.035 0.0745
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 599 53.09% 27.32 -2.056 60.43% -0.458 -0.3391
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5046 37.45% 37.02 0.248 83.79% 0.089 0.0431
River Surges in Sunlight 11272 47.78% 36.79 -0.399 76.75% -0.188 -0.0581
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 283 40.99% 32.4 0.86 62.9% -0.108 0.0677
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1423 42.85% 37.41 0.074 74.0% 0.056 0.3543
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 869 41.71% 35.83 1.273 67.09% -0.152 -0.2355
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6016 40.03% 36.84 1.025 80.54% 0.164 0.0531
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 146 44.52% 39.42 2.326 72.6% 0.066 -0.0522
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4960 61.31% 32.6 -2.372 68.59% -0.511 -0.0161
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 202 43.94% 34.25 -0.94 68.81% -0.124 -0.1752
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 529 36.74% 43.08 5.117 81.29% 0.697 0.1868
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 250 46.18% 34.36 3.379 72.0% 0.39 0.2626
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 663 47.21% 37.38 2.251 82.05% 0.509 0.5204
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 601 54.0% 35.19 1.183 73.71% -0.076 0.0595
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6880 35.16% 37.94 -0.187 82.63% -0.215 -0.1668
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 743 25.95% 44.72 4.162 75.1% 0.698 0.4829
Shifting Memory of Ages 1783 50.11% 32.63 -1.162 71.34% -0.329 -0.0351
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 327 32.11% 31.7 1.355 67.58% 0.032 -0.0863
Shroud of Silent Mist 1952 61.39% 30.51 -0.998 67.47% -0.198 0.1294
Starlight Seeks its Form 2951 38.85% 35.98 1.643 76.48% 0.338 0.2392
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3859 36.06% 36.02 -1.293 83.0% -0.025 -0.5556
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4086 37.88% 36.62 -2.457 79.66% -0.567 -0.4898
Thunderspeaker 9406 38.57% 37.68 -0.4 81.02% -0.295 -0.2586
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 382 30.45% 35.32 2.654 68.06% 0.373 0.4316
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1043 32.08% 30.17 -2.094 60.12% -0.41 -0.2608
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2741 71.68% 31.33 -2.105 70.52% -0.405 -0.2586
Vital Strength of the Earth 7070 37.1% 32.25 -3.07 72.15% -0.612 -0.0439
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 544 41.73% 33.81 -0.4 70.4% -0.093 0.4278
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 887 26.52% 31.13 -5.067 71.25% -1.078 -0.3362
Volcano Looming High 3274 48.01% 33.82 0.421 75.66% 0.146 0.161
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1324 28.4% 33.56 0.388 66.47% -0.022 -0.3143

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 40 15.0% 32.4 0.673 75.0% 0.138 0.1105
Blitz 0 1305 44.25% 31.95 -3.514 67.59% -0.573 -0.3226
Dahan Insurrection 4 1857 20.73% 50.41 -2.962 67.42% -0.871 -1.1199
Despicable Theft 2 144 49.31% 34.06 -6.529 58.33% -0.953 -0.4909
Elemental Invocation 1 344 49.71% 29.42 -3.711 57.27% -0.732 -0.0293
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3882 9.98% 45.55 4.63 84.21% 0.39 -0.1624
Powers Long Forgotten 1 515 51.75% 33.52 -4.787 62.33% -0.701 -0.078
Rituals of Terror 3 471 52.23% 39.52 3.416 60.3% -0.18 0.0128
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 247 60.73% 38.08 -5.149 61.54% -1.016 -0.0941
Second Wave 0 4697 46.91% 37.0 0.797 72.77% -0.181 -0.0633
The Great River 3 223 50.67% 33.59 -1.85 46.19% -1.047 0.021
Varied Terrains 2 157 58.6% 32.64 -0.889 51.59% -0.857 -0.1159
Ward the Shores 2 459 46.39% 41.09 -3.119 70.37% -0.929 0.1545

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 71880 45.08% 34.0 -1.109 75.2% -0.451 0.0758
1 Thematic 4265 47.38% 39.52 0.778 70.62% -0.156 0.6983
2 Archipelago 48 52.08% 37.52 -3.392 54.17% -0.456 0.5988
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 16409 41.8% 35.51 0.536 80.63% -0.179 0.0988
2 Coastline 2189 37.71% 36.75 2.11 80.95% 0.065 0.1679
2 Fragment 495 46.33% 34.61 -3.199 77.37% -0.543 -0.5301
2 Heart 219 49.07% 36.62 1.879 80.82% 0.1 0.2113
2 Opposite Shores 3840 39.21% 36.66 2.067 82.21% 0.203 0.539
2 Thematic 1695 44.83% 41.65 -0.342 74.69% -0.188 0.5018
2 Top to Top 667 39.31% 37.92 3.589 84.86% 0.768 1.0097
3 Archipelago 37 54.05% 53.11 4.678 70.27% -0.095 -0.8158
3 Coastline 46 41.3% 39.02 0.336 78.26% 0.008 -0.3325
3 Other 331 42.6% 38.65 -2.926 88.22% -0.205 -0.8075
3 Round (Default) 6698 36.47% 37.03 -0.479 82.32% -0.525 -0.5188
3 Sunrise 34 35.29% 40.62 12.63 91.18% 0.433 0.3713
3 Thematic 345 48.1% 41.59 2.886 72.75% 0.529 0.614
4 Archipelago 15 33.33% 49.0 0.0 86.67%
4 Coastline 9 44.44% 38.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 28 35.71% 43.21 0.0 96.43%
4 Other 126 51.59% 41.85 1.779 86.51% 0.139 -0.4795
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 3 66.67% 43.33 6.51 100.0% 0.741 0.3501
4 Thematic 888 27.77% 39.57 -5.794 65.77% -1.025 -0.757
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3092 32.11% 38.31 0.225 83.76% -0.084 0.0803
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 53.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 4 100.0% 40.75 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 189 38.83% 39.92 6.234 75.66% 0.06 -0.3263
5 Thematic 28 50.0% 48.29 9.43 67.86% 0.071 -0.7266
6 Archipelago 4 0.0% 33.75 0.0 75.0%
6 Coastline 2 50.0% 10.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 37 29.73% 41.03 -4.835 72.97% -1.04 -1.0707
6 Star 37 27.03% 41.35 -0.649 94.59% 0.024 0.0066
6 Thematic 708 45.86% 55.31 3.797 72.32% -0.229 -0.1265
6 Two Centers (Default) 408 15.93% 39.92 1.683 83.33% -0.004 0.5612
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 3 0.0% 26.33 0.0 33.33%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3225 30.38 0.269 63.13% -0.196 0.0537
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2624 32.02 1.041 64.75% -0.012 -0.1301
All Things Weaken 1929 29.15 0.295 59.72% -0.172 0.1652
Attenuated Essence 374 31.78 -0.067 66.31% 0.237 0.2634
Back Against the Wall 2552 30.93 0.457 62.15% -0.176 -0.1753
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 374 30.21 -1.295 63.1% -0.279 -0.0619
Burn Brightest Before the End 309 30.51 2.103 57.61% 0.216 0.1976
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3067 27.79 -2.487 61.17% -0.622 -0.2292
Downward Spiral 8532 29.27 0.086 66.55% 0.226 0.3346
Erosion of Will 3334 30.41 -2.087 63.05% -0.567 -0.215
Intensifying Exploitation 358 29.23 1.901 61.45% 0.456 0.7011
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 820 38.74 2.552 93.17% 0.674 0.1496
Memory Fades to Dust 8740 28.68 -1.036 62.69% -0.096 0.1516
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1809 30.28 -1.042 66.28% 0.033 0.2549
Promising Farmlands 3237 29.51 -1.38 65.0% -0.293 -0.0098
Shattered Fragments of Power 310 30.09 0.522 59.68% -0.074 0.0025
Slow Dissolution of Will 339 29.44 0.628 58.41% 0.218 0.6147
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 526 38.0 1.993 90.49% 0.847 0.1515
The Border of Life and Death 124 33.83 1.634 76.61% 0.472 -0.1289
Thriving Communities 1781 29.27 -0.633 63.22% -0.114 0.2426
Thriving Crops 187 32.1 2.951 73.26% 0.861 0.6647
Tipping Point 971 29.87 0.0 64.78%
Unnatural Proliferation 1922 30.68 0.001 62.96% -0.273 -0.111
Untended Land Crumbles 1842 30.0 -0.301 64.55% -0.118 0.1133

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 26785 42.76% 34.77 -0.695 77.04% -0.623 0.382
B 27694 41.5% 35.41 0.657 78.75% -0.334 0.5852
C 28239 41.97% 35.61 1.008 79.08% -0.246 0.4888
D 25509 42.52% 35.18 -0.845 78.52% -0.642 0.3362
E 10968 39.3% 36.12 0.858 79.43% -0.367 0.4528
F 13934 38.84% 36.12 0.004 79.87% -0.528 0.3462
G 12629 40.13% 35.81 0.199 79.58% -0.401 0.4087
H 12718 39.19% 36.46 0.577 79.92% -0.541 0.2737
East 5589 42.7% 42.88 -0.13 71.48% -0.861 0.0419
Northeast 3578 41.65% 45.04 3.595 73.87% -0.266 0.5418
Northwest 2930 41.51% 45.08 1.615 73.55% -0.725 0.1746
Southeast 1484 41.67% 44.8 0.091 67.59% -0.508 0.3423
Southwest 1442 42.57% 43.38 -1.018 65.95% -1.453 -0.0776
West 4952 43.47% 42.01 0.566 70.4% -0.25 0.7047

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 934 0.0% 33.2 -1.758 69.81% -0.33 0.3778
Not Using Events or Tokens 18609 48.45% 32.08 -1.305 71.21% -0.167 0.2016
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1143 15.09% 47.33 4.811 87.31% 0.805 0.2206
Start of Game Growth 2574 16.76% 47.25 5.296 85.47% 0.051 -0.4633
Unlimited Undo 10002 37.08% 36.49 1.162 79.75% 0.046 -0.0636
Using Tokens but Not Events 11240 34.43% 35.96 -0.201 80.45% 0.003 -0.0224

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 13775 13.33 11.83%
II 28421 30.1 64.78%
III 47419 34.83 91.0%
IV 25298 38.67 99.34%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.482 Win Model: 0.713
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 76643 45.24% 34.3 74.87%
2 25410 41.32% 36.34 80.66%
3 7361 36.98% 37.49 82.58%
4 4135 31.5% 38.94 80.56%
5 178 38.64% 37.56 67.42%
6 1186 35.28% 48.7 76.73%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1627
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 42262
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 17272
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 24899
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 9821
Lose: Invader deck ran out 870
Lose: Adversary condition 446
Win: Sacrifice victory 433
Lose: Scenario condition 721
Win: Scenario condition 1829
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14055
Lose: Spirit destroyed 678

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8619 35.38% 42.18 -0.501 78.98% 0.062 -0.0437
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 382 30.26% 37.79 3.857 70.94% 0.723 0.243
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5419 64.45% 38.75 -3.505 70.66% -0.46 -0.3341
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 544 38.24% 44.96 5.329 81.07% 0.847 -0.0003
Dances Up Earthquakes 317 45.43% 31.8 -0.946 61.51% 0.013 0.0498
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4668 40.31% 42.48 1.103 82.24% 0.452 0.3152
Downpour Drenches the World 1466 34.11% 35.11 0.415 65.01% -0.008 0.1981
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1877 33.24% 39.33 3.385 74.8% 0.78 0.1691
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7580 28.91% 47.43 2.356 88.31% 0.434 0.0586
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5270 33.52% 45.6 1.453 80.99% 0.323 -0.0675
Finder of Paths Unseen 717 46.51% 30.01 -0.222 53.97% 0.065 0.7845
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1694 40.91% 37.98 -2.534 62.46% -0.53 0.0812
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2429 45.86% 39.91 0.667 73.12% -0.042 -0.1418
Heart of the Wildfire 6997 67.53% 34.71 -3.078 61.74% -0.58 -0.2436
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 12342 44.38% 43.42 2.084 81.71% 0.36 -0.0708
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 687 29.84% 39.79 -0.375 73.51% -0.033 -0.3477
Lightning's Swift Strike 7690 56.82% 38.17 -1.934 69.02% -0.187 0.0432
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 623 50.73% 41.37 2.736 73.19% 0.621 0.1765
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1124 42.05% 44.43 2.798 82.56% 0.338 0.0271
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1073 38.01% 41.28 1.714 71.48% 0.189 0.0469
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5176 44.7% 41.78 0.662 76.53% 0.205 -0.023
Many Minds Move as One 2607 31.72% 44.79 1.605 84.81% 0.256 0.0132
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 10500 49.39% 40.98 -0.505 76.05% -0.106 0.0035
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 589 62.35% 32.17 -0.469 60.1% -0.057 0.0613
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5423 40.83% 42.25 0.257 81.73% 0.302 0.2559
River Surges in Sunlight 11225 52.48% 42.28 2.086 72.96% 0.33 0.46
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 251 47.39% 33.71 -6.474 58.57% -0.842 -0.6661
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1163 45.95% 40.42 -0.183 68.19% -0.102 0.1962
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1075 42.72% 40.24 3.075 65.67% 0.19 0.1061
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5514 44.2% 42.17 2.318 79.05% 0.437 0.3259
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 146 41.78% 36.98 0.369 67.81% -0.019 -0.1368
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4067 68.9% 35.88 -5.063 61.99% -0.757 -0.2625
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 253 46.12% 33.6 -0.698 59.29% 0.122 0.071
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 619 41.65% 39.41 2.924 74.31% 0.416 -0.0948
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 251 50.0% 37.44 -6.7 66.53% -0.974 -1.102
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 691 48.63% 42.25 -1.55 76.41% -0.182 -0.1702
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 454 61.23% 39.23 -0.421 71.37% 0.016 0.1514
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7002 39.66% 43.39 -2.264 79.81% -0.431 -0.3828
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 588 36.86% 36.52 -0.133 69.73% -0.169 -0.384
Shifting Memory of Ages 1656 52.46% 36.63 -2.932 69.44% -0.554 -0.2594
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 442 37.78% 35.19 0.779 62.22% -0.088 -0.2063
Shroud of Silent Mist 1726 65.42% 33.26 -3.902 60.72% -0.63 -0.302
Starlight Seeks its Form 3209 34.85% 39.17 0.919 74.45% 0.227 0.1282
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3995 40.66% 40.43 0.867 80.28% 0.418 -0.1124
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4408 39.45% 42.39 -0.769 79.13% -0.223 -0.1462
Thunderspeaker 8190 45.45% 42.24 -0.503 76.52% 0.028 0.0643
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 327 48.62% 30.48 -0.412 57.49% -0.115 -0.0565
Towering Roots of the Jungle 818 36.81% 32.89 1.327 62.84% 0.34 0.4899
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2812 78.15% 35.79 -0.857 68.39% -0.003 0.1429
Vital Strength of the Earth 6200 45.76% 36.66 -1.618 65.27% -0.154 0.4141
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 512 40.16% 33.4 -0.623 61.91% -0.163 0.3577
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 661 41.15% 30.03 -7.445 51.29% -0.931 -0.19
Volcano Looming High 2871 53.34% 37.07 -1.897 69.8% -0.259 -0.2444
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1255 35.46% 36.97 1.838 69.96% 0.298 0.0061

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 25 32.0% 35.92 -8.081 64.0% -0.595 -0.6227
Blitz 0 1115 49.5% 37.89 -1.154 68.7% -0.288 -0.0372
Dahan Insurrection 4 1655 26.51% 58.94 1.494 71.96% -0.807 -1.0555
Despicable Theft 2 130 58.46% 38.05 2.957 51.54% 0.161 0.6231
Elemental Invocation 1 225 63.56% 31.61 -4.489 49.33% -0.526 0.1765
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 4416 13.11% 49.94 6.178 80.64% 0.867 0.3139
Powers Long Forgotten 1 333 57.66% 37.08 -3.832 57.06% -0.622 0.0013
Rituals of Terror 3 194 61.34% 39.52 -11.415 47.94% -1.144 -0.9511
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 129 74.42% 43.52 4.411 55.81% -0.06 0.8621
Second Wave 0 3449 51.98% 41.73 1.054 68.48% -0.366 -0.2485
The Great River 3 188 55.32% 30.52 -10.474 29.79% -1.223 -0.1549
Varied Terrains 2 83 66.27% 28.27 -10.294 36.14% -1.11 -0.369
Ward the Shores 2 204 58.82% 43.79 -14.913 62.25% -0.748 0.3357

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 78316 50.96% 38.78 -1.103 71.46% 0.038 0.5643
1 Thematic 3610 45.67% 46.31 1.577 65.01% 0.022 0.8766
2 Archipelago 29 58.62% 46.21 4.902 65.52% -0.319 0.7357
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 15886 45.59% 41.64 1.4 79.35% 0.357 0.6344
2 Coastline 2016 41.1% 41.92 2.771 79.32% 0.586 0.6889
2 Fragment 374 59.73% 37.29 5.507 68.98% 1.161 1.1734
2 Heart 185 54.59% 38.83 -7.301 73.51% -0.371 -0.2599
2 Opposite Shores 3558 46.62% 40.18 -0.573 74.96% 0.004 0.3407
2 Thematic 1206 54.32% 45.39 -1.227 68.33% -0.023 0.6665
2 Top to Top 605 44.94% 39.52 -2.951 74.71% -0.321 -0.0793
3 Archipelago 20 70.0% 47.4 -12.776 75.0% -1.163 -1.8839
3 Coastline 67 41.79% 39.31 -5.432 62.69% -0.892 -1.2324
3 Other 315 34.19% 40.84 -2.99 78.73% -0.089 -0.6908
3 Round (Default) 6079 39.33% 42.29 0.72 79.03% 0.063 0.0687
3 Sunrise 34 23.53% 35.35 -6.423 67.65% -0.797 -0.8589
3 Thematic 224 51.79% 47.24 -2.351 73.21% -0.1 -0.0158
4 Archipelago 25 28.0% 56.44 21.556 84.0% 0.562 0.7124
4 Coastline 8 62.5% 38.88 10.762 75.0% 0.399 -0.3593
4 Leaf 17 52.94% 44.47 0.0 76.47%
4 Other 164 35.37% 37.1 3.729 70.12% 0.794 0.1748
4 Reverse Snake 2 50.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Snake 4 25.0% 50.25 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 428 38.63% 51.9 -1.367 79.44% -0.341 -0.0734
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3116 34.87% 43.93 -2.62 82.19% -0.657 -0.4931
5 Archipelago 14 64.29% 51.71 5.55 85.71% 0.74 -0.1384
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 137 46.27% 41.64 -6.219 75.18% -1.585 -1.9713
5 Thematic 18 44.44% 45.33 0.0 61.11%
6 Archipelago 8 25.0% 36.63 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 36 20.59% 42.0 9.768 66.67% 0.6 0.5699
6 Star 46 26.09% 35.74 3.253 63.04% 0.124 0.107
6 Thematic 130 13.08% 38.27 0.0 46.15%
6 Two Centers (Default) 242 26.03% 38.48 -3.409 72.73% -0.879 -0.3144
7 Archipelago 2 50.0% 74.0 16.842 100.0% 0.288 0.2135
7 Other 7 28.57% 59.86 13.7 85.71% 0.424 -0.0108

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3928 35.04 -0.468 59.9% -0.257 -0.0075
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2987 37.71 2.746 64.85% 0.365 0.247
All Things Weaken 2274 34.1 0.88 58.05% 0.019 0.3564
Attenuated Essence 464 33.31 -0.021 61.42% 0.083 0.1095
Back Against the Wall 2914 36.05 0.823 60.47% -0.243 -0.2417
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 480 31.54 -2.037 53.75% -0.679 -0.4621
Burn Brightest Before the End 282 34.17 0.4 57.09% -0.248 -0.2667
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3695 32.23 -0.343 57.46% -0.065 0.3285
Downward Spiral 9182 34.46 0.112 62.74% 0.221 0.3295
Erosion of Will 3804 34.19 -0.793 57.81% -0.248 0.1042
Intensifying Exploitation 446 31.62 0.083 57.85% -0.151 0.0944
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 927 43.82 2.991 89.32% 0.493 -0.0312
Memory Fades to Dust 9273 33.72 0.877 59.03% 0.345 0.5921
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2276 34.3 0.599 61.25% 0.15 0.3722
Promising Farmlands 3764 34.03 -2.237 60.97% -0.463 -0.1799
Shattered Fragments of Power 319 33.69 1.346 55.8% -0.122 -0.045
Slow Dissolution of Will 456 31.75 -0.258 52.41% -0.361 0.0363
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 627 44.23 3.341 90.11% 0.726 0.0306
The Border of Life and Death 123 38.69 3.761 77.24% 0.633 0.0325
Thriving Communities 2223 33.93 -0.845 61.45% -0.179 0.1777
Thriving Crops 223 38.65 3.514 77.58% 0.677 0.4806
Tipping Point 1157 34.37 0.0 59.64%
Unnatural Proliferation 2397 36.72 0.966 64.16% -0.043 0.1194
Untended Land Crumbles 2217 33.43 -2.17 59.13% -0.647 -0.4157

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 26514 48.18% 39.49 -0.709 72.98% -0.245 0.7595
B 27428 46.86% 40.42 0.439 75.28% -0.02 0.8992
C 28640 46.7% 40.53 0.692 75.58% -0.018 0.7163
D 24489 48.1% 39.88 -0.353 74.1% -0.126 0.8516
E 11728 44.02% 40.27 1.023 75.23% -0.036 0.7841
F 14409 44.22% 40.71 -0.395 76.06% -0.274 0.6001
G 12917 44.94% 40.72 0.801 76.4% -0.058 0.7512
H 13538 43.19% 41.55 0.547 77.99% -0.022 0.7932
East 3910 44.87% 47.04 -1.756 66.5% -0.754 0.1486
Northeast 2533 42.03% 48.01 2.253 66.64% 0.169 0.9775
Northwest 1536 44.7% 46.62 1.115 70.57% -0.095 0.8048
Southeast 636 40.57% 43.24 -3.904 63.68% -0.724 0.1265
Southwest 595 41.85% 39.39 1.495 61.18% 0.233 1.6083
West 2941 48.5% 46.07 -1.786 67.97% -0.518 0.4373

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 742 0.0% 37.07 0.735 61.99% 0.226 0.9343
Not Using Events or Tokens 15941 53.98% 36.0 -3.793 63.76% -0.787 -0.4191
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1089 12.51% 55.38 13.29 88.8% 2.03 1.4453
Start of Game Growth 2224 16.92% 52.18 2.689 86.24% -0.033 -0.5474
Unlimited Undo 10277 40.2% 41.93 1.036 78.69% 0.273 0.1635
Using Tokens but Not Events 11574 39.64% 41.37 -0.87 78.08% -0.234 -0.2594

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 15366 13.33 8.56%
II 37605 30.1 65.94%
III 43292 34.83 89.99%
IV 20780 38.67 99.48%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.3 Win Model: 0.191
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 82290 50.74% 39.11 71.16%
2 23745 46.05% 41.55 77.95%
3 6662 39.38% 42.29 78.55%
4 3749 35.18% 44.61 81.33%
5 150 47.62% 41.45 68.0%
6 447 21.12% 38.31 64.43%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1316
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 38325
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 23635
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 20525
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 10402
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1915
Lose: Adversary condition 346
Win: Sacrifice victory 426
Lose: Scenario condition 541
Win: Scenario condition 1512
Lose: Blight pool ran out 17253
Lose: Spirit destroyed 847

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6261 34.9% 44.27 -1.349 76.12% -0.06 -0.166
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 209 38.76% 38.62 2.026 68.9% 0.476 -0.0042
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4250 65.67% 40.53 -4.2 69.18% -0.702 -0.5764
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 722 48.89% 45.92 5.237 78.53% 0.849 0.0018
Dances Up Earthquakes 271 40.59% 33.1 -0.854 60.52% -0.121 -0.0838
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3817 43.39% 45.05 2.33 81.06% 0.682 0.5453
Downpour Drenches the World 1127 35.32% 37.04 -4.218 63.62% -0.589 -0.3827
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1654 30.91% 44.1 3.814 78.36% 0.693 0.0818
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6188 27.98% 50.86 4.326 89.58% 0.924 0.5487
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4140 35.69% 47.76 0.664 84.42% 0.503 0.1127
Finder of Paths Unseen 531 49.15% 32.93 -5.595 56.31% -0.705 0.0148
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1428 34.87% 41.49 -5.307 65.48% -1.012 -0.4008
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2255 43.48% 42.45 2.333 71.31% 0.206 0.1063
Heart of the Wildfire 5651 66.42% 38.86 -4.223 65.58% -0.643 -0.3057
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10332 42.97% 47.24 2.998 83.59% 0.561 0.1303
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 550 27.87% 43.31 5.401 73.64% 0.877 0.5628
Lightning's Swift Strike 6279 52.03% 41.48 -2.163 70.44% -0.339 -0.109
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 790 52.23% 46.08 2.514 75.57% 0.48 0.0356
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1034 40.16% 47.71 1.734 84.04% 0.173 -0.1375
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 723 40.8% 47.77 0.999 81.6% 0.125 -0.0171
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4144 44.47% 45.76 4.567 79.63% 0.764 0.5359
Many Minds Move as One 2192 31.72% 47.1 1.235 85.17% 0.203 -0.0395
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8236 49.42% 42.75 -2.013 73.39% -0.235 -0.1257
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 520 66.92% 33.73 0.618 60.19% 0.301 0.42
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3980 42.55% 44.55 -2.064 79.3% -0.325 -0.3707
River Surges in Sunlight 8294 51.93% 44.75 1.536 71.2% 0.106 0.236
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 178 46.07% 35.48 5.087 59.55% 0.68 0.8554
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 765 45.74% 44.18 -4.776 70.33% -1.236 -0.938
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 742 46.62% 45.55 -2.266 73.72% -0.661 -0.7444
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4301 43.88% 44.17 0.58 77.63% 0.121 0.0095
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 142 33.1% 43.5 2.628 78.87% 0.308 0.1904
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2651 66.41% 37.59 -7.163 59.41% -1.239 -0.744
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 168 57.93% 40.21 -2.772 64.88% -0.364 -0.4149
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 467 48.6% 44.52 3.914 76.23% 0.707 0.1967
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 205 45.37% 44.22 7.22 75.61% 1.044 0.9163
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 498 60.97% 40.9 3.087 69.08% 0.54 0.5513
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 312 69.55% 40.21 3.328 66.03% 0.561 0.6961
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8255 30.15% 49.4 1.901 85.73% 0.344 0.3921
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 445 37.3% 44.42 1.777 75.28% 0.16 -0.0555
Shifting Memory of Ages 1235 55.3% 40.86 -3.226 71.34% -0.515 -0.2207
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 236 44.92% 39.17 2.043 69.92% 0.405 0.2862
Shroud of Silent Mist 1116 69.96% 34.08 -4.737 57.89% -0.689 -0.3614
Starlight Seeks its Form 2638 37.15% 42.7 0.622 76.19% 0.137 0.0382
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3558 37.12% 43.64 -0.162 81.93% -0.028 -0.5587
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3457 42.46% 44.6 -1.924 76.63% -0.319 -0.2421
Thunderspeaker 6079 45.99% 43.87 1.007 74.6% 0.23 0.2662
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 235 46.38% 40.09 0.407 68.09% -0.064 -0.0056
Towering Roots of the Jungle 807 44.97% 37.38 1.812 65.43% 0.273 0.4227
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2594 78.6% 39.31 -4.3 70.86% -0.687 -0.5404
Vital Strength of the Earth 3943 50.49% 35.66 -7.382 52.45% -1.243 -0.6745
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 390 48.45% 35.24 -2.476 57.69% -0.423 0.098
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 284 48.24% 35.78 -2.941 53.87% -0.606 0.1349
Volcano Looming High 2507 53.37% 41.41 -3.907 74.03% -0.596 -0.5809
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 841 38.53% 42.2 0.174 74.79% 0.034 -0.2586

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 22 31.82% 38.23 -11.781 59.09% -0.292 -0.3188
Blitz 0 724 43.48% 40.62 1.324 67.82% -0.097 0.153
Dahan Insurrection 4 886 26.64% 64.07 7.343 72.69% 0.049 -0.1997
Despicable Theft 2 49 55.1% 40.04 13.49 51.02% 0.3 0.7621
Elemental Invocation 1 131 47.33% 34.65 -3.409 54.96% -0.275 0.4278
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2962 13.35% 53.38 5.002 85.65% 0.489 -0.0635
Powers Long Forgotten 1 172 65.7% 38.79 -3.264 53.49% -0.132 0.4914
Rituals of Terror 3 187 49.2% 46.18 -17.93 53.48% -1.081 -0.888
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 107 72.9% 43.32 -2.869 47.66% -0.606 0.3165
Second Wave 0 2227 52.73% 43.85 -0.29 66.77% -0.577 -0.4599
The Great River 3 87 52.87% 31.84 -15.098 33.33% -0.29 0.7783
Varied Terrains 2 44 56.82% 31.27 -8.879 43.18% -0.304 0.4369
Ward the Shores 2 143 53.85% 47.71 -1.033 65.03% -0.446 0.6373

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 71455 48.03% 42.61 -0.81 73.42% 0.08 0.6064
1 Thematic 2345 53.42% 49.82 2.402 68.4% 0.123 0.9773
2 Archipelago 18 72.22% 41.67 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11460 46.37% 44.23 0.799 78.25% 0.359 0.6373
2 Coastline 1618 40.79% 45.98 1.677 81.46% 0.495 0.5976
2 Fragment 238 52.34% 41.12 -1.935 69.75% -0.231 -0.2178
2 Heart 108 43.93% 43.43 -6.493 77.78% -0.535 -0.4232
2 Opposite Shores 2557 45.12% 41.34 -3.116 71.53% -0.449 -0.1131
2 Thematic 750 52.41% 47.48 3.394 67.6% 0.544 1.2335
2 Top to Top 529 43.45% 44.91 1.329 79.02% 0.515 0.7574
3 Archipelago 13 30.77% 46.15 0.0 69.23%
3 Coastline 55 29.09% 57.44 0.0 98.18%
3 Other 146 54.86% 45.34 4.583 79.45% 0.541 -0.0615
3 Round (Default) 4424 38.12% 46.06 2.477 81.62% 0.855 0.8613
3 Sunrise 17 17.65% 55.71 0.0 88.24%
3 Thematic 148 52.7% 44.85 -18.287 64.86% -0.812 -0.727
4 Archipelago 11 72.73% 47.64 0.0 63.64%
4 Coastline 4 50.0% 47.25 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 10 60.0% 42.5 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 70 39.13% 47.2 -1.409 80.0% 0.069 -0.5498
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 508 35.11% 51.3 3.719 73.62% 0.561 0.8287
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1987 38.06% 45.07 -1.447 79.27% -0.164 -0.0002
5 Archipelago 4 100.0% 70.5 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 3 0.0% 21.0 0.0 33.33%
5 Other 90 50.0% 41.36 -0.317 68.89% 0.077 -0.3093
5 Thematic 8 37.5% 36.25 -8.267 62.5% -0.043 -0.8407
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 29 44.83% 39.48 -5.757 72.41% 0.005 -0.0256
6 Star 16 50.0% 48.13 2.389 81.25% 0.122 0.1049
6 Thematic 88 5.68% 47.55 0.261 59.09% -0.209 -0.106
6 Two Centers (Default) 65 36.92% 38.26 -4.726 66.15% -0.659 -0.0937

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3279 37.97 -0.973 60.75% -0.487 -0.2371
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2397 40.89 1.341 65.79% 0.001 -0.1177
All Things Weaken 1934 36.93 0.688 59.1% 0.003 0.3396
Attenuated Essence 399 36.45 0.87 63.41% 0.069 0.0954
Back Against the Wall 2268 39.55 3.43 62.52% 0.336 0.3373
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 388 34.22 -0.76 56.44% -0.171 0.046
Burn Brightest Before the End 256 37.3 -1.275 58.98% -0.614 -0.6323
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3048 35.12 -0.399 57.35% -0.105 0.2881
Downward Spiral 7211 36.33 -1.723 60.13% -0.304 -0.1961
Erosion of Will 3139 36.54 -4.158 56.83% -0.943 -0.5906
Intensifying Exploitation 403 32.9 -1.65 54.59% -0.338 -0.0922
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 790 46.64 3.876 86.84% 0.812 0.2876
Memory Fades to Dust 7383 35.21 -2.016 55.6% -0.328 -0.0803
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1953 38.24 -2.039 64.93% -0.479 -0.2569
Promising Farmlands 3257 36.48 0.219 59.69% -0.048 0.2353
Shattered Fragments of Power 259 36.5 -0.277 57.92% -0.415 -0.3382
Slow Dissolution of Will 386 30.75 -3.093 48.19% -0.789 -0.3915
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 547 46.95 1.158 89.03% 0.386 -0.3092
The Border of Life and Death 103 44.4 3.607 82.52% 0.572 -0.0284
Thriving Communities 1824 35.74 -2.125 58.72% -0.382 -0.0251
Thriving Crops 177 35.36 -3.198 66.1% -0.381 -0.5773
Tipping Point 957 35.54 0.0 54.13%
Unnatural Proliferation 2004 38.91 0.257 63.27% -0.4 -0.2378
Untended Land Crumbles 1879 36.81 -0.544 60.83% -0.342 -0.1105

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 20460 47.45% 42.41 -0.643 72.79% -0.095 0.9094
B 22021 45.51% 43.7 -0.514 75.89% -0.078 0.8417
C 22495 47.16% 43.35 0.403 75.13% 0.131 0.8657
D 19156 47.3% 43.11 -0.132 74.5% 0.014 0.9919
E 10107 43.48% 44.4 0.068 78.41% -0.005 0.8149
F 12111 44.29% 43.65 -0.089 76.7% -0.109 0.7651
G 10750 44.68% 43.85 0.123 77.28% -0.035 0.7739
H 11068 42.11% 44.67 2.094 78.74% 0.328 1.1429
East 2527 48.3% 48.8 0.557 67.99% 0.015 0.9176
Northeast 1555 46.1% 48.91 3.927 68.17% 0.481 1.2895
Northwest 1263 43.31% 49.47 5.768 71.42% 0.385 1.2846
Southeast 454 40.97% 45.61 1.833 65.2% 0.281 1.1314
Southwest 433 43.19% 40.35 -4.098 57.97% -0.815 0.5605
West 2330 46.6% 49.89 -4.541 69.06% -0.797 0.1585

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 541 0.0% 43.79 2.065 70.79% -0.038 0.6702
Not Using Events or Tokens 12557 51.35% 38.79 -4.346 64.48% -0.755 -0.3866
Skip Initial Invader Actions 770 14.92% 58.59 4.309 89.87% 0.851 0.2666
Start of Game Growth 1580 18.35% 53.99 -2.33 85.25% -0.561 -1.0754
Unlimited Undo 9959 42.83% 44.28 1.128 77.87% 0.241 0.132
Using Tokens but Not Events 9384 38.35% 44.1 -0.935 76.55% -0.271 -0.2969

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 15382 13.33 22.11%
II 40892 30.1 76.35%
III 30612 34.83 88.22%
IV 11959 38.67 99.65%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.416 Win Model: 0.067
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 74024 48.23% 42.83 73.25%
2 17200 45.86% 44.1 77.03%
3 4754 38.69% 46.19 81.36%
4 2593 37.62% 46.4 78.13%
5 75 52.0% 35.52 60.0%
6 199 25.63% 43.34 65.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3398
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 26671
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 30408
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 11817
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7341
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3230
Lose: Adversary condition 175
Win: Sacrifice victory 372
Lose: Scenario condition 331
Win: Scenario condition 877
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13576
Lose: Spirit destroyed 649

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3579 46.96% 44.22 -4.397 60.38% -0.815 -0.9202
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 94 31.52% 41.85 -4.74 60.64% -0.753 -1.2331
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2016 74.29% 42.84 -7.318 59.47% -0.869 -0.7438
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 317 44.16% 48.96 3.928 74.76% 0.453 -0.3941
Dances Up Earthquakes 310 22.58% 55.38 7.084 86.13% 1.433 1.4699
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2848 40.37% 51.39 -0.732 76.44% -0.134 -0.2703
Downpour Drenches the World 565 41.08% 38.51 0.186 53.63% -0.175 0.0314
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 917 35.01% 48.76 1.019 75.35% 0.156 -0.4548
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3620 38.19% 54.01 1.863 80.94% 0.399 0.024
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2173 45.85% 51.11 2.177 73.72% 0.241 -0.149
Finder of Paths Unseen 225 54.22% 36.08 -5.655 48.0% -0.998 -0.2781
Fractured Days Split the Sky 571 50.79% 44.89 -3.469 55.69% -0.403 0.2077
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 898 46.44% 49.76 0.087 71.83% -0.055 -0.155
Heart of the Wildfire 3120 70.13% 40.92 -3.547 55.51% -0.566 -0.2296
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4783 58.01% 47.42 1.493 68.14% 0.356 -0.0742
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 600 16.17% 56.76 2.531 85.83% 0.284 -0.0302
Lightning's Swift Strike 3993 70.46% 41.9 -0.618 56.27% 0.179 0.409
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 265 63.88% 43.61 1.478 60.0% 0.592 0.1479
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 472 53.09% 47.01 -0.804 70.34% 0.147 -0.164
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 421 40.14% 50.58 1.613 72.45% 0.035 -0.1075
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2407 51.33% 49.17 3.879 71.96% 0.76 0.5324
Many Minds Move as One 855 40.23% 52.87 1.245 81.64% 0.336 0.0936
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4344 56.4% 47.05 -3.006 67.03% -0.413 -0.3036
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 197 60.91% 33.31 -4.502 47.72% -0.642 -0.5234
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2051 52.56% 47.42 1.506 68.31% 0.425 0.3792
River Surges in Sunlight 4690 62.79% 47.65 -0.601 62.22% -0.056 0.0742
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 68 57.35% 37.99 8.86 50.0% 0.636 0.8117
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 770 24.94% 55.85 3.144 77.14% -0.259 0.0392
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 441 53.53% 44.07 1.417 59.86% 0.25 0.1665
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2030 54.08% 47.17 0.653 67.59% 0.286 0.1752
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 31 45.16% 41.13 1.947 64.52% 0.217 0.0988
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2171 80.27% 41.08 -5.35 52.69% -0.482 0.0123
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 65 64.41% 42.34 8.976 58.46% 0.915 0.8639
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 236 52.81% 44.83 4.339 69.07% 0.773 0.2629
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 199 26.13% 55.11 6.85 80.9% 0.51 0.3821
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 244 77.05% 41.39 3.346 50.41% 0.339 0.351
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 145 75.17% 43.74 -3.055 60.0% -0.313 -0.1777
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4205 38.02% 54.03 1.426 77.88% 0.181 0.2295
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 267 46.82% 44.52 3.933 67.42% 0.57 0.3548
Shifting Memory of Ages 500 66.6% 38.94 -7.578 49.4% -1.217 -0.9226
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 64 67.19% 43.13 -2.597 62.5% -0.415 -0.5332
Shroud of Silent Mist 414 76.51% 35.48 -4.181 46.38% -0.758 -0.4308
Starlight Seeks its Form 1001 42.36% 45.99 -0.07 64.04% -0.569 -0.6687
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2855 35.36% 50.38 -0.545 78.84% 0.142 -0.3889
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2045 48.09% 50.26 -2.537 71.64% -0.454 -0.3771
Thunderspeaker 3274 55.65% 46.1 -1.165 62.55% -0.066 -0.0295
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 109 44.04% 46.75 4.25 71.56% 0.338 0.3961
Towering Roots of the Jungle 364 54.12% 36.34 -4.262 49.45% -0.416 -0.2668
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1496 86.29% 43.79 0.482 63.03% 0.329 0.4747
Vital Strength of the Earth 2336 64.39% 34.79 0.161 35.79% -0.157 0.4114
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 276 47.45% 39.64 4.449 49.28% 0.765 1.2864
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 150 52.67% 35.44 -11.898 36.67% -1.523 -0.7818
Volcano Looming High 1195 67.82% 43.21 -2.629 62.09% -0.307 -0.2923
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 350 45.14% 41.18 3.057 62.0% 0.678 0.3864

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 0.0% 16.5 -2.103 25.0% -0.037 -0.0638
Blitz 0 474 68.6% 39.62 1.04 50.42% 0.388 0.6382
Dahan Insurrection 4 584 49.66% 63.58 -4.502 57.71% -0.768 -1.0163
Despicable Theft 2 13 46.15% 38.38 0.0 38.46%
Elemental Invocation 1 66 63.64% 23.45 -19.988 16.67% -0.469 0.2343
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2259 14.86% 59.98 9.822 86.45% 1.849 1.2964
Powers Long Forgotten 1 117 69.23% 42.9 -10.396 47.01% -0.53 0.094
Rituals of Terror 3 100 53.0% 42.04 -13.145 35.0% -0.506 -0.3133
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 60 90.0% 47.9 -25.573 41.67% -0.614 0.308
Second Wave 0 1244 60.94% 46.68 -0.99 58.6% -0.496 -0.379
The Great River 3 34 52.94% 33.71 0.0 17.65%
Varied Terrains 2 15 66.67% 36.73 0.0 26.67%
Ward the Shores 2 75 73.33% 45.64 -8.144 45.33% -0.778 0.306

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 41593 55.82% 45.53 -0.439 64.12% -0.282 0.2442
1 Thematic 1404 62.4% 50.37 3.94 55.48% -0.195 0.6588
2 Archipelago 11 81.82% 60.0 25.886 72.73% 0.576 1.631
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6146 55.27% 47.27 -1.577 67.72% -0.073 0.2051
2 Coastline 955 48.63% 46.8 0.491 66.91% 0.099 0.2019
2 Fragment 112 65.77% 44.57 -7.604 62.5% -0.957 -0.9441
2 Heart 91 61.54% 44.31 -17.279 61.54% -0.438 -0.3269
2 Opposite Shores 1688 48.46% 50.12 3.245 72.57% 0.542 0.8782
2 Thematic 373 65.23% 49.8 -4.493 52.01% -0.513 0.1761
2 Top to Top 201 60.5% 46.68 -8.864 67.16% -0.574 -0.3316
3 Archipelago 4 50.0% 84.75 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 11 27.27% 60.55 0.0 90.91%
3 Other 51 60.78% 51.92 4.709 72.55% 0.521 -0.0815
3 Round (Default) 1996 49.32% 50.04 0.745 73.2% 0.096 0.1018
3 Sunrise 4 50.0% 38.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 84 48.81% 55.58 -2.898 65.48% -0.409 -0.3249
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 64.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 14 57.14% 49.71 0.0 71.43%
4 Snake 1 100.0% 38.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 220 30.0% 57.11 -1.47 72.27% 0.022 0.2891
4 Trapezoid (Default) 884 45.35% 45.48 3.025 66.06% 1.021 1.1855
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 30 46.67% 49.17 0.0 73.33%
5 Thematic 6 83.33% 69.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 4 0.0% 70.0 16.607 100.0% 0.424 -0.6861
6 Other 15 40.0% 27.53 -6.615 40.0% -0.584 -0.614
6 Star 4 0.0% 28.5 -5.787 25.0% -0.479 -0.4961
6 Thematic 36 25.0% 57.94 -2.276 66.67% 0.128 0.2314
6 Two Centers (Default) 22 18.18% 37.55 0.0 59.09%
7 Other 4 0.0% 0.0 -6.312 0.0% -0.069 -0.5037

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1986 40.77 1.724 50.15% 0.054 0.3032
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1417 44.82 1.368 58.36% -0.031 -0.1497
All Things Weaken 1186 39.32 -0.933 47.98% -0.455 -0.118
Attenuated Essence 241 39.74 1.762 54.77% 0.394 0.4213
Back Against the Wall 1435 43.43 -0.246 54.98% -0.325 -0.3243
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 251 35.99 -3.304 48.21% -0.788 -0.5703
Burn Brightest Before the End 167 41.22 -0.236 55.09% -0.29 -0.309
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1856 37.42 0.808 46.66% 0.086 0.4787
Downward Spiral 5850 38.73 0.026 49.15% -0.1 0.0077
Erosion of Will 1880 38.53 -4.929 45.27% -0.893 -0.5408
Intensifying Exploitation 269 34.21 -2.068 46.47% -0.486 -0.2405
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 418 51.4 5.602 81.82% 0.93 0.4054
Memory Fades to Dust 5715 38.07 -2.165 46.37% -0.567 -0.32
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1156 39.67 -3.433 51.56% -0.576 -0.3539
Promising Farmlands 1924 37.51 -2.246 44.91% -0.554 -0.2716
Shattered Fragments of Power 157 39.85 0.492 50.96% -0.408 -0.3314
Slow Dissolution of Will 210 32.17 -2.831 37.62% -0.778 -0.3814
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 242 51.7 2.074 83.06% 0.381 -0.3142
The Border of Life and Death 61 50.61 -0.948 81.97% -0.045 -0.6455
Thriving Communities 1172 39.07 -1.15 50.6% -0.385 -0.0287
Thriving Crops 93 48.32 0.872 76.34% 0.312 0.1159
Tipping Point 639 38.12 0.0 42.72%
Unnatural Proliferation 1238 42.0 2.269 53.47% 0.137 0.2997
Untended Land Crumbles 1148 39.29 -3.225 50.61% -0.827 -0.5957

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10739 57.6% 43.85 -1.49 60.16% -0.35 0.6544
B 12415 52.89% 47.57 -0.506 67.69% -0.078 0.8419
C 12355 59.59% 45.17 0.175 63.28% -0.064 0.6705
D 9852 60.18% 44.04 -1.873 60.96% -0.291 0.6866
E 4641 53.52% 46.44 1.523 67.64% 0.16 0.9795
F 7416 46.18% 48.61 0.901 71.78% 0.127 1.0003
G 6331 47.72% 49.23 2.104 72.03% 0.12 0.9294
H 6691 45.74% 49.69 0.926 72.81% 0.062 0.8768
East 1362 56.33% 52.54 -3.333 58.81% -0.7 0.2022
Northeast 798 54.21% 52.34 2.228 60.03% 0.295 1.1033
Northwest 619 50.16% 52.86 2.615 59.61% 0.431 1.3311
Southeast 217 49.77% 49.29 -2.567 58.53% -0.763 0.0876
Southwest 207 54.37% 42.74 -4.696 50.24% -0.276 1.0994
West 1167 55.29% 51.43 -1.413 56.21% -0.58 0.3749

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 284 0.0% 41.1 -0.17 54.58% -0.346 0.3614
Not Using Events or Tokens 9137 67.81% 39.98 -2.944 52.58% -0.263 0.1052
Skip Initial Invader Actions 427 22.86% 61.15 12.948 81.97% 0.91 0.3255
Start of Game Growth 894 21.08% 61.58 -1.374 84.45% -0.271 -0.7853
Unlimited Undo 9650 33.4% 54.93 4.289 82.44% 0.616 0.5064
Using Tokens but Not Events 10444 27.73% 54.6 1.402 81.81% -0.066 -0.0914

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10240 13.33 18.42%
II 24035 30.1 65.74%
III 16009 34.83 81.15%
IV 5710 38.67 99.46%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.047 Win Model: -0.088
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 43129 56.04% 45.67 63.78%
2 9512 54.11% 47.84 68.03%
3 2125 49.48% 50.38 73.04%
4 1116 41.7% 48.14 68.01%
5 32 50.0% 43.84 59.38%
6 80 21.25% 44.04 60.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1886
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12796
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 15429
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5624
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4379
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3205
Lose: Adversary condition 110
Win: Sacrifice victory 182
Lose: Scenario condition 200
Win: Scenario condition 440
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11174
Lose: Spirit destroyed 569

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8204 61.62% 39.97 -1.226 42.76% -0.103 -0.2084
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 416 45.19% 27.05 -0.593 32.21% -0.28 -0.7598
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6945 81.1% 40.31 -1.304 45.23% -0.026 0.0993
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 1923 57.93% 50.53 12.385 70.05% 2.032 1.1849
Dances Up Earthquakes 452 75.66% 30.3 0.742 36.28% 0.106 0.1427
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3985 74.09% 37.03 -0.934 40.2% -0.034 -0.1707
Downpour Drenches the World 1625 51.91% 32.37 -2.806 36.0% -0.551 -0.344
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 3069 54.72% 41.27 4.661 55.36% 0.708 0.0971
Eyes Watch From the Trees 10305 53.2% 47.47 1.918 61.25% 0.504 0.1287
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4057 72.52% 42.47 2.834 50.01% 0.604 0.2137
Finder of Paths Unseen 877 65.98% 27.89 -2.477 29.3% -0.508 0.2111
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2114 59.91% 44.0 -5.473 48.82% -0.539 0.0722
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2507 67.84% 40.84 -1.591 49.34% -0.287 -0.3865
Heart of the Wildfire 8761 87.34% 30.82 -4.367 28.73% -0.734 -0.3977
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 11818 69.76% 41.44 0.235 49.79% 0.136 -0.295
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 742 57.55% 36.89 1.12 46.23% 0.079 -0.2355
Lightning's Swift Strike 8869 70.62% 37.39 -4.458 40.55% -0.745 -0.5153
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1357 71.22% 41.03 3.671 50.85% 0.484 0.0392
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1693 77.65% 44.81 -0.166 57.41% -0.011 -0.3215
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1352 63.16% 43.45 2.094 54.22% 0.358 0.2157
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 7018 64.98% 42.17 1.853 52.11% 0.114 -0.1139
Many Minds Move as One 2735 58.05% 51.49 3.312 69.54% 0.543 0.3001
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 32960 55.68% 53.31 0.244 74.59% 0.547 0.656
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 1017 74.34% 30.98 -0.212 38.94% 0.024 0.143
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4017 74.81% 38.69 -3.462 42.64% -0.489 -0.5352
River Surges in Sunlight 13012 72.08% 42.44 -2.953 45.7% -0.527 -0.3971
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 587 62.69% 30.57 1.735 37.82% 0.434 0.6095
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 705 72.58% 34.91 -3.489 29.79% -1.148 -0.85
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1580 65.35% 35.38 -1.171 40.44% -0.12 -0.2037
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6877 59.97% 41.9 -3.956 49.45% -0.361 -0.4723
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 139 60.43% 44.19 6.835 61.15% 1.07 0.9518
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4096 70.64% 36.21 -4.655 37.6% -0.853 -0.3583
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 142 83.94% 38.52 7.314 44.37% 0.79 0.7383
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 1087 67.13% 44.75 6.654 60.99% 0.882 0.3719
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 264 69.32% 31.66 -0.607 35.61% -0.016 -0.1436
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 617 82.14% 38.34 -3.191 41.98% -0.737 -0.7251
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 478 88.91% 38.93 0.386 43.51% 0.463 0.5983
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7392 63.12% 42.22 1.292 50.8% 0.162 0.2107
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 628 63.69% 35.33 1.47 43.95% 0.276 0.061
Shifting Memory of Ages 1243 77.96% 35.23 -4.18 33.55% -0.511 -0.2169
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 283 56.89% 38.55 3.47 49.47% 0.499 0.3803
Shroud of Silent Mist 1267 86.41% 31.01 -3.427 30.86% -0.676 -0.3487
Starlight Seeks its Form 3936 70.5% 37.66 0.688 40.8% 0.148 0.0488
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6155 63.62% 43.59 2.455 50.11% 0.302 -0.2284
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3988 72.04% 41.86 6.954 48.82% 1.185 1.2619
Thunderspeaker 9719 71.22% 43.77 -2.528 43.3% -0.129 -0.0925
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 548 60.4% 37.52 2.443 47.26% 0.317 0.3753
Towering Roots of the Jungle 949 54.22% 28.77 1.154 34.46% 0.307 0.4565
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4947 89.99% 42.39 2.561 54.3% 0.47 0.6156
Vital Strength of the Earth 4973 75.03% 28.38 -6.937 19.45% -1.414 -0.846
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 543 68.69% 29.94 -3.295 27.99% -0.94 -0.4186
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 555 75.59% 26.42 -6.46 16.94% -0.958 -0.2163
Volcano Looming High 4429 75.33% 39.16 -2.173 47.57% -0.268 -0.2528
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1078 64.1% 36.51 -0.752 47.03% -0.145 -0.4375

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 17 41.18% 44.41 -14.903 52.94% -0.278 -0.3055
Blitz 0 1194 54.53% 41.29 -2.786 48.91% -0.295 -0.0444
Dahan Insurrection 4 3413 72.11% 53.11 -1.486 34.34% -0.19 -0.4387
Despicable Theft 2 35 60.0% 35.37 7.632 22.86% -0.054 0.408
Elemental Invocation 1 99 65.66% 29.13 -7.206 16.16% -0.612 0.0911
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5253 35.47% 53.47 10.035 66.38% 1.333 0.7808
Powers Long Forgotten 1 149 81.63% 33.89 -6.846 22.15% -0.011 0.6129
Rituals of Terror 3 456 50.88% 68.02 16.167 39.69% 0.684 0.8764
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 53 58.49% 27.17 -5.943 15.09% -0.458 0.464
Second Wave 0 981 69.56% 43.16 -7.085 44.24% -1.345 -1.2275
The Great River 3 58 67.24% 33.43 4.099 17.24% -0.1 0.968
Varied Terrains 2 31 54.84% 28.0 -14.967 19.35% -0.543 0.198
Ward the Shores 2 108 73.15% 30.09 -10.694 21.3% -0.199 0.8846

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 133966 69.4% 41.56 -0.24 50.42% -0.004 0.5229
1 Thematic 5027 74.93% 49.78 1.176 36.84% -0.529 0.3256
2 Archipelago 74 43.84% 35.49 4.221 28.38% 0.193 1.2478
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13811 62.93% 44.93 1.397 56.64% 0.301 0.579
2 Coastline 2461 65.79% 42.42 -0.73 53.19% -0.108 -0.0053
2 Fragment 256 72.94% 35.64 -6.185 40.23% -0.498 -0.4848
2 Heart 172 70.93% 39.1 -2.758 44.19% -0.462 -0.3504
2 Opposite Shores 3833 69.56% 40.13 -4.375 44.61% -0.725 -0.3885
2 Thematic 1270 77.38% 46.35 -9.359 33.23% -0.869 -0.179
2 Top to Top 613 73.52% 40.33 -3.509 47.31% -0.524 -0.2821
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 57.33 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 58 58.62% 42.97 19.335 48.28% 1.055 0.7144
3 Other 110 76.36% 40.94 8.464 46.36% 0.923 0.3214
3 Round (Default) 3935 66.85% 41.84 -1.263 51.28% -0.036 -0.0297
3 Sunrise 8 87.5% 51.38 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 158 53.8% 79.61 14.27 53.16% 0.213 0.2976
4 Archipelago 6 66.67% 50.0 -0.248 33.33% -0.093 0.0575
4 Coastline 13 38.46% 47.85 0.0 61.54%
4 Leaf 8 50.0% 33.25 0.0 37.5%
4 Other 46 73.91% 47.13 -5.466 60.87% -0.34 -0.9589
4 Snake 2 100.0% 26.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 480 49.69% 62.87 11.062 51.25% 0.797 1.0649
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2807 49.55% 38.57 4.289 47.74% 0.951 1.1149
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 18.67 -6.963 0.0% -0.321 -1.1993
5 Coastline 24 12.5% 51.71 -14.878 75.0% -0.414 -0.3181
5 Other 67 65.67% 47.0 1.782 58.21% 0.034 -0.3523
5 Thematic 9 88.89% 52.0 0.0 33.33%
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 48.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Coastline 7 0.0% 63.71 0.0 85.71%
6 Other 61 31.15% 24.97 -5.441 34.43% -0.282 -0.3125
6 Star 21 47.62% 31.38 -8.299 42.86% -0.239 -0.2566
6 Thematic 50 53.06% 24.54 -5.909 26.0% -0.719 -0.6157
6 Two Centers (Default) 46 47.83% 31.35 3.895 39.13% 0.382 0.947
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 26.5 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 4 25.0% 20.25 -9.938 25.0% -0.381 -0.815

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 8790 40.62 2.684 44.2% 0.068 0.3179
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6831 46.56 5.823 55.79% 0.513 0.395
All Things Weaken 4920 37.71 1.454 39.92% -0.082 0.2548
Attenuated Essence 1221 34.71 2.817 40.95% 0.157 0.184
Back Against the Wall 5755 42.26 5.156 45.65% 0.466 0.4673
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1165 31.34 2.02 33.56% 0.058 0.2749
Burn Brightest Before the End 775 38.24 6.979 40.9% 0.66 0.641
Disintegrating Ecosystem 8149 37.27 0.865 40.96% -0.113 0.28
Downward Spiral 16735 37.91 1.269 38.59% 0.281 0.3894
Erosion of Will 8518 39.03 1.909 41.21% 0.024 0.3767
Intensifying Exploitation 1269 29.3 0.615 31.52% -0.23 0.0159
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1366 49.52 0.779 68.81% 0.177 -0.3473
Memory Fades to Dust 16564 37.31 1.167 35.85% 0.134 0.3817
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4870 37.02 1.01 39.49% -0.13 0.0919
Promising Farmlands 8107 38.08 1.381 40.78% -0.057 0.2264
Shattered Fragments of Power 780 38.88 4.88 44.23% 0.302 0.3793
Slow Dissolution of Will 1213 31.56 1.298 31.33% -0.249 0.1483
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 809 50.63 0.964 73.3% 0.356 -0.3391
The Border of Life and Death 226 37.4 3.428 53.54% 0.278 -0.3225
Thriving Communities 4732 35.2 0.695 36.05% -0.15 0.207
Thriving Crops 386 35.29 4.355 49.48% 0.627 0.4306
Tipping Point 2485 38.06 0.0 37.42%
Unnatural Proliferation 5197 40.14 3.432 42.54% 0.269 0.4316
Untended Land Crumbles 4807 36.17 0.122 37.9% -0.396 -0.1641

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 30330 69.28% 38.62 -1.559 44.44% -0.618 0.3867
B 35069 66.7% 42.21 0.112 51.24% -0.391 0.5284
C 34967 68.46% 40.91 0.247 48.87% -0.401 0.334
D 31856 67.67% 42.51 -1.036 51.99% -0.715 0.2626
E 15803 67.22% 41.03 1.889 50.87% -0.21 0.6102
F 18960 65.15% 42.94 0.064 53.82% -0.54 0.3339
G 17867 65.19% 44.12 0.653 56.08% -0.402 0.4073
H 16914 63.6% 43.36 -0.231 54.51% -0.497 0.3174
East 5089 73.33% 52.54 3.0 37.71% -0.053 0.8496
Northeast 2683 69.25% 55.42 4.192 43.09% 0.169 0.9769
Northwest 1574 63.88% 52.58 1.792 42.5% -0.222 0.6781
Southeast 432 78.27% 35.99 -6.903 24.77% -0.957 -0.106
Southwest 379 68.18% 28.46 -6.016 21.37% -0.925 0.4512
West 2995 68.17% 48.72 0.087 36.16% -0.762 0.1934

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 820 0.0% 37.76 -0.593 38.66% -0.23 0.4776
Not Using Events or Tokens 18313 76.22% 34.14 -4.618 30.6% -0.694 -0.3255
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3089 17.34% 63.3 10.979 82.78% 0.995 0.4105
Start of Game Growth 6815 22.98% 57.22 5.226 77.53% 0.854 0.3399
Unlimited Undo 15204 60.93% 44.04 0.245 56.64% -0.031 -0.1407
Using Tokens but Not Events 13073 53.69% 42.52 0.935 51.62% -0.064 -0.0901

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 39807 13.33 3.94%
II 62100 30.1 45.94%
III 53614 34.83 76.71%
IV 14014 38.67 99.61%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.084 Win Model: 0.432
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 139721 69.59% 41.88 49.92%
2 22078 65.51% 43.79 52.55%
3 4233 65.76% 43.71 51.41%
4 3237 50.69% 39.82 47.7%
5 85 51.76% 39.61 49.41%
6 181 38.89% 29.96 39.23%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1561
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 40408
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 26938
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 13777
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 20609
Lose: Invader deck ran out 12078
Lose: Adversary condition 606
Win: Sacrifice victory 903
Lose: Scenario condition 997
Win: Scenario condition 1594
Lose: Blight pool ran out 47009
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3055

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)