The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7952 25.59% 25.74 -0.4 88.3% 0.097 -0.0308
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5508 44.38% 25.53 0.256 86.73% 0.328 0.394
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3820 26.08% 26.94 0.893 92.57% 1.069 0.8103
Downpour Drenches the World 209 23.79% 27.4 -0.866 88.52% -0.445 -0.0766
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4898 15.47% 30.36 1.986 95.77% 1.68 1.1806
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3720 18.98% 28.35 0.824 94.52% 0.863 0.3847
Finder of Paths Unseen 115 33.33% 25.28 -1.262 86.09% -0.906 -0.5459
Fractured Days Split the Sky 818 32.88% 28.4 1.93 83.74% -0.017 -0.0005
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 661 41.0% 28.07 -0.136 85.02% -0.24 -0.2842
Heart of the Wildfire 5039 57.98% 21.83 -1.85 75.93% -0.487 -0.171
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6798 27.62% 27.07 0.418 91.25% 0.434 -0.1202
Lightning's Swift Strike 9214 42.37% 23.79 -0.848 80.63% -0.149 0.1833
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 73 31.51% 30.44 0.985 90.41% 0.479 -0.4041
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 575 26.09% 29.07 1.909 93.04% 0.767 0.2822
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 409 33.66% 28.46 1.742 90.22% 0.19 -0.3308
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2296 25.56% 28.56 1.54 92.2% 0.912 0.8347
Many Minds Move as One 1352 21.1% 28.98 1.271 94.9% 1.219 0.596
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7725 40.34% 25.8 1.069 87.29% 0.235 0.1045
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3409 30.3% 25.79 -0.309 90.26% -0.319 -0.3226
River Surges in Sunlight 10078 39.22% 26.35 -0.436 80.38% -0.461 -0.6154
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 713 37.57% 27.52 0.412 81.91% -0.716 -0.3022
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 117 37.93% 33.92 3.705 94.87% 0.453 0.043
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4241 29.99% 25.89 -0.51 89.06% -0.029 -0.14
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 5549 54.36% 23.73 -0.827 78.92% -0.277 0.1616
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 32 34.38% 27.78 -3.03 90.63% -0.663 -0.6751
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 41 24.39% 29.1 1.353 90.24% 0.088 0.1764
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 480 32.5% 27.64 0.982 92.29% 0.667 0.6494
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 352 42.57% 26.66 0.965 88.07% -0.471 -0.4358
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4919 28.36% 27.11 -0.294 89.49% -0.17 -0.3343
Shifting Memory of Ages 553 40.55% 25.67 -1.971 86.26% -0.498 -0.3259
Shroud of Silent Mist 980 44.02% 24.99 -1.861 85.31% -0.531 -0.3296
Starlight Seeks its Form 757 22.85% 29.4 1.132 89.96% -0.138 -0.2233
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2016 27.78% 24.47 -0.309 91.82% -0.183 -0.3872
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2880 30.72% 25.61 -0.175 86.01% -0.5 -0.3755
Thunderspeaker 7266 31.64% 26.71 0.395 85.93% -0.366 -0.4468
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1346 60.09% 22.05 -0.661 83.73% 0.106 -0.1471
Vital Strength of the Earth 6875 31.76% 22.32 -2.377 76.95% -1.125 -0.268
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 82 32.93% 25.24 -0.704 82.93% 0.121 0.6659
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 333 33.84% 22.65 -1.418 77.48% -0.566 0.6517
Volcano Looming High 1223 39.33% 25.45 -0.605 85.94% 0.15 0.1476

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 42.86% 25.14 -0.651 85.71% 0.087 -0.3028
Blitz 0 947 40.56% 23.42 -2.433 78.35% -0.9 -0.4125
Dahan Insurrection 4 1248 19.9% 46.59 9.969 81.33% -0.622 -0.5417
Despicable Theft 2 111 35.14% 33.98 10.039 79.28% 0.559 1.0149
Elemental Invocation 1 187 44.92% 28.49 -0.704 79.68% -0.969 -0.3188
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2044 8.53% 30.87 2.277 86.64% -0.432 -0.3121
Powers Long Forgotten 1 428 53.86% 28.43 -1.297 75.23% -0.883 -0.2856
Rituals of Terror 3 510 43.73% 36.15 8.519 72.75% 0.211 0.0923
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 306 72.88% 33.4 7.797 67.97% 0.222 0.5674
Second Wave 0 997 50.65% 26.04 0.722 74.92% -0.755 -0.2434
The Great River 3 159 45.28% 30.87 0.111 55.35% -1.151 0.5591
Varied Terrains 2 24 45.83% 31.33 4.743 70.83% -0.331 0.4609
Ward the Shores 2 471 43.4% 31.07 2.293 72.61% -0.63 0.0909

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 56603 39.11% 24.53 -0.107 83.02% 0.482 1.1543
1 Thematic 4467 41.74% 31.98 2.535 78.64% -0.034 1.1612
2 Archipelago 35 51.43% 35.89 7.339 68.57% 0.044 1.0995
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11781 32.78% 25.29 -0.538 88.07% 0.364 0.8726
2 Coastline 1245 33.61% 25.31 -0.289 86.99% 0.501 0.7108
2 Fragment 306 38.67% 23.59 -1.454 84.64% -0.179 0.0253
2 Heart 165 36.36% 24.35 -1.542 86.67% -0.172 0.4429
2 Opposite Shores 1795 30.25% 26.07 0.702 90.97% 0.586 1.0788
2 Thematic 1023 38.9% 34.18 2.531 83.58% 0.119 1.218
2 Top to Top 327 32.0% 25.54 -1.737 92.05% -0.538 -0.3574
3 Archipelago 18 44.44% 32.67 1.636 88.89% 0.068 0.6325
3 Coastline 26 38.46% 29.35 5.286 76.92% 0.149 0.1918
3 Other 136 35.34% 24.39 1.22 85.29% 0.124 -0.7146
3 Round (Default) 3623 23.56% 26.88 0.889 92.82% -0.056 0.2201
3 Sunrise 18 58.82% 27.17 15.467 88.89% 0.157 0.3819
3 Thematic 177 38.07% 35.93 1.319 83.05% 0.26 0.7299
4 Archipelago 7 28.57% 29.57 0.0 57.14%
4 Coastline 11 0.0% 49.55 0.0 90.91%
4 Leaf 7 71.43% 19.29 -8.44 71.43% -0.765 -0.459
4 Other 67 26.56% 24.97 1.35 88.06% 0.062 -0.5837
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 26.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 0.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 375 21.6% 35.95 4.377 93.07% 0.043 0.4464
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1640 23.33% 26.59 0.532 92.8% -0.162 0.0727
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 30 30.0% 31.17 -3.487 80.0% 0.046 -0.6712
5 Thematic 5 0.0% 39.8 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 4 0.0% 33.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 42.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 7 0.0% 28.86 -0.191 100.0% 0.009 -0.6736
6 Star 8 0.0% 32.38 -0.434 100.0% 0.002 0.5115
6 Thematic 27 18.52% 35.26 -5.935 92.59% 0.0 0.0624
6 Two Centers (Default) 57 22.81% 28.96 0.003 94.74% 0.031 0.6281

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1942 18.96 -3.052 61.59% -1.936 0.0132
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1700 20.17 -2.648 63.53% -1.804 -0.0094
All Things Weaken 802 19.5 -3.314 61.47% -2.374 -0.2896
Back Against the Wall 1529 19.51 -4.209 61.41% -2.682 -0.8005
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1799 17.06 -4.561 61.15% -2.074 -0.0013
Downward Spiral 7179 17.22 -4.238 62.47% -2.162 -0.2812
Erosion of Will 1861 18.29 -3.131 59.05% -2.307 -0.219
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 358 25.44 -1.586 94.97% -0.006 0.6017
Memory Fades to Dust 7195 17.08 -3.725 59.53% -2.107 -0.0504
Power Corrodes the Spirit 798 19.32 -4.6 67.92% -1.602 0.3176
Promising Farmlands 1905 17.78 -3.292 62.36% -1.843 0.197
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 225 26.17 7.522 97.78% 0.152 0.5912
Thriving Communities 787 18.21 -4.03 62.64% -2.008 0.0661
Tipping Point 789 17.93 0.0 63.12%
Unnatural Proliferation 795 20.1 -4.07 63.4% -2.48 -0.5234
Untended Land Crumbles 787 18.46 -4.532 61.37% -2.216 -0.2073

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 19536 37.52% 24.58 -0.122 84.41% -0.09 0.7276
B 19735 36.2% 24.85 -0.204 85.23% -0.33 0.4318
C 20287 34.55% 25.11 -0.396 85.81% -0.125 0.4276
D 19037 35.02% 25.04 -0.09 85.72% -0.191 0.5756
E 5146 30.89% 26.42 -0.23 88.83% -0.19 0.4363
F 8253 30.57% 25.95 -0.091 88.74% -0.195 0.5269
G 7643 32.28% 25.85 0.805 88.89% 0.139 0.8216
H 7789 30.53% 25.93 0.079 88.32% -0.125 0.5555
East 3690 37.66% 34.26 1.963 82.55% -0.638 -0.0318
Northeast 2254 36.34% 34.43 1.957 83.5% 0.269 0.963
Northwest 1643 36.48% 33.69 3.131 83.81% 0.739 1.2181
Southeast 387 30.39% 32.78 1.447 85.79% 0.173 0.8571
Southwest 365 40.11% 26.85 2.347 78.08% 0.099 1.1373
West 3109 40.23% 32.79 2.852 80.41% 0.514 1.3527

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1637 0.0% 21.82 -2.138 72.33% -1.351 0.8618
Not Using Events or Tokens 21411 45.51% 23.02 -0.975 78.13% -0.305 -0.1041
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1209 10.52% 33.63 1.43 94.54% 0.504 -0.739
Start of Game Growth 1934 13.65% 32.45 3.113 93.54% 1.116 0.738
Unlimited Undo 5229 29.98% 26.76 0.568 89.54% 0.493 0.0172
Using Tokens but Not Events 7369 29.18% 26.02 1.732 88.0% 0.422 0.5953

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5352 22.69 40.86%
II 26094 31.12 77.54%
III 36711 34.69 89.47%
IV 15902 37.96 98.85%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.043 Win Model: 0.602
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 61313 39.35% 25.09 82.67%
2 16579 32.95% 25.89 88.12%
3 3944 24.59% 27.18 92.14%
4 2099 23.15% 28.4 92.52%
5 19 21.05% 28.95 84.21%
6 105 17.48% 31.24 95.24%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2182
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 32064
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 19101
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15573
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1101
Lose: Adversary condition 179
Win: Sacrifice victory 332
Lose: Scenario condition 558
Win: Scenario condition 1735
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10619
Lose: Spirit destroyed 615

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5779 27.11% 31.05 0.074 89.32% 0.214 0.0868
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3612 48.46% 30.4 -0.763 86.02% -0.479 -0.4127
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2913 28.79% 31.74 0.146 92.21% 0.548 0.2891
Downpour Drenches the World 271 26.02% 30.96 -0.077 91.14% -0.261 0.1068
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3921 20.21% 34.29 0.724 94.7% 0.086 -0.4133
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2971 24.97% 35.2 5.33 93.64% 1.091 0.6126
Finder of Paths Unseen 170 42.35% 30.83 1.96 82.35% -0.026 0.3342
Fractured Days Split the Sky 961 33.87% 32.63 0.041 84.6% 0.044 0.0605
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 963 39.52% 32.92 0.64 87.85% 0.573 0.5286
Heart of the Wildfire 3753 64.39% 25.22 -2.438 73.11% -0.457 -0.1414
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5626 35.41% 31.11 1.426 89.1% 0.362 -0.1922
Lightning's Swift Strike 6006 47.04% 28.21 -2.026 80.39% -0.63 -0.2969
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 104 34.62% 34.15 0.269 96.15% 0.554 -0.3284
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 485 34.37% 33.76 0.285 93.4% 0.41 -0.0755
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 391 37.85% 33.72 3.8 85.68% 0.223 -0.2977
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1816 36.61% 32.87 0.778 89.54% 0.285 0.2079
Many Minds Move as One 1240 24.23% 33.59 1.166 94.35% -0.067 -0.6902
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5922 38.76% 31.5 0.247 90.1% 0.166 0.036
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2742 31.72% 30.26 -1.02 89.57% -0.325 -0.3283
River Surges in Sunlight 6987 43.78% 30.88 -0.006 81.65% 0.117 -0.0381
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 610 43.51% 30.73 -2.946 82.46% -0.956 -0.542
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 160 42.5% 34.98 0.991 86.25% 0.422 0.0112
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3118 35.57% 30.47 0.491 87.59% 0.248 0.137
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3739 62.59% 27.08 -0.89 76.09% 0.27 0.7088
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 45 53.33% 33.33 -0.789 88.89% -0.087 -0.099
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 48 41.67% 33.94 -0.179 87.5% -0.173 -0.0846
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 408 40.2% 32.23 0.363 89.46% -0.07 -0.088
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 256 55.12% 29.36 1.841 81.25% 0.576 0.6115
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4027 32.24% 31.49 -0.728 87.71% -0.179 -0.3434
Shifting Memory of Ages 741 41.41% 29.64 -2.625 85.96% -0.531 -0.3597
Shroud of Silent Mist 880 48.96% 29.17 -1.056 87.84% -0.362 -0.1602
Starlight Seeks its Form 822 28.75% 32.69 0.221 91.36% 0.116 0.0304
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1659 29.36% 29.82 0.218 91.38% 0.281 0.0776
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2532 32.49% 30.47 -1.055 87.48% -0.348 -0.2234
Thunderspeaker 5608 35.33% 31.41 0.223 86.14% 0.084 0.0031
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1267 65.13% 27.12 -0.211 84.29% 0.495 0.2417
Vital Strength of the Earth 4696 36.82% 27.12 -2.033 79.47% -0.683 0.1737
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 82 31.71% 29.71 -1.196 87.8% -0.027 0.5183
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 335 36.23% 25.85 -4.064 75.22% -0.484 0.7343
Volcano Looming High 1160 47.04% 28.61 -1.102 85.09% -0.809 -0.811

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 40.0% 35.8 17.858 80.0% 0.016 -0.3735
Blitz 0 818 42.25% 27.87 3.335 77.63% -0.242 0.2456
Dahan Insurrection 4 867 29.35% 47.98 8.31 74.39% -1.185 -1.1052
Despicable Theft 2 111 41.44% 38.2 1.568 82.88% -0.886 -0.4304
Elemental Invocation 1 162 50.31% 29.99 -1.496 79.01% 0.043 0.6934
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1763 11.0% 37.9 7.387 83.61% 0.331 0.4508
Powers Long Forgotten 1 416 57.21% 31.8 -2.002 73.8% -0.988 -0.39
Rituals of Terror 3 387 49.87% 38.45 2.307 71.83% -0.599 -0.718
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 286 73.08% 34.99 7.996 64.69% 0.411 0.7562
Second Wave 0 4025 42.12% 31.94 0.791 81.34% -0.217 0.2941
The Great River 3 126 50.79% 35.94 0.737 65.87% -1.009 0.7004
Varied Terrains 2 44 70.45% 31.02 0.628 61.36% -0.88 -0.0878
Ward the Shores 2 385 48.96% 34.42 2.264 70.39% -0.361 0.3598

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 40434 42.75% 28.74 -1.083 83.13% -0.055 0.6172
1 Thematic 3623 45.96% 35.98 4.456 75.49% -0.201 0.9942
2 Archipelago 26 61.54% 37.31 0.0 80.77%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8606 36.9% 30.25 -0.324 89.02% 0.145 0.6531
2 Coastline 1074 36.29% 30.87 0.047 89.85% 0.26 0.4706
2 Fragment 281 37.63% 29.95 0.099 88.26% -0.214 -0.0095
2 Heart 146 45.83% 28.1 -2.686 78.77% -0.238 0.3773
2 Opposite Shores 1949 32.9% 30.79 -0.11 91.79% 0.986 1.4785
2 Thematic 953 45.42% 37.45 0.6 82.9% -0.453 0.6464
2 Top to Top 331 36.47% 29.66 0.269 86.1% 0.186 0.3665
3 Archipelago 18 44.44% 41.17 1.866 88.89% -0.525 0.0403
3 Coastline 19 42.11% 37.0 0.0 84.21%
3 Other 129 36.0% 29.58 2.08 87.6% 0.512 -0.3267
3 Round (Default) 3144 29.09% 31.78 -0.263 91.48% -0.086 0.19
3 Sunrise 21 23.81% 32.29 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 158 52.56% 35.91 -0.931 80.38% -0.424 0.0467
4 Archipelago 10 50.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 10 30.0% 36.8 -4.101 80.0% -0.394 -0.8535
4 Leaf 12 33.33% 29.5 0.0 83.33%
4 Other 71 34.78% 31.38 1.355 88.73% 0.08 -0.5657
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 252 34.4% 41.4 1.39 86.9% 0.151 0.5544
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1385 28.17% 31.79 -0.752 91.7% -0.297 -0.0629
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 58.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 29 30.77% 38.72 3.906 79.31% -0.387 -1.104
6 Archipelago 6 33.33% 34.5 0.601 66.67% 0.035 -0.1407
6 Other 16 18.75% 39.13 -0.355 100.0% 0.157 -0.5257
6 Star 11 27.27% 32.36 1.735 90.91% 0.066 0.5753
6 Thematic 52 38.46% 48.88 3.296 92.31% 0.275 0.3371
6 Two Centers (Default) 31 19.35% 38.13 2.538 90.32% 0.082 0.6798
7 Other 4 66.67% 33.5 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1675 23.43 -3.73 63.88% -1.44 0.5087
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1327 24.82 -3.34 66.54% -1.503 0.2909
All Things Weaken 792 24.07 -3.578 65.4% -2.249 -0.1647
Back Against the Wall 1411 24.07 -3.234 63.64% -1.674 0.2079
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1714 21.26 -3.232 60.85% -1.75 0.3225
Downward Spiral 5147 22.61 -3.363 68.1% -1.652 0.2287
Erosion of Will 1728 22.89 -5.544 61.28% -2.279 -0.1907
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 352 30.34 1.791 97.16% 0.412 1.0193
Memory Fades to Dust 5197 22.07 -3.153 63.15% -1.797 0.2594
Power Corrodes the Spirit 766 24.13 -4.363 71.02% -2.173 -0.2531
Promising Farmlands 1670 22.0 -4.917 63.35% -2.078 -0.0375
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 263 30.16 0.934 97.34% 0.546 0.985
Thriving Communities 727 23.03 -4.161 66.85% -1.72 0.3545
Tipping Point 669 20.79 0.0 57.55%
Unnatural Proliferation 851 24.82 -3.269 68.63% -2.115 -0.1584
Untended Land Crumbles 810 22.9 -5.684 66.05% -2.471 -0.4624

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14477 40.92% 29.17 -0.857 84.6% -0.26 0.5576
B 14748 38.49% 29.61 -0.567 86.12% -0.141 0.6209
C 15231 38.8% 29.9 -0.03 86.82% -0.137 0.4162
D 14157 39.29% 29.62 -0.595 86.1% -0.062 0.7045
E 4570 35.72% 31.03 0.501 88.62% 0.198 0.8246
F 6586 34.57% 30.58 -0.366 87.97% -0.271 0.4499
G 5992 35.11% 30.56 0.188 88.72% 0.147 0.8294
H 6267 33.9% 30.69 -0.378 88.38% 0.133 0.8141
East 3183 42.74% 38.83 1.426 79.67% -0.007 0.5994
Northeast 1900 41.79% 40.05 8.752 80.11% 0.129 0.823
Northwest 1362 44.06% 37.05 -0.051 81.35% 0.047 0.5263
Southeast 397 43.58% 37.23 1.302 82.87% -0.15 0.5338
Southwest 403 48.14% 33.73 -0.869 77.17% -0.072 0.9667
West 2610 49.08% 35.47 0.805 77.32% -0.071 0.7676

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1065 0.0% 26.96 -1.403 80.0% -1.04 1.1729
Not Using Events or Tokens 12953 46.22% 28.34 0.804 80.71% 0.224 0.4245
Skip Initial Invader Actions 759 13.3% 40.42 4.247 93.41% 0.493 -0.7503
Start of Game Growth 1326 16.4% 38.97 2.815 93.74% 0.261 -0.1169
Unlimited Undo 4762 34.39% 31.23 0.585 89.1% -0.058 -0.5341
Using Tokens but Not Events 6294 33.11% 30.24 -0.315 88.91% 0.605 0.7783

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3046 22.69 24.66%
II 15554 31.12 71.96%
III 29228 34.69 90.15%
IV 14990 37.96 98.89%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.018 Win Model: 0.213
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 44219 43.08% 29.36 82.46%
2 13301 36.88% 30.86 88.93%
3 3441 29.99% 31.9 91.28%
4 1722 29.38% 33.3 90.71%
5 16 35.71% 35.31 81.25%
6 119 30.51% 42.34 89.92%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 749
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 25665
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10550
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14652
Lose: Invader deck ran out 613
Lose: Adversary condition 122
Win: Sacrifice victory 288
Lose: Scenario condition 520
Win: Scenario condition 1212
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7960
Lose: Spirit destroyed 487

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6972 31.69% 40.19 0.982 89.8% 0.008 -0.12
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4590 56.78% 37.68 -0.898 81.76% -0.406 -0.34
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3669 36.65% 39.45 0.725 89.53% 0.385 0.1259
Downpour Drenches the World 428 32.63% 39.8 -0.204 87.85% -0.004 0.3639
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5405 25.14% 43.68 1.373 93.99% 0.4 -0.099
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3685 31.37% 42.48 1.514 92.4% 0.359 -0.1199
Finder of Paths Unseen 209 45.45% 39.11 1.436 83.73% 0.486 0.8457
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1001 38.06% 41.86 1.837 84.32% -0.37 -0.3541
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1187 42.82% 40.0 -1.422 86.27% -0.69 -0.7345
Heart of the Wildfire 5157 64.15% 34.29 -1.251 74.99% -0.374 -0.0586
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8240 39.01% 39.68 0.702 87.66% 0.26 -0.2948
Lightning's Swift Strike 6679 49.48% 37.33 -0.416 81.46% -0.322 0.0106
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 173 46.82% 41.13 0.086 91.33% 0.275 -0.6077
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 694 37.57% 41.94 0.948 87.75% 0.217 -0.2682
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 564 38.26% 45.72 2.902 89.36% 0.926 0.4053
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2772 39.85% 40.92 0.288 87.91% -0.245 -0.3223
Many Minds Move as One 1617 26.04% 42.74 2.249 95.05% 0.949 0.3261
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7418 48.05% 39.11 1.578 85.86% 0.389 0.2591
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3655 36.67% 39.44 0.005 89.71% -0.13 -0.1336
River Surges in Sunlight 8551 48.73% 39.69 0.694 82.84% -0.088 -0.2426
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 951 42.74% 42.35 -0.219 82.23% -0.031 0.3826
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 224 42.53% 42.87 1.175 83.93% 0.153 -0.2577
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4484 42.53% 38.68 0.602 85.95% 0.087 -0.0245
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3765 63.68% 35.4 -2.87 74.95% -0.781 -0.3421
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 59 49.15% 40.71 -2.271 83.05% -0.194 -0.2066
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 79 56.41% 39.99 -2.802 83.54% -0.723 -0.6344
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 436 50.92% 39.68 -0.668 87.16% -0.543 -0.5606
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 385 57.29% 38.49 0.446 79.48% -0.137 -0.1014
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5536 36.23% 40.32 0.26 87.61% 0.368 0.2038
Shifting Memory of Ages 932 52.36% 38.2 -0.608 84.33% -0.129 0.043
Shroud of Silent Mist 1168 65.09% 34.69 -1.99 77.14% -0.442 -0.24
Starlight Seeks its Form 1162 38.14% 40.03 0.601 87.26% 0.178 0.0925
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2601 36.27% 37.92 -1.532 89.31% 0.182 -0.022
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2962 37.27% 39.58 -0.289 86.39% -0.232 -0.1079
Thunderspeaker 6975 40.19% 40.73 0.689 87.21% 0.315 0.2344
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1880 74.95% 33.02 -1.419 75.74% 0.127 -0.1267
Vital Strength of the Earth 5184 39.58% 35.82 -1.008 80.23% -0.094 0.7627
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 143 41.26% 41.7 1.101 87.41% 0.168 0.7133
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 577 25.48% 35.9 -1.294 84.4% -0.277 0.9414
Volcano Looming High 1823 46.9% 36.95 -0.737 84.37% 0.149 0.1465

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 14.29% 45.14 0.844 100.0% 0.164 -0.2258
Blitz 0 905 48.65% 35.54 1.717 77.13% 1.177 1.664
Dahan Insurrection 4 1120 24.91% 61.43 10.033 82.41% -0.492 -0.4118
Despicable Theft 2 61 59.02% 44.57 -2.603 75.41% -0.941 -0.4852
Elemental Invocation 1 156 59.62% 38.31 0.505 76.92% -0.21 0.4404
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2580 10.57% 45.44 2.274 86.9% -1.106 -0.987
Powers Long Forgotten 1 353 57.39% 40.72 4.215 75.92% 0.151 0.7491
Rituals of Terror 3 293 61.09% 45.88 7.92 68.6% -0.057 -0.176
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 163 67.48% 46.7 2.362 76.07% -0.53 -0.1848
Second Wave 0 3487 47.94% 38.7 -0.158 76.25% -0.813 -0.3015
The Great River 3 121 52.89% 40.66 0.506 55.37% -1.16 0.5502
Varied Terrains 2 26 65.38% 47.81 3.04 84.62% -0.282 0.5099
Ward the Shores 2 348 46.53% 44.87 -2.901 77.87% -0.8 -0.079

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 48702 47.2% 37.0 -0.499 82.18% 0.133 0.8051
1 Thematic 3259 50.14% 42.7 2.135 76.43% -0.344 0.851
2 Archipelago 24 45.83% 45.63 -3.648 70.83% -0.735 0.3204
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11151 43.96% 38.32 -0.217 87.4% 0.314 0.8221
2 Coastline 1321 41.2% 39.2 -1.482 86.98% -0.191 0.0187
2 Fragment 335 45.76% 37.1 -1.595 84.48% -0.103 0.1009
2 Heart 148 48.28% 38.12 -4.341 85.81% -0.532 0.0829
2 Opposite Shores 2588 39.86% 39.03 0.257 88.87% 0.197 0.6895
2 Thematic 1280 45.45% 44.68 -0.795 79.92% -0.893 0.2066
2 Top to Top 426 37.74% 40.25 1.185 90.14% 0.474 0.6546
3 Archipelago 20 40.0% 64.0 5.506 90.0% 0.07 0.635
3 Coastline 20 40.0% 43.45 0.739 90.0% 0.04 0.0821
3 Other 271 42.44% 40.97 -2.443 93.73% -0.178 -1.0174
3 Round (Default) 4269 36.94% 39.87 0.821 89.97% 0.572 0.8481
3 Sunrise 30 40.0% 42.47 7.744 96.67% 0.255 0.4794
3 Thematic 245 48.77% 45.9 2.427 80.41% 0.325 0.7953
4 Archipelago 11 45.45% 47.36 0.0 90.91%
4 Coastline 7 42.86% 37.43 0.0 71.43%
4 Leaf 16 37.5% 44.5 -8.13 93.75% -0.463 -0.1568
4 Other 105 53.33% 42.99 -1.566 87.62% 0.013 -0.6325
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 487 41.35% 50.55 5.819 87.68% 0.808 1.2112
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2158 30.42% 41.9 -0.026 91.94% 0.259 0.4933
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 53.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 1 100.0% 40.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 79 39.74% 54.28 2.729 92.41% 0.442 -0.2751
5 Thematic 13 46.15% 60.15 7.597 92.31% 0.189 -0.674
6 Other 16 6.25% 60.06 5.347 93.75% 0.22 -0.4632
6 Star 13 46.15% 41.77 0.367 100.0% 0.124 0.6336
6 Thematic 109 27.78% 61.71 0.376 80.73% -0.56 -0.4977
6 Two Centers (Default) 142 16.9% 46.95 -0.788 92.25% -0.969 -0.3714
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 61.0 11.438 100.0% 0.075 0.3728

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2535 30.59 -3.738 64.26% -2.057 -0.1077
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2090 32.22 -4.043 65.93% -2.268 -0.4736
All Things Weaken 1300 30.09 -5.21 62.77% -2.51 -0.4261
Back Against the Wall 1964 31.31 -1.769 63.39% -1.338 0.5439
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2383 28.38 -5.167 62.95% -2.116 -0.0437
Downward Spiral 6245 30.74 -3.783 69.96% -1.817 0.063
Erosion of Will 2628 30.56 -5.243 63.51% -2.49 -0.4017
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 543 40.54 1.038 98.34% 0.612 1.2195
Memory Fades to Dust 6380 30.26 -4.575 66.43% -2.37 -0.3135
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1197 31.18 -4.392 68.92% -2.03 -0.1103
Promising Farmlands 2509 30.28 -6.862 67.32% -2.73 -0.6899
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 340 40.14 0.996 96.47% -0.115 0.3237
Thriving Communities 1146 30.31 -3.828 66.84% -1.812 0.2623
Tipping Point 971 29.87 0.0 64.78%
Unnatural Proliferation 1242 31.38 -4.336 65.06% -2.198 -0.2418
Untended Land Crumbles 1190 30.8 -5.836 67.23% -2.466 -0.4574

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 18263 44.76% 37.85 -0.201 84.28% -0.042 0.7761
B 18918 43.56% 38.18 -0.393 85.39% -0.279 0.4828
C 19625 44.08% 38.33 0.134 85.53% -0.031 0.5216
D 17737 44.14% 38.17 -0.031 85.52% 0.1 0.8669
E 6101 41.33% 39.74 -0.011 87.89% -0.08 0.5461
F 8779 40.31% 39.12 -0.128 87.09% -0.08 0.6418
G 7939 40.84% 39.05 0.366 87.23% -0.015 0.6671
H 8111 39.34% 39.4 -0.324 87.49% -0.095 0.5855
East 3569 45.74% 45.95 2.183 79.55% -0.581 0.0255
Northeast 2141 43.65% 47.29 4.216 82.11% 0.735 1.4285
Northwest 1715 44.23% 47.11 2.379 82.68% -0.752 -0.2731
Southeast 516 41.94% 47.14 -0.032 79.46% -0.477 0.2075
Southwest 484 44.31% 44.64 -0.006 76.86% 0.065 1.1033
West 3110 47.26% 45.31 2.612 79.55% 0.673 1.5113

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 675 0.0% 36.25 -5.42 76.44% -2.703 -0.49
Not Using Events or Tokens 12166 50.88% 36.62 -0.152 81.09% 0.237 0.4377
Skip Initial Invader Actions 816 12.75% 49.45 2.885 94.85% 0.432 -0.8113
Start of Game Growth 1614 16.1% 47.54 1.114 94.3% -0.438 -0.8161
Unlimited Undo 6601 38.49% 39.78 1.549 88.97% 0.711 0.2346
Using Tokens but Not Events 7641 36.41% 39.03 -0.567 87.27% -0.155 0.0176

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4261 22.69 28.87%
II 19933 31.12 68.37%
III 34503 34.69 91.23%
IV 18578 37.96 99.34%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.283 Win Model: 0.167
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 52148 47.44% 37.37 81.81%
2 17230 43.07% 38.99 86.97%
3 4789 37.56% 40.42 90.06%
4 2788 32.93% 43.76 91.43%
5 55 37.04% 56.31 85.45%
6 265 23.86% 51.41 88.3%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1228
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 30793
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 12720
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 18288
Lose: Invader deck ran out 677
Lose: Adversary condition 167
Win: Sacrifice victory 314
Lose: Scenario condition 550
Win: Scenario condition 1448
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10550
Lose: Spirit destroyed 540

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6341 36.47% 45.86 -0.239 85.6% -0.17 -0.2973
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4202 67.55% 42.04 -1.107 76.56% -0.427 -0.3602
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3317 42.14% 45.75 0.528 88.48% 0.38 0.1203
Downpour Drenches the World 415 38.89% 43.43 -1.354 81.93% -0.485 -0.1168
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5441 28.6% 50.44 2.194 93.99% 0.975 0.4757
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3544 34.8% 48.81 1.945 91.39% 0.493 0.0142
Finder of Paths Unseen 168 52.98% 41.08 -0.79 73.21% 0.137 0.4975
Fractured Days Split the Sky 994 44.35% 46.72 1.488 77.36% -0.542 -0.526
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1296 46.99% 46.05 0.553 84.49% 0.088 0.0442
Heart of the Wildfire 5359 70.76% 37.52 -1.993 66.8% -0.07 0.246
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9659 45.76% 45.28 0.936 85.4% 0.546 -0.0086
Lightning's Swift Strike 5736 57.66% 41.45 -2.374 75.0% -0.718 -0.3859
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 222 50.46% 49.57 0.239 85.14% 0.021 -0.8613
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 706 45.53% 47.74 0.475 88.81% -0.073 -0.5584
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 543 48.34% 45.93 2.386 81.77% 0.491 -0.03
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2954 47.01% 46.11 -0.199 84.73% -0.191 -0.2683
Many Minds Move as One 1725 32.0% 49.03 2.665 93.45% 1.16 0.5375
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7694 51.1% 44.82 -0.415 83.42% -0.249 -0.3797
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4015 41.06% 44.97 -0.43 86.9% -0.131 -0.1346
River Surges in Sunlight 8743 52.62% 45.28 1.089 78.17% -0.192 -0.3465
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 787 45.67% 45.83 3.107 76.37% 0.881 1.2951
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 248 52.44% 47.92 1.981 79.84% 0.039 -0.3709
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4184 45.72% 44.54 0.854 83.63% 0.553 0.4422
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3205 71.32% 39.15 -6.291 67.77% -1.404 -0.9655
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 70 50.72% 47.26 1.095 80.0% 0.263 0.2507
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 77 61.04% 45.99 1.206 84.42% 0.286 0.3741
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 493 47.67% 46.53 -1.305 84.79% -0.237 -0.2551
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 328 63.11% 41.99 -0.259 75.3% -0.072 -0.0371
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5739 40.51% 46.09 0.458 84.67% -0.067 -0.2316
Shifting Memory of Ages 883 57.57% 43.21 -0.305 82.67% -0.102 0.0692
Shroud of Silent Mist 904 71.65% 39.78 -3.436 73.23% -0.729 -0.5277
Starlight Seeks its Form 1388 38.04% 45.6 0.225 87.1% 0.066 -0.0194
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2763 41.56% 43.32 -0.39 86.14% 0.33 0.126
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3217 39.66% 45.95 -0.28 85.86% -0.038 0.0864
Thunderspeaker 6113 46.11% 46.11 -0.208 83.28% -0.211 -0.2913
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2009 81.71% 38.32 0.153 73.67% 0.935 0.6819
Vital Strength of the Earth 4706 47.54% 40.68 -1.979 72.82% -0.772 0.0845
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 134 43.18% 45.08 0.933 85.82% 0.624 1.1691
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 332 51.51% 37.36 -3.141 62.65% -1.238 -0.0197
Volcano Looming High 1670 56.0% 41.09 -0.299 77.84% -0.107 -0.109

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 60.0% 56.8 1.388 100.0% 0.144 -0.2454
Blitz 0 847 53.38% 40.1 0.217 73.32% 0.226 0.7136
Dahan Insurrection 4 1006 28.59% 68.51 9.297 83.1% -0.994 -0.9143
Despicable Theft 2 44 68.18% 45.64 6.762 61.36% 0.268 0.724
Elemental Invocation 1 92 72.83% 40.71 -0.751 65.22% 0.088 0.7381
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2857 10.95% 52.47 4.871 89.43% -0.386 -0.2667
Powers Long Forgotten 1 193 68.91% 44.49 -2.128 67.36% -0.692 -0.094
Rituals of Terror 3 128 67.19% 48.33 14.691 60.16% 0.27 0.1516
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 103 79.61% 47.38 5.16 59.22% 0.122 0.4676
Second Wave 0 2497 53.07% 43.67 -0.764 71.53% -1.022 -0.5106
The Great River 3 67 68.66% 44.6 -2.634 49.25% -0.485 1.2245
Varied Terrains 2 9 77.78% 46.33 -1.777 66.67% -0.47 0.3219
Ward the Shores 2 152 61.84% 49.34 5.512 70.39% 0.032 0.7522

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 53098 53.82% 42.21 -0.73 77.72% -0.187 0.4852
1 Thematic 2460 51.37% 49.44 4.443 73.01% -0.305 0.8895
2 Archipelago 17 58.82% 54.88 0.0 76.47%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10906 47.12% 44.73 0.238 85.23% 0.101 0.6091
2 Coastline 1433 42.21% 45.33 0.067 86.46% -0.018 0.1917
2 Fragment 244 58.75% 40.13 0.913 73.77% 0.275 0.4788
2 Heart 127 55.91% 43.57 -3.038 82.68% -0.379 0.236
2 Opposite Shores 2390 46.84% 45.08 0.758 84.27% 0.368 0.8601
2 Thematic 937 57.48% 48.46 2.258 72.57% 0.779 1.8786
2 Top to Top 384 50.13% 44.28 -0.475 83.85% -0.161 0.0199
3 Archipelago 9 66.67% 65.56 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 47 38.3% 47.21 0.932 78.72% 0.122 0.1641
3 Other 246 36.73% 46.21 2.546 90.24% 0.165 -0.6742
3 Round (Default) 3721 39.67% 46.57 -0.114 87.8% -0.089 0.1864
3 Sunrise 20 35.0% 46.9 0.0 90.0%
3 Thematic 162 56.17% 52.57 -10.417 82.72% -1.235 -0.7645
4 Archipelago 12 33.33% 53.67 0.0 75.0%
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 44.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 11 63.64% 42.73 0.0 72.73%
4 Other 85 45.88% 47.06 2.937 91.76% 0.27 -0.3763
4 Snake 3 33.33% 50.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 325 39.51% 56.29 0.97 87.38% 1.305 1.708
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2134 35.06% 48.62 2.427 91.14% 0.173 0.4076
5 Archipelago 5 60.0% 62.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Other 43 47.5% 51.33 -2.64 88.37% -0.714 -1.4311
5 Thematic 7 57.14% 77.71 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 4 50.0% 53.0 3.576 75.0% 0.241 0.0659
6 Other 7 28.57% 44.86 -3.225 85.71% -0.249 -0.9316
6 Star 17 17.65% 47.06 -5.189 88.24% -0.335 0.1747
6 Thematic 50 16.0% 62.94 0.574 68.0% -0.768 -0.7058
6 Two Centers (Default) 92 27.17% 50.04 0.467 94.57% 0.574 1.1718

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3077 35.79 -5.755 61.1% -2.523 -0.5741
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2372 38.21 -4.145 65.85% -2.351 -0.5571
All Things Weaken 1540 34.82 -5.674 59.42% -2.538 -0.4539
Back Against the Wall 2312 36.74 -4.373 61.38% -2.266 -0.3844
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2849 33.31 -6.045 59.32% -2.245 -0.1729
Downward Spiral 6773 36.11 -3.88 65.83% -1.968 -0.0875
Erosion of Will 2967 35.04 -5.129 58.95% -2.327 -0.2381
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 622 45.97 1.315 93.41% 0.836 1.4441
Memory Fades to Dust 6928 34.86 -4.205 61.17% -1.98 0.0765
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1520 35.22 -5.054 62.57% -2.317 -0.3976
Promising Farmlands 2972 35.12 -5.473 62.79% -2.06 -0.0196
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 414 46.9 -0.664 95.17% -0.547 -0.1081
Thriving Communities 1493 35.14 -6.04 63.5% -2.631 -0.5569
Tipping Point 1157 34.37 0.0 59.64%
Unnatural Proliferation 1618 37.67 -3.917 66.44% -1.97 -0.014
Untended Land Crumbles 1482 35.25 -4.826 62.82% -2.227 -0.2177

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 18027 50.57% 43.28 0.079 80.07% 0.133 0.9508
B 18945 48.59% 43.94 -0.202 81.83% -0.085 0.6765
C 19796 49.11% 44.08 0.046 82.3% -0.004 0.5488
D 16996 50.09% 43.5 -0.762 80.88% -0.23 0.5366
E 6463 47.32% 44.68 0.612 83.97% 0.269 0.8954
F 9113 45.87% 44.76 -0.121 83.98% 0.008 0.7294
G 8386 46.71% 44.48 -0.395 83.81% -0.181 0.5011
H 8701 44.33% 45.37 0.995 85.44% 0.495 1.1754
East 2565 50.66% 51.13 0.364 75.56% -0.954 -0.3483
Northeast 1507 49.27% 52.44 4.463 78.17% -0.127 0.5663
Northwest 1141 48.77% 51.56 0.6 78.0% 0.38 0.8595
Southeast 395 47.85% 50.9 -0.531 74.43% -0.712 -0.0278
Southwest 361 48.75% 47.3 0.236 73.96% -0.055 0.9833
West 2214 52.53% 50.67 -0.618 74.62% -0.371 0.4672

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 509 0.0% 40.13 0.283 66.6% -0.806 1.4068
Not Using Events or Tokens 9909 58.87% 41.08 0.659 73.66% 0.307 0.5073
Skip Initial Invader Actions 780 8.54% 58.41 3.654 95.64% -0.302 -1.5456
Start of Game Growth 1651 14.29% 55.74 5.207 93.94% 0.852 0.474
Unlimited Undo 6612 41.64% 46.17 1.58 86.6% 0.678 0.2021
Using Tokens but Not Events 7944 42.67% 44.8 0.679 84.48% 0.191 0.3643

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5316 22.69 19.09%
II 26786 31.12 68.93%
III 31809 34.69 90.02%
IV 15107 37.96 99.48%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.134 Win Model: 0.043
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 55714 53.72% 42.54 77.53%
2 16412 47.54% 44.97 84.28%
3 4136 39.84% 46.74 87.67%
4 2570 35.99% 49.64 90.54%
5 18 66.67% 55.39 77.78%
6 168 22.62% 53.69 86.31%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1015
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 28156
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 17598
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14929
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1469
Lose: Adversary condition 172
Win: Sacrifice victory 305
Lose: Scenario condition 413
Win: Scenario condition 1137
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13166
Lose: Spirit destroyed 658

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4729 35.65% 48.33 0.119 83.19% -0.238 -0.3657
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3397 68.27% 43.96 -1.376 75.07% 0.016 0.0825
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2923 44.27% 47.53 0.07 85.63% 0.301 0.0423
Downpour Drenches the World 344 36.92% 48.69 0.346 85.17% -0.577 -0.2088
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4706 27.74% 53.48 2.729 93.86% 1.757 1.2582
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3171 34.58% 50.11 1.147 89.09% 0.523 0.0443
Finder of Paths Unseen 162 51.85% 43.65 -0.154 72.84% -0.401 -0.0413
Fractured Days Split the Sky 930 38.92% 51.58 -0.286 81.18% -0.829 -0.8128
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1182 49.45% 46.91 -0.061 77.58% -0.482 -0.5257
Heart of the Wildfire 4499 68.61% 41.41 -1.174 69.93% -0.002 0.3136
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8615 42.9% 48.68 0.858 86.18% 0.495 -0.0597
Lightning's Swift Strike 4975 51.54% 45.19 -2.263 77.15% -0.568 -0.2355
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 201 56.22% 48.93 -0.016 81.09% -0.106 -0.9889
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 711 38.45% 50.84 2.639 89.73% 0.719 0.2341
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 467 41.33% 52.19 2.785 89.08% 0.841 0.3198
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2728 44.42% 48.93 0.429 85.19% 0.13 0.0526
Many Minds Move as One 1465 31.76% 52.24 2.159 94.54% 1.272 0.6491
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6001 50.96% 47.12 -0.652 81.29% 0.083 -0.0472
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3042 43.48% 46.86 -1.519 83.5% -0.439 -0.4429
River Surges in Sunlight 6390 52.55% 48.34 -1.029 77.34% -0.555 -0.7098
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 502 44.6% 49.37 0.486 79.28% -0.005 0.4087
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 262 50.38% 53.58 2.219 87.79% 0.321 -0.0891
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3389 45.34% 46.8 -0.342 81.97% 0.208 0.097
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2055 68.57% 41.71 -6.575 66.13% -1.425 -0.9866
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 50 62.0% 45.44 -2.324 72.0% -0.565 -0.5769
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 66 48.48% 51.05 0.126 90.91% -0.196 -0.1073
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 371 63.34% 44.08 -0.4 73.85% 0.295 0.2773
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 231 70.56% 43.45 3.006 71.43% 0.669 0.7048
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7175 29.87% 51.14 1.698 88.67% 0.368 0.2036
Shifting Memory of Ages 800 56.75% 45.29 -1.138 79.75% -0.271 -0.0996
Shroud of Silent Mist 649 77.93% 40.86 -0.463 70.11% -0.026 0.1759
Starlight Seeks its Form 1470 38.16% 48.54 0.975 86.73% 0.548 0.4622
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2683 37.51% 46.24 -1.269 87.25% 0.215 0.011
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2678 42.87% 47.97 0.962 82.37% 0.04 0.1642
Thunderspeaker 4562 47.1% 47.99 0.057 81.65% -0.103 -0.1842
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1890 81.16% 41.62 0.271 75.34% 1.029 0.7757
Vital Strength of the Earth 3039 52.24% 39.66 -2.537 58.8% -1.146 -0.2896
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 119 47.9% 44.2 -3.21 72.27% -0.996 -0.4508
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 195 48.21% 40.33 -2.975 61.54% -0.638 0.5795
Volcano Looming High 1670 52.1% 45.69 0.013 81.86% 0.471 0.4688

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 467 50.44% 43.48 2.222 72.16% 0.045 0.5322
Dahan Insurrection 4 615 30.08% 73.55 8.378 82.44% -0.554 -0.474
Despicable Theft 2 24 70.83% 44.92 -0.507 50.0% -0.559 -0.1032
Elemental Invocation 1 49 59.18% 47.61 1.026 73.47% -0.134 0.5159
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2201 12.69% 54.5 3.058 89.55% 0.087 0.2062
Powers Long Forgotten 1 128 71.09% 45.84 4.334 64.06% 0.041 0.6384
Rituals of Terror 3 138 58.7% 53.86 10.742 60.87% 0.228 0.1096
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 81 79.01% 48.35 0.0 53.09%
Second Wave 0 1606 52.43% 46.25 -0.845 70.61% -1.019 -0.5081
The Great River 3 43 72.09% 46.05 -14.398 48.84% -0.634 1.0757
Varied Terrains 2 2 50.0% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
Ward the Shores 2 101 62.38% 51.39 8.731 67.33% 0.031 0.7516

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 50834 48.88% 45.91 -0.276 79.14% -0.004 0.6682
1 Thematic 1861 53.66% 52.08 1.947 70.39% 0.231 1.426
2 Archipelago 12 83.33% 50.42 0.0 66.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8154 48.42% 47.11 -1.167 83.15% -0.712 -0.2035
2 Coastline 1228 39.88% 48.52 0.488 86.64% -0.601 -0.391
2 Fragment 151 53.33% 46.98 -0.432 82.12% 0.091 0.2955
2 Heart 72 43.66% 48.32 2.785 87.5% 0.302 0.9169
2 Opposite Shores 1509 46.69% 47.11 -0.109 82.37% 0.03 0.5225
2 Thematic 561 54.92% 50.79 -0.488 71.12% -0.301 0.7981
2 Top to Top 342 43.24% 48.37 1.776 85.38% 0.341 0.5219
3 Archipelago 5 40.0% 51.2 3.998 60.0% 0.003 0.5683
3 Coastline 48 25.0% 57.65 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 115 53.04% 46.92 0.123 82.61% 0.231 -0.6074
3 Round (Default) 3011 37.29% 49.66 1.038 88.64% -0.005 0.2701
3 Sunrise 12 16.67% 50.75 0.0 91.67%
3 Thematic 95 64.21% 51.03 9.54 72.63% 0.436 0.9069
4 Archipelago 7 57.14% 48.14 3.604 71.43% 0.004 -0.0633
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 9 66.67% 47.22 0.0 88.89%
4 Other 60 37.29% 49.85 5.352 83.33% 0.062 -0.584
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 390 39.07% 59.74 4.778 87.44% -0.371 0.0324
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1417 37.85% 50.18 0.095 88.71% -0.08 0.1538
5 Archipelago 4 100.0% 70.5 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 34 40.63% 49.18 -0.064 76.47% 0.021 -0.6955
5 Thematic 4 25.0% 57.75 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 62.0 1.818 100.0% 0.002 -0.1731
6 Other 11 54.55% 38.73 -2.451 63.64% 0.005 -0.6781
6 Star 7 71.43% 62.29 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 21 14.29% 68.19 0.761 80.95% 0.001 0.0631
6 Two Centers (Default) 15 33.33% 49.33 0.0 73.33%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2622 38.87 -4.319 62.32% -2.084 -0.135
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1961 41.22 -3.258 65.94% -1.71 0.0839
All Things Weaken 1306 38.59 -5.15 62.25% -2.207 -0.1226
Back Against the Wall 1827 39.64 -5.08 62.23% -2.097 -0.2153
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2432 35.88 -7.416 58.35% -2.662 -0.5896
Downward Spiral 5529 38.24 -4.325 63.41% -1.887 -0.0065
Erosion of Will 2495 37.41 -6.662 58.2% -2.592 -0.5034
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 532 49.36 0.123 92.48% 0.391 0.9988
Memory Fades to Dust 5613 37.26 -5.158 58.99% -2.014 0.0417
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1326 40.34 -4.383 68.55% -1.977 -0.0569
Promising Farmlands 2593 37.28 -4.766 60.43% -2.291 -0.2508
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 380 49.32 -0.146 94.21% 0.151 0.5899
Thriving Communities 1201 37.35 -5.701 60.7% -1.952 0.1223
Tipping Point 957 35.54 0.0 54.13%
Unnatural Proliferation 1379 39.7 -4.37 64.39% -2.115 -0.1589
Untended Land Crumbles 1253 38.78 -4.706 65.12% -2.07 -0.0608

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14526 48.79% 45.96 -0.495 78.92% -0.328 0.4898
B 16070 46.27% 47.02 0.074 81.79% -0.178 0.5837
C 16306 48.49% 46.6 -0.597 80.81% -0.333 0.2203
D 13994 47.75% 46.42 -0.542 80.23% -0.187 0.5799
E 6160 43.4% 48.65 0.925 86.23% 0.359 0.9849
F 8120 44.36% 47.56 0.155 83.88% 0.039 0.7606
G 7305 44.79% 47.62 0.524 84.31% 0.241 0.9234
H 7444 43.09% 48.08 0.481 84.89% 0.073 0.7536
East 1867 51.66% 52.72 3.263 72.9% -0.599 0.0069
Northeast 1114 50.5% 53.86 4.355 74.6% 0.476 1.17
Northwest 856 47.83% 55.23 3.846 79.91% 1.053 1.5319
Southeast 265 49.43% 51.66 -0.202 75.85% -0.144 0.5403
Southwest 253 54.55% 45.69 -6.848 66.4% -0.971 0.0676
West 1721 49.85% 55.03 1.144 75.48% -0.355 0.4838

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 415 0.0% 46.47 -6.311 74.7% -2.473 -0.2602
Not Using Events or Tokens 8544 53.37% 44.71 -1.162 74.36% -0.013 0.1878
Skip Initial Invader Actions 560 14.15% 59.83 6.127 94.29% 0.301 -0.9424
Start of Game Growth 1088 18.09% 57.11 5.049 92.1% 0.589 0.2109
Unlimited Undo 6843 44.36% 48.23 0.826 84.83% 0.653 0.177
Using Tokens but Not Events 6300 38.6% 48.0 0.132 83.94% 0.094 0.2665

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7198 22.69 36.65%
II 30728 31.12 78.65%
III 23196 34.69 88.37%
IV 8888 37.96 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.302 Win Model: 0.732
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 52812 49.08% 46.13 78.82%
2 11995 47.49% 47.5 82.96%
3 3245 38.12% 49.76 88.29%
4 1888 38.13% 52.19 88.24%
5 15 46.67% 41.33 60.0%
6 55 36.36% 55.85 78.18%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2637
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 20229
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 23518
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8780
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2506
Lose: Adversary condition 82
Win: Sacrifice victory 283
Lose: Scenario condition 268
Win: Scenario condition 715
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10485
Lose: Spirit destroyed 507

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2520 47.5% 51.25 2.403 71.87% 0.413 0.2854
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1524 78.42% 47.53 0.241 66.08% 0.2 0.2668
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2251 41.3% 53.73 2.316 79.88% 0.29 0.0312
Downpour Drenches the World 153 50.98% 51.97 -0.978 71.24% -0.636 -0.2675
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2719 38.58% 57.22 0.489 85.8% -0.033 -0.5326
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1456 46.49% 54.67 3.018 79.4% 0.58 0.101
Finder of Paths Unseen 65 58.46% 50.91 -0.813 69.23% -0.353 0.0066
Fractured Days Split the Sky 382 57.59% 52.95 5.178 64.92% 0.873 0.8897
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 542 44.28% 55.82 2.635 81.55% 0.506 0.4621
Heart of the Wildfire 2431 72.99% 43.5 -6.294 59.32% -1.261 -0.945
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3666 59.79% 49.97 2.1 71.11% 0.743 0.1889
Lightning's Swift Strike 2794 70.46% 45.44 0.238 59.74% 0.187 0.5197
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 53 71.7% 53.62 1.449 73.58% 0.204 -0.6788
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 315 58.28% 54.43 0.221 81.59% -0.277 -0.7618
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 192 48.96% 55.98 1.381 80.73% 0.034 -0.4872
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1535 51.14% 53.74 2.156 78.89% 0.149 0.0717
Many Minds Move as One 573 41.36% 58.37 3.692 90.75% 0.369 -0.2536
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3140 57.61% 51.69 2.169 73.89% 0.468 0.3381
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1466 54.45% 49.76 -1.424 71.15% -0.548 -0.5513
River Surges in Sunlight 3666 64.4% 51.91 3.483 67.81% 0.564 0.4098
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 231 55.84% 49.83 2.68 60.61% 0.141 0.555
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 101 56.0% 55.3 -0.486 72.28% -0.578 -0.9881
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1613 56.59% 50.53 1.929 72.66% 0.833 0.7216
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1881 83.21% 43.49 -2.712 55.82% -0.549 -0.1103
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 11 54.55% 56.27 1.097 72.73% 0.169 0.1564
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 40 45.0% 58.08 3.078 87.5% 0.473 0.562
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 122 72.13% 47.59 8.011 63.11% 0.395 0.377
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 105 73.33% 50.42 0.906 73.33% 0.523 0.5588
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3384 37.91% 56.55 2.856 81.06% 0.467 0.3029
Shifting Memory of Ages 282 71.99% 46.09 -1.919 58.51% -0.528 -0.3565
Shroud of Silent Mist 219 84.86% 42.89 -0.474 57.99% -0.057 0.1449
Starlight Seeks its Form 427 46.6% 54.01 0.52 75.41% -0.315 -0.4005
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2250 34.99% 52.33 -3.245 82.0% -0.776 -0.9803
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1668 50.33% 51.73 -1.246 73.32% -0.544 -0.4193
Thunderspeaker 2398 57.98% 51.87 1.411 71.35% 0.248 0.1674
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1261 88.03% 45.43 2.996 65.66% 0.556 0.3024
Vital Strength of the Earth 1688 69.36% 39.78 -5.962 40.46% -2.047 -1.1905
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 51 49.02% 47.82 -2.085 56.86% -0.854 -0.3091
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 103 65.05% 38.98 6.237 38.83% 0.1 1.3181
Volcano Looming High 789 68.74% 47.95 -0.736 69.71% -0.286 -0.2883

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 357 74.43% 42.14 -0.115 54.06% -0.328 0.1587
Dahan Insurrection 4 447 55.48% 68.75 13.289 61.3% 0.136 0.2162
Despicable Theft 2 4 25.0% 63.5 0.0 75.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 30 83.33% 34.83 -5.87 20.0% -1.18 -0.5298
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1277 18.93% 61.18 4.968 88.25% 0.824 0.9437
Powers Long Forgotten 1 88 75.0% 48.24 9.999 53.41% 0.645 1.2429
Rituals of Terror 3 60 66.67% 63.03 18.996 55.0% 0.337 0.2189
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 59 91.53% 48.71 0.0 42.37%
Second Wave 0 894 62.96% 49.47 -1.967 62.3% -0.91 -0.3982
The Great River 3 29 62.07% 39.52 0.0 20.69%
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
Ward the Shores 2 58 75.86% 49.83 0.0 50.0%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 28226 58.89% 48.73 -1.72 68.2% -0.596 0.076
1 Thematic 1149 64.93% 53.97 -0.239 59.18% -0.621 0.5739
2 Archipelago 8 75.0% 59.63 5.612 75.0% 0.232 1.2881
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4554 55.82% 51.89 1.879 75.01% 0.451 0.9596
2 Coastline 613 49.51% 52.19 3.356 74.39% 0.722 0.9324
2 Fragment 89 64.77% 47.19 -4.443 66.29% -0.177 0.0272
2 Heart 34 58.82% 49.12 0.0 61.76%
2 Opposite Shores 993 59.94% 51.27 2.04 74.22% 0.386 0.8788
2 Thematic 326 66.77% 53.57 -1.245 56.44% -0.11 0.9894
2 Top to Top 131 60.77% 50.66 -4.778 73.28% -0.625 -0.4441
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 92.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 10 30.0% 66.6 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 40 72.5% 52.63 -0.668 72.5% -0.027 -0.8658
3 Round (Default) 1227 52.95% 53.31 2.632 78.24% 1.288 1.5633
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Thematic 61 47.54% 63.05 10.247 75.41% -0.191 0.2796
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 72.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 64.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 10 70.0% 55.1 6.74 80.0% 0.278 -0.3681
4 Thematic 179 33.52% 65.21 0.0 82.68%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 554 49.72% 53.91 -6.38 78.7% -0.904 -0.6702
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 9 44.44% 60.56 4.3 77.78% 0.143 -0.5736
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 107.33 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 69.67 -0.25 100.0% 0.034 -0.1418
6 Other 1 100.0% 19.0 -16.759 0.0% -0.392 -1.0747
6 Star 1 0.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 28 21.43% 65.79 0.0 82.14%
6 Two Centers (Default) 4 0.0% 62.5 -0.906 100.0% 0.008 0.6054

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1607 41.74 -4.412 51.15% -1.579 0.3701
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1145 45.35 -5.541 58.78% -1.898 -0.104
All Things Weaken 800 40.96 -6.122 50.88% -1.935 0.1495
Back Against the Wall 1131 44.35 -3.617 56.15% -1.198 0.6838
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1465 38.74 -4.533 48.19% -1.279 0.7933
Downward Spiral 4390 40.6 -3.206 51.23% -1.402 0.4789
Erosion of Will 1493 40.03 -3.853 47.02% -1.38 0.7088
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 279 55.51 1.637 88.53% 0.12 0.7275
Memory Fades to Dust 4330 39.95 -5.523 48.43% -1.853 0.2032
Power Corrodes the Spirit 791 41.89 -6.694 54.74% -2.011 -0.0917
Promising Farmlands 1526 38.69 -6.26 46.0% -1.921 0.1188
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 157 56.13 4.573 90.45% 0.622 1.0612
Thriving Communities 773 41.12 -4.1 53.3% -1.47 0.6047
Tipping Point 639 38.12 0.0 42.72%
Unnatural Proliferation 839 44.71 -5.992 58.16% -1.811 0.1455
Untended Land Crumbles 797 41.5 -3.939 54.2% -1.323 0.6862

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7039 62.98% 47.87 -0.387 65.41% 0.051 0.869
B 8942 54.76% 51.32 0.699 72.89% 0.241 1.0028
C 8473 64.36% 48.35 0.71 67.34% 0.329 0.8817
D 6689 62.92% 48.5 0.856 67.23% 0.345 1.111
E 2652 56.8% 52.19 -0.166 76.28% -0.122 0.5045
F 5182 46.39% 52.33 -0.155 77.67% 0.063 0.7844
G 4288 49.74% 52.29 -0.185 76.63% 0.206 0.888
H 4189 50.13% 52.32 0.056 76.2% 0.161 0.8421
East 1086 58.71% 57.52 7.357 64.55% 0.347 0.9528
Northeast 606 56.69% 57.71 1.208 66.5% -0.058 0.6359
Northwest 524 51.63% 57.41 -1.85 64.5% -0.262 0.2174
Southeast 154 50.65% 57.25 1.282 70.78% -0.166 0.5185
Southwest 146 55.48% 52.36 -4.517 62.33% -0.426 0.6126
West 978 57.22% 56.38 -2.028 61.66% -0.849 -0.0104

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 171 0.0% 47.61 0.0 63.16%
Not Using Events or Tokens 6084 71.75% 44.94 -2.078 58.48% -0.068 0.1324
Skip Initial Invader Actions 285 21.07% 64.43 6.071 88.42% 0.4 -0.8431
Start of Game Growth 644 22.5% 65.19 6.48 89.13% 1.004 0.626
Unlimited Undo 6587 35.42% 57.47 1.983 85.91% 0.485 0.0091
Using Tokens but Not Events 6862 29.85% 57.01 2.061 85.7% 0.32 0.4927

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4883 22.69 24.47%
II 17042 31.12 66.48%
III 11969 34.69 81.23%
IV 4376 37.96 99.43%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.548 Win Model: -0.154
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 29437 59.14% 48.95 67.81%
2 6726 56.6% 51.82 73.94%
3 1326 53.07% 53.77 77.9%
4 741 44.78% 57.02 80.57%
5 4 25.0% 57.0 75.0%
6 36 19.44% 64.78 86.11%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1195
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9563
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11026
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4308
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2434
Lose: Adversary condition 58
Win: Sacrifice victory 135
Lose: Scenario condition 167
Win: Scenario condition 372
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8561
Lose: Spirit destroyed 451

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5724 67.17% 47.24 0.277 51.08% -0.219 -0.3465
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5304 87.14% 45.31 0.183 51.66% 0.332 0.3987
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2659 79.52% 42.76 -1.298 46.07% -0.131 -0.3907
Downpour Drenches the World 455 58.68% 50.15 1.494 57.8% -0.058 0.3104
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6662 56.98% 55.21 3.005 72.23% 0.598 0.0985
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2900 76.61% 46.98 1.138 55.21% 0.318 -0.1608
Finder of Paths Unseen 197 79.19% 43.73 -3.536 46.19% -0.683 -0.3226
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1342 66.96% 54.59 1.793 60.95% -0.113 -0.0968
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1368 75.42% 48.23 2.311 57.89% 0.543 0.499
Heart of the Wildfire 6469 91.36% 34.77 -5.368 32.77% -0.682 -0.3661
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8832 74.56% 46.27 1.538 55.21% 0.499 -0.0553
Lightning's Swift Strike 6576 74.92% 44.13 -2.034 48.48% -0.295 0.0376
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 395 79.9% 49.49 3.275 60.25% 1.03 0.1474
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1093 82.0% 50.1 2.89 64.59% 0.842 0.3567
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 708 70.21% 53.48 1.15 68.08% -0.145 -0.6655
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4036 71.9% 48.16 -0.16 59.04% -0.033 -0.1097
Many Minds Move as One 1755 61.88% 56.12 6.246 77.38% 1.382 0.7591
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 25593 55.98% 58.19 3.738 81.66% 0.898 0.7677
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2925 79.98% 43.01 -2.097 46.87% -0.353 -0.3565
River Surges in Sunlight 9994 76.72% 48.59 -0.376 52.7% -0.33 -0.4845
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 421 83.41% 41.58 -3.05 34.2% -0.875 -0.4611
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 374 77.36% 54.83 3.391 62.83% 0.547 0.1368
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5039 67.42% 47.62 0.142 55.53% -0.175 -0.2857
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3082 77.82% 42.32 -3.536 44.16% -0.768 -0.3294
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 47 89.36% 42.13 -0.024 46.81% 0.159 0.1466
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 62 75.81% 48.11 1.949 59.68% 0.427 0.5158
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 385 83.9% 43.97 -4.216 48.83% -1.01 -1.0276
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 349 92.84% 42.11 3.453 46.13% 0.826 0.8617
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5618 68.42% 47.51 1.052 56.8% 0.096 -0.068
Shifting Memory of Ages 718 87.43% 42.24 -1.232 38.02% -0.276 -0.1042
Shroud of Silent Mist 742 94.33% 36.83 -5.337 35.85% -0.639 -0.4373
Starlight Seeks its Form 2164 74.35% 44.69 1.254 47.5% 0.003 -0.0823
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4449 65.68% 46.35 -0.047 53.88% 0.082 -0.1221
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2835 76.51% 46.38 0.672 53.09% 0.03 0.1543
Thunderspeaker 7038 77.02% 50.87 1.36 50.5% 0.228 0.1469
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3659 92.21% 45.19 0.8 58.21% 0.73 0.4761
Vital Strength of the Earth 3410 84.02% 35.03 -5.902 24.46% -1.536 -0.6799
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 123 80.49% 41.48 -1.757 38.21% -0.145 0.4005
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 336 87.2% 32.84 -0.801 22.32% 0.071 1.2893
Volcano Looming High 2743 78.48% 44.55 -2.023 54.36% -0.212 -0.2138

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 100.0% 44.5 -8.216 50.0% -0.292 -0.6815
Blitz 0 715 61.95% 46.57 -0.228 55.52% -0.373 0.1145
Dahan Insurrection 4 2627 80.1% 60.87 15.969 38.98% 1.279 1.3593
Despicable Theft 2 16 87.5% 41.69 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 57 82.46% 37.37 -2.737 21.05% -0.463 0.1866
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3580 38.13% 56.69 4.831 69.75% 0.785 0.9041
Powers Long Forgotten 1 121 90.0% 37.63 0.0 23.97%
Rituals of Terror 3 242 70.66% 74.35 5.94 42.56% -0.885 -1.0033
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 26 88.46% 49.81 -10.898 30.77% -0.277 0.0686
Second Wave 0 723 72.03% 45.63 -2.299 46.61% -0.61 -0.0984
The Great River 3 40 87.5% 40.0 0.0 20.0%
Varied Terrains 2 6 83.33% 52.0 -6.436 33.33% -0.217 0.5746
Ward the Shores 2 59 89.83% 43.15 0.0 33.9%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 89237 73.04% 46.84 -1.65 56.59% 0.205 0.877
1 Thematic 4118 79.6% 53.95 1.799 39.27% -0.207 0.9878
2 Archipelago 21 61.9% 69.1 0.0 52.38%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9404 65.21% 50.54 0.724 63.68% -0.01 0.4987
2 Coastline 1484 71.31% 50.48 2.197 63.48% 0.437 0.6469
2 Fragment 162 80.86% 45.89 4.029 54.32% 1.014 1.218
2 Heart 85 77.65% 45.93 -5.096 51.76% -0.315 0.3
2 Opposite Shores 2335 71.37% 48.81 -1.034 58.37% -0.089 0.4038
2 Thematic 959 82.09% 52.02 -9.42 36.7% -1.545 -0.4454
2 Top to Top 357 79.32% 47.41 0.941 55.74% 0.031 0.2115
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 73.0 29.829 66.67% 0.14 0.7052
3 Coastline 40 67.5% 48.95 3.657 55.0% 0.045 0.0871
3 Other 83 79.52% 45.48 -3.629 53.01% -0.574 -1.4125
3 Round (Default) 2370 74.5% 49.45 2.349 60.72% -0.037 0.2384
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 50.29 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 89 71.91% 66.94 24.359 47.19% 0.243 0.7133
4 Archipelago 2 100.0% 40.0 -8.103 0.0% -0.331 -0.3983
4 Coastline 11 45.45% 56.55 0.0 72.73%
4 Leaf 6 50.0% 44.33 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 34 73.53% 50.41 0.303 61.76% 0.067 -0.5786
4 Snake 2 100.0% 26.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 349 63.22% 70.33 1.557 58.45% -0.645 -0.2418
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1562 66.71% 53.17 1.825 65.75% -1.0 -0.7662
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 32.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 14 14.29% 68.86 3.018 100.0% 0.043 -0.7072
5 Other 31 61.29% 62.29 4.243 80.65% 0.284 -0.4327
5 Thematic 5 100.0% 54.0 2.727 20.0% 0.084 -0.7792
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 5 0.0% 68.4 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 4 75.0% 56.25 0.0 75.0%
6 Star 8 62.5% 54.13 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 9 88.89% 66.33 4.275 66.67% 0.335 0.3974
6 Two Centers (Default) 14 64.29% 50.0 0.0 64.29%
7 Other 1 100.0% 81.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 6959 42.18 -5.729 45.74% -2.286 -0.3371
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5570 47.73 -1.286 57.07% -1.41 0.384
All Things Weaken 3249 40.72 -4.989 42.91% -2.097 -0.0126
Back Against the Wall 4591 43.32 -1.543 46.9% -1.488 0.3934
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6267 39.31 -6.008 43.08% -2.091 -0.0187
Downward Spiral 12655 41.1 -4.53 41.61% -1.767 0.1136
Erosion of Will 6644 40.79 -4.332 42.64% -1.961 0.1273
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 869 55.53 2.628 76.52% -0.394 0.2132
Memory Fades to Dust 12545 40.51 -3.963 38.77% -1.713 0.3429
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3183 40.46 -4.59 43.29% -1.94 -0.0206
Promising Farmlands 6328 40.16 -4.865 42.94% -1.892 0.1482
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 488 57.87 5.321 83.4% 0.5 0.939
Thriving Communities 3059 38.82 -4.897 39.85% -1.925 0.1491
Tipping Point 2485 38.06 0.0 37.42%
Unnatural Proliferation 3475 42.42 -1.338 44.81% -1.39 0.5665
Untended Land Crumbles 3125 39.73 -4.502 41.57% -1.867 0.1418

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 19496 75.14% 45.47 -1.267 52.55% -0.526 0.2923
B 23862 70.54% 48.05 0.256 58.61% -0.307 0.4542
C 23418 73.46% 46.69 0.613 55.46% -0.241 0.3124
D 22044 71.79% 48.02 0.586 58.62% -0.192 0.5748
E 8580 73.23% 48.1 1.292 59.31% -0.178 0.4484
F 12028 69.41% 49.46 0.144 62.08% -0.336 0.3854
G 11465 68.92% 50.78 -0.526 64.9% -0.399 0.283
H 10703 67.31% 50.38 0.888 63.55% -0.182 0.4985
East 4013 79.33% 56.79 10.517 40.29% 0.708 1.3142
Northeast 2079 74.94% 58.93 6.33 45.6% -0.087 0.6062
Northwest 1151 71.82% 58.83 0.564 46.83% -0.826 -0.3464
Southeast 283 90.11% 42.78 -5.146 26.5% -1.051 -0.3672
Southwest 211 83.41% 36.0 -5.753 24.17% -0.997 0.041
West 2174 76.59% 54.14 5.062 39.6% -0.464 0.3744

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 566 0.0% 42.9 -3.107 42.93% -1.445 0.7679
Not Using Events or Tokens 11663 86.03% 43.51 -2.994 38.47% -0.374 -0.1735
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2139 18.83% 67.13 6.665 88.59% 0.118 -1.125
Start of Game Growth 3790 24.13% 63.86 6.354 85.73% 1.223 0.8451
Unlimited Undo 9614 66.93% 51.95 2.683 66.61% 0.71 0.2339
Using Tokens but Not Events 7306 58.71% 49.4 0.856 59.18% -0.301 -0.1278

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 17910 22.69 6.37%
II 44423 31.12 48.27%
III 40140 34.69 77.49%
IV 10379 37.96 99.58%

Number of Players

Score Model: 1.176 Win Model: 0.966
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 93749 73.34% 47.2 55.83%
2 14554 68.29% 50.16 60.88%
3 2582 73.41% 51.29 60.42%
4 1898 67.33% 53.72 63.75%
5 28 42.86% 64.54 85.71%
6 41 58.54% 58.32 78.05%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1138
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 30524
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 20065
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10224
Lose: Invader deck ran out 9157
Lose: Adversary condition 377
Win: Sacrifice victory 630
Lose: Scenario condition 828
Win: Scenario condition 1443
Lose: Blight pool ran out 36056
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2410

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-11-04 02:28:59 (Pacific Time)