The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 9336 25.46% 24.47 0.209 83.78% 0.197 0.1616
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6258 43.95% 24.49 0.553 83.16% 0.203 0.3613
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 103 12.62% 28.79 4.862 79.61% 0.924 -0.089
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4427 25.96% 25.91 1.293 88.55% 0.494 0.2821
Downpour Drenches the World 534 18.32% 22.03 -1.339 71.35% -0.215 0.0318
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 622 17.2% 24.78 2.292 76.37% 0.701 0.1385
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5651 15.88% 29.45 3.568 93.01% 1.135 0.6553
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4300 19.24% 27.53 1.92 91.7% 0.599 0.1931
Finder of Paths Unseen 304 32.23% 17.07 -3.23 59.21% -0.898 -0.136
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1036 29.44% 25.19 -2.802 73.55% -1.011 -0.3487
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 979 37.59% 24.26 -1.096 73.95% -0.326 -0.3285
Heart of the Wildfire 5593 57.5% 21.16 -2.043 73.15% -0.483 -0.1129
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7476 27.67% 26.5 0.424 88.99% 0.194 -0.2322
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 92 10.87% 25.26 3.526 73.91% 0.555 0.0624
Lightning's Swift Strike 10618 42.22% 22.65 -0.428 76.56% -0.088 0.1254
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 222 29.86% 25.57 1.412 76.13% 0.202 -0.4136
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 808 22.76% 24.45 -0.886 78.09% -0.286 -0.5721
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 524 34.04% 26.36 -0.684 83.4% -0.235 -0.3371
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2983 24.34% 27.01 1.108 86.52% 0.332 0.0861
Many Minds Move as One 1682 20.47% 27.03 -0.14 87.46% -0.103 -0.2645
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8838 39.55% 24.58 -0.398 83.1% -0.011 0.023
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3973 30.36% 24.75 0.3 86.36% 0.29 0.1233
River Surges in Sunlight 11454 39.25% 25.06 -0.782 76.64% -0.298 -0.2707
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 853 38.09% 25.8 -1.793 76.44% -0.769 -0.4295
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 294 33.45% 25.92 1.325 73.81% 0.179 0.1473
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4794 29.49% 24.98 -0.437 85.98% 0.149 0.0389
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 6358 53.67% 22.38 -1.481 74.25% -0.37 0.2052
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 99 34.34% 20.83 -0.666 64.65% -0.301 -0.2776
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 78 20.51% 30.63 5.911 89.74% 1.388 0.9355
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 112 21.43% 20.28 -1.549 65.18% -0.436 -0.1996
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 573 32.46% 26.55 0.415 88.13% 0.31 0.2232
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 430 42.06% 24.67 -2.246 81.4% -0.428 -0.2328
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5389 28.0% 26.33 0.052 86.62% -0.038 -0.0592
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 145 16.55% 23.58 3.063 73.79% 0.998 0.6653
Shifting Memory of Ages 904 35.11% 21.5 -2.147 70.69% -0.595 -0.314
Shroud of Silent Mist 1271 41.45% 22.8 -1.489 77.81% -0.204 0.0691
Starlight Seeks its Form 1230 23.7% 25.23 -0.911 77.89% -0.114 -0.3343
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2403 26.76% 23.28 -1.453 86.06% -0.23 -0.6774
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3301 30.56% 24.54 -0.609 82.22% -0.155 -0.0332
Thunderspeaker 8530 30.91% 25.23 0.037 81.58% 0.138 0.1561
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 129 30.23% 17.84 -2.108 52.71% -0.499 -0.2943
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1594 57.9% 20.88 -2.574 77.98% -0.578 -0.4036
Vital Strength of the Earth 7888 31.77% 21.14 -1.757 72.88% -0.373 0.1994
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 191 26.84% 19.4 -2.029 62.3% -0.234 0.1475
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 429 31.85% 20.78 -2.141 70.4% -0.39 0.367
Volcano Looming High 1643 37.04% 23.32 0.445 78.33% 0.186 0.1596
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 225 20.89% 25.86 3.874 81.78% 1.166 0.6326

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 18 38.89% 22.39 2.837 66.67% 0.324 0.1374
Blitz 0 1190 38.36% 21.6 -1.305 70.34% -0.301 -0.1698
Dahan Insurrection 4 1405 19.93% 45.3 9.041 79.0% 0.455 0.2004
Despicable Theft 2 177 31.07% 27.78 3.993 66.1% 0.318 0.8594
Elemental Invocation 1 267 35.96% 24.79 -1.154 69.66% -0.51 0.347
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2307 8.52% 29.94 1.915 83.4% 0.028 -0.7429
Powers Long Forgotten 1 524 49.71% 25.74 -4.276 67.56% -1.524 -0.5888
Rituals of Terror 3 613 41.73% 33.01 1.534 65.74% -0.539 -0.4431
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 362 66.02% 30.11 -7.769 61.33% -1.769 -0.5722
Second Wave 0 1156 50.09% 25.59 2.133 72.75% 0.072 0.1576
The Great River 3 204 43.14% 26.34 -5.198 47.55% -1.453 -0.0916
Varied Terrains 2 105 37.14% 21.26 0.131 48.57% -0.891 -0.1029
Ward the Shores 2 553 41.2% 28.74 -1.663 67.27% -0.951 0.081

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 66280 38.18% 23.5 -0.149 79.24% -0.13 0.0607
1 Thematic 5137 40.51% 30.59 1.072 74.85% -0.415 0.2303
2 Archipelago 46 45.65% 32.52 1.452 65.22% -0.059 0.3733
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13736 32.53% 24.04 -0.402 83.34% -0.134 -0.1375
2 Coastline 1511 34.27% 24.11 1.03 82.53% 0.229 0.2846
2 Fragment 367 39.44% 22.28 1.109 78.75% 0.468 0.2014
2 Heart 203 38.0% 22.76 0.555 79.8% -0.013 -0.0519
2 Opposite Shores 2119 30.1% 24.94 0.599 87.31% 0.153 0.1677
2 Thematic 1218 38.12% 31.59 0.665 76.35% -0.169 0.0281
2 Top to Top 387 32.99% 24.43 -0.553 87.86% -0.129 -0.2274
3 Archipelago 18 44.44% 32.67 0.0 88.89%
3 Coastline 40 44.74% 24.38 0.0 67.5%
3 Other 232 22.27% 17.5 -1.664 60.34% -0.602 -0.9949
3 Round (Default) 4314 24.41% 25.91 1.617 88.99% 0.464 0.1286
3 Sunrise 21 50.0% 25.9 0.0 85.71%
3 Thematic 210 36.84% 31.86 -4.651 74.76% -0.899 -1.1832
4 Archipelago 16 18.75% 32.19 0.0 75.0%
4 Coastline 13 7.69% 45.23 3.733 84.62% -0.07 -1.0085
4 Leaf 9 55.56% 17.89 0.0 66.67%
4 Other 80 25.97% 21.9 -0.249 77.5% 0.294 -1.0352
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 26.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 0.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 406 21.18% 35.4 7.246 91.38% 1.206 1.127
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2026 22.13% 24.53 -2.199 84.95% -0.608 -0.7648
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 67 28.36% 25.28 -1.471 79.1% 0.035 -1.0392
5 Thematic 14 21.43% 30.14 -5.226 64.29% -1.152 -1.1584
6 Archipelago 5 0.0% 33.8 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 3 0.0% 28.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 13 8.33% 28.23 0.0 92.31%
6 Star 22 4.55% 26.86 -0.074 90.91% 0.072 0.1711
6 Thematic 52 23.08% 26.44 0.682 67.31% -0.015 0.6335
6 Two Centers (Default) 124 13.71% 21.13 -3.664 68.55% -1.277 -1.6112
7 Other 4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2142 18.71 -0.904 60.18% -0.171 -0.0414
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1844 20.08 0.182 63.12% -0.026 -0.1442
All Things Weaken 969 19.13 0.155 60.17% 0.232 0.5391
Attenuated Essence 57 19.0 1.159 63.16% 0.289 0.3209
Back Against the Wall 1719 19.68 2.142 61.9% 0.446 0.4756
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 59 19.47 -1.028 55.93% -0.224 -0.0383
Burn Brightest Before the End 50 20.76 1.108 56.0% 0.022 0.0923
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2004 16.75 -1.404 59.53% -0.413 -0.0375
Downward Spiral 8310 16.64 -1.522 60.3% -0.24 -0.0745
Erosion of Will 2063 18.15 -0.735 58.07% -0.468 -0.2531
Intensifying Exploitation 74 17.59 -0.106 56.76% -0.012 0.2294
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 426 25.03 1.974 92.02% 0.617 0.036
Memory Fades to Dust 8164 16.61 -1.735 57.67% -0.373 -0.0804
Power Corrodes the Spirit 992 18.72 -1.328 64.42% -0.423 -0.2617
Promising Farmlands 2085 17.51 -0.736 61.2% -0.096 0.2002
Shattered Fragments of Power 57 22.95 0.264 61.4% -0.018 0.0699
Slow Dissolution of Will 82 19.94 -1.196 60.98% -0.473 -0.0803
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 266 25.62 0.708 94.36% 0.295 -0.4171
The Border of Life and Death 23 16.22 -0.195 56.52% -0.064 -0.5432
Thriving Communities 919 17.69 -2.531 60.07% -0.788 -0.4881
Thriving Crops 35 24.8 0.006 80.0% 0.43 0.3283
Tipping Point 789 17.93 0.0 63.12%
Unnatural Proliferation 963 20.13 0.831 63.34% 0.499 0.6677
Untended Land Crumbles 942 18.03 -1.169 58.92% -0.287 -0.0293

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 22775 36.79% 23.43 -0.469 80.38% -0.755 0.388
B 23285 35.36% 23.65 -0.215 80.77% -0.795 0.2597
C 23806 33.83% 23.91 -0.194 81.54% -0.661 0.2274
D 22304 34.55% 23.71 -0.705 80.89% -0.825 0.2293
E 6785 29.92% 24.72 0.456 82.12% -0.673 0.2313
F 9925 30.02% 24.69 -0.679 84.04% -0.872 0.1319
G 9184 31.63% 24.73 0.153 84.52% -0.604 0.3647
H 9316 29.65% 24.81 0.307 84.0% -0.695 0.2982
East 4317 36.54% 32.34 1.076 77.69% -0.787 0.2011
Northeast 2612 35.45% 32.73 1.837 79.25% -0.427 0.5226
Northwest 1911 35.71% 31.71 1.037 78.34% -0.605 0.4365
Southeast 530 29.17% 28.74 -0.883 73.96% -0.801 0.117
Southwest 495 38.46% 23.27 -1.56 66.46% -0.858 0.5987
West 3635 39.41% 30.71 0.384 74.86% -0.996 0.1108

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1900 0.0% 20.53 -1.429 67.63% -0.466 0.1971
Not Using Events or Tokens 25696 44.47% 21.55 -1.299 73.09% -0.29 0.2046
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1414 10.7% 32.82 3.886 91.3% 0.641 0.0181
Start of Game Growth 2224 13.83% 31.43 2.47 89.88% 0.22 -0.1925
Unlimited Undo 6100 29.67% 25.57 0.986 85.07% 0.228 0.1332
Using Tokens but Not Events 8456 28.7% 24.91 -0.011 84.41% 0.129 0.2045

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10013 16.77 24.05%
II 29655 30.59 75.74%
III 41330 34.74 89.2%
IV 17804 38.3 98.88%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.118 Win Model: 0.673
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 71838 38.37% 23.99 78.79%
2 19382 32.86% 24.65 83.63%
3 4762 25.0% 25.79 87.17%
4 2534 21.97% 26.39 85.75%
5 64 26.56% 22.45 73.44%
6 222 14.09% 23.7 72.07%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2402
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 36021
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 21245
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17442
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4671
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1214
Lose: Adversary condition 277
Win: Sacrifice victory 372
Lose: Scenario condition 611
Win: Scenario condition 1859
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11970
Lose: Spirit destroyed 718

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6895 26.74% 29.55 -0.277 84.84% -0.094 -0.13
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4643 48.15% 28.51 0.253 81.35% 0.147 0.3058
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 150 18.98% 33.51 5.54 88.67% 1.222 0.2093
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3534 28.82% 30.54 0.699 88.74% 0.247 0.0347
Downpour Drenches the World 610 24.75% 26.16 0.756 75.08% 0.105 0.3519
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 708 20.44% 28.28 1.724 79.24% 0.325 -0.2381
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4660 19.94% 33.31 2.407 91.87% 0.414 -0.0652
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3441 25.26% 34.09 1.634 91.37% 0.391 -0.0155
Finder of Paths Unseen 407 40.05% 22.39 -2.973 61.67% -0.622 0.1402
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1205 32.52% 29.79 -1.783 76.43% -0.743 -0.081
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1353 39.2% 29.99 -0.743 81.23% -0.263 -0.2653
Heart of the Wildfire 4241 63.73% 24.42 -1.135 70.88% -0.209 0.1611
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6531 35.08% 30.27 0.467 86.62% 0.173 -0.2534
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 138 25.93% 31.37 3.695 80.43% 0.749 0.2569
Lightning's Swift Strike 7052 46.43% 27.02 -0.863 76.96% -0.232 -0.0193
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 223 36.32% 30.53 2.523 85.2% 0.701 0.0848
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 606 34.22% 32.44 2.537 88.94% 0.783 0.4973
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 556 31.83% 33.74 2.498 80.58% -0.1 -0.2024
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2400 35.98% 31.04 2.504 84.38% 0.492 0.2452
Many Minds Move as One 1598 21.91% 31.64 1.592 88.55% 0.188 0.0268
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7085 37.68% 30.69 2.014 87.06% 0.342 0.3767
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3230 31.82% 29.15 -1.129 86.28% -0.13 -0.2975
River Surges in Sunlight 8253 42.8% 29.45 -1.429 77.89% -0.553 -0.5253
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 766 41.88% 28.78 -0.108 77.15% -0.06 0.279
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 397 40.51% 28.65 -0.591 72.54% -0.49 -0.5219
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3672 34.28% 29.83 2.543 84.61% 0.621 0.5111
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4399 60.7% 25.45 -2.461 71.29% -0.679 -0.1037
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 106 47.17% 28.25 0.393 75.47% 0.079 0.1021
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 116 30.17% 29.8 1.783 78.45% 0.182 -0.2701
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 109 42.2% 28.08 -1.913 76.15% -0.481 -0.245
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 515 39.61% 30.54 -1.013 84.85% -0.349 -0.4364
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 317 52.7% 28.3 1.439 78.55% 0.243 0.439
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4569 31.64% 30.63 1.901 85.23% 0.283 0.2611
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 187 26.88% 27.22 1.795 74.33% 0.129 -0.2035
Shifting Memory of Ages 1493 39.72% 26.06 -0.75 74.55% -0.397 -0.1153
Shroud of Silent Mist 1195 46.66% 26.78 -1.92 80.67% -0.347 -0.0739
Starlight Seeks its Form 1347 27.6% 29.05 -0.819 81.89% -0.216 -0.4359
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2069 30.13% 28.4 -1.489 86.42% -0.237 -0.6836
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3022 33.22% 29.08 -0.574 83.29% -0.213 -0.0912
Thunderspeaker 6470 35.04% 30.03 0.28 82.55% 0.114 0.1323
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 161 28.75% 22.09 0.5 62.73% -0.07 0.1345
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1559 62.98% 25.43 -2.192 78.51% -0.403 -0.2282
Vital Strength of the Earth 5539 35.32% 25.62 -2.2 75.18% -0.497 0.0748
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 198 30.3% 23.98 -2.333 70.2% -0.343 0.0387
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 413 36.17% 23.52 -2.492 68.04% -0.352 0.4055
Volcano Looming High 1636 45.44% 26.14 -1.059 77.32% -0.129 -0.155
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 568 29.04% 30.49 3.249 82.04% 0.984 0.4503

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 26 23.08% 25.27 -1.852 61.54% -0.607 -0.7931
Blitz 0 1015 40.02% 25.59 -1.249 70.84% -0.124 0.0071
Dahan Insurrection 4 1029 28.18% 46.09 8.461 71.43% 0.082 -0.1735
Despicable Theft 2 165 37.58% 30.3 -0.185 64.85% -0.383 0.1577
Elemental Invocation 1 275 43.43% 26.45 -1.064 68.0% -0.681 0.176
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2134 10.6% 36.37 3.071 81.3% 0.277 -0.4945
Powers Long Forgotten 1 540 52.78% 28.0 -0.457 65.0% -0.412 0.5232
Rituals of Terror 3 490 46.93% 34.22 -4.169 63.27% -1.82 -1.7244
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 337 66.47% 32.36 0.94 60.24% -0.522 0.6749
Second Wave 0 4624 40.11% 31.1 2.145 79.09% -0.078 0.0075
The Great River 3 180 45.0% 30.31 -4.508 54.44% -1.7 -0.338
Varied Terrains 2 107 54.21% 22.31 -2.857 43.93% -1.229 -0.4404
Ward the Shores 2 455 47.14% 32.07 -3.788 65.05% -1.329 -0.2966

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 49858 41.4% 27.3 -0.551 78.91% -0.142 0.0495
1 Thematic 4157 44.19% 34.2 -0.567 72.05% -0.643 0.0017
2 Archipelago 32 56.25% 36.94 6.735 78.13% 0.077 0.5093
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10567 36.15% 28.78 -0.408 84.45% -0.069 -0.0731
2 Coastline 1362 34.13% 29.53 1.405 86.12% 0.372 0.4277
2 Fragment 361 39.11% 28.06 2.021 81.72% 0.11 -0.1559
2 Heart 174 44.44% 28.01 1.726 77.01% 0.561 0.5222
2 Opposite Shores 2383 33.02% 29.74 0.409 88.46% 0.058 0.0726
2 Thematic 1406 40.44% 33.36 0.807 75.96% -0.418 -0.221
2 Top to Top 427 36.34% 27.91 -1.914 80.8% -0.638 -0.736
3 Archipelago 23 52.17% 38.48 4.912 86.96% 0.337 -0.1095
3 Coastline 26 38.46% 34.42 -3.036 73.08% -1.024 -2.0481
3 Other 144 37.86% 29.33 2.419 86.81% 0.881 0.4884
3 Round (Default) 4080 28.75% 30.9 1.559 87.3% 0.01 -0.3256
3 Sunrise 24 20.83% 34.38 6.173 100.0% 0.303 0.5452
3 Thematic 198 45.92% 32.67 2.957 73.74% 0.398 0.1143
4 Archipelago 10 50.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 12 25.0% 34.58 12.249 75.0% 0.431 -0.5078
4 Leaf 12 33.33% 29.5 0.0 83.33%
4 Other 76 37.84% 31.32 2.191 88.16% 0.669 -0.6605
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 286 34.15% 39.57 4.434 82.52% 0.083 0.0037
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1642 29.49% 30.66 -0.135 88.37% -0.164 -0.321
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 58.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 67 41.27% 29.91 -1.551 76.12% 0.034 -1.0402
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 0.0 -14.731 0.0% -0.28 -0.2869
6 Archipelago 7 28.57% 29.57 -13.592 57.14% -0.322 -1.6211
6 Other 27 29.63% 31.3 -5.599 77.78% -1.608 -1.8112
6 Star 13 23.08% 27.38 -17.519 76.92% -0.528 -0.4282
6 Thematic 84 41.67% 41.75 1.012 78.57% -0.36 0.2888
6 Two Centers (Default) 85 15.29% 33.29 3.104 84.71% 0.343 0.0082
7 Other 4 66.67% 33.5 5.481 50.0% 0.312 0.7082

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1897 23.27 2.028 63.31% 0.357 0.4862
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1525 24.62 -0.808 65.57% -0.56 -0.6781
All Things Weaken 984 23.55 0.359 63.82% 0.139 0.4467
Attenuated Essence 87 24.71 1.393 62.07% 0.278 0.3103
Back Against the Wall 1601 24.1 0.729 63.96% -0.083 -0.0534
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 81 25.07 2.496 67.9% 0.642 0.8276
Burn Brightest Before the End 73 25.37 1.424 68.49% 0.174 0.2447
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1930 20.9 -1.352 59.79% -0.292 0.0835
Downward Spiral 5932 22.09 -0.571 66.49% 0.166 0.3316
Erosion of Will 1953 22.82 -0.025 61.19% -0.065 0.1499
Intensifying Exploitation 102 21.51 -1.33 60.78% 0.095 0.3364
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 457 29.0 1.207 91.9% 0.411 -0.1703
Memory Fades to Dust 6063 21.54 -1.488 61.75% -0.271 0.0219
Power Corrodes the Spirit 956 23.38 -1.27 68.93% -0.186 -0.025
Promising Farmlands 1897 21.74 -1.236 62.84% -0.167 0.1289
Shattered Fragments of Power 82 23.7 0.883 60.98% 0.05 0.1381
Slow Dissolution of Will 93 21.91 0.509 59.14% 0.16 0.5535
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 324 29.26 2.226 93.83% 0.517 -0.1951
The Border of Life and Death 35 27.46 1.011 80.0% 0.39 -0.0894
Thriving Communities 919 22.46 -2.135 65.61% -0.458 -0.1585
Thriving Crops 51 27.12 0.788 92.16% 0.563 0.4617
Tipping Point 669 20.79 0.0 57.55%
Unnatural Proliferation 1029 24.42 1.911 67.54% 0.499 0.6682
Untended Land Crumbles 989 22.65 -0.967 64.51% -0.268 -0.0103

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 17736 39.56% 27.84 -0.269 80.39% -0.563 0.5795
B 17957 37.61% 28.42 0.266 82.35% -0.516 0.5393
C 18541 37.92% 28.58 -0.096 82.69% -0.559 0.3288
D 17154 38.05% 28.39 0.365 82.37% -0.383 0.6711
E 6356 35.27% 29.17 0.501 82.91% -0.462 0.4421
F 8455 34.38% 29.06 -0.239 83.42% -0.584 0.4203
G 7633 34.64% 29.11 0.103 84.08% -0.506 0.4623
H 7984 33.54% 29.23 0.517 83.99% -0.452 0.5407
East 4029 40.09% 35.73 1.578 74.56% -0.31 0.6784
Northeast 2530 39.0% 36.31 1.09 74.66% -0.584 0.3651
Northwest 1839 40.78% 34.12 0.82 76.73% -0.402 0.6391
Southeast 527 39.47% 33.34 -0.944 73.43% -1.022 -0.1043
Southwest 530 44.53% 31.09 0.582 71.13% -0.292 1.1644
West 3304 45.57% 33.12 -0.461 73.43% -0.9 0.2066

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2125 0.0% 23.3 -1.67 70.02% -0.191 0.4725
Not Using Events or Tokens 15858 44.82% 26.47 -2.022 75.57% -0.466 0.0279
Skip Initial Invader Actions 955 13.76% 39.35 4.627 90.05% 0.628 0.0052
Start of Game Growth 1637 16.66% 37.52 2.578 89.92% -0.083 -0.4958
Unlimited Undo 5845 33.84% 29.58 -0.601 83.92% -0.1 -0.1949
Using Tokens but Not Events 8342 31.99% 28.29 -0.587 83.0% -0.121 -0.0459

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6855 16.77 12.9%
II 18643 30.59 69.93%
III 34359 34.74 89.89%
IV 17723 38.3 98.94%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.509 Win Model: 0.705
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 54308 41.66% 27.83 78.27%
2 16567 36.0% 29.38 84.49%
3 4411 29.45% 31.05 87.35%
4 2022 30.42% 32.01 87.29%
5 53 46.0% 27.28 77.36%
6 219 28.9% 35.94 79.45%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 882
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 30141
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 12323
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17347
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4123
Lose: Invader deck ran out 683
Lose: Adversary condition 195
Win: Sacrifice victory 320
Lose: Scenario condition 565
Win: Scenario condition 1327
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9119
Lose: Spirit destroyed 555

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8306 31.65% 38.47 -1.486 85.58% -0.171 -0.2068
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5226 55.98% 36.28 -2.107 78.8% -0.419 -0.2601
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 199 25.63% 43.89 5.524 89.45% 0.938 -0.0742
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4336 36.45% 38.36 0.364 86.92% 0.248 0.0356
Downpour Drenches the World 936 27.83% 34.22 -1.495 74.57% -0.064 0.1826
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1099 28.34% 37.77 1.107 77.89% 0.3 -0.2628
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6291 24.98% 42.69 2.657 91.97% 0.595 0.1153
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4308 30.81% 41.86 1.841 89.88% 0.337 -0.0689
Finder of Paths Unseen 542 53.82% 34.82 -1.987 66.79% -0.577 0.1847
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1287 36.96% 39.67 -0.402 79.1% -0.359 0.3029
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1623 42.96% 37.33 -0.94 79.42% -0.398 -0.4007
Heart of the Wildfire 5851 63.11% 33.56 -1.397 72.89% -0.23 0.1403
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9655 39.15% 39.34 2.017 85.33% 0.341 -0.0856
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 176 30.68% 41.03 4.552 85.8% 0.901 0.4089
Lightning's Swift Strike 7750 48.53% 35.89 -0.866 78.25% -0.217 -0.0042
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 376 49.2% 40.32 2.196 79.52% 0.262 -0.3535
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 851 38.16% 40.38 3.831 84.61% 0.854 0.5683
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 767 37.91% 43.31 0.659 83.57% 0.154 0.0514
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3661 39.58% 39.71 0.539 83.39% -0.05 -0.2964
Many Minds Move as One 2016 26.1% 41.1 0.589 90.87% 0.092 -0.0697
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8738 46.74% 37.93 0.973 82.55% 0.217 0.2517
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4233 36.96% 38.3 -0.609 86.77% -0.117 -0.2838
River Surges in Sunlight 9744 48.27% 38.35 -0.105 80.05% -0.038 -0.0103
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1156 42.89% 39.76 -1.961 78.03% -0.468 -0.1293
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 516 40.23% 37.68 -0.315 72.29% -0.46 -0.4915
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5192 41.02% 37.74 -0.277 83.38% -0.012 -0.1227
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4283 62.9% 34.03 -0.858 71.98% -0.388 0.187
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 126 45.24% 36.09 -4.381 70.63% -0.611 -0.5878
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 204 37.25% 42.29 4.096 85.29% 0.566 0.1141
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 167 48.19% 35.27 -1.223 74.85% -0.179 0.0568
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 527 50.28% 38.84 0.99 85.77% 0.336 0.249
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 465 56.9% 36.83 -1.902 76.77% -0.514 -0.3188
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6124 35.8% 39.27 -0.372 85.42% -0.209 -0.2307
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 340 25.0% 42.34 3.078 72.35% -0.016 -0.348
Shifting Memory of Ages 1353 49.96% 34.25 -2.991 75.83% -0.556 -0.2751
Shroud of Silent Mist 1481 63.82% 32.46 -2.131 72.11% -0.365 -0.0922
Starlight Seeks its Form 1922 39.28% 37.62 -0.011 80.75% 0.058 -0.162
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3182 35.87% 37.18 1.814 86.46% 0.772 0.3256
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3415 37.43% 38.19 -0.925 83.43% -0.11 0.0119
Thunderspeaker 7997 39.16% 39.37 0.296 84.47% 0.096 0.1148
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 219 29.22% 36.6 -0.785 69.86% -0.291 -0.0868
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2275 73.36% 32.26 -1.377 72.92% -0.272 -0.0971
Vital Strength of the Earth 6012 38.34% 34.17 -0.829 76.73% 0.061 0.6327
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 292 45.89% 37.17 1.508 77.05% 0.32 0.7015
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 720 24.31% 33.11 -2.111 77.22% -0.287 0.4703
Volcano Looming High 2438 48.27% 35.15 -1.318 79.12% -0.198 -0.2241
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 478 32.01% 38.91 2.781 81.38% 0.555 0.021

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 26 7.69% 34.23 0.077 80.77% 0.448 0.2617
Blitz 0 1058 45.82% 34.19 0.181 73.25% -0.314 -0.1823
Dahan Insurrection 4 1317 24.39% 58.74 3.851 78.44% -0.161 -0.416
Despicable Theft 2 92 52.17% 38.0 -3.908 65.22% -0.478 0.0635
Elemental Invocation 1 229 50.22% 31.47 -5.68 61.57% -1.45 -0.5938
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3189 10.73% 45.52 6.82 85.32% 1.011 0.2394
Powers Long Forgotten 1 420 54.42% 36.59 -5.67 67.62% -1.118 -0.1837
Rituals of Terror 3 358 55.87% 42.59 -2.829 64.53% -0.912 -0.8163
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 196 64.8% 42.47 -2.897 68.88% -0.397 0.7995
Second Wave 0 4027 47.55% 37.62 -0.728 74.07% -0.453 -0.3672
The Great River 3 169 54.44% 36.22 -4.222 49.11% -2.132 -0.7709
Varied Terrains 2 68 52.94% 38.57 -6.673 66.18% -1.159 -0.371
Ward the Shores 2 393 47.06% 43.06 -1.405 73.54% -0.59 0.4418

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 58250 46.03% 35.58 -0.626 78.9% -0.153 0.0378
1 Thematic 3678 48.76% 40.86 -1.125 72.89% -0.47 0.1746
2 Archipelago 35 48.57% 37.8 -8.167 51.43% -1.493 -1.0608
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13475 43.19% 36.87 0.264 83.91% -0.049 -0.0532
2 Coastline 1608 41.18% 37.41 -0.251 82.96% -0.209 -0.1531
2 Fragment 414 46.21% 35.96 0.551 81.4% -0.01 -0.2764
2 Heart 174 50.29% 37.69 1.129 83.91% 0.071 0.0324
2 Opposite Shores 3033 39.77% 37.88 0.183 86.02% -0.035 -0.0208
2 Thematic 1477 44.47% 43.04 1.541 77.18% 0.246 0.4425
2 Top to Top 524 37.55% 38.98 0.966 87.4% -0.069 -0.1674
3 Archipelago 25 40.0% 61.08 -6.571 84.0% -0.508 -0.9551
3 Coastline 35 40.0% 41.2 10.787 82.86% 0.764 -0.2597
3 Other 294 41.84% 39.46 -0.558 90.14% -0.112 -0.5043
3 Round (Default) 5372 35.98% 38.69 0.922 86.3% -0.048 -0.384
3 Sunrise 30 40.0% 42.47 0.0 96.67%
3 Thematic 291 48.62% 43.7 -4.57 75.6% -0.786 -1.0696
4 Archipelago 15 33.33% 49.0 8.478 86.67% 0.121 -0.036
4 Coastline 7 42.86% 37.43 0.0 71.43%
4 Leaf 25 32.0% 42.88 2.553 96.0% 0.164 0.0162
4 Other 114 54.39% 42.59 -3.945 86.84% -0.223 -1.5528
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 596 37.56% 47.79 -3.695 81.54% -0.778 -0.8574
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2490 30.72% 40.61 0.876 89.4% -0.184 -0.3409
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 53.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 4 100.0% 40.75 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 138 39.42% 44.01 0.291 83.33% -0.17 -1.2446
5 Thematic 17 47.06% 63.0 0.0 94.12%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 23.0 -4.279 50.0% -0.258 -1.5569
6 Coastline 2 50.0% 10.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 22 27.27% 52.45 0.0 90.91%
6 Star 23 34.78% 42.83 2.336 95.65% 0.092 0.1914
6 Thematic 372 45.36% 55.82 3.931 73.39% 0.457 1.1057
6 Two Centers (Default) 242 13.64% 42.76 2.459 88.84% 0.315 -0.0194
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2834 30.5 -0.395 63.87% -0.178 -0.048
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2332 32.14 0.618 65.22% -0.262 -0.3805
All Things Weaken 1545 29.49 -0.118 60.97% -0.198 0.1095
Attenuated Essence 138 32.99 1.05 65.94% 0.171 0.2026
Back Against the Wall 2216 31.12 -1.062 62.86% -0.565 -0.5348
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 146 29.38 -0.792 60.27% -0.372 -0.1857
Burn Brightest Before the End 140 31.0 0.179 59.29% -0.141 -0.0703
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2658 28.18 -2.289 62.34% -0.322 0.0538
Downward Spiral 7211 30.07 -0.589 68.55% 0.172 0.3379
Erosion of Will 2938 30.51 1.206 63.44% 0.059 0.2731
Intensifying Exploitation 147 29.0 -1.224 57.14% -0.571 -0.3291
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 654 39.57 3.593 96.02% 1.17 0.5883
Memory Fades to Dust 7348 29.54 -1.963 64.71% -0.181 0.1119
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1465 30.81 0.659 67.78% 0.171 0.3319
Promising Farmlands 2830 29.88 -1.671 66.15% -0.431 -0.1349
Shattered Fragments of Power 115 30.54 0.185 64.35% -0.007 0.0815
Slow Dissolution of Will 120 31.24 2.744 61.67% 0.353 0.7462
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 408 39.27 2.189 94.12% 0.726 0.0139
The Border of Life and Death 51 35.75 4.681 86.27% 0.938 0.4587
Thriving Communities 1400 29.85 -0.823 65.14% -0.3 -0.0006
Thriving Crops 69 31.03 -0.106 71.01% 0.15 0.0486
Tipping Point 971 29.87 0.0 64.78%
Unnatural Proliferation 1543 31.13 -0.973 64.23% -0.524 -0.3549
Untended Land Crumbles 1461 30.43 0.926 66.19% 0.108 0.3662

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 21854 43.52% 36.4 -0.231 80.82% -0.344 0.7981
B 22498 42.54% 36.91 0.351 82.35% -0.206 0.8493
C 23168 43.1% 37.03 -0.077 82.47% -0.281 0.6068
D 20967 43.36% 36.76 0.099 82.27% -0.213 0.841
E 8115 39.87% 37.89 0.944 83.81% -0.073 0.8312
F 10921 39.56% 37.69 0.805 83.73% -0.118 0.8861
G 9967 40.54% 37.45 -0.126 83.43% -0.302 0.6659
H 9995 38.98% 37.91 0.726 84.11% -0.116 0.8771
East 4373 44.72% 44.62 2.021 75.78% 0.056 1.0445
Northeast 2738 42.97% 46.21 0.92 77.83% -0.341 0.6087
Northwest 2223 43.64% 46.26 0.843 78.09% -0.299 0.7428
Southeast 895 43.42% 46.56 0.417 72.85% -0.695 0.2235
Southwest 860 45.67% 44.88 -0.014 71.28% -0.682 0.7752
West 3861 46.19% 43.94 0.576 75.27% -0.747 0.3596

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 745 0.0% 35.27 -2.173 74.5% -0.132 0.5318
Not Using Events or Tokens 14845 49.45% 34.34 -2.755 76.17% -0.551 -0.0563
Skip Initial Invader Actions 934 13.2% 48.85 10.569 92.29% 1.156 0.533
Start of Game Growth 1988 15.6% 47.14 2.997 89.54% -0.461 -0.8729
Unlimited Undo 8020 37.39% 38.15 1.271 84.7% 0.286 0.1905
Using Tokens but Not Events 9207 35.11% 37.49 -0.67 83.84% -0.213 -0.138

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7977 16.77 17.37%
II 23469 30.59 66.63%
III 39987 34.74 91.15%
IV 21425 38.3 99.37%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.432 Win Model: 0.426
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 62236 46.24% 35.89 78.49%
2 20673 42.56% 37.6 83.72%
3 5942 36.51% 39.09 86.32%
4 3240 32.57% 42.32 88.46%
5 115 37.72% 42.94 77.39%
6 652 33.9% 49.52 80.06%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1383
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 35699
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 14647
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 21098
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3839
Lose: Invader deck ran out 754
Lose: Adversary condition 265
Win: Sacrifice victory 358
Lose: Scenario condition 628
Win: Scenario condition 1576
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12013
Lose: Spirit destroyed 598

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7439 35.93% 43.74 -1.572 81.62% -0.06 -0.096
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4807 65.99% 40.28 -2.716 73.39% -0.286 -0.1272
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 213 38.03% 47.64 7.895 86.85% 1.498 0.4859
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3867 41.78% 44.13 -1.286 85.16% -0.011 -0.2232
Downpour Drenches the World 883 36.59% 37.11 -0.223 68.97% 0.212 0.4589
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1170 32.56% 39.12 0.923 74.1% 0.273 -0.29
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6383 28.99% 49.1 3.977 91.45% 0.778 0.2988
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4341 33.86% 46.77 1.337 85.0% 0.289 -0.1171
Finder of Paths Unseen 401 45.5% 30.65 -6.378 53.37% -1.003 -0.2412
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1256 43.53% 43.07 1.642 71.58% 0.053 0.7156
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1804 47.23% 42.0 0.304 76.94% 0.179 0.1762
Heart of the Wildfire 6126 68.56% 36.07 -4.638 64.2% -0.856 -0.4862
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10901 45.16% 44.18 2.03 83.19% 0.509 0.0824
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 219 29.68% 42.04 4.11 78.54% 0.778 0.285
Lightning's Swift Strike 6569 57.29% 39.76 -1.256 71.93% -0.038 0.1752
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 406 52.01% 44.8 3.4 78.82% 0.785 0.169
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 855 44.84% 45.67 1.329 84.91% 0.28 -0.0058
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 713 45.65% 42.53 -0.159 75.04% -0.159 -0.2616
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3827 46.48% 43.59 0.708 80.06% 0.334 0.0878
Many Minds Move as One 2128 31.63% 46.53 -0.208 88.25% 0.036 -0.125
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9048 50.25% 42.55 -1.843 78.98% -0.114 -0.08
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4664 40.81% 43.62 2.034 84.48% 0.624 0.4571
River Surges in Sunlight 9866 52.53% 43.78 0.476 75.64% 0.18 0.2079
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 972 46.34% 41.81 -5.722 70.06% -0.808 -0.4686
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 609 50.17% 40.33 0.694 66.01% -0.172 -0.2035
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4883 44.39% 43.06 0.263 80.85% 0.155 0.0443
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3594 70.15% 37.48 -3.823 64.77% -0.622 -0.047
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 174 42.77% 33.5 -5.366 58.05% -0.88 -0.8571
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 254 42.91% 39.35 1.911 74.8% 0.419 -0.0333
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 183 50.55% 37.99 -3.625 68.31% -0.957 -0.7209
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 597 49.25% 43.58 -1.887 78.73% -0.286 -0.3734
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 392 60.46% 40.18 -0.605 72.45% -0.131 0.0649
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6291 40.13% 44.81 -1.519 82.34% -0.268 -0.2893
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 284 33.1% 37.57 1.39 72.18% 0.393 0.0607
Shifting Memory of Ages 1289 55.03% 39.2 -3.602 74.94% -0.459 -0.1779
Shroud of Silent Mist 1298 68.4% 36.1 -2.552 65.95% -0.435 -0.1625
Starlight Seeks its Form 2162 36.57% 41.42 -0.119 79.14% 0.092 -0.1277
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3297 41.06% 41.44 -1.172 82.47% 0.154 -0.2933
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3692 39.74% 44.43 -0.031 82.96% 0.075 0.1971
Thunderspeaker 7015 45.55% 44.25 -1.213 80.07% -0.061 -0.0426
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 180 50.56% 33.09 -0.077 63.33% 0.025 0.2291
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2346 80.12% 36.99 -1.567 70.89% -0.114 0.0607
Vital Strength of the Earth 5308 46.65% 38.66 -5.136 69.24% -0.571 0.0007
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 297 37.41% 36.23 -1.953 68.35% -0.293 0.0886
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 477 42.98% 32.93 -8.166 55.97% -1.073 -0.3159
Volcano Looming High 2175 54.15% 39.08 2.175 73.66% 0.568 0.5414
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 632 31.49% 39.76 4.01 75.47% 0.9 0.3664

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 16 25.0% 37.88 4.033 62.5% -0.03 -0.216
Blitz 0 968 51.63% 39.03 0.076 71.07% 0.375 0.5061
Dahan Insurrection 4 1243 28.79% 63.86 8.902 77.39% 0.228 -0.0274
Despicable Theft 2 102 56.86% 40.18 -5.171 52.94% -0.596 -0.0546
Elemental Invocation 1 156 71.15% 36.32 -8.15 55.13% -1.427 -0.5699
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3621 12.43% 50.37 4.303 83.24% 0.298 -0.4736
Powers Long Forgotten 1 264 63.64% 40.83 -7.678 63.26% -1.012 -0.0768
Rituals of Terror 3 155 61.94% 43.0 -8.579 52.9% -1.138 -1.042
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 117 77.78% 43.95 -7.059 55.56% -0.521 0.6755
Second Wave 0 2972 52.59% 42.76 1.341 70.29% -0.16 -0.0738
The Great River 3 138 66.67% 36.14 -8.282 34.78% -1.216 0.1452
Varied Terrains 2 43 62.79% 29.23 -14.237 34.88% -1.396 -0.6075
Ward the Shores 2 177 59.32% 45.34 -8.701 63.84% -0.804 0.2283

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 63826 52.55% 40.57 0.113 74.63% 0.152 0.3427
1 Thematic 2975 48.15% 47.33 1.678 67.83% 0.016 0.6613
2 Archipelago 21 57.14% 53.19 0.0 76.19%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13148 46.18% 43.09 1.087 82.13% 0.372 0.3681
2 Coastline 1680 41.88% 43.72 -0.905 82.92% 0.049 0.1052
2 Fragment 296 59.59% 37.91 -3.342 69.59% -0.504 -0.7709
2 Heart 154 56.49% 40.53 -0.329 75.97% 0.434 0.3952
2 Opposite Shores 2816 46.32% 42.46 -2.549 79.51% -0.129 -0.1151
2 Thematic 1054 55.51% 46.93 2.668 70.4% 0.49 0.687
2 Top to Top 499 46.39% 40.53 -3.314 76.55% 0.294 0.1963
3 Archipelago 15 73.33% 61.47 8.617 100.0% 0.217 -0.2299
3 Coastline 54 40.74% 44.24 -5.102 72.22% -0.834 -1.8585
3 Other 273 35.06% 43.64 0.02 84.62% -0.303 -0.6951
3 Round (Default) 4703 39.88% 43.95 0.046 82.54% 0.217 -0.1181
3 Sunrise 22 31.82% 47.05 10.358 90.91% 0.539 0.782
3 Thematic 186 54.3% 49.31 2.101 76.88% 0.089 -0.1956
4 Archipelago 17 29.41% 50.71 9.327 76.47% 0.348 0.1912
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 44.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 13 53.85% 44.46 0.0 76.92%
4 Other 104 42.31% 42.9 -1.767 82.69% 0.329 -1.0007
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Snake 4 25.0% 50.25 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 377 38.4% 54.18 -1.484 84.08% -0.05 -0.1298
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2568 34.29% 45.99 -0.497 86.53% 0.193 0.036
5 Archipelago 5 60.0% 62.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Other 91 47.73% 43.6 7.626 78.02% 0.976 -0.099
5 Thematic 8 50.0% 68.0 0.0 87.5%
6 Archipelago 6 33.33% 35.33 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 19 22.22% 30.68 -4.522 52.63% -0.381 -0.5841
6 Star 31 35.48% 36.55 -10.097 61.29% -1.25 -1.1507
6 Thematic 93 9.68% 40.88 -12.656 47.31% -0.554 0.0944
6 Two Centers (Default) 162 29.01% 40.88 -0.294 78.4% 0.407 0.0725
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 77.0 15.048 100.0% 0.046 0.1069

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3461 35.51 1.022 60.5% -0.091 0.0388
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2655 38.05 1.797 65.5% -0.041 -0.1597
All Things Weaken 1866 34.19 -0.666 57.77% -0.276 0.0315
Attenuated Essence 176 36.12 0.943 67.05% 0.035 0.0667
Back Against the Wall 2585 36.4 0.536 60.93% 0.022 0.0515
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 195 32.6 1.721 55.38% 0.119 0.3052
Burn Brightest Before the End 112 34.22 -0.667 57.14% -0.33 -0.2598
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3244 32.63 -1.646 58.05% -0.402 -0.0264
Downward Spiral 7857 35.34 0.518 64.41% 0.33 0.4955
Erosion of Will 3348 34.63 0.393 58.24% -0.134 0.0809
Intensifying Exploitation 174 31.99 -0.342 56.32% -0.185 0.0565
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 762 44.87 2.823 91.6% 0.801 0.2198
Memory Fades to Dust 7930 34.13 -0.771 59.72% -0.073 0.2196
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1836 34.81 -0.509 61.93% -0.106 0.0552
Promising Farmlands 3340 34.72 -1.633 62.16% -0.383 -0.0874
Shattered Fragments of Power 126 34.82 2.405 59.52% 0.225 0.3131
Slow Dissolution of Will 183 31.3 -3.349 50.27% -0.817 -0.4237
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 496 45.74 2.895 92.74% 0.796 0.0845
The Border of Life and Death 59 38.25 4.806 74.58% 0.82 0.3402
Thriving Communities 1800 34.57 -0.301 62.28% -0.184 0.1157
Thriving Crops 89 40.08 2.579 78.65% 0.532 0.4299
Tipping Point 1157 34.37 0.0 59.64%
Unnatural Proliferation 1945 37.05 0.196 64.83% -0.194 -0.0252
Untended Land Crumbles 1800 34.35 -1.34 61.0% -0.397 -0.1389

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 21748 49.33% 41.3 -0.135 76.33% -0.115 1.0273
B 22534 47.77% 42.18 0.309 78.52% 0.06 1.1149
C 23476 48.0% 42.18 -0.421 78.68% -0.083 0.8047
D 20229 49.13% 41.58 -0.887 77.31% -0.093 0.961
E 8657 45.28% 42.11 0.577 78.98% 0.037 0.9408
F 11353 44.94% 42.58 -0.106 79.73% -0.113 0.8912
G 10333 46.27% 42.46 -0.061 79.87% -0.011 0.9573
H 10824 43.95% 43.37 0.275 81.57% -0.0 0.9923
East 3185 46.92% 48.46 -0.358 69.98% -0.272 0.7159
Northeast 1983 44.08% 49.32 6.626 70.65% 1.071 2.0209
Northwest 1308 45.94% 48.77 -5.412 73.85% -1.248 -0.2063
Southeast 512 43.36% 46.04 1.961 67.58% 0.103 1.0214
Southwest 468 44.02% 41.62 -8.549 64.74% -1.208 0.2489
West 2525 50.08% 48.03 -3.087 70.69% -0.713 0.3944

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 589 0.0% 39.04 -1.556 65.03% -0.224 0.4392
Not Using Events or Tokens 12418 56.46% 38.25 -3.04 67.95% -0.6 -0.1059
Skip Initial Invader Actions 916 11.45% 56.04 8.058 91.16% 0.96 0.3376
Start of Game Growth 1879 16.06% 54.05 3.296 90.21% 0.008 -0.4044
Unlimited Undo 8414 41.57% 43.89 1.109 82.09% 0.191 0.0961
Using Tokens but Not Events 9562 40.99% 43.1 0.098 81.48% 0.13 0.205

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9537 16.77 11.98%
II 31532 30.59 67.38%
III 36671 34.74 90.03%
IV 17533 38.3 99.48%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.183 Win Model: -0.07
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 67025 52.36% 40.88 74.32%
2 19617 46.59% 43.13 80.89%
3 5177 40.02% 44.12 82.4%
4 3079 34.97% 46.97 86.07%
5 69 50.0% 38.97 66.67%
6 306 22.95% 40.43 66.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1143
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 32479
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 20275
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17322
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4310
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1658
Lose: Adversary condition 253
Win: Sacrifice victory 357
Lose: Scenario condition 489
Win: Scenario condition 1269
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14979
Lose: Spirit destroyed 739

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5444 34.98% 46.25 0.013 79.56% 0.136 0.0998
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3791 67.02% 42.33 -3.593 72.22% -0.59 -0.4314
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 276 53.99% 47.96 5.382 81.52% 0.882 -0.1307
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3280 44.42% 46.31 -1.492 83.29% -0.127 -0.3393
Downpour Drenches the World 660 36.53% 41.5 -0.719 70.91% -0.303 -0.056
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 970 30.31% 44.81 3.674 79.38% 0.778 0.2151
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5327 27.93% 52.29 2.895 91.95% 0.473 -0.0066
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3566 35.49% 49.46 2.084 87.69% 0.495 0.0887
Finder of Paths Unseen 326 49.69% 35.99 -6.209 61.35% -0.924 -0.1616
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1093 38.43% 48.82 -0.007 77.13% -0.022 0.6404
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1775 45.21% 43.83 0.172 73.3% 0.017 0.014
Heart of the Wildfire 5074 67.03% 39.85 -2.52 67.13% -0.347 0.0227
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9449 43.13% 47.99 2.386 84.94% 0.497 0.0709
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 210 31.43% 42.28 3.032 70.0% 0.394 -0.099
Lightning's Swift Strike 5468 52.24% 43.72 -2.839 74.47% -0.329 -0.1161
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 410 55.01% 45.6 3.826 74.15% 0.4 -0.2153
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 822 39.46% 49.68 4.226 87.59% 0.516 0.2299
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 562 40.21% 50.36 2.369 85.59% 0.322 0.2202
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3246 44.94% 47.63 1.34 82.99% 0.271 0.0246
Many Minds Move as One 1778 32.13% 49.74 0.99 89.76% 0.104 -0.0578
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7007 50.14% 44.8 -1.065 77.05% -0.132 -0.0982
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3448 43.36% 45.94 0.685 81.73% 0.321 0.1543
River Surges in Sunlight 7200 52.14% 46.39 -1.859 73.99% -0.499 -0.4714
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 644 44.39% 46.73 -1.685 74.69% -0.231 0.1076
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 490 45.08% 48.79 0.063 78.98% -0.224 -0.2556
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3793 44.7% 45.6 0.171 80.07% 0.177 0.0662
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2238 67.82% 39.99 -7.405 63.18% -1.161 -0.5851
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 107 57.94% 43.86 2.432 70.09% 0.121 0.1439
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 187 52.94% 45.19 4.319 77.01% 0.714 0.2623
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 132 47.73% 45.39 0.87 79.55% 0.122 0.3582
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 430 62.33% 42.91 1.967 72.33% 0.426 0.3389
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 258 69.38% 42.02 -2.394 68.99% -0.337 -0.1416
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7714 29.82% 50.54 -2.16 87.68% -0.253 -0.2746
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 223 39.46% 45.77 4.203 77.13% 0.583 0.251
Shifting Memory of Ages 1005 55.92% 42.92 -0.883 75.22% -0.375 -0.0937
Shroud of Silent Mist 886 72.2% 36.47 -4.923 62.19% -0.633 -0.3605
Starlight Seeks its Form 1961 37.74% 45.73 0.139 82.05% 0.146 -0.0742
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3042 37.2% 45.15 -0.53 84.94% 0.133 -0.3141
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2985 42.81% 46.59 1.159 79.8% 0.204 0.3258
Thunderspeaker 5186 46.84% 46.15 -2.388 78.5% -0.321 -0.3019
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 142 46.48% 41.78 3.027 69.72% 0.303 0.5076
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2176 80.01% 40.9 -0.28 73.85% 0.161 0.3359
Vital Strength of the Earth 3415 51.99% 37.88 -3.268 55.99% -0.637 -0.0645
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 233 45.06% 37.41 -4.121 61.8% -0.591 -0.2094
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 243 48.15% 37.17 -4.109 55.97% -0.651 0.106
Volcano Looming High 2038 53.53% 43.56 -0.876 77.87% -0.12 -0.1459
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 382 40.58% 44.25 3.115 78.53% 0.512 -0.0215

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 25.0% 33.25 -15.222 62.5% -0.603 -0.7887
Blitz 0 627 44.16% 42.25 -5.958 70.65% -0.619 -0.4876
Dahan Insurrection 4 791 27.43% 65.63 -2.203 74.08% -0.374 -0.6289
Despicable Theft 2 41 53.66% 39.59 1.396 48.78% -0.202 0.3394
Elemental Invocation 1 71 53.52% 41.48 2.449 64.79% 0.403 1.2598
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2602 13.24% 53.57 5.304 86.82% 0.413 -0.3585
Powers Long Forgotten 1 146 66.44% 41.05 -15.842 56.85% -1.768 -0.8333
Rituals of Terror 3 151 54.97% 51.07 1.03 58.28% -0.119 -0.0228
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 92 75.0% 46.87 -10.075 52.17% -0.702 0.4949
Second Wave 0 1908 52.15% 45.01 1.18 68.66% -0.155 -0.0693
The Great River 3 60 61.67% 38.2 2.59 40.0% -0.342 1.0191
Varied Terrains 2 32 65.63% 37.59 -8.851 53.13% -0.642 0.1465
Ward the Shores 2 128 55.47% 48.02 -8.267 64.06% -0.838 0.1941

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 59183 48.46% 44.53 -0.851 76.7% 0.003 0.1937
1 Thematic 2071 54.11% 50.75 -1.076 69.29% 0.137 0.782
2 Archipelago 15 66.67% 44.33 -9.505 60.0% -0.836 -0.4043
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9439 47.97% 45.96 1.193 81.29% 0.039 0.0357
2 Coastline 1381 40.92% 47.62 0.904 84.58% -0.3 -0.2443
2 Fragment 182 53.59% 44.79 4.353 77.47% 0.396 0.1299
2 Heart 86 44.71% 47.52 3.908 86.05% 0.126 0.087
2 Opposite Shores 1863 46.32% 44.86 -0.228 77.67% -0.302 -0.2883
2 Thematic 622 54.03% 49.36 0.74 69.29% 0.069 0.2664
2 Top to Top 431 43.82% 47.05 0.428 82.83% -0.027 -0.1254
3 Archipelago 7 42.86% 36.57 0.0 42.86%
3 Coastline 51 23.53% 56.69 5.658 98.04% 0.83 -0.1944
3 Other 126 55.2% 45.75 7.743 80.16% 0.338 -0.0547
3 Round (Default) 3639 37.89% 47.53 0.656 84.53% -0.471 -0.8063
3 Sunrise 16 18.75% 55.56 12.281 87.5% 0.377 0.6198
3 Thematic 117 54.7% 48.79 2.465 70.94% 0.538 0.254
4 Archipelago 11 72.73% 47.64 0.0 63.64%
4 Coastline 4 50.0% 47.25 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 9 66.67% 47.22 0.0 88.89%
4 Other 66 40.0% 49.02 2.058 83.33% 0.359 -0.9702
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 488 34.29% 52.18 4.034 75.2% 0.411 0.3313
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1653 37.98% 48.0 -2.623 84.45% -1.599 -1.7553
5 Archipelago 4 100.0% 70.5 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 62 48.33% 43.37 6.524 69.35% 0.628 -0.447
5 Thematic 5 20.0% 46.2 -2.898 80.0% -0.07 -0.077
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 23 43.48% 45.57 6.543 82.61% 0.505 0.3021
6 Star 12 50.0% 48.92 3.648 83.33% 0.059 0.158
6 Thematic 59 5.08% 45.9 -5.8 57.63% -1.167 -0.5187
6 Two Centers (Default) 48 41.67% 38.56 5.519 66.67% -0.327 -0.6616

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2891 38.34 -1.175 61.36% -0.433 -0.3031
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2145 41.08 1.396 65.92% -0.188 -0.3069
All Things Weaken 1558 37.76 -0.973 60.65% -0.521 -0.2133
Attenuated Essence 142 37.39 -0.146 65.49% -0.115 -0.083
Back Against the Wall 2023 39.55 -0.27 62.18% -0.416 -0.3863
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 136 33.48 -2.124 53.68% -0.587 -0.4012
Burn Brightest Before the End 90 38.84 1.184 60.0% -0.447 -0.3771
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2703 35.4 -1.88 57.64% -0.444 -0.0682
Downward Spiral 6205 37.54 -0.423 62.21% -0.102 0.0633
Erosion of Will 2776 37.14 -1.632 57.67% -0.683 -0.4689
Intensifying Exploitation 151 33.04 0.747 52.98% -0.362 -0.1204
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 644 48.18 6.007 89.91% 1.442 0.8602
Memory Fades to Dust 6337 36.28 -0.815 57.27% -0.175 0.1183
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1603 39.6 0.718 67.37% 0.015 0.1764
Promising Farmlands 2867 36.94 -0.739 60.17% -0.103 0.1926
Shattered Fragments of Power 98 39.61 2.955 65.31% 0.184 0.272
Slow Dissolution of Will 149 31.15 -0.801 45.64% -0.611 -0.2176
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 460 48.39 6.264 91.52% 1.098 0.3858
The Border of Life and Death 47 45.87 3.807 85.11% 0.379 -0.1004
Thriving Communities 1451 36.47 -0.069 59.48% -0.034 0.2659
Thriving Crops 75 36.77 0.128 69.33% 0.189 0.0872
Tipping Point 957 35.54 0.0 54.13%
Unnatural Proliferation 1647 39.48 1.815 64.3% -0.036 0.1329
Untended Land Crumbles 1523 38.01 0.055 63.43% -0.145 0.1133

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 16929 48.31% 44.44 -1.302 76.29% -0.193 0.9498
B 18498 45.99% 45.55 -0.441 79.12% -0.08 0.9746
C 18817 47.78% 45.33 0.764 78.56% 0.156 1.0439
D 16062 47.64% 45.02 0.404 77.76% 0.055 1.1088
E 7746 43.34% 46.74 1.386 82.66% 0.152 1.0566
F 9683 44.72% 45.88 0.365 80.83% -0.005 0.9989
G 8811 45.13% 45.8 0.492 80.77% -0.004 0.9641
H 8947 42.98% 46.44 1.601 81.86% 0.205 1.1975
East 2171 48.71% 49.93 -0.033 69.05% -0.234 0.7546
Northeast 1327 46.45% 50.05 -0.068 69.03% -0.277 0.6724
Northwest 1080 44.38% 50.51 -1.311 73.24% -0.542 0.4989
Southeast 361 42.66% 47.38 -7.278 69.25% -1.636 -0.7182
Southwest 339 45.43% 42.38 -3.086 61.95% -0.133 1.3239
West 2033 47.41% 51.57 -2.926 71.22% -1.001 0.1062

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 458 0.0% 44.87 -3.918 72.05% -0.411 0.2527
Not Using Events or Tokens 9917 53.02% 42.36 -4.426 70.33% -0.568 -0.0741
Skip Initial Invader Actions 660 15.84% 59.64 8.784 92.27% 0.414 -0.2084
Start of Game Growth 1275 17.99% 56.55 5.997 89.96% 0.652 0.2399
Unlimited Undo 8102 43.75% 46.42 0.274 81.57% 0.042 -0.053
Using Tokens but Not Events 7595 38.36% 46.38 0.488 80.82% 0.115 0.1906

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10354 16.77 29.05%
II 34950 30.59 77.69%
III 26196 34.74 88.33%
IV 10212 38.3 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.277 Win Model: 0.401
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 61414 48.69% 44.75 76.45%
2 13965 47.18% 46.18 80.67%
3 3913 38.5% 47.66 84.26%
4 2234 37.38% 48.99 82.32%
5 43 51.16% 36.56 58.14%
6 143 27.97% 43.58 67.13%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3005
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 22837
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 26410
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10089
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2676
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2778
Lose: Adversary condition 113
Win: Sacrifice victory 323
Lose: Scenario condition 300
Win: Scenario condition 808
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11798
Lose: Spirit destroyed 575

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3001 47.29% 47.6 -3.709 66.08% -0.86 -0.8955
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1767 77.08% 45.34 -1.416 62.93% 0.279 0.437
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 111 45.05% 50.5 6.415 77.48% 1.193 0.1807
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2484 41.02% 52.5 0.596 78.06% 0.367 0.155
Downpour Drenches the World 339 43.77% 39.4 -3.467 53.39% -0.567 -0.3205
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 565 35.75% 49.09 2.631 75.22% 0.495 -0.0673
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3116 39.22% 55.52 2.817 83.06% 0.618 0.1382
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1744 45.91% 53.03 1.485 76.95% 0.197 -0.2095
Finder of Paths Unseen 142 57.75% 39.7 -6.737 52.11% -1.237 -0.4748
Fractured Days Split the Sky 458 54.8% 49.18 -7.036 60.26% -0.624 0.0382
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 702 44.02% 51.68 1.175 75.07% 0.182 0.1795
Heart of the Wildfire 2717 72.33% 42.3 -2.659 57.45% -0.074 0.2962
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4125 58.95% 48.77 2.711 69.53% 0.586 0.1597
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 175 20.0% 55.71 6.708 85.14% 1.194 0.7017
Lightning's Swift Strike 3248 70.62% 43.48 2.332 57.36% 0.67 0.8829
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 162 69.75% 41.83 6.17 56.17% 0.822 0.2057
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 384 55.61% 50.16 -3.608 75.26% -0.312 -0.5973
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 251 48.21% 54.02 2.833 76.89% -0.106 -0.208
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1834 51.47% 51.42 -0.646 75.3% -0.072 -0.3186
Many Minds Move as One 688 42.01% 55.34 1.429 85.47% 0.175 0.0135
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3579 58.04% 49.71 -1.015 70.89% -0.074 -0.0396
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1779 53.59% 47.88 0.61 68.52% 0.148 -0.0196
River Surges in Sunlight 4137 64.32% 49.85 -4.447 64.9% -0.623 -0.5955
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 386 39.12% 52.78 4.547 68.91% -0.011 0.3283
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 257 57.42% 48.0 4.288 64.98% 0.473 0.4416
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1797 55.64% 48.71 0.802 69.73% 0.322 0.2114
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2005 82.59% 42.47 -5.293 54.46% -0.545 0.0307
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 30 63.33% 43.23 -5.646 63.33% -0.113 -0.0902
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 104 57.69% 44.72 1.127 69.23% 0.322 -0.1305
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 125 34.4% 51.62 -5.17 76.0% -0.793 -0.5566
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 213 77.93% 40.75 0.571 48.36% -0.153 -0.2406
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 134 76.87% 44.67 -8.919 61.94% -0.264 -0.0689
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3657 38.25% 55.58 2.746 79.57% 0.428 0.4067
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 90 48.89% 36.63 -6.159 54.44% -0.782 -1.1145
Shifting Memory of Ages 391 67.52% 40.39 -3.002 51.92% -0.053 0.2278
Shroud of Silent Mist 310 80.26% 38.3 -6.189 50.97% -0.692 -0.4193
Starlight Seeks its Form 682 42.82% 47.35 0.075 66.57% -0.354 -0.5739
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2513 35.15% 51.39 0.98 80.38% 0.555 0.1085
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1825 49.72% 50.99 2.056 72.44% 0.475 0.5969
Thunderspeaker 2729 57.52% 49.2 -3.406 67.24% -0.194 -0.1758
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 60 41.67% 43.33 3.367 66.67% 0.602 0.8062
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1354 87.37% 44.64 -1.225 64.33% -0.035 0.1394
Vital Strength of the Earth 1958 68.43% 37.24 -5.995 37.49% -1.401 -0.8292
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 188 53.72% 39.69 0.736 46.28% 0.172 0.5541
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 118 60.17% 38.23 2.314 38.98% -0.123 0.6343
Volcano Looming High 958 69.87% 45.68 0.604 65.34% 0.031 0.0051
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 139 48.2% 41.74 1.834 65.47% 0.375 -0.1583

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 0.0% 33.0 0.0 50.0%
Blitz 0 418 71.15% 40.63 -0.639 51.44% -0.475 -0.3442
Dahan Insurrection 4 497 52.52% 67.2 -8.827 60.76% -0.886 -1.141
Despicable Theft 2 9 44.44% 40.78 0.0 44.44%
Elemental Invocation 1 55 69.09% 24.82 -8.907 16.36% -0.875 -0.0185
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1595 17.79% 60.44 10.103 87.08% 1.795 1.0235
Powers Long Forgotten 1 100 70.0% 44.97 -5.83 50.0% -0.463 0.472
Rituals of Terror 3 68 64.71% 58.13 -17.088 50.0% -0.612 -0.5166
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 59 91.53% 48.71 0.0 42.37%
Second Wave 0 1085 61.46% 47.84 -0.576 59.91% -0.419 -0.3328
The Great River 3 30 60.0% 38.2 0.0 20.0%
Varied Terrains 2 6 83.33% 41.0 -10.94 33.33% -0.61 0.1786
Ward the Shores 2 65 72.31% 48.49 15.842 49.23% 0.755 1.7866

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 33740 57.86% 46.9 0.683 65.65% 0.932 1.1231
1 Thematic 1274 63.74% 51.44 -2.771 56.36% -0.143 0.5018
2 Archipelago 8 75.0% 59.63 0.0 75.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5153 55.51% 49.95 -1.496 72.0% 0.279 0.275
2 Coastline 769 47.84% 49.08 -3.829 70.09% -0.18 -0.1243
2 Fragment 101 67.0% 46.39 -1.104 65.35% -0.197 -0.4637
2 Heart 73 64.38% 48.68 1.035 68.49% 0.409 0.37
2 Opposite Shores 1249 56.21% 49.82 -1.905 71.66% -0.03 -0.0156
2 Thematic 351 66.0% 51.29 -9.244 53.56% -1.377 -1.1798
2 Top to Top 174 61.85% 47.83 -0.034 68.39% 0.112 0.0141
3 Archipelago 4 50.0% 84.75 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 11 27.27% 60.55 0.0 90.91%
3 Other 44 70.45% 51.57 -8.831 70.45% -0.957 -1.3496
3 Round (Default) 1558 52.13% 51.05 3.574 74.39% 0.746 0.4103
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Thematic 67 49.25% 58.33 16.432 70.15% 0.48 0.1954
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 64.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 14 57.14% 49.71 0.0 71.43%
4 Thematic 186 33.33% 63.74 7.872 80.65% 0.024 -0.0553
4 Trapezoid (Default) 653 50.16% 50.13 -2.721 72.43% -0.755 -0.9113
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 16 56.25% 52.63 4.4 75.0% 0.643 -0.4319
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 107.33 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 69.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 5 20.0% 17.4 0.0 20.0%
6 Star 1 0.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 29 24.14% 64.34 0.0 79.31%
6 Two Centers (Default) 10 0.0% 46.6 5.807 70.0% -0.361 -0.696
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1792 41.12 0.474 50.39% -0.263 -0.1331
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1263 45.19 3.716 58.43% 0.054 -0.0646
All Things Weaken 977 39.87 -0.838 48.62% -0.834 -0.526
Attenuated Essence 99 39.52 3.826 52.53% 0.271 0.3031
Back Against the Wall 1268 43.67 2.317 55.05% -0.042 -0.012
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 88 33.4 -0.587 42.05% -0.362 -0.1755
Burn Brightest Before the End 74 38.8 2.69 50.0% 0.017 0.0873
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1656 37.95 -2.589 46.98% -0.582 -0.2063
Downward Spiral 5059 39.48 0.921 49.79% 0.22 0.3854
Erosion of Will 1671 39.14 -2.942 45.84% -0.89 -0.6756
Intensifying Exploitation 109 34.54 -0.752 46.79% -0.068 0.1738
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 341 53.05 2.355 84.75% 0.317 -0.2646
Memory Fades to Dust 4912 38.88 -1.895 46.99% -0.483 -0.19
Power Corrodes the Spirit 952 40.82 -0.262 52.94% -0.55 -0.3891
Promising Farmlands 1715 38.1 -0.151 45.31% -0.335 -0.0386
Shattered Fragments of Power 60 38.75 2.301 50.0% 0.243 0.3308
Slow Dissolution of Will 81 27.79 -5.71 25.93% -1.163 -0.7699
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 199 53.18 -0.842 85.43% -0.074 -0.7855
The Border of Life and Death 22 51.91 4.672 86.36% 0.668 0.1887
Thriving Communities 953 39.76 -3.001 51.31% -0.759 -0.4594
Thriving Crops 35 48.57 0.879 77.14% -0.107 -0.2091
Tipping Point 639 38.12 0.0 42.72%
Unnatural Proliferation 1001 43.27 1.13 55.74% -0.202 -0.0325
Untended Land Crumbles 940 40.25 -3.036 52.13% -0.558 -0.2997

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8518 60.75% 45.76 -1.25 62.51% -0.299 0.8432
B 10381 54.04% 49.42 -0.283 70.11% -0.135 0.9206
C 10038 62.61% 46.54 -0.096 64.8% -0.2 0.6879
D 7964 62.11% 46.42 0.327 64.25% -0.156 0.8983
E 3379 55.5% 49.28 1.551 71.8% 0.065 0.9691
F 6133 46.68% 50.27 -0.581 74.24% -0.295 0.7091
G 5053 50.58% 50.11 0.429 72.91% -0.226 0.7419
H 5243 48.94% 50.58 2.564 73.64% 0.037 1.0292
East 1201 58.25% 54.77 -5.504 61.2% -0.557 0.4315
Northeast 679 57.23% 55.11 3.752 63.03% 0.487 1.4361
Northwest 552 51.72% 55.64 -4.559 62.5% -0.357 0.6846
Southeast 177 50.85% 52.34 -5.62 63.84% -0.503 0.4147
Southwest 170 54.71% 46.99 -1.816 55.88% 0.402 1.8587
West 1054 56.79% 53.76 -7.509 58.73% -0.834 0.2733

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 215 0.0% 43.68 0.0 57.67%
Not Using Events or Tokens 7296 70.5% 42.49 -4.365 55.44% -0.612 -0.1179
Skip Initial Invader Actions 354 23.94% 61.78 12.633 83.62% 1.247 0.6248
Start of Game Growth 731 22.13% 64.11 7.13 88.1% 1.098 0.6853
Unlimited Undo 7686 35.06% 55.98 4.168 83.85% 0.582 0.4867
Using Tokens but Not Events 8041 28.71% 55.84 4.858 83.82% 0.487 0.5628

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7076 16.77 20.07%
II 19860 30.59 65.52%
III 13638 34.74 80.96%
IV 4943 38.3 99.43%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.494 Win Model: 0.619
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 35098 58.09% 47.07 65.25%
2 7841 55.68% 49.85 71.01%
3 1668 52.35% 51.38 74.1%
4 851 45.47% 53.48 75.09%
5 11 54.55% 47.73 72.73%
6 48 16.67% 55.0 72.92%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1420
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10862
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 12680
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4864
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1784
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2755
Lose: Adversary condition 68
Win: Sacrifice victory 160
Lose: Scenario condition 183
Win: Scenario condition 403
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9827
Lose: Spirit destroyed 511

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6865 64.35% 43.57 -3.78 46.95% -0.368 -0.4041
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6173 83.35% 42.33 -2.75 47.87% -0.053 0.1052
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 716 60.75% 52.41 12.355 73.18% 1.988 0.9752
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3220 77.33% 39.78 -4.111 42.61% -0.672 -0.884
Downpour Drenches the World 1020 53.44% 36.31 -1.324 40.98% -0.044 0.203
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1983 53.26% 43.24 3.456 58.25% 0.631 0.0682
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8321 56.79% 51.13 1.996 65.47% 0.733 0.2541
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3359 74.6% 44.76 -0.105 52.46% 0.155 -0.2512
Finder of Paths Unseen 536 65.79% 28.98 -6.372 29.85% -1.09 -0.3275
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1657 64.61% 49.55 -2.509 55.1% -0.506 0.1558
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1824 71.91% 44.49 -1.419 53.34% -0.1 -0.1027
Heart of the Wildfire 7507 89.42% 32.57 -5.481 30.29% -0.956 -0.5857
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10262 72.43% 43.77 -0.556 52.33% 0.142 -0.2843
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 375 52.53% 39.04 4.501 50.93% 0.677 0.1845
Lightning's Swift Strike 7511 73.48% 41.1 -4.119 44.88% -0.492 -0.2786
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 805 73.72% 43.27 0.544 53.54% 0.225 -0.3904
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1353 79.29% 47.36 5.591 60.83% 0.941 0.655
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 965 66.84% 47.83 -1.886 60.41% -0.037 -0.1392
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5052 70.59% 45.03 0.252 55.01% 0.229 -0.0176
Many Minds Move as One 2131 59.69% 53.7 3.005 73.39% 0.537 0.3754
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 28178 55.34% 56.44 2.457 79.16% 0.772 0.8062
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3419 76.99% 41.07 1.585 45.31% 0.607 0.4403
River Surges in Sunlight 11110 74.95% 46.39 -1.887 50.29% 0.025 0.0521
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 508 78.67% 38.96 -4.153 31.89% -0.832 -0.4931
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 887 70.91% 41.03 -0.017 45.66% 0.227 0.1955
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5835 63.59% 44.54 -4.888 52.25% -0.443 -0.5538
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3590 73.93% 38.83 -5.537 40.36% -0.946 -0.3701
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 87 83.91% 39.31 6.997 44.83% 0.765 0.7885
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 421 64.37% 43.81 5.017 58.43% 0.717 0.2651
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 190 66.32% 31.0 -4.587 34.74% -0.827 -0.5914
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 457 82.24% 41.08 -2.71 45.3% -0.191 -0.2784
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 409 90.71% 40.3 -6.626 44.25% -0.6 -0.4043
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6373 65.87% 44.73 1.271 53.49% 0.259 0.238
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 332 65.36% 32.89 -0.019 40.66% 0.136 -0.1967
Shifting Memory of Ages 979 81.24% 38.31 -0.376 36.06% 0.159 0.4407
Shroud of Silent Mist 1002 89.21% 32.89 -6.129 32.53% -0.659 -0.3864
Starlight Seeks its Form 3159 72.88% 40.04 -1.583 42.83% -0.327 -0.5471
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5201 64.73% 44.7 2.008 51.47% 0.327 -0.1199
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3207 74.77% 44.51 0.938 51.2% 0.31 0.4317
Thunderspeaker 8398 74.01% 47.02 -2.265 46.11% 0.139 0.1576
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 303 65.02% 38.49 3.146 49.5% 0.775 0.9791
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4150 91.06% 43.99 1.536 56.48% 0.479 0.6533
Vital Strength of the Earth 4063 80.29% 32.03 -5.584 21.9% -1.205 -0.6333
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 283 72.44% 31.91 -4.383 30.04% -0.684 -0.3021
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 414 81.84% 29.85 -8.728 19.57% -1.618 -0.8606
Volcano Looming High 3410 76.94% 42.04 2.316 51.06% 0.488 0.4614
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 537 64.8% 38.45 2.862 50.84% 0.593 0.0596

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 11 45.45% 45.0 -0.093 54.55% -0.37 -0.5558
Blitz 0 964 59.14% 44.95 4.405 53.73% 0.654 0.7848
Dahan Insurrection 4 2991 76.12% 56.86 -2.016 36.38% -0.317 -0.5723
Despicable Theft 2 31 61.29% 36.48 4.338 25.81% 0.476 1.0175
Elemental Invocation 1 83 73.49% 32.75 -2.509 18.07% -0.964 -0.1073
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 4324 36.89% 55.61 10.005 69.06% 1.412 0.6403
Powers Long Forgotten 1 135 85.71% 35.27 -3.487 22.22% -0.636 0.299
Rituals of Terror 3 322 60.87% 72.94 20.991 42.24% 1.253 1.3485
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 39 69.23% 33.95 -13.981 20.51% -0.374 0.8223
Second Wave 0 863 69.72% 43.85 2.863 44.96% 0.121 0.2071
The Great River 3 46 76.09% 35.67 -8.676 17.39% -0.834 0.5272
Varied Terrains 2 15 60.0% 38.67 0.0 26.67%
Ward the Shores 2 80 86.25% 38.85 0.0 28.75%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 107864 71.25% 44.17 -0.777 53.38% -0.086 0.1052
1 Thematic 4438 77.79% 52.3 -0.696 37.99% -0.402 0.2427
2 Archipelago 62 42.62% 35.58 -1.233 25.81% -0.402 0.0297
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11320 63.81% 47.67 2.09 60.09% 0.098 0.0948
2 Coastline 1890 67.39% 46.13 0.38 57.99% 0.087 0.1428
2 Fragment 220 77.27% 39.19 2.239 45.0% -0.223 -0.4891
2 Heart 127 73.23% 42.67 -0.236 48.82% -0.642 -0.6813
2 Opposite Shores 2959 73.09% 45.2 -1.098 50.19% -0.748 -0.7336
2 Thematic 1055 78.78% 49.93 -4.113 35.17% -0.909 -0.7119
2 Top to Top 446 78.05% 44.13 -3.016 50.9% -0.534 -0.6316
3 Archipelago 5 20.0% 55.8 0.0 40.0%
3 Coastline 45 64.44% 45.53 18.913 51.11% 0.831 -0.193
3 Other 97 78.35% 44.51 9.017 50.52% 1.217 0.8249
3 Round (Default) 3040 70.65% 46.01 2.781 56.51% 0.121 -0.2145
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 50.29 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 119 60.5% 72.03 44.113 50.42% 0.631 0.3465
4 Archipelago 3 66.67% 60.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Coastline 11 45.45% 56.55 0.0 72.73%
4 Leaf 7 57.14% 38.0 0.0 42.86%
4 Other 39 71.79% 48.49 -9.908 61.54% -0.104 -1.4331
4 Snake 2 100.0% 26.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 387 59.59% 69.12 12.107 56.59% 0.039 -0.0403
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2053 57.16% 44.89 -6.249 55.58% -1.508 -1.6643
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 32.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 22 13.64% 53.23 2.551 77.27% -0.072 -0.9844
5 Other 39 58.97% 56.85 11.617 69.23% 0.818 -0.2566
5 Thematic 5 100.0% 54.0 0.0 20.0%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 6 0.0% 68.17 16.687 100.0% 0.17 -0.5784
6 Other 10 60.0% 41.4 12.126 60.0% 0.295 0.0921
6 Star 10 60.0% 50.1 0.0 70.0%
6 Thematic 20 70.0% 39.2 -5.146 40.0% -0.306 0.3432
6 Two Centers (Default) 29 58.62% 40.24 2.74 48.28% -0.708 -1.042
7 Other 3 33.33% 27.0 -16.84 33.33% -0.254 0.1425

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 7714 41.42 2.261 44.84% -0.313 -0.1835
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6136 47.09 5.193 56.23% 0.33 0.2117
All Things Weaken 3981 39.12 0.521 41.04% -0.465 -0.157
Attenuated Essence 502 36.24 2.319 42.83% 0.051 0.0833
Back Against the Wall 5127 42.62 2.907 45.78% -0.294 -0.2645
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 466 32.9 0.577 34.55% -0.316 -0.1304
Burn Brightest Before the End 326 37.64 2.796 38.65% -0.252 -0.1814
Disintegrating Ecosystem 7075 38.38 0.051 41.95% -0.549 -0.1737
Downward Spiral 14333 39.53 0.521 39.9% 0.052 0.2183
Erosion of Will 7467 39.8 1.515 41.62% -0.331 -0.1168
Intensifying Exploitation 496 30.48 -0.58 31.85% -0.56 -0.3182
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1065 53.3 8.587 73.71% 1.172 0.5909
Memory Fades to Dust 14273 38.85 0.223 37.08% -0.169 0.124
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3839 38.89 2.294 41.52% -0.146 0.0154
Promising Farmlands 7088 39.18 0.527 41.72% -0.457 -0.1612
Shattered Fragments of Power 331 38.02 3.417 41.09% -0.135 -0.0474
Slow Dissolution of Will 497 33.61 1.077 34.0% -0.36 0.0335
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 624 53.76 2.023 77.56% 0.42 -0.2913
The Border of Life and Death 95 35.81 -0.674 50.53% -0.311 -0.7907
Thriving Communities 3774 36.97 -0.768 37.78% -0.549 -0.2496
Thriving Crops 153 37.54 1.017 54.25% 0.299 0.1972
Tipping Point 2485 38.06 0.0 37.42%
Unnatural Proliferation 4172 41.46 2.642 43.96% -0.12 0.0494
Untended Land Crumbles 3815 37.95 -0.697 39.37% -0.595 -0.3371

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 23903 72.57% 42.16 -2.391 48.28% -0.818 0.325
B 28698 68.82% 45.02 0.132 54.47% -0.369 0.6864
C 28182 70.82% 43.78 -0.388 52.11% -0.395 0.4933
D 25963 69.82% 45.43 0.377 55.6% -0.319 0.7355
E 11639 69.91% 44.28 0.302 54.59% -0.392 0.512
F 14951 67.25% 46.14 0.108 57.8% -0.442 0.5624
G 14091 67.24% 47.53 1.604 60.43% -0.273 0.6947
H 13419 65.36% 46.79 0.339 58.71% -0.498 0.495
East 4405 76.62% 55.16 4.345 39.02% 0.045 1.0331
Northeast 2282 72.47% 57.66 3.413 44.39% -0.134 0.8153
Northwest 1268 68.88% 57.15 2.03 45.19% -0.371 0.6705
Southeast 338 84.32% 40.14 -3.2 25.44% -0.728 0.1899
Southwest 264 78.24% 32.43 -7.964 21.97% -1.187 0.27
West 2416 73.23% 52.46 6.628 38.33% 0.307 1.4139

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 710 0.0% 38.85 0.976 39.44% 0.41 1.0735
Not Using Events or Tokens 14424 81.23% 38.49 -8.04 33.96% -1.66 -1.1653
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2581 18.0% 64.82 11.396 85.04% 0.92 0.2977
Start of Game Growth 4837 22.11% 61.37 8.036 82.74% 1.277 0.8642
Unlimited Undo 11801 63.79% 48.04 0.372 61.43% 0.08 -0.0152
Using Tokens but Not Events 9359 56.94% 45.89 -1.417 54.97% -0.602 -0.5262

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 26882 16.77 4.96%
II 52079 30.59 47.02%
III 45618 34.74 77.16%
IV 11837 38.3 99.59%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.091 Win Model: 0.386
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 112843 71.49% 44.52 52.75%
2 17754 67.02% 47.06 56.46%
3 3282 69.48% 47.82 56.4%
4 2416 58.98% 46.32 55.17%
5 50 40.0% 45.48 56.0%
6 71 53.52% 46.66 61.97%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1329
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 34569
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 23014
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 11648
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 8025
Lose: Invader deck ran out 10424
Lose: Adversary condition 480
Win: Sacrifice victory 740
Lose: Scenario condition 898
Win: Scenario condition 1510
Lose: Blight pool ran out 41069
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2710

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-02-21 04:03:14 (Pacific Time)