The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7574 25.65% 25.67 -0.021 88.33% 0.017 -0.0982
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5298 44.24% 25.51 -0.048 86.71% -0.013 0.0832
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3660 25.96% 26.81 0.63 92.4% 0.954 0.7931
Downpour Drenches the World 105 28.57% 26.89 -0.186 86.67% -0.242 0.0107
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4639 15.22% 30.31 1.441 95.65% 0.693 0.2553
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3555 18.77% 28.33 0.714 94.49% 0.135 -0.3527
Finder of Paths Unseen 61 19.67% 24.77 -1.563 90.16% -0.407 -0.0439
Fractured Days Split the Sky 752 33.82% 28.12 1.156 83.11% -0.065 -0.0087
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 533 41.28% 28.03 -0.048 85.93% -0.061 -0.0927
Heart of the Wildfire 4871 57.89% 21.76 -1.173 75.9% -0.264 -0.0892
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6469 27.72% 26.85 0.609 91.11% 0.22 -0.2359
Lightning's Swift Strike 8881 42.1% 23.84 -0.935 80.78% -0.276 -0.0019
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 37 27.03% 29.95 0.923 94.59% 0.481 -0.2953
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 538 25.84% 28.81 1.461 92.75% 0.854 0.2108
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 377 34.13% 28.24 0.756 89.92% 0.329 0.0624
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2032 26.11% 28.29 0.728 91.78% -0.044 -0.311
Many Minds Move as One 1230 20.34% 28.86 1.476 94.96% 0.491 -0.1117
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7417 40.03% 25.75 0.163 87.45% 0.216 0.0315
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3234 29.98% 25.71 -0.306 90.66% 0.176 0.1972
River Surges in Sunlight 9711 39.0% 26.4 0.103 80.46% -0.496 -0.53
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 653 37.81% 27.19 0.384 81.62% -0.561 -0.1296
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 63 42.86% 31.56 2.018 93.65% 0.669 0.3688
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4062 29.85% 25.82 0.719 89.14% 0.384 0.3308
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 5386 54.25% 23.75 -1.1 78.98% -0.347 0.0626
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 18 33.33% 29.17 0.962 94.44% 0.439 0.4456
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 22 22.73% 28.32 0.908 90.91% 0.058 -0.2893
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 446 32.96% 27.39 1.166 92.15% 0.694 0.713
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 332 42.73% 26.64 0.351 89.16% 0.721 0.9041
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4732 28.0% 27.11 0.496 89.64% 0.038 -0.2484
Shifting Memory of Ages 451 39.47% 25.92 -0.384 87.36% -0.383 -0.3077
Shroud of Silent Mist 862 44.32% 24.93 -0.654 85.73% -0.017 0.2195
Starlight Seeks its Form 549 23.5% 28.44 0.686 89.44% -0.008 -0.1473
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1879 27.55% 24.18 -0.481 91.86% 0.09 -0.0917
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2755 30.62% 25.5 -0.033 86.1% -0.359 -0.1746
Thunderspeaker 6954 31.69% 26.66 -0.062 85.95% -0.218 -0.1534
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1267 59.92% 21.79 -2.287 83.9% -0.527 -0.6176
Vital Strength of the Earth 6646 31.7% 22.34 -1.643 76.96% -0.836 -0.0277
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 39 41.03% 22.36 -2.226 74.36% -0.766 -0.3792
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 310 34.09% 22.54 -3.235 77.1% -0.713 0.4613
Volcano Looming High 1098 39.73% 25.31 -0.901 85.88% -0.692 -0.6967

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 75.0% 23.0 -2.357 75.0% -0.111 -0.3127
Blitz 0 904 40.7% 23.28 -2.524 78.32% -0.618 -0.361
Dahan Insurrection 4 1150 20.28% 46.49 8.158 80.87% -0.947 -0.5343
Despicable Theft 2 93 37.63% 32.08 2.297 75.27% -1.43 -0.984
Elemental Invocation 1 167 42.51% 28.43 -2.77 81.44% -0.685 -0.1987
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1953 8.31% 30.84 0.914 86.84% -1.033 -0.7277
Powers Long Forgotten 1 394 52.67% 28.59 0.128 75.38% -0.095 0.087
Rituals of Terror 3 486 44.03% 36.07 7.16 72.84% 0.062 0.1836
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 297 72.73% 33.3 2.946 68.01% -0.523 -0.1076
Second Wave 0 933 50.48% 25.82 3.795 75.13% -0.822 -0.2558
The Great River 3 139 42.45% 31.02 0.694 55.4% -2.074 -0.6764
Varied Terrains 2 8 25.0% 30.5 1.884 75.0% -0.735 -0.2089
Ward the Shores 2 438 43.71% 31.04 1.463 72.83% -1.086 0.0759

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 53586 39.23% 24.41 -0.392 82.92% -0.246 0.7699
1 Thematic 4327 41.59% 31.93 2.241 78.55% -0.157 1.0157
2 Archipelago 32 53.13% 35.59 5.589 65.63% -0.489 0.4941
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11197 32.47% 25.27 -0.173 88.15% -0.255 0.4965
2 Coastline 1172 33.65% 25.24 1.536 86.86% 0.825 1.4271
2 Fragment 288 37.94% 23.67 0.084 85.42% 0.631 1.0785
2 Heart 157 36.31% 24.39 -0.296 86.62% 0.156 0.6942
2 Opposite Shores 1719 29.92% 25.98 0.355 90.87% -0.022 0.9699
2 Thematic 971 39.23% 34.05 0.588 83.42% -0.354 0.3444
2 Top to Top 304 32.12% 25.59 1.377 92.76% -0.195 0.3158
3 Archipelago 16 50.0% 32.44 1.527 87.5% 0.216 0.3889
3 Coastline 24 33.33% 29.29 7.303 75.0% 0.23 -0.5529
3 Other 130 34.65% 24.27 2.252 85.38% 0.143 0.1071
3 Round (Default) 3428 23.48% 26.73 -0.093 93.03% -0.502 0.0924
3 Sunrise 17 56.25% 25.29 3.424 88.24% 0.019 0.0556
3 Thematic 169 37.5% 35.69 3.775 82.25% -0.174 -0.212
4 Archipelago 5 40.0% 29.0 0.0 60.0%
4 Coastline 10 0.0% 50.5 0.0 90.0%
4 Leaf 4 50.0% 23.5 0.0 75.0%
4 Other 63 25.0% 25.05 -2.287 87.3% -0.518 -0.7722
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 26.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 0.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 367 21.53% 35.81 -1.212 92.92% -0.186 0.343
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1586 22.97% 26.51 -0.14 92.88% -0.12 -0.1475
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 51.33 21.352 100.0% 0.026 -0.5528
5 Other 25 28.0% 29.88 -0.587 80.0% -0.001 0.167
5 Thematic 5 0.0% 39.8 1.666 100.0% 0.207 -0.0694
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 32.67 1.634 100.0% 0.011 -0.2443
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 53.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 6 0.0% 29.0 -0.839 100.0% 0.015 0.8241
6 Star 5 0.0% 28.0 -0.757 100.0% 0.014 0.7978
6 Thematic 24 20.83% 34.17 -1.009 91.67% -0.183 -0.4616
6 Two Centers (Default) 41 31.71% 28.51 -0.094 92.68% -0.042 -0.1361

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1869 18.89 -4.186 61.64% -2.539 -0.6362
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1628 20.0 -3.256 63.27% -2.295 -0.5655
All Things Weaken 708 19.12 -2.702 61.44% -1.78 0.2054
Back Against the Wall 1455 19.32 -3.458 61.37% -2.344 -0.5271
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1719 16.91 -5.11 61.02% -2.616 -0.566
Downward Spiral 6859 17.17 -4.809 62.36% -2.307 -0.3145
Erosion of Will 1768 18.17 -3.974 59.16% -2.088 -0.0047
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 321 25.4 -0.957 95.33% -0.303 0.1386
Memory Fades to Dust 6866 16.98 -4.334 59.28% -2.238 -0.1542
Power Corrodes the Spirit 731 19.15 -4.593 67.17% -2.376 -0.4375
Promising Farmlands 1822 17.71 -4.88 62.24% -2.317 -0.2709
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 204 25.34 -0.842 97.55% -0.12 0.3044
Thriving Communities 721 18.07 -3.606 62.69% -1.857 0.1271
Tipping Point 789 17.93 0.0 63.12%
Unnatural Proliferation 724 19.98 -2.535 64.09% -2.224 -0.2599
Untended Land Crumbles 715 18.29 -4.003 61.82% -2.157 -0.1642

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 18629 37.4% 24.5 -0.049 84.37% 0.113 0.9101
B 18819 36.13% 24.77 0.184 85.28% -0.123 0.6202
C 19328 34.39% 25.05 -0.411 85.8% -0.198 0.3705
D 18149 35.14% 24.94 -0.39 85.74% -0.147 0.6488
E 4669 31.01% 26.27 0.528 88.84% 0.078 0.7249
F 7678 30.34% 25.83 -0.159 88.85% -0.341 0.3834
G 7175 32.17% 25.65 0.188 88.88% 0.184 0.9152
H 7318 30.49% 25.81 0.153 88.25% -0.397 0.3158
East 3544 37.57% 34.21 3.538 82.45% 0.646 1.4148
Northeast 2168 36.17% 34.34 1.103 83.35% -0.378 0.4819
Northwest 1583 36.22% 33.47 1.206 83.51% -0.012 1.0647
Southeast 358 30.06% 32.78 1.251 86.03% -0.002 0.7041
Southwest 346 40.0% 26.79 -2.814 78.32% -1.224 -0.0982
West 2995 40.25% 32.66 -0.124 80.13% -1.224 -0.2703

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1519 0.0% 21.78 -2.506 72.28% -1.771 0.3586
Not Using Events or Tokens 20386 45.61% 23.0 -1.308 78.04% -0.57 -0.3955
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1155 10.3% 33.65 3.634 94.46% 0.159 0.017
Start of Game Growth 1792 13.52% 32.27 2.767 93.69% 0.285 -0.4758
Unlimited Undo 4962 29.95% 26.66 0.631 89.5% 1.0 0.3965
Using Tokens but Not Events 6902 29.45% 25.63 -0.581 87.84% -0.189 -0.3455

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5101 22.56 40.99%
II 24762 30.98 77.49%
III 34817 34.53 89.45%
IV 15032 37.77 98.81%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.016 Win Model: 0.365
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 58077 39.44% 24.98 82.57%
2 15781 32.77% 25.86 88.16%
3 3732 24.43% 27.02 92.28%
4 2027 22.68% 28.33 92.6%
5 15 20.0% 29.67 86.67%
6 80 22.78% 30.68 93.75%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2086
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 30391
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18142
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14713
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1052
Lose: Adversary condition 135
Win: Sacrifice victory 317
Lose: Scenario condition 534
Win: Scenario condition 1627
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10126
Lose: Spirit destroyed 589

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5449 27.06% 30.96 -0.408 89.3% -0.144 -0.2587
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3423 48.54% 30.4 0.776 86.21% 0.301 0.3972
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2696 28.58% 31.64 0.625 92.1% 0.515 0.3537
Downpour Drenches the World 126 23.2% 30.48 -0.584 91.27% -0.265 -0.0125
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3640 20.11% 34.31 1.354 94.84% 0.144 -0.2941
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2716 25.21% 33.51 2.428 93.45% 0.151 -0.3372
Finder of Paths Unseen 82 45.12% 27.17 -1.815 78.05% -0.997 -0.6333
Fractured Days Split the Sky 867 34.06% 32.58 1.477 84.08% 0.185 0.2408
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 775 37.98% 33.05 0.777 87.87% -0.108 -0.1402
Heart of the Wildfire 3576 64.52% 25.19 -1.495 72.99% -0.294 -0.1191
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5250 35.6% 30.78 0.13 88.9% -0.169 -0.6254
Lightning's Swift Strike 5763 46.81% 28.25 -0.237 80.46% -0.212 0.0619
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 40 27.5% 33.65 0.999 100.0% 1.154 0.3775
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 436 34.02% 33.56 2.313 93.81% 1.137 0.4941
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 338 37.57% 32.59 0.725 86.39% -0.343 -0.6095
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1618 36.96% 32.56 0.254 89.31% -0.252 -0.5186
Many Minds Move as One 1110 24.28% 33.54 1.335 94.77% 0.851 0.2482
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5564 39.13% 31.34 1.269 90.03% 0.849 0.6636
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2572 31.38% 30.26 -0.349 89.89% 0.099 0.1195
River Surges in Sunlight 6653 43.96% 30.79 0.247 81.27% -0.47 -0.5046
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 558 42.91% 30.6 -1.46 82.62% -1.208 -0.7766
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 59 42.37% 37.85 2.379 89.83% 0.095 -0.2053
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2972 35.82% 30.3 -0.121 87.35% -0.153 -0.2054
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3420 62.06% 27.16 -2.17 75.58% -0.284 0.1264
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 20 40.0% 37.2 2.521 100.0% 0.983 0.9896
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 22 31.82% 36.77 2.371 90.91% 0.033 -0.3136
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 372 40.86% 32.41 1.45 89.52% 1.078 1.0969
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 233 52.81% 29.03 -0.664 80.69% -0.048 0.135
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3782 31.93% 31.52 -0.001 87.65% -0.56 -0.8467
Shifting Memory of Ages 618 40.61% 29.67 -0.652 86.08% -0.408 -0.3328
Shroud of Silent Mist 750 49.67% 29.07 -0.121 87.6% 0.056 0.2928
Starlight Seeks its Form 600 30.55% 31.74 0.338 92.0% 0.435 0.2961
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1526 29.3% 29.73 -0.28 91.55% 0.086 -0.0961
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2409 31.88% 30.51 -1.081 87.8% 0.215 0.4001
Thunderspeaker 5307 35.86% 31.35 -0.181 85.83% -0.235 -0.1705
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1133 65.27% 26.84 -1.581 84.02% -0.333 -0.4232
Vital Strength of the Earth 4485 36.93% 27.1 -1.583 79.38% -0.421 0.3871
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 36 38.89% 30.14 -0.74 94.44% 0.376 0.7632
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 314 35.46% 25.38 -3.091 74.84% -1.174 0.0008
Volcano Looming High 975 46.19% 27.95 -1.269 85.54% -0.203 -0.2074

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 33.33% 24.0 -2.273 66.67% -0.291 -0.4935
Blitz 0 744 41.95% 27.09 -0.208 77.28% -0.231 0.026
Dahan Insurrection 4 818 30.34% 47.75 8.537 73.96% -1.242 -0.829
Despicable Theft 2 86 39.53% 38.99 2.831 86.05% -0.594 -0.1479
Elemental Invocation 1 135 50.0% 29.86 -3.084 77.78% -1.034 -0.5483
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1530 10.38% 34.96 4.534 81.96% -0.423 -0.1174
Powers Long Forgotten 1 392 57.14% 31.92 2.244 74.23% -0.007 0.1744
Rituals of Terror 3 372 50.0% 38.41 4.89 71.51% -0.276 -0.1545
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 274 72.99% 34.98 1.701 64.6% -0.614 -0.1988
Second Wave 0 3835 42.22% 31.87 1.277 81.2% -0.533 0.0331
The Great River 3 104 47.12% 37.09 8.887 69.23% 0.222 1.6196
Varied Terrains 2 7 57.14% 39.43 3.724 85.71% 0.049 0.5751
Ward the Shores 2 366 49.04% 34.16 2.221 69.95% -0.742 0.4202

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 37444 42.72% 28.66 -0.777 82.98% -0.155 0.8612
1 Thematic 3371 46.48% 34.58 3.372 74.67% -0.135 1.0376
2 Archipelago 25 64.0% 37.44 1.859 80.0% -0.41 0.5735
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7998 36.92% 30.16 -0.182 89.0% -0.137 0.6148
2 Coastline 1007 36.02% 30.81 0.824 89.87% 1.19 1.7921
2 Fragment 259 35.27% 29.83 0.398 88.03% 0.024 0.4714
2 Heart 140 46.04% 28.06 -1.343 79.29% 0.062 0.6003
2 Opposite Shores 1795 33.01% 30.67 0.046 91.53% 0.304 1.2966
2 Thematic 920 45.2% 37.46 2.659 82.93% 0.495 1.1938
2 Top to Top 308 37.25% 29.42 -0.271 85.71% 0.048 0.5583
3 Archipelago 13 30.77% 42.23 1.895 92.31% 0.043 0.2166
3 Coastline 17 41.18% 37.94 1.424 88.24% 0.007 -0.7762
3 Other 123 37.82% 29.3 3.501 86.99% 1.055 1.019
3 Round (Default) 2906 29.31% 31.61 0.16 91.36% -0.314 0.2804
3 Sunrise 21 23.81% 32.29 2.335 100.0% 0.026 0.0626
3 Thematic 148 52.05% 35.84 2.913 81.08% -0.048 -0.0862
4 Archipelago 9 55.56% 44.44 8.322 100.0% 0.091 -0.6201
4 Coastline 8 12.5% 39.0 0.0 87.5%
4 Leaf 10 30.0% 31.4 -5.105 90.0% -0.668 -0.1057
4 Other 70 34.78% 31.33 -1.976 88.57% -0.192 -0.4455
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 242 34.17% 41.29 -4.56 86.78% -0.247 0.2825
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1291 28.43% 31.9 0.313 91.87% 0.337 0.3097
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 58.33 23.458 100.0% 0.036 -0.5425
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 27 25.0% 39.74 -0.429 81.48% 0.083 0.2518
6 Archipelago 5 40.0% 32.8 2.003 60.0% 0.002 -0.2542
6 Other 10 20.0% 44.9 9.676 100.0% 0.125 0.934
6 Star 9 33.33% 31.11 -4.32 88.89% -0.461 0.3226
6 Thematic 28 25.0% 41.46 0.688 89.29% -0.212 -0.4911
6 Two Centers (Default) 19 21.05% 33.68 -0.245 89.47% -0.49 -0.5841
7 Other 4 66.67% 33.5 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1566 23.37 -3.879 63.92% -2.478 -0.5754
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1249 24.72 -1.645 66.21% -1.609 0.1207
All Things Weaken 704 23.93 -2.622 65.63% -1.267 0.7184
Back Against the Wall 1319 23.96 -3.016 63.46% -2.312 -0.4953
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1603 21.08 -4.428 60.82% -2.235 -0.1841
Downward Spiral 4836 22.42 -3.917 67.7% -2.107 -0.1138
Erosion of Will 1626 22.87 -4.354 61.32% -2.607 -0.524
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 314 30.11 -0.165 96.82% 0.464 0.9052
Memory Fades to Dust 4845 21.81 -4.818 62.6% -2.59 -0.506
Power Corrodes the Spirit 661 23.77 -4.543 71.1% -2.492 -0.5539
Promising Farmlands 1569 21.95 -4.66 63.22% -2.57 -0.5242
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 235 29.77 -0.737 97.45% -0.091 0.3342
Thriving Communities 646 22.7 -3.92 66.1% -1.951 0.0331
Tipping Point 669 20.79 0.0 57.55%
Unnatural Proliferation 748 24.56 -2.455 68.45% -2.14 -0.1754
Untended Land Crumbles 719 22.77 -5.134 65.92% -2.704 -0.7103

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 13526 40.94% 29.09 -0.378 84.52% -0.14 0.6571
B 13774 38.65% 29.56 -0.101 86.05% -0.077 0.6664
C 14197 38.95% 29.82 0.042 86.74% -0.129 0.4392
D 13249 39.3% 29.55 -0.061 85.95% -0.088 0.7078
E 4013 35.54% 30.78 0.002 88.51% -0.147 0.5004
F 5998 34.27% 30.51 -0.073 88.03% -0.388 0.3365
G 5491 35.02% 30.41 -0.317 88.69% -0.208 0.5239
H 5732 33.87% 30.61 0.412 88.29% -0.112 0.6006
East 2939 43.29% 37.15 1.29 78.87% -0.741 0.0277
Northeast 1727 42.38% 37.3 4.921 78.87% -0.307 0.5529
Northwest 1284 43.3% 36.68 0.408 80.92% -0.479 0.5977
Southeast 348 43.68% 35.85 -0.273 82.47% -0.604 0.1025
Southwest 343 47.23% 32.47 0.451 77.26% -0.208 0.9176
West 2463 48.59% 35.3 1.883 77.1% 0.033 0.9872

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 909 0.0% 26.47 -1.823 77.45% -1.101 1.0281
Not Using Events or Tokens 12030 46.18% 27.91 -0.143 80.34% -0.268 -0.0929
Skip Initial Invader Actions 676 13.86% 39.75 1.459 93.2% -1.377 -1.5193
Start of Game Growth 1201 16.81% 38.66 2.384 94.0% 1.185 0.4243
Unlimited Undo 4373 34.57% 31.01 0.305 89.14% 0.058 -0.5465
Using Tokens but Not Events 5779 33.28% 30.12 -0.885 88.58% -0.005 -0.1611

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2849 22.56 24.11%
II 14439 30.98 71.69%
III 27083 34.53 90.12%
IV 13867 37.77 98.82%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.106 Win Model: 0.463
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 40945 43.08% 29.16 82.26%
2 12401 36.89% 30.79 88.84%
3 3190 30.22% 31.76 91.25%
4 1615 29.56% 33.43 90.84%
5 14 25.0% 36.79 85.71%
6 73 27.78% 37.64 86.3%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 685
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 23755
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9742
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 13544
Lose: Invader deck ran out 575
Lose: Adversary condition 90
Win: Sacrifice victory 267
Lose: Scenario condition 496
Win: Scenario condition 1157
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7468
Lose: Spirit destroyed 459

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6534 31.61% 39.93 0.853 89.79% 0.145 0.03
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4391 56.79% 37.73 0.174 81.94% 0.037 0.133
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3396 36.6% 39.45 -0.401 89.66% 0.124 -0.0374
Downpour Drenches the World 197 34.01% 39.38 -0.093 88.83% 0.026 0.2788
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5071 25.09% 43.7 1.966 94.06% 0.373 -0.0647
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3429 31.28% 42.44 2.679 92.56% 0.951 0.4635
Finder of Paths Unseen 130 36.15% 36.69 -1.25 85.38% -0.36 0.0032
Fractured Days Split the Sky 911 37.98% 41.72 1.777 84.08% -0.582 -0.5264
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1022 41.61% 40.36 0.859 87.87% 0.616 0.5841
Heart of the Wildfire 4911 64.21% 34.04 0.176 75.06% 0.021 0.1952
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7802 38.83% 39.57 0.222 87.75% -0.147 -0.6034
Lightning's Swift Strike 6382 49.34% 37.33 0.421 81.59% -0.151 0.1234
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 77 51.95% 39.94 0.718 93.51% 0.829 0.0528
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 645 37.36% 42.06 3.012 87.75% -0.047 -0.6901
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 487 38.14% 45.17 0.181 89.73% -0.308 -0.5741
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2463 39.32% 40.96 0.655 88.92% -0.027 -0.2938
Many Minds Move as One 1491 25.96% 42.48 2.11 94.84% 0.902 0.299
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6976 48.33% 38.89 0.239 85.84% 0.156 -0.0292
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3403 36.54% 39.45 0.398 89.95% 0.353 0.3737
River Surges in Sunlight 8176 48.74% 39.63 0.294 82.88% -0.357 -0.3916
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 867 42.96% 42.21 0.631 82.12% -0.061 0.3698
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 97 35.05% 44.23 2.147 89.69% 0.183 -0.1177
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4263 42.4% 38.56 0.728 85.97% 0.011 -0.0414
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3607 63.7% 35.45 -2.594 75.08% -0.697 -0.2867
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 30 33.33% 41.3 -0.046 86.67% -0.038 -0.0311
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 38 47.37% 42.58 1.623 89.47% 0.146 -0.201
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 410 50.24% 39.54 0.596 87.07% 0.139 0.1583
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 358 57.42% 38.41 0.352 79.05% 0.583 0.7662
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5297 36.1% 40.3 0.566 87.62% 0.005 -0.2818
Shifting Memory of Ages 786 53.31% 38.11 -1.025 84.99% -0.574 -0.4993
Shroud of Silent Mist 1049 65.65% 34.75 -2.596 77.98% -0.673 -0.4365
Starlight Seeks its Form 863 38.14% 39.8 0.691 87.72% 0.388 0.2483
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2407 36.23% 37.78 -1.469 89.28% -0.217 -0.3991
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2768 36.9% 39.61 0.462 86.56% 0.058 0.2426
Thunderspeaker 6596 40.21% 40.74 0.238 87.13% 0.174 0.2385
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1754 74.74% 32.86 -4.247 75.83% -0.728 -0.8184
Vital Strength of the Earth 4978 39.54% 35.87 -1.264 80.25% -0.785 0.0241
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 65 41.54% 39.38 -0.049 89.23% 0.12 0.5067
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 493 25.96% 35.95 -0.617 84.38% -0.589 0.5849
Volcano Looming High 1623 45.93% 36.93 -0.357 84.9% 0.108 0.1033

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 33.33% 47.0 2.271 100.0% 0.162 -0.0402
Blitz 0 851 49.94% 35.07 -2.575 76.26% -0.848 -0.5909
Dahan Insurrection 4 1029 25.56% 61.13 8.457 82.02% -0.417 -0.0039
Despicable Theft 2 48 58.33% 47.35 3.793 83.33% 0.231 0.6773
Elemental Invocation 1 141 60.28% 37.16 -0.146 75.18% -0.462 0.024
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2432 10.27% 45.24 3.876 87.29% -0.64 -0.3349
Powers Long Forgotten 1 338 57.27% 40.72 5.288 76.33% 0.373 0.5554
Rituals of Terror 3 279 61.65% 45.49 5.757 67.74% 0.124 0.2455
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 153 68.63% 47.27 4.149 77.12% -0.184 0.2316
Second Wave 0 3275 47.72% 38.81 0.357 76.61% -0.562 0.0042
The Great River 3 114 53.51% 40.85 -3.338 56.14% -1.555 -0.1571
Varied Terrains 2 8 50.0% 48.63 4.555 87.5% -0.088 0.4382
Ward the Shores 2 332 45.15% 45.39 5.32 79.22% 0.364 1.5255

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 45408 47.21% 37.01 -0.854 82.27% -0.615 0.4009
1 Thematic 3135 50.38% 42.57 2.691 76.24% -0.446 0.7268
2 Archipelago 17 35.29% 48.65 4.602 76.47% 0.09 1.0735
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10415 43.82% 38.32 -0.225 87.54% -0.111 0.6405
2 Coastline 1228 40.17% 39.32 1.05 87.46% 0.672 1.2744
2 Fragment 312 45.28% 37.29 0.852 85.26% 0.513 0.9603
2 Heart 132 48.09% 38.78 3.754 87.12% 0.339 0.8777
2 Opposite Shores 2434 40.09% 38.87 -0.772 88.62% -0.67 0.3226
2 Thematic 1233 45.85% 44.64 1.973 79.81% 0.421 1.1191
2 Top to Top 395 38.42% 39.93 -0.54 90.38% 0.192 0.7022
3 Archipelago 16 43.75% 66.38 10.72 87.5% 0.209 0.3821
3 Coastline 19 42.11% 43.58 0.0 89.47%
3 Other 262 41.98% 41.13 3.791 94.27% 0.486 0.4498
3 Round (Default) 3999 36.7% 39.84 -0.013 90.22% 0.023 0.6173
3 Sunrise 29 37.93% 42.1 -0.323 96.55% 0.121 0.1582
3 Thematic 233 50.0% 45.45 6.68 79.4% 0.539 0.5009
4 Archipelago 11 45.45% 47.36 1.263 90.91% 0.037 -0.6739
4 Coastline 5 40.0% 39.6 0.0 80.0%
4 Leaf 14 28.57% 46.86 0.888 100.0% 0.015 0.5775
4 Other 103 53.4% 43.13 -0.11 88.35% 0.423 0.1691
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 448 43.12% 49.12 -0.722 87.05% -0.113 0.4162
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2056 30.44% 41.72 2.997 91.83% 0.088 0.0611
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 53.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 1 100.0% 40.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 65 39.06% 56.77 -1.615 92.31% -0.294 -0.1257
5 Thematic 11 36.36% 58.45 -2.035 90.91% 0.297 0.02
6 Other 10 10.0% 65.2 -3.846 90.0% 0.001 0.8105
6 Star 4 75.0% 39.5 -1.643 100.0% 0.138 0.9216
6 Thematic 61 10.0% 62.82 1.739 80.33% -0.816 -1.0951
6 Two Centers (Default) 110 15.45% 47.91 -1.507 94.55% -0.734 -0.8276

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2380 30.54 -3.702 64.45% -1.975 -0.0721
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1981 32.23 -4.237 66.13% -2.376 -0.6461
All Things Weaken 1157 30.19 -4.603 63.61% -2.472 -0.4867
Back Against the Wall 1850 31.29 -4.229 63.41% -2.615 -0.7988
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2223 28.19 -5.845 62.62% -2.354 -0.3038
Downward Spiral 5875 30.71 -4.308 69.92% -2.254 -0.2609
Erosion of Will 2479 30.54 -4.91 63.61% -2.583 -0.4996
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 493 40.45 1.143 98.17% 0.184 0.6249
Memory Fades to Dust 6017 30.22 -4.537 66.43% -2.461 -0.3769
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1063 31.2 -4.637 69.71% -2.501 -0.5631
Promising Farmlands 2374 30.38 -3.831 67.94% -1.996 0.0496
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 310 40.08 -0.295 96.45% -0.079 0.3462
Thriving Communities 1042 30.14 -5.44 66.6% -2.572 -0.5879
Tipping Point 971 29.87 0.0 64.78%
Unnatural Proliferation 1116 31.17 -3.503 64.96% -2.079 -0.1149
Untended Land Crumbles 1046 31.15 -3.295 68.83% -2.043 -0.0498

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 17176 44.68% 37.83 0.045 84.28% -0.062 0.7354
B 17845 43.6% 38.16 0.085 85.44% 0.078 0.8211
C 18414 43.94% 38.32 0.345 85.68% 0.192 0.7602
D 16738 44.22% 38.15 -0.112 85.57% 0.106 0.9021
E 5410 41.33% 39.75 0.02 88.39% -0.189 0.4576
F 8012 39.95% 39.19 0.477 87.54% 0.236 0.9599
G 7285 40.77% 38.99 -0.021 87.36% -0.177 0.5543
H 7524 39.07% 39.44 -0.055 87.73% -0.238 0.474
East 3356 46.2% 45.4 2.122 79.11% -0.162 0.6065
Northeast 1988 44.1% 46.44 3.162 81.64% -0.373 0.4871
Northwest 1591 44.83% 46.21 1.322 82.53% -0.521 0.5558
Southeast 435 40.78% 45.77 2.13 78.62% -0.122 0.5844
Southwest 410 43.28% 43.0 0.001 76.1% -0.206 0.9195
West 2926 47.75% 44.77 0.678 79.22% -0.472 0.4816

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 626 0.0% 36.41 2.456 77.16% -0.202 1.9278
Not Using Events or Tokens 11382 51.17% 36.6 -0.297 80.97% -0.091 0.0836
Skip Initial Invader Actions 770 12.25% 49.01 -0.351 94.81% -0.409 -0.551
Start of Game Growth 1491 16.17% 47.24 2.683 94.5% 0.751 -0.0096
Unlimited Undo 6015 38.83% 39.62 0.792 88.79% 0.304 -0.2995
Using Tokens but Not Events 7055 36.54% 39.06 0.321 87.27% 0.065 -0.0912

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4000 22.56 29.68%
II 18647 30.98 68.6%
III 32162 34.53 91.22%
IV 17374 37.77 99.34%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.449 Win Model: 0.106
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 48700 47.47% 37.39 81.87%
2 16134 42.99% 38.98 87.05%
3 4498 37.42% 40.4 90.28%
4 2643 33.15% 43.38 91.34%
5 39 36.84% 61.46 84.62%
6 169 15.48% 50.53 89.35%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1186
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 28689
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11948
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17102
Lose: Invader deck ran out 638
Lose: Adversary condition 126
Win: Sacrifice victory 290
Lose: Scenario condition 515
Win: Scenario condition 1361
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9825
Lose: Spirit destroyed 503

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6028 36.41% 45.86 0.238 85.68% -0.165 -0.2803
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4017 67.85% 41.99 -0.676 76.55% -0.284 -0.1879
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3078 42.7% 45.63 0.775 88.47% 0.549 0.3875
Downpour Drenches the World 213 39.44% 44.39 0.061 85.45% -0.096 0.157
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5089 28.61% 50.42 3.516 93.99% 1.165 0.7273
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3279 34.86% 48.59 2.07 91.61% 0.508 0.0201
Finder of Paths Unseen 93 53.76% 39.42 -2.42 72.04% -0.723 -0.36
Fractured Days Split the Sky 927 44.23% 46.6 0.779 77.67% -0.564 -0.5078
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1104 45.92% 46.13 -0.318 85.14% -0.089 -0.121
Heart of the Wildfire 5096 70.54% 37.69 -3.125 67.21% -0.428 -0.2536
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9147 46.07% 45.14 0.68 85.44% 0.346 -0.1101
Lightning's Swift Strike 5551 57.74% 41.44 -1.172 75.03% -0.242 0.0319
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 72 57.75% 48.6 2.196 88.89% 0.717 -0.0595
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 647 46.37% 47.64 2.595 88.56% 1.068 0.4254
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 484 47.83% 45.51 0.994 80.99% 0.234 -0.0326
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2612 46.78% 45.89 0.56 85.38% 0.025 -0.2421
Many Minds Move as One 1586 31.9% 48.86 1.788 93.19% 0.788 0.1848
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7276 50.86% 44.83 -0.211 83.64% -0.182 -0.3668
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3767 41.05% 44.92 -0.169 87.05% 0.095 0.1162
River Surges in Sunlight 8361 52.45% 45.21 1.043 78.01% -0.013 -0.047
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 725 46.69% 45.61 0.145 75.86% -0.198 0.2331
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 90 50.0% 47.09 1.163 83.33% -0.2 -0.5003
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4032 45.73% 44.46 -0.567 83.46% -0.357 -0.4095
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3097 71.06% 39.3 -1.871 68.23% -0.351 0.0589
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 29 58.62% 45.41 0.932 82.76% -0.031 -0.0242
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 32 65.63% 50.47 3.607 100.0% 1.534 1.187
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 468 48.29% 46.5 -0.866 84.83% 0.016 0.0357
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 298 62.08% 41.93 0.506 75.17% 0.116 0.2989
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5454 40.47% 45.98 0.404 84.87% -0.088 -0.3745
Shifting Memory of Ages 774 58.09% 43.18 -1.929 83.33% -0.591 -0.5161
Shroud of Silent Mist 809 71.82% 39.9 0.888 74.29% 0.4 0.6362
Starlight Seeks its Form 1134 37.92% 45.53 1.037 87.83% 0.25 0.1104
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2545 41.77% 42.94 -1.44 86.29% -0.195 -0.3766
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3060 39.45% 45.98 1.159 86.01% 0.052 0.2362
Thunderspeaker 5784 45.95% 46.15 0.717 83.42% 0.268 0.3323
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1860 82.02% 38.1 -3.643 73.28% -0.435 -0.5254
Vital Strength of the Earth 4542 47.59% 40.72 -1.543 72.94% -0.654 0.1548
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 50 44.0% 44.16 0.027 90.0% 0.398 0.7849
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 309 52.43% 37.35 -4.34 63.11% -1.926 -0.752
Volcano Looming High 1451 56.28% 41.04 -1.912 78.15% -0.424 -0.4281

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 50.0% 63.0 7.836 100.0% 0.082 -0.12
Blitz 0 822 53.42% 39.89 -3.377 72.87% -0.605 -0.3471
Dahan Insurrection 4 946 28.6% 68.51 9.932 83.4% -0.634 -0.2208
Despicable Theft 2 39 69.23% 43.97 4.767 56.41% 0.013 0.4592
Elemental Invocation 1 80 71.25% 41.05 -3.455 65.0% -0.391 0.095
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2683 10.87% 52.09 4.084 89.94% 0.155 0.4602
Powers Long Forgotten 1 184 68.48% 44.66 6.207 67.93% 0.59 0.7723
Rituals of Terror 3 122 68.03% 47.9 -5.829 59.84% -1.142 -1.0206
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 97 81.44% 46.68 -1.174 57.73% -0.489 -0.0739
Second Wave 0 2304 53.28% 43.62 0.378 71.48% -0.4 0.1659
The Great River 3 61 68.85% 45.1 0.0 50.82%
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 52.0 3.403 100.0% 0.23 0.7558
Ward the Shores 2 151 62.25% 49.27 6.218 70.2% 0.529 1.6908

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 49436 53.97% 42.12 -0.596 77.56% -0.2 0.816
1 Thematic 2372 51.12% 49.33 1.938 72.98% -0.238 0.9348
2 Archipelago 17 58.82% 54.88 0.0 76.47%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10315 47.24% 44.71 0.169 85.24% -0.152 0.5995
2 Coastline 1365 41.53% 45.56 -0.907 86.96% -0.335 0.2677
2 Fragment 224 58.64% 40.16 -0.104 73.66% -0.163 0.2842
2 Heart 113 56.64% 43.67 5.525 83.19% 0.747 1.2849
2 Opposite Shores 2252 46.65% 45.09 -0.741 84.46% -0.608 0.3842
2 Thematic 893 57.74% 48.25 -0.127 72.34% -0.611 0.0877
2 Top to Top 365 49.45% 44.58 2.728 84.93% 0.658 1.1681
3 Archipelago 7 71.43% 66.29 11.611 100.0% 0.249 0.4218
3 Coastline 46 36.96% 47.13 0.0 78.26%
3 Other 235 36.75% 46.14 -2.784 90.21% -0.849 -0.8845
3 Round (Default) 3424 39.27% 46.6 0.764 88.35% -0.117 0.4773
3 Sunrise 20 35.0% 46.9 -0.844 90.0% 0.15 0.1865
3 Thematic 149 58.39% 52.59 1.47 83.22% 0.321 0.2832
4 Archipelago 8 37.5% 58.63 13.727 87.5% 0.055 -0.656
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 44.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 11 63.64% 42.73 0.0 72.73%
4 Other 83 45.78% 47.27 -0.008 92.77% 0.052 -0.2023
4 Snake 3 33.33% 50.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 307 38.56% 56.38 0.101 87.3% -0.454 0.075
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2064 34.92% 48.54 1.631 91.18% 0.102 0.0751
5 Archipelago 5 60.0% 62.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Other 36 45.71% 50.72 5.537 91.67% 0.042 0.2106
5 Thematic 7 57.14% 77.71 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 32.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 3 0.0% 47.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 13 15.38% 50.38 -2.058 100.0% 0.004 0.7876
6 Thematic 11 36.36% 47.64 2.48 72.73% 0.137 -0.1413
6 Two Centers (Default) 68 25.0% 49.74 -0.58 95.59% 0.087 -0.0067

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2920 35.72 -3.699 60.96% -2.051 -0.1485
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2233 38.16 -2.511 65.88% -1.889 -0.1596
All Things Weaken 1387 34.73 -6.346 59.41% -2.85 -0.8648
Back Against the Wall 2206 36.75 -3.823 61.47% -2.199 -0.3824
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2676 33.25 -5.767 59.27% -2.45 -0.3997
Downward Spiral 6405 36.03 -4.964 65.7% -2.355 -0.3618
Erosion of Will 2796 35.04 -5.049 58.98% -2.569 -0.4857
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 550 45.74 -0.203 92.73% -0.454 -0.0129
Memory Fades to Dust 6569 34.77 -5.408 61.0% -2.418 -0.334
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1356 35.27 -5.733 63.2% -2.539 -0.6011
Promising Farmlands 2827 35.21 -4.676 63.11% -2.242 -0.1959
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 352 46.98 1.55 95.74% 0.523 0.9473
Thriving Communities 1328 35.18 -4.594 64.16% -2.284 -0.3002
Tipping Point 1156 34.38 0.0 59.69%
Unnatural Proliferation 1453 37.55 -3.967 66.35% -2.304 -0.3397
Untended Land Crumbles 1323 35.33 -2.87 63.57% -1.663 0.3305

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 17003 50.64% 43.23 0.024 80.07% 0.093 0.8907
B 17883 48.7% 43.9 0.02 81.83% 0.007 0.7508
C 18661 49.13% 44.02 0.355 82.29% 0.151 0.7197
D 16099 49.96% 43.5 -0.109 80.99% -0.012 0.7836
E 5749 47.1% 44.67 0.064 84.28% 0.067 0.7142
F 8418 45.66% 44.72 -0.26 84.06% -0.122 0.6024
G 7738 46.59% 44.49 0.656 84.09% 0.388 1.1191
H 8018 44.25% 45.38 0.374 85.68% 0.214 0.9268
East 2413 51.45% 50.71 0.075 75.67% -0.503 0.2659
Northeast 1393 50.5% 51.74 -0.568 78.46% -1.066 -0.2061
Northwest 1048 50.14% 50.95 -0.132 77.96% -0.395 0.6821
Southeast 334 52.1% 49.19 2.081 75.45% -0.013 0.6928
Southwest 305 53.44% 44.69 0.405 74.1% 0.299 1.424
West 2072 53.09% 50.38 3.532 74.52% 0.189 1.143

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 466 0.0% 39.46 -2.306 65.67% -1.799 0.3302
Not Using Events or Tokens 9330 59.17% 40.89 -1.202 73.26% -0.275 -0.1003
Skip Initial Invader Actions 744 7.98% 58.15 3.443 96.1% -0.116 -0.2586
Start of Game Growth 1549 14.43% 55.18 3.27 94.38% 0.785 0.0242
Unlimited Undo 6088 41.37% 46.0 1.572 86.37% 0.546 -0.0579
Using Tokens but Not Events 7307 42.79% 44.77 0.71 84.66% 0.06 -0.0965

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5011 22.56 19.34%
II 24985 30.98 68.81%
III 29708 34.53 90.03%
IV 14157 37.77 99.49%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.302 Win Model: 0.293
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 51933 53.85% 42.47 77.37%
2 15528 47.53% 44.98 84.36%
3 3819 39.51% 46.79 88.16%
4 2476 35.8% 49.58 90.67%
5 10 66.67% 59.1 90.0%
6 95 24.21% 49.52 93.68%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 969
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 26287
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 16369
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 13992
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1373
Lose: Adversary condition 131
Win: Sacrifice victory 286
Lose: Scenario condition 379
Win: Scenario condition 1089
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12358
Lose: Spirit destroyed 628

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4459 35.87% 48.34 -0.354 83.31% -0.427 -0.5414
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3261 67.85% 44.0 -0.506 75.16% 0.157 0.253
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2738 43.97% 47.58 -0.218 85.68% 0.019 -0.1424
Downpour Drenches the World 203 38.42% 47.75 0.221 85.71% 0.058 0.3107
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4370 28.0% 53.48 2.617 93.66% 0.85 0.4119
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2951 35.13% 49.97 1.43 88.92% 0.966 0.4779
Finder of Paths Unseen 82 50.0% 43.34 -1.904 75.61% -0.625 -0.2615
Fractured Days Split the Sky 877 39.45% 51.46 -0.733 81.19% -1.03 -0.9743
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 814 56.95% 44.79 0.274 72.24% 0.179 0.1471
Heart of the Wildfire 4300 68.92% 41.35 -1.652 69.77% -0.269 -0.0944
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8134 42.9% 48.56 0.455 85.98% 0.333 -0.1237
Lightning's Swift Strike 4818 51.15% 45.31 -0.729 77.48% -0.087 0.1874
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 94 59.57% 48.62 1.184 86.17% 0.564 -0.2123
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 649 37.9% 50.74 2.356 89.83% 0.802 0.1593
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 423 42.55% 51.93 1.015 88.42% 0.098 -0.1687
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2447 44.83% 48.82 1.474 85.25% 0.46 0.1934
Many Minds Move as One 1345 31.25% 52.14 2.325 94.5% 1.03 0.4269
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5698 50.83% 47.13 0.673 81.31% 0.275 0.0903
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2833 43.54% 46.9 -1.141 83.62% -0.271 -0.2502
River Surges in Sunlight 6125 52.23% 48.49 0.915 77.78% -0.227 -0.2611
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 453 46.34% 48.91 -1.557 78.37% -1.06 -0.6291
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 108 49.07% 54.82 3.943 92.59% 0.961 0.6609
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3250 45.49% 46.76 -0.002 81.78% 0.141 0.0885
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1964 68.16% 42.1 -1.225 67.26% 0.013 0.4229
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 21 52.38% 49.67 1.654 90.48% 0.676 0.6824
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 36 52.78% 51.03 2.127 91.67% 0.935 0.5886
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 357 63.03% 44.15 -1.814 73.95% -0.299 -0.2795
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 215 69.3% 43.14 -5.376 70.23% -0.811 -0.6279
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6811 29.82% 51.13 0.356 88.71% -0.016 -0.3031
Shifting Memory of Ages 702 57.98% 45.1 -0.719 79.63% 0.118 0.1925
Shroud of Silent Mist 574 78.53% 40.88 -4.37 70.56% -0.602 -0.3658
Starlight Seeks its Form 1157 38.38% 48.21 0.432 85.91% 0.138 -0.0017
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2497 37.3% 46.24 -1.511 87.67% 0.09 -0.0917
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2528 43.28% 47.81 -1.192 82.12% -0.356 -0.1717
Thunderspeaker 4303 47.31% 48.0 0.361 81.71% 0.183 0.247
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1699 80.99% 41.27 -0.972 74.57% 0.387 0.2965
Vital Strength of the Earth 2914 52.26% 39.71 -4.073 58.96% -1.442 -0.6336
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 63 47.62% 44.4 -1.372 73.02% -0.731 -0.3446
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 186 47.85% 40.41 -4.676 61.83% -1.474 -0.2993
Volcano Looming High 1526 52.1% 45.69 -1.588 81.91% 0.074 0.0694

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 424 53.27% 42.18 0.321 70.28% -0.228 0.0289
Dahan Insurrection 4 568 30.11% 73.88 10.345 82.57% 0.231 0.6439
Despicable Theft 2 20 70.0% 44.5 0.687 50.0% -0.397 0.0491
Elemental Invocation 1 41 60.98% 45.61 5.87 70.73% 0.475 0.9606
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2059 12.85% 54.28 3.35 89.56% 0.182 0.4876
Powers Long Forgotten 1 120 73.33% 44.98 0.0 62.5%
Rituals of Terror 3 135 59.26% 53.59 -8.176 60.0% -0.624 -0.5032
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 81 79.01% 48.35 0.0 53.09%
Second Wave 0 1486 52.97% 46.2 -0.631 70.66% -0.76 -0.1946
The Great River 3 41 70.73% 46.22 -1.992 48.78% -0.536 0.8617
Varied Terrains 2 2 50.0% 56.0 4.11 100.0% 0.176 0.7016
Ward the Shores 2 100 63.0% 51.22 4.243 67.0% 0.298 1.4597

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 46999 48.88% 45.85 -0.753 79.03% -0.289 0.7273
1 Thematic 1782 53.4% 52.04 0.563 69.81% -0.884 0.2889
2 Archipelago 10 90.0% 50.0 0.0 70.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7674 48.42% 47.13 1.225 83.33% 0.79 1.5413
2 Coastline 1121 42.03% 48.22 0.758 85.99% 0.638 1.2405
2 Fragment 143 53.52% 47.12 -3.589 82.52% -0.585 -0.1378
2 Heart 68 43.28% 48.59 0.0 88.24%
2 Opposite Shores 1400 47.11% 46.92 0.737 82.14% 0.326 1.3178
2 Thematic 544 55.35% 50.9 2.101 71.32% 0.372 1.0708
2 Top to Top 314 42.31% 48.19 -0.295 85.35% 0.15 0.6604
3 Archipelago 4 50.0% 48.25 -4.794 50.0% -0.258 -0.0845
3 Coastline 48 25.0% 57.65 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 113 52.21% 47.32 2.072 84.07% 0.675 0.639
3 Round (Default) 2792 37.65% 49.49 -0.672 88.32% 0.077 0.672
3 Sunrise 11 18.18% 50.27 0.0 90.91%
3 Thematic 93 64.52% 50.47 -5.763 72.04% -0.152 -0.1899
4 Archipelago 6 66.67% 46.0 0.0 66.67%
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 9 66.67% 47.22 3.351 88.89% 0.248 0.811
4 Other 57 38.6% 48.67 0.0 82.46%
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 380 39.58% 59.46 7.663 87.37% 0.469 0.9983
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1368 37.82% 50.24 -0.035 88.89% 0.392 0.3644
5 Archipelago 4 100.0% 70.5 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 63.0 2.501 100.0% 0.034 -0.5306
5 Other 31 41.38% 48.87 -8.25 74.19% -0.886 -0.7173
5 Thematic 4 25.0% 57.75 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 72.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 5 60.0% 36.8 -0.387 60.0% 0.018 0.8275
6 Star 6 83.33% 64.17 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 6 0.0% 69.5 7.725 100.0% 0.148 -0.1309
6 Two Centers (Default) 13 38.46% 50.0 -3.673 76.92% -0.293 -0.3873

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2445 38.77 -4.067 61.96% -1.969 -0.0656
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1832 41.01 -4.011 65.39% -2.169 -0.4387
All Things Weaken 1178 38.68 -3.184 62.39% -1.783 0.2023
Back Against the Wall 1703 39.56 -4.061 61.83% -2.068 -0.2511
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2284 35.89 -6.602 58.32% -2.521 -0.4711
Downward Spiral 5176 38.26 -4.969 63.58% -1.954 0.0388
Erosion of Will 2331 37.47 -5.749 58.39% -2.444 -0.3612
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 486 49.13 0.05 91.98% -0.435 0.0063
Memory Fades to Dust 5288 37.32 -6.131 59.15% -2.365 -0.2813
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1184 40.3 -3.615 68.58% -1.899 0.0397
Promising Farmlands 2448 37.12 -4.101 60.13% -1.848 0.1977
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 334 49.37 0.236 94.61% 0.012 0.437
Thriving Communities 1076 37.05 -5.919 59.94% -2.431 -0.4472
Tipping Point 957 35.54 0.0 54.13%
Unnatural Proliferation 1228 39.65 -4.226 64.66% -2.246 -0.2813
Untended Land Crumbles 1110 38.59 -5.256 64.86% -2.366 -0.373

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 13623 48.9% 45.88 -0.656 78.87% -0.208 0.5889
B 14977 46.4% 46.96 0.314 81.77% 0.081 0.8244
C 15224 48.69% 46.54 0.317 80.73% 0.083 0.6518
D 13193 47.84% 46.37 -0.116 80.13% -0.113 0.6832
E 5563 43.33% 48.57 0.356 86.1% 0.037 0.6836
F 7468 44.41% 47.56 0.028 84.01% -0.139 0.5847
G 6738 44.7% 47.63 -0.547 84.43% -0.1 0.6315
H 6868 42.94% 48.1 0.539 85.03% 0.263 0.9749
East 1791 52.29% 52.52 -0.206 72.86% -0.685 0.0838
Northeast 1067 51.6% 53.44 1.599 74.23% -0.132 0.7277
Northwest 800 48.06% 54.8 1.823 79.25% 0.176 1.2527
Southeast 239 52.3% 50.53 -8.876 75.73% -0.821 -0.1148
Southwest 227 57.27% 44.43 -0.422 66.08% 0.301 1.4259
West 1637 49.85% 54.94 5.752 75.02% 0.503 1.4566

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 385 0.0% 47.03 3.784 75.84% 0.595 2.7246
Not Using Events or Tokens 7979 53.44% 44.79 -0.61 74.56% -0.214 -0.0388
Skip Initial Invader Actions 522 13.25% 59.34 0.756 94.44% -0.438 -0.5806
Start of Game Growth 1016 17.95% 56.66 2.55 92.32% 0.314 -0.4461
Unlimited Undo 6445 44.3% 48.14 0.801 84.65% 0.25 -0.354
Using Tokens but Not Events 5732 38.85% 47.88 1.294 83.88% 0.294 0.1374

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6733 22.56 36.45%
II 28436 30.98 78.58%
III 21588 34.53 88.33%
IV 8259 37.77 99.61%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.249 Win Model: -0.221
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 48874 49.07% 46.08 78.68%
2 11251 47.78% 47.46 83.01%
3 3025 38.52% 49.56 87.9%
4 1825 38.28% 52.16 88.33%
5 12 50.0% 38.58 50.0%
6 29 44.83% 53.79 82.76%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2453
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 18813
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 21735
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8158
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2341
Lose: Adversary condition 68
Win: Sacrifice victory 259
Lose: Scenario condition 260
Win: Scenario condition 676
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9771
Lose: Spirit destroyed 482

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2384 47.4% 51.47 -0.388 72.4% -0.064 -0.1784
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1460 78.57% 47.47 0.876 65.82% 0.566 0.6623
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2158 41.74% 53.68 1.661 79.8% 0.467 0.306
Downpour Drenches the World 66 50.0% 52.27 0.665 77.27% 0.255 0.5072
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2586 38.32% 57.27 3.783 85.96% 0.689 0.2514
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1366 46.7% 54.65 1.997 79.36% 0.536 0.0478
Finder of Paths Unseen 18 66.67% 47.0 -2.958 61.11% -0.349 0.0141
Fractured Days Split the Sky 353 57.51% 52.37 1.851 64.59% -0.121 -0.0651
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 483 43.69% 55.83 -1.762 80.95% -0.387 -0.4189
Heart of the Wildfire 2285 72.66% 44.07 -1.796 60.7% -0.248 -0.0734
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3524 59.56% 49.87 1.359 70.86% 0.523 0.0666
Lightning's Swift Strike 2607 69.75% 45.59 -2.318 59.92% -0.467 -0.1927
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 28 78.57% 50.68 0.768 67.86% 0.37 -0.4069
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 292 58.9% 54.48 -1.231 81.85% -0.06 -0.7028
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 159 51.57% 54.96 -0.192 79.25% -0.516 -0.7823
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1393 51.69% 53.81 0.635 79.11% 0.215 -0.0514
Many Minds Move as One 536 41.6% 58.21 2.467 91.04% 0.63 0.0273
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2969 57.94% 51.57 0.627 73.56% 0.291 0.1062
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1353 55.82% 49.55 0.573 70.73% 0.288 0.3088
River Surges in Sunlight 3473 63.67% 52.3 1.68 68.67% 0.254 0.2195
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 209 60.29% 48.16 2.668 56.94% -0.196 0.2352
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 48 43.75% 58.56 2.677 79.17% 0.188 -0.1119
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1551 56.6% 50.47 -0.079 72.4% -0.002 -0.055
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1785 83.31% 43.64 -1.089 56.19% 0.003 0.4131
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 2 50.0% 54.0 -1.638 50.0% -0.422 -0.4148
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 22 40.91% 58.05 1.908 86.36% 0.365 0.0186
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 117 71.79% 47.56 4.77 63.25% 0.501 0.5205
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 100 74.0% 50.23 -8.516 73.0% -0.342 -0.1592
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3293 37.41% 56.63 1.221 81.23% 0.186 -0.1003
Shifting Memory of Ages 235 74.89% 45.34 -5.169 57.45% -0.758 -0.6826
Shroud of Silent Mist 194 85.49% 43.07 -8.209 58.76% -1.22 -0.9837
Starlight Seeks its Form 343 46.36% 53.86 3.513 76.09% 0.156 0.0164
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2150 34.51% 52.53 -2.037 82.7% -0.636 -0.8183
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1605 50.37% 51.8 1.145 73.58% 0.524 0.7089
Thunderspeaker 2287 58.04% 51.83 -0.178 71.14% 0.125 0.1893
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1221 88.04% 45.32 0.523 65.44% 0.808 0.7177
Vital Strength of the Earth 1472 66.96% 41.27 -4.753 44.16% -0.81 -0.0015
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 18 33.33% 46.67 -3.189 50.0% -1.059 -0.6724
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 101 66.34% 38.82 0.647 38.61% 0.034 1.2087
Volcano Looming High 737 68.57% 48.13 -2.117 70.42% -0.203 -0.2075

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 348 74.12% 42.01 -1.847 54.02% -0.387 -0.1298
Dahan Insurrection 4 439 55.81% 68.35 4.722 60.82% -0.679 -0.2659
Despicable Theft 2 4 25.0% 63.5 0.0 75.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 21 85.71% 35.19 -11.819 23.81% -0.397 0.0892
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1140 19.54% 60.75 6.484 87.89% 1.495 1.8006
Powers Long Forgotten 1 85 75.29% 47.66 7.241 51.76% 0.407 0.5884
Rituals of Terror 3 55 70.91% 58.85 0.0 50.91%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 59 91.53% 48.71 0.0 42.37%
Second Wave 0 820 63.65% 49.66 -1.684 63.05% -0.698 -0.1321
The Great River 3 29 62.07% 39.52 0.0 20.69%
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 73.0 10.445 100.0% 0.218 0.7437
Ward the Shores 2 55 76.36% 49.65 -0.852 49.09% -0.394 0.7675

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 26357 58.01% 49.09 -1.635 69.15% -0.49 0.5258
1 Thematic 1121 64.76% 53.85 2.332 58.97% 0.34 1.5124
2 Archipelago 6 83.33% 57.17 0.0 66.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4393 55.86% 51.83 1.668 74.87% 0.322 1.0736
2 Coastline 551 53.18% 51.46 0.904 72.05% -0.097 0.5059
2 Fragment 83 65.85% 47.64 -1.864 67.47% -0.291 0.1563
2 Heart 33 57.58% 48.85 14.33 60.61% 0.396 0.9343
2 Opposite Shores 908 62.03% 50.81 -1.143 73.57% -0.439 0.5529
2 Thematic 303 67.88% 53.69 2.561 56.11% 0.049 0.7476
2 Top to Top 115 59.65% 51.51 0.664 75.65% 0.142 0.6519
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 92.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 10 30.0% 66.6 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 39 71.79% 52.62 0.0 71.79%
3 Round (Default) 1134 54.21% 52.83 1.524 77.25% -0.024 0.5704
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Thematic 44 61.36% 58.68 2.059 68.18% 0.248 0.2101
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 72.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 64.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 10 70.0% 55.1 0.0 80.0%
4 Thematic 179 33.52% 65.21 0.0 82.68%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 533 49.42% 54.09 1.056 79.36% 0.192 0.1651
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 8 37.5% 60.75 2.915 87.5% 0.019 0.187
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 72.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 25 24.0% 64.04 -1.549 80.0% -0.471 -0.7499
6 Two Centers (Default) 2 0.0% 61.5 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1518 41.79 -4.48 51.32% -1.771 0.1316
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1080 45.48 -3.74 59.17% -1.79 -0.06
All Things Weaken 729 41.35 -8.482 51.85% -2.605 -0.6191
Back Against the Wall 1089 44.48 -4.593 56.47% -1.893 -0.0766
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1411 38.77 -7.64 48.41% -2.236 -0.1854
Downward Spiral 3964 41.06 -6.92 52.55% -2.045 -0.052
Erosion of Will 1436 40.13 -8.318 47.35% -2.58 -0.4965
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 248 55.02 -2.135 87.9% -0.885 -0.4435
Memory Fades to Dust 3967 40.4 -5.566 49.68% -1.877 0.2067
Power Corrodes the Spirit 734 42.08 -4.011 55.59% -1.685 0.2529
Promising Farmlands 1444 38.74 -6.354 46.12% -1.953 0.0929
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 146 56.11 2.536 90.41% 0.477 0.9018
Thriving Communities 700 40.86 -4.546 52.86% -1.757 0.2262
Tipping Point 639 38.12 0.0 42.72%
Unnatural Proliferation 768 45.23 -3.542 59.24% -1.518 0.4464
Untended Land Crumbles 728 41.51 -6.037 54.12% -2.136 -0.1429

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6526 62.58% 48.24 -0.567 66.5% -0.101 0.6964
B 8482 54.56% 51.36 0.546 73.0% 0.072 0.8152
C 7962 64.42% 48.38 -0.085 67.48% 0.007 0.5758
D 6291 62.92% 48.53 -1.052 67.33% -0.203 0.5925
E 2406 56.8% 52.44 0.713 76.93% 0.148 0.7951
F 4877 46.02% 52.48 1.001 78.14% 0.23 0.954
G 4048 49.01% 52.6 -0.012 77.47% -0.162 0.5698
H 3913 49.73% 52.55 1.544 76.77% 0.422 1.1347
East 1031 59.61% 57.03 1.301 63.63% -0.174 0.5951
Northeast 581 56.9% 57.23 1.374 65.92% -0.153 0.7066
Northwest 497 52.42% 56.84 2.388 63.58% 0.422 1.4991
Southeast 138 53.62% 56.51 0.018 69.57% -0.117 0.5894
Southwest 130 56.15% 51.5 -1.893 62.31% -0.462 0.6634
West 928 57.93% 56.03 0.17 61.1% -1.163 -0.2094

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 166 0.0% 47.36 -2.328 62.65% -0.782 1.3472
Not Using Events or Tokens 5344 70.38% 45.87 -3.149 60.76% -0.533 -0.3576
Skip Initial Invader Actions 265 21.16% 64.05 4.066 87.92% 0.173 0.0308
Start of Game Growth 600 22.22% 65.13 1.694 89.0% -0.327 -1.0873
Unlimited Undo 6299 35.0% 57.54 3.295 86.12% 0.959 0.3551
Using Tokens but Not Events 6499 29.52% 57.21 3.001 86.31% 0.42 0.2639

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4485 22.56 24.68%
II 15968 30.98 67.23%
III 11261 34.53 81.44%
IV 4158 37.77 99.4%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.676 Win Model: 0.116
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 27535 58.3% 49.3 68.69%
2 6370 57.31% 51.65 73.59%
3 1218 54.74% 53.19 76.77%
4 718 44.26% 57.11 81.2%
5 4 25.0% 57.0 75.0%
6 27 22.22% 64.85 85.19%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1107
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9018
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10442
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4094
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2206
Lose: Adversary condition 47
Win: Sacrifice victory 122
Lose: Scenario condition 160
Win: Scenario condition 363
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7892
Lose: Spirit destroyed 421

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5392 67.35% 46.94 -2.212 50.76% -0.75 -0.8644
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5025 87.12% 45.06 1.481 51.32% 0.643 0.739
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2502 79.43% 42.76 -0.249 46.04% 0.105 -0.0559
Downpour Drenches the World 250 54.0% 49.97 1.633 59.6% -0.128 0.1248
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6299 56.62% 55.33 3.783 72.41% 0.675 0.237
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2728 76.72% 46.73 -1.05 54.55% -0.132 -0.6195
Finder of Paths Unseen 79 73.42% 46.56 -0.36 54.43% -0.088 0.276
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1250 66.72% 54.57 5.463 61.36% 0.348 0.4042
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1165 75.52% 48.04 -1.006 57.85% -0.051 -0.0827
Heart of the Wildfire 6167 91.33% 34.88 -4.877 32.97% -0.458 -0.2834
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8319 74.63% 46.13 0.171 54.91% 0.285 -0.1712
Lightning's Swift Strike 6325 74.88% 44.22 -2.068 48.68% -0.244 0.0308
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 144 81.94% 49.14 2.084 61.81% 0.749 -0.0273
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1016 81.85% 50.17 0.727 64.96% 0.394 -0.2487
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 618 71.15% 52.58 6.24 67.31% 1.294 1.0272
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3486 72.83% 47.87 -0.065 58.52% 0.095 -0.1715
Many Minds Move as One 1588 61.96% 55.63 3.648 77.08% 0.733 0.1297
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 24366 56.0% 58.18 2.683 81.63% 0.448 0.2627
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2755 79.99% 43.09 -2.587 47.15% -0.629 -0.608
River Surges in Sunlight 9683 76.81% 48.66 2.623 52.82% 0.406 0.3713
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 379 84.01% 41.73 -3.436 34.3% -0.551 -0.1195
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 137 75.91% 55.61 3.929 62.77% 0.5 0.2001
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4809 67.39% 47.51 0.466 55.56% 0.102 0.049
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2920 77.37% 42.66 -5.101 44.83% -0.584 -0.174
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 16 81.25% 44.0 0.137 50.0% 0.258 0.2647
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 29 86.21% 44.31 -0.038 51.72% 0.282 -0.0647
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 356 83.99% 44.33 4.189 49.72% 0.527 0.5466
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 329 92.71% 42.07 -3.457 45.9% -0.369 -0.186
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5334 68.45% 47.4 3.359 56.45% 0.774 0.4869
Shifting Memory of Ages 634 88.64% 41.83 -1.213 37.07% -0.218 -0.1435
Shroud of Silent Mist 675 94.81% 36.76 -4.729 35.85% -0.594 -0.3581
Starlight Seeks its Form 1848 74.24% 43.78 0.527 45.78% -0.073 -0.2128
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4139 66.13% 46.19 -1.19 54.05% -0.193 -0.3745
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2686 76.67% 46.16 -2.743 52.61% -0.568 -0.3834
Thunderspeaker 6750 77.17% 50.81 -0.309 50.13% -0.032 0.0324
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3320 92.08% 45.37 -1.007 58.67% 0.288 0.1972
Vital Strength of the Earth 3156 83.77% 35.38 -5.923 25.22% -1.224 -0.4152
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 55 85.45% 38.93 -3.436 32.73% -0.613 -0.2262
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 327 86.85% 32.6 -6.914 21.71% -0.978 0.1965
Volcano Looming High 2409 78.46% 44.73 -0.318 54.79% 0.192 0.1881

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 681 61.77% 46.73 -5.603 56.09% -0.493 -0.2355
Dahan Insurrection 4 2564 80.23% 60.72 6.85 38.73% -0.357 0.0566
Despicable Theft 2 16 87.5% 41.69 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 47 82.98% 37.04 1.694 23.4% 0.028 0.5139
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3292 38.09% 56.56 4.361 69.96% 0.295 0.601
Powers Long Forgotten 1 118 89.74% 37.66 1.551 23.73% 0.205 0.3867
Rituals of Terror 3 210 74.29% 70.15 11.731 40.0% 0.097 0.2186
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 24 87.5% 48.33 0.0 29.17%
Second Wave 0 657 71.8% 46.15 0.414 47.79% -0.111 0.4549
The Great River 3 25 80.0% 45.4 0.0 28.0%
Varied Terrains 2 2 100.0% 28.5 -8.324 0.0% -0.556 -0.0304
Ward the Shores 2 57 91.23% 42.82 -7.614 33.33% -0.795 0.3663

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 82936 72.93% 46.9 -1.673 56.75% -0.816 0.2001
1 Thematic 4062 79.64% 53.9 2.423 39.17% -0.884 0.2885
2 Archipelago 16 56.25% 67.25 1.492 50.0% -0.268 0.7154
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8878 65.14% 50.49 0.313 63.62% -0.482 0.2694
2 Coastline 1396 71.26% 50.36 3.892 63.04% 0.284 0.8866
2 Fragment 144 81.94% 44.89 5.12 52.08% 0.307 0.7547
2 Heart 76 77.63% 44.97 6.417 51.32% 0.183 0.7211
2 Opposite Shores 2209 70.6% 48.99 -1.571 59.03% -0.879 0.1132
2 Thematic 946 82.17% 52.09 5.024 36.89% 0.358 1.0562
2 Top to Top 318 79.94% 47.08 3.632 55.03% 0.281 0.7912
3 Archipelago 2 50.0% 46.0 10.092 50.0% 0.068 0.2408
3 Coastline 38 65.79% 50.39 4.105 57.89% 0.153 -0.6299
3 Other 81 79.01% 45.99 -2.898 54.32% -0.025 -0.0606
3 Round (Default) 2200 75.09% 49.11 -0.248 60.41% -0.333 0.2613
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 50.29 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 76 77.63% 56.84 14.117 42.11% 0.097 0.0598
4 Coastline 10 40.0% 59.7 0.0 80.0%
4 Leaf 6 50.0% 44.33 -14.425 50.0% -0.704 -0.1414
4 Other 33 72.73% 51.15 3.516 63.64% 0.571 0.3174
4 Snake 2 100.0% 26.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 334 64.56% 68.51 2.057 57.49% -0.495 0.0342
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1466 66.92% 52.75 1.688 65.21% 0.186 0.1591
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 32.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 9 0.0% 69.22 1.652 100.0% 0.022 -0.5428
5 Other 23 56.52% 62.96 -2.337 82.61% -0.584 -0.4158
5 Thematic 3 100.0% 46.67 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 5 0.0% 68.4 -1.06 100.0% 0.006 -0.5827
6 Other 4 75.0% 56.25 0.0 75.0%
6 Star 7 57.14% 52.71 -7.421 71.43% -0.859 -0.0752
6 Thematic 5 100.0% 56.0 -0.875 60.0% 0.019 -0.2594
6 Two Centers (Default) 9 77.78% 50.22 1.412 66.67% 0.319 0.2251
7 Other 1 100.0% 81.0 18.37 100.0% 0.348 -0.804

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 6564 42.22 -3.709 45.87% -1.852 0.0512
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5251 47.72 -1.683 57.09% -1.568 0.1622
All Things Weaken 2907 40.95 -3.351 43.52% -1.711 0.2749
Back Against the Wall 4323 43.17 -2.076 46.59% -1.493 0.3239
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5892 39.36 -5.519 43.23% -2.094 -0.0436
Downward Spiral 11922 41.27 -3.41 41.84% -1.616 0.3769
Erosion of Will 6271 40.7 -6.197 42.48% -2.409 -0.3265
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 779 55.55 3.952 76.64% -0.01 0.4307
Memory Fades to Dust 11814 40.57 -4.246 38.78% -1.822 0.2621
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2809 40.35 -4.932 43.22% -2.052 -0.1138
Promising Farmlands 5943 40.08 -5.171 42.74% -2.107 -0.0608
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 433 57.38 5.113 82.45% 0.103 0.5276
Thriving Communities 2718 38.93 -4.558 40.21% -1.899 0.0845
Tipping Point 2485 38.06 0.0 37.42%
Unnatural Proliferation 3089 42.09 -3.213 44.16% -1.785 0.1797
Untended Land Crumbles 2776 39.7 -3.787 41.57% -1.691 0.3022

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 18134 75.07% 45.47 0.234 52.69% -0.493 0.3041
B 22484 70.47% 48.02 0.128 58.62% -0.562 0.1813
C 21961 73.61% 46.59 -0.57 55.3% -0.768 -0.1993
D 20755 71.71% 48.05 -0.31 58.74% -0.595 0.2002
E 7626 73.28% 48.09 0.359 59.39% -0.535 0.1118
F 11118 69.29% 49.5 0.568 62.32% -0.539 0.1847
G 10664 68.59% 51.0 0.953 65.47% -0.391 0.341
H 9910 66.93% 50.37 -0.694 63.58% -0.793 -0.0811
East 3930 79.69% 56.29 5.813 39.9% -0.404 0.365
Northeast 2025 75.46% 58.07 6.704 45.04% -0.007 0.8531
Northwest 1116 72.19% 58.04 1.692 46.51% -0.877 0.1992
Southeast 270 90.74% 41.83 1.436 25.56% 0.041 0.7477
Southwest 194 84.02% 34.55 -0.827 22.68% -0.179 0.9461
West 2113 77.1% 53.43 3.481 39.23% -0.314 0.6395

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 531 0.0% 42.45 -3.399 41.81% -0.776 1.3529
Not Using Events or Tokens 10961 85.96% 43.87 -1.901 38.79% -0.306 -0.1311
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1951 19.36% 66.93 3.116 88.47% -0.906 -1.0487
Start of Game Growth 3346 24.24% 63.87 6.808 85.59% 1.315 0.5541
Unlimited Undo 8816 66.71% 51.81 5.007 66.29% 1.036 0.4325
Using Tokens but Not Events 6621 58.73% 49.5 0.833 59.28% -0.106 -0.2624

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 16636 22.56 6.28%
II 41355 30.98 48.27%
III 37601 34.53 77.45%
IV 9725 37.77 99.57%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.961 Win Model: 0.623
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 87333 73.25% 47.27 55.93%
2 13737 68.18% 50.07 60.81%
3 2408 74.16% 50.77 59.97%
4 1793 67.49% 53.44 63.41%
5 14 21.43% 61.43 78.57%
6 32 59.38% 57.66 78.13%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1043
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 28586
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18623
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9583
Lose: Invader deck ran out 8506
Lose: Adversary condition 314
Win: Sacrifice victory 566
Lose: Scenario condition 772
Win: Scenario condition 1411
Lose: Blight pool ran out 33659
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2254

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-09-02 02:08:59 (Pacific Time)