The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 9045 25.5% 24.7 0.306 84.53% 0.136 0.0137
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6111 43.89% 24.64 -0.258 83.67% -0.036 0.2051
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 70 10.0% 28.83 4.818 77.14% 0.606 -0.3956
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4296 26.06% 26.1 1.193 89.32% 0.466 0.2392
Downpour Drenches the World 455 19.73% 23.12 -1.151 74.51% -0.317 0.0085
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 524 17.37% 25.02 2.323 75.95% 0.458 -0.0417
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5503 15.81% 29.57 2.064 93.31% 0.6 0.139
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4170 19.4% 27.71 1.777 92.3% 0.507 0.0773
Finder of Paths Unseen 255 32.94% 17.77 -3.679 60.78% -0.889 -0.0665
Fractured Days Split the Sky 993 29.71% 25.71 -4.368 75.33% -1.264 -0.6664
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 917 38.28% 24.81 -1.731 75.46% -0.615 -0.6157
Heart of the Wildfire 5486 57.82% 21.34 -1.496 73.81% -0.196 0.1883
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7344 27.76% 26.68 1.093 89.54% 0.157 -0.3378
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 50 10.0% 26.54 3.731 84.0% 0.893 0.3459
Lightning's Swift Strike 10318 42.32% 22.86 -0.132 77.32% 0.09 0.2725
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 193 26.56% 26.72 4.098 78.76% 1.235 0.6977
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 742 23.17% 25.5 -2.635 81.67% -0.623 -0.9139
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 501 33.4% 26.73 -0.234 84.63% -0.044 -0.1918
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2830 24.45% 27.41 1.244 87.74% 0.312 0.0604
Many Minds Move as One 1602 20.49% 27.5 -0.123 89.14% -0.166 -0.3235
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8602 39.64% 24.81 -0.9 83.85% -0.12 -0.109
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3831 30.13% 25.0 0.07 87.24% 0.163 0.0175
River Surges in Sunlight 11140 39.21% 25.37 -0.219 77.53% -0.06 -0.0224
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 836 37.91% 25.92 -1.535 76.91% -0.685 -0.4249
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 257 32.42% 26.75 -0.059 75.88% -0.215 -0.266
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4677 29.65% 25.2 1.207 86.7% 0.846 0.6713
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 6166 53.78% 22.7 -1.293 75.32% -0.28 0.3326
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 85 36.47% 21.72 -0.259 67.06% -0.148 -0.0444
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 50 22.0% 30.04 5.651 90.0% 1.521 0.9392
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 105 20.95% 20.08 -0.745 64.76% -0.163 -0.1165
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 558 32.08% 26.73 0.254 88.53% -0.029 0.0518
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 416 42.27% 25.1 -0.795 82.69% -0.334 -0.1258
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5267 28.22% 26.55 0.022 87.37% -0.034 0.045
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 118 17.8% 23.67 2.53 72.03% 0.484 0.1613
Shifting Memory of Ages 822 36.19% 22.28 -1.884 73.6% -0.371 -0.1055
Shroud of Silent Mist 1199 41.77% 23.34 -1.438 79.65% -0.132 0.2356
Starlight Seeks its Form 1114 23.2% 26.09 -1.123 80.16% -0.025 -0.2525
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2312 27.04% 23.62 -1.329 87.46% -0.009 -0.3651
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3200 30.46% 24.84 -0.122 83.25% 0.165 0.2983
Thunderspeaker 8254 31.1% 25.52 0.122 82.41% 0.157 0.186
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 110 31.82% 18.09 -3.075 54.55% -0.576 -0.3366
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1535 58.63% 21.21 -2.731 79.35% -0.781 -0.5901
Vital Strength of the Earth 7649 31.76% 21.4 -1.442 73.87% -0.089 0.4678
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 170 29.59% 20.02 -2.922 63.53% -0.742 -0.3321
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 401 31.83% 21.37 -0.847 72.57% -0.078 0.6502
Volcano Looming High 1524 37.71% 23.71 -1.144 79.66% -0.303 -0.2838
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 153 22.22% 26.87 4.226 84.31% 1.207 0.6137

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 16 43.75% 22.88 -1.719 68.75% -0.439 -0.5785
Blitz 0 1149 39.02% 21.9 -2.598 71.37% -0.669 -0.5586
Dahan Insurrection 4 1372 19.85% 45.53 6.889 79.37% 0.049 -0.1861
Despicable Theft 2 165 31.52% 27.95 0.419 66.06% -0.539 0.104
Elemental Invocation 1 247 37.25% 25.55 -3.68 71.66% -1.044 -0.2423
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2256 8.49% 30.12 3.228 83.95% 0.405 -0.3684
Powers Long Forgotten 1 506 50.89% 26.33 -3.289 69.17% -1.092 -0.3188
Rituals of Terror 3 593 41.79% 33.57 1.901 66.78% -0.609 -0.5926
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 357 66.67% 30.5 -2.687 62.18% -1.069 -0.0117
Second Wave 0 1135 50.31% 25.62 0.356 72.86% -0.654 -0.5735
The Great River 3 195 44.62% 27.14 -5.664 48.72% -1.333 -0.2044
Varied Terrains 2 87 37.93% 22.54 0.476 52.87% -0.471 0.2208
Ward the Shores 2 533 41.43% 29.33 -1.728 68.86% -0.813 0.0497

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 64191 38.35% 23.72 -0.064 80.04% 0.18 0.3804
1 Thematic 4982 40.89% 30.92 1.475 75.67% -0.215 0.5041
2 Archipelago 45 46.67% 32.6 3.163 64.44% 0.047 0.3013
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13341 32.53% 24.27 -0.578 84.18% -0.004 0.0038
2 Coastline 1458 33.94% 24.24 0.239 83.06% 0.189 -0.0158
2 Fragment 354 38.79% 22.52 0.201 79.38% -0.341 -0.6187
2 Heart 192 35.98% 23.08 0.632 81.25% 0.321 0.1009
2 Opposite Shores 2024 30.1% 25.24 0.713 88.29% 0.484 0.5409
2 Thematic 1177 38.68% 31.94 -0.159 77.32% -0.667 -0.2149
2 Top to Top 374 32.8% 24.8 1.136 89.04% 0.518 0.4203
3 Archipelago 18 44.44% 32.67 0.0 88.89%
3 Coastline 40 44.74% 24.38 -6.545 67.5% -0.335 -0.9024
3 Other 203 25.5% 18.39 -4.203 63.55% -1.282 -1.3109
3 Round (Default) 4135 24.35% 26.14 1.009 89.72% 0.393 0.1674
3 Sunrise 21 50.0% 25.9 -6.337 85.71% -0.327 -1.3119
3 Thematic 200 36.18% 32.98 -3.889 77.0% -0.734 -0.5373
4 Archipelago 16 18.75% 32.19 2.854 75.0% 0.1 -1.0862
4 Coastline 13 7.69% 45.23 3.722 84.62% -0.08 -0.6668
4 Leaf 9 55.56% 17.89 0.0 66.67%
4 Other 75 26.39% 22.36 2.161 78.67% 0.262 -1.0955
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 26.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 0.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 399 21.3% 35.48 6.227 91.48% 0.28 0.0815
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1911 22.79% 25.25 -1.084 87.49% -0.258 -0.5018
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 65 29.23% 26.06 6.013 81.54% 0.964 -0.0924
5 Thematic 9 0.0% 42.22 21.167 100.0% 0.453 -0.0253
6 Archipelago 5 0.0% 33.8 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 3 0.0% 28.0 -1.296 66.67% -0.037 -0.2775
6 Other 13 8.33% 28.23 16.088 92.31% 0.286 -0.4513
6 Star 22 4.55% 26.86 -2.14 90.91% -0.595 -0.6514
6 Thematic 50 22.0% 26.98 0.933 68.0% -0.363 0.391
6 Two Centers (Default) 115 14.78% 21.98 -2.437 71.3% -0.934 -1.5132
7 Other 4 0.0% 0.0 -3.12 0.0% -0.366 -0.7781

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2100 18.77 -0.175 60.43% -0.103 0.0563
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1808 20.12 1.903 63.22% 0.4 0.3134
All Things Weaken 922 19.24 1.268 60.3% 0.254 0.596
Attenuated Essence 45 19.38 0.346 62.22% 0.056 0.1305
Back Against the Wall 1693 19.66 1.608 61.84% 0.307 0.3825
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 51 19.8 0.221 54.9% -0.044 0.1464
Burn Brightest Before the End 38 19.71 -1.17 52.63% -0.597 -0.473
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1961 16.81 -2.193 59.87% -0.533 -0.1606
Downward Spiral 8056 16.77 -1.545 60.86% -0.065 0.072
Erosion of Will 2018 18.24 0.347 58.52% -0.126 0.1689
Intensifying Exploitation 54 17.41 -1.697 53.7% -0.549 -0.3103
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 408 25.0 -0.313 92.4% 0.182 -0.3502
Memory Fades to Dust 7971 16.71 -1.475 58.05% -0.284 -0.0028
Power Corrodes the Spirit 943 18.89 -2.928 65.32% -0.595 -0.4418
Promising Farmlands 2052 17.51 -1.503 61.21% -0.408 -0.0619
Shattered Fragments of Power 43 24.77 1.754 65.12% 0.126 0.3211
Slow Dissolution of Will 60 20.68 -0.578 60.0% -0.57 -0.1184
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 251 25.98 -1.925 96.02% -0.053 -0.7936
The Border of Life and Death 16 16.0 -3.032 56.25% -0.621 -1.0538
Thriving Communities 880 17.93 -1.308 61.14% -0.377 -0.0785
Thriving Crops 28 26.0 1.767 78.57% -0.067 -0.1693
Tipping Point 789 17.93 0.0 63.12%
Unnatural Proliferation 928 20.14 0.528 63.15% -0.082 0.0634
Untended Land Crumbles 911 18.12 -1.241 59.39% -0.527 -0.2277

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 22051 36.92% 23.68 -0.43 81.24% -0.66 0.3344
B 22501 35.53% 23.89 -0.343 81.66% -0.646 0.2724
C 23014 34.1% 24.17 -0.117 82.42% -0.597 0.1459
D 21591 34.67% 23.97 -1.171 81.77% -0.936 0.016
E 6407 30.09% 25.16 0.681 83.61% -0.45 0.3306
F 9577 30.01% 24.99 0.076 85.06% -0.655 0.2379
G 8835 31.67% 25.02 0.495 85.47% -0.501 0.3542
H 8980 29.91% 25.07 0.383 84.99% -0.523 0.3256
East 4182 36.94% 32.76 2.877 78.65% -0.308 0.4617
Northeast 2551 35.63% 33.01 2.537 79.89% -0.037 0.7509
Northwest 1850 35.91% 32.05 0.281 79.14% -0.761 0.223
Southeast 493 29.53% 29.7 0.516 76.27% -0.176 0.6982
Southwest 459 38.43% 23.96 -3.154 68.63% -1.223 -0.0155
West 3505 39.53% 31.13 1.108 75.92% -0.524 0.4102

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1861 0.0% 20.65 -2.165 67.92% -0.731 -0.102
Not Using Events or Tokens 24806 44.64% 21.8 -1.674 73.98% -0.501 0.0054
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1372 10.79% 32.95 4.747 91.69% 1.114 0.4792
Start of Game Growth 2158 13.85% 31.58 1.388 90.22% -0.294 -0.6839
Unlimited Undo 5902 29.45% 25.78 0.374 85.82% 0.208 0.2527
Using Tokens but Not Events 8197 28.65% 25.17 -0.216 85.24% 0.04 0.0134

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8940 17.67 26.41%
II 28898 30.7 76.08%
III 40315 34.75 89.26%
IV 17412 38.22 98.89%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.038 Win Model: 0.679
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 69553 38.56% 24.23 79.61%
2 18788 32.81% 24.86 84.39%
3 4548 25.07% 26.11 88.13%
4 2408 22.51% 27.06 87.87%
5 57 24.56% 24.47 82.46%
6 211 14.35% 24.38 73.93%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2355
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 35152
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 20792
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17056
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3586
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1188
Lose: Adversary condition 254
Win: Sacrifice victory 363
Lose: Scenario condition 602
Win: Scenario condition 1834
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11683
Lose: Spirit destroyed 700

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6642 26.92% 29.84 -0.67 85.79% -0.148 -0.2707
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4519 48.18% 28.73 0.193 81.92% 0.188 0.429
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 105 20.65% 33.51 5.077 89.52% 1.314 0.3125
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3398 28.87% 30.86 0.823 89.76% 0.432 0.2055
Downpour Drenches the World 546 23.8% 26.38 -0.113 76.01% -0.016 0.3093
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 609 19.34% 28.42 1.339 79.97% 0.237 -0.262
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4527 20.15% 33.49 1.719 92.47% 0.391 -0.0702
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3360 25.09% 34.29 1.732 91.79% 0.597 0.1672
Finder of Paths Unseen 357 41.46% 22.97 -3.658 63.31% -0.929 -0.1059
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1139 33.12% 30.36 -3.634 77.88% -1.328 -0.7311
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1258 39.47% 30.77 -0.913 82.91% -0.394 -0.3946
Heart of the Wildfire 4133 63.87% 24.56 -2.118 71.28% -0.426 -0.042
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6338 35.13% 30.47 0.295 87.11% 0.055 -0.4401
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 90 26.44% 32.83 3.897 84.44% 0.773 0.2259
Lightning's Swift Strike 6836 46.43% 27.29 -0.536 77.74% -0.164 0.0191
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 187 36.36% 30.95 2.074 87.7% 0.764 0.227
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 576 33.86% 32.73 4.239 89.41% 0.84 0.549
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 528 32.01% 33.78 5.01 81.44% 0.353 0.2048
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2260 35.84% 31.19 0.149 85.0% 0.059 -0.192
Many Minds Move as One 1517 22.36% 31.97 1.656 89.72% 0.482 0.3249
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6866 37.56% 30.79 1.768 87.56% 0.409 0.4195
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3134 31.88% 29.44 0.034 87.01% 0.0 -0.1459
River Surges in Sunlight 8002 42.69% 29.78 -0.429 78.82% -0.328 -0.2902
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 735 42.1% 28.95 -2.645 77.69% -0.413 -0.1533
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 340 42.6% 29.86 0.436 75.59% -0.049 -0.0991
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3578 34.36% 29.86 1.64 84.8% 0.044 -0.13
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4241 61.23% 25.86 -2.0 72.48% -0.657 -0.0443
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 89 47.19% 29.33 1.15 77.53% -0.127 -0.0228
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 85 29.41% 29.73 2.446 78.82% 0.386 -0.1951
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 99 44.44% 29.2 0.316 78.79% -0.1 -0.0536
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 498 39.36% 30.83 -2.269 85.94% -0.45 -0.3693
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 310 52.6% 28.55 1.895 79.35% 0.817 1.0252
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4447 31.72% 30.7 0.295 85.54% 0.003 0.0824
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 142 26.24% 28.28 2.811 76.76% 0.299 -0.0239
Shifting Memory of Ages 1233 40.4% 26.76 0.006 77.13% -0.111 0.154
Shroud of Silent Mist 1134 47.24% 27.18 -2.463 81.75% -0.657 -0.2893
Starlight Seeks its Form 1236 27.73% 29.75 0.62 84.06% 0.202 -0.0259
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1966 29.76% 28.9 -0.487 88.15% 0.143 -0.2128
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2944 33.05% 29.3 -0.993 83.87% -0.313 -0.1798
Thunderspeaker 6282 35.17% 30.26 -0.413 83.16% -0.107 -0.0784
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 149 28.38% 22.13 -0.36 62.42% 0.074 0.3136
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1492 63.33% 25.77 -2.714 79.76% -0.45 -0.2589
Vital Strength of the Earth 5361 35.63% 25.88 -2.322 76.09% -0.423 0.134
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 164 29.27% 25.48 -0.317 73.78% 0.124 0.5342
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 391 36.92% 23.67 -7.021 68.29% -1.664 -0.9354
Volcano Looming High 1523 45.5% 26.63 -1.236 78.59% -0.22 -0.2006
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 356 25.8% 30.43 3.551 82.3% 1.194 0.5999

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 20 30.0% 26.05 -9.887 60.0% -1.401 -1.541
Blitz 0 968 40.3% 25.98 -2.427 71.8% -0.488 -0.3775
Dahan Insurrection 4 1000 28.5% 46.45 8.339 72.0% 0.187 -0.0484
Despicable Theft 2 149 37.58% 31.19 -5.587 65.77% -1.491 -0.8484
Elemental Invocation 1 240 45.61% 27.35 -2.862 70.42% -1.477 -0.6754
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2053 10.53% 36.64 2.19 81.98% 0.252 -0.5223
Powers Long Forgotten 1 497 53.92% 28.71 -4.459 66.4% -1.194 -0.4211
Rituals of Terror 3 466 46.98% 35.28 -0.205 65.67% -0.626 -0.6099
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 327 66.97% 32.82 -1.745 60.86% -0.864 0.1927
Second Wave 0 4496 40.68% 31.26 0.939 79.52% -0.249 -0.1687
The Great River 3 166 46.39% 31.74 -5.442 57.23% -1.768 -0.6398
Varied Terrains 2 97 56.7% 22.43 -6.552 43.3% -1.863 -1.1707
Ward the Shores 2 432 46.4% 33.06 5.211 67.36% 0.148 1.011

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 47762 41.77% 27.63 -0.315 79.9% 0.246 0.447
1 Thematic 4038 44.65% 34.59 -0.19 72.73% 0.01 0.7291
2 Archipelago 31 54.84% 37.16 8.862 80.65% 0.645 0.9002
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10178 36.17% 29.02 -0.763 85.1% -0.145 -0.1375
2 Coastline 1305 34.99% 29.73 1.473 86.74% 0.306 0.101
2 Fragment 343 39.41% 27.96 -1.636 82.51% -0.208 -0.4854
2 Heart 167 44.51% 28.14 6.151 76.65% 0.283 0.0622
2 Opposite Shores 2292 32.65% 29.91 1.132 89.14% 0.426 0.4831
2 Thematic 1254 41.28% 33.98 -0.101 76.4% -0.081 0.3704
2 Top to Top 403 36.75% 28.61 -1.323 83.13% -0.343 -0.4403
3 Archipelago 23 52.17% 38.48 6.467 86.96% 0.506 -0.285
3 Coastline 24 37.5% 33.29 -11.72 75.0% -1.571 -2.1377
3 Other 140 36.76% 29.44 1.338 86.43% 0.523 0.4936
3 Round (Default) 3900 28.36% 31.04 1.698 88.08% 0.057 -0.1694
3 Sunrise 24 20.83% 34.38 7.053 100.0% 0.352 -0.6326
3 Thematic 192 46.84% 32.72 -3.593 73.44% -0.597 -0.4001
4 Archipelago 10 50.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 12 25.0% 34.58 11.957 75.0% 0.294 -0.2921
4 Leaf 12 33.33% 29.5 0.0 83.33%
4 Other 73 36.62% 31.41 2.605 89.04% 0.648 -0.7098
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 277 34.18% 39.24 0.413 82.67% 0.281 0.0823
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1605 29.28% 30.86 0.504 88.97% -0.349 -0.5922
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 58.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 57 39.62% 32.61 2.661 78.95% 0.697 -0.3597
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 -11.684 0.0% -0.114 -0.5926
6 Archipelago 6 33.33% 34.5 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 22 13.64% 36.36 -4.575 95.45% -0.523 -1.2598
6 Star 13 23.08% 27.38 -16.912 76.92% -0.621 -0.6778
6 Thematic 79 43.04% 42.3 1.105 79.75% -0.522 0.2318
6 Two Centers (Default) 74 14.86% 33.36 1.7 85.14% -0.438 -1.0178
7 Other 4 66.67% 33.5 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1857 23.19 -0.276 63.11% -0.313 -0.1527
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1477 24.72 -0.052 66.15% -0.382 -0.4681
All Things Weaken 936 23.5 -1.25 63.46% -0.454 -0.112
Attenuated Essence 66 24.08 -0.655 60.61% -0.235 -0.161
Back Against the Wall 1566 24.09 0.391 63.86% -0.294 -0.2191
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 57 24.84 2.342 64.91% 0.385 0.5755
Burn Brightest Before the End 49 25.27 0.868 69.39% -0.033 0.091
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1882 20.93 -2.533 59.94% -0.626 -0.253
Downward Spiral 5752 22.23 -0.904 67.02% 0.062 0.1984
Erosion of Will 1897 22.86 0.093 61.31% 0.273 0.5678
Intensifying Exploitation 77 20.05 -3.219 51.95% -0.665 -0.4269
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 422 29.26 -0.453 93.6% 0.15 -0.3817
Memory Fades to Dust 5885 21.67 -0.723 62.19% 0.045 0.3257
Power Corrodes the Spirit 913 23.51 -0.863 69.22% -0.002 0.1508
Promising Farmlands 1859 21.79 -0.549 62.83% -0.026 0.3204
Shattered Fragments of Power 68 22.96 0.415 55.88% -0.128 0.0669
Slow Dissolution of Will 69 21.48 -1.658 55.07% -0.573 -0.122
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 308 29.36 1.382 94.81% 0.577 -0.1639
The Border of Life and Death 31 27.71 1.298 80.65% 0.222 -0.2107
Thriving Communities 874 22.77 -0.594 66.82% 0.259 0.5576
Thriving Crops 38 27.82 2.45 94.74% 0.831 0.7282
Tipping Point 669 20.79 0.0 57.55%
Unnatural Proliferation 996 24.33 0.815 67.27% 0.206 0.3515
Untended Land Crumbles 951 22.72 -0.374 64.67% -0.12 0.1789

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 17017 39.8% 28.13 -0.049 81.31% -0.363 0.6312
B 17276 37.72% 28.65 0.42 83.18% -0.178 0.7404
C 17853 37.94% 28.85 -0.091 83.55% -0.36 0.3823
D 16518 38.18% 28.62 -0.01 83.1% -0.299 0.6528
E 5945 35.08% 29.6 0.727 84.12% -0.206 0.5748
F 8113 34.31% 29.35 0.004 84.26% -0.387 0.5057
G 7306 34.75% 29.43 0.947 85.05% -0.08 0.7749
H 7642 33.71% 29.51 0.529 84.91% -0.174 0.6744
East 3794 40.73% 36.24 -0.915 75.07% -0.744 0.0254
Northeast 2339 39.67% 37.02 0.175 75.12% -0.78 0.0072
Northwest 1681 41.46% 34.62 0.349 76.92% -0.585 0.3983
Southeast 496 40.73% 33.67 -3.519 74.8% -1.343 -0.4689
Southwest 497 45.47% 31.36 -1.717 72.23% -0.522 0.6861
West 3090 46.43% 33.52 -0.588 73.82% -0.552 0.3827

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1969 0.0% 23.89 -1.398 71.56% -0.37 0.259
Not Using Events or Tokens 15234 45.11% 26.88 -1.775 76.74% -0.378 0.1282
Skip Initial Invader Actions 911 13.99% 39.54 3.706 90.89% 0.258 -0.3772
Start of Game Growth 1577 16.68% 37.69 2.995 90.62% 0.512 0.1222
Unlimited Undo 5626 34.22% 29.9 -1.059 84.87% -0.28 -0.2361
Using Tokens but Not Events 7941 32.32% 28.7 -0.105 84.22% 0.015 -0.0125

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5961 17.67 14.53%
II 17965 30.7 70.41%
III 33252 34.75 89.92%
IV 17168 38.22 98.93%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.483 Win Model: 0.709
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 52059 42.05% 28.17 79.25%
2 15847 36.04% 29.59 85.14%
3 4228 29.1% 31.17 88.03%
4 1972 30.21% 32.14 87.88%
5 43 45.0% 30.26 81.4%
6 197 28.06% 37.05 82.23%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 864
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 29170
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11949
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16805
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3158
Lose: Invader deck ran out 664
Lose: Adversary condition 169
Win: Sacrifice victory 306
Lose: Scenario condition 551
Win: Scenario condition 1307
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8866
Lose: Spirit destroyed 537

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7977 31.86% 38.99 -0.553 86.86% -0.098 -0.2205
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5110 56.07% 36.56 -2.482 79.41% -0.55 -0.309
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 144 26.39% 46.09 6.89 93.75% 1.677 0.6755
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4187 36.42% 38.65 0.202 87.63% 0.052 -0.175
Downpour Drenches the World 844 27.78% 34.91 0.068 75.71% -0.028 0.2971
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 949 29.13% 38.19 1.896 79.24% 0.438 -0.0617
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6110 25.02% 42.89 2.53 92.39% 0.548 0.0875
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4167 30.96% 41.95 1.042 90.38% 0.049 -0.3808
Finder of Paths Unseen 485 53.96% 35.41 -4.951 68.25% -0.866 -0.0434
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1216 36.82% 40.37 0.902 80.59% -0.027 0.5701
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1525 43.5% 37.88 1.927 80.98% 0.17 0.1688
Heart of the Wildfire 5683 63.49% 33.77 -1.475 73.55% -0.343 0.0416
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9332 39.15% 39.39 1.812 85.82% 0.279 -0.2162
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 109 28.44% 41.15 3.752 87.16% 0.841 0.2938
Lightning's Swift Strike 7519 48.48% 36.23 -0.684 79.04% -0.281 -0.0986
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 323 48.6% 40.2 -0.845 80.8% -0.351 -0.888
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 818 38.24% 40.56 3.684 84.84% 0.738 0.4469
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 728 37.47% 43.77 0.052 84.34% -0.291 -0.4386
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3466 39.5% 39.95 1.106 84.36% 0.067 -0.1844
Many Minds Move as One 1922 25.87% 41.63 2.52 92.2% 0.527 0.3695
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8450 47.03% 38.11 0.381 83.25% 0.037 0.048
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4116 37.06% 38.52 -0.069 87.41% 0.035 -0.1112
River Surges in Sunlight 9489 48.34% 38.66 -0.622 80.76% -0.254 -0.2163
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1110 42.47% 40.38 -1.301 79.28% -0.198 0.0622
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 456 41.06% 37.85 0.747 73.25% -0.103 -0.1534
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5022 41.52% 38.03 1.319 84.09% 0.243 0.0685
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4162 63.05% 34.23 -2.319 72.49% -0.583 0.0295
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 114 43.86% 37.78 -1.724 73.68% -0.354 -0.2506
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 136 33.82% 43.63 5.413 91.18% 1.391 0.8099
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 146 49.66% 36.68 2.615 77.4% 0.451 0.4976
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 511 50.88% 39.02 0.776 86.11% 0.356 0.437
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 450 57.68% 37.17 -0.602 77.56% -0.038 0.1702
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5976 35.75% 39.53 -0.557 86.01% -0.176 -0.0967
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 268 25.0% 41.33 2.356 73.13% -0.052 -0.3743
Shifting Memory of Ages 1269 50.91% 34.96 -2.862 77.38% -0.377 -0.1116
Shroud of Silent Mist 1425 64.51% 32.86 -1.185 73.12% -0.185 0.1829
Starlight Seeks its Form 1755 39.37% 38.22 0.199 82.34% 0.199 -0.029
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3051 35.94% 37.34 0.386 86.89% 0.285 -0.0716
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3317 37.18% 38.51 -1.117 84.11% -0.231 -0.0981
Thunderspeaker 7778 39.32% 39.65 -0.801 85.06% -0.231 -0.202
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 188 27.66% 36.82 -1.337 71.81% -0.366 -0.1266
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2189 73.91% 32.4 -2.982 73.41% -0.693 -0.5023
Vital Strength of the Earth 5859 38.43% 34.36 -2.493 77.18% -0.386 0.1709
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 259 45.56% 37.23 -1.457 77.61% -0.345 0.0646
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 701 23.97% 33.23 -2.074 77.6% -0.466 0.2624
Volcano Looming High 2329 47.74% 35.44 -2.228 79.82% -0.541 -0.5217
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 313 33.23% 39.75 3.878 86.58% 0.988 0.3946

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 23 8.7% 35.48 0.184 82.61% 0.244 0.1042
Blitz 0 1028 46.39% 34.15 -3.12 73.54% -0.496 -0.3856
Dahan Insurrection 4 1243 24.96% 59.98 10.131 80.37% 0.364 0.1288
Despicable Theft 2 80 53.75% 40.16 -8.997 68.75% -1.108 -0.4649
Elemental Invocation 1 213 49.77% 32.21 -8.981 64.32% -1.716 -0.9138
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3046 10.67% 45.42 4.666 85.46% 0.573 -0.201
Powers Long Forgotten 1 406 54.81% 37.21 -6.759 68.97% -1.156 -0.383
Rituals of Terror 3 338 57.4% 43.65 -1.435 65.98% -0.544 -0.5284
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 191 65.45% 43.28 -0.896 70.16% -0.741 0.3158
Second Wave 0 3899 47.67% 37.92 0.314 74.61% -0.346 -0.2652
The Great River 3 152 53.95% 37.46 -6.661 51.97% -1.704 -0.5757
Varied Terrains 2 64 56.25% 40.08 -3.216 68.75% -0.718 -0.0261
Ward the Shores 2 386 47.4% 43.48 2.795 74.35% 0.077 0.9405

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 56215 46.24% 35.88 -0.429 79.63% -0.003 0.198
1 Thematic 3585 48.83% 41.22 -1.789 73.64% -0.424 0.2953
2 Archipelago 30 43.33% 40.9 -2.725 60.0% -0.278 -0.0233
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12967 43.28% 37.15 0.034 84.57% -0.119 -0.1116
2 Coastline 1531 40.5% 37.85 -1.345 84.13% -0.313 -0.518
2 Fragment 395 45.38% 36.15 -1.725 82.03% -0.698 -0.9752
2 Heart 165 49.38% 37.87 -0.285 84.85% -0.116 -0.3361
2 Opposite Shores 2918 39.99% 38.2 0.473 86.74% 0.02 0.0775
2 Thematic 1438 44.7% 43.28 0.439 77.61% 0.111 0.5629
2 Top to Top 504 37.85% 39.18 0.181 87.9% -0.176 -0.2734
3 Archipelago 24 37.5% 63.0 -13.291 87.5% -0.363 -1.1548
3 Coastline 32 43.75% 40.09 0.165 81.25% -0.279 -0.846
3 Other 287 41.46% 40.08 2.393 91.99% 0.753 0.7244
3 Round (Default) 5182 36.1% 38.9 0.936 86.9% -0.339 -0.5652
3 Sunrise 30 40.0% 42.47 0.0 96.67%
3 Thematic 282 48.75% 44.27 -4.279 76.95% -0.757 -0.5603
4 Archipelago 14 35.71% 48.79 23.627 85.71% 0.564 -0.622
4 Coastline 7 42.86% 37.43 0.0 71.43%
4 Leaf 23 34.78% 43.3 4.321 95.65% 0.365 -0.3339
4 Other 114 54.39% 42.59 -3.694 86.84% -0.418 -1.7754
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 545 39.66% 49.5 -0.665 85.69% 0.234 0.0362
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2411 30.69% 40.89 0.228 90.17% -0.372 -0.6154
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 53.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 4 100.0% 40.75 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 129 41.41% 45.24 2.32 84.5% 0.176 -0.8804
5 Thematic 17 47.06% 63.0 0.0 94.12%
6 Coastline 2 50.0% 10.0 -10.966 0.0% -1.116 -1.356
6 Other 22 27.27% 52.45 2.95 90.91% 0.412 -0.3247
6 Star 21 38.1% 42.67 2.756 95.24% 0.046 -0.0103
6 Thematic 312 45.42% 56.09 3.247 74.04% -0.479 0.2751
6 Two Centers (Default) 222 12.61% 43.04 2.871 88.74% 0.14 -0.4401
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2769 30.54 -0.611 63.96% -0.189 -0.0296
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2288 32.21 0.885 65.47% 0.01 -0.0764
All Things Weaken 1475 29.55 -3.029 61.15% -0.855 -0.5125
Attenuated Essence 111 32.7 -0.786 65.77% -0.198 -0.124
Back Against the Wall 2162 31.24 0.418 63.37% 0.061 0.1363
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 113 29.25 0.177 60.18% -0.083 0.1078
Burn Brightest Before the End 114 31.31 0.435 59.65% -0.204 -0.08
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2599 28.28 -1.94 62.68% -0.172 0.2013
Downward Spiral 7000 30.2 -1.047 68.83% 0.049 0.1856
Erosion of Will 2867 30.44 -0.765 63.27% -0.097 0.1978
Intensifying Exploitation 129 28.76 -1.759 56.59% -0.69 -0.4513
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 638 39.69 4.08 96.39% 1.596 1.0638
Memory Fades to Dust 7117 29.78 -1.605 65.24% -0.259 0.0222
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1393 30.78 -0.594 67.7% -0.129 0.0245
Promising Farmlands 2754 29.98 -1.883 66.49% -0.274 0.0726
Shattered Fragments of Power 100 30.32 -1.045 64.0% -0.423 -0.2281
Slow Dissolution of Will 101 30.26 0.669 60.4% 0.253 0.7046
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 390 39.67 2.645 94.87% 0.756 0.0153
The Border of Life and Death 41 33.83 -0.41 82.93% 0.119 -0.3144
Thriving Communities 1360 29.92 -1.803 65.51% -0.425 -0.1263
Thriving Crops 53 31.38 0.682 71.7% 0.217 0.1146
Tipping Point 971 29.87 0.0 64.78%
Unnatural Proliferation 1468 31.36 -0.28 64.99% -0.202 -0.0571
Untended Land Crumbles 1396 30.35 -0.759 66.4% -0.069 0.2306

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 21062 43.71% 36.71 -0.494 81.58% -0.672 0.3225
B 21760 42.62% 37.19 0.476 83.03% -0.444 0.4745
C 22405 43.22% 37.3 -0.244 83.11% -0.6 0.1428
D 20300 43.48% 37.04 0.165 82.93% -0.449 0.5029
E 7655 40.08% 38.24 0.581 84.62% -0.424 0.3565
F 10462 39.61% 37.97 1.184 84.41% -0.303 0.5901
G 9557 40.61% 37.83 0.495 84.36% -0.464 0.3909
H 9618 39.26% 38.18 0.429 84.75% -0.493 0.3556
East 4165 45.18% 45.0 1.144 76.9% -0.652 0.1175
Northeast 2584 43.6% 46.62 2.012 79.22% -0.352 0.4357
Northwest 2091 44.29% 46.57 -0.793 79.48% -1.243 -0.2591
Southeast 808 43.64% 46.78 1.053 74.13% -0.762 0.1126
Southwest 775 46.16% 45.02 0.859 72.65% -0.567 0.6406
West 3675 46.68% 44.29 0.84 76.46% -0.834 0.1

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 732 0.0% 35.49 -1.672 74.86% -0.195 0.4345
Not Using Events or Tokens 14239 49.73% 34.9 -2.255 77.39% -0.288 0.2186
Skip Initial Invader Actions 903 13.08% 48.6 4.528 92.69% 0.869 0.234
Start of Game Growth 1888 15.64% 47.04 4.399 90.68% 0.129 -0.2603
Unlimited Undo 7729 37.35% 38.35 -0.191 85.28% -0.15 -0.1054
Using Tokens but Not Events 8877 35.15% 37.81 -0.112 84.6% -0.026 -0.0535

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7079 17.67 19.0%
II 22729 30.7 66.98%
III 38836 34.75 91.21%
IV 20848 38.22 99.38%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.52 Win Model: 0.956
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 60075 46.44% 36.2 79.22%
2 19900 42.59% 37.89 84.39%
3 5732 36.63% 39.33 87.04%
4 3111 32.93% 42.79 89.81%
5 106 40.0% 44.35 78.3%
6 568 33.27% 49.46 80.81%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1342
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 34687
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 14262
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 20529
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2936
Lose: Invader deck ran out 733
Lose: Adversary condition 246
Win: Sacrifice victory 351
Lose: Scenario condition 601
Win: Scenario condition 1540
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11682
Lose: Spirit destroyed 583

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7241 36.08% 44.14 -0.558 82.38% 0.132 0.0089
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4691 66.14% 40.67 -0.978 74.08% -0.033 0.208
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 152 31.58% 47.83 6.564 87.5% 1.242 0.2412
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3756 42.03% 44.6 0.38 86.1% 0.193 -0.0336
Downpour Drenches the World 767 36.47% 38.01 0.082 70.4% 0.141 0.4662
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1016 33.86% 39.65 0.913 74.9% 0.252 -0.2473
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6222 28.94% 49.32 3.486 91.84% 0.703 0.242
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4215 33.95% 47.06 -0.461 85.79% -0.053 -0.4825
Finder of Paths Unseen 322 47.66% 34.7 -3.458 61.18% -0.643 0.1801
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1203 43.7% 43.33 -1.655 71.82% -0.673 -0.076
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1722 46.98% 42.36 -0.446 77.58% 0.057 0.0558
Heart of the Wildfire 5931 69.26% 36.39 -3.872 64.74% -0.71 -0.3255
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10696 45.17% 44.35 1.55 83.53% 0.372 -0.1229
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 142 31.69% 41.86 3.677 77.46% 0.66 0.1129
Lightning's Swift Strike 6408 57.39% 40.03 -2.825 72.36% -0.358 -0.1756
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 364 51.4% 45.58 5.563 80.22% 1.279 0.7422
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 815 46.19% 46.1 0.692 85.64% 0.192 -0.0985
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 675 45.25% 43.39 -0.009 77.04% -0.241 -0.3889
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3675 46.69% 44.03 0.872 80.9% 0.33 0.0791
Many Minds Move as One 2043 31.96% 47.16 1.189 89.48% 0.175 0.0184
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8746 50.51% 43.08 -1.036 80.04% -0.012 -0.0014
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4543 40.98% 43.88 1.208 84.92% 0.452 0.306
River Surges in Sunlight 9637 52.69% 44.09 -0.784 76.13% -0.232 -0.1943
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 941 46.38% 42.64 -1.522 71.52% -0.319 -0.0588
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 528 49.33% 40.93 -0.175 67.8% -0.254 -0.3044
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4721 44.91% 43.42 1.774 81.59% 0.454 0.2794
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3496 70.36% 37.87 -3.849 65.53% -0.48 0.1326
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 151 42.67% 35.77 -2.685 62.25% -0.68 -0.5767
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 175 41.14% 40.78 3.153 77.71% 0.609 0.0275
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 170 50.89% 38.81 0.248 70.59% -0.142 -0.0954
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 585 49.06% 43.85 -1.487 79.15% -0.246 -0.1655
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 384 61.2% 40.36 -2.089 72.66% -0.244 -0.0364
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6189 40.15% 45.06 -1.736 82.87% -0.322 -0.2432
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 234 33.33% 37.99 1.234 72.65% 0.434 0.1113
Shifting Memory of Ages 1229 55.76% 39.86 -1.013 76.24% -0.052 0.2137
Shroud of Silent Mist 1214 68.19% 36.7 -2.962 67.38% -0.453 -0.085
Starlight Seeks its Form 2013 37.0% 42.02 -0.454 80.23% -0.031 -0.2588
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3192 40.91% 41.8 -2.322 83.15% -0.11 -0.4659
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3618 39.55% 44.69 0.46 83.47% 0.231 0.3636
Thunderspeaker 6803 45.64% 44.79 -1.096 81.04% -0.023 0.0058
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 163 50.92% 33.28 -0.537 63.19% -0.032 0.2076
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2255 80.2% 37.27 -1.993 71.44% -0.144 0.0467
Vital Strength of the Earth 5172 46.79% 39.13 -4.315 70.03% -0.597 -0.0402
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 260 36.43% 36.87 -2.617 70.0% -0.218 0.1913
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 447 44.74% 33.94 -6.61 57.05% -1.123 -0.395
Volcano Looming High 2047 55.14% 39.27 -0.283 73.96% 0.059 0.0783
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 321 37.69% 39.58 2.561 75.39% 0.517 -0.0772

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 12 25.0% 35.92 -4.183 66.67% -0.165 -0.3046
Blitz 0 940 52.33% 39.44 1.399 71.7% 0.134 0.2444
Dahan Insurrection 4 1212 28.93% 64.29 5.525 77.97% -0.13 -0.3647
Despicable Theft 2 95 61.05% 41.36 12.638 53.68% 1.059 1.702
Elemental Invocation 1 146 70.55% 37.53 -0.887 58.22% 0.025 0.8266
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3449 12.29% 50.89 6.875 84.34% 1.128 0.3538
Powers Long Forgotten 1 256 64.84% 41.59 1.574 64.45% 0.003 0.7753
Rituals of Terror 3 150 62.67% 43.92 -3.806 54.0% -0.493 -0.4774
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 113 78.76% 44.99 -6.233 56.64% -0.645 0.4121
Second Wave 0 2883 52.48% 43.01 1.594 70.69% -0.069 0.0113
The Great River 3 134 67.91% 37.07 -3.064 35.82% -1.34 -0.2119
Varied Terrains 2 39 66.67% 31.82 0.816 38.46% -0.457 0.2352
Ward the Shores 2 173 60.12% 45.93 -4.443 64.74% -0.55 0.3133

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 61674 52.79% 40.89 0.311 75.21% 0.151 0.3515
1 Thematic 2905 48.38% 47.54 0.144 68.33% -0.156 0.5638
2 Archipelago 21 57.14% 53.19 5.547 76.19% 0.095 0.3502
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12721 46.34% 43.37 0.772 82.7% 0.263 0.2705
2 Coastline 1626 41.99% 44.27 1.559 83.95% 0.385 0.1804
2 Fragment 277 59.34% 39.13 -0.641 72.56% 0.069 -0.2079
2 Heart 147 57.14% 41.03 -5.202 76.87% -0.133 -0.3536
2 Opposite Shores 2727 46.55% 42.84 -4.323 80.16% -0.672 -0.6151
2 Thematic 1033 55.48% 47.07 -0.099 70.47% -0.154 0.2979
2 Top to Top 447 48.88% 43.34 4.362 82.1% 0.917 0.8196
3 Archipelago 14 78.57% 62.07 5.017 100.0% 0.537 -0.2548
3 Coastline 52 38.46% 44.48 4.209 75.0% 0.358 -0.2095
3 Other 271 35.32% 43.76 -2.938 84.87% -0.54 -0.5685
3 Round (Default) 4473 39.76% 44.61 -0.743 83.88% -0.071 -0.2973
3 Sunrise 22 31.82% 47.05 9.614 90.91% 0.706 -0.2785
3 Thematic 180 55.56% 49.57 -6.455 77.78% -0.486 -0.2898
4 Archipelago 16 25.0% 50.81 0.0 75.0%
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 44.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 13 53.85% 44.46 0.0 76.92%
4 Other 99 41.41% 43.47 -2.599 83.84% -0.317 -1.6748
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 0.0 -13.92 0.0% -0.468 -0.6471
4 Snake 4 25.0% 50.25 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 361 39.72% 55.1 4.858 85.87% 0.716 0.5177
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2435 34.82% 46.72 -0.206 87.76% 0.166 -0.0779
5 Archipelago 5 60.0% 62.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Other 88 47.06% 43.14 3.596 77.27% 0.349 -0.7077
5 Thematic 8 50.0% 68.0 0.0 87.5%
6 Archipelago 6 33.33% 35.33 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 16 26.67% 36.44 -4.39 62.5% -0.541 -1.2784
6 Star 31 35.48% 36.55 -2.039 61.29% -0.765 -0.8221
6 Thematic 90 10.0% 42.24 -8.7 48.89% -0.59 0.1642
6 Two Centers (Default) 154 28.57% 42.13 1.77 81.17% 0.425 -0.1545
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 77.0 17.263 100.0% 0.104 0.8809

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3383 35.52 0.788 60.54% -0.165 -0.0049
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2600 38.12 3.232 65.69% 0.421 0.3349
All Things Weaken 1808 34.23 -2.706 57.8% -0.764 -0.4224
Attenuated Essence 145 36.42 2.209 68.28% 0.405 0.4792
Back Against the Wall 2527 36.41 -1.579 60.78% -0.591 -0.5159
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 160 32.26 0.368 54.37% -0.195 -0.0044
Burn Brightest Before the End 87 34.26 1.032 56.32% -0.04 0.0833
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3175 32.71 -1.755 58.24% -0.366 0.0065
Downward Spiral 7605 35.51 -0.102 64.72% 0.239 0.3759
Erosion of Will 3286 34.64 -1.396 58.25% -0.521 -0.2265
Intensifying Exploitation 135 31.4 -0.751 55.56% -0.163 0.0753
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 740 45.01 2.304 91.89% 0.786 0.2543
Memory Fades to Dust 7711 34.31 -1.706 60.08% -0.228 0.0527
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1780 34.96 -0.229 62.02% -0.153 0.0003
Promising Farmlands 3272 34.86 0.417 62.38% -0.023 0.3233
Shattered Fragments of Power 97 35.19 2.634 60.82% 0.53 0.7244
Slow Dissolution of Will 148 32.21 -2.45 52.03% -0.692 -0.2411
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 483 45.91 0.841 92.96% 0.297 -0.4439
The Border of Life and Death 49 38.04 2.05 73.47% 0.142 -0.2912
Thriving Communities 1732 34.69 0.263 62.59% 0.058 0.3562
Thriving Crops 71 38.21 1.513 74.65% 0.454 0.3519
Tipping Point 1157 34.37 0.0 59.64%
Unnatural Proliferation 1881 37.2 2.102 65.12% 0.18 0.325
Untended Land Crumbles 1740 34.54 -0.297 61.38% -0.169 0.1301

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 20867 49.77% 41.73 -0.551 77.13% -0.212 0.7822
B 21815 47.88% 42.52 0.491 79.19% 0.013 0.9311
C 22689 48.2% 42.58 0.004 79.45% -0.056 0.6862
D 19507 49.36% 42.03 -0.407 78.19% -0.056 0.8952
E 8174 45.78% 42.64 -0.533 80.0% -0.237 0.544
F 10920 45.15% 43.02 0.221 80.53% -0.12 0.7723
G 9951 46.48% 42.85 0.097 80.59% -0.073 0.7824
H 10438 44.0% 43.75 0.364 82.25% -0.065 0.7829
East 3097 47.2% 48.6 -0.79 70.36% -0.15 0.6196
Northeast 1917 44.53% 49.34 0.367 70.94% -0.29 0.497
Northwest 1272 46.49% 49.4 -3.123 74.84% -0.294 0.6897
Southeast 494 43.52% 46.44 -4.228 68.42% -0.402 0.4721
Southwest 447 44.3% 42.81 -3.925 66.44% -0.879 0.3287
West 2460 50.61% 48.62 -1.508 71.54% -0.583 0.3513

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 578 0.0% 39.27 -1.614 65.4% 0.008 0.6372
Not Using Events or Tokens 11826 56.82% 38.86 -4.584 69.11% -0.855 -0.3484
Skip Initial Invader Actions 883 10.76% 56.16 3.193 91.73% 0.494 -0.1406
Start of Game Growth 1832 15.94% 54.36 1.467 90.94% -0.269 -0.6587
Unlimited Undo 8152 41.73% 44.22 1.122 82.7% 0.172 0.216
Using Tokens but Not Events 9214 41.25% 43.57 1.043 82.33% 0.215 0.1884

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8598 17.67 12.94%
II 30620 30.7 67.66%
III 35707 34.75 90.05%
IV 17037 38.22 99.47%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.159 Win Model: 0.058
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 64787 52.6% 41.2 74.9%
2 18956 46.79% 43.52 81.63%
3 4936 39.91% 44.74 83.69%
4 2924 35.52% 47.72 87.35%
5 67 50.0% 38.6 65.67%
6 292 23.02% 41.91 69.18%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1113
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 31632
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 19760
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16830
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3363
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1625
Lose: Adversary condition 230
Win: Sacrifice victory 343
Lose: Scenario condition 477
Win: Scenario condition 1251
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14618
Lose: Spirit destroyed 720

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5332 35.13% 46.54 -0.327 80.01% 0.142 0.0191
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3720 67.09% 42.64 -3.42 72.85% -0.34 -0.0988
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 176 55.68% 48.62 5.343 84.09% 1.171 0.1696
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3205 44.49% 46.66 -0.849 83.9% -0.045 -0.2724
Downpour Drenches the World 593 35.76% 42.03 -2.142 72.18% -0.502 -0.1763
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 865 29.71% 45.2 3.368 80.0% 0.766 0.2671
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5232 27.87% 52.44 3.261 92.22% 0.793 0.3322
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3509 35.13% 49.61 3.678 87.97% 0.995 0.5655
Finder of Paths Unseen 287 48.78% 37.6 -3.922 63.76% -0.609 0.2142
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1061 38.55% 49.12 -2.098 77.38% -0.362 0.2353
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1653 45.46% 44.39 1.36 74.11% 0.255 0.2539
Heart of the Wildfire 4996 67.0% 40.01 -4.285 67.35% -0.535 -0.1503
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9272 42.99% 48.13 3.742 85.18% 0.884 0.3887
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 130 29.23% 42.66 2.719 70.0% 0.389 -0.1584
Lightning's Swift Strike 5369 52.11% 43.99 -3.529 74.95% -0.45 -0.2666
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 356 56.62% 45.78 1.121 75.0% 0.17 -0.3665
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 809 39.11% 49.85 1.534 87.89% 0.225 -0.0664
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 547 40.4% 50.78 1.685 86.29% 0.211 0.0629
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3156 44.99% 47.87 0.844 83.43% 0.208 -0.0431
Many Minds Move as One 1726 31.88% 50.07 -0.706 90.5% -0.081 -0.2382
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6796 50.3% 45.26 -2.124 77.94% -0.255 -0.244
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3378 43.63% 46.09 -0.039 81.88% 0.025 -0.1214
River Surges in Sunlight 7057 52.23% 46.68 -1.441 74.49% -0.26 -0.2226
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 618 43.18% 47.43 -1.346 75.89% -0.44 -0.1803
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 446 45.95% 50.17 0.793 81.39% -0.072 -0.1229
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3719 44.97% 45.78 0.645 80.34% 0.475 0.3005
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2197 68.23% 40.42 -7.861 63.91% -1.157 -0.5447
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 98 57.14% 44.22 3.583 70.41% 0.432 0.5354
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 120 53.33% 44.63 3.042 75.83% 0.535 -0.046
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 119 47.06% 46.26 -3.655 80.67% -0.471 -0.4247
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 421 62.23% 43.01 5.342 72.21% 0.909 0.9898
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 253 70.36% 42.45 -5.45 69.57% -0.71 -0.5017
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7634 29.71% 50.75 0.636 88.03% 0.109 0.1879
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 177 38.42% 46.12 5.04 79.66% 1.013 0.6907
Shifting Memory of Ages 971 55.61% 43.3 -2.5 75.8% -0.637 -0.3713
Shroud of Silent Mist 840 74.02% 37.25 -5.848 63.45% -0.662 -0.2948
Starlight Seeks its Form 1855 37.74% 46.33 1.461 82.96% 0.353 0.1249
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2962 37.29% 45.4 -0.475 85.45% 0.212 -0.1446
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2944 43.03% 46.67 -1.768 79.89% -0.227 -0.094
Thunderspeaker 5083 46.68% 46.45 -1.62 79.03% -0.25 -0.2214
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 117 45.3% 40.71 1.839 67.52% 0.271 0.5102
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2125 80.28% 41.14 -0.831 74.31% 0.011 0.2017
Vital Strength of the Earth 3315 52.21% 38.27 -4.783 56.62% -0.9 -0.3429
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 214 47.2% 37.92 -5.5 62.62% -0.839 -0.4292
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 235 48.51% 37.46 -4.612 56.17% -0.643 0.0851
Volcano Looming High 1936 53.2% 43.84 -3.28 78.31% -0.425 -0.406
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 272 43.75% 44.96 3.61 80.51% 0.824 0.2297

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 28.57% 38.0 -18.635 71.43% -0.433 -0.5731
Blitz 0 609 44.65% 42.78 -1.874 71.26% -0.346 -0.2355
Dahan Insurrection 4 774 27.52% 66.4 0.723 74.81% -0.359 -0.5938
Despicable Theft 2 32 59.38% 39.63 -13.996 46.88% -0.226 0.4169
Elemental Invocation 1 64 56.25% 40.95 -8.914 62.5% -0.763 0.0392
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2540 13.08% 53.65 3.667 87.28% 0.183 -0.5906
Powers Long Forgotten 1 140 67.86% 42.51 -16.275 59.29% -1.094 -0.3217
Rituals of Terror 3 147 55.1% 51.54 1.643 58.5% -0.087 -0.071
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 90 75.56% 47.59 6.368 53.33% 0.293 1.3502
Second Wave 0 1861 52.18% 45.23 0.168 69.05% -0.259 -0.1789
The Great River 3 57 63.16% 38.12 -14.657 40.35% -0.766 0.3621
Varied Terrains 2 30 63.33% 38.23 -3.727 53.33% -0.596 0.0957
Ward the Shores 2 125 56.0% 49.03 6.32 65.6% 0.286 1.1489

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 57530 48.49% 44.86 -0.206 77.27% -0.097 0.1042
1 Thematic 2045 54.26% 50.96 -0.508 69.54% 0.135 0.8545
2 Archipelago 12 83.33% 50.42 0.0 66.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9200 48.03% 46.17 1.018 81.61% 0.047 0.0543
2 Coastline 1353 40.96% 47.7 0.006 84.7% -0.324 -0.5295
2 Fragment 175 52.87% 45.14 3.669 78.29% 0.404 0.1265
2 Heart 82 45.68% 47.26 -5.748 85.37% -0.539 -0.7598
2 Opposite Shores 1789 46.39% 45.24 -0.245 78.48% -0.352 -0.2952
2 Thematic 608 54.46% 49.85 2.827 70.07% 0.171 0.6232
2 Top to Top 415 43.1% 47.41 1.633 83.61% 0.429 0.3316
3 Archipelago 7 42.86% 36.57 -19.142 42.86% -0.616 -1.4069
3 Coastline 51 23.53% 56.69 5.323 98.04% 0.416 -0.1514
3 Other 126 55.2% 45.75 6.969 80.16% 0.905 0.8762
3 Round (Default) 3537 38.0% 47.75 -2.218 85.02% -0.785 -1.0107
3 Sunrise 15 13.33% 56.47 17.074 86.67% 0.363 -0.6222
3 Thematic 110 58.18% 49.6 6.076 71.82% 0.613 0.8094
4 Archipelago 11 72.73% 47.64 5.455 63.64% -0.333 -1.5191
4 Coastline 4 50.0% 47.25 -5.801 75.0% -0.207 -0.7936
4 Leaf 9 66.67% 47.22 0.0 88.89%
4 Other 62 36.07% 49.21 4.496 82.26% 0.156 -1.2018
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 483 34.44% 52.15 -3.493 75.16% -0.178 -0.3767
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1600 37.67% 48.39 -0.537 85.25% -0.839 -1.0826
5 Archipelago 4 100.0% 70.5 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 54 44.23% 42.04 4.767 64.81% 0.333 -0.7241
5 Thematic 4 25.0% 57.75 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 22 40.91% 45.23 8.278 81.82% 0.869 0.1323
6 Star 11 45.45% 49.27 -2.22 81.82% -0.362 -0.4188
6 Thematic 45 6.67% 50.91 -6.271 64.44% -1.006 -0.2517
6 Two Centers (Default) 43 37.21% 37.44 -1.609 65.12% -0.343 -0.9223

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2825 38.48 -0.992 61.52% -0.464 -0.3043
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2105 41.09 -0.116 65.94% -0.365 -0.4517
All Things Weaken 1508 37.91 -0.971 61.01% -0.355 -0.0127
Attenuated Essence 111 38.72 1.979 67.57% 0.293 0.3672
Back Against the Wall 1984 39.58 0.872 62.15% -0.273 -0.1978
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 116 33.08 -4.816 52.59% -1.024 -0.833
Burn Brightest Before the End 69 37.7 -0.547 59.42% -0.618 -0.4947
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2638 35.46 -3.332 57.66% -0.78 -0.4072
Downward Spiral 6074 37.68 -0.483 62.45% -0.118 0.0187
Erosion of Will 2719 37.21 -2.292 57.82% -0.803 -0.5088
Intensifying Exploitation 130 32.15 -0.539 52.31% -0.296 -0.0575
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 624 48.31 5.183 90.06% 1.011 0.4791
Memory Fades to Dust 6196 36.43 -2.606 57.47% -0.57 -0.2892
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1549 39.66 -0.187 67.46% -0.161 -0.008
Promising Farmlands 2823 36.98 -0.882 60.15% -0.181 0.1657
Shattered Fragments of Power 77 39.29 -0.051 64.94% -0.402 -0.2068
Slow Dissolution of Will 121 30.66 -2.968 44.63% -0.99 -0.5393
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 449 48.23 4.684 91.31% 1.115 0.3742
The Border of Life and Death 44 46.3 4.621 86.36% 0.78 0.3472
Thriving Communities 1402 36.5 -1.412 59.34% -0.199 0.0994
Thriving Crops 62 36.95 0.617 69.35% 0.108 0.0054
Tipping Point 957 35.54 0.0 54.13%
Unnatural Proliferation 1589 39.43 -0.906 64.32% -0.407 -0.2612
Untended Land Crumbles 1466 38.11 -1.507 63.51% -0.55 -0.2509

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 16457 48.32% 44.79 -0.787 76.9% -0.386 0.6081
B 18041 45.99% 45.86 0.597 79.67% -0.15 0.7684
C 18354 47.82% 45.58 0.697 79.0% -0.162 0.5808
D 15658 47.63% 45.28 -0.496 78.25% -0.31 0.6416
E 7429 43.22% 47.1 0.818 83.32% -0.137 0.6437
F 9385 44.69% 46.17 -0.409 81.34% -0.339 0.5535
G 8520 44.92% 46.09 -0.301 81.29% -0.344 0.5112
H 8641 42.98% 46.66 0.33 82.18% -0.338 0.5101
East 2118 49.36% 50.28 -1.913 69.5% -0.148 0.6209
Northeast 1290 47.24% 50.4 -3.464 69.53% -1.117 -0.3301
Northwest 1049 45.32% 50.91 -4.111 73.98% -1.138 -0.1543
Southeast 338 44.97% 48.89 -3.596 71.6% -1.431 -0.5569
Southwest 317 48.58% 43.51 2.426 63.72% 0.219 1.4271
West 1986 48.13% 52.01 -2.329 71.85% -0.817 0.117

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 441 0.0% 45.71 -9.642 73.47% -1.237 -0.6077
Not Using Events or Tokens 9611 53.29% 43.0 -3.085 71.44% -0.299 0.2073
Skip Initial Invader Actions 652 15.83% 59.71 7.491 92.33% 0.363 -0.2724
Start of Game Growth 1238 18.21% 56.82 7.915 90.39% 0.889 0.4999
Unlimited Undo 7883 43.74% 46.72 -0.247 82.13% -0.033 0.0118
Using Tokens but Not Events 7378 38.41% 46.66 -1.261 81.28% -0.167 -0.1945

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9702 17.67 30.51%
II 34191 30.7 77.93%
III 25617 34.75 88.33%
IV 9935 38.22 99.63%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.016 Win Model: 0.503
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 59732 48.72% 45.08 77.0%
2 13582 47.23% 46.42 81.09%
3 3803 38.67% 47.89 84.75%
4 2171 37.03% 49.29 82.82%
5 35 48.57% 34.8 51.43%
6 122 27.87% 44.89 69.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2958
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 22332
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 25912
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9812
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2078
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2721
Lose: Adversary condition 110
Win: Sacrifice victory 317
Lose: Scenario condition 290
Win: Scenario condition 801
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11548
Lose: Spirit destroyed 566

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2914 47.37% 48.18 -4.977 67.09% -0.763 -0.8852
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1736 77.19% 45.56 -3.126 63.13% -0.121 0.1197
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 62 45.16% 53.37 9.042 80.65% 1.514 0.5133
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2441 41.13% 52.73 1.015 78.29% 0.075 -0.1518
Downpour Drenches the World 298 40.97% 39.92 -8.035 54.36% -0.912 -0.5864
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 506 36.96% 49.47 2.437 75.69% 0.538 0.0382
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3043 39.11% 55.84 3.648 83.54% 0.682 0.2216
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1691 45.81% 53.4 1.652 77.65% 0.289 -0.1401
Finder of Paths Unseen 122 59.84% 41.18 -7.821 54.1% -0.929 -0.1065
Fractured Days Split the Sky 441 55.33% 50.18 -0.208 61.45% -0.363 0.2339
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 683 43.63% 52.17 1.093 75.84% 0.025 0.0242
Heart of the Wildfire 2680 72.48% 42.33 -2.986 57.46% -0.25 0.1339
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4062 58.98% 48.91 -0.564 69.69% 0.089 -0.406
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 96 22.92% 53.76 5.877 81.25% 0.841 0.2938
Lightning's Swift Strike 3119 70.47% 43.8 0.257 57.68% 0.353 0.5359
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 149 71.81% 41.03 4.876 54.36% 0.598 0.0606
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 375 55.88% 50.58 -10.072 76.0% -1.084 -1.3747
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 242 48.35% 54.15 -0.031 77.27% -0.31 -0.4576
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1781 51.49% 51.82 -0.609 75.86% -0.029 -0.2802
Many Minds Move as One 657 42.01% 55.99 1.03 86.76% 0.553 0.396
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3506 58.02% 50.0 -0.27 71.28% 0.088 0.0991
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1744 53.7% 48.06 4.139 68.75% 0.765 0.6192
River Surges in Sunlight 4053 64.32% 50.46 0.867 65.75% 0.016 0.0537
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 354 41.81% 52.07 6.68 67.23% 0.516 0.7762
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 244 58.02% 47.64 1.618 64.34% 0.358 0.3072
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1780 55.67% 48.78 -0.088 69.83% 0.036 -0.1383
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1995 82.7% 42.59 -4.408 54.64% -0.374 0.2381
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 29 62.07% 42.45 -12.279 62.07% -0.833 -0.7289
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 67 59.7% 45.76 3.734 70.15% 0.793 0.2113
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 120 35.83% 51.03 -2.931 75.0% -0.624 -0.5774
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 210 78.1% 40.64 3.875 48.1% 0.039 0.1201
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 131 77.86% 45.25 -2.822 62.6% -0.06 0.148
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3612 38.09% 55.81 2.888 79.98% 0.504 0.5831
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 74 45.95% 38.5 -1.536 58.11% -0.072 -0.3948
Shifting Memory of Ages 366 69.95% 41.41 -1.17 52.73% 0.14 0.4052
Shroud of Silent Mist 291 81.38% 39.5 -1.8 52.58% -0.05 0.318
Starlight Seeks its Form 611 42.88% 48.46 -0.497 68.41% -0.24 -0.4676
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2472 35.01% 51.65 -0.011 80.78% 0.007 -0.3495
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1798 49.8% 51.09 4.082 72.53% 0.589 0.7215
Thunderspeaker 2663 57.6% 49.85 -1.997 68.23% -0.179 -0.1496
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 45 40.0% 41.09 -2.846 62.22% -0.399 -0.1596
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1329 87.58% 44.8 -3.124 64.56% -0.259 -0.0684
Vital Strength of the Earth 1885 68.1% 37.82 -5.605 38.36% -0.964 -0.4067
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 164 56.71% 40.01 1.875 45.12% -0.057 0.3531
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 117 60.68% 38.56 8.498 39.32% -0.054 0.6737
Volcano Looming High 920 69.72% 45.88 -2.322 65.76% -0.409 -0.3897
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 83 40.96% 38.49 -0.177 60.24% 0.151 -0.4431

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 0.0% 33.0 0.0 50.0%
Blitz 0 387 71.43% 41.14 -5.802 52.71% -0.497 -0.3861
Dahan Insurrection 4 494 52.83% 67.29 -5.192 60.73% -0.914 -1.1493
Despicable Theft 2 9 44.44% 40.78 0.0 44.44%
Elemental Invocation 1 47 72.34% 26.6 -11.392 17.02% -0.825 -0.0235
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1527 18.06% 60.64 9.63 87.43% 1.676 0.9023
Powers Long Forgotten 1 98 71.43% 45.19 -3.891 50.0% -0.36 0.4127
Rituals of Terror 3 67 64.18% 59.0 -19.257 50.75% -0.702 -0.6855
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 59 91.53% 48.71 0.0 42.37%
Second Wave 0 1061 61.72% 48.01 -2.508 60.04% -0.92 -0.8397
The Great River 3 30 60.0% 38.2 -13.188 20.0% -0.435 0.6931
Varied Terrains 2 4 100.0% 55.75 26.555 50.0% 0.546 1.2379
Ward the Shores 2 63 73.02% 47.76 -1.903 47.62% -0.364 0.4986

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 32690 58.07% 47.24 0.804 66.08% 0.306 0.5072
1 Thematic 1248 64.34% 51.9 -1.34 56.81% 0.027 0.7464
2 Archipelago 8 75.0% 59.63 0.0 75.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5080 55.66% 50.12 -1.081 72.24% -0.061 -0.0536
2 Coastline 743 47.63% 49.92 -5.131 71.6% -0.383 -0.5876
2 Fragment 98 65.98% 46.68 3.122 66.33% 0.383 0.1054
2 Heart 70 67.14% 49.07 3.028 68.57% 0.045 -0.1753
2 Opposite Shores 1200 56.59% 50.21 -3.431 72.33% -0.783 -0.7258
2 Thematic 342 66.57% 52.28 -5.808 54.68% -0.418 0.0342
2 Top to Top 157 62.18% 48.73 2.832 70.06% 0.266 0.168
3 Archipelago 4 50.0% 84.75 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 11 27.27% 60.55 -13.188 90.91% -0.435 -1.0025
3 Other 43 72.09% 52.21 3.951 72.09% 0.043 0.0144
3 Round (Default) 1480 52.31% 51.3 2.356 74.73% 0.252 0.026
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Thematic 67 49.25% 58.33 -1.717 70.15% 0.134 0.3306
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 69.0 15.071 100.0% 0.304 -0.8813
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 64.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 14 57.14% 49.71 0.0 71.43%
4 Thematic 186 33.33% 63.74 -1.068 80.65% 0.006 -0.1925
4 Trapezoid (Default) 640 49.12% 50.57 0.464 73.28% -0.108 -0.3512
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 11 45.45% 57.64 12.369 72.73% 0.522 -0.5345
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 107.33 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 69.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 5 20.0% 17.4 -3.275 20.0% 0.037 -0.6999
6 Star 1 0.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 29 24.14% 64.34 -4.878 79.31% -0.231 0.5235
6 Two Centers (Default) 7 0.0% 44.29 3.299 71.43% 0.023 -0.5565
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -18.816 0.0% -0.467 -0.8787

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1760 41.22 -0.967 50.57% -0.409 -0.2488
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1245 45.18 2.552 58.47% 0.113 0.0265
All Things Weaken 954 39.89 -2.256 48.85% -0.539 -0.1969
Attenuated Essence 80 37.83 2.293 47.5% 0.085 0.1588
Back Against the Wall 1246 43.68 -1.092 55.06% -0.594 -0.519
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 67 31.25 -7.188 37.31% -1.364 -1.1734
Burn Brightest Before the End 65 39.03 3.928 50.77% 0.413 0.5371
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1619 38.05 -3.661 47.0% -0.854 -0.4812
Downward Spiral 4907 39.65 -0.48 49.95% -0.202 -0.0648
Erosion of Will 1645 39.3 -2.745 46.14% -0.884 -0.5894
Intensifying Exploitation 95 34.79 1.16 46.32% 0.085 0.3238
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 331 53.5 4.275 85.5% 0.761 0.2289
Memory Fades to Dust 4776 39.18 -0.884 47.38% -0.445 -0.1644
Power Corrodes the Spirit 923 41.12 1.283 53.63% -0.051 0.1024
Promising Farmlands 1686 38.11 -3.542 45.14% -1.083 -0.7367
Shattered Fragments of Power 54 39.33 1.224 50.0% -0.221 -0.0262
Slow Dissolution of Will 67 28.0 -5.054 26.87% -1.085 -0.6338
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 195 53.64 3.759 86.15% 0.602 -0.138
The Border of Life and Death 14 55.79 10.353 92.86% 0.709 0.2763
Thriving Communities 924 40.12 -1.443 51.84% -0.483 -0.1845
Thriving Crops 32 48.59 2.683 78.13% 0.475 0.3729
Tipping Point 639 38.12 0.0 42.72%
Unnatural Proliferation 977 43.28 -1.244 55.68% -0.641 -0.4953
Untended Land Crumbles 915 40.54 -1.857 52.57% -0.504 -0.2048

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8251 61.01% 46.04 -1.885 62.83% -0.4 0.5938
B 10120 54.25% 49.77 0.048 70.61% -0.057 0.8612
C 9721 62.97% 46.89 0.245 65.29% -0.033 0.7095
D 7698 62.19% 46.74 -0.311 64.72% -0.056 0.896
E 3246 55.59% 49.62 0.843 72.27% 0.143 0.9237
F 5989 46.54% 50.62 0.363 74.79% -0.042 0.8503
G 4919 50.43% 50.48 0.69 73.53% -0.066 0.7892
H 5042 49.18% 50.8 0.811 73.9% -0.177 0.6716
East 1181 58.73% 55.12 -4.042 61.64% -0.29 0.4797
Northeast 667 57.66% 55.31 -0.766 63.27% -0.141 0.6467
Northwest 546 51.74% 56.08 2.699 63.0% 0.182 1.1655
Southeast 174 50.57% 52.98 -1.498 64.94% -0.066 0.8081
Southwest 163 54.6% 48.17 -12.09 57.06% -1.177 0.0304
West 1033 57.07% 54.53 -0.8 59.54% -0.275 0.6591

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 215 0.0% 43.68 14.229 57.67% 0.323 0.9523
Not Using Events or Tokens 7000 70.74% 43.17 -3.183 56.36% -0.186 0.3203
Skip Initial Invader Actions 347 24.15% 61.67 10.422 83.29% 1.411 0.7764
Start of Game Growth 710 21.92% 64.31 5.846 88.03% 0.109 -0.2803
Unlimited Undo 7497 35.07% 56.21 4.85 84.18% 0.798 0.8421
Using Tokens but Not Events 7870 28.81% 55.92 4.708 83.95% 0.73 0.7029

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6633 17.67 20.74%
II 19389 30.7 65.63%
III 13312 34.75 81.01%
IV 4825 38.22 99.44%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.031 Win Model: 0.225
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 34020 58.32% 47.41 65.69%
2 7661 55.85% 50.18 71.54%
3 1589 52.56% 51.65 74.45%
4 838 44.61% 53.87 75.78%
5 6 33.33% 52.83 66.67%
6 45 17.78% 55.2 73.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1376
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10609
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 12395
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4749
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1413
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2695
Lose: Adversary condition 67
Win: Sacrifice victory 155
Lose: Scenario condition 180
Win: Scenario condition 399
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9617
Lose: Spirit destroyed 504

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6593 64.84% 44.41 -2.346 48.02% 0.052 -0.0703
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5942 84.66% 43.22 -3.387 49.07% -0.172 0.0685
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 375 61.33% 48.52 8.925 66.93% 1.419 0.4176
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3086 78.1% 40.61 -3.26 43.65% -0.513 -0.7396
Downpour Drenches the World 906 54.76% 37.22 -3.131 41.61% -0.361 -0.0359
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1824 53.03% 43.6 4.437 59.1% 0.782 0.2823
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7945 57.58% 52.13 2.056 66.75% 0.557 0.0959
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3286 75.13% 45.07 -0.441 52.8% 0.015 -0.4139
Finder of Paths Unseen 425 70.52% 32.04 -5.698 33.65% -0.831 -0.0084
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1559 64.96% 50.97 -2.767 57.02% -0.018 0.5792
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1734 72.88% 45.21 0.056 54.21% 0.173 0.1724
Heart of the Wildfire 7288 90.18% 33.06 -5.197 30.8% -0.943 -0.5583
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10010 72.71% 44.12 -1.474 52.72% 0.074 -0.4211
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 246 56.5% 37.51 2.725 48.78% 0.514 -0.0333
Lightning's Swift Strike 7299 74.1% 41.79 -4.008 45.72% -0.367 -0.1846
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 699 74.32% 44.29 -0.533 54.51% 0.195 -0.3419
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1290 79.63% 47.65 4.387 61.09% 0.706 0.4146
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 893 66.52% 49.16 1.055 62.26% 0.428 0.2795
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4804 70.76% 45.7 0.836 55.81% 0.251 0.0
Many Minds Move as One 2054 59.83% 54.19 4.521 74.29% 0.813 0.6563
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 27561 55.41% 56.93 4.219 79.91% 1.017 1.0272
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3278 78.24% 41.49 -1.243 45.49% -0.246 -0.3918
River Surges in Sunlight 10818 75.78% 47.06 -0.825 51.03% 0.193 0.2308
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 490 79.54% 39.76 -3.876 32.86% -1.512 -1.2518
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 789 71.17% 41.61 0.423 45.75% -0.056 -0.1069
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5646 64.81% 45.43 -1.583 53.26% 0.132 -0.0421
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3549 74.45% 39.07 -5.979 40.55% -1.049 -0.4372
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 82 85.37% 38.23 -1.706 42.68% -0.101 0.003
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 268 61.57% 43.99 6.296 60.82% 1.086 0.5043
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 183 65.57% 31.34 -2.174 35.52% -0.24 -0.1934
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 439 82.88% 41.79 3.128 46.01% 0.194 0.2748
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 402 90.55% 40.39 -8.615 44.53% -0.391 -0.1827
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6222 65.85% 45.03 -5.098 53.89% -0.482 -0.4024
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 253 64.03% 33.16 2.938 41.11% 0.405 0.0823
Shifting Memory of Ages 937 81.95% 38.52 -1.394 35.97% 0.115 0.3802
Shroud of Silent Mist 962 89.8% 33.46 -8.311 32.95% -1.143 -0.7755
Starlight Seeks its Form 2948 73.11% 40.98 -0.585 44.13% 0.104 -0.124
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4959 64.75% 45.07 -0.527 52.21% -0.162 -0.5182
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3108 75.16% 44.9 1.759 51.54% 0.277 0.4101
Thunderspeaker 8162 74.92% 47.84 -0.403 46.85% 0.427 0.4562
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 246 66.26% 38.54 4.902 49.19% 0.855 1.095
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4050 91.31% 44.23 2.578 56.86% 0.691 0.8819
Vital Strength of the Earth 3829 81.8% 33.1 -5.878 22.75% -1.54 -0.9826
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 237 73.0% 34.12 -2.694 32.07% -0.472 -0.0624
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 407 82.27% 30.12 -9.043 19.9% -1.539 -0.8113
Volcano Looming High 3246 77.26% 42.39 -0.911 51.48% 0.019 0.0386
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 347 66.28% 37.55 2.875 49.86% 0.633 0.0396

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 71.43% 45.57 -14.921 57.14% -0.23 -0.3701
Blitz 0 900 59.28% 45.05 5.767 53.67% 0.622 0.7324
Dahan Insurrection 4 2910 76.86% 57.87 1.426 37.04% -0.125 -0.3606
Despicable Theft 2 24 66.67% 36.17 15.963 25.0% 0.113 0.7564
Elemental Invocation 1 66 77.27% 35.23 3.77 21.21% -0.217 0.5851
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 4104 37.06% 55.81 10.128 69.01% 1.39 0.6159
Powers Long Forgotten 1 126 87.9% 36.33 -7.325 23.02% -0.25 0.5223
Rituals of Terror 3 303 63.37% 71.74 10.609 41.25% 0.418 0.4341
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 36 66.67% 36.78 -14.642 22.22% -0.781 0.2756
Second Wave 0 850 69.85% 44.04 4.503 45.18% 0.305 0.3851
The Great River 3 45 77.78% 36.47 -9.329 17.78% -0.749 0.3791
Varied Terrains 2 15 60.0% 38.67 -1.932 26.67% 0.082 0.7744
Ward the Shores 2 80 86.25% 38.85 -15.384 28.75% -0.614 0.2492

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 103702 71.68% 44.75 -0.641 54.08% -0.401 -0.1999
1 Thematic 4379 78.18% 52.59 -0.269 38.16% -1.021 -0.3017
2 Archipelago 56 43.64% 36.38 10.243 25.0% 0.416 0.6709
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10896 63.99% 48.14 1.29 60.82% 0.012 0.0193
2 Coastline 1730 68.41% 47.74 0.327 59.94% -0.095 -0.3004
2 Fragment 206 78.16% 40.19 2.816 47.57% -0.032 -0.3097
2 Heart 116 71.55% 44.35 10.223 52.59% 0.864 0.644
2 Opposite Shores 2883 73.18% 45.79 1.702 50.99% -0.536 -0.4794
2 Thematic 1030 79.24% 50.42 -8.041 35.34% -1.495 -1.0434
2 Top to Top 432 78.27% 44.95 1.975 52.08% -0.214 -0.3117
3 Archipelago 5 20.0% 55.8 -2.767 40.0% -0.229 -1.0204
3 Coastline 45 64.44% 45.53 16.376 51.11% 1.388 0.8209
3 Other 94 77.66% 44.04 3.508 48.94% -0.316 -0.3447
3 Round (Default) 2902 71.25% 46.26 -0.336 56.62% -0.258 -0.484
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 50.29 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 115 62.61% 69.03 22.185 48.7% 0.839 1.0352
4 Archipelago 3 66.67% 60.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Coastline 11 45.45% 56.55 0.0 72.73%
4 Leaf 7 57.14% 38.0 -17.119 42.86% -0.292 -0.9908
4 Other 39 71.79% 48.49 4.07 61.54% 0.531 -0.8259
4 Snake 2 100.0% 26.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 371 61.08% 69.24 16.571 57.14% 0.682 0.4838
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1903 60.32% 47.24 -5.319 58.49% -0.986 -1.2294
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 32.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 20 10.0% 55.1 -16.893 80.0% -0.534 -0.3404
5 Other 36 61.11% 57.81 10.353 72.22% 0.62 -0.4368
5 Thematic 5 100.0% 54.0 0.0 20.0%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 5 0.0% 68.4 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 9 55.56% 39.33 0.0 55.56%
6 Star 10 60.0% 50.1 0.0 70.0%
6 Thematic 15 66.67% 48.53 -7.378 53.33% -0.255 0.4989
6 Two Centers (Default) 22 54.55% 40.95 -6.426 54.55% -0.275 -0.8548
7 Other 2 50.0% 40.5 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 7557 41.6 2.535 45.11% -0.065 0.0945
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6029 47.22 4.964 56.41% 0.313 0.2262
All Things Weaken 3809 39.48 0.762 41.4% -0.292 0.0501
Attenuated Essence 382 35.69 2.016 40.84% 0.026 0.0996
Back Against the Wall 5004 42.79 3.314 46.02% -0.028 0.0471
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 376 33.92 0.987 35.9% -0.228 -0.0366
Burn Brightest Before the End 240 37.3 1.625 37.5% -0.432 -0.3082
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6901 38.54 0.595 42.11% -0.308 0.0645
Downward Spiral 13998 39.89 0.766 40.34% 0.194 0.3312
Erosion of Will 7293 39.94 -0.12 41.78% -0.467 -0.1721
Intensifying Exploitation 390 30.81 0.157 32.05% -0.424 -0.1855
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1016 53.58 5.126 73.92% 0.684 0.1515
Memory Fades to Dust 13897 39.21 0.393 37.46% 0.008 0.2889
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3703 39.03 0.725 41.56% -0.299 -0.1455
Promising Farmlands 6897 39.44 2.381 42.05% -0.105 0.2412
Shattered Fragments of Power 276 38.15 3.811 40.94% -0.068 0.127
Slow Dissolution of Will 386 33.44 0.373 32.64% -0.413 0.0383
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 586 54.91 4.975 79.18% 0.763 0.0228
The Border of Life and Death 71 37.48 4.193 53.52% 0.617 0.1837
Thriving Communities 3607 37.36 -1.511 38.26% -0.554 -0.2558
Thriving Crops 114 38.4 1.509 55.26% 0.173 0.0702
Tipping Point 2485 38.06 0.0 37.42%
Unnatural Proliferation 4036 41.63 2.865 44.08% 0.077 0.2226
Untended Land Crumbles 3675 38.3 0.59 39.81% -0.283 0.0161

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 22964 73.23% 42.89 -1.609 49.15% -0.566 0.4285
B 27585 69.34% 45.66 -0.253 55.28% -0.284 0.6341
C 27107 71.46% 44.35 -0.583 52.79% -0.275 0.4673
D 25064 70.28% 45.98 -0.338 56.27% -0.268 0.6838
E 10915 70.37% 45.08 1.454 55.65% -0.154 0.6267
F 14211 67.92% 46.95 0.019 58.86% -0.304 0.5882
G 13551 67.73% 48.05 0.181 61.07% -0.335 0.5204
H 12776 65.86% 47.59 0.577 59.82% -0.34 0.5079
East 4317 77.17% 55.45 5.86 39.22% 0.555 1.3241
Northeast 2219 73.0% 57.93 2.316 44.7% -0.142 0.6455
Northwest 1220 69.71% 57.81 4.073 45.82% 0.294 1.2774
Southeast 323 85.45% 40.84 -4.391 25.7% -0.333 0.5417
Southwest 252 79.2% 33.56 -2.96 23.02% -0.343 0.8648
West 2349 74.09% 52.71 2.227 38.48% -0.33 0.6042

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 695 0.0% 38.86 -2.352 39.28% -0.252 0.3771
Not Using Events or Tokens 13696 83.03% 39.87 -6.954 35.21% -1.378 -0.8717
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2501 18.18% 64.89 9.516 85.17% 0.91 0.2751
Start of Game Growth 4654 21.94% 61.73 10.047 83.18% 1.421 1.0314
Unlimited Undo 11258 64.34% 48.86 -0.049 62.54% 0.192 0.2368
Using Tokens but Not Events 8983 57.09% 46.57 -1.564 55.92% -0.47 -0.4971

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 24728 17.67 5.18%
II 50532 30.7 47.3%
III 44469 34.75 77.29%
IV 11400 38.22 99.59%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.261 Win Model: -0.01
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 108603 71.93% 45.1 53.41%
2 17028 67.3% 47.7 57.34%
3 3137 70.18% 47.91 56.33%
4 2260 61.73% 48.46 57.7%
5 40 35.0% 50.33 65.0%
6 61 52.46% 47.87 65.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1279
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 33758
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 22442
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 11221
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6047
Lose: Invader deck ran out 10123
Lose: Adversary condition 444
Win: Sacrifice victory 711
Lose: Scenario condition 880
Win: Scenario condition 1500
Lose: Blight pool ran out 40070
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2654

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-01-31 03:48:31 (Pacific Time)