The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 11700 25.07% 22.86 0.351 78.0% 0.271 -0.1473
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 339 18.29% 23.34 1.469 70.21% 0.293 -0.3627
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 49 28.57% 17.76 -4.578 51.02% -1.192 -1.35
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 266 14.72% 25.81 1.837 77.44% 0.16 -0.7003
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7545 43.61% 23.04 -0.097 78.1% 0.088 0.2262
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 452 15.71% 27.28 3.286 76.11% 0.338 -0.692
Dances Up Earthquakes 341 25.96% 20.39 -2.933 61.58% -0.785 -0.8207
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5585 25.4% 24.53 0.476 83.46% 0.085 -0.2697
Downpour Drenches the World 1193 22.56% 18.46 -2.874 59.35% -0.751 -0.6271
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1362 18.42% 22.98 0.702 70.78% 0.373 -0.1981
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7219 15.79% 28.25 3.064 88.46% 0.846 0.2004
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5388 19.82% 26.36 -0.504 86.95% 0.008 -0.4857
Finder of Paths Unseen 737 30.38% 13.93 -4.582 45.59% -0.836 -0.2479
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1560 25.47% 21.57 1.474 62.12% 0.02 0.4664
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1629 34.68% 21.67 -2.585 66.3% -0.701 -0.8864
Heart of the Wildfire 6665 55.71% 20.09 -2.32 69.08% -0.36 -0.2174
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8693 27.23% 25.58 2.191 85.41% 0.692 0.0181
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 470 14.47% 22.39 4.788 65.32% 1.365 0.8374
Lightning's Swift Strike 13304 42.34% 21.12 0.652 71.41% 0.449 0.4818
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 461 30.35% 23.3 1.145 67.9% 0.108 -0.544
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1130 22.55% 22.6 1.562 71.42% 0.258 -0.2371
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1060 22.6% 21.95 1.148 66.98% 0.137 -0.1021
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4039 23.95% 25.27 1.637 80.12% 0.363 -0.0625
Many Minds Move as One 2443 19.93% 24.61 -0.579 78.76% -0.235 -0.7437
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 10950 38.95% 22.89 -1.192 77.11% -0.285 -0.5541
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 483 43.06% 18.9 -0.17 67.08% 0.303 0.1888
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4939 29.77% 23.47 0.534 81.13% 0.393 0.0989
River Surges in Sunlight 14507 38.43% 23.28 -1.404 71.19% -0.262 -0.4329
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 205 26.11% 18.8 -4.92 56.1% -1.005 -1.1159
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1154 37.02% 23.99 2.347 70.88% 0.16 0.0951
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 602 31.32% 23.44 1.279 65.12% 0.165 0.0346
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5615 28.34% 24.06 0.951 82.05% 0.384 0.1193
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 127 29.92% 24.86 17.027 66.14% 1.619 1.1881
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 7822 53.11% 20.54 -1.404 68.08% -0.278 0.1507
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 208 34.95% 19.98 2.047 61.06% 0.343 0.3468
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 331 23.03% 24.84 -0.038 75.23% -0.052 -0.8048
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 210 28.71% 19.62 1.92 62.38% 0.179 -0.1397
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 707 33.0% 25.22 -3.208 82.74% -0.067 -0.246
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 551 42.08% 23.29 3.492 74.95% 0.367 0.324
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6260 27.74% 25.18 0.703 82.56% 0.14 -0.226
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 55 21.82% 26.51 0.258 76.36% 0.108 -0.4331
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 460 16.16% 20.85 1.113 64.35% 0.236 -0.0081
Shifting Memory of Ages 1484 32.72% 18.92 -2.545 60.85% -0.64 -0.3461
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 216 17.21% 20.9 -1.598 58.33% -0.544 -0.7074
Shroud of Silent Mist 1847 38.17% 20.82 -0.518 70.01% -0.178 0.0043
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 56 44.64% 25.0 1.424 75.0% 0.581 0.1713
Starlight Seeks its Form 2476 20.11% 21.42 1.945 65.67% 0.349 0.107
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3182 26.23% 22.04 -2.308 79.13% -0.322 -1.2744
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4121 30.77% 23.09 -1.026 77.29% -0.129 -0.0862
Thunderspeaker 10526 29.89% 23.54 0.635 76.2% 0.31 0.1149
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 351 29.71% 17.93 -1.946 52.14% -0.392 -0.5604
Towering Roots of the Jungle 494 26.02% 19.1 -1.806 61.13% -0.178 -0.2887
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2131 55.56% 19.5 -0.905 70.81% -0.451 -0.6022
Vital Strength of the Earth 9928 31.7% 19.36 -1.89 66.54% -0.473 -0.1144
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 408 29.53% 18.42 -4.441 55.88% -0.603 -0.3596
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 608 29.04% 18.68 -1.769 61.84% -0.507 0.1744
Volcano Looming High 2454 35.23% 21.67 -0.748 71.92% -0.113 -0.4372
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 804 17.35% 24.35 1.81 74.13% 0.33 -0.1878

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 64 21.88% 22.94 -8.545 64.06% -0.735 -0.3654
Blitz 0 1620 34.35% 19.19 -1.515 62.22% -0.275 0.1563
Dahan Insurrection 4 1780 19.64% 41.91 7.307 72.47% 0.222 0.1963
Despicable Theft 2 340 29.41% 23.87 -3.807 55.88% -1.07 -0.4101
Elemental Invocation 1 454 32.38% 21.17 -1.742 57.27% -0.305 0.1428
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2709 8.55% 28.82 1.971 79.7% 0.279 -0.32
Powers Long Forgotten 1 693 44.94% 22.95 -4.195 60.17% -0.896 -0.2882
Rituals of Terror 3 800 40.03% 29.87 -0.974 60.0% -0.651 -0.526
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 467 56.96% 26.65 -8.229 54.6% -1.353 -0.6148
Second Wave 0 1492 49.53% 25.4 1.446 69.64% -0.307 -0.201
The Great River 3 300 39.33% 22.8 -6.118 41.33% -0.932 0.2425
Varied Terrains 2 297 39.39% 16.74 -6.844 36.36% -1.115 -0.3781
Ward the Shores 2 768 37.21% 25.3 3.273 58.85% -0.586 0.0965

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 84577 37.38% 22.11 -0.199 74.06% 0.087 0.3116
1 Thematic 6449 37.65% 28.42 0.622 69.48% -0.308 0.2421
2 Archipelago 54 48.15% 32.41 0.0 64.81%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 17926 32.22% 22.3 -0.098 76.47% 0.099 0.2102
2 Coastline 1993 32.94% 22.91 1.608 77.92% 0.545 0.4555
2 Fragment 467 36.36% 21.51 -2.511 74.52% -0.396 -0.735
2 Heart 272 40.3% 20.85 1.942 73.53% 0.363 0.0357
2 Opposite Shores 2775 30.04% 23.54 1.505 82.27% 0.925 0.9618
2 Thematic 1614 34.81% 28.47 2.414 68.46% 0.1 0.6283
2 Top to Top 529 31.37% 23.14 -1.69 82.8% -0.125 -0.332
3 Archipelago 30 40.0% 32.73 0.0 80.0%
3 Coastline 56 33.33% 23.64 15.793 60.71% 0.486 -0.0353
3 Other 350 24.21% 15.29 -4.564 52.0% -1.136 -1.8782
3 Round (Default) 5721 25.36% 24.82 0.926 83.88% 0.021 -0.0749
3 Sunrise 30 44.83% 25.63 0.0 80.0%
3 Thematic 318 36.59% 28.69 -2.88 67.61% -0.661 -0.4188
4 Archipelago 28 28.57% 29.79 6.226 71.43% 0.463 0.5435
4 Coastline 14 7.14% 44.21 0.0 85.71%
4 Leaf 16 56.25% 15.44 0.0 56.25%
4 Other 113 29.09% 18.06 4.549 61.95% 0.428 -0.119
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 26.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 0.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 483 23.6% 33.16 -4.057 84.89% -0.455 0.0186
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3182 18.17% 21.31 -3.255 71.84% -1.412 -1.6011
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 188 17.02% 21.78 1.197 64.89% -0.003 -0.3294
5 Thematic 19 21.05% 27.84 7.993 63.16% 0.15 -0.3406
6 Archipelago 11 9.09% 26.0 8.742 72.73% 0.41 -0.5149
6 Coastline 3 0.0% 28.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 35 5.88% 19.09 -3.415 57.14% -0.511 -0.2419
6 Star 36 2.78% 26.42 0.0 88.89%
6 Thematic 102 16.67% 23.56 3.006 58.82% 0.186 0.7664
6 Two Centers (Default) 213 14.62% 18.37 2.713 57.75% 0.118 0.0945
7 Other 16 0.0% 0.0 -4.813 0.0% -0.24 -0.4959

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2468 18.59 1.065 59.12% 0.3 0.611
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2112 20.07 -1.336 62.59% -0.53 -0.5173
All Things Weaken 1295 18.86 -2.734 58.07% -0.658 -0.1845
Attenuated Essence 233 17.67 -4.018 57.08% -0.957 -0.8108
Back Against the Wall 2018 19.67 0.984 61.4% -0.004 0.1259
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 218 17.11 0.928 53.21% 0.159 0.4794
Burn Brightest Before the End 189 20.5 -0.311 56.61% 0.099 0.2762
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2332 16.24 -0.734 57.2% 0.206 0.5867
Downward Spiral 10388 15.92 -1.556 57.4% -0.248 -0.0551
Erosion of Will 2409 18.12 2.782 57.66% 0.08 0.4175
Intensifying Exploitation 250 16.38 2.171 56.4% 0.109 0.4618
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 579 24.06 -0.206 87.05% 0.564 0.2005
Memory Fades to Dust 10268 15.91 0.012 54.91% -0.004 0.3257
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1295 18.32 -2.872 61.7% -0.772 -0.5049
Promising Farmlands 2412 17.26 -1.099 59.74% -0.708 -0.2607
Shattered Fragments of Power 197 20.14 3.827 56.85% 0.892 0.8918
Slow Dissolution of Will 258 17.55 -0.429 51.55% -0.139 0.2723
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 352 24.69 0.785 89.2% 0.825 0.2664
The Border of Life and Death 70 19.09 7.478 65.71% 0.441 0.1963
Thriving Communities 1221 17.37 0.6 57.9% -0.331 -0.0536
Thriving Crops 125 21.39 -0.191 74.4% 0.245 0.15
Tipping Point 790 17.91 0.0 63.04%
Unnatural Proliferation 1291 19.66 -1.631 61.43% -0.416 -0.2113
Untended Land Crumbles 1287 17.55 -2.632 56.49% -0.623 -0.3236

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 29837 35.32% 21.81 0.14 74.03% -0.206 0.7854
B 30064 34.06% 22.07 -0.58 74.75% -0.43 0.435
C 30757 32.75% 22.43 0.415 75.72% -0.088 0.6637
D 28621 34.18% 22.12 -0.681 74.99% -0.455 0.4899
E 10378 27.98% 22.54 -0.059 73.51% -0.345 0.4099
F 13598 29.17% 23.04 0.123 77.29% -0.388 0.4867
G 12327 30.94% 23.09 -0.114 77.87% -0.359 0.5032
H 12425 29.07% 23.3 -0.272 77.84% -0.392 0.4147
East 5638 34.44% 29.55 1.118 70.77% -0.135 0.6106
Northeast 3348 33.91% 30.25 0.446 73.06% -0.342 0.5509
Northwest 2402 33.15% 29.61 2.414 73.11% 0.244 0.987
Southeast 869 27.48% 24.76 -1.637 62.95% -0.483 0.5258
Southwest 824 32.93% 20.45 -3.475 57.52% -0.928 0.2289
West 4691 36.53% 28.1 0.69 68.64% -0.401 0.5816

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2456 0.0% 19.03 0.36 62.13% 0.333 1.0528
Not Using Events or Tokens 33951 43.69% 19.72 -1.656 66.9% -0.621 -0.1461
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1772 11.16% 31.42 2.8 86.17% 1.087 0.2816
Start of Game Growth 2821 14.36% 29.72 -1.904 83.84% -1.147 -1.7141
Unlimited Undo 7822 28.97% 24.03 -0.288 79.17% 0.016 0.0433
Using Tokens but Not Events 11059 27.91% 23.32 0.923 78.57% 0.451 0.4238

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 19436 12.25 15.0%
II 36523 29.91 72.66%
III 50216 34.94 88.69%
IV 21609 38.9 98.92%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.051 Win Model: 0.483
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 91883 37.36% 22.49 73.44%
2 25103 32.39% 23.09 77.72%
3 6395 26.04% 24.59 81.7%
4 3804 19.11% 22.87 73.34%
5 182 15.38% 20.53 62.64%
6 417 13.04% 20.17 59.47%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2909
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 43561
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 25135
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 21177
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 14327
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1453
Lose: Adversary condition 551
Win: Sacrifice victory 465
Lose: Scenario condition 706
Win: Scenario condition 2119
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14504
Lose: Spirit destroyed 877

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8772 26.64% 27.92 -0.212 80.18% 0.05 -0.3682
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 376 20.05% 27.74 -0.664 71.54% 0.556 -0.1004
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 95 27.59% 21.11 -1.982 60.0% -0.648 -0.8059
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 514 20.71% 29.71 2.497 80.74% 0.331 -0.529
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5948 47.19% 26.6 -0.642 75.96% -0.129 0.0086
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 489 24.09% 32.98 5.634 83.64% 0.37 -0.6593
Dances Up Earthquakes 499 31.47% 21.69 -0.742 62.12% -0.206 -0.2425
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4694 27.8% 29.42 2.205 85.26% 0.43 0.0759
Downpour Drenches the World 1458 25.35% 22.93 0.359 67.15% 0.131 0.2549
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1521 20.59% 27.6 1.907 77.65% 0.5 -0.0706
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6189 19.59% 32.14 2.766 87.67% 0.354 -0.2925
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4549 25.02% 32.71 2.353 88.06% 0.54 0.0462
Finder of Paths Unseen 837 38.23% 19.16 -4.032 51.97% -0.949 -0.3605
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1688 29.91% 26.19 -3.584 66.82% -0.733 -0.2865
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2094 38.42% 28.57 0.292 76.89% -0.107 -0.292
Heart of the Wildfire 5414 62.6% 23.15 -1.083 66.96% -0.329 -0.1857
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8021 34.46% 29.01 0.239 82.6% 0.055 -0.6198
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 450 26.17% 28.58 1.39 74.89% 0.483 -0.0446
Lightning's Swift Strike 9164 45.04% 25.15 -1.714 71.67% -0.352 -0.3193
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 524 33.59% 28.89 1.557 75.57% -0.0 -0.6524
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 849 33.89% 31.28 4.729 85.39% 0.926 0.4308
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 854 30.63% 31.01 -0.542 73.65% -0.118 -0.357
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3591 35.37% 29.32 2.159 80.23% 0.602 0.1757
Many Minds Move as One 2385 21.81% 29.56 1.629 82.6% 0.342 -0.1668
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9091 36.45% 29.4 3.296 82.36% 0.439 0.1695
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 726 44.81% 22.12 -2.618 66.25% -0.717 -0.8307
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4352 31.9% 27.81 3.471 82.19% 0.49 0.1957
River Surges in Sunlight 10511 42.2% 27.7 -0.252 73.36% -0.141 -0.3119
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 255 38.89% 23.64 -2.457 62.35% -0.505 -0.6158
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1157 39.69% 27.94 0.81 71.56% -0.542 -0.607
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 826 38.86% 29.34 2.505 69.25% -0.657 -0.7876
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4534 33.56% 28.7 0.076 80.77% 0.118 -0.1462
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 276 19.0% 25.45 1.694 66.3% 0.105 -0.3254
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 5644 59.78% 23.37 -2.992 65.57% -0.654 -0.2258
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 216 44.98% 26.21 -3.232 70.83% -0.62 -0.6161
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 690 33.05% 27.25 5.967 73.04% 0.532 -0.2207
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 207 40.78% 27.01 5.031 69.57% 0.357 0.0379
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 699 39.4% 29.03 3.243 79.97% 0.434 0.2554
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 428 48.82% 27.07 4.788 75.0% 1.017 0.9746
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5575 30.91% 29.1 -0.516 80.95% -0.377 -0.7428
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 84 20.24% 28.61 3.445 82.14% 0.773 0.2318
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 550 25.5% 25.75 2.159 69.82% -0.096 -0.3401
Shifting Memory of Ages 2047 38.49% 24.09 -2.019 69.17% -0.183 0.111
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 348 31.1% 25.3 2.961 62.93% -0.045 -0.208
Shroud of Silent Mist 1879 44.99% 24.13 -2.234 71.85% -0.287 -0.1045
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 78 30.77% 27.1 -0.69 78.21% 0.094 -0.3158
Starlight Seeks its Form 2305 27.17% 26.37 -0.67 74.92% -0.149 -0.3908
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3021 30.32% 26.84 -0.393 80.27% -0.202 -1.1538
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3997 33.72% 26.94 2.467 76.91% 0.598 0.6404
Thunderspeaker 8304 34.41% 27.9 -1.507 77.13% -0.247 -0.4426
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 362 30.19% 22.34 -1.076 59.12% -0.322 -0.49
Towering Roots of the Jungle 845 31.64% 22.89 -0.534 65.56% -0.064 -0.1753
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2236 59.8% 23.9 0.841 72.54% 0.119 -0.0316
Vital Strength of the Earth 7216 34.64% 23.3 -2.462 68.39% -0.474 -0.1159
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 459 31.37% 21.67 -1.883 61.44% -0.614 -0.3711
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 598 34.8% 22.59 -2.011 65.22% -0.731 -0.0494
Volcano Looming High 2627 43.53% 24.16 -0.449 71.68% -0.201 -0.5255
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1215 24.85% 29.1 3.402 78.27% 0.879 0.3617

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 64 35.94% 25.22 0.0 64.06%
Blitz 0 1442 34.65% 22.18 -5.525 60.89% -1.17 -0.7387
Dahan Insurrection 4 1378 26.97% 44.6 10.321 67.92% -0.659 -0.6846
Despicable Theft 2 282 35.46% 26.76 0.442 57.09% -0.601 0.0581
Elemental Invocation 1 486 35.26% 22.22 -6.119 57.0% -1.041 -0.5932
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2931 10.96% 35.51 2.771 77.48% -0.236 -0.8353
Powers Long Forgotten 1 754 45.89% 24.92 -3.409 57.16% -0.646 -0.0376
Rituals of Terror 3 682 42.27% 30.98 -2.188 56.89% -0.737 -0.6129
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 460 59.57% 29.31 3.91 54.57% -0.163 0.5757
Second Wave 0 5541 39.43% 30.35 2.642 76.72% 0.153 0.2593
The Great River 3 285 38.95% 26.33 -7.944 48.07% -0.681 0.4933
Varied Terrains 2 249 48.19% 22.32 3.347 45.38% -0.073 0.6634
Ward the Shores 2 633 44.46% 28.96 5.55 58.61% 0.07 0.7525

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 69949 39.61% 25.3 -0.955 73.08% -0.14 0.0848
1 Thematic 5299 41.0% 31.6 -0.424 66.9% -0.396 0.1539
2 Archipelago 61 50.0% 30.69 3.934 67.21% 0.336 -0.0173
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 14266 35.74% 27.12 1.069 79.46% 0.577 0.6881
2 Coastline 1897 32.65% 27.91 -1.202 80.71% -0.04 -0.1288
2 Fragment 470 41.68% 26.49 9.307 76.6% 0.659 0.3204
2 Heart 260 44.92% 26.91 -10.389 75.0% -0.487 -0.8138
2 Opposite Shores 3386 32.76% 27.96 0.706 83.05% 0.361 0.3975
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 1913 38.16% 30.35 -2.29 69.0% -0.506 0.0221
2 Top to Top 594 34.86% 27.03 1.129 78.11% 0.557 0.35
3 Archipelago 33 54.55% 37.3 0.0 84.85%
3 Coastline 40 32.5% 30.27 -7.455 65.0% -0.403 -0.9243
3 Other 188 41.21% 27.68 -2.177 80.85% -0.046 -0.7878
3 Round (Default) 5868 28.63% 29.85 -0.747 82.79% 0.215 0.1195
3 Sunrise 30 20.0% 33.3 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 315 40.26% 28.31 7.027 63.81% 0.947 1.1886
4 Archipelago 20 55.0% 35.0 -12.758 80.0% -1.317 -1.2363
4 Coastline 21 19.05% 25.9 0.0 52.38%
4 Leaf 20 40.0% 33.3 0.0 90.0%
4 Other 101 38.78% 28.72 -0.007 80.2% 0.301 -0.2464
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 3 0.0% 46.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 408 33.74% 37.96 6.552 75.98% 0.357 0.8309
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2282 30.18% 29.46 6.549 82.95% 0.295 0.1067
5 Archipelago 5 40.0% 53.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 4 0.0% 30.0 0.0 75.0%
5 Other 140 40.0% 27.95 2.474 75.0% -0.295 -0.6212
5 Thematic 8 25.0% 26.13 0.631 50.0% -0.469 -0.9594
6 Archipelago 17 17.65% 40.0 6.759 76.47% 0.108 -0.8171
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 40 32.5% 31.48 0.0 80.0%
6 Star 15 26.67% 26.07 0.0 73.33%
6 Thematic 134 33.58% 36.66 3.359 69.4% -0.236 0.3447
6 Two Centers (Default) 204 20.1% 28.72 0.0 74.02%
7 Other 7 33.33% 34.43 0.0 57.14%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2294 23.08 -1.198 62.69% -0.33 -0.0194
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1852 24.57 4.336 65.23% 0.403 0.4165
All Things Weaken 1372 23.11 -1.76 62.1% -0.613 -0.1395
Attenuated Essence 323 23.67 -3.616 64.4% -0.986 -0.8394
Back Against the Wall 1963 23.96 -1.703 63.42% -0.226 -0.0964
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 316 23.68 -4.141 67.41% -0.771 -0.4509
Burn Brightest Before the End 244 25.23 3.459 65.16% 0.141 0.3175
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2362 20.34 -2.722 58.64% -0.495 -0.1143
Downward Spiral 7673 21.26 -1.291 64.0% -0.097 0.0967
Erosion of Will 2339 22.69 0.747 60.37% -0.333 0.0048
Intensifying Exploitation 340 20.46 -2.388 58.53% -0.286 0.0663
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 655 28.24 -0.438 88.85% 0.444 0.0804
Memory Fades to Dust 7749 20.63 -1.807 59.17% -0.336 -0.0067
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1348 22.55 -1.093 66.25% -0.158 0.1089
Promising Farmlands 2353 21.3 -1.859 61.16% -0.362 0.0854
Shattered Fragments of Power 259 23.72 2.501 59.85% 0.477 0.4765
Slow Dissolution of Will 322 21.56 -5.08 58.07% -1.227 -0.8155
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 458 28.13 3.763 90.83% 0.95 0.3911
The Border of Life and Death 129 23.52 3.849 71.32% 0.202 -0.0433
Thriving Communities 1307 21.86 -6.732 63.35% -1.328 -1.0499
Thriving Crops 170 26.89 -4.104 84.71% -0.391 -0.4861
Tipping Point 669 20.79 0.0 57.55%
Unnatural Proliferation 1426 23.95 -0.891 66.27% -0.251 -0.0461
Untended Land Crumbles 1376 22.23 1.383 63.15% 0.144 0.4435

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 24470 37.83% 26.08 -0.113 74.82% -0.35 0.6419
B 24298 36.65% 26.76 0.229 77.19% -0.148 0.717
C 25169 36.8% 26.89 0.489 77.55% 0.129 0.8808
D 23163 36.93% 26.75 0.192 77.15% 0.017 0.9618
E 10388 34.17% 27.05 1.905 76.24% 0.232 0.9868
F 12521 34.06% 27.23 0.505 78.03% -0.055 0.8193
G 11222 34.49% 27.24 0.133 77.9% -0.367 0.4957
H 11646 33.2% 27.77 1.016 78.99% 0.093 0.9004
East 5396 37.58% 32.8 2.709 68.75% 0.183 0.9281
Northeast 3358 36.79% 33.5 1.052 69.57% 0.029 0.9218
Northwest 2415 37.05% 31.92 -0.353 71.01% -0.691 0.052
Southeast 829 35.47% 29.3 1.374 63.57% -0.11 0.8985
Southwest 837 38.16% 27.05 -0.758 60.81% -0.339 0.8177
West 4453 41.47% 30.44 1.365 66.94% 0.031 1.0133

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 4398 0.0% 19.93 0.179 61.57% 0.338 1.0583
Not Using Events or Tokens 21625 43.87% 24.12 -2.788 69.18% -0.766 -0.2916
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1581 13.12% 36.98 5.918 83.68% 1.112 0.3067
Start of Game Growth 2268 14.5% 36.11 6.84 83.91% 0.412 -0.1543
Unlimited Undo 7949 32.14% 27.72 -1.063 78.31% -0.099 -0.0717
Using Tokens but Not Events 12808 31.39% 25.67 0.066 75.35% -0.186 -0.2132

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 15168 12.25 7.58%
II 25000 29.91 66.88%
III 44858 34.94 89.46%
IV 23062 38.9 99.01%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.89 Win Model: 0.227
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 75880 39.72% 25.7 72.44%
2 22507 35.52% 27.73 79.67%
3 6325 29.14% 29.9 82.66%
4 2830 31.02% 30.6 81.38%
5 132 42.19% 27.44 76.52%
6 414 25.67% 32.17 73.19%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1146
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 39218
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 15859
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 22611
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 13223
Lose: Invader deck ran out 835
Lose: Adversary condition 339
Win: Sacrifice victory 399
Lose: Scenario condition 689
Win: Scenario condition 1601
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11453
Lose: Spirit destroyed 715

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 10487 31.47% 36.46 0.124 81.27% 0.229 -0.1888
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 509 36.33% 34.8 2.842 70.14% 0.571 -0.0848
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 129 24.22% 39.05 1.356 85.27% 0.392 0.2346
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 636 28.16% 38.32 1.346 79.87% 0.32 -0.54
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6448 54.58% 34.44 -1.416 74.97% -0.288 -0.1508
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 561 28.98% 41.37 4.117 83.24% 0.491 -0.5388
Dances Up Earthquakes 622 44.01% 29.82 -2.515 62.7% -0.313 -0.3494
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5655 36.29% 37.02 1.897 83.73% 0.679 0.325
Downpour Drenches the World 1847 29.51% 31.65 -1.167 68.87% -0.123 0.0004
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2686 26.59% 34.81 -0.149 71.44% 0.211 -0.3595
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8167 24.77% 41.01 2.559 88.49% 0.496 -0.1497
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5601 30.51% 40.77 2.587 86.68% 0.51 0.0158
Finder of Paths Unseen 985 49.13% 31.32 -3.512 60.1% -0.298 0.29
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1863 35.34% 35.98 -4.898 70.16% -1.18 -0.7338
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2731 38.63% 32.87 -0.933 68.77% -0.275 -0.4602
Heart of the Wildfire 7330 62.06% 31.78 -3.265 68.57% -0.878 -0.7353
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 12101 38.89% 39.11 -1.194 82.73% -0.433 -1.1078
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 617 28.6% 36.11 2.901 76.66% 0.109 -0.4188
Lightning's Swift Strike 9857 47.43% 33.7 0.835 73.43% 0.05 0.0824
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 818 45.15% 40.11 5.534 76.04% 0.825 0.1727
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1239 36.14% 38.5 4.549 80.15% 0.773 0.2776
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1206 39.73% 39.93 2.685 77.36% 0.212 -0.0273
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5455 37.95% 38.56 1.945 78.63% 0.469 0.0426
Many Minds Move as One 2937 27.33% 38.01 0.473 83.96% -0.018 -0.527
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 11866 46.22% 36.81 2.238 77.43% 0.214 -0.0552
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 964 53.17% 27.41 -4.232 61.2% -0.815 -0.9287
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5461 37.69% 36.44 -0.332 82.38% 0.029 -0.2648
River Surges in Sunlight 12345 47.23% 36.0 0.882 75.13% -0.035 -0.206
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 365 41.1% 33.22 8.824 64.11% 0.973 0.8614
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1582 42.11% 36.43 2.165 72.44% 0.423 0.3572
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1100 41.67% 34.69 2.498 65.18% 0.204 0.0739
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6397 39.92% 36.45 1.387 79.68% 0.261 -0.0034
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 259 41.86% 35.0 -2.452 66.02% -0.561 -0.991
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 5259 61.24% 32.1 -2.693 67.66% -0.545 -0.117
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 244 46.25% 33.36 2.262 67.21% 0.131 0.1345
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 692 36.76% 42.99 4.608 81.5% 0.799 0.0457
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 306 48.2% 32.95 2.419 69.61% 0.594 0.2749
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 720 46.73% 37.18 1.377 81.67% 0.132 -0.0462
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 653 53.53% 34.77 -5.632 73.05% -0.875 -0.9179
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7264 35.42% 37.56 -0.461 81.88% -0.189 -0.5547
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 134 24.63% 38.85 3.625 81.34% 0.637 0.0959
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 951 25.21% 44.81 3.323 75.81% -0.224 -0.4684
Shifting Memory of Ages 2022 50.07% 31.98 -2.138 69.73% -0.616 -0.3218
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 465 32.11% 31.45 -3.506 68.17% -0.518 -0.681
Shroud of Silent Mist 2205 61.06% 29.78 -5.058 65.99% -0.992 -0.8094
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 95 46.32% 31.81 -1.794 73.68% -0.247 -0.6567
Starlight Seeks its Form 3519 38.74% 35.89 4.828 75.11% 0.926 0.6833
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4265 35.99% 35.51 -0.513 81.71% -0.141 -1.0929
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4435 38.6% 35.93 -1.902 78.13% -0.509 -0.4663
Thunderspeaker 10123 38.69% 36.92 -1.381 79.43% -0.355 -0.5502
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 481 33.13% 34.43 3.502 66.53% 0.689 0.5207
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1377 30.28% 28.85 -5.975 57.88% -0.714 -0.8253
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2973 71.49% 30.79 2.53 69.16% 0.947 0.7966
Vital Strength of the Earth 7607 36.64% 31.61 -6.651 70.88% -1.346 -0.9874
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 663 40.33% 32.44 4.403 68.02% 0.865 1.1081
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 950 27.53% 30.64 -8.365 69.79% -1.055 -0.3739
Volcano Looming High 3701 47.76% 32.98 -0.722 73.68% -0.209 -0.5328
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1646 27.83% 32.46 -1.744 64.09% -0.354 -0.8714

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 60 20.0% 31.35 4.965 71.67% 0.157 0.5273
Blitz 0 1428 42.88% 30.9 -7.487 65.48% -1.024 -0.5928
Dahan Insurrection 4 2042 20.67% 48.19 -0.068 64.3% -0.499 -0.5247
Despicable Theft 2 162 48.77% 34.09 -5.358 58.64% -0.432 0.2279
Elemental Invocation 1 405 48.64% 29.08 3.672 57.04% 0.46 0.908
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 4425 9.86% 45.65 6.184 83.98% 1.163 0.5634
Powers Long Forgotten 1 585 50.68% 31.73 -9.899 58.46% -1.314 -0.7062
Rituals of Terror 3 514 51.56% 38.41 1.154 58.75% -0.375 -0.2507
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 276 61.23% 37.21 -3.631 60.14% -0.535 0.2037
Second Wave 0 5004 46.92% 36.68 -0.16 72.04% -0.323 -0.2165
The Great River 3 245 49.39% 31.91 10.403 44.08% 0.183 1.3574
Varied Terrains 2 203 55.17% 30.72 4.752 49.26% -0.203 0.5332
Ward the Shores 2 487 46.19% 40.53 3.283 69.4% 0.116 0.7979

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 80264 44.63% 33.5 0.157 73.86% -0.157 0.0677
1 Thematic 4553 46.57% 38.75 -0.877 68.97% -0.963 -0.4127
2 Archipelago 56 50.0% 35.98 -9.55 51.79% -0.257 -0.6103
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 18094 41.7% 34.95 -1.617 79.31% -0.199 -0.0881
2 Coastline 2499 36.88% 36.6 0.85 80.07% 0.084 -0.0051
2 Fragment 574 45.87% 35.41 6.804 77.35% 1.146 0.807
2 Heart 252 51.41% 36.1 7.052 80.56% 0.405 0.0778
2 Opposite Shores 4260 39.07% 36.38 0.706 81.2% 0.077 0.113
2 Thematic 1829 44.74% 40.8 1.678 72.94% -0.474 0.055
2 Top to Top 745 39.35% 37.33 0.234 83.36% 0.493 0.2864
3 Archipelago 38 55.26% 51.71 0.0 68.42%
3 Coastline 48 39.58% 38.65 0.0 77.08%
3 Other 351 43.87% 38.08 5.03 86.04% 0.78 0.0382
3 Round (Default) 7385 36.54% 36.49 0.635 80.95% 0.067 -0.0288
3 Sunrise 34 35.29% 40.62 0.0 91.18%
3 Thematic 355 47.88% 40.99 -10.796 71.55% -0.307 -0.0655
4 Archipelago 17 41.18% 48.41 0.0 88.24%
4 Coastline 11 36.36% 31.36 0.0 54.55%
4 Leaf 36 47.22% 41.67 0.0 94.44%
4 Other 140 50.71% 40.19 -0.45 82.86% -0.187 -0.7344
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 3 66.67% 43.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 1007 25.63% 37.5 -8.38 62.36% -1.717 -1.2434
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3386 32.63% 37.87 2.297 82.87% 1.136 0.9469
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 53.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 5 100.0% 35.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Other 231 42.61% 37.86 -8.35 73.16% -1.562 -1.8889
5 Thematic 36 58.33% 46.06 6.036 72.22% 0.962 0.4717
6 Archipelago 10 20.0% 48.2 6.425 70.0% -0.313 -1.2381
6 Coastline 2 50.0% 10.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 41 29.27% 40.24 0.0 73.17%
6 Star 45 22.22% 39.73 3.784 91.11% 0.179 0.9749
6 Thematic 829 43.68% 55.2 15.073 72.26% 0.742 1.3223
6 Two Centers (Default) 477 19.53% 38.77 -1.081 81.34% 0.351 0.3277
7 Archipelago 2 50.0% 30.5 -17.45 50.0% -0.616 -0.2095
7 Other 4 0.0% 37.75 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3527 30.33 -1.436 62.8% -0.458 -0.1477
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2795 32.07 0.581 64.72% -0.013 0.0004
All Things Weaken 2168 29.28 -3.245 59.96% -0.591 -0.117
Attenuated Essence 508 30.19 1.328 63.58% 0.499 0.6453
Back Against the Wall 2736 30.83 -1.037 61.7% -0.279 -0.1498
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 486 29.2 -3.069 61.73% -0.26 0.0601
Burn Brightest Before the End 412 29.91 1.608 57.28% -0.103 0.0743
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3334 27.63 -2.361 60.41% -0.409 -0.0287
Downward Spiral 9276 29.16 -0.694 66.29% -0.056 0.137
Erosion of Will 3604 30.31 -0.477 62.62% -0.276 0.0623
Intensifying Exploitation 517 28.56 -4.641 61.32% -0.676 -0.3235
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 927 38.63 6.405 92.23% 1.139 0.7754
Memory Fades to Dust 9505 28.42 -1.356 62.02% -0.016 0.3132
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2031 30.22 -2.583 65.63% -0.529 -0.2623
Promising Farmlands 3471 29.46 -1.609 64.56% -0.5 -0.0523
Shattered Fragments of Power 405 30.56 4.538 59.51% 0.559 0.5589
Slow Dissolution of Will 467 29.13 -2.193 58.46% -0.511 -0.0997
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 591 37.52 -4.131 89.17% -0.242 -0.8007
The Border of Life and Death 164 34.4 0.171 77.44% -0.132 -0.3771
Thriving Communities 2016 28.8 -3.6 61.66% -0.738 -0.4609
Thriving Crops 258 32.67 -0.643 74.81% 0.02 -0.075
Tipping Point 973 29.82 0.0 64.65%
Unnatural Proliferation 2168 31.0 0.733 63.56% -0.101 0.1039
Untended Land Crumbles 2039 30.21 -1.927 64.3% -0.436 -0.1362

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 29566 42.5% 34.15 -1.343 75.58% -0.395 0.5966
B 30531 41.11% 34.87 0.055 77.45% -0.149 0.7166
C 31056 41.75% 35.06 0.325 77.78% 0.041 0.7931
D 28050 42.38% 34.6 -0.318 77.25% -0.078 0.8669
E 12556 39.51% 35.53 0.829 77.94% -0.102 0.6527
F 15687 38.87% 35.56 0.359 78.52% 0.053 0.9273
G 14099 40.12% 35.34 -0.237 78.42% -0.198 0.6646
H 14724 39.95% 36.42 1.833 78.61% -0.131 0.6764
East 6118 41.97% 42.13 -0.703 69.81% -0.133 0.612
Northeast 3914 40.99% 44.57 1.339 72.69% 0.47 1.3635
Northwest 3220 40.19% 44.56 -0.148 72.36% -0.199 0.5446
Southeast 1725 39.92% 43.86 0.357 65.62% -0.391 0.6181
Southwest 1676 40.1% 42.68 0.264 64.5% 0.183 1.3399
West 5429 41.94% 41.16 -2.212 68.61% -0.369 0.6141

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1059 0.0% 32.26 2.459 67.8% 0.665 1.385
Not Using Events or Tokens 20733 47.6% 31.4 -0.398 69.8% -0.108 0.3667
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1230 15.07% 46.25 0.132 85.53% 0.069 -0.7362
Start of Game Growth 2840 17.17% 47.47 2.677 84.44% -0.381 -0.9475
Unlimited Undo 11048 36.82% 35.91 -1.37 78.08% -0.163 -0.136
Using Tokens but Not Events 12392 34.3% 35.03 -1.752 78.41% -0.212 -0.2391

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 16887 12.25 10.61%
II 31245 29.91 63.93%
III 52026 34.94 90.9%
IV 27616 38.9 99.37%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.053 Win Model: 0.053
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 85426 44.77% 33.78 73.52%
2 28096 41.18% 35.86 79.49%
3 8063 37.08% 36.91 81.17%
4 4568 31.44% 38.04 78.85%
5 225 44.84% 36.12 67.56%
6 1396 34.96% 48.3 75.93%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1788
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 46344
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18788
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 27187
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 13128
Lose: Invader deck ran out 926
Lose: Adversary condition 523
Win: Sacrifice victory 485
Lose: Scenario condition 762
Win: Scenario condition 1905
Lose: Blight pool ran out 15203
Lose: Spirit destroyed 735

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 9309 35.5% 41.46 0.469 77.63% 0.221 -0.1969
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 565 32.15% 35.82 -0.643 63.89% -0.533 -1.189
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 119 29.41% 35.86 2.025 64.71% 0.28 0.1221
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 723 26.0% 41.33 2.915 77.04% 0.468 -0.3925
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5775 64.07% 38.06 1.666 69.44% 0.419 0.5569
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 682 39.3% 44.25 6.201 79.18% 0.606 -0.4238
Dances Up Earthquakes 513 50.1% 30.15 -0.997 55.17% 0.11 0.0742
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5131 40.07% 41.67 -1.153 80.69% -0.216 -0.5706
Downpour Drenches the World 1817 34.62% 34.36 -2.139 63.4% -0.297 -0.1732
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2276 32.66% 38.94 7.609 74.25% 2.167 1.5964
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8478 28.57% 46.52 2.387 86.01% 0.373 -0.2736
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5873 33.14% 44.77 3.534 79.07% 0.58 0.086
Finder of Paths Unseen 860 46.68% 29.01 -6.689 52.09% -1.262 -0.6737
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1888 39.46% 36.4 -7.128 59.9% -0.779 -0.3327
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2807 44.53% 39.12 1.625 71.61% 0.201 0.0162
Heart of the Wildfire 7512 67.12% 33.94 -3.554 60.32% -0.375 -0.2324
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 13241 44.31% 42.9 0.398 80.8% 0.207 -0.4671
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 865 30.06% 39.36 0.483 71.21% 0.178 -0.3496
Lightning's Swift Strike 8294 56.65% 37.48 0.143 67.87% 0.199 0.2313
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 800 50.51% 40.65 3.301 72.88% 0.604 -0.0484
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1248 42.04% 44.09 8.48 81.65% 1.495 0.9995
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1228 37.23% 40.01 1.379 69.71% 0.243 0.0037
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5792 44.58% 41.07 -1.717 75.35% -0.237 -0.6629
Many Minds Move as One 2875 31.29% 43.83 -0.3 83.1% 0.087 -0.4215
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 11306 49.01% 40.34 0.81 74.83% 0.302 0.0329
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 1013 61.35% 30.79 -2.742 56.27% -0.442 -0.5561
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 6073 40.37% 40.68 -2.079 78.68% -0.154 -0.4479
River Surges in Sunlight 12124 52.2% 41.38 0.2 71.35% -0.004 -0.1754
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 329 47.4% 33.38 -5.099 57.75% -0.93 -1.0409
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1273 46.54% 39.81 2.491 67.24% 0.416 0.3504
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1316 43.22% 38.99 4.478 63.91% 0.508 0.378
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5902 43.7% 41.42 -0.336 77.47% -0.186 -0.4505
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 247 40.08% 32.41 -2.041 56.28% -0.549 -0.9796
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4358 68.68% 34.89 -5.455 59.94% -0.85 -0.4221
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 317 43.69% 34.32 5.378 60.57% 0.731 0.7345
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 789 43.2% 39.52 2.546 74.27% 0.413 -0.3395
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 300 48.49% 35.94 -2.521 64.0% -0.544 -0.863
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 738 48.37% 41.37 1.154 74.8% 0.017 -0.162
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 511 60.95% 37.16 -6.379 67.12% -0.688 -0.7308
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7469 39.43% 42.68 1.358 78.59% 0.382 0.0161
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 138 44.2% 37.09 2.147 71.01% 0.338 -0.2033
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 726 36.05% 35.96 -3.7 68.46% -0.619 -0.8634
Shifting Memory of Ages 1869 51.24% 35.19 -4.785 66.77% -0.744 -0.4496
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 656 34.6% 35.24 3.844 62.65% 0.195 0.0318
Shroud of Silent Mist 1931 64.46% 32.13 -8.648 58.78% -1.123 -0.9407
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 123 52.03% 31.06 -4.416 56.91% -0.416 -0.8257
Starlight Seeks its Form 3672 34.73% 38.35 -0.586 72.77% -0.036 -0.2783
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4421 40.01% 39.65 -1.446 78.62% -0.226 -1.1781
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4878 38.73% 41.6 1.939 77.55% 0.475 0.5176
Thunderspeaker 8866 45.43% 41.33 -1.359 74.87% 0.019 -0.1765
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 411 47.45% 30.56 0.77 57.66% 0.406 0.2371
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1047 37.84% 31.95 -0.89 60.55% 0.041 -0.0698
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3052 77.22% 35.3 -2.811 67.27% -0.216 -0.3664
Vital Strength of the Earth 6834 44.95% 35.5 -4.775 63.33% -0.785 -0.4269
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 631 40.03% 32.36 -8.164 58.95% -1.397 -1.1533
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 741 40.35% 29.64 -2.12 50.61% -0.035 0.6459
Volcano Looming High 3218 53.1% 36.43 -1.081 68.92% 0.002 -0.3219
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1477 36.63% 36.98 4.23 69.67% 0.888 0.3703

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 32 37.5% 40.22 15.45 71.88% 0.195 0.5649
Blitz 0 1195 49.19% 37.07 2.39 67.2% 0.333 0.7643
Dahan Insurrection 4 1911 24.58% 56.45 1.861 68.6% -0.823 -0.8487
Despicable Theft 2 149 61.07% 37.07 -8.008 49.66% -0.641 0.0186
Elemental Invocation 1 249 60.64% 30.09 -10.851 46.99% -0.461 -0.0131
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 4847 13.17% 49.5 7.561 79.12% 0.941 0.3411
Powers Long Forgotten 1 366 56.83% 35.71 -15.82 54.64% -0.886 -0.2781
Rituals of Terror 3 221 60.18% 38.52 0.655 46.61% -0.046 0.0786
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 138 73.19% 42.6 -21.547 55.07% -0.505 0.2336
Second Wave 0 3689 52.37% 41.29 -0.905 67.77% -0.337 -0.2311
The Great River 3 208 53.37% 29.69 -4.38 29.81% -0.723 0.4515
Varied Terrains 2 115 61.95% 28.35 -0.183 37.39% -0.16 0.5768
Ward the Shores 2 220 57.73% 41.63 0.0 59.09%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 87112 50.26% 37.89 -1.287 69.78% -0.442 -0.2172
1 Thematic 3900 44.83% 45.7 1.643 63.72% -0.835 -0.2847
2 Archipelago 33 63.64% 47.0 6.423 69.7% 0.37 0.0165
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 17462 45.37% 40.8 -0.31 77.71% -0.248 -0.1368
2 Coastline 2194 41.14% 41.2 -2.12 77.8% -0.438 -0.5275
2 Fragment 395 59.33% 36.59 5.63 67.59% 0.813 0.4742
2 Heart 211 52.13% 38.86 8.569 72.99% 0.46 0.1329
2 Opposite Shores 3978 46.08% 39.32 -0.443 73.43% -0.118 -0.0813
2 Thematic 1329 54.8% 44.53 0.988 67.19% -0.379 0.1496
2 Top to Top 687 43.65% 39.33 4.169 74.38% 0.502 0.2956
3 Archipelago 24 58.33% 46.83 0.0 70.83%
3 Coastline 73 43.84% 38.71 4.396 58.9% -0.398 -0.9191
3 Other 331 33.74% 39.47 -12.841 75.83% -1.035 -1.7774
3 Round (Default) 6941 38.59% 41.48 2.091 77.45% 0.229 0.1327
3 Sunrise 37 24.32% 35.24 0.0 67.57%
3 Thematic 258 50.39% 46.19 -0.394 72.09% -0.245 -0.0026
4 Archipelago 28 32.14% 56.79 0.0 85.71%
4 Coastline 9 55.56% 34.56 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 25 52.0% 44.64 4.628 80.0% 0.487 -0.0668
4 Other 207 29.95% 34.3 3.701 65.22% 0.372 -0.1748
4 Reverse Snake 2 50.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Snake 4 25.0% 50.25 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 465 37.91% 50.91 1.91 77.2% 0.361 0.8346
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3364 35.23% 43.29 0.02 80.92% 0.133 -0.0563
5 Archipelago 14 64.29% 51.71 0.0 85.71%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 154 48.34% 40.71 -7.413 73.38% -0.181 -0.5075
5 Thematic 18 44.44% 45.33 0.0 61.11%
6 Archipelago 10 30.0% 35.1 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 40 18.42% 41.83 12.52 67.5% 0.357 0.6263
6 Star 82 20.73% 36.16 -12.588 64.63% -0.992 -0.1957
6 Thematic 158 13.92% 36.04 -4.132 44.3% -0.023 0.5573
6 Two Centers (Default) 347 32.56% 35.85 2.189 66.86% 0.364 0.3411
7 Archipelago 5 40.0% 71.8 11.35 60.0% -0.511 -0.1046
7 Coastline 1 100.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 11 27.27% 58.09 11.384 81.82% 0.441 0.1852

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 4195 34.75 -0.574 59.36% -0.291 0.0193
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3182 37.47 1.658 64.46% 0.12 0.1333
All Things Weaken 2519 33.8 -3.423 57.36% -0.796 -0.3217
Attenuated Essence 648 33.14 -0.321 60.96% -0.299 -0.1527
Back Against the Wall 3091 35.76 -0.059 59.79% -0.501 -0.3713
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 647 30.43 -1.65 51.62% -0.497 -0.1768
Burn Brightest Before the End 400 33.3 -1.053 55.75% -0.219 -0.042
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3949 31.84 -3.449 56.7% -0.568 -0.1879
Downward Spiral 10012 33.95 -1.38 61.71% -0.37 -0.1764
Erosion of Will 4054 33.98 -1.408 57.6% -0.485 -0.1471
Intensifying Exploitation 606 31.03 -1.458 56.93% -0.218 0.1347
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1033 42.98 4.938 87.51% 0.642 0.2787
Memory Fades to Dust 10074 33.27 -1.902 58.25% -0.424 -0.0949
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2536 34.06 -0.507 60.88% -0.087 0.1802
Promising Farmlands 4045 33.78 -3.271 60.54% -0.614 -0.1664
Shattered Fragments of Power 454 34.26 2.99 56.83% 0.602 0.6011
Slow Dissolution of Will 627 31.65 2.062 52.31% 0.234 0.6451
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 695 43.57 3.594 88.63% 0.521 -0.0375
The Border of Life and Death 156 37.3 2.779 73.08% 0.295 0.05
Thriving Communities 2451 33.7 2.218 61.24% 0.509 0.7862
Thriving Crops 306 37.7 2.957 75.82% 0.382 0.2869
Tipping Point 1157 34.37 0.0 59.64%
Unnatural Proliferation 2641 36.33 -3.109 63.31% -0.713 -0.5087
Untended Land Crumbles 2456 33.23 -1.956 58.84% -0.321 -0.0212

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 29523 47.41% 38.58 -0.352 71.27% -0.175 0.8166
B 30339 46.26% 39.66 1.799 73.83% 0.279 1.144
C 31734 46.16% 39.62 -0.596 73.78% -0.144 0.6078
D 27027 47.68% 39.1 -0.4 72.6% -0.019 0.926
E 13520 43.43% 39.43 0.631 73.52% -0.01 0.7452
F 16246 43.95% 39.78 0.224 74.26% -0.007 0.8679
G 14544 44.66% 39.77 0.471 74.44% -0.013 0.8498
H 15082 42.88% 40.6 1.975 76.02% 0.333 1.1402
East 4326 44.19% 46.23 -2.833 64.96% -0.716 0.0298
Northeast 2830 41.11% 47.4 4.374 65.19% 0.352 1.2457
Northwest 1678 43.73% 45.7 2.696 69.31% 0.579 1.3226
Southeast 749 40.32% 41.28 -5.576 60.75% -0.907 0.1016
Southwest 684 41.23% 38.23 -1.105 59.36% 0.074 1.2311
West 3187 48.01% 45.08 -2.922 66.74% -0.405 0.5778

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 834 0.0% 35.76 -6.262 60.31% -0.842 -0.1219
Not Using Events or Tokens 18065 53.28% 35.0 -1.01 61.94% -0.183 0.2919
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1164 12.67% 54.58 6.171 87.29% 0.751 -0.0541
Start of Game Growth 2361 16.87% 51.35 3.088 84.79% 0.084 -0.4826
Unlimited Undo 11324 39.34% 40.8 -1.423 76.61% -0.139 -0.112
Using Tokens but Not Events 12735 39.48% 40.35 -0.732 75.93% 0.013 -0.0138

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 18865 12.25 7.3%
II 41399 29.91 64.98%
III 47214 34.94 89.82%
IV 22583 38.9 99.41%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.316 Win Model: -0.075
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 91444 50.02% 38.23 69.5%
2 26158 45.81% 40.77 76.43%
3 7592 38.73% 41.49 76.95%
4 4070 35.02% 43.7 79.71%
5 169 50.0% 40.87 66.27%
6 628 25.08% 36.51 61.62%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1378
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 41728
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 25642
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 22288
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 14261
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2061
Lose: Adversary condition 427
Win: Sacrifice victory 464
Lose: Scenario condition 603
Win: Scenario condition 1635
Lose: Blight pool ran out 18650
Lose: Spirit destroyed 924

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6716 34.8% 43.41 -3.45 74.64% -0.5 -0.9179
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 324 38.58% 39.86 1.565 70.37% 0.537 -0.1188
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 77 19.48% 41.39 2.812 70.13% 0.071 -0.0871
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 634 31.49% 45.17 4.192 80.13% 0.712 -0.1482
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4531 65.2% 39.68 -2.175 67.76% -0.229 -0.0912
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 859 48.08% 46.46 3.67 79.86% 0.551 -0.4788
Dances Up Earthquakes 451 43.46% 33.55 1.744 58.98% 0.507 0.4708
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4118 43.16% 44.11 -0.526 79.29% 0.092 -0.2623
Downpour Drenches the World 1356 36.22% 35.48 -4.905 60.47% -0.724 -0.6
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1899 31.09% 43.59 -0.999 77.51% -0.271 -0.8421
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6695 28.79% 50.15 0.947 88.26% 0.221 -0.4246
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4405 35.49% 47.25 -3.186 83.43% -0.58 -1.0734
Finder of Paths Unseen 618 48.87% 32.64 0.073 56.15% -0.151 0.4378
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1536 35.29% 40.69 -6.514 64.0% -1.086 -0.6395
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2504 42.07% 42.27 1.229 70.09% 0.167 -0.0184
Heart of the Wildfire 5963 66.09% 38.23 -1.044 64.56% 0.068 0.211
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10922 42.78% 46.75 3.695 82.7% 0.869 0.1943
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 661 27.73% 42.42 -3.896 71.71% -0.671 -1.1989
Lightning's Swift Strike 6684 51.87% 40.78 -2.846 69.17% -0.574 -0.5416
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 920 52.57% 45.17 9.521 74.46% 1.382 0.73
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1116 40.07% 47.25 5.863 83.15% 0.765 0.2695
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 809 40.54% 45.97 -3.732 78.49% -0.407 -0.6462
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4656 44.3% 45.38 4.152 78.74% 0.637 0.2111
Many Minds Move as One 2391 31.69% 46.35 2.45 83.77% 0.542 0.0327
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8913 49.44% 41.88 -1.327 71.76% -0.033 -0.3026
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 864 64.24% 34.58 2.649 61.57% 0.526 0.4125
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4395 41.13% 43.94 0.521 78.38% 0.205 -0.089
River Surges in Sunlight 8957 51.69% 43.94 -0.34 70.03% -0.207 -0.3777
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 223 44.39% 35.15 -10.322 59.19% -1.107 -1.2179
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 823 45.55% 43.33 9.36 68.89% 0.504 0.4386
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 899 47.49% 44.1 0.555 71.08% -0.418 -0.5484
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4529 43.72% 43.88 -0.619 77.08% -0.247 -0.5112
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 229 37.12% 43.56 -1.358 77.73% -0.341 -0.7713
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2850 66.15% 36.54 -2.699 57.54% -0.438 -0.0093
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 194 60.0% 39.31 -2.154 63.92% -0.289 -0.2852
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 593 47.21% 44.4 3.076 75.72% 0.611 -0.142
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 230 47.39% 43.63 -11.092 74.78% -0.593 -0.9118
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 529 60.98% 40.65 -1.027 69.0% 0.018 -0.1609
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 340 69.41% 39.53 4.459 64.71% 0.431 0.3877
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8533 30.48% 48.92 2.765 84.94% 0.395 0.0285
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 94 39.36% 40.45 -5.087 75.53% -0.66 -1.2013
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 573 38.29% 43.02 -0.272 72.77% 0.114 -0.1309
Shifting Memory of Ages 1345 55.69% 40.12 -5.359 70.11% -0.961 -0.6662
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 315 45.4% 38.12 2.19 67.62% 0.414 0.2503
Shroud of Silent Mist 1201 69.58% 33.51 -0.018 56.7% 0.603 0.785
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 132 46.21% 36.05 -3.277 65.91% -0.356 -0.7662
Starlight Seeks its Form 3057 37.91% 41.39 -1.871 73.8% -0.259 -0.5014
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3813 37.07% 43.27 3.705 81.09% 0.801 -0.1512
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3712 42.19% 44.08 2.224 75.75% 0.295 0.3371
Thunderspeaker 6567 45.42% 43.06 -1.593 73.32% -0.346 -0.5414
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 286 45.8% 39.57 -0.262 67.13% 0.053 -0.1152
Towering Roots of the Jungle 934 43.45% 36.9 1.183 64.56% 0.321 0.2103
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2747 78.3% 38.98 1.555 70.22% 0.497 0.3462
Vital Strength of the Earth 4329 49.68% 34.49 -7.013 50.64% -1.396 -1.0377
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 466 46.1% 34.07 -1.056 55.79% -0.412 -0.1687
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 307 46.91% 35.44 -7.154 53.09% -0.984 -0.3026
Volcano Looming High 2798 53.38% 40.72 3.489 72.62% 1.045 0.7211
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1048 37.88% 42.05 5.46 74.62% 1.025 0.5069

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 25 28.0% 39.88 0.0 64.0%
Blitz 0 799 43.02% 39.77 2.992 66.83% 0.842 1.2739
Dahan Insurrection 4 1030 25.15% 62.09 8.122 70.58% -0.154 -0.1796
Despicable Theft 2 61 52.46% 35.59 -11.054 45.9% -0.592 0.0673
Elemental Invocation 1 162 49.38% 32.54 -9.872 51.23% -0.81 -0.362
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3151 13.48% 53.07 6.148 84.67% 0.665 0.0652
Powers Long Forgotten 1 200 65.0% 37.57 2.215 51.5% 0.251 0.8593
Rituals of Terror 3 217 49.77% 44.38 -3.009 52.53% 0.075 0.1998
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 122 69.67% 41.24 0.0 45.08%
Second Wave 0 2395 53.02% 43.26 1.907 65.89% -0.019 0.0868
The Great River 3 104 50.96% 33.2 3.953 36.54% -0.174 1.0009
Varied Terrains 2 58 58.62% 32.91 -14.263 44.83% -0.187 0.5495
Ward the Shores 2 161 54.66% 44.39 1.849 59.63% 0.1 0.7819

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 78287 47.71% 41.92 0.244 72.25% 0.268 0.4923
1 Thematic 2617 50.98% 49.08 1.324 67.18% 0.081 0.6312
2 Archipelago 18 72.22% 41.67 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12443 46.46% 43.61 -0.767 77.02% -0.271 -0.1599
2 Coastline 1789 40.0% 45.03 3.555 79.6% 0.27 0.1805
2 Fragment 275 51.1% 38.56 -6.041 64.73% -0.479 -0.8178
2 Heart 117 43.97% 43.41 3.292 77.78% 0.314 -0.0135
2 Opposite Shores 2877 44.67% 40.48 -2.642 70.21% -0.511 -0.4746
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 800 52.07% 46.36 -3.8 66.13% -0.189 0.3392
2 Top to Top 573 43.43% 44.58 -5.284 78.53% -0.536 -0.7421
3 Archipelago 14 28.57% 42.86 0.0 64.29%
3 Coastline 58 29.31% 56.57 -5.141 96.55% -0.304 -0.8253
3 Other 154 52.63% 45.71 8.113 80.52% 0.713 -0.0292
3 Round (Default) 4921 38.31% 45.14 0.612 79.92% -0.139 -0.2351
3 Sunrise 18 16.67% 55.56 0.0 88.89%
3 Thematic 165 50.91% 43.41 0.0 63.64%
4 Archipelago 13 61.54% 49.54 0.0 69.23%
4 Coastline 4 50.0% 47.25 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 12 66.67% 43.92 0.0 83.33%
4 Other 78 36.36% 45.73 5.666 78.21% 0.41 -0.1377
4 Reverse Snake 2 50.0% 23.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 528 34.72% 50.57 14.703 72.16% 0.535 1.0079
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2134 38.11% 44.39 2.703 78.12% -0.004 -0.1926
5 Archipelago 4 100.0% 70.5 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 3 0.0% 21.0 0.0 33.33%
5 Other 103 47.52% 40.95 0.0 68.93%
5 Thematic 12 33.33% 26.25 0.0 41.67%
6 Archipelago 4 50.0% 65.25 13.35 100.0% 0.016 -0.9093
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 31 41.94% 39.26 0.0 70.97%
6 Star 16 50.0% 48.13 0.0 81.25%
6 Thematic 109 8.26% 47.15 -19.225 57.8% -0.354 0.2268
6 Two Centers (Default) 96 44.79% 37.35 5.471 64.58% 0.28 0.257

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3462 37.7 -3.652 60.34% -0.678 -0.3674
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2559 40.75 4.57 65.49% 0.479 0.4919
All Things Weaken 2098 36.46 -5.912 58.29% -1.379 -0.9051
Attenuated Essence 533 36.21 -3.725 62.85% -0.746 -0.5995
Back Against the Wall 2412 39.52 1.265 62.52% -0.023 0.1069
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 506 33.76 -2.173 55.93% -0.263 0.0568
Burn Brightest Before the End 344 36.88 -2.249 57.56% -0.952 -0.7746
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3249 34.77 -3.494 56.85% -0.77 -0.3893
Downward Spiral 7813 35.9 -0.761 59.36% 0.003 0.196
Erosion of Will 3325 36.41 -4.23 56.78% -0.733 -0.395
Intensifying Exploitation 539 32.92 -3.403 54.73% -0.452 -0.099
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 863 46.12 -1.883 85.63% -0.532 -0.8952
Memory Fades to Dust 7964 34.84 -1.732 55.04% -0.367 -0.0379
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2144 37.83 -0.85 64.04% -0.335 -0.0679
Promising Farmlands 3445 36.17 -2.338 59.22% -0.542 -0.0944
Shattered Fragments of Power 357 36.96 6.545 59.38% 0.891 0.891
Slow Dissolution of Will 520 31.17 -2.55 49.04% -0.53 -0.1189
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 596 46.42 1.882 87.92% 0.262 -0.2965
The Border of Life and Death 137 43.48 -5.922 80.29% -0.215 -0.4606
Thriving Communities 2032 35.42 -3.392 58.27% -0.696 -0.4183
Thriving Crops 232 36.75 3.507 68.97% 0.504 0.4086
Tipping Point 957 35.54 0.0 54.13%
Unnatural Proliferation 2203 38.64 -1.864 62.96% -0.669 -0.4647
Untended Land Crumbles 2062 36.59 -4.647 60.48% -1.227 -0.9275

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 22326 47.13% 41.64 0.289 71.48% 0.455 1.4461
B 24041 45.17% 43.01 -0.602 74.67% 0.072 0.9374
C 24529 46.86% 42.53 -0.805 73.68% 0.1 0.8514
D 20810 47.14% 42.51 0.252 73.51% 0.229 1.1739
E 11382 43.48% 43.53 1.796 76.8% 0.518 1.2729
F 13381 44.05% 42.95 1.016 75.44% 0.294 1.1686
G 11795 44.82% 43.1 -0.303 75.92% 0.067 0.929
H 12327 42.19% 44.01 0.323 77.55% 0.219 1.0265
East 2732 47.78% 47.55 -2.667 66.18% -0.359 0.3863
Northeast 1666 45.7% 47.81 -0.496 66.51% -0.082 0.8113
Northwest 1440 39.71% 49.41 10.409 70.14% 1.358 2.1015
Southeast 539 40.07% 43.85 -3.577 62.34% -0.571 0.4375
Southwest 502 41.43% 39.82 0.438 57.17% 0.286 1.4429
West 2601 44.33% 49.18 -5.718 67.74% -0.914 0.0682

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 591 0.0% 43.0 -7.445 69.37% -1.068 -0.3476
Not Using Events or Tokens 14149 50.45% 37.77 -1.684 62.86% -0.035 0.4391
Skip Initial Invader Actions 812 14.64% 57.97 9.436 88.92% 0.781 -0.0238
Start of Game Growth 1701 18.79% 53.35 3.669 83.95% -0.031 -0.5981
Unlimited Undo 10797 42.08% 43.78 0.028 77.1% 0.095 0.1221
Using Tokens but Not Events 10313 38.12% 43.38 -1.865 75.11% -0.132 -0.1588

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 17926 12.25 19.98%
II 44325 29.91 75.78%
III 33105 34.94 88.07%
IV 13001 38.9 99.65%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.242 Win Model: 0.124
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 81166 47.84% 42.15 72.07%
2 18792 45.72% 43.37 75.7%
3 5279 38.72% 45.25 79.69%
4 2773 37.56% 45.68 76.99%
5 91 47.25% 34.73 59.34%
6 256 29.69% 42.55 63.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3578
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 28806
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 32685
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 12845
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 9770
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3508
Lose: Adversary condition 216
Win: Sacrifice victory 407
Lose: Scenario condition 356
Win: Scenario condition 963
Lose: Unique spirit condition 1
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14518
Lose: Spirit destroyed 704

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3893 46.97% 42.94 -3.294 58.18% -0.727 -1.1451
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 161 39.62% 37.65 -9.606 52.8% -0.85 -1.5064
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 35 32.35% 35.71 5.005 54.29% 0.333 0.1754
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 493 20.69% 57.31 7.258 88.64% 1.38 0.5199
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2199 73.33% 41.73 -4.371 57.94% -0.487 -0.3489
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 366 44.81% 49.38 8.935 75.41% 1.051 0.021
Dances Up Earthquakes 444 27.25% 53.13 -2.411 81.53% -0.463 -0.4989
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3002 40.39% 50.98 1.78 75.92% 0.398 0.0438
Downpour Drenches the World 658 40.43% 38.24 -7.423 53.19% -0.958 -0.8338
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1065 34.65% 48.41 3.974 74.74% 0.715 0.1443
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3996 37.29% 53.04 -2.791 79.55% -0.091 -0.737
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2674 41.84% 51.66 5.259 75.36% 0.851 0.3573
Finder of Paths Unseen 267 52.06% 33.69 -11.873 44.94% -1.082 -0.4937
Fractured Days Split the Sky 650 48.15% 42.11 -5.507 52.62% -0.24 0.2068
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1102 43.1% 48.73 2.646 68.6% 0.363 0.1781
Heart of the Wildfire 3293 69.09% 40.19 0.23 54.66% 0.297 0.4399
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5057 57.77% 46.84 -2.662 67.33% -0.016 -0.6905
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 694 16.71% 56.29 4.326 85.16% 0.235 -0.2922
Lightning's Swift Strike 4262 69.77% 40.86 -3.688 54.81% -0.361 -0.3283
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 313 66.56% 41.85 0.0 57.19%
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 550 52.29% 46.74 -2.428 68.18% -0.483 -0.9784
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 475 38.95% 50.53 -2.004 72.42% -0.536 -0.7759
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2677 51.24% 48.52 -0.325 71.12% 0.113 -0.3128
Many Minds Move as One 919 40.26% 51.65 -3.915 79.76% -0.29 -0.7995
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4746 56.18% 45.81 2.805 65.32% 0.899 0.6291
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 345 65.51% 36.0 0.389 51.3% 0.232 0.118
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2231 52.06% 47.04 1.769 68.04% 0.411 0.1171
River Surges in Sunlight 5171 62.79% 45.99 -2.748 59.64% -0.439 -0.6102
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 95 54.74% 35.27 8.505 47.37% 0.5 0.3889
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 974 21.15% 57.49 6.614 80.7% 1.123 1.0571
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 515 53.02% 43.75 -2.284 59.61% -0.406 -0.5367
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2194 53.22% 45.93 -1.672 65.18% -0.39 -0.6539
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 57 38.6% 32.56 13.877 50.88% 0.508 0.0771
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2273 79.66% 40.22 -1.144 51.34% -0.01 0.4181
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 73 59.7% 43.63 5.726 60.27% 0.162 0.1658
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 288 51.24% 46.2 11.103 71.18% 1.049 0.2958
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 255 24.31% 56.99 7.225 83.53% 0.454 0.1354
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 257 76.65% 41.32 3.628 50.58% 0.053 -0.1253
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 154 74.68% 43.63 13.291 59.74% 0.299 0.2559
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4520 37.98% 53.26 4.631 76.97% 0.866 0.5004
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 49 38.78% 46.96 -4.143 75.51% -0.219 -0.7599
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 313 47.28% 43.49 0.0 66.13%
Shifting Memory of Ages 532 66.73% 38.26 -12.067 48.31% -0.75 -0.4557
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 97 61.86% 39.97 -20.915 57.73% -0.485 -0.6479
Shroud of Silent Mist 455 75.99% 34.34 -15.951 44.84% -0.528 -0.3462
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 53 56.6% 33.36 -3.07 50.94% -0.248 -0.6583
Starlight Seeks its Form 1181 41.15% 43.88 -5.843 61.05% -0.483 -0.7257
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3010 35.74% 49.53 -5.791 77.31% -0.682 -1.6346
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2227 48.26% 49.49 3.73 70.18% 0.224 0.2665
Thunderspeaker 3521 54.78% 45.02 -3.132 61.12% -0.346 -0.5408
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 140 48.57% 45.1 -0.608 67.86% 0.206 0.0373
Towering Roots of the Jungle 426 53.05% 35.13 -10.263 48.12% -1.003 -1.1138
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1552 85.69% 43.12 -3.89 62.11% 0.035 -0.1156
Vital Strength of the Earth 2742 63.34% 34.15 -4.819 36.11% -0.729 -0.37
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 335 47.45% 37.74 -0.074 45.97% -0.238 0.0056
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 173 50.29% 34.84 -13.492 38.15% -0.538 0.1431
Volcano Looming High 1348 67.01% 42.08 0.322 60.09% 0.321 -0.0033
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 424 46.46% 41.13 4.226 61.79% 0.83 0.3121

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 0.0% 13.2 0.0 20.0%
Blitz 0 497 66.8% 38.6 -3.179 49.09% -0.235 0.1963
Dahan Insurrection 4 733 43.52% 59.01 0.271 54.43% -0.602 -0.6282
Despicable Theft 2 13 46.15% 38.38 0.0 38.46%
Elemental Invocation 1 75 64.0% 21.79 -23.327 16.0% -0.653 -0.2056
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2656 14.15% 60.29 3.853 86.82% 0.5 -0.0996
Powers Long Forgotten 1 130 66.92% 39.12 -10.44 42.31% -1.073 -0.4643
Rituals of Terror 3 112 51.79% 38.67 -10.426 31.25% -0.084 0.0405
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 60 90.0% 47.9 0.0 41.67%
Second Wave 0 1322 60.84% 46.22 -0.312 58.02% -0.407 -0.3012
The Great River 3 39 56.41% 35.95 0.0 23.08%
Varied Terrains 2 17 64.71% 34.59 0.0 23.53%
Ward the Shores 2 78 70.51% 43.88 0.0 43.59%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 46321 54.76% 44.85 -0.493 63.3% -0.121 0.1032
1 Thematic 1607 58.49% 49.43 0.325 54.57% -0.334 0.2161
2 Archipelago 14 78.57% 55.36 0.0 64.29%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6632 55.49% 46.32 -1.331 66.07% -0.116 -0.005
2 Coastline 1055 48.48% 46.3 -0.709 66.54% -0.331 -0.4206
2 Fragment 126 65.6% 43.33 0.0 61.11%
2 Heart 98 61.22% 44.36 10.839 62.24% 0.797 0.4703
2 Opposite Shores 1952 45.82% 49.84 1.684 72.44% 0.257 0.2934
2 Thematic 409 63.55% 46.96 -0.38 49.39% -0.016 0.5128
2 Top to Top 229 61.4% 45.9 -8.161 66.38% -0.011 -0.2176
3 Archipelago 4 50.0% 84.75 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 14 42.86% 63.86 0.0 92.86%
3 Other 52 59.62% 50.92 0.0 71.15%
3 Round (Default) 2252 47.81% 49.7 3.15 72.96% 0.42 0.3242
3 Sunrise 6 50.0% 34.33 0.0 33.33%
3 Thematic 91 48.35% 52.0 0.0 61.54%
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 64.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 14 57.14% 49.71 0.0 71.43%
4 Snake 1 100.0% 38.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 250 26.4% 51.16 -9.9 64.8% -0.306 0.1679
4 Trapezoid (Default) 997 44.72% 43.59 -2.421 63.09% -0.192 -0.381
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 35 42.86% 49.09 0.0 74.29%
5 Thematic 6 83.33% 69.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 5 20.0% 61.2 0.0 80.0%
6 Other 18 38.89% 28.28 -1.508 38.89% 0.336 0.6059
6 Star 4 0.0% 28.5 0.0 25.0%
6 Thematic 39 30.77% 60.15 0.0 69.23%
6 Two Centers (Default) 30 16.67% 39.5 0.0 63.33%
7 Archipelago 9 44.44% 47.0 3.732 11.11% -0.365 0.0411
7 Other 4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2116 40.38 -7.463 49.57% -1.024 -0.713
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1515 44.62 -0.162 58.09% -0.561 -0.5478
All Things Weaken 1302 38.85 -6.435 47.7% -1.106 -0.6318
Attenuated Essence 332 38.83 -8.048 53.01% -1.437 -1.2904
Back Against the Wall 1525 43.3 0.895 55.15% -0.115 0.0148
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 318 36.34 -0.591 49.06% -0.288 0.0317
Burn Brightest Before the End 219 41.33 2.416 54.34% -0.069 0.1081
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1977 36.71 -6.291 45.47% -1.165 -0.7841
Downward Spiral 6353 38.18 -1.619 48.24% -0.109 0.0843
Erosion of Will 2023 38.18 0.763 45.08% -0.31 0.0278
Intensifying Exploitation 356 33.55 -3.947 44.1% -0.837 -0.4849
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 465 50.83 7.377 80.22% 0.633 0.2702
Memory Fades to Dust 6205 37.52 -1.18 45.54% -0.14 0.1891
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1255 39.37 -0.892 51.31% -0.338 -0.071
Promising Farmlands 2051 37.0 -4.28 44.37% -0.707 -0.26
Shattered Fragments of Power 203 41.04 3.011 54.19% 0.102 0.1016
Slow Dissolution of Will 291 33.0 1.087 39.86% -0.288 0.1234
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 274 51.55 8.796 82.85% 0.861 0.3023
The Border of Life and Death 85 48.93 -10.036 78.82% -0.202 -0.4468
Thriving Communities 1300 38.62 -2.823 50.23% -0.183 0.0946
Thriving Crops 123 46.3 -11.223 73.98% -0.389 -0.4845
Tipping Point 639 38.12 0.0 42.72%
Unnatural Proliferation 1343 41.98 1.541 53.83% -0.081 0.1233
Untended Land Crumbles 1259 38.92 -4.848 50.44% -0.905 -0.6058

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12145 56.22% 43.2 -1.747 59.34% -0.108 0.8836
B 13885 51.35% 47.07 2.764 67.18% 0.416 1.2811
C 13725 58.25% 44.59 -0.463 62.51% 0.029 0.7812
D 10906 59.47% 43.03 0.105 59.53% 0.212 1.1571
E 5307 52.43% 45.45 0.745 66.04% 0.285 1.0394
F 8088 46.45% 47.77 0.264 70.51% 0.022 0.8963
G 6957 47.15% 48.58 1.07 71.09% 0.188 1.05
H 7361 45.17% 48.99 -0.187 71.76% -0.02 0.7871
East 1484 55.14% 50.47 2.797 56.74% 0.57 1.3155
Northeast 885 52.38% 49.55 -2.898 57.06% -0.537 0.3558
Northwest 786 43.35% 49.98 -1.119 56.49% -0.451 0.2925
Southeast 242 50.83% 47.86 -14.511 57.02% -0.508 0.5007
Southwest 233 53.02% 40.94 -8.119 48.07% -0.438 0.7184
West 1377 50.36% 48.95 -5.989 53.67% -0.223 0.7596

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 309 0.0% 40.11 4.002 53.07% 0.087 0.8068
Not Using Events or Tokens 10306 66.75% 38.54 -5.872 50.51% -0.623 -0.1485
Skip Initial Invader Actions 449 22.96% 60.77 16.532 81.29% 0.944 0.1393
Start of Game Growth 930 21.23% 61.05 -0.303 83.66% 0.153 -0.4136
Unlimited Undo 10682 32.3% 54.73 3.286 82.32% 0.314 0.3416
Using Tokens but Not Events 12012 26.44% 54.21 5.895 81.28% 1.123 1.0954

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 12188 12.25 17.28%
II 26475 29.91 65.83%
III 17463 34.94 81.2%
IV 6182 38.9 99.5%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.287 Win Model: -0.172
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 48080 54.89% 44.99 62.95%
2 10437 53.65% 47.02 66.83%
3 2392 48.1% 49.94 72.66%
4 1258 40.48% 45.43 64.15%
5 37 45.95% 44.49 62.16%
6 104 25.96% 45.07 56.73%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2106
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13975
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 16992
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6095
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6025
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3461
Lose: Adversary condition 130
Win: Sacrifice victory 196
Lose: Scenario condition 217
Win: Scenario condition 502
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12004
Lose: Spirit destroyed 605

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8901 60.85% 38.72 -2.87 41.29% -0.319 -0.7365
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 639 48.67% 30.87 6.189 35.37% 0.89 0.2343
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 134 64.93% 32.1 -5.894 35.07% -0.541 -0.6982
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 872 60.67% 42.0 5.592 56.65% 0.95 0.0894
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7490 79.5% 39.01 -4.019 43.7% -0.264 -0.1263
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 2623 59.36% 50.26 11.141 70.0% 1.945 0.9153
Dances Up Earthquakes 775 76.26% 32.87 -0.401 40.52% -0.339 -0.3752
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4339 73.76% 36.22 -6.354 39.2% -0.711 -1.0658
Downpour Drenches the World 2025 51.14% 31.67 0.252 35.11% -0.189 -0.0656
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 3511 55.75% 41.3 4.501 55.25% 0.858 0.2876
Eyes Watch From the Trees 11365 51.93% 45.57 2.032 58.86% 0.593 -0.0527
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4474 71.54% 41.51 0.877 48.88% 0.354 -0.1397
Finder of Paths Unseen 1050 66.25% 27.4 -2.081 28.48% -0.803 -0.2144
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2351 57.79% 42.36 1.422 47.13% 0.251 0.6981
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2860 65.37% 39.3 6.17 47.66% 0.905 0.7194
Heart of the Wildfire 9545 86.29% 29.98 -0.933 27.92% -0.061 0.0821
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 12986 68.33% 40.04 -0.838 48.28% 0.076 -0.5979
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 1000 57.1% 37.77 -0.444 47.9% -0.064 -0.5912
Lightning's Swift Strike 9646 70.06% 36.0 -5.488 38.87% -0.72 -0.687
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1700 71.13% 40.13 2.394 49.35% 0.541 -0.1116
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1860 76.43% 43.52 0.062 55.91% 0.469 -0.0261
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1595 62.69% 41.01 -1.2 50.72% -0.148 -0.3878
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 8106 62.74% 41.4 0.147 51.36% 0.057 -0.3685
Many Minds Move as One 3061 57.03% 50.19 4.486 67.43% 0.843 0.3345
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 34788 55.85% 51.94 -0.825 72.45% 0.349 0.0798
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 1627 73.42% 31.11 -0.234 39.09% 0.11 -0.0036
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4434 73.35% 37.77 -3.039 41.97% -0.303 -0.5965
River Surges in Sunlight 13994 71.5% 41.4 -0.737 44.68% 0.014 -0.157
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 780 62.05% 29.7 -11.959 36.67% -0.981 -1.0921
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 786 71.83% 33.92 -11.126 28.75% -1.134 -1.1992
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1992 64.84% 34.75 0.273 40.06% -0.016 -0.1462
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7346 58.73% 40.97 -2.694 48.3% -0.708 -0.9721
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 237 62.03% 41.87 5.815 55.27% 1.031 0.601
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4444 68.08% 34.9 -1.104 36.48% 0.059 0.4873
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 173 82.74% 37.84 -4.513 43.35% 0.204 0.2076
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 1783 61.98% 43.95 4.603 60.29% 0.597 -0.1557
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 315 66.67% 30.12 -0.733 33.97% 0.11 -0.2087
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 657 80.79% 37.49 -2.574 41.25% -0.186 -0.365
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 489 88.34% 38.51 -10.169 42.94% -0.378 -0.4203
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7866 62.26% 40.93 -4.196 49.3% -0.311 -0.6772
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 196 74.49% 41.87 3.114 59.18% 0.622 0.0807
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 757 63.14% 34.56 -0.919 43.46% -0.127 -0.3712
Shifting Memory of Ages 1388 76.21% 33.63 -10.197 31.99% -1.371 -1.0764
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 488 55.94% 38.95 1.589 47.54% 0.089 -0.0747
Shroud of Silent Mist 1474 84.86% 29.48 -6.545 29.44% -0.746 -0.564
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 120 81.67% 34.01 -4.399 45.0% -0.564 -0.9741
Starlight Seeks its Form 4516 68.57% 36.3 -4.949 39.5% -0.498 -0.7405
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6975 63.11% 42.45 0.595 48.37% 0.086 -0.866
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4451 71.42% 40.52 -2.868 46.89% -0.228 -0.185
Thunderspeaker 10538 69.69% 41.93 -3.626 41.56% -0.276 -0.4715
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 621 60.71% 36.17 1.59 44.77% 0.207 0.0383
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1307 55.67% 30.32 1.853 37.34% 0.021 -0.0898
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 5271 89.92% 41.95 2.9 53.63% 0.631 0.4799
Vital Strength of the Earth 5319 73.35% 27.47 -4.322 18.91% -0.662 -0.303
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 630 66.45% 29.14 -10.047 27.94% -0.767 -0.5236
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 614 74.18% 25.64 -4.798 16.45% -0.09 0.5915
Volcano Looming High 5030 74.14% 38.08 -0.635 46.3% -0.042 -0.366
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1399 66.19% 37.22 5.692 48.18% 0.962 0.4445

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 29 37.93% 47.17 0.0 51.72%
Blitz 0 1268 53.93% 40.29 -1.85 47.71% -0.403 0.0285
Dahan Insurrection 4 3602 71.19% 51.72 -0.113 33.34% -0.694 -0.7195
Despicable Theft 2 39 53.85% 31.74 0.0 20.51%
Elemental Invocation 1 126 68.25% 27.95 0.0 13.49%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6048 35.29% 52.51 3.179 64.15% 0.411 -0.1884
Powers Long Forgotten 1 162 79.38% 32.76 -12.88 21.6% -0.82 -0.2116
Rituals of Terror 3 514 48.73% 66.15 18.276 38.52% 0.393 0.5178
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 60 58.33% 24.95 4.089 13.33% -0.096 0.642
Second Wave 0 1184 64.9% 44.83 0.78 46.71% -0.484 -0.3782
The Great River 3 76 64.47% 37.64 12.4 26.32% 0.586 1.7605
Varied Terrains 2 47 53.19% 25.89 -10.937 14.89% -0.673 0.0641
Ward the Shores 2 119 70.59% 28.94 0.0 20.17%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 148466 68.75% 40.48 -0.343 49.1% 0.062 0.287
1 Thematic 5432 73.03% 48.53 1.468 36.54% 0.219 0.7695
2 Archipelago 87 41.86% 32.63 0.0 26.44%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 15380 62.72% 43.77 0.982 55.4% 0.086 0.1974
2 Coastline 2753 65.05% 41.22 3.997 51.87% 0.292 0.2032
2 Fragment 288 72.82% 34.07 9.581 38.19% 0.526 0.1876
2 Heart 190 68.95% 38.78 -6.629 43.68% -0.421 -0.7483
2 Opposite Shores 4500 68.62% 37.97 -3.643 41.87% -0.64 -0.6031
2 Thematic 1343 76.52% 45.17 2.619 32.17% 0.31 0.8381
2 Top to Top 725 71.94% 39.7 2.227 46.9% 0.207 0.0003
3 Archipelago 7 42.86% 59.29 0.0 57.14%
3 Coastline 68 57.35% 46.88 12.4 54.41% 0.586 0.0646
3 Other 116 77.59% 39.99 3.671 44.83% 0.484 -0.2585
3 Round (Default) 4546 64.51% 39.77 -4.59 48.64% -1.202 -1.2982
3 Sunrise 8 87.5% 51.38 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 193 47.15% 75.44 0.0 50.26%
4 Archipelago 6 66.67% 50.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Coastline 17 52.94% 42.71 0.0 47.06%
4 Leaf 9 44.44% 29.56 0.0 33.33%
4 Other 50 76.0% 47.32 18.751 62.0% 0.704 0.1572
4 Snake 2 100.0% 26.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 537 46.83% 58.79 -8.257 47.86% -0.544 -0.0705
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3212 47.44% 36.85 5.294 45.58% 0.869 0.6799
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 18.67 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 24 12.5% 51.71 0.0 75.0%
5 Other 87 68.97% 46.25 -10.012 56.32% -1.053 -1.3796
5 Thematic 11 72.73% 42.55 0.0 27.27%
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 48.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Coastline 7 0.0% 63.71 0.0 85.71%
6 Other 78 34.62% 26.56 0.0 37.18%
6 Star 28 42.86% 31.64 -9.772 39.29% -0.193 0.6029
6 Thematic 59 48.28% 24.34 -4.241 25.42% -0.219 0.3621
6 Two Centers (Default) 62 48.39% 30.29 0.0 37.1%
7 Archipelago 4 0.0% 13.25 -12.311 0.0% -0.103 0.3031
7 Other 7 28.57% 18.14 0.0 14.29%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 9361 40.18 -0.705 43.64% -0.439 -0.1284
Aid From Lesser Spirits 7233 46.18 6.872 55.32% 0.643 0.6564
All Things Weaken 5488 37.18 0.281 39.49% -0.301 0.173
Attenuated Essence 1668 34.14 1.555 40.05% -0.093 0.0539
Back Against the Wall 6187 41.94 5.006 45.5% 0.474 0.6037
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1573 31.25 -4.175 34.46% -0.459 -0.1393
Burn Brightest Before the End 1064 37.95 1.193 40.98% -0.288 -0.1114
Disintegrating Ecosystem 8718 36.61 -0.147 40.2% 0.033 0.4134
Downward Spiral 18050 37.3 -1.918 38.12% -0.462 -0.269
Erosion of Will 9098 38.64 0.533 40.67% -0.634 -0.2959
Intensifying Exploitation 1723 29.97 0.525 33.37% -0.045 0.3072
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1558 48.36 1.7 67.07% 0.127 -0.2361
Memory Fades to Dust 17832 36.67 -0.584 35.33% -0.446 -0.117
Power Corrodes the Spirit 5464 36.21 -0.76 38.65% -0.64 -0.3731
Promising Farmlands 8720 37.43 -0.538 40.0% -0.367 0.08
Shattered Fragments of Power 1054 39.1 6.313 44.78% 0.633 0.6323
Slow Dissolution of Will 1664 31.58 -0.124 31.97% -0.326 0.0851
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 925 48.95 -3.387 71.03% -0.502 -1.0605
The Border of Life and Death 313 37.65 0.38 54.31% 0.196 -0.0491
Thriving Communities 5285 34.5 -0.868 35.46% -0.431 -0.1537
Thriving Crops 533 35.35 4.51 49.91% 0.422 0.3265
Tipping Point 2485 38.06 0.0 37.42%
Unnatural Proliferation 5778 39.67 0.132 42.16% -0.576 -0.3711
Untended Land Crumbles 5376 35.58 1.324 37.41% 0.045 0.3442

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 33852 68.21% 37.49 -0.757 43.24% -0.211 0.7805
B 38865 66.0% 40.93 0.167 49.59% -0.019 0.8463
C 38982 67.39% 39.65 0.349 47.46% -0.061 0.6913
D 35232 66.88% 41.2 -0.115 50.36% -0.238 0.7071
E 18206 66.59% 40.16 2.216 49.85% 0.185 0.9398
F 21369 64.36% 41.47 0.169 51.87% -0.121 0.7533
G 19962 64.53% 42.82 -1.603 54.4% -0.328 0.5346
H 19061 63.13% 42.09 -0.372 52.83% -0.297 0.5104
East 5422 71.46% 51.12 -1.946 36.72% -0.353 0.3927
Northeast 2878 67.12% 53.78 -3.152 41.8% -0.537 0.3568
Northwest 1830 60.5% 50.17 3.261 41.91% -0.244 0.4996
Southeast 493 74.85% 34.14 -7.664 23.33% -0.763 0.2461
Southwest 446 63.72% 27.4 -12.661 20.63% -1.081 0.0758
West 3373 65.29% 47.11 -0.022 35.84% 0.328 1.3109

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 897 0.0% 36.81 0.0 37.57%
Not Using Events or Tokens 20183 74.99% 32.88 -4.128 29.71% -0.596 -0.1218
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3374 17.15% 63.16 10.857 82.19% 0.909 0.1039
Start of Game Growth 8070 23.66% 55.8 6.009 75.69% 0.788 0.221
Unlimited Undo 17104 59.15% 42.74 1.107 55.09% -0.059 -0.0317
Using Tokens but Not Events 15570 52.18% 41.65 2.77 50.96% 0.379 0.3518

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 47273 12.25 3.66%
II 67985 29.91 45.47%
III 57950 34.94 76.46%
IV 15229 38.9 99.62%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.383 Win Model: 0.282
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 154686 68.89% 40.79 48.65%
2 24840 64.99% 42.42 51.0%
3 4873 63.66% 41.67 48.94%
4 3697 48.36% 37.7 45.23%
5 106 56.6% 40.45 49.06%
6 235 38.89% 29.44 37.87%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1724
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 43564
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 29270
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14969
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 27665
Lose: Invader deck ran out 12990
Lose: Adversary condition 736
Win: Sacrifice victory 973
Lose: Scenario condition 1114
Win: Scenario condition 1624
Lose: Unique spirit condition 3
Lose: Blight pool ran out 50551
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3254

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)