The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 10778 25.21% 23.44 0.277 80.02% 0.1 0.0051
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 212 15.57% 24.14 3.019 70.75% 0.411 -0.0645
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7030 43.52% 23.53 0.367 79.83% 0.098 0.2106
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 337 15.13% 26.8 6.133 75.67% 1.399 0.5861
Dances Up Earthquakes 158 28.48% 21.98 1.441 70.25% 0.253 0.244
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5134 25.4% 24.97 1.084 85.08% 0.33 0.1903
Downpour Drenches the World 955 21.55% 19.24 -1.899 62.2% -0.398 -0.171
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1098 18.54% 23.89 0.806 73.68% 0.144 -0.4256
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6617 15.81% 28.67 3.014 89.97% 0.808 0.4203
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4962 19.75% 26.83 1.341 88.63% 0.262 -0.1316
Finder of Paths Unseen 589 29.69% 14.51 -2.929 47.88% -0.511 0.2174
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1364 26.73% 22.68 -1.215 65.76% -0.741 -0.1007
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1383 36.01% 22.59 0.203 69.05% 0.067 -0.0668
Heart of the Wildfire 6254 56.66% 20.63 -0.604 71.01% -0.192 0.1376
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8260 27.35% 25.86 -0.295 86.43% -0.13 -0.5531
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 345 13.33% 22.64 2.653 65.8% 0.739 0.4323
Lightning's Swift Strike 12231 42.34% 21.65 -1.018 73.19% -0.214 0.0239
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 374 32.35% 23.79 1.22 70.32% 0.047 -0.3607
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1018 21.54% 23.02 0.124 73.08% 0.008 -0.3108
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 882 23.92% 22.35 -1.148 68.93% -0.446 -0.5269
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3668 23.48% 25.74 1.272 81.84% 0.197 0.0038
Many Minds Move as One 2155 20.13% 25.36 0.157 81.39% -0.077 -0.2934
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 10208 39.25% 23.42 -1.235 78.97% -0.205 -0.0658
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 243 43.21% 19.33 -0.146 71.19% 0.395 0.4762
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4546 29.59% 23.91 0.468 82.89% 0.127 0.0491
River Surges in Sunlight 13295 38.38% 23.81 -0.216 72.79% -0.24 -0.1143
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 142 22.54% 19.39 -2.463 55.63% -0.859 -0.6806
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1044 36.77% 24.55 0.064 72.89% -0.133 0.1461
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 482 31.66% 24.62 2.942 68.88% 0.397 0.2741
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5349 28.64% 24.32 0.32 83.1% 0.136 0.0092
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 63 31.75% 22.16 2.197 69.84% 0.324 0.2113
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 7223 53.09% 21.17 -1.698 70.11% -0.48 0.0351
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 171 32.94% 20.49 3.746 60.82% 0.497 0.4784
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 248 23.89% 25.69 3.376 76.61% 0.605 0.1015
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 177 26.7% 19.78 4.565 63.84% 1.179 0.9871
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 668 32.78% 25.59 -1.503 84.13% -0.362 -0.4215
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 527 41.71% 23.3 -1.265 75.52% -0.617 -0.5355
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5910 27.71% 25.5 -0.621 83.74% -0.317 -0.2373
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 349 15.56% 21.97 0.185 67.62% -0.077 -0.2637
Shifting Memory of Ages 1297 33.2% 19.34 -1.965 62.22% -0.5 -0.2331
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 141 17.02% 20.38 4.005 56.74% 0.644 0.526
Shroud of Silent Mist 1648 39.62% 21.27 -2.261 71.97% -0.742 -0.3906
Starlight Seeks its Form 2057 19.67% 21.88 -0.378 67.28% -0.08 -0.1976
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2903 26.18% 22.46 0.72 80.95% 0.025 -0.4877
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3801 30.65% 23.5 -0.246 78.53% -0.003 0.115
Thunderspeaker 9779 30.01% 24.14 -0.716 78.18% -0.148 -0.1162
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 273 28.21% 18.13 -0.362 52.38% -0.2 -0.1862
Towering Roots of the Jungle 343 28.65% 20.04 0.898 64.43% 0.096 0.2259
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1932 56.68% 20.0 -1.605 73.29% -0.219 -0.0923
Vital Strength of the Earth 9151 31.62% 19.98 -1.932 68.63% -0.594 0.0059
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 329 26.54% 18.93 -0.877 57.45% -0.327 0.1663
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 541 29.13% 19.51 -3.693 65.06% -0.697 0.0006
Volcano Looming High 2163 35.84% 22.09 0.398 73.69% 0.207 0.2546
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 619 16.88% 24.62 3.406 75.77% 0.711 0.421

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 48 29.17% 24.96 -0.336 70.83% -0.406 -0.2146
Blitz 0 1448 35.65% 19.79 -1.477 64.3% -0.328 -0.1103
Dahan Insurrection 4 1650 19.72% 42.71 8.059 74.18% -0.036 -0.2889
Despicable Theft 2 271 30.63% 25.58 0.731 60.15% -0.361 0.2258
Elemental Invocation 1 369 35.23% 22.75 -0.75 62.06% -0.784 -0.0444
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2545 8.6% 29.28 3.622 81.3% 0.44 -0.1214
Powers Long Forgotten 1 618 47.65% 24.05 -1.2 62.94% -0.777 -0.017
Rituals of Terror 3 741 40.46% 30.67 1.633 61.4% -0.236 -0.1161
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 431 59.86% 27.88 -0.431 57.08% -0.665 0.2427
Second Wave 0 1365 50.11% 25.5 3.366 70.26% 0.064 0.202
The Great River 3 271 40.22% 23.95 -0.203 43.54% -1.227 -0.1266
Varied Terrains 2 239 41.84% 17.8 1.614 37.66% -0.653 0.1225
Ward the Shores 2 686 38.3% 26.14 -4.114 61.22% -1.526 -0.4511

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 77739 37.51% 22.56 -0.299 75.78% -0.097 0.2359
1 Thematic 5872 38.81% 29.36 1.268 71.78% -0.372 0.3134
2 Archipelago 51 47.06% 33.1 0.0 66.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 16334 32.15% 22.87 -0.177 78.65% 0.074 0.1935
2 Coastline 1817 33.35% 23.39 1.859 79.64% 0.8 0.7273
2 Fragment 429 37.89% 21.98 1.448 76.22% 0.32 0.1348
2 Heart 247 39.51% 21.66 1.354 75.71% 0.443 0.286
2 Opposite Shores 2523 30.63% 23.92 0.703 84.03% 0.533 0.6846
2 Thematic 1471 36.13% 29.12 1.28 70.09% -0.142 0.3656
2 Top to Top 458 32.09% 23.09 0.214 82.97% 0.462 0.404
3 Archipelago 23 43.48% 34.91 5.031 86.96% -0.246 -1.1978
3 Coastline 53 33.33% 22.34 -1.507 60.38% -0.378 -0.7883
3 Other 304 21.93% 15.71 -2.58 53.29% -0.454 -1.2257
3 Round (Default) 5123 24.84% 25.23 1.481 85.63% 0.644 0.5534
3 Sunrise 27 42.31% 26.37 0.0 85.19%
3 Thematic 279 35.97% 29.68 -1.857 68.82% -0.289 -0.2687
4 Archipelago 22 22.73% 31.23 0.0 72.73%
4 Coastline 14 7.14% 44.21 0.0 85.71%
4 Leaf 13 69.23% 15.15 -4.301 53.85% -0.444 -0.6054
4 Other 95 26.09% 19.18 -7.726 67.37% -0.871 -1.5818
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 26.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 0.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 445 22.25% 33.98 -3.637 87.42% -0.226 -0.1027
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2763 19.27% 22.17 -1.282 75.1% -0.198 -0.2007
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 163 14.72% 22.26 -2.577 65.03% -0.507 -1.0213
5 Thematic 17 23.53% 26.88 0.0 58.82%
6 Archipelago 7 0.0% 31.14 0.0 85.71%
6 Coastline 3 0.0% 28.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 31 6.67% 18.42 11.684 58.06% 0.75 0.6461
6 Star 32 3.13% 26.16 -10.797 87.5% -0.605 -0.6192
6 Thematic 75 20.0% 25.67 -1.136 64.0% -0.359 -0.0735
6 Two Centers (Default) 184 15.76% 19.3 -3.606 61.41% -0.401 0.1321
7 Other 8 0.0% 0.0 -8.625 0.0% -0.203 -0.762

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2349 18.53 -3.172 59.0% -1.182 -0.9306
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2004 20.11 0.504 62.77% -0.295 -0.3523
All Things Weaken 1175 18.93 -1.649 58.55% -0.463 -0.1287
Attenuated Essence 155 18.05 -1.884 57.42% -0.72 -0.6864
Back Against the Wall 1911 19.73 0.617 61.59% -0.233 -0.1978
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 157 17.55 -2.577 55.41% -0.734 -0.5166
Burn Brightest Before the End 136 20.78 -1.06 55.15% -0.56 -0.5498
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2214 16.44 -3.581 58.04% -0.803 -0.459
Downward Spiral 9560 16.17 -1.463 58.43% -0.301 -0.1836
Erosion of Will 2268 18.11 0.475 57.89% 0.067 0.3419
Intensifying Exploitation 184 16.29 -1.543 56.52% -0.258 -0.047
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 517 24.57 1.887 88.59% 0.364 -0.2087
Memory Fades to Dust 9441 16.16 -1.674 55.92% -0.338 -0.0853
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1159 18.42 -1.929 62.73% -0.457 -0.2528
Promising Farmlands 2291 17.37 -2.356 60.28% -0.629 -0.3754
Shattered Fragments of Power 154 20.3 -0.102 55.19% -0.317 -0.243
Slow Dissolution of Will 189 18.09 1.565 53.44% 0.466 0.8468
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 316 24.93 -1.383 90.51% -0.405 -1.0785
The Border of Life and Death 56 19.21 2.274 64.29% 0.705 0.1042
Thriving Communities 1087 17.48 -1.15 58.97% -0.053 0.229
Thriving Crops 92 22.92 1.868 78.26% 0.896 0.7558
Tipping Point 789 17.93 0.0 63.12%
Unnatural Proliferation 1159 19.87 0.665 62.55% 0.498 0.7012
Untended Land Crumbles 1152 17.68 0.325 57.55% 0.317 0.5069

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 27141 35.68% 22.31 -0.541 75.99% -0.825 0.1731
B 27516 34.36% 22.59 -0.194 76.75% -0.709 0.2137
C 28204 32.86% 22.9 -0.083 77.55% -0.772 -0.0429
D 26176 34.2% 22.64 0.111 76.86% -0.667 0.2919
E 9066 28.16% 23.15 0.389 75.71% -0.669 0.1504
F 12247 29.33% 23.49 -0.837 79.12% -1.002 -0.1206
G 11115 31.21% 23.64 -0.29 80.12% -0.886 -0.0608
H 11205 29.12% 23.87 0.16 79.96% -0.748 0.0905
East 5081 35.1% 30.58 0.718 73.21% -0.82 0.0547
Northeast 3042 34.32% 31.23 1.83 75.58% -0.331 0.4213
Northwest 2195 34.14% 30.29 -0.22 74.72% -0.97 -0.078
Southeast 731 27.61% 25.67 0.359 64.71% -0.742 0.0967
Southwest 679 34.37% 20.9 -1.495 59.2% -0.777 0.5281
West 4252 37.79% 28.93 -0.349 70.51% -0.944 0.0061

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2233 0.0% 19.62 -2.376 64.31% -0.602 0.1273
Not Using Events or Tokens 30720 43.8% 20.3 -1.819 68.91% -0.529 -0.1829
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1634 11.18% 32.07 3.612 88.07% 0.549 -0.0536
Start of Game Growth 2588 13.84% 30.51 3.049 86.36% 0.435 -0.0693
Unlimited Undo 7120 29.29% 24.58 1.128 81.33% 0.245 0.138
Using Tokens but Not Events 10088 27.75% 23.75 0.12 80.17% -0.039 -0.0684

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 15863 13.42 17.22%
II 33921 30.13 73.7%
III 46821 34.83 88.93%
IV 20167 38.67 98.9%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.062 Win Model: 0.698
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 84308 37.59% 23.0 75.26%
2 22932 32.48% 23.57 79.54%
3 5709 25.36% 25.01 83.43%
4 3327 19.84% 23.82 76.62%
5 157 12.74% 20.82 62.42%
6 339 13.95% 21.36 63.72%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2724
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 40714
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 23660
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 19757
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 10678
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1368
Lose: Adversary condition 447
Win: Sacrifice victory 436
Lose: Scenario condition 666
Win: Scenario condition 2021
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13492
Lose: Spirit destroyed 809

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8119 26.82% 28.34 -0.803 81.3% -0.196 -0.2913
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 243 25.42% 27.6 1.725 71.19% 0.367 -0.1093
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5411 47.54% 27.33 0.736 78.06% 0.181 0.2932
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 388 23.56% 33.32 5.26 85.57% 0.828 0.0155
Dances Up Earthquakes 242 28.86% 21.95 -1.543 61.16% -0.264 -0.2729
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4251 28.29% 29.62 2.505 86.1% 0.666 0.5257
Downpour Drenches the World 1156 25.8% 23.56 -0.428 68.94% -0.088 0.1394
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1237 20.87% 27.21 2.629 77.04% 0.614 0.0446
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5643 19.66% 32.46 3.169 88.96% 0.776 0.3882
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4088 24.8% 33.15 2.717 89.21% 0.827 0.4328
Finder of Paths Unseen 677 37.81% 20.32 -1.4 54.8% -0.384 0.3439
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1544 30.92% 26.89 -3.425 68.91% -1.174 -0.5337
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1832 39.18% 29.08 2.174 78.11% 0.268 0.1343
Heart of the Wildfire 4976 62.92% 23.45 -1.89 67.93% -0.395 -0.0658
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7445 34.74% 29.41 -1.062 83.91% -0.246 -0.6696
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 325 28.57% 28.55 4.969 75.38% 0.891 0.5844
Lightning's Swift Strike 8378 45.4% 25.77 -0.778 73.47% -0.211 0.0272
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 409 35.45% 28.52 3.114 76.04% 0.267 -0.1404
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 740 33.97% 31.54 2.107 85.95% 0.496 0.1771
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 727 29.66% 31.85 0.011 75.52% -0.534 -0.6148
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3154 35.49% 29.72 0.633 81.26% -0.01 -0.2024
Many Minds Move as One 2121 21.86% 30.2 0.996 84.25% -0.02 -0.2365
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8394 36.64% 29.66 0.038 83.77% -0.147 -0.0076
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 417 41.6% 21.9 -0.827 65.71% -0.171 -0.0902
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3939 32.02% 28.13 1.471 83.35% 0.399 0.321
River Surges in Sunlight 9651 42.35% 28.29 0.714 74.84% -0.05 0.0753
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 175 39.53% 22.14 1.312 59.43% -0.047 0.1316
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 994 39.94% 27.37 -0.591 73.44% -0.284 -0.0046
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 638 39.34% 27.66 0.206 71.32% -0.178 -0.3011
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4268 33.81% 29.11 -0.037 81.84% -0.264 -0.3913
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 125 19.78% 25.84 -0.094 68.0% 0.082 -0.0307
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 5196 60.3% 24.08 -0.793 67.63% -0.131 0.3841
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 170 47.24% 26.41 2.515 70.59% 0.415 0.396
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 383 32.41% 27.24 2.722 73.11% 0.468 -0.0347
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 175 40.8% 25.51 -4.056 67.43% -0.905 -1.0971
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 622 38.81% 29.58 -1.156 81.99% -0.218 -0.2771
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 390 50.26% 27.47 2.194 75.9% 0.303 0.3842
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5207 30.97% 29.58 1.349 82.18% 0.121 0.2
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 419 25.6% 26.13 2.463 71.12% 0.544 0.357
Shifting Memory of Ages 1829 38.84% 24.79 -0.312 70.97% 0.285 0.5522
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 244 32.5% 24.32 1.249 61.48% -0.451 -0.5698
Shroud of Silent Mist 1650 45.76% 24.79 -1.61 74.24% -0.322 0.0293
Starlight Seeks its Form 1956 27.64% 26.83 0.484 76.69% 0.093 -0.0251
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2638 30.97% 27.43 0.157 82.75% -0.278 -0.7915
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3614 33.04% 27.5 -1.707 78.67% -0.387 -0.2698
Thunderspeaker 7639 34.67% 28.58 0.262 78.75% 0.047 0.0792
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 295 30.27% 21.86 -0.829 57.97% -0.533 -0.5194
Towering Roots of the Jungle 616 32.16% 22.17 -0.356 64.61% -0.071 0.0585
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2018 61.28% 24.39 -0.832 74.38% 0.026 0.152
Vital Strength of the Earth 6535 34.91% 24.07 -3.384 70.62% -0.829 -0.2291
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 370 31.08% 22.35 -1.584 64.32% -0.17 0.3233
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 517 35.94% 22.85 0.124 65.57% -0.179 0.5183
Volcano Looming High 2241 44.08% 24.62 -0.695 72.91% 0.06 0.108
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1028 25.58% 29.26 2.796 78.4% 0.68 0.39

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 50 30.0% 24.86 -4.734 60.0% -0.723 -0.5325
Blitz 0 1294 35.67% 23.11 -4.793 63.29% -1.125 -0.9073
Dahan Insurrection 4 1271 27.12% 44.18 4.378 68.37% -0.907 -1.1599
Despicable Theft 2 248 34.27% 27.82 -0.238 59.27% -0.54 0.0458
Elemental Invocation 1 403 38.31% 23.88 1.236 61.29% 0.318 1.0571
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2662 10.86% 35.64 7.065 78.06% 0.813 0.2518
Powers Long Forgotten 1 678 47.2% 25.8 -4.875 59.73% -1.237 -0.4777
Rituals of Terror 3 608 43.64% 32.23 2.99 59.21% -0.573 -0.4532
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 412 61.17% 30.45 0.671 56.31% -0.658 0.2493
Second Wave 0 5253 39.39% 30.59 1.751 77.37% -0.071 0.0678
The Great River 3 251 38.25% 26.94 -1.181 48.61% -1.081 0.0191
Varied Terrains 2 208 50.48% 21.68 1.157 43.75% -0.263 0.5131
Ward the Shores 2 560 43.83% 29.69 -3.413 60.18% -1.023 0.0513

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 61990 40.18% 25.89 -0.402 74.85% -0.004 0.329
1 Thematic 4872 42.22% 32.54 0.448 68.66% -0.292 0.3942
2 Archipelago 47 45.65% 30.68 -10.994 63.83% -1.106 -0.4985
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12857 35.95% 27.56 -0.065 80.83% -0.039 0.0812
2 Coastline 1716 32.2% 28.2 -1.117 81.82% -0.249 -0.3208
2 Fragment 439 41.44% 26.62 2.484 77.22% 0.624 0.4388
2 Heart 232 44.1% 27.01 2.268 74.57% 0.435 0.2779
2 Opposite Shores 3009 33.27% 28.46 -0.279 84.58% 0.002 0.1528
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -8.495 0.0% -0.321 0.7609
2 Thematic 1772 38.86% 31.04 -0.406 70.54% -0.643 -0.1351
2 Top to Top 532 34.79% 27.63 3.463 79.51% 0.984 0.9254
3 Archipelago 30 50.0% 37.7 7.336 83.33% 0.278 -0.6735
3 Coastline 37 35.14% 30.3 -8.101 64.86% -0.786 -1.196
3 Other 169 39.63% 28.4 3.839 84.02% 0.691 -0.0805
3 Round (Default) 5168 28.52% 30.17 1.013 83.96% 0.146 0.0544
3 Sunrise 27 22.22% 34.0 2.709 100.0% 0.319 0.2232
3 Thematic 282 42.5% 28.73 -0.511 64.89% 0.382 0.4028
4 Archipelago 13 53.85% 37.31 0.0 84.62%
4 Coastline 17 17.65% 32.0 -0.824 64.71% -0.488 -0.5733
4 Leaf 16 37.5% 34.13 -8.065 87.5% -0.54 -0.701
4 Other 93 35.56% 29.56 2.886 82.8% -0.088 -0.7988
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 3 0.0% 46.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 369 35.97% 37.88 3.14 76.15% -0.346 -0.2235
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2011 30.52% 29.41 -0.941 84.83% -0.284 -0.2869
5 Archipelago 5 40.0% 53.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 3 0.0% 40.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 116 41.07% 29.19 0.0 80.17%
5 Thematic 4 25.0% 20.5 7.286 50.0% 0.322 0.2649
6 Archipelago 12 16.67% 41.33 3.54 66.67% -0.361 -1.3987
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 30.0 2.951 100.0% 0.242 -0.7176
6 Other 36 27.78% 30.61 4.741 77.78% 0.473 0.3693
6 Star 15 26.67% 26.07 0.0 73.33%
6 Thematic 111 37.84% 37.86 -2.419 72.07% -0.498 -0.2125
6 Two Centers (Default) 181 19.34% 28.1 -2.232 76.24% -0.47 0.0631
7 Other 4 66.67% 33.5 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2126 23.11 0.006 62.61% -0.283 -0.0319
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1731 24.58 0.312 65.57% -0.15 -0.2076
All Things Weaken 1233 23.16 -2.524 62.37% -0.87 -0.5351
Attenuated Essence 222 23.73 -0.157 63.06% -0.481 -0.4474
Back Against the Wall 1831 24.05 1.625 63.79% 0.099 0.1339
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 218 24.86 0.757 71.56% 0.408 0.6252
Burn Brightest Before the End 172 24.65 -1.543 65.7% -0.622 -0.6117
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2198 20.57 -2.255 59.33% -0.475 -0.1304
Downward Spiral 7044 21.54 -0.804 64.92% -0.083 0.0345
Erosion of Will 2192 22.6 -1.806 60.22% -0.693 -0.4182
Intensifying Exploitation 236 20.47 -3.797 58.47% -1.069 -0.8581
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 584 28.66 2.909 90.58% 0.842 0.2691
Memory Fades to Dust 7107 20.91 -1.5 60.07% -0.394 -0.1416
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1198 22.88 -1.259 67.45% -0.207 -0.0023
Promising Farmlands 2180 21.4 0.13 61.79% 0.109 0.3627
Shattered Fragments of Power 197 23.63 -1.774 58.88% -0.952 -0.8782
Slow Dissolution of Will 243 21.37 -3.001 58.02% -0.545 -0.1642
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 408 28.14 0.205 90.69% 0.47 -0.2043
The Border of Life and Death 90 23.91 -0.182 72.22% 0.091 -0.51
Thriving Communities 1144 22.19 -0.22 64.34% -0.273 0.0089
Thriving Crops 117 26.76 1.004 86.32% 0.459 0.3184
Tipping Point 669 20.79 0.0 57.55%
Unnatural Proliferation 1267 24.0 0.363 66.22% -0.142 0.062
Untended Land Crumbles 1229 22.39 -1.558 63.79% -0.28 -0.0893

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 21822 38.51% 26.56 -0.639 76.62% -0.551 0.4474
B 21828 36.93% 27.26 0.066 78.81% -0.361 0.5612
C 22633 37.05% 27.35 0.255 79.02% -0.338 0.3907
D 20864 37.11% 27.23 0.245 78.78% -0.261 0.6978
E 8828 34.46% 27.48 0.22 77.92% -0.39 0.4293
F 10945 34.44% 27.77 0.131 79.7% -0.39 0.4922
G 9872 34.64% 27.62 0.018 79.47% -0.382 0.4438
H 10215 33.18% 28.09 0.693 80.22% -0.279 0.5599
East 4939 38.59% 33.6 2.011 70.28% -0.603 0.2722
Northeast 3099 37.78% 34.19 0.909 70.89% -0.367 0.3854
Northwest 2235 38.6% 32.41 0.723 72.35% -0.299 0.593
Southeast 720 38.08% 30.25 -3.886 65.83% -1.657 -0.8179
Southwest 719 40.95% 27.86 -0.107 63.0% 0.068 1.3722
West 4062 43.1% 31.11 0.513 68.49% -0.619 0.3306

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3436 0.0% 20.45 -3.074 62.51% -0.878 -0.1494
Not Using Events or Tokens 19518 44.04% 24.82 -1.426 71.17% -0.328 0.0176
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1197 13.19% 38.03 4.071 86.55% 0.887 0.2845
Start of Game Growth 1977 15.33% 36.43 2.841 86.49% 0.108 -0.3961
Unlimited Undo 7091 32.71% 28.31 0.265 80.23% 0.084 -0.0234
Using Tokens but Not Events 10939 31.49% 26.46 -0.357 77.8% 0.18 0.1504

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 12011 13.42 8.68%
II 22491 30.13 67.78%
III 40791 34.83 89.57%
IV 20971 38.67 98.94%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.312 Win Model: 0.561
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 67399 40.34% 26.34 74.2%
2 20316 35.69% 28.18 80.99%
3 5588 29.22% 30.21 83.77%
4 2497 31.35% 30.7 83.18%
5 108 44.76% 28.56 82.41%
6 356 26.2% 31.99 74.72%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1039
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 35699
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 14427
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 20536
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 9758
Lose: Invader deck ran out 775
Lose: Adversary condition 280
Win: Sacrifice victory 372
Lose: Scenario condition 661
Win: Scenario condition 1500
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10560
Lose: Spirit destroyed 657

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 9688 31.44% 36.97 -0.56 82.24% -0.094 -0.1886
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 342 36.26% 35.2 1.842 69.59% 0.385 -0.0905
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5929 55.11% 35.09 -0.163 76.34% -0.109 0.0033
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 433 29.1% 42.07 5.186 85.22% 0.683 -0.1298
Dances Up Earthquakes 333 44.38% 32.82 1.674 69.07% 0.297 0.288
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5117 36.36% 37.5 1.761 84.8% 0.435 0.2953
Downpour Drenches the World 1470 29.52% 31.98 0.709 70.2% 0.188 0.4153
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2181 26.8% 35.23 2.443 72.08% 0.605 0.0353
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7434 24.67% 41.58 3.782 89.59% 0.841 0.4536
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5147 30.56% 41.09 2.667 87.47% 0.542 0.1485
Finder of Paths Unseen 829 50.91% 32.2 -5.526 61.4% -1.268 -0.5394
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1684 35.81% 36.69 -1.325 71.73% -0.522 0.1187
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2350 39.28% 33.75 -1.189 70.6% -0.023 -0.1567
Heart of the Wildfire 6825 62.24% 32.34 -1.336 69.92% -0.3 0.0289
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 11220 38.81% 39.22 2.284 83.53% 0.256 -0.167
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 467 28.66% 36.01 -0.549 76.02% -0.235 -0.5418
Lightning's Swift Strike 9127 47.92% 34.31 -1.829 74.62% -0.458 -0.2198
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 681 46.54% 40.12 2.482 76.21% 0.26 -0.1479
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1087 36.47% 38.81 -0.077 81.05% -0.198 -0.5167
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1050 38.68% 40.66 2.54 78.48% 0.355 0.2747
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4827 37.24% 38.94 1.08 80.01% 0.072 -0.121
Many Minds Move as One 2626 26.64% 38.77 1.482 85.83% 0.265 0.0487
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 10547 45.98% 36.77 0.731 78.84% -0.016 0.124
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 571 52.54% 27.29 -1.661 60.42% -0.399 -0.3181
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5023 37.42% 37.06 0.682 83.87% 0.259 0.1811
River Surges in Sunlight 11209 47.74% 36.87 0.824 76.91% 0.096 0.2217
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 269 40.89% 32.83 1.128 63.57% -0.111 0.0671
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1417 42.96% 37.47 0.584 74.1% 0.108 0.3869
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 857 41.35% 36.05 2.782 67.68% 0.155 0.0327
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5979 40.01% 36.86 1.011 80.58% 0.114 -0.013
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 141 45.39% 39.45 2.504 73.05% 0.021 -0.0917
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4935 61.3% 32.63 -2.543 68.67% -0.499 0.0166
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 198 43.81% 34.41 0.495 69.19% -0.001 -0.0191
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 519 36.49% 43.16 6.03 81.5% 0.851 0.3479
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 247 46.75% 34.43 3.898 72.06% 0.462 0.2698
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 657 47.34% 37.4 2.462 82.04% 0.443 0.3841
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 595 54.21% 35.24 1.5 73.95% 0.015 0.0963
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6864 35.17% 37.95 -2.234 82.66% -0.535 -0.4552
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 733 25.99% 44.72 3.829 75.03% 0.583 0.3961
Shifting Memory of Ages 1774 50.08% 32.68 -1.054 71.48% -0.359 -0.0913
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 318 32.39% 31.5 0.207 67.3% -0.066 -0.1849
Shroud of Silent Mist 1926 61.23% 30.49 -2.11 67.5% -0.472 -0.1206
Starlight Seeks its Form 2910 38.67% 36.0 2.103 76.6% 0.45 0.3318
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3844 36.09% 36.05 -0.935 83.06% 0.03 -0.4834
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4070 37.9% 36.65 -2.204 79.75% -0.493 -0.3755
Thunderspeaker 9372 38.57% 37.7 -0.576 81.05% -0.311 -0.2789
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 379 30.16% 35.4 3.463 68.07% 0.456 0.4693
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1008 32.31% 30.42 -2.031 60.52% -0.494 -0.3648
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2735 71.69% 31.35 -1.549 70.57% -0.27 -0.1441
Vital Strength of the Earth 7033 37.08% 32.29 -3.333 72.23% -0.719 -0.1192
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 526 41.83% 34.02 1.303 70.91% 0.312 0.8056
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 885 26.47% 31.15 -4.935 71.3% -1.142 -0.4437
Volcano Looming High 3234 48.08% 33.83 0.148 75.79% 0.091 0.1391
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1294 28.59% 33.73 0.147 66.77% 0.015 -0.2749

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 40 15.0% 32.4 0.604 75.0% 0.116 0.3072
Blitz 0 1302 44.28% 31.97 -4.813 67.59% -1.07 -0.8525
Dahan Insurrection 4 1846 20.86% 50.58 -4.165 67.66% -1.106 -1.359
Despicable Theft 2 144 49.31% 34.06 -8.101 58.33% -1.139 -0.5529
Elemental Invocation 1 343 49.56% 29.38 -5.617 57.14% -0.94 -0.2006
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3861 9.98% 45.58 4.801 84.25% 0.383 -0.1786
Powers Long Forgotten 1 513 51.95% 33.55 -5.424 62.38% -0.908 -0.1485
Rituals of Terror 3 468 52.14% 39.7 1.458 60.68% -0.401 -0.2804
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 242 60.74% 38.49 -6.034 62.4% -1.028 -0.1205
Second Wave 0 4679 46.91% 37.03 1.562 72.84% -0.042 0.0962
The Great River 3 223 50.67% 33.59 1.366 46.19% -0.756 0.3437
Varied Terrains 2 154 58.44% 32.25 -3.324 50.65% -1.348 -0.572
Ward the Shores 2 455 46.58% 41.18 -3.885 70.55% -1.002 0.0725

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 71357 45.06% 34.05 -1.213 75.34% -0.64 -0.3076
1 Thematic 4253 47.44% 39.54 0.315 70.66% -0.443 0.243
2 Archipelago 48 52.08% 37.52 2.485 54.17% -0.182 0.4257
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 16314 41.85% 35.54 0.593 80.67% -0.208 -0.0883
2 Coastline 2173 37.94% 36.8 2.62 81.13% 0.134 0.0614
2 Fragment 493 46.31% 34.68 -2.929 77.48% -0.546 -0.7305
2 Heart 217 49.07% 36.77 3.167 81.11% 0.17 0.0132
2 Opposite Shores 3814 39.21% 36.69 2.082 82.28% 0.094 0.2454
2 Thematic 1689 44.75% 41.61 -0.694 74.6% -0.417 0.0912
2 Top to Top 664 39.18% 37.92 3.932 84.79% 0.741 0.6821
3 Archipelago 37 54.05% 53.11 5.513 70.27% 0.002 -0.9493
3 Coastline 45 42.22% 39.89 8.891 80.0% 0.409 -0.0008
3 Other 330 42.42% 38.63 -2.086 88.18% -0.099 -0.8707
3 Round (Default) 6653 36.41% 37.09 -0.39 82.43% -0.475 -0.5663
3 Sunrise 34 35.29% 40.62 12.633 91.18% 0.439 0.3431
3 Thematic 343 48.09% 41.61 2.633 72.89% 0.637 0.6576
4 Archipelago 15 33.33% 49.0 0.0 86.67%
4 Coastline 9 44.44% 38.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 28 35.71% 43.21 0.0 96.43%
4 Other 126 51.59% 41.85 0.392 86.51% -0.021 -0.7316
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 3 66.67% 43.33 6.171 100.0% 0.732 0.2885
4 Thematic 880 28.03% 39.85 -4.378 66.25% -0.66 -0.537
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3080 32.01% 38.34 -0.095 83.8% -0.047 -0.0498
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 53.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 4 100.0% 40.75 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 188 38.5% 39.77 1.528 75.53% -0.13 -0.6444
5 Thematic 28 50.0% 48.29 8.298 67.86% 0.064 0.0065
6 Archipelago 4 0.0% 33.75 0.0 75.0%
6 Coastline 2 50.0% 10.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 37 29.73% 41.03 -5.097 72.97% -0.91 -1.014
6 Star 37 27.03% 41.35 0.763 94.59% 0.05 0.0364
6 Thematic 694 45.77% 55.43 3.298 72.48% -0.315 -0.0297
6 Two Centers (Default) 402 16.17% 39.86 0.605 83.08% -0.285 0.2476
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 3 0.0% 26.33 0.0 33.33%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3212 30.39 -0.152 63.23% -0.193 0.0576
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2611 32.0 1.454 64.76% 0.135 0.0774
All Things Weaken 1914 29.2 1.093 59.87% -0.098 0.2366
Attenuated Essence 363 31.8 0.01 66.12% 0.26 0.2939
Back Against the Wall 2541 30.93 -0.333 62.18% -0.347 -0.3116
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 366 30.33 -1.094 63.66% -0.167 0.0503
Burn Brightest Before the End 302 30.37 1.069 56.95% -0.043 -0.032
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3052 27.79 -2.091 61.24% -0.454 -0.1093
Downward Spiral 8487 29.26 -0.379 66.5% 0.075 0.1926
Erosion of Will 3315 30.48 -1.189 63.26% -0.367 -0.0926
Intensifying Exploitation 356 29.19 1.575 61.24% 0.392 0.6032
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 814 38.75 2.99 93.24% 0.762 0.1896
Memory Fades to Dust 8693 28.68 -1.133 62.67% -0.197 0.0555
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1795 30.37 -0.237 66.52% 0.22 0.4242
Promising Farmlands 3221 29.51 -0.623 65.04% -0.052 0.2026
Shattered Fragments of Power 298 30.16 0.531 59.73% -0.223 -0.1493
Slow Dissolution of Will 326 29.76 1.555 58.9% 0.316 0.6971
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 518 37.97 0.178 90.35% 0.35 -0.3238
The Border of Life and Death 117 33.85 2.362 76.92% 0.7 0.0996
Thriving Communities 1764 29.33 -0.146 63.44% 0.064 0.3452
Thriving Crops 184 31.91 1.803 72.83% 0.704 0.5641
Tipping Point 971 29.87 0.0 64.78%
Unnatural Proliferation 1902 30.73 0.65 63.14% -0.139 0.0647
Untended Land Crumbles 1832 30.07 1.137 64.79% 0.296 0.4862

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 26617 42.71% 34.82 -0.804 77.15% -0.616 0.3815
B 27531 41.52% 35.44 0.344 78.81% -0.368 0.5545
C 28066 42.0% 35.63 0.89 79.13% -0.236 0.4926
D 25372 42.52% 35.21 -0.607 78.61% -0.544 0.4153
E 10871 39.24% 36.19 1.255 79.58% -0.248 0.5713
F 13844 38.84% 36.17 0.119 79.98% -0.486 0.3961
G 12535 40.15% 35.86 0.165 79.69% -0.376 0.4489
H 12599 39.2% 36.49 0.512 80.08% -0.466 0.3725
East 5551 42.76% 42.92 0.305 71.59% -0.507 0.3675
Northeast 3550 41.62% 45.05 3.609 73.94% -0.188 0.5639
Northwest 2906 41.44% 45.09 1.491 73.61% -0.629 0.2632
Southeast 1462 41.82% 44.91 0.384 67.85% -0.422 0.4165
Southwest 1420 42.66% 43.47 -0.988 66.2% -1.276 0.0286
West 4920 43.49% 42.04 0.217 70.49% -0.557 0.3926

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 924 0.0% 33.19 -3.038 69.81% -0.579 0.1501
Not Using Events or Tokens 18485 48.5% 32.1 -1.597 71.23% -0.169 0.1764
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1137 14.93% 47.33 5.344 87.25% 0.639 0.0366
Start of Game Growth 2555 16.77% 47.36 6.782 85.71% 0.567 0.0629
Unlimited Undo 9916 37.02% 36.53 0.915 79.97% -0.042 -0.1491
Using Tokens but Not Events 11201 34.45% 35.97 0.072 80.47% 0.075 0.0455

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 13566 13.42 11.98%
II 28251 30.13 64.82%
III 47168 34.83 91.02%
IV 25152 38.67 99.34%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.45 Win Model: 0.553
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 76100 45.23% 34.35 75.01%
2 25265 41.36% 36.36 80.69%
3 7311 36.94% 37.55 82.71%
4 4118 31.46% 39.0 80.67%
5 177 38.29% 37.4 67.23%
6 1166 35.29% 48.71 76.76%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1622
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 42042
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 17179
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 24755
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 9621
Lose: Invader deck ran out 869
Lose: Adversary condition 439
Win: Sacrifice victory 430
Lose: Scenario condition 718
Win: Scenario condition 1824
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13965
Lose: Spirit destroyed 673

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8579 35.42% 42.21 -0.536 79.02% 0.023 -0.0717
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 375 30.29% 37.6 2.495 71.2% 0.47 -0.0058
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5403 64.55% 38.81 -2.418 70.76% -0.337 -0.2245
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 534 37.83% 45.04 5.358 81.27% 0.699 -0.1137
Dances Up Earthquakes 304 46.05% 31.65 -1.713 61.18% -0.172 -0.1809
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4626 40.5% 42.6 1.075 82.45% 0.401 0.2612
Downpour Drenches the World 1449 34.02% 35.15 0.075 65.08% -0.141 0.0864
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1853 33.12% 39.26 2.721 74.64% 0.601 0.0317
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7519 28.96% 47.51 1.874 88.47% 0.322 -0.0657
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5249 33.52% 45.62 0.926 81.04% 0.183 -0.2114
Finder of Paths Unseen 710 46.69% 30.15 -0.215 54.37% 0.04 0.7685
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1686 40.99% 38.09 -1.895 62.63% -0.478 0.1623
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2407 45.99% 40.0 1.662 73.33% 0.147 0.0138
Heart of the Wildfire 6967 67.55% 34.75 -3.033 61.83% -0.563 -0.2341
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 12271 44.47% 43.44 1.713 81.72% 0.297 -0.1262
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 675 29.93% 40.24 1.764 74.67% 0.321 0.0143
Lightning's Swift Strike 7657 56.8% 38.2 -2.56 69.09% -0.329 -0.0914
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 613 51.07% 41.5 3.804 73.57% 0.954 0.5467
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1119 42.15% 44.45 2.769 82.57% 0.317 -0.0022
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1060 38.1% 41.38 1.819 71.6% 0.156 0.0754
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5154 44.7% 41.81 0.715 76.6% 0.177 -0.0157
Many Minds Move as One 2582 31.6% 44.87 1.859 84.97% 0.322 0.1062
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 10471 49.43% 40.99 -0.767 76.07% -0.211 -0.0713
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 558 63.02% 32.4 0.419 60.39% 0.049 0.1299
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5394 40.84% 42.31 0.449 81.85% 0.311 0.2331
River Surges in Sunlight 11191 52.5% 42.29 1.707 73.0% 0.211 0.3367
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 246 48.36% 34.4 -5.127 59.76% -0.713 -0.535
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1158 45.89% 40.38 -0.855 68.05% -0.255 0.0244
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1056 42.79% 40.28 3.36 65.72% 0.292 0.1693
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5498 44.18% 42.17 1.672 79.03% 0.276 0.149
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 135 42.22% 37.75 2.607 69.63% 0.289 0.1763
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4055 68.98% 35.91 -4.844 62.02% -0.775 -0.2598
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 248 46.25% 33.64 -1.848 59.27% -0.169 -0.187
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 608 41.91% 39.32 2.865 74.18% 0.412 -0.0912
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 250 49.8% 37.59 -2.907 66.8% -0.503 -0.6949
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 690 48.55% 42.29 -2.676 76.52% -0.397 -0.4562
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 451 61.2% 39.38 0.291 71.62% 0.099 0.181
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6975 39.75% 43.46 -1.425 79.93% -0.307 -0.2273
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 584 37.11% 36.51 -0.305 69.69% -0.231 -0.4174
Shifting Memory of Ages 1647 52.62% 36.64 -3.708 69.46% -0.769 -0.5013
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 430 38.14% 35.12 1.844 62.09% 0.131 0.0131
Shroud of Silent Mist 1717 65.41% 33.37 -3.003 60.92% -0.571 -0.2199
Starlight Seeks its Form 3174 34.76% 39.2 0.637 74.61% 0.168 0.0504
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3984 40.7% 40.46 1.22 80.35% 0.448 -0.0652
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4370 39.47% 42.52 0.037 79.38% -0.046 0.0713
Thunderspeaker 8143 45.39% 42.35 0.637 76.7% 0.191 0.2235
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 322 48.76% 30.55 -0.413 57.76% -0.004 0.0096
Towering Roots of the Jungle 808 36.89% 32.75 -0.517 62.5% -0.023 0.106
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2798 78.22% 35.81 -0.791 68.41% -0.109 0.0172
Vital Strength of the Earth 6157 45.87% 36.74 -1.558 65.42% -0.203 0.3966
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 504 39.6% 33.65 0.583 62.5% 0.12 0.6135
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 655 41.22% 30.24 -6.157 51.6% -0.835 -0.1376
Volcano Looming High 2852 53.34% 37.09 -2.252 69.81% -0.384 -0.3363
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1242 35.43% 36.95 1.476 70.05% 0.21 -0.0801

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 24 33.33% 35.25 -16.203 62.5% -0.869 -0.6785
Blitz 0 1114 49.45% 37.88 0.226 68.67% -0.096 0.1217
Dahan Insurrection 4 1636 26.45% 59.44 4.828 72.68% -0.412 -0.6654
Despicable Theft 2 128 58.59% 38.48 6.101 52.34% 0.341 0.9275
Elemental Invocation 1 223 63.68% 31.81 -4.055 49.78% -0.473 0.2667
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 4396 13.15% 49.98 6.519 80.76% 0.893 0.3312
Powers Long Forgotten 1 332 57.83% 37.03 -8.058 56.93% -0.96 -0.2003
Rituals of Terror 3 191 61.78% 39.94 -5.959 48.69% -0.466 -0.3455
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 128 74.22% 43.86 13.59 56.25% 0.346 1.2534
Second Wave 0 3440 52.04% 41.73 0.561 68.49% -0.389 -0.2509
The Great River 3 188 55.32% 30.52 -6.966 29.79% -1.009 0.0911
Varied Terrains 2 81 65.43% 28.75 -8.632 37.04% -0.765 0.0111
Ward the Shores 2 204 58.82% 43.79 -5.511 62.25% -0.513 0.5613

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 77835 51.01% 38.83 -1.39 71.56% -0.231 0.1013
1 Thematic 3595 45.78% 46.34 2.686 65.09% 0.015 0.7005
2 Archipelago 29 58.62% 46.21 4.543 65.52% -0.468 0.1395
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 15779 45.67% 41.69 1.485 79.45% 0.224 0.3433
2 Coastline 1998 41.17% 41.96 2.843 79.43% 0.494 0.4221
2 Fragment 372 60.06% 37.21 5.458 68.82% 1.14 0.955
2 Heart 183 55.19% 38.79 -16.059 73.22% -0.963 -1.1196
2 Opposite Shores 3540 46.66% 40.26 -0.346 75.11% -0.208 -0.0568
2 Thematic 1202 54.33% 45.49 -1.574 68.47% -0.119 0.3887
2 Top to Top 604 45.02% 39.49 -2.632 74.67% -0.312 -0.3708
3 Archipelago 19 68.42% 49.89 -11.886 78.95% -0.978 -1.9293
3 Coastline 67 41.79% 39.31 -7.088 62.69% -1.162 -1.5716
3 Other 315 34.19% 40.84 0.462 78.73% 0.232 -0.5393
3 Round (Default) 6033 39.37% 42.31 0.449 79.07% -0.026 -0.1168
3 Sunrise 33 24.24% 36.42 -2.13 69.7% -0.51 -0.6062
3 Thematic 222 51.8% 47.66 4.278 73.87% 0.382 0.4031
4 Archipelago 25 28.0% 56.44 18.869 84.0% 0.356 -0.1742
4 Coastline 7 57.14% 37.57 0.0 71.43%
4 Leaf 17 52.94% 44.47 0.0 76.47%
4 Other 163 35.58% 37.01 3.793 69.94% 1.081 0.3698
4 Reverse Snake 2 50.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Snake 4 25.0% 50.25 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 425 38.9% 51.92 -3.229 79.76% -0.245 -0.122
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3108 34.84% 43.98 -1.809 82.3% -0.332 -0.335
5 Archipelago 14 64.29% 51.71 4.936 85.71% 0.682 0.6521
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 137 46.27% 41.64 -6.114 75.18% -1.428 -1.942
5 Thematic 18 44.44% 45.33 -20.962 61.11% -0.446 -0.5026
6 Archipelago 8 25.0% 36.63 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 36 20.59% 42.0 9.901 66.67% 0.69 0.5866
6 Star 45 26.67% 35.31 1.438 62.22% -0.062 -0.0756
6 Thematic 130 13.08% 38.27 0.0 46.15%
6 Two Centers (Default) 239 26.36% 38.77 0.219 73.22% -0.406 0.1272
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 77.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 7 28.57% 59.86 13.495 85.71% 0.456 -0.1025

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3905 35.04 -1.41 59.9% -0.418 -0.1666
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2975 37.69 2.318 64.77% 0.277 0.2192
All Things Weaken 2260 34.08 0.627 58.01% -0.034 0.301
Attenuated Essence 452 33.48 1.99 61.73% 0.449 0.4821
Back Against the Wall 2907 36.08 1.286 60.51% -0.147 -0.1116
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 469 31.71 -1.206 54.16% -0.513 -0.2959
Burn Brightest Before the End 274 33.89 -1.626 56.2% -0.733 -0.7221
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3675 32.27 -0.703 57.52% -0.141 0.2032
Downward Spiral 9150 34.48 -0.055 62.78% 0.165 0.2825
Erosion of Will 3797 34.21 -0.484 57.84% -0.211 0.0639
Intensifying Exploitation 441 31.58 -0.674 57.82% -0.217 -0.0055
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 921 44.01 5.891 89.69% 1.271 0.6978
Memory Fades to Dust 9226 33.72 0.777 59.05% 0.319 0.5715
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2262 34.36 0.757 61.41% 0.225 0.429
Promising Farmlands 3754 34.04 -2.382 61.0% -0.446 -0.1915
Shattered Fragments of Power 313 33.75 0.606 55.91% -0.142 -0.0683
Slow Dissolution of Will 450 31.66 -0.403 52.44% -0.268 0.1132
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 621 44.34 3.383 90.34% 0.706 0.0324
The Border of Life and Death 123 38.69 3.58 77.24% 0.631 0.0307
Thriving Communities 2214 33.97 -1.132 61.52% -0.243 0.0388
Thriving Crops 218 38.64 3.539 77.52% 0.741 0.6003
Tipping Point 1157 34.37 0.0 59.64%
Unnatural Proliferation 2384 36.76 1.435 64.22% 0.075 0.2783
Untended Land Crumbles 2204 33.44 -2.358 59.17% -0.64 -0.45

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 26362 48.25% 39.54 -0.723 73.06% -0.243 0.7544
B 27270 46.9% 40.46 0.412 75.36% 0.001 0.923
C 28459 46.79% 40.59 0.831 75.69% 0.038 0.7671
D 24348 48.08% 39.95 -0.076 74.22% -0.062 0.8973
E 11635 44.09% 40.3 0.822 75.32% -0.043 0.7766
F 14322 44.27% 40.76 -0.273 76.16% -0.214 0.6682
G 12833 45.01% 40.76 0.747 76.48% -0.041 0.7846
H 13442 43.2% 41.6 0.181 78.06% -0.097 0.7423
East 3889 44.98% 47.1 -4.306 66.65% -1.055 -0.1799
Northeast 2520 42.17% 48.08 4.949 66.79% 0.32 1.0717
Northwest 1532 44.75% 46.69 -1.582 70.69% -0.534 0.3583
Southeast 631 40.73% 43.28 -5.892 63.87% -0.871 -0.0322
Southwest 590 41.86% 39.4 0.552 61.36% 0.05 1.3542
West 2930 48.54% 46.14 -0.408 68.12% -0.193 0.7567

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 740 0.0% 37.01 0.22 61.89% 0.212 0.9409
Not Using Events or Tokens 15818 54.07% 36.07 -3.431 63.89% -0.719 -0.3736
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1087 12.42% 55.37 12.944 88.78% 1.634 1.0311
Start of Game Growth 2220 16.89% 52.16 2.361 86.22% -0.143 -0.6475
Unlimited Undo 10227 40.26% 41.98 0.949 78.78% 0.234 0.127
Using Tokens but Not Events 11522 39.68% 41.43 -1.142 78.2% -0.302 -0.332

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 15170 13.42 8.66%
II 37403 30.13 65.99%
III 43068 34.83 89.99%
IV 20685 38.67 99.47%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.331 Win Model: 0.114
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 81793 50.79% 39.17 71.26%
2 23592 46.13% 41.61 78.05%
3 6612 39.42% 42.33 78.63%
4 3737 35.19% 44.65 81.43%
5 150 47.62% 41.45 68.0%
6 442 21.14% 38.35 64.48%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1313
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 38127
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 23523
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 20431
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 10190
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1905
Lose: Adversary condition 333
Win: Sacrifice victory 425
Lose: Scenario condition 539
Win: Scenario condition 1510
Lose: Blight pool ran out 17184
Lose: Spirit destroyed 846

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6235 34.82% 44.32 -1.567 76.21% -0.199 -0.294
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 206 38.35% 38.63 1.414 68.93% 0.306 -0.1702
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4236 65.63% 40.61 -1.924 69.33% -0.279 -0.1669
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 713 48.95% 45.89 4.675 78.4% 0.719 -0.0939
Dances Up Earthquakes 266 40.6% 33.11 -1.114 60.53% -0.121 -0.1296
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3795 43.51% 45.07 2.033 81.11% 0.62 0.4802
Downpour Drenches the World 1117 35.01% 37.02 -3.995 63.56% -0.6 -0.3721
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1630 30.94% 44.17 4.7 78.47% 0.962 0.3929
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6169 27.92% 50.9 4.433 89.63% 0.899 0.511
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4117 35.65% 47.82 0.681 84.5% 0.404 0.0104
Finder of Paths Unseen 524 48.66% 32.83 -6.904 55.92% -1.032 -0.3032
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1424 34.69% 41.5 -6.897 65.52% -1.25 -0.6095
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2229 43.76% 42.36 2.321 71.38% 0.369 0.2358
Heart of the Wildfire 5630 66.36% 38.92 -2.933 65.67% -0.461 -0.1321
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10298 42.99% 47.26 2.329 83.61% 0.418 -0.0055
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 544 27.44% 43.42 6.948 73.9% 1.265 0.9586
Lightning's Swift Strike 6254 52.04% 41.5 -2.673 70.47% -0.483 -0.245
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 772 52.15% 46.22 2.851 75.65% 0.491 0.0831
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1022 40.33% 47.74 0.752 84.15% -0.014 -0.3336
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 718 40.81% 47.81 1.511 81.62% 0.146 0.0654
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4096 44.62% 45.75 3.776 79.59% 0.536 0.3437
Many Minds Move as One 2177 31.66% 47.12 0.392 85.16% 0.063 -0.1536
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8216 49.44% 42.76 -1.692 73.39% -0.236 -0.0962
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 491 67.41% 33.37 -0.152 59.27% 0.017 0.0979
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3953 42.56% 44.58 -2.419 79.33% -0.358 -0.4364
River Surges in Sunlight 8274 51.9% 44.78 1.932 71.24% 0.124 0.2498
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 174 44.83% 35.39 3.778 59.77% 0.56 0.7379
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 761 45.72% 44.3 -3.395 70.57% -0.961 -0.6819
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 729 46.77% 45.66 -1.363 73.8% -0.553 -0.6758
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4286 43.92% 44.2 0.157 77.69% 0.053 -0.074
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 138 32.61% 43.61 3.197 78.99% 0.483 0.3702
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2630 66.49% 37.82 -2.184 59.85% -0.273 0.2425
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 168 57.93% 40.21 0.257 64.88% 0.057 0.0384
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 461 48.37% 44.62 4.407 76.36% 0.714 0.2112
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 202 45.54% 44.09 5.377 75.25% 0.605 0.4137
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 497 61.09% 40.98 2.589 69.22% 0.513 0.4535
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 311 69.45% 40.17 0.326 65.92% 0.105 0.187
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8246 30.12% 49.4 1.718 85.73% 0.275 0.354
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 438 37.21% 44.27 1.675 74.89% 0.047 -0.1401
Shifting Memory of Ages 1233 55.39% 40.83 -3.497 71.29% -0.578 -0.3104
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 230 43.91% 39.03 1.616 69.57% 0.315 0.1969
Shroud of Silent Mist 1108 69.92% 34.16 -4.662 58.03% -0.676 -0.3245
Starlight Seeks its Form 2622 37.22% 42.76 0.67 76.28% 0.151 0.0332
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3544 37.08% 43.66 -0.604 82.0% -0.085 -0.5986
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3448 42.45% 44.64 -1.082 76.71% -0.129 -0.0118
Thunderspeaker 6046 45.97% 43.92 1.447 74.68% 0.322 0.3544
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 232 46.55% 39.93 0.54 67.67% 0.024 0.0379
Towering Roots of the Jungle 801 44.81% 37.33 1.304 65.29% 0.194 0.3235
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2582 78.57% 39.36 -4.174 70.91% -0.679 -0.5529
Vital Strength of the Earth 3936 50.53% 35.67 -7.937 52.44% -1.443 -0.8433
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 386 48.17% 35.1 -1.437 57.25% -0.288 0.2056
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 283 48.41% 35.9 -1.243 54.06% -0.492 0.2058
Volcano Looming High 2492 53.29% 41.48 -3.058 74.16% -0.465 -0.4176
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 832 38.46% 42.16 -0.719 74.76% -0.019 -0.3088

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 22 31.82% 38.23 -13.335 59.09% -0.268 -0.0769
Blitz 0 724 43.48% 40.62 1.212 67.82% -0.219 -0.0014
Dahan Insurrection 4 871 27.1% 63.92 5.181 72.45% -0.07 -0.3229
Despicable Theft 2 48 54.17% 39.58 0.0 50.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 130 47.69% 34.49 -6.313 54.62% -0.482 0.2577
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2957 13.37% 53.4 6.71 85.66% 0.677 0.1156
Powers Long Forgotten 1 172 65.7% 38.79 -2.189 53.49% 0.078 0.8378
Rituals of Terror 3 186 48.92% 46.43 -17.902 53.76% -0.754 -0.6341
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 107 72.9% 43.32 -2.594 47.66% -0.616 0.2911
Second Wave 0 2215 52.72% 43.89 0.216 66.86% -0.451 -0.3123
The Great River 3 87 52.87% 31.84 -12.645 33.33% -0.395 0.705
Varied Terrains 2 43 55.81% 31.65 -17.802 44.19% -0.503 0.2732
Ward the Shores 2 141 54.61% 47.88 3.69 65.25% 0.022 1.096

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 71075 48.02% 42.64 -0.53 73.47% 0.063 0.3953
1 Thematic 2327 53.79% 49.73 1.812 68.37% 0.108 0.7934
2 Archipelago 18 72.22% 41.67 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11390 46.39% 44.27 0.512 78.31% 0.219 0.3386
2 Coastline 1602 40.82% 45.94 0.554 81.34% 0.331 0.2585
2 Fragment 236 51.93% 41.3 0.379 70.34% 0.265 0.0803
2 Heart 108 43.93% 43.43 -0.685 77.78% -0.159 -0.316
2 Opposite Shores 2542 45.03% 41.39 -2.584 71.64% -0.29 -0.1383
2 Thematic 748 52.41% 47.45 0.194 67.51% -0.055 0.4525
2 Top to Top 526 43.32% 44.84 -1.455 78.9% -0.047 -0.1056
3 Archipelago 13 30.77% 46.15 0.0 69.23%
3 Coastline 55 29.09% 57.44 0.0 98.18%
3 Other 146 54.86% 45.34 4.674 79.45% 0.56 -0.2109
3 Round (Default) 4400 38.02% 46.11 2.468 81.68% 0.718 0.6272
3 Sunrise 17 17.65% 55.71 0.0 88.24%
3 Thematic 148 52.7% 44.85 -18.704 64.86% -0.797 -0.7765
4 Archipelago 11 72.73% 47.64 10.497 63.64% 0.538 0.0078
4 Coastline 4 50.0% 47.25 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 10 60.0% 42.5 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 70 39.13% 47.2 0.982 80.0% 0.339 -0.3716
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 508 35.11% 51.3 3.891 73.62% 0.462 0.5851
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1984 38.06% 45.13 2.257 79.39% 0.55 0.5472
5 Archipelago 4 100.0% 70.5 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 3 0.0% 21.0 0.0 33.33%
5 Other 90 50.0% 41.36 -0.358 68.89% 0.046 -0.4676
5 Thematic 8 37.5% 36.25 -8.919 62.5% -0.053 -0.1106
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 29 44.83% 39.48 -5.79 72.41% 0.015 -0.0889
6 Star 16 50.0% 48.13 -9.396 81.25% -0.531 -0.5447
6 Thematic 88 5.68% 47.55 2.612 59.09% 0.069 0.3545
6 Two Centers (Default) 64 35.94% 38.05 -10.641 65.63% -1.027 -0.4943

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3264 37.98 -1.257 60.75% -0.552 -0.3005
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2387 40.87 1.062 65.73% -0.044 -0.1018
All Things Weaken 1917 36.98 0.439 59.15% -0.145 0.1895
Attenuated Essence 393 36.36 0.807 63.1% 0.098 0.1316
Back Against the Wall 2264 39.56 2.733 62.54% 0.179 0.2143
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 378 34.04 -0.94 55.82% -0.216 0.0015
Burn Brightest Before the End 250 37.13 -1.251 58.4% -0.611 -0.6001
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3036 35.12 0.539 57.31% 0.08 0.4243
Downward Spiral 7169 36.37 -1.034 60.2% -0.105 0.0127
Erosion of Will 3132 36.57 -2.497 56.9% -0.493 -0.2186
Intensifying Exploitation 393 32.81 -1.221 54.2% -0.234 -0.0226
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 788 46.63 4.473 86.8% 1.095 0.5222
Memory Fades to Dust 7349 35.21 -1.721 55.59% -0.185 0.0677
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1942 38.26 -1.887 64.93% -0.445 -0.2401
Promising Farmlands 3244 36.51 1.591 59.71% 0.246 0.5005
Shattered Fragments of Power 253 36.39 -0.565 57.31% -0.528 -0.4535
Slow Dissolution of Will 381 30.76 -3.269 48.03% -0.838 -0.4563
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 547 46.95 2.783 89.03% 0.724 0.0499
The Border of Life and Death 102 44.33 4.821 82.35% 0.717 0.1167
Thriving Communities 1809 35.78 -0.981 58.76% -0.122 0.1596
Thriving Crops 173 35.56 -2.307 66.47% -0.245 -0.3856
Tipping Point 957 35.54 0.0 54.13%
Unnatural Proliferation 1999 38.94 0.942 63.38% -0.124 0.0799
Untended Land Crumbles 1862 36.89 0.741 61.06% 0.042 0.232

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 20350 47.42% 42.45 -0.461 72.86% -0.081 0.9165
B 21906 45.47% 43.74 -0.423 75.95% -0.122 0.8003
C 22399 47.15% 43.38 0.361 75.17% 0.101 0.8296
D 19071 47.31% 43.15 -0.042 74.57% -0.039 0.9205
E 10042 43.42% 44.46 0.555 78.5% 0.078 0.8973
F 12033 44.23% 43.69 -0.239 76.78% -0.137 0.7448
G 10698 44.68% 43.89 0.064 77.33% -0.115 0.7099
H 10986 42.13% 44.68 1.796 78.73% 0.216 1.0547
East 2524 48.31% 48.81 0.414 67.99% -0.013 0.8618
Northeast 1554 46.06% 48.9 3.209 68.15% 0.313 1.0652
Northwest 1247 43.79% 49.19 2.101 71.21% -0.032 0.8599
Southeast 452 41.15% 45.69 3.139 65.27% 0.517 1.3561
Southwest 430 43.26% 40.46 -3.131 58.14% -0.81 0.4949
West 2311 46.9% 49.78 -2.227 68.97% -0.376 0.5735

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 540 0.0% 43.74 2.661 70.74% 0.173 0.9021
Not Using Events or Tokens 12483 51.39% 38.83 -4.636 64.54% -0.817 -0.4715
Skip Initial Invader Actions 768 14.94% 58.66 7.824 89.97% 1.313 0.7103
Start of Game Growth 1577 18.31% 54.02 -1.324 85.29% -0.572 -1.0758
Unlimited Undo 9931 42.84% 44.29 1.657 77.89% 0.346 0.239
Using Tokens but Not Events 9328 38.32% 44.08 -1.063 76.55% -0.209 -0.2386

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 15254 13.42 22.21%
II 40677 30.13 76.37%
III 30476 34.83 88.2%
IV 11903 38.67 99.65%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.433 Win Model: 0.083
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 73625 48.23% 42.87 73.3%
2 17092 45.85% 44.13 77.08%
3 4730 38.61% 46.23 81.42%
4 2590 37.63% 46.45 78.22%
5 75 52.0% 35.52 60.0%
6 198 25.25% 43.29 65.15%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3385
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 26547
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 30266
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 11761
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7224
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3222
Lose: Adversary condition 175
Win: Sacrifice victory 371
Lose: Scenario condition 331
Win: Scenario condition 863
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13517
Lose: Spirit destroyed 648

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3569 46.98% 44.24 -4.452 60.38% -0.711 -0.8063
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 92 30.77% 41.34 -6.242 59.78% -0.808 -1.2844
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2011 74.33% 42.89 -6.543 59.52% -0.786 -0.6734
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 315 44.13% 48.84 3.924 74.6% 0.615 -0.1975
Dances Up Earthquakes 296 23.65% 55.2 6.362 85.81% 1.398 1.3892
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2842 40.38% 51.46 0.94 76.57% 0.229 0.089
Downpour Drenches the World 560 41.27% 38.52 -0.469 53.57% -0.315 -0.0873
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 899 34.93% 49.13 3.798 76.08% 0.662 0.0927
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3606 38.2% 54.04 2.705 80.98% 0.6 0.2123
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2159 46.06% 51.08 0.91 73.65% 0.268 -0.1256
Finder of Paths Unseen 223 53.81% 35.87 -5.471 47.53% -0.894 -0.1659
Fractured Days Split the Sky 570 50.7% 44.87 -1.776 55.61% -0.149 0.4917
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 892 46.19% 49.79 -0.056 71.86% -0.025 -0.1585
Heart of the Wildfire 3092 70.25% 41.1 -1.801 55.82% -0.038 0.2913
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4769 57.97% 47.47 1.487 68.21% 0.419 -0.0049
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 598 16.22% 56.75 2.072 85.79% 0.239 -0.0674
Lightning's Swift Strike 3974 70.54% 41.95 0.581 56.34% 0.416 0.6536
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 257 63.28% 42.99 -3.831 58.75% -0.024 -0.4321
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 468 52.69% 46.99 -2.021 70.3% 0.003 -0.316
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 417 40.29% 50.42 -0.412 72.18% -0.087 -0.1677
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2388 51.28% 49.25 3.93 72.03% 0.798 0.6057
Many Minds Move as One 852 40.38% 52.91 2.497 81.69% 0.602 0.3861
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4301 56.33% 47.2 -3.12 67.29% -0.331 -0.1915
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 192 60.42% 33.01 -4.118 47.4% -0.504 -0.4228
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2046 52.54% 47.4 0.364 68.28% 0.294 0.2154
River Surges in Sunlight 4680 62.78% 47.64 -1.84 62.18% -0.209 -0.0832
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 66 56.06% 37.29 8.155 48.48% 0.461 0.6395
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 752 25.4% 55.58 2.071 76.6% -0.357 -0.0782
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 435 53.58% 43.97 0.685 59.77% 0.392 0.2695
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2027 54.06% 47.2 0.409 67.64% 0.249 0.122
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 28 39.29% 38.86 -0.423 60.71% 0.103 -0.0097
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2170 80.31% 41.07 -5.758 52.67% -0.643 -0.1276
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 64 65.52% 41.92 7.849 57.81% 0.705 0.686
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 234 53.28% 44.67 2.31 68.8% 0.546 0.0431
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 198 26.26% 55.05 6.158 80.81% 0.347 0.1549
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 244 77.05% 41.39 3.021 50.41% 0.425 0.3661
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 142 75.35% 44.04 -3.551 60.56% -0.295 -0.2132
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4192 38.0% 54.04 0.935 77.89% 0.179 0.2583
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 265 47.17% 44.36 0.345 67.17% 0.136 -0.0508
Shifting Memory of Ages 497 67.0% 39.05 -7.008 49.5% -1.061 -0.7936
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 64 67.19% 43.13 -0.617 62.5% 0.058 -0.0606
Shroud of Silent Mist 414 76.51% 35.48 -4.026 46.38% -0.788 -0.4373
Starlight Seeks its Form 993 42.5% 46.17 1.695 64.35% -0.247 -0.3644
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2847 35.39% 50.37 -1.761 78.78% -0.177 -0.6898
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2038 48.15% 50.28 -2.082 71.69% -0.327 -0.2093
Thunderspeaker 3262 55.7% 46.17 0.342 62.63% 0.154 0.1856
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 107 43.93% 46.84 4.232 71.96% 0.35 0.3639
Towering Roots of the Jungle 358 54.47% 36.69 -2.958 50.0% -0.127 0.0027
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1486 86.33% 43.8 -1.578 62.99% 0.059 0.1855
Vital Strength of the Earth 2318 64.37% 34.73 -1.832 35.63% -0.398 0.2017
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 274 47.62% 39.44 1.123 48.91% -0.23 0.264
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 149 53.02% 35.23 -15.638 36.24% -1.852 -1.1538
Volcano Looming High 1179 67.72% 43.31 -2.722 62.26% -0.24 -0.1924
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 347 45.24% 41.23 4.152 62.25% 0.92 0.6296

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 0.0% 16.5 -3.613 25.0% -0.058 0.1333
Blitz 0 473 68.75% 39.56 -1.189 50.32% -0.027 0.1899
Dahan Insurrection 4 584 49.66% 63.58 -2.831 57.71% -0.749 -1.0021
Despicable Theft 2 13 46.15% 38.38 0.0 38.46%
Elemental Invocation 1 65 64.62% 23.82 0.0 16.92%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2236 14.96% 59.97 9.025 86.45% 1.625 1.0635
Powers Long Forgotten 1 117 69.23% 42.9 -8.293 47.01% -0.697 0.0626
Rituals of Terror 3 100 53.0% 42.04 -12.28 35.0% -0.64 -0.5199
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 60 90.0% 47.9 -21.344 41.67% -0.484 0.4235
Second Wave 0 1238 61.02% 46.71 -0.464 58.64% -0.336 -0.1978
The Great River 3 34 52.94% 33.71 0.0 17.65%
Varied Terrains 2 15 66.67% 36.73 0.0 26.67%
Ward the Shores 2 75 73.33% 45.64 -8.111 45.33% -0.816 0.2585

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 41363 55.83% 45.57 -0.159 64.18% -0.2 0.1325
1 Thematic 1400 62.51% 50.41 -0.284 55.57% -0.494 0.1914
2 Archipelago 11 81.82% 60.0 24.789 72.73% 0.56 1.1671
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6115 55.38% 47.33 -1.425 67.78% 0.02 0.1398
2 Coastline 950 48.47% 46.81 0.175 66.95% 0.016 -0.0561
2 Fragment 111 66.36% 44.97 -4.875 63.06% -0.703 -0.8883
2 Heart 90 62.22% 44.8 -11.737 62.22% -0.694 -0.8514
2 Opposite Shores 1673 48.89% 50.05 4.593 72.44% 0.69 0.8414
2 Thematic 373 65.23% 49.8 1.601 52.01% -0.278 0.2295
2 Top to Top 201 60.5% 46.68 -8.829 67.16% -0.567 -0.6258
3 Archipelago 4 50.0% 84.75 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 11 27.27% 60.55 0.0 90.91%
3 Other 51 60.78% 51.92 1.76 72.55% 0.439 -0.3327
3 Round (Default) 1980 49.34% 50.03 0.358 73.18% 0.166 0.0749
3 Sunrise 4 50.0% 38.5 -14.008 50.0% -0.148 -0.2439
3 Thematic 82 47.56% 55.45 -9.225 64.63% -0.969 -0.9481
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 64.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 14 57.14% 49.71 -2.629 71.43% -0.2 -0.9114
4 Snake 1 100.0% 38.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 220 30.0% 57.11 0.454 72.27% 0.319 0.4415
4 Trapezoid (Default) 879 45.15% 45.48 2.245 66.1% 1.03 1.0275
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 30 46.67% 49.17 0.0 73.33%
5 Thematic 6 83.33% 69.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 4 0.0% 70.0 16.804 100.0% 0.347 -0.6907
6 Other 15 40.0% 27.53 -5.233 40.0% -0.282 -0.3853
6 Star 4 0.0% 28.5 -7.461 25.0% -0.665 -0.6782
6 Thematic 36 25.0% 57.94 0.473 66.67% 0.143 0.4292
6 Two Centers (Default) 22 18.18% 37.55 -14.35 59.09% -0.086 0.447
7 Other 4 0.0% 0.0 -7.024 0.0% -0.097 -0.6553

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1983 40.76 3.034 50.13% 0.251 0.5024
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1409 44.85 1.358 58.41% -0.027 -0.0852
All Things Weaken 1176 39.29 -1.92 47.87% -0.594 -0.259
Attenuated Essence 235 39.66 0.747 54.47% 0.207 0.2403
Back Against the Wall 1431 43.45 -0.304 55.0% -0.507 -0.4725
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 246 35.92 -3.265 47.97% -0.836 -0.619
Burn Brightest Before the End 165 41.59 1.094 55.76% -0.113 -0.1022
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1848 37.41 -0.796 46.59% -0.289 0.0554
Downward Spiral 5826 38.73 -0.458 49.14% -0.197 -0.0793
Erosion of Will 1873 38.59 -4.04 45.33% -0.954 -0.6791
Intensifying Exploitation 267 34.46 -0.51 46.82% -0.37 -0.1588
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 412 51.67 8.091 82.28% 1.253 0.6801
Memory Fades to Dust 5690 38.1 -2.28 46.41% -0.602 -0.3496
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1151 39.72 -3.162 51.61% -0.528 -0.3235
Promising Farmlands 1915 37.54 -2.459 44.96% -0.521 -0.2672
Shattered Fragments of Power 153 39.52 1.845 50.33% -0.065 0.0086
Slow Dissolution of Will 203 32.16 -3.616 37.93% -0.621 -0.2399
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 240 51.64 1.637 82.92% 0.25 -0.4235
The Border of Life and Death 60 50.37 -1.078 81.67% -0.267 -0.8676
Thriving Communities 1165 39.07 -2.154 50.56% -0.478 -0.1962
Thriving Crops 93 48.32 0.36 76.34% 0.175 0.0349
Tipping Point 639 38.12 0.0 42.72%
Unnatural Proliferation 1232 42.0 1.255 53.41% -0.168 0.036
Untended Land Crumbles 1145 39.31 -3.675 50.66% -0.884 -0.6943

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10675 57.67% 43.86 -2.183 60.17% -0.575 0.4226
B 12358 52.89% 47.6 -0.638 67.72% -0.249 0.6731
C 12284 59.67% 45.19 0.284 63.31% -0.152 0.5769
D 9775 60.21% 44.12 -1.78 61.08% -0.428 0.531
E 4605 53.53% 46.47 0.796 67.67% -0.105 0.7137
F 7386 46.21% 48.62 0.463 71.78% -0.062 0.8198
G 6291 47.76% 49.26 2.847 72.06% 0.018 0.8433
H 6661 45.79% 49.72 0.94 72.84% -0.101 0.7379
East 1360 56.42% 52.55 -1.463 58.9% -0.426 0.449
Northeast 798 54.21% 52.34 1.46 60.03% 0.211 0.9634
Northwest 617 50.0% 52.83 0.431 59.48% -0.013 0.879
Southeast 216 50.0% 49.33 -2.321 58.8% -0.426 0.4129
Southwest 204 53.69% 42.77 -5.274 50.0% -0.281 1.024
West 1163 55.22% 51.44 -2.435 56.15% -0.889 0.061

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 283 0.0% 40.98 0.538 54.42% -0.212 0.5166
Not Using Events or Tokens 9087 67.83% 40.0 -3.62 52.6% -0.353 -0.0077
Skip Initial Invader Actions 425 22.92% 61.11 15.052 81.88% 0.912 0.309
Start of Game Growth 887 21.12% 61.7 -2.364 84.67% -0.183 -0.687
Unlimited Undo 9604 33.49% 54.95 4.917 82.46% 0.739 0.6317
Using Tokens but Not Events 10375 27.82% 54.61 1.605 81.8% -0.132 -0.1621

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10146 13.42 18.4%
II 23921 30.13 65.75%
III 15934 34.83 81.17%
IV 5683 38.67 99.45%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.064 Win Model: 0.005
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 42895 56.05% 45.72 63.83%
2 9459 54.25% 47.87 68.06%
3 2107 49.45% 50.37 72.99%
4 1111 41.53% 48.16 68.05%
5 32 50.0% 43.84 59.38%
6 80 21.25% 44.04 60.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1867
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12738
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 15358
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5597
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4310
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3189
Lose: Adversary condition 107
Win: Sacrifice victory 181
Lose: Scenario condition 200
Win: Scenario condition 440
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11129
Lose: Spirit destroyed 568

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8161 61.64% 40.05 -1.57 42.84% -0.164 -0.2591
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 411 44.77% 26.95 -0.833 32.12% -0.331 -0.8071
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6928 81.11% 40.36 -1.021 45.29% 0.064 0.1763
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 1896 58.02% 50.48 11.994 69.99% 2.007 1.1945
Dances Up Earthquakes 424 76.42% 30.22 0.612 36.32% 0.156 0.1469
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3961 74.06% 37.07 -1.218 40.27% -0.064 -0.2044
Downpour Drenches the World 1611 51.99% 32.42 -2.152 36.06% -0.317 -0.0899
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 3036 54.56% 41.24 3.486 55.27% 0.516 -0.0535
Eyes Watch From the Trees 10256 53.21% 47.55 2.119 61.36% 0.583 0.1957
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4016 72.64% 42.59 3.985 50.12% 0.774 0.38
Finder of Paths Unseen 860 66.12% 28.08 -1.266 29.53% -0.302 0.4266
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2101 59.95% 44.17 -4.461 49.02% -0.5 0.1409
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2493 67.86% 40.94 -0.713 49.5% -0.159 -0.2927
Heart of the Wildfire 8725 87.45% 30.87 -3.57 28.76% -0.544 -0.2149
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 11782 69.76% 41.48 -0.212 49.84% 0.107 -0.3164
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 729 57.34% 36.78 -0.548 46.09% -0.087 -0.3934
Lightning's Swift Strike 8810 70.59% 37.5 -5.25 40.69% -0.912 -0.6744
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1323 71.31% 41.07 4.337 50.87% 0.567 0.1597
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1685 77.72% 44.87 -0.546 57.51% -0.033 -0.3517
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1334 63.64% 43.68 2.478 54.5% 0.372 0.2916
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 6951 65.08% 42.28 1.58 52.22% 0.038 -0.1547
Many Minds Move as One 2704 57.97% 51.59 3.727 69.67% 0.607 0.3904
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 32881 55.69% 53.37 0.624 74.68% 0.726 0.8657
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 952 73.95% 31.54 0.609 40.02% 0.172 0.2529
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3986 74.96% 38.91 -2.569 42.9% -0.427 -0.5055
River Surges in Sunlight 12934 72.12% 42.54 -3.687 45.82% -0.669 -0.5433
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 584 62.5% 30.58 2.118 38.01% 0.444 0.6219
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 699 73.07% 35.17 -1.977 30.04% -0.912 -0.6325
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1539 65.47% 35.84 0.463 41.0% 0.054 -0.0685
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6854 60.07% 41.96 -3.878 49.5% -0.371 -0.4975
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 128 60.94% 43.77 7.141 60.94% 1.058 0.9456
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4079 70.74% 36.28 -4.729 37.68% -0.869 -0.3538
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 141 83.82% 38.38 1.032 43.97% -0.029 -0.0472
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 1006 67.47% 44.43 5.14 60.34% 0.498 -0.0052
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 261 68.97% 31.93 2.471 36.02% 0.41 0.2188
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 601 81.83% 38.69 -5.277 42.76% -0.655 -0.7136
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 477 88.89% 38.87 -0.297 43.4% 0.278 0.3597
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7373 63.19% 42.24 1.897 50.81% 0.247 0.3265
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 622 63.83% 35.37 1.211 43.89% 0.15 -0.0364
Shifting Memory of Ages 1240 78.15% 35.32 -2.294 33.63% -0.282 -0.0147
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 278 56.83% 38.01 2.693 48.56% 0.507 0.3882
Shroud of Silent Mist 1257 86.46% 31.0 -3.545 30.79% -0.718 -0.3665
Starlight Seeks its Form 3921 70.54% 37.68 -1.045 40.83% -0.046 -0.1639
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6137 63.54% 43.59 2.551 50.11% 0.29 -0.2231
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3933 72.24% 41.86 5.776 48.64% 0.981 1.0983
Thunderspeaker 9663 71.35% 43.93 -1.797 43.44% 0.051 0.083
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 545 60.55% 37.39 -0.05 47.16% -0.009 0.0046
Towering Roots of the Jungle 943 54.25% 28.8 1.811 34.46% 0.384 0.5136
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4931 90.02% 42.37 1.756 54.23% 0.313 0.4397
Vital Strength of the Earth 4956 75.21% 28.46 -6.373 19.49% -1.384 -0.7836
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 526 69.58% 30.5 -3.076 28.33% -1.008 -0.5143
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 551 75.59% 26.51 -4.974 17.06% -0.565 0.133
Volcano Looming High 4387 75.32% 39.19 -3.306 47.57% -0.45 -0.4025
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1064 64.1% 36.61 -1.248 47.18% -0.146 -0.436

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 16 37.5% 47.19 0.0 56.25%
Blitz 0 1190 54.46% 41.31 -3.062 48.91% -0.369 -0.1521
Dahan Insurrection 4 3403 72.24% 53.19 -1.688 34.35% -0.292 -0.5449
Despicable Theft 2 35 60.0% 35.37 0.01 22.86% -0.452 0.1343
Elemental Invocation 1 98 66.33% 29.43 -6.297 16.33% -0.555 0.1848
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5217 35.54% 53.44 8.578 66.34% 1.147 0.5854
Powers Long Forgotten 1 149 81.63% 33.89 -6.362 22.15% -0.006 0.7534
Rituals of Terror 3 453 50.55% 68.32 19.645 39.96% 0.943 1.0636
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 53 58.49% 27.17 -2.512 15.09% -0.526 0.3814
Second Wave 0 978 69.67% 43.19 -8.298 44.27% -1.631 -1.4927
The Great River 3 58 67.24% 33.43 3.353 17.24% -0.119 0.9813
Varied Terrains 2 31 54.84% 28.0 -13.84 19.35% -0.447 0.3291
Ward the Shores 2 107 73.83% 30.37 -12.906 21.5% -0.192 0.8828

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 133110 69.43% 41.64 -0.249 50.52% -0.068 0.2645
1 Thematic 4994 75.07% 49.84 -0.073 36.76% -0.789 -0.103
2 Archipelago 74 43.84% 35.49 4.313 28.38% 0.17 0.7781
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13707 63.02% 45.03 1.595 56.75% 0.315 0.4346
2 Coastline 2434 65.79% 42.66 0.318 53.57% 0.036 -0.0367
2 Fragment 255 73.23% 35.78 -8.129 40.39% -0.666 -0.8507
2 Heart 170 70.59% 39.28 -1.636 44.71% 0.075 -0.0818
2 Opposite Shores 3818 69.59% 40.17 -4.157 44.66% -0.651 -0.5001
2 Thematic 1269 77.36% 46.32 -9.649 33.18% -1.216 -0.7079
2 Top to Top 605 73.67% 40.51 -2.752 47.6% -0.363 -0.4219
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 57.33 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 58 58.62% 42.97 19.774 48.28% 1.075 0.6648
3 Other 110 76.36% 40.94 0.384 46.36% 0.428 -0.343
3 Round (Default) 3910 67.0% 41.91 -1.551 51.33% -0.145 -0.2359
3 Sunrise 8 87.5% 51.38 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 157 53.5% 79.94 26.703 53.5% 0.693 0.7134
4 Archipelago 6 66.67% 50.0 0.035 33.33% -0.109 -0.6386
4 Coastline 13 38.46% 47.85 0.0 61.54%
4 Leaf 8 50.0% 33.25 0.0 37.5%
4 Other 46 73.91% 47.13 -6.017 60.87% -0.337 -1.0481
4 Snake 2 100.0% 26.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 479 49.79% 63.0 9.14 51.36% 0.554 0.6768
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2789 49.4% 38.54 4.059 47.72% 0.958 0.9552
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 18.67 -7.074 0.0% -0.268 -0.2982
5 Coastline 23 13.04% 53.96 0.0 78.26%
5 Other 65 64.62% 47.49 4.874 58.46% 0.275 -0.2384
5 Thematic 9 88.89% 52.0 0.0 33.33%
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 48.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Coastline 7 0.0% 63.71 0.0 85.71%
6 Other 58 32.76% 26.26 -5.117 36.21% -0.447 -0.5509
6 Star 21 47.62% 31.38 -7.18 42.86% -0.523 -0.5372
6 Thematic 50 53.06% 24.54 -5.465 26.0% -0.631 -0.3448
6 Two Centers (Default) 46 47.83% 31.35 -6.028 39.13% 0.083 0.6159
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 26.5 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 4 25.0% 20.25 -9.288 25.0% -0.28 -0.8389

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 8755 40.63 2.069 44.19% -0.049 0.2017
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6809 46.56 5.53 55.79% 0.5 0.4419
All Things Weaken 4884 37.71 1.599 39.89% -0.036 0.2989
Attenuated Essence 1196 34.83 2.867 41.14% 0.151 0.1844
Back Against the Wall 5746 42.26 4.6 45.63% 0.397 0.4321
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1146 31.32 2.381 33.51% 0.125 0.3417
Burn Brightest Before the End 758 38.24 7.218 41.03% 0.851 0.8614
Disintegrating Ecosystem 8108 37.31 0.801 41.01% -0.139 0.2056
Downward Spiral 16648 37.96 1.157 38.61% 0.278 0.3954
Erosion of Will 8495 39.04 1.811 41.22% -0.011 0.2637
Intensifying Exploitation 1246 29.32 1.407 31.54% -0.065 0.1457
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1356 49.72 1.989 69.1% 0.361 -0.2112
Memory Fades to Dust 16473 37.37 1.103 35.9% 0.083 0.3358
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4839 37.04 0.534 39.45% -0.184 0.0204
Promising Farmlands 8075 38.12 2.029 40.83% 0.013 0.2666
Shattered Fragments of Power 761 38.8 4.924 44.28% 0.391 0.4646
Slow Dissolution of Will 1194 31.57 1.444 31.41% -0.172 0.2093
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 806 50.67 2.725 73.33% 0.518 -0.1561
The Border of Life and Death 225 37.56 5.89 53.78% 0.551 -0.05
Thriving Communities 4691 35.21 0.367 36.05% -0.201 0.0806
Thriving Crops 379 35.29 3.991 49.34% 0.563 0.4231
Tipping Point 2485 38.06 0.0 37.42%
Unnatural Proliferation 5143 40.2 2.6 42.58% 0.138 0.3421
Untended Land Crumbles 4761 36.22 0.114 37.95% -0.37 -0.1799

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 30088 69.32% 38.74 -1.282 44.58% -0.595 0.4034
B 34881 66.75% 42.29 0.183 51.32% -0.418 0.5045
C 34724 68.49% 40.97 0.037 48.94% -0.44 0.2888
D 31659 67.72% 42.61 -1.235 52.13% -0.774 0.1855
E 15671 67.33% 41.07 1.485 50.88% -0.302 0.5168
F 18839 65.18% 43.03 0.364 53.93% -0.51 0.3717
G 17756 65.18% 44.18 0.098 56.15% -0.516 0.3093
H 16799 63.61% 43.46 0.347 54.62% -0.473 0.366
East 5081 73.33% 52.57 2.851 37.71% -0.22 0.655
Northeast 2679 69.24% 55.46 4.721 43.11% 0.173 0.9255
Northwest 1551 63.99% 52.63 -0.726 42.23% -0.427 0.4648
Southeast 431 78.45% 36.07 -6.099 24.83% -0.902 -0.0627
Southwest 377 68.55% 28.61 -5.682 21.49% -1.07 0.2343
West 2964 68.35% 48.79 2.357 36.03% -0.264 0.6853

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 819 0.0% 37.81 -1.239 38.71% -0.302 0.4264
Not Using Events or Tokens 18173 76.3% 34.27 -4.858 30.69% -0.834 -0.4883
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3087 17.35% 63.29 10.616 82.77% 0.885 0.2819
Start of Game Growth 6724 22.67% 57.39 5.368 77.71% 0.951 0.4475
Unlimited Undo 15056 60.98% 44.15 1.211 56.75% 0.206 0.0991
Using Tokens but Not Events 12875 53.76% 42.64 0.56 51.67% -0.123 -0.1532

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 39369 13.42 3.95%
II 61759 30.13 45.99%
III 53359 34.83 76.71%
IV 13949 38.67 99.61%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.017 Win Model: 0.405
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 138828 69.62% 41.96 50.01%
2 21923 65.57% 43.89 52.67%
3 4206 65.89% 43.8 51.47%
4 3219 50.57% 39.81 47.69%
5 82 51.22% 40.3 50.0%
6 178 39.55% 30.47 39.89%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1550
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 40216
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 26812
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 13713
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 20198
Lose: Invader deck ran out 12024
Lose: Adversary condition 605
Win: Sacrifice victory 900
Lose: Scenario condition 994
Win: Scenario condition 1591
Lose: Blight pool ran out 46788
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3045

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)