The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 11548 25.05% 22.93 0.196 78.28% 0.201 0.1046
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 316 18.04% 23.32 2.925 70.25% 1.039 0.7138
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 34 32.35% 19.53 1.517 55.88% 0.105 -0.1567
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 186 12.97% 26.84 4.459 82.8% 1.199 0.4787
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7468 43.65% 23.1 -0.736 78.32% -0.124 0.1747
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 425 16.0% 27.32 4.517 76.47% 0.615 0.0253
Dances Up Earthquakes 309 25.89% 20.87 -0.996 63.43% -0.349 -0.1673
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5500 25.42% 24.6 -0.573 83.8% 0.015 -0.1637
Downpour Drenches the World 1149 22.38% 18.54 -1.42 59.88% -0.261 0.0982
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1309 18.71% 23.07 0.939 71.2% 0.434 -0.0056
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7124 15.72% 28.32 1.598 88.67% 0.205 -0.1448
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5315 19.73% 26.47 1.511 87.32% 0.426 0.026
Finder of Paths Unseen 722 30.46% 14.01 -0.832 45.71% -0.251 0.8234
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1523 25.63% 21.63 -5.114 62.38% -1.237 -0.7817
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1587 35.03% 21.87 -1.511 67.04% -0.184 -0.2754
Heart of the Wildfire 6601 55.89% 20.16 -2.818 69.34% -0.553 -0.1215
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8600 27.19% 25.61 1.207 85.51% 0.482 0.0398
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 451 13.75% 22.38 -1.114 64.97% -0.577 -1.0857
Lightning's Swift Strike 13144 42.27% 21.18 -0.369 71.58% -0.087 0.0761
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 436 30.72% 23.55 0.501 69.72% 0.135 -0.5441
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1112 22.33% 22.62 -0.931 71.58% -0.245 -0.604
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1025 22.37% 22.11 0.087 67.51% -0.387 -0.5334
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3963 24.08% 25.34 1.934 80.42% 0.515 0.3384
Many Minds Move as One 2397 19.89% 24.71 -0.715 79.14% -0.182 -0.3163
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 10820 39.11% 22.99 -1.372 77.46% -0.233 -0.3103
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 451 44.57% 18.84 -1.435 66.96% -0.102 0.0899
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4867 29.66% 23.54 -0.915 81.38% -0.17 -0.2289
River Surges in Sunlight 14304 38.48% 23.39 1.156 71.53% 0.09 0.1346
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 196 25.64% 19.4 -0.629 58.16% -0.309 -0.0791
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1133 36.82% 23.93 -0.047 70.79% 0.31 0.3587
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 584 31.43% 23.38 -0.582 64.9% -0.325 -0.1588
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5572 28.37% 24.09 3.629 82.18% 0.924 0.7309
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 106 33.02% 19.95 0.063 62.26% 0.113 0.0983
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 7730 53.09% 20.6 -2.036 68.32% -0.652 -0.0278
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 202 34.83% 19.99 2.016 60.89% 0.504 0.5199
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 319 23.27% 24.94 -2.111 75.55% -0.457 -0.8914
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 206 27.8% 19.52 -5.138 62.14% -0.706 -0.6833
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 704 32.86% 25.28 1.081 82.95% 0.206 0.1186
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 546 42.1% 23.23 1.4 74.91% -0.273 0.1354
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6196 27.8% 25.23 1.36 82.75% 0.372 0.4297
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 39 23.08% 28.85 4.134 79.49% 0.735 0.2317
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 448 16.37% 20.99 -1.13 64.73% -0.539 -0.576
Shifting Memory of Ages 1456 32.67% 19.0 -1.541 61.13% -0.347 0.0151
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 195 16.49% 21.19 1.713 58.97% 0.438 0.4207
Shroud of Silent Mist 1830 38.36% 20.88 1.835 70.22% 0.219 0.743
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 32 43.75% 27.09 4.076 75.0% 0.877 0.5367
Starlight Seeks its Form 2412 20.27% 21.36 -0.018 65.67% 0.208 0.0095
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3143 26.17% 22.13 -0.049 79.45% 0.224 -0.3906
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4064 30.74% 23.17 -0.141 77.56% 0.172 0.4049
Thunderspeaker 10414 29.91% 23.61 -1.458 76.39% -0.41 -0.4274
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 336 30.06% 17.98 -0.642 52.38% 0.108 0.3081
Towering Roots of the Jungle 466 26.29% 19.3 -1.58 61.16% -0.479 -0.312
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2096 55.77% 19.56 -2.514 71.18% -0.427 -0.3771
Vital Strength of the Earth 9796 31.63% 19.44 -2.635 66.85% -0.713 -0.243
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 399 29.7% 18.6 1.68 56.14% 0.54 0.9496
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 593 28.93% 18.76 -4.775 62.39% -0.677 -0.0106
Volcano Looming High 2398 35.26% 21.79 -0.027 72.35% 0.035 0.0188
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 769 17.89% 24.45 1.175 74.38% 0.324 0.0443

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 60 23.33% 22.83 -1.66 65.0% 0.119 0.0891
Blitz 0 1591 34.45% 19.28 0.957 62.54% 0.152 0.3957
Dahan Insurrection 4 1747 19.36% 42.14 6.44 72.93% -0.117 -0.1037
Despicable Theft 2 326 29.45% 24.21 -1.185 56.44% -0.963 -0.197
Elemental Invocation 1 441 32.88% 21.15 -5.38 57.14% -1.347 -0.5942
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2671 8.56% 28.9 2.442 79.93% 0.122 -0.4742
Powers Long Forgotten 1 681 45.29% 23.11 -6.541 60.65% -1.34 -0.5923
Rituals of Terror 3 783 40.13% 30.15 -0.469 60.54% -0.411 0.0673
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 460 57.61% 27.05 -2.259 55.43% -0.796 -0.1079
Second Wave 0 1468 49.73% 25.43 1.589 69.75% 0.161 0.1568
The Great River 3 293 39.25% 23.05 -7.412 41.64% -1.144 -0.0146
Varied Terrains 2 290 39.66% 16.87 -3.476 36.55% -1.119 -0.3389
Ward the Shores 2 750 37.57% 25.36 -1.88 59.33% -0.874 -0.005

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 83449 37.42% 22.16 -0.141 74.28% 0.149 0.353
1 Thematic 6350 37.81% 28.55 0.491 69.83% -0.193 0.4155
2 Archipelago 54 48.15% 32.41 0.0 64.81%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 17626 32.24% 22.38 -0.699 76.81% 0.307 0.3872
2 Coastline 1946 33.02% 23.01 0.281 78.31% 0.325 0.2304
2 Fragment 459 36.77% 21.6 0.961 74.73% -0.259 -0.3015
2 Heart 270 40.23% 20.93 -1.813 73.7% 0.071 -0.3904
2 Opposite Shores 2742 30.19% 23.58 1.98 82.35% 0.651 0.7831
2 Thematic 1595 34.85% 28.52 -0.93 68.59% -0.714 -0.3557
2 Top to Top 520 31.33% 23.32 -0.305 83.46% 0.079 -0.0096
3 Archipelago 30 40.0% 32.73 0.0 80.0%
3 Coastline 54 32.69% 21.93 0.0 59.26%
3 Other 337 23.65% 15.11 -4.314 51.63% -0.635 -1.0202
3 Round (Default) 5622 25.34% 24.89 2.518 84.24% 1.119 1.1243
3 Sunrise 30 44.83% 25.63 0.0 80.0%
3 Thematic 312 37.3% 29.02 4.114 68.27% 0.855 0.4241
4 Archipelago 26 23.08% 29.77 13.898 69.23% 0.641 0.4003
4 Coastline 14 7.14% 44.21 0.0 85.71%
4 Leaf 16 56.25% 15.44 5.298 56.25% 0.518 -0.5049
4 Other 112 28.44% 18.04 8.502 61.61% 0.181 -0.6625
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 26.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 0.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 472 22.67% 33.51 2.302 85.59% 0.073 -0.1289
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3108 18.38% 21.53 -1.187 72.68% 0.164 0.354
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 184 17.39% 21.73 -5.877 64.67% -1.067 -1.2271
5 Thematic 18 22.22% 27.22 0.0 61.11%
6 Archipelago 9 0.0% 24.22 -5.413 66.67% -0.177 -0.8306
6 Coastline 3 0.0% 28.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 34 6.06% 19.35 -10.32 58.82% -0.472 -0.5108
6 Star 36 2.78% 26.42 2.716 88.89% 0.116 0.5818
6 Thematic 99 17.17% 23.59 -4.52 58.59% -0.701 -0.4526
6 Two Centers (Default) 210 14.35% 18.32 -8.805 57.62% -1.084 0.1177
7 Other 15 0.0% 0.0 -7.194 0.0% -0.325 -0.1441

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2441 18.56 0.297 58.95% 0.02 0.1685
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2097 20.09 3.812 62.71% 0.959 0.8467
All Things Weaken 1280 18.91 2.237 58.28% 0.278 0.6528
Attenuated Essence 222 17.32 -1.134 57.66% -0.129 -0.0036
Back Against the Wall 1998 19.66 -2.567 61.36% -0.698 -0.6568
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 207 17.14 -3.343 53.14% -1.107 -0.9016
Burn Brightest Before the End 183 20.71 2.283 56.83% 0.774 0.8187
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2310 16.25 0.003 57.27% -0.456 0.0414
Downward Spiral 10248 15.94 -2.082 57.53% -0.736 -0.4856
Erosion of Will 2382 18.05 -0.811 57.56% 0.09 0.3477
Intensifying Exploitation 240 16.21 -0.313 55.83% 0.068 0.2866
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 564 24.22 3.071 87.23% 1.11 0.7237
Memory Fades to Dust 10152 15.93 -2.323 55.04% -0.645 -0.4396
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1269 18.39 -0.999 62.17% 0.08 0.2786
Promising Farmlands 2393 17.26 -1.137 59.84% 0.12 0.4764
Shattered Fragments of Power 192 19.92 0.227 55.73% -0.329 -0.1119
Slow Dissolution of Will 249 17.53 -3.82 51.41% -1.453 -1.0235
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 344 24.78 3.507 88.95% 0.783 0.1584
The Border of Life and Death 68 18.72 7.052 64.71% 0.39 0.0703
Thriving Communities 1205 17.35 0.744 58.09% 0.241 0.56
Thriving Crops 119 21.48 1.762 73.95% 0.367 0.2484
Tipping Point 790 17.91 0.0 63.04%
Unnatural Proliferation 1260 19.68 -1.074 61.67% -0.502 -0.4129
Untended Land Crumbles 1269 17.48 -1.036 56.5% -0.417 -0.1923

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 29385 35.4% 21.86 -0.606 74.29% -0.733 0.0664
B 29628 34.13% 22.14 -0.237 75.05% -0.718 0.0123
C 30310 32.78% 22.49 0.005 75.99% -0.685 -0.0808
D 28206 34.18% 22.19 0.036 75.31% -0.483 0.2738
E 10137 28.06% 22.62 -0.229 73.84% -0.807 -0.2229
F 13367 29.28% 23.09 0.556 77.56% -0.449 0.2537
G 12121 31.02% 23.15 -1.0 78.16% -1.096 -0.3385
H 12215 29.09% 23.39 -0.179 78.2% -0.663 -0.0316
East 5557 34.51% 29.7 2.251 71.08% -0.351 0.4327
Northeast 3295 33.91% 30.4 0.743 73.41% -0.789 -0.0277
Northwest 2351 33.23% 29.74 1.873 73.42% 0.265 1.1075
Southeast 851 27.48% 24.95 1.466 63.22% -0.396 0.2435
Southwest 798 33.0% 20.61 -0.594 58.02% -0.669 0.3764
West 4603 36.66% 28.23 -1.514 68.96% -1.029 -0.2537

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2419 0.0% 19.09 -1.017 62.34% -0.375 0.499
Not Using Events or Tokens 33453 43.68% 19.8 -1.243 67.2% -0.113 0.2644
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1741 11.08% 31.58 4.452 86.5% 0.437 0.1458
Start of Game Growth 2771 14.17% 29.95 2.531 84.41% -0.153 -0.7094
Unlimited Undo 7702 29.01% 24.12 1.578 79.49% 0.429 0.4924
Using Tokens but Not Events 10912 28.03% 23.36 0.886 78.68% 0.278 0.1508

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 18892 12.44 15.36%
II 36075 29.94 72.8%
III 49596 34.9 88.73%
IV 21351 38.84 98.92%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.099 Win Model: 0.515
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 90633 37.42% 22.55 73.67%
2 24700 32.43% 23.16 78.02%
3 6279 25.99% 24.65 82.04%
4 3719 19.17% 23.09 74.11%
5 178 15.73% 20.44 62.36%
6 405 12.44% 20.12 59.26%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2895
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 43045
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 24877
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 20925
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 13740
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1438
Lose: Adversary condition 533
Win: Sacrifice victory 458
Lose: Scenario condition 698
Win: Scenario condition 2096
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14338
Lose: Spirit destroyed 871

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8657 26.62% 28.01 0.211 80.46% 0.297 0.2013
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 348 20.53% 28.39 2.177 72.41% 0.016 -0.3092
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 43 27.91% 31.56 3.108 86.05% 0.899 0.6375
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 376 19.88% 30.01 3.542 82.45% 0.775 0.0542
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5863 47.34% 26.69 -1.302 76.22% -0.28 0.0186
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 474 23.33% 32.76 1.887 83.54% 0.372 -0.2177
Dances Up Earthquakes 464 31.73% 21.91 -1.574 62.72% -0.41 -0.2279
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4594 28.03% 29.38 1.776 85.37% 0.652 0.473
Downpour Drenches the World 1408 25.22% 22.98 -0.883 67.12% -0.289 0.0698
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1457 20.84% 27.46 0.936 77.42% 0.301 -0.1379
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6072 19.65% 32.16 2.743 87.88% 0.461 0.1118
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4429 25.2% 32.71 0.735 88.24% 0.138 -0.2628
Finder of Paths Unseen 796 38.19% 19.46 -5.567 52.76% -0.896 0.1788
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1662 30.27% 26.38 -3.036 67.27% -1.051 -0.5958
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2024 38.52% 28.61 0.96 77.17% 0.609 0.5178
Heart of the Wildfire 5344 62.59% 23.2 -1.71 67.16% -0.256 0.1749
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7902 34.59% 29.09 -0.201 82.88% -0.179 -0.622
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 423 26.9% 28.45 0.819 74.47% 0.05 -0.4592
Lightning's Swift Strike 8982 45.02% 25.32 -1.648 72.2% -0.41 -0.2467
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 496 34.88% 28.67 1.831 75.81% 0.217 -0.4621
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 830 34.31% 31.27 2.908 85.3% 0.682 0.3231
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 834 29.93% 31.21 -1.787 73.86% -0.592 -0.7383
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3514 35.37% 29.37 1.814 80.36% 0.273 0.0956
Many Minds Move as One 2344 21.88% 29.66 1.418 82.85% 0.331 0.1961
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8959 36.62% 29.3 2.078 82.48% 0.368 0.2914
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 670 43.83% 22.26 -1.578 67.31% -0.116 0.0759
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4251 32.03% 27.76 -0.278 82.43% 0.056 -0.0034
River Surges in Sunlight 10361 42.16% 27.83 0.798 73.65% 0.007 0.0517
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 235 38.36% 23.37 -0.08 62.55% 0.08 0.3099
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1101 39.89% 27.94 0.839 72.75% -0.284 -0.2353
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 761 39.95% 28.04 2.278 69.78% -0.773 -0.6068
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4495 33.6% 28.76 -0.005 80.87% 0.049 -0.1442
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 252 20.22% 25.15 0.955 65.87% 0.16 0.1457
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 5557 59.75% 23.52 -2.761 66.02% -0.56 0.0647
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 210 45.32% 26.48 2.905 71.43% 0.399 0.415
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 640 31.84% 26.53 4.169 73.28% 0.748 0.3127
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 201 40.5% 27.03 1.598 69.65% 0.036 0.0589
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 688 39.3% 29.05 -0.462 79.94% -0.38 -0.4669
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 419 48.92% 26.93 -0.132 74.46% -0.127 0.2821
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5505 30.89% 29.18 -1.577 81.14% -0.295 -0.2378
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 66 16.67% 28.97 2.653 83.33% 0.822 0.3186
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 527 25.48% 25.94 -0.168 70.59% -0.014 -0.0513
Shifting Memory of Ages 2022 38.64% 24.19 -2.288 69.44% -0.284 0.0781
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 322 32.08% 24.92 4.078 62.42% 0.911 0.8937
Shroud of Silent Mist 1852 45.31% 24.22 -1.901 72.14% -0.418 0.1053
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 60 28.33% 28.4 2.131 80.0% 0.437 0.0971
Starlight Seeks its Form 2235 27.49% 26.48 0.725 75.12% -0.152 -0.3506
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2950 30.45% 26.87 -2.067 80.54% -0.446 -1.0615
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3935 33.66% 27.01 -3.584 77.18% -0.763 -0.5295
Thunderspeaker 8174 34.49% 28.06 -0.13 77.5% 0.017 0.0002
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 350 30.66% 22.31 -0.905 59.14% -0.282 -0.0815
Towering Roots of the Jungle 803 32.71% 22.91 -1.201 65.88% -0.254 -0.0875
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2207 59.91% 23.91 0.113 72.54% 0.255 0.3054
Vital Strength of the Earth 7086 34.78% 23.44 -2.444 68.78% -0.338 0.1321
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 430 31.4% 22.04 1.054 62.79% 0.678 1.0875
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 578 35.31% 22.76 -0.65 65.74% -0.354 0.3128
Volcano Looming High 2545 43.7% 24.27 -3.75 72.1% -0.95 -0.9667
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1177 24.87% 29.17 0.508 78.25% -0.004 -0.2839

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 62 37.1% 25.47 -7.558 64.52% -0.41 -0.4394
Blitz 0 1413 34.95% 22.43 -1.433 61.64% -0.778 -0.5347
Dahan Insurrection 4 1341 27.27% 44.06 9.935 68.08% -0.21 -0.1968
Despicable Theft 2 276 35.51% 26.92 2.305 57.61% 0.26 1.0265
Elemental Invocation 1 466 35.91% 22.82 -6.694 58.37% -1.283 -0.5305
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2884 11.07% 35.51 3.602 77.53% 0.054 -0.5425
Powers Long Forgotten 1 746 46.25% 25.04 -4.108 57.37% -1.054 -0.3066
Rituals of Terror 3 667 42.62% 31.33 -0.572 57.57% -0.983 -0.5046
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 448 60.27% 29.49 6.861 54.91% 0.069 0.7564
Second Wave 0 5489 39.42% 30.36 -0.481 76.77% -0.516 -0.5204
The Great River 3 280 39.64% 26.8 16.953 48.93% 0.4 1.5292
Varied Terrains 2 244 48.77% 22.07 -4.396 44.67% -1.009 -0.2287
Ward the Shores 2 624 44.62% 28.94 -2.09 58.65% -1.229 -0.3597

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 68410 39.67% 25.43 -0.802 73.48% -0.32 -0.1162
1 Thematic 5211 41.29% 31.77 0.665 67.18% -0.501 0.1077
2 Archipelago 59 51.72% 30.64 1.544 66.1% 0.298 0.469
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13993 35.84% 27.17 -0.225 79.58% 0.073 0.1539
2 Coastline 1854 32.75% 28.08 0.079 81.18% 0.034 -0.0611
2 Fragment 463 41.67% 26.38 -3.539 76.46% -0.361 -0.4041
2 Heart 258 44.88% 27.03 4.078 75.19% 0.336 -0.1251
2 Opposite Shores 3310 32.87% 28.05 0.991 83.32% 0.491 0.6227
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 1884 38.38% 30.56 -0.42 69.43% -0.47 -0.1112
2 Top to Top 577 34.85% 27.35 1.529 78.86% 0.234 0.1453
3 Archipelago 33 54.55% 37.3 8.262 84.85% 0.404 0.2346
3 Coastline 39 33.33% 31.05 0.0 66.67%
3 Other 186 41.11% 27.81 -0.971 81.18% 0.507 0.1217
3 Round (Default) 5715 29.05% 29.93 2.545 83.01% 0.94 0.9454
3 Sunrise 30 20.0% 33.3 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 308 40.52% 28.2 -2.638 63.64% -0.252 -0.6827
4 Archipelago 18 50.0% 37.67 0.0 88.89%
4 Coastline 20 20.0% 27.2 0.0 55.0%
4 Leaf 18 44.44% 32.89 0.0 88.89%
4 Other 96 36.56% 28.93 -8.958 80.21% -0.555 -1.3978
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 3 0.0% 46.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 403 33.67% 37.72 7.429 75.93% 0.922 0.7195
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2227 30.3% 28.92 3.513 83.3% 0.214 0.4035
5 Archipelago 5 40.0% 53.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 4 0.0% 30.0 0.0 75.0%
5 Other 130 38.4% 28.81 -8.466 77.69% -0.523 -0.684
5 Thematic 6 16.67% 22.0 -5.936 50.0% -0.238 0.0998
6 Archipelago 16 18.75% 39.69 0.0 75.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 40 32.5% 31.48 0.0 80.0%
6 Star 15 26.67% 26.07 0.0 73.33%
6 Thematic 130 34.62% 36.14 -3.018 69.23% -0.031 0.2173
6 Two Centers (Default) 203 20.2% 28.64 -4.535 73.89% -0.367 0.8346
7 Other 6 40.0% 31.67 -2.732 50.0% -0.093 0.088

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2270 23.1 1.55 62.69% -0.183 -0.0343
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1836 24.52 0.875 65.14% -0.213 -0.3254
All Things Weaken 1348 23.16 0.82 62.24% -0.015 0.3598
Attenuated Essence 303 23.85 -2.923 65.35% -0.396 -0.2704
Back Against the Wall 1941 23.97 -1.63 63.47% -0.51 -0.4686
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 292 24.45 -0.813 69.52% -0.285 -0.0786
Burn Brightest Before the End 229 25.03 6.861 64.63% 0.45 0.4951
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2318 20.39 -4.456 58.8% -0.875 -0.3767
Downward Spiral 7533 21.35 -0.323 64.26% 0.102 0.3519
Erosion of Will 2318 22.63 0.283 60.35% -0.172 0.0858
Intensifying Exploitation 320 20.4 -2.604 58.13% -0.686 -0.4672
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 634 28.5 -2.089 89.43% 0.197 -0.1892
Memory Fades to Dust 7619 20.73 -1.187 59.52% -0.083 0.1217
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1322 22.61 1.667 66.49% 0.41 0.6079
Promising Farmlands 2323 21.29 -1.827 61.13% -0.716 -0.3603
Shattered Fragments of Power 247 23.57 -3.292 59.11% -0.612 -0.3945
Slow Dissolution of Will 306 21.92 -1.407 59.48% -0.402 0.0274
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 443 28.17 4.523 90.74% 0.751 0.1265
The Border of Life and Death 127 23.65 -1.577 71.65% -0.581 -0.9009
Thriving Communities 1281 22.02 -0.0 63.93% 0.139 0.4583
Thriving Crops 162 27.32 2.051 85.8% 0.523 0.404
Tipping Point 669 20.79 0.0 57.55%
Unnatural Proliferation 1390 23.99 0.22 66.47% -0.197 -0.1073
Untended Land Crumbles 1343 22.23 -4.949 63.29% -0.95 -0.725

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 23934 37.91% 26.15 -0.602 75.21% -0.206 0.593
B 23798 36.82% 26.83 0.263 77.51% -0.0 0.7301
C 24620 36.84% 26.99 0.592 77.88% 0.114 0.718
D 22707 36.94% 26.82 0.46 77.48% 0.207 0.9638
E 10100 34.32% 27.08 0.794 76.47% 0.071 0.6554
F 12214 34.33% 27.29 -0.547 78.3% -0.194 0.5086
G 10965 34.57% 27.27 -0.04 78.21% -0.27 0.4873
H 11362 33.37% 27.79 1.727 79.21% 0.383 1.0142
East 5307 37.76% 32.92 0.313 69.0% -0.167 0.617
Northeast 3300 36.92% 33.61 0.011 69.82% -0.041 0.7205
Northwest 2383 37.21% 31.95 -1.87 71.21% -0.46 0.3819
Southeast 805 35.91% 29.3 0.553 63.85% 0.07 0.7091
Southwest 807 39.08% 27.05 0.413 61.09% 0.16 1.2054
West 4376 41.81% 30.53 -0.007 67.23% -0.284 0.4919

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 4247 0.0% 20.05 -1.848 61.88% -0.268 0.6055
Not Using Events or Tokens 21234 43.83% 24.28 -1.172 69.67% -0.406 -0.0294
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1501 13.41% 36.79 1.145 83.48% -0.358 -0.649
Start of Game Growth 2205 14.68% 35.99 4.806 84.08% 0.689 0.1321
Unlimited Undo 7724 32.21% 27.89 -0.257 78.74% -0.23 -0.1669
Using Tokens but Not Events 12427 31.58% 25.82 -0.424 75.9% -0.089 -0.2162

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14520 12.44 7.75%
II 24486 29.94 67.08%
III 44098 34.9 89.52%
IV 22655 38.84 99.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.402 Win Model: -0.061
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 74236 39.79% 25.84 72.84%
2 22070 35.64% 27.81 79.86%
3 6165 29.54% 29.98 82.87%
4 2758 31.0% 30.17 81.73%
5 123 40.34% 28.41 79.67%
6 407 26.11% 31.86 72.97%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1123
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 38584
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 15569
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 22207
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 12504
Lose: Invader deck ran out 824
Lose: Adversary condition 323
Win: Sacrifice victory 397
Lose: Scenario condition 683
Win: Scenario condition 1573
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11265
Lose: Spirit destroyed 707

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 10338 31.4% 36.53 1.552 81.38% 0.592 0.4959
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 478 36.38% 34.61 -1.847 69.67% 0.057 -0.2683
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 92 21.98% 39.68 3.109 88.04% 0.85 0.5887
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 421 27.58% 39.05 4.081 83.14% 0.908 0.1872
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6307 54.8% 34.62 -0.788 75.31% 0.041 0.3395
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 544 29.15% 41.47 4.459 83.27% 0.589 0.0
Dances Up Earthquakes 562 44.81% 30.78 -5.781 65.12% -1.218 -1.0362
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5556 36.26% 37.05 1.673 83.75% 0.453 0.2744
Downpour Drenches the World 1775 29.41% 31.72 -3.248 69.18% -0.48 -0.1205
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2575 26.53% 35.04 4.396 71.84% 1.187 0.7475
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8013 24.74% 41.11 2.175 88.67% 0.445 0.0951
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5508 30.39% 40.83 1.77 86.82% 0.37 -0.0306
Finder of Paths Unseen 961 49.11% 31.59 -1.59 60.46% -0.423 0.6512
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1822 35.02% 36.25 0.24 70.8% -0.229 0.2263
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2654 38.66% 32.9 0.996 68.8% 0.316 0.2249
Heart of the Wildfire 7235 62.08% 31.87 -2.076 68.82% -0.323 0.1081
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 11932 38.76% 39.18 1.958 83.0% 0.293 -0.1491
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 594 28.69% 36.11 0.261 76.77% 0.722 0.2132
Lightning's Swift Strike 9713 47.58% 33.74 -3.654 73.49% -0.622 -0.4591
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 791 45.56% 39.78 1.944 75.47% 0.178 -0.5003
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1218 36.19% 38.45 0.244 79.97% -0.297 -0.6562
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1182 39.61% 40.06 3.282 77.66% 0.796 0.6492
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5330 37.83% 38.54 1.67 78.69% 0.193 0.016
Many Minds Move as One 2879 27.57% 38.22 -0.461 84.44% -0.021 -0.156
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 11668 46.23% 36.82 -0.902 77.63% -0.409 -0.4856
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 910 53.14% 27.51 -2.574 61.32% -0.272 -0.0805
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5385 37.57% 36.55 2.125 82.66% 0.574 0.5147
River Surges in Sunlight 12100 47.56% 36.07 0.299 75.23% 0.148 0.193
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 352 40.34% 32.6 -1.482 63.07% -0.313 -0.0831
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1561 42.17% 36.48 -4.163 72.58% -0.657 -0.6081
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1046 41.53% 34.81 0.884 65.2% 0.164 0.3301
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6324 39.97% 36.46 -1.543 79.71% -0.441 -0.6341
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 225 42.86% 36.11 -3.075 68.0% -0.598 -0.6123
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 5196 61.21% 32.19 -3.451 67.82% -0.724 -0.0996
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 233 46.29% 33.32 -7.737 66.95% -1.033 -1.0171
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 657 36.28% 42.93 4.837 81.43% 0.959 0.5244
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 297 48.31% 33.03 0.138 69.36% 0.277 0.2995
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 711 46.62% 37.28 -0.588 82.0% 0.057 -0.0302
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 645 54.04% 34.86 -4.068 73.33% -0.57 -0.1608
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7178 35.43% 37.64 -0.539 82.07% 0.109 0.1665
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 106 25.47% 39.68 3.996 82.08% 0.811 0.3069
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 915 25.77% 44.75 0.048 76.07% -0.051 -0.0885
Shifting Memory of Ages 1966 50.36% 32.03 -1.217 70.04% -0.033 0.3294
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 448 31.54% 31.5 0.498 68.3% 0.313 0.296
Shroud of Silent Mist 2167 61.15% 29.94 -1.524 66.31% -0.249 0.2743
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 72 41.67% 32.79 -1.21 76.39% -0.192 -0.5326
Starlight Seeks its Form 3376 38.87% 35.84 1.832 75.41% -0.039 -0.2377
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4189 36.05% 35.63 1.048 82.07% 0.44 -0.1754
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4392 38.52% 35.99 -0.809 78.28% -0.29 -0.0568
Thunderspeaker 9989 38.66% 37.04 -1.591 79.71% -0.309 -0.3262
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 462 31.89% 34.49 -2.67 66.23% -0.667 -0.4666
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1310 30.68% 29.23 -3.278 58.32% -0.473 -0.3065
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2933 71.52% 30.81 0.52 69.18% 0.351 0.4007
Vital Strength of the Earth 7519 36.76% 31.74 -3.084 71.18% -0.571 -0.1011
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 647 40.72% 32.41 -5.787 68.01% -0.817 -0.4074
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 943 27.21% 30.78 -1.131 70.2% 0.019 0.6855
Volcano Looming High 3617 47.83% 33.11 -1.259 74.07% -0.108 -0.1243
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1573 28.04% 32.88 0.096 65.1% 0.104 -0.1758

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 59 20.34% 31.24 -7.723 71.19% -0.585 -0.614
Blitz 0 1404 42.97% 31.14 -4.342 65.95% -0.193 0.0506
Dahan Insurrection 4 1974 20.62% 49.04 -1.124 65.5% -0.514 -0.5007
Despicable Theft 2 155 49.68% 34.45 3.284 59.35% -0.207 0.5587
Elemental Invocation 1 395 48.86% 28.93 -3.536 56.71% -0.38 0.3725
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 4305 9.87% 45.56 4.713 83.9% 0.264 -0.3319
Powers Long Forgotten 1 575 51.22% 32.05 -2.994 58.96% -0.368 0.3801
Rituals of Terror 3 507 51.68% 38.47 -5.713 58.78% -1.025 -0.5466
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 265 61.51% 37.7 0.0 60.75%
Second Wave 0 4937 46.81% 36.81 3.425 72.31% 0.449 0.4448
The Great River 3 242 49.17% 31.84 -17.818 43.8% -1.25 -0.1209
Varied Terrains 2 197 56.35% 30.43 13.201 48.73% 0.663 1.443
Ward the Shores 2 477 46.32% 40.46 -5.259 69.18% -0.529 0.3401

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 78560 44.72% 33.56 -0.882 74.03% -0.598 -0.3943
1 Thematic 4491 46.86% 38.84 -0.899 69.21% -0.774 -0.1647
2 Archipelago 55 50.91% 36.64 0.0 52.73%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 17779 41.69% 35.06 -0.478 79.57% -0.252 -0.1719
2 Coastline 2443 37.07% 36.66 3.669 80.27% 0.349 0.2542
2 Fragment 557 45.47% 35.1 6.554 77.02% 0.663 0.6199
2 Heart 248 50.61% 36.1 5.56 80.24% 0.277 -0.1845
2 Opposite Shores 4182 39.17% 36.42 1.562 81.35% -0.122 0.0093
2 Thematic 1808 44.87% 41.02 -0.304 73.45% -0.468 -0.1092
2 Top to Top 731 39.01% 37.46 4.014 83.58% 0.252 0.1636
3 Archipelago 38 55.26% 51.71 0.0 68.42%
3 Coastline 48 39.58% 38.65 0.0 77.08%
3 Other 345 43.48% 38.34 4.196 86.67% -0.05 -0.4351
3 Round (Default) 7252 36.68% 36.55 1.619 81.15% 0.174 0.1794
3 Sunrise 34 35.29% 40.62 0.0 91.18%
3 Thematic 354 48.01% 41.1 5.713 71.75% 0.191 -0.2403
4 Archipelago 17 41.18% 48.41 0.0 88.24%
4 Coastline 11 36.36% 31.36 0.0 54.55%
4 Leaf 36 47.22% 41.67 -0.499 94.44% -0.483 -1.5056
4 Other 136 51.47% 40.77 5.116 84.56% 0.816 -0.0272
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 3 66.67% 43.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 967 26.5% 38.32 -7.102 63.7% -0.378 -0.5805
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3306 32.63% 37.92 0.137 82.97% -0.005 0.1845
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 53.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 5 100.0% 35.2 -2.779 80.0% -0.115 -0.7745
5 Other 216 39.07% 39.44 1.249 77.31% 0.961 0.8009
5 Thematic 31 51.61% 47.35 12.237 67.74% 0.142 0.4806
6 Archipelago 4 0.0% 33.75 0.0 75.0%
6 Coastline 2 50.0% 10.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 40 30.0% 39.98 -7.38 72.5% -0.302 -0.341
6 Star 43 23.26% 39.49 -8.08 90.7% -0.976 -0.5097
6 Thematic 811 43.79% 54.97 2.498 72.01% 0.15 0.3987
6 Two Centers (Default) 470 19.18% 38.86 -2.649 81.49% -0.32 0.8818
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 4 0.0% 37.75 14.649 50.0% 0.387 0.5681

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3460 30.38 2.041 62.98% 0.341 0.4899
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2751 32.1 0.433 64.89% -0.143 -0.2561
All Things Weaken 2121 29.29 1.763 59.97% 0.285 0.6595
Attenuated Essence 482 30.07 -2.278 63.07% -0.257 -0.1317
Back Against the Wall 2705 30.87 0.17 61.81% -0.381 -0.3396
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 461 29.4 -4.62 61.61% -0.815 -0.6093
Burn Brightest Before the End 387 29.79 -1.448 57.36% -0.288 -0.2432
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3274 27.66 -5.388 60.54% -1.265 -0.7672
Downward Spiral 9125 29.15 -0.081 66.26% 0.035 0.2849
Erosion of Will 3557 30.32 1.011 62.67% -0.015 0.2422
Intensifying Exploitation 486 28.92 -4.109 61.93% -0.28 -0.0608
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 910 38.59 2.123 92.2% 0.636 0.2496
Memory Fades to Dust 9344 28.43 -0.68 62.01% -0.112 0.0931
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1994 30.3 -0.417 65.8% -0.252 -0.0537
Promising Farmlands 3428 29.46 -2.439 64.61% -0.393 -0.0371
Shattered Fragments of Power 387 30.27 -3.976 58.91% -1.254 -1.0369
Slow Dissolution of Will 446 29.26 0.466 58.52% 0.176 0.6058
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 583 37.76 3.56 89.71% 0.627 0.0023
The Border of Life and Death 146 34.05 2.297 76.71% 0.616 0.2958
Thriving Communities 1983 28.8 -2.408 61.72% -0.474 -0.1543
Thriving Crops 241 32.85 3.208 75.1% 1.139 1.0203
Tipping Point 973 29.82 0.0 64.65%
Unnatural Proliferation 2116 30.96 1.382 63.56% 0.182 0.2718
Untended Land Crumbles 2004 30.23 -1.822 64.47% -0.512 -0.2866

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 29016 42.57% 34.24 -0.536 75.78% -0.075 0.7242
B 29915 41.21% 34.96 -0.473 77.67% -0.085 0.6448
C 30485 41.82% 35.14 0.679 77.99% 0.225 0.8295
D 27534 42.47% 34.68 -0.636 77.43% 0.052 0.8093
E 12225 39.45% 35.59 -0.302 78.21% -0.12 0.4641
F 15343 38.74% 35.64 0.68 78.73% 0.112 0.8145
G 13802 40.15% 35.43 1.153 78.67% 0.32 1.0769
H 14342 39.82% 36.44 2.092 78.92% 0.344 0.9755
East 6002 42.25% 42.35 0.864 70.24% -0.426 0.358
Northeast 3830 41.32% 44.81 0.953 73.13% -0.016 0.7456
Northwest 3147 40.62% 44.79 -0.171 72.8% -0.204 0.6377
Southeast 1684 40.12% 43.93 1.786 65.91% 0.719 1.3582
Southwest 1635 40.25% 42.74 1.502 64.59% -0.248 0.7974
West 5326 42.38% 41.35 -2.271 69.0% -0.861 -0.0852

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1044 0.0% 32.32 -3.55 67.82% -0.481 0.3925
Not Using Events or Tokens 20316 47.82% 31.44 -1.658 69.87% -0.133 0.2442
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1222 15.16% 46.38 -3.712 85.76% -0.118 -0.4095
Start of Game Growth 2792 17.07% 47.46 7.842 84.67% 0.519 -0.0379
Unlimited Undo 10849 36.82% 36.04 -1.302 78.39% -0.532 -0.4681
Using Tokens but Not Events 12145 34.35% 35.19 -0.505 78.76% 0.129 0.0014

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 16295 12.44 10.82%
II 30628 29.94 64.0%
III 51118 34.9 90.9%
IV 27138 38.84 99.36%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.261 Win Model: -0.114
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 83645 44.86% 33.84 73.69%
2 27596 41.18% 35.96 79.71%
3 7923 37.19% 36.98 81.4%
4 4447 31.69% 38.3 79.36%
5 206 39.71% 37.47 70.39%
6 1362 35.02% 48.12 75.84%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1760
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 45536
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18430
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 26713
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 12511
Lose: Invader deck ran out 916
Lose: Adversary condition 507
Win: Sacrifice victory 478
Lose: Scenario condition 755
Win: Scenario condition 1877
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14968
Lose: Spirit destroyed 728

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 9175 35.52% 41.59 -2.228 77.94% -0.319 -0.4155
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 528 32.13% 36.16 1.605 65.34% 0.376 0.0509
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 81 29.63% 36.49 -0.063 67.9% 0.036 -0.2255
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 463 28.08% 42.27 5.04 79.91% 1.01 0.2899
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5695 64.23% 38.12 2.34 69.5% 0.706 1.0051
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 651 39.48% 44.35 -1.27 79.42% -0.238 -0.8272
Dances Up Earthquakes 484 49.59% 30.01 -4.352 54.96% -0.896 -0.7145
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5031 40.05% 41.84 2.449 81.06% 0.899 0.7199
Downpour Drenches the World 1749 34.88% 34.69 -2.22 64.15% -0.433 -0.0739
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2197 32.83% 38.82 -0.379 74.01% 0.131 -0.3088
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8220 28.75% 46.78 2.589 86.73% 0.409 0.0594
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5732 33.2% 44.89 -1.883 79.5% -0.11 -0.5101
Finder of Paths Unseen 839 46.3% 29.2 -3.783 52.68% -0.643 0.4319
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1853 39.94% 36.79 -5.179 60.5% -0.667 -0.2111
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2729 44.74% 39.19 0.172 71.86% 0.051 -0.0399
Heart of the Wildfire 7403 67.24% 34.04 -5.317 60.52% -0.675 -0.2435
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 13049 44.36% 43.03 2.384 81.08% 0.663 0.2203
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 811 29.72% 39.57 8.849 72.63% 0.998 0.4887
Lightning's Swift Strike 8166 56.86% 37.58 -1.843 68.0% -0.311 -0.1478
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 761 50.86% 40.51 -0.156 72.67% 0.25 -0.4287
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1216 42.16% 43.97 2.673 81.58% 0.412 0.0529
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1199 37.55% 40.25 -1.058 70.14% -0.181 -0.3276
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5646 44.67% 41.3 1.869 75.75% 0.33 0.1528
Many Minds Move as One 2822 31.57% 44.01 2.158 83.42% 0.36 0.2255
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 11101 49.2% 40.46 1.524 75.06% 0.529 0.4525
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 966 62.2% 30.89 -2.382 56.73% -0.431 -0.2398
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5979 40.26% 40.85 -1.076 79.06% 0.083 0.0239
River Surges in Sunlight 11948 52.3% 41.5 1.874 71.59% 0.383 0.4271
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 312 47.1% 33.79 4.053 58.65% 0.589 0.8192
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1257 46.25% 39.92 4.544 67.38% 0.768 0.8165
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1247 42.64% 39.36 -0.178 64.64% -0.105 0.062
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5820 43.91% 41.52 -2.112 77.78% -0.258 -0.4514
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 226 39.82% 33.49 -2.624 58.85% -0.482 -0.4966
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4307 68.56% 35.02 -5.138 60.25% -0.979 -0.3547
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 299 44.67% 33.75 -2.272 59.53% -0.48 -0.465
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 760 42.88% 39.64 2.172 74.61% 0.478 0.0431
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 296 48.14% 35.95 -5.456 64.19% -0.396 -0.3735
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 724 48.76% 41.45 10.801 75.0% 0.354 0.2668
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 492 61.38% 37.83 -8.459 68.5% -1.138 -0.7292
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7343 39.36% 42.86 -3.496 78.93% -0.475 -0.4171
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 88 51.14% 34.99 -0.955 68.18% 0.059 -0.4448
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 709 36.35% 36.04 3.612 68.69% 0.88 0.8428
Shifting Memory of Ages 1804 51.64% 35.73 -6.026 67.85% -0.787 -0.4245
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 607 35.75% 34.82 1.112 62.11% 0.014 -0.0035
Shroud of Silent Mist 1900 64.58% 32.35 -4.534 59.16% -0.565 -0.0416
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 78 50.0% 34.46 0.111 64.1% 0.133 -0.2075
Starlight Seeks its Form 3577 34.68% 38.46 0.661 72.99% 0.207 0.008
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4324 40.06% 39.8 2.187 78.98% 0.592 -0.0233
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4783 38.93% 41.7 -0.941 77.71% -0.243 -0.0094
Thunderspeaker 8759 45.5% 41.44 -0.424 75.07% 0.123 0.1063
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 386 48.45% 30.61 0.468 57.77% 0.55 0.75
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1005 37.43% 32.13 -3.375 61.0% -0.432 -0.2657
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3010 77.42% 35.4 -1.642 67.48% -0.178 -0.1279
Vital Strength of the Earth 6743 45.06% 35.64 -4.287 63.61% -0.409 0.0611
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 619 40.33% 32.4 -0.229 59.45% -0.114 0.2953
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 729 40.33% 29.62 -5.139 50.48% -0.675 -0.0077
Volcano Looming High 3138 53.21% 36.6 1.1 69.22% 0.378 0.3613
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1435 36.52% 36.76 -1.987 69.34% -0.216 -0.4961

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 31 35.48% 39.1 8.061 70.97% 0.262 0.2327
Blitz 0 1185 49.27% 37.15 -1.068 67.34% -0.257 -0.0138
Dahan Insurrection 4 1813 25.8% 57.47 6.961 69.88% -0.334 -0.3207
Despicable Theft 2 145 60.69% 37.28 7.248 49.66% 0.431 1.1968
Elemental Invocation 1 242 62.4% 30.26 -6.189 47.11% -0.009 0.744
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 4732 13.16% 49.47 3.23 79.4% 0.297 -0.2996
Powers Long Forgotten 1 362 57.18% 35.96 -12.058 54.97% -0.808 -0.0606
Rituals of Terror 3 216 61.11% 38.69 -0.036 46.76% -0.684 -0.2054
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 137 73.72% 42.91 0.0 55.47%
Second Wave 0 3637 52.43% 41.35 0.858 67.83% -0.343 -0.3473
The Great River 3 204 53.92% 29.83 14.878 29.9% 0.262 1.3913
Varied Terrains 2 106 63.21% 28.08 -5.625 36.79% -0.324 0.4557
Ward the Shores 2 220 57.73% 41.63 0.0 59.09%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 85257 50.46% 38.02 -0.583 70.03% -0.091 0.1134
1 Thematic 3826 45.23% 45.76 -2.998 63.98% -0.547 0.0619
2 Archipelago 31 61.29% 46.74 7.681 67.74% 0.182 0.3529
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 17167 45.34% 40.95 0.813 78.02% 0.146 0.2261
2 Coastline 2160 41.32% 41.39 0.463 78.15% 0.078 -0.0173
2 Fragment 392 59.79% 36.52 9.218 67.35% 0.258 0.2149
2 Heart 202 53.96% 38.5 10.406 72.77% 1.014 0.5532
2 Opposite Shores 3883 46.32% 39.49 -3.577 73.76% -0.689 -0.557
2 Thematic 1301 54.98% 44.7 1.43 67.49% -0.068 0.2903
2 Top to Top 667 44.21% 39.18 2.992 74.06% 0.45 0.361
3 Archipelago 22 63.64% 43.09 -15.768 68.18% -0.545 -0.7149
3 Coastline 68 41.18% 38.74 0.0 61.76%
3 Other 328 33.74% 39.77 3.999 76.52% 0.386 0.0003
3 Round (Default) 6757 38.99% 41.59 0.717 77.74% 0.086 0.0915
3 Sunrise 36 25.0% 34.75 0.0 66.67%
3 Thematic 248 50.4% 46.62 3.348 72.58% -0.099 -0.5303
4 Archipelago 27 33.33% 55.96 10.578 85.19% 0.633 0.3926
4 Coastline 9 55.56% 34.56 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 20 60.0% 45.3 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 204 29.9% 34.49 -2.171 65.69% -0.642 -1.485
4 Reverse Snake 2 50.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Snake 4 25.0% 50.25 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 450 38.29% 51.39 -4.654 78.0% -0.023 -0.2253
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3317 35.24% 43.44 2.506 81.25% 0.166 0.356
5 Archipelago 14 64.29% 51.71 0.0 85.71%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 147 47.92% 41.65 13.919 75.51% 0.168 0.0075
5 Thematic 18 44.44% 45.33 0.0 61.11%
6 Archipelago 10 30.0% 35.1 -18.53 50.0% -0.744 -1.3973
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 39 18.92% 41.51 -1.436 66.67% 0.06 0.0208
6 Star 77 22.08% 37.1 4.207 66.23% 0.446 0.9118
6 Thematic 147 14.29% 37.29 -3.175 45.58% -0.046 0.2028
6 Two Centers (Default) 313 29.71% 36.22 -2.004 68.05% -0.33 0.8718
7 Archipelago 2 50.0% 74.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 9 33.33% 54.22 0.0 77.78%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 4142 34.79 -0.491 59.44% -0.236 -0.0879
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3137 37.47 -1.089 64.42% -0.292 -0.4044
All Things Weaken 2467 33.87 0.654 57.48% -0.148 0.2265
Attenuated Essence 612 32.98 1.851 60.78% 0.259 0.3844
Back Against the Wall 3064 35.78 0.182 59.89% -0.175 -0.1339
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 620 30.32 -2.713 51.29% -0.622 -0.4159
Burn Brightest Before the End 371 33.54 1.757 56.06% 0.27 0.3148
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3892 31.9 -3.25 56.78% -0.658 -0.1599
Downward Spiral 9879 34.03 -0.047 61.92% -0.058 0.1926
Erosion of Will 4001 34.05 -0.972 57.71% -0.089 0.1686
Intensifying Exploitation 568 31.03 -0.796 57.04% -0.101 0.1175
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1014 43.12 1.971 87.87% 0.521 0.1346
Memory Fades to Dust 9935 33.32 1.96 58.34% 0.485 0.6906
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2482 34.11 -0.152 60.96% -0.193 0.0055
Promising Farmlands 3993 33.89 0.823 60.81% 0.25 0.6062
Shattered Fragments of Power 416 33.93 3.568 55.53% -0.034 0.1837
Slow Dissolution of Will 598 31.33 -0.396 51.51% -0.493 -0.063
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 682 43.65 4.17 88.86% 0.958 0.3334
The Border of Life and Death 144 37.93 3.89 75.0% 0.617 0.2966
Thriving Communities 2408 33.61 -1.99 60.92% -0.363 -0.0438
Thriving Crops 288 37.82 -1.127 76.04% 0.173 0.0548
Tipping Point 1157 34.37 0.0 59.64%
Unnatural Proliferation 2588 36.47 0.624 63.56% 0.098 0.1873
Untended Land Crumbles 2412 33.27 0.879 59.0% 0.21 0.4352

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 28885 47.63% 38.73 -0.408 71.6% 0.023 0.8222
B 29706 46.45% 39.77 0.789 74.09% 0.134 0.864
C 31098 46.31% 39.77 -0.005 74.09% 0.009 0.6135
D 26515 47.85% 39.22 0.113 72.87% 0.018 0.7744
E 13109 43.65% 39.58 0.392 73.93% 0.054 0.6388
F 15862 44.07% 39.92 0.155 74.57% 0.022 0.7241
G 14186 44.66% 39.91 0.397 74.76% 0.124 0.8815
H 14751 42.91% 40.73 0.188 76.33% 0.004 0.6348
East 4209 44.69% 46.43 2.303 65.38% 0.375 1.1585
Northeast 2743 41.69% 47.45 -0.756 65.48% -0.322 0.4399
Northwest 1633 44.2% 45.9 -0.894 69.63% 0.041 0.8833
Southeast 711 40.79% 42.45 4.915 62.59% 0.3 0.9394
Southwest 657 41.7% 38.84 -9.626 60.43% -1.153 -0.108
West 3116 48.34% 45.32 -7.54 67.04% -0.588 0.1872

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 785 0.0% 36.72 -1.591 61.53% 0.288 1.1614
Not Using Events or Tokens 17760 53.41% 35.05 -2.11 62.09% -0.311 0.0662
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1131 12.45% 54.73 4.459 87.62% 0.274 -0.0179
Start of Game Growth 2316 16.88% 51.48 3.849 85.1% 0.532 -0.025
Unlimited Undo 11073 39.52% 41.09 -3.326 77.16% -0.547 -0.4833
Using Tokens but Not Events 12447 39.67% 40.54 0.485 76.33% 0.262 0.1351

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 18142 12.44 7.51%
II 40560 29.94 65.07%
III 46412 34.9 89.83%
IV 22186 38.84 99.44%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.124 Win Model: -0.086
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 89501 50.23% 38.35 69.75%
2 25669 45.87% 40.89 76.71%
3 7390 39.05% 41.61 77.27%
4 4007 35.14% 43.9 80.11%
5 162 49.69% 41.73 67.9%
6 571 23.55% 36.81 62.7%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1363
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 41023
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 25171
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 21901
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 13455
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2041
Lose: Adversary condition 413
Win: Sacrifice victory 459
Lose: Scenario condition 584
Win: Scenario condition 1591
Lose: Blight pool ran out 18383
Lose: Spirit destroyed 916

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6635 34.78% 43.62 0.196 75.01% 0.102 0.0054
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 299 39.46% 39.7 2.47 69.57% 0.294 -0.0312
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 57 15.79% 41.4 -0.433 70.18% -0.149 -0.4107
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 433 33.41% 45.23 4.386 81.06% 0.829 0.1085
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4479 65.41% 39.8 -4.474 67.89% -0.575 -0.2761
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 825 48.12% 46.45 5.731 79.76% 0.661 0.0715
Dances Up Earthquakes 430 43.49% 33.03 -2.318 57.91% -0.202 -0.02
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4080 43.34% 44.23 -2.809 79.51% -0.236 -0.4149
Downpour Drenches the World 1309 36.14% 35.68 -6.459 60.73% -0.886 -0.5266
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1858 31.13% 43.66 -1.008 77.66% -0.312 -0.7509
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6609 28.6% 50.33 3.058 88.61% 0.6 0.2505
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4371 35.47% 47.38 4.723 83.67% 0.877 0.4771
Finder of Paths Unseen 605 48.26% 32.62 -5.621 56.2% -0.792 0.2827
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1510 35.23% 40.89 -6.452 64.3% -1.042 -0.5865
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2487 42.12% 42.32 5.063 70.12% 1.0 0.9095
Heart of the Wildfire 5920 66.21% 38.32 -6.114 64.7% -0.797 -0.366
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10820 42.82% 46.79 -0.374 82.76% 0.046 -0.3967
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 640 27.86% 42.6 0.482 72.03% -0.084 -0.593
Lightning's Swift Strike 6601 51.97% 40.93 -2.162 69.47% -0.294 -0.1311
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 910 52.38% 45.2 -2.129 74.4% -0.259 -0.9378
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1098 40.27% 47.26 5.123 83.24% 0.693 0.3338
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 802 40.77% 46.13 -5.895 78.8% -0.556 -0.7022
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4584 44.19% 45.42 2.88 78.9% 0.485 0.3076
Many Minds Move as One 2343 31.74% 46.45 -0.681 83.91% -0.268 -0.4028
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8759 49.5% 42.06 -1.443 72.09% -0.03 -0.1071
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 826 64.53% 34.36 -0.102 61.14% -0.074 0.1174
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4304 41.75% 44.04 1.925 78.49% 0.506 0.4467
River Surges in Sunlight 8795 51.74% 44.11 0.536 70.24% 0.064 0.1085
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 214 44.39% 35.65 6.231 60.28% 0.63 0.8595
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 814 45.32% 43.51 -1.103 69.16% -0.099 -0.0503
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 870 47.24% 44.32 -4.211 71.72% -0.624 -0.4571
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4479 43.74% 43.96 1.592 77.27% 0.584 0.3902
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 217 37.33% 43.76 2.511 78.34% 0.281 0.2669
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2803 66.16% 36.79 -4.123 58.01% -0.655 -0.0309
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 184 59.44% 39.9 10.596 64.67% 0.612 0.628
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 580 47.23% 44.39 4.442 75.69% 0.719 0.2844
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 226 46.9% 44.16 6.493 75.66% 0.969 0.9914
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 516 60.97% 40.91 0.837 69.38% 0.183 0.0957
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 332 69.88% 39.34 -7.478 64.16% -1.211 -0.8027
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8468 30.44% 48.98 -1.394 85.04% 0.094 0.1517
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 68 33.82% 42.68 1.671 79.41% 0.44 -0.0636
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 560 37.92% 43.24 2.746 73.04% 0.536 0.499
Shifting Memory of Ages 1326 55.96% 40.25 -2.649 70.36% -0.273 0.0891
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 295 45.42% 37.93 -2.309 67.12% -0.236 -0.2531
Shroud of Silent Mist 1195 69.6% 33.51 -10.243 56.65% -1.139 -0.6149
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 87 41.38% 35.95 -1.777 65.52% -0.193 -0.5329
Starlight Seeks its Form 2962 37.88% 41.69 -1.715 74.38% -0.211 -0.4096
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3756 37.12% 43.37 1.865 81.28% 0.979 0.3643
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3666 42.34% 44.14 2.612 75.8% 0.316 0.5491
Thunderspeaker 6492 45.5% 43.22 -1.486 73.61% -0.212 -0.2288
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 282 45.39% 39.58 -0.041 67.02% -0.168 0.0325
Towering Roots of the Jungle 909 43.55% 36.88 -4.25 64.47% -0.407 -0.2403
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2724 78.26% 38.98 -0.532 70.23% -0.038 0.0117
Vital Strength of the Earth 4259 49.73% 34.69 -9.261 50.97% -1.445 -0.9752
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 451 46.31% 34.29 4.426 56.1% 0.797 1.2067
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 302 47.35% 35.53 -5.386 53.31% -0.528 0.1386
Volcano Looming High 2745 53.28% 40.77 -0.021 72.71% 0.078 0.0614
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1008 38.19% 41.98 3.485 74.5% 0.705 0.4246

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 24 29.17% 39.38 0.0 62.5%
Blitz 0 774 43.91% 39.66 -4.648 66.28% -0.227 0.0166
Dahan Insurrection 4 1022 25.15% 62.25 7.665 70.74% 0.39 0.4031
Despicable Theft 2 58 51.72% 35.98 -21.967 46.55% -0.484 0.2826
Elemental Invocation 1 154 49.35% 33.05 -4.681 52.6% -0.637 0.1164
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3109 13.5% 53.09 3.807 84.72% 0.135 -0.4616
Powers Long Forgotten 1 190 64.74% 37.94 -6.96 52.63% -0.33 0.4174
Rituals of Terror 3 214 50.0% 44.69 -3.958 52.8% -0.172 0.3069
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 122 69.67% 41.24 -15.905 45.08% -0.377 0.3111
Second Wave 0 2373 53.01% 43.3 -4.173 65.95% -0.775 -0.7794
The Great River 3 100 52.0% 32.55 -8.031 35.0% -0.622 0.5077
Varied Terrains 2 55 61.82% 34.71 0.0 47.27%
Ward the Shores 2 152 53.95% 45.36 0.0 61.84%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 77024 47.81% 42.01 -1.281 72.4% -0.473 -0.2693
1 Thematic 2578 51.17% 49.23 3.579 67.3% 0.168 0.7767
2 Archipelago 18 72.22% 41.67 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12244 46.5% 43.79 2.04 77.38% 0.292 0.3725
2 Coastline 1771 40.01% 45.15 -0.058 79.84% -0.232 -0.3274
2 Fragment 267 52.27% 39.4 1.832 66.29% 0.259 0.2162
2 Heart 116 43.48% 43.43 7.978 77.59% 0.381 -0.0796
2 Opposite Shores 2801 44.59% 40.75 0.426 70.69% 0.052 0.1836
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 786 52.36% 46.75 -0.075 66.67% 0.145 0.5039
2 Top to Top 563 43.67% 44.87 4.975 79.04% 0.67 0.5811
3 Archipelago 14 28.57% 42.86 0.0 64.29%
3 Coastline 56 28.57% 57.7 0.0 98.21%
3 Other 153 52.98% 45.65 -1.676 80.39% -0.293 -0.6778
3 Round (Default) 4810 38.21% 45.28 -0.002 80.19% -0.006 -0.0001
3 Sunrise 18 16.67% 55.56 8.294 88.89% 0.215 -0.3912
3 Thematic 163 51.53% 43.23 2.718 63.19% 0.029 -0.4024
4 Archipelago 11 72.73% 47.64 0.0 63.64%
4 Coastline 4 50.0% 47.25 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 12 66.67% 43.92 4.258 83.33% 0.155 -0.8671
4 Other 74 36.99% 46.04 -1.214 78.38% 0.123 -0.7206
4 Reverse Snake 2 50.0% 23.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 526 34.86% 50.51 1.169 72.05% 0.138 -0.0639
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2107 38.07% 44.57 3.567 78.45% 0.677 0.8664
5 Archipelago 4 100.0% 70.5 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 3 0.0% 21.0 0.0 33.33%
5 Other 102 48.0% 40.87 -9.462 68.63% -0.596 -0.7565
5 Thematic 12 33.33% 26.25 -14.385 41.67% -0.191 0.1474
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 31 41.94% 39.26 0.0 70.97%
6 Star 16 50.0% 48.13 0.0 81.25%
6 Thematic 108 8.33% 47.58 0.973 58.33% -0.34 -0.0913
6 Two Centers (Default) 90 44.44% 36.39 -7.686 62.22% -0.71 0.4917

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3434 37.76 -1.414 60.45% -0.613 -0.4641
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2540 40.75 0.866 65.47% 0.119 0.006
All Things Weaken 2072 36.57 -1.47 58.54% -0.488 -0.1132
Attenuated Essence 508 36.38 -1.09 63.19% -0.261 -0.1358
Back Against the Wall 2385 39.54 4.383 62.56% 0.733 0.7743
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 485 33.86 -4.06 55.88% -0.834 -0.6285
Burn Brightest Before the End 331 36.96 -2.877 58.01% -0.743 -0.6979
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3214 34.83 -5.897 56.97% -1.121 -0.6228
Downward Spiral 7697 35.94 -3.411 59.37% -0.653 -0.403
Erosion of Will 3295 36.43 -0.22 56.78% -0.262 -0.0043
Intensifying Exploitation 521 32.87 -2.916 54.51% -0.425 -0.2064
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 847 46.33 7.228 86.07% 0.853 0.4669
Memory Fades to Dust 7849 34.9 -0.705 55.14% -0.146 0.0593
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2102 37.89 -0.235 64.22% -0.173 0.0253
Promising Farmlands 3402 36.22 -3.238 59.38% -0.321 0.0353
Shattered Fragments of Power 346 36.58 2.041 58.38% -0.093 0.1241
Slow Dissolution of Will 496 31.16 -1.788 48.79% -0.504 -0.0746
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 587 46.42 4.613 87.9% 0.52 -0.1043
The Border of Life and Death 134 43.66 -2.874 80.6% -0.455 -0.7751
Thriving Communities 1991 35.49 -2.444 58.41% -0.664 -0.3441
Thriving Crops 225 36.33 2.645 68.0% 0.806 0.6875
Tipping Point 957 35.54 0.0 54.13%
Unnatural Proliferation 2169 38.68 1.374 63.07% 0.212 0.3011
Untended Land Crumbles 2028 36.67 -1.185 60.7% -0.359 -0.1339

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 21984 47.17% 41.74 -0.966 71.64% -0.475 0.3245
B 23603 45.28% 43.14 0.808 74.91% -0.138 0.5925
C 24116 46.97% 42.7 -0.628 73.97% -0.304 0.3007
D 20476 47.26% 42.63 1.2 73.72% 0.002 0.7586
E 11134 43.51% 43.65 0.588 77.01% -0.249 0.3353
F 13164 44.04% 43.04 -0.302 75.61% -0.312 0.39
G 11596 44.85% 43.21 -0.935 76.1% -0.446 0.3115
H 12107 42.22% 44.14 1.068 77.8% -0.08 0.5513
East 2688 47.97% 47.78 -4.446 66.44% -0.81 -0.0261
Northeast 1645 45.85% 47.98 -0.665 66.63% -0.462 0.2993
Northwest 1429 39.87% 49.44 2.687 70.12% -0.041 0.8015
Southeast 525 40.19% 44.21 3.332 62.86% 0.381 1.0207
Southwest 492 42.07% 39.83 -2.998 56.91% -0.761 0.2847
West 2573 44.54% 49.29 2.846 67.82% -0.202 0.5739

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 587 0.0% 43.16 -2.368 69.85% -0.767 0.1068
Not Using Events or Tokens 13791 50.79% 37.93 -2.921 63.07% -0.368 0.0088
Skip Initial Invader Actions 802 14.84% 58.02 -5.722 89.03% -0.527 -0.8186
Start of Game Growth 1672 18.73% 53.5 2.666 84.33% -0.081 -0.638
Unlimited Undo 10645 42.26% 43.9 1.374 77.26% 0.368 0.4319
Using Tokens but Not Events 10187 38.16% 43.5 1.097 75.27% 0.133 0.0062

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 17466 12.44 20.29%
II 43722 29.94 75.86%
III 32580 34.9 88.13%
IV 12798 38.84 99.65%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.272 Win Model: 0.085
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 79854 47.95% 42.24 72.22%
2 18473 45.77% 43.58 76.09%
3 5163 38.66% 45.39 79.93%
4 2738 37.6% 45.81 77.21%
5 90 47.78% 34.57 58.89%
6 248 29.44% 42.37 62.9%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3541
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 28363
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 32271
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 12644
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 9325
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3458
Lose: Adversary condition 211
Win: Sacrifice victory 402
Lose: Scenario condition 353
Win: Scenario condition 957
Lose: Unique spirit condition 1
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14352
Lose: Spirit destroyed 688

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3820 47.01% 43.24 -2.214 58.72% -0.246 -0.342
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 149 38.78% 38.15 -8.611 53.69% -0.848 -1.1738
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 27 29.63% 32.67 -5.804 51.85% -0.673 -0.9349
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 281 24.2% 57.68 7.72 90.04% 1.746 1.0251
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2162 73.53% 41.95 -0.709 58.28% 0.097 0.3957
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 354 44.35% 49.35 3.654 75.42% 0.346 -0.2438
Dances Up Earthquakes 426 25.59% 53.78 1.665 82.86% -0.204 -0.0223
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2972 40.34% 51.01 -3.512 75.91% -0.833 -1.0112
Downpour Drenches the World 646 40.41% 38.47 -5.181 53.56% -0.612 -0.2528
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1046 34.61% 48.44 0.083 74.86% -0.069 -0.5079
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3931 37.37% 53.37 0.798 80.06% 0.248 -0.1016
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2570 42.57% 51.47 6.496 74.9% 1.332 0.9313
Finder of Paths Unseen 253 52.17% 34.01 -2.178 45.45% -0.259 0.8149
Fractured Days Split the Sky 646 47.99% 42.23 -0.466 52.79% -0.509 -0.0538
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1046 44.65% 48.61 0.36 69.02% 0.081 -0.0102
Heart of the Wildfire 3264 69.46% 40.26 -10.156 54.72% -1.093 -0.6613
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5009 57.83% 46.94 3.993 67.48% 0.662 0.2191
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 679 16.35% 56.6 5.502 85.71% 1.002 0.4932
Lightning's Swift Strike 4221 70.04% 40.96 -5.563 54.92% -0.71 -0.5468
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 312 66.45% 41.8 -7.433 57.05% -0.828 -1.5069
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 528 52.95% 47.17 2.281 69.89% -0.248 -0.6074
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 466 38.63% 50.7 -0.854 72.96% 0.007 -0.139
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2622 51.28% 48.63 2.357 71.32% 0.518 0.3406
Many Minds Move as One 904 40.27% 51.92 -1.965 80.2% 0.16 0.0257
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4657 56.22% 46.01 -2.135 65.54% -0.024 -0.1013
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 318 66.35% 35.69 5.372 52.2% 1.202 1.3932
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2204 51.97% 47.11 3.113 68.1% 0.419 0.3601
River Surges in Sunlight 5027 62.84% 46.44 -2.829 60.39% -0.506 -0.4615
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 90 56.67% 35.19 13.804 46.67% 0.572 0.802
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 944 21.61% 57.21 5.464 80.08% 0.947 0.9964
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 499 52.11% 43.97 -5.488 60.12% -0.135 0.0313
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2164 53.31% 46.16 -3.115 65.8% -0.4 -0.594
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 50 42.0% 34.64 -6.582 54.0% -0.164 -0.1782
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2254 79.79% 40.39 -6.53 51.6% -0.667 -0.0424
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 71 61.54% 42.97 0.963 59.15% -0.104 -0.0881
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 280 51.64% 46.19 7.949 71.07% 0.687 0.2517
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 245 24.9% 56.71 3.083 83.27% 0.081 0.1035
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 256 76.95% 41.22 14.929 50.39% 0.485 0.3977
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 153 75.16% 43.46 -16.339 59.48% -0.72 -0.3114
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4473 37.94% 53.3 3.858 76.97% 0.648 0.7058
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 32 34.38% 52.44 3.893 84.38% 0.805 0.3016
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 313 47.28% 43.49 -10.744 66.13% -0.676 -0.7129
Shifting Memory of Ages 528 66.86% 38.41 1.34 48.67% 0.453 0.8152
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 94 62.77% 39.93 -0.015 57.45% -0.104 -0.1214
Shroud of Silent Mist 452 76.05% 34.56 0.0 45.13%
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 37 54.05% 33.0 -6.662 51.35% -0.945 -1.2849
Starlight Seeks its Form 1148 41.38% 44.5 -8.618 61.93% -1.089 -1.2881
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2971 35.46% 49.88 -5.011 77.99% -0.313 -0.9277
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2213 48.46% 49.53 2.347 70.22% 0.397 0.6304
Thunderspeaker 3463 55.1% 45.31 0.956 61.51% 0.29 0.2732
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 134 48.51% 45.83 8.742 68.66% 0.676 0.8762
Towering Roots of the Jungle 416 52.88% 35.45 -3.166 48.56% -0.149 0.0172
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1537 85.81% 43.32 -4.073 62.39% -0.285 -0.2344
Vital Strength of the Earth 2644 63.49% 34.39 2.567 36.2% 0.867 1.3371
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 319 48.26% 37.8 -7.936 47.34% -0.616 -0.2067
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 166 50.0% 35.47 1.893 38.55% 0.154 0.8209
Volcano Looming High 1323 67.15% 42.19 -4.664 60.24% -0.773 -0.7894
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 400 44.5% 41.26 1.543 62.5% -0.001 -0.2811

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 0.0% 16.5 0.0 25.0%
Blitz 0 492 67.08% 38.8 -0.071 49.39% 0.063 0.306
Dahan Insurrection 4 683 45.83% 59.99 -0.487 54.76% -0.524 -0.5101
Despicable Theft 2 13 46.15% 38.38 0.0 38.46%
Elemental Invocation 1 74 63.51% 22.08 2.52 16.22% 0.081 0.8338
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2596 14.2% 60.37 7.857 87.13% 1.375 0.7785
Powers Long Forgotten 1 125 67.2% 40.15 0.0 44.0%
Rituals of Terror 3 109 53.21% 39.73 0.0 32.11%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 60 90.0% 47.9 0.0 41.67%
Second Wave 0 1307 61.0% 46.29 -8.328 58.15% -0.956 -0.96
The Great River 3 39 56.41% 35.95 -15.892 23.08% -0.237 0.8925
Varied Terrains 2 17 64.71% 34.59 1.359 23.53% -0.299 0.4813
Ward the Shores 2 78 70.51% 43.88 -21.377 43.59% -0.667 0.2025

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 45353 55.08% 44.94 -0.26 63.37% 0.032 0.2358
1 Thematic 1539 59.97% 49.64 -1.131 54.84% -0.225 0.3835
2 Archipelago 14 78.57% 55.36 0.0 64.29%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6547 55.43% 46.5 -0.148 66.38% 0.436 0.5163
2 Coastline 1046 48.13% 46.46 3.82 66.92% 0.665 0.5698
2 Fragment 123 65.57% 44.07 0.0 62.6%
2 Heart 94 60.64% 44.38 0.0 61.7%
2 Opposite Shores 1911 45.89% 49.97 -0.137 72.53% -0.077 0.0548
2 Thematic 405 63.68% 47.23 -7.335 49.63% -0.937 -0.5786
2 Top to Top 225 61.61% 46.48 5.993 67.11% 0.392 0.3036
3 Archipelago 4 50.0% 84.75 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 14 42.86% 63.86 8.877 92.86% 0.299 0.1263
3 Other 52 59.62% 50.92 0.0 71.15%
3 Round (Default) 2186 47.92% 49.91 1.465 73.33% 0.335 0.3409
3 Sunrise 6 50.0% 34.33 -4.937 33.33% -0.234 -0.8406
3 Thematic 91 48.35% 52.0 0.0 61.54%
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 64.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 14 57.14% 49.71 0.0 71.43%
4 Snake 1 100.0% 38.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 237 27.85% 53.35 -2.309 67.51% -0.065 -0.2674
4 Trapezoid (Default) 973 44.69% 43.94 5.513 63.62% 0.633 0.823
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 34 41.18% 48.88 7.787 73.53% 0.102 -0.059
5 Thematic 6 83.33% 69.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 5 20.0% 61.2 -8.891 80.0% -0.602 -1.2549
6 Other 15 40.0% 27.53 0.0 40.0%
6 Star 4 0.0% 28.5 0.0 25.0%
6 Thematic 39 30.77% 60.15 0.0 69.23%
6 Two Centers (Default) 29 13.79% 38.83 -13.241 62.07% -0.345 0.8567
7 Other 4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2097 40.51 -7.173 49.79% -1.134 -0.9852
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1491 44.67 -2.479 58.22% -0.345 -0.4575
All Things Weaken 1278 39.04 1.133 47.97% -0.026 0.3489
Attenuated Essence 313 39.41 4.088 54.31% 0.482 0.6071
Back Against the Wall 1507 43.31 0.84 55.08% -0.149 -0.1078
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 307 36.46 -4.113 49.19% -0.39 -0.1846
Burn Brightest Before the End 214 41.34 0.141 54.21% -0.74 -0.6948
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1953 36.87 -9.15 45.83% -1.315 -0.8173
Downward Spiral 6266 38.28 -1.328 48.37% -0.261 -0.0107
Erosion of Will 1993 38.1 -3.991 44.86% -0.51 -0.2522
Intensifying Exploitation 338 33.61 -7.123 44.67% -1.087 -0.8678
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 456 50.82 3.34 80.26% 0.008 -0.3778
Memory Fades to Dust 6106 37.62 -2.711 45.68% -0.391 -0.1859
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1235 39.43 -0.352 51.42% 0.169 0.3667
Promising Farmlands 2030 37.07 -4.968 44.48% -0.505 -0.1486
Shattered Fragments of Power 195 40.63 -3.183 53.33% -1.028 -0.8102
Slow Dissolution of Will 279 32.94 4.091 39.78% 0.622 1.0512
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 265 51.32 1.895 82.64% 0.325 -0.2994
The Border of Life and Death 82 49.22 4.64 79.27% 0.58 0.2601
Thriving Communities 1279 38.74 -2.123 50.27% -0.44 -0.1203
Thriving Crops 117 47.15 -6.861 75.21% -0.147 -0.2658
Tipping Point 639 38.12 0.0 42.72%
Unnatural Proliferation 1320 41.91 0.015 53.64% -0.12 -0.0302
Untended Land Crumbles 1237 39.0 -3.555 50.53% -0.427 -0.2023

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11873 56.42% 43.39 -0.53 59.6% -0.07 0.7295
B 13466 52.01% 47.09 2.119 67.14% 0.235 0.9656
C 13485 58.49% 44.72 -0.527 62.74% 0.098 0.7023
D 10669 59.48% 43.21 -0.99 59.83% -0.021 0.7364
E 5170 52.64% 45.59 0.517 66.36% -0.055 0.5291
F 7962 46.28% 47.95 0.241 70.81% 0.128 0.83
G 6851 47.18% 48.67 0.947 71.29% 0.368 1.1254
H 7253 45.26% 49.13 2.968 72.04% 0.333 0.964
East 1458 55.57% 50.97 -6.274 57.34% -0.655 0.1282
Northeast 863 53.02% 50.26 -5.512 57.94% -0.402 0.3593
Northwest 723 45.9% 50.76 -0.567 57.4% -0.202 0.6401
Southeast 240 50.83% 48.26 -12.628 57.5% -0.263 0.3768
Southwest 225 54.46% 41.66 -12.283 48.89% -0.377 0.6678
West 1303 52.31% 49.57 -4.879 54.26% -0.46 0.3152

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 303 0.0% 40.31 -4.872 53.47% -0.725 0.1483
Not Using Events or Tokens 10058 67.01% 38.86 -5.547 50.93% -0.567 -0.1897
Skip Initial Invader Actions 446 23.08% 60.72 7.204 81.17% 0.444 0.1524
Start of Game Growth 921 21.14% 61.19 7.839 83.82% 0.597 0.0399
Unlimited Undo 10383 32.63% 54.78 3.364 82.38% 0.451 0.5148
Using Tokens but Not Events 11625 26.82% 54.29 4.561 81.43% 0.688 0.5607

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11803 12.44 17.57%
II 25960 29.94 65.75%
III 17156 34.9 81.19%
IV 6086 38.84 99.49%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.856 Win Model: 0.078
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 47041 55.25% 45.08 63.03%
2 10290 53.59% 47.2 67.1%
3 2326 48.22% 50.14 73.0%
4 1221 40.81% 46.11 65.11%
5 36 44.44% 44.17 61.11%
6 91 23.08% 45.15 61.54%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2074
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13724
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 16656
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6000
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5678
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3405
Lose: Adversary condition 127
Win: Sacrifice victory 195
Lose: Scenario condition 210
Win: Scenario condition 477
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11861
Lose: Spirit destroyed 598

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8743 61.07% 39.02 -3.139 41.61% -0.406 -0.5022
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 608 47.85% 30.18 -0.782 34.21% -0.26 -0.5851
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 99 63.64% 34.73 0.56 39.39% 0.09 -0.1714
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 614 61.56% 40.72 4.383 55.54% 0.793 0.0719
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7362 79.88% 39.29 -2.738 43.96% -0.064 0.2344
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 2477 59.59% 49.91 7.282 69.48% 1.266 0.6762
Dances Up Earthquakes 719 76.5% 32.24 2.958 40.19% 0.495 0.6773
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4287 73.86% 36.34 -4.57 39.37% -0.495 -0.6736
Downpour Drenches the World 1955 51.23% 31.84 -3.122 35.4% -0.313 0.0457
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 3414 55.4% 41.28 5.642 55.24% 0.865 0.4253
Eyes Watch From the Trees 11090 52.42% 46.17 -1.908 59.67% 0.286 -0.0638
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4364 71.61% 41.72 -0.023 49.2% 0.09 -0.3106
Finder of Paths Unseen 1026 66.05% 27.19 0.568 28.46% -0.199 0.8756
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2318 57.88% 42.46 -3.132 47.2% -0.14 0.3152
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2813 65.61% 39.25 -3.113 47.56% -0.077 -0.1681
Heart of the Wildfire 9396 86.46% 30.06 -5.783 27.94% -0.716 -0.2852
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 12691 68.88% 40.47 -1.449 48.77% 0.043 -0.3994
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 956 57.32% 38.02 0.655 48.54% 0.217 -0.2918
Lightning's Swift Strike 9539 70.21% 36.15 -3.381 39.03% -0.185 -0.0221
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1638 71.68% 40.37 1.584 49.57% 0.555 -0.1242
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1828 76.67% 43.68 -1.877 56.02% -0.221 -0.5802
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1546 62.35% 41.47 7.232 51.49% 0.925 0.7784
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 7852 63.31% 41.58 1.719 51.48% 0.075 -0.1025
Many Minds Move as One 2991 57.06% 50.38 4.472 67.74% 0.572 0.4375
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 34373 55.87% 52.26 -0.283 72.95% 0.548 0.4712
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 1505 73.12% 30.99 0.717 39.07% 0.184 0.3751
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4332 73.78% 37.97 2.121 42.11% 0.403 0.3439
River Surges in Sunlight 13811 71.78% 41.6 -1.017 44.86% -0.273 -0.2287
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 769 61.77% 29.87 -9.388 36.93% -1.488 -1.2586
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 757 72.35% 34.21 0.12 29.06% -0.899 -0.8496
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1912 65.09% 35.11 1.689 40.59% 0.239 0.4055
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7235 59.03% 41.23 -3.777 48.65% -0.76 -0.9532
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 204 61.27% 40.71 9.277 53.92% 0.199 0.1849
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4388 68.44% 35.0 -4.411 36.49% -0.771 -0.1462
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 165 83.75% 38.45 8.744 43.64% 0.896 0.9113
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 1667 63.0% 43.46 6.24 59.63% 0.866 0.4307
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 311 66.56% 30.24 2.943 34.08% -0.104 -0.0814
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 650 80.74% 37.68 10.248 41.54% 0.207 0.1202
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 487 88.71% 38.66 -17.755 43.12% -0.438 -0.0295
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7725 62.61% 41.31 -6.73 49.76% -0.474 -0.4162
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 124 75.0% 43.19 7.558 62.9% 1.341 0.8375
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 742 62.94% 34.62 -5.078 43.67% -0.39 -0.4269
Shifting Memory of Ages 1364 76.75% 33.8 -6.828 32.18% -0.847 -0.4851
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 455 56.92% 39.54 8.26 48.35% 0.807 0.7897
Shroud of Silent Mist 1444 85.17% 29.62 -7.462 29.64% -0.966 -0.442
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 92 84.78% 33.51 4.188 44.57% 0.807 0.4667
Starlight Seeks its Form 4438 68.92% 36.48 -1.136 39.68% 0.016 -0.183
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6812 63.18% 42.62 0.139 48.56% 0.195 -0.4204
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4374 71.65% 40.76 0.331 47.23% -0.15 0.0833
Thunderspeaker 10347 70.4% 42.47 -1.341 42.11% 0.137 0.1194
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 609 60.59% 36.27 -0.654 44.99% -0.048 0.1522
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1243 55.96% 29.89 -2.117 36.85% -0.558 -0.391
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 5208 89.92% 41.99 0.242 53.67% 0.061 0.111
Vital Strength of the Earth 5260 73.8% 27.61 -3.23 18.97% -0.683 -0.2123
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 608 67.55% 29.45 -9.556 28.13% -1.047 -0.6374
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 606 74.34% 25.8 -4.801 16.5% -0.494 0.1725
Volcano Looming High 4905 74.34% 38.19 -1.839 46.38% -0.158 -0.174
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1363 66.4% 36.94 5.327 47.76% 0.654 0.3737

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 29 37.93% 47.17 2.032 51.72% 0.068 0.0387
Blitz 0 1253 53.78% 40.4 -2.399 47.89% -0.071 0.1723
Dahan Insurrection 4 3571 71.47% 51.95 3.601 33.46% -0.186 -0.1723
Despicable Theft 2 39 53.85% 31.74 -12.641 20.51% -0.2 0.5666
Elemental Invocation 1 125 68.0% 27.63 -0.64 12.8% -0.302 0.4513
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5887 35.57% 52.85 6.227 64.6% 0.658 0.0622
Powers Long Forgotten 1 159 79.62% 33.04 -0.472 22.01% -0.218 0.5295
Rituals of Terror 3 506 49.11% 66.67 12.062 38.74% 0.362 0.841
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 57 56.14% 25.26 -6.529 14.04% -0.154 0.5336
Second Wave 0 1055 69.29% 42.36 -13.177 43.22% -1.077 -1.0818
The Great River 3 68 64.71% 32.82 -5.092 17.65% -0.242 0.8871
Varied Terrains 2 44 54.55% 27.07 -0.511 15.91% -0.758 0.0216
Ward the Shores 2 119 70.59% 28.94 -0.606 20.17% -0.056 0.8133

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 145521 68.9% 40.62 -0.707 49.27% 0.011 0.2149
1 Thematic 5343 73.52% 48.83 3.833 36.57% -0.026 0.5834
2 Archipelago 86 42.35% 31.85 14.467 25.58% 0.273 0.4436
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 15062 62.87% 44.0 1.707 55.66% 0.256 0.3363
2 Coastline 2713 64.91% 41.23 0.085 51.9% -0.116 -0.2109
2 Fragment 285 72.54% 33.89 -7.651 37.89% -1.115 -1.1578
2 Heart 186 68.82% 38.81 26.527 44.09% 1.056 0.5953
2 Opposite Shores 4364 68.95% 38.17 -1.353 42.21% -0.639 -0.5072
2 Thematic 1329 77.03% 45.41 -9.302 32.36% -1.16 -0.8009
2 Top to Top 709 72.3% 39.68 7.518 46.83% 0.602 0.5128
3 Archipelago 7 42.86% 59.29 21.201 57.14% 0.319 0.149
3 Coastline 59 57.63% 43.37 15.595 49.15% 0.196 0.0233
3 Other 114 77.19% 40.48 8.773 45.61% 0.289 -0.0964
3 Round (Default) 4348 66.33% 41.02 3.193 50.25% -0.201 -0.1951
3 Sunrise 8 87.5% 51.38 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 188 48.4% 75.98 14.626 50.53% 0.206 -0.2253
4 Archipelago 6 66.67% 50.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Coastline 17 52.94% 42.71 0.0 47.06%
4 Leaf 9 44.44% 29.56 0.0 33.33%
4 Other 50 76.0% 47.32 10.417 62.0% 0.356 -0.4869
4 Snake 2 100.0% 26.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 525 47.9% 59.9 14.263 48.76% 0.316 0.1142
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3138 47.57% 37.01 -4.819 45.76% -1.499 -1.3097
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 18.67 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 24 12.5% 51.71 0.0 75.0%
5 Other 84 67.86% 47.37 -3.723 58.33% -0.35 -0.5109
5 Thematic 11 72.73% 42.55 0.0 27.27%
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 48.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Coastline 7 0.0% 63.71 0.0 85.71%
6 Other 78 34.62% 26.56 11.887 37.18% 0.569 0.5297
6 Star 27 44.44% 32.81 0.0 40.74%
6 Thematic 58 49.12% 24.76 -2.096 25.86% -0.023 0.2249
6 Two Centers (Default) 62 48.39% 30.29 3.497 37.1% 0.113 1.3147
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 26.5 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 7 28.57% 18.14 0.0 14.29%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 9255 40.27 3.469 43.75% 0.201 0.3498
Aid From Lesser Spirits 7165 46.23 6.135 55.41% 0.815 0.7022
All Things Weaken 5370 37.28 0.733 39.57% -0.045 0.3297
Attenuated Essence 1567 34.12 -0.55 40.2% -0.324 -0.1984
Back Against the Wall 6105 41.94 3.954 45.44% 0.41 0.4514
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1499 31.56 -1.926 34.62% -0.603 -0.3967
Burn Brightest Before the End 1012 38.09 3.678 41.21% 0.235 0.2795
Disintegrating Ecosystem 8602 36.7 -2.185 40.26% -0.577 -0.0791
Downward Spiral 17809 37.44 1.001 38.27% 0.027 0.2774
Erosion of Will 9005 38.69 1.292 40.74% -0.187 0.0707
Intensifying Exploitation 1622 29.66 -1.632 32.61% -0.43 -0.2112
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1518 48.52 2.821 67.33% 0.26 -0.1261
Memory Fades to Dust 17619 36.79 1.579 35.46% 0.048 0.253
Power Corrodes the Spirit 5334 36.37 -0.402 38.85% -0.349 -0.1512
Promising Farmlands 8587 37.55 -0.031 40.14% -0.222 0.1339
Shattered Fragments of Power 996 38.71 4.272 43.88% 0.198 0.4153
Slow Dissolution of Will 1575 31.61 0.265 31.94% -0.442 -0.0125
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 900 49.39 5.574 71.78% 0.86 0.2354
The Border of Life and Death 299 37.39 3.246 53.85% 0.512 0.192
Thriving Communities 5176 34.62 -1.311 35.59% -0.434 -0.115
Thriving Crops 500 35.12 1.612 49.8% 0.303 0.1841
Tipping Point 2485 38.06 0.0 37.42%
Unnatural Proliferation 5657 39.75 2.037 42.23% -0.158 -0.0685
Untended Land Crumbles 5249 35.59 1.07 37.26% -0.125 0.1002

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 33126 68.45% 37.66 -0.32 43.43% 0.044 0.8437
B 38096 66.23% 41.14 -0.323 49.83% 0.014 0.7442
C 38139 67.79% 39.87 -0.055 47.71% 0.026 0.6304
D 34473 67.15% 41.47 -0.203 50.72% 0.071 0.8278
E 17687 66.73% 40.27 1.924 49.99% 0.315 0.8992
F 20912 64.53% 41.73 -1.865 52.19% -0.181 0.5215
G 19547 64.71% 43.11 -0.383 54.79% -0.014 0.7432
H 18622 63.38% 42.36 0.034 53.19% -0.055 0.5759
East 5348 72.04% 51.57 3.603 37.02% 0.185 0.9685
Northeast 2838 67.68% 54.25 2.847 42.14% 0.25 1.012
Northwest 1778 61.55% 50.6 -0.731 41.9% -0.037 0.8056
Southeast 478 75.74% 34.67 -6.146 23.64% -0.832 -0.1927
Southwest 438 64.2% 27.79 -2.977 21.0% -0.204 0.8414
West 3300 66.05% 47.38 4.678 35.76% 0.035 0.8107

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 892 0.0% 36.89 -1.027 37.67% -1.01 -0.1362
Not Using Events or Tokens 19950 75.1% 33.03 -4.479 29.84% -0.846 -0.4688
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3313 17.07% 63.23 11.603 82.49% 0.945 0.6533
Start of Game Growth 7738 23.39% 56.02 7.218 76.03% 1.056 0.4991
Unlimited Undo 16615 59.73% 43.09 0.725 55.52% 0.203 0.2662
Using Tokens but Not Events 14892 52.65% 41.5 2.522 50.68% 0.25 0.1225

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 45821 12.44 3.69%
II 66765 29.94 45.57%
III 57043 34.9 76.48%
IV 14935 38.84 99.61%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.232 Win Model: 0.205
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 151638 69.05% 40.94 48.81%
2 24316 65.16% 42.62 51.24%
3 4664 65.32% 42.87 50.41%
4 3612 48.64% 37.97 45.51%
5 103 55.34% 41.19 50.49%
6 231 39.57% 29.95 38.53%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1683
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 42881
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 28789
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14678
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 26270
Lose: Invader deck ran out 12790
Lose: Adversary condition 723
Win: Sacrifice victory 964
Lose: Scenario condition 1098
Win: Scenario condition 1618
Lose: Unique spirit condition 3
Lose: Blight pool ran out 49852
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3215

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-10-18 23:57:56 (Pacific Time)