The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7869 25.59% 25.74 -0.007 88.28% -0.252 -0.3273
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5448 44.34% 25.54 0.925 86.71% 0.441 0.5193
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3792 26.02% 26.9 0.669 92.54% 0.969 0.7448
Downpour Drenches the World 188 24.6% 27.61 0.513 87.77% -0.206 0.0586
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4827 15.35% 30.34 1.946 95.73% 1.445 0.9422
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3684 18.92% 28.34 0.389 94.46% 0.131 -0.4553
Finder of Paths Unseen 103 31.07% 25.01 -1.927 86.41% -0.435 -0.0791
Fractured Days Split the Sky 794 32.91% 28.24 0.719 83.63% 0.391 0.4733
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 637 40.97% 28.14 -0.071 85.09% -0.422 -0.5168
Heart of the Wildfire 4993 57.92% 21.82 -1.05 75.93% -0.441 -0.0361
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6723 27.58% 27.05 1.783 91.25% 0.795 0.1912
Lightning's Swift Strike 9144 42.29% 23.79 -1.139 80.62% -0.487 -0.122
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 69 31.88% 30.59 1.746 89.86% -0.058 -0.8067
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 569 26.19% 29.01 1.371 92.97% 0.296 -0.2678
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 403 33.92% 28.39 2.061 90.32% 0.563 0.0687
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2237 25.59% 28.47 1.313 92.04% 0.363 0.2114
Many Minds Move as One 1325 21.27% 28.87 0.638 94.79% 0.808 0.2221
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7642 40.41% 25.72 -0.612 87.22% -0.207 -0.3769
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3368 30.32% 25.73 -0.542 90.35% 0.127 0.0707
River Surges in Sunlight 9996 39.34% 26.34 -0.556 80.33% -0.786 -0.8601
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 700 37.84% 27.4 0.652 82.0% -0.323 0.1033
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 96 41.67% 33.56 4.807 94.79% 0.785 0.4436
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4198 30.02% 25.87 -0.845 88.99% -0.45 -0.6436
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 5513 54.37% 23.72 -1.017 78.92% -0.373 0.1017
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 31 32.26% 28.0 -2.793 90.32% -0.448 -0.268
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 39 25.64% 28.95 0.798 89.74% -0.206 -0.1501
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 471 32.7% 27.6 -0.286 92.14% -0.268 -0.2908
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 349 42.65% 26.64 0.14 88.25% -0.757 -0.6417
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4867 28.33% 27.11 -0.375 89.48% -0.35 -0.5414
Shifting Memory of Ages 535 40.26% 25.72 -1.387 86.73% 0.032 0.2472
Shroud of Silent Mist 960 44.06% 25.01 -1.061 85.52% -0.011 0.123
Starlight Seeks its Form 725 23.31% 29.3 1.63 90.07% 0.56 0.4455
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1983 27.78% 24.33 -1.148 91.88% 0.248 0.0089
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2852 30.67% 25.57 -0.465 86.04% -0.325 -0.1952
Thunderspeaker 7188 31.76% 26.68 -0.088 85.88% -0.422 -0.4396
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1328 60.11% 21.98 -0.008 83.73% 0.15 -0.0654
Vital Strength of the Earth 6812 31.76% 22.34 -2.129 77.04% -0.847 0.0518
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 73 32.88% 25.18 0.004 83.56% -0.133 0.2896
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 326 34.26% 22.53 -1.081 77.61% 0.544 1.6583
Volcano Looming High 1188 39.32% 25.43 -0.547 85.86% 0.251 0.2301

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 60.0% 24.2 0.0 80.0%
Blitz 0 938 40.53% 23.42 -0.631 78.46% -0.661 -0.2177
Dahan Insurrection 4 1234 19.97% 46.51 9.436 81.28% -0.591 -0.4942
Despicable Theft 2 107 35.51% 33.28 6.995 78.5% 0.401 0.8993
Elemental Invocation 1 182 44.51% 28.54 1.993 80.22% -0.561 -0.0155
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2026 8.45% 30.83 2.429 86.62% -1.008 -0.7766
Powers Long Forgotten 1 413 53.64% 28.59 0.91 75.54% -0.098 0.3093
Rituals of Terror 3 504 43.85% 36.11 8.747 72.62% -0.223 -0.4594
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 303 72.94% 33.3 -6.36 67.66% -0.767 -0.5407
Second Wave 0 978 50.41% 25.92 0.629 75.05% -0.473 0.2191
The Great River 3 153 44.44% 30.92 1.291 54.9% -1.172 0.4093
Varied Terrains 2 20 45.0% 31.65 4.754 70.0% -0.1 0.6861
Ward the Shores 2 461 43.48% 31.02 1.192 72.45% -0.938 -0.0572

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 55878 39.12% 24.5 -0.022 83.0% 0.304 0.9668
1 Thematic 4441 41.69% 31.97 2.567 78.63% 0.032 1.0893
2 Archipelago 35 51.43% 35.89 6.42 68.57% 0.27 0.7407
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11653 32.84% 25.27 -0.738 88.02% -0.24 0.2783
2 Coastline 1236 33.61% 25.29 -0.604 86.97% 0.239 0.4396
2 Fragment 302 38.85% 23.62 -2.062 84.77% -0.747 -0.4484
2 Heart 162 36.42% 24.31 -2.122 86.42% -0.269 0.1911
2 Opposite Shores 1778 30.32% 26.01 -0.094 90.94% 0.47 1.0085
2 Thematic 1006 39.16% 34.11 3.008 83.5% 0.624 1.4066
2 Top to Top 320 32.7% 25.44 -2.348 91.88% -0.616 -0.4881
3 Archipelago 18 44.44% 32.67 3.674 88.89% 0.147 -0.0714
3 Coastline 25 36.0% 29.08 0.188 76.0% 0.042 -0.4648
3 Other 135 34.85% 24.37 -0.323 85.19% 0.485 -0.1791
3 Round (Default) 3577 23.64% 26.84 0.154 92.82% -0.614 -0.3091
3 Sunrise 17 56.25% 25.29 0.0 88.24%
3 Thematic 176 37.71% 35.95 0.888 82.95% 0.017 0.2253
4 Archipelago 7 28.57% 29.57 0.0 57.14%
4 Coastline 11 0.0% 49.55 6.303 90.91% 0.037 -0.0001
4 Leaf 5 60.0% 19.4 -8.483 60.0% -0.711 -0.8126
4 Other 66 26.98% 24.95 -1.702 87.88% 0.225 -0.4894
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 26.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 0.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 372 21.51% 35.82 0.963 93.01% 0.067 0.1704
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1629 23.24% 26.62 2.206 92.88% 0.492 0.5695
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 30 30.0% 31.17 6.063 80.0% 0.023 -0.4936
5 Thematic 5 0.0% 39.8 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 4 0.0% 33.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 42.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 6 0.0% 29.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 7 0.0% 33.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 27 18.52% 35.26 -0.03 92.59% 0.0 0.2412
6 Two Centers (Default) 52 25.0% 28.85 0.061 94.23% 0.029 0.2206

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1923 18.93 -3.704 61.57% -2.354 -0.3835
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1683 20.12 -2.719 63.34% -2.459 -0.6814
All Things Weaken 774 19.28 -4.406 61.11% -2.607 -0.5584
Back Against the Wall 1512 19.5 -2.164 61.57% -2.167 -0.2276
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1780 17.02 -3.543 61.07% -2.113 0.0153
Downward Spiral 7112 17.21 -4.384 62.49% -2.273 -0.3119
Erosion of Will 1841 18.27 -3.531 59.1% -2.552 -0.4706
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 348 25.45 -1.63 95.11% -0.1 0.4014
Memory Fades to Dust 7115 17.04 -4.332 59.49% -2.312 -0.1708
Power Corrodes the Spirit 781 19.28 -3.396 67.73% -1.167 0.8133
Promising Farmlands 1886 17.75 -3.716 62.25% -2.143 -0.1218
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 223 26.14 3.391 97.76% 0.468 0.9642
Thriving Communities 782 18.07 -5.149 62.4% -2.617 -0.5578
Tipping Point 789 17.93 0.0 63.12%
Unnatural Proliferation 787 20.05 -4.035 63.41% -2.631 -0.6745
Untended Land Crumbles 775 18.38 -5.077 61.16% -2.605 -0.5715

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 19329 37.52% 24.55 -0.15 84.4% 0.026 0.7619
B 19517 36.23% 24.82 -0.277 85.25% -0.123 0.5739
C 20062 34.5% 25.1 0.067 85.79% 0.011 0.4805
D 18845 35.06% 25.02 0.237 85.69% -0.177 0.532
E 5023 31.23% 26.36 -0.462 88.69% -0.395 0.1493
F 8118 30.61% 25.9 -0.207 88.69% -0.406 0.2559
G 7538 32.21% 25.78 0.307 88.87% -0.08 0.5513
H 7679 30.64% 25.9 0.062 88.32% -0.073 0.5912
East 3657 37.64% 34.25 3.122 82.55% 0.139 0.8007
Northeast 2236 36.32% 34.41 2.824 83.45% 0.662 1.3222
Northwest 1628 36.26% 33.62 3.086 83.72% 0.58 1.1909
Southeast 379 30.5% 32.71 1.029 85.75% 0.02 0.5511
Southwest 363 40.33% 26.82 -2.188 77.96% -0.536 0.4327
West 3082 40.22% 32.73 0.741 80.3% 0.735 1.5408

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1590 0.0% 21.72 -2.931 71.89% -2.292 -0.0628
Not Using Events or Tokens 21178 45.57% 23.01 -1.028 78.12% -0.059 0.1671
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1196 10.44% 33.61 2.027 94.48% 0.718 -0.2619
Start of Game Growth 1909 13.72% 32.4 2.659 93.45% 0.239 -0.2174
Unlimited Undo 5167 29.99% 26.73 0.268 89.49% 0.491 -0.0601
Using Tokens but Not Events 7224 29.25% 25.85 1.257 87.96% 0.623 0.7781

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5291 22.65 40.79%
II 25791 31.08 77.52%
III 36277 34.66 89.48%
IV 15685 37.91 98.83%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.056 Win Model: 0.692
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 60550 39.36% 25.06 82.65%
2 16401 33.04% 25.86 88.07%
3 3894 24.59% 27.13 92.12%
4 2082 23.01% 28.4 92.56%
5 19 21.05% 28.95 84.21%
6 98 18.75% 31.36 94.9%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2153
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 31685
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18876
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15358
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1083
Lose: Adversary condition 162
Win: Sacrifice victory 325
Lose: Scenario condition 554
Win: Scenario condition 1715
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10524
Lose: Spirit destroyed 609

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5709 27.18% 31.03 -0.08 89.26% -0.371 -0.4467
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3572 48.5% 30.4 -0.068 86.03% -0.228 -0.1494
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2855 28.85% 31.65 0.296 92.12% 0.648 0.4232
Downpour Drenches the World 238 27.0% 30.82 -0.14 91.6% 0.161 0.4261
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3862 20.34% 34.26 1.047 94.67% 0.213 -0.2897
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2902 24.7% 34.71 5.062 93.63% 1.433 0.8461
Finder of Paths Unseen 159 44.65% 30.58 0.957 81.76% -0.285 0.0711
Fractured Days Split the Sky 945 34.1% 32.61 0.739 84.44% -0.107 -0.0254
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 908 39.6% 32.78 -0.812 87.67% -0.102 -0.197
Heart of the Wildfire 3704 64.56% 25.2 -2.226 73.0% -0.502 -0.0969
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5534 35.55% 31.0 1.446 89.07% 0.721 0.1173
Lightning's Swift Strike 5934 47.07% 28.22 -1.961 80.38% -0.498 -0.1329
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 92 36.96% 33.88 1.358 95.65% 0.703 -0.0457
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 471 34.26% 33.71 1.726 93.42% -0.013 -0.5769
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 379 38.26% 33.17 3.307 85.22% -0.244 -0.738
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1767 36.72% 32.73 0.635 89.53% 0.23 0.0787
Many Minds Move as One 1199 24.23% 33.54 1.413 94.58% 0.197 -0.3889
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5838 38.74% 31.46 0.594 90.13% 0.379 0.2095
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2698 31.57% 30.3 -0.705 89.7% -0.288 -0.3442
River Surges in Sunlight 6914 43.92% 30.85 0.093 81.52% -0.083 -0.1571
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 599 43.14% 30.71 -0.797 82.64% -0.363 0.0632
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 137 43.07% 34.55 0.625 83.94% -0.427 -0.7681
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3084 35.5% 30.44 0.828 87.52% 0.165 -0.0287
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3692 62.63% 27.04 -0.932 75.95% 0.351 0.8254
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 41 53.66% 33.32 -1.29 87.8% -0.256 -0.0766
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 47 42.55% 33.81 0.38 87.23% 0.051 0.106
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 400 40.75% 32.27 -0.115 89.5% -0.338 -0.361
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 254 55.16% 29.28 -0.619 81.1% 0.045 0.1606
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3968 32.19% 31.53 -0.03 87.75% 0.176 -0.015
Shifting Memory of Ages 713 41.29% 29.78 -1.15 86.4% 0.082 0.2966
Shroud of Silent Mist 847 48.74% 29.29 0.644 88.43% 0.893 1.0269
Starlight Seeks its Form 775 29.33% 32.61 0.538 91.35% 0.156 0.0407
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1617 29.34% 29.74 -1.017 91.28% 0.033 -0.2053
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2498 32.25% 30.46 -1.306 87.51% -0.475 -0.3449
Thunderspeaker 5522 35.59% 31.39 0.306 86.06% 0.277 0.2597
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1239 64.9% 27.05 -0.711 84.34% 0.567 0.3515
Vital Strength of the Earth 4644 36.86% 27.11 -1.577 79.46% -0.623 0.2756
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 77 31.17% 29.71 -1.555 87.01% -0.517 -0.0943
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 331 36.06% 25.75 -5.584 74.92% -1.443 -0.329
Volcano Looming High 1116 47.19% 28.52 -0.419 85.39% -0.147 -0.1675

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 25.0% 25.5 0.0 75.0%
Blitz 0 802 42.6% 27.42 0.77 77.43% 0.07 0.5126
Dahan Insurrection 4 851 29.79% 47.88 9.417 74.27% -0.79 -0.6925
Despicable Theft 2 102 39.22% 37.97 -1.494 83.33% -1.319 -0.8207
Elemental Invocation 1 155 49.35% 29.79 -0.39 78.06% 0.284 0.8294
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1699 10.53% 37.05 7.028 83.17% -0.012 0.2192
Powers Long Forgotten 1 411 57.18% 31.81 -1.524 73.72% -1.209 -0.801
Rituals of Terror 3 381 49.87% 38.49 7.775 71.92% 0.487 0.2507
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 284 72.89% 34.92 6.035 64.44% 0.222 0.4484
Second Wave 0 3969 42.05% 31.94 0.945 81.31% -0.24 0.4522
The Great River 3 123 50.41% 36.12 0.221 66.67% -0.948 0.6333
Varied Terrains 2 41 70.73% 31.12 0.103 60.98% -0.924 -0.138
Ward the Shores 2 380 49.34% 34.39 3.549 70.26% -0.052 0.829

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 39807 42.8% 28.71 -0.784 83.09% -0.308 0.3551
1 Thematic 3563 46.02% 35.54 2.716 75.25% -0.837 0.22
2 Archipelago 26 61.54% 37.31 0.982 80.77% 0.02 0.4905
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8457 36.9% 30.21 -0.294 89.0% -0.17 0.3479
2 Coastline 1071 36.11% 30.89 1.101 89.92% 0.312 0.5127
2 Fragment 275 37.0% 29.79 -0.616 88.36% 0.219 0.5172
2 Heart 143 45.77% 28.11 -2.086 79.02% -0.45 0.0105
2 Opposite Shores 1911 32.76% 30.79 0.279 91.73% 1.072 1.6108
2 Thematic 943 45.47% 37.48 1.505 82.93% 0.144 0.9261
2 Top to Top 327 36.62% 29.61 -0.331 86.24% 0.323 0.4512
3 Archipelago 15 40.0% 42.27 0.0 93.33%
3 Coastline 19 42.11% 37.0 0.0 84.21%
3 Other 127 36.59% 29.51 1.048 87.4% 0.256 -0.4081
3 Round (Default) 3081 29.2% 31.7 -0.196 91.43% 0.057 0.3611
3 Sunrise 21 23.81% 32.29 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 155 52.94% 35.62 -2.54 80.0% -0.635 -0.4273
4 Archipelago 10 50.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 9 22.22% 39.22 7.886 88.89% 0.288 0.2509
4 Leaf 12 33.33% 29.5 -4.27 83.33% -0.812 -0.9139
4 Other 71 34.78% 31.38 0.891 88.73% 0.072 -0.6421
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 248 33.74% 41.48 8.707 86.69% 0.075 0.1792
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1352 28.42% 31.84 -1.046 91.72% -0.184 -0.1058
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 58.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 28 28.0% 39.0 5.273 78.57% -0.495 -1.0118
6 Archipelago 5 40.0% 32.8 0.0 60.0%
6 Other 13 23.08% 41.23 -1.923 100.0% 0.058 0.1024
6 Star 10 30.0% 31.7 0.0 90.0%
6 Thematic 49 40.82% 48.43 4.345 91.84% 0.334 0.5744
6 Two Centers (Default) 27 22.22% 37.15 4.89 88.89% 0.15 0.3415
7 Other 4 66.67% 33.5 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1656 23.44 -3.712 63.89% -2.093 -0.1217
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1314 24.83 -3.199 66.44% -2.03 -0.2527
All Things Weaken 774 23.94 -4.422 65.37% -2.374 -0.3255
Back Against the Wall 1389 24.01 -4.003 63.5% -2.421 -0.4822
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1688 21.26 -4.294 60.84% -2.368 -0.2395
Downward Spiral 5080 22.55 -3.403 68.03% -1.845 0.1166
Erosion of Will 1702 22.91 -4.462 61.4% -2.346 -0.2649
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 348 30.1 -0.774 97.13% 0.55 1.0521
Memory Fades to Dust 5117 21.96 -3.785 62.95% -2.141 -0.0002
Power Corrodes the Spirit 739 24.03 -3.794 71.04% -2.098 -0.1169
Promising Farmlands 1651 21.96 -5.185 63.23% -2.455 -0.4336
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 257 29.91 -0.046 97.28% -0.174 0.3225
Thriving Communities 711 22.93 -3.292 66.39% -1.742 0.3169
Tipping Point 669 20.79 0.0 57.55%
Unnatural Proliferation 834 24.76 -2.976 68.47% -2.098 -0.1407
Untended Land Crumbles 790 22.91 -4.486 66.33% -2.019 0.0144

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14249 41.0% 29.13 -0.631 84.54% -0.3 0.4359
B 14523 38.61% 29.57 -0.839 86.06% -0.371 0.3257
C 14975 38.88% 29.87 -0.054 86.82% -0.044 0.4258
D 13932 39.34% 29.6 0.067 86.07% 0.086 0.7951
E 4448 35.75% 30.94 0.381 88.6% 0.266 0.8107
F 6448 34.5% 30.55 0.093 88.03% -0.103 0.5589
G 5868 35.2% 30.5 0.163 88.63% -0.012 0.6193
H 6149 33.95% 30.66 -0.139 88.36% 0.041 0.7061
East 3118 42.82% 38.37 2.8 79.44% 0.321 0.9824
Northeast 1850 41.78% 39.32 8.368 79.78% 0.301 0.9605
Northwest 1345 44.17% 36.99 2.098 81.26% 0.829 1.4397
Southeast 390 44.36% 37.06 2.02 82.56% -0.165 0.3663
Southwest 395 48.86% 33.5 -0.982 76.71% -0.805 0.1632
West 2578 49.07% 35.42 0.786 77.19% -0.633 0.1728

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1048 0.0% 26.91 -1.007 79.77% -0.704 1.5248
Not Using Events or Tokens 12751 46.29% 28.2 0.373 80.58% -0.03 0.1964
Skip Initial Invader Actions 727 13.67% 40.01 5.053 93.26% 0.618 -0.3626
Start of Game Growth 1285 16.81% 38.69 2.143 93.62% -0.532 -0.9883
Unlimited Undo 4657 34.51% 31.09 0.315 89.05% -0.028 -0.5794
Using Tokens but Not Events 6194 33.16% 30.19 -0.011 88.84% 0.413 0.5685

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3009 22.65 24.56%
II 15311 31.08 71.86%
III 28727 34.66 90.15%
IV 14748 37.91 98.88%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.229 Win Model: 0.17
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 43525 43.13% 29.29 82.41%
2 13089 36.83% 30.83 88.93%
3 3375 30.16% 31.83 91.23%
4 1684 29.45% 33.37 90.74%
5 15 30.77% 35.6 80.0%
6 107 33.96% 42.22 88.79%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 737
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 25223
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10371
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14413
Lose: Invader deck ran out 599
Lose: Adversary condition 112
Win: Sacrifice victory 284
Lose: Scenario condition 514
Win: Scenario condition 1195
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7870
Lose: Spirit destroyed 477

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6848 31.74% 40.02 0.131 89.76% -0.269 -0.3445
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4538 56.71% 37.7 -0.979 81.8% -0.496 -0.4178
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3611 36.66% 39.44 0.097 89.5% 0.05 -0.1744
Downpour Drenches the World 374 32.26% 39.81 -0.398 88.24% 0.001 0.2653
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5339 25.14% 43.71 2.22 94.06% 0.948 0.4454
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3639 31.38% 42.45 1.587 92.47% 0.853 0.2661
Finder of Paths Unseen 192 41.67% 38.08 -0.135 83.85% 0.04 0.3962
Fractured Days Split the Sky 985 38.07% 41.86 2.679 84.37% 0.072 0.1539
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1147 42.57% 40.0 -0.997 86.57% -0.453 -0.5481
Heart of the Wildfire 5086 64.23% 34.14 -1.197 75.01% -0.129 0.2761
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8131 38.86% 39.63 0.755 87.68% 0.211 -0.392
Lightning's Swift Strike 6616 49.5% 37.31 -0.284 81.44% -0.358 0.0065
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 160 47.5% 40.94 0.087 90.63% 0.221 -0.5278
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 683 37.59% 42.03 2.511 87.85% 0.461 -0.1029
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 548 37.73% 45.41 0.453 89.05% -0.155 -0.649
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2700 39.91% 40.85 -0.407 87.96% -0.387 -0.5382
Many Minds Move as One 1580 26.01% 42.68 2.907 95.0% 0.759 0.1735
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7289 48.29% 38.95 0.482 85.79% 0.216 0.0459
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3604 36.74% 39.43 0.031 89.71% -0.058 -0.1146
River Surges in Sunlight 8454 48.89% 39.59 0.156 82.75% -0.322 -0.3958
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 929 42.67% 42.28 0.343 82.35% 0.071 0.497
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 200 42.64% 43.05 1.508 84.0% 0.016 -0.3252
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4431 42.61% 38.61 -0.17 85.92% -0.015 -0.2089
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3721 63.53% 35.43 -1.672 75.06% -0.494 -0.0196
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 55 50.91% 40.71 -1.304 83.64% -0.229 -0.0492
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 73 54.17% 40.55 -0.815 84.93% -0.293 -0.2375
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 432 50.93% 39.76 2.13 87.5% 0.482 0.4592
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 380 56.99% 38.59 1.3 79.74% 0.033 0.1484
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5493 36.25% 40.29 -0.265 87.57% -0.09 -0.2809
Shifting Memory of Ages 895 52.63% 38.22 -0.156 84.36% -0.028 0.187
Shroud of Silent Mist 1152 65.13% 34.71 -2.111 77.26% -0.642 -0.5075
Starlight Seeks its Form 1114 37.53% 39.95 0.896 87.43% 0.157 0.0422
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2555 36.03% 37.98 0.189 89.39% 0.417 0.1781
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2914 37.09% 39.56 0.132 86.41% -0.03 0.1004
Thunderspeaker 6883 40.16% 40.74 0.714 87.21% 0.324 0.3072
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1847 74.72% 33.0 -0.561 75.64% 0.101 -0.1146
Vital Strength of the Earth 5136 39.66% 35.81 -1.958 80.12% -0.46 0.4386
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 123 43.09% 40.66 -0.425 86.18% -0.162 0.2614
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 558 25.99% 35.92 -0.991 84.41% -0.035 1.0797
Volcano Looming High 1786 46.52% 36.93 -1.097 84.43% -0.247 -0.2673

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 16.67% 45.5 0.105 100.0% 0.052 0.5476
Blitz 0 881 49.31% 35.32 -0.152 76.5% -0.777 -0.3334
Dahan Insurrection 4 1080 25.37% 61.11 9.861 82.22% -0.329 -0.2318
Despicable Theft 2 59 57.63% 45.41 6.959 77.97% 0.301 0.7995
Elemental Invocation 1 155 59.35% 38.24 2.824 76.77% 0.208 0.7541
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2551 10.42% 45.35 1.45 86.95% -1.313 -1.0812
Powers Long Forgotten 1 351 57.43% 40.75 1.098 76.07% -0.485 -0.077
Rituals of Terror 3 291 61.51% 45.74 8.205 68.38% 0.306 0.0695
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 162 67.9% 46.65 2.783 75.93% -0.624 -0.3978
Second Wave 0 3441 47.87% 38.72 0.014 76.32% -0.786 -0.0933
The Great River 3 119 52.94% 40.73 0.451 55.46% -0.998 0.5838
Varied Terrains 2 21 61.9% 51.33 6.408 90.48% 0.253 1.0397
Ward the Shores 2 346 46.22% 44.95 1.772 78.03% -0.512 0.3684

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 47954 47.23% 36.99 -0.727 82.15% -0.539 0.1238
1 Thematic 3220 50.3% 42.66 2.434 76.43% -0.187 0.8695
2 Archipelago 20 35.0% 49.45 2.336 80.0% 0.146 0.6169
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10989 43.89% 38.32 -0.031 87.43% 0.077 0.5946
2 Coastline 1308 40.99% 39.27 0.078 87.16% -0.15 0.0511
2 Fragment 329 45.68% 37.14 -1.0 84.8% -0.3 -0.0019
2 Heart 144 47.89% 38.5 -0.005 86.81% 0.42 0.8811
2 Opposite Shores 2551 40.09% 38.98 0.731 88.79% 0.11 0.6492
2 Thematic 1271 45.46% 44.72 1.062 80.09% -0.303 0.4792
2 Top to Top 423 37.77% 40.21 2.781 90.07% 0.203 0.3308
3 Archipelago 19 42.11% 64.79 13.342 89.47% 0.033 -0.185
3 Coastline 20 40.0% 43.45 0.062 90.0% 0.017 -0.4902
3 Other 268 42.54% 40.99 -0.51 93.66% 0.03 -0.6343
3 Round (Default) 4211 37.08% 39.82 0.099 89.93% 0.018 0.3221
3 Sunrise 29 37.93% 42.1 0.0 96.55%
3 Thematic 243 48.76% 45.88 4.999 80.25% 0.254 0.4621
4 Archipelago 11 45.45% 47.36 0.0 90.91%
4 Coastline 7 42.86% 37.43 -5.405 71.43% -0.256 -0.2936
4 Leaf 15 33.33% 46.4 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 105 53.33% 42.99 1.244 87.62% -0.025 -0.7391
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 465 42.7% 49.29 3.817 87.31% 0.553 0.6571
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2140 30.49% 41.9 1.84 91.96% 0.748 0.8256
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 53.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 1 100.0% 40.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 76 41.33% 54.17 -2.207 92.11% 0.243 -0.2733
5 Thematic 12 41.67% 59.33 9.723 91.67% 0.155 -0.1328
6 Other 14 7.14% 59.36 0.25 92.86% 0.14 0.1847
6 Star 10 40.0% 40.8 -3.646 100.0% 0.017 0.7875
6 Thematic 94 18.28% 62.24 0.661 80.85% -0.45 -0.2095
6 Two Centers (Default) 137 16.06% 47.14 -0.145 91.97% -0.904 -0.7124

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2503 30.51 -5.259 64.08% -2.615 -0.6446
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2068 32.17 -5.153 65.86% -2.52 -0.742
All Things Weaken 1272 30.12 -4.602 63.05% -2.489 -0.4404
Back Against the Wall 1943 31.27 -3.926 63.25% -2.265 -0.3258
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2346 28.32 -5.385 62.79% -2.243 -0.1149
Downward Spiral 6149 30.73 -3.99 69.9% -2.028 -0.0667
Erosion of Will 2597 30.57 -4.166 63.61% -2.314 -0.2326
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 531 40.44 0.245 98.31% 0.624 1.1254
Memory Fades to Dust 6299 30.28 -3.813 66.52% -2.215 -0.0744
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1172 31.06 -5.449 68.77% -2.648 -0.6672
Promising Farmlands 2485 30.28 -6.318 67.32% -2.914 -0.8925
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 333 39.94 -0.406 96.4% -0.177 0.3201
Thriving Communities 1122 30.26 -4.176 66.67% -2.174 -0.115
Tipping Point 971 29.87 0.0 64.78%
Unnatural Proliferation 1212 31.35 -3.777 65.18% -2.167 -0.2099
Untended Land Crumbles 1157 30.92 -5.506 67.5% -2.521 -0.4881

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 18013 44.79% 37.83 -0.387 84.26% -0.147 0.5894
B 18662 43.61% 38.18 0.039 85.41% -0.12 0.5771
C 19374 44.07% 38.32 0.142 85.54% -0.056 0.4135
D 17516 44.17% 38.15 -0.238 85.49% -0.159 0.5508
E 5943 41.33% 39.75 0.34 87.94% -0.131 0.4132
F 8626 40.28% 39.13 -0.105 87.14% -0.209 0.453
G 7803 40.91% 39.02 0.277 87.18% -0.214 0.4173
H 7980 39.22% 39.4 0.157 87.52% -0.169 0.496
East 3495 45.76% 45.7 3.301 79.54% 0.346 1.0079
Northeast 2084 43.62% 46.84 3.257 82.01% 0.612 1.2721
Northwest 1674 44.24% 46.61 1.563 82.62% -0.72 -0.1097
Southeast 491 40.41% 46.87 1.436 79.63% 0.198 0.729
Southwest 460 42.7% 44.31 0.761 76.96% 0.216 1.1841
West 3049 47.42% 45.03 0.99 79.44% -0.399 0.4061

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 664 0.0% 36.42 -2.791 76.96% -2.038 0.1911
Not Using Events or Tokens 11982 50.93% 36.61 -0.347 81.03% -0.023 0.2037
Skip Initial Invader Actions 805 12.66% 49.49 8.861 94.91% 0.916 -0.0642
Start of Game Growth 1587 15.91% 47.57 3.01 94.39% -0.35 -0.8067
Unlimited Undo 6471 38.55% 39.77 1.877 88.97% 0.878 0.3265
Using Tokens but Not Events 7475 36.41% 39.06 -0.023 87.34% 0.194 0.3492

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4211 22.65 28.95%
II 19654 31.08 68.39%
III 33953 34.66 91.22%
IV 18295 37.91 99.36%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.214 Win Model: 0.083
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 51353 47.48% 37.36 81.79%
2 16998 43.04% 39.0 87.02%
3 4725 37.69% 40.38 90.01%
4 2747 33.13% 43.51 91.45%
5 51 40.0% 56.53 86.27%
6 239 18.49% 50.99 87.87%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1217
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 30300
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 12560
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 18012
Lose: Invader deck ran out 669
Lose: Adversary condition 157
Win: Sacrifice victory 309
Lose: Scenario condition 539
Win: Scenario condition 1412
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10403
Lose: Spirit destroyed 535

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6265 36.45% 45.87 -0.2 85.6% -0.346 -0.421
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4156 67.61% 42.02 -1.431 76.54% -0.624 -0.5449
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3263 42.1% 45.75 0.659 88.45% -0.039 -0.2637
Downpour Drenches the World 377 39.1% 43.61 -1.249 82.76% -0.385 -0.1198
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5364 28.45% 50.43 2.384 93.98% 0.782 0.2793
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3477 34.9% 48.69 1.772 91.57% 0.913 0.3264
Finder of Paths Unseen 157 52.87% 41.03 -1.312 73.25% -0.285 0.0704
Fractured Days Split the Sky 982 44.29% 46.78 3.341 77.49% 0.176 0.2582
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1245 46.35% 46.13 0.431 84.82% 0.051 -0.0436
Heart of the Wildfire 5304 70.74% 37.52 -3.393 66.76% -0.769 -0.3641
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9530 45.93% 45.24 0.773 85.4% 0.483 -0.1201
Lightning's Swift Strike 5691 57.63% 41.48 -1.23 75.08% -0.517 -0.152
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 200 51.55% 49.63 1.912 86.5% 0.645 -0.1043
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 691 45.8% 47.71 1.036 88.71% 0.185 -0.379
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 529 48.11% 45.85 3.198 81.47% 0.66 0.1657
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2875 46.99% 46.11 0.931 84.97% -0.227 -0.3782
Many Minds Move as One 1691 31.87% 49.0 2.524 93.38% 1.171 0.5846
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7605 51.13% 44.81 -1.003 83.45% -0.343 -0.5122
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3944 41.12% 45.01 0.194 87.02% 0.167 0.1104
River Surges in Sunlight 8641 52.56% 45.26 1.451 78.15% -0.117 -0.1911
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 775 45.99% 45.69 2.566 76.0% 0.258 0.6843
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 197 50.26% 47.41 0.545 79.19% -0.532 -0.8731
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4153 45.74% 44.54 1.005 83.6% 0.575 0.3817
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3173 71.22% 39.23 -5.28 67.98% -1.36 -0.8857
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 64 52.38% 46.67 -0.364 79.69% 0.029 0.2086
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 69 63.77% 45.49 1.237 84.06% 0.415 0.4709
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 491 47.45% 46.6 -0.75 84.93% -0.55 -0.5729
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 324 62.65% 42.15 2.777 75.62% 0.493 0.6088
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5670 40.51% 46.06 1.267 84.73% 0.204 0.0126
Shifting Memory of Ages 859 57.78% 43.2 -0.504 82.89% 0.022 0.2366
Shroud of Silent Mist 880 71.67% 39.9 -2.622 73.64% -0.429 -0.2948
Starlight Seeks its Form 1333 38.18% 45.56 0.561 87.17% 0.095 -0.0202
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2701 41.67% 43.26 0.816 86.19% 0.704 0.4656
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3176 39.63% 45.94 -0.987 85.86% -0.398 -0.2677
Thunderspeaker 6018 45.98% 46.1 -0.354 83.28% -0.287 -0.3042
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1974 81.74% 38.23 -0.847 73.51% 0.52 0.3044
Vital Strength of the Earth 4667 47.58% 40.68 -2.155 72.81% -0.93 -0.0314
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 118 44.83% 44.92 0.62 86.44% 0.412 0.8353
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 324 51.85% 37.48 1.034 63.27% -0.118 0.996
Volcano Looming High 1614 56.52% 40.89 -2.684 77.39% -0.772 -0.7929

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 50.0% 59.5 1.747 100.0% 0.028 0.5233
Blitz 0 837 53.42% 40.0 -2.45 73.12% -0.007 0.4363
Dahan Insurrection 4 994 28.33% 68.6 12.557 83.4% -0.198 -0.1008
Despicable Theft 2 42 69.05% 45.1 8.514 59.52% 0.314 0.8127
Elemental Invocation 1 90 72.22% 40.8 -3.145 65.56% -0.47 0.0761
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2802 11.01% 52.28 4.361 89.58% 0.001 0.2328
Powers Long Forgotten 1 189 68.78% 44.66 5.233 67.72% 0.075 0.4826
Rituals of Terror 3 127 66.93% 48.08 -7.453 59.84% -0.495 -0.731
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 103 79.61% 47.38 7.46 59.22% 0.285 0.5113
Second Wave 0 2458 53.14% 43.7 -0.295 71.6% -0.795 -0.1028
The Great River 3 64 67.19% 45.05 3.128 50.0% -0.655 0.9264
Varied Terrains 2 7 71.43% 49.29 -6.158 71.43% -0.912 -0.126
Ward the Shores 2 151 62.25% 49.27 0.0 70.2%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 52219 53.84% 42.2 -0.086 77.7% -0.2 0.463
1 Thematic 2431 51.4% 49.24 -0.799 72.85% -0.596 0.4607
2 Archipelago 17 58.82% 54.88 0.0 76.47%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10749 47.16% 44.71 0.088 85.23% 0.342 0.8602
2 Coastline 1422 42.04% 45.35 -0.466 86.5% 0.002 0.2024
2 Fragment 236 58.62% 39.94 0.632 73.31% 0.583 0.8811
2 Heart 123 56.1% 43.71 -0.311 82.93% -0.175 0.2859
2 Opposite Shores 2358 46.92% 45.04 -1.373 84.22% -0.267 0.2715
2 Thematic 923 57.92% 48.38 2.05 72.37% 0.721 1.5032
2 Top to Top 381 50.0% 44.25 -2.029 83.73% -0.602 -0.4744
3 Archipelago 9 66.67% 65.56 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 47 38.3% 47.21 2.942 78.72% 0.116 -0.3907
3 Other 245 36.89% 46.17 2.295 90.2% 0.763 0.0989
3 Round (Default) 3658 39.7% 46.59 0.249 87.94% 0.219 0.5236
3 Sunrise 20 35.0% 46.9 0.0 90.0%
3 Thematic 160 56.88% 52.71 -10.02 83.13% -0.521 -0.3131
4 Archipelago 12 33.33% 53.67 -2.376 75.0% -0.937 -0.9744
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 44.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 11 63.64% 42.73 0.0 72.73%
4 Other 85 45.88% 47.06 4.839 91.76% 0.137 -0.5771
4 Snake 3 33.33% 50.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 323 39.13% 56.32 2.55 87.31% 1.248 1.3515
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2112 34.89% 48.6 1.231 91.1% 0.178 0.2557
5 Archipelago 5 60.0% 62.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Other 42 46.15% 52.12 1.989 90.48% -0.146 -0.6627
5 Thematic 7 57.14% 77.71 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 2 50.0% 46.5 6.832 50.0% 0.181 0.0343
6 Other 6 16.67% 45.33 -4.073 83.33% -0.267 -0.2219
6 Star 16 12.5% 48.44 -4.843 93.75% -0.626 0.1448
6 Thematic 40 20.0% 62.35 1.313 70.0% -0.978 -0.7376
6 Two Centers (Default) 90 26.67% 50.12 1.595 94.44% 0.736 0.9278

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3036 35.79 -5.015 61.07% -2.326 -0.3552
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2338 38.22 -4.182 65.91% -2.295 -0.5168
All Things Weaken 1506 34.82 -4.698 59.36% -2.316 -0.267
Back Against the Wall 2279 36.68 -5.937 61.25% -2.545 -0.606
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2815 33.31 -5.337 59.29% -2.323 -0.1953
Downward Spiral 6686 36.12 -3.458 65.9% -1.863 0.0977
Erosion of Will 2925 35.03 -5.201 58.94% -2.374 -0.2926
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 605 45.82 0.847 93.22% 0.845 1.3467
Memory Fades to Dust 6838 34.84 -4.536 61.1% -2.283 -0.1425
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1482 35.29 -4.635 62.89% -2.201 -0.2207
Promising Farmlands 2933 35.12 -6.274 62.77% -2.368 -0.3467
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 398 46.92 -1.123 95.48% -0.675 -0.1788
Thriving Communities 1450 35.12 -5.444 63.66% -2.258 -0.1991
Tipping Point 1157 34.37 0.0 59.64%
Unnatural Proliferation 1587 37.67 -3.821 66.48% -1.914 0.0426
Untended Land Crumbles 1444 35.24 -5.708 62.88% -2.581 -0.5474

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 17777 50.53% 43.27 -0.246 80.05% -0.165 0.5712
B 18684 48.6% 43.95 0.059 81.86% 0.019 0.7159
C 19555 49.12% 44.06 0.031 82.28% -0.044 0.4254
D 16775 50.06% 43.51 -0.666 80.94% -0.205 0.5045
E 6282 47.28% 44.65 0.477 83.95% 0.233 0.777
F 8953 45.75% 44.76 0.351 84.06% 0.038 0.6996
G 8239 46.7% 44.48 -0.003 83.91% -0.097 0.5343
H 8529 44.33% 45.35 0.677 85.38% 0.116 0.7807
East 2524 51.21% 50.88 1.027 75.48% -0.664 -0.0027
Northeast 1472 50.03% 52.06 1.036 78.13% -0.546 0.1138
Northwest 1115 49.28% 51.43 1.557 77.94% -0.073 0.5375
Southeast 384 49.22% 50.53 -0.315 74.74% -0.649 -0.1178
Southwest 349 49.86% 46.89 1.613 74.5% 0.241 1.2097
West 2173 52.7% 50.61 1.306 74.55% 0.093 0.8989

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 503 0.0% 39.98 -3.482 66.4% -2.365 -0.1362
Not Using Events or Tokens 9771 58.96% 41.01 0.245 73.6% 0.417 0.644
Skip Initial Invader Actions 764 7.98% 58.44 10.425 96.07% 0.991 0.0104
Start of Game Growth 1619 14.5% 55.56 4.393 94.07% 0.487 0.0302
Unlimited Undo 6478 41.5% 46.14 1.622 86.59% 0.637 0.086
Using Tokens but Not Events 7786 42.69% 44.8 1.057 84.51% 0.398 0.5531

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5247 22.65 19.1%
II 26334 31.08 68.87%
III 31302 34.66 90.05%
IV 14889 37.91 99.49%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.198 Win Model: -0.066
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 54800 53.74% 42.52 77.5%
2 16184 47.57% 44.95 84.27%
3 4074 39.93% 46.77 87.8%
4 2545 35.82% 49.62 90.49%
5 17 64.29% 57.59 82.35%
6 152 22.37% 53.21 88.16%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1002
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 27713
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 17279
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14716
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1442
Lose: Adversary condition 165
Win: Sacrifice victory 299
Lose: Scenario condition 402
Win: Scenario condition 1129
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12975
Lose: Spirit destroyed 650

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4678 35.65% 48.31 -0.289 83.13% -0.711 -0.7864
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3369 68.16% 43.96 -1.546 75.1% -0.12 -0.041
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2877 44.18% 47.54 0.222 85.61% 0.395 0.1705
Downpour Drenches the World 317 37.22% 48.76 0.903 85.8% -0.188 0.0772
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4610 27.98% 53.46 2.05 93.73% 1.005 0.5018
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3095 34.72% 50.06 1.31 88.98% 0.659 0.0724
Finder of Paths Unseen 154 53.25% 43.42 -2.151 72.08% -0.644 -0.2882
Fractured Days Split the Sky 926 38.98% 51.54 2.163 81.1% -0.465 -0.3834
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1132 49.16% 47.22 2.625 78.45% 0.869 0.7743
Heart of the Wildfire 4469 68.63% 41.38 -1.991 69.86% -0.288 0.1174
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8513 42.93% 48.65 1.129 86.17% 0.699 0.0954
Lightning's Swift Strike 4953 51.56% 45.19 -2.069 77.17% -0.25 0.1152
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 183 56.83% 48.26 -1.254 81.42% -0.347 -1.0965
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 696 38.85% 50.82 2.534 89.66% 0.61 0.046
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 459 41.61% 52.1 3.065 88.89% 0.868 0.3739
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2658 44.73% 48.91 0.33 85.18% 0.123 -0.0282
Many Minds Move as One 1439 31.64% 52.25 2.941 94.51% 1.448 0.8616
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5933 50.83% 47.16 0.031 81.38% 0.235 0.0656
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2995 43.32% 46.92 -0.526 83.67% 0.023 -0.0331
River Surges in Sunlight 6325 52.34% 48.45 0.027 77.66% -0.355 -0.4289
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 495 44.22% 49.29 -1.806 78.99% -0.76 -0.3337
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 225 51.57% 52.71 0.895 85.78% -0.243 -0.5843
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3370 45.41% 46.79 -0.203 81.93% 0.266 0.072
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2015 68.24% 41.97 -4.783 66.95% -1.128 -0.6534
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 44 63.64% 45.82 1.496 75.0% 0.318 0.4979
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 61 49.18% 51.34 0.598 91.8% 0.178 0.2331
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 367 63.22% 44.02 -1.067 73.57% -0.074 -0.0965
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 230 70.43% 43.4 1.61 71.3% 0.896 1.0119
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7051 29.97% 51.11 0.874 88.61% 0.121 -0.0707
Shifting Memory of Ages 791 56.64% 45.2 -1.018 79.65% -0.375 -0.1597
Shroud of Silent Mist 631 78.25% 40.72 -3.69 69.73% -0.779 -0.6445
Starlight Seeks its Form 1419 38.2% 48.45 0.742 86.54% 0.556 0.4408
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2648 37.48% 46.28 -1.784 87.31% -0.25 -0.4889
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2651 43.01% 47.96 1.1 82.42% 0.412 0.5425
Thunderspeaker 4517 47.18% 47.97 -0.191 81.6% -0.119 -0.1358
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1837 81.11% 41.4 -1.667 74.85% 0.273 0.0577
Vital Strength of the Earth 3020 52.31% 39.65 -3.05 58.81% -1.205 -0.3069
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 108 47.22% 44.08 -3.055 72.22% -0.71 -0.2872
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 194 48.45% 40.27 -4.541 61.34% -0.73 0.3845
Volcano Looming High 1641 52.1% 45.7 -0.094 81.9% 0.519 0.4984

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 461 50.89% 43.18 1.086 71.8% -0.042 0.401
Dahan Insurrection 4 600 30.0% 73.74 9.024 82.67% -0.55 -0.4523
Despicable Theft 2 22 68.18% 46.0 7.756 54.55% 0.24 0.7391
Elemental Invocation 1 45 57.78% 47.38 4.131 73.33% 0.027 0.5731
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2163 12.7% 54.43 2.435 89.51% -0.609 -0.3772
Powers Long Forgotten 1 128 71.09% 45.84 5.557 64.06% 0.21 0.6179
Rituals of Terror 3 138 58.7% 53.86 10.58 60.87% 0.223 -0.0129
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 81 79.01% 48.35 0.0 53.09%
Second Wave 0 1581 52.44% 46.28 -0.053 70.71% -0.893 -0.2006
The Great River 3 42 71.43% 46.74 0.0 50.0%
Varied Terrains 2 2 50.0% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
Ward the Shores 2 101 62.38% 51.39 8.698 67.33% 0.03 0.911

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 50064 48.91% 45.9 -0.3 79.11% 0.336 0.9993
1 Thematic 1819 53.3% 52.06 0.151 69.98% 0.014 1.0705
2 Archipelago 12 83.33% 50.42 3.689 66.67% 0.059 0.5299
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8042 48.24% 47.17 -0.102 83.37% 0.05 0.5685
2 Coastline 1182 41.2% 48.36 0.364 86.29% -0.246 -0.0456
2 Fragment 150 53.02% 46.94 -3.373 82.0% -0.477 -0.1785
2 Heart 71 44.29% 48.27 -0.574 87.32% 0.346 0.8071
2 Opposite Shores 1486 46.74% 47.05 -1.204 82.3% -0.237 0.3018
2 Thematic 556 55.23% 50.7 -5.391 70.86% -1.396 -0.6138
2 Top to Top 339 43.32% 48.35 2.531 85.25% 0.654 0.7816
3 Archipelago 5 40.0% 51.2 4.687 60.0% 0.007 -0.2117
3 Coastline 48 25.0% 57.65 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 115 53.04% 46.92 -2.431 82.61% 0.049 -0.6147
3 Round (Default) 2967 37.41% 49.65 1.229 88.61% 0.446 0.7506
3 Sunrise 12 16.67% 50.75 4.512 91.67% 0.088 0.5479
3 Thematic 94 63.83% 50.89 8.903 72.34% 0.018 0.2263
4 Archipelago 6 66.67% 46.0 0.0 66.67%
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 9 66.67% 47.22 0.0 88.89%
4 Other 60 37.29% 49.85 6.218 83.33% 0.053 -0.6612
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 388 39.28% 59.73 7.967 87.63% 0.5 0.6034
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1411 37.87% 50.19 -1.172 88.73% -0.906 -0.8281
5 Archipelago 4 100.0% 70.5 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 32 40.0% 49.19 0.0 75.0%
5 Thematic 4 25.0% 57.75 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 72.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 11 54.55% 38.73 -1.792 63.64% 0.034 0.0792
6 Star 7 71.43% 62.29 -1.834 100.0% 0.001 0.7709
6 Thematic 19 15.79% 67.32 1.502 78.95% 0.021 0.2624
6 Two Centers (Default) 15 33.33% 49.33 -0.393 73.33% 0.001 0.192

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2577 38.84 -4.716 62.2% -2.305 -0.3343
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1927 41.18 -2.224 65.8% -1.631 0.1467
All Things Weaken 1270 38.48 -6.568 61.89% -2.51 -0.461
Back Against the Wall 1801 39.61 -5.041 62.02% -2.357 -0.4179
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2397 35.94 -5.875 58.53% -2.256 -0.1276
Downward Spiral 5461 38.29 -4.495 63.63% -2.012 -0.0511
Erosion of Will 2465 37.41 -6.053 58.22% -2.532 -0.4503
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 521 49.32 0.176 92.32% 0.501 1.0023
Memory Fades to Dust 5556 37.25 -6.429 59.02% -2.541 -0.3998
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1294 40.34 -4.405 68.62% -2.014 -0.0336
Promising Farmlands 2563 37.26 -4.963 60.44% -2.289 -0.2672
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 370 49.32 -0.124 94.05% 0.055 0.5519
Thriving Communities 1178 37.39 -3.629 60.78% -1.695 0.3645
Tipping Point 957 35.54 0.0 54.13%
Unnatural Proliferation 1345 39.68 -4.406 64.54% -2.145 -0.1876
Untended Land Crumbles 1232 38.75 -4.623 65.02% -2.164 -0.1305

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14335 48.79% 45.94 -0.408 78.93% -0.425 0.3112
B 15840 46.29% 47.02 0.21 81.84% -0.048 0.6493
C 16100 48.51% 46.6 -0.02 80.83% -0.081 0.3886
D 13822 47.73% 46.42 -0.092 80.23% -0.1 0.609
E 6036 43.46% 48.63 0.935 86.2% 0.358 0.9021
F 7971 44.43% 47.56 0.217 83.92% -0.144 0.518
G 7175 44.87% 47.61 0.074 84.32% -0.014 0.6169
H 7322 43.16% 48.06 -0.124 84.85% -0.246 0.4182
East 1847 51.9% 52.65 -0.27 72.82% -0.689 -0.0278
Northeast 1101 50.91% 53.75 4.416 74.39% 0.276 0.9356
Northwest 830 47.28% 55.13 2.938 79.28% -0.052 0.5587
Southeast 261 50.19% 51.52 0.097 75.86% -0.075 0.4564
Southwest 246 54.88% 45.69 -1.026 66.67% -0.116 0.8528
West 1682 49.46% 55.04 1.411 75.09% 0.06 0.8655

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 407 0.0% 46.46 -7.225 74.69% -2.589 -0.3602
Not Using Events or Tokens 8416 53.45% 44.74 -0.638 74.48% 0.182 0.4085
Skip Initial Invader Actions 547 14.06% 59.79 7.23 94.52% 0.217 -0.7632
Start of Game Growth 1070 18.1% 57.03 5.172 92.15% 0.797 0.3401
Unlimited Undo 6752 44.37% 48.19 0.499 84.73% 0.355 -0.1969
Using Tokens but Not Events 6193 38.62% 47.97 -0.087 83.87% -0.025 0.1299

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7105 22.65 36.48%
II 30221 31.08 78.66%
III 22855 34.66 88.38%
IV 8765 37.91 99.63%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.399 Win Model: 0.734
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 51996 49.1% 46.12 78.79%
2 11808 47.53% 47.51 83.03%
3 3199 38.2% 49.72 88.25%
4 1879 38.21% 52.2 88.29%
5 13 46.15% 40.15 53.85%
6 51 37.25% 55.0 76.47%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2591
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 19932
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 23132
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8658
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2467
Lose: Adversary condition 80
Win: Sacrifice victory 281
Lose: Scenario condition 267
Win: Scenario condition 704
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10334
Lose: Spirit destroyed 500

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2491 47.86% 51.16 -1.51 71.62% -0.579 -0.6544
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1504 78.4% 47.52 -0.045 65.96% 0.144 0.223
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2238 41.32% 53.73 2.208 79.89% 0.248 0.0237
Downpour Drenches the World 136 52.21% 51.91 0.005 72.06% -0.242 0.0229
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2697 38.45% 57.27 3.834 85.87% 0.656 0.1528
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1427 46.39% 54.7 3.719 79.47% 0.764 0.177
Finder of Paths Unseen 50 54.0% 51.12 -2.423 68.0% -0.428 -0.0726
Fractured Days Split the Sky 376 57.45% 52.87 4.785 64.63% 0.022 0.1043
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 525 43.81% 55.92 4.055 81.52% 0.645 0.5505
Heart of the Wildfire 2414 73.09% 43.49 -7.393 59.32% -1.299 -0.8932
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3634 59.76% 49.93 -0.365 70.97% 0.09 -0.5137
Lightning's Swift Strike 2728 70.0% 45.51 1.433 59.79% 0.518 0.8827
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 49 73.47% 53.67 2.585 73.47% 0.475 -0.2741
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 309 58.12% 54.7 7.206 82.2% 0.901 0.3369
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 184 50.0% 55.6 2.091 79.89% 0.224 -0.2702
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1496 51.27% 53.81 4.215 79.08% 0.562 0.4099
Many Minds Move as One 561 41.18% 58.49 5.643 91.09% 0.805 0.2192
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3103 57.79% 51.66 2.484 73.8% 0.28 0.1102
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1447 54.06% 49.91 1.417 71.53% 0.162 0.1063
River Surges in Sunlight 3634 64.37% 51.87 0.213 67.67% -0.367 -0.4409
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 224 57.59% 49.25 4.861 59.38% 0.468 0.8947
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 92 53.85% 55.66 1.632 72.83% -0.269 -0.6105
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1594 56.45% 50.49 0.811 72.46% 0.248 0.0543
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1836 83.34% 43.54 -0.476 55.94% -0.117 0.358
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 10 50.0% 55.8 0.084 70.0% -0.121 0.0585
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 32 50.0% 56.66 2.807 84.38% 0.252 0.3072
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 122 72.13% 47.59 -1.338 63.11% -0.111 -0.1338
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 104 73.08% 50.39 -1.543 73.08% -0.182 -0.0659
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3365 37.85% 56.58 2.982 81.13% 0.466 0.2748
Shifting Memory of Ages 262 71.37% 46.61 2.014 59.54% 0.496 0.7111
Shroud of Silent Mist 213 85.38% 42.73 -3.732 57.75% -0.533 -0.3991
Starlight Seeks its Form 411 46.96% 53.84 0.687 74.94% -0.466 -0.5806
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2211 34.48% 52.59 1.063 82.68% 0.131 -0.108
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1656 50.27% 51.71 -0.481 73.31% -0.542 -0.412
Thunderspeaker 2369 58.02% 51.87 0.768 71.34% 0.067 0.0497
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1258 88.0% 45.38 1.428 65.58% 0.557 0.3413
Vital Strength of the Earth 1667 69.34% 39.79 -6.73 40.49% -2.291 -1.3928
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 32 37.5% 52.25 0.402 62.5% -0.339 0.0843
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 102 65.69% 38.75 -8.731 38.24% -0.763 0.3515
Volcano Looming High 775 68.69% 48.05 0.267 70.06% -0.259 -0.2796

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 353 74.13% 41.95 -1.435 53.82% -0.19 0.2526
Dahan Insurrection 4 446 55.61% 68.71 15.56 61.21% 0.238 0.3356
Despicable Theft 2 4 25.0% 63.5 0.0 75.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 24 87.5% 35.38 0.0 25.0%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1246 19.16% 61.06 5.102 88.04% 0.702 0.9337
Powers Long Forgotten 1 87 74.71% 48.05 7.912 52.87% 0.27 0.6773
Rituals of Terror 3 59 67.8% 62.81 15.536 54.24% 0.3 0.0639
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 59 91.53% 48.71 0.0 42.37%
Second Wave 0 881 63.1% 49.49 -2.079 62.32% -1.059 -0.3667
The Great River 3 29 62.07% 39.52 0.0 20.69%
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
Ward the Shores 2 58 75.86% 49.83 0.0 50.0%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 27806 58.72% 48.78 -1.498 68.31% -0.296 0.3668
1 Thematic 1143 64.92% 53.97 1.213 59.23% -0.4 0.6571
2 Archipelago 8 75.0% 59.63 6.683 75.0% 0.412 0.8832
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4512 55.83% 51.84 0.912 74.89% 0.141 0.6589
2 Coastline 608 49.59% 52.18 2.984 74.34% 0.614 0.8148
2 Fragment 89 64.77% 47.19 -1.593 66.29% 0.002 0.3006
2 Heart 34 58.82% 49.12 1.357 61.76% 0.045 0.5061
2 Opposite Shores 965 60.54% 51.04 0.289 73.89% -0.478 0.0612
2 Thematic 314 67.41% 53.85 -6.848 56.69% -0.288 0.4943
2 Top to Top 127 60.32% 50.84 -2.03 74.02% -0.006 0.1224
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 92.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 10 30.0% 66.6 -1.01 100.0% 0.01 -0.4975
3 Other 40 72.5% 52.63 0.144 72.5% 0.341 -0.3226
3 Round (Default) 1201 53.43% 53.13 1.72 77.77% 0.602 0.9067
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Thematic 60 46.67% 63.67 12.538 76.67% 0.042 0.2504
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 72.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 64.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 10 70.0% 55.1 -1.93 80.0% 0.057 -0.6566
4 Thematic 179 33.52% 65.21 0.0 82.68%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 547 49.44% 54.12 -1.837 79.16% -0.884 -0.8067
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 9 44.44% 60.56 -1.748 77.78% -0.282 -0.7988
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 107.33 22.567 100.0% 0.157 -0.1308
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 71.5 1.842 100.0% 0.024 -0.1224
6 Star 1 0.0% 57.0 -4.752 100.0% 0.008 0.7779
6 Thematic 28 21.43% 65.79 0.0 82.14%
6 Two Centers (Default) 4 0.0% 62.5 -2.019 100.0% 0.011 0.2022

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1585 41.76 -3.602 51.17% -1.727 0.2438
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1126 45.45 -4.949 59.06% -2.033 -0.2551
All Things Weaken 779 41.06 -4.982 51.09% -1.815 0.2339
Back Against the Wall 1117 44.4 -4.252 56.22% -1.693 0.2458
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1455 38.68 -6.927 48.04% -2.117 0.0114
Downward Spiral 4307 40.57 -5.288 51.15% -1.818 0.1429
Erosion of Will 1476 40.05 -5.105 47.09% -1.907 0.1745
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 273 55.43 2.926 88.28% 0.182 0.684
Memory Fades to Dust 4253 39.96 -5.781 48.44% -2.106 0.0346
Power Corrodes the Spirit 778 42.02 -3.185 55.14% -1.246 0.7349
Promising Farmlands 1504 38.69 -6.016 45.94% -1.991 0.0308
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 153 56.04 4.457 90.2% 0.427 0.9241
Thriving Communities 748 41.11 -3.807 53.48% -1.214 0.8455
Tipping Point 639 38.12 0.0 42.72%
Unnatural Proliferation 825 44.84 -5.133 58.42% -1.68 0.2765
Untended Land Crumbles 784 41.38 -5.678 53.83% -1.832 0.2014

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6928 63.02% 47.85 -1.438 65.36% -0.338 0.398
B 8821 54.71% 51.31 0.482 72.84% -0.074 0.6231
C 8345 64.38% 48.33 0.437 67.29% -0.029 0.4402
D 6601 63.03% 48.48 0.859 67.17% 0.16 0.8699
E 2581 56.81% 52.27 1.256 76.48% 0.209 0.7534
F 5111 46.02% 52.42 1.038 77.91% 0.12 0.7816
G 4235 49.42% 52.34 -1.252 76.74% -0.512 0.1189
H 4133 50.13% 52.35 0.422 76.29% 0.027 0.6913
East 1073 58.77% 57.63 13.235 64.68% 0.322 0.9836
Northeast 600 56.26% 57.9 13.524 66.83% 0.891 1.5508
Northwest 519 51.35% 57.51 2.183 64.74% -0.219 0.3911
Southeast 150 52.0% 57.21 -4.234 70.67% -0.342 0.1888
Southwest 142 54.93% 52.83 -4.18 63.38% -0.304 0.6644
West 966 57.1% 56.52 7.706 61.9% -0.413 0.3929

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 171 0.0% 47.61 0.447 63.16% -0.562 1.6672
Not Using Events or Tokens 5949 71.44% 45.0 -2.657 58.56% -0.152 0.0742
Skip Initial Invader Actions 279 21.18% 64.08 2.979 88.17% 0.458 -0.5219
Start of Game Growth 637 22.6% 65.05 6.671 89.01% 1.421 0.9639
Unlimited Undo 6500 35.09% 57.54 3.297 86.08% 0.712 0.161
Using Tokens but Not Events 6787 29.83% 57.0 0.429 85.69% -0.35 -0.1946

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4800 22.65 24.5%
II 16797 31.08 66.57%
III 11808 34.66 81.22%
IV 4312 37.91 99.42%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.711 Win Model: 0.274
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 29011 58.98% 49.0 67.91%
2 6635 56.69% 51.77 73.85%
3 1299 53.48% 53.63 77.52%
4 734 44.52% 57.2 80.93%
5 4 25.0% 57.0 75.0%
6 34 17.65% 66.09 88.24%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1176
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9432
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10879
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4245
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2393
Lose: Adversary condition 53
Win: Sacrifice victory 133
Lose: Scenario condition 166
Win: Scenario condition 371
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8428
Lose: Spirit destroyed 441

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5646 67.23% 47.18 2.256 50.96% 0.22 0.1443
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5245 87.11% 45.26 1.085 51.59% 0.499 0.5773
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2627 79.66% 42.72 -1.734 45.98% -0.202 -0.4269
Downpour Drenches the World 412 58.74% 50.33 0.969 58.5% -0.164 0.1009
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6583 56.89% 55.23 3.128 72.25% 0.691 0.1884
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2867 76.62% 47.01 3.004 55.25% 0.702 0.1155
Finder of Paths Unseen 170 78.24% 43.3 -2.988 47.06% -0.403 -0.0468
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1326 66.94% 54.62 2.347 61.01% -0.041 0.0411
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1338 75.39% 48.09 1.011 57.55% 0.171 0.0763
Heart of the Wildfire 6415 91.48% 34.71 -7.38 32.66% -0.88 -0.4744
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8695 74.55% 46.25 1.661 55.19% 0.569 -0.0342
Lightning's Swift Strike 6523 75.0% 44.09 -3.462 48.44% -0.459 -0.0939
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 366 81.32% 48.62 2.805 58.2% 0.948 0.1988
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1077 81.92% 50.04 1.224 64.44% 0.256 -0.308
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 690 70.64% 53.32 2.655 67.83% 0.437 -0.0569
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3879 72.12% 48.16 1.329 59.09% 0.413 0.2612
Many Minds Move as One 1713 61.94% 55.9 5.513 77.29% 1.272 0.6863
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 25374 55.95% 58.2 4.197 81.7% 1.052 0.8828
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2870 80.01% 43.07 -1.756 47.07% -0.167 -0.2235
River Surges in Sunlight 9924 76.79% 48.6 -0.787 52.72% -0.298 -0.3725
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 415 84.44% 41.18 -5.974 33.25% -1.205 -0.7789
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 313 76.13% 55.73 5.087 64.22% 0.852 0.5105
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5000 67.41% 47.64 1.361 55.6% 0.189 -0.0051
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3022 77.61% 42.5 -0.886 44.54% -0.385 0.09
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 41 90.24% 41.1 -4.417 43.9% -0.491 -0.3116
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 53 79.25% 46.94 0.157 56.6% -0.084 -0.0284
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 380 84.21% 43.89 -3.959 48.68% -0.671 -0.6939
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 348 92.82% 42.05 -1.342 45.98% 0.007 0.1228
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5555 68.33% 47.52 1.653 56.8% 0.337 0.1462
Shifting Memory of Ages 701 87.29% 42.39 -1.763 38.23% -0.45 -0.2356
Shroud of Silent Mist 735 94.41% 36.64 -5.567 35.65% -0.546 -0.4122
Starlight Seeks its Form 2107 74.75% 44.57 1.087 47.22% 0.217 0.1024
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4367 65.76% 46.27 -0.278 53.84% 0.025 -0.2134
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2795 76.58% 46.27 -0.303 52.88% -0.066 0.0643
Thunderspeaker 6969 77.02% 50.87 1.729 50.39% 0.289 0.2713
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3599 92.19% 45.12 -1.298 58.04% 0.328 0.1121
Vital Strength of the Earth 3364 84.13% 35.01 -6.831 24.41% -1.829 -0.9307
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 110 80.0% 41.47 -1.353 37.27% -0.294 0.1289
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 335 87.16% 32.76 -1.764 22.09% -0.155 0.9598
Volcano Looming High 2669 78.71% 44.62 -1.078 54.63% 0.16 0.1396

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 100.0% 44.5 -8.233 50.0% -0.273 0.2226
Blitz 0 706 61.89% 46.66 1.129 55.81% 0.244 0.6869
Dahan Insurrection 4 2617 80.14% 60.79 8.184 38.86% -0.076 0.0209
Despicable Theft 2 16 87.5% 41.69 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 48 83.33% 37.13 0.0 22.92%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3524 38.25% 56.62 5.546 69.69% 0.855 1.0868
Powers Long Forgotten 1 121 90.0% 37.63 -8.828 23.97% -0.461 -0.0535
Rituals of Terror 3 229 71.18% 74.42 16.639 42.79% 0.151 -0.0853
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 26 88.46% 49.81 -16.327 30.77% -0.386 -0.1597
Second Wave 0 714 72.1% 45.57 -3.363 46.5% -0.795 -0.1028
The Great River 3 40 87.5% 40.0 0.562 20.0% -0.076 1.5059
Varied Terrains 2 5 80.0% 53.8 0.822 40.0% -0.091 0.6951
Ward the Shores 2 59 89.83% 43.15 -12.429 33.9% -0.635 0.2458

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 87883 73.04% 46.85 -1.639 56.63% -0.062 0.6007
1 Thematic 4108 79.62% 53.93 1.421 39.24% -0.126 0.9307
2 Archipelago 21 61.9% 69.1 5.798 52.38% -0.085 0.3854
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9292 65.18% 50.55 1.52 63.72% -0.101 0.4172
2 Coastline 1472 71.28% 50.45 1.231 63.38% -0.072 0.1282
2 Fragment 155 81.94% 45.57 3.803 53.55% 0.866 1.1646
2 Heart 84 77.38% 46.18 4.771 52.38% 0.74 1.201
2 Opposite Shores 2302 71.22% 48.88 -1.009 58.56% -0.366 0.1724
2 Thematic 955 82.23% 52.03 -10.115 36.75% -1.132 -0.35
2 Top to Top 351 79.54% 47.27 0.904 55.27% -0.213 -0.0851
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 73.0 31.845 66.67% 0.157 -0.0611
3 Coastline 40 67.5% 48.95 9.613 55.0% 0.407 -0.1004
3 Other 83 79.52% 45.48 -0.916 53.01% -0.246 -0.9097
3 Round (Default) 2332 74.78% 49.26 -0.152 60.33% -0.895 -0.5901
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 50.29 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 86 74.42% 63.77 3.559 45.35% -0.109 0.0986
4 Archipelago 2 100.0% 40.0 -5.017 0.0% -0.428 -0.4656
4 Coastline 11 45.45% 56.55 -5.77 72.73% -0.151 -0.1882
4 Leaf 6 50.0% 44.33 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 34 73.53% 50.41 0.064 61.76% 0.052 -0.6621
4 Snake 2 100.0% 26.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 346 63.19% 70.17 11.772 58.38% -0.123 -0.0196
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1538 66.91% 53.08 2.083 65.67% -0.504 -0.4264
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 32.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 13 7.69% 69.0 2.844 100.0% 0.019 -0.5686
5 Other 31 61.29% 62.29 2.796 80.65% 0.229 -0.2879
5 Thematic 4 100.0% 48.5 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 5 0.0% 68.4 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 4 75.0% 56.25 0.0 75.0%
6 Star 8 62.5% 54.13 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 6 83.33% 62.17 0.0 66.67%
6 Two Centers (Default) 14 64.29% 50.0 0.0 64.29%
7 Other 1 100.0% 81.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 6877 42.19 -4.545 45.8% -2.029 -0.0583
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5497 47.77 -0.403 57.18% -1.286 0.4915
All Things Weaken 3179 40.83 -3.316 43.19% -1.675 0.3743
Back Against the Wall 4537 43.32 -1.057 46.93% -1.526 0.4128
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6193 39.32 -5.886 43.11% -2.129 -0.0011
Downward Spiral 12476 41.13 -5.102 41.63% -1.965 -0.0037
Erosion of Will 6574 40.76 -5.138 42.59% -2.267 -0.1849
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 850 55.4 0.943 76.12% -1.066 -0.5639
Memory Fades to Dust 12393 40.55 -3.889 38.83% -1.762 0.3793
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3103 40.47 -3.081 43.31% -1.712 0.2683
Promising Farmlands 6244 40.19 -3.919 42.99% -1.795 0.2264
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 471 57.79 5.973 83.23% 0.495 0.992
Thriving Communities 2984 38.78 -5.536 39.75% -2.101 -0.042
Tipping Point 2485 38.06 0.0 37.42%
Unnatural Proliferation 3404 42.31 -1.793 44.57% -1.538 0.4187
Untended Land Crumbles 3063 39.68 -3.75 41.46% -1.741 0.2925

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 19200 75.16% 45.47 -1.141 52.57% -0.512 0.224
B 23543 70.57% 48.05 0.698 58.64% -0.298 0.3987
C 23096 73.52% 46.67 0.694 55.42% -0.279 0.1907
D 21810 71.84% 47.99 -0.701 58.56% -0.496 0.2133
E 8387 73.41% 48.08 0.824 59.28% -0.226 0.3181
F 11850 69.34% 49.47 0.112 62.1% -0.418 0.244
G 11264 68.78% 50.89 0.733 65.18% -0.089 0.5418
H 10539 67.2% 50.38 0.878 63.56% -0.196 0.4689
East 3992 79.45% 56.64 8.239 40.16% 0.601 1.2627
Northeast 2067 75.04% 58.74 7.514 45.48% 0.045 0.7052
Northwest 1140 71.81% 58.65 1.624 46.75% -0.731 -0.1204
Southeast 276 90.22% 42.43 -0.388 26.09% -0.632 -0.1007
Southwest 205 82.93% 35.29 -6.173 23.41% -1.028 -0.0597
West 2158 76.7% 53.94 2.861 39.48% -1.468 -0.662

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 562 0.0% 42.79 -2.027 42.7% -1.507 0.7215
Not Using Events or Tokens 11506 85.91% 43.64 -2.645 38.67% -0.38 -0.1531
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2071 19.06% 67.09 6.318 88.6% 0.368 -0.6124
Start of Game Growth 3635 24.17% 63.84 5.805 85.67% 0.943 0.4861
Unlimited Undo 9424 66.81% 52.0 3.904 66.72% 0.972 0.4202
Using Tokens but Not Events 7152 58.98% 49.3 -0.915 58.92% -0.458 -0.3033

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 17626 22.65 6.27%
II 43730 31.08 48.26%
III 39627 34.66 77.48%
IV 10253 37.91 99.57%

Number of Players

Score Model: 1.146 Win Model: 0.845
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 92375 73.34% 47.21 55.85%
2 14379 68.28% 50.15 60.89%
3 2545 73.71% 51.13 60.08%
4 1874 67.5% 53.68 63.71%
5 24 33.33% 62.88 87.5%
6 39 56.41% 57.69 76.92%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1102
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 30133
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 19735
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10102
Lose: Invader deck ran out 9001
Lose: Adversary condition 365
Win: Sacrifice victory 615
Lose: Scenario condition 821
Win: Scenario condition 1436
Lose: Blight pool ran out 35562
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2364

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-10-19 02:56:39 (Pacific Time)