The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7659 25.6% 25.7 0.398 88.28% -0.035 -0.1692
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5331 44.22% 25.5 -0.313 86.66% -0.24 -0.1939
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3692 25.95% 26.83 1.088 92.44% 0.997 0.8775
Downpour Drenches the World 124 25.81% 26.74 -0.496 87.1% -0.27 0.0789
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4683 15.27% 30.31 1.495 95.67% 0.618 0.1967
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3595 18.79% 28.33 0.301 94.46% 0.021 -0.5415
Finder of Paths Unseen 73 21.92% 25.36 -1.023 90.41% -0.078 0.3234
Fractured Days Split the Sky 765 33.64% 28.14 0.81 83.14% -0.237 -0.183
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 558 41.58% 27.99 -0.696 85.66% -0.11 -0.1185
Heart of the Wildfire 4896 57.94% 21.77 -1.189 75.9% -0.268 -0.0413
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6519 27.76% 26.86 0.641 91.12% 0.421 -0.1015
Lightning's Swift Strike 8939 42.19% 23.81 -1.137 80.66% -0.513 -0.2692
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 41 24.39% 29.85 0.874 95.12% 0.305 -0.5488
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 546 26.01% 28.95 2.614 92.86% 1.159 0.5499
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 386 34.11% 28.26 -0.082 90.16% 0.393 0.0155
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2091 26.04% 28.31 0.703 91.92% 0.366 0.1482
Many Minds Move as One 1248 20.53% 28.86 1.074 94.87% 0.413 -0.1261
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7476 40.14% 25.74 0.317 87.43% 0.514 0.1969
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3270 30.22% 25.7 -0.838 90.4% -0.293 -0.3086
River Surges in Sunlight 9781 39.07% 26.39 0.016 80.49% -0.351 -0.2989
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 668 37.71% 27.22 -0.338 81.89% -0.811 -0.4537
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 72 41.67% 32.19 2.393 94.44% 1.182 0.9519
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4095 29.73% 25.87 1.427 89.16% 0.201 0.1669
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 5422 54.28% 23.75 -1.352 78.94% -0.461 0.0058
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 24 29.17% 29.29 0.171 95.83% 0.185 0.2827
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 27 22.22% 28.33 0.212 92.59% 0.181 0.0059
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 450 32.67% 27.53 1.398 92.22% 0.449 0.3897
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 338 42.86% 26.62 -0.944 88.76% -0.39 -0.2291
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4767 28.09% 27.11 -0.094 89.6% -0.072 -0.3748
Shifting Memory of Ages 466 39.7% 25.81 -0.93 87.34% -0.114 -0.0747
Shroud of Silent Mist 884 44.0% 25.01 0.079 85.75% 0.011 0.3356
Starlight Seeks its Form 589 23.26% 28.67 1.377 89.64% 0.059 -0.1449
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1907 27.58% 24.24 -0.305 91.87% 0.356 0.1696
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2780 30.41% 25.54 0.458 86.15% 0.046 0.1308
Thunderspeaker 7007 31.69% 26.66 -0.138 85.91% -0.017 -0.0481
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1277 59.84% 21.82 -3.112 83.87% -0.938 -0.9818
Vital Strength of the Earth 6680 31.72% 22.34 -1.986 76.98% -0.659 0.1357
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 51 35.29% 23.94 -0.945 80.39% -0.385 0.0673
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 318 34.49% 22.51 -2.751 77.04% -0.425 0.6063
Volcano Looming High 1117 39.68% 25.38 -0.449 85.77% -0.856 -0.83

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 60.0% 24.2 -1.806 80.0% -0.203 -0.0948
Blitz 0 913 40.63% 23.33 -0.591 78.42% 0.24 0.5068
Dahan Insurrection 4 1155 20.36% 46.45 6.556 80.78% -0.733 -0.4001
Despicable Theft 2 99 36.36% 32.56 5.541 76.77% -0.217 0.0332
Elemental Invocation 1 174 42.53% 28.37 -1.849 81.03% -0.761 -0.1131
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1975 8.47% 30.78 0.157 86.73% -1.119 -0.9534
Powers Long Forgotten 1 394 52.67% 28.59 -0.893 75.38% -0.309 0.0165
Rituals of Terror 3 494 43.93% 35.93 2.91 72.27% -1.623 -1.7328
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 300 73.0% 33.23 3.344 67.67% -0.175 0.4819
Second Wave 0 942 50.42% 25.87 4.169 75.16% -0.466 0.0051
The Great River 3 140 42.86% 30.87 0.312 55.0% -1.86 -0.359
Varied Terrains 2 12 50.0% 28.83 -0.165 58.33% -1.124 -0.589
Ward the Shores 2 448 43.4% 31.04 1.164 72.54% -1.267 -0.0802

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 54127 39.2% 24.42 -0.244 82.94% 0.289 0.7364
1 Thematic 4362 41.6% 31.92 1.964 78.52% 0.093 0.6955
2 Archipelago 32 53.13% 35.59 1.646 65.63% -0.274 0.3925
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11303 32.63% 25.26 -0.554 88.11% -0.027 0.3643
2 Coastline 1189 33.68% 25.26 1.066 86.71% 0.2 0.2878
2 Fragment 291 37.89% 23.7 -0.028 85.57% 0.535 0.6013
2 Heart 158 36.08% 24.44 -0.242 86.71% 0.161 0.4332
2 Opposite Shores 1728 30.05% 26.0 0.828 90.91% 0.673 1.1653
2 Thematic 983 39.26% 34.02 -0.129 83.21% -0.721 -0.2528
2 Top to Top 307 32.13% 25.63 -0.139 92.83% -0.088 0.1944
3 Archipelago 16 50.0% 32.44 0.0 87.5%
3 Coastline 24 33.33% 29.29 7.793 75.0% 0.317 -0.3219
3 Other 132 34.11% 24.43 1.668 85.61% 0.413 -0.6765
3 Round (Default) 3470 23.37% 26.8 0.587 93.08% -0.081 0.187
3 Sunrise 17 56.25% 25.29 0.0 88.24%
3 Thematic 174 37.57% 35.76 2.732 82.76% 0.244 0.0201
4 Archipelago 7 28.57% 29.57 0.226 57.14% -0.562 -1.4133
4 Coastline 10 0.0% 50.5 0.0 90.0%
4 Leaf 4 50.0% 23.5 0.0 75.0%
4 Other 64 24.59% 25.11 0.858 87.5% 0.099 -0.3466
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 26.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 0.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 369 21.41% 35.81 -0.018 92.95% -0.282 -0.1858
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1597 23.0% 26.53 0.367 92.8% -0.223 -0.3603
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 27 29.63% 29.19 -0.991 77.78% -0.301 -0.0322
5 Thematic 5 0.0% 39.8 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 4 0.0% 33.0 1.81 100.0% 0.011 -0.5038
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 53.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 6 0.0% 29.0 -2.167 100.0% 0.012 0.9001
6 Star 6 0.0% 28.5 -1.301 100.0% 0.023 0.9171
6 Thematic 24 20.83% 34.17 3.655 91.67% 0.114 0.4767
6 Two Centers (Default) 43 30.23% 28.51 -0.471 93.02% -0.117 0.261

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1883 18.88 -4.665 61.66% -2.373 -0.5414
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1642 20.03 -3.62 63.34% -2.232 -0.5779
All Things Weaken 723 19.21 -2.926 61.55% -1.896 0.0805
Back Against the Wall 1470 19.34 -4.535 61.36% -2.619 -0.7598
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1733 16.91 -4.58 60.93% -2.296 -0.3214
Downward Spiral 6920 17.18 -4.665 62.43% -2.307 -0.4046
Erosion of Will 1783 18.17 -3.842 59.11% -1.929 0.1152
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 326 25.4 -2.102 95.09% -1.02 -0.448
Memory Fades to Dust 6926 17.0 -4.81 59.36% -2.337 -0.358
Power Corrodes the Spirit 745 19.17 -4.387 67.11% -2.18 -0.2886
Promising Farmlands 1837 17.68 -5.253 62.11% -2.36 -0.3208
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 210 25.32 -1.097 97.62% -0.007 0.4335
Thriving Communities 735 18.06 -3.766 62.72% -1.686 0.2781
Tipping Point 789 17.93 0.0 63.12%
Unnatural Proliferation 739 20.0 -3.039 63.6% -2.896 -0.9901
Untended Land Crumbles 728 18.29 -5.972 61.4% -2.861 -0.8266

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 18780 37.42% 24.51 -0.239 84.36% -0.092 0.6757
B 18987 36.22% 24.77 0.281 85.25% -0.059 0.6339
C 19515 34.41% 25.06 -0.444 85.78% -0.318 0.246
D 18325 35.1% 24.96 -0.073 85.72% -0.221 0.5468
E 4740 30.97% 26.33 0.699 88.9% -0.013 0.586
F 7786 30.35% 25.84 -0.414 88.86% -0.213 0.4961
G 7271 32.07% 25.7 0.314 88.91% 0.163 0.8889
H 7410 30.5% 25.83 -0.168 88.3% -0.202 0.4878
East 3580 37.58% 34.2 2.645 82.43% 0.306 0.9278
Northeast 2188 36.16% 34.35 1.659 83.27% -0.112 0.5697
Northwest 1595 36.13% 33.49 1.28 83.51% -0.391 0.6761
Southeast 365 30.58% 32.61 0.88 85.75% 0.376 1.1039
Southwest 353 40.63% 26.63 -3.558 77.9% -0.999 -0.0279
West 3029 40.2% 32.66 1.7 80.13% -0.244 0.7598

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1532 0.0% 21.72 -3.842 72.0% -2.174 -0.1625
Not Using Events or Tokens 20562 45.6% 23.0 -1.162 78.06% -0.181 0.0329
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1165 10.4% 33.59 3.286 94.42% 0.415 0.3215
Start of Game Growth 1824 13.58% 32.29 3.491 93.42% -0.277 -0.9851
Unlimited Undo 5022 29.84% 26.7 0.752 89.51% 0.537 -0.1627
Using Tokens but Not Events 6963 29.47% 25.65 -0.32 87.82% -0.09 -0.1356

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5150 22.6 40.93%
II 25004 31.02 77.49%
III 35180 34.59 89.45%
IV 15182 37.83 98.82%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.055 Win Model: 0.357
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 58671 39.42% 24.99 82.58%
2 15922 32.89% 25.86 88.12%
3 3780 24.31% 27.1 92.35%
4 2042 22.66% 28.34 92.51%
5 17 23.53% 28.59 82.35%
6 84 21.69% 30.67 94.05%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2103
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 30713
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18324
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14863
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1059
Lose: Adversary condition 140
Win: Sacrifice victory 317
Lose: Scenario condition 537
Win: Scenario condition 1636
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10227
Lose: Spirit destroyed 597

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5535 27.02% 30.97 -0.408 89.34% -0.142 -0.2767
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3462 48.52% 30.4 0.293 86.19% 0.046 0.0918
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2741 28.58% 31.62 0.032 92.08% 0.226 0.1057
Downpour Drenches the World 160 24.53% 30.44 -1.228 91.25% -0.42 -0.0711
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3709 20.11% 34.27 0.624 94.77% -0.271 -0.6917
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2788 25.06% 34.2 4.933 93.44% 0.726 0.1638
Finder of Paths Unseen 109 45.87% 27.57 -0.691 80.73% 0.014 0.4148
Fractured Days Split the Sky 883 34.13% 32.56 0.907 84.14% -0.084 -0.0294
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 802 37.95% 33.13 1.022 88.15% 0.065 0.0565
Heart of the Wildfire 3609 64.51% 25.17 -2.135 72.96% -0.456 -0.2293
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5342 35.45% 30.84 0.343 88.96% 0.216 -0.3065
Lightning's Swift Strike 5819 46.85% 28.25 -0.533 80.48% -0.131 0.1129
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 51 31.37% 33.12 0.944 98.04% 0.79 -0.0637
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 442 34.01% 33.61 2.776 93.89% 0.939 0.3295
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 350 37.71% 32.33 -1.317 85.43% -1.031 -1.4083
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1653 36.91% 32.51 -0.747 89.41% -0.044 -0.2623
Many Minds Move as One 1135 24.45% 33.46 0.595 94.63% 0.148 -0.3912
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5630 39.08% 31.38 1.473 90.07% 0.824 0.5075
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2602 31.41% 30.25 -0.42 89.82% 0.016 -0.0002
River Surges in Sunlight 6731 43.82% 30.84 1.134 81.44% 0.037 0.0891
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 572 43.26% 30.61 -0.865 82.69% -0.73 -0.3723
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 81 44.44% 35.54 0.161 85.19% -0.56 -0.7906
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3010 35.7% 30.31 -0.114 87.38% 0.173 0.1387
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3524 62.42% 27.06 -2.748 75.51% -0.488 -0.0211
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 25 52.0% 36.6 1.288 96.0% 0.556 0.6534
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 25 36.0% 36.0 -0.754 88.0% -0.446 -0.6211
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 376 40.96% 32.39 0.013 89.63% 0.786 0.7263
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 241 53.97% 29.17 1.133 81.33% 0.56 0.7209
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3825 32.02% 31.53 0.25 87.71% -0.216 -0.5186
Shifting Memory of Ages 645 40.78% 29.77 -0.477 86.36% -0.019 0.0198
Shroud of Silent Mist 771 49.22% 29.12 -0.478 87.68% -0.159 0.1657
Starlight Seeks its Form 632 29.95% 31.89 0.376 92.09% 0.447 0.2427
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1556 29.27% 29.72 -0.626 91.39% -0.169 -0.3549
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2429 31.9% 30.48 -1.296 87.65% -0.27 -0.186
Thunderspeaker 5357 35.74% 31.36 -0.04 85.91% 0.008 -0.0235
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1159 65.07% 26.89 -1.184 84.12% -0.05 -0.0943
Vital Strength of the Earth 4526 36.92% 27.09 -1.783 79.45% -0.222 0.5723
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 42 40.48% 29.1 -2.098 88.1% -0.894 -0.4418
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 319 35.85% 25.54 0.022 75.24% 0.731 1.7616
Volcano Looming High 1006 46.16% 28.04 -1.26 85.79% -0.207 -0.1813

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 25.0% 25.5 -0.014 75.0% 0.055 0.1636
Blitz 0 759 41.91% 27.12 -0.391 77.34% -0.232 0.0347
Dahan Insurrection 4 828 30.1% 47.75 6.623 74.03% -1.523 -1.1899
Despicable Theft 2 91 39.56% 39.04 3.472 86.81% -0.246 0.005
Elemental Invocation 1 143 50.7% 29.65 -2.043 76.92% -0.897 -0.249
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1605 10.59% 36.14 5.717 82.55% -0.07 0.096
Powers Long Forgotten 1 396 57.07% 31.92 1.783 74.49% 0.074 0.4
Rituals of Terror 3 375 50.13% 38.4 4.797 71.47% -0.518 -0.628
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 277 73.29% 34.76 -0.218 63.9% -0.727 -0.0698
Second Wave 0 3862 42.18% 31.9 1.697 81.25% -0.494 -0.023
The Great River 3 107 45.79% 37.13 4.982 69.16% -0.505 0.9955
Varied Terrains 2 15 60.0% 34.13 2.037 66.67% -0.741 -0.2053
Ward the Shores 2 370 48.78% 34.22 2.284 70.27% -0.182 1.0052

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 38094 42.75% 28.67 -1.119 83.02% -0.022 0.4251
1 Thematic 3435 46.1% 35.2 5.608 74.99% -0.098 0.5044
2 Archipelago 25 64.0% 37.44 -5.757 80.0% -0.543 0.1229
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8129 36.93% 30.18 -0.251 89.01% -0.13 0.2612
2 Coastline 1027 36.09% 30.85 0.474 89.97% 0.565 0.6537
2 Fragment 265 35.98% 29.8 -0.094 88.3% 0.615 0.6807
2 Heart 140 46.04% 28.06 -1.063 79.29% 0.351 0.6231
2 Opposite Shores 1832 32.83% 30.72 -0.261 91.48% -0.207 0.2853
2 Thematic 924 45.33% 37.44 2.185 82.9% 0.265 0.7331
2 Top to Top 314 37.18% 29.51 -0.298 85.67% -0.377 -0.0949
3 Archipelago 15 40.0% 42.27 7.014 93.33% 0.319 -0.0643
3 Coastline 18 44.44% 37.83 2.251 88.89% 0.046 -0.593
3 Other 126 36.89% 29.48 3.03 87.3% 0.594 -0.4948
3 Round (Default) 2955 29.38% 31.61 0.101 91.37% -0.377 -0.1086
3 Sunrise 21 23.81% 32.29 0.138 100.0% 0.012 -0.2074
3 Thematic 149 51.7% 35.87 2.962 81.21% -0.072 -0.2958
4 Archipelago 10 50.0% 44.0 3.675 100.0% 0.044 -0.8074
4 Coastline 8 12.5% 39.0 0.0 87.5%
4 Leaf 10 30.0% 31.4 -0.401 90.0% 0.012 0.2527
4 Other 70 34.78% 31.33 -0.118 88.57% 0.046 -0.4001
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 244 34.3% 41.18 -4.243 86.48% -0.51 -0.4139
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1312 28.29% 31.85 -0.419 91.77% -0.266 -0.4029
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 58.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 27 25.0% 39.74 0.211 81.48% 0.046 0.3151
6 Archipelago 5 40.0% 32.8 3.086 60.0% 0.003 -0.5119
6 Other 10 20.0% 44.9 16.912 100.0% 0.092 0.9799
6 Star 10 30.0% 31.7 -3.915 90.0% 0.131 1.0256
6 Thematic 29 24.14% 41.76 -1.903 89.66% 0.117 0.4801
6 Two Centers (Default) 20 20.0% 33.9 0.619 90.0% -0.599 -0.2211
7 Other 4 66.67% 33.5 0.213 50.0% 0.04 -0.8955

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1586 23.4 -3.746 63.93% -2.369 -0.538
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1269 24.73 -3.271 66.35% -2.046 -0.3918
All Things Weaken 719 23.86 -3.359 65.37% -1.744 0.2321
Back Against the Wall 1332 23.95 -2.058 63.51% -1.672 0.1868
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1626 21.21 -3.529 61.07% -2.067 -0.0928
Downward Spiral 4920 22.46 -4.215 67.76% -2.125 -0.2235
Erosion of Will 1647 22.89 -4.579 61.32% -2.7 -0.6565
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 321 30.12 -1.299 96.88% 0.373 0.9451
Memory Fades to Dust 4935 21.89 -3.863 62.74% -2.261 -0.2815
Power Corrodes the Spirit 674 23.74 -4.43 70.77% -2.298 -0.4064
Promising Farmlands 1590 21.99 -4.665 63.33% -2.392 -0.3536
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 239 29.79 -1.094 97.49% 0.355 0.7962
Thriving Communities 663 22.69 -4.017 65.91% -1.904 0.0602
Tipping Point 669 20.79 0.0 57.55%
Unnatural Proliferation 770 24.58 -2.677 68.83% -1.779 0.127
Untended Land Crumbles 741 22.86 -4.898 66.13% -2.54 -0.5053

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 13709 40.94% 29.1 -0.522 84.55% -0.074 0.6942
B 13994 38.6% 29.58 -0.37 86.13% 0.022 0.7145
C 14416 38.93% 29.82 -0.147 86.74% 0.052 0.6163
D 13449 39.33% 29.55 -0.042 85.97% 0.204 0.9723
E 4137 35.51% 30.84 0.29 88.54% 0.06 0.659
F 6126 34.41% 30.49 -0.475 88.02% -0.014 0.6958
G 5602 35.09% 30.42 -0.236 88.65% 0.084 0.8103
H 5862 33.95% 30.6 -0.153 88.26% 0.002 0.6925
East 2996 42.9% 37.8 -0.18 79.17% -0.736 -0.1142
Northeast 1768 41.91% 38.39 9.698 79.36% 0.488 1.1689
Northwest 1290 43.34% 36.67 -1.891 80.93% -0.382 0.6849
Southeast 353 43.63% 35.82 -1.535 82.15% -0.217 0.5105
Southwest 352 47.16% 32.48 -2.598 76.7% -0.853 0.1177
West 2485 48.61% 35.3 0.219 77.06% -0.133 0.87

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 942 0.0% 26.65 -1.146 78.24% -0.838 1.1731
Not Using Events or Tokens 12268 46.25% 28.07 0.073 80.41% -0.283 -0.0685
Skip Initial Invader Actions 687 13.61% 39.8 1.912 93.3% -1.152 -1.2453
Start of Game Growth 1222 16.57% 38.68 2.073 94.03% 0.281 -0.4264
Unlimited Undo 4438 34.51% 31.04 0.301 89.23% 0.311 -0.3887
Using Tokens but Not Events 5888 33.38% 30.12 -0.902 88.6% -0.358 -0.4031

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2885 22.6 24.3%
II 14687 31.02 71.78%
III 27566 34.59 90.11%
IV 14101 37.83 98.84%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.063 Win Model: 0.296
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 41670 43.09% 29.22 82.32%
2 12597 36.86% 30.8 88.88%
3 3244 30.32% 31.76 91.25%
4 1638 29.4% 33.38 90.78%
5 14 25.0% 36.79 85.71%
6 76 26.67% 37.8 86.84%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 699
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 24179
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9930
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 13774
Lose: Invader deck ran out 579
Lose: Adversary condition 95
Win: Sacrifice victory 271
Lose: Scenario condition 503
Win: Scenario condition 1169
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7578
Lose: Spirit destroyed 462

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6640 31.59% 40.0 1.168 89.89% 0.568 0.4337
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4438 56.81% 37.72 0.535 81.93% 0.164 0.2098
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3467 36.48% 39.44 -0.142 89.65% 0.055 -0.0652
Downpour Drenches the World 264 30.68% 40.04 0.134 89.02% -0.149 0.1999
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5139 25.13% 43.69 1.585 94.05% 0.105 -0.3158
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3484 31.22% 42.46 2.339 92.51% 0.553 -0.0089
Finder of Paths Unseen 146 36.3% 37.18 -0.699 84.93% -0.005 0.3958
Fractured Days Split the Sky 930 37.96% 41.74 1.979 84.3% -0.392 -0.3377
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1054 41.67% 40.35 0.222 87.86% 0.514 0.5058
Heart of the Wildfire 4964 64.13% 34.1 0.157 75.04% -0.158 0.069
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7901 38.86% 39.56 -0.528 87.67% -0.374 -0.8971
Lightning's Swift Strike 6449 49.45% 37.3 0.081 81.52% -0.213 0.0302
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 114 46.49% 41.0 1.181 92.98% 0.735 -0.1185
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 660 37.48% 42.0 2.223 87.73% 0.004 -0.6056
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 509 37.28% 45.55 1.415 89.78% -0.329 -0.7065
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2533 39.46% 40.93 0.025 88.67% -0.472 -0.6896
Many Minds Move as One 1517 25.91% 42.54 2.734 94.92% 1.511 0.9722
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7067 48.26% 38.91 0.736 85.86% 0.285 -0.0315
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3461 36.6% 39.45 0.431 89.97% 0.622 0.6066
River Surges in Sunlight 8259 48.77% 39.63 0.085 82.83% -0.491 -0.4383
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 878 42.65% 42.29 2.213 82.35% 0.658 1.0154
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 126 36.8% 43.16 1.465 85.71% -0.122 -0.352
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4313 42.48% 38.59 0.55 85.97% -0.097 -0.1311
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3631 63.68% 35.45 -2.054 75.08% -0.65 -0.1829
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 42 42.86% 42.4 0.167 88.1% 0.036 0.1335
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 48 44.68% 43.44 3.014 91.67% 0.502 0.3269
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 413 50.61% 39.59 0.455 87.17% 0.115 0.0551
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 364 57.3% 38.5 2.763 79.4% 0.765 0.9259
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5362 36.19% 40.33 0.684 87.64% 0.209 -0.093
Shifting Memory of Ages 811 53.02% 38.08 -1.057 84.59% -0.636 -0.597
Shroud of Silent Mist 1072 65.26% 34.8 -1.542 78.08% -0.39 -0.0658
Starlight Seeks its Form 941 37.42% 39.7 0.182 87.78% 0.041 -0.1636
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2455 36.22% 37.89 -0.977 89.37% 0.023 -0.1627
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2809 37.11% 39.57 -0.444 86.44% -0.309 -0.2246
Thunderspeaker 6676 40.26% 40.73 0.442 87.15% 0.418 0.387
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1781 74.79% 32.88 -4.227 75.8% -0.846 -0.8899
Vital Strength of the Earth 5031 39.59% 35.83 -2.553 80.1% -1.27 -0.4752
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 81 37.04% 40.81 0.148 90.12% 0.28 0.7324
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 507 26.04% 35.89 -1.537 84.42% -0.842 0.189
Volcano Looming High 1659 45.9% 36.92 -1.264 84.93% -0.2 -0.1743

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 33.33% 47.0 1.184 100.0% 0.033 0.142
Blitz 0 860 49.7% 35.15 -0.075 76.51% 0.107 0.3743
Dahan Insurrection 4 1043 25.31% 61.13 9.564 82.17% -0.392 -0.0598
Despicable Theft 2 56 58.93% 45.23 0.637 76.79% -0.804 -0.5535
Elemental Invocation 1 145 58.62% 37.39 2.553 75.86% 0.339 0.9871
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2473 10.22% 45.37 3.63 87.3% -0.695 -0.5295
Powers Long Forgotten 1 339 57.1% 40.74 5.996 76.4% 0.407 0.7324
Rituals of Terror 3 281 61.92% 45.38 2.087 67.62% -0.258 -0.368
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 157 68.79% 46.66 -0.438 75.8% -0.791 -0.1344
Second Wave 0 3306 47.85% 38.76 -0.408 76.53% -0.717 -0.2459
The Great River 3 116 53.45% 40.84 -1.106 56.03% -1.488 0.0124
Varied Terrains 2 11 54.55% 51.09 5.531 90.91% 0.097 0.6324
Ward the Shores 2 339 46.29% 44.95 -5.166 78.17% -1.403 -0.2156

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 46103 47.19% 37.0 -0.897 82.24% -0.417 0.0306
1 Thematic 3167 50.32% 42.61 3.533 76.32% -0.113 0.4897
2 Archipelago 18 33.33% 50.22 9.47 77.78% 0.061 0.7274
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10601 43.9% 38.32 -0.052 87.5% -0.008 0.3835
2 Coastline 1257 40.06% 39.31 -0.139 87.43% 0.067 0.1553
2 Fragment 314 45.31% 37.25 -0.321 85.03% -0.251 -0.1848
2 Heart 135 47.01% 38.82 4.679 87.41% 0.804 1.0765
2 Opposite Shores 2467 40.0% 38.9 -0.043 88.73% 0.142 0.6345
2 Thematic 1244 45.73% 44.7 2.39 79.98% 0.453 0.9215
2 Top to Top 400 38.19% 39.9 -0.83 90.25% -0.291 -0.0085
3 Archipelago 18 44.44% 64.67 7.855 88.89% 0.162 -0.2211
3 Coastline 19 42.11% 43.58 0.0 89.47%
3 Other 266 42.48% 41.09 3.818 93.98% 0.393 -0.6963
3 Round (Default) 4051 36.83% 39.82 -0.831 90.18% -0.546 -0.2775
3 Sunrise 29 37.93% 42.1 -1.886 96.55% 0.023 -0.1963
3 Thematic 236 49.79% 45.57 5.706 79.66% 0.773 0.5494
4 Archipelago 11 45.45% 47.36 1.207 90.91% 0.039 -0.8124
4 Coastline 6 33.33% 39.5 -1.94 83.33% 0.02 0.0276
4 Leaf 15 33.33% 46.4 2.999 100.0% 0.14 0.3809
4 Other 103 53.4% 43.13 0.932 88.35% 0.113 -0.3332
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 453 42.95% 49.1 -1.714 86.98% -0.309 -0.213
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2088 30.45% 41.79 1.684 91.91% -0.158 -0.295
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 53.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 1 100.0% 40.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 67 37.88% 56.33 1.172 92.54% 0.338 0.6077
5 Thematic 11 36.36% 58.45 0.0 90.91%
6 Other 10 10.0% 65.2 -3.482 90.0% 0.001 0.8896
6 Star 8 50.0% 41.5 -0.645 100.0% 0.132 1.0268
6 Thematic 73 8.33% 63.7 1.784 80.82% -0.561 -0.1978
6 Two Centers (Default) 117 16.24% 47.54 0.081 94.87% -0.488 -0.1095

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2418 30.54 -4.209 64.39% -2.24 -0.4084
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2005 32.25 -3.984 66.13% -2.286 -0.6315
All Things Weaken 1189 30.12 -4.744 63.33% -2.411 -0.435
Back Against the Wall 1879 31.27 -4.711 63.33% -2.42 -0.5613
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2256 28.25 -4.647 62.72% -2.011 -0.0366
Downward Spiral 5957 30.71 -4.147 69.95% -2.105 -0.203
Erosion of Will 2505 30.54 -5.082 63.59% -2.472 -0.4281
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 501 40.46 1.281 98.2% 0.583 1.1558
Memory Fades to Dust 6099 30.22 -4.183 66.42% -2.112 -0.133
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1089 31.18 -4.219 69.61% -2.261 -0.3689
Promising Farmlands 2395 30.37 -3.641 67.93% -1.755 0.2834
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 315 40.03 -0.481 96.51% 0.384 0.8252
Thriving Communities 1069 30.19 -4.703 66.7% -2.071 -0.1063
Tipping Point 971 29.87 0.0 64.78%
Unnatural Proliferation 1138 31.2 -3.689 65.11% -1.945 -0.039
Untended Land Crumbles 1080 31.0 -5.079 68.24% -2.377 -0.3424

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 17418 44.67% 37.83 0.166 84.31% 0.125 0.8927
B 18098 43.52% 38.18 0.296 85.48% 0.141 0.8333
C 18697 43.92% 38.32 -0.088 85.64% -0.013 0.5511
D 16965 44.21% 38.16 -0.153 85.57% 0.03 0.7978
E 5532 41.31% 39.75 0.067 88.32% -0.278 0.3207
F 8183 40.14% 39.15 -0.279 87.4% -0.11 0.6001
G 7437 40.91% 38.97 -0.11 87.35% -0.041 0.6846
H 7675 39.14% 39.43 -0.238 87.71% -0.17 0.5201
East 3406 45.89% 45.54 2.409 79.27% -0.554 0.0686
Northeast 2023 43.75% 46.63 3.725 81.81% 0.269 0.9498
Northwest 1619 44.32% 46.42 1.884 82.64% -0.327 0.7396
Southeast 451 39.78% 46.35 2.114 78.94% 0.043 0.7709
Southwest 425 42.22% 43.62 0.017 76.24% -0.546 0.4247
West 2966 47.5% 44.89 1.076 79.3% -0.276 0.727

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 633 0.0% 36.42 0.262 77.09% -0.921 1.0906
Not Using Events or Tokens 11573 51.07% 36.59 -0.257 80.96% -0.178 0.0363
Skip Initial Invader Actions 777 12.33% 49.01 -0.013 94.85% -0.454 -0.5478
Start of Game Growth 1521 15.97% 47.39 2.513 94.54% 0.535 -0.1727
Unlimited Undo 6156 38.86% 39.64 0.995 88.79% 0.473 -0.2267
Using Tokens but Not Events 7135 36.48% 39.06 0.248 87.3% 0.314 0.2687

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4055 22.6 29.45%
II 18930 31.02 68.56%
III 32682 34.59 91.23%
IV 17641 37.83 99.34%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.329 Win Model: 0.22
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 49433 47.43% 37.38 81.85%
2 16402 42.99% 38.98 87.06%
3 4558 37.58% 40.38 90.24%
4 2682 33.13% 43.42 91.39%
5 41 35.0% 60.51 85.37%
6 192 15.18% 51.17 89.58%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1192
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 29160
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 12121
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17367
Lose: Invader deck ran out 651
Lose: Adversary condition 134
Win: Sacrifice victory 296
Lose: Scenario condition 522
Win: Scenario condition 1376
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9977
Lose: Spirit destroyed 512

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6102 36.51% 45.87 0.624 85.69% 0.114 -0.02
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4046 67.76% 42.04 0.476 76.67% 0.187 0.2328
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3126 42.56% 45.68 1.092 88.52% 0.687 0.5672
Downpour Drenches the World 253 37.94% 44.11 -0.189 83.79% -0.245 0.1033
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5155 28.54% 50.44 3.276 93.95% 0.925 0.5042
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3326 34.91% 48.58 1.421 91.61% 0.407 -0.1546
Finder of Paths Unseen 114 54.39% 39.49 -1.924 71.93% -0.613 -0.2115
Fractured Days Split the Sky 951 44.37% 46.59 0.369 77.39% -0.902 -0.8482
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1138 46.31% 46.04 -0.535 85.06% -0.014 -0.0225
Heart of the Wildfire 5193 70.78% 37.52 -4.774 66.86% -0.704 -0.4779
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9256 45.93% 45.18 0.855 85.49% 0.394 -0.1287
Lightning's Swift Strike 5592 57.69% 41.46 -1.612 75.07% -0.282 -0.0382
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 103 61.0% 47.43 1.613 87.38% 0.425 -0.4288
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 658 46.12% 47.72 2.117 88.6% 0.634 0.0241
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 500 47.9% 45.7 2.381 81.4% 0.748 0.3709
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2682 47.09% 45.88 0.997 85.42% 0.477 0.259
Many Minds Move as One 1617 31.85% 48.94 2.128 93.26% 0.863 0.3235
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7371 50.85% 44.88 0.294 83.72% 0.181 -0.1358
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3805 41.02% 44.96 0.399 87.1% 0.159 0.1435
River Surges in Sunlight 8435 52.42% 45.23 0.871 78.08% 0.123 0.175
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 735 46.59% 45.6 0.363 75.78% -0.41 -0.0526
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 124 47.54% 48.1 0.89 81.45% -0.272 -0.5025
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4064 45.61% 44.48 0.055 83.49% -0.104 -0.1384
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3115 71.07% 39.34 -0.159 68.31% 0.234 0.7015
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 42 52.38% 45.45 -0.054 80.95% -0.231 -0.134
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 44 56.82% 48.39 0.993 93.18% 0.137 -0.0384
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 480 47.71% 46.68 2.61 85.21% 0.542 0.4826
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 302 61.92% 42.06 1.47 75.5% 0.171 0.3318
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5524 40.57% 45.96 0.285 84.81% 0.003 -0.2991
Shifting Memory of Ages 796 57.74% 43.1 -1.427 83.04% -0.352 -0.313
Shroud of Silent Mist 822 71.62% 40.03 0.348 74.45% 0.193 0.5175
Starlight Seeks its Form 1194 37.86% 45.51 0.682 87.52% 0.168 -0.0368
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2579 41.84% 42.92 -0.75 86.2% 0.153 -0.0335
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3098 39.46% 46.01 0.599 86.02% -0.053 0.031
Thunderspeaker 5855 46.01% 46.15 0.719 83.43% 0.171 0.1398
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1878 81.88% 38.13 -3.634 73.27% -0.632 -0.6754
Vital Strength of the Earth 4570 47.58% 40.71 -2.456 72.89% -1.07 -0.2756
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 75 43.24% 44.83 0.79 88.0% 0.668 1.1199
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 315 52.7% 37.21 -5.82 62.54% -2.146 -1.1151
Volcano Looming High 1503 56.0% 41.08 -1.623 78.24% -0.466 -0.4399

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 50.0% 63.0 13.584 100.0% 0.086 0.1942
Blitz 0 831 53.33% 39.96 -3.097 73.04% -0.653 -0.3863
Dahan Insurrection 4 956 28.51% 68.51 11.668 83.26% -0.371 -0.0386
Despicable Theft 2 41 68.29% 44.76 6.976 58.54% 0.25 0.5005
Elemental Invocation 1 81 71.6% 41.17 3.251 65.43% 0.288 0.9365
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2716 10.84% 52.1 4.167 89.91% 0.253 0.4192
Powers Long Forgotten 1 186 68.82% 44.64 -1.145 67.74% -0.422 -0.0964
Rituals of Terror 3 126 66.67% 48.25 -0.143 60.32% -0.913 -1.0231
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 98 80.61% 46.86 -0.743 58.16% -0.624 0.0331
Second Wave 0 2335 53.3% 43.61 0.28 71.43% -0.666 -0.1949
The Great River 3 61 68.85% 45.1 0.0 50.82%
Varied Terrains 2 3 100.0% 58.67 8.632 100.0% 0.266 0.8018
Ward the Shores 2 151 62.25% 49.27 6.43 70.2% 0.283 1.4697

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 50227 53.92% 42.13 -0.876 77.58% -0.195 0.2528
1 Thematic 2389 51.22% 49.33 4.012 73.04% 0.358 0.9606
2 Archipelago 17 58.82% 54.88 0.0 76.47%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10441 47.23% 44.71 0.281 85.25% 0.174 0.5654
2 Coastline 1384 41.6% 45.46 -2.316 86.71% -0.724 -0.6357
2 Fragment 227 58.74% 40.0 -2.968 73.13% -0.713 -0.6467
2 Heart 114 56.14% 43.76 5.61 83.33% 0.727 0.9991
2 Opposite Shores 2274 46.5% 45.14 0.742 84.56% -0.047 0.4458
2 Thematic 899 57.57% 48.33 1.792 72.19% -0.638 -0.1703
2 Top to Top 365 49.45% 44.58 4.127 84.93% 0.614 0.8964
3 Archipelago 9 66.67% 65.56 12.05 100.0% 0.455 0.0719
3 Coastline 46 36.96% 47.13 0.0 78.26%
3 Other 237 36.86% 46.14 -1.627 90.3% -0.3 -1.3896
3 Round (Default) 3490 39.41% 46.64 0.618 88.28% -0.115 0.1535
3 Sunrise 20 35.0% 46.9 -0.141 90.0% 0.096 -0.1241
3 Thematic 157 56.69% 53.01 4.863 84.08% 0.771 0.5471
4 Archipelago 8 37.5% 58.63 12.355 87.5% 0.044 -0.8072
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 44.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 11 63.64% 42.73 0.0 72.73%
4 Other 84 46.43% 47.01 1.277 91.67% -0.264 -0.7099
4 Snake 3 33.33% 50.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 313 38.46% 56.27 -3.506 87.22% -0.513 -0.4168
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2084 34.86% 48.58 1.701 91.22% 0.547 0.4097
5 Archipelago 5 60.0% 62.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Other 37 47.22% 50.78 2.877 91.89% 0.093 0.3624
5 Thematic 7 57.14% 77.71 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 32.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 4 0.0% 48.0 -1.439 100.0% 0.003 0.891
6 Star 13 15.38% 50.38 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 13 30.77% 49.15 -0.992 76.92% 0.082 0.4452
6 Two Centers (Default) 75 26.67% 49.53 -0.431 94.67% -0.416 -0.038

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2953 35.81 -2.889 61.16% -1.733 0.0986
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2258 38.21 -1.801 65.94% -1.783 -0.1284
All Things Weaken 1424 34.66 -6.478 59.13% -2.811 -0.8348
Back Against the Wall 2223 36.77 -4.574 61.49% -2.199 -0.3399
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2715 33.22 -6.389 59.15% -2.535 -0.5606
Downward Spiral 6487 36.03 -5.473 65.69% -2.392 -0.4898
Erosion of Will 2828 35.04 -4.429 59.02% -2.25 -0.2063
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 567 45.7 0.165 92.77% -0.017 0.5554
Memory Fades to Dust 6637 34.78 -5.452 60.98% -2.478 -0.4988
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1395 35.18 -6.09 62.94% -2.348 -0.4562
Promising Farmlands 2850 35.21 -5.469 63.12% -2.36 -0.3215
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 368 47.02 1.37 95.92% 0.746 1.1868
Thriving Communities 1365 35.16 -4.725 64.1% -2.076 -0.1119
Tipping Point 1157 34.37 -14.101 59.64% -0.866 -0.3771
Unnatural Proliferation 1496 37.58 -4.47 66.31% -2.283 -0.3768
Untended Land Crumbles 1357 35.22 -4.312 63.23% -1.904 0.1305

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 17203 50.64% 43.24 -0.151 80.07% 0.017 0.7854
B 18120 48.6% 43.93 0.268 81.87% 0.01 0.7022
C 18915 49.07% 44.05 0.501 82.33% 0.113 0.6771
D 16285 49.94% 43.52 -0.09 81.04% -0.052 0.7164
E 5896 47.13% 44.64 -0.177 84.11% -0.166 0.4327
F 8576 45.64% 44.73 0.203 84.1% 0.18 0.8892
G 7881 46.74% 44.47 0.249 84.0% 0.179 0.9053
H 8180 44.42% 45.33 0.062 85.45% -0.127 0.5629
East 2445 51.23% 50.77 1.365 75.75% -0.067 0.5555
Northeast 1412 50.32% 51.79 1.191 78.54% -0.43 0.2516
Northwest 1065 50.09% 50.97 1.128 78.12% -0.405 0.6624
Southeast 344 51.16% 49.41 0.395 75.58% -0.895 -0.1667
Southwest 311 52.73% 44.82 0.439 74.28% 0.495 1.4661
West 2096 52.96% 50.41 4.141 74.67% 0.269 1.2722

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 472 0.0% 39.77 2.874 66.1% -0.505 1.506
Not Using Events or Tokens 9449 59.05% 40.91 -1.142 73.31% -0.319 -0.1044
Skip Initial Invader Actions 752 7.92% 58.19 2.22 96.01% -0.815 -0.9083
Start of Game Growth 1568 14.42% 55.21 3.879 94.39% 1.127 0.4198
Unlimited Undo 6181 41.29% 46.07 2.132 86.46% 0.713 0.0138
Using Tokens but Not Events 7451 42.94% 44.67 -0.88 84.36% -0.324 -0.369

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5080 22.6 19.35%
II 25360 31.02 68.84%
III 30175 34.59 90.01%
IV 14355 37.83 99.5%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.257 Win Model: 0.266
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 52756 53.81% 42.47 77.4%
2 15700 47.49% 44.98 84.36%
3 3895 39.61% 46.84 88.14%
4 2503 35.76% 49.6 90.65%
5 11 70.0% 58.55 90.91%
6 105 24.76% 49.53 93.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 983
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 26698
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 16625
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14189
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1396
Lose: Adversary condition 138
Win: Sacrifice victory 294
Lose: Scenario condition 382
Win: Scenario condition 1096
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12534
Lose: Spirit destroyed 635

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4531 35.93% 48.29 -0.731 83.18% -0.444 -0.578
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3286 67.94% 44.01 -0.288 75.2% 0.261 0.3068
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2779 44.19% 47.54 -0.367 85.61% 0.131 0.0116
Downpour Drenches the World 245 37.14% 48.0 0.374 85.71% 0.322 0.6703
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4442 27.89% 53.49 3.008 93.72% 1.374 0.9532
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2999 34.8% 50.01 1.819 88.93% 1.083 0.5212
Finder of Paths Unseen 110 51.82% 42.8 -2.43 73.64% -0.87 -0.4685
Fractured Days Split the Sky 894 39.26% 51.45 0.125 81.1% -0.882 -0.8278
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 875 54.92% 45.44 2.229 73.83% 0.759 0.7508
Heart of the Wildfire 4363 68.84% 41.31 -2.129 69.72% -0.256 -0.0298
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8232 42.94% 48.58 0.792 86.04% 0.584 0.0619
Lightning's Swift Strike 4874 51.25% 45.27 -1.31 77.37% -0.193 0.051
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 134 59.7% 49.19 0.811 84.33% 0.477 -0.3771
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 664 38.1% 50.69 1.714 89.61% 0.473 -0.1363
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 432 42.36% 51.87 0.354 88.43% -0.047 -0.4245
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2503 44.78% 48.85 0.697 85.18% 0.175 -0.043
Many Minds Move as One 1367 31.41% 52.09 1.79 94.37% 0.65 0.1112
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5758 50.68% 47.14 0.24 81.35% 0.198 -0.1185
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2887 43.49% 46.91 -0.474 83.65% -0.096 -0.1123
River Surges in Sunlight 6178 52.21% 48.49 0.039 77.79% -0.343 -0.2904
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 480 43.93% 49.42 2.696 79.38% 0.599 0.9567
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 151 48.67% 54.01 3.12 90.07% 0.397 0.1665
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3275 45.48% 46.77 -0.333 81.83% 0.126 0.0919
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1971 68.17% 42.12 -1.467 67.33% 0.013 0.4804
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 32 62.5% 44.09 -2.359 75.0% -0.409 -0.3117
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 43 51.16% 51.81 2.469 93.02% 0.951 0.7758
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 360 63.06% 43.97 -5.946 73.33% -1.337 -1.3965
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 219 69.86% 43.16 -1.221 70.32% 0.024 0.1842
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6873 29.91% 51.13 1.165 88.67% 0.235 -0.0675
Shifting Memory of Ages 726 57.85% 45.13 -0.943 79.61% -0.056 -0.0176
Shroud of Silent Mist 590 78.44% 40.79 -3.151 70.34% -0.377 -0.0527
Starlight Seeks its Form 1262 38.03% 48.23 0.843 86.13% 0.387 0.1828
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2542 37.35% 46.25 -2.091 87.49% -0.336 -0.5223
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2557 43.26% 47.81 -0.96 82.09% -0.489 -0.4047
Thunderspeaker 4349 47.24% 47.99 0.54 81.65% 0.083 0.0525
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1745 80.97% 41.33 -1.392 74.79% 0.274 0.2301
Vital Strength of the Earth 2957 52.31% 39.65 -3.869 58.81% -1.478 -0.6834
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 82 45.12% 45.43 -1.153 75.61% -0.727 -0.2747
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 187 47.59% 40.34 -7.265 61.5% -1.631 -0.6002
Volcano Looming High 1567 51.88% 45.7 -1.438 81.88% -0.081 -0.0554

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 430 52.51% 42.37 -0.183 70.7% -0.031 0.2358
Dahan Insurrection 4 574 30.14% 73.9 11.86 82.75% 0.356 0.6885
Despicable Theft 2 21 66.67% 45.33 -2.641 52.38% -0.543 -0.2921
Elemental Invocation 1 43 60.47% 46.09 5.886 72.09% 0.415 1.0636
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2105 12.81% 54.36 3.039 89.55% 0.138 0.3038
Powers Long Forgotten 1 121 73.55% 44.75 -13.746 61.98% -0.765 -0.4391
Rituals of Terror 3 136 58.82% 53.71 8.956 60.29% 0.015 -0.0943
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 81 79.01% 48.35 0.0 53.09%
Second Wave 0 1506 52.86% 46.2 -1.358 70.65% -1.127 -0.6561
The Great River 3 42 71.43% 46.74 10.591 50.0% 0.298 1.7988
Varied Terrains 2 2 50.0% 56.0 3.301 100.0% 0.015 0.5501
Ward the Shores 2 100 63.0% 51.22 0.965 67.0% 0.058 1.2451

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 47902 48.92% 45.84 -0.851 79.01% -0.821 -0.3734
1 Thematic 1793 53.18% 52.1 3.081 69.99% -0.42 0.1833
2 Archipelago 10 90.0% 50.0 0.0 70.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7791 48.29% 47.17 0.849 83.39% 0.338 0.7291
2 Coastline 1144 41.66% 48.28 1.519 86.19% 0.952 1.0397
2 Fragment 144 53.15% 47.15 -4.786 82.64% -0.504 -0.4379
2 Heart 68 43.28% 48.59 0.0 88.24%
2 Opposite Shores 1437 46.8% 47.03 0.681 82.32% 0.122 0.6143
2 Thematic 545 55.25% 50.92 0.93 71.38% 0.122 0.5903
2 Top to Top 322 42.5% 48.24 -0.818 85.4% -0.247 0.0354
3 Archipelago 4 50.0% 48.25 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 48 25.0% 57.65 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 114 52.63% 47.14 0.81 83.33% 0.26 -0.8293
3 Round (Default) 2832 37.47% 49.54 0.426 88.45% 0.629 0.8975
3 Sunrise 11 18.18% 50.27 0.0 90.91%
3 Thematic 93 64.52% 50.47 -5.048 72.04% -0.152 -0.3751
4 Archipelago 6 66.67% 46.0 0.0 66.67%
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 9 66.67% 47.22 3.14 88.89% 0.234 0.4751
4 Other 58 38.6% 48.81 0.248 82.76% 0.067 -0.3784
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 382 39.37% 59.45 3.801 87.43% 0.415 0.5107
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1379 37.81% 50.23 0.497 88.91% 1.014 0.8766
5 Archipelago 4 100.0% 70.5 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 63.0 5.314 100.0% 0.248 -0.2644
5 Other 32 40.0% 49.19 -6.504 75.0% -0.834 -0.5648
5 Thematic 4 25.0% 57.75 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 72.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 9 66.67% 35.78 -7.583 55.56% -0.412 0.4763
6 Star 6 83.33% 64.17 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 12 8.33% 66.5 1.408 75.0% -0.332 0.0308
6 Two Centers (Default) 14 35.71% 48.86 -6.937 71.43% -0.543 -0.1647

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2481 38.78 -4.209 62.07% -1.789 0.0426
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1865 41.03 -2.951 65.47% -1.777 -0.1222
All Things Weaken 1206 38.59 -3.837 62.11% -1.929 0.0479
Back Against the Wall 1734 39.57 -4.565 61.82% -2.334 -0.4753
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2322 35.9 -6.432 58.44% -2.325 -0.3503
Downward Spiral 5259 38.23 -5.369 63.51% -1.995 -0.0934
Erosion of Will 2370 37.41 -6.891 58.27% -2.616 -0.5721
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 496 49.13 -1.052 91.94% -0.553 0.0192
Memory Fades to Dust 5357 37.31 -5.691 59.14% -2.236 -0.2565
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1227 40.33 -4.196 68.7% -1.861 0.0307
Promising Farmlands 2483 37.17 -3.94 60.29% -1.9 0.1385
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 345 49.17 -1.201 93.91% -0.662 -0.2216
Thriving Communities 1111 37.08 -6.49 60.04% -2.448 -0.4835
Tipping Point 957 35.54 0.0 54.13%
Unnatural Proliferation 1258 39.65 -3.984 64.55% -1.954 -0.0478
Untended Land Crumbles 1143 38.63 -5.159 65.0% -2.183 -0.1487

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 13849 48.87% 45.92 -0.51 78.95% -0.1 0.6683
B 15242 46.35% 46.97 0.479 81.77% 0.108 0.8006
C 15490 48.61% 46.55 0.346 80.72% 0.053 0.6178
D 13384 47.75% 46.4 0.063 80.19% -0.084 0.6842
E 5693 43.31% 48.59 0.506 86.16% 0.081 0.6799
F 7613 44.45% 47.51 -0.314 83.9% -0.107 0.6025
G 6870 44.81% 47.6 -0.739 84.34% -0.136 0.5899
H 6993 43.08% 48.06 -0.123 84.91% 0.043 0.7331
East 1806 51.97% 52.6 -0.065 72.92% -0.853 -0.2309
Northeast 1077 51.3% 53.51 2.045 74.19% 0.13 0.8109
Northwest 809 47.64% 54.88 2.711 79.11% 0.095 1.1621
Southeast 249 50.6% 50.97 -2.451 75.5% -0.764 -0.0365
Southwest 235 55.74% 45.01 -1.577 65.96% -0.35 0.6211
West 1651 49.54% 54.98 5.412 75.05% 0.778 1.7814

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 388 0.0% 46.99 0.957 75.77% -0.195 1.8167
Not Using Events or Tokens 8116 53.3% 44.79 -0.383 74.57% -0.133 0.0814
Skip Initial Invader Actions 528 13.52% 59.34 4.809 94.51% 0.661 0.5672
Start of Game Growth 1033 17.95% 56.67 1.625 92.06% -0.31 -1.018
Unlimited Undo 6524 44.22% 48.18 1.253 84.75% 0.622 -0.0778
Using Tokens but Not Events 5832 38.55% 47.95 1.213 83.92% -0.135 -0.1801

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6857 22.6 36.42%
II 28945 31.02 78.59%
III 21968 34.59 88.34%
IV 8418 37.83 99.62%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.181 Win Model: -0.475
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 49798 49.11% 46.07 78.68%
2 11432 47.6% 47.51 83.1%
3 3066 38.37% 49.61 88.0%
4 1839 38.23% 52.15 88.36%
5 13 46.15% 40.15 53.85%
6 40 42.5% 52.83 72.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2496
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 19144
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 22130
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8316
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2390
Lose: Adversary condition 75
Win: Sacrifice victory 270
Lose: Scenario condition 262
Win: Scenario condition 682
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9937
Lose: Spirit destroyed 486

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2404 47.55% 51.44 -0.57 72.34% -0.368 -0.5021
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1469 78.43% 47.52 1.056 65.96% 0.228 0.2738
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2177 41.65% 53.7 2.533 79.83% 0.556 0.436
Downpour Drenches the World 86 46.51% 52.78 0.077 76.74% -0.145 0.2039
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2617 38.4% 57.29 4.503 85.98% 1.035 0.6144
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1380 46.66% 54.61 1.271 79.2% 0.208 -0.3536
Finder of Paths Unseen 30 46.67% 54.1 1.555 73.33% 0.559 0.9603
Fractured Days Split the Sky 360 57.22% 52.4 2.529 64.44% -0.44 -0.3857
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 495 43.84% 55.88 0.66 81.21% -0.082 -0.0907
Heart of the Wildfire 2314 72.57% 44.02 -3.637 60.54% -0.798 -0.571
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3565 59.46% 49.99 2.58 71.08% 0.789 0.2661
Lightning's Swift Strike 2662 69.62% 45.58 -2.775 59.84% -0.696 -0.4529
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 39 74.36% 52.21 1.281 69.23% 0.238 -0.6155
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 301 58.8% 54.48 1.829 81.73% 0.394 -0.2156
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 165 52.73% 54.61 1.106 78.79% 0.235 -0.1429
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1427 52.14% 53.68 0.045 78.84% 0.017 -0.2014
Many Minds Move as One 543 41.44% 58.24 2.592 90.98% -0.022 -0.5611
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3020 57.95% 51.62 2.946 73.74% 0.983 0.6664
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1366 55.65% 49.61 1.743 70.86% 0.418 0.4026
River Surges in Sunlight 3541 64.11% 52.02 -1.095 68.03% -0.462 -0.4094
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 211 60.66% 48.08 3.17 56.87% 0.12 0.4777
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 60 46.67% 57.45 1.614 76.67% -0.213 -0.4432
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1557 56.44% 50.51 2.258 72.51% 0.862 0.8273
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1796 83.36% 43.6 -2.087 56.07% -0.231 0.2357
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 6 50.0% 58.17 -1.847 66.67% -0.425 -0.3274
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 24 45.83% 56.54 0.545 83.33% 0.002 -0.173
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 120 71.67% 47.68 4.077 63.33% 0.364 0.3048
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 101 74.26% 50.3 -3.439 73.27% 0.059 0.2199
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3313 37.45% 56.67 2.185 81.29% 0.166 -0.1358
Shifting Memory of Ages 242 73.97% 45.46 -2.668 57.85% -0.682 -0.6432
Shroud of Silent Mist 200 85.93% 42.91 -4.657 58.5% -0.531 -0.2066
Starlight Seeks its Form 361 46.54% 53.83 3.582 75.62% -0.262 -0.4659
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2166 34.53% 52.52 -0.223 82.69% -0.121 -0.3066
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1620 50.4% 51.77 -0.367 73.52% -0.229 -0.1447
Thunderspeaker 2306 57.95% 51.92 3.393 71.34% 1.085 1.0544
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1237 88.12% 45.31 0.474 65.4% 0.355 0.3112
Vital Strength of the Earth 1536 68.15% 40.71 -5.735 42.77% -1.66 -0.8654
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 21 33.33% 49.48 -2.247 57.14% -0.983 -0.5309
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 101 66.34% 38.82 0.565 38.61% 0.023 1.0538
Volcano Looming High 750 68.05% 48.15 -0.991 70.4% -0.435 -0.4088

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 350 74.27% 41.9 -13.137 53.71% -0.915 -0.6475
Dahan Insurrection 4 440 55.91% 68.43 15.737 60.91% 0.052 0.3847
Despicable Theft 2 4 25.0% 63.5 0.0 75.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 24 87.5% 35.38 -5.91 25.0% -0.65 -0.0012
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1179 19.23% 60.92 6.236 87.96% 1.24 1.4063
Powers Long Forgotten 1 85 75.29% 47.66 5.395 51.76% 0.115 0.4411
Rituals of Terror 3 55 70.91% 58.85 0.0 50.91%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 59 91.53% 48.71 0.0 42.37%
Second Wave 0 835 63.58% 49.61 -2.123 62.87% -0.954 -0.4831
The Great River 3 29 62.07% 39.52 0.0 20.69%
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 73.0 9.493 100.0% 0.198 0.7332
Ward the Shores 2 56 75.0% 50.0 -0.364 50.0% -0.421 0.7665

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 26795 58.25% 48.98 -2.45 68.84% -0.973 -0.5256
1 Thematic 1130 64.96% 53.91 6.503 59.2% 0.778 1.3812
2 Archipelago 6 83.33% 57.17 0.0 66.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4423 55.85% 51.86 2.169 74.95% 0.296 0.687
2 Coastline 555 52.97% 51.53 2.392 72.25% 0.426 0.5147
2 Fragment 84 66.27% 47.38 -12.593 66.67% -0.758 -0.6922
2 Heart 33 57.58% 48.85 12.096 60.61% 0.381 0.6527
2 Opposite Shores 916 61.71% 50.9 0.376 73.8% -0.076 0.4169
2 Thematic 311 67.1% 53.86 2.905 56.59% 0.055 0.5235
2 Top to Top 124 59.35% 51.05 -1.599 74.19% -0.741 -0.4586
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 92.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 10 30.0% 66.6 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 39 71.79% 52.62 0.0 71.79%
3 Round (Default) 1163 53.97% 53.01 2.264 77.56% 0.255 0.5236
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Thematic 53 52.83% 60.87 2.837 73.58% 0.542 0.3183
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 72.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 64.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 10 70.0% 55.1 0.0 80.0%
4 Thematic 179 33.52% 65.21 0.0 82.68%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 537 49.62% 54.14 1.309 79.52% 0.529 0.3917
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 8 37.5% 60.75 0.0 87.5%
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 72.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 27 22.22% 65.52 -4.238 81.48% -0.705 -0.3418
6 Two Centers (Default) 2 0.0% 61.5 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1539 41.71 -4.208 51.14% -1.721 0.1103
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1098 45.56 -1.89 59.38% -1.28 0.3741
All Things Weaken 744 41.19 -10.32 51.48% -2.979 -1.0025
Back Against the Wall 1097 44.43 -3.744 56.34% -1.572 0.2865
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1422 38.74 -7.264 48.31% -2.137 -0.1622
Downward Spiral 4073 40.9 -5.559 52.03% -1.811 0.0906
Erosion of Will 1447 40.05 -8.537 47.13% -2.651 -0.607
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 252 55.16 2.592 88.1% 0.358 0.9309
Memory Fades to Dust 4054 40.26 -5.486 49.28% -1.85 0.1299
Power Corrodes the Spirit 749 41.95 -4.528 55.14% -1.772 0.1203
Promising Farmlands 1463 38.7 -6.38 45.93% -2.125 -0.0859
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 146 56.11 3.603 90.41% 0.377 0.8173
Thriving Communities 714 40.98 -4.844 53.22% -1.653 0.3115
Tipping Point 639 38.12 0.0 42.72%
Unnatural Proliferation 787 45.18 -3.233 59.21% -1.325 0.5811
Untended Land Crumbles 747 41.56 -4.407 54.35% -1.599 0.4353

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6631 62.75% 48.1 -1.174 66.11% -0.088 0.6802
B 8583 54.56% 51.4 1.396 73.11% 0.347 1.0392
C 8085 64.55% 48.32 0.409 67.3% 0.288 0.8529
D 6401 63.06% 48.45 -1.289 67.11% -0.166 0.6019
E 2465 57.03% 52.29 -0.018 76.59% -0.024 0.5756
F 4935 45.97% 52.46 1.416 78.07% 0.043 0.7524
G 4094 49.14% 52.59 0.77 77.43% 0.345 1.0708
H 3955 49.89% 52.53 1.314 76.71% 0.219 0.9089
East 1057 59.09% 57.25 1.851 64.24% 0.156 0.7784
Northeast 593 56.25% 57.48 1.478 66.44% -0.184 0.4972
Northwest 513 51.37% 57.29 2.11 64.52% 0.138 1.2045
Southeast 144 53.47% 56.86 -1.117 70.14% -0.614 0.1141
Southwest 132 55.3% 51.99 -2.317 62.88% -0.504 0.467
West 948 57.34% 56.29 1.246 61.71% -0.706 0.2974

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 166 0.0% 47.36 0.0 62.65%
Not Using Events or Tokens 5505 70.93% 45.5 -3.94 59.82% -0.648 -0.4333
Skip Initial Invader Actions 272 20.56% 64.0 1.32 87.87% -0.416 -0.5098
Start of Game Growth 614 22.38% 65.07 2.007 88.93% -0.099 -0.8062
Unlimited Undo 6370 34.92% 57.56 3.539 86.14% 0.896 0.1959
Using Tokens but Not Events 6573 29.6% 57.17 1.983 86.2% 0.137 0.0919

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4597 22.6 24.62%
II 16219 31.02 66.98%
III 11405 34.59 81.46%
IV 4202 37.83 99.41%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.814 Win Model: -0.086
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 27983 58.54% 49.19 68.4%
2 6431 57.2% 51.7 73.69%
3 1254 54.2% 53.44 77.19%
4 722 44.43% 57.12 81.3%
5 4 25.0% 57.0 75.0%
6 29 20.69% 66.17 86.21%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1132
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9136
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10567
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4138
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2245
Lose: Adversary condition 47
Win: Sacrifice victory 125
Lose: Scenario condition 163
Win: Scenario condition 365
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8079
Lose: Spirit destroyed 426

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5468 67.42% 46.96 -1.515 50.68% -0.519 -0.6533
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5098 87.03% 45.11 2.468 51.41% 0.734 0.7796
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2547 79.48% 42.64 -2.859 45.74% -0.445 -0.5645
Downpour Drenches the World 311 56.91% 50.06 2.331 59.16% 0.138 0.4864
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6389 56.7% 55.29 2.607 72.34% 0.432 0.0115
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2768 76.81% 46.75 0.732 54.59% 0.344 -0.2177
Finder of Paths Unseen 110 77.27% 44.19 -3.3 49.09% -0.506 -0.1046
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1275 66.75% 54.57 4.106 61.33% 0.188 0.2418
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1209 75.08% 48.08 0.539 57.73% 0.047 0.0389
Heart of the Wildfire 6220 91.36% 34.83 -5.957 32.88% -0.55 -0.3239
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8434 74.55% 46.14 0.089 54.92% 0.201 -0.3216
Lightning's Swift Strike 6381 74.86% 44.21 -2.059 48.66% -0.256 -0.0129
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 218 81.65% 47.38 2.042 54.59% 0.652 -0.2017
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1045 82.17% 50.04 -0.447 64.5% 0.276 -0.3338
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 640 70.58% 52.93 6.133 67.66% 1.144 0.7666
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3585 72.35% 48.05 1.006 58.91% 0.317 0.0991
Many Minds Move as One 1614 61.77% 55.84 5.19 77.26% 0.944 0.4046
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 24711 55.99% 58.2 3.971 81.68% 0.92 0.6035
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2782 79.97% 43.07 -3.549 47.09% -0.741 -0.7572
River Surges in Sunlight 9761 76.76% 48.65 0.889 52.79% 0.022 0.0742
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 394 84.64% 41.23 -5.684 33.25% -1.11 -0.7528
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 206 77.67% 54.11 2.514 59.71% 0.122 -0.108
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4853 67.36% 47.55 0.726 55.62% 0.133 0.0984
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2983 77.79% 42.41 -5.87 44.32% -0.856 -0.3888
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 19 84.21% 44.68 5.414 52.63% 0.829 0.9268
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 36 83.33% 46.56 0.508 55.56% 0.272 0.0969
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 363 84.3% 44.16 -2.785 49.31% -0.032 -0.0916
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 334 92.81% 41.92 -4.273 45.51% -0.412 -0.2514
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5396 68.42% 47.42 2.559 56.54% 0.614 0.3117
Shifting Memory of Ages 645 88.06% 42.07 0.306 37.83% 0.183 0.2217
Shroud of Silent Mist 688 94.47% 36.83 -0.763 35.9% 0.075 0.3994
Starlight Seeks its Form 1938 74.51% 44.21 1.786 46.44% 0.235 0.0312
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4188 66.14% 46.24 -1.217 54.01% -0.138 -0.3236
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2730 76.68% 46.19 -0.689 52.67% -0.135 -0.0505
Thunderspeaker 6805 77.18% 50.83 0.685 50.18% 0.136 0.1051
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3386 92.03% 45.3 -1.071 58.51% 0.283 0.2396
Vital Strength of the Earth 3191 83.66% 35.35 -5.701 25.13% -1.351 -0.5565
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 77 81.82% 38.03 -4.801 31.17% -0.951 -0.4985
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 329 86.93% 32.56 -9.833 21.58% -0.901 0.1297
Volcano Looming High 2473 78.61% 44.69 -0.684 54.75% 0.196 0.2217

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 100.0% 62.0 6.344 100.0% 0.311 0.4194
Blitz 0 688 62.18% 46.47 -8.327 55.52% -1.092 -0.8245
Dahan Insurrection 4 2583 80.26% 60.7 6.613 38.71% -0.207 0.1254
Despicable Theft 2 16 87.5% 41.69 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 48 83.33% 37.13 -6.444 22.92% -0.46 0.188
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3383 38.07% 56.54 4.443 69.67% 0.408 0.5739
Powers Long Forgotten 1 119 89.83% 37.91 9.251 24.37% 0.623 0.9484
Rituals of Terror 3 215 73.02% 72.14 25.682 41.4% 1.174 1.0639
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 25 88.0% 49.52 13.599 32.0% 0.188 0.8451
Second Wave 0 676 72.16% 45.96 -1.5 47.34% -0.367 0.1041
The Great River 3 35 85.71% 39.97 -9.415 20.0% -1.811 -0.3108
Varied Terrains 2 3 100.0% 53.33 1.614 33.33% 0.116 0.6515
Ward the Shores 2 57 91.23% 42.82 0.0 33.33%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 84434 72.94% 46.89 -1.599 56.71% -0.696 -0.2489
1 Thematic 4079 79.6% 53.93 -0.134 39.25% -0.831 -0.2284
2 Archipelago 18 61.11% 69.83 9.981 55.56% 0.387 1.0531
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9012 65.17% 50.5 0.481 63.62% -0.263 0.1279
2 Coastline 1408 71.01% 50.42 5.0 63.21% 0.719 0.8074
2 Fragment 144 81.94% 44.89 5.706 52.08% 0.458 0.5237
2 Heart 78 76.92% 45.32 3.598 51.28% 0.037 0.3088
2 Opposite Shores 2237 70.88% 48.94 -1.142 58.78% -0.644 -0.1513
2 Thematic 949 82.12% 52.11 2.422 36.88% -0.108 0.3598
2 Top to Top 329 79.69% 46.82 -1.877 54.41% -0.583 -0.301
3 Archipelago 2 50.0% 46.0 8.788 50.0% 0.046 -0.3372
3 Coastline 40 67.5% 48.95 -4.298 55.0% -0.614 -1.2537
3 Other 81 79.01% 45.99 0.433 54.32% 0.269 -0.82
3 Round (Default) 2232 75.09% 49.14 0.901 60.39% -0.001 0.268
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 50.29 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 79 75.95% 60.59 27.923 44.3% 0.821 0.5975
4 Coastline 10 40.0% 59.7 0.0 80.0%
4 Leaf 6 50.0% 44.33 -16.282 50.0% -0.695 -0.4545
4 Other 33 72.73% 51.15 7.848 63.64% 0.897 0.4517
4 Snake 2 100.0% 26.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 336 64.18% 69.04 3.875 57.74% -0.55 -0.4536
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1487 66.99% 52.91 2.418 65.37% 0.606 0.4691
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 32.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 11 0.0% 69.18 1.504 100.0% 0.063 -0.4491
5 Other 24 54.17% 63.25 4.995 83.33% 0.272 0.5413
5 Thematic 3 100.0% 46.67 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 5 0.0% 68.4 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 4 75.0% 56.25 0.0 75.0%
6 Star 7 57.14% 52.71 -8.264 71.43% -0.795 0.0992
6 Thematic 5 100.0% 56.0 0.0 60.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 13 69.23% 48.62 -4.204 61.54% -0.731 -0.3529
7 Other 1 100.0% 81.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 6669 42.24 -3.304 45.9% -1.694 0.1374
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5316 47.72 -1.92 57.07% -1.432 0.2228
All Things Weaken 2978 40.84 -4.422 43.22% -1.848 0.1286
Back Against the Wall 4388 43.18 -1.734 46.63% -1.361 0.4976
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5984 39.35 -5.431 43.18% -1.978 -0.004
Downward Spiral 12076 41.26 -3.908 41.86% -1.633 0.2688
Erosion of Will 6372 40.77 -4.015 42.66% -1.789 0.2551
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 801 55.57 2.95 76.65% -0.241 0.3315
Memory Fades to Dust 11991 40.59 -4.044 38.8% -1.757 0.2223
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2893 40.33 -4.93 43.1% -1.92 -0.0286
Promising Farmlands 6026 40.12 -4.874 42.81% -1.955 0.0835
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 449 57.5 5.249 82.63% 0.357 0.7977
Thriving Communities 2811 38.83 -5.413 39.91% -1.931 0.0335
Tipping Point 2485 38.06 0.0 37.42%
Unnatural Proliferation 3174 42.12 -2.195 44.14% -1.44 0.4662
Untended Land Crumbles 2861 39.54 -5.049 41.17% -1.886 0.1485

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 18403 75.06% 45.48 -0.021 52.67% -0.639 0.1294
B 22822 70.51% 48.03 0.568 58.62% -0.466 0.2264
C 22313 73.59% 46.6 0.034 55.31% -0.643 -0.0787
D 21093 71.78% 48.02 -0.746 58.65% -0.753 0.0149
E 7845 73.2% 48.09 0.428 59.35% -0.609 -0.0096
F 11328 69.24% 49.52 0.258 62.29% -0.718 -0.0088
G 10854 68.65% 50.95 0.069 65.3% -0.619 0.1069
H 10101 66.91% 50.38 0.021 63.58% -0.675 0.015
East 3950 79.61% 56.41 5.656 39.97% -0.667 -0.0449
Northeast 2037 75.31% 58.33 7.063 45.21% -0.047 0.6339
Northwest 1120 72.11% 58.21 2.253 46.61% -0.739 0.3275
Southeast 272 90.81% 42.16 9.037 25.74% 0.503 1.2309
Southwest 196 83.16% 34.95 8.576 23.47% 0.268 1.2383
West 2123 76.88% 53.66 7.54 39.47% -0.1 0.9036

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 533 0.0% 42.48 -0.103 41.84% -0.496 1.5154
Not Using Events or Tokens 11100 85.97% 43.83 -1.585 38.77% -0.081 0.1335
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1980 19.22% 66.99 3.759 88.43% -0.7 -0.7937
Start of Game Growth 3441 24.15% 63.9 6.799 85.67% 1.22 0.5127
Unlimited Undo 8983 66.69% 51.86 4.424 66.37% 0.913 0.2133
Using Tokens but Not Events 6735 58.57% 49.51 0.761 59.35% -0.121 -0.1663

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 16915 22.6 6.24%
II 42074 31.02 48.23%
III 38211 34.59 77.45%
IV 9901 37.83 99.58%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.997 Win Model: 0.535
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 88866 73.26% 47.26 55.91%
2 13926 68.21% 50.08 60.78%
3 2443 74.12% 50.84 59.97%
4 1813 67.51% 53.58 63.6%
5 17 17.65% 62.82 82.35%
6 36 58.33% 56.25 75.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1054
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 29046
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18947
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9756
Lose: Invader deck ran out 8653
Lose: Adversary condition 324
Win: Sacrifice victory 583
Lose: Scenario condition 792
Win: Scenario condition 1418
Lose: Blight pool ran out 34242
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2286

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-09-16 02:17:41 (Pacific Time)