The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 9629 25.32% 24.25 -0.039 82.84% -0.054 -0.1987
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 27 7.41% 25.48 3.076 74.07% 0.456 -0.3199
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6404 43.9% 24.28 -0.8 82.4% -0.16 0.0705
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 150 11.33% 27.91 4.098 76.0% 0.512 -0.2949
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4570 25.83% 25.67 0.119 87.75% 0.215 0.0653
Downpour Drenches the World 624 19.22% 21.14 -1.902 68.59% -0.317 -0.0089
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 744 17.61% 24.84 2.536 76.61% 0.841 0.3893
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5882 15.81% 29.22 2.735 92.18% 0.707 0.3391
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4436 19.48% 27.38 2.308 91.14% 0.809 0.3654
Finder of Paths Unseen 367 31.32% 16.17 -3.855 53.68% -1.374 -0.7272
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1098 28.95% 24.64 -1.781 72.22% -0.35 0.2366
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1078 37.57% 23.53 -1.38 71.52% -0.45 -0.4916
Heart of the Wildfire 5746 57.27% 21.06 -0.642 72.62% -0.175 0.1171
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7631 27.48% 26.39 1.513 88.47% 0.331 0.002
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 156 14.1% 23.2 0.403 68.59% 0.083 -0.2567
Lightning's Swift Strike 10916 42.31% 22.48 0.088 75.93% 0.07 0.3938
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 251 29.44% 25.19 1.084 74.5% -0.043 -0.5263
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 872 21.89% 23.99 0.65 76.49% 0.396 0.0768
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 578 31.71% 25.54 -0.247 80.62% 0.084 -0.0266
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3177 23.7% 26.57 0.538 84.92% -0.005 -0.3033
Many Minds Move as One 1773 20.28% 26.72 1.279 86.35% 0.404 0.2473
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9127 39.2% 24.33 -0.974 82.12% -0.283 -0.3116
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4095 30.04% 24.46 -1.646 85.32% -0.295 -0.4377
River Surges in Sunlight 11807 39.0% 24.79 -0.166 75.83% -0.132 -0.0254
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 22 22.73% 26.55 3.983 81.82% 0.724 0.5424
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 901 38.17% 25.6 2.706 75.92% 0.91 1.3599
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 325 33.85% 25.72 3.356 71.69% 0.358 0.2934
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4925 29.4% 24.81 0.484 85.28% 0.276 0.0543
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 6527 53.6% 22.11 -1.912 73.22% -0.604 -0.0328
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 115 32.17% 20.37 -0.239 62.61% -0.105 0.1624
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 110 18.18% 27.55 2.418 82.73% 0.557 0.0124
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 130 20.77% 19.88 -1.627 63.08% -0.368 -0.0647
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 604 32.78% 26.26 1.789 86.59% 0.335 0.3488
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 444 41.86% 24.64 1.78 81.08% 0.464 0.683
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5495 27.97% 26.14 -0.809 85.95% -0.364 -0.4682
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 185 16.39% 23.54 1.124 72.97% 0.009 -0.1052
Shifting Memory of Ages 1025 35.06% 20.88 -1.709 67.8% -0.491 -0.1367
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 22 13.64% 15.95 -1.251 45.45% -0.495 -0.8256
Shroud of Silent Mist 1354 41.01% 22.37 -1.597 76.14% -0.314 0.0529
Starlight Seeks its Form 1378 23.33% 24.25 -1.458 74.67% -0.595 -0.7824
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2529 26.72% 23.13 0.524 84.62% 0.018 -0.7146
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3407 30.43% 24.26 -2.37 81.07% -0.793 -0.5657
Thunderspeaker 8833 30.57% 24.98 0.114 80.77% -0.018 -0.0128
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 158 30.38% 18.75 2.606 54.43% 0.426 0.5837
Towering Roots of the Jungle 55 25.45% 20.53 1.112 72.73% 0.421 0.408
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1682 57.84% 20.58 -2.648 76.28% -0.641 -0.555
Vital Strength of the Earth 8118 31.74% 20.92 -1.522 72.11% -0.441 0.0824
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 220 28.11% 19.15 -1.567 60.0% -0.556 -0.0142
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 448 32.06% 20.79 1.558 69.87% 0.38 1.1295
Volcano Looming High 1754 36.69% 23.09 0.183 76.97% 0.001 0.1564
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 359 19.5% 25.02 2.261 76.88% 0.316 0.0072

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 22 31.82% 24.95 7.738 72.73% 0.799 0.7395
Blitz 0 1246 37.2% 21.23 -1.948 69.02% -0.526 -0.2301
Dahan Insurrection 4 1481 19.57% 44.31 3.991 77.18% -0.448 -0.6209
Despicable Theft 2 201 30.85% 27.12 0.918 64.18% -0.441 0.5227
Elemental Invocation 1 302 35.76% 23.83 -1.611 66.89% -0.51 0.4451
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2364 8.45% 29.75 1.592 82.7% 0.02 -0.6393
Powers Long Forgotten 1 548 49.18% 25.41 -1.83 66.61% -0.691 0.2895
Rituals of Terror 3 641 41.63% 32.47 2.144 64.74% -0.386 -0.2742
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 375 64.53% 29.68 -2.729 60.53% -0.876 0.2342
Second Wave 0 1206 50.08% 25.6 3.063 71.72% -0.214 -0.1582
The Great River 3 218 43.12% 25.87 1.279 46.79% -0.511 0.9086
Varied Terrains 2 127 36.22% 20.01 -2.336 44.88% -1.301 -0.4081
Ward the Shores 2 584 40.72% 28.04 -0.874 65.58% -0.759 0.2267

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 68725 37.97% 23.3 0.195 78.49% 0.669 0.8777
1 Thematic 5319 40.11% 30.25 1.303 74.02% 0.333 0.8093
2 Archipelago 47 44.68% 32.87 13.491 65.96% 0.374 1.0741
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 14253 32.43% 23.78 -0.752 82.31% 0.352 0.4899
2 Coastline 1591 34.31% 23.89 0.843 81.71% 0.884 0.8303
2 Fragment 378 39.89% 22.07 -1.177 77.51% 0.079 -0.2326
2 Heart 211 37.98% 22.47 -0.802 78.67% 0.217 0.1691
2 Opposite Shores 2178 29.97% 24.78 0.183 86.82% 0.699 0.6563
2 Thematic 1286 37.58% 30.65 -1.103 73.79% -0.287 -0.0372
2 Top to Top 398 32.83% 24.09 -3.143 86.43% -0.213 -0.2078
3 Archipelago 18 44.44% 32.67 0.0 88.89%
3 Coastline 42 42.5% 23.21 -9.423 64.29% -0.368 -1.1907
3 Other 254 22.31% 16.54 -4.561 56.69% -1.224 -1.5217
3 Round (Default) 4471 24.28% 25.79 1.824 88.15% 0.535 0.3744
3 Sunrise 26 44.0% 26.15 0.49 84.62% -0.291 -0.0196
3 Thematic 228 35.24% 30.84 0.083 71.49% -0.753 -1.007
4 Archipelago 20 25.0% 30.85 -1.874 70.0% -0.383 -0.1803
4 Coastline 13 7.69% 45.23 0.0 84.62%
4 Leaf 9 55.56% 17.89 0.0 66.67%
4 Other 84 24.69% 21.39 -8.212 75.0% -0.692 -1.0998
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 26.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 0.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 415 20.96% 35.06 -0.084 90.6% -0.041 0.2257
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2188 21.42% 23.87 -1.092 81.95% -0.275 0.1041
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 79 29.11% 25.68 5.547 81.01% 1.562 1.217
5 Thematic 16 18.75% 28.56 -2.003 62.5% -0.147 -0.3657
6 Archipelago 6 0.0% 28.17 -6.2 83.33% -0.286 -1.1929
6 Coastline 3 0.0% 28.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 18 5.88% 22.22 -6.986 72.22% -1.246 -0.6089
6 Star 26 3.85% 27.23 4.238 92.31% 0.526 0.5363
6 Thematic 55 21.82% 27.13 12.657 69.09% 0.165 0.3359
6 Two Centers (Default) 132 14.39% 20.9 -0.908 67.42% -0.236 -0.3852
7 Other 4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2191 18.69 -0.171 59.88% -0.269 -0.1038
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1880 20.01 -1.128 62.87% -0.604 -0.6402
All Things Weaken 1011 18.98 -0.907 59.45% -0.197 0.0938
Attenuated Essence 71 18.56 -1.023 60.56% -0.357 -0.2422
Back Against the Wall 1767 19.69 0.96 61.69% 0.089 0.1698
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 76 20.0 0.577 60.53% 0.405 0.5947
Burn Brightest Before the End 67 21.96 0.571 53.73% -0.333 -0.1177
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2053 16.64 -3.194 59.13% -0.727 -0.3352
Downward Spiral 8542 16.55 -1.488 59.93% -0.176 -0.0398
Erosion of Will 2106 18.16 0.756 58.12% 0.266 0.5659
Intensifying Exploitation 88 18.28 1.008 60.23% 0.693 0.9399
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 441 24.94 1.707 91.61% 0.832 0.3223
Memory Fades to Dust 8401 16.56 -1.111 57.42% -0.306 -0.0561
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1025 18.62 -1.052 63.8% -0.366 -0.0919
Promising Farmlands 2132 17.49 -0.892 61.12% -0.101 0.2352
Shattered Fragments of Power 77 22.44 0.454 62.34% 0.051 0.2323
Slow Dissolution of Will 114 18.77 -0.581 55.26% -0.239 0.1227
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 276 25.66 5.041 94.2% 1.031 0.4269
The Border of Life and Death 29 16.38 -1.02 58.62% 0.145 -0.3314
Thriving Communities 962 17.67 -0.746 59.56% -0.201 0.1291
Thriving Crops 49 24.59 3.056 81.63% 1.2 1.1867
Tipping Point 789 17.93 0.0 63.12%
Unnatural Proliferation 1025 20.03 -0.827 62.83% -0.159 -0.0454
Untended Land Crumbles 978 17.88 -2.293 58.28% -0.718 -0.3152

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 23649 36.47% 23.18 -0.566 79.37% -0.574 0.2794
B 24136 35.1% 23.45 -0.029 79.93% -0.441 0.3661
C 24748 33.55% 23.7 0.425 80.69% -0.258 0.4214
D 23149 34.4% 23.45 -0.855 79.86% -0.588 0.2153
E 7294 29.44% 24.26 -0.328 80.22% -0.602 0.0679
F 10360 29.92% 24.45 -0.059 82.94% -0.545 0.229
G 9583 31.54% 24.48 0.132 83.45% -0.325 0.5088
H 9694 29.48% 24.62 0.427 83.04% -0.377 0.3894
East 4518 36.07% 31.77 2.057 76.21% -0.023 0.8192
Northeast 2715 35.02% 32.28 0.837 78.08% -0.534 0.229
Northwest 1970 35.26% 31.29 -1.332 77.31% -0.622 0.1926
Southeast 590 28.74% 27.52 0.011 70.17% -0.623 0.1586
Southwest 550 36.25% 22.27 -3.141 63.45% -0.823 0.4798
West 3784 38.82% 30.13 1.553 73.41% -0.27 0.7162

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1980 0.0% 20.45 0.123 66.72% -0.444 0.3322
Not Using Events or Tokens 26649 44.3% 21.31 -1.079 72.28% -0.228 0.1812
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1460 10.77% 32.68 3.936 90.48% 0.474 -0.1522
Start of Game Growth 2310 13.81% 31.15 1.52 88.79% -0.063 -0.6165
Unlimited Undo 6336 29.64% 25.36 0.042 84.17% -0.001 0.0498
Using Tokens but Not Events 8771 28.42% 24.67 0.335 83.39% 0.038 0.0191

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11193 15.86 22.06%
II 30593 30.5 75.22%
III 42485 34.78 89.14%
IV 18340 38.41 98.87%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.003 Win Model: 0.678
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 74542 38.13% 23.77 77.99%
2 20077 32.78% 24.41 82.7%
3 4963 24.85% 25.6 86.0%
4 2710 21.44% 25.71 83.1%
5 76 25.0% 22.62 75.0%
6 243 13.69% 23.33 70.78%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2462
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 37011
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 21756
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17967
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5921
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1241
Lose: Adversary condition 327
Win: Sacrifice victory 386
Lose: Scenario condition 628
Win: Scenario condition 1903
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12272
Lose: Spirit destroyed 737

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7211 26.78% 29.25 0.155 83.98% 0.062 -0.0828
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 43 13.95% 26.86 1.484 76.74% 0.365 -0.411
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4791 47.9% 28.26 -0.341 80.61% -0.096 0.1349
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 233 24.42% 32.68 3.811 85.41% 0.763 -0.0446
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3707 28.68% 30.28 0.877 87.94% 0.349 0.2001
Downpour Drenches the World 712 25.28% 25.89 1.288 74.86% 0.685 0.9934
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 842 20.85% 27.67 0.417 78.03% 0.08 -0.3723
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4887 20.24% 33.0 1.98 90.96% 0.3 -0.0681
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3619 25.24% 33.73 1.513 90.63% 0.446 0.0029
Finder of Paths Unseen 470 38.72% 21.47 -4.283 59.15% -1.044 -0.3964
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1280 31.76% 29.08 -3.831 74.69% -0.929 -0.3425
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1447 39.48% 29.43 -0.961 79.75% -0.336 -0.3776
Heart of the Wildfire 4405 63.18% 24.14 -2.283 70.01% -0.592 -0.3002
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6731 34.89% 30.01 0.048 85.93% 0.123 -0.2057
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 184 29.28% 29.27 0.629 77.72% 0.282 -0.0584
Lightning's Swift Strike 7362 46.18% 26.71 -0.787 76.2% -0.159 0.165
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 275 33.82% 29.79 0.833 81.82% -0.059 -0.5424
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 645 34.43% 31.95 1.265 87.44% 0.114 -0.2051
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 607 31.47% 33.23 1.503 79.08% -0.3 -0.4105
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2595 35.44% 30.72 1.839 83.58% 0.486 0.187
Many Minds Move as One 1730 21.19% 31.1 1.319 86.99% 0.377 0.2208
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7409 37.4% 30.45 0.625 86.23% -0.011 -0.04
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3411 31.88% 28.85 0.805 85.4% 0.375 0.2321
River Surges in Sunlight 8618 42.91% 29.11 0.694 77.02% -0.005 0.1018
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 44 37.21% 24.8 0.688 68.18% -0.059 -0.2407
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 831 40.77% 28.54 2.119 76.53% 0.416 0.8665
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 464 39.39% 28.24 1.189 72.2% 0.059 -0.005
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3847 34.1% 29.59 0.239 83.78% 0.049 -0.1727
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4555 60.62% 25.17 -1.502 70.41% -0.497 0.0736
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 117 47.01% 26.67 -5.781 70.09% -1.404 -1.1365
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 168 37.5% 28.7 2.508 77.98% 0.722 0.1778
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 119 42.86% 27.91 -1.162 74.79% -0.203 0.1011
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 537 39.11% 30.31 1.301 83.99% 0.233 0.2462
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 332 51.21% 28.19 0.211 78.31% 0.101 0.3202
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4753 31.55% 30.34 0.257 84.49% 0.15 0.046
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 246 24.79% 25.59 -2.281 69.11% -0.684 -0.7978
Shifting Memory of Ages 1615 39.0% 25.63 -1.761 73.07% -0.604 -0.2499
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 40 25.0% 25.2 -0.172 70.0% -0.08 -0.4108
Shroud of Silent Mist 1322 46.21% 26.46 0.173 79.43% 0.101 0.468
Starlight Seeks its Form 1514 27.68% 28.17 -0.605 80.05% 0.031 -0.1563
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2198 30.32% 28.15 1.297 85.76% 0.833 0.0998
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3148 32.84% 28.77 -0.592 82.34% -0.165 0.0626
Thunderspeaker 6739 34.87% 29.63 -0.467 81.63% 0.016 0.0209
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 190 29.63% 22.16 -1.149 62.63% -0.346 -0.1882
Towering Roots of the Jungle 145 30.83% 25.06 1.243 77.24% 0.611 0.5979
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1675 62.49% 25.26 0.209 77.49% 0.093 0.1792
Vital Strength of the Earth 5753 35.36% 25.28 -2.613 74.17% -0.59 -0.0669
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 244 29.1% 23.43 -0.437 67.62% -0.129 0.4124
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 438 36.16% 23.21 -2.416 67.12% -0.46 0.2895
Volcano Looming High 1748 45.33% 25.86 -0.409 76.77% 0.171 0.3264
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 724 27.03% 30.34 3.425 81.77% 0.939 0.6303

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 38 28.95% 24.18 -1.14 60.53% -0.41 -0.4694
Blitz 0 1085 38.7% 24.87 -3.673 68.94% -0.804 -0.5075
Dahan Insurrection 4 1070 27.66% 45.55 6.227 70.75% -0.106 -0.2791
Despicable Theft 2 187 37.43% 28.97 -3.205 61.5% -1.168 -0.2042
Elemental Invocation 1 310 40.13% 25.29 -3.686 65.48% -0.997 -0.0418
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2248 10.34% 35.98 3.005 80.38% 0.031 -0.6289
Powers Long Forgotten 1 580 51.55% 27.42 -2.814 63.62% -0.872 0.1079
Rituals of Terror 3 510 45.67% 33.61 0.629 62.35% -0.418 -0.3063
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 351 65.24% 31.63 -4.186 58.69% -1.418 -0.3073
Second Wave 0 4781 39.84% 30.89 1.484 78.41% -0.237 -0.1811
The Great River 3 193 44.56% 29.95 -0.927 53.37% -1.111 0.309
Varied Terrains 2 121 51.24% 22.21 -4.291 43.8% -1.305 -0.4125
Ward the Shores 2 480 45.93% 31.19 -5.145 63.13% -1.577 -0.5911

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 52419 41.03% 26.96 -0.92 77.9% -0.458 -0.2498
1 Thematic 4325 43.71% 33.75 0.664 71.28% -0.214 0.2627
2 Archipelago 36 52.78% 37.5 7.97 80.56% 0.568 1.2687
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11141 36.27% 28.41 -0.234 83.44% -0.396 -0.2574
2 Coastline 1455 33.24% 29.13 -0.245 84.95% -0.463 -0.5166
2 Fragment 371 39.67% 27.74 -3.742 80.86% -0.887 -1.1984
2 Heart 180 44.63% 27.91 3.413 77.22% 0.623 0.5745
2 Opposite Shores 2540 32.87% 29.53 1.614 87.76% 0.108 0.0657
2 Thematic 1535 40.1% 32.7 1.114 74.92% -0.008 0.2424
2 Top to Top 443 36.16% 28.06 4.513 81.26% 0.772 0.7778
3 Archipelago 26 53.85% 37.35 1.485 84.62% -0.248 -1.6998
3 Coastline 28 35.71% 34.14 3.71 75.0% 0.304 -0.519
3 Other 150 36.99% 29.47 4.788 87.33% 0.916 0.6181
3 Round (Default) 4310 28.36% 30.74 1.653 86.59% -0.36 -0.521
3 Sunrise 24 20.83% 34.38 1.791 100.0% 0.099 0.3701
3 Thematic 227 44.0% 31.22 0.996 70.04% 0.284 0.0295
4 Archipelago 12 58.33% 40.42 -1.238 91.67% -0.535 -0.3319
4 Coastline 12 25.0% 34.58 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 13 30.77% 29.85 0.0 84.62%
4 Other 79 36.36% 31.63 7.683 88.61% 0.435 0.0272
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 3 0.0% 46.0 12.171 100.0% 0.656 -0.4535
4 Thematic 305 35.31% 38.6 -0.642 80.98% 0.263 0.5302
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1751 29.87% 30.22 -0.266 87.21% -0.707 -0.3276
5 Archipelago 4 50.0% 53.25 2.96 100.0% 0.012 0.2661
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 43.5 13.143 100.0% 0.332 -0.0948
5 Other 78 40.54% 28.68 -0.862 75.64% -0.118 -0.463
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 9 22.22% 39.22 20.918 66.67% 0.189 -0.7176
6 Other 27 29.63% 31.3 0.0 77.78%
6 Star 13 23.08% 27.38 0.0 76.92%
6 Thematic 95 38.95% 39.87 -4.42 74.74% -1.033 -0.8616
6 Two Centers (Default) 121 21.49% 29.99 -2.352 80.99% -1.277 -1.4267
7 Other 4 66.67% 33.5 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1947 23.26 0.739 63.33% 0.225 0.3901
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1583 24.67 1.922 66.01% 0.541 0.5049
All Things Weaken 1049 23.43 0.348 63.58% 0.115 0.405
Attenuated Essence 125 25.4 1.484 66.4% 0.584 0.6993
Back Against the Wall 1660 24.18 2.691 64.1% 0.359 0.4403
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 118 25.88 2.253 72.88% 1.04 1.2302
Burn Brightest Before the End 97 26.68 4.337 71.13% 0.95 1.1657
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2008 20.76 -1.847 59.51% -0.237 0.1551
Downward Spiral 6165 21.93 -1.025 66.1% -0.028 0.108
Erosion of Will 2005 22.66 -2.158 60.65% -0.74 -0.4403
Intensifying Exploitation 124 21.98 1.463 62.9% 0.569 0.8166
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 486 29.09 3.866 92.18% 1.445 0.9355
Memory Fades to Dust 6308 21.37 -1.637 61.3% -0.299 -0.0491
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1005 23.22 -0.679 68.36% -0.209 0.0657
Promising Farmlands 1972 21.55 -2.28 62.32% -0.297 0.0393
Shattered Fragments of Power 109 23.05 -0.292 59.63% -0.149 0.033
Slow Dissolution of Will 133 21.23 -0.766 57.89% -0.448 -0.0863
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 337 28.84 -2.172 92.58% -0.045 -0.6488
The Border of Life and Death 41 25.56 -4.618 75.61% -0.452 -0.9282
Thriving Communities 973 22.25 -1.778 65.06% -0.409 -0.0784
Thriving Crops 61 27.64 3.292 91.8% 0.69 0.6771
Tipping Point 669 20.79 0.0 57.55%
Unnatural Proliferation 1092 24.2 -1.453 66.94% -0.465 -0.3521
Untended Land Crumbles 1049 22.46 -1.139 64.16% -0.088 0.3145

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 18646 39.32% 27.56 -0.009 79.64% -0.294 0.5598
B 18821 37.4% 28.17 0.791 81.58% -0.173 0.6336
C 19498 37.63% 28.24 -0.071 81.69% -0.37 0.3093
D 18006 37.74% 28.08 -0.222 81.43% -0.472 0.3313
E 6936 34.64% 28.67 0.028 81.6% -0.362 0.308
F 9024 34.56% 28.67 0.204 82.44% -0.219 0.5547
G 8135 34.51% 28.73 -0.128 82.94% -0.41 0.4232
H 8530 33.51% 28.93 0.769 83.01% -0.214 0.5517
East 4311 39.73% 35.03 0.15 73.49% -1.02 -0.1783
Northeast 2728 38.81% 35.56 1.419 73.75% -0.418 0.3453
Northwest 1955 39.94% 33.62 0.689 75.81% -0.507 0.3067
Southeast 577 38.65% 32.47 0.745 71.58% -0.165 0.6161
Southwest 571 43.26% 30.09 -4.219 68.65% -1.455 -0.1521
West 3497 44.77% 32.51 -1.442 72.23% -0.957 0.0296

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2188 0.0% 23.29 -0.778 69.93% -0.198 0.5781
Not Using Events or Tokens 16649 44.63% 26.08 -1.01 74.58% -0.022 0.3871
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1013 13.66% 39.0 4.777 89.04% 0.817 0.1901
Start of Game Growth 1725 16.2% 37.15 2.743 88.81% -0.047 -0.6009
Unlimited Undo 6152 33.71% 29.11 -1.497 82.61% -0.326 -0.275
Using Tokens but Not Events 8716 31.88% 28.18 1.378 82.56% 0.437 0.4185

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7991 15.86 11.44%
II 19460 30.5 69.51%
III 35811 34.78 89.82%
IV 18517 38.41 98.96%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.329 Win Model: 0.579
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 57093 41.28% 27.46 77.26%
2 17522 35.96% 29.08 83.66%
3 4674 29.07% 30.85 86.5%
4 2157 30.77% 31.51 86.09%
5 65 43.55% 27.2 78.46%
6 268 29.21% 33.94 77.24%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 912
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 31405
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 12799
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 18129
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5364
Lose: Invader deck ran out 702
Lose: Adversary condition 214
Win: Sacrifice victory 328
Lose: Scenario condition 578
Win: Scenario condition 1356
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9418
Lose: Spirit destroyed 574

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8668 31.74% 38.07 0.099 84.63% 0.155 0.01
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 62 30.65% 41.32 4.733 82.26% 1.125 0.3489
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5379 56.13% 35.95 -0.873 78.1% -0.07 0.1613
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 248 25.81% 43.87 6.501 89.11% 1.054 0.2464
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4481 36.11% 38.11 1.154 86.36% 0.389 0.2395
Downpour Drenches the World 1053 27.97% 33.4 -1.639 72.84% -0.34 -0.0314
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1353 27.23% 36.61 0.46 75.17% 0.391 -0.0608
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6533 24.98% 42.33 1.587 91.11% 0.161 -0.2076
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4488 31.01% 41.64 2.733 89.26% 0.565 0.1218
Finder of Paths Unseen 598 52.03% 33.86 -2.33 65.05% -0.465 0.1817
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1380 36.75% 39.04 -0.464 76.88% -0.703 -0.1156
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1823 41.45% 36.11 -2.62 76.08% -0.558 -0.5999
Heart of the Wildfire 6084 62.87% 33.2 -2.577 71.98% -0.487 -0.1947
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10012 38.67% 39.15 1.309 84.7% 0.077 -0.252
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 238 28.99% 38.87 1.66 81.93% 0.264 -0.0763
Lightning's Swift Strike 8074 48.53% 35.47 -1.411 77.19% -0.315 0.0088
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 434 47.92% 40.49 3.357 79.49% 0.688 0.2046
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 907 38.38% 39.98 3.034 84.01% 0.584 0.265
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 812 38.64% 42.42 -1.199 82.02% -0.242 -0.353
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3935 38.63% 39.32 1.388 82.29% 0.062 -0.2368
Many Minds Move as One 2137 26.31% 40.34 -1.22 89.19% -0.163 -0.3195
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9224 46.49% 37.55 0.111 81.28% -0.134 -0.1624
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4402 36.88% 38.01 1.281 86.07% 0.507 0.3646
River Surges in Sunlight 10090 48.23% 37.98 0.204 79.21% 0.037 0.1439
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 68 48.53% 30.82 -0.231 63.24% -0.294 -0.4757
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1247 43.21% 38.76 -2.112 76.1% -0.534 -0.0841
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 581 41.11% 37.44 2.211 71.43% 0.118 0.0536
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5440 40.3% 37.52 1.577 82.3% 0.265 0.0426
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4463 62.35% 33.65 -1.052 70.94% -0.409 0.1622
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 136 44.85% 35.52 1.02 69.85% -0.092 0.1757
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 281 39.5% 41.43 3.773 82.56% 0.47 -0.0749
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 187 50.0% 34.49 -0.024 72.19% -0.086 0.2173
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 551 49.55% 38.56 2.683 84.94% 0.321 0.3342
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 478 56.81% 36.54 -2.382 76.36% 0.014 0.2337
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6304 35.46% 38.98 0.532 84.8% 0.084 -0.0195
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 415 23.61% 42.48 2.616 71.81% -0.052 -0.1656
Shifting Memory of Ages 1444 49.27% 33.86 -0.539 74.86% -0.097 0.2578
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 75 26.67% 32.2 0.293 69.33% -0.082 -0.412
Shroud of Silent Mist 1556 62.8% 32.06 -2.588 71.21% -0.48 -0.1128
Starlight Seeks its Form 2104 38.59% 36.85 -1.552 79.13% -0.259 -0.4462
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3349 35.93% 36.88 -0.849 85.43% -0.047 -0.7803
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3564 37.78% 37.84 0.293 82.69% 0.237 0.4643
Thunderspeaker 8358 39.18% 38.86 -0.148 83.39% 0.011 0.0166
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 247 29.15% 35.81 -2.009 68.42% -0.173 -0.0153
Towering Roots of the Jungle 197 33.5% 32.03 0.671 69.54% 0.173 0.1593
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2365 72.75% 32.07 -1.798 72.47% -0.179 -0.0925
Vital Strength of the Earth 6252 37.99% 33.75 -2.666 75.59% -0.451 0.072
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 341 45.75% 35.28 -4.043 73.61% -0.611 -0.0695
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 761 25.89% 32.71 -2.538 76.22% -0.117 0.6323
Volcano Looming High 2563 47.98% 34.68 -1.925 77.99% -0.303 -0.1477
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 720 29.58% 37.0 0.993 74.72% 0.213 -0.0958

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 28 7.14% 33.29 -5.848 78.57% -0.071 -0.1307
Blitz 0 1121 45.92% 33.6 -0.941 71.63% -0.282 0.0146
Dahan Insurrection 4 1479 22.73% 56.02 3.542 74.98% 0.028 -0.1457
Despicable Theft 2 103 52.43% 37.23 -1.251 64.08% -0.498 0.4655
Elemental Invocation 1 251 51.0% 30.59 -3.437 60.16% -0.618 0.3371
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3303 10.63% 45.56 5.902 85.17% 0.674 0.0149
Powers Long Forgotten 1 433 53.94% 36.27 -0.634 67.21% -0.012 0.9685
Rituals of Terror 3 380 56.58% 41.38 -1.842 62.11% -0.943 -0.8314
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 214 62.15% 40.25 -7.395 64.95% -1.55 -0.4395
Second Wave 0 4199 47.3% 37.45 2.358 73.68% 0.077 0.1326
The Great River 3 181 52.49% 34.76 -7.768 47.51% -1.298 0.1222
Varied Terrains 2 94 56.38% 35.35 0.205 58.51% -0.578 0.3143
Ward the Shores 2 413 46.47% 42.13 -2.964 71.91% -0.469 0.5165

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 61076 45.75% 35.19 -0.307 77.99% -0.165 0.0436
1 Thematic 3813 48.45% 40.52 1.232 72.33% -0.023 0.4533
2 Archipelago 37 45.95% 38.05 1.558 51.35% -0.296 0.4039
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 14174 43.07% 36.47 -0.366 82.88% -0.147 -0.0091
2 Coastline 1678 41.25% 37.19 0.625 82.48% -0.101 -0.154
2 Fragment 428 46.34% 35.79 0.214 80.84% -0.078 -0.3888
2 Heart 183 50.56% 36.58 -4.946 80.87% -0.747 -0.7955
2 Opposite Shores 3197 39.83% 37.5 0.609 84.74% -0.248 -0.2901
2 Thematic 1517 44.55% 42.88 3.06 76.8% 0.132 0.3823
2 Top to Top 556 37.55% 38.33 -0.902 85.43% -0.344 -0.3387
3 Archipelago 27 44.44% 57.96 -4.819 77.78% -0.837 -2.2888
3 Coastline 37 37.84% 40.43 17.04 81.08% 0.454 -0.3681
3 Other 299 41.14% 39.2 1.427 89.3% -0.154 -0.4522
3 Round (Default) 5705 35.66% 38.32 1.038 85.38% 0.092 -0.0689
3 Sunrise 32 37.5% 39.81 -15.672 90.63% -0.912 -0.6406
3 Thematic 302 47.67% 42.63 -7.495 73.51% -0.713 -0.9676
4 Archipelago 15 33.33% 49.0 0.0 86.67%
4 Coastline 7 42.86% 37.43 0.0 71.43%
4 Leaf 25 32.0% 42.88 0.0 96.0%
4 Other 114 54.39% 42.59 4.301 86.84% 0.453 0.0444
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 691 33.04% 44.95 -3.398 75.54% -0.819 -0.5516
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2674 31.35% 39.78 -1.086 87.14% -0.537 -0.1576
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 53.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 4 100.0% 40.75 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 142 38.3% 43.51 -2.369 82.39% -0.355 -0.6994
5 Thematic 22 40.91% 56.55 -1.733 81.82% -0.344 -0.5619
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 28.67 6.367 66.67% 0.207 -0.6999
6 Coastline 2 50.0% 10.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 22 27.27% 52.45 0.0 90.91%
6 Star 26 30.77% 42.73 4.176 96.15% 0.41 0.4209
6 Thematic 417 43.66% 56.17 5.226 73.62% 0.759 0.9307
6 Two Centers (Default) 255 14.12% 42.59 2.716 88.63% 0.53 0.3804
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.529 0.0% 0.037 -1.3567

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2912 30.48 1.008 63.7% -0.131 0.0342
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2400 32.05 -0.652 64.83% -0.553 -0.5895
All Things Weaken 1642 29.31 -1.324 60.48% -0.443 -0.1529
Attenuated Essence 180 32.4 0.255 63.89% -0.344 -0.2295
Back Against the Wall 2289 31.09 -0.146 62.73% -0.444 -0.3627
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 178 30.13 2.847 62.36% 0.443 0.6328
Burn Brightest Before the End 167 31.12 0.722 59.88% -0.098 0.1173
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2720 28.09 -1.855 61.99% -0.521 -0.1292
Downward Spiral 7503 29.8 -1.889 67.84% -0.278 -0.1417
Erosion of Will 3038 30.53 1.102 63.43% 0.035 0.3343
Intensifying Exploitation 180 28.88 -0.327 57.78% -0.194 0.0536
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 696 39.12 2.001 94.97% 0.678 0.1683
Memory Fades to Dust 7684 29.25 -2.266 63.96% -0.438 -0.1881
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1547 30.73 0.231 67.42% -0.145 0.1297
Promising Farmlands 2913 29.78 -1.478 65.98% -0.146 0.1899
Shattered Fragments of Power 157 31.65 2.52 65.61% 0.367 0.5482
Slow Dissolution of Will 149 29.09 -4.611 57.72% -0.808 -0.4465
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 428 38.86 -1.268 92.99% -0.033 -0.6371
The Border of Life and Death 67 35.96 3.241 83.58% 0.33 -0.1462
Thriving Communities 1475 29.7 -0.813 64.54% -0.239 0.0914
Thriving Crops 98 31.14 1.439 69.39% 0.45 0.4363
Tipping Point 971 29.87 0.0 64.78%
Unnatural Proliferation 1616 31.02 -0.427 63.99% -0.152 -0.0389
Untended Land Crumbles 1540 30.33 0.013 65.84% -0.0 0.402

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 22942 43.27% 35.95 -0.956 79.77% -0.31 0.5437
B 23610 42.42% 36.56 0.92 81.44% 0.066 0.8724
C 24273 42.91% 36.65 -0.034 81.51% -0.161 0.5184
D 21995 43.21% 36.38 0.057 81.32% -0.103 0.7011
E 8741 39.48% 37.3 0.087 82.31% -0.19 0.4798
F 11529 39.24% 37.27 0.061 82.69% -0.188 0.5855
G 10494 40.38% 37.0 -0.518 82.33% -0.259 0.5745
H 10605 39.02% 37.5 0.094 82.91% -0.352 0.4141
East 4637 43.72% 44.17 1.356 74.6% 0.182 1.0244
Northeast 2956 41.58% 45.51 1.136 76.01% -0.317 0.4463
Northwest 2393 41.72% 45.47 -0.79 76.01% -0.628 0.1863
Southeast 969 42.41% 46.71 2.6 72.45% -0.045 0.7363
Southwest 940 44.16% 44.83 0.254 70.53% -0.679 0.6239
West 4107 44.73% 43.27 -1.069 73.65% -0.849 0.1375

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 757 0.0% 35.29 4.146 74.11% 0.003 0.7786
Not Using Events or Tokens 15713 49.44% 33.75 -1.925 74.77% -0.38 0.0286
Skip Initial Invader Actions 980 14.35% 48.34 0.613 90.41% -0.451 -1.0781
Start of Game Growth 2087 15.73% 47.22 5.766 88.6% 0.503 -0.0509
Unlimited Undo 8467 37.29% 37.63 -0.459 83.24% -0.228 -0.1775
Using Tokens but Not Events 9614 34.98% 37.03 -1.307 82.76% -0.245 -0.2633

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9233 15.86 15.48%
II 24552 30.5 66.08%
III 41514 34.78 91.12%
IV 22267 38.41 99.34%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.077 Win Model: 0.221
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 65221 45.95% 35.5 77.61%
2 21695 42.5% 37.21 82.72%
3 6297 36.13% 38.7 85.33%
4 3517 32.18% 41.16 85.41%
5 124 36.89% 42.56 75.81%
6 712 33.14% 49.8 79.92%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1426
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 37034
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 15192
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 21916
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5153
Lose: Invader deck ran out 778
Lose: Adversary condition 304
Win: Sacrifice victory 373
Lose: Scenario condition 644
Win: Scenario condition 1660
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12468
Lose: Spirit destroyed 618

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7706 35.82% 43.34 -0.293 80.94% -0.017 -0.1623
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 61 26.23% 42.62 4.184 80.33% 0.766 -0.0103
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4926 65.83% 40.01 -1.306 72.9% -0.262 -0.0307
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 273 37.73% 47.86 6.695 86.81% 1.057 0.2502
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4056 41.53% 43.93 2.715 84.84% 0.615 0.4655
Downpour Drenches the World 1028 35.61% 36.4 -0.558 67.7% -0.184 0.1241
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1340 32.46% 39.12 2.007 74.4% 0.441 -0.0107
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6656 28.89% 48.71 3.485 90.76% 0.629 0.2604
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4495 33.77% 46.6 3.52 84.63% 0.691 0.2481
Finder of Paths Unseen 465 46.34% 30.76 -0.663 53.76% -0.091 0.556
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1365 42.87% 41.82 -1.039 69.16% -0.361 0.2262
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1929 46.66% 41.48 0.186 76.05% -0.036 -0.0775
Heart of the Wildfire 6303 68.06% 35.87 -2.469 63.91% -0.424 -0.1319
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 11186 45.16% 44.0 1.831 82.86% 0.365 0.036
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 333 25.53% 42.23 4.0 78.68% 0.522 0.182
Lightning's Swift Strike 6829 57.15% 39.43 -0.934 71.42% -0.208 0.1155
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 440 52.31% 44.33 5.578 78.18% 0.841 0.358
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 917 43.81% 45.03 0.686 83.75% 0.072 -0.2477
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 761 45.26% 42.56 2.677 75.16% 0.321 0.2103
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4110 45.86% 43.11 0.782 79.29% 0.145 -0.1533
Many Minds Move as One 2218 31.79% 46.36 4.384 87.87% 0.757 0.6005
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9395 50.11% 42.11 -1.398 78.17% -0.209 -0.2375
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4806 40.84% 43.37 0.617 83.83% -0.015 -0.1574
River Surges in Sunlight 10199 52.54% 43.36 -0.988 74.96% -0.385 -0.2782
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 60 58.33% 38.05 2.19 65.0% 0.097 -0.0851
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1021 45.88% 41.51 0.787 69.83% 0.116 0.5663
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 672 49.78% 40.26 1.6 66.22% -0.002 -0.0666
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5029 44.32% 42.92 1.561 80.49% 0.101 -0.1211
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3689 69.98% 37.12 -4.564 64.19% -0.719 -0.148
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 188 44.39% 33.6 2.798 58.51% 0.565 0.8327
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 327 41.28% 39.21 1.839 74.62% 0.213 -0.3311
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 197 51.02% 38.21 3.544 69.04% 0.377 0.6804
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 624 49.2% 43.4 1.392 78.69% 0.2 0.2129
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 409 60.15% 39.84 -0.763 72.13% -0.062 0.1577
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6456 40.25% 44.47 -1.66 81.71% -0.422 -0.5256
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 351 34.76% 37.59 1.566 70.94% 0.226 0.112
Shifting Memory of Ages 1384 54.1% 38.4 -2.775 73.34% -0.543 -0.189
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 64 46.88% 37.45 0.145 60.94% -0.381 -0.7117
Shroud of Silent Mist 1377 67.52% 35.73 -2.206 65.43% -0.382 -0.0157
Starlight Seeks its Form 2386 36.33% 40.94 1.161 78.29% 0.265 0.0776
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3455 40.96% 41.19 0.584 81.88% 0.17 -0.5633
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3825 39.65% 44.07 0.288 82.3% -0.026 0.2013
Thunderspeaker 7290 45.68% 43.72 -1.359 79.14% -0.254 -0.2491
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 211 50.24% 32.34 -6.716 61.61% -1.188 -1.0298
Towering Roots of the Jungle 180 37.78% 32.34 -0.785 61.67% -0.138 -0.1512
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2421 79.62% 36.74 -3.046 70.34% -0.529 -0.4425
Vital Strength of the Earth 5479 46.5% 38.23 -3.655 68.48% -0.703 -0.1799
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 342 37.46% 35.56 -2.591 66.37% -0.64 -0.0983
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 513 43.08% 32.66 -2.46 54.97% -0.694 0.0555
Volcano Looming High 2308 53.89% 38.55 -1.621 72.7% -0.205 -0.0491
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 786 32.7% 38.64 -0.806 73.41% -0.236 -0.5449

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 19 31.58% 36.89 -2.794 63.16% -0.186 -0.2451
Blitz 0 993 51.23% 38.94 0.453 70.8% 0.184 0.48
Dahan Insurrection 4 1276 28.59% 63.23 2.434 76.65% -0.76 -0.9331
Despicable Theft 2 106 56.6% 39.74 2.963 52.83% 0.11 1.0731
Elemental Invocation 1 167 68.26% 34.71 -9.482 52.69% -1.135 -0.1792
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3758 12.29% 50.13 4.713 82.7% 0.456 -0.2038
Powers Long Forgotten 1 284 61.27% 39.94 -3.485 61.62% -0.82 0.1602
Rituals of Terror 3 162 61.11% 42.28 -2.819 51.85% -0.574 -0.4627
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 125 75.2% 43.86 5.987 56.0% 0.407 1.5177
Second Wave 0 3091 52.53% 42.4 0.221 69.59% -0.48 -0.4241
The Great River 3 168 55.36% 31.18 -12.285 30.36% -1.769 -0.3492
Varied Terrains 2 48 60.42% 28.94 -6.586 35.42% -0.639 0.2538
Ward the Shores 2 184 58.7% 45.1 4.642 63.59% 0.388 1.3741

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 66799 52.16% 40.18 -1.119 73.92% -0.519 -0.3108
1 Thematic 3073 47.72% 46.94 -1.409 67.13% -1.198 -0.7216
2 Archipelago 23 56.52% 50.87 -3.23 73.91% -0.221 0.4793
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13797 45.81% 42.86 2.063 81.79% 0.286 0.4241
2 Coastline 1734 41.96% 43.27 -2.557 81.95% -0.697 -0.7504
2 Fragment 316 59.29% 37.66 -0.132 69.3% -0.267 -0.578
2 Heart 162 55.56% 40.27 3.835 75.93% 0.46 0.4118
2 Opposite Shores 2943 46.32% 42.01 -0.722 78.7% -0.323 -0.3657
2 Thematic 1088 55.06% 46.59 -0.089 69.85% -0.736 -0.4858
2 Top to Top 522 46.26% 40.42 2.112 76.63% 0.38 0.3855
3 Archipelago 16 75.0% 57.63 -15.276 93.75% -0.424 -1.8756
3 Coastline 58 39.66% 43.14 -1.412 70.69% 0.079 -0.744
3 Other 280 35.61% 43.13 4.929 83.57% 0.82 0.5221
3 Round (Default) 4917 40.09% 43.6 0.863 81.74% -0.032 -0.1928
3 Sunrise 23 30.43% 47.48 0.0 91.3%
3 Thematic 207 51.69% 48.73 3.958 75.36% 0.129 -0.1257
4 Archipelago 21 23.81% 52.14 9.584 80.95% 0.521 0.7237
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 44.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 16 50.0% 45.94 13.158 81.25% 0.121 0.3724
4 Other 117 41.88% 41.85 -4.468 79.49% -1.043 -1.4515
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Snake 4 25.0% 50.25 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 381 38.79% 54.22 11.538 84.25% 0.424 0.6908
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2703 34.59% 45.22 -3.124 85.16% -0.411 -0.0318
5 Archipelago 6 66.67% 55.83 -4.824 66.67% -0.431 -0.1768
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 107 49.04% 43.51 4.949 77.57% 0.903 0.5579
5 Thematic 9 44.44% 60.44 0.0 77.78%
6 Archipelago 6 33.33% 35.33 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 22 19.05% 36.14 15.867 59.09% 0.239 0.8757
6 Star 35 34.29% 35.17 -7.077 60.0% -0.577 -0.5665
6 Thematic 102 9.8% 41.27 1.374 50.0% -0.079 0.0926
6 Two Centers (Default) 177 28.25% 40.36 -3.844 77.4% -0.492 -0.6412
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 77.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 1 100.0% 57.0 11.007 100.0% 0.282 -1.1116

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3551 35.41 0.771 60.35% -0.018 0.1471
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2727 38.0 1.21 65.35% -0.126 -0.1621
All Things Weaken 1952 34.16 0.265 57.84% -0.025 0.2656
Attenuated Essence 229 35.51 0.267 66.38% 0.039 0.1543
Back Against the Wall 2656 36.41 1.794 61.03% 0.18 0.2616
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 246 32.98 0.109 56.1% -0.271 -0.0805
Burn Brightest Before the End 143 33.92 -1.819 56.64% -0.681 -0.4658
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3339 32.48 -2.061 57.68% -0.539 -0.1466
Downward Spiral 8141 35.09 -1.206 63.98% -0.095 0.0409
Erosion of Will 3436 34.55 0.46 58.21% 0.021 0.3206
Intensifying Exploitation 232 31.87 -0.914 57.76% -0.046 0.2014
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 793 44.82 5.347 91.42% 1.098 0.5889
Memory Fades to Dust 8218 33.95 -1.349 59.48% -0.243 0.0068
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1926 34.7 -1.034 61.73% -0.339 -0.0649
Promising Farmlands 3414 34.67 0.972 62.07% 0.171 0.5069
Shattered Fragments of Power 165 33.98 -1.978 56.36% -0.832 -0.6506
Slow Dissolution of Will 231 32.01 0.057 51.08% -0.467 -0.106
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 519 45.39 1.648 92.1% 0.465 -0.1386
The Border of Life and Death 73 38.74 2.847 76.71% 0.557 0.0809
Thriving Communities 1884 34.51 0.063 62.47% 0.178 0.5079
Thriving Crops 114 39.61 2.378 78.95% 0.63 0.6164
Tipping Point 1157 34.37 0.0 59.64%
Unnatural Proliferation 2042 37.06 2.363 64.79% 0.179 0.2926
Untended Land Crumbles 1897 34.2 -1.435 60.52% -0.504 -0.1019

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 22659 49.19% 40.96 -0.441 75.7% -0.363 0.4909
B 23530 47.72% 41.76 -0.449 77.72% -0.347 0.4599
C 24485 47.7% 41.87 0.964 78.16% 0.001 0.6799
D 21143 48.76% 41.19 -0.04 76.63% -0.213 0.5905
E 9345 44.86% 41.58 0.037 77.98% -0.301 0.3691
F 11996 44.7% 42.16 0.075 78.97% -0.273 0.5014
G 10880 45.97% 42.04 -0.128 79.11% -0.235 0.5989
H 11394 43.71% 42.97 0.332 80.82% -0.238 0.5279
East 3311 46.28% 48.11 0.273 69.41% -0.095 0.7471
Northeast 2086 43.15% 48.92 1.295 69.99% -0.203 0.5598
Northwest 1364 45.88% 48.51 2.138 73.53% 0.161 0.975
Southeast 532 42.86% 45.65 -0.817 67.11% -0.368 0.4137
Southwest 494 43.52% 41.39 1.325 64.17% -0.093 1.2096
West 2616 49.71% 47.66 0.693 70.15% -0.463 0.5232

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 611 0.0% 38.86 1.608 64.81% 0.211 0.9865
Not Using Events or Tokens 13190 55.87% 37.74 -1.327 67.1% -0.135 0.274
Skip Initial Invader Actions 961 11.67% 55.68 5.845 90.53% 0.75 0.1233
Start of Game Growth 1948 16.13% 53.68 2.368 89.53% 0.073 -0.4805
Unlimited Undo 8822 41.01% 43.38 -0.221 81.21% -0.104 -0.0534
Using Tokens but Not Events 9991 40.78% 42.74 1.331 80.75% 0.331 0.3125

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10660 15.86 11.18%
II 32846 30.5 67.1%
III 38031 34.78 90.07%
IV 18195 38.41 99.49%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.296 Win Model: 0.235
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 70126 51.96% 40.48 73.61%
2 20521 46.33% 42.85 80.47%
3 5423 40.15% 43.75 81.52%
4 3239 35.16% 46.24 84.84%
5 90 50.57% 40.46 66.67%
6 333 22.59% 40.19 66.97%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1192
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 33703
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 21051
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17977
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5469
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1721
Lose: Adversary condition 270
Win: Sacrifice victory 376
Lose: Scenario condition 493
Win: Scenario condition 1289
Lose: Blight pool ran out 15436
Lose: Spirit destroyed 755

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5661 35.05% 45.85 -0.202 78.86% -0.081 -0.2264
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 52 38.46% 37.04 1.051 69.23% 0.331 -0.4444
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3875 66.6% 41.97 -3.699 71.61% -0.419 -0.1881
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 353 51.56% 47.38 4.915 80.74% 0.88 0.0726
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3396 44.2% 46.08 2.272 82.92% 0.606 0.4563
Downpour Drenches the World 772 35.37% 40.34 -0.494 69.04% -0.195 0.1129
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1125 30.13% 44.36 3.188 78.49% 0.63 0.1781
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5521 28.13% 51.96 4.043 91.43% 0.838 0.4701
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3669 35.45% 49.14 0.889 87.11% 0.293 -0.1504
Finder of Paths Unseen 361 48.75% 35.04 -6.041 59.56% -0.855 -0.2076
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1132 38.07% 48.12 -2.904 76.06% -0.637 -0.0495
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1887 44.38% 43.28 -1.465 72.44% -0.257 -0.2989
Heart of the Wildfire 5213 66.69% 39.67 -1.48 66.83% -0.233 0.0586
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9632 43.06% 47.83 1.598 84.67% 0.448 0.1186
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 299 28.43% 41.83 2.048 70.9% 0.419 0.0784
Lightning's Swift Strike 5654 52.27% 43.23 -2.484 73.61% -0.294 0.0297
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 471 55.13% 46.66 6.908 75.58% 1.087 0.6036
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 892 39.26% 49.06 2.45 86.66% 0.559 0.2393
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 609 39.9% 49.51 -0.48 84.24% -0.185 -0.2962
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3413 44.91% 47.22 0.255 82.3% 0.034 -0.2649
Many Minds Move as One 1867 31.99% 49.21 2.069 88.86% 0.452 0.2951
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7340 50.06% 44.3 -0.222 76.21% 0.148 0.119
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3548 43.29% 45.72 1.287 81.37% 0.349 0.2067
River Surges in Sunlight 7458 52.1% 46.01 0.993 73.33% 0.023 0.13
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 59 50.85% 35.07 0.165 52.54% -0.225 -0.4063
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 674 44.35% 46.16 -1.191 73.89% -0.343 0.107
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 541 45.08% 48.06 0.582 77.45% -0.115 -0.1792
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3893 44.4% 45.35 0.509 79.68% 0.212 -0.0097
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2316 68.18% 39.53 -2.48 62.44% -0.304 0.2672
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 117 58.12% 42.91 -2.475 68.38% -0.363 -0.0957
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 247 47.37% 45.64 5.04 77.73% 0.823 0.2786
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 152 46.71% 44.47 2.387 76.97% 0.016 0.3195
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 455 61.32% 41.49 -9.786 69.89% -1.18 -1.1671
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 271 67.9% 41.06 -5.418 67.16% -0.669 -0.4497
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7827 30.04% 50.29 -0.927 87.24% -0.084 -0.1882
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 259 37.84% 45.1 1.384 76.45% 0.232 0.118
Shifting Memory of Ages 1055 55.26% 42.58 -1.089 74.6% -0.178 0.176
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 31 38.71% 37.35 -0.012 67.74% 0.092 -0.2384
Shroud of Silent Mist 928 71.2% 36.25 -2.727 61.64% -0.489 -0.1219
Starlight Seeks its Form 2104 37.64% 45.05 0.501 80.8% 0.226 0.0393
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3147 36.88% 44.87 1.222 84.46% 0.58 -0.1529
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3084 42.63% 46.21 -0.939 79.22% -0.131 0.0966
Thunderspeaker 5356 46.71% 45.73 -0.756 77.8% -0.017 -0.0117
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 163 47.24% 40.35 -2.177 66.26% -0.554 -0.396
Towering Roots of the Jungle 198 43.43% 34.29 -0.143 59.6% 0.105 0.0919
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2246 79.74% 40.75 0.657 73.51% 0.237 0.323
Vital Strength of the Earth 3557 51.94% 37.32 -4.665 55.07% -0.962 -0.4382
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 265 46.77% 36.04 -4.75 59.25% -0.724 -0.1826
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 250 47.2% 36.89 -6.518 55.6% -0.672 0.0768
Volcano Looming High 2110 53.32% 43.29 0.045 77.35% 0.128 0.2839
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 544 38.42% 43.42 2.446 77.57% 0.574 0.2654

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 22.22% 38.89 16.266 66.67% 0.133 0.0736
Blitz 0 649 44.36% 41.8 -0.251 69.8% 0.208 0.5044
Dahan Insurrection 4 811 27.37% 64.76 -5.676 73.12% -1.106 -1.2789
Despicable Theft 2 42 54.76% 39.29 -3.671 47.62% -0.451 0.513
Elemental Invocation 1 81 48.15% 39.95 -2.454 62.96% -0.09 0.8653
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2687 13.23% 53.63 8.413 86.71% 0.832 0.1721
Powers Long Forgotten 1 153 65.36% 40.35 -7.468 55.56% -1.05 -0.07
Rituals of Terror 3 164 51.83% 49.31 -6.996 56.71% -0.637 -0.5251
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 94 75.53% 46.79 5.048 52.13% -0.061 1.0497
Second Wave 0 1975 52.36% 44.76 1.942 68.25% 0.004 0.0597
The Great River 3 64 59.38% 36.86 -9.42 39.06% -0.692 0.728
Varied Terrains 2 34 61.76% 35.38 -17.355 50.0% -0.821 0.0721
Ward the Shores 2 133 55.64% 47.55 -2.736 63.91% -0.316 0.6693

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 61926 48.31% 44.06 -0.692 75.87% -0.14 0.0682
1 Thematic 2107 54.04% 50.36 -2.633 68.77% -0.637 -0.1598
2 Archipelago 17 70.59% 42.65 -5.23 52.94% -0.314 0.3861
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9786 47.67% 45.64 0.195 80.74% -0.194 -0.0553
2 Coastline 1420 41.07% 47.34 0.478 84.01% 0.048 -0.0056
2 Fragment 188 53.48% 44.44 6.462 77.13% 0.567 0.2562
2 Heart 87 45.35% 46.98 -18.62 85.06% -0.57 -0.6186
2 Opposite Shores 1990 46.13% 44.26 -1.038 76.43% -0.362 -0.4046
2 Thematic 636 53.94% 49.21 4.972 69.18% 0.528 0.7787
2 Top to Top 444 43.67% 46.82 1.056 82.43% -0.011 -0.006
3 Archipelago 10 40.0% 42.3 7.306 60.0% 0.26 -1.1915
3 Coastline 51 23.53% 56.69 0.0 98.04%
3 Other 127 55.56% 45.8 4.656 80.31% 0.583 0.2852
3 Round (Default) 3851 37.74% 47.11 1.584 83.74% 0.017 -0.1444
3 Sunrise 16 18.75% 55.56 0.0 87.5%
3 Thematic 131 51.15% 47.44 -3.309 68.7% -0.291 -0.5457
4 Archipelago 11 72.73% 47.64 0.0 63.64%
4 Coastline 4 50.0% 47.25 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 9 66.67% 47.22 0.0 88.89%
4 Other 66 40.0% 49.02 0.0 83.33%
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 494 34.48% 52.02 5.6 74.9% 0.736 1.0031
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1718 37.76% 47.79 2.129 84.23% 0.099 0.4783
5 Archipelago 4 100.0% 70.5 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 67 47.69% 43.34 0.049 70.15% -0.368 -0.7132
5 Thematic 6 33.33% 38.5 -18.679 66.67% -0.651 -0.8693
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 23 43.48% 45.57 0.0 82.61%
6 Star 13 53.85% 48.92 1.448 84.62% 0.038 0.0489
6 Thematic 67 4.48% 44.72 -0.388 56.72% -0.04 0.1314
6 Two Centers (Default) 53 39.62% 39.26 3.478 67.92% 0.189 0.0393

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2970 38.28 -0.09 61.28% -0.318 -0.1531
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2192 41.14 2.757 66.06% 0.041 0.0044
All Things Weaken 1637 37.5 -1.419 60.23% -0.444 -0.1537
Attenuated Essence 195 38.15 2.26 66.67% 0.317 0.4321
Back Against the Wall 2079 39.43 -0.012 61.95% -0.398 -0.3166
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 188 33.41 -1.473 53.19% -0.399 -0.2088
Burn Brightest Before the End 119 39.3 1.54 61.34% 0.012 0.2277
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2787 35.22 -2.931 57.23% -0.817 -0.4256
Downward Spiral 6436 37.2 -1.985 61.65% -0.233 -0.0968
Erosion of Will 2857 37.07 0.213 57.61% -0.291 0.0084
Intensifying Exploitation 199 33.42 -0.602 54.77% -0.207 0.0403
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 668 48.11 4.792 89.67% 0.809 0.2994
Memory Fades to Dust 6553 36.05 -2.187 56.86% -0.578 -0.328
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1676 39.27 -1.935 66.71% -0.456 -0.1816
Promising Farmlands 2947 36.8 -2.479 60.06% -0.52 -0.1834
Shattered Fragments of Power 134 38.86 0.722 64.18% -0.123 0.058
Slow Dissolution of Will 193 31.84 -2.138 46.63% -0.881 -0.5194
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 477 48.01 -0.126 90.57% -0.085 -0.6889
The Border of Life and Death 63 44.21 2.333 82.54% 0.37 -0.1066
Thriving Communities 1530 36.4 -0.197 59.35% -0.264 0.0665
Thriving Crops 97 35.49 -1.939 67.01% -0.217 -0.2302
Tipping Point 957 35.54 0.0 54.13%
Unnatural Proliferation 1721 39.32 0.622 63.86% -0.286 -0.1726
Untended Land Crumbles 1592 37.6 -3.393 62.56% -0.735 -0.3327

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 17710 48.08% 44.0 -0.397 75.52% -0.028 0.8258
B 19268 45.82% 45.16 -0.158 78.45% 0.009 0.8159
C 19598 47.61% 44.93 0.385 77.91% 0.174 0.8529
D 16715 47.55% 44.63 0.095 77.12% 0.117 0.9207
E 8237 43.19% 46.22 1.078 81.66% 0.188 0.8576
F 10173 44.39% 45.47 1.052 80.06% 0.125 0.8994
G 9192 44.89% 45.46 0.76 80.1% 0.037 0.8705
H 9380 43.01% 45.95 0.266 80.98% 0.085 0.8505
East 2237 48.34% 49.52 1.249 68.53% 0.355 1.1966
Northeast 1368 46.08% 49.71 3.925 68.71% 0.818 1.5811
Northwest 1111 44.13% 50.05 -0.921 72.55% -0.469 0.3449
Southeast 384 41.67% 46.64 -2.426 67.71% -0.548 0.2336
Southwest 357 44.26% 41.85 -1.553 61.06% -0.343 0.9598
West 2086 47.17% 51.13 -4.409 70.61% -1.085 -0.0985

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 470 0.0% 44.61 -1.078 71.7% -0.052 0.7236
Not Using Events or Tokens 10453 52.83% 41.6 -2.789 69.12% -0.314 0.095
Skip Initial Invader Actions 691 15.51% 59.12 6.547 91.32% 0.862 0.235
Start of Game Growth 1328 17.44% 56.11 2.885 89.08% -0.09 -0.6431
Unlimited Undo 8437 43.42% 45.84 -2.569 80.5% -0.461 -0.4105
Using Tokens but Not Events 7942 38.43% 45.76 -1.54 79.53% -0.425 -0.4434

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11358 15.86 27.27%
II 36214 30.5 77.26%
III 27209 34.78 88.33%
IV 10586 38.41 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.568 Win Model: 0.154
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 64211 48.53% 44.27 75.64%
2 14504 46.97% 45.82 80.03%
3 4141 38.27% 47.24 83.46%
4 2305 37.27% 48.78 82.13%
5 49 51.02% 36.47 59.18%
6 157 26.75% 43.31 66.88%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3094
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 23726
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 27223
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10462
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3610
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2892
Lose: Adversary condition 120
Win: Sacrifice victory 334
Lose: Scenario condition 304
Win: Scenario condition 818
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12195
Lose: Spirit destroyed 589

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3115 47.1% 47.02 -3.492 65.2% -0.741 -0.8859
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 10 10.0% 52.0 3.382 80.0% 0.19 -0.5864
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1801 76.74% 44.97 -2.596 62.41% -0.375 -0.1444
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 168 43.45% 50.31 6.36 76.79% 0.854 0.0466
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2606 40.59% 52.22 4.467 77.63% 0.574 0.425
Downpour Drenches the World 374 43.41% 39.19 -4.492 53.74% -0.393 -0.0851
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 682 34.02% 49.1 5.195 75.81% 1.056 0.6041
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3239 38.69% 55.16 3.089 82.53% 0.443 0.0751
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1803 45.73% 52.94 4.822 76.93% 0.749 0.3059
Finder of Paths Unseen 145 57.93% 39.65 3.355 51.72% -0.132 0.5152
Fractured Days Split the Sky 469 54.37% 49.11 3.051 60.55% 0.237 0.8243
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 743 43.61% 51.51 3.826 74.83% 0.315 0.2737
Heart of the Wildfire 2862 71.22% 41.76 -3.348 56.71% -0.559 -0.2666
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4209 59.08% 48.45 -2.904 69.04% -0.399 -0.7284
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 311 14.15% 57.75 7.331 88.1% 1.205 0.8646
Lightning's Swift Strike 3390 70.54% 42.94 -2.215 56.78% -0.249 0.0748
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 185 68.65% 42.52 0.071 57.3% -0.115 -0.5977
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 413 54.63% 49.17 0.597 73.61% -0.029 -0.3488
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 312 42.63% 50.88 -1.743 72.44% -0.657 -0.768
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1969 50.33% 50.52 -0.25 73.79% -0.115 -0.4138
Many Minds Move as One 721 41.47% 54.93 2.759 84.74% 0.546 0.3899
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3735 57.27% 49.41 1.634 70.55% 0.332 0.3029
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1850 52.94% 48.03 5.522 68.97% 0.842 0.6993
River Surges in Sunlight 4252 64.01% 49.33 -3.268 64.23% -0.75 -0.643
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 18 27.78% 46.5 1.358 72.22% 0.031 -0.1503
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 468 35.68% 52.43 1.41 69.23% -0.412 0.0382
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 293 55.67% 47.12 1.389 62.46% -0.316 -0.3802
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1861 54.96% 48.29 -0.166 69.1% 0.034 -0.1881
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2061 82.24% 42.0 -3.106 53.76% -0.655 -0.0843
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 35 62.86% 41.06 -5.429 60.0% -0.363 -0.0955
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 145 52.41% 46.46 4.489 71.72% 0.738 0.1937
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 135 33.33% 52.19 8.351 77.04% 0.752 1.0553
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 216 77.31% 41.12 14.817 49.07% 0.819 0.8321
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 135 76.3% 44.85 14.974 62.22% 0.326 0.5449
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3712 38.17% 55.36 0.549 79.31% 0.098 -0.0061
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 121 43.8% 39.74 2.856 58.68% 0.203 0.0888
Shifting Memory of Ages 412 66.75% 39.99 -6.193 51.46% -0.347 0.0076
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 9 55.56% 51.44 7.102 88.89% 1.118 0.7878
Shroud of Silent Mist 329 79.57% 37.37 -9.814 49.54% -1.616 -1.2497
Starlight Seeks its Form 724 42.68% 46.71 -0.569 65.88% -0.115 -0.3022
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2575 35.08% 51.17 1.798 80.04% 0.398 -0.3351
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1866 49.6% 50.81 2.06 72.19% 0.111 0.3388
Thunderspeaker 2865 57.05% 48.41 -1.227 66.07% -0.226 -0.2209
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 63 42.86% 44.13 5.638 68.25% 0.324 0.482
Towering Roots of the Jungle 40 67.5% 36.25 -1.637 47.5% -0.481 -0.4942
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1390 86.76% 44.38 -3.227 63.88% -0.508 -0.4217
Vital Strength of the Earth 2083 66.75% 35.92 -9.561 36.15% -1.862 -1.3383
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 208 51.44% 39.46 -0.848 47.12% -0.221 0.3203
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 126 57.94% 37.88 -2.77 38.1% -0.998 -0.2487
Volcano Looming High 995 69.7% 45.25 0.483 64.72% 0.285 0.4404
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 232 41.81% 40.56 1.093 62.5% 0.325 0.0161

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 0.0% 22.0 -8.43 33.33% -0.156 -0.2149
Blitz 0 438 70.86% 40.06 -1.288 50.46% -0.398 -0.1015
Dahan Insurrection 4 520 51.54% 66.27 3.979 60.0% 0.109 -0.0645
Despicable Theft 2 9 44.44% 40.78 0.0 44.44%
Elemental Invocation 1 58 65.52% 23.53 -17.301 15.52% -0.861 0.0941
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1759 16.75% 59.7 5.18 85.9% 0.709 0.0497
Powers Long Forgotten 1 107 70.09% 44.68 -0.753 49.53% -0.167 0.8137
Rituals of Terror 3 71 61.97% 55.68 -15.352 47.89% -0.738 -0.6267
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 59 91.53% 48.71 0.0 42.37%
Second Wave 0 1113 61.26% 47.49 -3.112 59.48% -0.492 -0.4361
The Great River 3 30 60.0% 38.2 0.0 20.0%
Varied Terrains 2 7 71.43% 46.14 7.43 42.86% 0.046 0.9388
Ward the Shores 2 67 71.64% 47.04 -16.643 47.76% -0.506 0.4792

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 35510 57.11% 46.49 -0.85 65.12% -0.151 0.057
1 Thematic 1311 63.31% 50.96 0.141 55.91% 0.053 0.5297
2 Archipelago 8 75.0% 59.63 0.0 75.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5317 55.49% 49.56 0.131 71.41% 0.064 0.2025
2 Coastline 802 47.93% 48.55 -2.349 69.33% -0.576 -0.6294
2 Fragment 102 66.34% 45.93 1.818 64.71% 0.087 -0.2241
2 Heart 74 63.51% 48.03 -15.335 67.57% -0.27 -0.3181
2 Opposite Shores 1313 54.61% 49.83 2.083 71.59% 0.068 0.0259
2 Thematic 355 66.1% 50.98 -4.306 53.24% 0.049 0.2995
2 Top to Top 176 61.71% 48.0 13.472 68.75% 0.704 0.7094
3 Archipelago 4 50.0% 84.75 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 11 27.27% 60.55 0.0 90.91%
3 Other 44 70.45% 51.57 0.0 70.45%
3 Round (Default) 1650 50.95% 51.02 5.237 74.67% 1.226 1.0651
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Thematic 72 48.61% 58.81 9.252 69.44% 0.048 -0.2059
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 64.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 14 57.14% 49.71 0.0 71.43%
4 Thematic 188 32.98% 63.06 -13.058 79.79% -0.136 0.1307
4 Trapezoid (Default) 718 47.23% 48.66 -2.922 70.33% -0.448 -0.0684
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 21 47.62% 47.0 -5.303 66.67% -0.355 -0.7003
5 Thematic 5 80.0% 77.0 -10.808 80.0% -0.209 -0.4277
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 69.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 5 20.0% 17.4 0.0 20.0%
6 Star 1 0.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 30 23.33% 62.2 -8.43 76.67% -0.156 0.0156
6 Two Centers (Default) 11 9.09% 47.64 0.0 72.73%
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1830 40.95 -1.583 50.11% -0.481 -0.3156
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1294 45.21 5.789 58.58% 0.845 0.8086
All Things Weaken 1018 39.66 -2.614 48.13% -0.848 -0.5576
Attenuated Essence 128 39.4 1.179 53.13% 0.148 0.2629
Back Against the Wall 1309 43.66 2.641 55.16% 0.108 0.1894
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 115 34.54 -1.328 45.22% -0.205 -0.0147
Burn Brightest Before the End 87 39.68 1.804 51.72% 0.035 0.25
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1695 37.86 -2.441 46.9% -0.566 -0.1743
Downward Spiral 5222 39.16 -1.053 49.39% -0.027 0.109
Erosion of Will 1713 38.99 -3.589 45.71% -0.923 -0.624
Intensifying Exploitation 131 34.05 -2.141 45.8% -0.42 -0.1726
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 348 53.25 10.102 85.06% 0.924 0.4141
Memory Fades to Dust 5091 38.63 -0.268 46.73% -0.098 0.1514
Power Corrodes the Spirit 991 40.58 -3.164 52.47% -0.973 -0.6982
Promising Farmlands 1758 37.99 -1.039 45.22% -0.29 0.0459
Shattered Fragments of Power 77 38.99 -0.451 50.65% -0.432 -0.2509
Slow Dissolution of Will 107 30.41 -0.134 30.84% -0.411 -0.0499
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 205 53.16 5.391 85.37% 0.41 -0.1934
The Border of Life and Death 30 52.37 9.202 86.67% 0.942 0.4654
Thriving Communities 1004 39.57 -0.947 50.9% -0.442 -0.1121
Thriving Crops 46 48.52 6.962 78.26% 0.967 0.9535
Tipping Point 639 38.12 0.0 42.72%
Unnatural Proliferation 1037 42.81 -5.678 54.68% -1.437 -1.3232
Untended Land Crumbles 978 39.8 -4.655 51.33% -0.994 -0.5912

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8941 59.8% 45.31 -1.162 62.0% -0.149 0.7043
B 10815 53.62% 48.98 0.068 69.52% 0.018 0.8248
C 10479 61.95% 46.08 -1.046 64.21% -0.121 0.558
D 8363 61.25% 45.85 -1.076 63.51% -0.163 0.6404
E 3609 54.56% 48.64 1.238 70.74% 0.178 0.8478
F 6417 46.38% 49.83 0.009 73.51% -0.204 0.5702
G 5325 49.7% 49.89 1.396 72.68% 0.044 0.8775
H 5625 47.42% 50.47 2.713 73.65% 0.165 0.9309
East 1239 58.0% 54.31 6.673 60.77% 0.542 1.3835
Northeast 703 56.98% 54.64 1.447 62.59% 0.065 0.8278
Northwest 561 51.96% 55.2 -0.87 62.03% -0.276 0.5381
Southeast 191 50.79% 51.62 2.959 62.83% 0.013 0.7943
Southwest 183 54.1% 44.6 -11.152 53.01% -1.116 0.1862
West 1076 56.74% 53.05 -10.535 57.9% -1.456 -0.4697

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 223 0.0% 43.83 -0.896 58.3% -0.025 0.751
Not Using Events or Tokens 7734 69.55% 41.53 -4.901 54.24% -0.376 0.0327
Skip Initial Invader Actions 368 23.1% 62.34 7.134 83.97% 0.3 -0.3269
Start of Game Growth 756 21.83% 64.25 10.163 88.1% 1.306 0.7528
Unlimited Undo 8184 34.05% 55.55 3.393 83.35% 0.708 0.7589
Using Tokens but Not Events 8624 28.14% 55.56 4.99 83.35% 0.514 0.4949

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7777 15.86 19.48%
II 20757 30.5 65.61%
III 14125 34.78 80.91%
IV 5110 38.41 99.45%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.371 Win Model: 0.269
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 36911 57.34% 46.64 64.73%
2 8107 55.4% 49.54 70.56%
3 1766 51.17% 51.35 74.29%
4 917 43.47% 52.03 73.17%
5 18 50.0% 40.72 61.11%
6 50 18.0% 53.96 72.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1515
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11244
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 13273
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5029
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2361
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2860
Lose: Adversary condition 71
Win: Sacrifice victory 170
Lose: Scenario condition 188
Win: Scenario condition 413
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10122
Lose: Spirit destroyed 523

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7255 63.2% 42.28 -2.785 45.46% -0.336 -0.4811
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 34 58.82% 41.21 4.841 52.94% 0.565 -0.2109
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6300 83.06% 42.05 0.446 47.51% 0.047 0.2782
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 967 60.19% 53.38 12.934 74.35% 1.912 1.1043
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3385 76.57% 39.29 0.313 42.22% -0.041 -0.1899
Downpour Drenches the World 1167 53.3% 34.56 -5.338 38.73% -0.87 -0.5613
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2240 53.45% 42.85 4.153 57.81% 0.681 0.2295
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8860 55.33% 49.47 -0.565 63.44% 0.4 0.0322
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3524 73.77% 43.89 -1.083 51.31% -0.104 -0.5476
Finder of Paths Unseen 590 66.38% 28.57 -1.91 29.66% -0.291 0.3562
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1731 64.28% 48.5 -1.733 53.9% -0.277 0.3098
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1966 71.65% 43.61 0.184 52.03% -0.207 -0.2486
Heart of the Wildfire 7814 88.62% 31.98 -5.954 29.74% -0.947 -0.6547
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10723 71.01% 42.72 -2.989 51.14% -0.207 -0.5356
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 456 52.85% 38.82 1.012 50.22% -0.014 -0.3537
Lightning's Swift Strike 7979 71.42% 39.51 -4.682 43.09% -0.768 -0.444
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 895 73.68% 42.67 1.568 52.63% 0.051 -0.4324
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1430 79.35% 46.92 4.819 60.28% 0.615 0.2961
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1049 66.73% 46.53 -1.705 58.34% -0.253 -0.3634
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5534 69.57% 44.14 1.109 54.23% 0.31 0.0111
Many Minds Move as One 2279 59.04% 52.99 5.268 72.31% 0.769 0.6124
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 29114 55.42% 55.65 1.468 77.97% 0.754 0.7248
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3528 76.35% 40.62 -3.54 44.78% -0.642 -0.7844
River Surges in Sunlight 11722 73.5% 44.67 -3.087 48.25% -0.528 -0.4215
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 178 65.17% 35.43 2.191 47.19% 0.319 0.1378
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 550 78.85% 38.01 0.339 31.45% -0.185 0.2652
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1011 70.52% 40.83 5.354 46.39% 0.723 0.6586
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6020 63.2% 44.17 2.87 51.86% 0.459 0.237
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3696 73.11% 38.15 -5.704 39.75% -0.825 -0.2536
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 90 83.33% 39.32 7.162 44.44% 0.282 0.5496
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 585 65.13% 44.83 7.08 60.68% 1.064 0.5196
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 201 66.17% 30.41 -5.944 33.83% -0.747 -0.4433
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 495 83.0% 40.65 2.755 45.05% 0.515 0.5286
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 412 90.78% 40.33 10.092 44.42% 0.821 1.04
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6601 64.98% 44.08 -1.801 52.76% -0.288 -0.3925
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 447 62.42% 34.77 3.257 43.4% 0.5 0.3864
Shifting Memory of Ages 1049 80.58% 37.32 -4.976 35.46% -0.539 -0.1843
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 43 58.14% 36.23 2.284 48.84% 0.357 0.0269
Shroud of Silent Mist 1059 88.56% 32.08 -5.758 31.73% -0.82 -0.453
Starlight Seeks its Form 3343 72.3% 39.52 -0.257 42.33% -0.178 -0.3646
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5387 65.04% 44.47 3.887 51.16% 0.583 -0.1503
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3315 74.07% 43.99 -2.672 50.59% -0.419 -0.1917
Thunderspeaker 8738 73.09% 45.94 -2.699 45.12% -0.151 -0.1462
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 454 59.03% 38.43 6.152 49.12% 0.752 0.9095
Towering Roots of the Jungle 250 59.6% 29.77 -0.848 34.8% -0.17 -0.183
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4350 90.66% 43.39 0.597 55.59% 0.145 0.2318
Vital Strength of the Earth 4298 78.86% 30.87 -7.911 21.1% -1.254 -0.7306
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 331 70.09% 31.4 -2.824 29.91% -0.817 -0.2751
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 435 79.95% 29.45 -5.702 19.54% -0.899 -0.1498
Volcano Looming High 3569 76.59% 41.61 1.416 50.63% 0.306 0.4617
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 656 63.72% 38.4 2.104 50.46% 0.234 -0.075

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 11 45.45% 45.0 0.0 54.55%
Blitz 0 1025 58.93% 44.4 2.773 52.68% 0.283 0.5788
Dahan Insurrection 4 3098 74.42% 55.79 -0.92 35.89% -0.217 -0.3906
Despicable Theft 2 31 61.29% 36.48 0.0 25.81%
Elemental Invocation 1 85 72.94% 31.98 -11.788 17.65% -0.132 0.8238
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 4539 36.35% 55.19 8.647 68.74% 1.532 0.8724
Powers Long Forgotten 1 137 84.44% 34.76 -15.344 21.9% -0.679 0.3011
Rituals of Terror 3 352 58.81% 69.9 2.318 40.34% 0.065 0.1761
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 39 69.23% 33.95 0.0 20.51%
Second Wave 0 900 69.93% 44.03 4.598 45.44% 0.386 0.4415
The Great River 3 47 76.6% 35.72 0.0 17.02%
Varied Terrains 2 21 57.14% 33.81 -5.982 23.81% -0.427 0.4656
Ward the Shores 2 88 79.55% 35.63 -11.56 26.14% -0.754 0.2315

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 113667 70.71% 43.4 -0.03 52.45% 0.044 0.2521
1 Thematic 4538 77.17% 51.66 -3.144 37.64% -0.496 -0.0192
2 Archipelago 65 42.19% 34.54 -6.654 24.62% -0.209 0.4915
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11892 63.47% 46.94 1.694 59.19% 0.29 0.4284
2 Coastline 2063 67.11% 44.81 2.021 55.94% 0.317 0.2638
2 Fragment 230 76.09% 37.92 2.143 43.04% 0.466 0.1553
2 Heart 134 73.13% 41.17 -8.74 46.27% -0.752 -0.8
2 Opposite Shores 3091 72.72% 44.77 1.737 49.89% 0.254 0.2119
2 Thematic 1142 79.24% 48.33 -2.437 34.85% -1.039 -0.7891
2 Top to Top 480 76.47% 42.05 -5.721 47.92% -0.867 -0.8616
3 Archipelago 5 20.0% 55.8 0.0 40.0%
3 Coastline 51 58.82% 44.9 12.374 50.98% 0.976 0.1531
3 Other 99 77.78% 43.61 -4.656 49.49% -0.621 -0.919
3 Round (Default) 3191 69.93% 45.67 3.136 56.16% 0.484 0.323
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 50.29 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 126 60.32% 72.76 26.844 50.0% 0.605 0.3511
4 Archipelago 3 66.67% 60.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Coastline 11 45.45% 56.55 0.0 72.73%
4 Leaf 7 57.14% 38.0 0.0 42.86%
4 Other 39 71.79% 48.49 0.0 61.54%
4 Snake 2 100.0% 26.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 395 58.63% 69.33 21.449 56.96% 1.075 1.3415
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2320 52.18% 40.88 -4.936 50.73% -0.97 -0.5908
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 32.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 22 13.64% 53.23 0.0 77.27%
5 Other 43 60.47% 53.81 0.564 65.12% 0.132 -0.2131
5 Thematic 7 100.0% 46.29 14.419 14.29% -0.053 -0.2712
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 6 0.0% 68.17 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 10 60.0% 41.4 0.0 60.0%
6 Star 11 54.55% 51.73 0.0 72.73%
6 Thematic 24 70.83% 33.96 -15.021 33.33% -0.839 -0.6676
6 Two Centers (Default) 32 53.13% 36.47 -12.046 43.75% -0.264 -0.4132
7 Other 3 33.33% 27.0 0.0 33.33%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 7952 41.16 2.21 44.5% -0.158 0.0066
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6285 46.9 4.291 55.96% 0.252 0.2158
All Things Weaken 4195 38.67 -0.2 40.67% -0.401 -0.1103
Attenuated Essence 651 35.97 2.484 42.7% 0.145 0.2594
Back Against the Wall 5288 42.54 5.821 45.69% 0.198 0.2797
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 605 32.53 0.105 34.38% -0.319 -0.1284
Burn Brightest Before the End 427 36.77 1.629 37.94% -0.283 -0.0676
Disintegrating Ecosystem 7314 38.06 -0.577 41.65% -0.29 0.1018
Downward Spiral 14847 39.01 0.125 39.33% -0.11 0.0263
Erosion of Will 7701 39.57 1.974 41.42% -0.107 0.192
Intensifying Exploitation 676 29.86 -0.95 31.66% -0.355 -0.1073
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1126 52.73 6.156 73.09% 0.908 0.3983
Memory Fades to Dust 14795 38.4 1.371 36.7% 0.216 0.4653
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4064 38.37 -0.472 40.82% -0.507 -0.2327
Promising Farmlands 7320 38.82 -0.237 41.38% -0.27 0.0661
Shattered Fragments of Power 442 39.49 6.685 44.57% 0.575 0.756
Slow Dissolution of Will 629 33.44 0.93 33.7% -0.526 -0.1642
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 656 53.02 3.308 76.52% 0.56 -0.0434
The Border of Life and Death 126 37.58 3.801 53.17% 0.428 -0.0489
Thriving Communities 3948 36.59 -0.813 37.46% -0.431 -0.1003
Thriving Crops 204 35.47 -1.075 50.0% -0.234 -0.2475
Tipping Point 2485 38.06 0.0 37.42%
Unnatural Proliferation 4377 41.21 2.902 43.77% 0.01 0.1236
Untended Land Crumbles 4046 37.44 -0.657 39.0% -0.267 0.1354

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 25493 71.25% 40.88 -2.156 46.82% -0.703 0.1505
B 30239 67.94% 44.08 -0.528 53.35% -0.412 0.3952
C 29627 70.11% 42.94 -0.829 51.13% -0.474 0.2047
D 27296 69.13% 44.62 0.265 54.59% -0.402 0.402
E 12444 69.22% 43.6 1.701 53.85% -0.194 0.4758
F 15816 66.66% 45.26 -0.086 56.66% -0.452 0.3223
G 14918 66.6% 46.56 0.366 59.18% -0.399 0.4346
H 14250 64.63% 45.83 0.088 57.54% -0.392 0.3739
East 4557 76.25% 54.42 0.814 38.78% -0.34 0.502
Northeast 2359 72.31% 57.2 5.027 44.34% 0.506 1.2689
Northwest 1309 68.63% 56.37 0.515 44.69% -0.599 0.2155
Southeast 363 84.49% 39.01 -2.39 25.07% -0.281 0.5003
Southwest 296 78.84% 31.55 -1.193 21.62% -0.513 0.7892
West 2537 73.0% 51.27 -0.96 37.6% -0.532 0.4551

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 733 0.0% 38.48 -5.019 38.88% -1.158 -0.3819
Not Using Events or Tokens 15453 79.03% 36.7 -6.846 32.38% -1.33 -0.9206
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2705 17.61% 64.49 10.314 84.36% 1.06 0.4336
Start of Game Growth 5172 22.21% 60.39 4.788 81.32% 0.603 0.0497
Unlimited Undo 13020 62.2% 45.88 -0.385 58.71% 0.3 0.3511
Using Tokens but Not Events 10072 56.34% 45.09 1.624 54.1% -0.139 -0.1573

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 29948 15.86 4.64%
II 54343 30.5 46.74%
III 47226 34.78 77.02%
IV 12281 38.41 99.58%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.437 Win Model: 0.39
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 118784 70.94% 43.74 51.87%
2 18752 66.72% 46.24 55.47%
3 3442 68.72% 47.45 56.04%
4 2687 54.41% 42.77 51.1%
5 55 43.64% 43.11 52.73%
6 78 51.28% 43.74 57.69%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1384
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 35729
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 23898
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 12079
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 11030
Lose: Invader deck ran out 10801
Lose: Adversary condition 511
Win: Sacrifice victory 766
Lose: Scenario condition 915
Win: Scenario condition 1534
Lose: Blight pool ran out 42367
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2784

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-03-28 05:11:54 (Pacific Time)