The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8033 25.7% 25.66 -0.417 87.99% 0.078 -0.0759
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5558 44.44% 25.42 -0.575 86.4% 0.071 0.1227
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3876 26.09% 26.83 -0.247 92.16% 0.048 -0.1587
Downpour Drenches the World 236 25.0% 25.87 -1.958 84.75% -0.313 0.032
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 98 14.29% 28.05 1.594 87.76% 0.532 0.3187
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4953 15.55% 30.29 1.939 95.56% 0.857 0.3426
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3762 19.14% 28.27 0.68 94.23% 0.492 0.0702
Finder of Paths Unseen 134 31.82% 24.02 -1.871 81.34% -0.77 -0.2493
Fractured Days Split the Sky 832 32.68% 28.01 -0.793 82.57% -0.864 -0.5392
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 680 41.32% 27.7 -0.908 83.68% -0.323 -0.4406
Heart of the Wildfire 5061 58.06% 21.81 -0.935 75.82% -0.002 0.1987
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6836 27.64% 27.06 1.24 91.15% 0.662 0.0596
Lightning's Swift Strike 9304 42.43% 23.68 -2.361 80.18% -0.564 -0.284
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 86 35.29% 29.5 0.787 84.88% 0.028 -0.7198
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 583 26.08% 29.11 3.246 93.14% 1.197 0.7386
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 413 33.58% 28.42 1.826 90.07% 0.252 -0.0344
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2341 25.41% 28.41 1.215 91.63% 0.306 0.1459
Many Minds Move as One 1368 21.07% 28.97 2.325 94.66% 1.012 0.5844
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7778 40.31% 25.75 1.378 87.13% 0.598 0.483
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3444 30.31% 25.72 0.038 90.04% 0.057 -0.0073
River Surges in Sunlight 10142 39.21% 26.3 0.333 80.24% 0.122 0.0361
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 722 37.52% 27.48 1.444 81.86% -0.243 -0.104
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 126 37.6% 32.98 2.702 92.06% 0.251 -0.0115
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4267 29.91% 25.83 -0.13 88.84% 0.143 -0.0049
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 5584 54.38% 23.67 -0.555 78.76% 0.073 0.4777
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 38 36.84% 27.13 -2.396 84.21% -0.347 -0.2958
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 46 23.91% 27.09 -3.763 84.78% -0.717 -0.693
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 488 32.99% 27.72 2.68 92.21% 1.061 1.006
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 357 43.38% 26.49 -1.386 87.39% -0.803 -0.6942
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4939 28.37% 27.08 0.136 89.39% 0.165 -0.0259
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 16 18.75% 28.31 1.83 93.75% 0.546 0.5821
Shifting Memory of Ages 572 39.96% 25.2 -3.319 84.44% -0.902 -0.6273
Shroud of Silent Mist 996 43.72% 24.93 -0.759 85.04% -0.022 0.2309
Starlight Seeks its Form 778 23.01% 29.07 0.122 88.95% -0.181 -0.3626
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2038 27.72% 24.41 0.087 91.51% -0.046 -0.4901
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2905 30.84% 25.55 0.254 85.75% -0.173 -0.083
Thunderspeaker 7337 31.7% 26.64 0.411 85.69% -0.013 -0.0655
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 16 25.0% 23.88 -1.249 75.0% -0.498 -0.2477
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1361 60.01% 21.98 -0.893 83.39% -0.033 -0.1559
Vital Strength of the Earth 6939 31.78% 22.25 -2.001 76.7% -0.508 0.132
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 92 34.07% 24.12 -1.597 78.26% -0.609 -0.2313
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 341 33.63% 22.48 -2.096 76.83% -0.742 0.285
Volcano Looming High 1251 39.33% 25.31 -0.625 85.53% 0.251 0.2469

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 44.44% 23.67 -0.592 77.78% 0.065 -0.077
Blitz 0 963 40.41% 23.37 -1.671 77.78% -0.965 -0.627
Dahan Insurrection 4 1256 19.86% 46.55 10.599 81.29% -0.072 -0.3118
Despicable Theft 2 116 36.21% 33.62 7.781 78.45% 0.107 0.7059
Elemental Invocation 1 191 45.03% 28.42 0.651 79.58% -0.271 0.5609
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2055 8.53% 30.81 2.044 86.42% -0.353 -0.7192
Powers Long Forgotten 1 439 53.65% 28.38 0.632 75.17% -0.35 0.1165
Rituals of Terror 3 516 43.6% 36.08 6.318 72.48% -0.145 -0.4192
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 310 72.26% 33.16 1.168 67.42% -0.562 0.1329
Second Wave 0 1013 50.84% 26.0 1.37 74.73% -0.53 -0.343
The Great River 3 162 45.06% 30.77 2.685 55.56% -0.612 0.9594
Varied Terrains 2 33 39.39% 31.0 3.93 72.73% -0.148 0.4582
Ward the Shores 2 474 43.34% 30.95 2.698 72.36% -0.303 0.5566

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 57226 39.07% 24.48 0.041 82.78% 0.157 0.4211
1 Thematic 4507 41.74% 31.86 0.287 78.37% -0.43 0.2128
2 Archipelago 37 48.65% 35.41 3.204 67.57% -0.12 0.8418
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11931 32.83% 25.21 -0.566 87.74% 0.236 0.4441
2 Coastline 1253 33.63% 25.33 1.023 87.07% 0.832 0.9804
2 Fragment 309 38.61% 23.54 -0.781 84.47% 0.006 -0.0382
2 Heart 166 36.75% 24.34 1.49 86.75% 0.842 0.7597
2 Opposite Shores 1802 30.36% 26.05 1.178 90.9% 0.729 0.8922
2 Thematic 1038 38.95% 33.95 2.132 82.95% 0.065 0.717
2 Top to Top 332 31.52% 25.67 3.199 92.17% 1.094 1.2637
3 Archipelago 18 44.44% 32.67 0.0 88.89%
3 Coastline 27 37.04% 29.19 1.803 77.78% 0.354 0.0437
3 Other 136 35.34% 24.39 2.755 85.29% 0.472 -0.1541
3 Round (Default) 3663 23.64% 26.81 0.947 92.49% 0.517 0.4733
3 Sunrise 19 55.56% 27.16 8.303 89.47% 0.351 0.1623
3 Thematic 178 37.85% 35.73 -5.008 82.58% -0.179 -0.1096
4 Archipelago 7 28.57% 29.57 0.0 57.14%
4 Coastline 11 0.0% 49.55 0.0 90.91%
4 Leaf 7 71.43% 19.29 -5.668 71.43% -0.247 -0.6295
4 Other 69 27.27% 24.3 -3.026 85.51% -0.497 -1.2178
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 26.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 0.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 378 21.69% 35.81 3.755 92.59% 0.313 0.3013
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1653 23.33% 26.55 1.31 92.68% 0.84 0.6948
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 31 29.03% 31.13 -0.275 80.65% 0.42 -0.1707
5 Thematic 5 0.0% 39.8 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 4 0.0% 33.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 42.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 8 0.0% 25.25 -3.3 87.5% -0.599 -0.9769
6 Star 8 0.0% 32.38 1.345 100.0% 0.066 0.707
6 Thematic 31 22.58% 32.81 -4.97 87.1% -0.392 -0.3115
6 Two Centers (Default) 61 21.31% 27.7 -2.878 90.16% -0.85 -0.4206
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -15.335 0.0% -0.695 -0.9944

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1953 18.96 -1.997 61.5% -1.057 -0.0851
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1713 20.1 -2.411 63.28% -1.038 -0.2522
All Things Weaken 813 19.47 -1.809 61.25% -1.284 -0.1961
Attenuated Essence 3 13.33 -6.624 33.33% -1.048 -0.161
Back Against the Wall 1541 19.54 -1.919 61.45% -1.2 -0.3711
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 3 23.67 -1.233 100.0% 0.246 1.4972
Burn Brightest Before the End 3 14.67 -5.204 33.33% -1.063 -0.1221
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1814 17.05 -3.089 61.19% -0.805 0.3142
Downward Spiral 7252 17.17 -3.82 62.27% -1.232 -0.2697
Erosion of Will 1878 18.27 -3.095 58.79% -1.607 -0.4909
Intensifying Exploitation 7 22.29 -0.998 85.71% 0.079 1.1532
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 362 25.5 0.864 94.75% 0.329 0.2135
Memory Fades to Dust 7260 17.05 -2.958 59.38% -1.063 0.0499
Power Corrodes the Spirit 818 19.29 -3.449 67.73% -0.771 0.1849
Promising Farmlands 1921 17.76 -2.075 62.36% -0.413 0.7223
Shattered Fragments of Power 6 22.5 -2.678 50.0% -1.148 -0.2257
Slow Dissolution of Will 4 25.75 0.747 75.0% 0.122 1.3916
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 227 26.17 2.612 97.8% 0.515 0.2266
The Border of Life and Death 2 0.0 -16.89 0.0% -1.461 -1.0487
Thriving Communities 798 18.13 -3.283 62.28% -1.442 -0.2954
Thriving Crops 1 28.0 1.638 100.0% 0.153 1.0294
Tipping Point 789 17.93 0.0 63.12%
Unnatural Proliferation 811 20.19 -1.269 63.75% -0.717 0.2489
Untended Land Crumbles 797 18.52 -1.7 61.36% -0.831 0.2009

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 19707 37.49% 24.53 0.18 84.22% -0.047 0.8224
B 19939 36.24% 24.78 -0.174 84.93% -0.374 0.3934
C 20482 34.57% 25.05 -0.179 85.59% -0.077 0.5184
D 19224 35.03% 24.96 -0.684 85.4% -0.408 0.4116
E 5252 30.92% 26.32 0.157 88.37% -0.197 0.4559
F 8370 30.56% 25.86 0.046 88.36% -0.265 0.4662
G 7755 32.25% 25.77 0.467 88.56% -0.166 0.5496
H 7904 30.39% 25.87 0.192 88.12% -0.086 0.6105
East 3731 37.65% 34.06 0.618 82.1% -0.761 -0.1001
Northeast 2277 36.33% 34.22 -0.208 83.0% -0.4 0.4648
Northwest 1657 36.52% 33.55 3.309 83.4% 0.338 0.9239
Southeast 399 31.23% 32.28 -0.39 84.46% -0.284 0.4075
Southwest 375 40.64% 26.74 -0.971 77.6% -0.389 0.8526
West 3147 40.24% 32.64 0.419 80.01% -0.443 0.5725

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1650 0.0% 21.74 -1.619 71.94% -0.679 0.8095
Not Using Events or Tokens 21627 45.52% 22.93 -1.345 77.81% -0.368 -0.1764
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1225 10.66% 33.58 1.511 94.12% -0.277 -0.9929
Start of Game Growth 1954 13.68% 32.42 3.632 93.19% 0.48 0.0078
Unlimited Undo 5282 29.9% 26.7 0.611 89.21% 0.089 -0.1628
Using Tokens but Not Events 7424 29.2% 25.97 2.195 87.86% 0.652 0.6528

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5597 22.19 39.4%
II 26331 31.1 77.38%
III 37039 34.71 89.45%
IV 16022 37.97 98.85%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.06 Win Model: 0.13
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 61987 39.31% 25.03 82.42%
2 16766 33.0% 25.82 87.85%
3 3985 24.62% 27.11 91.84%
4 2116 23.21% 28.31 92.25%
5 21 19.05% 27.62 80.95%
6 114 17.86% 29.68 90.35%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2200
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 32345
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 19240
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15691
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 231
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1110
Lose: Adversary condition 187
Win: Sacrifice victory 334
Lose: Scenario condition 560
Win: Scenario condition 1742
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10728
Lose: Spirit destroyed 621

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5853 27.01% 30.92 -0.579 88.96% -0.18 -0.3341
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3662 48.34% 30.34 0.09 85.91% 0.075 0.1261
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2947 28.63% 31.68 1.053 92.03% 0.64 0.4341
Downpour Drenches the World 302 25.33% 29.96 -1.032 87.75% -0.446 -0.1003
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 154 16.22% 29.18 0.123 86.36% 0.243 0.0301
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3962 20.16% 34.26 1.916 94.6% 0.638 0.1235
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3003 24.9% 35.15 5.385 93.54% 0.941 0.5195
Finder of Paths Unseen 186 41.94% 28.94 -3.604 77.42% -1.02 -0.4994
Fractured Days Split the Sky 992 33.72% 32.06 -3.035 83.27% -0.78 -0.4545
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 995 39.15% 32.58 0.741 87.14% 0.337 0.2193
Heart of the Wildfire 3784 64.39% 25.16 -1.929 72.99% -0.14 0.0613
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5702 35.4% 31.06 1.63 88.95% 0.529 -0.074
Lightning's Swift Strike 6068 46.9% 28.08 -2.823 80.01% -0.683 -0.4031
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 111 35.14% 32.99 -0.665 92.79% 0.152 -0.5957
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 492 34.29% 33.52 -0.234 92.68% 0.134 -0.3243
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 403 37.22% 33.63 2.919 85.11% -0.217 -0.5028
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1855 36.59% 32.85 1.773 89.38% 0.5 0.3394
Many Minds Move as One 1260 23.93% 33.44 1.322 93.97% 0.305 -0.1234
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5988 38.62% 31.45 0.949 89.95% 0.437 0.322
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2767 31.83% 30.18 -0.96 89.27% -0.247 -0.3112
River Surges in Sunlight 7044 43.74% 30.82 0.636 81.52% 0.254 0.169
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 619 43.04% 30.64 -1.692 82.39% -0.533 -0.3939
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 177 41.81% 33.31 0.233 81.92% -0.188 -0.4513
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3141 35.51% 30.38 -0.307 87.36% 0.338 0.1904
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3771 62.61% 27.0 -0.811 75.87% 0.141 0.5454
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 47 53.19% 32.49 1.185 87.23% 0.462 0.513
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 54 48.15% 33.3 2.179 87.04% 0.665 0.6896
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 412 39.81% 32.08 0.081 89.08% -0.199 -0.2543
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 259 54.47% 29.2 -1.767 80.69% -0.521 -0.4128
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4057 32.27% 31.42 -0.176 87.55% 0.199 0.0074
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 31 25.81% 28.23 -0.643 80.65% -0.215 -0.1789
Shifting Memory of Ages 760 40.9% 29.3 -3.574 85.0% -0.643 -0.3682
Shroud of Silent Mist 900 48.42% 28.97 -1.221 87.33% -0.306 -0.0532
Starlight Seeks its Form 858 29.17% 32.39 0.442 90.79% 0.61 0.4277
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1680 29.47% 29.81 1.097 91.37% 1.061 0.6167
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2561 32.47% 30.39 -0.566 87.23% -0.081 0.0094
Thunderspeaker 5659 35.36% 31.33 0.508 86.0% 0.417 0.364
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 35 26.47% 28.74 -0.126 85.71% 0.208 0.4581
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1284 64.89% 27.03 -1.165 83.88% -0.122 -0.2451
Vital Strength of the Earth 4763 36.66% 26.99 -2.997 79.07% -0.825 -0.1853
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 90 31.11% 28.41 -2.345 84.44% -0.232 0.1452
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 340 36.28% 25.53 -6.709 74.12% -1.022 0.0052
Volcano Looming High 1190 46.86% 28.32 -1.839 84.2% -0.62 -0.6242

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 42.86% 30.57 1.924 71.43% -0.428 -0.5693
Blitz 0 832 42.01% 27.74 1.709 77.04% -0.874 -0.5358
Dahan Insurrection 4 874 29.34% 47.88 8.619 74.14% -0.563 -0.8027
Despicable Theft 2 112 41.07% 37.86 2.771 82.14% -0.216 0.3834
Elemental Invocation 1 169 50.6% 29.5 -1.871 77.51% -0.0 0.8314
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1784 11.04% 37.8 7.487 83.46% 0.565 0.1989
Powers Long Forgotten 1 422 57.82% 31.72 0.53 73.46% -0.634 -0.1672
Rituals of Terror 3 393 50.13% 38.26 1.938 71.5% -0.616 -0.8899
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 286 73.08% 34.99 9.178 64.69% 0.278 0.9735
Second Wave 0 4056 42.01% 31.95 2.112 81.39% 0.38 0.5675
The Great River 3 127 50.39% 36.08 4.343 66.14% -0.463 1.1081
Varied Terrains 2 46 67.39% 30.57 1.574 60.87% -0.286 0.3208
Ward the Shores 2 389 48.71% 34.22 -0.902 69.92% -1.184 -0.324

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 41071 42.62% 28.66 -0.885 82.87% -0.162 0.1026
1 Thematic 3647 45.93% 35.91 5.775 75.38% 0.138 0.7812
2 Archipelago 26 61.54% 37.31 0.0 80.77%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8742 36.75% 30.12 -0.687 88.62% -0.254 -0.0456
2 Coastline 1092 36.09% 30.73 -2.304 89.56% -0.157 -0.0077
2 Fragment 290 37.85% 29.58 -1.963 87.24% -0.543 -0.5867
2 Heart 147 46.21% 28.14 -0.577 78.91% -0.098 -0.18
2 Opposite Shores 1980 32.96% 30.76 1.109 91.67% 0.858 1.0217
2 Thematic 963 45.46% 37.38 1.931 82.87% 0.472 1.1249
2 Top to Top 337 36.12% 29.37 -1.759 85.46% -0.388 -0.2186
3 Archipelago 18 44.44% 41.17 3.056 88.89% -0.39 -0.6237
3 Coastline 20 40.0% 37.8 11.438 85.0% 0.26 -0.0498
3 Other 131 36.22% 29.69 4.139 87.79% 0.865 0.2391
3 Round (Default) 3184 29.01% 31.74 1.267 91.27% 0.417 0.373
3 Sunrise 21 23.81% 32.29 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 162 51.88% 35.28 -4.218 79.01% -0.782 -0.7122
4 Archipelago 10 50.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 10 30.0% 36.8 -4.396 80.0% -0.297 -0.7424
4 Leaf 12 33.33% 29.5 0.0 83.33%
4 Other 71 34.78% 31.38 2.933 88.73% 0.212 -0.5088
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 254 34.52% 41.07 -4.563 86.22% -0.268 -0.2789
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1409 28.12% 31.64 -0.682 91.34% -0.072 -0.2165
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 58.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 30 29.63% 37.43 -8.652 76.67% -1.066 -1.6567
6 Archipelago 6 33.33% 34.5 0.454 66.67% 0.03 0.1951
6 Other 18 16.67% 38.0 1.154 100.0% 0.315 -0.0628
6 Star 11 27.27% 32.36 8.085 90.91% 0.487 1.1279
6 Thematic 54 37.04% 47.96 1.509 90.74% 0.225 0.305
6 Two Centers (Default) 38 18.42% 35.42 -0.124 86.84% -0.382 0.0481
7 Other 4 66.67% 33.5 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1686 23.43 -3.743 63.88% -1.038 -0.0667
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1341 24.79 -2.755 66.59% -0.541 0.245
All Things Weaken 806 24.08 -1.994 65.51% -1.118 -0.0304
Attenuated Essence 6 25.17 -0.223 66.67% -0.416 0.4714
Back Against the Wall 1420 24.1 -1.234 63.73% -0.572 0.2566
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 6 20.83 -4.192 66.67% -0.77 0.4807
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1727 21.26 -3.66 60.86% -0.99 0.1293
Downward Spiral 5179 22.58 -2.038 68.02% -0.6 0.3625
Erosion of Will 1746 22.87 -4.442 61.11% -1.483 -0.3667
Intensifying Exploitation 8 22.5 -3.892 62.5% -1.014 0.0598
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 362 30.34 1.885 96.96% 0.809 0.6936
Memory Fades to Dust 5256 22.03 -2.293 63.07% -0.865 0.248
Power Corrodes the Spirit 777 24.15 -1.434 71.04% -0.558 0.3977
Promising Farmlands 1694 21.99 -3.043 63.34% -0.715 0.421
Shattered Fragments of Power 8 28.75 -2.587 75.0% -0.363 0.5593
Slow Dissolution of Will 5 17.8 -4.981 60.0% -0.557 0.7121
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 268 29.84 -0.639 96.27% -0.07 -0.3587
Thriving Communities 739 22.98 -3.601 66.58% -1.119 0.0282
Thriving Crops 5 23.4 -2.407 100.0% 0.407 1.2829
Tipping Point 669 20.79 0.0 57.55%
Unnatural Proliferation 863 24.79 -2.337 68.6% -0.815 0.1499
Untended Land Crumbles 821 22.87 -4.281 65.9% -1.392 -0.3601

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14660 40.76% 29.1 -0.367 84.38% -0.124 0.7451
B 14972 38.38% 29.52 -0.159 85.83% -0.095 0.6718
C 15466 38.63% 29.78 -0.462 86.47% -0.288 0.3072
D 14351 39.18% 29.53 -0.594 85.85% -0.083 0.7375
E 4697 35.39% 30.87 0.518 88.21% 0.054 0.7069
F 6717 34.48% 30.44 -0.431 87.61% -0.147 0.5843
G 6102 35.06% 30.46 0.356 88.45% 0.066 0.7816
H 6387 33.96% 30.57 0.015 88.05% -0.002 0.6952
East 3213 42.75% 38.68 0.766 79.43% -0.359 0.3015
Northeast 1917 41.68% 39.89 7.273 79.86% -0.245 0.6192
Northwest 1375 44.01% 36.93 -1.161 81.09% -0.435 0.151
Southeast 404 43.56% 36.94 0.237 82.43% 0.195 0.8867
Southwest 410 47.8% 33.58 -0.851 77.07% 0.063 1.3049
West 2637 48.99% 35.36 -0.24 77.13% -0.204 0.812

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1110 0.0% 26.54 -3.06 78.83% -1.01 0.4782
Not Using Events or Tokens 13105 46.15% 28.23 0.319 80.41% 0.058 0.2495
Skip Initial Invader Actions 773 13.34% 40.3 4.627 93.14% 0.718 0.0022
Start of Game Growth 1346 16.35% 38.9 4.207 93.54% 0.65 0.1777
Unlimited Undo 4834 34.26% 31.09 0.266 88.58% -0.299 -0.5503
Using Tokens but Not Events 6413 32.96% 30.13 -0.069 88.6% 0.449 0.4497

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3263 22.19 23.35%
II 15785 31.1 71.94%
III 29573 34.71 90.14%
IV 15156 37.97 98.88%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.064 Win Model: 0.065
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 44888 42.95% 29.27 82.23%
2 13509 36.78% 30.73 88.59%
3 3485 29.9% 31.87 91.08%
4 1748 29.34% 33.11 90.33%
5 17 33.33% 33.24 76.47%
6 130 28.68% 40.83 88.46%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 760
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 25972
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10708
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14814
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 223
Lose: Invader deck ran out 619
Lose: Adversary condition 128
Win: Sacrifice victory 289
Lose: Scenario condition 524
Win: Scenario condition 1216
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8031
Lose: Spirit destroyed 493

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7069 31.7% 39.99 0.021 89.33% -0.123 -0.2762
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4631 56.81% 37.58 -1.495 81.54% -0.513 -0.4612
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3695 36.59% 39.44 2.175 89.53% 0.907 0.7005
Downpour Drenches the World 467 31.96% 38.87 -1.429 85.01% -0.37 -0.0244
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 204 24.12% 37.77 0.386 78.92% 0.057 -0.1561
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5458 25.16% 43.61 1.364 93.84% 0.267 -0.2476
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3720 31.37% 42.46 2.733 92.28% 0.485 0.0633
Finder of Paths Unseen 240 46.81% 38.15 -1.549 79.58% -0.44 0.0809
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1015 37.73% 41.88 2.885 84.14% -0.02 0.3051
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1224 42.92% 39.77 -0.49 85.29% -0.383 -0.5001
Heart of the Wildfire 5185 64.09% 34.29 -0.028 74.99% -0.239 -0.0382
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8340 39.16% 39.65 1.005 87.45% 0.352 -0.2509
Lightning's Swift Strike 6729 49.49% 37.25 -1.094 81.26% -0.455 -0.1751
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 184 47.25% 40.53 0.987 89.67% 0.793 0.0455
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 705 37.41% 41.81 0.572 87.52% 0.08 -0.3785
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 571 38.14% 45.84 5.821 89.49% 1.217 0.9308
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2816 39.86% 40.87 1.046 87.71% -0.009 -0.169
Many Minds Move as One 1641 26.1% 42.6 1.672 94.7% 0.528 0.1
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7482 48.11% 39.05 1.806 85.67% 0.293 0.1782
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3714 36.73% 39.27 -0.745 89.31% -0.234 -0.2987
River Surges in Sunlight 8617 48.72% 39.61 0.602 82.66% -0.122 -0.2071
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 957 42.57% 42.35 1.244 82.24% -0.029 0.1104
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 238 42.55% 42.47 1.9 83.61% 0.436 0.1737
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4525 42.47% 38.6 0.209 85.66% -0.242 -0.39
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3794 63.61% 35.32 -2.903 74.8% -0.774 -0.3693
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 63 47.62% 41.32 0.048 82.54% -0.321 -0.2702
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 81 56.25% 39.52 -1.367 82.72% -0.299 -0.2742
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 438 51.14% 39.67 -0.909 87.21% -0.024 -0.0796
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 390 57.58% 38.41 -0.719 79.23% -0.34 -0.2317
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5589 36.22% 40.25 0.206 87.46% 0.101 -0.0905
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 35 22.86% 41.8 2.587 94.29% 0.886 0.9225
Shifting Memory of Ages 965 51.77% 37.84 -1.227 83.42% -0.109 0.1666
Shroud of Silent Mist 1186 65.03% 34.53 -2.374 76.64% -0.404 -0.1513
Starlight Seeks its Form 1211 38.82% 39.89 0.682 86.54% 0.239 0.0567
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2631 36.32% 37.86 -0.716 89.17% 0.495 0.0505
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2987 37.39% 39.55 0.033 86.27% -0.11 -0.0194
Thunderspeaker 7027 40.17% 40.64 0.31 87.04% 0.034 -0.0182
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 33 30.3% 38.06 0.147 78.79% -0.18 0.0696
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1900 74.95% 32.9 -2.406 75.47% -0.089 -0.2127
Vital Strength of the Earth 5212 39.58% 35.76 -1.58 80.14% -0.125 0.5147
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 156 42.31% 40.53 0.469 85.26% 0.011 0.3884
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 591 25.21% 35.48 -3.303 83.42% -0.732 0.295
Volcano Looming High 1867 47.08% 36.79 -1.131 83.88% -0.036 -0.0398

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 12.5% 39.5 -1.578 87.5% -0.279 -0.421
Blitz 0 917 48.5% 35.31 -1.022 76.44% -0.127 0.2113
Dahan Insurrection 4 1132 25.2% 61.23 10.113 81.98% -0.381 -0.6208
Despicable Theft 2 64 59.38% 43.94 -3.931 75.0% -0.769 -0.1692
Elemental Invocation 1 162 58.64% 36.97 -10.008 74.07% -1.584 -0.7519
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2604 10.67% 45.41 3.995 86.79% 0.028 -0.3378
Powers Long Forgotten 1 356 57.46% 40.66 1.445 75.84% -0.005 0.4618
Rituals of Terror 3 295 61.02% 45.94 10.628 68.81% 0.589 0.3157
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 164 67.68% 46.68 7.012 76.22% 0.528 1.2234
Second Wave 0 3517 47.93% 38.67 0.23 76.23% -0.465 -0.2784
The Great River 3 123 52.03% 40.0 -7.677 54.47% -1.525 0.0461
Varied Terrains 2 28 60.71% 46.39 0.415 82.14% -0.72 -0.1134
Ward the Shores 2 360 47.77% 44.33 -2.687 75.56% -1.242 -0.3823

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 49323 47.1% 36.95 0.299 82.07% 0.634 0.898
1 Thematic 3283 50.0% 42.53 -1.459 76.09% -0.626 0.017
2 Archipelago 24 45.83% 45.63 -2.919 70.83% -0.455 0.5064
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11303 43.92% 38.2 -0.775 87.08% 0.242 0.4506
2 Coastline 1339 41.09% 39.01 -2.43 86.56% -0.231 -0.0822
2 Fragment 335 45.76% 37.1 0.1 84.48% 0.331 0.2868
2 Heart 149 48.63% 38.32 -0.698 85.91% -0.127 -0.2091
2 Opposite Shores 2610 39.79% 38.95 -0.015 88.66% 0.278 0.4408
2 Thematic 1293 45.62% 44.61 -0.119 79.74% -0.383 0.2698
2 Top to Top 435 37.41% 40.07 -0.311 89.89% 0.278 0.4474
3 Archipelago 20 40.0% 64.0 6.483 90.0% 0.14 -0.0935
3 Coastline 22 36.36% 41.55 -6.192 86.36% -0.231 -0.5415
3 Other 272 42.28% 40.99 1.774 93.75% 0.608 -0.0173
3 Round (Default) 4339 36.97% 39.73 0.188 89.63% 0.169 0.1253
3 Sunrise 30 40.0% 42.47 7.473 96.67% 0.222 0.0333
3 Thematic 248 48.99% 45.74 -0.131 79.84% -0.543 -0.4734
4 Archipelago 11 45.45% 47.36 0.0 90.91%
4 Coastline 7 42.86% 37.43 0.0 71.43%
4 Leaf 16 37.5% 44.5 -7.198 93.75% -0.405 -0.7879
4 Other 105 53.33% 42.99 -1.171 87.62% -0.12 -0.8416
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 495 41.08% 50.49 6.436 87.47% 0.762 0.7503
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2177 30.19% 41.84 0.077 91.82% -0.11 -0.2549
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 53.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 1 100.0% 40.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 81 40.0% 53.48 0.96 91.36% -0.001 -0.5922
5 Thematic 14 42.86% 63.07 18.483 92.86% 0.396 0.0917
6 Other 17 5.88% 59.12 4.723 94.12% 0.283 -0.0944
6 Star 15 53.33% 42.4 4.311 100.0% 0.37 1.0102
6 Thematic 133 34.65% 57.2 -0.454 74.44% -0.563 -0.4833
6 Two Centers (Default) 142 16.9% 46.95 0.668 92.25% -0.469 -0.0394
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 61.0 11.712 100.0% 0.092 -0.9155
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -17.337 0.0% -0.548 -0.8481

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2561 30.59 -2.119 64.19% -1.007 -0.0357
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2112 32.2 -2.625 65.81% -1.238 -0.4524
All Things Weaken 1319 30.22 -2.6 62.85% -1.278 -0.1895
Attenuated Essence 13 28.31 -5.504 53.85% -1.363 -0.4756
Back Against the Wall 1982 31.27 -2.939 63.27% -1.119 -0.2907
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 10 17.3 -10.533 20.0% -2.201 -0.9505
Burn Brightest Before the End 11 28.73 -4.565 63.64% -0.745 0.1958
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2400 28.44 -2.968 63.08% -0.862 0.2574
Downward Spiral 6295 30.72 -3.205 69.91% -1.042 -0.0791
Erosion of Will 2648 30.6 -2.79 63.56% -1.156 -0.0402
Intensifying Exploitation 13 31.23 -4.858 53.85% -1.198 -0.1238
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 550 40.54 2.073 98.36% 1.046 0.9299
Memory Fades to Dust 6432 30.25 -3.704 66.42% -1.437 -0.3246
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1212 31.15 -2.657 68.81% -0.914 0.0416
Promising Farmlands 2534 30.24 -4.588 67.25% -1.304 -0.1681
Shattered Fragments of Power 6 31.67 -2.998 66.67% -0.471 0.4516
Slow Dissolution of Will 5 43.4 1.953 80.0% -0.091 1.1787
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 342 40.14 4.036 96.49% 0.87 0.5815
The Border of Life and Death 3 40.67 -0.97 100.0% 0.244 0.6558
Thriving Communities 1165 30.28 -3.614 66.61% -1.142 0.0053
Thriving Crops 2 23.0 -6.803 50.0% -0.517 0.3589
Tipping Point 971 29.87 0.0 64.78%
Unnatural Proliferation 1256 31.36 -3.476 65.05% -1.269 -0.3032
Untended Land Crumbles 1209 30.82 -4.453 67.25% -1.429 -0.3966

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 18499 44.67% 37.76 -0.4 84.08% -0.244 0.6251
B 19132 43.49% 38.11 -0.185 85.25% -0.215 0.5525
C 19829 44.05% 38.26 0.127 85.38% -0.048 0.5468
D 17916 44.06% 38.07 -0.58 85.31% -0.263 0.5569
E 6240 41.1% 39.55 -0.205 87.47% -0.224 0.4285
F 8921 40.2% 39.04 0.092 86.86% -0.16 0.5715
G 8062 40.83% 38.98 0.971 87.0% 0.116 0.832
H 8229 39.36% 39.3 -0.166 87.24% -0.161 0.536
East 3624 45.8% 45.82 2.364 79.14% -0.193 0.4672
Northeast 2186 43.81% 47.12 3.418 81.52% 0.501 1.3655
Northwest 1762 44.57% 46.79 0.907 81.73% -1.028 -0.4429
Southeast 548 42.8% 46.66 -0.082 77.74% -0.486 0.206
Southwest 514 45.47% 44.04 -1.597 75.1% -0.499 0.7432
West 3171 47.39% 45.09 2.375 78.93% 0.33 1.3462

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 686 0.0% 35.93 -7.822 75.66% -1.952 -0.4635
Not Using Events or Tokens 12282 50.78% 36.57 0.327 81.0% 0.549 0.7402
Skip Initial Invader Actions 830 12.71% 49.13 0.054 94.22% 0.259 -0.4575
Start of Game Growth 1643 16.05% 47.29 0.371 93.67% -0.425 -0.8971
Unlimited Undo 6693 38.35% 39.69 1.131 88.72% 0.425 0.1732
Using Tokens but Not Events 7738 36.36% 38.91 -0.712 87.0% 0.03 0.0316

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4454 22.19 27.82%
II 20168 31.1 68.34%
III 34890 34.71 91.22%
IV 18759 37.97 99.33%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.258 Win Model: 0.462
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 52797 47.34% 37.31 81.69%
2 17447 43.04% 38.87 86.67%
3 4861 37.56% 40.29 89.76%
4 2814 32.69% 43.69 91.29%
5 59 37.93% 55.63 83.05%
6 293 27.53% 50.09 84.98%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1236
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 31142
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 12868
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 18466
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 183
Lose: Invader deck ran out 681
Lose: Adversary condition 177
Win: Sacrifice victory 316
Lose: Scenario condition 555
Win: Scenario condition 1454
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10652
Lose: Spirit destroyed 541

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6409 36.39% 45.71 -0.851 85.29% -0.222 -0.3759
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4243 67.54% 41.91 -1.113 76.31% -0.033 0.0186
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3346 42.16% 45.7 1.674 88.37% 0.793 0.5869
Downpour Drenches the World 442 39.46% 42.7 -1.284 80.32% -0.155 0.1906
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 235 35.32% 42.32 0.672 81.28% 0.368 0.1548
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5494 28.67% 50.36 3.087 93.83% 0.934 0.4194
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3584 34.72% 48.8 2.854 91.16% 0.433 0.011
Finder of Paths Unseen 178 52.25% 40.68 -0.205 73.03% 0.291 0.8119
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1008 44.58% 46.59 0.52 77.18% -0.127 0.1987
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1318 46.89% 45.79 0.623 83.92% 0.123 0.0058
Heart of the Wildfire 5390 70.7% 37.46 -2.833 66.68% -0.252 -0.0509
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9740 45.77% 45.19 1.0 85.21% 0.541 -0.0616
Lightning's Swift Strike 5785 57.72% 41.38 -2.593 74.88% -0.47 -0.1898
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 235 49.78% 49.23 1.443 84.26% 0.445 -0.3031
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 713 45.51% 47.54 1.372 88.5% 0.412 -0.0464
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 558 47.58% 45.78 1.748 81.54% 0.537 0.2506
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3005 46.85% 45.86 -0.584 84.19% -0.075 -0.236
Many Minds Move as One 1745 31.81% 48.88 3.302 93.18% 1.03 0.6016
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7755 51.06% 44.71 -0.227 83.21% 0.026 -0.0893
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4058 41.12% 44.87 0.257 86.72% 0.315 0.2503
River Surges in Sunlight 8855 52.61% 45.19 1.155 78.06% -0.0 -0.0856
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 796 45.66% 45.52 -0.805 75.75% -0.478 -0.3389
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 279 50.9% 46.96 2.148 78.49% 0.296 0.0331
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4219 45.6% 44.44 -1.127 83.43% 0.044 -0.104
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3217 71.34% 39.11 -5.151 67.67% -0.991 -0.587
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 83 45.12% 42.23 -5.188 72.29% -0.814 -0.7636
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 83 60.24% 44.29 -1.54 80.72% -0.31 -0.2851
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 499 47.9% 46.16 -8.032 83.97% -1.053 -1.1081
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 334 63.47% 41.91 -0.047 75.15% 0.082 0.1901
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5778 40.5% 45.98 0.041 84.46% -0.113 -0.3044
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 30 36.67% 44.67 1.744 83.33% 0.372 0.4084
Shifting Memory of Ages 904 57.78% 42.91 -0.639 82.08% -0.019 0.2563
Shroud of Silent Mist 926 71.21% 39.45 -4.737 72.46% -0.877 -0.6238
Starlight Seeks its Form 1428 38.24% 45.18 -0.038 86.13% 0.074 -0.1084
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2801 41.54% 43.15 -1.126 85.76% 0.107 -0.3379
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3244 39.64% 45.84 0.249 85.64% 0.195 0.2847
Thunderspeaker 6174 46.05% 45.98 -0.139 83.06% 0.145 0.0926
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 31 48.39% 34.39 -3.311 67.74% -0.335 -0.0845
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2022 81.58% 38.3 0.931 73.64% 0.873 0.7495
Vital Strength of the Earth 4734 47.51% 40.61 -2.212 72.73% -0.335 0.305
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 150 42.57% 42.52 -3.489 80.67% -0.523 -0.1451
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 336 50.89% 37.28 -4.97 62.5% -1.42 -0.3928
Volcano Looming High 1698 56.05% 40.87 -0.106 77.33% 0.146 0.142

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 60.0% 56.8 3.418 100.0% 0.214 0.0723
Blitz 0 852 53.3% 40.05 0.74 73.24% 0.232 0.5704
Dahan Insurrection 4 1016 28.7% 68.33 7.501 82.87% -0.667 -0.9068
Despicable Theft 2 45 68.89% 45.13 2.23 60.0% -0.251 0.348
Elemental Invocation 1 93 72.04% 40.82 0.874 65.59% 0.19 1.022
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2890 10.89% 52.46 4.937 89.17% -0.041 -0.4076
Powers Long Forgotten 1 193 68.91% 44.49 -0.941 67.36% -0.577 -0.1101
Rituals of Terror 3 129 66.67% 47.95 -2.563 59.69% -0.381 -0.6543
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 103 79.61% 47.38 0.0 59.22%
Second Wave 0 2531 52.95% 43.6 -0.231 71.43% -0.688 -0.5008
The Great River 3 68 67.65% 44.28 -2.593 48.53% -0.672 0.8996
Varied Terrains 2 10 80.0% 47.2 1.847 70.0% 0.206 0.8122
Ward the Shores 2 154 61.04% 48.69 -11.733 69.48% -0.922 -0.062

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 53852 53.7% 42.1 -0.636 77.54% 0.003 0.2672
1 Thematic 2479 51.17% 49.45 5.823 72.89% 0.163 0.8053
2 Archipelago 17 58.82% 54.88 0.0 76.47%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11049 47.05% 44.59 0.168 84.93% 0.134 0.3423
2 Coastline 1445 42.13% 45.2 -2.034 86.16% -0.264 -0.1149
2 Fragment 246 58.26% 40.02 0.469 73.58% 0.157 0.1129
2 Heart 128 55.47% 43.83 2.503 82.81% 0.292 0.2104
2 Opposite Shores 2408 46.74% 44.99 0.67 84.09% 0.287 0.4505
2 Thematic 944 57.05% 48.34 1.314 72.46% 0.427 1.0794
2 Top to Top 388 49.61% 44.09 -2.285 83.51% -0.362 -0.1924
3 Archipelago 9 66.67% 65.56 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 49 36.73% 45.29 -10.557 75.51% -0.827 -1.1375
3 Other 248 36.59% 46.03 -0.939 89.92% -0.042 -0.6675
3 Round (Default) 3798 39.74% 46.39 0.374 87.44% 0.199 0.1546
3 Sunrise 20 35.0% 46.9 0.0 90.0%
3 Thematic 162 56.17% 52.57 -7.253 82.72% -0.752 -0.6821
4 Archipelago 12 33.33% 53.67 0.0 75.0%
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 44.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 11 63.64% 42.73 0.0 72.73%
4 Other 87 47.13% 46.33 0.346 89.66% 0.06 -0.6616
4 Snake 3 33.33% 50.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 327 39.88% 56.26 3.654 87.46% 1.266 1.2549
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2153 35.05% 48.49 0.572 90.8% -0.145 -0.2895
5 Archipelago 5 60.0% 62.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Other 48 53.33% 50.17 -1.131 89.58% 0.318 -0.2727
5 Thematic 7 57.14% 77.71 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 4 50.0% 53.0 5.644 75.0% 0.317 0.4824
6 Other 7 28.57% 44.86 0.923 85.71% 0.189 -0.1889
6 Star 17 17.65% 47.06 -10.153 88.24% -0.312 0.3291
6 Thematic 54 14.81% 60.8 -1.172 64.81% -0.876 -0.7961
6 Two Centers (Default) 93 27.96% 49.51 -1.577 93.55% -0.087 0.3424

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3098 35.74 -4.093 60.97% -1.342 -0.3701
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2396 38.13 -3.26 65.69% -1.323 -0.5379
All Things Weaken 1564 34.83 -2.943 59.4% -1.133 -0.0452
Attenuated Essence 6 42.33 0.706 83.33% -0.019 0.8679
Back Against the Wall 2338 36.79 -0.406 61.51% -0.523 0.306
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 14 33.29 -3.654 57.14% -0.738 0.513
Burn Brightest Before the End 5 35.4 -3.289 60.0% -0.628 0.3132
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2875 33.23 -5.473 59.13% -1.367 -0.2482
Downward Spiral 6838 36.07 -3.203 65.78% -0.931 0.032
Erosion of Will 2996 34.97 -4.068 58.81% -1.267 -0.1507
Intensifying Exploitation 10 32.0 -4.937 60.0% -0.864 0.2102
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 634 45.89 2.652 93.38% 1.253 1.1371
Memory Fades to Dust 6982 34.84 -2.61 61.13% -0.829 0.2833
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1540 35.19 -3.251 62.6% -1.081 -0.1246
Promising Farmlands 3000 35.07 -4.041 62.7% -1.041 0.0946
Shattered Fragments of Power 10 35.5 -3.06 60.0% -0.774 0.1484
Slow Dissolution of Will 13 39.85 -1.61 61.54% -0.992 0.2774
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 421 46.84 1.737 95.25% 0.68 0.3917
The Border of Life and Death 3 51.33 5.174 100.0% 0.424 0.8357
Thriving Communities 1520 35.1 -4.228 63.42% -1.333 -0.186
Thriving Crops 5 50.6 3.58 100.0% 0.402 1.2778
Tipping Point 1157 34.37 0.0 59.64%
Unnatural Proliferation 1635 37.6 -2.63 66.36% -0.996 -0.0303
Untended Land Crumbles 1503 35.14 -4.059 62.67% -1.2 -0.1676

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 18258 50.51% 43.14 -0.514 79.82% -0.044 0.8253
B 19176 48.54% 43.82 -0.274 81.61% -0.054 0.7132
C 20040 48.98% 43.96 -0.338 82.07% -0.096 0.4994
D 17212 50.03% 43.38 -0.876 80.66% -0.23 0.5898
E 6617 47.29% 44.48 0.591 83.57% 0.182 0.8346
F 9253 45.79% 44.61 -0.168 83.67% -0.104 0.6271
G 8520 46.81% 44.34 0.044 83.5% -0.071 0.6452
H 8825 44.27% 45.27 1.517 85.22% 0.402 1.0991
East 2590 50.33% 51.09 -1.372 75.41% -0.906 -0.2451
Northeast 1523 48.81% 52.46 5.99 78.0% 0.198 1.0626
Northwest 1150 48.56% 51.45 0.326 77.74% 0.15 0.7358
Southeast 404 47.03% 50.67 0.839 74.01% 0.153 0.8448
Southwest 366 48.36% 47.16 -1.31 73.5% -0.389 0.8529
West 2229 52.4% 50.57 -0.602 74.43% -0.333 0.683

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 515 0.0% 40.15 1.213 66.6% -0.351 1.1371
Not Using Events or Tokens 10039 58.71% 41.0 0.12 73.49% 0.038 0.229
Skip Initial Invader Actions 789 8.58% 58.36 4.227 95.56% 0.057 -0.6591
Start of Game Growth 1667 14.21% 55.7 5.453 93.76% 0.749 0.2775
Unlimited Undo 6744 41.55% 46.09 2.374 86.43% 0.624 0.3729
Using Tokens but Not Events 8042 42.58% 44.74 1.262 84.34% 0.376 0.3772

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5545 22.19 18.45%
II 27166 31.1 68.84%
III 32147 34.71 90.05%
IV 15237 37.97 99.48%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.005 Win Model: -0.021
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 56490 53.6% 42.44 77.36%
2 16599 47.42% 44.84 84.02%
3 4217 39.87% 46.54 87.29%
4 2593 36.07% 49.49 90.2%
5 25 72.73% 47.92 76.0%
6 171 22.22% 53.54 85.38%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1023
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 28465
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 17834
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15057
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 235
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1483
Lose: Adversary condition 176
Win: Sacrifice victory 308
Lose: Scenario condition 418
Win: Scenario condition 1143
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13293
Lose: Spirit destroyed 660

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4782 35.48% 48.13 -0.69 82.83% 0.083 -0.0702
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3419 68.3% 43.9 -1.229 74.93% -0.008 0.0437
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2950 44.27% 47.47 -0.624 85.53% 0.157 -0.0494
Downpour Drenches the World 357 37.54% 48.18 -1.52 83.75% -0.659 -0.3139
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 236 35.17% 48.12 1.213 85.17% 0.435 0.2221
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4757 27.74% 53.39 2.29 93.71% 0.992 0.4767
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3206 34.8% 50.05 1.619 88.93% 0.654 0.2321
Finder of Paths Unseen 177 51.98% 43.02 -3.047 71.75% -0.554 -0.0333
Fractured Days Split the Sky 938 39.02% 51.41 -1.422 80.81% -0.803 -0.4781
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1214 49.05% 46.86 -0.227 77.59% -0.287 -0.404
Heart of the Wildfire 4551 68.24% 41.25 -2.595 69.63% -0.033 0.1682
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8683 42.92% 48.68 1.748 86.16% 0.699 0.0959
Lightning's Swift Strike 4996 51.48% 45.11 -4.13 76.98% -0.844 -0.5636
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 210 55.02% 49.14 2.354 81.9% 0.503 -0.2449
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 722 38.56% 50.81 2.364 89.61% 0.65 0.192
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 471 40.98% 52.21 3.797 89.17% 0.958 0.6719
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2768 44.32% 49.01 1.75 85.37% 0.579 0.4186
Many Minds Move as One 1484 31.63% 52.11 0.836 94.34% 0.558 0.1297
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6061 50.67% 46.93 -2.381 80.91% -0.221 -0.3357
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3064 43.39% 46.79 -1.547 83.36% -0.236 -0.3003
River Surges in Sunlight 6438 52.38% 48.17 -2.807 77.03% -0.676 -0.761
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 527 44.0% 49.27 -0.051 78.94% -0.187 -0.0481
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 277 50.55% 53.48 3.441 87.73% 0.682 0.4187
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3408 45.35% 46.77 -0.035 81.92% 0.315 0.1669
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2064 68.71% 41.65 -5.508 65.99% -0.894 -0.4892
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 54 62.96% 43.85 -6.588 68.52% -1.193 -1.1421
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 77 44.16% 51.47 1.69 90.91% 0.013 0.0373
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 376 63.3% 43.96 -2.171 73.67% -0.06 -0.1153
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 233 70.82% 43.51 4.31 71.67% 0.743 0.8513
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7300 29.6% 51.18 3.075 88.75% 0.905 0.7139
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 39 23.08% 47.82 -0.384 84.62% -0.014 0.0226
Shifting Memory of Ages 818 56.23% 44.93 -4.252 79.1% -0.877 -0.6018
Shroud of Silent Mist 664 77.22% 40.74 -2.139 70.03% -0.09 0.1631
Starlight Seeks its Form 1515 38.22% 48.05 -0.897 85.61% -0.166 -0.3477
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2726 37.29% 46.21 -1.356 87.16% 0.011 -0.4335
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2696 42.88% 47.91 0.308 82.27% -0.103 -0.013
Thunderspeaker 4595 47.03% 47.99 1.667 81.65% 0.406 0.3529
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 36 52.78% 43.39 -1.975 77.78% -0.072 0.1776
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1964 81.01% 41.79 0.662 75.66% 0.659 0.5361
Vital Strength of the Earth 3041 52.24% 39.67 -0.949 58.83% -0.385 0.255
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 132 46.97% 42.88 -4.089 69.7% -0.713 -0.336
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 199 48.24% 39.8 -7.628 60.3% -1.084 -0.0565
Volcano Looming High 1684 52.14% 45.68 -0.029 81.83% 0.327 0.3231

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 504 47.87% 44.05 1.553 73.61% 0.328 0.6662
Dahan Insurrection 4 650 28.77% 71.5 5.459 80.46% -0.15 -0.3902
Despicable Theft 2 25 68.0% 45.64 -0.852 52.0% -0.735 -0.1355
Elemental Invocation 1 50 60.0% 47.64 0.432 74.0% 0.187 1.0189
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2243 12.72% 54.55 3.598 89.48% -0.121 -0.4876
Powers Long Forgotten 1 128 71.09% 45.84 5.088 64.06% 0.023 0.4902
Rituals of Terror 3 138 58.7% 53.86 0.0 60.87%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 81 79.01% 48.35 0.0 53.09%
Second Wave 0 1633 52.36% 46.17 -1.264 70.55% -0.702 -0.5145
The Great River 3 45 73.33% 44.89 -12.74 46.67% -1.257 0.315
Varied Terrains 2 5 60.0% 53.2 2.517 80.0% -0.201 0.4052
Ward the Shores 2 104 61.54% 51.07 0.937 67.31% -0.18 0.6805

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 51601 48.75% 45.87 -0.716 79.07% -0.283 -0.0183
1 Thematic 1917 54.38% 52.07 3.387 71.0% 0.558 1.2007
2 Archipelago 12 83.33% 50.42 0.0 66.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8236 48.32% 47.09 -0.262 83.12% -0.291 -0.0833
2 Coastline 1236 40.11% 48.41 0.882 86.33% -0.368 -0.2195
2 Fragment 153 52.63% 47.1 3.973 82.35% 0.482 0.4376
2 Heart 73 44.44% 48.52 5.727 87.67% 0.191 0.1094
2 Opposite Shores 1538 46.46% 47.0 -0.765 82.12% -0.393 -0.2302
2 Thematic 564 54.8% 50.79 5.342 71.1% 0.155 0.8071
2 Top to Top 349 43.52% 48.46 -0.222 85.1% -0.554 -0.3845
3 Archipelago 5 40.0% 51.2 0.0 60.0%
3 Coastline 48 25.0% 57.65 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 116 53.04% 46.66 -3.704 81.9% -0.153 -0.7785
3 Round (Default) 3063 37.14% 49.61 0.84 88.48% -0.07 -0.114
3 Sunrise 12 16.67% 50.75 0.0 91.67%
3 Thematic 95 64.21% 51.03 19.804 72.63% 0.838 0.9081
4 Archipelago 7 57.14% 48.14 1.982 71.43% 0.004 0.361
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 9 66.67% 47.22 0.0 88.89%
4 Other 61 36.67% 50.02 9.352 83.61% 0.307 -0.414
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 414 36.8% 57.07 -9.293 83.33% -1.828 -1.839
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1420 37.91% 50.18 2.246 88.73% 0.669 0.5236
5 Archipelago 4 100.0% 70.5 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 35 39.39% 47.77 -2.543 74.29% -0.573 -1.1642
5 Thematic 4 25.0% 57.75 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 62.0 2.817 100.0% 0.022 0.1869
6 Other 12 50.0% 39.75 -5.681 66.67% 0.0 -0.3774
6 Star 7 71.43% 62.29 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 25 12.0% 68.64 8.804 84.0% 0.229 0.3097
6 Two Centers (Default) 18 38.89% 49.83 4.008 77.78% 0.162 0.5916

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2644 38.86 -3.448 62.29% -1.278 -0.307
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1982 41.21 -2.678 65.94% -1.187 -0.4019
All Things Weaken 1320 38.54 -4.224 62.2% -1.489 -0.401
Attenuated Essence 11 36.18 -6.098 54.55% -1.409 -0.5217
Back Against the Wall 1843 39.59 -4.008 62.18% -1.22 -0.3917
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 7 45.14 -1.366 85.71% -0.187 1.0642
Burn Brightest Before the End 7 19.29 -14.082 14.29% -2.351 -1.4098
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2449 35.94 -5.638 58.47% -1.837 -0.7178
Downward Spiral 5571 38.21 -5.168 63.35% -1.787 -0.8246
Erosion of Will 2518 37.44 -5.319 58.26% -1.88 -0.7633
Intensifying Exploitation 8 33.88 -6.024 62.5% -0.909 0.1654
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 542 49.43 1.527 92.62% 0.724 0.6077
Memory Fades to Dust 5652 37.22 -5.456 58.9% -1.82 -0.7075
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1348 40.26 -4.561 68.4% -1.586 -0.63
Promising Farmlands 2618 37.33 -3.104 60.58% -1.338 -0.2022
Shattered Fragments of Power 13 37.0 -5.356 53.85% -1.55 -0.6281
Slow Dissolution of Will 12 28.5 -9.676 41.67% -2.032 -0.7628
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 390 49.23 0.932 94.1% 0.635 0.3472
The Border of Life and Death 3 20.33 -13.069 33.33% -1.057 -0.6446
Thriving Communities 1225 37.28 -5.681 60.57% -1.664 -0.5174
Thriving Crops 13 31.31 -8.076 61.54% -1.284 -0.408
Tipping Point 957 35.54 0.0 54.13%
Unnatural Proliferation 1415 39.8 -2.672 64.81% -1.164 -0.1981
Untended Land Crumbles 1283 38.77 -3.718 65.08% -1.325 -0.2931

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14746 48.64% 45.9 -0.687 78.81% -0.312 0.5577
B 16257 46.1% 46.96 -0.132 81.69% -0.128 0.6392
C 16494 48.32% 46.57 -0.095 80.77% -0.081 0.5143
D 14160 47.68% 46.37 -0.332 80.14% -0.123 0.6966
E 6285 43.4% 48.59 0.792 86.14% 0.212 0.8654
F 8228 44.33% 47.53 0.815 83.85% 0.259 0.9898
G 7411 44.69% 47.56 0.301 84.17% 0.024 0.7396
H 7575 43.15% 48.03 0.453 84.79% 0.03 0.7268
East 1904 50.82% 52.28 -1.742 72.27% -0.43 0.2306
Northeast 1146 49.26% 53.09 -1.708 73.47% -0.601 0.2638
Northwest 928 48.11% 54.12 0.942 79.09% 0.714 1.2995
Southeast 273 48.35% 51.9 2.764 76.19% -0.183 0.509
Southwest 260 53.85% 45.93 -3.495 66.92% -0.995 0.2469
West 1800 50.06% 54.42 -2.264 75.22% -0.477 0.5386

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 419 0.0% 46.45 -1.969 74.7% -0.949 0.5395
Not Using Events or Tokens 8588 53.34% 44.65 -1.242 74.23% -0.052 0.1395
Skip Initial Invader Actions 570 13.93% 59.89 5.121 94.21% 0.117 -0.599
Start of Game Growth 1109 18.15% 57.18 3.882 91.97% 0.106 -0.3662
Unlimited Undo 6943 44.12% 48.15 -0.233 84.7% 0.13 -0.121
Using Tokens but Not Events 6420 38.45% 48.01 1.344 83.91% 0.454 0.4556

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7408 22.19 36.27%
II 31192 31.1 78.71%
III 23464 34.71 88.41%
IV 8995 37.97 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.024 Win Model: 0.171
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 53640 48.99% 46.09 78.78%
2 12125 47.41% 47.46 82.87%
3 3299 37.99% 49.69 88.12%
4 1916 37.67% 51.71 87.37%
5 16 43.75% 38.75 56.25%
6 63 34.92% 56.57 80.95%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2686
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 20471
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 23885
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8884
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 137
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2519
Lose: Adversary condition 84
Win: Sacrifice victory 287
Lose: Scenario condition 270
Win: Scenario condition 733
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10592
Lose: Spirit destroyed 511

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2544 47.45% 51.21 2.263 71.78% 0.34 0.1867
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1529 78.23% 47.5 0.693 66.06% 0.303 0.3545
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2257 41.28% 53.72 2.456 79.84% 0.018 -0.1888
Downpour Drenches the World 156 50.0% 51.92 0.411 71.15% -0.393 -0.0479
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 74 51.35% 45.23 -0.255 64.86% -0.187 -0.4
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2749 38.52% 57.2 2.341 85.81% 0.402 -0.1125
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1473 46.5% 54.51 1.555 79.16% 0.188 -0.2342
Finder of Paths Unseen 84 61.9% 48.1 -1.385 64.29% -0.612 -0.0918
Fractured Days Split the Sky 382 57.59% 52.95 6.864 64.92% 1.047 1.3721
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 549 44.26% 55.42 0.564 80.87% 0.217 0.1002
Heart of the Wildfire 2445 72.98% 43.45 -5.214 59.18% -0.977 -0.7759
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3681 59.73% 49.96 2.728 71.12% 0.858 0.2551
Lightning's Swift Strike 2832 70.58% 45.19 -1.839 59.43% -0.194 0.0857
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 58 70.69% 52.9 -0.333 72.41% -0.019 -0.7664
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 315 58.28% 54.43 0.574 81.59% -0.095 -0.5538
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 195 49.23% 55.83 2.162 80.51% 0.223 -0.0636
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1555 51.25% 53.61 2.217 78.59% 0.186 0.0252
Many Minds Move as One 581 41.48% 58.21 1.82 90.36% 0.306 -0.1217
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3159 57.55% 51.66 1.935 73.79% 0.194 0.0786
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1499 54.32% 49.62 -2.288 70.98% -0.59 -0.6542
River Surges in Sunlight 3683 64.45% 51.91 5.188 67.83% 0.766 0.6805
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 233 55.79% 49.4 -1.162 60.09% -0.694 -0.5547
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 119 58.47% 54.5 2.099 72.27% 0.117 -0.146
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1621 56.72% 50.47 2.525 72.55% 0.953 0.8055
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1887 83.25% 43.45 -3.139 55.8% -0.68 -0.276
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 15 60.0% 49.13 -6.198 66.67% -0.057 -0.0066
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 44 50.0% 57.52 3.375 86.36% 0.522 0.5467
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 122 72.13% 47.59 8.395 63.11% 0.383 0.3275
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 108 74.07% 49.74 -4.389 72.22% 0.075 0.1829
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3390 37.96% 56.53 4.121 81.0% 0.667 0.4758
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 13 46.15% 49.38 2.488 76.92% 0.424 0.4606
Shifting Memory of Ages 292 71.58% 45.52 -3.485 57.88% -0.581 -0.306
Shroud of Silent Mist 226 84.89% 42.74 -0.288 57.52% 0.031 0.2845
Starlight Seeks its Form 447 46.31% 53.13 -1.437 74.27% -0.279 -0.4614
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2257 35.11% 52.28 -2.532 81.88% -0.405 -0.8499
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1676 50.27% 51.68 -1.255 73.27% -0.441 -0.3512
Thunderspeaker 2416 57.99% 51.68 -0.41 71.07% -0.206 -0.259
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 11 54.55% 33.18 -6.147 54.55% -0.46 -0.2096
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1269 87.94% 45.37 -0.811 65.48% -0.007 -0.1302
Vital Strength of the Earth 1689 69.38% 39.77 -3.165 40.44% -1.245 -0.6056
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 57 45.61% 48.46 -0.836 57.89% -0.611 -0.2337
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 103 65.05% 38.98 8.737 38.83% 0.259 1.2864
Volcano Looming High 796 68.89% 47.9 -1.032 69.6% -0.152 -0.156

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 360 74.07% 42.21 0.862 54.17% -0.204 0.1345
Dahan Insurrection 4 452 55.09% 68.79 12.315 61.5% 0.078 -0.1616
Despicable Theft 2 5 40.0% 55.4 -14.705 60.0% -0.668 -0.0688
Elemental Invocation 1 31 80.65% 33.71 -8.293 19.35% -1.478 -0.6463
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1294 18.99% 61.0 5.827 87.79% 0.624 0.2579
Powers Long Forgotten 1 89 74.16% 47.7 -7.924 52.81% -0.211 0.2561
Rituals of Terror 3 60 66.67% 63.03 12.102 55.0% 0.114 -0.1601
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 59 91.53% 48.71 0.0 42.37%
Second Wave 0 918 62.95% 49.29 -1.177 61.98% -0.506 -0.319
The Great River 3 29 62.07% 39.52 0.0 20.69%
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
Ward the Shores 2 58 75.86% 49.83 0.0 50.0%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 28537 58.85% 48.64 -1.492 68.09% -0.598 -0.3337
1 Thematic 1157 65.0% 53.81 -2.506 58.95% -0.826 -0.1832
2 Archipelago 8 75.0% 59.63 6.585 75.0% 0.206 1.168
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4597 55.89% 51.8 0.712 74.87% 0.005 0.2131
2 Coastline 628 49.04% 52.33 5.029 74.84% 0.89 1.0393
2 Fragment 89 64.77% 47.19 3.852 66.29% 0.083 0.0394
2 Heart 36 61.11% 48.75 -0.485 61.11% -0.345 -0.4269
2 Opposite Shores 1005 59.92% 51.25 3.789 74.23% 0.936 1.0993
2 Thematic 329 66.77% 53.2 -0.362 55.93% 0.067 0.7192
2 Top to Top 131 60.77% 50.66 -1.46 73.28% -0.159 0.0105
3 Archipelago 4 50.0% 84.75 7.289 100.0% 0.085 -0.1486
3 Coastline 10 30.0% 66.6 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 40 72.5% 52.63 6.159 72.5% 0.503 -0.1226
3 Round (Default) 1242 52.87% 53.13 0.977 77.7% 0.072 0.0278
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Thematic 61 47.54% 63.05 -7.709 75.41% -0.226 -0.1559
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 72.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 64.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 11 72.73% 52.0 -2.128 72.73% 0.15 -0.5709
4 Thematic 179 33.52% 65.21 0.0 82.68%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 555 49.82% 53.81 -8.699 78.56% -0.812 -0.9571
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 9 44.44% 60.56 4.444 77.78% 0.167 -0.4239
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 107.33 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 69.67 1.22 100.0% 0.074 0.239
6 Other 1 100.0% 19.0 -13.348 0.0% -0.245 -0.623
6 Star 1 0.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 28 21.43% 65.79 0.0 82.14%
6 Two Centers (Default) 4 0.0% 62.5 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1618 41.75 -2.569 51.24% -0.924 0.0478
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1158 45.35 -3.313 58.81% -1.194 -0.4086
All Things Weaken 812 40.95 -5.111 50.86% -1.413 -0.3246
Attenuated Essence 5 34.2 -7.083 40.0% -1.054 -0.1667
Back Against the Wall 1138 44.27 -4.3 55.98% -1.155 -0.3266
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 4 34.5 -6.364 50.0% -0.642 0.6085
Burn Brightest Before the End 6 54.0 3.467 83.33% 0.122 1.0635
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1478 38.72 -2.679 48.17% -0.738 0.381
Downward Spiral 4422 40.58 -2.339 51.2% -1.038 -0.0749
Erosion of Will 1503 39.99 -4.237 46.97% -1.094 0.0225
Intensifying Exploitation 6 39.5 -3.71 66.67% -0.216 0.8587
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 283 55.23 0.889 87.99% 0.062 -0.0543
Memory Fades to Dust 4353 39.97 -4.161 48.5% -1.49 -0.3771
Power Corrodes the Spirit 803 41.79 -5.77 54.55% -1.471 -0.5152
Promising Farmlands 1537 38.62 -5.561 45.87% -1.421 -0.2854
Shattered Fragments of Power 4 21.5 -13.965 25.0% -1.293 -0.3708
Slow Dissolution of Will 6 30.5 -8.021 33.33% -1.121 0.1481
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 161 55.61 -0.503 88.82% -0.264 -0.5526
Thriving Communities 786 41.14 -2.169 53.44% -0.839 0.3082
Thriving Crops 4 15.0 -14.597 25.0% -0.911 -0.0349
Tipping Point 639 38.12 0.0 42.72%
Unnatural Proliferation 851 44.74 -3.112 58.4% -0.83 0.135
Untended Land Crumbles 811 41.35 -2.256 53.88% -0.734 0.2985

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7116 62.88% 47.76 -0.681 65.26% 0.115 0.984
B 9023 54.72% 51.25 1.147 72.78% 0.411 1.1781
C 8562 64.34% 48.28 0.688 67.26% 0.41 1.0054
D 6743 62.9% 48.46 1.092 67.17% 0.374 1.1939
E 2704 56.7% 52.0 -0.188 75.96% 0.04 0.6927
F 5246 46.47% 52.26 0.33 77.49% 0.189 0.9206
G 4332 49.95% 52.16 -0.562 76.39% 0.253 0.969
H 4239 50.11% 52.2 -0.599 76.03% -0.016 0.6809
East 1093 58.79% 57.25 -0.763 64.14% -0.146 0.514
Northeast 608 56.67% 57.56 -4.144 66.28% -0.513 0.3515
Northwest 527 51.52% 57.26 -0.193 64.33% -0.087 0.4981
Southeast 157 51.59% 56.53 -1.291 69.43% -0.312 0.3797
Southwest 147 55.78% 52.42 0.14 62.59% 0.159 1.4008
West 983 57.23% 56.27 -1.573 61.55% -0.469 0.5465

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 180 0.0% 45.7 -19.332 60.56% -2.275 -0.7874
Not Using Events or Tokens 6138 71.62% 44.99 0.04 58.63% 0.357 0.5479
Skip Initial Invader Actions 290 20.68% 64.49 7.249 88.62% 0.619 -0.0973
Start of Game Growth 655 22.09% 65.11 6.12 89.16% 0.899 0.4269
Unlimited Undo 6640 35.56% 57.34 1.393 85.69% 0.34 0.0885
Using Tokens but Not Events 6919 29.87% 56.89 2.104 85.49% 0.424 0.4255

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4988 22.19 24.16%
II 17212 31.1 66.47%
III 12075 34.71 81.25%
IV 4407 37.97 99.41%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.513 Win Model: -0.409
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 29757 59.11% 48.85 67.7%
2 6800 56.61% 51.77 73.87%
3 1342 53.03% 53.6 77.42%
4 743 44.93% 56.89 80.35%
5 4 25.0% 57.0 75.0%
6 36 19.44% 64.78 86.11%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1205
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9650
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11134
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4338
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 71
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2453
Lose: Adversary condition 58
Win: Sacrifice victory 135
Lose: Scenario condition 173
Win: Scenario condition 376
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8631
Lose: Spirit destroyed 458

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5791 66.92% 47.04 -0.758 50.91% -0.147 -0.3007
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5331 87.09% 45.28 1.14 51.64% 0.338 0.3892
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2683 79.26% 42.71 -0.229 46.07% 0.029 -0.1778
Downpour Drenches the World 505 58.02% 47.26 -2.843 53.86% -0.569 -0.2232
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 427 57.85% 41.23 -0.335 56.44% 0.25 0.0365
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6731 57.0% 55.02 2.58 71.95% 0.523 0.0076
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2927 76.35% 46.85 -0.167 55.04% -0.007 -0.4286
Finder of Paths Unseen 218 79.36% 42.94 -1.442 45.41% -0.36 0.1609
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1357 66.89% 54.42 2.528 60.72% -0.006 0.3196
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1392 75.56% 48.07 2.321 57.61% 0.353 0.2354
Heart of the Wildfire 6489 91.31% 34.74 -3.384 32.75% -0.513 -0.3121
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8904 74.47% 46.16 1.011 55.1% 0.324 -0.2788
Lightning's Swift Strike 6632 74.91% 43.94 -2.331 48.22% -0.348 -0.0677
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 420 79.9% 49.32 4.966 60.0% 0.93 0.1821
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1103 81.71% 49.94 1.856 64.37% 0.498 0.0398
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 741 69.65% 52.17 -2.056 65.99% -0.433 -0.7197
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4124 71.55% 47.92 0.11 58.78% -0.138 -0.298
Many Minds Move as One 1780 61.91% 55.92 5.853 77.02% 1.136 0.708
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 25749 55.93% 58.14 5.405 81.61% 1.134 1.0187
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2954 79.8% 42.88 -2.365 46.75% -0.414 -0.4781
River Surges in Sunlight 10043 76.63% 48.55 0.668 52.66% -0.224 -0.3096
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 426 82.89% 41.48 1.016 34.27% -0.099 0.0401
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 415 75.24% 51.96 1.061 58.8% 0.086 -0.1769
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5068 67.31% 47.55 0.206 55.45% -0.101 -0.2492
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3094 77.74% 42.31 -2.244 44.18% -0.49 -0.086
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 48 89.58% 41.81 0.816 45.83% 0.086 0.1366
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 68 73.53% 46.16 -1.086 55.88% -0.071 -0.047
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 388 83.76% 43.85 -1.07 48.71% -0.247 -0.3027
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 359 92.76% 42.27 3.495 46.52% 0.661 0.7691
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5668 68.38% 47.33 -0.964 56.53% -0.223 -0.4139
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 38 68.42% 35.66 -3.038 42.11% -0.347 -0.3105
Shifting Memory of Ages 732 87.12% 42.0 -2.705 37.84% -0.44 -0.1648
Shroud of Silent Mist 747 94.1% 36.79 0.566 35.88% 0.214 0.4673
Starlight Seeks its Form 2243 73.96% 44.17 -0.25 46.9% 0.012 -0.1695
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4478 65.69% 46.28 1.533 53.77% 0.361 -0.0837
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2851 76.36% 46.19 -0.606 52.89% -0.087 0.0031
Thunderspeaker 7106 76.79% 50.74 2.12 50.51% 0.611 0.5585
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 54 68.52% 40.72 -0.473 53.7% 0.165 0.415
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3697 92.16% 45.09 1.685 58.1% 0.711 0.5883
Vital Strength of the Earth 3468 83.82% 34.78 -6.237 24.19% -1.414 -0.7747
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 130 77.69% 41.29 -3.22 39.23% -0.401 -0.0233
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 337 86.94% 32.74 -11.456 22.26% -0.19 0.8372
Volcano Looming High 2795 78.31% 44.38 -1.179 54.1% -0.143 -0.1475

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 100.0% 44.5 0.0 50.0%
Blitz 0 725 61.58% 46.31 -3.581 55.17% -0.363 -0.0247
Dahan Insurrection 4 2653 79.69% 60.47 -0.076 38.71% -0.595 -0.8346
Despicable Theft 2 18 77.78% 37.06 -17.254 22.22% -0.346 0.2535
Elemental Invocation 1 58 81.03% 36.72 -2.825 20.69% -0.829 0.0029
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3620 38.07% 56.66 6.839 69.7% 0.905 0.539
Powers Long Forgotten 1 121 90.0% 37.63 0.0 23.97%
Rituals of Terror 3 245 69.8% 74.34 7.573 42.45% -0.537 -0.8103
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 27 85.19% 47.96 -11.129 29.63% -0.348 0.3473
Second Wave 0 733 72.0% 45.45 -2.612 46.25% -0.823 -0.6361
The Great River 3 40 87.5% 40.0 0.0 20.0%
Varied Terrains 2 6 83.33% 52.0 -5.736 33.33% -0.312 0.2949
Ward the Shores 2 67 89.55% 43.36 2.647 34.33% -0.146 0.7141

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 90562 72.87% 46.69 -0.824 56.44% 0.405 0.6696
1 Thematic 4127 79.45% 53.86 2.148 39.21% 0.431 1.0739
2 Archipelago 21 61.9% 69.1 0.0 52.38%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9527 65.15% 50.38 0.009 63.49% -0.182 0.026
2 Coastline 1494 71.17% 50.35 4.67 63.25% 0.519 0.6678
2 Fragment 164 81.1% 45.72 3.406 54.27% 0.371 0.3274
2 Heart 92 73.91% 44.55 -6.311 51.09% -0.363 -0.4444
2 Opposite Shores 2365 71.27% 48.52 -3.275 57.84% -0.832 -0.6683
2 Thematic 969 81.35% 51.72 -9.623 36.43% -0.984 -0.3312
2 Top to Top 359 79.15% 47.5 5.487 55.99% 0.665 0.8344
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 73.0 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 40 67.5% 48.95 -4.642 55.0% -0.485 -0.7951
3 Other 83 79.52% 45.48 -2.869 53.01% -0.509 -1.1345
3 Round (Default) 2397 74.45% 49.44 4.411 60.74% 0.008 -0.0364
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 50.29 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 89 71.91% 66.94 38.25 47.19% 0.433 0.5022
4 Archipelago 2 100.0% 40.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 11 45.45% 56.55 0.0 72.73%
4 Leaf 6 50.0% 44.33 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 34 73.53% 50.41 13.682 61.76% 0.532 -0.1896
4 Snake 2 100.0% 26.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 357 62.92% 69.47 -2.692 57.42% -1.517 -1.5287
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1593 66.41% 52.63 -1.03 65.03% -1.035 -1.1802
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 32.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 14 14.29% 68.86 7.426 100.0% 0.044 -0.2949
5 Other 31 61.29% 62.29 10.061 80.65% 0.315 -0.276
5 Thematic 5 100.0% 54.0 4.681 20.0% 0.054 -0.2504
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 5 0.0% 68.4 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 4 75.0% 56.25 0.0 75.0%
6 Star 8 62.5% 54.13 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 9 88.89% 66.33 10.778 66.67% 0.381 0.461
6 Two Centers (Default) 14 64.29% 50.0 0.0 64.29%
7 Other 1 100.0% 81.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 7015 42.16 -2.4 45.77% -1.066 -0.0946
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5619 47.71 0.886 57.09% -0.488 0.298
All Things Weaken 3307 40.59 -3.513 42.73% -1.275 -0.1866
Attenuated Essence 30 41.97 -0.457 53.33% -0.423 0.464
Back Against the Wall 4629 43.31 0.746 46.88% -0.578 0.2505
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 30 35.1 -2.991 36.67% -0.862 0.3893
Burn Brightest Before the End 21 31.67 -4.396 28.57% -1.033 -0.092
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6323 39.29 -2.68 43.05% -0.969 0.1498
Downward Spiral 12750 41.07 -1.826 41.62% -0.701 0.2617
Erosion of Will 6694 40.78 -1.373 42.69% -0.779 0.3368
Intensifying Exploitation 30 36.2 -4.196 43.33% -0.944 0.1299
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 880 55.56 6.625 76.7% 0.902 0.786
Memory Fades to Dust 12620 40.49 -1.788 38.77% -0.844 0.2693
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3229 40.37 -2.124 43.26% -0.878 0.0779
Promising Farmlands 6389 40.07 -3.714 42.84% -1.118 0.0179
Shattered Fragments of Power 25 29.36 -5.83 24.0% -1.294 -0.3718
Slow Dissolution of Will 34 41.62 -0.123 50.0% -0.505 0.765
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 502 57.39 4.623 82.47% 0.363 0.0745
The Border of Life and Death 4 31.25 -4.598 50.0% -0.155 0.2572
Thriving Communities 3103 38.67 -2.72 39.64% -0.962 0.1846
Thriving Crops 10 50.1 4.428 80.0% 0.517 1.3928
Tipping Point 2485 38.06 0.0 37.42%
Unnatural Proliferation 3529 42.38 1.008 44.86% -0.356 0.6096
Untended Land Crumbles 3178 39.58 -3.252 41.41% -1.005 0.0269

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 19780 74.92% 45.32 -0.903 52.42% -0.438 0.4311
B 24136 70.39% 47.92 0.859 58.46% -0.234 0.5334
C 23738 73.34% 46.53 0.039 55.3% -0.329 0.2659
D 22254 71.65% 47.91 0.409 58.52% -0.231 0.5885
E 8779 73.1% 47.76 -0.061 58.87% -0.298 0.3549
F 12234 69.26% 49.25 0.247 61.83% -0.272 0.459
G 11661 68.76% 50.54 -0.721 64.57% -0.43 0.2863
H 10880 67.21% 50.19 1.382 63.29% -0.185 0.5122
East 4036 79.0% 56.58 7.189 40.11% 1.04 1.7002
Northeast 2091 74.6% 58.79 3.847 45.43% -0.498 0.3668
Northwest 1159 71.49% 58.78 6.167 46.68% -0.606 -0.0202
Southeast 289 89.27% 42.16 -6.871 25.95% -1.309 -0.6179
Southwest 219 82.19% 35.12 -7.233 23.29% -1.554 -0.3118
West 2196 76.1% 53.86 -0.89 39.34% -0.827 0.1888

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 588 0.0% 41.72 -11.804 41.5% -1.863 -0.3746
Not Using Events or Tokens 11733 85.99% 43.42 -2.656 38.37% -0.588 -0.3967
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2179 18.47% 66.89 7.351 88.21% 0.442 -0.2737
Start of Game Growth 3903 23.9% 63.51 7.357 85.29% 1.308 0.8357
Unlimited Undo 9768 66.76% 51.66 1.459 66.2% 0.308 0.057
Using Tokens but Not Events 7480 58.41% 49.13 1.491 58.98% 0.121 0.1225

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 18395 22.19 6.27%
II 45005 31.1 48.28%
III 40604 34.71 77.5%
IV 10433 37.97 99.58%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.965 Win Model: 1.008
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 95092 73.16% 47.04 55.68%
2 14730 68.18% 49.99 60.67%
3 2611 73.32% 51.29 60.44%
4 1935 67.07% 53.15 63.0%
5 28 42.86% 64.54 85.71%
6 41 58.54% 58.32 78.05%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1151
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 30884
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 20342
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10277
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 429
Lose: Invader deck ran out 9267
Lose: Adversary condition 382
Win: Sacrifice victory 637
Lose: Scenario condition 833
Win: Scenario condition 1449
Lose: Blight pool ran out 36351
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2435

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-11-12 02:39:41 (Pacific Time)