The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 10307 25.14% 23.77 -0.545 81.19% -0.038 -0.1453
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 150 15.33% 23.72 3.183 71.33% 0.584 0.0951
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6778 43.59% 23.79 -1.413 80.73% -0.389 -0.2454
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 276 14.13% 26.33 6.522 73.55% 1.271 0.5229
Dances Up Earthquakes 51 19.61% 23.96 2.817 80.39% 0.845 0.6682
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4910 25.45% 25.23 0.325 86.07% 0.125 -0.0823
Downpour Drenches the World 825 20.32% 20.09 -1.163 64.97% -0.128 0.1919
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 971 18.6% 24.31 1.451 74.67% 0.447 0.0063
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6318 15.96% 28.92 3.862 90.74% 0.85 0.5064
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4742 19.54% 27.11 1.641 89.86% 0.629 0.2747
Finder of Paths Unseen 505 30.08% 15.06 -3.54 48.91% -1.04 -0.2553
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1256 27.6% 23.4 -1.148 68.39% -0.575 -0.1266
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1282 35.8% 22.96 0.235 69.81% 0.154 0.1303
Heart of the Wildfire 6092 56.89% 20.78 -0.586 71.55% -0.024 0.303
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8012 27.31% 26.13 1.627 87.37% 0.329 -0.1663
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 269 13.75% 22.64 -1.477 65.43% -0.144 -0.7063
Lightning's Swift Strike 11704 42.3% 22.02 0.224 74.39% 0.196 0.3947
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 325 30.12% 24.3 2.326 71.38% 0.449 0.0015
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 966 21.12% 23.32 0.688 74.02% 0.163 -0.156
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 778 25.45% 23.13 0.32 71.85% 0.027 0.1519
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3469 23.07% 25.98 0.497 82.85% 0.036 -0.1202
Many Minds Move as One 1992 20.07% 25.91 -0.196 83.33% 0.012 -0.1952
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9812 39.14% 23.82 0.624 80.17% 0.123 0.2523
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 93 43.01% 20.09 0.85 74.19% 0.618 0.7229
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4392 29.76% 24.13 -0.02 83.79% 0.04 -0.0091
River Surges in Sunlight 12664 38.56% 24.19 -0.056 73.98% -0.074 -0.0407
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 102 22.55% 20.74 0.679 58.82% -0.381 -0.1725
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 980 37.03% 25.12 -3.277 74.39% -0.464 -0.3131
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 424 31.9% 24.72 1.016 68.87% -0.198 -0.1892
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5213 28.84% 24.52 0.203 83.81% 0.152 0.0534
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 28 28.57% 18.14 -0.619 60.71% -0.198 -0.6894
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 6944 53.36% 21.56 -1.112 71.41% -0.33 0.1821
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 153 31.58% 20.18 -0.241 60.78% -0.212 -0.2553
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 207 24.76% 26.25 2.927 77.29% 0.243 -0.2048
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 162 26.09% 19.67 -1.194 62.96% -0.166 -0.1077
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 640 32.81% 25.95 3.773 85.31% 0.481 0.2903
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 499 41.25% 23.74 -0.485 77.56% -0.15 -0.0665
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5761 27.68% 25.76 -1.392 84.6% -0.322 -0.4198
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 283 14.95% 23.04 -1.689 70.67% -0.439 -0.633
Shifting Memory of Ages 1194 33.78% 19.99 -0.798 64.32% -0.265 0.125
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 109 17.43% 19.21 -0.36 54.13% 0.029 -0.0222
Shroud of Silent Mist 1532 39.99% 21.71 -0.788 73.69% -0.148 0.2665
Starlight Seeks its Form 1843 20.53% 22.51 -0.334 69.23% 0.006 -0.0343
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2764 26.2% 22.59 0.583 81.98% 0.235 -0.2675
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3660 30.64% 23.75 -0.195 79.43% 0.009 0.0925
Thunderspeaker 9423 30.16% 24.48 0.076 79.17% 0.021 0.0153
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 231 28.14% 18.54 -2.293 52.38% -0.658 -0.269
Towering Roots of the Jungle 250 31.33% 19.94 0.294 64.8% 0.081 0.2911
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1848 57.08% 20.22 -2.175 74.13% -0.486 -0.4087
Vital Strength of the Earth 8719 31.41% 20.34 -2.422 70.07% -0.593 -0.1437
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 294 26.99% 19.2 3.468 58.16% 0.132 0.6263
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 499 29.78% 20.17 0.143 67.13% -0.331 0.3619
Volcano Looming High 2012 36.45% 22.41 -1.077 74.7% -0.136 -0.0716
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 521 17.37% 24.32 1.019 74.86% 0.164 -0.0848

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 41 31.71% 26.49 6.81 75.61% 0.698 0.1399
Blitz 0 1357 36.61% 20.25 -2.892 65.88% -0.737 -0.3141
Dahan Insurrection 4 1600 19.77% 43.02 3.413 74.81% -0.611 -1.0926
Despicable Theft 2 245 31.02% 26.31 0.425 61.63% -0.42 0.1232
Elemental Invocation 1 336 36.9% 23.33 2.37 64.29% -0.306 0.4321
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2484 8.61% 29.46 1.734 81.84% 0.132 -0.5248
Powers Long Forgotten 1 593 47.97% 24.4 -4.079 64.08% -0.852 -0.2901
Rituals of Terror 3 711 40.9% 31.04 -1.967 62.17% -1.113 -1.2555
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 414 61.59% 28.5 -0.323 58.21% -0.829 -0.0798
Second Wave 0 1306 50.15% 25.59 2.574 70.98% -0.13 -0.0358
The Great River 3 251 41.43% 24.58 2.137 45.02% -0.471 0.7741
Varied Terrains 2 219 43.84% 17.87 -5.82 38.36% -1.84 -0.9716
Ward the Shores 2 652 39.54% 26.96 2.976 63.19% -0.013 0.8414

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 74082 37.61% 22.88 -0.218 76.89% 0.136 0.5092
1 Thematic 5656 39.25% 29.74 1.802 72.7% -0.13 0.5847
2 Archipelago 49 44.9% 33.37 0.0 67.35%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 15553 32.26% 23.2 -0.531 80.0% -0.013 0.1484
2 Coastline 1738 33.96% 23.64 2.85 80.49% 0.736 0.5431
2 Fragment 403 38.93% 21.95 0.443 76.18% 0.301 0.2533
2 Heart 233 40.0% 21.93 0.71 76.82% 0.448 0.2357
2 Opposite Shores 2383 29.77% 24.3 0.298 85.27% 0.19 0.3227
2 Thematic 1403 36.82% 29.43 -3.102 70.71% -1.136 -0.4156
2 Top to Top 435 31.64% 23.41 -0.275 84.14% 0.194 0.1096
3 Archipelago 22 45.45% 34.95 0.0 90.91%
3 Coastline 48 36.96% 22.75 0.0 62.5%
3 Other 280 21.66% 15.84 -4.715 53.93% -0.469 -1.3451
3 Round (Default) 4855 24.36% 25.44 1.381 86.49% 0.558 0.535
3 Sunrise 27 42.31% 26.37 8.682 85.19% 0.445 -0.0017
3 Thematic 268 35.58% 30.11 0.807 70.15% -0.375 -0.3669
4 Archipelago 21 23.81% 31.0 0.0 71.43%
4 Coastline 14 7.14% 44.21 0.0 85.71%
4 Leaf 10 60.0% 18.7 5.27 70.0% 0.295 0.73
4 Other 90 25.29% 20.04 2.916 70.0% 0.181 -0.3873
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 26.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 0.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 436 22.02% 34.35 2.399 88.3% -0.178 -0.1153
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2554 19.96% 22.73 -1.296 77.33% -0.434 -0.429
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 137 17.52% 23.75 0.861 69.34% -0.791 -1.1153
5 Thematic 17 23.53% 26.88 0.0 58.82%
6 Archipelago 7 0.0% 31.14 0.0 85.71%
6 Coastline 3 0.0% 28.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 29 7.14% 16.72 -2.494 55.17% -0.353 -0.3975
6 Star 31 3.23% 27.0 15.949 90.32% 0.631 1.2632
6 Thematic 66 19.7% 26.47 8.325 66.67% 0.298 0.5022
6 Two Centers (Default) 170 16.47% 20.04 1.721 63.53% -0.649 -0.1751
7 Other 7 0.0% 0.0 -9.286 0.0% -0.483 -1.1586

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2288 18.7 1.423 59.75% 0.467 0.5376
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1951 20.12 2.318 62.94% 0.37 0.26
All Things Weaken 1105 19.12 2.063 59.19% 0.153 0.3301
Attenuated Essence 125 18.4 1.712 59.2% 0.067 0.119
Back Against the Wall 1859 19.74 -0.437 61.86% -0.374 -0.39
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 127 18.7 -0.108 58.27% 0.144 0.3283
Burn Brightest Before the End 108 22.41 3.352 58.33% 0.635 0.7223
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2152 16.58 -1.402 58.5% -0.809 -0.5181
Downward Spiral 9132 16.33 -2.053 59.13% -0.34 -0.2345
Erosion of Will 2195 18.06 -1.056 57.59% -0.238 -0.0722
Intensifying Exploitation 134 16.95 -0.518 58.21% -0.056 0.1322
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 490 24.56 -0.42 89.18% 0.254 -0.1738
Memory Fades to Dust 8999 16.37 -1.498 56.68% -0.311 -0.0763
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1105 18.52 -0.019 62.9% 0.126 0.2216
Promising Farmlands 2229 17.46 -0.95 60.61% -0.34 0.0246
Shattered Fragments of Power 120 21.1 -0.931 56.67% -0.733 -0.6676
Slow Dissolution of Will 162 18.07 -1.455 53.09% -0.052 0.4117
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 297 25.5 0.291 92.93% 0.42 -0.1814
The Border of Life and Death 41 17.51 0.597 58.54% -0.29 -0.7656
Thriving Communities 1025 17.63 -1.011 59.12% -0.105 0.1205
Thriving Crops 74 23.03 1.92 77.03% 0.786 0.5611
Tipping Point 789 17.93 0.0 63.12%
Unnatural Proliferation 1112 19.99 -0.532 62.59% 0.112 0.2335
Untended Land Crumbles 1083 17.75 -2.086 57.53% -0.222 0.0104

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 25711 35.85% 22.68 -0.393 77.38% -0.525 0.3936
B 26204 34.59% 22.92 -0.221 77.94% -0.478 0.3632
C 26885 33.01% 23.22 0.735 78.77% -0.274 0.4091
D 24984 34.19% 22.93 -0.326 77.93% -0.504 0.3381
E 8443 28.19% 23.47 0.738 76.99% -0.344 0.3081
F 11520 29.53% 23.91 -0.413 80.59% -0.67 0.0902
G 10536 31.27% 23.98 -0.488 81.42% -0.465 0.2931
H 10590 29.19% 24.19 0.329 81.17% -0.456 0.2626
East 4874 35.46% 30.97 1.383 74.11% -0.115 0.6987
Northeast 2920 34.56% 31.62 0.434 76.44% -0.449 0.2183
Northwest 2119 34.57% 30.72 0.803 75.88% -0.107 0.6977
Southeast 678 27.7% 26.12 -0.963 65.93% -0.801 -0.0956
Southwest 628 35.09% 21.19 -3.349 60.03% -0.572 0.8183
West 4089 38.2% 29.34 0.997 71.48% -0.405 0.3888

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2137 0.0% 19.96 -1.571 65.42% -0.319 0.3998
Not Using Events or Tokens 29010 43.99% 20.73 -1.414 70.36% -0.306 0.1792
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1571 10.94% 32.33 3.579 88.8% 0.15 -0.5809
Start of Game Growth 2482 13.86% 30.8 -0.196 87.31% 0.035 -0.4115
Unlimited Undo 6831 29.33% 24.82 -0.113 82.24% -0.002 -0.0351
Using Tokens but Not Events 9570 27.66% 24.07 0.021 81.29% 0.032 -0.1303

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 13985 14.25 18.84%
II 32616 30.3 74.35%
III 45113 34.84 89.05%
IV 19449 38.61 98.88%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.084 Win Model: 0.565
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 80346 37.73% 23.32 76.37%
2 21864 32.53% 23.87 80.67%
3 5408 24.95% 25.25 84.3%
4 3101 20.36% 24.45 78.78%
5 132 15.15% 22.3 66.67%
6 312 14.19% 21.9 65.71%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2628
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 39274
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 22934
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 19053
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 8774
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1316
Lose: Adversary condition 411
Win: Sacrifice victory 416
Lose: Scenario condition 651
Win: Scenario condition 1986
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12939
Lose: Spirit destroyed 781

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7737 26.63% 28.73 0.495 82.34% 0.11 0.0036
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 182 22.35% 27.27 -0.773 70.88% -0.204 -0.6921
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5182 47.59% 27.6 0.53 78.83% 0.028 0.1712
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 335 24.68% 33.35 5.54 85.67% 0.982 0.234
Dances Up Earthquakes 81 23.75% 27.8 2.231 72.84% 0.297 0.1199
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4037 28.54% 29.74 1.725 86.48% 0.46 0.2529
Downpour Drenches the World 1016 25.25% 23.81 -0.743 69.29% -0.127 0.1934
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1114 20.34% 27.12 2.517 76.93% 0.81 0.3697
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5391 19.67% 32.59 3.347 89.37% 0.56 0.2163
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3916 24.85% 33.31 1.091 89.58% -0.002 -0.3563
Finder of Paths Unseen 601 38.77% 20.75 -3.701 55.74% -1.147 -0.3621
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1457 31.05% 27.56 -1.748 70.62% -0.599 -0.1505
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1699 39.22% 29.06 3.878 78.4% 0.755 0.7316
Heart of the Wildfire 4772 62.97% 23.7 -2.294 68.65% -0.674 -0.3467
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7183 34.67% 29.71 0.615 84.71% -0.124 -0.6189
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 276 28.21% 28.65 0.803 76.09% 0.442 -0.1204
Lightning's Swift Strike 7987 45.49% 26.14 -1.263 74.48% -0.298 -0.0998
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 366 34.7% 28.86 2.796 78.14% 0.573 0.1251
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 698 33.67% 31.8 0.128 86.53% 0.191 -0.1284
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 681 30.74% 32.2 2.028 76.65% -0.101 0.0239
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2953 35.29% 30.04 0.218 82.09% 0.148 -0.0085
Many Minds Move as One 1968 21.97% 30.64 2.548 85.62% 0.655 0.4488
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8054 36.69% 29.95 1.083 84.68% 0.127 0.2568
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 189 44.97% 21.74 -0.712 66.14% 0.061 0.1659
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3760 32.09% 28.27 -0.768 83.78% -0.128 -0.1775
River Surges in Sunlight 9249 42.61% 28.55 0.454 75.5% 0.015 0.0479
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 133 37.69% 21.91 0.853 60.15% 0.075 0.2829
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 930 39.46% 27.7 1.743 74.73% 0.357 0.5079
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 572 39.96% 27.87 0.707 72.03% 0.144 0.1534
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4121 33.75% 29.29 1.569 82.58% 0.372 0.2729
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 36 22.22% 31.64 2.622 69.44% -0.073 -0.5639
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4845 60.22% 24.65 -0.659 68.96% -0.256 0.2563
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 154 48.32% 26.21 0.111 69.48% 0.206 0.1624
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 279 33.45% 28.7 4.228 76.34% 0.949 0.501
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 156 41.03% 26.56 0.086 70.51% 0.044 0.1028
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 587 39.76% 30.03 4.401 82.96% 0.806 0.6154
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 366 51.65% 27.74 -0.736 76.78% -0.064 0.0198
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5036 31.25% 29.83 -0.413 82.94% -0.245 -0.3426
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 363 25.98% 25.79 1.273 70.25% 0.277 0.0826
Shifting Memory of Ages 1751 38.43% 24.92 -2.707 71.1% -0.695 -0.3054
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 193 31.09% 24.43 -0.784 64.25% -0.604 -0.6557
Shroud of Silent Mist 1525 45.77% 25.38 -2.315 75.93% -0.613 -0.199
Starlight Seeks its Form 1793 27.33% 27.24 -1.03 77.8% -0.282 -0.3224
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2455 30.91% 27.67 1.15 84.24% 0.412 -0.0905
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3455 32.76% 27.93 -1.491 79.97% -0.448 -0.3654
Thunderspeaker 7290 34.7% 28.9 0.067 79.63% -0.105 -0.1102
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 261 30.0% 21.8 -0.554 59.39% -0.252 0.1371
Towering Roots of the Jungle 499 32.38% 22.31 -1.0 65.13% -0.32 -0.1094
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1872 61.72% 24.76 -0.871 75.48% -0.204 -0.127
Vital Strength of the Earth 6228 35.15% 24.5 -2.144 71.89% -0.57 -0.1214
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 333 28.83% 22.94 -0.199 66.07% 0.069 0.5638
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 495 36.33% 23.03 -2.223 66.46% -0.427 0.2656
Volcano Looming High 2015 44.73% 25.19 -0.914 74.39% -0.242 -0.1777
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 949 26.3% 29.47 -1.185 78.61% -0.603 -0.852

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 46 32.61% 25.96 4.286 63.04% 0.148 -0.4103
Blitz 0 1211 36.29% 23.8 -4.111 65.4% -1.169 -0.7457
Dahan Insurrection 4 1210 26.98% 44.49 10.461 68.84% -0.152 -0.6342
Despicable Theft 2 227 34.36% 28.21 -0.444 59.91% -0.473 0.0701
Elemental Invocation 1 373 37.1% 23.92 -4.44 61.13% -1.226 -0.4887
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2527 10.56% 35.56 5.868 78.35% 0.403 -0.2537
Powers Long Forgotten 1 646 48.76% 26.46 -4.977 61.3% -1.31 -0.7477
Rituals of Terror 3 574 43.43% 32.75 4.171 60.45% -0.278 -0.4196
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 383 63.97% 31.21 4.899 57.7% -0.299 0.4504
Second Wave 0 5091 39.78% 30.72 3.451 77.73% 0.419 0.5132
The Great River 3 234 39.74% 26.93 -0.733 48.72% -0.682 0.5633
Varied Terrains 2 180 50.56% 21.0 -2.354 41.67% -0.533 0.3354
Ward the Shores 2 532 44.63% 30.32 -4.559 61.28% -1.321 -0.4666

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 58223 40.41% 26.26 -0.8 75.88% -0.027 0.3464
1 Thematic 4671 42.72% 32.96 0.918 69.47% -0.283 0.4308
2 Archipelago 43 48.84% 33.53 -9.659 69.77% -0.546 -0.0221
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12186 36.1% 27.91 0.94 81.91% 0.483 0.6445
2 Coastline 1597 32.57% 28.66 0.929 83.09% 0.546 0.3533
2 Fragment 413 40.44% 26.87 2.195 77.97% 0.673 0.6252
2 Heart 209 45.15% 27.14 -1.543 74.64% -0.216 -0.4278
2 Opposite Shores 2804 33.02% 28.91 0.09 85.91% 0.348 0.4804
2 Thematic 1708 38.73% 31.29 -2.892 71.6% -0.83 -0.1093
2 Top to Top 501 35.15% 27.58 -2.354 79.24% -0.287 -0.3714
3 Archipelago 26 53.85% 37.35 0.0 84.62%
3 Coastline 32 37.5% 33.19 0.0 71.88%
3 Other 159 38.06% 29.03 4.87 85.53% 0.457 -0.4197
3 Round (Default) 4835 28.18% 30.37 1.7 84.65% 0.322 0.2986
3 Sunrise 24 20.83% 34.38 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 267 43.02% 29.31 1.562 65.92% 0.139 0.1466
4 Archipelago 13 53.85% 37.31 -13.189 84.62% -0.229 -0.3807
4 Coastline 13 23.08% 34.38 0.0 76.92%
4 Leaf 16 37.5% 34.13 3.241 87.5% 0.298 0.733
4 Other 89 35.63% 30.67 2.12 86.52% 1.107 0.5394
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 3 0.0% 46.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 344 34.8% 37.83 4.908 77.33% 0.221 0.284
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1943 30.31% 29.63 -0.076 85.54% 0.163 0.1681
5 Archipelago 5 40.0% 53.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 3 0.0% 40.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 115 41.44% 29.05 1.081 80.0% 0.26 -0.0643
5 Thematic 3 0.0% 13.33 0.0 33.33%
6 Archipelago 10 20.0% 42.6 0.0 70.0%
6 Other 32 25.0% 29.44 -12.174 75.0% -0.735 -0.7792
6 Star 15 26.67% 26.07 -15.901 73.33% -0.809 -0.1763
6 Thematic 105 38.1% 38.47 -4.313 73.33% -0.389 -0.185
6 Two Centers (Default) 167 19.76% 29.0 -4.485 78.44% -0.844 -0.3694
7 Other 4 66.67% 33.5 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2058 23.15 -1.775 62.78% -0.58 -0.5086
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1660 24.57 0.672 65.42% -0.058 -0.1675
All Things Weaken 1147 23.45 1.475 63.47% 0.186 0.3629
Attenuated Essence 183 24.2 -0.906 65.57% -0.048 0.0041
Back Against the Wall 1768 24.06 0.798 63.8% -0.028 -0.0437
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 176 25.37 -2.377 72.16% -0.314 -0.1307
Burn Brightest Before the End 148 25.24 0.509 66.89% 0.02 0.1073
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2113 20.65 -1.419 59.3% -0.095 0.1963
Downward Spiral 6679 21.68 -0.819 65.43% -0.038 0.0676
Erosion of Will 2116 22.75 1.126 60.63% -0.11 0.056
Intensifying Exploitation 199 21.25 0.655 61.81% 0.264 0.452
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 545 28.85 2.48 91.19% 0.868 0.4397
Memory Fades to Dust 6762 21.1 -1.368 60.57% -0.334 -0.0996
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1118 23.1 -0.358 67.89% -0.06 0.0363
Promising Farmlands 2101 21.39 -3.074 61.73% -0.575 -0.2108
Shattered Fragments of Power 170 24.64 2.805 62.94% 0.575 0.6403
Slow Dissolution of Will 208 22.0 0.478 59.13% 0.128 0.5914
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 391 28.47 2.0 91.3% 1.024 0.4231
The Border of Life and Death 75 24.81 -1.639 74.67% -0.25 -0.7254
Thriving Communities 1077 22.16 -0.846 64.81% -0.099 0.1268
Thriving Crops 103 27.28 1.378 87.38% 0.495 0.2706
Tipping Point 669 20.79 0.0 57.55%
Unnatural Proliferation 1205 24.06 -1.396 66.47% -0.475 -0.3536
Untended Land Crumbles 1164 22.6 1.084 64.43% 0.301 0.5329

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 20546 38.74% 26.96 -0.631 77.79% -0.661 0.2577
B 20654 37.0% 27.61 0.288 79.82% -0.432 0.4091
C 21411 37.15% 27.66 -0.4 79.94% -0.549 0.1343
D 19746 37.34% 27.55 0.168 79.67% -0.474 0.3686
E 8118 34.42% 27.86 0.199 79.15% -0.372 0.2794
F 10271 34.36% 28.11 0.5 80.61% -0.457 0.3028
G 9220 34.51% 28.04 0.451 80.73% -0.382 0.3759
H 9599 33.35% 28.36 0.705 81.02% -0.404 0.3147
East 4738 38.72% 33.97 1.576 71.3% -0.364 0.4492
Northeast 2991 37.91% 34.45 0.641 71.58% -0.291 0.3767
Northwest 2148 38.81% 32.54 -0.059 72.91% -0.634 0.1707
Southeast 669 37.84% 31.16 0.725 68.16% -0.089 0.6167
Southwest 652 41.17% 28.53 -2.411 64.42% -1.064 0.3257
West 3874 43.36% 31.37 0.757 69.26% -0.534 0.26

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2913 0.0% 21.43 -1.646 64.88% -0.269 0.45
Not Using Events or Tokens 18397 44.05% 25.24 -1.453 72.28% -0.351 0.1341
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1113 13.13% 38.42 4.728 87.33% 0.408 -0.3224
Start of Game Growth 1864 15.57% 36.74 4.555 87.61% 0.535 0.0891
Unlimited Undo 6785 32.94% 28.52 -0.675 80.81% -0.33 -0.3631
Using Tokens but Not Events 10009 31.38% 27.1 -0.707 79.62% -0.036 -0.198

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10524 14.25 9.43%
II 21322 30.3 68.54%
III 38730 34.84 89.67%
IV 20068 38.61 98.94%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.323 Win Model: 0.521
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 63372 40.61% 26.73 75.21%
2 19208 35.77% 28.52 81.99%
3 5232 28.88% 30.45 84.52%
4 2397 31.03% 30.87 84.15%
5 106 44.66% 28.28 82.08%
6 329 26.52% 32.59 75.99%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 990
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 33934
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 13816
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 19650
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 8128
Lose: Invader deck ran out 748
Lose: Adversary condition 254
Win: Sacrifice victory 346
Lose: Scenario condition 635
Win: Scenario condition 1454
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10059
Lose: Spirit destroyed 630

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 9326 31.55% 37.32 -0.988 82.97% 0.016 -0.0913
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 279 35.13% 34.78 0.555 68.1% 0.204 -0.2842
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5727 55.22% 35.37 -0.819 76.97% -0.155 -0.0121
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 361 29.09% 42.3 6.008 85.87% 1.018 0.2699
Dances Up Earthquakes 116 43.36% 30.72 0.9 67.24% 0.256 0.0795
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4881 36.34% 37.74 1.572 85.33% 0.389 0.1816
Downpour Drenches the World 1346 29.19% 32.22 -2.356 70.43% -0.392 -0.0717
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1949 26.19% 35.37 0.86 72.5% 0.405 -0.0351
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7073 24.85% 41.82 4.098 90.05% 0.739 0.3954
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4919 30.77% 41.26 2.909 88.05% 0.442 0.0879
Finder of Paths Unseen 758 50.8% 32.89 -3.559 63.06% -0.667 0.1179
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1592 35.56% 37.12 -1.18 72.61% -0.528 -0.0799
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2193 39.58% 34.3 -0.906 71.82% 0.069 0.0458
Heart of the Wildfire 6585 62.31% 32.58 -3.242 70.48% -0.645 -0.3177
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10743 38.89% 39.21 2.608 83.99% 0.399 -0.0957
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 404 28.93% 36.58 4.656 76.98% 1.013 0.4497
Lightning's Swift Strike 8714 48.25% 34.83 -0.419 75.71% -0.124 0.0746
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 594 46.28% 40.3 3.177 77.27% 0.424 -0.0241
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1028 36.52% 39.25 1.722 82.2% -0.086 -0.4059
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 955 37.82% 41.09 -1.527 78.95% -0.502 -0.3769
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4530 37.52% 39.07 2.091 80.62% 0.132 -0.0237
Many Minds Move as One 2437 26.77% 39.27 -0.416 86.87% -0.094 -0.3003
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 10150 45.82% 36.95 0.592 79.46% -0.001 0.128
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 237 60.34% 25.68 -1.934 59.49% -0.24 -0.1353
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4789 36.97% 37.38 0.933 84.55% 0.334 0.2845
River Surges in Sunlight 10822 47.95% 37.18 -2.055 77.46% -0.464 -0.4305
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 188 42.02% 32.91 3.031 65.43% 0.633 0.8411
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1346 42.32% 37.85 -0.961 74.59% -0.034 0.1166
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 741 40.11% 36.13 4.649 68.56% 0.531 0.5405
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5790 40.18% 37.02 -1.155 80.95% -0.17 -0.2692
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 64 48.44% 35.64 1.739 67.19% 0.354 -0.1367
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4764 61.68% 33.0 -2.192 69.37% -0.548 -0.0363
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 170 45.83% 34.89 4.604 69.41% 0.691 0.6477
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 440 38.72% 42.3 3.116 81.14% 0.271 -0.177
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 226 47.11% 34.18 -3.295 71.68% -0.7 -0.6414
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 613 48.29% 37.65 2.718 82.54% 0.275 0.0842
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 565 56.21% 35.52 -0.725 74.51% -0.185 -0.1014
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6655 35.21% 38.35 -0.533 83.53% -0.194 -0.2915
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 601 24.83% 44.67 5.58 73.88% 0.513 0.3183
Shifting Memory of Ages 1655 49.64% 33.17 -1.481 72.75% -0.419 -0.0291
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 246 30.49% 31.87 -0.952 68.7% -0.372 -0.4234
Shroud of Silent Mist 1766 61.72% 31.07 -5.189 68.97% -0.867 -0.4524
Starlight Seeks its Form 2625 38.41% 36.07 0.472 77.03% 0.106 0.0659
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3660 36.16% 36.42 -1.568 83.99% -0.075 -0.5778
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3903 37.47% 37.13 -0.393 81.01% -0.133 -0.0499
Thunderspeaker 8995 38.59% 38.11 0.592 81.97% 0.232 0.2263
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 333 30.33% 35.32 0.865 67.87% 0.031 0.42
Towering Roots of the Jungle 795 33.04% 31.12 -2.221 62.39% -0.326 -0.1156
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2581 72.06% 31.56 -1.464 71.1% -0.205 -0.1279
Vital Strength of the Earth 6746 37.5% 32.83 -2.713 73.44% -0.283 0.166
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 474 42.62% 34.04 -1.363 70.68% -0.363 0.1311
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 828 26.0% 31.9 -3.227 73.67% -0.505 0.1876
Volcano Looming High 2932 48.2% 34.1 -1.422 76.5% -0.193 -0.1289
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1127 28.31% 34.13 0.84 67.7% 0.32 0.0712

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 35 11.43% 33.69 2.7 80.0% 0.274 -0.2838
Blitz 0 1233 44.9% 32.62 -1.933 69.26% -0.346 0.0768
Dahan Insurrection 4 1739 21.34% 51.85 -2.63 69.35% -1.067 -1.5487
Despicable Theft 2 134 50.75% 35.36 3.497 60.45% 0.331 0.8738
Elemental Invocation 1 323 49.54% 29.94 -0.761 58.51% -0.532 0.2058
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3668 10.09% 45.66 5.085 84.65% 0.374 -0.2825
Powers Long Forgotten 1 486 52.37% 34.33 -8.55 63.79% -1.67 -1.1076
Rituals of Terror 3 440 53.18% 40.54 7.791 61.82% 0.618 0.4761
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 232 61.21% 39.24 1.856 63.79% -0.209 0.5395
Second Wave 0 4471 46.87% 37.25 2.424 73.25% 0.088 0.1829
The Great River 3 209 50.24% 33.57 1.337 45.93% -0.733 0.5127
Varied Terrains 2 132 58.33% 32.79 -6.633 53.03% -1.534 -0.6657
Ward the Shores 2 437 45.98% 41.78 1.394 71.62% -0.365 0.4895

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 67339 45.3% 34.49 -0.617 76.4% -0.387 -0.0138
1 Thematic 4097 47.94% 39.91 0.896 71.27% -0.668 0.0458
2 Archipelago 45 48.89% 37.44 -3.702 53.33% -0.406 0.1182
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 15515 42.21% 35.84 0.065 81.37% -0.1 0.0613
2 Coastline 2001 38.61% 36.83 3.089 81.41% 0.554 0.3606
2 Fragment 475 45.74% 35.11 0.735 78.32% -0.184 -0.232
2 Heart 205 47.52% 36.77 6.119 80.98% 0.684 0.4716
2 Opposite Shores 3583 39.32% 36.82 0.838 82.78% 0.089 0.2211
2 Thematic 1618 45.04% 42.21 0.495 75.59% -0.092 0.6279
2 Top to Top 617 38.6% 38.04 2.397 84.76% 0.512 0.4275
3 Archipelago 30 46.67% 55.73 12.945 76.67% 0.53 -0.0133
3 Coastline 42 42.86% 39.36 3.152 78.57% 0.076 -0.554
3 Other 318 42.45% 38.95 5.301 88.68% 0.595 -0.2809
3 Round (Default) 6294 36.0% 37.48 -0.531 83.43% -0.1 -0.1228
3 Sunrise 32 37.5% 39.81 0.0 90.63%
3 Thematic 327 47.08% 41.72 5.747 72.17% 0.228 0.2358
4 Archipelago 15 33.33% 49.0 0.0 86.67%
4 Coastline 9 44.44% 38.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 27 33.33% 43.33 0.0 96.3%
4 Other 120 52.5% 42.55 5.143 87.5% 0.481 -0.0866
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 831 29.22% 40.94 -5.903 68.23% -0.413 -0.3496
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2996 31.88% 38.58 -1.62 84.21% -0.15 -0.1444
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 53.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 4 100.0% 40.75 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 178 40.11% 40.21 -2.413 75.84% -0.133 -0.4565
5 Thematic 26 46.15% 49.46 -17.4 69.23% -0.526 -0.669
6 Archipelago 4 0.0% 33.75 0.0 75.0%
6 Coastline 2 50.0% 10.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 31 22.58% 43.29 -5.896 77.42% -0.823 -0.8673
6 Star 33 27.27% 41.45 -2.09 93.94% -0.121 0.5116
6 Thematic 598 44.41% 55.5 2.25 72.58% 0.222 0.4259
6 Two Centers (Default) 354 15.82% 39.71 -2.547 82.49% -0.511 -0.0364
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 3 0.0% 26.33 -4.24 33.33% 0.002 -0.6738

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3084 30.49 1.11 63.65% 0.162 0.2331
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2529 31.98 3.456 64.73% 0.552 0.4419
All Things Weaken 1808 29.13 -0.27 60.01% -0.222 -0.0453
Attenuated Essence 298 32.07 2.211 64.77% 0.414 0.4659
Back Against the Wall 2450 30.99 -0.631 62.33% -0.578 -0.5933
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 294 30.83 -0.55 65.31% 0.072 0.2562
Burn Brightest Before the End 259 30.12 1.175 56.37% -0.018 0.0691
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2915 27.95 -0.852 61.72% -0.054 0.2378
Downward Spiral 8106 29.46 0.102 66.98% 0.251 0.3569
Erosion of Will 3205 30.59 -0.423 63.53% -0.225 -0.0594
Intensifying Exploitation 287 28.4 -0.49 59.58% 0.206 0.3942
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 762 38.84 4.539 93.96% 0.962 0.5338
Memory Fades to Dust 8328 28.89 -1.52 63.18% -0.155 0.0799
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1705 30.51 -0.769 66.8% -0.048 0.048
Promising Farmlands 3107 29.55 -1.898 65.21% -0.555 -0.1912
Shattered Fragments of Power 236 30.81 2.23 61.86% 0.173 0.239
Slow Dissolution of Will 252 29.5 -0.993 57.54% -0.486 -0.023
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 484 38.25 -0.306 91.12% -0.017 -0.6182
The Border of Life and Death 100 34.73 4.072 79.0% 0.553 0.0773
Thriving Communities 1655 29.35 -1.106 63.56% -0.259 -0.0338
Thriving Crops 149 31.52 3.697 71.14% 0.669 0.4439
Tipping Point 971 29.87 0.0 64.78%
Unnatural Proliferation 1782 30.77 0.201 63.41% -0.14 -0.0182
Untended Land Crumbles 1716 30.1 0.91 65.03% 0.07 0.302

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 25291 42.89% 35.21 -0.681 78.04% -0.512 0.4061
B 26087 41.72% 35.8 -0.941 79.64% -0.576 0.2656
C 26637 42.12% 35.94 -0.067 79.86% -0.409 0.2745
D 24156 42.69% 35.59 -0.923 79.48% -0.492 0.3509
E 10082 39.35% 36.49 0.672 80.4% -0.323 0.3289
F 12972 38.84% 36.55 0.045 80.99% -0.443 0.3166
G 11821 40.17% 36.22 0.422 80.47% -0.311 0.4466
H 11881 39.17% 36.77 1.107 80.91% -0.326 0.3929
East 5236 42.99% 43.29 -0.212 72.42% -0.848 -0.0349
Northeast 3349 41.29% 45.08 3.042 74.35% 0.063 0.73
Northwest 2736 41.09% 45.11 1.643 74.09% -0.436 0.369
Southeast 1291 41.78% 45.41 0.989 69.02% 0.171 0.8767
Southwest 1254 42.89% 43.86 -0.323 67.46% -0.836 0.5539
West 4648 43.78% 42.38 -0.653 71.32% -1.231 -0.4377

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 884 0.0% 33.59 -1.739 70.48% -0.418 0.3005
Not Using Events or Tokens 17462 48.9% 32.62 -2.495 72.33% -0.405 0.0801
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1090 15.15% 47.3 4.727 87.43% 0.722 -0.0087
Start of Game Growth 2377 16.33% 47.17 4.848 86.41% 0.166 -0.2801
Unlimited Undo 9403 36.79% 36.79 -0.838 80.95% -0.21 -0.2435
Using Tokens but Not Events 10661 34.42% 36.29 -0.236 81.11% 0.106 -0.0564

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11910 14.25 13.17%
II 26844 30.3 65.28%
III 45053 34.84 91.04%
IV 24086 38.61 99.31%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.047 Win Model: 0.328
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 71874 45.48% 34.79 76.04%
2 23938 41.66% 36.62 81.29%
3 6922 36.55% 37.92 83.57%
4 3984 31.65% 39.44 81.5%
5 165 39.88% 38.18 67.88%
6 1010 33.9% 48.52 76.63%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1565
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 40159
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 16429
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 23698
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7897
Lose: Invader deck ran out 835
Lose: Adversary condition 388
Win: Sacrifice victory 405
Lose: Scenario condition 695
Win: Scenario condition 1773
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13403
Lose: Spirit destroyed 646

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8267 35.46% 42.61 1.188 79.69% 0.333 0.2256
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 288 27.97% 37.07 -0.398 70.83% 0.105 -0.3832
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5214 65.13% 39.4 -1.521 71.83% -0.27 -0.1269
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 435 37.24% 45.58 8.271 82.76% 1.422 0.6735
Dances Up Earthquakes 119 48.74% 33.62 0.701 66.39% 0.212 0.0351
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4360 41.16% 43.1 -0.841 83.35% -0.016 -0.2235
Downpour Drenches the World 1302 34.41% 35.34 -0.01 65.9% 0.027 0.3467
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1672 32.72% 39.43 3.641 74.82% 0.763 0.3223
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7141 28.98% 48.03 3.224 89.51% 0.606 0.2628
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5008 33.32% 46.1 1.25 82.13% -0.2 -0.5541
Finder of Paths Unseen 636 46.61% 29.93 -2.478 53.46% -0.255 0.5295
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1569 41.5% 38.9 -6.837 63.8% -1.156 -0.7083
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2240 45.54% 40.39 0.31 74.15% -0.046 -0.0697
Heart of the Wildfire 6736 67.63% 35.04 -3.708 62.31% -0.576 -0.2488
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 11838 44.75% 43.57 0.989 82.05% 0.147 -0.3478
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 572 29.37% 40.84 5.372 75.35% 0.762 0.1989
Lightning's Swift Strike 7397 56.84% 38.66 -1.82 69.87% -0.31 -0.1119
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 571 50.8% 41.77 2.425 73.38% 0.04 -0.4075
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1058 42.88% 44.77 5.497 83.18% 0.921 0.6013
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 970 39.44% 41.61 0.668 72.27% -0.123 0.0023
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4841 44.45% 42.27 1.298 77.46% 0.2 0.044
Many Minds Move as One 2436 31.57% 45.37 1.552 86.04% 0.298 0.0913
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 10145 49.42% 41.3 -0.483 76.71% 0.07 0.1997
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 224 59.38% 32.07 -0.006 62.05% 0.038 0.1433
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5168 41.0% 42.7 0.333 82.53% 0.242 0.1922
River Surges in Sunlight 10803 52.42% 42.58 -1.579 73.53% -0.304 -0.271
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 215 48.36% 35.6 1.869 61.86% 0.309 0.5173
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1111 46.03% 40.79 -0.011 68.68% -0.203 -0.0523
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 932 43.61% 40.35 2.956 65.67% 0.208 0.2175
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5344 44.07% 42.37 0.078 79.38% -0.032 -0.131
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 66 40.91% 35.91 1.744 68.18% 0.29 -0.2012
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3931 68.92% 36.42 -6.446 62.83% -0.984 -0.4721
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 222 45.37% 34.25 1.678 59.91% 0.142 0.0988
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 513 39.73% 39.47 3.272 74.66% 0.469 0.0205
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 235 48.72% 38.29 8.35 68.51% 0.583 0.6419
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 667 49.03% 42.84 2.31 77.66% 0.247 0.0569
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 437 61.1% 39.63 0.655 71.85% -0.074 0.0101
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6790 40.06% 43.8 -2.338 80.52% -0.385 -0.4825
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 508 36.96% 37.1 -0.115 70.87% -0.054 -0.2488
Shifting Memory of Ages 1561 52.96% 37.21 -2.731 70.72% -0.404 -0.0146
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 356 38.2% 34.22 1.7 60.11% 0.273 0.2216
Shroud of Silent Mist 1591 65.76% 33.93 -4.863 61.97% -0.745 -0.3311
Starlight Seeks its Form 2904 35.31% 39.73 2.658 75.45% 0.5 0.4603
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3754 40.88% 40.75 1.357 80.85% 0.34 -0.1626
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4150 39.57% 43.06 -1.823 80.43% -0.223 -0.1404
Thunderspeaker 7848 45.63% 42.72 -1.798 77.34% -0.206 -0.2115
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 285 48.77% 30.79 -2.914 58.25% -0.427 -0.038
Towering Roots of the Jungle 675 36.61% 32.66 1.698 62.52% 0.249 0.4597
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2631 78.74% 36.07 -3.074 68.91% -0.479 -0.4017
Vital Strength of the Earth 5887 46.05% 37.22 -3.31 66.37% -0.471 -0.0217
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 446 40.05% 33.76 -3.976 62.78% -0.742 -0.2481
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 605 42.48% 31.18 -6.165 52.89% -0.824 -0.1316
Volcano Looming High 2637 53.19% 37.76 -1.697 71.1% -0.241 -0.1764
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1107 35.23% 37.13 -0.958 70.46% -0.254 -0.5027

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 22 36.36% 38.45 6.874 68.18% 0.218 -0.3405
Blitz 0 1069 50.57% 38.08 -2.348 69.22% -0.296 0.1268
Dahan Insurrection 4 1472 27.84% 60.72 4.392 73.85% -0.056 -0.5384
Despicable Theft 2 118 57.63% 38.52 -2.289 51.69% -0.071 0.4715
Elemental Invocation 1 198 66.16% 33.12 -4.265 51.01% -0.696 0.0418
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 4240 13.07% 50.11 5.164 81.27% 0.638 -0.018
Powers Long Forgotten 1 323 57.89% 37.78 -8.482 58.2% -0.989 -0.4264
Rituals of Terror 3 185 62.7% 40.58 -1.974 49.19% -0.932 -1.074
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 126 74.6% 43.51 -19.456 55.56% -0.601 0.1481
Second Wave 0 3320 52.16% 41.95 2.216 68.86% -0.01 0.085
The Great River 3 182 56.04% 30.9 -6.335 30.22% -1.04 0.2055
Varied Terrains 2 75 65.33% 29.53 -4.96 37.33% -0.834 0.0341
Ward the Shores 2 200 58.5% 44.07 -0.965 62.5% -0.395 0.459

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 73849 51.36% 39.31 -1.37 72.4% -0.37 0.003
1 Thematic 3440 46.05% 46.73 4.741 65.81% 0.358 1.0725
2 Archipelago 26 57.69% 46.77 5.4 69.23% 0.221 0.7452
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 14976 45.56% 42.06 0.635 80.24% 0.072 0.2332
2 Coastline 1905 42.03% 42.28 -2.979 80.0% -0.566 -0.7587
2 Fragment 359 59.6% 37.06 -2.418 68.25% -0.63 -0.6778
2 Heart 178 55.62% 39.34 1.202 74.16% 0.319 0.1065
2 Opposite Shores 3317 46.45% 40.67 -1.751 76.03% -0.464 -0.3316
2 Thematic 1170 54.62% 45.93 1.68 69.06% 0.156 0.8765
2 Top to Top 576 45.82% 39.98 2.572 75.69% 0.434 0.3494
3 Archipelago 17 70.59% 54.24 0.0 88.24%
3 Coastline 61 39.34% 42.0 0.274 68.85% 0.129 -0.501
3 Other 306 34.54% 41.25 -0.989 79.41% -0.111 -0.9868
3 Round (Default) 5641 39.14% 42.71 0.926 79.74% 0.048 0.025
3 Sunrise 32 25.0% 37.56 -10.598 71.88% -1.031 -1.478
3 Thematic 216 51.85% 47.99 -1.23 74.07% 0.168 0.1758
4 Archipelago 23 30.43% 54.3 19.822 82.61% 0.475 0.3236
4 Coastline 7 57.14% 37.57 -9.56 71.43% -0.687 -0.5581
4 Leaf 17 52.94% 44.47 1.619 76.47% -0.158 0.2769
4 Other 151 35.1% 36.64 -2.778 68.87% -0.495 -1.063
4 Reverse Snake 2 50.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Snake 4 25.0% 50.25 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 410 38.37% 52.88 2.033 81.71% 0.372 0.435
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2992 34.54% 44.33 0.803 83.02% 0.16 0.1655
5 Archipelago 7 71.43% 55.43 0.0 71.43%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 120 47.86% 43.67 7.51 79.17% 1.202 0.8781
5 Thematic 16 50.0% 47.81 0.0 62.5%
6 Archipelago 8 25.0% 36.63 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 41.0 2.434 100.0% 0.234 -0.824
6 Other 30 25.0% 38.1 12.418 60.0% 0.629 0.5847
6 Star 37 32.43% 35.95 7.061 62.16% 0.187 0.8196
6 Thematic 129 13.18% 38.57 -12.763 46.51% -0.345 -0.1407
6 Two Centers (Default) 214 27.57% 39.45 -3.131 75.23% -0.747 -0.2725
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 77.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 3 33.33% 44.33 5.23 66.67% 0.138 -0.5379

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3773 35.2 0.428 60.11% -0.037 0.0336
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2884 37.79 1.047 64.91% -0.035 -0.1448
All Things Weaken 2158 34.14 0.779 58.02% 0.03 0.2069
Attenuated Essence 366 33.21 -2.204 61.2% -0.336 -0.2845
Back Against the Wall 2815 36.23 0.583 60.85% -0.216 -0.2313
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 375 32.63 -1.349 56.27% -0.147 0.0364
Burn Brightest Before the End 232 34.28 1.256 58.19% 0.142 0.229
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3554 32.31 -1.248 57.46% -0.191 0.0999
Downward Spiral 8817 34.7 -0.27 63.16% 0.183 0.2893
Erosion of Will 3653 34.37 0.716 58.03% 0.043 0.2089
Intensifying Exploitation 353 31.7 -1.054 58.07% 0.043 0.2312
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 867 44.13 1.644 90.08% 0.57 0.1417
Memory Fades to Dust 8897 33.79 2.315 59.06% 0.3 0.5349
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2105 34.46 -0.736 61.24% -0.169 -0.0732
Promising Farmlands 3620 34.29 -1.816 61.41% -0.385 -0.0211
Shattered Fragments of Power 251 34.3 3.139 57.37% 0.499 0.5649
Slow Dissolution of Will 360 31.85 0.733 52.5% 0.186 0.6496
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 573 44.84 2.987 91.1% 0.716 0.1147
The Border of Life and Death 108 39.04 2.447 77.78% 0.525 0.0498
Thriving Communities 2108 34.23 -0.881 62.1% -0.132 0.0936
Thriving Crops 179 37.78 2.152 76.54% 0.613 0.3884
Tipping Point 1157 34.37 0.0 59.64%
Unnatural Proliferation 2248 36.83 2.89 64.41% 0.411 0.5333
Untended Land Crumbles 2070 33.88 -0.558 60.1% -0.014 0.2186

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 25047 48.47% 39.98 -0.827 73.88% 0.078 0.9959
B 25920 46.95% 40.88 0.051 76.08% 0.276 1.1175
C 27026 47.0% 41.0 -0.268 76.44% 0.112 0.7949
D 23204 48.3% 40.37 -0.546 75.01% 0.051 0.8934
E 10813 44.26% 40.7 0.228 76.2% 0.166 0.8172
F 13424 44.34% 41.18 -0.412 77.07% -0.019 0.7406
G 12104 45.18% 41.14 0.951 77.31% 0.326 1.0835
H 12662 43.36% 42.06 0.506 78.94% 0.2 0.9182
East 3739 45.15% 47.56 -1.131 67.5% -0.496 0.3178
Northeast 2424 42.35% 48.36 4.307 67.45% 0.385 1.0529
Northwest 1482 45.25% 47.16 -0.091 71.52% 0.192 0.9968
Southeast 610 40.98% 43.92 -3.8 64.75% -0.75 -0.0448
Southwest 567 41.98% 39.76 -0.065 61.73% 0.453 1.8429
West 2830 48.85% 46.64 0.242 68.8% -0.387 0.4061

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 700 0.0% 37.91 -2.27 63.14% -0.353 0.366
Not Using Events or Tokens 14894 54.75% 36.77 -2.17 65.03% -0.49 -0.0056
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1056 12.17% 55.12 9.159 88.83% 1.254 0.5233
Start of Game Growth 2135 16.74% 52.47 1.816 86.89% -0.258 -0.7045
Unlimited Undo 9819 40.45% 42.32 -1.486 79.38% -0.157 -0.1907
Using Tokens but Not Events 11079 39.91% 41.85 -0.073 79.03% 0.089 -0.0738

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 13583 14.25 9.43%
II 35772 30.3 66.43%
III 41233 34.84 90.06%
IV 19752 38.61 99.47%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.012 Win Model: -0.208
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 77616 51.13% 39.64 72.09%
2 22409 46.13% 41.98 78.8%
3 6199 39.23% 42.76 79.35%
4 3594 34.89% 45.02 82.19%
5 121 50.85% 42.6 68.6%
6 401 22.06% 38.47 64.59%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1281
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 36534
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 22685
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 19508
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 8482
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1851
Lose: Adversary condition 304
Win: Sacrifice victory 413
Lose: Scenario condition 522
Win: Scenario condition 1406
Lose: Blight pool ran out 16540
Lose: Spirit destroyed 814

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6076 34.85% 44.7 0.443 76.89% 0.225 0.1177
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 154 39.61% 38.05 -0.139 68.18% 0.066 -0.422
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4140 65.63% 40.85 -1.172 69.78% 0.151 0.2945
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 618 49.68% 46.22 2.431 78.48% 0.327 -0.421
Dances Up Earthquakes 120 35.83% 34.24 -0.214 62.5% -0.043 -0.22
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3665 43.67% 45.3 2.548 81.39% 0.372 0.1645
Downpour Drenches the World 990 35.26% 38.06 -1.66 64.95% -0.561 -0.2408
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1479 30.85% 44.05 4.702 78.09% 0.995 0.5546
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5963 27.95% 51.13 2.397 90.01% 0.236 -0.1069
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3951 35.22% 48.33 2.744 85.5% 0.495 0.1409
Finder of Paths Unseen 450 50.0% 34.22 -2.729 58.44% -0.502 0.2828
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1353 34.81% 42.49 -2.317 67.04% -0.792 -0.3439
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2113 43.99% 42.5 1.898 71.42% 0.281 0.2572
Heart of the Wildfire 5487 66.47% 39.19 -3.033 66.07% -0.374 -0.0475
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10032 42.89% 47.52 1.419 84.08% 0.054 -0.4415
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 482 28.48% 42.59 3.232 71.99% 0.558 -0.0044
Lightning's Swift Strike 6106 51.95% 41.83 -2.031 71.11% -0.116 0.0827
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 641 52.2% 47.47 6.893 77.07% 0.641 0.1931
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 968 39.69% 48.39 2.774 85.43% 0.31 -0.0091
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 671 39.79% 48.72 2.247 83.01% 0.531 0.6554
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3811 44.98% 46.07 -1.79 80.19% -0.362 -0.518
Many Minds Move as One 2071 31.69% 47.57 -2.0 85.85% -0.273 -0.4792
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7996 49.35% 43.11 -0.438 73.99% 0.023 0.1528
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 190 65.79% 33.36 -0.8 60.53% -0.084 0.0211
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3812 42.47% 45.12 1.281 80.38% 0.179 0.1297
River Surges in Sunlight 8012 51.9% 45.28 2.909 72.08% 0.355 0.3878
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 131 45.04% 33.18 -1.314 54.2% -0.077 0.1312
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 729 45.12% 44.92 -1.454 71.6% -0.208 -0.057
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 648 45.98% 46.78 1.168 75.62% -0.002 0.0076
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4182 43.96% 44.43 -3.077 78.07% -0.379 -0.4775
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 34 41.18% 43.32 3.477 73.53% 0.481 -0.01
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2544 66.46% 38.29 -1.944 60.61% -0.026 0.4861
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 141 58.39% 41.98 5.557 68.09% 0.86 0.8164
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 384 49.48% 44.53 1.434 76.3% 0.137 -0.3115
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 182 45.6% 44.2 7.123 75.82% 0.539 0.5972
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 479 61.3% 41.17 -0.7 69.31% -0.204 -0.3944
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 299 68.9% 40.32 0.633 65.89% -0.015 0.0691
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8112 30.09% 49.63 -0.585 86.09% -0.177 -0.2749
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 381 37.53% 44.51 1.218 75.59% 0.043 -0.1511
Shifting Memory of Ages 1180 55.34% 41.38 -5.245 72.37% -0.914 -0.5244
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 182 42.31% 39.95 0.942 71.43% 0.107 0.055
Shroud of Silent Mist 1035 69.92% 34.75 -4.268 58.84% -0.656 -0.2414
Starlight Seeks its Form 2430 37.78% 43.23 0.524 77.04% -0.262 -0.3021
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3383 37.12% 44.19 -1.404 83.18% -0.113 -0.6156
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3293 42.42% 45.2 -0.155 77.56% -0.074 0.0086
Thunderspeaker 5822 46.08% 44.29 -1.667 75.25% -0.13 -0.1354
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 209 47.85% 40.09 3.833 67.46% 0.428 0.8165
Towering Roots of the Jungle 684 43.7% 37.4 2.149 65.06% 0.246 0.4561
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2443 78.84% 40.0 -0.811 72.17% -0.13 -0.0524
Vital Strength of the Earth 3826 50.73% 36.24 -5.178 53.42% -0.859 -0.4101
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 335 48.04% 35.5 -5.034 57.61% -0.781 -0.2861
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 271 47.97% 36.15 -4.012 54.61% -0.364 0.3287
Volcano Looming High 2334 53.08% 42.37 -0.65 75.75% -0.04 0.0242
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 744 38.98% 42.94 2.064 75.94% 0.149 -0.1004

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 19 31.58% 40.58 -15.025 63.16% -0.409 -0.9673
Blitz 0 699 44.19% 40.94 0.165 68.38% -0.131 0.2919
Dahan Insurrection 4 845 27.46% 64.38 10.968 72.78% 0.185 -0.2967
Despicable Theft 2 48 54.17% 39.58 14.517 50.0% 0.388 0.9312
Elemental Invocation 1 112 47.32% 35.63 -3.781 57.14% -0.501 0.2365
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2880 13.17% 53.45 8.154 85.97% 0.927 0.2709
Powers Long Forgotten 1 166 65.66% 39.47 0.21 54.22% -0.048 0.5142
Rituals of Terror 3 181 50.28% 47.34 0.732 54.7% -0.006 -0.1481
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 104 73.08% 43.68 -8.622 48.08% -0.871 -0.1218
Second Wave 0 2129 52.52% 44.21 0.48 67.45% -0.292 -0.1973
The Great River 3 83 55.42% 33.37 -13.547 34.94% -1.051 0.1947
Varied Terrains 2 40 57.5% 32.63 14.668 45.0% 0.297 1.1653
Ward the Shores 2 137 55.47% 47.94 13.162 64.96% 0.408 1.2625

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 67693 48.04% 43.13 -0.856 74.27% -0.15 0.2234
1 Thematic 2248 53.97% 50.15 3.156 68.91% 0.242 0.956
2 Archipelago 18 72.22% 41.67 -3.484 50.0% -0.178 0.3455
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10845 46.42% 44.7 1.83 79.08% 0.366 0.5271
2 Coastline 1532 41.32% 46.33 -1.845 81.98% -0.456 -0.6496
2 Fragment 224 52.02% 41.63 0.51 70.54% 0.152 0.1038
2 Heart 103 43.14% 43.81 -5.829 78.64% -0.54 -0.7522
2 Opposite Shores 2397 45.0% 42.21 -1.735 73.17% -0.219 -0.087
2 Thematic 717 52.45% 47.92 0.59 68.06% -0.114 0.6064
2 Top to Top 492 43.06% 45.61 -0.811 80.08% 0.021 -0.0638
3 Archipelago 10 40.0% 42.3 0.0 60.0%
3 Coastline 55 29.09% 57.44 0.0 98.18%
3 Other 137 54.81% 45.85 5.87 81.02% 0.654 -0.2221
3 Round (Default) 4224 37.88% 46.34 0.173 82.03% -0.295 -0.3183
3 Sunrise 17 17.65% 55.71 0.0 88.24%
3 Thematic 146 52.74% 45.47 -7.944 65.75% -0.384 -0.376
4 Archipelago 11 72.73% 47.64 0.0 63.64%
4 Coastline 4 50.0% 47.25 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 9 66.67% 47.22 0.0 88.89%
4 Other 68 40.3% 47.82 10.139 80.88% 0.207 -0.3611
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 503 35.06% 51.47 0.0 73.76%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1921 37.74% 45.36 -3.933 79.75% -0.773 -0.768
5 Archipelago 4 100.0% 70.5 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 3 0.0% 21.0 0.0 33.33%
5 Other 83 49.38% 42.11 3.647 69.88% 0.668 0.3443
5 Thematic 6 33.33% 38.5 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 26 42.31% 42.31 -16.089 76.92% -0.515 -0.5597
6 Star 14 50.0% 51.5 6.053 85.71% 0.011 0.6433
6 Thematic 79 6.33% 46.37 3.387 56.96% -0.0 0.2037
6 Two Centers (Default) 59 37.29% 38.9 7.0 67.8% 0.282 0.7559

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3158 38.16 -0.111 61.08% -0.34 -0.2686
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2314 41.04 2.853 65.99% 0.027 -0.0825
All Things Weaken 1811 37.13 0.959 59.36% -0.096 0.0814
Attenuated Essence 313 36.41 -1.845 63.26% -0.41 -0.3581
Back Against the Wall 2199 39.54 5.218 62.39% 0.657 0.6415
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 301 33.87 -1.367 54.49% -0.579 -0.3951
Burn Brightest Before the End 196 38.42 2.738 61.22% 0.151 0.2383
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2936 35.08 -2.233 57.02% -0.61 -0.319
Downward Spiral 6911 36.65 -1.217 60.7% -0.161 -0.0552
Erosion of Will 3024 36.86 1.866 57.24% 0.226 0.3915
Intensifying Exploitation 316 32.82 -3.906 53.8% -0.664 -0.4763
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 745 46.86 -1.667 86.98% -0.242 -0.67
Memory Fades to Dust 7049 35.51 -1.67 56.05% -0.2 0.0353
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1842 38.73 0.029 65.8% 0.063 0.1586
Promising Farmlands 3144 36.47 -2.798 59.45% -0.773 -0.4087
Shattered Fragments of Power 203 36.86 -3.975 58.62% -1.224 -1.1587
Slow Dissolution of Will 302 31.55 -1.131 49.67% -0.238 0.2253
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 525 47.26 -0.411 89.52% 0.042 -0.559
The Border of Life and Death 88 44.17 4.641 81.82% 0.539 0.0633
Thriving Communities 1693 36.07 0.849 58.95% -0.004 0.2213
Thriving Crops 151 36.52 -3.255 68.87% -0.391 -0.6157
Tipping Point 957 35.54 0.0 54.13%
Unnatural Proliferation 1896 39.11 1.431 63.61% 0.225 0.3469
Untended Land Crumbles 1768 37.05 -1.213 61.31% -0.463 -0.2308

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 19443 47.52% 42.94 -1.834 73.66% -0.452 0.4662
B 21069 45.37% 44.14 0.741 76.61% 0.045 0.8865
C 21428 47.1% 43.83 -0.944 75.92% -0.261 0.4221
D 18230 47.36% 43.62 0.716 75.33% 0.07 0.9124
E 9414 43.14% 45.04 0.562 79.52% -0.111 0.5404
F 11388 44.13% 44.24 -0.222 77.83% -0.189 0.5706
G 10184 44.59% 44.32 0.879 78.09% -0.014 0.7434
H 10387 42.29% 45.0 0.988 79.31% -0.069 0.6494
East 2440 48.34% 49.09 -0.388 68.28% -0.611 0.2027
Northeast 1504 46.4% 49.03 2.333 68.15% 0.202 0.8693
Northwest 1206 44.25% 49.29 2.023 71.39% -0.17 0.6348
Southeast 420 40.71% 46.32 2.374 66.67% -0.143 0.5623
Southwest 398 43.47% 41.01 -0.359 59.05% -0.045 1.3452
West 2234 47.19% 50.23 2.393 69.52% -0.096 0.6974

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 525 0.0% 43.89 -0.517 70.86% -0.217 0.5021
Not Using Events or Tokens 11861 51.4% 39.63 -4.393 65.9% -0.939 -0.4546
Skip Initial Invader Actions 752 15.25% 58.95 9.469 90.29% 0.734 0.003
Start of Game Growth 1486 17.74% 55.25 3.998 87.15% 0.407 -0.039
Unlimited Undo 9499 43.11% 44.65 0.33 78.49% 0.167 0.134
Using Tokens but Not Events 8931 38.42% 44.59 0.07 77.45% -0.06 -0.2222

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 13884 14.25 23.62%
II 39066 30.3 76.68%
III 29308 34.84 88.21%
IV 11452 38.61 99.63%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.348 Win Model: 0.273
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 70148 48.26% 43.35 74.09%
2 16256 45.91% 44.64 77.97%
3 4540 38.51% 46.48 81.81%
4 2521 37.38% 46.68 78.5%
5 66 51.52% 36.03 60.61%
6 179 25.7% 43.67 65.92%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3276
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 25526
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 29176
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 11313
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5972
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3114
Lose: Adversary condition 156
Win: Sacrifice victory 362
Lose: Scenario condition 325
Win: Scenario condition 844
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13022
Lose: Spirit destroyed 624

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3403 46.89% 45.23 -5.21 62.18% -0.806 -0.9127
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 69 28.99% 45.41 1.521 66.67% 0.143 -0.345
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1949 74.48% 43.46 -3.134 60.39% -0.134 0.0094
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 269 42.38% 49.25 -1.555 75.46% -0.635 -1.3837
Dances Up Earthquakes 91 36.26% 51.73 2.236 80.22% 0.049 -0.128
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2757 40.31% 51.74 3.979 76.97% 0.684 0.4764
Downpour Drenches the World 482 40.68% 38.54 0.792 53.32% -0.3 0.0203
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 831 34.54% 49.37 0.99 76.53% 0.021 -0.4191
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3496 38.32% 54.32 2.16 81.41% 0.502 0.1585
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1969 45.81% 52.36 2.283 76.03% 0.217 -0.1369
Finder of Paths Unseen 190 55.26% 37.59 -8.122 49.47% -0.922 -0.138
Fractured Days Split the Sky 537 51.21% 45.41 -4.19 55.68% -0.671 -0.2233
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 830 44.94% 50.47 6.571 73.13% 1.095 1.0717
Heart of the Wildfire 3018 70.42% 41.28 -4.745 56.06% -0.578 -0.2515
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4491 58.56% 47.95 1.812 68.6% 0.599 0.1038
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 524 13.17% 58.12 4.011 88.36% 0.527 -0.0362
Lightning's Swift Strike 3789 70.64% 42.23 0.969 56.51% 0.505 0.7038
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 223 63.23% 44.75 2.362 60.09% 0.552 0.1044
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 446 53.27% 47.83 -7.125 71.52% -0.592 -0.911
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 374 39.84% 51.61 5.277 73.8% 0.382 0.5066
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2222 50.74% 49.54 -0.379 72.28% -0.153 -0.3086
Many Minds Move as One 805 40.99% 53.6 -1.832 82.61% -0.128 -0.3342
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4046 56.17% 48.3 -0.261 69.06% 0.128 0.2576
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 88 62.5% 35.98 -1.768 53.41% -0.002 0.1027
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1976 52.68% 47.65 -2.051 68.52% -0.3 -0.3496
River Surges in Sunlight 4554 63.09% 48.11 -0.517 62.71% -0.188 -0.1547
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 62 56.45% 36.24 -5.17 46.77% -0.612 -0.4042
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 672 26.34% 55.9 7.437 76.93% 1.268 1.4195
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 386 52.86% 44.74 0.052 60.36% -0.206 -0.1967
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1983 54.1% 47.48 -0.779 67.98% 0.085 -0.0144
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 8 62.5% 37.75 -0.611 62.5% 0.039 -0.4515
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2136 81.03% 41.39 -1.833 53.09% 0.114 0.6261
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 55 67.35% 40.89 -0.585 56.36% -0.321 -0.3646
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 198 51.81% 44.88 -4.921 68.69% -0.498 -0.9458
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 180 27.22% 54.47 4.755 80.56% 0.375 0.4332
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 225 76.89% 41.27 10.576 49.78% 0.87 0.6799
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 139 74.82% 44.23 -14.879 61.15% -0.878 -0.7944
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4069 38.04% 54.49 3.901 78.47% 0.722 0.6245
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 242 47.93% 44.57 5.849 67.36% 0.72 0.5257
Shifting Memory of Ages 458 67.47% 39.97 0.827 51.09% -0.373 0.0169
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 40 65.0% 47.1 6.177 67.5% 1.136 1.0847
Shroud of Silent Mist 369 76.63% 36.23 -4.535 47.97% -0.569 -0.1545
Starlight Seeks its Form 893 43.11% 46.17 2.694 64.39% 0.183 0.143
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2751 35.27% 50.75 3.939 79.43% 0.75 0.2474
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1974 48.81% 50.73 5.396 72.34% 0.889 0.9721
Thunderspeaker 3163 56.12% 46.54 -1.449 63.14% 0.075 0.069
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 89 42.7% 46.27 0.976 71.91% -0.033 0.3555
Towering Roots of the Jungle 275 58.18% 37.93 -0.8 49.45% -0.48 -0.2699
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1454 86.51% 43.97 -7.027 63.2% -1.105 -1.0279
Vital Strength of the Earth 2205 64.95% 35.11 -8.307 35.74% -1.091 -0.642
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 246 48.78% 38.61 -8.643 47.15% -0.856 -0.3617
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 140 55.0% 36.98 -5.571 38.57% -0.114 0.5787
Volcano Looming High 1093 68.57% 44.08 -4.283 63.31% -0.595 -0.5303
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 300 44.67% 40.66 3.402 61.33% 0.58 0.3313

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 0.0% 22.0 0.0 33.33%
Blitz 0 458 69.93% 39.66 -1.459 50.22% -0.147 0.2756
Dahan Insurrection 4 558 49.64% 65.01 1.108 59.32% -0.2 -0.6817
Despicable Theft 2 12 50.0% 35.25 0.726 33.33% -0.219 0.3242
Elemental Invocation 1 64 64.06% 23.14 -12.235 15.63% -0.136 0.6015
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2078 15.62% 60.2 4.403 86.86% 0.388 -0.2681
Powers Long Forgotten 1 111 68.47% 44.35 -8.005 49.55% -0.269 0.2932
Rituals of Terror 3 95 55.79% 44.25 -6.357 36.84% -0.434 -0.5763
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 59 91.53% 48.71 0.0 42.37%
Second Wave 0 1201 60.85% 46.95 1.084 58.87% -0.141 -0.0464
The Great River 3 33 54.55% 34.73 0.0 18.18%
Varied Terrains 2 15 66.67% 36.73 0.0 26.67%
Ward the Shores 2 71 73.24% 47.27 0.0 47.89%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 39065 56.2% 45.96 0.443 64.62% 0.002 0.3755
1 Thematic 1358 62.82% 50.81 7.175 55.89% 0.722 1.4359
2 Archipelago 9 77.78% 60.11 13.947 77.78% 0.379 0.9027
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5830 55.25% 48.13 -2.797 69.13% -0.608 -0.4464
2 Coastline 880 48.0% 47.29 -3.905 67.61% -1.247 -1.4402
2 Fragment 106 66.67% 45.8 -15.299 65.09% -0.295 -0.3433
2 Heart 84 61.9% 45.46 -1.395 63.1% -0.004 -0.216
2 Opposite Shores 1588 49.81% 49.95 2.782 72.29% 0.352 0.4839
2 Thematic 367 65.21% 49.92 -6.419 52.04% -0.307 0.4133
2 Top to Top 192 61.78% 48.28 1.022 69.27% 0.012 -0.0729
3 Archipelago 4 50.0% 84.75 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 11 27.27% 60.55 9.773 90.91% 0.542 -0.0885
3 Other 47 65.96% 50.98 -9.206 70.21% -0.259 -1.1356
3 Round (Default) 1862 49.54% 50.44 2.49 73.79% 0.042 0.019
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Thematic 78 47.44% 57.58 -0.828 67.95% -0.439 -0.4312
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 64.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 14 57.14% 49.71 11.922 71.43% 0.416 -0.1516
4 Snake 1 100.0% 38.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 207 31.4% 58.84 -3.106 74.4% 0.014 0.077
4 Trapezoid (Default) 835 45.86% 46.03 2.066 66.59% 0.188 0.1928
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 28 50.0% 50.46 0.0 75.0%
5 Thematic 6 83.33% 69.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 69.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 7 14.29% 30.43 0.0 42.86%
6 Star 2 0.0% 28.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 34 26.47% 59.32 0.0 67.65%
6 Two Centers (Default) 20 20.0% 41.3 0.0 65.0%
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1923 40.76 -0.401 49.92% -0.098 -0.0267
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1372 44.91 -0.15 58.38% -0.391 -0.5009
All Things Weaken 1108 39.4 0.122 47.83% -0.229 -0.0522
Attenuated Essence 196 39.17 -1.129 53.06% -0.155 -0.1035
Back Against the Wall 1382 43.66 4.944 55.35% 0.568 0.5526
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 196 35.85 -0.713 47.96% -0.448 -0.2647
Burn Brightest Before the End 127 42.1 4.836 55.91% 0.581 0.6681
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1787 37.57 -5.807 46.73% -0.713 -0.4216
Downward Spiral 5563 38.94 1.009 49.31% 0.208 0.314
Erosion of Will 1819 38.81 -2.624 45.63% -0.612 -0.4457
Intensifying Exploitation 214 34.06 -2.162 46.26% -0.224 -0.0361
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 387 51.9 2.965 82.69% 0.314 -0.1141
Memory Fades to Dust 5464 38.39 -0.465 46.8% -0.272 -0.0374
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1080 39.97 -1.674 51.67% -0.763 -0.6671
Promising Farmlands 1860 37.73 0.617 45.16% 0.086 0.4501
Shattered Fragments of Power 116 40.25 1.59 52.59% -0.1 -0.0344
Slow Dissolution of Will 160 32.65 -1.903 37.5% -0.374 0.0893
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 226 52.63 4.985 84.51% 0.537 -0.0641
The Border of Life and Death 48 53.15 4.915 87.5% 0.276 -0.1994
Thriving Communities 1101 39.12 -3.156 50.32% -0.667 -0.4415
Thriving Crops 77 49.16 4.345 76.62% 0.358 0.1333
Tipping Point 639 38.12 0.0 42.72%
Unnatural Proliferation 1151 42.22 -0.598 53.43% -0.418 -0.2961
Untended Land Crumbles 1081 39.69 -0.661 51.16% -0.456 -0.2235

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10051 58.1% 44.45 -1.861 60.97% -0.287 0.6316
B 11814 52.98% 48.12 -1.148 68.43% -0.137 0.7045
C 11658 60.14% 45.57 0.73 63.78% 0.273 0.9556
D 9239 60.39% 44.76 -1.294 62.0% -0.072 0.7699
E 4199 53.8% 47.18 -0.29 68.59% 0.198 0.8494
F 7018 46.12% 49.16 0.259 72.58% 0.154 0.9138
G 5866 49.08% 49.36 1.167 72.04% 0.154 0.9115
H 6314 45.95% 50.16 3.967 73.49% 0.788 1.5069
East 1307 57.1% 53.25 -0.381 59.6% -0.14 0.6737
Northeast 755 55.45% 53.19 1.416 60.79% -0.061 0.6065
Northwest 593 50.85% 53.62 -6.674 60.03% -0.774 0.0309
Southeast 209 50.72% 49.95 -14.697 59.81% -0.091 0.6141
Southwest 196 53.85% 43.38 -13.331 50.51% -0.28 1.11
West 1128 55.69% 52.05 0.802 56.65% 0.193 0.9863

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 273 0.0% 40.94 -3.541 54.21% -0.694 0.0244
Not Using Events or Tokens 8563 68.12% 40.63 -2.871 53.44% -0.309 0.1756
Skip Initial Invader Actions 418 22.22% 60.95 6.943 81.82% 0.764 0.0329
Start of Game Growth 866 20.47% 62.17 4.543 85.22% 0.218 -0.2284
Unlimited Undo 9050 33.51% 55.14 6.772 82.78% 1.697 1.6639
Using Tokens but Not Events 9699 27.64% 55.08 4.724 82.51% 0.54 0.3774

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9242 14.25 19.0%
II 22731 30.3 65.79%
III 15231 34.84 81.18%
IV 5466 38.61 99.45%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.091 Win Model: 0.072
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 40539 56.43% 46.11 64.26%
2 9001 54.32% 48.48 69.04%
3 1983 49.7% 50.79 73.58%
4 1054 42.36% 48.93 68.88%
5 30 53.33% 44.7 60.0%
6 63 19.05% 49.62 68.25%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1756
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12173
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 14591
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5381
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3549
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3063
Lose: Adversary condition 97
Win: Sacrifice victory 176
Lose: Scenario condition 190
Win: Scenario condition 434
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10710
Lose: Spirit destroyed 550

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7814 61.94% 40.84 -4.899 43.84% -0.76 -0.867
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 322 40.99% 26.35 2.23 32.92% 0.099 -0.3889
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6711 81.84% 40.96 0.764 46.03% -0.044 0.0989
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 1641 58.2% 50.35 10.073 69.84% 1.617 0.8688
Dances Up Earthquakes 156 77.56% 30.97 0.002 37.82% 0.108 -0.0688
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3800 74.59% 37.5 1.673 40.61% 0.06 -0.1473
Downpour Drenches the World 1430 53.19% 33.4 0.213 37.27% -0.007 0.3129
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2761 53.69% 41.72 1.846 56.1% 0.386 -0.0546
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9881 53.63% 48.11 0.21 62.0% 0.231 -0.1126
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3831 73.01% 42.88 1.776 50.22% 0.313 -0.0409
Finder of Paths Unseen 751 66.67% 27.98 -4.544 28.89% -0.678 0.1064
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1979 60.87% 45.47 -3.205 50.48% -0.167 0.2812
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2361 68.05% 41.63 0.34 50.32% 0.296 0.272
Heart of the Wildfire 8423 87.86% 31.19 -5.064 28.96% -0.74 -0.4126
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 11427 70.08% 41.94 1.742 50.35% 0.251 -0.2442
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 603 54.23% 38.21 0.14 48.59% -0.086 -0.649
Lightning's Swift Strike 8541 70.91% 38.21 -4.008 41.55% -0.655 -0.4568
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1186 71.45% 41.3 6.17 50.93% 0.987 0.5391
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1587 78.05% 45.87 3.711 59.04% 0.427 0.1072
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1226 64.27% 44.47 -1.311 55.55% -0.297 -0.1719
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 6389 66.82% 42.96 2.063 52.95% 0.081 -0.0752
Many Minds Move as One 2525 57.96% 52.23 7.434 70.85% 1.138 0.9316
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 31878 55.77% 53.95 0.816 75.49% 0.748 0.8776
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 345 74.78% 32.56 0.619 41.74% 0.226 0.3307
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3791 75.48% 39.64 -2.371 43.74% -0.223 -0.2729
River Surges in Sunlight 12536 72.56% 43.28 -4.288 46.69% -0.785 -0.7522
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 486 62.76% 29.41 -2.822 35.39% -0.847 -0.6389
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 629 74.72% 36.33 0.735 31.16% -0.014 0.1373
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1334 66.31% 36.68 -3.327 41.6% -0.29 -0.2803
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6611 60.83% 42.66 0.174 50.28% 0.105 0.0057
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 45 60.0% 44.38 5.902 64.44% 0.923 0.4317
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3917 71.7% 37.12 -5.466 38.58% -1.121 -0.6095
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 116 83.78% 38.94 0.61 44.83% 0.08 0.0365
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 836 67.6% 44.74 6.991 61.0% 1.037 0.589
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 230 67.83% 31.61 5.599 35.65% 0.417 0.475
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 579 82.01% 39.44 -0.978 43.87% -0.864 -1.0547
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 462 89.39% 39.47 8.163 43.94% 0.926 1.0092
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7189 63.3% 42.54 -0.689 51.09% 0.049 -0.0492
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 556 63.31% 35.03 1.977 43.17% 0.406 0.2121
Shifting Memory of Ages 1173 79.3% 36.14 1.841 34.44% 0.344 0.7332
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 199 56.28% 37.47 0.888 47.24% 0.138 0.0868
Shroud of Silent Mist 1169 86.9% 31.46 -4.292 31.22% -0.822 -0.4081
Starlight Seeks its Form 3668 71.18% 38.45 -3.575 41.52% -0.501 -0.5415
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5858 63.87% 43.93 3.66 50.58% 0.397 -0.1051
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3670 72.51% 42.23 -1.918 48.58% -0.172 -0.0892
Thunderspeaker 9306 71.91% 44.77 -2.514 44.17% -0.145 -0.1509
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 512 60.55% 37.58 -5.192 47.46% -0.83 -0.4409
Towering Roots of the Jungle 848 53.96% 28.38 -3.47 33.37% -0.327 -0.1168
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4678 90.29% 42.95 4.963 55.07% 0.769 0.8466
Vital Strength of the Earth 4734 76.4% 29.16 -6.698 19.96% -1.176 -0.7272
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 408 67.89% 31.38 1.97 30.88% 0.344 0.8383
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 530 76.52% 26.83 -15.619 16.98% -1.23 -0.5372
Volcano Looming High 4008 76.03% 40.54 0.062 49.35% 0.235 0.2992
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 883 64.67% 38.06 1.641 49.04% 0.106 -0.1434

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 16 37.5% 47.19 -2.658 56.25% -0.389 -0.9466
Blitz 0 1147 55.26% 41.95 0.824 49.69% 0.116 0.5394
Dahan Insurrection 4 3311 72.83% 54.07 1.666 34.94% 0.306 -0.1765
Despicable Theft 2 32 62.5% 36.41 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 94 67.02% 30.02 0.0 17.02%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5004 35.46% 53.78 2.488 66.99% 0.193 -0.463
Powers Long Forgotten 1 147 82.76% 34.35 -1.931 22.45% 0.073 0.635
Rituals of Terror 3 423 52.96% 68.77 15.435 39.95% 1.082 0.9403
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 48 60.42% 28.6 -21.072 16.67% -1.452 -0.7028
Second Wave 0 961 69.86% 43.64 0.403 44.95% -0.739 -0.6441
The Great River 3 57 68.42% 33.46 -11.703 17.54% -0.042 1.2032
Varied Terrains 2 29 55.17% 29.93 3.018 20.69% 0.032 0.9001
Ward the Shores 2 101 74.26% 31.28 -14.158 22.77% -1.263 -0.4088

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 126223 69.78% 42.27 -0.717 51.25% -0.501 -0.1275
1 Thematic 4856 75.6% 50.29 0.734 36.9% -0.809 -0.0945
2 Archipelago 70 43.48% 35.61 0.0 27.14%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13017 63.16% 45.78 2.878 57.7% 0.078 0.2392
2 Coastline 2299 65.91% 43.37 3.196 54.41% 0.013 -0.1805
2 Fragment 245 74.69% 37.04 6.571 42.04% 0.168 0.1194
2 Heart 156 72.44% 39.99 6.819 45.51% 0.458 0.2457
2 Opposite Shores 3634 69.96% 41.09 -4.173 45.76% -0.9 -0.7678
2 Thematic 1253 77.88% 46.71 -3.795 33.44% -1.839 -1.1185
2 Top to Top 562 75.22% 41.54 3.679 48.58% 0.142 0.0578
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 57.33 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 56 57.14% 42.79 14.071 48.21% 0.484 -0.1467
3 Other 104 77.88% 42.88 6.721 49.04% 0.59 -0.2865
3 Round (Default) 3593 67.8% 43.24 -1.463 52.91% -0.601 -0.6239
3 Sunrise 8 87.5% 51.38 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 147 55.78% 77.01 25.94 51.7% 0.23 0.2372
4 Archipelago 4 75.0% 66.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 13 38.46% 47.85 -12.653 61.54% -0.234 -0.105
4 Leaf 8 50.0% 33.25 -16.129 37.5% -0.327 0.1087
4 Other 44 72.73% 48.66 11.121 63.64% 0.447 -0.1215
4 Snake 2 100.0% 26.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 450 52.56% 65.15 4.312 53.11% 0.601 0.6643
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2669 49.41% 38.58 -1.907 47.81% -0.491 -0.486
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 32.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 23 13.04% 53.96 18.39 78.26% 0.42 -0.6004
5 Other 58 63.79% 47.74 2.553 58.62% -0.219 -0.5426
5 Thematic 9 88.89% 52.0 12.818 33.33% 0.075 -0.0678
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 48.67 -10.404 66.67% -0.03 -1.0686
6 Coastline 7 0.0% 63.71 0.0 85.71%
6 Other 42 28.57% 28.81 -1.949 42.86% -0.217 -0.2612
6 Star 16 37.5% 35.56 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 30 58.62% 31.77 -14.61 33.33% -0.671 -0.4671
6 Two Centers (Default) 42 52.38% 32.79 -3.245 40.48% -0.197 0.2769
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 53.0 11.493 0.0% -0.078 -0.4023
7 Other 3 33.33% 27.0 0.0 33.33%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 8463 40.91 4.292 44.46% 0.274 0.345
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6607 46.75 7.2 56.0% 0.91 0.7998
All Things Weaken 4650 38.0 2.409 40.04% 0.058 0.2354
Attenuated Essence 991 34.71 0.61 40.57% -0.219 -0.1672
Back Against the Wall 5573 42.43 5.064 45.79% 0.295 0.2796
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 970 30.76 -1.861 32.47% -0.645 -0.4611
Burn Brightest Before the End 631 37.29 3.408 38.35% -0.283 -0.1964
Disintegrating Ecosystem 7815 37.59 0.0 41.33% -0.126 0.1649
Downward Spiral 16038 38.36 1.372 38.92% 0.129 0.2347
Erosion of Will 8175 39.31 1.74 41.42% -0.095 0.0709
Intensifying Exploitation 1048 29.07 -1.921 31.11% -0.447 -0.2589
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1268 50.57 4.408 70.19% 0.744 0.3158
Memory Fades to Dust 15880 37.78 0.409 36.25% -0.146 0.089
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4548 37.49 0.724 39.97% -0.16 -0.0639
Promising Farmlands 7799 38.3 -0.527 40.94% -0.395 -0.0307
Shattered Fragments of Power 628 38.99 3.914 44.27% 0.3 0.3653
Slow Dissolution of Will 998 31.43 0.065 31.16% -0.307 0.1567
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 760 51.54 4.12 74.47% 0.432 -0.1688
The Border of Life and Death 191 37.36 3.92 53.4% 0.607 0.1317
Thriving Communities 4428 35.55 -0.982 36.34% -0.354 -0.1283
Thriving Crops 318 35.25 1.349 49.37% 0.342 0.1173
Tipping Point 2485 38.06 0.0 37.42%
Unnatural Proliferation 4870 40.46 2.096 42.69% -0.196 -0.0738
Untended Land Crumbles 4501 36.6 -0.195 38.32% -0.319 -0.0871

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 28444 69.8% 39.48 -1.746 45.4% -0.592 0.3263
B 33206 66.98% 42.91 0.724 52.05% -0.409 0.4322
C 32754 69.0% 41.73 0.167 49.81% -0.428 0.2552
D 30173 68.04% 43.31 0.003 53.03% -0.561 0.2819
E 14562 67.68% 41.69 -0.962 51.57% -0.622 0.0297
F 17842 65.43% 43.68 1.043 54.75% -0.369 0.3909
G 16788 65.45% 44.9 1.178 57.08% -0.255 0.5021
H 15943 63.78% 44.12 -0.87 55.42% -0.561 0.1576
East 4926 74.16% 53.12 3.463 37.98% -0.225 0.5885
Northeast 2574 70.21% 56.12 3.947 43.55% -0.201 0.4663
Northwest 1465 65.86% 54.08 1.34 43.07% -0.165 0.6399
Southeast 397 80.66% 37.69 -7.361 25.44% -0.832 -0.1262
Southwest 342 71.22% 29.71 -8.885 21.64% -1.559 -0.1694
West 2833 70.04% 49.48 1.925 36.32% -0.784 0.0094

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 795 0.0% 38.17 0.048 39.12% -0.051 0.6675
Not Using Events or Tokens 17246 77.33% 35.24 -4.872 31.52% -0.804 -0.3194
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3009 17.42% 63.5 8.306 82.95% 0.359 -0.3718
Start of Game Growth 6255 22.14% 58.45 6.158 79.04% 1.231 0.7852
Unlimited Undo 14405 61.01% 44.67 0.504 57.4% 0.011 -0.0223
Using Tokens but Not Events 11787 54.22% 43.67 1.343 52.69% -0.282 -0.4447

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 35885 14.25 4.17%
II 59129 30.3 46.24%
III 51324 34.84 76.76%
IV 13422 38.61 99.6%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.154 Win Model: 0.459
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 131768 69.98% 42.6 50.7%
2 20834 65.86% 44.63 53.56%
3 3878 66.7% 45.18 52.97%
4 3074 50.97% 40.14 48.11%
5 73 47.95% 40.7 50.68%
6 133 39.39% 35.45 47.37%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1489
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 38709
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 25781
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 13197
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 16911
Lose: Invader deck ran out 11594
Lose: Adversary condition 581
Win: Sacrifice victory 847
Lose: Scenario condition 959
Win: Scenario condition 1579
Lose: Blight pool ran out 45176
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2937

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)