The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 9775 25.32% 24.12 -0.044 82.46% 0.156 -0.041
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 68 10.29% 23.65 1.978 72.06% 0.417 -0.2972
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6469 43.83% 24.19 -0.851 82.13% -0.049 0.2196
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 180 12.78% 27.41 2.715 75.56% 0.352 -0.215
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4649 25.82% 25.59 0.935 87.44% 0.466 0.335
Downpour Drenches the World 671 20.27% 20.82 -1.195 67.66% -0.114 0.1558
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 798 17.79% 24.8 2.652 76.57% 0.737 0.3053
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5991 15.96% 29.15 3.312 91.97% 0.922 0.4992
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4511 19.42% 27.38 3.338 90.98% 0.975 0.5299
Finder of Paths Unseen 402 32.08% 16.01 -3.885 53.48% -0.893 -0.2359
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1142 28.71% 24.09 -3.479 70.84% -0.682 0.1256
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1136 36.88% 23.34 0.213 71.13% 0.046 -0.071
Heart of the Wildfire 5823 57.29% 20.97 -1.435 72.28% -0.295 -0.0083
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7712 27.41% 26.34 1.338 88.23% 0.162 -0.2305
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 172 14.53% 23.42 1.15 69.19% 0.205 -0.1993
Lightning's Swift Strike 11084 42.35% 22.38 0.176 75.64% 0.283 0.5498
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 273 29.26% 24.66 0.976 72.53% -0.11 -0.4617
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 894 21.8% 23.73 -2.019 75.62% -0.68 -1.121
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 636 29.43% 24.63 -0.705 77.2% -0.519 -0.5619
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3239 23.46% 26.4 -0.296 84.38% -0.114 -0.3648
Many Minds Move as One 1813 20.06% 26.61 1.364 85.82% 0.177 -0.0532
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9278 39.22% 24.21 -0.371 81.67% -0.102 -0.2062
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4169 29.92% 24.38 -0.284 85.01% 0.032 -0.1236
River Surges in Sunlight 11999 38.81% 24.66 0.107 75.41% -0.092 -0.0032
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 42 14.29% 22.74 2.188 71.43% 0.488 0.3762
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 920 37.81% 25.53 1.513 75.65% 0.352 0.7417
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 344 33.72% 25.56 1.45 71.22% 0.041 0.1789
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4987 29.23% 24.76 1.514 84.96% 0.312 0.1189
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 6602 53.57% 21.99 -1.434 72.83% -0.301 0.185
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 124 31.45% 20.02 -0.064 62.1% 0.157 0.2127
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 134 20.15% 27.95 3.589 83.58% 0.85 0.3822
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 141 21.99% 20.11 0.797 64.54% 0.162 0.3773
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 614 33.06% 26.06 -1.484 85.83% -0.402 -0.3726
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 454 41.15% 24.43 -0.337 80.4% 0.041 0.2135
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5551 27.94% 26.06 -0.606 85.7% -0.141 -0.2938
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 203 15.92% 23.67 2.323 72.91% 0.245 0.0462
Shifting Memory of Ages 1054 34.86% 20.71 -1.043 67.36% -0.234 0.2155
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 44 13.64% 16.02 -1.03 47.73% -0.401 -0.705
Shroud of Silent Mist 1403 40.79% 22.22 -1.37 75.62% -0.203 0.1327
Starlight Seeks its Form 1482 22.36% 23.78 -0.536 73.21% -0.152 -0.2071
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2576 26.7% 23.05 -0.042 84.12% -0.0 -0.6234
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3461 30.51% 24.14 -1.97 80.67% -0.47 -0.276
Thunderspeaker 8962 30.49% 24.86 -0.295 80.42% 0.048 -0.006
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 174 28.74% 19.29 1.212 55.75% 0.087 0.2207
Towering Roots of the Jungle 114 31.58% 19.49 0.663 64.91% 0.242 0.2517
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1718 57.5% 20.5 -2.548 75.79% -0.579 -0.4963
Vital Strength of the Earth 8262 31.66% 20.75 -2.664 71.51% -0.65 -0.0553
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 231 27.63% 19.0 -1.427 59.74% -0.403 0.0365
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 459 31.29% 20.45 -1.605 68.85% -0.442 0.2494
Volcano Looming High 1816 36.48% 22.89 -1.263 76.32% -0.2 -0.0967
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 405 19.26% 24.9 2.581 76.79% 0.57 0.3178

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 26 30.77% 26.08 5.328 73.08% 0.575 0.3552
Blitz 0 1275 37.12% 20.97 -3.115 68.24% -0.779 -0.4925
Dahan Insurrection 4 1517 19.76% 43.8 3.067 76.27% -0.49 -0.6047
Despicable Theft 2 207 31.4% 26.91 -0.775 63.29% -0.726 0.0121
Elemental Invocation 1 307 35.83% 23.62 -3.973 66.12% -1.187 -0.4303
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2392 8.47% 29.72 1.959 82.57% -0.037 -0.6189
Powers Long Forgotten 1 559 48.92% 25.28 -0.687 66.19% -0.528 0.3261
Rituals of Terror 3 662 41.52% 32.18 3.297 64.2% -0.301 -0.4709
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 379 64.12% 29.74 5.035 60.69% 0.028 0.9389
Second Wave 0 1235 50.12% 25.61 4.15 71.74% 0.443 0.5228
The Great River 3 226 42.48% 25.4 -1.566 46.02% -0.892 0.4719
Varied Terrains 2 142 39.44% 19.49 -0.303 42.96% -0.796 0.0839
Ward the Shores 2 602 40.17% 27.57 -3.247 64.45% -1.18 -0.1983

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 69808 37.9% 23.21 -0.177 78.14% 0.33 0.6735
1 Thematic 5397 39.98% 30.16 2.164 73.82% 0.345 0.8727
2 Archipelago 48 43.75% 33.15 12.774 66.67% 0.252 0.7508
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 14561 32.38% 23.63 -0.548 81.7% 0.155 0.4396
2 Coastline 1627 34.23% 23.74 0.034 81.25% 0.497 0.526
2 Fragment 379 39.78% 22.01 -4.148 77.31% -0.393 -0.6303
2 Heart 215 38.68% 22.39 -3.385 78.6% -0.382 -0.5297
2 Opposite Shores 2233 29.9% 24.74 1.822 86.7% 0.925 0.9836
2 Thematic 1315 37.43% 30.44 -0.088 73.31% -0.152 0.2181
2 Top to Top 405 32.51% 23.95 -0.849 85.93% 0.101 0.2244
3 Archipelago 21 42.86% 34.24 11.338 90.48% 0.74 -0.0578
3 Coastline 43 41.46% 22.67 -7.73 62.79% -0.556 -1.1054
3 Other 262 22.39% 16.2 -3.012 55.34% -0.467 -1.0049
3 Round (Default) 4564 24.21% 25.7 1.065 87.82% 0.341 0.2477
3 Sunrise 26 44.0% 26.15 -8.319 84.62% -0.293 -0.1416
3 Thematic 245 35.25% 30.92 2.487 72.65% 0.221 -0.2969
4 Archipelago 20 25.0% 30.85 0.0 70.0%
4 Coastline 13 7.69% 45.23 0.0 84.62%
4 Leaf 9 55.56% 17.89 0.0 66.67%
4 Other 85 25.61% 21.18 0.268 74.12% -0.374 -0.3659
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 26.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 0.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 420 21.43% 35.02 3.385 90.48% 0.86 0.9932
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2273 20.97% 23.54 -0.619 80.73% 0.048 0.155
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 89 25.84% 24.75 2.093 78.65% 0.307 -0.2078
5 Thematic 17 23.53% 26.88 -2.462 58.82% 0.19 -0.7924
6 Archipelago 7 0.0% 31.14 14.156 85.71% 0.374 -0.3556
6 Coastline 3 0.0% 28.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 19 11.11% 22.63 -0.285 73.68% -0.281 0.3539
6 Star 28 3.57% 26.32 -1.241 89.29% -0.276 -0.0314
6 Thematic 59 20.34% 27.22 -2.911 67.8% -1.019 -0.6963
6 Two Centers (Default) 141 14.18% 20.13 -2.455 65.25% -0.228 -0.3316
7 Other 4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2219 18.67 -0.182 59.76% -0.201 -0.0977
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1894 20.02 1.537 62.88% 0.418 0.2734
All Things Weaken 1027 19.03 1.08 59.4% 0.019 0.3852
Attenuated Essence 96 18.05 -1.31 59.38% -0.224 -0.2252
Back Against the Wall 1788 19.71 1.132 61.8% 0.153 0.218
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 92 19.08 -1.195 58.7% -0.156 0.0786
Burn Brightest Before the End 74 21.81 2.637 54.05% 0.226 0.3862
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2074 16.64 -2.32 59.16% -0.491 -0.1156
Downward Spiral 8660 16.52 -1.39 59.82% -0.147 -0.0747
Erosion of Will 2123 18.13 -0.97 57.98% -0.283 -0.0263
Intensifying Exploitation 96 17.7 -2.921 59.38% 0.009 0.283
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 449 24.82 1.569 91.09% 0.789 0.3024
Memory Fades to Dust 8526 16.5 -1.68 57.19% -0.375 -0.1922
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1036 18.57 -0.699 63.61% -0.356 -0.1434
Promising Farmlands 2157 17.51 -0.143 61.06% -0.135 0.1884
Shattered Fragments of Power 84 22.44 1.556 63.1% 0.551 0.7215
Slow Dissolution of Will 125 18.74 -2.126 53.6% -0.898 -0.514
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 280 25.55 -1.603 93.93% 0.17 -0.506
The Border of Life and Death 32 16.53 -0.988 56.25% -0.482 -0.9987
Thriving Communities 982 17.72 0.47 59.57% 0.217 0.541
Thriving Crops 57 23.95 0.408 77.19% -0.09 -0.0882
Tipping Point 789 17.93 0.0 63.12%
Unnatural Proliferation 1049 20.06 0.799 63.11% 0.488 0.6746
Untended Land Crumbles 1002 17.95 -0.383 58.28% -0.207 0.1323

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 24108 36.27% 23.07 -0.097 78.95% -0.162 0.7011
B 24600 35.0% 23.32 -0.089 79.44% -0.187 0.6342
C 25222 33.38% 23.56 -0.268 80.18% -0.293 0.4051
D 23511 34.36% 23.33 -1.152 79.45% -0.431 0.4249
E 7567 28.95% 24.02 -0.409 79.4% -0.256 0.4327
F 10612 29.89% 24.34 0.525 82.5% -0.006 0.8122
G 9811 31.56% 24.38 0.517 82.96% -0.102 0.7787
H 9884 29.41% 24.53 0.45 82.65% -0.215 0.5656
East 4606 36.04% 31.66 3.622 75.94% 0.296 1.0883
Northeast 2770 35.02% 32.22 2.434 78.01% 0.083 0.964
Northwest 2014 35.19% 31.26 1.951 77.36% 0.288 1.1589
Southeast 617 28.62% 27.19 1.02 69.04% -0.334 0.5245
Southwest 571 35.79% 21.99 -3.785 62.52% -0.867 0.3421
West 3868 38.72% 30.0 -1.223 73.22% -0.855 0.2051

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1996 0.0% 20.42 1.233 66.68% -0.067 0.6486
Not Using Events or Tokens 27101 44.26% 21.19 -1.141 71.88% -0.269 0.2049
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1495 11.03% 32.51 2.164 89.83% -0.009 -0.5765
Start of Game Growth 2353 13.87% 31.07 3.144 88.4% 0.433 -0.2314
Unlimited Undo 6409 29.62% 25.28 0.465 83.9% 0.036 0.0587
Using Tokens but Not Events 8968 28.2% 24.52 0.464 82.84% 0.217 0.2649

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11789 15.45 21.21%
II 31007 30.45 75.04%
III 43058 34.8 89.14%
IV 18605 38.47 98.86%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.032 Win Model: 0.3
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 75733 38.06% 23.68 77.64%
2 20500 32.71% 24.28 82.21%
3 5082 24.84% 25.51 85.62%
4 2798 21.16% 25.39 82.09%
5 86 22.09% 22.01 73.26%
6 260 13.57% 22.96 69.23%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2494
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 37506
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 22001
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 18225
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6545
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1253
Lose: Adversary condition 337
Win: Sacrifice victory 395
Lose: Scenario condition 634
Win: Scenario condition 1922
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12405
Lose: Spirit destroyed 742

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7333 26.76% 29.07 -0.803 83.46% -0.224 -0.4205
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 78 20.51% 27.56 2.187 78.21% 0.626 -0.088
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4855 47.84% 28.12 -1.069 80.23% -0.225 0.0433
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 254 24.79% 32.84 6.175 85.43% 1.263 0.6956
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3781 28.54% 30.14 0.523 87.49% 0.154 0.0232
Downpour Drenches the World 758 25.33% 25.4 -0.895 73.88% -0.004 0.2652
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 908 20.65% 27.57 1.844 77.64% 0.509 0.0777
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4993 20.22% 32.88 2.839 90.59% 0.626 0.2026
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3677 25.2% 33.7 3.699 90.54% 0.932 0.4869
Finder of Paths Unseen 509 39.49% 21.35 -2.398 57.96% -1.121 -0.464
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1318 31.52% 28.67 -3.303 73.67% -0.852 -0.0441
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1509 39.32% 29.25 1.129 79.19% 0.134 0.0167
Heart of the Wildfire 4481 63.26% 24.02 -2.252 69.72% -0.481 -0.1941
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6824 34.78% 29.96 0.875 85.73% 0.202 -0.1907
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 208 31.22% 28.5 0.152 76.44% 0.201 -0.2041
Lightning's Swift Strike 7489 45.9% 26.54 -1.355 75.75% -0.27 -0.0025
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 290 34.48% 29.65 0.181 81.38% -0.205 -0.5569
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 659 34.3% 32.01 5.358 87.1% 0.706 0.2649
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 627 30.78% 32.8 -1.214 78.15% -0.676 -0.7185
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2666 35.21% 30.61 2.507 83.27% 0.613 0.3626
Many Minds Move as One 1788 21.34% 30.93 1.084 86.47% 0.185 -0.0453
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7553 37.24% 30.32 0.368 85.93% 0.107 0.0032
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3486 31.82% 28.74 0.158 85.11% 0.046 -0.1102
River Surges in Sunlight 8776 42.82% 28.92 -0.25 76.54% -0.253 -0.1637
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 83 40.24% 22.49 0.371 63.86% -0.001 -0.113
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 857 40.0% 28.16 -1.051 75.61% -0.413 -0.0233
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 483 39.71% 28.07 -0.197 71.43% -0.281 -0.1435
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3904 33.94% 29.48 -0.156 83.35% -0.112 -0.306
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4618 60.61% 25.11 -0.691 70.27% -0.256 0.2297
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 124 47.58% 26.81 -1.096 70.97% -0.441 -0.3856
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 197 36.04% 29.21 3.627 78.68% 0.669 0.2005
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 137 42.34% 26.17 -5.386 70.07% -0.985 -0.7692
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 554 39.53% 30.12 0.59 83.39% -0.006 0.0233
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 338 51.19% 28.4 5.562 78.7% 0.981 1.1531
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4814 31.55% 30.23 0.065 84.15% -0.021 -0.1738
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 278 24.45% 25.56 -0.325 69.78% -0.183 -0.3815
Shifting Memory of Ages 1656 38.83% 25.45 -2.534 72.71% -0.558 -0.1091
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 90 30.0% 24.36 -0.06 66.67% -0.132 -0.4369
Shroud of Silent Mist 1370 45.97% 26.12 -0.239 78.39% -0.095 0.2411
Starlight Seeks its Form 1582 27.89% 28.02 0.791 79.65% 0.16 0.1046
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2278 30.66% 27.88 -0.492 85.12% 0.267 -0.3563
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3210 32.8% 28.61 0.195 81.87% -0.032 0.162
Thunderspeaker 6880 34.89% 29.37 -1.246 80.92% -0.284 -0.3383
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 204 28.08% 21.95 -2.243 62.25% -0.515 -0.3807
Towering Roots of the Jungle 280 32.31% 23.94 1.131 71.43% 0.443 0.4528
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1710 62.48% 25.17 0.379 77.25% 0.465 0.5479
Vital Strength of the Earth 5872 35.24% 25.09 -2.025 73.57% -0.388 0.2069
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 264 30.68% 23.59 -1.132 67.8% -0.261 0.1779
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 447 36.32% 23.11 -2.634 66.89% -0.285 0.4063
Volcano Looming High 1804 44.97% 25.72 -0.272 76.33% 0.097 0.2007
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 788 26.86% 30.31 3.218 81.47% 0.72 0.4672

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 40 32.5% 23.8 -3.584 60.0% -0.516 -0.736
Blitz 0 1107 38.21% 24.7 -2.736 68.47% -0.561 -0.2739
Dahan Insurrection 4 1096 27.36% 45.11 5.25 69.98% -0.492 -0.6066
Despicable Theft 2 198 38.38% 28.81 -1.541 61.11% -0.772 -0.0334
Elemental Invocation 1 320 39.18% 24.9 -4.827 64.38% -0.984 -0.2279
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2331 10.2% 35.66 3.087 79.62% 0.129 -0.4527
Powers Long Forgotten 1 593 51.26% 27.39 -0.9 63.58% -0.488 0.3653
Rituals of Terror 3 530 45.27% 33.33 1.65 61.7% -0.724 -0.8939
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 356 64.89% 31.34 -5.609 58.15% -1.522 -0.6111
Second Wave 0 4844 39.84% 30.86 3.648 78.28% 0.262 0.3419
The Great River 3 202 43.56% 29.69 -0.619 53.47% -0.855 0.5081
Varied Terrains 2 136 50.74% 20.51 -5.489 39.71% -1.821 -0.9418
Ward the Shores 2 487 45.68% 30.94 -2.924 62.63% -1.01 -0.0285

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 53563 40.83% 26.82 -0.602 77.5% -0.094 0.2498
1 Thematic 4400 43.38% 33.56 2.08 70.89% 0.146 0.6735
2 Archipelago 40 52.5% 36.05 -1.893 75.0% -1.1 -0.601
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11362 36.24% 28.26 -0.718 83.04% -0.149 0.1348
2 Coastline 1500 32.91% 28.94 1.519 84.13% 0.293 0.3225
2 Fragment 384 41.21% 27.39 -2.368 79.43% -0.764 -1.0011
2 Heart 193 46.32% 27.25 -1.314 75.13% -0.601 -0.7489
2 Opposite Shores 2610 32.87% 29.33 1.546 87.16% 0.424 0.4827
2 Thematic 1598 39.71% 32.13 -1.206 73.72% -0.528 -0.1576
2 Top to Top 460 35.9% 27.82 2.456 80.43% 0.385 0.5079
3 Archipelago 26 53.85% 37.35 0.0 84.62%
3 Coastline 31 38.71% 34.26 5.052 74.19% -0.147 -0.6959
3 Other 152 37.84% 29.3 0.813 86.84% 0.186 -0.3514
3 Round (Default) 4438 28.16% 30.55 0.389 86.01% -0.21 -0.3032
3 Sunrise 24 20.83% 34.38 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 245 42.8% 30.05 -1.885 67.76% -0.451 -0.9699
4 Archipelago 12 58.33% 40.42 -4.672 91.67% -0.568 -0.1348
4 Coastline 12 25.0% 34.58 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 13 30.77% 29.85 0.0 84.62%
4 Other 80 37.18% 31.76 3.119 88.75% 0.632 0.6397
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 3 0.0% 46.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 316 35.03% 38.04 -2.256 79.43% -0.79 -0.6567
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1801 30.32% 30.08 0.964 86.84% -0.023 0.0841
5 Archipelago 4 50.0% 53.25 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 43.5 10.981 100.0% 0.196 -0.3101
5 Other 85 43.21% 28.79 2.84 77.65% 0.513 -0.0015
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 10 20.0% 42.6 19.308 70.0% 0.326 -0.404
6 Other 28 28.57% 31.21 2.392 78.57% 0.133 0.7677
6 Star 13 23.08% 27.38 0.0 76.92%
6 Thematic 99 38.38% 39.38 0.331 74.75% 0.198 0.5206
6 Two Centers (Default) 131 22.9% 29.62 -3.579 80.15% -1.423 -1.5265
7 Other 4 66.67% 33.5 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1974 23.26 1.838 63.27% 0.412 0.5157
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1606 24.59 1.102 65.82% 0.413 0.2681
All Things Weaken 1073 23.3 -1.206 63.09% -0.457 -0.0915
Attenuated Essence 141 24.93 0.482 65.25% 0.008 0.0062
Back Against the Wall 1690 24.09 0.565 63.91% -0.039 0.0258
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 130 25.95 1.622 73.08% 0.652 0.8875
Burn Brightest Before the End 111 25.92 -0.328 69.37% -0.309 -0.1488
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2032 20.72 -1.732 59.35% -0.33 0.0461
Downward Spiral 6267 21.87 -0.507 65.96% 0.193 0.2647
Erosion of Will 2030 22.69 -1.07 60.74% -0.506 -0.25
Intensifying Exploitation 134 21.52 -0.458 61.94% 0.092 0.3658
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 493 29.06 3.955 92.09% 1.25 0.7633
Memory Fades to Dust 6393 21.32 -0.64 61.22% 0.112 0.2947
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1027 23.17 0.998 68.16% 0.386 0.5983
Promising Farmlands 1997 21.57 -0.912 62.39% -0.082 0.2411
Shattered Fragments of Power 122 22.98 -0.038 59.02% -0.206 -0.0356
Slow Dissolution of Will 146 21.64 -1.81 58.22% -0.758 -0.3745
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 355 28.83 2.445 92.39% 1.053 0.3766
The Border of Life and Death 51 26.33 2.637 78.43% 0.729 0.2133
Thriving Communities 1000 22.29 -0.412 65.0% -0.126 0.198
Thriving Crops 71 26.66 0.612 88.73% 0.465 0.4661
Tipping Point 669 20.79 0.0 57.55%
Unnatural Proliferation 1118 24.32 1.569 67.35% 0.47 0.6569
Untended Land Crumbles 1081 22.53 -0.032 64.2% 0.008 0.3474

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 19066 39.16% 27.42 0.172 79.22% -0.226 0.6376
B 19268 37.36% 28.02 0.568 81.13% -0.22 0.6013
C 19930 37.57% 28.08 -0.46 81.22% -0.422 0.2756
D 18384 37.63% 27.96 0.089 81.05% -0.333 0.5232
E 7202 34.6% 28.46 0.148 81.01% -0.286 0.402
F 9298 34.46% 28.53 0.627 81.97% -0.165 0.6532
G 8356 34.5% 28.55 -0.089 82.43% -0.346 0.5347
H 8730 33.48% 28.81 0.632 82.6% -0.278 0.5027
East 4439 39.4% 34.61 0.206 72.72% -0.357 0.436
Northeast 2815 38.44% 35.09 -0.427 72.93% -0.583 0.2974
Northwest 2019 39.41% 33.2 -0.311 74.79% -0.632 0.2394
Southeast 600 38.5% 32.04 -0.431 70.67% -0.562 0.2973
Southwest 591 42.64% 29.52 -5.641 67.51% -1.619 -0.4102
West 3599 44.22% 32.16 -0.21 71.46% -0.485 0.5754

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2247 0.0% 23.01 -2.504 69.03% -0.701 0.0144
Not Using Events or Tokens 17045 44.43% 25.84 -1.751 73.93% -0.324 0.1499
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1032 13.52% 38.84 4.266 88.86% 0.871 0.3037
Start of Game Growth 1751 16.02% 36.97 1.001 88.52% -0.206 -0.8701
Unlimited Undo 6306 33.42% 28.95 0.551 82.22% 0.304 0.3275
Using Tokens but Not Events 8899 31.68% 28.07 0.671 82.21% 0.141 0.1888

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8566 15.45 10.9%
II 19824 30.45 69.33%
III 36440 34.8 89.81%
IV 18862 38.47 98.96%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.299 Win Model: 0.546
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 58346 41.06% 27.31 76.85%
2 17954 35.93% 28.88 83.1%
3 4818 28.91% 30.64 85.84%
4 2218 31.15% 31.32 85.57%
5 74 47.89% 27.31 79.73%
6 282 28.83% 33.75 77.3%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 932
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 31962
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 13007
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 18467
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5954
Lose: Invader deck ran out 711
Lose: Adversary condition 222
Win: Sacrifice victory 331
Lose: Scenario condition 593
Win: Scenario condition 1368
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9557
Lose: Spirit destroyed 588

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8828 31.58% 37.96 0.313 84.36% 0.335 0.138
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 109 28.44% 38.53 3.211 77.98% 0.973 0.2584
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5458 55.89% 35.82 -0.464 77.87% 0.192 0.4603
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 267 26.59% 43.84 6.984 88.76% 1.013 0.4454
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4585 36.19% 37.93 0.855 85.95% 0.33 0.1987
Downpour Drenches the World 1119 28.56% 33.07 -0.897 72.12% -0.182 0.0873
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1513 26.89% 36.04 0.007 73.96% 0.154 -0.2779
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6663 25.05% 42.18 1.9 90.83% 0.511 0.0879
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4579 30.96% 41.54 2.534 89.06% 0.64 0.195
Finder of Paths Unseen 623 51.54% 33.68 -1.43 64.53% -0.261 0.3957
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1444 36.29% 38.38 -2.564 75.35% -0.879 -0.0714
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1926 40.79% 35.5 -2.91 74.61% -0.46 -0.5777
Heart of the Wildfire 6216 62.51% 33.12 -1.592 71.75% -0.228 0.0586
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10144 38.66% 39.17 1.725 84.57% 0.273 -0.1198
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 291 29.07% 36.97 0.437 76.98% 0.301 -0.1034
Lightning's Swift Strike 8249 48.58% 35.29 -0.612 76.72% -0.079 0.1881
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 465 46.44% 40.34 2.545 78.92% 0.443 0.0917
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 926 38.35% 39.66 -0.739 83.26% -0.202 -0.6435
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 865 37.31% 41.84 1.85 80.69% 0.359 0.3161
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4095 38.22% 39.18 0.849 81.73% -0.049 -0.3001
Many Minds Move as One 2210 26.71% 40.15 0.703 88.82% 0.298 0.0673
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9425 46.41% 37.46 0.951 81.0% 0.215 0.1112
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4509 36.77% 37.85 0.889 85.67% 0.355 0.199
River Surges in Sunlight 10257 48.26% 37.86 1.995 78.88% 0.389 0.4777
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 102 44.12% 30.71 -0.256 60.78% -0.292 -0.4035
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1270 42.98% 38.45 -6.464 75.43% -1.322 -0.9322
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 646 39.91% 36.34 -1.676 69.04% -0.586 -0.4486
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5526 40.17% 37.44 1.47 82.03% 0.233 0.04
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4556 62.4% 33.48 -0.755 70.35% -0.317 0.1687
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 141 45.39% 34.93 -2.464 68.79% -0.528 -0.4727
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 318 41.82% 41.64 5.12 82.08% 0.767 0.2985
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 194 51.3% 34.05 -3.291 71.13% -0.458 -0.2422
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 564 49.47% 38.2 -2.536 84.22% -0.228 -0.1989
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 492 57.03% 36.32 0.955 76.22% 0.521 0.6929
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6399 35.31% 38.78 -1.275 84.4% -0.239 -0.3914
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 455 24.18% 42.74 3.342 72.53% 0.249 0.0499
Shifting Memory of Ages 1489 49.46% 33.72 0.154 74.28% 0.039 0.4879
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 132 27.27% 31.23 0.003 68.94% 0.052 -0.2522
Shroud of Silent Mist 1608 62.38% 31.8 -3.034 70.58% -0.491 -0.1549
Starlight Seeks its Form 2218 38.23% 36.67 -0.773 78.72% -0.207 -0.2618
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3411 36.07% 36.82 -0.732 85.17% 0.083 -0.5403
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3652 37.66% 37.64 0.418 82.28% 0.257 0.4503
Thunderspeaker 8504 39.08% 38.7 0.088 83.09% 0.188 0.1341
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 259 30.12% 35.86 -2.139 68.73% -0.206 -0.0715
Towering Roots of the Jungle 383 33.16% 32.14 0.716 67.36% 0.277 0.2861
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2404 72.82% 32.02 -0.705 72.25% -0.075 0.008
Vital Strength of the Earth 6438 37.77% 33.38 -3.081 74.59% -0.551 0.0432
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 386 42.75% 34.32 -1.857 72.02% -0.139 0.3002
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 776 25.9% 32.25 -6.678 75.0% -1.107 -0.4159
Volcano Looming High 2660 47.78% 34.55 -1.668 77.71% -0.189 -0.0857
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 830 28.92% 35.83 -0.348 72.05% 0.157 -0.0954

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 30 13.33% 33.73 7.605 80.0% 0.787 0.5663
Blitz 0 1148 46.07% 33.44 -1.307 71.17% -0.406 -0.1192
Dahan Insurrection 4 1588 21.98% 54.5 4.211 73.11% 0.3 0.1848
Despicable Theft 2 114 50.88% 36.7 1.38 63.16% -0.378 0.3601
Elemental Invocation 1 276 50.72% 30.61 0.091 59.78% -0.318 0.4387
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3369 10.54% 45.57 5.834 85.07% 0.766 0.1845
Powers Long Forgotten 1 450 54.12% 36.07 0.459 67.11% 0.019 0.8731
Rituals of Terror 3 385 56.36% 41.06 -3.876 61.56% -1.125 -1.2948
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 217 61.75% 39.92 -8.827 64.52% -1.579 -0.6678
Second Wave 0 4260 47.09% 37.44 3.632 73.66% 0.329 0.4083
The Great River 3 186 52.15% 34.21 -6.475 46.77% -1.254 0.1096
Varied Terrains 2 102 57.84% 34.47 0.227 56.86% -0.682 0.1978
Ward the Shores 2 419 46.04% 42.13 1.401 72.08% -0.247 0.734

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 62644 45.66% 35.02 -0.147 77.61% 0.004 0.3477
1 Thematic 3879 48.48% 40.36 1.044 72.11% -0.081 0.4465
2 Archipelago 40 47.5% 39.42 15.191 55.0% 0.773 1.2717
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 14469 42.95% 36.3 -0.427 82.47% -0.112 0.1719
2 Coastline 1743 40.51% 36.8 -1.096 81.76% -0.195 -0.1655
2 Fragment 437 46.06% 35.82 1.292 80.78% 0.334 0.0972
2 Heart 187 50.0% 36.45 -3.359 80.21% -0.735 -0.8824
2 Opposite Shores 3288 39.8% 37.38 0.761 84.28% -0.117 -0.0575
2 Thematic 1545 44.52% 42.63 1.379 76.38% -0.065 0.3053
2 Top to Top 572 38.07% 38.19 0.139 85.14% -0.157 -0.0334
3 Archipelago 29 44.83% 56.03 -3.642 75.86% -0.387 -1.1842
3 Coastline 38 36.84% 39.37 4.02 78.95% 0.267 -0.2817
3 Other 301 40.86% 39.07 2.317 89.04% 0.42 -0.1172
3 Round (Default) 5861 35.57% 38.11 -0.195 84.9% -0.094 -0.1873
3 Sunrise 32 37.5% 39.81 -15.827 90.63% -0.558 -0.4068
3 Thematic 310 47.73% 42.19 -5.56 72.9% -0.497 -1.0155
4 Archipelago 15 33.33% 49.0 0.0 86.67%
4 Coastline 7 42.86% 37.43 0.0 71.43%
4 Leaf 25 32.0% 42.88 0.0 96.0%
4 Other 115 54.78% 42.52 4.846 86.96% 1.076 1.0832
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 748 31.16% 43.41 -2.769 72.73% -0.939 -0.806
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2760 31.46% 39.61 1.227 86.34% -0.289 -0.1816
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 53.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 4 100.0% 40.75 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 155 37.66% 42.03 -3.9 78.71% -1.075 -1.59
5 Thematic 22 40.91% 56.55 9.801 81.82% 0.25 -0.7326
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 28.67 7.772 66.67% 0.345 -0.3852
6 Coastline 2 50.0% 10.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 25 24.0% 48.16 -6.533 84.0% -0.337 0.2985
6 Star 27 29.63% 42.81 2.986 96.3% 0.188 0.433
6 Thematic 440 43.42% 56.57 4.238 74.32% 0.101 0.4244
6 Two Centers (Default) 282 14.54% 41.31 -1.667 86.17% -0.666 -0.7691
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 2 0.0% 39.5 11.788 50.0% 0.558 -0.8788

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2965 30.46 0.019 63.54% -0.326 -0.2219
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2424 32.09 1.165 64.93% -0.073 -0.2181
All Things Weaken 1693 29.31 -1.172 60.54% -0.4 -0.034
Attenuated Essence 202 32.05 -1.567 63.86% -0.41 -0.4113
Back Against the Wall 2338 31.09 0.66 62.75% -0.3 -0.2347
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 204 30.58 1.067 63.73% 0.074 0.3093
Burn Brightest Before the End 187 30.75 -0.569 58.29% -0.571 -0.4103
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2774 28.02 -2.34 61.86% -0.491 -0.1154
Downward Spiral 7666 29.69 -1.783 67.55% -0.224 -0.1524
Erosion of Will 3072 30.57 0.927 63.51% 0.139 0.3955
Intensifying Exploitation 198 28.34 -2.876 56.57% -0.746 -0.4718
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 719 39.1 3.719 94.85% 1.123 0.6368
Memory Fades to Dust 7858 29.14 -1.966 63.73% -0.329 -0.1459
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1594 30.62 -0.844 67.19% -0.149 0.0641
Promising Farmlands 2963 29.74 -0.682 65.88% -0.064 0.2585
Shattered Fragments of Power 176 31.48 0.679 64.77% -0.009 0.161
Slow Dissolution of Will 163 29.91 0.076 60.12% 0.067 0.4507
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 440 38.81 3.4 92.95% 0.996 0.3195
The Border of Life and Death 78 34.5 -0.785 79.49% -0.113 -0.6291
Thriving Communities 1523 29.55 -2.168 64.22% -0.497 -0.1728
Thriving Crops 103 30.85 -0.574 68.93% -0.15 -0.1486
Tipping Point 971 29.87 0.0 64.78%
Unnatural Proliferation 1658 30.97 -0.513 63.75% -0.353 -0.1663
Untended Land Crumbles 1571 30.26 -0.97 65.63% -0.384 -0.0445

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 23515 43.15% 35.78 -1.157 79.31% -0.51 0.3536
B 24249 42.26% 36.37 0.452 80.97% -0.213 0.608
C 24817 42.73% 36.5 0.336 81.14% -0.229 0.4691
D 22534 43.02% 36.19 -0.221 80.81% -0.329 0.5275
E 9063 39.48% 37.08 0.4 81.76% -0.183 0.505
F 11908 39.12% 37.06 0.412 82.17% -0.229 0.5884
G 10821 40.37% 36.77 -0.446 81.78% -0.36 0.52
H 10912 39.03% 37.28 0.152 82.32% -0.443 0.3373
East 4775 43.35% 43.88 0.097 74.03% -0.495 0.2981
Northeast 3065 40.95% 45.08 0.643 75.17% -0.371 0.51
Northwest 2497 40.82% 44.99 -0.063 75.01% -0.507 0.3644
Southeast 1014 42.5% 46.89 2.641 72.68% -0.17 0.6886
Southwest 985 44.27% 45.04 1.11 70.86% -0.443 0.7663
West 4249 44.24% 42.93 -0.533 73.01% -0.505 0.5558

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 771 0.0% 35.25 2.825 74.19% 0.736 1.4513
Not Using Events or Tokens 16173 49.42% 33.45 -2.495 74.06% -0.641 -0.1675
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1006 14.73% 48.15 0.699 89.56% -0.137 -0.7048
Start of Game Growth 2139 15.78% 47.2 2.86 88.03% -0.135 -0.7995
Unlimited Undo 8667 37.2% 37.5 0.289 82.84% 0.005 0.0282
Using Tokens but Not Events 9809 34.99% 36.9 -1.083 82.51% -0.262 -0.2143

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9838 15.45 14.77%
II 25096 30.45 65.82%
III 42393 34.8 91.05%
IV 22772 38.47 99.32%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.09 Win Model: 0.325
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 66876 45.87% 35.33 77.23%
2 22200 42.35% 37.04 82.3%
3 6460 36.1% 38.51 84.91%
4 3659 31.86% 40.74 84.12%
5 137 36.3% 40.98 72.26%
6 767 32.59% 49.4 79.4%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1450
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 37780
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 15457
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 22407
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5805
Lose: Invader deck ran out 802
Lose: Adversary condition 327
Win: Sacrifice victory 378
Lose: Scenario condition 655
Win: Scenario condition 1717
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12695
Lose: Spirit destroyed 626

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7815 35.75% 43.24 0.963 80.78% 0.284 0.0878
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 145 28.28% 41.02 3.822 77.24% 0.846 0.132
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4993 65.74% 39.85 -1.945 72.6% -0.264 0.0044
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 312 37.18% 46.43 2.98 84.62% 0.585 0.0178
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4127 41.37% 43.76 0.798 84.52% 0.285 0.154
Downpour Drenches the World 1091 35.66% 35.92 -2.148 66.73% -0.247 0.0223
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1401 33.33% 39.08 2.144 74.23% 0.476 0.0444
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6791 28.91% 48.52 2.845 90.4% 0.588 0.165
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4552 33.81% 46.54 2.523 84.49% 0.396 -0.0494
Finder of Paths Unseen 498 48.29% 30.26 -3.245 53.01% -0.417 0.2403
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1409 42.45% 41.61 1.815 68.56% -0.103 0.705
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1978 46.31% 41.35 0.579 75.78% 0.022 -0.0953
Heart of the Wildfire 6404 67.93% 35.67 -4.867 63.51% -0.874 -0.5866
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 11301 45.16% 43.93 1.434 82.73% 0.267 -0.126
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 382 25.39% 41.88 3.584 78.27% 0.713 0.3089
Lightning's Swift Strike 6965 57.29% 39.25 -2.157 70.97% -0.419 -0.1513
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 463 51.87% 43.53 -2.116 76.89% -0.204 -0.5557
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 959 43.77% 45.02 5.732 83.84% 1.236 0.7951
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 793 44.32% 42.43 2.299 74.91% 0.662 0.6193
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4356 45.47% 42.76 1.312 78.6% 0.276 0.0258
Many Minds Move as One 2265 31.61% 46.15 1.661 87.42% 0.181 -0.0496
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9558 50.1% 41.99 0.224 77.95% 0.167 0.0629
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4921 40.86% 43.19 1.441 83.52% 0.405 0.2486
River Surges in Sunlight 10357 52.51% 43.2 -0.548 74.64% -0.246 -0.1566
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 113 52.21% 36.58 0.984 63.72% -0.016 -0.1278
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1042 45.73% 41.12 -2.451 69.19% -0.349 0.041
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 706 49.07% 39.98 -2.167 65.58% -0.59 -0.4526
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5104 44.26% 42.83 0.818 80.29% 0.122 -0.0717
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3739 69.71% 37.14 0.345 64.08% -0.152 0.3335
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 197 44.9% 33.38 -2.445 57.87% -0.32 -0.2646
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 385 41.3% 39.31 2.722 74.55% 0.462 -0.0062
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 204 50.74% 37.58 -5.245 67.65% -0.797 -0.5812
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 631 49.13% 43.27 -3.213 78.45% -0.403 -0.3738
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 415 60.24% 39.83 -0.581 72.29% 0.254 0.4259
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6531 40.27% 44.35 0.449 81.47% 0.081 -0.0717
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 389 35.22% 38.08 3.188 72.24% 0.757 0.5579
Shifting Memory of Ages 1412 54.02% 38.24 -4.435 72.88% -0.705 -0.2562
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 114 43.86% 37.25 0.414 57.89% -0.296 -0.6002
Shroud of Silent Mist 1431 67.28% 35.28 -4.185 64.5% -0.595 -0.2594
Starlight Seeks its Form 2491 36.12% 40.64 0.771 77.6% 0.118 0.063
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3529 40.81% 41.15 2.362 81.75% 0.741 0.1182
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3904 39.54% 43.87 0.119 81.94% 0.183 0.3762
Thunderspeaker 7417 45.77% 43.58 0.7 78.89% 0.149 0.0947
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 227 50.22% 31.57 -6.126 59.91% -0.762 -0.6282
Towering Roots of the Jungle 328 39.33% 30.81 -1.347 58.84% -0.115 -0.1061
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2467 79.35% 36.58 -3.377 69.84% -0.609 -0.5262
Vital Strength of the Earth 5574 46.51% 38.11 -2.095 68.16% -0.445 0.1495
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 359 37.36% 35.05 -4.502 65.18% -0.873 -0.434
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 534 43.45% 32.32 -4.05 54.68% -0.555 0.1358
Volcano Looming High 2385 53.99% 38.51 -0.042 72.45% -0.004 0.0998
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 860 33.95% 38.25 0.424 72.79% 0.187 -0.0655

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 19 31.58% 36.89 4.912 63.16% 0.421 0.201
Blitz 0 1011 51.11% 38.74 -1.537 70.43% -0.239 0.0472
Dahan Insurrection 4 1323 29.02% 62.65 6.292 75.81% -0.044 -0.1593
Despicable Theft 2 111 56.76% 39.32 -0.866 52.25% -0.401 0.3373
Elemental Invocation 1 174 66.67% 33.98 -7.871 51.72% -0.916 -0.1602
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3801 12.34% 50.14 7.34 82.72% 1.133 0.5513
Powers Long Forgotten 1 290 60.34% 39.59 -4.147 61.03% -1.091 -0.2377
Rituals of Terror 3 167 62.28% 42.08 -1.37 51.5% -0.526 -0.6965
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 125 75.2% 43.86 2.429 56.0% -0.126 0.7844
Second Wave 0 3141 52.52% 42.27 -0.142 69.34% -0.515 -0.4354
The Great River 3 170 54.71% 31.18 -0.304 30.59% -0.166 1.1976
Varied Terrains 2 58 60.34% 27.71 -7.471 36.21% -1.229 -0.3492
Ward the Shores 2 189 58.2% 45.14 7.837 64.02% 0.632 1.6135

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 68520 51.95% 39.99 -0.538 73.62% -0.467 -0.1232
1 Thematic 3109 47.58% 46.75 -1.114 66.87% -0.895 -0.3677
2 Archipelago 23 56.52% 50.87 0.0 73.91%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 14025 45.77% 42.72 0.566 81.53% -0.035 0.2492
2 Coastline 1782 42.18% 42.87 -3.182 81.14% -0.67 -0.6405
2 Fragment 322 59.75% 37.7 1.651 69.57% 0.087 -0.1499
2 Heart 165 55.76% 40.0 2.36 75.15% 0.142 -0.006
2 Opposite Shores 3038 46.59% 41.62 -2.181 77.78% -0.678 -0.6186
2 Thematic 1115 55.08% 46.42 2.841 69.69% 0.019 0.3888
2 Top to Top 532 45.76% 40.23 -0.841 75.94% -0.561 -0.4377
3 Archipelago 16 75.0% 57.63 0.0 93.75%
3 Coastline 58 39.66% 43.14 0.0 70.69%
3 Other 286 35.92% 42.99 4.037 83.22% 0.819 0.2815
3 Round (Default) 5033 40.3% 43.48 1.092 81.46% 0.103 0.0098
3 Sunrise 23 30.43% 47.48 0.0 91.3%
3 Thematic 209 52.15% 48.75 6.144 75.6% 0.718 0.1991
4 Archipelago 21 23.81% 52.14 0.0 80.95%
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 44.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 16 50.0% 45.94 17.089 81.25% 0.374 0.1623
4 Other 118 42.37% 42.06 0.125 79.66% 0.018 0.0257
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Snake 4 25.0% 50.25 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 389 38.5% 53.95 1.007 83.8% 0.029 0.1623
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2784 34.43% 45.02 0.782 84.52% 0.295 0.4016
5 Archipelago 7 71.43% 55.43 0.255 71.43% -0.325 -0.1573
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 107 49.04% 43.51 13.813 77.57% 0.205 -0.3099
5 Thematic 11 45.45% 58.09 1.973 72.73% -0.153 -1.1351
6 Archipelago 8 25.0% 36.63 -1.9 50.0% -0.289 -1.0187
6 Other 25 20.83% 32.64 -7.194 52.0% -0.727 -0.0918
6 Star 35 34.29% 35.17 -7.335 60.0% -0.211 0.0333
6 Thematic 116 12.93% 41.41 -1.421 49.14% -0.187 0.136
6 Two Centers (Default) 182 28.57% 40.79 0.702 78.02% 0.183 0.0797
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 77.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 3 33.33% 44.33 6.338 66.67% 0.383 -1.0533

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3596 35.37 -0.027 60.34% -0.089 0.0144
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2767 37.95 1.487 65.16% -0.11 -0.2551
All Things Weaken 2007 34.09 -0.867 57.75% -0.252 0.114
Attenuated Essence 254 34.71 -0.675 64.96% 0.043 0.0418
Back Against the Wall 2697 36.4 1.761 61.07% 0.214 0.2794
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 274 32.62 -0.753 55.47% -0.335 -0.0997
Burn Brightest Before the End 168 34.05 0.697 57.74% -0.052 0.1082
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3390 32.43 -1.184 57.58% -0.297 0.079
Downward Spiral 8312 35.0 -0.802 63.82% -0.047 0.0253
Erosion of Will 3491 34.53 0.44 58.24% -0.009 0.247
Intensifying Exploitation 256 31.91 -0.992 58.2% -0.019 0.2553
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 813 44.47 0.573 90.65% 0.271 -0.2153
Memory Fades to Dust 8383 33.87 -0.875 59.35% -0.161 0.0221
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1971 34.77 1.573 61.9% 0.212 0.4253
Promising Farmlands 3460 34.53 -3.416 61.82% -0.584 -0.2609
Shattered Fragments of Power 185 34.21 -0.35 57.3% -0.329 -0.1582
Slow Dissolution of Will 261 31.26 -3.348 49.81% -0.847 -0.4634
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 532 45.33 4.052 91.92% 0.887 0.2111
The Border of Life and Death 79 39.0 6.186 77.22% 1.039 0.5228
Thriving Communities 1938 34.44 0.189 62.38% 0.111 0.4345
Thriving Crops 128 39.4 3.353 78.91% 0.939 0.9403
Tipping Point 1157 34.37 0.0 59.64%
Unnatural Proliferation 2088 36.95 1.025 64.46% -0.018 0.1689
Untended Land Crumbles 1941 34.19 0.708 60.54% -0.078 0.2612

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 23164 49.06% 40.81 0.039 75.39% -0.214 0.6487
B 24054 47.64% 41.58 -0.165 77.35% -0.281 0.5403
C 25057 47.66% 41.69 0.479 77.81% -0.142 0.5556
D 21574 48.7% 41.04 0.183 76.31% -0.171 0.6856
E 9728 44.68% 41.36 0.913 77.55% -0.106 0.5827
F 12332 44.71% 41.93 -0.36 78.54% -0.251 0.5671
G 11152 45.8% 41.85 -0.525 78.72% -0.393 0.4876
H 11655 43.69% 42.75 -0.188 80.37% -0.332 0.4483
East 3380 46.28% 47.97 2.451 69.17% -0.111 0.6821
Northeast 2135 43.37% 48.69 0.955 69.65% -0.068 0.8133
Northwest 1401 45.81% 48.16 -0.724 72.95% -0.32 0.5509
Southeast 560 42.5% 45.35 1.464 66.25% 0.12 0.9788
Southwest 520 43.08% 40.8 -2.562 62.69% -0.71 0.4992
West 2678 49.49% 47.39 1.281 69.68% -0.536 0.5244

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 622 0.0% 38.82 1.47 64.95% 0.294 1.0092
Not Using Events or Tokens 13543 55.84% 37.56 -0.95 66.82% -0.088 0.3857
Skip Initial Invader Actions 974 11.62% 55.61 6.553 90.35% 1.181 0.614
Start of Game Growth 1975 16.45% 53.44 0.07 89.06% -0.486 -1.1508
Unlimited Undo 9024 40.86% 43.17 0.769 80.9% 0.242 0.265
Using Tokens but Not Events 10265 40.58% 42.54 1.345 80.3% 0.238 0.2855

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11232 15.45 10.79%
II 33541 30.45 66.9%
III 38807 34.8 90.07%
IV 18576 38.47 99.46%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.343 Win Model: 0.083
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 71897 51.76% 40.29 73.32%
2 20931 46.35% 42.65 80.06%
3 5550 40.4% 43.64 81.26%
4 3326 34.98% 46.02 84.25%
5 101 50.0% 42.72 66.34%
6 351 22.57% 39.8 66.1%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1212
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 34389
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 21434
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 18344
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6077
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1751
Lose: Adversary condition 272
Win: Sacrifice victory 384
Lose: Scenario condition 504
Win: Scenario condition 1318
Lose: Blight pool ran out 15699
Lose: Spirit destroyed 772

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5776 35.16% 45.55 -0.625 78.34% -0.003 -0.2
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 89 34.83% 38.46 1.874 71.91% 0.402 -0.3121
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3940 66.41% 41.68 -3.781 71.09% -0.533 -0.2647
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 417 50.84% 47.34 5.684 80.82% 0.809 0.2412
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3463 44.18% 45.83 1.598 82.47% 0.454 0.3231
Downpour Drenches the World 820 34.88% 39.52 -2.182 67.8% -0.377 -0.1076
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1200 30.42% 44.11 4.076 77.92% 0.685 0.2529
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5629 28.23% 51.79 4.849 91.17% 0.975 0.5521
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3732 35.44% 48.87 -0.162 86.63% 0.092 -0.3529
Finder of Paths Unseen 382 49.74% 34.43 -2.974 58.64% -0.338 0.3187
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1223 35.98% 45.03 -12.552 71.14% -2.236 -1.4284
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1961 43.47% 43.0 0.965 72.0% -0.018 -0.1351
Heart of the Wildfire 5272 66.65% 39.61 -0.482 66.77% 0.021 0.3079
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9723 43.09% 47.78 2.256 84.58% 0.424 0.0313
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 336 27.08% 42.34 3.61 72.32% 0.617 0.2123
Lightning's Swift Strike 5768 52.28% 42.8 -4.351 72.78% -0.73 -0.4632
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 502 54.82% 46.94 6.967 76.29% 0.995 0.6437
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 901 39.64% 48.94 0.682 86.46% 0.138 -0.3036
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 634 40.54% 49.09 -1.232 83.44% -0.444 -0.4866
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3513 45.2% 46.95 1.438 81.9% 0.293 0.0428
Many Minds Move as One 1919 32.17% 48.72 -0.642 87.91% 0.002 -0.2281
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7520 49.92% 44.04 0.664 75.7% 0.343 0.2392
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3605 43.33% 45.57 1.043 81.14% 0.25 0.0935
River Surges in Sunlight 7576 52.04% 45.84 1.514 73.02% 0.146 0.2348
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 80 52.5% 37.58 1.371 60.0% -0.071 -0.183
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 688 44.61% 46.02 -1.309 73.69% -0.342 0.0477
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 566 44.5% 47.79 0.982 77.03% -0.015 0.1221
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3955 44.33% 45.22 0.856 79.47% 0.258 0.064
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2357 68.14% 39.24 -3.479 61.9% -0.639 -0.1536
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 120 59.17% 42.77 -0.619 68.33% -0.124 -0.0682
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 287 49.13% 45.22 4.465 78.05% 0.957 0.4885
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 159 47.8% 44.1 2.357 76.1% 0.061 0.2767
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 457 61.27% 41.54 1.952 70.02% 0.078 0.107
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 277 67.51% 40.39 -11.666 65.7% -1.469 -1.2964
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7886 30.05% 50.16 -0.111 87.03% 0.122 -0.031
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 286 37.41% 44.81 3.924 76.22% 0.627 0.4282
Shifting Memory of Ages 1082 54.99% 42.43 0.798 74.4% 0.129 0.5785
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 67 38.81% 36.73 1.244 64.18% 0.261 -0.0432
Shroud of Silent Mist 965 70.85% 35.54 -7.732 60.52% -0.907 -0.5715
Starlight Seeks its Form 2188 37.89% 44.41 -3.14 79.43% -0.596 -0.651
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3204 37.03% 44.81 2.136 84.39% 0.769 0.1461
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3139 42.72% 45.98 -0.412 78.81% 0.006 0.2001
Thunderspeaker 5456 46.79% 45.4 -1.633 77.16% -0.191 -0.245
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 176 46.59% 40.34 2.015 67.05% 0.19 0.3239
Towering Roots of the Jungle 326 46.01% 34.09 -0.025 57.67% -0.126 -0.1167
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2291 79.53% 40.55 -1.442 73.2% 0.038 0.121
Vital Strength of the Earth 3587 51.78% 37.19 -5.135 54.86% -1.202 -0.6072
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 286 48.41% 36.83 1.839 60.14% 0.019 0.4582
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 255 46.67% 36.75 -5.559 55.69% -0.553 0.1387
Volcano Looming High 2154 53.67% 43.1 0.372 77.02% 0.176 0.2791
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 598 37.96% 43.43 3.443 77.42% 0.582 0.33

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 15 33.33% 48.27 7.881 73.33% 0.108 -0.112
Blitz 0 659 44.44% 41.59 -4.842 69.35% -0.665 -0.3787
Dahan Insurrection 4 816 27.21% 64.73 6.5 73.16% 0.212 0.0969
Despicable Theft 2 43 55.81% 39.67 11.73 48.84% 0.435 1.1732
Elemental Invocation 1 94 48.94% 36.45 -10.899 57.45% -1.876 -1.1202
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2719 13.25% 53.55 5.412 86.54% 0.397 -0.1844
Powers Long Forgotten 1 160 66.25% 39.45 -3.838 53.75% -1.209 -0.3554
Rituals of Terror 3 166 51.2% 49.16 -2.961 56.63% -0.392 -0.5624
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 95 74.74% 47.08 18.073 52.63% 0.175 1.086
Second Wave 0 1998 52.39% 44.69 1.367 68.17% -0.151 -0.0714
The Great River 3 72 58.33% 35.0 -9.237 36.11% -1.71 -0.3467
Varied Terrains 2 34 61.76% 35.38 0.0 50.0%
Ward the Shores 2 133 55.64% 47.55 -1.489 63.91% 0.02 1.0013

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 63305 48.25% 43.8 -0.552 75.44% 0.226 0.57
1 Thematic 2130 54.06% 50.3 2.618 68.78% 0.354 0.8815
2 Archipelago 17 70.59% 42.65 0.0 52.94%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9981 47.47% 45.53 1.642 80.57% 0.431 0.7149
2 Coastline 1447 41.3% 47.06 0.198 83.34% 0.033 0.0616
2 Fragment 198 55.33% 43.69 0.668 74.24% -0.193 -0.4304
2 Heart 88 44.83% 47.07 -7.972 85.23% -0.395 -0.5426
2 Opposite Shores 2080 46.17% 43.89 -1.355 75.48% -0.266 -0.2069
2 Thematic 649 53.48% 49.0 0.576 68.72% -0.294 0.0765
2 Top to Top 457 42.86% 46.23 -4.948 81.4% -0.571 -0.4478
3 Archipelago 10 40.0% 42.3 6.933 60.0% 0.119 -0.6788
3 Coastline 51 23.53% 56.69 0.0 98.04%
3 Other 130 54.69% 45.56 2.355 80.0% 0.336 -0.202
3 Round (Default) 3946 37.84% 46.87 1.0 83.25% 0.434 0.3408
3 Sunrise 17 17.65% 55.71 14.064 88.24% 0.394 0.5452
3 Thematic 135 50.37% 46.47 -7.483 67.41% -0.408 -0.9264
4 Archipelago 11 72.73% 47.64 0.0 63.64%
4 Coastline 4 50.0% 47.25 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 9 66.67% 47.22 0.0 88.89%
4 Other 68 40.3% 47.82 -6.028 80.88% -0.291 -0.2837
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 496 34.34% 51.93 11.099 74.8% 0.986 1.1196
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1791 38.24% 47.09 -0.339 82.91% 0.183 0.29
5 Archipelago 4 100.0% 70.5 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 31.5 -13.693 50.0% -0.343 -0.8495
5 Other 69 47.76% 43.64 5.47 71.01% 0.338 -0.177
5 Thematic 6 33.33% 38.5 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 25 44.0% 44.0 -9.783 80.0% -0.677 -0.0415
6 Star 13 53.85% 48.92 2.08 84.62% 0.078 0.3223
6 Thematic 67 4.48% 44.72 -5.324 56.72% -0.446 -0.1232
6 Two Centers (Default) 53 39.62% 39.26 6.763 67.92% 0.559 0.4552

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3016 38.25 0.963 61.27% -0.199 -0.0948
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2222 41.08 2.103 65.98% -0.111 -0.256
All Things Weaken 1675 37.35 -2.044 59.88% -0.713 -0.3469
Attenuated Essence 226 37.51 0.117 65.93% -0.099 -0.1009
Back Against the Wall 2109 39.43 1.869 62.02% -0.083 -0.0182
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 222 33.25 -0.789 53.15% -0.352 -0.1169
Burn Brightest Before the End 137 39.37 2.597 62.77% 0.265 0.4257
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2821 35.16 -2.633 57.07% -0.87 -0.4938
Downward Spiral 6559 37.04 -1.375 61.37% -0.17 -0.0982
Erosion of Will 2898 36.96 -1.527 57.38% -0.823 -0.5668
Intensifying Exploitation 237 33.27 -0.975 54.01% -0.495 -0.2208
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 690 47.74 1.609 88.99% 0.28 -0.2065
Memory Fades to Dust 6678 35.92 -0.626 56.69% -0.089 0.094
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1710 39.17 -0.837 66.55% -0.436 -0.2229
Promising Farmlands 2988 36.81 0.102 60.11% -0.188 0.1353
Shattered Fragments of Power 146 38.92 2.653 63.7% 0.138 0.3084
Slow Dissolution of Will 215 31.63 -3.612 46.98% -0.937 -0.5528
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 489 47.76 3.038 90.18% 0.455 -0.2209
The Border of Life and Death 69 43.39 -1.495 81.16% -0.258 -0.7743
Thriving Communities 1560 36.32 -1.766 59.29% -0.544 -0.2198
Thriving Crops 111 36.76 4.936 68.47% 0.609 0.6105
Tipping Point 957 35.54 0.0 54.13%
Unnatural Proliferation 1763 39.13 0.23 63.47% -0.251 -0.0648
Untended Land Crumbles 1631 37.44 -2.604 62.17% -0.881 -0.5423

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 18147 48.03% 43.77 0.09 75.1% 0.058 0.9209
B 19682 45.76% 44.92 0.128 78.01% 0.072 0.8932
C 20003 47.49% 44.68 0.123 77.47% 0.116 0.8143
D 17080 47.53% 44.37 -0.466 76.63% -0.038 0.8186
E 8500 43.24% 45.97 1.801 81.22% 0.358 1.0459
F 10478 44.45% 45.12 0.243 79.42% 0.04 0.8579
G 9459 44.9% 45.05 -1.304 79.32% -0.234 0.6462
H 9601 42.98% 45.71 0.354 80.54% 0.206 0.9868
East 2266 48.21% 49.36 -0.204 68.36% 0.303 1.0955
Northeast 1389 45.89% 49.5 0.287 68.47% -0.0 0.8804
Northwest 1124 43.8% 49.82 -3.271 72.15% -0.576 0.2949
Southeast 392 41.58% 46.51 2.143 67.6% 0.107 0.966
Southwest 363 44.35% 41.72 3.188 60.88% 0.41 1.6191
West 2109 47.08% 50.94 -3.681 70.32% -0.739 0.3212

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 480 0.0% 44.69 5.615 72.08% 0.926 1.6412
Not Using Events or Tokens 10754 52.7% 41.13 -3.833 68.37% -0.651 -0.1775
Skip Initial Invader Actions 706 15.48% 59.2 8.991 91.22% 0.645 0.0775
Start of Game Growth 1370 17.9% 55.81 4.868 88.61% 0.948 0.2832
Unlimited Undo 8640 43.35% 45.48 -2.498 79.87% -0.396 -0.3728
Using Tokens but Not Events 8116 38.46% 45.56 0.005 79.1% -0.17 -0.122

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11961 15.45 26.24%
II 36832 30.45 77.09%
III 27709 34.8 88.33%
IV 10804 38.47 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.186 Win Model: 0.004
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 65619 48.47% 44.01 75.22%
2 14851 46.84% 45.62 79.61%
3 4242 38.33% 47.0 82.98%
4 2383 37.61% 48.15 81.07%
5 52 50.0% 36.42 59.62%
6 159 27.04% 43.09 66.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3136
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 24163
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 27632
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10676
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4170
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2944
Lose: Adversary condition 127
Win: Sacrifice victory 341
Lose: Scenario condition 309
Win: Scenario condition 822
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12388
Lose: Spirit destroyed 598

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3167 46.96% 46.91 -1.093 65.05% -0.329 -0.526
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 25 32.0% 46.48 2.571 64.0% 0.103 -0.6116
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1831 76.41% 44.77 -1.797 62.1% -0.333 -0.0644
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 187 43.32% 50.63 7.889 77.54% 1.16 0.5926
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2641 40.62% 52.07 3.053 77.36% 0.307 0.1757
Downpour Drenches the World 397 43.67% 38.61 -4.918 52.39% -0.665 -0.3958
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 713 34.51% 48.86 5.789 75.6% 1.036 0.6044
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3299 38.63% 54.98 2.824 82.27% 0.219 -0.2036
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1841 45.68% 52.84 3.975 76.86% 0.719 0.2742
Finder of Paths Unseen 150 57.33% 38.87 -4.69 50.67% -0.703 -0.046
Fractured Days Split the Sky 483 53.83% 48.7 0.909 59.83% -0.159 0.649
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 784 44.64% 50.52 -0.307 73.21% -0.057 -0.1743
Heart of the Wildfire 2902 70.89% 41.7 -3.392 56.65% -0.797 -0.5095
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4241 59.06% 48.32 -4.506 68.83% -0.69 -1.0825
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 344 15.12% 57.34 7.405 87.21% 0.973 0.5686
Lightning's Swift Strike 3459 70.23% 42.57 -4.755 56.29% -0.744 -0.4764
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 194 67.53% 43.59 6.34 58.25% 0.614 0.2626
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 418 54.22% 49.03 1.051 73.44% 0.076 -0.3652
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 326 41.41% 51.16 1.45 73.01% 0.051 0.0084
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2017 50.62% 50.48 1.331 73.72% 0.22 -0.031
Many Minds Move as One 751 41.41% 54.38 -0.355 83.75% -0.354 -0.5847
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3826 57.01% 49.11 0.136 70.1% 0.059 -0.0453
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1873 53.09% 48.0 3.738 68.93% 0.346 0.1901
River Surges in Sunlight 4323 63.88% 48.99 -3.051 63.73% -0.823 -0.7343
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 22 36.36% 46.36 2.877 68.18% 0.221 0.1092
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 525 32.19% 53.94 7.957 72.57% 2.049 2.4386
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 310 54.87% 46.96 1.04 62.58% -0.163 -0.0257
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1901 54.86% 48.1 0.548 68.75% 0.012 -0.1813
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2073 81.95% 41.87 -4.087 53.59% -0.426 0.0593
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 40 67.5% 40.88 -3.012 60.0% -0.067 -0.0117
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 158 51.27% 46.54 4.321 71.52% 0.508 0.0399
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 144 31.25% 52.71 4.723 77.78% 0.34 0.5552
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 219 76.71% 41.17 3.719 49.32% 0.132 0.1617
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 135 76.3% 44.85 0.0 62.22%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3754 38.22% 55.28 3.991 79.22% 0.487 0.3341
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 160 48.75% 41.27 5.029 60.62% 0.778 0.579
Shifting Memory of Ages 422 67.06% 39.68 -6.857 51.18% -0.658 -0.2095
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 17 64.71% 40.12 2.353 47.06% 0.265 -0.04
Shroud of Silent Mist 338 78.64% 36.76 -10.165 48.52% -1.382 -1.0463
Starlight Seeks its Form 755 42.12% 47.04 5.749 66.49% 0.635 0.5794
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2604 35.15% 51.03 0.981 79.84% 0.314 -0.3089
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1896 49.29% 50.8 1.53 72.2% -0.037 0.1571
Thunderspeaker 2946 56.94% 47.86 -3.335 65.34% -0.532 -0.5857
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 69 43.48% 44.35 2.773 68.12% 0.268 0.4019
Towering Roots of the Jungle 155 61.94% 34.64 -2.153 41.94% -0.491 -0.482
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1406 86.7% 44.28 -3.379 63.66% -0.444 -0.3613
Vital Strength of the Earth 2097 66.49% 35.88 -4.649 36.19% -0.95 -0.3555
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 215 51.16% 39.95 3.578 47.91% 0.275 0.7143
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 131 57.25% 37.58 -7.757 38.17% -0.858 -0.1663
Volcano Looming High 1010 69.35% 45.1 -2.387 64.55% -0.201 -0.0973
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 256 42.19% 40.55 -0.338 62.11% -0.103 -0.3555

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 0.0% 22.0 0.0 33.33%
Blitz 0 440 70.77% 39.93 -13.37 50.23% -1.089 -0.802
Dahan Insurrection 4 528 51.33% 65.95 -1.158 59.85% -0.499 -0.6143
Despicable Theft 2 9 44.44% 40.78 0.0 44.44%
Elemental Invocation 1 59 64.41% 23.14 -18.558 15.25% -0.743 0.0128
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1853 16.44% 59.97 5.57 86.4% 0.593 0.0118
Powers Long Forgotten 1 108 69.44% 44.96 7.908 50.0% 0.256 1.1096
Rituals of Terror 3 85 61.18% 49.09 -8.868 41.18% -1.31 -1.48
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 59 91.53% 48.71 0.0 42.37%
Second Wave 0 1131 61.17% 47.39 1.874 59.42% 0.073 0.152
The Great River 3 30 60.0% 38.2 0.0 20.0%
Varied Terrains 2 8 75.0% 44.38 6.003 37.5% -0.063 0.8163
Ward the Shores 2 69 72.46% 47.28 10.581 47.83% 0.219 1.2002

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 36281 57.08% 46.29 -1.516 64.81% -0.448 -0.1044
1 Thematic 1318 63.43% 50.91 5.255 55.84% 0.471 0.9983
2 Archipelago 8 75.0% 59.63 0.0 75.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5415 55.47% 49.33 0.723 71.12% 0.09 0.3739
2 Coastline 820 47.98% 48.24 -2.193 69.02% -0.351 -0.3215
2 Fragment 104 66.99% 46.15 11.701 65.38% 0.765 0.5276
2 Heart 76 63.16% 47.07 -16.237 65.79% -1.121 -1.2687
2 Opposite Shores 1372 53.14% 50.22 3.846 72.3% 0.282 0.3408
2 Thematic 356 66.2% 51.03 16.257 53.37% 0.359 0.729
2 Top to Top 179 62.36% 48.14 6.849 68.72% 0.173 0.2959
3 Archipelago 4 50.0% 84.75 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 11 27.27% 60.55 0.0 90.91%
3 Other 45 68.89% 51.82 17.269 71.11% 0.511 -0.027
3 Round (Default) 1701 50.18% 50.99 3.166 74.66% 0.684 0.591
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Thematic 73 47.95% 58.0 -16.049 68.49% -0.157 -0.6757
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 64.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 14 57.14% 49.71 0.0 71.43%
4 Snake 1 100.0% 38.0 -4.656 0.0% -0.251 -0.3216
4 Thematic 191 32.46% 62.07 -8.667 78.53% -0.193 -0.0603
4 Trapezoid (Default) 742 46.91% 47.97 -2.917 69.14% -0.501 -0.3937
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 22 45.45% 47.59 2.385 68.18% 0.026 -0.489
5 Thematic 5 80.0% 77.0 -15.135 80.0% -0.113 -1.0957
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 69.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 7 14.29% 30.43 4.49 42.86% 0.115 0.7499
6 Star 2 0.0% 28.5 -16.484 50.0% -0.126 0.1183
6 Thematic 34 26.47% 59.32 2.275 67.65% -0.277 0.0464
6 Two Centers (Default) 13 7.69% 49.92 4.86 76.92% 0.088 -0.0155
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1854 40.83 -2.781 49.89% -0.919 -0.8149
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1316 45.05 -0.673 58.36% -0.408 -0.5524
All Things Weaken 1047 39.43 -3.568 47.66% -1.079 -0.7127
Attenuated Essence 144 39.41 0.96 53.47% 0.207 0.2053
Back Against the Wall 1322 43.56 0.574 54.92% -0.478 -0.4129
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 138 34.82 -2.095 46.38% -0.472 -0.2369
Burn Brightest Before the End 101 40.45 2.39 52.48% 0.07 0.2302
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1714 37.82 -3.235 46.91% -0.664 -0.2883
Downward Spiral 5289 39.05 -2.822 49.18% -0.773 -0.7013
Erosion of Will 1744 39.03 -1.808 45.81% -0.882 -0.6253
Intensifying Exploitation 148 34.21 -4.334 45.27% -1.006 -0.7321
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 355 52.97 1.125 84.51% 0.124 -0.3626
Memory Fades to Dust 5181 38.5 -1.176 46.57% -0.428 -0.2449
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1013 40.39 -4.232 52.02% -1.218 -1.0057
Promising Farmlands 1787 37.87 -2.762 45.16% -0.471 -0.1483
Shattered Fragments of Power 87 38.95 -2.762 50.57% -0.889 -0.7189
Slow Dissolution of Will 119 31.29 -1.549 32.77% -0.642 -0.2581
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 211 53.05 3.86 85.31% 0.386 -0.2897
The Border of Life and Death 35 53.2 9.048 88.57% 1.301 0.7846
Thriving Communities 1033 39.5 -1.435 50.73% -0.487 -0.1629
Thriving Crops 50 47.52 2.066 74.0% -0.057 -0.0556
Tipping Point 639 38.12 0.0 42.72%
Unnatural Proliferation 1064 42.45 -6.562 53.85% -1.704 -1.5169
Untended Land Crumbles 1001 39.81 -1.422 51.35% -0.461 -0.1215

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9198 59.3% 45.19 -0.847 61.88% -0.291 0.5721
B 11026 53.34% 48.81 0.097 69.32% -0.002 0.8196
C 10733 61.48% 46.0 0.6 64.14% 0.062 0.7605
D 8559 61.07% 45.6 -1.208 63.11% -0.247 0.6089
E 3731 54.65% 48.43 1.44 70.36% 0.224 0.9122
F 6565 46.59% 49.59 0.246 73.08% -0.09 0.7275
G 5448 49.77% 49.73 1.123 72.39% 0.247 1.1272
H 5742 47.36% 50.24 1.137 73.28% 0.117 0.8971
East 1253 57.91% 54.05 1.531 60.34% -0.18 0.6122
Northeast 713 56.6% 54.29 -1.417 61.99% -0.274 0.607
Northwest 570 51.85% 54.83 1.015 61.4% 0.157 1.0278
Southeast 198 51.01% 50.81 -2.28 60.61% -0.787 0.0718
Southwest 187 54.01% 44.45 2.251 51.87% 0.073 1.2826
West 1086 56.68% 52.82 -7.117 57.55% -1.274 -0.2132

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 231 0.0% 43.04 -7.105 57.14% -1.074 -0.3584
Not Using Events or Tokens 7905 69.26% 41.31 -1.28 54.02% 0.26 0.7342
Skip Initial Invader Actions 374 23.85% 62.16 7.028 83.69% 0.629 0.0621
Start of Game Growth 778 22.13% 63.63 2.338 87.28% -0.108 -0.7727
Unlimited Undo 8359 34.42% 55.2 1.735 82.69% 0.307 0.33
Using Tokens but Not Events 8876 28.45% 55.26 1.422 82.68% -0.133 -0.0852

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8101 15.45 19.38%
II 21171 30.45 65.45%
III 14362 34.8 80.96%
IV 5190 38.47 99.44%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.339 Win Model: 0.199
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 37694 57.32% 46.45 64.45%
2 8290 55.15% 49.41 70.45%
3 1817 50.39% 51.33 74.35%
4 945 43.24% 51.23 71.85%
5 23 47.83% 41.04 52.17%
6 55 16.36% 53.62 72.73%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1570
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11440
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 13507
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5107
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2599
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2922
Lose: Adversary condition 75
Win: Sacrifice victory 172
Lose: Scenario condition 189
Win: Scenario condition 418
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10294
Lose: Spirit destroyed 531

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7407 62.73% 41.89 -2.668 45.04% -0.308 -0.5045
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 149 41.61% 28.65 -1.006 35.57% -0.0 -0.7146
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6399 82.35% 41.74 -2.595 47.15% -0.242 0.0265
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 1081 59.85% 52.71 9.868 73.36% 1.345 0.7778
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3470 76.14% 39.11 -0.404 42.25% 0.238 0.1075
Downpour Drenches the World 1232 53.3% 34.57 -1.252 39.04% -0.079 0.1907
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2379 53.31% 42.56 2.562 57.42% 0.491 0.0588
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9128 54.71% 49.01 1.522 62.92% 0.62 0.1964
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3633 73.2% 43.4 -2.086 50.78% -0.156 -0.6011
Finder of Paths Unseen 631 66.19% 28.41 -1.645 29.32% -0.422 0.2354
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1781 63.37% 47.9 -0.499 53.23% 0.039 0.8471
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2068 70.68% 43.09 0.954 51.64% 0.212 0.0948
Heart of the Wildfire 8010 88.22% 31.68 -4.98 29.44% -0.762 -0.4746
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10930 70.51% 42.34 -3.325 50.71% -0.232 -0.6251
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 490 51.84% 39.43 5.585 51.02% 0.658 0.2536
Lightning's Swift Strike 8131 71.36% 39.23 -3.248 42.79% -0.368 -0.1003
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 996 71.23% 41.12 -0.233 50.4% 0.194 -0.157
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1471 78.57% 46.57 2.56 59.89% 0.452 0.0111
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1081 65.77% 46.48 1.052 58.46% 0.162 0.1192
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5756 69.03% 43.76 0.236 53.72% -0.054 -0.3043
Many Minds Move as One 2333 58.79% 52.78 2.685 71.58% 0.101 -0.129
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 29745 55.37% 55.27 1.959 77.43% 0.809 0.7051
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3586 76.08% 40.34 -3.543 44.42% -0.709 -0.8648
River Surges in Sunlight 11955 73.35% 44.29 -1.38 47.84% -0.154 -0.0652
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 314 62.1% 31.1 -0.368 40.45% 0.001 -0.1106
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 556 78.17% 37.96 -0.152 31.65% 0.247 0.6365
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1049 69.96% 40.21 -0.085 45.47% 0.103 0.2405
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6184 62.58% 43.84 2.281 51.52% 0.505 0.311
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3744 72.88% 37.99 -2.42 39.53% -0.518 -0.0321
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 93 83.87% 39.19 0.962 44.09% -0.133 -0.077
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 655 65.95% 44.89 7.824 60.92% 1.203 0.7346
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 208 65.87% 30.89 2.175 34.62% -0.233 -0.0173
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 516 83.11% 40.33 0.113 44.57% 0.126 0.1552
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 427 89.7% 39.61 -3.192 43.79% 0.139 0.3112
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6745 64.75% 43.72 -2.024 52.34% -0.209 -0.3619
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 477 62.89% 35.11 1.771 43.82% 0.392 0.1931
Shifting Memory of Ages 1078 80.07% 36.78 -7.371 34.97% -1.056 -0.6074
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 94 63.83% 36.2 3.055 45.74% 0.512 0.2079
Shroud of Silent Mist 1077 88.1% 32.15 -3.693 31.75% -0.682 -0.3457
Starlight Seeks its Form 3419 71.95% 39.2 -2.798 42.06% -0.299 -0.3542
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5512 64.73% 44.35 3.931 50.96% 0.532 -0.0907
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3385 73.39% 43.57 -2.588 50.16% -0.254 -0.0605
Thunderspeaker 8897 72.75% 45.67 -0.92 44.95% 0.181 0.1272
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 466 59.23% 38.35 0.756 48.93% 0.174 0.3083
Towering Roots of the Jungle 443 57.56% 27.42 -2.043 31.6% -0.27 -0.261
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4429 90.54% 43.17 -0.896 55.23% 0.027 0.1101
Vital Strength of the Earth 4409 78.13% 30.51 -5.731 20.91% -0.906 -0.3116
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 364 70.05% 31.27 -1.021 29.67% -0.383 0.0567
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 443 79.86% 29.28 -5.923 19.19% -1.305 -0.614
Volcano Looming High 3644 76.61% 41.4 1.366 50.38% 0.281 0.3846
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 697 63.7% 38.04 -0.067 49.93% 0.007 -0.2449

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 11 45.45% 45.0 0.0 54.55%
Blitz 0 1042 58.13% 44.5 6.53 52.78% 0.707 0.9937
Dahan Insurrection 4 3144 74.03% 55.5 -0.906 35.85% -0.136 -0.2512
Despicable Theft 2 31 61.29% 36.48 0.0 25.81%
Elemental Invocation 1 93 67.74% 30.34 -4.437 17.2% 0.059 0.8156
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 4695 35.75% 54.58 4.798 67.92% 0.855 0.2732
Powers Long Forgotten 1 140 84.06% 34.5 -7.465 22.14% -0.431 0.423
Rituals of Terror 3 364 57.42% 71.24 11.693 41.48% 0.559 0.3891
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 39 69.23% 33.95 0.0 20.51%
Second Wave 0 908 70.09% 43.96 2.368 45.37% 0.057 0.1361
The Great River 3 54 70.37% 33.17 -7.045 16.67% -0.154 1.2096
Varied Terrains 2 25 52.0% 29.72 -5.391 20.0% -0.558 0.3214
Ward the Shores 2 93 76.34% 33.71 -11.56 24.73% -0.571 0.4108

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 116685 70.42% 43.1 -0.263 52.12% -0.471 -0.1273
1 Thematic 4595 76.91% 51.51 0.0 37.65% -0.779 -0.2511
2 Archipelago 68 43.28% 35.72 3.948 26.47% -0.145 0.3542
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12225 63.44% 46.5 1.366 58.54% 0.018 0.3022
2 Coastline 2142 66.54% 44.23 1.251 55.37% 0.078 0.1071
2 Fragment 238 74.79% 37.17 0.28 42.44% 0.402 0.1649
2 Heart 139 73.38% 40.48 -4.637 45.32% -0.826 -0.9737
2 Opposite Shores 3161 72.37% 44.49 0.376 49.64% -0.034 0.025
2 Thematic 1170 79.14% 48.06 -2.924 35.04% -1.286 -0.916
2 Top to Top 503 75.75% 41.73 0.115 47.91% -0.023 0.1004
3 Archipelago 5 20.0% 55.8 0.0 40.0%
3 Coastline 51 58.82% 44.9 18.624 50.98% 1.0 0.4507
3 Other 101 77.23% 43.32 3.367 49.5% 0.209 -0.3288
3 Round (Default) 3256 69.51% 45.46 1.604 55.9% 0.292 0.1995
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 50.29 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 136 57.35% 76.18 35.604 52.21% 1.009 0.4907
4 Archipelago 3 66.67% 60.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Coastline 12 41.67% 51.83 -12.628 66.67% -0.258 -1.0183
4 Leaf 7 57.14% 38.0 0.0 42.86%
4 Other 39 71.79% 48.49 0.0 61.54%
4 Snake 2 100.0% 26.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 406 57.04% 68.62 2.753 56.4% 0.251 0.3844
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2455 50.33% 39.53 -6.023 49.0% -1.108 -1.0012
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 32.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 22 13.64% 53.23 0.0 77.27%
5 Other 46 60.87% 52.91 14.451 65.22% 1.984 1.4696
5 Thematic 8 87.5% 49.88 14.983 25.0% 0.056 -0.9265
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 6 0.0% 68.17 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 15 46.67% 36.0 -0.145 53.33% 0.24 0.8752
6 Star 14 42.86% 40.64 -18.332 57.14% -1.106 -0.8617
6 Thematic 24 70.83% 33.96 -16.783 33.33% -0.29 0.0329
6 Two Centers (Default) 36 52.78% 33.17 -12.305 38.89% -0.912 -1.0156
7 Other 3 33.33% 27.0 0.0 33.33%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 8081 41.11 2.499 44.52% 0.033 0.137
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6366 46.82 5.281 55.86% 0.355 0.2105
All Things Weaken 4304 38.53 0.165 40.59% -0.228 0.1375
Attenuated Essence 722 35.74 2.368 42.8% 0.322 0.3201
Back Against the Wall 5366 42.47 5.418 45.62% 0.239 0.3042
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 688 31.8 -1.239 33.72% -0.332 -0.0967
Burn Brightest Before the End 474 36.72 2.475 37.97% -0.065 0.0959
Disintegrating Ecosystem 7438 37.97 0.758 41.57% -0.067 0.3088
Downward Spiral 15132 38.85 0.913 39.18% 0.021 0.093
Erosion of Will 7813 39.53 2.889 41.43% 0.129 0.385
Intensifying Exploitation 748 29.71 0.18 31.68% -0.068 0.2059
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1163 51.96 1.452 72.06% 0.406 -0.0811
Memory Fades to Dust 15056 38.23 1.014 36.56% 0.041 0.2235
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4181 38.19 1.092 40.71% -0.049 0.1636
Promising Farmlands 7430 38.67 0.073 41.2% -0.252 0.0708
Shattered Fragments of Power 491 39.26 4.825 43.99% 0.317 0.487
Slow Dissolution of Will 700 32.83 0.848 33.29% -0.174 0.2095
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 685 52.87 10.543 76.35% 1.449 0.7728
The Border of Life and Death 146 37.73 4.876 53.42% 0.7 0.1842
Thriving Communities 4052 36.33 -1.755 37.19% -0.5 -0.176
Thriving Crops 232 35.35 1.851 49.57% 0.119 0.1207
Tipping Point 2485 38.06 0.0 37.42%
Unnatural Proliferation 4483 41.04 2.334 43.61% -0.006 0.1806
Untended Land Crumbles 4151 37.22 -0.96 38.81% -0.25 0.0888

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 26205 70.76% 40.56 -0.582 46.51% -0.399 0.4639
B 31063 67.58% 43.68 -0.183 52.91% -0.359 0.462
C 30379 69.74% 42.64 -0.1 50.8% -0.29 0.4079
D 28035 68.71% 44.2 -1.149 54.09% -0.506 0.3499
E 12926 68.7% 43.2 0.798 53.37% -0.167 0.5209
F 16322 66.29% 44.74 -0.762 55.98% -0.484 0.3339
G 15421 66.14% 46.03 -0.022 58.48% -0.407 0.4734
H 14619 64.44% 45.39 -1.482 56.94% -0.627 0.1535
East 4645 75.77% 54.35 2.243 38.92% -0.117 0.6758
Northeast 2417 71.73% 57.29 7.753 44.6% 0.699 1.5801
Northwest 1339 68.07% 56.16 0.332 44.66% -0.364 0.5076
Southeast 367 84.11% 38.99 -3.697 25.34% -0.261 0.5982
Southwest 301 78.19% 31.71 -3.433 22.26% -0.253 0.9562
West 2593 72.35% 51.26 1.489 37.76% -0.486 0.5743

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 742 0.0% 38.28 -9.724 38.81% -0.842 -0.1261
Not Using Events or Tokens 15863 78.7% 36.32 -4.996 32.07% -1.085 -0.6108
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2774 17.57% 64.28 8.542 84.03% 0.043 -0.5242
Start of Game Growth 5432 22.4% 59.86 7.606 80.63% 1.442 0.7779
Unlimited Undo 13472 61.72% 45.32 0.16 58.08% 0.338 0.361
Using Tokens but Not Events 10500 55.55% 44.63 0.227 53.66% -0.384 -0.3359

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 31452 15.45 4.51%
II 55527 30.45 46.66%
III 48164 34.8 77.02%
IV 12522 38.47 99.58%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.62 Win Model: 0.021
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 121877 70.65% 43.45 51.56%
2 19293 66.52% 45.84 54.96%
3 3514 68.27% 47.29 55.83%
4 2833 52.49% 41.4 49.45%
5 58 44.83% 44.24 55.17%
6 90 47.78% 39.61 52.22%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1413
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 36442
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 24390
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 12313
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 12457
Lose: Invader deck ran out 11011
Lose: Adversary condition 519
Win: Sacrifice victory 784
Lose: Scenario condition 936
Win: Scenario condition 1549
Lose: Blight pool ran out 43037
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2814

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)