The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 60.0% 24.2 0.0 80.0%
Blitz 0 938 40.53% 23.42 -0.631 78.46% -0.661 -0.2177
Dahan Insurrection 4 1234 19.97% 46.51 9.436 81.28% -0.591 -0.4942
Despicable Theft 2 107 35.51% 33.28 6.995 78.5% 0.401 0.8993
Elemental Invocation 1 182 44.51% 28.54 1.993 80.22% -0.561 -0.0155
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2026 8.45% 30.83 2.429 86.62% -1.008 -0.7766
Powers Long Forgotten 1 413 53.64% 28.59 0.91 75.54% -0.098 0.3093
Rituals of Terror 3 504 43.85% 36.11 8.747 72.62% -0.223 -0.4594
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 303 72.94% 33.3 -6.36 67.66% -0.767 -0.5407
Second Wave 0 978 50.41% 25.92 0.629 75.05% -0.473 0.2191
The Great River 3 153 44.44% 30.92 1.291 54.9% -1.172 0.4093
Varied Terrains 2 20 45.0% 31.65 4.754 70.0% -0.1 0.6861
Ward the Shores 2 461 43.48% 31.02 1.192 72.45% -0.938 -0.0572

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1923 18.93 -3.704 61.57% -2.354 -0.3835
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1683 20.12 -2.719 63.34% -2.459 -0.6814
All Things Weaken 774 19.28 -4.406 61.11% -2.607 -0.5584
Back Against the Wall 1512 19.5 -2.164 61.57% -2.167 -0.2276
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1780 17.02 -3.543 61.07% -2.113 0.0153
Downward Spiral 7112 17.21 -4.384 62.49% -2.273 -0.3119
Erosion of Will 1841 18.27 -3.531 59.1% -2.552 -0.4706
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 348 25.45 -1.63 95.11% -0.1 0.4014
Memory Fades to Dust 7115 17.04 -4.332 59.49% -2.312 -0.1708
Power Corrodes the Spirit 781 19.28 -3.396 67.73% -1.167 0.8133
Promising Farmlands 1886 17.75 -3.716 62.25% -2.143 -0.1218
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 223 26.14 3.391 97.76% 0.468 0.9642
Thriving Communities 782 18.07 -5.149 62.4% -2.617 -0.5578
Tipping Point 789 17.93 0.0 63.12%
Unnatural Proliferation 787 20.05 -4.035 63.41% -2.631 -0.6745
Untended Land Crumbles 775 18.38 -5.077 61.16% -2.605 -0.5715

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 19329 37.52% 24.55 -0.15 84.4% 0.026 0.7619
B 19517 36.23% 24.82 -0.277 85.25% -0.123 0.5739
C 20062 34.5% 25.1 0.067 85.79% 0.011 0.4805
D 18845 35.06% 25.02 0.237 85.69% -0.177 0.532
E 5023 31.23% 26.36 -0.462 88.69% -0.395 0.1493
F 8118 30.61% 25.9 -0.207 88.69% -0.406 0.2559
G 7538 32.21% 25.78 0.307 88.87% -0.08 0.5513
H 7679 30.64% 25.9 0.062 88.32% -0.073 0.5912
East 3657 37.64% 34.25 3.122 82.55% 0.139 0.8007
Northeast 2236 36.32% 34.41 2.824 83.45% 0.662 1.3222
Northwest 1628 36.26% 33.62 3.086 83.72% 0.58 1.1909
Southeast 379 30.5% 32.71 1.029 85.75% 0.02 0.5511
Southwest 363 40.33% 26.82 -2.188 77.96% -0.536 0.4327
West 3082 40.22% 32.73 0.741 80.3% 0.735 1.5408

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1590 0.0% 21.72 -2.931 71.89% -2.292 -0.0628
Not Using Events or Tokens 21178 45.57% 23.01 -1.028 78.12% -0.059 0.1671
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1196 10.44% 33.61 2.027 94.48% 0.718 -0.2619
Start of Game Growth 1909 13.72% 32.4 2.659 93.45% 0.239 -0.2174
Unlimited Undo 5167 29.99% 26.73 0.268 89.49% 0.491 -0.0601
Using Tokens but Not Events 7224 29.25% 25.85 1.257 87.96% 0.623 0.7781

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5291 22.65 40.79%
II 25791 31.08 77.52%
III 36277 34.66 89.48%
IV 15685 37.91 98.83%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.056 Win Model: 0.692
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 60550 39.36% 25.06 82.65%
2 16401 33.04% 25.86 88.07%
3 3894 24.59% 27.13 92.12%
4 2082 23.01% 28.4 92.56%
5 19 21.05% 28.95 84.21%
6 98 18.75% 31.36 94.9%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2153
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 31685
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18876
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15358
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1083
Lose: Adversary condition 162
Win: Sacrifice victory 325
Lose: Scenario condition 554
Win: Scenario condition 1715
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10524
Lose: Spirit destroyed 609

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 25.0% 25.5 0.0 75.0%
Blitz 0 802 42.6% 27.42 0.77 77.43% 0.07 0.5126
Dahan Insurrection 4 851 29.79% 47.88 9.417 74.27% -0.79 -0.6925
Despicable Theft 2 102 39.22% 37.97 -1.494 83.33% -1.319 -0.8207
Elemental Invocation 1 155 49.35% 29.79 -0.39 78.06% 0.284 0.8294
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1699 10.53% 37.05 7.028 83.17% -0.012 0.2192
Powers Long Forgotten 1 411 57.18% 31.81 -1.524 73.72% -1.209 -0.801
Rituals of Terror 3 381 49.87% 38.49 7.775 71.92% 0.487 0.2507
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 284 72.89% 34.92 6.035 64.44% 0.222 0.4484
Second Wave 0 3969 42.05% 31.94 0.945 81.31% -0.24 0.4522
The Great River 3 123 50.41% 36.12 0.221 66.67% -0.948 0.6333
Varied Terrains 2 41 70.73% 31.12 0.103 60.98% -0.924 -0.138
Ward the Shores 2 380 49.34% 34.39 3.549 70.26% -0.052 0.829

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1656 23.44 -3.712 63.89% -2.093 -0.1217
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1314 24.83 -3.199 66.44% -2.03 -0.2527
All Things Weaken 774 23.94 -4.422 65.37% -2.374 -0.3255
Back Against the Wall 1389 24.01 -4.003 63.5% -2.421 -0.4822
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1688 21.26 -4.294 60.84% -2.368 -0.2395
Downward Spiral 5080 22.55 -3.403 68.03% -1.845 0.1166
Erosion of Will 1702 22.91 -4.462 61.4% -2.346 -0.2649
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 348 30.1 -0.774 97.13% 0.55 1.0521
Memory Fades to Dust 5117 21.96 -3.785 62.95% -2.141 -0.0002
Power Corrodes the Spirit 739 24.03 -3.794 71.04% -2.098 -0.1169
Promising Farmlands 1651 21.96 -5.185 63.23% -2.455 -0.4336
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 257 29.91 -0.046 97.28% -0.174 0.3225
Thriving Communities 711 22.93 -3.292 66.39% -1.742 0.3169
Tipping Point 669 20.79 0.0 57.55%
Unnatural Proliferation 834 24.76 -2.976 68.47% -2.098 -0.1407
Untended Land Crumbles 790 22.91 -4.486 66.33% -2.019 0.0144

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14249 41.0% 29.13 -0.631 84.54% -0.3 0.4359
B 14523 38.61% 29.57 -0.839 86.06% -0.371 0.3257
C 14975 38.88% 29.87 -0.054 86.82% -0.044 0.4258
D 13932 39.34% 29.6 0.067 86.07% 0.086 0.7951
E 4448 35.75% 30.94 0.381 88.6% 0.266 0.8107
F 6448 34.5% 30.55 0.093 88.03% -0.103 0.5589
G 5868 35.2% 30.5 0.163 88.63% -0.012 0.6193
H 6149 33.95% 30.66 -0.139 88.36% 0.041 0.7061
East 3118 42.82% 38.37 2.8 79.44% 0.321 0.9824
Northeast 1850 41.78% 39.32 8.368 79.78% 0.301 0.9605
Northwest 1345 44.17% 36.99 2.098 81.26% 0.829 1.4397
Southeast 390 44.36% 37.06 2.02 82.56% -0.165 0.3663
Southwest 395 48.86% 33.5 -0.982 76.71% -0.805 0.1632
West 2578 49.07% 35.42 0.786 77.19% -0.633 0.1728

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1048 0.0% 26.91 -1.007 79.77% -0.704 1.5248
Not Using Events or Tokens 12751 46.29% 28.2 0.373 80.58% -0.03 0.1964
Skip Initial Invader Actions 727 13.67% 40.01 5.053 93.26% 0.618 -0.3626
Start of Game Growth 1285 16.81% 38.69 2.143 93.62% -0.532 -0.9883
Unlimited Undo 4657 34.51% 31.09 0.315 89.05% -0.028 -0.5794
Using Tokens but Not Events 6194 33.16% 30.19 -0.011 88.84% 0.413 0.5685

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3009 22.65 24.56%
II 15311 31.08 71.86%
III 28727 34.66 90.15%
IV 14748 37.91 98.88%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.229 Win Model: 0.17
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 43525 43.13% 29.29 82.41%
2 13089 36.83% 30.83 88.93%
3 3375 30.16% 31.83 91.23%
4 1684 29.45% 33.37 90.74%
5 15 30.77% 35.6 80.0%
6 107 33.96% 42.22 88.79%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 737
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 25223
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10371
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14413
Lose: Invader deck ran out 599
Lose: Adversary condition 112
Win: Sacrifice victory 284
Lose: Scenario condition 514
Win: Scenario condition 1195
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7870
Lose: Spirit destroyed 477

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 16.67% 45.5 0.105 100.0% 0.052 0.5476
Blitz 0 881 49.31% 35.32 -0.152 76.5% -0.777 -0.3334
Dahan Insurrection 4 1080 25.37% 61.11 9.861 82.22% -0.329 -0.2318
Despicable Theft 2 59 57.63% 45.41 6.959 77.97% 0.301 0.7995
Elemental Invocation 1 155 59.35% 38.24 2.824 76.77% 0.208 0.7541
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2551 10.42% 45.35 1.45 86.95% -1.313 -1.0812
Powers Long Forgotten 1 351 57.43% 40.75 1.098 76.07% -0.485 -0.077
Rituals of Terror 3 291 61.51% 45.74 8.205 68.38% 0.306 0.0695
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 162 67.9% 46.65 2.783 75.93% -0.624 -0.3978
Second Wave 0 3441 47.87% 38.72 0.014 76.32% -0.786 -0.0933
The Great River 3 119 52.94% 40.73 0.451 55.46% -0.998 0.5838
Varied Terrains 2 21 61.9% 51.33 6.408 90.48% 0.253 1.0397
Ward the Shores 2 346 46.22% 44.95 1.772 78.03% -0.512 0.3684

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2503 30.51 -5.259 64.08% -2.615 -0.6446
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2068 32.17 -5.153 65.86% -2.52 -0.742
All Things Weaken 1272 30.12 -4.602 63.05% -2.489 -0.4404
Back Against the Wall 1943 31.27 -3.926 63.25% -2.265 -0.3258
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2346 28.32 -5.385 62.79% -2.243 -0.1149
Downward Spiral 6149 30.73 -3.99 69.9% -2.028 -0.0667
Erosion of Will 2597 30.57 -4.166 63.61% -2.314 -0.2326
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 531 40.44 0.245 98.31% 0.624 1.1254
Memory Fades to Dust 6299 30.28 -3.813 66.52% -2.215 -0.0744
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1172 31.06 -5.449 68.77% -2.648 -0.6672
Promising Farmlands 2485 30.28 -6.318 67.32% -2.914 -0.8925
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 333 39.94 -0.406 96.4% -0.177 0.3201
Thriving Communities 1122 30.26 -4.176 66.67% -2.174 -0.115
Tipping Point 971 29.87 0.0 64.78%
Unnatural Proliferation 1212 31.35 -3.777 65.18% -2.167 -0.2099
Untended Land Crumbles 1157 30.92 -5.506 67.5% -2.521 -0.4881

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 18013 44.79% 37.83 -0.387 84.26% -0.147 0.5894
B 18662 43.61% 38.18 0.039 85.41% -0.12 0.5771
C 19374 44.07% 38.32 0.142 85.54% -0.056 0.4135
D 17516 44.17% 38.15 -0.238 85.49% -0.159 0.5508
E 5943 41.33% 39.75 0.34 87.94% -0.131 0.4132
F 8626 40.28% 39.13 -0.105 87.14% -0.209 0.453
G 7803 40.91% 39.02 0.277 87.18% -0.214 0.4173
H 7980 39.22% 39.4 0.157 87.52% -0.169 0.496
East 3495 45.76% 45.7 3.301 79.54% 0.346 1.0079
Northeast 2084 43.62% 46.84 3.257 82.01% 0.612 1.2721
Northwest 1674 44.24% 46.61 1.563 82.62% -0.72 -0.1097
Southeast 491 40.41% 46.87 1.436 79.63% 0.198 0.729
Southwest 460 42.7% 44.31 0.761 76.96% 0.216 1.1841
West 3049 47.42% 45.03 0.99 79.44% -0.399 0.4061

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 664 0.0% 36.42 -2.791 76.96% -2.038 0.1911
Not Using Events or Tokens 11982 50.93% 36.61 -0.347 81.03% -0.023 0.2037
Skip Initial Invader Actions 805 12.66% 49.49 8.861 94.91% 0.916 -0.0642
Start of Game Growth 1587 15.91% 47.57 3.01 94.39% -0.35 -0.8067
Unlimited Undo 6471 38.55% 39.77 1.877 88.97% 0.878 0.3265
Using Tokens but Not Events 7475 36.41% 39.06 -0.023 87.34% 0.194 0.3492

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4211 22.65 28.95%
II 19654 31.08 68.39%
III 33953 34.66 91.22%
IV 18295 37.91 99.36%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.214 Win Model: 0.083
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 51353 47.48% 37.36 81.79%
2 16998 43.04% 39.0 87.02%
3 4725 37.69% 40.38 90.01%
4 2747 33.13% 43.51 91.45%
5 51 40.0% 56.53 86.27%
6 239 18.49% 50.99 87.87%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1217
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 30300
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 12560
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 18012
Lose: Invader deck ran out 669
Lose: Adversary condition 157
Win: Sacrifice victory 309
Lose: Scenario condition 539
Win: Scenario condition 1412
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10403
Lose: Spirit destroyed 535

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 50.0% 59.5 1.747 100.0% 0.028 0.5233
Blitz 0 837 53.42% 40.0 -2.45 73.12% -0.007 0.4363
Dahan Insurrection 4 994 28.33% 68.6 12.557 83.4% -0.198 -0.1008
Despicable Theft 2 42 69.05% 45.1 8.514 59.52% 0.314 0.8127
Elemental Invocation 1 90 72.22% 40.8 -3.145 65.56% -0.47 0.0761
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2802 11.01% 52.28 4.361 89.58% 0.001 0.2328
Powers Long Forgotten 1 189 68.78% 44.66 5.233 67.72% 0.075 0.4826
Rituals of Terror 3 127 66.93% 48.08 -7.453 59.84% -0.495 -0.731
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 103 79.61% 47.38 7.46 59.22% 0.285 0.5113
Second Wave 0 2458 53.14% 43.7 -0.295 71.6% -0.795 -0.1028
The Great River 3 64 67.19% 45.05 3.128 50.0% -0.655 0.9264
Varied Terrains 2 7 71.43% 49.29 -6.158 71.43% -0.912 -0.126
Ward the Shores 2 151 62.25% 49.27 0.0 70.2%

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3036 35.79 -5.015 61.07% -2.326 -0.3552
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2338 38.22 -4.182 65.91% -2.295 -0.5168
All Things Weaken 1506 34.82 -4.698 59.36% -2.316 -0.267
Back Against the Wall 2279 36.68 -5.937 61.25% -2.545 -0.606
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2815 33.31 -5.337 59.29% -2.323 -0.1953
Downward Spiral 6686 36.12 -3.458 65.9% -1.863 0.0977
Erosion of Will 2925 35.03 -5.201 58.94% -2.374 -0.2926
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 605 45.82 0.847 93.22% 0.845 1.3467
Memory Fades to Dust 6838 34.84 -4.536 61.1% -2.283 -0.1425
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1482 35.29 -4.635 62.89% -2.201 -0.2207
Promising Farmlands 2933 35.12 -6.274 62.77% -2.368 -0.3467
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 398 46.92 -1.123 95.48% -0.675 -0.1788
Thriving Communities 1450 35.12 -5.444 63.66% -2.258 -0.1991
Tipping Point 1157 34.37 0.0 59.64%
Unnatural Proliferation 1587 37.67 -3.821 66.48% -1.914 0.0426
Untended Land Crumbles 1444 35.24 -5.708 62.88% -2.581 -0.5474

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 17777 50.53% 43.27 -0.246 80.05% -0.165 0.5712
B 18684 48.6% 43.95 0.059 81.86% 0.019 0.7159
C 19555 49.12% 44.06 0.031 82.28% -0.044 0.4254
D 16775 50.06% 43.51 -0.666 80.94% -0.205 0.5045
E 6282 47.28% 44.65 0.477 83.95% 0.233 0.777
F 8953 45.75% 44.76 0.351 84.06% 0.038 0.6996
G 8239 46.7% 44.48 -0.003 83.91% -0.097 0.5343
H 8529 44.33% 45.35 0.677 85.38% 0.116 0.7807
East 2524 51.21% 50.88 1.027 75.48% -0.664 -0.0027
Northeast 1472 50.03% 52.06 1.036 78.13% -0.546 0.1138
Northwest 1115 49.28% 51.43 1.557 77.94% -0.073 0.5375
Southeast 384 49.22% 50.53 -0.315 74.74% -0.649 -0.1178
Southwest 349 49.86% 46.89 1.613 74.5% 0.241 1.2097
West 2173 52.7% 50.61 1.306 74.55% 0.093 0.8989

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 503 0.0% 39.98 -3.482 66.4% -2.365 -0.1362
Not Using Events or Tokens 9771 58.96% 41.01 0.245 73.6% 0.417 0.644
Skip Initial Invader Actions 764 7.98% 58.44 10.425 96.07% 0.991 0.0104
Start of Game Growth 1619 14.5% 55.56 4.393 94.07% 0.487 0.0302
Unlimited Undo 6478 41.5% 46.14 1.622 86.59% 0.637 0.086
Using Tokens but Not Events 7786 42.69% 44.8 1.057 84.51% 0.398 0.5531

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5247 22.65 19.1%
II 26334 31.08 68.87%
III 31302 34.66 90.05%
IV 14889 37.91 99.49%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.198 Win Model: -0.066
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 54800 53.74% 42.52 77.5%
2 16184 47.57% 44.95 84.27%
3 4074 39.93% 46.77 87.8%
4 2545 35.82% 49.62 90.49%
5 17 64.29% 57.59 82.35%
6 152 22.37% 53.21 88.16%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1002
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 27713
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 17279
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14716
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1442
Lose: Adversary condition 165
Win: Sacrifice victory 299
Lose: Scenario condition 402
Win: Scenario condition 1129
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12975
Lose: Spirit destroyed 650

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 461 50.89% 43.18 1.086 71.8% -0.042 0.401
Dahan Insurrection 4 600 30.0% 73.74 9.024 82.67% -0.55 -0.4523
Despicable Theft 2 22 68.18% 46.0 7.756 54.55% 0.24 0.7391
Elemental Invocation 1 45 57.78% 47.38 4.131 73.33% 0.027 0.5731
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2163 12.7% 54.43 2.435 89.51% -0.609 -0.3772
Powers Long Forgotten 1 128 71.09% 45.84 5.557 64.06% 0.21 0.6179
Rituals of Terror 3 138 58.7% 53.86 10.58 60.87% 0.223 -0.0129
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 81 79.01% 48.35 0.0 53.09%
Second Wave 0 1581 52.44% 46.28 -0.053 70.71% -0.893 -0.2006
The Great River 3 42 71.43% 46.74 0.0 50.0%
Varied Terrains 2 2 50.0% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
Ward the Shores 2 101 62.38% 51.39 8.698 67.33% 0.03 0.911

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2577 38.84 -4.716 62.2% -2.305 -0.3343
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1927 41.18 -2.224 65.8% -1.631 0.1467
All Things Weaken 1270 38.48 -6.568 61.89% -2.51 -0.461
Back Against the Wall 1801 39.61 -5.041 62.02% -2.357 -0.4179
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2397 35.94 -5.875 58.53% -2.256 -0.1276
Downward Spiral 5461 38.29 -4.495 63.63% -2.012 -0.0511
Erosion of Will 2465 37.41 -6.053 58.22% -2.532 -0.4503
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 521 49.32 0.176 92.32% 0.501 1.0023
Memory Fades to Dust 5556 37.25 -6.429 59.02% -2.541 -0.3998
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1294 40.34 -4.405 68.62% -2.014 -0.0336
Promising Farmlands 2563 37.26 -4.963 60.44% -2.289 -0.2672
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 370 49.32 -0.124 94.05% 0.055 0.5519
Thriving Communities 1178 37.39 -3.629 60.78% -1.695 0.3645
Tipping Point 957 35.54 0.0 54.13%
Unnatural Proliferation 1345 39.68 -4.406 64.54% -2.145 -0.1876
Untended Land Crumbles 1232 38.75 -4.623 65.02% -2.164 -0.1305

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14335 48.79% 45.94 -0.408 78.93% -0.425 0.3112
B 15840 46.29% 47.02 0.21 81.84% -0.048 0.6493
C 16100 48.51% 46.6 -0.02 80.83% -0.081 0.3886
D 13822 47.73% 46.42 -0.092 80.23% -0.1 0.609
E 6036 43.46% 48.63 0.935 86.2% 0.358 0.9021
F 7971 44.43% 47.56 0.217 83.92% -0.144 0.518
G 7175 44.87% 47.61 0.074 84.32% -0.014 0.6169
H 7322 43.16% 48.06 -0.124 84.85% -0.246 0.4182
East 1847 51.9% 52.65 -0.27 72.82% -0.689 -0.0278
Northeast 1101 50.91% 53.75 4.416 74.39% 0.276 0.9356
Northwest 830 47.28% 55.13 2.938 79.28% -0.052 0.5587
Southeast 261 50.19% 51.52 0.097 75.86% -0.075 0.4564
Southwest 246 54.88% 45.69 -1.026 66.67% -0.116 0.8528
West 1682 49.46% 55.04 1.411 75.09% 0.06 0.8655

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 407 0.0% 46.46 -7.225 74.69% -2.589 -0.3602
Not Using Events or Tokens 8416 53.45% 44.74 -0.638 74.48% 0.182 0.4085
Skip Initial Invader Actions 547 14.06% 59.79 7.23 94.52% 0.217 -0.7632
Start of Game Growth 1070 18.1% 57.03 5.172 92.15% 0.797 0.3401
Unlimited Undo 6752 44.37% 48.19 0.499 84.73% 0.355 -0.1969
Using Tokens but Not Events 6193 38.62% 47.97 -0.087 83.87% -0.025 0.1299

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7105 22.65 36.48%
II 30221 31.08 78.66%
III 22855 34.66 88.38%
IV 8765 37.91 99.63%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.399 Win Model: 0.734
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 51996 49.1% 46.12 78.79%
2 11808 47.53% 47.51 83.03%
3 3199 38.2% 49.72 88.25%
4 1879 38.21% 52.2 88.29%
5 13 46.15% 40.15 53.85%
6 51 37.25% 55.0 76.47%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2591
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 19932
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 23132
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8658
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2467
Lose: Adversary condition 80
Win: Sacrifice victory 281
Lose: Scenario condition 267
Win: Scenario condition 704
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10334
Lose: Spirit destroyed 500

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 353 74.13% 41.95 -1.435 53.82% -0.19 0.2526
Dahan Insurrection 4 446 55.61% 68.71 15.56 61.21% 0.238 0.3356
Despicable Theft 2 4 25.0% 63.5 0.0 75.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 24 87.5% 35.38 0.0 25.0%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1246 19.16% 61.06 5.102 88.04% 0.702 0.9337
Powers Long Forgotten 1 87 74.71% 48.05 7.912 52.87% 0.27 0.6773
Rituals of Terror 3 59 67.8% 62.81 15.536 54.24% 0.3 0.0639
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 59 91.53% 48.71 0.0 42.37%
Second Wave 0 881 63.1% 49.49 -2.079 62.32% -1.059 -0.3667
The Great River 3 29 62.07% 39.52 0.0 20.69%
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
Ward the Shores 2 58 75.86% 49.83 0.0 50.0%

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1585 41.76 -3.602 51.17% -1.727 0.2438
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1126 45.45 -4.949 59.06% -2.033 -0.2551
All Things Weaken 779 41.06 -4.982 51.09% -1.815 0.2339
Back Against the Wall 1117 44.4 -4.252 56.22% -1.693 0.2458
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1455 38.68 -6.927 48.04% -2.117 0.0114
Downward Spiral 4307 40.57 -5.288 51.15% -1.818 0.1429
Erosion of Will 1476 40.05 -5.105 47.09% -1.907 0.1745
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 273 55.43 2.926 88.28% 0.182 0.684
Memory Fades to Dust 4253 39.96 -5.781 48.44% -2.106 0.0346
Power Corrodes the Spirit 778 42.02 -3.185 55.14% -1.246 0.7349
Promising Farmlands 1504 38.69 -6.016 45.94% -1.991 0.0308
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 153 56.04 4.457 90.2% 0.427 0.9241
Thriving Communities 748 41.11 -3.807 53.48% -1.214 0.8455
Tipping Point 639 38.12 0.0 42.72%
Unnatural Proliferation 825 44.84 -5.133 58.42% -1.68 0.2765
Untended Land Crumbles 784 41.38 -5.678 53.83% -1.832 0.2014

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6928 63.02% 47.85 -1.438 65.36% -0.338 0.398
B 8821 54.71% 51.31 0.482 72.84% -0.074 0.6231
C 8345 64.38% 48.33 0.437 67.29% -0.029 0.4402
D 6601 63.03% 48.48 0.859 67.17% 0.16 0.8699
E 2581 56.81% 52.27 1.256 76.48% 0.209 0.7534
F 5111 46.02% 52.42 1.038 77.91% 0.12 0.7816
G 4235 49.42% 52.34 -1.252 76.74% -0.512 0.1189
H 4133 50.13% 52.35 0.422 76.29% 0.027 0.6913
East 1073 58.77% 57.63 13.235 64.68% 0.322 0.9836
Northeast 600 56.26% 57.9 13.524 66.83% 0.891 1.5508
Northwest 519 51.35% 57.51 2.183 64.74% -0.219 0.3911
Southeast 150 52.0% 57.21 -4.234 70.67% -0.342 0.1888
Southwest 142 54.93% 52.83 -4.18 63.38% -0.304 0.6644
West 966 57.1% 56.52 7.706 61.9% -0.413 0.3929

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 171 0.0% 47.61 0.447 63.16% -0.562 1.6672
Not Using Events or Tokens 5949 71.44% 45.0 -2.657 58.56% -0.152 0.0742
Skip Initial Invader Actions 279 21.18% 64.08 2.979 88.17% 0.458 -0.5219
Start of Game Growth 637 22.6% 65.05 6.671 89.01% 1.421 0.9639
Unlimited Undo 6500 35.09% 57.54 3.297 86.08% 0.712 0.161
Using Tokens but Not Events 6787 29.83% 57.0 0.429 85.69% -0.35 -0.1946

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4800 22.65 24.5%
II 16797 31.08 66.57%
III 11808 34.66 81.22%
IV 4312 37.91 99.42%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.711 Win Model: 0.274
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 29011 58.98% 49.0 67.91%
2 6635 56.69% 51.77 73.85%
3 1299 53.48% 53.63 77.52%
4 734 44.52% 57.2 80.93%
5 4 25.0% 57.0 75.0%
6 34 17.65% 66.09 88.24%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1176
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9432
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10879
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4245
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2393
Lose: Adversary condition 53
Win: Sacrifice victory 133
Lose: Scenario condition 166
Win: Scenario condition 371
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8428
Lose: Spirit destroyed 441

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 100.0% 44.5 -8.233 50.0% -0.273 0.2226
Blitz 0 706 61.89% 46.66 1.129 55.81% 0.244 0.6869
Dahan Insurrection 4 2617 80.14% 60.79 8.184 38.86% -0.076 0.0209
Despicable Theft 2 16 87.5% 41.69 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 48 83.33% 37.13 0.0 22.92%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3524 38.25% 56.62 5.546 69.69% 0.855 1.0868
Powers Long Forgotten 1 121 90.0% 37.63 -8.828 23.97% -0.461 -0.0535
Rituals of Terror 3 229 71.18% 74.42 16.639 42.79% 0.151 -0.0853
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 26 88.46% 49.81 -16.327 30.77% -0.386 -0.1597
Second Wave 0 714 72.1% 45.57 -3.363 46.5% -0.795 -0.1028
The Great River 3 40 87.5% 40.0 0.562 20.0% -0.076 1.5059
Varied Terrains 2 5 80.0% 53.8 0.822 40.0% -0.091 0.6951
Ward the Shores 2 59 89.83% 43.15 -12.429 33.9% -0.635 0.2458

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 6877 42.19 -4.545 45.8% -2.029 -0.0583
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5497 47.77 -0.403 57.18% -1.286 0.4915
All Things Weaken 3179 40.83 -3.316 43.19% -1.675 0.3743
Back Against the Wall 4537 43.32 -1.057 46.93% -1.526 0.4128
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6193 39.32 -5.886 43.11% -2.129 -0.0011
Downward Spiral 12476 41.13 -5.102 41.63% -1.965 -0.0037
Erosion of Will 6574 40.76 -5.138 42.59% -2.267 -0.1849
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 850 55.4 0.943 76.12% -1.066 -0.5639
Memory Fades to Dust 12393 40.55 -3.889 38.83% -1.762 0.3793
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3103 40.47 -3.081 43.31% -1.712 0.2683
Promising Farmlands 6244 40.19 -3.919 42.99% -1.795 0.2264
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 471 57.79 5.973 83.23% 0.495 0.992
Thriving Communities 2984 38.78 -5.536 39.75% -2.101 -0.042
Tipping Point 2485 38.06 0.0 37.42%
Unnatural Proliferation 3404 42.31 -1.793 44.57% -1.538 0.4187
Untended Land Crumbles 3063 39.68 -3.75 41.46% -1.741 0.2925

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 19200 75.16% 45.47 -1.141 52.57% -0.512 0.224
B 23543 70.57% 48.05 0.698 58.64% -0.298 0.3987
C 23096 73.52% 46.67 0.694 55.42% -0.279 0.1907
D 21810 71.84% 47.99 -0.701 58.56% -0.496 0.2133
E 8387 73.41% 48.08 0.824 59.28% -0.226 0.3181
F 11850 69.34% 49.47 0.112 62.1% -0.418 0.244
G 11264 68.78% 50.89 0.733 65.18% -0.089 0.5418
H 10539 67.2% 50.38 0.878 63.56% -0.196 0.4689
East 3992 79.45% 56.64 8.239 40.16% 0.601 1.2627
Northeast 2067 75.04% 58.74 7.514 45.48% 0.045 0.7052
Northwest 1140 71.81% 58.65 1.624 46.75% -0.731 -0.1204
Southeast 276 90.22% 42.43 -0.388 26.09% -0.632 -0.1007
Southwest 205 82.93% 35.29 -6.173 23.41% -1.028 -0.0597
West 2158 76.7% 53.94 2.861 39.48% -1.468 -0.662

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 562 0.0% 42.79 -2.027 42.7% -1.507 0.7215
Not Using Events or Tokens 11506 85.91% 43.64 -2.645 38.67% -0.38 -0.1531
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2071 19.06% 67.09 6.318 88.6% 0.368 -0.6124
Start of Game Growth 3635 24.17% 63.84 5.805 85.67% 0.943 0.4861
Unlimited Undo 9424 66.81% 52.0 3.904 66.72% 0.972 0.4202
Using Tokens but Not Events 7152 58.98% 49.3 -0.915 58.92% -0.458 -0.3033

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 17626 22.65 6.27%
II 43730 31.08 48.26%
III 39627 34.66 77.48%
IV 10253 37.91 99.57%

Number of Players

Score Model: 1.146 Win Model: 0.845
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 92375 73.34% 47.21 55.85%
2 14379 68.28% 50.15 60.89%
3 2545 73.71% 51.13 60.08%
4 1874 67.5% 53.68 63.71%
5 24 33.33% 62.88 87.5%
6 39 56.41% 57.69 76.92%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1102
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 30133
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 19735
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10102
Lose: Invader deck ran out 9001
Lose: Adversary condition 365
Win: Sacrifice victory 615
Lose: Scenario condition 821
Win: Scenario condition 1436
Lose: Blight pool ran out 35562
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2364

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-10-19 02:56:39 (Pacific Time)