The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5715 25.39% 25.6 -0.053 88.52% -0.263 -0.1164
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4152 43.57% 25.63 0.446 87.11% 0.241 0.4775
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2571 24.49% 26.87 0.404 93.08% 0.352 0.2666
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3217 14.25% 30.47 1.816 96.21% 0.55 0.1851
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2470 18.52% 28.14 0.896 94.74% 0.441 0.1965
Fractured Days Split the Sky 452 34.51% 27.29 0.884 83.19% -0.647 -0.3009
Heart of the Wildfire 3910 57.64% 21.67 -1.363 76.04% -0.314 0.0368
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5093 27.66% 26.42 0.154 90.95% 0.105 -0.1947
Lightning's Swift Strike 7395 40.63% 24.27 -0.314 82.26% -0.226 0.0424
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 735 28.57% 27.24 0.664 92.52% 0.406 0.0871
Many Minds Move as One 715 17.76% 28.84 1.208 95.52% 0.419 -0.1016
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5793 40.01% 25.61 0.085 87.55% 0.23 0.036
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2318 30.0% 25.38 -0.261 90.03% 0.068 0.1166
River Surges in Sunlight 7748 38.71% 26.55 0.678 81.05% -0.452 -0.29
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3227 29.87% 25.6 -0.161 88.94% -0.07 0.0801
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4749 52.55% 24.24 -0.133 80.94% -0.019 0.431
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3793 27.28% 27.04 0.515 90.03% -0.07 -0.1372
Shroud of Silent Mist 115 44.35% 24.1 -0.227 87.83% 0.278 0.2336
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1198 27.16% 23.72 -1.106 93.16% 0.336 0.3167
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1976 29.14% 25.49 -0.389 87.1% -0.3 -0.0841
Thunderspeaker 5319 31.48% 26.87 0.485 86.61% -0.115 -0.0569
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 910 58.81% 21.69 -1.318 85.6% 0.322 0.342
Vital Strength of the Earth 5381 31.36% 22.43 -1.585 77.4% -1.18 -0.3094
Volcano Looming High 408 33.91% 24.46 -0.51 88.24% -0.121 -0.1829

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 829 42.27% 22.85 -1.279 77.32% -0.531 0.0455
Dahan Insurrection 4 1172 20.79% 46.2 9.725 80.63% -1.404 -1.0033
Despicable Theft 2 7 28.57% 27.57 1.251 71.43% -1.065 -0.6358
Elemental Invocation 1 50 40.0% 26.14 -0.266 74.0% -0.997 -0.6156
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2079 8.0% 30.78 1.824 87.16% -1.586 -1.2203
Powers Long Forgotten 1 459 52.08% 29.09 1.623 77.78% -0.284 0.1572
Rituals of Terror 3 512 45.79% 35.65 4.958 71.68% -0.923 -0.2949
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 309 72.49% 33.25 4.256 67.64% -0.44 0.2098
Second Wave 0 977 54.35% 24.56 0.222 74.51% -0.511 -0.095
The Great River 3 68 41.18% 30.31 2.609 54.41% -2.361 -0.8897
Ward the Shores 2 444 45.25% 31.51 2.504 73.42% -0.848 0.1883

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 38745 39.5% 24.17 -0.619 82.87% -0.321 0.0378
1 Thematic 3341 41.49% 32.29 2.274 78.63% -0.457 0.0466
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8323 31.74% 25.25 -0.165 88.53% -0.033 0.1624
2 Coastline 787 33.89% 24.87 -0.282 87.04% -0.123 0.019
2 Fragment 215 38.86% 23.5 -0.712 84.19% -0.112 0.3106
2 Heart 106 39.62% 23.58 -0.662 83.96% -0.282 0.0108
2 Opposite Shores 1193 30.62% 25.95 0.112 90.95% 0.3 0.525
2 Thematic 751 37.75% 34.17 1.891 85.09% -0.085 -0.04
2 Top to Top 225 29.15% 25.5 -0.013 93.78% 0.564 0.6982
3 Coastline 12 25.0% 30.25 1.153 75.0% -0.422 -0.4551
3 Other 84 32.1% 24.3 -0.707 83.33% -0.665 -0.2493
3 Round (Default) 2491 22.46% 26.46 0.213 93.78% 0.463 0.5022
3 Sunrise 12 72.73% 24.25 0.176 91.67% 0.674 0.4508
3 Thematic 120 31.67% 35.9 1.255 85.83% -0.33 -0.6867
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 43.0 7.405 100.0% 0.244 0.4023
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 15.5 -4.669 50.0% -0.506 -0.4787
4 Other 38 16.67% 26.76 0.192 94.74% 0.106 0.2189
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 26.5 0.752 100.0% 0.177 -0.6108
4 Snake 2 0.0% 28.0 0.17 100.0% 0.009 0.133
4 Thematic 300 21.0% 36.06 0.488 94.33% 0.442 -0.6442
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1147 23.67% 26.17 0.082 92.76% 0.231 0.214
5 Other 5 20.0% 23.0 -1.024 100.0% 0.157 -0.0612
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 34.0 -1.08 100.0% 0.005 -2.8228

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1404 18.91 -4.101 62.25% -3.618 -1.5478
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1179 19.7 -3.678 63.1% -3.616 -1.6981
All Things Weaken 359 18.25 -4.327 59.89% -3.739 -1.5844
Back Against the Wall 1054 18.8 -4.044 60.44% -3.715 -1.6193
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1268 16.69 -5.258 60.8% -3.66 -1.436
Downward Spiral 5213 17.24 -4.611 63.15% -3.211 -1.1938
Erosion of Will 1310 18.3 -4.408 60.31% -3.672 -1.4627
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 171 24.35 -1.303 98.25% -0.109 0.5954
Memory Fades to Dust 5318 17.01 -4.76 59.67% -3.36 -1.1452
Power Corrodes the Spirit 401 18.68 -4.039 69.83% -3.324 -1.3035
Promising Farmlands 1348 17.2 -4.967 60.83% -3.69 -1.4777
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 102 24.53 -0.967 98.04% -0.123 0.3122
Thriving Communities 386 16.71 -5.011 62.44% -3.61 -1.5124
Tipping Point 787 17.96 -4.644 63.28% -3.532 -1.3138
Unnatural Proliferation 379 19.17 -3.792 66.49% -3.423 -1.3453
Untended Land Crumbles 370 16.98 -4.972 59.19% -3.749 -1.6502

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 13892 37.48% 24.34 -0.358 84.53% 0.181 -0.9084
B 14284 36.09% 24.66 -0.208 85.41% 0.213 -0.9719
C 14404 34.17% 24.95 -0.092 86.07% 0.221 -1.1943
D 13729 34.87% 24.83 -0.109 85.97% 0.221 -0.9556
E 2410 30.88% 25.42 -0.066 89.5% 0.218 -1.0586
F 4968 30.14% 25.39 -0.115 89.19% 0.199 -1.0435
G 4735 31.28% 25.35 -0.102 89.19% 0.264 -0.9669
H 4843 29.67% 25.49 -0.119 89.08% 0.166 -1.0736
East 1496 35.81% 35.06 2.444 84.22% 0.331 -0.6201
Northeast 1669 34.44% 34.5 2.272 84.18% 0.241 -0.6489
Northwest 1260 35.52% 33.4 1.662 84.68% 0.391 -0.5741
Southeast 201 34.0% 31.96 1.101 83.58% 0.048 -0.9531
Southwest 195 40.51% 26.45 -1.732 78.46% -0.353 -0.9607
West 1367 38.9% 34.09 1.873 81.64% 0.122 -0.5637

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 989 0.0% 22.36 -2.097 74.01% -2.73 -0.6861
Not Using Events or Tokens 15160 46.69% 22.95 -0.931 78.15% -0.444 -0.2247
Skip Initial Invader Actions 802 9.39% 33.24 2.487 94.64% 0.398 -0.3058
Start of Game Growth 1237 13.43% 31.79 2.002 94.02% 0.408 -0.0464
Unlimited Undo 3525 30.01% 26.53 0.503 89.76% 0.4 -0.0118
Using Tokens but Not Events 5190 29.83% 25.52 -0.139 87.84% -0.192 -0.2393

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3740 22.34 42.81%
II 18256 30.75 78.06%
III 25165 34.26 89.28%
IV 10745 37.47 98.68%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.066 Win Model: -0.026
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 42120 39.65% 24.82 82.54%
2 11596 32.31% 25.83 88.44%
3 2712 23.3% 26.82 93.03%
4 1478 23.05% 28.17 93.03%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1115
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 16502
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9483
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7733
Lose: Invader deck ran out 785
Win: Sacrifice victory 213
Lose: Scenario condition 408
Win: Scenario condition 1269
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7361
Lose: Spirit destroyed 431

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3906 27.72% 30.98 0.263 89.22% -0.175 -0.0291
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2564 49.09% 30.27 0.471 85.57% 0.084 0.3211
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1805 28.43% 31.69 0.551 92.3% 0.381 0.295
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2324 19.46% 34.57 1.824 95.57% 0.696 0.3305
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1732 26.64% 32.51 0.951 93.07% 0.372 0.1273
Fractured Days Split the Sky 381 37.8% 31.02 0.614 83.99% -0.628 -0.2826
Heart of the Wildfire 2802 65.41% 25.0 -1.942 72.66% -0.436 -0.0857
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3872 35.25% 30.47 0.075 89.28% 0.13 -0.1695
Lightning's Swift Strike 4625 45.7% 28.5 -0.466 80.67% -0.372 -0.1034
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 562 40.04% 30.11 0.119 89.15% 0.144 -0.1753
Many Minds Move as One 580 24.18% 33.23 1.236 93.97% 0.199 -0.3216
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3966 39.82% 31.04 0.612 89.76% 0.316 0.1211
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1653 31.24% 30.1 -0.151 89.47% -0.036 0.0126
River Surges in Sunlight 5105 44.05% 30.79 0.572 81.68% -0.381 -0.2187
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2230 36.12% 30.09 -0.124 87.44% -0.112 0.0381
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3034 59.78% 27.82 -0.506 77.39% -0.213 0.2366
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2852 31.49% 31.21 0.42 87.62% -0.2 -0.2672
Shroud of Silent Mist 86 54.65% 28.86 0.132 90.7% 0.595 0.5514
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 908 28.56% 28.77 -0.892 93.06% 0.165 0.1457
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1695 29.55% 30.87 0.201 88.67% -0.226 -0.0094
Thunderspeaker 3943 36.41% 31.51 0.584 86.03% -0.095 -0.0373
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 683 65.14% 26.74 -1.131 85.07% 0.307 0.3265
Vital Strength of the Earth 3537 36.62% 27.25 -1.385 79.64% -0.788 0.0827
Volcano Looming High 324 40.37% 28.33 -0.64 90.12% 0.178 0.1158

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 661 44.22% 26.71 -1.484 77.46% -0.55 0.0264
Dahan Insurrection 4 845 30.97% 46.97 8.249 73.14% -1.59 -1.1897
Despicable Theft 2 3 66.67% 42.67 6.859 100.0% 0.265 0.6937
Elemental Invocation 1 34 48.48% 32.12 1.499 88.24% 0.154 0.5354
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1267 11.16% 33.1 0.898 80.19% -2.027 -1.6612
Powers Long Forgotten 1 379 60.05% 31.45 0.887 71.77% -0.559 -0.1177
Rituals of Terror 3 351 46.13% 38.72 4.525 72.08% -0.98 -0.3521
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 239 76.05% 35.44 3.249 65.69% -0.581 0.0683
Second Wave 0 3892 44.19% 31.55 1.188 80.47% -0.501 -0.0849
The Great River 3 49 42.86% 37.33 3.804 69.39% -1.426 0.0458
Ward the Shores 2 406 52.23% 33.05 1.525 67.24% -1.142 -0.1058

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 24862 42.91% 28.53 -0.65 82.48% -0.411 -0.0525
1 Thematic 2490 46.64% 34.4 1.622 73.9% -0.667 -0.1632
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5512 37.14% 30.08 0.09 89.44% 0.14 0.336
2 Coastline 643 37.95% 29.93 -0.092 89.11% 0.06 0.2024
2 Fragment 183 37.91% 29.26 -0.369 86.89% -0.189 0.2332
2 Heart 98 46.39% 28.07 -0.907 77.55% -0.559 -0.2669
2 Opposite Shores 1181 35.77% 30.24 0.041 91.11% 0.265 0.4901
2 Thematic 677 44.96% 37.49 1.877 82.13% -0.029 0.0158
2 Top to Top 211 36.02% 29.49 -0.28 85.31% -0.427 -0.2927
3 Coastline 6 50.0% 38.0 3.587 100.0% 0.979 0.9452
3 Other 85 39.51% 28.48 -0.749 84.71% -0.363 0.0525
3 Round (Default) 1931 30.07% 31.13 0.196 91.82% 0.192 0.2312
3 Sunrise 15 13.33% 31.47 0.089 100.0% 0.536 0.3132
3 Thematic 108 50.94% 36.0 0.595 82.41% 0.196 -0.1612
4 Coastline 5 20.0% 41.0 4.186 100.0% 0.193 0.3518
4 Leaf 6 33.33% 34.0 0.829 100.0% 0.497 0.525
4 Other 53 30.19% 31.62 -0.076 88.68% -0.199 -0.0857
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 36.0 1.188 100.0% 0.005 -0.7836
4 Thematic 160 39.87% 37.01 -0.054 85.63% 0.047 -1.0391
4 Trapezoid (Default) 875 27.57% 31.78 0.297 91.89% 0.178 0.1612
5 Other 7 14.29% 34.14 0.725 85.71% -0.409 -0.6271

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1112 22.9 -4.391 61.96% -3.411 -1.3408
Aid From Lesser Spirits 887 24.53 -3.52 65.84% -3.252 -1.3333
All Things Weaken 337 23.86 -3.83 66.77% -3.29 -1.1356
Back Against the Wall 917 23.65 -3.936 63.36% -3.382 -1.2862
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1120 20.84 -5.504 59.91% -3.534 -1.3098
Downward Spiral 3463 22.32 -4.399 67.48% -3.029 -1.0123
Erosion of Will 1177 22.79 -4.454 61.43% -3.453 -1.2438
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 143 30.41 -0.554 97.2% -0.285 0.4191
Memory Fades to Dust 3477 21.8 -4.664 62.99% -3.262 -1.0471
Power Corrodes the Spirit 315 23.36 -3.952 71.43% -3.076 -1.0555
Promising Farmlands 1100 21.58 -4.947 62.91% -3.345 -1.1329
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 105 29.39 -0.959 97.14% -0.372 0.0636
Thriving Communities 316 22.39 -4.531 66.46% -3.226 -1.128
Tipping Point 669 20.79 -5.408 57.55% -3.563 -1.345
Unnatural Proliferation 347 24.59 -3.4 71.47% -3.049 -0.9716
Untended Land Crumbles 338 22.8 -4.308 68.93% -3.135 -1.0367

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9452 41.31% 28.92 -0.363 84.38% 0.177 -0.9126
B 9685 39.41% 29.33 -0.134 85.62% 0.244 -0.9411
C 9974 39.59% 29.59 0.036 86.57% 0.388 -1.0265
D 9438 39.51% 29.42 -0.085 86.0% 0.288 -0.8894
E 1845 34.64% 30.14 0.022 89.38% 0.297 -0.9797
F 3452 32.48% 30.36 0.025 88.41% 0.111 -1.1323
G 3252 35.15% 30.24 0.033 89.18% 0.365 -0.8659
H 3453 32.9% 30.33 -0.035 88.59% 0.151 -1.0894
East 1121 42.27% 37.73 2.395 80.37% 0.342 -0.6083
Northeast 1228 43.29% 36.09 1.562 77.93% 0.05 -0.84
Northwest 991 44.31% 36.13 1.734 80.22% 0.397 -0.5683
Southeast 179 44.69% 34.29 0.705 80.45% 0.091 -0.9104
Southwest 181 52.49% 30.06 -1.33 75.69% 0.046 -0.562
West 981 53.27% 34.88 0.868 74.21% -0.039 -0.7246

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 530 0.0% 25.82 -2.872 70.75% -3.043 -0.9994
Not Using Events or Tokens 8297 47.52% 27.68 -0.774 79.72% -0.26 -0.0406
Skip Initial Invader Actions 496 12.29% 39.68 2.889 93.75% -0.045 -0.7492
Start of Game Growth 837 14.99% 37.7 2.577 94.86% 0.976 0.5214
Unlimited Undo 2824 34.51% 30.74 0.303 88.31% 0.178 -0.2339
Using Tokens but Not Events 3742 34.45% 30.02 -0.066 88.78% 0.101 0.0533

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2011 22.34 25.01%
II 9993 30.75 71.74%
III 18101 34.26 90.09%
IV 9004 37.47 98.6%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.147 Win Model: -0.096
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 27373 43.26% 29.07 81.7%
2 8498 37.71% 30.63 88.77%
3 2152 31.27% 31.29 91.22%
4 1086 29.48% 32.61 90.7%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 354
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11882
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4791
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6464
Lose: Invader deck ran out 399
Win: Sacrifice victory 170
Lose: Scenario condition 368
Win: Scenario condition 888
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5143
Lose: Spirit destroyed 342

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4708 32.49% 39.54 0.27 89.25% -0.021 0.1254
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3428 56.33% 37.88 0.156 82.53% -0.024 0.2125
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2318 34.82% 39.82 0.498 90.6% 0.211 0.1255
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3333 25.65% 43.42 2.017 94.45% 0.594 0.2294
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2371 31.13% 41.88 1.375 92.62% 0.437 0.1925
Fractured Days Split the Sky 480 37.5% 41.71 1.357 87.5% -0.126 0.2194
Heart of the Wildfire 3790 64.43% 33.83 -1.745 75.12% -0.348 0.0021
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5630 40.13% 38.55 -0.02 87.28% 0.006 -0.2932
Lightning's Swift Strike 5475 48.22% 37.56 -0.244 82.3% -0.195 0.0734
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 973 40.6% 40.05 0.643 89.62% 0.323 0.0042
Many Minds Move as One 841 24.02% 42.59 1.66 95.6% 0.635 0.115
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5245 48.1% 38.58 0.143 85.61% 0.041 -0.1536
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2400 35.28% 39.73 0.451 90.54% 0.279 0.3278
River Surges in Sunlight 6525 48.96% 39.37 0.634 82.68% -0.17 -0.0077
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3253 42.76% 38.14 -0.2 86.07% -0.058 0.0914
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3360 61.35% 36.01 -0.742 76.67% -0.294 0.1558
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4090 35.92% 40.02 0.647 87.58% -0.101 -0.1685
Shroud of Silent Mist 106 66.04% 33.99 -1.311 78.3% -0.171 -0.2147
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1494 34.38% 37.31 -0.915 90.76% 0.159 0.1395
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1904 35.76% 39.72 0.127 87.39% -0.168 0.0478
Thunderspeaker 4812 40.84% 40.29 0.698 86.55% 0.045 0.103
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1137 72.82% 32.59 -2.181 76.34% -0.253 -0.2337
Vital Strength of the Earth 4057 39.8% 35.53 -1.476 80.31% -0.687 0.1836
Volcano Looming High 522 45.79% 36.92 -0.626 87.16% -0.01 -0.0721

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 733 51.72% 34.93 -1.791 75.31% -0.669 -0.0923
Dahan Insurrection 4 766 30.66% 58.42 9.405 80.55% -1.059 -0.6586
Despicable Theft 2 3 33.33% 36.0 -0.682 66.67% -0.637 -0.2082
Elemental Invocation 1 54 61.11% 35.0 -1.575 68.52% -1.192 -0.8114
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2376 9.69% 44.2 1.904 87.46% -1.524 -1.1581
Powers Long Forgotten 1 353 61.93% 40.24 1.047 75.64% -0.41 0.0315
Rituals of Terror 3 257 58.43% 45.89 3.91 68.48% -0.904 -0.2761
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 138 68.84% 46.9 4.9 76.09% -0.199 0.451
Second Wave 0 3163 48.72% 38.35 0.222 74.83% -0.915 -0.4985
The Great River 3 72 51.39% 42.61 2.227 61.11% -2.067 -0.5959
Ward the Shores 2 352 45.71% 45.36 2.813 79.55% -0.598 0.4381

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 30871 47.24% 36.99 -0.553 82.2% -0.172 0.1869
1 Thematic 2340 49.91% 42.74 1.589 76.88% -0.359 0.1451
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7159 44.27% 38.07 -0.047 87.3% -0.04 0.1557
2 Coastline 821 41.69% 38.57 -0.074 86.6% -0.182 -0.0399
2 Fragment 186 46.2% 36.81 -0.734 84.95% -0.286 0.1368
2 Heart 83 51.22% 38.11 -0.053 87.95% 0.071 0.3635
2 Opposite Shores 1714 39.27% 38.8 0.1 89.09% 0.025 0.2499
2 Thematic 895 45.13% 44.96 1.39 79.55% -0.416 -0.371
2 Top to Top 243 37.19% 39.94 0.661 90.53% 0.161 0.2958
3 Coastline 14 50.0% 41.14 1.236 85.71% 0.242 0.2081
3 Other 202 45.05% 40.4 0.542 94.55% 0.404 0.8195
3 Round (Default) 2802 36.16% 39.33 0.123 90.15% -0.094 -0.055
3 Sunrise 24 33.33% 40.92 0.754 95.83% 0.402 0.1787
3 Thematic 165 42.07% 46.63 1.477 84.85% -0.3 -0.6572
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 43.0 1.425 100.0% 0.101 0.2597
4 Leaf 10 10.0% 47.8 2.315 100.0% 0.2 0.2275
4 Other 67 55.22% 40.03 0.353 89.55% -0.034 0.0796
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 43.0 -0.044 100.0% 0.004 -0.7839
4 Snake 1 0.0% 62.0 7.139 100.0% 0.055 0.1795
4 Thematic 321 44.73% 48.13 0.885 88.47% -0.226 -1.3123
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1409 30.42% 40.8 0.518 91.13% -0.399 -0.4158
5 Coastline 1 100.0% 40.0 2.232 100.0% 0.07 -0.0114
5 Other 11 27.27% 42.73 1.203 100.0% 0.172 -0.047
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 52.0 3.509 100.0% 0.636 -2.1915

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1696 30.19 -4.94 63.56% -3.418 -1.348
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1399 32.25 -4.014 66.19% -3.355 -1.4367
All Things Weaken 540 29.56 -5.187 63.52% -3.533 -1.3786
Back Against the Wall 1357 31.28 -4.499 64.55% -3.479 -1.3824
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1550 27.77 -6.183 61.94% -3.509 -1.2849
Downward Spiral 4335 30.58 -4.617 69.94% -2.971 -0.9545
Erosion of Will 1746 30.33 -4.936 63.4% -3.437 -1.2278
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 233 39.7 -0.103 98.28% 0.084 0.7886
Memory Fades to Dust 4425 30.23 -4.823 66.89% -3.121 -0.9057
Power Corrodes the Spirit 494 30.33 -4.737 69.03% -3.218 -1.1975
Promising Farmlands 1710 30.06 -5.068 67.25% -3.32 -1.1069
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 146 39.83 -0.209 97.26% -0.423 0.0123
Thriving Communities 526 29.71 -5.228 66.92% -3.337 -1.239
Tipping Point 968 29.86 -5.139 64.67% -3.336 -1.1182
Unnatural Proliferation 528 30.37 -4.773 64.58% -3.468 -1.3905
Untended Land Crumbles 509 30.88 -4.542 70.14% -3.172 -1.0738

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12230 45.23% 37.42 -0.346 83.85% 0.146 -0.9434
B 12828 43.96% 37.84 -0.102 85.31% 0.255 -0.9303
C 13066 44.59% 37.82 -0.061 85.11% 0.279 -1.1361
D 12152 44.21% 37.95 -0.015 85.49% 0.298 -0.8792
E 2534 40.92% 39.12 0.333 89.07% 0.414 -0.8633
F 4799 38.77% 38.88 0.125 88.16% 0.272 -0.9712
G 4377 39.19% 38.83 0.049 88.12% 0.291 -0.9399
H 4596 38.42% 39.1 0.123 88.47% 0.256 -0.9835
East 1514 45.24% 45.83 1.802 79.72% 0.04 -0.911
Northeast 1374 44.44% 45.77 1.827 82.75% 0.302 -0.5877
Northwest 1162 45.31% 45.7 1.811 84.25% 0.51 -0.4547
Southeast 222 46.4% 42.36 0.368 79.28% 0.022 -0.9793
Southwest 206 46.6% 39.43 -1.137 77.67% 0.03 -0.5778
West 1302 50.7% 44.85 1.245 78.88% 0.181 -0.5054

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 457 0.0% 35.98 -2.489 76.59% -2.84 -0.796
Not Using Events or Tokens 8109 52.88% 36.23 -0.771 80.12% -0.301 -0.082
Skip Initial Invader Actions 610 9.57% 49.46 3.5 96.07% 0.505 -0.1995
Start of Game Growth 1068 15.31% 46.82 2.562 94.66% 0.593 0.1391
Unlimited Undo 3844 39.17% 39.37 0.489 88.32% 0.258 -0.1548
Using Tokens but Not Events 4423 39.04% 38.34 -0.225 87.04% -0.104 -0.1515

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2858 22.34 31.18%
II 12846 30.75 68.98%
III 22097 34.26 91.23%
IV 11546 37.47 99.3%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.193 Win Model: 0.104
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 33251 47.43% 37.4 81.84%
2 11099 43.27% 38.79 86.93%
3 3185 37.11% 39.79 90.11%
4 1812 33.58% 42.2 90.84%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 617
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14736
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5873
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8585
Lose: Invader deck ran out 427
Win: Sacrifice victory 180
Lose: Scenario condition 358
Win: Scenario condition 897
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6819
Lose: Spirit destroyed 366

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4564 36.24% 45.96 0.568 85.93% -0.143 0.0037
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3081 67.05% 42.22 -0.196 77.05% 0.003 0.2398
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2239 42.38% 45.55 0.625 87.76% 0.316 0.2302
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3382 28.09% 49.82 2.446 93.73% 0.727 0.3621
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2324 33.93% 49.07 2.15 92.47% 0.717 0.4727
Fractured Days Split the Sky 521 45.49% 45.93 0.938 76.39% -0.653 -0.3069
Heart of the Wildfire 3967 70.29% 37.87 -2.569 67.05% -0.491 -0.1408
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6763 45.64% 45.02 0.557 85.47% 0.175 -0.1244
Lightning's Swift Strike 4896 56.57% 42.15 -0.632 76.74% -0.231 0.038
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1051 46.24% 45.94 0.902 87.16% 0.306 -0.013
Many Minds Move as One 908 30.18% 49.33 2.274 94.38% 0.82 0.3001
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5383 51.39% 44.66 0.379 83.6% 0.124 -0.0708
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2364 42.3% 44.73 0.257 86.25% 0.134 0.1833
River Surges in Sunlight 6725 52.72% 45.0 0.654 77.12% -0.316 -0.1539
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3186 45.05% 44.81 0.095 84.15% -0.027 0.1228
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2966 68.15% 40.3 -1.257 70.5% -0.339 0.111
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4288 39.71% 46.09 0.997 84.82% -0.094 -0.1613
Shroud of Silent Mist 81 72.84% 37.72 -2.139 67.9% -0.327 -0.3707
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1653 41.98% 42.76 -0.928 86.39% 0.028 0.0094
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2060 40.35% 45.61 0.354 85.1% -0.091 0.1253
Thunderspeaker 4323 46.85% 46.03 0.807 82.77% 0.013 0.0701
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1242 81.61% 38.02 -1.915 73.99% 0.049 0.069
Vital Strength of the Earth 3775 49.28% 40.32 -1.702 71.95% -0.808 0.0627
Volcano Looming High 599 54.27% 41.16 -1.003 79.8% -0.155 -0.2168

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 573 58.24% 38.29 -2.789 66.14% -0.799 -0.2218
Dahan Insurrection 4 879 34.63% 65.39 10.077 80.77% -0.579 -0.1781
Despicable Theft 2 9 88.89% 23.56 -8.382 11.11% -1.637 -1.2082
Elemental Invocation 1 23 69.57% 40.83 -0.822 69.57% -0.325 0.0563
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2501 11.83% 51.29 2.677 89.28% -0.846 -0.4806
Powers Long Forgotten 1 203 70.44% 44.59 0.386 66.5% -0.506 -0.0644
Rituals of Terror 3 139 65.47% 49.99 3.007 63.31% -0.79 -0.1614
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 106 82.08% 44.48 0.983 52.83% -0.788 -0.1381
Second Wave 0 2152 54.08% 43.42 -0.115 70.31% -0.868 -0.4518
The Great River 3 27 59.26% 43.33 -0.291 48.15% -1.888 -0.4171
Ward the Shores 2 157 62.82% 47.26 1.388 64.33% -0.855 0.1814

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 33645 54.19% 41.91 -0.734 76.84% -0.39 -0.0308
1 Thematic 1773 50.4% 48.79 1.597 73.66% -0.555 -0.0518
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7280 47.5% 44.44 0.234 84.64% 0.002 0.1977
2 Coastline 904 44.32% 45.29 0.35 86.73% 0.097 0.2396
2 Fragment 154 54.61% 41.06 -1.021 75.97% -0.282 0.1407
2 Heart 67 61.19% 43.61 0.131 85.07% 0.195 0.4876
2 Opposite Shores 1543 44.92% 45.31 0.281 85.87% 0.037 0.2614
2 Thematic 665 58.89% 48.27 0.571 71.88% -0.395 -0.3503
2 Top to Top 239 47.06% 44.15 -0.092 83.68% -0.114 0.0208
3 Coastline 33 21.21% 51.15 1.671 90.91% -0.125 -0.1582
3 Other 137 41.91% 46.04 0.302 91.97% 0.235 0.6502
3 Round (Default) 2381 40.14% 46.41 0.474 88.32% 0.149 0.1883
3 Sunrise 17 29.41% 46.88 0.179 88.24% -0.23 -0.453
3 Thematic 114 57.89% 52.39 1.844 82.46% 0.232 -0.125
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 44.33 0.147 100.0% 0.285 0.4438
4 Leaf 7 57.14% 43.0 -0.924 71.43% -0.395 -0.3675
4 Other 57 45.61% 46.35 0.337 91.23% 0.244 0.3574
4 Snake 3 33.33% 50.0 1.693 100.0% 0.183 0.3067
4 Thematic 239 40.76% 54.92 1.126 85.77% 0.226 -0.86
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1501 34.77% 49.04 1.055 91.41% 0.315 0.2982
5 Other 14 35.71% 48.79 0.725 100.0% 0.433 0.2149
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 54.0 2.137 100.0% 0.454 -2.3738

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2088 35.56 -5.039 60.92% -3.171 -1.1006
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1601 37.8 -4.047 64.65% -3.032 -1.1135
All Things Weaken 687 34.04 -5.614 58.52% -3.289 -1.1343
Back Against the Wall 1597 36.19 -4.854 59.86% -3.27 -1.1743
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1927 33.06 -6.22 59.06% -3.229 -1.0055
Downward Spiral 4752 35.86 -4.677 65.51% -2.774 -0.7568
Erosion of Will 2021 34.91 -5.37 58.88% -3.248 -1.0382
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 257 45.61 -0.142 93.39% -1.004 -0.2994
Memory Fades to Dust 4861 34.51 -5.392 60.32% -3.029 -0.8142
Power Corrodes the Spirit 664 33.73 -5.697 59.64% -3.207 -1.1871
Promising Farmlands 2068 35.08 -5.29 62.96% -3.069 -0.8566
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 177 46.27 0.194 94.92% -0.694 -0.2582
Thriving Communities 648 35.13 -5.11 64.81% -3.034 -0.9366
Tipping Point 1156 34.38 -5.542 59.69% -3.158 -0.9396
Unnatural Proliferation 718 36.83 -4.184 66.43% -2.998 -0.92
Untended Land Crumbles 656 34.37 -5.523 61.43% -3.183 -1.0844

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12235 51.11% 43.01 -0.337 79.51% 0.333 -0.7562
B 12928 48.66% 43.98 0.227 82.02% 0.496 -0.6893
C 13394 49.92% 43.77 0.213 81.69% 0.526 -0.889
D 11664 50.39% 43.38 -0.012 80.64% 0.421 -0.7556
E 2837 46.66% 44.32 0.149 83.79% 0.399 -0.8779
F 5222 44.53% 44.76 0.249 84.43% 0.441 -0.8021
G 4928 45.78% 44.63 0.181 84.52% 0.479 -0.752
H 5020 43.49% 45.25 0.377 85.0% 0.436 -0.804
East 1085 50.83% 51.47 1.779 75.58% 0.274 -0.6766
Northeast 1047 49.81% 51.79 2.036 79.08% 0.528 -0.3621
Northwest 838 49.82% 50.68 1.446 78.16% 0.518 -0.4472
Southeast 199 54.77% 48.28 0.596 75.38% 0.454 -0.5478
Southwest 195 53.33% 43.45 -1.92 73.85% 0.14 -0.4679
West 908 55.85% 49.72 0.737 73.35% 0.213 -0.473

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 351 0.0% 39.6 -3.695 66.1% -3.035 -0.9909
Not Using Events or Tokens 6814 60.59% 40.31 -1.202 72.7% -0.297 -0.0777
Skip Initial Invader Actions 639 6.92% 58.7 4.604 96.87% 0.699 -0.005
Start of Game Growth 1198 11.74% 55.71 3.652 95.33% 0.787 0.3327
Unlimited Undo 4074 42.53% 45.69 0.839 85.52% 0.287 -0.1248
Using Tokens but Not Events 4689 45.59% 44.06 0.017 83.0% 0.015 -0.033

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3566 22.34 19.88%
II 17306 30.75 68.47%
III 20353 34.26 89.65%
IV 9556 37.47 99.46%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.365 Win Model: -0.259
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 35475 54.0% 42.26 76.71%
2 10856 47.73% 44.81 84.08%
3 2646 40.59% 46.7 88.13%
4 1804 35.78% 49.75 90.69%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 495
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13822
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8199
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7169
Lose: Invader deck ran out 973
Win: Sacrifice victory 189
Lose: Scenario condition 274
Win: Scenario condition 811
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8772
Lose: Spirit destroyed 453

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3313 35.73% 47.9 0.127 82.89% -0.377 -0.2307
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2558 66.94% 44.05 -0.785 74.98% -0.065 0.1718
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1939 42.95% 47.88 0.399 85.92% 0.217 0.1317
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2970 26.81% 52.96 2.451 93.94% 0.829 0.4642
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2213 33.09% 50.29 1.426 89.52% 0.321 0.0764
Fractured Days Split the Sky 528 35.98% 52.6 2.496 85.61% -0.18 0.1661
Heart of the Wildfire 3087 70.86% 40.43 -2.605 67.99% -0.361 -0.0107
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6217 42.51% 48.39 0.59 85.7% 0.181 -0.1188
Lightning's Swift Strike 4518 47.69% 46.57 -0.068 80.41% -0.095 0.1738
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1200 43.67% 49.28 1.002 87.83% 0.328 0.009
Many Minds Move as One 770 28.61% 52.46 2.146 95.32% 0.949 0.4284
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4357 50.53% 47.14 0.032 82.05% 0.041 -0.1531
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2037 42.79% 46.95 -0.152 83.31% -0.098 -0.0496
River Surges in Sunlight 4892 52.44% 48.25 0.815 77.82% -0.226 -0.0643
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2420 45.95% 46.54 -0.501 80.79% -0.188 -0.0386
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2006 66.7% 42.41 -1.835 68.0% -0.394 0.0554
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5114 30.57% 50.84 1.782 87.86% 0.065 -0.0019
Shroud of Silent Mist 77 68.83% 42.84 -1.497 77.92% -0.004 -0.0483
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1732 33.33% 47.39 -0.417 90.82% 0.305 0.2857
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1845 42.37% 48.03 0.231 83.04% -0.154 0.062
Thunderspeaker 3285 45.99% 48.25 0.586 82.22% 0.024 0.0814
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1098 81.97% 40.63 -2.207 73.22% 0.011 0.0309
Vital Strength of the Earth 2408 51.98% 39.95 -3.385 59.8% -1.415 -0.5445
Volcano Looming High 698 49.43% 46.66 -0.073 85.96% 0.23 0.1674

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 350 63.53% 40.01 -2.982 65.43% -0.548 0.0292
Dahan Insurrection 4 469 38.23% 68.27 10.046 78.46% -0.427 -0.0258
Elemental Invocation 1 19 47.37% 48.16 0.356 84.21% 0.059 0.4398
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1848 11.27% 53.9 2.548 89.07% -0.552 -0.1858
Powers Long Forgotten 1 148 70.27% 45.37 -0.298 63.51% -0.704 -0.2628
Rituals of Terror 3 124 59.68% 55.91 4.47 66.13% -0.561 0.0671
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 87 78.16% 48.66 1.569 52.87% -0.723 -0.0738
Second Wave 0 1406 53.0% 46.28 -0.245 70.34% -0.745 -0.3292
The Great River 3 25 68.0% 46.04 -0.656 48.0% -1.832 -0.3602
Ward the Shores 2 116 69.83% 49.16 1.243 62.07% -0.586 0.4507

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 32502 47.87% 45.98 -0.483 79.17% -0.257 0.1015
1 Thematic 1253 54.79% 50.63 1.183 69.03% -0.575 -0.0708
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5308 48.68% 46.83 -0.006 82.31% -0.028 0.1674
2 Coastline 831 40.48% 48.26 0.297 86.28% 0.096 0.2387
2 Fragment 108 49.07% 47.36 0.051 81.48% -0.064 0.3579
2 Heart 58 42.11% 48.09 0.039 86.21% -0.18 0.1128
2 Opposite Shores 914 47.35% 46.67 -0.238 82.6% -0.081 0.1434
2 Thematic 439 56.52% 51.1 0.917 73.12% -0.323 -0.2788
2 Top to Top 164 45.4% 47.17 -0.201 82.93% -0.11 0.024
3 Coastline 42 16.67% 57.24 3.495 100.0% 1.096 1.0628
3 Other 78 56.41% 46.46 -0.622 83.33% -0.242 0.1735
3 Round (Default) 2019 37.23% 49.26 0.656 89.05% 0.238 0.2765
3 Sunrise 8 12.5% 48.88 -0.132 87.5% -0.206 -0.4297
3 Thematic 80 61.25% 50.16 0.105 71.25% -0.267 -0.624
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 66.0 7.014 100.0% 0.173 0.331
4 Leaf 4 50.0% 51.75 2.49 100.0% 0.385 0.4127
4 Other 40 30.0% 50.85 0.73 87.5% -0.013 0.0998
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 -10.11 0.0% -0.26 -0.1361
4 Thematic 266 43.77% 57.05 1.173 85.71% 0.328 -0.7585
4 Trapezoid (Default) 992 36.36% 50.61 0.867 89.82% 0.251 0.2343
5 Other 12 20.0% 50.58 0.345 91.67% -0.376 -0.5941
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 57.33 2.773 100.0% 0.449 -2.3783

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1788 38.56 -5.193 61.41% -2.841 -0.7708
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1303 41.26 -3.928 66.54% -2.668 -0.75
All Things Weaken 583 38.49 -5.188 62.78% -2.892 -0.7377
Back Against the Wall 1183 39.06 -4.999 60.19% -2.955 -0.8584
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1631 36.09 -6.471 58.98% -2.963 -0.7391
Downward Spiral 3829 38.36 -5.138 63.8% -2.564 -0.5471
Erosion of Will 1652 37.66 -5.675 58.78% -2.961 -0.7514
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 236 49.02 -0.098 91.95% -0.973 -0.269
Memory Fades to Dust 3898 36.99 -5.818 58.36% -2.788 -0.5727
Power Corrodes the Spirit 583 40.36 -4.247 70.15% -2.533 -0.5129
Promising Farmlands 1719 36.69 -6.109 59.05% -2.947 -0.7342
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 182 48.55 -0.271 94.51% -0.534 -0.0983
Thriving Communities 549 37.23 -5.828 61.02% -2.937 -0.839
Tipping Point 957 35.54 -6.636 54.13% -3.065 -0.8473
Unnatural Proliferation 596 39.98 -4.342 67.28% -2.663 -0.5851
Untended Land Crumbles 515 39.82 -4.516 68.74% -2.629 -0.5299

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9768 48.6% 45.86 -0.451 79.01% 0.175 -0.9144
B 10872 45.43% 46.99 0.168 82.03% 0.367 -0.8182
C 11020 48.29% 46.41 -0.031 80.44% 0.328 -1.087
D 9793 47.35% 46.4 -0.104 80.16% 0.256 -0.9215
E 2921 41.76% 48.47 0.535 86.61% 0.397 -0.88
F 4716 41.56% 48.08 0.368 85.64% 0.392 -0.8505
G 4390 42.24% 48.09 0.357 85.44% 0.394 -0.8368
H 4528 41.16% 48.4 0.424 85.62% 0.371 -0.8685
East 857 50.0% 54.19 1.87 76.78% 0.266 -0.6846
Northeast 802 53.57% 52.56 0.855 73.69% 0.082 -0.8083
Northwest 609 50.83% 53.44 1.208 78.16% 0.436 -0.5287
Southeast 163 54.6% 49.73 0.146 76.07% 0.271 -0.7308
Southwest 145 57.93% 43.24 -3.481 64.83% -0.556 -1.1646
West 791 53.23% 53.81 1.57 75.47% 0.283 -0.4033

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 309 0.0% 48.77 -0.811 79.94% -1.941 0.1026
Not Using Events or Tokens 5900 53.2% 44.26 -0.9 74.37% -0.256 -0.0372
Skip Initial Invader Actions 437 10.76% 60.31 3.969 95.88% 0.697 -0.007
Start of Game Growth 767 14.43% 57.69 2.846 93.48% 0.303 -0.1516
Unlimited Undo 4264 42.82% 48.33 0.562 84.57% 0.207 -0.2057
Using Tokens but Not Events 4283 40.2% 47.3 0.049 83.03% -0.083 -0.1308

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4644 22.34 36.89%
II 20138 30.75 78.89%
III 14854 34.26 88.29%
IV 5488 37.47 99.53%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.291 Win Model: -0.057
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 33789 48.14% 46.16 78.81%
2 7819 48.02% 47.22 82.29%
3 2209 38.15% 49.35 88.32%
4 1307 37.34% 51.95 88.98%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1255
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10234
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11970
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4175
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1647
Win: Sacrifice victory 168
Lose: Scenario condition 193
Win: Scenario condition 440
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6767
Lose: Spirit destroyed 340

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1875 46.36% 51.73 0.338 73.01% -0.278 -0.1317
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1136 78.36% 47.24 -0.627 64.52% 0.093 0.3301
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1623 43.37% 53.22 0.612 78.0% 0.005 -0.081
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1946 38.52% 57.38 2.899 86.07% 0.59 0.2247
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 984 47.96% 54.04 1.306 78.15% 0.184 -0.0603
Fractured Days Split the Sky 214 56.54% 52.6 1.274 66.36% -0.446 -0.1004
Heart of the Wildfire 1879 71.41% 44.43 -2.564 61.58% -0.212 0.1384
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2796 59.2% 49.51 -0.386 69.92% -0.03 -0.3301
Lightning's Swift Strike 2351 68.63% 46.32 -1.51 61.76% -0.235 0.0331
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 581 51.64% 54.34 1.504 81.41% 0.419 0.0995
Many Minds Move as One 334 38.62% 58.55 3.365 91.62% 1.068 0.5474
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2337 57.68% 51.26 0.676 72.91% 0.16 -0.0345
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 919 58.95% 48.97 -0.612 68.99% -0.162 -0.1127
River Surges in Sunlight 2830 64.14% 51.68 1.245 67.46% 0.004 0.1661
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1247 56.52% 50.37 -0.05 72.09% 0.034 0.1839
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1720 83.71% 43.79 -1.732 56.8% -0.091 0.3586
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2729 37.07% 56.47 2.647 80.87% 0.15 0.0828
Shroud of Silent Mist 16 93.75% 36.13 -5.16 43.75% -0.337 -0.3815
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1543 37.27% 52.21 0.367 82.44% 0.197 0.1779
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1293 48.84% 51.9 0.765 73.78% -0.06 0.1565
Thunderspeaker 1845 57.24% 51.79 1.009 71.38% 0.06 0.1175
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 949 87.25% 45.19 -1.242 64.91% 0.285 0.3051
Vital Strength of the Earth 1303 67.39% 41.15 -4.072 43.75% -1.314 -0.4435
Volcano Looming High 338 67.75% 48.95 -0.155 72.49% 0.238 0.1762

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 335 77.41% 40.27 -4.301 50.15% -0.738 -0.1612
Dahan Insurrection 4 420 59.19% 65.81 7.474 62.38% -0.482 -0.0814
Elemental Invocation 1 7 71.43% 46.86 -2.371 57.14% -0.673 -0.2917
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1028 19.77% 59.83 3.771 85.8% 0.07 0.4356
Powers Long Forgotten 1 79 78.48% 47.99 -0.368 53.16% -0.289 0.1528
Rituals of Terror 3 57 75.44% 55.91 3.521 50.88% -0.289 0.3389
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 64 90.63% 48.83 0.8 42.19% -0.315 0.3349
Second Wave 0 774 63.64% 50.11 0.327 63.7% -0.24 0.1763
The Great River 3 25 56.0% 39.68 -6.216 20.0% -2.865 -1.3938
Ward the Shores 2 46 76.09% 54.46 2.879 58.7% 0.038 1.0741

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 19387 58.99% 48.84 -0.79 68.56% 0.125 0.4836
1 Thematic 789 67.3% 52.4 0.775 56.78% 0.196 0.6992
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3487 54.37% 51.85 0.745 74.45% 0.024 0.2202
2 Coastline 394 57.36% 50.44 -0.025 69.04% -0.221 -0.0786
2 Fragment 54 66.04% 48.37 -0.379 68.52% -0.091 0.3311
2 Heart 23 56.52% 46.43 -2.505 60.87% -0.841 -0.5487
2 Opposite Shores 607 60.73% 50.29 0.02 71.99% -0.065 0.1601
2 Thematic 232 69.26% 53.06 0.114 57.76% 0.231 0.2752
2 Top to Top 69 58.82% 51.97 0.625 76.81% 0.23 0.3643
3 Coastline 10 30.0% 66.6 6.77 100.0% 0.88 0.8468
3 Other 25 68.0% 54.2 2.28 76.0% 0.192 0.6071
3 Round (Default) 840 55.36% 52.3 0.636 76.07% -0.26 -0.2209
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 51.33 0.536 66.67% -0.263 -0.4867
3 Thematic 31 54.84% 58.42 1.093 67.74% 0.046 -0.311
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 64.33 5.511 100.0% 0.061 0.2196
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 20.0 -13.94 0.0% -0.729 -0.7014
4 Other 7 71.43% 59.29 3.486 100.0% 0.58 0.6932
4 Thematic 129 31.01% 64.32 1.337 80.62% 0.144 -0.9422
4 Trapezoid (Default) 406 48.98% 53.77 0.913 78.33% -0.486 -0.5032
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 69.0 7.049 100.0% 0.014 -0.0671
5 Other 1 0.0% 68.0 5.483 100.0% 0.026 -0.1921
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 90.0 14.7 100.0% 0.237 -2.5912

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1162 41.25 -5.459 50.34% -2.538 -0.4675
Aid From Lesser Spirits 790 45.83 -3.312 59.87% -2.158 -0.2393
All Things Weaken 443 42.15 -5.313 53.95% -2.546 -0.391
Back Against the Wall 818 44.51 -3.984 56.6% -2.294 -0.1982
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1066 38.81 -6.757 48.31% -2.632 -0.4081
Downward Spiral 3149 40.94 -5.479 52.37% -2.443 -0.4265
Erosion of Will 1084 40.21 -6.056 47.32% -2.665 -0.455
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 160 54.41 0.778 88.13% -0.694 0.0109
Memory Fades to Dust 3187 40.18 -5.931 49.23% -2.58 -0.3651
Power Corrodes the Spirit 424 42.87 -4.835 58.02% -2.363 -0.3435
Promising Farmlands 1091 38.59 -6.811 45.37% -2.749 -0.5365
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 81 55.59 1.225 90.12% -0.444 -0.0087
Thriving Communities 409 40.74 -5.987 53.79% -2.604 -0.506
Tipping Point 639 38.12 -7.078 42.72% -2.785 -0.5665
Unnatural Proliferation 448 45.84 -3.311 61.38% -2.239 -0.1613
Untended Land Crumbles 430 41.49 -5.579 54.42% -2.564 -0.4656

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4971 62.55% 47.99 -0.732 65.78% 0.05 -1.0399
B 6462 55.23% 51.13 0.561 72.36% 0.268 -0.9176
C 6240 65.12% 48.09 -0.179 66.89% 0.247 -1.168
D 4848 62.73% 48.34 -0.391 66.81% 0.147 -1.0304
E 1312 57.01% 52.06 0.843 76.45% 0.395 -0.8816
F 3457 46.06% 52.57 0.393 78.04% 0.204 -1.0388
G 2962 47.46% 53.08 0.939 78.46% 0.372 -0.8581
H 2787 50.36% 52.2 0.679 75.71% 0.238 -1.0023
East 468 58.33% 57.03 1.192 63.89% -0.142 -1.0931
Northeast 411 56.59% 56.59 1.037 65.94% -0.058 -0.9482
Northwest 354 53.82% 55.93 0.146 62.15% -0.378 -1.3427
Southeast 69 59.42% 51.51 -0.554 62.32% -0.229 -1.2302
Southwest 69 69.57% 44.32 -4.479 49.28% -0.727 -1.3355
West 424 53.54% 59.43 2.288 66.27% -0.083 -0.7689

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 131 0.0% 49.03 -2.676 65.65% -2.234 -0.1898
Not Using Events or Tokens 3967 75.74% 44.36 -1.411 57.85% -0.014 0.205
Skip Initial Invader Actions 211 19.27% 64.24 3.509 88.15% -0.144 -0.8484
Start of Game Growth 402 20.22% 64.23 3.78 90.55% 0.877 0.4226
Unlimited Undo 4667 37.31% 56.97 2.569 84.74% 0.476 0.0634
Using Tokens but Not Events 4834 31.09% 56.83 2.466 85.64% 0.263 0.2156

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3255 22.34 24.15%
II 11866 30.75 66.31%
III 8353 34.26 80.81%
IV 3026 37.47 99.31%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.505 Win Model: 0.322
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 20199 59.31% 48.98 68.1%
2 4858 56.41% 51.54 72.83%
3 899 55.17% 52.72 76.08%
4 544 44.17% 56.48 79.23%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 478
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5519
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5728
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2434
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1744
Win: Sacrifice victory 85
Lose: Scenario condition 126
Win: Scenario condition 289
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5880
Lose: Spirit destroyed 341

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4010 66.87% 46.68 -0.707 51.65% -0.295 -0.1484
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3849 86.79% 44.54 -1.214 51.42% 0.124 0.3609
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1772 77.99% 43.52 -2.178 47.69% -0.318 -0.4034
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4468 56.77% 55.39 3.557 72.36% 0.598 0.2326
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1875 76.88% 46.49 -0.687 53.92% 0.007 -0.2374
Fractured Days Split the Sky 602 67.61% 54.42 3.138 63.79% 0.151 0.4971
Heart of the Wildfire 4790 91.01% 34.91 -6.028 32.99% -0.636 -0.285
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6115 75.09% 45.49 -1.265 53.67% -0.059 -0.3583
Lightning's Swift Strike 5919 74.09% 45.54 -1.454 51.9% -0.145 0.1231
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1474 70.49% 48.88 0.432 62.21% 0.219 -0.1005
Many Minds Move as One 885 57.4% 57.44 4.636 82.71% 1.171 0.6508
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 19007 56.63% 57.94 6.165 81.29% 1.317 1.1223
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1935 79.5% 43.95 -1.886 49.04% -0.228 -0.1794
River Surges in Sunlight 7632 76.73% 47.78 -0.486 50.59% -0.213 -0.0513
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3731 66.1% 47.25 -0.621 55.4% -0.143 0.007
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2688 76.93% 43.13 -2.667 46.28% -0.459 -0.0089
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4025 68.1% 46.9 -0.777 55.23% -0.167 -0.2346
Shroud of Silent Mist 50 90.0% 40.92 -3.143 48.0% -0.052 -0.0958
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1967 65.82% 43.41 -2.253 54.86% -0.341 -0.3604
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1894 75.49% 46.08 -1.262 52.48% -0.241 -0.0249
Thunderspeaker 5234 78.52% 50.51 0.899 48.89% 0.16 0.2178
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1756 92.37% 43.83 -1.175 55.24% 0.361 0.3812
Vital Strength of the Earth 2744 84.14% 35.19 -5.809 25.15% -1.316 -0.445
Volcano Looming High 949 76.4% 44.3 -1.417 54.37% -0.062 -0.1237

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 751 57.52% 48.97 -0.972 59.79% -0.264 0.3128
Dahan Insurrection 4 2858 82.49% 60.04 5.805 39.08% -0.031 0.3701
Elemental Invocation 1 11 81.82% 36.36 -5.533 27.27% -0.889 -0.5079
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3511 40.47% 54.48 3.4 68.39% 0.138 0.5038
Powers Long Forgotten 1 95 85.11% 40.47 -3.413 31.58% -0.826 -0.3849
Rituals of Terror 3 148 90.54% 44.26 -1.381 23.65% -0.996 -0.3675
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 37 94.59% 40.76 -3.835 18.92% -1.221 -0.5714
Second Wave 0 642 70.46% 46.51 -1.308 48.13% -0.685 -0.2693
The Great River 3 10 60.0% 55.3 2.2 50.0% -0.711 0.7608
Ward the Shores 2 64 87.5% 44.81 -2.717 35.94% -1.048 -0.0118

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 55131 72.83% 46.7 -1.289 56.69% -0.379 -0.0203
1 Thematic 3242 79.59% 54.36 1.86 38.99% -0.551 -0.0475
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6384 61.91% 51.39 1.155 65.65% 0.057 0.2533
2 Coastline 881 70.73% 50.65 0.753 64.36% 0.03 0.1723
2 Fragment 114 79.82% 45.62 -0.488 54.39% -0.004 0.4186
2 Heart 62 82.26% 42.47 -2.784 45.16% -0.716 -0.4238
2 Opposite Shores 1697 65.86% 50.05 0.783 62.93% 0.039 0.2643
2 Thematic 757 79.95% 52.73 0.16 40.16% -0.279 -0.2345
2 Top to Top 210 78.16% 46.12 -0.832 53.81% -0.279 -0.1447
3 Coastline 14 64.29% 52.29 1.173 64.29% 0.221 0.1876
3 Other 58 79.31% 45.07 -1.157 51.72% -0.39 0.0252
3 Round (Default) 1598 75.22% 48.59 0.387 59.89% 0.243 0.2818
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 50.29 1.589 71.43% 0.614 0.3909
3 Thematic 57 78.95% 49.56 -0.886 40.35% 0.303 -0.054
4 Coastline 3 100.0% 39.33 -6.983 33.33% -0.574 -0.4159
4 Leaf 2 0.0% 66.5 2.681 100.0% 0.083 0.1103
4 Other 27 74.07% 52.59 0.916 70.37% 0.298 0.4115
4 Snake 2 100.0% 26.0 -10.423 0.0% -0.68 -0.5562
4 Thematic 255 70.87% 57.65 0.687 54.51% 0.803 -0.2834
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1138 66.51% 51.64 1.354 64.32% 0.618 0.6013
5 Other 13 46.15% 65.0 3.769 92.31% 0.575 0.3569

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 4626 42.27 -4.194 46.26% -2.448 -0.3779
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3659 47.59 -1.697 57.12% -2.011 -0.0927
All Things Weaken 1360 40.54 -4.629 43.9% -2.448 -0.2932
Back Against the Wall 2935 43.0 -3.478 46.51% -2.262 -0.1661
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4134 39.08 -5.88 42.84% -2.621 -0.3974
Downward Spiral 8869 41.14 -4.88 41.3% -2.349 -0.3319
Erosion of Will 4439 40.29 -5.193 41.81% -2.65 -0.4404
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 350 55.39 2.241 78.29% -0.944 -0.24
Memory Fades to Dust 8807 40.6 -5.121 38.24% -2.456 -0.2414
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1298 40.2 -4.826 44.3% -2.451 -0.4311
Promising Farmlands 4144 39.78 -5.462 42.4% -2.632 -0.4196
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 216 56.94 3.192 82.87% -0.582 -0.1466
Thriving Communities 1211 38.65 -5.663 40.96% -2.61 -0.5128
Tipping Point 2485 38.06 -6.31 37.42% -2.84 -0.6215
Unnatural Proliferation 1474 41.99 -4.009 44.98% -2.424 -0.3468
Untended Land Crumbles 1272 39.63 -5.168 43.0% -2.506 -0.4072

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12929 74.57% 45.26 -1.235 52.49% 0.272 -0.8177
B 16380 69.72% 48.08 0.075 59.22% 0.455 -0.7301
C 15651 73.2% 46.4 -0.522 55.26% 0.408 -1.0071
D 15219 71.21% 47.89 0.01 58.55% 0.435 -0.7424
E 3556 72.62% 48.2 0.472 60.83% 0.648 -0.6284
F 6952 67.68% 50.3 1.05 64.84% 0.694 -0.5492
G 6774 66.75% 51.33 1.44 66.67% 0.727 -0.5036
H 6338 64.54% 51.49 1.422 66.91% 0.703 -0.5374
East 1936 79.87% 56.78 2.553 41.12% 0.409 -0.5416
Northeast 1615 76.31% 56.08 1.884 45.08% 0.356 -0.5341
Northwest 909 73.23% 54.73 1.293 45.76% 0.308 -0.6572
Southeast 143 90.21% 44.04 -2.144 26.57% -0.066 -1.0678
Southwest 90 80.0% 36.32 -5.754 30.0% -0.394 -1.0026
West 1066 79.38% 52.32 -0.282 37.99% -0.148 -0.8343

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 461 0.0% 41.27 -4.672 39.26% -2.324 -0.2804
Not Using Events or Tokens 8562 86.01% 44.11 -2.326 38.57% -0.538 -0.3187
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1356 20.85% 66.89 6.479 88.94% 1.035 0.3313
Start of Game Growth 2067 27.22% 63.35 4.951 84.66% 0.381 -0.0737
Unlimited Undo 6027 65.93% 50.85 1.522 64.16% 0.38 -0.0324
Using Tokens but Not Events 4435 61.44% 48.5 -0.089 57.84% -0.254 -0.302

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11603 22.34 5.94%
II 27933 30.75 48.75%
III 25326 34.26 77.85%
IV 6790 37.47 99.5%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.533 Win Model: -0.565
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 58496 73.18% 47.15 55.76%
2 10019 65.36% 50.91 62.48%
3 1711 75.58% 48.48 58.97%
4 1426 67.32% 52.73 62.55%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 489
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 15504
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9623
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5323
Lose: Invader deck ran out 5528
Win: Sacrifice victory 326
Lose: Scenario condition 587
Win: Scenario condition 1140
Lose: Blight pool ran out 23162
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1597

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2024-12-23 01:48:01 (Pacific Time)