The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 880 40.93% 23.21 -1.138 78.41% -0.498 0.0827
Dahan Insurrection 4 1211 20.78% 46.11 9.687 80.43% -1.431 -1.0271
Despicable Theft 2 30 33.33% 31.77 2.924 80.0% -0.77 -0.4205
Elemental Invocation 1 71 36.62% 27.62 0.538 81.69% -0.528 -0.1558
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2165 7.92% 30.81 1.831 87.3% -1.578 -1.2132
Powers Long Forgotten 1 473 52.02% 28.99 1.579 77.38% -0.322 0.1195
Rituals of Terror 3 543 45.2% 35.59 4.937 71.64% -0.948 -0.3132
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 324 72.84% 33.16 4.25 67.9% -0.421 0.2194
Second Wave 0 1011 54.3% 24.46 0.178 74.18% -0.538 -0.1143
The Great River 3 77 40.26% 30.7 2.874 55.84% -2.317 -0.8956
Ward the Shores 2 458 45.39% 31.45 2.487 73.14% -0.872 0.1695

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1457 18.9 -4.096 62.46% -3.624 -1.553
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1245 19.66 -3.698 62.73% -3.637 -1.7155
All Things Weaken 401 18.03 -4.417 59.35% -3.787 -1.6333
Back Against the Wall 1108 18.77 -4.057 60.29% -3.735 -1.6383
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1349 16.69 -5.247 61.08% -3.658 -1.4323
Downward Spiral 5458 17.27 -4.611 63.26% -3.208 -1.1893
Erosion of Will 1384 18.18 -4.461 59.9% -3.701 -1.4903
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 194 24.43 -1.214 98.45% -0.028 0.6654
Memory Fades to Dust 5532 17.02 -4.764 59.83% -3.355 -1.1396
Power Corrodes the Spirit 451 18.53 -4.125 68.74% -3.379 -1.3624
Promising Farmlands 1412 17.29 -4.915 61.4% -3.671 -1.4579
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 114 24.3 -1.069 98.25% -0.071 0.3596
Thriving Communities 426 16.71 -5.004 62.44% -3.618 -1.522
Tipping Point 788 17.95 -4.646 63.2% -3.544 -1.3226
Unnatural Proliferation 421 18.89 -3.923 64.85% -3.521 -1.4344
Untended Land Crumbles 409 17.2 -4.872 61.12% -3.68 -1.5842

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14627 37.25% 24.37 -0.346 84.72% 0.215 -0.8861
B 14955 35.97% 24.66 -0.216 85.48% 0.238 -0.9583
C 15161 34.21% 24.93 -0.105 86.11% 0.25 -1.179
D 14369 34.88% 24.83 -0.115 86.05% 0.254 -0.9367
E 2707 30.37% 25.52 -0.027 89.47% 0.235 -1.0644
F 5362 29.97% 25.44 -0.095 89.3% 0.243 -1.0116
G 5113 31.27% 25.35 -0.097 89.24% 0.301 -0.9412
H 5202 29.67% 25.49 -0.116 89.08% 0.2 -1.0576
East 1541 35.68% 35.07 2.469 84.3% 0.333 -0.6265
Northeast 1740 34.58% 34.47 2.299 84.08% 0.247 -0.6539
Northwest 1302 35.6% 33.37 1.665 84.18% 0.333 -0.6414
Southeast 217 32.87% 31.97 1.096 84.33% 0.047 -0.9578
Southwest 211 41.23% 26.42 -1.703 78.67% -0.252 -0.8516
West 1405 39.27% 33.95 1.827 81.28% 0.1 -0.5991

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1140 0.0% 22.63 -1.927 76.49% -2.572 -0.5239
Not Using Events or Tokens 15974 46.13% 23.05 -0.899 78.4% -0.469 -0.2489
Skip Initial Invader Actions 856 9.01% 33.31 2.479 94.63% 0.302 -0.4024
Start of Game Growth 1321 13.21% 31.87 2.006 94.02% 0.366 -0.0858
Unlimited Undo 3715 29.72% 26.55 0.489 89.85% 0.377 -0.0397
Using Tokens but Not Events 5576 29.78% 25.51 -0.138 88.11% -0.162 -0.2133

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3954 22.33 43.47%
II 19316 30.75 78.22%
III 26612 34.25 89.34%
IV 11386 37.47 98.68%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.061 Win Model: -0.135
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 44688 39.45% 24.84 82.73%
2 12181 32.22% 25.82 88.52%
3 2835 23.35% 26.8 92.87%
4 1564 23.12% 28.11 93.03%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1233
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 17797
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10312
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8359
Lose: Invader deck ran out 827
Win: Sacrifice victory 226
Lose: Scenario condition 428
Win: Scenario condition 1307
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7715
Lose: Spirit destroyed 458

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 698 44.09% 26.69 -1.485 77.79% -0.545 0.0356
Dahan Insurrection 4 868 30.61% 47.0 8.26 73.27% -1.603 -1.1991
Despicable Theft 2 14 50.0% 43.0 6.354 100.0% 0.801 1.1511
Elemental Invocation 1 41 42.5% 32.27 1.257 87.8% 0.002 0.3746
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1318 11.12% 33.05 0.884 80.05% -2.026 -1.6613
Powers Long Forgotten 1 395 60.41% 31.44 0.905 71.9% -0.532 -0.0906
Rituals of Terror 3 371 46.88% 38.44 4.412 71.16% -1.025 -0.391
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 253 76.19% 35.32 3.253 65.61% -0.584 0.0569
Second Wave 0 4046 44.06% 31.58 1.198 80.52% -0.504 -0.0802
The Great River 3 58 48.28% 36.16 3.36 67.24% -1.409 0.0117
Ward the Shores 2 411 52.57% 33.09 1.554 67.64% -1.119 -0.0777

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1154 22.99 -4.339 62.48% -3.401 -1.3303
Aid From Lesser Spirits 921 24.57 -3.486 65.91% -3.254 -1.3319
All Things Weaken 390 23.59 -3.958 65.38% -3.378 -1.224
Back Against the Wall 967 23.69 -3.919 63.6% -3.386 -1.2898
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1179 20.8 -5.514 59.97% -3.535 -1.3095
Downward Spiral 3631 22.36 -4.389 67.5% -3.018 -0.9997
Erosion of Will 1239 22.84 -4.418 61.74% -3.446 -1.2358
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 164 30.59 -0.472 97.56% -0.183 0.5103
Memory Fades to Dust 3632 21.82 -4.658 62.83% -3.256 -1.0402
Power Corrodes the Spirit 360 23.35 -3.937 71.94% -3.084 -1.0673
Promising Farmlands 1159 21.58 -4.948 62.9% -3.354 -1.1409
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 122 29.36 -1.025 97.54% -0.305 0.1253
Thriving Communities 353 22.65 -4.383 67.71% -3.196 -1.1
Tipping Point 669 20.79 -5.395 57.55% -3.557 -1.3355
Unnatural Proliferation 386 24.36 -3.499 70.21% -3.138 -1.0517
Untended Land Crumbles 386 23.02 -4.229 68.65% -3.147 -1.0512

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9911 41.39% 28.92 -0.36 84.41% 0.203 -0.8984
B 10170 39.34% 29.33 -0.135 85.65% 0.269 -0.9275
C 10467 39.38% 29.61 0.041 86.7% 0.418 -1.0104
D 9917 39.33% 29.43 -0.079 86.08% 0.311 -0.8796
E 2102 34.57% 30.14 0.028 89.53% 0.349 -0.9497
F 3774 33.16% 30.29 0.003 88.31% 0.143 -1.1113
G 3519 35.4% 30.23 0.031 89.32% 0.409 -0.8329
H 3690 33.29% 30.3 -0.035 88.81% 0.218 -1.0393
East 1171 42.43% 37.84 2.46 80.87% 0.357 -0.6024
Northeast 1301 44.09% 35.99 1.55 77.79% 0.044 -0.857
Northwest 1019 44.47% 36.1 1.728 80.27% 0.373 -0.6018
Southeast 201 45.27% 34.4 0.814 82.09% 0.231 -0.7731
Southwest 194 52.58% 29.6 -1.531 74.74% -0.055 -0.6547
West 1023 53.29% 34.81 0.839 74.1% -0.071 -0.7707

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 660 0.0% 26.16 -2.563 75.76% -2.721 -0.672
Not Using Events or Tokens 8767 46.91% 27.76 -0.751 79.88% -0.289 -0.0684
Skip Initial Invader Actions 501 12.38% 39.66 2.88 93.81% -0.049 -0.7543
Start of Game Growth 857 15.28% 37.62 2.538 94.75% 0.859 0.4077
Unlimited Undo 2987 34.17% 30.8 0.308 88.52% 0.167 -0.25
Using Tokens but Not Events 4222 34.26% 30.03 -0.034 88.77% 0.136 0.0852

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2096 22.33 24.71%
II 10542 30.75 71.75%
III 19241 34.25 90.13%
IV 9605 37.47 98.65%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.145 Win Model: -0.135
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 29137 43.11% 29.08 81.84%
2 8933 37.62% 30.61 88.9%
3 2270 31.61% 31.3 91.32%
4 1144 30.12% 32.56 90.82%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 369
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12898
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5177
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7055
Lose: Invader deck ran out 435
Win: Sacrifice victory 181
Lose: Scenario condition 384
Win: Scenario condition 911
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5406
Lose: Spirit destroyed 360

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 774 50.85% 35.11 -1.709 76.23% -0.635 -0.0538
Dahan Insurrection 4 794 30.2% 58.65 9.504 80.86% -1.046 -0.6427
Despicable Theft 2 14 50.0% 46.71 4.444 85.71% -0.11 0.2395
Elemental Invocation 1 63 61.9% 35.29 -1.326 69.84% -1.045 -0.6723
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2465 9.62% 44.04 1.855 87.22% -1.552 -1.1876
Powers Long Forgotten 1 363 61.88% 40.11 1.006 75.48% -0.422 0.0195
Rituals of Terror 3 269 59.18% 45.35 3.689 67.29% -0.963 -0.3281
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 146 69.18% 47.02 4.996 76.71% -0.137 0.5039
Second Wave 0 3280 48.9% 38.37 0.245 74.97% -0.899 -0.4751
The Great River 3 74 51.35% 43.11 2.504 62.16% -1.967 -0.5455
Ward the Shores 2 371 45.8% 45.38 2.864 79.78% -0.561 0.4806

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1795 30.31 -4.863 64.12% -3.405 -1.3344
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1465 32.11 -4.07 65.73% -3.389 -1.4668
All Things Weaken 598 29.58 -5.144 64.05% -3.519 -1.3651
Back Against the Wall 1405 31.24 -4.497 64.56% -3.48 -1.384
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1627 27.81 -6.144 62.08% -3.508 -1.2826
Downward Spiral 4523 30.57 -4.616 69.95% -2.976 -0.9573
Erosion of Will 1839 30.23 -4.981 63.13% -3.456 -1.2456
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 274 39.47 -0.174 98.54% 0.184 0.8774
Memory Fades to Dust 4630 30.18 -4.847 66.7% -3.137 -0.9219
Power Corrodes the Spirit 531 30.42 -4.672 69.3% -3.2 -1.1826
Promising Farmlands 1799 30.15 -5.012 67.59% -3.309 -1.0957
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 156 39.82 -0.174 97.44% -0.355 0.0756
Thriving Communities 575 29.9 -5.091 67.3% -3.318 -1.2224
Tipping Point 968 29.86 -5.126 64.67% -3.341 -1.1194
Unnatural Proliferation 604 30.34 -4.755 64.9% -3.457 -1.3705
Untended Land Crumbles 579 30.72 -4.575 69.6% -3.198 -1.1017

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12799 45.27% 37.39 -0.348 83.86% 0.237 -0.8643
B 13424 43.92% 37.81 -0.107 85.31% 0.347 -0.8487
C 13673 44.46% 37.84 -0.036 85.26% 0.38 -1.0484
D 12713 44.28% 37.9 -0.028 85.46% 0.384 -0.807
E 2837 41.25% 39.08 0.347 89.07% 0.505 -0.7943
F 5159 38.98% 38.78 0.095 87.9% 0.343 -0.9112
G 4693 39.59% 38.7 0.014 87.92% 0.367 -0.875
H 4939 38.42% 39.12 0.165 88.62% 0.374 -0.8831
East 1556 45.5% 45.83 1.811 79.69% 0.117 -0.8434
Northeast 1432 44.94% 45.73 1.854 82.68% 0.37 -0.5309
Northwest 1194 45.86% 45.65 1.806 84.25% 0.604 -0.3709
Southeast 247 45.34% 42.7 0.521 79.35% 0.084 -0.9208
Southwest 228 46.05% 39.49 -1.152 77.19% 0.049 -0.5506
West 1334 50.76% 44.82 1.228 78.79% 0.23 -0.47

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 474 0.0% 35.81 -2.575 76.16% -2.88 -0.8311
Not Using Events or Tokens 8582 52.19% 36.33 -0.721 80.37% -0.292 -0.071
Skip Initial Invader Actions 639 9.27% 49.42 3.494 96.24% 0.495 -0.2094
Start of Game Growth 1123 15.03% 46.85 2.61 94.84% 0.629 0.1777
Unlimited Undo 4142 38.93% 39.4 0.515 88.6% 0.277 -0.1398
Using Tokens but Not Events 4724 38.95% 38.2 -0.285 86.79% -0.137 -0.188

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2968 22.33 30.66%
II 13529 30.75 68.82%
III 23274 34.25 91.26%
IV 12272 37.47 99.32%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.191 Win Model: -0.003
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 35110 47.38% 37.39 81.88%
2 11697 43.22% 38.73 86.89%
3 3345 37.31% 39.78 90.25%
4 1891 33.82% 42.16 90.9%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 636
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 15794
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6301
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9302
Lose: Invader deck ran out 454
Win: Sacrifice victory 191
Lose: Scenario condition 378
Win: Scenario condition 937
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7170
Lose: Spirit destroyed 391

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 610 58.59% 37.94 -2.924 65.25% -0.836 -0.2544
Dahan Insurrection 4 909 34.26% 65.68 10.206 80.97% -0.58 -0.1766
Despicable Theft 2 15 80.0% 35.0 -3.037 40.0% -1.103 -0.7532
Elemental Invocation 1 33 75.76% 40.76 -0.812 69.7% -0.319 0.0531
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2597 11.82% 51.3 2.676 89.3% -0.854 -0.4898
Powers Long Forgotten 1 212 70.28% 44.47 0.345 66.51% -0.511 -0.0694
Rituals of Terror 3 143 65.73% 49.99 3.047 63.64% -0.761 -0.1262
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 108 82.41% 44.49 0.968 52.78% -0.789 -0.1485
Second Wave 0 2226 54.21% 43.28 -0.174 70.04% -0.882 -0.4583
The Great River 3 32 62.5% 45.5 0.931 53.13% -1.556 -0.1349
Ward the Shores 2 158 63.06% 47.36 1.456 64.56% -0.837 0.2039

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2182 35.43 -5.089 60.59% -3.191 -1.1202
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1680 37.78 -4.03 64.82% -3.031 -1.1089
All Things Weaken 763 33.72 -5.763 57.8% -3.331 -1.1779
Back Against the Wall 1654 36.17 -4.845 59.92% -3.271 -1.1748
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2000 33.07 -6.198 59.2% -3.23 -1.004
Downward Spiral 4968 35.94 -4.641 65.76% -2.772 -0.7528
Erosion of Will 2105 34.88 -5.366 58.76% -3.256 -1.0454
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 285 45.6 -0.152 92.63% -1.137 -0.4432
Memory Fades to Dust 5066 34.57 -5.372 60.56% -3.033 -0.818
Power Corrodes the Spirit 735 33.97 -5.554 60.54% -3.179 -1.1625
Promising Farmlands 2147 35.07 -5.274 63.06% -3.068 -0.855
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 195 46.29 0.271 95.38% -0.609 -0.179
Thriving Communities 720 35.22 -5.035 65.14% -3.027 -0.9309
Tipping Point 1156 34.38 -5.527 59.69% -3.161 -0.9394
Unnatural Proliferation 791 36.77 -4.185 66.25% -3.011 -0.9246
Untended Land Crumbles 746 34.5 -5.441 62.2% -3.165 -1.0691

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12722 51.19% 42.98 -0.349 79.51% 0.346 -0.7559
B 13439 48.94% 43.92 0.207 82.01% 0.514 -0.6825
C 13953 49.84% 43.81 0.229 81.87% 0.548 -0.881
D 12146 50.43% 43.36 -0.016 80.71% 0.441 -0.7498
E 3132 46.96% 44.25 0.158 83.72% 0.437 -0.8621
F 5566 44.89% 44.71 0.246 84.46% 0.463 -0.7908
G 5239 46.14% 44.47 0.127 84.21% 0.475 -0.7677
H 5342 43.62% 45.23 0.4 85.14% 0.469 -0.7878
East 1126 51.02% 51.48 1.788 75.49% 0.29 -0.67
Northeast 1089 49.72% 51.85 2.054 78.88% 0.53 -0.3711
Northwest 864 50.17% 50.77 1.486 78.13% 0.549 -0.4258
Southeast 209 55.02% 48.15 0.552 75.12% 0.458 -0.5464
Southwest 202 54.46% 43.04 -2.05 72.77% 0.135 -0.4648
West 937 56.15% 49.75 0.759 73.32% 0.245 -0.4547

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 357 0.0% 39.74 -3.638 66.67% -3.023 -0.9749
Not Using Events or Tokens 7131 60.46% 40.47 -1.138 72.96% -0.289 -0.068
Skip Initial Invader Actions 645 7.03% 58.63 4.562 96.9% 0.729 0.0242
Start of Game Growth 1250 12.09% 55.67 3.679 95.2% 0.771 0.3191
Unlimited Undo 4254 42.63% 45.69 0.84 85.57% 0.282 -0.1352
Using Tokens but Not Events 5033 44.97% 44.2 0.092 83.55% 0.044 -0.0074

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3696 22.33 19.72%
II 18103 30.75 68.36%
III 21375 34.25 89.68%
IV 10092 37.47 99.47%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.358 Win Model: -0.307
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 37248 54.09% 42.25 76.77%
2 11364 47.63% 44.84 84.21%
3 2792 40.74% 46.65 88.14%
4 1862 36.44% 49.58 90.55%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 515
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14735
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8700
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7701
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1006
Win: Sacrifice victory 200
Lose: Scenario condition 284
Win: Scenario condition 838
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9189
Lose: Spirit destroyed 474

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 366 63.46% 39.71 -3.21 64.48% -0.634 -0.0525
Dahan Insurrection 4 513 36.69% 69.81 10.574 79.53% -0.421 -0.0178
Despicable Theft 2 2 100.0% 41.0 -1.078 50.0% -0.221 0.1292
Elemental Invocation 1 19 47.37% 48.16 0.356 84.21% 0.066 0.4382
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1924 11.25% 53.94 2.552 89.14% -0.553 -0.1881
Powers Long Forgotten 1 154 70.13% 45.3 -0.355 63.64% -0.7 -0.2584
Rituals of Terror 3 127 59.84% 55.5 4.264 65.35% -0.606 0.0288
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 89 78.65% 48.04 1.214 51.69% -0.787 -0.1461
Second Wave 0 1447 52.95% 46.29 -0.259 70.49% -0.749 -0.3253
The Great River 3 28 67.86% 45.5 -0.852 46.43% -1.893 -0.4719
Ward the Shores 2 121 69.42% 49.15 1.212 61.98% -0.594 0.4473

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1859 38.74 -5.104 61.97% -2.827 -0.7559
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1361 41.19 -3.96 66.42% -2.684 -0.7619
All Things Weaken 648 38.38 -5.223 62.5% -2.924 -0.7701
Back Against the Wall 1229 39.14 -4.96 60.46% -2.953 -0.8566
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1710 35.96 -6.529 58.77% -2.985 -0.7593
Downward Spiral 3974 38.45 -5.139 64.04% -2.571 -0.5521
Erosion of Will 1723 37.67 -5.676 58.79% -2.971 -0.7603
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 270 48.97 -0.095 92.22% -0.963 -0.2698
Memory Fades to Dust 4055 37.23 -5.733 59.06% -2.775 -0.5593
Power Corrodes the Spirit 640 40.58 -4.114 70.94% -2.498 -0.4812
Promising Farmlands 1801 36.79 -6.067 59.41% -2.945 -0.7319
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 194 48.61 -0.236 94.85% -0.483 -0.0524
Thriving Communities 611 37.21 -5.83 61.05% -2.933 -0.8376
Tipping Point 957 35.54 -6.647 54.13% -3.077 -0.8553
Unnatural Proliferation 660 39.84 -4.391 66.67% -2.699 -0.6125
Untended Land Crumbles 572 40.29 -4.275 70.28% -2.561 -0.4649

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10155 48.76% 45.87 -0.464 79.09% 0.191 -0.9106
B 11271 45.6% 46.99 0.146 82.08% 0.381 -0.8148
C 11445 48.24% 46.49 -0.018 80.69% 0.352 -1.0768
D 10159 47.41% 46.44 -0.108 80.35% 0.279 -0.9117
E 3189 41.95% 48.35 0.482 86.42% 0.404 -0.8954
F 4997 41.93% 47.97 0.317 85.49% 0.396 -0.858
G 4639 42.83% 47.99 0.32 85.34% 0.406 -0.836
H 4784 41.46% 48.4 0.425 85.74% 0.401 -0.8566
East 885 49.55% 54.37 1.8 77.4% 0.305 -0.6545
Northeast 831 53.14% 52.71 0.829 74.25% 0.124 -0.7768
Northwest 631 50.48% 53.51 1.086 78.61% 0.463 -0.5118
Southeast 171 53.8% 50.11 0.294 77.19% 0.345 -0.6593
Southwest 161 59.01% 42.49 -3.9 63.35% -0.616 -1.2158
West 851 51.12% 55.33 2.145 76.62% 0.305 -0.3948

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 316 0.0% 48.65 -0.923 79.75% -1.987 0.0616
Not Using Events or Tokens 6205 52.81% 44.64 -0.782 74.81% -0.249 -0.0287
Skip Initial Invader Actions 446 11.08% 60.27 3.925 95.96% 0.695 -0.0099
Start of Game Growth 799 14.4% 57.71 2.89 93.74% 0.345 -0.1071
Unlimited Undo 4644 43.38% 48.33 0.611 84.95% 0.255 -0.1614
Using Tokens but Not Events 4456 40.12% 47.4 0.094 83.35% -0.07 -0.1206

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4860 22.33 36.87%
II 21051 30.75 79.11%
III 15582 34.25 88.38%
IV 5792 37.47 99.55%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.275 Win Model: -0.109
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 35492 48.22% 46.22 79.0%
2 8162 48.08% 47.25 82.37%
3 2272 38.15% 49.35 88.51%
4 1359 37.45% 51.92 89.11%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1334
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10884
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 12695
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4475
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1696
Win: Sacrifice victory 177
Lose: Scenario condition 199
Win: Scenario condition 483
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7055
Lose: Spirit destroyed 352

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 353 77.17% 40.46 -4.247 50.42% -0.73 -0.1484
Dahan Insurrection 4 437 58.03% 66.63 7.776 62.93% -0.48 -0.0767
Despicable Theft 2 2 0.0% 74.0 10.655 100.0% 0.118 0.468
Elemental Invocation 1 7 71.43% 46.86 -2.239 57.14% -0.644 -0.2714
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1072 19.79% 59.75 3.653 85.73% 0.041 0.4056
Powers Long Forgotten 1 79 78.48% 47.99 -0.414 53.16% -0.289 0.1526
Rituals of Terror 3 57 75.44% 55.91 3.421 50.88% -0.3 0.3347
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 65 90.77% 48.48 0.535 41.54% -0.353 0.2878
Second Wave 0 801 63.36% 49.96 0.217 63.42% -0.268 0.1557
The Great River 3 25 56.0% 39.68 -6.25 20.0% -2.88 -1.4586
Ward the Shores 2 47 76.6% 53.94 2.529 57.45% -0.029 1.0127

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1204 41.28 -5.476 50.5% -2.551 -0.4805
Aid From Lesser Spirits 833 45.79 -3.378 60.02% -2.181 -0.2588
All Things Weaken 482 42.09 -5.38 53.94% -2.577 -0.4237
Back Against the Wall 846 44.52 -4.016 56.74% -2.314 -0.218
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1099 38.83 -6.792 48.41% -2.651 -0.4248
Downward Spiral 3252 41.01 -5.544 52.55% -2.468 -0.4491
Erosion of Will 1121 40.48 -5.952 48.08% -2.653 -0.4422
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 171 54.44 0.726 87.72% -0.751 -0.0573
Memory Fades to Dust 3286 40.3 -5.972 49.54% -2.6 -0.3843
Power Corrodes the Spirit 466 42.26 -5.159 56.87% -2.437 -0.4198
Promising Farmlands 1121 38.67 -6.817 45.58% -2.761 -0.5472
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 86 55.43 1.069 89.53% -0.543 -0.1132
Thriving Communities 440 40.95 -5.922 54.09% -2.606 -0.5098
Tipping Point 639 38.12 -7.116 42.72% -2.802 -0.5809
Unnatural Proliferation 483 46.04 -3.305 62.11% -2.238 -0.1513
Untended Land Crumbles 463 41.61 -5.572 54.86% -2.565 -0.4686

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5150 62.49% 48.05 -0.753 66.0% 0.072 -1.0293
B 6715 54.97% 51.21 0.542 72.61% 0.288 -0.9077
C 6437 64.9% 48.14 -0.234 67.05% 0.257 -1.1713
D 5018 62.84% 48.4 -0.41 67.06% 0.174 -1.0169
E 1407 57.0% 52.18 0.863 76.83% 0.433 -0.8659
F 3660 45.41% 52.69 0.41 78.47% 0.23 -1.0239
G 3121 47.22% 53.12 0.903 78.63% 0.385 -0.8574
H 2972 49.58% 52.44 0.734 76.38% 0.269 -0.9881
East 490 57.96% 57.23 1.226 63.88% -0.225 -1.1851
Northeast 439 57.31% 56.26 0.939 64.69% -0.132 -1.0331
Northwest 364 53.17% 56.29 0.272 62.64% -0.413 -1.3879
Southeast 78 58.97% 51.99 -0.371 64.1% -0.172 -1.176
Southwest 75 66.67% 45.07 -4.552 50.67% -0.85 -1.4494
West 440 53.41% 59.64 2.277 66.59% -0.126 -0.8251

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 135 0.0% 49.42 -2.54 66.67% -2.202 -0.153
Not Using Events or Tokens 4234 73.3% 45.11 -1.143 59.45% 0.016 0.2367
Skip Initial Invader Actions 216 19.49% 64.15 3.529 87.96% -0.065 -0.7698
Start of Game Growth 422 19.79% 64.17 3.716 90.28% 0.808 0.3566
Unlimited Undo 4905 36.66% 57.14 2.58 85.26% 0.487 0.0697
Using Tokens but Not Events 5124 30.52% 56.97 2.48 86.01% 0.274 0.2232

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3389 22.33 24.55%
II 12416 30.75 66.78%
III 8742 34.25 81.02%
IV 3190 37.47 99.34%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.487 Win Model: 0.36
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 21204 58.78% 49.18 68.58%
2 5042 56.43% 51.53 72.95%
3 933 55.31% 52.84 76.42%
4 558 43.59% 56.5 79.21%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 524
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5847
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6137
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2598
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1792
Win: Sacrifice victory 91
Lose: Scenario condition 131
Win: Scenario condition 302
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6088
Lose: Spirit destroyed 351

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 772 57.68% 48.94 -0.996 59.72% -0.258 0.3227
Dahan Insurrection 4 2982 82.17% 60.12 5.872 39.2% -0.018 0.3851
Despicable Theft 2 3 100.0% 44.67 -0.375 33.33% 0.054 0.404
Elemental Invocation 1 15 73.33% 39.73 -3.851 33.33% -0.853 -0.4807
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3623 40.1% 54.54 3.387 68.51% 0.133 0.4975
Powers Long Forgotten 1 95 85.11% 40.47 -3.422 31.58% -0.827 -0.3855
Rituals of Terror 3 155 90.32% 44.46 -1.263 23.87% -0.955 -0.3211
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 37 94.59% 40.76 -3.836 18.92% -1.224 -0.583
Second Wave 0 671 71.15% 46.18 -1.461 47.54% -0.709 -0.2851
The Great River 3 11 63.64% 53.0 1.368 45.45% -0.788 0.6336
Ward the Shores 2 67 88.06% 44.73 -2.772 35.82% -1.077 -0.0353

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 4841 42.37 -4.146 46.62% -2.423 -0.3524
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3835 47.67 -1.663 57.39% -1.989 -0.0673
All Things Weaken 1523 40.66 -4.589 44.25% -2.432 -0.2783
Back Against the Wall 3077 43.1 -3.424 46.86% -2.239 -0.1429
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4330 39.18 -5.839 43.05% -2.603 -0.3768
Downward Spiral 9286 41.16 -4.892 41.28% -2.338 -0.3197
Erosion of Will 4636 40.44 -5.133 42.17% -2.629 -0.4184
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 396 55.4 2.204 77.78% -0.974 -0.2805
Memory Fades to Dust 9199 40.66 -5.099 38.46% -2.436 -0.2208
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1446 40.27 -4.808 44.61% -2.432 -0.4155
Promising Farmlands 4350 39.89 -5.41 42.71% -2.608 -0.3949
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 244 57.33 3.349 84.02% -0.511 -0.0806
Thriving Communities 1374 38.99 -5.519 41.85% -2.569 -0.4734
Tipping Point 2485 38.06 -6.316 37.42% -2.83 -0.6088
Unnatural Proliferation 1630 42.0 -3.992 45.09% -2.408 -0.3218
Untended Land Crumbles 1424 39.75 -5.105 43.33% -2.484 -0.3875

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 13502 74.66% 45.3 -1.231 52.58% 0.295 -0.8069
B 17104 69.82% 48.04 0.035 59.15% 0.467 -0.7288
C 16318 73.2% 46.49 -0.501 55.51% 0.429 -0.9991
D 15862 71.16% 47.98 0.016 58.81% 0.453 -0.7379
E 3987 72.97% 48.26 0.509 61.1% 0.683 -0.616
F 7366 67.81% 50.31 1.033 64.82% 0.707 -0.5472
G 7230 67.01% 51.33 1.44 66.67% 0.748 -0.4943
H 6699 64.84% 51.42 1.384 66.77% 0.717 -0.5403
East 2011 80.27% 56.57 2.51 40.63% 0.394 -0.5661
Northeast 1715 76.39% 55.53 1.695 44.31% 0.319 -0.5825
Northwest 940 73.48% 54.53 1.268 45.43% 0.295 -0.6799
Southeast 154 90.26% 43.43 -2.301 26.62% -0.087 -1.0911
Southwest 100 80.0% 35.52 -6.085 28.0% -0.518 -1.1172
West 1088 79.52% 52.31 -0.189 38.05% -0.114 -0.8139

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 470 0.0% 41.58 -4.637 39.79% -2.314 -0.2655
Not Using Events or Tokens 8960 85.83% 44.18 -2.31 38.72% -0.54 -0.319
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1421 20.63% 66.98 6.446 89.09% 1.043 0.3385
Start of Game Growth 2218 26.52% 63.48 5.039 84.9% 0.387 -0.0647
Unlimited Undo 6466 66.26% 51.03 1.593 64.66% 0.402 -0.0148
Using Tokens but Not Events 4750 60.81% 48.61 -0.079 58.11% -0.266 -0.3168

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 12145 22.33 6.02%
II 29448 30.75 48.81%
III 26702 34.25 77.93%
IV 7203 37.47 99.51%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.527 Win Model: -0.538
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 61844 73.15% 47.23 55.99%
2 10401 65.74% 50.78 62.27%
3 1777 75.41% 48.47 58.98%
4 1476 67.48% 52.88 62.8%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 531
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 16572
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10326
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5731
Lose: Invader deck ran out 5827
Win: Sacrifice victory 355
Lose: Scenario condition 611
Win: Scenario condition 1193
Lose: Blight pool ran out 24298
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1681

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2025-01-22 01:48:30 (Pacific Time)