The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8282 25.7% 25.43 -0.009 87.2% 0.231 0.0828
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5705 44.25% 25.27 0.731 85.85% 0.358 0.4889
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4015 26.24% 26.51 -0.954 90.86% -0.383 -0.5274
Downpour Drenches the World 309 21.33% 25.14 1.171 81.23% 0.388 0.5671
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 308 14.94% 26.55 3.097 81.82% 0.876 0.111
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5114 15.6% 30.08 2.42 94.86% 0.586 -0.0031
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3886 19.18% 28.07 1.521 93.62% 0.642 0.1453
Finder of Paths Unseen 187 30.98% 20.49 -4.25 69.52% -0.948 -0.2835
Fractured Days Split the Sky 880 31.33% 27.39 -2.009 80.57% -0.851 -0.2651
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 760 39.87% 26.69 -0.17 81.58% 0.319 0.2247
Heart of the Wildfire 5180 58.0% 21.7 -1.031 75.29% -0.187 0.0545
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6997 27.65% 26.97 1.961 90.68% 0.538 0.0958
Lightning's Swift Strike 9585 42.45% 23.43 -1.176 79.33% -0.208 -0.0245
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 124 28.46% 26.69 0.497 78.23% 0.212 -0.2746
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 606 25.25% 28.89 1.723 92.41% 0.362 0.1944
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 439 34.25% 27.8 -0.399 87.93% -0.015 -0.128
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2518 24.57% 28.08 1.908 90.19% 0.339 0.2064
Many Minds Move as One 1453 21.01% 28.31 -0.614 92.5% -0.021 -0.2428
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8000 40.02% 25.55 0.246 86.4% 0.118 0.0756
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3566 30.41% 25.48 -0.193 88.98% -0.009 -0.1869
River Surges in Sunlight 10427 39.23% 26.03 -0.461 79.43% -0.241 -0.1709
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 747 37.33% 27.04 -2.554 80.59% -0.458 -0.1474
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 166 36.36% 31.08 2.183 87.35% 0.508 0.3942
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4386 29.94% 25.63 -0.311 87.94% -0.094 -0.3316
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 5741 54.4% 23.4 -2.046 77.72% -0.583 -0.0531
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 52 34.62% 24.69 -0.983 76.92% -0.197 -0.2719
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 62 22.58% 24.05 -2.019 75.81% -0.352 -0.4574
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 506 32.21% 27.63 2.573 91.5% 0.482 0.464
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 372 42.43% 26.15 -0.709 86.56% 0.033 0.2094
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5029 28.29% 26.92 -0.502 88.79% -0.278 -0.4677
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 57 19.3% 24.81 1.804 77.19% 0.337 -0.0444
Shifting Memory of Ages 632 39.17% 24.84 1.015 82.44% 0.305 0.6587
Shroud of Silent Mist 1056 42.75% 24.47 -0.801 83.52% -0.041 0.2092
Starlight Seeks its Form 897 22.85% 28.37 1.736 86.73% 0.559 0.298
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2123 27.36% 24.18 -0.809 90.2% -0.088 -0.5648
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3002 30.59% 25.3 -0.848 84.74% -0.252 -0.1895
Thunderspeaker 7546 31.67% 26.38 -0.47 84.85% -0.042 -0.0761
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 54 29.63% 21.09 -0.392 57.41% -0.314 -0.3529
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1421 59.45% 21.81 -0.738 82.62% 0.272 0.3646
Vital Strength of the Earth 7146 31.77% 21.99 -2.409 75.76% -0.539 -0.0141
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 118 32.48% 23.07 -0.217 72.88% -0.26 0.0003
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 357 33.8% 22.15 -2.261 75.63% -0.32 0.4563
Volcano Looming High 1323 39.06% 24.86 -1.367 83.9% -0.167 -0.2096

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 10 40.0% 24.1 6.369 80.0% 0.384 0.1288
Blitz 0 1034 39.29% 23.08 -0.488 75.44% -0.623 -0.4262
Dahan Insurrection 4 1301 20.02% 46.29 10.048 80.63% 0.33 -0.1122
Despicable Theft 2 133 35.34% 30.46 -5.651 71.43% -1.304 -0.4918
Elemental Invocation 1 213 41.78% 27.38 -1.614 77.0% -0.659 0.0442
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2114 8.68% 30.68 3.601 85.76% 0.071 -0.5731
Powers Long Forgotten 1 455 52.86% 27.93 -2.687 73.85% -0.944 -0.3083
Rituals of Terror 3 541 43.52% 35.11 -1.271 70.24% -1.246 -1.145
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 329 69.0% 31.8 -4.696 64.74% -1.241 -0.2316
Second Wave 0 1048 50.57% 25.8 0.582 74.24% -0.11 -0.0443
The Great River 3 174 43.68% 29.49 -3.31 53.45% -1.103 0.1144
Varied Terrains 2 51 41.18% 26.75 -0.418 62.75% -0.518 0.1051
Ward the Shores 2 502 42.2% 30.06 -1.542 70.32% -0.74 0.3443

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 59192 38.86% 24.3 0.085 82.05% 0.662 0.7166
1 Thematic 4659 41.52% 31.58 2.193 77.44% 0.539 1.0166
2 Archipelago 39 46.15% 34.38 -3.815 66.67% -0.215 -0.1107
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12364 32.75% 24.95 -0.385 86.7% 0.399 0.4809
2 Coastline 1310 33.62% 24.96 -0.935 85.73% 0.289 0.1348
2 Fragment 319 38.02% 23.26 -2.782 83.07% -0.323 -0.5725
2 Heart 174 36.21% 23.67 -5.132 84.48% -0.645 -0.932
2 Opposite Shores 1852 30.4% 25.81 -0.812 90.12% 0.424 0.4466
2 Thematic 1075 38.82% 33.2 -2.766 81.02% -0.317 0.0865
2 Top to Top 346 32.56% 25.3 -0.901 90.75% 0.157 -0.0097
3 Archipelago 18 44.44% 32.67 0.0 88.89%
3 Coastline 31 33.33% 27.9 1.004 77.42% 0.271 -0.2422
3 Other 142 35.97% 23.81 -5.428 83.1% -0.908 -0.3674
3 Round (Default) 3796 23.88% 26.61 0.78 91.57% 0.587 0.4721
3 Sunrise 19 55.56% 27.16 0.0 89.47%
3 Thematic 187 36.02% 34.22 -5.761 79.14% -0.744 -0.6642
4 Archipelago 11 18.18% 34.36 9.445 72.73% 0.606 -0.0684
4 Coastline 11 0.0% 49.55 0.0 90.91%
4 Leaf 7 71.43% 19.29 0.0 71.43%
4 Other 71 26.47% 23.62 -1.058 83.1% 0.415 -0.6693
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 26.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 0.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 389 21.59% 35.57 4.11 92.03% 0.812 0.5493
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1736 23.22% 26.27 0.953 91.3% 0.339 0.2561
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 38 23.68% 27.89 -3.177 73.68% -0.405 -0.6903
5 Thematic 5 0.0% 39.8 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 4 0.0% 33.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 42.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 10 11.11% 25.4 2.065 90.0% 0.024 -0.2085
6 Star 13 7.69% 28.38 -0.27 92.31% -0.012 -0.0248
6 Thematic 37 18.92% 28.78 -5.048 75.68% -0.836 -0.4152
6 Two Centers (Default) 81 16.05% 25.28 -1.388 83.95% -0.449 -0.3451
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 -10.258 0.0% -0.596 -1.2081

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2010 18.83 -2.801 60.9% -0.813 -0.5703
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1742 20.15 1.525 63.32% 0.097 0.0197
All Things Weaken 846 19.27 -2.992 60.52% -0.738 -0.346
Attenuated Essence 19 15.11 -2.424 47.37% -0.444 -0.3376
Back Against the Wall 1593 19.5 -0.646 61.21% -0.448 -0.3906
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 15 22.73 1.239 66.67% -0.201 0.0004
Burn Brightest Before the End 12 20.0 1.046 50.0% -0.291 -0.0805
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1856 17.05 -1.246 60.88% -0.382 0.0412
Downward Spiral 7466 17.08 -1.847 61.84% -0.389 -0.1534
Erosion of Will 1915 18.22 -1.745 58.54% -0.518 -0.2086
Intensifying Exploitation 21 20.29 -0.267 71.43% 0.174 0.4615
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 372 25.57 4.431 94.62% 1.107 0.6131
Memory Fades to Dust 7445 16.99 -1.543 59.11% -0.332 0.0045
Power Corrodes the Spirit 852 19.32 0.257 67.49% 0.059 0.2793
Promising Farmlands 1965 17.67 -2.779 61.98% -0.626 -0.1728
Shattered Fragments of Power 15 24.53 3.3 73.33% 0.789 0.8404
Slow Dissolution of Will 22 23.32 1.001 72.73% 0.242 0.6417
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 236 26.44 7.019 97.46% 0.952 0.2411
The Border of Life and Death 6 15.17 1.74 50.0% 0.436 0.1011
Thriving Communities 827 18.11 -1.008 62.03% -0.138 0.2253
Thriving Crops 9 28.56 3.089 88.89% 0.729 0.5307
Tipping Point 789 17.93 0.0 63.12%
Unnatural Proliferation 844 20.19 0.213 63.39% -0.283 -0.0676
Untended Land Crumbles 833 18.36 -2.662 60.26% -1.128 -0.8462

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 20352 37.31% 24.33 -0.312 83.42% -0.436 0.3042
B 20670 36.05% 24.56 -0.094 84.03% -0.414 0.3116
C 21149 34.45% 24.83 -0.416 84.78% -0.44 0.1423
D 19897 34.88% 24.73 -0.307 84.48% -0.545 0.166
E 5579 30.65% 26.02 0.715 87.06% -0.239 0.3267
F 8730 30.27% 25.58 -0.297 87.25% -0.547 0.1229
G 8089 32.2% 25.54 0.354 87.5% -0.434 0.2177
H 8279 30.22% 25.61 0.05 87.04% -0.464 0.1065
East 3867 37.27% 33.58 -1.304 80.81% -0.764 -0.2252
Northeast 2366 36.01% 33.77 1.913 81.83% -0.116 0.5186
Northwest 1725 36.12% 32.92 -0.518 81.74% -0.737 0.0724
Southeast 429 29.51% 31.28 0.582 81.12% -0.463 0.243
Southwest 397 39.9% 25.69 -4.932 74.56% -1.34 -0.3502
West 3262 39.94% 32.1 -0.142 78.57% -0.676 0.2277

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1716 0.0% 21.42 -2.101 70.69% -0.659 0.1175
Not Using Events or Tokens 22400 45.39% 22.68 -1.048 76.9% -0.204 0.1752
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1273 10.7% 33.48 5.302 92.93% 0.711 0.0936
Start of Game Growth 2031 13.6% 32.13 1.72 91.78% -0.172 -0.5208
Unlimited Undo 5492 29.51% 26.35 -1.576 87.71% -0.518 -0.525
Using Tokens but Not Events 7598 29.2% 25.81 -0.167 87.33% 0.164 0.1533

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6477 20.4 34.86%
II 27081 31.01 77.0%
III 38028 34.76 89.39%
IV 16435 38.07 98.84%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.001 Win Model: 0.62
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 64140 39.09% 24.83 81.65%
2 17361 32.93% 25.53 86.79%
3 4130 24.79% 26.87 90.9%
4 2216 23.03% 28.02 91.02%
5 26 15.38% 24.46 73.08%
6 148 15.07% 26.7 83.11%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2253
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 33184
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 19697
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16095
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1103
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1134
Lose: Adversary condition 215
Win: Sacrifice victory 341
Lose: Scenario condition 577
Win: Scenario condition 1780
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10996
Lose: Spirit destroyed 646

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6080 27.07% 30.55 -0.844 87.88% -0.193 -0.3412
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3956 47.85% 29.76 0.153 84.48% 0.048 0.1786
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3069 28.4% 31.51 1.841 91.43% 0.508 0.3628
Downpour Drenches the World 388 23.38% 27.8 -1.916 80.67% -0.426 -0.2471
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 366 17.61% 29.04 2.804 83.06% 0.833 0.0679
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4142 20.3% 34.08 3.544 94.11% 0.998 0.4088
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3121 25.04% 34.86 1.986 92.98% 0.634 0.1372
Finder of Paths Unseen 251 42.63% 26.2 -2.812 71.71% -0.509 0.1553
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1036 33.74% 31.71 -0.394 81.95% -0.451 0.1347
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1083 39.94% 32.05 1.479 86.15% 0.557 0.4624
Heart of the Wildfire 3897 64.28% 24.94 -2.276 72.34% -0.449 -0.2073
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5918 35.32% 30.89 1.497 88.37% 0.369 -0.0725
Lightning's Swift Strike 6314 46.76% 27.83 -0.442 79.28% -0.151 0.0319
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 129 36.43% 32.87 3.285 91.47% 0.695 0.2085
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 529 34.6% 32.97 0.997 90.55% -0.217 -0.3848
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 428 35.51% 33.29 -0.031 83.64% -0.409 -0.522
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2008 35.89% 32.14 -0.629 87.1% -0.318 -0.4506
Many Minds Move as One 1349 23.73% 32.81 0.385 91.99% 0.044 -0.1778
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6239 38.31% 31.3 2.342 89.34% 0.618 0.5753
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2880 31.95% 29.98 0.99 88.72% 0.505 0.3277
River Surges in Sunlight 7340 43.24% 30.53 0.809 80.76% 0.018 0.0879
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 654 43.19% 30.33 -0.003 81.5% -0.049 0.2609
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 218 41.2% 32.04 1.003 79.36% -0.145 -0.2585
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3266 35.21% 30.16 0.351 86.62% 0.055 -0.1829
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3910 62.11% 26.6 -2.92 74.73% -0.691 -0.1619
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 60 50.0% 30.65 -0.728 81.67% 0.055 -0.0203
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 72 47.22% 31.25 1.194 84.72% 0.542 0.4363
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 443 39.28% 32.07 3.648 88.94% 0.763 0.7444
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 274 54.78% 28.73 -1.638 79.2% -0.689 -0.5118
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4171 32.02% 31.26 1.028 87.05% 0.088 -0.1016
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 77 28.57% 27.79 1.328 75.32% 0.204 -0.1767
Shifting Memory of Ages 874 40.43% 28.04 -1.977 81.81% -0.219 0.1342
Shroud of Silent Mist 1003 48.16% 28.13 -1.116 84.75% 0.021 0.2711
Starlight Seeks its Form 979 28.45% 31.35 0.343 87.95% 0.133 -0.128
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1745 29.84% 29.55 -0.714 90.32% -0.122 -0.5995
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2678 32.41% 30.1 -0.021 86.3% -0.091 -0.0285
Thunderspeaker 5845 35.51% 31.0 -0.404 85.15% -0.002 -0.0355
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 87 30.23% 21.94 -2.791 65.52% -0.516 -0.5555
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1361 64.37% 26.56 -2.191 82.37% -0.298 -0.2051
Vital Strength of the Earth 4942 36.45% 26.66 -1.906 78.17% -0.238 0.287
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 116 30.17% 26.57 -2.471 77.59% -0.616 -0.3559
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 355 37.29% 25.33 -1.216 73.52% -0.186 0.5904
Volcano Looming High 1301 46.64% 27.67 -1.442 82.09% -0.207 -0.2495

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 16 31.25% 30.63 3.232 75.0% 0.582 0.326
Blitz 0 864 41.54% 27.36 -2.572 75.81% -0.685 -0.4875
Dahan Insurrection 4 921 29.15% 47.23 6.134 73.18% -0.269 -0.7118
Despicable Theft 2 122 40.16% 35.4 -7.369 76.23% -1.716 -0.9034
Elemental Invocation 1 182 51.93% 28.8 -1.512 76.37% -0.104 0.599
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1866 10.98% 37.52 3.843 83.17% 0.436 -0.2089
Powers Long Forgotten 1 441 57.6% 31.0 -2.78 71.66% -0.831 -0.1956
Rituals of Terror 3 406 49.75% 37.7 -0.543 70.2% -0.933 -0.8319
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 299 70.9% 34.18 -3.111 63.21% -1.128 -0.1184
Second Wave 0 4199 41.67% 31.76 1.638 80.83% -0.155 -0.089
The Great River 3 144 48.61% 34.1 -1.73 62.5% -1.085 0.1327
Varied Terrains 2 72 61.11% 25.89 -2.721 51.39% -1.07 -0.4471
Ward the Shores 2 403 48.01% 33.71 -1.517 68.73% -0.91 0.1738

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 43147 42.4% 28.31 -0.548 81.82% 0.25 0.3044
1 Thematic 3760 45.75% 35.52 0.181 74.65% 0.066 0.5433
2 Archipelago 26 61.54% 37.31 0.0 80.77%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9242 36.44% 29.78 0.2 87.52% 0.146 0.2278
2 Coastline 1178 35.11% 30.35 0.955 88.54% 0.447 0.2928
2 Fragment 305 38.28% 28.8 -3.168 84.92% -0.476 -0.7252
2 Heart 156 46.1% 27.65 -2.027 76.92% -0.545 -0.8317
2 Opposite Shores 2079 32.45% 30.46 0.693 90.76% 0.254 0.2766
2 Thematic 999 44.82% 36.82 -0.402 81.58% 0.009 0.4124
2 Top to Top 355 36.65% 29.42 2.851 85.35% 0.706 0.5396
3 Archipelago 21 52.38% 38.9 0.641 85.71% -0.18 -1.7294
3 Coastline 21 38.1% 37.62 4.011 85.71% 0.84 0.3266
3 Other 133 36.43% 29.43 1.045 87.22% 0.455 0.9957
3 Round (Default) 3405 29.05% 31.43 0.781 90.19% 0.11 -0.0051
3 Sunrise 21 23.81% 32.29 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 173 50.29% 34.41 -2.093 76.88% -0.527 -0.4468
4 Archipelago 10 50.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 10 30.0% 36.8 0.0 80.0%
4 Leaf 12 33.33% 29.5 0.0 83.33%
4 Other 72 35.71% 31.43 7.369 88.89% 0.62 -0.4635
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 261 34.36% 40.49 -3.181 85.06% -0.534 -0.7963
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1459 28.22% 31.4 0.034 90.4% -0.485 -0.5679
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 58.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 37 33.33% 36.05 -0.519 75.68% -0.653 -0.9375
6 Archipelago 6 33.33% 34.5 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 19 15.79% 38.68 3.736 100.0% 0.04 -0.1924
6 Star 11 27.27% 32.36 0.0 90.91%
6 Thematic 62 41.94% 46.34 3.322 88.71% 0.174 0.594
6 Two Centers (Default) 44 15.91% 34.07 -2.343 86.36% -0.515 -0.4106
7 Other 4 66.67% 33.5 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1739 23.33 -0.989 63.6% -0.284 -0.0417
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1378 24.75 0.293 66.33% -0.233 -0.3102
All Things Weaken 861 23.78 -1.743 64.58% -0.623 -0.2309
Attenuated Essence 22 26.23 1.551 68.18% 0.076 0.1823
Back Against the Wall 1462 24.05 0.053 63.75% -0.079 -0.021
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 31 22.65 -0.257 58.06% -0.275 -0.0732
Burn Brightest Before the End 14 26.5 1.501 71.43% 0.135 0.3452
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1768 21.11 -3.95 60.35% -1.056 -0.6324
Downward Spiral 5350 22.47 -0.969 67.68% 0.01 0.2453
Erosion of Will 1793 22.83 -0.564 60.96% -0.326 -0.0171
Intensifying Exploitation 36 21.58 -0.802 55.56% -0.267 0.0206
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 377 30.14 0.283 95.76% -0.039 -0.5332
Memory Fades to Dust 5446 21.92 -1.131 62.82% -0.077 0.259
Power Corrodes the Spirit 825 23.85 -1.97 69.94% -0.481 -0.2604
Promising Farmlands 1740 21.95 -1.325 63.1% -0.401 0.0526
Shattered Fragments of Power 23 22.13 -2.543 47.83% -1.191 -1.14
Slow Dissolution of Will 28 24.32 -0.306 71.43% 0.107 0.5065
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 278 29.8 2.414 96.04% 0.732 0.0215
The Border of Life and Death 11 31.0 4.51 90.91% 1.068 0.7324
Thriving Communities 784 22.96 -0.323 66.84% 0.238 0.6005
Thriving Crops 13 25.85 2.875 92.31% 0.958 0.7605
Tipping Point 669 20.79 0.0 57.55%
Unnatural Proliferation 914 24.43 -2.42 67.51% -0.645 -0.4296
Untended Land Crumbles 863 22.84 -1.083 65.47% -0.493 -0.2108

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 15367 40.41% 28.78 -0.408 83.39% -0.237 0.5032
B 15699 38.21% 29.22 0.125 84.88% -0.118 0.6076
C 16233 38.47% 29.49 0.371 85.47% -0.131 0.4514
D 15006 38.89% 29.24 0.047 85.0% -0.08 0.6312
E 5103 35.24% 30.36 0.233 86.54% -0.239 0.3264
F 7179 34.43% 30.08 0.76 86.52% 0.015 0.685
G 6464 34.71% 30.07 0.041 87.19% -0.175 0.4767
H 6797 33.85% 30.16 0.182 86.92% -0.064 0.5064
East 3335 42.5% 38.1 1.069 78.32% -0.12 0.4188
Northeast 1990 41.6% 39.37 1.469 78.94% -0.178 0.4568
Northwest 1421 43.85% 36.54 -0.192 80.23% -0.511 0.2977
Southeast 441 43.08% 35.54 -2.207 79.14% -0.854 -0.148
Southwest 441 47.39% 32.72 -2.155 75.28% -0.484 0.5058
West 2727 48.66% 34.95 -0.235 76.31% -0.445 0.4589

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1421 0.0% 25.41 -0.218 75.51% -0.064 0.7122
Not Using Events or Tokens 13702 45.97% 27.8 -1.765 79.28% -0.442 -0.0632
Skip Initial Invader Actions 812 13.4% 40.21 5.809 92.61% 0.734 0.1167
Start of Game Growth 1427 16.43% 38.38 1.886 92.29% 0.074 -0.2742
Unlimited Undo 5068 33.98% 30.73 -0.453 87.35% -0.27 -0.2763
Using Tokens but Not Events 6916 32.45% 29.59 -0.14 87.04% 0.041 0.0307

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4079 20.4 19.64%
II 16465 31.01 71.38%
III 30727 34.76 90.07%
IV 15777 38.07 98.89%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.397 Win Model: 0.495
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 47117 42.73% 28.9 81.19%
2 14243 36.38% 30.38 87.58%
3 3713 29.88% 31.56 90.06%
4 1808 29.4% 32.79 89.33%
5 22 42.11% 35.27 81.82%
6 145 29.86% 39.97 87.59%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 799
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 26971
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11090
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15427
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1104
Lose: Invader deck ran out 635
Lose: Adversary condition 141
Win: Sacrifice victory 296
Lose: Scenario condition 532
Win: Scenario condition 1247
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8299
Lose: Spirit destroyed 507

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7375 31.66% 39.66 0.275 88.39% 0.126 -0.0215
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4804 56.33% 37.23 -0.605 80.87% 0.002 0.1332
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3887 36.43% 39.23 2.437 88.91% 0.665 0.5201
Downpour Drenches the World 610 30.12% 35.97 -2.999 78.36% -0.416 -0.2371
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 604 30.05% 38.64 3.534 78.81% 0.768 0.0025
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5663 25.22% 43.34 2.895 93.2% 0.615 0.0261
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3874 31.34% 42.32 3.35 91.64% 0.64 0.1433
Finder of Paths Unseen 373 53.53% 37.91 -1.462 72.12% -0.735 -0.0713
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1079 37.81% 41.43 0.642 82.85% -0.151 0.4349
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1339 43.79% 38.72 -1.583 83.12% -0.219 -0.3133
Heart of the Wildfire 5348 63.9% 34.17 -0.566 74.48% -0.197 0.0446
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8726 39.28% 39.57 1.304 86.72% 0.176 -0.2661
Lightning's Swift Strike 6963 49.09% 36.93 -0.157 80.55% 0.044 0.2266
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 231 48.03% 41.16 3.528 88.31% 0.714 0.2274
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 743 37.38% 41.16 -0.211 86.0% -0.113 -0.281
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 627 38.56% 44.81 -2.049 86.76% -0.609 -0.7225
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3050 40.09% 40.42 0.871 86.33% 0.2 0.068
Many Minds Move as One 1753 26.03% 42.18 2.829 93.55% 0.548 0.327
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7792 47.58% 38.77 1.116 84.87% 0.17 0.1277
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3865 37.03% 39.02 0.845 88.59% 0.291 0.1133
River Surges in Sunlight 8887 48.77% 39.33 0.779 82.06% 0.106 0.1756
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1001 42.4% 41.55 -3.93 80.92% -0.587 -0.2768
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 312 44.66% 39.79 -1.012 76.6% -0.664 -0.7774
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4667 42.28% 38.38 0.154 85.07% 0.197 -0.0405
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3912 63.16% 34.93 -2.648 73.95% -0.502 0.0277
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 89 43.82% 38.0 -0.782 75.28% -0.446 -0.5208
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 104 50.49% 37.37 -0.564 77.88% -0.136 -0.2418
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 457 51.2% 39.62 3.415 86.87% 0.446 0.4275
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 406 57.78% 38.0 -0.261 78.82% 0.066 0.2431
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5711 36.22% 40.11 1.623 87.2% 0.393 0.2033
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 141 27.66% 38.11 0.805 73.76% -0.044 -0.4248
Shifting Memory of Ages 1096 51.6% 36.59 -1.78 80.84% -0.151 0.2025
Shroud of Silent Mist 1285 64.69% 33.58 -3.732 74.55% -0.501 -0.2505
Starlight Seeks its Form 1432 39.82% 39.21 0.879 84.36% 0.372 0.1111
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2777 36.1% 37.7 1.078 88.37% 0.482 0.0045
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3106 37.26% 39.25 0.416 85.67% 0.119 0.1822
Thunderspeaker 7294 39.84% 40.3 1.006 86.3% 0.263 0.2287
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 93 29.03% 40.53 3.563 79.57% 0.631 0.592
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2018 74.78% 32.77 -1.659 74.58% -0.189 -0.0963
Vital Strength of the Earth 5415 39.05% 35.11 -4.821 78.65% -0.745 -0.2202
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 200 43.5% 38.33 -1.047 80.5% -0.022 0.2381
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 656 23.78% 33.76 -5.495 79.27% -1.068 -0.2919
Volcano Looming High 2027 47.95% 36.41 -0.278 82.44% -0.015 -0.0576

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 11.11% 39.78 4.206 88.89% 0.15 -0.1054
Blitz 0 958 47.98% 34.85 -3.19 75.26% -0.695 -0.4982
Dahan Insurrection 4 1177 25.17% 60.65 7.895 81.05% -0.139 -0.5809
Despicable Theft 2 69 56.52% 42.52 -2.889 72.46% -0.45 0.3617
Elemental Invocation 1 178 56.74% 35.44 -4.226 70.79% -0.895 -0.1922
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2703 10.65% 45.45 5.647 86.42% 0.497 -0.1474
Powers Long Forgotten 1 371 57.03% 39.55 -8.864 73.32% -1.77 -1.1346
Rituals of Terror 3 315 58.41% 45.05 2.133 67.94% -0.178 -0.0767
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 171 67.25% 45.08 -11.079 73.68% -1.397 -0.3878
Second Wave 0 3664 47.98% 38.44 1.4 75.74% -0.142 -0.0763
The Great River 3 130 53.85% 39.68 0.516 54.62% -0.373 0.8441
Varied Terrains 2 47 53.19% 43.77 4.317 76.6% 0.092 0.7148
Ward the Shores 2 371 47.15% 43.78 -2.482 74.66% -0.526 0.5586

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 51711 46.76% 36.54 -0.366 81.12% 0.416 0.4697
1 Thematic 3381 49.56% 42.12 -1.386 75.27% -0.25 0.2277
2 Archipelago 28 42.86% 41.96 -9.586 60.71% -1.264 -1.16
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11859 43.76% 37.82 0.096 86.18% 0.354 0.4362
2 Coastline 1415 41.15% 38.56 -0.076 85.51% 0.337 0.1825
2 Fragment 350 46.09% 37.01 4.535 84.57% 1.226 0.9765
2 Heart 153 48.0% 38.61 9.512 86.27% 1.02 0.733
2 Opposite Shores 2700 39.87% 38.71 0.711 88.04% 0.461 0.484
2 Thematic 1340 45.36% 44.11 -2.076 78.96% -0.287 0.1162
2 Top to Top 463 36.88% 39.89 3.558 89.42% 1.15 0.9837
3 Archipelago 22 36.36% 64.55 18.58 90.91% 0.451 -1.0981
3 Coastline 25 40.0% 42.04 9.532 88.0% 1.009 0.4957
3 Other 280 41.43% 40.1 -8.415 91.79% -0.775 -0.234
3 Round (Default) 4596 36.48% 39.43 1.048 88.69% 0.288 0.1727
3 Sunrise 30 40.0% 42.47 0.0 96.67%
3 Thematic 267 49.62% 45.1 0.076 78.28% -0.146 -0.0658
4 Archipelago 12 41.67% 43.42 -16.241 83.33% -0.609 -1.2832
4 Coastline 7 42.86% 37.43 0.0 71.43%
4 Leaf 20 40.0% 43.95 5.341 95.0% 0.651 0.3078
4 Other 106 52.83% 42.99 6.369 87.74% 0.714 -0.3701
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 523 40.0% 50.06 1.815 86.62% -0.157 -0.419
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2242 30.62% 41.43 -0.869 91.03% 0.048 -0.0344
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 53.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 1 100.0% 40.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 91 38.89% 50.67 -1.331 87.91% -0.323 -0.6074
5 Thematic 16 43.75% 62.69 9.186 93.75% 0.391 0.2974
6 Other 21 23.81% 53.14 0.443 90.48% 0.146 -0.0873
6 Star 16 50.0% 39.75 -13.692 93.75% -0.706 -0.7183
6 Thematic 228 46.85% 55.98 3.162 75.0% -0.254 0.166
6 Two Centers (Default) 172 15.7% 43.39 -4.066 86.63% -1.338 -1.2337
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2625 30.62 0.795 64.08% -0.207 0.0357
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2176 32.24 0.712 65.67% -0.324 -0.4016
All Things Weaken 1380 29.88 -4.138 62.03% -0.884 -0.4912
Attenuated Essence 43 31.05 0.034 60.47% -0.219 -0.1124
Back Against the Wall 2057 31.31 0.559 63.34% -0.139 -0.0811
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 55 27.93 -1.366 54.55% -0.267 -0.0653
Burn Brightest Before the End 55 31.22 -0.778 60.0% -0.577 -0.3662
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2462 28.48 -0.492 63.08% -0.198 0.2262
Downward Spiral 6499 30.53 -1.819 69.49% -0.072 0.1631
Erosion of Will 2721 30.53 -0.997 63.32% -0.435 -0.1263
Intensifying Exploitation 71 29.87 -1.309 57.75% -0.322 -0.034
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 584 40.11 1.771 97.6% 0.91 0.4158
Memory Fades to Dust 6655 30.09 -1.132 66.03% -0.189 0.1473
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1270 30.91 -1.547 68.19% -0.376 -0.1555
Promising Farmlands 2610 30.18 -1.315 66.93% -0.339 0.1138
Shattered Fragments of Power 32 32.94 1.8 68.75% 0.146 0.1975
Slow Dissolution of Will 35 28.63 -2.67 54.29% -0.589 -0.19
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 351 40.2 4.782 96.3% 0.855 0.1447
The Border of Life and Death 20 36.75 3.474 95.0% 1.279 0.9435
Thriving Communities 1243 30.1 -1.046 66.37% -0.077 0.2861
Thriving Crops 25 30.76 -0.119 68.0% 0.193 -0.0053
Tipping Point 971 29.87 0.0 64.78%
Unnatural Proliferation 1331 31.4 0.213 64.91% -0.262 -0.0473
Untended Land Crumbles 1283 30.47 -2.786 66.41% -0.569 -0.2872

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 19353 44.39% 37.37 -0.477 83.13% -0.47 0.2698
B 19989 43.17% 37.77 0.361 84.41% -0.244 0.4819
C 20689 43.66% 37.87 -0.253 84.45% -0.338 0.244
D 18637 43.75% 37.69 -0.53 84.44% -0.362 0.349
E 6739 40.5% 38.94 0.632 86.17% -0.104 0.4618
F 9449 40.05% 38.54 -0.123 85.72% -0.365 0.3055
G 8563 41.09% 38.53 0.604 85.99% -0.167 0.4844
H 8700 39.51% 38.79 -0.185 86.09% -0.394 0.1766
East 3857 45.71% 45.59 1.921 78.25% -0.141 0.3983
Northeast 2370 44.17% 47.01 2.591 80.46% -0.163 0.4722
Northwest 1916 45.32% 46.92 2.858 81.0% 0.134 0.9436
Southeast 679 44.73% 46.78 0.839 75.99% -0.768 -0.062
Southwest 642 47.64% 44.9 1.612 74.45% 0.024 1.0135
West 3389 47.56% 44.88 1.381 78.05% -0.548 0.3557

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 706 0.0% 35.72 0.461 75.35% 0.196 0.9717
Not Using Events or Tokens 12880 50.26% 35.94 -2.681 79.57% -0.532 -0.1527
Skip Initial Invader Actions 860 12.93% 48.77 5.598 93.26% 1.109 0.4916
Start of Game Growth 1730 15.82% 46.99 1.921 92.2% -0.251 -0.6
Unlimited Undo 7103 37.99% 39.16 0.046 87.32% -0.047 -0.0537
Using Tokens but Not Events 8196 35.8% 38.41 0.24 85.97% 0.154 0.1441

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5349 20.4 23.8%
II 21089 31.01 67.8%
III 36249 34.76 91.2%
IV 19428 38.07 99.34%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.418 Win Model: 0.526
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 55312 46.98% 36.89 80.73%
2 18253 42.93% 38.53 85.89%
3 5143 37.11% 39.96 88.74%
4 2914 32.84% 43.31 90.49%
5 69 36.76% 51.61 79.71%
6 424 35.17% 49.08 80.9%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1270
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 32356
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 13366
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 19126
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1134
Lose: Invader deck ran out 706
Lose: Adversary condition 203
Win: Sacrifice victory 326
Lose: Scenario condition 568
Win: Scenario condition 1485
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11019
Lose: Spirit destroyed 556

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6690 36.12% 45.17 0.265 84.2% 0.162 0.0144
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4411 66.92% 41.33 -2.947 75.27% -0.378 -0.2478
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3519 42.08% 45.26 1.763 87.47% 0.493 0.3487
Downpour Drenches the World 572 37.19% 39.66 -1.989 73.6% -0.303 -0.1241
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 667 34.03% 41.28 3.739 77.51% 0.856 0.0905
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5739 28.71% 50.05 4.385 93.22% 0.902 0.3129
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3867 34.38% 48.08 1.45 88.44% 0.281 -0.2162
Finder of Paths Unseen 232 48.71% 37.5 -3.785 67.24% -0.611 0.0534
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1079 43.72% 45.33 -3.152 75.53% -0.337 0.2492
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1459 46.54% 44.6 -0.331 81.49% -0.087 -0.1814
Heart of the Wildfire 5582 70.32% 37.0 -4.682 65.87% -0.687 -0.4459
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10088 45.49% 44.83 0.747 84.44% 0.171 -0.271
Lightning's Swift Strike 5999 57.77% 41.03 -0.888 74.21% -0.158 0.0252
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 283 49.46% 47.57 2.912 83.04% 0.71 0.2229
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 742 46.29% 47.15 1.614 87.6% 0.186 0.0185
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 607 46.86% 44.54 -1.889 79.08% -0.327 -0.4403
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3280 47.08% 44.97 0.682 82.35% 0.252 0.1199
Many Minds Move as One 1844 31.51% 48.25 1.298 91.81% 0.168 -0.0531
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8059 51.01% 44.18 -0.749 82.11% 0.021 -0.0213
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4215 41.27% 44.47 0.203 85.95% 0.214 0.0359
River Surges in Sunlight 9110 52.74% 44.87 0.477 77.52% 0.051 0.1213
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 835 46.28% 44.55 -3.831 74.13% -0.401 -0.0911
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 355 49.15% 43.85 -1.545 72.96% -0.491 -0.6048
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4392 45.31% 43.97 0.107 82.54% 0.284 0.0464
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3317 71.24% 38.65 -4.14 66.84% -0.663 -0.1338
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 111 41.82% 38.1 -3.468 66.67% -0.297 -0.3723
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 111 54.55% 43.35 3.195 80.18% 0.696 0.5899
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 542 48.89% 44.81 -1.549 80.63% -0.231 -0.2497
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 347 64.27% 41.35 -4.164 73.78% -0.799 -0.6227
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5908 40.45% 45.7 -0.052 83.99% 0.142 -0.0477
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 110 31.82% 39.64 2.038 74.55% 0.399 0.0183
Shifting Memory of Ages 1031 57.64% 41.2 -2.023 78.66% -0.145 0.2083
Shroud of Silent Mist 1038 69.58% 37.91 -3.88 69.65% -0.396 -0.1459
Starlight Seeks its Form 1631 37.77% 44.03 1.146 84.0% 0.356 0.0946
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2956 41.16% 42.66 0.603 84.81% 0.519 0.042
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3397 39.31% 45.48 1.989 84.87% 0.312 0.3745
Thunderspeaker 6403 45.84% 45.58 0.472 82.32% 0.165 0.1312
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 99 44.44% 33.24 -0.256 65.66% 0.302 0.2625
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2124 80.96% 37.81 -2.611 72.55% -0.235 -0.1417
Vital Strength of the Earth 4883 47.45% 40.12 -3.718 71.78% -0.615 -0.0909
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 199 36.55% 38.54 -2.469 72.86% -0.192 0.0683
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 359 50.14% 37.2 0.255 62.67% -0.002 0.7743
Volcano Looming High 1808 55.74% 40.16 -2.129 75.88% -0.288 -0.3306

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 33.33% 37.0 -5.957 66.67% -0.492 -0.7472
Blitz 0 884 53.06% 39.43 -3.96 71.83% -0.647 -0.4494
Dahan Insurrection 4 1095 28.73% 66.73 8.1 81.0% 0.148 -0.2942
Despicable Theft 2 80 60.0% 40.89 1.485 51.25% -0.663 0.1496
Elemental Invocation 1 130 71.54% 38.55 0.497 60.0% -0.394 0.3092
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3159 11.87% 51.54 3.667 86.17% 0.57 -0.0748
Powers Long Forgotten 1 207 66.18% 42.58 -8.356 64.25% -1.013 -0.3779
Rituals of Terror 3 139 64.75% 45.88 -6.634 56.83% -1.145 -1.0444
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 107 78.5% 46.42 -6.172 57.94% -0.872 0.137
Second Wave 0 2671 53.02% 43.47 3.393 71.32% 0.175 0.2415
The Great River 3 106 65.09% 39.87 -0.341 41.51% -1.147 0.0707
Varied Terrains 2 21 71.43% 34.05 -5.077 42.86% -0.596 0.0266
Ward the Shores 2 161 60.25% 48.2 1.387 68.32% -0.643 0.4413

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 56675 53.42% 41.65 -0.893 76.6% -0.401 -0.3467
1 Thematic 2686 49.61% 48.5 0.736 70.44% -0.579 -0.1017
2 Archipelago 17 58.82% 54.88 0.0 76.47%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11566 46.63% 44.23 1.231 84.27% 0.237 0.3191
2 Coastline 1500 42.19% 44.92 2.231 85.6% 0.331 0.1765
2 Fragment 253 58.23% 40.08 4.003 73.91% 0.666 0.4172
2 Heart 132 56.82% 43.42 -1.585 81.82% -0.333 -0.6198
2 Opposite Shores 2496 46.81% 44.46 -1.84 83.13% -0.323 -0.3003
2 Thematic 976 56.1% 48.2 5.452 72.34% 0.405 0.8089
2 Top to Top 411 48.54% 43.45 0.065 82.24% -0.054 -0.2197
3 Archipelago 11 72.73% 66.73 17.338 100.0% 0.683 -0.8656
3 Coastline 49 36.73% 45.29 0.0 75.51%
3 Other 253 37.05% 45.38 -3.281 88.54% 0.01 0.5502
3 Round (Default) 4047 39.87% 45.77 0.926 86.16% 0.334 0.2183
3 Sunrise 20 35.0% 46.9 0.0 90.0%
3 Thematic 167 56.29% 51.54 -6.322 80.84% -0.673 -0.5925
4 Archipelago 13 30.77% 54.23 12.264 76.92% 0.174 -0.5001
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 44.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 11 63.64% 42.73 0.0 72.73%
4 Other 88 46.59% 45.81 -0.024 88.64% 0.261 -0.8228
4 Snake 4 25.0% 50.25 9.809 100.0% 0.277 -0.0698
4 Thematic 340 40.12% 55.91 9.367 86.76% 1.192 0.9295
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2242 35.33% 47.87 0.043 89.7% 0.401 0.318
5 Archipelago 5 60.0% 62.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Other 62 45.76% 44.21 -4.628 77.42% -0.561 -0.8462
5 Thematic 8 50.0% 68.0 -8.107 87.5% -0.072 -0.1655
6 Archipelago 6 33.33% 35.33 -11.821 50.0% -0.488 -0.3368
6 Other 7 28.57% 44.86 0.0 85.71%
6 Star 23 30.43% 37.57 -7.321 65.22% -0.926 -0.9389
6 Thematic 72 12.5% 47.83 -10.504 52.78% -0.911 -0.4906
6 Two Centers (Default) 132 28.03% 43.26 -2.136 82.58% 0.272 0.3761

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3194 35.56 -1.756 60.55% -0.544 -0.3018
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2463 38.1 1.954 65.57% 0.106 0.0286
All Things Weaken 1664 34.64 -0.845 58.77% -0.366 0.0263
Attenuated Essence 65 32.98 -1.0 60.0% -0.107 0.0
Back Against the Wall 2411 36.64 -0.968 61.14% -0.505 -0.4474
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 71 28.58 -3.189 43.66% -0.843 -0.641
Burn Brightest Before the End 32 33.34 -0.433 50.0% -0.619 -0.4087
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2989 32.93 -4.024 58.58% -0.655 -0.2314
Downward Spiral 7105 35.94 -0.12 65.53% 0.207 0.442
Erosion of Will 3098 34.87 -0.651 58.62% -0.282 0.0268
Intensifying Exploitation 53 30.3 -1.956 52.83% -0.376 -0.0887
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 672 45.51 2.209 92.56% 0.695 0.201
Memory Fades to Dust 7216 34.73 -0.592 60.93% 0.034 0.3703
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1627 35.12 0.332 62.14% -0.094 0.1267
Promising Farmlands 3098 34.98 -0.696 62.49% -0.18 0.2734
Shattered Fragments of Power 51 34.14 -0.222 56.86% -0.333 -0.2818
Slow Dissolution of Will 57 35.46 -0.177 56.14% -0.282 0.1174
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 446 46.77 5.538 94.84% 1.234 0.5235
The Border of Life and Death 23 35.57 -0.449 69.57% -0.019 -0.3541
Thriving Communities 1598 34.76 -2.664 62.52% -0.655 -0.2917
Thriving Crops 24 44.46 4.629 87.5% 0.994 0.7961
Tipping Point 1157 34.37 0.0 59.64%
Unnatural Proliferation 1733 37.31 -0.136 65.32% -0.339 -0.124
Untended Land Crumbles 1591 34.89 -1.553 62.1% -0.3 -0.0181

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 19126 50.39% 42.68 -0.268 78.92% -0.244 0.496
B 20137 48.38% 43.28 -0.469 80.56% -0.237 0.4885
C 20956 48.74% 43.45 -0.373 81.05% -0.242 0.3402
D 17986 49.79% 42.88 -0.882 79.7% -0.333 0.3781
E 7147 46.5% 43.81 0.627 82.27% -0.082 0.4835
F 9849 45.59% 44.0 0.238 82.41% -0.185 0.485
G 9037 46.53% 43.82 0.698 82.43% -0.115 0.5368
H 9370 44.25% 44.71 0.89 84.1% -0.055 0.5154
East 2838 48.5% 49.9 -2.355 72.76% -0.866 -0.3271
Northeast 1729 46.23% 50.77 1.447 73.92% 0.023 0.6574
Northwest 1199 47.41% 50.56 -0.229 76.31% -0.201 0.608
Southeast 451 45.01% 48.18 -0.922 70.73% 0.039 0.745
Southwest 405 45.93% 44.52 -5.095 69.38% -0.96 0.0295
West 2316 51.51% 49.79 -2.106 73.23% -0.328 0.5753

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 535 0.0% 40.03 2.176 66.54% 0.242 1.0181
Not Using Events or Tokens 10620 57.93% 40.44 -1.912 72.15% -0.372 0.0073
Skip Initial Invader Actions 824 9.55% 57.22 -1.077 93.57% -0.179 -0.7962
Start of Game Growth 1742 15.31% 55.05 3.076 92.31% 0.13 -0.2184
Unlimited Undo 7180 41.4% 45.57 1.551 85.4% 0.268 0.2612
Using Tokens but Not Events 8432 42.38% 44.32 0.675 83.65% 0.203 0.1925

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6594 20.4 16.01%
II 28486 31.01 68.36%
III 33416 34.76 90.03%
IV 15809 38.07 99.47%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.058 Win Model: -0.003
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 59538 53.26% 41.97 76.33%
2 17319 47.09% 44.47 83.37%
3 4477 40.08% 45.95 86.04%
4 2696 36.19% 48.89 89.21%
5 41 50.0% 37.34 58.54%
6 234 23.08% 44.82 73.08%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1056
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 29584
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18564
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15619
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1290
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1541
Lose: Adversary condition 194
Win: Sacrifice victory 323
Lose: Scenario condition 456
Win: Scenario condition 1191
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13810
Lose: Spirit destroyed 677

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4996 35.32% 47.53 -0.491 81.75% 0.171 0.0229
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3511 68.13% 43.49 -3.583 74.2% -0.387 -0.2562
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3066 44.29% 47.17 1.083 84.93% 0.243 0.0988
Downpour Drenches the World 468 36.13% 44.63 -1.8 77.35% -0.32 -0.141
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 620 32.26% 46.46 4.063 81.13% 0.788 0.0225
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4921 27.83% 53.11 3.906 93.25% 0.911 0.3219
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3311 34.87% 50.03 6.034 88.73% 1.41 0.9133
Finder of Paths Unseen 217 48.85% 39.88 -5.716 67.28% -0.729 -0.0653
Fractured Days Split the Sky 981 38.53% 50.35 -4.717 78.9% -0.978 -0.392
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1344 47.8% 45.59 -1.151 75.67% -0.072 -0.167
Heart of the Wildfire 4760 67.81% 40.71 -3.361 68.57% -0.469 -0.2274
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8911 43.03% 48.36 -0.49 85.52% 0.061 -0.3813
Lightning's Swift Strike 5103 51.62% 44.86 -1.034 76.56% -0.019 0.1644
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 263 58.02% 46.54 -0.529 77.57% 0.279 -0.2077
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 751 39.47% 50.35 1.215 88.68% 0.302 0.1344
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 515 40.39% 51.7 2.481 87.96% 0.463 0.3501
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2940 44.49% 48.49 1.191 84.39% 0.144 0.0119
Many Minds Move as One 1571 31.85% 51.26 0.013 92.87% 0.162 -0.0598
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6325 50.48% 46.35 -1.11 79.87% 0.059 0.017
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3185 43.44% 46.59 2.205 83.01% 0.586 0.4081
River Surges in Sunlight 6688 52.42% 47.54 -1.8 75.9% -0.362 -0.2916
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 569 42.5% 48.86 1.397 78.21% -0.219 0.0918
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 353 47.29% 51.99 4.189 84.42% 0.552 0.4388
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3539 45.34% 46.28 -1.12 81.1% 0.016 -0.2218
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2091 68.68% 41.46 -4.896 65.76% -0.502 0.0278
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 72 59.72% 44.74 4.502 70.83% 0.689 0.6143
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 94 40.43% 48.87 0.135 86.17% -0.083 -0.1889
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 402 62.69% 43.12 -2.624 72.14% -0.282 -0.3007
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 243 71.19% 43.05 -1.649 70.78% -0.12 0.0565
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7482 29.54% 51.04 4.025 88.53% 0.693 0.5033
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 89 31.46% 45.25 3.296 76.4% 0.609 0.2274
Shifting Memory of Ages 882 55.22% 44.36 -0.33 78.23% 0.189 0.5421
Shroud of Silent Mist 726 76.14% 39.36 -5.245 67.22% -0.814 -0.5634
Starlight Seeks its Form 1648 38.23% 47.15 -0.158 84.1% 0.172 -0.0893
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2835 36.88% 45.87 -0.186 86.42% 0.145 -0.3324
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2775 42.72% 47.62 0.455 81.69% 0.002 0.0645
Thunderspeaker 4753 46.7% 47.47 -2.116 80.77% -0.28 -0.3136
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 76 50.0% 40.01 -1.998 67.11% -0.465 -0.5043
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2011 80.81% 41.5 -3.582 75.09% -0.335 -0.2418
Vital Strength of the Earth 3125 52.39% 39.23 -6.037 58.14% -1.067 -0.5421
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 163 46.63% 41.71 -1.518 68.71% -0.16 0.1002
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 207 47.83% 39.2 -6.711 58.94% -0.964 -0.1879
Volcano Looming High 1793 52.59% 44.9 -1.665 80.26% -0.095 -0.1377

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 40.0% 42.4 5.072 80.0% 0.812 0.5563
Blitz 0 544 45.97% 44.09 2.91 74.26% 0.677 0.8742
Dahan Insurrection 4 712 28.23% 69.61 7.344 78.51% 0.131 -0.3114
Despicable Theft 2 30 60.0% 40.17 -9.466 46.67% -0.639 0.1734
Elemental Invocation 1 54 61.11% 44.91 -12.64 68.52% -1.285 -0.5823
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2371 12.96% 54.23 6.314 88.74% 0.953 0.308
Powers Long Forgotten 1 135 69.63% 44.08 -12.933 61.48% -1.465 -0.8295
Rituals of Terror 3 140 57.86% 53.09 -16.981 60.0% -0.598 -0.4969
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 84 78.57% 48.65 7.94 53.57% -0.281 0.7281
Second Wave 0 1734 52.14% 45.78 -0.096 69.95% -0.523 -0.457
The Great River 3 51 68.63% 41.43 -10.934 43.14% -1.236 -0.0184
Varied Terrains 2 19 78.95% 42.58 1.755 57.89% -0.232 0.3911
Ward the Shores 2 112 58.93% 49.4 -4.401 65.18% -0.808 0.2758

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 53782 48.63% 45.51 -0.308 78.41% -0.209 -0.1553
1 Thematic 1972 54.54% 51.54 -1.251 70.23% -0.639 -0.1614
2 Archipelago 12 83.33% 50.42 0.0 66.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8536 48.1% 46.81 0.985 82.66% 0.158 0.24
2 Coastline 1283 40.44% 48.16 1.741 85.81% 0.259 0.1054
2 Fragment 161 52.5% 45.44 -11.481 78.88% -1.609 -1.8585
2 Heart 77 43.42% 48.82 8.26 88.31% 0.769 0.4823
2 Opposite Shores 1646 46.2% 46.15 -1.979 80.26% -0.397 -0.3742
2 Thematic 592 55.25% 50.25 1.507 70.61% -0.223 0.181
2 Top to Top 376 43.05% 48.07 3.611 84.57% 0.599 0.4333
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 42.67 -14.92 50.0% -0.358 -1.9072
3 Coastline 48 25.0% 57.65 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 119 52.54% 46.31 0.944 81.51% 0.335 0.8756
3 Round (Default) 3254 37.1% 49.01 1.038 87.46% 0.328 0.2125
3 Sunrise 15 13.33% 56.47 11.272 86.67% -0.342 -0.0622
3 Thematic 98 62.24% 50.72 5.607 72.45% 0.398 0.4787
4 Archipelago 7 57.14% 48.14 0.0 71.43%
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 9 66.67% 47.22 0.0 88.89%
4 Other 61 36.67% 50.02 7.553 83.61% 0.819 -0.2645
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 449 36.61% 54.67 -2.585 79.06% 0.03 -0.232
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1488 37.89% 49.29 -1.414 86.9% -0.084 -0.1667
5 Archipelago 4 100.0% 70.5 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 43 41.46% 43.53 -3.97 67.44% -0.351 -0.6358
5 Thematic 4 25.0% 57.75 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 13 46.15% 40.38 3.515 69.23% 0.113 -0.1195
6 Star 7 71.43% 62.29 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 29 10.34% 64.31 -1.306 79.31% -0.265 0.155
6 Two Centers (Default) 35 40.0% 40.49 -3.903 68.57% -0.412 -0.308

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2711 38.72 -1.643 61.97% -0.591 -0.349
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2030 41.24 2.167 66.16% 0.236 0.1584
All Things Weaken 1395 38.03 -3.909 60.93% -1.082 -0.6892
Attenuated Essence 52 36.58 -0.609 61.54% -0.129 -0.022
Back Against the Wall 1898 39.61 1.437 62.28% -0.063 -0.005
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 43 35.81 -1.812 53.49% -0.81 -0.6078
Burn Brightest Before the End 33 38.06 2.132 63.64% 0.264 0.4746
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2506 35.82 -3.415 58.22% -0.745 -0.3215
Downward Spiral 5757 37.98 -2.613 62.93% -0.615 -0.3797
Erosion of Will 2597 37.34 -1.161 58.07% -0.457 -0.1482
Intensifying Exploitation 48 27.65 -5.668 41.67% -1.058 -0.7704
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 566 48.83 -1.666 91.52% -0.105 -0.5988
Memory Fades to Dust 5821 36.98 -3.295 58.44% -0.73 -0.3934
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1424 40.01 -0.751 67.98% -0.239 -0.0187
Promising Farmlands 2691 37.2 -2.527 60.42% -0.521 -0.0674
Shattered Fragments of Power 42 40.0 0.831 66.67% -0.049 0.0019
Slow Dissolution of Will 54 27.89 -4.932 35.19% -1.302 -0.903
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 414 48.47 -0.607 91.79% -0.437 -1.1481
The Border of Life and Death 14 42.07 4.707 78.57% 0.717 0.3811
Thriving Communities 1302 36.75 -4.447 59.68% -0.837 -0.4746
Thriving Crops 28 35.68 0.506 67.86% 0.097 -0.1011
Tipping Point 957 35.54 0.0 54.13%
Unnatural Proliferation 1480 39.69 -0.15 64.66% -0.286 -0.0705
Untended Land Crumbles 1345 38.46 -2.057 64.39% -0.465 -0.1837

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 15397 48.42% 45.51 -0.048 78.13% -0.032 0.7077
B 16869 45.95% 46.61 0.302 81.02% -0.049 0.6767
C 17158 48.13% 46.2 0.057 80.08% -0.055 0.5269
D 14703 47.63% 45.99 -0.114 79.47% -0.008 0.7037
E 6720 43.36% 48.04 1.447 85.01% 0.243 0.8087
F 8676 44.36% 46.98 0.002 82.83% 0.066 0.7364
G 7858 44.75% 46.89 -0.754 82.86% -0.206 0.4456
H 7963 42.69% 47.46 -0.668 83.8% -0.2 0.3705
East 2007 50.85% 51.41 -0.895 71.0% -0.123 0.416
Northeast 1208 49.13% 52.11 0.922 72.02% 0.391 1.0262
Northwest 975 47.53% 53.03 -0.672 77.33% 0.086 0.8947
Southeast 306 48.69% 50.54 2.359 73.86% 0.47 1.1755
Southwest 284 52.46% 44.44 -4.089 64.44% -0.69 0.2999
West 1877 49.65% 53.37 -5.269 73.68% -1.494 -0.5906

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 429 0.0% 46.16 -0.954 74.13% -0.408 0.3682
Not Using Events or Tokens 8907 53.4% 44.18 -1.5 73.45% -0.083 0.2957
Skip Initial Invader Actions 593 13.94% 59.65 4.025 93.76% 0.351 -0.2665
Start of Game Growth 1154 18.04% 56.97 4.637 91.42% 0.347 -0.0014
Unlimited Undo 7317 43.76% 47.65 0.386 83.76% 0.117 0.1099
Using Tokens but Not Events 6852 38.5% 47.58 1.57 82.92% 0.129 0.1184

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8228 20.4 33.96%
II 32428 31.01 78.47%
III 24223 34.76 88.37%
IV 9279 38.07 99.62%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.087 Win Model: -0.075
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 55891 48.87% 45.72 78.11%
2 12639 47.25% 47.08 82.19%
3 3500 37.83% 49.12 87.11%
4 2019 37.6% 50.57 85.04%
5 24 45.83% 34.17 50.0%
6 85 34.12% 50.36 75.29%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2793
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 21127
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 24737
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9164
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 803
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2594
Lose: Adversary condition 99
Win: Sacrifice victory 296
Lose: Scenario condition 280
Win: Scenario condition 772
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10958
Lose: Spirit destroyed 535

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2681 47.23% 50.04 -5.158 69.94% -0.843 -0.9909
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1589 78.23% 46.95 -2.266 65.01% -0.4 -0.2691
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2332 41.16% 53.3 0.352 79.25% 0.161 0.0161
Downpour Drenches the World 211 45.27% 46.29 -3.978 62.09% -0.639 -0.4594
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 348 37.07% 52.34 6.052 80.75% 1.412 0.6471
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2870 38.54% 56.87 4.551 85.3% 0.784 0.195
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1564 45.95% 54.29 4.642 79.03% 0.881 0.3839
Finder of Paths Unseen 89 59.55% 47.48 -1.443 64.04% -0.017 0.6472
Fractured Days Split the Sky 397 56.68% 52.12 -2.475 63.73% -0.569 0.0168
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 585 44.62% 54.03 -3.182 78.8% -0.126 -0.2209
Heart of the Wildfire 2505 72.79% 43.31 0.333 59.04% 0.405 0.6467
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3861 59.62% 49.54 -0.27 70.55% 0.046 -0.3956
Lightning's Swift Strike 2930 70.68% 44.65 -3.857 58.67% -0.365 -0.1819
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 107 72.9% 44.21 -1.56 58.88% 0.072 -0.4152
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 331 58.48% 54.23 5.096 81.57% 1.151 0.983
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 218 48.62% 55.37 3.268 79.82% 0.493 0.3792
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1624 51.23% 53.11 1.355 77.89% 0.556 0.4235
Many Minds Move as One 600 41.17% 57.55 -0.655 89.33% 0.239 0.0172
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3248 57.54% 51.36 2.663 73.37% 0.829 0.7871
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1591 53.86% 48.96 -0.933 70.21% 0.204 0.0257
River Surges in Sunlight 3805 64.54% 51.4 -0.799 67.04% -0.153 -0.0831
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 275 47.64% 50.85 4.013 63.64% 0.043 0.3538
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 178 58.19% 49.92 -0.18 66.29% 0.09 -0.0234
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1664 56.37% 49.98 -1.372 71.81% 0.158 -0.0793
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1927 82.87% 43.04 -5.83 55.16% -0.765 -0.2357
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 18 55.56% 50.78 9.278 72.22% 0.749 0.6737
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 73 36.99% 58.1 4.406 86.3% 0.45 0.3442
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 177 78.53% 41.51 -4.603 49.72% -0.965 -0.9839
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 113 74.34% 47.92 -16.163 69.03% -1.447 -1.2703
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3477 38.16% 56.29 4.62 80.64% 0.806 0.6162
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 41 51.22% 42.93 0.445 65.85% 0.352 -0.029
Shifting Memory of Ages 326 71.17% 43.43 -5.605 55.52% -0.331 0.0226
Shroud of Silent Mist 235 83.33% 42.12 -6.096 56.6% -0.612 -0.3622
Starlight Seeks its Form 497 45.88% 51.11 -2.822 71.83% -0.033 -0.2943
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2353 34.95% 52.03 1.755 81.39% 0.376 -0.1011
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1725 50.0% 51.28 -1.985 72.75% -0.087 -0.0246
Thunderspeaker 2494 57.71% 51.1 -3.126 70.13% -0.476 -0.5103
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 26 46.15% 40.46 1.514 61.54% -0.05 -0.089
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1289 87.82% 45.32 0.9 65.48% 0.372 0.4648
Vital Strength of the Earth 1729 69.51% 39.45 -4.923 40.02% -1.055 -0.5302
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 105 55.24% 42.04 -1.907 44.76% -0.657 -0.3969
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 110 62.73% 38.08 -7.969 38.18% -0.747 0.0287
Volcano Looming High 830 69.81% 47.38 -1.903 68.43% -0.103 -0.1463

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 66.0 4.758 100.0% 0.028 -0.2273
Blitz 0 368 73.54% 41.81 -6.319 53.53% -0.626 -0.4289
Dahan Insurrection 4 474 53.8% 68.92 15.263 62.24% 0.772 0.3301
Despicable Theft 2 8 50.0% 45.88 -5.259 50.0% -0.542 0.2698
Elemental Invocation 1 40 77.5% 29.1 -11.342 17.5% -1.02 -0.3173
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1388 18.79% 60.71 6.392 87.46% 1.036 0.3918
Powers Long Forgotten 1 90 73.33% 47.17 -21.98 52.22% -0.613 0.0221
Rituals of Terror 3 63 66.67% 60.43 -16.695 52.38% -0.947 -0.8461
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 59 91.53% 48.71 0.0 42.37%
Second Wave 0 973 62.47% 48.77 -0.696 61.36% -0.492 -0.426
The Great River 3 29 62.07% 39.52 0.0 20.69%
Varied Terrains 2 3 100.0% 48.67 3.313 33.33% -0.341 0.282
Ward the Shores 2 60 75.0% 48.55 -9.101 48.33% -0.356 0.728

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 29946 58.53% 48.22 -0.259 67.47% 0.256 0.31
1 Thematic 1198 65.11% 52.9 -2.529 57.76% -0.443 0.0348
2 Archipelago 8 75.0% 59.63 0.0 75.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4773 55.89% 51.3 0.2 74.13% 0.387 0.4693
2 Coastline 704 48.14% 51.38 0.429 73.72% -0.046 -0.1999
2 Fragment 92 65.93% 47.41 7.058 67.39% 0.854 0.6044
2 Heart 63 66.67% 49.62 3.634 69.84% 0.558 0.2707
2 Opposite Shores 1090 58.36% 50.97 1.842 73.58% 0.105 0.1281
2 Thematic 331 66.67% 52.96 -6.961 55.59% -0.325 0.0791
2 Top to Top 144 62.24% 49.91 0.254 72.22% -0.017 -0.183
3 Archipelago 4 50.0% 84.75 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 10 30.0% 66.6 -10.765 100.0% -0.524 -1.038
3 Other 41 70.73% 52.76 -2.843 73.17% -0.004 0.5362
3 Round (Default) 1316 52.29% 52.55 0.98 76.67% 0.21 0.0947
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Thematic 64 50.0% 60.09 -12.121 71.88% -0.5 -0.4195
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 72.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 64.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 11 72.73% 52.0 3.111 72.73% -0.026 -1.1097
4 Thematic 182 33.52% 64.62 7.006 81.87% 0.33 0.0675
4 Trapezoid (Default) 579 48.94% 52.79 -3.986 77.03% -0.633 -0.7159
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 9 44.44% 60.56 0.0 77.78%
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 107.33 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 69.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 1 100.0% 19.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Star 1 0.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 28 21.43% 65.79 0.0 82.14%
6 Two Centers (Default) 5 0.0% 50.0 -10.717 80.0% -0.076 0.028

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1673 41.49 -2.883 50.75% -1.144 -0.9019
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1190 45.25 1.434 58.49% -0.388 -0.4653
All Things Weaken 872 40.39 -2.834 49.54% -1.015 -0.6227
Attenuated Essence 30 35.3 -2.645 43.33% -0.724 -0.6173
Back Against the Wall 1170 44.24 0.154 56.07% -0.573 -0.5149
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 24 38.63 1.595 50.0% 0.015 0.2163
Burn Brightest Before the End 26 39.96 -2.812 53.85% -0.825 -0.6142
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1525 38.51 -3.137 47.74% -0.975 -0.5514
Downward Spiral 4573 40.25 -3.612 50.73% -0.94 -0.7043
Erosion of Will 1547 39.74 -3.696 46.8% -0.806 -0.497
Intensifying Exploitation 44 34.48 -3.59 47.73% -0.783 -0.496
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 299 54.67 1.883 87.29% 0.496 0.0024
Memory Fades to Dust 4477 39.72 -3.583 48.13% -0.993 -0.6566
Power Corrodes the Spirit 853 41.27 -3.799 53.58% -1.009 -0.7882
Promising Farmlands 1588 38.52 -1.991 45.78% -0.617 -0.1639
Shattered Fragments of Power 24 33.46 -1.516 37.5% -0.721 -0.67
Slow Dissolution of Will 33 28.06 -6.102 27.27% -1.404 -1.0051
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 171 55.48 6.211 88.89% 0.929 0.2184
Thriving Communities 839 40.67 -3.17 52.56% -0.907 -0.5437
Thriving Crops 13 47.38 11.556 76.92% 1.502 1.3042
Tipping Point 639 38.12 0.0 42.72%
Unnatural Proliferation 904 44.03 -3.457 57.19% -0.92 -0.7045
Untended Land Crumbles 858 41.04 -1.193 53.38% -0.397 -0.1149

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7537 62.26% 47.24 -0.693 64.51% -0.219 0.5207
B 9377 54.6% 50.85 0.321 72.2% -0.031 0.6945
C 8957 63.85% 47.89 -0.062 66.72% -0.062 0.5202
D 7045 62.63% 48.0 -0.063 66.56% 0.004 0.7155
E 2892 56.41% 51.01 -1.62 74.31% -0.381 0.1843
F 5562 46.32% 51.61 0.102 76.45% -0.175 0.4956
G 4539 50.13% 51.63 0.572 75.44% -0.045 0.6069
H 4553 49.23% 51.87 2.055 75.62% 0.036 0.6061
East 1131 59.12% 56.23 -2.069 62.78% 0.029 0.5679
Northeast 635 57.89% 56.32 0.456 64.41% 0.309 0.9433
Northwest 537 51.68% 56.49 -8.629 63.5% -0.968 -0.1584
Southeast 162 50.62% 55.33 -7.038 67.9% -0.321 0.3843
Southwest 151 55.63% 51.73 0.305 61.59% 0.021 1.0105
West 1002 57.34% 55.54 -2.686 60.68% -0.341 0.5629

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 213 0.0% 43.51 -4.563 57.28% -1.138 -0.3622
Not Using Events or Tokens 6406 71.2% 44.56 -0.665 58.16% 0.327 0.7066
Skip Initial Invader Actions 303 20.79% 63.89 5.954 88.12% 0.859 0.2414
Start of Game Growth 671 22.01% 64.65 1.992 88.67% 0.209 -0.14
Unlimited Undo 6949 35.11% 57.07 4.032 85.41% 0.803 0.7966
Using Tokens but Not Events 7300 29.41% 56.65 4.376 85.07% 0.528 0.5177

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5501 20.4 22.94%
II 18044 31.01 66.29%
III 12561 34.76 81.2%
IV 4516 38.07 99.4%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.293 Win Model: 0.186
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 31215 58.8% 48.4 67.05%
2 7177 56.33% 51.29 73.23%
3 1419 52.59% 52.97 76.39%
4 770 44.39% 55.92 78.96%
5 4 25.0% 57.0 75.0%
6 37 18.92% 63.03 83.78%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1262
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10028
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11640
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4445
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 460
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2543
Lose: Adversary condition 63
Win: Sacrifice victory 144
Lose: Scenario condition 176
Win: Scenario condition 393
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8992
Lose: Spirit destroyed 476

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6038 66.28% 46.23 -2.048 49.93% -0.283 -0.4305
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5581 86.94% 44.62 0.899 50.67% 0.275 0.4062
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2846 78.94% 41.87 -1.728 45.15% -0.127 -0.2713
Downpour Drenches the World 672 56.57% 41.99 -2.648 47.47% -0.257 -0.0781
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1225 53.4% 44.02 6.584 59.84% 1.024 0.2587
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7085 57.0% 54.06 2.659 70.56% 0.62 0.0316
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3041 76.07% 46.25 -0.544 54.23% 0.04 -0.4565
Finder of Paths Unseen 282 75.53% 38.2 -4.487 40.43% -0.566 0.0984
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1431 65.8% 53.28 1.217 59.54% 0.296 0.8821
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1545 73.7% 46.37 -0.305 55.66% 0.159 0.0641
Heart of the Wildfire 6740 90.74% 34.12 -6.375 32.03% -0.986 -0.7451
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9265 74.0% 45.5 -1.585 54.31% -0.036 -0.4777
Lightning's Swift Strike 6805 74.59% 43.39 -4.007 47.6% -0.398 -0.2155
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 563 74.51% 46.71 3.315 57.55% 0.717 0.2306
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1176 80.38% 48.34 -3.815 62.33% -0.038 -0.206
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 796 68.85% 51.04 2.43 64.7% 0.607 0.4934
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4402 71.4% 46.88 -0.469 57.25% 0.062 -0.0705
Many Minds Move as One 1878 61.02% 55.12 4.191 75.88% 0.842 0.6209
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 26303 55.73% 57.74 3.007 81.06% 0.828 0.7852
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3078 79.18% 42.25 -1.956 46.26% 0.104 -0.074
River Surges in Sunlight 10286 76.42% 48.11 -0.312 52.17% 0.062 0.1319
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 436 81.41% 41.46 1.989 34.86% 0.475 0.7856
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 541 73.13% 46.65 -1.232 52.68% -0.004 -0.1174
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5222 66.43% 46.99 -1.499 54.88% 0.088 -0.1494
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3256 76.47% 41.19 -5.007 42.97% -0.709 -0.1793
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 68 88.24% 38.76 0.138 42.65% -0.021 -0.0966
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 101 74.26% 38.49 -4.234 43.56% -0.632 -0.7382
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 417 82.93% 42.07 -6.488 46.28% -0.945 -0.9635
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 373 92.23% 41.82 -1.486 45.84% -0.253 -0.076
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5833 67.86% 46.83 -0.902 56.03% 0.095 -0.0955
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 170 65.29% 33.25 0.316 41.18% 0.245 -0.1365
Shifting Memory of Ages 818 85.05% 40.27 -2.666 36.8% -0.142 0.2108
Shroud of Silent Mist 810 93.45% 36.12 -2.37 35.31% -0.416 -0.166
Starlight Seeks its Form 2474 73.33% 42.91 0.225 45.72% 0.169 -0.0925
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4654 65.25% 45.81 0.595 53.33% 0.295 -0.1819
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2965 75.65% 45.47 -1.946 52.18% 0.111 0.174
Thunderspeaker 7329 76.29% 50.1 -0.04 49.77% 0.079 0.0448
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 114 68.42% 35.46 -0.18 45.61% 0.272 0.2331
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3804 91.9% 44.83 2.144 57.75% 0.585 0.6779
Vital Strength of the Earth 3542 83.35% 34.51 -3.639 24.11% -0.368 0.157
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 169 75.15% 37.24 -4.364 34.32% -0.834 -0.574
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 371 85.95% 31.57 -4.889 21.02% -1.144 -0.3684
Volcano Looming High 2941 77.55% 43.84 0.592 53.45% 0.236 0.1926

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 83.33% 53.17 11.534 66.67% 0.562 0.3059
Blitz 0 790 60.5% 45.02 -1.203 53.29% -0.267 -0.0702
Dahan Insurrection 4 2765 78.27% 59.18 0.406 37.9% -0.307 -0.7492
Despicable Theft 2 21 66.67% 31.76 -13.446 19.05% -0.457 0.3552
Elemental Invocation 1 62 80.65% 35.94 -0.902 20.97% 0.071 0.7735
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3796 38.02% 56.21 7.616 69.18% 1.037 0.3925
Powers Long Forgotten 1 122 90.0% 37.32 -7.11 23.77% -0.046 0.5896
Rituals of Terror 3 258 67.05% 73.43 10.632 41.86% 0.321 0.4222
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 29 79.31% 44.66 -15.085 27.59% -0.492 0.5173
Second Wave 0 783 69.64% 44.7 -0.45 45.85% -0.273 -0.2069
The Great River 3 41 85.37% 39.02 -13.781 19.51% -0.269 0.9482
Varied Terrains 2 9 77.78% 40.56 -1.932 22.22% -0.467 0.1562
Ward the Shores 2 69 88.41% 42.59 -4.174 33.33% -0.319 0.7651

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 94936 72.39% 46.02 -0.085 55.61% 0.087 0.1407
1 Thematic 4201 78.98% 53.47 -0.113 38.92% -0.369 0.1092
2 Archipelago 48 38.3% 34.83 -10.147 25.0% -1.211 -1.1071
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9974 64.81% 49.62 1.004 62.53% 0.153 0.2354
2 Coastline 1597 69.7% 49.06 -0.683 61.49% -0.082 -0.2365
2 Fragment 185 78.92% 42.36 -6.285 50.81% -0.087 -0.3357
2 Heart 102 70.59% 44.19 4.971 51.96% 0.879 0.5921
2 Opposite Shores 2475 71.31% 47.61 -1.32 56.53% -0.23 -0.2067
2 Thematic 992 80.57% 51.29 -0.798 35.99% -0.667 -0.2638
2 Top to Top 398 79.44% 45.82 0.13 53.52% -0.114 -0.2799
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 73.0 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 41 65.85% 47.76 -0.845 53.66% -0.237 -0.751
3 Other 84 78.57% 44.94 -8.853 52.38% -0.476 0.0642
3 Round (Default) 2582 73.49% 48.27 0.515 59.26% 0.008 -0.1073
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 50.29 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 97 68.04% 66.01 10.672 46.39% 0.452 0.5323
4 Archipelago 3 66.67% 60.0 39.785 33.33% 0.756 0.0818
4 Coastline 11 45.45% 56.55 0.0 72.73%
4 Leaf 6 50.0% 44.33 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 35 71.43% 48.97 5.726 60.0% 0.364 -0.7198
4 Snake 2 100.0% 26.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 359 62.57% 69.08 -17.917 57.1% -0.697 -0.9592
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1664 65.39% 51.69 -0.918 64.0% -0.097 -0.1794
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 32.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 15 13.33% 64.27 -18.404 93.33% -0.64 -1.2918
5 Other 34 58.82% 59.21 -3.873 76.47% -0.433 -0.7177
5 Thematic 5 100.0% 54.0 0.0 20.0%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 5 0.0% 68.4 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 8 50.0% 36.25 -6.412 50.0% -0.529 -0.7619
6 Star 10 60.0% 50.1 4.246 70.0% 0.347 0.3338
6 Thematic 10 90.0% 66.3 19.041 70.0% 0.436 0.8561
6 Two Centers (Default) 17 58.82% 49.24 9.965 64.71% 0.74 0.8439
7 Other 2 50.0% 40.5 -10.762 50.0% -0.13 -0.7427

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 7181 41.98 1.789 45.58% -0.057 0.1854
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5746 47.59 5.244 56.98% 0.412 0.3348
All Things Weaken 3465 40.19 0.678 42.25% -0.289 0.1036
Attenuated Essence 159 35.92 1.576 42.14% -0.044 0.063
Back Against the Wall 4743 43.14 2.741 46.59% -0.189 -0.1316
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 163 32.98 0.654 35.58% -0.229 -0.0269
Burn Brightest Before the End 108 36.59 3.044 36.11% -0.182 0.028
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6508 38.99 -0.77 42.72% -0.383 0.0404
Downward Spiral 13133 40.73 0.393 41.19% -0.138 0.0978
Erosion of Will 6899 40.49 0.557 42.38% -0.272 0.0368
Intensifying Exploitation 161 31.07 -0.499 33.54% -0.359 -0.0714
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 931 54.82 5.356 75.51% 0.5 0.0066
Memory Fades to Dust 13007 40.08 -0.986 38.32% -0.423 -0.0863
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3385 39.93 0.211 42.72% -0.312 -0.0919
Promising Farmlands 6557 39.77 -1.559 42.47% -0.603 -0.1498
Shattered Fragments of Power 130 38.91 4.956 43.85% 0.34 0.391
Slow Dissolution of Will 146 35.24 1.352 36.99% -0.204 0.1951
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 536 56.21 3.122 80.78% 0.403 -0.3079
The Border of Life and Death 25 39.92 5.654 60.0% 0.793 0.4574
Thriving Communities 3266 38.4 1.08 39.44% -0.192 0.1706
Thriving Crops 51 40.14 2.876 58.82% 0.398 0.1997
Tipping Point 2485 38.06 0.0 37.42%
Unnatural Proliferation 3696 42.08 2.522 44.48% -0.084 0.1311
Untended Land Crumbles 3307 39.24 0.049 40.97% -0.34 -0.0585

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 20764 74.35% 44.51 -1.595 51.43% -0.394 0.3459
B 25143 69.94% 47.26 -0.132 57.62% -0.186 0.54
C 24890 72.68% 45.75 -1.06 54.37% -0.264 0.3182
D 23081 71.17% 47.35 -0.061 57.87% -0.074 0.6371
E 9604 71.67% 46.64 1.236 57.55% 0.019 0.5844
F 12906 68.95% 48.46 1.154 60.79% 0.046 0.7165
G 12350 68.55% 49.55 0.18 63.09% -0.226 0.426
H 11550 66.63% 49.24 0.898 62.08% -0.042 0.5285
East 4117 78.47% 56.2 0.448 39.83% -0.042 0.4972
Northeast 2128 74.25% 58.53 6.796 45.25% 0.59 1.2252
Northwest 1178 70.84% 58.41 0.965 46.35% -0.288 0.521
Southeast 304 88.16% 41.5 -1.844 25.66% -0.105 0.601
Southwest 232 80.6% 34.27 -9.301 22.84% -0.938 0.0516
West 2244 75.31% 53.36 1.497 38.95% 0.262 1.1657

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 642 0.0% 39.87 -6.151 39.88% -0.805 -0.0291
Not Using Events or Tokens 12324 85.33% 42.44 -3.299 37.45% -0.696 -0.317
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2323 17.9% 65.25 2.067 86.1% -0.133 -0.7509
Start of Game Growth 4266 22.69% 62.16 6.283 83.71% 0.952 0.6036
Unlimited Undo 10364 65.95% 50.58 0.69 64.72% 0.24 0.2329
Using Tokens but Not Events 8044 57.24% 48.47 2.326 58.3% -0.079 -0.0896

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 20418 20.4 5.82%
II 46908 31.01 48.05%
III 41970 34.76 77.41%
IV 10672 38.07 99.59%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.204 Win Model: 0.125
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 99605 72.66% 46.37 54.88%
2 15474 67.76% 49.13 59.58%
3 2796 72.4% 50.0 58.98%
4 2010 66.12% 52.34 62.19%
5 33 36.36% 54.76 72.73%
6 50 56.0% 54.54 74.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1186
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 31894
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 21125
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10511
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2190
Lose: Invader deck ran out 9563
Lose: Adversary condition 407
Win: Sacrifice victory 660
Lose: Scenario condition 853
Win: Scenario condition 1470
Lose: Blight pool ran out 37598
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2511

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-12-12 04:02:30 (Pacific Time)