The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 9402 25.43% 24.41 -0.031 83.58% 0.103 0.0552
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6287 44.0% 24.45 0.759 83.01% 0.243 0.421
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 107 12.15% 28.49 4.8 78.5% 0.859 -0.1776
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4458 25.97% 25.86 1.059 88.38% 0.438 0.2333
Downpour Drenches the World 551 18.85% 22.02 -0.543 70.96% -0.08 0.1469
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 643 17.26% 25.05 3.26 76.98% 0.971 0.4348
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5694 15.84% 29.41 3.4 92.82% 1.045 0.5429
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4313 19.23% 27.51 1.845 91.63% 0.6 0.1488
Finder of Paths Unseen 311 32.14% 16.96 -2.639 58.52% -0.743 -0.0262
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1047 29.42% 25.15 -2.328 73.54% -0.902 -0.2376
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 998 37.78% 24.12 -1.254 73.35% -0.401 -0.3722
Heart of the Wildfire 5621 57.46% 21.16 -1.551 73.12% -0.355 -0.0041
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7501 27.65% 26.46 -0.084 88.87% 0.121 -0.3046
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 102 10.78% 24.66 2.699 71.57% 0.273 -0.1837
Lightning's Swift Strike 10685 42.25% 22.6 -0.714 76.36% -0.223 0.0066
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 227 29.2% 25.44 0.434 75.77% 0.041 -0.5778
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 822 22.49% 24.42 -1.098 77.86% -0.43 -0.7246
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 529 33.9% 26.33 -0.073 83.36% 0.116 -0.0475
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3003 24.27% 27.0 1.173 86.45% 0.324 0.065
Many Minds Move as One 1702 20.4% 26.94 -0.033 87.13% -0.098 -0.2872
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8884 39.5% 24.56 -0.312 83.0% -0.014 -0.004
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3989 30.29% 24.69 0.005 86.11% 0.148 -0.0071
River Surges in Sunlight 11518 39.22% 25.01 -0.773 76.48% -0.261 -0.2193
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 861 37.97% 25.72 -0.229 76.19% -0.26 0.1244
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 300 33.44% 25.7 0.709 73.0% 0.007 -0.0588
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4816 29.48% 24.94 -0.803 85.8% -0.06 -0.1423
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 6383 53.6% 22.32 -2.291 74.02% -0.633 -0.0891
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 101 33.66% 20.64 -1.556 64.36% -0.504 -0.4323
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 86 19.77% 28.87 4.507 84.88% 0.873 0.4873
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 116 20.69% 20.33 0.684 64.66% -0.108 0.092
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 583 32.59% 26.42 0.575 87.31% 0.162 0.0471
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 434 41.9% 24.71 -0.49 81.34% -0.19 0.0895
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5406 28.01% 26.3 0.008 86.53% -0.03 -0.0767
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 156 16.03% 23.72 3.237 75.0% 1.168 0.8369
Shifting Memory of Ages 922 35.29% 21.54 -1.173 70.5% -0.397 -0.0876
Shroud of Silent Mist 1282 41.41% 22.8 -1.252 77.69% -0.213 0.1044
Starlight Seeks its Form 1249 23.42% 25.17 -0.591 77.66% -0.151 -0.3642
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2419 26.88% 23.26 -0.852 85.86% -0.016 -0.5258
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3325 30.52% 24.5 -1.036 82.05% -0.264 -0.1087
Thunderspeaker 8598 30.88% 25.18 0.113 81.45% 0.117 0.1343
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 133 30.08% 17.72 -2.081 52.63% -0.566 -0.3682
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1607 57.93% 20.88 -1.761 77.91% -0.347 -0.2014
Vital Strength of the Earth 7934 31.77% 21.09 -1.701 72.72% -0.354 0.2199
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 196 26.15% 19.42 -2.0 62.24% -0.288 0.0814
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 433 32.02% 20.79 -2.177 70.21% -0.398 0.3726
Volcano Looming High 1661 36.82% 23.32 0.43 78.15% 0.132 0.1304
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 242 21.07% 25.96 3.693 81.4% 1.068 0.5351

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 18 38.89% 22.39 3.896 66.67% 0.528 0.448
Blitz 0 1204 38.07% 21.49 -1.64 70.02% -0.253 -0.0833
Dahan Insurrection 4 1410 19.94% 45.25 8.911 78.94% 0.434 0.1552
Despicable Theft 2 182 30.22% 27.91 5.178 66.48% 0.519 1.0602
Elemental Invocation 1 271 36.53% 24.73 -1.132 69.74% -0.472 0.4098
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2312 8.55% 29.94 2.114 83.35% 0.006 -0.7833
Powers Long Forgotten 1 528 49.72% 25.79 -3.299 67.61% -1.29 -0.4201
Rituals of Terror 3 616 41.86% 32.93 -0.023 65.58% -0.768 -0.6839
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 365 66.03% 30.11 -3.51 61.37% -1.022 0.196
Second Wave 0 1166 50.17% 25.6 2.455 72.56% -0.156 -0.0393
The Great River 3 205 42.93% 26.29 -4.896 47.32% -1.451 -0.1105
Varied Terrains 2 108 37.04% 20.78 -1.005 47.22% -1.114 -0.3661
Ward the Shores 2 555 41.05% 28.64 -2.855 67.03% -1.217 -0.1668

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 66681 38.15% 23.47 -0.097 79.13% -0.154 -0.0421
1 Thematic 5167 40.45% 30.54 1.05 74.74% -0.423 0.1463
2 Archipelago 46 45.65% 32.52 5.413 65.22% 0.218 0.5297
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13851 32.51% 23.99 -0.302 83.1% -0.194 -0.2351
2 Coastline 1521 34.25% 24.08 0.533 82.38% 0.083 0.1257
2 Fragment 367 39.44% 22.28 1.33 78.75% 0.528 0.2108
2 Heart 203 38.0% 22.76 0.392 79.8% -0.103 -0.1771
2 Opposite Shores 2129 30.14% 24.92 0.646 87.22% 0.071 0.0056
2 Thematic 1236 37.8% 31.25 -0.516 75.49% -0.621 -0.4114
2 Top to Top 387 32.99% 24.43 -0.957 87.86% -0.193 -0.3417
3 Archipelago 18 44.44% 32.67 0.0 88.89%
3 Coastline 40 44.74% 24.38 0.0 67.5%
3 Other 238 22.13% 17.13 -3.228 59.24% -1.126 -1.6122
3 Round (Default) 4345 24.45% 25.89 2.042 88.86% 0.499 0.1533
3 Sunrise 23 45.45% 25.74 5.452 86.96% 0.964 1.3807
3 Thematic 212 36.49% 31.56 -4.038 74.06% -0.683 -1.0803
4 Archipelago 17 17.65% 33.18 0.0 76.47%
4 Coastline 13 7.69% 45.23 0.0 84.62%
4 Leaf 9 55.56% 17.89 0.0 66.67%
4 Other 82 25.32% 21.91 -0.801 76.83% 0.066 -1.0399
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 26.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 0.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 406 21.18% 35.4 4.833 91.38% 0.71 0.6888
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2050 22.07% 24.42 -2.437 84.44% -0.822 -0.897
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 51.33 14.613 100.0% 0.439 0.3181
5 Other 67 28.36% 25.28 0.41 79.1% 0.088 -0.9903
5 Thematic 14 21.43% 30.14 -4.622 64.29% -1.069 -0.9211
6 Archipelago 5 0.0% 33.8 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 3 0.0% 28.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 13 8.33% 28.23 0.0 92.31%
6 Star 22 4.55% 26.86 1.313 90.91% 0.065 -0.1256
6 Thematic 54 22.22% 26.65 3.186 68.52% 0.399 0.9174
6 Two Centers (Default) 124 13.71% 21.13 -4.375 68.55% -1.368 -1.5422
7 Other 4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2147 18.7 -1.177 60.13% -0.279 -0.1543
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1849 20.09 0.374 63.17% 0.052 -0.089
All Things Weaken 975 19.09 -0.137 59.9% -0.019 0.2922
Attenuated Essence 60 18.78 -0.259 61.67% -0.086 -0.0278
Back Against the Wall 1725 19.7 1.874 61.86% 0.309 0.321
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 64 19.95 1.277 57.81% 0.341 0.4618
Burn Brightest Before the End 56 21.98 2.282 57.14% 0.069 0.1414
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2012 16.74 -1.529 59.54% -0.407 -0.0548
Downward Spiral 8359 16.61 -1.929 60.15% -0.418 -0.238
Erosion of Will 2075 18.14 -1.311 58.02% -0.629 -0.395
Intensifying Exploitation 77 17.95 0.774 58.44% 0.262 0.498
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 427 25.04 3.784 92.04% 1.104 0.4994
Memory Fades to Dust 8210 16.6 -1.585 57.65% -0.323 -0.0343
Power Corrodes the Spirit 993 18.7 -1.234 64.35% -0.395 -0.2125
Promising Farmlands 2094 17.51 -0.395 61.27% 0.18 0.5031
Shattered Fragments of Power 58 23.24 0.657 62.07% 0.064 0.1627
Slow Dissolution of Will 86 19.14 -1.467 58.14% -0.284 0.1101
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 268 25.59 0.544 94.4% 0.37 -0.3653
The Border of Life and Death 26 16.5 -0.462 57.69% 0.03 -0.4644
Thriving Communities 929 17.73 -1.897 59.96% -0.701 -0.3798
Thriving Crops 36 24.72 0.847 80.56% 0.741 0.6434
Tipping Point 789 17.93 0.0 63.12%
Unnatural Proliferation 970 20.21 1.832 63.4% 0.629 0.8027
Untended Land Crumbles 945 18.02 -1.301 58.94% -0.376 -0.1418

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 22922 36.77% 23.38 -0.611 80.19% -0.608 0.4877
B 23433 35.32% 23.63 0.064 80.64% -0.531 0.4615
C 23965 33.81% 23.87 -0.065 81.39% -0.425 0.4039
D 22474 34.54% 23.67 -0.511 80.7% -0.617 0.3916
E 6871 29.77% 24.67 0.086 81.84% -0.578 0.271
F 9995 29.99% 24.66 -0.46 83.9% -0.622 0.3241
G 9242 31.59% 24.7 0.036 84.35% -0.45 0.4591
H 9377 29.59% 24.78 0.08 83.86% -0.592 0.3465
East 4353 36.45% 32.19 0.456 77.35% -0.74 0.2341
Northeast 2626 35.41% 32.68 2.037 79.17% -0.331 0.533
Northwest 1922 35.61% 31.65 1.327 78.2% -0.352 0.5963
Southeast 546 28.49% 28.2 -1.418 72.71% -0.759 0.1547
Southwest 509 37.4% 22.95 -2.257 65.62% -0.827 0.5615
West 3667 39.2% 30.57 0.178 74.53% -0.816 0.2809

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1911 0.0% 20.49 -1.875 67.45% -0.5 0.1647
Not Using Events or Tokens 25873 44.46% 21.5 -1.486 72.93% -0.356 0.1345
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1416 10.69% 32.79 3.651 91.24% 0.637 0.025
Start of Game Growth 2241 13.89% 31.34 2.626 89.65% 0.341 -0.0696
Unlimited Undo 6142 29.66% 25.56 1.033 85.05% 0.275 0.1467
Using Tokens but Not Events 8507 28.64% 24.86 -0.133 84.22% 0.105 0.164

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10199 16.61 23.71%
II 29805 30.57 75.65%
III 41554 34.75 89.18%
IV 17898 38.33 98.88%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.161 Win Model: 0.523
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 72284 38.34% 23.96 78.68%
2 19523 32.84% 24.6 83.4%
3 4801 25.01% 25.75 86.98%
4 2560 21.91% 26.28 85.31%
5 64 26.56% 22.45 73.44%
6 224 13.96% 23.78 72.32%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2412
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 36207
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 21326
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17535
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4865
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1220
Lose: Adversary condition 288
Win: Sacrifice victory 379
Lose: Scenario condition 614
Win: Scenario condition 1862
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12024
Lose: Spirit destroyed 724

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6936 26.65% 29.51 -0.158 84.72% -0.112 -0.1598
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4659 48.11% 28.48 0.086 81.26% 0.036 0.2144
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 158 18.62% 33.39 5.485 88.61% 1.343 0.3059
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3551 28.72% 30.54 1.165 88.68% 0.291 0.0864
Downpour Drenches the World 626 24.92% 25.95 0.567 74.6% 0.059 0.2858
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 731 20.63% 28.3 2.158 79.48% 0.482 -0.0537
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4700 19.94% 33.24 2.72 91.7% 0.488 -0.0139
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3462 25.17% 34.07 2.228 91.33% 0.53 0.0793
Finder of Paths Unseen 412 39.81% 22.31 -2.3 61.65% -0.424 0.2934
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1218 32.42% 29.79 -0.742 76.44% -0.514 0.1507
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1364 39.17% 29.94 -0.889 81.09% -0.26 -0.2314
Heart of the Wildfire 4254 63.7% 24.38 -1.39 70.78% -0.393 -0.0421
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6559 34.98% 30.22 0.34 86.48% 0.127 -0.299
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 144 27.66% 30.95 2.565 79.86% 0.563 0.1062
Lightning's Swift Strike 7090 46.41% 26.96 -1.028 76.77% -0.301 -0.071
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 230 36.96% 30.58 2.879 85.22% 0.773 0.1543
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 615 34.1% 32.33 1.765 88.62% 0.431 0.1362
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 568 31.51% 33.62 3.093 80.28% -0.109 -0.2725
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2426 35.9% 31.0 2.659 84.25% 0.516 0.2572
Many Minds Move as One 1612 21.78% 31.53 0.79 88.28% -0.031 -0.2204
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7135 37.66% 30.67 2.469 86.98% 0.493 0.5033
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3247 31.78% 29.09 -1.488 86.11% -0.28 -0.435
River Surges in Sunlight 8332 42.82% 29.31 -1.511 77.5% -0.662 -0.6201
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 780 41.52% 28.59 -0.311 76.67% -0.166 0.2178
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 408 39.41% 28.52 -0.262 72.55% -0.412 -0.4776
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3703 34.22% 29.79 2.862 84.47% 0.758 0.6763
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4419 60.63% 25.4 -2.471 71.17% -0.67 -0.1266
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 108 47.22% 27.96 0.757 74.07% 0.133 0.2045
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 122 30.33% 28.91 1.234 76.23% -0.021 -0.4063
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 110 41.82% 28.22 -0.835 76.36% -0.322 -0.1221
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 517 39.46% 30.58 -0.186 84.91% -0.204 -0.3194
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 319 52.68% 28.34 0.328 78.68% 0.033 0.3128
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4595 31.59% 30.62 2.534 85.2% 0.481 0.4347
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 195 27.32% 27.11 0.725 73.85% 0.06 -0.2706
Shifting Memory of Ages 1504 39.69% 25.99 -0.933 74.34% -0.519 -0.2098
Shroud of Silent Mist 1205 46.6% 26.72 -1.998 80.41% -0.396 -0.0782
Starlight Seeks its Form 1386 27.47% 28.8 -0.646 81.39% -0.098 -0.3113
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2087 30.13% 28.31 -1.743 86.15% -0.319 -0.829
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3041 33.21% 29.02 -0.902 83.1% -0.156 -0.001
Thunderspeaker 6508 34.98% 29.95 0.238 82.36% 0.067 0.0839
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 168 29.34% 22.49 1.432 64.29% 0.386 0.5843
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1574 62.69% 25.32 -2.685 78.14% -0.608 -0.4627
Vital Strength of the Earth 5572 35.29% 25.56 -2.004 75.04% -0.455 0.1185
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 203 30.05% 23.5 -2.978 68.47% -0.572 -0.2027
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 415 35.99% 23.55 -1.125 68.19% -0.069 0.7018
Volcano Looming High 1643 45.43% 26.14 -1.32 77.24% -0.311 -0.3129
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 579 28.65% 30.51 3.444 82.04% 1.073 0.5397

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 28 25.0% 24.54 -2.066 60.71% -0.232 -0.312
Blitz 0 1029 39.56% 25.43 -2.042 70.46% -0.282 -0.112
Dahan Insurrection 4 1032 28.29% 46.01 6.66 71.32% -0.082 -0.3612
Despicable Theft 2 165 37.58% 30.3 -0.245 64.85% -0.299 0.2419
Elemental Invocation 1 280 42.65% 26.3 -1.584 67.86% -0.711 0.171
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2146 10.54% 36.28 3.097 81.13% 0.261 -0.5282
Powers Long Forgotten 1 545 52.48% 28.06 0.062 64.95% -0.38 0.4892
Rituals of Terror 3 493 46.64% 34.02 -5.368 62.88% -1.992 -1.9074
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 338 66.57% 32.31 -2.742 60.06% -1.043 0.1746
Second Wave 0 4656 39.99% 31.05 1.61 78.91% -0.164 -0.047
The Great River 3 184 45.11% 30.39 -2.03 54.89% -1.207 0.1333
Varied Terrains 2 112 52.68% 22.83 -0.807 45.54% -0.916 -0.1681
Ward the Shores 2 461 46.74% 31.94 -2.701 64.86% -1.127 -0.0768

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 50238 41.35% 27.24 -0.598 78.73% -0.054 0.0583
1 Thematic 4183 44.08% 34.13 -0.518 71.89% -0.602 -0.0322
2 Archipelago 32 56.25% 36.94 2.398 78.13% -0.351 -0.0399
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10659 36.1% 28.71 -0.142 84.26% 0.147 0.1051
2 Coastline 1378 33.87% 29.52 1.476 86.07% 0.461 0.5031
2 Fragment 362 39.0% 28.07 4.218 81.77% 0.718 0.401
2 Heart 175 44.19% 27.85 1.771 76.57% 0.491 0.4168
2 Opposite Shores 2410 32.9% 29.68 0.53 88.34% 0.233 0.1676
2 Thematic 1418 40.24% 33.21 0.561 75.6% -0.621 -0.4114
2 Top to Top 430 36.08% 27.95 -1.125 80.93% -0.332 -0.4812
3 Archipelago 23 52.17% 38.48 0.0 86.96%
3 Coastline 26 38.46% 34.42 6.629 73.08% -0.322 -1.1383
3 Other 144 37.86% 29.33 2.508 86.81% 0.892 0.4057
3 Round (Default) 4105 28.59% 30.87 1.394 87.24% 0.123 -0.2225
3 Sunrise 24 20.83% 34.38 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 200 45.45% 32.34 -0.285 73.0% -0.094 -0.4911
4 Archipelago 10 50.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 12 25.0% 34.58 11.219 75.0% 0.402 -0.5442
4 Leaf 13 30.77% 29.85 1.082 84.62% 0.065 0.2118
4 Other 76 37.84% 31.32 1.977 88.16% 0.671 -0.4345
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 288 33.92% 39.43 6.076 82.29% 0.178 0.1565
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1652 29.59% 30.61 -1.064 88.14% -0.234 -0.3085
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 58.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 67 41.27% 29.91 -5.162 76.12% -0.599 -1.6772
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 0.0 -14.273 0.0% -0.276 -0.1281
6 Archipelago 7 28.57% 29.57 -14.164 57.14% -0.36 -1.2978
6 Other 27 29.63% 31.3 -6.068 77.78% -1.632 -1.4809
6 Star 13 23.08% 27.38 0.0 76.92%
6 Thematic 85 41.18% 41.98 3.524 78.82% -0.065 0.4531
6 Two Centers (Default) 87 16.09% 32.99 2.581 83.91% 0.133 -0.0412
7 Other 4 66.67% 33.5 4.315 50.0% 0.251 0.0857

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1903 23.25 1.634 63.27% 0.241 0.3657
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1528 24.61 -1.021 65.58% -0.621 -0.7623
All Things Weaken 995 23.45 0.229 63.52% 0.027 0.3379
Attenuated Essence 92 25.12 2.316 61.96% 0.281 0.3392
Back Against the Wall 1609 24.08 0.915 63.95% 0.03 0.0417
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 89 25.72 3.459 68.54% 0.953 1.0741
Burn Brightest Before the End 74 25.14 1.365 67.57% 0.1 0.172
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1939 20.86 -1.093 59.72% -0.09 0.2626
Downward Spiral 5962 22.05 -0.753 66.39% 0.072 0.2526
Erosion of Will 1963 22.78 -0.547 61.08% -0.278 -0.0448
Intensifying Exploitation 102 21.51 1.032 60.78% 0.969 1.205
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 463 28.99 1.152 92.01% 0.387 -0.2183
Memory Fades to Dust 6104 21.51 -1.276 61.66% -0.236 0.0533
Power Corrodes the Spirit 961 23.36 -0.609 68.89% 0.055 0.2375
Promising Farmlands 1905 21.71 -1.202 62.68% -0.298 0.0251
Shattered Fragments of Power 85 23.51 -0.029 60.0% -0.127 -0.0285
Slow Dissolution of Will 98 21.2 -0.552 57.14% -0.045 0.3486
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 326 29.17 1.644 93.56% 0.331 -0.4043
The Border of Life and Death 35 27.46 2.414 80.0% 0.479 -0.0153
Thriving Communities 927 22.45 -1.452 65.7% -0.27 0.051
Thriving Crops 53 27.19 0.933 92.45% 0.564 0.4668
Tipping Point 669 20.79 0.0 57.55%
Unnatural Proliferation 1037 24.38 1.276 67.31% 0.181 0.3554
Untended Land Crumbles 997 22.59 -1.101 64.29% -0.26 -0.0256

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 17861 39.46% 27.8 -0.125 80.28% -0.57 0.5261
B 18069 37.52% 28.37 0.343 82.19% -0.557 0.4358
C 18693 37.9% 28.5 -0.208 82.45% -0.607 0.2215
D 17272 37.98% 28.33 0.179 82.21% -0.501 0.5084
E 6428 35.18% 29.12 0.392 82.73% -0.5 0.3493
F 8519 34.34% 29.01 0.174 83.33% -0.482 0.4641
G 7704 34.59% 29.06 -0.107 83.89% -0.608 0.3008
H 8061 33.59% 29.18 0.382 83.82% -0.464 0.4743
East 4060 39.93% 35.62 1.423 74.31% -0.256 0.7176
Northeast 2550 38.77% 36.18 0.873 74.43% -0.526 0.3383
Northwest 1851 40.62% 34.08 1.274 76.61% -0.187 0.7617
Southeast 534 39.51% 33.15 -1.046 72.85% -1.068 -0.1543
Southwest 538 44.24% 30.93 0.408 70.63% -0.338 1.0507
West 3327 45.37% 33.04 -0.432 73.22% -0.811 0.2862

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2127 0.0% 23.32 -1.753 70.0% -0.291 0.3737
Not Using Events or Tokens 15966 44.77% 26.4 -1.837 75.39% -0.372 0.1185
Skip Initial Invader Actions 964 13.77% 39.24 4.42 89.73% 0.704 0.0911
Start of Game Growth 1653 16.56% 37.4 2.066 89.59% -0.198 -0.6084
Unlimited Undo 5890 33.8% 29.51 -0.606 83.7% -0.16 -0.2882
Using Tokens but Not Events 8404 32.03% 28.27 -0.238 82.91% 0.027 0.0853

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7036 16.61 12.64%
II 18760 30.57 69.84%
III 34560 34.75 89.87%
IV 17827 38.33 98.95%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.526 Win Model: 0.74
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 54730 41.61% 27.76 78.09%
2 16706 35.89% 29.33 84.36%
3 4437 29.3% 31.0 87.24%
4 2035 30.45% 31.95 87.08%
5 53 46.0% 27.28 77.36%
6 222 28.96% 35.91 79.28%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 887
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 30313
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 12386
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17450
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4319
Lose: Invader deck ran out 687
Lose: Adversary condition 198
Win: Sacrifice victory 322
Lose: Scenario condition 565
Win: Scenario condition 1331
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9166
Lose: Spirit destroyed 559

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8373 31.68% 38.4 -1.211 85.44% -0.069 -0.1171
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5243 55.95% 36.23 -2.138 78.71% -0.472 -0.2938
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 205 24.88% 43.99 4.909 89.76% 0.884 -0.1527
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4349 36.43% 38.33 0.11 86.85% 0.153 -0.0517
Downpour Drenches the World 955 27.8% 34.18 -1.601 74.55% -0.079 0.1478
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1148 28.52% 37.7 1.694 77.35% 0.371 -0.165
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6316 24.96% 42.65 2.831 91.88% 0.626 0.1242
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4324 30.81% 41.85 2.818 89.85% 0.572 0.1207
Finder of Paths Unseen 557 53.8% 34.45 -2.788 66.25% -0.754 -0.0367
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1297 36.91% 39.56 -0.995 78.8% -0.513 0.1519
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1652 42.9% 37.2 -1.07 79.0% -0.414 -0.3847
Heart of the Wildfire 5879 63.06% 33.53 -1.245 72.8% -0.185 0.1659
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9741 39.0% 39.27 1.89 85.17% 0.359 -0.0674
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 189 29.63% 40.39 3.866 85.19% 0.834 0.3776
Lightning's Swift Strike 7791 48.59% 35.89 -0.648 78.19% -0.187 0.0427
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 385 49.87% 40.31 3.597 79.74% 0.6 -0.0187
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 862 38.02% 40.25 2.742 84.45% 0.651 0.3558
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 772 37.92% 43.24 1.148 83.55% 0.275 0.1113
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3689 39.58% 39.69 0.847 83.33% -0.008 -0.2666
Many Minds Move as One 2030 26.12% 41.05 0.547 90.74% 0.07 -0.1199
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8809 46.63% 37.88 0.719 82.43% 0.21 0.2202
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4265 37.01% 38.22 -0.442 86.57% -0.113 -0.2683
River Surges in Sunlight 9816 48.19% 38.29 -0.391 79.88% -0.116 -0.0742
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1171 43.2% 39.63 -2.057 77.71% -0.591 -0.2071
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 522 40.73% 37.66 1.937 72.41% 0.009 -0.0565
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5228 40.89% 37.7 -0.878 83.19% -0.166 -0.2479
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4313 62.83% 33.97 -0.799 71.81% -0.397 0.1472
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 127 45.67% 35.8 -5.353 70.08% -0.708 -0.6363
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 211 36.49% 42.45 3.948 85.31% 0.426 0.04
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 170 47.93% 35.04 -1.696 74.12% -0.291 -0.0914
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 528 50.19% 38.77 0.947 85.61% 0.194 0.0793
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 469 56.84% 36.8 -1.451 76.76% -0.452 -0.1726
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6142 35.76% 39.23 -0.676 85.31% -0.307 -0.3529
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 349 25.21% 42.45 3.313 72.21% -0.025 -0.3559
Shifting Memory of Ages 1365 49.82% 34.13 -3.094 75.6% -0.535 -0.2254
Shroud of Silent Mist 1486 63.67% 32.46 -3.086 72.14% -0.597 -0.2796
Starlight Seeks its Form 1954 39.2% 37.64 0.629 80.71% 0.097 -0.1164
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3197 35.8% 37.17 1.937 86.39% 0.706 0.1963
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3432 37.51% 38.14 -1.462 83.3% -0.246 -0.0904
Thunderspeaker 8061 39.14% 39.29 0.63 84.34% 0.174 0.1905
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 222 29.28% 36.37 -1.63 69.37% -0.493 -0.2954
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2288 73.38% 32.27 -0.688 72.95% -0.076 0.0696
Vital Strength of the Earth 6059 38.36% 34.11 -0.414 76.53% 0.051 0.6251
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 298 46.98% 37.3 1.723 77.18% 0.345 0.714
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 729 24.42% 33.11 -0.642 76.95% -0.057 0.7142
Volcano Looming High 2459 48.16% 35.08 -1.333 78.98% -0.156 -0.1578
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 518 31.66% 39.06 3.408 81.08% 0.697 0.164

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 26 7.69% 34.23 0.221 80.77% 0.246 0.1656
Blitz 0 1065 45.8% 33.99 -0.797 72.77% -0.372 -0.2019
Dahan Insurrection 4 1347 24.22% 58.23 3.892 77.8% 0.069 -0.2104
Despicable Theft 2 93 51.61% 38.26 -1.346 65.59% -0.097 0.4443
Elemental Invocation 1 234 50.0% 31.22 -5.829 61.11% -1.414 -0.5326
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3197 10.76% 45.54 7.444 85.36% 1.198 0.4087
Powers Long Forgotten 1 420 54.42% 36.59 -5.73 67.62% -1.064 -0.194
Rituals of Terror 3 359 55.71% 42.47 -3.438 64.35% -1.015 -0.9311
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 198 64.14% 42.34 -0.568 68.69% -0.206 1.0121
Second Wave 0 4057 47.59% 37.57 0.304 73.95% -0.266 -0.1487
The Great River 3 170 54.12% 36.01 -3.942 48.82% -2.193 -0.8529
Varied Terrains 2 68 52.94% 38.57 -6.287 66.18% -1.129 -0.3814
Ward the Shores 2 396 47.21% 42.89 -1.82 73.23% -0.54 0.5097

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 58674 45.97% 35.51 -0.71 78.75% -0.106 0.0061
1 Thematic 3690 48.71% 40.82 -0.449 72.85% -0.339 0.2307
2 Archipelago 35 48.57% 37.8 -6.235 51.43% -1.232 -0.921
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13565 43.16% 36.82 0.129 83.77% -0.014 -0.0556
2 Coastline 1624 41.15% 37.45 0.697 83.07% 0.113 0.1553
2 Fragment 415 46.34% 35.95 0.326 81.45% 0.101 -0.2159
2 Heart 176 50.29% 37.32 -0.265 82.95% -0.15 -0.2241
2 Opposite Shores 3069 39.99% 37.74 -0.172 85.66% -0.077 -0.1425
2 Thematic 1488 44.61% 42.99 1.357 77.02% 0.174 0.3835
2 Top to Top 525 37.48% 38.98 1.962 87.43% 0.223 0.0743
3 Archipelago 25 40.0% 61.08 -7.164 84.0% -0.557 -1.1647
3 Coastline 36 38.89% 40.06 3.404 80.56% 0.397 -0.4196
3 Other 295 41.69% 39.33 -2.549 89.83% -0.36 -0.8458
3 Round (Default) 5418 35.93% 38.69 1.275 86.3% 0.139 -0.2063
3 Sunrise 30 40.0% 42.47 0.0 96.67%
3 Thematic 292 48.8% 43.63 -4.195 75.34% -0.708 -1.1054
4 Archipelago 15 33.33% 49.0 8.157 86.67% 0.1 -0.3055
4 Coastline 7 42.86% 37.43 0.0 71.43%
4 Leaf 25 32.0% 42.88 3.164 96.0% 0.196 0.3423
4 Other 114 54.39% 42.59 0.0 86.84%
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 616 36.65% 47.18 -3.541 80.19% -0.922 -0.9433
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2511 30.74% 40.64 1.709 89.33% 0.023 -0.0514
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 53.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 4 100.0% 40.75 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 138 39.42% 44.01 -4.297 83.33% -0.735 -1.8132
5 Thematic 17 47.06% 63.0 0.0 94.12%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 23.0 -3.824 50.0% -0.189 -1.1271
6 Coastline 2 50.0% 10.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 22 27.27% 52.45 0.0 90.91%
6 Star 23 34.78% 42.83 2.369 95.65% 0.097 -0.0936
6 Thematic 376 45.68% 56.01 4.38 73.67% 0.623 1.1413
6 Two Centers (Default) 243 13.58% 42.78 2.943 88.89% 0.628 0.4537
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2851 30.47 -0.621 63.77% -0.191 -0.0663
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2341 32.16 0.869 65.23% -0.252 -0.3938
All Things Weaken 1551 29.49 -0.338 61.06% -0.191 0.1202
Attenuated Essence 148 32.68 0.828 65.54% 0.112 0.1702
Back Against the Wall 2225 31.14 -0.534 62.92% -0.43 -0.4184
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 148 29.22 -0.953 60.14% -0.408 -0.2869
Burn Brightest Before the End 141 31.08 -0.001 59.57% -0.231 -0.159
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2664 28.14 -2.627 62.27% -0.391 -0.0387
Downward Spiral 7253 30.04 -0.558 68.45% 0.165 0.3455
Erosion of Will 2953 30.49 1.238 63.36% 0.082 0.316
Intensifying Exploitation 150 28.85 -1.107 57.33% -0.257 -0.0203
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 661 39.43 2.37 95.76% 0.806 0.201
Memory Fades to Dust 7394 29.52 -1.684 64.65% -0.171 0.1175
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1483 30.8 0.774 67.77% 0.165 0.3473
Promising Farmlands 2838 29.88 -1.489 66.17% -0.442 -0.1188
Shattered Fragments of Power 122 30.71 0.033 63.93% -0.173 -0.0743
Slow Dissolution of Will 124 31.07 2.705 61.29% 0.235 0.6285
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 415 39.24 2.842 93.98% 0.94 0.2051
The Border of Life and Death 53 35.85 5.743 86.79% 1.153 0.6581
Thriving Communities 1410 29.83 -0.76 64.96% -0.433 -0.1111
Thriving Crops 75 30.92 -0.158 69.33% -0.017 -0.1146
Tipping Point 971 29.87 0.0 64.78%
Unnatural Proliferation 1555 31.14 -0.421 64.24% -0.415 -0.2407
Untended Land Crumbles 1473 30.4 1.145 66.06% 0.11 0.344

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 21984 43.43% 36.36 -0.219 80.72% -0.234 0.8621
B 22665 42.53% 36.86 0.118 82.19% -0.129 0.8632
C 23327 43.07% 36.98 0.327 82.36% -0.071 0.7576
D 21130 43.34% 36.72 0.353 82.16% -0.071 0.9384
E 8225 39.81% 37.78 0.993 83.54% 0.04 0.8896
F 11012 39.52% 37.64 0.587 83.62% -0.059 0.8874
G 10033 40.55% 37.41 -0.555 83.3% -0.295 0.6137
H 10061 38.95% 37.88 0.908 84.07% 0.056 0.994
East 4415 44.63% 44.54 1.584 75.56% 0.067 1.0405
Northeast 2771 42.82% 46.1 1.023 77.59% -0.126 0.7382
Northwest 2252 43.38% 46.11 0.597 77.71% -0.168 0.781
Southeast 901 43.69% 46.65 0.425 72.92% -0.682 0.2315
Southwest 867 45.88% 44.98 0.35 71.4% -0.477 0.9113
West 3901 46.05% 43.84 0.542 74.98% -0.679 0.4183

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 748 0.0% 35.19 -3.543 74.33% -0.37 0.2951
Not Using Events or Tokens 14982 49.42% 34.26 -2.653 75.98% -0.565 -0.0748
Skip Initial Invader Actions 936 13.29% 48.79 10.421 92.2% 1.148 0.536
Start of Game Growth 1998 15.57% 47.09 2.695 89.39% -0.598 -1.0079
Unlimited Undo 8075 37.39% 38.09 1.228 84.56% 0.3 0.1713
Using Tokens but Not Events 9291 35.06% 37.38 -0.747 83.62% -0.211 -0.152

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8161 16.61 17.02%
II 23614 30.57 66.57%
III 40226 34.75 91.15%
IV 21547 38.33 99.36%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.465 Win Model: 0.298
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 62677 46.17% 35.82 78.34%
2 20827 42.58% 37.55 83.57%
3 5991 36.46% 39.07 86.28%
4 3281 32.43% 42.25 88.11%
5 115 37.72% 42.94 77.39%
6 657 34.1% 49.67 80.21%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1386
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 35910
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 14725
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 21211
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4026
Lose: Invader deck ran out 760
Lose: Adversary condition 279
Win: Sacrifice victory 361
Lose: Scenario condition 630
Win: Scenario condition 1592
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12067
Lose: Spirit destroyed 601

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7477 35.87% 43.68 -1.685 81.52% -0.092 -0.1397
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4829 65.96% 40.23 -2.498 73.29% -0.329 -0.1507
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 229 37.99% 48.07 8.361 87.34% 1.616 0.5789
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3897 41.71% 44.11 -0.33 85.09% 0.049 -0.1553
Downpour Drenches the World 925 35.25% 36.71 -1.245 68.32% -0.011 0.2161
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1201 32.47% 39.29 1.634 74.52% 0.418 -0.1176
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6445 28.93% 49.0 3.813 91.3% 0.816 0.3144
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4359 33.95% 46.75 1.948 85.0% 0.374 -0.0768
Finder of Paths Unseen 414 45.52% 30.62 -6.027 53.38% -0.957 -0.2402
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1276 43.35% 42.79 1.237 71.0% -0.074 0.5902
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1821 47.39% 41.89 0.093 76.72% 0.119 0.1481
Heart of the Wildfire 6154 68.46% 36.05 -4.2 64.17% -0.805 -0.4536
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10956 45.16% 44.12 1.684 83.08% 0.454 0.0279
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 233 29.61% 42.24 3.997 78.97% 0.758 0.3013
Lightning's Swift Strike 6598 57.29% 39.72 -1.093 71.86% -0.02 0.21
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 417 52.32% 44.31 1.567 78.18% 0.454 -0.1644
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 872 44.19% 45.52 0.86 84.63% 0.186 -0.1093
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 727 45.32% 42.69 0.322 75.24% -0.184 -0.3473
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3871 46.36% 43.59 1.29 80.11% 0.414 0.1549
Many Minds Move as One 2149 31.55% 46.46 0.196 88.18% 0.185 -0.0049
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9119 50.19% 42.48 -1.452 78.84% -0.071 -0.0609
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4683 40.77% 43.59 1.478 84.41% 0.485 0.3299
River Surges in Sunlight 9912 52.51% 43.73 0.481 75.59% 0.171 0.2127
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 979 46.42% 41.79 -5.477 70.07% -0.896 -0.5123
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 623 49.68% 40.51 2.233 66.45% 0.146 0.0798
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4912 44.35% 43.05 0.307 80.8% 0.132 0.0499
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3612 70.13% 37.42 -3.252 64.65% -0.568 -0.0241
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 176 43.43% 33.28 -6.393 57.39% -1.032 -0.96
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 267 43.07% 39.53 1.501 75.28% 0.379 -0.0068
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 186 50.81% 37.89 -3.331 68.28% -0.816 -0.6165
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 598 49.33% 43.6 -1.261 78.76% -0.195 -0.3103
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 394 60.41% 40.1 -1.321 72.34% -0.336 -0.0561
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6331 40.2% 44.74 -0.338 82.23% -0.018 -0.064
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 295 32.88% 37.35 0.516 71.86% 0.193 -0.1376
Shifting Memory of Ages 1302 54.78% 39.05 -3.673 74.65% -0.48 -0.1711
Shroud of Silent Mist 1307 68.16% 36.07 -2.342 65.95% -0.435 -0.1175
Starlight Seeks its Form 2210 36.46% 41.33 0.13 78.91% 0.108 -0.1057
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3317 41.0% 41.42 -1.055 82.42% 0.16 -0.3502
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3709 39.83% 44.39 0.657 82.91% 0.157 0.312
Thunderspeaker 7051 45.55% 44.18 -1.693 79.93% -0.169 -0.152
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 187 50.8% 33.66 1.37 64.71% 0.35 0.548
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2357 80.08% 36.98 -1.386 70.85% -0.112 0.0331
Vital Strength of the Earth 5336 46.71% 38.58 -4.509 69.1% -0.475 0.0986
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 303 37.67% 36.37 -1.105 68.65% -0.223 0.1466
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 485 43.3% 32.84 -6.791 55.46% -1.039 -0.2681
Volcano Looming High 2196 54.27% 38.97 1.582 73.41% 0.427 0.4249
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 663 31.37% 39.7 4.057 75.41% 0.963 0.4298

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 16 25.0% 37.88 3.88 62.5% -0.051 -0.1315
Blitz 0 978 51.51% 39.02 0.095 70.96% 0.241 0.4105
Dahan Insurrection 4 1246 28.72% 63.83 8.965 77.37% 0.106 -0.1729
Despicable Theft 2 103 56.31% 39.79 -7.116 52.43% -0.864 -0.3229
Elemental Invocation 1 157 70.7% 36.09 -8.658 54.78% -1.507 -0.6249
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3642 12.41% 50.35 3.625 83.25% 0.13 -0.659
Powers Long Forgotten 1 270 63.33% 40.53 -5.926 62.96% -0.778 0.0916
Rituals of Terror 3 158 61.39% 42.73 -8.338 52.53% -1.209 -1.1246
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 119 76.47% 43.78 -4.924 55.46% -0.465 0.7532
Second Wave 0 2992 52.61% 42.67 1.094 70.12% -0.233 -0.1157
The Great River 3 140 65.71% 36.09 -5.287 35.0% -1.105 0.236
Varied Terrains 2 44 63.64% 29.82 -9.951 36.36% -1.012 -0.2645
Ward the Shores 2 180 58.89% 45.11 -6.551 63.33% -1.051 -0.0008

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 64308 52.48% 40.51 -0.218 74.51% 0.254 0.3659
1 Thematic 2990 48.14% 47.29 2.988 67.79% 0.247 0.8167
2 Archipelago 21 57.14% 53.19 0.0 76.19%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13239 46.13% 43.06 1.655 82.08% 0.521 0.4792
2 Coastline 1684 41.96% 43.71 -1.911 82.9% 0.103 0.1453
2 Fragment 300 59.46% 37.8 -4.128 69.33% -0.729 -1.0461
2 Heart 156 57.05% 40.26 -2.201 75.64% 0.298 0.2234
2 Opposite Shores 2841 46.47% 42.36 -1.938 79.3% 0.01 -0.0552
2 Thematic 1063 55.61% 46.85 2.606 70.27% 0.343 0.5529
2 Top to Top 501 46.4% 40.55 -4.513 76.65% 0.121 -0.0275
3 Archipelago 15 73.33% 61.47 8.623 100.0% 0.204 -0.404
3 Coastline 55 40.0% 44.29 -2.391 72.73% -0.601 -1.4179
3 Other 274 35.29% 43.48 0.22 84.31% -0.134 -0.6204
3 Round (Default) 4740 39.91% 43.87 -0.082 82.43% 0.204 -0.1413
3 Sunrise 23 30.43% 47.48 10.309 91.3% 0.599 1.0164
3 Thematic 188 54.26% 49.28 1.906 76.6% -0.134 -0.5313
4 Archipelago 18 27.78% 51.5 12.442 77.78% 0.448 0.0421
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 44.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 15 46.67% 44.53 3.008 80.0% 0.177 0.3242
4 Other 104 42.31% 42.9 -1.177 82.69% 0.334 -0.7713
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Snake 4 25.0% 50.25 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 379 38.73% 54.18 -2.265 84.17% -0.392 -0.4135
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2592 34.1% 45.94 -0.562 86.46% -0.028 -0.1021
5 Archipelago 5 60.0% 62.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -10.312 0.0% -0.225 -0.9701
5 Other 94 47.25% 43.02 4.518 76.6% 0.119 -0.9594
5 Thematic 9 44.44% 60.44 -15.195 77.78% -0.395 -0.2464
6 Archipelago 6 33.33% 35.33 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 20 21.05% 32.75 -1.77 55.0% -0.634 -0.4829
6 Star 31 35.48% 36.55 0.0 61.29%
6 Thematic 97 9.28% 40.99 -3.18 48.45% 0.115 0.6334
6 Two Centers (Default) 164 29.27% 41.14 0.349 78.66% 0.037 -0.1376
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 77.0 14.404 100.0% 0.03 0.3074

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3479 35.43 -0.447 60.33% -0.393 -0.2688
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2671 38.05 1.503 65.52% -0.08 -0.2216
All Things Weaken 1876 34.22 0.448 57.84% -0.068 0.2427
Attenuated Essence 180 35.99 0.82 66.67% 0.033 0.0913
Back Against the Wall 2600 36.4 1.567 60.96% 0.198 0.2097
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 200 32.97 2.272 56.5% 0.318 0.4389
Burn Brightest Before the End 116 34.51 0.061 57.76% -0.212 -0.1401
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3264 32.55 -2.662 57.84% -0.618 -0.2652
Downward Spiral 7904 35.29 -0.006 64.32% 0.18 0.3605
Erosion of Will 3363 34.56 -0.913 58.1% -0.385 -0.151
Intensifying Exploitation 184 31.77 -0.481 55.98% -0.221 0.0156
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 771 44.81 3.963 91.57% 1.065 0.4596
Memory Fades to Dust 7976 34.11 -0.952 59.7% -0.179 0.1096
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1853 34.83 -0.788 61.95% -0.162 0.0197
Promising Farmlands 3357 34.68 -1.828 62.05% -0.371 -0.0477
Shattered Fragments of Power 131 34.98 1.496 60.31% 0.043 0.1418
Slow Dissolution of Will 189 31.4 -2.418 50.79% -0.655 -0.2616
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 498 45.74 3.147 92.77% 0.919 0.1837
The Border of Life and Death 60 38.42 4.586 75.0% 0.741 0.2465
Thriving Communities 1815 34.57 -0.562 62.31% -0.238 0.0836
Thriving Crops 92 39.8 2.58 78.26% 0.471 0.3733
Tipping Point 1157 34.37 0.0 59.64%
Unnatural Proliferation 1956 37.04 0.287 64.78% -0.158 0.0164
Untended Land Crumbles 1807 34.35 -1.922 60.99% -0.638 -0.4035

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 21884 49.28% 41.26 -0.19 76.25% -0.225 0.8705
B 22684 47.75% 42.12 0.199 78.41% -0.09 0.9027
C 23643 47.87% 42.13 -0.366 78.61% -0.202 0.6268
D 20384 49.06% 41.5 -0.804 77.17% -0.213 0.7961
E 8761 45.24% 42.06 0.808 78.87% -0.02 0.829
F 11452 44.9% 42.54 0.166 79.65% -0.162 0.7842
G 10416 46.24% 42.4 -0.111 79.75% -0.125 0.7838
H 10931 43.91% 43.32 0.212 81.48% -0.122 0.8166
East 3209 46.97% 48.44 -0.72 69.99% -0.594 0.3798
Northeast 2003 44.09% 49.33 7.296 70.74% 1.239 2.1037
Northwest 1324 45.91% 48.73 -2.68 73.87% -0.903 0.0455
Southeast 519 43.16% 45.89 2.72 67.44% 0.265 1.1789
Southwest 476 43.49% 41.33 -8.37 64.29% -1.334 0.0549
West 2549 50.0% 47.91 -3.708 70.54% -0.993 0.1038

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 591 0.0% 38.91 -1.781 64.81% -0.213 0.4513
Not Using Events or Tokens 12533 56.37% 38.19 -2.206 67.87% -0.404 0.0865
Skip Initial Invader Actions 921 11.39% 55.97 7.279 90.99% 0.561 -0.0519
Start of Game Growth 1892 16.06% 53.98 4.022 90.06% 0.396 -0.0143
Unlimited Undo 8489 41.46% 43.76 -0.049 81.86% -0.009 -0.1376
Using Tokens but Not Events 9615 41.0% 43.05 -0.602 81.38% 0.011 0.07

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9702 16.61 11.82%
II 31743 30.57 67.33%
III 36891 34.75 90.03%
IV 17655 38.33 99.48%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.038 Win Model: 0.176
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 67528 52.29% 40.81 74.2%
2 19749 46.59% 43.09 80.83%
3 5219 40.04% 44.04 82.28%
4 3109 34.8% 46.91 86.01%
5 75 47.22% 38.81 65.33%
6 311 22.9% 40.5 66.88%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1147
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 32675
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 20398
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17444
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4479
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1669
Lose: Adversary condition 254
Win: Sacrifice victory 359
Lose: Scenario condition 489
Win: Scenario condition 1272
Lose: Blight pool ran out 15058
Lose: Spirit destroyed 747

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5480 34.91% 46.23 0.599 79.51% 0.155 0.107
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3801 66.98% 42.27 -4.454 72.14% -0.777 -0.599
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 283 54.06% 48.22 6.292 81.98% 1.035 -0.002
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3316 44.45% 46.22 -0.241 83.14% 0.118 -0.0868
Downpour Drenches the World 691 35.76% 40.9 -1.235 70.04% -0.387 -0.1602
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 989 30.13% 44.7 2.95 79.17% 0.582 0.046
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5348 27.93% 52.26 3.397 91.92% 0.565 0.0628
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3577 35.55% 49.43 2.307 87.62% 0.408 -0.0435
Finder of Paths Unseen 337 49.85% 35.85 -3.603 61.13% -0.41 0.3065
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1102 38.2% 48.58 -1.142 76.77% -0.214 0.4508
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1798 45.24% 43.81 0.349 73.3% -0.009 0.0202
Heart of the Wildfire 5094 67.04% 39.82 -2.296 67.1% -0.255 0.0962
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9480 43.1% 47.96 2.213 84.89% 0.44 0.0139
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 221 31.67% 42.58 2.848 70.59% 0.286 -0.1712
Lightning's Swift Strike 5504 52.32% 43.63 -2.478 74.33% -0.35 -0.1206
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 419 55.02% 45.88 4.626 74.7% 0.488 -0.1304
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 837 39.35% 49.65 4.715 87.57% 0.684 0.389
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 567 40.21% 50.4 2.475 85.71% 0.288 0.1246
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3269 44.96% 47.63 1.979 83.02% 0.369 0.1102
Many Minds Move as One 1790 32.08% 49.57 -1.239 89.5% -0.296 -0.4852
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7049 50.14% 44.71 -1.779 76.89% -0.337 -0.3274
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3461 43.37% 45.91 0.986 81.68% 0.398 0.2429
River Surges in Sunlight 7251 52.12% 46.31 -1.003 73.85% -0.437 -0.395
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 646 44.25% 46.67 -2.268 74.61% -0.376 0.0085
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 497 44.85% 48.93 1.279 78.87% -0.194 -0.2601
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3809 44.67% 45.54 -0.419 79.97% 0.059 -0.0224
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2247 67.87% 39.94 -6.703 63.11% -1.109 -0.5651
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 108 57.41% 43.95 3.778 70.37% 0.27 0.3415
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 192 53.13% 45.17 4.011 77.08% 0.645 0.2595
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 135 46.67% 44.8 -0.287 78.52% 0.163 0.3632
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 432 62.5% 42.95 2.807 72.45% 0.685 0.5697
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 259 69.5% 41.91 -5.84 68.73% -0.599 -0.3195
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7731 29.88% 50.49 -2.623 87.58% -0.395 -0.4417
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 231 38.96% 45.54 3.39 77.06% 0.392 0.061
Shifting Memory of Ages 1012 55.73% 42.89 -1.041 75.2% -0.257 0.052
Shroud of Silent Mist 891 72.25% 36.46 -5.562 62.18% -0.776 -0.4582
Starlight Seeks its Form 1980 37.58% 45.64 -0.026 81.87% 0.044 -0.1697
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3052 37.2% 45.09 -0.29 84.83% 0.046 -0.4636
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3001 42.75% 46.54 1.848 79.74% 0.347 0.502
Thunderspeaker 5218 46.72% 46.08 -1.53 78.34% -0.329 -0.3119
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 144 47.22% 41.67 3.893 69.44% 0.62 0.8182
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2191 79.96% 40.87 -0.651 73.8% 0.031 0.1762
Vital Strength of the Earth 3434 51.96% 37.83 -3.368 55.94% -0.717 -0.1431
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 235 45.53% 37.18 -3.987 61.28% -0.717 -0.3481
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 244 47.95% 37.24 -2.608 56.15% -0.396 0.375
Volcano Looming High 2045 53.5% 43.51 -0.397 77.75% -0.072 -0.0745
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 411 40.63% 44.04 2.917 78.35% 0.473 -0.0605

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 25.0% 33.25 -14.228 62.5% -0.471 -0.5515
Blitz 0 633 44.37% 42.11 -4.966 70.3% -0.559 -0.3894
Dahan Insurrection 4 794 27.33% 65.65 0.027 74.18% -0.211 -0.4906
Despicable Theft 2 41 53.66% 39.59 0.795 48.78% -0.226 0.3149
Elemental Invocation 1 72 52.78% 40.9 2.296 63.89% 0.218 1.0992
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2609 13.24% 53.58 6.099 86.81% 0.588 -0.2016
Powers Long Forgotten 1 147 66.67% 41.16 -11.333 57.14% -1.364 -0.4946
Rituals of Terror 3 155 53.55% 51.22 4.874 58.71% -0.005 0.0788
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 92 75.0% 46.87 -9.247 52.17% -0.637 0.5808
Second Wave 0 1919 52.22% 44.91 0.31 68.47% -0.351 -0.2346
The Great River 3 60 61.67% 38.2 1.892 40.0% -0.505 0.8353
Varied Terrains 2 32 65.63% 37.59 -3.631 53.13% -0.22 0.5272
Ward the Shores 2 129 55.81% 48.09 -7.437 64.34% -0.615 0.4346

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 59589 48.45% 44.47 -1.038 76.6% -0.244 -0.132
1 Thematic 2077 54.0% 50.69 -0.188 69.23% 0.011 0.5807
2 Archipelago 16 68.75% 43.69 -7.204 56.25% -1.109 -0.7981
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9495 47.94% 45.91 1.216 81.2% 0.01 -0.0315
2 Coastline 1384 40.83% 47.66 4.714 84.61% 0.538 0.5808
2 Fragment 183 53.3% 44.55 -1.442 77.05% -0.485 -0.8024
2 Heart 86 44.71% 47.52 3.328 86.05% 0.052 -0.0224
2 Opposite Shores 1874 46.48% 44.86 0.059 77.69% -0.249 -0.3145
2 Thematic 624 54.02% 49.24 -2.184 69.07% -0.403 -0.1931
2 Top to Top 432 43.72% 47.07 2.3 82.87% 0.259 0.1105
3 Archipelago 7 42.86% 36.57 0.0 42.86%
3 Coastline 51 23.53% 56.69 5.592 98.04% 0.733 -0.0836
3 Other 126 55.2% 45.75 9.341 80.16% 0.564 0.0777
3 Round (Default) 3672 37.82% 47.41 0.835 84.34% -0.371 -0.7161
3 Sunrise 16 18.75% 55.56 0.744 87.5% 0.106 0.5226
3 Thematic 121 53.72% 49.53 5.25 71.9% 0.884 0.4864
4 Archipelago 11 72.73% 47.64 0.0 63.64%
4 Coastline 4 50.0% 47.25 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 9 66.67% 47.22 0.0 88.89%
4 Other 66 40.0% 49.02 1.466 83.33% 0.322 -0.7832
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 488 34.29% 52.18 2.455 75.2% 0.106 0.0846
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1661 37.98% 47.95 -2.638 84.35% -1.272 -1.3466
5 Archipelago 4 100.0% 70.5 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 62 48.33% 43.37 6.589 69.35% 0.789 -0.2893
5 Thematic 5 20.0% 46.2 -5.223 80.0% -0.076 0.0717
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 23 43.48% 45.57 3.598 82.61% 0.177 0.3284
6 Star 12 50.0% 48.92 3.244 83.33% 0.084 -0.1065
6 Thematic 60 5.0% 45.13 -5.942 56.67% -0.829 -0.3108
6 Two Centers (Default) 49 40.82% 38.82 4.818 67.35% -0.113 -0.2874

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2899 38.35 -0.891 61.4% -0.351 -0.2269
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2154 41.12 2.235 66.02% 0.015 -0.1262
All Things Weaken 1567 37.73 -1.41 60.56% -0.65 -0.3397
Attenuated Essence 151 37.4 -0.243 64.9% -0.182 -0.1242
Back Against the Wall 2033 39.53 0.501 62.17% -0.197 -0.1853
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 144 33.85 0.771 53.47% -0.134 -0.0128
Burn Brightest Before the End 93 39.62 2.986 61.29% -0.109 -0.0364
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2714 35.35 -1.813 57.52% -0.396 -0.0439
Downward Spiral 6250 37.47 -0.615 62.08% -0.109 0.0711
Erosion of Will 2781 37.1 -1.319 57.61% -0.61 -0.3762
Intensifying Exploitation 156 33.13 0.448 53.21% -0.339 -0.1031
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 649 48.2 5.941 89.83% 1.319 0.7143
Memory Fades to Dust 6378 36.27 -0.242 57.29% -0.014 0.2749
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1615 39.6 1.734 67.37% 0.204 0.3865
Promising Farmlands 2879 36.93 -0.996 60.19% -0.199 0.1239
Shattered Fragments of Power 105 39.3 2.062 64.76% 0.019 0.118
Slow Dissolution of Will 157 31.87 0.904 47.77% -0.167 0.2268
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 462 48.42 6.386 91.56% 1.098 0.3633
The Border of Life and Death 49 45.16 1.738 83.67% 0.128 -0.3663
Thriving Communities 1456 36.46 -0.014 59.48% -0.005 0.3164
Thriving Crops 80 36.52 0.481 68.75% 0.236 0.1387
Tipping Point 957 35.54 0.0 54.13%
Unnatural Proliferation 1656 39.46 2.61 64.25% 0.081 0.2554
Untended Land Crumbles 1532 38.0 0.099 63.45% -0.109 0.125

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 17034 48.31% 44.39 -1.065 76.22% -0.056 1.0393
B 18616 45.95% 45.52 0.017 79.07% 0.112 1.1045
C 18934 47.77% 45.27 0.856 78.46% 0.311 1.1404
D 16167 47.63% 44.97 0.563 77.68% 0.193 1.2024
E 7805 43.31% 46.7 1.47 82.55% 0.257 1.1066
F 9743 44.66% 45.78 -0.567 80.65% -0.047 0.8995
G 8860 45.07% 45.73 0.186 80.67% 0.1 1.0087
H 9024 43.04% 46.33 1.139 81.64% 0.279 1.217
East 2182 48.6% 49.87 0.449 68.97% 0.008 0.9814
Northeast 1333 46.47% 49.97 -0.731 68.94% -0.296 0.5688
Northwest 1082 44.39% 50.44 -3.013 73.11% -0.981 -0.0323
Southeast 366 42.08% 47.36 -3.795 69.13% -0.729 0.1848
Southwest 342 45.03% 42.17 -3.695 61.7% -0.396 0.992
West 2041 47.32% 51.54 -1.928 71.19% -0.682 0.4148

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 458 0.0% 44.87 -2.809 72.05% -0.122 0.543
Not Using Events or Tokens 9999 53.05% 42.25 -4.162 70.16% -0.509 -0.0187
Skip Initial Invader Actions 663 15.76% 59.37 5.158 91.86% -0.03 -0.642
Start of Game Growth 1285 17.84% 56.37 4.987 89.65% 0.721 0.3108
Unlimited Undo 8135 43.66% 46.38 0.214 81.52% 0.011 -0.1174
Using Tokens but Not Events 7624 38.4% 46.34 0.73 80.72% 0.127 0.1859

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10491 16.61 28.77%
II 35124 30.57 77.64%
III 26357 34.75 88.32%
IV 10275 38.33 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.298 Win Model: 0.179
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 61828 48.67% 44.68 76.34%
2 14039 47.17% 46.14 80.6%
3 3950 38.41% 47.57 84.1%
4 2242 37.38% 48.95 82.25%
5 43 51.16% 36.56 58.14%
6 145 27.59% 43.33 66.9%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3015
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 22976
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 26526
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10152
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2798
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2793
Lose: Adversary condition 114
Win: Sacrifice victory 325
Lose: Scenario condition 300
Win: Scenario condition 812
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11857
Lose: Spirit destroyed 579

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3026 47.23% 47.57 -2.002 66.06% -0.446 -0.4939
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1768 77.1% 45.34 -2.195 62.95% 0.039 0.2175
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 118 43.22% 49.73 6.506 76.27% 1.152 0.1151
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2528 41.02% 52.26 0.487 77.65% 0.163 -0.042
Downpour Drenches the World 356 43.64% 39.79 -1.24 54.49% -0.2 0.027
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 590 35.59% 48.68 1.972 74.58% 0.306 -0.23
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3128 39.23% 55.53 2.578 83.09% 0.549 0.0471
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1754 45.81% 53.03 2.42 76.97% 0.337 -0.1144
Finder of Paths Unseen 142 57.75% 39.7 -6.089 52.11% -1.111 -0.3944
Fractured Days Split the Sky 458 54.8% 49.18 -7.009 60.26% -0.613 0.0513
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 705 43.83% 51.73 -0.469 75.18% -0.103 -0.0744
Heart of the Wildfire 2728 72.3% 42.27 0.517 57.4% 0.264 0.6151
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4141 58.92% 48.72 0.759 69.48% 0.366 -0.0603
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 217 16.13% 56.77 6.939 86.64% 1.254 0.7972
Lightning's Swift Strike 3268 70.65% 43.46 1.885 57.37% 0.559 0.7887
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 162 69.75% 41.83 5.169 56.17% 0.663 0.0441
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 396 54.43% 49.58 -2.331 74.49% -0.169 -0.4643
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 257 48.25% 53.92 3.467 76.65% 0.071 -0.0923
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1855 51.54% 51.24 -0.422 75.04% 0.002 -0.2565
Many Minds Move as One 693 41.85% 55.44 3.621 85.43% 0.359 0.1691
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3601 57.82% 49.76 -0.449 71.01% -0.028 -0.0178
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1790 53.77% 47.85 0.365 68.49% 0.107 -0.0485
River Surges in Sunlight 4152 64.26% 49.8 -5.742 64.86% -0.801 -0.7597
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 395 38.23% 53.15 4.66 69.62% 0.054 0.4377
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 264 57.79% 47.56 5.552 63.64% 0.322 0.2562
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1802 55.54% 48.69 -0.122 69.7% 0.229 0.1468
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2012 82.5% 42.42 -4.2 54.37% -0.455 0.0885
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 30 63.33% 43.23 13.8 63.33% 0.35 0.4221
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 115 56.52% 45.3 1.803 69.57% 0.451 0.065
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 127 35.43% 51.26 -2.998 75.59% -0.471 -0.2708
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 213 77.93% 40.75 0.88 48.36% -0.119 -0.2342
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 134 76.87% 44.67 -5.121 61.94% 0.041 0.321
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3662 38.22% 55.58 1.936 79.57% 0.272 0.2261
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 95 47.37% 37.45 -3.217 55.79% -0.485 -0.8155
Shifting Memory of Ages 394 67.26% 40.7 -4.296 52.03% -0.504 -0.1944
Shroud of Silent Mist 312 80.39% 38.44 -5.969 51.28% -0.581 -0.2637
Starlight Seeks its Form 697 43.04% 47.11 0.096 66.43% -0.196 -0.4101
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2526 35.29% 51.33 0.248 80.29% 0.452 -0.0583
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1830 49.7% 50.94 1.722 72.35% 0.351 0.5063
Thunderspeaker 2752 57.4% 49.15 -3.778 67.11% -0.433 -0.4159
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 60 41.67% 43.33 2.841 66.67% 0.392 0.5897
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1359 87.34% 44.59 -1.956 64.24% -0.184 -0.0392
Vital Strength of the Earth 1966 68.45% 37.16 -6.603 37.39% -1.475 -0.9014
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 190 53.68% 39.61 -0.984 46.32% -0.008 0.3614
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 118 60.17% 38.23 -18.202 38.98% -0.423 0.3477
Volcano Looming High 968 69.98% 45.48 -0.893 64.98% -0.22 -0.2221
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 147 47.62% 40.83 2.648 63.95% 0.47 -0.0637

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 0.0% 33.0 0.0 50.0%
Blitz 0 420 71.29% 40.71 -0.762 51.67% -0.426 -0.2563
Dahan Insurrection 4 500 52.2% 67.24 -0.472 60.8% -0.544 -0.8229
Despicable Theft 2 9 44.44% 40.78 0.0 44.44%
Elemental Invocation 1 55 69.09% 24.82 -8.33 16.36% -0.833 0.0491
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1609 17.82% 60.45 9.567 87.01% 1.537 0.748
Powers Long Forgotten 1 102 68.63% 45.13 -1.801 50.0% -0.278 0.5918
Rituals of Terror 3 68 64.71% 58.13 -17.785 50.0% -0.497 -0.4129
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 59 91.53% 48.71 0.0 42.37%
Second Wave 0 1087 61.44% 47.83 -1.119 59.89% -0.339 -0.222
The Great River 3 30 60.0% 38.2 0.0 20.0%
Varied Terrains 2 6 83.33% 41.0 -11.587 33.33% -0.607 0.141
Ward the Shores 2 65 72.31% 48.49 16.828 49.23% 0.614 1.6636

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 34049 57.72% 46.84 0.496 65.58% 0.82 0.9324
1 Thematic 1282 63.49% 51.27 -4.416 56.16% -0.403 0.1662
2 Archipelago 8 75.0% 59.63 0.0 75.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5179 55.47% 49.87 -1.339 71.87% 0.14 0.0989
2 Coastline 775 47.73% 49.15 -2.209 70.32% 0.07 0.1121
2 Fragment 101 67.0% 46.39 -6.589 65.35% -0.701 -1.0185
2 Heart 73 64.38% 48.68 -0.094 68.49% 0.113 0.0385
2 Opposite Shores 1261 55.92% 49.94 0.221 71.85% 0.133 0.0673
2 Thematic 352 66.1% 51.24 -7.923 53.41% -1.437 -1.2271
2 Top to Top 174 61.85% 47.83 -0.231 68.39% 0.103 -0.0462
3 Archipelago 4 50.0% 84.75 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 11 27.27% 60.55 0.0 90.91%
3 Other 44 70.45% 51.57 -9.043 70.45% -0.964 -1.45
3 Round (Default) 1567 52.08% 51.06 2.671 74.47% 0.589 0.2435
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Thematic 67 49.25% 58.33 16.861 70.15% 0.44 0.0429
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 64.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 14 57.14% 49.71 0.0 71.43%
4 Thematic 186 33.33% 63.74 0.0 80.65%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 659 49.69% 50.27 -0.757 72.53% -0.483 -0.5576
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 16 56.25% 52.63 4.645 75.0% 0.624 -0.4541
5 Thematic 4 75.0% 96.25 16.108 100.0% 0.116 0.2642
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 69.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 5 20.0% 17.4 0.0 20.0%
6 Star 1 0.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 29 24.14% 64.34 0.0 79.31%
6 Two Centers (Default) 11 9.09% 47.64 5.327 72.73% -0.117 -0.2914
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1800 41.07 -1.485 50.28% -0.652 -0.5271
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1268 45.15 2.934 58.36% -0.052 -0.1933
All Things Weaken 986 39.87 0.592 48.58% -0.577 -0.2664
Attenuated Essence 103 39.27 2.506 52.43% 0.256 0.3144
Back Against the Wall 1274 43.68 3.959 55.1% 0.209 0.2209
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 94 34.41 1.582 44.68% 0.062 0.1836
Burn Brightest Before the End 77 39.16 3.067 50.65% 0.021 0.0934
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1660 37.95 -1.414 46.99% -0.32 0.0323
Downward Spiral 5082 39.46 -0.028 49.78% -0.049 0.1309
Erosion of Will 1676 39.18 -3.178 45.94% -0.918 -0.6839
Intensifying Exploitation 113 34.15 -3.535 46.02% -0.464 -0.2281
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 343 53.12 3.298 84.84% 0.353 -0.2524
Memory Fades to Dust 4935 38.87 -2.09 46.99% -0.584 -0.2946
Power Corrodes the Spirit 960 40.84 -1.473 53.13% -0.639 -0.4573
Promising Farmlands 1722 38.03 -0.33 45.18% -0.246 0.0768
Shattered Fragments of Power 61 39.05 1.888 50.82% 0.191 0.2902
Slow Dissolution of Will 88 28.53 -4.55 27.27% -1.115 -0.7215
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 200 53.2 0.011 85.5% -0.014 -0.7487
The Border of Life and Death 24 50.29 2.485 83.33% 0.442 -0.0529
Thriving Communities 965 39.63 -3.152 51.09% -0.713 -0.3912
Thriving Crops 37 47.49 2.129 75.68% 0.017 -0.0803
Tipping Point 639 38.12 0.0 42.72%
Unnatural Proliferation 1013 43.13 -0.228 55.48% -0.423 -0.2493
Untended Land Crumbles 945 40.17 -3.864 51.96% -0.769 -0.5349

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8586 60.56% 45.72 -0.835 62.5% -0.166 0.9299
B 10442 54.03% 49.41 0.179 70.09% 0.013 1.0055
C 10107 62.47% 46.5 -0.222 64.79% -0.1 0.729
D 8033 62.01% 46.36 0.293 64.19% -0.078 0.9307
E 3418 55.48% 49.07 0.551 71.42% -0.03 0.8194
F 6169 46.64% 50.22 -0.717 74.16% -0.219 0.7274
G 5088 50.46% 50.15 1.567 73.0% 0.086 0.9949
H 5320 48.51% 50.57 2.1 73.67% 0.009 0.947
East 1209 58.11% 54.63 -5.629 61.04% -0.647 0.3271
Northeast 685 57.16% 54.95 1.919 62.92% 0.63 1.4946
Northwest 553 51.81% 55.66 -6.052 62.57% -0.458 0.4902
Southeast 178 51.12% 52.4 -2.984 64.04% -0.308 0.6053
Southwest 173 54.91% 46.73 -1.18 55.49% 0.38 1.7682
West 1057 56.82% 53.7 -9.835 58.66% -0.973 0.1236

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 215 0.0% 43.68 0.0 57.67%
Not Using Events or Tokens 7330 70.49% 42.46 -3.811 55.42% -0.439 0.0514
Skip Initial Invader Actions 357 23.72% 62.06 16.13 83.75% 1.459 0.8463
Start of Game Growth 737 22.08% 64.1 6.819 87.92% 0.849 0.4388
Unlimited Undo 7756 34.82% 55.98 4.01 83.88% 0.541 0.4122
Using Tokens but Not Events 8145 28.59% 55.78 4.56 83.74% 0.508 0.5667

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7178 16.61 20.01%
II 20013 30.57 65.55%
III 13723 34.75 80.94%
IV 4983 38.33 99.44%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.532 Win Model: 0.545
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 35416 57.95% 47.0 65.19%
2 7886 55.59% 49.82 70.97%
3 1677 52.31% 51.39 74.18%
4 857 45.14% 53.57 75.15%
5 12 58.33% 49.0 75.0%
6 49 18.37% 55.06 73.47%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1436
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10929
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 12781
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4903
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1866
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2773
Lose: Adversary condition 69
Win: Sacrifice victory 163
Lose: Scenario condition 183
Win: Scenario condition 405
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9875
Lose: Spirit destroyed 514

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6933 64.24% 43.34 -3.496 46.68% -0.431 -0.4784
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6190 83.33% 42.27 -2.789 47.79% -0.117 0.0616
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 763 60.81% 52.47 12.434 73.0% 1.921 0.8843
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3236 77.19% 39.74 -3.987 42.61% -0.63 -0.8345
Downpour Drenches the World 1063 53.06% 35.86 -1.793 40.26% -0.218 0.0091
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2033 53.43% 43.14 4.054 58.09% 0.684 0.148
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8387 56.68% 51.06 2.694 65.4% 0.846 0.3436
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3379 74.51% 44.71 1.008 52.35% 0.262 -0.1896
Finder of Paths Unseen 547 66.3% 28.84 -6.051 29.8% -0.934 -0.2172
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1671 64.49% 49.26 -2.903 54.76% -0.629 0.0351
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1850 71.71% 44.41 -0.15 53.41% 0.11 0.1392
Heart of the Wildfire 7549 89.3% 32.48 -5.817 30.22% -0.901 -0.5502
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10317 72.45% 43.7 -0.322 52.23% 0.113 -0.3132
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 393 52.42% 39.44 4.858 51.4% 0.684 0.2273
Lightning's Swift Strike 7544 73.36% 41.01 -3.805 44.8% -0.427 -0.1969
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 833 73.77% 43.14 1.529 53.18% 0.349 -0.27
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1371 79.34% 47.15 3.91 60.54% 0.684 0.3888
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 985 66.6% 47.69 -0.623 60.1% 0.068 -0.0952
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5130 70.49% 44.84 0.493 54.78% 0.25 -0.0089
Many Minds Move as One 2156 59.65% 53.57 4.039 73.14% 0.679 0.4896
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 28317 55.38% 56.31 2.136 78.95% 0.655 0.6651
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3448 76.63% 41.04 1.922 45.33% 0.653 0.4983
River Surges in Sunlight 11415 74.0% 45.35 -3.999 49.08% -0.286 -0.2444
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 517 78.46% 38.6 -5.293 31.53% -1.308 -0.9238
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 902 70.73% 40.75 0.791 45.34% 0.342 0.2761
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5872 63.59% 44.43 -3.382 52.11% -0.168 -0.2496
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3607 73.89% 38.73 -5.281 40.28% -0.453 0.0907
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 87 83.91% 39.31 14.201 44.83% 1.417 1.4892
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 448 63.62% 44.64 5.564 59.6% 0.78 0.3946
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 190 66.32% 31.0 -5.168 34.74% -0.921 -0.7215
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 463 82.25% 41.02 -1.967 45.36% -0.027 -0.1423
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 409 90.71% 40.3 -6.217 44.25% -0.599 -0.3195
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6436 65.65% 44.54 0.255 53.29% 0.152 0.1056
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 345 64.35% 33.76 0.397 41.45% 0.118 -0.2128
Shifting Memory of Ages 996 81.05% 38.17 -0.031 36.14% 0.236 0.5449
Shroud of Silent Mist 1018 88.99% 32.62 -6.208 32.22% -0.748 -0.4307
Starlight Seeks its Form 3204 72.82% 39.9 -1.289 42.63% -0.323 -0.5366
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5253 64.79% 44.57 1.886 51.25% 0.291 -0.2188
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3231 74.62% 44.45 0.984 51.13% 0.246 0.4018
Thunderspeaker 8461 73.83% 46.8 -3.383 45.89% -0.089 -0.0723
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 341 63.05% 36.79 1.292 46.63% 0.52 0.7177
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4199 90.95% 43.8 1.168 56.2% 0.412 0.5568
Vital Strength of the Earth 4105 80.37% 31.89 -5.649 21.75% -1.313 -0.7386
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 289 72.32% 32.1 -4.592 30.45% -0.807 -0.4378
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 416 81.69% 29.77 -8.484 19.47% -1.674 -0.9036
Volcano Looming High 3430 76.99% 41.95 2.296 50.96% 0.504 0.5021
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 561 64.17% 38.7 3.227 51.16% 0.547 0.0138

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 11 45.45% 45.0 -0.004 54.55% -0.379 -0.4595
Blitz 0 977 59.17% 44.96 5.59 53.43% 0.785 0.955
Dahan Insurrection 4 3010 75.9% 56.78 -0.04 36.38% -0.37 -0.6487
Despicable Theft 2 31 61.29% 36.48 5.313 25.81% 0.379 0.9205
Elemental Invocation 1 84 72.62% 32.36 -3.569 17.86% -1.101 -0.2191
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 4356 36.78% 55.57 10.391 69.03% 1.494 0.7043
Powers Long Forgotten 1 135 85.71% 35.27 -2.835 22.22% -0.555 0.3149
Rituals of Terror 3 325 60.31% 72.75 19.371 42.15% 1.165 1.2491
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 39 69.23% 33.95 -16.339 20.51% -0.352 0.8656
Second Wave 0 869 69.58% 44.08 6.434 45.22% 0.275 0.3914
The Great River 3 47 76.6% 35.72 -1.383 17.02% -0.425 0.916
Varied Terrains 2 16 56.25% 36.25 -14.398 25.0% -0.21 0.5373
Ward the Shores 2 83 84.34% 37.77 -8.593 27.71% -0.496 0.5539

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 108999 71.09% 43.94 -0.845 53.08% 0.066 0.178
1 Thematic 4455 77.85% 52.25 0.509 38.0% -0.076 0.4931
2 Archipelago 63 41.94% 35.02 -4.389 25.4% -0.521 -0.2096
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11419 63.76% 47.57 2.444 59.96% 0.306 0.2646
2 Coastline 1961 66.94% 45.45 0.188 56.91% 0.091 0.134
2 Fragment 223 77.13% 38.88 1.162 44.39% -0.525 -0.842
2 Heart 129 73.64% 42.37 -2.622 48.06% -1.24 -1.3143
2 Opposite Shores 2985 72.89% 45.14 -1.537 50.15% -0.332 -0.3973
2 Thematic 1063 78.94% 49.82 -4.265 35.28% -0.825 -0.615
2 Top to Top 450 78.03% 43.89 -4.199 50.44% -0.721 -0.8694
3 Archipelago 5 20.0% 55.8 0.0 40.0%
3 Coastline 48 62.5% 44.9 8.155 50.0% 0.368 -0.4483
3 Other 98 78.57% 44.05 6.323 50.0% 1.214 0.7281
3 Round (Default) 3065 70.53% 46.09 2.953 56.61% 0.347 0.0012
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 50.29 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 121 59.5% 72.14 30.916 50.41% 0.226 -0.1716
4 Archipelago 3 66.67% 60.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Coastline 11 45.45% 56.55 0.0 72.73%
4 Leaf 7 57.14% 38.0 0.0 42.86%
4 Other 39 71.79% 48.49 0.0 61.54%
4 Snake 2 100.0% 26.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 387 59.59% 69.12 10.604 56.59% 0.113 0.0917
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2069 57.23% 44.75 -7.026 55.44% -1.595 -1.67
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 32.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 22 13.64% 53.23 1.639 77.27% -0.073 -0.8182
5 Other 39 58.97% 56.85 11.1 69.23% 0.892 -0.1862
5 Thematic 5 100.0% 54.0 0.0 20.0%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 6 0.0% 68.17 16.787 100.0% 0.235 -0.363
6 Other 10 60.0% 41.4 7.691 60.0% 0.215 0.3662
6 Star 11 54.55% 51.73 7.025 72.73% 0.03 -0.1602
6 Thematic 22 72.73% 37.05 -4.033 36.36% -0.3 0.2177
6 Two Centers (Default) 30 56.67% 38.9 -0.367 46.67% -0.677 -0.8516
7 Other 3 33.33% 27.0 -18.322 33.33% -0.247 -0.4121

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 7766 41.32 1.851 44.69% -0.316 -0.1919
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6165 47.05 4.832 56.14% 0.223 0.0811
All Things Weaken 4025 39.02 0.256 40.97% -0.502 -0.1912
Attenuated Essence 530 36.24 3.066 42.64% 0.077 0.1354
Back Against the Wall 5167 42.56 2.729 45.67% -0.357 -0.3456
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 488 32.92 0.079 34.63% -0.431 -0.3096
Burn Brightest Before the End 347 37.41 3.075 38.33% -0.211 -0.1389
Disintegrating Ecosystem 7120 38.34 0.401 41.95% -0.393 -0.0404
Downward Spiral 14433 39.39 0.457 39.74% -0.049 0.1308
Erosion of Will 7508 39.72 1.709 41.53% -0.331 -0.0978
Intensifying Exploitation 528 30.17 -1.068 31.25% -0.689 -0.4526
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1072 53.23 8.425 73.6% 1.13 0.5247
Memory Fades to Dust 14372 38.71 0.372 36.91% -0.192 0.0966
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3875 38.82 2.249 41.39% -0.169 0.0132
Promising Farmlands 7136 39.07 -0.366 41.59% -0.622 -0.2983
Shattered Fragments of Power 344 37.93 3.294 40.99% -0.107 -0.008
Slow Dissolution of Will 516 33.48 1.619 33.91% -0.247 0.1473
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 631 53.57 2.117 77.18% 0.368 -0.3668
The Border of Life and Death 98 36.23 0.926 51.02% -0.146 -0.6405
Thriving Communities 3801 36.89 -0.742 37.7% -0.588 -0.2666
Thriving Crops 161 37.26 1.114 53.42% 0.23 0.1327
Tipping Point 2485 38.06 0.0 37.42%
Unnatural Proliferation 4208 41.42 3.321 43.94% 0.006 0.1805
Untended Land Crumbles 3864 37.84 -0.219 39.26% -0.485 -0.2503

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 24347 72.03% 41.65 -3.156 47.66% -0.959 0.1366
B 28947 68.68% 44.88 0.296 54.31% -0.477 0.515
C 28436 70.79% 43.62 -0.247 51.9% -0.592 0.2371
D 26225 69.76% 45.27 0.497 55.37% -0.521 0.4882
E 11789 69.77% 44.09 0.193 54.34% -0.572 0.2775
F 15075 67.18% 46.04 0.467 57.67% -0.532 0.4144
G 14205 67.19% 47.42 1.65 60.3% -0.401 0.508
H 13525 65.31% 46.72 0.632 58.6% -0.593 0.3454
East 4427 76.69% 55.1 4.777 39.06% 0.114 1.0871
Northeast 2297 72.56% 57.6 3.753 44.41% -0.241 0.6231
Northwest 1272 68.9% 56.99 0.341 45.05% -0.565 0.3836
Southeast 343 84.55% 39.84 -2.504 25.36% -0.774 0.1397
Southwest 271 78.81% 32.02 -6.73 21.77% -1.115 0.273
West 2433 73.3% 52.3 6.871 38.27% 0.096 1.1931

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 713 0.0% 38.68 -0.352 39.27% -0.106 0.5588
Not Using Events or Tokens 14734 80.27% 37.81 -7.914 33.34% -1.596 -1.1049
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2604 17.9% 64.86 12.09 84.98% 1.062 0.4493
Start of Game Growth 4888 22.07% 61.28 7.744 82.55% 1.137 0.7264
Unlimited Undo 12001 63.67% 47.56 -0.183 60.78% 0.097 -0.0316
Using Tokens but Not Events 9488 56.86% 45.6 -1.876 54.56% -0.703 -0.6443

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 27589 16.61 4.86%
II 52469 30.57 46.93%
III 45868 34.75 77.14%
IV 11909 38.33 99.58%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.132 Win Model: 0.519
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 114000 71.34% 44.3 52.47%
2 17969 66.92% 46.89 56.24%
3 3311 69.35% 47.86 56.45%
4 2430 58.99% 46.22 55.1%
5 51 41.18% 44.59 54.9%
6 74 52.7% 46.11 60.81%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1338
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 34745
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 23141
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 11716
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 8695
Lose: Invader deck ran out 10504
Lose: Adversary condition 484
Win: Sacrifice victory 748
Lose: Scenario condition 903
Win: Scenario condition 1517
Lose: Blight pool ran out 41322
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2722

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-02-26 05:00:52 (Pacific Time)