The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 10562 25.21% 23.58 -0.243 80.56% 0.044 -0.0496
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 183 16.39% 23.98 2.335 71.04% 0.359 -0.1485
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6898 43.65% 23.63 -0.451 80.18% -0.139 0.0585
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 313 15.02% 26.43 5.743 74.76% 1.365 0.492
Dances Up Earthquakes 128 28.13% 22.63 1.969 70.31% 0.332 0.1933
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5030 25.48% 25.08 0.177 85.49% -0.034 -0.2558
Downpour Drenches the World 884 20.9% 19.8 -1.307 63.91% -0.325 -0.0189
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1029 18.42% 24.28 2.305 74.73% 0.607 0.0529
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6479 15.9% 28.79 3.302 90.38% 0.853 0.4255
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4855 19.8% 26.98 1.441 89.31% 0.361 -0.0528
Finder of Paths Unseen 547 29.6% 14.55 -5.379 47.17% -1.446 -0.7909
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1313 26.93% 22.87 -2.76 66.57% -1.181 -0.6353
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1325 36.08% 22.79 -0.34 69.43% -0.101 -0.1854
Heart of the Wildfire 6185 56.81% 20.66 -1.429 71.14% -0.299 0.0165
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8134 27.38% 26.0 0.648 86.98% 0.202 -0.241
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 315 13.33% 22.55 1.13 65.71% 0.245 -0.0479
Lightning's Swift Strike 12011 42.28% 21.81 -0.392 73.73% -0.006 0.2561
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 350 31.99% 23.85 0.438 70.29% 0.039 -0.289
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 993 21.48% 23.19 0.336 73.72% 0.047 -0.3287
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 822 24.69% 22.81 -0.436 70.56% -0.556 -0.456
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3571 23.36% 25.88 2.35 82.5% 0.495 0.2964
Many Minds Move as One 2082 20.12% 25.67 1.036 82.42% 0.146 -0.0682
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 10010 39.15% 23.63 -0.246 79.57% 0.077 0.2243
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 173 46.82% 19.57 0.726 73.41% 0.652 0.6965
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4466 29.69% 24.03 0.752 83.36% 0.282 0.1792
River Surges in Sunlight 12995 38.4% 24.01 0.359 73.41% -0.085 -0.0879
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 113 23.89% 20.84 1.132 58.41% 0.029 0.3178
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1011 37.28% 24.74 -2.557 73.19% -0.87 -0.6671
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 448 31.6% 24.73 2.203 68.97% 0.069 -0.145
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5292 28.75% 24.41 0.027 83.43% -0.027 -0.1852
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 44 34.09% 20.39 1.339 68.18% 0.317 -0.0663
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 7088 53.17% 21.35 -1.357 70.75% -0.386 0.1899
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 162 32.3% 20.48 2.432 61.11% 0.082 0.0225
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 230 24.45% 25.78 1.401 76.96% 0.185 -0.2434
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 173 26.74% 19.66 1.697 63.58% 0.568 0.5736
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 654 33.18% 25.87 2.683 85.02% 0.496 0.4366
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 510 41.14% 23.53 -1.234 76.67% -0.448 -0.241
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5840 27.63% 25.62 -0.837 84.16% -0.334 -0.3014
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 318 16.14% 22.43 -0.87 69.18% -0.08 -0.2251
Shifting Memory of Ages 1259 33.49% 19.54 -2.627 62.75% -0.808 -0.4833
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 126 17.46% 19.45 1.599 54.76% 0.089 0.137
Shroud of Silent Mist 1581 39.91% 21.61 0.135 73.31% 0.032 0.4004
Starlight Seeks its Form 1958 20.1% 22.16 -0.842 68.13% -0.283 -0.3487
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2820 26.1% 22.54 0.871 81.7% 0.291 -0.1918
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3721 30.85% 23.62 -0.548 78.88% -0.24 -0.0804
Thunderspeaker 9606 30.11% 24.32 0.099 78.75% 0.114 0.1448
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 253 28.85% 18.38 -2.531 52.57% -0.707 -0.5162
Towering Roots of the Jungle 304 29.04% 20.03 0.682 64.47% 0.198 0.344
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1898 56.74% 20.04 -2.038 73.39% -0.472 -0.4518
Vital Strength of the Earth 8955 31.37% 20.15 -1.547 69.34% -0.426 0.1554
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 313 27.6% 19.09 0.623 57.83% 0.193 0.6767
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 516 29.18% 19.99 -1.151 66.86% -0.003 0.616
Volcano Looming High 2085 36.27% 22.3 0.526 74.48% 0.281 0.3169
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 562 17.35% 24.67 3.756 75.62% 0.762 0.4443

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 44 31.82% 25.45 -0.096 72.73% -0.165 -0.1204
Blitz 0 1397 36.1% 20.04 -2.036 64.92% -0.81 -0.5953
Dahan Insurrection 4 1626 19.83% 42.83 5.151 74.42% -0.281 -0.5692
Despicable Theft 2 257 30.35% 25.66 -0.417 60.31% -0.307 0.4037
Elemental Invocation 1 352 36.36% 22.89 -2.593 62.78% -0.958 -0.2569
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2516 8.62% 29.35 1.01 81.48% -0.262 -0.8616
Powers Long Forgotten 1 604 47.93% 24.23 -2.714 63.41% -1.073 -0.2354
Rituals of Terror 3 730 40.52% 30.9 1.759 61.78% -0.568 -0.5079
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 427 60.19% 27.95 -2.976 57.14% -1.021 -0.0343
Second Wave 0 1329 50.26% 25.42 -1.062 70.35% -1.076 -0.8266
The Great River 3 260 40.77% 24.2 0.628 44.23% -0.887 0.1788
Varied Terrains 2 230 42.61% 17.99 -0.339 38.26% -0.973 -0.1433
Ward the Shores 2 663 39.18% 26.61 -2.504 62.44% -0.933 0.2506

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 76106 37.53% 22.7 -0.229 76.27% 0.035 0.3087
1 Thematic 5771 39.12% 29.48 0.484 72.08% -0.349 0.2257
2 Archipelago 51 47.06% 33.1 4.409 66.67% -0.021 0.656
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 15984 32.17% 22.99 -0.817 79.14% -0.176 -0.1072
2 Coastline 1777 33.66% 23.47 0.853 79.91% 0.355 0.1361
2 Fragment 423 38.44% 22.06 3.566 76.6% 1.124 0.8574
2 Heart 238 39.57% 21.81 -0.501 76.47% 0.117 -0.3532
2 Opposite Shores 2456 30.19% 24.18 1.794 84.85% 0.666 0.644
2 Thematic 1436 36.6% 29.36 1.957 70.61% 0.136 0.5092
2 Top to Top 451 32.14% 23.24 -0.218 83.59% 0.486 0.2289
3 Archipelago 23 43.48% 34.91 7.106 86.96% -0.199 -1.1221
3 Coastline 50 35.42% 23.34 6.655 64.0% 0.387 -0.5768
3 Other 289 21.33% 15.92 0.515 53.98% -0.045 -0.809
3 Round (Default) 4984 24.63% 25.36 1.704 86.22% 0.725 0.5715
3 Sunrise 27 42.31% 26.37 0.0 85.19%
3 Thematic 273 36.03% 30.01 1.765 69.6% -0.193 -0.3402
4 Archipelago 22 22.73% 31.23 0.0 72.73%
4 Coastline 14 7.14% 44.21 0.0 85.71%
4 Leaf 10 60.0% 18.7 4.437 70.0% 0.238 0.1472
4 Other 93 26.67% 19.59 -7.683 68.82% -0.776 -1.4603
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 26.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 0.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 440 22.05% 34.22 3.036 87.95% 0.249 0.0715
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2625 19.78% 22.57 -0.61 76.8% -0.133 -0.4624
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 154 15.58% 22.92 -2.289 66.88% -0.365 -1.1151
5 Thematic 17 23.53% 26.88 0.0 58.82%
6 Archipelago 7 0.0% 31.14 0.0 85.71%
6 Coastline 3 0.0% 28.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Other 30 6.9% 18.3 16.16 56.67% 0.046 -0.3706
6 Star 31 3.23% 27.0 0.0 90.32%
6 Thematic 71 19.72% 26.31 -0.061 64.79% -0.48 -0.5283
6 Two Centers (Default) 176 16.48% 19.65 -1.277 62.5% -0.918 -0.7033
7 Other 7 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2322 18.6 -1.145 59.3% -0.679 -0.6076
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1984 20.11 1.351 62.8% -0.117 -0.1877
All Things Weaken 1149 19.06 -0.336 58.92% -0.336 -0.0772
Attenuated Essence 143 18.45 0.259 58.74% -0.075 -0.1111
Back Against the Wall 1885 19.74 0.303 61.7% -0.327 -0.273
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 144 17.53 -2.794 54.86% -0.671 -0.5252
Burn Brightest Before the End 122 21.32 -1.41 56.56% -0.565 -0.5492
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2186 16.53 -2.199 58.37% -0.546 -0.3581
Downward Spiral 9354 16.24 -1.647 58.79% -0.308 -0.2337
Erosion of Will 2223 18.1 0.902 57.8% 0.317 0.4712
Intensifying Exploitation 166 16.22 -2.589 57.23% -0.425 -0.2887
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 503 24.66 5.611 89.26% 1.92 1.3061
Memory Fades to Dust 9235 16.24 -2.025 56.23% -0.48 -0.2764
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1141 18.51 -0.886 63.1% -0.077 0.0977
Promising Farmlands 2259 17.45 -0.204 60.65% 0.23 0.4277
Shattered Fragments of Power 134 20.59 -0.305 55.22% -0.416 -0.4135
Slow Dissolution of Will 173 17.6 -2.075 50.87% -0.591 -0.2927
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 308 25.09 -1.923 91.56% -0.256 -0.9527
The Border of Life and Death 52 19.62 4.343 65.38% 0.926 0.4285
Thriving Communities 1059 17.53 -2.029 58.92% -0.491 -0.3348
Thriving Crops 84 23.13 4.092 77.38% 1.251 0.9387
Tipping Point 789 17.93 0.0 63.12%
Unnatural Proliferation 1137 19.88 -0.301 62.36% 0.001 0.1101
Untended Land Crumbles 1123 17.62 -1.835 57.26% -0.308 -0.1257

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 26443 35.76% 22.48 -0.592 76.66% -0.615 0.3602
B 26902 34.49% 22.74 -0.384 77.32% -0.551 0.3386
C 27555 32.96% 23.05 0.017 78.17% -0.442 0.2505
D 25615 34.25% 22.77 -0.042 77.36% -0.439 0.4563
E 8767 28.12% 23.37 1.244 76.47% -0.269 0.4599
F 11907 29.44% 23.72 -0.044 79.96% -0.499 0.3326
G 10826 31.25% 23.82 0.337 80.82% -0.361 0.4184
H 10908 29.15% 24.01 0.051 80.48% -0.462 0.3209
East 4983 35.35% 30.77 1.907 73.59% -0.489 0.3202
Northeast 2983 34.5% 31.44 1.17 76.0% -0.354 0.4442
Northwest 2160 34.38% 30.53 1.752 75.37% -0.149 0.5846
Southeast 703 27.57% 25.87 -0.502 65.15% -0.542 0.3512
Southwest 651 34.92% 21.04 -2.197 59.45% -0.758 0.5001
West 4169 38.11% 29.14 2.108 71.02% -0.247 0.7507

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2208 0.0% 19.71 -1.7 64.58% -0.527 0.1406
Not Using Events or Tokens 29949 43.87% 20.49 -1.318 69.56% -0.26 0.1609
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1617 11.23% 32.14 2.883 88.19% 0.374 -0.3948
Start of Game Growth 2552 13.87% 30.61 1.842 86.64% 0.044 -0.394
Unlimited Undo 6991 29.38% 24.66 -0.105 81.66% -0.047 -0.1124
Using Tokens but Not Events 9863 27.64% 23.89 0.18 80.74% 0.122 0.0795

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 15014 13.76 17.91%
II 33305 30.19 74.05%
III 46050 34.82 88.99%
IV 19811 38.63 98.89%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.175 Win Model: 0.56
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 82519 37.65% 23.13 75.74%
2 22457 32.49% 23.7 80.01%
3 5552 25.18% 25.16 84.02%
4 3180 20.21% 24.28 78.27%
5 148 13.51% 21.42 64.19%
6 324 14.29% 21.82 64.81%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2682
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 40071
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 23338
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 19406
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 9803
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1340
Lose: Adversary condition 425
Win: Sacrifice victory 426
Lose: Scenario condition 661
Win: Scenario condition 2001
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13231
Lose: Spirit destroyed 796

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7956 26.77% 28.5 -0.051 81.71% -0.037 -0.1312
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 209 22.33% 27.02 1.156 70.81% 0.146 -0.3621
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5327 47.61% 27.45 1.063 78.39% 0.224 0.4214
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 369 24.0% 33.49 6.35 85.91% 1.251 0.3779
Dances Up Earthquakes 185 23.6% 22.62 0.526 62.7% -0.121 -0.2598
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4161 28.41% 29.64 2.559 86.18% 0.718 0.4961
Downpour Drenches the World 1089 25.69% 23.59 -0.695 69.05% 0.038 0.344
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1179 20.52% 27.05 1.881 76.93% 0.589 0.0341
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5528 19.78% 32.51 3.65 89.13% 0.655 0.2283
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4012 24.94% 33.21 2.702 89.36% 0.585 0.1716
Finder of Paths Unseen 640 38.91% 20.26 -4.333 54.69% -1.079 -0.4238
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1506 31.04% 27.21 -2.955 69.85% -0.902 -0.3566
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1779 38.97% 29.17 5.007 78.41% 0.921 0.8365
Heart of the Wildfire 4907 62.9% 23.47 -1.839 68.05% -0.545 -0.2295
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7327 34.73% 29.53 0.087 84.28% 0.013 -0.431
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 306 28.71% 28.18 0.387 74.84% -0.067 -0.3603
Lightning's Swift Strike 8228 45.47% 25.87 -1.206 73.76% -0.306 -0.044
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 389 35.22% 28.23 -0.147 76.61% -0.09 -0.4172
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 729 34.08% 31.58 1.91 86.01% 0.578 0.2023
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 699 30.27% 32.1 1.503 76.25% -0.29 -0.1899
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3066 35.37% 29.82 0.673 81.57% 0.106 -0.0932
Many Minds Move as One 2048 21.99% 30.39 1.875 84.81% 0.265 0.0507
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8219 36.65% 29.79 0.706 84.22% -0.017 0.1311
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 339 42.72% 21.52 -0.35 65.19% 0.089 0.1337
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3861 32.14% 28.18 0.969 83.53% 0.298 0.1953
River Surges in Sunlight 9470 42.54% 28.38 0.633 75.05% -0.073 -0.0758
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 148 36.55% 22.09 0.244 60.14% -0.219 0.0693
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 962 40.02% 27.44 0.807 74.12% 0.361 0.5643
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 613 38.82% 27.88 3.365 72.1% 0.819 0.6049
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4186 33.7% 29.22 1.551 82.3% 0.336 0.178
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 103 18.42% 25.77 2.166 67.96% 0.353 -0.0296
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 5109 60.31% 24.14 -1.673 67.76% -0.286 0.2904
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 161 48.7% 26.63 3.653 70.81% 0.92 0.8598
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 354 33.22% 26.76 0.747 72.03% 0.109 -0.3198
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 168 41.07% 26.23 0.337 69.05% -0.318 -0.3117
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 613 39.05% 29.68 0.671 82.22% 0.158 0.0986
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 384 50.79% 27.46 -0.306 75.78% -0.222 -0.0157
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5132 31.09% 29.63 -1.266 82.33% -0.505 -0.4727
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 398 25.7% 26.01 2.555 71.11% 0.71 0.5643
Shifting Memory of Ages 1789 38.75% 24.78 -2.158 70.88% -0.313 0.0116
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 228 31.56% 23.86 -1.36 60.53% -0.973 -0.9243
Shroud of Silent Mist 1596 46.18% 24.94 -2.288 74.69% -0.571 -0.2029
Starlight Seeks its Form 1859 27.27% 27.16 0.594 77.51% 0.06 -0.0059
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2541 31.14% 27.52 0.737 83.63% 0.297 -0.1866
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3545 32.95% 27.66 -2.426 79.15% -0.593 -0.4335
Thunderspeaker 7478 34.64% 28.72 0.622 79.09% -0.023 0.007
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 277 28.62% 21.87 1.76 59.57% 0.359 0.5493
Towering Roots of the Jungle 563 30.95% 22.17 -0.5 64.83% -0.103 0.0433
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1951 61.34% 24.49 -1.246 74.68% -0.147 -0.127
Vital Strength of the Earth 6416 34.94% 24.23 -2.473 71.1% -0.656 -0.0747
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 352 30.11% 22.38 -3.395 64.49% -0.715 -0.2319
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 511 36.36% 22.83 -1.454 65.75% -0.718 -0.0984
Volcano Looming High 2125 44.14% 24.88 -1.287 73.55% -0.338 -0.3024
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 997 25.52% 29.3 0.495 78.54% -0.136 -0.4536

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 48 31.25% 25.9 -0.033 62.5% -0.105 -0.0605
Blitz 0 1248 35.92% 23.54 -1.653 64.58% -0.75 -0.5357
Dahan Insurrection 4 1251 27.07% 44.41 10.728 68.82% 0.255 -0.0331
Despicable Theft 2 242 34.3% 27.98 1.202 59.5% -0.176 0.5345
Elemental Invocation 1 391 37.69% 23.89 1.119 61.38% 0.381 1.0824
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2598 10.66% 35.53 5.106 78.14% 0.237 -0.3635
Powers Long Forgotten 1 668 47.6% 25.91 -4.647 60.03% -1.278 -0.4406
Rituals of Terror 3 596 43.51% 32.2 0.773 59.23% -0.912 -0.8516
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 398 62.56% 30.74 -1.495 56.78% -1.086 -0.099
Second Wave 0 5169 39.66% 30.6 1.137 77.38% -0.188 0.062
The Great River 3 247 38.87% 27.1 3.072 48.99% -0.27 0.7961
Varied Terrains 2 189 49.74% 21.56 3.226 42.86% 0.252 1.0813
Ward the Shores 2 548 44.24% 29.97 -2.636 60.58% -1.114 0.0698

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 60487 40.27% 26.01 -0.371 75.18% 0.137 0.4099
1 Thematic 4775 42.52% 32.66 -0.466 68.86% -0.224 0.3509
2 Archipelago 46 46.67% 31.35 -9.004 65.22% -0.965 -0.2881
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12552 35.97% 27.67 -0.302 81.18% 0.082 0.1505
2 Coastline 1664 32.31% 28.4 0.38 82.39% 0.402 0.1835
2 Fragment 431 41.75% 26.58 -0.545 77.03% -0.038 -0.3043
2 Heart 220 44.24% 27.06 1.036 75.0% 0.354 -0.1163
2 Opposite Shores 2923 33.18% 28.66 0.247 85.19% 0.349 0.3266
2 Thematic 1737 38.78% 31.25 -0.33 71.21% -0.322 0.0516
2 Top to Top 512 34.39% 27.55 0.691 79.3% -0.002 -0.2592
3 Archipelago 28 50.0% 36.89 1.917 82.14% -0.151 -1.0741
3 Coastline 36 36.11% 31.14 -5.155 66.67% -0.498 -1.4613
3 Other 162 38.61% 28.7 3.177 84.57% 0.265 -0.4986
3 Round (Default) 5025 28.58% 30.24 2.156 84.32% 0.67 0.5171
3 Sunrise 26 19.23% 34.5 3.935 100.0% 0.142 0.0642
3 Thematic 273 42.44% 28.85 -4.383 64.84% -0.114 -0.2617
4 Archipelago 13 53.85% 37.31 0.0 84.62%
4 Coastline 17 17.65% 32.0 -1.632 64.71% -0.49 -0.5467
4 Leaf 16 37.5% 34.13 0.0 87.5%
4 Other 90 35.23% 30.33 3.414 85.56% 1.127 0.4428
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 3 0.0% 46.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 357 35.21% 37.69 5.945 76.75% 0.317 0.1396
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1983 30.51% 29.55 1.216 85.27% 0.617 0.288
5 Archipelago 5 40.0% 53.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 3 0.0% 40.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 116 41.07% 29.19 5.601 80.17% 0.416 -0.3339
5 Thematic 4 25.0% 20.5 4.609 50.0% 0.308 -0.0788
6 Archipelago 10 20.0% 42.6 0.0 70.0%
6 Other 32 25.0% 29.44 -12.875 75.0% -0.559 -0.9757
6 Star 15 26.67% 26.07 0.0 73.33%
6 Thematic 107 37.38% 37.75 -9.62 71.96% -0.901 -0.9496
6 Two Centers (Default) 176 19.89% 28.25 -6.765 76.7% -1.366 -1.1511
7 Other 4 66.67% 33.5 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2101 23.14 0.423 62.64% -0.231 -0.1593
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1700 24.55 1.455 65.35% 0.103 0.032
All Things Weaken 1195 23.3 -0.666 62.68% -0.717 -0.4577
Attenuated Essence 202 23.5 -1.499 63.86% -0.216 -0.2516
Back Against the Wall 1808 24.01 1.482 63.66% 0.075 0.1284
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 204 24.91 -0.208 71.57% 0.165 0.3107
Burn Brightest Before the End 162 24.54 -0.915 65.43% -0.232 -0.2155
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2158 20.64 -0.841 59.5% 0.046 0.234
Downward Spiral 6894 21.57 -0.488 65.0% -0.038 0.036
Erosion of Will 2158 22.64 -0.959 60.47% -0.169 -0.0141
Intensifying Exploitation 217 21.2 -0.232 60.83% -0.15 -0.0139
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 574 28.68 2.46 90.77% 0.966 0.3518
Memory Fades to Dust 6959 20.96 -1.176 60.21% -0.281 -0.0776
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1168 22.95 -0.618 67.64% -0.029 0.1461
Promising Farmlands 2147 21.35 -0.291 61.62% -0.005 0.1933
Shattered Fragments of Power 187 23.47 -3.104 59.89% -0.993 -0.9906
Slow Dissolution of Will 227 21.72 -1.613 59.03% -0.247 0.0514
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 401 28.21 0.745 90.77% 0.775 0.0785
The Border of Life and Death 81 24.35 -2.457 72.84% -0.681 -1.1793
Thriving Communities 1115 22.17 0.73 64.57% 0.071 0.2269
Thriving Crops 111 26.57 -0.186 85.59% 0.089 -0.2228
Tipping Point 669 20.79 0.0 57.55%
Unnatural Proliferation 1240 23.96 0.116 66.21% 0.049 0.1578
Untended Land Crumbles 1196 22.5 -0.156 64.05% -0.027 0.1551

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 21295 38.71% 26.71 -0.556 77.05% -0.588 0.3876
B 21328 36.95% 27.38 0.014 79.17% -0.405 0.4843
C 22107 37.11% 27.46 0.28 79.38% -0.354 0.3384
D 20391 37.14% 27.32 0.321 79.07% -0.324 0.5714
E 8523 34.45% 27.59 0.442 78.39% -0.321 0.4079
F 10664 34.47% 27.87 0.469 79.98% -0.37 0.4611
G 9604 34.64% 27.75 0.049 79.88% -0.523 0.2565
H 9954 33.2% 28.17 0.799 80.51% -0.234 0.5486
East 4832 38.67% 33.72 -1.115 70.67% -1.226 -0.4166
Northeast 3043 37.85% 34.26 -0.942 71.11% -0.846 -0.0482
Northwest 2193 38.56% 32.48 3.253 72.64% 0.164 0.898
Southeast 695 38.01% 30.51 -3.243 66.62% -1.129 -0.2359
Southwest 683 40.76% 27.98 -3.033 63.25% -0.838 0.4201
West 3971 43.13% 31.22 2.158 68.8% -0.219 0.7782

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3251 0.0% 20.67 -2.203 62.87% -0.713 -0.0453
Not Using Events or Tokens 19037 44.12% 24.96 -1.419 71.51% -0.295 0.1255
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1160 13.25% 38.12 3.449 86.9% 0.327 -0.4418
Start of Game Growth 1925 15.37% 36.54 4.334 87.01% 0.282 -0.1555
Unlimited Undo 6979 32.77% 28.38 0.811 80.41% 0.135 0.0697
Using Tokens but Not Events 10546 31.31% 26.66 -0.54 78.44% 0.2 0.1568

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11439 13.76 8.92%
II 21979 30.19 67.98%
III 39933 34.82 89.62%
IV 20566 38.63 98.94%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.416 Win Model: 0.594
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 65771 40.44% 26.46 74.52%
2 19812 35.7% 28.3 81.36%
3 5432 29.21% 30.29 84.11%
4 2454 31.21% 30.8 83.74%
5 108 44.76% 28.56 82.41%
6 340 26.25% 31.92 74.71%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1018
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 34966
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 14127
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 20140
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 9137
Lose: Invader deck ran out 766
Lose: Adversary condition 268
Win: Sacrifice victory 360
Lose: Scenario condition 651
Win: Scenario condition 1487
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10352
Lose: Spirit destroyed 645

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 9508 31.49% 37.16 -0.741 82.64% -0.002 -0.0956
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 311 36.66% 35.29 1.777 69.77% 0.521 0.0126
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5844 55.15% 35.21 -0.573 76.59% -0.172 0.0254
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 409 28.61% 42.05 4.831 85.09% 0.629 -0.2445
Dances Up Earthquakes 246 46.28% 31.57 0.379 65.85% 0.032 -0.1068
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5006 36.46% 37.61 1.089 85.04% 0.403 0.181
Downpour Drenches the World 1409 28.95% 32.02 -2.275 70.12% -0.334 -0.028
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2087 26.52% 35.32 1.068 72.3% 0.368 -0.1868
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7271 24.68% 41.69 4.502 89.77% 0.961 0.5338
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5046 30.55% 41.16 2.292 87.63% 0.277 -0.1364
Finder of Paths Unseen 788 51.02% 32.66 -5.086 62.18% -0.937 -0.2814
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1633 35.89% 36.99 -0.188 72.26% -0.261 0.2847
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2268 39.24% 34.01 -2.42 71.25% 0.027 -0.0573
Heart of the Wildfire 6696 62.25% 32.45 -2.584 70.16% -0.459 -0.1437
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 11001 38.86% 39.25 3.192 83.77% 0.499 0.0553
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 441 28.08% 36.55 3.667 77.1% 0.89 0.5967
Lightning's Swift Strike 8938 48.09% 34.54 -1.822 75.13% -0.371 -0.1089
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 650 46.3% 40.31 2.508 76.62% 0.313 -0.0147
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1059 36.59% 39.05 1.283 81.78% 0.293 -0.0826
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1006 37.69% 40.65 0.041 78.13% -0.152 -0.0521
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4697 37.27% 38.97 0.779 80.16% -0.067 -0.2658
Many Minds Move as One 2519 26.74% 39.05 1.106 86.38% 0.208 -0.0064
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 10335 45.76% 36.88 1.044 79.23% 0.132 0.2795
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 463 55.08% 28.14 -1.019 61.99% -0.188 -0.1436
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4922 37.36% 37.19 0.081 84.15% 0.211 0.1084
River Surges in Sunlight 11033 47.78% 37.03 -0.644 77.19% -0.264 -0.2661
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 213 41.31% 32.69 0.638 64.32% -0.197 0.0911
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1384 42.75% 37.57 -1.116 74.13% -0.347 -0.1441
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 795 41.05% 36.32 2.964 68.43% -0.029 -0.2432
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5878 40.1% 36.94 0.173 80.74% 0.156 -0.0021
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 119 48.74% 40.13 3.85 74.79% 0.735 0.3521
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4858 61.5% 32.83 -2.251 69.04% -0.472 0.1038
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 184 44.44% 34.64 1.324 69.02% 0.147 0.0868
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 486 37.11% 43.11 5.818 81.48% 0.793 0.3643
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 232 47.19% 34.16 -2.533 71.55% -0.452 -0.4457
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 632 48.1% 37.61 4.599 82.44% 0.748 0.6885
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 581 54.83% 35.35 -0.463 74.18% -0.319 -0.1124
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6768 35.27% 38.07 -2.98 82.95% -0.568 -0.5352
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 669 25.49% 44.93 4.271 74.44% 0.662 0.5161
Shifting Memory of Ages 1716 50.32% 32.82 -3.11 71.74% -0.768 -0.4433
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 279 31.54% 31.08 -3.56 66.31% -0.813 -0.7651
Shroud of Silent Mist 1848 61.44% 30.65 -3.553 67.86% -0.679 -0.3106
Starlight Seeks its Form 2791 38.46% 36.04 1.316 76.78% 0.343 0.2768
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3760 36.1% 36.24 -0.736 83.56% 0.156 -0.3276
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3988 37.6% 36.95 0.571 80.52% 0.083 0.2423
Thunderspeaker 9201 38.53% 37.88 -0.09 81.47% 0.026 0.0563
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 370 29.81% 35.35 0.81 68.11% -0.05 0.1409
Towering Roots of the Jungle 902 32.11% 30.99 -2.232 61.53% -0.433 -0.2876
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2661 71.88% 31.5 -0.222 70.99% 0.166 0.1864
Vital Strength of the Earth 6890 37.34% 32.54 -3.474 72.74% -0.695 -0.1135
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 504 42.06% 34.24 1.96 71.03% 0.35 0.833
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 862 26.25% 31.31 -5.189 71.81% -1.214 -0.5948
Volcano Looming High 3082 48.14% 33.94 -0.683 76.05% 0.012 0.048
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1219 28.38% 33.96 1.043 67.27% 0.393 0.0753

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 38 15.79% 32.95 -1.175 76.32% -0.375 -0.3304
Blitz 0 1283 44.47% 32.18 -3.813 68.04% -0.968 -0.7539
Dahan Insurrection 4 1800 20.84% 51.33 3.728 68.72% -0.349 -0.6373
Despicable Theft 2 140 50.0% 34.51 -2.994 59.29% -0.329 0.3817
Elemental Invocation 1 331 49.85% 29.84 -2.004 58.31% -0.526 0.1754
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3789 10.01% 45.65 5.486 84.48% 0.648 0.0475
Powers Long Forgotten 1 503 52.39% 33.9 -4.802 63.02% -0.693 0.1446
Rituals of Terror 3 456 52.63% 39.67 -2.288 60.53% -0.743 -0.6821
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 239 60.67% 38.71 -1.461 62.76% -0.694 0.2928
Second Wave 0 4571 46.86% 37.14 1.219 73.05% -0.305 -0.0551
The Great River 3 216 50.93% 33.58 1.199 46.3% -0.526 0.54
Varied Terrains 2 141 58.87% 33.6 1.704 52.48% -0.853 -0.0235
Ward the Shores 2 446 46.62% 41.59 2.824 71.52% 0.041 1.2247

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 69387 45.17% 34.26 -1.129 75.87% -0.538 -0.2649
1 Thematic 4187 47.69% 39.72 1.378 71.01% -0.312 0.263
2 Archipelago 47 51.06% 37.87 3.513 55.32% 0.086 0.7628
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 15931 42.01% 35.65 0.188 80.96% -0.099 -0.0307
2 Coastline 2085 38.35% 36.88 3.094 81.44% 0.564 0.3456
2 Fragment 480 45.68% 35.0 0.573 78.13% -0.005 -0.2717
2 Heart 208 48.29% 36.72 3.551 80.77% 0.088 -0.3819
2 Opposite Shores 3713 39.47% 36.77 2.785 82.44% 0.291 0.2692
2 Thematic 1649 45.05% 41.93 0.05 75.14% -0.211 0.162
2 Top to Top 646 38.88% 37.96 3.875 84.83% 0.778 0.5211
3 Archipelago 35 51.43% 56.14 12.347 74.29% 0.28 -0.6433
3 Coastline 43 44.19% 39.65 2.311 79.07% 0.059 -0.9044
3 Other 328 42.68% 38.86 2.708 88.72% 0.383 -0.3811
3 Round (Default) 6488 36.11% 37.24 -0.682 82.78% -0.358 -0.5111
3 Sunrise 32 37.5% 39.81 0.0 90.63%
3 Thematic 334 46.69% 41.66 4.374 72.46% 0.606 0.4588
4 Archipelago 15 33.33% 49.0 0.0 86.67%
4 Coastline 9 44.44% 38.33 0.0 66.67%
4 Leaf 28 35.71% 43.21 5.855 96.43% 0.199 0.1084
4 Other 124 51.61% 41.9 -0.749 86.29% -0.224 -0.9085
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 859 28.49% 40.44 -3.912 67.29% -0.468 -0.6455
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3038 31.94% 38.42 -1.229 83.94% -0.048 -0.3778
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 53.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 4 100.0% 40.75 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 186 38.92% 39.97 2.002 75.81% 0.397 -0.3527
5 Thematic 27 48.15% 47.63 -13.854 66.67% -0.211 -0.5974
6 Archipelago 4 0.0% 33.75 0.0 75.0%
6 Coastline 2 50.0% 10.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 34 23.53% 42.5 -2.01 76.47% -0.417 -0.8341
6 Star 36 27.78% 41.33 -0.377 94.44% -0.018 0.3172
6 Thematic 669 45.39% 55.29 1.678 72.35% -0.162 -0.2104
6 Two Centers (Default) 379 15.3% 39.68 -1.725 82.59% -0.778 -0.5639
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 3 0.0% 26.33 0.0 33.33%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3148 30.38 -0.566 63.31% -0.14 -0.0679
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2578 31.97 1.963 64.66% 0.271 0.1997
All Things Weaken 1863 29.06 -0.522 59.74% -0.358 -0.0991
Attenuated Essence 332 32.25 2.137 65.96% 0.607 0.5709
Back Against the Wall 2494 30.96 -0.893 62.27% -0.393 -0.3389
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 328 30.41 -2.211 64.33% -0.311 -0.1653
Burn Brightest Before the End 280 30.26 0.858 56.79% 0.226 0.2419
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2990 27.88 -1.213 61.57% -0.107 0.0816
Downward Spiral 8318 29.32 -1.127 66.65% -0.091 -0.0163
Erosion of Will 3260 30.53 -0.155 63.47% 0.044 0.1987
Intensifying Exploitation 316 29.2 1.054 61.08% 0.471 0.6065
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 785 38.92 4.265 93.89% 1.047 0.4326
Memory Fades to Dust 8518 28.79 -1.346 62.91% -0.234 -0.0307
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1755 30.37 -1.358 66.44% -0.165 0.0099
Promising Farmlands 3161 29.57 0.087 65.23% 0.022 0.2201
Shattered Fragments of Power 270 30.04 -1.146 60.0% -0.451 -0.4478
Slow Dissolution of Will 297 29.67 1.631 58.59% 0.255 0.5537
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 495 38.04 -0.133 90.51% 0.114 -0.5826
The Border of Life and Death 109 33.88 -2.393 77.06% -0.26 -0.7582
Thriving Communities 1708 29.31 -0.148 63.47% 0.14 0.2963
Thriving Crops 169 31.71 2.889 72.78% 0.885 0.5732
Tipping Point 971 29.87 0.0 64.78%
Unnatural Proliferation 1843 30.78 0.811 63.43% 0.11 0.219
Untended Land Crumbles 1773 30.14 0.775 65.09% 0.19 0.3715

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 25966 42.78% 34.99 -1.002 77.55% -0.528 0.4474
B 26826 41.62% 35.59 -0.305 79.18% -0.376 0.5138
C 27373 42.04% 35.77 -0.016 79.45% -0.319 0.3729
D 24777 42.58% 35.41 -0.019 79.08% -0.298 0.5972
E 10523 39.32% 36.31 1.131 79.87% -0.189 0.5405
F 13452 38.8% 36.36 0.65 80.44% -0.291 0.5408
G 12211 40.1% 36.01 -0.077 80.01% -0.349 0.4304
H 12230 39.09% 36.62 0.889 80.53% -0.211 0.5714
East 5418 42.9% 43.12 0.453 71.96% -0.313 0.4959
Northeast 3466 41.56% 45.12 2.142 74.12% -0.319 0.4787
Northwest 2849 41.35% 45.17 2.446 73.89% -0.029 0.7046
Southeast 1406 41.77% 45.13 -0.174 68.21% -0.619 0.2743
Southwest 1361 42.6% 43.82 -0.45 66.94% -0.748 0.51
West 4821 43.58% 42.26 -0.131 70.94% -0.785 0.213

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 908 0.0% 33.45 -1.103 70.37% -0.137 0.5312
Not Using Events or Tokens 17965 48.71% 32.36 -2.058 71.77% -0.204 0.2172
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1125 14.9% 47.46 6.072 87.56% 0.967 0.1977
Start of Game Growth 2493 16.59% 47.26 5.017 85.96% 0.428 -0.0098
Unlimited Undo 9659 36.99% 36.62 -0.038 80.44% -0.1 -0.1656
Using Tokens but Not Events 10955 34.54% 36.17 0.725 80.89% 0.319 0.2762

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 12773 13.76 12.53%
II 27588 30.19 65.1%
III 46155 34.82 91.03%
IV 24624 38.63 99.32%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.208 Win Model: 0.288
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 74036 45.34% 34.57 75.53%
2 24631 41.55% 36.48 80.96%
3 7131 36.64% 37.69 83.03%
4 4055 31.52% 39.21 81.01%
5 175 38.73% 37.58 67.43%
6 1112 34.66% 48.63 76.53%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1598
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 41140
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 16836
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 24231
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 8791
Lose: Invader deck ran out 854
Lose: Adversary condition 411
Win: Sacrifice victory 420
Lose: Scenario condition 708
Win: Scenario condition 1810
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13682
Lose: Spirit destroyed 659

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8408 35.36% 42.44 0.453 79.44% 0.178 0.0842
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 323 29.6% 36.92 1.659 70.59% 0.43 -0.078
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5336 64.69% 39.0 -3.984 71.12% -0.618 -0.421
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 486 37.04% 45.15 5.991 81.69% 0.919 0.0459
Dances Up Earthquakes 249 46.59% 31.62 -0.196 60.64% 0.047 -0.0916
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4471 40.97% 42.83 0.788 82.82% 0.323 0.1002
Downpour Drenches the World 1386 34.35% 35.12 -0.54 64.94% -0.295 0.0103
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1757 33.01% 39.31 2.275 74.73% 0.566 0.0118
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7310 29.02% 47.81 2.944 89.1% 0.594 0.1672
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5141 33.31% 45.89 -0.039 81.5% -0.096 -0.5092
Finder of Paths Unseen 670 46.79% 29.74 -2.299 53.13% -0.182 0.4729
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1640 41.35% 38.26 -4.175 62.74% -0.832 -0.2867
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2317 45.84% 40.26 1.478 73.85% 0.13 0.0459
Heart of the Wildfire 6843 67.7% 34.88 -2.825 62.05% -0.554 -0.2382
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 12082 44.53% 43.54 3.57 81.91% 0.496 0.053
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 634 29.81% 40.44 4.385 74.76% 0.758 0.4646
Lightning's Swift Strike 7494 56.84% 38.47 -2.676 69.54% -0.529 -0.2665
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 591 50.94% 41.55 0.983 73.27% 0.236 -0.0917
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1084 42.59% 44.64 2.674 82.93% 0.427 0.0513
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1022 38.21% 41.52 -0.179 71.82% -0.153 -0.0534
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5021 44.43% 42.02 0.134 76.9% -0.119 -0.3182
Many Minds Move as One 2500 31.56% 45.16 1.735 85.56% 0.341 0.1261
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 10287 49.45% 41.16 -0.536 76.42% 0.004 0.1514
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 430 60.61% 31.36 0.24 58.84% 0.1 0.1446
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5274 40.94% 42.51 1.046 82.2% 0.352 0.2497
River Surges in Sunlight 10957 52.47% 42.43 0.39 73.3% -0.086 -0.0883
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 229 49.34% 35.23 0.653 61.14% 0.003 0.2912
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1126 45.77% 40.66 -1.834 68.38% -0.574 -0.3705
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1014 42.79% 40.14 1.566 65.19% 0.148 -0.0658
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5412 44.18% 42.28 0.681 79.23% 0.086 -0.0721
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 106 43.4% 38.01 3.304 70.75% 0.571 0.1876
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4006 68.98% 36.1 -5.699 62.36% -0.834 -0.258
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 238 46.09% 33.84 -0.532 59.24% -0.137 -0.1963
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 566 41.13% 39.54 4.611 74.73% 0.756 0.3273
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 243 50.0% 38.09 0.036 67.9% -0.274 -0.2683
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 672 49.11% 42.61 -4.289 77.23% -0.6 -0.6593
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 446 60.99% 39.37 -0.01 71.52% -0.052 0.1542
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6891 39.89% 43.61 -1.92 80.18% -0.321 -0.2888
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 546 36.76% 36.75 0.21 70.33% 0.069 -0.076
Shifting Memory of Ages 1594 53.06% 36.99 -2.023 70.2% -0.335 -0.0096
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 394 37.82% 34.46 0.952 60.91% 0.026 0.0739
Shroud of Silent Mist 1653 65.71% 33.6 -4.107 61.28% -0.732 -0.3638
Starlight Seeks its Form 3036 34.93% 39.37 0.103 74.8% 0.047 -0.0192
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3845 40.64% 40.64 2.318 80.62% 0.6 0.1171
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4260 39.55% 42.72 -1.552 79.77% -0.285 -0.1252
Thunderspeaker 7994 45.51% 42.54 0.352 77.05% 0.17 0.2001
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 310 48.39% 30.39 -3.101 57.42% -0.364 -0.1732
Towering Roots of the Jungle 757 36.47% 32.58 0.921 62.09% 0.081 0.2268
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2735 78.45% 35.94 -0.413 68.63% 0.025 0.0454
Vital Strength of the Earth 6002 46.01% 36.96 -2.614 65.89% -0.289 0.2925
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 487 39.96% 33.61 -1.225 62.22% -0.27 0.2134
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 639 41.63% 30.64 -4.155 52.27% -0.468 0.1511
Volcano Looming High 2721 53.19% 37.58 0.3 70.75% 0.188 0.2234
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1184 35.3% 37.08 0.16 70.44% 0.059 -0.2579

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 22 36.36% 38.45 0.0 68.18%
Blitz 0 1099 49.95% 38.11 2.353 69.06% 0.204 0.4182
Dahan Insurrection 4 1567 27.05% 60.22 8.405 73.58% 0.166 -0.1221
Despicable Theft 2 123 56.91% 38.31 3.839 52.03% 0.483 1.1931
Elemental Invocation 1 215 64.19% 32.12 -6.3 49.77% -1.027 -0.3255
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 4333 13.0% 50.06 5.921 80.98% 0.784 0.1838
Powers Long Forgotten 1 327 57.8% 37.32 -12.452 57.49% -1.185 -0.3477
Rituals of Terror 3 190 62.11% 40.15 -6.039 48.95% -0.746 -0.6855
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 128 74.22% 43.86 16.0 56.25% 0.553 1.5401
Second Wave 0 3381 51.97% 41.85 1.738 68.74% -0.159 0.0911
The Great River 3 187 55.08% 30.53 -7.253 29.95% -1.187 -0.1216
Varied Terrains 2 78 64.1% 29.14 -5.3 37.18% -0.291 0.5383
Ward the Shores 2 202 58.91% 44.23 0.228 62.87% -0.213 0.9704

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 75966 51.22% 39.05 -1.156 71.93% -0.56 -0.2863
1 Thematic 3540 45.91% 46.53 2.46 65.31% -0.371 0.2035
2 Archipelago 26 57.69% 46.77 0.0 69.23%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 15361 45.56% 41.86 1.241 79.83% -0.037 0.0314
2 Coastline 1945 41.78% 42.06 -2.047 79.59% -0.596 -0.8153
2 Fragment 365 59.5% 37.03 4.366 68.22% 0.615 0.348
2 Heart 182 55.49% 39.01 -1.835 73.63% -0.185 -0.6552
2 Opposite Shores 3430 46.51% 40.46 -0.26 75.54% -0.335 -0.3573
2 Thematic 1179 54.29% 45.72 -7.068 68.79% -0.846 -0.4731
2 Top to Top 593 45.35% 39.75 2.14 75.04% 0.025 -0.2321
3 Archipelago 17 70.59% 54.24 0.0 88.24%
3 Coastline 67 41.79% 39.31 -4.285 62.69% -0.753 -1.7168
3 Other 310 34.09% 41.06 1.915 79.03% -0.014 -0.7783
3 Round (Default) 5819 39.21% 42.55 0.881 79.52% -0.042 -0.1949
3 Sunrise 32 25.0% 37.56 0.0 71.88%
3 Thematic 220 52.27% 47.58 -4.749 73.64% -0.127 -0.2748
4 Archipelago 25 28.0% 56.44 18.72 84.0% 0.357 -0.17
4 Coastline 7 57.14% 37.57 -7.786 71.43% -0.621 -0.6772
4 Leaf 17 52.94% 44.47 0.0 76.47%
4 Other 154 35.06% 36.54 1.532 68.83% 0.029 -0.6557
4 Reverse Snake 2 50.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Snake 4 25.0% 50.25 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 417 39.17% 52.29 -0.851 80.58% 0.013 -0.1645
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3057 34.56% 44.2 0.011 82.6% -0.037 -0.3665
5 Archipelago 7 71.43% 55.43 0.0 71.43%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 120 47.86% 43.67 10.163 79.17% 0.903 0.1533
5 Thematic 18 44.44% 45.33 -1.935 61.11% 0.295 -0.0914
6 Archipelago 8 25.0% 36.63 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 41.0 2.206 100.0% 0.205 -0.3752
6 Other 33 22.58% 39.73 11.959 63.64% 1.056 0.6393
6 Star 40 30.0% 34.48 -6.264 60.0% -0.564 -0.2284
6 Thematic 130 13.08% 38.27 -8.221 46.15% -0.048 -0.096
6 Two Centers (Default) 229 26.2% 38.84 -6.718 73.8% -0.966 -0.7517
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 77.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 4 25.0% 52.5 20.053 75.0% 0.283 -0.7985

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3844 35.13 0.229 60.04% -0.137 -0.0649
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2935 37.68 0.595 64.7% -0.178 -0.2492
All Things Weaken 2207 34.1 1.304 57.95% 0.076 0.3354
Attenuated Essence 409 33.28 0.475 61.37% 0.168 0.1319
Back Against the Wall 2857 36.07 -2.379 60.55% -0.596 -0.5424
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 421 31.79 -3.04 54.63% -0.597 -0.4517
Burn Brightest Before the End 253 33.97 -0.548 56.52% -0.603 -0.5871
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3621 32.23 -0.955 57.39% -0.111 0.0772
Downward Spiral 9006 34.58 -0.222 62.97% 0.123 0.1968
Erosion of Will 3725 34.27 0.628 57.85% -0.05 0.1049
Intensifying Exploitation 401 31.41 -1.081 57.61% -0.131 0.0048
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 902 43.94 4.402 89.69% 1.094 0.4795
Memory Fades to Dust 9059 33.81 2.403 59.15% 0.499 0.7022
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2187 34.34 0.341 61.13% 0.033 0.2074
Promising Farmlands 3697 34.16 -1.067 61.21% -0.202 -0.0036
Shattered Fragments of Power 285 33.38 -2.443 55.09% -0.8 -0.797
Slow Dissolution of Will 411 31.53 -0.184 51.82% -0.256 0.0426
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 596 44.45 1.69 90.44% 0.567 -0.1301
The Border of Life and Death 113 38.58 3.317 76.99% 0.727 0.229
Thriving Communities 2155 34.09 -1.455 61.72% -0.46 -0.3032
Thriving Crops 198 38.54 6.314 77.78% 1.379 1.0673
Tipping Point 1157 34.37 0.0 59.64%
Unnatural Proliferation 2321 36.88 3.099 64.45% 0.352 0.4612
Untended Land Crumbles 2145 33.55 -3.302 59.39% -0.748 -0.5656

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 25698 48.37% 39.76 -0.648 73.48% 0.084 1.0589
B 26607 46.98% 40.64 0.35 75.66% 0.286 1.1749
C 27735 46.86% 40.78 0.246 76.03% 0.225 0.9177
D 23800 48.25% 40.13 -0.836 74.53% 0.023 0.9185
E 11210 44.05% 40.54 1.335 75.86% 0.414 1.1429
F 13882 44.24% 40.98 0.712 76.58% 0.134 0.9653
G 12447 44.99% 40.92 0.082 76.85% 0.173 0.9522
H 13061 43.25% 41.79 0.301 78.41% 0.16 0.9432
East 3833 45.08% 47.3 -3.484 66.92% -0.515 0.2946
Northeast 2489 42.29% 48.23 5.094 66.97% 0.327 1.1246
Northwest 1506 45.06% 46.79 -1.739 70.92% -0.12 0.614
Southeast 621 40.9% 43.49 -5.972 64.09% -0.844 0.0499
Southwest 577 42.11% 39.6 -0.062 61.53% 0.227 1.4845
West 2878 48.73% 46.31 -1.829 68.35% -0.28 0.7177

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 725 0.0% 37.21 -4.772 62.07% -0.597 0.0707
Not Using Events or Tokens 15347 54.46% 36.46 -2.36 64.48% -0.409 0.012
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1076 12.25% 55.34 11.505 88.75% 1.101 0.332
Start of Game Growth 2181 16.77% 52.39 3.382 86.47% 0.115 -0.3225
Unlimited Undo 10022 40.5% 42.06 -2.077 78.87% -0.33 -0.3957
Using Tokens but Not Events 11314 39.82% 41.58 -0.773 78.55% -0.099 -0.1422

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14420 13.76 9.01%
II 36621 30.19 66.18%
III 42160 34.82 90.01%
IV 20237 38.63 99.48%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.147 Win Model: -0.269
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 79853 51.0% 39.38 71.62%
2 22976 46.08% 41.77 78.39%
3 6392 39.3% 42.56 79.04%
4 3670 34.98% 44.87 81.74%
5 124 49.59% 42.54 68.55%
6 423 21.14% 38.07 64.07%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1299
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 37328
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 23099
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 19990
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 9384
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1882
Lose: Adversary condition 312
Win: Sacrifice victory 422
Lose: Scenario condition 527
Win: Scenario condition 1474
Lose: Blight pool ran out 16888
Lose: Spirit destroyed 833

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6160 34.75% 44.52 1.008 76.61% 0.285 0.191
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 185 40.0% 37.98 0.763 67.57% -0.189 -0.6967
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4201 65.7% 40.73 -0.109 69.53% -0.058 0.1396
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 667 49.93% 45.88 4.348 78.26% 0.589 -0.2845
Dances Up Earthquakes 215 37.67% 33.07 -0.212 60.47% -0.034 -0.1732
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3717 43.43% 45.23 4.179 81.3% 0.732 0.5098
Downpour Drenches the World 1055 35.36% 37.78 0.22 64.64% 0.033 0.3391
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1559 30.94% 44.17 6.402 78.45% 1.437 0.883
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6081 27.94% 51.01 4.885 89.8% 0.843 0.4153
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4034 35.39% 48.09 1.338 85.03% 0.327 -0.0862
Finder of Paths Unseen 495 48.89% 33.33 -5.243 56.77% -1.024 -0.3688
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1394 34.72% 41.94 -4.437 66.21% -0.762 -0.2167
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2166 43.88% 42.36 1.837 71.33% 0.338 0.2535
Heart of the Wildfire 5559 66.33% 39.08 -2.304 65.95% -0.212 0.1032
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10165 42.94% 47.31 -0.838 83.69% -0.181 -0.6243
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 520 28.13% 43.17 6.856 73.27% 1.158 0.8648
Lightning's Swift Strike 6185 51.93% 41.61 -3.543 70.67% -0.728 -0.4662
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 700 51.51% 46.8 2.627 76.0% 0.184 -0.1438
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 986 40.18% 48.14 1.656 84.89% 0.03 -0.3453
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 693 40.69% 48.31 0.593 82.54% 0.128 0.2274
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3955 44.95% 45.76 1.496 79.52% 0.122 -0.0767
Many Minds Move as One 2132 31.86% 47.32 2.012 85.51% 0.497 0.2826
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8114 49.37% 42.94 -0.465 73.71% 0.022 0.1693
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 392 67.09% 32.71 -0.582 57.65% -0.093 -0.0489
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3887 42.57% 44.86 0.457 79.86% 0.154 0.0519
River Surges in Sunlight 8133 51.81% 44.93 -3.234 71.54% -0.454 -0.4567
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 155 45.81% 33.92 1.429 56.77% 0.199 0.4875
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 740 45.26% 44.83 2.432 71.62% 0.442 0.6455
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 694 46.82% 46.4 3.368 75.36% 0.474 0.2599
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4232 43.96% 44.28 -0.559 77.81% -0.122 -0.2801
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 91 34.07% 44.43 4.356 80.22% 0.744 0.3609
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2603 66.68% 37.97 -2.302 60.08% -0.355 0.2214
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 154 58.0% 41.56 -0.717 67.53% -0.113 -0.1728
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 419 49.4% 44.54 4.266 75.89% 0.361 -0.0673
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 196 46.43% 43.63 1.831 74.49% -0.062 -0.056
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 487 61.11% 40.94 -2.174 68.99% -0.183 -0.2423
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 302 68.87% 40.16 -1.319 65.56% -0.265 -0.058
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8182 30.1% 49.48 -0.622 85.82% -0.296 -0.2637
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 413 36.8% 44.58 2.75 75.54% 0.144 -0.0015
Shifting Memory of Ages 1205 55.27% 41.18 -4.862 71.87% -1.003 -0.678
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 209 44.02% 38.86 0.702 69.38% 0.204 0.2518
Shroud of Silent Mist 1072 69.75% 34.28 -5.14 58.12% -0.795 -0.4273
Starlight Seeks its Form 2544 37.19% 42.86 1.591 76.38% 0.179 0.1128
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3450 37.04% 43.86 -3.405 82.52% -0.484 -0.9673
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3369 42.26% 44.95 0.139 77.2% 0.007 0.1664
Thunderspeaker 5928 46.15% 44.03 -0.419 74.78% -0.079 -0.0488
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 225 46.67% 39.81 -0.271 67.56% 0.002 0.1926
Towering Roots of the Jungle 760 44.06% 37.28 2.208 65.26% 0.427 0.5729
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2537 78.59% 39.57 -2.035 71.38% -0.22 -0.1997
Vital Strength of the Earth 3891 50.57% 35.9 -5.069 52.84% -1.047 -0.4661
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 370 48.09% 35.24 -2.659 57.3% -0.493 -0.0098
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 277 48.01% 36.09 -2.211 54.15% -0.852 -0.233
Volcano Looming High 2399 53.06% 42.01 -1.466 75.11% -0.167 -0.1318
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 802 38.03% 42.54 1.666 75.44% 0.226 -0.091

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 21 33.33% 40.05 0.216 61.9% -0.195 -0.1508
Blitz 0 717 43.48% 40.6 -2.093 67.78% -0.358 -0.1434
Dahan Insurrection 4 852 27.23% 64.39 15.368 72.89% 0.856 0.5676
Despicable Theft 2 48 54.17% 39.58 0.0 50.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 126 48.41% 34.67 -1.873 54.76% -0.382 0.3194
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2931 13.32% 53.43 8.723 85.77% 1.082 0.4821
Powers Long Forgotten 1 168 65.48% 39.0 -5.559 53.57% -0.668 0.1693
Rituals of Terror 3 184 49.46% 46.93 0.473 54.35% 0.185 0.245
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 104 73.08% 43.68 -14.074 48.08% -0.304 0.6831
Second Wave 0 2180 52.49% 44.04 1.081 67.16% -0.344 -0.0942
The Great River 3 86 53.49% 32.21 -15.93 33.72% -0.996 0.0701
Varied Terrains 2 43 55.81% 31.65 -7.737 44.19% -0.556 0.2737
Ward the Shores 2 139 55.4% 48.12 12.486 65.47% 0.659 1.8428

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 69457 48.03% 42.84 -0.504 73.79% -0.045 0.228
1 Thematic 2290 54.05% 49.87 1.04 68.52% -0.172 0.4031
2 Archipelago 18 72.22% 41.67 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11141 46.46% 44.43 0.913 78.57% 0.173 0.2411
2 Coastline 1568 41.26% 46.23 2.314 81.82% 0.355 0.1365
2 Fragment 228 51.98% 41.6 3.084 70.61% 0.348 0.0811
2 Heart 106 43.81% 43.7 2.518 78.3% -0.052 -0.5221
2 Opposite Shores 2493 44.79% 41.65 -3.074 72.28% -0.375 -0.3969
2 Thematic 732 52.74% 47.48 -5.055 67.35% -1.081 -0.708
2 Top to Top 509 42.41% 45.11 -2.191 79.17% -0.36 -0.6171
3 Archipelago 13 30.77% 46.15 0.0 69.23%
3 Coastline 55 29.09% 57.44 0.0 98.18%
3 Other 144 54.93% 45.28 2.678 79.17% -0.246 -1.0102
3 Round (Default) 4304 37.77% 46.17 1.485 81.71% 0.339 0.1859
3 Sunrise 17 17.65% 55.71 0.0 88.24%
3 Thematic 147 53.06% 45.16 -20.279 65.31% -0.656 -0.8033
4 Archipelago 11 72.73% 47.64 11.317 63.64% 0.53 0.003
4 Coastline 4 50.0% 47.25 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 10 60.0% 42.5 -18.855 80.0% -0.612 -0.7029
4 Other 69 39.71% 47.88 8.963 81.16% 0.89 0.205
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 505 35.12% 51.38 -2.497 73.66% -0.058 -0.2356
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1969 38.05% 45.19 1.481 79.53% 0.641 0.3114
5 Archipelago 4 100.0% 70.5 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 3 0.0% 21.0 0.0 33.33%
5 Other 86 50.0% 42.3 2.297 70.93% 0.648 -0.1022
5 Thematic 7 42.86% 41.43 8.331 71.43% 0.294 -0.0924
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 27 40.74% 40.74 -14.121 74.07% -0.575 -0.9918
6 Star 15 46.67% 48.07 -20.536 80.0% -0.568 -0.2325
6 Thematic 83 6.02% 47.61 10.329 59.04% 0.626 0.5773
6 Two Centers (Default) 62 35.48% 38.84 -1.881 67.74% -0.258 -0.0432

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3209 38.05 0.276 60.86% -0.215 -0.1436
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2352 40.95 0.032 65.82% -0.362 -0.4329
All Things Weaken 1859 36.95 -0.321 58.96% -0.32 -0.0608
Attenuated Essence 354 36.01 0.765 62.43% 0.154 0.1184
Back Against the Wall 2230 39.49 2.88 62.33% 0.378 0.4315
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 339 34.11 0.54 55.75% 0.031 0.1761
Burn Brightest Before the End 215 37.86 0.343 59.53% -0.423 -0.4068
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2988 35.11 2.124 57.23% 0.412 0.6004
Downward Spiral 7050 36.5 -0.495 60.45% 0.035 0.1089
Erosion of Will 3087 36.71 0.053 57.11% 0.011 0.1654
Intensifying Exploitation 355 32.95 0.266 54.08% -0.053 0.0831
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 771 46.6 0.973 86.64% 0.425 -0.1887
Memory Fades to Dust 7226 35.35 0.073 55.83% 0.102 0.3055
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1891 38.42 -2.659 65.26% -0.391 -0.2166
Promising Farmlands 3197 36.48 0.831 59.56% 0.09 0.2886
Shattered Fragments of Power 225 36.85 1.343 59.11% -0.131 -0.1286
Slow Dissolution of Will 338 30.94 -2.924 48.22% -0.748 -0.45
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 537 47.16 1.425 89.39% 0.274 -0.4228
The Border of Life and Death 94 44.2 6.196 81.91% 0.747 0.2489
Thriving Communities 1765 35.85 -0.728 58.7% -0.134 0.0225
Thriving Crops 163 36.02 -0.263 67.48% -0.117 -0.4286
Tipping Point 957 35.54 0.0 54.13%
Unnatural Proliferation 1951 38.95 0.343 63.35% -0.036 0.0726
Untended Land Crumbles 1821 36.9 0.223 60.96% -0.183 -0.0007

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 19922 47.45% 42.62 -1.414 73.14% -0.173 0.8021
B 21501 45.41% 43.94 0.861 76.3% 0.269 1.1582
C 21968 47.12% 43.54 -0.534 75.42% -0.042 0.65
D 18693 47.26% 43.32 -0.164 74.83% 0.05 0.9449
E 9769 43.32% 44.68 0.747 78.86% 0.124 0.8536
F 11729 44.11% 43.93 0.376 77.25% 0.072 0.903
G 10452 44.59% 44.08 0.532 77.71% 0.151 0.9304
H 10697 42.19% 44.79 1.905 78.9% 0.288 1.0703
East 2486 48.61% 48.87 3.362 67.94% 0.526 1.3349
Northeast 1532 46.4% 48.92 3.898 68.08% 0.661 1.4586
Northwest 1220 44.11% 49.28 2.945 71.39% 0.295 1.0291
Southeast 438 42.01% 45.82 -2.631 65.3% -0.952 -0.0589
Southwest 415 43.86% 40.8 -0.891 58.55% -0.017 1.2412
West 2268 47.17% 50.0 0.784 69.22% 0.178 1.1757

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 529 0.0% 43.87 6.037 70.89% 0.677 1.3454
Not Using Events or Tokens 12204 51.45% 39.16 -3.828 65.12% -0.626 -0.2052
Skip Initial Invader Actions 757 15.16% 58.9 10.295 90.22% 0.936 0.1665
Start of Game Growth 1532 18.25% 54.61 -0.12 86.16% -0.255 -0.693
Unlimited Undo 9711 43.02% 44.45 1.678 78.16% 0.474 0.4081
Using Tokens but Not Events 9149 38.35% 44.3 -1.039 76.97% -0.249 -0.2916

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14642 13.76 22.78%
II 39868 30.19 76.43%
III 29927 34.82 88.22%
IV 11703 38.63 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.432 Win Model: 0.015
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 71961 48.24% 43.06 73.61%
2 16719 45.9% 44.32 77.4%
3 4629 38.4% 46.32 81.49%
4 2573 37.6% 46.5 78.31%
5 70 52.86% 36.86 62.86%
6 188 24.47% 43.72 65.96%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3332
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 26069
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 29686
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 11561
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6678
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3181
Lose: Adversary condition 165
Win: Sacrifice victory 370
Lose: Scenario condition 330
Win: Scenario condition 852
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13277
Lose: Spirit destroyed 639

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3520 47.21% 44.38 -5.404 60.65% -0.743 -0.837
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 76 31.58% 43.58 -6.05 63.16% -0.667 -1.1748
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1988 74.33% 43.12 -2.197 59.86% -0.099 0.098
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 291 42.61% 49.05 2.147 75.26% 0.292 -0.5812
Dances Up Earthquakes 215 25.12% 55.04 4.02 85.58% 0.671 0.5323
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2804 40.22% 51.63 2.518 76.82% 0.376 0.1535
Downpour Drenches the World 540 41.7% 38.67 1.599 53.7% 0.328 0.6338
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 865 35.15% 49.28 3.409 76.42% 0.601 0.0464
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3545 38.2% 54.26 4.775 81.3% 0.872 0.4445
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2081 46.4% 51.26 0.52 73.81% 0.27 -0.1436
Finder of Paths Unseen 200 55.0% 36.91 -5.232 49.0% -0.349 0.3062
Fractured Days Split the Sky 556 51.26% 45.3 2.437 55.94% 0.369 0.9146
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 867 45.91% 49.98 1.064 72.09% 0.151 0.0668
Heart of the Wildfire 3058 70.35% 41.14 -2.473 55.89% 0.05 0.3656
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4615 58.15% 47.67 0.813 68.36% 0.409 -0.0343
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 569 14.59% 57.32 3.522 86.82% 0.53 0.2364
Lightning's Swift Strike 3910 70.67% 42.08 1.63 56.42% 0.556 0.8177
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 245 62.86% 43.58 -3.29 59.18% -0.079 -0.4068
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 458 52.97% 47.36 -3.412 70.74% -0.322 -0.6981
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 401 40.65% 50.38 -1.764 72.07% -0.191 -0.0916
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2303 50.96% 49.42 3.551 72.17% 0.59 0.3911
Many Minds Move as One 824 40.17% 53.35 0.13 82.28% 0.266 0.0514
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4166 56.24% 47.74 -1.543 68.1% -0.181 -0.0333
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 137 59.12% 34.89 -1.011 51.82% 0.038 0.0828
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2007 52.57% 47.53 0.355 68.41% 0.226 0.1237
River Surges in Sunlight 4605 62.89% 47.9 -1.418 62.5% -0.091 -0.0934
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 63 57.14% 36.62 4.324 47.62% 0.5 0.7883
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 705 26.52% 55.77 3.839 76.6% -0.191 0.012
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 416 53.38% 44.3 2.037 59.86% 0.168 -0.0456
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2001 53.96% 47.25 -4.88 67.62% -0.58 -0.738
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 18 44.44% 38.39 1.021 61.11% 0.321 -0.0618
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2153 80.66% 41.23 -6.622 52.86% -0.932 -0.3554
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 60 66.67% 42.2 10.697 58.33% 0.8 0.7407
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 215 52.38% 44.48 -1.726 68.37% 0.001 -0.427
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 187 27.81% 54.52 7.017 80.21% 0.518 0.5239
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 234 77.35% 41.06 0.272 49.57% -0.079 -0.1384
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 140 75.0% 44.11 -13.656 60.71% -0.709 -0.5025
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4123 38.1% 54.3 2.986 78.22% 0.547 0.5799
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 254 47.24% 44.02 -3.561 66.54% -0.353 -0.4985
Shifting Memory of Ages 476 67.23% 39.69 -0.709 50.63% -0.614 -0.2893
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 52 67.31% 44.15 1.619 63.46% 0.541 0.5891
Shroud of Silent Mist 384 76.5% 35.8 -5.054 46.88% -0.913 -0.5448
Starlight Seeks its Form 957 43.26% 46.17 3.515 64.37% 0.262 0.1961
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2802 35.31% 50.63 2.577 79.19% 0.261 -0.222
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2002 48.47% 50.59 0.696 72.13% 0.037 0.1966
Thunderspeaker 3220 55.81% 46.34 0.079 62.83% 0.197 0.2273
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 99 42.42% 45.98 0.015 70.71% -0.269 -0.079
Towering Roots of the Jungle 334 55.09% 36.6 -2.469 49.7% 0.035 0.181
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1470 86.39% 43.83 -3.729 62.93% -0.557 -0.537
Vital Strength of the Earth 2248 64.38% 34.73 -9.427 35.41% -1.419 -0.8375
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 263 48.29% 38.85 -2.257 47.53% -0.954 -0.4708
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 144 53.47% 36.16 -12.934 37.5% -1.18 -0.561
Volcano Looming High 1125 68.04% 43.96 -0.933 63.2% -0.05 -0.0139
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 320 44.69% 41.21 4.41 62.19% 0.826 0.5086

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 0.0% 22.0 0.0 33.33%
Blitz 0 465 69.3% 39.59 0.453 50.11% -0.322 -0.1075
Dahan Insurrection 4 574 49.3% 64.18 0.493 58.36% -0.833 -1.1211
Despicable Theft 2 13 46.15% 38.38 15.933 38.46% 0.187 0.8975
Elemental Invocation 1 65 64.62% 23.82 -0.993 16.92% -0.001 0.7
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2155 15.3% 59.92 6.307 86.4% 0.989 0.3885
Powers Long Forgotten 1 115 69.57% 43.42 -11.262 47.83% -0.982 -0.145
Rituals of Terror 3 100 53.0% 42.04 -9.706 35.0% -0.698 -0.638
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 59 91.53% 48.71 0.0 42.37%
Second Wave 0 1222 60.95% 46.75 -2.02 58.67% -0.417 -0.167
The Great River 3 34 52.94% 33.71 -13.931 17.65% -0.13 0.9358
Varied Terrains 2 15 66.67% 36.73 0.0 26.67%
Ward the Shores 2 71 73.24% 47.27 0.0 47.89%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 40202 55.95% 45.78 -0.089 64.43% -0.115 0.1583
1 Thematic 1383 62.55% 50.46 -2.443 55.53% -0.638 -0.0631
2 Archipelago 10 80.0% 57.9 -2.428 70.0% -0.388 0.2895
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6017 55.41% 47.53 -2.505 68.01% -0.506 -0.4371
2 Coastline 917 48.36% 47.18 1.835 67.39% -0.013 -0.2316
2 Fragment 106 66.67% 45.8 0.0 65.09%
2 Heart 90 62.22% 44.8 1.166 62.22% 0.108 -0.3621
2 Opposite Shores 1630 49.57% 50.02 5.755 72.33% 0.848 0.8259
2 Thematic 370 65.49% 50.03 1.637 52.16% -0.123 0.25
2 Top to Top 195 61.86% 47.83 -4.24 68.72% 0.009 -0.2485
3 Archipelago 4 50.0% 84.75 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 11 27.27% 60.55 8.619 90.91% 0.398 -0.5656
3 Other 49 63.27% 51.63 2.014 71.43% 0.057 -0.7068
3 Round (Default) 1917 49.47% 50.25 3.119 73.45% 0.491 0.3373
3 Sunrise 4 50.0% 38.5 -12.756 50.0% -0.186 -0.2636
3 Thematic 80 47.5% 56.52 -3.015 66.25% -0.661 -0.808
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 64.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 14 57.14% 49.71 -3.659 71.43% -0.437 -1.1213
4 Snake 1 100.0% 38.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 218 30.28% 57.27 0.388 72.48% 0.446 0.2688
4 Trapezoid (Default) 859 45.63% 45.59 2.512 66.12% 1.016 0.6871
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 30 46.67% 49.17 -4.498 73.33% -0.099 -0.8485
5 Thematic 6 83.33% 69.33 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 69.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 9 11.11% 23.67 -15.578 33.33% -0.425 -0.8418
6 Star 2 0.0% 28.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 36 25.0% 57.94 -4.885 66.67% -0.073 -0.1216
6 Two Centers (Default) 22 18.18% 37.55 -19.274 59.09% -0.44 -0.2254
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1950 40.76 0.853 50.0% 0.064 0.1361
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1390 44.91 2.613 58.42% 0.162 0.0907
All Things Weaken 1146 39.31 0.25 47.82% -0.262 -0.0034
Attenuated Essence 218 39.42 2.368 53.21% 0.23 0.1943
Back Against the Wall 1414 43.57 1.954 55.16% -0.107 -0.0536
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 216 36.59 1.109 49.54% -0.12 0.0257
Burn Brightest Before the End 144 41.36 1.484 54.86% 0.061 0.0769
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1826 37.4 -4.438 46.44% -0.873 -0.6844
Downward Spiral 5698 38.82 -0.696 49.18% -0.257 -0.183
Erosion of Will 1847 38.67 -3.621 45.37% -0.955 -0.8007
Intensifying Exploitation 241 34.17 -0.074 46.06% -0.219 -0.0831
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 398 51.41 -1.107 81.66% -0.041 -0.6547
Memory Fades to Dust 5583 38.26 -0.866 46.64% -0.436 -0.2331
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1113 40.0 1.018 51.93% -0.044 0.1304
Promising Farmlands 1885 37.61 -1.13 44.99% -0.352 -0.1539
Shattered Fragments of Power 137 39.82 0.845 51.09% -0.144 -0.1411
Slow Dissolution of Will 179 31.88 -5.748 37.43% -0.844 -0.5455
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 230 52.2 -1.791 83.91% -0.056 -0.7532
The Border of Life and Death 54 52.24 4.577 85.19% 0.312 -0.1858
Thriving Communities 1130 39.11 0.772 50.44% 0.025 0.1808
Thriving Crops 83 49.05 3.378 77.11% 0.466 0.1544
Tipping Point 639 38.12 0.0 42.72%
Unnatural Proliferation 1201 41.97 -0.005 53.21% -0.203 -0.0941
Untended Land Crumbles 1101 39.5 -2.151 50.95% -0.568 -0.3857

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10363 57.93% 44.09 -2.119 60.45% -0.444 0.5309
B 12081 52.93% 47.86 -0.655 68.07% -0.248 0.6417
C 11973 60.02% 45.32 0.279 63.43% -0.119 0.5729
D 9510 60.36% 44.35 -1.702 61.37% -0.374 0.5216
E 4402 53.79% 46.75 0.611 67.99% -0.049 0.6806
F 7208 46.19% 48.85 -0.187 72.1% -0.174 0.6571
G 6113 48.23% 49.37 3.286 72.12% 0.146 0.9251
H 6506 45.62% 49.98 2.636 73.22% 0.181 0.9642
East 1345 56.52% 52.67 -1.554 58.96% -0.445 0.3639
Northeast 785 54.48% 52.49 -0.027 60.13% 0.165 0.9628
Northwest 611 50.0% 52.9 -2.806 59.41% -0.376 0.358
Southeast 216 50.0% 49.33 -1.704 58.8% -0.319 0.5745
Southwest 200 53.77% 43.2 -1.873 50.5% -0.066 1.1922
West 1149 55.28% 51.64 0.189 56.31% -0.479 0.5187

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 279 0.0% 40.98 1.272 54.48% -0.066 0.6018
Not Using Events or Tokens 8843 68.01% 40.31 -3.021 52.99% -0.253 0.1675
Skip Initial Invader Actions 422 22.51% 61.07 10.552 81.75% 1.128 0.359
Start of Game Growth 878 20.59% 61.94 3.206 84.97% 0.088 -0.3501
Unlimited Undo 9339 33.19% 55.18 7.035 82.86% 1.221 1.1552
Using Tokens but Not Events 10001 27.4% 55.02 4.327 82.47% 0.368 0.3255

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9715 13.76 18.67%
II 23354 30.19 65.81%
III 15576 34.82 81.12%
IV 5570 38.63 99.44%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.236 Win Model: 0.087
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 41710 56.17% 45.92 64.08%
2 9274 54.45% 48.08 68.29%
3 2041 49.61% 50.59 73.25%
4 1089 41.91% 48.31 68.14%
5 32 50.0% 43.84 59.38%
6 69 17.39% 46.3 63.77%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1814
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12443
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 15002
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5484
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3943
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3121
Lose: Adversary condition 106
Win: Sacrifice victory 178
Lose: Scenario condition 197
Win: Scenario condition 438
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10929
Lose: Spirit destroyed 560

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7983 61.87% 40.41 -3.226 43.22% -0.779 -0.8732
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 367 43.87% 27.03 1.483 33.24% 0.009 -0.4992
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6854 81.33% 40.51 -2.502 45.45% -0.275 -0.078
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 1772 57.96% 50.39 10.937 69.75% 1.638 0.7644
Dances Up Earthquakes 350 75.71% 30.54 0.076 37.14% 0.041 -0.0978
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3870 74.44% 37.34 -0.7 40.49% -0.138 -0.3598
Downpour Drenches the World 1506 52.63% 32.96 -2.429 36.92% -0.267 0.039
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2898 54.15% 41.39 3.233 55.62% 0.562 0.0079
Eyes Watch From the Trees 10073 53.47% 47.84 2.212 61.65% 0.528 0.101
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3918 72.9% 42.67 2.222 49.97% 0.295 -0.1181
Finder of Paths Unseen 794 66.2% 28.35 1.563 29.72% 0.197 0.8524
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2044 60.45% 44.83 -3.593 49.66% -0.62 -0.0749
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2421 68.22% 41.35 -0.085 49.94% -0.051 -0.1352
Heart of the Wildfire 8582 87.57% 31.0 -3.916 28.84% -0.429 -0.1139
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 11639 69.8% 41.58 -3.202 49.92% -0.237 -0.6805
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 681 56.39% 36.91 -1.245 46.26% -0.196 -0.4891
Lightning's Swift Strike 8681 70.74% 37.79 -5.54 41.04% -0.903 -0.641
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1242 71.29% 41.29 7.011 51.05% 0.977 0.649
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1623 77.92% 45.56 3.32 58.53% 0.619 0.2432
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1291 63.66% 43.91 0.186 54.92% 0.052 0.1514
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 6674 65.74% 42.48 0.931 52.47% -0.149 -0.3484
Many Minds Move as One 2624 57.99% 52.13 8.09 70.46% 1.155 0.9405
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 32390 55.73% 53.63 1.654 75.04% 0.858 1.006
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 773 73.48% 32.38 1.846 42.04% 0.416 0.4606
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3872 75.39% 39.34 -1.6 43.39% -0.159 -0.262
River Surges in Sunlight 12711 72.39% 42.94 -3.413 46.27% -0.627 -0.6294
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 506 62.45% 29.84 -1.393 35.97% -0.627 -0.339
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 668 73.48% 35.68 -0.813 30.54% -0.579 -0.3761
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1453 65.35% 36.07 -0.886 41.29% 0.036 -0.1778
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6720 60.53% 42.42 0.202 50.0% 0.134 -0.0241
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 98 63.27% 44.35 6.193 61.22% 0.826 0.4427
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4007 71.21% 36.63 -5.671 38.01% -0.862 -0.2862
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 134 85.27% 37.91 0.215 42.54% -0.154 -0.2138
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 885 68.23% 43.99 1.377 59.55% -0.04 -0.4682
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 246 68.29% 32.12 4.114 36.18% 0.327 0.333
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 588 82.28% 39.04 -9.639 43.2% -1.281 -1.3403
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 470 89.15% 39.15 -1.51 43.62% 0.064 0.2708
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7302 63.2% 42.33 0.522 50.86% 0.159 0.1919
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 598 63.38% 35.16 2.318 43.48% 0.33 0.1843
Shifting Memory of Ages 1194 78.99% 35.87 -0.993 34.17% 0.108 0.4334
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 245 54.29% 38.54 3.132 48.98% 0.54 0.5882
Shroud of Silent Mist 1205 86.79% 31.41 -0.349 31.29% -0.109 0.2586
Starlight Seeks its Form 3810 70.78% 37.84 -3.755 40.97% -0.406 -0.4719
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5996 63.6% 43.79 2.922 50.35% 0.389 -0.0946
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3778 72.19% 41.72 -1.363 48.04% -0.104 0.0557
Thunderspeaker 9454 71.7% 44.38 -2.759 43.78% -0.065 -0.0344
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 533 60.6% 37.64 1.474 47.47% 0.112 0.3028
Towering Roots of the Jungle 904 53.93% 28.47 -3.789 33.74% -0.268 -0.1224
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4846 90.13% 42.53 1.791 54.48% 0.386 0.4058
Vital Strength of the Earth 4834 76.06% 28.9 -5.701 19.76% -1.339 -0.758
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 453 67.77% 31.54 1.558 30.68% -0.068 0.4152
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 536 76.03% 26.78 -0.063 17.16% 0.264 0.883
Volcano Looming High 4190 75.66% 39.85 -2.161 48.4% -0.325 -0.2891
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 967 63.81% 37.34 -0.004 48.29% 0.243 -0.074

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 16 37.5% 47.19 0.0 56.25%
Blitz 0 1160 55.24% 41.77 2.526 49.4% 0.532 0.7463
Dahan Insurrection 4 3351 72.7% 53.68 1.821 34.68% 0.162 -0.1257
Despicable Theft 2 35 60.0% 35.37 -1.93 22.86% -0.508 0.2024
Elemental Invocation 1 95 66.32% 29.71 -11.785 16.84% -0.184 0.5168
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5101 35.39% 53.59 6.505 66.73% 0.749 0.1492
Powers Long Forgotten 1 148 82.19% 34.12 -13.404 22.3% -0.483 0.3548
Rituals of Terror 3 447 51.01% 68.21 7.353 39.82% 0.32 0.3799
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 50 60.0% 28.26 -3.195 16.0% -0.316 0.6706
Second Wave 0 972 69.79% 43.41 -3.291 44.55% -1.249 -0.9988
The Great River 3 57 68.42% 33.46 0.0 17.54%
Varied Terrains 2 29 55.17% 29.93 -8.813 20.69% -0.123 0.7059
Ward the Shores 2 105 74.29% 30.95 -5.007 21.9% -1.071 0.1127

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 129739 69.62% 41.91 -0.947 50.82% -0.739 -0.4656
1 Thematic 4928 75.41% 50.04 1.862 36.77% -0.861 -0.2863
2 Archipelago 72 43.66% 35.57 -1.907 27.78% -0.373 0.304
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13382 63.18% 45.37 1.299 57.14% -0.317 -0.2491
2 Coastline 2374 65.81% 43.0 1.171 54.04% -0.265 -0.4838
2 Fragment 251 74.0% 36.35 -4.897 41.04% -0.775 -1.0418
2 Heart 162 71.6% 40.43 12.013 46.3% 0.723 0.2526
2 Opposite Shores 3741 69.88% 40.6 -2.697 45.15% -1.049 -1.0713
2 Thematic 1263 77.57% 46.51 -4.554 33.33% -1.004 -0.6304
2 Top to Top 582 74.7% 41.41 2.197 48.63% -0.09 -0.3477
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 57.33 0.0 50.0%
3 Coastline 58 58.62% 42.97 17.695 48.28% 0.953 -0.0106
3 Other 109 76.15% 41.31 -0.068 46.79% -0.042 -0.8057
3 Round (Default) 3742 67.5% 42.57 -2.048 52.03% -0.716 -0.8689
3 Sunrise 8 87.5% 51.38 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 155 54.19% 80.01 43.302 53.55% 1.054 0.9068
4 Archipelago 4 75.0% 66.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 13 38.46% 47.85 0.0 61.54%
4 Leaf 8 50.0% 33.25 -22.194 37.5% -0.639 -0.7302
4 Other 44 72.73% 48.66 13.945 63.64% 0.768 0.0838
4 Snake 2 100.0% 26.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 471 50.43% 62.98 -4.169 51.38% 0.07 -0.1073
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2735 49.24% 38.59 3.027 47.86% 0.618 0.2885
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 28.0 -7.065 0.0% -0.407 0.8648
5 Coastline 23 13.04% 53.96 0.0 78.26%
5 Other 59 64.41% 47.98 18.853 59.32% 1.21 0.4603
5 Thematic 9 88.89% 52.0 14.541 33.33% 0.209 -0.1775
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 48.67 0.0 66.67%
6 Coastline 7 0.0% 63.71 0.0 85.71%
6 Other 51 23.53% 26.75 -1.228 39.22% 0.264 -0.1526
6 Star 17 41.18% 35.18 -10.228 47.06% -0.745 -0.4096
6 Thematic 37 47.22% 25.76 -9.719 27.03% -0.754 -0.8026
6 Two Centers (Default) 45 48.89% 32.04 -8.007 40.0% -0.181 0.0333
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 26.5 -18.568 0.0% -0.163 -0.2833
7 Other 4 25.0% 20.25 -14.511 25.0% -0.087 -1.1685

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 8609 40.73 2.421 44.29% 0.097 0.1692
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6706 46.65 6.36 55.88% 0.673 0.6018
All Things Weaken 4774 37.83 1.914 39.97% 0.085 0.3444
Attenuated Essence 1115 34.81 3.021 41.26% 0.363 0.3266
Back Against the Wall 5660 42.32 3.772 45.69% 0.283 0.3369
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1070 31.09 2.55 32.8% -0.017 0.1288
Burn Brightest Before the End 697 37.63 5.813 39.45% 0.443 0.4588
Disintegrating Ecosystem 7971 37.42 -0.107 41.16% -0.202 -0.0143
Downward Spiral 16330 38.15 2.138 38.71% 0.36 0.4341
Erosion of Will 8329 39.16 1.705 41.3% -0.03 0.1244
Intensifying Exploitation 1164 29.13 0.523 31.19% -0.165 -0.0289
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1313 50.24 5.153 69.84% 1.051 0.4368
Memory Fades to Dust 16197 37.55 0.544 35.99% -0.141 0.0619
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4710 37.18 0.921 39.58% -0.164 0.0111
Promising Farmlands 7938 38.18 1.245 40.83% -0.085 0.1129
Shattered Fragments of Power 697 38.73 4.599 44.05% 0.429 0.4313
Slow Dissolution of Will 1105 31.68 1.63 31.49% -0.197 0.1009
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 783 51.32 7.976 74.2% 1.124 0.4268
The Border of Life and Death 206 37.13 3.212 52.91% 0.454 -0.0442
Thriving Communities 4575 35.32 0.677 36.11% -0.142 0.0142
Thriving Crops 351 34.97 1.731 49.0% 0.322 0.0102
Tipping Point 2485 38.06 0.0 37.42%
Unnatural Proliferation 5013 40.3 3.628 42.57% 0.275 0.3837
Untended Land Crumbles 4629 36.38 0.316 38.13% -0.138 0.0441

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 29260 69.57% 39.07 -1.688 44.92% -0.577 0.3986
B 34087 66.9% 42.59 0.893 51.66% -0.283 0.6064
C 33812 68.7% 41.29 -0.26 49.3% -0.342 0.3499
D 30904 67.95% 42.98 0.145 52.59% -0.53 0.3654
E 15129 67.49% 41.33 0.654 51.19% -0.274 0.4555
F 18377 65.29% 43.29 0.005 54.25% -0.484 0.3471
G 17254 65.34% 44.5 -0.161 56.54% -0.439 0.3407
H 16398 63.7% 43.74 0.236 54.94% -0.385 0.3974
East 5012 73.6% 52.8 3.699 37.77% 0.033 0.8422
Northeast 2638 69.45% 55.69 3.672 43.18% -0.27 0.5281
Northwest 1511 64.57% 53.04 -2.379 42.36% -0.616 0.1178
Southeast 410 79.06% 36.86 -7.709 24.88% -1.12 -0.2265
Southwest 359 68.64% 29.22 -3.248 21.73% -0.486 0.7717
West 2909 68.96% 49.11 1.715 36.13% -0.446 0.5516

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 812 0.0% 37.78 -2.734 38.55% -1.044 -0.3759
Not Using Events or Tokens 17659 76.99% 34.79 -4.527 31.04% -0.946 -0.525
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3048 17.36% 63.36 9.767 82.81% 0.73 -0.0387
Start of Game Growth 6457 22.11% 57.92 5.867 78.41% 1.403 0.9653
Unlimited Undo 14668 61.1% 44.47 2.19 57.14% 0.453 0.3875
Using Tokens but Not Events 12321 53.92% 42.93 -1.304 51.82% -0.415 -0.458

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 37700 13.76 4.03%
II 60464 30.19 46.05%
III 52363 34.82 76.71%
IV 13693 38.63 99.61%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.051 Win Model: 0.206
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 135379 69.82% 42.24 50.29%
2 21422 65.8% 44.26 53.08%
3 4031 66.35% 44.46 52.15%
4 3158 50.53% 39.96 47.94%
5 75 49.33% 40.76 50.67%
6 155 34.42% 32.02 42.58%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1513
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 39462
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 26273
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 13459
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 18611
Lose: Invader deck ran out 11802
Lose: Adversary condition 592
Win: Sacrifice victory 881
Lose: Scenario condition 972
Win: Scenario condition 1584
Lose: Blight pool ran out 46076
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2995

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-07-13 03:02:19 (Pacific Time)