The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6490 25.09% 25.63 -0.053 88.64% -0.253 -0.1392
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4653 43.66% 25.55 0.409 87.06% 0.245 0.4511
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3043 24.76% 26.74 0.345 92.7% 0.313 0.208
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3849 14.65% 30.27 1.744 95.97% 0.5 0.1075
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2962 17.99% 28.18 0.892 94.87% 0.463 0.1719
Fractured Days Split the Sky 589 34.3% 27.24 0.843 82.51% -0.707 -0.3535
Heart of the Wildfire 4310 57.29% 21.66 -1.383 76.1% -0.307 0.0206
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5698 27.56% 26.51 0.183 91.17% 0.139 -0.1907
Lightning's Swift Strike 8485 40.62% 24.26 -0.333 82.3% -0.212 0.024
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1195 26.97% 27.32 0.65 92.47% 0.331 0.0434
Many Minds Move as One 916 17.69% 28.67 1.101 95.63% 0.434 -0.0971
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6462 39.72% 25.63 0.093 87.81% 0.255 0.0399
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2736 29.26% 25.48 -0.215 90.57% 0.132 0.1557
River Surges in Sunlight 9001 37.98% 26.58 0.706 81.37% -0.439 -0.3085
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3573 29.4% 25.63 -0.149 89.28% -0.03 0.0846
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 5344 52.02% 24.32 -0.11 81.23% 0.01 0.4268
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4222 27.06% 27.08 0.528 90.15% -0.06 -0.1578
Shifting Memory of Ages 141 31.91% 24.97 -0.273 90.78% 0.145 0.2363
Shroud of Silent Mist 532 41.35% 24.51 -0.33 88.16% 0.172 0.2011
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1453 26.26% 23.65 -1.189 93.05% 0.276 0.228
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2344 29.57% 25.37 -0.417 86.77% -0.326 -0.152
Thunderspeaker 5977 31.47% 26.75 0.429 86.55% -0.11 -0.0772
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1060 59.26% 21.49 -1.418 84.62% 0.262 0.2444
Vital Strength of the Earth 6102 31.35% 22.4 -1.608 77.17% -1.164 -0.31
Volcano Looming High 720 37.05% 24.05 -0.743 86.53% -0.17 -0.1887

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 955 40.51% 23.3 -1.102 79.06% -0.455 0.1147
Dahan Insurrection 4 1315 20.66% 46.09 9.711 80.61% -1.403 -1.0048
Despicable Theft 2 46 39.13% 32.2 3.152 80.43% -0.591 -0.3216
Elemental Invocation 1 106 33.02% 28.42 0.647 85.85% -0.393 0.0711
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2319 7.78% 30.81 1.84 87.75% -1.527 -1.1608
Powers Long Forgotten 1 501 50.7% 29.14 1.622 77.84% -0.328 0.1166
Rituals of Terror 3 581 44.48% 35.68 4.972 71.94% -0.934 -0.2895
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 342 72.51% 33.15 4.22 67.84% -0.432 0.2135
Second Wave 0 1085 54.1% 24.46 0.151 73.82% -0.574 -0.145
The Great River 3 98 43.88% 30.47 2.776 55.1% -2.328 -0.8642
Ward the Shores 2 494 44.31% 31.69 2.574 74.09% -0.858 0.176

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 45223 38.87% 24.29 -0.566 83.25% -0.324 -0.1511
1 Thematic 3802 41.07% 32.01 2.161 78.91% -0.559 -0.1976
2 Archipelago 2 0.0% 40.5 6.966 100.0% 0.027 0.2542
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9510 31.56% 25.2 -0.172 88.63% 0.09 0.1416
2 Coastline 931 34.39% 24.82 -0.284 86.9% -0.012 -0.0044
2 Fragment 245 39.75% 23.32 -0.767 83.67% -0.033 0.2235
2 Heart 136 38.97% 23.91 -0.575 84.56% -0.106 0.0357
2 Opposite Shores 1407 30.48% 25.77 0.018 90.76% 0.336 0.4266
2 Thematic 853 37.38% 34.25 1.93 84.64% -0.164 -0.2054
2 Top to Top 254 29.76% 25.43 -0.006 93.7% 0.699 0.6685
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 26.67 1.065 66.67% -0.655 0.4273
3 Coastline 14 28.57% 28.07 0.222 71.43% -0.48 -0.6787
3 Other 105 31.37% 24.51 -0.646 84.76% -0.427 -0.2527
3 Round (Default) 2810 22.52% 26.41 0.196 93.74% 0.675 0.601
3 Sunrise 15 64.29% 24.07 -0.089 86.67% 0.513 0.237
3 Thematic 139 34.06% 35.7 1.26 85.61% -0.197 -0.5985
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 26.5 0.51 50.0% -0.513 -0.0044
4 Coastline 5 0.0% 35.8 2.322 80.0% -0.354 -0.304
4 Leaf 4 50.0% 23.5 -0.66 75.0% -0.006 -0.0343
4 Other 48 22.22% 25.33 -0.371 89.58% 0.036 -0.078
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 26.5 0.8 100.0% 0.236 -0.6183
4 Snake 2 0.0% 28.0 0.307 100.0% 0.014 0.0674
4 Thematic 329 20.97% 35.8 0.352 93.62% 0.328 -0.7563
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1353 22.9% 26.24 0.104 92.9% 0.611 0.5244
5 Other 7 14.29% 23.29 -0.895 100.0% 0.283 -0.3201
5 Thematic 4 0.0% 39.5 1.598 100.0% 0.021 -2.7418

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1585 18.91 -4.108 62.59% -3.627 -1.5538
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1354 19.59 -3.733 62.85% -3.658 -1.7396
All Things Weaken 486 17.83 -4.506 59.26% -3.799 -1.629
Back Against the Wall 1206 18.85 -4.013 60.95% -3.72 -1.6285
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1443 16.72 -5.24 61.26% -3.666 -1.4416
Downward Spiral 5887 17.23 -4.653 63.07% -3.235 -1.2123
Erosion of Will 1508 18.01 -4.536 59.35% -3.744 -1.5346
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 220 24.53 -1.188 98.18% -0.143 0.543
Memory Fades to Dust 5940 16.99 -4.789 59.8% -3.378 -1.1588
Power Corrodes the Spirit 524 18.55 -4.128 68.7% -3.39 -1.366
Promising Farmlands 1515 17.43 -4.862 61.85% -3.666 -1.4516
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 136 24.22 -1.147 98.53% 0.029 0.4392
Thriving Communities 494 17.0 -4.915 63.16% -3.61 -1.5153
Tipping Point 788 17.95 -4.655 63.2% -3.556 -1.3293
Unnatural Proliferation 501 19.03 -3.848 65.47% -3.509 -1.422
Untended Land Crumbles 506 17.36 -4.819 61.26% -3.705 -1.5994

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 15937 37.07% 24.38 -0.353 84.78% 0.109 -0.651
B 16179 35.72% 24.67 -0.223 85.56% 0.136 -0.7215
C 16508 33.9% 24.98 -0.091 86.28% 0.152 -0.9364
D 15560 34.73% 24.83 -0.124 85.98% 0.132 -0.7187
E 3243 30.0% 25.59 -0.011 89.79% 0.164 -0.8015
F 6080 29.66% 25.47 -0.081 89.18% 0.105 -0.8088
G 5723 31.28% 25.31 -0.11 89.11% 0.188 -0.7169
H 5850 29.74% 25.47 -0.126 88.97% 0.092 -0.8223
East 1651 35.3% 35.19 2.518 84.25% 0.323 -0.3265
Northeast 1876 34.97% 34.42 2.323 84.01% 0.271 -0.328
Northwest 1384 35.86% 33.36 1.677 84.1% 0.341 -0.3287
Southeast 262 29.89% 32.51 1.287 85.88% 0.106 -0.6005
Southwest 254 38.74% 26.67 -1.638 79.53% -0.205 -0.4783
West 1495 38.56% 33.95 1.821 81.4% 0.095 -0.3039

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1253 0.0% 22.38 -2.049 75.02% -2.645 -0.5884
Not Using Events or Tokens 17513 45.41% 23.15 -0.861 78.62% -0.459 -0.2428
Skip Initial Invader Actions 938 9.21% 33.4 2.513 94.56% 0.327 -0.3595
Start of Game Growth 1441 13.03% 31.92 2.008 93.82% 0.317 -0.1535
Unlimited Undo 4137 30.17% 26.41 0.399 89.51% 0.345 -0.0746
Using Tokens but Not Events 6038 29.34% 25.48 -0.162 87.98% -0.176 -0.2281

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4295 22.35 43.61%
II 21177 30.84 78.28%
III 29216 34.35 89.47%
IV 12519 37.52 98.71%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.049 Win Model: -0.102
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 49085 39.03% 24.89 82.93%
2 13325 32.22% 25.78 88.47%
3 3066 23.4% 26.74 92.89%
4 1731 22.48% 28.05 92.84%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1386
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 20107
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11705
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9464
Lose: Invader deck ran out 898
Win: Sacrifice victory 256
Lose: Scenario condition 455
Win: Scenario condition 1423
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8405
Lose: Spirit destroyed 502

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4506 27.38% 30.92 0.252 89.19% -0.176 -0.0614
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2917 49.01% 30.24 0.471 85.81% 0.122 0.3282
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2168 27.64% 31.59 0.51 92.39% 0.358 0.2528
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2865 19.8% 34.36 1.762 95.39% 0.646 0.2532
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2109 25.94% 32.65 1.028 93.6% 0.464 0.1732
Fractured Days Split the Sky 666 34.29% 32.18 1.159 83.78% -0.775 -0.4216
Heart of the Wildfire 3071 65.73% 24.94 -1.949 72.45% -0.433 -0.1047
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4346 35.95% 30.39 0.052 89.05% 0.139 -0.1911
Lightning's Swift Strike 5426 45.83% 28.48 -0.451 81.09% -0.303 -0.0668
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 916 38.57% 30.45 0.2 89.96% 0.22 -0.0671
Many Minds Move as One 791 24.97% 33.08 1.148 93.55% 0.161 -0.3696
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4600 39.61% 31.01 0.595 89.91% 0.348 0.1331
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2027 30.69% 30.19 -0.095 89.84% 0.006 0.0298
River Surges in Sunlight 5942 44.13% 30.63 0.523 81.39% -0.367 -0.2368
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2497 35.67% 30.13 -0.095 87.67% -0.078 0.0374
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3461 59.77% 27.73 -0.546 77.17% -0.195 0.2224
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3235 31.62% 31.22 0.431 87.76% -0.183 -0.2805
Shifting Memory of Ages 170 38.24% 29.09 -0.363 90.0% 0.085 0.176
Shroud of Silent Mist 443 50.45% 28.57 -0.336 87.81% 0.194 0.2234
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1120 28.8% 28.85 -0.859 93.04% 0.22 0.1716
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1984 29.78% 30.84 0.187 89.11% -0.138 0.0366
Thunderspeaker 4441 36.29% 31.37 0.536 85.93% -0.091 -0.0586
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 855 65.57% 26.61 -1.182 84.56% 0.307 0.2888
Vital Strength of the Earth 4043 36.19% 27.14 -1.42 79.47% -0.79 0.0632
Volcano Looming High 571 44.37% 27.69 -0.942 87.74% 0.039 0.0206

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 757 43.68% 26.68 -1.473 77.68% -0.579 -0.0102
Dahan Insurrection 4 951 30.14% 47.09 8.32 73.5% -1.583 -1.1849
Despicable Theft 2 39 35.9% 41.56 5.363 97.44% 0.938 1.2077
Elemental Invocation 1 78 55.84% 30.15 0.411 82.05% -0.185 0.2796
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1466 11.16% 33.02 0.905 80.42% -1.976 -1.6097
Powers Long Forgotten 1 441 58.86% 31.53 0.949 72.34% -0.558 -0.1127
Rituals of Terror 3 413 49.15% 38.03 4.289 69.98% -1.057 -0.4121
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 280 76.34% 35.0 3.175 65.0% -0.624 0.021
Second Wave 0 4368 43.93% 31.56 1.199 80.61% -0.507 -0.0783
The Great River 3 81 48.15% 36.33 3.492 67.9% -1.457 0.0066
Ward the Shores 2 439 51.26% 33.26 1.609 68.34% -1.128 -0.0946

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 29651 42.72% 28.55 -0.63 82.64% -0.523 -0.3504
1 Thematic 2886 46.77% 34.21 1.554 74.19% -0.687 -0.3256
2 Archipelago 6 66.67% 34.0 2.518 100.0% 0.458 0.6848
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6419 36.79% 30.03 0.08 89.42% 0.051 0.1026
2 Coastline 776 36.25% 30.24 0.014 89.95% 0.037 0.0444
2 Fragment 216 36.28% 29.57 -0.247 87.96% -0.176 0.0805
2 Heart 113 47.32% 27.63 -1.032 76.99% -0.676 -0.5336
2 Opposite Shores 1386 34.51% 30.27 0.062 91.34% 0.179 0.27
2 Thematic 784 45.38% 37.34 1.841 82.4% 0.06 0.0188
2 Top to Top 240 36.4% 29.11 -0.408 84.17% -0.603 -0.6336
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 42.33 6.469 100.0% 0.116 1.1976
3 Coastline 13 53.85% 36.62 2.4 84.62% 0.59 0.3913
3 Other 97 37.63% 28.49 -0.732 85.57% -0.346 -0.1711
3 Round (Default) 2266 30.22% 31.16 0.211 92.1% 0.209 0.1357
3 Sunrise 17 17.65% 32.06 0.489 100.0% 0.635 0.3585
3 Thematic 122 51.67% 35.91 0.61 81.97% 0.386 -0.0157
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 66.0 12.054 100.0% 0.047 0.555
4 Coastline 7 14.29% 37.86 2.13 85.71% -0.551 -0.5007
4 Leaf 6 33.33% 34.0 0.918 100.0% 0.526 0.4975
4 Other 57 28.07% 31.82 0.095 89.47% -0.139 -0.2534
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 36.0 1.258 100.0% 0.005 -0.8494
4 Thematic 186 39.67% 37.44 0.217 87.63% 0.6 -0.4839
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1053 28.46% 31.45 0.184 91.64% 0.199 0.1128
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 52.0 9.322 100.0% 0.003 0.8796
5 Other 11 9.09% 37.36 1.978 90.91% -0.364 -0.967

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1273 23.15 -4.226 63.47% -3.349 -1.2764
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1013 24.55 -3.482 66.04% -3.245 -1.3268
All Things Weaken 479 23.35 -4.041 65.14% -3.392 -1.2221
Back Against the Wall 1052 23.62 -3.919 63.78% -3.377 -1.286
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1302 20.87 -5.441 60.6% -3.508 -1.2827
Downward Spiral 3987 22.34 -4.38 67.54% -2.981 -0.9582
Erosion of Will 1356 22.69 -4.459 61.43% -3.464 -1.2545
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 197 30.39 -0.504 97.46% -0.218 0.4687
Memory Fades to Dust 4037 21.74 -4.68 62.27% -3.239 -1.0203
Power Corrodes the Spirit 435 23.52 -3.853 71.72% -3.07 -1.0457
Promising Farmlands 1272 21.63 -4.911 62.81% -3.351 -1.1371
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 145 29.25 -1.072 97.93% -0.15 0.2603
Thriving Communities 437 22.35 -4.496 67.05% -3.231 -1.1367
Tipping Point 669 20.79 -5.375 57.55% -3.548 -1.3222
Unnatural Proliferation 485 24.36 -3.499 69.28% -3.206 -1.1198
Untended Land Crumbles 479 22.48 -4.462 66.39% -3.257 -1.1518

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10900 41.18% 28.9 -0.359 84.39% 0.21 -0.5506
B 11220 38.99% 29.35 -0.112 85.81% 0.298 -0.5595
C 11548 39.28% 29.59 0.048 86.73% 0.44 -0.6488
D 10886 39.31% 29.39 -0.088 85.98% 0.322 -0.5284
E 2617 34.56% 30.23 0.076 89.45% 0.365 -0.6
F 4375 33.46% 30.25 0.015 88.14% 0.17 -0.7443
G 4085 34.85% 30.18 0.017 89.2% 0.394 -0.511
H 4278 33.55% 30.15 -0.075 88.52% 0.222 -0.6925
East 1282 43.0% 37.8 2.472 80.89% 0.327 -0.3225
Northeast 1413 43.71% 36.08 1.601 78.2% 0.015 -0.584
Northwest 1082 44.56% 36.1 1.717 80.59% 0.349 -0.3211
Southeast 239 46.03% 34.36 0.861 82.43% 0.252 -0.4536
Southwest 230 50.0% 30.13 -1.366 76.09% -0.086 -0.3587
West 1120 53.45% 34.76 0.848 74.02% -0.107 -0.506

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 707 0.0% 26.44 -2.382 76.94% -2.625 -0.5682
Not Using Events or Tokens 9866 46.52% 27.73 -0.764 79.74% -0.335 -0.1193
Skip Initial Invader Actions 544 13.01% 39.48 2.861 93.93% -0.043 -0.7295
Start of Game Growth 936 15.8% 37.43 2.461 94.66% 0.809 0.3388
Unlimited Undo 3429 34.9% 30.68 0.292 88.68% 0.211 -0.2094
Using Tokens but Not Events 4728 33.53% 30.1 -0.006 88.83% 0.1 0.0477

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2291 22.35 24.71%
II 11647 30.84 71.4%
III 21547 34.35 90.1%
IV 10833 37.52 98.68%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.14 Win Model: -0.219
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 32580 43.09% 29.06 81.9%
2 9923 37.2% 30.6 88.89%
3 2516 31.37% 31.31 91.41%
4 1299 29.91% 32.45 90.84%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 417
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14909
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5893
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8256
Lose: Invader deck ran out 493
Win: Sacrifice victory 207
Lose: Scenario condition 428
Win: Scenario condition 995
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6021
Lose: Spirit destroyed 391

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5357 32.03% 39.57 0.289 89.49% -0.009 0.1049
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3817 56.42% 37.8 0.13 82.24% -0.032 0.174
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2746 35.41% 39.53 0.397 90.17% 0.18 0.0742
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4017 25.6% 43.54 2.085 94.42% 0.593 0.2
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2746 30.56% 41.9 1.406 92.9% 0.477 0.1868
Fractured Days Split the Sky 626 37.06% 41.19 1.111 86.1% -0.32 0.0342
Heart of the Wildfire 4192 65.04% 33.71 -1.777 74.81% -0.339 -0.011
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6388 39.67% 38.73 0.045 87.54% 0.028 -0.3016
Lightning's Swift Strike 6217 47.86% 37.6 -0.216 82.52% -0.181 0.0548
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1465 40.05% 40.02 0.558 89.76% 0.251 -0.0365
Many Minds Move as One 1090 25.14% 42.46 1.616 95.14% 0.597 0.0667
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5893 48.13% 38.56 0.139 85.8% 0.072 -0.1428
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2797 35.86% 39.55 0.395 90.24% 0.275 0.2988
River Surges in Sunlight 7422 48.45% 39.43 0.655 82.93% -0.151 -0.0201
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3603 43.08% 38.07 -0.228 85.98% -0.059 0.0558
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3763 61.79% 36.13 -0.672 77.04% -0.248 0.1685
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4514 36.58% 39.88 0.607 87.42% -0.095 -0.1924
Shifting Memory of Ages 229 51.53% 36.34 -0.712 86.9% 0.08 0.1711
Shroud of Silent Mist 612 64.48% 34.82 -1.133 79.74% -0.153 -0.1234
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1833 35.25% 37.26 -0.934 90.4% 0.138 0.0901
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2258 36.55% 39.48 0.071 87.2% -0.148 0.0259
Thunderspeaker 5391 40.7% 40.36 0.737 86.72% 0.074 0.1068
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1365 73.88% 32.7 -2.104 76.56% -0.186 -0.2039
Vital Strength of the Earth 4563 39.27% 35.59 -1.448 80.71% -0.662 0.1917
Volcano Looming High 938 45.25% 36.66 -0.784 86.14% -0.134 -0.1525

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 843 50.66% 35.12 -1.674 76.39% -0.614 -0.0445
Dahan Insurrection 4 924 28.98% 59.26 9.71 81.49% -1.068 -0.6699
Despicable Theft 2 22 59.09% 47.77 4.865 86.36% 0.093 0.3626
Elemental Invocation 1 92 63.04% 35.21 -1.203 69.57% -0.99 -0.5255
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2656 9.57% 44.09 1.917 87.69% -1.491 -1.1249
Powers Long Forgotten 1 393 61.99% 39.88 0.948 74.81% -0.437 0.0078
Rituals of Terror 3 290 58.68% 45.2 3.638 66.9% -0.99 -0.3449
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 159 69.81% 47.23 5.14 77.36% -0.095 0.5506
Second Wave 0 3520 49.2% 38.3 0.233 74.89% -0.894 -0.4648
The Great River 3 83 55.42% 42.08 2.156 60.24% -1.905 -0.4411
Ward the Shores 2 387 45.19% 45.44 2.919 80.1% -0.533 0.5011

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 35793 47.24% 36.94 -0.556 82.2% -0.059 0.1131
1 Thematic 2674 50.58% 42.5 1.534 76.48% -0.221 0.1406
2 Archipelago 3 33.33% 41.0 1.838 66.67% -0.639 -0.4123
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8331 44.18% 38.05 -0.051 87.46% 0.008 0.0597
2 Coastline 968 40.92% 38.91 0.079 87.71% -0.052 -0.0448
2 Fragment 225 48.43% 36.25 -0.969 83.56% -0.304 -0.0477
2 Heart 100 48.48% 38.03 -0.145 87.0% -0.018 0.1237
2 Opposite Shores 1980 39.05% 38.75 0.078 88.89% 0.046 0.1367
2 Thematic 1027 45.95% 44.41 1.256 78.97% -0.315 -0.3564
2 Top to Top 297 39.19% 39.33 0.359 88.89% -0.025 -0.0555
3 Archipelago 8 25.0% 80.5 16.34 87.5% -0.399 0.6829
3 Coastline 17 41.18% 42.88 1.448 88.24% 0.205 0.0066
3 Other 229 42.36% 40.96 0.691 95.2% 0.473 0.6476
3 Round (Default) 3254 36.58% 39.56 0.209 90.66% -0.078 -0.1516
3 Sunrise 24 33.33% 40.92 0.764 95.83% 0.396 0.1197
3 Thematic 187 45.16% 46.43 1.515 85.03% -0.098 -0.5002
4 Archipelago 3 0.0% 52.67 4.96 100.0% 0.016 0.5244
4 Coastline 4 25.0% 44.25 1.257 100.0% 0.097 0.1473
4 Leaf 11 18.18% 46.36 1.959 100.0% 0.34 0.3122
4 Other 83 51.81% 41.24 0.687 91.57% 0.034 -0.0801
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 43.0 -0.143 100.0% 0.004 -0.851
4 Snake 1 0.0% 62.0 6.929 100.0% 0.048 0.1021
4 Thematic 369 42.78% 48.23 0.905 87.53% -0.242 -1.3267
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1634 30.36% 40.83 0.508 91.86% -0.422 -0.509
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 54.0 9.948 100.0% 0.065 0.9413
5 Coastline 1 100.0% 40.0 2.16 100.0% 0.058 -0.1407
5 Other 20 35.0% 41.45 0.91 100.0% 0.427 -0.176
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 52.0 3.588 100.0% 0.696 -2.066

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1942 30.25 -4.872 63.85% -3.435 -1.3621
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1610 32.01 -4.092 65.65% -3.412 -1.4936
All Things Weaken 738 29.22 -5.315 62.47% -3.591 -1.4212
Back Against the Wall 1506 31.3 -4.454 64.67% -3.495 -1.4036
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1790 27.92 -6.075 62.4% -3.518 -1.2931
Downward Spiral 4919 30.57 -4.625 69.91% -3.004 -0.9806
Erosion of Will 1983 30.05 -5.037 62.73% -3.499 -1.2896
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 329 39.53 -0.148 98.78% 0.321 1.0069
Memory Fades to Dust 5031 30.1 -4.89 66.51% -3.175 -0.9564
Power Corrodes the Spirit 656 30.49 -4.607 69.51% -3.21 -1.1866
Promising Farmlands 1965 30.26 -4.925 67.99% -3.309 -1.0951
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 195 39.7 -0.163 97.95% -0.174 0.2363
Thriving Communities 682 29.56 -5.197 66.28% -3.395 -1.3004
Tipping Point 969 29.86 -5.102 64.71% -3.354 -1.1278
Unnatural Proliferation 727 30.51 -4.679 65.06% -3.467 -1.381
Untended Land Crumbles 686 30.84 -4.483 70.41% -3.177 -1.0709

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 13910 45.16% 37.44 -0.336 84.0% 0.249 -0.5113
B 14552 44.01% 37.83 -0.1 85.37% 0.361 -0.4958
C 14914 44.3% 37.94 0.003 85.48% 0.405 -0.6841
D 13758 44.23% 37.95 -0.012 85.64% 0.404 -0.4465
E 3502 40.97% 39.15 0.362 89.15% 0.532 -0.4334
F 5896 39.27% 38.82 0.129 88.03% 0.38 -0.5344
G 5351 39.86% 38.69 0.021 88.0% 0.402 -0.5031
H 5592 38.9% 39.06 0.139 88.38% 0.367 -0.5471
East 1699 45.7% 45.66 1.782 79.46% 0.147 -0.5024
Northeast 1570 45.48% 45.49 1.813 82.1% 0.359 -0.2401
Northwest 1287 45.92% 45.49 1.744 83.68% 0.567 -0.1032
Southeast 285 44.21% 41.99 0.174 77.54% -0.078 -0.7844
Southwest 262 46.56% 39.28 -1.218 76.34% 0.037 -0.2359
West 1462 50.38% 44.88 1.295 78.52% 0.22 -0.1785

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 523 0.0% 35.91 -2.534 76.86% -2.86 -0.8034
Not Using Events or Tokens 9426 51.73% 36.49 -0.646 80.66% -0.273 -0.0575
Skip Initial Invader Actions 673 9.15% 49.31 3.477 96.43% 0.487 -0.1994
Start of Game Growth 1193 15.15% 46.74 2.586 95.05% 0.654 0.184
Unlimited Undo 4618 39.37% 39.33 0.507 88.44% 0.273 -0.1473
Using Tokens but Not Events 5367 38.63% 38.37 -0.257 86.64% -0.149 -0.2014

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3202 22.35 30.79%
II 14832 30.84 68.63%
III 25587 34.35 91.18%
IV 13628 37.52 99.32%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.198 Win Model: 0.049
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 38549 47.49% 37.34 81.82%
2 12916 43.21% 38.75 87.0%
3 3675 37.33% 39.98 90.59%
4 2109 33.16% 42.25 91.32%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 712
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 17848
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7070
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10635
Lose: Invader deck ran out 494
Win: Sacrifice victory 216
Lose: Scenario condition 403
Win: Scenario condition 1061
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7895
Lose: Spirit destroyed 426

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5121 36.22% 45.89 0.546 86.02% -0.141 -0.0265
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3465 67.79% 42.0 -0.287 76.68% -0.016 0.1905
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2572 42.75% 45.6 0.656 88.18% 0.356 0.2505
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4087 28.7% 50.1 2.572 93.66% 0.731 0.3382
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2694 34.42% 48.76 2.006 92.13% 0.661 0.3704
Fractured Days Split the Sky 702 44.02% 46.42 1.065 77.92% -0.639 -0.2855
Heart of the Wildfire 4402 70.84% 37.72 -2.617 66.95% -0.497 -0.1687
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7548 45.45% 45.11 0.584 85.77% 0.179 -0.1516
Lightning's Swift Strike 5574 56.19% 42.19 -0.637 76.7% -0.243 -0.0072
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1664 47.44% 45.52 0.708 86.24% 0.225 -0.062
Many Minds Move as One 1191 30.48% 49.0 2.09 93.53% 0.634 0.1036
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6072 51.58% 44.57 0.328 83.56% 0.113 -0.1014
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2811 42.53% 44.62 0.237 86.45% 0.141 0.1653
River Surges in Sunlight 7579 52.57% 45.08 0.677 77.57% -0.294 -0.1636
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3548 45.3% 44.63 0.029 83.96% -0.043 0.0718
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3317 67.91% 40.36 -1.237 70.79% -0.333 0.0834
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4737 40.74% 45.94 0.946 84.61% -0.097 -0.194
Shifting Memory of Ages 249 65.46% 42.16 -0.294 80.72% 0.132 0.2232
Shroud of Silent Mist 505 71.83% 38.84 -1.881 72.48% -0.269 -0.2397
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1991 42.09% 42.82 -0.868 86.89% 0.064 0.016
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2414 40.27% 45.59 0.345 85.21% -0.098 0.0759
Thunderspeaker 4875 46.53% 46.04 0.781 83.14% 0.027 0.0591
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1455 82.31% 38.09 -1.85 74.09% 0.043 0.0247
Vital Strength of the Earth 4289 47.91% 40.59 -1.602 72.67% -0.806 0.048
Volcano Looming High 949 55.76% 40.82 -1.235 78.71% -0.232 -0.2509

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 672 57.49% 38.45 -2.715 66.82% -0.789 -0.2192
Dahan Insurrection 4 1009 33.13% 66.74 10.657 81.67% -0.557 -0.1588
Despicable Theft 2 22 72.73% 39.86 -1.238 50.0% -1.085 -0.8158
Elemental Invocation 1 47 70.21% 42.94 0.038 74.47% -0.17 0.2939
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2863 11.42% 51.47 2.736 89.66% -0.849 -0.4828
Powers Long Forgotten 1 223 69.96% 44.42 0.346 66.82% -0.502 -0.0576
Rituals of Terror 3 147 65.31% 50.08 3.026 63.95% -0.775 -0.1295
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 111 81.98% 44.68 1.021 53.15% -0.777 -0.132
Second Wave 0 2398 54.71% 43.11 -0.23 69.64% -0.888 -0.4594
The Great River 3 42 64.29% 45.45 1.114 54.76% -1.454 0.0095
Ward the Shores 2 162 63.35% 47.78 1.665 65.43% -0.778 0.2561

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 39060 54.35% 41.92 -0.754 77.14% -0.564 -0.3914
1 Thematic 2046 50.15% 49.5 1.812 73.9% -0.824 -0.4623
2 Archipelago 5 60.0% 57.2 6.199 100.0% 0.426 0.6529
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8414 47.51% 44.5 0.263 84.92% 0.016 0.067
2 Coastline 1048 43.28% 45.22 0.276 86.16% 0.001 0.0079
2 Fragment 179 56.5% 40.13 -1.435 73.18% -0.459 -0.2026
2 Heart 91 59.34% 43.35 -0.0 84.62% 0.092 0.2339
2 Opposite Shores 1846 45.07% 45.43 0.336 86.57% 0.083 0.1736
2 Thematic 752 59.25% 47.95 0.381 71.81% -0.526 -0.5678
2 Top to Top 280 48.39% 43.92 -0.154 83.57% -0.105 -0.1357
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 50.0 3.622 100.0% 0.215 1.2966
3 Coastline 39 28.21% 50.28 1.452 87.18% -0.233 -0.4309
3 Other 192 36.65% 46.5 0.416 91.15% 0.088 0.2624
3 Round (Default) 2754 39.66% 46.55 0.534 88.56% 0.342 0.2681
3 Sunrise 17 29.41% 46.88 0.196 88.24% -0.123 -0.3997
3 Thematic 123 58.54% 52.15 1.643 82.93% 0.253 -0.1486
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 57.5 3.874 100.0% 0.032 0.5409
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 44.33 0.17 100.0% 0.363 0.4133
4 Leaf 9 55.56% 41.33 -2.292 66.67% -0.513 -0.5409
4 Other 63 46.03% 46.63 0.47 92.06% 0.611 0.4976
4 Snake 3 33.33% 50.0 1.813 100.0% 0.248 0.3021
4 Thematic 266 40.0% 55.44 1.123 86.84% 0.394 -0.6904
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1697 36.09% 48.46 0.88 90.63% 0.649 0.5621
5 Archipelago 4 75.0% 59.75 7.872 75.0% -0.18 0.697
5 Other 19 31.58% 48.89 0.703 100.0% 0.609 0.0052
5 Thematic 5 60.0% 57.0 3.695 100.0% 0.56 -2.2027
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 32.0 -5.35 0.0% -0.808 -0.076

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2367 35.4 -5.104 60.58% -3.225 -1.1523
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1837 37.89 -3.986 65.16% -3.054 -1.1358
All Things Weaken 915 34.02 -5.639 58.8% -3.327 -1.1564
Back Against the Wall 1799 36.36 -4.742 60.7% -3.271 -1.1798
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2186 33.04 -6.213 59.24% -3.263 -1.0387
Downward Spiral 5394 35.9 -4.68 65.74% -2.796 -0.7729
Erosion of Will 2310 34.89 -5.356 59.0% -3.281 -1.0719
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 353 45.58 -0.112 92.63% -1.142 -0.4554
Memory Fades to Dust 5538 34.58 -5.39 60.64% -3.049 -0.8307
Power Corrodes the Spirit 906 34.78 -5.219 62.69% -3.138 -1.1137
Promising Farmlands 2347 35.07 -5.272 63.19% -3.099 -0.8853
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 239 46.32 0.28 95.4% -0.634 -0.224
Thriving Communities 878 35.42 -4.939 65.6% -3.045 -0.9498
Tipping Point 1156 34.38 -5.525 59.69% -3.191 -0.9643
Unnatural Proliferation 967 37.07 -4.063 66.91% -3.016 -0.9292
Untended Land Crumbles 907 34.89 -5.248 63.18% -3.156 -1.0501

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 13997 51.11% 43.03 -0.335 79.75% 0.278 -0.4822
B 14719 48.87% 43.88 0.171 81.98% 0.429 -0.4283
C 15224 49.56% 43.87 0.239 82.03% 0.474 -0.6147
D 13209 50.56% 43.33 -0.036 80.76% 0.369 -0.4815
E 3782 47.14% 44.38 0.224 84.21% 0.4 -0.5656
F 6330 45.42% 44.67 0.242 84.39% 0.39 -0.5238
G 5941 47.0% 44.29 0.067 83.87% 0.384 -0.521
H 6011 43.84% 45.17 0.381 85.11% 0.386 -0.5282
East 1206 51.12% 51.33 1.579 75.54% 0.254 -0.3955
Northeast 1177 49.91% 51.95 2.065 79.35% 0.562 -0.0367
Northwest 918 50.16% 50.82 1.348 78.32% 0.526 -0.1434
Southeast 243 56.38% 47.9 0.445 75.31% 0.496 -0.2096
Southwest 233 54.51% 43.11 -2.151 72.96% 0.094 -0.1789
West 1044 54.13% 51.41 1.464 74.62% 0.27 -0.1284

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 389 0.0% 39.27 -3.872 65.55% -3.078 -1.0217
Not Using Events or Tokens 7889 59.7% 40.76 -1.042 73.17% -0.309 -0.0932
Skip Initial Invader Actions 666 7.33% 58.39 4.41 96.55% 0.631 -0.0563
Start of Game Growth 1312 12.0% 55.72 3.68 95.12% 0.769 0.2993
Unlimited Undo 4722 42.17% 45.82 0.876 85.92% 0.297 -0.1233
Using Tokens but Not Events 5662 44.03% 44.29 0.101 83.63% 0.008 -0.0439

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4031 22.35 20.12%
II 19936 30.84 68.37%
III 23712 34.35 89.78%
IV 11241 37.52 99.47%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.34 Win Model: -0.401
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 41190 54.15% 42.31 77.01%
2 12613 47.69% 44.82 84.29%
3 3073 39.86% 46.79 88.35%
4 2044 36.89% 49.34 90.12%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 597
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 16804
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9893
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8836
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1107
Win: Sacrifice victory 227
Lose: Scenario condition 308
Win: Scenario condition 930
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10069
Lose: Spirit destroyed 525

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3694 35.73% 47.93 0.139 83.13% -0.338 -0.2239
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2857 67.36% 44.17 -0.722 75.53% 0.0 0.2065
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2295 43.22% 47.79 0.296 86.1% 0.233 0.128
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3583 27.42% 53.52 2.599 93.94% 0.862 0.469
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2506 33.88% 50.17 1.36 89.27% 0.333 0.0428
Fractured Days Split the Sky 663 38.16% 51.95 2.221 84.01% -0.273 0.0806
Heart of the Wildfire 3595 70.77% 40.62 -2.52 68.71% -0.309 0.0186
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7026 42.18% 48.55 0.665 86.31% 0.247 -0.0827
Lightning's Swift Strike 5092 48.24% 46.38 -0.167 80.05% -0.087 0.1486
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1665 43.18% 49.15 0.962 87.63% 0.308 0.021
Many Minds Move as One 1019 30.55% 51.98 1.859 94.41% 0.82 0.289
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4810 50.82% 47.02 -0.032 81.89% 0.059 -0.1558
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2369 42.97% 47.01 -0.095 83.83% -0.03 -0.0061
River Surges in Sunlight 5511 52.79% 48.27 0.825 77.86% -0.192 -0.0612
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2778 45.21% 46.8 -0.408 81.86% -0.118 -0.0034
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2242 67.3% 42.49 -1.785 68.38% -0.336 0.0812
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5695 30.36% 50.96 1.846 88.17% 0.106 0.0083
Shifting Memory of Ages 211 62.09% 44.24 -0.911 78.2% -0.119 -0.0277
Shroud of Silent Mist 354 77.12% 41.06 -2.119 72.32% -0.171 -0.1415
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1998 34.8% 46.99 -0.562 89.64% 0.205 0.1568
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2085 42.62% 47.9 0.177 82.78% -0.148 0.0261
Thunderspeaker 3675 46.66% 47.98 0.44 81.66% 0.017 0.049
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1335 81.5% 41.2 -1.934 74.83% 0.131 0.1124
Vital Strength of the Earth 2681 51.63% 39.84 -3.463 59.42% -1.431 -0.5773
Volcano Looming High 1059 48.91% 46.29 -0.378 84.61% 0.082 0.0632

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 408 65.06% 39.68 -3.183 64.71% -0.618 -0.0492
Dahan Insurrection 4 577 35.2% 71.28 11.143 80.94% -0.365 0.0328
Despicable Theft 2 8 75.0% 44.88 -0.247 50.0% -0.856 -0.587
Elemental Invocation 1 29 51.72% 46.17 -0.688 75.86% -0.317 0.1475
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2122 11.62% 53.82 2.507 89.07% -0.557 -0.1903
Powers Long Forgotten 1 161 69.57% 45.66 -0.196 64.6% -0.663 -0.2179
Rituals of Terror 3 142 61.27% 54.34 3.817 62.68% -0.676 -0.0306
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 92 79.35% 47.59 1.024 51.09% -0.805 -0.1596
Second Wave 0 1540 53.19% 46.15 -0.29 70.19% -0.755 -0.3266
The Great River 3 33 69.7% 47.18 0.074 51.52% -1.643 -0.179
Ward the Shores 2 123 69.11% 49.32 1.315 62.6% -0.559 0.4751

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 37849 48.25% 45.96 -0.527 79.29% -0.357 -0.184
1 Thematic 1507 53.32% 52.0 1.548 70.07% -0.657 -0.2948
2 Archipelago 3 66.67% 65.0 9.955 100.0% 0.382 0.6087
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6070 49.21% 46.9 0.031 82.64% -0.063 -0.0116
2 Coastline 954 41.63% 48.13 0.247 85.95% 0.003 0.0107
2 Fragment 118 50.0% 47.64 0.191 83.05% 0.0 0.2563
2 Heart 65 43.75% 48.46 0.23 87.69% -0.109 0.0332
2 Opposite Shores 1082 46.82% 46.47 -0.359 81.98% -0.221 -0.1301
2 Thematic 468 56.87% 50.89 0.66 72.44% -0.387 -0.4285
2 Top to Top 191 44.74% 47.01 -0.242 82.72% -0.196 -0.2268
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 57.0 4.351 100.0% 0.018 1.0998
3 Coastline 46 21.74% 57.33 3.768 100.0% 1.469 1.271
3 Other 97 52.58% 47.19 -0.347 85.57% -0.213 -0.0382
3 Round (Default) 2260 37.11% 49.35 0.724 89.34% 0.257 0.1832
3 Sunrise 9 22.22% 48.56 -0.018 88.89% 0.02 -0.2567
3 Thematic 85 63.53% 50.25 0.063 71.76% -0.187 -0.5888
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 40.0 -5.774 50.0% -0.88 -0.3718
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 66.0 6.988 100.0% 0.16 0.21
4 Leaf 6 66.67% 46.33 0.85 83.33% 0.242 0.2143
4 Other 48 35.42% 49.46 0.37 85.42% -0.183 -0.2969
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 -9.953 0.0% -0.245 -0.1907
4 Thematic 317 42.09% 57.08 1.082 87.38% 0.463 -0.6214
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1142 36.77% 50.31 0.685 89.84% 0.266 0.1796
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 69.33 10.128 100.0% 0.149 1.0251
5 Other 15 30.77% 52.93 1.402 93.33% -0.268 -0.8713
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 57.33 2.709 100.0% 0.484 -2.278
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 72.0 13.324 100.0% 0.085 0.8169

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2033 38.92 -5.004 62.57% -2.823 -0.7496
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1497 41.22 -3.915 66.4% -2.704 -0.7855
All Things Weaken 781 38.22 -5.275 61.97% -2.954 -0.7838
Back Against the Wall 1349 39.07 -4.995 60.42% -2.974 -0.8831
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1884 35.94 -6.516 58.92% -2.996 -0.7712
Downward Spiral 4358 38.33 -5.18 63.72% -2.597 -0.5739
Erosion of Will 1892 37.83 -5.584 59.46% -2.96 -0.7512
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 326 48.78 -0.157 92.02% -0.98 -0.2936
Memory Fades to Dust 4429 37.2 -5.734 58.95% -2.796 -0.5769
Power Corrodes the Spirit 788 40.27 -4.25 70.05% -2.556 -0.5325
Promising Farmlands 1975 36.8 -6.061 59.49% -2.963 -0.7492
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 236 49.08 -0.018 94.49% -0.535 -0.1256
Thriving Communities 728 36.89 -5.977 60.3% -2.993 -0.8981
Tipping Point 957 35.54 -6.623 54.13% -3.088 -0.8616
Unnatural Proliferation 819 40.23 -4.229 67.4% -2.686 -0.5997
Untended Land Crumbles 728 39.81 -4.467 69.37% -2.61 -0.5044

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11112 49.01% 45.85 -0.463 79.09% 0.183 -0.5775
B 12351 45.91% 46.97 0.148 82.05% 0.371 -0.4864
C 12476 48.49% 46.43 -0.038 80.59% 0.338 -0.7504
D 11001 47.67% 46.33 -0.145 80.2% 0.258 -0.5917
E 3856 42.03% 48.56 0.62 86.85% 0.453 -0.5125
F 5659 42.52% 47.87 0.301 85.3% 0.387 -0.5267
G 5264 43.53% 47.88 0.305 85.28% 0.409 -0.4964
H 5365 42.07% 48.28 0.394 85.54% 0.378 -0.5364
East 951 49.79% 54.19 1.625 77.29% 0.235 -0.4146
Northeast 904 53.5% 52.62 0.814 74.34% 0.128 -0.471
Northwest 677 50.15% 53.5 1.024 78.73% 0.424 -0.2461
Southeast 187 51.87% 50.38 0.341 78.07% 0.335 -0.3709
Southwest 186 58.06% 42.75 -3.971 63.98% -0.666 -0.9392
West 946 49.89% 56.48 2.584 77.48% 0.294 -0.1045

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 337 0.0% 47.9 -1.214 78.04% -2.086 -0.0296
Not Using Events or Tokens 6797 53.44% 44.61 -0.769 74.28% -0.25 -0.0341
Skip Initial Invader Actions 461 12.15% 60.04 3.903 95.66% 0.7 0.0128
Start of Game Growth 864 14.64% 57.49 2.874 93.52% 0.334 -0.1367
Unlimited Undo 5081 44.22% 48.16 0.572 84.61% 0.246 -0.1744
Using Tokens but Not Events 4784 39.76% 47.53 0.159 83.59% -0.038 -0.0904

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5364 22.35 36.67%
II 23188 30.84 78.98%
III 17320 34.35 88.4%
IV 6473 37.52 99.57%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.273 Win Model: -0.149
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 39411 48.46% 46.19 78.95%
2 8937 48.36% 47.23 82.45%
3 2475 38.13% 49.41 88.65%
4 1522 37.86% 51.78 89.22%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1509
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12395
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 14302
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5149
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1885
Win: Sacrifice victory 202
Lose: Scenario condition 213
Win: Scenario condition 544
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7814
Lose: Spirit destroyed 397

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2045 46.44% 51.71 0.227 72.91% -0.315 -0.2005
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1277 78.87% 47.16 -0.722 64.68% 0.098 0.3043
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1952 40.77% 53.86 0.87 80.12% 0.093 -0.0123
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2211 38.73% 57.37 2.814 86.11% 0.589 0.1958
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1156 47.4% 54.43 1.385 78.98% 0.214 -0.0771
Fractured Days Split the Sky 289 55.02% 52.96 1.231 67.82% -0.432 -0.0787
Heart of the Wildfire 2046 72.13% 44.2 -2.705 61.14% -0.232 0.0965
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3095 59.49% 49.8 -0.297 70.79% 0.018 -0.3125
Lightning's Swift Strike 2582 68.56% 46.6 -1.49 62.28% -0.224 0.0121
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 942 48.73% 54.6 1.489 81.85% 0.386 0.099
Many Minds Move as One 409 39.36% 58.64 3.398 92.18% 1.169 0.6378
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2585 58.01% 51.39 0.636 73.31% 0.173 -0.0413
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1098 56.16% 49.37 -0.543 70.04% -0.169 -0.1451
River Surges in Sunlight 3156 63.75% 51.99 1.214 67.52% -0.032 0.0987
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1373 56.94% 50.31 -0.111 72.18% 0.037 0.1518
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1815 83.0% 43.95 -1.903 57.08% -0.124 0.2926
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2998 36.62% 56.82 2.712 81.69% 0.19 0.0928
Shifting Memory of Ages 67 68.66% 46.55 -1.81 65.67% -0.259 -0.1685
Shroud of Silent Mist 125 81.6% 43.54 -2.683 60.8% -0.151 -0.122
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1890 33.17% 53.02 0.429 84.23% 0.212 0.1641
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1443 49.58% 51.72 0.568 73.39% -0.088 0.0858
Thunderspeaker 2025 57.09% 52.09 0.965 71.75% 0.055 0.0876
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1025 87.61% 45.07 -1.385 64.68% 0.277 0.2589
Vital Strength of the Earth 1417 67.12% 40.89 -4.318 43.05% -1.375 -0.5212
Volcano Looming High 494 67.61% 48.46 -0.49 71.86% 0.201 0.1826

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 368 77.01% 40.49 -4.309 50.54% -0.756 -0.1863
Dahan Insurrection 4 484 55.28% 69.04 8.619 65.08% -0.462 -0.0633
Despicable Theft 2 3 33.33% 59.0 3.089 66.67% -0.293 -0.0231
Elemental Invocation 1 10 80.0% 39.9 -5.045 40.0% -1.078 -0.6134
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1158 19.88% 59.74 3.534 85.75% 0.017 0.384
Powers Long Forgotten 1 86 79.07% 47.66 -0.545 52.33% -0.323 0.1216
Rituals of Terror 3 60 75.0% 54.65 2.732 48.33% -0.435 0.2105
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 65 90.77% 48.48 0.466 41.54% -0.357 0.2878
Second Wave 0 854 64.47% 49.44 -0.062 62.41% -0.315 0.1133
The Great River 3 26 57.69% 40.85 -5.675 23.08% -2.715 -1.2516
Ward the Shores 2 48 77.08% 54.27 2.681 58.33% 0.045 1.079

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 22283 57.7% 49.17 -0.846 69.47% 0.109 0.2815
1 Thematic 991 64.18% 54.36 1.306 59.33% 0.277 0.6388
2 Archipelago 4 75.0% 65.5 6.639 75.0% 0.161 0.3883
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3818 54.84% 51.93 0.715 74.88% -0.001 0.0504
2 Coastline 461 55.75% 50.58 -0.097 70.07% -0.28 -0.2726
2 Fragment 66 67.69% 46.73 -1.17 65.15% -0.327 -0.0709
2 Heart 24 58.33% 47.0 -2.27 62.5% -0.808 -0.6658
2 Opposite Shores 707 61.76% 50.45 0.095 72.7% -0.065 0.0259
2 Thematic 248 70.04% 52.86 -0.077 58.06% 0.401 0.3597
2 Top to Top 81 56.25% 51.59 0.382 76.54% 0.097 0.0663
3 Coastline 10 30.0% 66.6 6.682 100.0% 0.804 0.606
3 Other 28 67.86% 53.82 2.086 75.0% 0.085 0.2597
3 Round (Default) 924 55.3% 52.53 0.725 76.73% -0.298 -0.3718
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 51.33 0.421 66.67% -0.283 -0.5596
3 Thematic 37 59.46% 58.27 0.833 67.57% 0.314 -0.0879
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 64.33 5.468 100.0% 0.052 0.1027
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 20.0 -13.848 0.0% -0.753 -0.781
4 Other 9 66.67% 55.78 2.193 88.89% 0.074 -0.0401
4 Thematic 154 31.82% 64.38 1.145 81.82% 0.457 -0.6276
4 Trapezoid (Default) 444 48.84% 53.68 0.828 77.93% -0.637 -0.7234
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 12.534 100.0% 0.002 0.879
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 69.0 7.088 100.0% 0.012 -0.1871
5 Other 3 0.0% 65.33 4.295 100.0% 0.04 -0.5632
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 85.0 13.025 100.0% 0.595 -2.1674

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1297 41.41 -5.422 50.81% -2.558 -0.4846
Aid From Lesser Spirits 907 45.89 -3.359 60.31% -2.191 -0.2728
All Things Weaken 552 41.93 -5.5 53.62% -2.625 -0.4544
Back Against the Wall 928 44.39 -4.096 56.36% -2.349 -0.2577
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1192 38.84 -6.802 48.57% -2.662 -0.4369
Downward Spiral 3441 41.07 -5.595 52.72% -2.491 -0.4684
Erosion of Will 1207 40.54 -5.955 48.3% -2.667 -0.4579
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 195 54.85 0.875 88.72% -0.69 -0.0033
Memory Fades to Dust 3480 40.46 -5.971 49.97% -2.61 -0.3914
Power Corrodes the Spirit 546 41.64 -5.508 55.31% -2.522 -0.4986
Promising Farmlands 1208 38.35 -7.024 44.78% -2.819 -0.6051
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 101 55.64 1.094 89.11% -0.561 -0.1515
Thriving Communities 514 40.97 -5.932 54.28% -2.617 -0.5224
Tipping Point 639 38.12 -7.131 42.72% -2.819 -0.5931
Unnatural Proliferation 558 45.59 -3.623 60.57% -2.326 -0.2399
Untended Land Crumbles 548 41.91 -5.47 55.84% -2.556 -0.4504

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5516 62.35% 48.14 -0.747 66.32% 0.101 -0.6593
B 7196 55.02% 51.16 0.465 72.55% 0.295 -0.5616
C 6871 64.57% 48.27 -0.236 67.37% 0.282 -0.8063
D 5361 62.93% 48.46 -0.427 67.26% 0.194 -0.6562
E 1733 56.49% 52.46 1.005 77.32% 0.489 -0.4757
F 4085 44.38% 52.77 0.367 78.78% 0.236 -0.6775
G 3442 46.91% 53.16 0.877 78.85% 0.406 -0.4998
H 3276 49.19% 52.54 0.718 76.65% 0.283 -0.6316
East 550 56.91% 58.64 1.646 65.09% -0.24 -0.8893
Northeast 482 57.8% 56.59 0.954 65.77% -0.037 -0.6362
Northwest 407 53.45% 56.24 0.06 62.16% -0.496 -1.1657
Southeast 93 58.06% 53.89 -0.09 67.74% -0.084 -0.7904
Southwest 86 63.95% 48.24 -3.719 56.98% -0.709 -0.9816
West 479 53.44% 60.19 2.219 67.64% -0.089 -0.4872

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 137 0.0% 49.05 -2.872 65.69% -2.265 -0.2086
Not Using Events or Tokens 4606 71.5% 45.87 -0.892 60.64% 0.042 0.2582
Skip Initial Invader Actions 225 19.61% 64.24 3.223 88.44% 0.13 -0.5568
Start of Game Growth 485 19.69% 65.92 4.441 90.1% 0.648 0.1782
Unlimited Undo 5462 35.18% 57.45 2.616 85.81% 0.48 0.06
Using Tokens but Not Events 5644 29.12% 57.27 2.533 86.84% 0.304 0.252

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3660 22.35 24.34%
II 13657 30.84 67.51%
III 9532 34.35 81.23%
IV 3454 37.52 99.39%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.48 Win Model: 0.31
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 23303 57.97% 49.4 69.04%
2 5398 56.81% 51.58 73.27%
3 992 55.34% 52.88 76.51%
4 610 43.81% 56.74 79.51%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 583
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6497
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7031
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2860
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1914
Win: Sacrifice victory 97
Lose: Scenario condition 141
Win: Scenario condition 343
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6592
Lose: Spirit destroyed 369

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4549 67.04% 46.58 -0.818 51.53% -0.301 -0.187
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4312 87.37% 44.38 -1.336 51.18% 0.128 0.334
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2097 78.85% 43.15 -2.349 46.88% -0.316 -0.4213
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5268 56.48% 55.53 3.56 72.85% 0.624 0.2308
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2232 76.53% 46.91 -0.594 54.88% 0.038 -0.2531
Fractured Days Split the Sky 843 68.09% 53.86 2.737 62.16% 0.08 0.4338
Heart of the Wildfire 5348 91.12% 35.01 -6.059 33.19% -0.625 -0.2972
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6948 74.91% 45.79 -1.219 54.33% -0.034 -0.3639
Lightning's Swift Strike 6655 74.9% 45.58 -1.436 52.16% -0.104 0.1323
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2230 72.78% 48.24 0.115 60.58% 0.171 -0.1161
Many Minds Move as One 1200 58.67% 57.2 4.496 82.33% 1.174 0.6433
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 21271 56.53% 58.07 6.111 81.59% 1.337 1.1223
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2254 79.74% 43.25 -2.261 47.56% -0.282 -0.258
River Surges in Sunlight 8624 76.94% 48.04 -0.375 51.31% -0.172 -0.0414
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4133 66.36% 47.4 -0.612 55.94% -0.108 0.0072
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3104 78.35% 42.94 -2.702 45.81% -0.414 0.0026
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4521 68.06% 47.04 -0.76 55.63% -0.151 -0.2484
Shifting Memory of Ages 169 89.94% 42.35 -2.448 47.93% -0.124 -0.0328
Shroud of Silent Mist 375 94.12% 39.37 -3.701 42.67% -0.219 -0.1899
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2417 65.24% 43.88 -2.084 56.06% -0.27 -0.3179
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2216 75.85% 46.02 -1.339 52.48% -0.235 -0.0609
Thunderspeaker 5892 77.16% 50.97 1.014 49.95% 0.18 0.2128
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2383 92.57% 45.34 -0.451 58.88% 0.528 0.5098
Vital Strength of the Earth 3009 84.1% 35.05 -5.936 24.86% -1.327 -0.473
Volcano Looming High 1548 77.45% 45.05 -1.19 56.46% 0.046 0.0269

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 842 58.2% 48.62 -1.156 59.26% -0.277 0.2923
Dahan Insurrection 4 3186 81.3% 60.71 6.11 40.02% 0.01 0.4087
Despicable Theft 2 12 91.67% 42.25 -2.822 25.0% -0.871 -0.6018
Elemental Invocation 1 25 76.0% 35.28 -6.503 24.0% -1.568 -1.1038
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3860 39.48% 54.95 3.435 69.38% 0.142 0.5084
Powers Long Forgotten 1 105 84.62% 39.77 -3.734 29.52% -0.947 -0.5022
Rituals of Terror 3 164 90.85% 44.9 -1.118 24.39% -0.918 -0.2726
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 38 94.74% 40.55 -3.903 18.42% -1.259 -0.6133
Second Wave 0 729 70.83% 46.29 -1.428 47.74% -0.718 -0.2895
The Great River 3 11 63.64% 53.0 1.451 45.45% -0.756 0.7071
Ward the Shores 2 68 88.24% 45.13 -2.629 36.76% -1.035 -0.0012

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 64763 72.85% 46.94 -1.173 57.32% -0.07 0.1023
1 Thematic 3708 79.72% 54.03 1.626 38.75% -0.32 0.0413
2 Archipelago 8 62.5% 63.5 5.126 50.0% -1.152 -0.925
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7229 62.83% 51.25 1.112 65.51% 0.236 0.2874
2 Coastline 1137 71.14% 50.17 0.595 63.41% 0.19 0.1971
2 Fragment 129 81.4% 44.27 -1.191 51.16% 0.014 0.2705
2 Heart 65 81.54% 42.74 -2.729 46.15% -0.518 -0.3762
2 Opposite Shores 1876 68.15% 49.54 0.581 61.73% 0.186 0.2771
2 Thematic 819 80.61% 52.21 -0.065 39.07% -0.238 -0.2794
2 Top to Top 241 78.9% 46.71 -0.556 55.6% -0.008 -0.0391
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 22.0 -12.636 0.0% -0.508 0.5742
3 Coastline 18 61.11% 50.72 1.107 61.11% 0.233 0.0342
3 Other 69 79.71% 45.28 -1.11 52.17% -0.234 -0.0599
3 Round (Default) 1836 74.4% 48.8 0.39 60.13% 0.262 0.1882
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 50.29 1.642 71.43% 0.676 0.3991
3 Thematic 64 79.69% 50.0 -0.753 42.19% 0.325 -0.0768
4 Coastline 4 100.0% 46.5 -3.047 50.0% -0.336 -0.2862
4 Leaf 2 0.0% 66.5 2.611 100.0% 0.078 0.0497
4 Other 29 72.41% 53.24 1.247 72.41% 0.405 0.291
4 Snake 2 100.0% 26.0 -10.476 0.0% -0.694 -0.6401
4 Thematic 265 71.21% 57.95 0.823 54.72% 0.645 -0.4391
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1276 67.1% 52.01 1.454 64.81% 0.566 0.4789
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 32.0 -11.627 0.0% -0.78 0.0967
5 Other 18 61.11% 65.28 5.282 88.89% 1.078 0.4744

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 5287 42.43 -4.133 46.87% -2.433 -0.3599
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4222 47.84 -1.592 57.82% -1.99 -0.0718
All Things Weaken 1875 41.04 -4.434 45.07% -2.417 -0.2468
Back Against the Wall 3435 43.15 -3.44 46.99% -2.266 -0.1748
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4718 39.31 -5.788 43.47% -2.6 -0.3756
Downward Spiral 10028 41.24 -4.891 41.56% -2.352 -0.3291
Erosion of Will 5078 40.66 -5.046 42.77% -2.622 -0.4134
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 503 55.68 2.279 78.53% -0.963 -0.277
Memory Fades to Dust 9986 40.62 -5.148 38.51% -2.458 -0.2395
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1807 40.53 -4.709 45.43% -2.416 -0.3925
Promising Farmlands 4764 40.03 -5.364 43.05% -2.613 -0.3995
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 307 57.75 3.534 85.02% -0.462 -0.0523
Thriving Communities 1732 39.13 -5.464 42.21% -2.573 -0.4781
Tipping Point 2485 38.06 -6.338 37.42% -2.847 -0.6203
Unnatural Proliferation 2015 42.17 -3.957 45.56% -2.422 -0.3358
Untended Land Crumbles 1763 39.83 -5.088 43.39% -2.503 -0.3976

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14685 74.8% 45.35 -1.254 52.72% 0.167 -0.5931
B 18649 69.84% 48.18 0.043 59.47% 0.346 -0.5107
C 17864 73.43% 46.55 -0.508 55.66% 0.312 -0.7764
D 17257 71.35% 48.11 0.044 59.14% 0.343 -0.5068
E 4965 73.58% 48.2 0.435 60.85% 0.539 -0.4265
F 8360 68.37% 50.18 0.968 64.57% 0.571 -0.3432
G 8183 67.49% 51.36 1.47 66.82% 0.647 -0.2581
H 7568 65.36% 51.24 1.293 66.37% 0.578 -0.3365
East 2147 80.07% 56.99 2.64 40.75% 0.332 -0.3172
Northeast 1800 76.56% 55.61 1.694 44.28% 0.262 -0.3368
Northwest 975 73.61% 54.38 1.122 45.13% 0.206 -0.4639
Southeast 165 90.3% 43.96 -2.194 27.88% -0.107 -0.813
Southwest 110 80.0% 35.49 -6.183 28.18% -0.593 -0.866
West 1143 79.72% 52.34 -0.216 38.06% -0.172 -0.5708

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 480 0.0% 41.82 -4.633 40.42% -2.328 -0.2713
Not Using Events or Tokens 9655 85.87% 44.22 -2.316 38.75% -0.538 -0.3224
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1578 20.16% 66.93 6.259 89.1% 0.94 0.2534
Start of Game Growth 2513 24.98% 63.79 5.201 85.67% 0.46 -0.0105
Unlimited Undo 7067 66.57% 51.32 1.738 65.53% 0.443 0.0234
Using Tokens but Not Events 5202 59.54% 48.98 0.002 59.03% -0.271 -0.3237

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 13227 22.35 6.22%
II 32594 30.84 48.9%
III 29773 34.35 78.02%
IV 7973 37.52 99.54%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.512 Win Model: -0.376
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 68660 73.2% 47.35 56.37%
2 11365 66.44% 50.62 62.15%
3 1960 74.69% 48.67 59.23%
4 1582 67.97% 53.05 63.15%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 623
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 18941
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11786
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6491
Lose: Invader deck ran out 6432
Win: Sacrifice victory 412
Lose: Scenario condition 633
Win: Scenario condition 1300
Lose: Blight pool ran out 26754
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1822

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2025-04-01 02:56:45 (Pacific Time)