The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8169 25.76% 25.52 -0.34 87.53% 0.153 0.0016
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5658 44.27% 25.31 -0.248 86.06% 0.176 0.2849
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3963 26.25% 26.63 -0.592 91.37% -0.15 -0.3095
Downpour Drenches the World 276 22.47% 24.98 -1.649 81.52% -0.31 -0.128
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 241 14.52% 26.52 2.879 82.57% 0.893 0.1772
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5043 15.63% 30.15 2.219 95.12% 0.592 0.0081
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3832 19.01% 28.18 1.302 93.97% 0.643 0.1647
Finder of Paths Unseen 165 32.72% 21.62 -3.478 73.94% -0.871 -0.1684
Fractured Days Split the Sky 861 31.8% 27.58 -3.992 81.42% -1.224 -0.5299
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 723 40.66% 27.14 -1.007 82.43% -0.02 -0.1173
Heart of the Wildfire 5128 58.04% 21.73 -0.979 75.51% -0.081 0.1775
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6934 27.67% 27.0 2.179 90.84% 0.597 0.1417
Lightning's Swift Strike 9490 42.48% 23.52 -1.732 79.61% -0.407 -0.2047
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 108 29.91% 26.93 -0.393 78.7% -0.173 -0.8814
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 594 25.59% 29.06 5.024 92.93% 0.988 0.6794
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 433 34.03% 27.94 -0.002 88.22% -0.16 -0.3358
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2433 24.94% 28.29 2.192 91.04% 0.418 0.2625
Many Minds Move as One 1421 20.99% 28.57 0.625 93.31% 0.18 -0.0373
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7915 40.14% 25.6 0.145 86.65% 0.21 0.1917
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3510 30.35% 25.6 0.179 89.57% 0.241 0.1047
River Surges in Sunlight 10321 39.24% 26.12 0.147 79.74% 0.031 0.0352
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 733 37.36% 27.27 0.446 81.17% -0.048 0.2057
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 154 37.25% 31.52 1.449 88.96% 0.31 0.1785
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4329 29.78% 25.72 -0.079 88.36% -0.035 -0.247
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 5679 54.35% 23.51 -1.542 78.18% -0.235 0.2132
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 47 34.04% 25.13 -1.112 78.72% -0.223 -0.2427
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 53 22.64% 25.89 -2.144 81.13% -0.492 -0.4768
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 499 32.67% 27.71 3.901 91.78% 1.071 1.0131
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 365 42.98% 26.29 -1.572 86.85% -0.135 -0.0674
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4998 28.35% 26.94 -0.716 88.88% -0.254 -0.3822
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 48 20.83% 25.69 2.417 79.17% 0.577 0.2293
Shifting Memory of Ages 608 39.24% 24.94 -1.355 83.55% -0.208 0.1611
Shroud of Silent Mist 1036 42.9% 24.69 0.374 84.07% 0.103 0.4182
Starlight Seeks its Form 845 22.72% 28.64 0.182 87.34% 0.03 -0.2369
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2094 27.6% 24.17 -1.698 90.4% -0.377 -0.8647
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2961 30.71% 25.4 -0.662 85.14% -0.32 -0.281
Thunderspeaker 7464 31.62% 26.45 -0.036 85.05% -0.059 -0.087
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 42 30.95% 22.1 0.065 59.52% -0.121 -0.1673
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1398 59.93% 21.9 -0.884 82.98% 0.199 0.2597
Vital Strength of the Earth 7073 31.78% 22.08 -2.126 76.09% -0.458 0.1041
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 111 31.82% 22.85 -1.257 72.97% -0.389 -0.1319
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 352 34.0% 22.15 -2.334 75.85% -0.305 0.5794
Volcano Looming High 1300 38.98% 24.97 -1.023 84.23% 0.015 0.0391

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 44.44% 23.67 1.794 77.78% 0.239 0.1772
Blitz 0 1005 39.53% 23.36 0.256 76.42% -0.717 -0.5776
Dahan Insurrection 4 1278 19.91% 46.33 7.724 80.59% -0.293 -0.4659
Despicable Theft 2 127 34.65% 31.32 -1.856 73.23% -0.915 -0.2487
Elemental Invocation 1 207 42.03% 27.5 -1.985 77.29% -0.664 0.0666
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2084 8.61% 30.74 2.895 86.18% 0.249 -0.3836
Powers Long Forgotten 1 448 53.02% 28.09 1.488 74.33% -0.097 0.3737
Rituals of Terror 3 530 43.48% 35.61 2.909 71.51% -0.454 -0.4423
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 320 70.94% 32.54 -2.663 66.25% -0.924 0.0246
Second Wave 0 1030 50.78% 25.82 1.063 74.27% -0.402 -0.3254
The Great River 3 167 44.91% 30.13 -2.042 54.49% -0.937 0.4294
Varied Terrains 2 42 35.71% 29.6 3.285 69.05% -0.012 0.5574
Ward the Shores 2 491 42.54% 30.42 0.487 71.08% -0.501 0.7344

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 58421 38.93% 24.37 0.337 82.33% 0.34 0.5738
1 Thematic 4589 41.61% 31.68 0.452 77.73% -0.221 0.4056
2 Archipelago 38 47.37% 34.47 -3.234 65.79% -0.45 -0.0612
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12185 32.8% 25.04 -0.726 87.11% 0.123 0.3003
2 Coastline 1288 33.65% 25.11 0.137 86.26% 0.399 0.4633
2 Fragment 316 38.06% 23.25 -2.951 83.54% -0.277 -0.364
2 Heart 171 36.26% 23.94 -2.588 85.38% -0.081 -0.2672
2 Opposite Shores 1831 30.37% 25.9 0.732 90.44% 0.851 1.0134
2 Thematic 1056 39.05% 33.53 -1.231 81.91% -0.555 0.0513
2 Top to Top 340 32.25% 25.42 1.342 91.18% 0.483 0.5433
3 Archipelago 18 44.44% 32.67 0.0 88.89%
3 Coastline 29 34.48% 28.03 -0.197 75.86% 0.179 -0.2411
3 Other 138 34.81% 24.24 -1.529 84.78% -0.18 -0.3761
3 Round (Default) 3744 23.78% 26.67 0.848 91.93% 0.565 0.5469
3 Sunrise 19 55.56% 27.16 2.69 89.47% 0.167 0.3959
3 Thematic 183 36.81% 34.97 -3.818 80.87% -0.18 -0.1624
4 Archipelago 8 25.0% 30.5 7.17 62.5% 0.202 0.0155
4 Coastline 11 0.0% 49.55 0.0 90.91%
4 Leaf 7 71.43% 19.29 0.0 71.43%
4 Other 70 26.87% 23.96 -2.21 84.29% -0.048 -0.9058
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 26.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 2 0.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 384 21.61% 35.63 4.069 92.19% 0.695 0.7053
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1706 23.45% 26.35 1.176 91.74% 0.622 0.4388
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 37 24.32% 27.95 -3.398 72.97% -0.42 -0.8816
5 Thematic 5 0.0% 39.8 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 4 0.0% 33.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 42.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 9 12.5% 24.56 -1.333 88.89% -0.373 -0.8367
6 Star 11 9.09% 28.55 -0.764 90.91% 0.046 0.5308
6 Thematic 37 18.92% 28.78 -3.393 75.68% -0.691 -0.2418
6 Two Centers (Default) 77 16.88% 25.82 -1.817 85.71% -0.38 -0.2743
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -11.894 0.0% -0.525 -1.205

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1990 18.92 -2.0 61.31% -0.811 -0.5384
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1732 20.11 -1.025 63.28% -0.466 -0.402
All Things Weaken 833 19.3 -3.043 60.62% -1.038 -0.5692
Attenuated Essence 10 14.9 -3.605 50.0% -0.519 -0.2592
Back Against the Wall 1573 19.49 -0.95 61.22% -0.716 -0.5341
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 8 24.88 1.77 75.0% 0.076 0.5403
Burn Brightest Before the End 8 20.25 -0.266 62.5% -0.303 0.0202
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1847 17.06 -1.983 60.91% -0.603 -0.0592
Downward Spiral 7379 17.09 -2.667 61.97% -0.594 -0.2369
Erosion of Will 1901 18.23 -2.509 58.6% -1.128 -0.6747
Intensifying Exploitation 15 19.13 -0.786 73.33% 0.234 0.6427
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 368 25.45 2.516 94.57% 0.546 0.0338
Memory Fades to Dust 7363 17.0 -2.427 59.19% -0.657 -0.1575
Power Corrodes the Spirit 833 19.29 -1.265 67.71% -0.057 0.2526
Promising Farmlands 1948 17.69 -2.732 62.06% -0.477 0.1085
Shattered Fragments of Power 11 25.18 0.926 72.73% -0.151 0.0516
Slow Dissolution of Will 19 21.79 0.231 73.68% 0.343 0.9038
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 233 26.36 5.671 97.85% 1.175 0.4535
The Border of Life and Death 3 11.33 -5.842 33.33% -0.57 -0.6785
Thriving Communities 813 18.14 -2.917 62.12% -0.897 -0.3901
Thriving Crops 6 31.5 2.258 100.0% 0.628 0.7455
Tipping Point 789 17.93 0.0 63.12%
Unnatural Proliferation 830 20.19 0.568 63.61% -0.171 0.1477
Untended Land Crumbles 821 18.4 -1.97 60.66% -1.063 -0.683

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 20092 37.35% 24.4 -0.058 83.72% -0.306 0.5646
B 20370 36.11% 24.65 -0.063 84.4% -0.402 0.4016
C 20908 34.51% 24.9 -0.221 85.06% -0.27 0.41
D 19641 34.96% 24.81 -0.65 84.81% -0.563 0.2663
E 5452 30.92% 26.15 0.897 87.6% -0.144 0.5119
F 8578 30.4% 25.69 -0.084 87.71% -0.461 0.2831
G 7952 32.16% 25.61 0.171 87.9% -0.418 0.3619
H 8143 30.28% 25.69 0.008 87.39% -0.305 0.3822
East 3807 37.36% 33.75 -0.165 81.27% -0.299 0.323
Northeast 2324 36.05% 33.89 -0.658 82.19% -0.546 0.3627
Northwest 1688 36.26% 33.2 -1.33 82.52% -0.745 -0.0725
Southeast 421 30.07% 31.6 0.32 81.95% -0.634 0.0627
Southwest 390 40.36% 25.99 -2.363 75.38% -0.467 0.7335
West 3209 40.16% 32.32 0.117 79.12% -0.548 0.4346

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1700 0.0% 21.47 -1.926 70.82% -0.725 0.1811
Not Using Events or Tokens 22092 45.36% 22.75 -1.707 77.17% -0.408 -0.092
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1262 10.8% 33.48 3.941 93.11% 0.663 0.1015
Start of Game Growth 2007 13.7% 32.23 2.359 92.13% -0.431 -0.7433
Unlimited Undo 5425 29.73% 26.49 -0.565 88.18% -0.349 -0.3753
Using Tokens but Not Events 7551 29.19% 25.85 0.736 87.43% 0.263 0.1976

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6130 21.09 36.53%
II 26790 31.04 77.13%
III 37624 34.73 89.42%
IV 16269 38.01 98.84%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.092 Win Model: 0.373
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 63281 39.17% 24.9 81.95%
2 17118 32.99% 25.63 87.2%
3 4071 24.67% 26.96 91.3%
4 2178 23.26% 28.08 91.37%
5 25 16.0% 24.4 72.0%
6 140 15.94% 27.17 84.29%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2234
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 32847
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 19519
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15931
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 759
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1124
Lose: Adversary condition 201
Win: Sacrifice victory 339
Lose: Scenario condition 568
Win: Scenario condition 1757
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10898
Lose: Spirit destroyed 636

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5979 27.06% 30.66 -1.526 88.21% -0.348 -0.4996
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3871 47.86% 29.92 0.416 84.86% 0.156 0.2651
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3026 28.41% 31.56 1.15 91.57% 0.333 0.1727
Downpour Drenches the World 350 23.34% 28.33 -1.836 82.86% -0.479 -0.2976
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 309 16.72% 29.13 2.431 83.82% 0.862 0.1463
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4067 20.13% 34.14 3.433 94.3% 1.019 0.4342
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3072 24.59% 34.95 1.877 93.13% 0.605 0.1265
Finder of Paths Unseen 221 42.08% 27.2 -4.402 73.76% -0.987 -0.2842
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1017 33.99% 31.93 -0.995 82.6% -0.467 0.2265
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1043 39.17% 32.34 1.161 86.58% 0.389 0.2924
Heart of the Wildfire 3841 64.34% 25.03 -2.145 72.66% -0.165 0.0938
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5847 35.24% 30.95 2.238 88.52% 0.549 0.0937
Lightning's Swift Strike 6230 46.81% 27.86 -1.855 79.42% -0.385 -0.1831
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 122 36.07% 33.15 1.581 92.62% 0.199 -0.5101
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 511 34.06% 33.19 -0.01 91.39% -0.169 -0.4778
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 413 36.32% 33.42 1.118 84.26% -0.474 -0.6498
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1933 36.32% 32.42 0.91 88.15% 0.177 0.0214
Many Minds Move as One 1317 23.86% 32.85 -0.526 92.18% -0.16 -0.3772
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6128 38.35% 31.35 2.081 89.61% 0.635 0.6164
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2832 31.75% 30.07 0.348 88.98% 0.279 0.1423
River Surges in Sunlight 7200 43.48% 30.67 1.144 81.15% 0.211 0.2154
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 639 42.79% 30.44 -0.2 81.85% -0.002 0.2524
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 205 41.38% 31.91 -0.355 79.51% -0.311 -0.4428
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3211 35.3% 30.27 0.147 86.95% 0.177 -0.035
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3847 62.36% 26.78 -1.968 75.25% -0.416 0.0326
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 58 50.0% 31.41 -1.01 84.48% 0.165 0.1455
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 61 49.18% 32.85 2.827 86.89% 0.834 0.8492
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 433 39.26% 32.15 2.563 88.91% 0.322 0.2641
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 264 54.2% 28.85 -4.253 79.55% -1.028 -0.9597
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4130 32.11% 31.28 -0.121 87.12% -0.023 -0.1509
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 61 26.23% 27.82 1.358 77.05% 0.327 -0.0211
Shifting Memory of Ages 824 40.75% 28.47 -2.913 82.77% -0.352 0.0171
Shroud of Silent Mist 963 47.97% 28.43 -1.412 85.67% -0.062 0.253
Starlight Seeks its Form 931 28.82% 31.77 0.619 89.26% 0.428 0.1613
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1716 29.58% 29.64 0.935 90.62% 0.371 -0.1164
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2630 32.37% 30.19 -0.48 86.73% -0.017 0.0221
Thunderspeaker 5765 35.4% 31.13 0.118 85.48% 0.211 0.1838
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 72 29.58% 24.04 -0.086 72.22% 0.121 0.0744
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1328 64.46% 26.76 -2.573 82.98% -0.424 -0.3639
Vital Strength of the Earth 4874 36.5% 26.77 -2.21 78.54% -0.302 0.2604
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 104 28.85% 27.35 -2.401 79.81% -0.368 -0.1114
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 350 36.96% 25.37 -3.837 73.71% -0.692 0.192
Volcano Looming High 1251 46.67% 27.82 -2.29 82.97% -0.257 -0.2335

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 13 23.08% 26.23 -1.096 69.23% 0.144 0.0825
Blitz 0 851 41.71% 27.48 -0.585 76.26% -0.655 -0.5153
Dahan Insurrection 4 901 29.46% 47.39 5.783 73.47% -0.477 -0.6502
Despicable Theft 2 119 41.18% 35.88 -5.76 77.31% -1.322 -0.6558
Elemental Invocation 1 174 50.87% 29.37 -0.743 77.59% -0.194 0.537
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1827 11.06% 37.67 3.697 83.36% 0.468 -0.1645
Powers Long Forgotten 1 437 57.67% 31.16 -1.883 72.08% -0.813 -0.3427
Rituals of Terror 3 401 49.37% 37.85 0.545 70.57% -0.857 -0.8454
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 292 72.26% 34.81 0.879 64.38% -0.443 0.5054
Second Wave 0 4129 41.68% 31.89 2.907 81.18% 0.312 0.3886
The Great River 3 136 49.26% 34.35 -4.398 63.24% -1.244 0.1225
Varied Terrains 2 54 62.96% 29.2 -1.137 59.26% -0.488 0.0808
Ward the Shores 2 400 48.12% 33.82 -2.498 69.0% -1.116 0.119

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 42361 42.42% 28.44 -0.233 82.24% 0.076 0.3093
1 Thematic 3703 45.8% 35.75 1.446 75.07% 0.034 0.6606
2 Archipelago 26 61.54% 37.31 0.0 80.77%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9059 36.54% 29.87 -0.569 87.84% -0.193 -0.0156
2 Coastline 1143 35.31% 30.5 0.068 88.89% 0.131 0.1947
2 Fragment 297 37.63% 29.22 -1.413 86.2% -0.361 -0.4481
2 Heart 155 45.75% 27.77 -0.693 77.42% -0.184 -0.3695
2 Opposite Shores 2041 32.67% 30.52 0.301 90.89% -0.034 0.1285
2 Thematic 986 45.21% 37.0 0.218 81.95% -0.069 0.5371
2 Top to Top 343 36.18% 29.37 0.223 85.71% 0.375 0.4359
3 Archipelago 20 50.0% 40.85 5.414 90.0% 0.053 -0.9473
3 Coastline 20 40.0% 37.8 7.013 85.0% 0.919 0.4991
3 Other 133 36.43% 29.43 3.498 87.22% 0.797 0.601
3 Round (Default) 3289 28.98% 31.6 1.467 90.79% 0.123 0.1054
3 Sunrise 21 23.81% 32.29 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 171 50.3% 34.37 -2.748 76.61% -0.462 -0.4446
4 Archipelago 10 50.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 10 30.0% 36.8 -0.158 80.0% -0.334 -0.1726
4 Leaf 12 33.33% 29.5 0.0 83.33%
4 Other 71 34.78% 31.38 9.488 88.73% 0.507 -0.3508
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 258 34.38% 40.59 -5.627 85.27% -0.885 -0.8744
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1442 27.96% 31.42 -0.424 90.64% -0.46 -0.6429
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 58.33 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 36.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 33 26.67% 35.48 -8.052 72.73% -1.277 -1.7386
6 Archipelago 6 33.33% 34.5 3.625 66.67% 0.053 -0.1968
6 Other 19 15.79% 38.68 2.332 100.0% 0.278 -0.1851
6 Star 11 27.27% 32.36 0.0 90.91%
6 Thematic 58 37.93% 47.05 3.481 89.66% 0.289 0.738
6 Two Centers (Default) 42 16.67% 34.81 -1.596 88.1% -0.446 -0.3399
7 Other 4 66.67% 33.5 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1715 23.34 -1.744 63.62% -0.467 -0.1945
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1366 24.75 -0.61 66.25% -0.384 -0.3196
All Things Weaken 836 23.86 -1.195 64.95% -0.485 -0.0157
Attenuated Essence 14 25.86 1.246 64.29% -0.127 0.1323
Back Against the Wall 1442 24.08 -0.165 63.59% -0.41 -0.228
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 19 19.11 -2.775 52.63% -0.676 -0.2122
Burn Brightest Before the End 7 28.43 2.001 71.43% 0.087 0.4107
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1760 21.14 -3.27 60.45% -0.803 -0.2591
Downward Spiral 5273 22.52 -1.345 67.86% -0.103 0.2545
Erosion of Will 1772 22.83 -1.605 60.95% -0.563 -0.1094
Intensifying Exploitation 19 21.26 -1.943 63.16% -0.314 0.0945
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 369 30.18 0.071 96.21% 0.189 -0.323
Memory Fades to Dust 5360 21.97 -1.193 62.95% -0.062 0.438
Power Corrodes the Spirit 799 23.91 -1.588 70.34% -0.464 -0.1545
Promising Farmlands 1721 21.93 -2.048 63.16% -0.452 0.1338
Shattered Fragments of Power 15 25.13 -0.502 66.67% -0.344 -0.1411
Slow Dissolution of Will 21 27.57 1.124 80.95% 0.49 1.0514
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 272 29.83 -0.373 96.32% 0.294 -0.4276
The Border of Life and Death 5 33.4 4.941 100.0% 0.904 0.7953
Thriving Communities 761 22.98 -0.98 66.62% -0.04 0.4678
Thriving Crops 10 25.0 0.803 100.0% 1.315 1.4319
Tipping Point 669 20.79 0.0 57.55%
Unnatural Proliferation 893 24.71 -0.391 68.53% -0.008 0.3101
Untended Land Crumbles 846 22.85 -1.727 65.72% -0.635 -0.2552

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 15094 40.54% 28.86 -0.551 83.68% -0.404 0.4666
B 15407 38.14% 29.32 -0.014 85.23% -0.288 0.5154
C 15905 38.44% 29.61 0.12 85.9% -0.294 0.3861
D 14755 38.9% 29.35 0.036 85.33% -0.218 0.6116
E 4937 35.28% 30.52 0.237 87.08% -0.379 0.2769
F 6994 34.44% 30.21 0.349 86.9% -0.203 0.5411
G 6312 34.67% 30.23 0.51 87.79% -0.115 0.6648
H 6644 33.9% 30.29 -0.027 87.27% -0.242 0.4453
East 3279 42.47% 38.36 0.306 78.84% -0.627 -0.005
Northeast 1957 41.44% 39.62 1.347 79.46% -0.216 0.6929
Northwest 1404 43.88% 36.63 -0.301 80.41% -0.601 0.0722
Southeast 421 42.76% 36.2 -2.146 80.52% -0.862 -0.166
Southwest 428 47.43% 32.96 -1.495 75.7% -0.467 0.7337
West 2692 48.77% 35.08 -0.156 76.52% -0.527 0.4563

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1344 0.0% 25.49 -1.519 76.12% -0.409 0.4979
Not Using Events or Tokens 13459 45.98% 27.96 -1.735 79.73% -0.37 -0.0535
Skip Initial Invader Actions 795 13.37% 40.08 5.053 92.58% 0.71 0.1487
Start of Game Growth 1394 16.22% 38.54 3.206 92.83% 0.308 -0.0036
Unlimited Undo 4945 34.08% 30.85 -0.799 87.83% -0.514 -0.5396
Using Tokens but Not Events 6776 32.62% 29.69 -0.218 87.43% 0.146 0.0806

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3759 21.09 20.88%
II 16189 31.04 71.58%
III 30276 34.73 90.1%
IV 15539 38.01 98.89%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.197 Win Model: 0.48
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 46261 42.76% 29.04 81.61%
2 13961 36.49% 30.49 87.89%
3 3597 29.85% 31.71 90.58%
4 1787 29.15% 32.82 89.54%
5 18 31.25% 34.06 77.78%
6 139 28.26% 40.39 88.49%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 783
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 26580
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10933
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15191
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 780
Lose: Invader deck ran out 627
Lose: Adversary condition 138
Win: Sacrifice victory 296
Lose: Scenario condition 526
Win: Scenario condition 1234
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8173
Lose: Spirit destroyed 502

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 7221 31.66% 39.83 -0.043 88.89% 0.07 -0.0818
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4729 56.57% 37.39 -0.596 81.18% -0.061 0.048
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3807 36.4% 39.28 2.273 89.15% 0.714 0.5542
Downpour Drenches the World 535 30.55% 37.85 -1.738 82.62% -0.278 -0.0964
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 492 27.31% 38.64 3.06 80.49% 0.764 0.0476
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5574 25.17% 43.42 1.914 93.49% 0.513 -0.0716
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3796 31.46% 42.36 2.965 91.99% 0.582 0.1035
Finder of Paths Unseen 315 52.26% 38.0 -1.038 75.24% -0.393 0.3101
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1050 37.52% 41.66 2.231 83.52% 0.11 0.8038
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1286 43.26% 39.18 -0.934 83.9% -0.26 -0.3566
Heart of the Wildfire 5289 64.01% 34.16 -0.484 74.59% -0.244 0.014
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8565 39.29% 39.55 1.131 86.99% 0.23 -0.2253
Lightning's Swift Strike 6859 49.31% 37.05 -0.936 80.81% -0.209 -0.0066
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 209 47.83% 40.66 1.585 88.52% 0.525 -0.1837
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 725 37.48% 41.47 0.099 86.76% 0.047 -0.2624
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 601 38.56% 45.2 1.328 87.85% 0.096 -0.0796
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2939 39.9% 40.64 1.399 87.0% 0.259 0.1036
Many Minds Move as One 1709 25.88% 42.3 1.707 93.97% 0.416 0.1986
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7654 47.88% 38.89 1.796 85.2% 0.362 0.3436
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3804 36.89% 39.11 0.036 88.85% 0.116 -0.0206
River Surges in Sunlight 8763 48.78% 39.42 -0.083 82.27% -0.133 -0.1285
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 977 42.42% 42.08 1.338 81.88% 0.121 0.3748
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 286 45.23% 40.38 -0.842 78.32% -0.441 -0.5727
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4604 42.44% 38.48 -0.048 85.34% -0.017 -0.2293
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3852 63.38% 35.1 -2.957 74.3% -0.596 -0.1479
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 83 42.17% 37.75 -1.695 74.7% -0.729 -0.748
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 86 54.12% 38.9 -1.778 81.4% -0.453 -0.4374
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 446 51.57% 39.49 0.049 86.77% 0.172 0.1142
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 398 57.68% 38.35 1.878 79.4% 0.298 0.366
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5654 36.14% 40.19 1.3 87.35% 0.296 0.1685
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 104 22.12% 38.82 1.97 79.81% 0.235 -0.1129
Shifting Memory of Ages 1023 51.47% 37.4 -1.637 82.4% -0.123 0.246
Shroud of Silent Mist 1237 64.45% 34.08 -3.587 75.75% -0.451 -0.1355
Starlight Seeks its Form 1340 39.19% 39.15 -0.462 84.4% -0.025 -0.2913
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2705 36.17% 37.83 1.138 88.95% 0.566 0.0787
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3054 37.3% 39.38 0.766 85.99% 0.216 0.2549
Thunderspeaker 7189 39.94% 40.42 0.623 86.55% 0.166 0.1382
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 69 30.43% 39.62 2.617 81.16% 0.517 0.4708
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1961 74.76% 32.8 -3.151 74.81% -0.383 -0.323
Vital Strength of the Earth 5337 39.09% 35.28 -5.854 79.05% -0.988 -0.4261
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 178 44.38% 39.97 0.578 84.27% 0.319 0.5757
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 627 24.08% 34.36 -5.427 80.86% -0.995 -0.1111
Volcano Looming High 1945 47.2% 36.52 -1.408 82.93% -0.28 -0.2565

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 11.11% 39.78 0.893 88.89% 0.029 -0.0322
Blitz 0 935 48.42% 34.85 -4.761 75.51% -0.891 -0.7521
Dahan Insurrection 4 1147 25.31% 61.06 10.442 81.69% 0.181 0.0082
Despicable Theft 2 68 55.88% 42.31 -4.471 72.06% -0.66 0.0061
Elemental Invocation 1 172 56.4% 36.02 -8.508 72.09% -1.438 -0.7071
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2664 10.54% 45.43 5.398 86.64% 0.5 -0.133
Powers Long Forgotten 1 361 57.22% 40.18 -8.326 74.79% -1.384 -0.9137
Rituals of Terror 3 305 59.02% 45.51 3.481 68.52% -0.067 -0.0553
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 167 67.07% 45.84 -5.165 74.85% -0.296 0.6522
Second Wave 0 3592 47.88% 38.57 1.737 76.06% -0.007 0.0701
The Great River 3 130 53.85% 39.68 -3.598 54.62% -0.85 0.5169
Varied Terrains 2 41 56.1% 45.17 4.703 80.49% 0.24 0.8092
Ward the Shores 2 367 47.4% 43.92 -3.411 74.93% -1.192 0.0426

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 50706 46.86% 36.71 0.139 81.54% 0.53 0.7637
1 Thematic 3333 49.55% 42.32 -2.575 75.67% -0.53 0.0967
2 Archipelago 26 42.31% 42.12 -18.306 65.38% -0.996 -0.607
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11623 43.84% 37.98 -0.444 86.53% 0.216 0.3935
2 Coastline 1386 40.78% 38.81 -0.724 86.15% 0.148 0.2123
2 Fragment 346 46.63% 36.99 3.536 84.39% 0.845 0.7583
2 Heart 151 47.97% 38.54 4.853 86.09% 0.605 0.4193
2 Opposite Shores 2655 39.75% 38.82 0.571 88.25% 0.263 0.4251
2 Thematic 1319 45.4% 44.33 -1.591 79.3% -0.426 0.1805
2 Top to Top 446 36.94% 40.04 2.176 89.69% 0.757 0.8173
3 Archipelago 20 40.0% 64.0 9.388 90.0% 0.287 -0.7133
3 Coastline 24 41.67% 42.08 3.849 87.5% 0.44 0.0195
3 Other 272 42.28% 40.99 4.992 93.75% 0.316 0.1202
3 Round (Default) 4486 36.77% 39.57 0.529 89.17% 0.228 0.2105
3 Sunrise 30 40.0% 42.47 0.0 96.67%
3 Thematic 260 49.03% 45.48 1.907 79.23% 0.237 0.2548
4 Archipelago 11 45.45% 47.36 0.0 90.91%
4 Coastline 7 42.86% 37.43 0.0 71.43%
4 Leaf 18 33.33% 44.39 4.123 94.44% 0.185 -0.1785
4 Other 106 52.83% 42.99 4.155 87.74% 0.509 -0.3495
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 43.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Snake 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 512 40.08% 49.96 2.87 86.52% -0.232 -0.2211
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2208 30.27% 41.61 -0.093 91.39% -0.066 -0.2492
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 53.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Coastline 1 100.0% 40.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 83 39.02% 52.19 -3.306 89.16% -1.04 -1.5016
5 Thematic 14 42.86% 63.07 22.506 92.86% 0.586 0.1835
6 Other 20 20.0% 55.8 5.985 95.0% 0.615 0.1517
6 Star 15 53.33% 42.4 6.055 100.0% 0.373 0.8582
6 Thematic 184 43.82% 55.67 1.595 73.91% -0.627 -0.1776
6 Two Centers (Default) 163 16.56% 44.21 -5.268 87.73% -1.705 -1.5995
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -14.117 0.0% -0.325 -1.0051

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2596 30.63 -0.335 64.14% -0.461 -0.1883
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2149 32.26 0.492 65.8% -0.356 -0.2924
All Things Weaken 1353 29.95 -3.69 62.23% -1.062 -0.5924
Attenuated Essence 30 29.53 -2.473 53.33% -0.737 -0.4771
Back Against the Wall 2023 31.25 -1.361 63.07% -0.726 -0.5442
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 31 24.55 -4.954 48.39% -1.02 -0.5564
Burn Brightest Before the End 33 32.7 -0.879 63.64% -0.512 -0.1879
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2431 28.42 -1.403 62.98% -0.438 0.1064
Downward Spiral 6414 30.6 -2.057 69.68% -0.257 0.1005
Erosion of Will 2687 30.56 -0.335 63.45% -0.303 0.1511
Intensifying Exploitation 44 29.66 -2.242 59.09% -0.639 -0.2305
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 571 40.24 1.609 97.72% 0.717 0.2052
Memory Fades to Dust 6561 30.13 -2.204 66.13% -0.516 -0.0162
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1242 31.08 -1.008 68.68% -0.305 0.0051
Promising Farmlands 2577 30.19 -2.367 67.05% -0.531 0.0551
Shattered Fragments of Power 23 32.7 0.591 69.57% -0.051 0.1522
Slow Dissolution of Will 22 28.05 -2.159 50.0% -0.685 -0.1238
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 348 40.18 4.574 96.26% 0.739 0.0165
The Border of Life and Death 12 36.33 1.924 91.67% 0.814 0.7055
Thriving Communities 1205 30.11 -2.519 66.39% -0.571 -0.0635
Thriving Crops 11 27.45 -3.211 63.64% -0.328 -0.211
Tipping Point 971 29.87 0.0 64.78%
Unnatural Proliferation 1290 31.33 -1.078 64.96% -0.407 -0.0888
Untended Land Crumbles 1249 30.7 -2.28 67.09% -0.457 -0.0772

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 18989 44.51% 37.54 -0.447 83.56% -0.462 0.4082
B 19629 43.32% 37.92 0.356 84.8% -0.265 0.538
C 20294 43.8% 38.05 0.027 84.9% -0.346 0.334
D 18334 43.87% 37.83 -0.834 84.77% -0.48 0.3498
E 6515 40.63% 39.17 0.033 86.68% -0.398 0.2574
F 9220 40.04% 38.78 0.338 86.26% -0.37 0.3738
G 8342 40.97% 38.71 0.497 86.37% -0.308 0.4721
H 8503 39.32% 38.99 -0.264 86.57% -0.485 0.2022
East 3751 45.58% 45.59 1.785 78.49% -0.144 0.4782
Northeast 2284 43.9% 46.94 1.741 80.74% -0.486 0.4229
Northwest 1847 45.01% 46.76 1.796 81.21% -0.304 0.3693
Southeast 618 44.12% 46.49 0.729 76.38% -0.866 -0.17
Southwest 584 46.89% 44.31 0.388 74.32% -0.129 1.0711
West 3288 47.28% 44.92 1.19 78.41% -0.499 0.4834

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 698 0.0% 35.76 -5.253 75.36% -1.073 -0.1663
Not Using Events or Tokens 12636 50.46% 36.14 -2.306 80.05% -0.324 -0.0077
Skip Initial Invader Actions 840 12.97% 49.15 2.217 94.17% 0.704 0.1428
Start of Game Growth 1674 15.98% 47.36 2.403 93.37% -0.127 -0.4387
Unlimited Undo 6885 38.05% 39.5 1.107 88.15% 0.234 0.2075
Using Tokens but Not Events 8003 36.05% 38.64 -0.26 86.46% 0.08 0.0145

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4984 21.09 25.32%
II 20712 31.04 68.11%
III 35640 34.73 91.25%
IV 19127 38.01 99.34%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.327 Win Model: 0.65
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 54253 47.07% 37.06 81.15%
2 17897 42.95% 38.68 86.22%
3 5019 37.38% 40.15 89.32%
4 2865 32.56% 43.45 90.79%
5 61 36.67% 53.8 80.33%
6 368 32.87% 48.81 81.79%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1259
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 31826
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 13186
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 18832
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 729
Lose: Invader deck ran out 692
Lose: Adversary condition 189
Win: Sacrifice victory 320
Lose: Scenario condition 561
Win: Scenario condition 1466
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10854
Lose: Spirit destroyed 549

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6568 36.29% 45.38 -0.394 84.65% 0.006 -0.146
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4349 67.14% 41.55 -2.228 75.67% -0.221 -0.112
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3439 42.27% 45.46 1.978 87.9% 0.664 0.5036
Downpour Drenches the World 519 38.68% 40.91 -1.054 76.3% -0.119 0.0623
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 531 32.77% 41.07 3.344 78.15% 0.88 0.164
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5634 28.6% 50.18 4.046 93.52% 0.923 0.3386
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3663 34.85% 48.63 4.249 90.8% 0.59 0.1116
Finder of Paths Unseen 212 48.58% 38.6 -2.969 68.87% -0.612 0.0902
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1048 44.16% 45.68 -4.059 75.86% -0.532 0.1619
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1409 46.49% 45.18 0.473 82.75% 0.162 0.0646
Heart of the Wildfire 5506 70.53% 37.18 -3.7 66.2% -0.417 -0.1583
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9963 45.6% 44.92 -0.006 84.57% 0.065 -0.3902
Lightning's Swift Strike 5909 57.73% 41.19 -0.469 74.55% 0.007 0.2097
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 259 49.8% 48.3 3.224 83.78% 0.685 -0.0239
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 729 45.88% 47.34 1.602 88.07% 0.356 0.047
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 584 46.83% 44.95 -0.567 79.97% 0.032 -0.1436
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3155 46.92% 45.29 -0.13 83.04% -0.019 -0.175
Many Minds Move as One 1799 31.74% 48.45 0.486 92.27% 0.119 -0.0982
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7923 51.07% 44.4 -0.701 82.59% 0.021 0.0023
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4154 41.18% 44.62 0.78 86.3% 0.472 0.336
River Surges in Sunlight 9011 52.76% 44.94 0.425 77.59% -0.026 -0.0217
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 810 46.35% 45.28 -2.049 75.31% -0.455 -0.2005
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 324 49.84% 44.1 -1.159 73.46% -0.318 -0.45
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4315 45.45% 44.23 0.503 83.01% 0.308 0.0962
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3279 71.33% 38.82 -4.245 67.12% -0.747 -0.2983
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 101 42.0% 39.23 -6.479 68.32% -0.708 -0.7276
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 100 57.0% 43.2 0.382 79.0% 0.049 0.0641
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 520 48.27% 45.27 -5.105 82.31% -0.626 -0.684
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 339 63.72% 41.94 1.195 74.93% -0.098 -0.0301
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5842 40.48% 45.84 -0.016 84.23% 0.051 -0.0766
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 92 32.61% 38.85 1.79 72.83% 0.418 0.0703
Shifting Memory of Ages 974 57.63% 41.62 -3.559 79.57% -0.417 -0.0484
Shroud of Silent Mist 981 69.96% 38.52 -5.347 70.64% -0.729 -0.4135
Starlight Seeks its Form 1547 38.27% 44.26 -0.285 84.42% 0.039 -0.2274
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2894 41.46% 42.89 0.576 85.25% 0.413 -0.0747
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3309 39.63% 45.67 0.971 85.28% 0.167 0.2059
Thunderspeaker 6283 45.85% 45.76 0.057 82.64% 0.115 0.0877
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 83 45.78% 33.14 -0.997 65.06% 0.136 0.0892
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2069 81.18% 38.05 -1.199 73.13% 0.071 0.131
Vital Strength of the Earth 4825 47.53% 40.31 -2.805 72.1% -0.456 0.1061
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 180 38.2% 39.5 -3.496 74.44% -0.334 -0.0767
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 350 50.29% 37.35 0.563 62.86% 0.091 0.9755
Volcano Looming High 1756 55.85% 40.6 -0.378 76.82% 0.126 0.1495

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 50.0% 47.33 -8.01 83.33% -0.088 -0.1492
Blitz 0 871 52.93% 39.67 -1.417 72.33% -0.215 -0.0755
Dahan Insurrection 4 1078 29.18% 67.0 7.128 81.26% 0.003 -0.1702
Despicable Theft 2 77 62.34% 42.48 2.333 53.25% -0.635 0.0318
Elemental Invocation 1 102 70.59% 40.0 -0.565 63.73% -0.477 0.2541
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2956 10.99% 52.31 6.764 88.87% 0.574 -0.0586
Powers Long Forgotten 1 205 66.83% 42.7 -10.034 64.39% -1.091 -0.6203
Rituals of Terror 3 134 64.93% 46.76 -10.744 58.21% -1.095 -1.0832
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 104 79.81% 47.14 -6.263 58.65% -0.594 0.3547
Second Wave 0 2605 53.02% 43.5 2.195 71.32% -0.024 0.0524
The Great River 3 70 68.57% 44.89 5.516 50.0% -0.157 1.2102
Varied Terrains 2 10 80.0% 47.2 11.411 70.0% 0.396 0.9647
Ward the Shores 2 158 60.76% 48.58 -4.463 68.99% -1.14 0.0948

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 55487 53.51% 41.83 -0.654 76.98% -0.149 0.0847
1 Thematic 2514 51.06% 49.15 2.253 72.43% -0.583 0.0434
2 Archipelago 17 58.82% 54.88 0.0 76.47%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11341 46.74% 44.32 0.129 84.43% 0.023 0.2009
2 Coastline 1469 42.19% 45.05 0.764 85.84% 0.026 0.0901
2 Fragment 250 58.13% 40.18 3.009 74.0% 0.646 0.559
2 Heart 130 56.15% 43.38 0.534 81.54% -0.355 -0.5414
2 Opposite Shores 2452 46.71% 44.75 0.227 83.61% 0.074 0.2362
2 Thematic 966 56.37% 48.4 5.288 72.67% 0.542 1.1488
2 Top to Top 402 48.63% 44.01 2.526 83.58% 0.529 0.5891
3 Archipelago 10 70.0% 66.8 16.456 100.0% 0.157 -0.8439
3 Coastline 49 36.73% 45.29 -18.164 75.51% -0.726 -1.1463
3 Other 250 36.69% 45.74 -7.165 89.2% -0.799 -0.9948
3 Round (Default) 3941 39.97% 46.01 0.937 86.73% 0.325 0.3072
3 Sunrise 20 35.0% 46.9 0.0 90.0%
3 Thematic 166 56.63% 51.86 -4.742 81.33% -0.549 -0.5318
4 Archipelago 12 33.33% 53.67 0.0 75.0%
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 44.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 11 63.64% 42.73 0.0 72.73%
4 Other 87 47.13% 46.33 0.946 89.66% 0.063 -0.7949
4 Snake 4 25.0% 50.25 10.674 100.0% 0.301 0.2944
4 Thematic 332 40.48% 56.1 10.082 87.35% 1.409 1.4192
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2229 35.26% 47.96 0.09 89.86% 0.12 -0.0629
5 Archipelago 5 60.0% 62.2 0.0 80.0%
5 Other 53 54.0% 46.45 -4.087 81.13% -0.494 -0.9548
5 Thematic 8 50.0% 68.0 -8.01 87.5% -0.088 -0.4905
6 Archipelago 5 40.0% 42.4 1.32 60.0% 0.336 0.0862
6 Other 7 28.57% 44.86 5.691 85.71% 0.358 -0.1055
6 Star 22 31.82% 39.27 -5.329 68.18% -0.849 -0.364
6 Thematic 66 12.12% 51.36 -7.329 56.06% -1.117 -0.6676
6 Two Centers (Default) 108 28.7% 47.24 -1.055 89.81% 0.21 0.3157

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3146 35.64 -2.196 60.78% -0.664 -0.3914
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2437 38.05 -1.117 65.45% -0.616 -0.5523
All Things Weaken 1611 34.72 -1.21 59.03% -0.485 -0.016
Attenuated Essence 35 34.26 -0.56 62.86% -0.03 0.2292
Back Against the Wall 2382 36.64 -0.768 61.13% -0.505 -0.3228
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 40 26.43 -3.993 40.0% -0.999 -0.5348
Burn Brightest Before the End 25 35.68 0.045 60.0% -0.372 -0.0484
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2948 33.07 -3.466 58.92% -0.61 -0.0656
Downward Spiral 6982 35.96 -1.34 65.61% -0.177 0.1804
Erosion of Will 3058 34.92 -1.456 58.73% -0.505 -0.0511
Intensifying Exploitation 38 30.29 -2.871 50.0% -0.775 -0.3663
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 655 45.8 4.103 93.13% 1.145 0.6327
Memory Fades to Dust 7108 34.76 -1.588 61.02% -0.356 0.1439
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1586 35.13 -1.06 62.3% -0.417 -0.1073
Promising Farmlands 3059 35.03 -1.264 62.57% -0.298 0.2882
Shattered Fragments of Power 32 33.28 -0.835 56.25% -0.472 -0.2695
Slow Dissolution of Will 40 39.67 1.928 65.0% -0.089 0.4723
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 432 46.78 3.787 94.91% 0.975 0.2529
The Border of Life and Death 16 38.0 1.297 75.0% 0.325 0.2165
Thriving Communities 1562 34.76 -3.69 62.61% -0.844 -0.3363
Thriving Crops 17 42.47 2.703 88.24% 0.691 0.8084
Tipping Point 1157 34.37 0.0 59.64%
Unnatural Proliferation 1689 37.35 -1.589 65.72% -0.503 -0.1846
Untended Land Crumbles 1555 34.94 -2.567 62.32% -0.486 -0.1065

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 18763 50.5% 42.85 -0.442 79.24% -0.226 0.6446
B 19730 48.46% 43.49 -0.475 80.97% -0.238 0.5651
C 20595 48.84% 43.62 -0.844 81.36% -0.357 0.3235
D 17645 49.86% 43.1 -0.37 80.15% -0.221 0.6087
E 6917 46.96% 44.04 0.585 82.74% -0.048 0.6075
F 9596 45.75% 44.23 0.228 82.88% -0.187 0.5573
G 8805 46.55% 44.04 0.724 82.94% -0.077 0.7031
H 9147 44.16% 44.96 1.475 84.64% 0.097 0.7846
East 2657 49.96% 50.68 -1.714 74.9% -0.688 -0.0656
Northeast 1564 48.36% 51.99 4.326 77.37% 0.315 1.2238
Northwest 1177 47.96% 50.9 -1.478 76.89% -0.653 0.0201
Southeast 434 45.62% 49.16 0.064 72.12% 0.27 0.9667
Southwest 390 46.67% 45.32 -5.796 70.77% -1.162 0.0379
West 2275 51.92% 50.07 -2.133 73.71% -0.434 0.5488

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 529 0.0% 40.23 3.84 66.92% 0.425 1.3309
Not Using Events or Tokens 10286 58.53% 40.67 -1.162 72.95% -0.106 0.2097
Skip Initial Invader Actions 813 9.7% 57.36 -0.957 93.73% -0.309 -0.8702
Start of Game Growth 1709 14.68% 55.29 4.154 92.86% 0.265 -0.0465
Unlimited Undo 6988 41.3% 45.79 2.182 85.82% 0.333 0.3065
Using Tokens but Not Events 8287 42.47% 44.46 1.452 83.87% 0.405 0.3391

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6137 21.09 17.0%
II 27877 31.04 68.58%
III 32871 34.73 90.03%
IV 15559 38.01 99.46%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.021 Win Model: 0.13
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 58170 53.41% 42.16 76.8%
2 17000 47.16% 44.61 83.59%
3 4367 40.15% 46.19 86.58%
4 2672 36.22% 49.01 89.48%
5 32 65.52% 39.13 59.38%
6 203 23.15% 48.4 77.83%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1043
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 29103
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18224
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15370
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 805
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1524
Lose: Adversary condition 184
Win: Sacrifice victory 313
Lose: Scenario condition 431
Win: Scenario condition 1179
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13600
Lose: Spirit destroyed 668

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4902 35.36% 47.79 -0.885 82.19% 0.282 0.1299
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3474 68.34% 43.69 -2.254 74.55% -0.051 0.0587
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3003 44.15% 47.32 -0.354 85.28% 0.239 0.0788
Downpour Drenches the World 420 37.17% 46.45 -0.639 80.71% -0.108 0.0737
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 502 32.87% 46.46 2.964 80.88% 0.729 0.0128
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4848 27.86% 53.23 3.009 93.46% 0.876 0.2912
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3263 34.8% 50.03 3.374 88.78% 0.918 0.4392
Finder of Paths Unseen 195 49.23% 41.74 -3.492 70.26% -0.385 0.3182
Fractured Days Split the Sky 964 38.8% 50.63 -6.673 79.36% -1.332 -0.6381
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1278 48.16% 46.42 -0.246 77.0% -0.025 -0.122
Heart of the Wildfire 4692 67.92% 40.87 -4.311 68.84% -0.514 -0.2553
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8814 43.07% 48.49 0.063 85.75% 0.191 -0.2644
Lightning's Swift Strike 5055 51.57% 44.96 -3.475 76.72% -0.346 -0.1442
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 232 56.71% 48.2 1.365 80.6% 0.651 -0.0581
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 736 38.91% 50.69 2.448 89.27% 0.525 0.2162
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 491 40.33% 51.96 2.245 88.8% 0.317 0.1411
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2870 44.46% 48.64 1.643 84.7% 0.518 0.363
Many Minds Move as One 1533 31.79% 51.39 -3.106 93.09% -0.328 -0.5458
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6222 50.61% 46.56 -2.902 80.2% -0.285 -0.3037
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3119 43.36% 46.78 1.641 83.36% 0.583 0.447
River Surges in Sunlight 6560 52.37% 47.83 -3.463 76.37% -0.634 -0.6299
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 555 42.86% 48.95 1.029 78.38% -0.072 0.1823
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 319 48.58% 52.97 4.957 86.21% 0.862 0.7305
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3481 45.17% 46.4 -2.934 81.27% -0.204 -0.4156
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2080 68.76% 41.53 -5.122 65.82% -0.742 -0.2934
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 62 64.52% 44.45 -0.235 69.35% -0.164 -0.1839
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 88 39.77% 49.49 0.358 87.5% -0.147 -0.1317
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 391 63.43% 43.37 -4.49 72.38% -0.541 -0.5989
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 238 71.01% 43.18 -2.65 71.01% -0.061 0.0073
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7417 29.54% 51.09 4.784 88.63% 1.165 1.0369
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 69 30.43% 46.3 2.239 78.26% 0.64 0.2926
Shifting Memory of Ages 844 55.69% 44.66 -3.505 78.67% -0.405 -0.036
Shroud of Silent Mist 686 76.64% 40.32 -2.511 69.24% -0.072 0.2435
Starlight Seeks its Form 1587 38.31% 47.54 -1.691 84.69% -0.17 -0.4368
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2792 36.94% 46.04 -0.278 86.78% 0.252 -0.2357
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2737 42.77% 47.8 0.31 82.06% 0.038 0.0771
Thunderspeaker 4677 46.91% 47.76 0.2 81.21% 0.133 0.1056
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 63 53.97% 39.73 -1.219 69.84% 0.015 -0.0314
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1994 80.84% 41.57 0.078 75.23% 0.279 0.3396
Vital Strength of the Earth 3083 52.33% 39.43 -5.698 58.42% -0.948 -0.3857
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 144 47.22% 43.05 -2.117 69.44% -0.469 -0.2118
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 203 47.78% 39.5 -9.568 59.61% -1.385 -0.5009
Volcano Looming High 1726 52.38% 45.33 -1.311 81.11% 0.071 0.0946

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 33.33% 53.67 6.831 100.0% 0.559 0.4973
Blitz 0 535 46.18% 44.16 2.065 74.39% 0.374 0.5134
Dahan Insurrection 4 689 28.59% 69.99 4.879 78.96% 0.135 -0.0382
Despicable Theft 2 29 62.07% 41.55 -7.299 48.28% -0.7 -0.0335
Elemental Invocation 1 53 60.38% 45.36 -5.759 69.81% -0.532 0.1982
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2313 12.81% 54.37 5.343 88.98% 0.672 0.0395
Powers Long Forgotten 1 130 70.0% 45.13 -18.799 63.08% -0.859 -0.3885
Rituals of Terror 3 138 58.7% 53.86 0.0 60.87%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 83 79.52% 48.36 3.532 53.01% -0.404 0.5443
Second Wave 0 1688 52.32% 45.76 -2.604 69.91% -0.855 -0.7777
The Great River 3 49 69.39% 41.71 -14.932 42.86% -2.074 -0.7073
Varied Terrains 2 15 80.0% 43.27 0.616 60.0% -0.447 0.122
Ward the Shores 2 107 61.68% 50.81 2.226 67.29% 0.275 1.5102

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 52815 48.66% 45.69 -0.485 78.75% -0.415 -0.1812
1 Thematic 1951 54.62% 51.7 2.437 70.43% -0.118 0.5085
2 Archipelago 12 83.33% 50.42 0.0 66.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8410 48.28% 46.9 0.378 82.77% -0.115 0.0626
2 Coastline 1263 40.29% 48.29 0.902 86.06% -0.181 -0.1171
2 Fragment 159 51.9% 45.78 -5.257 79.87% -0.755 -0.8423
2 Heart 75 44.59% 48.65 9.471 88.0% 0.715 0.5295
2 Opposite Shores 1590 46.0% 46.79 -0.221 81.57% -0.467 -0.3043
2 Thematic 579 54.77% 50.65 4.06 71.16% 0.141 0.7473
2 Top to Top 365 43.53% 48.6 5.73 85.48% 0.84 0.9001
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 42.67 -17.632 50.0% -0.55 -1.5504
3 Coastline 48 25.0% 57.65 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 117 52.59% 46.69 3.168 82.05% 0.26 0.0646
3 Round (Default) 3170 37.11% 49.17 -0.0 87.7% -0.171 -0.1887
3 Sunrise 13 15.38% 46.85 -17.126 84.62% -0.49 -0.2609
3 Thematic 97 62.89% 50.66 0.513 72.16% -0.087 -0.0691
4 Archipelago 7 57.14% 48.14 4.327 71.43% 0.021 -0.1659
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 9 66.67% 47.22 0.0 88.89%
4 Other 61 36.67% 50.02 11.857 83.61% 0.427 -0.4315
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 441 36.59% 55.31 -4.754 80.05% -0.855 -0.8444
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1466 38.05% 49.53 -2.424 87.24% -0.479 -0.6628
5 Archipelago 4 100.0% 70.5 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 36 38.24% 46.44 -2.301 72.22% -0.111 -0.5725
5 Thematic 4 25.0% 57.75 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 12 50.0% 39.75 -0.187 66.67% 0.021 -0.4418
6 Star 7 71.43% 62.29 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 26 11.54% 68.92 9.756 84.62% 0.299 0.7484
6 Two Centers (Default) 23 34.78% 45.65 0.734 73.91% 0.209 0.3146

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2682 38.81 -1.737 62.16% -0.69 -0.4169
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2016 41.23 -0.388 66.07% -0.404 -0.3396
All Things Weaken 1364 38.28 -3.802 61.51% -1.111 -0.6414
Attenuated Essence 33 38.24 -1.818 66.67% -0.38 -0.1207
Back Against the Wall 1872 39.59 -1.39 62.23% -0.479 -0.2965
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 31 38.94 -1.412 64.52% -0.539 -0.0756
Burn Brightest Before the End 24 34.75 -3.728 54.17% -1.087 -0.763
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2483 35.85 -4.096 58.32% -1.052 -0.5075
Downward Spiral 5664 38.09 -3.917 63.1% -1.029 -0.6719
Erosion of Will 2564 37.35 -2.454 58.11% -0.79 -0.3359
Intensifying Exploitation 29 31.03 -5.324 44.83% -1.165 -0.7561
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 555 49.03 -0.071 91.89% 0.063 -0.4486
Memory Fades to Dust 5733 37.05 -5.249 58.57% -1.277 -0.7775
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1392 40.12 -2.384 68.18% -0.658 -0.3479
Promising Farmlands 2659 37.21 -3.511 60.4% -0.826 -0.2402
Shattered Fragments of Power 32 37.66 -2.764 59.38% -0.94 -0.7374
Slow Dissolution of Will 38 27.82 -7.515 36.84% -1.809 -1.2477
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 401 48.98 1.261 93.02% 0.043 -0.6794
The Border of Life and Death 9 35.67 -2.762 66.67% -0.294 -0.402
Thriving Communities 1268 37.1 -4.032 60.33% -0.919 -0.4115
Thriving Crops 20 34.75 -3.858 65.0% -0.578 -0.4605
Tipping Point 957 35.54 0.0 54.13%
Unnatural Proliferation 1455 39.71 -1.051 64.6% -0.502 -0.1841
Untended Land Crumbles 1312 38.64 -2.134 64.79% -0.578 -0.1985

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 15113 48.46% 45.7 -0.499 78.44% -0.198 0.6728
B 16596 46.0% 46.74 -0.69 81.28% -0.251 0.5524
C 16867 48.23% 46.37 -0.036 80.39% -0.069 0.6109
D 14461 47.63% 46.16 0.036 79.76% -0.008 0.8212
E 6536 43.38% 48.21 0.583 85.36% 0.025 0.6803
F 8466 44.36% 47.23 0.197 83.27% 0.013 0.7569
G 7671 44.64% 47.21 -0.281 83.48% -0.144 0.6367
H 7768 42.94% 47.78 0.319 84.32% -0.059 0.6283
East 1968 50.79% 51.78 -0.691 71.49% 0.097 0.7187
Northeast 1187 49.16% 52.51 -0.929 72.54% -0.549 0.3607
Northwest 960 47.65% 53.42 2.062 77.92% 1.122 1.7944
Southeast 291 48.45% 51.2 2.479 74.91% 0.228 0.9247
Southwest 277 53.07% 44.86 -3.841 64.98% -0.94 0.2607
West 1854 49.78% 53.7 -3.545 74.11% -1.025 -0.0424

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 429 0.0% 46.16 -1.326 74.13% -0.685 0.2212
Not Using Events or Tokens 8736 53.39% 44.39 -2.626 73.78% -0.269 0.0472
Skip Initial Invader Actions 583 14.02% 59.55 4.661 93.83% 0.415 -0.1458
Start of Game Growth 1129 18.18% 56.96 3.353 91.59% 0.133 -0.1791
Unlimited Undo 7131 43.84% 47.96 0.547 84.41% 0.21 0.1838
Using Tokens but Not Events 6637 38.49% 47.82 1.796 83.49% 0.353 0.2873

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7855 21.09 34.93%
II 31893 31.04 78.61%
III 23901 34.73 88.38%
IV 9146 38.01 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.256 Win Model: -0.104
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 54897 48.91% 45.9 78.45%
2 12412 47.33% 47.27 82.52%
3 3411 37.88% 49.25 87.34%
4 1989 37.72% 50.88 85.52%
5 17 41.18% 36.47 52.94%
6 69 33.33% 54.97 79.71%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2743
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 20847
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 24380
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9033
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 492
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2564
Lose: Adversary condition 96
Win: Sacrifice victory 293
Lose: Scenario condition 276
Win: Scenario condition 756
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10789
Lose: Spirit destroyed 526

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2593 47.18% 50.86 -1.306 71.23% -0.145 -0.297
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1576 78.24% 47.01 -2.906 65.1% -0.462 -0.3523
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2304 41.23% 53.45 0.228 79.47% 0.134 -0.0261
Downpour Drenches the World 187 45.76% 48.97 -2.136 65.78% -0.501 -0.3192
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 274 36.13% 53.59 4.871 82.12% 0.899 0.1835
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2809 38.56% 57.08 4.977 85.69% 1.047 0.4626
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1529 46.02% 54.4 2.884 79.2% 0.626 0.1476
Finder of Paths Unseen 87 59.77% 47.91 -0.642 64.37% -0.187 0.5156
Fractured Days Split the Sky 394 56.85% 52.27 -1.381 63.96% -0.349 0.3454
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 567 44.44% 54.92 -3.27 80.07% -0.509 -0.6062
Heart of the Wildfire 2473 72.76% 43.45 -0.715 59.24% 0.072 0.3307
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3784 59.75% 49.77 0.202 70.9% 0.265 -0.1896
Lightning's Swift Strike 2884 70.59% 44.94 -3.831 59.02% -0.438 -0.2359
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 72 75.0% 49.69 -0.528 66.67% 0.093 -0.6162
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 324 58.51% 54.46 5.768 81.79% 0.974 0.6649
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 207 48.79% 55.78 2.521 80.68% 0.521 0.3455
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1599 51.09% 53.26 0.114 78.11% 0.092 -0.0632
Many Minds Move as One 590 41.36% 57.72 -2.162 89.66% -0.05 -0.2679
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3215 57.57% 51.45 0.599 73.5% 0.196 0.1775
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1564 53.83% 49.1 -2.14 70.4% -0.211 -0.3479
River Surges in Sunlight 3745 64.51% 51.68 0.676 67.5% -0.02 -0.0152
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 253 51.78% 50.05 -0.345 61.66% -0.64 -0.3856
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 148 59.18% 51.6 1.326 68.24% 0.262 0.1304
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1642 56.45% 50.31 -0.901 72.29% -0.01 -0.2224
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1906 83.1% 43.25 -3.866 55.46% -0.412 0.0365
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 18 55.56% 50.78 -0.001 72.22% 0.423 0.404
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 51 45.1% 58.78 6.677 88.24% 1.039 1.0541
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 127 71.65% 47.33 -0.185 62.99% 0.14 0.0822
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 111 73.87% 48.58 -12.768 70.27% -1.006 -0.938
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3431 37.91% 56.43 3.8 80.88% 0.513 0.3849
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 35 48.57% 44.6 1.795 68.57% 0.44 0.0922
Shifting Memory of Ages 299 70.57% 45.04 -4.487 57.53% -0.442 -0.0734
Shroud of Silent Mist 228 84.14% 42.65 -1.016 57.46% -0.115 0.2005
Starlight Seeks its Form 463 46.44% 52.25 -1.6 73.0% -0.089 -0.355
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2290 35.34% 52.03 -3.873 81.4% -0.456 -0.9436
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1701 50.0% 51.49 -1.036 73.02% -0.029 0.0103
Thunderspeaker 2448 57.82% 51.49 -2.436 70.75% -0.358 -0.3855
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 19 52.63% 37.16 -3.341 57.89% -0.29 -0.3363
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1277 88.02% 45.33 1.259 65.47% 0.35 0.4101
Vital Strength of the Earth 1702 69.44% 39.63 -6.35 40.25% -0.798 -0.2359
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 66 43.94% 48.06 2.472 57.58% -0.09 0.1667
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 107 63.55% 38.33 -6.724 38.32% -0.41 0.4742
Volcano Looming High 807 69.07% 47.76 -0.338 69.27% 0.008 0.0314

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 66.0 3.909 100.0% 0.039 -0.0222
Blitz 0 365 73.6% 41.92 0.845 53.7% 0.113 0.2521
Dahan Insurrection 4 464 54.53% 68.67 11.792 61.64% 0.216 0.0428
Despicable Theft 2 6 50.0% 50.17 -9.572 50.0% -0.782 -0.1153
Elemental Invocation 1 37 78.38% 29.14 -17.259 16.22% -1.423 -0.6924
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1337 19.2% 60.92 6.369 87.73% 0.759 0.1265
Powers Long Forgotten 1 90 73.33% 47.17 -23.833 52.22% -1.183 -0.7128
Rituals of Terror 3 62 67.74% 61.4 -14.499 53.23% -0.796 -0.784
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 59 91.53% 48.71 0.0 42.37%
Second Wave 0 939 62.39% 48.98 -1.173 61.66% -0.447 -0.37
The Great River 3 29 62.07% 39.52 0.0 20.69%
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
Ward the Shores 2 59 74.58% 48.98 -14.603 49.15% -0.253 0.9818

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 29247 58.59% 48.47 -0.395 67.89% 0.132 0.3661
1 Thematic 1177 65.08% 53.34 -3.749 58.28% -0.933 -0.3066
2 Archipelago 8 75.0% 59.63 0.0 75.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4699 55.75% 51.54 0.339 74.51% 0.331 0.5083
2 Coastline 671 48.58% 51.84 0.718 74.07% -0.109 -0.0453
2 Fragment 92 65.93% 47.41 5.264 67.39% 0.696 0.6086
2 Heart 48 70.83% 49.23 2.795 66.67% 0.564 0.3786
2 Opposite Shores 1040 59.15% 51.12 2.087 74.04% 0.455 0.6175
2 Thematic 330 66.87% 53.12 1.596 55.76% -0.077 0.5293
2 Top to Top 140 62.59% 50.25 1.111 72.86% 0.126 0.1864
3 Archipelago 4 50.0% 84.75 6.898 100.0% 0.145 -0.8559
3 Coastline 10 30.0% 66.6 -8.779 100.0% -0.336 -0.7565
3 Other 41 70.73% 52.76 5.218 73.17% 0.578 0.3828
3 Round (Default) 1283 52.31% 52.97 1.875 77.47% 0.323 0.3053
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 51.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Thematic 62 48.39% 62.03 -9.133 74.19% -0.333 -0.3153
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 72.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 64.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 11 72.73% 52.0 -12.627 72.73% -0.504 -1.3623
4 Thematic 181 33.15% 64.98 6.979 82.32% 0.434 0.4442
4 Trapezoid (Default) 565 49.28% 53.47 -4.289 78.05% -0.281 -0.4644
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 69.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 9 44.44% 60.56 0.0 77.78%
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 107.33 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 69.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 1 100.0% 19.0 -12.179 0.0% -0.452 -0.9152
6 Star 1 0.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 28 21.43% 65.79 0.0 82.14%
6 Two Centers (Default) 4 0.0% 62.5 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1640 41.66 -2.978 51.04% -1.02 -0.7475
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1174 45.29 -0.659 58.6% -0.648 -0.5837
All Things Weaken 837 40.72 -2.9 50.3% -0.986 -0.5163
Attenuated Essence 16 37.81 -3.849 50.0% -0.9 -0.6406
Back Against the Wall 1157 44.33 -1.36 56.18% -0.694 -0.5114
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 10 37.7 -2.294 50.0% -0.445 0.019
Burn Brightest Before the End 17 43.53 -0.972 58.82% -0.604 -0.2804
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1500 38.59 -4.721 48.07% -0.975 -0.4308
Downward Spiral 4492 40.41 -3.577 50.93% -1.136 -0.7785
Erosion of Will 1523 39.9 -2.217 46.95% -0.533 -0.0793
Intensifying Exploitation 25 40.68 -1.507 64.0% -0.179 0.2294
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 290 55.13 2.802 87.93% 0.58 0.0677
Memory Fades to Dust 4410 39.84 -3.529 48.28% -1.243 -0.7432
Power Corrodes the Spirit 830 41.78 -1.928 54.7% -0.682 -0.3724
Promising Farmlands 1565 38.59 -4.192 45.88% -1.119 -0.5334
Shattered Fragments of Power 18 28.0 -6.776 27.78% -1.25 -1.0472
Slow Dissolution of Will 17 36.12 -4.093 41.18% -1.119 -0.5581
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 168 55.39 0.553 88.69% -0.289 -1.0114
Thriving Communities 810 41.08 0.626 53.33% -0.202 0.3058
Thriving Crops 8 38.38 -1.289 62.5% 0.089 0.2062
Tipping Point 639 38.12 0.0 42.72%
Unnatural Proliferation 876 44.39 -2.816 57.99% -0.609 -0.2908
Untended Land Crumbles 829 41.18 -3.551 53.68% -0.822 -0.4422

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 7326 62.43% 47.54 -0.858 64.97% -0.26 0.6105
B 9190 54.62% 51.11 1.069 72.64% 0.165 0.9684
C 8746 64.02% 48.15 0.339 67.12% -0.008 0.672
D 6889 62.74% 48.23 -0.74 66.87% -0.078 0.7518
E 2812 56.41% 51.33 -2.24 74.96% -0.418 0.2381
F 5400 46.57% 52.01 1.292 77.07% 0.066 0.8099
G 4431 49.98% 51.96 0.369 76.06% 0.01 0.7905
H 4454 49.15% 52.13 1.808 76.07% 0.033 0.7205
East 1110 59.06% 56.85 -2.885 63.51% -0.304 0.318
Northeast 620 57.51% 57.1 -0.342 65.48% 0.062 0.9708
Northwest 532 51.41% 56.9 -5.934 63.91% -0.507 0.1664
Southeast 160 50.63% 56.02 -8.127 68.75% -0.618 0.078
Southwest 149 55.03% 52.31 9.046 62.42% 0.912 2.1124
West 994 57.1% 55.88 1.147 61.07% 0.104 1.0867

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 209 0.0% 43.93 -8.916 57.89% -1.745 -0.8386
Not Using Events or Tokens 6285 71.35% 44.75 0.437 58.36% 0.557 0.8726
Skip Initial Invader Actions 296 20.22% 63.86 3.039 87.84% 0.356 -0.2054
Start of Game Growth 662 21.84% 64.73 1.162 88.67% -0.122 -0.434
Unlimited Undo 6820 35.2% 57.23 2.593 85.57% 0.392 0.3661
Using Tokens but Not Events 7141 29.48% 56.79 3.3 85.32% 0.483 0.4173

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5241 21.09 23.6%
II 17639 31.04 66.53%
III 12324 34.73 81.28%
IV 4470 38.01 99.4%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.604 Win Model: 0.078
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 30492 58.86% 48.67 67.48%
2 7003 56.45% 51.51 73.55%
3 1384 52.54% 53.44 77.24%
4 755 44.47% 56.56 79.87%
5 4 25.0% 57.0 75.0%
6 36 19.44% 64.78 86.11%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1237
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9851
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11421
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4399
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 259
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2488
Lose: Adversary condition 60
Win: Sacrifice victory 140
Lose: Scenario condition 175
Win: Scenario condition 384
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8798
Lose: Spirit destroyed 462

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5935 66.56% 46.53 -1.357 50.31% -0.074 -0.2261
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5473 86.94% 44.92 1.237 51.18% 0.394 0.5033
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2789 79.2% 42.18 -0.606 45.5% 0.202 0.0417
Downpour Drenches the World 608 57.59% 43.87 -2.882 49.84% -0.375 -0.193
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 976 53.59% 43.56 4.506 59.12% 0.843 0.1269
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6914 56.93% 54.5 2.122 71.25% 0.601 0.0167
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2988 76.24% 46.55 -0.195 54.62% 0.078 -0.4001
Finder of Paths Unseen 261 76.63% 39.51 -2.645 41.38% -0.427 0.2754
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1405 66.17% 53.51 -0.502 59.57% -0.182 0.5115
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1494 74.28% 46.68 -1.766 55.96% -0.01 -0.1066
Heart of the Wildfire 6625 90.99% 34.36 -7.349 32.29% -1.228 -0.9696
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9105 74.26% 45.76 -1.313 54.57% 0.06 -0.395
Lightning's Swift Strike 6725 74.81% 43.66 -3.382 47.88% -0.331 -0.1284
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 490 77.66% 49.08 6.954 60.2% 1.197 0.488
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1147 80.93% 48.79 -3.934 62.77% -0.111 -0.4203
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 768 69.54% 51.6 1.209 65.23% 0.202 0.0264
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4271 71.48% 47.31 -0.162 57.86% 0.003 -0.1523
Many Minds Move as One 1827 61.25% 55.49 4.522 76.46% 0.948 0.7303
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 26030 55.81% 57.9 3.55 81.27% 0.939 0.9203
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3023 79.46% 42.53 -2.078 46.48% -0.083 -0.2191
River Surges in Sunlight 10164 76.5% 48.34 1.096 52.42% 0.063 0.0674
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 433 81.75% 41.58 4.035 34.87% 0.535 0.789
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 480 74.37% 48.81 0.2 55.0% 0.108 -0.0236
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5143 66.96% 47.28 -1.02 55.2% 0.069 -0.143
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3183 77.03% 41.71 -3.394 43.51% -0.482 -0.0336
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 58 89.66% 40.34 -1.157 43.1% -0.441 -0.4599
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 84 76.19% 42.62 -2.326 50.0% -0.143 -0.1278
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 405 83.17% 42.57 -6.242 47.16% -0.624 -0.6824
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 372 92.2% 41.87 1.502 45.97% 0.343 0.4115
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5756 68.08% 47.04 -2.408 56.22% -0.226 -0.3533
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 125 63.2% 31.14 -1.758 38.4% 0.032 -0.316
Shifting Memory of Ages 767 85.88% 41.1 -3.98 37.29% -0.403 -0.034
Shroud of Silent Mist 796 93.84% 36.26 -2.535 35.18% -0.45 -0.1345
Starlight Seeks its Form 2388 73.37% 43.37 0.021 46.44% 0.271 0.0044
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4569 65.45% 46.04 0.713 53.53% 0.234 -0.2534
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2925 75.7% 45.65 -3.146 52.38% 0.003 0.0422
Thunderspeaker 7210 76.55% 50.43 1.201 50.21% 0.611 0.5837
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 102 69.61% 36.37 1.09 47.06% 0.45 0.403
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3773 92.02% 44.86 0.98 57.78% 0.486 0.5464
Vital Strength of the Earth 3520 83.48% 34.6 -4.271 24.12% -0.911 -0.3487
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 149 74.5% 38.68 -3.836 36.24% -0.466 -0.209
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 364 86.54% 31.52 -7.977 20.88% -1.378 -0.4942
Volcano Looming High 2882 77.54% 44.04 0.632 53.75% 0.317 0.3409

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 66.67% 29.67 -5.811 33.33% -0.212 -0.2736
Blitz 0 738 60.73% 45.95 -4.898 54.74% -0.472 -0.3331
Dahan Insurrection 4 2730 78.76% 59.63 -1.1 38.21% -0.752 -0.9251
Despicable Theft 2 21 66.67% 31.76 -14.068 19.05% -0.62 0.0469
Elemental Invocation 1 61 80.33% 35.44 -7.094 19.67% -0.576 0.1548
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3716 38.03% 56.43 7.766 69.46% 1.039 0.4064
Powers Long Forgotten 1 122 90.0% 37.32 -7.284 23.77% -0.034 0.4362
Rituals of Terror 3 254 68.11% 73.11 7.366 41.73% -0.079 -0.0666
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 29 79.31% 44.66 -14.947 27.59% -0.592 0.3565
Second Wave 0 763 70.42% 44.79 -3.638 45.74% -0.786 -0.7094
The Great River 3 41 85.37% 39.02 -14.882 19.51% -0.259 1.1077
Varied Terrains 2 7 71.43% 44.57 -8.388 28.57% -0.128 0.4414
Ward the Shores 2 69 88.41% 42.59 3.813 33.33% -0.045 1.1901

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 93056 72.58% 46.32 0.419 55.98% 0.485 0.7189
1 Thematic 4161 79.21% 53.64 -3.444 39.08% -0.303 0.3232
2 Archipelago 39 46.15% 42.87 -9.75 30.77% -0.645 -0.2558
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9776 64.99% 49.95 0.891 62.93% 0.227 0.4043
2 Coastline 1542 70.44% 49.72 0.503 62.39% 0.205 0.2688
2 Fragment 176 80.11% 43.09 -8.567 51.14% -0.691 -0.7787
2 Heart 98 71.43% 44.41 -0.078 52.04% 0.59 0.4039
2 Opposite Shores 2434 71.18% 47.9 -2.683 56.98% -0.466 -0.304
2 Thematic 985 80.63% 51.36 -3.416 36.14% -0.748 -0.1419
2 Top to Top 382 79.1% 46.2 -2.238 54.19% -0.127 -0.066
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 73.0 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 40 67.5% 48.95 -1.445 55.0% -0.386 -0.8067
3 Other 83 79.52% 45.48 -2.044 53.01% -0.376 -0.5717
3 Round (Default) 2523 73.63% 48.47 0.073 59.45% -0.094 -0.1118
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 50.29 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 92 70.65% 64.76 -12.9 45.65% -0.316 -0.2982
4 Archipelago 2 100.0% 40.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 11 45.45% 56.55 0.0 72.73%
4 Leaf 6 50.0% 44.33 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 34 73.53% 50.41 0.0 61.76%
4 Snake 2 100.0% 26.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Thematic 358 62.75% 69.27 4.841 57.26% -0.995 -0.9848
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1633 66.1% 52.07 -0.569 64.36% 0.075 -0.1079
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 32.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Coastline 15 13.33% 64.27 -20.296 93.33% -0.703 -0.7136
5 Other 32 62.5% 62.91 19.658 81.25% 0.977 0.5157
5 Thematic 5 100.0% 54.0 17.111 20.0% 0.233 -0.17
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 73.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 5 0.0% 68.4 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 6 66.67% 48.33 -1.034 66.67% -0.165 -0.6285
6 Star 9 55.56% 48.11 -10.605 66.67% -0.16 0.3255
6 Thematic 9 88.89% 66.33 23.764 66.67% 0.506 0.9552
6 Two Centers (Default) 16 56.25% 48.06 0.865 62.5% 0.053 0.1592
7 Other 2 50.0% 40.5 -8.388 50.0% -0.128 -0.8078

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 7108 42.04 1.412 45.65% -0.095 0.1779
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5683 47.64 4.748 57.01% 0.373 0.4366
All Things Weaken 3403 40.35 -0.242 42.4% -0.566 -0.0965
Attenuated Essence 110 37.27 1.22 43.64% -0.146 0.1139
Back Against the Wall 4701 43.17 2.046 46.67% -0.287 -0.105
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 112 34.66 0.531 39.29% -0.203 0.2603
Burn Brightest Before the End 83 36.57 1.255 37.35% -0.317 0.0062
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6424 39.11 -0.801 42.81% -0.485 0.0589
Downward Spiral 12947 40.91 0.679 41.46% -0.024 0.3329
Erosion of Will 6818 40.6 0.566 42.49% -0.269 0.1846
Intensifying Exploitation 107 32.07 -1.417 36.45% -0.442 -0.0338
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 913 55.08 6.499 75.9% 0.788 0.2762
Memory Fades to Dust 12818 40.28 -1.08 38.52% -0.524 -0.0239
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3325 40.08 -0.285 42.92% -0.369 -0.059
Promising Farmlands 6495 39.89 -2.133 42.6% -0.723 -0.1371
Shattered Fragments of Power 81 37.65 1.768 40.74% -0.212 -0.0091
Slow Dissolution of Will 99 36.01 1.13 38.38% -0.241 0.3197
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 521 56.68 4.052 81.38% 0.417 -0.3052
The Border of Life and Death 16 35.31 0.331 50.0% 0.012 -0.0965
Thriving Communities 3191 38.52 -0.291 39.52% -0.419 0.0883
Thriving Crops 30 46.6 5.374 70.0% 0.682 0.799
Tipping Point 2485 38.06 0.0 37.42%
Unnatural Proliferation 3622 42.23 2.536 44.7% -0.061 0.2575
Untended Land Crumbles 3241 39.42 -0.657 41.22% -0.496 -0.1161

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 20354 74.55% 44.83 -1.243 51.81% -0.64 0.2308
B 24676 70.12% 47.57 0.32 58.01% -0.458 0.3453
C 24410 72.91% 46.06 -0.841 54.74% -0.546 0.1348
D 22712 71.43% 47.61 0.15 58.16% -0.403 0.4271
E 9285 72.16% 47.06 0.516 58.06% -0.38 0.2756
F 12610 69.17% 48.79 1.313 61.24% -0.188 0.5566
G 12059 68.66% 49.9 -0.709 63.6% -0.646 0.1339
H 11292 66.82% 49.57 0.534 62.49% -0.429 0.2584
East 4079 78.76% 56.31 1.896 39.94% 0.577 1.199
Northeast 2110 74.6% 58.6 5.145 45.31% 0.305 1.2142
Northwest 1167 71.0% 58.46 3.195 46.44% -0.789 -0.1163
Southeast 297 88.22% 41.55 -4.103 25.59% -0.821 -0.1245
Southwest 226 80.53% 34.24 -6.471 22.57% -1.56 -0.36
West 2221 75.51% 53.45 -0.51 39.04% -0.243 0.74

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 630 0.0% 40.0 -10.11 40.0% -1.538 -0.6312
Not Using Events or Tokens 12027 85.63% 42.91 -3.537 37.91% -0.76 -0.4438
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2262 17.92% 65.89 3.595 86.96% -0.009 -0.5705
Start of Game Growth 4121 23.0% 62.7 7.114 84.35% 1.159 0.8477
Unlimited Undo 10158 66.15% 50.9 -0.289 65.15% 0.06 0.0343
Using Tokens but Not Events 7796 57.62% 48.82 2.435 58.72% 0.075 0.0096

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 19544 21.09 6.0%
II 46122 31.04 48.16%
III 41370 34.73 77.47%
IV 10565 38.01 99.58%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.409 Win Model: 0.645
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 97664 72.85% 46.66 55.24%
2 15149 67.95% 49.46 60.0%
3 2735 72.59% 50.29 59.23%
4 1977 66.79% 52.66 62.47%
5 29 41.38% 62.31 82.76%
6 47 53.19% 53.72 72.34%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1170
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 31455
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 20805
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10407
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1439
Lose: Invader deck ran out 9445
Lose: Adversary condition 395
Win: Sacrifice victory 653
Lose: Scenario condition 843
Win: Scenario condition 1465
Lose: Blight pool ran out 37044
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2480

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-11-28 03:51:06 (Pacific Time)