The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 6556 25.03% 25.62 -0.058 88.67% -0.258 -0.154
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4688 43.66% 25.54 0.408 87.07% 0.242 0.44
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3085 24.76% 26.74 0.347 92.74% 0.319 0.2055
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3905 14.7% 30.27 1.744 96.01% 0.508 0.1044
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3003 18.02% 28.17 0.888 94.87% 0.469 0.1633
Fractured Days Split the Sky 607 33.77% 27.22 0.836 82.7% -0.712 -0.3639
Heart of the Wildfire 4330 57.3% 21.63 -1.395 76.03% -0.317 0.0015
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5740 27.53% 26.52 0.19 91.22% 0.142 -0.2009
Lightning's Swift Strike 8578 40.57% 24.25 -0.334 82.28% -0.22 0.0062
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1232 26.81% 27.36 0.665 92.45% 0.321 0.0344
Many Minds Move as One 930 17.63% 28.65 1.076 95.7% 0.44 -0.0933
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6517 39.69% 25.62 0.094 87.83% 0.253 0.0288
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2767 29.19% 25.48 -0.214 90.64% 0.135 0.149
River Surges in Sunlight 9101 38.05% 26.53 0.686 81.22% -0.456 -0.3349
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3596 29.43% 25.63 -0.151 89.24% -0.04 0.063
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 5394 51.86% 24.35 -0.098 81.37% 0.014 0.4183
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4250 26.98% 27.09 0.528 90.16% -0.066 -0.1776
Shifting Memory of Ages 170 35.29% 24.99 -0.258 90.59% 0.241 0.3656
Shroud of Silent Mist 558 41.4% 24.56 -0.326 88.35% 0.177 0.2335
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1478 26.15% 23.67 -1.175 93.1% 0.279 0.2197
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2366 29.59% 25.39 -0.411 86.77% -0.334 -0.1735
Thunderspeaker 6054 31.31% 26.77 0.437 86.64% -0.109 -0.0855
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1069 59.14% 21.47 -1.438 84.47% 0.241 0.2126
Vital Strength of the Earth 6158 31.25% 22.41 -1.608 77.2% -1.169 -0.3251
Volcano Looming High 746 37.28% 24.16 -0.71 86.6% -0.138 -0.1269

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 963 40.64% 23.34 -1.082 79.13% -0.445 0.1206
Dahan Insurrection 4 1326 20.56% 46.12 9.725 80.77% -1.392 -0.9921
Despicable Theft 2 48 37.5% 32.31 3.189 81.25% -0.583 -0.3096
Elemental Invocation 1 108 32.41% 28.48 0.686 86.11% -0.394 0.1087
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2330 7.84% 30.8 1.833 87.73% -1.52 -1.1552
Powers Long Forgotten 1 505 50.5% 29.18 1.64 77.82% -0.334 0.1119
Rituals of Terror 3 585 44.52% 35.7 4.99 72.14% -0.915 -0.2696
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 343 72.59% 33.17 4.235 67.93% -0.425 0.2214
Second Wave 0 1094 54.2% 24.41 0.129 73.67% -0.583 -0.1531
The Great River 3 103 43.69% 30.48 2.774 55.34% -2.385 -0.9122
Ward the Shores 2 500 43.98% 31.68 2.574 74.2% -0.865 0.1666

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 45650 38.9% 24.29 -0.569 83.24% -0.288 -0.2016
1 Thematic 3848 40.97% 32.04 2.179 79.11% -0.48 -0.2034
2 Archipelago 2 0.0% 40.5 6.968 100.0% 0.027 0.034
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9606 31.49% 25.21 -0.173 88.66% 0.083 0.109
2 Coastline 957 34.11% 24.84 -0.268 87.04% -0.002 -0.0272
2 Fragment 249 39.51% 23.36 -0.751 83.94% -0.024 0.1986
2 Heart 136 38.97% 23.91 -0.575 84.56% -0.113 -0.013
2 Opposite Shores 1435 30.16% 25.76 0.01 90.8% 0.318 0.3835
2 Thematic 863 37.53% 34.18 1.905 84.36% -0.134 -0.2006
2 Top to Top 257 29.8% 25.42 -0.012 93.77% 0.704 0.6349
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 26.67 1.062 66.67% -0.673 0.1312
3 Coastline 16 25.0% 27.94 0.306 75.0% -0.423 -0.5732
3 Other 108 32.38% 24.47 -0.628 85.19% -0.369 -0.1963
3 Round (Default) 2844 22.44% 26.4 0.189 93.64% 0.597 0.5586
3 Sunrise 15 64.29% 24.07 -0.085 86.67% 0.482 0.2216
3 Thematic 143 33.1% 35.57 1.186 86.01% -0.15 -0.5163
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 30.0 2.164 66.67% -0.526 0.0219
4 Coastline 5 0.0% 35.8 2.336 80.0% -0.357 -0.2375
4 Leaf 4 50.0% 23.5 -0.654 75.0% -0.037 0.0348
4 Other 48 22.22% 25.33 -0.37 89.58% -0.02 -0.0896
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 26.5 0.806 100.0% 0.225 -0.5773
4 Snake 2 0.0% 28.0 0.315 100.0% 0.012 0.1384
4 Thematic 330 20.91% 35.79 0.347 93.64% 0.364 -0.6323
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1374 22.76% 26.28 0.115 93.01% 0.528 0.5361
5 Other 7 14.29% 23.29 -0.889 100.0% 0.275 -0.1857
5 Thematic 4 0.0% 39.5 1.602 100.0% 0.022 -2.37

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1596 18.91 -4.107 62.66% -3.62 -1.5509
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1363 19.6 -3.723 63.02% -3.648 -1.7356
All Things Weaken 493 17.87 -4.491 59.23% -3.8 -1.6404
Back Against the Wall 1222 18.81 -4.032 60.88% -3.721 -1.634
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1460 16.72 -5.24 61.23% -3.668 -1.4457
Downward Spiral 5921 17.23 -4.655 63.05% -3.236 -1.2142
Erosion of Will 1523 18.01 -4.537 59.36% -3.74 -1.5328
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 225 24.5 -1.212 98.22% -0.079 0.5998
Memory Fades to Dust 5996 16.98 -4.794 59.76% -3.38 -1.1647
Power Corrodes the Spirit 539 18.54 -4.134 68.65% -3.387 -1.3659
Promising Farmlands 1534 17.44 -4.858 61.99% -3.658 -1.4497
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 138 24.23 -1.148 98.55% 0.039 0.4506
Thriving Communities 504 16.94 -4.954 62.9% -3.62 -1.5324
Tipping Point 788 17.95 -4.654 63.2% -3.553 -1.328
Unnatural Proliferation 511 19.02 -3.856 65.56% -3.505 -1.4238
Untended Land Crumbles 516 17.36 -4.821 61.43% -3.7 -1.5973

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 16078 36.99% 24.38 -0.353 84.78% 0.091 -0.5969
B 16318 35.7% 24.68 -0.22 85.6% 0.124 -0.6592
C 16683 33.87% 24.99 -0.09 86.29% 0.138 -0.8751
D 15722 34.72% 24.82 -0.131 85.96% 0.113 -0.6646
E 3325 30.17% 25.55 -0.028 89.62% 0.128 -0.7663
F 6172 29.5% 25.49 -0.077 89.23% 0.086 -0.755
G 5798 31.12% 25.34 -0.103 89.17% 0.175 -0.6572
H 5940 29.82% 25.48 -0.12 89.01% 0.086 -0.7534
East 1669 35.28% 35.16 2.509 84.3% 0.285 -0.2911
Northeast 1897 34.9% 34.4 2.313 83.97% 0.212 -0.3121
Northwest 1399 35.76% 33.34 1.67 84.13% 0.286 -0.3086
Southeast 265 29.55% 32.57 1.317 86.04% 0.055 -0.5746
Southwest 257 38.67% 26.71 -1.615 79.77% -0.235 -0.434
West 1507 38.52% 33.94 1.823 81.42% 0.038 -0.2888

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1275 0.0% 22.41 -2.035 75.14% -2.635 -0.582
Not Using Events or Tokens 17719 45.29% 23.17 -0.854 78.66% -0.454 -0.2394
Skip Initial Invader Actions 942 9.17% 33.41 2.522 94.59% 0.339 -0.347
Start of Game Growth 1454 12.98% 31.93 2.01 93.81% 0.308 -0.1605
Unlimited Undo 4184 30.23% 26.4 0.387 89.41% 0.333 -0.09
Using Tokens but Not Events 6100 29.44% 25.47 -0.168 87.98% -0.173 -0.2239

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4333 22.37 43.43%
II 21405 30.88 78.29%
III 29524 34.39 89.5%
IV 12651 37.55 98.72%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.048 Win Model: -0.038
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 49563 39.05% 24.9 82.93%
2 13489 32.13% 25.78 88.5%
3 3107 23.3% 26.73 92.82%
4 1754 22.36% 28.07 92.93%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1395
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 20381
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11878
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9593
Lose: Invader deck ran out 905
Win: Sacrifice victory 261
Lose: Scenario condition 459
Win: Scenario condition 1439
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8488
Lose: Spirit destroyed 508

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4563 27.23% 30.93 0.253 89.26% -0.157 -0.0524
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2952 48.87% 30.24 0.473 85.87% 0.141 0.3393
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2207 27.72% 31.55 0.5 92.34% 0.363 0.249
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2935 19.76% 34.35 1.76 95.4% 0.659 0.2546
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2163 25.76% 32.64 1.02 93.62% 0.474 0.1688
Fractured Days Split the Sky 677 34.02% 32.24 1.183 83.9% -0.75 -0.4021
Heart of the Wildfire 3108 65.59% 24.92 -1.961 72.39% -0.422 -0.1033
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4402 35.97% 30.38 0.051 89.1% 0.16 -0.1828
Lightning's Swift Strike 5506 45.68% 28.5 -0.445 81.18% -0.286 -0.06
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 973 38.37% 30.47 0.176 89.52% 0.167 -0.1197
Many Minds Move as One 817 24.91% 33.08 1.161 93.76% 0.22 -0.3131
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4671 39.41% 31.04 0.602 89.96% 0.364 0.14
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2077 30.3% 30.21 -0.091 89.89% 0.007 0.0214
River Surges in Sunlight 6035 44.0% 30.64 0.523 81.39% -0.357 -0.2368
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2525 35.71% 30.12 -0.092 87.68% -0.057 0.0462
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3501 59.7% 27.75 -0.533 77.32% -0.17 0.2352
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3268 31.58% 31.23 0.437 87.79% -0.169 -0.2812
Shifting Memory of Ages 215 38.6% 29.25 -0.342 90.23% 0.173 0.2977
Shroud of Silent Mist 459 50.0% 28.52 -0.367 87.58% 0.178 0.2341
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1146 28.58% 28.81 -0.885 92.84% 0.195 0.135
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2023 29.8% 30.85 0.19 89.13% -0.119 0.0417
Thunderspeaker 4521 36.22% 31.37 0.533 85.95% -0.078 -0.0536
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 864 65.34% 26.58 -1.186 84.49% 0.315 0.287
Vital Strength of the Earth 4090 36.12% 27.14 -1.424 79.49% -0.776 0.0682
Volcano Looming High 605 44.85% 27.5 -1.017 86.78% -0.03 -0.0197

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 774 43.8% 26.64 -1.495 77.39% -0.599 -0.0331
Dahan Insurrection 4 966 30.08% 47.12 8.332 73.5% -1.59 -1.1897
Despicable Theft 2 43 37.21% 40.3 4.762 93.02% 0.483 0.7571
Elemental Invocation 1 79 55.13% 30.24 0.472 82.28% -0.152 0.35
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1488 11.0% 33.06 0.918 80.58% -1.982 -1.6166
Powers Long Forgotten 1 447 58.3% 31.69 1.006 72.71% -0.55 -0.1039
Rituals of Terror 3 417 48.92% 38.02 4.286 70.02% -1.059 -0.4141
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 282 76.16% 34.96 3.163 64.89% -0.628 0.0192
Second Wave 0 4401 43.87% 31.57 1.203 80.62% -0.506 -0.0763
The Great River 3 81 48.15% 36.33 3.498 67.9% -1.442 0.0307
Ward the Shores 2 441 51.25% 33.3 1.616 68.25% -1.14 -0.1083

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 30119 42.69% 28.54 -0.631 82.66% -0.292 -0.2056
1 Thematic 2926 46.58% 34.23 1.557 74.33% -0.454 -0.1773
2 Archipelago 8 75.0% 35.0 3.137 87.5% 0.159 0.1654
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6557 36.72% 30.04 0.08 89.45% 0.14 0.1655
2 Coastline 788 35.94% 30.24 0.01 89.97% 0.124 0.0988
2 Fragment 217 36.11% 29.58 -0.245 88.02% -0.088 0.135
2 Heart 115 46.49% 27.71 -1.006 77.39% -0.565 -0.4647
2 Opposite Shores 1411 34.34% 30.27 0.057 91.42% 0.273 0.3384
2 Thematic 798 45.21% 37.38 1.856 82.46% 0.151 0.0845
2 Top to Top 245 36.21% 29.17 -0.402 84.08% -0.523 -0.5923
3 Archipelago 4 25.0% 44.5 6.922 100.0% 0.139 0.9434
3 Coastline 13 53.85% 36.62 2.401 84.62% 0.566 0.4152
3 Other 100 38.54% 28.23 -0.849 85.0% -0.41 -0.2374
3 Round (Default) 2313 29.95% 31.19 0.216 92.04% 0.138 0.0988
3 Sunrise 17 17.65% 32.06 0.488 100.0% 0.618 0.3575
3 Thematic 122 51.67% 35.91 0.599 81.97% 0.349 -0.0173
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 66.0 12.048 100.0% 0.041 0.5888
4 Coastline 7 14.29% 37.86 2.127 85.71% -0.607 -0.4873
4 Leaf 6 33.33% 34.0 0.91 100.0% 0.466 0.5376
4 Other 57 28.07% 31.82 0.096 89.47% -0.245 -0.3144
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 36.0 1.258 100.0% 0.004 -0.7977
4 Thematic 187 39.46% 37.48 0.214 87.7% 0.426 -0.571
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1074 28.11% 31.45 0.179 91.71% 0.01 0.0177
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 52.0 9.311 100.0% 0.003 1.1626
5 Other 11 9.09% 37.36 1.976 90.91% -0.38 -0.8408

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1294 23.16 -4.218 63.52% -3.358 -1.289
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1026 24.49 -3.511 65.79% -3.265 -1.3526
All Things Weaken 486 23.35 -4.037 65.23% -3.387 -1.2278
Back Against the Wall 1071 23.64 -3.917 63.96% -3.383 -1.296
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1327 20.85 -5.453 60.51% -3.518 -1.2963
Downward Spiral 4030 22.33 -4.386 67.57% -2.991 -0.9691
Erosion of Will 1372 22.68 -4.469 61.37% -3.475 -1.267
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 205 30.3 -0.546 97.56% -0.193 0.4862
Memory Fades to Dust 4086 21.72 -4.692 62.26% -3.25 -1.035
Power Corrodes the Spirit 450 23.47 -3.868 71.78% -3.072 -1.0512
Promising Farmlands 1288 21.66 -4.898 62.89% -3.358 -1.1501
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 149 29.26 -1.079 97.99% -0.138 0.2739
Thriving Communities 444 22.28 -4.524 66.67% -3.254 -1.1657
Tipping Point 669 20.79 -5.375 57.55% -3.557 -1.3323
Unnatural Proliferation 505 24.3 -3.524 68.91% -3.234 -1.153
Untended Land Crumbles 490 22.34 -4.526 65.71% -3.297 -1.1952

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11072 41.08% 28.91 -0.357 84.43% 0.073 -0.6153
B 11399 38.93% 29.34 -0.125 85.76% 0.154 -0.63
C 11724 39.12% 29.6 0.049 86.75% 0.299 -0.7132
D 11064 39.29% 29.4 -0.09 85.99% 0.183 -0.5942
E 2692 34.49% 30.25 0.082 89.45% 0.23 -0.6641
F 4474 33.4% 30.25 0.015 88.13% 0.035 -0.8059
G 4186 34.6% 30.21 0.031 89.35% 0.273 -0.5593
H 4377 33.4% 30.17 -0.066 88.6% 0.089 -0.75
East 1292 43.06% 37.79 2.457 80.8% 0.178 -0.3978
Northeast 1438 43.37% 36.16 1.635 78.37% -0.12 -0.6446
Northwest 1099 44.32% 36.1 1.705 80.62% 0.206 -0.3888
Southeast 240 45.83% 34.39 0.873 82.5% 0.132 -0.497
Southwest 233 49.79% 30.17 -1.359 76.39% -0.213 -0.4116
West 1132 53.33% 34.79 0.859 74.2% -0.237 -0.5642

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 719 0.0% 26.43 -2.38 77.05% -2.62 -0.5672
Not Using Events or Tokens 10045 46.32% 27.77 -0.745 79.89% -0.329 -0.1145
Skip Initial Invader Actions 559 13.43% 39.44 2.854 93.92% -0.035 -0.721
Start of Game Growth 957 16.11% 37.39 2.441 94.57% 0.777 0.3079
Unlimited Undo 3497 34.86% 30.66 0.281 88.68% 0.211 -0.2123
Using Tokens but Not Events 4790 33.5% 30.07 -0.017 88.79% 0.092 0.0413

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2337 22.37 24.73%
II 11818 30.88 71.51%
III 21909 34.39 90.1%
IV 11034 37.55 98.68%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.141 Win Model: 0.046
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 33097 43.05% 29.05 81.93%
2 10117 37.05% 30.61 88.96%
3 2564 31.17% 31.34 91.38%
4 1320 29.53% 32.44 90.91%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 429
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 15231
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6021
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8450
Lose: Invader deck ran out 495
Win: Sacrifice victory 212
Lose: Scenario condition 433
Win: Scenario condition 1007
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6116
Lose: Spirit destroyed 396

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5454 32.03% 39.59 0.286 89.49% 0.001 0.1056
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3860 56.44% 37.78 0.116 82.18% -0.03 0.1679
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2795 35.47% 39.53 0.393 90.2% 0.194 0.0806
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4093 25.57% 43.53 2.071 94.33% 0.579 0.1749
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2803 30.53% 41.9 1.399 92.97% 0.497 0.1917
Fractured Days Split the Sky 643 36.7% 41.19 1.112 86.16% -0.312 0.0367
Heart of the Wildfire 4245 64.98% 33.69 -1.792 74.75% -0.335 -0.0159
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6477 39.47% 38.86 0.088 87.63% 0.043 -0.2996
Lightning's Swift Strike 6318 47.76% 37.64 -0.211 82.59% -0.169 0.057
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1538 39.91% 39.91 0.499 89.34% 0.193 -0.0942
Many Minds Move as One 1117 25.16% 42.47 1.625 95.17% 0.634 0.1007
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5967 48.12% 38.59 0.145 85.84% 0.083 -0.1415
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2848 35.99% 39.53 0.384 90.24% 0.286 0.3005
River Surges in Sunlight 7561 48.42% 39.46 0.651 82.82% -0.154 -0.0337
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3640 43.04% 38.06 -0.236 86.02% -0.048 0.0548
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3797 61.8% 36.14 -0.676 77.03% -0.238 0.1669
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4565 36.52% 39.96 0.631 87.49% -0.077 -0.1892
Shifting Memory of Ages 301 53.49% 36.1 -0.761 86.05% 0.062 0.1867
Shroud of Silent Mist 657 65.04% 34.84 -1.092 79.91% -0.116 -0.0598
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1867 35.25% 37.23 -0.948 90.31% 0.133 0.0732
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2304 36.62% 39.46 0.059 87.15% -0.142 0.0186
Thunderspeaker 5482 40.81% 40.45 0.765 86.81% 0.094 0.1178
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1391 74.04% 32.72 -2.101 76.64% -0.173 -0.2012
Vital Strength of the Earth 4626 39.2% 35.59 -1.464 80.65% -0.66 0.1845
Volcano Looming High 1001 46.8% 36.33 -0.938 85.11% -0.195 -0.1841

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 853 50.48% 35.15 -1.669 76.44% -0.615 -0.0491
Dahan Insurrection 4 967 28.82% 59.38 9.771 81.7% -1.062 -0.662
Despicable Theft 2 24 62.5% 47.83 4.946 87.5% 0.232 0.5057
Elemental Invocation 1 95 63.16% 35.35 -1.158 69.47% -0.965 -0.4625
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2692 9.64% 44.1 1.922 87.7% -1.478 -1.1136
Powers Long Forgotten 1 400 61.65% 39.94 0.974 75.0% -0.435 0.0113
Rituals of Terror 3 295 59.39% 45.16 3.628 66.78% -0.97 -0.3249
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 160 69.38% 47.33 5.168 77.5% -0.096 0.5503
Second Wave 0 3561 49.37% 38.29 0.228 74.89% -0.889 -0.4594
The Great River 3 84 54.76% 42.31 2.257 60.71% -1.882 -0.409
Ward the Shores 2 392 45.64% 45.35 2.868 79.85% -0.537 0.4952

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 36399 47.25% 36.94 -0.567 82.2% -0.032 0.054
1 Thematic 2715 50.78% 42.46 1.517 76.46% -0.196 0.0808
2 Archipelago 3 33.33% 41.0 1.812 66.67% -0.638 -0.6308
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8489 44.11% 38.09 -0.042 87.48% 0.034 0.0599
2 Coastline 991 40.27% 38.99 0.1 87.99% -0.008 -0.0327
2 Fragment 227 48.89% 36.15 -1.008 83.26% -0.284 -0.0613
2 Heart 102 47.52% 38.12 -0.114 87.25% 0.018 0.1184
2 Opposite Shores 2009 39.17% 38.77 0.087 89.0% 0.087 0.1523
2 Thematic 1044 46.16% 44.45 1.277 79.02% -0.297 -0.3638
2 Top to Top 306 40.0% 39.44 0.442 89.22% 0.072 0.0029
3 Archipelago 9 33.33% 76.44 14.995 88.89% -0.205 0.5993
3 Coastline 17 41.18% 42.88 1.432 88.24% 0.228 0.0776
3 Other 238 41.6% 41.38 0.771 94.96% 0.466 0.6391
3 Round (Default) 3305 36.52% 39.59 0.211 90.62% -0.063 -0.1022
3 Sunrise 26 30.77% 42.58 1.142 96.15% 0.427 0.1671
3 Thematic 189 45.74% 46.25 1.427 84.66% -0.13 -0.4961
4 Archipelago 3 0.0% 52.67 5.037 100.0% 0.019 0.5663
4 Coastline 4 25.0% 44.25 1.271 100.0% 0.104 0.2241
4 Leaf 11 18.18% 46.36 1.958 100.0% 0.344 0.4155
4 Other 86 52.33% 41.84 0.873 90.7% -0.04 -0.1093
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 43.0 -0.146 100.0% 0.004 -0.7982
4 Snake 1 0.0% 62.0 6.908 100.0% 0.05 0.1765
4 Thematic 374 43.01% 48.3 0.932 87.7% -0.228 -1.2246
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1680 30.6% 40.91 0.511 91.55% -0.443 -0.4345
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 54.0 9.935 100.0% 0.074 1.2335
5 Coastline 1 100.0% 40.0 2.113 100.0% 0.066 -0.1237
5 Other 22 40.91% 40.59 0.694 95.45% -0.098 -0.5591
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 52.0 3.565 100.0% 0.711 -1.6809

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1971 30.27 -4.855 63.98% -3.424 -1.3544
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1638 32.02 -4.082 65.69% -3.402 -1.489
All Things Weaken 757 29.12 -5.382 61.96% -3.604 -1.4443
Back Against the Wall 1527 31.24 -4.486 64.44% -3.497 -1.4101
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1817 27.97 -6.046 62.63% -3.499 -1.2772
Downward Spiral 4977 30.6 -4.618 69.9% -3.0 -0.9785
Erosion of Will 2021 30.02 -5.045 62.64% -3.497 -1.2892
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 344 39.69 -0.09 98.84% 0.358 1.0368
Memory Fades to Dust 5104 30.13 -4.89 66.52% -3.171 -0.9558
Power Corrodes the Spirit 684 30.48 -4.611 69.44% -3.204 -1.1828
Promising Farmlands 1995 30.28 -4.917 68.07% -3.298 -1.0901
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 205 39.8 -0.11 97.56% -0.315 0.0965
Thriving Communities 707 29.69 -5.128 66.76% -3.364 -1.2755
Tipping Point 970 29.86 -5.102 64.74% -3.346 -1.1214
Unnatural Proliferation 750 30.43 -4.719 64.8% -3.471 -1.39
Untended Land Crumbles 715 30.94 -4.442 70.35% -3.172 -1.0696

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14137 45.08% 37.48 -0.332 84.01% 0.142 -0.5461
B 14779 43.92% 37.87 -0.093 85.39% 0.254 -0.5293
C 15154 44.37% 37.96 0.0 85.45% 0.298 -0.7148
D 13977 44.23% 37.96 -0.018 85.6% 0.292 -0.4854
E 3627 41.02% 39.23 0.392 89.19% 0.443 -0.4515
F 6037 39.28% 38.87 0.149 87.99% 0.275 -0.566
G 5494 39.86% 38.71 0.024 87.91% 0.282 -0.5501
H 5726 39.1% 39.07 0.14 88.26% 0.253 -0.5857
East 1719 45.98% 45.65 1.77 79.46% 0.046 -0.5302
Northeast 1602 45.7% 45.48 1.811 82.02% 0.25 -0.2743
Northwest 1301 46.12% 45.49 1.738 83.63% 0.456 -0.1387
Southeast 289 44.64% 42.11 0.248 77.85% -0.146 -0.7756
Southwest 269 47.21% 39.21 -1.228 76.21% -0.063 -0.2619
West 1477 50.48% 44.94 1.327 78.67% 0.13 -0.1975

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 535 0.0% 36.02 -2.488 77.2% -2.836 -0.783
Not Using Events or Tokens 9577 51.56% 36.54 -0.628 80.74% -0.272 -0.0569
Skip Initial Invader Actions 676 9.15% 49.3 3.484 96.45% 0.495 -0.1914
Start of Game Growth 1206 15.56% 46.69 2.566 95.02% 0.647 0.1783
Unlimited Undo 4694 39.49% 39.32 0.497 88.41% 0.275 -0.148
Using Tokens but Not Events 5488 38.52% 38.46 -0.226 86.63% -0.15 -0.2012

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3254 22.37 30.73%
II 15088 30.88 68.64%
III 26036 34.39 91.18%
IV 13879 37.55 99.32%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.195 Win Model: 0.151
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 39215 47.52% 37.34 81.82%
2 13142 43.12% 38.78 87.06%
3 3749 37.39% 40.06 90.4%
4 2151 33.25% 42.25 91.26%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 726
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 18241
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7222
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10882
Lose: Invader deck ran out 507
Win: Sacrifice victory 219
Lose: Scenario condition 409
Win: Scenario condition 1101
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8031
Lose: Spirit destroyed 430

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5189 36.17% 45.89 0.538 86.09% -0.137 -0.0329
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3508 67.76% 42.03 -0.284 76.8% -0.009 0.1891
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2615 42.66% 45.61 0.65 88.26% 0.361 0.2474
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4186 28.54% 50.15 2.585 93.79% 0.751 0.3467
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2745 34.29% 48.76 1.996 92.13% 0.657 0.3514
Fractured Days Split the Sky 716 44.41% 46.3 1.003 77.51% -0.655 -0.3072
Heart of the Wildfire 4459 70.81% 37.77 -2.609 67.1% -0.49 -0.1709
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7636 45.48% 45.13 0.58 85.8% 0.182 -0.1611
Lightning's Swift Strike 5655 56.14% 42.2 -0.649 76.71% -0.244 -0.0186
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1753 47.32% 45.59 0.74 86.37% 0.226 -0.0607
Many Minds Move as One 1216 30.43% 49.01 2.079 93.59% 0.638 0.105
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6179 51.38% 44.63 0.332 83.64% 0.112 -0.1123
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2905 42.34% 44.73 0.289 86.78% 0.169 0.1836
River Surges in Sunlight 7721 52.51% 45.1 0.668 77.65% -0.292 -0.1708
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3588 45.3% 44.62 0.011 83.95% -0.047 0.0558
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3363 67.69% 40.39 -1.236 70.89% -0.334 0.0709
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4817 40.93% 45.93 0.932 84.62% -0.094 -0.2064
Shifting Memory of Ages 336 60.9% 42.63 -0.152 82.14% 0.158 0.2826
Shroud of Silent Mist 526 71.81% 38.99 -1.827 72.81% -0.251 -0.195
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2029 41.94% 42.88 -0.851 87.09% 0.08 0.0207
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2461 40.09% 45.65 0.357 85.41% -0.088 0.0727
Thunderspeaker 4948 46.52% 46.07 0.775 83.23% 0.032 0.0558
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1491 82.07% 38.11 -1.856 74.18% 0.043 0.0152
Vital Strength of the Earth 4341 47.86% 40.59 -1.615 72.73% -0.806 0.0379
Volcano Looming High 997 56.28% 40.66 -1.301 78.23% -0.259 -0.2488

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 683 57.62% 38.54 -2.676 67.06% -0.77 -0.2045
Dahan Insurrection 4 1023 33.17% 66.88 10.711 81.92% -0.54 -0.1394
Despicable Theft 2 24 75.0% 41.33 -0.448 54.17% -0.866 -0.5921
Elemental Invocation 1 51 70.59% 42.08 -0.368 72.55% -0.277 0.2251
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2889 11.42% 51.47 2.725 89.62% -0.867 -0.5021
Powers Long Forgotten 1 225 70.22% 44.52 0.383 67.11% -0.489 -0.0429
Rituals of Terror 3 148 65.54% 50.22 3.091 64.19% -0.747 -0.102
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 111 81.98% 44.68 1.015 53.15% -0.775 -0.1281
Second Wave 0 2416 54.88% 43.09 -0.24 69.62% -0.887 -0.4572
The Great River 3 43 65.12% 44.95 0.905 53.49% -1.494 -0.0212
Ward the Shores 2 165 63.41% 47.76 1.659 65.45% -0.786 0.2461

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 39772 54.34% 41.94 -0.753 77.23% -0.477 -0.391
1 Thematic 2066 50.44% 49.43 1.77 73.67% -0.755 -0.4783
2 Archipelago 6 66.67% 59.33 6.928 100.0% 0.442 0.4483
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8577 47.4% 44.53 0.265 85.02% 0.051 0.0765
2 Coastline 1062 43.37% 45.31 0.309 86.25% 0.039 0.0147
2 Fragment 183 56.91% 40.12 -1.442 73.22% -0.438 -0.2151
2 Heart 93 59.14% 43.1 -0.123 83.87% 0.072 0.1717
2 Opposite Shores 1877 45.06% 45.42 0.32 86.57% 0.11 0.1756
2 Thematic 766 59.22% 48.17 0.466 72.32% -0.47 -0.5365
2 Top to Top 288 48.08% 43.96 -0.145 83.68% -0.071 -0.1394
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 50.0 3.578 100.0% 0.21 1.0146
3 Coastline 39 28.21% 50.28 1.465 87.18% -0.222 -0.3727
3 Other 195 37.63% 46.34 0.35 90.77% 0.063 0.236
3 Round (Default) 2803 39.47% 46.6 0.543 88.62% 0.326 0.2872
3 Sunrise 17 29.41% 46.88 0.187 88.24% -0.133 -0.393
3 Thematic 126 58.73% 52.19 1.658 82.54% 0.235 -0.1314
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 57.5 3.859 100.0% 0.03 0.5782
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 44.33 0.17 100.0% 0.351 0.4706
4 Leaf 9 55.56% 41.33 -2.298 66.67% -0.538 -0.4662
4 Other 69 46.38% 46.46 0.392 91.3% 0.493 0.4233
4 Snake 3 33.33% 50.0 1.815 100.0% 0.237 0.3632
4 Thematic 268 39.7% 55.57 1.122 86.94% 0.323 -0.6742
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1742 35.84% 48.45 0.873 90.76% 0.591 0.5993
5 Archipelago 5 60.0% 62.2 8.462 80.0% -0.175 0.9845
5 Other 20 30.0% 48.9 0.717 100.0% 0.609 0.1484
5 Thematic 5 60.0% 57.0 3.678 100.0% 0.545 -1.8468
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 32.0 -5.365 0.0% -0.801 -0.4354

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2395 35.43 -5.092 60.67% -3.232 -1.1628
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1865 37.92 -3.975 65.31% -3.06 -1.147
All Things Weaken 950 34.07 -5.617 58.95% -3.329 -1.1701
Back Against the Wall 1830 36.51 -4.673 61.2% -3.261 -1.1742
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2224 33.06 -6.205 59.31% -3.269 -1.0467
Downward Spiral 5469 35.95 -4.673 65.83% -2.809 -0.787
Erosion of Will 2347 34.84 -5.385 58.88% -3.297 -1.089
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 378 45.7 -0.044 93.12% -1.089 -0.41
Memory Fades to Dust 5619 34.64 -5.378 60.79% -3.06 -0.8455
Power Corrodes the Spirit 937 34.77 -5.236 62.54% -3.157 -1.1355
Promising Farmlands 2380 35.07 -5.276 63.24% -3.109 -0.9011
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 246 46.42 0.341 95.53% -0.612 -0.2009
Thriving Communities 906 35.32 -4.99 65.34% -3.063 -0.975
Tipping Point 1156 34.38 -5.531 59.69% -3.202 -0.9773
Unnatural Proliferation 999 37.0 -4.1 66.77% -3.03 -0.9493
Untended Land Crumbles 934 34.96 -5.228 63.17% -3.167 -1.0647

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14210 51.02% 43.07 -0.329 79.85% 0.222 -0.4661
B 14956 48.75% 43.91 0.173 82.09% 0.372 -0.4112
C 15500 49.52% 43.92 0.248 82.14% 0.417 -0.5954
D 13422 50.46% 43.36 -0.031 80.87% 0.311 -0.4664
E 3914 47.24% 44.35 0.198 84.11% 0.327 -0.5672
F 6490 45.38% 44.7 0.249 84.48% 0.332 -0.5088
G 6093 47.02% 44.27 0.048 83.82% 0.317 -0.5149
H 6158 43.82% 45.18 0.381 85.21% 0.334 -0.5051
East 1218 50.94% 51.45 1.606 75.78% 0.205 -0.3712
Northeast 1189 49.83% 51.99 2.056 79.39% 0.495 -0.0294
Northwest 929 50.22% 50.86 1.331 78.36% 0.467 -0.1278
Southeast 254 57.48% 47.44 0.243 74.02% 0.374 -0.2551
Southwest 235 54.89% 43.28 -2.041 73.19% 0.097 -0.1019
West 1059 54.3% 51.6 1.539 74.79% 0.229 -0.0985

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 394 0.0% 39.36 -3.835 65.99% -3.076 -1.0229
Not Using Events or Tokens 8010 59.5% 40.84 -1.023 73.36% -0.303 -0.0884
Skip Initial Invader Actions 667 7.32% 58.39 4.402 96.55% 0.599 -0.087
Start of Game Growth 1321 12.15% 55.71 3.676 95.16% 0.793 0.3243
Unlimited Undo 4782 42.19% 45.82 0.858 85.93% 0.292 -0.1309
Using Tokens but Not Events 5783 43.95% 44.4 0.15 83.85% 0.023 -0.0276

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4087 22.37 20.16%
II 20300 30.88 68.52%
III 24155 34.39 89.79%
IV 11457 37.55 99.48%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.339 Win Model: -0.298
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 41933 54.16% 42.33 77.09%
2 12846 47.64% 44.85 84.39%
3 3125 39.67% 46.82 88.38%
4 2095 36.61% 49.35 90.26%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 610
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 17203
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10158
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9052
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1114
Win: Sacrifice victory 227
Lose: Scenario condition 312
Win: Scenario condition 946
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10222
Lose: Spirit destroyed 531

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3740 35.74% 48.0 0.144 83.21% -0.337 -0.2325
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2890 67.25% 44.17 -0.751 75.54% -0.009 0.1884
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2343 42.97% 47.83 0.292 86.21% 0.237 0.1229
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3653 27.58% 53.59 2.599 93.95% 0.861 0.4568
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2556 33.92% 50.19 1.354 89.44% 0.351 0.0454
Fractured Days Split the Sky 673 38.34% 51.93 2.204 84.1% -0.263 0.085
Heart of the Wildfire 3690 70.43% 40.8 -2.467 69.11% -0.297 0.0217
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7104 42.17% 48.58 0.652 86.33% 0.245 -0.0975
Lightning's Swift Strike 5162 48.09% 46.42 -0.174 80.12% -0.092 0.1335
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1717 43.33% 49.15 0.949 87.65% 0.309 0.0218
Many Minds Move as One 1054 30.29% 52.01 1.853 94.5% 0.824 0.2913
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4892 50.93% 47.02 -0.059 81.85% 0.051 -0.1731
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2418 43.11% 46.99 -0.118 83.87% -0.027 -0.0128
River Surges in Sunlight 5613 52.47% 48.39 0.847 78.12% -0.187 -0.0659
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2814 45.27% 46.83 -0.416 81.95% -0.117 -0.0138
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2262 67.19% 42.53 -1.798 68.48% -0.341 0.0642
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5924 29.78% 51.11 1.9 88.52% 0.126 0.0137
Shifting Memory of Ages 289 60.21% 44.47 -0.843 79.24% -0.096 0.0285
Shroud of Silent Mist 375 78.13% 40.66 -2.303 71.2% -0.224 -0.1679
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2025 34.95% 46.93 -0.6 89.53% 0.196 0.1365
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2141 42.96% 47.92 0.174 82.77% -0.148 0.0123
Thunderspeaker 3732 46.66% 48.02 0.426 81.81% 0.018 0.0417
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1360 81.47% 41.18 -1.954 74.78% 0.126 0.098
Vital Strength of the Earth 2715 51.65% 39.84 -3.491 59.41% -1.44 -0.5963
Volcano Looming High 1091 49.13% 46.26 -0.395 84.6% 0.096 0.1069

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 410 65.06% 39.71 -3.194 64.88% -0.615 -0.0489
Dahan Insurrection 4 599 34.91% 71.76 11.276 81.47% -0.35 0.0504
Despicable Theft 2 8 75.0% 44.88 -0.275 50.0% -0.868 -0.5942
Elemental Invocation 1 29 51.72% 46.17 -0.706 75.86% -0.32 0.1825
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2186 11.65% 53.85 2.514 89.16% -0.55 -0.185
Powers Long Forgotten 1 163 69.33% 45.83 -0.134 65.03% -0.643 -0.1967
Rituals of Terror 3 143 60.84% 54.42 3.819 62.94% -0.679 -0.0341
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 94 79.79% 47.59 0.996 51.06% -0.79 -0.1428
Second Wave 0 1547 53.15% 46.13 -0.317 70.14% -0.765 -0.3351
The Great River 3 33 69.7% 47.18 0.059 51.52% -1.652 -0.1789
Ward the Shores 2 124 69.35% 49.1 1.189 62.1% -0.578 0.4536

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 38694 48.09% 46.02 -0.528 79.45% -0.353 -0.2669
1 Thematic 1530 53.11% 52.21 1.574 70.2% -0.637 -0.3597
2 Archipelago 3 66.67% 65.0 9.924 100.0% 0.376 0.3828
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6176 49.36% 46.91 0.021 82.69% -0.07 -0.0437
2 Coastline 964 41.61% 48.2 0.263 86.1% 0.011 -0.0141
2 Fragment 120 50.83% 47.61 0.183 83.33% 0.02 0.2424
2 Heart 66 44.62% 48.45 0.183 87.88% -0.114 -0.0142
2 Opposite Shores 1112 46.77% 46.57 -0.326 82.19% -0.211 -0.1451
2 Thematic 470 56.84% 50.91 0.627 72.34% -0.358 -0.4251
2 Top to Top 199 43.94% 47.35 -0.135 83.42% -0.185 -0.2535
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 57.0 4.31 100.0% 0.017 0.8218
3 Coastline 46 21.74% 57.33 3.756 100.0% 1.458 1.3073
3 Other 99 52.53% 47.29 -0.31 85.86% -0.218 -0.045
3 Round (Default) 2303 36.85% 49.39 0.711 89.41% 0.236 0.1968
3 Sunrise 9 22.22% 48.56 -0.02 88.89% 0.017 -0.2434
3 Thematic 85 63.53% 50.25 0.009 71.76% -0.144 -0.5098
4 Archipelago 5 60.0% 44.2 -2.06 60.0% -0.879 -0.331
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 66.0 7.031 100.0% 0.165 0.2845
4 Leaf 6 66.67% 46.33 0.844 83.33% 0.236 0.3081
4 Other 51 37.25% 49.61 0.463 84.31% -0.321 -0.3905
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 -9.894 0.0% -0.242 -0.1157
4 Thematic 324 41.8% 57.53 1.164 87.65% 0.534 -0.4625
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1159 36.92% 50.3 0.683 89.82% 0.24 0.2482
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 69.33 10.114 100.0% 0.144 1.3038
5 Other 16 28.57% 54.06 1.817 93.75% -0.281 -0.7418
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 57.33 2.738 100.0% 0.509 -1.8823
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 72.0 13.345 100.0% 0.084 0.4496

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2065 38.9 -5.028 62.57% -2.829 -0.7596
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1523 41.24 -3.921 66.45% -2.708 -0.7947
All Things Weaken 800 38.3 -5.246 62.25% -2.945 -0.7857
Back Against the Wall 1375 39.23 -4.936 60.87% -2.962 -0.8747
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1909 35.94 -6.527 58.88% -3.001 -0.7792
Downward Spiral 4413 38.35 -5.192 63.81% -2.604 -0.5825
Erosion of Will 1929 37.8 -5.609 59.41% -2.967 -0.7596
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 333 48.9 -0.14 92.19% -0.962 -0.2837
Memory Fades to Dust 4522 37.36 -5.682 59.46% -2.787 -0.572
Power Corrodes the Spirit 822 40.23 -4.29 69.95% -2.571 -0.5502
Promising Farmlands 2010 36.84 -6.059 59.65% -2.962 -0.7539
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 239 49.03 -0.056 94.14% -0.601 -0.1895
Thriving Communities 741 36.93 -5.965 60.46% -2.99 -0.9015
Tipping Point 957 35.54 -6.64 54.13% -3.093 -0.8679
Unnatural Proliferation 848 40.28 -4.214 67.57% -2.677 -0.5965
Untended Land Crumbles 758 39.85 -4.464 69.39% -2.612 -0.5095

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11327 48.79% 45.91 -0.464 79.22% 0.177 -0.5109
B 12566 45.76% 47.01 0.139 82.14% 0.365 -0.4191
C 12695 48.42% 46.49 -0.027 80.76% 0.343 -0.6697
D 11196 47.7% 46.35 -0.156 80.26% 0.256 -0.5217
E 3992 41.93% 48.63 0.642 87.0% 0.459 -0.4356
F 5806 42.58% 47.88 0.289 85.34% 0.387 -0.4539
G 5411 43.64% 47.9 0.308 85.36% 0.417 -0.4145
H 5487 42.12% 48.28 0.383 85.55% 0.373 -0.4659
East 959 49.58% 54.41 1.629 77.48% 0.216 -0.3606
Northeast 914 53.35% 52.81 0.808 74.4% 0.1 -0.4242
Northwest 684 49.78% 53.73 1.03 78.95% 0.403 -0.1925
Southeast 190 52.63% 50.19 0.21 77.37% 0.286 -0.3436
Southwest 189 58.73% 42.65 -4.073 63.49% -0.705 -0.9036
West 965 49.33% 56.99 2.717 77.82% 0.272 -0.0554

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 341 0.0% 47.89 -1.229 78.3% -2.081 -0.0284
Not Using Events or Tokens 6956 53.35% 44.79 -0.709 74.7% -0.227 -0.0126
Skip Initial Invader Actions 467 12.21% 60.0 3.875 95.5% 0.674 -0.0121
Start of Game Growth 870 14.66% 57.49 2.854 93.45% 0.324 -0.1454
Unlimited Undo 5180 44.32% 48.16 0.557 84.67% 0.246 -0.1774
Using Tokens but Not Events 4863 39.63% 47.58 0.154 83.63% -0.042 -0.0926

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5468 22.37 37.14%
II 23692 30.88 79.12%
III 17687 34.39 88.45%
IV 6601 37.55 99.56%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.272 Win Model: -0.139
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 40282 48.3% 46.25 79.11%
2 9096 48.44% 47.25 82.54%
3 2521 37.95% 49.46 88.73%
4 1549 37.84% 51.86 89.22%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1573
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12725
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 14712
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5275
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1918
Win: Sacrifice victory 209
Lose: Scenario condition 218
Win: Scenario condition 565
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7918
Lose: Spirit destroyed 400

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2075 46.37% 51.72 0.231 72.92% -0.314 -0.2093
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1293 78.82% 47.19 -0.719 64.81% 0.105 0.3033
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1975 41.0% 53.8 0.86 80.0% 0.095 -0.0185
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2252 38.67% 57.39 2.826 86.1% 0.595 0.1909
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1177 47.4% 54.46 1.412 79.1% 0.23 -0.0754
Fractured Days Split the Sky 294 54.76% 53.01 1.277 68.03% -0.414 -0.0659
Heart of the Wildfire 2072 72.46% 44.08 -2.767 60.86% -0.241 0.0781
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3122 59.55% 49.85 -0.274 70.92% 0.029 -0.3139
Lightning's Swift Strike 2607 68.4% 46.64 -1.479 62.41% -0.22 0.0059
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 994 49.09% 54.54 1.462 81.49% 0.367 0.0807
Many Minds Move as One 420 39.05% 58.7 3.452 92.14% 1.17 0.6368
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2619 57.95% 51.42 0.632 73.35% 0.174 -0.0503
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1125 56.11% 49.43 -0.495 70.31% -0.148 -0.1335
River Surges in Sunlight 3191 63.8% 51.95 1.189 67.53% -0.029 0.0921
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1394 56.73% 50.34 -0.098 72.31% 0.044 0.1466
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1826 83.05% 43.97 -1.908 57.12% -0.119 0.2853
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3027 36.53% 56.82 2.699 81.7% 0.187 0.0754
Shifting Memory of Ages 103 67.96% 46.3 -1.735 65.05% -0.304 -0.1794
Shroud of Silent Mist 136 82.35% 43.14 -2.874 59.56% -0.205 -0.1491
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1919 33.3% 53.01 0.435 84.26% 0.223 0.1629
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1457 49.72% 51.76 0.595 73.51% -0.072 0.0883
Thunderspeaker 2052 57.27% 52.07 0.949 71.78% 0.062 0.0857
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1042 87.43% 45.07 -1.397 64.68% 0.273 0.2449
Vital Strength of the Earth 1432 67.11% 40.94 -4.305 43.16% -1.368 -0.5243
Volcano Looming High 512 67.58% 48.49 -0.481 71.88% 0.214 0.2249

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 371 76.8% 40.65 -4.239 50.94% -0.74 -0.1744
Dahan Insurrection 4 493 55.28% 68.98 8.558 64.91% -0.481 -0.0804
Despicable Theft 2 3 33.33% 59.0 3.068 66.67% -0.296 -0.022
Elemental Invocation 1 10 80.0% 39.9 -5.031 40.0% -1.071 -0.5683
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1168 20.14% 59.77 3.549 85.87% 0.034 0.3984
Powers Long Forgotten 1 87 78.16% 47.9 -0.463 52.87% -0.323 0.1234
Rituals of Terror 3 61 75.41% 54.33 2.557 47.54% -0.466 0.1786
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 66 90.91% 49.02 0.722 42.42% -0.306 0.3406
Second Wave 0 868 64.35% 49.37 -0.111 62.21% -0.335 0.0945
The Great River 3 26 57.69% 40.85 -5.658 23.08% -2.713 -1.2402
Ward the Shores 2 48 77.08% 54.27 2.667 58.33% 0.041 1.0732

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 22590 57.75% 49.18 -0.842 69.49% 0.154 0.2399
1 Thematic 1002 64.07% 54.4 1.321 59.38% 0.321 0.598
2 Archipelago 5 80.0% 57.0 2.821 60.0% -0.16 -0.153
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3867 54.94% 51.88 0.691 74.81% 0.016 0.042
2 Coastline 465 55.7% 50.64 -0.079 70.32% -0.247 -0.2713
2 Fragment 67 68.18% 46.9 -1.085 65.67% -0.275 -0.0519
2 Heart 25 56.0% 47.44 -2.038 64.0% -0.763 -0.6628
2 Opposite Shores 727 61.79% 50.39 0.103 72.63% -0.032 0.0331
2 Thematic 248 70.04% 52.86 -0.096 58.06% 0.417 0.3507
2 Top to Top 82 56.79% 51.63 0.387 76.83% 0.133 0.0641
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 112.0 21.395 100.0% 0.014 0.8186
3 Coastline 10 30.0% 66.6 6.69 100.0% 0.808 0.6571
3 Other 34 67.65% 53.74 2.084 76.47% 0.146 0.319
3 Round (Default) 947 54.91% 52.54 0.72 76.77% -0.313 -0.3516
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 51.33 0.388 66.67% -0.289 -0.549
3 Thematic 37 59.46% 58.27 0.813 67.57% 0.306 -0.0599
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 64.33 5.471 100.0% 0.052 0.1714
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 20.0 -13.903 0.0% -0.763 -0.6906
4 Other 9 66.67% 55.78 2.183 88.89% 0.069 0.0001
4 Thematic 159 32.08% 64.46 1.174 82.39% 0.447 -0.5497
4 Trapezoid (Default) 451 48.75% 53.73 0.838 78.05% -0.666 -0.6575
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 85.0 12.505 100.0% 0.002 1.1622
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 69.0 7.101 100.0% 0.012 -0.1778
5 Other 3 0.0% 65.33 4.271 100.0% 0.039 -0.4217
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 85.0 13.026 100.0% 0.599 -1.7929

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1314 41.43 -5.414 50.91% -2.561 -0.4911
Aid From Lesser Spirits 923 45.88 -3.365 60.24% -2.201 -0.2882
All Things Weaken 566 41.74 -5.588 53.18% -2.644 -0.4851
Back Against the Wall 944 44.36 -4.113 56.36% -2.358 -0.2706
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1214 38.92 -6.773 48.76% -2.663 -0.4405
Downward Spiral 3490 41.1 -5.595 52.72% -2.491 -0.469
Erosion of Will 1218 40.54 -5.961 48.28% -2.675 -0.4675
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 200 54.98 0.949 89.0% -0.663 0.0156
Memory Fades to Dust 3516 40.48 -5.962 50.09% -2.605 -0.3904
Power Corrodes the Spirit 563 41.54 -5.556 55.06% -2.538 -0.5173
Promising Farmlands 1218 38.42 -6.991 44.99% -2.818 -0.6099
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 106 55.77 1.171 89.62% -0.514 -0.1021
Thriving Communities 527 40.85 -5.979 54.08% -2.621 -0.5327
Tipping Point 639 38.12 -7.136 42.72% -2.827 -0.602
Unnatural Proliferation 575 45.61 -3.613 60.7% -2.323 -0.2417
Untended Land Crumbles 560 41.85 -5.489 55.71% -2.558 -0.4553

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5609 62.26% 48.16 -0.747 66.38% 0.094 -0.5943
B 7272 54.97% 51.21 0.489 72.69% 0.294 -0.4897
C 6955 64.59% 48.3 -0.229 67.48% 0.279 -0.7338
D 5437 62.91% 48.51 -0.402 67.43% 0.192 -0.5854
E 1796 56.51% 52.33 0.942 76.95% 0.455 -0.4393
F 4169 44.69% 52.69 0.35 78.63% 0.23 -0.611
G 3493 47.06% 53.1 0.868 78.73% 0.394 -0.4377
H 3329 49.26% 52.46 0.677 76.45% 0.26 -0.5792
East 556 56.83% 58.76 1.683 65.47% -0.231 -0.8069
Northeast 485 57.64% 56.65 0.946 65.98% -0.05 -0.5741
Northwest 414 53.27% 56.31 0.068 62.32% -0.509 -1.1045
Southeast 95 57.89% 54.18 -0.052 68.42% -0.085 -0.7138
Southwest 90 63.33% 48.44 -3.736 57.78% -0.733 -0.9314
West 487 53.39% 60.29 2.246 67.97% -0.094 -0.4216

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 140 0.0% 49.24 -2.732 66.43% -2.217 -0.164
Not Using Events or Tokens 4671 71.38% 45.93 -0.888 60.78% 0.029 0.2437
Skip Initial Invader Actions 225 19.61% 64.24 3.195 88.44% 0.09 -0.5967
Start of Game Growth 492 20.26% 65.94 4.476 90.24% 0.686 0.2166
Unlimited Undo 5502 35.18% 57.44 2.619 85.81% 0.485 0.0621
Using Tokens but Not Events 5697 29.22% 57.22 2.501 86.68% 0.281 0.23

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3699 22.37 24.25%
II 13822 30.88 67.52%
III 9694 34.39 81.2%
IV 3525 37.55 99.35%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.478 Win Model: 0.335
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 23622 58.01% 49.41 69.07%
2 5482 56.91% 51.54 73.24%
3 1014 54.93% 52.91 76.63%
4 622 43.77% 56.82 79.74%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 589
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6622
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7137
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2929
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1932
Win: Sacrifice victory 102
Lose: Scenario condition 143
Win: Scenario condition 348
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6689
Lose: Spirit destroyed 373

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4633 66.98% 46.55 -0.814 51.46% -0.291 -0.1866
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4385 87.42% 44.26 -1.391 50.95% 0.122 0.3202
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2134 78.84% 43.09 -2.363 46.77% -0.311 -0.4246
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5375 56.37% 55.53 3.568 72.86% 0.63 0.2259
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2283 76.53% 47.02 -0.531 55.15% 0.058 -0.2475
Fractured Days Split the Sky 877 68.07% 53.79 2.691 61.8% 0.065 0.4129
Heart of the Wildfire 5427 91.23% 34.92 -6.098 33.0% -0.626 -0.3068
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7094 74.86% 45.81 -1.206 54.37% -0.025 -0.3673
Lightning's Swift Strike 6767 74.88% 45.64 -1.392 52.3% -0.087 0.1385
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2338 73.05% 48.18 0.085 60.44% 0.171 -0.1154
Many Minds Move as One 1233 58.56% 57.22 4.505 82.32% 1.178 0.6445
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 21505 56.52% 58.07 6.103 81.57% 1.342 1.117
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2326 79.98% 43.11 -2.306 47.25% -0.283 -0.2684
River Surges in Sunlight 8719 76.98% 48.04 -0.374 51.31% -0.165 -0.0447
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4187 66.17% 47.45 -0.603 56.05% -0.101 0.002
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3153 78.49% 42.99 -2.667 45.96% -0.392 0.0128
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4633 68.31% 47.03 -0.742 55.58% -0.135 -0.2474
Shifting Memory of Ages 208 87.02% 41.72 -2.878 45.67% -0.285 -0.1609
Shroud of Silent Mist 416 94.7% 38.85 -3.945 41.35% -0.263 -0.2067
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2488 65.07% 43.98 -2.028 56.19% -0.253 -0.3131
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2253 75.85% 46.1 -1.278 52.73% -0.209 -0.0488
Thunderspeaker 5997 77.23% 50.85 0.969 49.79% 0.179 0.2031
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2502 92.57% 45.43 -0.388 59.11% 0.546 0.5179
Vital Strength of the Earth 3037 84.08% 35.09 -5.92 24.93% -1.315 -0.4712
Volcano Looming High 1658 77.8% 44.98 -1.212 56.33% 0.057 0.0675

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 850 58.33% 48.56 -1.183 59.06% -0.282 0.2835
Dahan Insurrection 4 3218 81.27% 60.64 6.068 39.9% -0.005 0.3955
Despicable Theft 2 13 84.62% 44.62 -1.854 30.77% -0.837 -0.5627
Elemental Invocation 1 27 77.78% 34.44 -6.909 22.22% -1.645 -1.1428
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3932 38.99% 55.08 3.452 69.61% 0.136 0.5007
Powers Long Forgotten 1 112 85.59% 39.81 -3.718 29.46% -0.941 -0.4942
Rituals of Terror 3 185 91.35% 43.46 -1.756 22.16% -1.077 -0.4322
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 39 94.87% 40.21 -4.019 17.95% -1.273 -0.6259
Second Wave 0 735 70.94% 46.34 -1.394 47.89% -0.705 -0.2756
The Great River 3 13 69.23% 53.46 2.05 46.15% -0.642 0.8311
Ward the Shores 2 72 88.89% 44.76 -2.685 36.11% -1.03 0.002

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 66120 72.84% 46.94 -1.154 57.33% -0.121 -0.035
1 Thematic 3751 79.63% 54.08 1.66 38.87% -0.361 -0.0837
2 Archipelago 9 66.67% 64.44 5.932 55.56% -0.767 -0.7604
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7388 63.21% 51.08 1.055 65.15% 0.201 0.2271
2 Coastline 1157 71.12% 50.27 0.672 63.61% 0.185 0.1605
2 Fragment 132 81.82% 44.16 -1.216 50.76% -0.009 0.2132
2 Heart 68 77.94% 43.74 -2.304 48.53% -0.512 -0.4119
2 Opposite Shores 1905 68.53% 49.34 0.503 61.26% 0.148 0.2132
2 Thematic 821 80.66% 52.21 -0.057 39.1% -0.246 -0.3128
2 Top to Top 247 78.6% 46.49 -0.671 55.06% -0.064 -0.1325
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 22.0 -12.686 0.0% -0.51 0.2945
3 Coastline 19 63.16% 49.53 0.482 57.89% 0.155 0.0045
3 Other 73 79.45% 45.68 -0.96 53.42% -0.203 -0.0301
3 Round (Default) 1879 74.4% 48.85 0.402 60.19% 0.262 0.2236
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 50.29 1.679 71.43% 0.687 0.4272
3 Thematic 64 79.69% 50.0 -0.756 42.19% 0.343 -0.0233
4 Coastline 4 100.0% 46.5 -3.026 50.0% -0.314 -0.1945
4 Leaf 2 0.0% 66.5 2.629 100.0% 0.081 0.1525
4 Other 30 73.33% 52.2 0.717 70.0% 0.29 0.2207
4 Snake 2 100.0% 26.0 -10.411 0.0% -0.674 -0.5479
4 Thematic 269 71.27% 57.97 0.847 54.65% 0.698 -0.2983
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1284 67.15% 52.05 1.502 64.88% 0.614 0.6223
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 32.0 -11.63 0.0% -0.771 0.3885
5 Other 18 61.11% 65.28 5.361 88.89% 1.157 0.6966
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 33.0 -10.67 0.0% -0.237 -2.6289

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 5401 42.42 -4.13 46.82% -2.432 -0.3627
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4300 47.86 -1.571 57.91% -1.985 -0.0722
All Things Weaken 1955 41.0 -4.438 45.01% -2.417 -0.2573
Back Against the Wall 3510 43.23 -3.397 47.18% -2.26 -0.1726
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4807 39.29 -5.794 43.4% -2.604 -0.3821
Downward Spiral 10189 41.23 -4.886 41.58% -2.352 -0.3299
Erosion of Will 5179 40.59 -5.077 42.61% -2.629 -0.4213
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 520 55.61 2.259 78.27% -0.98 -0.3016
Memory Fades to Dust 10141 40.58 -5.154 38.48% -2.459 -0.2439
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1874 40.65 -4.646 45.73% -2.404 -0.3828
Promising Farmlands 4845 40.1 -5.323 43.22% -2.605 -0.3967
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 315 57.77 3.564 85.08% -0.453 -0.0413
Thriving Communities 1786 39.16 -5.441 42.27% -2.572 -0.4837
Tipping Point 2485 38.06 -6.335 37.42% -2.846 -0.6215
Unnatural Proliferation 2100 42.02 -4.024 45.24% -2.433 -0.3527
Untended Land Crumbles 1835 39.6 -5.196 42.83% -2.527 -0.4247

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14927 74.8% 45.39 -1.226 52.84% 0.152 -0.5357
B 18946 69.88% 48.15 0.036 59.4% 0.323 -0.4611
C 18158 73.46% 46.54 -0.508 55.66% 0.288 -0.7245
D 17539 71.38% 48.08 0.034 59.07% 0.318 -0.459
E 5209 73.73% 48.22 0.461 60.89% 0.523 -0.3713
F 8608 68.57% 50.02 0.905 64.2% 0.534 -0.307
G 8349 67.67% 51.31 1.47 66.73% 0.629 -0.2032
H 7776 65.54% 51.1 1.246 66.0% 0.543 -0.2957
East 2164 79.99% 56.97 2.635 40.71% 0.302 -0.2746
Northeast 1817 76.62% 55.66 1.737 44.41% 0.248 -0.2765
Northwest 983 73.72% 54.45 1.164 45.17% 0.184 -0.4112
Southeast 176 89.77% 44.27 -2.074 28.98% -0.087 -0.7164
Southwest 113 79.65% 35.64 -6.19 28.32% -0.64 -0.8382
West 1153 79.63% 52.36 -0.197 38.07% -0.197 -0.5244

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 485 0.0% 42.0 -4.586 40.82% -2.316 -0.263
Not Using Events or Tokens 9810 85.81% 44.21 -2.309 38.8% -0.535 -0.3203
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1610 19.99% 66.95 6.24 89.07% 0.938 0.2516
Start of Game Growth 2579 24.55% 63.84 5.23 85.65% 0.454 -0.0145
Unlimited Undo 7234 66.93% 51.28 1.739 65.48% 0.449 0.0263
Using Tokens but Not Events 5315 59.45% 48.91 -0.042 58.81% -0.286 -0.3367

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 13474 22.37 6.28%
II 33284 30.88 48.86%
III 30381 34.39 78.0%
IV 8113 37.55 99.53%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.498 Win Model: -0.395
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 70069 73.19% 47.36 56.39%
2 11583 66.7% 50.49 61.89%
3 2007 74.74% 48.76 59.34%
4 1593 68.0% 53.01 63.03%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 646
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 19401
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 12098
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6626
Lose: Invader deck ran out 6567
Win: Sacrifice victory 425
Lose: Scenario condition 641
Win: Scenario condition 1310
Lose: Blight pool ran out 27305
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1860

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2025-04-15 02:07:53 (Pacific Time)