The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5510 25.4% 25.61 -0.051 88.44% -0.254 -0.1076
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4012 43.95% 25.58 0.434 86.91% 0.246 0.4822
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2443 24.5% 26.82 0.386 93.12% 0.372 0.2854
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3036 14.21% 30.53 1.829 96.18% 0.561 0.1924
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2347 18.55% 28.16 0.9 94.67% 0.446 0.2135
Fractured Days Split the Sky 392 33.42% 27.42 0.956 84.69% -0.503 -0.1698
Heart of the Wildfire 3808 57.58% 21.71 -1.345 76.1% -0.301 0.0468
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4914 27.82% 26.42 0.152 90.88% 0.118 -0.18
Lightning's Swift Strike 7001 40.74% 24.25 -0.323 82.09% -0.233 0.0353
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 604 28.81% 27.33 0.699 92.38% 0.392 0.0313
Many Minds Move as One 654 18.2% 28.89 1.258 95.87% 0.528 0.0145
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5604 40.14% 25.6 0.086 87.38% 0.227 0.0296
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2198 30.08% 25.35 -0.267 89.9% 0.072 0.1193
River Surges in Sunlight 7442 38.78% 26.55 0.69 81.08% -0.432 -0.2649
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3103 29.94% 25.58 -0.171 88.82% -0.072 0.0769
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4582 52.65% 24.24 -0.123 80.97% -0.002 0.4478
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3681 27.32% 27.02 0.512 89.98% -0.06 -0.1242
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1132 27.6% 23.68 -1.115 92.93% 0.321 0.3021
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1868 29.04% 25.48 -0.395 86.94% -0.307 -0.0919
Thunderspeaker 5117 31.55% 26.86 0.486 86.54% -0.11 -0.0501
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 857 58.64% 21.76 -1.283 86.11% 0.375 0.4111
Vital Strength of the Earth 5193 31.18% 22.48 -1.563 77.47% -1.175 -0.31
Volcano Looming High 295 32.99% 24.54 -0.482 87.8% -0.187 -0.2882

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 777 42.27% 22.79 -1.312 77.09% -0.556 0.0169
Dahan Insurrection 4 1139 20.78% 46.27 9.745 80.51% -1.417 -1.0158
Elemental Invocation 1 36 38.89% 26.17 0.157 75.0% -0.825 -0.3593
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2026 7.96% 30.81 1.835 87.17% -1.581 -1.2057
Powers Long Forgotten 1 447 53.03% 28.96 1.573 77.18% -0.293 0.1543
Rituals of Terror 3 495 46.15% 35.51 4.916 71.31% -0.931 -0.3085
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 306 72.22% 33.12 4.186 67.32% -0.461 0.1632
Second Wave 0 964 54.77% 24.54 0.224 74.48% -0.495 -0.076
The Great River 3 62 38.71% 30.52 2.646 54.84% -2.405 -0.9197
Ward the Shores 2 427 44.94% 31.54 2.504 73.3% -0.863 0.1672

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 36861 39.69% 24.14 -0.632 82.71% -0.283 0.0714
1 Thematic 3189 41.26% 32.42 2.305 78.71% -0.4 0.0977
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7963 31.75% 25.26 -0.154 88.47% -0.017 0.1721
2 Coastline 762 33.95% 24.9 -0.277 87.14% -0.097 0.0378
2 Fragment 204 39.0% 23.48 -0.726 83.82% -0.11 0.3161
2 Heart 102 41.18% 23.42 -0.719 83.33% -0.283 0.008
2 Opposite Shores 1154 31.03% 25.96 0.118 90.73% 0.301 0.5271
2 Thematic 723 37.36% 34.19 1.9 85.06% -0.063 -0.0183
2 Top to Top 215 28.17% 25.48 -0.026 93.95% 0.582 0.6984
3 Coastline 12 25.0% 30.25 1.128 75.0% -0.413 -0.4513
3 Other 78 32.0% 23.83 -0.883 82.05% -0.808 -0.4056
3 Round (Default) 2387 22.53% 26.44 0.213 93.84% 0.467 0.4985
3 Sunrise 12 72.73% 24.25 0.172 91.67% 0.662 0.4088
3 Thematic 116 31.9% 35.89 1.275 85.34% -0.327 -0.666
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 43.0 7.376 100.0% 0.246 0.3687
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 15.5 -4.695 50.0% -0.519 -0.4389
4 Other 35 18.18% 26.77 0.222 94.29% 0.096 0.1766
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 26.5 0.738 100.0% 0.163 -0.6296
4 Snake 2 0.0% 28.0 0.167 100.0% 0.009 0.1345
4 Thematic 291 20.96% 36.15 0.536 94.5% 0.475 -0.6031
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1098 24.0% 26.11 0.069 92.71% 0.201 0.1682
5 Other 5 20.0% 23.0 -1.037 100.0% 0.15 -0.0666
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 34.0 -1.1 100.0% 0.005 -2.7623

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1356 18.95 -4.087 62.24% -3.611 -1.5434
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1140 19.7 -3.691 62.72% -3.626 -1.7094
All Things Weaken 332 18.22 -4.342 59.34% -3.76 -1.5996
Back Against the Wall 1007 18.85 -4.026 60.38% -3.71 -1.6181
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1210 16.72 -5.24 60.83% -3.653 -1.4315
Downward Spiral 5020 17.19 -4.624 63.03% -3.215 -1.2012
Erosion of Will 1265 18.23 -4.437 59.84% -3.687 -1.4752
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 151 24.31 -1.331 98.01% -0.205 0.5068
Memory Fades to Dust 5102 16.97 -4.77 59.64% -3.361 -1.1456
Power Corrodes the Spirit 361 18.73 -4.009 70.36% -3.291 -1.2716
Promising Farmlands 1299 17.14 -4.995 60.59% -3.692 -1.4777
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 95 24.64 -0.855 97.89% -0.156 0.2612
Thriving Communities 349 16.89 -4.953 63.32% -3.545 -1.4378
Tipping Point 786 17.95 -4.646 63.23% -3.531 -1.3146
Unnatural Proliferation 351 19.1 -3.824 66.95% -3.402 -1.3216
Untended Land Crumbles 339 16.97 -5.003 59.0% -3.754 -1.6588

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 13365 37.51% 24.33 -0.354 84.44% 0.158 -0.9152
B 13731 36.18% 24.66 -0.2 85.41% 0.197 -0.9677
C 13790 34.35% 24.92 -0.096 85.93% 0.194 -1.2031
D 13184 35.04% 24.82 -0.104 85.91% 0.201 -0.9572
E 2166 31.44% 25.36 -0.075 89.47% 0.199 -1.0575
F 4643 30.06% 25.38 -0.114 89.14% 0.164 -1.0616
G 4489 31.29% 25.31 -0.117 89.04% 0.229 -0.9833
H 4541 29.66% 25.46 -0.133 89.03% 0.136 -1.0857
East 1437 35.73% 35.08 2.431 84.27% 0.308 -0.6279
Northeast 1610 34.06% 34.54 2.267 84.35% 0.219 -0.6507
Northwest 1226 35.61% 33.36 1.62 84.34% 0.331 -0.6138
Southeast 189 33.51% 32.25 1.195 84.13% 0.042 -0.9412
Southwest 175 40.57% 26.6 -1.674 79.43% -0.311 -0.9364
West 1331 38.53% 34.15 1.865 81.67% 0.078 -0.587

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 869 0.0% 22.12 -2.24 72.15% -2.829 -0.7903
Not Using Events or Tokens 14393 47.16% 22.85 -0.968 77.9% -0.438 -0.2178
Skip Initial Invader Actions 780 9.7% 33.16 2.488 94.49% 0.457 -0.2486
Start of Game Growth 1194 13.68% 31.73 1.982 93.8% 0.388 -0.0712
Unlimited Undo 3386 30.46% 26.48 0.502 89.55% 0.41 0.0081
Using Tokens but Not Events 4888 29.75% 25.53 -0.148 87.83% -0.223 -0.2693

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3580 22.34 43.02%
II 17388 30.71 77.84%
III 23993 34.23 89.18%
IV 10257 37.48 98.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.07 Win Model: 0.022
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 40082 39.81% 24.8 82.4%
2 11117 32.32% 25.85 88.38%
3 2599 23.44% 26.8 93.04%
4 1420 23.29% 28.17 93.03%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1054
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 15462
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8787
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7255
Lose: Invader deck ran out 748
Win: Sacrifice victory 198
Lose: Scenario condition 396
Win: Scenario condition 1228
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7068
Lose: Spirit destroyed 416

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3760 27.89% 31.04 0.29 89.41% -0.129 0.0176
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2462 49.32% 30.28 0.467 85.34% 0.081 0.317
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1686 28.4% 31.76 0.566 92.23% 0.378 0.2919
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2145 20.11% 34.5 1.809 95.38% 0.698 0.329
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1635 26.8% 32.51 0.947 93.09% 0.384 0.1513
Fractured Days Split the Sky 324 37.65% 31.4 0.779 86.11% -0.386 -0.0519
Heart of the Wildfire 2728 65.31% 25.01 -1.948 72.69% -0.427 -0.0792
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3720 35.16% 30.48 0.063 89.22% 0.129 -0.1688
Lightning's Swift Strike 4431 46.01% 28.52 -0.452 80.68% -0.341 -0.0727
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 490 40.33% 30.02 0.097 88.98% 0.154 -0.2067
Many Minds Move as One 526 23.43% 33.17 1.177 93.54% 0.067 -0.4461
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3831 39.6% 31.1 0.63 89.85% 0.331 0.1343
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1574 31.29% 30.07 -0.162 89.45% -0.036 0.0113
River Surges in Sunlight 4902 44.07% 30.83 0.584 81.62% -0.372 -0.2054
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2145 36.31% 30.06 -0.143 87.23% -0.119 0.0301
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2939 59.77% 27.83 -0.5 77.37% -0.201 0.2478
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2755 31.21% 31.3 0.457 87.84% -0.17 -0.2343
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 845 29.38% 28.67 -0.945 92.9% 0.176 0.1575
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1624 29.49% 30.94 0.226 88.79% -0.205 0.0105
Thunderspeaker 3794 36.57% 31.48 0.573 85.85% -0.095 -0.0348
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 646 65.0% 26.75 -1.144 84.83% 0.295 0.3313
Vital Strength of the Earth 3381 36.57% 27.32 -1.351 79.71% -0.763 0.1018
Volcano Looming High 231 39.13% 28.83 -0.395 92.21% 0.436 0.3354

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 619 43.16% 27.08 -1.342 78.51% -0.481 0.0914
Dahan Insurrection 4 815 30.88% 46.93 8.229 73.25% -1.58 -1.1795
Elemental Invocation 1 16 43.75% 32.94 1.959 93.75% 0.333 0.7983
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1218 11.19% 33.16 0.922 80.21% -2.021 -1.6455
Powers Long Forgotten 1 363 60.22% 31.35 0.839 71.07% -0.598 -0.151
Rituals of Terror 3 346 46.22% 38.74 4.539 71.97% -0.985 -0.3632
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 237 75.85% 35.46 3.275 65.82% -0.58 0.044
Second Wave 0 3776 44.26% 31.55 1.18 80.43% -0.504 -0.0847
The Great River 3 40 50.0% 36.13 3.433 67.5% -1.24 0.245
Ward the Shores 2 396 52.03% 33.03 1.521 66.92% -1.16 -0.1293

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 23643 43.02% 28.53 -0.643 82.43% -0.395 -0.0401
1 Thematic 2384 47.08% 34.19 1.532 73.11% -0.692 -0.1944
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5255 37.35% 30.11 0.106 89.44% 0.164 0.3532
2 Coastline 619 38.13% 29.84 -0.131 88.85% 0.029 0.1642
2 Fragment 176 38.86% 29.1 -0.44 86.36% -0.207 0.2184
2 Heart 95 45.74% 28.16 -0.905 77.89% -0.524 -0.2335
2 Opposite Shores 1134 35.99% 30.24 0.029 91.09% 0.277 0.5036
2 Thematic 653 44.85% 37.71 1.985 82.54% 0.018 0.0623
2 Top to Top 203 35.47% 29.51 -0.303 85.22% -0.44 -0.3234
3 Coastline 6 50.0% 38.0 3.626 100.0% 0.903 0.8651
3 Other 75 37.5% 28.45 -0.849 84.0% -0.426 -0.0241
3 Round (Default) 1814 30.44% 31.16 0.208 91.9% 0.233 0.2639
3 Sunrise 15 13.33% 31.47 0.069 100.0% 0.542 0.2888
3 Thematic 103 51.49% 36.07 0.642 82.52% 0.235 -0.104
4 Coastline 5 20.0% 41.0 4.273 100.0% 0.184 0.3062
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 34.25 0.995 100.0% 0.435 0.5149
4 Other 53 30.19% 31.62 -0.098 88.68% -0.17 -0.0886
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 36.0 1.153 100.0% 0.005 -0.7874
4 Thematic 158 39.1% 37.11 0.025 86.08% 0.088 -0.9896
4 Trapezoid (Default) 845 27.12% 31.84 0.287 91.72% 0.173 0.1409
5 Other 7 14.29% 34.14 0.701 85.71% -0.398 -0.6152

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1078 22.93 -4.379 62.06% -3.402 -1.3342
Aid From Lesser Spirits 851 24.52 -3.518 66.04% -3.25 -1.3334
All Things Weaken 311 23.83 -3.868 65.92% -3.329 -1.1685
Back Against the Wall 884 23.75 -3.9 63.57% -3.374 -1.2817
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1068 20.82 -5.523 59.64% -3.545 -1.3236
Downward Spiral 3317 22.33 -4.38 67.5% -3.03 -1.0156
Erosion of Will 1140 22.88 -4.423 61.67% -3.444 -1.2327
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 133 30.47 -0.533 96.99% -0.332 0.3795
Memory Fades to Dust 3334 21.79 -4.663 62.87% -3.27 -1.0545
Power Corrodes the Spirit 288 23.33 -3.99 71.53% -3.062 -1.0424
Promising Farmlands 1058 21.57 -4.959 62.57% -3.362 -1.1479
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 98 29.31 -0.968 96.94% -0.417 -0.0003
Thriving Communities 277 22.3 -4.603 65.7% -3.258 -1.1508
Tipping Point 669 20.79 -5.413 57.55% -3.568 -1.3522
Unnatural Proliferation 301 24.74 -3.362 71.76% -3.024 -0.9434
Untended Land Crumbles 311 22.93 -4.282 69.13% -3.146 -1.0512

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9072 41.48% 28.91 -0.369 84.22% 0.168 -0.9051
B 9284 39.5% 29.37 -0.116 85.62% 0.251 -0.9131
C 9552 39.58% 29.63 0.053 86.6% 0.395 -1.0015
D 9049 39.4% 29.44 -0.085 86.03% 0.284 -0.8741
E 1681 34.96% 30.07 -0.021 89.23% 0.283 -0.9741
F 3209 32.77% 30.33 0.015 88.25% 0.093 -1.133
G 3040 35.48% 30.22 0.023 89.21% 0.385 -0.8274
H 3228 32.81% 30.4 -0.006 88.72% 0.155 -1.0662
East 1085 42.53% 37.63 2.353 80.28% 0.351 -0.5848
Northeast 1182 43.16% 36.04 1.534 77.83% 0.048 -0.8218
Northwest 963 44.14% 36.18 1.769 80.17% 0.403 -0.5418
Southeast 165 45.45% 34.28 0.662 79.39% 0.011 -0.9722
Southwest 171 52.05% 30.25 -1.266 76.02% 0.098 -0.5274
West 954 53.52% 34.79 0.82 73.9% -0.045 -0.7102

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 510 0.0% 25.67 -2.943 70.0% -3.087 -1.0483
Not Using Events or Tokens 7865 48.17% 27.56 -0.83 79.4% -0.27 -0.0501
Skip Initial Invader Actions 481 11.98% 39.78 2.927 93.76% -0.023 -0.7291
Start of Game Growth 806 15.19% 37.72 2.57 94.79% 0.964 0.5051
Unlimited Undo 2686 34.33% 30.82 0.334 88.46% 0.201 -0.2016
Using Tokens but Not Events 3550 34.21% 30.1 -0.047 88.96% 0.111 0.0649

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1937 22.34 24.88%
II 9565 30.71 71.82%
III 17248 34.23 90.04%
IV 8498 37.48 98.61%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.156 Win Model: -0.113
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 26046 43.41% 29.04 81.58%
2 8130 37.87% 30.66 88.77%
3 2020 31.54% 31.34 91.29%
4 1052 29.0% 32.69 90.59%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 333
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11121
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4507
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5973
Lose: Invader deck ran out 378
Win: Sacrifice victory 161
Lose: Scenario condition 350
Win: Scenario condition 859
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4932
Lose: Spirit destroyed 326

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4552 32.53% 39.54 0.268 89.17% -0.042 0.1049
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3334 56.31% 37.87 0.148 82.45% -0.038 0.1989
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2204 35.31% 39.8 0.491 90.56% 0.216 0.1299
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3162 25.65% 43.41 1.991 94.37% 0.57 0.2005
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2259 30.99% 41.96 1.39 92.7% 0.428 0.1951
Fractured Days Split the Sky 422 36.26% 42.18 1.604 88.86% -0.03 0.3032
Heart of the Wildfire 3674 64.28% 33.87 -1.732 75.15% -0.353 -0.0051
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5415 40.59% 38.51 -0.035 87.18% 0.001 -0.2971
Lightning's Swift Strike 5255 48.42% 37.55 -0.244 82.21% -0.205 0.0639
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 806 40.2% 40.21 0.691 89.95% 0.352 -0.0083
Many Minds Move as One 764 24.35% 42.47 1.601 95.42% 0.573 0.06
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5080 48.34% 38.59 0.157 85.67% 0.047 -0.1503
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2320 35.29% 39.78 0.472 90.56% 0.271 0.3185
River Surges in Sunlight 6286 48.89% 39.41 0.651 82.76% -0.171 -0.0042
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3171 42.8% 38.17 -0.189 86.06% -0.062 0.0874
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3249 61.67% 35.96 -0.761 76.42% -0.306 0.1429
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3954 36.06% 40.0 0.637 87.43% -0.123 -0.1876
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1368 35.04% 37.15 -0.943 90.5% 0.128 0.1095
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1826 35.62% 39.76 0.139 87.51% -0.177 0.0384
Thunderspeaker 4672 40.87% 40.34 0.733 86.73% 0.062 0.1222
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1081 72.9% 32.36 -2.293 75.58% -0.32 -0.2833
Vital Strength of the Earth 3902 39.95% 35.54 -1.471 80.24% -0.698 0.1662
Volcano Looming High 375 48.27% 36.62 -0.645 87.2% 0.046 -0.0545

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 702 52.01% 34.99 -1.752 75.21% -0.65 -0.0772
Dahan Insurrection 4 740 30.93% 58.42 9.422 80.81% -1.016 -0.6157
Elemental Invocation 1 38 60.53% 34.32 -1.789 68.42% -1.188 -0.7227
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2277 9.71% 44.18 1.894 87.4% -1.529 -1.1534
Powers Long Forgotten 1 347 62.14% 40.08 0.976 75.22% -0.431 0.0159
Rituals of Terror 3 256 58.27% 45.88 3.899 68.36% -0.921 -0.2989
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 135 68.89% 46.62 4.77 75.56% -0.225 0.3993
Second Wave 0 3076 48.7% 38.35 0.211 74.71% -0.927 -0.5086
The Great River 3 64 51.56% 42.41 2.154 60.94% -1.991 -0.5064
Ward the Shores 2 347 45.51% 45.48 2.882 79.83% -0.589 0.4413

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 29470 47.24% 36.98 -0.554 82.12% -0.158 0.1964
1 Thematic 2265 50.07% 42.63 1.546 76.47% -0.352 0.1449
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6837 44.59% 38.09 -0.037 87.29% -0.047 0.1429
2 Coastline 787 41.58% 38.53 -0.113 86.4% -0.223 -0.088
2 Fragment 176 47.7% 36.88 -0.648 85.23% -0.224 0.2018
2 Heart 78 50.65% 38.44 0.05 88.46% 0.071 0.3614
2 Opposite Shores 1633 40.1% 38.67 0.04 88.73% -0.014 0.2125
2 Thematic 869 45.67% 44.99 1.426 79.52% -0.401 -0.3568
2 Top to Top 229 38.16% 39.9 0.647 90.39% 0.156 0.2721
3 Coastline 12 58.33% 40.33 0.966 83.33% 0.146 0.1085
3 Other 184 44.57% 41.24 0.918 97.28% 0.948 1.3497
3 Round (Default) 2698 36.34% 39.32 0.124 90.14% -0.139 -0.1081
3 Sunrise 24 33.33% 40.92 0.74 95.83% 0.37 0.1167
3 Thematic 161 41.25% 46.84 1.552 85.09% -0.33 -0.6689
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 43.0 1.396 100.0% 0.089 0.2118
4 Leaf 9 0.0% 48.78 2.329 100.0% 0.078 0.1574
4 Other 61 54.1% 40.23 0.422 90.16% -0.063 0.0178
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 43.0 -0.088 100.0% 0.004 -0.7882
4 Snake 1 0.0% 62.0 7.13 100.0% 0.049 0.175
4 Thematic 304 45.61% 47.89 0.839 88.16% -0.288 -1.3664
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1361 30.4% 40.86 0.517 91.11% -0.499 -0.5315
5 Coastline 1 100.0% 40.0 2.166 100.0% 0.064 0.0142
5 Other 11 27.27% 42.73 1.159 100.0% 0.159 -0.058
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 52.0 3.607 100.0% 0.64 -2.1274

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1626 30.2 -4.94 63.59% -3.422 -1.354
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1357 32.32 -3.982 66.4% -3.35 -1.4337
All Things Weaken 493 29.54 -5.209 63.49% -3.533 -1.3726
Back Against the Wall 1304 31.33 -4.489 64.57% -3.487 -1.395
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1502 27.77 -6.19 61.72% -3.521 -1.2998
Downward Spiral 4180 30.64 -4.586 70.1% -2.967 -0.9526
Erosion of Will 1681 30.38 -4.914 63.53% -3.429 -1.2177
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 201 39.86 -0.046 98.51% 0.15 0.8617
Memory Fades to Dust 4268 30.12 -4.885 66.4% -3.149 -0.9329
Power Corrodes the Spirit 443 30.29 -4.737 68.85% -3.218 -1.1982
Promising Farmlands 1648 29.97 -5.124 66.87% -3.342 -1.1275
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 134 39.72 -0.229 97.01% -0.492 -0.0753
Thriving Communities 491 29.48 -5.334 66.4% -3.362 -1.2555
Tipping Point 968 29.86 -5.142 64.67% -3.343 -1.1269
Unnatural Proliferation 480 30.4 -4.768 65.0% -3.461 -1.3803
Untended Land Crumbles 459 31.24 -4.373 71.02% -3.126 -1.0308

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11786 45.38% 37.41 -0.347 83.79% 0.121 -0.9521
B 12341 44.09% 37.85 -0.093 85.29% 0.234 -0.9307
C 12556 44.75% 37.81 -0.063 85.07% 0.255 -1.142
D 11726 44.38% 37.94 -0.018 85.4% 0.27 -0.8885
E 2275 41.14% 39.11 0.309 89.05% 0.382 -0.8747
F 4490 38.38% 38.97 0.15 88.33% 0.246 -0.9799
G 4134 39.01% 38.87 0.049 88.22% 0.275 -0.9379
H 4331 38.36% 39.2 0.161 88.64% 0.26 -0.9613
East 1477 45.56% 45.81 1.845 79.62% 0.026 -0.9096
Northeast 1331 44.9% 45.6 1.76 82.34% 0.247 -0.6221
Northwest 1131 45.5% 45.62 1.815 84.0% 0.48 -0.4656
Southeast 207 45.89% 42.26 0.335 79.23% -0.001 -0.9837
Southwest 190 47.37% 38.99 -1.285 76.84% -0.026 -0.6512
West 1255 51.33% 44.68 1.184 78.57% 0.135 -0.5301

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 442 0.0% 36.22 -2.403 76.92% -2.827 -0.7885
Not Using Events or Tokens 7736 53.22% 36.17 -0.803 79.87% -0.309 -0.089
Skip Initial Invader Actions 578 10.18% 49.53 3.498 95.85% 0.486 -0.2204
Start of Game Growth 1006 15.24% 47.0 2.612 94.73% 0.594 0.1347
Unlimited Undo 3672 39.4% 39.37 0.488 88.32% 0.265 -0.1372
Using Tokens but Not Events 4195 38.8% 38.45 -0.174 87.29% -0.082 -0.1285

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2754 22.34 31.3%
II 12307 30.71 68.84%
III 21114 34.23 91.22%
IV 11004 37.48 99.31%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.198 Win Model: 0.171
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 31769 47.45% 37.38 81.73%
2 10610 43.69% 38.8 86.86%
3 3058 37.19% 39.82 90.19%
4 1742 33.61% 42.21 90.82%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 588
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13851
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5497
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8050
Lose: Invader deck ran out 407
Win: Sacrifice victory 172
Lose: Scenario condition 339
Win: Scenario condition 875
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6560
Lose: Spirit destroyed 351

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4414 36.33% 45.96 0.554 85.82% -0.16 -0.0137
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3000 67.03% 42.24 -0.205 77.03% -0.013 0.2239
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2143 41.89% 45.58 0.595 87.73% 0.277 0.1906
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3234 28.2% 49.81 2.422 93.75% 0.721 0.3519
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2234 33.95% 49.09 2.147 92.48% 0.702 0.4695
Fractured Days Split the Sky 470 44.89% 46.3 1.075 77.23% -0.623 -0.2891
Heart of the Wildfire 3838 70.23% 37.94 -2.556 67.17% -0.502 -0.1546
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6467 45.75% 45.0 0.527 85.36% 0.153 -0.1445
Lightning's Swift Strike 4713 56.72% 42.16 -0.638 76.77% -0.245 0.0233
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 894 44.74% 46.14 0.976 87.47% 0.308 -0.0527
Many Minds Move as One 836 30.02% 49.38 2.299 94.38% 0.805 0.2913
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5229 51.4% 44.67 0.369 83.59% 0.108 -0.0893
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2270 42.16% 44.74 0.244 86.21% 0.113 0.1601
River Surges in Sunlight 6492 52.61% 45.07 0.662 77.26% -0.329 -0.162
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3089 44.87% 44.89 0.113 84.27% -0.033 0.1159
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2880 68.35% 40.28 -1.28 70.42% -0.354 0.0954
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4149 39.73% 46.14 1.022 84.91% -0.094 -0.1586
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1554 41.89% 42.83 -0.919 86.55% 0.031 0.0125
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1974 40.13% 45.69 0.382 85.41% -0.081 0.1344
Thunderspeaker 4177 47.15% 46.03 0.807 82.76% 0.004 0.064
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1163 81.65% 38.14 -1.881 74.38% 0.038 0.0746
Vital Strength of the Earth 3663 49.26% 40.4 -1.679 72.15% -0.805 0.0599
Volcano Looming High 411 55.96% 40.54 -1.212 78.35% -0.218 -0.3193

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 554 57.88% 38.52 -2.731 66.79% -0.784 -0.2114
Dahan Insurrection 4 860 34.7% 65.32 10.048 80.7% -0.577 -0.176
Elemental Invocation 1 16 68.75% 37.56 -2.198 62.5% -0.57 -0.1045
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2384 11.74% 51.32 2.666 89.3% -0.841 -0.4659
Powers Long Forgotten 1 197 70.56% 44.73 0.429 67.01% -0.494 -0.0474
Rituals of Terror 3 138 65.94% 49.86 2.922 63.04% -0.791 -0.169
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 104 82.69% 44.07 0.758 51.92% -0.822 -0.1973
Second Wave 0 2094 54.34% 43.37 -0.151 70.11% -0.871 -0.4525
The Great River 3 26 57.69% 44.12 -0.022 50.0% -1.856 -0.3715
Ward the Shores 2 156 62.58% 47.44 1.438 64.74% -0.845 0.186

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 32109 54.2% 41.94 -0.739 76.86% -0.389 -0.0347
1 Thematic 1699 49.82% 49.07 1.658 73.93% -0.579 -0.0814
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6999 47.45% 44.48 0.237 84.75% 0.005 0.1939
2 Coastline 883 44.01% 45.42 0.391 87.09% 0.122 0.2569
2 Fragment 147 55.17% 40.91 -1.073 75.51% -0.296 0.1295
2 Heart 61 59.02% 43.82 0.121 85.25% 0.189 0.48
2 Opposite Shores 1462 45.49% 45.15 0.201 85.36% 0.003 0.2295
2 Thematic 654 58.81% 48.24 0.523 71.87% -0.465 -0.4209
2 Top to Top 225 47.32% 44.18 -0.065 83.56% -0.107 0.01
3 Coastline 33 21.21% 51.15 1.646 90.91% -0.138 -0.1756
3 Other 129 42.97% 46.2 0.409 92.25% 0.323 0.7248
3 Round (Default) 2296 40.49% 46.39 0.465 88.24% 0.147 0.1782
3 Sunrise 16 25.0% 48.44 0.878 93.75% 0.155 -0.0977
3 Thematic 113 57.52% 52.72 1.953 83.19% 0.188 -0.1508
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 43.5 -0.071 100.0% 0.27 0.3926
4 Leaf 7 57.14% 43.0 -0.931 71.43% -0.392 -0.3125
4 Other 55 43.64% 46.73 0.521 92.73% 0.354 0.4346
4 Snake 3 33.33% 50.0 1.677 100.0% 0.182 0.3076
4 Thematic 221 40.0% 55.15 1.173 86.43% 0.162 -0.916
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1445 34.64% 49.05 1.055 91.21% 0.292 0.2591
5 Other 13 30.77% 49.08 0.646 100.0% 0.281 0.0642
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 54.67 1.694 100.0% 0.312 -2.4552

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2000 35.52 -5.075 60.7% -3.167 -1.0988
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1534 37.82 -4.054 64.54% -3.025 -1.108
All Things Weaken 625 34.39 -5.486 59.36% -3.249 -1.0888
Back Against the Wall 1536 36.4 -4.768 60.42% -3.24 -1.1481
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1857 33.17 -6.188 59.34% -3.203 -0.9818
Downward Spiral 4574 35.95 -4.651 65.7% -2.759 -0.7444
Erosion of Will 1941 34.9 -5.393 58.78% -3.24 -1.029
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 236 45.53 -0.201 92.8% -1.083 -0.3708
Memory Fades to Dust 4682 34.51 -5.408 60.25% -3.024 -0.808
Power Corrodes the Spirit 600 34.13 -5.535 60.83% -3.158 -1.1377
Promising Farmlands 1994 35.06 -5.322 62.79% -3.066 -0.8512
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 169 46.49 0.297 95.27% -0.616 -0.1988
Thriving Communities 588 35.04 -5.179 64.46% -3.04 -0.9329
Tipping Point 1156 34.38 -5.558 59.69% -3.149 -0.9325
Unnatural Proliferation 652 36.98 -4.112 66.87% -2.961 -0.8805
Untended Land Crumbles 599 34.2 -5.587 61.27% -3.163 -1.0676

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11744 50.9% 43.1 -0.308 79.73% 0.3 -0.7736
B 12474 48.66% 43.98 0.212 82.0% 0.446 -0.7186
C 12915 49.97% 43.79 0.209 81.68% 0.477 -0.92
D 11265 50.51% 43.41 -0.003 80.66% 0.377 -0.7808
E 2578 46.89% 44.36 0.135 83.79% 0.352 -0.9052
F 4950 44.36% 44.79 0.239 84.44% 0.384 -0.8419
G 4677 45.71% 44.64 0.163 84.46% 0.415 -0.7972
H 4726 43.51% 45.29 0.359 84.98% 0.384 -0.8373
East 1052 50.71% 51.49 1.757 75.48% 0.237 -0.6992
Northeast 1007 49.3% 51.99 2.102 79.54% 0.531 -0.3381
Northwest 807 49.5% 50.7 1.419 78.31% 0.494 -0.451
Southeast 187 54.01% 48.56 0.58 75.94% 0.43 -0.553
Southwest 182 52.2% 44.01 -1.715 75.27% 0.203 -0.4221
West 881 55.75% 49.77 0.758 73.44% 0.201 -0.4645

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 345 0.0% 39.83 -3.589 66.67% -3.006 -0.9673
Not Using Events or Tokens 6536 60.79% 40.29 -1.228 72.67% -0.295 -0.0745
Skip Initial Invader Actions 624 6.38% 58.88 4.638 97.28% 0.817 0.1109
Start of Game Growth 1172 11.55% 55.8 3.657 95.39% 0.758 0.2993
Unlimited Undo 3896 42.82% 45.65 0.799 85.27% 0.264 -0.1379
Using Tokens but Not Events 4464 45.75% 44.12 0.035 83.11% 0.028 -0.0186

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3407 22.34 20.11%
II 16545 30.71 68.57%
III 19461 34.23 89.58%
IV 9163 37.48 99.43%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.367 Win Model: -0.197
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 33862 53.98% 42.3 76.73%
2 10435 47.77% 44.84 84.09%
3 2554 40.92% 46.72 88.14%
4 1725 35.42% 49.77 90.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 471
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13014
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7707
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6779
Lose: Invader deck ran out 940
Win: Sacrifice victory 184
Lose: Scenario condition 265
Win: Scenario condition 795
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8361
Lose: Spirit destroyed 436

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3167 35.86% 47.85 0.123 82.7% -0.39 -0.2438
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2480 66.88% 44.04 -0.755 74.88% -0.069 0.1673
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1851 42.83% 47.83 0.404 85.68% 0.203 0.1167
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2802 27.32% 52.63 2.381 93.97% 0.85 0.4813
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2086 33.57% 50.15 1.419 89.21% 0.3 0.0666
Fractured Days Split the Sky 494 35.43% 52.87 2.674 86.23% -0.109 0.2246
Heart of the Wildfire 2999 70.67% 40.37 -2.607 67.86% -0.368 -0.021
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5967 42.43% 48.33 0.595 85.52% 0.167 -0.1306
Lightning's Swift Strike 4347 47.69% 46.57 -0.036 80.38% -0.094 0.1748
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1042 43.09% 49.08 0.944 86.95% 0.242 -0.1185
Many Minds Move as One 704 28.02% 52.52 2.193 95.45% 0.971 0.4579
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4226 50.75% 47.11 0.055 81.9% 0.035 -0.1619
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1918 42.94% 46.86 -0.166 82.95% -0.112 -0.0647
River Surges in Sunlight 4708 52.68% 48.25 0.851 77.8% -0.222 -0.0552
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2338 46.11% 46.49 -0.482 80.71% -0.18 -0.0307
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1930 67.15% 42.36 -1.812 67.82% -0.39 0.0595
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4824 31.14% 50.68 1.731 87.44% 0.039 -0.0254
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1627 32.35% 47.43 -0.389 91.03% 0.315 0.2966
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1772 41.91% 48.2 0.337 83.52% -0.121 0.0944
Thunderspeaker 3182 45.94% 48.24 0.635 82.18% 0.019 0.0784
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1029 81.54% 40.66 -2.151 73.47% 0.022 0.0585
Vital Strength of the Earth 2348 52.12% 39.93 -3.36 59.67% -1.41 -0.5451
Volcano Looming High 472 48.52% 46.57 -0.014 86.02% 0.236 0.1346

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 332 62.85% 40.48 -2.733 66.57% -0.513 0.0599
Dahan Insurrection 4 436 39.07% 67.38 9.737 78.21% -0.406 -0.0053
Elemental Invocation 1 12 41.67% 47.33 -0.14 83.33% -0.175 0.2898
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1753 11.32% 53.86 2.581 88.99% -0.535 -0.1592
Powers Long Forgotten 1 146 70.55% 45.2 -0.347 63.01% -0.715 -0.2681
Rituals of Terror 3 123 59.35% 55.8 4.45 65.85% -0.577 0.0449
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 87 78.16% 48.66 1.613 52.87% -0.717 -0.0928
Second Wave 0 1359 53.03% 46.31 -0.207 70.42% -0.725 -0.3065
The Great River 3 24 66.67% 44.83 -1.275 45.83% -1.965 -0.4799
Ward the Shores 2 112 70.54% 49.07 1.263 61.61% -0.563 0.4679

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 30852 48.14% 45.88 -0.48 78.86% -0.239 0.1158
1 Thematic 1190 54.84% 50.14 1.067 68.82% -0.534 -0.0372
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5064 48.71% 46.76 -0.012 82.07% -0.074 0.1159
2 Coastline 801 40.5% 48.2 0.287 86.27% 0.065 0.2004
2 Fragment 104 50.0% 47.43 0.162 81.73% -0.043 0.3829
2 Heart 58 42.11% 48.09 0.064 86.21% -0.211 0.08
2 Opposite Shores 861 47.47% 46.61 -0.246 82.58% -0.107 0.1196
2 Thematic 432 57.08% 51.01 0.969 73.15% -0.301 -0.2567
2 Top to Top 156 46.45% 46.92 -0.271 82.05% -0.186 -0.0698
3 Coastline 42 16.67% 57.24 3.488 100.0% 1.067 1.0294
3 Other 73 54.79% 47.1 -0.316 84.93% -0.151 0.2506
3 Round (Default) 1947 37.22% 49.28 0.675 89.06% 0.145 0.1759
3 Sunrise 8 12.5% 48.88 -0.152 87.5% -0.242 -0.4946
3 Thematic 80 61.25% 50.16 0.177 71.25% -0.296 -0.6351
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 66.0 7.052 100.0% 0.171 0.2935
4 Leaf 4 50.0% 51.75 2.463 100.0% 0.348 0.4277
4 Other 38 28.95% 51.42 0.919 89.47% -0.02 0.0608
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 -10.204 0.0% -0.294 -0.1679
4 Thematic 239 41.6% 57.06 1.157 84.52% 0.197 -0.8809
4 Trapezoid (Default) 937 36.36% 50.73 0.903 89.97% 0.122 0.09
5 Other 11 11.11% 53.45 1.364 100.0% 0.185 -0.0325
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 57.33 2.975 100.0% 0.427 -2.3407

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1730 38.48 -5.201 61.16% -2.835 -0.7674
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1250 41.23 -3.922 66.4% -2.658 -0.7415
All Things Weaken 524 38.12 -5.317 61.64% -2.905 -0.7452
Back Against the Wall 1136 38.97 -5.013 59.77% -2.951 -0.8585
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1577 36.02 -6.478 58.72% -2.958 -0.7362
Downward Spiral 3698 38.21 -5.168 63.39% -2.567 -0.5523
Erosion of Will 1579 37.59 -5.682 58.45% -2.955 -0.7438
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 216 48.91 -0.102 91.2% -1.04 -0.3281
Memory Fades to Dust 3749 36.89 -5.817 58.07% -2.785 -0.5694
Power Corrodes the Spirit 529 40.6 -4.107 70.7% -2.48 -0.4605
Promising Farmlands 1643 36.72 -6.058 59.04% -2.929 -0.7144
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 163 48.52 -0.285 93.87% -0.631 -0.2144
Thriving Communities 490 36.85 -5.988 59.8% -2.964 -0.8574
Tipping Point 957 35.54 -6.614 54.13% -3.056 -0.8398
Unnatural Proliferation 531 40.21 -4.19 67.8% -2.61 -0.5293
Untended Land Crumbles 465 39.83 -4.481 68.39% -2.615 -0.5197

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9364 48.77% 45.8 -0.451 78.84% 0.246 -0.8271
B 10393 45.42% 46.95 0.176 81.84% 0.435 -0.7291
C 10590 48.56% 46.38 -0.001 80.34% 0.412 -0.9846
D 9453 47.48% 46.36 -0.08 80.03% 0.334 -0.8243
E 2626 41.91% 48.34 0.488 86.33% 0.46 -0.7971
F 4397 41.59% 48.08 0.402 85.6% 0.475 -0.7513
G 4146 42.14% 48.05 0.362 85.31% 0.463 -0.7498
H 4241 41.16% 48.35 0.425 85.45% 0.433 -0.7881
East 820 49.45% 54.24 2.023 76.59% 0.346 -0.5896
Northeast 767 53.2% 52.53 0.91 73.27% 0.127 -0.7428
Northwest 585 50.26% 53.35 1.273 77.61% 0.481 -0.4645
Southeast 151 54.3% 49.35 0.111 74.83% 0.298 -0.6848
Southwest 131 58.02% 42.07 -3.862 61.83% -0.608 -1.2334
West 734 53.42% 52.8 1.206 74.66% 0.338 -0.3269

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 303 0.0% 49.33 -0.507 81.52% -1.825 0.2137
Not Using Events or Tokens 5561 54.24% 43.86 -1.024 73.78% -0.267 -0.0471
Skip Initial Invader Actions 430 10.7% 60.33 3.994 95.81% 0.671 -0.035
Start of Game Growth 745 14.74% 57.68 2.86 93.42% 0.307 -0.152
Unlimited Undo 4085 42.99% 48.31 0.58 84.46% 0.212 -0.1908
Using Tokens but Not Events 4134 40.07% 47.29 0.066 82.9% -0.09 -0.1362

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4447 22.34 36.81%
II 19108 30.71 78.54%
III 14137 34.23 88.12%
IV 5211 37.48 99.52%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.302 Win Model: -0.065
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 32072 48.4% 46.04 78.5%
2 7475 48.13% 47.16 82.09%
3 2133 38.06% 49.4 88.42%
4 1223 36.79% 52.01 88.96%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1179
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9580
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11123
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3900
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1595
Win: Sacrifice victory 161
Lose: Scenario condition 184
Win: Scenario condition 410
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6511
Lose: Spirit destroyed 325

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1809 46.17% 51.75 0.338 72.97% -0.293 -0.146
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1106 78.13% 47.36 -0.567 64.83% 0.097 0.3336
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1567 43.77% 53.18 0.59 77.86% -0.006 -0.0923
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1882 39.04% 57.25 2.836 85.97% 0.586 0.2174
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 930 48.28% 53.86 1.21 77.74% 0.163 -0.0697
Fractured Days Split the Sky 198 54.55% 53.24 1.531 67.68% -0.426 -0.0919
Heart of the Wildfire 1830 71.57% 44.48 -2.541 61.69% -0.207 0.1409
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2685 59.37% 49.41 -0.444 69.57% -0.056 -0.3539
Lightning's Swift Strike 2264 68.81% 46.27 -1.545 61.62% -0.245 0.0231
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 480 48.75% 54.97 1.69 82.92% 0.472 0.1115
Many Minds Move as One 290 37.93% 58.41 3.161 91.03% 0.93 0.4167
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2274 57.52% 51.34 0.687 73.04% 0.151 -0.0458
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 877 59.84% 48.65 -0.741 68.07% -0.197 -0.1499
River Surges in Sunlight 2706 63.82% 52.04 1.398 68.33% 0.034 0.2015
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1209 56.6% 50.45 -0.028 72.29% 0.041 0.1898
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1687 83.99% 43.76 -1.718 56.79% -0.096 0.3535
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2684 37.1% 56.44 2.653 80.77% 0.144 0.0792
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1479 37.32% 52.15 0.357 82.29% 0.183 0.1639
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1276 48.78% 51.88 0.775 73.75% -0.063 0.1521
Thunderspeaker 1792 57.26% 51.67 0.956 70.98% 0.026 0.0856
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 920 87.5% 45.3 -1.144 65.22% 0.302 0.3384
Vital Strength of the Earth 1259 67.41% 41.34 -3.984 44.4% -1.285 -0.4203
Volcano Looming High 250 68.8% 47.86 -0.574 70.0% 0.112 0.0109

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 322 78.68% 39.87 -4.507 48.76% -0.786 -0.2132
Dahan Insurrection 4 411 59.02% 65.88 7.481 62.77% -0.475 -0.0745
Elemental Invocation 1 4 75.0% 35.25 -9.158 25.0% -1.369 -0.9034
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 986 20.0% 59.72 3.746 85.5% 0.058 0.4337
Powers Long Forgotten 1 78 79.49% 47.76 -0.459 52.56% -0.296 0.1507
Rituals of Terror 3 57 75.44% 55.91 3.516 50.88% -0.294 0.3277
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 63 90.48% 48.38 0.586 41.27% -0.355 0.2697
Second Wave 0 753 63.42% 50.14 0.335 63.75% -0.238 0.181
The Great River 3 22 59.09% 38.95 -6.519 18.18% -2.837 -1.3521
Ward the Shores 2 45 75.56% 54.91 3.084 60.0% 0.072 1.1028

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 18578 59.06% 48.82 -0.804 68.5% 0.147 0.5016
1 Thematic 754 67.37% 52.27 0.739 56.37% 0.214 0.7108
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3396 54.07% 51.92 0.775 74.56% 0.034 0.2236
2 Coastline 378 56.88% 50.87 0.159 70.11% -0.185 -0.0496
2 Fragment 54 66.04% 48.37 -0.387 68.52% -0.096 0.3295
2 Heart 23 56.52% 46.43 -2.531 60.87% -0.848 -0.5579
2 Opposite Shores 592 60.41% 50.16 -0.053 71.62% -0.085 0.1421
2 Thematic 229 68.86% 53.31 0.225 58.52% 0.232 0.2764
2 Top to Top 64 58.73% 52.47 0.871 78.13% 0.302 0.4181
3 Coastline 10 30.0% 66.6 6.818 100.0% 0.91 0.8727
3 Other 23 65.22% 55.39 2.705 78.26% 0.207 0.6093
3 Round (Default) 812 54.8% 52.36 0.632 76.23% -0.289 -0.2578
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 51.33 0.549 66.67% -0.27 -0.5227
3 Thematic 30 56.67% 58.0 0.884 66.67% 0.019 -0.3201
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 64.33 5.475 100.0% 0.059 0.1816
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 20.0 -13.985 0.0% -0.739 -0.6591
4 Other 7 71.43% 59.29 3.412 100.0% 0.567 0.6478
4 Thematic 123 31.71% 64.27 1.294 80.49% 0.126 -0.9525
4 Trapezoid (Default) 377 51.23% 53.42 0.782 77.45% -0.544 -0.5762
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 69.0 6.979 100.0% 0.014 -0.0362
5 Other 1 0.0% 68.0 5.257 100.0% 0.024 -0.1928
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 90.0 14.736 100.0% 0.228 -2.5393

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1120 41.17 -5.494 50.09% -2.536 -0.4677
Aid From Lesser Spirits 753 45.76 -3.355 59.63% -2.156 -0.2392
All Things Weaken 413 42.15 -5.291 53.75% -2.534 -0.374
Back Against the Wall 780 44.36 -4.059 56.15% -2.299 -0.2073
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1026 38.9 -6.734 48.54% -2.618 -0.3963
Downward Spiral 3059 41.0 -5.434 52.57% -2.432 -0.4174
Erosion of Will 1043 40.37 -5.971 47.75% -2.634 -0.4231
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 150 54.15 0.643 87.33% -0.747 -0.0356
Memory Fades to Dust 3076 40.23 -5.899 49.41% -2.569 -0.3533
Power Corrodes the Spirit 394 42.91 -4.795 58.12% -2.342 -0.3218
Promising Farmlands 1056 38.47 -6.864 45.17% -2.741 -0.5263
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 78 55.86 1.348 91.03% -0.353 0.0639
Thriving Communities 383 40.73 -5.991 53.52% -2.593 -0.4857
Tipping Point 639 38.12 -7.079 42.72% -2.776 -0.5599
Unnatural Proliferation 412 45.82 -3.331 61.41% -2.226 -0.1458
Untended Land Crumbles 397 41.39 -5.619 54.16% -2.56 -0.4652

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4792 62.64% 48.02 -0.73 65.92% 0.037 -1.0361
B 6203 55.02% 51.19 0.578 72.43% 0.246 -0.9182
C 6019 65.17% 48.12 -0.146 66.95% 0.236 -1.1605
D 4684 62.64% 48.35 -0.39 66.8% 0.126 -1.032
E 1227 56.72% 52.01 0.795 76.12% 0.349 -0.908
F 3310 46.11% 52.5 0.349 77.85% 0.173 -1.0527
G 2842 47.7% 53.05 0.943 78.43% 0.359 -0.8533
H 2689 50.54% 52.15 0.659 75.57% 0.211 -1.011
East 461 59.0% 56.89 1.165 63.56% -0.167 -1.103
Northeast 403 56.72% 56.4 0.928 65.51% -0.1 -0.9696
Northwest 340 53.1% 56.3 0.304 62.65% -0.388 -1.3334
Southeast 58 58.62% 51.41 -0.475 62.07% -0.242 -1.2247
Southwest 65 72.31% 43.06 -4.795 47.69% -0.76 -1.3851
West 404 53.71% 59.47 2.309 66.58% -0.071 -0.7358

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 128 0.0% 49.6 -2.444 67.19% -2.182 -0.1434
Not Using Events or Tokens 3766 77.07% 44.15 -1.497 57.51% -0.016 0.2039
Skip Initial Invader Actions 209 19.47% 64.17 3.487 88.04% -0.206 -0.9119
Start of Game Growth 387 20.51% 64.26 3.81 90.7% 0.942 0.4826
Unlimited Undo 4530 37.44% 56.91 2.547 84.53% 0.461 0.0589
Using Tokens but Not Events 4696 31.05% 56.86 2.493 85.71% 0.27 0.224

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3130 22.34 24.28%
II 11381 30.71 66.33%
III 8027 34.23 80.6%
IV 2922 37.48 99.28%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.507 Win Model: 0.369
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 19354 59.37% 48.96 68.03%
2 4727 56.1% 51.64 73.01%
3 870 54.71% 52.77 76.21%
4 509 45.88% 56.28 78.59%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 452
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5243
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5413
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2330
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1677
Win: Sacrifice victory 81
Lose: Scenario condition 122
Win: Scenario condition 285
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5649
Lose: Spirit destroyed 332

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3880 66.77% 46.72 -0.662 51.65% -0.289 -0.1425
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3737 86.71% 44.51 -1.224 51.3% 0.118 0.3547
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1698 77.86% 43.64 -2.129 47.88% -0.315 -0.4009
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4249 57.09% 55.29 3.545 72.16% 0.59 0.2213
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1797 76.99% 46.44 -0.698 53.76% 0.007 -0.2257
Fractured Days Split the Sky 529 67.49% 54.11 2.972 62.95% 0.099 0.4326
Heart of the Wildfire 4626 90.79% 35.07 -5.948 33.27% -0.625 -0.2776
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5896 75.3% 45.35 -1.308 53.32% -0.063 -0.3614
Lightning's Swift Strike 5694 74.07% 45.46 -1.496 51.63% -0.16 0.1087
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1270 69.76% 48.71 0.359 61.73% 0.159 -0.2016
Many Minds Move as One 820 56.22% 57.73 4.769 83.29% 1.197 0.6832
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 18333 56.83% 57.86 6.16 81.11% 1.31 1.113
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1854 79.25% 43.96 -1.879 49.08% -0.234 -0.1865
River Surges in Sunlight 7397 76.6% 47.8 -0.475 50.53% -0.219 -0.052
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3606 65.89% 47.23 -0.62 55.3% -0.152 -0.0029
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2590 76.48% 43.4 -2.552 46.83% -0.443 0.0065
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3895 68.12% 46.8 -0.822 54.94% -0.183 -0.248
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1836 65.5% 43.7 -2.105 55.56% -0.322 -0.3404
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1843 75.79% 46.04 -1.252 52.36% -0.236 -0.0204
Thunderspeaker 5083 78.54% 50.52 0.92 48.71% 0.157 0.2165
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1586 92.75% 42.89 -1.655 53.09% 0.258 0.294
Vital Strength of the Earth 2677 84.14% 35.13 -5.805 25.03% -1.318 -0.4533
Volcano Looming High 655 76.49% 45.02 -0.919 56.64% 0.067 -0.0338

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 734 57.06% 48.97 -0.978 59.67% -0.28 0.2922
Dahan Insurrection 4 2798 82.62% 59.91 5.747 38.88% -0.039 0.362
Elemental Invocation 1 8 87.5% 35.0 -5.898 25.0% -0.819 -0.3542
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3432 40.59% 54.35 3.378 68.07% 0.126 0.5016
Powers Long Forgotten 1 86 84.71% 40.56 -3.422 31.4% -0.839 -0.3923
Rituals of Terror 3 143 90.21% 44.83 -1.151 24.48% -0.952 -0.3298
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 37 94.59% 40.76 -3.834 18.92% -1.223 -0.5992
Second Wave 0 626 69.69% 46.69 -1.263 48.4% -0.694 -0.2753
The Great River 3 9 55.56% 58.11 3.853 55.56% -0.436 1.0492
Ward the Shores 2 61 86.89% 45.62 -2.437 37.7% -1.012 0.019

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 52462 72.86% 46.64 -1.312 56.52% -0.407 -0.0525
1 Thematic 3129 79.33% 54.45 1.914 38.86% -0.602 -0.1048
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6169 61.77% 51.43 1.177 65.68% 0.058 0.2472
2 Coastline 840 70.37% 50.55 0.699 64.05% 0.002 0.137
2 Fragment 107 78.5% 46.55 -0.108 56.07% 0.03 0.4559
2 Heart 59 81.36% 43.34 -2.401 47.46% -0.624 -0.3337
2 Opposite Shores 1647 65.49% 50.1 0.806 62.96% 0.032 0.2581
2 Thematic 754 80.0% 52.72 0.161 40.19% -0.331 -0.2866
2 Top to Top 199 77.95% 46.11 -0.813 53.77% -0.292 -0.1758
3 Coastline 13 69.23% 51.0 0.85 61.54% 0.216 0.1784
3 Other 56 78.57% 45.2 -1.084 51.79% -0.372 0.0301
3 Round (Default) 1552 75.52% 48.47 0.379 59.6% 0.276 0.3067
3 Sunrise 7 85.71% 50.29 1.598 71.43% 0.626 0.3727
3 Thematic 57 78.95% 49.56 -0.896 40.35% 0.254 -0.0848
4 Coastline 3 100.0% 39.33 -6.999 33.33% -0.558 -0.4355
4 Leaf 2 0.0% 66.5 2.687 100.0% 0.086 0.1653
4 Other 27 74.07% 52.59 0.917 70.37% 0.326 0.4065
4 Snake 2 100.0% 26.0 -10.42 0.0% -0.668 -0.5418
4 Thematic 250 71.49% 57.72 0.743 54.4% 0.759 -0.3189
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1084 66.48% 51.47 1.27 63.84% 0.624 0.5914
5 Other 12 50.0% 64.58 3.775 91.67% 0.599 0.3822

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 4450 42.28 -4.176 46.22% -2.443 -0.3753
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3509 47.49 -1.729 56.85% -2.016 -0.0992
All Things Weaken 1207 40.39 -4.677 43.5% -2.451 -0.2911
Back Against the Wall 2834 43.02 -3.458 46.51% -2.256 -0.1643
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3967 38.96 -5.932 42.5% -2.632 -0.4107
Downward Spiral 8526 41.12 -4.891 41.12% -2.353 -0.3387
Erosion of Will 4266 40.24 -5.21 41.65% -2.655 -0.4437
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 318 55.17 2.154 77.67% -0.981 -0.2694
Memory Fades to Dust 8496 40.51 -5.167 37.92% -2.467 -0.2516
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1174 40.2 -4.803 44.29% -2.445 -0.4248
Promising Farmlands 3979 39.77 -5.462 42.35% -2.63 -0.415
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 195 57.69 3.552 85.13% -0.413 0.0036
Thriving Communities 1088 38.96 -5.483 41.73% -2.57 -0.4629
Tipping Point 2485 38.06 -6.304 37.42% -2.838 -0.6217
Unnatural Proliferation 1308 41.99 -3.997 45.03% -2.416 -0.3354
Untended Land Crumbles 1158 39.65 -5.138 42.92% -2.498 -0.4027

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12437 74.49% 45.28 -1.221 52.53% 0.285 -0.7887
B 15742 69.66% 48.05 0.071 59.08% 0.462 -0.7028
C 15106 73.14% 46.41 -0.496 55.25% 0.426 -0.9704
D 14572 71.35% 47.77 -0.027 58.23% 0.442 -0.7164
E 3200 72.64% 48.14 0.419 60.62% 0.643 -0.6135
F 6562 67.57% 50.31 1.068 64.81% 0.707 -0.5192
G 6425 66.65% 51.29 1.428 66.54% 0.732 -0.4805
H 6052 64.41% 51.52 1.452 67.0% 0.72 -0.5011
East 1898 79.83% 56.78 2.565 41.1% 0.455 -0.4811
Northeast 1581 76.24% 56.17 1.94 45.1% 0.403 -0.4663
Northwest 894 73.45% 54.65 1.244 45.53% 0.334 -0.6113
Southeast 138 90.58% 44.15 -1.95 26.81% 0.05 -0.9335
Southwest 84 78.57% 35.3 -6.228 27.38% -0.538 -1.1632
West 1037 79.28% 52.43 -0.239 38.09% -0.11 -0.7757

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 448 0.0% 40.77 -4.927 37.95% -2.415 -0.376
Not Using Events or Tokens 8240 86.23% 44.05 -2.344 38.19% -0.535 -0.3148
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1311 21.29% 66.71 6.407 88.56% 0.945 0.2393
Start of Game Growth 1954 27.98% 63.34 4.985 84.6% 0.475 0.0155
Unlimited Undo 5670 65.62% 50.98 1.563 64.32% 0.382 -0.0202
Using Tokens but Not Events 4180 61.69% 48.4 -0.105 57.51% -0.253 -0.2994

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11147 22.34 5.92%
II 26659 30.71 48.62%
III 24110 34.23 77.74%
IV 6515 37.48 99.48%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.528 Win Model: -0.596
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 55708 73.21% 47.1 55.59%
2 9692 65.17% 50.95 62.46%
3 1665 75.86% 48.37 58.68%
4 1366 67.47% 52.62 62.08%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 460
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14553
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8996
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5048
Lose: Invader deck ran out 5277
Win: Sacrifice victory 304
Lose: Scenario condition 583
Win: Scenario condition 1111
Lose: Blight pool ran out 22223
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1503

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2024-11-22 01:58:16 (Pacific Time)